Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theo Hitiris Author-X-Name-First: Theo Author-X-Name-Last: Hitiris Title: Health care expenditure and integration in the countries of the European Union Abstract: National health care differs between the member states of the European Union in the quality and quantity demanded and supplied, reflecting different economic structures and health care organization and delivery systems. Since health care expenditure depends primarily on the level of economic development and the structure of the population, only convergence in economic performance and the standards of living can lead to convergence of health expenditure standards. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-6 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327335 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:1-6 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: The Phillips curve, parameter instability and the Lucas critique Abstract: Empirical estimation of Phillips curve relationships typically indicates the presence of parameter instability. This is argued to be due to the fact that the parameters of these equations are reduced form rather than structural parameters. Estimation of a Phillips curve model by methods which allow for time-varying parameters permits investigation of the nature and timing of the structural breaks which generate instability. This paper estimates such a model by the Kalman filter using quarterly data over the period 1972.4 to 1993.3. We find evidence of a gradual decline in the private sector's assessment of the steady-state inflation rate during the 1980s, but little evidence of the sort of dramatic regime shift predicted by some of the more extreme rational expectations models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 7-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327344 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:7-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abid Burki Author-X-Name-First: Abid Author-X-Name-Last: Burki Author-Name: Mushtaq Khan Author-X-Name-First: Mushtaq Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: Bernt Bratsberg Author-X-Name-First: Bernt Author-X-Name-Last: Bratsberg Title: Parametric tests of allocative efficiency in the manufacturing sectors of India and Pakistan Abstract: This paper estimates allocative inefficiency in the manufacturing sectors of India and Pakistan. Based on an extension of the translog profit function approach, we propose a new method to the estimation of allocative inefficiency in two countries (or groups). The model is estimated using pooled annual data from the large scale manufacturing sectors of India and Pakistan over the period 1959-87. We find evidence of allocative inefficiencies in both countries. Specifically, results reveal that manufacturing firms in the two countries over-utilize capital and raw materials relative to labour and energy. The magnitude of over-utilization of capital is more severe in Pakistan than in India. We argue that these findings are hardly surprising given the structure of factor markets and past government policies in the two countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 11-22 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327353 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:11-22 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francis Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: Maw Lin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Maw Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yi-Chen Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Endogenous export prices and the Taiwan-US trade imbalance Abstract: To explain the perplexing issue of why Taiwan's trade imbalance with the US has persisted despite the depreciation of the dollar, we estimate a four equation model to determine the direct pass-through (DPT) and indirect cost adjustment (ICA) effects of exchange rate changes on Taiwan's export prices. The ICA effect is important in the case of Taiwan because it imports mostly intermediate goods for the production of manufactured goods that are exported. Our findings support the view that DPT and ICA effects reduce the effectiveness of exchange rate as a mechanism for international trade adjustment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 23-31 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327362 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:23-31 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Lindh Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Lindh Author-Name: Tomas Lindstrom Author-X-Name-First: Tomas Author-X-Name-Last: Lindstrom Title: Structural breaks in financial share, savings and growth in OECD: 1960-92 Abstract: Indivisibilities in extending financial markets imply level shifts in the financial cost share. This could induce growth and savings slumps. We search for structural breaks in the financial sector share of seven OECD countries and relate these to changes in GDP growth and the savings share. The event patterns of these macro series are classified and weighted by typicities. Financial structural breaks are associated with decreased savings but ambiguous with respect to growth. We conjecture that most of the period is a successive transition to increasing financial shares accompanied by lower savings and more sluggish growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 33-41 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327371 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327371 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:33-41 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed Alyousha Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Alyousha Title: Investigating Bahrain business cycles Abstract: The motive of this paper is to study and hence establish stylized facts for the small oil producing economy of Bahrain using time series techniques. This is done by estimating persistence in GDP and its two main components (oil and non-oil GDP) and by testing for the macroeconomic variables driving the non-oil business cycles. Applying these techniques to Bahrain data show: (i) GDP, non-oil GDP and oil GDP have little persistence, so that an innovation at the level of these series will have only transitory effects; and (ii) government expenditure is the only macro variable that Grangercauses non-oil business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 43-50 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327380 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:43-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vijay Bhawnani Author-X-Name-First: Vijay Author-X-Name-Last: Bhawnani Author-Name: K. Rao Kadiyala Author-X-Name-First: K. Rao Author-X-Name-Last: Kadiyala Title: Forecasting foreign exchange rates in developing economies Abstract: We investigate the ability of a variety of exchange rate models to forecast parallel exchange rates for developing economies. In contrast to earlier studies, which use actual values of the exogenous variables, we employ time series forecasts of the exogenous variables. An error correction version of a monetary model proposed by us, that incorporates the dynamics of both short-run and long-run adjustment processes, outperforms all other models that have been suggested earlier. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 51-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327399 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327399 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:51-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. M. Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: S. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: M. I. Ansari Author-X-Name-First: M. I. Author-X-Name-Last: Ansari Title: Modelling the efficiency of the Canadian foreign exchange market: a bivariate transfer function analysis Abstract: The efficient market hypothesis for the Canadian foreign exchange market is tested using monthly data on spot and forward exchange rates from January 1973 to October 1995. Unlike most previous studies, we have estimated a transfer function model which combines the results of the univariate time series models with those of the regression model. Following the convention, equations derived from the market efficiency models have been used in both level and change specifications. Like many previous studies, the results from the transfer function model have failed to provide evidence in support of the efficient market hypothesis. These findings suggest that significant arbitraging opportunities existed in the Canadian foreign during the period under study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 63-70 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327407 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327407 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:63-70 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kare Johansen Author-X-Name-First: Kare Author-X-Name-Last: Johansen Title: The wage curve: convexity, kinks and composition effects Abstract: A detailed analysis is provided of the shape of the wage curve using annual time series for Norwegian manufacturing. The main results are summarized as follows. Unemployment affects wages significantly, and we provide evidence in favour of a monotonically decreasing but highly non-linear wage curve. The long-term unemployed exert less of a wage dampening effect than do recently laid off workers, and real wage responsiveness to unemployment seems also to be stronger with higher inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 71-78 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327416 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327416 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:71-78 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cam Donaldson Author-X-Name-First: Cam Author-X-Name-Last: Donaldson Author-Name: Ruth Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Ruth Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Author-Name: David Torgerson Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Torgerson Title: Validity of open-ended and payment scale approaches to eliciting willingness to pay Abstract: The open-ended and payment scale approaches to eliciting willingness to pay (WTP) valuations are compared. Use of the payment scale led to a higher response rate, a higher rate of completion of the WTP question, higher mean and median WTP values, a stronger association between WTP and ability to pay and a higher R2 in regression analysis of WTP on several independent variables. Taking these results in combination, it can be inferred that the payment scale technique leads to more valid WTP values than use of the open-ended approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 79-84 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327425 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327425 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:79-84 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. M. Bates Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Bates Title: Measuring predetermined socioeconomic 'inputs' when assessing the efficiency of educational outputs Abstract: Data envelopment analysis (a mathematical programming technique) has often been applied to measuring the efficiency with which outputs are produced. The technique derives efficient combinations of outputs for given inputs: constant returns to size may be assumed or one may choose to examine whether decreasing or increasing returns hold true. The technique was originally developed with cost data as the inputs, but many of the applications in education have been required to concern themselves with inputs of a social nature, where the inputs are frequently 'categorized'. This paper develops a method for measuring these categorized inputs in a more satisfactory way. A DEA analysis is undertaken of results for the Local Education Authorities of England in the early 1980s, and is followed by a stochastic frontier analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 85-93 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327434 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327434 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:85-93 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tridoyo Kusumastanto Author-X-Name-First: Tridoyo Author-X-Name-Last: Kusumastanto Author-Name: Curtis Jolly Author-X-Name-First: Curtis Author-X-Name-Last: Jolly Title: Demand analysis for fish in Indonesia Abstract: The purpose of this study was to determine an aggregate demand function and the factors influencing the demand for fish in Indonesia during the period 1967-88. Using a Box-Cox transformation methodology, the double-log model was found to be appropriate for explaining the demand for fish. Factors influencing demand were own-price, price of eggs, and per capita income. Results of static analysis showed an own-price of- 0.102, a cross-price elasticity for eggs of 0.271, and an income elasticity of 0.506. A dynamic analysis using a Houthakker-Taylor model indicated that fish consumption depended on psychological food-buying habits of consumers. Short-run and long-run elasticities, resulting from a partial adjustment model, implied that per capita consumption of fish is growing at a slow rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 95-100 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327443 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:95-100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Giordano Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Giordano Title: Returns to scale and market concentration among the largest survivors of deregulation in the US trucking industry Abstract: Application of the survivor technique to the 100 largest less-than-truckload carriers of general commodity freight in the US interstate trucking industry produces estimates of the ranges of increasing, constant, and decreasing returns to scale. From 1981 to 1993, the first thirteen years of deregulation, nearly one-quarter of total group ton-miles hauled is found to have moved into the more efficient size range of constant returns to scale. A gain in long-run technical efficiency is thereby attributed to the Motor Carrier Act of 1980. Moreover, the survivorship data allow estimates of intragroup market concentration for each of the same thirteen post-deregulation years. Concentration purely within this group appears to have remained fairly moderate and stable since 1981, an unsurprising finding given the modest minimum efficient size estimated at about 2 million ton-miles hauled annually. The moderate and stable concentration among the 100 largest is not necessarily incompatible with other research which finds growing overall industry concentration since MCA80. It does, however, imply a lack of market dominance and latent oligopoly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 101-110 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327452 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327452 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:101-110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Sophia Eleftheriou Author-X-Name-First: Sophia Author-X-Name-Last: Eleftheriou Title: The efficient hypothesis and deregulation: the Greek case Abstract: The impact is examined of the 1988 monetary deregulation in Greece on the efficiency of the foreign exchange market. A 'news' model reveals that the deregulation of the monetary system contributed to the presence of an efficient foreign exchange market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 111-117 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327461 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327461 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:111-117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. D. Owen Author-X-Name-First: A. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Owen Author-Name: K. Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Author-Name: J. R. R. Garrido Author-X-Name-First: J. R. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Garrido Title: Price interrelationships in the vegetable and tropical oils market Abstract: The relationship between vegetable and tropical oils prices is investigated utilizing a vector autoregressive approach. Despite the apparent similarities between these oil prices in terms of their general pattern of movement over time, the relationships were not found to be strong enough to label them as 'cointegrated series'. Further analysis indicates that substitution relationships appear to drive price movements in the short run, while market-based structural factors for each of the oils are important elements in the price formation process in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 119-124 Issue: 1 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327470 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327470 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:1:p:119-124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Sawkins Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Sawkins Author-Name: Paul Seaman Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Seaman Author-Name: Hector Williams Author-X-Name-First: Hector Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: Church attendance in Great Britain: An ordered logit approach Abstract: The church attendance decision of individual economic agents is analysed within a Becker-style allocation of time framework. Using an ordered logit model with data derived from the British Household Panel Study (BHPS) separate attendance equations are estimated for males and females. The empirical results, in line with previous North American studies, suggest that labour income variables do account for some of the variation in attendance. In addition, attendance is found to be correlated with factors such as denominational affiliation, educational attainment and intensity of belief. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 125-134 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327209 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:2:p:125-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcello D'Amato Author-X-Name-First: Marcello Author-X-Name-Last: D'Amato Author-Name: Barbara Pistoresi Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Pistoresi Title: Co-movements of OECD growth cycles Abstract: The study is of short-run and long-run co-movements and convergence across 21 OECD real per capita outputs on a sample period spanning 1960 to 1992 using dynamic principal components analysis and coherence analysis. We reject the hypothesis of convergence, but find evidence for long-run growth cycles closely related across countries. In particular, the G5 group exhibits the highest degree of economic integration in the long run. The group of the original members of the Community also exhibits linkages at high and medium frequencies and represents the most homogeneous area in Europe in terms of output dynamics both in the long and short run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 135-144 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327218 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327218 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:2:p:135-144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredrik Carlsen Author-X-Name-First: Fredrik Author-X-Name-Last: Carlsen Title: Counterfiscal policies and partisan politics: evidence from industrialized countries Abstract: According to partisan theories of macroeconomic policy, left-wing parties are more concerned with unemployment while right-wing parties tend to weigh the costs of inflation higher. An implication of partisan theories is that partisan policy differences should depend on the state of the economy, with left-wing governments conducting relatively more expansive policies during recessions. We test whether left-wing governments are more favourably inclined towards countercyclical fiscal policies than their right-wing counterparts using a panel data set of 18 OECD countries from 1980 to 1992. The results are supportive of partisan theories. The structural deficit is significantly higher under left-wing governments when unemployment is high or rising while the ideology of the government party (parties) has no significant impact on the structural deficit when unemployment is low or falling. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 145-151 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327227 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327227 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:2:p:145-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory Amacher Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Amacher Author-Name: Peter Feather Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Feather Title: Testing producer perceptions of jointly beneficial best management practices for improved water quality Abstract: This paper examines producer perceptions of jointly beneficial relationships among best management practices for improved water quality. Identifying producer tendencies to bundle these types of practices may increase adoption and lower the costs of voluntary adoption programmes, particularly those relying on dissemination of information. Unlike previous studies, perceived changes in environmental quality, as well as perceived changes in profits, are used to define jointly beneficial inputs. The econometric model used in the analysis demonstrates that two of the three management practices considered are perceived to be jointly beneficial. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 153-159 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327236 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327236 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:2:p:153-159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Plane Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Plane Title: Privatization and economic growth: an empirical investigation from a sample of developing market economies Abstract: This paper explores the economic determinants of privatization programmes and the macroeconomic impact of this institutional reform on the growth rate of the GDP. A sample of thirty five developing market economies is considered over the 1988-92 period. Probit and Tobit models are used to identify the determinants of successful privatization programmes. Then regressions are run where probabilities (Probit) and expected values (Tobit) are successively included as additional regressors beside the potential influence of other economic policy variables. A significant positive effect is highlighted, giving evidence of the importance of divestiture. The economic effect is found to be stronger when this institutional reform took place in industry or infrastructure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 161-178 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327245 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327245 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:2:p:161-178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Landesmann Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Landesmann Author-Name: M. Pfaffermayr Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Pfaffermayr Title: Technological competition and trade performance Abstract: This paper estimates a demand system for OECD exports differentiated by country of origin for two ISIC industries (non-electrical machinery, electrical machinery) and for total manufacturing exports. It develops a generalized form of the AIDS demand system in which research and development (R&D) effort enters in a number of ways to affect a particular supplier's competitiveness: R&D activity relative to competitors affects, on the one hand, relative cost competitiveness and, on the other hand, the producer's position in the quality spectrum of products offered on international markets. One of the interesting insights gained from the study is that 'effectiveness' of R&D effort can differ much across different economies. It is conjectured that a country's position in an international catching-up process may be partly responsible for such differences as well as labour market dynamics which link increased labour costs to cost- and quality-improvements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 179-196 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327254 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327254 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:2:p:179-196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magda Kandil Author-X-Name-First: Magda Author-X-Name-Last: Kandil Title: What differentiates industrial business cycles? A cross-country investigation Abstract: Theoretical explanations appear in sharp contrast concerning the determinants of demand-driven industrial business cycles. Aggregate factors are likely to differentiate cyclical fluctuations for a given industry across countries. Industry-specific factors are likely to differentiate cyclical fluctuations across industries of a given economy. The differences are evaluated using data for industries producing private domestic output across a group of major industrial countries. Aggregate factors dominate industryspecific factors in explaining industrial cyclical fluctuations in response to aggregate demand shifts. Consistent with the various explanations, higher variability of aggregate demand moderates the response of industrial output to aggregate demand shifts across countries. Contrary to the implications of the new classical imperfect information model, cyclical fluctuations in industrial output appear also smaller in response to higher trend price inflation across countries. Business cycles appear, therefore, to be highly correlated across industries within countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 197-212 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327263 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327263 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:2:p:197-212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subrata Ghatak Author-X-Name-First: Subrata Author-X-Name-Last: Ghatak Author-Name: Chris Milner Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Milner Author-Name: Utku Utkulu Author-X-Name-First: Utku Author-X-Name-Last: Utkulu Title: Exports, export composition and growth : cointegration and causality evidence for Malaysia Abstract: This paper comprehensively tests the export-led growth (ELG) hypothesis for Malaysia for the period 1955 - 90, using cointegration and causality testing based on Hsiao's synthesis of the Granger test and Akaike's minimum final prediction error criterion. The results provide support for the ELG hypothesis; aggregate exports Granger-cause real GDP and non-export GDP. This relationship is found to be driven by manufactured exports rather than by traditional exports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 213-223 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327272 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327272 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:2:p:213-223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oral Williams Author-X-Name-First: Oral Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Author-Name: David Bessler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Title: Cointegration: implications for the market efficiencies of the high fructose corn syrup and refined sugar markets Abstract: The dynamic relationship between the prices of refined sugar and high fructose corn syrup is investigated using cointegration econometrics. The analysis is based on observational data, and although results indicate cointegration between 1984 and 1991 for the most part, alternative explanations for empirical regularities may exist and should be the subject of future research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 225-232 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327281 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327281 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:2:p:225-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Robert Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Robert Author-Name: J. Alexander Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Title: Inflation and economic growth: evidence from a growth equation Abstract: There is little existing empirical evidence on the relationship between inflation and growth, and much of what evidence there is fails to control appropriately for growth in real inputs. The present work uses a small sample of OECD countries for which capital stock and labour force data are available to investigate, in a pooled time series and cross-section fashion, the relationship between inflation and growth. Strong evidence is found contrary to the maintained hypothesis that there should be no association between inflation and real growth. The weight of evidence is that, having appropriately controlled for capital and labour inputs, inflation and its first difference are significantly negatively related to economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 233-238 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327290 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327290 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:2:p:233-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Dickie Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Dickie Author-Name: Charles Delorme Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Delorme Author-Name: Jeffrey Humphreys Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Humphreys Title: Hedonic prices, goods-specific effects and functional form: inferences from cross-section time series data Abstract: Tests for two key elements of the hedonic model of price determination for differentiated goods are proposed when cross-sectional, time series data are available. First, the hedonic hypothesis, that price is determined by sellers' and buyers' valuations of characteristics bundled in a good, is tested against the alternative that consumers demand specific goods. The sensitivity of the outcome of the test to unmeasured characteristics, serial correlation or heteroscedasticity, and misspecification of functional form is assessed. Second, a novel approach to testing functional form illustrates limitations of testing hedonic specifications only against alternatives nested in the Box-Cox functional form. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 239-249 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327308 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327308 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:2:p:239-249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Otto Swank Author-X-Name-First: Otto Author-X-Name-Last: Swank Title: Some evidence on policy makers' motives, macroeconomic performance and output-inflation trade-offs Abstract: This paper presents the results of an empirical study of the relationship between macroeconomic performance and policy makers' preferences for real output growth and inflation based on quarterly data from 16 countries. The empirical results indicate that a lower priority to inflation and a higher real output growth target lead to higher inflation and a less favourable real output-inflation trade-off, without affecting real output growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 251-258 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327317 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327317 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:2:p:251-258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bharati Basu Author-X-Name-First: Bharati Author-X-Name-Last: Basu Title: Advanced consideration of migration and the choice of destination: a joint decision Abstract: This paper fills an important gap in the migration literature by examining the interrelation between advanced consideration of migration and other migration decisions such as the choice of destination. It is shown that advanced consideration of migration via its interaction with some personal and locational factors can affect the destination choice and the potential destination characteristics, on the other hand, can trigger advanced considerations of migration. Furthermore, the results show that incorporation of advanced consideration of migration helps explain the anomalies observed in the literature (e.g., it offsets the negative impact of a high unemployment rate in a region so that migrants would move to a high unemployment area if they can plan ahead and make an effective job search). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 259-268 Issue: 2 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327326 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327326 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:2:p:259-268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. P. Kalirajan Author-X-Name-First: K. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Kalirajan Author-Name: Shiji Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Shiji Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Did the technical efficiency of state enterprises improve with the same speed in all provinces in China? Abstract: The objectives of this study are to examine whether technical efficiency of China's state enterprises improved over time due to the impact of economic reforms and to examine whether the response rates varied significantly across provinces. The results carry strong policy implications for future reforms. The empirical results show that technical efficiency improved significantly due to economic reforms from 1986 to 1989. Shanghai appears to have responded more quickly and consistently to economic reforms than other provinces over the period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 269-277 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327047 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327047 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:269-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Gallet Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Gallet Title: Cyclical fluctuations and coordination in the US steel industry Abstract: The model developed uses a measure of the discrepancy between price and marginal cost to estimate the effects of domestic demand fluctuations on the degree of oligopoly coordination in the US steel industry. Due to the importance of imports, however, domestic demand fluctuations occur whenever market demand and/or import supply shift. Consistent with several recent game-theoretic models, our results show that coordination among US steel producers tends to be weakest when market demand is high and import supply is low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 279-285 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327056 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:279-285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barton Hughes Hamilton Author-X-Name-First: Barton Hughes Author-X-Name-Last: Hamilton Title: Racial discrimination and professional basketball salaries in the 1990s Abstract: Racial differences in professional basketball player salaries are examined to determine whether the 20% premium paid to whites in the mid-1980s has persisted into the 1990s. OLS and tobit regressions indicate no difference between white and black salaries, controlling for player and team characteristics for the 1994 - 95 season. However, censored quantile regressions show substantial racial differences at certain points in the salary distribution. Whites earn less than blacks at the lower end of the distribution, although the difference is not statistically significant, and varies with minutes played. In contrast, whites receive a significant premium (18%) at the upper end of the salary distribution. These findings are consistent with a form of consumer discrimination in which sports fans prefer to see white star players, all else equal. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 287-296 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327065 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:287-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aziz Boussofiane Author-X-Name-First: Aziz Author-X-Name-Last: Boussofiane Author-Name: Stephen Martin Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: David Parker Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Parker Title: The impact on technical efficiency of the UK privatization programme Abstract: The level of technical efficiency in nine organizations privatized in the UK in the 1980s is assessed. Technical efficiency is measured for a number of years before and after privatization using data envelopment analysis. This non-parametric method allows efficiency to be measured without having to specify either the form of the production function or the weights for the different inputs and outputs used. Nevertheless, inputs and outputs have to be specified and some assumption has to be made about production conditions. Consequently, three models are estimated: the first assumes constant returns to scale; the second allows for variable returns; and the third adds environmental variables for technological change and the business cycle to the input/output set. The nine organizations studied yield mixed results. In some cases there is clear evidence of an improvement in technical efficiency; in others there is no discernible impact of ownership on performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 297-310 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327074 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:297-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sophia Dimelis Author-X-Name-First: Sophia Author-X-Name-Last: Dimelis Title: Cyclical and causal relations between real wages and employment in the EU Abstract: This paper analyses and compares the joint behaviour of real wages and employment over the business cycle in the European Union (EU) economies using both annual and quarterly data since 1960. Further investigation of the cointegrating properties and the existence of causal effects in the real wage-employment relation is undertaken by employing appropriate VAR models. The evidence suggests weak procyclical or acyclic behaviour of real wages relative to cyclical employment in the quarterly data and stronger procyclicality in the annual data, thus confirming the Dunlop-Tarshis result for the majority of the EU economies. With a few exceptions no cointegrating relations were detected, while the Granger-causality tests suggest either weak or lack of unidirectional causality. Finally, the sensitivity analysis showed that the filtering method has not much influence on the results, but the choice of deflator may overturn them in certain cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 311-324 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327083 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:311-324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weiren Wang Author-X-Name-First: Weiren Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Semi-parametric estimation of the effect of health on labour force participation of married women Abstract: This paper uses the semi-parametric method for binary choice models developed by Wang and Zhou (1995) to estimate the effect of health on the labour force participation of married women using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (1989 interviewing year). The semi-parametric method is particularly useful if empirical studies involve many explanatory variables and large sample sizes. The estimation results show that the health condition is a good predictor of participation. The results also demonstrate that the easy-to-compute semi-parametric method is practical for empirical studies. Furthermore, the empirical results suggest that both logit and probit estimators may underestimate the effect of wives' health conditions on their labour force participation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 325-329 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327092 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327092 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:325-329 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabelle Piot-Lepetit Author-X-Name-First: Isabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Piot-Lepetit Author-Name: Dominique Vermersch Author-X-Name-First: Dominique Author-X-Name-Last: Vermersch Author-Name: Robert Weaver Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Weaver Title: Agriculture's environmental externalities: DEA evidence for French agriculture Abstract: The existence of persistent technical inefficiency offers the opportunity for a 'free lunch' not typically implied by the neoclassical theory of the firm. When external effects are related to the use of particular inputs, reduction of persistent technically inefficient levels of input use represents a means of reducing external impacts. An important example is found in agriculture where substantial environmental impacts are generated by particular inputs. Within this context, this paper considers the usefulness of data envelopment analysis (DEA) for estimation of potential input reductions and assessment of potential reductions of environmental impacts of agricultural inputs. An application for French cereal production provides estimates that indicate that substantial potential exists for reduction of input use and environmental impacts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 331-338 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327100 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:331-338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gerald Granderson Author-X-Name-First: Gerald Author-X-Name-Last: Granderson Title: Parametric analysis of cost inefficiency and the decomposition of productivity growth for regulated firms Abstract: This paper examines the contributions of technical change, scale economies, regulation, and efficiency on productivity growth in the interstate natural gas pipeline industry. Following Bauer (1990) productivity growth for firms subject to regulation is decomposed into technical change, scale economies, regulation, and efficiency components. The data sample consists of 20 pipeline companies and covers the period 1977 to 1987. Results indicate that scale economies, cost inefficiency, and regulation on average accounted for 64%, 16%, and 4% of productivity growth respectively. Cost efficiency declined over the sample period, most of which can be attributed to technical inefficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 339-348 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327119 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:339-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos Van Ommeren Author-X-Name-First: Jos Author-X-Name-Last: Van Ommeren Author-Name: Giovanni Russo Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Russo Title: Are vacancies difficult to fill? an empirical investigation of the Dutch labour market Abstract: The search behaviour of employers is focused on by developing a model to analyse employers' recruitment behaviour taking into account job seekers' search process. In addition, the causes of anticipated difficulties on firms' recruitment behaviour that may slow down the process of filling vacancies is investigated empirically. To do so, a survey is employed which contains information on the two main problems encountered by Dutch employers during recruitment: namely, an insufficient number of applicants and too many rejections of job offers. High educational and experience requirements are found to cause a low rate of response to the vacancy posted; offers of permanent positions tend to be rejected by job seekers due to disagreements on the level of works offered. Further, the condition of the supply side of the labour market strongly influences employers' recruitment behaviour, as employers increase their search intensity whenever problems are anticipated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 349-357 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327128 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:349-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kon Lai Author-X-Name-First: Kon Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: Is the real interest rate unstable? Some new evidence Abstract: Prior studies typically report that real Treasury bill returns have a unit root. The unit-root findings are not consistent with the long-run Fisher effect and consumptionbased asset pricing models. This study examines a data set of ex ante real returns on US Treasury bills and commercial papers. The statistical analysis employs a new modified Dickey-Fuller test, whc has better power than standard unit-root tests. In contrast to previous findings, strong evidence of stationarity is found for all the real return series under examination. Implications of the results are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 359-364 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327137 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:359-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Sumner Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Sumner Title: More on output expectations in manufacturing Abstract: Two misspecifications in a recent study of CBI survey data are corrected; and the relationship between firms' expectations of output change and their subsequent perception of the same change ex post, and the utility of output expectations in forecasting, are examined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 365-369 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327146 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:365-369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Chletsos Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Chletsos Author-Name: Christos Kollias Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Kollias Title: Testing Wagner's law using disaggregated public expenditure data in the case of Greece: 1958-93 Abstract: The factors that have influenced the growth of public expenditures have been the subject of extensive theoretical and empirical research. The validity of Wagner's law in the case of Greece is tested using disaggregated public expenditure data for the period 1958-93. The methodology employed is that of cointegration and the related notion of error correction. Results reported here suggest that in the case of Greece only the growth of defence expenditure may be explained in terms of Wagner's law. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 371-377 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327155 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327155 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:371-377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subal Kumbhakar Author-X-Name-First: Subal Author-X-Name-Last: Kumbhakar Title: Efficiency estimation with heteroscedasticity in a panel data model Abstract: This paper deals with the estimation of efficiency in a panel data framework. A oneway error component model (ECM) is generalized to accommodate firm-specific variances for the inefficiency component. A multi-step procedure is developed to estimate the cost function and predict increase in cost due to inefficiency. The model is applied to examine efficiency of ten major investor owned electric utilities in Texas during 1966-1985. The production technology is represented by a translog cost function that is assumed to be the same for every utility (except for heterogeneous intercepts), but it is allowed to shift over time due to technical change. The data supports the ECM with firm-specific variances and rejects the homoscedastic ECM. Cost inefficiency is found to vary substantially across utilities ranging from 0 to 28%. Technical change is found to be quite small (less than ± 1%), especially during 1971-1985. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 379-386 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327164 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327164 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:379-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ian Rongve Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Rongve Title: Statistical inference for poverty indices with fixed poverty lines Abstract: The consistency and asymptotic normality of estimators for two classes of poverty indices, decomposable indices, and Sen-like indices is demonstrated. Asymptotic variance expressions are obtained that allow for easy distribution-free statistical inference on the resulting estimates. An empirical example using Canadian microdata demonstrates the feasibility and usefulness of the techniques. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 387-392 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327173 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:387-392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Whynes Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Whynes Author-Name: Darrin Baines Author-X-Name-First: Darrin Author-X-Name-Last: Baines Author-Name: Keith Tolley Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Tolley Title: Prescribing costs in UK general practice: the impact of hard budget constraints Abstract: The development of an internal market in UK public sector health care has introduced hard budget constraints for those general practitioner purchasers who elect to hold their own budgets or 'funds'. Prescription medicines constitute an element of the fundholder's budget and a theoretical model is developed to explain how hardening constraints might be expected to impact upon prescribing decisions. The model is based on a trade-off between prescribing and budget surplus and it predicts, inter alia, that both the prescribing costs and volume of medicines prescribed by fundholders will be lower than for non-fundholders. A reduction in X-inefficiency is also predicted, manifested as a higher rate of generic prescribing and the use of computerized prescribing management. The model is found to be consistent with the observed facts in one English health authority (Lincolnshire). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 393-399 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327182 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:393-399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdur Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Abdur Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: The financial structure and the demand for money in Thailand Abstract: This paper uses recently developed econometric techniques to investigate the demand for money in Thailand. Initial estimates show the absence of any long-term, unique relationship among a monetary aggregate (M1 or M2), an income and a price variable. However, the introduction of an exchange rate in the above relationship shows the presence of a cointegrating relationship. This provides some support to McKinnon's hypothesis of currency substitution. It also raises some concern about the closed-economy focus of earlier studies on money demand in Thailand. Addition of a foreign interest variable to the above models provide some support to the capital mobility hypothesis. The long-run elasticity estimates for the M1 equation raise some doubts about the desirability of using this monetary aggregate as an intermediate target by the Bank of Thailand. The null hypothesis of a unit income elasticity and zero foreign interest elasticity are not rejected, but the hypothesis of price homogeneity is rejected. Moreover, the short-term forecasts of M1 are biased. On the other hand, the long-run elasticities for the M2 equation are within the expected range while the equation itself exhibits structural stability during the sample period and provides unbiased forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 401-409 Issue: 3 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327191 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327191 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:3:p:401-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gwendolyn Morrison Author-X-Name-First: Gwendolyn Author-X-Name-Last: Morrison Title: Willingness to pay and willingness to accept: some evidence of an endowment effect Abstract: The source of the disparity between willingness to pay (WTP) and willingness to accept (WTA) measures of value has been the subject of recent debate in the literature. This paper presents the results of a pilot experiment designed to test whether, contrary to the findings of Shogren et al. (1994), the endowment effect might be a significant source of the WTP/WTA divergence. The results are a direct contradiction of what the substitutability argument would predict and, thus, indicate that the endowment effect cannot yet be dismissed as a possible driving force behind the disparity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 411-417 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326903 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326903 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:411-417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitris Hatzinikolaou Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Hatzinikolaou Title: Does government growth reduce precautionary saving? Abstract: The paper extends the constant-relative-risk-aversion model by endogenizing the Arrow-Pratt coefficient of relative risk aversion. The empirical application treats this coefficient as a linear function of the rate of growth of real government expenditure per worker and estimates a Euler equation for consumption using Greek annual aggregate data for the period 1960-1993. The results support the view that government growth may cause a typical consumer to become less risk averse and save less. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 419-423 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326912 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326912 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:419-423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leo Kahane Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: Kahane Author-Name: Stephen Shmanske Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Shmanske Title: Team roster turnover and attendance in major league baseball Abstract: Empirical support is shown for the propositionthat sports fans prefer the composition of their home team to remain the same from season to season. Controlling for price, income, population, team quality, league, year, the stadium effects, the regression results indicate that for each percentage point increase in the turnover of the composition of the team, attendance will fall by about 0.7%. The implications of this heretofore ignored tendency are briefly discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 425-431 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326921 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326921 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:425-431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manolis Kavussanos Author-X-Name-First: Manolis Author-X-Name-Last: Kavussanos Title: The dynamics of time-varying volatilities in different size second-hand ship prices of the dry-cargo sector Abstract: This paper examines the dynamics of conditional volatilities in the world dry-bulk market for second-hand ships. In particular, it models and compares volatility estimates between different size vessels using monthly data. The recently developed class of autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) models are utilized for this purpose. It is found that broadly speaking prices of small vessels are less volatile than larger ones, and the nature of these volatilities vary across sizes. Panamax volatilities are mostly driven by old 'news', while new shocks are more important for Handysize and Capesize volatilities. Furthermore, conditional volatilities of Handysize and Panamax prices are positively related to interest rates and Capesize to time-charters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 433-443 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326930 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326930 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:433-443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Gould Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Gould Title: Consumer promotion and purchase timing: the case of cheese Abstract: The dynamics of cheese purchases is analysed by estimating a series of econometric models of duration based on a 170 week household panel. Besides purchase quantity and price data, information with respect to coupon use and household demographic characteristics are used in a variety of models which build upon each other in terms of assumed distribution of interpurchase time, effect of previous purchases, role of demographic characteristics and effect of unobserved interpurchase time heterogeneity. Likelihoodratio tests clearly reject the null hypothesis that coupon use has no impact on cheese purchase timing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 445-457 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326949 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326949 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:445-457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atanu Saha Author-X-Name-First: Atanu Author-X-Name-Last: Saha Author-Name: Arthur Havenner Author-X-Name-First: Arthur Author-X-Name-Last: Havenner Author-Name: Hovav Talpaz Author-X-Name-First: Hovav Author-X-Name-Last: Talpaz Title: Stochastic production function estimation: small sample properties of ML versus FGLS Abstract: Just-Pope production functions have been traditionally estimated by feasible generalized least squares (FGLS). This paper investigates the small-sample properties of FGLS and maximum likelihood (ML) estimators in heteroscedastic error models. Monte Carlo experiment results show that in small samples, even when the error distribution departs significantly from normality, the ML estimator is more efficient and suffers from less bias than FGLS. Importantly, FGLS was found to seriously understate the risk effects of inputs and provide biased marginal product estimates. These results are explained by showing that the FGLS criteria being optimized at the multiple stages are not logically consistent. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 459-469 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326958 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326958 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:459-469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Ayuso Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Ayuso Author-Name: Maria Perez-Jurado Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Jurado Title: Devaluations and depreciation expectations in the EMS Abstract: This paper proposes a method to estimate separately the size of the expected depreciation in an eventual devaluation of the central parity in the ERM, and the probability assigned by agents to this devaluation occurring in the short run. The proposed method complements the information provided by the jumps observed in market exchange rates around realignments with the information contained in interest rate differentials on the future behaviour of exchange rates. The separation of probability and size allows a richer analysis of the effects of devaluations on exchange rate credibility in the ERM. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 471-484 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326967 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326967 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:471-484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oluwole Owoye Author-X-Name-First: Oluwole Author-X-Name-Last: Owoye Title: Income velocity and the variability of money growth: evidence from less developed countries Abstract: This paper examines whether the variability of money growth caused changes in income velocity of money in 30 less developed countries. Time-series data show year-to-year variations in income velocity of money in these countries for the 1961-1990 period. Empirical results based on causality but complemented by variance decomposition tests show that money growth is the most important determinant in explaining the variability in income velocity in at least 20 of the 30 developing countries examined in this study. In addition, the causality results show that inflation rate Granger-causes income velocity of money in 21 countries, but the variance decomposition results show inflation rate to be relatively more important in explaining the variability of velocity in eight countries. Similarly, while real income Granger-causes velocity of money in 18 countries, the results of the variance decomposition tests show real income to be relatively more important as a determinant of income velocity in two countries. Overall, these results show that the Grangercausality as a test of predictability does not show the effects of shocks to one variable on another, but the variance decomposition test provides evidence with respect to the effects of shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 485-496 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326976 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326976 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:485-496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christine Huttin Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Huttin Title: Income distribution and consumer demand for health services. The case of prescribed medicines in the USA Abstract: The relationship between pharmaceutical expenditures and income is analysed for a sample of 7981 patients, insured with a private plan extracted from the American National Medical Expenditures Survey. The influence of factors such as health status, characteristics of group versus nongroup health plans and job stability profile on the income effect in the use of prescribed medicine is investigated. It is found that the effect of income on pharmaceutical consumption is negative. Probably clinical and epidemiological factors as well as economic factors are taken into account in a measure such as income; different income groups reflect therefore different patterns of use of pharmaceutical services. The income effect is larger in the case of group plans than nongroup plans. For patients with a poor health status, the positive effect of health insurance on the remaining disposable income seems to lead to positive income effect on pharmaceutical use. Finally a positive income effect on drug use is observed for patients currently employed, who were laid off during the period of the survey, but were confident of acquiring a job. So either positive or negative signs between pharmaceutical use and income were observed for groups of patients with different health status, job stability or type of health plans. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 497-503 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326985 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326985 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:497-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Miller Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Author-Name: Athanasios Noulas Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Noulas Title: Portfolio mix and large-bank profitability in the USA Abstract: The US banking system has just emerged from a troublesome period with many institutions struggling for survival. We examine large commercial banks during the latter part of the 1980s to determine what factors affected bank profitability, using both cross-section and pooled time-series cross-section regressions. Our conclusions are that large banks experienced poor performance because of a declining quality of the loan portfolio. Real estate loans generally have a negative effect on large bank profitability, although not at high levels of significance; construction and land development loans, the exception, have a strong positive effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 505-512 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326994 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:505-512 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Daniel Rich Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Rich Title: On the adoption of new technologies Abstract: We investigate the incentives of private firms to adopt new technologies. Econometric investigation is performed on a pooled sample of individual US airline firms over the period 1971 to 1986 for which extensive information on available jet aircraft technology and fleet choice have been recorded. Given the incidence of successive commercial aircraft innovations and variation in production attributes across firms, we are able to consider a wider array of 'time-dependent' and 'time-independent' adoption influences than in previous firm-level studies. To the extent that our study provides useful general insights into adoption decisions by firms, the results have implications for US global competitiveness policy. One key finding is that firms subject to increased product market competition exhibit a higher propensity to adopt technological innovations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 513-518 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327001 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:513-518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arjun Bedi Author-X-Name-First: Arjun Author-X-Name-Last: Bedi Author-Name: Noel Gaston Author-X-Name-First: Noel Author-X-Name-Last: Gaston Title: Returns to endogenous education: the case of Honduras Abstract: The rapid expansion of the education sector in developing countries and the scarcity of public funds have increased the need for an accurate evaluation of educational policies. Estimates of rates of return to education have often been used as an integral part of cost-benefit studies and programme evaluation efforts. This study uses household survey data from Honduras for 1990 to estimate returns to education that allow for worker heterogeneity and individual self-selection in the education process. A sequential estimation procedure is used that enables study of the interaction between educational attainment and earnings determination. It is found that accounting for endogenous educational attainment leads to substantially higher estimated returns to education (compared to traditional least squares estimates). The possible magnitude of the bias underscores the importance of recognizing the role of self-selection and comparative advantage in the education process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 519-528 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327010 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:519-528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mukhtar Ali Author-X-Name-First: Mukhtar Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Author-Name: Richard Thalheimer Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Thalheimer Title: Transportation costs and product demand: wagering on parimutuel horse racing Abstract: Parimutuel horse-race wagering is in many respects like any other economic good but it differs in one important way from a vast majority of them. Given the present market arrangement, this good cannot be transported to the consumer; instead the consumer must travel to the production site where the good is consumed as it is produced. Thus, transportation costs must play a crucial role in the demand decision for horse-race wagering. The consumers incur not only out-of-pocket expenses for travelling but also the cost of the time required to travel to and to consume the product. Moreover, consumers incur differential costs in obtaining the same product because of their locational differences. Wagering demands are theorized to be the consequence of the choice of utility maximizing consumers which incorporates this special characteristic of the product. Models for parimutuel horse-race wagering are then estimated both for thoroughbred and for harness horse racing in the state of New Jersey. It is found that both harness and thoroughbred horse-race wagering are sensitive to travelling costs and both can be increased by reducing the costs per visit to wagering sites. These costs can be lowered by reducing the travelling distance of the consumers to the wagering sites. This can be achieved by increasing the number of racing days or by simply reallocating a given number of racing days among different locations. It can also be achieved by increasing the number of wagering sites and locating them strategically. It is interesting to see that travelling distance declines non-linearly as the number of racing days and/or the number of sites is increased and the decline is insignificant as the number of racing days and/or the number of sites is increased beyond a saturation point. The unique construction of travelling costs allows investigation of wagering impacts of an introduction of a new wagering site or an elimination of an existing one. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 529-542 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327029 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:529-542 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. I. Ansari Author-X-Name-First: M. I. Author-X-Name-Last: Ansari Author-Name: D. V. Gordon Author-X-Name-First: D. V. Author-X-Name-Last: Gordon Author-Name: C. Akuamoah Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Akuamoah Title: Keynes versus Wagner: public expenditure and national income for three African countries Abstract: The public expenditure/income hypothesis has long been debated in economics. Following Keynes, public expenditure is seen as an exogenous factor to be used as a policy instrument to influence growth. On the other hand, Wagner argues that expenditure is an endogenous factor or an outcome, not a cause, of growth in national income. The purpose of this paper is to apply both the Granger and Holmes-Hutton statistical procedures to test the income-expenditure hypothesis for three African countries-Ghana, Kenya and South Africa. We find that the hypothesis of public expenditure causing national income is not supported by the data for these African countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 543-550 Issue: 4 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497327038 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497327038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:4:p:543-550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Regina Riphahn Author-X-Name-First: Regina Author-X-Name-Last: Riphahn Title: Disability retirement and unemployment - substitute pathways for labour force exit? An empirical test for the case of Germany Abstract: This paper studies the determinants of disability retirement and unemployment of older workers, two labour market phenomena which the German public discussion combines under the label of early retirement. The implicit assumption that these two mechanisms are exchangeable pathways into permanent retirement is tested. Using panel data the transition rates from employment into disability retirement and into unemploymentare estimated and compared. Statistical tests reject the hypothesis that disability retirement and unemployment are substitutes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 551-561 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326769 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326769 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:5:p:551-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Verughese Jacob Author-X-Name-First: Verughese Author-X-Name-Last: Jacob Author-Name: Subhash Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Subhash Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Richard Grabowski Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Grabowski Title: Capital stock estimates for major sectors and disaggregated manufacturing in selected OECD countries Abstract: Different countries use different methods of estimating net capital stock at the aggregated as well as at the disaggregated levels. While analysing cross-country data, for consistency it is important that capital stock series be estimated by the same method across all the countries in the model. Out of this necessity, this paper produces consistent (in the sense that the same method is used across all countries) estimates of yearly net capital stock from 1970 to 1992 for selected major sectors and disaggregated manufacturing sectors in 15 OECD countries, namely: Australia, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Iceland, Italy, Japan, Luxembourg, Norway, Sweden, United Kingdom and the United States. The major sectors considered are: agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing; communications; construction; finance, insurance and real estate; government service providers; mining and quarrying; retail, wholesale and hospitality industry; transportation and storage, and total manufacturing. The disaggregated sectors considered are: food industries, beverage and tobacco; textile, apparel and leather; wood products and furniture; paper, printing and publishing; chemical products; non-metallic mineral products; basic metal industries; fabricated metal products, and other manufacturing sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 563-579 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326778 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:5:p:563-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarah Brown Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: John Sessions Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Sessions Title: Housing, privatization and the 'Right to Buy' Abstract: This paper proffers the first formal econometric analysis into the privatization of public housing under the Conservative Government's 'Right to Buy' (RTB) legislation. Results reveal that both actual and prospective RTB beneficiaries exhibit significantly different demographic and attitudinal characteristics from other owneroccupiers and council tenants. Given the close links between housing tenure and labour mobility, a closer analysis of these differences would be informative in any analysis of the RTB scheme, and in any future review of housing policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 581-590 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326787 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326787 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:5:p:581-590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lucio Sarno Author-X-Name-First: Lucio Author-X-Name-Last: Sarno Title: Policy convergence, the exchange rate mechanism and the misalignment of exchange rates. Some tests of purchasing power parity and generalized purchasing power parity Abstract: The paper focuses on the convergence issues and the long-run credibility of the European Monetary System (EMS), and, more specifically, on the evaluation of the effectiveness of the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) in generating a stabilizing effect on real exchange rates across member countries. For this purpose, we execute some tests of long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) for an ERM group and a non-ERM group of countries using both the Engle and Granger procedure and the more powerful Johansen cointegration technique. We also execute a test of Generalized PPP, exploiting an idea developed by Enders and Hurn. Testing for PPP in a multicountry setting may be a useful methodology to identify the optimal currency area suggested by the data generation process, on the basis of the reported homogeneity of real exchange rate behaviour of the countries considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 591-605 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326796 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:5:p:591-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. Alejandro Villagomez Author-X-Name-First: F. Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Villagomez Title: Private saving, interest rates and liquidity constraints in LDCs: recent evidence Abstract: There is still considerable controversy about the interest rate responsiveness of private saving in developing countries. This paper provides recent evidence based on individual country estimations for a sample of 16 countries. The model used here follows the 'uler equation approach' and includes rational and forward-looking permanent income consumers together with liquidity-constrained consumers. Overall, for this sample of countries the results obtained in this paper offer new evidence of a low responsiveness of saving to changes in the interest rate. My results also support a strong role of liquidity constraints in these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 607-615 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326804 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:5:p:607-615 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Marlow Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Marlow Title: Public education supply and student performance Abstract: This paper develops a model of public exchange whereby voters and education policy makers exchange with one another within school districts. Because school district consolidation lowers alternatives to voters-parents, consolidation is hypothesized to raise public education spending because weakened intergovernmental competition allows policy makers to promote their own utility, rather than that of constituents. Models of public education spending and academic performance are estimated over 1988-1990. While evidence indicates little support for the traditional treatment of the Leviathan hypothesis that greater competition lowers public spending, this paper argues that education spending by itself does not fully provide a valid test of the Leviathan hypothesis since spending, by itself, does not necessarily indicate the quality of public education programmes. Empirical evidence indicates that greater numbers of schools and school districts promote higher student achievement as evidenced by higher math and verbal SAT scores, math proficiency of 8th graders, and lower high school drop-out rates. Evidence therefore suggests that, while greater numbers of school districts and schools are, to some degree, associated with higher public education spending, higher student achievement appears to follow as well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 617-626 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326813 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:5:p:617-626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stilianos Fountas Author-X-Name-First: Stilianos Author-X-Name-Last: Fountas Author-Name: Agapitos Papagapitos Author-X-Name-First: Agapitos Author-X-Name-Last: Papagapitos Title: Policy credibility in the ERM: evidence from six countries using an ARCH approach Abstract: The issue of credibility and capital mobility in the EMS is re-examined using an alternative methodology, as well as a longer sample period than previous studies. In particular, the dynamic relationship between interest rate differentials and the exchange rate risk premium is emphasized. The relationship between the premium and credibility is then used in order to identify patterns of credibility in ERM countries. Credibility in the case of Italy has declined post-1985, as indicated by the rising exchange rate risk premium. For Denmark, France and Ireland, credibility seems to be increasing up to the currency crisis period and for Belgium and Holland credibility increased early in the period and remained high during the rest of the period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 627-637 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326822 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:5:p:627-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Omer Gokcekus Author-X-Name-First: Omer Author-X-Name-Last: Gokcekus Title: Trade liberalization and productivity growth: new evidence from the Turkish rubber industry Abstract: This paper empirically examines the effects of a change in foreign trade regime on productivity growth. Based on a Generalized Leontief factor demand function system, total factor productivity growth (TFPG) rates are calculated for the Turkish rubber industry during a substantial trade liberalization in the 1980s: TFPG was significantly higher following trade liberalization. Technological change was the major contributor to this growth. When a panel data estimation technique is used to explain technological change, the effects of trade liberalization become clearer: a one percentage point increase in the protection level led to more than a one percentage point (1.27) decline in the technological change rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 639-645 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326831 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:5:p:639-645 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Hudson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Title: Company bankruptcies and births matter Abstract: This paper constructs a simple supply orientated model of the economy in which company bankruptcies which lead to a loss of capital and births have impacts on macroeconomic variables. Bankruptcies will reduce output, increase unemployment, worsen the balance of payments and also impact upon inflation. Empirical work based on data from both the USA and the UK finds a significant Granger causality relationship between bankruptcies and births and these four macroeconomic variables. The standard Granger causality regression is supplemented by non-linear Granger causality tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 647-654 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326840 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:5:p:647-654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkki Koskela Author-X-Name-First: Erkki Author-X-Name-Last: Koskela Author-Name: Matti Viren Author-X-Name-First: Matti Author-X-Name-Last: Viren Title: An occupational choice model of crime switching Abstract: A quasi-linear, additively separable utility function is used to describe preferences between consumption and leisure and analyse occupational choice between one non-criminal and two criminal activities when individuals are heterogeneous in terms of their productivity. Occupational specialization takes place at the individual level according to their relative productivity in various activities. The aggregate amount of criminal activity features crime switching; the criminal activity depends negatively on its probability of detection, its penalty rate if caught and on the rate of return from alternative criminal activity and positively on the probability of detection and penalty rate of alternative criminal activity. Some empirical evidence from Finland about auto thefts and robberies lies in conformity with crime-switching hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 655-660 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326859 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:5:p:655-660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Author-Name: Muhammad Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Author-Name: Daryl Burckel Author-X-Name-First: Daryl Author-X-Name-Last: Burckel Title: Dynamics of the yen-dollar real exchange rate and the US-Japan real trade balance Abstract: This paper employs cointegration and error correction models to examine the dynamics of the yen-dollar real exchange rate and the US-Japan real trade balance. It uses quarterly data from 1973.I-1993.IV. The unit root tests reveal non-stationarity in both the variables. The ADF test fails to affirm any long-run association between the yen-dollar real exchange rate and the US-Japan real trade balance. Also, there is evidence of bidirectional short-run Granger causality between these two variables with mutual feedbacks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 661-664 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326868 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:5:p:661-664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Persistence of dynamic efficiency in Farrell models Abstract: This article focuses on productivity transitions from low to high levels of efficiency over time in the framework of the Farrell efficiency model. This transition probability approach is applied in two empirical applications in order to test the persistence of Farrell efficiency over time. The first application involves the efficiency comparisons in the public sector, while the second in the private sector. Both applications appear to exhibit a high degree of efficiency persistence over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 665-671 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326877 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326877 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:5:p:665-671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giorgio Bodo Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Author-X-Name-Last: Bodo Author-Name: Andrea Cividini Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Cividini Title: Improved estimates of preliminary industrial production data Abstract: This study compares Italy's preliminary industrial production index with the final data and with the performance of alternative forecasts. It also presents a methodology for providing more accurate estimates of the index than the original official data. The improvement in accuracy and bias is obtained using the information contained in the two time series themselves. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 673-681 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326886 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:5:p:673-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The cyclical behaviour of prices: G-7 versus non-G7 countries Abstract: The cyclical behaviour of prices and inflation is investigated for G-7 and seven non-G7 countries for the postwar period. The quarterly prices are shown to be clearly countercyclical in the G-7 countries, while they are much less so in the non-G7 countries. Inflation is shown to move procyclically and this is more clearly pronounced in the G-7 than non-G7 countries. This discrepancy in results may result from the demand-management policies that these non-G7 countries have adopted in the past and this cautions the students of business cycles to pay attention to the peculiarities of each economy when modelling the business cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 683-691 Issue: 5 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326895 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:5:p:683-691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yousif Khalifa Al-Yousif Author-X-Name-First: Yousif Khalifa Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Yousif Title: Exports and economic growth:some empirical evidence from the Arab Gulf countries Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between exports and economic growth in four of the Arab Gulf countries, namely, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, UAE, and Oman for the period 1973-93. The estimates presented indicate a positive and significant relation between the two variables. Also, the statistical adequacy of the models used is supported by the following diagnostic tests. The Bruesch-Godfrey statistic suggests the absence of serial correlation. The Farely-Hinich test fails to reject the null hypothesis that the models are structurally stable. And both the White and Hausman specification tests show that the models are correctly specified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 693-697 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326624 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326624 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:6:p:693-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikos Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nikos Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: John Papanastasiou Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Papanastasiou Author-Name: Kostas Velentzas Author-X-Name-First: Kostas Author-X-Name-Last: Velentzas Title: The credibility of policy announcements: Greek evidence Abstract: This paper by using error correction (EC) methodology, along with Chow stability tests, examines whether three cases of policy announcements in Greece, over the 1975-1995 period, have been considered credible or not by the public. Focusing on the Phillips curve trade-off, the empirical findings reveal that two out of three policy announcements are characterized as credible by private agents. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 699-705 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326633 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:6:p:699-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kathleen Day Author-X-Name-First: Kathleen Author-X-Name-Last: Day Author-Name: Rose Anne Devlin Author-X-Name-First: Rose Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Devlin Title: Can volunteer work help explain the male-female earnings gap? Abstract: Using the 1987 Survey of Volunteer Activity in Canada, we examine whether differential returns to volunteer work in the paid labour market can explain part of the male-female earnings gap. Male volunteers earn, on average, about 11% higher incomes than their non-volunteering counterparts as a result of their volunteer experience, whereas comparable female volunteers and non-volunteers earn similar incomes. This differential return across the sexes may be partially explained by the type of volunteer activity undertaken. Our results indicate that as much as one third of the male-female earnings gap may be attributable to the fact that the labour market rewards male and female volunteers differently. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 707-721 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326642 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:6:p:707-721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lourdes Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Lourdes Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno Title: The determinants of Spanish industrial exports to the European Union Abstract: This paper investigates the determinants of trends in Spain's industrial exports to the other European Union countries by using a sectoral panel data approach. The results show that price elasticities of export demand differ widely among sectors. They also provide support to the idea that non-price factors have a significant influence on international competitiveness. In particular they show that technological and advertising effort have a significant effect not only on the evolution of exports but also on price elasticity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 723-732 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326651 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326651 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:6:p:723-732 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Namkee Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Namkee Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Author-Name: Sara La De Rica Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: La De Rica Title: The underground economy in Spain: an alternative to unemployment? Abstract: This paper analyses the factors which determine whether an individual works in the formal sector, in the informal sector, or remains unemployed in the Spanish labour market. We highlight the implications of high unemployment on an individual's decision to work in the underground economy. We postulate that an individual decides (or is chosen) whether to work in the formal sector or not in a first stage and, if not, in a second stage decides whether to work in the underground sector or to remain unemployed. We estimate a bivariate probit model which controls for selectivity bias in the second stage. The result indicates on the one hand, that heads of household, who benefit more from social security provisions obtained in formal sector jobs, are more likely to work in such sector than others. Besides, demand restrictions seem to operate as well-individuals with higher education have easier access to the formal sector. On the other hand, among those who do not work in the formal sector, the probability of working in the informal sector relative to being unemployed is higher among those whose head of household works. For females, the probability of staying unemployed (relative to working in the informal sector) increases with education, suggesting that highly educated women prefer to search for a formal sector job rather than to work in the underground economy. We also examine the job search behaviour among the informal sector workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 733-743 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326660 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326660 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:6:p:733-743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eirik Amundsen Author-X-Name-First: Eirik Author-X-Name-Last: Amundsen Author-Name: Sigve Tjotta Author-X-Name-First: Sigve Author-X-Name-Last: Tjotta Title: Trade and price variation in an integrated European power market Abstract: This paper examines the potential gains in terms of increased social surplus from integrating the power markets in Europe and assesses the scope for free seasonal and diurnal trade in a setting of Third Party Access (TPA). We construct an equilibrium model at the level of the wholesale markets, taking account of the existing power generating infrastructure (of varying flexibility) as well as the existing transmission network interconnecting the countries involved. The model indicates an overall gain from integrating the power markets. Electricity prices are substantially reduced for all regions involved, thus implying a significant redistribution of income from producers to consumers. Trade flourishes with regions establishing themselves as either pure exporters, pure importers or as intermediaries acting as transit countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 745-757 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326679 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:6:p:745-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raymond Hartman Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Hartman Author-Name: David Wheeler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Wheeler Author-Name: Manjula Singh Author-X-Name-First: Manjula Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: The cost of air pollution abatement Abstract: Data on 100 000 US factories is used to develop comprehensive abatement cost estimates by industry sector for seven major air pollutants. The results reveal very high intersectoral variances in marginal and average abatement costs: maximum/ minimum ratios are frequently near 10, and occasionally near 100. The implications of these new estimates are discussed for three policy issues: (1) the relative accuracy of forecasts from econometric and engineering projections for environmental policy analysis; (2) the cost of command-and-control regulation of air pollution in the US; and (3) the use of benefit-cost analysis for setting air pollution control priorities in developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 759-774 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326688 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326688 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:6:p:759-774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leigh Drake Author-X-Name-First: Leigh Author-X-Name-Last: Drake Author-Name: Andy Mullineux Author-X-Name-First: Andy Author-X-Name-Last: Mullineux Author-Name: Juda Agung Author-X-Name-First: Juda Author-X-Name-Last: Agung Title: One Divisia money for Europe? Abstract: In 1992 the EU monetary authorities adopted a 'harmonized' broad money aggregate. The EMI was subsequently established to promote monetary policy coordination. This paper considers how broad money aggregates might be used to guide EU monetary policy and whether a 'Euro-Divisia' monetary index might provide a better guide than a 'Euro-simple-sum' aggregate. Our findings are based on data from the UK, France and Germany. They indicate that 'Euromoney' Granger-causes 'Europrices' and that the EuroDivisia monetary index is a better leading indicator of 'Euroinflation' than the Euro-simple-sum monetary aggregate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 775-786 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326697 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:6:p:775-786 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Selahattin Dibooglu Author-X-Name-First: Selahattin Author-X-Name-Last: Dibooglu Title: Accounting for US current account deficits: an empirical investigation Abstract: The sources of US current account deficits are investigated using a number of macroeconomic variables and a vector error correction model. The variables are those typically emphasized by the traditional income - expenditure approach and the intertemporal (Ricardian) approach. The results indicate that macroeconomic variables explain the current account reasonably well, and the evidence seems to support the traditional approach where budget deficits and increases in real interest rates and terms of trade are associated with current account deficits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 787-793 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326705 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326705 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:6:p:787-793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Labeaga Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Labeaga Author-Name: Angel Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Angel Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Title: A study of petrol consumption using Spanish panel data Abstract: Methods are proposed for the estimation of equations for consumption categories subject to non-participation and other types of censoring using an unbalanced panel data set on petrol expenditures from the Spanish Continuous Family Expenditure Survey. The use of panel data allows one to deal with two issues that pose econometric problems when dealing with individual budget data. On one hand, unobserved time invariant heterogeneity is controlled for. On the other hand, the problem of censoring in the dependent variable is addressed and the measurement error induced by infrequent purchases is corrected. Results suggest the use of probabilities of purchase estimated from the temporal pattern of expenditure records in order to carry out this correction. The estimated demand system is subsequently used to simulate the effects of changes in the taxation of petrol. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 795-802 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326714 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326714 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:6:p:795-802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarna Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Swarna Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Author-Name: Dipak Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Dipak Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Are experts' expectations rational? A multicurrency analysis Abstract: Is the exchange rate expectation formation process rational? This age old question is looked at with survey data on exchange rate expectations at multiple forecast horizons. This helps to circumvent the risk premium issue and isolate the exchange rate expectational rationality factor. The econometric procedure used is the Phillips-Hansen fully modified ordinary least squares test. This allows one to conduct an unrestricted cointegration analysis and also differentiate between strong and weak forms of rationality. To do this separate tests are made of the bivariate (two currencies) and the multivariate (multicurrency) systems approach. Rationality in the exchange rate expectation formation process is not upheld in either the weak or strong form test, at any forecast horizon. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 803-812 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326723 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326723 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:6:p:803-812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francis Ahking Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: Ahking Title: Testing long-run purchasing power parity with a Bayesian unit root approach: the experience of Canada in the 1950s Abstract: A test is made for long-run purchasing power parity with Canadian monthly and quarterly data from the 1950s using a Bayesian unit-root test discussed by Koop, but first suggested by Zellner and Siow. Results show that the hypothesis that the real exchange rate is a stationary process receives relatively low posterior probability. Put differently, the probability is low that the nominal exchange rate and the national price levels have a stable long-run relationship. Furthermore, it is also found that there are structural differences between the sample period from October 1950 to May 1962 and the sample period from January 1952 to November 1960. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 813-819 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326732 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:6:p:813-819 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Duane Rockerbie Author-X-Name-First: Duane Author-X-Name-Last: Rockerbie Title: Are consumers Ricardian when some are liquidity constrained? Evidence for the United States Abstract: This paper formulates and estimates a revised specification of Evans' (1988) test for Ricardian equivalence which incorporates the possible presence of liquidity constrained consumers. If liquidity constrained consumers are significant in number, tests using aggregate consumption data may tend to reject the Ricardian equivalence hypothesis when the model allows for liquidity constraints. A test which incorporated liquidity constrained consumers could not reject Ricardian equivalence over the sample period 1946-91. While the proportion of aggregate consumption which is liquidity constrained is found to be significant, it does not appear large enough to affect the test for Ricardian equivalence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 821-827 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326741 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326741 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:6:p:821-827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mario Fortin Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Fortin Author-Name: Abdelkrim Araar Author-X-Name-First: Abdelkrim Author-X-Name-Last: Araar Title: Sectoral shifts, stock market dispersion and unemployment in Canada Abstract: Considerable attention has been given in the last ten years to estimation of the importance of sectoral shifts in explaining short-term fluctuations in unemployment. Recent studies have used US stock prices data to develop indexes of sectoral shocks less affected by cyclical influence than Lilien's employment dispersion index. Two indexes of sectoral shifts for Canada based on the sectoral dispersion of stock prices growth rates are calculated. These indexes are then used in unemployment equations incorporating variables measuring aggregate demand shocks and structural changes in order to assess the importance of sectoral and cyclical shocks in the determination of the Canadian unemployment rate. The estimation leads to the conclusion that the major recessions of 1981-82 and 1990-91 have been caused by aggregate demand shocks. However, both types of shocks contributed to the 1974-75 recession while the mild recession of 1980 was accompanied by an important sectoral shock. Estimations also show that the most important sectoral shock was in 1986, following the drop in energy prices, but a strong aggregate demand prevented any change in the unemployment rate at this time. The model also detects an important structural rise in the unemployment rate during the seventies. On the whole, the results show that, although sectoral shifts have the potential to induce short-term unemployment fluctuations, actual changes in the Canadian unemployment rate were mainly the consequences of monetary conditions and foreign demand for Canadian goods and services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 829-839 Issue: 6 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326750 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:6:p:829-839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mandy Ryan Author-X-Name-First: Mandy Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Title: Should government fund assisted reproductive techniques? A study using willingness to pay Abstract: During recent years there has been a growth in the use of assisted reproductive techniques (ARTs) across Europe, America and Australia. This has resulted in debates about whether health insurance should cover this procedure. This study used the closed-ended (CE) willingness to pay (WTP) technique to establish the value the infertile place on in vitro fertilization (IVF) treatment in Scotland. The intention is to consider the use of the economic instrument of WTP for informing the debate on the public provision of IVF. Assuming that the value of the service outweighs the cost, public provision should be encouraged. The responses suggested that users of the service have a mean WTP of over £5000 for an attempt at IVF. This compares with an average government expenditure of 7pound;2700. The internal validity of the CE WTP was also shown, with income being positively related to WTP. It is concluded that the CE WTP technique is potentially a useful tool for policy makers in considering the public provision of IVF services, and that further work is needed to establish the reliability and external validity of the technique. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 841-849 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326499 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:7:p:841-849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Brenton Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Brenton Title: Estimates of the demand for energy using cross-country consumption data Abstract: Using cross-country consumption data we estimate a system of demand equations in a piecewise manner to investigate whether price and expenditure elasticities for energy differ between broad groups of countries. The empirical results reject the assumption of constant parameters across regimes of poor and rich countries. The derived elasticities suggest that the own-price elasticity for energy is higher in poor than in rich countries. We find no evidence for the commonly held view that expenditure elasticities for energy decline with income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 851-859 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326507 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:7:p:851-859 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Allan Layton Author-X-Name-First: Allan Author-X-Name-Last: Layton Title: A new approach to dating and predicting Australian business cycle phase changes Abstract: Due to well-known lags, counter-cyclical macroeconomic policies often exacerbate, rather than ameliorate, business cycles. Early recognition of upcoming phase shifts, particularly contractions, may assist in fine-tuning such policies. This objective is pursued in the paper by applying Hamilton's (1989, 1990, 1991) quasi-Bayesian, Markovian, regime-switching model to monthly growth rates of leading, long-leading and coincident indexes of Australian economic activity. A simple rule applied to regime probabilities for each data point of the coincident index produces a phase chronology that is very similar to that produced by the Bry and Boschan (1971) turning point algorithm. The regime switching model is also applied to the leading and long-leading indexes. The application of a simple rule to the resultant regime probabilities is found to result in a potentially very reliable advance signalling system for Australian business cycle phase changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 861-868 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326516 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326516 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:7:p:861-868 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahmood Yousefi Author-X-Name-First: Mahmood Author-X-Name-Last: Yousefi Author-Name: Sohrab Abizadeh Author-X-Name-First: Sohrab Author-X-Name-Last: Abizadeh Author-Name: Ken McCormick Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: McCormick Title: Monetary stability and interest-free banking: the case of Iran Abstract: Previous research has suggested that Islamic banking systems may be more stable than Western systems. However, this contention has only been tested empirically for the case of Tunisia, a country with no significant history of Islamic banking. This paper replicates the study done on Tunisia for the case of Iran, a country with some history of Islamic banking. The results are mixed, with some evidence both for and against the hypothesis of greater stability for Islamic banking. It is suggested that a good deal more work must be done to prove claims about the relative stability of Islamic banking. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 869-876 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326525 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:7:p:869-876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linda Debenedictis Author-X-Name-First: Linda Author-X-Name-Last: Debenedictis Title: A vector autoregressive model of the British Columbia regional economy Abstract: We construct a small vector autoregressive (VAR) model to investigate the usefulness of this approach to forecasting the British Columbia (BC) macro economy. The forecasts are compared with univariate ARIMA forecasts. Overall, our results suggest that the accuracy of the VAR matches or exceeds that of the univariate ARIMA. The accuracy of the predictions from our VAR model indicates that VAR as a forecasting tool, is a promising approach for regional forecasting and warrants further investigation. Formal tests for Granger causality are conducted and we find evidence of bi-directional causality between BC employment and prices; and uni-directional causality from BC GDP to both BC employment and Canadian GDP. Our results also suggest uni-directional causality from Canadian GDP to both BC employment and prices; and from prices to GDP within BC. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 877-888 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326534 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:7:p:877-888 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Ryan Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Title: The behaviour of productivity growth rates and price-cost margins during contractions and expansions Abstract: Panel data on thirteen two-digit US manufacturing industries were analysed using a random coefficients approach to determine the behaviour of total factor productivity growth rates and price—marginal cost ratios during recessions and expansions. Results show: (1) productivity growth is procyclical—it decreases during recessions and increases during expansions. In addition, the decrease during recessions is greater than the increase during expansions; (2) the price-marginal cost ratio is very asymmetric — it decreases during recessions but shows no significant movement during an expansion. The lower price-marginal cost ratio during a recession implies that the elasticity of output with respect to labour decreases. Thus not only does the level of productivity fall, but the productivity of labour relative to capital also falls. These characteristics are consistent with labour hoarding. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 889-893 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326543 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:7:p:889-893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Weber Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Is cyclical real GNP really more persistent than the trend? Abstract: Using an observed components decomposition to estimate permanent and temporary components of US real GNP, Campbell and Mankiw (1987) found that the estimated temporary component displays greater persistence than the estimated permanent component. This suggests that attempts to estimate separate permanent and temporary components in real GNP are unlikely to succeed. This finding is re-examined here using a longer real GNP series and a different decomposition, which guarantees that the estimated temporary component will be stationary. The resulting estimates of permanent and temporary output suggests that the temporary component displays no persistence and that the permanent component exhibits almost precisely the persistence of a random walk with drift. Cyclical real GNP is not more persistent than the trend. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 895-902 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326552 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:7:p:895-902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geoffrey Soutar Author-X-Name-First: Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Soutar Author-Name: Steven Cornish-Ward Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cornish-Ward Title: Ownership patterns for durable goods and financial assets: a Rasch analysis Abstract: There has been considerable discussion about the way in which consumers purchase durable and financial products and a number of modelling procedures have been used to examine this issue. The present paper outlines a study that used a new and more general scaling approach (the Rasch model) for this purpose, using a larger than usual set of durable goods, as well as a set of financial products. It was found that both sets of products could be analysed using the Rasch model and that there was an inherent order in the data. Further, respondents in the sample followed the same order, suggesting that examining subgroups, as has been done in the past, would be of little use. A set of respondents' backgroundcharacteristics was also collected that measured people's ability and willingness to purchase. It was found that high levels of ownership were related to people's ability to purchase rather than to their willingness to purchase. This suggests that the macro, rather than the micro, environment is likely to be the key to sales for both categories of products. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 903-911 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326561 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:7:p:903-911 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Einar Bowitz Author-X-Name-First: Einar Author-X-Name-Last: Bowitz Title: Disability benefits, replacement ratios and the labour market. A time series approach Abstract: In this paper, a study of factors affecting the number of disability beneficiaries in Norway is presented. Equations determining entry rates into the disability benefit system are estimated using aggregated time series data grouped by sex and age. Unemployment is found to influence disability entry. The results regarding effects of the replacement ratio are ambiguous. A model determining the number of beneficiaries, including the estimated entry equations is presented. The model is used to simulate the effect of counterfactual changes in exogenous variables on the number of disability beneficiaries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 913-923 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326570 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:7:p:913-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Rousslang Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Rousslang Title: International income shifting by US multinational corporations Abstract: This paper provides estimates of the amount of income shifted across national borders within the manufacturing operations of US multinational corporations (MNCs) in 1988. It is assumed that each MNC arranges its investments such that, after accounting for income shifting opportunities, the after-tax rate of return on a marginal investment is the same for all its affiliates, regardless of location. The income shifting is then inferred by comparing shares of after-tax profits, assets and sales of the affiliated members. It is estimated that such shifting amounted to about $8 billion (on net), which is less than 4% of the worldwide taxable income of the manufacturing MNCs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 925-934 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326589 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:7:p:925-934 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcus Chambers Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Chambers Author-Name: K. Ben Nowman Author-X-Name-First: K. Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Nowman Title: Forecasting with the almost ideal demand system: evidence from some alternative dynamic specifications Abstract: The almost ideal demand system is used as a representation of long run demands in discrete time and continuous time error correction models to produce forecasts of budget shares beyond the sample period. The estimated models are subjected to a battery of tests, and an analysis of the forecasts indicates that continuous time adjustment mechanisms, based around fully modified estimates of the long run preference parameters, provide a remarkably accurate method of forecasting budget shares. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 935-943 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326598 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326598 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:7:p:935-943 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Andrikopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Andrikopoulos Author-Name: James Brox Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Brox Author-Name: Emanuel Carvalho Author-X-Name-First: Emanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Carvalho Title: The demand for domestic and imported alcoholic beverages in Ontario, Canada: a dynamic simultaneous equation approach Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to estimate simultaneously dynamic demand functions and, consequently, income and price elasticities for domestic and imported alcoholic beverages for the province of Ontario. The methodology used is the almost ideal demand system, originally developed by Deaton and Muellbauer (1980), augmented by Pollak's (1970) habit formation hypothesis. The empirical application uses time series (1958-1987) for imported and domestically produced spirits, wine and beer. The findings provide strong support favouring the dynamic version of the almost ideal demand system over its static alternative, but little evidence of strong substitution between domestic and imported products. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 945-953 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326606 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326606 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:7:p:945-953 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Hazilla Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hazilla Title: Separability and capital aggregation in sectoral models of US production Abstract: Separability plays a fundamental role in applied studies of production inasmuch as it provides for consistent aggregation and allows multi-stage estimation of models with many inputs. This paper examines whether two types of capital, structures and equipment, are weakly separable from labour and energy and materials in sectoral models of US production, and provides an assessment of the effects of maintaining capital separability. The study focuses on the elasticity of substitution as a measure of input association and associated standard errors and confidence intervals based on bootstrapping. Elasticity estimates and tests indicate that capital separability is generally inconsistent with data representing sectoral US production. Elasticity sign, however, appears robust to capital aggregation and performs especially well as an indicator of input association. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 955-974 Issue: 7 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326615 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:7:p:955-974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Corvers Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Corvers Title: The impact of human capital on labour productivity in manufacturing sectors of the European Union Abstract: The effects of human capital on both the level and growth of labour productivity in manufacturing sectors in seven member states of the European Union are analysed, distinguishing between four effects of human capital: worker, allocative, diffusion and research. Human capital is represented by the shares of intermediate and highly-skilled workers in the workforce of a sector. It is shown that the manufacturing sectors can be divided into three classes of sectors with different intensities of highly-skilled workers: low-, medium- and high-skill sectors. The estimation results show that both intermediate and highly-skilled labour have a positive effect on the labour productivity of a sector, although the effect is only significant for highly-skilled labour. Moreover, there are indications of underinvestment of human capital in some manufacturing sectors. These sectors could improve their competitive position by raising the employment shares of intermediate and highly-skilled labour. Finally, intermediate-skilled labour has a significantly positive effect on the growth in sectoral labour productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 975-987 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326372 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:8:p:975-987 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evan Tanner Author-X-Name-First: Evan Author-X-Name-Last: Tanner Title: Shifts in US savings: long-run asset accumulation versus consumption smoothing Abstract: Recently, savings rates have fluctuated considerably in the USA. The implications of these movements have interested both policy makers and economists. This paper considers two reasons why savings may change: (i) a change in the economy's desired long-run capital stock, and (ii) the economy's desire to smooth its consumption through time. To identify both kinds of movements in US savings, the permanent income hypothesis (PIH) is modified to incorporate discrete breaks. Evidence suggests that discrete breaks in saving occurred during 1972-74 and again during the mid 1980s. And, when breaks are accounted for, it is found that rises (falls) in saving anticipate falls (rises) in output, suggesting that people use savings to help smooth consumption over time, consistent with the PIH. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 989-999 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326381 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:8:p:989-999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabel Argimon Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Argimon Author-Name: Jose Gonzalez-Paramo Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez-Paramo Author-Name: Jose Roldan Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Roldan Title: Evidence of public spending crowding-out from a panel of OECD countries Abstract: The empirical relationship between government spending and private investment is examined, using a panel of 14 OECD countries. The evidence suggests the existence of a significant crowding-in effect of private investment by public investment, through the positive impact of infrastructure on private investment productivity. Moreover, government consumption appears to crowd out private investment. The implications of these results are of foremost importance when it comes to fiscal consolidation. Deficit reductions engineered through cuts in public investment could severely impinge on private capital accumulation and growth prospects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1001-1010 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326390 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326390 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:8:p:1001-1010 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suk-Joong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Suk-Joong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Testing the rationality of exchange rate and interest rate expectations: an empirical study of Australian survey-based expectations Abstract: This paper examines the rationality of the Australian survey-based expectations, 1- and 4-week-ahead $US/$A exchange rate and 2 and 4-week-ahead Australian 90-day bank bill and 10-year bond rates. The actual and expected variables are found to be cointegrated, indicating that the expected future values and the future realizations of the exchange rate and interest rates have long-run equilibrium relationships. OLS estimations with the Newey - West corrections are employed for testing the unbiased expectations hypothesis (UEH) where the frequency of the expectations data is finer than the forecast horizons, and the exponential-GARCH models that take into account the time-varying nature of the forecasterror variance are employed for testing the weak rational expectations hypothesis (WREH). The evidence shows that the WREH could not be rejected in any case, except for the two-week-ahead forecast of the 90-day interest rate, which indicates that all available information is used at the time of forming relevant forecasts. The UEH, however, is decisively rejected in all cases. This indicates that strong rationality, which requires both UEH and WREH, is rejected in all cases. It is concluded that forecasters are weakly rational; however, their forecasts are not unbiased because the data available to them when forming expectations are inadequate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1011-1022 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326408 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326408 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:8:p:1011-1022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Costas Kanellopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Kanellopoulos Title: Public-private wage differentials in Greece Abstract: Separate earnings functions for public and private sector by gender are estimated for Greece with appropriate correction for selectivity bias, using Family Expenditure Survey data for 1988. Then a comparison of the average pay, that would be received by public and private sector employees if they were paid according to the same pay structure, is undertaken. The empirical evidence suggests that, while the observed pay advantage of male public sector employees is rather explained by higher qualifications, in the case of women qualification differences partly explains the observed public-private wage differential. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1023-1032 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326417 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326417 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:8:p:1023-1032 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kwabena Gyimah-Brempong Author-X-Name-First: Kwabena Author-X-Name-Last: Gyimah-Brempong Author-Name: Rudy Fichtenbaum Author-X-Name-First: Rudy Author-X-Name-Last: Fichtenbaum Title: Racial wage gaps and differences in human capital Abstract: This paper uses the Cotton/Neumark decomposition methodology and 1990 CPS data to investigate the relative importance of labour market structure and human capital in explaining the white male/Asian, white male/black, white male/Hispanic wage gaps. We find that labour market structure is more important than human capital in explaining the white minority wage gaps. Moreover, most of the labour market structural effects are due to differential returns to white structural characteristics. Our result is robust to the specification of human capital. Our results contradict the results of research that indicate that the white/minority wage gaps can be explained solely by differences in the endowment of human capital. Our results have implications for narrowing the wage gaps between whites and racial minorities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1033-1044 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326426 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326426 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:8:p:1033-1044 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Crowder Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Crowder Author-Name: Daniel Himarios Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Himarios Title: Balanced growth and public capital: an empirical analysis Abstract: The balanced growth restrictions implied by the neoclassical growth model imply that output, the private capital stock and the public capital stock share the same stochastic trend. We analyse the postwar US data on real output, real private capital stock and real public capital stock and find that the balanced growth restrictions cannot be rejected by the data. Removing the common stochastic trend from each series allows the estimation of output elasticities that is free from the spurious regression problem. The results support Aschauer's (1989) claim that, at the margin, public capital is more productive than private capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1045-1053 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326435 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:8:p:1045-1053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hsing Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsing Title: The Fisher hypothesis revisited: new evidence Abstract: The nominal interest rate is examined with the IS-LM model incorporating the Fisher hypothesis. Eight different interest rates are considered for different sample periods ending in 1993. When the Livingston survey data are used, the coefficients for the expected inflation rate, real quantity of money and government spending are significant in most cases. When the adaptive expectations model is applied, the coefficients for real quantity of money and government spending are insignificant in most cases. The Fisher hypothesis only holds for the federal funds rate or the AAA bond rate. The linear-form regression can be rejected at the 1% level in favour of the Box-Cox general functional form. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1055-1059 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326444 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:8:p:1055-1059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Hanson Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Hanson Author-Name: Adam Rose Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Rose Title: Factor productivity and income inequality: a general equilibrium analysis Abstract: Economic growth over the past two decades has failed to reduce income inequality. We contend that major reasons for this are the slowdown and bias in technological change (productivity growth). Given the complexity of the many interactions that take place, this phenomenon is best addressed in a general equilibrium context. For this purpose, we have developed a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model with advanced features relating to income distribution. We perform a series of simulations based on recent overall productivity changes, but under various forms of technological change bias, factor mobility, and government budgetary balance. We find the labour-augmenting technological change cases to be most consistent with recent experience. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1061-1071 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326453 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:8:p:1061-1071 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Michael Simpson Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Simpson Title: Residential broadband subscription demand: an econometric analysis of Australian choice experiment data Abstract: The recent roll-out of fibre-optic cable suggests that the willingness of households in passed communities to subscribe to networked services is an important issue. This paper studies the determination of the demand for network subscription. Through a discrete choice model the effect of installation and rental price on the likelihood of subscription is analysed. The logit regression is based on choice experiment (stated preference) subscription data obtained from a national survey of households. Limitations of this preliminary work and suggestions for future research are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1073-1078 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326462 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:8:p:1073-1078 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anne Winkler Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Winkler Title: Economic decision-making by cohabitors: findings regarding income pooling Abstract: Cohabitation rates are increasing in the US but little is known about how cohabitors make economic decisions. For instance, do female cohabitors treat their male partner's income as shared household income when choosing hours worked? Does income sharing differ among types of cohabitors? This study investigates whether or not cohabitors pool income by drawing inferences from a generalized model of labour supply. The empirical work uses data from the 1993 Current Population Survey and the 1987 National Survey of Families and Households. These data sets provide evidence that cohabitors, taken as a group, do not pool all income. However, there is also evidence that cohabitors are not homogeneous in their behaviour; income pooling is not rejected for cohabitors in longer-term relationships and for those who have a biological child together. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1079-1090 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326471 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:8:p:1079-1090 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Werner Smolny Author-X-Name-First: Werner Author-X-Name-Last: Smolny Title: Dynamic factor demand in a rationing model Abstract: In this paper, a dynamic decision model of the firm with a delayed adjustment of employment and investment is developed. Special attention is devoted to dynamic inefficiencies, i.e. underutilizations of the capital stock and labour hoarding. Market disequilibrium is introduced by allowing for a sluggish adjustment of wages and prices. The model of the firm is complemented by explicit aggregation, and the aggregate model is estimated for the FRG for the period 1960 to 1989. The empirical results reveal that dynamic adjustment constraints for employment and capital contributed to the persistence of unemployment in Germany in the 1980s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1091-1101 Issue: 8 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326480 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:8:p:1091-1101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Shin-Ichi Kitasaka Author-X-Name-First: Shin-Ichi Author-X-Name-Last: Kitasaka Title: The characteristics of the business cycle in Japan Abstract: The present study examines the characteristics of the business cycle in the Japanese economy by using the Hodrick-Prescot filter, concluding that a change in consumption is relatively large and that labour input is ficed in Japan. Fluctuating consumption supports a permanent income hypothesis in Japan. The fixed labour input is thought to reflect the characteritics of the Japanese economy, such as a fixed employment custom like the 'lifetime employment system'. This paper presents a simple-stuctured model of the real business cycle(RBC) and examines its validity by simulation. It may be concluded that even a simple model with a time-separable utitlity function and a fixed capital-labour ratio can reproduce the movement of the Japanese economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1105-1113 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000001 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:9:p:1105-1113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terry Baker Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Baker Title: Quality-adjusted price indexes for portable computers Abstract: Constructing an accurate price index requires controlling for changes in quality. The potential for bias is especially problemaic for rapidly changing goods such as computers. This study extends previous research on quality-adjusted, or hedonic, price indexes for computers by investigating price and quality changes in portable models. In particular, recent research by Nelson et al.(1994) and Berndt et al.(1995) on desktop and portable computers is extended. After adjusting for quality changes, price indexes in this tudy exhibit average declines of 26% to 33% per year. The magnitude of quality-adjusted price changes is consistent with these auhors and with the extensive line of research on quality-adjusted price indexes for computers of various types. The results emphasize the extent of potential bias in estimating price level changes if technological advancement is ignored. Significant potential for bias implies the need to account properly for changes in quality in consructing indexes for both individual product categories and for broad economic indicators. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1115-1123 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000002 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:9:p:1115-1123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lee Mobley Author-X-Name-First: Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Mobley Author-Name: W. David Bradford Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Bradford Title: Behavioural differences among hospitals: it is ownership, or location? Abstract: By about 1988, the consensus among leading health economists was that no meaningful differences existed among hospitals of differences owernership form, and this position was embraced by the Antitrust Division of the US Department of Justice. But behavioural differences among hospitals of different among hospitals of different owernership has continued to be a matter of both academic and judicial interest. Recent empirical studies have concluded that real differences do exist, while many earlier studies reached the opposite conclusion. This contradiction in finding over time, as competition intensified, is exactly opposite to what expense-preference theory would predict. We examine this apparent paradox, using a very general test of behavioural differences by hospital ownership. We find that the omission of location-specific variables can lead to biased estimates of ownership effects, and that no significant behavioural differences exist among private California hospitals in 1986-90, when this source of ownership endogeneity is eliminated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1125-1138 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000003 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:9:p:1125-1138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kui-Wai Li Author-X-Name-First: Kui-Wai Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Money and monetization in China's economic reform Abstract: In addition to privatization marketization, liberalization and pragmatization, monetization has been argued as the fifth feature in china's economic reform. If monetization is taken to mean a process through which variations in money supply or interest rate are to affect macroeconomic variables, the construction of four causality relationships between interest rate and investment, and money and national income do not support the evidence of such a process in China between the late 1970s and early 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1139-1146 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000004 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000004 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:9:p:1139-1146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Title: Purchasing power parity in the presence of foreign exchange black markets: the case of India Abstract: The empirical validity of $b;PPP$eb; as a long-run constraint between India and the US is examined in the preesence of foreign exchange black markets. In a triariate model, the official exchange rate is found to be coinergrated with both the price ratio and the black market exchange rate. Both the official exchange rate and price ratio respond to correct short-run departures from $b;PPP$eb;. Also, both the official and the black market exchange rates respond to correct departures from their own equilibrium relation. The two sources of endogeneity in the official rate follow rate follow as Indian authorities aimed to stabilize domestic prices and reduce uncertainty about the dollar price of rupees. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1147-1154 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000005 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000005 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:9:p:1147-1154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniela De Angelis Author-X-Name-First: Daniela Author-X-Name-Last: De Angelis Author-Name: Stefano Fachin Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Fachin Author-Name: G. Alastair Young Author-X-Name-First: G. Alastair Author-X-Name-Last: Young Title: Bootstrapping unit root tests Abstract: Unit root tests have been known for a long time to suffer from a variety of problems. Considering that simulation methods are obvious candidates for solving some of these problems, the aim of this paper is to assess the performance of bootstrap tests of the unit root hypothesis of the Dickey-Fuller type. The results obtained show that boostrap tests have empirical sizes very close to the nominal ones and deliver rejection rates generally at least as high as those obtained using simulated critical points, and are therefore a promising alternative to the latter. The applications sto non-standard problems such as structural stability analysis appear to be especially promising. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1155-1161 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000006 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000006 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:9:p:1155-1161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Clements Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: Wana Yang Author-X-Name-First: Wana Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Simon Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Is utility additive? The case of alcohol Abstract: The hypothesis of additive utility (or preference independence) is often applied to the demand for broad aggregates. Recent testing provides some evidence favourable to the hypothesis, thus overturning the older results based on the standard asymptotic tests which are seriously biased against the null in small samples. Using data for seven countries and a variety of tests, this paper shows that preference independence also cannot be rejected for more narrowly defined commodities - beer, wine and spirits. The implications of the results for efficient taxation of alcoholic beverages are also explored. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1163-1167 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000007 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:9:p:1163-1167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Seninger Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Seninger Title: Jobless spells and re-employment wages Abstract: Many studies of job loss attribute the earnings losses associated with layoffs to the loss of job, occupation, and industry-specific human capital. This paper estimates the effect of jobless spells on post-layoff wages using data from the 1984 Panel of Survey on Income Participation for a sample of adult, white male workers who were permanently laid off between 1974 and 1984. The estimated impact of jobless spells on starting wages and survey date wages, several years after re-employment, are controlled for separations, layoffs, and quits and for individual and job characteristics. The estimates show that jobless spell durations reduce starting wages. Wage growth in the new job is lower for workers who experience long spell durations, a result that suggests acceptance of jobs which are poor matches compared to other workers who spend less time out of work following a layoff. The findings support labour force policies which minimize the amount of time a person is out of work. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1169-1177 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000008 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000008 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:9:p:1169-1177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Baye Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Baye Author-Name: Robert Maness Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Maness Author-Name: Steven Wiggins Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Wiggins Title: Demand systems and the true subindex of the cost of living for pharmaceuticals Abstract: This paper investigates the demand for prescription pharmaceuticals at the retail level. We use complete demand systems to investigate elasticity for major classes of pharmaceuticals. We estimate both a regular and an inverse demand system using a differential version of the Rotterdam model. We find that both systems yield negative, and statistically significant own-price elasticities. The results indicate that pharmaceutical demand curves are not perfectly inelastic as some industry commentators suggest. We use the results of the complete demand system and a variant of a formula developed by Balk (1990) to derive a cost-of-living subindex for retail pharmaceuticals. We find that retail pharmaceutical prices using our index rise faster than wholesale prices, calculated either by the BLS or by the methods developed by Berndt et al.(1993). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1179-1190 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000009 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:9:p:1179-1190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mary Bange Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Bange Author-Name: William Bernhard Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Bernhard Author-Name: Jim Granato Author-X-Name-First: Jim Author-X-Name-Last: Granato Author-Name: Lauren Jones Author-X-Name-First: Lauren Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: The effect of inflation on the natural rate of output: experimental evidence Abstract: We examine the inflation-output relationship in the USA for the period 1955-90. We start by replicating Smyth (1992) and subjecting his estimates to a series of diagnostic tests. The model is shown to satisfy conditions for valid inference (weak exogeneity) and policy analysis (super-exogeneity) (Engle, Hendry and Richard, 1983). These robustness checks allow us to study the out-of-sample consequences of the point estimates for various levels of inflation. One central experimental result is that for inflation rates exceeding 4% the natural rate of output is reduced to such an extent that it contributes to a reduction in the growth rate of real GNP that is below historical trend (3.1% in our sample). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1191-1199 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000010 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:9:p:1191-1199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eu Chye Tan Author-X-Name-First: Eu Chye Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: Money demand amid financial sector developments in Malaysia Abstract: Both long and short run real money demand functions of Malaysia with money variously defined as M0, M1 and M2 have been estimated using the Johansen cointegration technique and the general-to-specific approach respectively. The period under review is 1973Q1-1991Q4. While liberalization and innovation in the Malaysian financial system have not ruled out the existence of stable long run money demand relationships as attested to by the presence of cointegrating vectors, they have rendered short run relationships unstable. Hence, it may not be appropriate for one to conclude that monetary policy efficacies have been sacrosanct to the financial liberalization and innovation process on the basis of cointegrating relationships. This is especially true as monetary policy is essentially a short run stabilization policy aimed at ironing out undue macroeconomic fluctuations. This prompted us to re-estimate short run money demand functions over more recent periods in order to boost the policy relevance of the estimated parameters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1201-1215 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000011 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000011 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:9:p:1201-1215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andre Croppenstedt Author-X-Name-First: Andre Author-X-Name-Last: Croppenstedt Author-Name: Mulat Demeke Author-X-Name-First: Mulat Author-X-Name-Last: Demeke Title: An empirical study of cereal crop production and technical efficiency of private farmers in Ethiopia: a mixed fixed-random coefficients approach Abstract: In this paper we use a fixed-random coefficients regression model to analyse data for cereal growing small-scale farmers in efficiency. Results show that land size is a major constraint and only small changes in cultivated area and land quality yield relatively high increments to output. Larger farms are relatively less productive, everything else being equal. Human capital in the form of literacy and experience are found to affect productivity positively. Our findings show a high degree of farm-specific technical inefficiency. With regard to the inputs we find high degrees of input-specific technical inefficiency, especially so for labour and fertilizer. The age structure of the household, environmental factors and education are found to be weakly correlated with efficiency. Furthermore, sharecropping is found to be positively correlated with technical efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1217-1226 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000012 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:9:p:1217-1226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keith Hartley Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Hartley Author-Name: Richard White Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: White Author-Name: David Chaundy Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Chaundy Title: Government and industry performance: a comparative study Abstract: A number of UK industries are heavily dependent on the government as a major purchaser. The Ministry of Defence and the National Health Service are essentially monopsonists for the industries supplying them. As a monopsonist, government can influence the size, structure, conduct and performance of the industries. This paper examines wheather industries relying heavily on government purchases will differ in their structure, conduct and performance-characteristics and whether dependence on goverment can have favourable or adverse effects on industry performance. The hypothesis is tested by comparing the performance of industries dependent on government purchasing - defence, pharmaceuticals and medical equipment - with a control group of other non-dependent industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1227-1237 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000013 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000013 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:9:p:1227-1237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Estimation of the specification error in the expectations theory of the term structure Abstract: This paper asks, 'how false is the expectations theory of the term structure?'. Most previous work has asked, 'is the expectations theory true?' and finds that it is not. The goal here is to gauge the economic importance of these answers in the negative by estimating the specification error in the expectations theory. The variance of the estimated specification error (suitably normalized) provides a metric for assessing the validity of the model. I find that, while the expectations theory can be rejected, the importance of the rejection is much less than that implied by previous studies, so that the theory may still be a useful tool for understanding the relationships between interest rates at different maturities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1239-1247 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000014 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000014 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:9:p:1239-1247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Witt Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Witt Title: The demand for car fuel efficiency: some evidence for the UK Abstract: This paper uses the Atkinson-Halvorsen (1984) hedonic method to estimate the effect of petrol price changes on fuel efficiency and other attributes using data for new cars in the UK. In contrast to Atkinson and Halvorsen, the estimated long-run petrol price elasticity of demand for fuel efficiency is very small. The empirical results imply that the adjustment process within the new car market permits little substitution for more fuel efficient cars in response to petrol price changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1249-1254 Issue: 9 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000015 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000015 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:9:p:1249-1254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wing-Fai Leung Author-X-Name-First: Wing-Fai Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Title: The duration of international joint ventures an foreign wholly-owned subsidiaries Abstract: An international joint venture is formed when the partners contribute different benefits to the venture. Each party learns from the others through the joint venture. However, the literature suggests that joint ventures are unstable. So it is hypothesized that, on average, an international joint venture will have a shorter duration than a foreign wholly-owned subsidiary. Data on US foreign direct investment (FDI) abroad and FDI in the United States are applied to test the instability of joint ventures. The proportional hazards model is applied while exponential distribution and Weibull distribution are used to cross-check the results. On the whole, the results are consistent with the hypothesis. In particular, the two types of US affiliates are significantly different in duration although the support for the hypothesis from FDI in the United States is weak. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1255-1269 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000016 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000016 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:10:p:1255-1269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yih-Luan Chyi Author-X-Name-First: Yih-Luan Author-X-Name-Last: Chyi Author-Name: Chao-Hsi Huang Author-X-Name-First: Chao-Hsi Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: An empirical study of the 'rule of thumb' consumption model in five East Asian countries Abstract: We investigate Campbell and Mankiw's 'rule of thumb' consumption model using data from five East Asian countries. We find that the fraction of income attributed to the 'rule of thumb' consumers are generally substantial for these countries. In particular, the fractions for them are generally higher than those of OECD countries found in previous studies. Furthermore, the estimates of the fractions are robust to variant specifications of the 'rule of thumb' consumption model. These results are favourable to he 'liquidity constraint' justification of the 'rule of thump' consumption model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1271-1282 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000017 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000017 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:10:p:1271-1282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jon Vilasuso Author-X-Name-First: Jon Author-X-Name-Last: Vilasuso Title: The relationship between cash flow and investment in the United States at business cycle frequencies Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1283-1293 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000018 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:10:p:1283-1293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cassou Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cassou Title: The link between tax rates and foreign direct investment Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of tax policy on foreign direct investment flows between the US and other countries using a panel data empirical approach. Using panel data is an attractive alternative to using single time series data because it provides greater statistical power and offers greater flexibility in terms of explanatory variables. This study finds many significant factors influencing the transfer of funds component of foreign direct investment. Most noteworthy is that, in addition to host and home country corporate tax rates having a significant effect on investment flows, the host and home country income tax rates are also significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1295-1301 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000019 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000019 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:10:p:1295-1301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaodi Xie Author-X-Name-First: Xiaodi Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Title: Children and female labour supply behaviour Abstract: Using the generalized residual method, this paper investigates the assumption that children are exogenous in the labour supply equations of married women via alternative regression specifications for the children variables. The empirical results of this paper suggest that children are endogenous to the participation decision and likely to be exogenous to the hours of work decision for married women. Children under age six have a dramatic negative impact on the labour force participation of married women. These findings support the implication of the literature relating fixed costs of employment, including child care costs, to female labour supply. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1303-1310 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000020 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:10:p:1303-1310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atanu Saha Author-X-Name-First: Atanu Author-X-Name-Last: Saha Author-Name: Oral Capps Author-X-Name-First: Oral Author-X-Name-Last: Capps Author-Name: Patrick Byrne Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Byrne Title: Calculating marginal effects in models for zero expenditures in household budgets using a Heckman-type correction Abstract: Using the Heckamn approach, either in single-equation or multi-equation settings, general expressions are derived for calculating marginal effects and elasticities. In the conventional calculation of marginal effects, terms related to the change in the inverse of Mills ratio are omitted. Using data from the 19877-88 Nationwide Food Consumption Survey, we calculate income and household size elasticities for 12 food commodities. We compare the magnitudes and signs of the elasticities using the conventional expressions of marginal effects and our derived expressions. Bottomline, sizeable differences, especially in single-equation applications, can occur in calculating marginal effects if one fails to account for changes in the inverse of the Mills ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1311-1316 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000021 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:10:p:1311-1316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tetsuji Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Tetsuji Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Author-Name: Tadashi Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Tadashi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Author-Name: Gordon Liu Author-X-Name-First: Gordon Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Value-added productivity of manufacturing industries in Japan Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1317-1324 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000022 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000022 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:10:p:1317-1324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. O. Odedokun Author-X-Name-First: M. O. Author-X-Name-Last: Odedokun Title: Relative effects of public versus private investment spending on economic efficiency and growth in developing countries Abstract: This study investigates the initial and long-run effects of public investment expenditure on economic growth, especially as compared with private investment. Annual data over 1970-90 for 48 developing countries form the basis of the empirical analysis. Our findings suggest that infrastructural public investment facilitates private investment, especially in the long-run. It also promotes economic growth and efficiency whereas non-infrastructural investment does the reverse. Also, long-term effects of public investment tend to be much more positive than short-term ones on growth; efficiency and private investments Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1325-1336 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000023 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000023 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:10:p:1325-1336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Naci Mocan Author-X-Name-First: H. Naci Author-X-Name-Last: Mocan Author-Name: W. James Smith Author-X-Name-First: W. James Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Author-Name: William Tevebaugh Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Tevebaugh Title: Credit rationing, deregulation and race in mortgage lending in the United States: 1960-90 Abstract: This paper examines discrimination in mortgage lending in teh United States over three decades in 1960 to 1990. We focus on whether deregulation, increased Federal oversight and enhanced competition reduce discrimination as becker's theory suggests (Becker, 1971). We find that discrimination is evident over the three decades taken together, is prevalent from 1960 to 1980, but is absent in the data from 1980 to 1990. This finding strongly supports Becker' hypothesis. Preferences for discrimination appear to be offset by the higher costs fo engaging in them after 1980. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1337-1342 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000024 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000024 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:10:p:1337-1342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Sonmez Atesoglu Author-X-Name-First: H. Sonmez Author-X-Name-Last: Atesoglu Author-Name: Donald Dutkowsky Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Dutkowsky Title: On the dynamics of balance of payments constrained growth Abstract: This paper assesses the dynamic behaviour of policies for resolving trade deficits. We extend the Thirlwall-based model by introducing an equation for setting current account policy. Steady-state solutions implying current account equilibrium emerge under autonomous spending contraction, exchange rate develuation, export expansion, and import reduction. Stability holds with plausible restrictions. simulations based upon the United States reveal that autonomous spending, import, and export policies behave similarly in correcting trade deficits. Exchange rate devaluation generates considerably slower adjustment. Corresponding output growth paths are also examined. The study formally incorporates dynamics into the Thirlwall approach for analysing balance of paymnets constrained growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1343-1351 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000025 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000025 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:10:p:1343-1351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong Park Author-X-Name-First: Jong Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Penelope Prime Author-X-Name-First: Penelope Author-X-Name-Last: Prime Title: Export performance and growth in China: a cross-provincial analysis Abstract: The role of exports in economic growth continues to be debated and tested in the literature on trade an development. China is a new player in this debate with its rapid entry into international makrets. This paper extends some of the previous empirical studies on the relationship between exports and economic growth in order to assess to what extent China's remarkable export growth has contributed to the country's overall growth. The study utilizes data for 26 provinces between 1985 and 1993 in an export-augmented aggregate production function approach. The results of our study support the hypothesis that exports have contributed to the growthh of provincial incomes in China for the period examined with both the cross-sectional and pooled analyses, with the results being primarily determined by the coastal provinces compared with inland areas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1353-1363 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000026 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:10:p:1353-1363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Benito Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Benito Title: Divestment of foreign production operations Abstract: This study investigates some determinants fo the divestment of foreign manufacturing operations by Norwegian companies. To date, very few studies have taken a closer look at what might influence whether foreign subsidiaries are divested or not. Although foreign direct investment - in principle - represent long-term commitments to foreign manufacturing operations, divestments are in fact quite common. This study shows that more than half of a sample of foreig subsidiaries woned by Norwegian companies in 1982 wee divested within a period of ten years. The empirical findings indicate that foreign divestment is inversely related to economic growth in the host country, and that the propensity to divest is significantly higher for subsidiaries that had been acquired than for greenfield establishments. Also, related (horizontal) subsidiaries are less likely to be divested than unrelated (non-horizontal)subsidiaries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1365-1378 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000027 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000027 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:10:p:1365-1378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sara Connolly Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Connolly Title: A model of female labour supply in which supply is dependent upon the chances of finding a job Abstract: In this paper, we extend a model of female labour supply, by considering the impact of the local labour market. Thus, in our model, a woman supplies her labour if she has both made the decision to participate and found a job. This extension is of particular importance in times of high unemployment when discouraged worker effects will be at their strongest. We also consider the contribution of such a model to the debate concerning the labour supply of women married to men who are unemployed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1379-1386 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000028 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000028 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:10:p:1379-1386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satya Paul Author-X-Name-First: Satya Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: Colm Kearney Author-X-Name-First: Colm Author-X-Name-Last: Kearney Author-Name: Kabir Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Kabir Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: Inflation and economic growth: a multi-country empirical analysis Abstract: The world eocnomy is currently adjusting to a low inflation regime which has implicastions for the cross-country distribution of world growth opportunities. In contrast to previous related work which assumes unidirectional causality, this paper uses the Granger methodology to examine both the direction and pattern of causality between inflation and economic growth in 70 countries using annual data over the period 1960-89. Among the conclusions are that first, the relationship between inflation and growth is non-uniform across countries: 40% of countries studied reveal no causality, one-third exhibit unidirectional causality and about one-fifth of countries show bidirectional causality, second, a vast majority of countries which show either uni- or bi-directional causality beong to the industrial group, and third, the low world inflation regime will on balance redistribute real growth opportunities benefit away from the developing countries towards the industrialized countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1387-1401 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000029 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:10:p:1387-1401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Denny Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Denny Title: Productivity and trade unions in British manufacturing industry 1973-85 Abstract: This paper uses panel data on british manufacturing industries between 1973 and 1985 to examine the relationship between productivity and labour organization. It is shown that the relationship between unions and productivity levels is sensitive to the econometric specification. The evidence points to there being no relationship in the 1970s when unions were more popular and a negative relationship from 1979 onwards. We also find evidence that industrial concentration is associated with higher levels of productivity and this accounts for more of the productivity recovery after the recession in the early 1980s than the impact of trade unions. The recession itself is shown to have had an impact on subsequent productivity growth. We also suggest that the long run gains in productivity caused by the shakeout of 1980-81 may not have compensated for the loss in output at the time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1403-1409 Issue: 10 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000030 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:10:p:1403-1409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoming Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoming Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Consumption demand, saving behaviour and rational expectations: an application of disequilibrium modelling to China 1952-92 Abstract: In explaining dramatic changes in Chinese household savings and money demand behaviour in the reform period, previous studies proposed and tested three different hypotheses. However, no effort has been made to distinguish quantitatively between forced and voluntary savings in terms of their quanta, reasons and effects; the role of rational expectations in determining household behaviour has not received proper attention; and a puzzle of high domestic savings ratio accompanied by low interest rates still remains to be solved. This paper adopts a disequilibrium framework capable of investigating these issues. Our research yields some interesting and important results. Its findings support the conjecture that both regime shifts and repressed inflation have contributed to the rapidly rising personal money balances during the reform period, with the former being a dominant factor. It is shown that household voluntary savings can be well explained by official interest rates; only forced savings and instantaneous excess demand matter in affecting market prices, and thus monetary overhang is not so unsettling as some economists would think; and expectations do play a certain role in influencing household savings behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1411-1424 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326246 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326246 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:11:p:1411-1424 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Parkin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Parkin Author-Name: Bruce Hollingsworth Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Hollingsworth Title: Measuring production efficiency of acute hospitals in Scotland, 1991-94: validity issues in data envelopment analysis Abstract: Data Envelopment Analysis is a potentially useful technique for measuring production efficiency and is being increasingly applied to health care services, as with other areas. However, some fundamental concerns need to be addressed before Data Envelopment Analysis can be accepted widely as a routine tool. These include issues of validity and specification error. This paper suggests a broad framework for assessing validity, which should be developed further, and gives illustrative examples of the problems in a real application within health care. Data from 75 Scottish acute hospitals for three years from 1991-94 are analysed. Internal validity is assessed by examining the effect on the results obtained of the choice of inputs and outputs selected for analysis. External validity is assessed by examining differences in the results obtained from the data for each of the three years. In both cases, it is concluded that there is a disturbing lack of concordance between the different results obtained. Caution must therefore be exercised in using Data EnvelopmentAnalysis in the health sector and in looking at its results, particularly those from a single time period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1425-1433 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326255 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326255 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:11:p:1425-1433 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Viard Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Viard Title: How forecastable is consumption growth? New evidence on the Hall random walk hypothesis Abstract: I provide new evidence on the accuracy of the Hall random walk hypothesis that consumption growth is not predictable. Using 1971-94 US data, I find that consumption growth is substantially more predictable than previously believed. A regression of consumption growth on lagged nominal interest rate changes, lagged consumption growth and forecasts by Data Resources, Inc. yields an adjusted R-squared of 0.32. The empirical tests further suggest that excess sensitivity of consumption to current disposable income, rather than time-varying real interest rates or non-separable utility, is the most likely explanation for the predictability of consumption growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1435-1446 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326264 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326264 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:11:p:1435-1446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ken Holden Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Holden Author-Name: John Thompson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Combining forecasts, encompassing and the properties of UK macroeconomic forecasts Abstract: The idea of combining forecasts is of great interest to forecasters and a linear combination of different forecasts can be more accurate than any individual forecast. For model builders, forecast encompassing is a way of checking whether any extra important information is contained in forecasts from rival models. Efficient forecasts have errors which are unrelated to any information available when they are formed. Combinations of forecasts, forecast encompassing and efficiency tests can all be achieved by a restricted or unrestricted regression of outcomes on the separate forecasts. This paper links these three approaches and examines the implications for recent UK annual forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1447-1458 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326273 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:11:p:1447-1458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joao Ricardo Faria Author-X-Name-First: Joao Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Faria Author-Name: Francisco. Carneiro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco. Author-X-Name-Last: Carneiro Title: The indexation of wages and bonds in Brazil Abstract: This paper analyses the dynamic relationship between the degrees of indexation of wages and public bonds in Brazil. A simple model is constructed to show that both degrees of indexation are determined simultaneously. We apply cointegration techniques and estimate error-correction representations to assess the temporal causality between them. Our results provide empirical support for the existence of simultaneity in the degrees of indexation in Brazil in the period 1980-93. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1459-1464 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326282 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326282 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:11:p:1459-1464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charlie Weir Author-X-Name-First: Charlie Author-X-Name-Last: Weir Title: Corporate governance, performance and take-overs: an empirical analysis of UK mergers Abstract: This paper analyses the relationship between the probability of being acquired, firm performance and governance structures. The acquired firms were all fully quoted on the London Stock Exchange and the acquisitions took place between 1990 and 1993. They were matched by a sample of non-acquired quoted companies. The sample was also analysed in terms of hostile and non-hostile acquisitions. It was found that the key governance characteristics which differentiated between acquired and nonacquired corporations related to the proportion of non-executive directors on the board and to whether or not the roles of chief executive officer and chairman were combined. It was also found that acquired firms were poor performers, which suggests that the internal governance structures had been ineffective. These results applied to hostile and non-hostile targets. The findings support the view that hostile acquisitions are disciplinary but cast doubt on the claim that non-hostile acquisitions are purely synergistic. The results also support the view that certain governance characteristics are effective substitutes for the take-over mechanism as a means of minimizing discretionary behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1465-1475 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326291 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326291 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:11:p:1465-1475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Title: Sectoral shocks and business cycles: a disaggregated analysis of output fluctuations in the UK Abstract: In this paper we first show that it is possible to modify linear real business cycle models to allow for disaggregate (industry-specific) factors in the generation of macroeconomic fluctuations. We then try to determine the relative importance of aggregate and sectoral shocks by doing principal components analysis on the residuals from a VAR of output growth rates in 19 UK industrial sectors. We find that a significant percentage of the innovations in sectoral output growths can be accounted for by a single unobserved component. However, since the model only sets an upper bound to the explanatory power of aggregate impulses, the importance of using sectoral data to extract additional information to bear on the analysis of economic fluctuations is confirmed by our findings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1477-1482 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326309 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326309 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:11:p:1477-1482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Casler Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Casler Title: Applied production theory: explicit, flexible, and general functional forms Abstract: The problem of estimating elasticity values is considered using a general functional from for the growth rate of input demand. The general input growth equation holds for all functional forms, both flexible and inflexible; it is linear-in-parameters and easy to use in applied production studies. An empirical application compares the theoretical, computational, and predictive characteristics of the translog and general functional forms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1483-1492 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326318 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326318 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:11:p:1483-1492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Papahristodoulou Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Papahristodoulou Title: A DEA model to evaluate car efficiency Abstract: This paper evaluates the efficiency of personal cars by using the non-parametric data envelopment analysis (DEA) approach. Analysis and comparison is performed in a normative manner since all the economic and technical parameters used (four and ten respectively) are not explicitly weighted. The data set covers 121 different car models in 1997, as appeared in the German Auto Motor und Sport magazine. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1493-1508 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326327 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326327 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:11:p:1493-1508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Moosa Khan Author-X-Name-First: Moosa Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: Matiur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Matiur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Author-Name: Anisul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Anisul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Tariff cuts and US net potential benefits: the case of the US and Mexico Abstract: This paper seeks to investigate US net potential benefits of merchandise imports from Mexico under tariff reductions. It applies a partial equilibrium framework which is static and highly aggregative in nature. The results suggest that the magnitudes of US net potential benefits of tariff cuts on merchandise imports from Mexico are conditional upon periods of duration of unemployment, discount rates, price elasticities of supply and demand, and existing tariff situations (high or low). Hence, the findings of the paper suggest that the US potential benefits and costs of merchandise imports from Mexico under tariff cuts should be weighed quite carefully. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1509-1514 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326336 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:11:p:1509-1514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. M. Nachane Author-X-Name-First: D. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nachane Title: Purchasing power parity: an analysis based on the evolutionary spectrum Abstract: The bulk of the literature on the empirical validation of the purchasing power parity (PPP) has been based on cointegration, although on rare occasions band-spectrum analysis has also been used. The former is tied down to the use of 'notional' time in the analysis of systems away from equilibrium, and the latter is circumscribed by the Slutzky-Yule effect. Both these drawbacks are sought to be remedied in the present paper, which seeks to bring to bear upon the PPP a new approach derived from the concept of a time-varying spectrum. Both absolute and relative versions of the doctrine are tested for ten advanced economies over the post-1973 period. Uniform rejection of the PPP occurs with the US $ as base, but with centring on the DM, the evidence seems to be supportive of the PPP (in its relative version) for three European countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1515-1524 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326345 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:11:p:1515-1524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vei-Lin Chan Author-X-Name-First: Vei-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: Sheng-Cheng Hu Author-X-Name-First: Sheng-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Financial liberalization and aggregate consumption: the evidence from Taiwan Abstract: This paper considers the effect of financial liberalization on aggregate consumption, with a special focus on Taiwan, which has sustained a high savings rate and a rapid rate of economic growth under financial dualism, but has undertaken financial liberalization since the 1980s, leading to an expansion of the formal financial sector. The paper finds that, because of an active informal financial sector, consumers in Taiwan are less credit constrained than in other developing countries. However, the expansion of the formal financial sector has contributed to some relaxation of consumer credit constraints and thereby changes in the income and interest elasticities of consumption. It also has brought about a higher consumption growth rate, offsetting at least partially the positive growth effect of financial liberalization, which helps improve the efficiency in finanacial intermediation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1525-1535 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326354 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:11:p:1525-1535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angelo Cocco Author-X-Name-First: Angelo Author-X-Name-Last: Cocco Author-Name: J. C. H. Jones Author-X-Name-First: J. C. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: On going south: the economics of survival and relocation of small market NHL franchises in Canada Abstract: This paper considers the issue of team viability and professional franchise relocation, a problem common to all major sports leagues in North America. Specifically, using the National Hockey League in the 1990s as the analytical vehicle, the proposition that the viability of Canadian Small Market Franchises (SMF) is in doubt because of a combination of inadequate revenue (due to the quality of their locations) and escalating salary cost, is examined. Using game by game data for the 1989/90 season, revenue, costs and profits by team were estimated and it was concluded that Canadian SMF are indeed an endangered species. Several alternatives which might rectify the problem are considered (revenue sharing, salary caps, public subsidy), but none are as attractive or as realistic as relocating south to US cities. The behaviour of SMF in the 1990s is consistent with this prognosis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1537-1552 Issue: 11 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368497326363 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368497326363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:11:p:1537-1552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Luksetich Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Luksetich Author-Name: Mark Partridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Partridge Title: Demand functions for museum services Abstract: Museums Worldwide are facing financial exigencies and are being forced to rely on earned income, including admission fees, to finance their activities. Using data from the 1989 Museum Surveywe estimate demand functions for seven types of museums in the United States. Previous empirial evidence on the effects of admission fees on museum attendance have either been anecdotal or case study in nature. This study presents the first general empirical evidence on factors influencing the demand for museum services. Our results provide evidence that the demand for museum services is price inelastic and that museum quality has important effects on museum demand. We also argue that out results indicate that the adverse effects of admission charges on attendance are small and relatively easy to alleviate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1553-1559 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000031 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:12:p:1553-1559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. J. Errington Author-X-Name-First: A. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Errington Author-Name: L. Harrison Mayfield Author-X-Name-First: L. Harrison Author-X-Name-Last: Mayfield Author-Name: Y. Khatri Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Khatri Author-Name: R. Townsend Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Townsend Title: Estimating the price elasticity of demand for family and hired farm labour in England and Wales Abstract: The agricultural workforce in the UK has been declining since the middle of the last century. However, the different types of agricultural labour have been variously affected, and hence the composition of the agricultural workforce has been undergoing continuous change. These changes in the structure of the agricultural workforce have serious implications not only for the policy makers but also for farm workers and farm businesses and those that service their needs. The study compares and explores the own price elasticity of demand for two groups of agricultural labour - that of family and hired - to enable the effects of agricultural policy on the structure of the agricultural workforce in both the short and long run to be estimated. This was done using two different methodologies - single equation and duality based system models. The similarities in the resulting elasticities give confidence in the estimates. These estimates can be used to help forecast the future structure of the agricultural workforce. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1561-1574 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000032 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000032 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:12:p:1561-1574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Talan Iscan Author-X-Name-First: Talan Author-X-Name-Last: Iscan Title: Devaluations and aggregate output fluctuations: a random coefficient regression model for Mexico Abstract: The goal of this paper is to investigate whether nominal devaluations had real output growth effects in Mexico and, if so, to assess the significance and duration of such effects. A random coefficient regression model to evaluate the output growth effects of 1976, 1982 and 1986 devaluations using sectoral data from 1970 to 1991 is specified and estimated. The results indicate unambiguous short-term contractionary effects of devaluations on non-agricultural output in Mexico. In addition, it is found that adjustments to imbalances in the external sector invariably came from temporary contractions in the aggregate output rather than significant resource reallocation from the non-tradable sector towards the tradable sector. Several transmission mechanisms that relate nominal exchange rate movements to real output fluctuations are also considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1575-1584 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000033 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000033 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:12:p:1575-1584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wilko Letterie Author-X-Name-First: Wilko Author-X-Name-Last: Letterie Author-Name: Otto Swank Author-X-Name-First: Otto Author-X-Name-Last: Swank Title: Electoral and partisan cycles between US economic performance and presidential popularity: a comment on Stephen E. Haynes Abstract: In this paper we discuss a recent paper by Stephen E. Haynes in which he relates electoral cycles in political support to electoral cycles in economic variables. Haynes finds that the cycle in support for Republican presidents is explained by the cycle in economic variables, whereas the cycle in support for Democratic presidents is not. In our opinion this shortcoming is due to his specification of the popularity function. Haynes estimates a popularity function which incorporates the notion that voters reward the incumbent for favourable outcomes (score hypothesis). Our popularity function combines the score hypothesis and the notion that voters cast their ballots for the party that best fits the current economic situation (issue hypothesis). We show that the electoral cycle in popularity of both Republican and Democratic presidents is explained very well by the cycle in economic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1585-1592 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000034 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000034 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:12:p:1585-1592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atsuyuki Naka Author-X-Name-First: Atsuyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Naka Author-Name: David Tufte Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Tufte Title: Examining impulse response functions in cointegrated systems Abstract: A system of reduced forms with cointegrated variables may be estimated in two ways: as a vector autoregression in levels, or as a vector error correction model. The latter is a restricted version of the former. If there is cointegration, imposing this restriction will yield more efficient estimates. However, at short horizons, vector error correction estimates are known to perform poorly relative to those from a vector autoregression. We examine how this property affects impulse response functions. A Monte Carlo experiment, and an example, suggest that impulse response functions of the two models are similar at short horizons, but different at long horizons. This suggests that the loss of efficiency from vector autoregression estimation is not critical at the commonly used short horizon. Our results complement parallel arguments focusing on forecast errors made by Clements and Hendry (1995), Hoffman and Rasche (1996), and Lin and Tsay (1996). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1593-1603 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000035 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000035 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:12:p:1593-1603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Daniel Gropper Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Gropper Title: A quality-adjusted price index for mainframe computers Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1605-1610 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000036 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000036 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:12:p:1605-1610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Rosenbaum Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenbaum Author-Name: Meng-Hua Ye Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Title: Price discrimination and economics journals Abstract: An analysis of pricing by economics journal publishers shows that most publishers initially charge libraries and individual subscribers the same price. Over time, however, almost all eventually engage in price discrimination. The few publishers that never price-discriminate seem to be purchasing an explicit non-profit-maximizing pricing strategy. Once discrimination occurs, library prices rise faster than individual subscriber prices. These results are consistent with theoretical predictions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1611-1618 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000037 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000037 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:12:p:1611-1618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuseppe Marotta Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Marotta Title: Does trade credit redistribution thwart monetary policy? Evidence from Italy Abstract: Italy is an ideal candidate for testing the credit view of the transmission mechanism because of a bank-centred financial structure, a sizeable trade debt, and an economy titled towards small firms. An empirical analysis of trade credit and debt on averaged panel data shows that small firms act as financially constrained and cycle-sensitive, whereas large ones aim at smoothing sales, adopt an integrated management of inventories and receivables and have a higher trade debt to purchases elasticity. On balance, the net trade credit channel does not, as implied by the credit view, shield small firms from a monetary squeeze. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1619-1629 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000038 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:12:p:1619-1629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ron Cronovich Author-X-Name-First: Ron Author-X-Name-Last: Cronovich Author-Name: Rennae Daneshvary Author-X-Name-First: Rennae Author-X-Name-Last: Daneshvary Author-Name: R. Keith Schwer Author-X-Name-First: R. Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Schwer Title: The determinants of coupon usage Abstract: This paper uses a large sample of survey data to investigate the empirical determinants of coupon usage. The broad set of control variables allows for comparisons of the relative importance of individual determinants and groups of determinants. We find that the set of variables measuring consumer shopping habits and attitudes explains more of the variation in coupon usage across households than the group of socioeconomic and demographic variables. However, the latter variables are jointly significant, and their estimated coefficients have the expected signs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1631-1641 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000039 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:12:p:1631-1641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: X. M. Gao Author-X-Name-First: X. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Timothy Richards Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Richards Author-Name: Albert Kagan Author-X-Name-First: Albert Author-X-Name-Last: Kagan Title: A latent variable model of consumer taste determination and taste change for complex carbohydrates Abstract: Despite evidence that aggregate consumption of complex carbohydrates has risen over the last decade, food consumption surveys suggest that fewer households are consuming less bread, pasta rice, potatoes and corn. This paper estimates systems of complex carbohydrae demand using cross-sectional data from 1977-78 and 1987-88 in order to explain this paradox. Changes in demand that are not explained by changes in prices or income are explained by variations in taste. Because tastes cannot be directly observed, the paper uses a multiple indicator and multiple cause (MIMIC) model to construct a suitable proxy variable. In the MIMIC approach, the 'indicators' are residuals from a household demand function that includes prices and incomes as explanatory variables, while household and demograhic proxies are 'cause' variables. The objectives in applying the MIMIC model are to determine the effect of consumer tastes on complex carbohydrate demand and, comparing cross-sectional survey data from two different periods, test the hypothesis that these tastes change over time. The data consist of US complex carbohydrate prices and expenditures, taken from the USDA Household Food Consumption Surveys in 1977-78 and 1987-88. The results show that structural changes in demand, or those that are not explained by changes in price, income, or the cause variables, led to an increase in complex carbohydrate demand of 5% from 1977-78 to 1987-88. However, changes in demand explained by the cause variables cause demand to fall by 9%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1643-1654 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000040 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000040 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:12:p:1643-1654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Blake Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Blake Author-Name: Angelika Nied Author-X-Name-First: Angelika Author-X-Name-Last: Nied Title: The demand for alcohol in the United Kingdom Abstract: Using the AIDS model, we show that there exists for the UK a stable long-run relationship between expenditure shares on beer, cider, spirits and wine, alcohol prices, total alcohol expenditure and a range of non-economic variables relating to advertising, licensing, the employment, social class and demographic characteristics of consumers, and climate. Our estimates of key price and income elasticities generally lie between those found from other time-series studies (which exclude most of these non-economic variables) and those found from cross-section studies (which generally include them). However, the restrictions required for separability, homegeneity and symmetry (although not those for perfect price aggregation) are decisively rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1655-1672 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000041 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000041 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:12:p:1655-1672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ioannis Kaskarelis Author-X-Name-First: Ioannis Author-X-Name-Last: Kaskarelis Title: Aggregate returns to scale in Greek manufacturing Abstract: This paper takes an imperfect competition model of the economy in order to investigate for retuns to scale in Greek manufacturing and examines, through a small-scale macroeconomic model, the implication of estimates. For this purpose a price, wage and demand for output equations are estimated, using annual data for the period 1954-94. Prices come through the profits maximization process and depend on wage, capital rental, demand and a number of other variables denoing technology and market competition. Results are clearly in favour of increasing returns to scale hypothesis, although alternative explanations for the negative demand effect on prices cannot be excluded. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1673-1678 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000042 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000042 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:12:p:1673-1678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Haiyan Song Author-X-Name-First: Haiyan Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Peter Romilly Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Romilly Title: An empirical investigation of the causal relationship between openness and economic growth in China Abstract: This study investigates the causal relationship between openness and economic growth in China. The integration and cointegration properties of the data are analysed and the models of Granger, Sims, Geweke and Hsiao are used to identify a bi-directional causal relationship between GNP and exports plus imports. This bi-directional causation is consistent with China's development strategy of protected export promotion Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1679-1686 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000043 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000043 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:12:p:1679-1686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Osman Suliman Author-X-Name-First: Osman Author-X-Name-Last: Suliman Title: Innovation and weak labour disposability: some theoretical and empirical evidence Abstract: This paper envisages theoretically and empirically the weak labour disposability and the ability of labour to innovate in a poor-capital, surplus-labour economy. Therefore, a production function where the marginal product can become zero or even negative has been derived and estimated using data from Suden over the period 1968-88, with quarterly interpolation. Thus, unlike neoclassical specifications of endogenous growth theory, labour withdrawal may have minimal effect on output. The results indicate the presence of weak disposability of labour. The existence of a discernibly low capital-saving technical relationship between labour and capital has been verified using cointegration techniques. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1687-1693 Issue: 12 Volume: 29 Year: 1997 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036849700000044 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036849700000044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:29:y:1997:i:12:p:1687-1693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruben Cohen Author-X-Name-First: Ruben Author-X-Name-Last: Cohen Title: An analysis of the dynamic behaviour of earnings distributions Abstract: An analysis of the dynamic behaviour of earnings distributions is conducted here in three ways. First, the method of dimensional analysis, in the context of Buckingham's Pi theorem, is employed to demonstrate that earnings distributions, which are almost always dynamic in character, should, under certain conditions and a special coordinate transformation, be self-similar and time-invariant. Application of the theorem to some empirical data, pertaining to Canadian income, fully confirms this finding. Second, an economics-based model, incorporating the concept of a shock-free economy in competitive equilibrium, is developed to provide an intuitive account of the conclusions reached above. Testing the model's predictions against data once again yields satisfactory agreement between the two. The model is finally extended to account for labour-force mobility across income brackets. The outcome of this, when compared with empirical data, could reflect the degree of homogeneity, and even discrimination, in a labour force. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-17 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326092 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498326092 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:1-17 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michelle Baddeley Author-X-Name-First: Michelle Author-X-Name-Last: Baddeley Author-Name: Ron Martin Author-X-Name-First: Ron Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: Peter Tyler Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Tyler Title: Transitory shock or structural shift? The impact of the early 1980s recession on British regional unemployment Abstract: This paper examines the impact of the early 1980s recession on regional unemployment in Britain. More specifically, it seeks to evaluate the hypothesis that this recessionary shock was so severe that it caused an upward structural shift in the underlying mean unemployment rates of the regions. This proposition is analysed using Dickey — Fuller tests for difference versus trend stationarity, and the augmented structural shift and trend break time-series models developed by Perron. The results suggest that the apparent stochastic non-stationarity in regional unemployment over the period 1965 - 95 is in fact due to an upward structural shift in regional mean unemployment rates in 1980. Furthermore, the nature of this shift appears to have differed as between the northern and southern regions of the country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 19-30 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326100 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498326100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:19-30 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. H. L. Dewhurst Author-X-Name-First: J. H. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Dewhurst Title: Convergence and divergence in regional household incomes per head in the United Kingdom, 1984-93 Abstract: This paper examines the σ-convergence of regional household incomes in the UK and finds support for the idea that regions in the UK have, in the recent past, tended to diverge during booms and converge during slumps. A new way of presenting the change in the distribution of regional incomes is offered. The results are extended to the consideration of movements in the higher moments of the underlying distributions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 31-35 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326119 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498326119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:31-35 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ram Acharya Author-X-Name-First: Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Acharya Author-Name: Robert Ekelund Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Ekelund Title: Mixed and pure sharecropping in Nepal: empirical evidence supporting the traditional hypothesis Abstract: We analyse differences in input and output intensities across three comparative tenure regimes in Nepal, using two test methods: an F-test based on Hotelling's T2 statistic, and a test which adapts Shaban's (1987) methodology to include plot size and crop type. Our results reveal statistically significant differences in the three alternative systems of property rights assignments, which have implications for economic theory and policy relating to tenure systems. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 37-50 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326128 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498326128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:37-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tilak Abeysinghe Author-X-Name-First: Tilak Author-X-Name-Last: Abeysinghe Author-Name: Tan Lin Yeok Author-X-Name-First: Tan Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Yeok Title: Exchange rate appreciation and export competitiveness. The case of Singapore Abstract: Policy prescriptions have generally assumed that exchange rate depreciation would stimulate exports and curtail imports, while exchange rate appreciation would be detrimental to exports and encourage imports. This prediction has, however, often neglected to consider the existence of the import content of exports, as well as the dynamic effects of productivity improvements. Our paper seeks to show empirically, the significance of these two factors in affecting the competitiveness of Singapore's exports. Specifically, the paper shows that in the presence of high import content, exports are not adversely affected by currency appreciation because the lower import prices due to appreciation reduce the cost of export production. In the case of Singapore, this cushioning effect outweighs that of the effect of productivity gains on export competitiveness. The service exports, however, with a very low import content tend to suffer from currency appreciation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 51-55 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326137 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498326137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:51-55 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Sumner Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Sumner Title: Permanent and transitory effects of fiscal policy on investment in the UK Abstract: A major change in the British corporate tax system had only a weak effect on the level of manufacturing investment, but caused a large and highly significant reduction in its seasonal variance. The explanation of this change sheds new light on the impact of pre-announced tax changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 57-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326146 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498326146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:57-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Basil Dalamagas Author-X-Name-First: Basil Author-X-Name-Last: Dalamagas Title: Endogenous growth and the dynamic Laffer curve Abstract: Advocates of supply-side economics contend that at least some of the economies are on the negatively sloped portion of the well-publicized Laffer curve, so that a lowering of tax rates will increase tax revenue and, thereby, reduce fiscal deficits in the long run. The purpose of this paper is to provide a simple but fundamentally correct framework — in the context of a convex model of endogenous growth — within which this contention may be analysed. The central finding is that, in the Group of Seven (G7), the issue of the response of deficits to tax rate changes cannot be resolved unless the crowding-out and crowding-in aspects of government intervention are taken into account. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 63-75 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326155 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498326155 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:63-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harald Gruber Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Gruber Title: The diffusion of innovations in protected industries: the textile industry Abstract: The diffusion of the shuttleless loom, a major innovation in the textile industry, has been relatively slow in spite of the undisputed improvement with respect to the conventional shuttle loom used for weaving textiles. The diffusion of shuttleless looms in industrialized countries is analysed in the framework of an epidemic diffusion model where the diffusion speed parameter is allowed to vary. Of the various factors affecting the speed of diffusion, trade liberalization seems to have the most potent impact in accelerating diffusion. This finding is consistent with the idea that trade liberalization is conducive to speeding up the diffusion of innovations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 77-83 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326164 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498326164 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:77-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Thornton Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The labour supply behaviour of self-employed solo practice physicians Abstract: This paper investigates the empirical labour supply behaviour of self-employed solo practice physicians. The specification of the empirical labour supply equation is based on a model of constrained utility-maximizing behaviour that recognizes the physician makes work/leisure choices based on an endogenous shadow wage and faces a nonlinear budget constraint. The findings suggest that the typical self-employed solo practice male physician operates on the upward-sloping portion of the labour supply curve and is relatively unresponsive to changes in marginal hourly medical practice earnings and non-practice income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 85-94 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326173 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498326173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:85-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cherian Samuel Author-X-Name-First: Cherian Author-X-Name-Last: Samuel Title: The investment decision: a re-examination of competing theories using panel data Abstract: A re-examination of the competing theories of investment using panel data for US manufacturing firms finds that the time-series regressions rank the neoclassical model as the best and the cross-section and fixed effects regressions give the number 1 spot to the cash flow model. If the results from cross-section regressions are viewed as representing the long-run equilibrium, the single-most important determinant of capital expenditures appears to be cash flows. These results are consistent with earlier findings in the literature, support the need for an eclectic approach to the study of capital expenditure decisions at the firm level, and vindicate the choice of the firm as the basic unit of analysis in the study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 95-104 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326182 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498326182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:95-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martha Field Author-X-Name-First: Martha Author-X-Name-Last: Field Author-Name: Emilio Pagoulatos Author-X-Name-First: Emilio Author-X-Name-Last: Pagoulatos Title: Foreign trade elasticities and import discipline Abstract: This paper provides new evidence on the 'trade-as-discipline7rsquo; hypothesis by considering the determination of price - cost margins with a panel of 41 four-digit US food manufacturing industries from 1972 to 1987. Following the empirical specification suggested by competitive fringe oligopoly models, we include estimated domestic demand elasticities and cross-price elasticities of import demand as explanatory variables, and the empirical results confirm the importance of these variables in assessing the hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 105-111 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326191 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498326191 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:105-111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeung-Lak Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jeung-Lak Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Carolyn Clark Author-X-Name-First: Carolyn Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Author-Name: Sung Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Sung Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Title: Long- and short-run Fisher effects: new tests and new results Abstract: We find Fisher effects, both long- and short-run, in our full sample period and in the lengthy first sub-period, using Mishkin's monthly data for Treasury bill yields and the corresponding inflation rate. Recently developed cointegration techniques (Ahn and Reinsel, 1990; Reinsel and Ahn, 1992) are used to detect a long-run Fisher effect. The short-run effect is analysed within a cointegration framework, using a Granger causality test that we developed. In the two more recent, but comparatively short sub-periods since October 1979, our results indicate the Fisher effect is not present in either long- or short-run form. These methodologies and results differ from the conclusions of Mishkin's (1992) recent study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 113-124 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326209 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498326209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:113-124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: The efficiency distribution in a production cost model Abstract: Methods of estimating efficiency by cost frontiers are analysed here by generalizing the efficiency distribution approach in Farrell's convex hull method of cost minimization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 125-132 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326218 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498326218 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:125-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Hanousek Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Hanousek Author-Name: Eugene Kroch Author-X-Name-First: Eugene Author-X-Name-Last: Kroch Title: The two waves of voucher privatization in the Czech Republic: a model of learning in sequential bidding Abstract: This study develops a dynamic model of bidding behaviour to investigate the Czech voucher privatization process, which took place in two waves of bidding rounds, the first in 1992 and the second in 1994. It examines the voucher mechanism from the standpoint of investors and the pricing and allocation of shares. Investors could participate as independent individuals or by assigning some of all of their voucher points to investment privatization funds. Principal findings are that individual participants behaved differently from funds and benefited by learning from one round to the next and from observing the behaviour of the funds. An important collateral finding is that the market, though crude, behaved efficiently in the adjustment of share prices over the bidding rounds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 133-143 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326227 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498326227 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:133-143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Abbott Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Abbott Author-Name: Kevin Lawler Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Lawler Author-Name: Marcus Ling Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Ling Title: An empirical analysis of the effects of the Monopolies and Mergers Commission Beer Orders (1989) on the UK brewing industry Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse the structural changes in the UK brewing industry, resulting from the Monopolies and Mergers Commission's (MMC) Beer Orders, 1989. Our discussion is supported by an empirical analysis of the effects of these recommendations on the demand for beer in the UK. The empirical results indicate no significant change in the national market following the recent government interventation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 145-149 Issue: 1 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326236 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498326236 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:1:p:145-149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Loren Tauer Author-X-Name-First: Loren Author-X-Name-Last: Tauer Author-Name: Zdenko Stefanides Author-X-Name-First: Zdenko Author-X-Name-Last: Stefanides Title: Success in maximizing profits and reasons for profit deviation on dairy farms Abstract: The weak axiom of profit maximization (WAPM) was used to test how successful each of 70 individual New York State dairy farms was in maximizing profits using nine years of data. The netput vectors were corrected for technological change using nonparametric indices that do not require the assumption of profit maximization nor any functional form for the underlying technology. These technology indices are consistent with the nonparametric assumptions used in the WAPM tests. The average negative WAPM deviation over the 70 farms was 0.20, indicating that on average these farms could have selected available netput vectors that would have increased profits by 20% of total receipts. A tobit regression showed that the available characteristics on these farms explained very little of the variability in their abilities to select the best netput vectors. Yet, increased age and additional education increased the ability to select the best netput vector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 151-156 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325958 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/000368498325958 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:2:p:151-156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enrico Santarelli Author-X-Name-First: Enrico Author-X-Name-Last: Santarelli Title: Start-up size and post-entry performance: the case of tourism services in Italy Abstract: A large and comprehensive longitudinal database is used to identify the start-up of new firms in the Italian tourist industry and their subsequent post-entry performance. Analysed in particular is the link between the survival of hotels, restaurants, and catering firms in each Italian region and their start-up size. By using logit estimation, it is found that for eighteen out of twenty regions the relationship has the expected sign, although only for twelve regions and the country as a whole did it turn out to be statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 157-163 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325967 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/000368498325967 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:2:p:157-163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klass H. W. Knot Author-X-Name-First: Klass H. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Knot Title: The fundamental determinants of interest rate differentials in the ERM Abstract: The paper analyses the sources of persistent interest rate differentials vis-�-vis Germany that have existed in Belgium, Denmark, France, Ireland, Italy, and the Netherlands. In a target zone system like the ERM, interest rate differentials mainly reflect devaluation expectations, which are measured here by raw 1-month Euromarket interest rate differentials, drift-adjusted 1-month differentials, and differentials in long-term government bond yields. The role of a large set of fundamental macroeconomic variables that may have affected these devaluation expectations is investigated within a vector autoregressive (VAR) setting, by means of Granger-causality tests, impulse-response functions and variance decompositions. We find no evidence that fundamentals are more relevant to drift-adjusted devaluation risk than for unadjusted interest rate differentials. A significant impact of inflation, budget deficits, and unemployment becomes evident for almost all ERM-participants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 165-176 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325976 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/000368498325976 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:2:p:165-176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans-Jurgen Engelbrecht Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Engelbrecht Title: Business sector R&D and Australia's manufacturing trade structure Abstract: This study explores the link between R&D intensity and trade performance for Australian manufacturing in 1989--90. Net export, export and import intensity equations are estimated. Net export equations are also corrected for trade imbalance, which has been shown significantly to improve the likelihood of correct predictions of revealed factor abundances. The importance of testing for appropriate functional forms is emphasized. R&D data by industry of product field are clearly preferred over industry of enterprise data. The results reconfirm Australia's comparative disadvantage in R&D intensive manufacturing and the asymmetry in the impact of R&D intensity on net export and export intensity, despite the strong increase in business R&D expenditure and the many policy initiatives adopted during the 1980s aimed at promoting technological capability and increasing non-traditional manufactured exports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 177-187 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325985 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/000368498325985 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:2:p:177-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Kabir Hassan Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kabir Hassan Author-Name: David R. Tufte Author-X-Name-First: David R. Author-X-Name-Last: Tufte Title: Exchange rate volatility and aggregate export growth in Bangladesh Abstract: The long and short-run determinants of Bangladeshi export growth are examined. These are modelled as depending on world trade volume, Bangladeshi and world export prices, and exchange rate volatility. Several techniques are used to estimate and test hypotheses about the cointegration space of these variables. We find that there are two plausible restricted cointegrating vectors: one appears to be an export demand while the other is suggestive of an export supply. These are then imposed on an error correction model. Estimates suggest that in the long run, Bangladeshi export growth is driven by the volume of world trade, and is negatively, and inelastically related to the volatility of Bangladeshi exchange rates. Once these long-run effects are accounted for, it is found that none of the variables significantly explains any short-run changes in export growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 189-201 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325994 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/000368498325994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:2:p:189-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Glick Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Glick Author-Name: David E. Sahn Author-X-Name-First: David E. Author-X-Name-Last: Sahn Title: Health and productivity in a heterogeneous urban labour market Abstract: The effects of changes in various health indicators on hourly earnings in different sectors of the labour market are examined using survey data from Conakry, Guinea. Greater height, which is associated with greater strength, raises earnings of men both in self-employment and the private wage sector, where work is likely to involve physical labour. Height does not matter for women's earnings, which likely reflects the less physically strenuous nature of most women's activities. Body mass index, treated as an endogenous variable, appears to raise earnings of men in self- and private wage employment and of women in self-employment. No impacts are found for household per capita calorie and protein availability, also treated as endogenous. Overall, the results suggest that health matters for productivity in poor urban environments, with these effects depending on gender and the sector of employment or type of work. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 203-216 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326001 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/000368498326001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:2:p:203-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert J. Brent Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: Estimating the effectiveness and benefits of alcohol treatment programmes for use in economic evaluations Abstract: A binary probit model based on random utility theory is employed to obtain the implicit determinants of alcohol treatment effectiveness revealed by decisions made by programme evaluators of behavioural changes by patients. A scale of equivalences for the behavioural variables is constructed which uses reductions in alcohol drinking as the unit of account. Because one of the behavioural variables was the change in income from treatment expressed in dollars, the trade-offs contained in the scale of equivalences can be translated into monetary terms using the human capital approach. The method is applied to a sample of 1689 observations from the National Alcoholism Program Information System (NAPIS) tapes for 1977-81. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 217-226 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326010 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/000368498326010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:2:p:217-226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Irene Henriques Author-X-Name-First: Irene Author-X-Name-Last: Henriques Author-Name: Perry Sadorsky Author-X-Name-First: Perry Author-X-Name-Last: Sadorsky Author-Name: Savita Verma Author-X-Name-First: Savita Author-X-Name-Last: Verma Title: Sectoral fluctuations in Mexico and the 1993 recession Abstract: The sectoral fluctuations that occurred during Mexico's 1993 recession are studied. The 1993 recession differed from other recessions in that it was preceded by a period of low inflation and positive government surplus. Our empirical analysis suggests that slowdowns in natural resource intensive sectors were partially responsible for the 1993 recession in Mexico. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 227-234 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326029 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/000368498326029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:2:p:227-234 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shon P. Williams Author-X-Name-First: Shon P. Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Author-Name: C. Richard Shumway Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Richard Shumway Title: Aggregation of data and profit maximization in Mexican agriculture Abstract: Nonparametric support for two important hypotheses relevant to econometric model specification is examined. Results of various nonparametric tests for behavioural objective and aggregation level of Mexican agricultural production data are reported. The evidence does not refute the hypothesis that producers behave collectively as though they are a price-taking, profit-maximizing firm. The empirical results also support exhaustive aggregation of input categories. Aggregation possibilities among outputs are fewer and are highly sensitive to the rejection criterion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 235-244 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326038 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/000368498326038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:2:p:235-244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georgios Fotopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Georgios Author-X-Name-Last: Fotopoulos Author-Name: Nigel Spence Author-X-Name-First: Nigel Author-X-Name-Last: Spence Title: Entry and exit from manufacturing industries: symmetry, turbulence and simultaneity - some empirical evidence from Greek manufacturing industries, 1982-1988 Abstract: The interdependence between entry and exit of firms into manufacturing industries is the focus of this research. When both entry and exit equations are estimated separately the results support the existence of strong symmetry in their determinants. When, however, entry and exit are estimated within a simultaneous equation framework, the empirical evidence does not offer sufficient grounds to support the notion that entry and exit are simultaneously linked. Instead it seems that they are two contemporaneously related processes which respond in like fashion to the structural characteristics found in particular industries. Their linked response is also extended to factors unaccounted for by the individual entry and exit formulations, and this expresses itself in significant contemporaneous correlation between the entry and exit equation residuals. The change in the identities of firms operating, implied by the positive correlation between entry and exit, may then be attributed to industry turbulent conditions, which in turn appear perhaps to be conditioned in the shorter run by time-invariant inter-industry differences in technological factors and sunk costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 245-262 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326047 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/000368498326047 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:2:p:245-262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia L. Chelley-Steeley Author-X-Name-First: Patricia L. Author-X-Name-Last: Chelley-Steeley Author-Name: James M. Steeley Author-X-Name-First: James M. Author-X-Name-Last: Steeley Author-Name: Eric J. Pentecost Author-X-Name-First: Eric J. Author-X-Name-Last: Pentecost Title: Exchange controls and European stock market integration Abstract: This paper examines the impact on stock price predictability that the removal of exchange controls had on major European countries during the late 1970s and 1980s. It is found that for Germany, Switzerland and France, the removal of exchange controls led to an increase in the interdependence between these and other markets. In contrast, there is little evidence of an increase in interdependence for the UK and Italy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 263-267 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326056 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/000368498326056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:2:p:263-267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Artur C. B. Da Silva Lopes Author-X-Name-First: Artur C. B. Author-X-Name-Last: Da Silva Lopes Title: On the 'restricted cointegration test' as a test of the rational expectations hypothesis* Abstract: One of the main consequences of the 'cointegration revolution' on the domain of the direct tests of the rational expectations hypothesis (REH) was the substitution of the 'restricted cointegration test' (RCT) for the 'unbiasedness test'. However, the results of a Monte Carlo study show that a simple t-test can be much more powerful than the RCT. It is argued that the RCT is adequate to investigate the 'asymptotic rationality' but that it is not sufficient to assess the Muthian rationality of expectations. The discussion is empirically illustrated with the test of the REH for the Portuguese retail trade inflation expectations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 269-278 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/000368498326065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:2:p:269-278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorg Kramer Author-X-Name-First: Jorg Author-X-Name-Last: Kramer Title: Determinants of the expected real long-term interest rates in the G7-countries Abstract: The paper investigates which factors determine the expected real long-term interest rates of the G7-countries as a whole within a single equation error correction model. Inflationary expectations are generated using the low frequency component of inflation provided by the Hodrick-Prescott filter. A comparison of the calculated expected inflation rates with those resulting from index-linked and conventional UK bonds suggests this approach to be appropriate. Expected real long-term interest rates turn out to be influenced positively by real short-term interest rates, capacity utilization and structural public borrowing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 279-285 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/000368498326074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:2:p:279-285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: A. E. H. Speight Author-X-Name-First: A. E. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: The nonlinear time series properties of unemployment rates: some further evidence Abstract: The time series properties of unemployment rates for Germany, Japan, the UK and the US are re-examined. Evidence of nonlinear structure in the residuals of the most parsimonious linear ARMA models is reported for all countries except Japan. Modelling this nonlinearity using SETAR models suggests strong asymmetry in unemployment dynamics and the presence of a possible limit cycle for the UK. However, residual diagnostics for these models indicate remaining structure. Alternative TAR models conditioned on past growth rates of industrial production yield substantial reductions in residual variance over both linear and SETAR counterparts, iid residuals in all cases other than the US, and threshold values at or very near zero, clearly identifying the asymmetric behaviour of unemployment during expansionary and contractionary phases of the business cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 287-294 Issue: 2 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498326083 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/000368498326083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:2:p:287-294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Winston Lin Author-X-Name-First: Winston Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yueh Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yueh Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Forecasting foreign exchange rates with an intrinsically nonlinear dynamic speed of adjustment model Abstract: Forecasting foreign exchange rates is an important but difficult process; therefore, it is important to use a superior forecasting model. The paper takes up this criterion and proposes to describe and forecast foreign exchange rates by developing an intrinsically nonlinear model with variable and dynamic speeds of adjustment. It is found that the speed of adjusting the random (or expected) to the equilibrium rate is very slow, implying that fiscal policy (statistically insignificat) and monetary policy (statistically significant) may be ineffective to induce changes in the adjustment speed. We also find that the nonlinear dynamic model improves forecasting performance, implying that nonlinearities in the sense of functional forms are exploitable for improved point forecasting of foreign exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 295-312 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325822 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:3:p:295-312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Robson Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Robson Title: Self-employment in the UK regions Abstract: The significant regional variations which exist in the rate of self-employment among UK males are highlighted and attempts made to explain them. Using pooled crosssection time-series data for the period 1973 - 93, it is found that in the long run, regional rates of self-employmentare a function of the real value of net housing wealth and the industry composition of regional GDP. However, a significant proportion of regional variations in self-employment can only be explained by regional 'fixed effects', which reflect fundamental long-term influences which make some regions more fertile environments for self-employment than others. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 313-322 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325831 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:3:p:313-322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: A. E. H. Speight Author-X-Name-First: A. E. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: Threshold nonlinearities in output: some international evidence Abstract: The empirical adequacy of linear AR and nonlinear SETAR models of trend-stationary and difference-stationary representations of output for Canada, Germany, Japan, the UK and the US are appraised. Test results suggest the presence of linear model residual structure of some form for all series, and nonlinearities of specifically threshold form in trend-stationary data for Canada, Germany, Japan and the US, and difference-stationary data for Germany, Japan and the US. With the exception of Canada, estimated threshold nonlinear models imply asymmetric dynamics, are able to account for all nonlinear structure in the data on the basis of BDS statistics, and provide sizeable reductions in residual variance in several cases, most notably for Germany. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 323-333 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325840 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:3:p:323-333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stein Ostbye Author-X-Name-First: Stein Author-X-Name-Last: Ostbye Title: Real options, wage bargaining, factor subsidies and employment Abstract: The paper combines a translog variable cost function, a bargaining model of wage determination and a real option model determining real capital. Using this framework, the effect of factor subsidies on labour demand is estimated, based on aggregate panel data for Norwegian manufacturing industry in the period 1980-1988 Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 335-344 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325859 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:3:p:335-344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodolfo Nayga Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Nayga Title: A sample selection model for prepared food expenditures Abstract: The factors affecting household expenditures on four types of prepared food products from a sample selection model estimated using a two-step method are explored. Results suggest that several variables affect household expenditures on various prepared food products. Factors examined are presence of children, number of earners, region, household size, seasonality, age, race, education, and income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 345-352 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325868 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:3:p:345-352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Stine Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Stine Title: Explaining the decision to repeal an optional local tax Abstract: County governments in Pennsylvania have had the option to repeal the intangible property tax since 1978. As of 1992, 27 of Pennsylvania's 66 counties had repealed it. An attempt is made to explain empirically the probability of repeal in this paper. The empirical model accounts for a large part of the variation across counties. The results show that the probability of levying the intangible property tax is positively related to the projected change in the real estate tax rate. Further, it was found that revenue diversification and several taste and political variables significantly influence the repeal decision. These findings are consistent with those of previous tax adoption studies. The evidence, however, does not show the exportation of real estate taxes to have the expected effect on the probability of repeal. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 353-363 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325877 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325877 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:3:p:353-363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: J. Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Title: Real government size, automatic feedback rules and the measured effectiveness of fiscal policy Abstract: This paper argues that as intervention, fiscal policy means more than simply any change in government spending and this requires of fiscal analysis a measure that separates the allocative from the counter-cyclical activities of government. Defining intervention as an optimal policy rule that responds automatically to privately unanticipated variations in output, a general equilibrium model is built to separate the supply side effects of desired changes in the size of government from demand side interventions designed to stimulate aggregate demand. The model is tested using the results of a public choice investigation of the real size of government (Ferris and West, 1996). That exercise produces a measure of desired size and, through its residual, an implicit measure of intervention. The paper tests the prediction that increases in desired size increase aggregate supply and that ex post measures of fiscal intervention can be recovered and tested for their effect on aggregate output. The test uses CITIBASE US annual data from 1959 through 1989. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 365-373 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325886 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:3:p:365-373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Vamvoukas Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Vamvoukas Title: The relationship between budget deficits and money demand: evidence from a small economy Abstract: A considerable number of empirical studies exploring the links between budget deficits and the demand for money have led to mixed results. By using annual data of the Greek economy and previous empirical studies, this paper empirically evaluates the sensitivity and validity of the Keynesian proposition and the Ricardian equivalence hypothesis. The paper employs cointegration, ECM methodology, and several diagnostic and specification tests. The empirical findings show a significant and positive relationship between budget deficits and the demand for money, supporting the Keynesian model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 375-382 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325895 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:3:p:375-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Brakman Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Brakman Author-Name: Elmer Sterken Author-X-Name-First: Elmer Author-X-Name-Last: Sterken Title: A test of Dutch long-run export supply behaviour Abstract: The small country assumption affects the modelling of the export demand and export price equations. A large (monopolistic) country can set its export price as a mark-up over marginal cost, because it has market power. In contrast, small countries have to deal with competition which forces prices down to the price level of foreign competitors; prices are exogenous. Another possibility is the case in which a small country wants to preserve market shares in foreign markets, this results in fully endogenous pricing. This paper tests the small country export hypothesis for the Dutch economy using a long-run VAR-model. The estimated VAR-model includes two long-run equilibrium relationships, which can be identified as an export supply and export demand equation. Restrictions on the variables are used to test the various hypotheses concerning the long-run supply relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 383-389 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325903 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325903 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:3:p:383-389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Insang Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Insang Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Title: Long-run determinant of Korean economic growth: empirical evidence from manufacturing Abstract: This paper challenges the recent contrarian view that the phenomenal growth of East Asian NICs is fuelled mainly by the accumulation of production inputs not by TFP growth. To appraise this view, we investigated and re-evaluated South Korean manufacturing growth (1973(Q1)-1993(Q4)). Using Johansen's cointegrating analysis, our results show that South Korean manufacturing appears to have increasing returns to scale in production technology. The 'learning by doing' effect defined by Lucas (1988) is empirically supported. This effect appears to be observed as a long-run determinant of South Korean manufacturing growth. Consequently, South Korean manufacturing growth can be described by an endogenous economic growth model, such as the Lucas (1988) model, contradicting the contrarian view. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 391-405 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325912 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325912 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:3:p:391-405 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonello Scorcu Author-X-Name-First: Antonello Author-X-Name-Last: Scorcu Title: Consumption risk-sharing in Italy Abstract: This paper analyses the issue of consumption risk-sharing in the 20 Italian regions during the period 1983-94. The tests proposed allow for regional specific departures from the hypothesis of complete risk-sharing and for the existence of non-separabilities among groups of commodities. Empirical evidence suggests the rejection of the hypothesis of complete consumption risk-sharing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 407-414 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325921 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325921 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:3:p:407-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammed Islam Author-X-Name-First: Muhammed Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Export expansion and economic growth: testing for cointegration and causality Abstract: This paper develops a multivariate error-correction model to test the causality between exports and growth in 15 Asian countries, 1967-91. The underlying series are tested as non-stationary in levels but stationary in first differences. The causal factors are cointegrated in five of these countries only. Causality test results indicate that export expansion causes growth in two-third of these countries, corrected for simultaneity between the causal factors. A country with a large public sector, higher level of economic development, and which is less vulnerable to external economic shocks is more likely to reap the benefits of export promotion strategies. The causal inferences are fairly stable over the sample period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 415-425 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325930 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325930 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:3:p:415-425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seyed Mehdian Author-X-Name-First: Seyed Author-X-Name-Last: Mehdian Author-Name: Rasoul Rezvanian Author-X-Name-First: Rasoul Author-X-Name-Last: Rezvanian Title: Production economies of small depository institutions in the post-FIRREA era: evidence from cooperative banks Abstract: To evaluate the effects of the Financial Institutions Reform, Recovery and Enforcement Act (FIRREA) of 1989 on the cost behaviour of thrift institutions, this study examines the economies of scale and scope of cooperative banks for the years 1992-94. The findings provide evidence of economies of scale and scope over the period under study. In addition, the results suggest the presence of product-specific economies of scale and scope with respect to a few of the products included in the portfolios of the samples. Some policy implications are drawn based on the findings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 427-433 Issue: 3 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325949 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325949 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:3:p:427-433 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaehwan Park Author-X-Name-First: Jaehwan Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Ronald Ratti Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Ratti Title: Stationary data and the effect of the minimum wage on teenage employment Abstract: One of the interesting features of time series work on the effect of the minimum wage is that the problem of possible spurious regressions when data may be non-stationary has been largely ignored. It is shown that this is potentially a serious problem. It is found that although the teenage employment to population ratio is stationary, the 'independent' variables in time series regression equations are non-stationary. Substitution of the stationary first differences of the independent variables in the regression equations for their levels, is found to greatly undermine the estimated influence of the minimum wage on the employment-to-population ratio. Estimates of the effect of the minimum wage are found to be only marginally more significant when seasonal differencing of the dependent variable and an ARCH estimation technique are employed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 435-440 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325705 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325705 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:4:p:435-440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atanu Saha Author-X-Name-First: Atanu Author-X-Name-Last: Saha Author-Name: C. Richard Shumway Author-X-Name-First: C. Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Shumway Title: Refutable implications of the firm model under risk Abstract: Curvature properties of the indirect utility function are shown to be necessary and sufficient for refutable behavioural postulates in the form of comparative static results, reciprocity relations, and restrictions on output and input responses for firm models under risk. These postulates are independent of onerous restrictions on risk preference, technology, or random variable distribution. As an exposition, the complete set of refutable implications for a multi-output firm operating under price risk is derived. At the data means, these implications are not rejected when they are tested using firm-level data, but both risk neutrality and constant absolute risk aversion are rejected. At individual observations, one implication is rejected almost as frequently as risk neutrality and constant absolute risk aversion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 441-448 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325714 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325714 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:4:p:441-448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Richard Froyen Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Froyen Title: Potential information and target variables for UK monetary policy Abstract: The relationship between traditional monetary policy goal variables (nominal GDP, real GPD and the inflation rate) and a number of financial market variables is investigated. The question examined is which if any of these financial market variables (monetary aggregates, interest rates and interest rate spreads) are potentially useful as either information variables or intermediate targets. While the implications concerning the usefulness of the financial variables considered are pessimistic concerning nominal GDP, more robust relationships are found for real GDP and inflation. The latter finding is of interest given the current UK monetary policy strategy of inflation targeting. Our results are, however, more supportive of the usefulness of several financial variables as information variables than as intermediate targets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 449-463 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325723 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325723 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:4:p:449-463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giovanni Nero Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Nero Title: Spatial multiproduct pricing: empirical evidence on intra-European duopoly airline markets Abstract: This paper estimates a model of spatial multiproduct duopoly pricing when the location patterns differ across markets. The theoretical model suggests that the neighbouring configuration yields less competitive Nash prices than the interlaced configuration. I apply this model to data for intra-European duopoly airline markets. The empirical results support the theoretical model since I find that fares are higher on intra-European markets that exhibit neighbouring configurations in the time domain. This result suggests that price competition is reduced when each airline operates on a specific segment of the timetable (e.g. the first 12 hours of the day). Clearly, this result has several implications for policy makers and/or airport authorities in charge of awarding slots. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 465-475 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325732 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:4:p:465-475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Stewart Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Stewart Title: Reinterpreting the DHSY (1978) consumption function with hindsight Abstract: The justification for Davidson, Hendry, Srba and Yeo's (DHSY's) selection of their favoured equation is shown to be based upon contradicting assumptions about inflation. The empirically supported model is argued not to have a theoretically justified error-correction interpretation. The exclusion of the intercept biases the error-correction term such that it becomes significant and negative but undermines the theoretical plausibility of the long-run target. More generally, the statistical need to include an intercept in any regression to avoid parameter bias is demonstrated. The rise in inflation in the 1970s is not considered to be a credible explanation of the fall in the average propensity to consume (APC) from the 1950s and is shown to have questionable empirical support when a below unit income-elasticity is allowed for. The recent articles which have found support for DHSY's favoured formulation, augmented by time-varying parameters, using the most contemporary UK data should be viewed with caution. New interpretations for the DHSY model's persistent success are called for if it is not to be considered that dubious regressions have been resurrected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 477-489 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325741 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325741 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:4:p:477-489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helen Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Author-Name: Justo Manrique Author-X-Name-First: Justo Author-X-Name-Last: Manrique Title: Demand for food commodities by income groups in Indonesia Abstract: An analysis of the structure of demand was performed on household data, classified into income groups for urban Indonesia. A demographically augmented linearized almost ideal demand system was used to estimate the structural parameters of the demand equations. Endogenous switching regression techniques yielded unbiased and consistent demand parameter estimates for the low-income group, which had a large number of zeros for some food groups. Standard seemingly unrelated equation techniques were used to estimate the demand parameters for the other income groups. The results showed demands for the medium to high- and high-income households to be responsive to prices, income and demographic variables. Demands for the medium to low-income households were responsive to income and prices only. Demands for low-income households were responsive to income and prices of rice and fish only. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 491-501 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325750 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:4:p:491-501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lisa Powell Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Title: Part-time versus full-time work and child care costs: evidence for married mothers Abstract: This paper contributes to the analysis of female labour supply by accounting for both child care costs and differences in part-time and full-time work. An ordered probit model is used to examine the impact of child care costs on the work status of married mothers. Data are drawn from the Canadian National Child Care Survey and the Labour Market Activity Survey. The results from this paper show the degree to which child care subsidies may have differential impacts on part-time and full-time work decisions by mothers: the child care cost elasticities for part-time and full-time employment are reported to be -0.21 and -0.71, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 503-511 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325769 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325769 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:4:p:503-511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elizabeth Caucutt Author-X-Name-First: Elizabeth Author-X-Name-Last: Caucutt Author-Name: Mrinal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Mrinal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: Christina Kelton Author-X-Name-First: Christina Author-X-Name-Last: Kelton Title: Robustness of the relationship between price variability and inflation for US manufacturing Abstract: We study the relationship between relative price variability and inflation in two different ways. We first look at product-class census unit values for five time periods between 1958 and 1982, and find evidence of a positive relationship between variability and inflation. Then we directly update the Vining and Elwertowski (1976) study for the period 1974-91, using individual commodity series from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. We conclude by discussing differences across industries in price stickiness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 513-519 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325778 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:4:p:513-519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam Ozanne Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Ozanne Title: Uncertainty, duality and perversity: an empirical test of the Schultz-Baron hypothesis Abstract: It has been suggested that supply curves may be negatively sloped under conditions of output price uncertainty and risk aversion if the effect of an increase in expected price is offset by the effect of an associated increase in uncertainty/risk. This hypothesis, first articulated by Schultz and given a more rigorous theoretical exposition by Baron, is tested using aggregate time series data to estimate a stochastic model of US agriculture based on a generalized Leontief certainty equivalent profit function. Evidence of risk aversion and a positive correlation between mean output price and its variance are found; however, these factors are not strong enough to generate perversity. Thus the own-price elasticity of supply of agricultural output is found to be positive with a value of 0.25. Although no evidence of perversity is found, the empirical results suggest that ignoring price uncertainty may bias estimates of aggregate supply response downwards by between 5% and 47%. As well as testing the Schultz - Baron hypothesis, the paper demonstrates how the dual approach to applied production analysis can be extended to cover production under output price uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 521-530 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325787 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325787 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:4:p:521-530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Thalheimer Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Thalheimer Title: Parimutuel wagering and video gaming: a racetrack portfolio Abstract: Parimutuel wagering has been declining for several decades due, in part, to increased competition from state lotteries and casino gaming. In recent years, an attempt has been made to integrate video lottery terminal (VLT) gaming into a parimutuel racetrack's product portfolio. Daily data are used to develop product demand equations for parimutuel horse-race wagering and video lottery gaming at a throughbred racetrack. It is found that introduction of VLTs into the product mix results in decreased parimutuel wagering and revenues. However, the additional revenue generated from the VLTs is found to more than offset the decline in parimutuel revenue and the increased expense associated with the VLTs, given that a sufficient number of terminals are made available. When revenue from the combined parimutuel and VLT gaming product increases, if the respective shares of the VLT revenue distributed to the racetrack, to the horsemen who race horses at the racetrack and to the government are the same as their distributive shares from parimutuel wagering, all will enjoy an increase in revenue. To the extent that the respective shares of these participants differ from their share of parimutuel wagering, all participants may or may not enjoy an increase in revenue, depending upon the magnitude of the revenue increase. An additional finding of importance is that patrons who attend and wager on horse racing also wager on the VLT games while patrons who attend for the VLT gaming are less likely to wager on horse racing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 531-544 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325796 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:4:p:531-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdal Ozmen Author-X-Name-First: Erdal Author-X-Name-Last: Ozmen Title: Is currency seigniorage exogenous for inflation tax in Turkey? Abstract: This paper discusses the implications of the validity of the conditioning hypothesis for the maintained money demand equation for an inflation tax analysis. We also test the validity of the quantity-theoretical inflation tax model for the post-1980 quarterly Turkish data by using Johansen cointegration techniques. The results suggest that the tax rate (inflation) is weakly exogenous for the parameters of the long-run money demand (tax base) equation. This result, consistent with a Keynesian endogenous seigniorage-exogenous inflation tax rate theory prior, does not support the hypothesis that the Turkish inflation can be explained by the conventional inflation tax revenue-maximizing motive alone. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 545-552 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325804 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:4:p:545-552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geoffrey Williams Author-X-Name-First: Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Author-Name: Ashok Parikh Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Parikh Author-Name: David Bailey Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Title: Are exchange rates determined by macroeconomic factors? Abstract: In this study, we consider 15 countries and examine the relationship between exchange rate volatility and macroeconomic volatility. We show that, in general, empirical support for the existence of a link between exchange rates and macroeconomic fundamentals is very weak and that other factors are more important in casting light on the behaviour of exchange rates. In particular, we investigate the links between risk premia and exchange rates across our sample of countries. Using ARCH and GARCH techniques, we illustrate that despite the targeting policies of the ERM, risk premia are evident for the majority of countries in our sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 553-567 Issue: 4 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325813 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:4:p:553-567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Karemera Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Karemera Author-Name: Vera Harper Author-X-Name-First: Vera Author-X-Name-Last: Harper Author-Name: Victor Iwuagwu Oguledo Author-X-Name-First: Victor Iwuagwu Author-X-Name-Last: Oguledo Title: Random walks and monetary velocity in the G-7 countries: new evidence from a multiple variance ratio test Abstract: The random walk hypothesis (RWH) of the velocity of money has often been supported for the developed economies. The literature is, however, far from unanimous. This paper employs the most recent methodological advances in testing for random walks, the multiple variance ratio test, to re-examine the behaviour of the velocity of money in the G-7 countries. Monetary velocity is computed as the ratio of nominal income to contemporaneous money stock, under alternative definitions of income and money. The empirical results from the present study do not support the RWH in most of the G-7 countries, with the US M1 and M2 velocities as exceptions. Furthermore, the results show that the RWH is sensitive to either the definitions of monetary velocity or the sample period of study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 569-578 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325552 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:5:p:569-578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajindar Koshal Author-X-Name-First: Rajindar Author-X-Name-Last: Koshal Author-Name: Manjulika Koshal Author-X-Name-First: Manjulika Author-X-Name-Last: Koshal Title: Determinants of tuition at comprehensive Abstract: This study attempts to build and estimate a model that explains the behaviour of the supply of and demand for education at comprehensive universities in the United States. The statistical analysis uses data for the year 1990 - 91 for 360 comprehensive universities. The results suggest that a perfectly competitive market exists for this education. The quantity of students, cost of education, average SAT score, class size, level of highest degree offered, and tier of the institution explain variations in tuition at comprehensive universities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 579-583 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325561 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:5:p:579-583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yiping Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yiping Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: K. P. Kalirajan Author-X-Name-First: K. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Kalirajan Title: Enterprise reform and technical efficiency of China's state-owned enterprises Abstract: This study investigates whether the enterprise reforms were helpful for the technical efficiency of China's state-owned enterprises. A stochastic varying coefficients frontier approach is applied on enterprise survey data in 1992. The results suggest that exposure to market competition (or less state intervention) is positively correlated with firms' level of technical efficiency. There is no evidence, however, of positive contribution by adoption of the new enterprise institutions to technical efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 585-592 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325570 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:5:p:585-592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Southwick Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Southwick Title: An economic analysis of murder and accident risks for police in the United States Abstract: The idea that US police are at great risk in their jobs is examined. It is found that their risk of being murdered is actually less than for other people of the same age and sex. US police are, however, at modestly higher risk of accidental death than are other workers. A four equation model, including supply, demand, accident risk, and homicide risk, is estimated and it is found that police are able to influence the accident and homicide risks they face and do affect these risks in response to salary received. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 593-605 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325589 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:5:p:593-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Miquel-Angel Galindo Martin Author-X-Name-First: Miquel-Angel Galindo Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: Farhang Niroomand Author-X-Name-First: Farhang Author-X-Name-Last: Niroomand Title: Exchange rate sensitivity of the demand for money in Spain Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 607-612 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325598 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325598 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:5:p:607-612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ki-Ho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ki-Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: US inflation and the dollar exchange rate: a vector error correction model Abstract: Many studies investigating the relation between inflation and exchange rates have found that exchange rates influenced inflation, while other studies have failed to do so or reported mixed results. These findings, however, might be spurious as the majority of the earlier investigations suffered from misspecifications of one kind or another. The current paper addresses the problem by employing an up-to-date and powerful cointegration method developed by Johansen (1988). In a system of five-equation vector error correction model, this paper finds that the US inflation, exchange rate, money supply, income, and interest rate are cointegrated. The cointegration analysis of the data covering the 1973-95 period reveals that the dollar exchange rate has a significant negative impact on the inflation measured by the producer price index. It is further established that the exchange rate Granger causes the inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 613-619 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325606 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325606 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:5:p:613-619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Buckley Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Buckley Author-Name: Jane Frecknall Hughes Author-X-Name-First: Jane Frecknall Author-X-Name-Last: Hughes Title: Transfer pricing and economic functions analysis: the Japanese paradigm Abstract: This paper examines the difficulties facing tax authorities in valuing cross-border flows from a transactions based analysis, in conditions where intangibles and services are important and where the multinational firm concerned is operating a system in which group-wide economic functions dominate decision making. Its key contention is that the economic functions of any entity should be examined in order to determine whether transactions analysis can be used to produce an acceptable value. This is done in the particular context of Japanese multinational enterprises and uses two hypothetical situations to demonstrate the inadequacy of transactions based analysis as a panacea for transfer pricing problems, especially for transfers of value involving intangibles and services, which it redefines into two categories, perceptible and imperceptible. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 621-629 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325615 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:5:p:621-629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pan-Long Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Pan-Long Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Kuo-Liang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Kuo-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Competitiveness of international tourism in Taiwan: US versus Japanese visitors Abstract: This paper intends to identify the factors determining the relative competitiveness of Taiwan's international tourism among a group of seven East Asian countries. Using data on visitors from the USA and Japan, the major message which emerged from this study is that there are sharp differences between factors affecting US visitors and Japanese visitors. Specifically, we found: (1) the decline of Taiwan's market share in Japan has been mainly due to appreciation of NT dollars and changing preferences, whereas they are not crucial factors in the US market; (2) qualitative supply-side factors indeed could have decisive influences on the market share. However, their effect is again origin-dependent. The open-door policy of China is the only important determinant of Taiwan's competitiveness in the US market, while it has no impact on the Japanese visitors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 631-641 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325624 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325624 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:5:p:631-641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Johannesson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Johannesson Author-Name: Bengt Liljas Author-X-Name-First: Bengt Author-X-Name-Last: Liljas Author-Name: Per-Olov Johansson Author-X-Name-First: Per-Olov Author-X-Name-Last: Johansson Title: An experimental comparison of dichotomous choice contingent valuation questions and real purchase decisions Abstract: In this paper the results of an experiment comparing the dichotomous choice (DC) contingentvaluation (CV) approach with real purchase decisions for a consumer good are reported. In addition to comparing the standard DC CV approach with real decisions, we also test the hypothesis that a more conservative interpretation of the DC approach, where only absolutely sure yes responses are counted as yes responses, correctly predicts real purchase decisions. The results show that the hypothetical yes responses overestimate the real yes responses and that the hypothetical absolutely sure yes responses underestimate the real yes responses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 643-647 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325633 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:5:p:643-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Ferrante Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrante Title: Induced technical change, adjustment costs and environmental policy modelling Abstract: In this paper I develop a neo-Schumpeterianmodel of induced technical change where firms/polluters determine their effort in environment-saving technical change. Two technological scenarios are distinguished depending on whether basic research is endogenous or exogenous. Building on this analytical setting, I show that in the presence of non-linear adjustment costs the choice of instruments of environmental policy should be tailored to the actual characteristics of the firms'/polluters' technological environment. Moreover, this analysis confirms that searching for efficient environmental policy mixes is more rewarding than focusing on single instruments, notably pollution taxation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 649-665 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325642 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:5:p:649-665 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cam Donaldson Author-X-Name-First: Cam Author-X-Name-Last: Donaldson Author-Name: Andrew Jones Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Tracy Mapp Author-X-Name-First: Tracy Author-X-Name-Last: Mapp Author-Name: Jan Abel Olson Author-X-Name-First: Jan Abel Author-X-Name-Last: Olson Title: Limited dependent variables in willingness to pay studies: applications in health care Abstract: The appropriate technique for econometric analysis of WTP (willingness to pay) data is an issue which has not been addressed in many studies of WTP for health and health care. This paper argues that, whether an open-ended question or a payment scale approach is adopted, the way in which WTP is recorded means that limited dependent variable models are more appropriate than standard regression analysis. Data from an open ended question on WTP for maternity care contain a large proportion of zeros and the evidence suggests that a two-part specification performs better than OLS or a standard Tobit model. If the payment scale method is adopted, our argument suggests that grouped data regression is an appropriate econometric technique. In practice, with data from a study in Northern Norway, the results from OLS and grouped data regression are broadly similar. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 667-677 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325651 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325651 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:5:p:667-677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aki Kangasharju Author-X-Name-First: Aki Author-X-Name-Last: Kangasharju Title: beta convergence in Finland: regional differences in speed of convergence Abstract: This paper estimates β convergence across the 88 Finnish small-scale subregions from 1934 to 1993 using taxable per capita income as an indicator of income level. The results resemble those obtained in other studies for larger areas: regional β convergence in Finland has been about 2% per year in the long run, whereas in the short run β has tended to be unstable. Furthermore, this paper finds that it is possible to identify regional factors which tend to determine growth rates and steady-state income levels. These determinants are found to affect regions' individual β convergences. The steady-state level and speed of a region's individual β seems to be inversely related: the higher the β the lower the steady-state level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 679-687 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325660 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325660 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:5:p:679-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Voxi Heinrich Amavilah Author-X-Name-First: Voxi Heinrich Author-X-Name-Last: Amavilah Title: German aid and trade versus Namibian GDP and labour productivity Abstract: This paper examines the effects of German foreign aid to, and net trade with, Namibia on Namibia's recent (1985-95) economic performance. The analysis suggests significant benefits for Namibia from trade with and assistance from Germany. However, domestic capital is found to determine Namibian economic growth more than net trade with Germany and German foreign aid to Namibia, while the effect of German capital tends be larger than that of German aid. A need for direct foreign investment from Germany to Namibia is inferred. Two types of further investigations are required: a joint determination of economic growth, aid, trade and capital formation, and a disaggregation of German aid to Namibia with an analysis of its individual impacts compared with similar effects of aid from other donors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 689-695 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325679 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:5:p:689-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yohane Khamfula Author-X-Name-First: Yohane Author-X-Name-Last: Khamfula Title: Influence of social learning on exchange rate policy in developing countries:a preliminary finding Abstract: By using a suitable econometric model, this study shows that beyond factors postulated by theorists 'social learning' is a very powerful phenomenon for guiding developing countries in their exchange rate policy. We introduce two variables that fairly encapsulate features of learning among neighbours. The new variables, together with those advanced in theory are then used to determine choice of a managed float by analysing 1993 cross-section data from Asian developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 697-704 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325688 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325688 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:5:p:697-704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nigel Driffield Author-X-Name-First: Nigel Author-X-Name-Last: Driffield Author-Name: Max Munday Author-X-Name-First: Max Author-X-Name-Last: Munday Title: The impact of foreign direct investment on UK manufacturing: is there a profit squeeze in domestic firms? Abstract: This paper examines the extent to which foreign direct investment (FDI) in selected UK manufacturing sectors has an impact on reported profits in domestic firms. Foreign manufacturing firms are characterized by relatively high labour productivity and low wage shares. Entry by foreign firms not only impacts on domestic market shares, but also on domestic cost conditions. As a result, profitability in the indigenous sector may be reduced. There are a number of policy implications of this analysis which are explored. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 705-709 Issue: 5 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325697 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:5:p:705-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Vogt Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Vogt Author-Name: Chutima Wittayakorn Author-X-Name-First: Chutima Author-X-Name-Last: Wittayakorn Title: Determinants of the demand for Thailand's exports of tourism Abstract: We investigate the effects of world income and the relative price of tourism in Thailand on Thailand's exports of tourism. In contrast to previous studies, we test for stationarity and cointegration of the variables of the model. We find that the variables are not stationary in level form, but they are cointegrated. Our estimate of the relative price elasticity of demand for Thailand's exports of tourism is - 1.199 in the short run and - 0.891 in the long run. The corresponding estimates for the income elasticity of demand are 1.926 and 2.342 respectively. However, only the short-run price elasticity of demand is significantly different from zero. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 711-715 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325417 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325417 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:6:p:711-715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Annette Tomal Author-X-Name-First: Annette Author-X-Name-Last: Tomal Title: The relationship between hospital mortality rates, and hospital, market and patient characteristics Abstract: This study analyses the relationship between hospital outcome, specifically mortality rates, and various hospital and market characteristics. The data are for all general acute-care hospitals in California in 1991 that had at least 50 Medicare cases selected by the Health Care Financing Administration (HCFA) for their computation of 1991 observed and predicted mortality rates. The dependent variable was constructed from these mortality rates. Hospital and market characteristics were obtained from California's Office of Statewide Health Planning and Development 1991 tapes, the American Hospital Association's annual 1991 report, 1990 Census data, and HCFA's 1991 Medicare Hospital Mortality Information Report. Highly significant results (p < 0.01) were found for three of the predictor variables: improved mortality rates were associated with a lower proportion of Medicaid patients, with a larger market, and with a higher prior-year profit margin. Other factors that contributed to improved mortality rates (p < 0.05 or 0.10) were more concentrated hospital markets, a lower percentage of HMO patients, and a higher percentage of residents with at least a Bachelor's degree. Characteristics without significant coefficients were hospital size, the percentage of residents below poverty level, more 'high-tech' services, the proportion of Medicare patients, having a residency programme, and membership in COTH (Council of Teaching Hospitals). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 717-725 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325426 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325426 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:6:p:717-725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Ault Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Ault Author-Name: Gilbert Rutman Author-X-Name-First: Gilbert Author-X-Name-Last: Rutman Title: Factors affecting levels and growth rates in the wage rates of women: evidence from nursing Abstract: Using data from two surveys of nurses (1981 and 1989), the study examines the factors affecting the levels and growth rates in the wage rates paid to women, especially married women, who were licensed as Registered Nurses. Our results indicate that the influence of such household characteristics as marital status, age and number of children, and spouse's characteristic, tended to diminish over the 1980s. The evidence further suggests that the penalties for frequent switches in employment state were larger at the end of the decade than at the beginning. Further, wages paid to nurses with baccalaureates were statistically the same as those paid to nurses with lesser formal education. The return to the baccalaureate appears to be in the form of the higher wages and salaries earned by those who obtain post-baccalaureate degrees. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 727-739 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325435 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:6:p:727-739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xin Meng Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Title: Gender occupational segregation and its impact on the gender wage differential among rural-urban migrants: a Chinese case study Abstract: Since the late 1980s, massive rural - urban migration in China has attracted considerable attention from economists and policymakers, both within and outside China. One of the most striking features of rural - urban migration is that job attainment among the migrants differs considerably between males and females. It is of great interest to know the reasons for this difference and, more importantly, whether gender occupational segregation has a large impact on the gender wage differential among migrants. This paper examines these issues using data on 1504 migrants collected in Jinan city, Shandong province. It is found that gender occupational segregation in this sector is mainly due to the unequal treatment of male and female attributes in occupational assignment and that this contributes very significantly to the gender wage differential among migrants. A comparison with another study on China's rural industrial labour market is made, which suggest that intra-occupational gender wage discrimination is lower in the labour market for rural - urban migrants than in the labour market in the rural industrial sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 741-752 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325444 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:6:p:741-752 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Arnade Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Arnade Author-Name: Daniel Pick Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Pick Author-Name: Munisamy Gopinath Author-X-Name-First: Munisamy Author-X-Name-Last: Gopinath Title: Testing oligopoly power in domestic and export markets Abstract: Empirical applications of testing oligopoly power in different industries are based on the 'new empirical industrial organization' (NEIO) approach. Parallel to this approach, theoretical and empirical applications to testing oligopoly power in international trade have also emerged. A shortcoming of these approaches is that they do not account for the possibility that an industry, which is active in the domestic and international markets, may exhibit oligopoly power in both markets. We extend the existing models by simultaneously accounting for domestic and international components of four industries in testing for oligopoly power. We found that in some cases, industries exhibit oligopoly behaviour in either or both markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 753-760 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325453 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:6:p:753-760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. M. Nachane Author-X-Name-First: D. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nachane Author-Name: Prasad Ranade Author-X-Name-First: Prasad Author-X-Name-Last: Ranade Title: India's trade balance in the 1980s an econometric analysis Abstract: The paper is an examination of India's trade balance in the 1980s. The approach attempted is of examining the bilateral trade balances of India with nine trading partners from the non-communist bloc. The long-run equilibrium relations are studied via two VAR models in Johansen's multivariate cointegration framework. Five hypotheses of interest are singled out for attention. The nominal and real exchange rates consistently emerge as important influences on the trade balance. However, as the exchange rates fail weak exogeneity tests, policy implications are not clear cut. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 761-774 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325462 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:6:p:761-774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hunter Humphries Author-X-Name-First: Hunter Author-X-Name-Last: Humphries Author-Name: Stephen Knowles Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Knowles Title: Does agriculture contribute to economic growth? Some empirical evidence Abstract: This paper augments the Solow - Swan model of economic growth to include the share of the labour force working outside the agricultural sector as a labour augmenting variable in the aggregate production function. The cross-country empirical results suggest that transferring labour from the agricultural sector to other sectors of the economy is associated with economic growth. This result is robust to using instrumental variables to control for the potential endogeneity of the relative size of the agricultural labour force. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 775-781 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325471 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:6:p:775-781 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kornelius Kraft Author-X-Name-First: Kornelius Author-X-Name-Last: Kraft Title: An evaluation of active and passive labour market policy Abstract: This paper reports results of an empirical study on the effectiveness of labour market policy. Data from Austria, France, Germany, Great Britain, Sweden and the United States are used to apply a simultaneous equation model with wages and employment being the endogenous variables. In order to explain employment, the amount of unemployment benefits per unemployed (passive labour market policy) and payment for wage subsidies and training per employed and unemployed person (active labour market policy) are used in addition to real wages and output. Wages and output have their expected impact on total employment. It turns out that passive labour market policy has a negative, and active labour market measures a positive, effect on the number of persons employed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 783-793 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325480 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:6:p:783-793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chee-Ruey Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Chee-Ruey Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Title: Health risk and the decision to quit smoking Abstract: This study contributes to the understanding of the decision to quit smoking by taking into account the learning of new risk information. The specific hypothesis tested is that smokers learn new risk information and hence create an incentive to quit from their own experience. Probit models are estimated for the decision to quit smoking based on longitudinal data obtained from Taiwan. It is shown that health risk, measured by the observed change in health status over the period between two surveys, has a relatively substantial positive effect on the probability of quitting smoking. In addition, the results indicate that schooling has a significantly positive effect on the probability of quitting. These findings are consistent with the predictions of a Bayesian learning framework and suggest that the risk information obtained from individual experience, which is the sole source of information available to smokers in most developing countries, plays the same role that public information does. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 795-804 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325499 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:6:p:795-804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shane Bonetti Author-X-Name-First: Shane Author-X-Name-Last: Bonetti Title: Distinguishing characteristics of degrees of success and failure in economic sanctions episodes Abstract: This paper uses 104 episodes from the Hufbauer et al. (1985, 1990) dataset to examine the correlates of classes of outcomes of economic sanctions. The parsimonious equations presented identify the characteristics of sanctions episodes conducive to success rather than marginal success, and the characteristics productive of failure rather than marginal failure. Failure is most likely if there is significant third party assistance to the target, and if the pre-existing trade linkage between sender and target is small. Success is most easily achieved when the objective is not classified as 'modest', and when pre-sanction relations between sender and target are cordial or neutral. The equations presented overcome data and methodological flaws of earlier studies, exhibit reasonable predictive accuracy, and satisfy a battery of tests of statistical significance, hypothesized coefficient sign, goodness of fit, high likelihood and informational efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 805-813 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325507 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:6:p:805-813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nadeem Burney Author-X-Name-First: Nadeem Author-X-Name-Last: Burney Title: Economies of scale and utilization in electricity generation in Kuwait Abstract: Cost structure of electricity generation in Kuwait has been examined, with specific focus on the economies of scale and utilization. This has been done by estimating a translog variable-cost function using time-series data covering the period from 1965 to 1990. The results indicate the existence of diseconomies of scale in the generation of electricity, but no economies or diseconomies of utilization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 815-819 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325516 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325516 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:6:p:815-819 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Basanta Pradhan Author-X-Name-First: Basanta Author-X-Name-Last: Pradhan Author-Name: A. Subramanian Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Subramanian Title: Money and prices : some evidence from India Abstract: The objective of this paper is to examine the long-run relationship between supply of money and prices. The prices considered are wholesale price and consumer price indices for industrial workers, urban non-manual workers and agricultural labourers. Using the null hypothesis of cointegration, it is shown that the supply of money and consumer price indices for urban non-manual workers and agricultural labourers are cointegrated in the long-run. Both the prices - namely, urban non-manual workers and agricultural labourers - form a stable relationship with money supply in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 821-827 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325525 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:6:p:821-827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcel Cohen Author-X-Name-First: Marcel Author-X-Name-Last: Cohen Title: Linking price dispersion to product differentiation - incorporating aspects of customer involvement Abstract: The fact that product differentiation can cause price dispersion - price differences between alternative brands of what are seemingly identical products - is not surprising. Our contribution is to establish not whether, but how, it does so. We explore the mechanisms involved using a variant of Hotelling's market line model. We make no explicit assumptions about the functional form of the consumer's utility function so that we derive a general relationship between price dispersion and product differentiation. We then survey 16 product groups to identify the functional form of the consumer's utility function that allows our result to best fit real-world circumstances. We show that it is not product differentiation per se that causes price dispersion but rather the presence of a differential advantage of one product over another. More importantly, we show that the impact of a differential advantage in causing price dispersion is amplified (or attenuated) by an aspect of customer involvement in a purchase. The greater the customer involvement in a purchase the more amplified is the impact of product differentiation on price dispersion but this is sensitive only to logarithmic (roughly, order of magnitude) changes in customer involvement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 829-835 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325534 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:6:p:829-835 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khalifa Ghali Author-X-Name-First: Khalifa Author-X-Name-Last: Ghali Title: Public investment and private capital formation in a vector error-correction model of growth Abstract: Most of the literature dealing with the impact of public investment on private capital formation and economic growth focuses either on cross-section or static analysis. However, investigation of the long-run dynamic interactions between private and public investment and growth is much more insightful for public policy aiming at the determination of the appropriate size of its public sector. This paper extends the model of Barth and Cordes (1980) and uses multivariate cointegration techniques to develop a vector error-correction model useful for investigating the long-run effects of public investment on private capital formation and economic growth. We apply our methodology to a developing country implementing the IMF debt-stabilization programmes and show how, in this country, public investment is having a negative short-run impact on private investment and a negative long-run impact on both private investment and economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 837-844 Issue: 6 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325543 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:6:p:837-844 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fong-Lin Chu Author-X-Name-First: Fong-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Jack Hou Author-X-Name-First: Jack Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Title: An extension of currency substitution into the near monies framework: a case for Canada Abstract: This paper attempts to estimate the nearness of near monies in Canada including foreign monetary assets, i.e. US dollars. The results enable us to make a statement about how substitutable US dollars are in the Canadian private asset portfolio. This brought the event of currency substitution into the near money framework and we found US dollars are far from good substitutes for Canadian narrowly defined money. Our analysis further provides a reconciliation of results obtained by Miles (1978), Bordo and Choudhri (1982), Husted (1984) and Ghosh (1989). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 845-851 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325273 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:7:p:845-851 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abul Masih Author-X-Name-First: Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Masih Author-Name: Rumi Masih Author-X-Name-First: Rumi Author-X-Name-Last: Masih Title: A fractional cointegration analysis of the long-run relationship between black and official foreign exchange rates: the case of the Brazilian cruzeiro Abstract: This paper applies a relatively new but generalized concept of fractional cointegration to shed some light on the validity of a long-run relationship between monthly black and official US dollar rates of the Brazilian cruzeiro. An investigation of the stochastic properties of these rates reveals that, while the relationship is not cointegrated in their logs, they appear to be fractionally cointegrated if we allow for mean reverting processes that are CI (1, d) with 0< d < 1. The paper demonstrates that relaxing the condition that the residual from the cointegration equation must be a I (0) process, captures a much wider class of mean-reversion behaviour. Furthermore, an analysis of the short-run dynamics propelling the long-run relationship tends to imply that although the official rate influences the changes in the black rate, this is purely over the short-run. In the longer term, the black rate is found to be the initial receptor of any exogenous shock to the equilibrium and it is the official exchange rate that bears the brunt of short-run adjustment to re-establish the long-run equilibrium relationship. The approach illustrated in this paper is shown to hold enormous potential for tests of mean reversion involving hypotheses popular to economic and financial research in general, where the dynamics of time-series data are under constant scrutiny. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 853-861 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325282 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325282 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:7:p:853-861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juha Kettunen Author-X-Name-First: Juha Author-X-Name-Last: Kettunen Title: Method of pay in Finnish industry Abstract: In this paper, a dynamic economic model of the method of pay is derived to serve as a background to an empirical study. The model gives, for example, a prediction that employees who have a short attachment to a firm are apt to engage in incentive work. Special attention is paid to unobserved heterogeneity across workers in a logit model of the method of pay. A new estimator based on a small variance approximation of unobserved heterogeneity is derived. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 863-873 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325291 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325291 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:7:p:863-873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joaquin Millan Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Millan Author-Name: Natalia Aldaz Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Author-X-Name-Last: Aldaz Title: Agricultural productivity of the Spanish regions: a non-parametric Malmquist analysis Abstract: Productivity growth for the agricultural sectors of the 17 Spanish regions over the period 1977-88 is studied using non-parametric programming techniques. Productivity changes based on conventional inputs are linked to other economic, geographic and institutional issues. Average technical change in the Spanish regions grew at an annual rate of 2.9%, but with great regional variation. This paper presents a clear characterization of areas with greater technical progress, and the regions with technical regress. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 875-884 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325309 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325309 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:7:p:875-884 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Colin Allitt Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: Allitt Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Consumption patterns as a measure of capital mobility: evidence from some APEC countries Abstract: Consumption patterns are used to measure capital mobility within the APEC region, both on a bilateral and multilateral basis. Two models are estimated by IV, SUR and OLS using quarterly data for four countries: the US, Japan, Canada and Australia. The results show that the hypothesis of perfect capital mobility is rejected, and some results even indicate autarky. It is argued, however, that the hypothesis of perfect capital mobility is unreasonable and that the consumption criterion is inappropriate because it assumes real interest equalization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 885-891 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325318 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325318 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:7:p:885-891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diansheng Dong Author-X-Name-First: Diansheng Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Atanu Saha Author-X-Name-First: Atanu Author-X-Name-Last: Saha Title: He came, he saw, (and) he waited: an empirical analysis of inertia in technology adoption Abstract: The innovation adoption literature has focused primarily on a producer's decision of whether and how much to adopt. An equally pertinent question is when to adopt, because in the case of new technologies it often 'pays to wait' for more information. We propose a double-limit hurdle model to analyse adoption intensity and inertia in the context of a divisible technology. The proposed framework incorporates probit or Tobit models as testable special cases. A maximum likelihood estimation framework is set out and generalized to account for heteroscedastic errors. The empirical analysis, which uses household-level data from India's semi-arid tropics, provides new insights into the factors influencing adoption inertia and intensity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 893-905 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325327 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325327 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:7:p:893-905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Lee Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Ritchard Longmire Author-X-Name-First: Ritchard Author-X-Name-Last: Longmire Author-Name: Laszlo Matyas Author-X-Name-First: Laszlo Author-X-Name-Last: Matyas Author-Name: Mark Harris Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Title: Growth convergence: some panel data evidence Abstract: This paper implements a panel data approach of the Solow model to study the phenomenon of growth convergence for 22 OECD countries. It shows that although the derived estimable Solow model is probably underspecified from an econometric point of view, it is still possible to conclude that there is a likely convergence to a steady state rate of about 2-4%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 907-912 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325336 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:7:p:907-912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Chezum Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Chezum Author-Name: John Garen Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Garen Title: Are union productivity effects overestimated?: evidence from coal mining Abstract: The empirical literature of the influence of unions on productivity is extended by considering the effect in an industry with heterogeneous firms. Recent theoretical papers suggest that, in such an industry, unions will tend to organize the exogenously 'more productive' firms. Thus, a spurious correlation between unions and productivity may emerge. We test this hypothesis by estimating production functions for coal with data from Eastern Kentucky underground coal mines. The aspect of mine heterogeneity that we focus on is the width of the mine's seam of coal. Wider seams increase productivity. Empirically, we find that unions disproportionately organize mines with wider seams and this accounts for the positive relationship between unions and productivity observed in our data. In fact, once seam thickness is accounted for, the estimated effect of unions on productivity is negative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 913-918 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325345 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:7:p:913-918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Almas Heshmati Author-X-Name-First: Almas Author-X-Name-Last: Heshmati Title: Efficiency measurement in rotating panel data Abstract: Rotating panel data are used with estimation of stochastic production frontier. The model can be viewed as a generalization of the regular production function estimation that accommodates technical inefficiency as well as firm heterogeneity. In particular, while estimating technical efficiency for each firm over time we control for firmspecific effects and separate them from technical inefficiency. Estimation of the model is considered in two steps. In the first step we estimate parameters of the underlying productionfunction using generalized least squares methodwhich are then used in the estimation of technical efficiency in the second step. As an empirical application we used rotating data on 1425 Swedish dairy farms observed during 1976-1988. The mean technical efficiency of these farms is found to be 94.5% and 16% of the farms are fully efficient. Evidence of technical regress about 1% per annum is observed during 1976 to 1984. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 919-930 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325354 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:7:p:919-930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sulayman Al-Qudsi Author-X-Name-First: Sulayman Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Qudsi Title: Labour participation of Arab women: estimates of the fertility to labour supply link Abstract: Research conducted in this paper has two objectives. First, to review recent aggregate trends in Arab female employment and its link to fertility. Second, to apply a two-step econometric model to micro data sets of four Arab countries in order to estimate the impact of fertility and its correlates on the labour supply of Arab women. The model combines a Poisson fertility count function with a Probit binary function. We find that the two-step-modelling framework provides important insights about the fertility - participation link. The Poisson maximum likelihood estimation demonstrates that age at marriage, women's education, infant mortality and preference for male offspring are important determinants of fertility. In all countries examined, our findings confirm that fertility produces a strong negative influence on women's labour participation. Therefore, policies that are designed to influence participation will be more effective if consistent companion fertility policies are in place. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 931-941 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325363 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:7:p:931-941 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kang Park Author-X-Name-First: Kang Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Distribution and growth: cross-country evidence Abstract: An endogenous growth model is presented to examine the determinants of economic growth and income distribution and their relationship. Three major findings from a cross-country analysis of 45 countries are: (1) a higher level of educational attainment of the labour force has an equalizing effect on income distribution, while the larger the dispersion of schooling among the labour force, the greater the income inequality; (2) human capital investment as well as physical capital investment are significant factors contributing to economic growth; and (3) income inequality has a negative effect on economic growth, supporting the existence of a complementary relationship between equity and growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 943-949 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325372 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:7:p:943-949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivar Gaasland Author-X-Name-First: Ivar Author-X-Name-Last: Gaasland Author-Name: Erling Vardal Author-X-Name-First: Erling Author-X-Name-Last: Vardal Title: Tariff or quota protection-a case study of the Norwegian apple market Abstract: Tariffs and quotas are alternative trade instruments. In most cases it has been shown that the use of tariffs results in a higher national welfare than the use of quotas. Most of the research in this field has been purely theoretical. This paper aims to give an empirical contribution. Referring to the Norwegian apple market, we analyse the effects of tariffs and quotas. A tariff system is estimated to be slightly more efficient than a quota system (+ 2%). However, the distributional effects are substantial. Wholesalers and importers are main gainers in a quota system, while consumers and farmers are losers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 951-957 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325381 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:7:p:951-957 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sudeep Haldar Author-X-Name-First: Sudeep Author-X-Name-Last: Haldar Author-Name: Vithala Rao Author-X-Name-First: Vithala Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: A micro-analytic threshold model for the timing of first purchases of durable goods Abstract: A micro-analytic threshold model to describe the timing of household purchases of consumer durable goods is developed and tested. The model incorporates unobserved heterogeneity via a generalized gamma distribution and accounts for time varying covariates. Further, we employ estimation methods applicable or purchase data observed at periodic intervals of time. The model outperforms other competing models for predicting the timing of purchase of durable goods in terms of fit and predictive ability. In particular, this model outperforms the logit model and the diffusion model. The generalized gamma timing model predicts well the time to purchase the durable good; we show how it can be employed for micro-segmentation of households. Several research directions and applications are described. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 959-974 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325390 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325390 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:7:p:959-974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haiyan Song Author-X-Name-First: Haiyan Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Peter Romilly Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Romilly Author-Name: Xiaming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The UK consumption function and structural instability: improving forecasting performance using a time-varying parameter approach Abstract: Previous studies indicate that the poor forecasting performance of constant parameter UK consumption expenditure models is caused by structural instability in the underlying data generating process. Typically, this instability is removed by reparameterization within the constant parameter framework. An alternative modelling strategy is to allow some, or all, of the parameters to vary over time. A UK non-durable consumption expenditure model with time-varying parameters is developed, based on the permanent income hypothesis of Friedman (1957). This model takes into account temporal changes in the average and marginal propensities to consume. The variation in the parameter estimates is given an economic interpretation in terms of the influence of omitted variables, namely UK financial liberalization and expectational changes. The forecasting performance of this model is superior to that of two widely used constant parameter models. Further tests show that, even if these constant parameter models are respecified as time varying parameter models, the authors' model still retains a superior forecasting performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 975-983 Issue: 7 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325408 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325408 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:7:p:975-983 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rafael Flores De Frutos Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Flores Author-X-Name-Last: De Frutos Author-Name: Mercedes Gracia-Diez Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Gracia-Diez Author-Name: Teodosio Perez Author-X-Name-First: Teodosio Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Title: Public capital stock and economic growth: an analysis of the Spanish economy Abstract: The objective of this paper is to evaluate the short- and long-term effects of public investment in infrastructure on aggregate output, labour and capital formation in the private sector. The problem is analysed in a dynamic multivariate framework, which allows for explicit consideration of feedback among all the variables. This approach generalizes the current literature, which relies on a single-equation model to estimate production functions and implicitly assumes the absence of feedback relationships. For the Spanish economy, our results suggest positive long-term effects of public investment on the private sector variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 985-994 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325156 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325156 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:8:p:985-994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Ford Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Author-Name: John Jackson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Jackson Title: On the interpretation of policy effects from estimates of simultaneous systems of equations Abstract: The purpose of this paper is threefold: first, we warn analysts against the use of structural coefficient estimates alone for deducing quantitative inferences concerning many policy experiments. Second, we offer a potential solution to the problem by proposing a mutatis mutandis approach to deducing the 'full effect' of a policy change on the endogenous variables of the model. Finally, we show that this approach yields consistent estimates of the reduced form parameters, the true solution to the difficulty. An illustration is provided. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 995-999 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325165 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325165 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:8:p:995-999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfons Oude Lansink Author-X-Name-First: Alfons Oude Author-X-Name-Last: Lansink Author-Name: Geert Thijssen Author-X-Name-First: Geert Author-X-Name-Last: Thijssen Title: Testing among functional forms: an extension of the Generalized Box-Cox formulation Abstract: This paper uses the Generalized Box - Cox framework and Double Length artificial Regression to test whether different specifications of the profit function are able to mimic the technology underlying panel data of Dutch arable farms for the period 1970 - 1988. To this end, a linear GBC is developed that includes the Generalized Leontief, Normalized Quadratic and Symmetric Normalized Quadratic as special cases. A Lagrange multiplier test that avoids estimation of the linear GBC is used to test (subsets of) functional forms against (simplifications of) the linear GBC. Functional form results are also evaluated in terms of regularity conditions, parameter significance and reasonability of elasticities. On this data set, the NQ outperforms the other forms on most criteria. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1001-1010 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325174 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:8:p:1001-1010 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frederick Joutz Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Author-X-Name-Last: Joutz Author-Name: H. O. Stekler Author-X-Name-First: H. O. Author-X-Name-Last: Stekler Title: Data revisions and forecasting Abstract: The relationship between two sets of GNP data, the earliest and the first revisions, is examined. This comparison enables us to determine whether the early numbers are valuable to forecasters. The analysis uses two methods. The first is based on a technique which has been used to evaluate whether financial and economic forecasts are valuable to the users. The second approach uses time series techniques. We conclude that revisions to the 15-day estimates that occur when the 45-day numbers are released are successful and that the 15-day numbers are useful to forecasters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1011-1016 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325183 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:8:p:1011-1016 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Bohl Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Bohl Author-Name: Friedrich Sell Author-X-Name-First: Friedrich Author-X-Name-Last: Sell Title: Demand for cash balances in Germany: theoretical underpinnings and empirical evidence Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to develop and test a cash-in-advance model of an open economy. Following the contribution of Bohn (1991) and using intertemporal balance of payments theory we set up a currency demand function with real consumption expenditure, the foreign interest rate and exchange rate expectations as the core explaining variables. We test the model with the aid of the econometric techniques proposed by Hylleberg, Engle, Granger and Yoo (1990) and Engle, Granger, Hylleberg and Lee (1993) relying on quarterly seasonally unadjusted data for Germany in the period 1960: 1 to 1993: 4. The findings reported in the paper support the suggestions made by the theoretical model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1017-1026 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325192 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:8:p:1017-1026 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dale Truett Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Author-Name: Lila Truett Author-X-Name-First: Lila Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Title: A cost function analysis of the Mexican nonelectrical machinery industry Abstract: This paper investigates the existence of economies of scale in the Mexican nonelectrical machinery industry as well as the direct and cross price elasticities of demand for its inputs (capital, labour, and intermediate goods) by estimating a translog cost function. There is evidence that the industry exhibits economies of scale but that technological change has not significantly affected cost. Direct demand elasticities for the inputs are negative and less than one, but capital displays a higher price elasticity of demand than does labour or intermediate goods. In general, the input cross price elasticities indicate that they are substitutes. The results suggest that in the early years of the North American Free Trade Agreement, expansion of the industry may increase its competitiveness and generate some employment. The best near-term prospects for growth in the industry appear to be through foreign investment or joint ventures oriented toward both exports and the procurement activities of government and government-related entities in Mexico. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1027-1035 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325200 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:8:p:1027-1035 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Smant Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smant Title: Real business cycle theory and monetary policy: the multiplier approach Abstract: According to real business cycle theory the money multiplier explains money-output correlations because nominal policy is impotent. This paper re-examines the key assumptions of the multiplier approach and presents empirical evidence for five countries. The main conclusions are as follows. First, base money does Granger-cause economic activity. Second, actual operating procedures of monetary authorities prevent orthogonalization of base money and multiplier changes. The distinction between real and nominal aspects of monetary policy is therefore not very helpful. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1037-1053 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325219 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325219 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:8:p:1037-1053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordan Shan Author-X-Name-First: Jordan Author-X-Name-Last: Shan Author-Name: Fiona Sun Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: On the export-led growth hypothesis: the econometric evidence from China Abstract: The export-led growth hypothesis is tested by estimating an augmented growth equation on the basis of times series data from China. The Granger no-causality procedure developed by Toda and Yamamoto (Journal of Econometrics, 66, 1995) was applied to test the causality link between exports and economic growth in a VAR system. Three distinct features in this paper stand out compared to earlier studies on China: first, we have gone beyond the traditional two-variable relationship by building a VAR model in the production function context to avoid a possible specification bias; second, we follow Riezman, Whiteman and Summers (Empirical Economics, 21, 1996) to test the export-led growth hypothesis while controlling for the growth of imports to avoid producing a spurious causality result; third, we test the sensitivity of causality test results under different lag structures along with the choice of optimal lags; in particular, the methodology developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) is expected to improve the standard F -statistics in the causality test process. The results indicate a bidirectional causality between exports and real industrial output in China in the 1987-1996 period. The export-led growth hypothesis, defined as a unidirectional causal ordering from exports to output, is therefore rejected in the case of China despite the positive contribution of exports on China's real output. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1055-1065 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325228 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325228 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:8:p:1055-1065 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael French Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: French Author-Name: Laura Dunlap Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Dunlap Title: Compensating wage differentials for job stress Abstract: Recent medical studies have demonstrated a strong relationship between mental stress and cardiac events such as myocardial infarction and stroke. In the workplace, stress once accounted for less than 5% of all occupational disease claims, but it now accounts for over 15%. Although research on the effects of mental stress is increasing, few studies offer an economic perspective. In this paper, we examine the effects of job stress on weekly wages and explore the possibility that stress commands a compensating wage differential. Our findings suggest that, ceteris paribus, a wage differential does exist between workers experiencing mental stress and their 'non-stressed' cohorts. After controlling for other demographic and occupational factors, we found a statistically significant wage premium ranging from 3 to 10% attributable to mental stress. In addition, the magnitude of the differential varies by gender. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1067-1075 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325237 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325237 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:8:p:1067-1075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akbar Marvasti Author-X-Name-First: Akbar Author-X-Name-Last: Marvasti Author-Name: David Smyth Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Barter in the US economy:a macroeconomic analysis Abstract: In this paper, a statistical model is developed to examine the determinants of the growing level of barter transactions in the US. Although a barter system is believed to be Pareto inferior to a money system, recent statistics of the estimated level of barter transactions in the US show a rapidly growing interest by large corporations as well as individuals in this type of trade. The primary obstacle in empirical research in this area is the difficulty of measuring the size of barter transactions. Here, data from barter exchange organizations are used to test the significance of several variables. The Ordinary Least Squares, and Cointegration and Error Correction Models are employed as two alternative empirical techniques to analyse the data. The results support the counter-cyclical arguments as well as the inflation factor. However, the notion of tax evasion as a motive in organized barter receives only a partial support. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1077-1088 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325246 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325246 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:8:p:1077-1088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lee Rivers Mobley Author-X-Name-First: Lee Rivers Author-X-Name-Last: Mobley Author-Name: Jon Magnussen Author-X-Name-First: Jon Author-X-Name-Last: Magnussen Title: An international comparison of hospital efficiency: does institutional environment matter? Abstract: The consensus among many health economists is that no meaningful performance differences exist among for-profit and non-profit hospitals in the US, but this topic has continued to be a matter of academic, judicial, and public policy interest. A similar debate has ensued internationally, regarding the potential efficiency gains from privatization of public enterprises. In this paper, we examine empirical evidence from the public, highly regulated Norwegian hospital sector and the private, highly competitive and unregulated California hospital sector to ascertain whether institutional environment and level of market competition significantly affect the degree of productive efficiency in hospitals. We compare and discuss the productive efficiency of four similar sets of hospitals operating in different institutional and competitive environments. The four samples are carefully matched in the dimensions of sample size, hospital size, and average lengths of stay. Heterogeneity in output definition is used to control for other dimensions (casemix, age distribution of patients). We use Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to estimate and compare average long-run as well as short-run efficiency measures across groups. We find that scale and scope regulation of Norwegian hospitals improves long-run efficiency, primarily due to better utilization of capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1089-1100 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325255 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325255 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:8:p:1089-1100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rina Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Rina Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: Jane Binner Author-X-Name-First: Jane Author-X-Name-Last: Binner Title: The shocking nature of output fluctuations in some EU countries Abstract: Recent literature on optimum currency areas has emphasized the importance of analysing the nature of the shocks facing the economy when deciding among alternative exchange rate regimes. In this paper we use a structural VAR to model the joint behaviour of real output, nominal interest rates, real interest rates and real money balances in response to four exogenous disturbances. Identifying restrictions are used so that these disturbances can be interpreted as supply, money supply, IS and money demand shocks. The analysis is performed on five major European countries. The principal objective is to investigate both the relative importance of these shocks in explaining the variance of output at different time horizons, and the dynamic response of these economies to each type of shock. Evidence presented in this paper indicates that the five economies under study have faced very different types of economic shocks over the recent past. The implication is that these countries are unlikely to meet the criteria for an optimum currency area. Unless a convincing case can be made that there are likely to be substantial economic benefits to offset this loss of a policy tool, there is a strong economic case for proceeding with monetary union with extreme caution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1101-1125 Issue: 8 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325264 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325264 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:8:p:1101-1125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Hine Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Hine Author-Name: Charles. Bischoff Author-X-Name-First: Charles. Author-X-Name-Last: Bischoff Title: The relevance of unanticipated money growth in explaining output variation Abstract: This paper tests a reduced form equation in which real GNP for the United States is explained by deviations of multi-period M1 growth rates from ex ante expectations of those rates formed from one to eight quarters earlier. The theoretical model is suggested by Stanley Fischer's 1977 article, and may be thought of as a 'New Keynesian' model. The equations are tested in both level and first difference specifications, to allow for possible unit roots. Empirical results strongly support this model in preference to 'New Classical' and 'Keynesian' alternatives. Ex ante expectations or M1 growth are formed from multi-period forecasts made by Chase Econometrics, Inc., between 1970 and 1979. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1127-1136 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325020 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:9:p:1127-1136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Kadri Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Kadri Title: Oscillating labour from the West Bank Abstract: A three-sector model representative of conditions in the West Bank is tested using pooled sectoral data. The period of study is chosen to be relatively stable and it ranges from 1974 to 1988 (post war and beginning of Intifada). The testing of the labour supply function results in agents preferring to work in the home economy rather than migrate. The sources of growth in migrants were detected in a pool of indigent labour for whom the possibility of employment at home was poor and as such migration became the alternative by necessity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1137-1146 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325039 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:9:p:1137-1146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geoff Kenny Author-X-Name-First: Geoff Author-X-Name-Last: Kenny Author-Name: Donal Mcgettigan Author-X-Name-First: Donal Author-X-Name-Last: Mcgettigan Title: Exchange rates and import prices for a small open economy: the case of Ireland Abstract: As a further contribution to the growing international literature on exchange rate pass-through (PT), this study assesses the extent of PT for Irish import prices over the period 1963 to 1995. It fills two important gaps in the literature, by making due allowance for the time series properties of the data and by concentrating on the case of a small open economy. In order to assess the extent of PT a mark-up model for aggregate import unit values is employed. It is argued that the usual single equation mark-up estimation technique leads to seriously biased and inefficient estimates of the degree of PT, as it ignores the strong simultaneity of import prices and domestic competing prices. This study makes use of the Johansen technique to allow for such simultaneity and uncovers two long-run equilibrium relationships among the data, for import unit values and domestic competing prices, and confirms the existence of very close to full PT for both. Previous results in the literature demonstrating substantially less than full PT may be due to the failure to make proper allowance for the time series properties of the data or for the strong simultaneity which exists between import and domestic competing prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1147-1155 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325048 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325048 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:9:p:1147-1155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Shields Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Shields Author-Name: Stephen Wheatley Price Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Wheatley Author-X-Name-Last: Price Title: The earnings of male immigrants in England: evidence from the quarterly LFS Abstract: In this paper we estimate earnings functions for native born and foreign born white and non-white males in the English labour market, using data from the Quarterly Labour Force Survey. We correct for selectivity bias in the employment decision and control for the nonreporting of wage information. Importantly, we separate the returns to schooling and to potential experience received in the country of origin from those obtained after immigration. Our results highlight the importance of distinguishing between native born and foreign born males when investigating the labour market experience of ethnic minorities. Furthermore, the earnings performance amongst white immigrants varies considerably. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1157-1168 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325057 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:9:p:1157-1168 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Hyde Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Hyde Author-Name: Jeffrey Perloff Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Perloff Title: Multimarket market power estimation: the Australian retail meat sector Abstract: A new technique for estimating market power in several markets simultaneously is developed and applied to the Australian retail beef, lamb, and pork markets. The hypotheses that market power is zero and that market power is the same for each meat cannot be rejected. Nor is there evidence that market power increased over the period of analysis. Little bias is created by examining markets is isolation, rather than within a system, when markets are competitive, but that bias can be large when market power exists in some markets in the system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1169-1176 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325066 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:9:p:1169-1176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mary Beth Walker Author-X-Name-First: Mary Beth Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Author-Name: Sally Wallace Author-X-Name-First: Sally Author-X-Name-Last: Wallace Title: The implications of current policies on the production of infant health Abstract: This study examines the possible link between the current trend to reduce availability of abortion services and the incidence of low birthweight births. Using current data on births and abortions in Atlanta and New York City, we update and expand the earlier empirical results of Grossman and Joyce (The Journal of Political Economy, 1990, 98 (5), 98-1007). Using their latent variable model framework, we find some evidence for the 'cost of abortion' model, which assumes that increasing the full costs of abortion will be associated with more low birthweight, hence less healthy, infants. These results indicate that current trends towards the reduction of funding for various social services could exacerbate the problem of low birthweight. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1177-1186 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325075 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:9:p:1177-1186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abul Shamsuddin Author-X-Name-First: Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Shamsuddin Title: Thedouble-negativeeffect onthe earnings of foreign-born females in Canada Abstract: This paper contributes to the debate over immigrant 'quality' by examining whether or not a double-negative effect on the earnings of female immigrants exists in Canada. Contrary to popular belief, this study observes that labour market adjustments occur at a faster rate for female immigrants than for male immigrants. The results indicate that immigrant women in Canada suffer from a double-negative effect mainly because of gender earnings discrimination rather than birthplace discrimination. Earnings discrimination by birthplace is more pronounced among males than females. The findings suggest that in evaluating immigrant quality, researchers should take into account the potential role of labour market discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1187-1201 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325084 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:9:p:1187-1201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Armstrong Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Armstrong Title: Careers guidance, psychometric testing and unemployment amongst young people: an empirical analysis for Northern Ireland Abstract: Psychometric tests continue to form an important part of careers guidance for young people of school leaving age throughout the UK. In the existing literature, there is little evidence about the impact of testing on subsequent labour market success. This paper presents a quantitative analysis of the effect of testing in Northern Ireland on young people's subsequent experiences of unemployment and long-term unemployment between the ages of 16 and 18. On account of the sample selection problem, standard single equation estimates of the effects of testing are likely to give biased results, and so the bivariate probit model is used in the estimation. The results suggest that although testing is not having an adverse impact, it is not having a statistically significant positive effect. This may be attributable to some aspects of test administration in Northern Ireland which, in many cases, seems to fall short of recommended guidelines. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1203-1217 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325093 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325093 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:9:p:1203-1217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ananda Weliwita Author-X-Name-First: Ananda Author-X-Name-Last: Weliwita Author-Name: E. M. Ekanayake Author-X-Name-First: E. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ekanayake Title: Demand for money in Sri Lanka during the post-1977 period: a cointegration and error correction analysis Abstract: This paper investigates the long-run demand for money and short-run dynamics of the long-run money demand function for Sri Lanka during the post-1977 period. While M1 is cointegrated with real income, nominal interest rate, short-term foreign interest rate, and real effective exchange rate, M2 is not. This suggests that monetary authorities should emphasize the narrow definition of money for monetary control. The one year fixed deposits rate is cointegrated with M1, indicating the opportunity cost of holding money. Although the inflation rate is not cointegrated with M1, it seems to be an important determinant of the demand for M1 in the short-run. Results also suggest that the short-term foreign interest rate and the exchange rate can have important implications for the effectiveness of monetary policy. Monetary authorities must consider the response of domestic money demand to these external factors when formulating future monetary policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1219-1229 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325101 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:9:p:1219-1229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Teresa Gonzalo Author-X-Name-First: Maria Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalo Title: Job exit of men: new job destination versus unemployment destination Abstract: Job exit of men over the age of forty is described and analysed using monthly observations derived from the 1988-89 UK Retirement Survey. A competing risks model is described and estimated. The results show that tenure and age determine transitions from a job to a new one, whereas those transitions from a job to unemployment are also determined by business cycle variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1231-1238 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325110 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:9:p:1231-1238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno Chiarini Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Chiarini Title: Cyclicality of real wages and adjustment costs Abstract: This paper tackles the issue of the procyclicality of the real wage. We present a dynamic relationship between real wages and employment consistent with the long-run stationary equilibrium using a cointegrated VAR model. We find that wages are anticyclical and that a negative relationship between real wages and employment is necessary to achieve an economically identifiable stationary long run solution. The contentiousness of the topic does not appear so important once we recall some measurement issues and economic features of the Italian labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1239-1250 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325129 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:9:p:1239-1250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mike Smet Author-X-Name-First: Mike Author-X-Name-Last: Smet Author-Name: Walter Nonneman Author-X-Name-First: Walter Author-X-Name-Last: Nonneman Title: Economies of scale and scope in Flemish secondary schools Abstract: This study estimates a multiproduct translog cost function for the entire population of 1011 Flemish secondary schools in order to determine the degree of ray and product specific (dis)economies of scale as well as the degree of (dis)economies of scope. Three types of schools and seven major study fields can be distinguished. Student loads in these study fields are used as outputs produced by the schools. Evidence is found for ray economies of scale for the three types of schools, even at output levels of 300% of the actual means. Although the cost elasticities of six out of seven outputs are close to zero, most of the values indicating the degree of product specific economies of scale are negative (suggesting diseconomies of scale). However, this can be explained by the considerable scope effects which are incorporated in the definition of the product specific economies of scale. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1251-1258 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325138 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:9:p:1251-1258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cynthia Dudzinski Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia Author-X-Name-Last: Dudzinski Author-Name: O. Homer Erekson Author-X-Name-First: O. Homer Author-X-Name-Last: Erekson Author-Name: Andrea Ziegert Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Ziegert Title: Estimating an hedonic translog cost function for the home health care industry Abstract: Medicare home health care plays an important role in providing cost effective care for the chronically ill and elderly. Long seen as a cost effective substitute for nursing home care, home care has become even more important with expenditures increasing by 31.4% from 1990 to 1996. The purpose of this paper is to provide a short run cost analysis of a sample of home health care providers to gain insight into the efficient provision of home health care services. This paper is a significant improvement over previous studies in that it uses a nationwide database to more accurately represent the multiproduct nature of the industry and uses an hedonic translog cost estimation with desirable economic properties. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1259-1267 Issue: 9 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325147 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:9:p:1259-1267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. C. Arize Author-X-Name-First: A. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Arize Author-Name: S. S. Shwiff Author-X-Name-First: S. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Shwiff Title: Does exchange-rate volatility affect import flows in G-7 Countries? Evidence from cointegration models Abstract: This paper provides new evidence on the long-run relationship between imports and exchange-rate volatility in G-7 countries. The period examined is 1973:2 through 1995:1. Cointegration analyses are based on Johansen's (1991, 1994) approach and robust single-equation methods of Stock and Watson (1993) and Phillips and Loretan (1991). In conformity with theoretical considerations, the results indicate that exchange-rate volatility has a significant negative effect on the volume of imports of most G-7 countries whereas for Canada, it is positive and significant. These findings are reasonably robust in terms of measures of exchange-rate volatility and different estimation methods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1269-1276 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324887 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:10:p:1269-1276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Butler-Smith Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Butler-Smith Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: Alan Collins Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Title: Gender differences in mate search effort: an exploratory economic analysis of personal advertisements Abstract: As a logical extension to the microeconomic analysis of human relationships, this study examines the actual method of mate search, in particular the use of personal advertisements. Some empirical support is found for Becker's (1973, 1974) explanations of mating strategy, but in relation to the level of search effort by gender, the results are not so clearly in accordance with his thinking. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1277-1285 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324896 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324896 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:10:p:1277-1285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abul Masih Author-X-Name-First: Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Masih Author-Name: Rumi Masih Author-X-Name-First: Rumi Author-X-Name-Last: Masih Title: A multivariate cointegrated modelling approach in testing temporal causality between energy consumption, real income and prices with an application to two Asian LDCs Abstract: Unlike previous studies on the casual relationship between energy consumption and economic growth, this paper illustrates how the finding of cointegration(i.e. long-term equilibrium relationship) between these variables, may be used in testing Granger causality. Based on the most recent Johansen's multiple cointegration tests preceded by various unit root or nonstationarity tests, we test for cointegration between total energy consumption, real income and price level of two Asian LDCs: Thailand and Sri Lanka. Nonrejection of cointegration between variables rules out Granger noncausality and implies at least one way of Granger-causality either unidirectional or bidirectional. Secondly, by using a dynamic vector error-correction model, we then analyse the direction of Granger-causation and hence the within-sample Grangerexogeneity or endogeneity of each of the variables. Thirdly, the relative strength of the causality is gauged (through the dynamic variance decomposition technique) by decomposing the total impact of an unanticipated shock to each of the variables beyond the sample period, into proportions attributable to shocks in the other variables including its own, in the multivariate system. Finally, these response paths of shocks to the system are traced out using impulse response graphs. Results based on these four tools of methodology, broadly indicate that all three variables are cointegrated and exhibit two common trends within each system. Energy consumption seems to be relatively exogenous as neither income nor prices seems to Granger cause this variable via any of the channels where potential casuality may occur. Though, energy consumption itself plays an important role in influencing income and prices by varying degrees of significance for each country. Overall, shocks to the system seemed to have had a more sustained if not pronounced effect in Thailand than in Sri Lanka. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1287-1298 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324904 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:10:p:1287-1298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Athanasios Noulas Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Noulas Author-Name: Kusum Ketkar Author-X-Name-First: Kusum Author-X-Name-Last: Ketkar Title: Efficient utilization of resources in public schools: a case study of New Jersey Abstract: The academic performance of public schools in the United States has been declining for more than two decades now, and this is a hotly debated topic since this deterioration in performance has important implications on the quality of labour and on the productivity growth of the nation (Bishop, 1989). Moreover, the performance among school districts in states varies significantly, raising questions about the factors contributing to the large variability in performance. One area where the current debate has been focused is the ability and quality of the school management to use the available resources efficiently, giving rise to the issues of a voucher system and the private management of the public schools. This study measures the efficiency of public schools for the state of New Jersey using the data envelopment analysis (DEA) method; it also examines the effect of certain socio-economic factors on efficiency. We find that the average efficiency for all schools is 81%. The wealthiest districts have an efficiency score of 88% while for the neediest districts the efficiency is 63%. However, when we adjust for socio-economic factors the difference between the two groups becomes smaller. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1299-1306 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324913 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:10:p:1299-1306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sohrab Abizadeh Author-X-Name-First: Sohrab Author-X-Name-Last: Abizadeh Author-Name: Mahmood Yousefi Author-X-Name-First: Mahmood Author-X-Name-Last: Yousefi Title: Deficits and inflation: an open economy model of the United States Abstract: The deficit debate is a recurring theme in academic and political circles. The controversy is over the effect of deficits on inflation and interest rates. The existing body of empirical evidence does not resolve the controversy. This paper focuses on the inflationary impact of deficits. The model used is derived from a comprehensive IS-LM analysis which incorporates a foreign trade sector and a general price (adoptive expectation) adjustment mechanism. We test the model using time series data for the United states. From our results we conclude that NIA deficits have no significant bearing on the rate of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1307-1316 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324922 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324922 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:10:p:1307-1316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fahim Al-Marhubi Author-X-Name-First: Fahim Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Marhubi Title: Cross-country evidence on the link between inflation volatility and growth Abstract: It is generally accepted that short-run monetary (mis)management, as reflected in inflation volatility, affects the long-run growth rate of the economy. This proposition is tested for a cross-section sample of 78 countries over the period 1965-85. The evidence suggests that, after controlling for other country-specific growth correlates, high inflation volatility is associated with lower mean growth. Inflation volatility was also found to have a negative effect on the productivity of investment, but does not appear to affect the share of investment of GDP. These results are also robust to an alternative data set that extends the sample period to 1994. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1317-1326 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324931 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:10:p:1317-1326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Peraita Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Peraita Author-Name: Manuel Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez Title: The effect of family background on children's level of schooling attainment in Spain Abstract: This paper provides microeconomic estimates of the role played by family background in determining children's level of schooling attainment in Spain. We use an ordered logit model to explore the effects of family background and other supply factors on the probability of various educational outcomes. Our estimates are based on household data obtained from the ECVT, Living and Working Conditions Survey (Ministerio de Economia y Hacienda, 1985), a Spanish nation-wide household survey conducted at the end of 1985. In general, and given the Spanish capital constraints, parental income, social class, and family size, explain children's level of schooling. These results are consistent with those of the literature that focuses on the role of family background in determining schooling attainment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1327-1334 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324940 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:10:p:1327-1334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katharine Wakelin Author-X-Name-First: Katharine Author-X-Name-Last: Wakelin Title: The role of innovation in bilateral OECD trade performance Abstract: This paper tests an empirical model of the determinants of bilateral OECD trade, with particular emphasis on the role of innovation. Variation in the relationship across countries and sectors is analysed; two innovation proxies and actual data on innovations are used. A positive relationship is found between relative innovation and bilateral trade performance at an aggregate level, and for a number of manufacturing sectors. Sectors are also categorized as either net users or producers of innovations; differences in innovation appear to have more of an impact on trade performance for the net producers of innovations than the net users of innovations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1335-1346 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324959 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:10:p:1335-1346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarmistha Pal Author-X-Name-First: Sarmistha Author-X-Name-Last: Pal Title: A limited-dependent analysis of the choice of regular labour contract in seasonal agriculture Abstract: The paper examines both theoretically and empirically the factors determining the demand for regular labour in seasonal agriculture. In an implicit contract framework it is argued that there are 'hoarding costs' of regular labour in the slack period when there is not much work to be done. Consequently, the number of regular labour employed is constrained by the hoarding cost where larger employment-intensive farms tend to hire more regular labour. Evidence from the ICRISAT villages in India, too, show that though the marginal costs of regular labour are zero, there are significant hoarding costs of regular labour among small farms so that larger farmers are the major demanders of regular labour. Estimates of the double-hurdle model jointly determining the probability of hiring regular labour and demand for regular labour-hours (if a regular labour is hired) are shown to be an improvement over univariate tobit estimates of the demand for regular labour-hours only. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1347-1359 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324968 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324968 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:10:p:1347-1359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Fain Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Fain Title: The causes and consequences of occupational segregation: a simultaneous equations approach Abstract: Lewis and Shorten (Applied Economics, 1991, 23, 167-77) have proposed that male and female earnings, male and female labour force participation rates and occupational segregation are simultaneously determined in the labour market. They estimate their model for Australia using 1981 Census data and find substantial evidence to support their hypothesis. However, there have been no subsequent studies to empirically test their hypothesis for other countries. In this paper their model for the United States using 1990 Census data is replicated. All but one of the coefficients on the endogenous variables have the same signs as those reported by Lewis and Shorten, which tends to support their model. The specification of Lewis and Shorten's model is tested and it is inappropriate for the US data. The model is then reformulated and re-estimated. The reformulated model also shows substantial evidence of simultaneity between occupational segregation and other labour market outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1361-1367 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324977 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324977 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:10:p:1361-1367 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Madhu Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Madhu Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Title: The role of the desire for union status in the decision to enter local government job queues: the US evidence Abstract: Following a two-stage bivariate probit approach, this study estimates local government and union job queues in a simultaneous equations framework. By relaxing the restrictive assumption of independence between the worker's queuing and the employer's hiring decisions, it overcomes a major limitation of most of the earlier job queue estimates. The results indicate that the worker's queuing decision for local government jobs in the United States is determined partly by the desire for unionized employment. The converse, however, is not true. Seniority with the current employer emerges as a significant determinant of both workers'queuing and employers' hiring decisions. Furthermore, local governments act as 'model employers' by being more likely to hire minorities and females from the pool of job applicants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1369-1378 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324986 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324986 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:10:p:1369-1378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matz Dahlberg Author-X-Name-First: Matz Author-X-Name-Last: Dahlberg Author-Name: Eva Johansson Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Johansson Title: The revenues-expenditures nexus: panel data evidence from Swedish municipalities Abstract: This paper examines the dynamic relationship between local government revenues and expenditures in Sweden. Results from a panel of 265 municipalities covered over the time period 1974-87 show that (i) expenditures cause revenues, while revenues do not cause expenditures, (ii) intergovernmental grants both cause and are caused by expenditures and revenues, (iii) lags of four years are needed to describe the dynamics among the fiscal variables and (iv) the parameters of the expenditures equation are time varying. These results cast doubt on static modeling of local government activities and on models imposing time invariant parameters without ever testing for it. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1379-1386 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324995 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:10:p:1379-1386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Les Oxley Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Oxley Author-Name: David Greasley Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Greasley Title: Vector autoregression, cointegration and causality: testing for causes of the British industrial revolution Abstract: The existence, timing, and possible causes of the British industrial revolution are considered by investigating the time series properties of industrial production and various explanatory variables. Utilising two types of robust cointegration-based causality tests we argue that domestic forces, notably technological progress, shaped the industrial revolution, whereas overseas trade expansion was mainly a consequence of industrial growth. Results from Granger-type VAR tests are contrasted with those of Toda and Phillips (Working paper 91-07, University of Western Australia, 1991b), where the latter manifest some of the potential problems raised by the authors when applied to a data set of this type. An understanding of the possible causes of the first industrial revolution may shed more general light on the forces promoting industrialization and growth. To the extent that the first industrial revolution offers a template, exports appear not to provide a simple pathway to industrialization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1387-1397 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325002 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:10:p:1387-1397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Gracia Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gracia Author-Name: J. M. Gil Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Author-Name: A. M. Angulo Author-X-Name-First: A. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Angulo Title: Spanish food demand: a dynamic approach Abstract: Other empirical works have demonstrated that Spanish food demand seems to have a dynamic structure. However, the commonly used dynamization processes are too restrictive to explain the dynamic food consumers' behaviour. A more general model that is able to incorporate different dynamic structures (partial adjustment, first autoregressive, and static) and allows for direct estimation of long-run coefficients has been used. This general framework is applied to the Generalized Addilog Demand System (GADS) for annual Spanish data covering 1964 to 1991. Results indicate that an autoregressive GADS fits well the data, satisfying the theoretic restrictions. Finally, the expenditure and price elasticities are calculated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1399-1405 Issue: 10 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498325011 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498325011 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:10:p:1399-1405 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Witt Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Witt Author-Name: Alan Clarke Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Clarke Author-Name: Nigel Fielding Author-X-Name-First: Nigel Author-X-Name-Last: Fielding Title: Common trends and common cycles in regional crime Abstract: This paper uses the Vahid and Engle (Journal of Applied Econometrics, 8, 341-360, 1993) common trend - common cycle approach to model the dynamics of regional crime rates in England over the period 1975-1996. The evidence indicates the existence of common trends and common cycles in regional crime rates. This result is exploited to examine the system-wide effects of shocks emanating in a particular region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1407-1412 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324751 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:11:p:1407-1412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rainer Winkelmann Author-X-Name-First: Rainer Author-X-Name-Last: Winkelmann Author-Name: Klaus Zimmermann Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmermann Title: Is job stability declining in Germany? Evidence from count data models Abstract: The macro evidence of increased adjustment pressure since the early 1970s suggests that job mobility should have increased. Hence, retrospective and spell data from the German Socio-Economic Panel are combined in order to test the hypothesis that job stability for German workers declined between 1974 and 1994. Using count data regression models in which we control for labour market experience, various demographic factors, and occupation, we find that job stability did not decrease, but if anything increased, between 1974 and 1994. Our finding suggests that labour market inflexibility is an important factor in explaining the European unemployment problem. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1413-1420 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324760 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:11:p:1413-1420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Howells Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Howells Author-Name: Khaled Hussein Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Hussein Title: The demand for broad money in the UK: does credit matter? Abstract: Empirical work based on portfolio theories of the demand for money traditionally treat the quantity of money demanded as the outcome of a decision to allocate a fixed amount of wealth. By contrast, this paper argues that people commonly hold money at the same time that they borrow. Thus changes in gross wealth will cause changes in the quantity of money people wish to hold. This suggests that empirical work in the demand for broad money should pay attention to the cost of credit. We estimate the demand for broad money in the UK (1969Q1-1994Q4) using the recently developed time-series techniques of DOLS and FPLS. Our findings show that the cost of credit variables are important determinants of the demand for real M4 in the UK. In contrast to the recent empirical literature, our results provide strong evidence for the hypothesis that interest rates have a short and long term causal impact on real money demand in the UK. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1421-1429 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324779 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:11:p:1421-1429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. Luski Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Luski Author-Name: J. Weinblatt Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Weinblatt Title: A dynamic analysis of fiscal pressure and demographic transition Abstract: In this paper, the effects of demographic changes, particularly in the age structure of population, on government social expenditure is estimated. The results indicate that income elasticity of government social services is unitary in high income countries and above that level in low income countries, especially in education and welfare. The paper attempts also to forecast the pressure of these government outlays in four distinct countries characterized by different demographic parameters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1431-1442 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324788 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:11:p:1431-1442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Maeso-Fernandez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Maeso-Fernandez Title: Econometric methods and purchasing power parity: short- and long-run PPP Abstract: This paper defines the different versions of the purchasing power parity and establishes the existing relationships between them in the light of econometric techniques. Monthly and annual data for real exchange rates are studied through a variance ratio test. Unlike other authors, it is found that there is not explosive behaviour in the real exchange rate when monthly data are used. Besides, stationarity is easily accepted using annual data. These results allow to reconcile the two main versions of the purchasing power parity and also explain why trade imbalances are persistent but not permanent. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1443-1457 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324797 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:11:p:1443-1457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dirk Frantzen Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Frantzen Title: R&D efforts, international technology spillovers and the evolution of productivity in industrial countries Abstract: Equations are presented that relate countries' total factor productivity to own and to foreign R&D efforts. They are estimated on a panel of annual time series concerning a set of industrial countries over a period from the mid-1960s to the early 1990s. Use is made of alternative cointegrating estimation procedures. The results imply that, whereas domestic R&D efforts exercise a significant influence on total factor productivity, the influence of international technology spillovers is, on average, even more important. A causality analysis confirms that the causation runs in essence from R&D to productivity rather than the other way around. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1459-1469 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324805 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324805 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:11:p:1459-1469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Madhu Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Madhu Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Title: Do US employers discriminate against females when hiring their employees? Abstract: Using Johnson's decomposition technique, this paper demonstrates that the disappearance of the gap between female and male unemployment rates in the United States during the last decade results partly from a general hiring policy that is favourable to women workers. This conclusion holds for workers in five out of eight occupational subsamples considered. The sign and size of unexplained female - male unemployment rate differential estimated from 1969, 1977 and 1987 CPS data suggest that hiring discrimination against females in the US labour market has declined considerably during the last two decades. The study also supports the earlier finding that the growth of employment in government and in the female dominated service sector, and migration of workers from the South to other regions contribute significantly to the convergence of male and female unemployment rates in the 1980s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1471-1482 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324814 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324814 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:11:p:1471-1482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Costas Milas Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Milas Title: Demand for Greek imports using multivariate cointegration techniques Abstract: Starting from a theoretical model with importable, traded and nontraded goods, we identify a long run relationship among Greek imports, domestic activity and relative prices. The model supports weak exogeneity of relative prices which means that Greek importers take the price of imports as given. The greater than one income elasticity, which persists even when cyclical demand effects are netted out, means that Greece faces an external constraint on growth as verified by the negative effect of the disequilibrium error in the short run output equation. The findings of this paper suggest that the price of domestic tradeables and nontradeables are significant determinants of the long run and short run import demand, while instability in domestic inflation is found to have a strong short run depressing effect on domestic activity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1483-1492 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324823 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:11:p:1483-1492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Per Johansson Author-X-Name-First: Per Author-X-Name-Last: Johansson Author-Name: Kurt Brafinnafis Author-X-Name-First: Kurt Author-X-Name-Last: Brafinnafis Title: A household model for work absence Abstract: The economic incentives of work absence are empirically studied using a panel of Swedish blue collar workers, both men and women, that either are married or living with a spouse as married. A model for the daily absence decision is derived from standard economic utility theory. An estimable form for the annual number of absence days is obtained by considering the data generating process in some detail. The model is estimated, using the first two moments, with a generalized method of moment estimator. The panel structure of the data is explicitly considered and a positive dependence between the number of days absent in the two time periods is found for females. A 1% increase in the cost will lead to a decrease in the mean number of days absent by 1.8 and 2.7% for females and males, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1493-1503 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324832 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:11:p:1493-1503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leighton Vaughan Williams Author-X-Name-First: Leighton Vaughan Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Author-Name: David Paton Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Paton Title: Why are some favourite-longshot biases positive and others negative? Abstract: Most studies of both pari-mutuel and fixed-odds betting markets have shown a systematic tendency for the expected return to bets at lower odds to exceed those at higher odds. Some work, however, has revealed in certain markets the absence or even reversal of this bias. We present a model which distinguishes two separate types of bettor, and use this to demonstrate how transactions costs, the extent of public information, and consumption benefits of betting can explain the disparities. Our empirical evidence, taken from a fixed-odds market, lends support to our theoretical conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1505-1510 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324841 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:11:p:1505-1510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ben Bode Author-X-Name-First: Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Bode Author-Name: Johan Koerts Author-X-Name-First: Johan Author-X-Name-Last: Koerts Author-Name: A. Roy Thurik Author-X-Name-First: A. Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Thurik Title: On the use of disequilibrium models in applied microeconomic research and the value of sample separation information Abstract: The use of disequilibrium models in applied microeconomic research is evaluated. A disequilibrium or switching regime model is used to explainsales levels of individual retail stores. It is investigated whether substantial differences are found if an equilibrium approach is followed instead. Disequilibrium models are known to suffer from the fact that sample separation is unknown. Usually this information is not available. Our sample contains explicit information with respect to the regime to which an observation belongs. Therefore, the value of sample separation information in estimating the disequilibrium model is investigated. Finally, Monte Carlo experiments are conducted to get more insight into these matters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1511-1530 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324850 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:11:p:1511-1530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Hildreth Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Hildreth Author-Name: Stephen Millard Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Millard Author-Name: Dale Mortensen Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Mortensen Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Wages, work, and unemployment Abstract: This paper provides new evidence on unemployment durations for individuals in Great Britain using a three state Markov framework in a competing risk setting and a nationally representative data set. The analysis is based on the premise that an individual's movements between labour market states can be represented by a Markov process. The modelling procedure combines the dynamic properties of the search approach to unemployment while using the labour supply decision at each moment in time in response to the expected wage to include participation decisions. Using this framework, we are able to determine the effect of individual characteristics, including the expected wage, on labour market behaviour. The model is estimated separately for men and women, and for young and mature workers, to investigate whether labour market behaviour differs for these groups. The validity of the Markov assumptions are tested using different model specifications, and changes in the model over calendar time are also presented. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1531-1547 Issue: 11 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324869 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:11:p:1531-1547 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashok Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Barry Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Title: Income risk and allocation of labour time: an empirical investigation Abstract: This study investigates the behaviour of risk averse farm operators in response to farm income and employment variability. Economic theory maintains that greater farm income variability should increase off-farm labour supply. On the other hand greater off-farm employment variability should decrease off-farm labour supply. This effect is confirmed for a sample of farm operators in North Carolina and Kansas using fixed and random effects models. Off-farm employment of farm operators is also found to be significantly influenced by age, efficiency, asset value, and off-farm wage rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1549-1555 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324634 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324634 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:12:p:1549-1555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inmaculada Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: Household labour supply with rationing in Spain Abstract: This paper provides new empirical evidence on household labour supply with rationing. To that end, we use the latest Spanish data in order to estimate three flexible functional forms, namely the NLES, the quadratic and the Hausman - Ruud forms and calculate the income and wage elasticities. We find that the number of dependants has a negative effect on the labour supply of the female. Moreover, the North and the East Spanish regions have a clearly positive effect on the labour supply of the female, whilst the North has the same effect on that of the male. The elasticities of three functional forms are very similar. Male labour supply is slightly decreasing with the wage, whilst for the female it is increasing. Leisure is a normal good for both spouses, as expected, whilst the labour hours are net substitutes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1557-1570 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324643 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:12:p:1557-1570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cynthia Brown Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Jose Pagan Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Pagan Title: Changes in employment status across demographic groups during the 1990-1991 recession Abstract: This study analyses the relative impact of the 1990-91 recession on the employment status of Mexican-American, other Hispanic, and non-Hispanic black and white workers in the US. Recession-induced job losses and changes in shares of parttime and fulltime employment significantly varied across demographic groups and gender. From 1989 to 1991 males experienced a larger decline than females in the relative shares of fulltime employment with Mexican-American and other Hispanic females actually increasing their shares. Utilizing 1990 and 1992 CPS data, we estimate bivariate probit models of employment and fulltime/parttime employment status for each group. These employment and work status probabilities are then decomposed to analyse the factors that led to the changes. Our study suggests that the 1990-91 recession-induced labour market changes had the most detrimental impact on black male and non-Hispanic white female workers. As such, public policies implemented to mitigate the impact of economic downturns should take into account the differential impact of economic recessions on demographic groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1571-1583 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324652 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324652 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:12:p:1571-1583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julius Horvath Author-X-Name-First: Julius Author-X-Name-Last: Horvath Author-Name: Magda Kandil Author-X-Name-First: Magda Author-X-Name-Last: Kandil Author-Name: Subhash Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Subhash Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: On the European monetary system: the spillover effects of German shocks and disinflation Abstract: We analyse the disinflationary experience between 1979-93 for two traditionally inflationary countries of the European Monetary System: France and Italy. For each country, a vector autoregressive model is estimated. Shocks in the model combine domestic and foreign sources. The latter capture the world oil price shocks as well as nominal and real shocks originating in Germany. Under investigation is the hypothesis that shocks originating in Germany have a spillover disinflationary effect in France and Italy. The empirical evidence provides support to the validity of this hypothesis. Furthermore, German shocks account for an important share of the total price variance in France and Italy. These results indicate that the interaction between countries of the European Monetary System has contributed to the success of the disinflationary experiences of the 1980s. The evidence sheds, therefore, some light on potential benefits that may be further realized as countries of the European Monetary System move towards their objective of achieving a single currency under a united monetary system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1585-1593 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324661 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324661 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:12:p:1585-1593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Abler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Abler Author-Name: Jayanta Das Author-X-Name-First: Jayanta Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: The determinants of the speed of convergence: the case of India Abstract: A large number of studies have tested whether per capita incomes are converging, either conditionally or unconditionally, across countries or across regions within countries. However, none of them has investigated the determinants of the speed of convergence when this speed can vary across economies. This study investigates the determinants of the speed of convergence across states within India. The results are inconsistent in several ways with the predictions of the Solow-Swan model. The Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans model fares better, but there are still some important inconsistencies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1595-1602 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324670 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324670 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:12:p:1595-1602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Basim Makhoul Author-X-Name-First: Basim Author-X-Name-Last: Makhoul Author-Name: Samuel Otterstrom Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Otterstrom Title: Exploring the accuracy of international trade statistics Abstract: This study provides a comprehensive investigation of statistical discrepancies in generally accepted international trade figures published by the IMF between 1948 and 1994. We calculated export over- and underestimation for each country and all of their bilateral trading partners. By keeping totals for over- and underestimation in separate categories we avoided the cancellation effect of aggregating positive and negative discrepancies among partner countries. In general, the results show a significant improvement in the quality of trade data over time. However for many countries, relatively large discrepancies still exist that defy technical explanations, such as the CIF-FOB margins. Also, because export over- and underestimation coexist for most of the countries at varying degrees, use of the aggregate sum of the discrepancy might disguise the actual magnitude of the problem. A significant difference exists in the relative magnitude and dispersion of trade discrepancies between OECD countries and non-OECD countries. Trend analysis suggests that the accuracy of trade data is improving at a faster rate in the non-OECD than in the OECD countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1603-1616 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324689 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324689 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:12:p:1603-1616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Ashworth Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ashworth Author-Name: Lynne Evans Author-X-Name-First: Lynne Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Title: Functional form of the demand for real balances in Cagan's hyperinflation model Abstract: This paper uses recent advances in the development of testable implications of the Cagan model of hyperinflation. It extends the range of candidate functional forms of the demand for real balances in hyperinflations to include nonstandard versions in which the absolute inflation elasticity is a decreasing function of inflation. These nonstandard functional forms are of interest because they are known to have desirable theoretical properties. This paper finds empirical justification for a nonstandard form that performs at least as well as the traditional semilogarithmic functional form. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1617-1623 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324698 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324698 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:12:p:1617-1623 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Andrikopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Andrikopoulos Author-Name: John Loizides Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Loizides Title: Cost structure and productivity growth in European railway systems Abstract: The purpose of this paper is threefold: first, to empirically investigate the coststructure of the railway systems in ten European Countries (Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal and the United Kingdom) of the European Union, second to provide measures of economies (diseconomies) of scale and fully investigate the manner by which economies of scale have affected the cost structure of the system and have been affected by the growth in input prices and technology, and third, to measure economic efficiency and identify its sources. In achieving this purpose, the translog technology has been used and the translog model was estimated using time-series data covering the period 1969-1993. Zellner's iterative method was used in estimating the translog model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1625-1639 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324706 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324706 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:12:p:1625-1639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. M. Dobson Author-X-Name-First: S. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dobson Author-Name: J. A. Goddard Author-X-Name-First: J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Goddard Title: Performance and revenue in professional league football: evidence from Granger causality tests Abstract: Using a dataset comprising annual performance (measured by final league position) and gate revenue for 77 Football League clubs which maintained unbroken league membership between 1946 and 1994, the relationship between performance and revenue is investigated using cointegration and causality tests. A cointegrating relationship between performance and revenue is established in only 10 cases out of 77, although it is argued that some caution is required in interpreting these results, due to the low power of the relevant tests in relatively small samples. In Granger causality tests, more evidence is found of causality running from lagged revenue to current performance than of causality in the opposite direction, while the dependence of performance on revenue seems to be greater for the smaller clubs than for the larger. These results lend empirical support to the popular view that, unless checked by mechanisms for revenue redistribution within the league, the natural tendency is for success to become concentrated increasingly among a small group of elite, wealthy clubs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1641-1651 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324715 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324715 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:12:p:1641-1651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marten Palme Author-X-Name-First: Marten Author-X-Name-Last: Palme Author-Name: Robert Wright Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Wright Title: Changes in the rate of return to education in Sweden: 1968-1991 Abstract: This paper estimates changes in the rate of return to education in Sweden between 1968 and 1991. Both the 'quantity' (years of schooling completed) and 'quality' (highest qualification obtained) dimensions of education are considered. Adopting a human capital approach, the rate of return is measured in terms of differences in wage rates associated with differences in education. Both quadratic wage and cubic spline wage functions are estimated. The data used are from the 1968, 1981 and 1991 Swedish Level of Living Surveys. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1653-1663 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324724 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324724 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:12:p:1653-1663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jarkko Turunen Author-X-Name-First: Jarkko Author-X-Name-Last: Turunen Title: Disaggregated wage curves in the United States: evidence from panel data of young workers Abstract: The paper presents wage curve results disaggregated over time, by individual characteristics, occupations, industries and regions in the United States, using a panel data set of young workers. The results suggest that instead of a strong aggregate wage curve there are a number of different wage curves over time, and for different worker groups. The slope of the aggregate wage curve varies over time, with the strongest wage curves in the late 1980s. Wage curves exist for most labour market groups: the wages of the least educated, Hispanics, those in relatively low-skill occupations or service industries are most sensitive to changes in unemployment. Wages of government workers and those in the mining industry increase with unemployment. Finally, wage curves are steepest in the western states. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1665-1677 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324733 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324733 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:12:p:1665-1677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Pedersen Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Pedersen Title: Capturing all the information in foreign currency option prices: solving for one versus two implied variables Abstract: The information content of option prices has traditionally been expressed in an implied volatility parameter which is characterized as capturing the markets expectations about future volatility of the underlying asset. Researchers normally solve for an implied volatility alone. A more recent trend has been to solve for both an implied interest rate and standard deviation simultaneously. This study compares the proficiency of these two techniques in capturing the information in the market prices of foreign currency options. The results show that solving for two implied variables consistently yields less information than solving for an implied volatility alone. This raises the implication that by trying to reduce one source of bias by solving for two variables simultaneously, researchers may be introducing a more serious source of error resulting in a dilution of the available information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1679-1683 Issue: 12 Volume: 30 Year: 1998 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368498324742 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368498324742 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:30:y:1998:i:12:p:1679-1683 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Editorial Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-1 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324499 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:1:p:1-1 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Title: A 'pricing-to-market' model with unobserved variables: explaining New Zealand's import prices Abstract: A model of 'pricing-to-market' (PTM) behaviour in import prices is developed for a small open economy to allow for two measurement problems: (i) that neither the marginal production cost of imported goods nor their corresponding (foreign-currency) export price are observable by the econometrician; (ii) that PTM behaviour, if it exists, alters the relationship between foreign countries' export price indices for total exports and the true, unobservable price index. The analysis shows that variations in the measured markup on import prices depends on the degree to which domestic demand is synchronized with world demand, whether bilateral exchange rate movements are due to domestic or foreign factors, and on the degree to which PTM behaviour differs from such behaviour in other countries. Equations estimated for the price of New Zealand (NZ) imports from the US strongly supports the model, and finds that the degree of PTM by US exporters in response to price and exchange rate movements is substantially greater in NZ than the average for other countries. However, the degree of PTM in NZ in response to excess demand is similar to that of other countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3-8 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324507 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:1:p:3-8 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Bailey Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Author-Name: Tony Mallier Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Mallier Title: The summer vacation: influences on the hours students work Abstract: The authors look at what determines the number of hours United Kingdom undergraduate students work in summer vacation employment. This is of interest because such employment is now, because of the nature of the United Kingdom Higher Education system, providing an important means of financing for students. They find the differing personal characteristics of students do not, either on their own or collectively, exert a significant influence on the total number of hours individual students were employed during their summer vacation. This finding would suggest that students were treated, in the labour market, as a homogeneous group although the students themselves exercised a degree of self-selection regarding the decision as to whether to seek full or part-time employment. A possible explanation for these findings is the similarity of the work being sought by students during the summer vacation. The authors find no evidence of a backward bending labour supply curve for students which may be due to the limited time period students were to spend in the labour market and the temptation of extra income to offset the need for loans. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 9-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324516 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324516 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:1:p:9-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikiforos Laopodis Author-X-Name-First: Nikiforos Author-X-Name-Last: Laopodis Title: Optimal prediction rule: an application to debt reschedulings Abstract: This paper develops and tests a new model for assessing country credit risk and is called Multivariate Cumulative Sum. This model is dynamic in nature and allows the user to predict early enough a financial distress that could lead to debt rescheduling. The findings suggest that the model is capable of detecting potential debt - repayment difficulties as early as three years in advance. This has serious financing implications, since the lender can have ample time to re-evaluate his investment opportunities towards that country and thus avoid or limit a disastrous financial exposure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 17-26 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324525 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:1:p:17-26 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Belli Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Belli Author-Name: Qaiser Khan Author-X-Name-First: Qaiser Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: George Psacharopoulos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Psacharopoulos Title: Assessing a higher education project: a Mauritius feasibility study Abstract: The paper presents a cost-benefit analysis of a higher education project in Mauritius by using the rate of return and net present value methods, from the individual student and society's point of view. Although there exists a very rich literature on cost-benefit analysis of an education sector as a whole, we are not aware of published estimates at the individual project level. Monte Carlo techniques are used to test the robustness of the estimates regarding the costs and the benefits associated with this project. The results show that all programmes considered are good investments from both the private and the social point of view, although some programmes are more profitable than others. One important finding is that the combination of progressive taxation and the payment of tuition fees by students brings the private and social returns of this project to equilibrium. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 27-35 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324534 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:1:p:27-35 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sauwalak Kittiprapas Author-X-Name-First: Sauwalak Author-X-Name-Last: Kittiprapas Author-Name: PHILIP McCANN Author-X-Name-First: PHILIP Author-X-Name-Last: McCANN Title: Industrial location behaviour and regional restructuring within the Fifth 'Tiger' Economy: evidence from the Thai electronics industry Abstract: The paper investigates the location behaviour of firms in the electronics industry in Thailand. Our approach is to use a logit model in order to analyse how the characteristics of the firms and the regions are related to the location decisions of firms in these sectors. The logit results throw some light on the question of the nature of agglomeration behaviour in a developing economy in which the national spatial industrial structure is dominated by a single primal city. Our conclusions provide tentative support for a product-cycle argument of industrial concentration and dispersion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 37-51 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324543 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:1:p:37-51 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Robst Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Robst Author-Name: Kathleen Cuson-Graham Author-X-Name-First: Kathleen Author-X-Name-Last: Cuson-Graham Title: The effect of uncertain educational requirements on education and wages Abstract: This paper examines the effects of uncertain educational requirements. The level of education required to enter an occupation varies with a number of factors. Workers may be uncertain as to their specific job when selecting an occupation, thus they are also uncertain as to how much education they will need. We find that occupations with more uncertainty pay males compensating wages; however females do not receive compensating wages. We also find a negative relationship between uncertain educational requirements and completed schooling for both men and women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 53-63 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324552 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:1:p:53-63 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Livio Di Matteo Author-X-Name-First: Livio Di Author-X-Name-Last: Matteo Title: Using alternative methods to estimate the determinants of cross-border trips Abstract: The relationship between quarterly same day automobile trips by Canadians to the United States and the real exchange rate over the period 1979 - 95 is estimated using the parametric technique Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and the nonparametric technique Locally Weighted Scatterplot Smoothing (LOWESS). The results suggest that there are important differences in the estimates generated across the two techniques. The nonparametric approach generates an inverse J-curve relationship between the two variables which implies that linear OLS estimates can yield substantial under-and overestimates of the dependent variable as the real exchange rate varies. This can have implications for applied researchers attempting to estimate models of tourism demand for forecasting purposes. At the very least, the nonparametric approach can help suggest a more flexible parametric functional form for multivariate regression that better reflects the data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 77-88 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324570 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:1:p:77-88 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eugene Kouassi Author-X-Name-First: Eugene Author-X-Name-Last: Kouassi Author-Name: Bernard Decaluwe Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Decaluwe Author-Name: Crispin Kapombe Author-X-Name-First: Crispin Author-X-Name-Last: Kapombe Author-Name: Dale Colyer Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Colyer Title: Temporal causality and the dynamic interactions between terms of trade and current account deficits in co-integrated VAR processes: further evidence from Ivorian time series Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between the terms of trade and current account deficits within a context of VECM. The results indicate that for the Coted'Ivoire there is a long-run relationship between the terms of trade and current account deficits. They also indicate that current account deficits in Cote-d'Ivoire cannot be explained by the terms of trade. A strong unidirectional relationship exists between current account deficits and the terms of trade since the first one Granger causes the second. Finally, dynamic simulations have indicated that a significant portion of fluctuations in the terms of trade is explained by current account deficits. In light of these findings, it can be concluded that economic policy in Cote-d'Ivoire should be carried out with extreme caution due to the nature of international commodity markets, the mechanism of the terms of trade's formation, and the relative exogeneity of current account deficits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 89-96 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324589 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:1:p:89-96 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rasha Torstensson Author-X-Name-First: Rasha Author-X-Name-Last: Torstensson Title: Growth, knowledge transfer and European integration Abstract: It has been suggested that members in the EC or the EFTA experienced significantly higher growth rates compared to nonmember countries. This suggests that the European integration either captures omitted variables or that it gives rise to increased growth rates through enhanced investment and/or increased knowledge transfer. The present study attempts to resolve this issue. The analysis identifies a two-link chain between European integration (EI) and growth through investment. In addition, on examining whether there are any knowledge spillovers resulting from integration it is found that integrated countries do in fact experience more knowledge spillovers compared to nonintegrated countries. Employing both the neoclassical and endogenous growth approaches, it is found that trade variables are especially important for growth in Total Factor Productivity (TFP). The study is undertaken for a panel sample consisting of 20 OECD countries and covering three time periods between 1976 and 1990. Special emphasis is placed on specification and sensitivity analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 97-106 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324598 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324598 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:1:p:97-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Hoster Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Hoster Title: Effects of a European electricity market on the German electricity industry: results from a simulation model of the European power systems Abstract: The introduction of an European common market for electricity and the opening of the power markets to eastern Europe and Scandinavia will have a drastic and lasting effect on the structure of the German electricity industry. This paper presents an evaluation of the possible effects of a single market especially on the power trade within Europe and the German power plant system. One special aspect is the investigation, whether a flooding of the German electricity market with French nuclear power could happen. Scenario simulations reject the argumentation that a European common market for electricity would lead to a dramatic increase in international electricity trade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 107-122 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324606 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324606 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:1:p:107-122 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keith Bender Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Bender Author-Name: Peter Sloane Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sloane Title: Trade union membership, tenure and the level of job insecurity Abstract: Recently there have been suggestions that job insecurity is on the increase. Two factors which may explain this are the reduced role of the trade unions and increasing flexibility in the labour market with an associated reduction in the proportion of workers in permanent fulltime employment. For the first time the relationship between trade union membership, tenure and the workers perception of job insecurity is examined using British data (drawn from the 1986/7 Social Change and Economic Life Initiative). Econometric evidence supports in part the view that while job insecurity encourages workers to join trade unions, overall trade unions tend to increase job security and also suggests that there is a strong relationship between tenure and job insecurity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 123-135 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324615 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:1:p:123-135 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kare Johansen Author-X-Name-First: Kare Author-X-Name-Last: Johansen Title: Insider forces in wage determination: new evidence for Norwegian industries Abstract: Using panel data for Norwegian industries, we establish a significant permanent relation between industry wages and industry profitability. The estimated long-run insider weight is above 0.2 and stable both over time and across industries. Industry wages are significantly affected by aggregate unemployment, and the preferred wage equation implies a highly convex wage curve. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 137-147 Issue: 1 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324624 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324624 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:1:p:137-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rumi Masih Author-X-Name-First: Rumi Author-X-Name-Last: Masih Title: An empirical analysis of the demand for commercial television advertising Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to provide an empirical analysis of the demand for commercial television advertising in the Sydney metropolitan market as a case study using unpublished quarterly data. Though the focus of the paper is empirical in nature, prior to this a simple oligopolistic framework is used to examine the influence of competition on TV advertising prices. Particular attention is paid to justifying the use of both short-and long-run time-series modelling techniques in order to derive respective short-and long-run price elasticities of demand. Results seem to suggest that the price elasticity of demand is robust in terms of theoretical expectation in sign and statistical significance, but substantially less than unity in the short run, and neighbouring unity in the long-run. These results seem to be consistent with the findings of Cave and Swann (Report of Committee on Financing the BBC, 1986) and Tavakoli, Swann and Cave (mimeo, Brunel University, 1989) for the British TV market, but differ from those of Hendry (Journal of Policy Modeling 14 (3), 1992) who estimated much larger elasticities for the same market. Without digressing into welfare implications, we also discuss what implications our results would have for the TV industry if policy initiatives likely to expand advertising supply on commercial TV were implemented. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 149-163 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324381 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:2:p:149-163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Chow Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Chow Author-Name: Mitchell Kellman Yochanan Author-X-Name-First: Mitchell Kellman Author-X-Name-Last: Yochanan Title: A test of the Linder hypothesis in Pacific NIC trade 1965-1990 Abstract: This paper examines the degree to which the taste similarity (Linder) hypothesis explains trade patterns between the 'Four Tigers' East Asian New Industrial Countries (NICs), and their major OECD markets (and suppliers). The tests cover the period 1965-90, during which trade between these countries expanded at unprecedented rates. The tests employ an extensive disaggregated data set including all manufactured exports from the East Asian NICs to various major OECD markets. A new measure of trade intensity is employed, thus correcting a potentially critical bias affecting previous studies in this area. The results tend to support the applicability of the taste - differential (Linder) model as an important explainer of the changing pattern of trade for this sample of trade partners. The findings are generally consistent with other intertemporal studies (which 'neutralize' spatial effects on trade, such as Kennedy, T. and McHugh, R., Southern Economic Journal, 46 (3), 898-903, 1980); and support Hanink, D. (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 126 (2), 257-67, 1990) hypothesis that the Linder hypothesis may provide a relatively good explanation of trade for countries above some per capita income threshold, and for Linder's original (An Essay on Trade and Transformation, John Wiley, New York, 1961), and Grey, H.P.'s (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 116 (3), 447-70, 1980) suggestion that the hypothesis should prove especially applicable for trade in differentiated products. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 175-182 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324408 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324408 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:2:p:175-182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfonso Alba-Ramirez Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Alba-Ramirez Title: Explaining the transitions out of unemployment in Spain: the effect of unemployment insurance Abstract: A multinomial logit model and matched files from the Spanish Active Population Survey (EPA) are used to study transitions out of unemployment among men aged 20-59. In addition to demographic characteristics, other explanatory variables included in the regressions pertain to previous job characteristics and the spell of unemployment. In this article, special attention is paid to the impact of unemployment insurance benefits on the re-employment probability. Consistent with previous work, it is found that receipt of unemployment insurance is associated with lower probabilities of re-employment and of withdrawal from the labour force. More importantly, a differential effect of benefit receipt is obtained when comparing time periods before and after 1992. Indeed, in April of that year the labour authority made eligibility requirements for unemployment insurance more restrictive and curtailed benefit amounts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 183-193 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324417 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324417 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:2:p:183-193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor M. Gonzalo Angulo Author-X-Name-First: Victor M. Gonzalo Author-X-Name-Last: Angulo Title: A structural VARMA approach to modelling the money supply process Abstract: A conceptual framework for research on the money supply process is presented and illustrated with empirical multivariate time series analyses of the Spanish case in monthly data from 1964 to 1990. Existing behavioural distinctions between monetary authority, private banking and private nonbanking sectors are employed, and these are formulated within a general, linear, nonexplosive, invertible multivariate stochastic process for the components of money multipliers. Behavioural distinctions are thus drawn directly in a very general, though empirically accessible, dynamic and stochastic framework. Identification hypotheses are suggested, allowing for a usable behavioural interpretation. The illustrative empirical work for the Spanish case reveals various directions in which the theoretical generality is relevant in practice. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 195-206 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324426 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324426 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:2:p:195-206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masahiro Endoh Author-X-Name-First: Masahiro Author-X-Name-Last: Endoh Title: Trade creation and trade diversion in the EEC, the LAFTA and the CMEA: 1960-1994 Abstract: In a simplified version of the gravity model, appropriate dummy variables have been introduced to analyse the effects of both trade creation and trade diversion by three economic organizations, the European Economic Community (EEC), the Latin American Free Trade Association (LAFTA) and the Council of Mutual Economic Assistance (CMEA), for the period 1960-94. Five-year intervals are the main subject of measurement. The results show that both trade creation dummies and trade diversion dummies have statistically significant coefficients, which show the appropriateness of this new approach. The trade creation effect and trade diversion effect of each institution are proved to be generally weakening during the 1990s. It is also observed that each Organization has a distinctive international trade character. For Japanese trade, a similar approach is used to analyse nonaligned trade by Japan, with particular interest in the effects of these three institutions on trade with Japan. The result is that there is no strong evidence that the EEC and the LAFTA trade with Japan any more or less than the hypothetical level predicted by basic explanatory variables, while the CMEA increased its trade with Japan up to the hypothetical level during the analysis period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 207-216 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324435 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:2:p:207-216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jayachandran Variyam Author-X-Name-First: Jayachandran Author-X-Name-Last: Variyam Author-Name: James Blaylock Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Blaylock Author-Name: David Smallwood Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Smallwood Title: Information, endogeneity, and consumer health behaviour: application to dietary intakes Abstract: Due to heightened public health interest, a growing number of consumer health behaviour studies are focusing on the effect of health information on the demand for health inputs and outcomes. Many of these studies, however, have overlooked the potential endogeneity of information variables stemming from unobserved individual heterogeneity. Due to simultaneity bias, ignoring endogeneity may lead to inaccurate estimates of informational effects on health behaviour. Using dietary intake data for fat, saturated fat, cholesterol, and fibre, this paper illustrates the pitfalls of treating health information related to these nutrients as exogenous variables in their demand equations. In most of the estimated models, the exogeneity of information is statistically rejected. When the information variables are treated as exogenous variables, their effects on dietary intakes are underestimated. The estimated effects of key intake determinants such as income, education, ethnicity, and race are also different in such a specification compared to a specification which treats information variables as endogenous. Implications for nutrition education policies are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 217-226 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324444 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:2:p:217-226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georgios Karras Author-X-Name-First: Georgios Author-X-Name-Last: Karras Author-Name: Houston Stokes Author-X-Name-First: Houston Author-X-Name-Last: Stokes Title: On the asymmetric effects of money-supply shocks: international evidence from a panel of OECD countries Abstract: We examine whether the asymmetric effect of money on output is an international phenomenon, and investigate the reasons for this asymmetry. Quarterly data from the 1963-93 period for a panel of twelve OECD countries strongly support asymmetry internationally: negative money-supply shocks are shown to have a stronger effect on output than positive shocks. Our methodology also enables us to distinguish between two sets of theories consistent with the output asymmetries: a convex aggregate supply and a credit view. We find that the effects of money on prices are generally symmetric, which may be consistent with both sets of theories being operative at once. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 227-235 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324453 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:2:p:227-235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Dur Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Dur Title: Mismatch between unemployment and vacancies in the Dutch labour market Abstract: We analyse the importance of educational mismatch between vacancies and unemployment in the Dutch labour market. Using unemployment and vacancy data by educational level, we estimate a matching function which incorporates the effect of educational mismatch on the aggregate flow of filled vacancies. Using the estimated parameters, we calculate how much of total unemployment can be attributed to educational mismatch. The results indicate that educational mismatch is not an important determinant of unemployment in the Netherlands. Moreover, it shows a remarkable trend. Contrary to common belief, the relative importance of mismatch appears to have strongly decreased since the end of the 1960s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 237-244 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324462 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:2:p:237-244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Antonio Alonso Author-X-Name-First: Jose Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Alonso Title: Growth and the external constraint: lessons from the Spanish case Abstract: The present article attempts to determine the role played by the balance-of-payments constraint on economic growth in Spain (1960-94), using cointegration techniques. This empirical exercise also serves to reveal some shortcomings in the usual procedures for estimating Thirlwall's Law. In particular, the Spanish case reveals how important it is to introduce a variable that expresses the competitiveness gains generated by improvements in quality of the goods and services into the export function. It also demonstrates the inadequate simplification entailed in an a priori exclusion of relative prices in external equilibrium equation. Not taking these two aspects into consideration may give rise to an erroneous confirmation of Thirlwall's Law, especially if, as in the Spanish case, both effects offset each other. Finally, if the aim is to analyse long-term relationships between variables, it would seem advisable to use procedures, such as cointegration, with variables in levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 245-253 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324471 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:2:p:245-253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Marlow Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Marlow Author-Name: Alden Shiers Author-X-Name-First: Alden Author-X-Name-Last: Shiers Title: Do law enforcement expenditures crowd-out public education expenditures? Abstract: As state and local governments have devoted a rising share of their resources to crime-related programmes, concerns have arisen that spending on other programmes such as education will fall. Coupled with growing public concerns over performance of the public education system, and expectations that prison populations will rise as states pass and enforce more stringent sentencing laws, it is not surprising that some view the expansion of crime-related programmes as troublesome. One hypothesis is that education and crime-related programmes directly compete for government expenditures so that what one programme gains the other must lose as in a fixed-pie situation. A competing hypothesis is that spending on these two public programmes are unrelated and therefore higher crime-related spending may also lead to higher taxes or public debt issuance, or to reduction in spending on programmes other than education. We estimate a three equation model of spending on crime-related programmes, spending on education, and the crime rate from which we directly test whether spending on crime and education influence each other. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 255-266 Issue: 2 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324480 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:2:p:255-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Winker Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Winker Title: Sluggish adjustment of interest rates and credit rationing: an application of unit root testing and error correction modelling Abstract: A model with credit rationing due to asymmetric information is combined with a marginal cost pricing approach to bank behaviour. The resulting model allows for explanation of the adjustment of deposit and loan rates to changes of the money market rate and is estimated in error correction form. Johansen's procedure is used to test the hypotheses. The hypothesis that deposit and loan rates do not adapt immediately to changes in the money market rate cannot be rejected based on German monthly data. The observation that loan rates react even slower than deposit rates can be rationalized by the effects of asymmetric information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 267-277 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324255 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324255 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:3:p:267-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Alternative identifying restrictions in a model of UK real output and prices Abstract: This paper presents some simulation results for a small Structural Vector Autoregression model of the interaction between real output and prices for the UK economy. The model is estimated using quarterly data over the period 1966:2 to 1995:4. The effects of alternative identifying restrictions on the simulation properties of the model are considered and it is shown that the restriction of long run neutrality of real output with respect to demand shocks has a major impact. Even if long run neutrality is not imposed the results still indicate that most of the variance of real output over long forecasting horizons can be attributed to supply side disturbances. The model is used to analyse the role of demand and supply disturbances in explaining the three major recessions of the period and it is shown that each of these exhibits unique characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 279-286 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324264 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324264 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:3:p:279-286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rickardo Brunton Author-X-Name-First: Rickardo Author-X-Name-Last: Brunton Author-Name: W. Robert Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Robert Author-Name: J. Alexander Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Title: Aggregate investment in New Zealand pre-and post-restructuring Abstract: The New Zealand economy has undergone a good deal of micro-economic and macro-economic reform in pursuit of higher economic growth. Investment is one of very few variables robustly associated with growth. We develop an eclectic model of investment demand and apply it to New Zealand data, concluding that, since restructuring began in 1984, the variables change in income and change in the real after-tax interest rate have become positively associated with investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 287-292 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324273 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:3:p:287-292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Huguet Roig Author-X-Name-First: Ana Huguet Author-X-Name-Last: Roig Title: Testing Spanish labour market segmentation: an unknown-regime approach Abstract: This paper studies the existence of two differentiated segments, primary and secondary, in the Spanish labour market. For this, a methodology (switching regression model with unknown regimes) is used which, on the one hand, does not demand a priori demarcation of segments and on the other, enables the allocation of workers to the segments to be treated as a factor endogenous to the model itself and closely connected with the wage-setting mechanisms operating in the segments. The empirical results show that the assignment to segments is not random and that there are substantial differences in the wage determination process between the two sectors. Furthermore, the model estimated has allowed analysis of the ex-post composition of the segments and corroboration, to a large extent, of the predictions of the dual labour market theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 293-305 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324282 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324282 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:3:p:293-305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Kanwar Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Kanwar Title: Does risk matter? The case of wage-labour allocation by owner-cultivators Abstract: This study analyses the impact of revenue risk on the hiring-out behaviour of owner-cultivators. Since hiring-out is not certain, labour market risk is also allowed for. A large sample of owner-cultivators residing in semi-arid regions in India, and hence subject to high production and labour market risks, is used for this purpose. It is found that, possibly because production risks carry forward into the local labour market, households are unable to use the labour market as a hedge against production risk. We also find that labour force participation is positively affected by increases in the real wage rate, a result that is contrary to the findings of earlier studies using data from less developed agriculture. Several other insights also result. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 307-317 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324291 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324291 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:3:p:307-317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monica Giulietti Author-X-Name-First: Monica Author-X-Name-Last: Giulietti Title: Price discrimination in grocery trade: evidence from Italy Abstract: This paper investigates the determinants of price dispersion between staple and non-staple goods in grocery retailing, as the result of pricing decisions by multiproduct firms. Theoretical predictions about the nature of supermarkets' pricing behaviour are compared and tested empirically using disaggregated data from the Italian grocery trade over the period 1990 - 1992. The empirical results provide evidence for the existence, in all types of retail organization, of the form of price discrimination suggested by Bliss particularly for specialist shops. The results are consistent with discrimination due to the exploitation of consumers' switching costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 319-329 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324309 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324309 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:3:p:319-329 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Customer return policies for experience goods: the impact of product price and consumer search costs on seller-provided informational cues Abstract: The present article provides an extension of previous theoretical arguments regarding customer return policies for experience goods. Logit regressions presented here suggest the importance of the 'full cost' to consumers of a purchase mistake, as proxied by experience goods prices and the time costs to consumers associated with search, in the seller's decision to produce information in advertisements regarding return policies. The evidence points out that sellers do respond in their decisions to produce information in a manner that reduces the total cost of voluntary exchange and maximizes seller profits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 331-336 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324318 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324318 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:3:p:331-336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bill Woodland Author-X-Name-First: Bill Author-X-Name-Last: Woodland Author-Name: Linda Woodland Author-X-Name-First: Linda Author-X-Name-Last: Woodland Title: Expected utility, skewness, and the baseball betting market Abstract: A subjective expected utility model is developed to explain the gambling behaviour of bettors on Major League Baseball games in the United States. Betting activity was examined over 15 seasons, for the period 1978 - 1992. The observed overbetting of favourite teams by baseball bettors can be reconciled without abandoning the traditional assumption of risk aversion. Additionally, there is some evidence to suggest that positive skewness has a discernible influence in the decision-making process for higher odds contests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 337-345 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324327 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324327 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:3:p:337-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joe Tharakan Author-X-Name-First: Joe Author-X-Name-Last: Tharakan Title: Economic growth and exchange rate uncertainty Abstract: Recent research carried out within the framework of endogenous growth theory has confirmed the positive impact of the openness of an economy on its economic growth. This paper extends that line of investigation further and analyses the effect of exchange rate uncertainty (ERU) on growth. First, it is shown theoretically how ERU can adversely affect the endogenous growth process. Exchange rate uncertainty is then quantified for 21 OECD countries. Finally, panel regressions which use the above measures of ERU together with other determinants are carried out to explain the growth rates of the above group of countries. Results show that exchange rate uncertainty has a negative impact on long-term growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 347-358 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324336 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:3:p:347-358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacques Silber Author-X-Name-First: Jacques Author-X-Name-Last: Silber Author-Name: Michal Weber Author-X-Name-First: Michal Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Labour market discrimination: are there significant differences between the various decomposition procedures? Abstract: Economists have usually called the proportion of the average wage gap between two groups which could not be explained by individual characteristics 'discrimination'. Recently, several theories have suggested that labour market discrimination, on the one hand, lowers the wages of the 'minority' group, and on the other, leads to higher pay for the 'majority' group. In a recent survey of the various methods used to decompose the overall wage differential between two groups, Oaxaca and Ransom compared five approaches in the contexts of race and gender discrimination. This paper checks whether there are significant differences between the various decomposition procedures which have appeared in the literature. The tests are based on bootstrap techniques. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 359-365 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324345 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:3:p:359-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kuo Huang Author-X-Name-First: Kuo Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Effects of food prices and consumer income on nutrient availability Abstract: Economic factors such as food prices and consumer income affect food choices with consequences for the availability of nutrients. A new research model is developed to estimate how the availability of 28 nutrients would change as consumers alter their food purchases in response to changes in food prices and income through the interdependent food demand relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 367-380 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324354 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:3:p:367-380 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Asatoshi Maeshiro Author-X-Name-First: Asatoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Maeshiro Title: A lagged dependent variable, autocorrelated disturbances, and unit root tests - peculiar OLS bias properties - a pedagogical note Abstract: The paper provides applied econometricians with a useful insight into the interaction between lagged dependent variables and autocorrelated disturbances. More specifically, the paper explains heuristically why, how and when the bias of the OLS estimator of the coefficient of a lagged dependent variable can be smaller when the disturbances are autocorrelated than when they are NID. It also explains why and how the powers and sizes of some of the unit root tests are distorted by AR(1) and MA(1) disturbances. The results should be of interest to applied econometricians using vector autoregressive or error-correction models as well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 381-396 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324363 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:3:p:381-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyeon-Seung Huh Author-X-Name-First: Hyeon-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Huh Title: How well does the Mundell-Fleming model fit Australian data since the collapse of Bretton Woods? Abstract: Australian time series for the nominal interest rate, real output, the nominal exchange rate, prices and nominal money since 1973 are characterized by a vector autoregressive process driven by five exogenous disturbances. Those disturbances are identified so that they can be interpreted as the five main sources of fluctuations found in the Mundell - Fleming model of a small open economy under flexible exchange rates, namely: world interest rate, aggregate supply, IS, money supply and money demand shocks. The dynamic responses of the estimated model to the structural shocks are analysed and shown to match most of the predictions of the Mundell - Fleming model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 397-407 Issue: 3 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324372 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:3:p:397-407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deborah Haas-Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Deborah Author-X-Name-Last: Haas-Wilson Author-Name: Kristen Lindberg Author-X-Name-First: Kristen Author-X-Name-Last: Lindberg Title: Regulation and the optimal size and type of abortion provider Abstract: Between 1973 (the year the Supreme Court ruled in Roe v. Wade that women have the right to decide whether or not to terminate their pregnancies) and 1982, the number of abortion providers increased by 81 per cent. However, between 1982 and 1992, a period of increasing state-level abortion regulation, the number of abortion providers decreased by 18 per cent. We know very little about the factors that influence the willingness and ability of hospitals, clinics, and physicians to provide abortion services over time. Based on state data from 1978 to 1992, the results of this paper suggest that large abortion providers are better able to compete and survive in the market. Also clinics and physicians' offices appear to be gaining market share relative to hospitals. Further, this paper includes analysis of the impact of state-level Medicaid funding regulations on the number, size, and type of abortion provider. These results have important implications for women's access to abortion services and thus have important implications for infant and maternal health. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 409-415 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324110 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:4:p:409-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mickael Lothgren Author-X-Name-First: Mickael Author-X-Name-Last: Lothgren Author-Name: Magnus Tambour Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Tambour Title: Bootstrapping the data envelopment analysis Malmquist productivity index Abstract: This paper presents a bootstrap approach to calculate confidence intervals for firm-specific Malmquist productivity indices obtained from data envelopment analysis (DEA) models. The bootstrap is easily implemented and allows identification of production units that have significant productivity changes. An application using data from Swedish eye-care departments is included. We find that 40% of departments have significant progress in productivity whereas only 10% of the departments have a significant regress in productivity. This differs from the original results where about half the sample have estimates of progress and the other half have estimates of regress in productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 417-425 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324129 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:4:p:417-425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Ansic Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Ansic Author-Name: Geoffrey Pugh Author-X-Name-First: Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Pugh Title: An experimental test of trade hysteresis: market exit and entry decisions in the presence of sunk costs and exchange rate uncertainty Abstract: In the 1980s, the unresponsiveness of trade flows to exchange rate swings inspired models in which sunk costs in combination with exchange rate instability generate trade hysteresis, meaning that temporary exchange rate misalignments have a persistent effect on trade. This paper furnishes an empirical complement to the theoretical literature. First, it describes a computerized experiment in which 100 subjects generated over 1000 decisions on market entry and exit under conditions congruent with a model of trade hysteresis developed by Paul Krugman. Secondly, these data are used to test the main predictions arising from the model. Our experiment bears out the main qualitative predictions of Krugman's model; in particular, that firms' trading policy is unresponsive to exchange rate movements over a wide range of values. Moreover, in the repeated-decision setting of the experiment, we find evidence that the stochastic behaviour of subjects' entry- and exit-price decisions tend towards consensus as they gain experience, even though they do not interact with one another during the experiment. This effect, which is not predicted in Krugman's model, supports the supposition that behaviour at the firm level in the presence of sunk costs and exchange rate uncertainty is a plausible microeconomic foundation for otherwise puzzling macroeconomic phenomena. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 427-436 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324138 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:4:p:427-436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Jaforullah Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Jaforullah Title: Production technology, elasticity of substitution and technical efficiency of the handloom textile industry of Bangladesh Abstract: A number of translog and Cobb-Douglas frontier production models were estimated for the Bangladesh handloom textile industry to investigate its production technology and technical efficiency in production. It was found that the technical efficiency of the industry in producing cloth was only 41%. It was concluded that the industry might improve its technical efficiency by increasing its male/female labour ratio and yarn/capital ratio and decreasing its hired/family labour ratio and labour/capital ratio. The production technology of the industry was found to be characterized by a linearly homogeneous Cobb-Douglas function. The elasticity of substitution between labour and capital for the industry was found to be unity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 437-442 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324147 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:4:p:437-442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Bishop Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Bishop Author-Name: Nick Wiseman Author-X-Name-First: Nick Author-X-Name-Last: Wiseman Title: External ownership and innovation in the United Kingdom Abstract: This paper examines the impact of ownership and a variety of other variables on the likelihood of innovation and the presence of an R&D function within a national sample of UK defence related firms. It is shown that foreign ownership has a negative indirect impact upon innovation. Mixed support is found for the Schumpeterian approach to innovation. Involvement in export markets, technological opportunity and R&D collaboration are shown to have a positive impact on innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 443-450 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324156 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324156 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:4:p:443-450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Harris Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Title: The determinants of work-related training in Britain in 1995 and the implications of employer size Abstract: This study uses a familiar set of variables to characterize the determinants of training (based around individual characteristics, qualifications, and workplace characteristics). However, it goes further by using data drawn from a recent quarter of the UK Labour Force Survey, and thus contains an up-to-date and extensive set of core variables. The dependent variable used covers three subgroups: those who have never been offered training by their current employer; those who have been offered but did not receive training in the last three months; and those workers who received training within the last three months. The hypothesis that large employers not only provide more work-related training, but that they are also more willing to train workers with characteristics that indicate a lower probability of obtaining a return on any investment outlay, is tested. This was confirmed (especially for male workers), along with a range of results that mostly accord with previous studies into the determinants of UK employer-based training. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 451-463 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324165 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324165 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:4:p:451-463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dilip Dutta Author-X-Name-First: Dilip Author-X-Name-Last: Dutta Author-Name: Nasiruddin Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Nasiruddin Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: An aggregate import demand function for Bangladesh: a cointegration approach Abstract: This paper investigates the existence of a long-run aggregate merchandise import demand function for Bangladesh during the period 1974 - 94. The cointegration and error correction modelling approaches have been applied. Empirical results suggest that there exists a unique long-run or equilibrium relationship among real quantitities of imports, real import prices, real GDP and real foreign exchange reserves. The dynamic behaviour of import demand has been investigated by estimating two types of error correction models, in which the error correction terms have been found significant. In model I, real import prices and real GDP (lagged one year) and in model II, real import prices, real GDP (lagged one year), real imports (lagged one quarter) and a dummy variable capturing the effects of import liberalization policies have all emerged as important determinants of import demand function. The error correction models have also been found to be robust as they satisfy almost all relevant diagnostic tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 465-472 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324174 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:4:p:465-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shabbar Jaffry Author-X-Name-First: Shabbar Author-X-Name-Last: Jaffry Author-Name: Sean Pascoe Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Pascoe Author-Name: Catherine Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: Long run price flexibilities for high valued UK fish species: a cointegration systems approach Abstract: In this paper, the own and cross-price flexibilities for four high valued species (bass, lobster, sole and turbot) landed in the UK are estimated. System of equation models were developed using the vector error correction model (VECM) approach. Johansen's multivariate approach was used to obtain estimates of the long run steady state relationship (vectors) between fish prices and landings. To find unique vectors (i.e. no interdependent vectors) zero restrictions on the coefficients of the price variables were applied so that the model effectively contained quantity independent variables only. The resulting vectors were four unique cointegration long run relationships of monthly fish prices and landings. Various tests suggested that the variables were I (1) nonstationary variables. The model also suggested that there are more than one cointegration vectors (relationships) between the variables. It was found that bass has the largest absolute long run own price flexibility. Bass and lobster were found to be weak substitutes while sole and turbot were found to be substitutes. The results suggest, however, that the relationship is not symmetrical, with the quantity of sole having a greater effect on the price of turbot than turbot on sole. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 473-481 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324183 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:4:p:473-481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca Stanca Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Stanca Title: Asymmetries and nonlinearities in Italian macroeconomic fluctuations Abstract: This paper reports the results of an empirical investigation of business cycle asymmetries in the Italian economy. Macroeconomic time series, both annual post-Unity and quarterly post-world war II, are subjected to nonlinearity and asymmetry tests. The dynamics of recessions and expansions are then modelled with threshold autoregressive and Markov-switching models. The paper shows that allowing for two regimes is sufficient to account for the finding of neglected nonlinearity. The results indicate that business cycle asymmetries can provide both an intuitive economic interpretation and a parsimonious representation of nonlinearities in macroeconomic time series. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 483-491 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324192 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:4:p:483-491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andy Kwan Author-X-Name-First: Andy Author-X-Name-Last: Kwan Author-Name: John Cotsomitis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Cotsomitis Author-Name: Benjamin Kwok Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Kwok Title: Exports, economic growth and structural invariance: evidence from some Asian NICs Abstract: In this paper we use the exogeneity techniques developed by Engle and Hendry (Journal of Econometrics, 1993, 56, pp. 119-39) and data from three Asian NICs to test the invariance assumption of the export-led growth hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 493-498 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324200 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:4:p:493-498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Greasley Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Greasley Author-Name: Les Oxley Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Oxley Title: International evidence on shock persistence: structural change, nonlinearities and subsample robustness Abstract: Testing for unit roots and the related issue of measuring shock persistence has attracted considerable theoretical and applied econometric interest. The issue of the size of the random walk component raised by Cochrane (Journal of Political Economy, 96, 893-920, 1988) has been extended in the work of other authors. Leung (Economics Letters, 40, 435-44, 1992), in particular, considers the effects of structural breaks on measures of persistence. In this paper we consider new results for the effects of structural change, nonlinearities and subsample robustness on spectral-based measures of persistence illustrating the potential problems via an updated and extended version of the Cogley (Journal of Political Economy, 98, 501-18, 1990) data set. We find that significant structural breaks exist in the majority of the series investigated. Furthermore, measured persistence differs markedly across distinct periods with the assumption of common growth rates over very long periods leading on occasions to potentially erroneous conclusions on the degree of persistence. Nonlinearities measured by the significance of time squared (TSQ), seem important in many cases, particularly post-World War Two (WW2), potentially explaining the apparently high levels of post-WW2 persistence. The paper concludes with a warning on the use of measures of persistence when the data include structural change and/or nonlinearities, highlighting the importance of the correct choice for breakpoints and second sub-sample start points. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 499-507 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324219 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324219 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:4:p:499-507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christis Tombazos Author-X-Name-First: Christis Author-X-Name-Last: Tombazos Title: The role of imports in expanding the demand gap between skilled and unskilled labour in the US Abstract: A unit cost function is employed, in the context of the production theory approach, to estimate the Allen - Uzawa effect of aggregate imports on skilled and unskilled labour in the US. The model corrects for two ubiquitous shortcomings of similar studies: (i) their disregard for the role of nonmanufactured imports, including imports of services, in domestic production, and (ii) their inability to capture, in addition to the conventional domestic-output-substitution effects of the Stolper-Samuelson variety, the impact of imports on the demand for primary factors that is generated via domestic factor-using downstream processes. To circumvent curvature related problems, often associated with similar studies that do not invoke separability, we combine the global imposition of concavity with a symmetric normalized quadratic representation of the unit cost function (that remains flexible after curvature enforcing reparametrizations). The results confirm the notion that imports hurt unskilled labour. However, they also reveal a previously ignored positive impact of aggregate imports on the demand for skilled labour that is qualitatively independent of the measure of skill employed. This result is attributed to skill intensive downstream processes of aggregate imports and reaffirms the importance of 'downstream handling' in stimulating labour demand first identified by Aw and Roberts (Review of Economics and Statistics, 67, 109-17, 1985). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 509-516 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324228 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324228 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:4:p:509-516 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Omer Ozcicek Author-X-Name-First: Omer Author-X-Name-Last: Ozcicek Author-Name: W. DOUGLAS McMILLIN Author-X-Name-First: W. DOUGLAS Author-X-Name-Last: McMILLIN Title: Lag length selection in vector autoregressive models: symmetric and asymmetric lags Abstract: This study used Monte Carlo simulations to study the performance of alternative lag selection criterion for symmetric lag and asymmetric lag vector autoregressive models. Lag models with short lags and with long lags were considered. The alternative criteria considered were the AIC, SIC, Phillips' Posterior Information Criterion, and Keating's modification of the AIC and SIC. The alternative criteria were evaluated by computing the frequency distribution of lags selected, by computing the out-of-sample forecasting performance of models with lags selected using each criterion, and by comparing the ability of models with lags selected using each criterion to mimic the 'true' impulse response functions for the lag model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 517-524 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324237 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324237 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:4:p:517-524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Urvashi Dhawan Author-X-Name-First: Urvashi Author-X-Name-Last: Dhawan Author-Name: Bagala Biswal Author-X-Name-First: Bagala Author-X-Name-Last: Biswal Title: Re-examining export-led growth hypothesis: a multivariate cointegration analysis for India Abstract: This paper re-examines the export-led-growth (ELG) hypothesis using a vector autoregressive (VAR) model by considering the relationship between real GDP, real exports and terms of trade for India during the period 1961-93. In re-examining the ELG hypothesis, this study, perhaps for the first time, employs a multivariate framework using Johansen's model selection and maximum likelihood cointegration procedure. The results sugest that there is one long-run equilibrium relationship among the three variables, and the causal relationship flows from the growth in GDP and terms of trade to the growth in exports. The causality from exports to GDP appears to be a short run phenomenon, suggesting that the recent export promotion strategies adopted in India have the potential of bearing growth in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 525-530 Issue: 4 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324246 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324246 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:4:p:525-530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Wells Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Wells Title: Seasonality, leading indicators, and alternative business cycle theories Abstract: Rolling regressions and Granger causality tests are used to examine the predictive ability of seasonally adjusted and unadjusted leading economic indicators for the US economy. Many of the unadjusted variables perform better than their adjusted counterparts, but asymmetric behaviour is also evident. Alternative leading indicators such as the bond spread and the Fed Funds rate do not predict cycles as well as real money balances. Unadjusted real business failure liabilities and business formation also appear to perform well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 531-538 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323986 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323986 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:5:p:531-538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tikva Lecker Author-X-Name-First: Tikva Author-X-Name-Last: Lecker Author-Name: Yochanan Shachmurove Author-X-Name-First: Yochanan Author-X-Name-Last: Shachmurove Title: Immigration and socioeconomic gaps: theory and applications Abstract: During the first decade of Israel's existence large waves of immigrants came from Europe and the Middle East. This paper introduces an empirical study which compares the occupational socioeconomic score differentials between ethnic groups within and outside the kibbutz. The three groups examined are from Asia and Africa, from Europe and America, and the native-born population. It is found that the occupational socioeconomic score differentials after migration are lower in the kibbutz than outside it and that socioeconomic gaps outside the kibbutz increase after migration. In this paper, a model is presented which explains the empirical results. It compares the effects of migration inside the kibbutz, organized as a labour-managed firm, with the effects of migration inside the city, assumed to be organized as a perfectly competitive firm. The model also develops a gap function that quantifies the socioeconomic gaps and uses iso-gap curves to compare the premigration and postmigration gaps. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 539-549 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323995 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:5:p:539-549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Buchmueller Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Buchmueller Title: Fringe benefits and the demand for part-time workers Abstract: In the US, tax code nondiscrimination rules and other institutional constraints require employers to offer the same fringe benefits to all full-time workers, but allow them to deny benefits to part-time workers. As a result, firms that offer generous fringe benefits to higher skill workers have an incentive to hire lower skill workers on a part-time or contingent basis. This paper uses cross-section establishment data to investigate the effect of employer-provided fringe benefits on the demand for part-time workers. The results indicate that firms that offer more generous fringe benefits make greater use of low wage part-time workers; there is no significant relationship between fringe benefits and the proportion of high wage workers employed part-time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 551-563 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324002 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:5:p:551-563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabel Parra Frutos Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Parra Author-X-Name-Last: Frutos Author-Name: Joaquin Aranda Gallego Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Aranda Author-X-Name-Last: Gallego Title: Multiproduct monopoly: a queueing approach Abstract: Using queuing theory to model traditional market structures can provide interesting insights into the underlying mechanisms. Many characteristics of markets are well known, but queuing models often illustrate these in a novel manner. A stochastic model of multiproduct monopoly with impatient consumers is developed. The model explicitly allows for congestion effects. A monopoly that offers two services distinguished only by a time element, that is, where two distinct service rates apply is considered. Two different classes of consumer are considered according to their waiting time tolerances. Given assumptions about dynamic consumer choice behaviour, queuing theory techniques are used to derive market share and effective demand details, for each class of consumer, in terms of the firm's pricing, quality, and processing speed policy. Economic analysis is performed allowing for the possibility of offering a reward when the consumer has to face a long queue. The economic summary provided forms the basis of a subsequent sensitivity analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 565-576 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324011 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324011 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:5:p:565-576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorn Rattso Author-X-Name-First: Jorn Author-X-Name-Last: Rattso Title: Aggregate local public sector investment and shocks: Norway 1946 - 1990 Abstract: Local public sector investment is determined in an environment of shifting economic conditions. Investments are investigated using an intertemporal decision model allowing for tests of forward looking behaviour and adjustments to expected and unexpected shocks. The econometric analysis of the aggregate local public sector over the period 1946-1990 indicates that local and county governments are forward looking and have small adjustment costs to investment. In a full investment demand model, only unexpected changes of gross domestic product and unemployment are shown to be important in the short run. The central government has arranged stable revenue growth of the local public sector, but greater volatility in macroeconomic conditions has led to fluctuations in local public investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 577-584 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324020 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:5:p:577-584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geraint Johnes Author-X-Name-First: Geraint Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Schooling, fertility and the labour market experience of married women Abstract: A model of career path choice is constructed for a sample of women taken from the 1991 US National Household Education Survey. This allows for simultaneity and selection effects in the relationship between regime choice and earning. It is established that, inter alia, expected earnings have a significant impact on the career path and the hours of work chosen by American women. The role played by formal schooling and by childrearing in the determination of carrier path is highlighted, and implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 585-592 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324039 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:5:p:585-592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Colin Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Colin Author-Name: H. Jones Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Serge Nadeau Author-X-Name-First: Serge Author-X-Name-Last: Nadeau Author-Name: William Walsh Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Walsh Title: Ethnicity, productivity and salary: player compensation and discrimination in the National Hockey League Abstract: The paper considers the impact of potential minority (Francophone, American, European) ethnic (language, culture) discrimination on salary determination in the National Hockey League. Using player salary data for the 1989/90 season, a regression model of salary determination is constructed which includes variables measuring productivity (skills), market structure, and allows for several ethnic influences including minority discrimination, ethnically shaped consumer preferences and reservation wages. The basic conclusion is that wages are principally determined by productivity and market structure, and the only evidence of discrimination is found in the ethnically influenced consumer preference of American, as opposed to Canadian, teams. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 593-608 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324048 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324048 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:5:p:593-608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. W. Dnes Author-X-Name-First: A. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Dnes Author-Name: J. S. Seaton Author-X-Name-First: J. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Seaton Title: The regulation of electricity: results from an event study Abstract: In this paper, event-study methods are used to compare the stock-market returns for the RECs with general stock-market returns to test the hypothesis that the regulatory package shows symptoms of capture by special interest groups over the 1991-95 period. The results show that some capture by the RECs may have occurred as they have earned abnormal market returns. However, regulatory events are heterogeneous in nature and actions taken over prices by the Director General of Electricity Supply (DGES) in 1995 appear to have reduced abnormal returns. As part of the study, we examine the impact on shareholders' returns of the DGES's controversial announcement in March 1995 of plans to tighten price controls on the RECs. The regulatory package appears to work reasonably well on balance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 609-618 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324057 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:5:p:609-618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Papatheodorou Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Papatheodorou Title: The demand for international tourism in the Mediterranean region Abstract: The paper studies the demand for international tourism, in the Mediterranean region. First a review of the most important attempts to model econometrically the demand for international tourism in the past is given, followed by a formal presentation of the proposed theoretical model. In particular, a version of the Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) is adopted and a description of the variables involved and their sources, together with the estimation procedure, are provided. The diagrammatic analysis performed contributes to a better understanding of the evolution of the dependent variable over time. The results with respect to the expenditure as well as to the own- and cross-price elasticities may be regarded as econometrically satisfactory and a reasonable economic explanation is given. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 619-630 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324066 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:5:p:619-630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Lukacs Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Lukacs Title: Vertical integration, input contracts and the margins - concentration relationship Abstract: In recent years it has become common when specifying empirical price cost margins to use net output as opposed to the more usual gross output in the denominator. It has been noted that with gross output as the denominator the point estimate on concentration from a regression of margins on concentration is lower than with net output as the denominator and the estimate is frequently insignificant. The possible explanations that have been put forward to explain this empirical phenomenon are discussed and evidence is presented using data from the UK Census of Production and the UK Input Output tables. Neither theoretical nor empirical justification is found for the use of the adjusted margin but instead, it is suggested that the empirical phenomenon is caused by the omission of appropriate variables to control for contracting relations in purchasing intermediate inputs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 631-640 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324075 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:5:p:631-640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony De Francesco Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: De Francesco Title: The relationship between unemployment and vacancies in Australia Abstract: The paper addresses the existence of an equilibrium unemployment-vacancies (UV) relationship in Australia. Cointegration test results suggest that no bivariate long-run (UV) relationship exists. Moreover, this finding fails to support the basic model of labour job search. However, a modified Beveridge Curve is proposed where it is found that a number of trivariate equilibrium relationships exist between unemployment, vacancies and one other variable; the replacement ratio, the proportion of long-term unemployed or the real wage. The existence of an equilibrium relationship in the multivariate framework is due to the endogenous modelling of the (un)employment flows which are assumed to be exogenous in the bivariate framework of the Beveridge Curve. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 641-652 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324084 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:5:p:641-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Necmi Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Necmi Title: Kaldor's growth analysis revisited Abstract: Kaldor's 'laws' on 'manufacturing as the engine of growth' have been tested using cross-country data, mainly from developing countries, for the period 1960-1994. Instrumental variable techniques were used to explore problems associated with simultaneity and spuriousness. It has been found that manufacturing output growth rate is exogenous as Kaldor envisaged and his 'laws' are applicable to most of the developing world. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 653-660 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324093 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324093 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:5:p:653-660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Otero Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Otero Title: The real exchange rate in Colombia: an analysis using multivariate cointegration Abstract: Johansen's analysis of cointegrated systems is used to build a model of the Colombian real exchange rate (RER). One cointegrating vector is found, which can be thought of as a long-run RER equation. The deviations of the RER from its long-run equilibrium relationship, after correcting for short-run dynamics, are interpreted as a measure of RER misalignment. The simulation performance of the model during the period of estimation and three years into the future is particularly good, with the simulated RER reproducing the long-run behaviour of the actual series. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 661-671 Issue: 5 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499324101 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499324101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:5:p:661-671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kari Heimonen Author-X-Name-First: Kari Author-X-Name-Last: Heimonen Title: Stationarity of the European real exchange rates-evidence from panel data Abstract: This paper employs a panel unit root test for the real exchange rates of 13 EU member countries. The estimation period covers the EMS period from 1980:1 to 1992:2 In contrast with the earlier panel unit root studies concerning purchasing power parity (PPP), effective real exchange rates are used. As a result, the non-stationarity of the real exchange rate was rejected. However, the half-life of the real exchange rate adjustment turned out to be long. Potential reasons for this might be the relatively short estimation period and the nature of the data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 673-677 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323887 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:6:p:673-677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Stone Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Stone Author-Name: Ronald Warren Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Warren Title: Customer discrimination in professional basketball: evidence from the trading-card market Abstract: This paper presents evidence on the existence of customer racial discrimination in professional basketball from recent prices for the trading cards of former players in the National Basketball Association. Data were collected on the 258 active roster players in the NBA during the 1976-77 season, 133 of whom had cards issued that year. Maximum-likelihood estimation of a card-price equation is carried out, accounting both for the nonrandom selection of the players for whom cards exist and for left-censoring of the dependent variable. Overall, the empirical results suggest the absence of customer racial discrimination in the pricing of basketball trading cards. However, there is some evidence that the effect of career length on trading-card prices is lower for whites than for blacks, and that the card-price premium for players who subsequently coached in the NBA is lower for blacks than for whites. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 679-685 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323896 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323896 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:6:p:679-685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khosrow Doroodian Author-X-Name-First: Khosrow Author-X-Name-Last: Doroodian Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Roy Boyd Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Boyd Title: The J-curve effect and US agricultural and industrial trade Abstract: This paper examines the J-curve hypothesis for US agricultural and manufactured goods, using the Shiller lag model. The results support the J-curve effect for agricultural goods, but not for manufactured goods. These findings explain why many studies in the literature fail to support the J-curve phenomenon. There are two explanations for these findings: (1) the aggregation bias of data that combine both agricultural and manufactured goods and (2) the country under study is often an industrial nation like the US or Japan with a high proportion of manufactured goods in both exports and imports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 687-695 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323904 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:6:p:687-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Lucke Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Lucke Title: Expansionary fiscal contractions and equilibrium indeterminacy: a case study for Germany Abstract: On several occasions, the 1980s witnessed non-Keynesian effects of fiscal contractions. Most notably, cuts in government spending in Ireland, Denmark and Germany are known to have coincided with increases in private consumption spending. Self-fulfilling expectations about the effects of stabilization policies may explain these and a diversity of opposing experiences. This paper formulates a dynamic stochastic equilibrium model with equilibrium indeterminacy, which allows for sunspot fluctuations as well as for systematic consumption effects of government policy in either direction. Cointegration tests and Euler equation estimates suggest that the model is approximately in accord with German data. Parameter estimates imply that the non-Keynesian experiences are not due to self-fulfilling expectations but to the productivity effects of government-provided infrastructure services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 697-708 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323913 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:6:p:697-708 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georges Menahem Author-X-Name-First: Georges Author-X-Name-Last: Menahem Title: A target level of risk model of respiratory pathologies and smoking behaviour Abstract: Levels of morbidity and healthcare utilization related to respiratory pathologies are correlated, first, with an indicator of the level of risk that individuals are prepared to take, namely their 'individual target level of risk', and then secondly with smoking behaviour. The results based on a French survey with a sample of 13 150 individuals show that higher target levels of risk are associated with a higher probability of being ill, with higher levels of tobacco consumption but with lower levels of consumption of preventive medicine. More generally, this article shows how a target level of risk model can be formalized in an economic optimizing approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 709-722 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323922 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323922 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:6:p:709-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Prescott Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Prescott Author-Name: Bo Wandschneider Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Wandschneider Title: Public/private sector wage differentials in Canada-evidence from the 1991 and 1982 surveys of consumer finance Abstract: This paper extends the work of Gunderson and Shapiro and Stelcner that considered wage differentials between public and private sector workers in Canada using the 1971 and 1981 Censuses, respectively. Here the Survey of Consumer Finances from 1991 and 1982 is used, which allows for better distinction between public and private sector workers. The estimated public sector premium is decomposed into an endowments component and a residual term. Estimates are corrected for sample selection bias with respect to the choice between full-time and part-time work in the two sectors. Tests for bias caused by self-selection into the private and public sectors revealed no such bias. As a benchmark, the overall wage premium calculated for 1981 compares very well with that of Shapiro and Stelcner. During the 1980s no significant increases in the public sector wage premium for males are found but the female premium increased significantly. This may be due to changes in pay equity legislation in the public sector relative to the private sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 723-731 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323931 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:6:p:723-731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franz Hackl Author-X-Name-First: Franz Author-X-Name-Last: Hackl Author-Name: Gerald Pruckner Author-X-Name-First: Gerald Author-X-Name-Last: Pruckner Title: On the gap between payment card and closed-ended CVM-answers Abstract: The paper presents contingent valuation (CV) estimates of benefits provided by a proposed 'Kalkalpen' National Park in Austria. Although descriptive results of welfare measures are presented, the focus of the paper is on methodological questions concerning the analysis of CV answers. Evidence is given regarding the difference between payment card (PC) answers and closed-ended question formats. Based on different estimation models for CV questions substantial differences are found between closed-ended and payment card welfare measures. On average PC-willingness to pay (WTP) measures are below the closed-ended figures. Since the evaluation models are based on different premises in the calculation of WTP figures a more precise disclosure of the underlying evaluation methods is required if different question formats are compared to one another. Identical assumptions on the probability distributions have to be assumed whenever open- and closed-ended CV welfare measures are compared. Taking theoretical arguments into account the application of the closedended double-bounded Spike model that provides an average welfare measure is recommended. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 733-742 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323940 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:6:p:733-742 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Noor Ghazali Author-X-Name-First: Noor Author-X-Name-Last: Ghazali Title: Has the effect of money shocks on interest rates really vanished? Further evidence of the liquidity effect Abstract: The liquidity effect of money shocks on the short-term interest rate has been an integral part of traditional macroeconomic policies and has witnessed renewed interest in recent years. The paper reports, contrary to some previous work, extensive evidence of the effect in several non-G7 countries using the single-equation distributed-lag GARCH(p,q) estimation and the systems VAR estimation. The liquidity effect is shown to be alive and well in a sample of nine countries and this will shed much light on policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 743-754 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323959 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:6:p:743-754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Giosa Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Giosa Author-Name: Sheila Amin Gutierrez De Pineres Author-X-Name-First: Sheila Amin Gutierrez Author-X-Name-Last: De Pineres Title: Do government policies distort relative factor prices: evidence from Colombia Abstract: Developing countries have a variety of governmental and trade policies which are intended to affect the return to capital. In an estimation of the return to capital in Colombia an attempt is made to account for taxes, both direct and indirect, governmental subsidies, and trade taxes and subsidies. The economic income that accrues to Colombia's capital stock is estimated by estimating the growth of the capital stock and the net cash flows generated by that capital. Additionally, the average annual effective rate of protection to the manufacturing sector is estimated; then using these effective rates of protection, a test is made to determine if in fact protectionism affects the return to capital. Results reveal that there is a significant positive relationship between trade protection and the rate of return to capital in Colombia. Furthermore, support is found for a Stopler-Samuelson effect of higher prices in the labourintensive agricultural sector leading to decline in the return for capital. Therefore, government policies do in fact cloud market signals and distort relative factor prices resulting in the misallocation of resources. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 755-759 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323968 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323968 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:6:p:755-759 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yaacov Lavi Author-X-Name-First: Yaacov Author-X-Name-Last: Lavi Author-Name: Avia Spak Author-X-Name-First: Avia Author-X-Name-Last: Spak Title: The impact of pension schemes on saving in Israel Abstract: Israeli micro and macro data indicate that consumption smoothing is limited and thus pension savings increase private and national savings. Since private savings rates are, to a great extent, unequal across different income groups, saving is almost exclusively concentrated in the upper two quintiles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 761-774 Issue: 6 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323977 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323977 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:6:p:761-774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Sean Holly Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Holly Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: DHSY revisited: the role of asymmetries Abstract: Davidson et al.'s data set is used to demonstrate the existence of a significant asymmetry in the adjustment of consumption towards equilibrium. The Granger-Lee and Escribano-Pfann methods of partitioning the error correction term are compared and it is shown that the latter produces better results in this case. It is concluded that adjustment is faster under conditions of recession than it is during boom periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 775-778 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323742 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323742 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:7:p:775-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Thornton Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The impact of medical malpractice insurance cost on physician behaviour: the role of income and tort signal effects Abstract: The paper examines the impact of medical malpractice insurance cost on physician behaviour. Changes in malpractice insurance premiums can potentially influence physician behaviour directly through income effects from changes in medical practice earnings, and indirectly through tort signal effects that indicate exposure to malpractice risk. A structural model of the physician/firm is estimated to assess the significance, magnitude, and relative importance of income and tort signal effects of premium changes on physician time allocation and service supply. Using data on solo practice physicians, evidence is found of both income and tort signal effects for primary care physicians and surgeons. Results also indicate that income effects have a relatively larger impact on measures of physician behaviour such as services provided and fees, while tort signal effects, which reflect defensive measures, have a much smaller impact. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 779-794 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323751 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:7:p:779-794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liam Lenten Author-X-Name-First: Liam Author-X-Name-Last: Lenten Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Modelling the trend and seasonality in the consumption of alcoholic beverages in the United Kingdom Abstract: A univariate time series analysis of the consumption of beer, wine and spirits in the UK over the period 1964-1995 is presented. The analysis shows that the consumption of beer and wine exhibits stochastic seasonality while the consumption of spirits exhibits deterministic seasonality. Moreover, the three series are found to have stochastic trends. Analysis of the out-of-sample forecasting power of the various models reveals that the model with stochastic trend and seasonality is superior to other models. The results cast doubt on the validity and soundness of the practice of modelling the consumption of alcoholic beverages by assuming deterministic trend and seasonality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 795-804 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323760 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:7:p:795-804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsung Wu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Tsung Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Export-orientation and investment-saving correlation: a case of Taiwan Abstract: Perfect capital mobility has been formulated as a saving-investment comovement in each country which is statistically insignificant from zero; thus, the low correlation has been interpreted as evidence that the domestic capital market is not internationally mobile. However, this argument may be invalid in an open economy because its national income responds to changes in exchange rate. According to open economy macroeconomics, domestic income will respond to changes in the nominal exchange rate (via trade), therefore, in an open export - oriented economy, the nominal exchange rate has larger impact on GDP, so that the domestic investment and saving ratios will be statistically significant from zero. This paper evaluates this argument in terms of Taiwan, which is not only an export-oriented economy, but also has been experiencing a sequence of financial openness policies since the mid-1970s. To correct for simultaneous equation bias and accounts for the nonstationarity of the underlying time series, Johansen's procedure and a non-linear single-equation ECM are used. Strong cointegration between investment and saving ratios is identified in Taiwan which supports our hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 805-813 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323779 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:7:p:805-813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lucia Parisio Author-X-Name-First: Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Parisio Title: A comparative analysis of European railroads efficiency: a cost frontier approach Abstract: The paper analyses the issue of cost efficiency for eight main European railroads in a sample period of 17 years. Measures of technical and allocative efficiency are obtained from a stochastic cost frontier model, with minimal cost described by a translog cost system. In the model, the cost of allocative inefficiency is estimated simultaneously from the shares' errors, whereas technical inefficiency is modelled by a (half normal) positive departure from the cost frontier. Results show a negligible effect of allocative inefficiency on firms' costs, whereas the cost of technical inefficiency appears to be significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 815-823 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323788 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:7:p:815-823 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magda Kandil Author-X-Name-First: Magda Author-X-Name-Last: Kandil Title: The asymmetric stabilizing effects of price flexibility: historical evidence and implications Abstract: The evidence of business cycles across a sample of industrial countries indicates asymmetry in the output and price adjustments to aggregate demand shocks in the pre- and post-war periods. Upward price flexibility is significant in moderating output fluctuations across countries in the pre- and post-war periods. Nonetheless, the effect of upward price flexibility in accelerating trend price inflation is more evident across countries in the post-war period compared to the pre-war period. The combined evidence is consistent with a steeper supply curve in the face of expansionary demand shocks that increases the stabilizing effect of upward price flexibility. In contrast, a flatter supply curve in the face of negative demand shocks has countered the stabilizing function of downward price flexibility, which appears insignificant across countries in the pre- and post-war periods. In addition, a slower demand response to price change during recessions has further reinforced the contractionary effect on output despite a large reduction in price inflation across countries in the pre-war period. Apparent differences in the implications of upward and downward price flexibility point to the importance of policy intervention to moderate output contraction during recessions and price inflation during expansions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 825-839 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323797 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:7:p:825-839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Agustin Garcia Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Agustin Garcia Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Title: Consumption of Spanish households: evidence from cohort data Abstract: In this paper, empirical evidence on elasticity of intertemporal substitution for Spanish household consumption is shown. Several recent studies have rejected the lifecycle-permanent income hypothesis using aggregate time series. The rejection of the theory has often been blamed on the restrictive assumptions adopted in order to test the hypothesis. This article tests the household behaviour using cohort data from the Spanish Encuesta Continua de Presupuestos Familiares (Continuous Survey of Household Budgets). This source allows us to relax some of the most restrictive assumptions by using data with a certain degree of disaggregation. Evidence of consumer behaviour following the theory is found. Indirect evidence of liquidity constraints is also found and an alternative discount rate designed to be in better accordance with the theoretical foundations of the model is proposed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 841-855 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323805 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323805 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:7:p:841-855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gerard Go Author-X-Name-First: Gerard Author-X-Name-Last: Go Author-Name: David Kamerschen Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Kamerschen Author-Name: Charles Delorme Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Delorme Title: Market structure and price-cost margins in Philippine manufacturing industries Abstract: We test the hypothesis that variations in industry price-cost margins (PCM) performance are explained by sellers' various structure and conduct variables such as sellers' concentration (i.e., HHI for value added), capital-output ratio, barrier to entry, industry demand growth rate, import penetration export share, and degree of foreign participation (multinational) in four-digit Philippines Standard Industrial Classification manufacturing industries. The statistical analyses are a series of multiple regression equations relating the PCM to the previously-mentioned explanatory variables. Estimation results show a generally positive relationship between sellers' concentration, capital intensity, degree of foreign participation and the PCM. Industry growth rate may either increase or reduce PCM. Imports and exports lower PCM. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 857-864 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323814 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323814 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:7:p:857-864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredrik Berggren Author-X-Name-First: Fredrik Author-X-Name-Last: Berggren Author-Name: Matthew Sutton Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Sutton Title: Are frequency and intensity of participation decision-bearing aspects of consumption? An analysis of drinking behaviour Abstract: Analysing quantity consumed per-period implies a restriction on decisions about how frequently and intensely to consume. This 'quantity-hypothesis' is rejected based on estimated equations for the frequency and intensity of spirit consumption. Consequently, a simultaneous equation system for frequency and intensity is estimated as they enter the budget constraint as a multiplicative term. Income and education levels are found to be negatively related to intensity but not frequency. This may reflect differences in the shadow prices of frequency and intensity for different socioeconomic groups or heterogeneous preferences for intoxication and health. Distinguishing between these aspects of drinking patterns is important for the evaluation of the price-responsiveness of harmful drinking, restrictions on availability and the causes of inequalities in health. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 865-874 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323823 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:7:p:865-874 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: O. Homer Erekson Author-X-Name-First: O. Homer Author-X-Name-Last: Erekson Author-Name: Glenn Platt Author-X-Name-First: Glenn Author-X-Name-Last: Platt Author-Name: Christopher Whistler Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Whistler Author-Name: Andrea Ziegert Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Ziegert Title: Factors influencing the adoption of state lotteries Abstract: This paper explores the factors influencing the adoption of state lotteries in the United States. The conceptual framework utilizes a common utility framework in which a representative legislator maximizes utility derived from the current and expected fiscal position of a state, subject to a political constraint. The empirical results support the theoretical hypotheses, including the finding that changes in the fiscal health of the state, the predicted profit potential of a lottery, and the political climate of the state all affect the likelihood that a lottery is adopted. By introducing a sound conceptual framework, using better data than used in previous studies, utilizing an appropriate estimation technique, and obtaining strong results, this study advances our knowledge of why states adopt lotteries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 875-884 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323832 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:7:p:875-884 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luanne Lohr Author-X-Name-First: Luanne Author-X-Name-Last: Lohr Author-Name: Timothy Park Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Integrated markup rules for optimal pricing decisions in expanding markets for organic produce Abstract: In expanding markets, firms face uncertainty about demand response to changing conditions and the appropriate pricing response. Inclusion of retail demand factors in explaining markup decisions by wholesalers is crucial to accurate evaluation of the effects of price and market changes on profitability. We apply an integrated demand and markup model to markets for organic broccoli and carrots where wholesalers set markups facing retail demand. The estimated integrated system includes crossequation restrictions on organic and conventional prices received from retail, publicity about food safety scares and availability of a competing certification programme. The results show that organic wholesalers behave strategically in response to observable demand factors as they expand into fresh produce markets. Wholesalers arbitrage markups across items to increase market share, combining crop-specific and overall market information to decide on appropriate responses. Wholesalers also attempt to moderate markups in response to demand fluctuations in order to smooth market development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 885-892 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323841 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:7:p:885-892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordi Pons Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Pons Title: Evaluating the OECD's forecasts for economic growth Abstract: The size and nature of the errors in GDP forecasts in the G-7 countries from 1968 to 1995 are examined. These GDP estimates are published by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development in OECD Economic Outlook. Two alternative hypotheses are tested concerning why revisions arise. The first hypothesis is that preliminary announcement is simply the true variable measured with error. In this case, the preliminary announcement is an unconditionally unbiased but irrational forecast of the true value. That is, the revision is correlated with known variables. In particular, it is correlated with the preliminary announcement itself. The second hypothesis is that revisions arise because the early GDP estimates are a rational forecast of the true variable. In this case, the error is a rational forecast error and is therefore uncorrelated with known information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 893-902 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323850 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:7:p:893-902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Is the export-led growth hypothesis valid for Australia? Abstract: The relationship between exports and output is examined using Australian annual data over the period 1900-1993. Cointegration and causality testing fails to detect the existence of a long-run or short-run relationship between the two variables. These results are explained by restoring to the structural time series modelling approach which shows that while the output series exhibits cyclical variation, the exports series does not have this property. It is concluded that the export-led growth hypothesis is not valid for Australia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 903-906 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323869 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:7:p:903-906 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Weber Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Fiscal policy in general equilibrium: empirical estimates from an error correction model Abstract: Recent general equilibrium models of fiscal policy suggest that the government purchases multiplier can exceed unity and that the multiplier should be larger in the long run that in the short run. These results follow from dynamic supply-side interactions of labour and capital, and are in sharp contrast to the implications of earlier equilibrium models. A cointegrating regression and an error correction model are used to test these implications of the equilibrium model of fiscal policy empirically. Data for post-war USA provide strong empirical support for the equilibrium model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 907-913 Issue: 7 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323878 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323878 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:7:p:907-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Author-Name: Richard Heaney Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Heaney Title: An examination of the relationship between Australian industry equity returns and expected inflation Abstract: This paper analyses the relationship between inflation and equity returns in Australia over the period January 1974 to March 1996. Analysis is based on monthly and quarterly data, using value weighted equity indices at both the aggregate market and industry level. Three price indices, the consumer price index (CPI) (quarterly) and the manufactured materials used index (MMU) and the manufacturing articles produced index (MAP) (both monthly and quarterly) are used to measure inflation. Results provide little evidence of the statistically significant negative relationship observed in the US for the full study period. Analysis is also conducted on three subperiods, 'monetary targeting' (July 1976-January 1985), 'checklist approach' (February 1985-December 1989) and anti-inflation (January 1990-March 1996). At the market level the anti-inflation subperiod does provide some evidence of a negative relationship between inflation and equity returns though statistical significance is not apparent with quarterly time series. The impact of expected inflation on industry returns varies considerably. Consistent with the overall market analysis, the incidence of negative expected inflation betas increases in the latter anti-inflation subperiod. Finally, changes in Government inflation policy appear to have greatest impact on industrial company expected inflation betas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 915-933 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323643 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:8:p:915-933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: U. -G. Gerdtham Author-X-Name-First: U. -G. Author-X-Name-Last: Gerdtham Author-Name: C. Rehnberg Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Rehnberg Author-Name: M. Tambour Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Tambour Title: The impact of internal markets on health care efficiency: evidence from health care reforms in Sweden Abstract: A purchaser/provider split together with output-based reimbursement were recently introduced by several Swedish county councils. These changes have been motivated by arguments of efficiency and consumer choice. This paper tests the null hypothesis that hospital services are provided as efficiently by county councils with internal markets and output-based reimbursement as by county councils with budget reimbursement. We first estimate technical efficiency using data envelopment analysis and then we regress the efficiency scores as the dependent variable on new internal organizations in a multiple regression by use of pooled cross-section data for the 26 county councils for two years (1993 and 1994). The results reject our null hypothesis and we conclude that the organizational changes in the county councils improve health care efficiency. Our results further indicate that the potential savings in costs due to a hypothetical switch from budget based allocation to an output based allocation is about 13%. We also found some evidence indicating that county councils with a nonsocialist political majority are relatively more efficient than those with a socialist regime and that large county councils are more efficient than small county councils. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 935-945 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323652 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323652 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:8:p:935-945 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rtta Hanninen Author-X-Name-First: Rtta Author-X-Name-Last: Hanninen Author-Name: Anne Toppinen Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Toppinen Title: Long-run price effects of exchange rate changes in Finnish pulp and paper exports Abstract: This paper presents long-run exchange rate elasticities of Finnish newsprint and pulp export prices in the United Kingdom (UK) and Germany over the period 1980-94. The elasticities were estimated for a markup pricing model using Johansen's cointegration method. The magnitudes of the elasticity estimates obtained by imposing price homogeneity indicate that pass-through of exchange rate changes to export prices has been incomplete in both markets. For newsprint, the pass-through elasticity was 0.60 in the UK and 0.46 in Germany, which means that about one half of the changes in the exchange rates is reflected in prices as expressed in the destination countries' currencies and about a half in prices measured in Finnish markka. Instead, in pulp exports the pass-through elasticities differed from each other between the two destination countries more clearly than in newsprint exports, indicating a different pricing behaviour of Finnish pulp exporters in the UK and Germany when exchange rate changes. Pass-through was small in the UK pulp market (0.07) as compared to Germany (0.68). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 947-956 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323661 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323661 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:8:p:947-956 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelly Giraud Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Giraud Author-Name: John B. Loomis Richard Author-X-Name-First: John B. Loomis Author-X-Name-Last: Richard Author-Name: L. Johnson Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Two valuation questions in one survey: is it a recipe for sequencing and instrument context effects? Abstract: Economic theory suggests that willingness to pay for two goods independently offered should remain unchanged when the survey instrument changes slightly. Four survey treatments consisting of comprehensive good and a subset of that good were used. The surveys alternated in the question ordering and in the embedded good which accompanied the comprehensive good. We tested for sequencing and instrument context effects using both a combined and split sample designs. In the combined sample case we found some evidence to sequencing effects in the data containing the first subset good. Likelihood ratio tests indicated that sequencing did not effect scale or location of parameters. In the test for instrument context effects, evidence was found indicating context does effect willingness to pay estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 957-964 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323670 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323670 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:8:p:957-964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferdaus Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Ferdaus Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Title: Transitory and permanent disturbances and the current account: an empirical analysis in the intertemporal framework Abstract: The intertemporal models of current account determination demonstrate that in the analysis of the current account balance of a country, it is important to distinguish between transitory and permanent disturbances in income and relative prices. This paper attempts to decompose the observed data on income and real exchange rate into transitory and permanent components and then uses the decomposed series to test the empirical validity of the predictions of the intertemporal models. Evidence from the United States and Japan provide very limited support for the intertemporal models in terms of the effects of transitory and permanent changes in income on current account balance. For both US and Japan, the study finds that permanent changes in real exchange rate have significant effects on the current account balance. Statistical tests find no evidence of hysteresis in the trading relations of the two countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 965-974 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323689 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323689 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:8:p:965-974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khalifa Ghali Author-X-Name-First: Khalifa Author-X-Name-Last: Ghali Title: Government size and economic growth: evidence from a multivariate cointegration analysis Abstract: This study uses multivariate cointegration techniques and attempts to model the dynamic interactions between government size and economic growth in a five variable system consisting of the growth rates of GDP, total government spending, investment, exports, and imports. Using data on ten OECD countries the analysis shows: (i) Government size Granger-causes growth in all the countries with some disparities concerning the proportion by which government size contributes to explaining future changes in the growth rates. An innovation shock at the growth rate of government size generates a permanent effect on the growth rate of GDP that, for some countries, reaches from 26% to 60% of the total change in growth: (ii) Government size also Granger-causes investment and international trade and, for some countries government size Granger-causes growth indirectly either through investment or the trade variables; and (iii) In almost all countries, international trade and investment generate permanent effects on growth. In particular we found that exports and imports do not have the same effects on growth as is the case in cross-country growth models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 975-987 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323698 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323698 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:8:p:975-987 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Teresa Garin-Munoz Author-X-Name-First: Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Garin-Munoz Author-Name: Teodosio Perez-Amaral Author-X-Name-First: Teodosio Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Amaral Title: A model of Spain-Europe telecommunications Abstract: In this study we present a model for the outgoing telephone traffic from Spain to a group of 24 European countries. We use a point-to-point model that incorporates the specific characteristics of the international long distance service and the socioeconomic relationships between Spain and this group of countries, taking into account the simultaneity between incoming and outgoing traffic. Recently available data on minutes of conversation in each direction allow us to use panel data for the period 1981-91. We use an orthogonal deviations estimator with instrumental variables. The orthogonal deviations transformation allows the specific unobservable characteristics of each route of traffic to be controlled and the instrumental variables take care of the simultaneity between incoming and outgoing traffic. We estimate a total elasticity of the minutes of outgoing traffic per line with respect to its own real price of - 0.81. Other significant variables are: the volume of trade, the number of visitors from each country, the number of foreign residents and the minutes of incoming traffic. This last variable measures the so-called reciprocal calling effect which is highly significant with a positive elasticity of 0.78. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 989-997 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323706 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323706 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:8:p:989-997 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Channing Arndt Author-X-Name-First: Channing Author-X-Name-Last: Arndt Author-Name: Songquan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Songquan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Paul Preckel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Preckel Title: On dual approaches to demand systems estimation in the presence of binding quantity constraints Abstract: Binding quantity constraints, especially non-negativity constraints, appear frequently in micro-level data sets. Two dual approaches to demand systems estimation in the presence of binding non-negativity constraints are reviewed. It is demonstrated that, in a demand systems context, the more commonly used approach for treating binding non-negativity constraints is incompatible with economic theory and thus produces inconsistent estimates of price response. Furthermore, Monte Carlo experiments indicate that bias can be substantial even if limit observations comprise a relatively small portion of the sample. The alternative, a direct maximum likelihood estimation approach, has desirable properties; however, analytical and computational difficulties severely hamper application. The numerical integration approach, employed here for direct maximum likelihood estimation, is presented. It is believed that this integration approach facilitates direct maximum likelihood estimation for some problems. Nevertheless, the ability to estimate complex demand systems remains constrained. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 999-1008 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323715 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323715 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:8:p:999-1008 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Natke Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Natke Title: Financial repression and firm self-financing of investment: empirical evidence from Brazil Abstract: Analysis of 86 Brazilian manufacturing firms operating during a period marked by some degree of financial repression demonstrates that investment spending influences the liquid asset holdings of firms. This self-finance motive is weaker than the transactions motive but, in general, remains statistically significant across a variety of model specifications. Small firms are more likely than large firms to finance investment spending through accumulation of liquid assets. Contrary to the complementarity hypothesis, however, there is some evidence that firms treat liquid assets and capital as substitutes. Specification tests comparing the Shaw hypothesis with the McKinnon hypothesis weakly favour the complementarity model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1009-1019 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323724 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323724 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:8:p:1009-1019 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. M. Binner Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Binner Author-Name: A. Fielding Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Fielding Author-Name: A. W. Mullineux Author-X-Name-First: A. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Mullineux Title: Divisia money in a composite leading indicator of inflation Abstract: The principal objective of this paper is to compare the performance of the Divisia M4 monetary index with the standard Simple Sum measure of broad money in the context of composite leading indicators of inflation in the United Kingdom. Inflation targeting is an important component of current UK monetary policy and the construction of composite leading indicators of inflation is a potential advance over the current practice of monitoring a range of indicators of inflation. The leading indicators proposed provide useful turning point information for inflation and advocate principal component analysis as a more sophisticated weighting mechanism for the constituent components. Indicators constructed using a Divisia index measure of money were found to be more closely related to the inflation reference cycle than indicators using their Simple Sum counterparts when a principal components weighting mechanism was used. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1021-1031 Issue: 8 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323733 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323733 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:8:p:1021-1031 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Aiello Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Aiello Title: Effects of STABEX on ACPs' economic growth: Further evidence Abstract: The paper deals with the economic growth of the open and small developing countries which signed the Lome Convention (henceforth ACPs). Results showing that earnings instability damages their economic performance can be used to support the EU policy of guaranteeing financial aid to those countries suffering reductions in export proceeds. The second section of the paper analysing the workings of STABEX, however, highlights certain weaknesses in the effectiveness of STABEX transfers when their impact on economic growth is considered. The general conclusion is that, if the current EU-ACP negotiations for Lome V are to be successful, then some aspects of the scheme (eligibility criteria and use of funds) will have to be radically changed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1033-1042 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323517 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323517 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:9:p:1033-1042 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Stancanelli Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Stancanelli Title: Unemployment duration and the duration of entitlement to unemployment benefits: an empirical study for Britain Abstract: The aim of this paper is to investigate the impact of the expected duration of unemployment benefits on the individual probability of leaving unemployment. The theory predicts that the probability of leaving unemployment will increase near the time of the expected exhaustion of unemployment insurance. Still a limited number of empirical studies is available for European countries. The data used for the analysis relate to Britain. The probability of leaving unemployment to take up a full-time job is distinguished from the probability of exiting into other states. It is concluded that although there is some evidence of spikes in the hazard rate near the time of expected benefit exhaustion, no statistically significant benefit exhaustion effect is found. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1043-1051 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323526 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323526 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:9:p:1043-1051 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Asa Lofstrom Author-X-Name-First: Asa Author-X-Name-Last: Lofstrom Title: Can job evaluation improve women's wages? Abstract: Systematic job evaluation or comparable worth programmes are often seen as a method to increase the relative wages of women. This paper examines whether this is the case using two job evaluation studies from the university sector in Sweden. Two different evaluation schemes were used in these studies. The general result found in this analysis is that complete implementation of the evaluation results would lead to an increase in women's relative wages by between 2 and 6%. This finding is, however, not uniform in the sense that all women would gain and all men would lose. Results indicate that about two-thirds of women are 'winners' and one-third 'losers', while the figures for men are approximately the reverse. Assuming that the job evaluations give a correct measure of productivity, the results are also used in an analysis of wage discrimination and the crowding effect. The findings indicate a significant crowding effect, but are less conclusive with regard to discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1053-1060 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323535 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323535 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:9:p:1053-1060 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charalambos Pattichis Author-X-Name-First: Charalambos Author-X-Name-Last: Pattichis Title: Price and income elasticities of disaggregated import demand: results from UECMs and an application Abstract: This paper presents an empirical analysis of the demand for maize, milk powder, butter, and rice imports in Cyprus, using annual time series data covering the period 1975-1994. None of these products is produced in Cyprus and all the necessary quantities are imported to meet domestic demand. The primary objective of the paper is to derive long-run price and income elasticities of import demand that can be used to analyse the impact of various policies such as the adoption of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) when, and if, the Republic of Cyprus joins the European Union (EU). In so doing the paper takes on board some recent developments in time series econometrics. The cointegration test used (the 'bounds' test) is a recent test and is based on the estimation of an unrestricted error-correction model (UECM). Parsimonious models were derived using Hendry's 'general to specific' approach. The estimated elasticities were subsequently used to quantify some of the implications for Cyprus had the CAP been operational in 1994. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1061-1071 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323544 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323544 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:9:p:1061-1071 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferdaus Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Ferdaus Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Author-Name: Pin Chung Author-X-Name-First: Pin Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Long-run implications of neoclassical growth models: empirical evidence from Australia, New Zealand, South Korea and Taiwan Abstract: Long-run implications of the one-factor neoclassical growth models are tested by using data from Australia, New Zealand, South Korea and Taiwan. Testable propositions about the long-run relations between log of real output, consumption, and investment are investigated using unit root tests and cointegration analysis. Also, common trends analysis is used to identify the sources of the permanent shocks driving the common long-run trend. Further, variance decomposition is used to examine the extent to which innovations to the common trend component are able to explain short-run fluctuations in the data. Empirical results provide limited support for the neoclassical models. In addition to productivity shocks, permanent innovations to investment are found to be important components of the long-run stochastic trend governing the dynamic behaviour of real output, consumption and investment. Variance decomposition results suggest that although innovations to common trend components are important, this is unable to explain a substantial fraction of short-run fluctuations in the data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1073-1082 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323553 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:9:p:1073-1082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zinan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zinan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: E. L. Lynk Author-X-Name-First: E. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Lynk Title: Evidence on market structure of the deregulated US airline industry Abstract: Airline deregulation in the USA was a rejection of inefficient regulation and inspired by the perspective of both potential and actual competition in the industry. Using multivariate regression and efficiency frontier techniques, the emergent structure of unregulated airline markets is assessed. Our findings, based on panel data for major US airlines during the period 1984-1991, indicate that (1) as a result of successful efforts by airlines to reduce the scope for competition, aviation technology now exhibits increasing rather than constant returns to network size as predicted by cost studies prior to deregulation; (2) deregulation failed to produce evidence of efficiency convergence among carriers as would be expected under sufficiently competitive conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1083-1092 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323562 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323562 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:9:p:1083-1092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Vamvoukas Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Vamvoukas Title: The twin deficits phenomenon: evidence from Greece Abstract: This paper explores the relationship between budget and trade deficits in a small open economy using annual data. The purpose of the paper is to test empirically the validity and rationale of the Keynesian proposition (conventional view) and the Ricardian equivalence hypothesis. The econometric methodology is based on cointegration analysis, error-correction modelling and Granger trivariate causality. The ECM empirical findings suggest that budget deficit has short- and long-run positive and significant causal effects on trade deficit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1093-1100 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323571 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323571 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:9:p:1093-1100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ronald Meng Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Author-Name: Douglas Smith Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: The impact of workers' compensation on wage premiums for job hazards Abstract: The existence of a trade-off between occupational risk and earnings is well known. Most studies, however, ignore how public insurance systems, like workers' compensation (WC) affect this trade-off. This paper incorporates the workers' compensation system into a hedonic earnings function for paid employees. The results show that workers' compensation lowers the wage-risk trade-off for a sample of Ontario workers. In the absence of workers' compensation, employees would receive a significantly higher risk premium for exposure to the possibility of occupational injuries. This implies that labour markets will provide more than the socially optimal degree of risk if experience rating of workers' compensation is incomplete. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1101-1108 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323580 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:9:p:1101-1108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hannu Tanninen Author-X-Name-First: Hannu Author-X-Name-Last: Tanninen Title: Income inequality, government expenditures and growth Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between income inequality and growth by utilizing the recently published Deininger-Squire data set. Most of the recent empirical growth literature suggests a negative relationship between inequality and growth on the basis of reduced-form growth equations. This is also found in the author's study. Some effort is made to discuss the argument behind the perceived negative relationship between inequality and growth. According to the fiscal policy approach a high level of income inequality leads to a higher demand for redistribution, which in turn affects growth through resource allocation out of investment or through incentive-distorting taxes needed to fund the redistribution. It is suggested that the last-mentioned relationship between government expenditure and growth is more likely to be non-linear; positive with small amounts and negative with large amounts. Such a relationship, however, is only found for public goods. Thus, government expenditure on 'law and order' may, with higher amounts of expenditure, have negative effects on growth, therefore indirectly supporting the socio-political stability argument. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1109-1117 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323599 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323599 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:9:p:1109-1117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Clinton Greene Author-X-Name-First: Clinton Author-X-Name-Last: Greene Title: On the impossibility of a stable and low GDP elasticity of money demand: the arithmetic of aggregation, replication and income growth Abstract: This paper shows the aggregate income (GDP) elasticity of money demand depends on the elasticity at the individual level and on population growth. As money regressions are usually formulated using US post-WW.II data, a low and stable aggregate income elasticity implies a negative and unstable elasticity at the individual level. Likewise positing a stable and non-unitary individual income elasticity implies wide variation in the conventional GDP elasticity over time. It has been possible to ignore these issues in empirical work due to collinearity between regressors and population, even for differenced data. Measuring money and income on a per household basis is a simple way to avoid these problems and to distinguish income from mere replication effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1119-1127 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323607 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323607 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:9:p:1119-1127 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed Khalid Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Khalid Title: Modelling money demand in open economies: the case of selected Asian countries Abstract: While early work on money demand estimation focused primarily on the importance of domestic variables, many studies in later years have suggested that foreign variables also influence the domestic demand for money in an open economy. With the rapid financial market liberalization in some of the Asian economies in the last couple of decades, open economy factors have become very important in the determination of money demand. Therefore, this paper aims to ascertain the degree to which foreign opportunity cost variables influence money demand in the Philippines, Singapore and South Korea. Cointegration analysis is performed and an error correction model estimated using quarterly time-series data. The empirical results support the inclusion of foreign opportunity cost variables in the money demand function. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1129-1135 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323616 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323616 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:9:p:1129-1135 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdur Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Abdur Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Author-Name: Mark Wheeler Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Wheeler Title: The velocity of US M2 in the 1990s: some further evidence Abstract: This paper investigates the behaviour of M2 velocity in recent years with special emphasis on the post-1989 period. Unlike previous studies in this area, M2 velocity is analysed in the context of a small vector autoregressive (VAR) model which includes income, prices, interest rates, and money growth volatility. The hypothesis of a structural shift in M2 velocity associated with the post-1989 period is rejected by the VAR model. This suggests that the unusual behaviour of M2 velocity since 1989 may be traced to the variability in its determinants, rather than to a shift in the process generating velocity. Variance decompositions indicate that real income and the short-term opportunity cost of M2 are the most important determinants of M2 velocity. The long-term opportunity cost of M2 and the return on equities also have significant impacts on M2 velocity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1137-1144 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323625 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323625 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:9:p:1137-1144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dawn Richards Elliott Author-X-Name-First: Dawn Richards Author-X-Name-Last: Elliott Author-Name: Rupert Rhodd Author-X-Name-First: Rupert Author-X-Name-Last: Rhodd Title: Explaining growth rate differences in highly indebted countries: an extension to Thirlwall and Hussain Abstract: In recent years, growth rate differences have increased and have elicited numerous explanations. Among the most controversial interpretations is that postulated by Thirlwall (1979) and later extended by Thirlwall and Hussain (1982), both papers arguing that growth rate differences are best explained by demand constraints found in the balance of payments. Although the inclusion of capital flows by Thirlwall and Hussain (1982) is widely viewed as an improvement in the original model, still we believe the model to be less than complete because it omitted the effect of debt servicing. Extending the model to include the effect of debt servicing, this paper improves the predictability of the original model as it brought the actual growth rates closer to the predicted growth rates for most of the countries used in the previous research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1145-1148 Issue: 9 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323634 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323634 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:9:p:1145-1148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cees Gorter Author-X-Name-First: Cees Author-X-Name-Last: Gorter Author-Name: Jos Van Ommeren Author-X-Name-First: Jos Author-X-Name-Last: Van Ommeren Title: Sequencing, timing and filling rates of recruitment channels Abstract: This paper analyses the recruitment process by which employers adjust their search strategies. The focus is, in particular, on the sequence and timing of recruitment channels. Two search strategies are identified. One strategy is to advertise a vacancy, and to form a pool of candidates by activating subsequent recruitment channels such that candidates are added to the pool. An alternative strategy used by employers is to start searching via informal channels, consider applicants at arrival and continue their search along a new recruitment channel if no suitable candidates show up. Results suggest that when informal personal contacts are available to the employer, this 'switching of channel' strategy is preferred. Moreover, the results of this paper are consistent with the view that informal search methods are potentially more efficient than using an advertisement and forming a pool of applicants, in particular when vital positions in firms have to be filled. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1149-1160 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323373 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:10:p:1149-1160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Azali Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Azali Author-Name: K. G. P. Matthews Author-X-Name-First: K. G. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Matthews Title: Money-income and credit-income relationships during the pre- and the post-liberalization periods: evidence from Malaysia Abstract: Using the Bernanke's contemporaneous structural VAR, this paper investigates the role of money and credit in the monetary transmission mechanism during the pre- and post-liberalization periods in Malaysia. During the pre-liberalization period where credit and interest rates were regulated, the evidence supports the dominance of bank credit shocks over money shocks in explaining the output variability. After the liberalization of financial market, however, money as well as credit innovations were proven to make significant contribution to the output fluctuation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1161-1170 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323382 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:10:p:1161-1170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Veronica Cabezas Author-X-Name-First: Veronica Author-X-Name-Last: Cabezas Author-Name: Jason MacDonald Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: MacDonald Title: Hysteresis and the earnings of immigrants in the United States labour market Abstract: The paper analyses the role of hysteresis in explaining the slow wage convergence between certain immigrant groups and native workers. Using the 1990 Integrated Public Use Microdata Samples (IPUMS), the analysis reveals that past earnings history in the country of origin has a relatively smaller effect on post-migration earnings when compared to past earnings history in the US. In addition, the paper suggests that the earnings history in the country of origin is more productive in the US labour market for immigrants from advanced economies as compared to those from less-developed countries. In particular, we find that US labour market does not value the past earnings history of Mexican immigrants as high as that of other ethnic groups with similar socioeconomic characteristics across successive cohorts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1171-1182 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323391 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323391 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:10:p:1171-1182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandro Turrini Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Turrini Title: Liberalization, quality and welfare: removing the Italian VER on Japanese car exports Abstract: The empirical evidence that evaluates ex-post the effects of trade policy confirms the presumption, well known in theory, that quantitative barriers to trade have an impact on the average quality of exports. Yet, in evaluating ex-ante the effects of trade policy reform, very few studies take into account the role of the induced change in quality. The paper evaluates the effects of liberalization in the Italian car market through a calibrated model where the choice of the quality of exports is made endogenous. Simulating the removal of the VER on Japanese exports, there are substantial gains from liberalization when only quantity effects are considered. Results change dramatically if quality effects are taken into account: the downgrading in Japanese exports entails a strong reduction in consumers' gains. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1183-1194 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323409 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323409 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:10:p:1183-1194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan Muysken Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Muysken Author-Name: Tom Van Veen Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Van Veen Author-Name: Erik De Regt Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: De Regt Title: Does a shift in the tax burden create employment? Abstract: According to Dalton's Law it does not matter which side of the market is taxed. This holds for a model of the labour market as well. Nevertheless, it is often maintained that shifting the wedge from employers to employees has favourable effects on employment. That is, a shift from employers' to employees' taxes decreases wages and hence unemployment. This apparent paradox is discussed by analysing the impact of taxes in a wage bargaining model - it is shown that Dalton's Law does not necessarily hold in those models. The findings are illustrated by empirical results concerning tax shifting by employers and employees for the Netherlands. It is found that no employers' taxes are shifted backwards, whereas about 44% of employees' taxes are shifted forwards. These values imply a positive effect on employment of a reduction of the wedge in favour of employers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1195-1205 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323418 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323418 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:10:p:1195-1205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Knut Roed Author-X-Name-First: Knut Author-X-Name-Last: Roed Author-Name: Oddbjorn Raaum Author-X-Name-First: Oddbjorn Author-X-Name-Last: Raaum Author-Name: Harald Goldstein Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Goldstein Title: Does unemployment cause unemployment? Micro evidence from Norway Abstract: The way that unemployment duration affects employment prospects, is investigated using Norwegian micro transition data encompassing detailed accounts of 14 807 unemployed adults. A generalized non-proportional Weibull model is estimated, with two possible exits from the unemployment pool: a job or a labour force exit. On average the probability of obtaining a job is fairly constant at the individual level, while the probability of exiting the labour force increases significantly as unemployment duration is prolonged. For some particular groups of unemployed, there is also a marked negative duration dependence in the probability of obtaining a job. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1207-1218 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323427 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323427 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:10:p:1207-1218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Lee Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Housing cycles and the period of production Abstract: US fixed residential investment is one of the most periodic economic time series. A theory of housing cycles is analysed on the basis of the period of housing construction. Substantial lags between planning and completion phases of housing construction cause housing investment to respond cyclically to exogenous shocks in demand and production costs. Known structural parameters of the housing industry provide sharp numerical benchmarks for the resulting dynamic system. The calibrated model with two construction lags describes the housing data and cycles well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1219-1230 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323436 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:10:p:1219-1230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mickael Lothgren Author-X-Name-First: Mickael Author-X-Name-Last: Lothgren Author-Name: Magnus Tambour Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Tambour Title: Testing scale efficiency in DEA models: a bootstrapping approach Abstract: This paper presents a method for estimation and test of firm-specific scale efficiency using data envelopment analysis (DEA). The use of a simple bootstrap algorithm is proposed to perform firm-specific inference for scale efficiency. An empirical application using Swedish hospital data is provided. It is found that about 40% of the departments were scale efficient according to the original results. However, for about one-third of those departments the hypothesis of scale efficiency could be rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1231-1237 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323445 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:10:p:1231-1237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erick Elder Author-X-Name-First: Erick Author-X-Name-Last: Elder Title: Investment effects of departures from governmental present-value budget balance Abstract: The paper investigates whether departures from government borrowing constraints affect the relationship between fiscal-policy innovations and changes in the investment level. 'Break points', or apparent departures from present-value budget balance, are then identified. Next, the investment-deficit relationship is examined prior to and following identified break points in an effort to detect potential changes in behaviour. The investment-deficit relationship is quantified by examining posterior coverage bounds of impulse response functions. Britain appears to undergo such a break around 1973. Data from this country suggest that significantly more crowding out occurred following the identified breaks: in contrast, data from other comparison countries that do not appear to have experienced breaks indicate stable investment-deficit relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1239-1247 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323454 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:10:p:1239-1247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: On the decomposition of Gini coefficients by population class and income source: a spreadsheet approach and application Abstract: There are in the literature many different formulae and methodologies for deriving and decomposing Gini coefficients. Needless to say, different methodologies have their own advantages and limitations. Some Gini formulae are unnecessarily complicated and impractical. Some are biased estimators and/or not decomposable. This paper presents a simple and exact formula and develops a systematic procedure for decomposition by population class and income source in a spreadsheet without using matrix algebra, integration, regression and covariances. The Gini formula and decomposition method can be used for individual data and for evenly or unevenly grouped data. Many complicated concepts regarding the Gini and its components are given an intuitive economic interpretation. A household survey data set for Sichuan, China, is used to demonstrate, step by step, how the methodology is applied in empirical analyses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1249-1264 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323463 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323463 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:10:p:1249-1264 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiangdong Wei Author-X-Name-First: Xiangdong Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Estimating British workers' demand for safety Abstract: This paper estimates workers' demand function for job safety using the British General Household Survey data. The estimation employs Rosen's two-stage procedure. The main difference between our study and those done in the past is that we estimate hedonic price equations with data sets from two labour markets. Our approach overcomes the usual identification problems associated with the application of Rosen's method. The estimation shows that there is a significant wage compensation for job risk in the UK. The willingness-to-pay for a 1/100 000 decrease of annual job fatal accident rate from our estimated workers' demand function is about £6 in 1973 prices. The estimation of a demand function for safety also enables the derivation of workers' willingness-to-pay for non-marginal change of job risk, and this can be used for cost-benefit analysis on projects involving such non-marginal changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1265-1271 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323472 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323472 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:10:p:1265-1271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nandinee Kutty Author-X-Name-First: Nandinee Author-X-Name-Last: Kutty Title: Demand for home modifications: a household production function approach Abstract: Coping with activity limitations that occur in old age is an important issue in the context of increasing life expectancy and the, still, inevitable onset of chronic conditions in old age. Elderly households can be viewed as coping with activity limitations by producing functionality with the use of direct inputs that include home modifications. A model of the household production of functionality is developed within the general framework of household production function models of health. Hypotheses generated from this model are tested using a logit model for data from the Survey of Asset and Health Dynamics Among the Oldest Old (AHEAD). The main findings of the empirical analysis are that the demand for home modifications is fairly income-inelastic, home modifications and personal care are substitutes to some degree, the demand for home modifications increases with years of schooling, and that particular health conditions and the use of other assistive devices are important determinants of the demand for modifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1273-1281 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323481 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323481 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:10:p:1273-1281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bagala Biswal Author-X-Name-First: Bagala Author-X-Name-Last: Biswal Author-Name: Urvashi Dhawan Author-X-Name-First: Urvashi Author-X-Name-Last: Dhawan Author-Name: Hooi-Yean Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hooi-Yean Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Testing Wagner versus Keynes using disaggregated public expenditure data for Canada Abstract: This paper attempts to test Wagnerian versus Keynesian hypotheses by examining the relationship between national income and total public expenditure as well as its various components for Canada during the period 1950-1995. Engle and Granger's two-step cointegration and error correction techniques are employed to test these two hypotheses. The results of this study support both the hypotheses when tested with broader aggregate expenditure data, i.e. total government current expenditure (CE) and total current expenditures on goods and services (CEGS). Although the results of this study do not support the existence of any long-run relationship between GDP and the disaggregated public expenditure variables, they do support the existence of short-run causation implying that national income may be causing or caused by a component of the total government current expenditure in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1283-1291 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323490 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323490 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:10:p:1283-1291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Oustapassidis Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Oustapassidis Author-Name: A. Vlachvei Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Vlachvei Title: Profitability and product differentiation in Greek food industries Abstract: This paper explains the increasing difference between the profit margins of differentiated and undifferentiated Greek food manufacturing industries between 1988 and 1994, using panel data. The 2SLS results for the fixed effects model show important differences across the high, medium and low differentiated industry groups. The increasing difference between the margins of the highly differentiated group - which includes the most profitable industries - and the other groups can be mainly attributed to the greater sensitivity of margins in differentiated industries to advertising and demand changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1293-1298 Issue: 10 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323508 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323508 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:10:p:1293-1298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. J. Abbott Author-X-Name-First: A. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Abbott Author-Name: K. A. Lawler Author-X-Name-First: K. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Lawler Author-Name: C. Armistead Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Armistead Title: The UK demand for steel Abstract: The paper suggests a short-run model of the demand for steel that may be used for forecasting future trends. The paper commences with consideration of a long-run model which is estimated using cointegration analysis. An error correction model is then developed to depict the short-run movements to equilibrium. This can be used for the purpose of ex-post forecasting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1299-1302 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323175 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323175 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1299-1302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lee-Rong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Lee-Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chung-Hua Shen Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Do foreign investments affect foreign exchange and stock markets - the case of Taiwan Abstract: Foreign investment (FI) has been identified with a recent spate of speculative attacks on certain foreign currencies, giving rise to several financial crises. The issue of whether or not FI has destabilization or demonstration effects on the stock and foreign exchange markets has therefore received widespread attention in developing countries. The destabilization effect focuses on whether FI increases or decreases the volatility of stock prices and foreign exchange markets. The demonstration effect stresses that because FI focuses more on fundamental factors than nonfundamental factors, the major influencing factors on stock markets may change after FIs are permitted to enter into a country. The experience of Taiwan in this regard can function as a guide for other developing countries. This paper finds, regarding the destabilization effect, that FI has a positive influence on the volatility of the exchange rate and a mild influence on the volatility of stock returns. These results imply that challenges will probably emerge during the process of liberalization, such as increased volatility in stock returns and in the exchange rate. Next, with regard to the demonstration effect, our results show that prior to the inflow of FI, stock returns are mainly affected by nonfundamental factors, such as the turnover rate. After the inflow of FI, stock returns are affected by both nonfundamental and fundamental elements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1303-1314 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323184 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1303-1314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Denise Young Author-X-Name-First: Denise Author-X-Name-Last: Young Author-Name: Honghai Deng Author-X-Name-First: Honghai Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Title: The effects of education in early-stage agriculture: some evidence from China Abstract: The stochastic production frontier approach is used to study the effects of education on agricultural efficiency for a cross-section of 'early-stage' farms from Guanghan County, Sichuan Province, China. Education for farm families in rural China is multifaceted with a combination of formal education, intragenerational transfer of knowledge within the home, and agricultural extension services. Since our survey data span two different years with markedly different policy environments, we are able to examine not only which aspects of education affect agricultural efficiency, but also whether or not the policy environment matters. We find limited evidence that in a policy environment that is conducive to agriculture, formal education provides positive returns in agriculture. Furthermore, general education may provide greater returns than the more targeted extension services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1315-1323 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323193 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1315-1323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Hartley Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Hartley Title: Real myths and a monetary fact Abstract: In their paper 'Business cycles: real facts and a monetary myth,' Kydland and Prescott (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 14, 1990) present a series of statistics, generated by using the Hodrick-Prescott filter, which they define as the 'business cycle facts.' Prescott (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 10, 1986) argued that the facts are immune to the method of detrending; however, even if we use the Hodrick-Prescott filter, we can get a set of facts that differ in important ways from those in Kydland and Prescott (1990). In particular, we can generate the conventional wisdom that real wages are acyclical, very different relative volatilities of consumption, investment and output, and M1 leading the cycle. In addition, we note that the other important fact generated by Kydland and Prescott, the countercyclicality of prices, was not actually a new result. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1325-1329 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323201 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323201 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1325-1329 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Author-Name: Curtis Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Curtis Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: Timothy Stanton Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Stanton Title: Customer racial discrimination for baseball memorabilia Abstract: This paper investigates customer racial discrimination in the market for baseball cards. It extends previous research by measuring customer racial preferences at the beginning and end of players' careers. Our results indicate that customer biases against active Black and Hispanic baseball players may be mitigated by differential expectations of future performance. However, over time we detect statistical differences in rookie card prices by ethnicity, as performance expectations become less important at the end of a player's career. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1331-1335 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323210 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323210 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1331-1335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giota Panopoulou Author-X-Name-First: Giota Author-X-Name-Last: Panopoulou Author-Name: Panos Tsakloglou Author-X-Name-First: Panos Author-X-Name-Last: Tsakloglou Title: Fertility and economic development: theoretical considerations and cross-country evidence Abstract: The paper presents a theoretical background for the analysis of the relationship between fertility and a number of socioeconomic factors associated with the process of economic development and analyses empirically this relationship within a cross-country framework. Fertility is found to be negatively related with female education, urbanization and family planning and positively related with the levels of infant mortality and economic development, whereas no significant relationship between fertility and female labour force participation is established. Sensitivity analysis is performed and the policy implications of the empirical findings are briefly discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1337-1351 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323229 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323229 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1337-1351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yih-Chyi Chuang Author-X-Name-First: Yih-Chyi Author-X-Name-Last: Chuang Title: Returns to scale, productive efficiency, and optimal firm size evidence from Taiwan's firm data Abstract: By using Taiwan's census firm data, this paper estimates and tests the variable returns to scale hypothesis for aggregate manufacturing and two-digit industries. An efficiency measure is constructed to further examine the size-efficiency relations among two-digit industries. Analysis indicates that increasing returns exist at the aggregate manufacturing level and its magnitude is higher for exporting firms than for non-exporting firms. Moreover, trade is beneficial only for small firms. However, the property of increasing returns diminishes for most of the industries at the two-digit level, particularly for the exporting firms. This sharp comparison between aggregate and two-digit level results suggests that trade is conducive to productivity, and provides an indication of the specific form of technology spillovers among firms and across industries. Further investigation of the relationship between productive efficiency and firm size renders the result that optimal firm size is small for exporting firms in most industries, particularly in the most export-oriented ones. The technology spillover effect among firms and across industries is likely the reason for being small and efficient. Our results also indicate that an industry-wide spillover effect across firms within the same industry is roughly one-sixth of the firm-specific export-induced learning effect. Findings in this study provide valuable insight into Taiwan's economic development and also provide a development strategy for developing countries to follow. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1353-1364 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323238 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323238 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1353-1364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wayne Talley Author-X-Name-First: Wayne Author-X-Name-Last: Talley Title: The safety of sea transport: determinants of crew injuries Abstract: This study investigates determinants of fatal and nonfatal crew injuries in ship accidents, utilizing detailed data of individual tanker, container and bulk ship (US and foreign) accidents investigated by the US Coast Guard. Poisson and negative binomial regression estimates suggest that fatal and nonfatal injuries are greater: (1) if the accident cause is human rather than environmental or ship related and (2) for fire/explosion and multiple-ship accidents. The results provide strong evidence of a positive relationship between crew injuries and human causes of ship accidents, thereby providing support for the current shift in safety focus towards regulating human actions aboard ships rather than just the condition of ships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1365-1372 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323247 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323247 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1365-1372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Leblanc Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Leblanc Author-Name: James Hrubovcak Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Hrubovcak Author-Name: Ron Durst Author-X-Name-First: Ron Author-X-Name-Last: Durst Title: Changing fiscal federalism in the United States: effects on agriculture and food consumption Abstract: This study examines the effects of the changing fiscal role of the federal government with respect to providing financial support for low-income households and the taxation of returns from capital. Specifically, the effects of reducing transfers to low income families by US$10 billion and balancing the ensuing federal budget surplus by increasing the preferential tax treatment of capital gains for individual taxpayers are examined. We examine how this combined budget-neutral fiscal policy change affects agricultural production, economy-wide welfare and the consumption of food. Our results indicate reducing the distortion between the taxation of capital and labour increases economy-wide efficiency leading to increased consumption of food by all income classes. Although economy-wide food expenditures increase, offsetting the revenue shortfall from a reduced capital tax by decreasing transfers to low income families reduces food expenditures for the two lowest income groups by nearly US$1 billion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1373-1382 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323256 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323256 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1373-1382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meher Manzur Author-X-Name-First: Meher Author-X-Name-Last: Manzur Author-Name: Wing-Keung Wong Author-X-Name-First: Wing-Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Author-Name: Inn-Chau Chee Author-X-Name-First: Inn-Chau Author-X-Name-Last: Chee Title: Measuring international competitiveness: experience from East Asia Abstract: This paper uses a new measure of real exchange rates as an indicator of international competitiveness. This new measure involves defining all prices and exchange rates on an appropriately weighted basket of currencies rather than a single currency. The measure is applied to the data for Japan, Korea, Thailand, Malaysia and Singapore. For comparison purposes, we calculate real exchange rates based on purchasing power parity (PPP) for these countries. To check for the relative performance of the two measures, cointegration tests are employed. The results indicate that the new measure tends to be closely related with the export growth for the sample countries, while the PPP-based measure is not. Moreover, the PPP-based real exchange rates tend to understate the measures of competitiveness for these countries. This result has important implications in terms of the levels of these countries' exchange rates as well as the well-known Balassa hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1383-1391 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323265 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323265 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1383-1391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Barkoulas Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Barkoulas Author-Name: Christopher Baum Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Baum Author-Name: Mustafa Caglayan Author-X-Name-First: Mustafa Author-X-Name-Last: Caglayan Title: Fractional monetary dynamics Abstract: We test for fractional dynamics in US monetary series, their various formulations and components, and velocity series. Using the spectral regression method, we find evidence of a fractional exponent in the differencing process of the monetary series (both simple-sum and Divisia indices), in their components (with the exception of demand deposits, savings deposits, overnight repurchase agreements, and term repurchase agreements), and the monetary base and money multipliers. No evidence of fractional behaviour is found in the velocity series. Granger's (Journal of Econometrics, 25, 1980) aggregation hypothesis is evaluated and implications of the presence of fractional monetary dynamics are drawn. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1393-1400 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323274 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323274 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1393-1400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Vanhoudt Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Vanhoudt Title: Are public and private outlays for physical and knowledge capital accumulation equally productive? Abstract: This paper aims at obtaining empirically tentative answers to at least two questions of importance in the macroeconomic literature: (1) to what degree are private and public investment in physical and knowledge capital productive and what is their role in longer-term movements in aggregate productivity growth? and (2) does increasing the number of capital components in neoclassical growth regressions drive the share of 'broad' capital up to one as suggested by new growth theory? We will therefore rely on specifications derived from a generalized neoclassical growth model, which are in fact very well reconcilable with the equilibrium approach in the public economics literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1401-1410 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323283 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323283 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1401-1410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Dolores Montoya Diaz Author-X-Name-First: Maria Dolores Montoya Author-X-Name-Last: Diaz Title: Extended stay at university: an application of multinomial logit and duration models Abstract: In Brazil, few studies have been devoted to proving the existence of and evaluating the internal inefficiencies of state universities. Such work, however, is highly important because state higher learning is free and a great amount of resources is involved in its maintenance. The objective of this study is to develop empirical models to permit an evaluation of the factors related to the decision to complete or abandon the course and to verify whether the duration of the connection to the university is also related to the same factors. Among the results obtained, the most important is that the prolonged stay at a state university favours students whose families could afford their schooling. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1411-1422 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323292 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323292 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1411-1422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raffaele Paci Author-X-Name-First: Raffaele Author-X-Name-Last: Paci Author-Name: Francesco Pigliaru Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Pigliaru Title: Is dualism still a source of convergence in Europe? Abstract: This paper aims at assessing whether dualism represents a significant source of the aggregate labour productivity convergence observed across the European regions in the 1980s. We use a model of the dual economy based on the work of Dixit (Oxford Economic Papers, 22, 229-34, 1970), and Mas-Colell and Razin (Oxford Economic Papers, 25, 72-79, 1973) to obtain hypotheses to be tested in cross-region growth regressions. We use aggregate and sectoral data for 109 territorial units from 1980 to 1990. Our cross-section results are consistent with the major predictions of the dual model. Ignoring dualism as a source of convergence could therefore lead to inaccurate interpretations of the relative roles played by each of the forces behind the process, and to inexact assessments of what actions should be taken- if any- by the European regional policy to help the process become more pervasive. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1423-1436 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323300 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323300 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1423-1436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. J. Sloane Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Sloane Author-Name: H. Battu Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Battu Author-Name: P. T. Seaman Author-X-Name-First: P. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Seaman Title: Overeducation, undereducation and the British labour market Abstract: This paper addresses the issue of overeducation and undereducation using for the first time a British dataset which contains explicit information on the level of required education to enter a job across the generality of occupations. Three key issues within the overeducation literature are addressed. First, what determines the existence of over and undereducation and to what extent are over and undereducation substitutes for experience, tenure and training? Second, to what extent are over and undereducation temporary or permanent phenomena? Third, what are the returns to over and undereducation and do certain stylized facts discovered for the US and a number of European countries hold for Britain? Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1437-1453 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323319 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323319 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1437-1453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oral Williams Author-X-Name-First: Oral Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Author-Name: Wayne Sandiford Author-X-Name-First: Wayne Author-X-Name-Last: Sandiford Author-Name: Aldrin Phipps Author-X-Name-First: Aldrin Author-X-Name-Last: Phipps Title: Banana price shocks and adjustment within a unified currency area Abstract: The paper traces the impact of a shock to banana prices on key macroeconomic variables for the Windward Islands and the Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB) Monetary Union as a whole. Net foreign assets of Dominica are expected to show the largest decline while those for Grenada the least. The impact on the net foreign assets of the subregion may be mitigated by other foreign exchange inflows. In addition there was little variation in the growth in M1 with the exception of Dominica suggesting money-output neutrality. Government revenues were not adversely affected suggesting that the terms of trade shock may be viewed as being temporary and agents borrow to maintain existing tastes and preferences. This result hinged on the nexus between government revenue and the reliance on trade taxes on imports suggesting some ambiguity in the explanation of the Harberger-Laursen-Meltzer effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1455-1466 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323328 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1455-1466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Marc Berk Author-X-Name-First: Jan Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Berk Title: Measuring inflation expectations: a survey data approach Abstract: Measures of expected inflation from consumer surveys are derived using a modification of the Carlson-Parkin probability approach, which does not assume unbiasedness of expectations, makes use of survey data on expected future as well as perceived past price developments and allows for time varying response thresholds. We apply this method to the normal, central-t and noncentral-t distributions, thereby investigating the effects of nonnormal peakedness and asymmetry. We find that the effects on expected inflation of the former are small and of the latter are substantial, without increasing the accuracy of the expectations, however. Expected and actual inflation show substantial persistence, and, for most of our expectations measures, are cointegrated. Furthermore, the forecast error is stationary, implying weak-form rationality. The co-movement of currently observed expected inflation measures and the unobserved 12-months-ahead inflation rate is of interest for policy makers, for example in the direct inflation targeting strategy. Notwithstanding this, caution is warranted in using them as information variables because the inflation expected by consumers is no causal determinant of actual future inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1467-1480 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323337 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1467-1480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasushi Ohkusa Author-X-Name-First: Yasushi Author-X-Name-Last: Ohkusa Title: Additional evidence for the career concern hypothesis with uncertainty of the retirement period - the case of professional baseball players in Japan Abstract: This paper examines whether the Career Concern Hypothesis, which Gibbons and Murphy (Journal of Political Economy, 100, 1992) have presented, holds in the labour market of professional baseball players in Japan. The hypothesis emphasizes that if workers are concerned about their career, an optimal compensation contract has two incentives - an explicit incentive from compensation for current performance and an implicit incentive from concern about their career - and predicts that the explicit incentive should be strongest for workers close to retirement because the concern for their career is weakest for these workers. Incorporating the uncertainty of the retirement period, evidences are found supporting the Career Concern Hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1481-1487 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323346 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1481-1487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Hayo Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Hayo Title: Money-output Granger causality revisited: an empirical analysis of EU countries Abstract: In this paper, the evidence collected in the large literature on testing for Granger-causality from money to output is revisited. Using a broad data base of 14 EU countries plus Canada, the US and Japan, and quarterly data from the mid 1960s to mid 1990s, a number of hypotheses from this literature is evaluated. It is found that very few general conclusions can be sustained. For instance, in most countries it is not the case that the use of data in levels creates a bias in favour of finding Granger-causality effects of money on output compared to using differences. Neither does the significance of money lags decline when increasing the number of variables included in the model. What appears to be robust, though, is that allowing for asymmetries clearly increases the likelihood of finding significant causality effects. Based on the Granger-causality test results, a number of country groups are obtained using cluster analysis, which are characterized by a similarly behaviour with respect to the money-output relation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1489-1501 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323355 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1489-1501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Author-Name: Erik George Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: George Title: Time series dynamics of US State unemployment rates Abstract: This paper examines the time series properties of state and national unemployment rates. Based upon unit root, variance ratio, and cointegration tests, as well as Granger-causality and error-correction model results, several important conclusions can be made. First, forecasting models that include only levels of unemployment rates may produce spurious regression results. Second, in the vast majority of cases, there is no long run co-movement between the aggregate US unemployment rate and individual state unemployment rates. Third, models that are specified in first-differences generally yield reliable insights into state-national unemployment relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1503-1510 Issue: 11 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323364 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:11:p:1503-1510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suk-Joong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Suk-Joong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Do macro-economic news announcements affect the volatility of foreign exchange rates? Some evidence from Australia Abstract: This paper investigates the role of Australian macro-economic announcement news on five major Australian dollar (AUD) exchange rates. Specifically, the daily changes of the exchange rates are modelled to ascertain the existence and the nature of the news effects in the conditional mean and variance of the changes. It is found that a higher than expected current account deficit and unemployment rate announcements depreciated the AUD, and an unexpectedly higher GDP growth announcement appreciated it. Current account deficit, CPI and unemployment news announcements significantly raised the conditional volatility of the changes of the AUD on the days of their announcements, except for the BP/AUD for the CPI news, and there is some evidence of retail sales news reducing it. In general, the evidence is consistent with a view that a release of new information creates uncertainty in the markets due to a lack of consensus on the effects of the particular news announcement and the necessary course of action. In addition, the EGARCH(1,1)-in-Mean modelling of the daily changes of the exchange rates is found to be very successful in addressing the observed statistical properties of the daily changes: leptokurtosis, time-varying heteroscedasticity and asymmetric response of the conditional volatility to unexpected changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1511-1521 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323030 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:12:p:1511-1521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: Alan Collins Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Author-Name: Neill Thew Author-X-Name-First: Neill Author-X-Name-Last: Thew Title: Prostitution services: an exploratory empirical analysis Abstract: This study provides an empirical analysis of the market for some male prostitution services in the UK. Flexible working hours, part-time working, and multiple job holding are considered as important labour market characteristics in this service sector. Statistical models helping explain the provision of a deviant and a more mainstream sexual service is reported, utilizing cross-section data drawn from individual prostitute advertisements. The significance of various declared intrinsic endowments of the prostitutes are examined in relation to the offer of these services, including age, ethnicity, physique, and masculine demeanour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1523-1529 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323049 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323049 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:12:p:1523-1529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peijie Wang Author-X-Name-First: Peijie Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Ping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Neville Topham Author-X-Name-First: Neville Author-X-Name-Last: Topham Title: Relative price variability and inflation uncertainty - the UK case Abstract: This study applies the time-varying volatility model to UK GDP deflators and compares it with the traditional inflation uncertainty measurement of relative price variability. The link between relative price variability and time-varying volatility is studied and established. Moreover, inflation uncertainty is found to be highly persistent in duration and plausibly asymmetric to previous shocks at both disaggregate and aggregate levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1531-1539 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323058 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323058 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:12:p:1531-1539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Beverly Tepper Author-X-Name-First: Beverly Author-X-Name-Last: Tepper Author-Name: Lee Rosenzweig Author-X-Name-First: Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenzweig Title: Assessing the importance of health and nutrition related factors on food demand: a variable preference investigation Abstract: The importance of health/nutrition related factors and demographics on food consumption is assessed based on consumer demand using a variable preferences approach. Results of the models show that diet-disease, individual's race, region of residence, urbanization, education, and perceived importance of taste influence the consumption of various food groups. Economic and policy implications of the results are discussed in the paper. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1541-1549 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323067 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:12:p:1541-1549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jo-Hui Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jo-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Martin Williams Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: The determinants of business failures in the US low-technology and high-technology industries Abstract: This study investigates the determinants of business failure rates for low-technology and high-technology manufacturing industries across the forty-eight contiguous US states over the period 1984 to 1993. The main focus is on examining the role that some key state fiscal measures and federal transfer grants to states play in explaining business failure rates. It is found that regional variations in sales taxes, highway expenditures, bank loans, university R&D, patents, and outstanding debt play a statistically significant role in explaining variations in regional business failure rates. Interestingly, it is found that corporate development assistance programmes and small business loans tend to improve small business survival rates for hightechnology industries but they do not for low-technology industries. Findings also suggest that policymakers can effectively use local/regional policy instruments to bring the current business failure rates to the desired level more easily within hightechnology industry groups than within low-technology industry groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1551-1563 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323076 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:12:p:1551-1563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Tsoukis Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Tsoukis Author-Name: Ahmed Alyousha Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Alyousha Title: Implications of intertemporal optimization for house and land prices Abstract: The Euler equation is used for the intertemporal allocation of durable goods in conjunction with a simple model of housing flow supply to derive implications for the relation between house and land prices. Data from England and Wales fails a key time series test in this respect. The rejection of the theory is shown to be mainly due to the specification of the housebuilding industry: perfect competition makes house prices cointegrated with land prices and housebuilding costs. There is also evidence that borrowing constraints impair the validity of the representative-agent framework for the housing sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1565-1571 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323085 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323085 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:12:p:1565-1571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Harris Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Mary Trainor Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Trainor Title: Manufacturing industries in Northern Ireland and Great Britain: was there convergence during the 1949-92 period? Abstract: This paper uses detailed industry-level data for the UK regions which, based on the standard cross-sectional regression model, suggests that 'strong' convergence was occurring during the period 1963-92, even though plotting these data and considering their variation over time would tend to suggest divergence rather than convergence has dominated. However, since there are several, rather fundamental drawbacks associated with the cross-sectional approach, a long time-series of data for Northern Ireland and Great Britain is used to test for convergence directly, based on testing for unit roots. The outcome is that more than half of the Northern Ireland industries considered experienced 'catch-up', while the rest (with the exception of the Textiles sector) experienced long-run convergence, i.e. they tracked their counterparts in Great Britain over the period considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1573-1580 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323094 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323094 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:12:p:1573-1580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Lien Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Author-Name: Yan Peng Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Title: Measuring the efficiency of search engines: an application of data envelopment analysis Abstract: This paper adopted the data envelopment analysis (DEA) method to investigate the efficiency of several search engines. A query search on a search engine is modelled as a production process. The input and output vectors are defined and measured accordingly. We studied seven engines, Alta Vista, Excite, Hotbot, Lycos, Infoseek, Open Text, and WebCrawler and found that Alta Vista, Excite, Infoseek, and WebCrawler are efficient but the other three are not. Possible efficiency improvements are calculated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1581-1587 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323102 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323102 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:12:p:1581-1587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theocharoula Magoula Author-X-Name-First: Theocharoula Author-X-Name-Last: Magoula Author-Name: George Psacharopoulos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Psacharopoulos Title: Schooling and monetary rewards in Greece: an over-education false alarm? Abstract: The paper uses data from the 1993-94 household survey to investigate a number of issues stemming from the current educational policy debate in Greece. Private and social returns to investment in education are estimated and a test of the screening hypothesis is conducted. No evidence was found that higher education is being used as a screening device, and the returns to investment in education have been maintained to just below their level in the 1960s. The central finding of the paper is that the fear of further expansion of the university system is highly exaggerated, and that the economy could absorb even larger amounts of highly educated manpower. Of course, such expansion could not take place unless there is an end of the state monopoly on the financing and provision of tertiary education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1589-1597 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323111 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:12:p:1589-1597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Melkersson Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Melkersson Title: Explaining choice set size for unemployed Abstract: From questionnaire data it is evident that the number of alternatives unemployed workers consider, i.e. their choice set size, varies substantially. A binomial model is formulated for choice set size, where individual characteristics are used as explanatory variables for observed large variation in choice set size. A score-test for overdispersion is derived. According to an overall test, the model cannot be rejected and interesting determinants of choice set size variation are found. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1599-1607 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323120 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:12:p:1599-1607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Catherine Saget Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Saget Title: Decomposing two values of a binary variable: application to the unemployment differential in Hungary Abstract: This paper presents a study of the individual determinants of unemployment in Hungary. It seeks to understand the reasons why Hungarian women were, in 1992, less likely to be unemployed than their male counterparts. It estimates first, the probability of being in the stock of unemployment and secondly, one particular inflow into unemployment. Adapting standard discrimination analysis to the case of binary variables, the paper decomposes the differential in average unemployment rates by gender. The paper shows that differences in individual endowments account for very little of the gender gap in the stock of unemployment. On the other hand, slightly less than half the unemployment gap could come from differences in one digit occupations and sectors of employment between male and female employees. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1609-1621 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323139 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323139 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:12:p:1609-1621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Caskie Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Caskie Author-Name: John Davis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Author-Name: Joan Moss Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Title: The economic impact of BSE: a regional perspective Abstract: A regional input-output model, detailing agriculture and its ancillary sectors, is used to quantify the effects of a BSE-induced reduction in final demand for beef on the economy of Northern Ireland, a region with heavy dependence on beef exports. The long-run regional output, income and employment effects are estimated assuming no market stabilization measures and taking account of substitution effects in final demand. Predicted net losses in regional income are 0.5% of regional GDP with job losses of up to 0.6% of regional employment. About 77% of the income losses and 87% of the job losses are in the beef sector, primarily beef production. Compensating gains due to demand substitution effects occur mainly in meat processing sectors, other than beef, and are relatively small. Adverse intra-regional distributional effects are likely due to the concentration of beef production in the more disadvantaged areas. The importance of appropriate policy responses is highlighted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1623-1630 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323148 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323148 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:12:p:1623-1630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrice Bertail Author-X-Name-First: Patrice Author-X-Name-Last: Bertail Author-Name: France Caillavet Author-X-Name-First: France Author-X-Name-Last: Caillavet Author-Name: Veronique Nichele Author-X-Name-First: Veronique Author-X-Name-Last: Nichele Title: A bootstrapped double hurdle analysis: consumption of home-produced food Abstract: This article deals with home-made food. The consumption of such specific goods involves an important null consumption issue. A two-step procedure is used to estimate whether the decision to consume is distinct from the decision on the amount of consumption. Data from the '1991 French Food Consumption Survey' show the relevance of double hurdle models. Finally, the estimation of Cragg's model is improved with a new undersampling procedure. Numerous and sometimes opposite effects of household characteristics on the probability of consuming home-produced food and on the amount consumed are obtained. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1631-1639 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323157 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323157 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:12:p:1631-1639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Merih Uctum Author-X-Name-First: Merih Author-X-Name-Last: Uctum Author-Name: Sandra Viana Author-X-Name-First: Sandra Author-X-Name-Last: Viana Title: Decline in the US profit rate: a sectoral analysis Abstract: The profit rate is a key element in the cyclical growth of economies because of its effect on investment and saving behaviour and, therefore, on capacity, productivity and competitiveness. The US industry profit rates have declined dramatically since the 1950s. This decline is analysed and the factors that explain it are determined. It is found that sectoral factor productivities and real factor prices account for most of this decline. The real wage has a stronger effect on manufacturing profit rates, while the real capital price explains better profitability in nonmanufacturing industries. A rise in both factor prices reduces the profit rates during the 1960s and the 1970s. After 1980, a fall in the real price of capital with a sustained improvement in technology account for the stabilization of the declining trends in sectoral profit rates. Breaking with the trends in other industries, technology accounts for most of the decline in the finance, insurance and real estate sector throughout the sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1641-1652 Issue: 12 Volume: 31 Year: 1999 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368499323166 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368499323166 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:31:y:1999:i:12:p:1641-1652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christine Richaud Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Richaud Author-Name: Aristomene Varoudakis Author-X-Name-First: Aristomene Author-X-Name-Last: Varoudakis Author-Name: Marie-Ange Veganzones Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Ange Author-X-Name-Last: Veganzones Title: Real exchange rate and openness in emerging economies: Argentina in the long run Abstract: Argentina's economic policies since the beginning of the century, provide an interesting background to the study of real exchange rate (RER) management in emerging countries. In this article, four types of RER overvaluation are identified. In the 1920s, Argentina provides a short example of overvaluation in the context of a fixed exchange rate policy. Moreover, estimations show that import substitution regimes can lead to a misalignment of RER. Argentina illustrates also the difficult management of RER in a volatile environment. Results allow, in addition, a better understanding of the failure of the trade liberalization attempts of the country and reminds one that successfully integrating the world economy requires an appropriate RER policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322930 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322930 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:1:p:1-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ky-Hyang Yuhn Author-X-Name-First: Ky-Hyang Author-X-Name-Last: Yuhn Author-Name: Jene Kwon Author-X-Name-First: Jene Author-X-Name-Last: Kwon Title: Economic growth and productivity: A case study of South Korea Abstract: The economic performance that South Korea has achieved over the past quarter century is often likened to a 'miracle'. Recently, much interest has been expressed in the driving forces behind the Korean economic transformation. Using the valueadded measure of output, Christiansen and Cummings have shown that technology measured by TFP accounts for about 43% of Korean economic growth between 1960 and 1973. This figure is considerably high compared with recent major studies on Japanese and Singaporean economic growth. We found that the value-added framework is not appropriate for the description of the structure of the Korean economy and re-examined the sources of Korean economic growth, using the gross-output framework. Surprisingly, it has been discovered that only 7% of real output growth in the manufacturing sector during the 1962-1981 period is attributable to technological progress. These findings parallel those for the Japanese and Singapore economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 13-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322949 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322949 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:1:p:13-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Leong Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Leong Author-Name: Michael McAleer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McAleer Title: Testing long-run neutrality using intra-year data Abstract: Previous tests of the long-run neutrality hypothesis have generally relied on annual time series data. This paper analyses the long-run neutrality of money in Australia using different sources of intra-year data, which permits an examination of the effects of seasonality and the robustness of previous empirical results. A reduced form ARIMA model is used with both quarterly seasonally unadjusted and adjusted Australian real GDP and nominal money supply to test the neutrality hypothesis. Using two measures of money stock, namely M1 and M3, it is shown that the hypothesis is supported using M1 as the measure of money supply, while it is rejected using M3. Recent trends and developments in the money and credit markets in Australia provide a possible explanation of the sensitivity of the outcome to the measure of money stock employed in the analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 25-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322958 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322958 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:1:p:25-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hoe-Kyung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hoe-Kyung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Moon-Kee Kong Author-X-Name-First: Moon-Kee Author-X-Name-Last: Kong Title: Consumption of durable goods and tests of the permanent income hypothesis: evidence from Korean macro data Abstract: Quarterly aggregate data from Korean urban households is used to test the restrictions on the vector autoregressive (VAR) representation of the permanent income hypothesis (PIH). In testing these restrictions, an alternative consumption measure is proposed which takes account of the flow of services from durable goods. For comparison, two commonly used measures - total consumption expenditures and expenditures on non-durables and services - are also employed in the empirical analysis, and the results show that the choice of consumption measures could have a significant effect on the results of the tests, leading to a false conclusion with the improper consumption variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 39-44 Issue: 1 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322967 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322967 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:1:p:39-44 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iain Fraser Author-X-Name-First: Iain Author-X-Name-Last: Fraser Title: An application of maximum entropy estimation: the demand for meat in the United Kingdom Abstract: In many econometric studies of demand relationships the design matrix is frequently subject to severe collinearity. In this paper the Generalized Maximum Entropy methodology is introduced and used to estimate a set of demand relationships. The ability of Generalized Maximum Entropy to estimate economic relationships that are typically subject to a high degree of collinearity among the explanatory variables, thus potentially causing traditional methods of estimation to be unreliable, is explained. The results derived by this alternative method of estimation, for a UK meat demand data set, are analysed and examined. The potential for this emerging estimation methodology is discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 45-59 Issue: 1 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322976 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322976 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:1:p:45-59 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adriaan Kalwij Author-X-Name-First: Adriaan Author-X-Name-Last: Kalwij Title: Estimating the economic return to schooling on the basis of panel data Abstract: This paper is concerned with estimating the economic return to schooling of men in the Netherlands. An IV approach is adopted to estimate a panel data model with random individual effects. The fact that older individuals have relatively less schooling than younger individuals is exploited to construct instruments, and GNP per worker at the time an individual turned 16 is included to control for birth-cohort effects. The estimated return to schooling is about 15%. Ignoring the endogeneity of schooling results in a lower return to schooling. Ignoring birth-cohort effects results in a lower return to work experience. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 61-71 Issue: 1 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322985 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322985 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:1:p:61-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Kempa Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Kempa Title: Excess volatility of real exchange rates in the EMS: some evidence from structural VARs Abstract: This paper argues that the effectiveness of the exchange rate mechanism (ERM) of the European Monetary System (EMS) should be gauged by its impact on the monetary component of real exchange rate variability. Nominal and real shocks are separated using a bivariate structural VAR applied to real exchange rate data of the six original member countries participating in the ERM and a control group consisting of Britain and the United States. The findings suggest that monetary shocks have been an important source of real exchange rate variability and that the ERM has been successful in reducing the incidence of monetary shocks across its member countries prior to the EMS currency crises of 1992-93, while being less successful thereafter. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 73-79 Issue: 1 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322994 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:1:p:73-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: The control of politicians within a constitutional framework: the case of state-level recall provisions Abstract: As previously recognized, the structure of representative democracy is endogenous and the choice of constitutional provisions selected by such organizations is important. The present paper focuses on constitutional choices that work to control the behaviour of elected officials by examining the constitutional ease of recalling elected officials across the 50 states. After developing a numerical measure of the 'ease' with which registered voters can recall officials, ordinary logistic, ordered logistic and tobit models are employed to examine the factors of such an endogenous choice across states. The results are quite consistent with the theoretical models developed previously by public choice and constitutional scholars. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 81-89 Issue: 1 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400323001 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400323001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:1:p:81-89 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aklilu Zegeye Author-X-Name-First: Aklilu Author-X-Name-Last: Zegeye Author-Name: Larry Rosenblum Author-X-Name-First: Larry Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenblum Title: Measuring productivity in an imperfect world Abstract: Most measures of multifactor productivity (MFP) assume constant returns to scale and perfect competition. Using a general aggregate production function together with duality theory and allowing for the possibilities of disequilibrium, markups and economies of scale, the study derives a more generalized MFP measure. The model was used to assess the economic performance in US manufacturing for the 1949 to 1988 period. The results suggest that scale and markups have substantial power in explaining MFP growth for all periods and that half of the measured MFP growth (as measured within the conventional framework) comes from biases due to scale economies, market power, and interaction effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 91-104 Issue: 1 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400323010 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400323010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:1:p:91-104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edgar Morgenroth Author-X-Name-First: Edgar Author-X-Name-Last: Morgenroth Title: Exchange rates and trade: the case of Irish exports to Britain Abstract: This paper examines the effect of changes in the Punt/Sterling exchange rate on exports from Ireland to Britain. The approach used here differs significantly from that used in most other studies in that the long-run neutrality of the Punt/Sterling exchange rate with regard to exports from Ireland to Britain is tested using a recently developed technique. There is strong evidence that the exchange rate is neutral in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 107-110 Issue: 1 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400323029 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400323029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:1:p:107-110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ching-Fan Chung Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Mao-Wei Hung Author-X-Name-First: Mao-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: A general model for short-term interest rates Abstract: A general one-factor model for short-term interest rates is proposed. Besides the long memory fractionally integrated mean process, the model also consists of a power function of the interest rate as well as the GARCH effect in the conditional variance. The estimation results show that, while there is no evidence for fractional integration in the mean beyond the well-known martingale property, both the power function of the interest rate and the GARCH effect (but not the ARCH effect) are highly significant in the formation of the conditional variance. Test results also confirm a structure change in October 1979 due to the shift in the Federal Reserve monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 111-121 Issue: 2 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322813 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:111-121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Costas Milas Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Milas Title: Employment, output and political business cycle effects in the Greek non-tradable sector Abstract: Starting from a theoretical model with traded and non-traded goods, a long-run labour demand equation is identifed, with employment being proportional to relative output and prices. Using Greek data, the model supports weak exogeneity of relative prices and fiscal expansion with respect to the long-run parameters in the cointegrating space. It also highlights structural rigidities in the functioning of the Greek labour market. Political business cycle and partisan effects are shown to affect the short-run employment decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 123-133 Issue: 2 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322822 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:123-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Ross Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Ross Title: Post-stabilization inflation dynamics in Slovenia Abstract: This paper investigates the inflation process in Slovenia through an examination of some commonly used determinants of inflation in transition economies. Granger causality tests and an analysis of unrestricted VAR models suggest a strong linkage between both growth in broader monetary aggregates and changes in the tolar-deutsche mark exchange rate on retail price inflation. While the growth in wages affects inflation, it appears that both changes in the exchange rate and growth in monetary aggregates provide the initial impulse. A discussion of the present money-exchange rate policy framework and its influence on inflation is also provided. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 135-149 Issue: 2 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322831 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:135-149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Arghyrou Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Arghyrou Title: EU participation and the external trade of Greece: an appraisal of the evidence Abstract: This paper investigates the trade effects caused by the accession of Greece to the EU. A large part of the analysis is in terms of trade flows disaggregated by the 21 categories of the Greek Tariff Schedule. These series are original data sets which have been constructed by the author to be used here for the first time. The main message is that after 1981 events took a turn closer to the pessimistic pre-accession predictions. Our findings indicate that during the post-integration period the external trade of Greece has been reoriented towards the EU countries and Greece lost part of its comparative advantage in those sectors in which such an advantage exists. We also suggest that as far as imports are concerned, EU participation has caused gross trade creation for imports from the EU countries and gross trade diversion for imports from the Rest of the World. As far as exports are concerned, the results indicate that EU participation has caused only a modest increase in Greek exports to the EU market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 151-159 Issue: 2 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322840 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:151-159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gillian McCallion Author-X-Name-First: Gillian Author-X-Name-Last: McCallion Author-Name: J. Colin Glass Author-X-Name-First: J. Colin Author-X-Name-Last: Glass Author-Name: Robert Jackson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Jackson Author-Name: Christine Kerr Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Kerr Author-Name: Donal McKillop Author-X-Name-First: Donal Author-X-Name-Last: McKillop Title: Investigating productivity change and hospital size: a nonparametric frontier approach Abstract: The study obtains measures of the productive efficiency of 'larger' and 'smaller' Northern Ireland hospitals during the 1986-92 pre-Trust period. The measures provide insights into how these hospitals were responding to the pressures for increased efficiency prior to Trust status. They also constitute a useful benchmark for evaluating productivity change under the post-1992 Trust status environment. A nonparametric frontier approach is used to measure productivity change and to decompose this into technical change (or shifts in the best practice frontier) and efficiency change (or change in how far a hospital is from the frontier). The latter change in efficiency is also decomposed into changes in scale efficiency, pure technical efficiency and input congestion. The findings indicate that smaller hospitals, starting from a less efficient base, achieved greater productivity gains than larger hospitals over 1986-92. For smaller hospitals, this was due to progressive shifts in the best practice frontier outweighing a substantial decline in efficiency. This decline was found to be due to a deterioration in scale efficiency over the period. The results overall support the current policy view that larger hospitals are more efficient than smaller hospitals in providing health care services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 161-174 Issue: 2 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322859 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:161-174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Van Montfort Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Van Montfort Author-Name: Th. Doodeman Author-X-Name-First: Th. Author-X-Name-Last: Doodeman Author-Name: J. H. S. Lobregt Author-X-Name-First: J. H. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Lobregt Author-Name: W. S. Zwinkels Author-X-Name-First: W. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Zwinkels Title: Effects of reintegration activities on the Dutch labour market, regarding several levels of education Abstract: In the Netherlands during the early nineteen nineties social security administration offices and labour exchange offices decided to co-operate. Goal of this cooperation is to support the reintegration of unemployed people into the labour market and to shorten the individual spells of unemployment. As a result of the cooperation information is available about levels of education of the unemployed. This article primarely focuses on the effects of reintegration activities on the duration of unemployment for different levels of education. Results of the analysis are compared with the human capital theory. Also the question is discussed whether within the framework of the cooperation persons with a higher level of education have shorter spells of unemployment. Finally there is an analysis of the effects of activities undertaken by the unemployed themselves to find a job. People with a university degree have significant longer spells of unemployment. The reintegration activities of the social security administration offices shorten unemployment durations significantly for this group only. Activities undertaken by the unemployed themselves shorten the spells of unemployment for lower educated people (only primary education) and for persons with higher general secondary/secondary/intermediate vocational education as highest completed education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 175-182 Issue: 2 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322868 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:175-182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roderick Hill Author-X-Name-First: Roderick Author-X-Name-Last: Hill Author-Name: Muhammed Kabir Author-X-Name-First: Muhammed Author-X-Name-Last: Kabir Title: Currency demand and the growth of the underground economy in Canada, 1991-1995 Abstract: The extent to which the recent introduction of a value-added tax in Canada contributed to the growth of the underground economy remains controversial. If underground economy growth led to increased currency holdings and shifted the currency demand function, forecasts for the period after the introduction of the tax should tend to underestimate currency holdings. Using a cointegration-based error correction mechanism in vector autoregression models, currency demand is estimated using quarterly data for 1968-1990 and dynamic forecasts are made for 1991-1995. On average, currency demand is underpredicted, but by a small amount. The results are consistent with an increase in the underground economy of between 0.01 and 0.3% of GDP as a result of the new tax. If changes in marginal direct tax rates are considered, the underground economy may have grown between 0.1 and 0.7% of GDP in 1991-1995. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 183-192 Issue: 2 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322877 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322877 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:183-192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. M. Tomkins Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Tomkins Author-Name: J. Twomey Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Twomey Title: Occupational mobility in England Abstract: This paper examines evidence on occupational movement in England using data from the New Earnings Panel Dataset. Although most occupations are characterized by a high degree of immobility, there is some evidence of an increase in occupational mobility between 1990 and 1994. Using a compound Poisson modelling approach for count data combined with a gravity model, the paper investigates the incentives and constraints upon aggregate movement between occupations over two time periods, 1985-90 and 1990-94. Results suggest that the responsiveness of movement into a wide range of occupations as a result of a rise in wages is relatively elastic for males and relatively inelastic for females. The paper also demonstrates that significant barriers to movement exist, which either prevent a response to market signals or inhibit the extent of that response. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 193-209 Issue: 2 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322886 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:193-209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sari Pekkala Author-X-Name-First: Sari Author-X-Name-Last: Pekkala Title: Aggregate economic fluctuations and regional convergence: the Finnish case 1988-95 Abstract: This paper analyses the connection between aggregate economic fluctuations and regional productivity convergence in Finland during the period 1988-95. Markov chain transition matrices and mobility indices were used to examine the regional distribution of productivity. The results indicated that high intra-distribution mobility occurred during booms, when regional convergence potential was also at its highest. Conversely, recession years were characterized by much lower mobility and a more divergent regional pattern. These findings bear important implications in terms of regional policy planning, as it seems that poor regions do not manage to keep up with the rich ones during slumps, whereas regional disparities diminish naturally during boom years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 211-219 Issue: 2 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322895 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:211-219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Parker Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Parker Title: Opening a can of worms: the pitfalls of time-series regression analyses of income inequality Abstract: This paper argues that time-series regression analysis is of only very limited use for understanding the determinants of income inequality. The argument is based on a combination of results from the time series econometrics literature and several characteristics of inequality itself, principally nonstationarity of the data in most inequality regression models, and the weak theoretical foundations underlying the models. A sample of postwar US data is used to illustrate the problems involved. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 221-230 Issue: 2 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322903 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322903 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:221-230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Ellis Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Ellis Author-Name: D. Eric Schansberg Author-X-Name-First: D. Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Schansberg Title: The determinants of tenure on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors: should I stay or should I go? Abstract: This paper examines the quit behaviour of members of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. We find that the probability of a member continuing is lower when the member is an economist, when the member comes to the Board from the private sector, and when their policy views differ from the Board as a whole. In addition, we find evidence that the President can exert influence on the Fed by the power of appointment. And in contrast with what one might expect, we find that salaries on the Board relative to the private sector do not seem to be an important factor in determining the decision to continue service on the Board. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 231-237 Issue: 2 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322912 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322912 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:231-237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Barrett Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Barrett Author-Name: Aliakbar Olia Author-X-Name-First: Aliakbar Author-X-Name-Last: Olia Author-Name: Dee Von Bailey Author-X-Name-First: Dee Author-X-Name-Last: Von Bailey Title: Subdiscipline-specific journal rankings: whither Applied Economics? Abstract: In light of widespread specialization of research and teaching, it seems appropriate to supplement the existing general rankings of economics journals with subdiscipline-specific rankings. That is the primary objective of this paper. The availability of subdiscipline-specific rankings also permits both (i) alternative journal ranking methods for the general discipline that account for the breadth of a journal's impact across specialized fields, and (ii) estimation of the relative weights implicitly associated with each field in traditional disciplinary journal rankings. The results are robust to the exclusion of self-citations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 239-252 Issue: 2 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322921 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322921 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:2:p:239-252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Skoorka Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Skoorka Title: Measuring market distortion: international comparisons, policy and competitiveness Abstract: This paper develops a framework to simultaneously estimate production possibility frontiers and measure distortions in factor and product markets. The econometric results, based on a panel of 61 countries over the period 1970 through 1985, reveal very little distortion in factor markets but considerable distortion in product markets. In addition, the distortions tend to vary with the cyclical behaviour of economic activity. Further, the results suggest that in order to improve efficiency, commercial policy should aim at reducing product-market distortions rather than factor-market ones. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 253-264 Issue: 3 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322688 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322688 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:3:p:253-264 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Aguirre Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Aguirre Author-Name: Luis Antonio Aguirre Author-X-Name-First: Luis Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Aguirre Title: Time series analysis of monthly beef cattle prices with nonlinear autoregressive models Abstract: This paper analyses the dynamics underlying a time series of the monthly average beef cattle price received by producers in the State of Sao Paulo (Brazil). The time series under study records monthly prices since 1954. An exploratory analysis suggested that after a period of intense government intervention in the cattle and beef markets, the underlying dynamics seem to be settling to a pattern similar to the one observed prior to that period. In order to try to verify if the underlying dynamics after the interventionist phase are similar to those in former times, a forecasting procedure has been used based on nonlinear autoregressive models. This tye of models were used after the BDS test showed significant results which can be interpreted as nonlinearities in the data. The results discussed in the paper seem to suggest that after a period of intense interventions that lasted over two decades, the current underlying dynamics are close (from a forecasting point of view) to those observed more than thirty years ago. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 265-275 Issue: 3 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322697 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:3:p:265-275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Basil Dalamagas Author-X-Name-First: Basil Author-X-Name-Last: Dalamagas Title: Public sector and economic growth: the Greek experience Abstract: Over the past two decades there has been an increase in the relative size of the public sector, accompanied by a decline in the growth performance of the Greek economy. In an attempt to highlight the contribution of the government size to growth, an analytical framework is developed, incorporating the possibility that marginal factor productivities are not equal in the public and private sectors. Econometric analysis utilizing this framework points to a negative relationship between government size and economic growth. This seems to derive, in part, from intersectoral diseconomies generated by the growing share of deft-financed government activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 277-288 Issue: 3 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322705 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322705 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:3:p:277-288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hossein Jalilian Author-X-Name-First: Hossein Author-X-Name-Last: Jalilian Author-Name: Matthew Odedokun Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Odedokun Title: Equipment and non-equipment private investment: a generalized Solow model Abstract: The study is an empirical attempt to shed light on which categories of private fixed investment could be relied on to provide the greatest stimulus to economic growth. Panel data, comprising 5-year periodic data over the period 1965-90 pooled across 55 countries, are employed in estimating the model through the fixed-effect technique. In addition to human capital investment ratio, five categories of private fixed investment ratios are tested for. Findings suggest that not all types of investments are conducive to growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 289-296 Issue: 3 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322714 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322714 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:3:p:289-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Frequency domain and time series properties of asymmetric error correction terms Abstract: The now familiar error correction model has recently been extended to allow for the modelling of asymmetric behaviour, resulting in the development of the asymmetric error correction model. Previous workers have undertaken studies upon which the 'classic', implicitly symmetric, error correction model was developed. It was found that the Escribo-Pfann method approach detected significant asymmetries while the Granger-Lee did not. In this paper the properties of the alternative methods are analysed in detail to examine why one method met with success, but not the other. Via the use of estimated sample spectral densities and correlograms, a significant property of the Granger-Lee method is uncovered. This property, particularly relevant in application to consumers' expenditure, has a wider relevance, helping explain why the approach has met with limited success. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 297-304 Issue: 3 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322723 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322723 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:3:p:297-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Werner Smolny Author-X-Name-First: Werner Author-X-Name-Last: Smolny Title: Sources of productivity growth: an empirical analysis with German sectoral data Abstract: Many theoretical analyses of the sources of economic growth focus on knowledge spillovers and scale economies to explain growth endogenously. The contribution of this paper is to shed some light on these arguments by an empirical investigation based on a production function framework. Sectoral production functions are estimated with annual German data of 51 sectors from 1960-90. The estimates reveal that both a pure Solow growth model and a Solow model augmented with human capital cannot account for the observed productivity increases. The model should be extended by allowing for inter-industry spillovers and scale economies at the aggregate level, as well as for scale economies associated with human capital at the sectoral level. The business cycle affects observed productivity changes in the short run and in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 305-314 Issue: 3 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322732 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:3:p:305-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Forrest Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Forrest Author-Name: O. David Gulley Author-X-Name-First: O. David Author-X-Name-Last: Gulley Author-Name: Robert Simmons Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Simmons Title: Testing for rational expectations in the UK National Lottery Abstract: The concept of rational expectations has typically been assumed, without testing, in the analysis of consumer demand and market efficiency in betting markets, including betting on lottery games. Lottery games offer an excellent opportunity to test how participants process the information that is available to them. Using the UK National Lottery as our particular case, we find that participants, in general, efficiently process available information. Specifically, they act as if they can, on average, forecast the level of sales for a given drawing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 315-326 Issue: 3 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322741 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322741 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:3:p:315-326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dragan Miljkovic Author-X-Name-First: Dragan Author-X-Name-Last: Miljkovic Author-Name: Rodney Paul Author-X-Name-First: Rodney Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: Roberto Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Title: Income effects on the trade balance in small open economies Abstract: The objective is to determine the causes of the countercyclicality of the trade balance in five small open economies, namely Austria, France, Italy, Spain, and Switzerland. In order to investigate the role of permanent and temporary changes in income in the determination of the trade balance, Blanchard-Quah variance decomposition procedure is applied. The results of analysis support the conclusion that transitory income shocks are major reasons for the change in the trade balance, and that negative correlation between the trade balance and income is primarily due to transitory shocks. Thus, these results are more consistent with intertemporal models with the dichotomous view in which the aggregate demand shocks are responsible for cyclical variations in the trade balance and income and aggregate supply is responsible for the long-run growth of the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 327-333 Issue: 3 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322750 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:3:p:327-333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Pagan Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Pagan Author-Name: Jose Tijerina-Guajardo Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Tijerina-Guajardo Title: Increasing wage dispersion and the changes in relative employment and wages in Mexico's urban informal sector: 1987-1993 Abstract: This study analyses the role of changes in informal/formal relative employment, wage levels and wage inequality in explaining increasing wage dispersion in Mexico during the 1987-1993 period. From 1987 to 1993, the variance of the log of hourly wages for Mexican workers increased by more than 50 per cent. Using data from the Encuesta nacional de empleo urbano we find that this increase in the overall wage dispersion was mainly driven by increasing wage dispersion in the formal sector coupled with a faster growth in formal sector employment as a percentage of total employment. However, compression in the distribution of wages within the informal sector contributed to substantially slowdown the increasing overall wage inequality. About 60 per cent of the 1987-1993 4.65 percentage point reduction in the informal sector share of total employment is explained by changes in the structure that determines sectoral employment; the rest is explained by changes in the composition of the labour force, particularly increases in the sectoral education gap and a change in the regional relative share of sectoral employment. Also, from 1987 to 1993 the sectoral wage ratio increased from 0.59 to 0.63. It seems that a relative improvement in unobserved skills in the informal sector helped to close the wage differential but this effect was partially offset by an increase in the relative prices of both observed and unobserved skills, as well as increases in relative observed skills in the formal sector, particularly education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 335-347 Issue: 3 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322769 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322769 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:3:p:335-347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arne Nygaard Author-X-Name-First: Arne Author-X-Name-Last: Nygaard Author-Name: Ingunn Myrtveit Author-X-Name-First: Ingunn Author-X-Name-Last: Myrtveit Title: Moral hazard, competition and contract design: empirical evidence from managerial, franchised and entrepreneurial businesses in Norway Abstract: Agency theory emphasizes the role of ownership, control and incentives in encouraging managers to improve efficiency. Owners often tie managers to contracts that reduce conflict of interest between owners and managers. The differences between alternative business ownership structures have been investigated. According to theory, we expect managers with an outcome-dependent dealer contract to be more efficient than managers with a more integrated and less performance based employee dealer contract. We also analyse how competitive pressure might reduce the moral hazard problem and therefore affect contract design. Berle and Means (The Modern Corporation and Private Property, Macmillan, New York, 1932) long ago stated that the market mechanism could constrain the agency problem. Even so, this problem has scarcely been investigated empirically. This paper also considers the contractual effect of potential monitoring costs, education and relationship age in a model tested on data from 175 dealer contracts in a multinational oil company. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 349-356 Issue: 3 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322778 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:3:p:349-356 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Benson Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Benson Author-Name: Brent Mast Author-X-Name-First: Brent Author-X-Name-Last: Mast Author-Name: David Rasmussen Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Rasmussen Title: Can police deter drunk driving? Abstract: Economic studies using aggregate data generally find that higher taxes are the most effective policy to reduce drunk driving while criminologists report strong evidence supporting law enforcement measures in policy evaluations. This paper evaluates these differing perspectives using the aggregate data that is typically used in the economic literature. OLS and fixed effects models show that police can affect the probability of arrest for drunk driving and, in combination with evidence from DUI deterrence experiments, this suggests that the failure of economic models to detect deterrence reflects the lack of systematic and sustained police efforts against DUI. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 357-366 Issue: 3 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322787 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322787 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:3:p:357-366 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nieves Lazaro Author-X-Name-First: Nieves Author-X-Name-Last: Lazaro Author-Name: MaLuisa Molto Author-X-Name-First: MaLuisa Author-X-Name-Last: Molto Author-Name: Rosario Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Rosario Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez Title: Unemployment and consumption patterns Abstract: In this paper we obtain empirical evidence about the effect of female and male unemployment on household demand of a selection of goods and services. We analyse the percentage of the family income expenditure on a particular group of goods concerning education, domestic services, leisure goods, hotels etc. The impact of several determinants on each group of commodities is estimated using a Tobit specification. The data used for estimation have been taken from The Household Expenditure Survey (1990-91). Our main result is that male and female unemployment has a different impact on the household consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 367-379 Issue: 3 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322796 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:3:p:367-379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joshy Easaw Author-X-Name-First: Joshy Author-X-Name-Last: Easaw Author-Name: Dean Garratt Author-X-Name-First: Dean Author-X-Name-Last: Garratt Title: Elections and UK government expenditure cycles in the 1980s: an empirical analysis Abstract: This paper tests whether there exists any significant difference in the responsiveness of UK government expenditure policy to changes in national income and unemployment in pre- and post-election periods. The absence of such a political effect would see the national income and unemployment elasticities for government expenditure being uniform over an election period. The empirical analysis deliberately covers the three UK Conservative governments between 1979 and 1992 when academic debate on the implications of discretionary policy for the economy and social welfare were particularly prominent and when it appeared that political rhetoric concurred with the academic prescriptions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 381-391 Issue: 3 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322804 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:3:p:381-391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rubiana Chamarbagwala Author-X-Name-First: Rubiana Author-X-Name-Last: Chamarbagwala Author-Name: Sunder Ramaswamy Author-X-Name-First: Sunder Author-X-Name-Last: Ramaswamy Author-Name: Phanindra Wunnava Author-X-Name-First: Phanindra Author-X-Name-Last: Wunnava Title: The role of foreign capital in domestic manufacturing productivity: empirical evidence from Asian economies Abstract: The paper empirically examines the relative contribution of foreign and domestic machinery and equipment on manufacturing productivity in seven Asian economies. A Cobb-Douglas production function is used to test whether foreign machinery is more productive than domestic machinery. The study is based on a pooled cross-sectional time-series model, including seven countries - Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, Malaysia, Indonesia, the Philippines and India - for the years 1975 to 1990. The results support the hypothesis that a country's stage of development, skill-level of its labour force, and the technology embodied in capital play a crucial role in determining the relative impact of foreign and domestic capital on manufacturing productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 393-398 Issue: 4 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322561 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:4:p:393-398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Arestis Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Arestis Author-Name: Iris Biefang-Frisancho Mariscal Author-X-Name-First: Iris Biefang-Frisancho Author-X-Name-Last: Mariscal Title: OECD unemployment: structural breaks and stationarity Abstract: The paper is concerned with testing the unemployment rate of twenty two OECD countries for stationarity. A sequential testing procedure was applied where the break data is endogenized. Three different models were tested for unit roots. It was found that the 'crash' model, which allows for a shift in the level of the unemployment rate, was most relevant. Furthermore, most breaks were associated with the first oil price shock. Results suggest that in nine countries the unit root can be rejected, in ten countries the null hypothesis cannot be rejected and in three cases the results suggest possible trend stationarity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 399-403 Issue: 4 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322570 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:4:p:399-403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: The transmission mechanism of business cycles among Germany, Japan, the UK and the USA Abstract: The study analyses the interdependent relationships of business cycles among four major countries using LA-VAR methods. The results are compared with results obtained using a standard VAR model. For the total sample (1962-1995), it is found that the economies of individual countries move independently and that inter-dependence is weak. However, causality from the USA to Japan, and from Japan to Germany can be observed. It is also found that the ripple effect differs in the first (1962-1973) and second (1973-1995) sample periods. A change in the international ripple effect on the business cycle may have occurred at the time of the first oil crisis. These results are almost robust to the empirical techniques employed in the analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 405-410 Issue: 4 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322589 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:4:p:405-410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Aghdas Mirzai Author-X-Name-First: Aghdas Author-X-Name-Last: Mirzai Title: Real and nominal effective exchange rates for developing countries: 1973:1-1997:3 Abstract: The International Monetary Fund construct and publish real and nominal effective exchange rate data, mostly for developed countries. In this paper real and nominal effective rate data for developing countries are constructed. Application of the KPSS test to real effective rate data reveals that PPP holds in most countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 411-428 Issue: 4 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322598 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322598 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:4:p:411-428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Duncan Watson Author-X-Name-First: Duncan Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: UK wage underpayment: implications for the minimum wage Abstract: Dynamic monopsony suggests that, due to labour market frictions, workers will be paid below their productivity. This paper uses the stochastic frontier technique to estimate the degree of this underpayment for UK employees. It finds evidence of significant underpayment. The estimates are used to examine whether the predictions of dynamic monopsony are empirically accurate. No conclusive evidence against this theoretical framework is found. The paper also investigates whether payment according to productivity is a sufficient condition for the elimination of the 'working poor' problem. Due to the existence of an unemployment barrier, it finds that the minimum wage is not an effective anti-poverty policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 429-440 Issue: 4 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322606 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322606 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:4:p:429-440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-Hua Shen Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Estimation of a Taiwan monetary reaction function with time varying parameters Abstract: This paper employs a nonlinear Kalman filter to examine the time-varying responses of Taiwan's monetary policy in the presence of a limited dependent variable. The Kalman filtered parameters reveal that the responses are not constant but change over time. Furthermore, a counter-cyclical reaction function is identified and a stronger than usual discretionary policy during the recessions is found. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 459-466 Issue: 4 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322624 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322624 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:4:p:459-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mercedes Gumbau-Albert Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Gumbau-Albert Title: Efficiency and technical progress: sources of convergence in the Spanish regions Abstract: The paper analyses the contribution of efficiency as a mechanism of labour productivity convergence, taking as the unit of analysis the Spanish regions in the period 1964-1993. Using the stochastic frontier approach, a translogarithmic production function is estimated for the different sectors of the Spanish regional economy, demonstrating on this basis the existence of substantial differences in efficiency between sectors as well as between regions. With regard to convergence, the results obtained indicate that at aggregate level the convergence observed in labour productivity is explained by the faster growth of the capital-labour ratio of the initially poorer regions and the contribution of technical change and the efficiency, hence by the convergence of TFP. However, the information by sectors shows different results. Thus, on the one hand, the importance of the convergence in production per employee is seen in all sectors except agriculture and, on the other it is observed that technical change is a factor of convergence in all sectors but construction, and, qualitatively, the contribution of technical change is greater than the contribution of efficiency. By sectors, technical change contributed significantly to labour productivity convergence in agriculture, but the faster growth of the capital-labour ratio of the rich regions acted as a mechanism of divergence, completely counteracting the technological catching-up effect. It is further concluded that, as well as the contribution of the accumulation of factors, the positive evolution of efficiency in the poorest regions favoured convergence in the construction and industry sectors, whereas technical progress was decisive in industry and the services sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 467-478 Issue: 4 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322633 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:4:p:467-478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Afonso Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Afonso Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Title: Convergence in Brazil: recent trends and long-run prospects Abstract: This paper applies to the analysis of the interstate income distribution in Brazil a set of techniques that have been widely used in the current empirical literature on growth and convergence. Usual measures of dispersion in the interstate income distribution (the coefficient of variation and Theil's index) suggest that sigma-convergence was an unequivocal feature of the regional growth experience in Brazil, between 1970 and 1986. After 1986, the process of convergence seems, however, to have slowed down almost to a halt. A standard growth model is shown to fit the regional data well and to explain a substantial amount of the variation in growth rates, providing estimates of the speed of (conditional) beta-convergence of approximately 3% p.a. Different estimates of the long-run distribution implied by the recent growth trends point towards further reductions in the interstate income inequality, but also suggest that the relative per capita incomes of a significant number of states and the number of 'very poor' and 'poor' states were, in 1995, already quite close to their steady-state values. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 479-489 Issue: 4 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322642 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:4:p:479-489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nephil Matangi Maskay Author-X-Name-First: Nephil Matangi Author-X-Name-Last: Maskay Title: A cautionary note in using patterns of shocks to determine optimal exchange rate policy. An exploration of Nepalese and Indian exchange rate relations: 1964-1994 Abstract: Nepal and India are developing countries in Asia whose (hard) peg has existed for almost forty years as well as no restriction on capital mobility between both countries. However, empirical results suggest that Nepal and India do not face symmetric patterns of shocks and are thus not suitable for a fixed exchange rate under this criteria. One possible explanation may be that the monetary authority plays some role in the short run to reduce the cost of the exchange rate regime. This suggests that some caution should be used in basing optimal exchange rate policy on this single criteria. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 491-497 Issue: 4 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322651 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322651 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:4:p:491-497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christine Lim Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Michael McAleer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McAleer Title: A seasonal analysis of Asian tourist arrivals to Australia Abstract: Rapid economic growth in South-East and East Asia has seen a surge in tourist arrivals from this region to Australia in the 1990s, prior to the currency crisis in late 1997. The purpose of the paper is to use Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models to explain the nonstationary seasonally unadjusted quarterly tourist arrivals from Hong Kong and Singapore to Australia from 1975(1) to 1996(4). As the tourist arrivals series display strong seasonal patterns, deterministic and stochastic seasonality are examined as possible explanations for variations in the international tourist arrivals series. The Hylleberg et al. (Journal of Econometrics, 99, pp. 215-38, 1990) test for seasonal unit roots is used to examine stochastic seasonality in the various series. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 499-509 Issue: 4 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322660 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322660 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:4:p:499-509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Coady Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Coady Author-Name: Limin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Limin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Incentives, allocation and labour-market reforms during transition: the case of urban China, 1986-1990 Abstract: Has the reform process in China resulted in the introduction of incentives directed at a more efficient allocation of resources? Using data on individual earnings in urban Liaoning province for the period 1986-1990 and a wage-equation approach, we address this issue in the context of labour-market reforms, focusing specifically on returns to education. Our results indicate that failure to address the issue of endogenous selection of more 'able' individuals into state-owned enterprises (SOEs) can severely bias returns downwards. Unlike in SOEs, returns in collective-owned enterprises (COEs) increased, the latter having been allowed to 'grow out of the plan' more quickly and subject to more competition in factor and product markets. We conclude that decentralization without competition is unlikely to result in the introduction of an efficient incentive mechanism. The more administratively determined regular wages are one avenue for increased returns. We find evidence of 'differentiated bonuses' in COEs, but we cannot reject the hypothesis of 'bonus sharing' in SOEs. Reforms which face SOEs with more competitive markets (e.g. reform of in-kind benefits such as housing) should have substantial benefits in terms of a more efficient allocation of labour both within and across enterprises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 511-526 Issue: 4 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322679 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:4:p:511-526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magda Kandil Author-X-Name-First: Magda Author-X-Name-Last: Kandil Title: Demand Shift across US Industries and the Stabilizing Function of Nominal Wage and Price Flexibility. Abstract: Nominal wage and price adjustments in response to demand shocks are likely to determine industrial output variability. The direction of this relationship is complicated, however, by demand and supply factors. The empirical investigation across a sample of private industries in the United States produces the following evidence. Price flexibility moderates the response of the output supplied to a given shift in industrial demand. Similarly, nominal wage flexibility moderates, although insignificantly, the output response to a given shift in industrial demand. The size of industrial demand shifts dominates, however, supply-side constraints in differentiating output fluctuations across industries. While price flexibility moderates shifts in industrial demand in response to aggregate demand shocks, these shifts are larger the higher the nominal wage flexibility across industries. The combined supply and demand effects differentiate the stabilizing function of nominal wage and price flexibility. Nominal wage flexibility increases output fluctuations in response to aggregate demand shocks. In contrast, output fluctuations are smaller the larger the price adjustment to demand shocks across industries. Given the endogeneity of price flexibility, it is necessary to control for variation in demand variability in order to reveal the stabilizing effect of price flexibility on output across industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 441-458 Issue: 4 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322615 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:4:p:441-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terry Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: Electricity pool prices: a case study in nonlinear time-series modelling Abstract: This paper considers modelling the behaviour of prices in the English and Welsh wholesale electricity Pool since the creation of this spot market in 1990. The process turns out to be nonlinear and a logistic smooth transition autoregressive model is fitted and shown to be superior to a linear alternative. The behaviour of the estimated model is discussed, and it is seen that nonlinearity is needed to describe the institutional characteristics and historical path of pool prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 527-532 Issue: 5 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322435 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:5:p:527-532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Kollias Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Kollias Author-Name: Stelios Makrydakis Author-X-Name-First: Stelios Author-X-Name-Last: Makrydakis Title: Tax and spend or spend and tax? Empirical evidence from Greece, Spain, Portugal and Ireland Abstract: The paper examines empirically the relationship between government revenues and expenditures in four European countries: Greece, Spain, Ireland, and Portugal. In relative terms all four may be considered as the poorest members of the European Union. Yet, they present a fairly diverse picture as far as their macroeconomic performance and fiscal position is concerned. The empirical findings from cointegration and causality tests that are reported here indicate that in the case of Greece and Ireland tax and spending decisions are taken simultaneously by the fiscal authority, the tax-and-spend hypothesis is supported in the case of Spain, while absence of any causal ordering between government expenditure and tax revenues has been established for Portugal. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 533-546 Issue: 5 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322444 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:5:p:533-546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Robst Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Robst Author-Name: Jack Keil Author-X-Name-First: Jack Author-X-Name-Last: Keil Title: The relationship between athletic participation and academic performance: evidence from NCAA Division III Abstract: This paper examines athletes' grades and graduation rates at an NCAA Division III institution. Thirty-seven per cent of all college athletes compete in Division III, yet this group has received little attention in the literature. Nontransfer student-athletes have higher GPAs than nonathletes, while transfer student-athletes have grades similar to nonathletes. Graduation rates are higher for athletes. Thus, athletic participation does not impair students' academic performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 547-558 Issue: 5 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322453 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:5:p:547-558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fiona Carmichael Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Carmichael Author-Name: Robert Ward Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Ward Title: Youth unemployment and crime in the English regions and Wales Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between unemployment and crime in England and Wales taking account of both age and gender in the unemployment measures. The study is for 1985-95 and is disaggregated to the regional level. We allow for different types of crime and the deterrence effects of detection and punishment. We also consider the relationship between ethnicity and crime in the light of the contentious public debate on this issue. Our results indicate that there is a systematic positive relationship between burglary rates and male unemployment regardless of age. However, we find that while youth unemployment is consistently and positively related to criminal damage and robbery rates there is no systematic evidence of a relationship between adult male unemployment and these specific crimes. Instead our evidence supports a positive link between adult unemployment and theft. We find no compelling evidence of a link between ethnicity and crime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 559-571 Issue: 5 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322462 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:5:p:559-571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wim Groot Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Groot Author-Name: Henriette Maassen Vann De Brink Author-X-Name-First: Henriette Maassen Vann Author-X-Name-Last: De Brink Title: Education, training and employability Abstract: Two hypotheses are tested: (1) education and training increase the employability of workers at other tasks within the firm and reduce the need for help from supervisors when workers encounter small problems, and (2) greater employability and problem solving capability increase wages. The empirical results show that greater employability and problem solving capability are independent from each other. Formal work-related training increases employability. Workers in jobs requiring no induction training are less employable at other jobs or departments. Both general and specific human capital increase the ability of workers to solve problems on their own. Greater employability does not increase wages. Male workers who solve problems on their own earn more than men who need help from others. The effects of human capital variables on employability and problem solving capability do not differ between and men and women. However, it is found that the ability to solve problems on one's own has a pay off for men but not for women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 573-581 Issue: 5 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322471 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:5:p:573-581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosario Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Rosario Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez Author-Name: Luis Toharia Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Toharia Title: Temporary workers and productivity: the case of Spain Abstract: The primary focus of this paper is on efficiency wages and their testable implications. In particular the nature of the relationship between efficiency wages, productivity and the make up of the labour force is analysed, modelled and subjected to an empirical test. This theory is consistent with the views of many managers and personal administrators, who tend to ascribe primary importance in wage setting to indirect control of the firm's workforce. Here we test a labour augmenting production function where effort depends not only on wages but also on the proportion of temporary workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 583-591 Issue: 5 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322480 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:5:p:583-591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Arokiasamy Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Arokiasamy Author-Name: Ike Mathur Author-X-Name-First: Ike Author-X-Name-Last: Mathur Author-Name: Subhash Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Subhash Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: Effects of US money announcements on the daily exchange rates of industrialized countries Abstract: This paper examines the effects of anticipated and unanticipated components of US money supply announcements on exchange rates for each day of the week for eight industrialized countries. The results show that most of the reaction to the anticipated component occurs before the announcement. However, the unanticipated component of the announcement causes strong reactions on the Friday and the Monday following the announcement, and in the days preceding the announcement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 593-599 Issue: 5 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322499 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:5:p:593-599 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcel Cohen Author-X-Name-First: Marcel Author-X-Name-Last: Cohen Title: The impact of brand selection on price competition - a double-edged sword Abstract: Brand selection - the number of alternative brands of a particular product - is a double-edged sword in that on the one hand it increases rivalry and so stimulates price competition but on the other hand it causes consumers to be poorly informed and thus vulnerable to exploitation and so dampens price competition. This phenomenon is demonstrated analytically and empirically, with analytical work based on Hotelling's unit market line. Using price dispersion as a measure of the state of price competition, it is shown that a widening in price dispersion, that is, a lessening of price competition, arises from an increase in brand selection. Any increase in the number of alternative brands on offer (brand selection) causes an increase in 'DIF-ness' (Distortion in Information Function) which in turn causes an increase in price dispersion (a lessening of price competition). The phenomenon is demonstrated empirically through a small survey of household beverages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 601-609 Issue: 5 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322507 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:5:p:601-609 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haiyan Song Author-X-Name-First: Haiyan Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Peter Romilly Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Romilly Author-Name: Xiaming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: An empirical study of outbound tourism demand in the UK Abstract: A general to specific methodology is used to construct UK demand for outbound tourism models to twelve destinations. A tourism destination preference index is introduced to take into account social, cultural and psychological influences on tourists' decisions concerning their overseas holiday destinations. The tests support the existence of a cointegration relationship for each of 11 UK overseas holiday destinations. The corresponding error correction models are estimated. The empirical results show that the long-run income elasticities for all destinations range from 1.70 to 3.90 with an average of 2.367. The lowest and highest short-run income elasticities are 1.05 and 3.78 respectively, with an average of 2.216. The estimates of the income elasticities imply that overseas holidays are highly income elastic while the own-price elasticities suggest that the demand for UK outbound tourism is relatively own-price inelastic. In terms of the significance of substitution prices in the regression equations, Ireland is the favourite substitute destination for UK outbound tourists. Ex post forecasts over a period of six years are generated from the ECM models and the results compared with those of a naive model, an AR(1) model, an ARMA(p,q) model, and a VAR model. The forecasting performance criteria show that the ECM model has the best overall forecasting performance for UK outbound tourism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 611-624 Issue: 5 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322516 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322516 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:5:p:611-624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Young-Yong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young-Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jin-Seok Park Author-X-Name-First: Jin-Seok Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Sangphill Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sangphill Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Korean inflation during the US military administration of 1945-1948: a further analysis Abstract: This paper investigates the dynamic process of Korean inflation under the US military administration using a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) incorporating cointegration relations among the variables. The results show that government expenditure shocks are primarily responsible for price movements together with money demand shocks having noticeable short-run impacts. The study also shows that government expenditure shocks are the most important source of fluctuations in each of the other variables investigated. The paper concludes that a reform of fiscal and monetary system is necessary to stop the sustaining process of inflation as well as fluctuations in other macro-variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 625-633 Issue: 5 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322525 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:5:p:625-633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. S. Maddala Author-X-Name-First: G. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Maddala Author-Name: S. Wu Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Cross-country growth regressions: problems of heterogeneity, stability and interpretation Abstract: The paper discusses the issues of heterogeneity and stability of cross-country growth regressions that have been used to study the problem of convergence. Almost all studies use pooled regressions. The paper considers the issue of pooling under heterogeneity using a hierarchical Bayesian method and estimates growth regressions for different panels studied in earlier papers, and different regimes. The conclusion is that the convergence rates are higher than those obtained from pooled regressions under the assumption of homogeneity and that there is instability over time in the relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 635-642 Issue: 5 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322534 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:5:p:635-642 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mandy Ryan Author-X-Name-First: Mandy Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Author-Name: Julie Ratcliffe Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Ratcliffe Title: Some issues in the application of closed-ended willingness to pay studies to valuing health goods: an application to antenatal care in Scotland Abstract: Limited resources coupled with unlimited demands means that decisions have to be made concerning the allocation of scarce health care resources. The economic instrument of willingness to pay (WTP) is one instrument that can be used to help this decision-making process. Recommendations from the environmental economics literature suggest that the closed end (CE) WTP approach should be used. This approach is just beginning to be used to value health goods. This paper addresses the sensitivity of the closed-ended WTP approach to three issues: the design of the bid vector; the upper and lower limits of integration; and the method of analysis. These are discussed with reference to a study looking at the value of alternative models of ante-natal care in Scotland. The results are discussed and conclusions made concerning the use of the CE WTP instrument for valuing health goods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 643-651 Issue: 5 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322543 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:5:p:643-651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Cushing Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Cushing Author-Name: Buhong Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Buhong Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Re-evaluating differences in poverty among central city, suburban, and nonmetropolitan areas of the US Abstract: Poverty in the United States varies greatly by location. The difference in poverty intensity among locations, however, has only been evaluated by the official poverty measure - the headcount ratio - which has several drawbacks. The official poverty statistics also suffer from use of a single, arbitrary poverty line. This paper uses a recently-developed distribution-sensitive measure of poverty and 1990 census data to reconsider the difference among central city, suburban, and nonmetropolitan poverty levels, as well as differences among US regions. Instead of using a single, arguable poverty line, this paper lets the poverty line vary over an income range so that conclusions are more robust. We check for significance of differences across locations by applying some recently-developed methods of statistical inference. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 653-660 Issue: 5 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322552 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:5:p:653-660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredrik Carlsson Author-X-Name-First: Fredrik Author-X-Name-Last: Carlsson Author-Name: Olof Johansson-Stenman Author-X-Name-First: Olof Author-X-Name-Last: Johansson-Stenman Title: Willingness to pay for improved air quality in Sweden Abstract: The aim of the paper is to quantify individual willingness-to-pay measures of improved air quality in Sweden by using the Contingent Valuation Method (CVM). Such measures are important for policy makers when deciding about public investments and policy instruments in order to regulate environmental impacts, e.g. from road transportation and industry. The mean willingness to pay (WTP) for a 50% reduction of harmful substances where the respondents live and work was about 2000 SEK/year, which is of the same order of magnitude as earlier stated preference studies in Nordic countries. Most parameters in the econometric analysis had the expected sign. WTP was increasing in income, wealth and education; it was larger for men, members of environmental organizations, people living in big cities (which are on average more polluted), and people who own their house or apartment. It was lower for retired people. However, the additional WTP for people in big cities, although significantly higher than for other people, was lower than expected, indicating a possible insensitivity-to-scope effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 661-669 Issue: 6 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322273 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:6:p:661-669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kathleen Dorsainvil Author-X-Name-First: Kathleen Author-X-Name-Last: Dorsainvil Title: Collapsing exchange rate regimes in the presence of a parallel market Abstract: This paper develops a model of an economy where the fixed exchange rate is overvalued and coexists with a parallel market for foreign currency. Such a situation persists because the parallel marker is used by the central authorities as an instrument to delay policy changes. Using the Haitian experience, this paper estimates a rationing parameter of foreign currency in the official market which translates the extent of tolerance of the parallel market. The paper also produces estimates of onestep-ahead probability of devaluation. Rationing has been severe and the probability of collapse has reached high levels during the period studied. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 671-680 Issue: 6 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322282 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322282 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:6:p:671-680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Resignato Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Resignato Title: Violent crime: a function of drug use or drug enforcement? Abstract: An assumption of many national drug control policies is the existence of a causal relationship between illegal drug use and violent crime. However, robust empirical findings supporting this relationship are scarce. Alternatively, there is extensive research, much of it in economics, which suggests that there may actually be a stronger causal relationship between drug enforcement/control/prohibition and violent crime than drug use and criminal violence. The paper presents some of the research pertaining to the relationship between illegal drugs and violent crime. In addition, a violent crime model is empirically tested using data from 24 Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) in the United States to determine the nature and strength of this relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 681-688 Issue: 6 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322291 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322291 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:6:p:681-688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weiren Wang Author-X-Name-First: Weiren Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Evaluating the technical efficiency of large US law firms Abstract: We conduct a performance evaluation in terms of technical efficiency of large law firms based on a unique sample of 163 large law firms in the USA in 1994. To estimate technical efficiency for individual firms, we use the stochastic frontier production function with composed errors where output (measured in terms of revenue) is a function of various labour and human capital inputs. Based on the sample, the average level of technical efficiency in the production of legal service in large US law firms is estimated at 82.20%. More than 87% of the firms attained 75% or higher level of technical efficiency. The estimation results also indicate that the number of lawyers, the number of paralegals, and the number of associates per partner, have a positive and statistically significant effect on the production of legal service. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 689-695 Issue: 6 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322309 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322309 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:6:p:689-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yue Fang Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: Seasonality in foreign exchange volatility Abstract: The paper reports further empirical evidence on seasonality in foreign exchange volatility using high-frequency data. Using a basis of the signal plus noise framework, the approach decomposes tick-by-tick Reuters FXFX quotes into a random walk and a stationary component, termed the efficient price and the pricing error, respectively. The efficient price is not directly observable and is an approximation of the 'true' value. The pricing error captures the deviation between the observed indicative quote and the efficient price. Under the proposed model, daily and intraday volatilities of the efficient price are estimated. A pronounced pattern of volatility is uncovered and appears related to the daily activity cycle of major organized stock exchanges. It is argued that seasonality in volatility is a symptom of foreign exchange markets. Results confirm Andersen and Bollerslev's findings that significant seasonal effects are one important determinant of overall volatility at high frequencies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 697-703 Issue: 6 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322318 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322318 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:6:p:697-703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: A. E. H. Speight Author-X-Name-First: A. E. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: Threshold nonlinearities in unemployment rates: further evidence for the UK and G3 economies Abstract: The paper appraises the in-sample and out-of-sample adequacy of linear AR and nonlinear SETAR models of unemployment rates for Germany, Japan, the UK and the US. Tests are reported for the presence and specification of threshold nonlinearities, SETAR model estimates, limiting dynamic properties and residual diagnostics, and out-of-sample forecasting performance. In-sample, threshold non-linearities are confirmed to be strongly present for the UK, US and Germany, and more marginally so for Japan. Out-of-sample, excepting Japan, SETAR models provide superior onestep-ahead forecast on RMSE grounds, most notably for the US. Final tests indicate that these models exhibit predictive accuracy in the sense of parameter and residual variance stability, implying the potential for exploitation of such nonlinearity in official forecasting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 705-715 Issue: 6 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322327 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322327 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:6:p:705-715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cihan Bilginsoy Author-X-Name-First: Cihan Author-X-Name-Last: Bilginsoy Title: Bid dispersion, competition and wage regulation: some field evidence from public contract bidding in British Columbia Abstract: The paper uses data from British Columbia to show that bid dispersion (the difference between the winning and next-lowest bids) in public school construction contract bidding is very compact, and that it varies inversely with the degree of competition. It also examines the impact of the Skill Development and Fair Wage Law (SDFWP), which promulgated wage scales and required contractors to pay them in public construction projects, on the bid dispersion. Multivariate analysis shows that bid dispersion declined after SDFWP. One possible interpretation of this result is that the contractors became less prone to the winner's curse following the SDFWP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 717-722 Issue: 6 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322336 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:6:p:717-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed. Asseery Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed. Author-X-Name-Last: Asseery Title: External military threat and the response of the member states of the Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) Abstract: The study shows that procurements of traditional arms by two countries have the possibility of moving together over time. This is demonstrated with reference to Iran and the member states of the Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) for the period 1961- 1996. Acquiring arms by the member states of the GCC is shown to be only a response to the perception of their leaders to the external threat posed by Iran throughout the varying regimes that have ruled Teheran. In the light of the recent emergence of macroeconomic problems such as unemployment in the economies of the GCC coupled with the ineffectiveness of the financially exhausting build-up of arms as a military deterrent policy, one important implication of the study is that the priority of the GCC leaders will have to turn to a more effective deterrent policy such as acquiring nuclear technology rather than engaging in a costly and unsuccessful Arab military alliance as experienced in the 1970s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 723-728 Issue: 6 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322345 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:6:p:723-728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shew-Jiuan Su Author-X-Name-First: Shew-Jiuan Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: A censored system of cigarette and alcohol consumption Abstract: Many previous studies of US cigarette and alcohol consumption have focused on single equations. However, the addictive nature of consumption suggests that it is more appropriate to model these products as a system. We propose a two-step estimation procedure and apply the procedure to a system of equations for cigarette, beer and wine consumption. Results differ from those derived from an existing two-step procedure. Findings suggest that consumption of cigarettes, beer and wine is responsive to income changes but the elasticities are rather small. Personal physiques, education, age, race, ethnicity, health, gender, employment status, and regions also play significant roles in consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 729-737 Issue: 6 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322354 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:6:p:729-737 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pantelis Kalaitzidakis Author-X-Name-First: Pantelis Author-X-Name-Last: Kalaitzidakis Author-Name: George Korniotis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Korniotis Title: The Solow growth model: vector autoregression (VAR) and cross-section time-series analysis Abstract: The paper examines whether the Mankiw et al. results regarding the Solow model are specific tothe statistical methodology used. Therefore, instead of using cross-section data, annual data were used and the Solow model was investigated using a Vector AutoRegression (VAR) analysis for the G7 countries, and cross-section time-series data for the G3 countries. Analysis shows that, in both cases, the Mankiw et al. results generally hold. It also shows that the use of annual data can play an important and complementary role in revealing the differences in the growth process between individual countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 739-747 Issue: 6 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322363 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:6:p:739-747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Cooke Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Cooke Author-Name: Wendy Chapple Author-X-Name-First: Wendy Author-X-Name-Last: Chapple Title: Merger activity in the waste disposal industry: the impact and the implications of the Environmental Protection Act Abstract: Over the last two and a half decades, the UK's waste disposal industry has evolved from a disparate collection of localized small-scale operators to a coherent multimillion pound industry. With particular reference to the 1990 Environmental Protection Act, this paper uses multinomial logit analysis to estimate the degree to which increased regulation of the industry has led to a rise in merger activity within the sector. It is shown that the Act did increase the probability of a waste disposal firm being associated with merger activity, either as an acquiring firm or as a target for other firms. As a result, intra-industry consolidation took place alongside attempts by non-waste disposal firms to diversify their interests within a buoyant sector which was avoiding the recessionary downturn affecting other sectors of the British economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 749-755 Issue: 6 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322372 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:6:p:749-755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joaquin Maudos Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Maudos Author-Name: Jose Manuel Pastor Author-X-Name-First: Jose Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Pastor Author-Name: Lorenzo Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Lorenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Serrano Title: Convergence in OECD countries: technical change, efficiency and productivity Abstract: The aim of this study is to analyse labour productivity convergence in the OECD countries over the period 1975-90. A nonparametric frontier approach is used to calculate the Malmquist productivity index. By breaking it down, the contribution in the growth of labour productivity of technical progress, of changes in efficiency, and of the accumulation of inputs per worker are quantified. Unlike other studies, the results obtained show that technical change has worked against labour productivity convergence, since it has always been greater in the countries with higher labour productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 757-765 Issue: 6 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322381 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:6:p:757-765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitris Hatzinikolaou Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Hatzinikolaou Title: Sensitivity of consumption to income and to government purchases: some specification and estimation issues Abstract: The paper derives a nonlinear error-correction model (ECM) for consumption and shows that existing models that are based on quadratic utility, combine permanent income and current-income consumption, and nest (or could nest) the hypothesis of substitutability between private consumption and government purchases are special cases of the ECM. The importance of some econometric issues that have not received proper attention in the literature is demonstrated by estimating the models using US aggregate quarterly data, 1953:1-1992:4. The evidence suggests that the ECM produces more reliable estimates than do the existing restrictive models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 767-775 Issue: 6 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322390 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322390 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:6:p:767-775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phil Shackley Author-X-Name-First: Phil Author-X-Name-Last: Shackley Author-Name: Simon Dixon Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Dixon Title: Using contingent valuation to elicit public preferences for water fluoridation Abstract: The methods and results of a contingent valuation survey to elicit public preferences for water fluoridation are reported. The study demonstrates that not only is it important to acknowledge that there will be losers from the introduction of such a programme but that losers must be allowed to express a value for the magnitude of their perceived loss. Two methods of valuing this loss are explored. Conventional willingness to accept compensation questions are compared with questions in which losers are asked to state their willingness to pay to prevent their water being fluoridated. The results provide tentative support for asking willingness to pay to prevent questions instead of willingness to accept questions when evaluating certain types of public good. The issue of protest responses in contingent valuation surveys is also highlighted and discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 777-787 Issue: 6 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322408 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322408 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:6:p:777-787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. M. C. De Boer Author-X-Name-First: P. M. C. Author-X-Name-Last: De Boer Author-Name: C. Martinez Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez Author-Name: R. Harkema Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Harkema Title: Trade liberalization and the allocation over domestic and foreign supplies: a case study for Spanish manufacturing Abstract: The purpose of the paper is to investigate whether Spain's accession to the European Union in 1986 caused a structural break in the allocation of total supplies of manufactures over domestic and foreign supplies. To that end the homogeneity-constrained Almost Ideal Demand System is used to specify the long-run equilibrium relationships between the shares in total supplies and total real demand and relative prices and a first-order error correction mechanism in order to describe the adjustment process to equilibrium. Using a formal statistical test, it turns out that a structural break actually occurred and led to a rather sharp decrease in the share of Spain and an increase in the shares of the other members of the European Union. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 789-799 Issue: 6 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322417 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322417 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:6:p:789-799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Collins Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Author-Name: Martin Snell Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Snell Title: Parental preferences and choice of school Abstract: This paper provides a UK high resolution microeconometric study of parental preferences and the choice process for secondary schools. Given the particular geographical features of the region, first preference almost entirely related to one of two state schools, which is a situation that perhaps better reflects the real nature of the options faced by most parents in the UK. In contrast to earlier work, distance and access considerations were explicitly incorporated in the preference and choice models estimated and found to be a significant influence on parental decisions. Further significant factors were found, dependent upon the parents' actual choice of school. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 803-813 Issue: 7 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322147 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:7:p:803-813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodolfo Nayga Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Nayga Title: Schooling, health knowledge and obesity Abstract: The connection between schooling and health is well documented. An important empirical issue that needs to be examined, however, is whether schooling's effects are due to individual health knowledge differences. This empirical study examines this issue with an increasingly important health indicator, obesity. Since provision of health knowledge is a major tool of public agencies promoting health, this empirical study uses a new direct measure of health knowledge to test this hypothesis. The results show that knowledge is inversely related to the probability that an individual is obese. Schooling's effects on relative weight and the probability of being obese are explained by differences in knowledge. This result may imply that schooling's effect on the allocative efficiency of the household production of health is the main reason schooling is linked to health behaviour. The result also may imply that the most effective method of health education is to highlight the disease element of poor dietary habits and health. More importantly, the simulations conducted suggest positive returns to knowledge based on improvements in the probability estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 815-822 Issue: 7 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322156 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322156 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:7:p:815-822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando San Miguel Author-X-Name-First: Fernando San Author-X-Name-Last: Miguel Author-Name: Mandy Ryan Author-X-Name-First: Mandy Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Author-Name: Emma McIntosh Author-X-Name-First: Emma Author-X-Name-Last: McIntosh Title: Applying conjoint analysis in economic evaluations: an application to menorrhagia Abstract: The increased demand for health care, coupled with limited resources, means that decisions have to be made concerning the allocation of scarce health care resources. This paper considers how conjoint analysis (CA) can be used to aid this decision making process. It is shown how the technique can be used to estimate marginal rates of substitution between attributes, willingness to pay (WTP) if cost is included as an attribute and overall utility scores for different ways of providing a service. The technique is applied to consider women's preferences for two surgical procedures in the treatment of menorrhagia: hysterectomy and conservative surgery. The results suggest conservative surgery is preferred to hysterectomy, as indicated by higher utility scores for the former and a marginal WTP of 7593 to have conservative surgery rather than hysterectomy. The internal validity of CA was also shown. It is concluded that CA is a potentially useful instrument for policy makers. However, numerous methodological issues need addressing before the technique becomes an established instrument within economic evaluations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 823-833 Issue: 7 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322165 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322165 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:7:p:823-833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Rosenman Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenman Author-Name: Tong Li Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Dan Friesner Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Friesner Title: Grants and cost shifting in outpatient clinics Abstract: Cost shifting for a non-profit, revenue maximizing healthcare provider which faces a constraint that profit must be non-negative is examined, focusing on fixed payment programmes like Medicare. In addition, how grant money affects cost shifting and extend the empirical analysis of cost shifting to outpatient clinics, using data from publicly funded clinics in California is explored. The results are consistent with cost shifting, and indicate that the cause may be that the Medicare payment system cuts revenues more than costs, forcing clinics to subsidize the care of Medicare patients by increasing prices to other patients. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 835-843 Issue: 7 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322174 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:7:p:835-843 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fiona MaCphail Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: MaCphail Title: Are estimates of earnings inequality sensitive to measurement choices? A case study of Canada in the 1980s Abstract: While it is necessary that researchers make choices in order to estimate inequality, the reasons for the measurement choices and their impact on inequality estimates have not been widely assessed. This paper uses Canadian data from the 1980s to analyse whether inequality estimates are sensitive to common measurement choices. Seemingly minor technical choices about the treatment of outlying observations, such as the use of top-income coded data, exclusion of very high and low observations, and differences among data sets in the capture of very high observations affect estimates of inequality. Further, the impact of the treatment of outlying observations on inequality estimates are at least as large as the impact of measurement choices of a conceptual nature, such as the income definition and population selection. The sensitivity of inequality estimates to measurement choices, which often remain invisible, affect inferences about the relative degree of inequality at a given point in time among countries and changes over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 845-860 Issue: 7 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322183 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:7:p:845-860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Clive Granger Author-X-Name-First: Clive Author-X-Name-Last: Granger Author-Name: Yongil Jeon Author-X-Name-First: Yongil Author-X-Name-Last: Jeon Title: Model evaluation based on residual analysis of two similar models Abstract: Models that may appear to have different properties may in fact produce residuals that differ only in subtle ways. By analysing the relationships between model residuals the problems in distinguishing between models can perhaps be discovered, as illustrated by the econometric examples considered. Regressing residuals gives the long-memory residual, which is the difference between two models, but this difference is very subtle and deeply hidden, which explains why the traditional standard technique does not find this difference. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 861-867 Issue: 7 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322192 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:7:p:861-867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li Lian Ong Author-X-Name-First: Li Lian Author-X-Name-Last: Ong Author-Name: Jason Mitchell Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Mitchell Title: Professors and hamburgers: an international comparison of real academic salaries Abstract: In recent years, academic staff unions and associations have argued for higher salaries for academics on the grounds that existing salaries have not kept pace with inflation, are well below commercial salaries and, most glaringly, are much lower than the salaries of their overseas counterparts. However, most international comparisons are made based on exchange rate conversions, which is inappropriate since purchasing power differentials are only reflected in exchange rates in the long term. Furthermore, the volatility of exchange rates make such conversions highly inaccurate. A comparison is provided of real academic salaries by converting the nominal salaries in each country to their purchasing power equivalents, using the Big Mac Index. Our results show that real academic salaries are highest in Hong Kong and Singapore, relative to the developed countries, while Hong Kong tax and social security deductions are lowest. Furthermore, real salary levels, combined with intrinsic considerations such as the quality-of-life, indicate that Canada and New Zealand are unattractive places for visiting/migrating academics, while Australia and the USA are relatively attractive. It is suggested that these findings could be of use to policy-makers and academic unions in salary negotiations, as well as academics making relocation decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 869-876 Issue: 7 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322200 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:7:p:869-876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Vanhoudt Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Vanhoudt Title: An assessment of the macroeconomic determinants of inequality Abstract: The paper provides an assessment of the determinants of income inequality in a broader macroeconomic context. In particular the hypothesis that income inequality is related to fundamentals affecting economic growth is examined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 877-883 Issue: 7 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322219 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322219 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:7:p:877-883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaakko Pehkonen Author-X-Name-First: Jaakko Author-X-Name-Last: Pehkonen Title: Employment, unemployment and output growth in booms and recessions: time series evidence from Finland, 1970-1996 Abstract: The Finnish economy experienced dramatic changes in the early 1990s. The collapse of the economy in 1991 resulted in a 12% decline in GDP over the years 1991-1993, leading to a significant fall in the demand for labour and a rise in unemployment. The study contributes to the discussion on possible changes in the functioning of the Finnish economy by scrutinizing the stability of the employment/unemploymentoutput relation. The empirical analysis, based on aggregate variables from the period 1975-1996, suggests that the relationship between aggregate-level employment/ unemployment and output growth remained relatively stable throughout the investigation period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 885-900 Issue: 7 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322228 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322228 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:7:p:885-900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Jenkins Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Jenkins Author-Name: Christopher Tsoukis Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Tsoukis Title: Nominal inertia and shock persistence in UK business cycles Abstract: A structural VAR methodology is used for UK data to identify and map out the effects of innovations in the money supply, employment, output, wages and prices. Moreover, bands of two standard errors are computed for the impulse response functions so that comment may be made on the significance of the dynamic responses of the variables to the simulated shocks. This allows conclusions to be drawn on the persistence of shocks. Results suggest that output variation is largely determined by aggregate demand shocks over the business cycle frequency. Importantly, evidence is also found of rigidities in the form of price inertia and nominal wage stickiness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 901-907 Issue: 7 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322237 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322237 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:7:p:901-907 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantinos Giannakas Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Giannakas Author-Name: Kien Tran Author-X-Name-First: Kien Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Author-Name: Vangelis Tzouvelekas Author-X-Name-First: Vangelis Author-X-Name-Last: Tzouvelekas Title: Efficiency, technological change and output growth in Greek olive growing farms: a Box-Cox approach Abstract: This paper captures the relative contributions of input growth, technological change and technical efficiency to olive oil production growth for a panel data set of 125 Greek olive-growing farms for the period 1987 to 1993. A flexible generalized quadratic Box-Cox functional form is proposed to represent the underlying production technology. This functional specification copes with the problem of zero inputs and nests all widely used production frontiers. Empirical results show that the observed production growth is mainly due to increased input use since it was not accompanied by rapid introduction of technological innovations and improvements in efficiency levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 909-916 Issue: 7 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322246 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322246 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:7:p:909-916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zeynep Onder Author-X-Name-First: Zeynep Author-X-Name-Last: Onder Title: High inflation and returns on residential real estate: evidence from Turkey Abstract: This study examines the hedging behaviour of real estate investment in a high inflationary environment. The hypothesis that the real estate investment hedges both expected and unexpected inflation is tested. The returns of investment on residential apartments in several neighbourhoods in the capital of Turkey are used in the analysis. Expected inflation is measured by three proxies. It is found that in a high inflationary environment, real estate investment does not provide hedge against inflation. A reverse causality between returns on real estate and changes in expected inflation is not observed. However, a relationship between real returns and changes in inflationary expectations seem to be different in relatively low and relatively high income neighbourhoods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 917-931 Issue: 7 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322255 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322255 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:7:p:917-931 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liam Gallagher Author-X-Name-First: Liam Author-X-Name-Last: Gallagher Title: Macroeconomic shocks under alternative exchange rate regimes: the Irish experience Abstract: The paper investigates the nature of Irish macroeconomic shocks and their correlation with German and UK shocks. A restricted VAR of real output and prices is employed to distinguish aggregate demand and supply shocks for the three countries. To identify the role of Irish exchange rate policy two periods are considered: the preERM period and the ERM period. The results indicate that while the change in exchange rate policy had an effect on the nature of demand and supply shocks, the ERM did not have the effect of increasing the correlation of Irish shocks with Germany or the UK. Evidence of substantial asymmetric shocks with Germany and the UK exist. Thus, Ireland as a member of the EMU faces increased cost of adjustment to asymmetric macroeconomic shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 933-944 Issue: 7 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322264 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322264 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:7:p:933-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Walid Hejazi Author-X-Name-First: Walid Author-X-Name-Last: Hejazi Title: Yield spreads as predictors of industrial production: expectations on short rates or term premia? Abstract: This paper reconsiders information in the US T-bill term structure for predicting movements in real monthly industrial production. It is shown that although T-bill spreads contain little or no predictive content, increases in term premia estimated from a GARCH-M model of the term structure do. Since these estimated premia are linear functions of the conditional variance of excess returns, the implication is that increases in interest rate variability are associated with reductions in industrial production. This evidence is robust to the inclusion of the spread between the 10-year Tbond yield and one-month-T-bill yields. The T-bill term structure therefore contains information which is independent of the long-end of the term structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 945-951 Issue: 8 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400321995 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400321995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:945-951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jane Fry Author-X-Name-First: Jane Author-X-Name-Last: Fry Author-Name: Tim Fry Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Fry Author-Name: Keith McLaren Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: McLaren Title: Compositional data analysis and zeros in micro data Abstract: The application of compositional data analysis methods in economics has some attraction. The methodology relies upon the use of 'log-ratios' in the statistical analysis. Such an approach is not possible when the data to be analysed include observations where the observed budget share is zero. We, therefore, consider and extend the methods of compositional data analysis in the situation where the data to be analysed include observations where the observed budget share is zero. The modified compositional data methods are discussed both in statistical terms and through potential economic interpretations of the method. Further, the modified methodology is applied to the 1988-89 Australian Household Expenditure Survey yielding estimates for a system of Engel curves. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 953-959 Issue: 8 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322002 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:953-959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre Combris Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Combris Author-Name: Sebastien Lecocq Author-X-Name-First: Sebastien Author-X-Name-Last: Lecocq Author-Name: Michael Visser Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Visser Title: Estimation of a hedonic price equation for Burgundy wine Abstract: A hedonic price equation and two jury grade equations are estimated for Burgundy wine. The approach is the same as in an earlier Bordeaux wine paper (Combris et al., 1997). The data come from an experimental study that is very similar to the study on Bordeaux wines. The results for the two wine-growing regions are compared and discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 961-967 Issue: 8 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322011 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322011 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:961-967 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Arnade Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Arnade Author-Name: Daniel Pick Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Pick Title: Seasonal oligopoly power: the case of the US fresh fruit market Abstract: What has been ignored in much of the existing studies of oligopoly power is that market behaviour need not be static in nature, and oligopoly power in agriculture need not be present in every month of the year. In a market which is characterized by seasonality and supplied by different sources during different seasons, it is quite possible to observe oligopoly power during different months of the year. In this paper, a method for estimating and testing for seasonal changes in the degree of oligopoly power is introduced. It was found that in the pear market, oligopoly power coefficients remain low throughout the year. On the other hand, the grape market is characterized by higher oligopoly power coefficients and considerable season variations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 969-977 Issue: 8 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322020 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:969-977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. G. Hirschberg Author-X-Name-First: J. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Hirschberg Title: Modelling time of day substitution using the second moments of demand Abstract: Time of day (TOD) rates are a commonly used method for peak load pricing of many services. Such services as; electricity, communications, transportation, shared computer facilities, and computer networks (i.e. the Internet), either use, or will use, some form of TOD pricing. However, TOD rates do not ensure a movement towards economic efficiency unless the patterns of TOD substitution are known. The model presented here provedes a method for estimating TOD substitution without the need for rate experiments that have proven to be both costly and limited by sample selection bias problems. This model employs the estimated second moment of demand to estimate a matrix of relative own- and cross-price elasticities and it can estimate elasticities even when there is no apparent TOD price variation. The low level of computations required for the estimates allows the application of a bootstrap procedure to estimate the covariance matrix of the elasticities. Two applications of this model are presented: a case of aggregate demand for computer services and a case of an individual household's electricity demand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 979-986 Issue: 8 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322039 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:979-986 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. L. Chas-Amil Author-X-Name-First: M. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Chas-Amil Author-Name: J. Buongiorno Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Buongiorno Title: The demand for paper and paperboard: econometric models for the European Union Abstract: Cost minimization theory suggests national demand equations for paper and paperboard in which demand is a negative function of the price of paper and paperboard, and a positive function of gross national product. A dynamic version of this model was estimated with data from European Union countries, for newsprint, printing and writing paper, and other paper and paperboard. Country-by-country equations proved unstable. Pooling the data across countries, with dummy variables to account for fixed country effects, led to well defined short-term and long-term elasticities with respect to price and gross national product. The hypothesis that income and price elasticities were the same across the European Union countries could not be rejected at the 1% significance level, for the three product groups. From 1969 to 1995, most of the growth in demand had been due to the growth in national product, while price increases had only a small negative effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 987-999 Issue: 8 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322048 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322048 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:987-999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Kulendran Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Kulendran Author-Name: Kenneth Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Is there a relationship between international trade and international travel? Abstract: This paper investigates, for the first time, whether there is a relationship between international trade and international travel flows using time series econometric techniques. Using data for Australia and four important travel and trading partners, the USA, the UK, NZ and Japan, the paper tests three specific hypotheses: that business travel leads to international trade; that international trade leads to international travel; and that international travel, other than business travel, leads to international trade. Using cointegration and Granger-causality approaches the paper finds support for prior beliefs that there is a relationship between international travel and international trade, and suggests that this may be a fruitful area for further research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1001-1009 Issue: 8 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322057 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:1001-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geoff Riddington Author-X-Name-First: Geoff Author-X-Name-Last: Riddington Author-Name: Colin Sinclair Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: Sinclair Author-Name: Nicola Milne Author-X-Name-First: Nicola Author-X-Name-Last: Milne Title: Modelling choice and switching behaviour between Scottish ski centres Abstract: The paper identifies the need to model the skier's choice of centre and the basic ideas underlying discrete choice models and their estimation. It then identifies data requirements and sources, the final choice of specification and the estimated parameters of the resultant nested multinomial logit model. The results indicate two quite distinct markets. For day-trippers snow cover, cost, and, to a lesser extent, the journey length, were the critical factors. For those staying overnight the key determinant in this market seems to be accommodation. Interestingly centres which for the day-tripper are competitors, become, for the overnight customer, complementary. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1011-1018 Issue: 8 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322066 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:1011-1018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andre Croppenstedt Author-X-Name-First: Andre Author-X-Name-Last: Croppenstedt Author-Name: Meloria Meschi Author-X-Name-First: Meloria Author-X-Name-Last: Meschi Title: Measuring wage discrimination in Italy: a random-coefficient approach Abstract: Using data from a representative 1989 household survey for Italy we estimate random-coefficient earnings frontiers by gender, marital status and location. These estimates are used to calculate discrimination indices. Our results show that fixed coefficients can be rejected in all cases. A wide range on the estimated coefficients indicates a high degree of variation in the quality of the observed human-capital variables as well as different degrees of ability as perceived by the employer. We find reverse discrimination for single females in the South and the North. For married females there is evidence of discrimination, particularly in the South. We isolate the effects of tenure and education on discrimination and find that these reduce discrimination for Southern-married females. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1019-1028 Issue: 8 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322075 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:1019-1028 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyriacos Kyriacou Author-X-Name-First: Kyriacos Author-X-Name-Last: Kyriacou Author-Name: Bryan Mase Author-X-Name-First: Bryan Author-X-Name-Last: Mase Title: Rolling settlement and market liquidity Abstract: This paper investigates the impact on UK stock and option markets of the change from an account based settlement system to a rolling settlement procedure. Such a change increases the transaction costs of short-term margin traders, and is likely to impact on the liquidity of the underlying market, as well as trading in the options market. Evidence is presented that the settlement procedure does impact on the liquidity of the market. Further, we find that rolling settlement increased market liquidity, consistent with the exit of margin traders as a result of the increase in short selling costs. Associated with this increase in liquidity is a significant reduction in nonoptionable stock trading volume, implying that margin trading may have been more prevalent in stocks without options. Finally, it is shown that while trading in stock options increased, the volatilities implied from call and put option prices indicate that put options have become relatively more expensive. This reflects the change in demand induced by the new settlement procedure, especially in terms of the increase in short selling costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1029-1036 Issue: 8 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322084 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:1029-1036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enrique Alberola Author-X-Name-First: Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Alberola Author-Name: Juan Ayuso Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Ayuso Author-Name: J. David Lopez-Salido Author-X-Name-First: J. David Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Salido Title: When may depreciations fuel inflation? An application to the Spanish case Abstract: In this paper it is considered that the relationship between nominal exchange rate and prices depends on the nature of the shocks impacting the economy. In order to identify the sources of nominal exchange rate and relative price fluctuations we impose long-run restrictions on the dynamics of these variables through a 2-variable and 3-variable SVAR, respectively. This methodology is applied to data on the Spanish economy and find that supply and real demand shocks move nominal exchange rates and relative prices in opposite directions. Nominal shocks, however, move both variables in the same direction. Thus, in this case, only under nominal shocks may exchange rate depreciations fuel inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1037-1049 Issue: 8 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322093 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322093 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:1037-1049 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javid Taheri Author-X-Name-First: Javid Author-X-Name-Last: Taheri Title: On the alternative explanations of persistence of unemployment in the OECD countries Abstract: This paper begins with a summary statement of a few relevant facts about the worsening state of unemployment since the mid-1970s in the OECD countries. A joint statistical test of the hypotheses of the natural rate, hysteresis, and the persistence is conducted by pooling annual data (1963-93) from up to 16 OECD countries. The results provide strong evidence in support of the persistence hypothesis and the non-linearity of the Phillips curve while concurrently rejecting the other two alternative explanations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1051-1057 Issue: 8 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322101 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:1051-1057 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bharat Kolluri Author-X-Name-First: Bharat Author-X-Name-Last: Kolluri Author-Name: Michael Panik Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Panik Author-Name: Mahmoud Wahab Author-X-Name-First: Mahmoud Author-X-Name-Last: Wahab Title: Government expenditure and economic growth: evidence from G7 countries Abstract: This paper examines Wagner's Law of Public Expenditure, which emphasizes economic growth as the fundamental determinant of public sector growth, using time series data drawn from the G7 industrialized countries over the sample period 1960 1993. It presents evidence on both the short- and long-run effects of growth in national income on government expenditure by resorting to recent developments in the theory of cointegrated processes. An attempt is also made in this study to examine if Wagner's Law holds between certain key components of government expenditure and income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1059-1068 Issue: 8 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322110 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:1059-1068 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Weber Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Vacancy durations - a model for employer's search Abstract: This paper investigates a Dutch data set on vacancy durations and numbers of applicants to enquire employers' search strategies. A nonsequential search process assumes that most vacancies are filled from a pool of applicants, which is formed shortly after the posting of the vacancy. The time spent on recruiting applicants and the duration of the selection process are estimated with a proportional hazard model, via the arrival and attrition rates of applicants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1069-1075 Issue: 8 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322129 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:1069-1075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nasiruddin Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Nasiruddin Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: Export response to trade liberalization in Bangladesh: a cointegration analysis Abstract: This paper investigates the response of Bangladesh's aggregate merchandise exports to a real exchange rate-based trade liberalization programme during the period 1974-1995. The cointegration and error correction modelling approaches have been applied. The empirical results suggest that there exists a unique long-run or equilibrium relationship among real quantities of export, relative export price and export-weighted real effective exchange rate. The short-term dynamic behaviour of Bangladesh's export supply has been investigated by estimating an error correction model in which the error correction term has been found to be correctly signed and statistically significant. Relative export price (lagged two quarters), real effective exchange rate, predicted values of real GDP (lagged one quarter) and a dummy variable capturing the effects of trade liberalization programme have all emerged as important determinants of an aggregate export supply function for Bangladesh. The error correction model has also been found to be robust as it satisfies all relevant diagnostic tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1077-1084 Issue: 8 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400322138 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400322138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:8:p:1077-1084 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Karatzas Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Karatzas Title: On the determination of the US aggregate health care expenditure Abstract: Per capita real health care expenditure is examined against three major groups of explanatory variables: economic, demographic, and health stock, and it is found that the three groups of variables have an impact on real health care spending. Other subcategories, such as real private, and government health care, pharmaceutical, dental, home nursing, ambulatory, personal medical consumption, and in-patient expenditures have also been examined, and have been found to be affected by the explanatory variables. For several subcomponents there is evidence of supplier inducement. Of the demographic group of variables, the ageing population had an impact only on the per capita real overall, and private health care outlay, and pharmaceutical spending. Also, cointegrating relationships were found and consistent estimators of the elasticities found. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1085-1099 Issue: 9 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404236 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404236 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:9:p:1085-1099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. O. S. Wilson Author-X-Name-First: J. O. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Author-Name: J. M. Williams Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: The size and growth of banks: evidence from four European countries Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between size and growth for a sample of banks from France, Germany, Italy and the UK over the period 1990 to 1996. Using several measures of bank size (total assets, equity and value of off balance sheet business), we test for size effects on growth, using models which incorporate the influences of previous growth, bank type and country of origin. The results of the analysis suggest that for Italy, small banks tend to grow faster than larger banks. No relationship is found between bank size and growth for France, Germany and the UK. This suggests a process of increasing concentration in these banking systems, even in the absence of bank specific strategic advantages. Small banks tend to have more variable growth rates than their larger counterparts. This suggests that large banks may enjoy advantages associated with diversified operations, which make them less susceptible to periods of extremely high or low growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1101-1109 Issue: 9 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404245 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404245 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:9:p:1101-1109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Andrikopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Andrikopoulos Author-Name: John Loizides Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Loizides Title: The demand for home-produced and imported alcoholic beverages in Cyprus: the AIDS approach Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to investigate the demand and its composition between home-produced and imported for alcoholic beverages in Cyprus. The methodological approach used is the Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS), both in static and dynamic terms. Empirically, the AIDS, both in its static and dynamic version, was estimated using time-series (1970-1992) for three sets of data which include: (1) alcoholic beverages (wine-beer-other brandies) broken down between home-produced and imported (model A); (2) alcoholic beverages only without disaggregation between home-produced and imported (model B), and (3) aggregate alcoholic beverages (wine-beer-other brandies) and food (model C). Zellner's iterative estimation procedure was used for estimating the model. The empirical findings: (1) strongly support the dynamic version of the AIDS over its static alternative; and (2) provide certain guidelines concerning economic policies relating to an increase in government revenues and changing the composition between home-produced and imported consumption of alcoholic beverages. These basic findings could be considered relevant to the policy makers in the light of Cyprus' accession to the EU. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1111-1119 Issue: 9 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404254 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404254 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:9:p:1111-1119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Leece Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Leece Title: Choice of mortgage instrument, liquidity constraints and the demand for housing debt in the UK Abstract: The research uses microdata to estimate reduced form mortgage demand equations based on truncated regressions, dissagregated by choice of mortgage instrument. The choice is between a standard annuity mortgage and a balloon type mortgage (the endowment). The estimates are used to indicate the differential impact of credit market rationing and financial liberalization on households. The results indicate significant variations in mortgage demand by choice of mortgage instrument. Econometric testing demonstrates that the choice between an endowment and a repayment mortgage can be used as an exogenous indicator of liquidity and portfolio positions and different user costs of owner occupation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1121-1132 Issue: 9 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404263 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404263 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:9:p:1121-1132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Allan Layton Author-X-Name-First: Allan Author-X-Name-Last: Layton Author-Name: Daniel Smith Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: A further note on the three phases of the US business cycle Abstract: Using a number of alternative approaches, Sichel (1994) demonstrated evidence supporting the notion that the US business cycle is best characterized as having three distinct phases, viz. contraction, followed by rapid expansion during the early stages of the recovery phase, followed by a period of more normal expansionary growth, with the cycle then repeating itself. This contrasts with the more usual expansion/contraction, two phase characterization but is more in keeping with the original notion of the business cycle as conceived by Burns and Mitchell (1946). Here an alternative approach is employed for shedding light on this issue. Following the original suggestion of Hamilton (1989, 1990, 1991), a simple nonlinear, three phase, regime switching Markov model is compared against its simpler two phase version to determine which version is statistically more consistent with the business cycle historical evidence. The evidence seems to clearly support the three phase characterization and that this characterization yields interesting information on business cycle dynamics which is necessarily missed by the two phase model formulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1133-1143 Issue: 9 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404272 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404272 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:9:p:1133-1143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Dobson Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Dobson Author-Name: Bill Gerrard Author-X-Name-First: Bill Author-X-Name-Last: Gerrard Author-Name: Simon Howe Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Howe Title: The determination of transfer fees in English nonleague football Abstract: In recent years a number of studies have analysed the player transfer market in English professional football. This paper examines whether similar factors operate to determine transfer fees in the semiprofessional, or nonleague, game. An empirical model of the nonleague player transfer market is developed in which observed transfer fees are determined by player characteristics, time effects, selling-club characteristics and buying-club characteristics. Using data on 114 transfer fees covering the period 1988 to 1997, we find evidence that the data generating process for transfer fees is broadly similar in both professional and nonleague football. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1145-1152 Issue: 9 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404281 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404281 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:9:p:1145-1152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Conrad Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Conrad Title: An econometric model of production with endogenous improvement in energy efficiency, 1970-1995 Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to introduce a modification of a standard four input production process where energy is used in an inefficient way due partly to unnecessary waste of energy. In this production process, R&D investment is an additional input in order to improve energy efficiency. It closes the gap between energy purchased and energy used effectively. The more is invested, the less is the waste of energy. With the cost and benefit of R&D investment incorporated in our model of the firm, we analyse the impact of an energy tax on R&D effort, on output and on the waste of energy. The model is implemented empirically by choosing a translog cost function and a set of first-order conditions, using data for the German chemical industry, 1970-1995. In a simulation study based on higher energy prices we found outsourcing as the consequent reaction of the firm- more material is used and less of energy, labour, and capital, given the unchanged output level. There is no indication of a double dividend in terms of environmental improvement as well as higher demand for labour on the industry level calling for a computable general equilibrium approach in order to answer this open question. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1153-1160 Issue: 9 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404290 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404290 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:9:p:1153-1160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Gripaios Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Gripaios Author-Name: Paul Bishop Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Bishop Author-Name: Sarah Keast Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Keast Title: Differences in GDP per head in GB counties: some suggested explanations Abstract: This paper examines the evidence concerning the convergence of gross domestic product (GDP) per head across GB counties during 1977-1995. In general, the evidence rejects the hypothesis of convergence although there is some evidence of a north-south divide with γ convergence in the north in the 1990s. Cross-section results suggest that variation in GDP per head may be related to different economic activity rates and some aspects of industrial structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1161-1167 Issue: 9 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404308 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404308 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:9:p:1161-1167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guzin Erlat Author-X-Name-First: Guzin Author-X-Name-Last: Erlat Title: Measuring the impact of trade flows on employment in the Turkish manufacturing industry Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of export and import flows on the change in manufacturing employment using an accounting-identity based approach which enables the change in employment to be decomposed into the contribution made not only by trade but also by domestic consumption and productivity change. The analysis is carried over (i) four subperiods, two belonging to the period before 1980 when Turkey switched from a regime of import-substitution based growth to one of export-orientation, and the other two, to the period after 1980, and (ii) three tradebased categories; net exporting, import competing and noncompeting sectors. It is found (a) that trade has a more significant role to play in employment change in the post-1980 periods, (b) that this is observed more in the net exporting and noncompeting categories rather than the import competing category, and (c) that the switch to export-oriented growth in 1980 did not lead to export-based employment to be dominant in employment changes but has acted as a buffer in the sense that employment may either have grown much less or declined more severely if the post-1980 expansion of exports had not occurred. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1169-1180 Issue: 9 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404317 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404317 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:9:p:1169-1180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Farrokh Nourzad Author-X-Name-First: Farrokh Author-X-Name-Last: Nourzad Title: The productivity effect of government capital in developing and industrialized countries Abstract: This paper uses an aggregate production function to examine the effect of government capital formation on growth of labour productivity in an annual panel of 12 developing and 12 OECD economies covering the period 1976-1989. The results from a pooled model of all 24 countries indicate that contribution of government capital to labour productivity is positive and statistically significant. This result also holds in separate samples of the industrialized and developing economies where we find that, while there are productivity differentials between the two types of economies with respect to private capital, there are no differences with regards to public capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1181-1187 Issue: 9 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404326 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404326 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:9:p:1181-1187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Devadoss Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Devadoss Author-Name: Kent Lanclos Author-X-Name-First: Kent Author-X-Name-Last: Lanclos Title: Trade in imperfectly competitive industries: the role of market size and consumer preferences Abstract: This study presents theoretical and empirical analyses of market size and consumer preference asymmetries to examine the implications of trade and trade policies for imperfectively competitive food manufacturing sectors. The results show that the effects of trade reforms on imperfectly competitive product trade are counter intuitive if a significant portion of food trade is attributed to market size and preference asymmetries. For example, countries with smaller market gain relatively more from trade liberalization than countries with larger markets because export market opportunities are greater for small countries than for large countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1189-1200 Issue: 9 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404335 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:9:p:1189-1200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sean Ennis Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Ennis Author-Name: Michael Schoenbaum Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Schoenbaum Author-Name: Theodore Keeler Author-X-Name-First: Theodore Author-X-Name-Last: Keeler Title: Optimal prices and costs for hospitals with excess bed capacity Abstract: This paper analyses theoretically and empirically issues in optimal pricing with excess hospital capacity, and then applies the analysis to the issue as to whether Medicare and Medicaid payments cover the marginal costs of treating patients of each type. The primary innovation of this paper lies in incorporating appropriate theoretical measures of hospital excess capacity to a multiproduct empirical hospital cost function, and in showing how proper measures of marginal cost can be applied to the examples of Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement in California. With a standard translog specification that ignores hospital excess capacity, the estimated marginal costs of Medicare and Medicaid patients are higher than the reimbursement. However, correctly incorporating excess capacity into our model leads to considerably lower estimates of short-run marginal costs, suggesting that Medicare hospital reimbursement is more than adequate in the short run. We also develop a third marginal cost concept, that of what long-run marginal costs would be ifexcess capacity were eliminated. This is the most theoretically appropriate measure of optimum long-run reimbursement; Medicare reimbursement also covers this measure of costs. The extent to which Medicare reimbursement covers costs thus depends crucially on whether capacity is assumed fixed or variable. Similar examples are presented for Medicaid. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1201-1212 Issue: 9 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404344 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:9:p:1201-1212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hao-Yen Yang Author-X-Name-First: Hao-Yen Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Carbon-reducing taxes and income inequality: general equilibrium evaluation of alternative energy taxation in Taiwan Abstract: Recently, several studies have been a detailed evaluation of the economic implications of energy taxation as a policy instrument to conserve energy and reduce carbon emissions. However, little attention has been devoted to inquiring about the economic implications of energy taxation in the newly industrialized countries (the so-called NICs). In this paper, we use a multisector, multihousehold computable general equilibrium model to assess the distributional effects of alternative energy taxation on the Taiwan economy. The counterfactual simulation technique is applied to investigate the income distribution implications of: (1) an increase in the import taxes of crude oil; and (2) an increase in the excise taxes of petroleum products. Our empirical results basing on Taiwan's data show that both energy taxes increase government revenue and the Gini coefficient, but reduce net value-added, private consumption, disposable income and equivalent variation. A raise in the Gini coefficient implies that there is a worsening in the distribution of income. The lowest income group suffers relatively large welfare and income loss, but the highest income group suffers a relatively small welfare and income loss. The distributional effects differ from household to household depending on the composition of their total consumption and the source of their factor income. Our findings reveal that the energy tax appears to be mildly regressive, there are broadly consistent with those cases of developed countries reported in previous studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1213-1221 Issue: 9 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404353 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:9:p:1213-1221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Archibald Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Archibald Author-Name: David Feldman Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Feldman Author-Name: Marc Hayford Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Hayford Author-Name: Carl Pasurka Author-X-Name-First: Carl Author-X-Name-Last: Pasurka Title: Effective rates of protection and the Fordney-McCumber and Smoot-Hawley Tariff Acts: comment and revised estimates Abstract: This paper provides corrected calculations of the effective rate of protection for a wide disaggregation of US industries under the two important interwar tariff regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1223-1226 Issue: 9 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404362 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:9:p:1223-1226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Fix Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Fix Author-Name: John Loomis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Loomis Author-Name: Rick Eichhorn Author-X-Name-First: Rick Author-X-Name-Last: Eichhorn Title: Endogenously chosen travel costs and the travel cost model: an application to mountain biking at Moab, Utah Abstract: The travel cost model is frequently used to estimate net willingness to pay for recreation at remote sites by using the visitor's travel costs as a proxy for the price of recreation. However, some concern has been raised over the validity of using the visitor's stated travel costs as a proxy for price. This paper addresses some of these concerns, by examining the possible over-estimation of consumer surplus due to endogenously chosen travel costs. This paper extends past theoretical work for the linear model by developing a correction for endogenously chosen travel costs in more commonly used nonlinear models such as the Poisson or count data model. Also provided is the first empirical test of the presence of endogeneity and an estimate of the magnitude of the error from ignoring endogeneity in travel costs. After applying this test and the correction to data that was gathered for mountain biking at Moab, Utah the estimate of consumer surplus falls from US $153 to US $135, which is a 12% reduction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1227-1231 Issue: 10 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404371 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404371 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:10:p:1227-1231 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurt Kratena Author-X-Name-First: Kurt Author-X-Name-Last: Kratena Title: Sectoral shifts and unemployment persistence Abstract: This paper deals with possible explanations of unemployment persistence within a sectoral approach to the Austrian labour market. First the concept of unemployment persistence is specified in terms of the time series properties of the unemployment rate. Sectoral job gains and job losses form the labour market flows in this approach. The standard matching model is replaced then by a model of the competition between the unemployed and new entrants in the labour market for new jobs as an 'adding up' demand system of the AIDS type. The estimations of different system specifications indicate, that the sectoral structure of job gains plays a role in the competition mechanism between unemployed workers and new entrants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1233-1240 Issue: 10 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404380 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:10:p:1233-1240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christine Huttin Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Huttin Title: A cluster analysis on income elasticity variations and US pharmaceutical expenditures Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between household income and outpatient prescribed medicines in the USA based on a sample of 2872 privately insured patients, from the 1987 NMES data set. The analysis is performed on regional typologies of different socioeconomic profiles of patients. Only a few groups show positive income elasticity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1241-1247 Issue: 10 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404399 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404399 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:10:p:1241-1247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Martin-Marcos Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Martin-Marcos Author-Name: Cristina Suarez-Galvez Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Suarez-Galvez Title: Technical efficiency of Spanish manufacturing firms: a panel data approach Abstract: This paper estimates the levels of technical efficiency reached by Spanish manufacturing firms, through an econometric estimation of frontier production functions for fifteen sectors of activity, and also, obtains other relevant technological measurements of these productive processes such as the scale and the technical progress parameters. The methodology used is the panel data methods (Schmidt and Sickles, 1984). The statistical source is provided by the Survey on Business Strategies (Encuesta Sobre Estrategias Empresariales), a panel of data covering 855 Spanish manufacturing firms observed over the period 1990-1994. Our econometric results confirm the great heterogeneity in the firms' efficiency, the predominance of constant returns to scale and the great rate of technological progress. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1249-1258 Issue: 10 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404407 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404407 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:10:p:1249-1258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Love Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Love Author-Name: Francisco Lage-Hidalgo Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Lage-Hidalgo Title: Analysing the determinants of US direct investment in Mexico Abstract: In this paper a simple model of foreign direct investment is developed and tested on investment flows from the USA to Mexico between 1967 and 1994 using cointegration analysis. Domestic demand and relative factor costs are found to influence direct investment flows, suggesting support for both the 'cheap labour' and 'market size' hypotheses. The short-run dynamics of the model indicate that exchange rate movements have an effect on the timing of the investment decision. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1259-1267 Issue: 10 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404416 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404416 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:10:p:1259-1267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nandinee Kutty Author-X-Name-First: Nandinee Author-X-Name-Last: Kutty Title: The production of functionality by the elderly: a household production function approach Abstract: This paper extends Becker's model of the household production function of human capital to the production of elderly functionality. In this model, elderly functionality is produced with the direct inputs of assistive devices, personal assistance, and nutritional intake. Education, endowment variables (like genetic endowment and sex) and health conditions (like stroke) determine the production function environment. Data from the Survey of Asset and Health Dynamics Among the Oldest-Old (AHEAD) are used to estimate a production function of bathing functionality, using a two-stage estimation procedure. In the first stage, input demands for the endogenous functionality inputs are estimated, recognizing health heterogeneity. The results suggest that reverses in functionality caused by age and health conditions can be partially compensated for by the use of assistive devices (like grab bars and bathing equipment), secure nutritional intake, and moderate alcohol consumption. However, non-inputs like chronic health conditions, age, sex and genetic endowment exert a strong influence on the level of functionality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1269-1280 Issue: 10 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404425 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404425 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:10:p:1269-1280 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Tiffin Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Tiffin Author-Name: P. J. Dawson Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Title: Structural breaks, cointegration and the farm-retail price spread for lamb Abstract: This paper examines the farm—retail price spread for lamb from monthly UK data for 1979-1993. Using cointegration, it examines seasonal patterns in producer and retail prices and seeks to identify a long-run relationship between them. Results show that a long-run relationship exists, and that the direction of Granger-causality is from retail to producer prices. Lamb prices are therefore set in the retail market. Results also show that there is a structural break in the relationship in January 1990 when the price increases; this coincides exactly with a change in policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1281-1286 Issue: 10 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404434 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404434 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:10:p:1281-1286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Scott Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Scott Author-Name: Guy Judge Author-X-Name-First: Guy Author-X-Name-Last: Judge Title: Cycles and steps in British commercial property values Abstract: This paper examines cyclical behaviour in commercial property values over the period 1956 to 1996, using a structural times series (unobserved components) approach. The influence of the transition to short rent reviews during the late 1960s and the short and long-term impacts of the 1974 and 1990 property crashes are also incorporated into the analysis, via dummy variables. It is found that once these variables are taken into account a fairly regular cyclical pattern can be discerned, with a period of about 7.8 years. Furthermore, the 1974 and 1990 property crashes are shown to have had a major long-term impact on property value growth (presumably via their influence on investors' expectations). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1287-1297 Issue: 10 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404443 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:10:p:1287-1297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Gausden Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Gausden Author-Name: Ian Alan Whitfield Author-X-Name-First: Ian Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Whitfield Title: Testing the stochastic implications of the life cycle-permanent income hypothesis using UK regional time-series data Abstract: This paper applies exclusion tests of the pure life cycle—permanent income hypothesis (LCPIH) to time-series data on each of the eleven standard regions of the UK. Data are annual and extend from 1975 to 1994. The results obtained suggest that there are considerable differences in consumption behaviour across the regions. Theory has indicated that a departure of consumption behaviour from that predicted by the LCPIH can occur because of a change in unemployment. Consequently, a comparison is undertaken of the empirical results obtained for the eleven regions and the respective unemployment movements. Following this comparison, it is possible to conclude that the contrasting unemployment experiences of the regions of the UK have contributed significantly to, yet cannot account for fully, the observed differences in consumption behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1299-1310 Issue: 10 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404452 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404452 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:10:p:1299-1310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Alleman Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Alleman Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Scott Savage Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Savage Title: Trade imbalance in international message telephone services Abstract: An econometric model is estimated to identify determinants of trade imbalance in international message telephone services markets. Results indicate that asymmetric market structure is important in explaining bilateral market imbalances for high income country pairs. For low and high income country pairs, GDP per capita is the dominant cause of traffic imbalances. The findings suggest that telecommunications liberalization policies are effective in reducing distortions in international traffic flows and settlement payments. However, liberalization should be accompanied by developmental programmes that enhance income per capita and telecommunications network investment in developing countries. Such programmes may be effective in providing a more equitable distribution of the gains from telecommunications reform across countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1311-1321 Issue: 10 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404461 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404461 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:10:p:1311-1321 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed Abutaleb Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Abutaleb Author-Name: Michael Papaioannou Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Papaioannou Title: Maximum likelihood estimation of time-varying parameters: an application to the Athens Stock Exchange index Abstract: The problem of maximum likelihood estimation of time-varying parameters is considered. A hierarchical approach is proposed that involves, first, the estimation of the model order and parameters when they are assumed time-invariant. Second, for each parameter, an autoregressive (AR) model, with constant coefficients, is developed. This allows the parameters to change over time. Finally, the estimates of the AR coefficients for each parameter are used as initial conditions to a time-varying model with AR coefficients, which are allowed to change over time subject to some regularity constraints. This approach is then applied to the Athens Stock Exchange index, where the dominant forces affecting this index are analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1323-1328 Issue: 10 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404470 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404470 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:10:p:1323-1328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pinuccia Calia Author-X-Name-First: Pinuccia Author-X-Name-Last: Calia Author-Name: Elisabetta Strazzera Author-X-Name-First: Elisabetta Author-X-Name-Last: Strazzera Title: Bias and efficiency of single versus double bound models for contingent valuation studies: a Monte Carlo analysis Abstract: The dichotomous choice contingent valuation method can be used either in the single or double bound formulation. The former is easier to implement, while the latter is known to be more efficient. We analyse the bias of the ML estimates produced by either model, and the gain in efficiency associated to the double bound model, in different experimental settings. We find that there are no relevant differences in point estimates given by the two models, even for small sample size. The greater efficiency of the double bound is confirmed, although differences tend to reduce by increasing the sample size. Provided that a reliable pretest is conducted, and the sample size is large, use of the single rather than the double bound model is warranted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1329-1336 Issue: 10 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404489 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404489 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:10:p:1329-1336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Quentin Wodon Author-X-Name-First: Quentin Author-X-Name-Last: Wodon Title: Microdeterminants of consumption, poverty, growth, and inequality in Bangladesh Abstract: Using in a consistent way the household level data of five successive national surveys, this paper analyses at once the microdeterminants (and changes thereof) of consumption, poverty, growth, and inequality in Bangladesh from 1983 to 1996. Education, demographics, land ownership, occupation, and geographic location all affect consumption and poverty. The gains in per capita consumption associated with many of these household characteristics tend to be stable over time. Demographics have had the largest impact on growth. Education (in urban areas) and land (in rural areas) contribute the most to measures of conditional between group inequality, a new concept introduced in the paper to avoid the pitfalls of traditional group decompositions of the Gini index, followed by location in both sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1337-1352 Issue: 10 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400404498 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400404498 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:10:p:1337-1352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tim Kuypers Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Kuypers Title: Information and efficiency: an empirical study of a fixed odds betting market Abstract: The efficiency of the fixed odds betting market for football in England is investigated. It is the efficiency of how market participants utilize available information that is tested. A model of bookmaker behaviour is presented in which the bookmaker maximizes their expected share of the total amount bet. It is found that an expected profit maximizing bookmaker could set market inefficient odds. Several empirical tests using the ordered probit model with data on prices and publicly available information are carried out. Evidence of market inefficiency is identified offering profitable betting opportunities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1353-1363 Issue: 11 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050151449 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050151449 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:11:p:1353-1363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Kargbo Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Kargbo Title: Impacts of monetary and macroeconomic factors on food prices in eastern and southern Africa Abstract: Eastern and southern Africa has been experiencing relatively large increases in real food prices since the early 1980s. Real food prices in some African countries grew as much as 11% per year during the 1980-1996 period. The huge volatility in food prices coincided with the implementation of structural adjustment programmes in several African countries. This study examines the impacts of monetary and macroeconomic factors on real food prices in eastern and southern Africa. Using the technique of cointegration and error correction modelling to test the long-run relationship between real food prices and the factors that influence their behaviour in selected African countries. Demand elasticities for food are estimated for selected countries. The empirical results show that changes in domestic food production, coupled with income, trade, exchange rate and monetary policies have significant impacts on real food prices, with wide implications for food availability and food security in the region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1373-1389 Issue: 11 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050151467 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050151467 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:11:p:1373-1389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tomokazu Arita Author-X-Name-First: Tomokazu Author-X-Name-Last: Arita Author-Name: Philip McCann Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: McCann Title: Industrial alliances and firm location behaviour: some evidence from the US semiconductor industry Abstract: This study uses a log-linear model in order to analyse data on interfirm strategic alliances within the US semiconductor industry. The findings suggest that although the finding that the intensity of information transaction between firms is directly associated with geographical proximity, this effect is much less localized than would be usually expected. The results cast doubt on much of the existing qualitative literature on the nature of agglomeration externalities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1391-1403 Issue: 11 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050151476 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050151476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:11:p:1391-1403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Noelle Doss Author-X-Name-First: Noelle Author-X-Name-Last: Doss Author-Name: Helen Cabalu Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Cabalu Title: When east meets south: economic gains from India-APEC trade Abstract: As India, potentially one of the largest economies in the world, seeks membership to the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation forum (APEC), a case for its inclusion in an expanded APEC is examined. The methodology and empirical design as developed in Marwah and Klein (1995) within the framework of a world trade matrix consists of seven regions divided into India, components of APEC, and the rest of the world. The growth of economic cohesiveness within APEC between 1965 and 1995 is quantitatively assessed by patterns of trade linkages through measures of bilateral reciprocity, multilateralism, and market diversification. Entropy indexes of the trade matrix are computed and used in the analysis. Since 1991, when massive economic reforms were implemented, India has experienced strong growth in exports and in imports, a departure from its previous performance. Furthermore, its external orientation has shifted positively and significantly since the reforms. Despite this, during the latest five years, India's integration with APEC hadn't changed to a level of statistical significance. The case for an expanded APEC, including India, is still somewhat prospective but the evidence is growing that it could prove beneficial to all the member countries. For India to benefit in this expanded APEC, it should continue to press its case for inclusion in the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation forum (APEC). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1405-1418 Issue: 11 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050151485 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050151485 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:11:p:1405-1418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Thornton Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Physician choice of medical specialty: do economic incentives matter? Abstract: In this paper, a probabilistic discrete choice approach is used to examine the influence of economic and non-economic factors on the choice of medical specialty by new physicians. A two level nested logit model is estimated that relaxes the independence from irrelevant alternatives assumption, and allows for a potentially more realistic pattern of substitution across specialty choices. The results from this specification are compared to those obtained from joint and conditional logit models. The findings, which are relatively robust across models, indicate that economic incentives play an important role in the specialty choice process, in particular, expected hours worked and medical school indebtedness. Physician tastes for specialties also appear to have an important influence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1419-1428 Issue: 11 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050151494 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050151494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:11:p:1419-1428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Valentina Meliciani Author-X-Name-First: Valentina Author-X-Name-Last: Meliciani Title: The relationship between R&D, investment and patents: a panel data analysis Abstract: This paper estimates the effect of research and investment activities on patents across countries, industries and over time, using Poisson and negative binomial distribution models. The first result of the paper is the recognition of the importance of investment activities in contributing to technical change. The positive role of research expenditures is also confirmed but its elasticity is found to be lower than in previous studies. Important differences across sectors emerge: research expenditures are found to be more effective in generating patents in science based industries, while investment is particularly significant in supplier dominated and production intensive industries. Finally, in most sectors, the estimated R&D and investment coefficients lie outside the confidence intervals calculated around the pooled coefficients. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1429-1437 Issue: 11 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050151502 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050151502 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:11:p:1429-1437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Carruth Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Carruth Author-Name: Jose Roberto Sanchez-Fung Author-X-Name-First: Jose Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez-Fung Title: Money demand in the Dominican Republic Abstract: This paper investigates a demand for money relationship for the Dominican Republic. The financial system of the Dominican Republic is underdeveloped, and there are no suitable domestic data on the opportunity cost of holding money. Economic links with the USA suggest a possible role for a foreign interest rate effect and a currency substitution effect in the demand for domestic money. A long-run demand for money relationship is developed from the perspective of alternative estimation methodologies, and it is shown that a 'literature standard' specification augmented by foreign monetary variables is robust. The ensuing short-run dynamic model is adequate, stable and suggests an important role for expected inflation, and a real bilateral exchange rate with the USA. A number of policy implications for the Dominican Republic are drawn from the results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1439-1449 Issue: 11 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050151511 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050151511 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:11:p:1439-1449 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Boardman Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Boardman Author-Name: Claude Laurin Author-X-Name-First: Claude Author-X-Name-Last: Laurin Title: Factors affecting the stock price performance of share issued privatizations Abstract: Shareholders in many share issued privatizations (SIPs) have enjoyed substantial increases in the value of their investments. This study examines the factors that influence the long-run stock price performance of an international sample of SIPs, focusing on three-year buy and hold returns. After controlling for market-wide changes in stock prices, one finds that the relative size of the company has a negative effect on stock price performance, retained government ownership has a positive effect, the presence of a golden share has a negative effect, initial underpricing has a positive effect, and the timing of the privatization has no effect. Performance also depends on the industry and home country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1451-1464 Issue: 11 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050151520 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050151520 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:11:p:1451-1464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Indira Kadyrkanova Author-X-Name-First: Indira Author-X-Name-Last: Kadyrkanova Author-Name: David Bessler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Author-Name: John Nichols Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Nichols Title: On milk prices in Kyrgyzstan Abstract: Dynamic relationships among weekly retail prices for milk from three regions of Kyrgyzstan are studied in an error correction framework. Observational data over the period January 1995 - May 1999 are used in the analysis. Results show that prices from the oblasts of Issyk-Kul and Djalal-Abad form one long-run cointegration relationship, with prices from Issyk-Kul exhibiting the property of weak exogeneity. Prices from the Osh oblast are not part of this relationship. These results are related to the levels of state-run milk marketing facilities versus private-run milk marketing facilities and surplus versus deficit milk production in each region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1465-1473 Issue: 11 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050151539 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050151539 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:11:p:1465-1473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Efthymios Tsionas Author-X-Name-First: Efthymios Author-X-Name-Last: Tsionas Title: Real convergence in Europe. How robust are econometric inferences? Abstract: The paper examines the convergence properties of productivity in fifteen European countries over the period 1960-1997. European productivity is estimated using modified translog production systems with a completely general intertemporal structure. To capture the notion that trade may have an influence on aggregate convergence, imports are included in the production function. Stationarity tests are used to test for convergence around a common long-run trend, including unit root tests, the KPSS and Bayesian tests, as well as testing based on fractional differencing parameter estimation for long memory models. It is found that convergence inferences are sensitive to the type of test employed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1475-1482 Issue: 11 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050151548 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050151548 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:11:p:1475-1482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pooran Lall Author-X-Name-First: Pooran Author-X-Name-Last: Lall Author-Name: Allen Featherstone Author-X-Name-First: Allen Author-X-Name-Last: Featherstone Author-Name: David Norman Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Norman Title: Productive efficiency and growth policies for the Caribbean Abstract: Productive (economic) efficiency and factors affecting it was evaluated in the Caribbean between 1983 to 1992. Results from non-parametric programming indicated that efficiency (i.e. pure technical, allocative and economic) measures were lower and more variable in Caribbean than in other Western Hemisphere countries (i.e. North America and Latin America). Tobit regression analysis indicated higher levels of private and foreign investments, productive infrastructure, credit availability, education level, and consumption of domestically produced goods had positive impacts on the efficiency measures. On the other hand, higher levels of public expenditure, income tax, and export taxes, and higher inflation rates had negative effects. These results support the current trend towards advocating more open economies (i.e. letting the free market work) and encouraging governments to confine their functions to facilitative/regulatory type roles and to undertaking tasks that are not generally undertaken by the private sector (e.g. developing infrastructure, providing education). Although, generally, the same factors were associated with efficiency in the Caribbean and Latin America, their relative impacts differed. Consequently, in order to improve efficiency in the Caribbean countries, relatively greater emphasis should be placed on encouraging foreign and private investment and developing infrastructure than would be the case in Latin American countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1483-1493 Issue: 11 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050151557 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050151557 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:11:p:1483-1493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Putsis Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Putsis Author-Name: Subrata Sen Author-X-Name-First: Subrata Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: Should NFL blackouts be banned? Abstract: In this paper, the authors examine the economic and policy implications of the National Football League (NFL) 'blackout rule,' a league rule that prohibits local television broadcast of games that are not sold out at least 72 hours prior to game time. The foundation for understanding and assessing the impact of the blackout rule is an analysis of attendance using data on games during the 1996-1997 National Football League season. Expanding on previous research, three separate components of attendance (season ticket sales, game day ticket sales, and game day noshows) are examined in detail. Accounting for the endogeneity of key variables, Tobit and Probit analyses are used to estimate and predict individual game attendance. These empirical estimates are then used as a vehicle to assess the implications of game day blackouts and the potential for public policy intervention. More specifically, the authors begin by estimating the impact of the blackout on game day attendance. Using these estimates, they assess the implications of imposing a local blackout for individual team revenues. The gain in on-site stadium revenue due to the blackout (e.g., through additional ticket and concession sales) are then viewed in the broader context of the societal loss due to the game not being broadcast in the local area. The empirical results suggest that the gain in team revenue is small in comparison to the loss of viewership rights. This suggests that public policy intervention may be possible that would result in a Pareto superior market outcome. The paper concludes by exploring possible intervention strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1495-1507 Issue: 12 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400418907 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400418907 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:12:p:1495-1507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sang-Kuck Chung Author-X-Name-First: Sang-Kuck Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Asymptotics of trend stationary fractionally integrated ARMA models Abstract: The main contribution of this study is to provide asymptotic results for MLE applied to the trend stationary ARFIMA model and to implement a detailed simulation study. For small sample sizes, the bias for the fractional parameter, d, can be quite substantial when the other parameters are also estimated simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1509-1514 Issue: 12 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400418916 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400418916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:12:p:1509-1514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shandre Mugan Thangavelu Author-X-Name-First: Shandre Mugan Author-X-Name-Last: Thangavelu Author-Name: David Owyong Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Owyong Title: Impact of public capital on the manufacturing productive performance of Japanese industries Abstract: The paper analyses the impact of public capital on the Japanese manufacturing industries from 1970 to 1995. Unlike previous studies, which are based mostly on economy-wide analysis, this study is based on a disaggregated analysis at the industry level. A Generalized Leontief cost function is utilized to estimate the impact of public capital on nine manufacturing industries in Japan. The results indicate that public capital offers no insignificant contribution to the productive performance of these manufacturing industries except for Paper, Textiles and Transport. The paper also suggests that the bubble economy in the 1980s is the contributing factor behind this insignificant effect of public capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1515-1520 Issue: 12 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400418925 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400418925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:12:p:1515-1520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Willie Belton Author-X-Name-First: Willie Author-X-Name-Last: Belton Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Capacity utilization rates and unemployment rates: are they complements or substitutes in warning about future inflation? Abstract: This research examines capacity utilization as a measure of economic slack in the US economy. Many macroeconomists have questioned the use of capacity utilization as a measure of economics slack on several fronts. The first issue revolves around the definition and accuracy of measurement of the capacity utilization rate in the US economy. Since this research uses existing Federal Reserve measures of capacity utilization, no insights into the definition and measurement issues are offered other than the fact that a consistent role was found for two different Fed measures of capacity utilization in explaining inflation. The second issue effectively involves the concern as to robustness of the link between the capacity utilization rate and inflation. There is indeed reason for the Federal Reserve to take note of changes in capacity utilization when trying to determine its policy position with regard to inflation. Clearly, the high capacity measure developed in this research offers distinct information about the inflation process. The third issue raises the question as to whether the capacity utilization and unemployment rates are complements or substitutes in the inflation equation. Both rates tend to provide similar information regarding price changes at low levels of aggregate resource usage. However, as resource usage in the economy becomes increasingly close to its maximum potential, the labour market impact on inflation, as capture by unemployment rate measures, is distinctly different from that of capacity constraints. Finally, if the capacity utilization rate is indeed a useful measure of inflationary pressure, is there a threshold level of the capacity utilization rate above which policymakers should become particularly concerned about the potential of accelerating inflation? Across two measures of inflation, the widely discussed capacity threshold level is in the 84-85% range. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1521-1532 Issue: 12 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400418934 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400418934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:12:p:1521-1532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mickael Lothgren Author-X-Name-First: Mickael Author-X-Name-Last: Lothgren Title: Specification and estimation of stochastic multiple-output production and technical inefficiency Abstract: This paper presents a primal-based approach for specification and estimation of multiple-output production frontiers that allows simultaneous identification and estimation of determinants of technical inefficiency. The proposed model extends the technical efficiency effects model by Battese and Coelli (1995) to general multiple-output technologies. An empirical application using Swedish health care panel data from the years 1989-1994 is included. The key issue is to test for the effects on technical efficiency of an organizational reform implemented with the primary purpose to increase efficiency. The results reveal no significant effect on technical efficiency of the reform, but evidence of overall decreased technical efficiency and technical progress in the provision of health care over the studied time period are found. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1533-1540 Issue: 12 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400418943 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400418943 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:12:p:1533-1540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michele McLennan Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: McLennan Title: Does household labour impact market wages? Abstract: This study investigates the hypothesis that women's greater home responsibilities contribute directly to their lower wages because household labour time reduces their market effort. OLS regressions show a significant negative effect of household labour hours on market wages for white married women, but not for other groups of women (single, black) or men. Regressions correcting for endogeneity of household hours in the wage equation or heterogeneity among women indicate there is no significant effect of household labour hours on wages for any demographic group. These results suggest that the evidence in support of the hypothesis is not compelling. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1541-1557 Issue: 12 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400418952 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400418952 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:12:p:1541-1557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarmistha Pal Author-X-Name-First: Sarmistha Author-X-Name-Last: Pal Author-Name: Jocelyn Kynch Author-X-Name-First: Jocelyn Author-X-Name-Last: Kynch Title: Determinants of occupational change and mobility in rural India Abstract: With a view to redress the dearth of economic analysis on occupational dynamics in rural household economies, this study examines the nature and characteristics of occupational change and mobility in rural India. Using the unique WIDER data-set from six villages in West Bengal, India the factors causing a change of primary occupation among those who tried to change occupation over a twelve-month recall period has been analysed. Bivariate probit estimates jointly determining the probability of trying to change occupation and having been successful suggest that success in changing occupation depends crucially on socially constructed 'status'- being older, male, from larger farming families or having higher schooling experience. They also exemplify the effects of regional diversity, levels of prosperity and different patterns of employment between agricultural and non-agricultural activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1559-1573 Issue: 12 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400418961 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400418961 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:12:p:1559-1573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaos Maniadakis Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Maniadakis Author-Name: Emmanuel Thanassoulis Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Thanassoulis Title: Assessing productivity changes in UK hospitals reflecting technology and input prices Abstract: In this study Malmquist productivity indexes are used to evaluate the performance of acute hospitals in the UK over the period after the introduction of the internal market in the National Health Service in 1991. The indexes are computed using nonparametric programming, known as Data Envelopment Analysis, and they are decomposed into multiple component measures to give insights into the trends in hospital performance. Overall it is found that productivity regressed in the year after the reforms but progressed thereafter so that overall there was a net progress both as far as the inputs and costs are concerned. Productivity progress is mainly due to overall efficiency progress, which in turn is mostly attributed to allocative efficiency improvements. Technical change resulted in a small reduction in the amount of inputs used but also at higher production costs, because of a worsening in the match between input mixes and relative input prices. However, it is suggested that the gains in productivity are not high enough to argue that the internal market has had a significant impact on productivity. Finally, it is argued that the methodologies employed here can be a valuable evaluative and managerial tool in the context of the new NHS reforms about to be introduced. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1575-1589 Issue: 12 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400418970 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400418970 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:12:p:1575-1589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Brown Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Dennis Glennon Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Glennon Title: Cost structures of banks grouped by strategic conduct Abstract: The hypothesis that the banking system consists of firms that use the same production technology is tested and rejected in this study. Six groupings of the population of commercial banks are identified using cluster analysis. The banks are grouped to reflect similar production technologies within groups but different technologies across groups as defined by the strategic conduct (i.e., activities) of the banks. The results suggest that banks in different clusters employ production processes that feature different degrees of substitutability between factors of production, and that the estimates of input substitutability for those groups look quite different from those estimated based on the full population of commercial banks. The impact of the homogeneity production technology assumption on the measurement of cost efficiency is also assessed. The results show that partitioning the industry by strategic conduct reduces the average inefficiency in the industry. These results support those found by others who used similar partitioning criteria but a more narrowly defined sample of banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1591-1605 Issue: 12 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400418989 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400418989 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:12:p:1591-1605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. M. Gazely Author-X-Name-First: A. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gazely Author-Name: J. M. Binner Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Binner Title: The application of neural networks to the Divisia index debate: evidence from three countries Abstract: If monetary policy is to be effective in controlling the macroeconomy, accurate measurement of the money supply is essential. The conventional way of measuring the level of the money supply is to simply sum the constituent liquid liabilities of banks. However, a more sophisticated, weighted monetary index has been proposed to take account of the varying degrees of liquidity of the short-term instruments included in money. Inferences about the effects of money on economic activity may depend importantly on the choice of monetary index because simple sum aggregates cannot internalize pure substitution effects. This hypothesis is investigated in the current paper. A Divisia index measure of money is constructed for the USA, UK and Italian economies and its inflation forecasting potential is compared with that of its simple sum counterpart in each of the three countries. The powerful Artificial Intelligence technique of neural networks is used to allow a completely flexible mapping of the variables and a greater variety of functional form than is currently achievable using conventional econometric techniques. The application of neural network methodology to examine the money-inflation link is highly experimental in nature and, hence, the overriding feature of this research is one of simplicity. Superior inflation forecasting models are achieved when a Divisia M2 measure of money is used in the majority of cases. This support for Divisia is entirely consistent with findings based on standard econometric techniques reported from the respective central and Federal Reserve banks of each country. Divisia monetary aggregates appear to offer advantages over their simple sum counterparts as macroeconomic indicators. Further, the combination of Divisia measures of money with the artificial neural network offers a promising starting point for improved models of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1607-1615 Issue: 12 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400418998 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400418998 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:12:p:1607-1615 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abul Masih Author-X-Name-First: Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Masih Author-Name: Rumi Masih Author-X-Name-First: Rumi Author-X-Name-Last: Masih Title: The dynamics of fertility, family planning and female education in a developing economy Abstract: Unlike most empirical works on fertility analysis, this study is the first attempt to analyse the dynamics of fertility and its determinants with a particular focus on the role played by female education and family planning programmes in the context of a traditional society. The analysis is based on the application of the following dynamic time-series techniques in a multivariate context: cointegration, vector error-correction modelling and variance decompositions. These 'dynamic' tools are recently developed and hitherto untried in fertility analysis in the context of a poor developing economy, such as India. The results based on the above most recently developed methodology, broadly indicate that in the complex dynamic interactions, the importance of conventional 'structural' hypothesis as a 'Granger-causal' factor in bringing fertility down in the longer term cannot be denied. However, overall, in the short to long term, the findings appear to be more consistent with the recent 'ideational' hypothesis (emphasizing the critical role played by the two policy variables in the analysis- i.e. changes in the female secondary enrolment ratios, and family planning programmes- to ensure 'initial' fertility decline) than with the conventional 'structural' hypothesis (emphasizing a significant socio-economic structural change as a pre-condition for 'initial' fertility decline). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1617-1627 Issue: 12 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400419005 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400419005 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:12:p:1617-1627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yiu-Wah Ho Author-X-Name-First: Yiu-Wah Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Roger Strange Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Strange Author-Name: Jenifer Piesse Author-X-Name-First: Jenifer Author-X-Name-Last: Piesse Title: CAPM anomalies and the pricing of equity: evidence from the Hong Kong market Abstract: Using a sample of equity stocks traded on the Hong Kong stock market, this study examines empirically the independent and joint roles of the more commonly hypothesized variables in explaining cross-sectional variation in average returns over the period from January 1980 to December 1994. Evidence indicates that beta, book leverage, earnings-price ratio and dividend yield are not priced, whereas significant book-to-market equity, market leverage (absorbed by book-to-market equity), size, and share price effects are observed. The findings should prove valuable in portfolio management and corporate financial decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1629-1636 Issue: 12 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400419014 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400419014 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:12:p:1629-1636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Clarke Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Clarke Title: Valuing the benefits of mobile mammographic screening units using the contingent valuation method Abstract: The benefits of improving access to mammographic screening are estimated using a contingent valuation experiment conducted on 458 women in 19 rural Australian towns. The contingent valuation survey provides women with information on mammographic screening and uses a closed-ended format to elicit their willingness to pay for a visit of a mobile mammographic screening unit. Single and double-bounded versions of the discrete response contingent valuation method are employed in the estimation of willingness to pay. The double-bounded contingent valuation approach is shown to be biased due to respondents having a greater disposition to respond 'no' when the bid amount in the follow-up question is higher than the bid amount offered in the initial question. Several approaches to dealing with this bias are examined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1647-1655 Issue: 13 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400420995 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400420995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:13:p:1647-1655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tilak Abeysinghe Author-X-Name-First: Tilak Author-X-Name-Last: Abeysinghe Title: Electronics and growth cycles in Singapore Abstract: With the help of spectral and structural time series analyses it is found that the demand for electronics in the USA goes through a cycle with a period of about four to five years. Because of the synchronized nature of the electronics market, the global demand for electronics is likely to follow a similar cycle. The electronics cycle is unlikely to be caused by a regular business cycle. The major cause of the electronics cycle appears to be a product cycle which results from the introduction of new products to the market. As a result countries like Singapore which depend heavily on electronics exports may face roller coaster rides, especially in their manufacturing growth. Product diversification is the best solution to the problem. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1657-1663 Issue: 13 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400421002 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400421002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:13:p:1657-1663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdul Wadud Author-X-Name-First: Abdul Author-X-Name-Last: Wadud Author-Name: Ben White Author-X-Name-First: Ben Author-X-Name-Last: White Title: Farm household efficiency in Bangladesh: a comparison of stochastic frontier and DEA methods Abstract: This study compares estimates of technical efficiency obtained from the stochastic frontier approach and the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) approach using farm-level survey data for rice farmers in Bangladesh. Technical inefficiency effects are modelled as a function of farm-specific socioeconomic factors, environmental factors and irrigation infrastructure. The results from both the approaches indicate that efficiency is significantly influenced by the factors measuring environmental degradation and irrigation infrastructure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1665-1673 Issue: 13 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400421011 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400421011 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:13:p:1665-1673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. J. A. Robson Author-X-Name-First: P. J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Robson Author-Name: R. J. Bennett Author-X-Name-First: R. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Bennett Title: The use and impact of business advice by SMEs in Britain: an empirical assessment using logit and ordered logit models Abstract: This study assesses the effect of differences in types of client on the use and impact of business advice by SMEs in Britain using new survey evidence from the Cambridge ESRC Centre for Business Research Survey of 1997. The survey, covering over 2500 respondents, is the largest and most definitive assessment available in Britain. Moreover, the survey allows an assessment of the full range of providers of external advice, the private sector, business associations and various public sector bodies, as well as the fields of advice. Using multivariate logit models it is found that size of firm, rate of growth and innovation appear to be the main variables influencing the likelihood of firms seeking external advice, both from different sources and from different fields. Other variables which are investigated include, age, profitability, skill levels, manufacturer/services, and exporter/nonexporter. Ordered logit models of the impact of the advice demonstrate that there are significant differences between clients' perceived impact of advice and the sources of advice they use, chiefly as a result of firm size, and to a lesser extent for growth, innovation and export levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1675-1688 Issue: 13 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400421020 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400421020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:13:p:1675-1688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tanweer Akram Author-X-Name-First: Tanweer Author-X-Name-Last: Akram Title: Publicly subsidized privatization: a simple model of dysfunctional privatization Abstract: This paper points out the limitations of the privatization programme in Bangladesh, with particular reference to the debt-default status of privatized firms. First, detailed analysis of the debt-default status of privatized firms is presented using data obtained from the central bank. Secondly, a simple model of dysfunctional privatization is constructed to show that perverse outcomes of privatization are possible. The experience of developing economies, such as Bangladesh, lends credence to the results of this model. Finally, various types of privatization are classified following Bhagwati's (1982) typology of directly unproductive profit-seeking activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1689-1699 Issue: 13 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400421039 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400421039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:13:p:1689-1699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jai Mah Author-X-Name-First: Jai Author-X-Name-Last: Mah Title: Antidumping decisions and macroeconomic variables in the USA Abstract: This paper investigates the macroeconomic factors that explain antidumping decisions in the US International Trade Commission. Johansen's cointegration test results show that there is a long run equilibrium relationship between growth of the percentage of affirmative antidumping decisions and trade balance. The error correction model shows that there is a causality running from the latter to the former. Growth of the percentage of affirmative antidumping decisions is revealed to cause slowdown in economic growth. Partisan characteristics are observed in the Commissioners' antidumping decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1701-1709 Issue: 13 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400421048 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400421048 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:13:p:1701-1709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harvey Cutler Author-X-Name-First: Harvey Author-X-Name-Last: Cutler Author-Name: Stephen Davies Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Davies Author-Name: Martin Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: Forecasting in a large macroeconomic system Abstract: This paper examines the efficiency gains yielded from estimating multiple equation cointegrated systems as compared to their single equation counterparts. In particular, this paper is concerned with the ability of utilizing the cointegrating information to improve forecasting performance. Recently an inability to improve forecasts of real income once money demand error correction terms were introduced has been used to argue that the M2 relationship had broken down during the early 1990s. However, the results suggest that once the underlying responses of variables are more closely investigated, the behaviour of M2 has remained stable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1711-1718 Issue: 13 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400421057 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400421057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:13:p:1711-1718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ronald Cummings Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Cummings Author-Name: Mary Beth Walker Author-X-Name-First: Mary Beth Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Title: Measuring the effectiveness of voluntary emission reduction programmes Abstract: This paper examines the evaluation of state environmental policies aimed at reducing ground level ozone in order to meet air quality standards set by the US Environmental Protection Agency. Several states with metropolitan areas that violate federal air quality regulations have adopted voluntary emission reduction programmes. These programmes focus on emissions from mobile sources, with the chief source being the automobile. States are allowed to claim credit towards bringing their metro areas closer to compliance with regulations only if they can provide credible evidence that these voluntary programmes are successful in reducing emissions. A model is developed to forecast aggregate traffic volumes so that one can assess the impact of the programme in reducing traffic flows during 'Ozone Action Days'. Background information on the difficulties of measuring the ozone problem and on the recent policies adopted by the US EPA is provided. Using data from the Atlanta, Georgia metropolitan area, the accuracy of the model is demonstrated and preliminary analysis of whether the programmes which began in the summer of 1998 has had the desired impact is provided. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1719-1726 Issue: 13 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400421066 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400421066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:13:p:1719-1726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Armstrong Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Armstrong Author-Name: Duncan McVicar Author-X-Name-First: Duncan Author-X-Name-Last: McVicar Title: Value added in further education and vocational training in Northern Ireland Abstract: At the age of 16, many young people in the UK decide to leave school and enter vocational education or training, either at a Further Education (FE) college, or on a Government training scheme. In spite of the size and importance of this group, the current debate about education and training standards has tended to focus more on how to improve schools, largely neglecting the potential contribution to be made by the FE and vocational training sectors. This study seeks to begin to redress this imbalance by examining the extent to which those young people leaving school and entering vocational education or training at 16 obtained further qualifications up to the age of 18. In particular, there is an examination of whether the choice between FE and Government training schemes at age 16 influences the subsequent success of young people in terms of gaining additional qualifications. Adopting an ordered probit approach to modelling qualifications levels, the results contradict the (somewhat pessimistic) common perception of Government training schemes. In particular, no significant differences per se are found between the value added performance of FE colleges and Government training schemes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1727-1736 Issue: 13 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400421075 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400421075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:13:p:1727-1736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Peel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: David Law Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: Michael Cain Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Cain Title: Product bundling and a rule of thumb versus the Harville formulae: can each way bets with UK bookmakers generate abnormal returns Abstract: Bookmakers practise a type of product bundling. To bet a horse for a place a punter has to bet an equal amount for a win. The returns to the place component of the bet are determined by a rule of thumb. This paper examines whether the product bundling negates a betting strategy that endeavours to exploit any inefficiency in pricing of the place component of each way bets based on the Harville formulae. In order to implement the Harville formulae Shin probabilities are employed, which correct for the favourite longshot bias in starting price odds, as measures of win probabilities. The analysis suggests that small positive expected returns to each way bets appear to exist. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1737-1744 Issue: 13 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400421084 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400421084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:13:p:1737-1744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Karemera Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Karemera Author-Name: Victor Iwuagwu Oguledo Author-X-Name-First: Victor Iwuagwu Author-X-Name-Last: Oguledo Author-Name: Bobby Davis Author-X-Name-First: Bobby Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Title: A gravity model analysis of international migration to North America Abstract: This study examines the influence of political, economic and demographic factors on the size and composition of migration flows to North America. A modified gravity model is specified and adjusted to include immigration regulations and characteristics specific to the origin and destination countries. For empirical test of the model, the time period of study is from 1976-1986, and 70 countries are covered for a total of 1540 observations of migration flows to Canada and the USA. The results reveal that the population of origin countries and the income of destination countries are two major determinants of migration to North America. High population areas of Asia and Latin America provided a large share of the immigrants. Domestic restrictions on political and civil freedom in origin countries are found to significantly impair migration to North America. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1745-1755 Issue: 13 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400421093 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400421093 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:13:p:1745-1755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Marc Falter Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Falter Author-Name: Christophe Perignon Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Perignon Title: Demand for football and intramatch winning probability: an essay on the glorious uncertainty of sports Abstract: The aims of this study are (i) to identify the main determinants of the demand for French Premiere Division football matches using all matches played during the 1997/1998 season, (ii) to estimate a team-specific probability of success, and (iii) to propose an updating process for the intramatch winning probability. The methodology is tested empirically over an out-of-sample data set using matches of the 1998/1999 season. The results show that football appears to be an inferior product affected by both socio-economic and football variables, and that the main football variables have only a tenuous explanatory power concerning the final outcome of a given match. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1757-1765 Issue: 13 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400421101 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400421101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:13:p:1757-1765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarah Brown Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: John Sessions Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Sessions Title: Employee militancy in Britain: 1985-1990 Abstract: This paper profiles individual strike incidence and militancy in Britain over the period 1985-1990 using data derived from the British Social Attitudes Survey. The approach of the study is to quantify the differential probabilities of strike activity and other forms of militant behaviour of particular groups within the population. Following studies from the USA in highlighting, in particular, the role of demographic and attitudinal influences. The results indicate that demographic influences are, in general, the key correlates of strike incidence and militancy ceteris paribus. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1767-1774 Issue: 13 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400421110 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400421110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:13:p:1767-1774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wayne Simpson Author-X-Name-First: Wayne Author-X-Name-Last: Simpson Title: Intermittent work activity and earnings Abstract: Patterns of intermittent work activity appear to be more common in the modern labour market, at least for younger workers. This study extends earlier models of the relationship between labour market intermittency and earnings to include both part time work and nonparticipation, to differentiate between past work experience and current job tenure, to allow for nonlinear experience effects, and to account for selection bias arising from the exclusion of nonworkers. The results suggest that the effects of part time work and nonparticipation on earnings are similar. Moreover, some common patterns emerge: the effects are larger for women, greater for young workers, and greater when intermittency replaces current job tenure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1777-1786 Issue: 14 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400424991 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400424991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:14:p:1777-1786 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Panik Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Panik Title: Estimating global returns to scale with a cone-homogeneous production function: some cross-section results Abstract: This paper employs a cone-homogeneous production function to approximate, as closely as desired, a ray-homogeneous production function. Points in input space are projected by an output scaling function on to a fixed ray and a Cobb-Douglas cone function is used to obtain an estimate of global returns to scale. The empirical results indicate that we get a good approximation to a ray-homogeneous production function from the estimated cone-homogeneous function. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1787-1791 Issue: 14 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400425008 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400425008 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:14:p:1787-1791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amparo Sanchis Author-X-Name-First: Amparo Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchis Title: Does privatization remove restrictive working practices? Evidence from UK establishments Abstract: This study investigates the links between privatization and changes in working practices using data from the UK 1990 Workplace Employees Relations Survey. Privatization raises the probability of an establishment of experiencing reduced job demarcation and/or increased flexibility in the use of the workforce by managers. After exploration no clear association is found between ownership and the level of restrictive working practices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1793-1800 Issue: 14 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400425017 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400425017 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:14:p:1793-1800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Brown Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Title: Hedonic price indexes and the distribution of buyers across the product space: an application to mainframe computers Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1801-1808 Issue: 14 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400425026 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400425026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:14:p:1801-1808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Holger Gorg Author-X-Name-First: Holger Author-X-Name-Last: Gorg Title: Multinational companies and indirect employment: measurement and evidence Abstract: This study suggests a new approach towards measuring the indirect employment effects of multinational companies (MNCs) using a simple Cobb-Douglas production function. Based on the assumption that domestic sales by indigenous firms in a sector are supplies for multinationals in that sector rather than final goods, indirect employment effects are measured as the effect of an increase in domestically purchased inputs on employment in indigenously-owned suppliers. Applying this measure to data for the electronics sector in Ireland we find that there have been positive indirect effects of MNCs on employment in indigenous firms. The value of the estimated coefficients depends somewhat on the specification of the model estimated but the standard specification suggests that a 10% increase in domestically sold output by indigenous firms leads to an employment growth of around 2% in these firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1809-1818 Issue: 14 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400425035 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400425035 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:14:p:1809-1818 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dhaneshwar Ghura Author-X-Name-First: Dhaneshwar Author-X-Name-Last: Ghura Author-Name: Barry Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Title: Determinants of private investment: a cross-regional empirical investigation Abstract: This study investigates the determinants of private investment in Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), and Latin America with panel data for the period 1975-1992. Econometric tests indicated a preference for the random effects estimation procedure over other alternatives. The results, with pooled data for all the 31 countries in the sample, confirm some results found elsewhere in the empirical literature. Namely, private investment in developing countries is stimulated by real GDP growth, increases in government investment, improvements in financial intermediation, reductions in credit to the government, and declines in world interest rates. Another interesting result relates to the important role played by educational development in stimulating private investment. Nevertheless, statistically significant adverse effects of external debt on private investment found by other studies could not be confirmed by this study. In addition, the results for the full sample of countries are by no means common across the regions. While real GDP growth stimulated private investment in Asia and Latin America, its effect was not significant in SSA. Also, while government investment stimulated private investment in SSA, it had the opposite effect in Asia and Latin America. In addition, private investment was stimulated by increases in private sector credit in Asia and SSA, but not in Latin America. Also, increases in credit to the government had significant adverse effects on private investment in SSA and Latin America. Further, the adverse effects of external shocks were statistically significant only in SSA, a result that confirms the view that the region is vulnerable to these shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1819-1829 Issue: 14 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400425044 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400425044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:14:p:1819-1829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Padma Rao Sahib Author-X-Name-First: Padma Rao Author-X-Name-Last: Sahib Title: The information content of wage and duration data in a search model Abstract: Estimates of the parameters of the wage offer density and the offer arrival process of a simple search model are presented in this paper. The optimality constraint from the search model is treated as a restriction and its effect on parameter estimates is analysed. Estimates from wage data alone and estimates from duration data alone can be interpreted as unrestricted estimates while estimates obtained from wage and duration data together can be interpreted as restricted estimates. This interpretation allows a test of the optimality constraint which is rejected by the data used. Estimates reveal a substantial difference in the information contained in wages and the information contained in durations, but benefit elasticities are consistent with findings from previous studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1831-1839 Issue: 14 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400425053 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400425053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:14:p:1831-1839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsu-Tan Fu Author-X-Name-First: Tsu-Tan Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Lung-An Li Author-X-Name-First: Lung-An Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yih-Ming Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yih-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Kamhon Kan Author-X-Name-First: Kamhon Author-X-Name-Last: Kan Title: A limited information estimator for the multivariate ordinal probit model Abstract: A limited information estimator for the multivariate ordinal probit model is developed. The main advantage of the estimator is that even for high dimensional models, the estimation procedure requires the evaluation of bivariate normal integrals only. The proposed estimator also avoids the potential problem of encountering local maxima in the estimation process, which is looming using maximum likelihood. The performance of the limited information estimator is shown by Monte Carlo experiments to be excellent and it is comparable to that of the maximum likelihood estimator. Finally, an application of the limited information multivariate ordinal probit to model the consumption level of cigarette, alcohol and betel nut is presented. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1841-1851 Issue: 14 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400425062 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400425062 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:14:p:1841-1851 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Willie Belton Author-X-Name-First: Willie Author-X-Name-Last: Belton Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Capacity utilization rates and unemployment rates: are they complements or substitutes in warning about future inflation? Abstract: This research examines capacity utilization as a measure of economic slack in the US economy. Many macroeconomists have questioned the use of capacity utilization as a measure of economics slack on several fronts. The first issue revolves around the definition and accuracy of measurement of the capacity utilization rate in the US economy. Since this research use existing Federal Reserve measures of capacity utilization no insights into the definition and measurement issues are offered other than the fact that a consistent role is found for two different Fed measures of capacity utilization in explaining inflation. The second issue effectively involves the concern as to robustness of the link between the capacity utilization rate and inflation. It was found that there is indeed reason for the Federal Reserve to take note of changes in capacity utilization when trying to determine its policy position with regard to inflation. Clearly, the high capacity measure developed in this research offers distinct information about the inflation process. The third issue raises the question as to whether the capacity utilization and unemployment rates are complements or substitutes in the inflation equation. Both rates tend to provide similar information regarding price changes at low levels of aggregate resource usage. However, as resource usage in the economy becomes increasingly close to its maximum potential, the labour market impact on inflation, as capture by unemployment rate measures, is distinctly different from that of capacity constraints. Finally, if the capacity utilization rate is indeed a useful measure of inflationary pressure, is there a threshold level of the capacity utilization rate above which policymakers should become particularly concerned about the potential of accelerating inflation? It was found that across two measures of inflation, the widely discussed capacity threshold level is in the 84-85% range. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1853-1864 Issue: 14 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400425071 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400425071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:14:p:1853-1864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Svenn-Age Dahl Author-X-Name-First: Svenn-Age Author-X-Name-Last: Dahl Author-Name: Oivind Anti Nilsen Author-X-Name-First: Oivind Anti Author-X-Name-Last: Nilsen Author-Name: Kjell Vaage Author-X-Name-First: Kjell Author-X-Name-Last: Vaage Title: Work or retirement? Exit routes for Norwegian elderly Abstract: This study analyses early retirement pathways for Norwegian male and female workers, applying a multinomial logit model to a data set covering more than 10500 employees, ages 56-61, in 1989. The aim is to analyse the transition to different destinations, i.e. disability pension, unemployment benefits, and out of the labour force, in the period 1989-1995. Both family characteristics, expected income in different end-states, and push factors, such as industry attachment and local unemployment, are important for the early retirement process. Findings also indicate that there are several gender differences. The explanatory variables have different effects on the different exit routes for males as well as for females. The hypothesis that disability and unemployment are exchangeable pathways into early retirement is rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1865-1876 Issue: 14 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400425080 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400425080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:14:p:1865-1876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. C. H. Jones Author-X-Name-First: J. C. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: J. A. Schofield Author-X-Name-First: J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Schofield Author-Name: D. E. A. Giles Author-X-Name-First: D. E. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Our fans in the north: the demand for British Rugby League Abstract: This paper reports the results of estimating a single equation model of an attendance function for British Rugby League over the seasons 1982/83 to 1990/91. The data are panel data covering virtually every team which played in the two division league over the nine year time period. Diagnostic tests indicate that the appropriate model is a semilog random effects model, where the dependent variable is league attendance weighted by population. The major results are as follows: there are significant positive relationships between league attendance and various measures of team success (although the direction of causality is moot), team quality (as proxied by the two divisions) and the economic quality of team location (as proxied by the unemployment rate); but there is no discernible relationship between league attendance and either success in nonleague trophy competitions or measures of exceptional player quality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1877-1887 Issue: 14 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400425099 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400425099 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:14:p:1877-1887 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rand Ressler Author-X-Name-First: Rand Author-X-Name-Last: Ressler Author-Name: Melissa Waters Author-X-Name-First: Melissa Author-X-Name-Last: Waters Title: Female earnings and the divorce rate: a simultaneous equations model Abstract: Economists have contributed a great deal of research, both theoretical and empirical, to the study of marital formation and dissolution. Many empirical examinations of marriage and divorce rates exist based on Becker's seminal contributions to the literature. All of these divorce studies are single equation models, with female earnings assumed exogenous. As discussed by Becker (1981), however, causality may run in the opposite direction as well: the divorce rate may influence female earnings. This paper estimates a simultaneous equations model in which divorce rates and female earnings are the jointly endogenous variables. Data are by state, for 1960, 1970, 1980 and 1990. The state-wide divorce rate equation is an extension of Waters and Ressler (1999), and the specification of a state-wide earnings equation follows standard human capital theory. The specification of joint endogeneity between female earnings and the divorce rate allows valid inferences to be made regarding the effect of female earnings on divorce for the first time. Most previous single equation studies of divorce have found that increases in female earnings significantly increase divorce rates. A simultaneous equations model will allow inferences to be made regarding the possibility of joint determination, which may cause a reevaluation of previous results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1889-1898 Issue: 14 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400425107 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400425107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:14:p:1889-1898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luigi Cannari Author-X-Name-First: Luigi Author-X-Name-Last: Cannari Author-Name: Francesco Nucci Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Nucci Author-Name: Paolo Sestito Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Sestito Title: Geographic labour mobility and the cost of housing: evidence from Italy Abstract: In recent years, internal migration in Italy has declined markedly, notwithstanding the widening of the North-South gap in terms of unemployment rates and real income. Here, the extent to which the housing market has contributed to the decline is examined. Preliminary to this analysis, differentials in the cost of housing between the macro-areas of the country are estimated using data on the market price of houses located in 96 provincial capitals. Econometric evidence is provided supporting the view that the North-South housing price differential is a notable factor in explaining the falling pattern of mobility. The positive impact on migration from the South to the North of a wider gap in the two areas in terms of income and employment prospects has been offset by the housing price differential, which has steadily risen at least from the mid-1980s onwards. Yet, a considerable share of the decrease in mobility remains unexplained, possibly owing to the heterogeneity in the composition of migration flows across different cohorts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1899-1906 Issue: 14 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400425116 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400425116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:14:p:1899-1906 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Cranfield Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Cranfield Author-Name: Paul Preckel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Preckel Author-Name: James Eales Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Eales Author-Name: Thomas Hertel Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Hertel Title: On the estimation of 'an implicitly additive demand system' Abstract: Motivated by a lack of Engel flexibility in commonly used demand systems, Rimmer and Powell developed a new demand system. This system, referred to AIDADS, is implicitly, directly additive, possesses marginal budget shares and thus Engel elasticities, that vary nonlinearly with expenditure such that predicted budget shares are restricted to the [0,1] interval. Due to these attractive Engel properties, AIDADS represents a significant contribution to the literature on demand analysis. This paper presents an alternative estimation procedure to the one used by Rimmer and Powell and examines its properties via a case study. The proposed approach avoids a linear approximation employed in Rimmer and Powell's estimation framework. Based on a small Monte Carlo study, it appears that the approach produces more accurate estimates of the parameters and Engel elasticities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1907-1915 Issue: 15 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050155832 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050155832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:15:p:1907-1915 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Prieto-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Prieto-Rodriguez Author-Name: Cesar Rodriguez-Gutierrez Author-X-Name-First: Cesar Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez-Gutierrez Title: The added worker effect in the Spanish case Abstract: This study estimates several equations of labour participation for married women to check if the 'added worker hypothesis' is fulfilled in the Spanish case. To test this hypothesis a subsample of married women are used, obtained from the Survey of Structure, Conscience and Biography of Class of the year 1991 (SCBC-91). The main outcome is that women's labour participation in Spain is still conditioned by their husbands' labour status. Specifically, women's labour participation is stimulated when their husbands are unemployed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1917-1925 Issue: 15 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050155841 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050155841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:15:p:1917-1925 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felix J. Lopez Iturriaga Author-X-Name-First: Felix J. Lopez Author-X-Name-Last: Iturriaga Title: A panel data study on Spanish firms' inventory investment Abstract: This paper raises several questions about inventory investment of a sample of 172 big nonfinancial Spanish companies. Inventory investment has been usually explained by two alternative theories: the production smoothing model and the (S,s) model. First, we provide a descriptive analysis based on industry-level data to show some shortcomings of the first model. Then, we test a flexible accelerator model using firm-level data. The results seem to show that inventory investment, previous-period inventories and sales are closely and significantly related. This evidence, although not conclusive, rejects both the pure production smoothing model and the (S,s) model. At the same time, our results confirm the view of a target inventory level and the plausibility of the so-called stock-adjustment model, so that the optimal inventory holding buffers sales volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1927-1937 Issue: 15 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050155850 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050155850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:15:p:1927-1937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inmaculada Martinez-Zarzoso Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez-Zarzoso Author-Name: Celestino Suarez-Burguet Author-X-Name-First: Celestino Author-X-Name-Last: Suarez-Burguet Title: The determinants of trade performance: influence of R&D on export flows Abstract: A theoretical model is presented, in which supply side differences between countries determine international trade flows. This model is empirically tested at a sectoral level for a group of EU countries, within a framework that focuses on changes through time and differences between countries. The results show that the validity of the theoretical model is limited at sectoral level. However, as expected, we find that the variable representing technological differences is significant and correctly signed for high-technology sectors. The evidence points to the existence of different production functions across countries and to the importance of supply side factors in determining the direction and the terms of trade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1939-1946 Issue: 15 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050155869 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050155869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:15:p:1939-1946 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandra Decker Author-X-Name-First: Sandra Author-X-Name-Last: Decker Title: Medicaid, AFDC and family formation Abstract: This paper uses the fact that states joined the Medicaid programme at different times between early 1966 and early 1970 to estimate the effect of health insurance availability on childbearing and marital choice. Data on women aged 15 to 45 during the 1964 to 1972 period from the March Current Population Survey (CPS) is used to estimate Medicaid's effect on the probability that a woman has recently given birth and is not married. It is found that the introduction of Medicaid led to a small but statistically significant increase in the probability that a woman is single and has recently given birth. Specifically, the introduction of Medicaid led to a 0.3 percentage point increase in the probability that a woman is a single mother of young children. This is an approximately 10% increase relative to the average fraction of single mothers in the sample of about 3%. Although nonwhite women are on average more likely to be single mothers than white women are, it is found that Medicaid did not significantly contribute to the formation of nonwhite female-headed families. In contrast, Medicaid led to an approximately 14% increase in the probability that a white woman is a single mother. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1947-1956 Issue: 15 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050155878 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050155878 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:15:p:1947-1956 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alison Preston Author-X-Name-First: Alison Author-X-Name-Last: Preston Title: Market and spillover forces in wage award determination in Australia: 1986 to 1997 Abstract: This paper examines the role of market and spillover forces in wage award determination in Australia. The results show, consistent with other similar studies, that wage awards are only weakly related to market forces. In the period studied (1986 to 1997) spillover forces emerge as the dominant determinant of award wage adjustments. The results thus provide some empirical evidence for phenomenon such as wage rigidity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1957-1965 Issue: 15 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050155887 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050155887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:15:p:1957-1965 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tim Coelli Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Coelli Author-Name: Sergio Perelman Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Perelman Title: Technical efficiency of European railways: a distance function approach Abstract: This study has two principal objectives. The first objective is to measure and compare the performance of European railways. The second objective is to illustrate the usefulness of econometric distance functions in the analysis of production in multioutput industries, where behavioural assumptions such as cost minimization or profit maximization, are unlikely to be applicable. Using annual data on 17 railways companies during 1988-1993, multioutput distance functions are estimated using corrected ordinary least squares (COLS). The resulting technical efficiency estimates range from 0.980 for the Netherlands to 0.784 for Italy, with a mean of 0.863. The distance function results are also compared with those obtained from single-output production functions, where aggregate output measures are formed using either total revenue or a Tornqvist index. The results obtained indicate substantial differences in parameter estimates and technical efficiency rankings, casting significant doubt upon the reliability of these single-output models, particularly when a total revenue measure is used to proxy aggregate output. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1967-1976 Issue: 15 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050155896 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050155896 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:15:p:1967-1976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jalal Siddiki Author-X-Name-First: Jalal Author-X-Name-Last: Siddiki Title: Demand for money in Bangladesh: a cointegration analysis Abstract: The aim of this study is to estimate the demand for real broad (M2) money in Bangladesh using the most recently developed autoregressive distributed lag approach to cointegration analyses. The empirical results show that there is a unique cointegrated and stable long-run relationship among real per capita broad money demand, real per capita income, domestic interest rates and unofficial exchange rate (UM) premiums which act as a surrogate for foreign interest rates. With money as the dependent variable, the results show that the income and interest elasticities are positive while the UM premium elasticity is negative. These results suggest that distortions in the financial and foreign exchange markets should be reduced in order to increase financial saving or monetary accumulation. Our results also reveal that the demand for money in Bangladesh is stable despite the changes in financial and exchange rate policies between 1975 and 1995. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1977-1984 Issue: 15 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050155904 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050155904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:15:p:1977-1984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Burton Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Burton Author-Name: Richard Dorsett Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Dorsett Author-Name: Trevor Young Author-X-Name-First: Trevor Author-X-Name-Last: Young Title: An investigation of the increasing prevalence of nonpurchase of meat by British households Abstract: The purpose of the analysis has been to investigate the determinants of the household's decisions regarding the purchase of meat in Great Britain. The approach, using a Box-Cox generalization of the 'double hurdle' model, has depicted the household making two choices, namely whether or not to purchase the product (the participation decision) and then, for those households which do purchase, how much to buy (the expenditure decision). The determinants considered are socioeconomic variables, such as the total expenditure of the household, market prices, characteristics of the householder (age, gender, education, type of employment) and characteristics of the household (location, presence of children, etc.). By conducting the analysis over several years of survey data (1975-1993) it is possible to investigate whether the influence of these variables has changed over time. The bulk of the empirical analysis has concerned single adult households (with or without children). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1985-1991 Issue: 15 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050155913 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050155913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:15:p:1985-1991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kerry Patterson Author-X-Name-First: Kerry Author-X-Name-Last: Patterson Title: Finite sample bias of the least squares estimator in an AR(p) model: estimation, inference, simulation and examples Abstract: This paper shows that the first order bias of least squares estimators of the coefficients of an AR(p) model is important for 'typical' macroeconomic time series and proposes a simple to apply method of bias reduction. Biases in individual coefficients often cumulate in the sum with far-reaching consequences for the cumulative impulse response function. This function, being nonlinear in the underlying coefficients, is particularly sensitive to biases when, as is often the case, the shocks are long-lived. Simulations and examples demonstrate some of the magnitudes involved. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1993-2005 Issue: 15 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050155922 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050155922 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:15:p:1993-2005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Renuka Mahadevan Author-X-Name-First: Renuka Author-X-Name-Last: Mahadevan Title: How technically efficient are Singapore's manufacturing industries? Abstract: This study attempts to understand the technical efficiency performance (i.e. how well resources and given technology are being used) in 28 manufacturing industries in Singapore from 1975-1994, using an improved version of the stochastic frontier model. In addition, an analytical model is used to investigate the causes of technical inefficiency in these industries to help policy formulation. The efficiency performance of foreign and local-dominated industries is also closely examined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2007-2014 Issue: 15 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050155931 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050155931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:15:p:2007-2014 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phil Shackley Author-X-Name-First: Phil Author-X-Name-Last: Shackley Author-Name: Cam Donaldson Author-X-Name-First: Cam Author-X-Name-Last: Donaldson Title: Willingness to pay for publicly-financed health care: how should we use the numbers? Abstract: This paper addresses the question of how willingness to pay (WTP) values in health care evaluation can be used by policy makers. The way in which WTP values are used depends on from whom values are elicited and whether the good concerned is privately-financed or publicly-financed through taxation. Thus, four possible uses of WTP values are identified. The focus is on the two uses which arise in the publiclyfinanced situation. 'Conventional' use of WTP values, where the decision as to whether or not to provide a service depends upon whether or not WTP values are greater than total cost, applies only in the privately-financed, and not publiclyfinanced situations. The situations with publicly-financed goods are more complex. The use of WTP values for publicly-financed goods is justified and illustrated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2015-2021 Issue: 15 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050155940 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050155940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:15:p:2015-2021 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Keith Schwer Author-X-Name-First: R. Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Schwer Author-Name: Rennae Daneshvary Author-X-Name-First: Rennae Author-X-Name-Last: Daneshvary Title: Tipping participation and expenditures in beauty salons Abstract: Research on tipping has been limited to restaurants, tourism and taxis. This study investigates the economic and demographic factors that influence whether a person tips and the amount tipped for a haircut in a beauty salon. Using a two-step model, it is found that both economic and demographic factors influence tipping behaviour. A person is more likely to tip if he/she has long hair, attends to grooming on a frequent basis, has a lower income, and is male. Price, gender, age, and the use of appointments are factors that influence the amount that one tips. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2023-2031 Issue: 15 Volume: 32 Year: 2000 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840050155959 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840050155959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:32:y:2000:i:15:p:2023-2031 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vania Sena Author-X-Name-First: Vania Author-X-Name-Last: Sena Title: The Generalized Malmquist index and capacity utilization change: an application to the Italian manufacturing, 1989-1994 Abstract: Several indices of plant capacity utilization based on the concept of best practice frontier have been proposed in the literature (Fare et al. 1992; De Borger and Kerstens, 1998). This paper suggests an alternative measure of capacity utilization change based on Generalized Malmquist index, proposed by Grifell-Tatje' and Lovell in 1998. The advantage of this specification is that it allows the measurement of productivity growth ignoring the nature of scale economies. Afterwards, this index is used to measure capacity change of a panel of Italian firms over the period 1989-94 using Data Envelopment Analysis and then its abilities of explaining the short-run movements of output are assessed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-9 Issue: 1 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122173 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:1:p:1-9 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satya Paul Author-X-Name-First: Satya Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: Ahmad Assadzadeh Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Author-X-Name-Last: Assadzadeh Title: Empirical earnings functions for Iran Abstract: Some recent studies have debated the appropriateness of semi-log earnings function in approximating actual earnings profiles. This study contributes further to this debate by estimating four specifications of earnings function, namely, semi-log quadratic, semi-log cubic, quadratic and cubic with cross section data for 4035 full-time urban male earners in Iran for 1993. The analysis shows that the semi-log quadratic earnings function fits the actual empirical earnings profiles very poorly. The quadratic earnings function provides a much better approximation to the actual earnings. Measures of out-of-sample prediction errors also show the superiority of quadratic function over others. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 11-21 Issue: 1 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122017 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122017 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:1:p:11-21 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chaoshin Chiao Author-X-Name-First: Chaoshin Author-X-Name-Last: Chiao Title: The relationship between R&D and physical investment of firms in science-based industries Abstract: This study is motivated by the one-way-inducement hypothesis that R&D induces (Granger-causes) physical investment, but physical investment does not induce R&D, raised by Lach and Schankerman (1989) and Lach and Rob (1996). It is demonstrated that their results do not hold, after extending the sample that matches their criteria by including more time periods and/or more firms. Namely, it is found that the Granger causality between R&D and physical investment occurs both ways. It is also shown that their contemporary relationship, derived by dynamic simultaneous expressions, is positive in both ways, from current R&D to current physical investment and from current physical investment to current R&D. Moreover, previous R&D affects current physical investment, and previous physical investment also affects current R&D. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 23-35 Issue: 1 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/713758640 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/713758640 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:1:p:23-35 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suzanne Heller Clain Author-X-Name-First: Suzanne Heller Author-X-Name-Last: Clain Author-Name: Karen Leppel Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Leppel Title: An investigation into sexual orientation discrimination as an explanation for wage differences Abstract: This study explores the effects of sexual orientation on earnings. It is found that, ceteris paribus, men living with male partners tend to earn less than other men, and women living with female partners tend to earn more than other women. These earnings differentials tend to vary by region. They also vary by education and occupation for men, and with the presence of minor children for women. In addition, the age-earnings profiles of women living with female partners tend to be higher, flatter, and less concave than those of other women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 37-47 Issue: 1 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122961 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122961 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:1:p:37-47 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Reginald Darius Author-X-Name-First: Reginald Author-X-Name-Last: Darius Title: Debt neutrality: theory and evidence from developing countries Abstract: This paper reviews the Ricardian-Barro hypothesis and tests the basic postulate of the model for a sample of developing countries including Mexico and Venezuela. Two specifications are utilized, the first is based on the simple consumption model associated with the work of Kormendi (1983). The alternative is based on a model developed by Haque and Montiel (1987). The outcome of the two-stage least square estimation technique rejected the hypothesis in Mexico, Trinidad and Tobago and Venezuela, all countries, which underwent adjustment programmes. However these results were reversed when the alternative model was utilized due to liquidity constraint and possibly the Yaari-Blanchard effect. The contradictory outcome alludes to the sensitivity of the results to the model specified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 49-58 Issue: 1 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122044 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:1:p:49-58 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Allan Layton Author-X-Name-First: Allan Author-X-Name-Last: Layton Author-Name: Masaki Katsuura Author-X-Name-First: Masaki Author-X-Name-Last: Katsuura Title: A new turning point signalling system using the Markov switching model with application to Japan, the USA and Australia Abstract: A new business cycle turning point signalling system is proposed and examined by using Japanese, US and Australian composite indexes of economic activity. Time varying transition probabilities in a Markov regime-switching model are used as the basis of the signalling system. The performance of the system is satisfactory, though its reliability varies between peaks and troughs and across countries. Based on data up until May 1998, the system suggests the absence of turning points in any of the three countries in 1998. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 59-70 Issue: 1 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121698 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121698 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:1:p:59-70 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Quinn Weninger Author-X-Name-First: Quinn Author-X-Name-Last: Weninger Title: An analysis of the efficient production frontier in the fishery: implications for enhanced fisheries management Abstract: The transformation relationship between factor inputs and outputs - the efficient production frontier (EPF)- contains important information for fisheries managers. A directional technology distance function model of the harvesting technology is used to measure changes in the EPF over time. Frontier shifts are summarized with input- and output-based frontier indicators that are interpreted as measures of bioeconomic productivity change. The model is applied to the Mid-Atlantic surf clam and ocean quahog fishery. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 71-79 Issue: 1 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122937 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122937 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:1:p:71-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ju-Chin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ju-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Precision of dichotomous choice contingent valuation welfare measures: some simulation results Abstract: The purpose of this research is to examine the roles of individuals' heterogeneous economic factors and model misspecification in dichotomous choice contingent valuation welfare measurement. Willingness to pay for an improvement of environmental quality is studied. Simulation results indicate that the precision of welfare estimates increases with individuals' income levels and decreases with the price of the quality-related good. The dependence of the consumption of the quality-related good on the environmental quality also affects the reliability of welfare estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 91-101 Issue: 1 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122344 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:1:p:91-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Title: Nominal and real effective exchange rates of middle eastern countries and their trade performance Abstract: Indexes of real and nominal effective exchange rates that are published by the IMF, are mostly for industrial countries. None of the Middle Eastern countries have received any attention on this regard. This paper tries to close the gap by constructing such indexes for 11 middle eastern countries over 1971(I)-1994(IV) period. As an application, long-run response of their trade balance to devaluation is also investigated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 103-111 Issue: 1 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122490 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122490 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:1:p:103-111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kare Johansen Author-X-Name-First: Kare Author-X-Name-Last: Johansen Author-Name: Kristen Ringdal Author-X-Name-First: Kristen Author-X-Name-Last: Ringdal Author-Name: Thortle Thøring Author-X-Name-First: Thortle Author-X-Name-Last: Thøring Title: Firm profitability, regional unemployment and human capital in wage determination Abstract: This paper presents an analysis of wage formation in the Norwegian private sector using data for individual workers matched with firm level information and regional unemployment. A key issue is to test whether or not firm specific variables affect individual wages after controlling for individual specific factors and working conditions. The results imply positive effects of firm specific profitability and firm size. The elasticity of wages with respect to value added per worker and firm size is 5% and 3.3%, respectively. Empirical evidence of a downward sloping regional wage curve is also reported, while there is no support of the hypothesis of compensating wage differentials. Since data for three levels of aggregation are used, the OLS estimates of the standard errors are downward biased. Therefore, results using a random effects model are also reported, taking the multi-level structure of the data into account. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 113-121 Issue: 1 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122818 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122818 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:1:p:113-121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Sanjuan Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Sanjuan Author-Name: Jose Gil Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Title: Price transmission analysis: a flexible methodological approach applied to European pork and lamb markets Abstract: The study of spatial price relationships helps to explain market performance and their degree of integration. Applying only one method of analysis may not be flexible enough to account for the complex interactions of prices in separated markets. This paper complements usual cointegration tests with a description of dynamic features and patterns of causality among price series. The method proposed is applied to study spatial pork and lamb prices relationships within the EU in the period 1988-1995. The results indicate that European markets for both commodities are integrated, not only in the long run but in the short run as well, although the price transmission process is more efficient in the porkmeat industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 123-131 Issue: 1 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122171 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:1:p:123-131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marta Sanmartin Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Sanmartin Title: Linearity of the return to education and self selection Abstract: This paper investigates the earnings-education profile in Spain. First no functional form is imposed on this relation but instead dummy variables are used for each year of education. Second, different alternatives are analysed until the best parametric form is found. Moreover problems related to the self selection of individuals and to the segmentation of the labour market based on the educational level are considered. The main results indicate that the effect of education on earnings is not significant until individuals finish secondary education and from there onwards the relationship can be considered linear. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 133-142 Issue: 1 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121772 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121772 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:1:p:133-142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francois-Charles Wolff Author-X-Name-First: Francois-Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Title: Private intergenerational contact in France and the demonstration effect Abstract: This study analyses motives for intergenerational contact from adult children to their middle-aged parents. If these transfers may be explained either by altruism or by exchange, we mainly focus on the demonstration effect where households take care of their own parents in order to elicit a future support from their children. We test the model using a cross-sectional survey from 1992 about private transfers in France. According to the data, the presence of children increases the amount of visits that respondents provide to their parents and the econometric results still hold after controlling for unobserved familial heterogeneity using fixed effects. Although this empirical evidence is consistent with the demonstration effect, we suggest an alternative interpretation for the positive correlation based on the care of grandchildren. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 143-153 Issue: 2 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122181 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:2:p:143-153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Arango Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Arango Author-Name: Andres Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Title: Some evidence of smooth transition nonlinearity in Colombian inflation Abstract: Evidence of smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) representations is found in two, out of three, time series of different measures of annual inflation in Colombia during this decade for monthly data. The STAR-type nonlinearities are asymmetric for inflation computed as the variation of CPI while for (a measure of) core inflation are symmetric. Thus, LSTAR and ESTAR models were, respectively, estimated. No evidence of nonlinearity is found for traded goods inflation. Given the local dynamic properties of the estimated LSTAR model, only positive shocks to prices could shift negative accelerating inflation rate from the upper to the lower regime. By the same token, only stochastic shocks can move the core accelerating inflation rate from the outer regime to the middle one but the explosive nature of this regime will impulse the accelerating inflation rate to the outer one. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 155-162 Issue: 2 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122443 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:2:p:155-162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Giuffrida Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Giuffrida Author-Name: Hugh Gravelle Author-X-Name-First: Hugh Author-X-Name-Last: Gravelle Title: Measuring performance in primary care: econometric analysis and DEA Abstract: We use data from the Health Service Indicators database to compare different methods of measuring the performance of English Family Health Services Authorities (FHSAs) in providing primary care. A variety of regression and data envelopment analysis methods are compared as summary efficiency measures of individual FHSA performance. The correlation of the rankings of FHSAs across DEA and regression methods, across two years of data and across three different specifications of the technology of primary care are examined. Efficiency scores are highly correlated within variants of the two methods, and across years for a given method. Inter method correlations are smaller and correlations across different specifications of the primary care production process are negligible and sometime negative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 163-175 Issue: 2 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122522 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122522 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:2:p:163-175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Podrecca Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Podrecca Author-Name: Gaetano Carmeci Author-X-Name-First: Gaetano Author-X-Name-Last: Carmeci Title: Fixed investment and economic growth: new results on causality Abstract: This study re-examines the issue of causality between investment shares and economic growth. A methodology is applied based on Arellano and Bond (1991), and Holtz-Eakin, Newey and Rosen (1988) to quinquennial panel data on growth and investment shares for the post war period and shows that, contrary to previous results in the literature, causality between fixed investment and growth runs in both directions. Investment shares Granger-cause growth rates and growth rates Granger-cause investment shares. Granger causality from investment shares to growth rates is found to be negative. The result is in contrast with a capital fundamentalist view which sees fixed investment as the key to long run growth, but is fully consistent with the predictions of Solow-type growth models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 177-182 Issue: 2 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122890 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122890 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:2:p:177-182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guang Wan Author-X-Name-First: Guang Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Author-Name: Enjiang Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Enjiang Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Effects of land fragmentation and returns to scale in the Chinese farming sector Abstract: Using household survey data from rural China, economies of scale as measured by returns to scale and the effects of land fragmentation on crop outputs are examined. While these effects are found to be detrimental, statistically significant and substantial, existing economies of scale appear to be too small to suggest radical land policy changes in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 183-194 Issue: 2 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121811 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121811 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:2:p:183-194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Martin Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Title: The implications for the UK Exchequer of an ethical arms export policy Abstract: For the UK, defence exports provide many jobs but critics point to the morality and human rights aspects of the arms trade. Recent speeches by the foreign secretary suggest that Mr Cook is acutely aware of the trade-off between a more ethical arms export policy and jobs in the defence industry. Recent research suggests that government subsidies for arms exports cost the UK taxpayer between £228 million and £708 million per annum. However, these figures ignore the Exchequer costs of the jobs lost as a result of the reduction in arms exports. This study uses information on the expected number of job losses, and the Exchequer cost per job destroyed, to estimate the employment costs to the Exchequer associated with a one-third reduction in UK defence exports. These costs are then subtracted from the subsidy savings to derive the overall net financial saving to the taxpayer for a one-third reduction in UK arms exports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 195-199 Issue: 2 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121768 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121768 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:2:p:195-199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Wheatley Price Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Wheatley Author-X-Name-Last: Price Title: The unemployment experience of male immigrants in England Abstract: In this paper the unemployment experience of immigrant men in the English labour market is examined, using 1993-1994 data from the Quarterly Labour Force Survey of the United Kingdom. Hypotheses proposed by Chiswick (1982) are investigated, for both the claimant count and the ILO measures of unemployment, using logistic regression analysis. Our results show that recent white and nonwhite immigrant men experience much higher levels of unemployment than earlier cohorts. For whites, this effect is transitory, whereas for nonwhites unemployment rates adjust more slowly as the duration of stay increases. Immigrant unemployment rates also vary considerably with country of birth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 201-215 Issue: 2 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121911 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121911 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:2:p:201-215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sven-Olov Daunfeldt Author-X-Name-First: Sven-Olov Author-X-Name-Last: Daunfeldt Author-Name: Xavier De Luna Author-X-Name-First: Xavier Author-X-Name-Last: De Luna Title: The efficacy and cost of regime shifts in inflation policies-Evidence from New Zealand and Sweden Abstract: In this paper a comparative study of the regime shift in inflation policies in New Zealand and Sweden is performed. A nonparametric regression method is used to decompose the inflation time series into three components of variation: a long-term trend, a medium-term (cyclical and transient variations) trend and a short-term shocks component. This allows study of the transition process from the high inflation characterizing the end of the 1970s and the 1980s to the low inflation observed during the 1990s. It is found that in New Zealand, although it is initially delayed, the decrease in inflation happens at a faster pace than in Sweden. This may indicate that reforms were more efficient in New Zealand. A clear link is also shown between the rising unemployment and the transition from high to low inflation. Furthermore, while in New Zealand a downward adjustment of the unemployment rate happens directly after the transition period, in Sweden there seems to be persistence in high unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 217-224 Issue: 2 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121726 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:2:p:217-224 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roy Batchelor Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Batchelor Title: How useful are the forecasts of intergovernmental agencies? The IMF and OECD versus the consensus Abstract: This study compares the accuracy and information content of economic forecasts for G7 countries made in the 1990s by the OECD and IMF. The benchmarks for comparison are the average forecasts of private sector economists published by Consensus Economics. With few exceptions, the private sector forecasts are less biased and more accurate in terms of mean absolute error and root mean square error. Formal tests show these differences are statistically significant for forecasts of real growth and production, less so for forecasts of inflation and unemployment. Overall, there appears little information in the OECD and IMF forecasts that could be used to reduce significantly the error in the private sector forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 225-235 Issue: 2 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121785 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:2:p:225-235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Weber Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Alternative lag length selection criteria and the split-trend stationarity hypothesis Abstract: This study asks whether evidence that key macroeconomic time series are stationary around broken trends is robust to using different criteria to determine the lag length in the ADF regressions. When lag lengths are determined using the Schwarz criterion or two different specific-to-general methods, tests for unit roots in several series in the Nelson-Plosser (1982) data and in US postwar real GNP find weaker evidence against the unit root hypothesis than either Perron (1989), who set the date for the break in the trend a priori or Zivot and Andrews (1992), who determined the break date endogenously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 237-247 Issue: 2 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121781 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:2:p:237-247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eleanor Doyle Author-X-Name-First: Eleanor Author-X-Name-Last: Doyle Title: Exchange rate volatility and Irish-UK trade, 1979-1992 Abstract: This study examines how exchange-rate volatility affected Ireland's exports to its most important trading partner, the United Kingdom, from 1979 to 1992. To ensure reliable inferences regarding income and price elasticities and the impact of exchange rate volatility on exports, the time series properties of the series used are investigated. The analysis here is conducted at both aggregate and 2-digit SITC Division levels since exchange rate volatility can reasonably be presumed to affect sectors differently. Since expectations matter for exchange rate determination real volatility was generated according to a first-order GARCH process. Both real and nominal volatility were important determinants for over 35% of Irish-UK trade, with positive effects predominating. This may be due to the nature of Irish firms operating in a small open economy where they have little option in dealing with increased exchange rate risk except to 'weather the storm' for fear of losing market share or facing costs of either exit, re-entry, or both. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 249-265 Issue: 2 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122999 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:2:p:249-265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Otero Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Otero Title: Coffee export booms and monetary disequilibrium: some evidence for Colombia Abstract: The theoretical models that analyse the monetary consequences of export booms show that under a regime of fixed exchange rates, they affect not only the demand for money, via real income, but also the money supply via foreign exchange accumulation. Within this theoretical framework, this study proposes an empirical approach to determine whether the coffee booms of the second half of the 1970s and mid-1980s led to excess money supply in the Colombian economy. The findings provide evidence in favour of a direct association between coffee export booms and excess money supply, implying that external disturbances jeopardize the ability of the economic authorities to carry out successful monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 267-276 Issue: 2 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121935 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121935 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:2:p:267-276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pei-Ing Wu Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Ing Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Chu-Li Huang Author-X-Name-First: Chu-Li Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Actual averting expenditure versus stated willingness to pay Abstract: The purpose of this study is to perform a complete comparison of actual averting expenditure and stated willingness to pay measures, and to determine if the averting expenditure is a lower bound of the willingness to pay measured from contingent valuation experiment as suggested by literature. In addition to the single value comparison, Bootstrap, Krinsky and Robb, Jackknife, and Cameron are four simulation methods used to calculate confidence intervals for response function. Sample sizes of 100, 200, and 1000 are simulated 100 and 200 times respectively. A set of data with 540 households from a contingent policy referendum survey is employed for our purpose. Under a specific level of BOD improvement, a one-to-one single mean value comparison of the actual averting expenditure is greater than the mean willingness to pay from utility difference model. The empirical results are consistent with the theoretical expectation for expenditure difference that averting expenditure is a lower bound of willingness to pay generated from the contingent valuation method. A confidence interval, which contains the true mean willingness to pay at least 90% of the times, includes the actual averting expenditure as a lower bound of the mean willingness to pay as theory predicts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 277-283 Issue: 2 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122947 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122947 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:2:p:277-283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Falk Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Falk Author-Name: Bertrand Koebel Author-X-Name-First: Bertrand Author-X-Name-Last: Koebel Title: A dynamic heterogeneous labour demand model for German manufacturing Abstract: This study presents an application of the Generalized Error Correction Model (GECM) for heterogeneous factor demands based on the quadratic cost function., Using data for 26 West German manufacturing industries over the period 1976-1995, it turns out that less general specifications such as the partial adjustment and the static AR(1) model are rejected., Furthermore, both short-run and long-run labour demands of different skill classes are inelastic., Unskilled labour is found to have a somewhat higher wage elasticity in absolute terms than medium-skilled labour., A small part of the shift in demand away from unskilled labour can be explained by the substitutability relationship between intermediate materials and unskilled labour., Between 6 and 13 percent of the observed shift towards high-skilled labour can be explained by capital accumulation., Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 339-348 Issue: 3 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.,1080/00036840122012 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.,1080/00036840122012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:3:p:339-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li-Hsueh Chen Author-X-Name-First: Li-Hsueh Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Inflation, real short-term interest rates, and the term structure of interest rates: a regime-switching approach Abstract: This study explores the implications of the expectations hypothesis by examining the implied term premium, in conjunction with an explicit description of processes generating both inflation and short-term real interest rates., It models inflation and short-term real interest rates using a technique that allows for changes in regimes and generates future forecasts of inflation and real interest rates., The hypothesis is that persistent shifts in the term premium under the expectations hypothesis might come from forecast errors by econometricians if regime shifts are omitted, shifts which are however observed by the agents., This study examines whether persistent shifts in the term premium can be eliminated after taking into account the regime shifts in the processes for inflation and real interest rates., The results indicate that there still exists persistence in the term premium., However the implied term premium generated from regime-switching models shows less persistence than those from ARIMA models., Although the regime-switching model does not reconcile the data with the expectations hypothesis, the results suggest that the persistence of the term premium obtained from a fixed-coefficient ARIMA model may be due in part to systematic forecast errors that are eliminated by allowing for regime changes., Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 393-400 Issue: 3 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.,1080/00036840122884 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.,1080/00036840122884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:3:p:393-400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kim Taegi Author-X-Name-First: Kim Author-X-Name-Last: Taegi Author-Name: Keun-Yeob Oh Author-X-Name-First: Keun-Yeob Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: Country size, income level and intra-industry trade Abstract: This study investigates three testable hypotheses of intra-industry trade., It begins by developing a theoretical, two country model., The model explicitly includes two goods: differentiated products and homogeneous goods., Then three empirical hypotheses are derived as follows., The share of intra-industry trade will be large: (a) if the two economies are of similar size, (b) if the capital-labour endowment ratio of both countries is similar, and (c) if the total size of the two economies is large., From the cross-sectional analysis using 1970-1994 data, results are obtained that support the model., Furthermore, the results are confirmed using panel analysis on the pooled data., Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 401-406 Issue: 3 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.,1080/00036840122211 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.,1080/00036840122211 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:3:p:401-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Mullen Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Mullen Title: Long-run technical change and multifactor productivity growth in US manufacturing Abstract: This study utilizes a translog cost function to produce econometric estimates of the separate influences of technical change versus scale efficiency in contributing to multifactor productivity growth within the US manufacturing sector. The analysis generates (two-digit) industry-specific parameters that capture the effects of output versus time-related shifts in the cost function over the 1949-1991 period. Thus initial evidence concerning the relative importance of technical progress (versus 'scale') cannot be provided as a source of productivity gains within two-digit industries. The parametric estimates of total factor productivity growth are compared with existing Divisia measures to explore the shortcomings of the growth accounting technique. These long-run patterns hold implications for the productivity convergence hypothesis traced to knowledge spillovers between industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 301-308 Issue: 3 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121703 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121703 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:3:p:301-308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ides Nicaise Author-X-Name-First: Ides Author-X-Name-Last: Nicaise Title: Human capital, reservation wages and job competition: Heckman's lambda re-interpreted Abstract: This study integrates insights from three theories into a single model explaining the simultaneous distribution of employment and wages. Human capital theory is taken as the general framework, whereas search theory and the more recent 'crowding' or 'job competition' hypothesis are used to explain selectivity in employment and the resulting bias in wage regressions. An empirical test on Belgian data, using a two-stage probit-OLS model, indicates that the crowding theory dominates the search hypothesis for men. For women, it seems to be outweighed by relatively higher reservation wages, probably due to women's different behaviour with respect to family responsibilities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 309-315 Issue: 3 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121810 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121810 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:3:p:309-315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jari Ritsila Author-X-Name-First: Jari Author-X-Name-Last: Ritsila Author-Name: Marko Ovaskainen Author-X-Name-First: Marko Author-X-Name-Last: Ovaskainen Title: Migration and regional centralization of human capital Abstract: The objective of the study is to analyse relationship between migration and the regional redistribution of human capital. The analysis follows the human capital approach that considers migration as a result of rational decision making and a utility maximization process. The emphasis is on the decision making of a potential migrant. The migration decision is assumed to be the outcome of personal, household and regional characteristics. The results of the study indicate the following. First, it supports the generally accepted hypothesis that the highly educated are more prone to move than the rest of the population. Second, the regional characteristics of both the origin area and the destination area also have a significant effect on migratory behaviour. Individuals are more likely to migrate from remote regions to centres of economic activity. Third, as a result of two previous findings, reallocation of human capital seems to be taking place in Finland. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 317-325 Issue: 3 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122485 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122485 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:3:p:317-325 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peijie Wang Author-X-Name-First: Peijie Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Property and the economy in the short-term and the long-run Abstract: This study inquires into the relationships between property and the economy in both short-term and long-run. It has been made evident that property is an integrated part of the economy and its performance is closely related to a variety of economic activities, especially the real sectors in the economy. Moreover, the relationships of property with other sectors in the economy are stronger in the long-run than that in the short-term, due to the long-run attribute of property development and investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 327-337 Issue: 3 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122756 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122756 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:3:p:327-337 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ignacio Abasolo Author-X-Name-First: Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Abasolo Author-Name: Rob Manning Author-X-Name-First: Rob Author-X-Name-Last: Manning Author-Name: Andrew Jones Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: Equity in utilization of and access to public-sector GPs in Spain Abstract: A framework is outlined for testing empirically whether utilization of and access to public-sector GPs in Spain in 1993 was consistent with the twin criteria of horizontal and vertical equity, where these are defined with respect to need. Vertical (horizontal) inequities in access are assessed by including interactions between determinants of access and need (non-need) variables in a utilization equation. Findings are consistent with the principle of vertical equity in the utilization of GP services, but are not consistent with horizontal equity. Travel time for individuals who did not visit their GP are imputed but it is not a significant determinant of utilization or access. However, caution is expressed when interpreting these findings, as they may be contaminated by biases arising from unit non-response, measurement error and simultaneity. The paper concludes with a set of recommendations for future studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 349-364 Issue: 3 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122511 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122511 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:3:p:349-364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasuhide Tanaka Author-X-Name-First: Yasuhide Author-X-Name-Last: Tanaka Title: Employment tenure, job expectancy, and earnings profile in Japan Abstract: The purpose of this study is to examine the relationships between employment tenure and earnings profile in Japan. Since the Japanese labour market has recently experienced substantial changes, it is natural for the Japanese employment and compensation system to be influenced by such changes. In this study, the changes that have happened to the Japanese employment and compensation system in recent years have been considered empirically by focusing on the relationships between employment tenure and earnings profiles. To do this, a forward-looking variable called 'expected job tenure (or job expectancy)' is introduced and the effects of it on earnings profile. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 365-374 Issue: 3 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122873 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122873 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:3:p:365-374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jane Fry Author-X-Name-First: Jane Author-X-Name-Last: Fry Author-Name: Tim Fry Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Fry Author-Name: Keith McLaren Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: McLaren Author-Name: Tanya Smith Author-X-Name-First: Tanya Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Modelling zeroes in microdata Abstract: Although the literature contains a number of suggestions for dealing with problems caused by a preponderance of zero expenditure observations that frequently occur in micro level budget studies, in general, these suggestions seem to be either empirically intractable or theoretically unappealing. In this paper it is argued that a natural theoretical specification can be motivated by duality theory and that the statistical technique of compositional data analysis provides a corresponding complementary stochastic specification. The resulting model is a consistent theoretical and stochastic specification for handling the possibility of a zero demand over a range of expenditures and/or prices. The model is then applied to the 1988/89 Australian Household Expenditure Survey. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 383-392 Issue: 3 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122916 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:3:p:383-392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurens Cherchye Author-X-Name-First: Laurens Author-X-Name-Last: Cherchye Title: Using data envelopment analysis to assess macroeconomic policy performance Abstract: It is common practice to summarize the macroeconomic performance of countries in terms of the four well-known dimensions captured by the magic diamond of the OECD. This study provides a comparison of several synthetic indicators that merge the four separate indicators into one single statistic. These indicators are inspired by Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA)-based models, which allow for unequal weighting of the different economic objectives. The calculated weights then act as proxies for the true policy priorities. Comparison of the models focuses on the underlying assumptions as well as on the empirical results they generate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 407-416 Issue: 3 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122353 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:3:p:407-416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Natke Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Natke Title: The firm demand for liquid assets in an inflationary environment Abstract: Measures of inflation and the price level are added to the standard model of liquid asset demand and estimated with cross-section data on Brazilian manufacturing firms over a four-year period characterized by substantial inflation (annual rates of 19, 23, 34 and 35%). Results indicate that economies of scale exist in a model that is stable over time. Interest rates have a strong and elastic impact on liquid asset demand when inflation is explicitly controlled for although this result is not consistent across all subsets of data used. The usual assumption of a unitary price level elasticity of liquid asset demand is rejected and firms appear to conserve on liquid asset holdings as the rate of inflation increases suggesting more careful management of payments flows. Some of these findings contradict those of Ungar and Zilberfarb (1980). There are also some difference in behaviour across ownership groups: Brazilian firms do not exhibit economies of scale while multinationals do; and Brazilian firms adjust actual to desired balances faster than multinational firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 427-436 Issue: 4 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122635 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122635 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:4:p:427-436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martyn Duffy Author-X-Name-First: Martyn Author-X-Name-Last: Duffy Title: Advertising in consumer allocation models: choice of functional form Abstract: This study investigates the empirical performance of four different functional forms for advertising-augmented consumer allocation models. The investigation is carried out within the context of the UK alcoholic drinks markets. The aims of the study are twofold: (i) to assess which of the four functional forms provides the best explanation of the data and may serve, therefore, as the most suitable framework for investigating advertising effects in these markets; and (ii) to consider whether the findings with regard to advertising effects are robust and consistent across model specifications. Advertising is found to have had no significant effect upon the 'product composition' or 'level' of total alcoholic drink consumption in the UK over the period from 1964 to 1996, and this result is robust with respect to variations in the specification of functional form. The consumption of alcoholic drink is affected by relative prices, total consumer budgeted expenditures and, to some extent, by autonomous shifts in tastes. The balance of the evidence from tests for functional form appeared to favour the Almost Ideal Demand system as a framework for investigating the influence of advertising and other factors on drink consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 437-456 Issue: 4 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121721 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:4:p:437-456 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael McCann Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McCann Title: Cross-border acquisitions: the UK experience Abstract: This paper tests a composite empirical model of cross-border acquisitions involving UK firms between 1987-1995 using panel data analysis. The empirical model includes capital market variables and regulatory variables derived from the existing literature. The results show that models that explain cross-border acquisitions through capital market imperfections are not significant. Cross-border activity has a strong relationship with the level of the UK stock market suggesting that crossborder acquisitions are, in some part, an extension of domestic activity. Corporate tax differentials also have significant impact on activity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 457-461 Issue: 4 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122021 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:4:p:457-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Sicilian Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Sicilian Author-Name: Adam Grossberg Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Grossberg Title: Investment in human capital and gender wage differences: evidence from the NLSY Abstract: This paper uses data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY) to investigate gender differences in returns to various forms of human capital. Since the NLSY includes relatively detailed information regarding on- and off-the-job training, we place special emphasis on measuring gender differences in the incidence of and returns to formal post-school training. Also considered is the role of nonhuman capital factors such as industry and occupation in explaining the wage gap. It is found that about 60% of the gender wage gap in the sample is explained by mean differences in individual characteristics and market circumstances. This suggests a smaller role for discrimination in explaining the wage gap than previous research has found. The research indicates that training does not affect the gender wage gap. Also it is found that there is no statistically significant difference in the rate of return to other measures of human capital for women versus men. Our research suggests that the largest factors contributing to the wage gap are differences in the stocks of human capital for men and women, and differences in the distributions of men and women across industries and occupations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 463-471 Issue: 4 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840123000 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840123000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:4:p:463-471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangho Chung Author-X-Name-First: Sangho Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: The learning curve and the yield factor: the case of Korea's semiconductor industry Abstract: This article attempts to find out how the Korean economy has grown so rapidly in a short time span of less than 30 years. For that purpose, it focuses on the development of the Korean semiconductor industry-more specifically, the memory-chip segment of the industry-as a case in point. To test the hypothesis that the learning curve effects have been significant in the memory-chip industry, 'yield factor' (the ratio of sellable chips to total chips in a wafer) in semiconductor production is used as a measure of the learning progression. That is, by tracing how the yield factor for each generation of memory chips has increased, one is able to see how well the Korean chip makers have exploited the learning effects. This article improves the learning-by-doing modelling by introducing a richer set of yield data; and the unit of analysis employed throughout the article is at the firm level, which is not common in the literature dealing with East Asian development as well as the economics of technology, thus enhancing understanding of the industry dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 473-483 Issue: 4 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122474 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122474 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:4:p:473-483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoming Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoming Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Government revenue, government expenditure, and temporal causality: evidence from China Abstract: Dissatisfied with little evidence provided on various hypotheses concerning the revenue-expenditure relation in China, this paper is an empirical endeavour to fill the gap through a battery of econometric tests for causality based on vector error correction and vector autoregression models. A more comprehensive testing strategy for unit roots and cointegration has been suggested, and a bidirectional causality pattern has been found in China's government finance. The paper thus concludes that attempts simply to change revenue or expenditure or both without taking into account of the interdependence between the two may be counter-productive, and the effects on aggregate demand of government debt-financing in the presence of inflation may not be as detrimental as some economists would expect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 485-497 Issue: 4 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122982 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122982 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:4:p:485-497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pradeep Agrawal Author-X-Name-First: Pradeep Author-X-Name-Last: Agrawal Title: The relation between savings and growth: cointegration and causality evidence from Asia Abstract: The direction of causality between savings and growth remains unclear even though it is of critical importance for development policy. In this paper, Granger causality analysis is undertaken for seven Asian countries using the VECM (Engle and Granger) and VAR procedures. We find that in most cases, the direction of causality runs primarily from growth (or income) to savings, although in some countries, there is also evidence of a feedback effect from savings to income and growth. Thus, development policy should focus less on promoting high savings rates and more on promoting high growth rates. Estimation of the savings functions are presented using Engle and Granger's Static OLS and Stock and Watson's dynamic OLS (DOLS) procedures where appropriate. The high savings rates in Asia are found to be due to the high rate of growth of income per capita, declining shares of dependent population, and some special institutional features, such as the high central provident fund rates in Singapore. Interest rates are found to have little impact on savings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 499-513 Issue: 4 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122210 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122210 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:4:p:499-513 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. J. Erenburg Author-X-Name-First: S. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Erenburg Author-Name: David. Goebel Author-X-Name-First: David. Author-X-Name-Last: Goebel Title: The effects of the international-domestic interest rate gap on US output Abstract: This paper examines how the relationships linking money to real output are altered when an international-domestic interest rate gap is included in the model. The results indicate that both the international-domestic interest rate gap and term structure exert a statistically significant effect on real economic activity. In addition, fluctuations in these variables contain significant information about future changes in real output. An interesting finding is that while the term structure dominates the international-domestic interest rate gap when estimating the entire time period, 1970:1-1996:4, the international-domestic interest rate gap clearly dominates in the more recent time period, 1985:1-1996:4. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 515-521 Issue: 4 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122868 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:4:p:515-521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Author-Name: Tai-Yoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Yoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Modelling willingness to pay responses from dichotomous choice contingent valuation surveys with zero observations Abstract: Modelling household behaviour with the data from dichotomous choice contingent valuation (DCCV) surveys is often complicated by zero willingness to pay (WTP) responses in the sample. To deal with the zero responses, a two-equation model is considered, which incorporates a two-level decision structure, a decision on whether to participate in having WTP and a decision on the WTP amount conditional on deciding to participate, and two separate stochastic processes that determine the probability and conditional level of WTP are featured. The model is empirically applied to household survey data, in which the DCCV questions concerned the benefits of air quality improvement in Korea. To put the issue of the two-equation model in perspective, this paper also experiments with economic and econometric specifications: utility theoretic restriction and heteroscedasticity. It is shown how failure to allow for the restriction distorts aggregate benefit estimates and the existence of heteroscedasticity in error term is found. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 523-529 Issue: 4 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122117 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:4:p:523-529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kausik Chaudhuri Author-X-Name-First: Kausik Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhuri Title: Long-run prices of primary commodities and oil prices Abstract: Acutely volatile movements in primary commodity prices have drawn considerable interest from empirical researchers. Exports of these commodities account for the bulk of export earnings of developing countries. The traditional demand-based framework was unable to explain the marked deterioration in these prices during the 1980s. This paper tries to ascertain the role played by real oil prices in explaining the extremely volatile movements in real prices of primary commodities by taking into account oil price shocks over the period 1973-1996, using monthly data. Real primary commodity prices and real oil prices are cointegrated. Additionally, the error in the cointegrating relation stimulates real commodity price adjustment, not real oil price adjustment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 531-538 Issue: 4 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122106 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:4:p:531-538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rudi Vander Vennet Author-X-Name-First: Rudi Vander Author-X-Name-Last: Vennet Title: The law of proportionate effect and OECD bank sectors Abstract: The paper investigates the growth dynamics of the bank sectors in the OECD area over the period 1985-1994 and examines whether the structural financial reforms of the late 1980s have affected their growth path. Based on a test of Gibrat's law of proportionate effect, it is found that the 1985-89 period was characterized by size convergence, implying that smaller bank sectors were expanding more rapidly. However, in the 1990-1994 period the pattern reversed to proportionate growth. The analysis of the determinants of bank market growth reveals that macroeconomic growth, operational bank efficiency, credit quality, and capitalization are the main drivers of bank industry growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 539-546 Issue: 4 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122263 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122263 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:4:p:539-546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susmita Dasgupta Author-X-Name-First: Susmita Author-X-Name-Last: Dasgupta Author-Name: Mainul Huq Author-X-Name-First: Mainul Author-X-Name-Last: Huq Author-Name: David Wheeler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Wheeler Author-Name: Chonghua Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Chonghua Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Water pollution abatement by Chinese industry: cost estimates and policy implications Abstract: Factory-level data are used to estimate water pollution abatement costs for Chinese industry. Joint abatement cost functions are utilized which relate total costs to treatment volume and the simultaneous effect of reductions in suspended solids, chemical oxygen demand, biological oxygen demand and other pollutants. Tests of alternative functional forms suggest that a very simple (constant elasticity) model fits the data as well as a complex (translog) model, permitting sophisticated policy experiments with relatively simple calculations. From the results, the cost-effectiveness of current pollution control policy in China is analysed. Basic conclusions are (1) The benefits of stricter discharge standards should be weighed carefully against the costs. For the sample of 260 factories, a shift across the existing range of standards entails a present-value difference of US$330 million in abatement costs. (2) Emissions charges as low as US$1.00/ton would be sufficient to induce 80% abatement of suspended solids for cost-minimizing factories. Charges of US$3, US$15 and US$30 per ton would be sufficient to induce 90% abatement of TSS, COD and BOD. (3) The current regulatory system provides an economic incentive to abate by charging a levy on pollution in excess of the standard. However, the results suggest that changing to a full emissions charge system would greatly reduce overall abatement costs. For the 260 factories in the sample, the current overall abatement rate could be attained under a charge system at a reduced annual cost whose present value is US$344 million. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 547-557 Issue: 4 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122068 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:4:p:547-557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ralph Bierlen Author-X-Name-First: Ralph Author-X-Name-Last: Bierlen Author-Name: Bruce Dixon Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Dixon Author-Name: Bruce Ahrendsen Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Ahrendsen Title: Cattle cycles: is there a role for a financial accelerator? Abstract: The hypotheses that endogenous credit constraints based on fluctuating asset values and cash flow prolong and accentuate US cattle cycles; and that more diversified cow-calf firms are less affected by this phenomenon are tested. Breeding cattle inventories are an interesting example to study credit constraints because they are among the most cyclical of economic time-series, firms have heterogeneous diversification levels, and they avoid many of the problems with previous investment-cash flow sensitivities studies noted by Kaplan and Zingales. The results are consistent with earlier credit constraint studies, i.e. breeding cattle inventories are sensitive to shifting credit constraint regimes and cow-calf firms with higher diversification levels are less affected by credit constraints. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 559-568 Issue: 5 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121697 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:5:p:559-568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dale Cloninger Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Cloninger Author-Name: Roberto Marchesini Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Marchesini Title: Execution and deterrence: a quasi-controlled group experiment Abstract: Using portfolio analysis in a type of controlled group experiment, this study develops an empirical model of homicide changes in Texas over a period of a 'normal' number of executions. The empirically derived model then estimates the changes in the number of homicides in Texas (1) over a period of near zero executions and; (2) over an immediate subsequent period of double the 'normal' number of executions. The actual changes in Texas homicides over the first period is less than estimated by the model and greater (or no different) than estimated by the model in the second period. Because changes in the number of homicides in Texas and throughout the United States were negative over both periods, these empirical results are consistent with the deterrence hypothesis. That is, there were a greater than predicted number of homicides in the first period and fewer than predicted number in the second period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 569-576 Issue: 5 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122871 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:5:p:569-576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Title: How to deal with intercept and trend in practical cointegration analysis? Abstract: This note gives a few practical guidelines for cointegration analysis. The focus is on testing the cointegration rank in a VAR model and on how an intercept and a trend should be incorporated in the testing model. Only two cases appear relevant for most economic data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 577-579 Issue: 5 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121713 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121713 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:5:p:577-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmut Hofer Author-X-Name-First: Helmut Author-X-Name-Last: Hofer Author-Name: Karl Pichelmann Author-X-Name-First: Karl Author-X-Name-Last: Pichelmann Author-Name: Andreas-Ulrich Schuh Author-X-Name-First: Andreas-Ulrich Author-X-Name-Last: Schuh Title: Price and quantity adjustments in the Austrian labour market Abstract: Austria is among the very few countries in the European Union which have managed to maintain comparatively low unemployment rates and high employment rates. This study looks at the price and quantity adjustment mechanisms in the Austrian labour market which may have contributed to this favourable outcome. After reviewing briefly the basic theoretical reasoning an empirical investigation is began into gross flow dynamics in the labour market and the cyclical volatility of employment and unemployment in Austria. In international comparison Austrian unemployment is very stable over the business cycle. This is due mainly to the high sensitivity of the labour force on cyclical conditions and, partly, also on the relatively weak responsiveness of employment to cyclical fluctuations in output, the latter being possibly attributable to the high degree of real wage flexibility in Austria. The study proceeds to show that the long-run elasticity of wages with respect to unemployment is indeed quite high in Austria. However, evidence was also found for outsider effects in the Austrian wage setting process. Relative wage structures, on the other hand, appear to be rather rigid. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 581-592 Issue: 5 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122962 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122962 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:5:p:581-592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Cymrot Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Cymrot Author-Name: James Dunlevy Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Dunlevy Author-Name: William Even Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Even Title: 'Who's on first': an empirical test of the Coase Theorem in baseball Abstract: Because of their highly developed skills, major league baseball players generate significant economic rents. According to the 'weak version' of the Coase theorem, the allocation of these players is independent of who controls the rights to these rents, which depends on the rules governing competition in the baseball labour market. The rules of Major League Baseball establish a dual system. For senior players the market is competitive, and players have the right of 'free agency,' allowing them to attempt to contract with the team of their choice; for players with fewer years of experience the market is monopsonistic, and a player's right to play baseball is owned by his current team. Consequently, we simultaneously observe two different allocations of property rights. Using individual player data for 1979 and 1980 we test whether baseball player movement is independent of the ownership of these rents. We estimate the wage (marginal revenue) determination process for free-agent and non free agent movers and non-movers. This permits us to generate expected gains from a move for both free-agent eligible and non free-agent eligible players. Coase's theorem is tested by determining if both player types, and, hence, player allocation, are equally responsive to gains from migration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 593-603 Issue: 5 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122414 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122414 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:5:p:593-603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy Hinks Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Hinks Author-Name: Duncan Watson Author-X-Name-First: Duncan Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: A multinomial logit nondiscriminatory approach to estimating racial wage and occupational discrimination Abstract: This paper combines a technique to measure nondiscriminatory wage structures with a multinomial logit model to estimate both occupational racial discrimination and within-occupation racial wage underpayment and overpayment. Using a recent South African October Household Survey it is found that racial discrimination against blacks and in favour of whites still persists in the South African labour market, implying the persistence of white employer nepotism and/or white employee discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 605-612 Issue: 5 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122869 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:5:p:605-612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Zaghini Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Zaghini Title: Fiscal adjustments and economic performing: a comparative study Abstract: The empirical relationship among fiscal contractions, permanent improvement in public finances and short-run economic performance is examined using a sample of 14 European countries over the last three decades. The actual experience of policy-making has taught that only the adjustments that relied heavily on primary expenditure cuts and were implemented over a relatively long time span were able to achieve a long lasting reduction of public liabilities. Indeed, during these consolidations, tax increase amounted to a small fraction of the total adjustment. Furthermore, though they unfolded over a longer period with respect to the unsuccessful ones, the overall budget cut was not larger. As regards the macroeconomic impact, successful episodes tended to be associated with improved economic performance. During the adjustment period and in the following two years, the economies experienced strong consumption and investment growth, reduced unemployment, better international competitiveness and falling interest rates. This empirical evidence is here interpreted via the theory known as expectation view of fiscal policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 613-624 Issue: 5 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122700 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122700 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:5:p:613-624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vinish Kathuria Author-X-Name-First: Vinish Author-X-Name-Last: Kathuria Title: Foreign firms, technology transfer and knowledge spillovers to Indian manufacturing firms: a stochastic frontier analysis Abstract: This paper uses techniques from a stochastic production frontier (i.e., the best practice technology used in the industry vis-a-vis average practised technology) and panel data literature to test for the spillover hypothesis that 'presence of foreign-owned firms and disembodied technology import in a sector leads to higher productivity growth for domestic firms'. The study uses panel data for 368 medium and largesized Indian manufacturing firms for the period 1975-1976 to 1988-1989. The results indicate that there exists positive spillovers from the presence of foreign-owned firms but the nature and type of spillovers vary depending upon the industries to which the firms' belong. There exist significant positive spillovers for the domestic firms belonging to the 'scientific' subgroup provided the firms themselves possess significant R&D capabilities. However, for the 'non-scientific' subgroup presence of foreign firms itself forces the local firms to be more productive by inducing greater competition. However, the results change marginally when the initial level of productivity (i.e. the technology-gap) is considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 625-642 Issue: 5 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121940 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:5:p:625-642 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ulf-G. Gerdtham Author-X-Name-First: Ulf-G. Author-X-Name-Last: Gerdtham Author-Name: Mickael Lothgren Author-X-Name-First: Mickael Author-X-Name-Last: Lothgren Title: Health system effects on cost efficiency in the OECD countries Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of different health systems on cost efficiency in inpatient health care among the OECD countries. The results indicate that public contract systems are more efficient and that public integrated systems are less efficient than public reimbursement systems. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 643-647 Issue: 5 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121897 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121897 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:5:p:643-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael McPherson Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McPherson Author-Name: Michael Redfearn Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Redfearn Author-Name: Margie Tieslau Author-X-Name-First: Margie Author-X-Name-Last: Tieslau Title: International trade and developing countries: an empirical investigation of the Linder hypothesis Abstract: This paper presents empirical evidence in support of the Linder hypothesis for five of the six East African developing countries studied here: Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Sudan and Uganda. This finding implies that these countries trade more intensively with others who have similar per capita income levels, as predicted by Linder. The contributions of this research are three-fold. First, new information is provided on the Linder hypothesis by focusing on developing countries. Second, this is one of very few analyses to capture both time-series and cross-section elements of the trade relationship by employing a panel data set. Third, the empirical methodology used in the analysis corrects a major shortcoming in the existing literature by using a censored dependent variable in estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 649-657 Issue: 5 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122575 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122575 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:5:p:649-657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Curry Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Curry Author-Name: Peter Morgan Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Morgan Author-Name: Mick Silver Author-X-Name-First: Mick Author-X-Name-Last: Silver Title: Hedonic regressions: mis-specification and neural networks Abstract: There is an emerging literature in the field of hedonic regressions which successfully applies flexible functional forms. In contrast, numerous authors report hedonic regressions with relatively simple functions, often with little or no attempt to consider interaction terms and higher level powers. Such simple functions perform relatively well in spite of good a priori grounds for quite complex interaction effects. Indeed, the studies are characterised by a general indifference to testing these more flexible models, even when degrees of freedom permit. Using detailed scanner data, hedonic functions for the UK TV market are estimated and tested for interaction effects. For a case study of the market, higher level interaction effects are tested for and compare the results with those from a neural network, with its property of 'universal approximation'. The use of neural networks is particularly novel in this context and some general findings on their suitability emerge. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 659-671 Issue: 5 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122335 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:5:p:659-671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johan Lyhagen Author-X-Name-First: Johan Author-X-Name-Last: Lyhagen Title: The effect of precautionary saving on consumption in Sweden Abstract: Uncertainty concerning future income lowers consumption. This is often called the precautionary demand for savings. In this paper the existence of precautionary savings. In this paper the existence of precautionary saving is investigated using Swedish data for the years 1973-1992. As there are no variables for consumers' uncertainty a proxy is used. Assuming an underlying distribution of attitudinal data, a variance series is derived. Including the proxy in different specifications of the consumption function, indication of precautionary saving can be found. As a result, no uncertainty would raise consumption by 4.9%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 673-681 Issue: 5 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122493 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122493 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:5:p:673-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Costa Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Author-Name: Nuno Crato Author-X-Name-First: Nuno Author-X-Name-Last: Crato Title: Long-run versus short-run behaviour of the real exchange rates Abstract: This paper discusses the mean stationarity of real exchange rates by using new time series methods and new tests. The question whether the real exchange rates have a unit root or are level reverting is set in the general and flexible framework of fractionally integrated processes. The estimations and tests sustain the claim that real exchange rates may be nonstationary and not revert to any short-run parity. However, estimations also suggest that real exchange rates behave differently on the short and on the long run and that they may revert to parity in a century-long period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 683-688 Issue: 5 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122409 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122409 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:5:p:683-688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Teame Ghirmay Author-X-Name-First: Teame Author-X-Name-Last: Ghirmay Author-Name: Richard Grabowski Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Grabowski Author-Name: Subhash Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Subhash Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: Exports, investment, efficiency and economic growth in LDC: an empirical investigation Abstract: This study seeks to analyse the relationship between exports and growth for 19 less-developed countries. It utilizes multivariate causality analysis based on the error correction model to address several important hypotheses. The results indicate that when exports have a causal influence in the development process that in general this is the result of their effect on both efficiency and accumulation. In addition, improvements in output and capital accumulation in an economy seem to have just as much of an influence on exports as exports have on output and capital accumulation. Finally, the growth process in East Asia seems to be quite different from that in Southeast Asia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 689-700 Issue: 6 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122027 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122027 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:6:p:689-700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick McCarthy Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: McCarthy Author-Name: Wayne Talley Author-X-Name-First: Wayne Author-X-Name-Last: Talley Title: Safety investments, behaviours and injury severity Abstract: This study investigates whether recreational boating safety investments and behaviours of current interest are determinants of boating injury severity, and if so, their effects. An ordered probit analysis of 1989-1993 boating accidents suggests that human capital investments in safety, in the form of operator boating experience and formal instruction, reduce both operator and passenger injury severity. Higher levels of operator (passenger) alcohol consumption increase operator (passenger) injury severity, but no relationship was found between operator alcohol consumption and passenger injury severity. At the time a trip is taken, wearing a flotation device has the most efficacious effect on both operator and passenger injury severity. In general, the results support regulatory policies aimed at increasing the use of personal flotation devices as well as reducing alcohol consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 701-710 Issue: 6 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121835 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:6:p:701-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Sotiris Tsolacos Author-X-Name-First: Sotiris Author-X-Name-Last: Tsolacos Title: Linkages between property asset returns and interest rates: evidence for the UK Abstract: This paper considers the effect of short- and long-term interest rates, and interest rate spreads upon real estate index returns in the UK. Using Johansen's vector autoregressive framework, it is found that the real estate index cointegrates with the term spread, but not with the short or long rates themselves. Granger causality tests indicate that movements in short term interest rates and the spread cause movements in the returns series. However, decomposition of the forecast error variances from VAR models indicate that changes in these variables can only explain a small proportion of the overall variability of the returns, and that the effect has fully worked through after two months. The results suggest that these financial variables could potentially be used as leading indicators for real estate markets, with corresponding implications for return predictability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 711-719 Issue: 6 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122812 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122812 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:6:p:711-719 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sucharita Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Sucharita Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: Donald Lien Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Title: Forecasting with preliminary data: a comparison of two methods Abstract: This study examines two alternate methods, a vector autoregression error correction model and a state space model, to forecast revised United States trade balance figures. Both these methods incorporate preliminary and revised trade data. The results obtained from these methods were compared to the benchmark forecasts generated by revised-data-only models. This Study finds that the state space model performs worse than the benchmark. The vector autoregression model performs better than the benchmark only in the one-step forecast. These results indicate that incorporating preliminary data may not be useful in forecasting the revised data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 721-726 Issue: 6 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122370 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:6:p:721-726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pushkar Maitra Author-X-Name-First: Pushkar Author-X-Name-Last: Maitra Title: Is consumption smooth at the cost of volatile leisure? An investigation of rural India Abstract: This study examines the institutions in rural India that enable households to insure against unanticipated idiosyncratic shocks to income. Using a decentralized general equilibrium model it tests for consumption and leisure insurance against unanticipated income shocks. It is found that differential access to markets (particularly financial markets) force villagers to differ in their response to similar shocks. Medium and large farmers have unrestricted access to credit markets and are unaffected by unanticipated changes in household income. The small farmers are excluded from credit markets. However, some of the small farmers are able to insure consumption against unanticipated income shocks through compensating changes in labour market participation and reducing own farm work. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 727-734 Issue: 6 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122570 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:6:p:727-734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Dirk Vlasblom Author-X-Name-First: Jan Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Vlasblom Author-Name: Peter De Gijsel Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: De Gijsel Author-Name: Jacques Siegers Author-X-Name-First: Jacques Author-X-Name-Last: Siegers Title: Taxes, female labour supply and household income: differences between the Netherlands and the Federal Republic of Germany Abstract: The article investigates the effect of taxes and social premiums on female labour supply and household income. A comparison is made between labour supply and household income between the Netherlands and the Federal Republic of Germany in 1992. A discrete choice model for labour supply is used in which taxes and social premiums are implicitly incorporated. As male labour supply is highly inelastic an individual, male chauvinist model is used. The estimated models are used to simulate the effect of the differences in the tax and social premium system on the differences in labour supply and income between both countries. The results indicate that labour force participation is higher the more individualized the system. The German system leads to a lower tax burden compared to the Dutch system. It is concluded that differences in the tax and social premium system between both countries have hardly any influence on the differences in the inequality of net household labour income. There is evidence that the German system leads to a slightly more unequal distribution of household income. It is also concluded that although the tax and social premium system does influence labour supply and income, it can be doubted whether these effects are substantial. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 735-744 Issue: 6 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121832 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:6:p:735-744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robyn Swift Author-X-Name-First: Robyn Author-X-Name-Last: Swift Title: Exchange rates and commodity prices: the case of Australian metal exports Abstract: Exporters of homogeneous commodities are usually regarded as 'price takers' who operate in perfectly competitive international markets, so that the pass-through of exchange rate changes to foreign-currency prices must be zero. However, many Australian commodities are subject to influences that may produce more complex pricing strategies, for example, markets in which Australia is a dominant exporter, or where there are few buyers and sellers due to the presence of large multi-national corporations. This study uses multivariate cointegration techniques to examine the pricing of Australian metal exports, with particular emphasis on the degree and timing of the pass-through of exchange rate and other changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 745-753 Issue: 6 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122525 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:6:p:745-753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Ryan Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Title: Variance analysis, normed costs and public safety organizations Abstract: This study recognizes that public safety organizations, including military units and fire services as well as the police, will normally be budget constrained. It also recognizes that subunits of these organizations will not always be employed in their highest priority activities. With those perspectives the study shows how such organizations can optimally redistribute resources and reallocations of activities between units in response to variable demands simultaneously with the determination of optimizing norms for levels and costs of activities and for transfers of resources and activities between units. The study draws on the ideas of variance analysis from accounting and peak load pricing and duality from economics to derive optimizing levels of activity for subunits within an organization in response to varying demands on the resources and performance of the organization as a whole. It also provides a critique of the standard data envelopment analysis aproach to activity analysis on the grounds not only that that approach is not cost related, but also that it does not provide for the endogenous transfer of activities and resources between units. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 755-762 Issue: 6 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121862 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:6:p:755-762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wojciech Florkowski Author-X-Name-First: Wojciech Author-X-Name-Last: Florkowski Author-Name: Timothy Park Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Promotional programmes and consumer purchasing decisions: pecan demand models Abstract: A generalized Heckman model of purchase decisions is estimated incorporating perceived consumer quality attributes, ease of purchase, and familiarity with marketing outlets as factors influencing pecan purchases. Economic implications for evaluating consumer purchase decisions and the design of commodity promotion programmes for the pecan industry are addressed. Key marketing variables such as the variety of uses for nut products, the number of outlets used to purchase pecans, and consumer perceptions of positive quality features of pecans are significant in promoting purchases. Applications of a trade-off analysis examine key variables considered by the pecan industry in developing promotional programmes both to stabilize pecan purchases and to maintain the probability of pecan purchases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 763-770 Issue: 6 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840151135319 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840151135319 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:6:p:763-770 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julian Ramajo Author-X-Name-First: Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Ramajo Title: Time-varying parameter error correction models: the demand for money in Venezuela, 1983.I-1994.IV Abstract: The possibility of using time-varying parameter models in the context of error correction models is studied empirically. As an application, a money demand relationship (M1) for Venezuela is estimated from 1983 to 1994 within a cointegrated VAR framework. First, the stochastic properties of the series are analysed, studying each corresponding order of integration. Second, the existence of a long-run stable relation between the variables involved has been investigated, and then the cointegration relation and the short-run adjustment mechanism estimated. As both relations are identified in the context of constant parameters a stability analysis is performed. Finally, the technique of Kalman filtering is used to estimate a model that permits the short-run parameters to vary, while the parameters of the long-run relation are kept constant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 771-782 Issue: 6 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122141 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:6:p:771-782 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasuo Nakanishi Author-X-Name-First: Yasuo Author-X-Name-Last: Nakanishi Title: Dynamic labour demand using error correction model Abstract: Using a new econometric model, this study provides evidence that contradicts previous assertions about the Japanese labour market. The interrelationship between employment and hours of labour is stressed in this analysis by explicitly dividing labour input into both employment and labour hours. This model enables results to be obtained through both simulation and estimation, which allow measurement of adjustment speeds and elasticity in both employment and labour hours to wages. The results of the simulations are as follows. No apparent difference in adjustment speeds between employment and hours of labour was found. The adjustment of hours of labour is more cyclical and overshoots whereas that of employment is smoother. The adjustment speed of each simulation is slower than that found in most previous studies in the present long-run simulation. It is not as slow in the short-run and policy simulations. Therefore, adjustment speeds strongly depend on the method of simulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 783-790 Issue: 6 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121883 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:6:p:783-790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miki Kohara Author-X-Name-First: Miki Author-X-Name-Last: Kohara Title: Consumption insurance between Japanese households Abstract: This paper examines the implication of the full insurance hypothesis and differences in its applicability across groups of households in Japan. Using a rare Japanese individual panel data set called the Japanese Panel Survey of Consumption, the paper first shows that the full insurance hypothesis is strongly rejected for the country as a whole. The paper further shows that the rich as well as the poor, and also college graduates as well as non-college graduates cannot insure their consumption against income shocks. In sharp contrast, urban residents can pool income shocks completely, whereas rural residents cannot. Rural residents suffer from income risks more seriously than urban residents in Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 791-800 Issue: 6 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121946 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121946 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:6:p:791-800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Bazen Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Bazen Author-Name: Jean-Marie Cardebat Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Cardebat Title: The impact of trade on the relative wages and employment of low skill workers in France Abstract: The impact of international trade on labour markets in developed countries will be different according to the degree of competition in product markets, the flexibility of the labour market and the skill intensity of production. An econometric analysis of the impact of trade in France has been undertaken using sectoral data for the period 1985-p1992. It is found that lower relative import prices reduce the relative employment of low skill workers in the first half the period and reduce their relative wages in the second half. In both cases the effect is more pronounced in sectors where the skill intensity of production is initially low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 801-810 Issue: 6 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122774 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:6:p:801-810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Graham Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Graham Title: Productivity growth in British manufacturing: spatial variation in the role of scale economies, technological growth and industrial structure Abstract: This paper investigates the role of scale economies, technological growth and industrial structure in creating spatial variation in manufacturing labour and Total Factor (TFP) productivity in Britain. Separate estimates of a translog specification are presented for British manufacturing firms located in defined areas of the country over the period 1994-1998. The results show that TFP change due to scale economies and technological growth has been of much less important in influencing the output growth of manufacturing firms than input growth or industrial structure. Regarding the components of TFP, technological growth has been the dominant force at play. The analysis of average labour productivity identifies shifts to other factors of production and industrial structure as being the main determinants of change, scale economies appear to have had a marginal role. The results identify spatial patterns indicating that more favourable locational effects arise for firms in areas adjacent to large urban centres, rather than for those located within cities, on the extreme periphery of the urban hinterland, or in rural areas and smaller towns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 811-821 Issue: 6 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122333 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122333 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:6:p:811-821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong Yih Chu Author-X-Name-First: Hong Yih Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Title: The optimal supply of public goods in collective choice Abstract: The aim of this paper is to provide an appropriate method to estimate the elasticity of demand that is to be used to calculate the benefit share which is used for calculating the benefit-burden ratio for median voters and to investigate whether the present tax system leads to an efficient level of public sector output. In addition, the redistribution effects of the current tax system will also be discussed. The degree of bias when the environmental factor was not included in the production function is also considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 823-827 Issue: 7 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122458 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122458 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:7:p:823-827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Piazolo Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Piazolo Title: Investment behaviour in transition countries and computable general equilibrium models Abstract: When applying Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models to transition economies, it is not plausible to use the standard assumption that the base year data represent stable structural characteristics or even the steady state of the economy. The suggestions forwarded until now to overcome this problem are discussed in this article. An amendment is proposed by modifying the investment modelling within the dynamic CGE setting. The standard formulation of installation costs for capital is extended through the inclusion of adjustment costs that depend on the change of the investment level. Such formulation of the adjustment costs within the dynamic CGE model leads to an investment behaviour that mirrors the empirical data of the first years of the transition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 829-837 Issue: 7 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121922 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121922 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:7:p:829-837 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan-Egbert Sturm Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Egbert Author-X-Name-Last: Sturm Author-Name: Jakob De Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Title: How robust is the relationship between economic freedom and economic growth? Abstract: Using various indicators for economic freedom, it is shown that increases in economic freedom are robustly related to economic growth. This conclusion holds even if the impact of outlying observations is taken into account. The level of economic freedom is not related to growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 839-844 Issue: 7 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121977 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121977 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:7:p:839-844 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Kenkel Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Kenkel Author-Name: Steven Koch Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Koch Title: Deterrence and knowledge of the law: The case of drunk driving Abstract: During the past decade, hundreds of new state laws have increased the certainty, severity and swiftness of punishment for drunk driving. These new laws can deter drunk driving only to the extent people know about them. In this empirical paper the role incomplete information plays in an econometric model of drunk driving deterrence is explored. Little evidence is found that people know the applicable laws in their states. However, some evidence of rational behaviour is found given their lack of knowledge of these laws. It is difficult to reconcile these results with studies that have found drunk driving deterrence effects of more severe penalties, more certain penalties, or even swifter penalties. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 845-854 Issue: 7 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122060 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122060 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:7:p:845-854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li-Hsueh Chen Author-X-Name-First: Li-Hsueh Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Inflation and real short-term interest rates - A Kalman filter analysis of the term structure Abstract: This paper applies the Kalman filter technique to look at the relationship among real interest rates, inflation, and the term structure of interest rate under the expectations hypothesis. Using quarterly data from 1960:1 to 1991:1 for inflation, three month nominal short term interest rates and long term yields with maturities from one to five years, this paper finds that the expectations hypothesis of the term structure holds up well for the data under the assumptions of a time-varying premium and a random-walk real interest rate. In other words, a reconciliation of the expectations hypothesis with the data is attained by assuming time-varying term premium and non-stationary real interest rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 855-861 Issue: 7 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122550 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122550 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:7:p:855-861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Delorme Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Delorme Author-Name: David Kamerschen Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Kamerschen Author-Name: Lisa Ford Voeks Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Ford Author-X-Name-Last: Voeks Title: Consumer confidence and rational expectations in the United States compared with the United Kingdom Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between consumer confidence and the Rational Expectations Permanent Income Hypothesis in the USA and compares the results with those obtained for the UK. The study expands previous analysis by defining consumption as motor vehicles, goods excluding motor vehicles, and services. The results suggest that predictive ability of the USA's consumer confidence is less than that of the UK, but that contrary to the UK study, confidence does not predict future consumption growth of services and is therefore consistent with Rational Expectations Permanent Income Hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 863-869 Issue: 7 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122192 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:7:p:863-869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. J. Bennett Author-X-Name-First: R. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Bennett Author-Name: P. J. A. Robson Author-X-Name-First: P. J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Robson Author-Name: W. J. A. Bratton Author-X-Name-First: W. J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bratton Title: Government advice networks for SMEs: an assessment of the influence of local context on Business Link use, impact and satisfaction Abstract: Business Link in Britain is one of the main recent government initiatives to support SMEs in the EU. The paper uses a 1997 survey of SMEs to determine how Business Link use, impact and satisfaction are influenced by firm characteristics, local partnership characteristics, local geographical context, service intensity and other explanatory variables. The paper presents econometric estimates based on logit and ordered logit models. A key finding of the paper is to demonstrate that local context is not very significant to service use, impact or satisfaction, but local Business Link management and adviser performance are important influences on the impact and satisfaction. Major differences in the way SMEs use government-backed services are also found. There are high volumes of use of 'gateway' information services producing only low impact, and low volumes but high impacts and satisfaction with intensive advice services governed by contracts between the clients and the adviser. Implications for the Small Business Service, launched in April 2000, are drawn. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 871-885 Issue: 7 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121626 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121626 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:7:p:871-885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joaquim Pinto De Andrade Author-X-Name-First: Joaquim Pinto Author-X-Name-Last: De Andrade Author-Name: Joseangelo Divino Author-X-Name-First: Joseangelo Author-X-Name-Last: Divino Title: Currency crises in Brazil: the role of the fundamentals and the rumours Abstract: The paper aims at identification of the main explanatory factors of the currency crises in Brazil. Following Choueiri and Kaminsky (1997) a VAR monetary model is used and the historical decomposition procedure developed by Sims (1980) to evaluate the importance of the 'fundamentals' represented by fiscal/monetary and exchange-rate policies, and the 'external factors' represented by foreign interest rates and contagious effects. The main results show the importance of the exchange-rate management on the overall period and the contagious effects more recently to explain the Brazilian currency crises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 887-898 Issue: 7 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121646 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:7:p:887-898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Clive Granger Author-X-Name-First: Clive Author-X-Name-Last: Granger Author-Name: Namwon Hyung Author-X-Name-First: Namwon Author-X-Name-Last: Hyung Author-Name: Yongil Jeon Author-X-Name-First: Yongil Author-X-Name-Last: Jeon Title: Spurious regressions with stationary series Abstract: A spurious regression occurs when a pair of independent series, but with strong temporal properties, are found apparently to be related according to standard inference in an OLS regression. Although this is well known to occur with pairs of independent unit root processes, this paper finds evidence that similar results are found with positively autocorrelated autoregressive series or long moving averages. This occurs regardless of the sample size and for various distributions of the error terms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 899-904 Issue: 7 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121734 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121734 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:7:p:899-904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenshwo Fang Author-X-Name-First: Wenshwo Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: Stock return process and expected depreciation over the Asian financial crisis Abstract: The Asian financial crisis has been characterized by unstable stock and foreign exchange markets in Asia since July 1997. This paper postulates that expected depreciation helps to predict stock market volatility over the turmoil period. Using Taiwan daily data as an example, the estimated ARCH(3)-M model documents significantly a negative depreciation effect with no heteroscedasticity in the stock return process, suggesting that the expected depreciation is a cause of the changing variance. The evidence further shows that the stock market volatility has increased during the period of the Asian financial crisis 1997-1998, but the corresponding time-varying risk premium has remained unchanged. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 905-912 Issue: 7 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122487 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122487 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:7:p:905-912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. F. Nolan Author-X-Name-First: J. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Nolan Author-Name: P. C. Ritchie Author-X-Name-First: P. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Ritchie Author-Name: J. R. Rowcroft Author-X-Name-First: J. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Rowcroft Title: Measuring efficiency in the public sector using nonparametric frontier estimators: a study of transit agencies in the USA Abstract: Transit agencies in the USA must provide service under increasing operating constraints. Using data from 1989-1993, technical efficiency among these firms is estimated and characteristics indicative of differential efficiency in transit agencies are identified. This paper verifies the robustness of the second step regression results to the choice of efficiency measure by comparing results of the two step regressions using a pair of non-parametric efficiency estimators. It is discovered that the structure of government subsidy to this industry negatively affects not just cost efficiency, but technical efficiency as well. Furthermore, maintenance appears to be an important component of operational efficiency in this industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 913-922 Issue: 7 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122663 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122663 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:7:p:913-922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong-Yil Choi Author-X-Name-First: Yong-Yil Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Aggregate debt efficiency and debt inertia: lessons from the Korean economy Abstract: This paper investigates the link between aggregate debt efficiency and debt inertia in an highly leveraged business sector like Korea's. The model designs the concepts of liquidity multiplier and debt inertia to argue that they are two major indicators of aggregate debt efficiency. The empirical assessment to the Korean business sector indicates that the aggregate debt efficiency depends mainly on externalities of the debt inertia rather than liquidity creation due to the liquidity multiplier. The economic crisis of Korea in 1997 proves that such a debt efficiency structure must be vulnerable to attack. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 923-927 Issue: 7 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121666 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121666 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:7:p:923-927 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Kidd Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Kidd Author-Name: Michael Shannon Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Shannon Title: Convergence in the gender wage gap in Australia over the 1980s: identifying the role of counteracting forces via the Juhn, Murphy and Pierce Decomposition Abstract: The paper utilises the Juhn Murphy and Pierce (1991) decomposition to shed light on the pattern of slow male-female wage convergance in Australia over the 1980s. The analysis allows one to distinguish between the role of wage structure and genderspecific effects. The central question addressed is whether rising wage inequality counteracted the forces of increased female investment in labour market skills, i.e. education and experience. The conclusion is that in contrast to the US and the UK, Australian women do not appear to have been swimming against a tide of adverse wage structure changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 929-936 Issue: 7 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121991 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:7:p:929-936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Miles Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Miles Title: Joint purchasing decisions: a multivariate negative binomial approach Abstract: The analysis of household purchasing decisions for understanding consumption behaviour has received much attention recently, mainly because of the measurement error problems that appear when using expenditure data to approximate consumption. This paper discusses some empirical regularities of the household purchasing behaviour based on information about the number of purchases a household has declared having done during the survey period. The concern of this paper is two-fold. First, to show how to recover purchase frequency data from the Spanish Budget Survey (1990-1991). Second, to discuss some empirical regularities of the joint purchasing decisions based on multivariate negative binomial models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 937-946 Issue: 7 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121660 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121660 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:7:p:937-946 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. C. H. Jones Author-X-Name-First: J. C. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Tanya Potashnik Author-X-Name-First: Tanya Author-X-Name-Last: Potashnik Author-Name: Anming Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Anming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Patents, brand-generic competition and the pricing of ethical drugs in Canada: some empirical evidence from British Columbia, 1981-1994 Abstract: This paper examines the impact of the 1987 changes in the Canadian Patent Act on the pricing of ethical drugs. From 1969 to 1987 Canada opted to control pharmaceutical prices by using the compulsory licensing provisions of the Act to promote competition between branded drugs and their generic equivalents. In 1987, however, the Act was amended to guarantee patent holders an extended period (7-10 years) of protection. This reduced brand-generic competition by retarding generic entry and suggests that, ceteris paribus, after 1987 pharmaceutical prices increased relative to pre-1987 prices. This hypothesis is examined for the period 1981-1994 using a sample of 82 drugs from the British Columbia Pharmacare Programme. The major conclusions are: despite evidence of significant first mover advantages which resulted in higher brand prices, competition from generics succeeded in reducing overall market prices prior to 1987; but, after 1987, the efficacy of generic competition was reduced and both brand and market prices increased. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 947-956 Issue: 7 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121705 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121705 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:7:p:947-956 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Clements Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: Wana Yang Author-X-Name-First: Wana Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Dongling Chen Author-X-Name-First: Dongling Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The matrix approach to evaluating demand equations Abstract: As there is a plethora of demand models, which one should be used to estimate income and price elasticities? The paper sheds light on this important practical problem by developing a matrix approach to simulating (MAS) demand equations to analyse their performance under idealized circumstances. Artificial data on the dependent variable are generated by one model, and these are then used for the estimation of another model. As an illustrative application, using four popular models, a 4 × 4 matrix is generated which gives all pair-wise comparisons. The performance of the models is then evaluated on the basis of the quality of the income and own-price elasticity estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 957-967 Issue: 8 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122972 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122972 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:8:p:957-967 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Robbins Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Robbins Author-Name: Peter Kennedy Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Kennedy Title: Buyer behaviour in a regional thoroughbred yearling market Abstract: This paper reports the results of an hedonic pricing analysis of a regional thoroughbred auction market, adding to a literature which has been built mainly on data from elite auction markets. The main contribution of the paper is the finding that the role of the dam in affecting yearling price, elusive in the existing literature, is shown to depend primarily on information about progeny performance rather than dam performance. Additional results confirm existing knowledge about the roles of the sire, yearling sex, and yearling age, and support suspicions that race horses are consumer rather than investment goods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 969-977 Issue: 8 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010002529 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010002529 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:8:p:969-977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haukur Benediktsson Author-X-Name-First: Haukur Author-X-Name-Last: Benediktsson Author-Name: Tryggvi Thor Herbertsson Author-X-Name-First: Tryggvi Thor Author-X-Name-Last: Herbertsson Author-Name: J. Michael Orszag Author-X-Name-First: J. Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Orszag Title: The charge ratio on individual accounts and investment plans in Iceland Abstract: This paper documents the lifetime costs on individual accounts and investment plans for a typical worker in Iceland using typical wage profiles and information on current charges obtained from the providers. The charge ratios calculated imply that costs at a current cost basis on individual accounts are substantially lower in Iceland than for personal pensions in the UK and retail charges for individual pension accounts in other countries. The Icelandic charges are substantially lower than would ordinarily be expected in an emerging defined contribution market and given the low contribution rates associated with the Icelandic accounts. These low charges are attributed to a variety of factors including: low levels of regulation, competition for business between traditional financial institutions and workers' main pension funds and the perception of a growing market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 979-987 Issue: 8 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121719 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121719 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:8:p:979-987 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudia Buch Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Buch Title: Money demand in Hungary and Poland Abstract: This paper analyses the determinants and the stability of money demand functions in Hungary and Poland, using an error-correction framework. The null of stable cointegration relationships cannot be rejected in some specifications. The results suggest that long-run parameters are in line with economic theory. While judging the appropriateness of different strategies of monetary policy on the basis of these findings alone would be premature, the paper suggests that money demand functions can serve as a useful reference for monetary authorities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 989-999 Issue: 8 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122107 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:8:p:989-999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes Author-X-Name-First: Catalina Author-X-Name-Last: Amuedo-Dorantes Author-Name: Mark Wheeler Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Wheeler Title: An empirical analysis of the European Union's impact on Spanish economic performance Abstract: This paper examines the impact that the European Union (EU) has exerted on Spanish economic activity. The empirical analysis is conducted using variance decompositions and historical decompositions derived from a near vector autoregressive (VAR) model. The near VAR includes the exchange rate, the EU's inflation rate and output, and Spain's inflation rate, output, money supply and interest rate. The estimation period begins in 1987, the year after Spain joined the EU, and ends in 1997. The main finding of the analysis is that the EU has significant impacts on the Spanish economy. The paper finds that shocks to EU output explain up to 63% of Spanish output. At longer time horizons, shocks to the EU's inflation rate and output combine to explain over 50% of the forecast error variance in Spanish inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1001-1008 Issue: 8 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121830 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121830 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:8:p:1001-1008 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rukmani Gounder Author-X-Name-First: Rukmani Author-X-Name-Last: Gounder Title: Aid-growth nexus: empirical evidence from Fiji Abstract: Foreign aid to the island economies is a major source for foreign exchange and resource needs. This paper presents an empirical analysis of the relationship between foreign aid and economic growth in the case of Fiji. A neoclassical production function is applied to estimate the aid-growth nexus. Since the data employed are time series for the period 1968 to 1996, the Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach to cointegration is utilized to estimate the models. Components of total aid, such as grant aid, loan aid, technical cooperation, bilateral and multilateral aid flows are also utilized to estimate a disaggregated short-run and long-run relationship between foreign aid and economic growth. The results show that total aid flows and its various forms, i.e. bilateral aid, grant aid and technical cooperation grant aid, has a significant impact on economic growth in Fiji. As for domestic resources, only exports and private investments in two equations show positive contribution to growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1009-1019 Issue: 8 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122986 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122986 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:8:p:1009-1019 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joop Hartog Author-X-Name-First: Joop Author-X-Name-Last: Hartog Author-Name: Pedro Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Author-Name: Jose Vieira Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Vieira Title: Changing returns to education in Portugal during the 1980s and early 1990s: OLS and quantile regression estimators Abstract: This paper examines the evolution of the returns to education in Portugal over the 1980s and early 1990s. The main findings indicate that the returns to education have increased, particularly after joining the European Union in 1986. Since this occurred along with an increase in the level of education within the labour force, the process is most likely demand driven. The results also indicate that modelling on average (i.e. OLS) misses important features of the wage structure. Quantile regression (QR) analysis reveals that the effect of education is not constant across the conditional wage distribution. They are higher for those at higher quantiles in the conditional wage distribution. Wage inequality expanded in Portugal over the 1980s and the returns to education had an important role in this process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1021-1037 Issue: 8 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122679 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:8:p:1021-1037 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shaomin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Shaomin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Asymmetric participation in China's stamp market: hobbyists and investors Abstract: China's stamp market has expanded rapidly in the last two decades. Stamp trading has become very profitable. Both hobbyists and investors are more interested in newly released stamps. This study shows that the value of newly issued stamps appreciates faster than the value of older issued stamps. This effect is caused by the asymmetric participation in stamp collection between hobbyists and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1039-1044 Issue: 8 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122444 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:8:p:1039-1044 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Wenshwo Fang Author-X-Name-First: Wenshwo Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Li-Fang Wen Author-X-Name-First: Li-Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Title: Energy consumption, employment, output, and temporal causality: evidence from Taiwan based on cointegration and error-correction modelling techniques Abstract: In this study, a cointegration analysis and a vector autoregressive model (VAR) are used to examine the causal relationships among energy consumption, employment, and output for Taiwan over the period January 1982 to November 1997. Johansen (1988) and Johansen and Juselius (1990) cointegration test result indicates these three variables are cointegrated with one cointegrating vector. The results from Granger causality tests based on vector error-correction models (VECM) suggest bidirectional Grange causality for employment-output and employment-energy consumption, but only unidirectional causality running from energy consumption to output. Furthermore, the impulse responses and variance decompositions are also incorporated into the analysis. The results from impulsive response and variance decomposition analysis tell similar stories. Energy consumption appears to have led to output growth in Taiwan over this period. The policy implication of this finding is that energy conservation will restrain the output growth in Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1045-1056 Issue: 8 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122484 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:8:p:1045-1056 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantinos Kassimatis Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Kassimatis Author-Name: Spyros Spyrou Author-X-Name-First: Spyros Author-X-Name-Last: Spyrou Title: Stock and credit market expansion and economic development in emerging markets: further evidence utilizing cointegration analysis Abstract: This paper empirically investigates the relationship between equity and credit market development and economic growth, in a sample of five very important 'emerging' markets. In particular, employing a multivariate time-series methodology to test for long-run trends and causality between variables that proxy for stock market development, credit market development and economic development. The results seem to suggest that equity markets have a role to play only in relatively liberalized economies, like Chile and Mexico. In financially repressed economies, like India, the equity market does not affect real sector growth. Furthermore, the banking crises in the 1980s and 1990s in Chile and Mexico resulted in a negative relation between economic growth and the credit market. In South Korea, equity and credit markets both affect economic growth, but not vice versa. In countries where the nature of the stock market has been speculative, like Taiwan, a negative relationship is detected between equity market development and economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1057-1064 Issue: 8 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121750 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:8:p:1057-1064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paula Lorgelly Author-X-Name-First: Paula Author-X-Name-Last: Lorgelly Author-Name: Stephen Knowles Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Knowles Author-Name: P. Dorian Owen Author-X-Name-First: P. Dorian Author-X-Name-Last: Owen Title: Barro's fertility equations: the robustness of the role of female education and income Abstract: Barro and Lee (1994) and Barro and Sala-i-Martin (1995) find that real per-capita GDP and both male and female education have important effects on fertility in their cross-country empirical studies. In order to assess the robustness of their results, their estimated models are subjected to specification and diagnostic testing, the effects on the model of using the improved Barro and Lee (1996) cross-country data on educational attainment of the population aged 15 and over are examined, and the different specifications used by Barro and Lee and by Barro and Sala-i-Martin compared. The results obtained suggest that their fertility equations do not perform well in terms of diagnostic testing, and are very sensitive to the use of different vintages of the educational attainment proxies and of the Summers-Heston cross-country income data. A robust explanation of fertility, to link with empirical growth equations, has, therefore, not yet been found; further work is required in this area. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1065-1075 Issue: 8 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122385 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122385 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:8:p:1065-1075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianluigi Giorgioni Author-X-Name-First: Gianluigi Author-X-Name-Last: Giorgioni Title: New evidence on the output-inflation trade-off from developing economies: the case of the CFA Franc zone Abstract: This aim of this paper is to give a contribution to the debate on whether output-inflation trade-offs are negatively influenced by the mean of inflation (as postulated by new-Keynesians) or by the variability of inflation (as postulated by neo-classical economists). To remove any concerns about the arbitrariness of the choice of the sample, the analysis will focus on a group of countries belonging to the same currency union, the Franc Zone. The results do not provide conclusive evidence on either theory as it was found that there existed a negative relation between the output-inflation trade-offs and the mean of inflation on the one hand, and the variability of inflation, on the other. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1077-1082 Issue: 8 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010003267 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010003267 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:8:p:1077-1082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. Anton Muscatelli Author-X-Name-First: V. Anton Author-X-Name-Last: Muscatelli Author-Name: Patrizio Tirelli Author-X-Name-First: Patrizio Author-X-Name-Last: Tirelli Title: Unemployment and growth: some empirical evidence from structural time series models Abstract: This study investigates the empirical relationship between unemployment and growth in a number of OECD economies. A structural time series model is used for labour productivity growth to demonstrate that, in most economies, there seems to be a negative correlation between unemployment and labour productivity growth. The results provide little support for the theory that recessions may stimulate productivity growth. The use of a structural time series approach allows an attempt to model the underlying dynamics of productivity growth jointly with the effect of unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1083-1088 Issue: 8 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010003276 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010003276 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:8:p:1083-1088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frederic Vermeulen Author-X-Name-First: Frederic Author-X-Name-Last: Vermeulen Title: A note on Heckman-type corrections in models for zero expenditures Abstract: In Heien and Wessells (1990), a two-step estimation procedure, that makes use of Heckman-type corrections, is proposed to estimate consumption on household budget surveys. It is shown that this approach, which draws from switching regressions models, leads to inconsistent estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1089-1092 Issue: 9 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010004004 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010004004 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:9:p:1089-1092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alipasha Razzaghipour Author-X-Name-First: Alipasha Author-X-Name-Last: Razzaghipour Author-Name: Grant Fleming Author-X-Name-First: Grant Author-X-Name-Last: Fleming Author-Name: Richard Heaney Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Heaney Title: Deviations and mean reversion to purchasing power parity in the Asian currency crisis of 1997 Abstract: This study analyses the process of mean reversion towards purchasing power parity (PPP) for a sample of Asian countries around the 1997 crisis. It is found that appreciation relative to PPP is evident prior to the 1997 crash period. Correction occurs from 1997 onwards, a period marked by extreme movements in exchange rates with both appreciation and depreciation relative to the PPP rate over relatively short periods. The key result of this paper is that although reversion towards PPP is apparent for mean, though not statistically significant, it is clear that there is a substantial, statistically significant change in variance from 1997 onwards. This result has implications both for economic modelling of crash periods and for appropriate choice of statistical tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1093-1100 Issue: 9 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121709 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121709 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:9:p:1093-1100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Federico Revelli Author-X-Name-First: Federico Author-X-Name-Last: Revelli Title: Spatial patterns in local taxation: tax mimicking or error mimicking? Abstract: This paper tests for mimicry in local tax setting, by using a panel data set of the English non-metropolitan districts in the 1980s — when property tax rate variability across districts was highest. The results confirm the presence of large and significant spatial interactions among districts. Even after allowing for district-specific and time effects, a district appears to be significantly affected by its neighbours' policies. A 10% increase in the local property tax rate of a district's neighbours leads to an increase of 4-5% in its own property tax rate. On the other hand, the absence of correlation in tax rates between lower tier (district) authorities and upper tier (county) authorities suggests that the spatial pattern in district tax rates is not simply driven by spatially auto-correlated shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1101-1107 Issue: 9 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010007164 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010007164 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:9:p:1101-1107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tim Barmby Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Barmby Author-Name: Nina Smith Author-X-Name-First: Nina Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Household labour supply in Britain and Denmark: some interpretations using a model of Pareto Optimal behaviour Abstract: This paper analyses the labour supply behaviour of households in Denmark and Britain. It employs models in which the preferences of individuals within the household are explicitly represented. The households are then assumed to decide on their labour supply in a Pareto Optimal fashion. Describing the structure of the household decision in this way allows preliminary results to be obtained on the internal weighting of utilities within the household. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1109-1116 Issue: 9 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010005238 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010005238 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:9:p:1109-1116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nigel James Miller Author-X-Name-First: Nigel James Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Author-Name: Christopher Tsoukis Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Tsoukis Title: On the optimality of public capital for long-run economic growth: evidence from panel data Abstract: The role of public capital in economic growth is examined using data from the Penn World Tables and other sources on a large number of countries. Drawing on intertemporal optimization, the theoretical framework nests the exogenous (Solow) and endogenous types of growth and is data-consistent. It is found that public capital makes a significant contribution to growth. The actual level of investment on public capital is suboptimal. Growth in recent decades can be characterized as 'endogenous' with little sign of convergence. There is evidence of a growth slow-down between the 1970s and 1980s. Human capital also significantly enhances growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1117-1129 Issue: 9 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010003258 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010003258 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:9:p:1117-1129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Albert Okunade Author-X-Name-First: Albert Author-X-Name-Last: Okunade Author-Name: Mustafa Karakus Author-X-Name-First: Mustafa Author-X-Name-Last: Karakus Title: Unit root and cointegration tests: timeseries versus panel estimates for international health expenditure models Abstract: Classical regression estimates of the determinants of the OECD health expenditures are useful for policy formulation and evaluation. However, if the underlying timeseries data are not collectively stationary in levels, the estimated parameters are faulty and can misguide health policy. Until very recently, the crucial stationarity tests were ignored in a large number of studies on international comparisons. Stationarity (ADF, Phillips-Perron, IPS heterogeneous panel) and cointegration (Engle-Granger bivariate, Johansen's multivariate) tests are conducted here using 1960-1997 health expenditures data (1998 CD ROM) of 19 OECD countries. It is found that extending the time series data length affects the order of integration and number of cointegrating vectors. However, it is arguable whether the order of integration decreases or increases as more observations are added for testing. The failure of the Johansen and Engle-Granger cointegration tests for most of the OECD countries cautions policy makers against reliance on earlier research findings that were based on unstable relationships among variables in the regression models. (This is not the case for the UK, Greece and Ireland; policy implications have been derived for the UK.) Consequently, data calibrated in growth rates may be more appropriate for investigating the long run relationships collectively in a panel of OECD health expenditure model specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1131-1137 Issue: 9 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122612 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122612 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:9:p:1131-1137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sven Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Sven Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Work and the accommodation of chronic illness: A re-examination of the health-labour supply relationship Abstract: This study uses a data set of over 14000 households from the state of New Jersey in the USA to estimate the impact of specific chronic health conditions on the probability of employment and finds wide variation of employment impacts across chronic conditions. Additionally, the elasticity of the employment response is generally greater for women and lower-skilled workers. Most notable is the role of comorbidity. Individuals with multiple conditions have markedly lower probability of employment, and chronic illness explains virtually all of the large gap in employment probability for those who have multiple conditions. This is shown using a summary index of disease status that correlates closely with employment rates across age groups. In the aggregate, chronic disease striking in adulthood explains about 10% of the total non-employment in the New Jersey among those aged 35-74. Finally, cross-sectional evidence gives little support for health as a primary determinant of the aggregate age-employment profile, though controlling for the age-specific severity of conditions may alter this finding. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1139-1156 Issue: 9 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010004527 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010004527 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:9:p:1139-1156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans-Jurgen Engelbrecht Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Engelbrecht Author-Name: Chris Langley Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Langley Title: Inflation crises, deflation, and growth: further evidence Abstract: Bruno and Easterly (1998) provide a simple historical description of per capita GDP growth rates before, during and after periods of high inflation crises. The pattern of growth shows resurgence in after-crisis growth to above the before-crisis level. The robustness of this finding is tested against justifiable changes in the data sample used and against different crisis definitions. The results show that after-crisis growth rates do not recover to a level above those experienced before-crisis. In contrast to Bruno and Easterly, the important distinction between open and closed economies is emphasized. Only in the former case are their results that growth deviations from the world average after-crisis improve relative to the before-crisis periods confirmed. Finally, the pattern of growth before, during and after deflationary periods is analysed. The data reveal a potentially important asymmetry in the correlation between deflation and growth, and inflation and growth. Low rates of deflation are associated with a similarly negative per capita GDP growth rate as are very high rates of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1157-1165 Issue: 9 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010004554 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010004554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:9:p:1157-1165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory Berg Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Berg Author-Name: William Kaempfer Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Kaempfer Title: Cigarette demand and tax policy for race groups in South Africa Abstract: This paper calculates cigarette demand for race groups in South Africa. Elasticities are the most important information a tax policy analyst can have. Elasticities determine how the tax base will change with a change in the tax rate and thus how government revenues will respond to the tax. Elasticities also determine the excess burden that consumers will bear as a result of the tax. As such, own price, crossprice, and expenditure elasticities are calculated along with government revenue maximizing tax rates, and total and excess burdens. Parametric and semiparametric estimation techniques are used and compared. Results show that a tax on cigarettes will discourage nonsmokers from starting to smoke and mainly raise revenue from current smokers. Furthermore, it is found that consumption behaviours between groups are different implying different government revenue maximizing tax rates for each group affecting the distribution of income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1167-1173 Issue: 9 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122752 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122752 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:9:p:1167-1173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Denisard Alves Author-X-Name-First: Denisard Author-X-Name-Last: Alves Author-Name: Regina Celia Cati Author-X-Name-First: Regina Celia Author-X-Name-Last: Cati Author-Name: Vera Lucia Fava Author-X-Name-First: Vera Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Fava Title: Purchasing power parity in Brazil: a test for fractional cointegration Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to test the validity of the purchasing power parity (PPP) doctrine in Brazil. Historical data for the period 1855-1996 are considered. The period 1855-1990 is also analysed in order to compare the results with those obtained by Zini and Cati (1993) using the conventional cointegration analysis. This article uses fractional cointegration analysis, a flexible methodology which allows for more subtle forms of mean reversion. The tests performed are those of Geweke and Porter-Hudak (1983), and of Hurvich and Ray (1995). The critical values for both tests are generated by simulation because they are non-standard. The empirical results do not support the absolute PPP hypothesis but the relative PPP holds in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1175-1185 Issue: 9 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122819 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122819 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:9:p:1175-1185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brinda Viswanathan Author-X-Name-First: Brinda Author-X-Name-Last: Viswanathan Title: Structural breaks in consumption patterns: India 1952-1991 Abstract: This study improves upon the econometric modelling for testing and incorporating structural breaks for a study on Indian consumption patterns covering a period of four decades and also explores the causes of such breaks. The tests for structural breaks in consumption patterns indicate multiple break points which are not uniform across the population groups and also across commodity groups. Further, the results indicate for the first time, that the breaks could often be induced by the changes in the data collection methodology of the survey and not due to changes in consumer behaviour alone. Apart from this, there is a shift in the consumption pattern during the mid-1980s in both the rural and the urban sectors. For the lowest expenditure class the shift is away from food items with the rural sector showing a change in the price response and the urban sector showing a change in the total expenditure coefficient. For the middle and the upper expenditure classes the shifts are not only from the food items towards non-food items but also from the 'food' group that includes items like cereals, milk and milk products towards the 'other food' group which includes items like vegetables and fruits. Its causes are found to be changes in preferences as well as the income effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1187-1200 Issue: 9 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010004581 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010004581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:9:p:1187-1200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Arias Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Arias Author-Name: Thomas Cox Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Cox Title: Estimation of a US dairy sector model by maximum simulated likelihood Abstract: This paper estimates a multivariate Tobit system of monthly wholesale dairy prices where four prices are lower censored by the dairy price support programme. Using Maximum Simulated Likelihood (MSL) the effects of simulation noise are tested/corrected for and the relevance of estimating multivariate versus the single Tobit equations discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1201-1211 Issue: 9 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010005797 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010005797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:9:p:1201-1211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Lanoie Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Lanoie Author-Name: Francois Raymond Author-X-Name-First: Francois Author-X-Name-Last: Raymond Author-Name: Bruce Shearer Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Shearer Title: Work sharing and productivity: evidence from firm level data Abstract: This paper is the first to examine empirically how work sharing influences workers' productivity, using a unique data set from a large Canadian firm. This firm has adopted a work sharing scheme for one year, which allows comparison of workers' productivity with and without the work sharing programme. It is found that work sharing has led to a significant decrease in labour productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1213-1220 Issue: 9 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122568 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122568 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:9:p:1213-1220 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Felipe Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Felipe Author-Name: J. S. L. McCombie Author-X-Name-First: J. S. L. Author-X-Name-Last: McCombie Title: The CES Production Function, the accounting identity, and Occam's razor Abstract: This paper reconsiders the argument that empirical estimations of aggregate production functions may be interpreted merely as statistical artefact. The reason is that Occam's razor, or Herbert Simon's principle of parsimony, suggests that the aggregate production function, together with the side equations derived from the usual neoclassical optimizing conditions, simply reflect the underlying accounting identity that value added definitionally equals the wage bill plus total profits. This argument is illustrated with respect to the empirical evidence presented by Arrow, Chenery, Minhas and Solow (Review of Economics and Statistics, XLIII, 225-50, 1961) and which led them to derive the Constant Elasticity of Substitution aggregate production function. It is shown that their results are more parsimoniously explained with reference to the underlying accounting identity than to any technological relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1221-1232 Issue: 10 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122836 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:10:p:1221-1232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Annette Vann De Berg Author-X-Name-First: Annette Vann Author-X-Name-Last: De Berg Author-Name: Yolanda Grift Author-X-Name-First: Yolanda Author-X-Name-Last: Grift Title: Dutch trade union membership 1979-1995 Abstract: Determinants of Dutch trade union membership are analysed for the years 1979, 1987 and 1995. By means of a decomposition method it is established that changing characteristics of the working population primarily caused the union decline between 1979 and 1987, whereas the recovery afterwards can be entirely attributed to changing unionization behaviour. A further application of the decomposition method shows that the contribution of the separate explanatory variables to shifts in the density rate is less straightforward than the results of the first analyses suggest. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1233-1242 Issue: 10 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122022 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122022 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:10:p:1233-1242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cherian Samuel Author-X-Name-First: Cherian Author-X-Name-Last: Samuel Title: Stock market and investment: the signalling role of the market Abstract: The evidence in this paper suggests that the q-theory of investment is not adequate to explain capital expenditure decisions at the firm level. Managerial as well as market perception is important, with the former more critical than the latter. The results also suggest that stock market activity has only limited implications for the resource allocation process in the economy. The evidence for the q-theory, based on firm-level data, confirms the previous finding in the literature that the poor empirical performance of the model in the past has been due in part to the use of aggregate data at the economy level. These findings have important implications for the debate in the literature regarding the relationship between shareholder myopia and managerial myopia. There is a notion in the literature that the stock market puts too much pressure on managers, who in turn indulge in myopic behaviour by underinvesting for the long-term, especially by way of R and D expenditures. The results presented here suggest that, given the limited role that market perception elements play in the determination of capital expenditures at the firm-level, shareholder myopia is unlikely to lead to managerial myopia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1243-1252 Issue: 10 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840121765 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840121765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:10:p:1243-1252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kishor Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Kishor Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: Liberalization, growth and structural change: evidence from Nepalese manufacturing Abstract: This paper presents an empirical analysis of the consequences of liberalization on industrial structure in Nepal, a least developed country with weak institutions and severe infrastructure bottlenecks. Results suggest some structural change in manufacturing output and trade orientation which appears to be due to a change in incentive structure, but no significant improvements were recorded in total factor productivity growth which is of central importance for a least developed country like Nepal. Export intensity rose significantly in the postliberalization period despite poor productivity performance of export-oriented industries while import intensity fell due mainly to improved competitiveness in import competing industries and a fall in imports for smuggling to India. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1253-1261 Issue: 10 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010004013 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010004013 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:10:p:1253-1261 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: The persistence of unemployment in the USA and Europe in terms of fractionally ARIMA models Abstract: This article examines the persistence of unemployment in the USA and four European countries by means of fractionally integrated ARMA (ARFIMA) models. In doing so, a type of flexibility in modelling low-frequency dynamics not achieved by non-fractionally ARIMA models can be provided. The results indicate that the unemployment series are much more persistent in some countries such as the UK and France, than in others including Germany or the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1263-1269 Issue: 10 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010007137 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010007137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:10:p:1263-1269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor Pinga Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Pinga Author-Name: Gerald Nelson Author-X-Name-First: Gerald Author-X-Name-Last: Nelson Title: Money, prices and causality: monetarist versus structuralist explanations using pooled country evidence Abstract: The direction of causality between changes in money supply and aggregate prices has long been a matter of controversy between structuralists and monetarists. This paper addresses deficiencies in this literature in three ways. First, a large sample of countries with alternate measures of money and price variables is used to evaluate the evidence on money, inflation and causality. Second, combined data are tested for causality, with the combinations based on variables suggested by the literature - level of per capita income, magnitude of inflation, degree of financial market development, and independence of the central bank. Finally, because the choice of lag length is often arbitrary, results are generated with varying lags and consistency across different lag periods looked for. Two presentation methods are developed - categorical and graphical. Evidence of structural inflation, was found only in Chile and Sri Lanka. Evidence of money supply exogeneity on the other hand was found to be strongest in Kuwait, Paraguay and the USA. Most countries exhibited mixed evidence of money supply endogeneity, with bidirectional causation between money supply and aggregate prices a common result. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1271-1281 Issue: 10 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122078 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:10:p:1271-1281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui-Chuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Hui-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Taiwan's exports and trade imbalance against US and Japan: an empirical analysis Abstract: The persistence of the bilateral trade surplus between Taiwan and the USA and the bilateral trade deficit between Taiwan and Japan despite the significant appreciation or depreciation of the NT dollar during the early 1980s to the mid-1990s renewed interest to seek explanations for these phenomena. To assess the above proposition, a polynomial distributed lag (PDL) method is imposed on the impact of changes in the real exchange rate on the bilateral trade structure particularly export demand and trade imbalance between Taiwan, the USA and Japan from 1981 to 1998. The empirical findings show that: (1) the real income factors have important effects on the real exports in both cases; (2) the real exchange rates and the real imports are not major determinants of the export demand from Taiwan to the USA but they do play an important role on the real exports from Taiwan to Japan; (3) the real exchange rate has significant effect on the real trade surplus with the USA and on trade deficit with Japan but the real income has not. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1283-1287 Issue: 10 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122642 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:10:p:1283-1287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Wenshwo Fang Author-X-Name-First: Wenshwo Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Li-Fang Wen Author-X-Name-First: Li-Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Chwenchi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chwenchi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Defence spending, economic growth and temporal causality: evidence from Taiwan and mainland China, 1952-1995 Abstract: This paper uses a cointegration analysis and a vector autoregressive model (VAR) to examine the causal relationship between defence spending and economic growth for Taiwan and Mainland China over the period 1952-1995. It is found that these two variables are not cointegrated for both countries studied. The results of the Granger causality tests suggest bidirectional Granger causality (feedback) between defence spending and economic growth for Taiwan, unidirectional Granger causality running from economic growth to defence spending for Mainland China, and unidirectional Granger causality running from Taiwan's defence spending to Mainland China's defence spending for cross-country studied. These results further indicate that there exists no arms race between two countries from both sides of Taiwan strait. Furthermore, impulse responses and variance decompositions are incorporated into the analysis. The results from the impulse responses and variance decompositions tell a similar story. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1289-1299 Issue: 10 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122529 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122529 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:10:p:1289-1299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Rezitis Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Rezitis Author-Name: A. Blake Brown Author-X-Name-First: A. Blake Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: William Foster Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Foster Title: Dynamic factor demands for US cigarette manufacturing under rational expectations Abstract: The rational expectations approach to adjustment cost models for factor demand is used to develop a dynamic model for US cigarette manufacturing. In the present study dynamic production modelling is extended to the case of multiple outputs. This analysis is the first to address cigarette manufacturing allowing for the possible influence of quasi-fixed factors, multiple outputs and rational expectations. Short-, intermediate-, and long-run factor demands are estimated and the presence of adjustment costs tested for in US cigarette manufacturing. The results indicate that there are significant adjustment costs associated with adjusting tobacco stock but not with adjusting the capital stock. Cigarettes produced for exports appear to differ in their marginal cost of production from cigarettes produced for sale in the US market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1301-1311 Issue: 10 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840122398 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840122398 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:10:p:1301-1311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Berta Rivera Author-X-Name-First: Berta Author-X-Name-Last: Rivera Title: The effects of public health spending on self-assessed health status: an ordered probit model Abstract: This paper explores the relationship between public health expenditure and self-assessed health status. Medical resources are imputed according to where individuals reside. The analysis draws upon data from the 1993 National Health Survey. Controlling for a number of individual characteristics, which also determine health status, the estimations indicate that increases in public health expenditure significantly improve both physiological and physical health. The results remain consistent when the model is reestimated and the change in the probability at the mean of the independent variable is calculated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1313-1319 Issue: 10 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010007146 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010007146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:10:p:1313-1319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Burc Ulengin Author-X-Name-First: Burc Author-X-Name-Last: Ulengin Author-Name: Nurhan Yenturk Author-X-Name-First: Nurhan Author-X-Name-Last: Yenturk Title: Impacts of capital inflows on aggregate spending categories: the case of Turkey Abstract: This paper discusses the impact of foreign savings on aggregate spending categories in Turkey. Using the vector autoregressive (VAR) models the major finding is that foreign savings has an increasing effect on consumption. The increase of investment arises from the accelerator effect of consumption, which results in an upward trend in investment in non-tradable sectors. Concluding that the policy of relying on foreign savings, to obtain long-term increases in tradable sector investment and competitiveness is ill-judged. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1321-1328 Issue: 10 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010009847 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010009847 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:10:p:1321-1328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno Heyndels Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Heyndels Title: Asymmetries in the flypaper effect: empirical evidence for the Flemish municipalities Abstract: Recent empirical work on US governments indicates an asymmetry in the flypaper effect: the elasticity of public spending with respect to changes in grants differs significantly for positive and negative changes. Using a panel of data on Flemish municipalities covering the period 1989-1996, we also find clear evidence of asymmetrical reactions. More precisely, the results suggest the presence of a fiscal replacement type of asymmetry: when grants grow, municipalities spend most of the additional revenue. However, when grants fall, spending is unaffected and municipalities compensate the loss through additional taxation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1329-1334 Issue: 10 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010004536 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010004536 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:10:p:1329-1334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodney Paul Author-X-Name-First: Rodney Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: Dragan Miljkovic Author-X-Name-First: Dragan Author-X-Name-Last: Miljkovic Author-Name: Viju Ipe Author-X-Name-First: Viju Author-X-Name-Last: Ipe Title: Market integration in US gasoline markets Abstract: This paper analyses the degree of market integration in the retail gasoline markets in the United States after it was completely deregulated in 1981. The monthly average prices of unleaded regular gasoline, excluding taxes, from January 1983 to December of 1998 for five US Petroleum Administration Defense Districts were considered in the analysis. There is evidence of a high degree of market integration in the gasoline markets as evidenced by the Engel and Granger and Johansen cointegration tests, but perfect market integration is rejected in all but a few cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1335-1340 Issue: 10 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010004545 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010004545 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:10:p:1335-1340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Marlow Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Marlow Title: Bureaucracy and student performance in US public schools Abstract: This paper tests the hypothesis that monopoly power of school districts allows bureaucratic expansion and fosters poor academic performance in the public school system in California. Evidence indicates that monopoly power is positively associated with employment of administrators and teachers, and therefore supports the bureaucratic expansion hypothesis. While numbers of teachers do not influence performance measures, numbers of administrators are shown to positively affect performance - results that suggest that too many teachers, but too few administrators, are employed. While bureaucracy theory may explain the resource misallocation, other reasons might include rising public pressures on hiring teachers over administrators, spending equalization policies, and the weak California economy in the period under investigation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1341-1350 Issue: 10 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010005229 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010005229 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:10:p:1341-1350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azzeddine Azzam Author-X-Name-First: Azzeddine Author-X-Name-Last: Azzam Author-Name: David Rosenbaum Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenbaum Title: Differential efficiency, market structure and price Abstract: A persistent question in industrial economics is the underpinning of the link between market concentration and price. How much of the link can be attributed to market power and how much to market efficiency? This paper develops a theoretical model to address that question. Applied to the US portland cement industry, the model indicates that both impacts matter. In relative terms, however, the market power effect is twice as large as the efficiency effect. An implication for merger policy is that the beneficial efficiency effects of mergers may not be obtained without the detrimental market power effects as well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1351-1357 Issue: 10 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010006615 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010006615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:10:p:1351-1357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Paradiso Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Paradiso Author-Name: Antonella Trisorio Author-X-Name-First: Antonella Author-X-Name-Last: Trisorio Title: The effect of knowledge on the disparity between hypothetical and real willingness to pay Abstract: The use of a contingent valuation (CV) method is controversial among economists because it is based on hypothetical rather than real economic choices. This paper reports the results of an experiment designed to elicit the real and the hypothetical willingness to pay (WTP) for a private good. The effect of different settings of knowledge (direct and indirect) of the good on subjects' valuation behaviour are investigated. The findings show that (i) a direct knowledge of the good reduces the observed disparity between hypothetical and real WTP; and that (ii) different settings of knowledge generate different perceptions of the characteristics of the good. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1359-1364 Issue: 11 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840152478039 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840152478039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:11:p:1359-1364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Reinhardt Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Reinhardt Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Are cigarette bans really good economic policy? Abstract: This study investigates the quarterly relationship between the quantity of cigarettes sold, real disposable income per capita, and the relative price level of cigarettes in Canada. Careful attention is paid to the nonstationarity of the data and the dynamic specification of the model. It is concluded that cigarette demand is extremely insensitive to price and income changes. This is evidence of the large consumer surplus smokers enjoy and the large revenue increasing potential of a cigarette tax increase policy, as opposed to cigarette bans. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1365-1368 Issue: 11 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010007489 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010007489 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:11:p:1365-1368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Denise Stanley Author-X-Name-First: Denise Author-X-Name-Last: Stanley Author-Name: Sirima Bunnag Author-X-Name-First: Sirima Author-X-Name-Last: Bunnag Title: A new look at the benefits of diversification: lessons from Central America Abstract: Recent trends of export diversification in Central America may lower foreign exchange earnings instability there. Four countries-Costa Rica, El Salvador, Honduras, and Guatemala-are analysed across a twenty-year period. The paper uses United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics to explain why Costa Rica and Honduras have enjoyed greater earnings stability in recent years, despite the fact that Honduras has not greatly diversified its export products and markets. Despite the growth of new agricultural and manufacturing goods, traditional primary products still dominate the countries' export portfolios. Specific products within each of the four broad product category groups contribute to the varied country outcomes. Summary statistics from the United Nations (panel) data suggest newer agricultural exports have not stabilized Guatemalan and Salvadoran export earnings, while Honduras has enjoyed relatively stable banana export revenues and Costa Rica has benefited from the smooth flow of microelectronic products. Further panel data regression analysis shows country size and intangible country effects also explain parts of the detrended earnings deviation in addition to product base and level of diversification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1369-1383 Issue: 11 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010007498 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010007498 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:11:p:1369-1383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vincenzo Atella Author-X-Name-First: Vincenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Atella Author-Name: Beniamino Quintieri Author-X-Name-First: Beniamino Author-X-Name-Last: Quintieri Title: Do R&D expenditures really matter for TFP? Abstract: Recently, several studies have emphasized the role of R&D expenditure in determining Total Factor Productivity (TFP). In this paper it is shown that the relationship between R&D variables and TFP is far from being established. In particular, by using data for the Italian economy, it is found that the estimated effects of R&D variables on TFP crucially depends on: (i) the way in which the production function, used to derive Solow residuals, is defined; (ii) the numbers of maintained hypotheses used to estimate Solow residuals; (iii) the level of aggregation of the data employed in the empirical analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1385-1389 Issue: 11 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010007939 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010007939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:11:p:1385-1389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susan Averett Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Averett Title: Moonlighting: multiple motives and gender differences Abstract: This paper examines the incidence and reasons for moonlighting with a focus on gender differences. The study specifies and estimates a bivariate probit model of labour supply and the decision to hold more than one job. It is found that the factors leading men and women to moonlight are similar. A wage decomposition analysis reveals that 93 percent of the differential between male and female moonlighters' wages is not explained by differences in characteristics, and little connection is found between an individual's human capital and their moonlighting wage. Finally, it is found that moonlighters are less likely to report their income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1391-1410 Issue: 11 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010007957 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010007957 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:11:p:1391-1410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ozgur Berk Kan Author-X-Name-First: Ozgur Berk Author-X-Name-Last: Kan Title: The evidence of strategic pricing policies of Turkish textile exports Abstract: This paper examines the strategic pricing behaviour (Pricing to Market; PTM) policies of textile exports in the 1990s for a hyperinflation country, Turkey, whose currency has been depreciating continually for the last two decades. The findings show that Turkish textile export categories exhibit evidence of strategic pricing behaviour when the Turkish textiles export data is analysed for different frequencies. The results show that evidence of strategic pricing behaviour is observed in response to changes in real exchange rates for textile exports for closer lagging periods and strategic pricing behaviour diminishes with further lagging periods. Also, evidence of strategic pricing behaviour is observed in a more recurrent fashion with higher frequency data, three-month periods, than with relatively lower frequency data, six-month and 12-month periods. Another interesting finding is that Turkish textile exporters prefer to increase their prices as a reaction if they had adjusted their prices in an overshooting fashion in response to real exchange changes in the previous period. The most important finding of the paper is that while Turkish textile exporters prefer to adjust their export pricing without fully absorbing the real exchange depreciation and by increasing their relative markups for some textile categories, they prefer to adjust their export prices by lowering their markups in addition to fully absorbing the real exchange depreciation for some other textile categories in order to increase their market share overseas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1411-1421 Issue: 11 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010007966 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010007966 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:11:p:1411-1421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John List Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: List Title: Determinants of securing academic interviews after tenure denial: evidence from a zero-inflated Poisson model Abstract: This paper uses a new data set to estimate empirically the optimal job search strategies for recently non-tenured economists seeking to obtain an academic job. Estimates from a zero inflated Poisson model suggest that a portion of interview counts is beyond the candidate's control as age, colour of skin, gender, and citizenship all play a part in the interview decision. A candidate can substantially enhance the probability of obtaining initial interviews by maintaining quality research and teaching portfolios, however. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1423-1431 Issue: 11 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010009856 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010009856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:11:p:1423-1431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Zofio Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Zofio Author-Name: C. A. Knox Lovell Author-X-Name-First: C. A. Knox Author-X-Name-Last: Lovell Title: Graph efficiency and productivity measures: an application to US agriculture Abstract: Hyperbolic measures of efficiency and productivity change with respect to a graph representation of production technology allow researchers to consider output and input dimensions simultaneously in measuring producer performance. Hyperbolic efficiency measures have been proposed, but empirical implementation has not followed, either in efficiency analysis or in productivity analysis. The objectives of this paper are to define hyperbolic performance measures on a graph representation of production technology, to motivate their use by stating some of their advantages over their radial counterparts, and to introduce a direct formulation to calculate them making use of Data Envelopment Analysis techniques. The ideas are illustrated by calculating hyperbolic efficiency and Malmquist productivity indexes for a US agricultural panel data set. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1433-1442 Issue: 11 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010009865 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010009865 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:11:p:1433-1442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abereniye Atemie-Obuoforibo Author-X-Name-First: Abereniye Author-X-Name-Last: Atemie-Obuoforibo Title: Public policies: will policy be ineffective if welfare is a random-walk Abstract: This study contradicts the view that policy cannot be effective if the welfare variable is a random-walk. Also, the study disagrees with the methodology employed by some proponents of this view, and goes on to show that the conclusion of policy ineffectiveness was only due to a wrong inference procedure. Furthermore, it points out that the notion of policy effectiveness suggests the examination of the relationship between policy and welfare; hence, what to look for is not a trend in the individual time series, but a common trend which relates the policy instrument and the welfare-variable in the policy environment under consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1443-1453 Issue: 11 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010009874 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010009874 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:11:p:1443-1453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jostein Grytten Author-X-Name-First: Jostein Author-X-Name-Last: Grytten Author-Name: Fredrik Carlsen Author-X-Name-First: Fredrik Author-X-Name-Last: Carlsen Author-Name: Irene Skau Author-X-Name-First: Irene Author-X-Name-Last: Skau Title: The income effect and supplier induced demand. Evidence from primary physician services in Norway Abstract: A much debated issue within the health economic literature is whether physicians can induce demand for their services. The relationship between physicians' 'nonpractice income' and supply of primary physician services in Norway is examined. It is argued that, if inducement exists, physicians with a low nonpractice income who work in municipalities where competition for patients is high, compensate for lack of patients by inducing demand. This model is adapted to the institutional setting of the Norwegian primary physician services, where there is a fixed fee schedule. The analyses were performed on a large set of data, encompassing all primary care physicians in Norway who are remunerated per item of treatment. Data on output in practice were merged with information about nonpractice income from the tax forms of the physician and her/his spouse. In municipalities with high physician density, nonpractice income had no effect on the number of consultations per physician, or on the number of treatment items per consultation. The results are interpreted as evidence against the inducement hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1455-1467 Issue: 11 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010009883 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010009883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:11:p:1455-1467 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Finaldi Russo Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Finaldi Author-X-Name-Last: Russo Author-Name: Paola Rossi Author-X-Name-First: Paola Author-X-Name-Last: Rossi Title: Credit constraints in Italian industrial districts Abstract: Italy is characterized by strong differences both in the productive and in the financial structure. Small and medium firms tend to concentrate in the so called 'Marshallian industrial district', whose productive system has been thoroughly studied but whose financial features are partially overlooked. This paper aims at investigating how the location of a firm in an industrial district affects its ability to resort to external finance, mostly bank loans. The econometric analysis on a panel of 1700 firms over the 1989-1995 period shows that firms located inside industrial districts have an advantage in terms of financial relations with the banking system: both the cost of credit and the probability to face financial constraints are lower. Nevertheless, the cyclical pattern of this advantage is not in favour of district firms: following the tightening of monetary policy, increases in interest rates on bank loans are proportionally higher for firms inside the district; furthermore, also the advantage consisting in an easier access to credit market disappears after the 1992-1993 recession. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1469-1477 Issue: 11 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010010467 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010010467 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:11:p:1469-1477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Asher Tishler Author-X-Name-First: Asher Author-X-Name-Last: Tishler Author-Name: Ron Ventura Author-X-Name-First: Ron Author-X-Name-Last: Ventura Author-Name: John Watters Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Watters Title: Cellular telephones in the Israeli market: the demand, the choice of provider and potential revenues Abstract: This study presents the methodology, the estimates and a scenario for forecasting the demand for cellular telephones and their use in Israel. The analysis was based on the integration of three sub-models. The estimate of the consumer's decision on whether to purchase a cellular telephone and what type was obtained by using a discrete choice model of the multinomial logit type. The total number of cellular telephone purchases to be made in Israel during the years 1998-2008 was estimated using a logistic growth model employing aggregate data over time. The anticipated demand for airtime was based on findings of a survey carried out on a national sample, and on actual usage data on the various consumers during the years prior to the survey. The research shows the substantial economic potential of Israel's cellular telephone market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1479-1492 Issue: 11 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010011916 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010011916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:11:p:1479-1492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Owyong Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Owyong Author-Name: Shandre Thangavelu Author-X-Name-First: Shandre Author-X-Name-Last: Thangavelu Title: An empirical study on public capital spillovers from the USA to Canada Abstract: The effect of public capital on private sector productivity has received much attention in the literature. The impact of an adjacent country's public capital on domestic productivity has, however, not been previously examined. This paper attempts to fill this gap by examining the possibility of such spillovers from the USA to Canada. Due to close proximity of both countries, the hypothesis of the paper is that these spillovers are important. A production function model introduces US public capital as an exogenous variable and tests for its significance. The results indicate positive spillovers from the USA public capital to Canadian productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1493-1499 Issue: 11 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010011925 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010011925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:11:p:1493-1499 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lila Truett Author-X-Name-First: Lila Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Author-Name: Dale Truett Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Title: The Spanish automotive industry: scale economies and input relationships Abstract: This paper investigates the existence of economies of scale in the Spanish automobile industry as well as the substitution possibilities between input pairs and the direct and cross price elasticities of demand for the various inputs by estimating a translog cost function for both a three input model involving capital, labour, and intermediate goods as well as a four input model where energy is separated from other intermediate goods. The results of this study are consistent with the hypothesis of economies of scale in the Spanish automobile industry, particularly at the low and mean levels of output. These results also are consistent with the hypothesis that capital is a substitute for the other inputs, but that labour and intermediate goods are complements. Labour and energy also appear to have a complementary relationship over most of the data points in this study. The significance of a complementary relationship between labour and intermediate goods is that any attempt by the Spanish government to restrict imports of these inputs, resulting in higher domestic prices for them, may aggravate an already serious domestic unemployment problem. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1503-1513 Issue: 12 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840012960 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840012960 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:12:p:1503-1513 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. J. A. Van Vliet Rene Author-X-Name-First: C. J. A. Van Vliet Author-X-Name-Last: Rene Title: Effects of price and deductibles on medical care demand, estimated from survey data Abstract: This paper estimates the price sensitivity of medical care demand from cross-sectional survey data by relating medical consumption to approximated copayment rates resulting from deductibles. Instead of the deductibles itself, a transformation is used that better takes into account that expected expenditures at policy level play an important role in the reaction of consumers with regard to their deductible. This transformation approximates the average expected copayment rate, that is, the portion of expenditures that one may expect - at the beginning of the year - to pay out-of-pocket, given the deductible and given the expected expenditures at policy level. The principal finding is an estimated price elasticity of medical care demand of -0.079. The highest price sensitivity was found for physiotherapy visits (-0.12) and general practitioner visits (-0.085), and the lowest for specialist visits (-0.074) and prescription drugs (-0.056). Hospital care demand appeared not to be affected by deductibles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1515-1524 Issue: 12 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010013626 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010013626 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:12:p:1515-1524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Anker Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Anker Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Title: On the relationship between the value of the mark and German production Abstract: This study employs Johansen's cointegration technique to determine the long-run relationship between exchange value of the DM and German production. It is shown that depreciation of the DM has a long-run expansionary impact on German production. This conclusion is based on a new method of selecting the order of VAR and the appropriate cointegrating vector simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1525-1530 Issue: 12 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010012933 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010012933 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:12:p:1525-1530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Øystein Thøgersen Author-X-Name-First: Øystein Author-X-Name-Last: Thøgersen Title: Reforming social security: assessing the effects of alternative funding strategies Abstract: Population ageing implies that the large pay-as-you-go social security programmes implemented in many OECD economies will run into severe financial problems. By means of a numerical overlapping generations model, this paper investigates the intergenerational welfare effects of a transition to funded security programmes. Such programmes imply permanent increases in the welfare of the young and unborn generations. It is demonstrated that the size of the welfare gains varies significantly between alternative funding strategies. A nonindividualized funding strategy characterized by increased government asset accumulation triggers considerable welfare gains through increased asset returns in the future. Even larger welfare gains may be realized by an individual funding strategy characterized by increased asset accumulation accompanied by an adoption of actuarial supplementary pensions (i.e. actuarial supplementary pensions combined with a fixed minimum pension) which reduces future tax distortions drastically. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1531-1540 Issue: 12 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010014436 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010014436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:12:p:1531-1540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pilar Beneito Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Beneito Author-Name: Javier Ferri Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Ferri Author-Name: M. Luisa Molto Author-X-Name-First: M. Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Molto Author-Name: Ezequiel Uriel Author-X-Name-First: Ezequiel Author-X-Name-Last: Uriel Title: Determinants of the demand for education in Spain Abstract: The aim of this paper is to estimate an equation for household demand for both secondary and university education, using an estimation of the opportunity cost associated with the decision to invest in education. Limited dependent variable models are applied to the data provided by the Family Budget Survey 1991 for Spain. The results show that the social and economic status of the family has a comparatively greater impact on household expenditure on secondary education than on university education. The opportunity cost is also shown to be a decisive variable in the decision to invest in secondary education, although the results are less conclusive in the case of university education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1541-1551 Issue: 12 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010009892 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010009892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:12:p:1541-1551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Anker Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Anker Title: ECB monetary policy and the DM-dollar exchange rate: evidence from a Bayesian VAR Abstract: Since the start of the European Monetary Union (EMU) in January 1999, the DM has depreciated considerably against the currencies of major industrial countries. Whether there is a systematic failure of vector autoregressive (VAR) models fitted to the pre-EMU period to predict forward looking variables in the year 1999 is investigated. Conditional forecasts are used in order to capture the potential effects of real shocks and to assess the ECB's reaction to these shocks. The findings suggest that neither real shocks nor the actual ECB-policy reaction can explain the exchange-rate devaluation. This points to important effects of increased uncertainty following the regime shift resulting in an increased risk premium in the foreign exchange market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1553-1562 Issue: 12 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010012942 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010012942 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:12:p:1553-1562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikiforos Laopodis Author-X-Name-First: Nikiforos Author-X-Name-Last: Laopodis Title: Effects of government spending on private investment Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of military and non-military public expenditures on gross private investment using cointegration and error-correction analysis. The latter type of public spending is disagreggated into expenditures of infrastructure, consumption and other general government expenditures. The empirical evidence from four emerging European countries namely, Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain suggests that in some cases public capital spending stimulates investment, while in others it depresses it. Also, the results tentatively indicate that defence spending exerts no influence on private investment, thus adding to the ongoing controversy of the economic effects of military spending. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1563-1577 Issue: 12 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010011934 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010011934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:12:p:1563-1577 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. B. Prakash Author-X-Name-First: A. B. Author-X-Name-Last: Prakash Author-Name: E. H. D'A. Oliver Author-X-Name-First: E. H. D'A. Author-X-Name-Last: Oliver Author-Name: K. Balcombe Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Balcombe Title: Does building new roads really create extra traffic? Some new evidence Abstract: The debate that expenditure on new or existing roads induces more traffic has intensified during the 1990s in most developed countries. In this paper the controversy is readdressed from a UK perspective, using the method of Granger noncausality. Results indicate that aggregate expenditure on new and existing roads does not induce additional traffic in the Granger sense. Conversely, the results found that traffic Granger causes road expenditure. The importance of these results, along with issues concerning the selection and specification of dynamic models, are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1579-1585 Issue: 12 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010013617 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010013617 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:12:p:1579-1585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Asifa Nahid Author-X-Name-First: Asifa Author-X-Name-Last: Nahid Author-Name: Abul Shamsuddin Author-X-Name-First: Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Shamsuddin Title: Immigration and the unemployment benefit programme in Australia Abstract: A widely held view is that immigrants contribute to public debt through their over representation in the unemployment benefit programme. An empirical investigation, based on the 1990 Income Distribution Survey, finds support for this view. In contrast to the US and Canadian studies, this paper observes that the probability of receiving unemployment benefits is higher for immigrants than the native-born population and immigrants, who participate in the unemployment benefit programme, also receive a greater amount of unemployment benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1587-1597 Issue: 12 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010014021 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010014021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:12:p:1587-1597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christine Lim Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Michael McAleer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McAleer Title: Cointegration analysis of quarterly tourism demand by Hong Kong and Singapore for Australia Abstract: Hong Kong and Singapore are two of the most important and fastest growing markets for tourists to Australia. The purpose of this paper is to investigate movements in the long-run demand for tourist travel by these two origin countries for Australia. Some of the leading macroeconomic variables examined to explain tourism demand are incomes in Hong Kong and Singapore, tourism prices in Australia, and transportation costs and exchange rates between the two countries and Australia. Seasonally unadjusted quarterly data are used for Hong Kong for the period 1975(1)-1996(4), and for 1980(4)-1996(4) for Singapore. Several proxy variables are used for the incomes of tourists from Hong Kong and Singapore to explain quarterly tourist arrivals to Australia. The augmented Dickey-Fuller test for unit roots is examined in the univariate framework, and Johansen's maximum likelihood procedure is used to test for cointegration and to estimate the number of cointegrating vectors. Error correction models are estimated to explain quarterly tourism demand by Hong Kong and Singapore for Australia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1599-1619 Issue: 12 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010014012 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010014012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:12:p:1599-1619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Gandar Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gandar Author-Name: Richard Zuber Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Zuber Author-Name: R. Stafford Johnson Author-X-Name-First: R. Stafford Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Searching for the favourite-longshot bias down under: an examination of the New Zealand pari-mutuel betting market Abstract: This paper tests for the presence of the favourite-longshot bias in a new setting. This bias #150 the tendency for bettors to underbet favourites and overbet longshots #150 has been found in most studies of pari-mutuel and bookmaking betting markets in the USA, the UK and Australia. However, there is growing evidence that in at least some pari-mutuel betting markets there is no favourite-longshot bias. This paper examines the previously unexplored New Zealand pari-mutuel betting market on horse races for evidence of this bias. Utilizing a large sample of recent New Zealand thoroughbred horse races, it is found that while early, off-track bettors price this bias into odds, late (on-and off-track) bettors eliminate much of the bias by the close of betting. That is, the results reinforce the view that not all pari-mutuel betting markets are characterized by a favourite-longshot bias at the close of betting. Evidence is also found that late bettors in this market are smart bettors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1621-1629 Issue: 13 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010012951 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010012951 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:13:p:1621-1629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roope Uusitalo Author-X-Name-First: Roope Author-X-Name-Last: Uusitalo Title: Homo entreprenaurus? Abstract: This paper examines the determinants of self-employment and transitions from salaried employment to self-employment using two sets of Finnish data from the 1990s. The results show that capital constraints have only a minor effect on new business starts. Human capital, in the form of intergenerational links in self-employment and psychological factors play a much larger role. The paper also provides empirical evidence that less risk-averse workers are more likely to become entrepreneurs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1631-1638 Issue: 13 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010015778 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010015778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:13:p:1631-1638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkan Erdil Author-X-Name-First: Erkan Author-X-Name-Last: Erdil Author-Name: I. Hakan Yetkiner Author-X-Name-First: I. Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Yetkiner Title: A comparative analysis of inter-industry wage differentials: industrialized versus developing countries Abstract: This study aims to compare the available evidence on inter-industry wage structure for industrialized and developing countries and to find whether the industry wage differentials are consistent and stable independent of time and space. Moreover, it tries to clarify some of the determinants of industry wage differentials. International evidence supports the wage differential regularity across countries, and the factors underlying inter-industry wage differentials are found to be more or less the same for both industrialized and developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1639-1648 Issue: 13 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010013608 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010013608 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:13:p:1639-1648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dale Heien Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Heien Title: Habit, seasonality, and time aggregation in consumer behaviour Abstract: Habitual behaviour in consumer demand analysis is generally portrayed via some form of a lagged dependent variable model. The purpose of this paper is to explore the implications for habit behaviour of time aggregation. This is done by specifying both habit and seasonal components in demand relations. The results indicate that much of what has traditionally been identified as habitual behaviour is, in fact, seasonal effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1649-1653 Issue: 13 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368401317035441 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368401317035441 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:13:p:1649-1653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ziggy MacDonald Author-X-Name-First: Ziggy Author-X-Name-Last: MacDonald Author-Name: Stephen Pudney Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Pudney Title: Illicit drug use and labour market achievement: evidence from the UK Abstract: This study, using data from the British Crime Survey (BCS), examines the effect of drug use on occupational achievement. It starts by attempting to overcome the identification problem that results from the limited set of drug use questions presented in the BCS. Taking this into account, and allowing for the endogeneity of drug use in equations for unemployment and labour market outcomes, that a mild positive association with 'soft' drugs and occupational achievement is observed that diminishes with age. This relationship holds for males but not for females. In contrast, it is also found that past use of 'hard' drugs significantly increases the likelihood of current unemployment, although it appears to be unrelated to occupational success, conditional on achieving employment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1655-1668 Issue: 13 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010014454 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010014454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:13:p:1655-1668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melanie Ward Author-X-Name-First: Melanie Author-X-Name-Last: Ward Title: The gender salary gap in British academia Abstract: This paper considers salary determination and the gender salary gap in the academic labour market utilizing a particularly detailed data set of academics from five old established Universities. Results reveal an aggregate gender salary differential for academic staff of 15%. Most of this differential can, however, be explained by our model. Evidence suggests a limited opportunity for female academics to combine career and family, despite the flexibility of an academic job and emphasizes the importance of mobility to the male career. Publication record is found to be an important determinant of salary. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1669-1681 Issue: 13 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010014445 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010014445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:13:p:1669-1681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Lurdes Castro Martins Author-X-Name-First: Maria Lurdes Castro Author-X-Name-Last: Martins Title: Social welfare loss due to second-best pricing: an application to the Portuguese telecommunications Abstract: The telecommunications industry is usually characterized by low marginal costs and significant fixed costs which are the conditions for the inefficiency of marginal cost pricing. In such cases theory postulates that optimal pricing is obtained by maximizing welfare subject to a restriction of viability of the firm: the second-best pricing scheme. The possible welfare losses due to second-best pricing varies according to the values of marginal costs, prices and demand elasticities. This paper analyses to what extent the second-best pricing has been achieved in the Portuguese telecommunications firm CTT, over the period 1950#150;1984 as well as the magnitude of the price-cost margins and welfare losses created. We obtained empirical evidence of the presence of economies of scale, a welfare loss estimate of 1% of the telecommunications receipts and a result that price was 40% greater than marginal cost. We concluded that price regulation and public ownership of the firm did not seriously affect social welfare over the sample period (it should be noted that it is the non-digital and fixedwire infrastructure period). Therefore, it is important to study the impact of new digital and non-wire technologies and new services provided in the old regulatory scenery. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1683-1687 Issue: 13 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010014463 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010014463 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:13:p:1683-1687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emilio Colombo Author-X-Name-First: Emilio Author-X-Name-Last: Colombo Title: Determinants of corporate capital structure: evidence from Hungarian firms Abstract: This paper investigates the capital structure of Hungarian firms using a cross-section and a panel data approach. The data set is composed of balance sheet data and information on market structure for 1100 firms from 1992 to 1996. Evidence is found of imperfections that constrain firms in the achievement of their optimal capital structure, but also some positive indications: there are no distortions typical of the planned system and no signs of the presence of soft budget constraints. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1689-1701 Issue: 13 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010015057 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010015057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:13:p:1689-1701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khalid Yousif Khalafalla Author-X-Name-First: Khalid Yousif Author-X-Name-Last: Khalafalla Author-Name: Alan Webb Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Webb Title: Export-led growth and structural change: evidence from Malaysia Abstract: Many studies have tried to establish the causal link between export expansion and economic growth. This contribution is to recognize that structural changes will change the sources of growth and this will affect the export-growth relationship. A country case study approach is used focusing on Malaysia, a country with one of the world's highest sustained growth rates and a long history of commodity trade. We use VAR analysis of Malaysian quarterly trade and GDP growth from 1965 to 1996. Trade data are disaggregated into primary and manufactures exports and causality tests are applied to the entire period as well as two subperiods #150 the 1965 #1501980 period when policy emphasis was on import substitution and the 1981#1501996 period when policies favoured export-led growth. Statistical tests confirm export-led growth for the full period and for the period to 1980 but tests on the 1981#1501996 period show growth causing exports. Primary exports had a stronger direct impact on economic growth than manufactures. The weakening support for export-led growth after Malaysia shifted to an export-oriented development strategy is associated with structural changes associated with industrialization. Interaction among trade and growth variables becomes more complex with a broadening export base and more diverse sources of growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1703-1715 Issue: 13 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010015066 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010015066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:13:p:1703-1715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Teresa Gonzalo Author-X-Name-First: Maria Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalo Author-Name: Jan Saarela Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Saarela Title: An evaluation of the management of the Finnish employment service Abstract: This paper analyses the efficiency of the Finnish Employment Service's management in selecting unemployed individuals who are offered a job. The database used considers short-term unemployed individuals who face the same labour market conditions in 1996. Duration analysis with a Weibull model has been performed in order to study the determinants of the transition probability from unemployment into employment and the impact of receiving job offers through the Employment Service (ES). In order to carry this out, it has been taken into account that the reception of such job offers may be endogenous because the ES selects the individuals who will receive the offers. The empirical results suggest that the decisions made by the ES are adequate in the sense that they increase the benefit of society, compared with a random assignment of the vacancies offered through the ES. Moreover, the effects of the other determinants depend on whether the individual receives offers. The results also point out that individuals who receive no offers through the ES are more likely, as time passes by, to be discouraged in searching for a job than those who do. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1717-1725 Issue: 13 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010015354 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010015354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:13:p:1717-1725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cliff Huang Author-X-Name-First: Cliff Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Chien-Fu Jeff Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Fu Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Jen-Chi Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Evidence on nonlinear error correction in money demand: the case of Taiwan Abstract: This paper proposes a nonlinear error-correction model based upon smooth transition regression methodology. The model is specified such that the short-run adjustment toward long-run equilibrium is nonlinear and that the error correction is a smooth function of long-run deviation. Empirical results obtained from estimating M2 money demand in Taiwan support the hypothesis of a nonlinear error-correction process and provide better interpretation of change in the demand for money. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1727-1736 Issue: 13 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010017631 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010017631 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:13:p:1727-1736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amy Basile Author-X-Name-First: Amy Author-X-Name-Last: Basile Author-Name: Joseph Joyce Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Joyce Title: Asset bubbles, monetary policy and bank lending in Japan: an empirical investigation Abstract: Asset prices rose rapidly in Japan during the latter half of the 1980s, and then declined as quickly in the early 1990s. Their behaviour is consistent with the existence of speculative 'bubbles' in these markets. This paper investigates the dynamic relationships among stock and land prices in Japan, output, and monetary and bank lending variables. The results of causality tests and variance decompositions are reported for two time periods, 1972#1501985 and 1986#1501991. The price bubbles affected each other in the first period, although the size of this impact is dependent on the choice of variables in the VARs. In the bubble period, there is strong evidence that the stock market bubble was determined by its own past and also influenced the land market bubble, accounting for a significant proportion of the variance of the land market bubble. However, neither output, the money supply nor the lending variables were significant in the causality tests or in explaining the variation of the two assset bubbles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1737-1744 Issue: 13 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010018621 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010018621 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:13:p:1737-1744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gyan Pradhan Author-X-Name-First: Gyan Author-X-Name-Last: Pradhan Author-Name: Kamal Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Title: The impact of budget deficits on national saving in the USA Abstract: This paper analyses the effect of government budget deficits on national saving in the USA utilizing annual time series data from 1967 to 1996. A model that includes budget deficits, money supply, real exchange rate, real interest rate, and the proportion of working age population to total population to explain national saving is developed. After examining the time series properties of the data an error correction model is estimated. The overall results suggest that an increase in government budget deficits tend to reduce national saving. The working age population coming out of the baby boom generation has positively contributed to an increase in national saving. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1745-1750 Issue: 13 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010020132 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010020132 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:13:p:1745-1750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alistair Bruce Author-X-Name-First: Alistair Author-X-Name-Last: Bruce Author-Name: Johnnie Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Johnnie Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Efficiency characteristics of a market for state contingent claims Abstract: This paper concludes that a market for state-contingent claims (UK horserace betting) displays evidence of pervasive but heterogeneous forms of inefficiency, in significant contrast to earlier investigations. Using hitherto unavailable data, comparison of notional returns implicit in parallel sets of bookmaker and parimutuel odds identifies inefficiency in terms of zones of distinct but contrasting forms of cross-;market returns differential. The inefficiency is rationalized in terms of both buyer and supplier behaviour; its durability is explained in terms of limited arbitrage opportunities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1751-1754 Issue: 13 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110052785 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110052785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:13:p:1751-1754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Smith Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Breeding incentive programmes and demand for California thoroughbred racing: is there a quality/quantity tradeoff? Abstract: Both quantity of horses and quality stimulate demand for horse race gambling. This paper addresses the potential for a quantity/quality tradeoff due to breeding incentives for California thoroughbreds. Econometric analysis is used to assess the demand for quality and quantity of horses, and results suggest the likely net benefit of breeding incentives on the industry at large. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1755-1762 Issue: 14 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010019675 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010019675 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:14:p:1755-1762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julian Morgan Author-X-Name-First: Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Morgan Title: Employment security and the demand for labour in Europe Abstract: This paper analyses the impact of employment security on labour demand. The approach taken is to estimate a dynamic labour demand function that allows for the effect of changes in a measure of employment security derived from surveys of employers. The estimation uses panel data on employment (both in terms of the total number of employees and total hours worked) for seven European countries for the period 1981-1994. The results suggest that employment security can have significant effects in slowing down the dynamic adjustment of labour demand. The paper also finds some (less robust) evidence that employment security can increase the long run level of labour demand in terms of total hours, but not the number of persons employed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1763-1774 Issue: 14 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010017659 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010017659 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:14:p:1763-1774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Burton Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Burton Author-Name: Richard Dorsett Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Dorsett Title: The degree of monopsony power in agricultural labour markets, and the impact of the agricultural minimum wage: an application to craft workers in England and Wales Abstract: This paper uses cross-section data to examine the determinants of wages for agricultural craft workers over the period 1991-1994. Using limited dependent variable models to take account of the censoring in the data resulting from the minimum wage, we have investigated the degree to which agricultural and broader labour markets are integrated, the impact of tied housing on wages, and the extent to which the minimum wage truncates the wage distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1775-1784 Issue: 14 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010017668 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010017668 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:14:p:1775-1784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lindsay Meredith Author-X-Name-First: Lindsay Author-X-Name-Last: Meredith Author-Name: Dennis Maki Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Maki Title: Product cannibalization and the role of prices Abstract: The role of brand prices in contributing to product cannibalization is examined. Price elasticities and reference price theory are used to provide a theoretical foundation and empirical test for the impact of a firm's cheap brand on one of its expensive brands. Results are consistent with the conclusion that the market share of the company's premium brand was cannibalized by a growth in sales of its cheap brand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1785-1793 Issue: 14 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010015769 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010015769 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:14:p:1785-1793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Couharde Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Couharde Author-Name: J. Mazier Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Mazier Title: The equilibrium exchange rates of European currencies and the transition to euro Abstract: The introduction of the euro raised two questions: what was the appropriate exchange rate of the European currencies for entry in the EMU? What were the main determinants of the external value of the euro? To bring some insight in the matter, the concept of equilibrium exchange rates was used, which illustrated the divergence between exchange rates and long run fundamentals. For each country, the equilibrium exchange rate was calculated from a simplified model of external trade which, in its reduced form, allows one to explicitly represent the structural determinants of exchange rates. To obtain supplementary results we also make an analysis of unit cost levels. The results suggest that although the central parities in force within the EMS were rather satisfactory and ought not to give rise subsequently to intra-European tensions, the European currencies were overvalued in terms of their equilibrium exchange rates and the dollar was undervalued. This misalignment thus provides support to justify the depreciation of the euro since its launch. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1795-1801 Issue: 14 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010021717 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010021717 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:14:p:1795-1801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Romilly Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Romilly Author-Name: Haiyan Song Author-X-Name-First: Haiyan Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Xiaming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Car ownership and use in Britain: a comparison of the empirical results of alternative cointegration estimation methods and forecasts Abstract: This paper addresses two problems faced by many forecasters in the transport sector, namely how to use a relatively small sample to forecast car ownership over a long period of time and avoid the difficulties caused by spurious or nonsense regressions. Five alternative estimation methods are used to test for cointegrating relationships between per capita car ownership (and use) and real per capita personable disposable income, real motoring costs and real bus fares. These are the Engle-Granger two-stage, the Phillips-Hansen fully modified, the Wickens-Breusch one-stage, the autoregressive distributed lag, and the Johansen maximum likelihood methods. The corresponding error correction models are estimated, and a comparison made between the derived short- and long-run demand elasticities for car ownership and use. The ex-post forecasting performance of the error correction models, together with an ARIMA model specification, is evaluated using a number of performance criteria. The long-range time series forecasts obtained from the cointegrating regressions are compared with those from the cross-sectional approach used by the UK Department of the Environment, Transport and the Regions, and the policy implications discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1803-1818 Issue: 14 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840011021708 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840011021708 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:14:p:1803-1818 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hilde Christiane Bjørnland Author-X-Name-First: Hilde Christiane Author-X-Name-Last: Bjørnland Title: Identifying domestic and imported core inflation Abstract: This paper estimates core inflation in Norway, identified as that component of inflation that has no long-run effect on GDP. The model distinguishes explicitly between domestic and imported core inflation. The results show that (domestic) core inflation is the main component of CPI inflation. However, CPI inflation misrepresents core inflation during some periods. The differences are well explained by the other shocks identified in the model, in particular the oil price shocks of the 1970s when Norway imported inflation, and the negative non-core (supply) shocks of the late 1980s, which pushed inflation up temporarily relative to core inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1819-1831 Issue: 14 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010017640 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010017640 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:14:p:1819-1831 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Ko Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Ko Author-Name: Carol Dahl Author-X-Name-First: Carol Author-X-Name-Last: Dahl Title: Interfuel substitution in US electricity generation Abstract: Ongoing changes in the US electricity market include restructuring and increased competition. With this unfettering of the market, the fuel choice in generation is expected to become more flexible and responsive. To investigate this hypothesis, studies of US electricity fuel choices over the last three decades are summarized and the most recent analysis is provided on a market very different from the one on which earlier studies were done. Modern data handling techniques allow the consideration of the most comprehensive database including 185 utilities on monthly data for 1993. This paper finds fuel choice to show a considerable amount of price responsiveness, the amount of responsiveness is sensitive to the fuel substitution possibilities within the utility, and the amount of responsiveness seems to have increased recently for oil and natural gas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1833-1843 Issue: 14 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010021122 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010021122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:14:p:1833-1843 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salvador Gil Pareja Author-X-Name-First: Salvador Gil Author-X-Name-Last: Pareja Title: Pricing to market in European automobile exports to OECD countries: a panel data approach Abstract: This paper investigates pricing to market behaviour using data for European auto exports. The empirical analysis uses forward instead of spot exchange rates. Cross-country and cross-product analyses reveal that pricing behaviour depends mainly on the class of product, while the country of origin and destination appears as less important. Furthermore, the data do not usually reject the hypothesis of a symmetric response of export prices to depreciations and appreciations of the exporter's currency. Finally, although the point estimates confirm the combined influence of the business cycle and the direction of the exchange rate movements on pricing to market in most cases, formal tests seldom provide statistical significance for this result. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1845-1856 Issue: 14 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010020123 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010020123 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:14:p:1845-1856 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Author-Name: Patrick Caragata Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Caragata Title: The learning path of the hidden economy: the tax burden and tax evasion in New Zealand Abstract: This paper considers the 'learning curve' relationship between the aggregate tax rate and the relative size of the hidden economy in New Zealand. Some simple non-linear models are estimated so that the effects of changes in the effective tax rate on the underground economy can be simulated. This study finds that about half of the hidden activity in New Zealand is a learned response to changing opportunities and constraints in fiscal policy, but this amount varies over the business cycle. Simulating a zero tax rate permits us to discover the 'natural rate' of underground and criminal activity. Some partial lessons are drawn for taxation policy in that country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1857-1867 Issue: 14 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110018720 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110018720 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:14:p:1857-1867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matti Viren Author-X-Name-First: Matti Author-X-Name-Last: Viren Title: Modelling crime and punishment Abstract: This paper provides an extended supply of labour model which allows for different intensities of legal and illegal (criminal) activities and in which criminal activities may be considered both as work and leisure. Heterogeneity of individuals is also taken into account. The model is estimated from Finnish aggregate time-series data, pooled Finnish municipalities data and pooled international cross-country data. With the Finnish aggregate data, a volume index of crime is constructed and then used in testing the model. All empirical results give strong support to the hypothesis that apprehension and punishment are important deterrents of crime. By contrast, the role of sosioeconomic and demographic variables turns out to be of little importance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1869-1879 Issue: 14 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010017677 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010017677 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:14:p:1869-1879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: A discrete-time hazard model of the adoption of legislative television: evidence from the US Congress, 1961-1986 Abstract: The present study examines the probability of the adoption of legislative television over time (1961-1986) in the US Congress using a discrete-time hazard model. Against a theoretical construct where political services are modelled as search/experience goods, evidence is provided suggesting that constituent homogeneity, relative power struggles involving the legislative branches of Congress and the White House, and the potential prowess of legislators in Congress regarding skilful use of television are all important facets in this probability model. Use of alternative data sources and statistical techniques, such as those presented here, works to provide a greater foundation of knowledge regarding the relationship between representative democracy and modern means of communication. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1881-1887 Issue: 14 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010018252 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010018252 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:14:p:1881-1887 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anindya Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Anindya Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Title: Industry structure and the dynamics of price adjustment Abstract: Using annual US data for gross domestic product originating by sector between 1947 and 1997 it is shown that a negative long-run relationship between inflation and the markup is present across the sectors as well as in the aggregate data. A preliminary explanation based on industry structure is explored for the relative sizes of the impact of inflation on the markup in the long-run for the various sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1889-1901 Issue: 15 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010021131 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010021131 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:15:p:1889-1901 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. R. Arabsheibani Author-X-Name-First: G. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Arabsheibani Author-Name: A. Marin Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Marin Title: Self-selectivity bias with a continuous variable: potential pitfall in a common procedure Abstract: When the choice variable is continuous, selectivity bias can in principle be dealt with by a procedure first suggested by Garen (1984). However, work reported in this paper on the estimation of hedonic wage equations with compensation for dangerous jobs, where selectivity bias could arise through the endogenous choice of jobs according to their riskiness, suggests that the Garen technique may not be robust. The lack of robustness comes from collinearity, which is a result of the common situation where the empirical fit of the choice equation is moderately successful but not outstanding. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1903-1910 Issue: 15 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010021726 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010021726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:15:p:1903-1910 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rolf Fare Author-X-Name-First: Rolf Author-X-Name-Last: Fare Author-Name: Shawna Grosskopf Author-X-Name-First: Shawna Author-X-Name-Last: Grosskopf Author-Name: Wen-Fu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Fu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Productivity and technical change: the case of Taiwan Abstract: This paper analyses productivity growth in 16 of Taiwan's manufacturing industries during the period 1978-1992. The non-parametric Data Envelopment Analysis approach is used to compute Malmquist productivity indexes. These are decomposed into efficiency change and technical change. The latter is further decomposed into an output bias, an input bias and a magnitude component. In addition, the direction of input bias is identified. Empirical results indicate that the sector's TFP increased at a rate of 2.89% per annum, which could be ascribed to a technical progress (2.56%) and an efficiency improvement (0.33%). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1911-1925 Issue: 15 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010018711 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010018711 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:15:p:1911-1925 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Baffes Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Baffes Author-Name: Mohamed Ihsan Ajwad Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Ihsan Author-X-Name-Last: Ajwad Title: Identifying price linkages: a review of the literature and an application to the world market of cotton Abstract: This paper reviews the literature of price linkages and examines the degree to which cotton prices are linked; it also tests whether such linkages have improved over the last decade. It concludes that the degree of linkage has improved over the last decade while the main source of this improvement appears to be a result of short-run price transmission and to a lesser extent long-run co-movement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1927-1941 Issue: 15 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010023788 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010023788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:15:p:1927-1941 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Tongzon Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Tongzon Title: China's membership in the World Trade Organization (WTO) and the exports of the developing economies of East Asia: a computable general equilibrium approach Abstract: There is a general perception particularly among the developing countries of East Asia that China's WTO membership would spell bad news for their exports. The ASEAN countries in particular are quite concerned about its likely negative impact on their export and growth potentials. In this light, the main objective of this paper is to empirically assess the trade implications of China's WTO membership for these countries. Only few studies, using a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) approach, have addressed the issue of China's WTO membership trade implications. Further, these studies have not adequately addressed the issue from the perspective of the developing countries of East Asia, particularly the ASEAN countries. Using the latest version of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model and based on the latest tariff reduction commitments by China, the results showed that, contrary to the current perception and previous studies, almost all of the developing countries of East Asia are likely to benefit from China's WTO membership overall, after allowing for anticipated price adjustments. Without the price adjustments, the Philippines and Singapore would have come out as net losers. These findings have confirmed the need for economic and export restructuring among the ASEAN countries and the importance of accelerating their economic integration. They have also highlighted the importance of promoting trade and investment cooperation between China and ASEAN countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1943-1959 Issue: 15 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110069354 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110069354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:15:p:1943-1959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Bitros Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Bitros Author-Name: Epaminondas Panas Author-X-Name-First: Epaminondas Author-X-Name-Last: Panas Title: Is there an inflation-productivity trade-off? Some evidence from the manufacturing sector in Greece Abstract: This paper examines the effect of inflation on total factor productivity growth (TFP), using time-series data for every two digit Greek manufacturing industries. In order to do the above a translog flexible cost function is estimated and used to decompose TFP growth into scale economies, inflation and technical change. The advantage of estimating a very general and flexible cost function is that it allows us, for the first time, to examine empirically a large number of significant relationships between TFP growth and economies of scale, inflation and technical change. The main conclusion drawn from this analysis is that inflation reduces TFP growth in a way, which is sizeable. Furthermore, using standard causality test the direction of causality between inflation and TFP growth was tested at the manufacturing level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1961-1969 Issue: 15 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110043730 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110043730 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:15:p:1961-1969 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Hayfron Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Hayfron Title: Language training, language proficiency and earnings of immigrants in Norway Abstract: This paper uses a simple probit model to determine the impact of language training on the language proficiency of Third World immigrant men in Norway. It also estimates the labour market returns to Norwegian language proficiency. The results show that immigrants who participate in language training programme are more likely to acquire speaking and reading proficiencies in Norwegian language than those who do not. Contrary to expectation, language proficiency has no significant effect on immigrants' earnings. A probable explanation may be that immigrants need Norwegian language proficiency to get into jobs in the Norwegian labour market. Once they are in employment, their wages are not necessarily determined by their proficiency in Norwegian. Consistent with the assimilation hypothesis, earlier waves of immigrants have higher earnings than do more recent waves, and part of the initial earnings deficit experienced by more recent immigrants can be attributed to language deficiency. There was no evidence of sample selection bias in the earnings equation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1971-1979 Issue: 15 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010018630 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010018630 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:15:p:1971-1979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Allen Lynch Author-X-Name-First: Allen Author-X-Name-Last: Lynch Author-Name: David Rasmussen Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Rasmussen Title: Measuring the impact of crime on house prices Abstract: This paper uses data on over 2800 house sales in Jacksonville, FL to estimate the impact of crime on house prices. A GIS programme is used to develop neighbourhood characteristics that are unique to each observation. Crime data, available for 89 police beats are assigned to each observation. Weighting the seriousness of offences by the cost of crime to victims is used as an alternative to the customary measures of the number of index crimes. The cost of crime has virtually no impact on house prices overall, but homes are highly discounted in high crime areas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1981-1989 Issue: 15 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110021735 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110021735 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:15:p:1981-1989 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dene Hurley Author-X-Name-First: Dene Author-X-Name-Last: Hurley Author-Name: Rolando Santos Author-X-Name-First: Rolando Author-X-Name-Last: Santos Title: Exchange rate volatility and the role of regional currency linkages: the ASEAN case Abstract: As the economies of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) have moved towards closer economic ties and trade integration in recent years, the establishment of exchange rate stability is becoming an important regional policy concern, particularly in the wake of the Asian currency crisis of 1997. This paper examines the exchange rate volatility of the currencies of Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand between 1974 and 1999. Using variance decomposition (VDC) methods and impulse response functions, which are VAR-related estimation techniques, the study also investigates the regional currency linkages which may have played a role in transmitting exchange rate fluctuations. The results indicate that, in spite of the adoption of the crawling peg exchange regime following the breakup of the Bretton Woods system, all of the five ASEAN currencies experienced volatility, with the Indonesian rupiah posting the highest volatility level. The switch to de facto pegging against the US dollar in the mid-1980s helped to stabilize all ASEAN currencies with the exception of the Malaysian ringgit. Each of the five currencies became more susceptible to instabilities in other ASEAN currencies in the post-1985 period. Consistent with the experience of the Asian currency crisis, the Thai baht was the main channel through which regional currency fluctuations were transmitted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1991-1999 Issue: 15 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010023779 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010023779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:15:p:1991-1999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. Javier Trivez Author-X-Name-First: F. Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Trivez Title: Analysis of the long-term relationships of the underlying rates of inflation in the EMU member states Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse whether or not there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between the underlying rates of inflation of the member states that have adhered to Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). This longterm equilibrium represents an essential requirement for compliance with the convergence criterion of price stability, through which it is possible to guarantee the maintenance of the levels of relative competitiveness of these member states. To that end, the concept of underlying inflation is defined, obtained on the basis of the trend-cycle component of the consumer price series, having first eliminated the calendar and Easter effects, as well as the outliers, from these original series. After applying a bivariate cointegration test to these components, essentially pessimistic conclusions are obtained with respect to compliance with the said stability criterion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2001-2007 Issue: 15 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010024291 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010024291 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:15:p:2001-2007 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Buckley Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Buckley Author-Name: Jane Frecknall Hughes Author-X-Name-First: Jane Frecknall Author-X-Name-Last: Hughes Title: Incentives to transfer profits: a Japanese perspective Abstract: This paper forms one of a series examining aspects of transfer pricing from a Japanese perspective. In earlier work the authors examined prevalent allegations that global companies, especially Japanese multinationals, operated transfer pricing policies to the deliberate disadvantage of host countries by artificially locating profits in jurisdictions where a tax advantage could be obtained. There would appear to be considerable evidence to suggest that obtaining a tax advantage is not the primary reason for adopting any particular transfer pricing policy. This is especially true in the case of certain Japanese companies, the transfer pricing policies of which result in effective transfers of profits back to their home base in Japan, where tax rates are relatively high. In earlier work it was initially suggested that this homeward transfer of profits was a consequence of following different costing principles and operating within a different business culture. This paper will explore further these reasons and attempt to analyse why such companies actively seek to undertake foreign direct investment, yet do not exploit transfer pricing opportunities in ways which have been open to them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2009-2015 Issue: 15 Volume: 33 Year: 2001 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010024435 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010024435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:33:y:2001:i:15:p:2009-2015 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. S. Chao Author-X-Name-First: W. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Chao Author-Name: J. Buongiorno Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Buongiorno Title: Exports and growth: a causality analysis for the pulp and paper industries based on international panel data Abstract: This study examines the causal relations between exports and domestic production in the pulp and paper industries. The issue is whether exports are the engine of growth, or whether exports follow growth. The data were time-series of the 15 main exporting countries between 1961 and 1995. The method was Granger-causality analysis with error correction, based on models estimated in three ways: ordinary least squares by country, least squares with dummy variables (LSDV), and seemingly unrelated regression. Regardless of method, the strongest relation was an instantaneous (within a year) feedback between exports and production. The LSDV results implied average multipliers across countries of 1.2 to 1.4 from exports to production, and 0.20 to 0.25 from production to exports, in both industries. Experiments with monthly data on the pulp industries of Canada and the USA showed that temporal aggregation could affect the Granger-causality test results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-13 Issue: 1 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010027531 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010027531 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:1:p:1-13 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong Bo Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Bo Author-Name: Gerard Kuper Author-X-Name-First: Gerard Author-X-Name-Last: Kuper Author-Name: Robert Lensink Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lensink Author-Name: Elmer Sterken Author-X-Name-First: Elmer Author-X-Name-Last: Sterken Title: Dutch inventory investment: are capital market imperfections relevant? Abstract: This paper analyses inventory investment using a balanced panel of 82 Dutch firms. We start from the Lovell (1961) inventory model and amend it with cash flow to introduce capital market imperfections. The empirical evidence provides support for the relevance of capital market imperfections in explaining Dutch inventory investment. The results suggest that cash flow is a relevant variable omitted from the original Lovell model. The study provides a better understanding of inventory behaviour in general. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 15-22 Issue: 1 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010025128 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010025128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:1:p:15-22 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bohm Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Bohm Author-Name: A. Gleiss Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gleiss Author-Name: M. Wagner Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Author-Name: D. Ziegler Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Ziegler Title: Disaggregated capital stock estimation for Austria - methods, concepts and results Abstract: Based on a survey of the appropriate literature and on separate investigations concerning distributions of asset lives and depreciation patterns of vehicles, gross and net capital stocks as well as depreciation at constant prices and at replacement cost have been estimated for Austria using the Perpetual Inventory Method. The problem of the limited length of investment time series has tried to be overcome by assigning a fixed age to each initial stock. The level of disaggregation for the calculations is ONACE 2-digit2 and this has been further broken down to the categories buildings, machinery and equipment, and vehicles. All available a priori knowledge and data have been incorporated. All estimates of capital stocks and depreciation based on industry level investment data are subject to uncertainty due to the lack of information at the asset type level. In order to give a quantitative assessment of this uncertainty, for the public as well as for the private enterprise sector, several scenarios have been calculated. In addition a thorough sensitivity analysis with respect to all relevant parameters including the age assigned to the initial stock has been performed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 23-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010027559 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010027559 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:1:p:23-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Owen Phillips Author-X-Name-First: Owen Author-X-Name-Last: Phillips Author-Name: Lori Phillips Author-X-Name-First: Lori Author-X-Name-Last: Phillips Title: The market for academic journals Abstract: Library journal subscriptions are treated as a public good. A monopoly publisher sells subscriptions to both libraries and individuals. For individuals, the journal is a private good. Profit maximization can lead to high institutional prices and few individual subscribers. This outcome is reinforced by increases in publishing costs. Library serial prices fall if patrons pay access costs and/or there is congestion. Data are presented to support these conclusions. Library prices are two to ten times higher than private prices; there are as few as two to four individual subscribers in an academic journal market. Library subscription prices are directly related to the number of consumers who use the library serial. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 39-48 Issue: 1 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010029476 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010029476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:1:p:39-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nadeem Burney Author-X-Name-First: Nadeem Author-X-Name-Last: Burney Title: Wagner's hypothesis: evidence from Kuwait using cointegration tests Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between public expenditure and a number of socioeconomic variables, including the level of income, in Kuwait. A general form of the public expenditure function is formulated and recent developments in time series econometrics, including unit roots and cointegration tests, and an error-correction model are used. Given the characteristics of the economy, alternative measures for each variables are used. The analysis in the paper is based on time-series data covering the period from 1969/70 to 1994/95. In general, the findings lend little support to the existence of long-run equilibrium relationship between public expenditure and the socioeconomic variables, and the evidence does not lend support to the validity of Wagner's law in Kuwait. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 49-57 Issue: 1 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010027540 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010027540 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:1:p:49-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Thornton Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Estimating a health production function for the US: some new evidence Abstract: This study reports some new evidence on the impact of medical care, socioeconomic, lifestyle and environmental factors on the health status of the population of the USA. The results show that additional medical care utilization is relatively ineffective in lowering mortality and increasing life expectancy. The most important factors that influence death rates are related to socioeconomic status and lifestyle. The results suggest that health care policy which focuses primarily on the provision of medical care services and ignores larger economic and social considerations may do little to benefit the nation's health. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 59-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010025650 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010025650 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:1:p:59-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jang Jin Author-X-Name-First: Jang Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Title: Exports and growth: is the export-led growth hypothesis valid for provincial economies? Abstract: This paper re-examines the export-led growth hypothesis using provincial data. Unlike other studies that concentrate on country-level data, this study investigates the validity of the hypothesis for four largest provinces in Korea: Seoul, Kyunggee, Kyungnam, and Pusan. The causal implication of the export-led growth hypothesis is generally supported for all provinces in the sample. The framework of analysis is two- and four-variable autoregressive models that include provincial exports, provincial output, terms of trade, and national output shocks. Granger causal orderings from exports to output growth are generally supported in bivariate causal models. In multivariate models, variance decompositions and impulse response functions further indicate that export growth has a significant impact on output growth for all provinces although a feedback effect from output to export growth appears in Seoul and the Kyungnam province. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 63-76 Issue: 1 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010025632 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010025632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:1:p:63-76 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nakil Sung Author-X-Name-First: Nakil Author-X-Name-Last: Sung Title: Measuring embodied technical change in the US local telephone industry Abstract: This study attempts to measure the rate of embodied technical change by using a short-run variable cost function that contains arguments for labour and capital quality. In this short-run variable cost model, the expansion of the amount of physical capital increases variable costs due to more maintenance outlays, and then it leads to improvements in capital quality. When a measure of competition is included as a proxy for organizational efficiency, improvements in labour and capital quality explain more than two-thirds of productivity growth. The degree of returns to scale and the shadow cost of capital input in the embodiment cost model are presented as well. The study is based on pooled time-series and cross-section data of eight US local exchange carriers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 77-85 Issue: 1 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010025100 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010025100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:1:p:77-85 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Law Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Law Title: The problem of market size for Canadian cable television regulation Abstract: The policy of the Canadian radio television and telecommunications commission of awarding an exclusive right to provide cable television (CATV) service within a given licensed service area (LSA) rests partly on the presumption that CATV costs reflect economies of scale that are large relative to market size. Cost estimates from crosssections of CATV operations from 1985-1991 show increasing returns to scale and suggest that many LSAs were too small to capture these economies. The results also indicate that economies of scale for basic service declined over the 1980s and that the 'natural monopoly' characteristics of CATV may be eroded by further technological and regulatory changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 87-99 Issue: 1 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010025092 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010025092 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:1:p:87-99 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. M. Nachane Author-X-Name-First: D. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nachane Author-Name: R. Lakshmi Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Lakshmi Title: Dynamics of inflation in India - a P-Star approach Abstract: P-Star models have become increasingly popular in recent years in developed countries. However data constraints have limited their applicability to the LDCs. In this paper, such a model is attempted for India using both annual and quarterly data for the period 1955-1995. It is found that velocity in India is trend stationary and using cointegration techniques it is then possible to develop a model to gauge inflationary pressures in the economy. The model is well calibrated to data, and in out-of-sample forecasts, it significantly outperforms a seasonal ARMA benchmark model. The velocity gap version of the model is particularly successful. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 101-110 Issue: 1 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010020385 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010020385 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:1:p:101-110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdullah Al-Obaidan Author-X-Name-First: Abdullah Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Obaidan Title: Efficiency effect of privatization in the developing countries Abstract: Privatization gained considerable momentum in the developing world in the 1980s. The motives were many, but the hope for higher economic efficiency underlined the expectations of the implementing governments and agencies in the developing countries. While the merits of a market-based economic system are well established under certain theoretical conditions, far less is known of its empirical relevance in the developing world. Yet, to the best of the author's knowledge, no empirical study has examined the macro-efficiency effect of privatization in the developing countries. Studies concerned with this issue often limit themselves to the impact of privatization at the firm level for a small number of companies and countries. Thus, the current study is an attempt to provide a systematic quantitative measure of the magnitude of the macroeconomic effect of privatization in 45 developing countries. Using the concept of frontier production function, efficiency differences between developing countries with differing degrees of private sector contribution in the economy are estimated. The empirical findings suggest, ceteris paribus, that developing countries can increase the utility of their national resources by approximately 45% simply by converting to market-based economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 111-117 Issue: 1 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010007948 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010007948 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:1:p:111-117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. T. Alguacil Author-X-Name-First: M. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Alguacil Author-Name: V. Orts Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Orts Title: A multivariate cointegrated model testing for temporal causality between exports and outward foreign investment: the Spanish case Abstract: Historically, outward foreign direct investment has been contemplated as an alternative way of firms' internationalization. In this line, a relational substitution between exports and foreign direct investment would be expected. However, this seems to contrast with recent developments in the 'new trade theory' which show that the volume of trade and the emergence of multinational firms may be positively related one to the other. This paper investigates if some empirical evidence exists either supporting a substitution or a complementary relationship between both forms of internationalization. With this aim, an aggregate time series approach was adopted using quarterly aggregate data (seasonal adjusted) from the Spanish economy covering the period 1970.I-1992.III. A vector autoregressive model was employed for both multivariate cointegration analysis and Granger temporal causality testing. The strength and direction of causal relationships are shown through the dynamic variance decomposition and the impulse response technique. Once controlling for relative market size and prices, the results provide evidence of a positive long-term Granger causality going from foreign direct investment to exports, although not in the opposite direction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 119-132 Issue: 1 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110046818 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110046818 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:1:p:119-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mikael Linden Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Linden Title: Trend model testing of growth convergence in 15 OECD countries, 1946-1997 Abstract: A framework based on a linear deterministic trend function is introduced in order to model growth convergence. The approach is a practical solution to the nonlinearity and nonstationarity found in the convergence of output-per-capita gaps between the USA and 14 OECD countries in 1946-1997. Convergence is found to be a typical feature of European OECD countries and Japan, but for some major countries it altered since the beginning of 1980. Some evidence of divergence exists too. Valid statistical inference on trend-growth estimates is based on sample-size standardized t - and Wald-test statistics, since the model residuals are close to I(1). Small-sample test values are derived using bootstrap methods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 133-142 Issue: 2 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010025119 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010025119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:2:p:133-142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Madhu Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Madhu Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Title: A bivariate probit approach to the determination of employment: a study of teen employment differentials in Los Angeles County Abstract: Following a bivariate probit approach and using the 1990 Public Use Microdata Samples (PUMS) for Los Angeles County, this study shows that the employment of teenage workers depends on both the worker's participation decision as well as the employer's hiring decision. Omission of the role of participation decision from the estimation of employment probability yields misleading evidence of hiring discrimination against Blacks. This evidence, however, disappears when the participation and hiring equations are estimated jointly in a bivariate framework. The study finds no evidence of discrimination against females and Latinos. In addition, the study shows that family, household and neighbourhood characteristics play significant roles in the determination of teen employment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 143-156 Issue: 2 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010028585 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010028585 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:2:p:143-156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Author-Name: Djeto Assane Author-X-Name-First: Djeto Author-X-Name-Last: Assane Title: Software copyright infringement among college students Abstract: In recent years, the issue of infringement in the software industry has gained international attention as the demand for software continues to grow. The growing presence of unauthorized reproduction of copyrighted products inhibits full potential growth and discourages creative activity. This study analyses the extent of software copyright infringement among college students and attitudes of these students with regard to risk of apprehension and conviction. This study finds a significantly higher likelihood of infringement for computer majors and male students, and a decrease in the likelihood of infringement for older students. This study also uncovers differences in attitudes toward risk of apprehension and conviction between majors in scientific fields and those in business and economics. Whereas the first group of majors appears to exhibit risky behaviour, the latter tends to be more risk averse. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 157-166 Issue: 2 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368400110034253 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368400110034253 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:2:p:157-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Todd Jewell Author-X-Name-First: R. Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Jewell Author-Name: Robert Brown Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Scott Miles Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Miles Title: Measuring discrimination in major league baseball: evidence from the baseball hall of fame Abstract: This paper examines the effects of race on player induction into the National Baseball Hall of Fame, concentrating on a player's first ballot. Past research has found some evidence of discrimination in voting against retired Major League Baseball players who were born in a Latin American country and against American-born black players. This study finds that estimates of discrimination in Hall of Fame voting are sensitive to specification. However, we do find limited evidence that retired players who are both black and Latin face some voting discrimination. Furthermore, the results show that race does not seem to affect whether a player actually receives enough votes to get into the Hall of Fame on his first ballot. Instead, it appears that any discrimination in voting is concentrated among those players who would not have received enough votes to enter the Hall of Fame based solely on their career statistics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 167-177 Issue: 2 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010034244 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010034244 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:2:p:167-177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Ayala Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Ayala Author-Name: Rosa Martinez Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez Author-Name: Jesus Ruiz-Huerta Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Ruiz-Huerta Title: Institutional determinants of the unemployment-earnings inequality trade-off Abstract: Most of the research efforts in recent years to explain international differences in unemployment and earnings inequality have placed the emphasis on the institutional components of the labour markets. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate which are the real effects of these characteristics on both phenomena using an ample set of data for different OECD countries. A Cluster analysis permits consideration about relatively heterogeneous models. The results of the econometric exercise show also that institutional factors have a greater impact on earnings inequality than on unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 179-195 Issue: 2 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010031464 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010031464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:2:p:179-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barbara Robles Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Robles Title: Revisiting the demand for money model: money and loans in selected manufacturing industries Abstract: Using a dynamic infinite horizon optimizing model, it is shown that the empirical demand for money equation employed by a generation of applied monetary researchers is a reduced form model of the dynamic Euler equations for real money balances. The Euler equations derived in this paper focus on the finance capital for the firm and consist of real money balances (M1) and real business loans (F1) for selected manufacturing industries. By employing explicit structural dynamic specification and sectoral disaggregation, the question of how firms close the gap between desired real money balances and actual real money balances is examined. Model consistent 'desired' levels of money balances and business loans are found to depend not only upon the usual transactions variable and interest rate but also upon relative prices and a technology index. Moreover, the speed in closing the gap between desired and actual money balances (loan balances) is estimated using annual two-digit Standard Industrial Code data for durable and non-durable industries. Non-durable industries tend to close the gap faster than durable industries by as much as 25% in a given year. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 197-205 Issue: 2 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010031473 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010031473 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:2:p:197-205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilla Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Camilla Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Title: Foreign direct investment, industrial restructuring and the upgrading of Polish exports Abstract: This paper poses a central question in relation to the economic-structural effect of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) with Polish manufacturing as an empirical case: how FDI coincides with the technology intensity of Polish exports. A short review of the available literature discusses critically the possibility of establishing one-sided cause-effect relationships between trade and FDI. Subsequently the empirical analysis investigates what role incoming FDI appears to have played in relation to Polish export specialization over the period 1989-1996. Results indicate that FDI has affected positively the technology intensity of the Polish export base. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 207-217 Issue: 2 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010025641 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010025641 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:2:p:207-217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pat McGregor Author-X-Name-First: Pat Author-X-Name-Last: McGregor Author-Name: Roisin Thanki Author-X-Name-First: Roisin Author-X-Name-Last: Thanki Author-Name: Patricia McKee Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: McKee Title: Home and away: graduate experience from a regional perspective Abstract: The recent establishment of regional assemblies adds a further policy dimension to higher education. This paper consists of an empirical analysis of the choices made by the 1991 Northern Ireland cohort of entrants to higher education to stay in or leave Northern Ireland for universities and subsequently then for employment. The data indicate that the probability to leave was firmly linked to A level scores, though this interacted with religion and social class. The choice of labour market for most students reflected the location of university. Those who returned to Northern Ireland after graduation were less able and earned less on average than those who remained. Employment in the locality of the university improves earnings, possibly due to the information this generates for both parties. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 219-230 Issue: 2 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840011028594 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840011028594 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:2:p:219-230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcos Sanso Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Sanso Author-Name: Antonio Montanes Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Montanes Title: Cointegration, error correction mechanism and trade liberalization: the case of the Spanish imports of manufactures Abstract: This paper discusses the way that the effects of a tariff cut process on trade flows should be analysed when the variables are nonstationary. Using cointegration techniques and the error correction mechanism, it is possible to establish the different types of structural break that might appear in the behaviour of a trade flow as a consequence of the trade liberalization process, both in the short and in the long-run. In order to illustrate the results, the evolution of the Spanish imports of manufacturers after Spain's entry into the European Community is analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 231-240 Issue: 2 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110036314 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110036314 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:2:p:231-240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Morelli Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Morelli Title: The robustness of tests of structural change in equity returns using factor analysis Abstract: The objective of this paper is to perform various tests of structural change within the context of factor analysis and determine how robust the results of such tests are to; the security selection criteria in constructing portfolios, portfolio size, and methods of factor extraction. The question of a possible structural change is addressed by examining the Stock Market Crash of October 1987. Monthly returns on 257 securities listed on the London Stock Exchange covering the period January 1976 to December 1995 are used. The data period incorporates the Stock Market Crash of October 1987. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 241-251 Issue: 2 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110036279 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110036279 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:2:p:241-251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jimmy Ran Author-X-Name-First: Jimmy Author-X-Name-Last: Ran Title: Volatility of fundamental variables under different exchange rate system--a simple test for Hong Kong Abstract: This paper presents a comparison in the changes of Hong Kong macroeconomic fundamental variables before and after its currency was 'pegged' to the US dollar in October 1983. Using a simple method from Flood and Rose (1995) and Baxter and Stockman (1989), this paper compares the volatilities of all aggregate variables used by those investigators in so far as these data are available for Hong Kong. The results show, contrary to the dominating empirical literature for the G-7 countries, that the volatilities of more than half of the nominal and real variables under the float are significantly higher than those under the link. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 253-258 Issue: 2 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110036288 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110036288 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:2:p:253-258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inmaculada Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Author-Name: Carmen Marcuello Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Marcuello Title: Family model of contributions to non-profit organizations and labour supply Abstract: In this article a model is presented in which the family decides the labour supply of both spouses and their time donations to non-profit organizations. For the estimation, Spanish data was used which showed that family size and pre-school children influence decisions made about time distribution of husband and wife. Women with fewer family responsibilities work longer hours and donate more time, whilst the effect on men is the contrary. Also, monetary donations by the family are directly related to time donations by the spouses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 259-265 Issue: 2 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110042164 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110042164 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:2:p:259-265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Anari Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Anari Author-Name: James Kolari Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Kolari Author-Name: Seppo Pynnonen Author-X-Name-First: Seppo Author-X-Name-Last: Pynnonen Author-Name: Antti Suvanto Author-X-Name-First: Antti Author-X-Name-Last: Suvanto Title: Further evidence on the credit view: the case of Finland Abstract: The present paper provides further empirical evidence on the credit view (i.e., bank credit availability has a positive impact on macroeconomic activity) by investigating the case of Finland. The Finnish economy suffered a severe recession in the early 1990s that was marked by widespread banking crisis and extensive government intervention. Using monthly data for the 1980-1996 period, unrestricted and restricted vector autoregression (VAR) models with GDP, money supply, consumer prices, bank credit, and exports were estimated. It is found that, while money supply had the largest effect on economic output, bank credit exhibited a fairly strong effect on output that exceeded price effects for the most part. Exports had little impact on fluctuations in GDP but did help to explain industrial output changes over time. Based on these results, it is concluded that there is empirical support for the credit view in Finland. By implication, government intervention in Finland to restore safety and soundness during the banking crisis likely limited further damage to the macroeconomy associated with disruption of credit intermediation services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 267-278 Issue: 3 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110047592 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110047592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:3:p:267-278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayumi Kikuchi Author-X-Name-First: Ayumi Author-X-Name-Last: Kikuchi Author-Name: Michael Sumner Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Sumner Title: Exchange-rate pass-through in Japanese export pricing Abstract: Two recent aggregative studies claim to demonstrate that Japanese exporters absorb a proportion of exchange-rate changes in their profit margins; but the estimates of this proportion are dramatically different. This study accounts for the discrepancy, and shows that neither estimate is credible. These results identify incomplete pass-through, conditional on costs, as a transitory consequence of export pricing in currencies other than yen. The only long-run effect of the exchange rate on yen-dominated export prices operates through imported materials prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 279-284 Issue: 3 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110048456 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110048456 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:3:p:279-284 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniele Moro Author-X-Name-First: Daniele Author-X-Name-Last: Moro Author-Name: Paolo Sckokai Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Sckokai Title: Functional separability within a quadratic inverse demand system Abstract: In this paper, a quadratic inverse (almost ideal) demand system (IQUAIDS) is derived, that generalizes the inverse (almost ideal) demand system (IAIDS). Starting from a flexible parameterization of the distance function, this model allows a more flexible specification by overcoming the potential restrictiveness of linear scale curves. However, at a point of normalization, the IQUAIDS boils down to the IAIDS, thus the additional flexibility pertains only to the specification of scale elasticities away from the point of approximation. Previous work on functional separability is extended to the case of inverse demands, and necessary and sufficient conditions for weak separability of the direct and indirect utility function derived, in terms of the Antonelli elasticities of complementarity and of the scale elasticities. Their proper parametric representation within the inverse specification is also derived. An empirical application to fish demand in Italy is provided, mainly for illustrative purposes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 285-293 Issue: 3 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110042173 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110042173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:3:p:285-293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefano Fachin Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Fachin Author-Name: Dennis Shea Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Shea Author-Name: Maurizio Vichi Author-X-Name-First: Maurizio Author-X-Name-Last: Vichi Title: Exploring 3D datasets: a factorial matrices analysis of the US industry in the 1980s Abstract: In this paper a Factorial Matrices technique suitable for exploratory analysis of multivariate, disaggregated time series is presented and applied to a data set covering 19 US manufacturing industries over the years 1979 to 1990. The empirical analysis confirms that the technique is a powerful tool, allowing otherwise difficult extraction of stylized facts from multidimensional datasets. In this case: (i) there are no signs of deindustrialization induced by growing import penetration, and, (ii), employment decline has generally not been associated to substitution of capital to labour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 295-304 Issue: 3 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110043749 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110043749 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:3:p:295-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Cowling Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Cowling Title: The extent and determination of performance related pay systems in Scandinavian countries Abstract: The incidence of performance related pay (PRP) varies substantially across countries. Using individual worker level data, it is the intention of this paper to examine initially the extent to which institutional factors across Denmark, Sweden and Finland affect the coverage of Performance Related Pay. It then identifies the types of workers and firms that choose this form of payment system within each country. The initial findings suggest that institutional factors within countries play a role in determining the extent to which the adoption of PRP systems varies across countries, although this is far clearer for Finland than between Denmark and Sweden for example. The results also show that there are significant differences across Scandinavia in terms of the workers who choose PRP systems and the firms who adopt them. Strong support is found for the previously identified and positive relationship between firm size and use of PRP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 305-316 Issue: 3 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684011-36297 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684011-36297 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:3:p:305-316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Morley Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Morley Title: Output, consumption and the stock market: implications for European convergence Abstract: This paper investigates the nature of the relationship between output and stock prices, and consumption and stock prices, with respect to the different financial structures that exist primarily in the European Union (EU). Evidence is found of a long-run relationship for both relationships, with the exception of Germany and to an extent France, which is argued is due to their bank dominated financial systems. Kalman Filter estimates reveal that both relationships have increased in strength, although little evidence is found of any convergence in the strength of the relationship across the EU. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 317-323 Issue: 3 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110049301 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110049301 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:3:p:317-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Ferdous Alam Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Ferdous Author-X-Name-Last: Alam Author-Name: Ishak Haji Omar Author-X-Name-First: Ishak Haji Author-X-Name-Last: Omar Author-Name: Dale Squires Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Squires Title: Sustainable fisheries development in the tropics: trawlers and licence limitation in Malaysia Abstract: Sustainable fisheries development requires sound fisheries management. Area licence limitation programmes may form the cornerstone for most tropical multispecies fisheries management programmes. An empirical analysis of Peninsular Malaysian fishing trawlers is used to design an area licence limitation programme that conforms to the multiproduct production technology, and cost and revenue structures to best accommodate condtions of asymmetric information between the regulator and fishing vessels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 325-337 Issue: 3 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110036305 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110036305 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:3:p:325-337 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angelina Lazaro Author-X-Name-First: Angelina Author-X-Name-Last: Lazaro Author-Name: Ramon Barberan Author-X-Name-First: Ramon Author-X-Name-Last: Barberan Author-Name: Encarnacion Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Encarnacion Author-X-Name-Last: Rubio Title: The economic evaluation of health programmes: why discount health consequences more than monetary consequences? Abstract: There is currently general agreement amongst economists that the discount rate to compute the present value of benefits and costs in the economic evaluation of public policies is defined according to the social time preference approach. However, whether this rate has to be used for the discount of non-monetary health consequences is a question for which there is no satisfactory reply. In this paper, it is argued that such a reply rests on the estimation of the relationship between the individual time preference for health and money in the contexts of private and social choice. In support of this argument an empirical analysis has been carried out in which the individuals making-up a representative sample of the population of Zaragoza (Spain) have been faced with a series of hypothetical inter-temporal choices. Their replies have implicitly revealed their temporal preference rates and have led to the conclusion that health consequences are discounted at a higher rate than monetary consequences. This would appear to be contrary to the standard practice applied in the economic valuation of health programmes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 339-350 Issue: 3 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110043758 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110043758 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:3:p:339-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amor Diez-Ticio Author-X-Name-First: Amor Author-X-Name-Last: Diez-Ticio Author-Name: Maria-Jesus Mancebon Author-X-Name-First: Maria-Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Mancebon Title: The efficiency of the Spanish police service: an application of the multiactivity DEA model Abstract: In this paper the efficiency of the Spanish Police Service is analysed using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). The analysis concentrates on the police activities related to the solving of crimes. The theoretical and empirical study of the police production function under this dimension leads to a consideration of the units analysed as centres which carry out their activities with nonidentical technologies and using common inputs. Accordingly, the multiactivity DEA model developed by Mar Molinero (Journal of the Operational Research Society, 47, 1996, 1273-9) is applied, one that is designed to estimate the efficiency of institutions which face several production functions using shared inputs. The results demonstrate the important differences that exist between the centres with respect to the distinct activities analysed, both as regards the efficiency rates and the factors which determine them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 351-362 Issue: 3 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110043767 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110043767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:3:p:351-362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anne Gilbert Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Gilbert Author-Name: Alan King Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: King Author-Name: Christina Cregan Author-X-Name-First: Christina Author-X-Name-Last: Cregan Title: Gender and wages: a cohort study of primary school teachers Abstract: This study uses cohort data to analyse the observed (or gross) salary differential between male and female primary school teachers. The teachers in this sample, who are all employed in state-sector schools in the same geographic locality, are observed 20 years after first entering the teaching profession. The main finding is that two-fifths of the differential cannot be explained by gender differences in the levels of experience, qualification and mobility within our sample and so is attributed to labour market discrimination and other unobservable gender influences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 363-375 Issue: 3 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110044144 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110044144 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:3:p:363-375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Hudson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Author-Name: Philip Jones Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: In search of the good samaritan: estimating the impact of 'altruism' on voters' preferences Abstract: This paper continues the development of a theoretical foundation for measuring 'altruistic' behaviour with respect to tax versus expenditure preferences in three specific spheres: health, education and welfare payments. Particular emphasis is placed on analysing the choice theoretic calculus that underlies individual preferences. Using this theoretical foundation, econometric techniques allow progress to be made in measuring the characteristics of the underlying utility function. The empirical work relates to the UK and confirms that both self-interest and public interest (with a slight emphasis on the latter) determine overall preferences. The implications of this for the public choice school are then examined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 377-383 Issue: 3 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110048447 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110048447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:3:p:377-383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Title: Labour's reward across regions of the EU: a distributional dynamic approach Abstract: A large number of empirical studies have tested for the presence of convergence for a variety of economic variables. This paper examines the evolution of labour's reward across regions of the EU to identify whether factor price convergence has occurred. Density diagrams are used to illustrate static distributions while transitional matrices are employed to identify movements of the distribution over time. The results presented suggest that the evolutionary paths of average regional pay are fairly stable with stratification and persistence identified as important characteristics. There was uninterrupted convergence of average regional pay between 1980-1992. However, between 1992-1994 this process reversed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 385-394 Issue: 3 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110050633 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110050633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:3:p:385-394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Sutherland Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Sutherland Title: Wages in and voluntary quits from an establishment internal labour market Abstract: This paper analyses wage rates in and quit rates from two production departments in an establishment based structured internal labour market in which labour allocation between grades and the wage rate of these grades are managerially determined. First, it is assumed that management makes effective use of the 'private' information about individual employees collected through time, proxied by tenure, to allocate them to the most appropriate tasks. However, in an OLS regression the elasticity of the wage rate with respect to tenure, although statistically significant, is not economically important. Further, it is assumed that this labour allocation process together with the wage structure will facilitate labour retention. However, in a probit model analysing the quit probability, the probability of quitting increases with the wage rate. Both results are compatible with an internal labour market labour allocation process and wage structure that is not competitive with wage rates prevailing in the external labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 395-400 Issue: 3 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110053234 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110053234 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:3:p:395-400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meng-Wen Tsou Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Tsou Author-Name: Jin-Tan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jin-Tan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: James Hammitt Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Hammitt Title: Worker turnover and job reallocation in Taiwanese manufacturing Abstract: The paper examines time-series patterns of job and worker flows in a newly industrializing economy (NIE). Using plant-level data from the Taiwan manufacturing sector, the cyclical behaviour of job reallocation and its relation with worker turnover is analysed. It is found that job reallocation and labour turnover are procyclical, at both the aggregate and (two-digit) industry levels. The share of worker turnover caused by gross job reallocation is 17%, suggesting the majority of observed worker turnover reflects rotations of positions that are neither created or destroyed. There is substantial heterogeneity in plant-specific job and worker turnover patterns. Job creation and job destruction rates are higher among small plants and private-sector plants. The private plants are more dynamic than public plants in terms of worker turnover. Controlling for year and industry effects, it is found that job creation and worker turnover are both higher in export-oriented industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 401-411 Issue: 4 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110046016 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110046016 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:4:p:401-411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dana Mukamel Author-X-Name-First: Dana Author-X-Name-Last: Mukamel Author-Name: William Spector Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Spector Title: The competitive nature of the nursing home industry: price mark ups and demand elasticities Abstract: Nursing home markets are likely to deviate from a competitive structure because of limitations on entry imposed by Certificate of Need (CON) regulations and the potential for product differentiation along such attributes as location, religious affiliation and quality. This paper investigates the structure of nursing home markets in New York State by calculating price mark ups and residual private pay demand elasticities. It shows that the residual demand elasticity is bound by estimates based on price mark ups above marginal costs and above Medicaid rates. This approach allows estimation of demand elasticities in all markets, whether or not CON regulations constrain bed supply. Mean price elasticities (in absolute value) calculated for nursing homes in New York State in 1991 ranged from 3.46 to 3.85. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 413-420 Issue: 4 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110044199 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110044199 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:4:p:413-420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aliza Fleischer Author-X-Name-First: Aliza Author-X-Name-Last: Fleischer Author-Name: Edward Seiler Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Seiler Title: Determinants of vacation travel among Israeli seniors: theory and evidence Abstract: This study investigates determinants of vacation travel among seniors. A consumer choice model is developed that incorporates effects of retirement and health on available leisure time, and effects of age and education on disposable income. The empirical implications of the model depend on leisure and income patterns, that in turn determine if time and budget constraints are binding. The model is illustrated using data collected from Israeli seniors. Results confirm theoretical predictions regarding the changing effectiveness of constraints as seniors grow older. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 421-430 Issue: 4 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110046476 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110046476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:4:p:421-430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Paton Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Paton Title: Advertising, quality and sales Abstract: This paper investigates claims that firm-specific effects in advertising-sales models can be attributed to a positive correlation between advertising and product quality. Using a standard Koyck transformation on an unbalanced panel dataset of UK firms, the implied long-lasting effects of advertising disappear when firm-specific effects are taken into account. This conclusion is robust to various econometric approaches. However, when the firm-specific effects are retrieved, they are found to correlate strongly with mean advertising. There is no discernible link between the firm-specific effects and whether a firm perceives quality to be an important form of competition in its market. The results give no support to the idea that advertising affects sales through associated product quality. They are consistent with the persistence of advertising within firms over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 431-438 Issue: 4 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110046025 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110046025 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:4:p:431-438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lars Nilsson Author-X-Name-First: Lars Author-X-Name-Last: Nilsson Title: Trading relations: is the roadmap from Lometo Cotonou correct? Abstract: One of the reasons behind the re-negotiation of the Lome Convention, resulting in the Cotonou Agreement, was the alleged inability of the trade provisions of Lome to increase the African, Caribbean and Pacific (ACP) countries' market share of the European Union (EU) market. The Cotonou Agreement may lead to the more advanced ACPs being granted future market access to the EU under a generalized system of preferences (GSP), in conformity with World Trade Organization (WTO) rules. To this end, this paper makes a comparative analysis of the effects of the EU's Lome Convention and GSP on exports of developing countries using a gravity type of model. The results indicate positive and statistically significant export effects of the both the Lome Convention and the GSP. The export effects are greater in case of the Lome Convention throughout the study period running from 1973 to 1992. In addition, the paper illustrates the EU country distribution of the export effects and shows that Belgium and The Netherlands are the EU countries that most have increased their imports from the developing countries under both the Lome Convention and the GSP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 439-452 Issue: 4 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110046007 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110046007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:4:p:439-452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Worthington Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Worthington Author-Name: Brian Dollery Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Dollery Title: Incorporating contextual information in public sector efficiency analyses: a comparative study of NSW local government Abstract: Using the planning and regulatory function of 173 NSW local governments, several approaches for incorporating contextual or non-discretionary inputs in data envelopment analysis (DEA) are compared. Non-discretionary inputs (or factors beyond managerial control) in this context include the population growth rate and distribution, the level of development and non-residential building activity, and the proportion of the population from a non-English speaking background. The approaches selected to incorporate these variables include discretionary inputs only, non-discretionary and discretionary inputs treated alike and differently, categorical inputs, 'adjusted' DEA, and 'endogenous' DEA. The results indicate that the efficiency scores of the five approaches that incorporated non-discretionary factors were significantly positively correlated. However, it was also established that the distributions of the efficiency scores and the number of councils assessed as perfectly technically efficient in the six approaches also varied significantly across the sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 453-464 Issue: 4 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110044171 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110044171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:4:p:453-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Dobson Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Dobson Author-Name: Carlyn Ramlogan Author-X-Name-First: Carlyn Author-X-Name-Last: Ramlogan Title: Convergence and divergence in Latin America, 1970-1998 Abstract: This paper examines the process of convergence in Latin America over the period 1970-1998. There has been relatively little work on income convergence among developing countries in general and in Latin America in particular, even though many studies have examined convergence both within and among developed countries. There is little support for the convergence hypothesis over the sample period as a whole - although the beta coefficient is positive, it is insignificant. Convergence is strong in the 1970s but by the 1990s it has disappeared. There is no evidence of a narrowing in the cross-country dispersion of income (sigma convergence) for the sample period as a whole. The results offer little support for the neo-classical growth model - poorer countries have not grown faster than richer ones. There is a strong case for strengthening regional development policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 465-470 Issue: 4 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110046467 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110046467 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:4:p:465-470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Author-Name: David Berri Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Berri Title: The impact of the 1981 and 1994-1995 strikes on Major League Baseball attendance: a time-series analysis Abstract: Protracted labour disputes in professional team sports have become increasingly common in the past 30 years. Although each of the four major professional team sports in the USA have experienced episodes of labour strife, Major League Baseball has the longest and most frequent experience with labour-management conflict. Fans and the media claim with each incident permanent harm is done to baseball's standing as the national pastime. The purpose of this paper is to ascertain whether such claims can be supported by the empirical evidence. Utilizing time-series analysis, aggregate attendance at professional baseball games is examined. The evidence presented suggests that although the most protracted periods of labour discord had short-term impacts on attendance, there is no empirical evidence that these exogenous shocks had any long-term effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 471-478 Issue: 4 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110044162 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110044162 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:4:p:471-478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Virginia Wilcox-Gok Author-X-Name-First: Virginia Author-X-Name-Last: Wilcox-Gok Title: The effects of for-profit status and system membership on the financial performance of hospitals Abstract: This research examines whether for-profit status or system membership is significantly related to the financial performance of hospitals. Panel data containing 573 observations of Florida hospitals for 1984 through 1987 are used in a fixed-effects regression model. The results indicate that it is system membership rather than forprofit status that is significantly related to better financial performance. For-profit status is unrelated to overall financial performance. System hospitals have higher revenues per admission, but not higher expenditures per admission than independent hospitals. The findings are consistent with the hypothesis that expanding hospital systems target locations and services that are potentially profitable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 479-489 Issue: 4 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110044180 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110044180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:4:p:479-489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Chung Nieh Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Nieh Title: The effect of the Asian financial crisis on the relationships among open macroeconomic factors for Asian countries Abstract: This study investigates the effect of Asian financial crisis on the relationships among exchange rate volatility, export, import, and productivity for Taiwan, Korea, Malaysia, and Indonesia. Cointegration tests show no change for the long-run equilibrium relationship among these variables throughout the crisis. Granger causality finds that some exogeneity orderings alter from pre- to post-crisis periods for the countries considered. Impulse response functions (IRs) for the pre-crisis period demonstrate the primary importance of productivity, then second importance of export. For the post-crisis period, oscillatory paths around zero of the IRs imply an ambiguous finding for the direction of effect and relative exogeneity among variables studied. The variance decompositions in export for Taiwan, Korea and Malaysia, and in productivity for Malaysia and Indonesia did not change from the pre-crisis to the post-crisis era. However, most of the rest of the forecast error variances in variables were decomposed into their own innovation more proportional in the pre-crisis period than in the post-crisis period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 491-502 Issue: 4 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110046827 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110046827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:4:p:491-502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Maria Angulo Author-X-Name-First: Ana Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Angulo Author-Name: Jose Maria Gil Author-X-Name-First: Jose Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Author-Name: Boubaker Dhehibi Author-X-Name-First: Boubaker Author-X-Name-Last: Dhehibi Author-Name: Jesus Mur Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Mur Title: Town size and the consumer behaviour of Spanish households: a panel data approach Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse the effect of town size on the Spanish demand for food. The methodological approach followed in the study is to use panel data built from the Spanish Quarterly National Expenditure Survey to estimate a demand system. The use of this type of data allows control for unobserved time invariant heterogeneity as well as to take into account the time and the cross-section dimension of data. Four locations are distinguished: (1) less than 10000 inhabitants; (2) between 10000 and 100000 inhabitants; (3) between 100000 and 500000 inhabitants; and (4) more than 500000 inhabitants. Eight broad food categories are considered: (1) cereals and potatoes; (2) meat; (3) fish; (4) dairy products; (5) fats and oils; (6) fruits; (7) vegetables; and (8) other food. Income and price elasticities are calculated for each location. In general terms, two general conclusions can be drawn. First, results indicate that only slight changes in tastes have taken place during the analysed period; second, income and price elasticities use to decrease as town size increases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 503-507 Issue: 4 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110047583 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110047583 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:4:p:503-507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria De Mello Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: De Mello Author-Name: Alan Pack Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Pack Author-Name: M. Thea Sinclair Author-X-Name-First: M. Thea Author-X-Name-Last: Sinclair Title: A system of equations model of UK tourism demand in neighbouring countries Abstract: This paper uses a system of equations model to examine tourism demand during periods of destination country transition and integration into the wider international community. The Almost Ideal Demand System model is applied to the UK demand for tourism in the neighbouring destinations, France, Spain and Portugal. Spain and Portugal are interesting cases as, during the period under consideration, they experienced a process of transition from economies with characteristics typical of developing countries, only entering the World Bank's industrialized countries classification in the 1980s. The paper examines the evolution of tourism demand during these countries' transition from 'developing' to 'developed' status. Consideration of France as a neighbouring destination also allows the behaviour of tourism demand to be compared between relatively rich and poor countries. The results show the extent to which the cross-country behaviour of demand becomes more or less similar over time with respect to changes in expenditure and effective prices. The expenditure elasticities are greater for Spain than France during the initial period, indicating that tourism can assist countries to 'catch-up' with their richer neighbours. However, this outcome is not always the case and may not persist, as Portugal had a low initial expenditure elasticity and Spain's relatively high expenditure elasticity decreased over time. Destinations' sensitivity to changes in their own and competitors' prices can also change over time, as indicated by the increases in the own- and cross-price elasticities for Spain, compared with the decreases for France and Portugal. The cross-price elasticity estimates indicate substitutability between the immediate neighbours, Portugal and Spain, and France and Spain. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 509-521 Issue: 4 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110049310 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110049310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:4:p:509-521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christoph Bohringer Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Bohringer Title: Industry-level emission trading between power producers in the EU Abstract: This paper investigates how restrictions for emission trading to the energy-intensive power sector will affect the magnitude and distribution of abatement costs across EU countries vis-a-vis a comprehensive EU emission trading regime. It is found that emission trading between European power sectors allows the harvest of a major part of the efficiency gains provided by full trade as compared to strictly domestic action. However, trade restrictions may create a more unequal distribution of abatement costs across member states than is the case for a comprehensive trade regime. The reason for this is that restricted permit trade enhances secondary terms-of-trade benefits to EU member countries with low marginal abatement costs at the expense of the other EU member states. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 523-533 Issue: 4 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110052163 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110052163 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:4:p:523-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Clive Belfield Author-X-Name-First: Clive Author-X-Name-Last: Belfield Author-Name: R. D. F. Harris Author-X-Name-First: R. D. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Title: How well do theories of job matching explain variations in job satisfaction across education levels? Evidence for UK graduates Abstract: Using ordered probit estimation technique this paper examines the job satisfaction of recent UK graduates. Focussing primarily on explaining job satisfaction in terms of individuals matching to jobs, with the match depending on reservation returns, information sets and job offer rates. Only limited support can be found for the argument that job matching explains higher job satisfaction. In addition, stylizing graduates as a peer group, who form satisfaction levels based on their rankings relative to each other we examine whether or not education quality, which raises peer group status and increases the job offer rate, is systematically related to job satisfaction. The results broadly support the hypothesis that job satisfaction is neutral across graduates of different education qualities. However, our specification tests indicate that ordered probit estimation may not be fully appropriate for identifying the characteristics of those with high job satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 535-548 Issue: 5 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110041895 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110041895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:5:p:535-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Lane Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Lane Author-Name: Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti Author-X-Name-First: Gian Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Milesi-Ferretti Title: Long-run determinants of the Irish real exchange rate Abstract: Smooth adjustment to real exchange rate shifts is one of the major challenges facing the Irish economy under EMU. Rather than assume purchasing power parity, the long-run real exchange rate is modelled as time-varying, being determined by relative output levels, the terms of trade and the net foreign asset position. It is shown that these factors account for a large proportion of the long-run movement in the Irish real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 549-553 Issue: 5 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110036729 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110036729 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:5:p:549-553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nigel Driffield Author-X-Name-First: Nigel Author-X-Name-Last: Driffield Title: Determinants of inward investment in the UK, a panel analysis Abstract: This paper develops an inter-industry model of inward investment, using a fixed effects approach. This demonstrates that when inward investment is investigated in such a framework, previous findings, relating to the specification of measures of location advantage and ownership advantages no longer hold. This also shows that there are some industries that have attracted significant inward investment over time, and continue to do so, while others are noticeably less successful. Reasons for this, and potential policy measures are briefly discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 555-560 Issue: 5 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110099243 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110099243 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:5:p:555-560 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stirling Bryan Author-X-Name-First: Stirling Author-X-Name-Last: Bryan Author-Name: David Parry Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Parry Title: Structural reliability of conjoint measurement in health care: an empirical investigation Abstract: This paper is concerned with the structural reliability of conjoint measurement when applied in a health care setting. The clinical context was the diagnosis and treatment of knee injuries. A conjoint measurement study was conducted which used the pairwise choice approach to preference elicitation. Each choice included two scenarios: a conventional treatment approach to management (arthroscopy) and an approach using magnetic resonance imaging. In order to test for structural reliability two separate conjoint measurement exercises were conducted: exercise A where scenarios were defined in terms of three attributes and exercise B where scenarios included all four attributes. The assessment of structural reliability involved a comparison of two random effects probit models, for exercises A and B. Data were collected on a total of 176 students of sports science. The results strongly indicate that the models for the two exercises are different, although the instability is limited to the constant term and a single model attribute (i.e. the avoidance of surgery). The finding of instability in the constant coefficient raises important questions about the appropriateness of labelling scenarios in conjoint measurement exercises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 561-567 Issue: 5 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110103733 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110103733 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:5:p:561-567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael French Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: French Title: Physical appearance and earnings: further evidence Abstract: The literature contains numerous studies on earnings differentials based on age, race, and gender. Comparatively few studies have examined differences in labour market success related to physical appearance. Using three waves of data collected at two organizations, this paper tested for earnings differentials among workers based on their self-reported appearance. Significant earnings premiums for attractiveness were found for women, but not for men. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 569-572 Issue: 5 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010027568 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010027568 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:5:p:569-572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wanki Moon Author-X-Name-First: Wanki Author-X-Name-Last: Moon Author-Name: Wojciech Florkowski Author-X-Name-First: Wojciech Author-X-Name-Last: Florkowski Author-Name: Larry Beuchat Author-X-Name-First: Larry Author-X-Name-Last: Beuchat Author-Name: Anna Resurreccion Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Resurreccion Author-Name: Pavlina Paraskova Author-X-Name-First: Pavlina Author-X-Name-Last: Paraskova Author-Name: Jordan Jordanov Author-X-Name-First: Jordan Author-X-Name-Last: Jordanov Author-Name: Manjeet Chinnan Author-X-Name-First: Manjeet Author-X-Name-Last: Chinnan Title: Demand for food variety in an emerging market economy Abstract: Using food intake survey data collected in Bulgaria in 1997, this study identified socioeconomic and demographic factors affecting demand for varied diet as measured by the count of food items and Entropy index. Consumer preference for food variety exhibited different patterns depending on the length of time allowed for consumption. Estimated correlation coefficients indicated that daily variety deviated from that measured weekly and monthly. Regression analysis showed that regional effects differed across the three periods of time, illustrating that the length of time allowed for consumption is an important element in measuring the demand for food variety. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 573-581 Issue: 5 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110037863 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110037863 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:5:p:573-581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Costas Karfakis Author-X-Name-First: Costas Author-X-Name-Last: Karfakis Title: Testing the quantity theory of money in Greece Abstract: This paper tests two monetarist hypotheses on the Greek data: (1) the predictability of income velocity of money; and (2) the proportionality postulate between nominal income (or, prices) and money. The unit root tests with structural breaks show that the velocity of narrow money can be characterized as a stationary process. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration indicates that the proportionality postulate between nominal income (or, prices) and money is supported by the data. This evidence suggests that shocks which affect the money supply are reflected in the nominal income (or, prices) in a similar way, thus velocity will not fluctuate widely and its movements will be predictable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 583-587 Issue: 5 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110070014 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110070014 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:5:p:583-587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mary O'Malley Borg Author-X-Name-First: Mary O'Malley Author-X-Name-Last: Borg Author-Name: Harriet Stranahan Author-X-Name-First: Harriet Author-X-Name-Last: Stranahan Title: The effect of gender and race on student performance in principles of economics: the importance of personality type Abstract: Do women and minorities perform more poorly in economics courses than their white male counterparts? There are a number of studies that indicate that they do (Siegfried, 1979; Ferber, et al., 1983; Lumsden and Scott, 1987; Gohmann and Specter, 1989; Watts and Lynch, 1989; Anderson, et al., 1994). In addition, there are some studies that indicate that students' personality types adversely affect their performance in economics courses, as well (Borg and Shapiro, 1996; Zeigert, 2000). However, no one has yet studied how a student's personality type combines with race and gender to affect performance in economics courses. To explore this issue, this study tests for the statistical significance of a number of interaction effects between race and gender and the Kiersey-Bates temperament types in an ordered probit model explaining a student's grade in Principles of Macroeconomics. It is concluded that race and gender do matter in a student's performance in Principles of Macroeconomics, but not in a simple, direct way. Race and gender combine with temperament type to form more subtle, interactive effects on a student's probability of success in economics. In our particular sample of 119 students at the University of North Florida, female NF and NT students and non-white NT students performed more poorly in Principles of Macroeconomics than their counterparts who did not have these gender/temperament or race/temperament combinations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 589-598 Issue: 5 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110039249 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110039249 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:5:p:589-598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Martin Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Title: Do military exports stimulate civil exports? Abstract: Recent research suggests that the economic benefits to the UK economy from arms exports might not be that great. Surveys suggest that almost two-thirds of those that lose their job in the defence industry either retire or find new work within one year and arms exports are heavily subsidized by the UK government. Thus any cut in such exports would reduce the annual subsidy payable by the British taxpayer. However, in addition to the direct economic benefits from defence exports there might be indirect effects. Hartley and Hooper (Does trade follow the flag? A study of the UK trade and security policy, Centre for Defence Economics, University of York, 1998) considered whether UK arms exports might lead to higher civil exports. This paper examines this hypothesis. It estimates import demand functions for three countries (Indonesia, Saudi Arabia and South Korea) and for the world as a whole over the period 1970-1997. The results suggest that UK arms exports do not stimulate UK civil exports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 599-605 Issue: 5 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110039762 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110039762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:5:p:599-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shakir Hussain Author-X-Name-First: Shakir Author-X-Name-Last: Hussain Author-Name: Ghazi Shukur Author-X-Name-First: Ghazi Author-X-Name-Last: Shukur Title: A simple method for detecting fractional cointegration relation: an application to Finnish data Abstract: The cointegration technique, based originally on nonstationary component, reduced 'Dimension Reduction' to some linear combination that is stationary. The obtained dimension has unit minimum and s - 1 maximum linear combination setting, where s stands for number of components in the system. In this paper a new reduction concept is provided that explains fractional cointegrated system. This reduction is located on specific angle and defined as the cointegration direction. The reduction 'Level Reduction' exists with smaller level of fractional orders, i.e. when -0.5 < dz < 0.5, where dz represent the fractional differences of the linear combination series, while the original series orders are in ≥ 0.5 level and the system is fractionally cointegrated. This, of course, can be considered as a new way to detect fractional cointegration relation among variables of the same order of differencing in the frequency domain. A concept Periodogram Roughness (PR) is used to estimate and test the cointegration direction. The description of the direction property will be presented. A test statistic is presented that is based on the difference between the maximum and minimum of the PR. Using Monte Carlo simulations, it is found that the properties of the test perform satisfactorily regarding both size and power. Fractional differencing of linear combination series is estimated using Periodogram Roughness. This approach is illustrated using quarterly data on the government spending and revenue in Finland during the period of 1960 to 1997. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 607-615 Issue: 5 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110044153 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110044153 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:5:p:607-615 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gerry Boyle Author-X-Name-First: Gerry Author-X-Name-Last: Boyle Author-Name: Pauline McCormack Author-X-Name-First: Pauline Author-X-Name-Last: McCormack Title: Trade and technological explanations for changes in sectoral labour demand in OECD economies Abstract: This paper sets out to establish the main determinants of variations in the demand for aggregate labour in manufacturing and service sectors (22) for a cross-section of OECD countries (14). A relatively new panel data set is employed in the analysis, the OECD's International Sectoral Data Base. Preliminary analysis revealed that the 'within' sector variation in the wage share dominated overall variation for most countries and time periods. A separate dynamic model was thus generated to explain the 'within' sector variation in the wage share. This model contained real wages, output, the capital stock, technological change (total factor productivity) and trade (the imports to value-added ratio) as independent variables. In addition the wage level was also interacted with these explanatory variables on the presumption that skill is positively correlated with the level of wages. Because of the potential for simultaneity bias, estimation was conducted by IV and OLS. The main findings were that the capital stock and technological change were the main determinants of shifts in labour demand. While some countries reported the trade variable as significant its influence was only of slight importance in most cases. The interaction terms proved to be significant in a large number of countries. Some evidence was found that capital and technological were complementary with skill. Overall it was found that broad agreement existed across countries in the factors which influence labour demand despite considerable differences in the cross-country nature of labour market institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 617-635 Issue: 5 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110048474 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110048474 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:5:p:617-635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seppo Pynnonen Author-X-Name-First: Seppo Author-X-Name-Last: Pynnonen Author-Name: Juuso Vataja Author-X-Name-First: Juuso Author-X-Name-Last: Vataja Title: Bootstrap testing for cointegration of international commodity prices Abstract: This paper investigates cointegration with respect to nine commodity groups traded on international markets. Nonparametric bootstrapping is utilized in the testing procedure. Of the 21 pairs of price series, investigated here, for 13 the no-cointegration null hypothesis is rejected in favour for the cointegration of the series. In addition to five out of the remaining eight cases that were not cointegrated, a plausible explanation is the prevailing trade policy. Thus a great majority of the institutionally nonregulated cases turn out to get empirical support for being cointegrated. An important statistical finding is that the augmented Dickey-Fuller test for cointegration (CRADF) generally yields p-values that are close to the p-values obtained by the bootstrap testing. But once they differ substantially, it is usually an indication of irregular periods (e.g. structural changes) in the series. The paper conducts also a Monte Carlo simulation experiment to investigate the power and size properties of the tests. Generally the results indicate that the test procedures have pretty low power in small samples. Bootstrapping improves the testing somewhat by leading consistently to a bit more powerful inference. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 637-647 Issue: 5 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110050642 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110050642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:5:p:637-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Hammond Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Hammond Title: Efficiency in the provision of public services: a data envelopment analysis of UK public library systems Abstract: This study assesses the relative efficiency of public library services by examining the relationship between library inputs and library outputs in multi-outlet library systems. Differences in the size of the area and population served are reflected in differences in the number of outlets and mix of outlet types. Using a Data Envelopment Analysis, which controls for the accessibility of library resources, this study derives technical and overall efficiency scores for 99 UK Public Library Systems. The data are survey observations for 1995/1996. Over the decade leading up to the survey, library services had been subject to a protracted period of budget restraint and contraction in most areas of activity. The distribution of efficiency scores is skewed, implying that although many library systems are efficient or near-efficient, there is a tail of inefficient operations. Inefficiency is mainly, but not exclusively associated with over subscription to serial publications. Many library systems are scale inefficient, operating under conditions of increasing returns to scale. Reorganization of the service may be required if greater efficiency is to be achieved. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 649-657 Issue: 5 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110053252 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110053252 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:5:p:649-657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jill Holman Author-X-Name-First: Jill Author-X-Name-Last: Holman Author-Name: Philip Graves Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Graves Title: Implications of consumer heterogeneity in time-series estimates of US money demand Abstract: The money demand function has traditionally been estimated with income and interest rates, typically employing quite lengthy time series. Controversy, however, surrounds the importance of heterogeneous agents in monetary economics and throughout macroeconomics more generally. In particular, if proportions of agents with different traits (and hence, different money demands) are changing over time, ignoring those changes may bias estimated income and interest elasticities. This concern, as well as that of appropriate functional form, is explored here. Controlling for consumer heterogeneity has surprising effects on the estimated elasticities of traditional variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 659-665 Issue: 5 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110094464 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110094464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:5:p:659-665 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carl Mela Author-X-Name-First: Carl Author-X-Name-Last: Mela Author-Name: Praveen Kopalle Author-X-Name-First: Praveen Author-X-Name-Last: Kopalle Title: The impact of collinearity on regression analysis: the asymmetric effect of negative and positive correlations Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to ascertain how collinearity in general, and the sign of correlations in specific, affect parameter inference, variable omission bias, and their diagnostic indices in regression. It is found that collinearity can reduce parameter variance estimates and that positive and negative correlation structures have an asymmetric effect on variable omission bias. It is also shown that the effects of collinearity are moderated by the relationship between the dependent variable and the regressors, a consideration not incorporated into most commonly used collinearity diagnostics. The formulae derived enable researchers to assess the sensitivity of regression results to the underlying correlation structure in the data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 667-677 Issue: 6 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110058482 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110058482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:6:p:667-677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Awudu Abdulai Author-X-Name-First: Awudu Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulai Title: Using threshold cointegration to estimate asymmetric price transmission in the Swiss pork market Abstract: This paper employs threshold cointegration tests that allow for asymmetric adjustment towards a long-run equilibrium relationship to examine the relationship between producer and retail pork prices in Switzerland. The short-run adjustments are also examined with asymmetric error correction models that are compared to the conventional symmetric error correction models. The results indicate that price transmission between the producer and retail levels is asymmetric, in the sense that increases in producer prices that lead to declines in marketing margins are passed on more quickly to retail prices than decreases in producer prices that result in increases in the marketing margins. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 679-687 Issue: 6 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110054035 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110054035 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:6:p:679-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magda Kandil Author-X-Name-First: Magda Author-X-Name-Last: Kandil Author-Name: Jeffrey Woods Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Woods Title: Employment composition and the cyclical behaviour of the aggregate real wage Abstract: This article investigates the relation between the cyclical behaviour of employment composition and the weighted average (aggregate) real wage in the USA. Cyclicality of employment composition arises in the context of two competing explanations of business-cycle theory: the human capital investment and profitability models. Consistent with the implications of the profitability theory, the relative share of labour hours for older (age ≥ 25) more highly-skilled and paid workers declines faster during recessions compared to younger ((age 16-19) and (20-24)) less skilled and lower-paid workers. This result, coupled with the downward flexibility of teenage real wages reinforces the procyclical (reduction) in the aggregate real wage during recessions. Interestingly, the decline in the relative share of workers age ≥ 25 during recessions is not accompanied by a corresponding significant decline in their nominal or real wages. Thus, most of the adjustment during cyclical downturns appears to result in a reduction in their relative share of labour hours as opposed to wages. In addition, the empirical results suggest that the relative share of employment for workers age ≥ 25 grows more slowly during expansions compared to its decline during contractions, lending further support to the profitability theory. The combined evidence highlights the importance of both employment composition and disaggregate real wages and their influence in determining the cyclical behaviour of the aggregate real wage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 689-708 Issue: 6 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110053243 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110053243 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:6:p:689-708 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ghazi Shukur Author-X-Name-First: Ghazi Author-X-Name-Last: Shukur Title: Dynamic specification and misspecification in systems of demand equations: a testing strategy for model selection Abstract: The purpose of this study is to describe a misspecification testing strategy that is designed to ensure the appropriateness of the statistical assumptions underlying a system of equations. A systemwise test approach is used to test the statistical assumptions. The systemwise tests take into account information in, and interaction between, all equations in the system and can be used in a wide variety of applications where systems of equations are estimated. If the systemwise test leads to rejection, single equation F-test will then be used to help identify specific problems. The systemwise testing approach is illustrated by modelling Swedish consumer demand for milk. The example illustrates how the approach can be used to solve issues regarding dynamic specification of models, structural change and other forms of model misspecification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 709-725 Issue: 6 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110048465 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110048465 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:6:p:709-725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Duchesneau Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Duchesneau Author-Name: David Wihry Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Wihry Title: The impact of degree programmes on university expenditure Abstract: This research examines the impact of the number and mix of academic degree programmes on university operating expenditure in the United States. Statistical results are based on data for doctoral and research institutions without medical schools. After controlling for other factors influencing expenditure, additional degree programmes are associated with significant increases in expenditure, with doctoral programmes having a 40% higher marginal impact on total expenditure than baccalaureate programmes. Most institutions are found to be smaller than the expenditure-minimizing size and to have higher expenditure per full-time-equivalent student. As specified, the models explain a large amount of the variation in expenditure across the institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 727-739 Issue: 6 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110052974 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110052974 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:6:p:727-739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Fox Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Fox Title: Measuring technical progress in matching models of the labour market Abstract: Technical Progress in matching models of the labour market has not received serious attention. This article examines the impact on the results of these models when an attempt is made to allow time to enter in a realistic fashion, and finds that recently published results on the possibility of multiple equilibria are overturned. Also, different parametric representations of the matching technology are compared, with problems of more general forms not satisfying regularity conditions being identified. While the possibility of Pareto-improving government intervention due to multiple equilibria arising out of increasing returns to scale cannot be supported, the results suggest a role for government intervention in the labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 741-748 Issue: 6 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110054017 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110054017 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:6:p:741-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. J. Leon Author-X-Name-First: C. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Leon Author-Name: F. J. Vazquez-Polo Author-X-Name-First: F. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Vazquez-Polo Author-Name: N. Guerra Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Guerra Author-Name: P. Riera Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Riera Title: A Bayesian model for benefit transfer: application to national parks in Spain Abstract: Valuing environmental goods through benefit transfer is based on information from the set of past empirical studies of similar or identical sites. This paper proposes a Bayesian approach to model prior information on mean consumer surplus. The prior distribution is defined as a convex combination of the results from past empirical studies. An advantage of the Bayesian approach is that the prior distribution could be combined with on-site sample information in order to improve predictions on the benefits of the policy site. The model is applied to data from national parks in Spain. The results show that the benefits of policy sites are more sensitive to the prior information for smaller sample sizes. This implies that the prior distribution can be seen as a substitute for on-site sample information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 749-757 Issue: 6 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110054026 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110054026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:6:p:749-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hua Wang Author-X-Name-First: Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Somik Lall Author-X-Name-First: Somik Author-X-Name-Last: Lall Title: Valuing water for Chinese industries: a marginal productivity analysis Abstract: A marginal productivity approach is developed for valuing industrial use of water and applied using data from Chinese industrial firms, where water, as well as capital, labour and raw materials, are treated as inputs to a production function. Models on price elasticity of water demand associated with the marginal productivity approach are also developed and estimated for different Chinese industrial sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 759-765 Issue: 6 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110054044 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110054044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:6:p:759-765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ozlem Onaran Author-X-Name-First: Ozlem Author-X-Name-Last: Onaran Title: Measuring wage flexibility: the case of Turkey before and after structural adjustment Abstract: This article presents an empirical analysis of wage flexibility in the formal private sector in Turkey. The analysis is based on a wage bargaining model that links the nominal wage demands to labour market conditions, which are proxied by the rate of unemployment; productivity improvements; and price expectations. The model is estimated on the basis of panel data of the formal private manufacturing industry; and changes in the wage setting mechanism as the country shifts from an import substituting industrialization strategy to an export-oriented growth regime are discussed. This debate is particularly important in terms of its policy implications, and is relevant to current international discussions of the role of labour markets during structural adjustment. In most economic policy discussions, unemployment is assumed to be a labour market rigidity problem. The results of this article, however, suggest that increased flexibility of wages leaves little room for such arguments. In the light of these findings, the prospect of wage rigidity becomes immaterial, and a focus on the structural problems of the economy, which are outside the labour market, becomes central. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 767-781 Issue: 6 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110056934 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110056934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:6:p:767-781 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oner Guncavdi Author-X-Name-First: Oner Author-X-Name-Last: Guncavdi Author-Name: Benan Zeki Orbay Author-X-Name-First: Benan Zeki Author-X-Name-Last: Orbay Title: Exchange rates, market structure and price-cost margins: evidence from a developing country Abstract: This paper analyses the sensitivity of firm performance to exchange rate fluctuations. In a two-country world, consisting of a developing domestic country and a developed foreign country, we show that this sensitivity is closely related with market structure and the share of imported inputs in total cost. When the share of imported inputs is low, depreciation leads to an increase in price cost margin. This increase intensifies in more competitive industries. When the imported input share is high, the price cost margin may decrease as a result of depreciation, and this effect becomes pronounced in more competitive industries. The empirical test where we used 3-digit Turkish Manufacturing industry data support most of the findings of our model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 783-789 Issue: 6 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110058464 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110058464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:6:p:783-789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carol Moore Author-X-Name-First: Carol Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Author-Name: Richard Mueller Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Mueller Title: The transition from paid to self-employment in Canada: the importance of push factors Abstract: The share of self-employment in total employment has been growing in Canada throughout the 1990s. Recent research for Canada and elsewhere suggests that some workers may be 'pushed' into self-employment as a response to inadequate opportunities in the paid sector. Examining transitions from paid work to selfemployment using the Labour Market Activity Survey, this push hypothesis is tested using a number of indicators of the economic opportunities facing the newly selfemployed. It is found: (i) longer spells of joblessness favour self-employment, (ii) workers who collect unemployment benefits between jobs are less likely to become self-employed than are workers who did not, (iii) workers who left their previous, paid jobs involuntarily - i.e., due to layoff - were more likely to become selfemployed than those who left voluntarily, but less likely than workers who specified personal reasons for leaving, and (iv) self-employment decisions are independent of the health of the labour market as measured by the unemployment rate. These results are generally consistent with the push hypothesis but provide more ambiguous evidence than found in some other studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 791-801 Issue: 6 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110058473 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110058473 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:6:p:791-801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miguel Jimenez Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Jimenez Author-Name: Domenico Marchetti Author-X-Name-First: Domenico Author-X-Name-Last: Marchetti Title: Interpreting the procyclical productivity of manufacturing sectors: can we really rule out external effects? Abstract: Recent empirical contributions on procyclical productivity have focused on the dynamic implications of persistent aggregate fluctuations on sectoral productivity. Given a permanent innovation in aggregate output, unobserved variations of labour (or capital) utilization may have only a transitory effect on measured productivity, whereas external effects should produce permanent effects. It is found that persistent aggregate fluctuations have a permanent effect on productivity of four-digit US manufacturing industries. While a number of alternative explanations of this evidence are discussed and ruled out, the findings are consistent with a simple model with external or thick market effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 805-817 Issue: 7 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110058491 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110058491 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:7:p:805-817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suzanne McCoskey Author-X-Name-First: Suzanne Author-X-Name-Last: McCoskey Title: Convergence in Sub-Saharan Africa: a nonstationary panel data approach Abstract: Given the development of time series econometrics and nonstationary data analysis, St. Aubyn (Empirical Economics, 24, 23-44, 1999) demonstrates a new paradigm for testing income convergence, or better defined, income stability, namely testing the stationarity of pair-wise income differentials. In this paper, a panel data set of Sub-Saharan African countries is constructed and panel cointegration and unit root tests are used to investigate the convergence properties of incomes and standards of living within Africa. Overall, little evidence is found to substantiate claims of convergence across Africa, although in some cases, smaller convergence clubs within Africa may be found. In addition the use of nonstationary panel data techniques is proposed for the testing and establishing of coherent convergence clubs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 819-829 Issue: 7 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110061668 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110061668 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:7:p:819-829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans-Jurgen Engelbrecht Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Engelbrecht Title: Human capital and international knowledge spillovers in TFP growth of a sample of developing countries: an exploration of alternative approaches Abstract: This study tests and compares the two major approaches to the modelling of human capital in growth regressions, i.e. the Lucas and the Nelson-Phelps approach, in the context of developing country models with international knowledge spillovers. On balance, the results seem to favour the Nelson-Phelps approach. Using human capital stock variables instead of flow variables, a positive role for human capital in the absorption of international knowledge spillovers other than embodied R&D spillovers is confirmed. The results suggest the importance of distinguishing between different types of international knowledge spillovers, as well as between different human capital sub-categories. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 831-841 Issue: 7 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110061947 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110061947 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:7:p:831-841 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmen Ansotegui Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Ansotegui Author-Name: Maria Victoria Esteban Author-X-Name-First: Maria Victoria Author-X-Name-Last: Esteban Title: Cointegration for market forecast in the Spanish stock market Abstract: This study is interested in empirically testing the existence of a long-run relationship between the Spanish stock market and its fundamentals, and in checking to which extent this relationship helps in forecasting. This study is concerned with the behaviour of the aggregate Madrid Stock Exchange in a macroeconomic context. It also identifies as macroeconomic fundamentals: industrial production as a proxy for real activity, inflation and interest rates. This study tests the existence of cointegration by Johansen's procedure. The long-run relationships among the variables implied by the existence of cointegration do not allow inference to the interrelations among the variables. To get some insight into the short-run interactions among the variables, an impulse response analysis was performed. This study compares the forecasting ability of its model with respect to alternative multivariate specifications in terms of RMSE. Also measured is the value of the forecast for the financial agents assessing the extent to which it helps improve asset allocation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 843-857 Issue: 7 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110058932 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110058932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:7:p:843-857 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong Eun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jong Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Real interest rates in regional economic blocs Abstract: This paper investigates the long run relationship of real interest rates within a number of economic blocs such as Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America using cointegration analysis and vector error correction models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 859-864 Issue: 7 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110118124 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110118124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:7:p:859-864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Bauer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Bauer Author-Name: Regina Riphahn Author-X-Name-First: Regina Author-X-Name-Last: Riphahn Title: Employment effects of payroll taxes - an empirical test for Germany Abstract: This study tests to what degree the incidence of payroll taxes in Germany is on employment and whether in consequence payroll taxes, in particular social insurance contributions, are the culprit behind the growing unemployment problem. Using industry level data for 18 years (1977-1994) a system of five dynamic factor demand equations is estimated. Various simulations indicate that the employment effects of payroll taxes are minimal. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 865-876 Issue: 7 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110058914 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110058914 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:7:p:865-876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacint Balaguer Author-X-Name-First: Jacint Author-X-Name-Last: Balaguer Author-Name: Manuel Cantavella-Jorda Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cantavella-Jorda Title: Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: the Spanish case Abstract: This paper examines the role of tourism in the Spanish long-run economic development. The tourism-led growth hypothesis is confirmed through cointegration and causality testing. The results indicate that, at least, during the last three decades, economic growth in Spain has been sensible to persistent expansion of international tourism. The increase of this activity has produced multiplier effects over time. External competitivity has also been proved in the model to be a fundamental variable for Spanish economic growth. From the empirical analysis it can be inferred the positive effects on income that government policy, in the adequacy of supply as well as in the promotion of tourist activity, may bring about. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 877-884 Issue: 7 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110058923 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110058923 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:7:p:877-884 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordan Shan Author-X-Name-First: Jordan Author-X-Name-Last: Shan Title: A VAR approach to the economics of FDI in China Abstract: Using a vector autoregression (VAR) approach, this study re-examines several hypotheses suggested by the economic literature on the economics of FDI applying quarterly time series data from China, a country which has recently become the second largest host country for FDI. Innovation accounting (variance decomposition and impulse response function analysis) is applied to analyse the various interrelationships between FDI and other economic variables of interest in a VAR system. The empirical research using this method in the case of China is limited, the study therefore provides an interesting advance in the literature on the economics of FDI in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 885-893 Issue: 7 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110058941 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110058941 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:7:p:885-893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Simona Andreano Author-X-Name-First: Maria Simona Author-X-Name-Last: Andreano Author-Name: Giovanni Savio Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Savio Title: Further evidence on business cycle asymmetries in G7 countries Abstract: This paper tests for business cycle symmetry in G7 countries during the post-World War II period using a number of tests, each reflecting alternative definitions of business cycle asymmetry. The tests are applied to monthly coincident economic indicators of business cycles. This found that business cycles in the US are characterized by both longitudinal (deepness) and transversal (steepness and sharpness) asymmetries: further, it is found that asymmetric transition probabilties and time irreversibility are due to nonlinearities. On the contrary, business cycles in Germany exhibits a symmetric behaviour. Between these extremes are the other countries, for which at least one of the tests here considered rejects the null of cyclical symmetry. Particularly, business cycle is characterized by deepness and sharpness in Canada, asymmetry in persistence in France and Japan, and asymmetric transition probabilities in France and United Kingdom. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 895-904 Issue: 7 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110060984 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110060984 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:7:p:895-904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marie Mora Author-X-Name-First: Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Mora Author-Name: Alberto Davila Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Davila Title: State English-only policies and English-language investments Abstract: Many states in the US have considered adopting 'English-only' legislation since the early 1980s. This paper argues that this legislation has a variety of expected and unexpected outcomes. Using the 1980 and 1990 Integrated Public Use Microdata Series (IPUMS), this study finds that Asian immigrants in general and Hispanic immigrants who arrived to the US prior to 1970 acquired more English fluency on average during the 1980s when residing in states that passed English-only (EO) legislation compared to their similar peers. The passage of such legislation also appears to have distorted residence decisions as well as the relative quality of immigrants between EO and non-EO states. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 905-915 Issue: 7 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110061677 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110061677 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:7:p:905-915 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Schittenkopf Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Schittenkopf Author-Name: Peter Tino Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Tino Author-Name: Georg Dorffner Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Dorffner Title: The benefit of information reduction for trading strategies Abstract: Motivated by previous findings that discretization of financial time series can effectively filter the data and reduce the noise, this experimental study compares the trading performance of predictive models based on different modelling paradigms in a realistic setting. Different methods ranging from real-valued time series models to predictive models on a symbolic level are applied to predict the daily change in volatility of two major stock indices. The predicted volatility changes are interpreted as trading signals for buying or selling a straddle portfolio on the underlying stock index. Profits realized by this trading strategy are tested for statistical significance taking into account transactions costs. The results indicate that symbolic information processing is a promising approach to financial prediction tasks undermining the hypothesis of efficient capital markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 917-930 Issue: 7 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110061938 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110061938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:7:p:917-930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luisa Affuso Author-X-Name-First: Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Affuso Title: An empirical study on contractual heterogeneity within the firm: the 'vertical integration-franchise contracts' mix Abstract: This paper tests a discrete choice model on the mix of franchised and company owned outlets (contractual heterogeneity) within the firm. This is often explained by the existing literature as due to heterogeneous characteristics of the outlets. However, correspondence between outlets and contracts characteristics is not often observed in reality. An explanation is proposed which suggests that contract mixing is driven by the contractual choice of both principal and agents, and that heterogeneous agents will choose contracts that match their characteristics. This hypothesis is supported by econometric results, based on outlet level microdata collected by means of a survey of UK firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 931-944 Issue: 8 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110065817 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110065817 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:8:p:931-944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Scacciavillani Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Scacciavillani Author-Name: Phillip Swagel Author-X-Name-First: Phillip Author-X-Name-Last: Swagel Title: Measures of potential output: an application to Israel Abstract: This paper estimates measures of potential output for Israel, with the aim of providing evidence on whether the recent growth slowdown is principally a cyclical slowdown or a structural shift towards a slower growth path after the dramatic developments associated with the years of heavy immigration. Israel poses a challenge because traditional methods of measuring potential output assume relatively stable conditions over an extended period of time. Five methodologies are employed to derive estimates and it is found that four of the measures imply the slowdown stems largely from reduced growth of potential output rather than a cyclical slowdown. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 945-957 Issue: 8 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110069174 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110069174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:8:p:945-957 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olof Johansson-Stenman Author-X-Name-First: Olof Author-X-Name-Last: Johansson-Stenman Title: Estimating individual driving distance by car and public transport use in Sweden Abstract: How much to drive, and how much to use public transport, are modelled as three and two level decisions, respectively, based on micro-data for Sweden. The choices whether to have a car, whether to drive given access to a car, and how much to drive given that the individual drives at all are then estimated using a three equation model. Also after correcting for other variables, such as income, men are driving much more, and using less public transport, compared to women. People living in big cities are less likely to drive, but those who do are on average driving about as much as others. Age and access to company cars are also important determinants for travel behaviour, but being a member of an environmental organization is not. Driving increases with income, but to a lower degree compared to most aggregated studies on national level. The difference is explained in a model with income dependent structural changes, implying that it becomes more difficult to live without a car when average income increases. This indirect effect is found to be of a similar size as the ordinary income elasticity typically found in cross-section analysis within a country or region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 959-967 Issue: 8 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110068823 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110068823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:8:p:959-967 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Davis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Author-Name: Ping Zong Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Zong Title: Household own-consumption and grain marketable surplus in China Abstract: This paper explores the interrelationships between Chinese grain prices, farm households' income, their own-consumption of grain and their marketable surplus supply during the rural reform era. A Gorman polar indirect utility function is employed, from which a set of household grain supply and consumption functions are estimated. The integrated modelling approach recognizes the interdependence of household supply and consumption decisions. A set of compensated elasticities are derived to show the effects of grain prices, farm income and full household income on grain consumption and on-farm labour supply. The impact of own-consumption on marketable surplus supply is then gauged by estimating conditional and unconditional price elasticities of marketable surplus supply. The results point to the relatively strong positive effect of off-farm income on household's own-consumption of grain and the negative influence this has had on the marketable surplus of grain in China during the reform era. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 969-974 Issue: 8 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110065826 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110065826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:8:p:969-974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Social security trust fund flows and the welfare costs of rent seeking Abstract: The current study provides estimates from a Parks regression (using panel data) that suggest that the welfare costs due to rent seeking efforts by interest groups to obtain Social Security trust fund flows ranged from approximately $132 million (per twoyear federal election cycle from 1985-1994) to a theoretical expectation of $66 billion, all in real terms. These welfare costs are in addition to any other social costs that may be present, including the reduced levels of national saving that Social Security may induce. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 975-979 Issue: 8 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110062009 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110062009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:8:p:975-979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kellie Curry Raper Author-X-Name-First: Kellie Curry Author-X-Name-Last: Raper Author-Name: Maria Namakhoye Wanzala Author-X-Name-First: Maria Namakhoye Author-X-Name-Last: Wanzala Author-Name: Rodolfo Nayga Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Nayga Title: Food expenditures and household demographic composition in the US: a demand systems approach Abstract: Food expenditures and subsistence quantities of poverty status and non-poverty status US households are analysed within a Linear Expenditure System that postulates subsistence quantities to be linear combinations of demographic variables. Using the US Bureau of Labor Statistics' 1992 Consumer Expenditure Survey and Detailed Monthly Consumer Price Indices, this article obtains expenditure elasticities, own-price elasticities and subsistence quantities for each income group across nine broadly aggregated food commodity groups. Elasticity estimates and subsistence quantity estimates differ across income groups, supporting the premise that policies targeted at specific income groups should be based on the target group's elasticity estimates rather than average population elasticities. Parameter estimates are then used to simulate how subsistence quantities and own-price elasticities can be expected to vary according to the demographic composition of the household within a specific income group. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 981-992 Issue: 8 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110061959 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110061959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:8:p:981-992 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Johnston Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Johnston Title: Tenure, promotion and executive remuneration Abstract: Commentators frequently remark on the need to pay high levels of chief executive officer remuneration to attract, motivate and retain the best executives for Britain's leading companies. This paper presents the results of an empirical investigation into tenure, promotion and executive remuneration. The remuneration of the chief executive officers at some of Britain's largest businesses is examined. In the majority of cases the CEO had not been lured away from rivals but had risen through the internal labour market, often after a long-term employment relationship. Moreover, long job tenure and internal promotion were associated with higher levels of pay. It is concluded that understanding of this controversial issue will be improved if it is recognized that a part of current executive pay may be a reward for previous successful performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 993-997 Issue: 8 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110069967 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110069967 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:8:p:993-997 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chi-Ang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Ang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: On the level of persistence in government size: time-series evidence and implications for the US Abstract: For most developed countries, the study of the long-term trend of government size has become a major issue. This study employs advanced time-series techniques to investigate the long-run properties of the government size series for the US. By applying the persistence measures developed by Campbell and Mankiw (Quarterly Journal of Economics, 102, 857-80, 1987) and Cochrane (Journal of Political Economy, 96, 893-920, 1988), this study finds big long-term persistence in government size at all levels of the US government. The finding, indeed, explains the fact that the US has gradually taken steps to control the size of government in the 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 999-1005 Issue: 8 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210138347 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210138347 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:8:p:999-1005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rafael Llorca Vivero Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Llorca Author-X-Name-Last: Vivero Title: The impact of process innovations on firm's productivity growth: the case of Spain Abstract: The main aim of this paper is to investigate about the effect that a measure of the process innovation performance of a firm has on its labour productivity growth. This analysis is mainly a consequence of two considerations. The first one results from a clear differentiation of the role that product and process innovations have on a firm's performance. The second one is to assume that the knowledge capital of a firm is mainly composed by its successful research. The study demonstrates that process innovation has a positive and significant effect on firm's productivity growth. Moreover, this result is robust under a wide range of alternative specifications and, in any case, the variable behaves much better than R&D intensity. Following previous research, the detected quadratic relationship between vertical product differentiation and process innovation performance leads to the existence of some firms for which there exist a trade-off between quality and productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1007-1016 Issue: 8 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840010019684 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840010019684 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:8:p:1007-1016 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Asche Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Asche Author-Name: Daniel Gordon Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Gordon Author-Name: Rognvaldur Hannesson Author-X-Name-First: Rognvaldur Author-X-Name-Last: Hannesson Title: Searching for price parity in the European whitefish market Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to test for price parity across different species of whitefish in the European Union. Price parity is defined by a system of cointegrated prices and would be evidence of a single European market for whitefish. Whitefish are of interest because EU fishers receive the largest share of their income from these fish species. Notwithstanding the single market policy of the EU, by establishing national and regional associations to stabilize or increase the local price of fish, fishers operate as if the European market is made up of separate submarkets with price being determined largely within each submarket. If whitefish markets were price cointegrated such associations would be largely ineffective. In that case, what are required are regulations that encompass the European market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1017-1024 Issue: 8 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110061965 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110061965 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:8:p:1017-1024 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. J. Abbott Author-X-Name-First: A. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Abbott Author-Name: G. De Vita Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: De Vita Title: Long-run price and income elasticities of demand for Hong Kong exports: a structural cointegrating VAR approach Abstract: This article revisits a system of export volume and price equations to estimate the long-run price and income effects in the demand for Hong Kong's exports. Using a recently developed restricted cointegrating VAR approach it tests theorybased restrictions and obtains estimates of the long-run structural coefficients. The estimation results provide supporting evidence for the theory-based restrictions and suggest that the demand for Hong Kong's exports is both price and income elastic. This article is therefore able to present a long-run model of Hong Kong's exports that is both theory and data consistent, and long-run elasticities that are economically interpretable. The short-run properties of the model are illustrated by means of persistence profiles, which confirm the cointegrating vectors tendency of convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1025-1032 Issue: 8 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110514 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110514 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:8:p:1025-1032 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Cotsomitis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Cotsomitis Author-Name: Andy Kwan Author-X-Name-First: Andy Author-X-Name-Last: Kwan Author-Name: Chris DeBresson Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: DeBresson Author-Name: Thierry Weissenburger Author-X-Name-First: Thierry Author-X-Name-Last: Weissenburger Title: Are there technological gains from the liberalization of exchange? Abstract: This article investigates the impact of openness and tariff reductions on the technical inventiveness of selected OECD countries. The results suggest that even these simple forms of trade liberalization may, under certain conditions, favour technical inventiveness or creativity, the most advanced form of technological gain. It is therefore likely that other, more directly relevant kinds of liberalization of exchange, will have some positive effects on less extreme forms of acquisition of technical knowledge. The diversity in outcomes across the range of countries surveyed points to the need to specify the conditions under which these dynamic technological gains can be reaped and serve as a rationale for international trade policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1033-1040 Issue: 8 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110061983 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110061983 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:8:p:1033-1040 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derek Leslie Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Leslie Author-Name: Joanne Lindley Author-X-Name-First: Joanne Author-X-Name-Last: Lindley Author-Name: Leighton Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Leighton Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Who did worse? a comparison of US and British non-white unemployment 1970-1998 Abstract: US and British unemployment rates for non-white males and females are compared over the period 1970-1998. Whereas US rates remained fairly steady, there was a marked increase in British non-white unemployment rates. The reasons for this poor performance, relative to the good performance of US non-whites are explored. It is shown that non-white unemployment behaves in different ways across the two countries. For example, British rates rise faster in a recession than white rates, whereas US rates appear not to follow this British hypercyclical pattern. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1041-1053 Issue: 8 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684011006192 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684011006192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:8:p:1041-1053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sajal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Sajal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: Anjana Das Author-X-Name-First: Anjana Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: Short-run electricity demand forecasts in Maharashtra Abstract: This paper, has tried to forecast monthly maximum electricity demand for the state Maharashtra, India, using Multiplicative Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (MSARIMA) method for seasonally unadjusted monthly data spanning from April 1980 to June 1999. The forecasted period is 18 months ahead from June 1999. This study's basic findings are that the series does not reveal any drastic change for the forecasted period. It continues to follow the same trend along with the seasonal variation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1055-1059 Issue: 8 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110064656 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110064656 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:8:p:1055-1059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chandana Chakraborty Author-X-Name-First: Chandana Author-X-Name-Last: Chakraborty Author-Name: Parantap Basu Author-X-Name-First: Parantap Author-X-Name-Last: Basu Title: Foreign direct investment and growth in India: a cointegration approach Abstract: The two-way link between foreign direct investment and growth for India is explored using a structural cointegration model with vector error correction mechanism. The existence of two cointegrating vectors between GDP, FDI, the unit labour cost and the share of import duty in tax revenue is found, which captures the long run relationship between FDI and GDP. A parsimonious vector error correction model (VECM) is then estimated to find the short run dynamics of FDI and growth. Our VECM model reveals three important features: (a) GDP in India is not Granger caused by FDI; the causality runs more from GDP to FDI; (b) trade liberalization policy of the Indian government had some positive short run impact on the FDI flow; and (c) FDI tends to lower the unit labour cost suggesting that FDI in India is labour displacing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1061-1073 Issue: 9 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110074079 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110074079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:9:p:1061-1073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Gould Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Gould Author-Name: Hector Villarreal Author-X-Name-First: Hector Author-X-Name-Last: Villarreal Title: Adult equivalence scales and food expenditures: an application to Mexican beef and pork purchases Abstract: In the analysis of food expenditures, the use of a simple count of household members as an estimate of household size implicitly assumes each household member has the same marginal impact. In this analysis of Mexican food expenditures, endogenously determined adult equivalence scales are estimated in such a way that these marginal impacts are allowed to vary by household member age and gender. The results of a series of hypothesis tests indicate a rejection of the implied null hypothesis of equal marginal expenditure impacts associated with the use of the traditional count based household size variable. This study also rejects the null hypothesis of the equality of adult equivalent scales across the commodities included in this analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1075-1088 Issue: 9 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110074141 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110074141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:9:p:1075-1088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: S. M. Miller Author-X-Name-First: S. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: The level of development and the determinants of productivity growth: a cross-country analysis Abstract: This article examines the effects of technology on productivity growth by disaggregating total output into sectoral components, exploring the roles of investment and technology on productivity growth for countries in different income groups. It finds that for low-income countries, investment is the most important determinant of productivity growth. While investment plays an important role in determining productivity growth in middle-income countries, additional effects resulting from technological change also emerge. Investment ceases to have a significant effect on productivity growth in high-income countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1089-1095 Issue: 9 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110092718 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110092718 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:9:p:1089-1095 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. C. Glass Author-X-Name-First: J. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Glass Author-Name: D. G. McKillop Author-X-Name-First: D. G. Author-X-Name-Last: McKillop Author-Name: G. O'Rourke Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: O'Rourke Title: Evaluating the productive performance of UK universities as cost-constrained revenue maximizers: an empirical analysis Abstract: The study presents an empirical analysis of the relative revenue efficiency of UK universities in providing teaching and research. With government policies pressurizing the largely public-funded universities to secure efficiency in both input usage and output revenue, university producers are modelled as cost-constrained revenue maximizers. Taking explicit account of the quality of research output, the methodology uses linear programming techniques to construct nonparametric cost indirect production frontiers and to compute revenue efficiency relative to these frontiers. Revenue efficiency is then decomposed into its (output) allocative and technical components. Further analysis investigates the sources of allocative and technical inefficiencies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1097-1108 Issue: 9 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110088119 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110088119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:9:p:1097-1108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Street Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Street Author-Name: Rowena Jacobs Author-X-Name-First: Rowena Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobs Title: Relative performance evaluation of the English acute hospital sector Abstract: Relative performance evaluation has been suggested as a means to overcome information asymmetry between regulators and organizations when assessing efficiency. By comparing similar organizations the relationship between costs and effort can be better isolated. The English Department of Health (DoH) has undertaken relative performance evaluation in comparing the unit costs of acute hospitals using ordinary least squares (OLS) methods. After adjusting for exogenous influences in costs, residual unexplained cost differences are deemed to represent inefficiency. This paper questions the official interpretation of the OLS residuals. The OLS model is re-estimated to calculate confidence intervals around the residuals and as a stochastic cost frontier (SCF). It is concluded that English acute hospitals exhibit less in efficiency than is implied by official estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1109-1119 Issue: 9 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110088100 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110088100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:9:p:1109-1119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lori Leachman Author-X-Name-First: Lori Author-X-Name-Last: Leachman Author-Name: Bill Francis Author-X-Name-First: Bill Author-X-Name-Last: Francis Title: Twin Deficits: Apparition or Reality? Abstract: This paper uses cointegration and multicointegration analysis to explore the issue of twin deficits for the USA in the post-World War II period. The results suggest that prior to 1974 the systems of fiscal and foreign sector variables exhibit multicointegration. These results do not rule out short-run correlations between government deficits and external deficits. However, they do preclude the possibility that the twin deficit phenomenon describes a long-run structural relationship in the post-World War II, Bretton Woods era. In the more recent period, 1974 forward, neither system exhibits evidence of multi/cointegration. But, weak evidence of cointegration is present between fiscal deficits and trade deficits. Error correction models suggest that causality runs from internal to external deficits in the dynamic adjustment process. This evidence provides some support for the notion that more recently fiscal deficits may have contributed to external deficits. In combination with the results from the early sub-period, the evidence indicates that to the extent the twin deficit relationship exists, it is time specific and weak. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1121-1132 Issue: 9 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110069976 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110069976 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:9:p:1121-1132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Economics of efficiency measurement by the DEA approach Abstract: Three aspects of efficiency measurement by data envelopment analysis are discussed here analytically. These aspects comprise output-specific input allocations by each firm, flexibility in the production process and the role of learning by doing in efficiency improvement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1133-1139 Issue: 9 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110072305 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110072305 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:9:p:1133-1139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charalambos Pattichis Author-X-Name-First: Charalambos Author-X-Name-Last: Pattichis Title: Mean reversion in target zones: a re-examination of some ERM exchange rates Abstract: The theoretical literature on exchange rate behaviour in target zones predicts that the exchange rate would be mean reverting. This article empirically investigates this theoretical prediction in the case of the German mark bilateral exchange rates. Using a recently developed unit root test, this article provides evidence that is generally negative to the idea of mean reversion. It shows that all bilateral exchange rates under investigation appear to be unit root processes with the exception of the Dutch guilder/German mark rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1141-1145 Issue: 9 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110074114 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110074114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:9:p:1141-1145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Noor Ghazali Author-X-Name-First: Noor Author-X-Name-Last: Ghazali Author-Name: Soo-Wah Low Author-X-Name-First: Soo-Wah Author-X-Name-Last: Low Title: The expectation hypothesis in emerging financial markets: the case of Malaysia Abstract: This article deals with the expectation hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates. It is argued that the rapid progress and financial market liberalization that is occurring in emerging financial markets could provide additional evidence for testing the expectation hypothesis. This article employs data from the Malaysian government securities market which represents one of the examples of an emerging financial market. Cointegration and error correction analyses show significant empirical validity for the expectation hypothesis. The long- and short-term interest rates are shown to be cointegrated and subject to a long-run equilibrium path. In addition to shedding some light on the experience of emerging financial market, this article explicitly identifies the process of adjustment towards the long run equilibrium. For the long-run, the results are in favour of the long-to-short version of expectation hypothesis with longer-term interest rates playing a greater role as equilibrium attractor. However, in the short run causal impact runs from short- to long-term interest rates. The empirical findings of the article generally support the proposition of expectation hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1147-1156 Issue: 9 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110074123 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110074123 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:9:p:1147-1156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: An econometric test of Wagner's law for six countries based on cointegration and error-correction modelling techniques Abstract: The present study empirically examined five different versions of Wagner's law by employing annual time-series data on six countries over the period 1951-1996. Three countries are part of the emerging industrialized countries of Asia (South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand) and three are industrialized countries (Japan, USA, and the United Kingdom). The analysis is an advance over previous work in two ways: first, the stationarity propertities of the data and the order of integration of the data are empirically investigated using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and the Kwiatkowski et al. (Journal of Econometrics, 1, 1992) (KPSS), tests and second, the hypothesis of a long-run relationship between income and government spending is tested using bivariate cointegrated systems and employing the methodology of cointegration analysis as suggested by Johansen (Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, 1988) and Johansen and Juselius (Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52, 1990). The results indicate that there exist a long-run relationship between income and government spending for sample countries studied with the exception of Thailand. Furthermore, it is found that the results concerning the validity of Wagner's Law are also held for selected countries studied with the exception of Thailand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1157-1169 Issue: 9 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110074132 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110074132 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:9:p:1157-1169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Baltas Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Baltas Title: An applied analysis of brand demand structure Abstract: The demand literature is concerned with the optimal allocation of expenditure at varied but usually high levels of commodity aggregation. Much less aggregation however is required for business applications. In applied business settings, interest centres upon the different brands of the same commodity because policy formulation takes place at the level of the individual brand. This paper considers application of formal demand analysis to brand demand data. A theoretically plausible demand system is invoked to describe inter-brand allocation of expenditure, test restrictions imposed by economic theory and yield empirically determined insights into brand demand structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1171-1175 Issue: 9 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110085996 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110085996 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:9:p:1171-1175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julian Alston Author-X-Name-First: Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Alston Author-Name: James Chalfant Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Chalfant Author-Name: Nicholas Piggott Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Piggott Title: Estimating and testing the compensated double-log demand model Abstract: In spite of the proliferation of flexible functional forms for consumer demand systems, the double-log demand model continues to be popular, especially in applied work calling for single-equation models. It is usually estimated in uncompensated form. It can also be estimated in compensated form, by deflating the income variable alone using Stone's price index. The compensated form has the same right-hand side as a single-equation version of the popular linear approximation to the Almost Ideal demand model, facilitating the construction of a test for choosing between the two alternatives. This paper demonstrates these results, develops the specification test, and illustrates its application using US meat consumption data. Simulations suggest that the test is well-behaved with good power in typical applications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1177-1186 Issue: 9 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110086003 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110086003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:9:p:1177-1186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. F. Al-Faris Author-X-Name-First: A. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Faris Title: Public expenditure and economic growth in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries Abstract: This article uses a dynamic model calibrated to the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries' data to examine the nature of the relationship between government expenditure and economic growth. The article finds that national income is a predictive factor of the expanding role of government as postulated by Wagner. Empirical investigations do not support the hypothesis of public expenditure causing national income as proposed by the Keynesian theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1187-1193 Issue: 9 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110090206 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110090206 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:9:p:1187-1193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Cook Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Yuichiro Uchida Author-X-Name-First: Yuichiro Author-X-Name-Last: Uchida Title: Productivity growth in east Asia: a reappraisal Abstract: In recent years there has been considerable disagreement over the extent to which productivity growth has accounted for the success of the east Asian economies. Empirical evidence, based on forms of growth accounting or direct estimation of a production function, is inconclusive so that the debate appears to be at a stalemate. This article applies an alternative approach, using the Malmquist productivity indices, to investigate the contribution of productivity to the longer term growth. The results support the view that over the longer term, the east Asian economies were input driven but interesting differences arise between countries when shorter periods are analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1195-1207 Issue: 10 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110095778 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110095778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:10:p:1195-1207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: F. Brown Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Title: Demand for international reserves: a review article Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1209-1226 Issue: 10 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110096129 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110096129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:10:p:1209-1226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Blasco Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Blasco Author-Name: P. Corredor Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Corredor Author-Name: R. Santamaria Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Santamaria Title: Is bad news cause of asymmetric volatility response? A note Abstract: This article uses a direct test of the impact of economic news on stock volatility. The main interest is to test whether the asymmetric response of volatility can be due to the effect of bad news. To do this, this study takes items of news into account as exogenous variables. The analysis is divided into two stages, each of which uses different items of news as exogenous variables additional to the information provided by the residuals. The first stage uses more exhaustively classified information whereas the second considers daily information as a global sign. This study finds that bad news is responsible for most of the observed asymmetric behaviour of variance. Further, this study detects that the GJR model adequately captures the impact of bad news when traders are not ready to carry out a time-consuming analysis of the information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1227-1231 Issue: 10 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110095436 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110095436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:10:p:1227-1231 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuzo Honda Author-X-Name-First: Yuzo Author-X-Name-Last: Honda Title: The effects of the Basle accord on bank credit: the case of Japan Abstract: This paper has documented the empirical evidence that the Basle Accord had significant effects on bank credit in Japan. The Accord reduced the ratio of the credit increase to the total asset by 0.09-0.24% for banks with the international standard, and by 0.06-0.21% for those with the domestic standard, respectively. According to the Fixed Effects Model estimates, the impacts of the regulation are in between 0.12% and 0.13% for those banks with the international standard. These estimates are smaller than the corresponding estimate with aggregate time series data, 0.40%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1233-1239 Issue: 10 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110094455 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110094455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:10:p:1233-1239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Kyereme Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Kyereme Title: Determinants of United States' trade balance with Australia Abstract: This study explores the determinants of the USA's trade balance (NE) with Australia, and tests for long-run relationships. Regression results suggest the most important determinant of NE is the price ratio (USA relative to Australia), followed by the lending rate ratio, GDP ratio, money supply ratio, and the real exchange rate, which together explain 93% of the variation in NE. F-tests suggest NE responds to rising and falling exchange rate regimes symmetrically. Johansen's cointegration test suggests a significant (at 1%) long run relationship between NE and its determinants. Based on Engle-Granger, import share (IS) and output growth (Q) are cointegrated at 10% if Q shocks precede IS shocks, suggesting a weak long run relationship between them. There is a positive long run relationship between NE and the exchange rate (ER) at 5%, if ER shocks precede NE shocks. Results based on the error correction model suggest a positive relationship between expected ER and NE, and reinforce the cointegration results. The estimated NE regression model may be used to monitor and predict NE, given relevant values (predicted or predetermined) of its determinants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1241-1250 Issue: 10 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684011-0094437 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684011-0094437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:10:p:1241-1250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mukhtar Ali Author-X-Name-First: Mukhtar Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Author-Name: Richard Thalheimer Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Thalheimer Title: Product choice for a firm selling related products: A parimutuel application Abstract: This paper provides a framework for analysis of product choice by a multiproduct firm selling several products whose demands are interrelated. The decision making process of a racetrack-racebook regarding the parimutuel wagering products (both number and which ones) it should supply is illustrated. A racetrack-racebook is a business entity, which offers its patrons the opportunity to wager, not only on live horse racing conducted at the racetrack but also on races simulcast to that racetrack from a variety of racetracks, from both in-state and out-of-state locations. The demands for these wagering products are interrelated and these interrelationships play a key role in determining the number (and which ones) of these wagering opportunities that will be supplied. Based on the experience of a specific racetrack-racebook, these demand functions are estimated econometrically and the role of these interrelated demands in the supply decision is explored. An algorithm is developed to search over all possible product portfolios to determine that combination of products yielding the highest sales, revenue, or profit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1251-1271 Issue: 10 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110094428 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110094428 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:10:p:1251-1271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Author-Name: Andrew Schmits Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Schmits Title: Price behaviour in the US sweetener market: a cointegration approach Abstract: The sweetener market in the United States is complicated because of the substitution possibilities between high fructose corn syrup (HFCS) and sugar. This study focuses on the relationship between raw sugar prices and the prices for high fructose corn syrup. Sugar and HFCS are imperfect substitutes for several industrial uses. Sugar can be used for all industrial uses, but HFCS has limited uses. This study uses cointegration analysis to examine the relationship between sugar and HFCS prices as well as the relationship between raw and refined sugar prices over time. The results indicate that sugar and HFCS prices move together for the 1983-1996 period. However, after this time period HFCS prices no longer follow sugar prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1273-1281 Issue: 10 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110088128 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110088128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:10:p:1273-1281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. Vandenberghe Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Vandenberghe Title: Evaluating the magnitude and the stakes of peer effects analysing science and math achievement across OECD Abstract: What follows is an exercise aimed at estimating peer effects' impact on science and math test scores of secondary school students surveyed in 1995 by the International Education Agency across OECD countries. It is also to discuss their importance for educational policy, particularly regarding the highly sensitive issue of ability-grouping. Using this unique international database. This study assesses the magnitude of the peer effect relative to more traditional inputs. Referring to education policy stakes, we control for the presence of increasing or decreasing return. This study also checks for cross effects in order to determine whether peer effects matter more to low or high SES pupils, and whether their final impact on achievement is affected by the underlying level of heterogeneity within the group. Using a methodology, which a priori accounts for the clustering of the data within countries and schools/classrooms - i.e. fixed/random effect or hierarchical model - our analysis indicates that peer effects are strong determinants of both math and science achievement relative to individual SES and other school inputs. The presence of increasing of decreasing returns is not obvious. But we find systematic evidence that low-ability pupils are more sensitive to peer group characteristics. By contrast, this study also find that - for a given level of the peer effect - higher heterogeneity comes at a certain cost. In brief, these results provide no systematic evidence regarding grouping policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1283-1290 Issue: 10 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110094446 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110094446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:10:p:1283-1290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. D. Bradford Author-X-Name-First: W. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Bradford Author-Name: A. N. Kleit Author-X-Name-First: A. N. Author-X-Name-Last: Kleit Author-Name: M. A. Krousel-Wood Author-X-Name-First: M. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Krousel-Wood Author-Name: R. N. Re Author-X-Name-First: R. N. Author-X-Name-Last: Re Title: A two-part model of treatment for benign prostatic hyperplasia and the impact of innovation Abstract: Benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPHs) affects more than half of men who are at least 60 years old. Transurethral resection of the prostate (TURP) is the most common treatment. This article estimates the average costs of providing a TURP to a patient that chooses the procedure and the expected cost of a TURP irrespective of the actual treatment decision. It utilizes a modified two-part model. It first estimates the likelihood of receiving the TURP given a BPH diagnosis using a logit regression. The second step is to estimate the (log of) TURP cost for the population that actually received the procedure. For the TURP decision, data were extracted from the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) 1986-1994 on 502 men with a diagnosis of BPH. For the cost model, HCIA discharge abstract data were used from five states on 26640 men who actually received a TURP in 1994. TURP was identified via CPT codes in the NHIS data. The cost of TURP was constructed using patient hospital charges and hospital-specific cost to charge ratios. It was found that patient characteristics and comorbidities are important determinants of the decision to receive, and costs of, TURP. Pharmacological alternatives to TURP significantly affect the likelihood that a person will choose the procedure. The predicted unconditional cost of TURP ranged from US$8908 to US$3832 (by state); the predicted conditional cost of TURP ranged from US$1163 to US$750. The results suggest that the cost associated with providing a TURP for the average man with BPH would be US$492 to US$1163, depending on the state of residence. It was found that estimating the costs using simple regression or ANOVA techniques will lead to biased results due to sample selection (which in this case range from US$3832 to US$8908). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1291-1299 Issue: 10 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110095409 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110095409 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:10:p:1291-1299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. E. Dismuke Author-X-Name-First: C. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Dismuke Author-Name: P. Guimaraes Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Guimaraes Title: Has the caveat of case-mix based payment influenced the quality of inpatient hospital care in Portugal? Abstract: Portugal was the first country with a national health system to incorporate diagnosis related group (DRG) case-mix adjustment in formulating hospital budgets on a nation-wide basis. Most of the case-mix payment-outcomes literature comes from the USA where the quality of data is superior to that of many other countries. The purpose of this article is to assess the initial impact of case-mix financing on the quality of inpatient care in Portuguese hospitals using a methodology that may be appropriate for health care systems whose information is not as complete as that of the USA. Estimating a count data model at the hospital level with inpatient mortality as a quality indicator, the authors find no evidence that case-mix based payment has had adverse consequences on inpatient mortality for the most frequent non-obstetric DRG during the three year time period under study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1301-1307 Issue: 10 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110095418 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110095418 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:10:p:1301-1307 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. M. Gandar Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gandar Author-Name: Richard Zuber Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Zuber Author-Name: R. S. Johnson Author-X-Name-First: R. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: W. Dare Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Dare Title: Re-examining the betting market on Major League Baseball games: is there a reverse favourite-longshot bias? Abstract: A recent study of the fixed-odds betting market on baseball games, while finding that the betting market is generally efficient, also found evidence of an underbetting on underdog teams. This article examines the evidence for this new anomaly. It corrects Woodland and Woodland's estimates of the commission, subjective win probabilities and test statistics. The efficiency null hypothesis cannot be rejected for all of their tests when revised test statistics are calculated for their sample period (however, like them, it was found that slight underdogs are underbet). It is also shown that their bias is not simply a bias involving favourites and underdogs. Whether underdogs are playing at home or away also seems to matter in their sample period. As well a positive relationship between returns and subjective probabilities was found for underdogs and favourites, a relationship suggestive of a favourite-longshot bias rather than its reverse. It is concluded that there is insufficient evidence to claim that this bias is a 'true market inefficiency'. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1309-1317 Issue: 10 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110095427 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110095427 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:10:p:1309-1317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. MacDonald Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: MacDonald Author-Name: D. Allen Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: S. Cruickshank Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Cruickshank Title: Purchasing Power Parity-evidence from a new panel test Abstract: This paper uses a recently suggested test for unit roots in panels of time series data (Maddala and Wu, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61, 631-52, 1999) to consider the Purchasing Power Parity hypothesis. The major innovation of this test is that it allows both the testing of unit root null, using the ADF test, and the stationarity null, using the KPSS test. It is found that the results are inconsistent, suggesting that either alternative hypotheses to a unit root may need to be considered or that panel based testing in this particular context may be of limited value. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1319-1324 Issue: 11 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110103760 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110103760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:11:p:1319-1324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Henry Saffer Author-X-Name-First: Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Saffer Author-Name: Dhaval Dave Author-X-Name-First: Dhaval Author-X-Name-Last: Dave Title: Alcohol consumption and alcohol advertising bans Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to empirically examine the relationship between alcohol advertising bans and alcohol consumption. Most prior studies have found no effect of advertising on total alcohol consumption. A simple economic model is provided which explains these prior results. The data set used in this study is a pooled time series of data from 20 countries over 26 years. The empirical model is a simultaneous equations system which treats both alcohol consumption and alcohol advertising bans as endogenous. The primary conclusions of this study are that alcohol advertising bans decrease alcohol consumption and that alcohol consumption has a positive effect on the legislation of advertising bans. The results indicate that an increase of one ban could reduce alcohol consumption by 5% to 8%. The alcohol price elasticity is estimated at about 0.2. The results suggest that recent exogenous decreases in alcohol consumption will decrease the probability of enactment of new bans and undermine the continuance of existing bans. Canada, Denmark, New Zealand and Finland have recently rescinded alcohol advertising bans. Alcohol consumption in these countries may increase or decrease at a slower rate than would have occurred had advertising bans remained in place. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1325-1334 Issue: 11 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110102743 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110102743 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:11:p:1325-1334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aliza Fleischer Author-X-Name-First: Aliza Author-X-Name-Last: Fleischer Author-Name: Steven Buccola Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Buccola Title: War, terror, and the tourism market in Israel Abstract: A supply and demand model of the Israeli hotel industry is developed, distinguishing between its domestic and foreign sectors. Model simulations are employed to examine the impacts of war and terrorist incidents on tourist activity and hotel revenues. Foreign demand for Israeli hotel stays is highly price-elastic and income-inelastic, and moderately sensitive to terrorist events. Domestic demand is price-inelastic, income-elastic, and terror-insensitive. In the wake of terror attacks, hotels' supply or minimum prices to Israeli tourists shift downward, reducing local market prices and encouraging more local tourism. However, the magnitude of these shifts is minor, and the local market thus provides little buffer for dropoffs in foreign tourism. By permitting excess capacity in such fashion, hotels respond rationally to the price inelasticity of local demand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1335-1343 Issue: 11 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110099252 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110099252 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:11:p:1335-1343 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Rezitis Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Rezitis Author-Name: Kostas Tsiboukas Author-X-Name-First: Kostas Author-X-Name-Last: Tsiboukas Author-Name: Stauros Tsoukalas Author-X-Name-First: Stauros Author-X-Name-Last: Tsoukalas Title: Measuring technical efficiency in the Greek agricultural sector Abstract: This paper measures the degree of technical efficiency of Greek farms at discrete points in time. Stochastic frontier production functions are estimated from four annual Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN) surveys of the 1992-1995 period. From the results, a measure of technical efficiency is calculated for each farm for each year. The four distributions of technical efficiency values are examined and compared. All four samples show a wide range of farm-specific technical efficiency but efficiency is improving over the period. The paper also presents frontier estimates for small and large farms classified according to economic size. In that case, technical efficiency measures are calculated and their distributions are examined and compared. The results show that large farms are more efficient than small farms. However, efficiency is improving in both size farms over the period. In general, the results of this study indicate that there is substantial scope for improving technical efficiency of Greek farms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1345-1357 Issue: 11 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110099261 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110099261 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:11:p:1345-1357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Gundlach Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Gundlach Author-Name: D. Rudman Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Rudman Author-Name: L. Wossmann Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Wossmann Title: Second thoughts on development accounting Abstract: The relative roles of factor inputs and productivity are estimated in explaining the level of economic development. For a large sample of countries, it is shown that international differences in factor inputs account for between two thirds and three quarters of international differences in output per worker if alternative identifying productivity assumptions and a quality-adjusted measure of human capital are employed. For a sample of OECD countries, it is found that all differences in output per worker can be attributed to differences in factor inputs, leaving no role for international productivity differences. This result supports the reasoning of a traditional neoclassical growth model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1359-1369 Issue: 11 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110096327 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110096327 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:11:p:1359-1369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karl Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Karl Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: The impact of technology and trade upon the returns to education and occupation Abstract: This paper considers how technological change and globalization has influenced the return to education and occupation in Great Britain over the period 1973 to 1994. A number of papers in the literature have documented increasing demand for individuals who possess higher skill endowments than their peers. Both education and occupation can be interpreted as an individual's observable skills and how technology and trade have actually influenced returns to different educational and occupational levels is something that has not been investigated in Great Britain. For the empirical analysis estimates are based upon pooled cross sections over time and also pseudo panel techniques to control for unobservable heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1371-1377 Issue: 11 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110096336 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110096336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:11:p:1371-1377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. Voulgaris Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Voulgaris Author-Name: D. Asteriou Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Asteriou Author-Name: G. Agiomirgianakis Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Agiomirgianakis Title: Capital structure, asset utilization, profitability and growth in the Greek manufacturing sector Abstract: Greece's accession to the European Union (EU) has affected its economy and its manufacturing sector. Large-size enterprises (LSEs) form a small but vital part of Greek manufacturing and constitute a major component of the country's stock market. According to finance theory, the capital structure of a firm affects its capital cost and market value. This paper, by using dynamic panel data techniques, investigates the determinants of capital structure of LSEs in the Greek manufacturing sector. The findings suggest that asset utilization, gross and net profitability and total assets growth have a significant effect on the capital structure of LSEs. This has straightforward policy implications. Following recent economic developments, Greek firms are exposed to a stronger competition in the EU and global markets, but also to new opportunities. In order to improve their capital structure, Greek manufacturing LSEs need to achieve higher asset utilization and profit margins through economies of scale attained mainly by higher exports. Moreover, governmental measures aiming to support LSEs' efforts should focus their impact on alleviating taxation, reducing bureaucratic burdens, minimizing market imperfections and subsidizing applications of new technology. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1379-1388 Issue: 11 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110096822 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110096822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:11:p:1379-1388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Vazquez Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Vazquez Title: Does the Lucas critique apply during hyperinflation?: empirical evidence from four hyperinflationary episodes Abstract: Farmer (Review of Economic Studies, 58, 321-32, 1991) suggests that in a model in which there are multiple rational expectations equilibria agents may find it useful to coordinate their expectations in a unique rational expectations equilibrium which is supported by a self-fulfilling forecast rule having the property of being immune to the Lucas Critique. In this paper, Farmer's hypothesis is tested using data from hyperinflationary episodes. It is believed that those episodes are suitable for testing this hypothesis because an agent who lives in a hyperinflationary environment usually faces frequent changes in policy regime. The agent may thus choose a selffulfilling forecast rule which is immune to the Lucas Critique as a way of hedging against unanticipated policy regime switches. The empirical results show mixed evidence on Farmer's hypothesis during the hyperinflationary episodes studied. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1389-1397 Issue: 11 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110096831 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110096831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:11:p:1389-1397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Sastre Jimenez Author-X-Name-First: Luis Sastre Author-X-Name-Last: Jimenez Title: Tourism revenues and residential foreign investment flows in Spain: a simultaneous model Abstract: The aim of this work is to analyse the determinants of the tourism revenues and the residential foreign investment, in Spain, during the period 1967-1998. To do so, a two equation simultaneous model is proposed to be estimated. The specification highlights the simultaneous and direct interdependence of the tourism revenues and the residential foreign investment flows. This result contrasts with the traditional standard specification of the international tourism demands in Spain. Nonlinear simultaneous estimations, cointegration techniques and a battery of specification tests are the econometric tools applied in the work. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1399-1410 Issue: 11 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110099234 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110099234 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:11:p:1399-1410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheng-Ping Yang Author-X-Name-First: Sheng-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Identifying a dominant firm's market power among sellers of a homogeneous product: an application to Alcoa Abstract: This paper measures the extent of Alcoa's (dominant firm) market power in the post-war US aluminium industry. An indirect procedure that combines estimation of the fringe supply elasticity, market demand elasticity, and extant market share data generates the estimate of Alcoa's residual demand elasticity which infers the firm's market power. Results show that Alcoa's market power declines with fringe's expansion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1411-1419 Issue: 11 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110099270 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110099270 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:11:p:1411-1419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Germa Bel Author-X-Name-First: Germa Author-X-Name-Last: Bel Title: Privatization: public offerings and political objectives Abstract: This paper empirically analyses the political and economic objectives underlying privatization on the stock market. Particularly, the factors of SIPs underpricing, are explained, and the study analyses whether the change of political parties in government play a role on the issue. The paper has two main findings. First, larger initial returns occurred in the early stages of privatization. Second, the change of government from left-wing to right-wing did not lead to significantly higher levels of underpricing. The results show that governments are quite pragmatic with respect to underpricing: maximizing proceeds from SIPs shows to be more important than ideological differences between parties in government. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1421-1432 Issue: 11 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110100826 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110100826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:11:p:1421-1432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaohui Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohui Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Peter Burridge Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Burridge Author-Name: P. J. N. Sinclair Author-X-Name-First: P. J. N. Author-X-Name-Last: Sinclair Title: Relationships between economic growth, foreign direct investment and trade: evidence from China Abstract: This study investigates the causal links between trade, economic growth and inward foreign direct investment (FDI) in China at the aggregate level. The integration and cointegration properties of quarterly data are analysed. Long-run relationships between growth, exports, imports and FDI are identified in a cointegration framework, in which this paper finds bi-directional causality between economic growth, FDI and exports. Economic development, exports and FDI appear to be mutually reinforcing under the open-door policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1433-1440 Issue: 11 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110100835 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110100835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:11:p:1433-1440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Hayfron Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Hayfron Title: Panel estimates of the earnings gap in Norway: do female immigrants experience a double earnings penalty? Abstract: This study explores the possibility that being both a 'female' and an 'immigrant' will impose an earnings disadvantage on immigrant women in Norway. Well-known techniques are used to decompose the earnings gap between Norwegian men and immigrant women into portions attributable to productivity differentials, portions attributable to a gender effect, and portions attributable to an ethnic effect. The analysis supports the following conclusions: First, there is evidence of a double negative effect on female immigrant earnings. Second, gender effect is more important than ethnic effect. Finally, the discrimination estimates are robust to the alternative methods used in decomposing Norwegian men-immigrant women earnings gap. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1441-1452 Issue: 11 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110101429 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110101429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:11:p:1441-1452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Garcia-Castrillo Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-Castrillo Author-Name: A. Montanes Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Montanes Author-Name: F. Sanz-Gracia Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz-Gracia Title: A worldwide assessment of scientific production in economics (1992-1997) Abstract: The aim of this article is to analyse the worldwide production in economics. To that end, bibliometric indicators are constructed by way of a database made-up of 55 international journals, covering the period 1992-1997. A ranking of the leading thousand international affiliations is established and quality indices of the first 200 are presented. Finally, a detailed analysis is carried out at country level and with respect to the 12 leading countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1453-1475 Issue: 12 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110102770 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110102770 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:12:p:1453-1475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gaines Liner Author-X-Name-First: Gaines Author-X-Name-Last: Liner Author-Name: Rob Roy McGregor Author-X-Name-First: Rob Roy Author-X-Name-Last: McGregor Title: Optimal annexation Abstract: Previous empirical studies of the effects of annexation on municipal expenditures and municipal efficiency have yielded mixed results. Here it is argued that as municipalities grow through annexation, there may be administrative and service delivery efficiencies that, at least for a time, more than offset the inefficiencies of a heightened degree of monopoly power in the provision of infrastructure and services. If this is the case, then the rates of growth of both per capita taxes and per capita spending will decrease with annexation. Eventually, though, administrative and service inefficiencies are likely to develop as the city's geographic area and population base increase, and monopoly inefficiencies are likely to worsen. If this is the case, then the rates of growth of both per capita taxes and per capita spending will increase with annexation. Thus, there may be some level of annexation activity at which the growth of per capita taxes and the growth of per capita spending will be minimized. Municipal annexation, taxation, and expenditure outcomes from the 1970s are analysed in an empirical framework that reflects the interactions among these variables in dynamic municipal settings. The results are consistent with the existence of an optimal level of annexation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1477-1485 Issue: 12 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110108035 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110108035 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:12:p:1477-1485 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terry Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Author-Name: Andrzej Baniak Author-X-Name-First: Andrzej Author-X-Name-Last: Baniak Title: The volatility of prices in the English and Welsh electricity pool Abstract: The volatility of spot prices has been a notable feature of the English and Welsh Electricity Pool since its formation in 1990. This study investigates the possibility that the volatility of spot prices is strongly affected by the functioning of the contract market for electricity. This paper suggest that generators with market power may have an incentive to create volatility in the spot market in order to benefit from higher risk premia in the contract market. A simple theoretical model is used to illustrate this argument. Nonparametric techniques are used to test for changes in volatility after the expiry of the coal contracts in 1993 and during the price cap of 1994-1996. Strongly significant increases in volatility are found in the latter period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1487-1495 Issue: 12 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110108063 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110108063 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:12:p:1487-1495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Almus Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Almus Title: What characterizes a fast-growing firm? Abstract: The paper seeks to empirically identify factors that influence the probability of being a fast-growing firm in Eastern and Western Germany. Descriptive analyses have shown that most firms experience only small positive or negative employment growth or stagnate over time. The job generation mechanism rests with a handful of firms that increase their employment significantly over time. The empirical analysis shows that the probability of being a fast-growing firm depends on different factors when separating Eastern and Western Germany as well as using different definitions of fast-growing firms. Moreover, the analysis shows that technology-intensive manufacturing branches and knowledge-based business-related services do not generate the majority of fast-growing firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1497-1508 Issue: 12 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110105010 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110105010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:12:p:1497-1508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Therese Hindman Persson Author-X-Name-First: Therese Hindman Author-X-Name-Last: Persson Title: Welfare calculations in models of the demand for sanitation Abstract: Empirical and theoretical research on the demand for health inputs has been, and still is, extensive. However, it is not only important to analyse how household choice is affected by alternative and household specific attributes, but it is equally important to analyse the welfare implications of, for example, a change in the price of different inputs. Policymakers and donor agencies involved in sanitation programmes will typically be interested in the welfare implications of different policy alternatives. This paper analyses the welfare implications of a change in the price of certain sanitation related inputs. In addition, a comparison of the welfare estimates derived from the 'standard' approach, i.e. the conditional logit model and the more novel approach i.e. the random parameter/mixed logit model is undertaken. The findings suggest that model choice indeed has implications for the results since the welfare estimates from the two models differ quite remarkably. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1509-1518 Issue: 12 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110102752 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110102752 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:12:p:1509-1518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew McKenzie Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: McKenzie Author-Name: Matthew Holt Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Holt Title: Market efficiency in agricultural futures markets Abstract: Market efficiency and unbiasedness are tested in four agricultural commodity futures markets - live cattle, hogs, corn, and soybean meal - using cointegration and error correction models with GQARCH-in-mean processes. Results indicate each market is unbiased in the long run, although cattle, hogs and corn futures markets exhibit short-run inefficiencies and pricing biases. Models for cattle and corn outperform futures prices in out-of-sample forecasting. Results also suggest short-run time-varying risk premiums in cattle and hog futures markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1519-1532 Issue: 12 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110102761 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110102761 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:12:p:1519-1532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alejandra Mizala Author-X-Name-First: Alejandra Author-X-Name-Last: Mizala Author-Name: Pilar Romaguera Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Romaguera Author-Name: Dario Farren Author-X-Name-First: Dario Author-X-Name-Last: Farren Title: The technical efficiency of schools in Chile Abstract: This paper assesses the technical efficiency of schools in Chile, which is defined as the capacity of schools to generate the maximum output (academic achievement) given the quantity of inputs they use. Two alternative methodological approaches for measuring efficiency are used: (i) estimation of a stochastic production frontier, and (ii) data envelopment analysis (DEA), which allows identification of the efficient production frontier of the schools analysed nonparametrically. Each of these techniques has advantages and limitations, which are discussed in the paper; they lead, however, to the same conclusions when a sample of 2000 schools is analysed. The results obtained provide interesting points for educational policy discussion in Chile. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1533-1552 Issue: 12 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110103256 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110103256 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:12:p:1533-1552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Wen Rong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Title: Tax-and-spend, spend-and-tax, or fiscal synchronization: new evidence for ten countries Abstract: Cointegration and vector autoregression are used to test the 'Tax-and-Spend', 'Spend-and-Tax', and 'Fiscal Synchronization' for ten countries using annual time-series data over the period 1951 to 1996. Three of them are part of the newly industrialized countries of Asia (South Korea, Taiwan, and Thailand) and seven are industrialized countries (Australia, Canada, Japan, New Zealand, South Africa, UK, and the USA). This paper includes GDP as a control variable into the model like Baghestani and Mcnown (1994), Ross and Payne (1998), and Koren and Stiassny (1998). The Johansen (1988) and Johansen and Juselius (1990) cointegration test results indicate that these three variables are cointegrated with two cointegrating vectors for South Korea, one vector for Australia, Canada, South Africa, Taiwan, UK, and the USA, and no vector for Japan, New Zealand, and Thailand. The results from Granger causality tests suggest unidirectional causality running from revenues to spending, supporting the 'Tax-and-Spend' hypothesis, for Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, UK, and the USA. The opposite relationship, supporting the 'Spend-andTax' hypothesis, holds only for Australia and South Africa. In the case of Canada, this study finds a feedback existing between revenues and spending, supporting the 'Fiscal Synchronization' hypothesis. For New Zealand and Thailand, these results support none of the hypotheses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1553-1561 Issue: 12 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110103265 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110103265 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:12:p:1553-1561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giorgio Barba Navaretti Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Barba Author-X-Name-Last: Navaretti Author-Name: Enrico Santarelli Author-X-Name-First: Enrico Author-X-Name-Last: Santarelli Author-Name: Marco Vivarelli Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Vivarelli Title: The role of subsidies in promoting Italian joint ventures in least developed and transition economies Abstract: This paper analyses the impact of subsidies for the promotion of Italian joint ventures (JVs) aimed at LDCs and transition economies. The empirical analysis is carried out on a unique dataset of 172 JVs interviewed during 1998 by means of a closed-answer qualitative-quantitative questionnaire. The main finding of the study is that, although there is a significant deadweight component in incentive policy, the subsidized firms are significantly more likely to grow. Moreover, the JVs comprising new firms (which need to grow to survive) also have a higher employment performance than average, as do the (labour intensive) JVs motivated by the search for lower labour costs, and the JVs in east European countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1563-1569 Issue: 12 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110105029 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110105029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:12:p:1563-1569 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Title: Does unemployment make men less 'marriageable'? Abstract: This paper distinguishes three marital states: married; cohabiting; and single. It examines, applying the method of multinomial logit to data on men, aged 18-30, drawn from the Family Expenditure Survey for the UK, the extent to which their probabilities, of being in each of these states, is affected by their economic status and by their educational level. It concludes that being unemployed significantly reduces the chances of men being married. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1571-1582 Issue: 12 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110108044 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110108044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:12:p:1571-1582 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lourens Broersma Author-X-Name-First: Lourens Author-X-Name-Last: Broersma Author-Name: Frank A. G. Den Butter Author-X-Name-First: Frank A. G. Den Author-X-Name-Last: Butter Title: An explorative empirical analysis of the influence of labour flows on wage formation Abstract: This study presents an explorative econometric analysis of the influence of labour market flows on wage formation. It applies the vector cointegration and common trends methodology of Johansen (Likelihood-based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregresssive Models, OUP, Oxford, 1995). According to this approach, a combination of the flow of layoffs (flow from employment to unemployment) and the flow of filled vacancies (successful matches) appears to be an adequate alternative to the unemployment rate as indicator of labour market tightness in the wage equation for The Netherlands. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1583-1592 Issue: 13 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110116405 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110116405 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:13:p:1583-1592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. Fanelli Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Fanelli Author-Name: M. Mazzocchi Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzocchi Title: A cointegrated VECM demand system for meat in Italy Abstract: This article applies cointegration techniques to estimate a monthly demand system for meat in Italy. In contrast to existing studies where Engle and Granger's two step procedure and Triangular Vector Error Correction Model (TVECM) representations are usually exploited, it applies a cointegrated Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) where also prices and expenditure enter endogenously the system and the cointegration rank is not assumed to be known a priori but subject to inference. It highlights some of the advantages of using the VECM compared to the TVECM, including the possibility of testing the cointegration rank of the system and the (weak and strong) exogeneity of prices and expenditure within a well-specified statistical model. This may lead to remarkable improvements in the efficiency of parameters system estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1593-1605 Issue: 13 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110111167 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110111167 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:13:p:1593-1605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Papadas Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Papadas Author-Name: W. George Hutchinson Author-X-Name-First: W. George Author-X-Name-Last: Hutchinson Title: Neural network forecasts of input-output technology Abstract: A significant part of the literature on input-output (IO) analysis is dedicated to the development and application of methodologies forecasting and updating technology coefficients and multipliers. Prominent among such techniques is the RAS method, while more information demanding econometric methods, as well as other less promising ones, have been proposed. However, there has been little interest expressed in the use of more modern and often more innovative methods, such as neural networks in IO analysis in general. This study constructs, proposes and applies a Backpropagation Neural Network (BPN) with the purpose of forecasting IO technology coefficients and subsequently multipliers. The RAS method is also applied on the same set of UK IO tables, and the discussion of results of both methods is accompanied by a comparative analysis. The results show that the BPN offers a valid alternative way of IO technology forecasting and many forecasts were more accurate using this method. Overall, however, the RAS method outperformed the BPN but the difference is rather small to be systematic and there are further ways to improve the performance of the BPN. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1607-1615 Issue: 13 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110118133 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110118133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:13:p:1607-1615 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicent Arago Author-X-Name-First: Vicent Author-X-Name-Last: Arago Author-Name: A. Fernandez Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez Title: Expiration and maturity effect: empirical evidence from the Spanish spot and futures stock index Abstract: The paper studies how the time remaining to the expiration date of derivative markets affects the volatility of the IBEX-35 index (expiration effect) and its futures market (maturity effect). The innovation of the study lies in both effects being studied together for the Spanish stock market using bivariate ECM-GARCH including dummy variables that express the time left to expiration day. The results obtained show that, during the week of the expiration day, the conditional variance of both markets increases without presenting any significant behaviour in the correlation level. During the second week, however, the conditional variance diminishes and the degree of correlation between both markets increases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1617-1626 Issue: 13 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110111086 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110111086 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:13:p:1617-1626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Aristotelous Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Aristotelous Title: The impact of the post-1972 floating exchange-rate regime on US exports Abstract: By employing the techniques of cointegration and error-correction models, this article empirically investigates the impact of the post-1972 floating exchange-rate regime on the volume of US bilateral exports to Canada, Germany, Japan and the UK. The econometric models specified in the analysis were estimated using quarterly data for the sample period 1959:1-1997:4. The empirical results provide evidence that the post-1972 exchange-rate regime is less conducive to trade than the Bretton-Woods fixed exchange rate regime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1627-1632 Issue: 13 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110112535 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110112535 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:13:p:1627-1632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Title: Policies to stimulate growth: should we invest in health or education? Abstract: Empirical studies in the literature on economic growth have focused on the affect of education and yet Knowles and Owen (1995, 1997) found health, proxied by life expectancy, to be highly statistically significant with education having a modest role. This study extends their model and employs variables that are more conducive to policy formulation: calorific intake and school enrolment ratios. Results suggest that reducing undernutrition would only make a modest contribution to economic growth while increasing enrolment ratios, especially secondary, has a positive and more significant effect. Policies to increase economic growth should favour investments in education over health. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1633-1643 Issue: 13 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110115109 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110115109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:13:p:1633-1643 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Mohamed Mehdi Jelassi Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Jelassi Title: The Fisher hypothesis: a multi-country analysis Abstract: This paper tests whether the Fisher hypothesis holds for a sample of 26 countries by assessing the long run relationship between nominal interest rates and inflation rates taking into consideration the short run dynamics of interest rates. The empirical evidence supports the hypothesis that there is a one-to-one relationship between the interest rate and inflation for more than half of the countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1645-1655 Issue: 13 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110115118 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110115118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:13:p:1645-1655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harminder Battu Author-X-Name-First: Harminder Author-X-Name-Last: Battu Author-Name: Robert McMaster Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: McMaster Author-Name: Michael White Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: White Title: An empirical investigation of Oliver Williamson's 'organization of work' Abstract: Oliver Williamson argues that the attributes of the employment contract, like intermediate transactions in general, are essentially driven by the specificity of assets. In the case of the organization of work it is the particular attributes of labour that determines the transaction costs of any given governance structure. The paper presents a stylized account of the transaction cost model of the efficient organization of work, stressing an underlying tension and ambiguity in the transaction cost framework. The paper exploits a unique dataset to test, for the first time with British data, Williamson's transaction cost predictions concerning the nature of employment contracts. Williamson tacitly assumes that asset specificity is exogenous in general. However, there is evidence in the literature that labour specificity is endogenous to employment contracts. The paper endeavours to demonstrate that there is empirical evidence to suggest that specialized labour is indeed endogenous in the transaction cost model. The major implication is that the organization of work cannot be considered as an example of the efficient organization of intermediate transactions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1657-1669 Issue: 13 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110115127 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110115127 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:13:p:1657-1669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ying-Foon Chow Author-X-Name-First: Ying-Foon Author-X-Name-Last: Chow Author-Name: John Cotsomitis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Cotsomitis Author-Name: Andy Kwan Author-X-Name-First: Andy Author-X-Name-Last: Kwan Title: Multivariate cointegration and causality tests of Wagner's hypothesis: evidence from the UK Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to examine the issue of omitted variables in testing the long run validity of Wagner's hypothesis. Using UK data for the period 1948 to 1997, this paper first investigates the secular relationship between public spending and economic development in a bivariate system. In all cases considered, our bivariate cointegration tests indicate the absence of a long run equilibrium condition. However, the introduction of a third variable (money supply) re-establishes a cointegrating relationship between public expenditure and economic development variables. In addition, the results of the Granger's multivariate causality test indicate a unidirectional causality from income and money supply to public spending in the long run, thus providing support for Wagner's hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1671-1677 Issue: 13 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110115659 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110115659 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:13:p:1671-1677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: U. -G. Gerdtham Author-X-Name-First: U. -G. Author-X-Name-Last: Gerdtham Author-Name: M. Lothgren Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Lothgren Title: New panel results on cointegration of international health expenditure and GDP Abstract: This article tests for existence of cointegration between health expenditure and GDP using data from 25 OECD countries for the period 19607ndash;1997. The empirical modelling is based on a heterogeneous bivariate vector error correction panel model that allows for trending data as well as intercepts and trends in the cointegrating relations. Univariate country-by-country and panel unit root tests generally fail to reject the null of a unit root in the health expenditure and GDP variables. Country-by-country results based on the Johansen multivariate likelihood-based inference indicate somewhat mixed results on country-specific cointegration with a rank of one found for 12 countries and a rank of zero for the remaining 13 countries. Application of a new panel test for cointegration rank with higher power than the individual tests indicates that health expenditure and GDP are cointegrated around linear trends. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1679-1686 Issue: 13 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110116397 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110116397 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:13:p:1679-1686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sumru Altug Author-X-Name-First: Sumru Author-X-Name-Last: Altug Author-Name: Alpay Filiztekin Author-X-Name-First: Alpay Author-X-Name-Last: Filiztekin Title: Scale effects, time-varying markups, and the cyclical behaviour of primal and dual productivity Abstract: This paper presents estimates of the degree of returns to scale using nonparametric measures of primal and dual productivity for 2-digit US manufacturing industries. As part of the analysis, the cyclical behaviour of primal and dual productivity measures are considered, time-varying markups are allowed for, and the small sample properties of the instrumental variables estimator used to derive the estimates from the primal and dual relations examined. Both the primal and dual estimates indicate the existence of increasing returns to scale for the durable goods industries. The simulation results indicate there is a slight tendency for the dual equation estimates to overestimate the degree of returns to scale. However, small sample bias appears to be most severe for the non-durable goods industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1687-1702 Issue: 13 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110116414 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110116414 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:13:p:1687-1702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Skoufias Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Skoufias Author-Name: A. Suryahadi Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Suryahadi Title: A cohort analysis of wages in Indonesia Abstract: This article uses repeated cross-sectional data for the years 1986 to 1998 to examine how the median and spread in the distribution of wages among workers of different age and gender were affected by the economic growth and contraction in output during this period. It finds that it is mainly the younger cohorts of male and female workers that have reaped the benefits of the growing employment and wages in the formal sector. The growing wage sector has been absorbing many of the young entrants into the labour market but more male workers than female workers. The increases in the median wages of these younger cohorts have been accompanied by a rise in the inequality of earnings. The level as well as the increase in dispersion is also higher for females of younger cohorts than male cohorts. The declines in real wages since the 1997 crisis have been relatively evenly distributed among male and female workers and across different age cohorts, while the impact of the crisis on wage inequality has been mixed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1703-1710 Issue: 13 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110118115 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110118115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:13:p:1703-1710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jenifer Piesse Author-X-Name-First: Jenifer Author-X-Name-Last: Piesse Author-Name: Bruce Hearn Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Hearn Title: Equity market integration versus segmentation in three dominant markets of the Southern African Customs Union: cointegration and causality tests Abstract: Empirical tests of theories of financial market integration and segmentation have predominantly focused on developed OECD countries and the emerging markets of Asia Pacific. This study uses a unique panel of equity market indices from the principal Southern African Customs Union (SACU) markets. It tests the hypothesis of market integration using a cointegration approach. Markets that are found to be integrated are then tested for evidence of Granger causality through an error correction mechanism. Results obtained using VAR modelling techniques are compared to those using an ARDL model. While results lend support to existing trade, macroeconomic and developmental linkages and effects between and within the countries, there is some evidence for the presence of a regional factor common to African Emerging Markets that explains causality from Namibia to South Africa. The results support the view that institution building has progressed, which is considered to be a valuable contribution to growth promotion policies in SSA and market integration throughout financial markets in the SADC community. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1711-1722 Issue: 14 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110119448 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110119448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:14:p:1711-1722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Federico Revelli Author-X-Name-First: Federico Author-X-Name-Last: Revelli Title: Testing the taxmimicking versus expenditure spill-over hypotheses using English data Abstract: Spatial interaction among local governments in tax setting and public spending decisions is receiving increasing attention in the applied public economics literature. Spatial interaction models rely on the presence of an externality from local budget making: in traditional public finance models, external effects originate either from interjurisdictional resource flows due to tax competition for a mobile base, or from local public expenditure spill-overs into neighbouring jurisdictions. However, the recent political agency/yardstick competition literature has stressed the role of 'informational' externalities between neighbouring jurisdictions, and predicted tax mimicry at the local level. The actual relevance of the above hypotheses clearly needs to be assessed empirically. In this paper, an attempt is made at discriminating between alternative sources of local fiscal interaction, by using data on the English municipal authorities' budgets. While both public spending levels and local property tax rates exhibit considerable positive spatial autocorrelation, maximum likelihood and instrumental variables estimation results suggest that the interdependence among local governments can be attributed to mimicking behaviour in local property tax setting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1723-1731 Issue: 14 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210122353 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210122353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:14:p:1723-1731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pundarik Mukhopadhaya Author-X-Name-First: Pundarik Author-X-Name-Last: Mukhopadhaya Title: The trend of welfare disparity among subgroups of population in Australia 1983-1984 - 1993-1994 Abstract: The aim of this paper is to estimate the trend of social welfare for Australia using 1983-1984, 1988-1989 and 1993-1994 Household Expenditure Survey data. The functional form of the Social Welfare Function (SWF) was derived by Sen, Degum, Yitzhaki and Shesinski (all independently). Since the function contains the Gini coefficient as the inequality parameter, it could not be formally disaggregated by subgroups of population. This paper, using a method of subgroup decomposition of the Gini coefficient developed by Podder, attempts to disaggregate the SWF. With this method it is now possible to identify disadvantaged groups by their relative shares in total welfare. In addition the method is used to determine effect of economic growth on specific subgroups, and in turn, on total social welfare. This study is based on the Australian economy. Distribution of relative shares of total social welfare among various regional groups are identified, groups determined by occupational status and groups determined by country of birth. The effect on society's welfare for a percentage change in income of a group and the trend of relative welfare of a specific group are also computed. This information can be used in a variety of social decision making situations, including cost benefit analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1733-1741 Issue: 14 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210124171 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210124171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:14:p:1733-1741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarmistha Pal Author-X-Name-First: Sarmistha Author-X-Name-Last: Pal Title: Household sectoral choice and effective demand for rural credit in India Abstract: An analysis of the ICRISAT data from three Indian villages raises concern about the extent of rationing mechanism inhibiting the spread of formal credit in rural India where a significant proportion of households do not have any outstanding loan or borrow from the informal sector only. A limited-dependent econometric analysis of the factors jointly determining household sectoral choice and effective demand for informal loan conditional on whether a formal loan is available suggests that compared to formal loan easy and adequate access and prompt recovery are significant determinants of the popularity and viability of informal rural credit among sample households; also some households substitute labour income to ease the extent of credit. Thus, rationing of the formal credit is not the only factor inhibiting the spread of formal credit in the study villages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1743-1755 Issue: 14 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210121228 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210121228 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:14:p:1743-1755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amalia Yiannaka Author-X-Name-First: Amalia Author-X-Name-Last: Yiannaka Author-Name: Konstantinos Giannakas Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Giannakas Author-Name: Kien Tran Author-X-Name-First: Kien Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: Medium, message and advertising effectiveness in the Greek processed meats industry Abstract: This paper examines the effectiveness of advertising in the fast-growing Greek processed meats sector using an unbalanced panel data set of 34 firms during the period 1983-1997. In analysing the relationship between firms' sales and advertising this study differentiates between the type/content of the advertising message and the medium used to communicate it. Advertising expenditures are disaggregated into company and product campaigns in television, radio, and print media. Empirical results strongly reject the hypothesis of homogeneous consumer response to all kinds of advertising that is implicit in studies that aggregate advertising expenditures. The results also indicate an inefficient allocation of advertising resources by the firms of the sector; advertising in the least utilized print media was determined to be by far the most effective strategy during the study period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1757-1763 Issue: 14 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110118755 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110118755 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:14:p:1757-1763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Willie Belton Author-X-Name-First: Willie Author-X-Name-Last: Belton Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Usha Nair-Reichert Author-X-Name-First: Usha Author-X-Name-Last: Nair-Reichert Title: Money and the dispersion of relative prices revisited Abstract: This study extends the literature on relative price dispersion by addressing two questions that have remained largely unanswered: (a) What is the impact on relative price dispersion of the variance of the uncertain relationship between money and prices? (b) Is there evidence across industries of a differential impact on price dispersion of the variance of the uncertain relationship between money and prices? These issues are examined in a bivariate GARCH-M model using monthly data from 1963-1997. The results at the aggregate level indicate that the variance of the uncertain relationship between money and prices has a positive and significant impact on relative price dispersion during the period 1963 to 1997. Disaggregated analysis at the industry level suggests that the magnitude of the impact of the variance of the uncertain money-price relationship differs greatly across industries and generally tends to have a greater impact on the price dispersion of durable goods than on the price dispersion of nondurable goods. This study also has important implications regarding the effectiveness of rules-based monetary policy in eliminating uncertainty associated with discretionary monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1765-1773 Issue: 14 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210124162 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210124162 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:14:p:1765-1773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leopold Sogner Author-X-Name-First: Leopold Author-X-Name-Last: Sogner Author-Name: Alfred Stiassny Author-X-Name-First: Alfred Author-X-Name-Last: Stiassny Title: An analysis on the structural stability of Okun's law--a cross-country study Abstract: Okun's law postulates an inverse relationship between movements of the unemployment rate and the real gross domestic product (GDP). This article investigates Okun's law for 15 OECD countries and checks for its the structural stability. By using data on employment and the labour force whether structural instability is caused either from the demand side or supply side is inferred. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1775-1787 Issue: 14 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210124180 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210124180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:14:p:1775-1787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shin-Jong Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shin-Jong Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Lu-Chu Chien Author-X-Name-First: Lu-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Chien Author-Name: Mei Lin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Mei Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Estimating the factors determining the demand for induced abortions among married women in Taiwan Abstract: This paper purports to estimate the characteristics of women who had experiences of abortion in 1991 based on an economic model of fertility. The study makes use of a national survey on the knowledge of, attitude towards, and practice of family planning and reproductive health among married women in Taiwan. The results show that older women with higher family income and who live in urban areas were more likely to have the pregnancy terminated. In addition, the decision to have an abortion was negatively correlated with prior pregnancy loss, but positively associated with the number of previous live births. On the other hand, the availability of abortion services as measured by the number of legal abortion providers at city and county levels had a negative effect on the demand for abortions. The local female unemployment rate was found to be positively correlated with the woman's decision to have an abortion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1789-1798 Issue: 14 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210124199 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210124199 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:14:p:1789-1798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Author-Name: Kamhon Kan Author-X-Name-First: Kamhon Author-X-Name-Last: Kan Author-Name: Shew-Jiuan Su Author-X-Name-First: Shew-Jiuan Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Household demand for fats and oils: two-step estimation of a censored demand system Abstract: A censored system of household fat and oil demand equations is estimated with a two-step procedure, using cross-sectional data from the 1987-1988 US Nationwide Food Consumption Survey. Own price and total expenditure elasticities are close to unity and there is no evidence of gross substitutability. Compensated elasticities suggest net substitution among the products considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1799-1806 Issue: 14 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210125008 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210125008 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:14:p:1799-1806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Doroodian Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Doroodian Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Ahmet Yucel Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Author-X-Name-Last: Yucel Title: Estimating the equilibrium real exchange rate: the case of Turkey Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1807-1812 Issue: 14 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210125503 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210125503 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:14:p:1807-1812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sebastjan Strasek Author-X-Name-First: Sebastjan Author-X-Name-Last: Strasek Author-Name: Timotej Jagric Author-X-Name-First: Timotej Author-X-Name-Last: Jagric Title: Cyclical patterns in aggregate economic activity of Slovene economy Abstract: This paper studies cyclic patterns in the Slovene economy with spectral analysis. It examines if the transition in Slovenia was marked by a statistically significant movement of aggregate economic activity, which corresponds to the definition of business cycle proposed by Mitchell and Burns (1946). It finds that in the period 1992-2000 a statistically significant cyclic component is present. The cyclic component oscillates with the frequency of 33.3 months. The results obtained in this paper suggest, that in the observed period two full-length cycles can be identified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1813-1819 Issue: 14 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210126179 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210126179 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:14:p:1813-1819 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Harry Bloch Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Bloch Author-Name: Grant Coble-Neal Author-X-Name-First: Grant Author-X-Name-Last: Coble-Neal Title: Labour and capital saving technical change in telecommunications Abstract: The Australian telecommunications sector is being improved and extended through substantial recent investment in intelligent technology such as digital switching, fibre optics, satellite and cellular transmission, and the Internet. These technologies are being progressively integrated with technology from the broadcasting, computer and electronics industries, providing a unified information infrastructure for information transmission and processing. Technological progress embodied in new equipment has the effect of increasing the efficiency of the factors of production. Such efficiency increases can be biased towards a particular factor. For instance, the impact of labour-augmenting technical change is a decline in the cost of labour per unit of production. When such biases are apparent the relativity between the costs of labour and capital per unit of production is changed. In the longer term, technical change can impact on the rate of employment growth and also on the rate of capital accumulation. In this study the Australian telecommunications cost structure is examined for the period 1919 to 1988. To measure labour saving and capital saving technical change a translog cost model is estimated. Multiproduct telecommunications cost studies typically employ the translog cost model (Evans and Heckman, 1984; Rooller, 1990a; 1990b; Shin and Ying, 1992; McKenzie and Small, 1997). The translog model places no a priori restrictions on substitution possibilities among the factors of production, and allows scale economies to vary with the level of output. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1821-1828 Issue: 14 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210126188 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210126188 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:14:p:1821-1828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Margherita Giannoni Author-X-Name-First: Margherita Author-X-Name-Last: Giannoni Author-Name: Theodore Hitiris Author-X-Name-First: Theodore Author-X-Name-Last: Hitiris Title: The regional impact of health care expenditure: the case of Italy Abstract: Decentralization invests the subcentral authorities of a country with autonomy in political and economic power the exercise of which may widen interregional divergence and inequality. This paper provides evidence demonstrating that in the case of Italy the central government's policies for rationalization and containment of the growth of health care expenditure in combination with decentralization in the administration and provision of health care have resulted in interregional inequality, aggravating the existing regional divergence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1829-1836 Issue: 14 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210126809 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210126809 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:14:p:1829-1836 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jill Ann Holman Author-X-Name-First: Jill Ann Author-X-Name-Last: Holman Author-Name: Rebecca Neumann Author-X-Name-First: Rebecca Author-X-Name-Last: Neumann Title: Evidence on the cross-country transmission of monetary shocks Abstract: The international transmission of monetary shocks between the US and Canada is explored. Focusing on real variables such as consumption, investment, employment, and the bilateral trade balance, along with measures of US and Canadian money, the empirical analysis examines the impact of a monetary shock in one country on real activity in both countries. The long-run analysis provides evidence of cointegration among the variables and suggests that money plays an important role in the equilibrium relationships between the two countries. Variance decompositions and impulse response functions reveal interesting avenues of real transmission in the short run. The short-run analysis provides strong evidence that US monetary shocks affect real activity in both the USA and Canada. The analysis also indicates that Canadian monetary disturbances affect Canadian and US real activity, and that many of these effects are similar in magnitude to the effects of US monetary shocks. The importance of the nominal exchange-rate regime is also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1837-1857 Issue: 15 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210135827 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210135827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:15:p:1837-1857 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leigh Drake Author-X-Name-First: Leigh Author-X-Name-Last: Drake Author-Name: Richard Simper Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Simper Title: X-efficiency and scale economies in policing: a comparative study using the distribution free approach and DEA Abstract: This study uses both parametric and nonparametric techniques to analyse scale economies and relative efficiency levels in policing in England and Wales. Both techniques suggest the presence of significant scale effects in policing and considerable divergence in relative efficiency levels across police forces. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1859-1870 Issue: 15 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210126818 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210126818 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:15:p:1859-1870 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luiz De Mello Author-X-Name-First: Luiz Author-X-Name-Last: De Mello Title: Public finance, government spending and economic growth: the case of local governments in Brazil Abstract: The impact of local government spending on output growth is estimated using a panel of Brazilian municipalities during 1985-1994. Attention is focused on three expenditure categories, housing/urbanization, health/sanitation, and transport services, which are expected to be growth-enhancing, and their sources of finance (local taxes, intergovernmental transfers, and borrowing). The determinants of these spending categories are also examined. The size of the municipality, measured by the resident population, is shown to affect government spending nonlinearly. This is a contribution to the recent empirical literature on the linkages between decentralized government spending, public finances, and economic growth at the local, rather than national, level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1871-1883 Issue: 15 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210128726 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210128726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:15:p:1871-1883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chengqi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chengqi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Pamela Siler Author-X-Name-First: Pamela Author-X-Name-Last: Siler Author-Name: Xiaming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The relative economic performance of foreign subsidiaries in UK manufacturing Abstract: This paper compares the economic performance of UK and foreign-owned firms in UK manufacturing industry. A panel data set covering 14 233 firms for the period 1992-1996 is used and the influences of firm-, industry- and country-specific advantages on productivity are examined. The results of the study show that labour productivity is higher in foreign subsidiaries than in UK firms and that foreign subsidiaries as a whole employ higher levels of human capital and enjoy greater economies of scale. A further source of productivity advantage for US subsidiaries is their higher level of intangible assets, and for European and Japanese subsidiaries their higher level of capital intensity. The results have policy implications for the targeting of promotion activities to attract FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1885-1892 Issue: 15 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210128762 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210128762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:15:p:1885-1892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suleiman Abubader Author-X-Name-First: Suleiman Author-X-Name-Last: Abubader Title: Institutional changes and breakpoints in Israeli trade Abstract: This paper examines the structural changes in Israeli trade trends since the 1970s. Structural change tests do not reject the null of no breaks in Israeli trade trends after Israel signed FTA agreements with the EEC and the USA, or after Israel's 1991 new trade policy. The tests, however, show significant evidence for breakpoints in 1993 in Israel's trade shares with three countries who had adhered strongly to the Arab boycott. This result suggests that the Middle East peace process, which began in 1991, considerably weakened the boycott and brought about positive changes in Israeli long-term trade patterns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1893-1901 Issue: 15 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210127204 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210127204 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:15:p:1893-1901 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olga Canto Author-X-Name-First: Olga Author-X-Name-Last: Canto Title: Climbing out of poverty, falling back in: low income stability in Spain Abstract: The study of the probability of entering or escaping a low income spell is not sufficient to fully describe a household's experience in deprivation. If poverty spells are recurrent in time, the persistency of poverty for a given household is not completely described unless the household's likelihood of a fall back into deprivation shortly after exit is considered. It is found that by combining the re-entry equation results with those of the exit equation, one can discuss, in a comprehensive way, which household characteristics promote welfare stability or instability and poverty persistence or transience. Results indicate that one-third of households who manage to leave poverty in Spain return to it shortly after exit. This upward income mobility, if maintained for a year, appears to enable a state of non-poverty for a lengthy period. Better-educated households and households with a spouse are more stable in their income level. Also, the point reached in the income distribution after a jump out of poverty is more a determinant for reducing the household's re-entry probability than is the duration out of poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1903-1916 Issue: 15 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210129392 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210129392 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:15:p:1903-1916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosa Badillo Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Badillo Author-Name: Jorge Belaire-Franch Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Belaire-Franch Author-Name: Dulce Contreras Author-X-Name-First: Dulce Author-X-Name-Last: Contreras Title: Spurious rejection of the stationarity hypothesis in the presence of a break point Abstract: It is shown that KPSS and LMC tests may be seriously biased when there is a shift in the level or in the trend of the time series under study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1917-1923 Issue: 15 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210129400 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210129400 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:15:p:1917-1923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Evans Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Author-Name: Haluk Sezer Author-X-Name-First: Haluk Author-X-Name-Last: Sezer Title: A time preference measure of the social discount rate for the UK Abstract: In this study the social discount rate for the UK is estimated, the result compared with the Treasury approved rate and the main associated policy implications considered. A case is argued for reducing the official discount rate in appraisals involving all long-term social projects. The estimate of the elasticity of the marginal utility of consumption, an important component of the discount rate, is supported by plausible and statistically valid regression results. The need for further work relating to other major european countries is identified so that discount rate comparisons can be made on a consistent basis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1925-1934 Issue: 15 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210128753 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210128753 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:15:p:1925-1934 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Groothuis Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Groothuis Author-Name: John Whitehead Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whitehead Title: Does don't know mean no? Analysis of 'don't know' responses in dichotomous choice contingent valuation questions Abstract: The 'don't know' response option in contingent valuation dichotomous choice questions is analysed using data from both willingness to pay and willingness to accept studies. An empirical analysis is conducted to determine whether respondents are stating a response similar to yes or no responses or a middle response. It is found that don't know responses are similar to no responses in the willingness to pay study. In the willingness to accept study, it is found that the 'don't know' responses are similar to a middle response. It is further suggested that researchers consider calculating ambivalence bounds when a don't know response is a middle response. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1935-1940 Issue: 15 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210128717 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210128717 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:15:p:1935-1940 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mercedes Gumbau-Albert Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Gumbau-Albert Author-Name: Joaquin Maudos Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Maudos Title: The determinants of efficiency: the case of the Spanish industry Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse the factors explaining the technical efficiency of Spanish industrial sectors during the period 1991-1994 using the Survey of Business Strategies (SBE) of the Ministry of Industry and Energy. It analyses whether efficiency can be explained by factors external to the firm such as the degree of competition in the markets in which it operates, characteristics of the firm (size, organization, advantages of location, participation of public capital, etc.), as well as the effects of dynamic disturbances that may affect the degree of utilization of the productive capacity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1941-1948 Issue: 15 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210127213 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210127213 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:15:p:1941-1948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Orbe Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Orbe Author-Name: Eva Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Author-Name: Vicente Nunez-Anton Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Nunez-Anton Title: Length of time spent in Chapter 11 bankruptcy: a censored partial regression model Abstract: This paper investigates original issuers of high yield bonds in Chapter 11 bankruptcy to determine which factors affect the length of time spent in Chapter 11. In order to do this analysis a flexible new duration model is proposed, the censored partial regression model. This model allows consideration of the effect of some variables on the duration using a nonparametric functional form. It is found that the choice of prepackaged Chapter 11, the length of time negotiating before filling for Chapter 11, the profitability, the highly leveraged transactions, the participation on different disputes, the role of vulture funds and some institutional changes turn out to be relevant to analyse this duration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1949-1957 Issue: 15 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210127222 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210127222 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:15:p:1949-1957 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Damian Ward Author-X-Name-First: Damian Author-X-Name-Last: Ward Title: The costs of distribution in the UK life insurance market Abstract: The cost of direct and independent distribution in the UK life insurance sector over the period 1990-1997 is examined. This is a novel contribution to the literature that until now has focused almost solely on distribution in the non-life sector. Unlike the non-life sector the distribution of life insurance is complicated by the existence of investor protection policies. Which in the UK are believed to have increased the use of independent agents. Using a pooled data set of 44 companies between 1990 and 1997, this study finds little evidence for such a view. Cost benefits are found for firms focusing in one mode of distribution. From a modelling of the distribution decision this finding maybe attributed to firms choosing distribution systems which match the transactional problems associated with their product mix and/or mode of corporate governance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1959-1968 Issue: 15 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210129428 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210129428 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:15:p:1959-1968 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dominique Gross Author-X-Name-First: Dominique Author-X-Name-Last: Gross Title: Three million foreigners, three million unemployed? Immigration flows and the labour market in France Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of the flows of immigrant workers on the French labour market from the mid-1970s to the mid-1990s. Using a system of equations for unemployment, labour-force participation, the real wage and the immigration rate, it is shown that, in the long run, both legal and amnestied immigrant workers, and immigrant families lower the unemployment rate permanently. In the short-run, the arrival of immigrants increases unemployment slightly with an impact effect similar to that of an increase in domestic labour-force participation. The composition of immigration flows matters and the results indicate that the distribution between workers from the European Union and other regions of the world, also more skilled and less skilled workers, should remain balanced. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1969-1983 Issue: 16 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110111095 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110111095 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:16:p:1969-1983 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Knut Blind Author-X-Name-First: Knut Author-X-Name-Last: Blind Title: Driving forces for standardization at standardization development organizations Abstract: This paper investigates sector-specific driving forces for the standardization activities at national standardization organizations. In the first part, theoretical hypotheses concerning sector-specific standardization are derived. The empirical test is performed by a two-step procedure. First, based on 19 sectors, these hypotheses are tested empirically for Germany. The results show that R&D-intensive sectors standardize very actively; additionally, intellectual property rights play an important role. Furthermore, standardization increases with the concentration of the enterprises up to a certain threshold, where standardization activities decline again. Finally, export-intensive sectors tend to standardize more. Secondly, because of the small data base, these hypotheses are empirically tested in a pool model, an international cross-section approach based on 20 sectors and seven countries. These results are generally in concordance with the findings of Germany. After a summary of the results, recommendations for future standardization practice are given. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1985-1998 Issue: 16 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110111158 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110111158 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:16:p:1985-1998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Ownership structure and market conduct among Swiss banks Abstract: This paper explores the degree of competition among each of several major categories of Swiss banks, using a structural econometric model. Conduct is found to vary across ownership structures, with foreign-owned banks exhibiting the most market power and state-owned or mutual banks the least. The results are consistent with agency theory but contrast with some previous empirical results. They are also consistent with a Swiss premium in the provision of international banking services, though this latter hypothesis is not formally tested. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1999-2009 Issue: 16 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110112526 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110112526 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:16:p:1999-2009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Nahar Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Nahar Author-Name: B. Inder Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Inder Title: Testing convergence in economic growth for OECD countries Abstract: This article explores tests for absolute convergence in economic activity among a set of countries. It proposes a new test procedure that allows the researcher to identify particular countries within the group, which might not be converging. It also proposes that convergence among a set of similar countries is better thought of as movement toward a group leader, rather than movement towards a group mean. Applying the new procedure to 22 OECD countries it finds strong evidence for absolute convergence for the vast majority of countries towards their common steady state level. This article also points out why using standard unit root or cointegration tests with Bernard and Durlauf's definition of convergence is inappropriate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2011-2022 Issue: 16 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110117837 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110117837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:16:p:2011-2022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Griffiths Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Griffiths Title: The attrition rate of United States coins in circulation: some evidence from Federal Reserve data Abstract: The United States Mint recently conducted a coin attrition study designed to estimate the rate at which coins are withdrawn from circulation in order to better plan coin production. This paper reports on the analysis of a large sample of coins taken from the United States Federal Reserve Bank cash offices used to estimate coin attrition rates by denomination. The dollar value of the circulating stock of coin available to serve the needs of commerce is estimated to be $11.8 billion (£7.6 billion). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2023-2029 Issue: 16 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210122362 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210122362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:16:p:2023-2029 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Sawkins Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Sawkins Title: Examination performance in Scottish secondary schools: an ordered logit approach Abstract: This paper analyses the determinants of educational outcomes for Scottish secondary schools. Using an ordered logit model with data on school examination performance for pupils in the last year of compulsory education, separate equations are estimated for 1993-1994 and 1998-1999. The empirical results, in line with previous British studies, underline the importance of family, peer group and school influences in determining educational outcomes. They cast doubt, however, on suggestions that there is an 'optimal' size of school. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2031-2041 Issue: 16 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210124559 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210124559 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:16:p:2031-2041 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy Hinks Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Hinks Title: Gender wage differentials and discrimination in the New South Africa Abstract: Research into discrimination within South Africa (SA) has focused on racial issues, with gender issues being largely ignored. This study aims to estimate gender wage differentials and through decomposition analysis understand the different problems faced by white, black, coloured and Indian/Asian in 1995. It is found that white and Asian females suffer greater gender discrimination than their black and coloured counterparts, which could be a signal to future problems black and coloured females may encounter. The largest gender wage differential is faced by white females, whilst the lowest is encountered by coloured and black females. A possible explanation for this finding is the low (subsistence) wages that the black and coloured population groups command relative to other population groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2043-2052 Issue: 16 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210124991 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210124991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:16:p:2043-2052 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silvia Tiezzi Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Tiezzi Title: Environmental defensive expenditures and households behaviour in Italy Abstract: The paper explores the role of Environmental Defensive Expenditures in the consumption behaviour of Italian households. Environmental Defensive Expenditures are not borne to increase households' welfare, but to prevent or avoid the effects of a worsening environmental quality. The literature on environmental accounting argues that economic growth in industrialized countries is accompanied by an increasing load of defensive activities that may lead to a reorientation of consumption behaviour. In this work this hypothesis is tested using annual data on mean consumption expenditures of Italian households from 1985 to 1996. A complete system of demand is estimated and short-run price elasticities of demand for Defensive Expenditures are calculated. The complete system of demand functions is specified using the Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System proposed by Banks, Blundell and Lewbel. Results show that there is very low substitution between the demand for the six aggregate goods in which total expenditure is here divided and the Environmental Defensive Expenditures. Thus it seems that an increase in Environmental Defensive Expenditures, driven by a change in environmental quality, would not lead to a change in the consumption pattern, at least as far as Italian households are concerned. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2053-2061 Issue: 16 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210126197 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210126197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:16:p:2053-2061 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Bernstein Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bernstein Title: Fringe benefits and small businesses: evidence from the federal reserve board small business survey Abstract: Data from the 1993 National Survey of Small Businesses (NSSBF) is used to analyse the factors affecting the provision of pensions and health insurance by small businesses. The race of the business owner is found to impact the provision of taxadvantaged fringe benefits, even after accounting for a wide range of other economic and demographic variables. It is not possible to determine why owner race impacts the provision of fringe benefits by small businesses but the significance of the race variable might reflect a lower level of marketing effort by financial service firms in minority-dominated communities. The owner education variable, which is also significant in both the pension and health insurance models, could also be a proxy for the availability of general information about the importance of fringe benefits. With the exception of the sole proprietorship variable, the demographic and economic variables appear to have similar effects on the provision of both pensions and health insurance by small businesses. Some sole proprietors appear to prefer pension benefits to health insurance benefits possibly because pensions allow the business owner to shield some assets in the case of bankruptcy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2063-2067 Issue: 16 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210126205 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210126205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:16:p:2063-2067 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: Real interest rate equalization: some empirical evidence from the three major world financial markets Abstract: This article examines the linkage of real interest rates of the three major world financial markets (USA, Japan and the UK) with the use of cointegration methods. Unlike previous works, the investigation uses a trivariate vector autoregressive (VAR) model in which a constant term in the common stochastic trends space is excluded. Based on data generated after the liberalization of Japan's foreign exchange market at the end of 1980 (1981:1-1998:12), the article finds some empirical evidence indicating that the extent of the departure from the long-run real interest rate equalization (RIE) is not very large, although the null hypothesis of the long-run RIE is rejected in most cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2069-2073 Issue: 16 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210128708 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210128708 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:16:p:2069-2073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: S. Chomsisengphet Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Chomsisengphet Title: Stability of M2 money demand function in industrial countries Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2075-2083 Issue: 16 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210128744 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210128744 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:16:p:2075-2083 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Louis De Mesnard Author-X-Name-First: Louis Author-X-Name-Last: De Mesnard Title: Forecast output coincidence and biproportion: two criteria to determine the orientation of an economy. Comparison for France (1980-1997) Abstract: The method of forecast output coincidence used to determine if sectors are demandsided or supply-sided in an input-output framework mixes two effects, the structural effect (choosing between demand and supply side models) and the effect of an exogenous factor (final demand or added-value). The note recalls that another method is possible, the comparison of the stability of technical and allocation coefficients, generalized by the biproportional filter: if for a sector, after biproportional filtering, column coefficients are more stable than row coefficients, then this sector is declared as not supply-sided (but one cannot decide that it is demand-sided anyway), and conversely. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2085-2091 Issue: 16 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210128771 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210128771 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:16:p:2085-2091 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Norman Thurston Author-X-Name-First: Norman Author-X-Name-Last: Thurston Title: Physician behavioural responses to variation in marginal income tax rates: longitudinal evidence Abstract: The longitudinal component of the Young Physicians Surveys (1987, 1991) is used to examine the impact of changes in marginal tax rates on key indicators of physician behaviour. Following the federal Tax Reform Act of 1986, many states' marginal income tax rates changed. This variation is used to estimate the responsiveness of work hours, HMO contracting and practice size to changes in taxes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2093-2104 Issue: 16 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210134549 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210134549 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:16:p:2093-2104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Berger Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Berger Author-Name: Jodi Messer Author-X-Name-First: Jodi Author-X-Name-Last: Messer Title: Public financing of health expenditures, insurance, and health outcomes Abstract: The effects of public financing of health expenditures, insurance coverage and other factors on health outcomes are examined within health production models estimated using 1960-1992 data across 20 OECD countries. Mortality rates are found to depend on the mix of health care expenditures and the type of health insurance coverage. Increases in the publicly financed share of health expenditures are associated with increases in mortality rates. Increases in inpatient and ambulatory insurance coverage are associated with reduced mortality. The effects of GDP, health expenditures and age structure on mortality are similar to those in previous studies. Tobacco use, alcohol use, fat consumption, female labour force participation, and education levels are also significantly related to overall mortality rates. Increases in income inequality are associated with lower mortality rates, suggesting that the negative relationship between inequality and health outcomes suggested by some previous studies does not remain when a more complete model is estimated. The result that increases in public financing increase mortality rates is robust to a number of changes in specifications and samples. Thus, as countries increase the level of their health expenditures, they may want to avoid increasing the proportion of their expenditures that are publicly financed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2105-2113 Issue: 17 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210135665 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210135665 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:17:p:2105-2113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saeid Mahdavi Author-X-Name-First: Saeid Author-X-Name-Last: Mahdavi Title: The response of the US export prices to changes in the dollar's effective exchange rate: further evidence from industry level data Abstract: The relationship between the dollar's effective exchange rate and the export price indexes for 13 two-digit US manufacturing industries is analysed to determine (i) which industry adjusts its dollar export price to dampen or amplify the effect of the exchange rate fluctuations on the foreign-currency price of its exports and (ii) whether the response of the export price index to appreciation and depreciation of the exchange rate is asymmetric. For several industries, evidence consistent with dampening the foreign-currency price of exports in an asymmetric fashion is found. The implications of the results for the price competitiveness of the industries studied is discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2115-2125 Issue: 17 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210135674 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210135674 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:17:p:2115-2125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mita Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Mita Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Title: Industrial concentration and competition in Malaysian manufacturing Abstract: Industrial concentration is the most widely studied area among various elements of market structure in the industrial organization literature. This paper is a first attempt to analyse the determinants of changes in industry concentration over time in the case of Malaysia. Using a partial adjustment model, a cross-sectional analysis is carried out against a sample of manufacturing industries between 1986 and 1996. Domestic factors in influencing competition e.g. capital intensity, advertising intensity and market size are found to be significant in most cases to explain the level of concentration. Considering variable rate of adjustment of concentration, an increase in labour productivity of large firms and high entry rates are found to be significant for faster adjustment towards equilibrium level. Compared with other developed countries, the annual rate of structural adjustment is found to be slow in the case of Malaysian manufacturing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2127-2134 Issue: 17 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210135683 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210135683 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:17:p:2127-2134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Delorme Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Delorme Author-Name: David Kamerschen Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Kamerschen Author-Name: Peter Klein Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Klein Author-Name: Lisa Ford Voeks Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Ford Author-X-Name-Last: Voeks Title: Structure, conduct and performance: a simultaneous equations approach Abstract: A simultaneous equations framework is used to study the relationship between structure, conduct and performance in US manufacturing in the 1980s and 1990s. The paper expands on earlier structure-conduct-performance studies by using a lag structure to signify that structure, conduct and performance do not affect one another contemporaneously. Findings support some aspects of the traditional structure-conduct-performance model, but challenge others. First, the data suggest that industry structure does not depend on current industry performance. Second, little evidence is found that industry conduct, proxied by advertising, is affected by industry structure. Third, results show that industry performance does not depend on industry conduct, though it is sensitive to industry structure. The main findings are that (1) concentration does not depend on firm profitability, though profitability depends on concentration, (2) advertising follows a process that is independent of the factors considered here, and (3) advertising seems to have no effect on profitability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2135-2141 Issue: 17 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210135836 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210135836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:17:p:2135-2141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terence Mills Author-X-Name-First: Terence Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Author-Name: Geoffrey Wood Author-X-Name-First: Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Wood Title: Wages and prices in the UK Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between wages and prices in the UK using a VECM formulation and generalized impulse response functions and persistence profiles. Because of significant feedbacks, it finds that fluctuations in wage growth cannot be used directly to predict fluctuations in inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2143-2149 Issue: 17 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210135845 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210135845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:17:p:2143-2149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Mak Arvin Author-X-Name-First: B. Mak Author-X-Name-Last: Arvin Author-Name: Francisco Barillas Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Barillas Title: Foreign aid, poverty reduction, and democracy Abstract: Eradication of poverty is the most pervasive goal of donors' foreign aid programmes. As a result, there has been much research on the degree of correlation between aid and poverty reduction. However, this work to date has shed little light on the direction of causation between the two variables. Using the method of Granger causality, and conditioning aid and poverty on the state of democracy in developing countries, this study asks whether aid flows impact poverty, whether poverty influences aid flows, or whether causality proceeds in both directions simultaneously. While the results identify no causal relationships in some of the sub-samples, they point to the existence of a multitude of relationships across others. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2151-2156 Issue: 17 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210136718 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210136718 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:17:p:2151-2156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Viju Ipe Author-X-Name-First: Viju Author-X-Name-Last: Ipe Author-Name: Subhash Bhagwat Author-X-Name-First: Subhash Author-X-Name-Last: Bhagwat Title: Chicago's water market: dynamics of demand, prices and scarcity rents Abstract: Chicago and its suburbs are experiencing an increasing demand for water from a growing population and economy and may experience water scarcity in the near future. The Chicago metropolitan area has nearly depleted its groundwater resources to a point where interstate conflicts with Wisconsin could accompany an increased reliance on those sources. Further, the withdrawals from Lake Michigan is limited by the Supreme Court decree. The growing demand and indications of possible scarcity suggest a need to reexamine the pricing policies and the dynamics of demand. The study analyses the demand for water and develops estimates of scarcity rents for water in Chicago. The price and income elasticities computed at the means are -0.002 and 0.0002 respectively. The estimated scarcity rents ranges from $0.98 to $1.17 per thousand gallons. The results indicate that the current prices do not fully account for the scarcity rents and suggest a current rate with in the range $1.53 to $1.72 per thousand gallons. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2157-2163 Issue: 17 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210138383 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210138383 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:17:p:2157-2163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emili Tortosa-Ausina Author-X-Name-First: Emili Author-X-Name-Last: Tortosa-Ausina Title: Financial costs, operating costs, and specialization of Spanish banking firms as distribution dynamics Abstract: There exists a remarkable concern among financial analysts and policy makers about the high level of cost dispersion in banking. A model of distribution dynamics is applied to the Spanish banking companies in order to analyse whether such a dispersion is so high and if some factors like, for instance, specialization factors might somewhat influence the dynamics of both financial and operating expenses. Results show that there does not appear to exist a decrease in the level of cost dispersion, although firms' relative positions are changing. Yet, when controlling for the varying output mixes, firms produce results which differ much, as dispersion - assessed by means of density functions estimated nonparametrically - decreases substantially, suggesting concurrence is higher among firms with similar output mixes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2165-2176 Issue: 17 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210138400 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210138400 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:17:p:2165-2176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Teresa Gonzalo Author-X-Name-First: Maria Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalo Title: A new look at the UI effect on transitions from unemployment into wage employment in Spain: the limited duration of the UI benefits entitlement Abstract: This article is a new look at the study of the unemployment insurance effect on the transition probability from unemployment into wage employment in Spain. It is found that individuals increase their search effort and reduce their reservation wage as the unemployment insurance benefit entitlement exhaustion approaches, and their exit rate equals that of the unemployed who never got benefits from the exhaustion moment. Financial constraints are not important in Spain. Business cycle affects more to long-term unemployed. And, finally, it is found that the probability of being offered a vacancy decreases with time spent in unemployment, having allowed for unobservable heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2177-2187 Issue: 17 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210148067 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210148067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:17:p:2177-2187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Morris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Morris Author-Name: Alistair McGuire Author-X-Name-First: Alistair Author-X-Name-Last: McGuire Title: The private net present value and private internal rate of return to becoming a nurse in Great Britain Abstract: The private net present value and private internal rate of return to becoming a nurse in Great Britain is estimated. The calculations are made using the standard equations inputted with data from the New Earnings Survey and the British Household Panel Survey. Basic age-earnings profiles are adjusted for mortality, unemployment, other causes of economic inactivity, and discontinuation from training. The conclusions are that: (1) there is a high private internal rate of return to becoming a nurse in Great Britain relative to other occupations; (2) using the internal rate of return criterion is inappropriate when there exists a crossover marginal time preference rate, which is shown to be the case here; and, (3) using the net present value criterion there are net financial benefits to becoming a nurse in Great Britain for individuals with a marginal time preference rate of 8-13% or more. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2189-2200 Issue: 17 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210139328 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210139328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:17:p:2189-2200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Camarero Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Camarero Author-Name: J. Ordonez Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Ordonez Author-Name: C. R. Tamarit Author-X-Name-First: C. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Tamarit Title: Monetary transmission in Spain: a structural cointegrated VAR approach Abstract: This paper analyses the monetary policy channels in Spain using a cointegrated structural VAR approach which explicitly accounts for endogenous policy reactions in a small open economy. Evidence is found of one cointegrating relation which is identified as a long-run money demand function. In addition, stability tests are applied to this relationship to assess whether there has been a change of monetary regime. The impulse-responses for the non-monetary shocks as well as the absence of the puzzles traditionally found in the empirical literature, suggest that the model specification identifies the monetary policy shocks correctly. Thus, according to our results, a monetary contraction causes a weak downward response in the price level, as well as an increase in both short and long-run nominal interest rates, a decrease in aggregate output and an exchange rate appreciation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2201-2212 Issue: 17 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210138419 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210138419 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:17:p:2201-2212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vittoria Cerasi Author-X-Name-First: Vittoria Author-X-Name-Last: Cerasi Author-Name: Barbara Chizzolini Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Chizzolini Author-Name: Marc Ivaldi Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Ivaldi Title: Branching and competition in the European banking industry Abstract: In this study branching costs and competitiveness of European banks are measured by fitting a monopolistic competition model to a representative sample drawn from nine EEC banking industries in the period from 1990 to 1996. In the theoretical model, banks decide strategically the size of their branching network anticipating the degree of competition faced on interest rates. From the structural equations of the model an econometric test is derived in order to measure branching costs and degree of competition in banking services. The empirical analysis captures their changing over time together with the impact of various European directives aiming at deregulating the banking industry. Furthermore the study shows persistence of segmentation acoss EEC banking industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2213-2225 Issue: 17 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210138392 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210138392 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:17:p:2213-2225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Andreosso-O'Callaghan Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Andreosso-O'Callaghan Author-Name: Guoqiang Yue Author-X-Name-First: Guoqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Yue Title: Sources of output change in China: 1987-1997: application of a structural decomposition analysis Abstract: Since the beginning of the economic reforms implemented in the industrial sectors of China, the economy has grown and changed rapidly. The high GDP growth rates recorded since 1985 have stimulated unprecedented changes in the economic structure of this developing economy. The major causes of the changes are: the increase in consumption and investment, production technological change and trade. The objective was to analyse this type of structural change, and to explore the sources of economic growth during the period 1987-1997, by using the method of structural decomposition analysis (SDA). The chosen SDA method, based on the comparison between two input-output tables, allowed us to decompose each sector's and industry's output growth; it enabled the relative impact of final demand and technological change of each industry on overall growthto be measured. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2227-2237 Issue: 17 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210139346 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210139346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:17:p:2227-2237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yin-Wong Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Yin-Wong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: Frank Westermann Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Westermann Title: Output dynamics of the G7 countries--stochastic trends and cyclical movements Abstract: Using a time series framework, the paper studies the interactions of the annual real per capita GDP data of the G7 countries. Evidence is found of six common nonstationary processes behind the international output dynamics. In addition, there is evidence for the existence of a common business cycle among these countries. The trend and cycle components of each output series are obtained with a procedure that accounts for the presence of both the common nonstationary and cyclical factors. It is found that the relative variability and the correlation of the trend and cycle components are not similar across the G7 countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2239-2247 Issue: 18 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210150866 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210150866 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:18:p:2239-2247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Title: Does black market exchange rate volatility deter the trade flows? Iranian experience Abstract: Previous studies that investigated the impact of exchange rate volatility on the trade flows, employed official exchange rate data to construct a measure of exchange rate uncertainty. In this paper we show that in countries that there is a black market for foreign exchange, the black market exchange rate volatility could have adverse effect on the trade flows. We show this by using data from Iran and cointegration analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2249-2255 Issue: 18 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210138455 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210138455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:18:p:2249-2255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. C. Gasparini Author-X-Name-First: L. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Gasparini Title: Microeconometric decompositions of aggregate variables: an application to labour informality in Argentina Abstract: This article illustrates the use of microeconometric decomposition techniques to characterize changes in aggregate variables. In particular, it studies the effect of changes in the employment structure on the labour informality rate for salaried workers in the greater Buenos Aires area (Argentina). To that aim it computes the difference between the informality rate at moment t and the rate that results from combining the population at moment t with the parameters estimated at moment t that link observable individual characteristics to the informality decision. The article concludes that the deep change of the employment structure in Argentina during the 1980s and the 1990s has had a significant but minor effect on the labour informality rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2257-2266 Issue: 18 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210127231 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210127231 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:18:p:2257-2266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Ruiz-Castillo Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Ruiz-Castillo Author-Name: E. Ley Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Ley Author-Name: M. Izquierdo Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Izquierdo Title: The Laspeyres bias in the Spanish consumer price index Abstract: The CPI compares the cost of acquiring a reference quantity vector at current and base prices. Such reference vector is the vector of mean quantities actually bought by a reference population, whose consumption patterns are investigated during a period τ prior to the index base period 0. This paper shows that unless the price change between these two dates is taken into account, the CPI ceases to be a proper statistical price index of the Laspeyres type. Among several negative consequences, the most important is that this omission produces a bias in the measurement of inflation: the 'Laspeyres bias'. Using Spanish data, the size of the Laspeyres bias is estimated at -0.061% per year, during 1992-1998. The Laspeyres bias in shorter time periods reached -0.122% per year in 1992, and -0.108 in 1997. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2267-2276 Issue: 18 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210138428 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210138428 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:18:p:2267-2276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Param Silvapulle Author-X-Name-First: Param Author-X-Name-Last: Silvapulle Author-Name: Ramya Hewarathna Author-X-Name-First: Ramya Author-X-Name-Last: Hewarathna Title: Robust estimation and inflation forecasting Abstract: This paper considers various models emerging from the Fisher effect and/or the term structure of interest rates for inflation forecasting. This paper, it is believed, makes a contribution to the literature on estimation of the models by using a procedure that is robust for non-normal errors, improving the efficiency of the estimates considerably. The Consumer Price Index series, 90 days and 180 days Australian bank-accepted bill rates, covering the sample period 1968Q1 to 1998Q4 were used in this study. Contrary to earlier findings, strong evidence was documented supporting the Fisher effect in the presence of a structural break with the break-point being at 1980Q1. The overall results suggest that the error correction model of the Fisher effect, the term structure of interest rates and short-run dynamics produce superior forecasts, in particular when the models were estimated using the robust method. These findings have important implications for economic policy analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2277-2282 Issue: 18 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210138446 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210138446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:18:p:2277-2282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. N. W. Azman-Saini Author-X-Name-First: W. N. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Azman-Saini Author-Name: M. Azali Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Azali Author-Name: M. S. Habibullah Author-X-Name-First: M. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Habibullah Author-Name: K. G. Matthews Author-X-Name-First: K. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Matthews Title: Financial integration and the ASEAN-5 equity markets Abstract: The existence of long-run relationships among the ASEAN-5 equity markets is empirically investigated. This study utilized weekly data spanning January 1988 to August 1999. The results of Granger noncausality test due to Toda and Yamamoto (Journal of Econometrics,66, 225-50, 1995) reveal that the Singapore equity market was not affected by other markets except by the Philippines in the long run. This result shows that there exist opportunities for beneficial international portfolio diversification within the context of the Asean-5 equity markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2283-2288 Issue: 18 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210139364 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210139364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:18:p:2283-2288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Canan Yildirim Author-X-Name-First: Canan Author-X-Name-Last: Yildirim Title: Evolution of banking efficiency within an unstable macroeconomic environment: the case of Turkish commercial banks Abstract: This paper analyses the efficiency performance of the Turkish banking sector between 1988 and 1999, a period characterized by increasing macroeconomic instability. The technical and scale efficiencies of Turkish commercial banks are measured with the use of nonparametric Data Envelopment Analysis. The empirical results suggest that over the sample period both pure technical and scale efficiency measures show a great variation and the sector did not achieve sustained efficiency gains. It is also reported that the sector suffers mainly from scale inefficiency and scale inefficiency, in turn, is due to decreasing returns to scale. There are also reported differences in the efficiency performance of commercial banks with different ownership status. In addition, the relationships between profitability, asset quality, size and the two definitions of efficiency are considered. Efficient banks are more profitable, and pure technical efficiency and scale inefficiency are positively related to size. The trend in the performance levels over the period suggests that macroeconomic conditions had a profound influence on the efficiency measures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2289-2301 Issue: 18 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210140146 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210140146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:18:p:2289-2301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui-Chuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Hui-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Taiwan's exports and trade imbalance against US and Japan: an empirical investigation based on error correction model Abstract: This study employs recent advances in time-series analysis, cointegration and error correction model, to examine the long-run and short-run determinants of the exports and trade imbalance between the USA, Japan, and Taiwan. The unit root tests reveal nonstationary in most of the variables. The cointegration tests affirm positive the long-run associations are between the exchange rate changes and the exports as well as the trade imbalance. Once these long-run effects are accounted for, it is found that there are evidences of short-run relationship between these variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2303-2309 Issue: 18 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210141695 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210141695 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:18:p:2303-2309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shao-Hsun Keng Author-X-Name-First: Shao-Hsun Author-X-Name-Last: Keng Author-Name: Steven Garasky Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Garasky Author-Name: Helen Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Title: Welfare dependence and recidivism in an era of welfare reform Abstract: This study examines the dynamics of welfare programme participation during the initial period (1993-1995) of programme reforms at the state-level in Iowa. The programme changes for the state were remarkably similar to the national reforms implemented in the USA in 1996. Analysis of the Family Investment Program (FIP) participation over the programme's first two years show that, on average, recipients stayed fewer months in the second year compared with the first, although a relatively large share of participants (36%) stayed on for the full two years. Fixed effect and semiparametric duration models are used to examine welfare dependence and recidivism, respectively. Results indicate that income from wages and child support are significant factors in reducing welfare participation. Child support and wage income are crucial in determining the chances of exiting and of staying off the programme, especially during the early months of the exit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2311-2323 Issue: 18 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210143080 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210143080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:18:p:2311-2323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Strazicich Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Strazicich Title: International evidence of tax smoothing in a panel of industrial countries Abstract: A panel of industrial countries is examined for evidence of 'tax smoothing'. Tax smoothing results when governments minimize tax distortions over time. The model provides a positive theory of government debt and is due primarily to Barro. Unit root tests are performed in panel data to test the null hypothesis of nonstationary tax rates. Panel regressions are then undertaken to test the null hypothesis that tax rate changes are unpredictable and test for evidence of an alternative hypothesis. Political and economic variables are examined for their ability to predict tax rate changes. Overall, the results cannot reject the null hypotheses and support tax smoothing by national governments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2325-2331 Issue: 18 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210143107 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210143107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:18:p:2325-2331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Davis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Author-Name: Bryce Kanago Author-X-Name-First: Bryce Author-X-Name-Last: Kanago Title: The contemporaneous correlation between price shocks and output shocks Abstract: Until the 1990s, prices were believed to be procyclical. Several researchers have since presented evidence of counter-cyclical prices. This evidence proved robust, but its interpretation has varied. Some have argued that the contemporaneous correlation between output and prices reflects both the source of the current shock and the adjustment process from short-run to long-run equilibrium; the adjustment to the long run imparts a bias towards a negative price-output correlation. The issue of dynamics is addressed by estimating price shocks and output shocks. The sign of the correlation between these shocks does not reveal anything about the relative importance or frequency of demand versus supply shocks; however, some understanding is gained from the time-series of the product of the shocks. In periods when the product is negative, supply shocks must have been either relatively large or relatively important. In periods when the product is positive, demand shocks must have been either relatively large or relatively important. The data suggest that the economies of the USA, Canada and the UK were buffeted by both demand and supply shocks in about equal portions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2333-2339 Issue: 18 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210147130 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210147130 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:18:p:2333-2339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Hollingsworth Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Hollingsworth Author-Name: Anthony Harris Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Elena Gospodarevskaya Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Gospodarevskaya Title: The efficiency of immunization of infants by local government Abstract: The paper makes use of data envelopment analysis (DEA) to measure the cost and production efficiency of local government programmemes for childhood immunization in urban and rural settings in Australia. Model specification is tested for validity, methods are used for ranking efficient units and advanced statistical methods are used to establish confidence intervals around the efficiency estimates. Given the small data set, the cost and production models are valid, and it is concluded that while neither urban nor rural programmes are particularly efficient, there is more room for improvement in rural programmes. Ways of changing methods of delivery are suggested which may increase efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2341-2345 Issue: 18 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210147158 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210147158 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:18:p:2341-2345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Author-Name: Lindsay Tedds Author-X-Name-First: Lindsay Author-X-Name-Last: Tedds Author-Name: Gugsa Werkneh Author-X-Name-First: Gugsa Author-X-Name-Last: Werkneh Title: The Canadian underground and measured economies: Granger causality results Abstract: Using new time-series data for the size of the Canadian underground economy, the relationship between unreported and measured GDP in that country is examined. Granger causality tests are conducted, with a proper allowance for the non-stationarity of the data. It is found that there is clear evidence of such causality from measured GDP to 'hidden' output, but only very mild evidence of Granger causality in the reverse direction. This result supports similar evidence for New Zealand reported by the first author, and has several interesting policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2347-2352 Issue: 18 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210148021 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210148021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:18:p:2347-2352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Author-Name: David Sokulsky Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Sokulsky Title: An ordered response model of test cricket performance Abstract: The paper analyses the prediction of test cricket outcomes using an ordered response model. The results, based on data over the period 1994 to 1999, suggest that the ordered categorized production outcome of test cricket (win, draw, loss) can be explained by simple measures of the batting and bowling labour inputs. For example, across all countries the model correctly predicts 71% of test cricket outcomes. Further, it is found that losses are correctly predicted most often at 81% of the sample but that the model faces its biggest challenge predicting test match draws-only getting 57% of these cases correct. Also analysed are the circumstances in which the model produces incorrect predictions and it is found that the most common events are unsuccessful last innings runs chases; successful last innings runs chases and rain-affected matches. An analysis of failed model predictions in terms of country factors suggests that (relative to all other countries) Pakistan has a higher tendency to be involved in such matches, whereas Sri Lanka has a higher tendency to be involved in matches that are 'predictable'. A 'style' analysis using this model suggests that five test cricket styles are evident. Style I is that of 'Bowling and Batting Performance' and describes Pakistan, the West Indies and (perhaps to a lesser extent) Zimbabwe. Style II is that of 'Batting Performance' and describes England, New Zealand and (perhaps to a lesser extent) India. Style III is 'Bowling Performance' and describes Australia. Style IV is 'Bowling Performance/Batting Strike Rate' and describes South Africa. Finally, Style V is 'Bowling Performance and Strike Rate' and describes Sri Lanka. Finally, the model is used to analyse which country can claim to be the world champions of test cricket over the sample period. In an initial analysis based on average performance over this period, South Africa has the best claim. However, in a 'heavyweight title' contest between South Africa and Australia, Australia has the superior claim. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2353-2365 Issue: 18 Volume: 34 Year: 2002 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210148085 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210148085 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:34:y:2002:i:18:p:2353-2365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. N. E. BystrOm Author-X-Name-First: H. N. E. Author-X-Name-Last: BystrOm Title: The hedging performance of electricity futures on the Nordic power exchange Abstract: The Nordic Power Exchange (Nord Pool), the first multinational exchange for electricity trading, has existed since January 1996. Spot and futures contracts are traded on this exchange and its typical characteristics are very high volatilities as well as non-normally distributed returns. This article looks at electricity futures and how they can be used for short-term hedging of positions taken in the spot market. It studies the minimum variance hedge ratio and how it can be estimated in different ways. The traditional naive hedge and the OLS hedge are compared out-of-sample to more elaborate moving average and GARCH hedges, and the empirical results indicate some gains from hedging with futures despite the lack of straight-forward arbitrage possibilities in the electricity market. Furthermore, we find a slightly better performance of the simple OLS hedge compared to the conditional hedges. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210138365 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210138365 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:1:p:1-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles DeLorme Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: DeLorme Author-Name: Peter Klein Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Klein Author-Name: David Kamerschen Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Kamerschen Author-Name: Lisa Ford Voeks Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Ford Author-X-Name-Last: Voeks Title: Structure, conduct and performance: a simultaneous equations approach Abstract: A simultaneous-equations framework is used to study the relationship between structure, conduct, and performance in US manufacturing in the 1980s and 1990s. The paper expands on earlier structure-conduct-performance studies by using a lag structure to signify that structure, conduct and performance do not affect one another contemporaneously. Findings support some aspects of the traditional structure-conduct-performance model, but challenge others. First, the data suggest that industry structure does not depend on current industry performance. Second, little evidence is found that industry conduct, proxied by advertising, is affected by industry structure. Third, results show that industry performance does not depend on industry conduct, though it is sensitive to industry structure. Thus, the main findings are that (1) concentration does not depend on firm profitability, though profitability depends on concentration, (2) advertising follows a process that is independent of the factors considered here, and (3) advertising seems to have no effect on profitability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 13-20 Issue: 1 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210147149 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210147149 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:1:p:13-20 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. K. Leung Author-X-Name-First: M. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Author-Name: D. Rigby Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Rigby Author-Name: T. Young Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Young Title: Entry of foreign banks in the People's Republic of China: a survival analysis Abstract: This study uses survival analysis to examine the factors determining the decision of a foreign bank to establish a branch in the PRC. Bank size and international diversification are found to have a significant positive impact on the probability of entry. Banks from Asia have particular cultural and locational advantages in this context and are found to be more likely to enter this market. Market conditions in the host economy, exemplified by an improved political environment and increasing levels of international trade, are also found to be significant determinants of the timing of entry. Access to China's banking sector will increase upon entry to the WTO and again cultural links and location are likely to play a key role for foreign entrants, particularly for those operating in local currency markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 21-31 Issue: 1 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210148030 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210148030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:1:p:21-31 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Lucke Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Lucke Title: Are technical trading rules profitable? Evidence for head-and-shoulder rules Abstract: The profitability of chartist trading rules on foreign exchange markets is still under debate. Since simple technical trading rules may not adequately capture the complex phenomenon of chartist trading, this study focuses on the prominent head-and-shoulder pattern as a representative trading rule which incorporates various 'technical' ideas such as smoothed trends, trend reversal, resistance levels, and volatility clustering. For various combinations of the building blocks of head-and-shoulder definitions the result is generally negative: Returns to head-and-shoulder trading rules are not significantly positive - and if there is any evidence for non-zero returns at all, then it is evidence for negative returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 33-40 Issue: 1 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210150884 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210150884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:1:p:33-40 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredrik Carlsson Author-X-Name-First: Fredrik Author-X-Name-Last: Carlsson Title: The demand for intercity public transport: the case of business passengers Abstract: Using a stated preference survey on business passengers travelling by rail or air between the two largest cities in Sweden, business passengers' preferences for different modes of transport and their corresponding attributes are investigated. Compared to what previous studies have found, the values put on attributes are very high, this including the environmental impact of the modes. This is largely explained by the fact that business passengers do not bear the cost of the trip, but still have the possibility of deciding the mode of transport. The usefulness of a more flexible specification of the demand for transport is explored using a random parameter logit model. It is found that there is a gain in using a random parameter model compared to a standard logit model, in the sense that it provides richer information about passengers' preferences. However, no consistent pattern is found in the differences in willingness to pay for attributes between the econometric specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 41-50 Issue: 1 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210158921 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210158921 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:1:p:41-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rakesh Bali Author-X-Name-First: Rakesh Author-X-Name-Last: Bali Title: An empirical analysis of stock returns around dividend changes Abstract: This paper documents significant drift in stock returns following announcements of changes in cash dividends. The magnitude is (i) smaller for increases than for decreases, (ii) inversely related to firm size and positively to dividend yield change, and (iii) concentrated in the first quarter. Beta changes do not explain the drift and it is robust in various subperiods. Next it is shown that dividend increases are positively autocorrelated especially every fourth quarter. The prices keep reacting to future announcements as if the market ignores these autocorrelations. Dividend decreases exhibit weak autocorrelation and the returns are negative for the following three announcements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 51-61 Issue: 1 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684020158930 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684020158930 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:1:p:51-61 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ikerne Del Valle Author-X-Name-First: Ikerne Del Author-X-Name-Last: Valle Author-Name: Inmaculada Astorkiza Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Astorkiza Author-Name: Kepa Astorkiza Author-X-Name-First: Kepa Author-X-Name-Last: Astorkiza Title: Fishing effort validation and substitution possibilities among components: the case study of the VIII division European anchovy fishery Abstract: Command and control regulation programmes, particularly input constraints, typically fail to achieve stated objectives, because fishermen may substitute unregulated for regulated inputs. It is, thus, essential to have an understanding of the internal structure of production technology. A primal formulation is used to estimate a translog production function at the vessels level that includes fishing effort and fisherman's skill. The flexibility of the selected functional permits the analysis of the substitution possibilities among inputs by estimating the elasticity of substitution with no prior constraints. Particular attention is paid to the empirical validation of fishing effort as an aggregate input, which implies either, the acceptance of the joint hypothesis that inputs making up effort are weakly separable from the inputs out of the subgroup or considering that effort is an intermediate input produced by a non-separable two stage technology. Cross-sectional data from the Spanish purse seine fleet operating in the VIII Division European anchovy fishery provide evidence of limited input substitution possibilities among the inputs making up the empirically validated fishing effort translog micro-production function. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 63-77 Issue: 1 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210158949 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210158949 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:1:p:63-77 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paola Caselli Author-X-Name-First: Paola Author-X-Name-Last: Caselli Author-Name: Patrizio Pagano Author-X-Name-First: Patrizio Author-X-Name-Last: Pagano Author-Name: Fabiano Schivardi Author-X-Name-First: Fabiano Author-X-Name-Last: Schivardi Title: Uncertainty and the slowdown of capital accumulation in Europe Abstract: The slowdown in the process of capital formation in continental Europe in the 1990s is analysed. Sector-level data from the OECD's International Sectoral Data Base (ISDB) are used. Econometric estimates of an investment function indicate structural instability in the early 1990s and, specifically, a break in the coefficient linking the growth of capital stock to demand. This result neither seems to be related to non-linearities in the relationship between capital formation and expected demand, nor to the sectoral composition of European economies. Evidence is found that the drop in the accelerator is at least partly attributable to greater demand uncertainty in the 1990s as compared with the earlier period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 79-89 Issue: 1 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210158958 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210158958 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:1:p:79-89 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haiwei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Haiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Honghui Chen Author-X-Name-First: Honghui Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Nicholas Valerio Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Valerio Title: The effects of trading halts on price discovery for NYSE stocks Abstract: This article uses intraday data for the year 1992 to investigate the effect of trading halts on price discovery for stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange. The results show that the degree of benefits from trading halts depends on the types of halts and significance of the news items. It is found that trading halts reduce price dispersion when trading is halted due to imbalance in order flows. Such a positive effect is robust to the significance of news items. Trading halts can help price discovery when trading is halted due to the fact that some significant news items already hit the market and investors need more time to digest the impacts on price. In contrast, when officials call for the halt due to the pending news release with little significance, trading halts actually inject more noise into the prices and undermine the price discovery process. Overall, the results are consistent with the argument by exchanges that trading halts help dissipate information and facilitate the price discovery process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 91-97 Issue: 1 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210161846 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210161846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:1:p:91-97 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: Savings and investment in Australia Abstract: It has become popular to advocate tax reduction on the basis of promoting savings, investment and ultimately economic growth. The linkage between the variables is argued by various neoclassical growth models and is further suggested by recent studies which highlight the close association between domestic saving and investment rates. The close association may allow for polices which alter domestic saving levels in order to alter domestic investment levels. This interpretation, however, presumes an endogenous investment response. Equally likely, theoretically, is that the close association is maintained by movements in national savings. The present paper explicitly examines the endogeneity of the Australian saving and investment rates. The results highlight the exogeneity of investment. The results further suggest an endogenous response on the part of Australia's saving rate. The results may limit the potential benefits of these tax changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 99-106 Issue: 1 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000015928 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000015928 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:1:p:99-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Calza Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Calza Author-Name: C. Gartner Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Gartner Author-Name: J. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Modelling the demand for loans to the private sector in the euro area Abstract: This article studies the determinants of loans to the private sector in the euro area. Using the Johansen methodology, the study identifies one cointegrating relationship linking real loans, GDP and interest rates. This relationship implies that in the long-run real loans are positively related to real GDP and negatively to real short-term and long-term interest rates. Both the signs and the magnitude of the coefficients suggest that the cointegrating vector describes a long-run demand equation. The short-run dynamics of the demand for euro area real loans is subsequently modelled by means of a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). A number of specification tests performed on the VECM produce satisfactory results, with tests of stability of the model parameters showing no signs of structural breaks during the sample period (1980: 1-1999: 2). All of this suggests that developments in real loans to the private sector in the euro area can be reasonably explained by the model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 107-117 Issue: 1 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210161837 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210161837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:1:p:107-117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Strong dependence in the real interest rates Abstract: The stochastic behaviour of the real interest rates in ten European countries, Canada and the US is examined in this article by means of fractionally integrated techniques. Using a procedure, specifically designed for testing I (d) statistical models, the results show that the real interest rates are more persistent in some countries like France, Belgium or the USA than in others like the UK or Germany. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 119-124 Issue: 2 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210161855 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210161855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:2:p:119-124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Priniti Panday Author-X-Name-First: Priniti Author-X-Name-Last: Panday Title: Incidence theory and the shifting of protection across sectors: the South Asian experience Abstract: Using the theoretical framework of a simple general equilibrium model, this paper examines whether strategies aimed at protecting or promoting manufacturing industries indirectly taxed the agricultural and service sectors. A panel data set consisting of five South Asian countries over a 26 year time period is employed in the analysis. Three different estimation procedures are used to account for factors that are country specific and those that are common to all countries. The results indicate that the agricultural sector indirectly felt the brunt of the net protection provided to manufactures due to the 'shifting of protection' across sectors. The service sector, on the other hand, indirectly benefited from the general equilibrium spillover effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 125-132 Issue: 2 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000015892 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000015892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:2:p:125-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elisabetta Strazzera Author-X-Name-First: Elisabetta Author-X-Name-Last: Strazzera Author-Name: Riccardo Scarpa Author-X-Name-First: Riccardo Author-X-Name-Last: Scarpa Author-Name: Pinuccia Calia Author-X-Name-First: Pinuccia Author-X-Name-Last: Calia Author-Name: Guy Garrod Author-X-Name-First: Guy Author-X-Name-Last: Garrod Author-Name: Kenneth Willis Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Willis Title: Modelling zero values and protest responses in contingent valuation surveys Abstract: In contingent valuation surveys the category of zero bidders refers to individuals that are not willing to pay anything for the programme under analysis. Specific questions can help to identify true zero values, coming from people that are indifferent to the programme, separately from protest responses: the latter are generally excluded from the analysis. This paper introduces a mixture-sample selection model that takes into account both zero values and protest responses in the estimates. The model is applied to the valuation of a traffic calming scheme aimed at reducing risks for residents in three villages in the north-east of England. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 133-138 Issue: 2 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000015900 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000015900 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:2:p:133-138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: Monetary dynamics: a market approach Abstract: The behaviour of the short-run responses implied by the identification of a long-run money demand relationship is examined. These responses have recently been interpreted as representing the policy stance of the monetary authority. However, as movements in the monetary aggregate reflect both demand and supply adjustments, estimating the short-run dynamics solely within the money demand relationship may produce biased results. In order to address this issue, the paper explicitly acknowledges the importance of the supply of money function by including the function alongside the demand for money function. While the interaction of the two equations continues to produce the long-run quantity theory result, the additional detail provides more accurate estimates of the individual short-run adjustments within the two equations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 139-152 Issue: 2 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000015955 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000015955 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:2:p:139-152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantinos Giannakas Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Giannakas Author-Name: Kien Tran Author-X-Name-First: Kien Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Author-Name: Vangelis Tzouvelekas Author-X-Name-First: Vangelis Author-X-Name-Last: Tzouvelekas Title: Predicting technical effciency in stochastic production frontier models in the presence of misspecification: a Monte-Carlo analysis Abstract: This paper provides a theoretical explanation for the sensitivity of technical efficiency measures to the choice of functional specification in stochastic production frontier models. It is shown that inappropriate functional specifications translate into a misspecification in the conditional mean of the stochastic frontier regression model. This misspecification, in turn, results in estimates of technical efficiency, confidence intervals and production elasticities being biased, even asymptotically. Monte-Carlo simulations reveal that the severity of the bias depends on the functional specification and the percentage contribution of the variance of technical inefficiency to the total variance of the composed errors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 153-161 Issue: 2 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000015964 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000015964 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:2:p:153-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Harvey Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Harvey Author-Name: Stephen Leybourne Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Leybourne Author-Name: Paul Newbold Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Newbold Title: How great are the great ratios? Abstract: The balanced growth and neoclassical stochastic growth literatures imply stationarity of certain macroeconomic 'great ratios'. Four such ratios are considered: consumption:output, investment:output, the real interest rate and real money supply growth, and evidence for ratio stationarity in the G7 countries is examined. Univariate unit root and stationarity tests are performed, and analysis of the cointegrating relations between output, consumption and investment is conducted. Almost no evidence of stationarity is found for the consumption:output and investment:output great ratios. Empirical evidence supports real money supply growth stationarity, but is more mixed for the real interest rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 163-177 Issue: 2 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000015865 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000015865 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:2:p:163-177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. A. Scuffham Author-X-Name-First: P. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Scuffham Title: Economic factors and traffic crashes in New Zealand Abstract: The aim of this study was to examine the changes in the trend and seasonal patterns of fatal crashes in New Zealand in relation to changes in economic conditions between 1970 and 1994. The Harvey (Harvey and Durbin, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 149 (3), 187-227, 1986) Structural Time Series Model (STSM), an 'unobserved components' class of model, was used to estimate the quarterly number of fatal traffic crashes. Independent variables included distance travelled, the unemployment rate (UER), real gross domestic product per capita (RGDP), the proportion of motorcycles, the proportion of young males in the population, alcohol consumption per capita, the open road speed limit, and dummy variables for the 1973 and 1979 oil crises and seatbelt wearing laws. Distance travelled, RGDP, UER, and alcohol consumption per capita were significant factors in explaining the short-run dynamics of fatal crashes with the effect of RGDP greater than UER. Increases in either RGDP or UER were related with decreases in fatal crashes. The STSM is a feasible approach to modelling the effect of economic factors on traffic crashes whilst accounting for unobserved components. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 179-188 Issue: 2 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000017566 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000017566 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:2:p:179-188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maozu Lu Author-X-Name-First: Maozu Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Zhichao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhichao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Exchange rate reform and its inflationary consequences: an empirical analysis for China Abstract: In examining China's exchange rate policy in the reforming years, the study finds empirical evidence of its long-run inflationary consequences, but the effects appear not to be sizable. In the short run, while changes in the devaluation rate are positively correlated with the increase in the growth rate of inflation, the inflation inertia is also modest. The moderate inflationary cost of devaluations provides some explanation of the smooth transition of exchange rate policy regime in China and the authorities' ability to put more weight on external competitiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 189-199 Issue: 2 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000017575 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000017575 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:2:p:189-199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Author-Name: Shawn Forbes Author-X-Name-First: Shawn Author-X-Name-Last: Forbes Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: The effects of macroeconomic shocks on sector-specific returns Abstract: The reliance on market and sector-specific indexes to evaluate managed portfolios and the popularity of index investing has increased the importance of understanding what leads to market movements, how long they may last, and how different sectors respond to macroeconomic shocks. This research is concerned with how shocks to macroeconomic variables affect five major S&P sector-specific stock market indexes. The paper employs the newly developed econometric technique of generalized impulse response analysis. The results identify the various responses of the sectors to unanticipated changes in some key macroeconomic variables. Asset prices are commonly believed to react sensitively to economic news. Daily experience seems to support the view that individual asset prices are influenced by a wide variety of unanticipated events and that some events have a more pervasive effect on asset prices than do others. (Chen et al. 1986, p. 386) Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 201-207 Issue: 2 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000018222 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000018222 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:2:p:201-207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Justin Tobias Author-X-Name-First: Justin Author-X-Name-Last: Tobias Title: The effects of cognitive ability and high school quality on college entry decisions: nonparametric estimation of parameters of interest Abstract: The decisions to attend college are analysed and nonparametric predictions compared to those obtained from the widely used logit model. The impacts of measured cognitive ability and proxies for high school quality on the decisions to attend college are examined for a sample of white and black males and females from the USA. Two different parameters of interest which isolate the effects of ability and high school quality on college entry decisions are described and estimated by 'integrating out' the effect of other covariates. It is found that measured cognitive ability is an extremely important determinant of college entry for all race and gender groups. At the same point in the ability distribution, blacks are more likely to select into college than whites, and females more likely than males of the same racial group. Proxies for high school quality such as teacher education, student teacher ratios, school enrolment and library size are shown to have little or no effects on the likelihood of college entry for all race and gender groups. Further, predictions obtained from the flexible nonparametric analysis are found to be quite similar to those obtained from the logit model, suggesting that simpler fully parametric binary choice models perform quite well as modelling college entry decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 209-215 Issue: 2 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000018231 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000018231 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:2:p:209-215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdal Ozmen Author-X-Name-First: Erdal Author-X-Name-Last: Ozmen Author-Name: Kağan Parmaksiz Author-X-Name-First: Kağan Author-X-Name-Last: Parmaksiz Title: Exchange rate regimes and the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle: the French evidence Abstract: This paper investigates whether the Feldstein and Horioka (Economic Journal, 90, 314-329, 1980) argument on domestic saving-investment relationship is supported by the French data when an endogenous structural break corresponding to a major policy regime change is taken into account. The evidence suggests that the saving-investment cointegration disappears after the estimated endogenous structural break point in 1973 coinciding with the end of the Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates. Consistent with a current account targeting policy, an investment-driven saving process appears to be the case for the fixed exchange rate regime period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 217-222 Issue: 2 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684021000025397 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684021000025397 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:2:p:217-222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Filip Abraham Author-X-Name-First: Filip Author-X-Name-Last: Abraham Author-Name: Ellen Brock Author-X-Name-First: Ellen Author-X-Name-Last: Brock Title: Sectoral employment effects of trade and productivity in Europe Abstract: The impact of trade and technology in the European case is assessed. A framework is developed which incorporates employment effects of (i) export expansion (ii) import competition and (iii) labour-saving productivity improvements. In this context, evidence is found for the hypothesis that international trade induces adjustments in technology. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 223-238 Issue: 2 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210161828 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210161828 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:2:p:223-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean Mirucki Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Mirucki Title: Assessing editorial preferences towards Industrial Organization articles Abstract: In order to evaluate the relative importance of articles on Industrial Organization published in major generalist or specialized scientific journals, this empirical study has used the new 1991 JEL classification system, by regrouping contributions according to the type of article: theoretical analysis, industrial policy or industry studies. A rate of multiple reference index has been introduced to examine the degree of relation between these three categories and used as a proxy for editorial preferences towards the type of treatment of the subject usually expected by the journal. The article contents of nine generalist and five specialized journals are analysed for the two periods 1991-1995 and 1996-2000. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 239-243 Issue: 2 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210155159 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210155159 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:2:p:239-243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Cullinane Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Cullinane Author-Name: Dong-Wook Song Author-X-Name-First: Dong-Wook Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: A stochastic frontier model of the productive efficiency of Korean container terminals Abstract: A central objective of port privatization and/or deregulation policies is stimulating greater efficiency by engendering a more competitive market and commercial approach to management. Korea provides a prime example of a nation that is implementing such policies. Also, its ports play a pivotal role in world shipping, particularly in the ever-burgeoning container market. The success of these policies in increasing the productive efficiency of Korean container terminals is assessed. The UK container terminal sector provides a useful benchmark for comparison since privatization and deregulation have formed an integral part of UK port reforms for nearly 20 years and the effect on efficiency, having had time to mature, will be much easier to gauge. The stochastic frontier model is justified as the chosen methodology for estimating productive efficiency levels and is applied to cross-sectional data under a variety of distributional assumptions. A panel data model is also estimated. Results are consistent and suggest (1) The degree of private sector involvement in sample container terminals is positively related to productive efficiency and (2) Improved productive efficiency has followed the implementation of privatization and deregulation policies within the Korean sector. Even though not categorical, these conclusions are important because the market for container throughput is internationally competitive and if policies which promote competition between Korean container terminals lead to greater productive efficiency, this will inevitably make the sector as a whole more competitive internationally. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 251-267 Issue: 3 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210139355 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210139355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:3:p:251-267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thanos Mergoupis Author-X-Name-First: Thanos Author-X-Name-Last: Mergoupis Author-Name: Max Steuer Author-X-Name-First: Max Author-X-Name-Last: Steuer Title: Holiday taking and income Abstract: This paper is the first attempt to estimate the determinants of holiday-taking across several countries. To accomplish this a two-stage estimation procedure is employed which enables incongruous income categories to be transformed into a single income variable. It is found that in the mid-1980s there was a substantial similarity in the holiday taking behaviour of Europeans. The large national differences in holiday participation are explained by differences in income and demographic factors. A remarkable regularity in the responsiveness of the probability of holiday taking to marginal changes in income is found. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 269-284 Issue: 3 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210143071 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210143071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:3:p:269-284 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yaffa Machnes Author-X-Name-First: Yaffa Author-X-Name-Last: Machnes Title: Changes in mortality: gender and international comparisons Abstract: Changes in mortality risks are measured according to a statistical criterion. This criterion helps to identify the desired reduction in age-specific mortality risk. During the last four decades, a survey of 15 industrialized countries showed that changes in age-specific mortality rates pointed towards age groups whose reduction in mortality deviated from the optimal shift. Further observations showed consistent differences between the different gender groups and also found a country specific shift. This research found that richer countries displayed less systematic changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 285-291 Issue: 3 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210146672 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210146672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:3:p:285-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christine Richaud Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Richaud Author-Name: AristomEne Varoudakis Author-X-Name-First: AristomEne Author-X-Name-Last: Varoudakis Author-Name: Marie-Ange VEganzonEs Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Ange Author-X-Name-Last: VEganzonEs Title: Real exchange rate and openness in emerging economies: Argentina in the long run Abstract: Argentina's economic policies since the beginning of the century, give an interesting background to the study of Real Exchange Rate (RER) management in emerging countries. In this article, four types of RER overvaluation are identified. In the 1920s, Argentina provides a short example of overvaluation in a context of a fixed exchange rate policy. Moreover, the estimations show that import substitution regimes can lead to a misalignment of RER. Argentina illustrates also the difficult management of RER in a volatile environment. The results allow, in addition, to better understand the failure of the trade liberalization attempts of the country and remind that successfully integrating the world economy asks for an appropriate RER policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 293-303 Issue: 3 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2003.10106748 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2003.10106748 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:3:p:293-303 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nasiruddin Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Nasiruddin Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: Trade liberalization and endogenous growth of manufacturing industries in Bangladesh: an empirical investigation Abstract: Using the framework of an endogenous growth model, this paper empirically analyses the relation between trade policies and industrial growth in Bangladesh during the period 1974-1996. The cointegration and error correction modelling approaches have been applied. The empirical results suggest that there exists a unique cointegral relation between the index of industrial production and its major determinants of investment-GDP ratio, average share of exports in GDP and secondary school enrolment ratio. The short-term dynamic behaviour of Bangladesh's industrial production has been investigated by estimating an error correction model in which the error correction term has been found to be correctly signed and statistically significant. The findings of the study show that investment share in GDP, export share in GDP (lagged four quarters), secondary school enrolment ratio, and average collection of customs duty (lagged six quarters) have all emerged as significant determinants of industrial production in Bangladesh. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 305-314 Issue: 3 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/713932836 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/713932836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:3:p:305-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramon Guajardo Author-X-Name-First: Ramon Author-X-Name-Last: Guajardo Author-Name: Homero Elizondo Author-X-Name-First: Homero Author-X-Name-Last: Elizondo Title: North American tomato market: a spatial equilibrium perspective Abstract: This paper studies the North American tomato market in a world market perspective. For this purpose a spatial equilibrium model with endogenous prices is constructed and solved by quadratic mathematical programming method. Six scenarios involving the impacts from transportation costs, tariffs, and North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) were modelled. The solutions illustrate their impacts on production, consumption, trade flows, prices, and net social welfare. Due to NAFTA, Mexico became the main tomato exporter to the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 315-322 Issue: 3 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110101438 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110101438 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:3:p:315-322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Justo Manrique Author-X-Name-First: Justo Author-X-Name-Last: Manrique Author-Name: Kalu Ojah Author-X-Name-First: Kalu Author-X-Name-Last: Ojah Title: The demand for housing in Spain: an endogenous switching regression analysis Abstract: Housing demand in Spain has been studied by using data disaggregated into primary and secondary housing demands. It is found that demand for both types of housing area, indeed, related and that they are both considered necessities; thus, suggesting that their consumption ought to be modelled as a joint decision. Moreover, it is found that traditional determinants of housing demand affect primary and secondary home demands differently. These differences are attributable to the following economic rationales: need for asset holdings diversifications, relative high cost of home ownership versus rental in choice locations, and differences in land demand intensity across regions. In sum, the findings suggest that policy makers in Spain, contrary to popular beliefs, must consider secondary homes an integral part of households' accommodation need. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 323-336 Issue: 3 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110111149 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110111149 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:3:p:323-336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atsuo Utaka Author-X-Name-First: Atsuo Author-X-Name-Last: Utaka Title: Confidence and the real economy - the Japanese case Abstract: This paper empirically analyses whether consumer confidence has an effect on the real economy in Japan. This paper uses vector autoregressions including variables which represent consumer confidence. It is shown that in the cases of quarterly and monthly data, consumer confidence has a significant effect on GDP fluctuations, whereas in the case of semiannual data, it has no effect. In other words, consumer confidence has an effect on only short-term economic fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 337-342 Issue: 3 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210135205 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210135205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:3:p:337-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Isaac Brannon Author-X-Name-First: J. Isaac Author-X-Name-Last: Brannon Title: The effects of resale price maintenance laws on petrol prices and station attrition: empirical evidence from Wisconsin Abstract: The state of Wisconsin's Unfair Sales Act prevents the sale of any item below cost in order to attract business, and specifically requires petrol (gasoline) stations to mark up their prices by at least 6% over the wholesale price. While the ostensible reason for this law is to protect small, independent retailers and thus enhance competition, the evidence suggests that the primary result of this law has been to inflate the price of petrol for Wisconsin consumers and facilitate tacit collusion in retail petrol markets. Petrol prices in two major markets in the state are examined, as well as in one market outside of the state where no minimum markup is required. The data show that when the penalties for violating the Unfair Sales Act were strengthened, the average markup of retail petrol over the wholesale price increased significantly in Wisconsin without a commensurate change in the average markup in the market outside of Wisconsin. It is also found that price dispersion is significantly lower over a two-year period in the protected Wisconsin market than in the unprotected markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 343-349 Issue: 3 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210150857 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210150857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:3:p:343-349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imed Drine Author-X-Name-First: Imed Author-X-Name-Last: Drine Author-Name: Christophe Rault Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Rault Title: Do panel data permit the rescue of the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis for Latin American countries? Abstract: This paper tests empirically the Balassa-Samuelson (BS) hypothesis (i.e. rapid economic growth is accompanied by real exchange rate appreciation because of differential productivity growth between tradable and non-tradable sectors) using annual data for twenty Latin American countries. The paper applies new panel data unit-root tests proposed by Im et al. (Discussion paper, University of Cambridge, June 1997) and new panel data cointegration techniques suggested by Pedroni (Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1999) and the results are compared with those obtained with conventional time series unit-roots and cointegration tests. The main finding is that whereas a standard time series approach rejects the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis for 11 countries out of 20, new panel cointegration techniques permit the rescue of this hypothesis for Latin American countries, as well as for Central American and South American groups of countries considered separately. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 351-359 Issue: 3 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000015838 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000015838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:3:p:351-359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. Steinmann Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Steinmann Author-Name: P. Zweifel Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Zweifel Title: On the (in)efficiency of Swiss hospitals Abstract: The efficiency of hospitals is of interest to health insurers, government authorities and hospital management itself. However, econometric methods for determining (in)efficiency have severe drawbacks since hospitals are multiproduct firms and because the duality between production and cost functions cannot be assumed. In this work, non-parametric, deterministic data envelopment analysis (DEA) is used to measure the relative inefficiency of 89 Swiss hospitals covering the years 1993-1996 (310 observations). Special attention is given to the role of patient days in the production of health. The findings depend on whether patient days are viewed as an input of patient time or as an output, as in previous studies. While the probability of a unit being inefficient cannot be explained using the available data, the degree of overall inefficiency is shown to significantly depend on the financial incentives faced by management, in particular due to subsidization. Private hospitals do not seem to be less inefficient than public ones; however, this may be caused by their 'overusing' inputs that in fact are valued as amenities by patients. This consideration points to an important limitation in applying the purely quantitative criteria of DEA to hospitals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 361-370 Issue: 3 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210167183 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210167183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:3:p:361-370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russell Sobel Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Sobel Author-Name: S. Travis Raines Author-X-Name-First: S. Travis Author-X-Name-Last: Raines Title: An examination of the empirical derivatives of the favourite-longshot bias in racetrack betting Abstract: Market efficiency dictates it equally profitable to bet on any racing participant, including the favourite or longshot. However, a well-documented anomaly is that racetrack bettors tend to overbet longshots and underbet favourites. This study presents and tests two theoretical explanations for this favourite-longshot bias. The unparalleled richness of the data allows the exploration of how the bias changes with several key variables. This study finds the most popular current explanation for the bias, the risk preference model, cannot explain the data as well as an information-based model, in which the bias depends on bet complexity and the information possessed by bettors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 371-385 Issue: 4 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840110111176 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840110111176 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:4:p:371-385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marianne Sensier Author-X-Name-First: Marianne Author-X-Name-Last: Sensier Title: Inventories and asymmetric business cycle fluctuations in the UK: a structural approach Abstract: This paper investigates the movement of manufacturing inventories and production over the business cycle to arrive at an asymmetric structural equilibrium-correction model. Initially cross-correlation coefficients and deepness and steepness tests for skewness are utilized to present descriptive statistics of the time series. Cointegration analysis is performed on each disaggregate inventory by stage of production (finished goods, work in progress and raw materials) with a set of explantory variables. Restricted cointegration vectors are added to the symmetric and non-symmetric specifications of the structural equilibrium-correction model. These are compared by parameter constancy tests and one-step ahead forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 387-402 Issue: 4 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210128735 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210128735 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:4:p:387-402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Sylwester Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Sylwester Title: Changes in income inequality and the black market premium Abstract: Is a high black market premium for US dollars associated with rising or falling income inequality within a nation? This paper empirically examines this issue within a cross section of countries and finds that the black market premium is strongly associated with rising income inequality as measured by changes in the Gini coefficient. Others have used the black market premium as a proxy to measure protectionist policies so a possible implication is that protectionist policies further skew the distribution of income within a country. However, other measures of protectionist policies are not associated with changes in income inequality. Instead, other factors which might drive the black market premium such as interest rate differentials appear to be more relevant in explaining why the black market premium is positively related with increases in income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 403-413 Issue: 4 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210134530 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210134530 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:4:p:403-413 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Stein Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Stein Author-Name: Philip Mizzi Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Mizzi Title: An analysis of exotic wagers in a parimutuel setting Abstract: In US horse racing, there is increasing emphasis placed on the creation of exotic wagers - those bets beyond the standard win, place and show. Bets on multiple races that typically do not result in a winner for several days are of particular interest to the industry. The growing carryover pool helps attract people to the racetrack in a way similar to a growing carryover in the lottery attracts more people to participate. This article examines several multiple race bets and provides a framework for their comparative analysis. The results of the analysis will help racetrack management decide if a proposed bet is appropriate for their particular track. This analysis shows a tradeoff between the difficulty of winning the bet versus the amount of the ultimate payoff. If a bet is too easy to win, then the carryover pool will never reach an attractive level. If the bet is too difficult to win, then the bettors will lose interest before the carryover pool is able to grow sufficiently large. The amount of money wagered daily is an important consideration in determining the appropriate type of exotic wager to implement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 415-421 Issue: 4 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210140137 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210140137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:4:p:415-421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Mauser Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Mauser Author-Name: Dennis Maki Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Maki Title: An evaluation of the 1977 Canadian firearm legislation: robbery involving a firearm Abstract: The effect of the 1977 Canadian firearm legislation on robberies involving firearms is evaluated between 1974 and 1992 using a pooled cross-section, time series model. The results show that the 1977 legislation did not reduce robbery involving firearms, nor did it have a significant effect on the total robbery or armed robbery rates. The legislation may even have acted perversely in that it may have increased robberies with firearms. In general, these results are consistent with previous published findings but contrast with unpublished governmental studies. The implication that this legislation may have acted perversely is new and requires further investigation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 423-436 Issue: 4 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210143099 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210143099 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:4:p:423-436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Krishna Akikina Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Akikina Author-Name: Hamed Al-Hoshan Author-X-Name-First: Hamed Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Hoshan Title: Independence of monetary policy under fixed exchange rates: the case of Saudi Arabia Abstract: This study specifies a modified version of the monetary approach to the balance of payments (MABP) model with free capital flow and fixed exchange rates for Saudi Arabia, and tests the independence of monetary policy of its central bank using annual data from 1960 to 1994. Further, capital flight and speculative inventory behaviour of importers of consumer and capital goods in Saudi Arabia are also tested to the expected exchange rate depreciation during the periods of exchange turmoil against the riyal. The results of this study indicate that Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority has at best a weak control on its money supply which is in accord with one of the predictions of MABP theory. Further, the study found little support to the speculative inventory behaviour of the importers of consumer and capital goods in Saudi Arabia against exchange rate depreciation of the riyal. However, the results suggest that the expected change in exchange rate depreciation has a positive and a significant impact on capital flight in Saudi Arabia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 437-448 Issue: 4 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210148049 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210148049 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:4:p:437-448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salvator Nkunzimana Author-X-Name-First: Salvator Author-X-Name-Last: Nkunzimana Author-Name: H. Alan Love Author-X-Name-First: H. Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Love Author-Name: C. Richard Shumway Author-X-Name-First: C. Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Shumway Title: Mexican agricultural trade under the GATT Abstract: Expected effects from partially lifting tariff barriers on the Mexican agricultural sector are investigated using a restricted profit function (RPF) approach. Short-run and intermediate-run effects of the implementation of GATT minimum tariff provisions on Mexican agricultural trade are examined. Specification tests reveal the appropriateness of the RPF approach, that exports should not be aggregated with non-traded production into a single output, and that the farm sector behaves as an 'almost' price-taking, profit-maximizing firm. Policy simulations suggest important short-run changes in agricultural trade and chemical use and intermediate-run changes in agricultural trade, labour wage, chemical use, capital investments, and net farm income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 449-459 Issue: 4 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210148076 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210148076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:4:p:449-459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uma Kambhampati Author-X-Name-First: Uma Author-X-Name-Last: Kambhampati Author-Name: Ashok Parikh Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Parikh Title: Disciplining firms: the impact of trade reforms on profit margins in Indian industry Abstract: The paper analyses the effects of increased trade exposure on the profitability of firms in Indian industry. While trade reforms are often expected to decrease profit margins as firms struggle to compete in international markets, there is the possibility that increased competition may improve firm efficiency and provide a positive impetus to firm profitability. This paper is different from many others in this area in that it considers both these possibilities. An efficiency index is created to directly analyse the impact of changing efficiency levels on firm profit margins. Results indicate that liberalization significantly influenced profit margins. However, its main effect is through the impact that it has had on other firm variables - market shares, advertising, R&D and exports - all of which changed after 1991. While exports have had a pro-competitive effect on profit margins in the selected sample, AD and R&D both cause an increase in profit margins. It is also found that neither capital nor managerial capabilities (as proxied by remuneration) are particularly effective in increasing profit margins. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 461-470 Issue: 4 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210155177 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210155177 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:4:p:461-470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shunxiang Wu Author-X-Name-First: Shunxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Stephen Devadoss Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Devadoss Author-Name: Yaochi Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yaochi Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Estimation and decomposition of technical efficiency for sugarbeet farms Abstract: This study computes technical efficiency for Idaho sugarbeet farms and decomposes it into pure technical efficiency, scale efficiency, and congestion efficiency using nonparametric procedures. The results indicate that the average efficiency is 0.88 with 45% of the farms in the sample exhibiting full efficiency. Improper scale operation and input overutilization are the major sources of inefficiency for remaining farms. Technical efficiency is independent of farm size. A Tobit model was used to examine the impacts of variables such as farm size, specialization, tenancy position, hired labour, location, and managerial ability on efficiency. Inefficiency in sugarbeet production results in a shortfall of potential revenues not only for producers, but also for landlords and processors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 471-484 Issue: 4 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210161819 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210161819 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:4:p:471-484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. -W. Ho Author-X-Name-First: T. -W. Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Regime-switching properties of the optimal seigniorage hypothesis: the case of Taiwan Abstract: The optimal seigniorage hypothesis argues that the government will attempt to minimize the sum of social costs arising from the rate of inflation and taxation, which results in the testable prediction that inflation and rate of tax revenue will be positively correlated. This article empirically examines the regime-switching properties of this theory. Using quarterly data from Taiwan over 1961-2000 sampling periods, it finds that the optimal seigniorage hypothesis is weakly supported, and its explanatory power for the long-run inflation behaviour is weak. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 485-494 Issue: 4 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000015919 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000015919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:4:p:485-494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Freeman Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Freeman Title: Is health care a necessity or a luxury? Pooled estimates of income elasticity from US state-level data Abstract: This paper provides new evidence on the income elasticity of health care by combining stationarity and cointegration tests of health care expenditure and incomes with estimates of the cointegrating relationship between them. A recently updated dataset of health care expenditures and disposable personal income for the US states for the years 1966-1998 is used. The principal findings are that health care expenditures and incomes at the state level are non-stationary and cointegrated. Dynamic OLS cointegrating regressions of the pooled state time series estimate the income elasticity of health care at 0.817 to 0.844, well below unity, confirming that health care expenditure, even at the aggregate level, is a necessity good. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 495-502 Issue: 5 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210138374 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210138374 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:5:p:495-502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stathis Klonaris Author-X-Name-First: Stathis Author-X-Name-Last: Klonaris Author-Name: David Hallam Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hallam Title: Conditional and unconditional food demand elasticities in a dynamic multistage demand system Abstract: This paper estimates conditional and unconditional demand elasticities in a three stage analysis of consumer demand for food and non-food items in Greece. A dynamic version of the AIDS model is specified and estimated, and full system misspecification tests applied. Correction formulas for price and expenditure elasticities are used to calculate unconditional elasticities from conditional demand sub-systems. All food items rank as price inelastic. Deviations between the calculated conditional and unconditional price and expenditure elasticities are found to be significant, demonstrating the importance of correcting conditional elasticities before they can be used for policy purposes or welfare analyses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 503-514 Issue: 5 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210148058 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210148058 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:5:p:503-514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mathias Hoffmann Author-X-Name-First: Mathias Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffmann Title: Cross-country evidence on the link between the level of infrastructure and capital inflows Abstract: The relationship between public infrastructure and international capital flows is empirically investigated. Out of a sample of 30 countries a cross-sectional econometric model is constructed to estimate the effects. Different components of infrastructure variables are tested in relation to their impact on different kinds of external capital liabilities. The results suggest a positive relationship between the level of infrastructure and capital inflows. However, statistical significance cannot be established for all variables in question. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 515-526 Issue: 5 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000015874 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000015874 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:5:p:515-526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Milbourne Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Milbourne Author-Name: G. Otto Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Otto Author-Name: G. Voss Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Voss Title: Public investment and economic growth Abstract: This article uses an extension of Mankiw, Romer and Weil's augmented Solow-Swan growth model to examine whether public investment has a distinct role as a determinant of economic growth. It considers both the predictions of the model in steady state and in transition to steady state. For the steady state model, there is no significant effect from public investment on the level of output per worker. Using standard ordinary least squares (OLS) methods for the transition model, it observes a significant contribution to economic growth from public investment. When instrumental variables methods are used, however, the associated standard errors are much larger and the contribution of public investment is statistically insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 527-540 Issue: 5 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000015883 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000015883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:5:p:527-540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. Achy Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Achy Title: Parity reversion persistence in real exchange rates: middle income country case Abstract: This article investigates purchasing power parity (PPP) in the specific context of middle income countries. To circumvent the low power of traditional stationarity tests (Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Phillips-Perron tests), it performs variance ratio and fractional integration tests in addition to Perron's test that accounts for potential structural changes in real exchange rate processes. Beyond estimating half-life shocks to PPP, this article attempts to explain these estimates using a set of country specific variables as suggested by economic theory. The evidence suggests that reversion to parity tends to be faster in high inflation countries and that productivity improvement leads to a higher level of persistence. Openness to trade tends to reduce the extent of deviations from parity but this result does not appear to be statistically robust. Evidence shows also that deviations are less persistent under a fixed exchange rate regime and under unrestricted capital mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 541-553 Issue: 5 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000015937 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000015937 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:5:p:541-553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. H. Koning Author-X-Name-First: R. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Koning Title: An econometric evaluation of the effect of firing a coach on team performance Abstract: Firing the manager is a drastic measure employed by firms to deal with poor performance. However, data on within-firm dynamics are scarce, and the firing of individual managers is rarely recorded in the firm level data currently available. This makes the value of firing a manager difficult to assess. Data on sports offer a unique opportunity to study this phenomenon because the firing of a coach is usually well-publicized. Using data on soccer, the author evaluates the effect of the firing of a coach on team performance. As teams do not face the same opponents before and after a coach is fired, the issue of sample selectivity is addressed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 555-564 Issue: 5 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000015946 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000015946 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:5:p:555-564 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jarko Fidrmuc Author-X-Name-First: Jarko Author-X-Name-Last: Fidrmuc Author-Name: Andreas Worgotter Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Worgotter Author-Name: Julia Worz Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Worz Title: Does foreign policy determine foreign trade? Cointegration analysis of exports from selected countries to the Middle East Abstract: The paper analyses the relations between foreign policy and export performance. The paper deals with exports of selected European countries and the USA to Middle Eastern countries including Israel. Cointegration analysis is used to identify common stochastic trends in export series. A long-term relationship implies no significant influence of foreign policy differences on trade performance. According to the Johansen tests applied to bivariate and multivariate models, German, Austrian, Dutch and EU exports to Israel are cointegrated with the US exports, while Swiss exports are never cointegrated with the exports of these countries. This result confirms the importance of foreign policy in trade performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 565-571 Issue: 5 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000018196 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000018196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:5:p:565-571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sachiko Miyata Author-X-Name-First: Sachiko Author-X-Name-Last: Miyata Title: Household's risk attitudes in Indonesian villages Abstract: This paper estimates attitudes towards risk using data obtained through interviews of 400 households in villages in Indonesia. Participants were invited to play investment games in order to identify household risk attitudes. The game result supports the hypothesis of non-decreasing partial relative risk aversion. Using an ordered probit model, the determinants of risk attitude were investigated. The results show that the variable of co-residence is important: an individual living with his or her parents is less risk averse than an individual in a nuclear household. Co-residence can be viewed as a type of 'security blanket'. Partial relative risk aversion decreases with the level of education and wealth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 573-583 Issue: 5 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000020823 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000020823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:5:p:573-583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Loa Buchli Author-X-Name-First: Loa Author-X-Name-Last: Buchli Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Author-Name: Silvia Banfi Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Banfi Title: Estimating the benefits of low flow alleviation in rivers: the case of the Ticino River Abstract: In Switzerland 60% of electricity is produced by hydropower plants. The construction and operation of these plants determine some negative environmental externalities, such as diminishing groundwater levels and spring flows, and a reduction in river flow, which can severely curtail recreational and fishing activities. This study concentrates on an ex-ante appraisal of the monetary benefits resulting from an enhancement of river flow for recreational fishing purposes. A comparison of estimates of these benefits to the corresponding costs, in terms of loss of electricity production, incurred by hydropower plants to alleviate low flows may be useful for policy makers. For this analysis, as suggested by Layman et al. (Land Economics 72, pp. 113-128, 1996), the Travel Cost Method (TCM) is extended to estimate the economic value of recreational fishing in the Ticino River (the most important river of the Canton Ticino) under existing and hypothetical river flow conditions. Anglers were asked to state how the number of trips they took to the Ticino River would change if an increase in the river flow was imposed on the hydropower plants. The empirical results show that an enhancement of river flow increases the annual consumer surplus for a typical angler by approximately 440 SFr. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 585-590 Issue: 5 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000056797 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000056797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:5:p:585-590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayca Tekin-Koru Author-X-Name-First: Ayca Author-X-Name-Last: Tekin-Koru Author-Name: Erdal Ozmen Author-X-Name-First: Erdal Author-X-Name-Last: Ozmen Title: Budget deficits, money growth and inflation: the Turkish evidence Abstract: The paper investigates the long-run relationships between budget deficits, inflation and monetary growth in Turkey considering two alternative trivariate systems corresponding to the narrowest and the broadest monetary aggregates. While the joint endogeneity of money and inflation rejects the validity of the monetarist view, lack of a direct relationship between inflation and budget deficits makes the pure fiscal theory explanations illegitimate for the Turkish case. Consistent with the policy regime of financing domestic debt through the commercial banking system, budget deficits lead to a growth not of currency seigniorage but of broad money in Turkey. This mode of deficit financing, leading to the creation of near money and restricting the scope for an effective monetary policy, may not be sustainable, as the government securities/broad money ratio cannot grow without limit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 591-596 Issue: 5 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000025440 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000025440 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:5:p:591-596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Mcguinness Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Mcguinness Title: Graduate overeducation as a sheepskin effect: evidence from Northern Ireland Abstract: This article examines the nature of graduate overeducation amongst a group of applicants to a graduate conversion programme. It was found that while a substantial proportion of earnings differentials were associated with a mismatch between individual skill levels and job requirements, wage gaps were still likely to occur should such mismatches be eliminated. The evidence suggests that graduate wage levels are heavily related to sheepskin effects associated with the attainment of jobs with graduate level entry requirements. These sheepskin effects suggest that the process of job categorization is arbitrary in nature, with stated job requirements somewhat independent of actual skill requirements. The analysis suggests that graduate overeduction is better understood within the context of both skill and categorization mismatches as opposed to skill matches alone. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 597-608 Issue: 5 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000029284 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000029284 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:5:p:597-608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: I. A. Venetis Author-X-Name-First: I. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Venetis Title: Purchasing power parity over two centuries: trends and nonlinearity Abstract: In two recent contributions Lothian and Taylor, and Cuddington and Liang, produced empirical evidence that annual data for the dollar-sterling real exchange rate spanning two centuries exhibited a non-linear deterministic trend. This trend could be proxying Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson effects. Lothian and Taylor showed that a linear stationary autoregressive mode, which embodied a cubic trend, implied much faster mean reversion of the real exchange rate to shocks than a model that excluded the trend. This article shows that both non-linearity and a deterministic trend can be allowed for in a theoretically appealing manner and that the fitted models provide a parsimonious explanation of both the dollar-sterling and franc-sterling real exchange rates over the two centuries of data. Generalized impulse response function analysis of the models demonstrates that the speed of adjustment to shocks can be even faster when trends are considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 609-617 Issue: 5 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000035773 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000035773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:5:p:609-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Carruth Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Carruth Author-Name: Andrew Dickerson Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Dickerson Title: An asymmetric error correction model of UK consumer spending Abstract: This paper augments the Granger and Lee (Journal of Applied Econometrics, 4, 1989) non-symmetric error (equilibrium) correction model to assess the possibility that, in the aggregate, consumers respond differently to different types of disequilibrium error. This idea is illustrated using an Engle-Granger implementation of the Davidson, Hendry, Srba and Yeo (DHSY, Economic Journal, 80, 1978) model. The disequilibrium error is endogenously determined by the long-run, empirical model and a binary dummy variable captures two alternative states, above and below equilibrium spending. Interaction of the dummy variable with key variables in a short-run dynamic model of UK consumer spending augments the dynamics of the DHSY model. Income elasticities, inflation elasticities and speeds of adjustment are all seen to change significantly depending on whether the disequilibrium error is positive or negative, and is suggestive of asymmetric behaviour on the part of consumers. Moreover, the asymmetrically augmented model substantially outperforms a symmetric model with standard error improvements in excess of 50%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 619-630 Issue: 6 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000035782 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000035782 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:6:p:619-630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. J. C. Bacha Author-X-Name-First: C. J. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Bacha Title: The determinants of reforestation in Brazil Abstract: This article analyses the main determinants of reforestation in Brazil during the 1980s and 1990s. In the year 2000 Brazil had the sixth largest planted forests area in the world. The planted forests in Brazil saw a huge increase from 1960 to 1985. Since then, however, that stock has decreased, but the demand for roundwood continues to increase. That situation will result in a scarcity of roundwood from reforestation in Brazil in few years. The expected roundwood scarcity motivates an econometric study to compare market forces and economic policies in stimulating the reforestation in Brazil. Considering the main firms reforesting in Brazil, it can be pointed out that small and medium farmers have been planting forests while private or public programmes are present. Otherwise, large wood-based firms consider factors other than prices (such as their future demand for roundwood) to be more important in their planting decisions. Those results cast doubts about the efficiency of the market price system in solving the future scarcity of roundwood in Brazil. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 631-639 Issue: 6 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000035791 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000035791 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:6:p:631-639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dragan Miljkovic Author-X-Name-First: Dragan Author-X-Name-Last: Miljkovic Author-Name: Gary Brester Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Brester Author-Name: John Marsh Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Marsh Title: Exchange rate pass-through, price discrimination, and US meat export prices Abstract: Exports are becoming increasingly important for US livestock and poultry producers. Consequently, meat industry participants are concerned about the potential impacts of variations in relative currency values. These effects are considered by quantifying the impacts of relative exchange rates on US beef, pork and poultry export prices. In addition, the impacts of GATT and NAFTA agreements on exchange rate pass-through are considered. The results indicate incomplete exchange rate pass-through occurs for several countries. Trade liberalization under GATT has positively influenced US beef and poultry export prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 641-650 Issue: 6 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000035809 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000035809 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:6:p:641-650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christoph BOhringer Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: BOhringer Author-Name: Andreas LOschel Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: LOschel Title: Market power and hot air in international emissions trading: the impacts of US withdrawal from the Kyoto Protocol Abstract: Ten years after the initial Climate Change Convention from Rio in 1992 the industrialized world is finally likely to ratify the Kyoto Protocol, which will impose legally binding greenhouse gas emission reductions on the developed world. However, the Kyoto Protocol will enter into force without the USA, which withdrew under President Bush in March 2001. Accounting for hot air and market power of the Former Soviet Union on emission permit markets, it is shown that US withdrawal has important consequences on environmental effectiveness, compliance costs, and excess costs of market power under the Kyoto Protocol. Non-compliance of the USA implies a dramatic decrease in environmental effectiveness as well as compliance costs of OECD countries whereas the Former Soviet Union and transitional economies in Eastern Europe suffer from a huge decline in permit sales revenues. Excess costs of market power in permit trade increase in relative terms, but decline substantially in absolute terms due to US withdrawal. Policy options are quantified to bypass the problems of hot air and market power through compensation mechanisms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 651-663 Issue: 6 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684021000035818 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684021000035818 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:6:p:651-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Alleman Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Alleman Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Scott Savage Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Savage Title: Dominant carrier market power in US international telephone markets Abstract: An econometric model is used to examine market power in US international telephone markets. Lerner index estimates suggest AT&T's collection rate-cost margin was between 12% and 24% during 1991 to 1995. Although Lerner estimates imply deadweight welfare losses of up to US $261 million per annum, such losses are small compared to those from the inefficient pricing of international interconnection. Settlement rate-cost margins on US bilateral markets of approximately 89% translate into a US $4907 million transfer from consumers to carriers in 1995. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 665-673 Issue: 6 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000040957 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000040957 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:6:p:665-673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. L. Pandit Author-X-Name-First: B. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Pandit Author-Name: N. S. Siddharthan Author-X-Name-First: N. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Siddharthan Title: MNEs and market valuation of firms: a cross-sectional study of Indian electrical and electronic goods manufacturing firms Abstract: This paper argues that inter-firm differences in the direction of change in market valuation will depend mainly on the 'salience' and unique risk characteristics of the firms. These characteristics are largely influenced by mulinational enterprise (MNE) affiliation. The sample for the study consists of electrical and electronic manufacturing firms in India for 1994-1996. Maximum Likelihood Estimates of the Probit model show that even during a downswing in the stock market MNE affiliates were able to hold their own and increase their market valuation. These results hold good for a wide variety of products produced in this sector where both MNEs and local firms compete. The results have implications for theories relating to MNEs, stock market valuation and also for policy makers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 675-681 Issue: 6 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000042991 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000042991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:6:p:675-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Author-Name: Paola Prioni Author-X-Name-First: Paola Author-X-Name-Last: Prioni Title: The influence of ownership on the cost of bus service provision in Switzerland - an empirical illustration Abstract: In deregulated transport markets, a firm's ownership status and management system represent an important issue. Property right theory suggests that productivity and performance are higher in the private than in the public sector. In Switzerland, providers of bus transportation are traditionally corporations, though a large part of their equity shares are still held by the public sector (federal government, cantons, municipalities). This paper examines the potential impact of ownership on the cost of bus service provision for a sample of private, public and mixed bus companies in Switzerland. The estimation of a translog cost model has been considered for 34 bus transit companies observed over 5 years (1991-1995). The results only partially confirm that if the private sector holds shares in the company's capital, efficiency is enhanced. In addition, measures of economies of scale and density are derived and discussed within the actual public transport policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 683-690 Issue: 6 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000056788 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000056788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:6:p:683-690 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. E. Akinlo Author-X-Name-First: A. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Akinlo Author-Name: A. F. Odusola Author-X-Name-First: A. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Odusola Title: Assessing the impact of Nigeria's naira depreciation on output and inflation Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 691-703 Issue: 6 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000056823 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000056823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:6:p:691-703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Carbo Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Carbo Author-Name: E. P. M. Gardener Author-X-Name-First: E. P. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gardener Author-Name: J. Williams Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: A note on technical change in banking: the case of European savings banks Abstract: Using a Fourier flexible form cost function methodology, technical progress is estimated for a large sample of European savings banks between 1989 and 1997. On average, technical progress has reduced savings banks total costs by around 3.4% per annum. Since the European savings banks industry is characterized by technology sharing arrangements, a test is made to determine whether technical change is positively related to bank size. The estimates identify two important features of how technical progress has effected European savings banks' costs. First, costs reductions arising from technical change diminish between 1989 and 1997. Second, technical progress has a bigger impact on reducing large savings banks' costs, chiefly because of its influence on input prices, that is, non-neutral technical change increases systematically with size. This suggests that large savings banks have greater flexibility in reducing costs in response to technical progress, implying that technology sharing arrangements have not led to uniform reductions in banks' total cost. Rather, large savings banks are market leaders and small banks market followers. Since larger banks benefit more from technical progress this may be an important factor promoting consolidation in the European savings banks industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 705-719 Issue: 6 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000035836 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000035836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:6:p:705-719 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cuneyt Koyuncu Author-X-Name-First: Cuneyt Author-X-Name-Last: Koyuncu Author-Name: Donald Lien Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Title: E-commerce and consumer's purchasing behaviour Abstract: After its first exposure to the public in 1993, there has been a rapid increase in the use of the Internet for different purposes, particularly for electronic trade. In such a new trade area, there are a lot of issues to be addressed with regard to the consumer's purchasing behaviour. This study analyses the roles of sexual preference, primary place of online access, and online experience as well as demographic and economic factors on the consumer's purchasing decision. Moreover, this study investigates the impact of the potential and/or prevalent critical issues facing the Internet (e.g. taxation of services, privacy, censorship, etc.) on online orders. Surprisingly, sexual preferences have a large significant effect on online purchases. Gay and bisexual people are more likely to shop from the Internet than the other ones. The results, also, suggest that people with more online experiences in a more private and secure environment like home are disposed to order more from the Internet. In addition to that, only the issues of taxation of services and privacy have some statistically significant effects on online purchasing decisions. The former and latter have positive and negative impacts on online orders respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 721-726 Issue: 6 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000020850 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000020850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:6:p:721-726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosina Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Rosina Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno Author-Name: Enrique LOpez-bazo Author-X-Name-First: Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: LOpez-bazo Author-Name: Manuel ArtIs Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: ArtIs Title: On the effectiveness of private and public capital Abstract: This study assesses the effectiveness of private and public capital investments in the performance of manufactures within the framework of the duality theory. The response of costs of production and input utilization to changes in the stocks of private and public capital is measured by the appropriate elasticities obtained from a cost function. Instead of considering private capital either as a variable or fixed input on a priori grounds, its nature is checked, that is, the study discriminates between a long- and a short-run situation. The empirical exercise is made for the manufacturing industries in the Spanish regions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 727-740 Issue: 6 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/1350485032000066043 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/1350485032000066043 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:6:p:727-740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarlok Singh Author-X-Name-First: Tarlok Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Effects of exports on productivity and growth in India: an industry-based analysis Abstract: This study analyses the effects of exports on the level of output per capita using the panel estimates of an extended version of the Mankiw, Romer and Weil (The Quarterly Journal of Economics, CVII, 407-37, 1992) model, and on the total factor productivity using the time series estimators. The analysis is carried out for ten industries in the manufacturing sector in India. The results do not provide any evidence of convergence, and instead support the contrary evidence of divergence among industries. The exports do not induce convergence and instead seem to accentuate the process of divergence among industries. The study provides some evidence for the significant effects of exports on the level of output per capita and TFP in the manufacturing sector. The effects of exports on TFP are significant in half of the sample industries, while in the remaining half these are statistically insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 741-749 Issue: 7 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210139337 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210139337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:7:p:741-749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iris Claus Author-X-Name-First: Iris Author-X-Name-Last: Claus Title: Estimating potential output for New Zealand Abstract: One of the main indicators of inflationary pressures used by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is the output gap. An alternative to the Reserve Bank's incumbent measure of potential output is obtained using a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) methodology with long-run restrictions. The Reserve Bank's official measure of the output gap and the estimate obtained from the SVAR model tend to agree about the state of the cycle, especially during the 1970s and 1990s. However, during the 1980s, the period of economic reforms, they are more dissimilar. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 751-760 Issue: 7 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210155168 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210155168 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:7:p:751-760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rachel Connelly Author-X-Name-First: Rachel Author-X-Name-Last: Connelly Author-Name: Jean Kimmel Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Kimmel Title: Marital status and full-time/part-time work status in child care choices Abstract: Using recent SIPP data, this study estimates two econometric models to study the differences in the effect of child care costs on employment status and differences in the mode of child care used controlling for employment status. For both married and single women, full-time employment is more elastic with respect to changes in the price of child care than part-time employment and employment elasticities are larger for single than married mothers. In the model of child care modal choice, we find that an increased probability of full-time employment is associated with an increase in the use of centre care for both married and single mothers, and that price elasticities of modal choice are larger for single than married mothers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 761-777 Issue: 7 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000020841 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000020841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:7:p:761-777 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Patterson Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Patterson Author-Name: Saeed Heravi Author-X-Name-First: Saeed Author-X-Name-Last: Heravi Title: Weighted symmetric tests for a unit root: response functions, power, test dependence and test conflict Abstract: The most frequently applied test statistics for a unit root are the Dickey-Fuller tests, which are built into many econometric packages along with MacKinnon's empirical response functions. This article provides empirical response functions for some easy to compute alternative test statistics that are generally much more powerful than the Dickey-Fuller tests; specifically, these are the Dickey-Fuller tests and the weighted symmetric versions of the and tests. The empirical response functions presented here take into account adjustments for lag length in the maintained regression, and also extend the design of the simulation experiments compared to previous work. A second aspect of this study concerns the widespread practice in applied econometrics of using more than one test for the same feature without an assessment of the implications for the cumulative significance level and probability of test conflict. Tests for a unit root being are a leading example of this practice. Using the extended set of unit root tests considered here, the extent of test dependence is simulated and overall type one error calculated. Two empirical applications illustrate the key principles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 779-790 Issue: 7 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000030372 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000030372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:7:p:779-790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nathan Lael Joseph Author-X-Name-First: Nathan Lael Author-X-Name-Last: Joseph Title: Using monthly returns to model conditional heteroscedasticity Abstract: This empirical study examines the extent of non-linearity in a multivariate model of monthly financial series. To capture the conditional heteroscedasticity in the series, both the GARCH(1,1) and GARCH(1,1)-in-mean models are employed. The conditional errors are assumed to follow the normal and Student- t distributions. The non-linearity in the residuals of a standard OLS regression are also assessed. It is found that the OLS residuals as well as conditional errors of the GARCH models exhibit strong non-linearity. Under the Student density, the extent of non-linearity in the GARCH conditional errors was generally similar to those of the standard OLS. The GARCH-in-mean regression generated the worse out-of-sample forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 791-801 Issue: 7 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684021000088536 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684021000088536 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:7:p:791-801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Beneito Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Beneito Title: A complete system of Engel curves in the Spanish economy Abstract: The main goal of this article is the estimation of the consumption-income relationship along with socio-economic factors using cross section data from the Spanish Household Expenditure Survey 1991. The data has been grouped according to exogenous criteria to avoid the problem of null expenditure. First, a non-linear system of equation is estimated, from which the linear form that best fits the used data is tested. Finally, income elasticities are calculated considering three alternative formulations depending on how an initial income increment is distributed among consumers. Income elasticities are shown for the whole income distribution Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 803-816 Issue: 7 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000040948 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000040948 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:7:p:803-816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nedka Ivanova Author-X-Name-First: Nedka Author-X-Name-Last: Ivanova Author-Name: Philip Dawson Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Author-Name: John Lingard Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Lingard Title: Macroeconomic Impacts on Bulgarian Agriculture during Transition Abstract: An unstable and erratic macroeconomy in an economy in transition might be expected to affect agricultural performance. This is tested for Bulgaria between 1992 and 1997 using impulse response functions from a vector autoregressive (VAR) model. Despite data limitations, it is found that shocks to the foreign exchange rate and interest rate feed into farm prices and agricultural exports but equilibrium will be re-established within 5 years. Agricultural policies may not be sufficient to counteract the wider macroeconomic forces. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 817-823 Issue: 7 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000050595 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000050595 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:7:p:817-823 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdullahi Abdulkadri Author-X-Name-First: Abdullahi Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulkadri Title: Estimating risk aversion coefficients for dry land wheat, irrigated corn and dairy producers in Kansas Abstract: The risk attitudes of dry land wheat, irrigated corn, and dairy producers in Kansas are examined using the nonlinear mean-standard deviation approach. Results of analyses indicated that dryland wheat and dairy producers are characterized by increasing absolute and increasing relative risk aversion while irrigated corn producers are characterized by constant absolute and increasing relative risk aversion. Both crop enterprises exhibited constant returns to scale technology while the dairy enterprise exhibited decreasing returns to scale. Gross farm income was significant and positively related to relative risk aversion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 825-834 Issue: 7 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003648032000050612 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003648032000050612 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:7:p:825-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sharmistha Self Author-X-Name-First: Sharmistha Author-X-Name-Last: Self Author-Name: Richard Grabowski Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Grabowski Title: How effective is public health expenditure in improving overall health? A cross-country analysis Abstract: The primary emphasis of this paper is on seeking some justification for the worldwide phenomenon of increasing government involvement in health-care. The disability-adjusted-health-expectancy (DALE) rankings of countries in the World Health Report, 2000, ranked wealthier countries, with a typically large public sector involvement in health-care, higher on the list. Contrary to the possible implications for this ranking, this paper finds that the comparatively higher DALE in wealthier countries is not a result of greater public health expenditures. In the middle income and less developed countries, however, there is some evidence of effective public involvement in health-care. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 835-845 Issue: 7 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000056751 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000056751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:7:p:835-845 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dennis Leech Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Leech Author-Name: Miguel Manjon Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Manjon Title: Corporate governance and game theoretic analyses of shareholder power: the case of Spain Abstract: The definition and implementation of control is at the heart of the corporate governance debate. The paper approaches the issue by using power indices derived from the theory of cooperative games. An application to Spanish listed firms shows that incentives for large shareholders to form controlling blocs are high. In the Spanish system of corporate governance ownership concentration is therefore the main mechanism to mitigate agency problems between shareholders and managers. Moreover, these results suggest that the Shapley-Shubik index is not an appropriate measure of shareholder power. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 847-858 Issue: 7 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000026593 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000026593 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:7:p:847-858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evan Tanner Author-X-Name-First: Evan Author-X-Name-Last: Tanner Author-Name: Alberto Ramos Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ramos Title: Fiscal sustainability and monetary versus fiscal dominance: evidence from Brazil, 1991-2000 Abstract: Under a monetary dominant (MD) regime, the primary surplus adjusts to limit debt growth, permitting monetary policy to be conducted independently of fiscal financing requirements. In Brazil, some evidence favours an MD regime for 1995-1997, but not for the decade of the 1990s as a whole. While fiscal adjustments of 1999 yielded a primary surplus of about 3% of GDP, consistent with solvency, a credible MD regime would require further adjustments of the primary surplus if debt increases, growth falls, or interest rates rise. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 859-873 Issue: 7 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000056832 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000056832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:7:p:859-873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Taggert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Taggert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Title: A new criteria for selecting the optimum lags in Johansen's cointegration technique Abstract: Several test statistics like Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) or Schwarz Bayesian Criterion (SBC) are used to select the order of Vector Autoregressive Models (VAR) in Johansen's cointegration technique, but not the appropriate cointegrating vector in case of multiple vectors. In this note goodness of fit is introduced as a criterion to select the lag length as well as the appropriate vector simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 875-880 Issue: 8 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210129419 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210129419 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:8:p:875-880 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raul Ramos Author-X-Name-First: Raul Author-X-Name-Last: Ramos Author-Name: Miquel Clar Author-X-Name-First: Miquel Author-X-Name-Last: Clar Author-Name: Jordi Surinach Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Surinach Title: A dynamic analysis of asymmetric shocks in EU manufacturing Abstract: Available empirical evidence regarding the degree of symmetry between European economies in the context of Monetary Unification is not conclusive. This study offers new empirical evidence concerning this issue related to the manufacturing sector. Instead of using a static approach as most empirical studies do, the dynamic evolution of shock symmetry is analysed using a state-space model. The results show a clear reduction of asymmetries in terms of demand shocks between 1978 and 1996, with an increase in terms of supply shocks at the end of the period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 881-892 Issue: 8 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000018178 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000018178 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:8:p:881-892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vasco De Author-X-Name-First: Vasco Author-X-Name-Last: De Author-Name: A. Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Author-Name: Artur C. B. Da Silva Lopes Author-X-Name-First: Artur C. B. Da Silva Author-X-Name-Last: Lopes Author-Name: Luis Nunes Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Nunes Title: Instability in cointegration regressions: a brief review with an application to money demand in Portugal Abstract: This study addresses some modelling questions related to the possibility of structural change in models with nonstationary variables. Focusing on cointegration issues, some methodological aspects are discussed, attempting to integrate coherently the several steps of the modelling strategy. These range from unit root to cointegration testing and to testing for instability in the cointegration vector. An empirical example with Portuguese data tries to illustrate the usefulness of this approach, where a simple money demand function is estimated using an error-correction model (ECM). If a break is explicitly allowed in the cointegration vector the forecasting performance of the ECM improves. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 893-900 Issue: 8 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000018187 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000018187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:8:p:893-900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tao Wu Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Stylized facts on nominal term structure and business cycles: an empirical VAR study Abstract: This paper examines the importance of various macroeconomic shocks in explaining the movement of the term structure of nominal bond yields in the post-war USA, as well as the channels through which such macro-shocks influence the yield curve, using a structural Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model. The results show that the monetary-policy and the aggregate-supply shocks are important determinants of the nominal term structure. Moreover, the monetary-policy innovations have a large but transitory effect on the nominal bond yields, primarily by changing the slope of the yield curve, and the aggregate-supply shocks from private sector have a more persistent effect on the level of the yield curve, but have little effect on the slope of the yield curve. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 901-906 Issue: 8 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000018204 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000018204 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:8:p:901-906 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Thalheimer Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Thalheimer Author-Name: Mukhtar Ali Author-X-Name-First: Mukhtar Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Title: The demand for casino gaming Abstract: In this study an econometric model is developed to examine the determinants of the demand for casino gaming, specifically the demand for slot machine wagering at riverboats and racinos. In addition to examining the effects of traditional demand variables, the effect on wagering of variables such as location of a wagering facility and of government restrictions, is examined. A unique measure of accessibility of market area customers to a facility and to competing facilities was developed. The demand for wagering at a facility was found to increase as access by customers in its market area increases and to decrease as access by its customers to competing riverboats, racinos or Indian casinos increases. Government restrictions were found to have an adverse effect on wagering at a riverboat. On the other hand, wagering at a riverboat was found to increase when such restrictions were imposed on competing riverboats. The presence of total loss limits and restrictions on boarding times at a riverboat were found to have reduced wagering by 36% and 35%, respectively. With respect to traditional demand variables, slot machine wagering demand was found to be price elastic at the beginning of the sample period declining to slightly below unit elasticity by the end of the period. Table games offered at a gaming facility were found to be substitutes for slot machines. Demand was found to be negatively related to per capita income at lower income levels and positively related at higher income levels. The proportion of income wagered was found to be greater at upper and lower income levels relative to middle income levels. Demand was found to be positively related to days of operation and number of slot machines. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 907-918 Issue: 8 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000018259 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000018259 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:8:p:907-918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Othman Yong Author-X-Name-First: Othman Author-X-Name-Last: Yong Author-Name: Zaidi Isa Author-X-Name-First: Zaidi Author-X-Name-Last: Isa Title: Initial performance of new issues of shares in Malaysia Abstract: This paper presents the levels of under-pricing for new issues in a developing country, Malaysia, over a more recent period, January 1990-December 1998, than reported in prior studies. Three types of new issues were examined, namely public issue, offer for sale and combination or hybrid of offer for sale and public issue. Comparisons of initial return between types of new issues and between different board of listing were made. The results of independent t -tests for difference in mean initial returns indicate that, in general, there are significant differences in mean initial returns between types of new issues and between boards of listing. The results of step-wise regression reveal that on average, only over-subscription ratio contributes significantly to the initial returns. However, caution should be taken when interpreting the models formed because the Durbin-Watson rest indicate that some models are not free from problem of auto-correlation of the residuals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 919-930 Issue: 8 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000020869 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000020869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:8:p:919-930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashok Parikh Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Parikh Author-Name: Michiel Van Leuvensteijn Author-X-Name-First: Michiel Author-X-Name-Last: Van Leuvensteijn Title: Interregional labour mobility, inequality and wage convergence Abstract: The objectives of the paper are to examine the determinants of interregional labour migration for German regions using the data on gross flows of labour movements across regions. This is one of the few studies where data on labour migration is used. There also was a wage convergence after reunification between regions of East and West Germany and this to a certain extent provides an explanation for non-linear relationship between wage differences among regions and migration. As the study distinguishes the blue-collar and white-collar wage difference between regions, different relationships between migration and blue and white-collar workers' wage differences can be assessed. We also test the hypothesis whether highly skilled workers migrate to the regions where inequality is greater while less skilled workers tend to migrate to the regions where inequality is low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 931-941 Issue: 8 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000035827 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000035827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:8:p:931-941 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brent Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: The tax implications of cost shifting in cost-benefit analysis in mental health Abstract: This paper examines the tax implications of systems of care for psychiatric patients that rely more on the provision of services in the community rather than in state hospitals. State governments pay the costs of patient care in state hospitals, but share costs with the federal government (via Medicaid) for community based care. Taxes create distortions as gauged by the marginal cost of public funds (MCF). Since state and federal governments use different tax mixes, one needs a MCF for each form of government to evaluate system changes. Separate estimates of the MCF for each state in the USA are derived. Only for Alaska is cost shifting welfare improving. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 943-950 Issue: 8 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000040966 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000040966 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:8:p:943-950 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Harris Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Simon Feeny Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Feeny Title: Habit persistence in effective tax rates Abstract: This paper uses administrative data from the Australian Tax Office (ATO) to model the effective tax rates (ETRs) of large Australian corporates. The extent to which there is any habit persistence in ETRs is also examined. The results suggest that unobserved entity heterogeneity is important in explaining ETRs. In terms of observed heterogeneity, entity size, level of leverage, capital intensity, foreign income and R&D, are important explanators of ETRs. There is also evidence of a significant amount of habit persistence, implying that ETRs converge monotonically towards the statutory rate of corporation tax. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 951-958 Issue: 8 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003 684032000050577 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003 684032000050577 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:8:p:951-958 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cemal Berk O˛uzsoy Author-X-Name-First: Cemal Berk Author-X-Name-Last: O˛uzsoy Author-Name: Sibel Guven Author-X-Name-First: Sibel Author-X-Name-Last: Guven Title: Stock returns and the day-of-the-week effect in i-super-˙stanbul Stock Exchange Abstract: This study investigates the existence of the day-of-the-week effect on stock returns in the stanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) for the period between 1988 and 1999. ISE that was established in 1986 is a rapidly growing emerging market for which there are only a few studies that have been conducted and reported. Since emerging markets are becoming good diversification alternatives for international investors, the analysis of stock return behaviour of ISE will be of interest to all investors, domestic and foreign. With this purpose, both ISE National 100 Composite Index, and 30 stocks of ISE for which trade volume is the highest are analysed. The analysis of ISE National 100 Composite index reveals strikingly low Tuesday and dominantly high Friday returns, with return variances at their lowest on Fridays. It is also observed that for most of the stocks among the 30 highly traded stocks of ISE, maximum return is on Fridays whereas minimum return is either on Mondays or Tuesdays with return variances at their highest on Mondays. Moreover for all individual ISE-30 stocks, the day with the maximum return is one of the days after the day with the minimum return. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 959-971 Issue: 8 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000050586 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000050586 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:8:p:959-971 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Mccloughan Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Mccloughan Author-Name: Esmaiel Abounoori Author-X-Name-First: Esmaiel Author-X-Name-Last: Abounoori Title: How to estimate market concentration given grouped data Abstract: A novel method is proposed of estimating market concentration for the census case in which firms are grouped into size classes and all that is known about the firms in each category is their number and aggregate size. The formula arises as a way of applying an alternative expression for the concentration ratio based upon the original and first moment size distributions of firms. The semi-parametric technique, which includes a method of interval as well as point estimation, is derived, applied and validated using actual and simulated data. It is anticipated that the estimator will be of use in competition analysis as well as in academic research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 973-983 Issue: 8 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003648032000050603 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003648032000050603 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:8:p:973-983 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: The relative adjustment of wages and prices: direct tests within a multiple-equation system Abstract: In order to assess the relative rigidity of the aggregate price level and the nominal wage rate most researchers have focused on the implied behaviour of the real wage rate in response to a purely demand disturbance. The present work examines the explicit behaviour of the two variables and is therefore able to analyse the variables' short-run responses within the context of their defined long-run behaviour. While the paper reports evidence of long-run stability in the real wage rate, additional evidence is presented which supports both sticky-price and sticky-wage models. The determining factor is the choice of lag. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 985-997 Issue: 8 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000056779 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000056779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:8:p:985-997 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Wildman Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Wildman Author-Name: Hugh Gravelle Author-X-Name-First: Hugh Author-X-Name-Last: Gravelle Author-Name: Matthew Sutton Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Sutton Title: Health and income inequality: attempting to avoid the aggregation problem Abstract: Attempts to test the relative deprivation hypothesis, that income inequality affects individual health, are subject to the aggregation problem. Waldmann (Quarterly Journal of Economics 107, 1992) ingeniously attempts to overcome the difficulty by using income data for the poor and the share of income accruing to the rich. The study finds that his results do not hold for a more recent data set and it suggests that his method may not overcome the aggregation problem. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 999-1004 Issue: 9 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000056805 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000056805 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:9:p:999-1004 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Ioannidis Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Ioannidis Author-Name: Mick Silver Author-X-Name-First: Mick Author-X-Name-Last: Silver Title: Chained, exact and superlative hedonic price changes: estimates from microdata Abstract: Scanner data are used to calculate chained, exact (and superlative) hedonic price indexes for television sets. The data source is available for a wide range of goods, the application providing an example of how this method can be more widely applied. The indexes correspond to constant utility, hedonic cost-of-living indexes. The approach improves on the existing direct method, which takes its estimates directly from the coefficients on time dummies in a hedonic regression. It also improves on the matched model method used by statistical agencies. The differences between actual price changes and exact hedonic quality-adjusted price changes are found to be substantial. Base-period and current-period weighted exact hedonic indexes are similar, thus providing good approximations to a superlative index. Estimates from the direct, dummy variable approach were compared to the superlative indexes. The disparities between the results argue for caution in the use of the direct, dummy variable approach to estimating quality-adjusted price changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1005-1014 Issue: 9 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000056814 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000056814 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:9:p:1005-1014 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hali Edison Author-X-Name-First: Hali Author-X-Name-Last: Edison Author-Name: Torsten Sløk Author-X-Name-First: Torsten Author-X-Name-Last: Sløk Title: The impact from changes in stock market valuations on investment: new economy versus old economy Abstract: This paper investigates whether there is a different impact from changes in 'new' and 'old' economy stock valuations on private investment for seven OECD economies. A vector autoregressive model is estimated for each individual country, using quarterly data over the period 1990-2000. It is found that the impact from changes in valuations of new economy stocks to investment is roughly the same in North America and in the United Kingdom as in continental Europe. By contrast, the impact from changes in old economy stock valuations on investment is, in general, larger in North America and in the United Kingdom than in continental Europe. Finally, the results suggest that in continental Europe the impact on investment from changes in the valuation of new economy stocks is bigger than for old economy stocks, whereas for North America and the United Kingdom, the impact is more similar. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1015-1023 Issue: 9 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000066697 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000066697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:9:p:1015-1023 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Eakins Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Eakins Author-Name: Liam Gallagher Author-X-Name-First: Liam Author-X-Name-Last: Gallagher Title: Dynamic almost ideal demand systems: an empirical analysis of alcohol expenditure in Ireland Abstract: This paper presents a dynamic form of the Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS). Three versions of the static AIDS model are employed to determine the preferred long-run equilibrium model and represents the short-run dynamics by an error correction mechanism. This estimation procedure is then applied to alcohol expenditure in Ireland. The estimated point elasticities are consistent with previous studies and a priori expectations. Beer and spirits are found to be price inelastic in both the short and long run. While wine is price inelastic in the short run and price elastic in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1025-1036 Issue: 9 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000066796 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000066796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:9:p:1025-1036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Swarnjit Arora Author-X-Name-First: Swarnjit Author-X-Name-Last: Arora Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Gour Goswami Author-X-Name-First: Gour Author-X-Name-Last: Goswami Title: Bilateral J-curve between India and her trading partners Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1037-1041 Issue: 9 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000102172 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000102172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:9:p:1037-1041 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez Author-Name: Yiagadeesen Samy Author-X-Name-First: Yiagadeesen Author-X-Name-Last: Samy Title: Analysing the effects of labour standards on US export performance. A time series approach with structural change Abstract: The empirical effects of different measures of labour standards on the export performance of the United States are analysed using annual data for the period 1950-1998, applying a time series approach based on the structural change literature. Hence, a model with endogenous breaks is estimated following the methodology proposed by Bai and Perron (Econometrica, 66, 47-78, 1998). The results show that the labour standards, represented by the number of hours worked, the rate of occupational injuries and the unionization rate, are all very important to explain the behaviour of exports for the United States. In particular, it is found that low labour standards may both improve or lead to a deterioration in export performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1043-1051 Issue: 9 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000079161 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000079161 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:9:p:1043-1051 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carol Newman Author-X-Name-First: Carol Author-X-Name-Last: Newman Author-Name: Maeve Henchion Author-X-Name-First: Maeve Author-X-Name-Last: Henchion Author-Name: Alan Matthews Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Matthews Title: A double-hurdle model of Irish household expenditure on prepared meals Abstract: In this paper, Irish households' expenditure on prepared meals for home consumption is analysed using the 1987 and 1994 Irish Household Budget Survey datasets. The aim of the paper is to analyse the factors influencing Irish households' decisions to purchase prepared meals and how much to spend on these food items. This is done using the double-hurdle methodology adjusted for the problems of heteroscedasticity and non-normality. Income elasticities are estimated for household expenditure on prepared meals in both years and significant socioeconomic influences are identified. These socioeconomic factors are assumed to underpin the tastes and preferences of Irish households, with convenience identified as a significant preference of many household groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1053-1061 Issue: 9 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000079170 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000079170 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:9:p:1053-1061 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Walter Enders Author-X-Name-First: Walter Author-X-Name-Last: Enders Author-Name: Gary Hoover Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Hoover Title: The effect of robust growth on poverty: a nonlinear analysis Abstract: Previous research has shown that economic growth should help to reduce the rate of poverty. However, a number of recent studies have found that the economic expansion of the 1980s had no statistically significant effect on aggregate poverty. It is shown that both a Threshold regression and a Fourier approximation provide a better empirical model of poverty than the standard linear model. It is noteworthy that the nonlinear specifications show a large and significant effect on poverty of the 1980s expansion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1063-1071 Issue: 9 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000080871 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000080871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:9:p:1063-1071 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karen Gerard Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Gerard Author-Name: Marian Shanahan Author-X-Name-First: Marian Author-X-Name-Last: Shanahan Author-Name: Jordan Louviere Author-X-Name-First: Jordan Author-X-Name-Last: Louviere Title: Using stated preference discrete choice modelling to inform health care decision-making: A pilot study of breast screening participation Abstract: This study was an important start to explore the feasibility of applying stated preference discrete choice modelling (SPDCM) for use in developing breast screening participation enhancement strategies. It needs to be followed by further research to establish model validity and authoritative results. In the meantime a random effects binary probit choice model was estimated using a main effects with selected 2-way interaction design and a convenience sample of Australian breast cancer screening participants. A response rate of 48% was obtained. Clear preferences for different service configurations were revealed and used to demonstrate how potential strategies to enhance future participation rates of women placed on routine recall could be identified. As anticipated accuracy of screening was the most important attribute of the service to influence the probability of uptake but others were screening time, travel time, information about screening benefits and the desire for privacy lending support to the view that benefit assessment goes beyond health factors. In summary, the SPDCM approach can be regarded as a judicious approach for helping decision-makers improve screening participation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1073-1085 Issue: 9 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000081348 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000081348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:9:p:1073-1085 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Isabel Campos Author-X-Name-First: M. Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Campos Author-Name: Zenon Jimenez-Ridruejo Author-X-Name-First: Zenon Author-X-Name-Last: Jimenez-Ridruejo Title: Were the peseta exchange rate crises forecastable during target zone period? Abstract: During the 1990s several fixed or quasi-fixed exchange rate systems collapsed. Currency crises have happened in both developed and emerging countries so it is necessary to forecast and avoid them. However, financial market crises have been extremely difficult to forecast. Economic agents' expectations are nonobservable variables that cannot be ignored in the models. In addition, if it is required to study the European case during the 1990s, the censored disposition of the exchange rate cannot be ignored either. A discrete time target zones model is proposed where these aspects are taken into account. It will be tested in a peseta/deutsche mark exchange rate framework, from June 1989 to December 1998. The results indicate differences between before and after the shift in band widths in August 1993. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1087-1099 Issue: 9 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000081320 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000081320 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:9:p:1087-1099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helen Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: Are you experienced? British evidence on age-earnings profiles Abstract: Using UK data, evidence is provided that the widely used quadratic earnings function may fare badly as indicated by recent work in the USA. Using data from pooled time series of cross-sections from the General Household Survey the suitability of the quadratic specification alongside higher order polynomials is investigated on samples of men and, for the first time in work of this type, women working full-time. It is found that the quadratic specification understates earnings growth at low levels of experience, especially for those workers with few formal qualifications. The usage of higher order polynomials provides a better fit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1101-1115 Issue: 9 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000082059 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000082059 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:9:p:1101-1115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Leybourne Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Leybourne Author-Name: Paul Newbold Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Newbold Title: Spurious rejections by cointegration tests induced by structural breaks Abstract: The effects on three cointegration tests are examined when the series analysed are independent integrated processes, each with a structural break. Although there are differences in detail among the tests, the results indicate in all cases that, when structural breaks are neglected in the analysis, spurious rejections, indicating the presence of cointegration, can occur. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1117-1121 Issue: 9 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0203684032000082068 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0203684032000082068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:9:p:1117-1121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Young-Han Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young-Han Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: International policy coordination for financial market stability in the Asian economies Abstract: Based on the understanding of financial crisis as the self-fulfilling crisis of speculators belief system, this paper examines the feasibility of introducing the Tobin tax system to reduce financial volatility in the Asian foreign exchange markets. The model analysis in this paper provides the following policy implications. To reduce the motivation to deviate from the policy coordination, it is required to allow all tax revenues to collecting countries, especially to Singapore and Hong Kong. Even without the participation of the major western countries, the start of the tax policy coordination in the Asian region can have significant signalling effects to reduce speculative motivation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1123-1132 Issue: 10 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210161800 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210161800 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:10:p:1123-1132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Maeso-Fernandez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Maeso-Fernandez Title: A time series approach to g convergence Abstract: This paper applies time series analysis to study how the gap between a number of countries and the USA evolves through time. As other authors, it is found that time series analysis provides a better insight into the concept of convergence than the cross sectional one. The econometric results show that the stochastic behaviour of the output disparity varies considerably: neither the steady-state equilibrium nor the speed of convergence are unique and constant across countries and time. In general, there is catching up for European countries, convergence for East and South Asian countries, and neither of them for Latin American countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1133-1146 Issue: 10 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000026584 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000026584 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:10:p:1133-1146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Anthony Rezitis Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Rezitis Title: An examination of Okun's law: evidence from regional areas in Greece Abstract: This paper estimates Okun's coefficient for certain regional areas in Greece over the period 1960-1997. Through the Hodrick-Prescott filtering and the band-pass filtering the empirical analysis shows that that the coefficients do not exhibit substantial interregional differences, except for the cases of Epirus and North Aegean Islands. In these two cases, the estimates are larger than the regional average under both detrending methodologies. The empirical findings also show that Okun's relationship undergoes a structural change in 1981. After this break, unemployment becomes less responsive to output changes in all regional areas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1147-1151 Issue: 10 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000066787 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000066787 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:10:p:1147-1151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Jowett Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Jowett Title: Do informal risk sharing networks crowd out public voluntary health insurance? Evidence from Vietnam Abstract: Many governments in low-income countries have promoted voluntary health insurance schemes in recent years, with the principal aim of improving access to services amongst those working in the informal economy. Few attempts to understand demand for such schemes exist, particularly in light of the importance of informal social security arrangements for many households. A model of demand for health insurance is developed reflecting this context, and estimated using data from Vietnam. The results show that informal financial networks may crowd out government promoted health insurance. Implications for theory and policy are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1153-1161 Issue: 10 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000079152 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000079152 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:10:p:1153-1161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Zuehlke Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Zuehlke Title: Estimation of a Tobit model with unknown censoring threshold Abstract: Conventional wisdom suggests that only the estimated intercept is affected by imposition of a zero censoring threshold on a Tobit model. This is true for Heckman-Lee estimation. For maximum likelihood (ML) estimation, however, it is only true if the censoring threshold is known and is subtracted from the dependent variable. Failure to properly transform the dependent variable prior to ML estimation of a zero threshold Tobit model will generally bias the coefficient estimates. A long neglected topic is ML estimation of a Tobit model with common, but unknown, censoring threshold. This paper shows that the ML estimator of the censoring threshold is the minimum order statistic from the observed subsample, and that existing software for estimation of a zero-threshold Tobit model is easily adapted to include estimation of the censoring threshold. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1163-1169 Issue: 10 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000081339 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000081339 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:10:p:1163-1169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia Augier Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Augier Author-Name: Michael Gasiorek Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Gasiorek Title: The welfare implications of trade liberalization between the Southern Mediterranean and the EU Abstract: The impact on the Southern Mediterranean Countries (SMC) of the current process of trade liberalization with the European Union is explored. The methodology is that of computable general equilibrium modelling under imperfect competition and the model includes ten countries and 11 sectors. This allows for both a cross-country and cross-sectoral analysis of the results. The experiments considered are the full liberalization of tariffs, as well as changes in market access and trade-induced changes in productivity. A key feature of the paper is that the phased introduction of tariff reductions is allowed for as explicitly envisaged in the Agreements. The results show that the process of liberalization may have a substantial, though non-monotonic, impact on the SMC economies in terms of both changes in production and through this on welfare. The welfare impact is potentially very high in particular for the high tariff economies. The sources of the welfare gain tend to derive from perfectly competitive explanations of trade for the high tariff economies, and from imperfectly competitive explanations of trade for the low tariff economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1171-1190 Issue: 10 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000081311 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000081311 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:10:p:1171-1190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Q. Weninger Author-X-Name-First: Q. Author-X-Name-Last: Weninger Author-Name: I. E. Strand Author-X-Name-First: I. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Strand Title: An empirical analysis of production distortions in the mid-Atlantic surf clam and ocean quahog fishery Abstract: This paper presents empirical evidence of production distortions under controlled access management in the Mid-Atlantic surf clam and ocean quahog fishery. Results indicate that vessels harvested multiple clam species even though the harvest technology exhibits diseconomies of scope. Vessels also operated in a region of the production surface where the marginal product of vessel capital services was negative. These distortions are explained by perverse regulations which restricted vessel capital replacement and severely limited fishing times. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1191-1197 Issue: 10 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000086073 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000086073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:10:p:1191-1197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cohn Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cohn Author-Name: Bharat Kolluri Author-X-Name-First: Bharat Author-X-Name-Last: Kolluri Title: Determinants of household saving in the G-7 countries: recent evidence Abstract: This paper employs data from the last four decades to analyse major determinants of household saving for the Group of Seven (G-7) nations. Particular attention is paid to the effects of interest rates, government saving, and social security contributions. Regression analysis is used to control for the effects of both the level and changes in income per capita and inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1199-1208 Issue: 10 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000090645 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000090645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:10:p:1199-1208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Armando Barrientos Author-X-Name-First: Armando Author-X-Name-Last: Barrientos Title: The labour market and economic risk: 'friend' or 'foe'? Abstract: This paper examines the twofold role of the labour market in household economic risk management: as a source of household consumption risk, and as an instrument for insuring consumption against contingencies. It outlines a framework for analysing this twofold role of the labour market, and uses data from the British Household Panel Survey 1991-1996 to explore this empirically. It identifies the relative importance of the labour market, and other factors, in producing changes in the financial situation of individuals. It also implements 'full insurance' tests of whether unemployment and other external shocks to the household are correlated with consumption growth. It concludes that labour market factors are a dominant source of change in individuals financial situation, with a predominantly positive effect on the financial situation of the better off, and a predominantly negative impact on the financial situation of the less well off. It also finds that households are unable to fully insure their consumption against unemployment, and that as a result labour market factors pose a significant economic risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1209-1217 Issue: 10 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000090672 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000090672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:10:p:1209-1217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samarjit Das Author-X-Name-First: Samarjit Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: Modelling money, price and output in India: a vector autoregressive and moving average (VARMA) approach Abstract: The present study has two purposes. First, the study examines the most substantive and debatable question: Is there any long-run relationship among money, price and output? It has been found by applying different tests of cointegration that there is no long-run relationship among these three variables in cointegration sense. Second, having ascertained that the variables under study are not cointegrated, an attempt is made to explore the short-run relationship among money, price and output exploiting the characteristics of the Vector Autoregressive and Moving Average (VARMA) model. Sub-set concept has been used to identify the best-fitted VARMA model. The paper concludes the following: (i) both money and price affect each other and there exists bi-directional causality; (ii) output affects price and there is also feedback between price and output; and (iii) money unidirectionally affects output. Various consequences of cointegration on parameter estimates of pure VAR/VARMA in difference have been discussed. Here it may be mentioned that pure VAR/VARMA in differences is not misspecified, as it could have been otherwise in the case where variables are cointegrated. However, as VARMA is more parsimonious than VAR, the VARMA model has been considered here. Attention has been paid regarding the proper transformations of the variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1219-1225 Issue: 10 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000090726 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000090726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:10:p:1219-1225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jenny Williams Author-X-Name-First: Jenny Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Author-Name: Lisa Powell Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Author-Name: Henry Wechsler Author-X-Name-First: Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Wechsler Title: Does alcohol consumption reduce human capital accumulation? Evidence from the College Alcohol Study Abstract: It is often conjectured that a significant cost of youthful drinking is the future labour market consequences of having accumulated a lower stock of human capital. While several studies have investigated the effect of youthful drinking on the quantity of human capital stock accumulated, measured by years of education completed or high-school graduation, this paper investigates the effect of alcohol consumption on the quality of human capital stock accumulated as measured by college students GPA. Using data from the Harvard School of Public Health's College Alcohol Study, the indirect effect of the quantity of alcohol consumed on GPA is estimated through hours spent studying as well as the direct effect. Results show that the net total effect of alcohol consumption on GPA is negative for the sample of college students, and that the main effect is via a reduction in the hours spent studying. This finding confirms that high levels of alcohol consumption have an overall negative consequence for academic achievement, and hence future labour market outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1227-1239 Issue: 10 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000090735 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000090735 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:10:p:1227-1239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donna Brown Author-X-Name-First: Donna Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Steven McIntosh Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: McIntosh Title: Job satisfaction in the low wage service sector Abstract: The stylized facts associated with workers satisfaction are tested using a distinctive data set. Using principal components analysis five distinct measures of workers satisfaction, and the factors that determine each one are examined. The data set, covering three low-wage service sectors, enables control for workplace characteristics to be made. It is shown that characteristics previously identified as important by the job satisfaction literature, in fact have differing effects according to the type of satisfaction being considered. Then is examined which of the satisfaction components has the greatest impact on overall satisfaction. Satisfaction with short-term rewards and long-term prospects are found to be far more influential in determining overall satisfaction, than contentment with social relationships or work intensity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1241-1254 Issue: 10 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210150875 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210150875 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:10:p:1241-1254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Sibbald Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Sibbald Author-Name: Lynn McAlevey Author-X-Name-First: Lynn Author-X-Name-Last: McAlevey Title: Examination of economies of scale in credit unions: a New Zealand study Abstract: Recent government pressure and aspirations within the industry itself to improve financial stability, have seen credit unions pursue economies of scale to achieve this objective. This presented an opportunity to test the validity of this strategy. However, this study is uncommon, as it utilized the credit union population as the unit of analysis, rather than a sample, prevalent in other research. As a consequence this overcomes difficulties associated with multiple testings, and other statistical problems present in some other previous studies. By drawing upon two measures of operational efficiency, viz. operating costs to income and operating costs to total assets, inconclusive evidence of scale economies was found. While clear efficiency improvement occurred in moving from small to medium sized organisations, less compelling was the evidence of economies of scale in larger credit unions. Although the article followed a conventional cross-sectional methodology by examining performance at a moment in time, the study also adopted a longitudinal case study approach, by examining over time the efficiency of a large credit union. Finally, the measure used, inclusion or exclusion of outliers, and the operational efficiency ratio chosen, all effect the outcome, and either showed evidence of economies or diseconomies, of scale. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1255-1264 Issue: 11 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840210148012 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840210148012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:11:p:1255-1264 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Philip Lo Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Lo Author-Name: David Lester Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: Purchasing textbooks online Abstract: In a sample of 72 undergraduate students at a university, purchasing textbooks online was predicted by possession of computer/Internet skills, having a retentive attitude towards money and dissatisfaction with the university bookstore. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1265-1269 Issue: 11 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000090681 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000090681 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:11:p:1265-1269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Nikolaou Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolaou Author-Name: I. Theodossiou Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Theodossiou Title: Living in unemployment or who experiences a high unemployment burden? Abstract: The paper examines the distribution of unemployment experience in Britain within the framework of the Han and Hausman semi-parametric estimator, which has the advantage of circumventing problems associated with individual heterogeneity arising from unobserved individual characteristics. The results imply that the unemployment burden is unequally distributed among the working population. Males and females bear an unequal unemployment burden. The study casts light on the characteristics of those individuals who are most likely to experience a high unemployment burden. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1271-1276 Issue: 11 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/003684032000090690 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/003684032000090690 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:11:p:1271-1276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Margaret Giles Author-X-Name-First: Margaret Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Correcting for selectivity bias in the estimation of road crash costs Abstract: Police road crash data comprise a non-random sample of the true population of road crashes, the bias being due to the existence of crashes that are not notified to the Police. Heckman viewed similar problems as 'omitted variables' problems in that the exclusion of some observations in a systematic manner (so-called selectivity bias) has inadvertently introduced the need for an additional regressor in least squares procedures. In the case of Police road crash data, selectivity bias arises from factors affecting the notification of crashes to the Police, such as the number of vehicles in the crash and the type and location of the crash. Using Heckman's methodology for correcting for this selectivity bias, Police road crash data for Western Australia are reconciled with total road crash data in the estimation of the property damage costs of road crashes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1291-1301 Issue: 11 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000090717 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000090717 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:11:p:1291-1301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefka Slavova Author-X-Name-First: Stefka Author-X-Name-Last: Slavova Title: Money demand during hyperinflation and stabilization: Bulgaria, 1991-2000 Abstract: The demand for money in Bulgaria is estimated over a ten-year period (1991-2000) of high inflation and inflation uncertainty. The paper distinguishes between three well-defined sub-periods: high, variable, but not systematically accelerating inflation from 1991 until April 1996; the near-hyperinflation period from May 1996 to February 1997; and the subsequent stabilization after the adoption of a currency board. The empirical analysis utilizes a standard methodology of cointegration and error correction. The functional determinants of the demand for money change during the different sub-periods. During the hyperinflation episode, Cagan's model is employed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1303-1316 Issue: 11 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/003684032000095398 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/003684032000095398 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:11:p:1303-1316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Dietrich Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dietrich Title: The importance of management and transaction costs for large UK firms Abstract: This article develops an approach to the firm using the principle that any organization is an amalgam of two production functions: a control function and a real function. The resulting non-linear regression equation allows estimation of model parameters that can be used to calculate firm-specific production and transaction costs. The paper uses a sample of large UK firms for the four years 1980, 1986, 1992 and 1997. The parameter and cost estimates appear intuitively plausible given developments in competitive conditions and environmental uncertainties. Broadly speaking the results support the view that transaction cost economizing is a primary determinant of improved firm performance. This result is particularly apparent when monopoly power and the positive dynamic advantages of firm slack are identified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1317-1329 Issue: 11 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000095406 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000095406 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:11:p:1317-1329 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick McCarthy Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: McCarthy Title: Alcohol-related crashes and alcohol availability in grass-roots communities Abstract: This paper employs a unique panel data from 111 small non-metropolitan incorporated cities in California during a 108 month period from January 1981 to December 1989 in order to analyse the effect of alcohol availability on highway safety. Negative binomial regression models are estimated which include alcohol licences per square mile as a measure of alcohol availability. Theoretically, the sign of the alcohol licence density is indeterminate as it reflects a trade-off of its effect on traffic exposure and on the time price alcohol. Among the findings, increases in the density of general alcohol licences for off-site (on-site) alcohol consumption are beneficial (detrimental) to highway safety whereas increasing the density of beer/wine licences have non-uniform effects. Additional findings important to municipal policymakers are that DUI arrests and increasing the price of alcohol reduce alcohol-related crashes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1331-1338 Issue: 11 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000095929 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000095929 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:11:p:1331-1338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niek Nahuis Author-X-Name-First: Niek Author-X-Name-Last: Nahuis Title: An alternative demand indicator: the 'non-accelerating inflation rate of capacity utilization' Abstract: This article examines the usefulness of the NAIRCU, the 'non-accelerating inflation rate of capacity utilization' as a demand indicator of inflation for eight European countries. So far the NAIRCU has been estimated for the USA only, where it serves as a useful indicator for inflation. In most European countries, deviations from the equilibrium level of capacity utilization influence inflation significantly. Further, the results not only indicate that in more recent periods the NAIRCU has shifted upward, indicating higher efficiency of the production process, but also that confidence intervals have increased over time reducing the usefulness of the NAIRCU somewhat. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1339-1344 Issue: 11 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000095947 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000095947 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:11:p:1339-1344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Bailey Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Title: The labour market participation of Northern Ireland University Students Abstract: This paper seeks to examine what factors are associated with student labour force participation in Northern Ireland in both term-time and vacation making use of Quarterly Labour Force Survey data for the period March 1998-February 1999. The results suggest female students are more likely to work than male students, mature students are less likely to work than non-mature students, Roman Catholic students are less likely to work than non-Roman Catholic students, students living at home are more likely to work than student living away from home and an increase in the actual or predicted wage increases the probability of labour force participation. The author suggests that some of these results are due to the particular nature of the Northern Ireland socio-economic situation while others are likely to be true for the rest of the United Kingdom. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1345-1350 Issue: 11 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000100328 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000100328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:11:p:1345-1350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tanweer Akram Author-X-Name-First: Tanweer Author-X-Name-Last: Akram Title: The international foreign aid regime: who gets foreign aid and how much? Abstract: This paper analyses the data on international foreign aid. It examines the basic data on who gets foreign aid, how much, how aid dependent are the recipient countries, and how the international foreign aid regime has evolved. It is argued that the pattern of the flow of foreign aid suggests that aid provided has little relationship to human needs in developing and transitional countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1351-1356 Issue: 11 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000100337 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000100337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:11:p:1351-1356 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stuart Fraser Author-X-Name-First: Stuart Author-X-Name-Last: Fraser Author-Name: David Paton Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Paton Title: Does advertising increase labour supply? Time series evidence from the UK Abstract: Wages in industrialized countries have risen considerably during the last 50 years, whereas hours worked, for manual workers at least, have decreased only marginally. In Europe, one policy response has been to attempt to protect workers from pressure to work long hours by placing legal restrictions on the amount of hours that may be worked each week. This paper examines the possibility that, in fact, observed hours may be the result of a desire of workers to work longer due to a shift in their preferences from leisure to increased consumption, caused by the huge increase in mass media advertising. A cointegrating VAR framework is used to test this hypothesis on UK time series data for both males and females from 1952 to 1997. Advertising is shown to be positively associated with hours worked for both male and female series. Causality tests indicate unidirectional causality, for males and females, from advertising to hours worked. These results suggest that the European policy response is more likely to restrict employee rather than employer discretion over hours. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1357-1368 Issue: 11 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000100346 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000100346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:11:p:1357-1368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christis Tombazos Author-X-Name-First: Christis Author-X-Name-Last: Tombazos Title: New light on the 'impressionistic view' of the balancing item in Australia's balance of payments accounts Abstract: Recently, Fausten and Brooks offered (what they refer to as) an 'impressionistic view' of the temporal evolution of Australia's balancing item, which is a measure of the accuracy of the balance of payments accounts. They claim that the balancing item 'has been increasing in magnitude and volatility, violating with increasing frequency internationally agreed acceptability criteria for smallness. In the present paper it is shown that Fausten and Brooks results derive from data that incorporates excessively a dynamically asymmetric concentration of revisions and is therefore unsuitable for statistical analysis. This paper develops, and empirically evaluates, a model of the process of revisions of balance of payments data. This model illustrates that dynamically inconsistent time series of the balancing item, such as that employed by Fausten and Brooks, are bound to generate an artificial impression that it follows an 'explosive' time trend. Subsequently, it is illustrated that when alternative, dynamically consistent editions of the balancing item data for the same period as that examined by Fausten and Brooks are employed, their results are reversed. Indeed, the findings here contradict diametrically the conclusions of these authors by suggesting that the decline in the frequency of balancing item 'violations' observed in the latter portion of the relevant time period is unparalleled in the history of the balance of payments accounts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1369-1378 Issue: 12 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000129354 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000129354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:12:p:1369-1378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Venus Khim-Sen Liew Author-X-Name-First: Venus Khim-Sen Author-X-Name-Last: Liew Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Author-Name: Kian-Ping Lim Author-X-Name-First: Kian-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: The inadequacy of linear autoregressive model for real exchange rates: empirical evidence from Asian economies Abstract: Utilizing the formal linearity test of Luukkonen, Saikkonen and Terasvirta (Biometrika, 75, 491-499, 1998) as diagnostic tool, the empirical finding suggests that the linear autoregressive (AR) model is inadequate in describing the real exchange rates behaviour of 11 Asian economies. It is noted that the conventional battery of diagnostic tests is capable of identifying the inadequacy of the linear model in only three of these series. Moreover, the linearity nature of this behaviour has been formally rejected in favour of the non-linear smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) model. The finding of non-linearity in the data generating process of these real exchange rates warrants that the use of linear framework in empirical modelling and statistical testing procedures in the field of exchange rates may lead to an inappropriate policy conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1387-1392 Issue: 12 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000129750 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000129750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:12:p:1387-1392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kerim Peren Arin Author-X-Name-First: Kerim Peren Author-X-Name-Last: Arin Author-Name: Cagla Okten Author-X-Name-First: Cagla Author-X-Name-Last: Okten Title: The determinants of privatization prices: evidence from Turkey Abstract: This paper analyses the determinants of privatization prices in a multi-industry study using a sample of 68 recently privatized firms from Turkey. Results show that revenue and market characteristics are significant determinants of privatization prices while current cost and profit indicators are not. It is argued that potential buyers regard these state firms as inefficient, therefore do not take into consideration their current costs and profits in determining their value. When the dependent variable is altered by dividing the firm's privatization price by the firm's sales (revenues), it is found that sales-adjusted privatization prices are responsive to firms profit margins. However, this result does not hold when the sample is restricted to a single industry. Profit margins along with other profitability and firm efficiency measures are no longer significant determinants of sales-adjusted privatization prices in the cement industry analysis. Unexploited production opportunities measured by capacity utilization ratios, and complete private ownership resume a more important role. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1393-1404 Issue: 12 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000100391 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000100391 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:12:p:1393-1404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kivilcim Metin Ozcan Author-X-Name-First: Kivilcim Metin Author-X-Name-Last: Ozcan Author-Name: Asli Gunay Author-X-Name-First: Asli Author-X-Name-Last: Gunay Author-Name: Seda Ertac Author-X-Name-First: Seda Author-X-Name-Last: Ertac Title: Determinants of private savings behaviour in Turkey Abstract: This study investigates the effects on private saving rates of a number of policy and non-policy variables. The analysis covers the period 1968-1994. The empirical private saving model for Turkey is estimated. The findings support the hypothesis that private saving rates have strong inertia. The evidence indicates that government saving does not tend to crowd out private savings and the Ricardian equivalence does not hold strictly. Income level has a positive impact on private saving rate, and growth rate of income is not statistically significant. From a policy point of view, financial depth and development measures in Turkey suggest that countries with deeper financial systems tend to have higher private saving rates. Private credit and real interest rates try to capture the severity of the borrowing constraints and the degree of financial repression for Turkey. Moreover, the negative impact of life expectancy rate lends support to the life-cycle hypothesis. The precautionary motive for saving is supported by the findings that inflation captures the degree of macroeconomic volatility and has a positive impact on private saving in Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1405-1416 Issue: 12 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000100373 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000100373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:12:p:1405-1416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhongmin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Zhongmin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: The persistence of regional unemployment: evidence from China Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to examine the persistence of regional unemployment and to explore the sources of this persistence. Evidence from China suggests three empirical findings. First, provincial relative unemployment is more persistent than aggregate unemployment. Second, youth unemployment is less persistent than total unemployment. Third, although the western region has the highest provincial unemployment rate, it has the lowest persistence of regional unemployment. To explore the sources of this unemployment persistence, a panel data method has been developed based on the Barro Approach and Edwards work. The higher the share of industry output by state sector and collective sector, the more the regional unemployment persistence. The private sector is the main employment destination for jobless now and has acted to reduce unemployment persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1417-1421 Issue: 12 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000100364 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000100364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:12:p:1417-1421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Fernandez-Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Serrano Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Modelling the linkages between US and Latin American stock markets Abstract: This paper examines the linkages between US and Latin American stock markets during the 1995-2002 period using recently developed cointegration techniques that allow for structural shifts in the long-run relationship. Results suggest that when conventional cointegration tests are applied, a long-run relationship is found only in the cases of Brazil and Mexico for the Dow Jones (DJ) index, and in the case of Brazil for the Standard and Poor's 500 (SP500) index. In contrast, if the possibility of structural breaks is introduced, strong evidence is found in favour of such a relationship between the Argentine, Chilean and Venezuelan indices and the DJ index after the 1998 financial turmoil, and between the Brazilian and Mexican indices and the DJ index before such turbulence, while some marginal cointegration is detected between the Mexican and DJ indices from February 1998. Additionally, evidence is found of a cointegrating relationship between the Argentine, Chilean and Mexican indices and the SP500 index from August 1998, April 1999 and October 1999, respectively, and between the Brazilian and the SP500 indices before November 1997, as well as some marginal cointegration between the Mexican and SP500 indices before October 1999. The results suggest that the gains from international diversification for investors with long holding periods is limited. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1423-1434 Issue: 12 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000100409 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000100409 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:12:p:1423-1434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianluigi Giorgioni Author-X-Name-First: Gianluigi Author-X-Name-Last: Giorgioni Author-Name: Ken Holden Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Holden Title: Ricardian equivalence, expansionary fiscal contraction and the stock market: a VECM approach Abstract: The effect of government taxation on future consumption has been explained in three ways: the Keynesian approach, the Ricardian Equivalence proposition and the German view of Expansionary Fiscal Contraction (EFC). This paper reports empirical evidence on the validity of these explanations by examining the impact of a shock in government taxation upon private consumption, once the effect of the stock market is removed. A vector error-correction model is estimated for the USA, Japan, Germany, France, the UK, Italy and Canada for 1950-1997 and the impulse response functions of a shock in taxation and in expenditure are examined. The responses to an increase in government taxation appear to lend support to the EFC, while the responses to an increase in government expenditure upon consumption suggest that the reaction of private consumption is more in line with the traditional Keynesian approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1435-1443 Issue: 12 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000125088 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000125088 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:12:p:1435-1443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Avik Chakrabarti Author-X-Name-First: Avik Author-X-Name-Last: Chakrabarti Title: Import competition, employment and wage in US manufacturing: new evidence from multivariate panel cointegration analysis Abstract: This paper examines whether employment and wages in the US manufacturing sector exhibit any long-run relationship with import competition. The results based on a multivariate panel cointegration analysis of observations on 12 two-digit SIC manufacturing industries over the period from the third quarter of 1982 to the fourth quarter of 1992 indicate that US manufacturing employment does not bear a long-run relationship with import competition but manufacturing wage does. While the long-run correlation between import price and manufacturing wage is found to be sector sensitive panel estimation reveals a highly significant negative correlation between import price and manufacturing wage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1445-1449 Issue: 13 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000095389 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000095389 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:13:p:1445-1449 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phil Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Phil Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Author-Name: Robert Noland Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Noland Title: Building new roads really does create extra traffic: a response to Prakash et al. Abstract: A recent article by Prakash et al. (Applied Economics, 33, 1579-85, 2001) asserted that induced travel effects do not occur. This paper is criticized on several grounds. It disregards much of the recent work in this area that has empirically estimated induced travel relationships. The models specified are inappropriate for properly addressing this question, both in their use of road expenditure data (based on a misunderstanding of how this may relate to traffic growth) and specification of a model that does not account for other variables that generally have a large effect on traffic growth (notably population and income growth). The evidence in the literature is summarized and an analysis of UK road expenditure data shows that expenditure is not a good measure of actual road capacity that is built. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1451-1457 Issue: 13 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000089872 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000089872 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:13:p:1451-1457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Norman Keith Womer Author-X-Name-First: Norman Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Womer Author-Name: Homee Shroff Author-X-Name-First: Homee Author-X-Name-Last: Shroff Author-Name: Thomas Gulledge Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Gulledge Author-Name: Kingsley Haynes Author-X-Name-First: Kingsley Author-X-Name-Last: Haynes Title: Measuring efficiency with a linear economic model Abstract: This paper modifies and interprets Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) using a linear economic model. This approach is similar to the cone input/output and assurance region approaches to DEA, but it is implemented so that the multipliers are measured in the same units across all linear optimization problems. This approach allows one to interpret alternatives as profit maximizing organizations and the DEA multipliers as prices that are comparable across the alternatives. This is a useful extension of the assurance region concept, but more important, is that our approach enhances communication with decision-makers. The improved communication is illustrated by applying the model to the siting of a long-term health care facility. This application is interesting because the multiplier bounds make practical sense, and because the problem has dimensions that sometimes lead to interpretation problems with the traditional DEA model. For example, the site characteristics do not result from coordinated decisions, some sites exhibit zero values for some variables, and the problem has many variables compared with the number of potential sites. Problems with these dimensions have, at times, been deemed unsuitable for DEA, but they are handled without problem by the linear economic model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1459-1467 Issue: 13 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000090636 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000090636 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:13:p:1459-1467 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Haurin Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Haurin Author-Name: Kala Sridhar Author-X-Name-First: Kala Author-X-Name-Last: Sridhar Title: The impact of local unemployment rates on reservation wages and the duration of search for a job. Abstract: Evidence about the relationship of local unemployment rates and individuals' reservation wages and duration of search for a job if unemployed is sparse and mixed. This study uses US data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) to test whether relatively high local unemployment rates reduce the reservation wages of area residents or increase the duration of search. Labour search theory provides the grounding for the sample selection corrected simultaneous equations econometric model. In neither OLS nor 2SLS results is evidence found that local unemployment rates affect either reservation wages or the duration of search. These results suggest that policies targeted at alleviating unemployment should focus on increasing the demand for labour rather than hope that such policies will be beneficial if pursued in high-unemployment areas because of their effects on labour force characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1469-1476 Issue: 13 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000081302 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000081302 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:13:p:1469-1476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Eisenhauer Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Eisenhauer Author-Name: Luigi Ventura Author-X-Name-First: Luigi Author-X-Name-Last: Ventura Title: Survey measures of risk aversion and prudence Abstract: This paper utilizes a thought experiment conducted by the Bank of Italy to estimate absolute and relative risk aversion along with absolute and relative prudence for a broad cross-section of Italian households. Upper and lower bounds are calculated for each parameter, and comparisons are made across socio-demographic groups. Evidence is found of decreasing absolute risk aversion, decreasing absolute prudence, increasing relative risk aversion, and increasing relative prudence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1477-1484 Issue: 13 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000151287 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000151287 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:13:p:1477-1484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pooran Lall Author-X-Name-First: Pooran Author-X-Name-Last: Lall Author-Name: David Norman Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Norman Author-Name: Allen Featherstone Author-X-Name-First: Allen Author-X-Name-Last: Featherstone Title: Determinants of US direct foreign investment in the Caribbean Abstract: This study evaluates two groups of variables (economic and structural/locational) associated with US short- and long-run direct foreign investment (DFI) in the Caribbean over the 1983-1994 period. Separate generalized least square models for the Caribbean and Latin America were estimated to determine whether differences existed between the two regions as to the variables associated with the levels of DFI. This helped provide insights as to the strategies that should be maintained or introduced to give the Caribbean a competitive edge in attracting the limited amounts of US DFI likely to be available for investment in the Western hemisphere. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1485-1496 Issue: 13 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000100382 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000100382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:13:p:1485-1496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoichi Matsubayashi Author-X-Name-First: Yoichi Author-X-Name-Last: Matsubayashi Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Some international evidence on the stability of aggregate import demand function Abstract: This paper empirically analyses the stability of the aggregate import demand function for G7 countries. The standard cointegration test and a test developed by Gregory and Hansen are performed. The results of standard cointegration tests suggest that there is no stable cointegrating relation between real import, real GDP and relative import price for all G7 countries. The cointegrating relation is empirically supported for France and Germany if structural change for cointegrating vector is explicitly taken into consideration. The cointegrating relation is empirically rejected for Canada, Italy, Japan, the UK and the USA. Thus, the stimulation of domestic business conditions will not necessarily link the quantity of imports for these five countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1497-1504 Issue: 13 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000095965 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000095965 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:13:p:1497-1504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Anastassopoulos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Anastassopoulos Title: MNE subsidiaries versus domestic enterprises: an analysis of their ownership and location-specific advantages Abstract: This paper compares the ownership advantages of multinational enterprises' (MNEs) subsidiaries and domestic enterprises (DMEs) in Greece. Previous studies have tested the hypothesis that ownership-specific advantages (Oa) are a major source of firm differences. This study analyses the processed food sector (SIC=20) - the leading industrial sector in Greece with the highest inward and outward internationalization degree - using a panel data set of 75 firms and 5 years. The findings of a probabilistic regression analysis indicate that there are significant differences between the two groups of firms in the degree of possession of observed ownership advantages. MNE subsidiaries have higher market shares, use multiplant operations and have higher advertising and R&D to sales ratios compared to DMEs. DMEs use their well-established position (knowledge of domestic and regional market conditions, and size economies) in order to compete effectively with MNE subsidiaries. It is inferred that pursuit of domestic market development is an important motivation in such subsidiaries, in an attempt to build on (rather than substitute for) the strong and distinctive established product base of Greek food industry companies. By assimilating Greek food knowledge alongside their own the MNEs developed export-orientation into their subsidiaries in Greece, which eventually have played a notable role in the regional market (Balkans). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1505-1514 Issue: 13 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000095956 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000095956 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:13:p:1505-1514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keuk-Soo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Keuk-Soo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: W. Douglas McMillin Author-X-Name-First: W. Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: McMillin Title: Estimating the effects of monetary policy shocks: does lag structure matter? Abstract: This paper examines the implications of lag structure for estimating the effects of monetary policy shocks in a VAR. A symmetric lag structure in which all variables have the same lag length and an asymmetric lag structure in which the lag length differs across variables but is the same for a particular variable in each equation of the model are examined. This is important in light of the fact that the true lag structure is generally not known. Four commonly used identification schemes are employed to identify monetary policy shocks. Monte Carlo simulations strongly indicate that the lag structure of a VAR model does matter when assessing the quantitative effects of monetary policy shocks. Given the inherent uncertainty about the true lag structure in practice, it is thus important that one compare the impulse response functions from both symmetric lag and asymmetric lag VARs in assessing the effects of monetary policy shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1515-1526 Issue: 13 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000090663 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000090663 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:13:p:1515-1526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Moazzami Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Moazzami Author-Name: F. J. Anderson Author-X-Name-First: F. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Title: Long-term trend and short-run dynamics of the Canadian dollar: an error correction modelling approach Abstract: Using quarterly data for 1972-2000, the paper examines the long-term and short-term movements of the US-Canadian exchange rate. It is found that the standard purchasing power parity condition fails to explain movements of the Canadian dollar. The explanatory power of the model increases significantly when resource commodity prices are added to the equation. Short-term movements in the Canadian dollar are influenced by the interest rate differential between Canada and the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1527-1530 Issue: 13 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000090627 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000090627 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:13:p:1527-1530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francis Green Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: Green Author-Name: Alan Felstead Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Felstead Author-Name: Duncan Gallie Author-X-Name-First: Duncan Author-X-Name-Last: Gallie Title: Computers and the changing skill-intensity of jobs Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of computer usage at work and other job features on the changing skills required of workers. It compare skills utilization in Britain at three data points: 1986, 1992 and 1997, using proxies for the level of skills actually used in jobs. This study questions the validity of investigating the facts about, and the sources of, rising skills by using just educational attainment or occupational grouping data. This paper finds that: • Job skills have increased, more quickly for women than for men; these increases are more extensive than those captured by changes in the occupational class structure. • The spread of computer usage is very strongly associated with the process of upskilling, and accounts in part for narrowing of the gender skills gap; expanded use of quality circles is also linked to upskilling. • Evidence for any direct role of trade in inducing skills increases is weak. • Using the qualification held or occupation as a skills measure can lead to erroneous conclusions as to the origin of skills changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1561-1576 Issue: 14 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1081/0003684032000085986 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1081/0003684032000085986 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:14:p:1561-1576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niklas Rudholm Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Rudholm Title: Competition and substitutability in the Swedish pharmaceuticals market Abstract: Substitution possibilities between brand name pharmaceuticals are analysed. The analysis is based on data from three different markets; the prescription drug market for beta-blocking agents, the 'over the counter' market for purgatives and the hospital market for two pharmaceutical treatments for gastric ulcers. The results indicate that there exist some substitution possibilities among the brand name drugs included in the study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1609-1617 Issue: 14 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000125042 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000125042 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:14:p:1609-1617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger Svensson Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Svensson Title: Visits to the client when competing for new consulting contracts: sourcing information or influencing the client? Abstract: Consulting firms (CFs) sell services on a project basis to many clients and must therefore continuously tender for new contracts. One frequently used strategy by CFs is to visit the clients in connection to the tenders. The reasons to the visits are: (1) to influence the client in his decision-making (e.g., marketing, bribing); and/or (2) to source information about the project so that a better proposal can be submitted. Using a unique database on individual export proposals submitted to emerging markets, which of these two reasons is the most important is examined empirically The estimations show that influencing the client dominates as explanation to the visits. Although it is not possible to determine whether this influence takes the form of bribing or marketing, all conditions necessary for bribes to occur are fulfilled. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1531-1541 Issue: 14 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000125097 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000125097 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:14:p:1531-1541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Neil Manning Author-X-Name-First: Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Manning Title: The power of asymmetric unit root tests under threshold and consistent-threshold estimation Abstract: The asymmetric unit root tests of Enders and Granger (Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 16, 304-11, 1998) are examined using consistent threshold estimation and the original two-step procedure. In contrast to earlier studies, the ability of the tests to jointly reject the unit root and symmetry hypotheses is examined, thus permitting a fuller analysis of the tests' properties. Whilst the threshold autoregressive test is found to have little power in either its consistent or original forms, the consistent momentum-threshold autoregressive test is found to exhibit high power against a range of plausible alternatives when using newly derived critical values. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1543-1550 Issue: 14 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000125105 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000125105 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:14:p:1543-1550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dennis Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Author-Name: Yung-Hsiang Ying Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Hsiang Author-X-Name-Last: Ying Title: Nationality preferences for labour in the international football industry Abstract: This paper tests consumer and co-worker nationalistic preferences by measuring the effect of team nationality composition on fan attendance and overall team quality using professional football teams in the world's five largest football leagues. Little evidence is found to support the hypothesis that fans or co-workers discriminate based upon the player's nationality. Thus, the under-representation of various nationalities can be concluded to originate from a club's ownership and/or management. These results are similar to the racial bias revealed by English club owners as found by Szymanski and Preston. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1551-1559 Issue: 14 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368403200010048 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368403200010048 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:14:p:1551-1559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ian Smith Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Author-Name: John Sawkins Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Sawkins Title: The economics of regional variation in religious attendance Abstract: Developments in modelling the demand for religion have identified both religious human capital and religious market structure as fundamental determinants of levels of formal religious practice. In this paper, these theories are confronted with survey data drawn from 163 regions across 16 countries. Although there are clearly political, historical and other country specific factors that affect levels of participation in organized religion, estimates from modified logit regression equations demonstrate the empirical significance at the regional level of variables suggested by recent innovations in the economics of religious behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1577-1588 Issue: 14 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000129363 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000129363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:14:p:1577-1588 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ipek Ilkkaracan Author-X-Name-First: Ipek Author-X-Name-Last: Ilkkaracan Author-Name: Raziye Selim Author-X-Name-First: Raziye Author-X-Name-Last: Selim Title: The role of unemployment in wage determination: further evidence on the wage curve from Turkey Abstract: This paper presents an empirical estimation of the correlation between wages and regional unemployment rates in Turkey, more specifically it explores the role of regional unemployment rates in wage determination. The analysis builds upon a series of recent empirical studies on the wage-unemployment relationship, now commonly known as 'the wage curve', a downward sloping curve in wage-unemployment space. The existing studies are for most part in advanced market economies, while this paper presents one of the few attempts at a wage curve analysis within the context of a developing market economy. A cross-sectional estimation of micro level individual wage data for the Turkish labour market in 1994, suggest a statistically significant negative correlation between wages and regional unemployment rates. Separate regressions for men and women, however, show a wage curve to exist only in the male labour market. The study also presents the results on other variables of wage determination such as returns to schooling, returns to age, job tenure, gender, industrial and occupational affiliation of the worker, economic sector and union status. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1589-1598 Issue: 14 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684022000040939 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684022000040939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:14:p:1589-1598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Dimovski Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Dimovski Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Title: Financial characteristics of Australian initial public offerings from 1994 to 1999 Abstract: A variety of financial characteristics of Australian initial public offerings (IPOs) for the period 1994-1999 are explored. A number of previous Australian studies have investigated the initial day underpricing and longer term underperformance of IPOs and this study updates those papers. This paper partitions the IPO data into no liability/limited liability; share option/no share option; underwriter option/no underwriter option and dividend reinvestment/no dividend reinvestment characteristics to better understand the types of IPOs that list on the Australian Stock Exchange. The data supports the findings of previous studies in that IPOs are underpriced at the time of listing and underperform the market in the first year following their listing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1599-1607 Issue: 14 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000126771 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000126771 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:14:p:1599-1607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Werner Bonte Author-X-Name-First: Werner Author-X-Name-Last: Bonte Title: Does federally financed business R&D matter for US productivity growth? Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of federally financed business R&D on productivity of the US nonfarm business sector. Results of a cointegration analysis suggest that a long run relation between productivity and total (privately and federally financed) R&D capital stock exists. Moreover, the estimation results do not confirm the finding of previous empirical studies that the productivity effects of federally financed business R&D are lower compared with those of privately financed business R&D. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1619-1625 Issue: 15 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000125079 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000125079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:15:p:1619-1625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabelle Armanville Author-X-Name-First: Isabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Armanville Author-Name: Peter Funk Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Funk Title: Induced innovation: an empirical test Abstract: A method is developed to empirically test the hypothesis of induced innovation as it has been specified and used in the theoretical literature. A strong and a weak version of the hypothesis is tested using sectorial data from the USA, Canada, Germany, France and the UK. The strong version tests for the exact dependency of the relation between the change in factor-productivities on the one hand and relative prices and actual factor-productivities on the other hand. The weak version only tests for the direction of this dependency. In all countries the weak hypothesis is accepted in all sectors except in 'electricity, gas, and water'. The strong hypothesis is accepted in about half of all sectors. It is rejected only in sectors, in which the degree to which progress is intentional is low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1627-1647 Issue: 15 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000125051 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000125051 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:15:p:1627-1647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Attendance and pricing at sporting events: empirical results from Granger Causality Tests for the Melbourne Cup Abstract: This study applies Granger causality tests to examine the relationship between attendance, admission prices and real income at the Melbourne Cup, which is Australia's premier horseracing event and one of the world's leading handicap races. The motivation for the paper is that while market demand suggests that causation should run from admission price to attendance, it is equally plausible that sporting authorities could alter admission prices in response to a change in demand reflected in attendance. The main findings are that in the short-run there is unidirectional Granger causality running from income to attendance, attendance to admission price and income to admission price, while in the long run both admission price and income Granger cause attendance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1649-1657 Issue: 15 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000133223 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000133223 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:15:p:1649-1657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Orn Bodvarsson Author-X-Name-First: Orn Author-X-Name-Last: Bodvarsson Author-Name: William Luksetich Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Luksetich Author-Name: Sherry McDermott Author-X-Name-First: Sherry Author-X-Name-Last: McDermott Title: Why do diners tip: rule-of-thumb or valuation of service? Abstract: When diners decide how much to tip, is the decision based on social convention or on conscientious appraisal of server productivity? Previous researchers in economics and social psychology are generally inconclusive on this question. A common finding in the literature is that tip size and service quality are unrelated, a result usually obtained from OLS regressions. OLS is only appropriate if service quality is exogenous. It is argued that service quality is very likely endogenous in any regression of tip size; good quality encourages good tips, but server expectations of good tips encourage good quality. This simultaneity is accounted for by jointly estimating percentage tips and customer rankings of service quality on a sample of 247 diners in a Central Minnesota restaurant. Included are explanatory variables consistent with both the social psychology and economic views of tipping. In contrast to previous studies, it is found that service quality significantly affects tip size and when servers expect higher tips, customers rank service quality higher. Also it is found that patronage frequency and coupon redemption have no effect on percentage tips, but server gender influences quality significantly. It is concluded that the results are generally supportive of an economic hypothesis of tipping. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1659-1665 Issue: 15 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000126799 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000126799 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:15:p:1659-1665 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Love Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Love Title: Technology sourcing versus technology exploitation: an analysis of US foreign direct investment flows Abstract: The traditional paradigm of foreign direct investment (FDI) suggests that FDI is undertaken principally to exploit some firm-specific advantage in a foreign country which provides a locational advantage to the investor. However, recent theoretical work suggests a model of FDI in which the motivation is not to exploit existing technological advantages in a foreign country, but to access such technology and transfer it from the host economy to the investing multinational corporation via spillover effects. This paper tests the technology sourcing versus technology exploiting hypotheses for a panel of sectoral FDI flows between the United States and major OECD nations over a 15 year period. The research makes use of Patel and Vega's (Research Policy, 28, 145-55, 1999) taxonomy of sectors which are likely a priori to exhibit technology sourcing and exploiting behaviour respectively. While there is evidence that FDI flows into the United States are attracted to R&D intensive sectors, very little support is found for the technology sourcing hypothesis either for inward or outward FDI flows. The results suggest that, in aggregate, firm-specific 'ownership' effects remain powerful determinants of FDI flows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1667-1678 Issue: 15 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000125060 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000125060 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:15:p:1667-1678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Philippidis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Philippidis Author-Name: Lionel Hubbard Author-X-Name-First: Lionel Author-X-Name-Last: Hubbard Title: Modelling hierarchical consumer preferences: an application to global food markets Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1679-1687 Issue: 15 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000128454 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000128454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:15:p:1679-1687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Danilo Mercurio Author-X-Name-First: Danilo Author-X-Name-Last: Mercurio Author-Name: Costanza Torricelli Author-X-Name-First: Costanza Author-X-Name-Last: Torricelli Title: Estimation and arbitrage opportunities for exchange rate baskets Abstract: This paper analyses short-term portfolio investment opportunities in a capital market where a currency is defined as a currency basket. In line with the mean-variance hedging approach, a self-financed optimal investment strategy is determined which minimizes the expected quadratic cost function. The successful implementation of the speculative strategy requires a precise estimate of the basket weights, which are possibly non-constant over time. To this end, an adaptive non-parametric procedure is suggested which provides satisfactory results both on simulated and real data. The optimal investment strategy is applied to the case of the Thai Baht basket whereby the weights are computed by means of the adaptive estimator. A recursive estimator, a rolling estimator and the Kalman filter, are implemented and serve as benchmark models. Results are compared with the literature. The different estimators are evaluated with profit-based criteria and the performance of the adaptive estimator turns out to be the best one. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1689-1698 Issue: 15 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000095938 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000095938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:15:p:1689-1698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sean Pascoe Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Pascoe Author-Name: Parastoo Hassaszahed Author-X-Name-First: Parastoo Author-X-Name-Last: Hassaszahed Author-Name: Jesper Anderson Author-X-Name-First: Jesper Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Author-Name: Knud Korsbrekke Author-X-Name-First: Knud Author-X-Name-Last: Korsbrekke Title: Economic versus physical input measures in the analysis of technical efficiency in fisheries Abstract: The measurement of technical efficiency requires the estimation of an appropriate production frontier. This is based on a set of inputs that are assumed to influence the level of output. Deviations from this frontier production function are separated into random variation and inefficiency. However, mis-specification of the production function through the use of inappropriate input measures may result in a bias in the measures of inefficiency. In fisheries, production is generally assumed to be a function of stock size, fishing time and the level of physical inputs employed. Defining the appropriate levels of physical inputs, however, is not straightforward, and several alternative measures are available. While economic measures of capital are more intuitively appealing, physical measures are generally readily available and hence less costly to collect. In this study, technical efficiency is measured for three fleet segments operating in the North Sea using three different gear types. The effects of using different measures of capital in the production frontier on the efficiency estimates are examined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1699-1710 Issue: 15 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000134574 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000134574 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:15:p:1699-1710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Jenkins Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Jenkins Author-Name: Anna Vignoles Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Vignoles Author-Name: Alison Wolf Author-X-Name-First: Alison Author-X-Name-Last: Wolf Author-Name: Fernando Galindo-Rueda Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Galindo-Rueda Title: The determinants and labour market effects of lifelong learning Abstract: Despite the policy importance of lifelong learning, there is very little hard evidence from the UK on (a) who undertakes lifelong learning and why, and (b) the economic benefits of lifelong learning. This paper uses a rich longitudinal panel data set to look at key factors that determine whether someone undertakes lifelong learning and then models the effect of the different qualifications acquired via lifelong learning on individuals' economic outcomes, namely wages and the likelihood of being employed. Those who left school with O-level qualifications or above were much more likely to undertake lifelong learning. Undertaking one episode of lifelong learning also increased the probability of undertaking more lifelong learning. We found little evidence of positive wage effects from lifelong learning. However, males who left school with only low-level qualifications do earn substantially more if they undertake a degree via lifelong learning. We also found important positive employment effects from lifelong learning. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1711-1721 Issue: 16 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000155445 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000155445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:16:p:1711-1721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Post stabilization estimates of money demand in Croatia: error correction model using the bounds testing approach Abstract: This paper estimates an error correction model of money demand for Croatia over the post-stabilization period based on the ARDL bounds testing procedure. While industrial production is statistically insignificant for both the M1 and M1A money demand specifications, interest rates, inflation, and the real effective exchange rate have a negative and statistically significant impact. The error correction money demand models appear structurally stable based on the cumulative sum and cumulative sum of square tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1723-1727 Issue: 16 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000152871 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000152871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:16:p:1723-1727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. K. Gary Wong Author-X-Name-First: K. K. Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Towards a more general approach to testing the time additivity hypothesis Abstract: A new procedure is proposed for re-examining the assumption of additivity of preferences over time which, although untenable, is usually maintained in intertemporal analyses of consumption and labour supply. The method is an extension of a famous work by Browning. However, it is more general in permitting the estimation of intertemporal demand systems, which are explicit in an unobservable variable (price of utility), but may lack a closed form representation in terms of observable variables such as prices and total outlay. It also makes extensive use of duality theory to solve the endogeneity problem encountered in Browning's study. Applying this method with an appropriate estimator to the Australian aggregate data, it is found that the time additivity hypothesis is decisively rejected, which is consistent with Browning's conclusion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1729-1738 Issue: 16 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000090654 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000090654 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:16:p:1729-1738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kang Park Author-X-Name-First: Kang Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Patterns and strategies of Foreign Direct Investment: the case of Japanese firms Abstract: This paper is to study globalization motives and strategies of Japanese manufacturing industries by analyzing the causes and patterns of foreign direct investment (FDI) of Japanese manufacturing firms. We use regression analysis to determine internally driving-out factors and externally-inducing factors. Japanese FDI strategy has gone through three different stages; from natural resource-seeking investment in the 1950s and 1960s to market-expansion investment in the 1970s and 1980s and to a combination of cost-reducing (low-cost labor-seeking) investment and market-penetrating investment in the 1990s. Our findings show that Japanese FDI in Asia and other developing countries tends to be in labor-intensive sectors where Japanese firms are losing their comparative advantages at home. The main motive for FDI into these regions is low-cost resource seeking. On the other hand, Japanese FDI in the US and Europe tends to be knowledge-intensive sectors where Japanese firms attempt to internalize transaction and information costs by globalizing its production. The main motive for FDI into these regions is market-seeking. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1739-1746 Issue: 16 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000155472 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000155472 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:16:p:1739-1746 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charlie Weir Author-X-Name-First: Charlie Author-X-Name-Last: Weir Author-Name: David Laing Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Laing Title: Ownership structure, board composition and the market for corporate control in the UK: an empirical analysis Abstract: This paper analyses the board composition and ownership structures of a sample of companies that have been acquired and those of a matching control sample that have not. We find significant governance differences between acquired firms and the control sample. Firms with the following characteristics were more likely to be acquired: they had the same person acting as CEO and chair, a higher proportion of non-executive directors, larger institutional shareholdings and higher director shareholdings. An analysis of small firms also found evidence of higher CEO shareholdings. We also find that treating all take-overs as a single group leads to a model mis-specification which does not identify the incentive effects of board and CEO shareholdings present in non-hostile acquisitions. These results are consistent with two agency-derived hypotheses, financial incentives and effective monitoring. We also find that targets exhibit lower growth potential but do not have worse accounting performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1747-1759 Issue: 16 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000155454 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000155454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:16:p:1747-1759 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atul Dar Author-X-Name-First: Atul Author-X-Name-Last: Dar Author-Name: Sal Amirkhalkhali Author-X-Name-First: Sal Author-X-Name-Last: Amirkhalkhali Title: On the impact of trade openness on growth: further evidence from OECD countries Abstract: This study attempts to examine empirically the implications of the degree of openness for total and individual factor productivity growth in a group of 19 OECD countries over the last three decades. The study combines both time series and cross-sectional data. The model employed is a generalization of the commonly used, growth-accounting model based on the concept of an aggregate production function in which the rate of economic growth is a function of capital and labour accumulation and total factor productivity. It is explicitly assumed that total factor productivity depends, in turn, upon the rate of export expansion. The model is then estimated using the random coefficients approach. While results generally indicate that the relative importance of trade openness on economic growth varies significantly across countries, they also indicate that the role of capital and labour accumulation in fostering economic growth varies with the degree of openness, cross-sectionally as well as across time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1761-1766 Issue: 16 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000129020 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000129020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:16:p:1761-1766 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joel Deichmann Author-X-Name-First: Joel Author-X-Name-Last: Deichmann Author-Name: Socrates Karidis Author-X-Name-First: Socrates Author-X-Name-Last: Karidis Author-Name: Selin Sayek Author-X-Name-First: Selin Author-X-Name-Last: Sayek Title: Foreign direct investment in Turkey: regional determinants Abstract: The uneven regional distribution of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Turkey poses an interesting question from the perspective of multinational firms (MNFs) and policy-makers alike. This paper focuses on the factors governing the location decisions of MNFs within Turkey with specific reference to policy implications. Using a conditional logit model, it is found that agglomeration, depth of local financial markets, human capital, and coastal access dominate location decisions for the aggregate sample of foreign investors in Turkey. This study reveals no evidence that public investment is successful in attracting MNFs to particular regions. Also importantly, the location determinants vary dramatically by broad industrial category, investment composition, and origin-country characteristics, including income category and region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1767-1778 Issue: 16 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000126780 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000126780 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:16:p:1767-1778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fragkiskos Filippaios Author-X-Name-First: Fragkiskos Author-X-Name-Last: Filippaios Author-Name: Marina Papanastassiou Author-X-Name-First: Marina Author-X-Name-Last: Papanastassiou Author-Name: Robert Pearce Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Pearce Title: The evolution of US outward foreign direct investment in the pacific rim: a cross-time and country analysis Abstract: The location determinants of US FDI in the Pacific region of the OECD, i.e. Australia, New Zealand, Japan, and Korea, are analysed for 1982-1997. The data set allowed two time periods i.e. the 1980s and the 1990s, and two different subgroups, i.e. Australia and New Zealand, and Japan and Korea to be distinguished. Statistical evidence indicates a heterogeneous response of US FDI towards different countries and for different time periods. Factors such as market size, income level and qualified and productive labour exert a significant impact on both the timing and the locational choice of US investors in the region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1779-1787 Issue: 16 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000154220 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000154220 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:16:p:1779-1787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Allan Layton Author-X-Name-First: Allan Author-X-Name-Last: Layton Author-Name: Anirvan Banerji Author-X-Name-First: Anirvan Author-X-Name-Last: Banerji Title: What is a recession?: A reprise Abstract: This paper draws its title from a paper written over 35 years ago by Geoffrey H. Moore (1967). Why the need for a reprise? First, there would appear currently to be somewhat diverging views as to what properly constitutes a recession. Second, largely as a result of this, in many countries other than the US, there does not exist a single, widely accepted business cycle chronology for the country in question. This paper will argue that, in addition to output, there are other important aspects to aggregate economic activity that need to be taken into account in determining the business cycle, viz., income, sales and employment. As such, our perspective would seem to be at odds with the apparent position taken by some other recent commentators on this issue who argue that GDP is all that is needed to represent a country's business cycle. We will also argue against using the currently popular 'two negative quarterly growth rate' rule in dating the onset of a recession. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1789-1797 Issue: 16 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000152853 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000152853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:16:p:1789-1797 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: Money and prices: evidence from the G7 countries Abstract: This paper examines the exogeneity of money and prices within a money demand vector error-correction model. The exogeneity of the variables is central to several 'buffer stock' models. However, the paper makes two modifications to the traditional approach. The first is to explicitly acknowledge the importance of the supply of money function by including the function alongside its demand counterpart. The second is to estimate the behaviour of the nominal sector and real sector simultaneously. Overall, the results from the G7 countries suggest that the concerns raised by 'buffer stock' models are relevant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1799-1809 Issue: 17 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840310001628053 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840310001628053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:17:p:1799-1809 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Djeto Assane Author-X-Name-First: Djeto Author-X-Name-Last: Assane Author-Name: Abbas Grammy Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Grammy Title: Institutional framework and economic development: international evidence Abstract: This paper examines the effect of 'quality' of the institutional framework on economic development. Our empirical results support the hypothesis that 'good' institutions improve efficiency and accelerate growth. The positive effect of institutional 'quality' is more pronounced with mutually reinforcing support of economic freedom. Our results also indicate that 'good' institutions help developing countries grow faster to achieve conditional convergence. We infer from the results that economic development requires not only physical and human capital formation, but also freedom to choose and institutional support. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1811-1817 Issue: 17 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000152862 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000152862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:17:p:1811-1817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arusha Cooray Author-X-Name-First: Arusha Author-X-Name-Last: Cooray Title: A test of the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates for Sri Lanka Abstract: This paper tests the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates for Sri Lanka. The data support the hypothesis that forward and spot rates are cointegrated suggesting a stochastic trend in the structure of interest rates. However, the hypothesis that forward rates are unbiased predictors of future spot rates is rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1819-1827 Issue: 17 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000148524 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000148524 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:17:p:1819-1827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. C. Matallin Author-X-Name-First: J. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Matallin Author-Name: A. Fernandez-Izquierdo Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Izquierdo Title: Passive timing effect in portfolio management Abstract: The primary objective of the present study is to analyse the extent of the passive timing effect in portfolio management. This effect is produced when a portfolio which is not managed actively shows signs of instability in its level of systematic risk. By contrast, market timing involves active management of the portfolio and therefore changes to the level of systematic risk in order to anticipate market movements in an appropriate manner. This study proposes a dynamic beta model which incorporates the effect of passive timing attributable to the accumulated evolution of weightings for the assets that make up the portfolio. The results demonstrate the importance of this effect when applying performance and market timing measures in order to evaluate portfolio results, such as those of mutual funds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1829-1837 Issue: 17 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000150404 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000150404 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:17:p:1829-1837 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. M. Salinas-Jimenez Author-X-Name-First: M. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Salinas-Jimenez Title: Technological change, efficiency gains and capital accumulation in labour productivity growth and convergence: an application to the Spanish regions Abstract: The main objective of this article is to analyse labour productivity growth and convergence in the Spanish regions between 1965 and 1995, decomposing total factor productivity gains into technological progress and efficiency change by means of Malmquist productivity indices. On the basis of this decomposition, labour productivity growth is broken down into components attributable to technological change (shifts in the frontier), efficiency gains (movements toward the frontier) and capital accumulation (movements along the frontier). The approach followed in this study is based on work initiated by Fare et al., where a link between the economic growth and convergence literature and the production frontier approach was established. Furthermore, in the spirit of Quah's approach, the evolution of the whole distribution is considered. Thus, the analysis of the dynamics of the entire distribution of labour productivity and the factors behind it - technological progress, efficiency gains and capital accumulation - combine both approaches, yielding new insights into the process of productivity growth and convergence experienced by the Spanish regions over the last 30 years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1839-1851 Issue: 17 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368403100016289800 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368403100016289800 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:17:p:1839-1851 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Bishop Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Bishop Author-Name: Steven Brand Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Brand Title: The efficiency of museums: a stochastic frontier production function approach Abstract: This article examines the technical efficiency of museums based upon data derived from a questionnaire survey of South West England. A stochastic frontier production function is estimated with output measured in terms of visitor numbers. The Cobb-Douglas function is shown to be the best representation of the production function. Average levels of efficiency are estimated to be fairly low at 45.5% with wide variations across museums. The results indicate that high levels of public funding and voluntary activity have a significantly negative impact on technical efficiency. It is argued that further research is needed to develop more sophisticated measures of the output of cultural industries and understand the economic importance of volunteers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1853-1858 Issue: 17 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000158064 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000158064 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:17:p:1853-1858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Papatheodorou Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Papatheodorou Title: Exploring the determination of student performance in university modules and streams Abstract: The role of various characteristics in explaining marks achieved by university students in specific modules and streams is assessed. Building on a hedonic analytical framework, this performance-related study aims at being useful for lecturers in their design of learning and teaching policy. Following the presentation of variables and some descriptive statistics, the econometric exercise indicates that the statistically significant factors are those primarily related to semester student performance, i.e. an overall good (mediocre) student performs well (bad) in the modules under consideration. Despite its superficial triviality, this result might have important implications for university administrators and their budgeting strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1859-1864 Issue: 17 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000154239 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000154239 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:17:p:1859-1864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barbara Casu Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Casu Author-Name: Philip Molyneux Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Molyneux Title: A comparative study of efficiency in European banking Abstract: This paper investigates whether there has been an improvement in and convergence of productive efficiency across European banking markets since the creation of the Single Internal Market. Using efficiency measures derived from DEA estimation, the determinants of European bank efficiency are evaluated using the Tobit regression model approach. The established literature on modelling the determinants of bank efficiency is then extended by recognizing the problem of the inherent dependency of DEA efficiency scores when used in regression analysis. To overcome the dependency problem, a bootstrapping technique is applied. Overall, the results suggest that since the EU's Single Market Programme there has been a small improvement in bank efficiency levels, although there is little evidence to suggest that these have converged. The results also suggest that inference on the determinants of bank efficiency drawn from non-bootstrapped regression analysis may be biased and misleading. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1865-1876 Issue: 17 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000158109 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000158109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:17:p:1865-1876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing-Huei Lin Author-X-Name-First: Bing-Huei Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Jerry Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jerry Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Systematic skewness in asset pricing: an empirical examination of the Taiwan stock market Abstract: This paper is an empirical study of asset pricing with the systematic skewness in the pricing model. We adopt the Fama-French three-factor model, which incorporates the firm-size and book-to-market ratio in asset pricing as the base case, and then includes the skewness factor used by Harvey and Siddique in the pricing model. The evidence shows that systematic skewness is significant and might be important in asset pricing when portfolios are formed by industry, firm-size, book-to-market, or momentum strategies. When portfolios are constructed by momentum or coskewness strategies, lower momentum, or lower coskewness portfolios exhibit higher skewness and higher kurtosis. When portfolios are grouped by excess returns, it is seen that the average excess return is positively correlated with size and coskewness. Thus the systematic skewness is closely related to firm size. And the relationship between systematic skewness and excess return is obscured by the reverse firm-size effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1877-1887 Issue: 17 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840310001628044 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840310001628044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:17:p:1877-1887 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Teresa Serra Author-X-Name-First: Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Serra Author-Name: Barry Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Title: Price transmission and asymmetric adjustment in the Spanish dairy sector Abstract: Asymmetric threshold vector error correction models are applied to monthly price data to analyse price relationships and patterns of transmission among farm and retail markets for a variety of dairy products in Spain. The results suggest that asymmetries affect a conspicuous part of the raw milk processed in Spain. Implications for the organizational structure of Spanish dairy markets are offered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1889-1899 Issue: 18 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840310001628774 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840310001628774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:18:p:1889-1899 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oner Guncavdi-super-˙ Author-X-Name-First: Oner Author-X-Name-Last: Guncavdi-super-˙ Author-Name: Andrew McKay Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: McKay Title: Macroeconomic adjustment and private manufacturing investment in Turkey: a time-series analysis Abstract: Despite the drastic switch to market-based policies and outward orientation in Turkey during the 1980s, private investment in manufacturing industry has still not revived after seventeen years of structural adjustment. This paper examines the main determinants of private investment in the manufacturing sector and the impacts of structural adjustment (particularly financial liberalisation as an integral part of the reform) on it. The results show that liberalisation policies in financial markets appear to have positive effects by reducing the stringency of quantity constraints on investment while the high interest rates resulting from financial liberalisation had no significant impact on investment. Macroeconomic instability, proxied by the variability of the inflation rate, seems to have discouraged investment in manufacturing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1901-1909 Issue: 18 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840310001628099 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840310001628099 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:18:p:1901-1909 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wolter Hassink Author-X-Name-First: Wolter Author-X-Name-Last: Hassink Author-Name: Lourens Broersma Author-X-Name-First: Lourens Author-X-Name-Last: Broersma Title: Quits, layoffs, and job destruction Abstract: We examine the quit-layoff distinction and its implications for job destruction from the employer's perspective. Using a set of panel data of Dutch firms, we get the following results. First, in addition to layoffs, quits contribute to the speed of downward adjustment of labour. Second, about 22% of the jobs of workers who resigned are destroyed. It is not clear-cut whether these resignations are initiated by employers or employees. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1911-1914 Issue: 18 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000163329 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000163329 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:18:p:1911-1914 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bengt Kristrom Author-X-Name-First: Bengt Author-X-Name-Last: Kristrom Author-Name: Tommy Lundgren Author-X-Name-First: Tommy Author-X-Name-Last: Lundgren Title: Abatement investments and green goodwill Abstract: This paper develops and estimates a dynamic model that links profits to green goodwill. Assuming that abatement investments generate green goodwill, and using data from the Swedish pulp industry, we are able to test the effects of green goodwill on firm level output price and profits. The results suggests that Swedish pulp plant output prices and profits may be positively related to changes in green goodwill. Furthermore, no evidence is found to support the existence of adjustment costs due to abatement investments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1915-1921 Issue: 18 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840310001628026 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840310001628026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:18:p:1915-1921 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: R. Maroto-Illera Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Maroto-Illera Title: Regimen changes and duration in the European Monetary System Abstract: This article examines the regime changes in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) of the European Monetary System (EMS), applying the duration model approach to weekly data of eight currencies participating in the ERM, covering the complete EMS history. When using the non-parametric (univariate) analysis, it was found that for those regimens with long durations, the ERM would have been relatively stable, while for the (more common) regimes associated with short durations would have been more unstable. The probability of maintaining a certain regime is estimated to be 0.685. When applying a parametric (multivariate) analysis to investigate the role of other variables in the probability of a regime change, it is concluded that the interest rate differential with Germany and the magnitude of the realignment would have negatively affected the duration of a given regime, while credibility would have positively influenced such duration. Finally, when distinguishing between groups of currencies, it is observed that those in the core are more stable than those in the periphery, obtaining evidence against equality of survival functions among these groups of currencies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1923-1933 Issue: 18 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0036840310001628783 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0036840310001628783 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:18:p:1923-1933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Dunham Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Dunham Author-Name: Michael Marlow Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Marlow Title: The economic incidence of smoking laws Abstract: Although laws restricting smoking in restaurants are becoming commonplace, most research has focused on either the health benefits that laws may provide customers and workers or whether laws harm owners. But while smoking laws may directly alter profits, owners may alter prices, output, and other business attributes in ways that affect the welfare of customers and workers. This study examines whether restaurant and bar owners alter prices, entertainment, hours of operation and other business attributes in response to local smoking laws. Substantial support is found for these attribute changes in the Wisconsin hospitality industry. One implication is that an overall assessment of the desirability of smoking laws should consider economic effects imposed on owners, customers and workers, as well as health benefits that follow laws. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1935-1942 Issue: 18 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840310001628765 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840310001628765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:18:p:1935-1942 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seamus McGuinness Author-X-Name-First: Seamus Author-X-Name-Last: McGuinness Title: University quality and labour market outcomes Abstract: This paper uses proxies for university quality derived from the Research Assessment Exercise and the Teaching Quality Assurance Agency to assess the impact of university quality on the labour market outcomes of a cohort of UK graduates. The impacts on job quality and earnings were mainly limited to graduates in particular disciplines or those obtaining 'poor' degrees from 'good' universities. The results suggest that, after controlling for pre-entry qualifications, labour market outcomes for most graduates depended more on the subject studied and degree classification awarded than on the university attended. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1943-1955 Issue: 18 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000158442 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000158442 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:18:p:1943-1955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Feng Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Jia Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jia Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: A SETAR model for Canadian GDP: non-linearities and forecast comparisons Abstract: This paper investigates the forecasting performance of the non-linear time series SETAR model by using Canadian GDP data from 1965 to 2000. Besides the within-sample fit, the forecasting performance of a standard linear ARIMA model for the same sample has also been generated for comparative purposes. Two forecasting methods, one-step-ahead and multi-step-ahead forecasting, are compared for each type of model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1957-1964 Issue: 18 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000160674 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000160674 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:18:p:1957-1964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Bishop Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Bishop Title: Collaboration and firm size: some evidence from the UK defence industry Abstract: This paper presents evidence on the relationship between collaboration and firm size derived from an empirical study of the UK defence industry. The results indicate that size has a positive impact on collaboration and, in particular, with the propensity to collaborate with overseas firms. However, size has no impact on the propensity to collaborate with UK partners. This lends support to theories which emphasize the resource constraints facing small firms in developing international collaboration. There is a need for a policy debate concerning mechanisms to promote collaboration to assist small firms to realise the benefits of international collaboration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1965-1969 Issue: 18 Volume: 35 Year: 2003 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000158073 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684032000158073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:35:y:2003:i:18:p:1965-1969 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Munisamy Gopinath Author-X-Name-First: Munisamy Author-X-Name-Last: Gopinath Author-Name: Daniel Pick Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Pick Author-Name: Yonghai Li Author-X-Name-First: Yonghai Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: An empirical analysis of productivity growth and industrial concentration in us manufacturing Abstract: This manuscript focuses on the productivity-industrial concentration relationship in the US manufacturing industries, while accounting for external and internal sources of knowledge. It is found that there is a critical level of industrial concentration beyond which its relationship with productivity growth becomes negative. Results suggest that static welfare losses of increasing concentration in manufacturing industries can be offset by welfare gains from productivity growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-7 Issue: 1 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000177143 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000177143 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:1:p:1-7 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Dare Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Dare Author-Name: A. Steven Holland Author-X-Name-First: A. Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Holland Title: Efficiency in the NFL betting market: modifying and consolidating research methods Abstract: Modifying and consolidating previous research methods to generate more reliable estimates, some fairly weak evidence is found of inefficiency in the NFL betting market resulting from a bias favouring home underdog (against away favourite) teams. In contrast to previous research, no evidence is found that 'momentum strategies' generate significant returns in this market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 9-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000177152 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000177152 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:1:p:9-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Ault Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Ault Author-Name: Robert Ekelund Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Ekelund Author-Name: John Jackson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Jackson Author-Name: Richard Saba Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Saba Title: Smokeless tobacco, smoking cessation and harm reduction: an economic analysis Abstract: Good estimates place 'hard core' smoking rates in the United States at approximately 25%, with little change over the decade of the 1990s. This paper examines the possibilities of 'harm reduction' with the use of smokeless tobacco. Specifically, using an econometric model we seek to determine whether an increase in the use of smokeless tobacco would lead to reduced smoking rates in the United States. Applying our model to the NHANES III (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey) we find that the use of smokeless tobacco by an average U.S. male smoker would increase the average probability of smoke cessation by over 10%. Approximately 3 million additional 'quits' would result for 26 million smokers. Our study permits an examination of cessation by age groups and we find that males who use smokeless tobacco between 16 and 65 have a 10-14% probability of quitting but that the probability falls beyond age 66. Important implications for life extension and health costs would attend these results with, under conservative assumptions, life years saved approximating 2.16 million and health care cost-savings of about $3 billion per year. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 17-29 Issue: 1 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000177161 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000177161 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:1:p:17-29 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Runar Brannlund Author-X-Name-First: Runar Author-X-Name-Last: Brannlund Author-Name: Per-Olov Marklund Author-X-Name-First: Per-Olov Author-X-Name-Last: Marklund Author-Name: Magnus Sjostrom Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Sjostrom Title: Evaluating market efficiency without price data: the Swedish market for wood fuel Abstract: The overall objective of this paper is to analyse the price development and price formation for wood fuel used by the Swedish district heating sector. According to Lonner et al., there is a significant potential for increasing the use of wood fuel in Sweden, at a fairly moderate cost. The basic question raised in this paper is then why this potential is not realized. Specifically, a methodology is proposed for testing whether the reason is that market imperfections are present. As a first step the shape of the technology in the Swedish district heating sector is estimated for the period 1989 to 1996. In the second step the estimated technology and the assumption of cost-minimizing firms are combined to calculate shadow prices, i.e. marginal valuation of wood fuel in this sector. If the average shadow price significantly deviates from the average observed price one may conclude that this market is functioning inefficiently due to imperfections. According to constructed bootstrap confidence intervals this difference is significant only for three out of eight years, implying that the quantities of wood fuel traded are too small. For the other years the difference is not significant, implying that one cannot, on statistical grounds, reject the efficient market hypothesis for all years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 31-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000177170 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000177170 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:1:p:31-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. I. Spyrou Author-X-Name-First: S. I. Author-X-Name-Last: Spyrou Title: Are stocks a good hedge against inflation? evidence from emerging markets Abstract: Theory suggests that equities are a good hedge against inflation. However, most of the empirical evidence for industrialized economies suggests that the relationship between stock returns and inflation is negative. One explanation is the negative correlation between inflation and real output growth. This paper examines the relationship between inflation and stock returns for ten important Emerging Stock Market (ESM) markets, namely, Chile, Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Thailand, S. Korea, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Philippines and Turkey, during the 1990s. To anticipate the results, the relationship between stock returns and inflation, for the whole sample period, is positive and statistically significant for three of the sample ESMs, while it is positive (but statistically insignificant) for a further three. Only for one ESM is the relationship negative and statistically significant. This result may be due to the role of money and the positive relationship between consumer prices and output. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 41-48 Issue: 1 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000177189 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000177189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:1:p:41-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Bredin Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Bredin Author-Name: Gerard O'Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Gerard Author-X-Name-Last: O'Reilly Title: An analysis of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in Ireland Abstract: This paper examines the impact of a monetary policy shock on output, prices and the exchange rate for Ireland during its participation in the EMS. The paper draws on recent techniques used in the structural vector autoregression literature. Results suggest that an exogenous temporary increase in the short-term interest rate leads to a decline in output and prices with the latter responding more sluggishly. In addition, a higher interest rate leads to an immediate appreciation of the domestic exchange rate and a subsequent depreciation of the currency. Exchange rate or forward bias puzzle, which are prevalent in other studies, are not found. The robustness of these results is checked under a number of alternative identifications schemes Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 49-58 Issue: 1 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000177198 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000177198 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:1:p:49-58 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chen-Hsiu Laih Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Hsiu Author-X-Name-Last: Laih Title: Effects of the optimal step toll scheme on equilibrium commuter behaviour Abstract: This paper derives commuters' equilibrium queuing costs and equilibrium schedule delay costs before and after levying the optimal step tolls at a queuing bottleneck. Dealing with these equilibrium costs technically one can forecast some changes in equilibrium commuter behaviour from the no-toll to the optimal step toll cases. There is some useful information provided in this paper. First, the number of commuters who will or will not pay the tolls can be investigated before tolling a queuing bottleneck. Second, all commuters' departure time switching decisions from the no-toll to the tolled cases can be investigated before tolling. Third, the increased leisure time in the morning to the toll payer due to depart from home later than their original departure times in the no-toll case can be investigated before tolling. The above information of equilibrium commuter behaviour, which the related literature has failed to provide, is useful to policy-makers if the optimal step toll scheme is considered to be put into practice. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 59-81 Issue: 1 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000177206 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000177206 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:1:p:59-81 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petr Mariel Author-X-Name-First: Petr Author-X-Name-Last: Mariel Author-Name: Joel Sandonis Author-X-Name-First: Joel Author-X-Name-Last: Sandonis Title: A model of advertising with application to the German automobile industry Abstract: This paper develops a dynamic duopolistic model of advertising and price competition. Advertising accumulates a stock of goodwill which enters directly into the demand functions and both the cooperative and predatory effects of advertising are considered. It is shown that firms invest more in advertising the higher the degree of cooperativeness of advertising and some comparative static results are provided. In the second, empirical part of the article, estimations of the demand equations are presented using data from the German automobile industry. The main conclusion drawn is that advertising plays an important role in this market and has a predatory nature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 83-92 Issue: 1 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000177215 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000177215 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:1:p:83-92 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Healey Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Healey Author-Name: Martin Knapp Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Knapp Author-Name: David Farrington Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Farrington Title: Adult labour market implications of antisocial behaviour in childhood and adolescence: findings from a UK longitudinal study Abstract: While antisocial behaviour in younger age groups is largely viewed as a public externality issue, there are also reasons for expecting less favourable life-course outcomes for those individuals who follow antisocial developmental pathways. Data from a UK longitudinal study of delinquent development in a cohort of working class boys are used to model the adult labour market implications of different antisocial developmental pathways to age 32. A series of probit estimations suggests that children identified as troublesome by peers and teachers at an early age, and who subsequently engaged in delinquent behaviour throughout their adolescence, had a significantly higher probability of experiencing long periods of time out of the workforce prior to age 32 and lengthy periods of unemployment and/or low paid work at both age 18 and at age 32. A Heckman selectivity model estimated on weekly earnings at age 32 does not provide evidence that antisocial development in children and adolescents is associated with a lower wage. However, the findings from a two-part model suggest that antisocial boys will have significantly lower levels of expected earnings from employment at 32 years--an effect that is almost entirely the result of lower rates of workforce participation. While a full causal, structural model of labour outcomes is not developed, there is tentative evidence that relatively poor employment outcomes for antisocial boys are mediated through poor educational attainment at secondary school and higher rates of criminal conviction in early adulthood. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 93-105 Issue: 2 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000174001 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000174001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:2:p:93-105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Baffoe-Bonnie Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Baffoe-Bonnie Title: Interindustry part-time and full-time wage differentials: regional and national analysis Abstract: This paper provides more evidence that the wage differential is far smaller than is suggested by simple comparison of gross wages of full-time and part-time workers. It is noted that to obtain a more reasonable measure of the full-time and part-time wage differential, it is necessary to adjust for differences in workers' characteristics, labour market conditions and sample selection. It is found that, in general, full-time and part-time workers exhibit different personal characteristics. In particular, full-time workers possess more human capital and experience than part-timers. Also, labour market conditions such as unions and pension plans favour full-timers. These differences may partly account for the wage disparity between full-time and part-time workers. It was noted that the nonrandomness of the workers into full-time and part-time jobs influences the wage determination of both full-time and part-time workers. The results indicate that the adjustment of the wage equations to reflect the above mentioned differences reduces the national wage differential between full-time and part-time workers by 10%. The reduction is even larger across regions and industries. Another finding was that the wage determination processes between full-time and part-time workers do differ. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 107-118 Issue: 2 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000174010 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000174010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:2:p:107-118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Florio Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Florio Author-Name: Katiuscia Manzoni Author-X-Name-First: Katiuscia Author-X-Name-Last: Manzoni Title: Abnormal returns of UK privatizations: from underpricing to outperformance Abstract: This paper offers a review and discussion of the evidence concerning the underpricing and long-run performance of British PIPOs (Privatization Initial Public Offerings) between 1977 and 1996, i.e. from the first privatization under a Labour Government (British Petroleum), until the last ones by a Conservative Government (Railtrack). More recent years are excluded because the change of government, the introduction of a windfall tax on excess profits of regulated utilities, and changes in the regulatory regime, mark a totally different landscape compared with the previous twenty years. Evidence is found that underpricing was not followed by underperformance, as is usually observed with IPOs, but rather strong outperformance. This trend is decomposed by subgroups within a 55 observations sample, and it is concluded that lax regulation was probably the main driving force of abnormal returns of British PIPOs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 119-136 Issue: 2 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000174029 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000174029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:2:p:119-136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lee Kian Lim Author-X-Name-First: Lee Kian Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Michael McAleer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McAleer Title: Convergence and catching up in ASEAN: a comparative analysis Abstract: The increasing diversity of average growth rates and income levels across countries has generated a large literature on testing the income convergence hypothesis. Most countries in South-East Asia, particularly the five founding ASEAN member countries (ASEAN-5), have experienced substantial economic growth, with the pace of growth having varied substantially across countries. Recent empirical studies have found evidence of several convergence clubs, in which per capita incomes have converged for selected groupings of countries and regions. This paper applies different time series tests of convergence to determine if there is a convergence club for ASEAN-5, as well as ASEAN-5 and the USA. The catching up hypothesis states that the lagging country, with low initial income and productivity levels, will tend to grow more rapidly by copying the technology of the leader country, without having to bear the associated costs of research and development. Given the important effects of technological change on growth, this paper also examines whether ASEAN-5 is catching up technologically with the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 137-153 Issue: 2 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000174038 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000174038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:2:p:137-153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kam-Ki Tang Author-X-Name-First: Kam-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Yi-Ping Tseng Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Tseng Title: Industry-specific human capital, knowledge labour, and industry wage structure in Taiwan Abstract: This paper investigates the role of industry-specific human capital (ISHC) in determining industry wage structure. The model presented in this paper distinguishes between knowledge labour and physical labour. Knowledge labour is physical labour embodied with ISHC. It is postulated that more ISHC-intensive industries, such as high-tech industries, pay higher wages and the wage premiums increase with workers' experience. The hypothesis is tested using a merged sample of 1997-1999 manpower utilization survey data from a newly industrialized economy—Taiwan. The findings show support for the effect of ISHC. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 155-164 Issue: 2 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000174047 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000174047 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:2:p:155-164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Mikek Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Mikek Title: Inflation targeting and switch of fiscal regime in New Zealand Abstract: Monetary policy cannot be adequately addressed without also specifying fiscal policy. I interpret the economic reforms in New Zealand in the 1980s using a simple model that includes reaction functions of both monetary and fiscal policy. The interpretation is based on the wealth effects of the government debt. The successful and sustainable shift in monetary policy regime in New Zealand was supported by a compatible switch in fiscal policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 165-172 Issue: 2 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000174056 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000174056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:2:p:165-172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jongsup Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jongsup Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Growth of regional economy and income inequality: county-level evidence from Florida, USA Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to find the homogeneous groups and growth factors of Florida's counties through factor analysis and cluster analysis from data sets from 1979 and 2000 and to grasp the relationship between income inequality and growth by cluster using the derived growth factors. The numbers of factors divided through factor analysis were three, and six groups were obtained from cluster analysis. County-level evidence of this paper indicates that GI_DI and SIN have a strong effect and are statistically significant to the growth rate. Results for income inequality by county and region indicate significant differences between counties, including counties where agriculture accomplishes the primary main function. Therefore, government should adopt the following policies: minimum wage, unemployment insurance, local or state tax policies, income support programmes, and tax reform. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 173-183 Issue: 2 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000174065 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000174065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:2:p:173-183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Clive Belfield Author-X-Name-First: Clive Author-X-Name-Last: Belfield Author-Name: Xiangdong Wei Author-X-Name-First: Xiangdong Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Employer size-wage effects: evidence from matched employer-employee survey data in the UK Abstract: This paper employs a random sample of matched employer-employee data from the UK to test seven possible explanations for the positive relationship between employer size and pay. Individual wage equations show a large employer size-wage premium. We then control for a range of establishment-level variables, based on seven hypotheses typically advanced to explain this premium. Each establishment-level factor reduces the wage premium, but a sizeable premium nonetheless remains. In adjudicating on these hypotheses, we find a strong association between the internal labour market and the employer size-wage premium. This finding supports the theory that the employer size-wage effect may be due to the higher costs of turnover or monitoring in larger firms. However, we find contrasting effects for public versus private sector establishments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 185-193 Issue: 3 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000175316 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000175316 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:3:p:185-193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Crowder Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Crowder Author-Name: Mark Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: A cointegrated structural VAR model of the Canadian economy Abstract: This paper implements a cointegrated structural VAR model of the Canadian economy using quarterly data over the period 1964-1994. The dynamic properties of the estimated model are compared to the predictions of a simple textbook macro model. Four long-run equilibrium relationships are tested: (i) consumption-income; (ii) consumption-wealth; (iii) money demand; and (iv) the Fisher equation. The empirical results obtained are generally consistent with the predictions of the textbook model's long-run implications, although level shifts are observed in the consumption/income and the wealth/income ratios. Similarly it is found that there was an increase in the ex post real interest rate, implying a level shift in the Fisher relation, following the Bank of Canada's policy change towards a stable price level target. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 195-213 Issue: 3 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000175325 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000175325 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:3:p:195-213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudia Girardone Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Girardone Author-Name: Philip Molyneux Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Molyneux Author-Name: Edward Gardener Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Gardener Title: Analysing the determinants of bank efficiency: the case of Italian banks Abstract: This study investigates the main determinants of Italian banks' cost efficiency over the period 1993-1996, by employing a Fourier-flexible stochastic cost frontier in order to measure X-efficiencies and economies of scale. Quality and riskiness of bank outputs are explicitly accounted for in the cost function and their impact on cost efficiency levels is evaluated. The results show that mean X-inefficiencies range between 13 and 15 per cent of total costs and they tend to decrease over time for all bank sizes. Economies of scale appear present and significant, being especially high for popular and credit co-operative banks. Moreover, the inclusion of risk and output quality variables in the cost function seems to reduce the significance of the scale economy estimates. Following Spong et al. (1995) a profitability test is undertaken that allows for the identification of banks that are both cost and profit efficient. The results suggest that the most efficient and profitable institutions are more able to control all aspects of costs, especially labour costs. Finally, the data are pooled to carry out a logistic regression model in order to examine bank- and market-specific factors that influence Italian banks' inefficiency. Confirming Mester (1993, 1996), inefficiencies appear to be inversely correlated with capital strength and positively related to the level of non-performing loans in the balance sheet. The analysis also shows that there is no clear relationship between asset size and bank efficiency. Finally, it is possible to infer that quoted banks seem to be on average more efficient than their non-quoted counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 215-227 Issue: 3 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000175334 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000175334 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:3:p:215-227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helena Lenihan Author-X-Name-First: Helena Author-X-Name-Last: Lenihan Title: Evaluating Irish industrial policy in terms of deadweight and displacement: a quantitative methodological approach Abstract: Evaluation should consider what would have happened in the absence of assistance. To produce an assessment of this counter-factual scenario involves considering the twin concepts of deadweight and displacement. An evaluative framework is developed for measuring the impact of grant assistance to individual firms. Logit regression analysis is used to estimate predictive models for deadweight and displacement. The data were gathered during face-to-face interviews with the managing directors of firms that received grants from Shannon Development in the Shannon region of Ireland (self-assessment approach). The objective was to establish whether certain characteristics of grant-assisted firms can predict probable deadweight and displacement effects. In the case of deadweight, it was found that grant type, size of firm, whether investment appraisal carried out by firm included grant received and whether firm was a first-time or repeat grant recipient all impact on the level of deadweight. Regarding displacement, it was found that size of firm and type of ownership impact on displacement. While the evaluative framework has been 'tested' in an Irish regional context, the logic of the approach is clear and has a much wider international applicability regarding the evaluation of industrial policy interventions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 229-252 Issue: 3 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000175343 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000175343 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:3:p:229-252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sung Jin Kang Author-X-Name-First: Sung Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: The evolution of regional income distribution in Japan Abstract: Using data on per capita income of Japan's 47 prefectures between 1955 and 1997, this paper shows that one of the most popular measurements of convergence, σ-convergence, is not invariant with both transformation and definition of dispersion. Measured by the standard deviation, the actual per capita income has diverged, whereas measured by the coefficients of variation, it has converged since 1955. The log of per capita income and relative income of all prefectures to Tokyo, however, have converged regardless of the measurement of dispersion. In addition, through the estimation of density function and transition matrix, the intradistribution dynamics of each prefecture's per capita income is identified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 253-259 Issue: 3 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000175352 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000175352 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:3:p:253-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sushanta Mallick Author-X-Name-First: Sushanta Author-X-Name-Last: Mallick Title: A dynamic macroeconometric model for short-run stabilization in India Abstract: A small macroeconometric model examining the determinants of India's trade and inflation is developed to address the effects of a reform policy package similar to those implemented in 1991. This is different from the previous studies in two important respects. First, inflation has been modelled in an open economy context, and second, the non-stationarity of the data into the model and estimation procedures has been explicitly incorporated, suggesting that the stationarity assumption in earlier studies may be a source of misspecification. The model in this paper has been estimated using data from 1950 to 1995 employing fully modified Phillips-Hansen method of estimation to obtain the cointegrating relations and the short-run dynamic model. Policy simulations using dynamic simulation method compare the responses to devaluation with the responses to tight credit policy. It is shown that the trade balance effects of tight credit policy are more enduring than that of devaluation. The simulations demonstrate that the devaluation actually worsens trade balance and hence devaluation cannot be an option in response to a negative trade shock, whereas the reduction in domestic credit reflecting demand contraction produces a desirable improvement in the trade balance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 261-276 Issue: 3 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000175361 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000175361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:3:p:261-276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yannick L'horty Author-X-Name-First: Yannick Author-X-Name-Last: L'horty Author-Name: Christophe Rault Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Rault Title: Inflation, minimum wage and other wages: an econometric study on French macroeconomic data Abstract: This study examines the set of interdependences between the formation of wages, prices and the minimum wage (SMIC) through a vectorial error correction model estimated on French quarterly macroeconomic data covering the 1970-1/1999-4 period. Two periods are distinguished: the period of inflation rise from 1970 to 1981, which coincides with an important squeeze of the wage range, measured by the ratio of the minimum wage to the hourly wage rate; the period of disinflation since 1981, that has been concomitant with a stability of wage inequalities. Disinflation has hardly benefited the evolution of the SMIC which has always profited by price rises, in real and relative terms, which have become less strong. This evolution does not benefit any more on wage rises, when the interdependences between variables are taken into account. The SMIC seems however to have gained in efficiency as an instrument on wage disparity reduction. It rises are finally more persistent in real terms and relatively to the other salaries and have always as little inflationary impact on wages as on prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 277-290 Issue: 4 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001674213 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001674213 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:4:p:277-290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandra Guariglia Author-X-Name-First: Alessandra Author-X-Name-Last: Guariglia Author-Name: Yiing Jia Loke Author-X-Name-First: Yiing Jia Author-X-Name-Last: Loke Title: What determines the value and volume of noncash transactions? Evidence from a panel of European and North American countries Abstract: Using data from a panel of 15 countries over the period 1990-1998, the determinants of the use of non cash payment instruments are analysed. The estimation results highlight the importance of distinguishing between the determinants of the value and volume of noncash transactions. It is found in fact that the volume of these transactions is generally affected by changes in the determinants more strongly than their value, and that variables such as the interest rate have a different impact on the volume and the value of the transactions. The findings also suggest that past habits play a dominant role in the intensity of use of noncash payment instruments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 291-303 Issue: 4 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684041000167222 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684041000167222 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:4:p:291-303 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James McGibany Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: McGibany Author-Name: Farrokh Nourzad Author-X-Name-First: Farrokh Author-X-Name-Last: Nourzad Title: Do lower mortgage rates mean higher housing prices? Abstract: Much research has shown that mortgage rates exert a negative influence on housing prices. This study analyses the long- and short-run relationships between housing prices and mortgage rates using advanced nonstructural estimation methods. As expected, a bivariate specification and a four-variable housing demand specification both show that these variables have a long-run relationship, and that there is a rather inelastic response of housing prices to changes in mortgage rates. However, contrary to previous research, the results from Granger non-causality tests, impulse response functions and variance decompositions reveal that there is virtually no short-run influence from mortgage rates to housing prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 305-313 Issue: 4 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001674231 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001674231 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:4:p:305-313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Les Coleman Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Coleman Title: New light on the longshot bias Abstract: The longshot bias is the tendency for bettors to put more money on horses with long odds than is justified by their objective probability of winning: thus favourites win more often than projected by their odds. This challenges normative assumptions as it means the return increases with the probability of winning. Even though the longshot bias is well-known, it has defied authoritative explanation. This article draws on studies of the longshot bias over 50 years across four continents to show that its nature is consistent with two bettor populations. One is risk-averse, knowledgeable about winners, backs favourites, believes in the gambler's fallacy, and has a positive expected return. The other, a larger group is risk loving, backs longshots, believes in hot hands, and has a significant, negative expected return. The crossover between the two groups occurs where the probability of a positive result is about 0.2. This matches the transition from risk aversion to risk embrace which has been found in a variety of behavioural studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 315-326 Issue: 4 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001674240 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001674240 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:4:p:315-326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Sutter Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Sutter Author-Name: Martin Kocher Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Kocher Title: Patterns of co-authorship among economics departments in the USA Abstract: Given the steady increase in co-authored papers in economics journals, this paper reports a study of the patterns of co-authorship between US universities and colleges. A majority of institutions produce more co-authored than single-authored papers. Contacts with researchers from the same institution are still an important source of co-authored papers, even though slightly decreasing in frequency. The determinants of co-authorship outside the own institution are tested in a gravity model and it is found that distance and other geographical variables do not matter. However, the quality of co-authors' institutions, measured by rankings of institutions, has a significant impact on the number of co-authored papers in top economics journals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 327-333 Issue: 4 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001674259 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001674259 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:4:p:327-333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amado Peiro Author-X-Name-First: Amado Author-X-Name-Last: Peiro Title: Are business cycles asymmetric? Some European evidence Abstract: Economic thought has often regarded business cycles as asymmetric. This study examines the existence of asymmetries over the business cycle in seven European countries: France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, The Netherlands and the United Kingdom. To analyse this issue, industrial production in these countries from 1957 to 1998 is examined, and quarterly contractions and expansions in this variable are compared. The results obtained with both parametric and non-parametric methods allow the existence of asymmetries in these countries to be questioned. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 335-342 Issue: 4 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001674268 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001674268 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:4:p:335-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuji Honjo Author-X-Name-First: Yuji Author-X-Name-Last: Honjo Title: Growth of new start-up firms: evidence from the Japanese manufacturing industry Abstract: This study investigates firm growth as the post-entry performance of new start-up firms. Using data on Japanese manufacturing firms founded during 1992-1996, the determinants of growth are identified among new start-up firms. The effect is examined, not only of firm-specific characteristics but also of entrepreneur-specific, industry-specific and local characteristics on firm growth. It is found that younger and small-sized firms are more likely to grow among the start-ups. It is also found that entrepreneur's age and educational background affect the growth of start-ups. It is not shown, however, that industry specialization induces the growth of start-ups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 343-355 Issue: 4 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001674277 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001674277 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:4:p:343-355 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmela Di Mauro Author-X-Name-First: Carmela Di Author-X-Name-Last: Mauro Author-Name: Anna Maffioletti Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Maffioletti Title: Attitudes to risk and attitudes to uncertainty: experimental evidence Abstract: In a series of experiments the interactions among individual attitudes towards risk and uncertainty, the sign of the outcome domain, and the way uncertainty is represented are tested. This is done in a unified framework, eliciting individual values by means of a second price auction. Results confirm the presence of the well-known fourfold pattern of risk attitude (risk aversion for gains and risk seeking for losses at high probability, and risk seeking for gains and risk aversion for losses at low probability) and show that this pattern can also be extended to uncertainty. In the valuation of losses the modal pattern is decreasing risk and uncertainty aversion as the probability of loss increases, while increasing risk and uncertainty aversion is observed for gains. Moreover, it is found that the size of reaction to uncertainty does not depend on the outcome domain, and that it persists in the face of an incentive-compatible mechanism to elicit preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 357-372 Issue: 4 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001674286 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001674286 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:4:p:357-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mikael Bask Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Bask Author-Name: Maria Melkersson Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Melkersson Title: Rationally addicted to drinking and smoking? Abstract: When modelling demand for addictive consumption goods, the most widely used framework is the rational addiction model proposed by Becker and Murphy. This paper extends the rational addiction model to include two addictive consumption goods, alcohol and cigarettes, and using aggregate annual time series on sales volumes for the period 1955-1999, estimates the aggregate demand for these goods in Sweden, where OLS estimates are compared to GMM estimates allowing for possible endogeneity of lagged and lead consumption. First, the demand for alcohol and cigarettes are estimated as separate equations and it is found that alcohol demand is quite well described by the rational addiction model while the same is not true for cigarettes. The own-price elasticities are negative, and alcohol demand is more elastic than cigarette demand. The cross-price elasticities are also negative, showing that alcohol and cigarettes are complements. Since consumption of alcohol and cigarettes are probably simultaneous decisions, the demand for these goods is estimated as a system of equations and it is found that alcohol demand is still positively affected by lagged and lead consumption while cigarette demand is not. It is also found that the elasticities obtained are now generally smaller compared to when estimating the equations separately. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 373-381 Issue: 4 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001674295 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001674295 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:4:p:373-381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inna Cabelkova Author-X-Name-First: Inna Author-X-Name-Last: Cabelkova Author-Name: Jan Hanousek Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Hanousek Title: The power of negative thinking: corruption, perception and willingness to bribe in Ukraine Abstract: This study provides an empirical analysis of the association between corruption perception and the willingness to offer bribes, as well as of the influence of different sources of information on corruption perception in the Ukraine. The higher the perceived corruption in an organization, the more probable it is that a person dealing with that organization will offer a bribe, therefore supporting corruption. Since corruption scandals in Ukraine seldom result in legal action, information about corruption in the mass media might actually encourage people to give bribes. This study found that corruption perception is one of the key factors in giving a bribe and that its positive/negative effects strongly depend on institutions and government policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 383-397 Issue: 4 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001674303 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001674303 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:4:p:383-397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Bessler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Author-Name: Robert Ruffley Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Ruffley Title: Prequential analysis of stock market returns Abstract: The Brier score and a covariance partition due to Yates are considered to study the probabilistic forecasts of a vector autoregression on stock market returns. Probabilistic forecasts from a model and data developed by Campbell (1991) are studied with ordinary least squares. Calibration measures and the Brier score and its partition are used for model assessment. The partitions indicate that the ordinary least squares version of Campbell's model does not forecast stock market returns particularly well. While the model offers honest probabilistic forecasts (they are well-calibrated), the model shows little ability to sort events that occur into different groups from events that do not occur. The Yates-partition demonstrates this shortcoming. Calibration metrics do not. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 399-412 Issue: 5 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001682115 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001682115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:5:p:399-412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jati Sengupta Author-X-Name-First: Jati Author-X-Name-Last: Sengupta Title: Estimating technical change by nonparametric methods Abstract: A nonparametric method using dynamic data envelopment analysis is developed here to specify and estimate a dynamic production frontier. By this technique technological progress measured by the time shift of the production frontier and the scale economies measured by increasing returns to scale are estimated from the observed input output data, which may sometimes be nonstationary. An application to US computer industry exhibits substantial technological progress and scale economies over the period 1987-1998. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 413-420 Issue: 5 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001682124 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001682124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:5:p:413-420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Madden Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Title: Labour market discrimination on the basis of health: an application to UK data Abstract: An analysis of wage discrimination is carried out on the basis of health on UK data with a number of important modifications. First selection is controlled for into both health and labour market status. Second the direct effect of health upon productivity is accounted for and third, discrimination is examined with regard to participation as well as wages. The question of selection into health status is found to be of little empirical importance but taking account of selection into labour market status and the direct impact of health upon productivity leads to a fall in measured discrimination. The paper finds similar results with regard to participation. It is also examined whether these effects differ across age and gender. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 421-442 Issue: 5 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001682133 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001682133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:5:p:421-442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eleanor Doyle Author-X-Name-First: Eleanor Author-X-Name-Last: Doyle Title: Exchange rate pass-through in a small open economy: the Anglo-Irish case Abstract: Bilateral import unit values are constructed to investigate the extent and speed of exchange rate and production cost pass-through into the unit values of Irish imports (total and sectoral) from the UK using Menon's (1996) mark-up model. The approach used to measure exchange rate pass-through is based on cointegration and error-correction modelling and the period of analysis is from 1979 to 1995. Full pass-through from the bilateral Irish pound-Sterling exchange rate and from UK producer costs could not be rejected for total and sectoral import unit values for the sample period 1979q1-1995q4. This implies no role for domestic competing prices in explaining the long-run relationship determining unit values of Irish imports from the UK. The results indicate that for aggregate and sectoral unit values of Irish imports from the UK pass-through is incomplete in the short-run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 443-455 Issue: 5 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001682142 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001682142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:5:p:443-455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaos Dritsakis Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Dritsakis Author-Name: Antonis Adamopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Antonis Author-X-Name-Last: Adamopoulos Title: A causal relationship between government spending and economic development: an empirical examination of the Greek economy Abstract: During the past few years, in many countries, both developed and developing, there has been a tendency to increase government spending. This article intends to examine this tendency of the public sector as well as the existing relationship between the extent of government spending and economic development. The data used cover a time period between 1960 and 2001. An effort is made to determine causal relationships between spending and economic development through the use of Wagner's theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 457-464 Issue: 5 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001682151 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001682151 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:5:p:457-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Natalia Barbosa Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Author-X-Name-Last: Barbosa Author-Name: Paulo Guimaraes Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Guimaraes Author-Name: Douglas Woodward Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Woodward Title: Foreign firm entry in an open economy: the case of Portugal Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to analyse the entry process of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Portuguese industrial sectors. Portugal presents an interesting case where firms enter to take advantage of export opportunities. The results suggest that foreign firms possess the ability to overcome existing entry barriers that affect domestic firms. Apparently, foreign firms have different expectations about profitability than domestic firms, possibly due to foreign firms' export-orientation to the rest of the European Union (EU). They appear to desire industries where other foreign firms have clustered. Above all, it appears that these foreign firms enter industries to exploit Portugal's chief location advantage in Western Europe: low wages. Portugal's FDI experience is relevant to other countries that have opened their economies to greater trade and investment and attracted export-oriented firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 465-472 Issue: 5 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001682160 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001682160 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:5:p:465-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacint Balaguer Author-X-Name-First: Jacint Author-X-Name-Last: Balaguer Author-Name: Manuel Cantavella-Jorda Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cantavella-Jorda Title: Structural change in exports and economic growth: cointegration and causality analysis for Spain (1961-2000) Abstract: The Spanish export-led growth hypothesis is re-examined from the trade liberalization process initiated four decades ago. For this purpose both the export expansion and the progression from 'traditional' exports to manufactured and semimanufactured exports are taken into consideration. A new evidence is reported for the above period. Alongside a feedback between aggregate exports and real output, it has been proved that the structural transformation in export composition has also become a key factor for Spain's economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 473-477 Issue: 5 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001682179 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001682179 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:5:p:473-477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akihiko Kawaura Author-X-Name-First: Akihiko Author-X-Name-Last: Kawaura Title: Deregulation and governance: plight of Japanese banks in the 1990s Abstract: The governance structure of public corporations is determined by the agency relationship between shareholders and managers, and the agency theory predicts that deregulation of an industry leads to governance adaptation. Deregulation of the Japanese banking business in the 1980s offers an interesting case study in this framework, as Japanese banks fell into serious solvency problems in the post-deregulation 1990s. This paper investigates whether ineffective governance was responsible for the plight of Japanese banks. The sample is 384 corporations that were listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange between 1983 and 1990, which includes 59 banks. One of the findings is that bank shareholders allowed more diffuse ownership structure after deregulation, which demonstrates that the agency theory did not hold for shareholders of Japanese banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 479-484 Issue: 5 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001682188 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001682188 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:5:p:479-484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Audun Langørgen Author-X-Name-First: Audun Author-X-Name-Last: Langørgen Title: Needs, economic constraints, and the distribution of public home-care Abstract: When private goods are publicly provided at subsidized prices, government authorities have to determine the distribution of services on recipients. The distribution of services according to need is frequently referred to as an important policy goal. Thus governments are assumed to develop standards for evaluating the relative needs of different clients. This paper analyses the impact of needs and economic constraints on the distribution of public home-care in Norway. The empirical results show that individual needs have a significant effect on the distribution of home-care. Another finding is that local public authorities with higher disposable incomes meet client needs better. Finally the results are utilized to derive a measure of client-specific need. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 485-496 Issue: 5 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001682197 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001682197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:5:p:485-496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giannis Karagiannis Author-X-Name-First: Giannis Author-X-Name-Last: Karagiannis Author-Name: Kostas Velentzas Author-X-Name-First: Kostas Author-X-Name-Last: Velentzas Title: Decomposition analysis of consumers' demand changes: an application to Greek consumption data Abstract: A decomposition analysis for consumer demand functions is developed. Changes in Marshallian demand or expenditure shares functions over time are decomposed into a total substitution effect, an income effect, and a habit effect. This framework is applied to post-war Greek consumption patterns through a habit persistence version of the Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS). It is found that for all commodity categories (i.e., food, beverages and tobacco, footwear and clothing, settling and housing, and others) the income effect was the main driving force in explaining changes in both quantity demanded and expenditure shares, followed by habit and total substitution effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 497-504 Issue: 5 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001682205 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001682205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:5:p:497-504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hubert Janicki Author-X-Name-First: Hubert Author-X-Name-Last: Janicki Author-Name: Phanindra Wunnava Author-X-Name-First: Phanindra Author-X-Name-Last: Wunnava Title: Determinants of foreign direct investment: empirical evidence from EU accession candidates Abstract: This study examines bilateral foreign direct investments (FDI) between the members of the European Union and eight central and east European candidate (CEEC) economies in transition, awaiting accession into the European Union (EU). Cross-section data were obtained for Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovak Republic, and Slovenia for 1997. Once the main characteristics of FDI recipient and donor nations are identified in a bilateral framework, it will be feasible to predict future FDI inflows. This study reveals that the key determinants of FDI inflows in CEECs are size of the host economy, host country risk, labour costs in host country, and openness to trade. Countries that are receiving fewer foreign investments could make themselves more attractive to potential donor nations by focusing on some of the key determinants identified by this study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 505-509 Issue: 5 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001682214 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001682214 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:5:p:505-509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dan Friesner Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Friesner Author-Name: Robert Rosenman Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenman Title: Non-profit cost-adjusting with quality as a private good Abstract: Nonprofit firms that produce multiple outputs may lower service intensity for one patient group in response to lower reimbursements for another group. This is termed 'cost-adjusting' behaviour. Cost-adjusting implies a serious welfare transfer. The results of this analysis suggest that the potential for this welfare transfer exists; however, the ability of a firm to exploit this welfare transfer depends largely on the demand conditions present in the market. An empirical analysis finds evidence that nonprofit hospitals in Washington State do practise cost-adjusting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 511-523 Issue: 5 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001682223 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001682223 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:5:p:511-523 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Telhado Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Telhado Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Author-Name: Pedro Silva Martins Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Silva Author-X-Name-Last: Martins Title: Returns to education and wage equations Abstract: The paper shows why considering a number of education-dependent covariates in a wage equation decreases the coefficient of education in that equation. This result is illustrated empirically with a meta-analysis for Portugal. The education coefficient decreases when covariates are used that can be considered post-education decisions; on the other hand, it is independent of sample size, tenure and whether hourly or monthly wages are used. These results support the use of a simple specification of the Mincer equation for the study of the total returns to education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 525-531 Issue: 6 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217571 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217571 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:6:p:525-531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mustapha Baghli Author-X-Name-First: Mustapha Author-X-Name-Last: Baghli Title: Modelling the FF/MM rate by threshold cointegration analysis Abstract: This paper investigates a sticky-price model of exchange rate determination: extension of Krugman's target zone model with price inertia applied to the French Franc. A novel theoretical argument is considered, Threshold Cointegration, such that the long-run relationship between the parity and its fundamentals is dormant within a certain range of disequilibria but is restored when the system crosses the boundaries. Over the period 1987-1993, nonlinearities in the FF/DM rate, consistent with the credibility of this target zone, were detected by pointing out a band-reversion mechanism. A shock persistence analysis which highlights a nonlinear reversion of the exchange-rate deviation is also implemented. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 533-548 Issue: 6 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217580 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:6:p:533-548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karen Cabos Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Cabos Author-Name: Nikolaus Siegfried Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaus Author-X-Name-Last: Siegfried Title: Controlling inflation in Euroland Abstract: The experience with the two pillar strategy of the European Central Bank (ECB) suggests that at some point in the future the ECB may have to commit to one of the more traditional policy strategies - a direct inflation target or an intermediate monetary target. This study offers some information on the scale of control and indicator problems associated with both strategies. We estimate the links between monetary policy actions and inflation in dynamic linear models with the Kalman filter. Using European M3 that the ECB has published, it is found that the overall control problems involved in targeting money are larger than for direct inflation targets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 549-558 Issue: 6 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217599 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217599 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:6:p:549-558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Buly Cardak Author-X-Name-First: Buly Author-X-Name-Last: Cardak Author-Name: James Ted McDonald Author-X-Name-First: James Ted Author-X-Name-Last: McDonald Title: Neighbourhood effects, preference heterogeneity and immigrant educational attainment Abstract: This paper investigates differences between the educational attainment of immigrants, children of immigrants and native-born individuals in Australia by using Australian Youth Survey (AYS) data combined with aggregate Australian Census data. Differences in educational attainment are decomposed into: (i) typical demographic and socio-economic sources common to all ethnic groups; (ii) unobserved region of residence and region of origin effects; and (iii) neighbourhood effects such as degree and ethnic concentration of particular ethnic groups in different neighbourhoods. A theoretical model incorporating these effects is proposed but structural estimation is not possible for lack of appropriate data. Instead, a reduced form methodology is proposed and employed. The empirical results identify positive ethnic neighbourhood effects in high school completion and university enrolment for some immigrant groups in Australia, in particular first and second generation immigrants from Asia. The results indicate that it is not just the size of the ethnic network but the 'quality' of the network that is important. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 559-572 Issue: 6 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217607 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217607 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:6:p:559-572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Catherine Co Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Co Author-Name: Patricia Euzent Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Euzent Author-Name: Thomas Martin Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Title: The export effect of immigration into the USA Abstract: Much has been written on the connection between migration and international trade. Human history provides important examples of migrations leading to increased trade activity, with perhaps the most well-known example of the 'Overseas Chinese'. This study investigates the trade-related importance of Chinese and other immigrants into the USA. Previous studies may have underestimated (or overestimated) the relationship between trade and migration with nations treated as featureless plains rather than as varied landscapes. This study contends that an understanding of the immigration-trade relationship can be improved upon by examining the specific pattern and destination of immigration into specific US states. Using state level export data to 28 immigrant source countries in 1993, a strong immigration-trade link is found, reinforcing conclusions made by previous research using country level data. The compelling connection between immigration and trade found in this study and others suggests that future changes to US immigration policies necessitate that their trade effects also be taken into account. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 573-583 Issue: 6 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217616 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217616 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:6:p:573-583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felix Chan Author-X-Name-First: Felix Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: Dora Marinova Author-X-Name-First: Dora Author-X-Name-Last: Marinova Author-Name: Michael McAleer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McAleer Title: Trends and volatilities in foreign patents registered in the USA Abstract: This study analyses the patent trends and volatilities for the top 12 foreign patenting countries in the US market from 1975 to 1997. Japan is ranked first in terms of foreign patents registered in the USA, followed by Germany. Patent registrations from each of these countries have increased steadily over time, but at different rates. Using monthly time series data for 1975-1997, the time-varying volatility of Australian, Japanese and German patents registered in the USA is examined in detail. The asymmetric AR(1)-GJR(1,1) model is found to be suitable for Australia and Japan, while the best fitting model for Germany is the symmetric AR(1)-GARCH(1,1) model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 585-592 Issue: 6 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217625 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217625 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:6:p:585-592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Mansur Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Mansur Author-Name: M. Masih Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Masih Author-Name: Rumi Masih Author-X-Name-First: Rumi Author-X-Name-Last: Masih Title: Fractional cointegration, low frequency dynamics and long-run purchasing power parity: an analysis of the Australian dollar over its recent float Abstract: A relatively new but generalized concept of fractional cointegration is applied to shed some light on the validity of purchasing power parity (PPP) as a long-run equilibrium condition, by examining the long-run relationship between quarterly consumer price indices and bilateral exchange rates of the Australian dollar and seven major OECD trading partners, over Australia's recent float. The paper demonstrates that relaxing the condition that the residual from the cointegration equation must be a I(0) process, provides a wide range of cases of parity-reversion with processes that are CI(1,d) with 0 < d < 1. Findings tend to suggest that, while standard tests of cointegration fail to support cointegration between nominal exchange rates, domestic and foreign prices, and thus the empirical favour for PPP as a long-run phenomenon, the fractional cointegration analysis permits deviations from equilibrium to follow a fractionally integrated process and hence captures a much wider class of parity or mean-reversion behaviour. Results are mainly supportive of long-run PPP. Furthermore, an analysis of the short-run dynamics propelling the long-run relationship (through a VECM) reveals that domestic prices are consistently the initial receptor of an exogenous shock to the equilibrium and the long-run equilibrium is restored through the short-run adjustment of the nominal exchange rates. These findings are shown to hold clear policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 593-605 Issue: 6 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217634 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217634 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:6:p:593-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Thomas Sav Author-X-Name-First: G. Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Sav Title: Higher education costs and scale and scope economies Abstract: Higher education multi-product cost functions are estimated for the public and private sectors disaggregated by research, comprehensive, baccalaureate, and associate level institutions. The output mix incorporates professional school teaching output, in addition to undergraduate and graduate teaching and research outputs. Scale and scope economies are examined by sector and institutional level, also accounting for regional differences. Ray economies are found throughout the private sector, but confined to lower level public institutions. Research economies are widespread throughout all sector levels. Economies of scope prevail among private institutions across levels, but only among comprehensive and baccalaureate public colleges. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 607-614 Issue: 6 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217643 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:6:p:607-614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Burcin Yurtoglu Author-X-Name-First: B. Burcin Author-X-Name-Last: Yurtoglu Title: Persistence of firm-level profitability in Turkey Abstract: The dynamics of company profits for 172 of the largest manufacturing firms in Turkey are studied. A time-series analysis is used to estimate the long-run projected profits and firm-specific speed of adjustment parameters that measures the rate at which short-run rents are eroded. While persistent profitability differences across firms are observed, there is also a moderately quick erosion of rents except for the most highly profitable firms. Firm characteristics rather than industry effects account for the differences in permanent profits. Contrary to the widespread view that developing countries suffer from uncompetitive markets, the results in this paper suggest that the intensity of competition in Turkey is no less than in developed countries and similar to other developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 615-625 Issue: 6 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217652 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217652 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:6:p:615-625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Santin Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Santin Author-Name: Francisco Delgado Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Delgado Author-Name: Aurelia Valino Author-X-Name-First: Aurelia Author-X-Name-Last: Valino Title: The measurement of technical efficiency: a neural network approach Abstract: The main purpose of this paper is to provide an introduction to artificial neural networks (ANNs) and to review their applications in efficiency analysis. Finally, a comparison of efficiency techniques in a non-linear production function is carried out. The results suggest that ANNs are a promising alternative to traditional approaches, econometric models and non-parametric methods such as data envelopment analysis, to fit production functions and measure efficiency under non-linear contexts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 627-635 Issue: 6 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217661 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217661 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:6:p:627-635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Galip Altinay Author-X-Name-First: Galip Author-X-Name-Last: Altinay Title: On measuring average growth rate Abstract: This study investigates the difference in average growth rates obtained from two commonly used methods. It is analytically shown that the difference lies on the dichotomy of constant and time-varying growth that can be converted to the dichotomy of trend stationary (TS) and difference stationary (DS) processes. For TS processes the two methods would yield the same results whereas they differ in case of integrated processes. It is also proven that the OLS residuals of a log-linear trend model of an integrated series will be always a random walk, in which case the differenced model that yields the same result as geometric mean is appropriate. The findings are illustrated on the real GDPs of OECD countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 637-644 Issue: 6 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217670 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217670 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:6:p:637-644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Forrest Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Forrest Author-Name: O. David Gulley Author-X-Name-First: O. David Author-X-Name-Last: Gulley Author-Name: Robert Simmons Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Simmons Title: Substitution between games in the UK national lottery Abstract: Virtually all lottery agencies offer a variety of games to suit the tastes of players in an attempt to maximize revenue to the government. Using the UK National Lottery, which offers a variety of on-line and scratchcard games, the extent to which there is substitution or complementarity between games is evaluated Employing weekly data from the three UKNL lottery games offered over the sample period, it is found that own-game characteristics have, by far, the largest influence on sales. Some evidence is found suggesting that the lotto and scratchcard games are partial substitutes for one another. Thunderball sales appear independent of the other two games. Some evidence is also found that the Wednesday and Saturday drawings of the lotto game are substitutes. The overall conclusion is that Camelot has successfully designed and marketed three games that each appeal to bettors in different ways. Thus, sales from one game do not seem to seriously cannibalize the sales of the other games, with the exceptions noted above. Further, the introduction of another, temporary game (Big Draw 2000) contributed to net sales. These results also suggest that the games do not appear to be complements to each other, indicating that the various arguments as to why the games may be so (transactions costs, brand awareness, and the portfolio effect) do not appear to be very strong. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 645-651 Issue: 7 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000222034 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000222034 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:7:p:645-651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Giulietti Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Giulietti Author-Name: S. Mccorriston Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Mccorriston Author-Name: P. Osborne Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Osborne Title: Foreign direct investment in the UK: evidence from a disaggregated panel of the UK food sector Abstract: Most empirical studies of foreign direct investment (FDI) typically use either a cross-sectional (capturing ownership-specific and industry determinants) or time-series (capturing the determinants of FDI over time) approach. Panel data techniques, however, have the advantage of combining both aspects of the data. Using disaggregated panel data for the UK food sector - a leading recipient of FDI in the UK - the results in this paper highlight the predominance of ownership-specific and industry characteristics in determining the presence of foreign-owned firms in this sector while macro-economic factors have a more marginal effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 653-663 Issue: 7 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000222043 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000222043 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:7:p:653-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gokce Soydemir Author-X-Name-First: Gokce Author-X-Name-Last: Soydemir Author-Name: Elena Bastida Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Bastida Author-Name: Genaro Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Genaro Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Title: The impact of religiosity on self- assessments of health and happiness: evidence from the US Southwest Abstract: Using an age stratified random sample from an ongoing population-based study of Mexican Americans 45 years of age or older living in the Southwest this study fexamines the relationship between religiosity and self-rated indices of physical health, subjective health status and happiness. After estimating a set of binary logit models and controlling for individual characteristics such as age and gender, findings indicate that religiously involved respondents have a lower probability of reporting a health problem than those less or not involved. Further, those respondents who attend religious services regularly are more likely to assess themselves healthier and happier than those reporting sporadic or no attendance. However, when the religious variable is factored into six constructs, as the frequency of religious attendance increases the happiness measure initially increases to an inflection point then it continues to increase but at a slower rate. This result is consistent with the argument that those individuals who, on average, attend religious services once a week appear to reap the greatest incremental rewards in terms of assessments of subjective health and overall happiness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 665-672 Issue: 7 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000222052 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000222052 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:7:p:665-672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. R. Kamerschen Author-X-Name-First: D. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Kamerschen Author-Name: J. E. Morgan Author-X-Name-First: J. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Morgan Title: Collusion analysis of the Alabama liquid asphalt market Abstract: The Alabama liquid asphalt market in the USA is examined over the period 1961-1978 for evidence of activity consistent with collusion. Some 14 conditional collusion-facilitating factors that could influence a market's tendency towards collusion, not all equally important or necessarily in agreement with every other factor, were considered. While some of these factors are controversial and can help or harm a collusion, the net balance of factors and all of the important factors and evidence pointed towards being consistent with a conspiracy. While not examined as extensively, it was also found that the circumstantial evidence in the market was also consistent with collusion. This article suggests a procedural methodology for initiation and resolution of suspected collusion for determining appropriate damages. While the precise law and damages allowed will be country-specific, the general methodology should have wide application in many countries whose laws attempt to foster and preserve competition and punish and deter monopoly acquired and maintained by acting badly, such as by colluding or exclusionary conduct. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 673-693 Issue: 7 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000222061 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000222061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:7:p:673-693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Profit Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Profit Author-Name: Stefan Sperlich Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Sperlich Title: Non-uniformity of job-matching in a transition economy - A nonparametric analysis for the Czech Republic Abstract: This study explores the properties and development of the matching technology in the Czech Republic during the transition to a market economy. Nonparametric additive modelling allows us to assess flexible functional forms, which comprise for instance CES and trans-log specifications. This enables us to evaluate the matching process locally for each combination of unemployment and vacancies rather than being restricted to global coefficients. Special interest is devoted to analysis and economic determinants of regional variation in the returns to scale of the matching function. Non-linearities are found in the partial adjustment process of unemployment outflows, and a negative coefficient on vacancies in some years. Moreover, increasing returns to scale in job-matching are found locally. Returns to scale are found to be negatively correlated to the share in employment in services and to outmigration, positively correlated to the employment share in industry, the unemployment rate and various measures of active labour market policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 695-714 Issue: 7 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000222070 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000222070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:7:p:695-714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hoanjae Park Author-X-Name-First: Hoanjae Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: On inferring individual behaviour from market behaviour in a predetermined quantities model Abstract: This article develops the theoretical basis of individual behaviour recovered from market behaviour in a predetermined quantities model. As applied economists argue, an inverse demand system may be empirically sound within the framework of classical demand theory. However, it should not lead to the conclusion that the market responses for changes in quantity should be used to see welfare effects instead of the individual responses by price changes as far as the market is concerned. It shows theoretically and empirically how individual responses can be recovered from market responses in a predetermined quantities model. It suggests that the fundamental results of this article should be used on interpreting empirical results from the predetermined quantities models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 715-721 Issue: 7 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000191084 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000191084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:7:p:715-721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Vaillant Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Vaillant Title: Discrimination in matchmaking: evidence from the price policy of a French marriage bureau Abstract: This article shows how a matchmaking agency may improve the quality of serious meetings between individuals seeking long-term relationship, thanks to a price discrimination policy. Its filtering is based on objective and official characteristics (sex, age and contract's environment) and on implicit criteria: the few asked characteristics by its clients. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 723-729 Issue: 7 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000222098 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000222098 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:7:p:723-729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ying Kong Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Kong Title: The price premium of generic to brand-names and pharmaceutical price index Abstract: The price premium of generic pharmaceuticals to brand-names is examined under different competitive market situations. The result of this study shows that the number, market share, and the age of both brand-name and generic products have the most explanatory power for explaining the price premium. This study further applies this method to a pharmaceutical price index in order to explain 'Drug Price Index Perplexities.' Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 731-737 Issue: 7 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000222106 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000222106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:7:p:731-737 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Hon Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Hon Author-Name: Soo-Keong Yong Author-X-Name-First: Soo-Keong Author-X-Name-Last: Yong Title: The price of owning a car: an analysis of auction quota premium in Singapore Abstract: Faced with dilemmas parallel to countries besieged by road congestions and limited land resources, Singapore has chosen to adapt a Vehicle Quota System (VQS) whereby car owners are required to bid for a licence in an auction before their vehicles are allowed onto the road. In this study, the behaviour of VQS auction prices is examined using a structural time series approach. For outliers that are not observable from innovations, auxiliary residuals with dummy variables are used to supplement the analysis. In general, prices exhibit a fairly constant seasonal pattern. The inclusion of monthly VQS quotas released by the transport regulatory body and the national stock market index is not useful in explaining the observed price behaviour. Interestingly, a basic structural model with stochastic components seems to fit the data best. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 739-751 Issue: 7 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000222115 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000222115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:7:p:739-751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregor Bruggelambert Author-X-Name-First: Gregor Author-X-Name-Last: Bruggelambert Title: Information and efficiency in political stock markets: using computerized markets to predict election results Abstract: This study concentrates on four computerized political markets in Germany between 1990 and 1998. While this new method for the prediction of election events worked quite well in the USA it did not perform as well in Germany. Searching for the causes of this distinction it is shown that, in contrast to the findings of Forsythe et al. (1992), (i) extraordinary profits were achieved less by people who took advantage of other people's anomalies than by those people who acquired an advantage from the existence of asymmetric information, (ii) the marginal trader hypothesis does not hold when applied to German markets, and that (iii) traders relied on public opinion polls. It is argued that these distinctions are caused by the differences in the German and the US voting systems. Additionally, it is shown that to a certain extent (iv) election markets were able to predict the contemporary mood of the electorate without the help of public opinion polls, (v) first of all the informed traders used public opinion polls as a source of information, and (vi) prices themselves became a source of information on which expectations were based. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 753-768 Issue: 7 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217364 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:7:p:753-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diansheng Dong Author-X-Name-First: Diansheng Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Chanjin Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chanjin Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Harry Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: Modelling milk purchasing behaviour with a panel data double-hurdle model Abstract: In this study, the double-hurdle model typically used in cross-sectional data is extended to panel data structures. The new double-hurdle model can account not only for the censored nature of commodity purchases, but also for the dynamics of the purchase process. In this model, a flexible error structure is assumed to account for state dependence and household-specific heterogeneity. In the empirical application for milk purchases, it is found that generic advertising increases the probability of market participation as well as the purchase quantity and incidence. Temporal dependence is also found in both purchase and participation equations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 769-779 Issue: 8 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000229505 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000229505 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:8:p:769-779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Manrique Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Manrique Author-Name: K. Ojah Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Ojah Title: Credits and non-interest rate determinants of loan demand: a Spanish case study Abstract: This article uses bivariate probit analysis to model the potential relationship between the condition of being credit-unconstrained and holding loans as well as to ascertain determinants of a household being credit-unconstrained and likely holding consumer and real-estate loans. It documents that family size, education, permanent and transitory incomes, among others, affect Spanish households' desire and capacity to hold loans. Furthermore, these factors were found to affect demands for real-estate and consumer loans differently. In general, the above and other results from this research provide insights that would interest credit consumers, credit suppliers, and policy makers in Spain. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 781-791 Issue: 8 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000229514 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000229514 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:8:p:781-791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diane Bruce Anstine Author-X-Name-First: Diane Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Anstine Title: The impact of the regulation of the cable television industry: the effect on quality-adjusted cable television prices Abstract: Between the mid-1980s and early 1990s, cable television rates increased substantially. Simple price comparisons over the regulated and deregulated eras are difficult as the programming changed simultaneously. Using a modified hedonic framework to allow for the lack of competition on the supply side of the industry, this paper imputes the price for regulation era cable packages using consumers' estimated willingness to pay for individual satellite networks during the unregulated period. Then a 'quality adjusted' price for the cable package offered in 1985 is estimated. On average, regulation benefited consumers by keeping prices below monopolist's profit maximizing price. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 793-802 Issue: 8 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000229523 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000229523 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:8:p:793-802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felix Buchel Author-X-Name-First: Felix Author-X-Name-Last: Buchel Author-Name: Antje Mertens Author-X-Name-First: Antje Author-X-Name-Last: Mertens Title: Overeducation, undereducation, and the theory of career mobility Abstract: The theory of career mobility (Sicherman and Galor, Journal of Political Economy, 98(1), 169-92, 1990) claims that wage penalties for overeducated workers are compensated by better promotion prospects. Sicherman (Journal of Labour Economics, 9(2), 101-22, 1991) was able to confirm this theory in an empirical study using panel data. However, the only retest using panel data so far (Robst, Eastern Economic Journal, 21, 539-50, 1995) produced rather ambiguous results. In the present paper, random effects models to analyse relative wage growth are estimated using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel. It is found that overeducated workers in Germany have markedly lower relative wage growth rates than adequately educated workers. The results cast serious doubt on whether the career mobility model is able to explain overeducation in Germany. The plausibility of the results is supported by the finding that overeducated workers have less access to formal and informal on-the-job training, which is usually found to be positively correlated with wage growth even when controlling for selectivity effects (Pischke, Journal of Population Economics, 14, 523-48, 2001). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 803-816 Issue: 8 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000229532 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000229532 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:8:p:803-816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claus Brand Author-X-Name-First: Claus Author-X-Name-Last: Brand Author-Name: Nuno Cassola Author-X-Name-First: Nuno Author-X-Name-Last: Cassola Title: A money demand system for euro area M3 Abstract: In order to assess the importance of monetary and financial developments for key macroeconomic variables in the euro area a money demand system for M3 is estimated adopting a structural cointegrating VAR approach. While maintaining a good statistical representation of the data, long-run relationships are based on economic theory. By using generalized response profiles the dynamics of the money demand system is investigated without any further identifying assumptions. Error bounds of the profiles are derived using bootstrap simulations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 817-838 Issue: 8 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000229541 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000229541 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:8:p:817-838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Beghin Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Beghin Author-Name: Jean-Christophe Bureau Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Bureau Author-Name: Sophie Drogue Author-X-Name-First: Sophie Author-X-Name-Last: Drogue Title: Calibration of incomplete demand systems in quantitative analysis Abstract: An easily implemented and flexible calibration technique for partial demand systems is introduced, combining recent developments in incomplete demand systems and a set of restrictions conditioned on the available elasticity estimates. The technique accommodates various degrees of knowledge on cross-price elasticities, satisfies curvature restrictions, and allows the recovery of an exact welfare measure for policy analysis. The technique is illustrated with a partial demand system for food consumption in Korea for different states of knowledge on cross-price effects. The consumer welfare impact of food and agricultural trade liberalization is measured. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 839-847 Issue: 8 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000229550 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000229550 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:8:p:839-847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Renee Fry Author-X-Name-First: Renee Author-X-Name-Last: Fry Title: International demand and liquidity shocks in a SVAR model of the Australian economy Abstract: A structural vector autoregressive model of the Australian economy that allows for international shocks from the USA, Japan as well as world commodity prices is specified and estimated for the period 1979-1999. A block exogenous structure linking the three countries is imposed. The international linkages are modelled using a factor structure to circumvent problems from estimating large scale dynamic models. The factors are estimated recursively using a Kalman filter and are found to represent aggregate demand and liquidity shocks for the USA and Japan respectively. The key empirical result is the USA shocks are the dominant source of international shocks on the Australian economy with the Japanese economy having a dampening effect on the USA shocks. The empirical results also show that Australian monetary policy responds to domestic conditions rather than international monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 849-863 Issue: 8 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000229569 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000229569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:8:p:849-863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdul-Magid Gadad Author-X-Name-First: Abdul-Magid Author-X-Name-Last: Gadad Author-Name: Hardy Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Hardy Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Do asset sales lead to improvements in operating performance? Abstract: The changes in operating performance associated with asset sales are investigated for a sample of UK firms. Asset sales are followed by an improvement of 11% per annum in the level of operating performance relative to the pre-sale performance level. Further, improved abnormal operating performance is found, which is measured after controlling for the performance of the industry, the pre-sale performance of the firm and the level of competition in the market for asset sales. The abnormal operating performance of the remaining assets improve by 2.4% per annum, on average, for three years after the asset sales. This study also finds that the market for asset sales is imperfectly competitive. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 865-871 Issue: 8 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000229578 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000229578 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:8:p:865-871 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Modelling the US real GNP with fractionally integrated techniques Abstract: The US real GNP is analysed by means of fractionally integrated techniques. LM tests proposed by Robinson for testing unit roots and other fractionally integrated hypotheses are applied to the quarterly GNP series and to its log-transformation. The maximum likelihood estimation procedure of Sowell for estimating ARFIMA models is implemented. The results indicate that the order of integration of the US real output is much higher than one, and thus, the standard approach of taking first differences may still produce series with long memory behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 873-879 Issue: 8 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000229587 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000229587 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:8:p:873-879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leo Michelis Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: Michelis Author-Name: Athanasios Papadopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Papadopoulos Author-Name: Gregory Papanikos Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Papanikos Title: Regional convergence in Greece in the 1980s: an econometric investigation Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to evaluate empirically regional convergence in Greece during the 1981-1991 period of participation in the European Economic Community (EEC). Census data at NUTS III level of regional disaggregation are used. A number of structural policies undertaken in the 1980s, motivated by membership in the EEC, were conducive to regional convergence among the 51 NUTS III regions of Greece. Four different dependent variables and three model specifications are used to test the hypothesis of regional convergence. The overall evidence does not reject the idea of regional convergence. The estimated convergence coefficients are relatively similar across the three model specifications but they vary with the dependent variable used to measure convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 881-888 Issue: 8 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000191093 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000191093 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:8:p:881-888 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Walter Enders Author-X-Name-First: Walter Author-X-Name-Last: Enders Author-Name: Kamol Chumrusphonlert Author-X-Name-First: Kamol Author-X-Name-Last: Chumrusphonlert Title: Threshold cointegration and purchasing power parity in the pacific nations Abstract: The paper uses a threshold cointegration methodology to explore the properties of long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) in the Pacific nations. Using Japan and the USA as base countries, it is shown that long-run PPP holds for most Asian countries but that the adjustment mechanism is asymmetric. In contrast to symmetric error-correction models, it is found that asymmetric adjustments of nominal exchange rates play an important role in eliminating deviations from long-run PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 889-896 Issue: 9 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000233104 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000233104 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:9:p:889-896 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Marsh Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Marsh Author-Name: Ted Schroeder Author-X-Name-First: Ted Author-X-Name-Last: Schroeder Author-Name: James Mintert Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Mintert Title: Impacts of meat product recalls on consumer demand in the USA Abstract: The impact of meat product recall events on consumer demand (beef, pork, poultry, and other consumption goods) in the USA is tested empirically. Beef, pork, and poultry recall indices are constructed from both the Food Safety Inspection Service's meat recall events and from newspaper reports over the period 1982-1998. Following previous product recall studies, recall indices are incorporated as shift variables in consumers' demand functions. Estimating an absolute price version of the Rotterdam demand model, findings indicate that Food Safety Inspection Service's meat recall events significantly impact demand, and newspaper reports do not. Moreover, although elasticities related to recall events are significant they are small in magnitude relative to price and income effects. Any favourable effects on the demands of meat substitutes for a recall are offset by a more general negative effect on meat demand. The general negative effect indicates a shift out of meat to non-meat consumption goods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 897-909 Issue: 9 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000233113 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000233113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:9:p:897-909 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yanqin Fan Author-X-Name-First: Yanqin Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Dong Li Author-X-Name-First: Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Qi Li Author-X-Name-First: Qi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Nonlinearity in medical expenditures: a new semiparametric approach Abstract: Research in empirical health economics has found that the relationship between medical expenditures and age, income and other variables can be highly nonlinear. Moreover, men and women can have quite different medical expenditure patterns due to their differences in life expectancy. Thus it may be difficult to find an appropriate parametric model to capture the highly complicated nonlinearity in medical expenditures, and introducing a simple gender dummy variable in a parametric model may not reveal all the medical expenditure differences between men and women. This study takes a semiparametric approach. In particular, an additive partially linear specification is employed to study the relationship between medical expenditures and age, income, gender and other individual characteristics. Using data from the National Medical Expenditure Survey, the results indicate that the semiparametric approach taken in this study is very promising. They confirm that medical expenditures are nonlinear in income and age, and that men and women have quite different medical expenditure patterns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 911-916 Issue: 9 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000233122 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000233122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:9:p:911-916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ray Burnham Author-X-Name-First: Ray Author-X-Name-Last: Burnham Author-Name: Robert Feinberg Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Feinberg Author-Name: Thomas Husted Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Husted Title: Central city crime and suburban economic growth Abstract: This paper explores the relationship between inner-city crime patterns and suburban income growth, analysing data on 318 US counties for selected metropolitan statistical areas of 32 states within the United States from 1982 to 1997. The findings suggest that violent crime does seem to have a negative impact on close-in suburbs, with a less negative impact farther away from the central city (becoming positive at some point). While results are not as robust as we had hoped they are consistent with flight to further-out suburbs rather than migration to different metropolitan areas in response to urban crime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 917-922 Issue: 9 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000233131 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000233131 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:9:p:917-922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcos Lima Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Title: Profit margins and business cycles in the Brazilian industry: a panel data study Abstract: The paper investigates the relationship between profit margins and business cycle in the Brazilian industry during the 1992-1998 period, taking as reference a dynamic panel data model founded around a conjectural variation framework. The empirical results indicate procyclical behaviour of profit margins for the aggregate business cycle but is less clear in the case of sector-specific business cycle variables. Among the most robust results, one can highlight the roles of lagged profitability and import intensity and the negligible role of union density. Schmalensee in 1985 (American Economic Review 75, pp. 341-51) outlined three theoretical interpretations associated with the empirical model (classical, revisionist and managerial). Econometric tests on the related restrictions do not allow one to exclusively legitimate any of the three interpretations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 923-930 Issue: 9 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/003684042000233140 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/003684042000233140 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:9:p:923-930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martha Misas Author-X-Name-First: Martha Author-X-Name-Last: Misas Author-Name: Maria Teresa Ramirez Author-X-Name-First: Maria Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Ramirez Title: Long-run income and price elasticities of demand for Colombian nontraditional exports: a multivariate cointegration framework Abstract: A long run income and price elasticities of demand is estimated for Colombian nontraditional exports through a multivariate cointegration analysis. Based on the combination of cointegration and exogeneity concepts and the inclusion of the complete dynamic system, the paper shows the existence of a long-run relationship among nontraditional exports, relative price and foreign demand, and higher long-run elasticities than those provided by the long-run cointegration vector coefficients that are usually reported in the trade literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 931-938 Issue: 9 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000233159 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000233159 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:9:p:931-938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jia Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jia Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Macroeconomic determinants of corporate failures: evidence from the UK Abstract: Previous studies on the relationship between macroeconomic aggregates and business failures have been restricted to the description of the short-run relationships among the variables. This paper uses an error-correction model (ECM) to investigate the determinants of UK corporate failures by modelling the short-run and long-run behaviours of corporate failure rates in relation to macroeconomic phenomena over the period 1966-1999. The findings indicate that failure rates are associated with interest rates, credit, profits, price, and corporate birth rates both in the short run and in the long run. Of these macroeconomic variables, interest rate appears to be an important factor influencing failure rates and can be used as a feasible policy instrument to reduce the incidence of corporate failures. The impact of the Insolvency Act 1986 has also been examined and its mitigating effect on corporate failures has been identified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 939-945 Issue: 9 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000233168 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000233168 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:9:p:939-945 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franco Fiordelisi Author-X-Name-First: Franco Author-X-Name-Last: Fiordelisi Author-Name: Philip Molyneux Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Molyneux Title: Efficiency in the factoring industry Abstract: The efficiency and productivity in the Italian factoring industry between 1993 and 1997 is investigated using DEA. The factoring industry is an important part of many financial systems and it has established itself as a major source of finance and credit management for a growing number of companies. However, as far as the authors are aware no studies have applied frontier methodologies to examine the efficiency and productivity of this industry. This paper focuses on the Italian market, the second largest in the world after the UK. The results suggest that there are substantial cost savings to be had in the Italian factoring industry: the mean cost inefficiency in the Italian factoring industry over the period 1993-1997 ranged between 14% and 22%. These inefficiencies are mainly generated by allocative rather than technical inefficiencies. Scale and technical inefficiencies seem to be similar in magnitude and the supposed importance of the latter typically found in the banking efficiency literature, are not observed in Italian factoring. Firm size does not appear to be related to technical, allocative and economic efficiency and the hypothesis that ownership structure influences factoring firm efficiency could not be rejected. In order to analyse efficiency change over time the Malmquist index is used. Total factor productivity was decomposed into technical change and efficiency change and the latter was further divided into pure efficiency and scale efficiency change. Productivity changes were slight over the period 1993-1996, while a substantial increase in productivity occurred between 1996 and 1997: the latter appears to be the result of a large improvement in the technology and a positive scale efficiency change, however, this was slowed down by a negative pure efficiency change. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 947-959 Issue: 9 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036884042000233177 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036884042000233177 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:9:p:947-959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Josep LluIs Carrion-I-Silvestre Author-X-Name-First: Josep LluIs Author-X-Name-Last: Carrion-I-Silvestre Author-Name: Tomas Del Barrio Author-X-Name-First: Tomas Del Author-X-Name-Last: Barrio Author-Name: Enrique Lopez-Bazo Author-X-Name-First: Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Bazo Title: Evidence on the purchasing power parity in a panel of cities Abstract: Evidence is provided on the PPP hypothesis using a sample of 50 Spanish cities for a long time period through the application of panel data unit root tests. Although results suggest non-rejection of the PPP, short-run deviations - as measured by half-lives - indicate that real factors might be causing a slow rate of convergence to a common price index, even in highly integrated economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 961-966 Issue: 9 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000233186 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000233186 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:9:p:961-966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vuslat Us Author-X-Name-First: Vuslat Author-X-Name-Last: Us Title: Monetary transmission mechanism in Turkey under the monetary conditions index: an alternative policy rule Abstract: This study analyses monetary transmission mechanism in Turkey using a small structural macroeconomic model. The core equations of the model consist of aggregate demand, wage-price setting, uncovered interest rate parity, foreign sector and a monetary policy rule. The aim of the paper is to analyse the disinflation path, the output gap, the output level, the exchange rate and the interest rate, and also the output-inflation variance frontier of the economy under various scenarios. The first scenario assumes that a standard Taylor rule is implemented as the policy rule. In the alternative scenario, instead of the standard Taylor rule, the MCI, Monetary Conditions Index - combination of the changes in the short-term real interest rate and in the real effective exchange rate in a single variable - is used as a policy instrument. The results indicate that the economy stabilizes much more quickly and shows significantly less volatility under this new setting. Therefore, the paper concludes that the policymakers should consider using MCI as an instrument when conducting monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 967-976 Issue: 9 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000233195 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000233195 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:9:p:967-976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nieves lazaro Author-X-Name-First: Nieves Author-X-Name-Last: lazaro Author-Name: Maria Luisa Molto Author-X-Name-First: Maria Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Molto Author-Name: Rosario Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Rosario Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez Title: Paid employment and unpaid caring work in Spain Abstract: The objective of this paper is to investigate the determinants of unpaid time in caring activities, with a special emphasis on the gender dimension. Data from the Household Panel Survey for Spain is used to estimate an ordered probit model for the hours interval in care of children and adult people in need of care. The results show that gender is one of the key determinants of the distribution of time in caring. Being in paid employment is also an important factor in the time devoted to caring. Demographic variables like age, marital status and education are also relevant, particularly in the case of women. Finally, cultural habits and customs are also important. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 977-986 Issue: 9 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000233203 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000233203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:9:p:977-986 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ambrose Leung Author-X-Name-First: Ambrose Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Title: Delinquency, schooling, and work: time allocation decision of youth Abstract: This paper examines the possible factors that affect the time allocation decision of youth between delinquency, schooling, and work. Based on a joint decision model, evidence from Montreal shows that influences from different social institutions such as family, church, school, peers and the workplace are important determinants of how young people decide to spend their time on various activities. The findings provided here take into account the joint decision nature of the problem and therefore provide more precise estimates than those of the existing literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 987-993 Issue: 9 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000233212 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000233212 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:9:p:987-993 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Islam Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: The long run relationship between openness and government size: evidence from bounds test Abstract: The bounds test is applied to determine the existence of a level relationship between government size, openness, terms of trade volatility, and external risk using time series data from Australia, Canada, England, Norway, Sweden, and the USA. Bounds test results show that the existence of a long run relationship in the USA and Canada, but not in any of the other countries. Long run parameters are estimated using both autoregressive distributed lag and FM-OLS procedures. Results vary from country to country, with some evidence that government size is significantly affected by openness and terms of trade volatility. However, contrary to argument and evidence developed using cross-section data, empirical evidence presented in this paper show that the size of the government has not changed to mitigate the effect of increased income risks associated with greater openness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 995-1000 Issue: 9 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000233221 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000233221 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:9:p:995-1000 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Title: The use of quantile regressions in estimating gender wage differentials: a case study of the Philippines Abstract: Quantile regressions are used to analyse the size, components, and nature of the gender-earnings differentials as well as the returns to education by gender in the Philippines, over the entire conditional distribution of earnings, using data from the 1999 APIS survey. This approach allows more focused conclusions about the nature of gender-earnings differentials. Incorporating the quantile regression approach to the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition allows the localization of gender discrimination to particular quantiles of the earnings distribution and permits more targeted policy intervention. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1001-1007 Issue: 9 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000233230 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000233230 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:9:p:1001-1007 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erick Eschker Author-X-Name-First: Erick Author-X-Name-Last: Eschker Author-Name: Stephen Perez Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Author-Name: Mark Siegler Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Siegler Title: The NBA and the influx of international basketball players Abstract: The determinants of salaries for professional athletes in the National Basketball Association (NBA) are examined to investigate how international athletes have fared relative to athletes trained in the United States. It is found that international basketball players were paid a large premium above other players of similar skills and characteristics for the 1996-97 and 1997-98 seasons, after which the premium disappeared. This temporary premium is likely attributable to a 'winner's curse' experienced by NBA teams before investing significant resources in scouting and evaluating international players. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1009-1020 Issue: 10 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000246713 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000246713 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:10:p:1009-1020 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Kamerschen Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Kamerschen Title: A mnemonic for the major factors influencing the likelihood of collusion Abstract: In the typical industrial organization textbook and class, and in the courtroom, numerous factors are identified as providing a predisposition to a cartel. These factors include cost differences, product differentiation, number of firms, technology, growth of the industry, elasticity, frequency of sales, number and size distribution of sellers and buyers, discount rate, type of competition, vertical integration, cost ratio, imports, sealed bidding, social structure and track record, future expectations, recognition of interdependence, announcements and exchanges of economic information, multimarkets, etc. There are many factors to keep in mind. Fortunately, the accumulated theoretical and empirical work on collusion suggests that we can, for all practical purposes, focus on the factors contained in the mnemonic word CARTEL. The key factors are: Concentration, Additional, Revenue, Talk, Entry, Likeness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1021-1024 Issue: 10 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000246722 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000246722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:10:p:1021-1024 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zbigniew Kominek Author-X-Name-First: Zbigniew Author-X-Name-Last: Kominek Title: Stock markets and industry growth: an Eastern European perspective Abstract: This paper reviews the recent stock market developments in Poland and the Czech Republic and provides a case-study insight into the direction of causality between stock market expansion and economic growth. It finds no evidence that the relative failure of the Czech security market affected the country's economy. It also reports that the largest equity issuers in Eastern Europe do not come from industries traditionally considered financially dependent. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1025-1030 Issue: 10 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000246731 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000246731 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:10:p:1025-1030 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhaoyong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhaoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Kiyotaka Sato Author-X-Name-First: Kiyotaka Author-X-Name-Last: Sato Author-Name: Michael McAleer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McAleer Title: Is a monetary union feasible for East Asia? Abstract: The empirical suitability of the East Asian economies for potential monetary integration is assessed. The structural vector autoregression (VAR) method is employed to identify the underlying shocks using a three-variable VAR model across the East Asian economies. The estimates of the EEC are used as a benchmark to compare the size of the underlying shocks and the speed of adjustment to shocks in both regions to determine the feasibility of forming an optimum currency area (OCA) in East Asia. The empirical results do not display strong support for forming an OCA in the East Asian region. The results do imply, however, that some small subregions are potential candidates for OCAs, since their disturbances are correlated and small and these economies adjust rapidly to shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1031-1043 Issue: 10 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000246740 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000246740 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:10:p:1031-1043 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Changkyu Choi Author-X-Name-First: Changkyu Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Foreign direct investment and income convergence Abstract: The role of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the convergence of income level and growth has been investigated by panel data regressions. Bilateral FDI data from OECD from 1982 to 1997 is used. Income level and growth gaps between source and host countries turn out to decrease as bilateral FDI increases. It is also found that geographical closeness and common language play an important role in convergence in income level and growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1045-1049 Issue: 10 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000246759 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000246759 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:10:p:1045-1049 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nobuhiro Hosoe Author-X-Name-First: Nobuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Hosoe Title: Crop failure, price regulation, and emergency imports of Japan's rice sector in 1993 Abstract: In 1993, an extraordinarily cool summer in Japan brought about low rice yields, which caused considerable disturbances to the rice markets. Japan imported a large amount of rice as an emergency measure. Two controversies about Japan's rice policies were raised, particularly in that period. The first centred on the effectiveness of the price regulation policies in stabilizing rice prices and farmers' incomes. The second involved the newspapers' arguments that the emergency imports harmed other countries, especially developing countries. These controversies were examined with a world trade computable general equilibrium model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1051-1056 Issue: 10 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000246768 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000246768 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:10:p:1051-1056 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong-Yil Choi Author-X-Name-First: Yong-Yil Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: The macroeconomic impact of foreign labour influx into the industrialized nation state and the complementary policies Abstract: This paper makes a numerical assessment on the macroeconomic impact of foreign labor influx into the industrialized nation state allowing free trade in goods but imposing an immigration quota on labor, and then explores the complementary policies for the impact of foreign labor influx. One of the main findings is that immigration itself brings welfare gains only if prices are flexible, but a skill-biased intake policy can bring a much larger welfare gain. The complementary policy options to boost welfare gains by immigration increase are monetary expansion, adopting foreign components more, and influencing foreign demand for intermediate goods indirectly by inviting foreign direct investment. For these policies to cope, the destination country should try to correct the market structure so that prices can be flexible. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1057-1063 Issue: 10 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000246777 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000246777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:10:p:1057-1063 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benoit Dervaux Author-X-Name-First: Benoit Author-X-Name-Last: Dervaux Author-Name: Gary Ferrier Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrier Author-Name: Herve Leleu Author-X-Name-First: Herve Author-X-Name-Last: Leleu Author-Name: Vivian Valdmanis Author-X-Name-First: Vivian Author-X-Name-Last: Valdmanis Title: Comparing French and US hospital technologies: a directional input distance function approach Abstract: French and US hospital technologies are compared using directional input distance functions. The aggregation properties of the directional distance function allow comparison of hospital industry-level performance as well as standard firm-level performance with regard to productive efficiency. In addition, the underlying constituents of efficiency - in the short run, congestion and technical inefficiency, and in the long run, scale inefficiency - are analysed by decomposing the overall measure. By virtue of using the directional distance function, it is also possible to obtain an estimate of a lower bound on allocative inefficiency. It is found that French and US hospitals use quite different technologies. Long run scale inefficiencies cause most of the French hospitals' inefficiency, while short run technical inefficiency is the main source of overall productive inefficiency in the US hospitals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1065-1081 Issue: 10 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000246786 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000246786 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:10:p:1065-1081 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shandre Mugan Thangavelu Author-X-Name-First: Shandre Mugan Author-X-Name-Last: Thangavelu Author-Name: Gulasekaran Rajaguru Author-X-Name-First: Gulasekaran Author-X-Name-Last: Rajaguru Title: Is there an export or import-led productivity growth in rapidly developing Asian countries? a multivariate VAR analysis Abstract: In contrast to cross-country studies, the paper investigates the relationships between trade and labour productivity for nine rapidly developing Asian countries in a time-series framework using a vector error-correction model. Independent tests on the long-run and short-run relationship between trade variables of exports and imports and productivity are conducted. The results suggest that trade has an important impact on productivity and output growth in the economy, however it is imports that provide the important 'virtuous' link between trade and output growth. The results indicate that exports and imports have qualitatively different impacts on labour productivity. The long-run result shows that there is no causal effect from exports to labour productivity growth for Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Taiwan and Thailand; thereby suggesting that there is no export-led productivity growth in these countries. However, significant causal effects were found from imports to productivity growth, suggesting import-led productivity growth in India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Taiwan. In addition, the results indicate that imports tend to have greater positive impact on productivity growth in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1083-1093 Issue: 10 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000246795 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000246795 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:10:p:1083-1093 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ibrahim Ahamada Author-X-Name-First: Ibrahim Author-X-Name-Last: Ahamada Author-Name: Jamel Jouini Author-X-Name-First: Jamel Author-X-Name-Last: Jouini Author-Name: Mohamed Boutahar Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Boutahar Title: Detecting multiple breaks in time series covariance structure: a non-parametric approach based on the evolutionary spectral density Abstract: This article estimates the number of breaks and their locations in the covariance structure of a series based on the evolutionary spectral density and uses some standard information criteria. The adopted approach is non-parametric and does not privilege a priori any modelling of the series. One carries out a Monte Carlo analysis and an empirical illustration using the daily return series of exchange rate euro/US dollar to support the relevance of the theory and to produce additional insights. The simulation results are globally adequate and show that the criteria having heavy penalty are more accurate in the selection of the number of breaks. The empirical results indicate that the covariance structure of the return series considerably varies between 30 March 2000 and 6 April 2001. The unconditional volatility appears non-constant over this interval. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1095-1101 Issue: 10 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000246803 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000246803 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:10:p:1095-1101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yih-Chyi Chuang Author-X-Name-First: Yih-Chyi Author-X-Name-Last: Chuang Author-Name: Pi-Fum Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Pi-Fum Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: FDI, trade, and spillover efficiency: evidence from China's manufacturing sector Abstract: Using firm data from the 1995 Third Industrial Census of China, this paper finds that the presence of foreign ownership has a positive and significant effect on domestic firms' productivity. Moreover, trading with more advanced countries helps China gain access to new technology and information, which improves its productivity and enables it to compete in international markets. It is found that China's imports from OECD and the four Asian Tigers, and exports to OECD have positive effects on domestic firms' productivity. By dividing industries into high-technology-gap and low-technology-gap groups, it is found that the spillover effects of FDI are larger for the low-technology-gap group than for the high-technology-gap group. However, the estimation results of the trade-induced technology spillover effect support the technology-gap learning theory and the significance of importing appropriate technology. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1103-1115 Issue: 10 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000246812 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000246812 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:10:p:1103-1115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Milena Pavlova Author-X-Name-First: Milena Author-X-Name-Last: Pavlova Author-Name: Wim Groot Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Groot Author-Name: Godefridus Van Merode Author-X-Name-First: Godefridus Author-X-Name-Last: Van Merode Title: Willingness and ability of Bulgarian consumers to pay for improved public health care services Abstract: An application of the contingent valuation method to the willingness and ability of Bulgarian consumers to pay for public health care services is presented. The study uses data from a household survey conducted in May-June 2000. The willingness and ability to pay for outpatient, inpatient and dental services is investigated. A combination of interval checklist and open-ended questions are used to elicit the willingness-to-pay amounts. The impact of the sociodemographic characteristics on the responses is examined by a generalized Tobit regression. Based on the regression equation, the welfare effects of various fee levels are simulated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1117-1130 Issue: 10 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000246821 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000246821 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:10:p:1117-1130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antony Davies Author-X-Name-First: Antony Author-X-Name-Last: Davies Title: Computational intermediation and the evolution of computation as a commodity Abstract: The consumer who purchases computational power ultimately purchases a reduction in the time interval between the initiation and the completion of work. This paper looks at computation as a commodity and the nascent industry of computational intermediation, and proposes a model for the market for computational power as distinct from the market for computers. Some interesting results emerge. The model implies that the demand for computation is discontinuous and that there is a lower limit to the quantity of computation consumers will demand that is independent of the price of power. The model identifies a range of computational powers that could be supplied by computational intermediaries but which will not be supplied by computer manufacturers, and suggests a model for pricing computation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1131-1142 Issue: 11 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000247334 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000247334 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:11:p:1131-1142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Catherine Co Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Co Author-Name: John List Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: List Title: Is foreign direct investment attracted to 'knowledge creators'? Abstract: The effect of 'knowledge creators' on location patterns of new foreign plants entering the USA from 1986 to 1993 is analysed. The empirical results from a conditional logit model suggest a link exists between knowledge bases, measured by patent counts, and the location decisions of foreign plants. In the limit, these results imply that a 1% increase in patent counts is associated with an increase in the probability of attracting a new foreign plant by as much as 1.874%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1143-1149 Issue: 11 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000176810 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000176810 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:11:p:1143-1149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor Matheson Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Matheson Author-Name: Robert Baade Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Baade Title: 'Death effect' on collectible prices Abstract: It has been widely observed that the price of art or celebrity memorabilia rises around the time of the artist or figure's death. Previous authors attribute this ' death effect ' primarily to expectations on the part of collectors concerning the future supply of collectibles relating to the public figure as in the case of a durable goods monopolist. The observations of the sports memorabilia market suggest that the increase in prices is instead due to a ' nostalgia effect ' as a result of the media attention that surrounds the death of a prominent public figure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1151-1155 Issue: 11 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000247343 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000247343 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:11:p:1151-1155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: An-Sing Chen Author-X-Name-First: An-Sing Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: James Wuh Lin Author-X-Name-First: James Wuh Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Cointegration and detectable linear and nonlinear causality: analysis using the London Metal Exchange lead contract Abstract: This study applies linear and nonlinear Granger causality tests to examine the dynamic relation between London Metal Exchange (LME) cash prices and three possible predictors. The analysis uses matched quarterly inventory, UK Treasury bill interest rates, futures prices and cash prices for the commodity lead traded on the LME. The effects of cointegration on both linear and nonlinear Granger causality tests is also examined. When cointegration is not modelled, evidence is found of both linear and nonlinear causality between cash prices and analysed predictor variables. However, after controlling for cointegration, evidence of significant nonlinear causality is no longer found. These results contribute to the empirical literature on commodity price forecasting by highlighting the relationship between cointegration and detectable linear and nonlinear causality. The importance of interest rate and inventory as well as futures price in forecasting cash prices is also illustrated. Failure to detect significant nonlinearity after controlling for cointegration may also go some way to explaining the reason for the disappointing forecasting performances of many nonlinear models in the general finance literature. It may be that the variables are correct, but the functional form is overly complex and a standard VAR or VECM may often apply. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1157-1167 Issue: 11 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000247352 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000247352 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:11:p:1157-1167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan van Dalen Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: van Dalen Author-Name: Ben Bode Author-X-Name-First: Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Bode Title: Quality-corrected price indices: the case of the Dutch new passenger car market, 1990-1999 Abstract: Market dynamics and technological developments constitute a major challenge to the proper measurement of the price evolution of durable goods. In this study, hedonic methods are used to estimate quality-corrected price indices of new passenger cars in the Netherlands, 1990-1999. Use is made of a huge set of price, quantity and quality information about 11,000 car models, obtained from different sources. During the observation period the nominal price level of all available car models increased about 20% on average, while the shares of car models with airbags, tinted glass and power steering increased from almost nothing to about 90%. Matched model price indices and the official CPI for new passenger cars, which partially account for quality-adjustments, estimate the price increase to be equal to 10.6-14.2% respectively 11.2% for the 1990-1999 period. By contrast, the hedonic Fisher-like price indices based on the preferred annually estimated brand-weighted semi-log hedonic model, lead to price changes varying from + 2.3% to - 3.4% (depending on the choice of weight variable, and the use of fixed or varying reference periods in the index construction) and thereby fall 8.9 to 14.6 percentage points below the official figures, over the period 1990-1999. The pooled adjacent-years model holds an intermediate position with a predicted quality-corrected price decrease of 1.8% over the observation period, which is 13.0 points below the CPI. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1169-1197 Issue: 11 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000247361 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000247361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:11:p:1169-1197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franz Hahn Author-X-Name-First: Franz Author-X-Name-Last: Hahn Title: Long-run homogeneity of labour demand. Panel evidence from OECD countries Abstract: This study makes an attempt to examine the long-run relationship between the key labour market parameters of employment, aggregate output, real product wages and labour-augmenting technical progress for a sample of 21 OECD countries covering the period from 1970 to 2000. A new panel error correction technique is applied, which allows one to constrain the long-run coefficients to be identical across the countries while letting the short-run coefficients which govern the dynamics and the error variances differ freely, respectively. Thus, this estimation approach assumes that institutional and cultural differences, albeit causing short-term deviations of labour demand behaviour across countries, leave the long-run structure of the labour markets unaffected. That is to say, the long-run equilibrium relationship between the key labour market variables is taken to be similar across the OECD economies. The empirical analysis shows that the long-run relationship between the key labour market parameters is equal across the OECD countries. However, adjustment speed of actual employment to the equilibrium is much higher in countries with flexible labour markets, such as the USA and UK, than in countries with rigid labour markets, such as Germany and Austria. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1199-1203 Issue: 11 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000247370 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000247370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:11:p:1199-1203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Semiparametric estimation of the fractional differencing parameter in the UK industrial production index Abstract: The order of integration of the industrial production index in the UK is investigated by means of semiparametric techniques in the time and in the frequency domain. Several methods like the R\S statistic, along with others proposed by Robinson in a number of articles are applied to various differenced transformations of the log of the series. These methods perform poorly when using the time domain approaches, however, when using the frequency domain, the results are fairly conclusive. Evidence is found of a unit root at the zero frequency in the logged series whether or not the series is monthly seasonally differenced first. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1205-1217 Issue: 11 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000247389 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000247389 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:11:p:1205-1217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Matilla-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Matilla-Garcia Author-Name: P. Sanz Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz Author-Name: F. J. Vazquez Author-X-Name-First: F. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Vazquez Title: Dimension estimation with the BDS-G statistic Abstract: The issue of time delay has been controversial among the specialized literature. In fact, there exist some contrasted methods to choose it. It is the case that even though they are investigated for chaotic series, they fail to detect which series come from a deterministic and chaotic system. In this study a new procedure for selecting the delay time which produces good results about the estimation of the correlation dimension in chaotic series is introduced. The method is based upon a statistic (BDS-G), rooted on the integral correlation function, that takes advantage of the information contained in the data in terms of dependence, and it uses it to choose proper delay times and embedding dimensions. The results for the studied series, even for small data sets, are satisfactory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1219-1223 Issue: 11 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000247398 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000247398 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:11:p:1219-1223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose E. Bosca Author-X-Name-First: Jose E. Author-X-Name-Last: Bosca Author-Name: Antonio Cutanda Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Cutanda Author-Name: Javier Escriba Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Escriba Title: Rates of return to public and private capital: new estimates using nonlinear Euler equations Abstract: Results obtained by Otto and Voss show that public investment undertaken in Australia over recent decades satisfies conditions for intertemporal efficiency. This paper confirms this result, although lower output elasticities and rates of return to private and public capital are obtained. The reason for these results is that the earlier work is extended by estimating the parameter related to the elasticity of intertemporal substitution that was earlier restricted to a specific value. In fact, it is shown here that it is possible to obtain an economically reasonable (and statistically significant) estimate of this parameter by assuming that the stochastic discount factor for the representative firm is the same as for the representative consumer and equal to a gross real interest rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1225-1232 Issue: 11 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000191129 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000191129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:11:p:1225-1232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Morteza Haghiri Author-X-Name-First: Morteza Author-X-Name-Last: Haghiri Author-Name: James Nolan Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Nolan Author-Name: Kien Tran Author-X-Name-First: Kien Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: Assessing the impact of economic liberalization across countries: a comparison of dairy industry efficiency in Canada and the USA Abstract: This paper examines and compares the technical efficiency measures of Ontario and New York dairy producers for the period 1992 to 1998. A nonparametric stochastic frontier model is introduced to estimate technical efficiency. The backfitting algorithm of Breiman and Friedman is used to estimate the frontier. Empirical results indicate that during the period of study, New York dairy farmers produced milk more efficiently than Ontario dairy producers, but the magnitude of the difference was small. The estimated mean technical efficiency for the former group is 0.602 as compared to 0.532 for the latter. The results also indicated that over time, dairy farms in both regions improved their level of technical efficiency. Furthermore, no correlation was found between farm size and estimated technical efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1233-1243 Issue: 11 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000247406 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000247406 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:11:p:1233-1243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Hsin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Mei-Hui Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Estimation of scale and scope economies in multiproduct banking: evidence from the Fourier flexible functional form with panel data Abstract: An empirical study is conducted on scale and scope economies for Taiwan's banking industry with panel data using a Fourier flexible cost function developed by Gallant and a translog cost function, both of which take economic efficiency into account. It is found that the Fourier form is more appropriate than the traditional translog form in fitting the data, and that various efficiency measures computed using the Fourier function are compatible with each other, while those computed using the translog function are not. The Fourier evidence shows that sample banks continue to enjoy economies of scale, and exhibit scope diseconomies, which indicates that greater product diversification can reduce banking costs through product-mix economies. Banks may benefit from further diversifying their line of financial services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1245-1253 Issue: 11 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000247415 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000247415 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:11:p:1245-1253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laure Latruffe Author-X-Name-First: Laure Author-X-Name-Last: Latruffe Author-Name: Kelvin Balcombe Author-X-Name-First: Kelvin Author-X-Name-Last: Balcombe Author-Name: Sophia Davidova Author-X-Name-First: Sophia Author-X-Name-Last: Davidova Author-Name: Katarzyna Zawalinska Author-X-Name-First: Katarzyna Author-X-Name-Last: Zawalinska Title: Determinants of technical efficiency of crop and livestock farms in Poland Abstract: Poland, one of the candidate countries for European Union membership, is currently experiencing acute structural problems within its agriculture sector. This article analyses technical efficiency and its determinants for a panel of individual farms in Poland specialized in crop and livestock production in 2000. Technical efficiency is estimated with stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) and confidence intervals are constructed. Determinants of inefficiency are also evaluated. The SFA results are compared with results using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). On average, livestock farms are more technically efficient than crop farms. For both specializations, the size-efficiency relationship is positive, that is large farms are more efficient. The SFA findings are generally supported by the DEA results. Soil quality and the degree of integration with downstream markets are highly important determinants of efficiency. The use of factor markets (land and labour) is important for crop farms, while livestock farms can rely on family labour and own land. Also, education is a constraint to efficiency particularly for crop farms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1255-1263 Issue: 12 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000176793 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000176793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:12:p:1255-1263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Seasonal fractional components in macroeconomic time series Abstract: Seasonal fractional models are shown in this article to be alternative credible ways of modelling the seasonal component in macroeconomic time series. A testing procedure that allows one to test different orders of integration at zero and at each of the seasonal frequencies is described. This procedure is then applied to the Italian consumption and income series, the results being very sensitive to the way of modelling the I(0) disturbances. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1265-1279 Issue: 12 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000260456 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000260456 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:12:p:1265-1279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsiu-Yun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hsiu-Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Jyh-Lin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Convergence of interest rates around the Pacific Rim Abstract: This article applies the panel data unit root tests provided by Im, Pesaran and Shin (Discussion paper, 1997) to examine the interest rate convergence of small-open Asian countries with major financial centres. With monthly data from 1988:1 to 1997:6, it was found that the nominal interest rates of these countries converge to the US rates rather than to Japan's. This finding is consistent with the view that the monetary authorities of non-Japan Asian economies pegged their exchange rates overwhelmingly to the dollar rather than the yen before the financial crisis of 1997. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1281-1288 Issue: 12 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000238929 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000238929 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:12:p:1281-1288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Devadoss Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Devadoss Author-Name: Thomas Wahl Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Wahl Title: Welfare impacts of Indian apple trade policies Abstract: In April 2000, India eliminated the quantitative import restriction of apples and instituted a trade barrier in the form of lower ad valorem tariffs. This study examines the impacts of Indian trade policies on the apple market by reviewing the government policies, discussing mathematical and graphical analyses of trade policies, presenting estimated equations of demand, supply, and excess supply, and providing solutions of prices, quantities, and welfare impacts under autarky, free trade, and tariff regimes. Given the total population of more than one billion and a vast middle income population, and economic reforms and resulting income growth, India has a considerable potential to increase its apple consumption. Our study shows that under free trade, India will consume 3008 thousand metric tonnes (TMT) of apples of which 2237 TMT will be imported. Also, free trade will increase the total welfare by Rs 29 512 million. These large gains suggest that India should liberalize apple import barriers and move toward free trade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1289-1294 Issue: 12 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000191886 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000191886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:12:p:1289-1294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Qiming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Barry Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Reilly Title: Income transfers of Chinese rural migrants: some empirical evidence from Jinan Abstract: This paper explores the determinants of migrant remittances to rural households using data on male migrant workers drawn from the Jinan Municipality in Shandong province in the summer of 1995. The majority of migrants are found to retain close links with their rural households with 85% remitting some income in the 12 months preceding the survey date. The transfers accounted for over a third of urban labour earnings. A number of models are used to undertake the estimation of remittance functions. No evidence of altruistic behaviour is uncovered and evidence for exchange and coinsurance theories is mixed. Labour earnings proved the most robust determinant of the level of remittance and the remittance/wage elasticity calculated is found to be at the top end of the range of estimates obtained in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1295-1313 Issue: 12 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000191101 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000191101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:12:p:1295-1313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yair Eilat Author-X-Name-First: Yair Author-X-Name-Last: Eilat Author-Name: Liran Einav Author-X-Name-First: Liran Author-X-Name-Last: Einav Title: Determinants of international tourism: a three-dimensional panel data analysis Abstract: International tourism is a fast growing industry generating half a trillion dollars in annual revenues and accounting for almost 10% of total international trade, and almost half of total trade in services. Yet, it has so far failed to receive the attention it deserves from mainstream economics. This paper attempts to provide an initial understanding of the determinants of international tourism. This paper claims that international tourism, as other forms of trade in services, is driven by unique factors of production, and may be better dealt with in a single industry study rather than in a general equilibrium trade model. In order to understand these determinants the world is viewed as a market of differentiated products, and a discrete choice estimation technique is applied to a large three-dimensional data set of tourist flows. It is shown that a relatively simple estimation technique, combined with a rich data set, can deliver reasonable substitution patterns. It is found, among other things, that political risk is very important for tourism, and that exchange rates matter mainly for tourism to developed countries. These have exchange rate elasticity of about one. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1315-1327 Issue: 12 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368404000180897 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368404000180897 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:12:p:1315-1327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roland Maude-Griffin Author-X-Name-First: Roland Author-X-Name-Last: Maude-Griffin Author-Name: Roger Feldman Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Feldman Author-Name: Douglas Wholey Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Wholey Title: Nash bargaining model of HMO premiums Abstract: This paper estimates a model of commercial HMO premiums based on Nash's axiomatic approach to bargaining between HMOs and employers. The bargaining models incorporate variables that measure the 'power' of the parties to affect the division of potential gains from a contract. It is found that an increase in the number of competing HMOs increases the employer's bargaining power and leads to lower premiums, especially for for-profit HMOs. It is also found that employers' bargaining power over non-profit HMOs is positively related to the ratio of the HMO's administrative expenses/total expenses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1329-1336 Issue: 12 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000238938 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000238938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:12:p:1329-1336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amir Alizadeh Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Alizadeh Author-Name: Manolis Kavussanos Author-X-Name-First: Manolis Author-X-Name-Last: Kavussanos Author-Name: David Menachof Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Menachof Title: Hedging against bunker price fluctuations using petroleum futures contracts: constant versus time-varying hedge ratios Abstract: The effectiveness of hedging marine bunker price fluctuations in Rotterdam, Singapore and Houston is examined using different crude oil and petroleum future contracts traded at the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and the International Petroleum Exchange (IPE) in London. Using both constant and dynamic hedge ratios, it is found that in and out-of-sample hedging effectiveness is different across regional bunker markets. The most effective futures instruments for out of sample hedging of spot bunker prices in Rotterdam and Singapore are the IPE crude oil futures, while for Houston it is the gas oil futures. Differences in hedging effectiveness across regional markets are attributed to the varying regional supply and demand factors in each market. In comparison to other markets, the cross-market hedging effectiveness investigated in the bunker market is low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1337-1353 Issue: 12 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000176801 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000176801 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:12:p:1337-1353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sabine Bockem Author-X-Name-First: Sabine Author-X-Name-Last: Bockem Title: Cartel formation and oligopoly structure: a new assessment of the crude oil market Abstract: While economic theorists regard OPEC as a perfect example of a long-lasting cartel, energy economists strongly deny such view. Applying the ideas of New Empirical Industrial Organization, a market description is derived. Cartel theory and empirical evidence fit together well. Stable long-lasting cartels can be explained only for subclasses of market models and exactly such type of model is obtained here. A variety of different market models is tested. OPEC and the market for crude oil is best described by a price-leader model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1355-1369 Issue: 12 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000191093 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000191093 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:12:p:1355-1369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Jenkins Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Jenkins Title: Purchasing power parity and the role of traded goods: evidence from EU states Abstract: In this paper the debate on purchasing power parity (PPP) is considered by providing results with disaggregated price data from European countries. The disaggregation of the price data is important because it allows for the consideration of goods that are likely tradable (e.g., fruits) with goods that are not tradable (e.g., hotel rooms). The European focus is important because these results are able to shed light on the effect of the type of exchange rate regime, member of exchange rate mechanism (ERM) or not. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1371-1375 Issue: 12 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000191110 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000191110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:12:p:1371-1375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Artatrana Ratha Author-X-Name-First: Artatrana Author-X-Name-Last: Ratha Title: The J-Curve: a literature review Abstract: Due to lag structure, currency devaluation is said to worsen the trade balance first and improve it later resulting in a pattern that resemble the letter J, hence the J-Curve phenomenon. Since its introduction by Magee in 1973 (Brooking Papers on Economic Activity, 1, pp. 303-25), a large number of studies have attempted to test the phenomenon using different techniques and different model specifications. The results are at best ambiguous and deserve to be collected together for the future generation of researchers and graduate students. This paper fills such a vacuum in the literature by reviewing the J-Curve related empirical papers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1377-1398 Issue: 13 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000201794 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000201794 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:13:p:1377-1398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Santiago Alvarez-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Santiago Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez-Garcia Author-Name: Juan Prieto-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Prieto-Rodriguez Author-Name: Rafael Salas Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Salas Title: The evolution of income inequality in the European Union during the period 1993-1996 Abstract: The objective of this work is to analyse the income inequality in the 15 EU countries during the convergence process to the Monetary Union, using the information contained in the European Community Household Panel, corresponding to the four first waves. Using the inverse second order stochastic dominance concept, an ordering of these countries has been carried out. Furthermore, this ranking allows one to determine if the differences among EU country members have increased or decreased during this particular period. Whether the inequality of income has diminished within and between countries over time was studied. Gini's generalized family indices proposed by Donaldson and Weymark (Journal of Economic Theory 22: 67-86, 1980 and 29: 353-8, 1983) and Yitzhaki (International Economic Review 24: 617-28, 1983) have been used. This allows one to test the sensitivity of the results obtained to different degrees of inequality aversion and to different equivalence scales, taking into account household sizes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1399-1408 Issue: 13 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000206997 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000206997 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:13:p:1399-1408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joon-Ho Hahm Author-X-Name-First: Joon-Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Hahm Title: Interest rate and exchange rate exposures of banking institutions in pre-crisis Korea Abstract: This study empirically investigates interest rate and exchange rate exposures of banking institutions in pre-crisis Korea. Using the sensitivity of stock returns as a measure of the exposure, it is shown that Korean commercial banks and merchant banking corporations had been significantly exposed to both interest rate and exchange rate risks, and that the subsequent profitability of commercial banks was significantly associated with the degree of pre-crisis exposure. The evidence suggests that, along with the negative exposure of banking institutions, the sharp depreciation of the Korean won and high interest rates at the end of 1997 further deteriorated the banking sector's capital adequacy worsening the financial crisis. The Korean case highlights the importance of upgrading financial supervision and risk management practices as a precondition for successful financial liberalization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1409-1419 Issue: 13 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000206979 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000206979 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:13:p:1409-1419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dilip Dutta Author-X-Name-First: Dilip Author-X-Name-Last: Dutta Author-Name: Nasiruddin Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Nasiruddin Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: Trade liberalization and industrial growth in Pakistan: a cointegration analysis Abstract: Using the framework of an endogenous growth model, this study empirically analyses the relationship between trade policies and industrial growth in Pakistan during the period 1973-1995. The cointegration and error correction modelling approaches have been applied. The empirical results suggest that there exists a unique long-run relationship among the aggregate growth function of industrial value added and its major determinants of the real capital stock, the labour force, real exports, the import tariff collection rate and the secondary school enrolment ratio. The short-term dynamic behaviour of Pakistan's growth function of industrial value added has been investigated by estimating an error correction model in which the error correction term has been found to be correctly signed and statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1421-1429 Issue: 13 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000206951 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000206951 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:13:p:1421-1429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Nell Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Nell Title: The structuralist theory of imported inflation: an application to South Africa Abstract: This study emphasizes the importance of identifying the origin of inflation in the present context of inflation targeting by many emerging market and transition economies. The analysis shows, based on South African data, how structural (supply) and demand inflation can be distinguished. The results indicate that South Africa's inflation experience between 1973q1 and 1998q4 is characterized by two monetary regimes. During the first regime (1973q1-1984q4) the long-run cause of inflation is demand-pull. The second regime (1987q1-1998q4) represents major changes to structural ('imported') and cost-push inflation. The two-year period 1985-1986 signifies structural change from the first to the second regime. Moreover, the results in the second regime remain robust when the inflation model is subjected to 'new' out-of-sample data until 2001q2. Evidence of structural ('imported') inflation in the second regime suggests that inflation should not entirely be squeezed out of the system nor should it necessarily be kept at the lowest possible level, because some inflation may be regarded as the natural by-product of the growth and development process. South Africa's inflation experience points to several lessons for existing (and potential) emerging market and transition economies with some form of inflation targeting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1431-1444 Issue: 13 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000204467 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000204467 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:13:p:1431-1444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Chan-Jun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Chan-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Measuring the economic benefits of recycling: the case of the waste agricultural film in Korea Abstract: Recently increase of the waste agricultural film (WAF) raises the loss of the resources and produces the environmental damage in Korea. The Korean government has established the basic plan for increasing the recycling rate and abating the environmental damage. The objective of this paper is to estimate the economic benefits attached to the policy of recycling the WAF using contingent valuation method, aiming to provide policy-makers with useful information to make an informed public decision in recycling the WAF. The overall results show that the respondents well accepted the contingent market and would be willing to pay a significant amount for the proposed policy of recycling the WAF. The mean willingness to pay and the truncated mean willingness to pay per household were 4641 Korean won (US$ 3.6) and 5730 Korean won (US$ 4.4), respectively. Total economic benefits for the population amounted to approximately 14.33 billion Korean won (US$ 11.02 million) per year. This quantitative information can be used in cost-benefit analysis of the policy of recycling the WAF. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1445-1453 Issue: 13 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000206988 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000206988 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:13:p:1445-1453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Gill de Albornoz Noguer Author-X-Name-First: B. Gill de Albornoz Author-X-Name-Last: Noguer Author-Name: M. Illueca Munoz Author-X-Name-First: M. Illueca Author-X-Name-Last: Munoz Title: Comparing abnormal accruals models: a non-parametric approach Abstract: The purpose of this study is to compare the distribution of discretionary accruals produced by the Standard and Modified Jones models using a non-parametric approach. Evidence is provided that discretionary accruals produced by the two models have an almost identical distribution. Moreover, it is found that whether or not an intercept is included in the model produces more intra-distribution mobility than the use of the standard or the modified version of the model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1455-1460 Issue: 13 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000204449 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000204449 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:13:p:1455-1460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Adam Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Adam Author-Name: Michael Goujon Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Goujon Author-Name: Sylviane Guillaumont Jeanneney Author-X-Name-First: Sylviane Guillaumont Author-X-Name-Last: Jeanneney Title: The transactions demand for money in the presence of currency substitution: evidence from Vietnam Abstract: Currency substitution - the use of foreign money to finance transactions between domestic residents - is widespread in low income and transition economies. Traditionally, however, empirical models of the demand for money tend to concentrate on the portfolio motive for holding foreign currency, while maintaining the assumption that the income elasticity of demand for domestic money is invariant to the degree of currency substitution. A simple re-specification of the demand for money is offered which more accurately reflects the process of currency substitution by allowing for a variable income elasticity of demand for domestic money. This specification is estimated for Vietnam in the 1990s. Using a standard cointegration framework evidence is found for currency substitution only in the long-run but well-defined wealth effects operating in the short-run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1461-1470 Issue: 13 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368404200029839 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368404200029839 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:13:p:1461-1470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Soderlind Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Soderlind Title: What if the Fed had been an inflation nutter? Abstract: A structural rational expectations model of US monetary policy is used to make a counterfactual experiment of a strongly inflation averse Federal Reserve Bank. Results for US interest rates, output, and inflation over 1965-1999 are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1471-1473 Issue: 13 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000201820 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000201820 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:13:p:1471-1473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mike Smet Author-X-Name-First: Mike Author-X-Name-Last: Smet Title: Multi-product costs and standby capacity derived from queuing theory: the case of Belgian hospitals Abstract: Empirical hospital cost function studies can be divided into two categories: studies estimating traditional multi-product cost functions and studies including demand uncertainty (assuming that hospitals provide standby capacity to cope with uncertain demand and stressing that the relationship between the uncertain demand, excess capacity and costs should be investigated). Most studies include (the inverse of) the occupancy rate in a relatively basic cost function. The first contribution of this paper is to incorporate an indicator of reserve capacity into a genuine multi-product cost function. The second contribution is to propose an alternative indicator to proxy the reserve margin. The often used occupancy rate has an important shortcoming: the same occupancy rate can hide different turnaway probabilities and waiting times, obscuring the true degree of reservation quality. Since turnaway probabilities and waiting times are typical queuing theory indicators, an indicator for average waiting time (derived from queuing theory) is incorporated into a proper multi-product cost function to capture the degree of standby capacity into a proper multi-product cost function. The study uses 1997 data on Belgian general care hospitals to estimate a multi-product cost function and calculate cost elasticities, marginal costs and the degree of economies of scale. The results further show that providing standby capacity has a significant impact on total costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1475-1487 Issue: 13 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000201811 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000201811 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:13:p:1475-1487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diana Burton Author-X-Name-First: Diana Author-X-Name-Last: Burton Author-Name: H. Alan Love Author-X-Name-First: H. Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Love Author-Name: Gordon Rausser Author-X-Name-First: Gordon Author-X-Name-Last: Rausser Title: Estimating statistical properties of political economic decisions Abstract: Revelation of criteria implicit in setting policy is addressed in a political economic framework that includes identification and estimation of unknown parameters in the presence of multiple sources of uncertainty. Policy formation is viewed as an optimization process under which the government maximizes a criterion function subject to market constraints. A method for estimating political criterion function weights and their associated standard errors over multiple time periods is presented. The approach is illustrated with an empirical example from Japanese rice and wheat trade policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1489-1499 Issue: 13 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000204458 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000204458 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:13:p:1489-1499 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Colin Carter Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: Carter Author-Name: Xianghong Li Author-X-Name-First: Xianghong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Changing trade patterns in major OECD countries Abstract: Disaggregated trade data are used to examine changing trade patterns for five developed economic regions: the USA, the European Union, Australia, Canada and Japan. This study covers the 1980-1997 time period, during which international trade for most goods faced less border protection. Changing trade patterns are found for the USA, Japan, and the EU, while persistent trade patterns are observed for Australia and Canada. Classifying goods into four groups, trade patterns found in manufactured goods were the most dynamic, and trade in bulk agricultural goods the most persistent. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1501-1511 Issue: 14 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217913 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:14:p:1501-1511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Sahn Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Sahn Author-Name: Ari Gerstle Author-X-Name-First: Ari Author-X-Name-Last: Gerstle Title: Child allowances and allocative decisions in Romanian households Abstract: In this paper it is tested whether increasing child allowances will affect the intra-household allocation of consumption, measured by child and adult goods, holding total household resources constant. The analysis is based on household survey data collected in Romania, where cash payments are made to families according to the number and age of children. Selectivity is controled for since there is the potential for self-selection bias in terms of the level of child allowances received. The findings suggest that holding total household resources constant, child allowances increase demand for child goods and calories and reduce demand for adult goods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1513-1521 Issue: 14 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217986 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217986 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:14:p:1513-1521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Ford Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Author-Name: John Jackson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Jackson Title: Demand elasticities for international message telephone service Abstract: Using a point-to-point model of toll demand, this paper provides estimates of own-price demand elasticities for international message telephone service. The study improves on previous studies by using more recent data and endogenizing price. Consistent with earlier studies, the demand for IMTS is found to be price inelastic, about -0.28 on average, in the short-run and near unitary elastic, -1.04 on average, in the long run. Both the level and the elasticity of demand are found to be positively related to the size of the telephone network. The own-price elasticity of demand for a select group of countries is provided. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1523-1527 Issue: 14 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000269439 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000269439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:14:p:1523-1527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Rafferty Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Rafferty Author-Name: Mark Funk Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Funk Title: Demand shocks and firm-financed R&D expenditures Abstract: Business cycles might affect firms' ability and incentive to perform R&D. Firms finance most R&D activities out of cash flow so when cash flow decreases the funds available for R&D also decreases. This limits the ability of firms to perform R&D, potentially leading to reduced R&D expenditures during recessions. However, business cycles also influence the incentive to perform R&D. The opportunity cost of funds devoted to R&D falls during recessions since the return on production will likely be lower than during an expansion. During recessions, this provides firms with an incentive to redistribute an existing pool of funds away from production and towards R&D projects. This paper tests whether the business cycle influences the incentive and ability of firms to engage in R&D activities, in particular examining whether the response is symmetric across the business cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1529-1536 Issue: 14 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217959 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:14:p:1529-1536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francis Greene Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: Greene Author-Name: Kevin Mole Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Mole Title: Tracking Euro preparations amongst UK SMEs Abstract: This paper tracks levels of Euro preparations by UK SMEs with trade links with the Euro currency area using two surveys of the same cross-sectional dataset. The first study was conducted soon after the initial launch of the Euro in 1999. The second study, using the same SMEs, sought to see how Euro preparations had changed by 2002 following the introduction of Euro notes and coins. At the univariate level, the results showed that the proportion of SMEs that were totally prepared increased from 31% to 44.3% whilst the proportion not prepared has also increased from 8.9% to 12.2%. The multivariate results show that directly trading manufacturers with a parent in the Euro area or who are seeking to acquire another company are more likely to have partially prepared for the Euro, which suggests a compliant ('just another foreign currency') rather than a strategic approach to the Euro. Trade links do not explain all the differences: incorporated manufacturing firms are significantly more likely to be partially prepared and less likely to be completely unprepared, indicating a possible impact of firm capabilities and sectoral differences. Firms looking to acquire others was the only significant business strategy variable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1537-1546 Issue: 14 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217968 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217968 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:14:p:1537-1546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nowak-Lehmann Felicitas Author-X-Name-First: Nowak-Lehmann Author-X-Name-Last: Felicitas Title: Different approaches of modelling reaction lags: how do Chilean manufacturing exports react to movements of the real exchange rate? Abstract: This study examines the relationship between export supply and the real exchange rate using annual Chilean data for the period 1960-1996. The hypotheses to be tested are first, that the real exchange rate does matter for the supply of exports - contrary to studies relying on quarterly data - and second, that the impact of a real depreciation only ceases to be positive and significant after about two-three years. Four different distributed lag models were considered as potentially adequate and useful to depict the impact of the real exchange rate over time. Even though all four models assumed different underlying lag structures, they all point to the importance of maintaining a competitive real exchange rate over time. The transfer function model is particularly well suited in shaping any lag structure in that it is not presumptive in form. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1547-1560 Issue: 14 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000269448 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000269448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:14:p:1547-1560 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Castaner Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Castaner Author-Name: Jorge Onrubia Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Onrubia Author-Name: Raquel Paredes Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Paredes Title: Evaluating social welfare and redistributive effects of Spanish personal income tax reform Abstract: Spain has recently concluded a process of wide-ranging reform of its personal income tax (IRPF), in force since 1992. The new IRPF is applicable from 1999 onward. The aim of this article is to analyse the implications of this tax reform for the distribution of personal income, and additionally to provide a comparative evaluation in terms of social welfare of both taxes. Empirical analysis is performed by a simulation exercise, employing the microdata contained in the Institute of Fiscal Studies' IRPF Panel of Taxpayers. The analysis shows that the new IRPF induces a redistributive effect slightly lower than the old IRPF. The greater redistributive potential of the progressive structure of the new tax proves to be insufficient to compensate for the contrary effect caused by reduction in the level of tax liability. However, this new tax unambigously permits, in an inequality-adverse society, a higher level of social welfare than that attained by the old tax. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1561-1568 Issue: 14 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/003684042000269457 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/003684042000269457 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:14:p:1561-1568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lata Gangadharan Author-X-Name-First: Lata Author-X-Name-Last: Gangadharan Title: Analysis of prices in tradable emission markets: an empirical study of the regional clean air incentives market in Los Angeles Abstract: The Regional Clean Air Incentives Market is an emissions trading programme, which is expected to help in reducing oxides of nitrogen and sulphur from stationary sources in the Los Angeles area. This paper uses econometric techniques to determine the factors that can explain the development of the price of emission permits. By controlling for various characteristics of the trades, the regression results allow one to isolate the impact of each factor and conduct a detailed analysis of the implications of this factor on price. The results show that the price of permits is affected by institutional factors such as the trading rules and regulations governing the permit programme. The permits are priced higher in the coastal zone, higher for trades recorded in 1997 as compared to 1994 or 1995 and are affected by the trader category. Brokers are involved in well over half of the trades and have acquired a substantial inventory of permits. Facilities buying from brokers pay higher prices than if they buy from another facility. The price of trades beyond 2003 is higher than for current trades, which could be indicative of expectations of high growth rates in the Los Angeles region or due to expectation of more stringent regulations in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1569-1582 Issue: 14 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000269466 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000269466 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:14:p:1569-1582 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Forecasting the real output using fractionally integrated techniques Abstract: The annual structure of the real GDP in the UK, France, Germany and Italy is examined by means of fractionally integrated techniques. Using a version of a testing procedure due to Robinson (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 84, 1420-37, 1994), it is shown that the series can be specified in terms of I(d ) statistical models with d higher than 1. Thus, the series are nonstationary and non-mean-reverting. The forecasting properties of the selected models for each country are also examined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1583-1589 Issue: 14 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000269475 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000269475 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:14:p:1583-1589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Wirjanto Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Wirjanto Title: Exploring consumption-based asset pricing model with stochastic-trend forcing processes Abstract: Using Canadian data, the consumption-based asset pricing model is studied, defined in terms of nondurable and durable goods consumption. A two-stage estimation procedure is used, which takes account of the presence of common stochastic trends in the forcing processes. This method yields more reasonable estimates of the preference parameters than the previous studies did, and the asset-pricing equation is not rejected by the data. Moreover, the preference specification adopted in this paper allows a number of useful economic information to be obtained. The additive separability assumption and the Cobb-Douglas functional form of the utility function are ruled complements in the sense of Edgeworth and Pareto. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1591-1597 Issue: 14 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217940 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:14:p:1591-1597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Abul Shamsuddin Author-X-Name-First: Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Shamsuddin Title: Expectation formation mechanisms, profitability of foreign exchange trading and exchange rate volatility Abstract: An attempt is made to identify the expectation formation mechanism dominating the foreign exchange market and to demonstrate that exchange rate volatility can be attributed to the heterogeneity of traders with respect to expectation formation. The criterion used to identify the dominance of a particular mechanism is the profitability of trading based on that mechanism. It is concluded that mixed and extrapolative expectations are the dominant mechanisms, that market participants follow some sort of a herd behaviour, and that they pay attention to the expectations of other participants. It is also found that the heterogeneity of market participants with respect to expectation formation goes a long way towards explaining volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1599-1606 Issue: 14 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217977 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217977 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:14:p:1599-1606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sonila Beliu Author-X-Name-First: Sonila Author-X-Name-Last: Beliu Author-Name: Matthew Higgins Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Higgins Title: Fractional cointegration analysis of EU convergence Abstract: Traditional cointegration tests do not provide strong evidence of convergence between EU countries. In this study, fractional cointegration analysis is used to test for convergence between EU members. Fractional cointegration between inflation and between long-term interest rates is found. The results indicate that there is nominal convergence, but that the equilibrium errors display long memory. Fractional cointegration analysis gives no evidence of real convergence in output. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1607-1611 Issue: 14 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000217931 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000217931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:14:p:1607-1611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryan Donnar Author-X-Name-First: Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Donnar Author-Name: Keith Jakee Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Jakee Title: Australian beer wars and pub demand: how vertical restraints improved the drinking experience Abstract: Recently, Australia's two largest brewers, Carlton and United Breweries and Lion Nathan, have been aggressively competing for market share in the state of Victoria. Among other strategies, the two breweries have implemented vertical restraints in the form of 'extensive' agreements with retailers and the outright purchase of pubs. A key outcome of these purchases and agreements is the renovation of many pubs as brewers attempt to attract increasingly sophisticated drinkers. This paper attempts to quantify the value of these renovations and measure their associated impact on consumers, relying on insights from the hedonic literature. A simple, but novel approach, is used to estimate the implicit price of the pub environment and the effects of renovations on that price. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1613-1622 Issue: 14 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000191877 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000191877 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:14:p:1613-1622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theodore Keeler Author-X-Name-First: Theodore Author-X-Name-Last: Keeler Author-Name: Teh-wei Hu Author-X-Name-First: Teh-wei Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Michael Ong Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Ong Author-Name: Hai-Yen Sung Author-X-Name-First: Hai-Yen Author-X-Name-Last: Sung Title: The US National Tobacco Settlement: the effects of advertising and price changes on cigarette consumption Abstract: This paper provides an econometric analysis of the effects of cigarette price and advertising changes stemming from the United States Tobacco Settlement of 1998. This is done by estimation of a demand function for cigarettes, based on data from both before and after the Settlement. The model is estimated using monthly time series data for the period 1990-2000. Results show that the increase in cigarette prices stemming from the Settlement reduced per capita cigarette consumption in the USA by 8.3%. However, the cigarette companies also increased advertising in the years immediately preceding and following the Settlement. This study estimates that this increased advertising partially offsets the effects of the higher prices, increasing cigarette consumption by 2.7 to 4.7%, and hence blunting the effects of the price increase by 33-57%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1623-1629 Issue: 15 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000266829 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000266829 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:15:p:1623-1629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tom Kompas Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Kompas Author-Name: Tuong Nhu Che Author-X-Name-First: Tuong Nhu Author-X-Name-Last: Che Author-Name: R. Quentin Grafton Author-X-Name-First: R. Quentin Author-X-Name-Last: Grafton Title: Technical efficiency effects of input controls: evidence from Australia's banana prawn fishery Abstract: This paper provides the first ex post estimates of the effects of input controls on technical efficiency in a fishery. Using individual vessel data from the northern prawn fishery of Australia for the years 1990-1996 and 1994-2000, stochastic production frontiers are estimated to analyse the efficiency impacts of input controls on engine and vessel size. The results indicate that technical efficiency is increasing in a measure of vessel size and engine capacity that was controlled by the regulator from 1985 to 2001, and decreasing in an unregulated input, gear headrope length. The study shows that fishers have substituted from regulated to unregulated inputs over the period 1990-2000 and technical efficiency has declined coincident with increasing restrictions on vessel size and engine capacity. The decline in technical efficiency indicates that the goal of the regulator to increase economic efficiency has not been realized. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1631-1641 Issue: 15 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000218561 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000218561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:15:p:1631-1641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Gomez-Plana Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Gomez-Plana Author-Name: Stephen Devadoss Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Devadoss Title: A spatial equilibrium analysis of trade policy reforms on the world wheat market Abstract: Since a few countries produce most of the world's wheat, and consumption is widespread across the world, wheat is one of the most commonly traded agricultural commodities. In recent years, the wheat market has been going through difficult phases as wheat prices are depressed. The fall in wheat prices is attributed to a supply glut and restrictive trade barriers. This study develops a large-scale spatial equilibrium trade model for wheat to analyse the effects of removing trade barriers (tariffs and subsidies) on each country's/region's price, supply, demand, trade, welfare, and bilateral trade flows. The results show that trade liberalization leads to an increase (decrease) in prices in the exporting (importing) countries. Production and exports increase in the exporting country, and consumption and imports increase in the importing country. Consequently, the volume of trade also increases. The welfare of most countries rises, and thus, world welfare also rises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1643-1648 Issue: 15 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000266838 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000266838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:15:p:1643-1648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anusua Datta Author-X-Name-First: Anusua Author-X-Name-Last: Datta Author-Name: Sumit Agarwal Author-X-Name-First: Sumit Author-X-Name-Last: Agarwal Title: Telecommunications and economic growth: a panel data approach Abstract: Telecommunication investment is increasingly identified as one with a strong potential to improve economic productivity and growth. The objective of this study is to investigate the long run relationship between telecommunications infrastructure and economic growth, using data from 22 OECD countries. A dynamic panel data method is used for estimation, which corrects for omitted variables bias of single equation cross-section regression. The 'fixed-effects' specification accounts for country specific differences in aggregate production functions. The results show a significant and positive correlation between telecommunications infrastructure and growth, after controlling for a number of other factors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1649-1654 Issue: 15 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000218552 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000218552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:15:p:1649-1654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Ford Brown Author-X-Name-First: Ford Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Title: Kalman filter approach to estimate the demand for international reserves Abstract: A few studies have provided empirical support for the fact that the demand for international reserves experienced structural instability in 1973 and 1979 due to a change in exchange rate system and oil price shocks. Thus, under the current managed float due to exchange rate and oil price fluctuations, coefficient estimates could be time dependent. After showing that indeed, estimated coefficients are time dependent, the Kalman filter estimation method is employed and the reserve demand function for 19 industrial countries estimated. The Kalman filter approach incorporates the time-varying properties of coefficients estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1655-1668 Issue: 15 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000218543 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000218543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:15:p:1655-1668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashok Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Charles Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Author-Name: Kenneth Erickson Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Erickson Title: Valuing farmland with multiple quasi-fixed inputs Abstract: This study examines the impact of multiple quasi-fixed assets on the imputed returns to farmland. The results indicate that the presence of additional quasi-fixed assets causes the true shadow value of farmland to deviate from its imputed value. The results also indicate that when the potential existence of multiple quasi-fixed assets is explicitly modelled, the shadow value of farmland approaches reported cash rental values. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1669-1675 Issue: 15 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000266847 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000266847 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:15:p:1669-1675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. S. Ferris Author-X-Name-First: J. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: E. G. West Author-X-Name-First: E. G. Author-X-Name-Last: West Title: Economies of scale, school violence and the optimal size of schools Abstract: This article argues that policy in relation to education has relied too extensively on the more easily measured costs of production to support a common conclusion of economies of scale in school and/or district size. It argues that there are external costs that increase with size but that can be measured less easily that offset this case. This would imply that the tendency within the education profession to advocate ever-larger school sizes is premature at best. To make the case, it models the choice of school size to emphasize that costs, such as school violence, born by both students and their parents but not (necessarily) by education administrators may result in school sizes that are too big from the perspective of school users. The second and third parts of the article introduces evidence to suggest that school violence is one of these external costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1677-1684 Issue: 15 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000266856 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000266856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:15:p:1677-1684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aamer Abu-Qarn Author-X-Name-First: Aamer Author-X-Name-Last: Abu-Qarn Author-Name: Suleiman Abu-Bader Author-X-Name-First: Suleiman Author-X-Name-Last: Abu-Bader Title: The validity of the ELG hypothesis in the MENA region: cointegration and error correction model analysis Abstract: The export-led growth (ELG) hypothesis is examined for nine Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries in three-variable vector autoregressive and error correction models. When considering total exports, the results reject the ELG hypothesis in almost all of these countries. When only manufactured exports are examined, no support is found for ELG in countries with relatively low shares of manufactured exports in total merchandise exports but strong support in countries with relatively high shares. These findings suggest that promoting exports may contribute to economic growth only after a certain threshold of manufactured exports has been reached. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1685-1695 Issue: 15 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000266865 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000266865 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:15:p:1685-1695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Martinez-Espineira Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez-Espineira Author-Name: Celine Nauges Author-X-Name-First: Celine Author-X-Name-Last: Nauges Title: Is all domestic water consumption sensitive to price control? Abstract: This paper presents a model of residential water demand based on the Stone-Geary utility function, which explicitly considers a threshold of water that is insensitive to price and a quantity that can adapt instantaneously to price changes. First, the threshold is assumed constant, being then allowed to vary according to past levels of consumption, a proxy for households' water-using equipment and habits. A measure of the depreciation rate of habits is derived and the effectiveness of price and non-price conservation measures are compared. The results provide useful policy recommendations for the studied case of Seville (Spain). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1697-1703 Issue: 15 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000218570 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000218570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:15:p:1697-1703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahmood Arai Author-X-Name-First: Mahmood Author-X-Name-Last: Arai Author-Name: Mats Kinnwall Author-X-Name-First: Mats Author-X-Name-Last: Kinnwall Author-Name: Peter Skogman Thoursie Author-X-Name-First: Peter Skogman Author-X-Name-Last: Thoursie Title: Cyclical and causal patterns of inflation and GDP growth Abstract: Empirical foundations for the view that high inflation impairs GDP growth are examined using annual data for 115 countries over the period 1960-1995. Taking into account country heterogeneity and time-specific symmetric shocks, as well as endogeneity of inflation and dynamics of GDP growth, dynamic panel-data models of the effects of inflation on growth are estimated. No evidence is found supporting the view that inflation is in general harmful to GDP growth. On the other hand, there is a negative correlation between contemporaneous intra-country inflation and growth for periods characterized by positive oil-price shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1705-1715 Issue: 15 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000266874 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000266874 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:15:p:1705-1715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. J. Escario Author-X-Name-First: J. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Escario Author-Name: J. A. Molina Author-X-Name-First: J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: Will a special tax on tobacco reduce lung cancer mortality? Evidence for EU countries Abstract: This article carrys out a quantitative evaluation of the effects on the health of smokers of increasing a special tobacco tax, using the mortality rate from lung cancer as an indicator. To that end, it estimates two models that relate tobacco consumption, the mortality rate and this special tax, employing data drawn from a sample made-up of 12 EU countries and covering the years 1983-1993. The results show that increasing the special tax is a useful tool for reducing lung cancer mortality. Specifically, it finds that a 10% increase will reduce the lung cancer mortality rate by 1.21% in the first year, with such a reduction implying the avoidance of 1707 deaths in the sample countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1717-1722 Issue: 15 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000266883 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000266883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:15:p:1717-1722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kishor Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Kishor Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: Horizontal and vertical intra-industry trade in Australian manufacturing: does trade liberalization have any impact? Abstract: This paper contributes to the literature on intra-industry trade (IIT) by disentangling such trade into horizontally and vertically differentiated products, and investigating their determinants in the context of trade liberalization in Australia. IIT in Australian manufacturing has increased following trade liberalization in 1980s and is increasingly dominated by vertically differentiated products. Industry level evidence confirms that the failure to segregate IIT into horizontally and vertically differentiated products produces misleading results as their determinants differ. Also, structural changes brought about by the policy liberalization appear to have an impact on total as well vertical IIT. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1723-1730 Issue: 15 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000218534 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000218534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:15:p:1723-1730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rolf Fare Author-X-Name-First: Rolf Author-X-Name-Last: Fare Author-Name: Shawna Grosskopf Author-X-Name-First: Shawna Author-X-Name-Last: Grosskopf Author-Name: William Weber Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: The effect of risk-based capital requirements on profit efficiency in banking Abstract: The purpose of this paper is twofold: to show how to measure profit efficiency in banking using a newly developed technique, and to use that technique to determine the effect of risk-based capital requirements on the profit performance of US banks. The measure of profit efficiency used captures deviations from profit maximization arising from technical inefficiency, caused by a lack of managerial oversight and allocative inefficiency, which is caused by managers choosing a nonoptimal mix of inputs and outputs. A leverage ratio constraint and a risk-weighted capital ratio constraint are explicitly included in the model, which allows identification of the effect on profits of those constraints. The techniques are applied to random samples of US banks for 1990, 1992, and 1994. The results indicate that allocative inefficiency is a larger source of profit loss than technical inefficiency and that the risk-based capital standards have a significant effect on bank allocative efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1731-1743 Issue: 15 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000218525 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000218525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:15:p:1731-1743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: J. Matthew Tyrone Author-X-Name-First: J. Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Tyrone Title: The 'Home Grown' Presidency: empirical evidence on localism in presidential voting, 1972-2000 Abstract: This builds upon the conceptual framework of Lewis-Beck and Rice (American Journal of Political Science, 27, 548-56, 1983), in combination with the empirical design of Kjar and Laband (Public Choice, 112, 143-50, 2002), to investigate home grown-ness in US presidential elections from 1972-2000. It found that, ceteris paribus, home state vote shares for US Presidential election winners are 5.19-15.11 percentage points higher due to the home grown-ness effect. In the eight presidential elections analysed, this study confirms two aspects of prior work. First, the estimate of a home grown-ness effect in presidential elections of 5.19 percentage points (on average), supports the 4 percentage point average found by Lewis-Beck and Rice (1983). Second, that support for the winning president monotonically increases as moves are made away from the opponent's home territory confirms the cascading dummy variable series approach developed by Kjar and Laband (2002). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1745-1749 Issue: 16 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000227886 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000227886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:16:p:1745-1749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosella Levaggi Author-X-Name-First: Rosella Author-X-Name-Last: Levaggi Author-Name: Roberto Zanola Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Zanola Title: Patients' migration across regions: the case of Italy Abstract: This article analyses patient mobility across Italian regions. A modified gravity model of patient migration is specified and estimated using panel observations covering mobility and other main regional quality indicators over the period 1994-1997. Despite the high level of aggregation due to data constraints, the empirical findings show that in Italy there is wide scope for quality-driven mobility while income determines the quality of the service offered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1751-1757 Issue: 16 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000227903 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000227903 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:16:p:1751-1757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ross Finnie Author-X-Name-First: Ross Author-X-Name-Last: Finnie Title: Who moves? A logit model analysis of inter-provincial migration in Canada Abstract: This paper addresses the topic of inter-provincial migration in terms of the basic question: 'Who moves?'. Panel logit models of the probability that an individual changes his or her province of residence from one year to the next over the 1982-1995 period are estimated using tax-based longitudinal data. It is found that moving is (i) inversely related to the home province's population size, presumably reflecting local economic conditions and labour market scale effects, while language also plays an important role; (ii) more common among residents of smaller cities, towns, and especially rural areas than those in larger cities; (iii) negatively related to age, marriage, and the presence of children for both men and women; (iv) positively related to the provincial unemployment rate, the individuals' receipt of unemployment insurance (except Entry Men), having no market income (except for Entry Men and Entry Women), and the receipt of social assistance (especially for men); (v) (slightly) positively related to earnings levels (beyond the zero earnings point) for prime aged men, but not for others; and (vi) more or less stable over time, with men's rates declining slightly and women's holding steadier or rising slightly, indicating a divergence in trends along gender lines. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1759-1779 Issue: 16 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000191147 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000191147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:16:p:1759-1779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiranya Nath Author-X-Name-First: Hiranya Author-X-Name-Last: Nath Title: Relative importance of sectoral and aggregate sources of price changes Abstract: This paper estimates a dynamic common factor model to assess relative importance of the aggregate and the sector-specific factors that determine changes in the prices of individual products. It also examines how aggregate price changes are affected by these factors. Two different specifications of the model are estimated: the baseline model with one aggregate factor, and a second specification with two aggregate factors. In the one-actor model, the aggregate factor contributes little to the movements of changes in prices, mostly of nondurable goods whereas it seems to have important contributions to the movements of changes in prices of commodity groups mainly used as intermediate or capital goods. In the specification with two aggregate factors, the additional factor has significant effects on changes in prices of 'farm products' and 'processed foods and feeds' only. Forecast-error variance decompositions of both aggregate and disaggregate price changes suggest that sectoral factors account for most of the variability at short horizons while the contributions of the aggregate factors increase as the time horizon lengthens. The results also show that sectoral factors are not only important for relative price changes but also have significant impact on aggregate inflation. The estimated common factors have statistically significant correlations with money growth and changes in the unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1781-1796 Issue: 16 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000236048 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000236048 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:16:p:1781-1796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Valdemar Smith Author-X-Name-First: Valdemar Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Author-Name: Mogens Dilling-Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Mogens Author-X-Name-Last: Dilling-Hansen Author-Name: Tor Eriksson Author-X-Name-First: Tor Author-X-Name-Last: Eriksson Author-Name: Erik Strøjer Madsen Author-X-Name-First: Erik Strøjer Author-X-Name-Last: Madsen Title: R&D and productivity in Danish firms: some empirical evidence Abstract: The aim of the paper is to examine the relationship between R&D capital and productivity using microdata for Danish manufacturing firms. The influence of factors such as ownership, innovative characteristics and source of funding accounted for. The return to accumulated R&D capital is estimated to be in the neighbourhood of 9-12%, whereas the short-run effect of R&D is insignificant. Furthermore, the direct influence from foreign ownership, source of funding accounted for, innovative characteristics and ownership dispersion on productivity are analysed. However, none of the factors seem to have an impact on firm productivity. The same is the case for the indirect influence coming from interaction with accumulated R&D capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1797-1806 Issue: 16 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000227895 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000227895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:16:p:1797-1806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jenny Lye Author-X-Name-First: Jenny Author-X-Name-Last: Lye Author-Name: Joe Hirschberg Author-X-Name-First: Joe Author-X-Name-Last: Hirschberg Title: Alcohol consumption, smoking and wages Abstract: The good health of an individual is a combination of uncontrollable factors that includes genetics and random events and controllable factors through the regulation of activities such as smoking and drinking. Since the work of Grossman in the 1970s, a significant relationship between health and earnings has been predicted. In this present paper the 1995 Australian National Health Survey is used to examine simultaneously the effects of drinking and smoking on wages. To model the interaction of smoking with alcohol consumption separate models are fitted for smokers and nonsmokers. These models account for potential selectivity bias resulting from the decision to smoke, and endogeneity arising from a potential causal relationship between earnings and alcohol consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1807-1817 Issue: 16 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001710645 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001710645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:16:p:1807-1817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. J. Dawson Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Author-Name: L. J. Hubbard Author-X-Name-First: L. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hubbard Title: Exports and economic growth in Central and East European countries during transition Abstract: This paper quantifies the contribution of exports to economic growth in Central and East European countries (CEECs) during transition. Two theoretical models are examined: the first is based on an aggregate production function which includes exports as an additional 'input'; while the second is based on a two-sector (exports and non-exports) model where exports provide positive externalities in non-export production. Each model is estimated with both fixed and random effects using panel data. Results show that the random effects model is preferred and that exports have a significant impact on economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1819-1824 Issue: 16 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368042000241123 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368042000241123 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:16:p:1819-1824 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Leeming Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Leeming Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: The BSE crisis and the price of red meat in the UK Abstract: This paper presents estimates of price functions for beef, lamb and pork for the UK economy which allow for the effects of the 1996 BSE crisis. The estimates illustrate the importance of allowing for the joint endogeneity of prices in these markets. This shown that the effects of this crisis had a significant negative effect on the price of beef and a positive and significant effect on the price of lamb. However, there appears to have been little effect on the price of pork. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1825-1829 Issue: 16 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000227868 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000227868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:16:p:1825-1829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaos Dritsakis Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Dritsakis Title: Exports, investments and economic development of pre-accession countries of the European Union: an empirical investigation of Bulgaria and Romania Abstract: This paper attempts to analyse the relationship between exports, investments and economic development in two pre-accession countries of the European Union, Bulgaria and Romania. For investigation of this relationship a multivariate autoregressive VAR model is used. The results of cointegration analysis showed that there is one cointegrated vector among exports, investments and economic growth for the two countries. Granger causality tests based on error correction models (ECM) indicated that there is a 'strong Granger causal' relation between economic growth and exports as well as between investments and exports for the two countries. In addition, economic development and capital accumulation in an economy seem to have just as much of an influence on exports as exports have on capital accumulation and economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1831-1838 Issue: 16 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001710627 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001710627 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:16:p:1831-1838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: U. Ozlale Author-X-Name-First: U. Author-X-Name-Last: Ozlale Author-Name: E. Yeldan Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Yeldan Title: Measuring exchange rate misalignment in Turkey Abstract: Turkey has embarked an extensive dis-inflation and stabilization program in December 1999. The programme exclusively relied on a nominally pegged (anchored) exchange rate system for dis-inflation and on fiscal austerity. In February 2001, however, Turkey experienced a severe financial crisis which necessiated the dismantling of the exchange rate anchor and a switch to a regime of free float. This article proposes a new methodology to measure exchange rate misalignment for Turkey over the period January 1992 to December 2001. In a single equation framework, the model estimates the real exchange rate within a time varying parameter model, where a return-to-normality assumption about the parameters is assumed. Contrary to common belief, it is found that, except the initial four months of the stabilization programme, the Turkish lira remained undervalued for most of 2000. Also, one observes a pattern where the lira has been overvalued after the financial crisis of 1994 until 1998, and has displayed a tendency of undervaluation after then. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1839-1849 Issue: 16 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000279735 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000279735 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:16:p:1839-1849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stanley Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Stanley Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Author-Name: P. Michael Schmitz Author-X-Name-First: P. Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitz Author-Name: Nobuyuki Iwai Author-X-Name-First: Nobuyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Iwai Author-Name: Barry Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Title: The real rate of protection: the income and insurance effects of agricultural policy Abstract: Agricultural price policies in developed countries aim at protecting farmers against both low and volatile world market prices. However, traditional indicators of protection only refer to the income (level) effect of policy. Following other research, it is argued that public policy can also yield an insurance (stabilizing) effect. In this paper a way to measure these dual effects is proposed. The method is illustrated with wheat market data for the USA and the European Union. Strong evidence is found that the insurance effect is an important component of protection, albeit a small one relative to the income effect. Policy support provided higher income and lower insurance effects in the EU than in the USA. For both markets, policy reforms in the 1990s led to significantly reduced income effects and smaller insurance effects. Without accounting for the influence of policy on income variability, traditional measures of protection will understate the real rate of protection. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1851-1858 Issue: 16 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000279744 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000279744 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:16:p:1851-1858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. M. Gil Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Author-Name: B. Dhehibi Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Dhehibi Author-Name: M. Ben Kaabia Author-X-Name-First: M. Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Kaabia Author-Name: A. M. Angulo Author-X-Name-First: A. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Angulo Title: Non-stationarity and the import demand for virgin olive oil in the European Union Abstract: The aim of this study is to analyse the importation of virgin olive oil to European Union countries, paying special attention to the Spanish export contribution. The method used is based on the estimation of an imports demand system. The novelty of the paper lies not in the modelling approach but in the explicit consideration of the univariate characteristics of series that is included in the analysis. Since prices are non-stationary, cointegration among them has been tested. Results indicate that they are cointegrated and that homogeneity holds. As a result, relative prices are included in the imports demand system. Structural change is also considered so as to account for the entrance of both Spain and Greece into the EU during the period studied. Results demonstrate the leadership of Spain within the EU virgin olive oil market as well as the increasing competitiveness of Greek oil. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1859-1869 Issue: 16 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000227877 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000227877 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:16:p:1859-1869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesca Borgonovi Author-X-Name-First: Francesca Author-X-Name-Last: Borgonovi Title: Performing arts attendance: an economic approach Abstract: This paper examines to what extent art education, prices and standard socio-economic characteristics influence attendance at professional performing arts events (theatre, classical music, opera, ballet and dance). It distinguishes the influence such variables have on whether a person participates or not, from the effect that they have on the number of times a person decides to attend. The introduction of art education and price variables is likely to reduce the omitted variable bias present in previous empirical studies and improve estimations. Art education is highly correlated with participation, while it is not equally associated with frequency of attendance. Prices and geographical concentration are generally not correlated with participation, however there are large differences among art forms and economic resources appear to be relevant in the case of classical music. Policy makers can use information on what results can be expected from policies aimed at reducing prices or increase art education in the population in their attempt to improve attendance and increase access to the performing arts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1871-1885 Issue: 17 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000264010 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000264010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:17:p:1871-1885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monica Auteri Author-X-Name-First: Monica Author-X-Name-Last: Auteri Author-Name: Mauro Costantini Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Costantini Title: Is social protection a necessity or a luxury good? New multivariate cointegration panel data results Abstract: The aim of this paper is to test the claim that social protection is a luxury good. Therefore, GDP elasticity of selected social protection expenditure is estimated using a new econometric approach developed first by Kao and Chiang (Advances in Econometrics, 15, 179-222, 2000). Time series properties of selected social expenditure in 18 OECD countries from 1981 to 1998 are examined. Using panel data cointegration tests and OLS, FMOLS and DOLS estimators, results were found which differ from previous analyses reporting substantially higher income elasticities. With the FMOLS, selected social expenditure has income elasticities smaller than one but greater than one with the DOLS. It is noteworthy that whether selected social expenditure is stationary or nonstationary may have critical implications for researchers and policy makers desiring to model and explain the impact of this expenditure on a country economic system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1887-1898 Issue: 17 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000291902 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000291902 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:17:p:1887-1898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alireza Dorestani Author-X-Name-First: Alireza Author-X-Name-Last: Dorestani Title: Transfer price and equilibrium in multidivisional firms: an examination of divisional autonomy and central control Abstract: The problem faced by a firm that oversees two divisions, one of which produces and one of which uses an intermediate good, is considered. Since divisions have information that is not available to the centre, it is useful to allow the divisions some autonomy in their sales and procurement decisions. The analysis allows the centre to specify the transfer price that must be used in trades between divisions as well as placing restraints on their ability to trade with outside firms. In most of the models presented in this paper, the centre cannot observe the market price of the intermediate product, and in some models it cannot observe divisional costs. It is shown how the centre can obtain the full information solution in the simplest case by using a penalty factor that encourages internal trade. However, when divisional costs are not observable, the full information outcome is not obtainable. In this case, the optimal value of the penalty factor implies a tradeoff between the benefits of allowing divisions to act to take advantage of price opportunities in outside markets and savings in transactions costs of trades between divisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1899-1906 Issue: 17 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000291911 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000291911 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:17:p:1899-1906 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Atkins Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Atkins Author-Name: Milanda Chan Author-X-Name-First: Milanda Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Title: Trend breaks and the fisher hypothesis in canada and the United States Abstract: Using the sequential estimation methodology developed by Banerjee, Lumsdaine and Stock (Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 10(3), 271-87, 1992), Zivot and Andrews (Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 10(3), 251-70, 1992) and extended by Lumsdaine and Papell (Review of Economics and Statistics, 79(2), 212-18, 1997), empirical evidence is found consistent with the hypothesis that the 90-day Treasury Bill rate and the inflation rate in Canada and the US are stationary around a deterministic trend with two breaks. When the breaks are filtered out, the data is consistent with partial long-run adjustment of the nominal interest rate to an inflation shock, but not of the size predicted by the Fisher Effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1907-1913 Issue: 17 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000291920 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000291920 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:17:p:1907-1913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Ataullah Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Ataullah Author-Name: Tony Cockerill Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Cockerill Author-Name: Hang Le Author-X-Name-First: Hang Author-X-Name-Last: Le Title: Financial liberalization and bank efficiency: a comparative analysis of India and Pakistan Abstract: This paper provides a comparative analysis of the evolution of the technical efficiency of commercial banks in India and Pakistan during 1988-1998, a period characterized by far-reaching changes in the banking industry brought about by financial liberalization. Data Envelopment Analysis is applied to two alternative input-output specifications to measure technical efficiency, and to decompose technical efficiency into its two components, pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency. The consistency of the estimated efficiency scores are checked by examining their relationship with three traditional non-frontier measures of bank performance. In addition, the relationship between bank size and technical efficiency is examined. It is found that the overall technical efficiency of the banking industry of both countries improved gradually over the years, especially after 1995. Unlike public sector banks in India, public sector banks in Pakistan witnessed improvement in scale efficiency only. It is also found that banks are relatively more efficient in generating earning assets than in generating income. This is attributed to the presence of high non-performing loans. In addition, it is found that the gap between the pure technical efficiency of different size groups has declined over the years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1915-1924 Issue: 17 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368404200068638 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368404200068638 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:17:p:1915-1924 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Leon-Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Leon-Gonzalez Author-Name: Daniel Montolio Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Montolio Title: Growth, convergence and public investment. A Bayesian model averaging approach Abstract: The aim of this study is twofold. First, the determinants of economic growth are studied among a wide set of potential variables for the Spanish provinces (NUTS3). Among others, various types of private, public and human capital in the group of growth factors are included. Also, it is analysed whether Spanish provinces have converged in economic terms in recent decades. The second objective is to obtain cross-section and panel data parameter estimates that are robust to model specification. For this purpose, a Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) approach is used. Bayesian methodology constructs parameter estimates as a weighted average of linear regression estimates for every possible combination of included variables. The weight of each regression estimate is given by the posterior probability of each model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1925-1936 Issue: 17 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000245534 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000245534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:17:p:1925-1936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahmut Yasar Author-X-Name-First: Mahmut Author-X-Name-Last: Yasar Author-Name: Roderick Rejesus Author-X-Name-First: Roderick Author-X-Name-Last: Rejesus Author-Name: Ilhami Mintemur Author-X-Name-First: Ilhami Author-X-Name-Last: Mintemur Title: Is there evidence of creative destruction in the Turkish manufacturing sector? Lessons from a cross-industry analysis of aggregate productivity growth Abstract: This paper examines the Schumpeterian creative destruction process by decomposing and analysing aggregate industry-level productivity growth in three Turkish manufacturing industries. The results are somewhat supportive of the Schumpeterian hypothesis given that the productivity effects within plants contributed the most to the aggregate level productivity growth. However, the results generally contradict the insight that plants entering the market have higher productivity than plants that exit the market. This supports Caballero and Hammour's (NBER Working Paper No. 7720, 2000) arguments that institutional and market constraints may interfere with the proper functioning of Schumpeter's creative destruction process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1937-1945 Issue: 17 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368404200068610 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368404200068610 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:17:p:1937-1945 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anita Daraisami Author-X-Name-First: Anita Author-X-Name-Last: Daraisami Title: Export growth slowdown and currency crisis: the Malaysian experience Abstract: A slowdown in export growth occurred in all East Asian economies that were affected by the Asian currency crisis. Misaligned exchange rates have been widely cited as a cause of the slowdown. In the Malaysian context at least a vulnerability to the downturn in the electronic cycle could also be a major factor leading to poor export performance. Using the US/yen dollar rate as a proxy for exchange rate misalignment and US total new orders for electronics as a proxy for global electronics demand, cointegration analysis was used to establish the likely causes of a slowdown in Malaysia's export performance. Empirical results suggest that a unique long-run relationship exists between all three variables. The policy implications of these results including exchange rate monitoring and export diversification are discussed in the conclusion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1947-1957 Issue: 17 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000236039 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000236039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:17:p:1947-1957 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Trostel Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Trostel Author-Name: Ian Walker Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Title: Sheepskin effects in work behaviour Abstract: Numerous studies have documented disproportionate increases in wage rates from receiving educational credentials, as opposed to from just years of education. This study shows 'sheepskin effects' in hours of work that are similar to the sheepskin effects in wage rates. Systematic sheepskin effects are found in labour-force participation and conditional hours of work, as well as in wage rates. Moreover, the sheepskin effects in hours of work are apparently not simply endogenous responses to the sheepskin effects in wage rates. Thus, sheepskin effects in earnings are much larger than those previously shown for wage rates. The results suggest that education is sorted more by work intentions than innate ability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1959-1966 Issue: 17 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000236057 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000236057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:17:p:1959-1966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ross Finnie Author-X-Name-First: Ross Author-X-Name-Last: Finnie Author-Name: Ted Wannell Author-X-Name-First: Ted Author-X-Name-Last: Wannell Title: Evolution of the gender earnings gap among Canadian university graduates Abstract: This paper reports the results of an empirical analysis of the gender earnings gap among recent Canadian Bachelor's level university graduates. The overall gap as of two years leaving university narrowed significantly across successive cohorts of graduates, but widened significantly from two to five years out for all groups. Differences in the explanatory variables 'explain' account for between 40% and essentially the entire gap across the different periods, this portion rising from two to five years out and across cohorts. By the final group, all of the gap is thus 'explained' at the two-year point in time, and most of it is explained at the five-year mark, meaning that labour market returns (measured in this manner) are largely gender-neutral for the last group of graduates. Hours of work is the single most important influence, while past work experience, job characteristics, family status, and province of residence and language have smaller and more mixed effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1967-1978 Issue: 17 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000191138 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000191138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:17:p:1967-1978 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeff Borland Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Borland Author-Name: Joseph Hirschberg Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Hirschberg Author-Name: Jenny Lye Author-X-Name-First: Jenny Author-X-Name-Last: Lye Title: Computer knowledge and earnings: evidence for Australia Abstract: This paper uses data on wage and salary workers in Australia in 1993 to examine the relation between computer knowledge and earnings. A unique feature of the data set that is used is detailed information on the types and levels of computer skills possessed by individual workers. The main objectives of the study are to contribute to understanding the magnitude and sources of the relation between computer knowledge and earnings. Similar to existing research it is found that there is a large and significant return to computer knowledge, but that the magnitude of the return is substantially reduced in regressions that include detailed occupation controls. Using the detailed information on workers' computer skills the main finding is that earnings are significantly positively related to the number of types of skills and average level of skills possessed by a worker. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1979-1993 Issue: 17 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840410001710654 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840410001710654 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:17:p:1979-1993 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Groen Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Groen Title: Corporate credit, stock price inflation and economic fluctuations Abstract: This study analyses the empirical interaction between real corporate credit, real income, real stock prices, the short-term interest rate and inflation for the Netherlands and the USA. The framework is based on a five-variable structural vector error correction model which identifies the permanent and temporary shocks within the system. Erratic shocks in the real amount of corporate credit and in stock prices could potentially have some impact on inflation in the case of the USA and on real output in the Netherlands. However, the structural VAR analysis also shows that the above-mentioned erratic shocks only explain a small proportion of the variation in inflation and economic activity, and inflation objective shifts and supply side shocks are much more important determinants for economic fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1995-2006 Issue: 18 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000258251 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000258251 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:18:p:1995-2006 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Author-Name: David Berri Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Berri Title: Convergence and clustering in major league baseball: the haves and have nots? Abstract: There appear to be two distinct views on the level of competitive balance within Major League Baseball. One view, mostly associated with academics, is that competition is more equal today than it ever has been. The other view, mostly associated with the media and the industry, is that competition is far worse today. The present paper, borrowing from the literature on economic convergence, finds that both views are valid. More specifically, while competitive balance has continued to improve, the improvement has been such as to create distinct convergence clusters. A discussion of the composition of these clusters is offered in the text. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2007-2014 Issue: 18 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000261851 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000261851 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:18:p:2007-2014 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Almus Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Almus Title: Job creation through public start-up assistance? Abstract: This study examines the impact of German public start-up assistance programmes administered by the Deutsche Ausgleichsbank (DtA) on the performance of young firms. The empirical analysis is based on firms from the ZEW Entrepreneurship Study that either received start-up loans in one or more DtA schemes or did not receive any funding from the DtA at all. The paper applies a non-parametric matching approach often applied by labour market economists. The interesting success measure is the average annual employment growth rate over a six year period and the resulting causal effect is the difference of this measure between the group of subsidized firms and the selected control group firms that did not receive any DtA start-up loans. The empirical analysis shows that DtA start-up loans significantly improve the average employment growth rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2015-2024 Issue: 18 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000201802 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000201802 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:18:p:2015-2024 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amit Sen Author-X-Name-First: Amit Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: Are US macroeconomic series difference stationary or trend-break stationary? Abstract: This article tests for the presence of a unit-root in all time series included in the extended Nelson-Plosser data set using the statistics devised by Zivot and Andrews, Perron and Murray and Zivot. It specifies the mixed model characterization of the trend-break stationary alternative that allows for a simultaneous break in both the intercept and slope of the trend-function. It rejects the unit-root null hypothesis for real GNP, nominal GNP, real per capita GNP, industrial production, employment, GNP deflator, nominal wages, interest rate and common stock prices. Use of appropriate critical values to assess the significance of the trend-function coefficients reveals that the slope-break should be included in real GNP, nominal GNP, real per capita GNP, nominal wages, interest rate and common stock prices. The results indicate that there is less evidence against the unit-root hypothesis with the extended Nelson-Plosser data compared to the original Nelson-Plosser data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2025-2029 Issue: 18 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000228696 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000228696 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:18:p:2025-2029 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Bagliano Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Bagliano Author-Name: Alessandro Sembenelli Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Sembenelli Title: The cyclical behaviour of inventories: European cross-country evidence from the early 1990s recession Abstract: This paper employs data for a panel of firms from France, Italy and the UK to study the effect of the recession of the early 1990s on inventory investment, controlling for cyclical fluctuations at the firm level. The results clearly show some common patterns across countries, pointing to the relevance of financial factors (namely, the level of leverage) in propagating initial recessionary shocks. Moreover, Italian firms, especially if 'small and young', seem more likely to suffer from a reduction in the value of collateralizable assets possibly originated by restrictive policy actions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2031-2044 Issue: 18 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000295601 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000295601 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:18:p:2031-2044 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giovanni Fraquelli Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Fraquelli Author-Name: Massimiliano Piacenza Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Piacenza Author-Name: Davide Vannoni Author-X-Name-First: Davide Author-X-Name-Last: Vannoni Title: Scope and scale economies in multi-utilities: evidence from gas, water and electricity combinations Abstract: Within the recent debate on liberalization of local public services, the paper investigates the cost properties of a sample of Italian public utilities providing in combination gas, water and electricity. The estimates from a Composite Cost Function econometric model (Pulley and Braunstein, 1992) are compared with the ones coming from other traditional functional forms such as the Standard Translog, the Generalized Translog, and the Separable Quadratic. The results highlight the presence of global scope and scale economies only for multi-utilities with output levels lower than the ones characterizing the 'median' firm. This indicates that relatively small specialized firms would benefit from cost reductions by evolving into multi-utilities providing similar network services such as gas, water and electricity. However, for larger-scale utilities the hypothesis of null cost advantages is not rejected. Thus, it is possible that the recent diversification waves of leading companies are explained by factors other than cost synergies, so that the welfare gains that can be reasonably expected from such examples of horizontal integration, if any, are likely to be very low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2045-2057 Issue: 18 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000245543 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000245543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:18:p:2045-2057 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian Gourlay Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Gourlay Author-Name: Jonathan Seaton Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Seaton Title: The determinants of firm diversification in UK quoted companies Abstract: This paper examines the role of resource-based and governance factors in determining the boundaries of UK quoted companies, measured by both the probability and intensity of market diversification. Using a panel of over 2000 firms for the period 1988 to 2001 it is found that firm-level heterogeneity and industry characteristics account for the variability in diversification behaviour and that resource-based and governance factors interact in a complex manner not necessarily fully explained by the theoretical literature. The results also indicate that the degree of data aggregation has significant implications for the empirical modelling of market diversification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2059-2071 Issue: 18 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000295610 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000295610 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:18:p:2059-2071 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Papachristou Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Papachristou Title: The British gambler's fallacy Abstract: People facing choices under uncertainty, and gamblers in particular, are often subject to statistical fallacies. This paper explores the hypothesis that if lotto players were subject to the 'gambler's fallacy', predictable fluctuations in the number of jackpots would occur. Evidence, based on a Poisson regression model in which the number of winning bets is conditional on the history of draws, indicates that number selection in the UK is only marginally affected by the history of draws. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2073-2077 Issue: 18 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000295629 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000295629 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:18:p:2073-2077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Crime rates, male youth unemployment and real income in Australia: evidence from Granger causality tests Abstract: This article applies Granger causality tests to examine the relationship between seven different categories of property crime and violent crime against the person, male youth unemployment and real male average weekly earnings in Australia from 1964 to 2001 within a cointegration and vector error correction framework. It is found that fraud, homicide and motor vehicle theft are cointegrated with male youth unemployment and real male average weekly earnings. However, there is no evidence of a long-run relationship between either break and enter, robbery, serious assault or stealing with male youth unemployment and real male average weekly earnings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2079-2095 Issue: 18 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000261842 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000261842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:18:p:2079-2095 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Isely Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Isely Author-Name: Matthew Roelofs Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Roelofs Title: Primary market and aftermarket competition in the bicycle component industry Abstract: This study examines the bicycle component industry. This industry is characterized by one dominant firm, Shimano Inc., and four or five smaller players. Firms in the component industry produce components for sale in two related markets, the market for original equipment manufacturers (OEM) and the component aftermarket. A unique data set containing information on aftermarket prices and OEM market shares is used to determine whether or not market power in the aftermarket is a function of OEM market power. The results indicate that concentration in the OEM market is positively related to aftermarket price, while an individual firm's OEM market share is inversely related to aftermarket price. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2097-2102 Issue: 18 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000258657 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000258657 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:18:p:2097-2102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olga Alonso-Villar Author-X-Name-First: Olga Author-X-Name-Last: Alonso-Villar Author-Name: Jose-MarIa Chamorro-Rivas Author-X-Name-First: Jose-MarIa Author-X-Name-Last: Chamorro-Rivas Author-Name: Xulia Gonzalez-Cerdeira Author-X-Name-First: Xulia Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez-Cerdeira Title: Agglomeration economies in manufacturing industries: the case of Spain Abstract: This study analyses the extent of geographical concentration of Spanish industry between 1993 and 1999, and studies the agglomeration economies that could underlie that concentration. The results confirm that there is major geographic concentration in a number of industries with widely varying characteristics, including high-tech businesses and those linked to the provision of natural resources as well as traditional industries. The analysis of the scope of spillovers behind this agglomeration supports the idea that transportation costs may induce plants in some industries to locate near their customers and suppliers. However, one cannot conclude that this is a common fact for all industries. This study also shows that the higher the technological level of an industry, the higher the agglomeration it experiences. This result implies the importance of the labour market, informational spillovers and producer services location for the agglomeration of these industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2103-2116 Issue: 18 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000264029 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000264029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:18:p:2103-2116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason Winfree Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Winfree Author-Name: Jill McCluskey Author-X-Name-First: Jill Author-X-Name-Last: McCluskey Author-Name: Ron Mittelhammer Author-X-Name-First: Ron Author-X-Name-Last: Mittelhammer Author-Name: Rodney Fort Author-X-Name-First: Rodney Author-X-Name-Last: Fort Title: Location and attendance in major league baseball Abstract: This study uses a travel-cost model to analyse the attendance impacts on Major League Baseball (MLB) of the closest substitute MLB team. It is found that the closer two teams are, the lower attendance is at each team relative to two teams that are farther apart. In addition, when a new team moves into the area of an existing team, there is an additional initial reduction in attendance for the incumbent team. This has implications for actions aimed at changing the number of teams in MLB either by contraction or by possible antitrust approaches that would increase the number of teams, especially in megalopolis markets. Further, and consistent with past demand studies, pricing is in the inelastic portion of gate demand and fan loyalty is a significant contributor to the estimation of gate attendance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2117-2124 Issue: 19 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000287664 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000287664 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:19:p:2117-2124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahmoud Wahab Author-X-Name-First: Mahmoud Author-X-Name-Last: Wahab Title: Economic growth and government expenditure: evidence from a new test specification Abstract: A new test specification of Wagner's Law of Public Expenditure has been formulated. The aim is to disentangle the effects of accelerating and decelerating economic growth on growth in government expenditure. Two alternative proxies for the state of the economy are experimented with. The first defines the current state of the economy by relating it to its historical mean growth rate, while the second defines it relative to a pooled time-series/cross-sectional mean growth rate. This distinction is then explicitly incorporated into an error correction model that parameterizes the bivariate relation between government expenditure and economic growth for alternative OECD country groupings. The results suggest that government expenditure increases less than proportionately with accelerating economic growth and decreases more than proportionately with decelerating economic growth. There is only a limited support for Wagner's Law. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2125-2135 Issue: 19 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000306923 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000306923 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:19:p:2125-2135 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Finn Roar Aune Author-X-Name-First: Finn Roar Author-X-Name-Last: Aune Author-Name: Rolf Golombek Author-X-Name-First: Rolf Author-X-Name-Last: Golombek Author-Name: Sverre Kittelsen Author-X-Name-First: Sverre Author-X-Name-Last: Kittelsen Author-Name: Knut Einar Rosendahl Author-X-Name-First: Knut Einar Author-X-Name-Last: Rosendahl Title: Liberalizing the energy markets of Western Europe - a computable equilibrium model approach Abstract: Using a computable equilibrium model, the short-run effects of a radical liberalization of the West European natural gas and electricity markets are examined. In each model country, oil, gas, coal and electricity are produced, traded and consumed. There are world markets for oil and coal, and well-integrated competitive markets for gas and electricity in Western Europe. Gas and electricity are transported and traded across markets under the assumption of ideal third-party access regimes for transportation and limited capacities in the transportation networks. It is found that relative to the data year 1996, radical liberalization reduces the average end-user price of natural gas by around 20%, and the average end-user price of electricity by around 50%. The supply of electricity increases by around 20%, mainly due to increased coal power production. After such liberalization, coal power emerges with the largest market share of electricity production in Western Europe. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2137-2149 Issue: 19 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840310001641742 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840310001641742 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:19:p:2137-2149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aju Fenn Author-X-Name-First: Aju Author-X-Name-Last: Fenn Author-Name: John Schroeter Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Schroeter Title: Cigarettes and addiction information: simulating the demand effects of the tobacco industry's 'conspiracy of silence' Abstract: Although cigarette manufacturers were aware of the addictive properties of nicotine as early as 1962, the information did not become available to the US public until 1979 when the Surgeon General disclosed it (US Department of Health, Education, and Welfare, 1979). This study simulates the impact this information would have had on the demand for cigarettes had it been released in 1962. The simulations build on past work by Fenn et al. (2001) who found evidence that the release of addiction information resulted in a structural shift in demand in 1979. In the present study, the econometric results from Fenn et al. (2001) are used to compute simulated time paths for state-level per capita consumption under the hypothetical scenario involving the earlier release of the addiction information. Using these simulated consumption paths; the projected reductions in cigarette sales revenue are calculated. These dollar figures provide a benchmark against which to judge the compensation amounts that the industry must pay because of recent tobacco lawsuit settlements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2151-2159 Issue: 19 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000290138 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000290138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:19:p:2151-2159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gyan Pradhan Author-X-Name-First: Gyan Author-X-Name-Last: Pradhan Author-Name: Zeljan Schuster Author-X-Name-First: Zeljan Author-X-Name-Last: Schuster Author-Name: Kamal Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Title: Exchange rate uncertainty and the level of investment in selected South-east Asian countries Abstract: The effect of real exchange rate uncertainty on aggregate private investment in Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand is examined using time series data from 1972-2000. Since the use of non-stationary time series data may produce spurious results, the data series are tested for stationarity using the augmented Dickey-Fuller and Phillips-Perron tests. After establishing the stationarity of the data series, cointegration tests are performed. The cointegration test results reject the hypothesis of no cointegration. Therefore, an error correction model is developed and estimated. The estimated results point to an inconclusive empirical relationship between real exchange rate volatility and aggregate private investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2161-2165 Issue: 19 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000282498 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000282498 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:19:p:2161-2165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Stoforos Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Stoforos Author-Name: G. Mergos Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mergos Title: Modelling EU tobacco policy reform Abstract: Smoking and tobacco use have acquired the dimensions of an epidemic. Recently, a decision by the European Parliament due to health concerns, calls for an elimination of production subsidies within five years. The purpose of this paper is to estimate the economic implications of the reduction of protection levels and to examine whether this policy change will act as an effective tool for less consumption. To this end, two scenarios are examined; namely, a Baseline Scenario, which assumes continuation of current policy measures, and a Policy Scenario where production support is eliminated. According to the results by 2010, EU tobacco consumption in the Baseline scenario is expected to show a modest decline and a more significant decrease in the Policy scenario. In addition, the EU self-sufficiency ratio is projected to decrease in the Policy scenario by almost 14% compared to the Baseline. Therefore, with increasing liberalization of international trade, reducing EU tobacco supply would mostly shift tobacco production to other, mainly, developing countries. Therefore, public policy that aims to reduce tobacco use may need to focus on demand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2167-2175 Issue: 19 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368404200068629 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368404200068629 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:19:p:2167-2175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Worthington Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Worthington Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Title: Measuring the impact of natural disasters on capital markets: an empirical application using intervention analysis Abstract: The impact of natural disasters on the Australian equity market is examined. The data set employed consists of daily price and accumulation returns over the period 31 December 1982-1 January 2002 for the All Ordinaries Index (AOI) and a record of 42 severe storms, floods, cyclones, earthquakes and bushfires (wildfires) during this period with an insured loss in excess of A$5 mil. and/or total loss in excess of A$100 mil. Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are used to model the returns and the inclusion of news arrival, in the form of the natural disasters, is specified using intervention analysis. The results indicate that bushfires, cyclones and earthquakes have a major effect on market returns, unlike severe storms and floods. The net effects can be positive and/or negative with most effects being felt on the day of the event and with some adjustment in the days that follow. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2177-2186 Issue: 19 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000282489 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000282489 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:19:p:2177-2186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leone Leonida Author-X-Name-First: Leone Author-X-Name-Last: Leonida Author-Name: Carmelo Petraglia Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo Author-X-Name-Last: Petraglia Author-Name: Luis Murillo-Zamorano Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Murillo-Zamorano Title: Total factor productivity and the convergence hypothesis in the Italian regions Abstract: This article is aimed at testing the catching up hypothesis for the Italian regions. The use of Malmquist productivity indices allows to decompose productivity growth into technological progress and technical efficiency change, interpreted respectively as innovation and catching up measurements. The analysis leads to a conclusion that regional economies diverge at a decreasing rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2187-2193 Issue: 19 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000282506 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000282506 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:19:p:2187-2193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Griffiths Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Griffiths Title: The big problem of forecasting small change Abstract: The United States Mint recently reviewed approaches to forecasting the demand for new coin. This paper reports on methods used to determine fundamental attributes of the data, and uses these to help better determine appropriate model specification in order to better plan coin production. In particular, the debate regarding trend versus difference stationarity in macroeconomic trending data is considered. The interest in the present paper is limited to applying a well known unit root test procedure to an untested macrodata set - changes in US Coin demand - to see whether the test is useful in guiding the specification to improved forecast performance. It is found that the forecast results are somewhat sensitive to the way in which the data are seasonally adjusted, and lessons learned from this 'case study' indicate that unit root tests are useful in guiding model specification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2195-2207 Issue: 19 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000306932 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000306932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:19:p:2195-2207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mustapha Kamel Nabli Author-X-Name-First: Mustapha Kamel Author-X-Name-Last: Nabli Author-Name: Marie-Ange Veganzones-Varoudakis Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Ange Author-X-Name-Last: Veganzones-Varoudakis Title: How does exchange rate policy affect manufactured exports in MENA countries? Abstract: This paper shows that, during the 1970s and 1980s, MENA economies were characterized by a significant overvaluation of their currency. This overvaluation has had a cost in terms of competitiveness. To determine the degree of overvaluation of the MENA currencies, an indicator of misalignment was developed based on the estimation of an equilibrium exchange rate (Edwards, Exchange Rate Misalignment in Developing Countries, The Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, 1988). The empirical work was based on a panel of 53 developing countries, ten of which are MENA economies. Although overvaluation decreased in the 1990s, probably due to flexibilization of the exchange rate regime in some MENA countries and to better macroeconomic management in others, misalignment remained higher than in other regions. This may be explained by the MENA countries' delay in adopting more flexible exchange rates, as well as in reforming their economies. In terms of competitiveness, the estimation of an export equation has shown that manufactured exports have been significantly affected by the overvaluation of the MENA currencies. Countries that already had a more diversified economy benefited more from the decreased overvaluation in the 1990s. These countries also saw a continuous rise in diversification of their manufactured exports, resulting from the significant decline in exchange rate misalignment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2209-2219 Issue: 19 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000271373 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000271373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:19:p:2209-2219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Guang Hua Wan Author-X-Name-First: Guang Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Liquidity constraint, uncertainty and household consumption in China Abstract: This paper investigates the changing roles played by liquidity constraint and uncertainty in accounting for the dynamism of Chinese household consumption behaviour. Starting from the Euler equation-based model of Robert Hall, a framework encompassing an array of consumption models is developed and applied to Chinese data over the period 1961-1998. Empirical results reveal a regime shift in the early 1980s and imply that increases in the proportion of liquidity constrained consumers and increased uncertainty in the post-reform period are responsible for the extremely low consumption or high savings in China. Moreover, it is found that interactions between liquidity constraint and uncertainty reinforce each other's effects and lead to declines in both the level and growth of consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2221-2229 Issue: 19 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000266991 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000266991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:19:p:2221-2229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Grant Coble-Neal Author-X-Name-First: Grant Author-X-Name-Last: Coble-Neal Title: A cost of living index incorporating a network effect Abstract: This paper constructs a cost of living index (COLI) that incorporates a network effect. While in this instance the application is to the telecommunications sector, the COLI are applicable more generally to network industries. The COLI permit valid welfare comparisons to be made by individual, region and country. Illustrative COLI estimates are provided for selected OECD member country telecommunications market data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2231-2235 Issue: 19 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000266982 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000266982 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:19:p:2231-2235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monica Oliveira Author-X-Name-First: Monica Author-X-Name-Last: Oliveira Title: Modelling demand and supply influences on utilization: A flow demand model to predict hospital utilization at the small area level Abstract: This study outlines a model to predict hospital utilization at the small area level within a National Health Service (NHS) institutional context. The proposed approach departs from alternative analyses based on utilization flows of hospital care between a local population and a hospital. A flow demand model is outlined that relates flow demand to utilization flows; models the interaction between hospital supply and utilization of alternative hospitals; captures the process of demand for hospital care, with special attention given to the role of other health care sectors, to the organizational and institutional context of the hospital system and to geographic variations. The flow approach partly overcomes the problem of dealing with simultaneity of determination between supply and demand. A two-part econometric model suitable to estimate the flow demand model for prediction purposes is tested and applied to the Portuguese health care system. The results show the model to be robust and to provide key information for defining future hospital policies at the central level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2237-2251 Issue: 20 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000280553 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000280553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:20:p:2237-2251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan Costa-Font Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Costa-Font Author-Name: Joan Gil Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Title: Social interactions and the contemporaneous determinants of individuals' weight Abstract: Obesity and overweight are central issues in the public health debate in most developed countries. In this debate, some of the socio-economic determinants of obesity and overweight are still relatively unexplored. This paper presents an empirical examination of the possible influence of social interactions on contemporaneous obesity and (over)underweight. A joint estimation model for obesity and self-image is applied to a sample for Spain taken from the European Union household panel for 1998. The results suggest that obesity might be in part a social phenomenon connected to individuals' social life. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2253-2263 Issue: 20 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000280562 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000280562 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:20:p:2253-2263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kellie Curry Raper Author-X-Name-First: Kellie Curry Author-X-Name-Last: Raper Author-Name: Corinna Noelke Author-X-Name-First: Corinna Author-X-Name-Last: Noelke Title: Determining market power exertion between buyers and sellers: are nonparametrics a viable alternative? Abstract: A review of recent literature reveals the development of several deterministic non-parametric (DNP) tests of market power. The performance of selected DNP market power tests is ascertained to determine their usefulness as an alternative to data-hungry parametric market power tests. This assessment is carried out through implementation of Monte Carlo experiments using data sets from ten known market structures. Only two of the six DNP tests appear able to satisfactorily identify market power. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2265-2274 Issue: 20 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000281570 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000281570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:20:p:2265-2274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matteo Bugamelli Author-X-Name-First: Matteo Author-X-Name-Last: Bugamelli Author-Name: Patrizio Pagano Author-X-Name-First: Patrizio Author-X-Name-Last: Pagano Title: Barriers to investment in ICT Abstract: This paper studies the complementarity between investment in information and communication technologies (ICT) and the related investment in human and organizational capital. Using firm-level data taken from a large sample of Italian manufacturing firms, an ICT marginal product much higher than its user cost is estimated. It is then argued that missing complementary investments may have acted as barriers to investment in ICT. Results support the conjecture that the marginal product excess over the user cost is due to those firms that did not complement their ICT investment with an increase in the human capital of their labour force and with a reorganization of the workplace. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2275-2286 Issue: 20 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000270031 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000270031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:20:p:2275-2286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lyubov Kurkalova Author-X-Name-First: Lyubov Author-X-Name-Last: Kurkalova Author-Name: Catherine Kling Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Kling Author-Name: Jinhua Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Jinhua Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Value of agricultural non-point source pollution measurement technology: assessment from a policy perspective Abstract: The development of accurate non-point source pollution assessment technologies allows the implementation of more efficient policies than can be undertaken in their absence. This study estimates the value of accurate measurement technology by estimating the gains from implementing a more efficient policy, one that targets agricultural non-point source emission reductions at the field scale but requires accurate field scale measurement technology, relative to a practice-based policy that can be implemented in the absence of such technology. For the environmental benefit of carbon sequestration, large cost savings are found due to improved targeting of conservation tillage subsidies for the state of Iowa. The ability of the government to cost discriminate is found to have little impact on the value of accurate measurement technology. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2287-2298 Issue: 20 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840412331313512 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840412331313512 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:20:p:2287-2298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bethany Peters Author-X-Name-First: Bethany Author-X-Name-Last: Peters Title: Is there a wage bonus from drinking? Unobserved heterogeneity examined Abstract: While the result that drinkers earn more than abstainers has been remarkably persistent, only one paper in the literature on drinking and earnings has been written where individual fixed effects are included. This study improves the current literature by utilizing a much longer panel and focuses on the low end of drinking while controlling for unobserved heterogeneity with the inclusion of individual specific effects. It is found that while OLS specifications yield a positive significant coefficient on current drinking, even when a rich set of covariates is controlled for, including individual fixed effects renders the coefficient statistically insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2299-2315 Issue: 20 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000280526 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000280526 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:20:p:2299-2315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Du Bois Author-X-Name-First: C. Du Author-X-Name-Last: Bois Author-Name: R. Caers Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Caers Author-Name: M. Jegers Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Jegers Author-Name: C. Schepers Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Schepers Author-Name: S. De Gieter Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: De Gieter Author-Name: R. Pepermans Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Pepermans Title: Agency problems and unrelated business income of non-profit organizations: an empirical analysis Abstract: Nonprofit organizations are traditionally assumed to dislike commercial activities. In the USA, they are however allowed to engage in commercial activities, but the income they derive from these activities is then subject to the so-called 'unrelated business income tax'. If NPOs do indeed dislike commercial income, then why do they engage in these activities? Using a data set of 2103 US NPOs, this study suggests that the presence of agency problems inside the organization can at least provide an explanation for the occurrence of 'unrelated business income'. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2317-2326 Issue: 20 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000281552 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000281552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:20:p:2317-2326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: E. A. Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: E. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: Empirical regularities in South African consumption patterns Abstract: This article investigates a number of empirical regularities in the South African consumption patterns. The data support the following empirical regularities: (1) variability in consumption systematically exceeds the variability in prices; (2) law of demand; (3) income flexibility is about -0.5; (4) Engel's law; and (5) the demand hypotheses, demand homogeneity and Slutsky symmetry are acceptable. In contrast to the findings for a number of other countries, another important empirical regularity that consumer's utility function is additive is rejected for the South African consumers. Based on the implied demand elasticity estimates from the preferred model, it is found that food, housing and medical care are necessities, and clothing, furniture, transport and recreation are luxuries and demand for all the commodities are price inelastic. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2327-2333 Issue: 20 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000280328 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000280328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:20:p:2327-2333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Benarroch Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Benarroch Author-Name: Hugh Grant Author-X-Name-First: Hugh Author-X-Name-Last: Grant Title: The interprovincial migration of Canadian physicians: does income matter? Abstract: This study applies a multinomial logit model of human-capital migration to examine the factors influencing the movement of physicians within Canadian provinces between 1976 and 1992. The empirical investigation covers general practitioners and specialists (it excludes interns/residents) between seven regions (Atlantic Canada, Quebec, Ontario, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Alberta and British Columbia). The results suggest that differences in real income have a positive and significant effect on a physician's decision to migrate form one province to another. Provinces with the highest after tax income, highest expenditure per physician, and highest fee-per-service rates have the highest net rate of in-migration. Income differences are however, not the only factor influencing a physician's choice to move. Working conditions within a province, which we proxy with the number of hospitals beds and health expenditures per capita, are also important factors. Likewise, the ratio of rural to urban population, distance between the major city in each province and provincial population all have a negative impact on a physician's migration choice. Finally, a dummy variable is used to allow for language differences between Quebec and the rest of the provinces and find that language differences have a significant and negative impact on a physician decision to migrate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2335-2345 Issue: 20 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000281543 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000281543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:20:p:2335-2345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexandra Krystalogianni Author-X-Name-First: Alexandra Author-X-Name-Last: Krystalogianni Author-Name: George Matysiak Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Matysiak Author-Name: Sotiris Tsolacos Author-X-Name-First: Sotiris Author-X-Name-Last: Tsolacos Title: Forecasting UK commercial real estate cycle phases with leading indicators: a probit approach Abstract: This paper examines the significance of widely used leading indicators of the UK economy for predicting the cyclical pattern of commercial real estate performance. The analysis uses monthly capital value data for UK industrials, offices and retail from the Investment Property Databank (IPD). Prospective economic indicators are drawn from three sources namely, the series used by the US Conference Board to construct their UK leading indicator and the series deployed by two private organisations, Lombard Street Research and NTC Research, to predict UK economic activity. We first identify turning points in the capital value series adopting techniques employed in the classical business cycle literature. Probit models are then estimated using the leading economic indicators as independent variables and forecast the probability of different phases of capital values, that is, periods of declining and rising capital values. The forecast performance of the models is tested and found to be satisfactory. The predictability of lasting directional changes in property performance represents a useful tool for real estate investment decision-making. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2347-2356 Issue: 20 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000280544 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000280544 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:20:p:2347-2356 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Fink Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Fink Author-Name: Alan Marco Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Marco Author-Name: Jonathan Rork Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Rork Title: Lotto nothing? The budgetary impact of state lotteries Abstract: Lottery revenues are often touted as an independent revenue source for states. Using 32 years of state financial data, the fallacy of such thinking is demonstrated. Being the first to control for the self-selection of being a lottery state, it is found that overall tax revenues decline with increased lottery sales. Moreover, it is discovered that this decline is driven by a decrease in revenues from general sales and excise taxes, which is only partially offset by increases in income tax receipts. Such findings are attributed to a combination of behavioural and political responses following the lottery's implementation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2357-2367 Issue: 21 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000271387 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000271387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:21:p:2357-2367 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eon-Seon Rym Author-X-Name-First: Eon-Seon Author-X-Name-Last: Rym Author-Name: Faik Koray Author-X-Name-First: Faik Author-X-Name-Last: Koray Title: Average marginal tax rates in the UK economy Abstract: Using a known methodology, this paper calculates the average tax rate (ATR) and three different average marginal tax rate (AMTR) measures for the UK. The three different AMTR measures are greater than the ATR in the same year because of the progressive tax system in the UK. Barro's AMTR measure weighted by total income is greater than Barro's AMTR measure weighted by number of returns because of the unequal distribution of income, and Barro's AMTR measure weighted by total income exceeds Seater's AMTR measure because total income before tax in Seater's AMTR measure is greater than total income after tax in Barro's AMTR measure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2369-2372 Issue: 21 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000286106 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000286106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:21:p:2369-2372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Creel Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Creel Title: Modified Hausman tests for inefficient estimators Abstract: Widely-used estimators such as the generalized method of moments (GMM) and quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) are not efficient in general. This study shows how the Hausman specification test may easily be corrected to be used with inefficient estimators. It introduces a related test that has better power, and it points out the relationship to the GMM criterion test of specification of overidentified models. A brief simulation illustrates the results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2373-2376 Issue: 21 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000291281 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000291281 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:21:p:2373-2376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Spinelli Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Spinelli Author-Name: George Canavos† Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Canavos† Author-Name: Douglas Brown Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Title: An analysis of the variation in billing charges of medical providers: causes and implications Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to review the billing methodology of physicians that participate in fee-for-service plans, and, using a data set of billing charges, determine the significance of the variation in fees by providers of certain kind of procedures. Providers use cost-plus pricing and take into account the medical aspects of the services and market forces. Using the Current Procedural Terminologies (CPT) established by the American Medical Association, the providers define the medical services by the six digit CPT code, and bill accordingly. The statistical evidence shows that there is some evidence that fees of providers who bill under the 'medicine' codes tend to exhibit more variation in charges than other procedures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2377-2384 Issue: 21 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000286098 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000286098 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:21:p:2377-2384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tomoya Suzuki Author-X-Name-First: Tomoya Author-X-Name-Last: Suzuki Title: Credit channel of monetary policy in Japan: resolving the supply versus demand puzzle Abstract: The credit view is that a monetary tightening affects the real economy by shifting the supply schedule of bank credit left. While bank credit typically contracts following a monetary tightening, the financial contraction does not necessarily mean a shift of the supply schedule. Testing the credit view requires the identification of the shifts of the demand and supply schedules of credit. Using an original approach, this study shows that the credit view is supported for Japan. The credit view is, however, composed of two different views, namely the lending view and the balance-sheet view. While the balance-sheet view implies that the cutback of lending has no impact on the real economy, the lending view implies independent impacts of the cutback. Given the acceptance of the credit view, this study further attempts to test the balance-sheet view against the lending view. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2385-2396 Issue: 21 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000280517 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000280517 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:21:p:2385-2396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Rainey Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Rainey Author-Name: Olga Murova Author-X-Name-First: Olga Author-X-Name-Last: Murova Title: Factors influencing education achievement Abstract: This study sets out to examine the factors that influence human capital formation in predominately rural communities. The results indicated that parents' educational attainment greatly influences the quality of education for their children. Thus, consolidating smaller poor schools in which the parents have limited education above primary and secondary schools, will not likely lead to much if any improvement in students' test scores. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2397-2404 Issue: 21 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840404200020544 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840404200020544 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:21:p:2397-2404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. A. Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: E. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: S. Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: Economic and demographic factors in Australian alcohol demand Abstract: In the last two decades, total (pure) alcohol consumption in Australia has declined by about 31% and currently it is at the same level as it was in the 1950s. Australians consumed about 10 litres of pure alcohol per person in 1982 and now the level has declined to about 7 litres of pure alcohol per person. During the last four decades, per capita beer consumption has reached a peak of 140 litres in 1975 and has fallen to a low 93 litres in 1999; wine consumption has increased four-fold while spirits consumption has stayed around the same level. This paper, using the Australian consumption data for beer, wine and spirits for the period 1956-1999, aims to explain the change in consumption patterns of beer, wine and spirits by considering the effects due to changes in economic and demographic factors. The results show that while income and prices significantly influence the consumption patterns of alcohol, the increasing Australian elderly population also plays an important role. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2405-2417 Issue: 21 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000280346 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000280346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:21:p:2405-2417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kirsi Mukkala Author-X-Name-First: Kirsi Author-X-Name-Last: Mukkala Title: Agglomeration economies in the finnish manufacturing sector Abstract: Regional concentration of population and economic activity is a common phenomenon both in Finland and the other most developed countries, which refers to the existence of agglomeration economies. Two types of economies are usually recognized to be important: specialization (Marshall externalities) and diversity (Jacobs externalities) economies. The former refer to the geographical concentration of a specific industry and the latter to the industrial diversity of the local system. This study examines the relationship between agglomeration economies and regional productivity in the manufacturing sector in Finland. A distinction is made between the effects of urbanization and localization economies. The production function method is applied to the manufacturing sub-sectors in the 83 NUTS 4-level regions in 1995 and 1999. The results support the regional specialization more than diversification even if some differences can be seen between the manufacturing sub-sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2419-2427 Issue: 21 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000287655 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000287655 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:21:p:2419-2427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: N. Nergiz Dincer Author-X-Name-First: N. Nergiz Author-X-Name-Last: Dincer Title: The effects of exchange rate risk on economic performance: the Turkish experience Abstract: This study examines the effects of real exchange rate risk on the economic performance for an emerging, small open economy: Turkey. When the ratios of the total foreign exchange liabilities of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) to: (1) total reserves; (2) the CBRT's reserves; and (3) the CBRT's total Turkish lira liabilities are taken proxy of exchange rate risk, the empirical evidence suggests that the increase in exchange rate risk causes a depreciation in the real exchange rate, an increase in prices and a decrease in output. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2429-2441 Issue: 21 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000287637 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000287637 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:21:p:2429-2441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mette Wik Author-X-Name-First: Mette Author-X-Name-Last: Wik Author-Name: Tewodros Aragie Kebede Author-X-Name-First: Tewodros Aragie Author-X-Name-Last: Kebede Author-Name: Olvar Bergland Author-X-Name-First: Olvar Author-X-Name-Last: Bergland Author-Name: Stein Holden Author-X-Name-First: Stein Author-X-Name-Last: Holden Title: On the measurement of risk aversion from experimental data Abstract: Attitudes towards risk are measured for households in Northern Zambia using an experimental gambling approach with real payoffs that at maximum were equal to 30% of average total annual income per capita. The results of the experiment show decreasing absolute risk aversion and increasing partial risk aversion. Determinants of risk aversion are investigated using random effects interval regression model exploiting the panel data structure of the repeated experiments. Wealth indicator variables are found to be significant, and partial relative risk aversion decreases as wealth increases. Females are found to be more risk averse than males. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2443-2451 Issue: 21 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000280580 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000280580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:21:p:2443-2451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Author-Name: David Berri Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Berri Title: Another look at competition: a regime-switching aproach Abstract: Measuring the level of competition in an industry is an empirical task with a lengthy history. Many of the traditional measures offer a snapshot of the industry, where the distribution of market share is examined at a given point in time. The purpose of this inquiry is to utilize a regime-switching model which highlights the importance of intra-industry movement. The empirical results suggest that even in an environment where the distribution of market share is improving, an industry can still be persistently dominated by the same collection of leading firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2453-2460 Issue: 21 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000280571 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000280571 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:21:p:2453-2460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daryl Collins Author-X-Name-First: Daryl Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Author-Name: Shana Gavron Author-X-Name-First: Shana Author-X-Name-Last: Gavron Title: Channels of financial market contagion Abstract: This study aims to fill a gap in the current literature by determining which channels of financial contagion are the most significant in transmitting crises between countries. Initial results, using χ2 contingency tables, indicate that there is a significant relationship between contagion and the inflation rate and between contagion and financial liquidity. A simultaneous comparison of the channels is then performed using a series of best subset logit regressions. These suggest that a combination of high inflation and an emerging market classification form the most significant subset in increasing the probability of a contagious event. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2461-2469 Issue: 21 Volume: 36 Year: 2004 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000287628 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000287628 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:36:y:2004:i:21:p:2461-2469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. R. Bhatia Author-X-Name-First: M. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Bhatia Title: From evidence to calibration for starting point bias: willingness to pay for treated mosquito nets in Gujarat, India Abstract: This study uses a bidding format to assess households' willingness to pay (WTP) for treated mosquito nets (TMNs). It tests for starting point bias by allocating respondents randomly to three different starting bids (Rs 50, Rs 75 and Rs 100) and following this response with one further closed bid offer and a final open-ended WTP question. There is a clear presence of starting point bias. By undertaking a simulated market experiment (SME), this study attempts to measure the magnitude and direction of the bias so that the necessary calibration factor can be calculated with which to adjust the mean willingness to pay value. It was observed that the true mean WTP adjusted for starting point bias (Rs 56.26) is not very different from the unadjusted mean WTP of Rs 57.38. It is concluded that the presence of starting point bias, even in carefully designed WTP studies using a bidding format, cannot be ruled out. However, the existence of starting point bias itself does not reflect the magnitude of the problem. It is recommended that future WTP studies using a bidding format not only look for starting point bias but also attempt to measure its magnitude. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-7 Issue: 1 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000291317 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000291317 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:1:p:1-7 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Hey Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Hey Author-Name: Jinkwon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jinkwon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Do subjects remember the past? Abstract: In many experiments, experimenters use the random lottery incentive mechanism and ask many questions to each subject. That is, at the end of the experiment, just one of the questions is picked at random, and the subject paid on the basis of their answer to this one question. The idea is that subjects should separate the various questions and reply to each as if it were a separate question. This procedure is methodologically sound if the subjects' preferences obey Expected Utility (EU) theory (which implies a form of separation), but if they do not, this incentive mechanism is open to criticism. Indeed many referees use this argument against the research: they argue that subjects do not consider questions separately. If the questions are revealed to the subjects one by one, then the appropriate alternative hypothesis is that their behaviour evolves with the questions. Here this hypothesis is tested: that the questions already answered affect the answers to the subsequent questions. The analysis shows that this is generally not the case. This finding is of importance not only for the experimental community, but also for the wider community of economists - who typically, when analysing economic data, have to assume some kind of separation of present from past behaviour. The analysis indicates that such an assumption is defensible. An experimental defence of a procedure used widely in non-experimental empirical economics research is provided. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 9-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000286124 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000286124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:1:p:9-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Graham Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Graham Author-Name: Stephen Glaister Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Glaister Title: Decomposing the determinants of road traffic demand Abstract: This study presents a decomposition of the basic fundamental determinants of road traffic and fuel demand. A general framework is proposed as a means of analysing the impacts of changes in prices and income on the demand for fuel and traffic volume. The objective is to provide a general basis for comparing different road traffic elasticity estimates and for understanding how a variety of different factors work together to create overall road traffic and fuel demand responses. The study emphasizes relationships between different price and income elasticity measures and uses estimates from the literature to evaluate the main determinants of demand including some previously unobserved effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 19-28 Issue: 1 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000291263 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000291263 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:1:p:19-28 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Goodhart Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Goodhart Author-Name: Boris Hofmann Author-X-Name-First: Boris Author-X-Name-Last: Hofmann Title: The IS curve and the transmission of monetary policy: is there a puzzle? Abstract: In this paper, the performance of the New Keynesian IS curve for the G7 countries is assessed. It is found that there is an IS puzzle for both the purely backward-looking as well as for the forward-looking IS curve. The real interest rate does not have a significantly negative effect on the output gap. Based on an extended specification of the IS curve, also including asset prices and monetary aggregates, a significantly negative interest rate effect on aggregate demand is found for all countries. This finding suggests that a richer specification of the IS curve in empirical work may be necessary in order to obtain an unbiased estimate of the effect of monetary policy on aggregate demand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 29-36 Issue: 1 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000280355 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000280355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:1:p:29-36 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Wood Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Wood Title: Investment interdependence and the coordination of lumpy investments: evidence from the British brick industry Abstract: The brick industry is characterized by regional markets, lumpy capacity increments and high fixed costs. In such an industry, the coordination of rival expansions in capacity can be crucial to the profitability of those expansions. Evidence from the British brick industry suggests that excess investments are generally avoided, but there is little support for existing theories to explain how this is achieved. The explanation for how coordination failures are avoided is based on firm heterogeneity, the regional dimension to the investment decision and the prospects for, and consequences of, growth by acquisition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 37-49 Issue: 1 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000287646 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000287646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:1:p:37-49 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Severine Blaise Author-X-Name-First: Severine Author-X-Name-Last: Blaise Title: On the link between Japanese ODA and FDI in China: a microeconomic evaluation using conditional logit analysis Abstract: This study investigates the effectiveness of Japan's official development assistance in promoting foreign direct investments inflows in the case of the People's Republic of China. Conditional logit analysis using province level statistics from 1980 to 1999, shows that Japanese aid flows did have a significant positive impact on private investors location choice even though other profit-maximizing factors such as the level of economic activity had a leading spillover effect. In a context of growing scarcity of aid, the study concludes by asserting the importance of a complementary process in which foreign aid is aimed at enhancing the development of infrastructures, acting as a pre-requisite for future direct investments. Finally, Japan providing an interesting case study, we stress the need for a better cooperation between public and private sectors in development assistance programmes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 51-55 Issue: 1 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000281534 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000281534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:1:p:51-55 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diane Skåtun Author-X-Name-First: Diane Author-X-Name-Last: Skåtun Author-Name: Emanuela Antonazzo Author-X-Name-First: Emanuela Author-X-Name-Last: Antonazzo Author-Name: Anthony Scott Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Scott Author-Name: Robert Elliott Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Elliott Title: The supply of qualified nurses: a classical model of labour supply Abstract: The need to ensure adequate numbers of nurses is a key requirement of the current modernization of the UK NHS. However, it is unclear how effective wages are as an instrument to maintain or increase the nursing workforce, both in terms of absolute numbers and in the number of whole time equivalents. This study sets out to estimate a classical model of labour supply for British qualified married or cohabiting nurses and midwives, looking at both the participation decision and the hours of work supplied. Data are from the Quarterly Labour Force Survey over the years 1999-2000. Participation and hours of work are found to be inelastic with respect to own wage. These results suggest that increasing the wage would only have a moderate effect on labour supply. Interestingly, there is no significant statistical difference between having a child of nursery age (3-4) and having a child of school age (5-15) on participation and hours supplied. This suggests that recent policy initiatives to increase female labour force participation, through the provision of free nursery places, has been successful. Preliminary analysis of a split private and public sector sample suggests that hours supplied are completely inelastic with respect to wages in the public sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 57-65 Issue: 1 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000291272 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000291272 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:1:p:57-65 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Ginebri Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Ginebri Author-Name: Bernardo Maggi Author-X-Name-First: Bernardo Author-X-Name-Last: Maggi Author-Name: Manuel Turco Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Turco Title: The automatic reaction of the Italian government budget to fundamentals: an econometric analysis Abstract: The paper offers a new estimate of the sensitivity of Italy's primary budget balance to macroeconomic variables. The analysis has distinguishing features: detailed itemization of public finance aggregates; close attention to the statistical properties of the time series; and joint estimation of elasticities with respect to both real GDP and inflation. First, the economic variables driving the automatic component were chosen. Second, when possible, a macroeconomic base was associated with each public finance item. Third, each tax base was regressed on the driving economic variables. Fourth, each budget item that was supposed to include an automatic component was regressed either on its own base or directly on the economic variables affecting the automatic components. The effects on public budget are simulated to investigate the consequences of a change in nominal and real GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 67-81 Issue: 1 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000291326 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000291326 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:1:p:67-81 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: E. A. Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: E. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: Is utility additive? Further evidence Abstract: This paper investigates the question of additive structure of the utility function using the data for nine broad commodity groups from 45 countries. Further evidence is presented in support of the preference independent utility structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 83-86 Issue: 1 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000280337 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000280337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:1:p:83-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Cantarero Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero Author-Name: Marta Pascual Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual Author-Name: Jose Maria Sarabia Author-X-Name-First: Jose Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Sarabia Title: Effects of income inequality on population health: new evidence from the european community household panel Abstract: This study provides new evidence in order to explore the relationship between income inequality and health in the European Union countries using new data from the European Community Household Panel (ECHP). A variety of different specifications were tried using diverse dependent variables such as life expectancy at birth and child mortality. The results show new support to the influence of income inequality on health indicators using aggregate data and panel techniques. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 87-91 Issue: 1 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000291290 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000291290 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:1:p:87-91 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samih Antoine Azar Author-X-Name-First: Samih Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Azar Title: Econometric diagnostics to distinguish between the IS curve and the Ricardian equivalence Abstract: In this article two different specifications of a macroeconomic model are analysed. The first model is the Keynesian IS (Investments-savings) curve. The second is derived from the New Classical Ricardian equivalence. Since the two specifications are observationally equivalent, including the same set of variables, the econometric diagnostics of the regression equations are used to differentiate between the two of them. Six statistical criteria are compared: serial correlation, heteroscedasticity, specification tests, fit, randomness, and normality. The results support much better Ricardian equivalence than the Keynesian IS model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 93-98 Issue: 1 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000291885 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000291885 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:1:p:93-98 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Constantina Kottaridi Author-X-Name-First: Constantina Author-X-Name-Last: Kottaridi Title: The 'core-periphery' pattern of FDI-led growth and production structure in the EU Abstract: The present study attempts to shed light on a central and under-investigated issue in the European integration debate, referring to the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the growth process of EU countries and detecting the channels through which FDI can interact with host characteristics to raise income levels. Using an advanced econometric approach, i.e., the Arellano-Bond dynamic panel data estimation, it predicts a 'core-periphery' growth pattern, attributed to initial strengths and weaknesses of the regions, which, in turn, are responsible for attracting different types of foreign activity. Policy implications as to the provision of appropriate investment incentives and the development of a strong human resources base in periphery are then raised, in order for it to be able to compete internationally as a host to technology-based investments and reap the benefits associated with knowledge transfer. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 99-113 Issue: 1 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000291308 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000291308 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:1:p:99-113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aki Kangasharju Author-X-Name-First: Aki Author-X-Name-Last: Kangasharju Author-Name: Jaakko Pehkonen Author-X-Name-First: Jaakko Author-X-Name-Last: Pehkonen Author-Name: Sari Pekkala Author-X-Name-First: Sari Author-X-Name-Last: Pekkala Title: Returns to scale in a matching model: evidence from disaggregated panel data Abstract: The returns to scale in the matching function play an important role in models with endogenous search effort. Due to positive externalities, increasing returns to scale in matching can support high or low activity equilibrium in the labour market. In this study, we examine this issue using panel data from Finnish employment offices. The study finds that the results from the Cobb-Douglas and translog specification are qualitatively different. The CD specification of the matching function exhibits constant returns to scale. The translog specification, in turn, exhibits increasing returns to scale. The elasticity estimate for returns, using the preferred specification and minimum and maximum sample values for job seekers and vacancies, fall in the range of 1.1 to 1.6. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 115-118 Issue: 1 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840412331313530 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840412331313530 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:1:p:115-118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kang-Shik Choi Author-X-Name-First: Kang-Shik Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Jinook Jeong Author-X-Name-First: Jinook Author-X-Name-Last: Jeong Title: Technological change and wage premium in a small open economy: the case of Korea Abstract: The aim of this study is to analyse the relationship between technological change and the educational wage premium in Korea. The main findings are as follows. First, the changes in educational wage premium were mostly affected by shifts in the supply of college graduates from 1983 to 1993 while the changes were affected more by the shifts in labour demand from 1993 to 2000. Second, the educational wage premium is greater in the industries with rapid technological change than in the industries with slower technological change. Third, the educational wage premium associated with the technological change is mostly explained by the returns to worker's unobserved heterogeneities, which is correlated with education, rather than the returns to education per se. Finally, there are some evidences that skill biased technologies are developed as the number of skilled workers are increasing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 119-131 Issue: 1 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000290147 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000290147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:1:p:119-131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Collier Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Collier Title: Unemployment duration and individual heterogeneity: a regional study Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of individual heterogeneity and regional influences on unemployment duration utilizing cross-section microeconomic data drawn from a representative random survey of individual job seekers for the English county of Kent. These individual-level data are unique in that they provide information concerning the personal characteristics of job seekers, alongside direct observations of both their reservation wages and job search behaviour. Such data are rare and, to the authors' knowledge, have never before been utilized in a regional context. Thus, the paper contributes to the empirical literature by analysing the extent to which individual heterogeneity and intra-regional variation in labour market opportunities impact upon the observed distribution of unemployment duration(s). In particular, the paper analyses the extent to which the duration of unemployment is determined by individual choice. This is an important issue for the formation and evaluation of policy. These results provide new insights into the long-term efficacy of current microeconomic supply-side initiatives such as 'The New Deal' and related welfare to work policies. They also advocate a more active role for macroeconomic demand-led management and provide support for a more integrated strategy for policy implementation at the urban and regional level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 133-153 Issue: 2 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840412331315042 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840412331315042 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:2:p:133-153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bichaka Fayissa Author-X-Name-First: Bichaka Author-X-Name-Last: Fayissa Author-Name: Paulos Gutema Author-X-Name-First: Paulos Author-X-Name-Last: Gutema Title: Estimating a health production function for Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) Abstract: The paper estimates a health production function for Sub-Saharan Africa based on the Grossman (1972) theoretical model that treats social, economic, and environmental factors as inputs of the production system. In estimating this function, socioeconomic and environmental factors such as income per capita, illiteracy rate, food availability, ratio of health expenditure to GDP, urbanization rate, and carbon dioxide emission per worker are specified as determinants of health status. The parameters of the function are estimated by one-way and two-way fixed and random effects model of panel data analyses. The results of the two-way random effect model suggest that an increase in income per capita, a decrease in illiteracy rate, and an increase in food availability are strongly associated with an improvement in life expectancy at birth. Overall, the results imply that a health policy which may focus on the provision of health services, family planning programs, and emergency aids to the exclusion of other socioeconomic and environmental aspects may do little to improve the current health status of the region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 155-164 Issue: 2 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840412331313521 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840412331313521 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:2:p:155-164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Harvey Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Harvey Author-Name: Terence Mills Author-X-Name-First: Terence Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Title: Evidence for common features in G7 macroeconomic time series Abstract: Systems of economic data potentially exhibit a number of common features, which aid both econometric modelling and economic interpretation. This paper surveys a variety of common features and applies the corresponding testing and estimation techniques to systems of macroeconomic time series in the G7 countries. Strong evidence is found of common trends and common or co-dependent cycles in the data, and, for two countries, empirical support for common non-linearities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 165-175 Issue: 2 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840412331314999 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840412331314999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:2:p:165-175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Bajada Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Bajada Title: Unemployment and the underground economy in Australia Abstract: Despite government attempts to reduce welfare benefit fraud in Australia, participation in the underground economy by those claiming to be unemployed continues. Although there exists considerable international literature on the size of the underground economy, academics and public officials alike have paid little attention to the extent of participation in the underground economy by those who claim to be unemployed and in receipt of social security payments. This study provides the first known estimate of how changes in the unemployment rate affect the size and growth of the underground economy in Australia and the likely economic implications this may have for public policy decisions. We find that a number of unemployed Australians prefer to remain unemployed and work surreptitiously in the underground economy, while others, after becoming unemployed and finding legitimate employment, prefer to continue working in the underground economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 177-189 Issue: 2 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000291335 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000291335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:2:p:177-189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Epaminondas Panas Author-X-Name-First: Epaminondas Author-X-Name-Last: Panas Title: Generalized beta distributions for describing and analysing intraday stock market data: testing the U-shape pattern Abstract: There is an impressive body of empirical evidence which indicates the existence of an intraday U-shaped curve in stock prices. In an effort to shed additional light on the U-shaped curve a new procedure for U-shape testing is introduced. From careful analysis of intraday data it is observed that minimum or maximum stock prices can occur several times during the day. Here, attention is focused on the first time during the day that the maximum or minimum stock price occurred. Because of the importance of the first time during the day that the maximum or minimum stock price occurred, an attempt is made to model these two characteristics with probability distributions. The objective of this study is to use a generalized beta distribution to examine the intradaily behaviour of stocks, using closing stock prices for each one-minute interval, using data from Athens Stock Exchange (ASE). This generalized beta distribution has not been used before to model U-shaped behaviour. The results are consistent with the intraday U-shaped curves, i.e. the time to first maximum (or minimum) stock prices follows a U-shaped pattern. In addition, some potential applications of the generalized beta distribution are discussed and exemplified by analysing the relationship between herd behaviour and U-shaped. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 191-199 Issue: 2 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840412331315006 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840412331315006 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:2:p:191-199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rebeca Jimenez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Rebeca Author-X-Name-Last: Jimenez-Rodriguez Author-Name: Marcelo Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez Title: Oil price shocks and real GDP growth: empirical evidence for some OECD countries Abstract: This study assesses empirically the effects of oil price shocks on the real economic activity of the main industrialized countries. Multivariate VAR analysis is carried out using both linear and non-linear models. The latter category includes three approaches employed in the literature, namely, the asymmetric, scaled and net specifications. Evidence of a non-linear impact of oil prices on real GDP is found. In particular, oil price increases are found to have an impact on GDP growth of a larger magnitude than that of oil price declines, with the latter being statistically insignificant in most cases. Among oil importing countries, oil price increases are found to have a negative impact on economic activity in all cases but Japan. Moreover, the effect of oil shocks on GDP growth differs between the two oil exporting countries in the sample, with the UK being negatively affected by an oil price increase and Norway benefiting from it. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 201-228 Issue: 2 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000281561 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000281561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:2:p:201-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Fu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Fu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: I-Hui Cheng Author-X-Name-First: I-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Protection and employment under uncertainty: a real option approach Abstract: The paper explores the effect of protection lobbying by solving a firm's dynamic optimization problem where there is uncertainty about future demand, the success of lobbying and non-zero entry/exit costs. It is found that firms in declining industries tend to lobby to prevent shutting down factories during economic turndowns. In contrast, firms in growing industries tend to lobby to prevent other firms from entering the market. The degree of this effect depends on the ratio of exit costs to entry costs. It is shown that the higher the ratio, the stronger the effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 229-238 Issue: 2 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840412331315033 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840412331315033 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:2:p:229-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mustafa Ismihan Author-X-Name-First: Mustafa Author-X-Name-Last: Ismihan Author-Name: Kivilcim Metin-Ozcan Author-X-Name-First: Kivilcim Author-X-Name-Last: Metin-Ozcan Author-Name: Aysit Tansel Author-X-Name-First: Aysit Author-X-Name-Last: Tansel Title: The role of macroeconomic instability in public and private capital accumulation and growth: the case of Turkey 1963-1999 Abstract: This study investigates the empirical relationship(s) between macroeconomic instability, public and private capital accumulation and growth in Turkey over the period 1963-1999. Time series econometric techniques, such as cointegration and impulse response analysis, are used. The results of this paper suggest that the chronic and increasing macroeconomic instability of the Turkish economy has seriously affected her capital formation and growth. Furthermore, the Turkish experience indicates that chronic macroeconomic instability seems to be a serious impediment to public investment, especially to its infrastructural component, and shatters, or even reverses, the complementarity between public and private investment in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 239-251 Issue: 2 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000286115 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000286115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:2:p:239-251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Author-Name: Randy Schnepf Author-X-Name-First: Randy Author-X-Name-Last: Schnepf Author-Name: Erik Dohlman Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Dohlman Title: Modelling soybean prices in a changing policy environment Abstract: Accurate forecasts of commodity prices are an important ingredient in the policy formation process. A commodity price forecasting procedure used routinely by the US Department of Agriculture in their policy and market analysis activities is a simple, linear, reduced-form regression model that predicts season-average farm prices (SAFP) using policy variables and the ratio of total ending stocks to use. This approach is extended to the soybean SAFP to estimate a benchmark model using annual data. Also several specification issues related to this estimation framework are addressed. Evaluation suggests that the standard forecasting procedure may be affected by the fact that the ratio of stocks to use is endogenous to prices. In addition, important structural changes are revealed in these relationships over time. A model is then considered that allows parameters to shift gradually. Improvements in the accuracy of model forecasts allowed by this parameter switching technique are identified and discussed. In addition, the exact nature of the structural shifts is evaluated using dynamic impulse response functions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 253-263 Issue: 3 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840412331315060 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840412331315060 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:3:p:253-263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Athina Kanioura Author-X-Name-First: Athina Author-X-Name-Last: Kanioura Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Critical values for an F-test for cointegration in a multivariate model Abstract: Critical values for a test for cointegration are generated based on the joint significance of the levels terms in an error-correction equation. It is shown that the appropriate critical values are higher than those derived from the standard F-distribution. The power properties of this test are compared with those of the Engle-Granger (Econometrica, 55, 251-76, 1987) test and Kremers et al.'s (Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 54(3), 325-48, 1992) t-test based on the t-statistic from an error-correction equation. The F-test has higher power than the Engle-Granger test but lower power than the t-form of the error-correction test. However, the F-form of the test has the advantage that its distribution is independent of the parameters of the problem being considered. Finally, a test is considered for cointegration between UK and US interest rates. It is shown that the F-test rejects the null of no cointegration between these variables although the Engle-Granger test fails to do so. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 265-270 Issue: 3 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840412331315051 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840412331315051 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:3:p:265-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wojciech Florkowski Author-X-Name-First: Wojciech Author-X-Name-Last: Florkowski Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Title: The examination of pecan price differences using spatial correlation estimation Abstract: A spatial analysis is used to model factors that explain the price received by pecan growers. Besides the statistical aspect of the study focussing on spatial autoregressive residuals, the economic analysis of the paper identifies linkages between the price for in-shell pecans received by growers and the characteristics of the orchard, production costs and resources, and the orchard location. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 271-278 Issue: 3 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000295340 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000295340 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:3:p:271-278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kostas Tsekouras Author-X-Name-First: Kostas Author-X-Name-Last: Tsekouras Author-Name: Dimitris Skuras Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Skuras Title: Productive efficiency and exports: an examination of alternative hypotheses for the Greek cement industry Abstract: Efficiency loss that is due to over- or under-capacity utilization is a significant factor influencing the exporting activity of firms. Using time series data from the Greek cement industry, it is found that efficiency loss triggers export activities up to a certain threshold where firms se to export in order to reduce the deviation from optimum capacity utilization. Beyond this threshold, the size of efficiency loss becomes a major barrier to export in terms of competitiveness. Thus, both the Self-Selection Hypothesis (SSH) and the well-known Market Selection Hypothesis (MSH) may be in operation for various sizes of efficiency loss. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 279-291 Issue: 3 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000295250 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000295250 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:3:p:279-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca Grilli Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Grilli Title: Internet start-ups access to the bank loan market: evidence from Italy Abstract: The analysis of the bank sector's ability to efficiently fuel the birth of new Italian business ventures in Internet-related services is studied. In particular, through the specification and the estimate of a series of econometric models, this paper aims at investigating which characteristics of a large sample of Internet start-ups and their relative founders facilitate access to the loan market. More precisely, the role played by founders' human capital as a possible significant signal used by banks to evaluate investment projects is addressed. Estimation results suggest that highly qualified human resources possessed by Internet founders do not represent an important driver for gaining access to bank credit and they do not affect the amount of the incurred debt. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 293-305 Issue: 3 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000295331 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000295331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:3:p:293-305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Munehisa Kasuya Author-X-Name-First: Munehisa Author-X-Name-Last: Kasuya Title: Regime-switching approach to monetary policy effects Abstract: Even though monetary policy has kept interest rates at historically low levels, the Japanese economy has experienced long lasting recessions since the 1990s. In this paper, Japanese data are employed to conduct an empirical analysis of changes in the effects of monetary policy on the real economy. It is found that monetary policy effects vary depending on the phase of the business cycle and the lending attitudes diffusion indices. More precisely, policy effects are larger in recession but diminish in extreme recession, and monetary policy is more effective when lenders' attitudes are severe but less effective when they are excessively severe. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 307-326 Issue: 3 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000295241 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000295241 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:3:p:307-326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniela Andren Author-X-Name-First: Daniela Author-X-Name-Last: Andren Title: 'Never on a Sunday': Economic incentives and short-term sick leave in Sweden Abstract: Using a longitudinal data for about 1800 persons observed between 1986 and 1991, this study investigates the incentive effects on short-term sickness spells of two important regime changes in the social insurance system in Sweden implemented in 1987 and 1991. The results indicate that the rules influenced people's decisions about when to report the beginning and ending of sickness spells. The 1991 reform, which reduced the replacement rate, had a stronger effect on reducing the duration of short-term absences than the 1987 reform, which restricted the payment of sickness cash benefit to only scheduled workdays. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 327-338 Issue: 3 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000295287 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000295287 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:3:p:327-338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lei Lei Song Author-X-Name-First: Lei Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Do underlying measures of inflation outperform headline rates? Evidence from Australian data Abstract: Many central banks often focus on underlying measures of inflation when assessing inflation trends. This paper compares the accuracy of underlying measures of inflation relative to the headline rates by using Australia data. It is found that the underlying measures did have smaller errors in predicting the long-term trend in inflation than the quarterly headline rate due to the volatility in the headline rate. As compared to the year-ended headline rate, the statistical test results, however, support only the measure of market prices excluding volatile items, not the others. There is some weak evidence of the weighted median measure outperforming the headline rate in the sub-period after 1993. With respect to directional accuracy, the test statistics cannot reject the null hypothesis of an equal probability correctly predicting the moving direction of the inflation trend, though the headline rates have a higher probability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 339-345 Issue: 3 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000295322 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000295322 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:3:p:339-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jae Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Investigating the advertising-sales relationship in the Lydia Pinkham data: a bootstrap approach Abstract: The dynamic relationship between advertising and sales in the annual Lydia Pinkham data is re-evaluated. Past studies have found a feedback system, although one-way causality from advertising to sales is expected. The bootstrap method is used in this paper as an alternative to the asymptotic method exclusively adopted by past studies. The impulse response analysis based on bivariate autoregressive (AR) model is conducted. Bootstrap-after-bootstrap confidence intervals on impulse responses provide evidence that sales do not cause advertising, contrary to the findings of past studies. Comparison of bootstrap-after-bootstrap prediction intervals calculated from univariate and bivariate AR models further supports this finding. Overall, this paper finds evidence of one-way causality from advertising to sales. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 347-354 Issue: 3 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000295278 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000295278 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:3:p:347-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felix J. Lopez Iturriaga Author-X-Name-First: Felix J. Lopez Author-X-Name-Last: Iturriaga Title: Debt ownership structure and legal system: an international analysis Abstract: This paper is concerned with the ownership structure of corporate debt from an institutional perspective. An attempt is made to identify the factors affecting bank debt use from an international sample of companies from Austria, Germany, Japan, Belgium, France, Italy, Holland, Spain, Portugal, Finland, Sweden and the USA. The results show that bank debt depends both on factors specific to each company and on institutional features of each country. More exactly, it is found that bank loans are related to firm size, to the quality and risk of the projects, and to the collateral. It is also found that a number of legal-institutional factors are impacting on the source of firms' debt, such as creditor protection, firm disclosure requirements and law enforcement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 355-365 Issue: 3 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000295269 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000295269 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:3:p:355-365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harald Tauchmann Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Tauchmann Title: Efficiency of two-step estimators for censored systems of equations: Shonkwiler and Yen reconsidered Abstract: This study analyses a parametric estimator for a system of equations with limited dependent variables that was recently proposed. Its performance is compared with those of alternative estimation procedures using Monte Carlo methods. The comparison shows that this new estimator is less efficient for a wide range of parameter regions than multivariate generalizations of the classical Heckman model. This result can be explained by its variance depending on the squared conditional mean of the dependent variables. Additionally, it turns out that within the class of generalized Heckman estimators, rather simple ones display the best performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 367-374 Issue: 4 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000306987 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000306987 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:4:p:367-374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hilde Bjørnland Author-X-Name-First: Hilde Author-X-Name-Last: Bjørnland Title: A stable demand for money despite financial crisis: the case of Venezuela Abstract: The demand for broad money in Venezuela is investigated over a period of financial crisis and substantial exchange rate fluctuations. The analysis shows that there exist a long-run relationship between real money, real income, inflation, the exchange rate and an interest rate differential, that remains stable over major policy changes and large shocks. The long-run properties emphasize that both inflation and exchange rate depreciations have negative effects on real money demand, whereas a higher interest rate differential has positive effects. The long-run relationship is finally embedded in a dynamic equilibrium correction model with constant parameters. These results have implications for a policy-maker. In particular, they emphasize that with a high degree of currency substitution in Venezuela, monetary aggregates will be very sensitive to changes in the economic environment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 375-385 Issue: 4 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840412331315015 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840412331315015 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:4:p:375-385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Len Trevino Author-X-Name-First: Len Author-X-Name-Last: Trevino Author-Name: Taisa Minto Author-X-Name-First: Taisa Author-X-Name-Last: Minto Title: Are legislative TV and campaign finance regulations complementary entry barriers? Evidence from the USA Abstract: The present study examines the political use of legislative television and campaign finance restrictions as either complementary or substitutable forms of entry barriers using data from the 50 states for 1976. Results from a simultaneous probit procedure indicate that where campaign finance regulations are relaxed, demand for televised house sessions is increased. Results also suggest that the presence of televised proceedings increases the restrictiveness of a state's campaign finance rules, thus supporting the hypothesis that legislative television and campaign finance restrictions serve incumbent legislators as complementary institutional entry barriers. 'Successful politicians must use television and compete with popular culture for audience attention. Leaders therefore court voters by entertaining them and making them feel good. This strategy may increase popularity and win votes …' (Cowen, 2000). 'All 50 states now regulate lobbyists to some degree. A public interest view of this regulation would suggest that the result would be that legislation would take more account of the general welfare and less account of private interests. However, keeping in mind that legislatures pass lobbying regulations, an economic model of regulation would suggest that lobbying regulations would be designed to benefit those in the legislature.' (Brinig et al., 1993). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 387-396 Issue: 4 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000306996 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000306996 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:4:p:387-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Gentle Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gentle Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Kamal Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Title: Real wages, real interest rates, and the Phillips curve Abstract: This article argues that any analysis of a Phillips curve should include the real interest rate in addition to inflation and real wages as any changes in the interest rate changes the labour-capital input mix in the production process leading to a change in the level of employment in the economy. To justify this argument a Phillips curve model is developed, which includes the real interest rate in addition to inflation and real wages. After the diagnosis of the time series properties of the data, an error correction model is developed and estimated using a set of US annual data from 1948 to 1996. The estimated parameters of the model do suggest that one should really take into consideration of the real interest rate while analysing the Phillips curve. A non-nested test (F-test) also suggests that the Phillips curve model with real interest rate as an additional variable performs better than the conventional method that does not include the real interest rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 397-402 Issue: 4 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840412331315024 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840412331315024 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:4:p:397-402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuseppe Marotta Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Marotta Title: When do trade credit discounts matter? Evidence from Italian firm-level data Abstract: Italian firms are top users of trade credit in an international comparison. The paper offers some clues to the determinants of this stylized fact exploiting the answers of about 1900 manufacturing firms on a wide range of contractual features, separately for domestic and foreign customers. The main finding of the univariate analysis is that, with the almost totality of transactions made on credit, there is no evidence that this way of financing is more expensive than loans. An econometric investigation shows that discounts offered have the expected effect of reducing payment delays mostly for customers located abroad, where customary credit periods are shorter and creditors' rights protection is more effective. The result is consistent with the poor explanatory power of discounts received in regressions for the trade debt period of domestic firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 403-416 Issue: 4 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000329063 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000329063 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:4:p:403-416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Brandao de Brito Author-X-Name-First: Jose Brandao Author-X-Name-Last: de Brito Author-Name: Felipa de Mello Sampayo Author-X-Name-First: Felipa de Mello Author-X-Name-Last: Sampayo Title: The timing and probability of FDI: an application to US multinational enterprises Abstract: An 'option-pricing' model is employed to analyse the timing of FDI. Assuming that the firm's profits are determined by the attractiveness of both the home and foreign countries, and that attractiveness follows a Brownian motion, an optimal trigger value of FDI is derived. The model shows that, contrary to the NPV rule, FDI entry should be delayed the greater the uncertainty of attractiveness in both locations. Another important result is that MNEs do not regard FDI as a risk-diversification tool. The results of the model were then tested empirically with US FDI data, using labour costs as a proxy for (the reciprocal of) attractiveness. The results support the findings of the analytical model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 417-437 Issue: 4 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000295313 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000295313 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:4:p:417-437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Rodriguez Andres Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Rodriguez Author-X-Name-Last: Andres Title: Income inequality, unemployment, and suicide: a panel data analysis of 15 European countries Abstract: Most panel data studies have employed overall suicide rates (male and female) to identify the determinants of suicide. This research has also neglected the use of country specific linear time trends. Neglecting these factors may confound the empirical estimates of socio-economic variables due to the impact of unobserved country specific determinants of suicide that are time-varying. Empirical results from 15 European countries between 1970 and 1998 support this hypothesis. Specifically, economic growth, fertility rate, and alcohol consumption seem to have a significant impact on male and female suicide rates after the inclusion of country specific linear trends. Contrary to prior studies, suicide rates were not sensitive to income levels, female labour participation rates and unemployment. In addition, the effect of divorce rate is specific to gender. Finally, the results also illustrate the importance of employing age-specific suicide rates compared to what has been traditionally used, in trying to evaluate the factors responsible for suicide mortality. In particular, the impact of socio-economic factors is not equal across age groups, and policies aimed at the prevention of suicide should take this into account. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 439-451 Issue: 4 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000295304 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000295304 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:4:p:439-451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Andre Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Andre Author-Name: Javier Perez Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Title: Robust stylized facts on comovement for the Spanish economy Abstract: The suggestion of obtaining stylized facts on comovement on the basis of prewhitened time series proposed in Andre et al. (2002) is further developed. First, some examples are shown on the robustness of the method. Second, the relevance of such a proposal is tested by revisiting some of the existing stylized facts on comovement for the Spanish economy in Dolado et al. (1993). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 453-462 Issue: 4 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/09603100412331297018 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09603100412331297018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:4:p:453-462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmen Lopez-Pueyo Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Pueyo Author-Name: Jaime Sanau Author-X-Name-First: Jaime Author-X-Name-Last: Sanau Title: Internal versus external economies in European countries Abstract: In this paper sectoral production functions are estimated with a two digit disaggregation for eight European countries corresponding to the period 1978-1992, distinguishing between internal economies of scale and intersectoral external effects. In order to avoid the possibility that the regressions, carried out by way of panel data techniques, are spurious, the integration order of each variable has been identified using unit root. Similarly, the Hausman procedure has been applied to test the exogeneity of the variables and determine whether the most appropriate estimations should be SUR or three stage least squares. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 463-471 Issue: 4 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000307030 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000307030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:4:p:463-471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Belen Iraizoz Author-X-Name-First: Belen Author-X-Name-Last: Iraizoz Author-Name: Isabel Bardaji Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Bardaji Author-Name: Manuel Rapun Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Rapun Title: The Spanish beef sector in the 1990s: impact of the BSE crisis on efficiency and profitability Abstract: The beef sector has undergone a series of changes as a result of successive food scares and agricultural policy reforms. The purpose of the paper is to analyse technical efficiency and profitability in Spanish livestock enterprises during the 1990s, focusing on the possible impact of the BSE crisis and the 1992 CAP reform on each of these variables. The main findings reveal the existence of technical inefficiency during the sample period. Some factors have a positive impact, others a negative impact, on efficiency. As far as the effects of CAP reform and the BSE crisis are concerned, the results show the ineffectiveness of agricultural policy regulation to promote efficiency in the sector and the improvement in the efficiency as a consequence of the BSE crisis. The profitability analysis reveals the importance of direct subsidies, however. In their absence, a large percentage of holdings is unable to remunerate either own or rented factors. Analysis shows, therefore, that there are two counteracting effects from subsidies. On the one hand, they form a major part of the resources of livestock farmers, allowing them to meet input costs and preventing land abandonment. On the other hand, they have a significant negative impact on the level of technical efficiency estimated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 473-484 Issue: 4 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000295359 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000295359 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:4:p:473-484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masahiro Endoh Author-X-Name-First: Masahiro Author-X-Name-Last: Endoh Title: The effects of the GSTP on trade flow: mission accomplished? Abstract: This paper investigates whether the Global System of Trade Preferences among developing countries (GSTP) achieves its intent to increase the trade of capital goods between member countries. For this purpose, trade data disaggregated by the degree of commodity differentiation and various GSTP regional dummies are employed in a gravity equation. Estimation results say that the value of trade between GSTP member countries has increased significantly since the formation of the GSTP in 1989, and the trade of differentiated commodities has increased remarkably compared with other commodities. Therefore, it can be asserted that the mission of the GSTP has been accomplished successfully. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 487-496 Issue: 5 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000318182 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000318182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:5:p:487-496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tommaso Proietti Author-X-Name-First: Tommaso Author-X-Name-Last: Proietti Title: Convergence in Italian regional per-capita GDP Abstract: This paper addresses the issue of convergence of per-capita GDP of the 20 Italian regions. The paper first focuses on the notion of σ-convergence and proposes a new hierarchical clustering algorithm, grouping regions according to the presence of a monotonically decreasing trend in entropy. Then alternative definitions of long-run convergence are given, based on the notion of cointegration and common trends and the evidence arising from application of stationarity tests to the time series of regional contrasts is examined. The conclusion is that both kind of convergence can be used to characterize the dynamics of regional per-capita GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 497-506 Issue: 5 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000318173 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000318173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:5:p:497-506 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlo Altavilla Author-X-Name-First: Carlo Author-X-Name-Last: Altavilla Author-Name: Luigi Landolfo Author-X-Name-First: Luigi Author-X-Name-Last: Landolfo Title: Do central banks act asymmetrically? Empirical evidence from the ECB and the Bank of England Abstract: The paper attempts to exploit whether monetary authorities have a different behaviour during recession and expansion. To this end, a multivariate extension of Hamilton Markov-switching model is adopted. First, regime dependent Taylor-type rules are estimated for the Euro Area and the United Kingdom in order to capture the systematic behaviour of central banks. Then, impulse response functions that account for the different phases of the business cycle are analysed. In addition, a comparative analysis concerning the estimated rules as well as the different reaction of real economy to monetary shocks is implemented. The study strongly suggests that central banks cannot neglect the regime where the monetary action takes place. It follows that the phase of business cycle is an important matter in monetary policy decision process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 507-519 Issue: 5 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000307072 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000307072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:5:p:507-519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert McNown Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: McNown Author-Name: Cristobal Ridao-Cano Author-X-Name-First: Cristobal Author-X-Name-Last: Ridao-Cano Title: A time series model of fertility and female labour supply in the UK Abstract: Multiple time series procedures suitable for estimation and testing with nonstationary data are applied to UK data on age-specific fertility rates, age-specific female labour force participation rates, and women's and men's wages. Cointegration tests establish the existence of two long-run equilibrium relations, identified as a fertility relation and a labour supply equation, for each age group. Maximum likelihood estimates of these equations are consistent with the new home economics model of fertility, and tests of Granger-causality show evidence of extensive feedback among the variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 521-532 Issue: 5 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000307021 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000307021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:5:p:521-532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Eek Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Eek Author-Name: Klas Rikner Author-X-Name-First: Klas Author-X-Name-Last: Rikner Title: What determines people's decisions whether or not to report sick? Abstract: Swedish employees who are temporarily absent from work are compensated for the loss of income from the governmentally regulated sickness insurance. During the 1990s, when the societal costs for covering sickness absence raised dramatically, the sickness insurance underwent several changes, which raised questions about how people reacted to the changes made. This article is based on a survey where individuals were asked several questions about whether they would go to work or report sick, given that they actually felt ill. Respondents were asked the same questions under different hypothetical compensations. The results indicated strong effects of factors related to the financial loss of being absent on the propensity to report sick. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 533-543 Issue: 5 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000319163 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000319163 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:5:p:533-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julie Hotchkiss Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Hotchkiss Author-Name: M. Melinda Pitts Author-X-Name-First: M. Melinda Author-X-Name-Last: Pitts Title: Female labour force intermittency and current earnings: switching regression model with unknown sample selection Abstract: Using the Health and Retirement Survey from the USA, this paper finds a 16% selectivity-corrected wage penalty among women who engage in intermittent labour market activity. This penalty is experienced at a low level of intermittent activity, but appears to not play an important role in a woman's decision to undertake such activity. In addition, employer preferences appear to play a larger role than human capital atrophy in the determination of the wage penalty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 545-560 Issue: 5 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000307003 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000307003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:5:p:545-560 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kwami Adanu Author-X-Name-First: Kwami Author-X-Name-Last: Adanu Title: A cross-province comparison of Okun's coefficient for Canada Abstract: This study estimates Okun's coefficients for ten Canadian provinces using real GDP and unemployment rate data across the provinces. An average estimated Okun's coefficient of -1.58 is obtained under the Hodrick-Prescott detrending method and -1.32 under the quadratic detrending method. There is relative stability of the coefficients across the two detrending methods. Generally, the cost of unemployment in terms of the loss in real GDP is higher in the bigger and more industrialized provinces ranging from -2.14 for Ontario to less than -1 for the Maritime provinces. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 561-570 Issue: 5 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000201848 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000201848 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:5:p:561-570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmad. Afrasiabi Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad. Author-X-Name-Last: Afrasiabi Author-Name: Tomas Nonnenmacher Author-X-Name-First: Tomas Author-X-Name-Last: Nonnenmacher Title: High and low frequency variations and the cyclical behaviour of real wages Abstract: The conflicting empirical evidence on the cyclicality of real wages may be a result of the fact that the measure of comovements employed in the literature is affected by coherence among non-business cycle variations in the data. By recursively removing components the degree to which long- and short-term cycles contaminate the existing evidence is studied. While confirming many of the results of the current literature, it is found that evidence of cyclicality is affected more by long rather than by short-term components, even though the data have been detrended by a number of different methods. It has been suggested in the literature that wages become more countercyclical as the deflators used represent less finished bundles of goods. This study shows that this result is robust to the removal of components from either end of the spectrum. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 571-579 Issue: 5 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840420003067068 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840420003067068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:5:p:571-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yesim Kustepeli Author-X-Name-First: Yesim Author-X-Name-Last: Kustepeli Title: A comprehensive short-run analysis of a (possible) Turkish Phillips curve Abstract: The studies on Phillips curves relating the rate of unemployment to the rate of inflation are the results of the search for a reliable tool for forecasting inflation and implementing monetary policy. The original Phillips curve has attracted considerable attention and since then, it has undergone several important changes. Although the evidence of a negative relationship between the rate of change in a money variable and unemployment rate has not been proven, it is still considered to be critical for policymaking and is on researchers' agenda (Niskaken, 2002). The existence of a Phillips curve for Turkey is investigated with the linear and non-linear specifications for the conventional and new Keynesian Phillips curves with inflation expectations and natural rate of unemployment for annual (1980-2001) and semiannual (1988:2-2003:1) data sets. The results indicate no evidence of a Phillips curve for all specifications and both data sets. The semiannual data seems to have a better fit in all specifications compared to the annual data. Inflation expectations are found to be significant for inflation rather than unemployment rate in the current period. The results imply that Turkey has to solve its inflation problem by proper policies aimed at lowering the inflation expectations in the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 581-591 Issue: 5 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368404200030749 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368404200030749 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:5:p:581-591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chau-Jung Kuo Author-X-Name-First: Chau-Jung Author-X-Name-Last: Kuo Author-Name: Su-Lien Lu Author-X-Name-First: Su-Lien Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Taiwan's financial holding companies: an empirical investigation based on Markov regime-switching model Abstract: Though the Financial Holding Company Act in Taiwan permits banks, securities firms and insurance companies to affiliate, identifying the influence on Taiwan's financial holding companies hasn't been discussed rigorously yet. This paper presents a formal methodology, using two-state Markov regime switching approach, to allow for the uncertainty event-date of financial holding companies' stock return and risk. This study serves as one of the first studies that adopt a Markov regime-switching model to estimate financial holding companies' stock behaviour. The evidence shows that 12 of 13 financial holding companies have regime-switching and one has no regime-switching in Taiwan. Therefore, the stock behaviours of Taiwan's financial holding companies follow two regimes and the traditional linear model cannot be descriptive. However, the levels of 12 financial holding companies' risk are significantly low of state 1 and stock returns are indifferent between two states. Hence, there are diversification benefits of Taiwan's financial holding companies. Summarily, to assess the influence on Taiwan's financial holding companies, it is recognized that this methodology developed by the model is meaningful for research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 593-605 Issue: 5 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003084042000323573 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003084042000323573 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:5:p:593-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Rank-based unit root testing in the presence of structural change under the null: simulation results and an application to US inflation Abstract: The size distortion of the Dickey-Fuller (Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, pp. 427-31, 1979) unit root test is examined in the presence of structural changes in both the level and variance of integrated time series. In contrast to previous studies, the empirically relevant situation in which such breaks occur simultaneously is examined. It is shown that the severe distortion observed for the Dickey-Fuller test can be dramatically reduced via application of a simple rank-based method. The simulation results presented are supported by an empirical examination of the integrated nature of US inflation where differing inferences are drawn using the Dickey-Fuller test and the rank-based Dickey-Fuller test. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 607-617 Issue: 6 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000337370 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000337370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:6:p:607-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derek Leslie Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Leslie Title: Why people from the UK's minority ethnic communities achieve weaker degree results than whites Abstract: People from the UK's minority ethnic communities achieve less good degree results than whites. The paper explores some reasons for this under-performance. By analysing a large sample of around two million observations a measure of the quality of qualifications among those accepted into Higher Education is developed. It is found that ethnic minorities are less well qualified than whites. This is because proportionately more are accepted into Higher Education, so lower average quality is unsurprising. Subject choice is also found to have an influence because ethnic minorities choose subjects where it is more difficult to achieve a good degree. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 619-632 Issue: 6 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000313172 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000313172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:6:p:619-632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Nehring Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Nehring Author-Name: Jorge Fernandez-Cornejo Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Cornejo Author-Name: David Banker Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Banker Title: Off-farm labour and the structure of US agriculture: the case of corn/soybean farms Abstract: While the growing importance of off-farm earnings suggests large benefits accrue to farmers from efforts to expand off-farm income opportunities, economic well being also depends on greater efficiency. To comprehensively gauge the economic health of farm operator households' off-farm income is interpreted as an output along with corn, soybeans, livestock and other crops. To accomplish this task two related methodologies were used. First, using 2000 data, a multi-activity cost function was set up to analyse labour allocation decisions within the farm operator household and also to estimate returns to scale and scope. Second, using 1996-2000 data, an input distance function approach was followed to estimate returns to scale, cost economies and technical efficiency - and the relative performance of farm operator households with and without off-farm wages and salaries compared. The cost function and input distance function results both suggest that off-farm outputs and inputs can be modelled in a multi-activity framework and involve significant economies of scope. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 633-649 Issue: 6 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000323582 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000323582 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:6:p:633-649 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Prescott Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Prescott Author-Name: David Wilton Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Wilton Author-Name: Canan Dadayli Author-X-Name-First: Canan Author-X-Name-Last: Dadayli Author-Name: Aaron Dickson Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Dickson Title: Travel to Canada: the role of Canada's immigrant populations Abstract: The effect of Canada's immigrant populations on the annual flow of visitors to Canada is investigated. A simple utility-maximizing model of the travel decision motivates the role of immigrant populations in the aggregate demand equation for visits to Canada. The model implies testable hypotheses: price and income elasticities differ by purpose of trip. Using time-series cross-section data on 22 OECD countries an empirical demand model is estimated. Demand is measured by both the number of visitors and person-nights and separate equations are estimated for four subcategories of 'purpose of trip'. Immigrant populations are found to have a strong influence on the annual flow of foreign visitors. It is estimated that the present value of the stream of spending by foreign visitors attributable to an additional immigrant is approximately $4550 in 1996 dollars. In accordance with the model's predictions, price and income elasticity estimates are greater for vacationers than for those visiting family and friends. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 651-663 Issue: 6 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000329045 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000329045 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:6:p:651-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jane Binner Author-X-Name-First: Jane Author-X-Name-Last: Binner Author-Name: Rakesh Bissoondeeal Author-X-Name-First: Rakesh Author-X-Name-Last: Bissoondeeal Author-Name: Thomas Elger Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Elger Author-Name: Alicia Gazely Author-X-Name-First: Alicia Author-X-Name-Last: Gazely Author-Name: Andrew Mullineux Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Mullineux Title: A comparison of linear forecasting models and neural networks: an application to Euro inflation and Euro Divisia Abstract: Linear models reach their limitations in applications with nonlinearities in the data. In this paper new empirical evidence is provided on the relative Euro inflation forecasting performance of linear and non-linear models. The well established and widely used univariate ARIMA and multivariate VAR models are used as linear forecasting models whereas neural networks (NN) are used as non-linear forecasting models. It is endeavoured to keep the level of subjectivity in the NN building process to a minimum in an attempt to exploit the full potentials of the NN. It is also investigated whether the historically poor performance of the theoretically superior measure of the monetary services flow, Divisia, relative to the traditional Simple Sum measure could be attributed to a certain extent to the evaluation of these indices within a linear framework. Results obtained suggest that non-linear models provide better within-sample and out-of-sample forecasts and linear models are simply a subset of them. The Divisia index also outperforms the Simple Sum index when evaluated in a non-linear framework. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 665-680 Issue: 6 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684052000343679 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684052000343679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:6:p:665-680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ronald Lange Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Lange Title: Determinants of the long-term yield in Canada: an open economy VAR approach Abstract: This study analyses the economic determinants of short- and long-term interest rates in Canada using a structural vector autoregressive (VAR) model. The VAR takes into consideration that Canadian financial markets are small and open relative to those in the USA and that Canada is a relatively large exporter of commodities. In part, the empirical results for Canada are similar to those for the USA. Aggregate demand shocks have relatively large and persistent effects on long-term yields, while aggregate supply shocks do not have significant effects. However, monetary policy shocks in Canada are found to have larger and more persistent effects on long-term yields than those found for the USA. The most striking result is that movements in US monetary policy have relatively large, significant and persistent effects on Canadian long-term bond yields. Furthermore, US monetary policy disturbances can account for the overall trend in long-term yields in Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 681-693 Issue: 6 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000337389 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000337389 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:6:p:681-693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Kung Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Kung Author-Name: Andrew Carverhill Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Carverhill Title: A cointegration study of the efficiency of the US Treasury STRIPS market Abstract: One theoretical implication of cointegration, according to Granger (1986), is that asset prices in an efficient market cannot be cointegrated. Using price data on US Treasury STRIPS with maturities from 2/15/1997 to 8/15/2015, it is found that a set of three STRIPS series is often cointegrated. In addition, by setting up a costless hedge portfolio from three STRIPS with three different maturities, it is found that the hedge portfolio is often stationary and thus arbitrage opportunities are likely to occur. That is, because the hedge portfolio is costless and stationary, cash in can be done when the value of the hedge portfolio is either positive or negative. However, when taking liquidity, tax effects, and transaction costs into consideration, these arbitrage profits would be unlikely. Hence, it is concluded that the US Treasury STRIPS market is efficient. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 695-703 Issue: 6 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000329054 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000329054 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:6:p:695-703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles DeLorme Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: DeLorme Author-Name: Stacey Isom Author-X-Name-First: Stacey Author-X-Name-Last: Isom Author-Name: David Kamerschen Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Kamerschen Title: Rent seeking and taxation in the Ancient Roman Empire Abstract: Historians maintain that an increase in taxation of the peasant farmers, government corruption and misuse of its revenue by the ruling class led to a weakening of the Roman Empire that culminated in its western demise in the fifth century. But it was not just the taxation issue doomed the Roman Empire, but political change from a Republic to an emperor that exacerbated the climate of rent-seeking behaviour by the ruling classes that culminated in the misallocation of tax resources. One category of rent seeking involves the spending of money that the average taxpayer sees as foolish but that benefits a particular group. The groups who bear the costs can stop the rent seeking if they are informed. These average citizens were peasant farmers who no doubt recognized the costs but were unable to form political coalitions to protect themselves because military control of Roman legions was under the tight control of the emperor. This was not the case under the Republic. With the emperors, public funds were being diverted from the public infrastructure such as road building and repair to more frivolous activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 705-711 Issue: 6 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000323591 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000323591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:6:p:705-711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Author-Name: Marcos Lima Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Title: Market share instability in Brazilian industry: a dynamic panel data analysis Abstract: The paper investigates market share instability in the context of Brazilian industry for the 1986-1998 period. The paper proposes the use of panel data unit root tests to access market share instability for a sample of industrial firms from different sectors and therefore generalizes related time series unit root tests proposed by Gallet and List (2001). The results mostly indicate that one cannot reject the hypothesis of market share instability and therefore there exist some degree of market rivalry in the Brazilian case. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 713-718 Issue: 6 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000318181 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000318181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:6:p:713-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. J. Khadaroo Author-X-Name-First: A. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Khadaroo Title: A threshold in inflation dynamics: evidence from emerging countries Abstract: Using monthly data over the period January 1976-November 2002, the present paper detects significant threshold non-linearities in the inflation rates of three emerging countries, namely India, Singapore and South Africa. A two-regime self-exciting threshold autoregressive (SETAR) model of inflation, constituting a significant improvement over the corresponding linear AR model, is estimated for these countries. Singapore is shown to have a much lower implied equilibrium inflation rate than India, while there is a possibility of seasonal inflation equilibria for South Africa. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 719-723 Issue: 6 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000295296 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000295296 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:6:p:719-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaolan Fu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolan Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Title: Exports, technical progress and productivity growth in a transition economy: a non-parametric approach for China Abstract: Theories suggesting either static or dynamic productivity gains derived from exports often assume the prior existence of a competitive market. In the presence of market imperfection and distortion, however, the competition and resource reallocation effects of exports on productive efficiency may be greatly reduced; and there may actually be disincentives for innovation. This paper analyses the impact of exports on aggregate productivity growth in a transition economy using a panel of Chinese manufacturing industries over the period 1990-1997. TFP growth is estimated by employing a non-parametric approach and is decomposed into technical progress and efficiency change. No evidence has been found suggesting significant productivity gains at the industry level resulting from exports. Findings of the current study suggest that, for exports to generate significant positive effect on TFP growth, a well-developed domestic market and a neutral, outward-oriented policy are necessary. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 725-739 Issue: 7 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500049041 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500049041 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:7:p:725-739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Gallego Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Gallego Author-Name: Christian Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Building confidence intervals for band-pass and Hodrick-Prescott filters: an application using bootstrapping Abstract: This article generates innovative confidence intervals for two of the most popular de-trending methods: Hodrick-Prescott and band-pass filters. The confidence intervals are obtained using block-bootstrapping techniques for dependent data. GDP trend growth and output gap intervals for the G7 economies are used as examples. This new methodology increases the usefulness of these filters by overcoming the absence of confidence intervals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 741-749 Issue: 7 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500048985 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500048985 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:7:p:741-749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Florio Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Florio Title: Asymmetric monetary policy: empirical evidence for Italy Abstract: A growing body of empirical work has examined the potential asymmetry in the effects of monetary policy on United States real activity. This study looks for such an empirical evidence for Italy in the period 1982-1998. Monetary shocks are obtained as residuals from a central bank reaction function where the three-months interbank rate is taken as the indicator of the monetary policy stance. The effects of these positive and negative shocks on output are statistically different from zero and the null of symmetry between the two is rejected in favour of negative shocks having a greater impact on real output growth, thus confirming an asymmetric effect of monetary policy even for Italy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 751-764 Issue: 7 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500061012 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500061012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:7:p:751-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Michael Nelson Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Nelson Title: Tobacco policy and tobacco use: differences across tobacco types, gender and age Abstract: Using state-level data for 1997, this paper studies the effectiveness of tobacco policies at reducing tobacco use across different population groups in the USA. The effectiveness of tax (price)-based and non-price tobacco policies are examined on tobacco prevalence (including cigarettes and smokeless tobacco) across gender and age. Besides shedding light on the efficacy of sub-national tobacco policies, the results also examine the extent of spillovers of policy actions across tobacco types. Significant differences in tobacco use are found across gender, age, policies, and between smoking and smokeless tobacco. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 765-771 Issue: 7 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000337415 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000337415 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:7:p:765-771 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Hafez Rehman Author-X-Name-First: Hafez Author-X-Name-Last: Rehman Title: Stability of the money demand function in Asian developing countries Abstract: Previous studies that estimated the money demand function in Asian developing countries either employed traditional estimation techniques or recently popularized cointegration technique. While the first group suffers from 'spurious regression' problems, the second group interpreted their finding of cointegration as a sign of stability of estimated parameters. This study, after incorporating the CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests into cointegration analysis, shows that in some Asian countries even though real M1 or M2 monetary aggregates are cointegrated with their determinants, the estimated parameters are unstable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 773-792 Issue: 7 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000337424 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000337424 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:7:p:773-792 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adelina Gschwandtner Author-X-Name-First: Adelina Author-X-Name-Last: Gschwandtner Title: Profit persistence in the 'very' long run: evidence from survivors and exiters Abstract: One of the main shortcomings of the profit persistence literature is the fact that it looks only at surviving companies. This paper uses a unique dataset to analyse profit persistence in two different samples of stationary series: 85 surviving US companies from 1950-1999 and 72 exiters. While the exiters perform more competitively than the survivors there is still significant evidence for profit persistence in both samples. Concentration and growth of the industry as well as size and volatility of profits seem to play an important role in explaining persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 793-806 Issue: 7 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000337406 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000337406 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:7:p:793-806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Agbola Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Agbola Author-Name: Chartri Kunanopparat Author-X-Name-First: Chartri Author-X-Name-Last: Kunanopparat Title: Determinants of exchange rate practices: some empirical evidence from Thailand Abstract: Although Thailand has achieved a spectacular average annual growth rate of 8% in the past two decades, due largely to the opening of the economy to international trade, there is not yet a consensus on the exchange rate regime that is most suited to the restoration of sustained growth in Thailand. This study empirically investigates the predictors of exchange rate regimes in Thailand using quarterly data spanning the period 1990:1 and 2002:3. Results indicate that the government is likely to choose a pegged exchange rate regime in periods of monetary shocks and unsustainable public finance whereas an open economy with a degree of economic development and foreign reserves will encourage the government to opt for a flexible exchange regime in Thailand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 807-816 Issue: 7 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500061061 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500061061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:7:p:807-816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yeonbae Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yeonbae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jeong-Dong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Daeyoung Koh Author-X-Name-First: Daeyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Koh Title: Effects of consumer preferences on the convergence of mobile telecommunications devices Abstract: Amidst the overall trend of convergence in information technology, device convergence is noteworthy. This study looks at the possible direction of device convergence based on consumer preferences for the main attributes of the mobile terminal of the future. Conjoint analysis and a mixed logit model using a Bayesian approach with Gibbs sampling are used to learn consumer preferences. Results show that consumers generally prefer a keyboard and a medium-sized display, although at present most consumers are indifferent to whether the terminal provides high-quality Internet service and to whether it operates many kinds of application programs or programs originally designed for personal computers. Given the heterogeneity of consumer preferences, partial, rather than perfect, device convergence is anticipated. Implications for the future of device convergence and how it will affect other types of convergence are drawn. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 817-826 Issue: 7 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000337398 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000337398 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:7:p:817-826 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Cotter Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Cotter Title: Tail behaviour of the euro Abstract: This paper empirically analyses risk in the euro relative to other currencies. Comparisons are made between a subperiod encompassing the final transitional stage to full monetary union with a subperiod prior to this. Stability in the face of speculative attack is examined using Extreme Value Theory to obtain estimates of tail exchange rate changes. The findings are encouraging. The euro's common risk measures do not deviate substantially from other currencies. Also, the euro is stable in the face of speculative pressure. For example, the findings consistently show the euro being less risky than the yen, and having similar inherent risk to the Deutsche mark, the currency that it is essentially replacing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 827-840 Issue: 7 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000338694 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000338694 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:7:p:827-840 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yufei Jin Author-X-Name-First: Yufei Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Roderick Rejesus Author-X-Name-First: Roderick Author-X-Name-Last: Rejesus Author-Name: Bertis Little Author-X-Name-First: Bertis Author-X-Name-Last: Little Title: Binary choice models for rare events data: a crop insurance fraud application Abstract: This study implements a recently proposed score test that could help guide insurance fraud researchers in deciding whether to use a logit or a probit model in predicting insurance fraud probabilities, especially when the occurrence of ones in the dependent variable is much less than zeros. The test is easily implemented in a crop insurance fraud context and seems to be a promising method that could be applicable to analysing and detecting potentially fraudulent claims in various lines of insurance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 841-848 Issue: 7 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000337433 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000337433 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:7:p:841-848 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Len Trevino Author-X-Name-First: Len Author-X-Name-Last: Trevino Title: Is there gender discrimination in named professorships? An econometric analysis of economics departments in the US South Abstract: This study examines the correlates of the probability that an individual academician holds a named professorship. Named professorships, like other positions within an organization, are determined by a mixture of market and non-market forces. Thus, both merit (both past and expected future productivity) and discrimination may play a role. Regression results and Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition tests presented here support a conclusion of gender discrimination in the named professorship process at American institutions of higher education. Specifically, it is found that gender discrimination results in a 7.6 percentage point disadvantage for females (relative to males) regarding the likelihood of holding a named professorship in economics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 849-854 Issue: 8 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500048902 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500048902 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:8:p:849-854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jef Vuchelen Author-X-Name-First: Jef Author-X-Name-Last: Vuchelen Author-Name: Maria-Isabel Gutierrez Author-X-Name-First: Maria-Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Gutierrez Title: Do the OECD 24 month horizon growth forecasts for the G7-countries contain information? Abstract: The OECD produces two-year-ahead growth forecasts for the G7-countries since 1987; these forecasts have never been evaluated. A regression is developed that tests for the information content of the forecasts. The idea is that this content is the added value forecasters incorporate in their forecasts. The information content is defined relative to the forecast for the previous year. In the end, the added value contained in the current year forecast is calculated relative to the last observation. The test consists in checking whether the information content reduces the forecasts error. The study begins with a calculation of the usual accuracy statistics. These indicate an extreme low quality for the forecasts. The regression tests support this conclusion although the forecasts for Japan do possess some information. Alarming for users of forecasts is that there are no obvious alternatives. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 855-862 Issue: 8 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500061350 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500061350 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:8:p:855-862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrzej Cieślik Author-X-Name-First: Andrzej Author-X-Name-Last: Cieślik Title: Regional characteristics and the location of foreign firms within Poland Abstract: This article investigates the location determinants of firms with foreign capital participation within Poland using the regional data set from 1993 to 1998. It is found that the concentration of foreign economic activity is positively related to industry and service agglomeration and the road network and negatively to the unemployment rate. Traditional regional characteristics such as GDP, wage rate and education, often regarded as important location determinants, are not robust with respect to the specification of the estimating equation. The special economic zone variable is not found to be statistically significant in any specification estimated. Geographic location dummies confirm that foreign firms prefer Central and South-Western regions over Eastern parts of Poland having controlled for their characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 863-874 Issue: 8 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500061087 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500061087 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:8:p:863-874 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manohar Singh Author-X-Name-First: Manohar Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: Sheri Faircloth Author-X-Name-First: Sheri Author-X-Name-Last: Faircloth Title: The impact of corporate debt on long term investment and firm performance Abstract: Prior research indicates a linkage between debt, research and development (R&D) and physical investment, and that the relationship varies depending on the type of firm (science versus non-science). Leverage also plays a multidimensional role in corporate performance and growth. The relationship between financial leverage and R&D expenditure is analysed using a sample of large United States (US) manufacturing firms. Then, the impact of leverage on R&D expenditure is studied using corporate performance drivers as intermediate variables. The results indicate that there is a strong negative relationship between the degree of financial leverage and the level of R&D expenditure that firms undertake. The negative relationship is robust to changes in model specifications and sample periods. More importantly, the results show that it is higher leverage that leads to lower R&D expense rather than R&D causing variations in future leverage. In addition, the results indicate that higher leverage adversely influences future investment in R&D which may in turn lead to negative impact on long term operating performance and future growth opportunities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 875-883 Issue: 8 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500076762 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500076762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:8:p:875-883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Clive Belfield Author-X-Name-First: Clive Author-X-Name-Last: Belfield Title: Workforce gender effects on firm performance and workers' pay: evidence for the UK Abstract: Using linked workplace-worker data for the UK, a number of hypotheses are tested related to individual gender and the gender composition of the workforce. The proportion of female workers per establishment is strongly negatively associated with median workplace pay. There is some evidence that workplace performance (but not employment size or growth) is positively associated with the female-male workforce ratio. For workers, the female wage penalty (which is substantial) is strongly influenced by the female-male workforce ratio. In addition, commensurate with gender discrimination, those who manage female workers receive lower wages but professional workers in the same establishments do not. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 885-891 Issue: 8 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500048829 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500048829 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:8:p:885-891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Title: A deeper look at asymmetries in UK consumers' expenditure: the nonparametric analysis of 100 disaggregates Abstract: The literature on testing for the presence of cyclical asymmetry in UK consumers' expenditure is extended via the application of nonparametric tests to data subject to a higher degree of disaggregation than considered in previous studies. The results obtained at an intermediate level of disaggregation depict a positive relationship between the durability of goods and the degree of asymmetry they exhibit. At high levels of disaggregation to specific expenditure categories, it is found that the aggregate and intermediate evidence of deepness asymmetry is driven by a relatively small number of expenditures, with almost no evidence of deepness asymmetry in non-durable categories of expenditure. Prominent among the durable and semi-durable good expenditure categories exhibiting significant positive deepness asymmetry are expenditures relating to housing fittings and communication, consistent with a degree of 'lumpiness' in expenditure which may be associated with the impact of credit rationing or threshold effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 893-900 Issue: 8 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500061301 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500061301 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:8:p:893-900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wojciech Charemza Author-X-Name-First: Wojciech Author-X-Name-Last: Charemza Author-Name: Daniela Hristova Author-X-Name-First: Daniela Author-X-Name-Last: Hristova Author-Name: Peter Burridge Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Burridge Title: Is inflation stationary? Abstract: Ninety-three world-wide inflation series are tested for unit roots. Treating the data series' innovations as draws from a symmetric stable distribution, with possibly infinite variance, reduces the number that appear stationary. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 901-903 Issue: 8 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500076721 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500076721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:8:p:901-903 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Josep Tribo Author-X-Name-First: Josep Author-X-Name-Last: Tribo Title: An analysis of the length of labour and financial contracts: a study for Spain Abstract: This study investigates the connection between the duration of financial contracts and that of labour contracts. Workers with long-term contracts have incentives to invest in training. This makes them attractive to the entrepreneur. Furthermore, this behaviour will be reinforced if financial contracts are long-term, because it reduces the probability of an early liquidation as well as the dismissal of trained workers. As a conclusion, significant increases in the length of financing contracts should be accompanied by corresponding increases in the length of labour contracts. Support for this theoretical contention is found by testing it on a dataset composed of Spanish manufacturing firms for the period 1991-2000. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 905-916 Issue: 8 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500081762 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500081762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:8:p:905-916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabel Figuerola-Ferretti Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Figuerola-Ferretti Title: Prices and production cost in aluminium smelting in the short and the long run Abstract: The main objective of this study is to reflect the institutional changes that have characterized the aluminium industry as a result of the introduction of London's Metal Exchange (LME) trading. In doing this, it is shown that product prices are taken exogenously and linked to input prices via risk sharing agreements. This forces producers, in a competitive environment, to minimize costs. The latter is completed with a description of their investment decision-making mechanism, in which investment is determined by cost, and a measure of Tobin's q. The main contributions of this study are: the use of a proprietary and complete industry data set that allows one (a) to set up the short run input and output price relationships; (b) to model the optimizing behaviour of the sector via a flexible cost function (translog) allowing scale economies and non-constant factor substitution; and (c) to describe the investment-process that has emerged with the introduction of LME trading. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 917-928 Issue: 8 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500061244 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500061244 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:8:p:917-928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Selcuk Caner Author-X-Name-First: Selcuk Author-X-Name-Last: Caner Author-Name: Zeynep Onder Author-X-Name-First: Zeynep Author-X-Name-Last: Onder Title: Sources of volatility in stock returns in emerging markets Abstract: In this study, the short-term fluctuations in the monthly returns on composite indexes of 17 emerging markets affected by the financial crises in the late 1990s and 2000 are decomposed with vector autoregressive estimates. The results are compared to the behaviour of variation in returns in developed markets. Three different models are estimated for each market. Due to first order autocorrelations, lagged returns contribute significantly to return volatility in emerging markets. Decomposition of variances indicates that dividend yield and interest rate are determining factors of volatility, but at varying degrees in different emerging markets. However, the role of dividend yield is not as strong as it is in the developed markets as efficient markets hypothesis would imply. In some cases, exchange rates significantly influence market volatility. Fluctuations in the world portfolio return have a small effect on return volatility in national markets. However, there are significant differences across all emerging markets that point to differences in market structures and particular conditions in each country. Significant contributions of interest rates, exchange rates and inflation imply the role of monetary and fiscal policy as precedents of financial crises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 929-941 Issue: 8 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500061046 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500061046 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:8:p:929-941 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Perez-Mayo Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Mayo Title: Identifying deprivation profiles in Spain: a new approach Abstract: Usually, an indirect approach for measuring deprivation or poverty is used with poverty lines. However, some studies have used a direct approach to measure deprivation or poverty. The aim of this study is improving the identification of the poor people. The central point of the concept of deprivation used is related to the opportunity to have or do something. Therefore, deprivation means an inability to get the goods, facilities and opportunities, which are usual in the household environment. Since all of the needed variables are categorical, the latent class model is used to solve this problem because it is the best model to achieve this objective. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 943-955 Issue: 8 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500060972 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500060972 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:8:p:943-955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Alberta Oliveira Author-X-Name-First: Maria Alberta Author-X-Name-Last: Oliveira Author-Name: Carlos Santos Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Santos Title: Assessing school efficiency in Portugal using FDH and bootstrapping Abstract: This study explores a new data set that contains information both on inputs and outputs for a sample of Portuguese secondary schools. An FDH reference technology is used to determine radial technical efficiency scores and slacks. Although it is known that there is no reason to assume convexity in the study of education efficiency frontiers, this is the first study ever to use FDH at the school level, effectively relaxing the convexity assumption. A two-stage approach is used, whereby the significant environmental variables that explain FDH efficiency scores and slacks are identified. For the purpose of statistical inference, the first application of the bootstrapping algorithms suggested by Simar and Wilson (2003) is conducted. The study concludes that the unemployment rate, access to health care services, adult education and living infrastructures are determinants of school efficiency. The differences between the coast and the interior of Portugal seem to be more relevant, as far as school efficiency is concerned, than whether or not the school belongs to one of the major coast metropolitan areas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 957-968 Issue: 8 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500061095 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500061095 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:8:p:957-968 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Hauner Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hauner Title: Explaining efficiency differences among large German and Austrian banks Abstract: Cost-efficiency, scale efficiency, and productivity change are estimated by data envelopment analysis; and cost-efficiency is regressed on explanatory variables. No evidence is found for average productivity responding to deregulation over the period studied. State-owned banks are found to be more cost-efficient (likely owing to cheaper funds) and cooperative banks to be about as cost-efficient as private banks. Increasing economies of scale but decreasing economies of scope provide rationale for M&As among banks with similar product portfolios. Interbank and capital market funding is found to be more cost-efficient than deposits when the cost of retail networks is controlled. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 969-980 Issue: 9 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500081820 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500081820 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:9:p:969-980 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Hayford Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Hayford Title: Fiscal policy and national saving Abstract: This paper uses structural vector autoregressions along with structural measures of fiscal policy to measure the dynamic impact of fiscal policy shocks on the output gap and national saving. Positive shocks to government purchases and negative shocks to real net taxes are found to increase the output gap. Positive shocks to the government's structural surplus increases national saving although the effects are small. Positive shocks to government purchases are found to substantially reduce national saving. Negative shocks to real net tax revenues as a share of potential GDP have a small negative impact on national saving. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 981-992 Issue: 9 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500109118 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500109118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:9:p:981-992 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-Hua Shen Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Cost efficiency and banking performances in a partial universal banking system: application of the panel smooth threshold model Abstract: This paper studies the cost efficiency of bank in a partial universal banking system (PUBS), Taiwan. Instead of assuming one common technology in the bank cost function, two technologies are assumed to be imbedded in the cost function. Fee revenues are used as threshold to divide the banks into two technologies. A bank whose fee revenues exceeding the threshold is designated as universal bank technology while falling below the threshold is designated as traditional deposit-loan technology. The panel smooth transition model is adopted, which allows banks to smoothly adjust between the two technologies. Two criteria are suggested, overbanking and the trend-toward-fee revenues, to assess the new model's performances. With respect to scale economies, the results do find a panel smooth transition model yield more reasonable results than the conventional OLS and random effect of panel data approach. Based on the panel smooth transition model, the optimal fixed asset size is around ten billion New Taiwan dollars. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 993-1009 Issue: 9 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500076838 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500076838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:9:p:993-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angel Alanon Author-X-Name-First: Angel Author-X-Name-Last: Alanon Author-Name: M. Gomez-Antonio Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gomez-Antonio Title: Estimating the size of the shadow economy in Spain: a structural model with latent variables Abstract: There has recently been a revival of international interest in measuring the size of the shadow economy. The current study adopts an approach to the Spanish case that is based on the theory of unobservable variables. This methodology involves the estimation of structural models (MIMIC) which analyses a set of causes of the shadow economy while simultaneously taking into account its influence upon a series of indicators. The proposed model permits the determination of a relative evolution over time of the size of the shadow economy, which requires the calibration of the model with an exogenous estimation in order to obtain real values. The exogenous estimation employed is that obtained by a monetary method based on a money demand function. The results show a considerable shadow economy, measuring between 8 and 18.8% of GDP in the period 1976-2002, and demonstrate that the shadow economy is significantly influenced by the tax burden, the degree of regulation and unit labour costs. A positive correlation is obtained between GDP, money demand and the level of the shadow economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1011-1025 Issue: 9 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500081788 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500081788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:9:p:1011-1025 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Gorman Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Gorman Title: Estimation of an implied price elasticity of demand through current pricing practices Abstract: Researchers have long pursued better methods to estimate price elasticity of market-level demand. Due to a plethora of empirical problems, the estimates produced in many empirical studies leave researchers with wide confidence intervals that do little to clarify demand conditions. As a result, these estimates are of limited practical use to the firm facing a firm-level demand. Here, a non-statistical methodology based on seller optimization behaviour is applied that creates an 'implied elasticity' of firm-level demand that is robust, intuitively plausible and free of oppressive data requirements. These elasticities are tested in an applied setting against pricing managers' surveyed estimates for customer price sensitivity for freight rail transportation services and it is found that the estimate is consistent with their pricing behaviour. This methodology is recommended for creating a simple, plausible starting point estimate for firm-level price elasticities, or using this calculation as an input to statistical studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1027-1035 Issue: 9 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500091969 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500091969 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:9:p:1027-1035 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Faria Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Faria Author-Name: Paul Fenn Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Fenn Author-Name: Alistair Bruce Author-X-Name-First: Alistair Author-X-Name-Last: Bruce Title: Production technologies and technical efficiency: evidence from Portuguese manufacturing industry Abstract: This paper aims to test whether a given type of process innovation, namely flexible production technologies (FPTs), contributes to increased firm efficiency. Using one-year firm data from the Portuguese manufacturing industry and applying a parametric stochastic frontier approach, individual technical efficiencies are obtained and their determinants simultaneously estimated, using a single-step procedure recently proposed by Battese and Coelli (1995). The results support the hypothesis that technological flexibility, measured through the use of FPTs, is important in explaining differences in efficiency. Furthermore, given the specifications of the stochastic frontier function, the null hypothesis that Portuguese firms are fully technically efficient is rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1037-1046 Issue: 9 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500109191 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500109191 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:9:p:1037-1046 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andries de Grip Author-X-Name-First: Andries Author-X-Name-Last: de Grip Author-Name: Inge Sieben Author-X-Name-First: Inge Author-X-Name-Last: Sieben Title: The effects of human resource management on small firms' productivity and employees' wages Abstract: This paper analyses whether employees and firms differently benefit from particular human resource (HR) practices. The focus is on small firms that may be badly informed on the impact of HR practices on firm performance. In this study on Dutch pharmacies, it is found that firms do not reward employees' skills according to their contribution to firms' productivity, as (1) employees are over-rewarded for their sector-specific skills and under-rewarded for the productivity enhancing effect of their computer skills and (2) employees' work experience positively affects their wages but does not have real productivity effects. Moreover, it is found that training employees in case of vacancy problems seems to be an adequate HR practice, since it increases productivity without affecting the average wage level. The opposite holds for offering higher wages to newly recruited employees. Furthermore, we find that only the employees benefit from performance evaluation interviews, whereas employing many employees by temporary contracts appears to have a negative effect on productivity, without affecting the wage level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1047-1054 Issue: 9 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500092074 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500092074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:9:p:1047-1054 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Darrat Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Darrat Author-Name: Fatima Al-Shamsi Author-X-Name-First: Fatima Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Shamsi Title: On the path of integration in the Gulf region Abstract: It is examined whether the six countries comprising the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) are sufficiently compatible to form a viable economic and financial block in the Gulf region. Despite long and numerous governmental attempts since the mid 1980s, and in spite of public pressures to expedite the process, these countries have thus far failed to achieve full economic and financial integration. Empirical evidence suggests that this apparent failure is unlikely the outcome of economic or financial incompatibility among the countries in the region. The results imply that more efforts should be directed at resolving possible sociopolitical differences that may have hampered real progress toward the emergence of a genuine and effective bloc in the Gulf region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1055-1062 Issue: 9 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500109027 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500109027 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:9:p:1055-1062 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: New evidence on purchasing power parity from 17 OECD countries Abstract: There is a large literature that investigates whether or not real exchange rates are stationary in an attempt to unravel support for purchasing power parity (PPP). At best, the empirical results are mixed. This paper applies a unit root test that allows for a simultaneous structural break in the intercept and slope, shown by Sen (2003) to minimize power distortions, to examine PPP for 17 OECD countries. Our results on PPP are mixed. When the real exchange rate is based on the US dollar, evidence is found of PPP for only France, Portugal and Denmark. When the real exchange rate is based on the Deutschmark, we find evidence of PPP for Austria, Belgium, Norway, Spain, Netherlands, Switzerland, and Denmark. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1063-1071 Issue: 9 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500081713 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500081713 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:9:p:1063-1071 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arnaud Dupuy Author-X-Name-First: Arnaud Author-X-Name-Last: Dupuy Author-Name: Lex Borghans Author-X-Name-First: Lex Author-X-Name-Last: Borghans Title: Supply and demand, allocation and wage inequality: an international comparison Abstract: An allocation model of workers differentiated by their field of study is developed to test whether international differences in the wage structure can be explained by differences in labour demand and supply in each country. The model explicitly takes into account the effects of supply and demand shifts on the allocation structure to disentangle country specific differences in the recruitment for one occupation from real supply-demand effects. Empirical results based on data for nine countries show that cross-country differences in wage inequality explain at least two-third of the differences in labour demand and supply. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1073-1088 Issue: 9 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500076671 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500076671 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:9:p:1073-1088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Torben Andersen Author-X-Name-First: Torben Author-X-Name-Last: Andersen Author-Name: Tryggvi Thor Herbertsson Author-X-Name-First: Tryggvi Thor Author-X-Name-Last: Herbertsson Title: Quantifying globalization Abstract: Globalization is much debated, but is it possible to make reliable ranks of which countries are the most integrated internationally? Traditionally resort is taken to trade measures, but even considering only economic integration this measure disregards a number of aspects. This paper proposes a single measure or index of globalization based on several indicators of economic integration combined by use of the multivariate technique of factor analysis. The index is calculated for 23 OECD countries, and among the findings are that Ireland is ranked as the most globalized country during the 1990s, while the UK was at the top during the 1980s. Some of the most notable changes in the rankings are the decline of the USA, Canada, and to a lesser extent Japan and Norway. There are notable improvements in the ranking for Finland, Italy, Portugal, Spain and Sweden. For Portugal and Spain the changes seem to follow EU membership in the mid-1980s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1089-1098 Issue: 10 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500118200 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500118200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:10:p:1089-1098 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sonya Kostova Huffman Author-X-Name-First: Sonya Kostova Author-X-Name-Last: Huffman Author-Name: Helen Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Title: Linkages among welfare, food assistance programmes and labour supply: evidence from the survey of programme dynamics Abstract: At the centre of the debate on welfare reform is whether incentives-based systems help poor families move out of poverty into jobs. Recent data from the first Survey of Programme Dynamics longitudinal and the 1998 experimental data files allow evaluation of the interaction among the Food Stamp Programme (FSP), Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) programme and labour force participation under different programme design and economic conditions. A model that incorporates jointly determined programmes participation and work decisions is applied to a sample of working age, lower income and asset households. Participation in TANF increases the probability of FSP participation and decreases the probability of being in the work force; working decreases the probability of receiving food stamps. Work, TANF, and FSP participation are related, and TANF and FSP participation rates among poor households who are potentially eligible for TANF are sensitive to changes in programme parameters; as expected, labour force participation is affected by the general economic conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1099-1113 Issue: 10 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500109126 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500109126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:10:p:1099-1113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pekka Ilmakunnas Author-X-Name-First: Pekka Author-X-Name-Last: Ilmakunnas Author-Name: Mika Maliranta Author-X-Name-First: Mika Author-X-Name-Last: Maliranta Title: Worker inflow, outflow, and churning Abstract: Linked employer-employee data from Finnish business sector is used in analysing worker turnover. The data set is an unbalanced panel with over 219 000 observations in 1991-97. The churning (excess worker turnover), worker inflow, and worker outflow rates are explained by plant and employee characteristics. The probabilities of observing non-zero churning, inflow, and outflow rates increase with plant size. The magnitudes of the non-zero churning and inflow rates depend positively on size, but the magnitude of outflow rate depends negatively on size. High-wage plants have low turnover; plants with large within-plant variation in wages have high turnover. Average tenure of employees has a negative impact on turnover. High plant employment growth increases churning and separation but reduces hiring in the next year. Also controlled are average age and education of employees, shares of women and homeowners among employees, foreign ownership, ownership changes, and regional unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1115-1133 Issue: 10 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500109621 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500109621 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:10:p:1115-1133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Larch Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Larch Author-Name: Matteo Salto Author-X-Name-First: Matteo Author-X-Name-Last: Salto Title: Fiscal rules, inertia and discretionary fiscal policy Abstract: In current practice, changes in the cyclically-adjusted budget balance (CAB) are interpreted as reflecting the effort of discretionary fiscal policy. This paper shows that such an interpretation is not a sufficiently accurate description of the behaviour of fiscal policy, as, in some cases, it may conceal an important deficit bias. Specifically, as growth projections are an important building block of budgetary plans, systematic optimism in forecasting growth, coupled with pervasive lags and inertia in the implementation phase of the budget, will result in a fiscal expansion compared to plans, even in the absence of discretionary measures. In order to track down this kind of passive behaviour in the light of growth surprises or sanguine growth assumptions the traditional reading of the CAB needs to be adjusted. This is achieved by relaxing the benchmark assumption according to which, under unchanged fiscal policy, the deficit-to-GDP ratio is invariant to growth. An empirical application to public finance data of four large EU countries shows that passive behaviour is an important element in practice, as forecast errors are significant in explaining changes in the CAB. Moreover, in some cases official growth forecasts appear to have a clear upward bias. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1135-1146 Issue: 10 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500109589 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500109589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:10:p:1135-1146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yener Kandogan Author-X-Name-First: Yener Author-X-Name-Last: Kandogan Title: Power analysis of the Nice Treaty on the future of European integration Abstract: Power analysis of changes in voting weights and rules in the Nice Treaty is done by applying methods that use Shapley-Shubik and Banzhaf indices. Significant decreases in voting power of small countries make widening of integration more acceptable to incumbent members due to small size of the applicants. Relative increases in the conciliatory power of smaller members, and relative increases in the independent power of bigger members make smaller members compromise more, and improve the position of large members for further deepening of the integration. Lastly, the fairness analysis reveals a more federalist EU in the way votes are distributed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1147-1156 Issue: 10 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500109498 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500109498 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:10:p:1147-1156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: The structure of tourist expenditure in Fiji: evidence from unit root structural break tests Abstract: The central aim of this paper is to investigate whether shocks to Fiji's tourism industry have a permanent effect or a transitory effect on tourist expenditure in Fiji. To accomplish this aim the Zivot and Andrews (1992) one break test and the Lumsdaine and Papell (1997) two break tests are used. The one break and two break tests reveal 1987 - the year of the military coups in Fiji - as the year of the break. Moreover, it is possible to reject the unit root null leading to the conclusion that shocks to Fiji's tourism industry have a transitory effect on tourist expenditure in Fiji. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1157-1161 Issue: 10 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500109373 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500109373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:10:p:1157-1161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Author-Name: Richard Just Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Just Title: Empirical modelling of the aggregation error in the representative consumer model Abstract: This paper examines different approaches to modelling the aggregation error associated with the representative consumer model. Each approach is based on an analytical framework intended for modelling aggregate time series data on quantities and prices with potential additional measures of income distribution. Simple functions that track aggregation error over time are found to perform better than more complex and theoretically sophisticated models. An explanation is given based on typical time series characteristics of economic data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1163-1175 Issue: 10 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500123101 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500123101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:10:p:1163-1175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Nergiz Dincer Author-X-Name-First: Nergiz Author-X-Name-Last: Dincer Title: Denomination composition of trade and trade balance: evidence from Turkey Abstract: The currency denominations of a country's exports and imports are not necessarily the same. If this is the case, then a change in the exchange rate parity among major currencies will affect the trade balance. The empirical evidence provided from Turkey - where exports are mostly denominated in Euros and imports are mostly denominated in USD - suggests that an appreciation of the Euro against the USD would increase the output in the long-run, appreciate the local currency and improve the trade balance for the 1985:01 2003:07 period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1177-1191 Issue: 10 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500109159 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500109159 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:10:p:1177-1191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitris Christopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Christopoulos Author-Name: John Loizides Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Loizides Author-Name: Efthymios Tsionas Author-X-Name-First: Efthymios Author-X-Name-Last: Tsionas Title: The Abrams curve of government size and unemployment: evidence from panel data Abstract: This study investigates the long run relationship between government size and unemployment rate, the Abrams curve, using ten European countries over the period 1961-1999. To this end, panel cointegration analysis and estimation techniques appropriate for heterogeneous panels are made use of. The results support the idea that there is an Abrams curve, and the relation between government size and the unemployment rate is positive. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1193-1199 Issue: 10 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500109274 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500109274 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:10:p:1193-1199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mustafa Besim Author-X-Name-First: Mustafa Author-X-Name-Last: Besim Author-Name: Glenn Jenkins Author-X-Name-First: Glenn Author-X-Name-Last: Jenkins Title: Tax compliance: when do employees behave like the self-employed? Abstract: Previous studies of the underreporting of income for tax purposes have used private employees as the benchmark to which other groups' compliance was measured. In this paper it is suggested that there are a number of circumstances when there will be an incentive for private employees and their employers to collude to understate employee wages and salaries for purposes of taxation. The existence of high marginal tax rates of income tax combined with high social security payroll taxes are the typical conditions that stimulate this behaviour. These conditions are present in North Cyprus. This paper examines a rich source of household consumption expenditure and income data for North Cyprus that allows one to separate out the consumption expenditures made by the self-employed, private employees and civil servants over specific periods of time. From the comparison of consumption expenditures on food by these three groups it is possible to estimate how much self-employed and the private employees understated their incomes as compared to the civil servants. It is found that in North Cyprus private employees understate their incomes by approximately the same proportion of their incomes as do the self-employed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1201-1208 Issue: 10 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500109407 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500109407 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:10:p:1201-1208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Christopher McIntosh Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: McIntosh Title: Numeraire choice in agricultural supply analysis Abstract: Should the choice of numeraire price for modelling profit functions be arbitrary, or is more careful study needed? Here, the choice of numeraire is examined using tests for models specification and out-of-sample predictive accuracy based on the crop and livestock data obtained from Iowa. The results of this study indicate that, for this data set and functional form, it does indeed make a difference which numeraire you choose. This is in contrast to previous studies which, in general, indicated that the choice of numeraire equation is arbitrary or, more commonly, offered no justification for the netput chosen. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1209-1214 Issue: 11 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500142085 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500142085 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:11:p:1209-1214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Bivin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bivin Title: Gauging the performance of the linear-quadratic inventory model Abstract: The explanatory and predictive abilities of the infinite-horizon linear-quadratic inventory model are gauged using the flexible-accelerator model as a baseline. Tests of explanatory power for six nondurables industries indicate that the flexible accelerator has superior explanatory power for inventories and output in the majority of industries. Tests of predictive ability during the late 1990s also support the superiority of the flexible-accelerator model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1215-1231 Issue: 11 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500118317 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500118317 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:11:p:1215-1231 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Barreiro Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Barreiro Author-Name: Mercedes Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez Author-Name: Montserrat Viladrich-Grau Author-X-Name-First: Montserrat Author-X-Name-Last: Viladrich-Grau Title: How much are people willing to pay for silence? A contingent valuation study Abstract: Despite its major importance in the urban environment, the problem of noise has received little attention from environmental economists. In this paper the economic value of a noise reduction programme is evaluated. The chosen technique is contingent valuation using the recently proposed one and one-half bound question format. This new question format reduces the potential for response bias in multiple bound formats such as the double bound model while maintaining much of its efficiency. Through the estimations it is found that urban residents generally value noise negatively, that is, households are willing to pay for a noise reduction. In particular, it is found that households are willing to pay approximately four euros per decibel per year. A further finding is that interviewees show scope sensitivity; that is, households display a different willingness to pay for different degrees of noise reduction, most are willing to pay more for larger decreases in the level of disturbance from noise. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1233-1246 Issue: 11 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500123234 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500123234 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:11:p:1233-1246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Brox Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Brox Author-Name: Christina Fader Author-X-Name-First: Christina Author-X-Name-Last: Fader Title: Infrastructure investment and Canadian manufacturing productivity Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between Canadian public infrastructure and private output using a Constant Elasticity and Substitution-Translog (CES-TL) cost model to describe the interaction of the public and private sectors. We find public capital a substitute for private capital within the Canadian manufacturing sector. Additionally, the services of public capital enhance the productivity of private capital. Canadian manufacturing costs are characterized by economies of scale, indicating that less than optimal plant sizes dominated Canadian manufacturing sector during the study period. Advances in disembodied technical progress are also indicated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1247-1256 Issue: 11 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500118382 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500118382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:11:p:1247-1256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. M. Binner Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Binner Author-Name: R. K. Bissoondeeal Author-X-Name-First: R. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Bissoondeeal Author-Name: A. W. Mullineux Author-X-Name-First: A. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Mullineux Title: A composite leading indicator of the inflation cycle for the Euro area Abstract: We evaluate the performance of composite leading indicators of turning points of inflation in the Euro area, constructed by combining the techniques of Fourier analysis and Kalman filters with the National Bureau of Economic Research methodology. In addition, the study compares the empirical performance of Euro Simple Sum and Divisia monetary aggregates and provides a tentative answer to the issue of whether or not the UK should join the Euro area. Our findings suggest that, first, the cyclical pattern of the different composite leading indicators very closely reflect that of the inflation cycle for the Euro area; second, the empirical performance of the Euro Divisia is better than its Simple Sum counterpart and third, the UK is better out of the Euro area. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1257-1266 Issue: 11 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500082133 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500082133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:11:p:1257-1266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Moreno Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno Author-Name: Paulina Marco Author-X-Name-First: Paulina Author-X-Name-Last: Marco Author-Name: Ignacio Olmeda Author-X-Name-First: Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Olmeda Title: Risk forecasting models and optimal portfolio selection Abstract: This study analyses, from an investor's perspective, the performance of several risk forecasting models in obtaining optimal portfolios. The plausibility of the homoscedastic hypothesis implied in the classical Markowitz model is dicussed and more general models which take into account assymetry and time varying risk are analysed. Specifically, it studies whether ARCH-type based models obtain portfolios whose risk-adjusted returns exceed those of the classical Markowitz model. The same analysis is performed with models based on the Lower Partial Moment (LPM) which take into account the assymetry in the distribution of returns. The results suggest that none of the models achieve a clearly superior average performance. It is also found that models based on semivariance perform as well as those based on the variance, but not better than, even if the evaluation criterion is based on the Reward-to-Semivariance ratio. When attention turns to the analysis of worst case performance, the results are clearly different. Models which employ LPM with a high degree of risk aversion (n>2) as the risk measure are consistently superior to those which employ a symmetric measure, either homoscedastic or heteroscedastic. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1267-1281 Issue: 11 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500109142 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500109142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:11:p:1267-1281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jon Gjerde Author-X-Name-First: Jon Author-X-Name-Last: Gjerde Author-Name: Sverre Grepperud Author-X-Name-First: Sverre Author-X-Name-Last: Grepperud Author-Name: Snorre Kverndokk Author-X-Name-First: Snorre Author-X-Name-Last: Kverndokk Title: On adaptation and the demand for health Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to analyse the impacts of adaptation to failing health. This is done by integrating adaptation processes in a Grossman type of pure consumption model. Model simulations show that adaptation affects the health variables by lowering the incentives to invest in health, as well as smoothing the optimal health stock path over the life cycle. Whether or not the risk of mortality is an object of choice has important effects when studying adaptation, as well as for the joint development of the health variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1283-1301 Issue: 11 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500118663 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500118663 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:11:p:1283-1301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodolfo Hoffmann Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffmann Author-Name: Ana Lucia Kassouf Author-X-Name-First: Ana Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Kassouf Title: Deriving conditional and unconditional marginal effects in log earnings equations estimated by Heckman's procedure Abstract: Although the Heckman approach has often been used in empirical analysis, the marginal effects, necessary to interpret the effect of the regressors on the dependent variable, appeared to be overlooked. Using the Heckman approach, general expressions are derived for calculating the conditional and unconditional marginal effects. Based on a sample of Brazilian women, the conditional and unconditional return to education are calculated for the logarithm of earnings equation estimated by Heckman's procedure, comparing them to the marginal effect of education obtained without correcting for selectivity bias. The same analysis is carried out for a discrete variable 'black'. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1303-1311 Issue: 11 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500118614 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500118614 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:11:p:1303-1311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredrik Heyman Author-X-Name-First: Fredrik Author-X-Name-Last: Heyman Title: Pay inequality and firm performance: evidence from matched employer-employee data Abstract: A large matched employer-employee data set for Sweden is used to test several predictions from tournament theory. For white-collar workers a positive and significant effect of intra-firm wage dispersion on profits and average pay is found, using various measures of wage dispersion. This result is robust for controlling for firm differences in human capital and firm fixed-effects as well as for instrumenting the wage dispersion variable to take into account endogeneity of wage dispersion. Using data on around 10 000 managers, a positive and significant association between pay dispersion and profits is also found for executives. Further results include a positive relationship between market demand volatility and wage dispersion, measured as coefficient of variation in managerial pay, and a negative effect of the number of managers (contestants) on managerial pay spread. The first two results are in accordance with predictions from tournament theory, while the last one is not. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1313-1327 Issue: 11 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500142101 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500142101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:11:p:1313-1327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Title: Financial development and economic growth: the case of Taiwan Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Taiwan from 1962 to 1998. Using a four-variable VAR model, the competing hypotheses of demand-following versus supply-leading are empirically tested. The results from Granger causality tests based on vector error-correction models (VECM) suggest unidirectional causality running from financial development (measured as the ratio of M2 to GDP) to economic growth. This result supports the supply-leading hypothesis for Taiwan. This finding highlights the importance of financial development in Taiwan's recent growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1329-1335 Issue: 12 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684042000338702 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684042000338702 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:12:p:1329-1335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Morana Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: The Japanese deflation: has it had real effects? Could it have been avoided? Abstract: Has deflation contributed to the long lasting stagnation of the Japanese economy? Could the Bank of Japan have stopped deflation by implementing a more expansionary monetary policy? Tentative answers are probably not to the first question, and probably yes to the second question. It is found that the total cost of deflation over the period 1995-2003 has been close to a 1.1% rate of lost GDP. Yet, on the basis of statistical significance and robustness to specification choices, this evidence is not compelling. On the other hand, the estimated positive linkage between nominal base money growth and inflation is significant and robust, even given current economic conditions. However, in order to be inflationary, monetary policy should have been more expansionary than what actually observed, even since the launch of the quantitative easing in 2001. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1337-1352 Issue: 12 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500166340 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500166340 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:12:p:1337-1352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordan Shan Author-X-Name-First: Jordan Author-X-Name-Last: Shan Title: Does financial development 'lead' economic growth? A vector auto-regression appraisal Abstract: Using a Vector Autoregression (VAR) approach, several hypotheses are re-examined suggested by the literature concerning the relationship between financial development and economic growth, investment and productivity. The models use quarterly time-series data from ten OECD countries and China. Innovation accounting or variance decomposition and impulse response function analysis is applied to examine interrelationships between variables in the VAR system and, therefore, differs from the more usual Granger causality approach. In particular, it examines the relationship between financial development proxied by total credit. At best, weak support is found for the hypothesis that financial development 'leads' economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1353-1367 Issue: 12 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500118762 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500118762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:12:p:1353-1367 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Pedro Mendi Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Mendi Title: Fractional integration in total factor productivity: evidence from US data Abstract: This study examines the stochastic properties of different measures of Total Factor Productivity (TFP) in the USA and their components using fractional integration. The results show that its structure is more complicated than expected, formed by the interaction of various seasonal and non-seasonal unit (or fractional) processes. Thus, output (measured in terms of the GDP or the business sector value added) may be modelled as a unit root; the order of integration of capital is much higher than 1 and it may be specified even as an I(2) process, while labour contains a seasonal unit root. However, in all these cases, fractional degrees of integration may be even better characterizations for these series. As a result, the TFP series appear to be seasonally fractionally integrated, with d constrained between 0.5 and 1. A deeper investigation of the orders of integration at each of the frequencies shows that the order of integration at zero plays a much more important role that the seasonal frequencies, a result that is explained by the different stochastic nature of the components underlying the TFP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1369-1383 Issue: 12 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500118721 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500118721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:12:p:1369-1383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Knut Blind Author-X-Name-First: Knut Author-X-Name-Last: Blind Author-Name: Andre Jungmittag Author-X-Name-First: Andre Author-X-Name-Last: Jungmittag Title: Trade and the impact of innovations and standards: the case of Germany and the UK Abstract: The effects of patents as indicators for innovations and standards on German trade performance are analysed in general and German-British trade in detail. The latter analysis goes a step further than the approach of Swann et al. (1996) and is based on a broader and more detailed database. The results show that Germany's export performance can primarily be explained by its innovative capacity and only to a small extent by its strength in standards. Furthermore, the results underscore the common view of the trade-fostering effect of international standards, while 'idiosyncratic' standards have ambiguous effects on exports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1385-1398 Issue: 12 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850500143294 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13504850500143294 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:12:p:1385-1398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Judy Shaw-Er Author-X-Name-First: Judy Author-X-Name-Last: Shaw-Er Author-Name: Wang Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Wang Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Author-Name: Ya-Wen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ya-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Cost structure and technological change of local public transport: the Kaohsiung City Bus case Abstract: This study has developed a translog cost function for the Kaohsiung City Bus (KCB) to analyse its cost structure and economic characteristics, based on monthly data over the time period from January 1996 to December 2000. The empirical results reveal that economies of density in the provision of bus services in Kaohsiung do prevail. The estimated marginal cost, which is less than the average cost but greater than the current bus fare, indicates that the subsidy is necessary. Due to the existence of returns to density (RTD), the KCB could obtain cost-saving benefits by extending its output scale. The KCB production technology is also not neutral. The effects of technological change on the KCB costs suggest that over the period 1996-2000 technological progress did lead to cost saving; the pure productivity growth rate increased from 0.45% in 1998 to 3% in 2000. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1399-1410 Issue: 12 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500118465 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500118465 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:12:p:1399-1410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ya-Ming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ya-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jean Kinsey Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Kinsey Title: The effect of competition on the practice of outpatient services for diabetes patients at different levels of hospitals in Taiwan Abstract: This paper empirically analyses hospital non-price competition in a market characterized by a government accreditation system in Taiwan. Outpatient services for diabetes patients were used to measure the quality of patient care in outpatient departments in three types of hospitals. The hypothesis that an increase in the number of highest accredited hospitals - medical centres - would improve the quality of care in other types of hospitals is rejected. However, after carefully controlling endogeneity and measurement error of the hospital competition index by using instrumental variables, empirical findings based on the National Health Insurance Research Database from 1997 to 1999 show that different types of hospitals may respond to competitive pressure from the various levels of hospitals differently. Positive spillover effects were found from competition from regional and district hospitals. These findings may deserve serious consideration when forming policy to allocate medical resources to different levels of hospitals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1411-1422 Issue: 12 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500118697 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500118697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:12:p:1411-1422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Ezcurra Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra Author-Name: Carlos Gil Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Author-Name: Pedro Pascual Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual Title: Regional welfare disparities: the case of the European Union Abstract: The regional welfare distribution in the European Union between 1993 and 1998 is examined, using several complementary methodologies. The results obtained show a reduction in regional welfare disparities over the period analysed. It is worth noting, in this respect, however, that regional productivity differences prove to be the main determinant behind observed welfare inequality in the European context. Moreover, there has also been a decline in regional bipolarization over the six-year contemplated, while the degree of observed intradistributional mobility is relatively low. The empirical evidence presented, nevertheless, reveals the importance of variables such as the national component, the spatial location, the regional productive structure or the percentage of GDP devoted to investment or to R&D expenditure, in accounting for the dynamics of the distribution under analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1423-1437 Issue: 12 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500142036 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500142036 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:12:p:1423-1437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Ang Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Ang Author-Name: An-Sing Chen Author-X-Name-First: An-Sing Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: James Wuh Lin Author-X-Name-First: James Wuh Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Ascertaining the effects of employee bonus plans Abstract: The effect of employee bonus plans may be difficult to ascertain empirically if the size of bonus is not large enough in magnitude compared to base salary. This study makes use of data from Taiwan where employee bonus payments are not only mandated by law but are quite often several times a typical employee's annual base salary. The use of this unique data allows one to empirically observe interesting relationships difficult to ascertain from traditional datasets. Evidence is found that the performance of bonus-paying firms is related to the size of bonuses paid, both before and after analysis, and across industries. In general, evidence seems to indicate that bonus-paying firms tend to achieve higher productivity, better cost control and asset utilization, and share price returns. However, there may be evidence that marginal returns to employee bonuses are decreasing, reflecting the use of bonuses as substitutes for cash pay in order to attract employees in short supply. These results can serve as useful benchmarks for future studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1439-1448 Issue: 12 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500092009 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500092009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:12:p:1439-1448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Strobel Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Strobel Title: Leaving EMU: a real options perspective Abstract: The real option implicit in a country's decision of whether to leave an existing monetary union when there is uncertainty over the future benefits of this move is examined. The theoretical model used is calibrated for the current Euro-12 area by proxying policymakers' inflation preferences with unemployment rates and debt-to-GDP ratios. A robust group of countries is observed that would choose to remain within EMU consisting of Belgium, Finland, Greece and Italy; France and Spain loosely also belong to this core. Only Luxembourg would robustly want to leave EMU; Ireland and The Netherlands, however, complement that core closely. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1449-1453 Issue: 13 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500166308 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500166308 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:13:p:1449-1453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordi Pons-i-Novell Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Pons-i-Novell Author-Name: Ramon Tremosa-i-Balcells Author-X-Name-First: Ramon Author-X-Name-Last: Tremosa-i-Balcells Title: Macroeconomic effects of Catalan fiscal deficit with the Spanish state (2002-2010) Abstract: According to Eurostat Regional data for the period 1996-1999 Catalan convergence with the EU's most dynamic regions has been blocked. In this paper, with the aim to analyse how Catalonia can converge with the EU in the forthcoming years, some simulations of Catalan GDP growth in the 2010 horizon have been estimated, considering different reduction scenarios of Catalan fiscal deficit with the Spanish state (between 7-9% of Catalan yearly GDP). Looking at the results obtained, the current Catalan stagnation will persist for the next few years if the above-mentioned fiscal deficit does not change. Thus, Catalonia will only converge with most dynamic EU regions if there is a significant reduction of Catalan fiscal deficit with the Spanish state. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1455-1463 Issue: 13 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500109134 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500109134 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:13:p:1455-1463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanjin Piragic Author-X-Name-First: Sanjin Author-X-Name-Last: Piragic Author-Name: Kenneth Jameson Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Jameson Title: The determinants of Latin American exchange rate regimes Abstract: The experience of the last thirty years suggests that a wide range of factors affects policymakers' choice of exchange rate regime. The initial explanation was that changes in the international sphere dominated domestic policies and strongly influenced how governments decided among the trade-offs. More recently, domestic political factors' influence on the choice of exchange rate regimes have been emphasized, providing detailed and rich insights into the dynamics of the choice. Neither approach has been entirely successful. Both internal and external factors must be taken into account. This article builds on previous empirical work and takes into account domestic and international influences on the choice of exchange rate regimes in Latin America between 1964 and 1996. In addition, we highlight a variety of 'interactions', choices of economic policy that are affected by both national and international pressures and that, in turn, influence the choice of exchange rate regime. The empirical model uses multinomial ordered logit analysis to determine the factors in exchange rate determination and to compare the explanatory of the models with and without the interaction variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1465-1474 Issue: 13 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500193773 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500193773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:13:p:1465-1474 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Halkos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Halkos Author-Name: Christos Kitsos Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Kitsos Title: Optimal pollution level: a theoretical identification Abstract: In this paper, the optimal pollution level is identified under the assumptions of linear, quadratic and exponential cost functions. The corresponding optimal level of environmental policy is evaluated, with analytical forms in the linear and quadratic case, while in the exponential case, these values are obtained approximately. It is shown that, in principle, its existence obeys certain restrictions, which are investigated here. The evaluation of the benefit area is discussed and analytical forms for this particular area are calculated. The positive point, at least from a theoretical point of view, is that both the quadratic and the exponential case obey the same form when evaluating the benefit area. These benefit area evaluations can be used as indexes between different rival policies, and certainly the policy that produces the maximum area is the most beneficial policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1475-1483 Issue: 13 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500193625 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500193625 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:13:p:1475-1483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mita Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Mita Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Testing for the random walk hypothesis in the case of visitor arrivals: evidence from Indian tourism Abstract: Testing for the random walk hypothesis, which asserts that a series is a non-stationary process or a unit root process, in the case of visitor arrivals has important implications for policy. If, for instance, visitor arrivals are characterized by a unit root, then it implies that shocks to visitor arrivals are permanent. However, if visitor arrivals are without a unit root, this implies that shocks to visitor arrivals are temporary. This study provides evidence on the random walk hypothesis for visitor arrivals to India using the recently developed Im et al. (2003) and Maddala and Wu (1999) panel unit root tests. Both tests allow one to reject the random walk hypothesis, implying that shocks to visitor arrivals to India from the 10 major source markets have a temporary effect on visitor arrivals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1485-1490 Issue: 13 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500109332 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500109332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:13:p:1485-1490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Soo Khoon Goh Author-X-Name-First: Soo Khoon Author-X-Name-Last: Goh Title: New empirical evidence on the effects of capital controls on composition of capital flows in Malaysia Abstract: This study aims to examine the effect of capital controls on composition capital flows in Malaysia. Under predetermined exchange rate rules, the contribution of selective controls is to increase monetary autonomy, without taxing private long-term capital flow or foreign direct investment. Although the selective capital controls in Malaysia tax only some components of capital flows, the study shows, after controlling other factors, the controls not only reduce the total flows (hence increase monetary autonomy), but to some extent affected the private long-term flows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1491-1503 Issue: 13 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500118952 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500118952 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:13:p:1491-1503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Prodromos-Ioannis Prodromidis Author-X-Name-First: Prodromos-Ioannis Author-X-Name-Last: Prodromidis Title: Estimating women's time use: based on British survey evidence from 1986-1987 Abstract: The paper considers the allocation of time among working-age women in Britain using time-budget data from 1986-1987. It finds that women generally allocate 69% of their time towards non-work, 21% to unpaid work, and 10% towards paid work (which is often censored). It also estimates the coefficients of the uncensored functions and compares the findings to the outcomes of the censored labour supply regression stemming from the Selection-Bias Correction (SBC) and Tobit procedures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1505-1521 Issue: 13 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500081754 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500081754 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:13:p:1505-1521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pi-Fem Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Pi-Fem Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: Inter-industry wage premiums and industry-specific productivity in Taiwan Abstract: By using Taiwan's Manpower Utilization Survey data for the 1978-2000 period, different inter-industry wage premiums in Taiwan are observed and the impact of workers' industry-specific productivity on the wage explored. The empirical results show that industry-specific skills result in industry stayers having higher wages than industry switchers through their reservation wages. It is also found that the pre-displacement industry affiliations that are associated with the post-displacement wages are explained by the workers' unobserved abilities. Furthermore, by comparing the different residual means between industry switchers and stayers based on each industry's wage equation, it is found that the switchers are low-wage workers who tend to be located in the high-wage industries. The high-wage industry leavers are also found to have higher post-displacement wage residuals than the low-wage industry leavers. These results suggest that the differences in industry wage premiums may be explained by the industry-specific productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1523-1533 Issue: 13 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500118861 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500118861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:13:p:1523-1533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Johnston Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Johnston Title: Reward design and CEO succession in the UK Abstract: Previous research has shown that top executives often rise to the peak of their organizations after a long-term employment relationship, and that internal promotion to the top is reflected in enhanced baseline salaries. Using data from a representative sample of UK companies, the links between the fixed and variable elements of the Chief Executive Officer's compensation package are examined and whether the appointment has been promoted internally or recruited from outside of the company. From this analysis, it is concluded that the positive impact on basic pay of elevation to the top job from within the company is not present in total compensation or the structure of pay. It also emerges that although tenure does not significantly impact on the structure of pay, it does alter total reward through its impact on the value of options granted: longer company tenure reduces both the award of share options and the total value of the remuneration package; job tenure, on the other hand, raises the executive's reward primarily through its positive impact on baseline salary. Though share ownership reduces the performance sensitivity of earnings, increases in baseline salary are reflected in greater exposure to the use of share options. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1535-1541 Issue: 13 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500193914 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500193914 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:13:p:1535-1541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wen-Hsien Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Ya-Chi Lin Author-X-Name-First: Ya-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Foreign patent rights and high-tech exports: evidence from Taiwan Abstract: This paper conducts a consecutive pooled data analysis from 1989 to 2000 to investigate the relationship between foreign patent rights (FPRs) and the exports of three high-tech industries in Taiwan: the semiconductor, the information and the communication equipment industries. Following Smith's model setup, empirical results indicate that both market expansion and market power effects do exist in Taiwan's case. In addition, this paper proposes a new hypothesis in which the importing country may exhibit a stronger R&D ability than the exporting country, a case that has not been considered in earlier empirical work. Finally, a test is made to determine if a TRIPS (Trade-related Intellectual Property Rights) agreement has any impact on the FPRs-exports relationship, and no evidence is found of a structural change after the implementation of TRIPS. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1543-1555 Issue: 13 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500173155 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500173155 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:13:p:1543-1555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suheyla Ozyildirim Author-X-Name-First: Suheyla Author-X-Name-Last: Ozyildirim Author-Name: Bulent Yaman Author-X-Name-First: Bulent Author-X-Name-Last: Yaman Title: Optimal versus adequate level of international reserves: evidence for Turkey Abstract: The determination of international reserve balance for emerging economies is part of the efforts to strengthen the immunity of these economies to crises. However, there is still evidence on crises even for the countries with large foreign reserves. It has usually been experienced that the countries with greatest need for reserves economize more than others on their holdings since they might underestimate the cost of crisis. In this study, the official international reserves of Turkey are tested against optimality and adequacy. During 1988-2002, the actual reserves fell short of both the optimal and the adequate levels. They are only optimal when the expected cumulative contraction is about 5.2% of real GDP under crisis. However, early evidence from emerging economies and Turkey show that crises hit more heavily. Hence, it is found that the current financial structure in Turkey such as the absence of capital controls and a highly dollarized banking system necessitates more foreign reserves for preventing any future economic and/or financial shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1557-1569 Issue: 13 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500166373 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500166373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:13:p:1557-1569 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan Costa-Font Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Costa-Font Author-Name: Joan Rovira Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Rovira Title: Eliciting preferences for collectively financed health programmes: the 'willingness to assign' approach Abstract: Improving public involvement in health system decision making stands as a primary health policy goal. However, still limited guidance is available on how best to elicit preferences for health care programmes. This study examines a contingent choice technique to elicit preferences among health programmes, and named 'willingness to assign' (WTAS). WTAS reveals relative (monetary-based) values of a set of competing public programmes under a hypothetical healthcare budget assessment. Experimental evidence is reported from a deliberative empirical study valuing ten health programmes in the context of the Catalan Health Service. Evidence from this experimental study reveals that within the context of multiple programmes, preferences are internally more consistent and slightly less affected by 'preference reversals' as compared to values revealed from an adapted technique eliciting the willingness to pay (WTP) extra taxes. Another finding suggests that although programmes promoting health received the higher relative valuation, those promoting other health benefits were valued highly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1571-1583 Issue: 14 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500181695 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500181695 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:14:p:1571-1583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emanuele Bacchiocchi Author-X-Name-First: Emanuele Author-X-Name-Last: Bacchiocchi Author-Name: Massimo Florio Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Florio Author-Name: Mara Grasseni Author-X-Name-First: Mara Author-X-Name-Last: Grasseni Title: The missing shock: the macroeconomic impact of British Privatizations Abstract: In this paper the impact of privatization on macroeconomic performance in the United Kingdom is tested using quarterly data from 1979 to 1999. Privatization proceeds have been included in a simple analytical framework dealing with both demand and supply-side of the economy. Multivariate cointegration techniques have been used in order to consider the nonstationarity of the time series involved. The empirical results show that privatizations have no long-run effects on output in the UK. This result is consistent with microeconomic evidence that shows that in the UK ownership change per se had little impact on long term productivity trends. Moreover it is found that privatization proceeds have contributed to sustaining public expenditures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1585-1596 Issue: 14 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500215170 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500215170 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:14:p:1585-1596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giovanni Russo Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Russo Author-Name: Wolter Hassink Author-X-Name-First: Wolter Author-X-Name-Last: Hassink Author-Name: Cees Gorter Author-X-Name-First: Cees Author-X-Name-Last: Gorter Title: Filling vacancies: an empirical analysis of the cost and benefit of search in the labour market Abstract: This paper investigates empirically the factors that affect the cost-benefit ratio of employers' search. The empirical analysis is based on a small Dutch data set containing individual information on filled vacancies. It is found that firms that use advertisements during recruitment are sensitive to labour market conditions; their search cost per applicant rises (drops) in tight (slack) labour markets because of the diminished ability of advertisements to generate applicants in tight labour markets. Furthermore, it is found that the high search cost incurred by posting identical vacancies is more than compensated for by the benefits from having a larger flow of applicants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1597-1606 Issue: 14 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500217069 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500217069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:14:p:1597-1606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdal Atukeren Author-X-Name-First: Erdal Author-X-Name-Last: Atukeren Title: Measuring the strength of cointegration and Granger-causality Abstract: This study uses Poskitt and Tremayne's (1987) posterior odds ratio test and the associated model portfolio approach to measure the strength of the evidence from cointegration and Granger-causality tests. As an illustration of the methodology, the bivariate relationship between money and income in Canada is re-examined using historical data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1607-1614 Issue: 14 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500214173 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500214173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:14:p:1607-1614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariarosaria Agostino Author-X-Name-First: Mariarosaria Author-X-Name-Last: Agostino Author-Name: Leone Leonida Author-X-Name-First: Leone Author-X-Name-Last: Leonida Author-Name: Francesco Trivieri Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Trivieri Title: Profits persistence and ownership: evidence from the Italian banking sector Abstract: The hypothesis that ownership structure affects persistence of profits in the Italian banking industry is tested. The time-invariant components of ROA and ROE are regressed against ownership concentration and the fraction of shares held by the major shareholders. The results show that abnormal profits increase if ownership is concentrated in foundations and banks, and decrease if market forces are allowed to operate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1615-1621 Issue: 14 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500214223 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500214223 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:14:p:1615-1621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chao-Liang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chao-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The funding for a Defined Benefit (DB) pension plan based on the fair valuation of the plan's insolvency risk Abstract: This study provides a contingent claims valuation approach model to value a sponsor's claim on a salary-related, defined benefit (DB) pension plan. The model is further developed to numerically estimate a suggested optimal contribution cost that allows the sponsor to fairly bear the risk of the plan's insolvency. The results demonstrate that the traditional actuarial valuation underestimates the cost of pension benefits, and that the normal contribution cost is not enough for the sponsor to fairly charge the value of bearing the plan's insolvency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1623-1633 Issue: 14 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500215279 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500215279 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:14:p:1623-1633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Bates Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Bates Title: Global measure of causal intensity between real and financial spheres Abstract: The lack of theoretical consensus on the causality direction between real and financial spheres as well as on the macroeconomic importance of transmission channels drive to an empirical approach of the links between the two areas. The aim of this paper is to offer a method for the analysis of the causal structure between the two spheres according to the transmission channels. It becomes possible globally on short and long runs for a given country to better surround mechanisms intervening inside the feedback between real and financial areas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1635-1642 Issue: 14 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500214306 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500214306 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:14:p:1635-1642 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre Ouellette Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Ouellette Author-Name: Valerie Vierstraete Author-X-Name-First: Valerie Author-X-Name-Last: Vierstraete Title: An evaluation of the efficiency of Quebec's school boards using the Data Envelopment Analysis method Abstract: In this paper the efficiency of Quebec's school boards during a period of severe cutbacks in their finance is examined. Using Data Envelopment Analysis, the average efficiency is found to be relatively high. In spite of this, potential savings could be achieved if school boards were fully efficient. Results were found to depend heavily on school boards' socio- economic conditions, thus they were subjected to Tobit analysis and the boards' corrected efficiencies recalculated. It is concluded that inefficiencies cost 800 million dollars of which 200 million dollars come from unfavourable socio-economic conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1643-1653 Issue: 14 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500173247 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500173247 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:14:p:1643-1653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rob Euwals Author-X-Name-First: Rob Author-X-Name-Last: Euwals Author-Name: Melanie Ward Author-X-Name-First: Melanie Author-X-Name-Last: Ward Title: What matters most: teaching or research? Empirical evidence on the remuneration of British academics Abstract: This paper examines the impact of productivity on pay within academia, drawing upon a detailed dataset of academics from five old established universities. Results outline the importance of publication; grant receipt and teaching quality in the determination of pay. A large financial penalty to time out of the profession is revealed, which, with productivity variables, explains away the gender salary gap. The relationship between teaching and research is investigated, and we find some evidence in support of the hypothesis that productive researchers are successful teachers. Results on reservation salary suggest that the best academics are willing to stay within the profession. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1655-1672 Issue: 14 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500181620 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500181620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:14:p:1655-1672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pablo de Andres-Alonso Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: de Andres-Alonso Author-Name: Valentin Azofra-Palenzuela Author-X-Name-First: Valentin Author-X-Name-Last: Azofra-Palenzuela Author-Name: Gabriel de la Fuente-Herrero Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: de la Fuente-Herrero Title: Real options as a component of the market value of stocks: evidence from the Spanish Stock Market Abstract: This paper aims to examine how investors' expectations about the value of a firm's real options are reflected in the price of its stocks. If the real-option approach is correct, then the efficient-market hypothesis predicts that stock prices will reflect the available information relative to the real options held by firms and their ability to identify, acquire, maintain and exercise them. The role of investment irreversibility, operating and financial flexibility, business and geographical diversification, and size are examined as indicators of a firm's real option strategy. The empirical analysis of a panel of 101 companies listed on the Spanish Stock Exchange during the period 1991-1997 provides evidence consistent with predictions. The market value of the real option portfolio is significantly and positively related to business diversification, asset irreversibility and operating leverage, and negatively related to size. In addition, financial leverage and geographical diversification are not significantly related to our proxies for the market value of real options. These results are robust even after controlling for industry, and alternative measures of investment flexibility and business diversification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1673-1691 Issue: 14 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500181778 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500181778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:14:p:1673-1691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Damiano Kulundu Manda Author-X-Name-First: Damiano Kulundu Author-X-Name-Last: Manda Author-Name: Arne Bigsten Author-X-Name-First: Arne Author-X-Name-Last: Bigsten Author-Name: Germano Mwabu Author-X-Name-First: Germano Author-X-Name-Last: Mwabu Title: Trade union membership and earnings in Kenyan manufacturing firms Abstract: This study analyses the effect of trade unions on male earnings in the Kenyan manufacturing sector using a regression method, which takes into account endogeneity of the union status of workers. In contrast to earlier studies of the Kenyan labour market that report a negative effect of unions on wages, a positive effect is found. The study further shows that elite workers tend to abstain from union membership. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1693-1704 Issue: 15 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500118903 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500118903 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:15:p:1693-1704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca Pieroni Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Pieroni Author-Name: Matteo Ricciarelli Author-X-Name-First: Matteo Author-X-Name-Last: Ricciarelli Title: Testing rational expectations in primary commodity markets Abstract: The standard method used to test the rational expectations hypothesis (REH) in primary commodity markets is by means of a structural approach. In this paper, a parsimonious vector error correction model in the price and stock equation is derived that maintains almost complete information of the underlying structural model. The empirical section utilizes 1955-2000 US copper data to investigate the properties of the model extended to the macroeconomic variables. The estimation results are statistically robust and are in keeping with economic theory. Three different results are found: (i) price adjustments depend on the short-run dynamic of the stock equation, whereas the long-run dynamic is statistically rejected; (ii) the over-identification restrictions, including the test for the REH, are not rejected; (iii) the forecast simulations on price are well performed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1705-1718 Issue: 15 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500173205 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500173205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:15:p:1705-1718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lukas Menkhoff Author-X-Name-First: Lukas Author-X-Name-Last: Menkhoff Author-Name: Ulrich Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Ulrich Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: The use of trading strategies by fund managers: some first survey evidence Abstract: A questionnaire survey has found that most fund managers rely on the strategies of buy-&-hold, momentum and contrarian trading. These strategies are typically applied mutually. Their use is rooted in the attributes and beliefs of the respective fund managers: buy-&-hold traders are fundamentally oriented, risk averse and are less (over)confident than others. Momentum traders appear as the least risk-averse professionals, going aggressively with the trend. Contrarian traders, however, show signs of overconfidence and peculiar risk aversion, both indicating difficulties in successful strategy implementation. The behavioural patterns revealed are not easily reconciled with efficient markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1719-1730 Issue: 15 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500217606 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500217606 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:15:p:1719-1730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Scott Hacker Author-X-Name-First: R. Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Hacker Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: The effect of regime shifts on the long-run relationships for Swedish money demand Abstract: When the possibility of an unknown structural break is allowed and it is taken into account we find a significant long-run relationship between Swedish money demand and its determinants that is not found when no break is considered. The estimated elasticities show that money demand is more responsive to its determinants in the period after the break than before. Possible underlying reasons for the occurrence of this break and its implications are explained. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1731-1736 Issue: 15 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500215444 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500215444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:15:p:1731-1736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dirk Bezemer Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Bezemer Author-Name: Kelvin Balcombe Author-X-Name-First: Kelvin Author-X-Name-Last: Balcombe Author-Name: Junior Davis Author-X-Name-First: Junior Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Author-Name: Iain Fraser Author-X-Name-First: Iain Author-X-Name-Last: Fraser Title: Livelihoods and farm efficiency in rural Georgia Abstract: This study contributes to the literature on the role of livelihood strategies in rural growth and poverty reduction. It distinguishes between livelihood diversity strategies that contribute to sustainable growth in household incomes, and those that mainly have a 'coping' function. It suggests that typically, the contribution of livelihood diversity to growing household income is through relaxing dependence on credit for access to capital. In this scenario, livelihood diversity would lead to higher technical efficiency in agriculture via investment and thereby to higher household incomes. Survey data from Georgia are introduced and used to test these hypotheses using a Bayesian stochastic frontier approach. The findings are relevant to defining more clearly the scope and aims of policies to stimulate the rural non-farm economy in developing and transition countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1737-1745 Issue: 15 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500215253 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500215253 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:15:p:1737-1745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ebru Guven Solakoglu Author-X-Name-First: Ebru Guven Author-X-Name-Last: Solakoglu Author-Name: Barry Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Title: The effects of railroad development on price convergence among the states of the USA from 1866 to 1906 Abstract: This study examines the effects of the reduced transaction costs on the price behaviours in the second half of the nineteenth century, where declines in transaction costs were mainly caused by railroad development during this period. It employs a panel test introduced by Levin and Lin (1992) on the convergence of wheat and corn prices using a panel of 48 US states from 1866 to 1906. The results show that, by decreasing transportation costs, railroads played an important role in price convergence among states of the USA for wheat and corn during the postbellum period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1747-1761 Issue: 15 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/0003684052000344849 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0003684052000344849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:15:p:1747-1761 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stanley Kardasz Author-X-Name-First: Stanley Author-X-Name-Last: Kardasz Author-Name: Kenneth Stollery Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Stollery Title: Exchange rate pass-through in Canadian manufacturing: its direct and indirect components Abstract: Changes in the exchange rate have direct and indirect effects on the prices of domestically produced goods and imports in the domestic market. The direct effects originate with the impact of the exchange rate on the marginal cost of imports; the indirect effects, with its impact on the price of materials used by domestic producers and hence on their marginal costs. Direct and indirect exchange rate pass-through elasticities are estimated for 37 Canadian manufacturing industries and their determinants are examined in a cross-section analysis. It is found that the direct and indirect elasticities are approximately equal in size for domestic goods, while the direct effect is dominant for imports. For a small number of industries, the net result of the direct and indirect effects is that a depreciation of the domestic currency increases the competitiveness of imports, contrary to conventional analysis. Important determinants of the direct (indirect) elasticities are the import share and non-tariff barriers (the responsiveness of domestic costs to changes in the exchange rate, and concentration). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1763-1776 Issue: 15 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500215683 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500215683 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:15:p:1763-1776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Athanasia Mavrommati Author-X-Name-First: Athanasia Author-X-Name-Last: Mavrommati Author-Name: Athanasios Papadopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Papadopoulos Title: Measuring advertising intensity and intangible capital in the Greek food industry Abstract: The objective of the present paper is to examine market conduct and its determinants in the Greek food industry and to measure how and to what degree the industry and the firm's structural characteristics affect advertising intensity. An advertising intensity model giving emphasis to intangible capital is formulated. Data from ICAP have been used on a four-digit classification for the food industry during the 1990-1997 period. The empirical results indicate that intangible capital positively affects the advertising intensity of the firm and plays an important role in strategies that affect total cost, demand and structure of the market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1777-1787 Issue: 15 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500217267 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500217267 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:15:p:1777-1787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huilin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Huilin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Ryh-Song Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Ryh-Song Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: The interdependence between FDI and R&D: an application of an endogenous switching model to Taiwan's electronics industry Abstract: Foreign direct investment (FDI) and research & development (R&D) are mutually dependent and should be treated as endogenous variables in empirical studies. An endogenous switching regression model is used to examine the mutual effect of FDI and R&D in Taiwan's electronics industry. The empirical results show that FDI and R&D are positively related and do reinforce each other. Unbiased coefficients are obtained as they are compared to those estimates if FDI and R&D are treated as exogenous variables. The results have a strong public policy implication for Taiwan's foreign direct investment and can be further used to estimate the difference in R&D expenditures between FDI and non-FDI firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1789-1799 Issue: 15 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500217093 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500217093 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:15:p:1789-1799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Browne Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Browne Author-Name: David Doran Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Doran Title: Do equity index industry groups improve forecasts of inflation and production? A US analysis Abstract: This study develops a new financial market indicator, which may be a useful addition to analysing real activity in the US. By taking the ratio of the price return of equity industry groups of the S&P 500 over a benchmark industry group, in this case taken to be the Utilities industry group, an indicator is created which represents the price return performance specific to each individual industry. We then perform recursive pseudo out-of-sample bivariate forecasts of future changes in the Industrial Production Index (IPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 3-month, 6-month and 12-month horizons using each of the indicators and compare results against an AR forecast. The results of the bivariate forecasts using a number of the indicators produce better forecasts of changes in the IPI and are also significant for causality, both for the full sample period and when tested recursively. Bivariate forecasts of changes to the CPI, however, do not improve upon the AR forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1801-1812 Issue: 15 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500215394 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500215394 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:15:p:1801-1812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Paul Chavas Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Chavas Author-Name: Kwansoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kwansoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Cointegration relationships and hedonic pricing of differentiated commodities: an application to price dynamics in the US dairy sector Abstract: This study investigates the implications of hedonic pricing for price dynamics of differentiated commodities. A conceptual model of hedonic pricing is developed under a Leontief technology, showing how commodity prices reflect the underlying value of their components. Implications for the existence of cointegration relationships among commodity prices are derived. An application to the pricing and dynamics of selected US dairy commodities is presented. It provides evidence on the role of component valuation in the dynamics of dairy commodity prices in the short run as well as in the long run. Distinguishing between market regime and government regime (when the government price support is active), the analysis finds significant differences in dairy price dynamics between the two regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1813-1827 Issue: 16 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500215311 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500215311 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:16:p:1813-1827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Arango Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Arango Author-Name: Carlos Posada Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Posada Title: Labour participation in Colombia Abstract: A model is estimated for the decision of participating in the labour market for different groups of household members: not coupled (single, divorced and widow) women and men and coupled (married and in permanent union) women and men. The differences among these groups are significant. Probit models are estimated for the period 1984 : 1-2000 : 4 using the National Housing Survey. The neoclassical static model performs fairly well in describing the empirical determinants of the decision of participating. In terms of sign and significance of estimated coefficients the best performance of the model is reached for women. In terms of prediction the model proves useful for not coupled persons. Except for the variable named 'children aged less than six years', all variables perform well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1829-1838 Issue: 16 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500118994 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500118994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:16:p:1829-1838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: Zero observations and gender differences in cigarette consumption Abstract: Censoring mechanisms and gender differences are investigated for cigarette consumption by individuals in the USA. The Gaussian single-hurdle model is proposed which generalizes the specifications of Cragg (1971) and Heckman (1979) and allows examination of the empirical relevance of the two censoring mechanisms in the existing double-hurdle model. The proposed model performs better than Cragg's and Heckman's models but not as well as the double-hurdle model and also produces different elasticity estimates. The hypothesis of equal consumption parameters is rejected and demand elasticities found to differ between men and women. Income does not play a role and age has conflicting effects on the probability and level of cigarette smoking. Older individuals are less likely to smoke but, conditional on smoking, consume more cigarettes than their younger counterparts. Education has negative effects on the probability and level of smoking and can be an effective tool to curtail cigarette smoking. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1839-1849 Issue: 16 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500214322 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500214322 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:16:p:1839-1849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajesh Mehta Author-X-Name-First: Rajesh Author-X-Name-Last: Mehta Author-Name: Ashok Parikh Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Parikh Title: Impact of trade liberalization on import demands in India: a panel data analysis for commodity groups Abstract: The objectives of this study are to examine the impact of liberalization on price elasticities of imports at a commodity level for broad commodity groups and at an aggregate level for the Indian economy over the period 1993-1997. Liberalization is implemented by reducing tariff and non-tariff barriers and relaxing exchange controls. The impact of tariffs and market based exchange rate is introduced in the import price of the commodity. Relative price (import/domestic) elasticities for each commodity group using panel data of six countries over five years are estimated. For the Indian economy, relative price elasticities for each of the years at an aggregate level using data for twenty commodity groups as observations are obtained and these show that the price elasticity tends to rise with the increase in liberalization when tariff rates are reduced. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1851-1863 Issue: 16 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500217945 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500217945 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:16:p:1851-1863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vasilios Patsouratis Author-X-Name-First: Vasilios Author-X-Name-Last: Patsouratis Author-Name: Zoe Frangouli Author-X-Name-First: Zoe Author-X-Name-Last: Frangouli Author-Name: George Anastasopoulos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Anastasopoulos Title: Competition in tourism among the Mediterranean countries Abstract: This paper examines tourism competition among the Mediterranean countries with particular emphasis on Greece. The estimated model includes as explanatory variables an income index, a price index of the host country, a price index of the competitors (Spain, Portugal and Italy) and exchange rate. The results show that the main determinants of Greece's tourism demand are both price indexes and exchange rate. They also show that Spain seems to be Greece's main competitor. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1865-1870 Issue: 16 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500217226 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500217226 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:16:p:1865-1870 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ofer Azar Author-X-Name-First: Ofer Author-X-Name-Last: Azar Title: Who do we tip and why? An empirical investigation Abstract: An important question about social norms is whether they are created to increase welfare. This is addressed by examining the characteristics of tipped and non-tipped occupations. Tipping prevalence is negatively correlated with worker's income and consumer's monitoring ability and positively with consumer's income and closeness between the worker and the consumer. The results refute a common belief that tipping exists to improve economic efficiency by lowering monitoring costs. Tipping, however, is more prevalent when consumers feel empathy and compassion for workers and want to show gratitude for good service, suggesting that tipping might increase welfare if welfare includes psychological utility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1871-1879 Issue: 16 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500119018 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500119018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:16:p:1871-1879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sohrab Abizadeh Author-X-Name-First: Sohrab Author-X-Name-Last: Abizadeh Title: An analysis of government expenditure and trade liberalization Abstract: The effect of trade liberalization on government's role in the economy is investigated. It is shown that, contrary to received expectations, as small open economies liberalize their trade, the size of government decreases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1881-1884 Issue: 16 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500173049 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500173049 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:16:p:1881-1884 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Peraita Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Peraita Title: Firm-sponsored training in regulated labour markets: evidence from Spain Abstract: Using data from the 1994 European Community Household Panel Survey, the author examines who receives formal firm-sponsored training in Spain. The author finds that the distribution of firm-sponsored training in the work force is uneven and concentrated among more skilled workers in the upper deciles of the wage distribution. The data show that the likelihood of receiving firm-sponsored training for a low education employee is much lower. Also, the better-educated employees in high wage occupations of the largest establishments have higher probabilities of receiving specific training. Spain has a highly regulated labour market, and the labour market frictions and institutions compress and distort the structure of wages. However, the results suggest that the highly compressed wage structure do not provide firms with the incentive to invest in general training. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1885-1898 Issue: 16 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500194102 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500194102 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:16:p:1885-1898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Asli Gunay Author-X-Name-First: Asli Author-X-Name-Last: Gunay Author-Name: Kivilcim Metin-Ozcan Author-X-Name-First: Kivilcim Author-X-Name-Last: Metin-Ozcan Author-Name: Erinc Yeldan Author-X-Name-First: Erinc Author-X-Name-Last: Yeldan Title: Real wages, profit margins and inflation in Turkish manufacturing under post-liberalization Abstract: This article reports investigations into the behaviour of gross profit margins (mark-ups) in Turkish manufacturing industries for the post-1980 liberalization period in relation to price inflation, trade liberalization (openness) and real wage costs. Panel data econometrics over 29 subsectors of Turkish manufacturing are used over the period 1980-1996. Results suggest that profit margins are positively and significantly related both to price inflation and real wage costs. However, openness is found to have very little impact on profit margins. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1899-1905 Issue: 16 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500217903 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500217903 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:16:p:1899-1905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panagiotis Mantalos Author-X-Name-First: Panagiotis Author-X-Name-Last: Mantalos Author-Name: Ghazi Shukur Author-X-Name-First: Ghazi Author-X-Name-Last: Shukur Title: The effect of the GARCH(1, 1) on autocorrelation tests in dynamic systems of equations Abstract: Using Monte Carlo methods, the properties of systemwise generalizations of the Breusch-Godfrey test for autocorrelated errors are studied when there are some kinds of GARCH effects among the errors. The analysis, regarding the size of the test, reveals that the GARCH have considerable effects of the properties of the test regarding the size, especially in large systems of equations. The corrected LR tests, however, have been shown to perform satisfactorily in small systems when the errors are white noise or they have low GARCH effects, whilst the commonly used TR2 test behaves badly even in single equations. All tests perform badly, however, when the number of equations increases and the GARCH effect is strong. As regards the power of the test, the GARCH was not found to have any significant effects on the power properties of the test. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1907-1913 Issue: 16 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500118804 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500118804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:16:p:1907-1913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ken Johnston Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Johnston Author-Name: David Carter Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Carter Author-Name: John Hatem Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Hatem Title: Exchange rates, and fundamental variables: a semi-parametric analysis of binary choice Abstract: This study is motivated by the dearth of models that provide good out-of-sample fit for exchange rates. That is, current models of exchange rate behaviour are poor predictors of subsequent currency movements. An attempt is made to determine if the relationship between exchange rates and fundamental variables can help explain the more extreme exchange rate movements (distributional switches). Models are developed that relate fundamental economic variables to the resulting estimates based on the mixture of normal probability distributions. Parametric estimation procedures (Logit and Probit) are compared with a semi-parametric technique, maximum score estimation (MSCORE), which is relatively untested in the field of finance. The fundamental variables of these models include information on trade balances, money supply changes, interest rate changes, real economic growth, relative inflation rates and changes in stock market indexes. Classification results favour MSCORE. Implications of results and improvements in methodology are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1915-1924 Issue: 16 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500217077 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500217077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:16:p:1915-1924 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Gallegati Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Gallegati Title: Financial constraints and the balance sheet channel: a re-interpretation Abstract: Aggregate demand models extending IS/LM fixed price framework yield an enhancement mechanism of the traditional monetary transmission mechanism, the credit channel, which, according to the credit view, works through the 'balance sheet channel' and the 'bank lending channel'. In this paper the augmented IS/LM model is modified assuming that investments may be financed by both internal and external sources of funds. The inclusion of internal funds in the augmented IS/LM fixed price model suggests a different interpretation of the 'balance sheet channel' as an enhancement mechanism amplifying monetary policy effects through the quantity rather than the cost of borrowing. Thus, changes in borrowers' net worth over the cycle can amplify and propagate output fluctuations directly rather than indirectly as in the traditional interpretation of the balance sheet channel. The empirical analysis of the monetary transmission mechanism for Italy in the last decade accords with the interpretation of the balance sheet channel proposed in this paper. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1925-1933 Issue: 16 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500214256 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500214256 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:16:p:1925-1933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ross Finnie Author-X-Name-First: Ross Author-X-Name-Last: Finnie Author-Name: Ronald Meng Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Title: Literacy and labour market outcomes: self-assessment versus test score measures Abstract: This paper looks at the determinants of literacy and the relation between literacy and labour market outcomes while focusing on comparisons of self-assessment versus test score measures of literacy. The test score measure performs considerably better than the self-assessments when literacy is treated as an outcome variable in terms of the overall fit of the model and the specific coefficient estimates, with the self-assessments sometimes actually generating wrongly signed parameters. The test score measure also performs much better as an explanatory variable in the employment models, with the self-assessment variable generating significant underestimates of the effects of literacy on the probability of being employed. Finally, the test score is also superior in the income models, although the self-assessment measure is at least a reasonably good performer in this regard, suggesting that the main results reported in much of the existing literature (based on such measures) should perhaps be taken as good representations of the true underlying relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1935-1951 Issue: 17 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500244519 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500244519 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:17:p:1935-1951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barbara Cresti Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Cresti Title: US domestic barter: an empirical investigation Abstract: This paper studies the barter industry developed in North America during the 1950s, pointing out some of its main characteristics. Thus, it examines its two main sectors: (i) corporate barter and (ii) commercial barter. Contrary to expectations, the analysis of official data shows that this phenomenon is essentially pro-cyclical for the commercial barter component. Moreover, commercial barter activity turns out to be complementary to the cash economy. While the two sectors display some differences in their pattern, they both help firms to increase their profits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1953-1966 Issue: 17 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500193559 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500193559 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:17:p:1953-1966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Henry Kinnucan Author-X-Name-First: Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Kinnucan Author-Name: Øystein Myrland Author-X-Name-First: Øystein Author-X-Name-Last: Myrland Title: Effects of income growth and tariffs on the world salmon market Abstract: The effects of income growth and tariffs on salmon prices, production, and trade flows are analysed using total elasticities derived from an equilibrium displacement model of the world salmon market. Results suggest the total income elasticity in world trade for salmon is about one, which means imports worldwide will grow at about the same pace as world income. However, owing in part to policies that restrict supply response, not all exporters will share evenly in this growth, with UK producers benefiting the most and Norwegian producers the least. Within importing countries, imports are more responsive to income growth than is domestic production, which means protectionist pressures are apt to increase with affluence. US tariffs on imports from Norway and Chile are counterproductive in that they reduce world imports with little effect on the US price. Norway's feed quota reduces the efficacy of US tariffs, makes imports less responsive to income, and increases price volatility. Hence, quota elimination may yield producer benefits in excess of producer losses associated with a lower world price. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1967-1978 Issue: 17 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500217523 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500217523 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:17:p:1967-1978 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests Abstract: The saving and investment nexus as postulated by Feldstein and Horioka (FH) (1980) is revisited. The saving investment correlation for China is estimated over the periods 1952-1998 and 1952-1994, the latter culminating in a period of fixed exchange rate regime. Amongst the key results, it is found that saving and investment are correlated for China for both the period of the fixed exchange rate and the entire sample period. With high saving-investment correlation, the results suggest that the Chinese economy is in conformity with the FH hypothesis. This is a valid outcome, for in China capital mobility was fairly restricted over the 1952-1994 period as indicated by the relatively low foreign direct investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1979-1990 Issue: 17 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500278103 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500278103 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:17:p:1979-1990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sharanjit Uppal Author-X-Name-First: Sharanjit Author-X-Name-Last: Uppal Title: Demand for home modifications/specialized features: the case of disabled Abstract: Existing research dealing with the presence of modifications in the homes of individuals with disabilities in Canada has found severity of disability to be negatively related to the demand for modifications, a result that appears to be counterintuitive. In this paper, a model is estimated using data from the 1991 Health and Activity Limitation Survey conducted by Statistics Canada. The results show that severity of disability has a strong positive effect on the demand for modifications/specialized features both inside a residence and those used to access a residence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1991-1999 Issue: 17 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500244394 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500244394 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:17:p:1991-1999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toni Mora Author-X-Name-First: Toni Author-X-Name-Last: Mora Author-Name: Jordi Lopez-Tamayo Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Tamayo Author-Name: Jordi Surinach Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Surinach Title: Are wages and productivity converging simultaneously in Euro-area countries? Abstract: A convergence analysis is applied to wages and productivity for Euro-area countries in the period from 1981 to 2001. The results show a reduction in the dispersion of wages and unit labour costs, but not in productivity. Different patterns are found for real and nominal wages: higher levels of inflation in countries with higher growth rates of unit labour costs have caused nominal wages to move towards equalization. Moreover, disparities in all the variables have remained more or less the same since 1997, suggesting that the establishment of a single currency area has not accelerated the process of wage equalization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2001-2008 Issue: 17 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500217655 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500217655 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:17:p:2001-2008 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. E. Allen Author-X-Name-First: D. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: H. M. Salim Author-X-Name-First: H. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Title: Forecasting profitability and earnings: a study of the UK market (1982-2000) Abstract: An approach recently developed by Fama and French (2000) is applied to the study of whether UK company profitability is mean-reverting. A sample of roughly 987 firms per year for a period from 1982-2000 is used, drawn from Datastream. In a simple partial adjustment model convergence towards the mean at a rate of about 25% per year is found. The results are very similar in direction to those of Fama and French (2000) but the results do not display significant non-linearities. The change in profitability appears to be more strongly influenced by dividends in the UK. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2009-2018 Issue: 17 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500244634 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500244634 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:17:p:2009-2018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lars Lindholt Author-X-Name-First: Lars Author-X-Name-Last: Lindholt Title: Beyond Kyoto: backstop technologies and endogenous prices on CO2 permits and fossil fuels Abstract: This paper analyses the markets for fossil fuels given that the limits the Kyoto Protocol sets on CO2 emissions from Annex B countries extend beyond 2008-2012. A forward-looking model with endogenous prices for fossil fuels is applied under different assumptions concerning the technological progress for a carbon-free backstop technology. Both the time-profile of the international permit price needed for the Kyoto Forever targets as well as the implications through reduced demand and lower producer prices for fossil fuels are calculated. The permit price has to rise at least up to 2030 in order to fulfil the emission targets. From then on the necessary permit price shows different future developments, dependent on when the backstop technology starts to replace oil. Since changes in the availability of the backstop technology shift the time-profile of the permit price, the loss of petroleum wealth for oil and gas producers varies between the scenarios, but is never more than 20%. Findings indicate that the reduction in gas revenues in OECD-Europe after the introduction of the targets amounts to a yearly loss of 0.01-0.02% of their total GNP for half a century. The reduction in oil revenues for OPEC is comparable to an annual loss of 2.9-5.4% of their GNP over a period of sixty years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2019-2036 Issue: 17 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500217697 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500217697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:17:p:2019-2036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tastan Huseyin Author-X-Name-First: Tastan Author-X-Name-Last: Huseyin Title: Do real exchange rates contain a unit root? Evidence from Turkish data Abstract: This study explores whether the long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis holds for selected real exchange rates from Turkish economy during the period 1982M1-2003M12. In addition to conventional unit root tests, five different unit root test procedures have been applied including efficient point-optimal tests, extended M tests and GLS-detrended variants of DF tests, to four monthly real exchange rate series defined in terms of both producer and consumer price indices. The countries analysed are the USA, the UK, Germany and Italy which are major trade partners of Turkey. Mixed evidence is found for the long-run PPP hypothesis when real exchange rate is defined in terms of German DM and Italian Lira. However, the empirical analysis reveals that the PPP hypothesis holds strongly in the long-run for the UK£ and US$ based real exchange rates series using either PPI or CPI. In corroboration with other studies in the literature, the bias correlated half-life estimates suggest relatively faster speeds of adjustment supporting the view that the deviations from the PPP rate dissipate rather quickly for relatively high inflation countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2037-2053 Issue: 17 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500244584 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500244584 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:17:p:2037-2053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Ledesma Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Ledesma Author-Name: Manuel Navarro Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Navarro Author-Name: Jorge Perez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Rodriguez Title: Return to tourist destination. Is it reputation, after all? Abstract: In this paper the hypothesis that repeated purchases in the tourism markets could be considered as a consequence of asymmetrical information problems is studied. This hypothesis is analysed with the case study of the island of Tenerife using the estimation of a count data model. It was found that the length of the stay and the information obtained from previous visits and/or relatives and friends might increase the return to a destination suggesting the presence of a reputation mechanism as proposed by Shapiro (1983). The determinants of the willingness to return were also estimated, confirming the main results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2055-2065 Issue: 18 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500293474 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500293474 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:18:p:2055-2065 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongbin Li Author-X-Name-First: Hongbin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xianguo Yao Author-X-Name-First: Xianguo Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Junsen Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Junsen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Li-An Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Li-An Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Parental childcare and children's educational attainment: evidence from China Abstract: This paper examines the determinants of child educational attainment. In addition to those examined in previous studies, it is found that maternal childcare is another important determinant of child educational attainment. The results are robust after controlling for endogeneity. The IV estimates show that once childcare time is controlled for, child health does not have an effect on school enrolment age. This finding suggests that omitting the childcare time may have biased the estimated effect of child health on school enrolment in previous studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2067-2076 Issue: 18 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500293391 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500293391 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:18:p:2067-2076 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: David Lester Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: Gender differences in e-commerce Abstract: Predictors of shopping online were compared for men and women using a sample of 365 college students. For the men, the only predictor of purchasing products online was the number of hours they spent online. For women, the predictors of making purchases online included anxiety about using computers and attitudes toward money, in addition to the number of hours spent online. The results were examined using OLS and MLE (logit and probit) regressions techniques, and the results from each technique compared and contrasted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2077-2089 Issue: 18 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500293292 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500293292 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:18:p:2077-2089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dyuti Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Dyuti Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Author-Name: Ahmed Khalid Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Khalid Author-Name: Jan-Egbert Sturm Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Egbert Author-X-Name-Last: Sturm Title: Socio-economic development and software piracy. An empirical assessment Abstract: The high rate of software piracy is a growing concern for software developers as well as businesses and governments. It is argued here that the piracy rate is influenced by expected benefits and costs to the pirates. A model is developed using a set of variables that may affect such benefits and costs and hence piracy rate in a country, and tested for a large sample of 53 countries. The results of this paper suggest that the existing socio-economic conditions and the lack of proper institutions in developing and emerging economies may be responsible for high software piracy rates. One may, therefore, infer that the current trends of globalization and socio-economic development may help software piracy in developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2091-2097 Issue: 18 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500293276 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500293276 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:18:p:2091-2097 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcio Laurini Author-X-Name-First: Marcio Author-X-Name-Last: Laurini Author-Name: Eduardo Andrade Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Andrade Author-Name: Pedro L. Valls Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Pedro L. Valls Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Title: Income convergence clubs for Brazilian Municipalities: a non-parametric analysis Abstract: This article analyses the evolution of relative per capita income distribution of Brazilian municipalities over the period 1970-1996. Analyses are based on non-parametric methodologies and do not assume probability distributions or functional forms for the data. Two convergence tests have been carried out - a test for sigma convergence based on the bootstrap principle and a beta convergence test using smoothing splines for the growth regressions. The results obtained demonstrate the need to model the dynamics of income for Brazilian municipalities as a process of convergence clubs, using the methodology of transition matrices and stochastic kernels. The results show the formation of two convergence clubs, a low income club formed by the municipalities of the North and Northeast regions, and another high income club formed by the municipalities of the Center-West, Southeast and South regions. The formation of convergence clubs is confirmed by a bootstrap test for multimodality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2099-2118 Issue: 18 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500218554 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500218554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:18:p:2099-2118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Teruyoshi Kobayashi Author-X-Name-First: Teruyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Kobayashi Title: Optimal monetary policy and the role of hybrid inflation-price-level targets Abstract: This study investigates the role of hybrid inflation-price-level targets as a solution to the well-known stabilization bias problem that arises under discretionary policies. The analysis shows that social welfare will be improved by employing a weighted average of inflation and price level as one of the central bank's target variables in addition to the output gap growth target. The reason is that imposing the optimal hybrid target will reduce inflation variability in a highly efficient way. In particular, the optimal hybrid regime outperforms other previously suggested regimes when the degree of inflation persistence is moderate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2119-2125 Issue: 18 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500119042 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500119042 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:18:p:2119-2125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehdi Farsi Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Farsi Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Author-Name: Michael Kuenzle Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Kuenzle Title: Unobserved heterogeneity in stochastic cost frontier models: an application to Swiss nursing homes Abstract: This paper applies a number of stochastic cost frontier models to a panel data set and compares their ability to distinguish unobserved heterogeneity from inefficiency variation among firms. The main focus is on Greene's 2005 panel data model that incorporates firm-specific effects in a stochastic frontier framework. In cases where the unobserved heterogeneity is correlated with explanatory variables, while the random effects estimators can be biased the fixed effects model may overestimate inefficiency. In line with Mundlak, a simple method is proposed to include such correlations in random effects specification. The sample includes 36 Swiss nursing homes operating from 1993 to 2001. The results suggest that the proposed specification can avoid the inconsistency problem while keeping the inefficiency estimates unaffected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2127-2141 Issue: 18 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500293201 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500293201 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:18:p:2127-2141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia Chelley-Steeley Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Chelley-Steeley Author-Name: Claire Lavers Author-X-Name-First: Claire Author-X-Name-Last: Lavers Title: The propensity to hedge using futures contracts: the case of potato futures contracts Abstract: This paper studies why UK non-financial firms hedge with potato futures contracts. It is found that the financial characteristics of firms in the sample play an important role in influencing the propensity to hedge. For example, it is found that firms that hedge are on average larger than firms that do not hedge. Firms that hedge also have more volatile earnings. Furthermore, firms that do hedge appear to want to smooth earnings to reduce the costs of financial distress and avoid entering the highest tax threshold. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2143-2146 Issue: 18 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500278152 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500278152 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:18:p:2143-2146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enrique Ballestero Author-X-Name-First: Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Ballestero Author-Name: David Pla-Santamaria Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Pla-Santamaria Title: Grading the performance of market indicators with utility benchmarks selected from Footsie: a 2000 case study Abstract: The suitable choice of a benchmark portfolio is a critical problem prior to using the information ratio, as the performance ranking of funds depends on this choice. In this paper, a method to optimize benchmark selection taking account of the investor's preferences is proposed and applied to a case study of performance for 29 market indicators on stock exchanges throughout the world. The method that relies on recent results in optimization theory requires defining the opportunity set to select the benchmarks, this set being Footsie in the case study. The computational process and numerical results are presented through tables and figures, the accuracy of the method being also numerically tested. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2147-2160 Issue: 18 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500278053 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500278053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:18:p:2147-2160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Are the Australian and New Zealand stock prices nonlinear with a unit root? Abstract: Whether or not stock prices are characterized by a unit root has important implications for policy. For instance, by applying unit root tests one can deduce whether stock returns can be predicted from previous changes in prices. A finding of a unit root implies that stock returns cannot be predicted. This paper investigates whether or not stock prices for Australia and New Zealand can be characterized by a unit root process. An unrestricted two-regime threshold autoregressive model is used with an autoregressive unit root. Among the main results, it is found that the stock prices of both countries are nonlinear processes that are characterized by a unit root process, consistent with the efficient market hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2161-2166 Issue: 18 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500217887 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500217887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:18:p:2161-2166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Gordon Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Gordon Author-Name: Lars Osberg Author-X-Name-First: Lars Author-X-Name-Last: Osberg Author-Name: Shelley Phipps Author-X-Name-First: Shelley Author-X-Name-Last: Phipps Title: Sampling variability: some observations from a labour supply equation Abstract: In economics, the number of observations available for empirical work is often predetermined. Researchers assume some large sample distribution and carry through with measurement and testing applied to data sets of varying sizes. The consequences of sampling variability are generally ignored. It is shown in a re-sampling experiment, using data sets of different sizes and estimating log-linear male labour supply equations, that a wide range of what appears to be statistically supported estimates of the wage elasticity of labour supply are generated. Testing based on bootstrapped estimates shows that 4000 observations are required to reduce sampling variability to statistically acceptable levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2167-2175 Issue: 18 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500215428 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500215428 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:18:p:2167-2175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elias Soukiazis Author-X-Name-First: Elias Author-X-Name-Last: Soukiazis Author-Name: George Agiomirgianakis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Agiomirgianakis Title: Editorial - the world economy and European integration Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2177-2178 Issue: 19 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500363459 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500363459 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:19:p:2177-2178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guanqun Tong Author-X-Name-First: Guanqun Author-X-Name-Last: Tong Author-Name: Christopher Green Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Green Title: Pecking order or trade-off hypothesis? Evidence on the capital structure of Chinese companies Abstract: This study tests the pecking order and trade-off hypotheses of corporate financing decisions using a cross-section of the largest Chinese listed companies. The study is built on Allen (1993), Baskin (1989) and Adedeji (1998) to set up three models in which trade-off and pecking order theories give distinctively different predictions: (1) the determinants of leverage; (2) the relationship between leverage and dividends; and (3) the determinants of corporate investment. In model 1, a significant negative correlation is found between leverage and profitability; in model 2 a significant positive correlation between current leverage and past dividends is found. These results broadly support the pecking order hypothesis over trade-off theory. However, model 3 is inconclusive. Overall, the results provide tentative support for the pecking order hypothesis and demonstrate that a conventional model of corporate capital structure can explain the financing behaviour of Chinese companies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2179-2189 Issue: 19 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500319873 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500319873 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:19:p:2179-2189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ulrich Thiessen Author-X-Name-First: Ulrich Author-X-Name-Last: Thiessen Title: Banking crises, regulation, and growth: the case of Russia Abstract: Recent empirical analyses of the relationship between financial system development and economic growth find that financial system development causes economic growth, is a good predictor of growth and that its impact is relatively large. Moreover, the empirical literature predicts that the adverse effects of banking crises on economic growth will rise in the absence of an adequate response by the government. Hence, given the Russian government's failure to respond adequately to the 1998 banking crisis, Russia's strong economic growth since the crisis is a puzzle. This study uses simulations to conclude that the growth costs of the 1998 crisis were larger than previously suggested. The adverse effects were compensated by expansionary effects. The findings corroborate the importance of financial development in promoting growth in transition countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2191-2203 Issue: 19 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500330474 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500330474 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:19:p:2191-2203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helena Marques Author-X-Name-First: Helena Author-X-Name-Last: Marques Title: The skilled u-shaped Europe: is it really and on which side does it stand? Abstract: This study estimates a quadratic sectoral wage equation for the member countries of the enlarged EU where wages are a function of each country's geographical location with respect to market size (new trade/New Economic Geography (NEG) effect), human capital (HOS endowment effect), and productivity (Ricardian effect). Wages react to these variables according to a U-shaped curve. They react negatively to market size and productivity of neighbouring countries, but react positively to skilled labour in neighbouring countries. However, due to non-linearity, further increases in these variables will induce a reversal in the outcome. Wages react more to market size, less to skill endowments, and even less to productivity, making economies of scale an important mechanism in explaining why firms can afford to pay higher wages in larger markets. In addition, EU real wages are significantly determined by country-specific characteristics other than geography that push the real wages of old EU members upward and pull the real wages of new EU members downward. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2205-2220 Issue: 19 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500361214 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500361214 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:19:p:2205-2220 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tapan Biswas Author-X-Name-First: Tapan Author-X-Name-Last: Biswas Author-Name: Jolian McHardy Author-X-Name-First: Jolian Author-X-Name-Last: McHardy Title: Measuring the balance of intra-regional migration Abstract: An original index is introduced for measuring the extent of the overall bilateral balance of migration among countries within a region which allows comparisons of the balance over time as well as between regions and various possible sub-regions. It is shown that having constructed the index it is also possible to establish a weighting of the contribution of each country to the overall degree of migration balance within a region. The new index is applied to three sub-groupings of the European Union (EU): (a) a mix of nine northern and southern EU15 countries; (b) seven northern EU15 countries; and, (c) four southern EU15 countries. It is shown that in each case migration in the 1990s was highly balanced and improving significantly over time. However, there was a substantial difference between the northern and southern countries with the former enjoying significantly higher overall balance in migration than the latter, although the rate of improvement in balance was much higher amongst the southern countries. Finally, whilst the UK and Portugal were persistently low contributors to the overall balance in EU migration, Germany's contribution was the highest. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2221-2230 Issue: 19 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500330532 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500330532 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:19:p:2221-2230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jet Yee Author-X-Name-First: Jet Author-X-Name-Last: Yee Author-Name: Mary Clare Ahearn Author-X-Name-First: Mary Clare Author-X-Name-Last: Ahearn Title: Government policies and farm size: does the size concept matter? Abstract: This paper employs a panel data set of 48 states from 1960 to 1996 to investigate the relationships of government policies (public agricultural research and development (R&D), extension, and government commodity program payments) to changes in farm size. Five different farm size measures are considered (acres operated per farm, real land and building value per farm, real cash receipts per farm, real cash receipts plus government payments per farm, and an imputed measure of the real capital service flow per farm) in order to make a more general statement about the impacts of government policies on farm size. It was found that the impacts of government policies on farm size are in general robust to the measure of farm size considered. More specifically, it was found that R&D, extension, and government payments all have positive effects on farm size. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2231-2238 Issue: 19 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500293904 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500293904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:19:p:2231-2238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masao Tsuri Author-X-Name-First: Masao Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuri Title: Discretionary deficit and its effects on Japanese economy Abstract: This paper identifies the discretionary component of Japan's public deficits, which is included in the structural component in existing work. The identification is done by collecting data and information of stimulus packages. Discretionary expenditure, discretionary revenue, and cyclical revenue are the main factors of increases in public deficits in the 1990s. The revenue side has had greater impacts on deficits than expenditure. The effects of stimulus packages are examined, using the discretionary deficits. Stimulus policies have multiplier effects, while overall public deficits have not. Results of analyses indicate that: (1) stimulus packages have economic effects, (2) they also bring fiscal deficits, thus can be additional constraints on the government budget, (3) public deficits can be eased with GDP growth if tax is returned to the previous level, (4) the public finance has a structural deficit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2239-2249 Issue: 19 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500293870 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500293870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:19:p:2239-2249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Serkan Tosun Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Serkan Author-X-Name-Last: Tosun Author-Name: Sohrab Abizadeh Author-X-Name-First: Sohrab Author-X-Name-Last: Abizadeh Title: Economic growth and tax components: an analysis of tax changes in OECD Abstract: The paper examines empirically the changes in the tax mix of the OECD countries in response to economic growth from 1980 to 1999. It is found that economic growth, measured by GDP per capita, has had a significant effect on the tax mix of the OECD countries. Analysis reveals that different taxes respond differently to the growth of GDP per capita. It is shown that while the shares of personal and property taxes have responded positively to economic growth, shares of the payroll and goods and services taxes have shown a relative decline. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2251-2263 Issue: 19 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500293813 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500293813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:19:p:2251-2263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Ledesma-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Ledesma-Rodriguez Author-Name: Manuel Navarro-Ibanez Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Navarro-Ibanez Author-Name: Jorge Perez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Rodriguez Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Assessing the credibility of a target zone: evidence from the EMS Abstract: This paper provides some new evidence on the credibility of the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) of the European Monetary System (EMS). The study differs from previous research in the literature in three main respects. First, the main contribution is the use of several credibility indicators, some of which have never been applied before to all of the currencies under study. This allows one to strengthen the results obtained in this paper. Second, a longer period than that of previous studies is analysed, covering the complete EMS history. Third, a comparison has been made of the prediction qualities of the different indicators, in order to explore their ability to capture the main ERM events (realignments, changes in the fluctuations bands and speculative pressures). Fourth, the indicators are applied to the experience of the new, modified ERM linking the currencies of non-euro area Member States to the euro, showing the relevance of this approach in the near future with the enlargement of the European Union. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2265-2287 Issue: 19 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500293722 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500293722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:19:p:2265-2287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Requena-Silvente Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Requena-Silvente Author-Name: James Walker Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Title: Competition and product survival in the UK car market Abstract: The paper examines the extent to which inter- and intra-firm competition influenced the survival of cars in the UK market between 1971 and 1998. It is shown that, while competition influenced product survival in all market segments within the UK car market, the nature of that competition differed between them. In the small family and large family car segments, intra-firm competition dominated inter-firm competition. In contrast, in the luxury/sports car segment only inter-firm competition conditions resulted in product survival. Evidence was also found that the luxury/sports car segment has grown more competitive over time and that firms marketing products in the family car segments have become considerably more successful at avoiding the effects of intra-firm competition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2289-2295 Issue: 19 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500293656 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500293656 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:19:p:2289-2295 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gesine Stephan Author-X-Name-First: Gesine Author-X-Name-Last: Stephan Author-Name: Knut Gerlach Author-X-Name-First: Knut Author-X-Name-Last: Gerlach Title: Wage settlements and wage setting: results from a multi-level model Abstract: Which dimensions of wage setting differ across establishments applying collective contracts and uncovered establishments? The empirical analysis reported here utilizes German linked employer-employee data for the years 1990, 1995 and 2001 and is restricted to workers without supervisory functions in larger manufacturing firms. Results show that the expected wage of an average worker is higher in firms applying collective contracts, while returns to human capital and the gender wage gap are reduced. Moreover, during the 1990s these effects became stronger. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2297-2306 Issue: 20 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500366429 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500366429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:20:p:2297-2306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyeon-Seung Huh Author-X-Name-First: Hyeon-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Huh Title: A simple test of exogeneity for recursively structured VAR models Abstract: The restriction of exogeneity of certain variables in structural VAR models is rarely tested for consistency with the actual data. The reason is obvious: such a test requires estimates of the structural parameters. This paper proposes a solution for models that assume long-run or contemporaneous recursive structures in identification. We show that in such cases, the exogeneity restriction can be assessed statistically using the well-known Granger non-causality test which is conveniently performed in the reduced-form VAR model. Two empirical examples are offered to demonstrate the usefulness of this result. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2307-2313 Issue: 20 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500366270 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500366270 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:20:p:2307-2313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-Hua Shen Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Chien-An Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chien-An Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The impact of cross-ownership on the reaction of corporate investment and financing constraints: a panel threshold model Abstract: This paper studies whether or not investment decisions are financially constrained in a cross-ownership system of Taiwan. Different from the financial structure in the USA, subsidiaries in Taiwan are allowed to buy stocks of the parent companies. Hence, the conventional debt-to-equity ratio is inappropriate to divide firms into high and low-debt firms. Instead, a new threshold variable - the adjusted debt-equity ratio (ADE) - is employed to divide the sample into high-debt firms and low-debt firms. A panel of 115 Taiwan-listed firms for the period 1991-1997 is used. Evidence supports the cash flow hypothesis and ADE has a notable significant influence on the financial constraints. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2315-2325 Issue: 20 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500218786 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500218786 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:20:p:2315-2325 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicente Esteve Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Esteve Author-Name: Juan Sanchis-Llopis Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchis-Llopis Title: Estimating the substitutability between private and public consumption: the case of Spain, 1960-2003 Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between private and public consumption using Spanish data over the period 1960-2003, using a two-good permanent-income model. We extend previous analysis addressing the question of whether this relationship is stable over time, or exhibits a structural break allowing the instability to occur at an unknown point in time. Our empirical results indicated the existence of a long-run relationship between private and public consumption. We also detect a structural change of regime shift in the cointegration regression around the time of 1973-74. Finally, the estimated intratemporal and intertemporal elasticities of substitution between the two types of expenditure suggest that private and public consumption in Spain are Edgeworth-Pareto substitutes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2327-2334 Issue: 20 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500309288 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500309288 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:20:p:2327-2334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuseppe Cavaliere Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Cavaliere Title: Testing mean reversion in target-zone exchange rates Abstract: The aim of the paper is to assess to what extent European Monetary System (EMS) target zone exchange rates have been characterized by mean reverting behaviour. To this purpose, a new class of mean reversion tests is introduced. With respect to standard approaches, the proposed tests - which are based on the sample excursion of the exchange rate within the band - have a better ability to detect target-zone mean reverting dynamics. The empirical analysis of the exchange rates among the main EMS currencies shows that the degree of mean reversion is much higher than what has been reported in the literature, both before and after the target zone widening of 1993. Finally, the proposed tests have a wider range of applications since they originate a new approach to unit root testing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2335-2347 Issue: 20 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500359283 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500359283 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:20:p:2335-2347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Esa Mangeloja Author-X-Name-First: Esa Author-X-Name-Last: Mangeloja Title: Economic growth and religious production efficiency Abstract: Moral institutions, religions and ethics affect the economic development, as for example, trust and honesty are essential requirements for emerging economic activity. Religious production efficiency measure is constructed and used in economic growth regressions for 8 OECD countries. By using panel estimation methods and additionally time-series estimations for each country, more information is gained concerning the country specific growth and religion characteristics. Empirical evidence from the panel data estimations seems to suggest that religious beliefs attain more relevance than religious attendance. Religious production efficiency, containing both belief and activity aspects, was not found statistically significant with panel data or with individiual 8 OECD countries growth model, except for Finland. Significant coefficient for Finland can be explained by referring to Finland's unique religious market properties, as the level of religious beliefs have historically been unusually high in Finland. On the other hand, attendance in religious activities has followed the typical Northern-European decreasing trend. More exact understanding on the links between these concepts are essentially needed to better model the economic consequences of cultural, religious and moral variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2349-2359 Issue: 20 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500217531 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500217531 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:20:p:2349-2359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Rong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chih-Hai Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Hai Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Technological knowledge, spillover and productivity: evidence from Taiwanese firm level panel data Abstract: Using a panel data on Taiwanese manufacturing firms from 1990-1997, this study investigates the relationship among technological knowledge, spillover and productivity. In addition to R&D stock, we also employ patent counts to construct the output-side indicators of knowledge and spillover to explore the relationship between knowledge and productivity. We find a very significant contribution of R&D, patents and spillover stock to productivity. In addition, the magnitude of the patent stock coefficient is substantially larger than that estimated by R&D stock. Our results imply that innovative activity investment has been very productive in increasing output for Taiwanese manufacturing firms in the 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2361-2371 Issue: 20 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500309262 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500309262 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:20:p:2361-2371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Kwoka Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Kwoka Title: Electric power distribution: economies of scale, mergers, and restructuring Abstract: Electricity distribution is generally viewed as a natural monopoly and therefore as having the least potential for the kinds of reforms that have swept the electric power sector in many countries. Mergers among distribution companies and efforts at retail competition have nonetheless altered the operation of the distribution stage. This research into US electric utilities uses a much larger and less selective data base than previously available to examine the scale properties of distribution with respect to output, distance, and customer numbers, and for different functions within distribution. It finds significant economies at low output levels, holding system size and customer density constant, but the cost gradient is otherwise modest. It also finds that geographic size and customer numbers are quite important and that economies are significantly stronger for the infrastructure or 'wires' business than for the marketing function performed by distribution utilities. These results lend credence to efforts at retail competition that separates these functions, but cast doubt on the benefits of mergers between distribution systems. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2373-2386 Issue: 20 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500309247 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500309247 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:20:p:2373-2386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huimin Chung Author-X-Name-First: Huimin Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Tsung-Wu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Ling-Ju Wei Author-X-Name-First: Ling-Ju Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: The dynamic relationship between the prices of ADRs and their underlying stocks: evidence from the threshold vector error correction model Abstract: This paper sets out to estimate the dynamic relationship that exists between the prices of ADRs and their underlying stocks, in both the short run and the long run, using a number of recent developments of the threshold cointegration framework. The empirical results support the notion of nonlinear mean reversion of the prices of ADRs and their underlying stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2387-2394 Issue: 20 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500218729 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500218729 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:20:p:2387-2394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Stine Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Stine Title: Do budget maximizing public officials increase the probability of property reassessment? Abstract: County governments in Pennsylvania face non-binding limits on their property tax rates. These are considered non-binding because they do not place a limit on tax levies or expenditures. Assuming local public officials have monopoly power, tax rate limits can be circumvented by reassessing the property tax base. A two-stage process was hypothesized in which the probability of reaching tax rate limits first was determined and the probability of reassessment then was determined. The effect of budget maximizing government officials at each stage was tested for 66 Pennsylvania counties over the 1970-1995 period. The empirical results showed that variables associated with budget maximizing behaviour influenced the choice in each stage. Public expenditure growth increased the probability of reaching the tax rate limit in the first stage while reaching the tax rate limit increased the probability of reassessment in the second stage. The estimates also showed that economic, fiscal and taste variables were significant determinants of these probabilities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2395-2405 Issue: 20 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500218646 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500218646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:20:p:2395-2405 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nasri Harb Author-X-Name-First: Nasri Author-X-Name-Last: Harb Title: Import demand in heterogeneous panel setting Abstract: To study the elasticities of import demand function, a heterogeneous panel is built with data of 40 countries and using panel unit root tests (Im et al., 1997) and panel cointegration tests (Pedroni, 2004). The model is tested with two previously used activity variables: GDP and GDP minus Export for a performance comparison. To estimate elasticities, use is made of two modified panel versions of FMOLS and DOLS developed by Pedroni (1996, 2000, 2001). The tests prove that GDP outperforms GDP minus Exports as an activity variable in the cointegration context. FMOLS and DOLS give close results when individual estimates are done. When between-dimension estimators are used, conflicting results are obtained. Then, the sample is split into developed and developing countries and it is shown that income elasticity in developing countries are not different than unity on average and are higher than in developed countries contradicting previous literature results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2407-2415 Issue: 20 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/000368405002000345550 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/000368405002000345550 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:20:p:2407-2415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernard Fingleton Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Fingleton Title: Towards applied geographical economics: modelling relative wage rates, incomes and prices for the regions of Great Britain Abstract: One of the key issues surrounding geographical economics is whether the theory can be made operational, so that proper investigations can be made of the basic theoretical assumptions and practical use can be made of the model's predictions at a detailed spatial level. In this paper the model formalized by Fujita et al. (1999) is developed in the context of 36 regions of Great Britain, enabling direct comparisons with observed wage rate data that are used to calibrate the model. Iceberg transport costs are in the form of an exponential function and a power function. For the range of parameters considered, the power function gives a better fit between model and data, suggesting scale economies in transportation. The paper shows that, in spite of the assumptions that have to be made, quite realistic distributions of relative wages, income and prices are attainable. However, caution is required in the interpretation of these simulations, which in no way provide proof of New Economic Geography theory, which clearly has limitations. Nonetheless it is hoped that the work reported in this paper does help to advance the progress of geographical economics theory towards empirical verification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2417-2428 Issue: 21 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500366221 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500366221 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:21:p:2417-2428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Werner Holzl Author-X-Name-First: Werner Author-X-Name-Last: Holzl Title: Tangible and intangible sunk costs and the entry and exit of firms in a small open economy: the case of Austria Abstract: The paper provides evidence on the role of sunk costs as mobility barriers. An empirical study of the Austrian manufacturing industry explicitly considers sunk costs related to investment in dedicated intangible assets. The results confirm the relevance of sunk costs as mobility barriers, their symmetry with respect to entry and exit, and show that the influence of sunk costs is robust to aggregation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2429-2443 Issue: 21 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500365850 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500365850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:21:p:2429-2443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ulrich Fritsche Author-X-Name-First: Ulrich Author-X-Name-Last: Fritsche Author-Name: Vladimir Kuzin Author-X-Name-First: Vladimir Author-X-Name-Last: Kuzin Title: Declining output volatility in Germany: impulses, propagation, and the role of monetary policy Abstract: The decline in output volatility in Germany is analysed. A lower level of variance in an autoregressive model of output growth can be either due to a change in the structure of the economy (a change in the propagation mechanism) or a reduced error term variance (reduced impulses). In Germany the decline output volatility is due to a decline in the persistence of the growth process. This is in contrast to the US results, where a break in the variance seems to dominate the decline in persistence. A change in the conduct of monetary policy (the establishment of another monetary policy regime) could be part of an explanation for the change in propagation. Stochastic simulations with a New Keynesian DSGE model support the hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2445-2457 Issue: 21 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500359317 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500359317 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:21:p:2445-2457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhuo Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zhuo Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: On bias correction in the multivariate sample-selection model Abstract: Heien and Wessells' two-step estimator for the multivariate sample-selection model has been used extensively during the past 15 years. A modified version of it, with slightly different selectivity regressors, has also appeared in the empirical literature. Both estimators are unfounded and generally do not correct for the sample selectivity bias as intended but have continued to gain popularity in empirical applications. The properties of the modified Heien-Wessells procedure are investigated in both the bivariate and multivariate contexts, and the conditions under which this estimator fails to correct for sample selectivity are examined. The theoretical properties are demonstrated with a simulated random sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2459-2468 Issue: 21 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500366346 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500366346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:21:p:2459-2468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theis Theisen Author-X-Name-First: Theis Author-X-Name-Last: Theisen Title: Tanzanian formal sector workers' participation in informal production Abstract: A theoretical model is developed explaining formal sector workers participation in the informal sector. A reduced-form informal sector participation function is derived from a specific utility function, a specific informal sector production function, and a specific informal sector earnings function. The participation function can be estimated consistently, and provides a solution to the problem that informal sector 'wages' in developing countries are hard to observe. A sample of Tanzanian formal sector workers is used to estimate the participation function. A majority of Tanzanian formal sector workers participate in informal production. Participation in informal production is inversely related to household income, to living in Dar es Salaam, and to being a mother with small children. Participation is positively related to age, and multiple-job-holding seems to play a very different role in the transition from work to retirement in Tanzania compared to industrialized countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2469-2485 Issue: 21 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500366197 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500366197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:21:p:2469-2485 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adnan Kasman Author-X-Name-First: Adnan Author-X-Name-Last: Kasman Author-Name: Saadet Kirbas-Kasman Author-X-Name-First: Saadet Author-X-Name-Last: Kirbas-Kasman Author-Name: Evrim Turgutlu Author-X-Name-First: Evrim Author-X-Name-Last: Turgutlu Title: Nominal and real convergence between the CEE countries and the EU: a fractional cointegration analysis Abstract: This paper examines the real and nominal convergence between the Central and Eastern European countries and the EU, using fractional cointegration analysis for the period 1980-2003. Fractional cointegration analysis is a flexible methodology, which allows for more subtle forms of mean reversion. The tests performed are those of Geweke and Porter-Hudak. The convergence processes are valid when macroeconomic time series used in the study are fractionally cointegrated. The results indicate that inflation and interest rates series of six sample countries are fractionally cointegrated with those of the EU. Therefore, nominal convergence has been achieved by some of the transition countries, but the equilibrium errors display long memory. Results also indicate that industrial outputs of most countries in the sample are not fractionally cointegrated with that of the EU. The results further indicate that both nominal and real convergence have been achieved only for Hungary. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2487-2500 Issue: 21 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500366312 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500366312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:21:p:2487-2500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger Perman Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Perman Author-Name: Christophe Tavera Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Tavera Title: A cross-country analysis of the Okun's Law coefficient convergence in Europe Abstract: The paper examines whether or not evidence is consistent with convergence of the Okun's Law coefficient (OLC) among several alternative groupings of European economies. A two-step empirical strategy is employed. The first step obtains rolling regression estimates of the OLC for individual European countries. The second step examines how the cross-country variance of the OLC evolves over the decade until 2002 in the selected country groupings. Evidence is found consistent with convergence of the OLC among northern European countries, and among countries with centralized wage bargaining, but an absence of convergence in other country groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2501-2513 Issue: 21 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500366395 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500366395 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:21:p:2501-2513 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivan Paya Author-X-Name-First: Ivan Author-X-Name-Last: Paya Author-Name: David Peel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: The process followed by PPP data. On the properties of linearity tests Abstract: Recent research has reported the lack of correct size in stationarity test for PPP deviations within a linear framework. However, theoretically well motivated non-linear models, such as the ESTAR, appear to parsimoniously fit the PPP data and provide an explanation for the PPP 'puzzle'. Employing Monte Carlo experiments the size and power of the non-linear tests are analysed against a variety of nonstationary hypotheses. Aslo the ESTAR model is fitted to data from high inflation economies. The results provide further support for ESTAR specification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2515-2522 Issue: 21 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500390189 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500390189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:21:p:2515-2522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bai Yuanliang Author-X-Name-First: Bai Author-X-Name-Last: Yuanliang Author-Name: Zhang Zongyi Author-X-Name-First: Zhang Author-X-Name-Last: Zongyi Title: Aggregate cigarette demand and regional differences in China Abstract: National educational level, final consumption expenditure, average propensity to cigarette consumption (APCC) and cigarette price are adopted to research the regional and national aggregate cigarette demand of China. Under the condition that the effects of anti-smoking education in the Chinese current educational system are not remarkable, the theoretical model shows that cigarette demand will increase with the increase of national educational level. Empirical analysis points out that cigarette demand increases with the increase of educational level. Estimates also suggest that cigarette price, consumption expenditure and APCC will affect cigarette demand significantly, and that there are great differences for cigarette demand by region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2523-2528 Issue: 21 Volume: 37 Year: 2005 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500358640 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500358640 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:37:y:2005:i:21:p:2523-2528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: On the evolution of competition: an application of nonlinear tests Abstract: A corollary of the Coase Theorem maintains that, where free market precepts exist, the allocation of property rights would not impact the level of competition within an industry. Within the Major League Baseball industry, for example, the theorem would suggest that institutional arrangements such as free-agency would not impact player distributions and, therefore, would fail to alter competitive balance. In order to examine this implication, the present paper investigates the univariate behaviour of competition balance. In the end, it appears that an increased labour pool, rather than institutional changes, is responsible for movements in competitive levels within the industry. Specifically, the evidence suggests that competitive balance measures are trend-stationary. However, the trend is nonlinear and is common to Baseball's labour pool, i.e. the two co-trend. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-12 Issue: 1 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500218604 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500218604 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:1:p:1-12 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: Skill-biased technological knowledge without scale effects Abstract: In the skill-biased technological change literature, the technological-knowledge bias, which drives wage inequality, is determined by the market-size channel. Motivated by the literature on scale effects since Jones (1995a, b), the standard R&D technology is modified so that wage inequality results similarly from the technological-knowledge bias, which is instead induced by the price channel. Thus, by solving the transitional dynamics numerically, it is shown that the recent rise of the skill premium, which is highlighted by, e.g., Acemoglu (2002a), arises from the price-channel effect, complemented with a mechanism that can be called technological-knowledge-absorption effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 13-21 Issue: 1 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500367625 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500367625 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:1:p:13-21 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Begona Cueto Author-X-Name-First: Begona Author-X-Name-Last: Cueto Author-Name: Javier Mato Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Mato Title: An analysis of self-employment subsidies with duration models Abstract: The determinants of continuity of subsidized self-employment activities are studied by means of duration models in Asturias (Spain). Variables related to socio-economic characteristics of the self-employed and to subsidized businesses are included in the models. Moreover, to consider the economic situation, the regional unemployment rate has been taken into account. A general survival analysis is complemented with a competing risk model that considers two types of exits from self-employment (failure versus other reasons). The significant variables that explain survival are age, industry, whether the business is the main source of family income or not and the unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 23-32 Issue: 1 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500367542 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500367542 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:1:p:23-32 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petko Kalev Author-X-Name-First: Petko Author-X-Name-Last: Kalev Author-Name: Brett Inder Author-X-Name-First: Brett Author-X-Name-Last: Inder Title: The information content of the term structure of interest rates Abstract: This paper presents the results of an alternative test of the rational expectations theory of the term structure of interest rates. Other researchers have also examined the validity of the expectations hypothesis of term structure. While there is more often rejection of the expectations hypothesis, no other theory (data-consistent with the entire yield curve) provides an empirically adequate explanation of this phenomenon. The study considers postwar US pure discount (zero coupons) bond yields with various maturities, from one month to 60 months. Based on the ex post formation of rational expectations, the expectations error is quantified and the level of truth of the expectations hypothesis tested, that is, the strength of the departure of the yield curve from the expectations theory. The results suggest that a significant amount of information available at no cost to market agents is not incorporated in forming people's expectations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 33-45 Issue: 1 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500365967 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500365967 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:1:p:33-45 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cesar Rodriguez-Gutierrez Author-X-Name-First: Cesar Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez-Gutierrez Title: An explanation of the changes in the proportion of temporary workers in Spain Abstract: In this paper a theoretical model is developed to identify the main determinants of the proportion of temporary workers at firms. The outcomes show that the proportion of temporary workers has a counter-cyclical behaviour: it grows during the slump period up to 1995 and falls during the subsequent recovery. However, given the effect of the general economic cycle, firms that raise their sales or improve their market dynamism index tend to increase their proportion of temporary workers. This proportion also rises when the average labour cost decreases, firm size increases, and the knowledge capital stock diminishes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 47-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500218612 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500218612 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:1:p:47-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Are bilateral real exchange rates stationary? Evidence from Lagrange multiplier unit root tests for India Abstract: The paper examines the stationarity of India's real exchange rate vis-a-vis 16 of its major trading partner countries for the period 1960-2000. Application of the conventional ADF unit root test, the Lagrange multiplier (LM) unit root test with one structural break, and the LM unit root test with two structural breaks provides evidence that India's exchange rate vis-a-vis 15 out of 16 countries is stationary, implying support for purchasing power parity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 63-70 Issue: 1 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500365983 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500365983 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:1:p:63-70 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Myung Hoon Yi Author-X-Name-First: Myung Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yi Author-Name: Changkyu Choi Author-X-Name-First: Changkyu Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: A GMM test of the precautionary saving hypothesis with nonexpected-utility preferences Abstract: Using GMM estimation with the US data from January 1967 to April 2003, the precautionary saving hypothesis is tested using time-varying consumption uncertainty and a nonexpected-utility model of intertemporal optimal consumption. Overidentifying restrictions of the model specification are also tested for both expected and nonexpected utility using Hansen's J-statistics. It was found that the precautionary saving hypothesis did not hold under expected-utility preferences but did hold partly under nonexpected-utility preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 71-78 Issue: 1 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500367492 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500367492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:1:p:71-78 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giorgio Di Pietro Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Di Author-X-Name-Last: Pietro Author-Name: Peter Urwin Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Urwin Title: Education and skills mismatch in the Italian graduate labour market Abstract: This paper focuses on education and skills mismatch among Italian graduates. Indicators for over- and under-utilization of education and under-utilization of skills are included as explanatory factors in a wage equation, testing theories that could explain the effect of over-schooling on wages. We find little evidence to support assignment theory and also identify a relatively weak wage effect arising from educational mismatch associated with employers', as opposed to employees', perceptions of the job requirements. Our interpretation is that some employers have re-categorized jobs as requiring a degree, when they were previously filled by non-graduates, and many have not altered pay scales accordingly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 79-93 Issue: 1 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500215303 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500215303 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:1:p:79-93 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniela Sonedda Author-X-Name-First: Daniela Author-X-Name-Last: Sonedda Title: A structural VAR approach on labour taxation policies Abstract: This paper presents a Structural VAR analysis on the employment and output effects of labour tax policies in six European countries for the period 1974-1997. By considering impulse response functions, it turns out that, on average, a shock to the total personal income tax revenues is positively correlated to employment, whereas there is mixed evidence on the output effect. Moreover, the quantitative impact of these effects, especially those related to the output, appears to be quite small. However, by introducing explicitly four labour tax parameters (namely the marginal and average tax rates for the personal income tax and the payroll tax), it turns out that these effects are not negligible after all: for some countries it is possible to conceive labour taxes as policy instruments favouring more employment and a better economic performance. However, the empirical support on the sign of the output and employment effects is mixed, suggesting that the same domestic fiscal policy does not produce the same impact in all the European countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 95-114 Issue: 1 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500166415 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500166415 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:1:p:95-114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Christopher Moore Author-X-Name-First: Simon Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Title: The value of reducing fear: an analysis using the European Social Survey Abstract: This paper calculates the shadow price of fear of crime using the European Social Survey. A multiple regression model is specified with happiness as the outcome variable and fear of crime, total household income and control variables as independent variables. Both income and fear of crime are significantly associated with happiness and the total household income required to compensate an average household for an increase in fear of crime is estimated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 115-117 Issue: 1 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500368094 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500368094 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:1:p:115-117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Demery Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Demery Author-Name: Nigel Duck Author-X-Name-First: Nigel Author-X-Name-Last: Duck Title: Demographic change and the UK savings rate Abstract: Microeconomic data are used to explore the effects of a changing age-structure on the UK's aggregate personal savings rate. The findings suggest that changes to the population's age structure have had detectable, sustained, but, relative to the yearly changes observed in the savings rate over the previous century, modest effects on aggregate personal sector savings. It is estimated that the projected changes to the UK's age structure over the next 40 years are likely to raise the UK's savings rate but by no more than two percentage points. No basis is found for the view that the aggregate savings rate will decline as a result of the anticipated ageing of the UK population. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 119-136 Issue: 2 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500390361 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500390361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:2:p:119-136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miroslav Verbic Author-X-Name-First: Miroslav Author-X-Name-Last: Verbic Title: Discussing the parameters of preservation of perishable goods in a cold logistic chain model Abstract: The paper discusses the parameters of preservation of perishable goods in cold logistic chains. The key parameters are the intensity of deterioration of goods, the conservation effect of perishable goods and the delay of activation of the conservation effect. The values of these parameters determine the quantity of the product being deteriorated in the logistic chain and the extent to which the deterioration can be alleviated. Econometric estimation thus presents the quantity effects of preservation procedures, whereas the financial effects can be derived using the proper price categories in the calculation of the net present value or the annuity stream. In this way one can determine whether the implementation of preservation procedures is more rational than the purchase of an attainable insurance policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 137-147 Issue: 2 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500367609 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500367609 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:2:p:137-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashok Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Barry Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Title: Revenue insurance purchase decisions of farmers Abstract: The objective of this study is to evaluate farm, household, and financial characteristics of cash grain farmers' decisions of whether to purchase revenue insurance. Using farm-level data these characteristics were identified by estimating a logit model of revenue insurance purchase decisions by farm operators. Results indicate that farm operators with the ability to self-insure through accumulation of sufficient wealth reserves measured in terms of the ratio of debts-to-assets, operators with off-farm income, and participation in production and marketing contracts, are more likely to pursue these strategies as a substitute for federal revenue insurance programmes. Further, study finds that older and wealthy cash grain farmers are less likely to buy revenue insurance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 149-159 Issue: 2 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500367724 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500367724 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:2:p:149-159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Yuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Managerial ownership and firm performance: an analysis using switching simultaneous-equations models Abstract: This paper uses a switching simultaneous-equations model to examine the relation between managerial ownership and firm performance. The model includes a multinomial logit for the firm's choice among three regimes of large-block ownership, which can be argued as the choice among different degrees of controlling-minority structures, and three simultaneous-equations systems of managerial ownership and performance for each ownership regime. The paper argues that the choice of ownership regimes is the firm's endogenous decision as a reflection of the firm-specific organizational and transactional attributes, and hence the impact of managerial ownership on performance varies across firms belonging to different regimes. Empirical results show that family involvement in the management and significant related-party transactions are important factors to determine the firm's choice of ownership regimes. Evidence also indicates that the patterns of the relation between managerial ownership and firm performance, in the sense that the inflection points for the impact of managerial ownership turning from positive to negative, are markedly different across ownership regimes. Interpretations consistent with the endogeneity of managerial ownership are provided. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 161-181 Issue: 2 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500368136 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500368136 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:2:p:161-181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Title: Transfer function estimation of trade leakages generated by court rulings in the Hawai'i longline fishery Abstract: Under the Endangered Species Act (ESA) mandate to protect turtle stocks from incidental contact, the Emergency Interim Rule of August 2000 prohibited Hawai'i permit holders from targeting swordfish in the area from the Equator to 28°N and between 173°E and 137°W. As a result of this interim rule, landings of swordfish in Hawai'i decreased 93% in 2001. This paper implements a transfer function analysis to measure trade leakages generated by this ruling. This case study for the Hawai'i fishery measures the limitations of the ESA when enforcement has jurisdiction on some producers, but not others. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 183-190 Issue: 2 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500368078 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500368078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:2:p:183-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdullahi Abdulkadri Author-X-Name-First: Abdullahi Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulkadri Author-Name: Michael Langemeier Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Langemeier Author-Name: Allen Featherstone Author-X-Name-First: Allen Author-X-Name-Last: Featherstone Title: Estimating economies of scope and scale under price risk and risk aversion Abstract: This study uses duality to examine the effects of excluding output price risk and risk aversion on cost structures. Using data for Kansas wheat and beef-cow operations, a dual risk model was used to determine multi-product and product-specific scale economies, and economies of scope. Estimates for these measures were compared with those obtained from a deterministic model. The results show that product-specific scale economies are over-estimated and economies of scope and multi-product scale economies are under-estimated for the deterministic model compared to the risk model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 191-201 Issue: 2 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500367716 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500367716 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:2:p:191-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilles Dufrenot Author-X-Name-First: Gilles Author-X-Name-Last: Dufrenot Author-Name: Laurent Mathieu Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Mathieu Author-Name: Valerie Mignon Author-X-Name-First: Valerie Author-X-Name-Last: Mignon Author-Name: Anne Peguin-Feissolle Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Peguin-Feissolle Title: Persistent misalignments of the European exchange rates: some evidence from non-linear cointegration Abstract: The asymmetric and persistent adjustment of the European real exchange rates is investigated using the framework of non-linear cointegration. The episodes of slow mean-reversion dynamics over the period from 1979 to 1999 are explained. A test of unit root against STAR cointegration is proposed and some complete estimations and stochastic simulations of ESTAR models are presented. The presence of effective non-linear adjustment during the moving of the currencies to their long-run fundamental equilibrium exchange rate value is discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 203-229 Issue: 2 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500390262 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500390262 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:2:p:203-229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Sussmuth Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Sussmuth Title: Beauty in the classroom: are German students less blinded? Putative pedagogical productivity due to professors' pulchritude: peculiar or pervasive? Abstract: Given that instructional student ratings measure differences in pedagogical productivity, this study examines whether perceived attractiveness of German university teachers impact on these differences. Apart from some refinements and adjustments to idiosyncracies of the German system of higher learning, the quantitative analysis widely follows the strategy of the seminal work by Hamermesh and Parker (2005), based on US data. In comparison to findings for the USA, perceived attractiveness of teachers is found to have, if at all, only a weakly significant and quantitatively less important impact on the evaluation outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 231-238 Issue: 2 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500390296 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500390296 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:2:p:231-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Constantino Cronemberger Mendes Author-X-Name-First: Constantino Cronemberger Author-X-Name-Last: Mendes Author-Name: Maria da Conceicao Sampaio de Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Maria da Conceicao Sampaio Author-X-Name-Last: de Sousa Title: Demand for locally provided public services within the median voter's framework: the case of the Brazilian municipalities Abstract: In this paper we estimated the demand for local public spending for the Brazilian municipalities within a median voter's framework. The rationale for applying that framework came from the fact that in federal systems voters' preferences are more likely to be reflected at the local level as the consumers of public services have a better knowledge of the benefits and costs of the local public expenditures. Results obtained are consistent with the theoretical background thus suggesting that this hypothesis might be useful to describe the demand for local public goods in Brazil. In particular, the use of quantile regression permitted us to investigate the impacts of the conditioning variables on local public expenses across different expenditures classes thus allowing for heterogeneity across municipalities. Our results also suggest that the impact of the city size on the quality of club goods shows crowding effects as γ is between zero and one. However, in the estimated models, marginal congestion slightly decreases with expenditure. This is a rather surprising result as one is tempted to conclude that the congestion effect should be higher on big cities. Yet, a more careful look shows the drawbacks of such an interpretation. The indivisibilities preclude the provision of certain services in small towns, concentrating their provision on larger cities. Hence, the higher expenditures of those big cities reflect not only a crowding cost but also the fact that these towns offer a wide range of services when compared to the small ones. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 239-251 Issue: 3 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500215378 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500215378 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:3:p:239-251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Richardson Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Richardson Author-Name: Stuart Peacock Author-X-Name-First: Stuart Author-X-Name-Last: Peacock Author-Name: Duncan Mortimer Author-X-Name-First: Duncan Author-X-Name-Last: Mortimer Title: Does an increase in the doctor supply reduce medical fees? An econometric analysis of medical fees across Australia Abstract: One of the clearest predictions of economic theory is that an autonomous increase in supply will depress the price which equilibriates supply and demand. However, US evidence with respect to medical fees has been perverse: higher fees have been observed in areas with more doctors even after standardizing for other relevant variables. This has resulted in two broad responses. Some have invoked the (once) controversial theory of supplier-induced demand to account for the anomaly. Others have suggested ingenious ways of explaining the results within the orthodox framework in which supply and demand are independent. There has been almost no analysis of price formulation in the Australian medical market. It has been generally assumed that the usual supply-demand relationships apply in the Australian context, and that perversity in the US is attributable to US-specific market characteristics. The present article examines the setting of GP fees in the Australian market using 1995 cross-section data from statistical sub-divisions. The implications of the results for workforce planning and for the analysis of consumer benefits are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 253-266 Issue: 3 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500218513 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500218513 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:3:p:253-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Goddard Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Goddard Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Author-Name: John Wilson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Do firm sizes and profit rates converge? Evidence on Gibrat's Law and the persistence of profits in the long run Abstract: Three panel unit root tests are applied to a 31-year firm size, growth and profit rate data set for 96 large, quoted UK firms. All tests reject the unit root null for log size if the Augmented Dickey Fuller autoregressions exclude a linear time trend. If a linear trend is included, the results are more ambiguous and appear to differ systematically between tests. The view that firm growth is either random or near-random does not receive unequivocal support in all tests. There is however strong and consistent evidence of mean-reversion in profit rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 267-278 Issue: 3 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500367955 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500367955 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:3:p:267-278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bryan Boulier Author-X-Name-First: Bryan Author-X-Name-Last: Boulier Author-Name: H. O. Stekler Author-X-Name-First: H. O. Author-X-Name-Last: Stekler Author-Name: Sarah Amundson Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Amundson Title: Testing the efficiency of the National Football League betting market Abstract: This study presents three tests of efficiency of the NFL betting market for the years 1994-2000. First, it tests for weak-form informational efficiency of the betting market. Then it examines whether the market incorporates objective information such as power scores and stadium characteristics that might be useful for predicting game outcomes. Finally, it determines whether alternative betting strategies would have yielded a profit. Although there is some indication that differences in the playing surfaces of home and visiting teams were not fully reflected in the betting lines, it is found that there is no conclusive evidence to suggest that the market was inefficient over the period examined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 279-284 Issue: 3 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500368904 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500368904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:3:p:279-284 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Seema Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Seema Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Government revenue and government expenditure nexus: evidence from developing countries Abstract: The relationship between government revenue and government expenditure has attracted a lot of interest given its policy relevance, particularly with respect to budget deficits. The goal of this paper is to investigate evidence for causality between government revenue and government expenditure within a multivariate framework by modelling them together with gross domestic product for 12 developing countries. Our application of the Toda and Yamamoto (1995) test for Granger causality reveals support for the tax-and-spend hypothesis for Mauritius, El Salvador, Haiti, Chile and Venezuela. For Haiti, there is evidence for the spend-and-tax hypothesis, while for Peru, South Africa, Guatemala, Uruguay and Ecuador there is evidence of neutrality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 285-291 Issue: 3 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500369209 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500369209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:3:p:285-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Moore Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Author-Name: Jonathan Shepherd Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Shepherd Title: The cost of fear: shadow pricing the intangible costs of crime Abstract: This study employs a cross sectional crime survey of UK residents to estimate the shadow price of victimization with respect to fear of crime. Particular attention is paid to the relationship between household income and fear of crime and potential mediating variables such as neighbourhood deprivation and neighbourhood crime rates. A robust relationship between fear of crime and income is demonstrated having controlled for deprivation and crime rate. Further analyses suggest that a substantial increase in household income is required to offset the threat of physical violence. However, actual victimization (burglary, physical violence and car crime) do not significantly influence fear of crime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 293-300 Issue: 3 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500367781 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500367781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:3:p:293-300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kajal Mukhopadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Kajal Author-X-Name-Last: Mukhopadhyay Author-Name: Lawrence Marsh Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Marsh Title: An approach to nonparametric smoothing techniques for regressions with discrete data Abstract: This paper proposes nonparametric regression estimation techniques for small samples in situations where the dependent variable involves count data. Often the form of a kernel will not matter asymptotically. However, in small samples the kernel structure may play a more important role in approximating the small sample distribution especially for discrete random variables. In particular for count data we introduce a Poisson kernel regression estimator and a binomial kernel regression estimator. These new regression methods are applied to coal mine wildcat strike data. We use cross validation to evaluate out-of-sample performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 301-305 Issue: 3 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500368581 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500368581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:3:p:301-305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kian Teng Kwek Author-X-Name-First: Kian Teng Author-X-Name-Last: Kwek Author-Name: Kuan Nee Koay Author-X-Name-First: Kuan Nee Author-X-Name-Last: Koay Title: Exchange rate volatility and volatility asymmetries: an application to finding a natural dollar currency Abstract: Based on six daily spot nominal exchange rate returns denominated in the US dollar, viz-a-viz UK Pound, Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc, Canadian dollar, Australian dollar and Singapore dollar, this paper tries to find a natural Dollar currency by comparing the linear/nonlinear dynamics in the conditional variance of these bilateral exchange rate returns (time varying volatility vs. asymmetries). The characteristics of the unconditional distribution of the FX returns justified the use of the GARCH class of models of conditional volatility. Strong time varying symmetric effects are apparent in all the series examined, especially in the Australian dollar. Further asymmetric effects in unexpected appreciations and depreciations of currencies are examined based on the GJR model, the ST GARCH model and the ANST-GARCH model (which encompasses several asymmetric models). The estimates of asymmetric models show weak evidence of asymmetries in most of the currencies, except in the Japanese Yen and UK Pound. Further findings show that the Japanese Yen is a non-natural Dollar country. However, there may possibly exist some mild deterministic asymmetric effect in the UK Pound. Based on the symmetric GARCH model, a trader/investor may consider Australian dollar as the relatively most 'likable' currency, i.e. relatively the least volatile currency and relatively the most synchronized with the US dollar. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 307-323 Issue: 3 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500368672 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500368672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:3:p:307-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sara Lemos Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Lemos Title: Anticipated effects of the minimum wage on prices Abstract: There is little empirical evidence on the effect of minimum wage increases on prices, particularly for developing countries. This paper provides estimates of this effect using monthly Brazilian household and firm data over 18 years. As minimum wage increases in Brazil sare large and frequent, they have a potentially important impact on aggregate prices. Rational agents, in anticipation of such price effects, may take minimum wage increases as a signal for future price and wage bargains. We find that the minimum wage raises overall prices not only on the month of the increase, but also in the two months prior to the change as well as after the change. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 325-337 Issue: 3 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500368722 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500368722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:3:p:325-337 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: On economic growth, FDI and exports in China Abstract: China has achieved high economic growth for a prolonged period of time. Academic researchers have tried alternative explanations for this miraculous growth. This study focuses on the effect of exports and foreign direct investments (FDI) on economic performance, using a large panel data set encompassing 28 Chinese provinces over the period 1978-2000. Adopting Pedroni's panel unit root test and Arellano and Bond's dynamic panel data estimating technique, it is found that both exports and FDI have a strong and positive effect on economic growth. The results suggest that two development policies adopted in China are useful for other developing and transitional economies: export promotion and adoption of world technology and business practices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 339-351 Issue: 3 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500368730 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500368730 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:3:p:339-351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodolfo Aquino Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Aquino Title: A variance equality test of the ICAPM on Philippine stocks: post-Asian financial crisis period Abstract: The study examines whether Fama's discrete version of Merton's intertemporal CAPM (ICAPM) can explain the negative market risk premium and the cross-sectional variability of Philippine stock returns after the onset of the Asian financial crisis in July 1997. The change in foreign exchange rate, in addition to the change in market risk premium, is used as a state variable of hedging concern to investors. The relationship of Fama's multifactor minimum-variance (MMV) portfolio to the Markowitz minimum-variance (MV) portfolio is characterized in terms of the equality of the return variances for the same expected return. A test due to Basak et al. (2002) is then used to verify the equality of the return variance of a derived tangency portfolio along the MMV frontier to an MV portfolio with the same sample mean return. The results do not reject the ICAPM during the period covered by the study. Thus, the model provides a plausible explanation both for the cross-sectional variability of stock returns and the negative market risk premium within the framework of mean-variance optimizing investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 353-362 Issue: 3 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500368854 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500368854 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:3:p:353-362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott Blunk Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Blunk Author-Name: David Clark Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Author-Name: James McGibany Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: McGibany Title: Evaluating the long-run impacts of the 9/11 terrorist attacks on US domestic airline travel Abstract: Although the US airline industry began 2001 with 24 consecutive profitable quarters, including net profits in 2000 totaling $7.9 billion, the impact of the 9/11 event on the industry was substantial. Whereas the recession that began in early 2001 signaled the end of profitability, the 9/11 terrorist attacks pushed the industry into financial crisis after air travel dropped 20% over the September-December 2001 period compared to the same period in 2000. Given the decline in domestic air travel, an important question is whether the detrimental impact of the attacks was temporary or permanent. That is, did airline travel return to the trend that existed prior to the terrorist attacks? There are theoretical reasons to the believe that it would not. Economists have long viewed travel-mode choices as the outcome of a comparison of opportunity costs and benefits. Thus, anything that permanently raises the opportunity cost of travel, holding benefits constant, should reduce the level of travel volume. To determine whether air travel was permanently reduced, we use econometric and time-series forecasting models to generate a counter-factual forecast of air travel volume in the absence of the terrorist attacks. These dynamic forecasts are compared to actual air travel levels to determine the impact of the terrorist attacks. The findings suggest that domestic air travel did not return to the levels that would have existed in the absence of the attack. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 363-370 Issue: 4 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500367930 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500367930 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:4:p:363-370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Neil Powe Author-X-Name-First: Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Powe Author-Name: Kenneth Willis Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Willis Author-Name: Guy Garrod Author-X-Name-First: Guy Author-X-Name-Last: Garrod Title: Difficulties in valuing street light improvement: trust, surprise and bound effects Abstract: Previous empirical research has demonstrated an internal inconsistency that may occur in response strategies between the first and second valuations made to closed-ended contingent valuation questions. One possible explanation for this bound effect is the surprise of being asked the second valuation question, which may be enhanced where there is a lack of trust. This paper considers the use of closed-ended contingent valuation to estimate non-market benefits for an improved street lighting scheme where there is a lack of trust in the agency responsible for provision. The results provide confirmation that surprise is an important determinant of bound effects; however, efforts to reduce such bias using a prior statement of the bid range were found to be ineffective in increasing trust and reducing surprise. Given the importance of this area of research, directions for future research are considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 371-381 Issue: 4 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500369274 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500369274 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:4:p:371-381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Gaudin Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Gaudin Title: Effect of price information on residential water demand Abstract: Microeconomic theory predicts that people decrease consumption when price increases, the magnitude of the effect depending on price elasticity. The law of demand, however, implicitly assumes that consumers know prices, an assumption that is not always satisfied in markets with ex post billing. When prices are not transparent, elasticity estimates are potentially lower than their full information potential. Evidence of low price elasticity abounds in residential water demand studies, limiting the effectiveness and desirability of using price signals as a conservation tool. It is hypothesized that resident's sluggish response to price is partly due to the absence of price information on water bills. Differences in the informational content of bills are documented for the first time on the basis of sample bills collected from 383 utilities across the USA. A standard aggregate water demand model is augmented with qualitative variables describing differences in billing information, allowing such variables to affect the intensity with which consumers respond to price signals. No evidence is found that non-price information items affect price elasticity but there is a statistically significant effect in the case of price-related information; in our sample, price elasticity increases by 30% or more when price information is given on the bill. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 383-393 Issue: 4 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500397499 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500397499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:4:p:383-393 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaesun Noh Author-X-Name-First: Jaesun Author-X-Name-Last: Noh Author-Name: Tae-Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tae-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Forecasting volatility of futures market: the S&P 500 and FTSE 100 futures using high frequency returns and implied volatility Abstract: We show that historical volatility from high frequency returns outperforms implied volatility when standardized returns by historical volatility tends to be normally distributed. For the FTSE 100 futures, we find that historical volatility using high frequency returns outperforms implied volatility in forecasting future volatility. However, we find that implied volatility outperforms historical volatility in forecasting future volatility for the S&P 500 futures. The results also indicate that historical volatility using high frequency returns could be an unbiased forecast for the FTSE 100 futures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 395-413 Issue: 4 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500391229 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500391229 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:4:p:395-413 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Manuchehr Irandoust Author-X-Name-First: Manuchehr Author-X-Name-Last: Irandoust Title: The response of industry employment to exchange rate shocks: evidence from panel cointegration Abstract: This study investigates the long-run relationship between employment and exchange rate shocks at the industry level for France. Using panel unit roots and panel cointegration analysis, it is found that the French industries are quite sensitive to exchange rate changes. The estimated long-run elasticities reveal that exchange rates do influence industry employment in the expected way, that is, real appreciations are associated with decline in manufacturing for all industries in the sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 415-421 Issue: 4 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500392243 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500392243 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:4:p:415-421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo Henriquez Hofter Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Henriquez Author-X-Name-Last: Hofter Title: Private health insurance and utilization of health services in Chile Abstract: This paper analyses the choice of private health insurance in Chile and how this relates to the utilization of health services. The results show the importance of some demographics on the insurance decision, particularly age, gender and marital status. Socio-economic factors such as education, income, employment status and zone of residence, all influence the probability of purchasing private insurance. The relevance of these determinants is confirmed using a simulation analysis with four representative decision-makers. This simulation also provides evidence of a positive selection into private insurance, although this would be driven by the different criteria used to set premiums under private and public insurance schemes. The potential linkage between utilization of health services and private health insurance is examined using a simultaneous two-equation framework. Two measures of utilization are estimated: outpatient health services, and length of stay in hospital. A number of explanatory variables, selected on the basis of previous findings, were used to estimate these two dependent variables, and self-assessed health status and long-term activity limitations emerge as important factors in explaining utilization. Private health insurance cover positively affects only one of the two measures of utilization: outpatient health services. This provides evidence of the moral hazard effect pointed out earlier by Arrow (1963). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 423-439 Issue: 4 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500392797 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500392797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:4:p:423-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayfer Karayel Author-X-Name-First: Ayfer Author-X-Name-Last: Karayel Title: The intragenerationally redistributive effects of the retirement insurance scheme in Turkey before and after the 1999 reform Abstract: The paper analyses the intragenerational redistribution generated by the retirement insurance scheme in Turkey before and after the 1999 reform. Previous research shows that when a pension scheme's contribution and benefit schedules are proportional, the existence of an intergenerational redistribution is a precondition for the existence of an intragenerational redistribution, but that, otherwise, redistribution within a generation is possible without intergenerational redistribution. The main finding of this work is that the existence of the intergenerational redistribution is still a precondition for the old pension scheme despite its disproportional benefit schedule. Under the assumptions used, both of the schemes redistribute from high-wage earners to low-wage earners among women, but redistribute differently among men. Among men, the old scheme generates indeterminable transfers, although the new scheme redistributes from low-wage earners to high wage-earners. The analysis takes into account a hypothetical distribution of wages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 441-448 Issue: 4 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500393001 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500393001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:4:p:441-448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Shu-Chin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Time-varying discrete monetary policy reaction functions Abstract: A novel dynamic ordered probit model with time-varying parameters is proposed to estimate a monetary policy reaction function with narrative-based monetary indicators. The estimation and inference are carried out using the Bayesian simulation-based approach. Empirically, these are the following findings. First, there is strong evidence in support that the Central Bank in Taiwan responds counter-cyclically to inflation but weaker, if any, evidence to economic growth. Secondly, the persistence and consistence in policy-making of the monetary authority is confirmed by the significance of the positive autoregressive coefficient. Although not all, the estimates of the TVP-DOP model provide, at least, partial support of time-varying parameters. Finally, the results indicate that studies of the discrete monetary policy reaction functions without explicitly considering the possible dynamics inherent in the time series data and time-variations in model parameters may be inappropriate, if not incorrect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 449-464 Issue: 4 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500395386 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500395386 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:4:p:449-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Crespo Cuaresma Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Crespo Author-X-Name-Last: Cuaresma Author-Name: Adelina Gschwandtner Author-X-Name-First: Adelina Author-X-Name-Last: Gschwandtner Title: The competitive environment hypothesis revisited: non-linearity, nonstationarity and profit persistence Abstract: Much empirical literature dealing with the competitive environment hypothesis tends to find nonstationary behaviour and very high persistence in time series of company profits. Profit time series is modelled using a simple threshold autoregressive model that allows for nonstationary behaviour over subsamples. Using a new dataset consisting of profits for more than 150 US companies over a time period of 50 years, statistical evidence is presented that the high persistence observed in profits when using linear autoregressive models is often due to the misspecification of the data generating process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 465-472 Issue: 4 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500390312 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500390312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:4:p:465-472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Title: Education policy reform, local average treatment effect and returns to schooling from instrumental variables in the Philippines Abstract: A nationally representative dataset from the Philippines is used to derive returns to schooling estimates from instrumental variables, utilizing a supply-side intervention in the education market capable of generating significant changes in schooling. These estimates apply to a subgroup of, mainly, liquidity constrained individuals, in the spirit of the Local Average Treatment Effect (LATE) literature. Returns to schooling estimates which apply to a subgroup of individuals affected by policy intervention may be more interesting from a policy perspective than the return to the 'average' individual. The findings are consistent with other recent evidence suggesting that the causal effect of education, at least for certain subgroups of individuals, is as big or bigger than what is suggested by OLS estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 473-481 Issue: 4 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500367864 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500367864 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:4:p:473-481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Walker Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Title: Predicting presidential election results Abstract: The 2004 US presidential election proved again how difficult it is to predict vote shares on the basis of polls. Midday media exit polls suggested that Senator Kerry would become the 44th President. Political scientists and econometricians, led by Ray Fair, have promulgated theoretical arguments and empirical results to predict US presidential elections, using macro-economic data and political factors. Respecifying Fair's war variable to include Korea and Vietnam and removing serial correlation improves his election forecasting without public opinion poll variables. This generalized Fair model predicts President Bush's two-party vote share would be 52.3 percent, well below predictions by Fair and prestigious political scientists. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 483-490 Issue: 5 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500391385 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500391385 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:5:p:483-490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brent Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: Does female education prevent the spread of HIV-AIDS in Sub-Saharan Africa? Abstract: Cross-section estimates of 31 countries for the year 2000 are used to examine the effect of the level of female education, and the gap between male and female levels, on the prevalence of HIV/AIDS in Sub-Saharan Africa. Many standard types of education are analysed and a non-standard category involving under- and over-aged primary school enrollees are identified. Although it is found that female education is positively related to country infection rates, there is scope to reduce infection rates by substituting one type of education for another. It is estimated that female infection rates peak within 15-17 years of the first case reported. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 491-503 Issue: 5 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500392045 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500392045 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:5:p:491-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claire Champenois Author-X-Name-First: Claire Author-X-Name-Last: Champenois Author-Name: Dirk Engel Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Engel Author-Name: Oliver Heneric Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Heneric Title: What kind of German biotechnology start-ups do venture capital companies and corporate investors prefer for equity investments? Abstract: The paper deals with the role played by private equity investors (venture capital companies and corporate investors) in the emergence of a new biotechnology industry in Germany in the second half of the 90's. Our analysis takes into account the different business models and business fields to be found in the biotechnology industry. Based on theoretical arguments, a great relevance of venture capital companies (VCC) in financing young innovative biotechnology firms developing health care applications and technology platforms is expected, whereas corporate investors like incumbents in pharmaceutical and chemical industries may play a more important role in financing supplier companies. The empirical analysis is based on 378 biotechnology firms, founded between 1995 and 1999. Descriptive results emphasize a crucial importance of the access to venture capital provided by venture capital companies: VCC are venturing partner of 42 percent of healthcare developer in their early stage. Opposite to that, corporate investors are marginally involved as venturing partner of high risk projects. The observed pattern also holds in a multivariate analysis which controls for some core variables as determinants of equity funding. The result for corporate investors differs from observations in the US for collaborative arrangements. Therefore, country specific settings may matter. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 505-518 Issue: 5 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500391146 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500391146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:5:p:505-518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cinthia Cabral da Costa Author-X-Name-First: Cinthia Cabral da Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Author-Name: Heloisa Lee Burnquist Author-X-Name-First: Heloisa Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Burnquist Author-Name: Joaquim Jose Martins Guilhoto Author-X-Name-First: Joaquim Jose Martins Author-X-Name-Last: Guilhoto Title: Relations of the regional Brazilian cane agro-industry with the national economy: analysis applied to the Centre-South and North-Northeast Abstract: Cane, sugar and ethanol production in Brazil has been divided between two major production regions, the Centre-South (CS) and the North-Northeast (NNE), which present very different productivity, and henceforth production costs. The CS average productivity is more than 72 tonnes of cane per hectare, while average productivity in the NNE is 49 tonnes per hectare. The objective of the study was to establish interrelations between the cane agro-industry and other regional sectors and with the overall Brazilian economy. This framework was used to compare a demand impact upon regional cane production upon the regional and the overall Brazilian economy. An interregional input-output matrix was used to characterize how regional demand impacts on both regional and overall Brazilian economies. Rasmussen-Hirschman indexes, together with a pure linkage index were used for the analysis. In addition, production multipliers, with and without considering endogenous family consumption were estimated. The results showed that a positive demand impact upon the cane agro-industry produces a greater impact upon the NNE compared to the CS, considering income effects, indicating that cane production is more important for the NNE than for the CS. These results can be useful to establish priorities for development policies for the country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 519-531 Issue: 5 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500391039 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500391039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:5:p:519-531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Falk Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Falk Title: What drives business Research and Development (R&D) intensity across Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries? Abstract: This paper empirically investigates the potential determinants of business-sector R&D intensity using a panel of OECD (countries for the period of 1975-2002 with data measured as five-year averages). Estimates using a system GMM estimator controlling for endogeneity show a high degree of persistence in business-sector R&D expenditures. Tax incentives for R&D have a significant and positive impact on business R&D spending regardless of the specification and estimation techniques. Furthermore, we find that expenditures for R&D performed by universities are significantly positively related to business enterprise sector expenditures on R&D indicating that public sector R&D and private R&D are complements. Direct R&D subsidies and the high-tech export share are significantly positively related to business-sector R&D intensity, but these effects are only significant using the first-differenced GMM estimator. The static fixed effects results show that countries characterised by strong patent rights appear to have higher R&D intensities, but this effect is no longer significant in the dynamic panel data model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 533-547 Issue: 5 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500391187 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500391187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:5:p:533-547 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edinaldo Tebaldi Author-X-Name-First: Edinaldo Author-X-Name-Last: Tebaldi Author-Name: Bruce Elmslie Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Elmslie Title: Sexual orientation and labour supply Abstract: This is the first study of the effects of sexual orientation on labour supply. After discussing various reasons to expect that labour supply could differ by sexual orientation, the 2001 Current Population Survey is used to test for differences in both labour supply and labour market status (part-time, full-time, and not employed). It is found that gay men supply less labour than married and unmarried heterosexual men. With regard to women, it is found that lesbians supply more labour and are more likely to be employed full-time than either married or unmarried heterosexual women. Extensive controls are used and links to the discrimination literature are found. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 549-562 Issue: 5 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500293789 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500293789 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:5:p:549-562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Female labour force participation, fertility and infant mortality in Australia: some empirical evidence from Granger causality tests Abstract: This study applies Granger causality tests within a multivariate error correction framework to examine the relationship between female participation rates, infant mortality rates and fertility rates for Australia using annual data from 1960 to 2000. Decomposition of variance and impulse response functions are also considered. The main findings are twofold. First, in the short run there is unidirectional Granger causality running from the fertility rate to female labour force participation and from the infant mortality rate to female labour force participation while there is neutrality between the fertility rate and infant mortality rate. Second, in the long run both the fertility rate and infant mortality rate Granger cause female labour participation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 563-572 Issue: 5 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500118838 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500118838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:5:p:563-572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nigel Key Author-X-Name-First: Nigel Author-X-Name-Last: Key Author-Name: Michael Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Author-Name: Erik O'Donoghue Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: O'Donoghue Title: Risk and farm operator labour supply Abstract: This study uses a large increase in US Federal crop insurance subsidies as a natural experiment to identify the importance of risk for farm operator labour supply. Subsidy increases induced greater crop insurance coverage, which in turn reduced farmers' financial risks. Crop insurance participation data are merged with farm-level Census of Agriculture data from 1992 and 1997 to compare how individuals' off-farm labour supply changed in response to the policy-induced change in insurance coverage. The empirical approach controls for unobserved heterogeneity and accounts for the censored nature of the data. It is found that greater insurance coverage reduces the off-farm labour supply of operators who produced at least $100 000 of output, and increased the labour supply of small-farm operators who produced less than $25 000 of output. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 573-586 Issue: 5 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500369043 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500369043 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:5:p:573-586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kaili Shen Author-X-Name-First: Kaili Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Rational exuberance at the mall: addiction to carrying a credit card balance Abstract: The Becker-Murphy model of rational addiction is tested with New Zealand credit card debt data. The results clearly favour the rational addiction model over the myopic, backward-looking model. The estimated short-run and long-run price elasticities are -0.58 and -2.32 respectively, and the estimated rate of time-preference is 6.7% per quarter. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 587-592 Issue: 5 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500369167 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500369167 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:5:p:587-592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Titus Awokuse Author-X-Name-First: Titus Author-X-Name-Last: Awokuse Title: Export-led growth and the Japanese economy: evidence from VAR and directed acyclic graphs Abstract: This paper explores the causal relationship between real exports and GDP growth in Japan using two recently developed causal modelling approaches. Using Japanese time series, the paper employed the augmented VAR methodology developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) to test for Granger non-causality. Then, a more recently developed technique of directed acyclic graphs (DAG) was also used in providing over-identifying restrictions on the innovations from a vector autoregression (VAR) model. In contrast to prior analyses, the application of DAG techniques allows for the examination of both contemporaneous and dynamic causal structure of the exports-productivity nexus. The empirical results reveal that the causal path between exports and GDP growth in Japan is bi-directional. Furthermore, other variables such as capital and foreign output are also significant determinants of productivity growth in Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 593-602 Issue: 5 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600619594 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600619594 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:5:p:593-602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roshni Mangalore Author-X-Name-First: Roshni Author-X-Name-Last: Mangalore Title: Income, health and health care utilization in the UK Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse the links between income, health and health care utilisation behaviour using longitudinal data from the British Household Panel Survey. The emphasis is to frame the analysis as a social phenomenon, so that the dynamics of individual health production in the social context can be understood. The study estimates the relationships between income, health and health care utilisation with lag effects. The empirical results support the hypothesis that these three variables influence each other with lag effects and that many social and economic factors influence an individual's probability of having a health problem or making use of health care facilities, even when such facilities are free at the point of use. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 605-617 Issue: 6 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500397192 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500397192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:6:p:605-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mats Hammarstedt Author-X-Name-First: Mats Author-X-Name-Last: Hammarstedt Title: The predicted earnings differential and immigrant self-employment in Sweden Abstract: This paper investigates the influence of the predicted earnings differential between self-employment and wage-employment on self-employment propensities among immigrants in Sweden. Immigrants from non-European countries have essentially lower earnings from self-employment and wage-employment than immigrants from European countries. It is found that the difference between an immigrant's predicted earnings in self- and wage-employment has a strong influence on an immigrant's self-employment decision. A one unit increase in the log differential between self-employment and wage-employment earnings increase the self-employment rate among immigrants by about 5 percentage points, suggesting that discriminatory wages in the wage-employment sector may push immigrants towards self-employment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 619-630 Issue: 6 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500397069 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500397069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:6:p:619-630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Jarrett Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Jarrett Author-Name: Eric Kyper Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Kyper Title: Capital market efficiency and the predictability of daily returns Abstract: Studies of the weak form of the capital market efficiency theorem infer that there are no predictable properties of the time series of prices of traded securities on organized markets. We examine the weak form of the efficient markets hypothesis with respect to daily closing prices to indicate evidence that daily closing prices have predictable properties. Furthermore, this study of individual securities prices of traded securities on organized markets corroborates previous findings of studies of stock market indexes both in the United States and in other nations' bourses or stock exchanges. Often, these studies indicated that daily patterns are present in the times series of securities prices. The purpose of this paper is to clarify the existence of time series characteristics of daily stock prices of securities traded on organized exchanges. This study differs from previous studies where the focus was on index numbers of daily stock market prices rather than the actual prices of traded securities in the United States. Furthermore, this study is important because of the weak theory of market efficiency and its application to short-term forecasting of closing prices of traded securities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 631-636 Issue: 6 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600581422 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600581422 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:6:p:631-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Teresa Harrison Author-X-Name-First: Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Harrison Title: Hospital mergers: who merges with whom? Abstract: Merger pairings are categorized based on the ownership status, teaching status, hospital size, caseload severity, and geographical distance of merging hospitals to determine the types of hospitals that tend to merge with each other. The results show that mergers between two non-teaching, nonprofit or for-profit hospitals occur more often, but that only ownership status, not teaching status, affects the propensity to merge after controlling for other merger pair characteristics. This paper also finds that hospitals are more likely to merge with a partner of similar size and close geographical proximity, but not necessarily the closest candidate. However, ownership status, not distance between hospitals, is the dominant determinant of merger pairs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 637-647 Issue: 6 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500395360 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500395360 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:6:p:637-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suwen Pan Author-X-Name-First: Suwen Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Helen Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Author-Name: Wayne Fuller Author-X-Name-First: Wayne Author-X-Name-Last: Fuller Author-Name: Samarendu Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Samarendu Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Title: The effects of local labour market conditions on welfare programme participation Abstract: A fractional imputation method is applied to Iowa administrative data to deal with a problem of missing data. The effects of local labour market conditions and mobility of household heads on Family Investment Program (FIP) participation are evaluated. Results show that mobility increases the opportunity for employment and decreases the FIP participation rate for low-income families. An increase in predicted unemployment rates decreases labour force participation and increases programme participation; an increase in unpredicted unemployment rates increases labour force participation and decreases programme participation. Overall, the effects are relatively larger in rural areas than in nonrural areas in Iowa. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 649-659 Issue: 6 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500397259 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500397259 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:6:p:649-659 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kent Matthews Author-X-Name-First: Kent Author-X-Name-Last: Matthews Author-Name: Jonathan Shepherd Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Shepherd Author-Name: Vaseekaran Sivarajasingham Author-X-Name-First: Vaseekaran Author-X-Name-Last: Sivarajasingham Title: Violence-related injury and the price of beer in England and Wales Abstract: The paper examines the influence of the real price of beer on violence-related injuries across the economic regions in England and Wales. The data are monthly frequency of violent-injury collected from a stratified sample of 58 National Health Service Emergency Departments 1995-2000. An econometric model based on economic, socio-demographic and environmental factors was estimated using panel techniques. It is shown that the rate of violence-related injury is negatively related to the real price of beer, as well as economic, sporting and socio-demographic factors. The principal conclusion of the paper is that the regional distribution of the incidence of violent injury is related to the regional distribution of the price of beer. The major policy conclusion is that increased alcohol prices would result in substantially fewer violent injuries and reduced demand on trauma services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 661-670 Issue: 6 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500397341 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500397341 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:6:p:661-670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qinghua Liu Author-X-Name-First: Qinghua Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: C. Richard Shumway Author-X-Name-First: C. Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Shumway Title: Geographic aggregation and induced innovation in American agriculture Abstract: The induced innovation hypothesis is tested for the USA and western regions using cointegration procedures. An error correction model separates short-run and long-run effects of relative price changes. A significant difference in the elasticities of factor substitution along the isoquant and the innovation possibility curve implies induced innovation. The estimated results support the hypothesis for Washington, the Pacific Northwest, and the Western Region, but not for the nation. Corroborative tests of weak exogeneity fail to support the hypothesis in any of the geographic units. Changes in output level and research investment do not significantly bias agricultural technology in the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 671-682 Issue: 6 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500397457 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500397457 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:6:p:671-682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Evren Damar Author-X-Name-First: H. Evren Author-X-Name-Last: Damar Title: The effects of shared ATM networks on the efficiency of Turkish banks Abstract: This study investigates whether forming shared ATM networks has yielded positive benefits for banks in Turkey by increasing their productive efficiency. Using a Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) approach, pure technical and scale efficiency scores of Turkish banks are estimated and analysed for the period 2000-2003. The results suggest that although it is possible to realize positive effects through ATM sharing arrangements, there are multiple factors that determine which banks realize such benefits. The geographical distribution of shared ATMs between urban and rural markets and the level of competition between banks within urban areas are shown to be important determinants of differences in bank efficiency. This discrepancy between the gains associated with ATM sharing may have important implications concerning the adoption and sharing of new technology by banks in developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 683-697 Issue: 6 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500394264 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500394264 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:6:p:683-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chao-Liang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chao-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The portable guarantee to exchange back an old defined benefit for a new defined contribution (DC) pension plan Abstract: As a defined contribution (DC) pension plan is introduced to replace a defined benefit (DB) pension plan, the portability benefit from a DC pension plan costs the employees to bear the investment risk from managing the pension fund. To protect the retirement income and maintain the portability benefit, a guarantee to exchange back the old defined benefit is supposed to be demanded for the new DC plan's participants in the guarantee market. In light of such a demand, this article applies a claim-terminating insurance pricing model to offer a contingent claims pricing model for a portable pension guarantee. Using the new labor pension plan of Taiwan as an illustration, a guaranteed DC pension will carry an extra cost of almost 50% up to over 100% of the plan's contributions over the participant's work life, given the current mandatory minimum requirement of a contribution rate of 6%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 699-706 Issue: 6 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500397127 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500397127 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:6:p:699-706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno Chiarini Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Chiarini Author-Name: Elisabetta Marzano Author-X-Name-First: Elisabetta Author-X-Name-Last: Marzano Title: Market consumption and hidden consumption. A test for substitutability Abstract: In this paper an empirical analysis is performed on the relationship between private consumption and underground economy for the Italian case. It is found that private market consumption and underground (or hidden) consumption may be defined as 'complementary goods': an increase in underground consumption tends to increase family market consumption and increase its marginal utility. An implication of this result is that the nonmarket sector does not offer hedging opportunities to the consumer-worker as stressed by Busato and Chiarini's (2004) artificial economy. Moreover, wealth effects associated with a change in underground consumption are negative. A statistical model confirms this structural interpretation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 707-716 Issue: 6 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500396632 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500396632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:6:p:707-716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Biman Chand Prasad Author-X-Name-First: Biman Chand Author-X-Name-Last: Prasad Title: Doubling fish exports or garment exports: which would benefit the Fijian economy most? Evidence from a computable general equilibrium model Abstract: The need to diversify Fiji's export base has been identified as an important avenue for reducing Fiji's vulnerabilities in international trade. This paper poses the question: Doubling fish exports or garment exports: which would be most beneficial for the Fijian economy? To achieve the goal of this paper, the computable general equilibrium model is used, this being at the forefront of research on 'impact studies'. The main finding is that when garment exports and fish exports are doubled, the benefits to the Fijian economy are greater from garment exports, suggesting that the latter has stronger linkages with the rest of the economy. On the basis of this finding, policymakers should divert resources towards sustaining the garment industry whose future is uncertain due to expiring trade agreements and unstable economic policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 717-723 Issue: 6 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500396731 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500396731 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:6:p:717-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hubert Ooghe Author-X-Name-First: Hubert Author-X-Name-Last: Ooghe Author-Name: Tine De Langhe Author-X-Name-First: Tine Author-X-Name-Last: De Langhe Author-Name: Jan Camerlynck Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Camerlynck Title: Profile of multiple versus single acquirers and their targets: a research note Abstract: Few studies have addressed the pre-take-over financial characteristics of multiple versus single acquirers and their targets. Therefore this study investigates whether multiple acquirers, with some experience in acquiring companies, might acquire firms with different (better) financial characteristics than single acquirers. Results confirm this hypothesis in multiple ways. It seems that multiple acquirers look for complementary firms in terms of sales and growth. Multiple acquirers specifically want to acquire companies with a high sales generating ability in order to improve their own sales generating ability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 725-733 Issue: 7 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500293581 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500293581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:7:p:725-733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Knut Veisten Author-X-Name-First: Knut Author-X-Name-Last: Veisten Author-Name: Ståle Navrud Author-X-Name-First: Ståle Author-X-Name-Last: Navrud Title: Contingent valuation and actual payment for voluntarily provided passive-use values: Assessing the effect of an induced truth-telling mechanism and elicitation formats Abstract: A fundamental question about the contingent valuation (CV) method is to what degree it predicts actual payments (AP). This has particularly been an intriguing matter related to voluntary provision of public goods representing primarily passive-use values. This paper reports the results from such a CV-AP comparison. Applying a voluntary payment mechanism there exists a theoretical expectation of upward bias in CV estimates and downward bias in AP. This study applied an induced truth-telling mechanism in one treatment group to assess the hypothetical bias effect in CV. The CV estimates in this treatment group were significantly lower than in the group that did not face this mechanism. But this effect was limited to those responding/acting to dichotomous choice, not affecting those responding to open-ended questions about willingness to pay. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 735-756 Issue: 7 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500400152 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500400152 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:7:p:735-756 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nathan Berg Author-X-Name-First: Nathan Author-X-Name-Last: Berg Author-Name: Donald Lien Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Title: Same-sex sexual behaviour: US frequency estimates from survey data with simultaneous misreporting and non-response Abstract: Survey-based research concerning sexual behaviour almost inevitably confronts the simultaneous problems of misreporting and non-response. These problems lead to disparities among estimates of the number and characteristics of those who engage in same-sex sexual behaviour. This paper proposes a statistical model to consistently estimate the frequency of same-sex sexual behaviour in the presence of non-ignorable misreporting and non-response. The model is fitted using 1991-2000 General Social Survey data. Frequency estimates corrected for simultaneous misreporting and non-response are reported. According to the model, 7.1% of US males and 4.1% of females - 15.8 million individuals - are not exclusively heterosexual. Allowing for misreporting and non-response increases the estimated same-sex frequency by more than four million. The model reveals new patterns between misreporting and non-response probabilities and standard demographic variables such as age and income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 757-769 Issue: 7 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427114 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:7:p:757-769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Fernandez Kranz Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Fernandez Author-X-Name-Last: Kranz Title: Why has wage inequality increased more in the USA than in Europe? An empirical investigation of the demand and supply of skill Abstract: During the past two decades the wage gap between high and low skill labour has increased more in the USA than in many European countries. In this paper, the correspondence between occupation and education is used to construct aggregates of skill supply, skill demand and unemployment by skill group that are comparable across countries. Using individual data for years 1983-1994, it is found that the relative demand for skilled labour has increased to a similar extent in the USA and in Europe and that wage inequality remained low in Europe partly because the European relative supply of skill increased much faster than in the USA, and partly because European relative wages were rigid, which caused an increase in unemployment among the low-skilled. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 771-788 Issue: 7 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500396087 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500396087 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:7:p:771-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Connie Bayudan Author-X-Name-First: Connie Author-X-Name-Last: Bayudan Title: Wives' time allocation and intrahousehold power: evidence from the Philippines Abstract: Utilizing a rich survey data collected in the Southern part of the Philippines, this paper examines the time allocation of wives within the collective household framework by investigating not only the role of socioeconomic factors but also the influence of various intrahousehold power indicators. Analysis of autonomy and finality of intrahousehold decisions discloses that decisions are not unilaterally decided by a single household member, a result which confirms the prediction of collective household framework. Adopting a simple test procedure, this paper also examines which of the competing household models, collective or unitary, best describes these Philippine time-use data. Testing results lend support to the validity of the collective household framework. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 789-804 Issue: 7 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600597972 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600597972 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:7:p:789-804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Markus Knell Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Knell Author-Name: Helmut Stix Author-X-Name-First: Helmut Author-X-Name-Last: Stix Title: Three decades of money demand studies: differences and similarities Abstract: By analysing almost 1000 money demand estimations this paper attempts to summarize the diverse findings of the literature on this topic. Using both descriptive statistics and meta-regressions, several stylized facts are derived about the two most prominent determinants of money demand income and interest rate elasticities. In particular, it is shown we show that the size and signs of average elasticities are systematically related to the choice of included variables (e.g. M1 or M3, short-run or long-run interest rates), the country grouping (e.g. USA versus Germany) and the empirical specification (e.g. the inclusion of one or two interest rates). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 805-818 Issue: 7 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600569377 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600569377 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:7:p:805-818 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Title: Multicointegration in US consumption data Abstract: The present study tests for the existence of multicointegration between real per capita private consumption expenditure and real per capita disposable personal income in the USA. In doing so, the study exploits the fact that the flows of disposable income and consumption expenditure on the one hand, and the stock of consumers' wealth, which can be considered as cumulative past discrepancies between the flows of income and expenditure, on the other hand, can be thought of as a stock-flow model, in which multicointegration is likely to occur. Recently developed I(2) techniques are applied for testing for multicointegrating relations and find supporting evidence for the existence of multicointegration in US consumption data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 819-833 Issue: 7 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500398760 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500398760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:7:p:819-833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Isik Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Isik Author-Name: Stephen Devadoss Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Devadoss Title: An analysis of the impact of climate change on crop yields and yield variability Abstract: This paper develops an econometric model of stochastic production functions to quantify the impacts of climatic variables on the mean, variance, and covariance of crop yields. The estimates of the production function parameters and their elasticities are utilized to analyse the impacts of the projected climate change on agriculture. The results show that the climate change will have modest effects on the mean crop yields, but will significantly reduce the variance and covariance for most of the crops considered. The results have implications for allocations of agricultural land among crops and for crop production mix. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 835-844 Issue: 7 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500193682 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500193682 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:7:p:835-844 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Cashin Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Cashin Author-Name: Catherine Pattillo Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Pattillo Title: African terms of trade and the commodity terms of trade: close cousins or distant relatives? Abstract: This paper examines whether there is a relationship between the commodity terms of trade (the price of primary commodities relative to the price of manufactures) and the net barter terms of trade of 42 Sub-Saharan African countries. For most countries, there is little evidence of a stable, long-run relationship between the two terms of trade series. Accordingly, the practice in the literature of proxying for movements in any given country's terms of trade by using an aggregate index of relative commodity prices is inappropriate, and is likely to engender misleading policy conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 845-859 Issue: 8 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600683244 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600683244 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:8:p:845-859 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarah Dolfin Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Dolfin Title: An examination of firms' employment costs Abstract: The existence of quasi-fixed costs of work may affect firms' desired employee hours and number of workers, which has important implications for the estimation of labour supply parameters. Firm-level data from the 1982 Employment Opportunity Pilot Project is used to estimate the importance to firms of employee quasi-fixed costs related to searching, hiring, training, and firing. Specifically, this paper examines how these costs affect number of workers and hours per worker, turnover, and vacancies, to the extent that the costs are determined by the firm's presumably exogenous industrial classification. An attempt is made to control for biases due to employee heterogeneity as well. Results show that higher costs are associated with lower turnover, fewer vacancies, and longer hours as predicted by a model of labour demand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 861-878 Issue: 8 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600597576 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600597576 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:8:p:861-878 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Charikleia Economidou Author-X-Name-First: Charikleia Author-X-Name-Last: Economidou Author-Name: Gour Goswami Author-X-Name-First: Gour Author-X-Name-Last: Goswami Title: Bilateral J-curve between the UK vis-a-vis her major trading partners Abstract: Currency depreciation is said to worsen the trade balance first before resulting in an improvement, yielding a short-run pattern labelled the J-curve phenomenon. While early studies tested the J-curve by using aggregate trade data, a few recent studies have employed bilateral data, mostly between the US and her major trading partners. In this paper we extend the literature by considering the experience of the UK. We test the phenomenon between the UK and her twenty major trading partners by employing data over 1973Q1-2001Q3 period. In most instances, we find no support for the J-curve in the short-run. In the long run, only in five cases has the exchange rate had significant impact on the bilateral trade balance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 879-888 Issue: 8 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500399388 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500399388 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:8:p:879-888 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enrica Carbone Author-X-Name-First: Enrica Author-X-Name-Last: Carbone Title: Understanding intertemporal choices Abstract: Previous experimental results show clearly that many subjects do not optimize when solving a life-cycle consumption problem. What do they do? This paper attempts to resolve this question, looking at the discounting, hyperbolic and rolling models as possible explanations. Data from two experiments (one an experiment with a typical subject pool and the second an experiment with subjects from the CentER panel) is used, and the advantage of having experimental data is exploited, which means that one can actually estimate the hyperbolic model. It is shown that the (exponential) discounting model appears to give the best explanation - suggesting that subjects do look ahead (as they should) but increasingly less as time passes (as they should not in the context of these experiments). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 889-898 Issue: 8 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500399313 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500399313 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:8:p:889-898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tilman Bruck Author-X-Name-First: Tilman Author-X-Name-Last: Bruck Author-Name: John P. Haisken-De New Author-X-Name-First: John P. Haisken-De Author-X-Name-Last: New Author-Name: Klaus Zimmermann Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmermann Title: Creating low skilled jobs by subsidizing market-contracted household work Abstract: The paper analyses the determinants of household work contracted in the German shadow economy. The German socio-economic household panel, which enumerates casual domestic employment, is used to estimate the demand for such household work. The regressors include regional wage rates, household income and several control variables for household composition. It is found that the demand for household work in the shadow economy is very income elastic. This suggests that targeted wage subsidies, linked to household work agencies, would be very effective in raising the legal demand for domestic help. A wage subsidy of 50% of wage costs could thus establish up to 500 000 new jobs for previously unemployed or non-working low skilled workers. The net fiscal costs of such a scheme are about 6.200 Euro per full-time job. In addition, society benefits from more law enforcement and from a raised female labour supply, especially by highly qualified mothers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 899-911 Issue: 8 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500397598 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500397598 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:8:p:899-911 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco de Castro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: de Castro Title: The macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in Spain Abstract: This paper focuses on the effects of fiscal policy in Spain analysed in a VAR context. Fiscal shocks are found to involve significant effects on GDP, private consumption, private investment, interest rates and prices. Non-Keynesian effects are observed. Moreover, evidence on the channels highlighted in the literature for such effects to arise is found, notably the effects of permanent income on consumption and investment on the demand side, coupled with the response of the equilibrium wage on the supply side affecting entrepreneurial profits and investment. The response of interest rates seems to reinforce both effects. Furthermore, the different readings of spending or taxes do not affect macroeconomic variables homogeneously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 913-924 Issue: 8 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500369225 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500369225 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:8:p:913-924 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Grund Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Grund Title: Overcompensation by severance payments Abstract: An important aim of severance payments is to reduce the economic disadvantages of dismissed employees. However, it may well be the case that a considerable fraction of employees is actually better off, if they are re-employed shortly after their dismissal. This is the first attempt to estimate the relevance of overcompensation by severance payments. It is found that about 7% of dismissed employees or about one quarter of those with severance payments are overcompensated in Germany. In particular, employees with many years of tenure have chances to receive severance payments as well as wage increases in their new jobs subsequent to dismissal. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 925-930 Issue: 8 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600581950 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600581950 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:8:p:925-930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oya Pınar Ardıc Author-X-Name-First: Oya Pınar Author-X-Name-Last: Ardıc Author-Name: Faruk Selcuk Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Selcuk Title: The dynamics of a newly floating exchange rate: the Turkish case Abstract: In recent years, many emerging market economies have switched or are in the process of switching to a floating exchange rate regime. Most of these economies have a history of high inflation and a high level of foreign currency denominated debt. Therefore, the stability of the exchange rate and the dynamics of its volatility are more crucial than before. This paper analyses the dynamics of exchange rate in Turkey in the aftermath of recent float in February 2001. The Turkish experience is a particularly important one, and provides valuable lessons for other countries as the Central Bank is trying to simultaneously contain the volatility of exchange rate and pursue an implicit inflation targeting policy. The reported findings indicate that the Central Bank policies, accompanied with favourable external factors, were effective in taming the volatility of the exchange rate in a relatively short period of time. However, there is a significant real appreciation of the currency during the same period. Given the high level of public debt and real interest rates, the current state of the economy is very susceptible to any adverse shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 931-941 Issue: 8 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600649732 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600649732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:8:p:931-941 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taegi Kim Author-X-Name-First: Taegi Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Changsuh Park Author-X-Name-First: Changsuh Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Productivity growth in Korea: efficiency improvement or technical progress? Abstract: This paper shows that the productivity gains in Korean manufacturing are mostly from efficiency improvement rather than from technical progress. These findings are contrary to those of previous sectoral studies of Korean and Taiwanese manufacturing, but are consistent with those of cross-country studies. Regression results show that both domestic and foreign R&D played an important role in increasing efficiency and technical progress in Korean manufacturing. However, domestic R&D has more effect on technical progress, while foreign R&D has played a relatively stronger role in efficiency improvement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 943-954 Issue: 8 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600639006 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600639006 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:8:p:943-954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria de los Angeles Garcia Valinas Author-X-Name-First: Maria de los Angeles Garcia Author-X-Name-Last: Valinas Title: Analysing rationing policies: drought and its effects on urban users' welfare (Analysing rationing policies during drought) Abstract: The aim of this paper is to study the impact on consumers of rationing policies implemented during water shortages. Water scarcity gives rise to the need for rationing, and various methods, including supply cutoffs, can be used. A model is devised to quantify the welfare losses associated with qualitive and quantitive restrictions. Based on virtual prices and using the consumer surplus as a welfare measurement, welfare variations for different users have been calculated. To achieve the aim, information relative to Seville (Spain) has been used, analysing the drought period that took place in the first half of the 1990s. It has been possible to observe the main source that led to welfare losses for each kind of user. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 955-965 Issue: 8 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600638925 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600638925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:8:p:955-965 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dale Cloninger Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Cloninger Author-Name: Roberto Marchesini Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Marchesini Title: Execution moratoriums, commutations and deterrence: the case of Illinois Abstract: In an earlier work the impact of an execution moratorium in Texas on the monthly returns (first differences) of homicides was investigated. That moratorium was judicially imposed pending the appeal of a death sentence that could have had widespread consequences. A similar methodology is applied to the state of Illinois. In January 2000, the Governor of Illinois declared a moratorium on executions pending a review of the judicial process that condemned certain murderers to the death penalty. In January 2003 just prior to leaving office, the Governor commuted the death sentences of all of those who then occupied death row. It is found that these actions are coincident with the increased risk of homicide incurred by the residents of Illinois over the 48 month post-event period for which data were available. The increased risk produced an estimated 150 additional homicides during the post-event period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 967-973 Issue: 9 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500462020 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500462020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:9:p:967-973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Edward Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Author-Name: Michael Nelson Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Nelson Author-Name: Rati Ram Author-X-Name-First: Rati Author-X-Name-Last: Ram Title: Demand elasticities for Internet services Abstract: Noting the phenomenal growth of the Internet during the last few years, the spectacular nature of the information technology revolution represented by it, and lack of direct studies of demand for Internet services, this paper makes a beginning toward providing price- and income-elasticity estimates by using a simple model and cross-country OECD data for the year 2000. Seven main points are noted. First, the demand seems price-inelastic in all variants estimated by us. Second, the income elasticity appears to be unity or larger, indicating Internet services may not constitute a 'necessity'. Third, the absolute price elasticity seems lower, particularly for the broader price measure, in the group of users than for subscribers. Fourth, the income elasticity also seems smaller for users than for subscribers. Fifth, the income-elasticity estimates suggest that measures to encourage Internet usage through subscriptions might not seem equity enhancing, but encouragement of usage through increased access to non-subscriber users should not carry such an implication. Sixth, the inelastic demand indicates scope for price leverage by providers. Seventh, the inelastic demand might have some revenue implications relative to the possibility of imposing or raising taxes on Internet usage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 975-980 Issue: 9 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600581448 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600581448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:9:p:975-980 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christoph Bohringer Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Bohringer Author-Name: Heinz Welsch Author-X-Name-First: Heinz Author-X-Name-Last: Welsch Title: Burden sharing in a greenhouse: egalitarianism and sovereignty reconciled Abstract: The allocation of emission entitlements across countries is the single most controversial issue in international climate policy. Extreme positions within the policy debate range from entitlements based on current emission patterns (sovereignty) to entitlements based on equal-per-capita allocations (egalitarianism). This paper shows that gradual convergence from sovereignty towards egalitarianism could provide a pragmatic solution to the equity debate: When combined with international emissions trading, the convergence approach stands out for offering the developing countries substantial incentives for participation in the international greenhouse gas abatement effort without imposing excessive burdens on the industrialized countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 981-996 Issue: 9 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500399453 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500399453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:9:p:981-996 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Kalotychou Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Kalotychou Author-Name: Sotiris Staikouras Author-X-Name-First: Sotiris Author-X-Name-Last: Staikouras Title: Volatility and trading activity in Short Sterling futures Abstract: The objective of the present study is to examine the interplay between information, trading volume and volatility in Short Sterling futures. More specifically, the paper concentrates on the role of liquidity variables as conduits of information arrival and whether such variables could be an exclusive platform of the market's information set. The analytical framework employed to examine the interaction among those factors is based on the conditional volatility family of techniques. The approach is well suited as it naturally leads to examine the interaction among volatility and sources of information. In an attempt to identify proxies of information and their role in determining volatility, four main conclusions have emerged. First, the empirical findings suggest that both volume and open interest exhibit a positive correlation with volatility. Second, based on the current methodology, one can observe the persistence and importance of GARCH effects after accounting for liquidity. Third, the liquidity variables remain significantly exogenous compared with other studies. Finally, although both liquidity variables are found significant, their role as vehicles of transmitting information is proved to be weak with respect to the information itself. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 997-1005 Issue: 9 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500400038 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500400038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:9:p:997-1005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Per Sandberg Author-X-Name-First: Per Author-X-Name-Last: Sandberg Title: Variable unit costs in an output-regulated industry: The Fishery Abstract: Departing from general cost theory of the firm and bioeconomic theory of the fishery, this study contributes with an empirical examination of how variable unit costs in a Norwegian demersal and pelagic fishery depend on output and the fish stock. The identification of the separate effects that the two factors have on costs is not common in the literature. Three Norwegian fleets fishing Norwegian spring spawning herring (Clupea Harengus) and five Norwegian fleets fishing Northeast Arctic cod (Gadus Morhua) are evaluated. The findings indicate that variable unit costs fall in output in both fisheries. The results also show that variable unit costs fall in fish stock in the demersal fishery, but with a stock elasticity of variable unit costs in absolute terms significantly less than 1. These results are of relevance to a manager seeking the optimal harvest rule and to understand fishermen's incentives when individual vessel quotas are reduced. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1007-1018 Issue: 9 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500405912 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500405912 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:9:p:1007-1018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicole Jonker Author-X-Name-First: Nicole Author-X-Name-Last: Jonker Author-Name: Hans van Ophem Author-X-Name-First: Hans Author-X-Name-Last: van Ophem Author-Name: Joop Hartog Author-X-Name-First: Joop Author-X-Name-Last: Hartog Title: Dual track or academic route for auditors: does it matter? Abstract: In the Netherlands auditors can be trained in a part-time educational track in which students combine working and studying or in a full-time educational track. The former training is relatively firm-specific whereas the latter training is relatively general. Applying human capital theory, we expect higher wage growth for full-time educated auditors than for dual-educated auditors. Furthermore, full-time educated auditors may have better outside options than part-time educated auditors. This may make it easier for them to switch employers than for the part-time educated auditors. The predictions on tenure and wages of differently educated auditors are supported by the estimation results in this paper. The part-time, dual track appears an important route for students from a lower socioeconomic background. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1019-1035 Issue: 9 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500400459 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500400459 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:9:p:1019-1035 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seval Mutlu Author-X-Name-First: Seval Author-X-Name-Last: Mutlu Author-Name: Azucena Gracia Author-X-Name-First: Azucena Author-X-Name-Last: Gracia Title: Spanish food expenditure away from home (FAFH): by type of meal Abstract: Changes in household income, wife's labour force participation, household size, and other demographic factors influence purchasing meals away from home in Spain. Spanish household expenditure on lunch, breakfast and snacks away from home were investigated within the household production theory context. The Becker's model states that consumers maximize their utility subject not only to the budget constraint but also to a time constraint. Moreover, this model assumes that consumers demand not only the food product itself but also the associated convenience to save time in food preparation. Therefore, the relation between the value of time and food away from home has a high relevance. Data come from the Spanish Continuous Household Survey for 1996. Due to the large number of zeros in the dependent variable, different dependent variable censured models (Double Hurdle, Infrequency of Purchase, etc.) have been specified and estimated. These studies found that food purchasing behaviour away from home of Spanish consumers differ by type of meal. Income, household characteristics and the opportunity cost of woman time are important factors determining food consumption patterns away from home. Moreover, income and opportunity cost of woman time present a positive effect on away from home consumption for type of meal. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1037-1047 Issue: 9 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500399750 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500399750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:9:p:1037-1047 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nadir Ocal Author-X-Name-First: Nadir Author-X-Name-Last: Ocal Title: Nonlinear models, composite longer leading indicator and forecasts for UK real GDP Abstract: This paper examines the role of the Office for National Statistics Composite Longer Leading Indicator, in nonlinear business cycle models for growth rates of UK real gross domestic product (GDP). These models are of the smooth transition regression class, with the transition between “regimes” expressed as functions of lagged changes in the leading indicator. In general, evidence is found of business cycle regime asymmetries, with increases and decreases in the leading indicator implying distinct responses for the dependent variable. Single transition function appears to capture these asymmetries satisfactorily. Nonlinear models provide more accurate one-step ahead forecasts than corresponding linear leading indicator models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1049-1053 Issue: 9 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500399784 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500399784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:9:p:1049-1053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hannu Tervo Author-X-Name-First: Hannu Author-X-Name-Last: Tervo Title: Regional unemployment, self-employment and family background Abstract: This paper analyses the role of regional unemployment on self-employment. The paper argues that family background separates individuals with respect to the effect of unemployment. The empirical analysis is based on data on a sample of Finnish residents aged 0-14 years in 1970 whose subsequent employment is examined. The results show that high unemployment in a region pushes individuals from self-employed families into self-employment, while it has the opposite effect on individuals from wage earner families. The push effect seems to work only among those individuals who already have entrepreneurial skills through their family background. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1055-1062 Issue: 9 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500400053 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500400053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:9:p:1055-1062 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hugo Toledo Author-X-Name-First: Hugo Author-X-Name-Last: Toledo Title: Workers and trade liberalization: simulating the potential impact of the FTAA on Venezuela's output and wages Abstract: The Specific Factors model of production and trade with seven skilled labour categories and specific capital in three leading sectors of the Venezuelan economy is used to produce comparative static elasticities of changing prices on factor prices and output as a result of the emerging Free Trade Agreement of the Americas (FTAA). Results show that every labour group except production labour is projected to lose under free trade, while manufacturing capital gains at the expense of capital in agriculture and services due to a projected increase in export demand. Adjustments to free trade are large implying the importance of economic policy in the transition period to free trade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1063-1069 Issue: 9 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500400103 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500400103 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:9:p:1063-1069 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Makdissi Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Makdissi Author-Name: Quentin Wodon Author-X-Name-First: Quentin Author-X-Name-Last: Wodon Title: Fuel poverty and access to electricity: comparing households when they differ in needs Abstract: Although sequential stochastic dominance techniques have been used in the literature to make comparisons of income poverty which are robust to the assumptions made about the economies of scale within households, the techniques could be applied to a much wider set of issues. In this paper, these techniques are applied to energy deprivation in Guatemala. Fuel poverty is compared among households with and without access to electricity, and it is assessed whether access to electricity for those who do not have access currently would eliminate the observed difference in fuel poverty between the two groups of households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1071-1078 Issue: 9 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600649948 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600649948 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:9:p:1071-1078 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adnan Kasman Author-X-Name-First: Adnan Author-X-Name-Last: Kasman Author-Name: Canan Yildirim Author-X-Name-First: Canan Author-X-Name-Last: Yildirim Title: Cost and profit efficiencies in transition banking: the case of new EU members Abstract: This paper analyses cost and profit efficiencies in commercial banking in the eight Central and Eastern European countries that became new members to the European Union. Common stochastic cost and profit frontiers with country-specific variables are employed in order to take into account macro-economic and financial sector conditions that vary over time and across countries. The impact of foreign ownership on performance is also examined. The results indicate a wide range of cost and profit inefficiency scores across countries and across different size groups. All banking systems in the sample display significant levels of cost and profit inefficiency and there does not seem to be any continuous improvement in performance over time. There is also some evidence that foreign banks perform, on average, better than domestic banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1079-1090 Issue: 9 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600639022 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600639022 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:9:p:1079-1090 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Axel Dreher Author-X-Name-First: Axel Author-X-Name-Last: Dreher Title: Does globalization affect growth? Evidence from a new index of globalization Abstract: The study develops an index of globalization covering its three main dimensions: economic integration, social integration, and political integration. Using panel data for 123 countries in 1970-2000 it is analysed empirically whether the overall index of globalization as well as sub-indexes constructed to measure the single dimensions affect economic growth. As the results show, globalization indeed promotes growth. The dimensions most robustly related with growth refer to actual economic flows and restrictions in developed countries. Although less robustly, information flows also promote growth whereas political integration has no effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1091-1110 Issue: 10 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500392078 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500392078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:10:p:1091-1110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adriana Neligan Author-X-Name-First: Adriana Author-X-Name-Last: Neligan Title: Public funding and repertoire conventionality in the German public theatre sector: an econometric analysis Abstract: This study empirically examines the relationship between public funding and repertoire decisions in the German public theatre sector. A cross-sectional econometric model is constructed to estimate the effects for a sample of 127 public theatres covering the theatre season 1998/1999 using a conventionality index as the dependent variable which has to be calculated first. The empirical results show that public subsidy, subscription income, multiple venues, the existence of other theatres in a community as well as the size and the level of education of a community have a significant impact on repertoire conventionality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1111-1121 Issue: 10 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500405961 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500405961 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:10:p:1111-1121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Volker Clausen Author-X-Name-First: Volker Author-X-Name-Last: Clausen Author-Name: Bernd Hayo Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Hayo Title: Asymmetric monetary policy effects in EMU Abstract: This paper develops a semi-structural modelling approach to study asymmetric monetary transmission in Europe. A system of dynamic equations containing reaction functions for monetary policy as well as output gap and inflation equations is simultaneously estimated for France, Germany and Italy. We find asymmetries on the demand side in the strength of interest rate transmission and on the supply side in the effects of the output gap on inflation. The responses are similar in Germany and Italy and generally stronger than in France. Out-of-sample tests do not find a structural break in the transmission mechanisms prior to the establishment of the European Monetary Union. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1123-1134 Issue: 10 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600581497 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600581497 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:10:p:1123-1134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernhard Boockmann Author-X-Name-First: Bernhard Author-X-Name-Last: Boockmann Author-Name: Viktor Steiner Author-X-Name-First: Viktor Author-X-Name-Last: Steiner Title: Cohort effects and the returns to education in West Germany Abstract: Using a Mincer-type wage function, we estimate cohort effects in the returns to education for West German workers born between 1925 and 1974. The main problem to be tackled in the specification is to separately identify cohort, experience, and possibly also age and year effects in the returns. For women, we find a large and robust decline in schooling premia: In the private sector, the returns to a further year of post-compulsory education fell from ten per cent for the 1945-49 cohort to about six per cent for those born in the early 1970s. Cohort effects in men's returns to education are less obvious, but we do find evidence that they, too, have declined. We conclude by identifying possible reasons for the decline. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1135-1152 Issue: 10 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500439168 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500439168 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:10:p:1135-1152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Are Australia's tourism markets converging? Abstract: In this paper we make an important contribution towards understanding Australia's tourism industry by examining whether or not Australia's tourism markets are converging. We define convergence as the reduction in tourist arrivals' differential, which is calculated as the difference between total visitor arrivals to a country and visitor arrivals from a particular tourist source market. We analyze Australia's thirteen major tourist source markets using monthly data over the period January 1991 to September 2003. To test for convergence, we use the univariate and panel Lagrange multiplier (LM) tests. Our main finding is that when we allow for two structural breaks in the data series, both univariate and panel LM tests provide strong evidence for convergence of Australia's tourism markets. This implies that policies aimed at attracting visitor arrivals from any one of Australia's thirteen tourist source markets will boost the volume of tourists coming into the country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1153-1162 Issue: 10 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500391377 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500391377 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:10:p:1153-1162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saziye Gazioglu Author-X-Name-First: Saziye Author-X-Name-Last: Gazioglu Author-Name: Aysit Tansel Author-X-Name-First: Aysit Author-X-Name-Last: Tansel Title: Job satisfaction in Britain: individual and job related factors Abstract: Recently there has been a resurgence of interest in the analysis of job satisfaction variables. Job satisfaction is correlated with labour market behaviour such as productivity, quits and absenteeism. In this paper four different measures of job satisfaction are related to a variety of personal and job characteristics. The data used are from the 28 240 British employees in the Workplace Employee Relations Survey, 1997. This data set is larger and more recent than in any previous studies. Four measures of job satisfaction that have not previously been used are considered: satisfaction with influence over job; satisfaction with amount of pay; satisfaction with sense of achievement; and satisfaction with respect from supervisors. The paper contributes to the literature by analysing job satisfaction with respect to industrial composition and occupations. One of the striking findings is that those in the education and health sectors are less satisfied with their pay but more satisfied with their sense of achievement. Further, it is found that employees who received job training were more satisfied than those who had no training opportunities. Unlike previous studies, it is found that married individuals have lower job satisfaction levels than the unmarried. Other results confirm those in the literature, such as women being more satisfied than men, and a U-shaped relationship between satisfaction and age. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1163-1171 Issue: 10 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500392987 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500392987 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:10:p:1163-1171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor Matheson Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Matheson Title: The effects of labour strikes on consumer demand in professional sports: revisited Abstract: Previous research has concluded that the 1981 and 1994-1995 Major League Baseball (MLB) strikes have caused short-term losses in attendance but have not resulted in any long-term effects on attendance. While total attendance at MLB games following the 1994-1995 strike has recovered to its pre-strike levels, this has been done only through the construction of new stadiums at an unprecedented pace which cannot continue into the future. After accounting for stadium effects, average MLB baseball attendance has dropped significantly since the 1994-1995 strike. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1173-1179 Issue: 10 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500392193 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500392193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:10:p:1173-1179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christoph Schaltegger Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Schaltegger Author-Name: Benno Torgler Author-X-Name-First: Benno Author-X-Name-Last: Torgler Title: Growth effects of public expenditure on the state and local level: evidence from a sample of rich governments Abstract: There is a vast empirical literature investigating the relationship between government size and economic growth. But the empirical evidence of growth effects of public expenditure using cross-country regressions is still inconclusive. According to a number of authors this is not surprising since the negative relationship only applies for rich countries with a large public sector. Restricting their analysis on rich countries only they can show the predicted negative impact. Naturally, a selection of a sub-sample of rich countries is always somewhat arbitrary. Another possibility is to concentrate on governments within a rich country. However, only few studies investigate the effect of state and local spending on economic growth. This study concentrates on the relationship between public expenditure and economic growth within a rich country using the full sample of state and local governments from Switzerland over the 1981-2001 period. The general finding is a fairly robust negative relationship between government size and economic growth. However, in contrast to public spending from operating budgets there is no significant impact on economic growth by expenditure from capital budgets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1181-1192 Issue: 10 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500392334 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500392334 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:10:p:1181-1192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rene Fahr Author-X-Name-First: Rene Author-X-Name-Last: Fahr Author-Name: Uwe Sunde Author-X-Name-First: Uwe Author-X-Name-Last: Sunde Title: Regional dependencies in job creation: an efficiency analysis for Western Germany Abstract: This paper investigates the efficiency of the matching process between job seekers and vacancy posting firms in West Germany, using variation across labour market regions and across time. The results of a stochastic frontier analysis shed new light on the extent of and regional differences in search frictions, on potential determinants of frictional inefficiencies and on the consequences of German reunification for the matching process. The paper also presents novel evidence on the complex interactions between spatial contingencies among regional labour markets: matching efficiency decreases with spatial autocorrelation in hiring, implying indirect evidence for crowding externalities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1193-1206 Issue: 10 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600685140 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600685140 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:10:p:1193-1206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Hung Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Larry Tzeng Author-X-Name-First: Larry Author-X-Name-Last: Tzeng Author-Name: Junji Tien Author-X-Name-First: Junji Author-X-Name-Last: Tien Title: Willingness to pay and the demand for lotto Abstract: Why do many bettors participate in an unfair gamble, in particular a lotto game, while at the same time purchase insurance? The willingness-to-pay for lotto is analysed to find a 'rational' explanation for a (local) risk-averter's participation in an unfair bet. A reasonable case is found where bettors' preference can be approximately characterized as a locally risk-averse and sufficiently prudent cubic function. Such bettors dislike risk but prefer standard third moment of the payoff. The result suggests that the traditional effective price for lotto demand may omit important explanatory variables. We thus propose an alternative method to examine the demand for lotto by incorporating the second and the third moments of lotto's payoff. Evidence from Taiwan Lotto data supports that lotto bettors could be both (locally) risk-averse and rational. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1207-1216 Issue: 10 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500405938 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500405938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:10:p:1207-1216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Avik Chakrabarti Author-X-Name-First: Avik Author-X-Name-Last: Chakrabarti Title: Real exchange rates and real interest rates once again: a multivariate panel cointegration analysis Abstract: This paper employs multivariate panel cointegration techniques to re-examine the empirical relationship between bilateral real exchange rates and real interest rates. The results from a panel of 1470 quarterly observations on Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, UK, and USA over the period 1977 to 1994 indicate the absence of any long-run relationship between the two variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1217-1221 Issue: 11 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500398695 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500398695 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:11:p:1217-1221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Eisenhauer Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Eisenhauer Author-Name: Luigi Ventura Author-X-Name-First: Luigi Author-X-Name-Last: Ventura Title: The prevalence of hyperbolic discounting: some European evidence Abstract: Experimental matching data are used from the 2000 Bank of Italy Survey of Household Income and Wealth (SHIW) and the 2000 wave of the Center for Economic Research (CentER) Savings Survey at Tilburg University to compare the relative frequencies of hyperbolic and exponential discounters. Among 3200 Italian respondents and 1400 Dutch respondents, less than a quarter exhibited hyperbolic discounting. This finding is both statistically significant and robust with respect to various assumptions regarding utility; moreover, it holds across a wide variety of economic, social and demographic characteristics. The youngest, poorest, most urban and least educated individuals are the most likely to be hyperbolic discounters. In addition, it is found that hyperbolic discounters accumulate less wealth and are somewhat less likely than exponential discounters to utilize commitment devices to constrain their future choices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1223-1234 Issue: 11 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500392391 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500392391 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:11:p:1223-1234 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martyn Duffy Author-X-Name-First: Martyn Author-X-Name-Last: Duffy Title: Tobacco consumption and policy in the United Kingdom Abstract: In recent years, several structural changes and sequences of shocks have occurred in the market for tobacco in the UK, including an explosive growth in smuggling. This study examines whether it is still possible to estimate a reliable, plausible tobacco demand equation from time series data for the UK whilst allowing for all of the various shocks and structural changes. A second objective of this study is to use the estimated demand function to evaluate tobacco policy in the UK, including the scope for using tax increases to achieve reduced consumption and increased revenues. It is found that smuggling has diminished the revenue yield of higher rates of duty, but total consumption of tobacco has been reduced. In addition to the introduction of further measures to control smuggling, policy may need to place more emphasis in the future on health campaigns and smoking restrictions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1235-1257 Issue: 11 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500392599 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500392599 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:11:p:1235-1257 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang Zou Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Title: Empirical studies on the relationship between public and private investment and GDP growth Abstract: This study performs empirical studies on the interaction between public and private investment and GDP growth for Japan and the USA. Since the data for each country used show features that are quite different from each other, empirical methods of GMM (Generalized Method of Moments) and OLS (Ordinary Least squares) are accordingly applied to Japan and the USA, respectively. The empirical results suggest that both public and private investment make great contributions to Japanese economic growth, while the US private investment seems to play a much more significant role than public investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1259-1270 Issue: 11 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500392649 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500392649 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:11:p:1259-1270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joaquim Andrade Author-X-Name-First: Joaquim Author-X-Name-Last: Andrade Author-Name: Vladimir Teles Author-X-Name-First: Vladimir Author-X-Name-Last: Teles Title: An empirical model of the Brazilian country risk -- an extension of the beta country risk model Abstract: This paper develops a statistical model to study the Brazilian country risk using a country beta model in the spirit of Harvey and Zhou (1993), Erb et al. (1996a, b) and Gangemi et al. (2000). Specifically, the impact of macroeconomic variables is analysed using a time-varying parameter approach. An extension of the original model is applied in order to verify the parameters' stability over time. It is found that monetary policy had a significant and stable impact on Brazil's country risk and international reserves presented a significant impact only during the fixed exchange rate period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1271-1278 Issue: 11 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500426843 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500426843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:11:p:1271-1278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Hanafiah Harvey Author-X-Name-First: Hanafiah Author-X-Name-Last: Harvey Title: How sensitive are Malaysia's bilateral trade flows to depreciation? Abstract: In an attempt to assess the impact of currency depreciation on the trade balance, recent studies are employing disaggregated trade data to avoid aggregation bias. However, since import and export prices are not available at disaggregated level, recent studies are using export and import values rather than their volumes so that they can establish direct relation between inpayments and the exchange rate as well as between outpayments and the exchange rate. This study explores the experience of Malaysia. Bilateral inpayments and outpayments models are estimated between Malaysia and her 14 trading partners using quarterly data and bound testing approach to cointegration. The results show that while real depreciation of the ringgit has short-run effects, in the long-run it increases Malaysia's inpayments from only five trading partners. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1279-1286 Issue: 11 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500405490 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500405490 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:11:p:1279-1286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordi Pons-Novell Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Pons-Novell Title: An analysis of a panel of Spanish GDP forecasts Abstract: This article undertakes an analysis of the forecasts included in the Panel of Spanish Forecasts in order to highlight the fact that the predictions made and the errors committed by the entities participating on this panel contain information that is particularly useful in analysing the evolution of the Spanish economy. Here, a study is undertaken of the GDP growth forecasts for the Spanish economy for the period 2000 to 2002 made in distinct forecast time horizons. Specifically, it analyses whether the forecasts are optimistic or pessimistic and whether new information concerning the variable being predicted is used efficiently in revising earlier forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1287-1292 Issue: 11 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500399917 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500399917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:11:p:1287-1292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kwabena Gyimah-Brempong Author-X-Name-First: Kwabena Author-X-Name-Last: Gyimah-Brempong Author-Name: Jeffrey Racine Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Racine Title: Alcohol availability and crime: a robust approach Abstract: The relationship between alcohol availability and crime is investigated in this study. It first considers common parametric specifications that have been used in the literature. After applying a powerful consistent conditional moment test for correct specification, it is found that these common parametric specifications are rejected by the data. The study then proceeds with a robust nonparametric method that can have a rate of convergence close to that for a correctly specified parametric model when the underlying relationship is somewhat linear. The application of nonparametric methods reveals structure present in the data that would remain undetected when applying common parametric specifications, but more importantly reveals that the impact of alcohol availability is considerably higher than one might believe on the basis of the misspecified parametric model. It is also found that the marginal effect of alcohol availability on crime changes with the level of alcohol availability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1293-1307 Issue: 11 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500398869 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500398869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:11:p:1293-1307 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristian Jonsson Author-X-Name-First: Kristian Author-X-Name-Last: Jonsson Title: Time-specific disturbances and cross-sectional dependency in a small-sample heterogeneous panel data unit root test Abstract: In their seminal work, Im et al. (1997, 2003) suggested that time series for several cross-sectional units could be used to increase the power of the Dickey--Fuller unit root test. They argued that when cross-sectional correlation is a problem that can be modelled by a time-specific factor, demeaning across the cross-sectional units can solve the problem. In this study, this proposition is proven valid, but it is also shown that previously supplied standardizing moments are inappropriate when the number of cross-sections are small, causing size to differ from the significance level. To correct this size distortion, the current paper supplies response surface parameters that can be used to obtain moments that are valid when a time-specific factor suffices for modelling cross-sectional correlation in the heterogeneous panel data unit root framework. The correct size of the panel data unit root test comes at the cost of a somewhat lower power against a stationary alternative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1309-1317 Issue: 11 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500397671 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500397671 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:11:p:1309-1317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Rup Singh Author-X-Name-First: Rup Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Demand for money in India: 1953-2003 Abstract: The demand for money, especially in the developing countries, is an important relationship for formulating appropriate monetary policy and targeting monetary variables. In this paper the demand for narrow money in India is estimated and its robustness evaluated. It is found that there is a stable demand for money for almost half a century from 1953 to 2003. There is no evidence for any significant effects of the 1991 financial reforms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1319-1326 Issue: 11 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500396228 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500396228 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:11:p:1319-1326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andres Picazo-Tadeo Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Picazo-Tadeo Author-Name: Ernest Reig-Martinez Author-X-Name-First: Ernest Author-X-Name-Last: Reig-Martinez Title: Agricultural externalities and environmental regulation: evaluating good practice in citrus production Abstract: Economic activity takes place in a scenario characterized by an increasing number of environmental regulations aimed at bringing under control the emission of contaminating wastes. In this paper, we evaluate the impact of transforming a code of good practice in nitrogen fertilization on Spanish citrus fruit farms into an environmental regulation of compulsory fulfilment. Using data envelopment techniques, we calculate unrestricted and environmentally regulated short-run maximum profits. Both profit values are then used to compute an index of the cost of regulation. Our results suggest that the cost of shifting from a merely recommended practice to a binding rule is low. On average, the loss of profit computed is only about 4%. Furthermore, we find that farms' overall efficiency is low and that the current gap between observed and regulated fertilization practices could be overcome by improving overall management efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1327-1334 Issue: 11 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500399966 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500399966 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:11:p:1327-1334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Burak Gunalp Author-X-Name-First: Burak Author-X-Name-Last: Gunalp Author-Name: Tuncay Celik Author-X-Name-First: Tuncay Author-X-Name-Last: Celik Title: Competition in the Turkish banking industry Abstract: This study employs the Panzar-Rosse H-statistic to assess the competitive environment of the Turkish banking industry over the period 1990 to 2000. The results indicate that for the period under consideration bank revenues behaved as if they were earned under conditions of monopolistic competition. Therefore, the observed high profitability of the Turkish banking sector does not seem to be an indication of an increase in monopoly power. The liberalization process and deregulation measures appear to have beneficial effects on competition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1335-1342 Issue: 11 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500405656 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500405656 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:11:p:1335-1342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Roosenboom Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Roosenboom Author-Name: Tjalling van der Goot Author-X-Name-First: Tjalling Author-X-Name-Last: van der Goot Title: Broad-based employee stock options grants and IPO firms Abstract: This paper examines the broad-based grant of employee stock options (ESOs) in the period following the Initial Public Offering (IPO). Stock option grants are used to reduce the negative effects of conflicts of interests associated with a firm's going public. The study documents that option grants can be seen as corporate governance instruments for a number of model specifications. Also, it is found that there is a robust relation between option grants and market and accounting returns, respectively. To the best of the authors' knowledge, no previous study has investigated the determinants of the grants of employee stock options in the post-IPO period to both upper-level and lower-level executives during a period of sixteen years. Because the cross-sectional data of this study amply encompasses more than a business cycle it is possible to examine the grants of ESOs across tight and soft labour markets. During the former type of labour market it appears that more options are granted. Also, the empirical results provide evidence that option grants are an increasing function of the employees' benefits for the firm. Finally, the findings show that cash constrained firms appear to use employee stock option grants in place of cash compensation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1343-1351 Issue: 12 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500396897 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500396897 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:12:p:1343-1351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: How similar are alcohol drinkers? International evidence Abstract: Stigler and Becker (1977) argue that tastes neither change capriciously nor differ importantly between people; it is differences in prices and incomes that determine differences in behaviour. In this paper we analyse the alcohol consumption patterns of drinkers from 8 industrialized countries. We identify a number of empirical regularities and verify Stigler and Becker's hypothesis that income and price elasticities of demand are international constants by showing that alcohol consumption patterns in the eight countries exhibit intriguing similarities. The income and price elasticities of alcohol are found to be about 0.8 and -0.6, respectively, in all eight countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1353-1362 Issue: 12 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500396780 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500396780 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:12:p:1353-1362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diane Dawson Author-X-Name-First: Diane Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Author-Name: Rowena Jacobs Author-X-Name-First: Rowena Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobs Author-Name: Stephen Martin Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: Peter Smith Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: The impact of patient choice and waiting time on the demand for health care: results from the London Patient Choice project Abstract: In a number of countries where health care is publicly funded, policies to introduce greater patient choice are being implemented. In most cases patient choice is seen as an instrument to reduce waiting times for elective (non-emergency) hospital services. An important issue is whether facilitating greater patient choice will increase the demand for health care and thereby undermine the achievement of reduced waiting times. A large scale pilot of choice in the London metropolitan area permits a test of the hypothesis that choice will affect demand. This paper estimates a model of the demand for elective surgery using a panel of 150 English acute hospitals over the period 1995 to 2004 for three surgical specialties. It examines whether demand shifted following the introduction of the London Patient Choice Project in 2002. The results suggest that the choice project only shifted NHS inpatient demand in orthopaedics and that this shift was inwards. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1363-1370 Issue: 12 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500398810 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500398810 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:12:p:1363-1370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ozge Akinci Author-X-Name-First: Ozge Author-X-Name-Last: Akinci Author-Name: Olcay Yucel Culha Author-X-Name-First: Olcay Yucel Author-X-Name-Last: Culha Author-Name: Umit Ozlale Author-X-Name-First: Umit Author-X-Name-Last: Ozlale Author-Name: Gulbin Sahinbeyoğlu Author-X-Name-First: Gulbin Author-X-Name-Last: Sahinbeyoğlu Title: The effectiveness of foreign exchange interventions under a floating exchange rate regime for the Turkish economy: a post-crisis period analysis Abstract: The reported study has two purposes: first, it attempts to improve the literature on foreign exchange interventions of the central banks for the emerging market economies, an area not previously studied in detail. The Turkish economy in the post-crisis period constitutes a good example in this context. Second, it proposes a new methodology, a time-varying parameter model, to analyse the effectiveness of the foreign exchange interventions. When the results from such an exercise are compared with those obtained from an event-study analysis, it is found that purchase-based interventions seem to be successful, especially after stabilization of the financial markets. In that sense, an asymmetry is detected regarding the effectiveness of interventions. Concerning the relationship between interest rates and exchange rates, it is found that the uncovered interest rate parity condition operates in an unconventional way, supporting the views put forward by recent emerging markets literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1371-1388 Issue: 12 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500392995 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500392995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:12:p:1371-1388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amir Kia Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Kia Title: Economic policies and demand for money: evidence from Canada Abstract: This study identifies Canadian fiscal and monetary policy regime changes that could influence the services of money. It is argued that if these policy regime changes were not incorporated in the estimation of demand for real balances, the resulting estimate would be biased and unstable. Using Canadian monthly data for the January 1975 to June 2001 period, the paper estimates a standard demand-for-money (M1) function with and without these policy regime changes. It was found the demand for money in Canada is stable over the short- and long-run periods when these policy regime changes are incorporated and the estimated coefficients have correct signs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1389-1407 Issue: 12 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600684879 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600684879 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:12:p:1389-1407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ansgar Belke Author-X-Name-First: Ansgar Author-X-Name-Last: Belke Author-Name: Thorsten Polleit Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Polleit Title: Monetary policy and dividend growth in Germany: long-run structural modelling versus bounds testing approach Abstract: This study examines the long-run relationship between monetary policy and dividend growth in Germany. For this purpose, cointegration is tested for between both variables in the period 1974 to 2003. However, problems related to spurious regression arise from the mixed order of integration of the series used, from mutual causation between the variables and from the lack of a long-run relationship among the variables of the model. These problems are addressed by applying the bounds testing approach to cointegration in addition to a more standard long-run structural modelling approach. In principle, both procedures are capable of dealing with the controversial issue of the exogeneity of monetary policy vis-a-vis dividend growth. However, the structural modelling approach still leaves a certain degree of uncertainty about the integration properties of the interest rate and the dividend growth. Hence, one feels legitimized to refer to the bounds testing procedure and to conclude that in the longer term short-term rates drive stock returns but not vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1409-1423 Issue: 12 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500369100 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500369100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:12:p:1409-1423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Finn Førsund Author-X-Name-First: Finn Author-X-Name-Last: Førsund Author-Name: Roberto Zanola Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Zanola Title: The art of benchmarking: Picasso prints and auction house performance Abstract: The influence of the auction house on the price of comparable art objects is an issue in the economics of arts literature. The standard approach has been to run hedonic price regressions including the auction house as a dummy variable. The approach in this paper is to apply benchmarking tools developed in the efficiency and productivity literature directly to the auction house as a unit. New performance indices are developed based on a DEA benchmarking technique to analyse auction houses. The new indices discriminate well between auction houses by allowing one to identify both contemporaneous and inter-temporal performances. Additional best performance results are obtained for specific attributes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1425-1434 Issue: 12 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500400384 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500400384 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:12:p:1425-1434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Riccardo Welters Author-X-Name-First: Riccardo Author-X-Name-Last: Welters Author-Name: Joan Muysken Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Muysken Title: Employer search and employment subsidies Abstract: In this paper insights into the literature on employment subsidy evaluation and that on employer search are merged to explore uncharted territory: the firm and job characteristics leading to deadweight loss in employment subsidy schemes. A model is developed which integrates various arguments found in the existing employer search literature. Using a survey of Dutch firms for 1999, the model predictions are confirmed. The richness of the data set enables one to construct some measures of deadweight loss which are new to the existing literature. It turns out that firms which experience low screening costs (large firms), firms that forego substantial production due to unfilled jobs (vacancies for full-time jobs) and firms operating in slack labour market conditions cause significantly more deadweight loss. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1435-1448 Issue: 12 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500218745 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500218745 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:12:p:1435-1448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Stephanie Leach Author-X-Name-First: Stephanie Author-X-Name-Last: Leach Title: Performance evaluation of the English Premier Football League with data envelopment analysis Abstract: This paper uses data envelopment analysis (DEA) to evaluate the performance of English Premier League football clubs from 1998/99 to 2002/03 combining sport and financial variables. The paper evaluates how close the clubs are relative to the frontier of best practices, analysing how they manage sport as well as financial results. Managerial implications of the research are devised. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1449-1458 Issue: 12 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500396574 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500396574 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:12:p:1449-1458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Gibson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Author-Name: Ananda Patabendige Author-X-Name-First: Ananda Author-X-Name-Last: Patabendige Title: Policy reform and labour demand in branches of Sri Lankan manufacturing industry Abstract: Many policy reforms in developing countries aim to remove factor market distortions. Whether such reforms reduce unemployment depends partly on the substitution possibilities between labour and other factors of production. This paper examines labour demand in seven branches of Sri Lankan manufacturing industry, using data on 4-digit industrial categories over the 1990 to 1997 period. The Box-Cox transformation is used to allow for flexible, and data-dependent, elasticities. The elasticity of capital-labour substitution varies widely across the branches of industry and is usually variable rather than constant. The average, long-run own-wage elasticity of labour demand for the manufacturing sector is estimated as -0.80, so factor price policy should have an important effect on labour demand in this setting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1459-1467 Issue: 12 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500367997 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500367997 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:12:p:1459-1467 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredrik Carlsson Author-X-Name-First: Fredrik Author-X-Name-Last: Carlsson Author-Name: Åsa Lofgren Author-X-Name-First: Åsa Author-X-Name-Last: Lofgren Title: Airline choice, switching costs and frequent flyer programmes Abstract: Switching costs are costs that customers face when switching from one firm to another. In markets such as the airline market where repeated purchases are common, switching costs may be substantial. In this paper, the switching costs are estimated for domestic airline routes in Sweden between 1992 and 2002. In addition, the determinants of these switching costs are tested for; in particular, to what extent factors such as frequent flyer programmes and flag carriers have an effect on switching costs. A substantial switching cost is found. Although a large part of this calculated switching cost can be attributed to perceived quality differences, it is also found that frequent flyer programmes contribute a non-negligible part of the switching cost. The paper ends with a brief discussion on the welfare consequences of switching costs, where the connection between habit formation and switching costs is discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1469-1475 Issue: 13 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500419608 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500419608 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:13:p:1469-1475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Grosskopf Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Grosskopf Author-Name: S. Self Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Self Author-Name: O. Zaim Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Zaim Title: Estimating the efficiency of the system of healthcare financing in achieving better health Abstract: This paper contributes to the effort to model and measure how the method of financing of health expenditure affects the efficiency with which better health can be achieved. The focus is on the health system efficiency at the country level, which provides an alternative to the work done in the WHO in this regard. The approach uses frontier techniques as in the WHO studies; however the paper appeals to the economic index number theory of quantity and productivity indexes, which have well-established axiomatic properties, and provides a means for aggregating multiple health output proxies without having to attach arbitrary weights. This allows the proposal of a specification that embeds health sector performance in a broader index of economic inputs and outputs and allows for comparisons across countries and time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1477-1488 Issue: 13 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500424798 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500424798 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:13:p:1477-1488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Scott Hacker Author-X-Name-First: R. Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Hacker Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Title: Tests for causality between integrated variables using asymptotic and bootstrap distributions: theory and application Abstract: Causality tests in the Granger's sense are increasingly applied in empirical research. Since the unit root revolution in time-series analysis, several modifications of tests for causality have been introduced in the literature. One of the recent developments is the Toda-Yamamoto modified Wald (MWALD) test, which is attractive due to its simple application, its absence of pre-testing distortions, and its basis on a standard asymptotical distribution irrespective of the number of unit roots and the cointegrating properties of the data. This study investigates the size properties of the MWALD test and finds that in small sample sizes this test performs poorly on those properties when using its asymptotical distribution, the chi-square. It is suggested that use be made of a leveraged bootstrap distribution to lower the size distortions. Monte Carlo simulation results show that an MWALD test based on a bootstrap distribution has much smaller size distortions than corresponding cases when the asymptotic distribution is used. These results hold for different sample sizes, integration orders, and error term processes (homoscedastic or ARCH). This new method is applied to the testing of the efficient market hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1489-1500 Issue: 13 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500405763 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500405763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:13:p:1489-1500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Euston Quah Author-X-Name-First: Euston Author-X-Name-Last: Quah Author-Name: Edward Choa Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Choa Author-Name: K. C. Tan Author-X-Name-First: K. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: Use of damage schedules in environmental valuation: The case of urban Singapore Abstract: Increasing concerns over environmental degradation have amplified the role of environmental economics and the valuation of non-pecuniary environmental resources as tools of analysis to facilitate the design of policies. To date, however, environmental valuation methods have continued to be unreliable, misleading and contentious as a guide to resource allocations and damage compensations. In this paper, a damage schedule is developed based on the scales of relative importance translated from people's judgments about values of various environmental damages or losses. The variance stable rank method is applied to the paired comparison responses to obtain the scale values as well as the importance of rankings. Statistical tests of significance are used to determine the level of the agreement among the survey respondents and the degree of correspondence between different respondent groups. This will determine the number of relative importance scales required to adequately represent the responses from all respondents. The scales of relative importance will then be translated into damage schedules. The setting for analysis is based on urban Singapore. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1501-1512 Issue: 13 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500399842 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500399842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:13:p:1501-1512 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leo Turcotte Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: Turcotte Author-Name: John Robst Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Robst Author-Name: Solomon Polachek Author-X-Name-First: Solomon Author-X-Name-Last: Polachek Title: Medical interventions among pregnant women in fee-for-service and managed care insurance: a propensity score analysis Abstract: This paper extends earlier research on the effect of managed care on the receipt of four medical interventions for pregnant women: ultrasound, induction/stimulation of birth, electronic fetal monitor, and Caesarean delivery. Propensity score methods are used to account for sample selection issues regarding insurance choice. Managed care enrollees are more likely to receive an ultrasound, which may be indicative of receiving better prenatal care. Managed care plans reduce the rate of Caesarean deliveries, but such limitations may be beneficial given the substantial medical evidence that Caesarean deliveries are over-utilized. The results indicate that insurance coverage does influence treatment intensity, but that utilization controls and provider financial incentives do not adversely affect care for pregnant women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1513-1525 Issue: 13 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500426892 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500426892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:13:p:1513-1525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexandre Gohin Author-X-Name-First: Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Gohin Author-Name: Herve Guyomard Author-X-Name-First: Herve Author-X-Name-Last: Guyomard Author-Name: Chantal Le Mouël Author-X-Name-First: Chantal Le Author-X-Name-Last: Mouël Title: Tariff protection elimination and Common Agricultural Policy reform: implications of changes in methods of import demand modelling Abstract: The study proposes a way for accommodating the traditional Armington assumption to capture the possibility for a country to import imperfect substitutes as well as perfect substitutes for domestically produced goods. When this possibility is incorporated into a modelling framework, then a Common Agricultural Policy elimination scenario, including the setting to zero of import tariffs, would have starker implications than many studies suggest. To illustrate this point, a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model of the French economy is used, highlighting agricultural and food sectors. The study analyses the consequences for the French economy of a complete liberalization scenario in the European sector of cereals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1527-1539 Issue: 13 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500414609 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500414609 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:13:p:1527-1539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongil Jeon Author-X-Name-First: Yongil Author-X-Name-Last: Jeon Author-Name: Ishak Haji Omar Author-X-Name-First: Ishak Haji Author-X-Name-Last: Omar Author-Name: K. Kuperan Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Kuperan Author-Name: Dale Squires Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Squires Author-Name: Indah Susilowati Author-X-Name-First: Indah Author-X-Name-Last: Susilowati Title: Developing country fisheries and technical efficiency: the Java Sea purse seine fishery Abstract: The analysis of technical efficiency in developing country agriculture is well established but has been overlooked for developing country commercial marine fisheries. Policies raising technical efficiency in agriculture are viewed as uniformly positive but are a mixed blessing in fisheries due to the open-access property right and common-pool resource. This study explores this contradiction and policies aimed to promote sustainable development and management of renewable common pool resources through a case study of the Java Sea purse seine fishery. Season of the year rather than fisher or vessel characteristics primarily determines technical efficiency. The results are contrasted with developing country agriculture and conclusions drawn for fisheries development strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1541-1552 Issue: 13 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500400525 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500400525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:13:p:1541-1552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Roos Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Roos Title: Regional price levels in Germany Abstract: Cross-sectional evidence on price levels is scarce for all countries. However, several studies suggest that there might exist considerable differences in price levels within countries, which has obvious welfare implications. A sample of price levels in 50 German cities in 1993 is used to analyse the determinants of inter-city price level differentials. The most important explanatory variables for price level differentials are population size and density and the average wage level. Using this information, the price levels are predicted in all 440 German districts and aggregated to the state level. At the state level convergence of the price levels to a common mean is found, but at a very low speed. The estimated half-life is about 19 years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1553-1566 Issue: 13 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500407207 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500407207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:13:p:1553-1566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: E. A. Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: E. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: Consumption patterns of food, tobacco and beverages: a cross-country analysis Abstract: This study considers the consumption patterns of food, tobacco, soft drinks, and alcohol in 43 developed and developing countries. Such an analysis is important for policy issues associated with tobacco, alcohol, and soft drinks. The results show that consumers in the developing countries spend a much higher proportion of their income on food than consumers in developed countries. The proportion of expenditure allocated to the other three commodities, tobacco, alcohol, and soft drinks, are similar in the two groups of countries. On average, people around the world allocate about one quarter of their income on food, 2.6% on tobacco, 3.2% on alcohol and 1.2% on soft drinks. The income elasticity estimates reveal that food is a necessity in most countries, while tobacco and alcohol are necessities in most of the developed countries and luxuries in a majority of developing countries. Soft drinks are a luxury in a majority of the developing as well as the developed countries. The own-price elasticities show that demand for all four commodities is price inelastic in all countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1567-1584 Issue: 13 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500392664 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500392664 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:13:p:1567-1584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daiki Maki Author-X-Name-First: Daiki Author-X-Name-Last: Maki Author-Name: Shin-ichi Kitasaka Author-X-Name-First: Shin-ichi Author-X-Name-Last: Kitasaka Title: The equilibrium relationship among money, income, prices, and interest rates: evidence from a threshold cointegration test Abstract: The long-run equilibrium relationship among money, income, prices, and interest rates in Japan is investigated by the threshold cointegration test, which allows for asymmetric adjustment, introduced by Enders and Siklos (2001). The threshold cointegration approach provides clear evidence of the cointegration relationship characterized by asymmetric adjustment. By allowing for asymmetric adjustment, results are obtained showing the stability of the money demand function, similar to Lucas (1988), who pointed out that the money demand function is stable if unit income elasticity is imposed. In particular, the estimated results show that the adjustment process toward equilibrium is highly persistent above an appropriately estimated threshold, whereas the adjustment process toward equilibrium quickly converges below it. This finding indicates that deviations from equilibrium resulting from increases in money or decreases in income and prices are highly persistent. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1585-1592 Issue: 13 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600597709 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600597709 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:13:p:1585-1592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darold Barnum Author-X-Name-First: Darold Author-X-Name-Last: Barnum Author-Name: John Gleason Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gleason Title: Biases in technical efficiency scores caused by intra-input aggregation: mathematical analysis and a DEA application using simulated data Abstract: In Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) applications involving multiple inputs and outputs, inputs are aggregated into the total amounts of each type of input. For example, if input types 'labour' and 'capital' are used to produce multiple outputs, the total amount of labour used to produce all outputs is treated as one aggregated input and the total amount of capital as another. Resources are not disaggregated into input variables measuring the amount of labour used to produce the first output, the amount of labour used to produce the second output, the amount of labour used to produce the third output and so on, for both labour and capital. It is shown that such intra-input aggregation causes downward bias in reported technical efficiency scores, with variations in bias unrelated to true technical efficiency. Therefore, with few exceptions, any technical efficiency comparisons among DMUs are invalid. The presence of intra-input aggregation bias is demonstrated mathematically, simulation is used to exhibit its severity, and the exceptions that permit intra-input aggregation without causing bias are identified. It is concluded that, for multiple-input, multiple-output DEA applications, inputs must be disaggregated into the amounts used to produce each output in order to validly report technical efficiency, unless one of the exceptions is present. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1593-1603 Issue: 14 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500405714 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500405714 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:14:p:1593-1603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Randall Kesselring Author-X-Name-First: Randall Author-X-Name-Last: Kesselring Author-Name: Dale Bremmer Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Bremmer Title: Female income and the divorce decision: evidence from micro data Abstract: Escalating divorce rates during the 1960s and 1970s led to large numbers of academic investigations into the causes of divorce. Most of these studies concentrated on a significant increase in female income that resulted from rising female labour force participation rates. The difficulty with quantifying these arguments is that it is possible to observe the income of married females or it is possible to observe the income of divorced females, but it is not possible to observe both outcomes, simultaneously. This research attempts to resolve these difficulties by using sample selection techniques to correct for possible bias from simple observation of the income of married and divorced females. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1605-1616 Issue: 14 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500426934 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500426934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:14:p:1605-1616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Lindquist Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lindquist Author-Name: Roger Vilhelmsson Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Vilhelmsson Title: Is the Swedish central government a wage leader? Abstract: Is the Swedish central government a wage leader? This question is studied empirically in a vector error-correction model using a unique, high quality data set. It is first shown that salaries of white-collar workers in the private sector and central government are cointegrated. It is then found that private sector salaries are weakly exogenous to the system of equations. This means that the private sector is the wage leader in the long-run model. It is also found that changes in central government salaries do not Granger cause changes in private sector salaries. Together, these findings clearly demonstrate that the central government is not placing undue pressure on salaries in the private sector. The central government is not acting as a wage leader. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1617-1625 Issue: 14 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500407124 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500407124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:14:p:1617-1625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dilip Dutta Author-X-Name-First: Dilip Author-X-Name-Last: Dutta Author-Name: Ihab Magableh Author-X-Name-First: Ihab Author-X-Name-Last: Magableh Title: A socio-economic study of the borrowing process: the case of microentrepreneurs in Jordan Abstract: This paper investigates the socio-economic determinants of four stages of borrowing process of the Jordanian microfinance market. The equations and functions corresponding to the stages of the borrowing process are estimated using a sample of 474 microentrepreneurs. The main results are as follow: variables that reflect the repayment ability are the main determinants of credit rationing in the microfinance market; religious beliefs, social responsibilities, availability of local microfinance provides, application costs, level of knowledge about microfinance providers significantly affect the borrowing process of microentrepreneurs. Credit rationing is found to be a problem for some applicants, but not for the majority. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1627-1640 Issue: 14 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427148 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427148 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:14:p:1627-1640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melvin Borland Author-X-Name-First: Melvin Author-X-Name-Last: Borland Author-Name: Roy Howsen Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Howsen Author-Name: Michelle Trawick Author-X-Name-First: Michelle Author-X-Name-Last: Trawick Title: Intra-school competition and student achievement Abstract: Within the economics of education literature, numerous studies have investigated the relationship between educational market competition and educational achievement. Educational market competition has been defined as either the availability of vouchers within a community or the number of schools or school districts within the relevant market structure. While these studies have shown that increases in inter-district competition result in increased student achievement, no studies, to our knowledge, have yet investigated the effect of intra-school competition on student achievement. Within this study, a measure of intra-school competition is developed and the findings indicate that increased intra-school competition leads to increased student achievement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1641-1647 Issue: 14 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500426991 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500426991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:14:p:1641-1647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Laband Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Laband Author-Name: Robert Tollison Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Tollison Title: Alphabetized coauthorship Abstract: It is found that alphabetized coauthored papers with two authors are more highly cited than non-alphabetized coauthored papers in both economics and agricultural economics. Alphabetized coauthored papers with more than two authors are not cited more, suggesting an optimal team size of two, ceteris paribus. We speculate that the preponderance of non-alphabetized papers in agricultural economics, as compared to economics, is due in some part to the differential importance of nonmarket-based criteria to evaluate research in this area as opposed to economics departments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1649-1653 Issue: 14 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427007 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:14:p:1649-1653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Chu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: A computable general equilibrium model of the southern region of Taiwan: the impact of the Tainan science-based industrial park Abstract: The primary modelling tools used to analyse regional economic issues include econometric forecasting models, fixed price input-output (I-O) multi-sector models, social accounting matrix (SAM) and computable general equilibrium (CGE) models. CGE models combine the advantages of econometric, I-O models and SAM, strengthening the theoretical basis of the modelling effort and thus enabling more precise policy analysis. Current CGE literature includes models used to analyse international trade, tax reform, energy and environment issues. However, application of this technique on a regional scale is rare in the scientific literature. In this paper, a small regional computable general equilibrium model is constructed and applied to analyse the economic impact of constructing Tainan science-based industrial park (TSBIP) locating in southern Taiwan. The research results provide a valuable reference for decision-makers in formulating industrial and regional policies, as well as helping business managers with strategic planning. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1655-1661 Issue: 14 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500426918 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500426918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:14:p:1655-1661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junmin Wan Author-X-Name-First: Junmin Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Cigarette tax revenues and tobacco control in Japan Abstract: The hypotheses of non-addiction, myopia and rational addiction are tested using annual, quarterly and monthly data. Changes in the prices of Japanese cigarettes can be viewed as exogenous from the point of view of consumer behaviour, because the Japanese government controls cigarette prices. The empirical results of this paper support the addiction hypothesis. The short-run and long-run price elasticities range from -0.338 to -0.421, and from -0.679 to -0.686, respectively; thus, increases in tax revenues in the long run are likely to be smaller than those in the short run. As a result, tax increases would be an effective means of curbing smoking and reducing its social cost. Furthermore, the debt compensation programmes for the Japan Railway and the National Forestry will not go according to plan, unless revenues are increased in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1663-1675 Issue: 14 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500426900 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500426900 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:14:p:1663-1675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mario Mazzocchi Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzocchi Author-Name: Davide Delle Monache Author-X-Name-First: Davide Delle Author-X-Name-Last: Monache Author-Name: Alexandra Lobb Author-X-Name-First: Alexandra Author-X-Name-Last: Lobb Title: A structural time series approach to modelling multiple and resurgent meat scares in Italy Abstract: This paper exploits a structural time series approach to model the time pattern of multiple and resurgent food scares and their direct and cross-product impacts on consumer response. A structural time series Almost Ideal Demand System (STS-AIDS) is embedded in a vector error correction framework to allow for dynamic effects (VEC-STS-AIDS). Italian aggregate household data on meat demand is used to assess the time-varying impact of a resurgent BSE crisis (1996 and 2000) and the 1999 Dioxin crisis. The VEC-STS-AIDS model monitors the short-run impacts and performs satisfactorily in terms of residuals diagnostics, overcoming the major problems encountered by the customary vector error correction approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1677-1688 Issue: 14 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500405862 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500405862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:14:p:1677-1688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Huber Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Huber Author-Name: Kristin Smeral Author-X-Name-First: Kristin Author-X-Name-Last: Smeral Title: Measuring worker flows Abstract: The study explores differences between two measurement concepts of worker flows widely used in the literature referred to as the turnover and reallocation concepts. It is found that measuring worker flows by the turnover concept leads to substantially (about 5% of total employment) higher worker flow estimates and slightly increases age, size and industry group effects on firm level worker flows as well as differences between growing and declining firms relative to the reallocation concept. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1689-1695 Issue: 14 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500392482 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500392482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:14:p:1689-1695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sangho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Young Hoon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Young Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The productivity debate of East Asia revisited: a stochastic frontier approach Abstract: This paper applies a stochastic frontier production model to the data from Penn World Table's 49 countries over the period 1965 to 1990, to decompose total factor productivity growth into technical change and technical efficiency change. Empirical results show East Asian countries led the world in productivity growth, mainly because their technical efficiency gain was so much faster than that of other countries. East Asian countries also registered rapid technical change, which was comparable to that of the G6 countries after the late 1980s. The results provide evidence that negate the hypothesis that East Asian growth was mostly input-driven and unsustainable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1697-1706 Issue: 14 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500426884 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500426884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:14:p:1697-1706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Pickhardt Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pickhardt Author-Name: Jordi Sarda Pons Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Sarda Author-X-Name-Last: Pons Title: Size and scope of the underground economy in Germany Abstract: The objective of this paper is to improve estimations of the size and scope of the underground economy by introducing a new approach that combines the advantages of the two most commonly used approaches, i.e. currency demand and multiple indicators, multiple causes (MIMIC). The new approach is applied to Germany. Among other things, it is shown that the approach yields improved estimation results. Some policy perspectives are discussed in the concluding section. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1707-1713 Issue: 14 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500426868 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500426868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:14:p:1707-1713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Voon Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Voon Author-Name: Li Guangzhong Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Guangzhong Author-Name: Jimmy Ran Author-X-Name-First: Jimmy Author-X-Name-Last: Ran Title: Does China really lose from RMB revaluation? Evidence from some export industries Abstract: This study attempts to examine the impacts of Real Exchange Rate (RER) misalignment on China's export performance. Using the SUR methodology coupled with disaggregate panel export data, it shows that China's export sector may not necessarily lose from the Central Government's decision to revalue its RMB against the US dollar because the negative impact of the RER appreciation on Chinese exports may be diluted by the positive impacts attributing to a reduction in the RER misalignment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1715-1723 Issue: 15 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427304 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427304 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:15:p:1715-1723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Whitehead Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whitehead Title: A comparison of contingent valuation method and random utility model estimates of the value of avoiding reductions in king mackerel bag limits Abstract: This paper estimates the value of king mackerel bag limit changes with both stated and revealed preference methods. The 1997 Marine Recreational Fishery Statistical Survey allows estimation of the value of avoiding bag limit reductions with the random utility model and the contingent valuation method. Using the contingent valuation method, the willingness to pay to avoid a one fish reduction in the bag limit is $2.45 per year. Using the random utility model, the willingness to pay to avoid a one fish reduction in the bag limit is $2.24 per trip and $7.71 for a two-month time period. Considering several methodological issues, the difference in willingness to pay between the stated and revealed preference methods is in the expected direction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1725-1735 Issue: 15 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427130 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427130 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:15:p:1725-1735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Santiago Lago-Penas Author-X-Name-First: Santiago Author-X-Name-Last: Lago-Penas Title: Capital grants and regional public investment in Spain: fungibility of aid or crowding-in effect? Abstract: The aim of capital grants to subcentral governments is to increase their investment. However, recipients may try to allocate additional resources to cut saving or deficit, generating a crowding-out effect on self-financed investment. Using data from the Spanish Autonomous Communities during the period 1984 to 1999, the effect of capital transfers on regional public investment, saving and deficit are estimated. Econometric results demonstrate that capital grants have no relevance when explaining the dynamics of saving. However, in deficit regressions they are shown to be both significant and negative. Both results lead us to a partial long-run crowding-out effect of grants on self-financed investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1737-1747 Issue: 15 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427163 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427163 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:15:p:1737-1747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hipolito Simon Author-X-Name-First: Hipolito Author-X-Name-Last: Simon Author-Name: Raul Ramos Author-X-Name-First: Raul Author-X-Name-Last: Ramos Author-Name: Esteban Sanroma Author-X-Name-First: Esteban Author-X-Name-Last: Sanroma Title: Collective bargaining and regional wage differences in Spain: an empirical analysis Abstract: This article analyses the importance of labour market institutions and, in particular, collective wage bargaining in shaping regional wage differences in the Spanish labour market. Using microdata from the Spanish Structure of Earnings Survey, our results reveal that there are significant inter-regional wage differences for similarly skilled workers. These differences are present throughout the whole wage structure and can be explained by both competitive and non-competitive factors, such as insufficient competition in product markets. In this context, industry-level collective bargaining plays a major role in accounting for regional wage differences, a role that in the Spanish case is enhanced due to its unusual regional dimension. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1749-1760 Issue: 15 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427155 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427155 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:15:p:1749-1760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Andrikopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Andrikopoulos Author-Name: Ioannis Loizides Author-X-Name-First: Ioannis Author-X-Name-Last: Loizides Author-Name: Kyprianos Prodromidis Author-X-Name-First: Kyprianos Author-X-Name-Last: Prodromidis Title: Taxation and political business cycles in EU economies Abstract: This paper examines whether incumbent national governments of 11 member states of the European Union manipulated the tax policy instruments at their disposal in order to create national political business cycles, opportunistic or partisan. The empirical evidence, based on data concerning the 1965 to 1997 period, does not support this hypothesis. Rather, it appears that governments have pursued stabilization policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1761-1774 Issue: 15 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427106 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:15:p:1761-1774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Funk Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Funk Title: Business cycles and research investment Abstract: This paper examines the impact of uncertainty and the business cycle on US high-tech manufacturing firms' research investment. Although the reliance on internal financing suggests firms will consider uncertainty and the business cycle when determining their research budget, little is known about how the business cycle and uncertainty influence research investment. Using firm-level data on sales, cash flow, and industry-level indicators of the business cycle, this paper finds that the firm's response to the business depends on the firm's industry and the industry's current location in the business cycle. The data also shows that the business cycle also depresses the firm's reaction to changes in sales and cash flow. Uncertainty clearly reduces research efforts, although non-linearly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1775-1782 Issue: 15 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427098 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427098 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:15:p:1775-1782 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilles Mourre Author-X-Name-First: Gilles Author-X-Name-Last: Mourre Title: Did the pattern of aggregate employment growth change in the euro area in the late 1990s? Abstract: This paper examines whether the pattern of growth in euro area employment seen in the period 1997 to 2001 differs from that recorded in the past and what could be the reasons. First, a standard employment equation is estimated for the euro area as a whole. This shows that the lagged impact of both output growth and real labour cost growth, together with a productivity trend and employment 'inertia', can account for most of the employment developments between 1970 and the early 1990s. Conversely, these traditional determinants can only explain part of the employment development seen in recent years (1997 to 2001). Second, the paper shows sound evidence of a structural break in the aggregate employment equation in the late 1990s. Third, the paper provides some tentative explanations for this change in aggregate employment developments, using in particular country panels of institutional variables and of active labour market policies but also cross-sectional analyses. Among the relevant factors likely to have contributed to rising aggregate employment in recent years are changes in the sectoral composition of euro area employment, the strong development of part-time jobs, lower labour tax rates and possibly less stringent employment protection legislation and greater subsidies to private employment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1783-1807 Issue: 15 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427072 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:15:p:1783-1807 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: O. Mikhail Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Mikhail Author-Name: C. J. Eberwein Author-X-Name-First: C. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Eberwein Author-Name: J. Handa Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Handa Title: Estimating persistence in Canadian unemployment: evidence from a Bayesian ARFIMA Abstract: The degree of persistence in aggregate Canadian unemployment is estimated within a Bayesian ARFIMA class of models. The results conclude that unemployment exhibits persistence in the short and intermediate run. The evidence of persistence is stronger than previously reported by Koustas and Veloce (1996). This persistence cast a vital implication regarding disinflation policies, Based on the unemployment rate, these policies will prove very costly in terms of lost output and - if implemented - they considerably lengthen recessions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1809-1819 Issue: 15 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427023 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427023 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:15:p:1809-1819 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maxime de Marin de Montmarin Author-X-Name-First: Maxime de Marin Author-X-Name-Last: de Montmarin Title: A result similar to the Odlyzko's 'Paris Metro Pricing' Abstract: The two-stage competition is investigated in which two Internet Service Providers (ISP) choose sequentially their capacities and then their prices while facing a flow of new customers who decide to belong to one ISP or the other on the basis of a comparison of access prices and of expected congestion rates. At the equilibrium of the game a vertical differentiation between the Internet Service Providers endogenously emerges: the firm which provides the larger network has the lowest rate of congestion and the highest access price. The ISP providing the smallest network (thus the most congested) earns the larger profit. It will be noticed that the spontaneous functioning of oligopolistic competition produces a result similar to the Odlyzko's 'Paris Metro Pricing': at the equilibrium the two competitors propose different prices and rates of congestion, the most expensive one being also the least congested. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1821-1824 Issue: 15 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500426967 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500426967 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:15:p:1821-1824 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Author-Name: Nowak-Lehnmann Felicitas Author-X-Name-First: Nowak-Lehnmann Author-X-Name-Last: Felicitas Title: What does export diversification do for growth? An econometric analysis Abstract: It is frequently suggested that export diversification contributes to an acceleration of growth in developing countries. Horizontal export diversification into completely new export sectors may generate positive externalities on the rest of the economy as export oriented sectors gain from dynamic learning activities due to contacts with foreign purchasers and exposure to international competition. Vertical diversification out of primary into manufactured exports is also associated with growth since primary export sectors generally do not exhibit strong spillovers. Yet there have been remarkably few empirical investigations into the link between export diversification and growth. This paper attempts to examine the hypothesis that export diversification is linked to economic growth via externalities of learning-by-doing and learning-by-exporting fostered by competition in world markets. The diversification-led growth hypothesis is tested by estimating an augmented Cobb-Douglas production function on the basis of annual time series data from Chile. Based on the theory of cointegration three types of statistical methodologies are used: the Johansen trace test, a multivariate error-correction model and the dynamic OLS procedure. Given structural changes in the Chilean economy, time series techniques considering structural breaks are applied. The estimation results suggest that export diversification plays an important role in economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1825-1838 Issue: 15 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500426983 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500426983 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:15:p:1825-1838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ken Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Title: Intra-family transfers in Japan: intergenerational co-residence, distance, and contact Abstract: Classified broadly, two motives for intra-family transfers exist: altruism and selfishness. This paper examines two selfish hypotheses - the exchange motive (strategic bequest motive) and the demonstration effect - using a new Japanese microdata set. Analysis of the determinants of intergenerational co-residence, distance between residences, and frequency of contact yields considerable support for the exchange motive but no support for the demonstration effect. The findings are consistent with the exchange motive after distinguishing it from mutual altruism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1839-1861 Issue: 16 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600825746 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600825746 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:16:p:1839-1861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Doorn Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Doorn Title: Consequences of Hodrick-Prescott filtering for parameter estimation in a structural model of inventory behaviour Abstract: Much work in macroeconomics relies on detrending a time series prior to analysis. A popular method of detrending has been the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter. This filter has been widely applied in the Real Business Cycle literature to isolate the behaviour of economic variables at business cycle frequencies and to look at comovements between series over the business cycle. Prior work has shown that the use of this filter can have serious consequences for such analysis, such as inducing spurious correlations, and that a researcher should proceed with caution when applying the filter. Another use of HP filtering has been to achieve stationarity prior to estimation of structural econometric models. Little work has been done concerning the possible effects this method of detrending may have on parameter estimation from such models. Given the problems with the filter noted in the literature, it is likely these effects may be of some consequence to estimation results. Using a common model of inventory behaviour, a simulation study is conducted to assess the impact of using the HP filter for detrending prior to estimation. A comparison will be made to other methods of handling trend to gauge relative performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1863-1875 Issue: 16 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427254 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427254 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:16:p:1863-1875 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linda Nøstbakken Author-X-Name-First: Linda Author-X-Name-Last: Nøstbakken Title: Cost structure and capacity in the Norwegian pelagic fisheries Abstract: The parameters of the short-run cost function are estimated for three vessel types taking part in the Norwegian pelagic fisheries: purse seine vessels, trawlers, and coastal vessels. The generalized translog functional form is used. Estimates of returns to scale are calculated and the results indicate that there are substantial economies of scale in all vessel classes. It is further investigated whether excess capacity varies with vessel size and age. The analysis suggests increased quotas per vessel to avoid rent dissipation. With the total allowable catch given, the number of participating vessels must be reduced. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1877-1887 Issue: 16 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427197 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:16:p:1877-1887 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donny Tang Author-X-Name-First: Donny Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: The effect of financial development on economic growth: evidence from the APEC countries, 1981-2000 Abstract: Using the modified growth model, this study examines whether financial development would facilitate economic growth among the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) countries from 1981 to 2000. It focuses on the effects of three aspects of financial development on growth: stock market, banking sector and capital flow. To control for the country-specific effect, the model is further estimated for the developed and developing member countries. Results suggest that among the three financial sectors, only the stock market development shows strong growth-enhancing effect, especially among the developed member countries. This positive relationship remains very robust even after controlling for the simultaneity bias. Thus, there is no evidence to suggest that the level of financial infrastructure development does affect the overall finance-growth relationship observed in this study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1889-1904 Issue: 16 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427239 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427239 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:16:p:1889-1904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bang Nam Jeon Author-X-Name-First: Bang Nam Author-X-Name-Last: Jeon Author-Name: Kyeong Seok Han Author-X-Name-First: Kyeong Seok Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Myung Jin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Myung Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Determining factors for the adoption of e-business: the case of SMEs in Korea Abstract: This study investigates the determining factors of the successful adoption of e-business by small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in Korea using survey data. After the major determining factors were identified from the innovation adoption literature and were extracted by applying the principal component analysis to the survey data and by adding the country-specific characteristics of Korea, we conducted empirical analyses to determine the critical success factors for the adoption of e-business by Korean firms. The empirical results which are based on t-tests of the differences between adopters and non-adopters, the linear probability model, and the logit model, all suggest that the important determinants of the successful adoption of e-business by SMEs in Korea are: the CEO's knowledge of information technology (IT)/e-business, relative advantages and benefits from implementing e-business, governmental support, globalization strategy and the North Korean factor. Business size, the cost of e-business adoption and competitive pressure of the industry do not seem to play an important role in the adoption of e-business by Korean SMEs. The policy implications of this study on promoting e-business adoption by SMEs in emerging economies, such as Korea, are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1905-1916 Issue: 16 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427262 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427262 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:16:p:1905-1916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bahram Adrangi Author-X-Name-First: Bahram Author-X-Name-Last: Adrangi Author-Name: A. Chatrath Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Chatrath Author-Name: Frank Song Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Ferenc Szidarovszky Author-X-Name-First: Ferenc Author-X-Name-Last: Szidarovszky Title: Petroleum spreads and the term structure of futures prices Abstract: We employ the term structure of gasoline and heating oil prices, proxied by convenience yields, to explain the variation in the spread between the prices of gasoline and crude oil and the prices of heating oil and crude oil. We demonstrate that the marginal convenience yields in the gasoline and heating oil markets explained much of the variation in the spreads between 1986 and 1999. The evidence indicates the importance of a disaggregated treatment of the term structure of prices: the convenience yield is found to explain a substantially higher amount of the variation in the spread when it is decomposed by maturity, even after controls for seasonality and inventory levels are implemented. These findings support the notion that the futures term structure contains information beyond what can be garnered via obvious or easily available proxies of current supply and demand. The findings are also supported in an alternate specification that tests for the origins of information spillover (leadership) between the commodities: it is demonstrated that decomposed convenience yields explain a substantial portion of the volatility spillover from the gasoline and heating oil markets to the crude market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1917-1929 Issue: 16 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427189 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:16:p:1917-1929 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Angeles Caraballo Author-X-Name-First: M. Angeles Author-X-Name-Last: Caraballo Author-Name: Carlos Dabus Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Dabus Author-Name: Carlos Usabiaga Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Usabiaga Title: Relative prices and inflation: new evidence from different inflationary contexts Abstract: This paper analyses the relationship between inflation and relative price variability, in the direction of the latter, in two countries with very different inflationary experiences: Argentina and Spain. To address this objective, using disaggregated price indexes (the Wholesale Price Index for Argentina and the Consumer Price Index for Spain), we delimitate different inflationary regimes and compute a set of regressions for each country. Our results suggest evidence in favour of the non-neutrality of inflation (mostly in hyperinflation periods) and do not support either the menu costs or the signal extraction approaches. We also detect significant structural changes in the relationship depending on the inflationary regime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1931-1944 Issue: 16 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427171 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:16:p:1931-1944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Gravel Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Gravel Author-Name: Alessandra Michelangeli Author-X-Name-First: Alessandra Author-X-Name-Last: Michelangeli Author-Name: Alain Trannoy Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Trannoy Title: Measuring the social value of local public goods: an empirical analysis within Paris metropolitan area Abstract: A non-linear hedonic model is used to estimate the implicit marginal prices of 17 local public goods in a Paris suburban area on an original data set of some 8200 housing units. The results reveal a robust effect of local public school quality (measured both by the fraction of junior high school students that are at least two years behind grade level and the student/teacher ratio) on house prices. It is observed that housing owners' marginal willingness to pay for reducing commuting time is roughly similar for public transportation than for car transportation. Another noticeable result is the complete capitalization of local taxes at a discount rate of 3.5%. An illustration of the potential usefulness of the results for Cost-Benefit analysis is also provided. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1945-1961 Issue: 16 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427213 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427213 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:16:p:1945-1961 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Radislav Semenov Author-X-Name-First: Radislav Author-X-Name-Last: Semenov Title: Financial systems, financing constraints and investment: empirical analysis of OECD countries Abstract: This paper investigates the influence of cash flow on corporate investment in 11 OECD countries. We find that the sensitivity of investment levels to internally available funds differs significantly across countries, and is lower in countries with predominantly close bank-firm relationships than in countries with predominantly arm's-length bank-firm relationships. At the same time, we find no relationship of the levels of financial constraints to indicators of overall financial development. Our results are consistent with the view that information and incentive problems in the capital market have important effects on corporate investment, and that close bank-firm relationships can reduce these problems and thus improve the access of firms to external finance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1963-1974 Issue: 17 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427122 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:17:p:1963-1974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Dead man walking: an empirical reassessment of the deterrent effect of capital punishment using the bounds testing approach to cointegration Abstract: This paper empirically estimates a murder supply equation for the United States from 1965 to 2001 within a cointegration and error correction framework. Our findings suggest that any support for the deterrence hypothesis is sensitive to the inclusion of variables for the effects of guns and other crimes. In the long run we find that real income and the conditional probability of receiving the death sentence are the main factors explaining variations in the homicide rate. In the short run the aggravated assault rate and robbery rate are the most important determinants of the homicide rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1975-1989 Issue: 17 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427288 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427288 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:17:p:1975-1989 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harry Anthony Patrinos Author-X-Name-First: Harry Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Patrinos Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Title: Economic volatility and returns to education in Venezuela: 1992-2002 Abstract: Preliminary evidence suggests that the rates of return to education in Venezuela have been declining since the 1970s. This study rigorously estimates the returns to education in Venezuela for the period 1992 to 2002 and links them to earlier available estimates from the 1980s. Consistent cross-sections from the Encuesta de Hogares por Muestro are used to document falling returns to schooling and educational levels until the mid-1990s, followed by increasing returns thereafter. Quantile regression analysis is used to provide further insight into the within skill group changes in returns over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1991-2005 Issue: 17 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427338 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:17:p:1991-2005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Morana Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: The price stability oriented monetary policy of the ECB: an assessment Abstract: The definition of price stability adopted by the ECB has recently been criticized in the literature, particularly for being unable to fully anchor inflation expectations and creating a deflation risk. In the paper empirical evidence is provided against these claims. Despite the unfavourable macroeconomic conditions for the euro area since 2001, monetary policy management has lead to the setting of the policy rate at levels compatible with trend inflation (the long-run inflation forecast) in the range 1-3%, and therefore without affecting negatively the inflation outlook. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2007-2020 Issue: 17 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427312 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:17:p:2007-2020 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Belen Gracia Andia Author-X-Name-First: Ana Belen Gracia Author-X-Name-Last: Andia Author-Name: Maria Dolores Gadea Rivas Author-X-Name-First: Maria Dolores Gadea Author-X-Name-Last: Rivas Author-Name: Jose Maria Serrano Sanz Author-X-Name-First: Jose Maria Serrano Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz Title: The effects of macroeconomic stability on foreign trade. An analysis for Spain, 1986-2000 Abstract: Two main factors underlie the rebirth of interest in the study of the influence of the real exchange rate on trade, the reduction of its volatility and the current trend towards price stability. The objective of this study is to analyse the effects of the process of nominal convergence, required of the European member states for the fulfilment of monetary integration, on foreign trade flows. The case of Spain, which is especially interesting in this context, is studied for the period 1986 to 2000. The results of estimating the aggregate functions of the export and import of goods shows how macroeconomic stability has altered the behaviour of trade with respect to the two basic determinants - income and prices - how it has caused a significant structural change in the real exchange rate and, finally, how it has laid the explanatory bases for transactions in the twenty-first century with the single currency - the euro. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2021-2036 Issue: 17 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427395 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427395 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:17:p:2021-2036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Leece Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Leece Title: Testing a theoretical model of mortgage demand on UK data Abstract: Mortgage demand is a poorly understood and under-researched aspect of the financial behaviour of households. This paper tests empirically the basic results of Brueckner's model of mortgage demand on UK mortgage market data. The choice of mortgage instrument is used to identify impatient debt maximizers and patient borrowers who borrow at intermediate levels. Thus the research confirms the conditions under which households will use the largest possible mortgage and the circumstances under which savings are invested in the property. A unique contribution of the work is the estimation of mortgage demand equations corrected for endogenous housing demand, for a single housing finance system, where borrowers face different opportunity costs of equity in their owner occupied property, allowing a purer test of the theoretical model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2037-2051 Issue: 17 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500426959 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500426959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:17:p:2037-2051 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camille Logeay Author-X-Name-First: Camille Author-X-Name-Last: Logeay Author-Name: Sven Schreiber Author-X-Name-First: Sven Author-X-Name-Last: Schreiber Title: Testing the effectiveness of the French work-sharing reform: a forecasting approach Abstract: The macroeconomic impact of the French work-sharing reform of 2000 (a reduction of standard working hours in combination with wage subsidies) is analysed. Using a vector error correction model (VECM) for several labour market variables, as well as inflation and output, out-of-sample forecasts for 2000/2001 are produced. A comparison of these forecasts - which serve as a benchmark simulation without structural shifts - to the realized values (with shifts) suggests significant beneficial employment effects of the policy mix. Other shifts were absent and thus cannot explain the outcome. Output, productivity, hourly labour costs, and inflation are only transitorily affected or not at all. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2053-2068 Issue: 17 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427031 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:17:p:2053-2068 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shikuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shikuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Ming-Jen Chang Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Relative prices and expenditure switching effect Abstract: This study examines the impact of a monetary shock on a two-country, asymmetrical size general equilibrium model. It is assumed that prices are sticky in the producer's currency, and find that the expenditure switching effect is not significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2069-2073 Issue: 17 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600895707 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600895707 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:17:p:2069-2073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evan Kraft Author-X-Name-First: Evan Author-X-Name-Last: Kraft Author-Name: Richard Hofler Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Hofler Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Privatization, foreign bank entry and bank efficiency in Croatia: a Fourier-flexible function stochastic cost frontier analysis Abstract: Using bank balance sheet data for Croatia for 1994 to 2000, this study estimates a Fourier-flexible frontier cost function. Specification tests indicate that the stochastic frontier model with a Fourier-flexible form with a truncated normal distribution of the inefficiency term allowing for time varying cost efficiency is preferred. The results show that new private and privatized banks, contrary to some expectations, are not the most efficient banks through most of the period. Privatization also does not seem to have an immediate effect on improved efficiency. However, better cost efficiency is associated with a lower likelihood of failure, suggesting that better risk management and better cost management are signs of better management in general. Finally, foreign banks have substantially better efficiency scores than all categories of domestic banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2075-2088 Issue: 17 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427361 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:17:p:2075-2088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linda Yueh Author-X-Name-First: Linda Author-X-Name-Last: Yueh Title: Parental investment in children's human capital in urban China Abstract: The present study tests the extent of parental forgone consumption used instead to invest in children's human capital by use of intrahousehold resource allocation models. Using an unusual, comprehensive data set for urban China, there is more spending on boys aged 13 to 15 but more on girls aged 16 to 18, suggesting that standard human capital theories and traditional perceptions of gender bias do not completely explain educational expenditure decisions. The evidence from urban China is consistent, though, with human capital models which consider parental intertemporal preferences. Also, the findings suggest that the perceived bias in favour of sons exists weakly in contemporary urban China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2089-2111 Issue: 18 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427353 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:18:p:2089-2111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dieter Verhaest Author-X-Name-First: Dieter Author-X-Name-Last: Verhaest Author-Name: Eddy Omey Author-X-Name-First: Eddy Author-X-Name-Last: Omey Title: Discriminating between alternative measures of over-education Abstract: Five over-education measures are evaluated empirically on the basis of encompassing tests. The measures are based on job analysis (JA), worker-assessment of the required level to do the job (WAd), worker-assessment of the required level to get the job (WAg), the mean educational level of realized matches (RMmn), and the modal level of realized matches (RMml). Over- and under-education are linked to wages, job satisfaction, mobility and training participation. For none of the outcome variables, the JA model is encompassed by another model. Given the risk on systematic errors, this is a sufficient condition to prefer a carefully conducted JA to any other measure. The most reliable solution is to use the JA measure as an instrument for the WAd measure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2113-2120 Issue: 18 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427387 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:18:p:2113-2120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandra Ferrari Author-X-Name-First: Alessandra Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrari Title: The internal market and hospital efficiency: a stochastic distance function approach Abstract: The UK internal market was one of the first European attempts to introduce a competitive mechanism in the provision of hospital services. The assumption was that competition would have led hospitals to increase efficiency in the use of their resources. The aim of this paper is to analyse the effectiveness of this kind of reform by measuring the changes in technical efficiency of a panel of 52 acute Scottish hospitals observed from 1991/92 to 1996/97. The time period covers the whole duration of the internal market and the sample contains a different mix of both trusts and non-trusts, where the former embed the proper working of the reform. The selected model is a stochastic output distance function that includes an interaction dummy variable to allow for parameters to change over time. The results show a structural break after which hospitals change not only the way in which they provide their services, but also the kind of services they provide, favouring the quicker treatment of patients on a day basis. No significant improvement in technical efficiency is detected instead over time, nor any significant difference in efficiency between trusts and non-trusts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2121-2130 Issue: 18 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427437 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:18:p:2121-2130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Logan McLeod Author-X-Name-First: Logan Author-X-Name-Last: McLeod Author-Name: Michael Veall Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Veall Title: The dynamics of food insecurity and overall health: evidence from the Canadian National Population Health Survey Abstract: The paper explores whether the responses to household food insecurity questions in cycles two and three of the Canadian National Population Health Survey help explain the links between socioeconomic status and health at the individual level. Short-term transitions in food insecurity status are correlated with changes in health status. There is some evidence for females but not for males that conditional on current health, current household food insecurity can lead to lower future health status, even in the short run. There is stronger evidence for both males and females that conditional on current household food insecurity status, lower current health status can lead to an increased probability of future household food insecurity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2131-2146 Issue: 18 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427429 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:18:p:2131-2146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mao-Wei Hung Author-X-Name-First: Mao-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Hsiao-Yuan Yu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: A heterogeneous model of disposition effect Abstract: A portfolio choice model is provided to illustrate the disposition effect under irrational belief in mean reversion assumption. Higher cognitive reference, stronger irrational belief in mean reversion magnitude and less risk aversion all strengthen the disposition effect in the model. The equilibrium market interest rate is priced after the market clearing condition is employed. The grater disposition effect reduces the capital mobility from the stock market to the bond market and thus mitigates the dropping of the market interest rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2147-2157 Issue: 18 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427403 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427403 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:18:p:2147-2157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmelo Leon Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo Author-X-Name-Last: Leon Author-Name: Juan Hernandez Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Hernandez Author-Name: Miguel Leon-Santana Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Leon-Santana Title: The effects of water temperature in aquaculture management Abstract: This study examines the impact of water temperature on the optimal management of the ration size and fish weight in off-shore farm aquaculture. A model for the expected returns of the farm is developed which includes a fish growth function influenced by fish weight, the ration size and water temperature. The output transportation cost has an ambiguous effect on the harvesting size, but the impact of water temperature is positive. These results explain empirical evidence in the Canary Islands that unfavourable economic conditions could be overcome by environmental advantageous conditions raising productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2159-2168 Issue: 18 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427379 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:18:p:2159-2168 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan de Brauw Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: de Brauw Title: The Kyoto Protocol, market power, and enforcement Abstract: The Kyoto Protocol aims to limit aggregate carbon emissions by participating countries to 1990 emissions levels in aggregate. It also allows for the creation of a permit market in which countries will be able to buy and sell the right to emit carbon dioxide. This paper investigates how market power, held by the countries of the former Soviet Union, and enforcement of the carbon emission limits might affect the abatement and the cost of compliance with the Kyoto Protocol. To do so, it uses a modified version of the van Egteren-Weber (1996) model to investigate a permit market in the presence of both market power and enforcement difficulties. It then simulates the model, finding that if meeting abatement targets is the goal, regulating the supply side of the market and convex fine schedules are the most effective tools. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2169-2178 Issue: 18 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600895442 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600895442 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:18:p:2169-2178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor Claar Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Claar Title: Is the NAIRU more useful in forecasting inflation than the natural rate of unemployment? Abstract: Recent studies have indicated that the terms 'NAIRU' (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) and 'natural rate of unemployment' are not interchangeable. While NAIRU is an empirical macroeconomic relationship estimated via a Phillips curve, the natural rate is an equilibrium condition in the labour market, reflecting the market's microeconomic features. This study evaluates comparatively the inflation-forecasting power of alternative time-varying estimates of the natural rate of unemployment relative to the NAIRU. The natural rate of unemployment in the USA since the Second World War is estimated. Three alternative methods are utilized: the Kalman filter, a structural determinants approach, and the Hodrick-Prescott filter. The section that follows assesses how each estimator of the natural rate compares with the others - as well as with the NAIRU derived from a Phillips curve - in forecasting inflationary changes in the USA in the second half of the twentieth century. The analysis reveals that the overall inflation-forecasting utility of the natural rate of unemployment relative to the NAIRU is not very different. Moreover, the conclusion appears to be quite robust to various estimators of the natural rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2179-2189 Issue: 18 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600701061 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600701061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:18:p:2179-2189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pilar Poncela Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Poncela Author-Name: Eva Senra Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Senra Title: A two factor model to combine US inflation forecasts Abstract: The combination of individual forecasts is often a useful tool to improve forecast accuracy. The most commonly used technique for forecast combination is the mean, and it has frequently proved hard to surpass. This study considers factor analysis to combine US inflation forecasts showing that just one factor is not enough to beat the mean and that the second one is necessary. The first factor is usually a weighted mean of the variables and it can be interpreted as a consensus forecast, while the second factor generally provides the differences among the variables and, since the observations are forecasts, it may be related with the dispersion in forecasting expectations and, in a sense, with its uncertainty. Within this approach, the study also revisits Friedman's hypothesis relating the level of inflation with expectations uncertainty at the beginning of the twenty-first century. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2191-2197 Issue: 18 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427296 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427296 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:18:p:2191-2197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdinc Telatar Author-X-Name-First: Erdinc Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Author-Name: Mubariz Hasanov Author-X-Name-First: Mubariz Author-X-Name-Last: Hasanov Title: The asymmetric effects of monetary shocks: the case of Turkey Abstract: This paper examines whether there is an asymmetry in the effects of positive versus negative and small versus big money supply shocks, and whether the effects of the shocks on output and prices vary over the business cycles in the case of Turkey. Negative shocks to money are found to have greater output and smaller price effects compared to the effects of positive shocks, irrespective of the initial state of the economy. It is also found that monetary shocks of different size affect output growth and inflation rates proportionately. These findings can be interpreted as evidence for the view that the short run aggragate supply curve is convex in such a country like Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2199-2208 Issue: 18 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427411 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427411 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:18:p:2199-2208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Temporal causality and the dynamics of judicial appellate caseload, real income and socio-economic complexity in Australia Abstract: This study applies Granger causality tests within a multivariate error correction framework to examine the relationship between judicial caseload, real income and urbanization for Australia using annual data from 1904 to 2001. Decomposition of variance and impulse response functions are also considered. The Granger causality results as well as the decomposition of variance and impulse response functions suggest that urbanization is the most exogenous of the three variables in both the long run and short run while judicial caseload and real income are relatively exogenous in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2209-2219 Issue: 19 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427569 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:19:p:2209-2219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelvin Balcombe Author-X-Name-First: Kelvin Author-X-Name-Last: Balcombe Author-Name: Iain Fraser Author-X-Name-First: Iain Author-X-Name-Last: Fraser Author-Name: Jae Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Estimating technical efficiency of Australian dairy farms using alternative frontier methodologies Abstract: Technical efficiency is estimated and examined for a cross-section of Australian dairy farms using various frontier methodologies; Bayesian and Classical stochastic frontiers, and Data Envelopment Analysis. The results indicate technical inefficiency is present in the sample data. Also identified are statistical differences between the point estimates of technical efficiency generated by the various methodologies. However, the rank of farm level technical efficiency is statistically invariant to the estimation technique employed. Finally, when confidence/credible intervals of technical efficiency are compared significant overlap is found for many of the farms' intervals for all frontier methods employed. The results indicate that the choice of estimation methodology may matter, but the explanatory power of all frontier methods is significantly weaker when interval estimate of technical efficiency is examined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2221-2236 Issue: 19 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427445 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:19:p:2221-2236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Ezcurra Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra Author-Name: Pedro Pascual Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual Author-Name: Manuel Rapun Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Rapun Title: Regional mobility in the European Union Abstract: Regional mobility in the spatial distribution of per capita income in the European Union is examined over the period 1977 to 1999. The methodology used to investigate this issue combines a series of measures taken from the literature devoted to the dynamic study of personal income distribution with a non-parametric analysis. The results show limited mobility in the distribution considered, and a decline in mobility over time. The empirical evidence presented indicates, moreover, that mobility patterns vary as a function of regional development levels. Additionally, the analysis carried out investigates the role played in explaining intra-distribution mobility by variables such as per capita income, population density, per capita expenditure in investment, market potential, and the share in total employment of agriculture, advanced services and non-market services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2237-2253 Issue: 19 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427494 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:19:p:2237-2253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Staat Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Staat Title: Efficiency of hospitals in Germany: a DEA-bootstrap approach Abstract: Various attempts to assess the performance of German hospitals have generated a wide range of estimates regarding their efficiency. These attempts were based on different, often rather small data sets consisting of heterogeneous hospitals; the techniques applied range from simple benchmarking approaches to studies which employ Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). Some studies report 'dramatic differences in efficiency' and propose savings potentials of 50%; others find an average efficiency in excess of 95% and characterize almost 75% of their observations as fully efficient. This study presents results for two datasets representative of two segments of the German hospital system. These segments comprise all hospitals that have one internal medicine and one surgery department; the hospitals are located in the old federal states of Germany. None of the hospitals provides tertiary care. DEA can be applied because all hospitals offer a comparable quality and range of services. The results were estimated with a DEA-bootstrapping procedure and suggest an average bias-corrected efficiency of around 80%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2255-2263 Issue: 19 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427502 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427502 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:19:p:2255-2263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Speight Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Speight Author-Name: Piers Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Piers Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Is investment time irreversible? Some empirical evidence for disaggregated UK manufacturing data Abstract: It has long been suggested that investment may be time irreversible, and consideration of the option value of waiting to invest has aroused renewed interest in this issue. This study tests for time irreversibility in UK investment according to disaggregation by type of investment expenditure and across manufacturing sector groupings. The test results reported indicate that the irreversibility of investment patterns varies not only from industry to industry but also according to the type of capital being purchased, with significant time irreversibility detected in gross fixed capital formation and aggregate vehicles expenditure, and industrial sector groupings comprising fuels and oil refining, engineering and vehicles, and textiles and leather. However, only in the first and last of these series is time irreversibility attributable to non-linearities in the underlying data generating process, and consistent with threshold effects which may be associated with (S,s) type models of investment dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2265-2275 Issue: 19 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427551 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427551 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:19:p:2265-2275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chien-Chung Nieh Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Nieh Author-Name: Ching-Chun Wei Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Analysis of long-run benefits from international equity diversification between Taiwan and its major European trading partners: an empirical note Abstract: This paper employs four cointegration test approaches, PO, HI, JJ and KSS, to test for pairwise long-run equilibrium relationships between Taiwan's stock price index and each of the stock price indexes of four European markets - French, German, Dutch, and British stock markets. The results from these four tests are robust and clearly consistent in suggesting that the Taiwan stock market is not pairwise cointegrated with the four European stock markets. This provides strong evidence that there exist long-run benefits for Taiwan investors diversifying in the equity markets of Taiwan's major European trading partners, France, Germany, Holland, and the UK, over the sample period considered from 6 January 1998 to 30 May 2002. These findings could be valuable to Taiwan individual investors and financial institutions holding long-run investment portfolios in the equity markets of France, Germany, Holland, and the UK. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2277-2283 Issue: 19 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427510 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427510 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:19:p:2277-2283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Vermeir Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Vermeir Author-Name: Bruno Heyndels Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Heyndels Title: Tax policy and yardstick voting in Flemish municipal elections Abstract: Recent theoretical papers develop political agency models in which voters compare tax policy with that in neighbouring jurisdictions. In these yardstick competition models voters judge incumbents by comparing their policy with policy in neighbouring jurisdictions. This paper reports an analysis of municipal elections in Flanders during the period 1982 to 2000 and finds empirical evidence for yardstick voting. Incumbents are punished for higher tax rates. Importantly, the electoral punishment also depends on tax rates in neighbouring municipalities. Higher rates in neighbouring municipalities are favourable for the incumbents. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2285-2298 Issue: 19 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427536 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427536 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:19:p:2285-2298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nancy Kong Author-X-Name-First: Nancy Author-X-Name-Last: Kong Author-Name: Jose Tongzon Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Tongzon Title: Estimating total factor productivity growth in Singapore at sectoral level using data envelopment analysis Abstract: Trends in total factor productivity growth (TFPG) are examined in the ten major sectors of Singapore. Data are drawn from the Yearbook of Statistics, Singapore, (various issues) and Economic Survey of Singapore series ranging from the year 1985 to 2000. Due to the heterogeneous characteristic of each sector and non-availability of reliable input price data, this study uses a non-parametric, frontier methodology known as data envelopment analysis (DEA) to obtain the Malmquist Productivity Index at the sectoral level. The results can help Singapore identify the 'best practice' sector and laggards in three aspects: efficiency change, technical change and TFPG, which is the qualitative productivity improvements needed for long-term economic growth. The three sets of productivity estimates are adjusted for effects of inflation and business cycles so that they are more reliable for policy implications. This exercise will provide a platform for more detailed study on the determinants of TFP growth in different sectors and at the firm level in Singapore. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2299-2314 Issue: 19 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427544 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427544 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:19:p:2299-2314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Arana Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Arana Author-Name: Carmelo Leon Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo Author-X-Name-Last: Leon Title: Modelling unobserved heterogeneity in contingent valuation of health risks Abstract: Human preferences for alternative levels of health risks can be heterogeneous. In this paper a flexible distribution approach to model health values elicited with the dichotomous choice contingent valuation method is considered. Rigid parametric structures cannot model sample heterogeneity while imposing strong assumptions on the error distribution. A mixture of normal distributions is considered which can approximate arbitrary well any empirical distributions as the number of mixtures increases. The model is applied to data on willingness to pay for reducing the individual risk of an episode of respiratory illness. The mixture distribution model is compared with the rigid probit model using a Bayes factor test. The results show that the mixture modelling approach improves performance while allowing for the consideration of alternative groups of individuals with different preferences for health risks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2315-2325 Issue: 19 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427460 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427460 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:19:p:2315-2325 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joo-Suk Lee Author-X-Name-First: Joo-Suk Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: Consumers' preferences for the attributes of post-PC: results of a contingent ranking study Abstract: With the explosive growth of the internet and the change in consumer demand, post-PC is emerging as a substitute for the existing desktop PC and laptop PC. post-PC is a new computer which is portable with wireless networking, cheaper than the existing PC and specializing in the specific functions that consumers want. Rudimentary post-PCs such as PDA, web-pad and smart-phone are already in use. In the future, owing to technological progress, the heterogeneity of related companies and the low entry barrier, various post-PCs will be developed. This paper attempts to analyse consumers' willingness-to-pay (WTP) for post-PC with such attributes as portability, CPU speed, data input method (using key board or electric pen), monitor size, and price. To this end, a contingent ranking method is applied, which makes the respondents rank hypothetical post-PC alternatives featuring various combinations of attributes, via a survey data collected in Korea. Using the estimated WTP, the shape and the capacity of future post-PC are predicted and policy implications drawn for national- and company-level R&D strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2327-2334 Issue: 19 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427486 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427486 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:19:p:2327-2334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Romeu Gordo Author-X-Name-First: Laura Romeu Author-X-Name-Last: Gordo Title: Effects of short- and long-term unemployment on health satisfaction: evidence from German data Abstract: The purpose of this study is to analyse the effects of short- and long-term unemployment on health satisfaction. The data source used for the analysis is the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP) which, given its longitudinal structure, allows one to better overcome the problem of endogeneity. Three different models are used in order to assess the effect of short and long-term unemployment and reemployment on health satisfaction. The results show that short-term unemployment has only a significant (and negative) effect for men, while for women short-term unemployment does not have a significant effect on health satisfaction. Being unemployed for a long period has a significant and negative effect for both men and women. Finally, it can be also concluded from the empirical analysis that reemployment has a significant and positive effect on health satisfaction for both unemployed men and women, independent of how long individuals have been unemployed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2335-2350 Issue: 20 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427692 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427692 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:20:p:2335-2350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Devadoss Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Devadoss Author-Name: Angel Aguiar Author-X-Name-First: Angel Author-X-Name-Last: Aguiar Title: Effects of global trade liberalization on softwood lumber markets Abstract: This study develops a world spatial equilibrium softwood lumber model comprised of the major importing and exporting countries/regions to analyse the impacts of global trade reform on the world softwood lumber market. The results show that free trade leads to an increase in lumber trade, and Canadian producers and US consumers are the biggest beneficiaries. Trade liberalization improves the overall world welfare as world producer and consumer surpluses increase. The result highlights the importance of moving towards free trade in the global softwood lumber market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2351-2360 Issue: 20 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427619 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427619 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:20:p:2351-2360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keun-Yeob Oh Author-X-Name-First: Keun-Yeob Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Bonghan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Bonghan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Honkee Kim Author-X-Name-First: Honkee Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: An empirical study of the relation between stock price and EPS in panel data: Korea case Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between stock price and earnings-per-share using Korean stock market data. The nonstationarity of the data has been managed. In particular, recently developed panel cointegration techniques are used, which are known to be more powerful than individual cointegration methods. The tests applied to the panel data as a whole showed the cointegration relationship between the stock prices and EPS (earnings-per-share), while tests for the individual stock prices could not detect the cointegration. Therefore, there is now some evidence in support of weak mean-reversion for the PER (Price-Earnings Ratio). However, only mixed evidence was obtained for the hypothesis that the coefficient of EPS to the stock prices is equal to one. In short, stock prices do seem to move with firm fundamentals, in the long-run and on average, but not necessarily at the same rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2361-2369 Issue: 20 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427593 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427593 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:20:p:2361-2369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Hawkins Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Hawkins Author-Name: Sally Wallace Author-X-Name-First: Sally Author-X-Name-Last: Wallace Title: Source of income effects for demand decisions and taxable consumption Abstract: The relationship between sources of income and demand decisions by the household is examined here with an eye toward the ramifications on consumption tax bases. Income sources may be important when households attach psychic and transaction costs to individual purchases or when sources are assigned via a mental accounting process. In either case, general and specific sales tax bases may be affected by changes in income composition. Empirical results indicate two important findings. First, tax exemptions can introduce significant income source effects for a general consumption tax base. Second, the importance of differential tax rates for gasoline and food-at-home strongly depends on the mix of labour, capital, retirement and non-retirement transfer pay. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2371-2379 Issue: 20 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427528 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427528 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:20:p:2371-2379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lila Truett Author-X-Name-First: Lila Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Author-Name: Dale Truett Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Title: Production and costs in the South African motor vehicle industry Abstract: This study investigates the existence of economies of scale in the South African motor vehicle industry as well as the substitution possibilities between input pairs and the direct and cross-price elasticities of demand for the various inputs. Because of data limitations, a translog cost function was estimated for only a three input model corresponding to a homogeneous production function involving capital, labour and intermediate goods. The issue of the existence of economies of scale in the South African motor vehicle industry is a particularly important one because South Africa once again is a member of GATT and a full participant in the international trade arena. The null hypothesis of constant returns to scale was rejected at the 0.5% level of significance. Thus, the results of this model are certainly consistent with economies of scale in the South African motor vehicle industry. The estimated direct price elasticities were consistent with the hypothesis that, during the past two decades, capital was the productive factor with the most elastic demand, and the estimated cross-elasticities between input pairs generally supported the hypothesis that all inputs are substitutes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2381-2392 Issue: 20 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600865734 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600865734 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:20:p:2381-2392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Javier de Miguel Velez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Javier de Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Velez Author-Name: Jesus Perez-Mayo Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Mayo Title: Linear SAM models for inequality changes analysis: an application to the Extremadurian economy Abstract: Social accounting matrices are adequate databases for the economic modelling. These matrices emphasize the role of households in the economy, and so, they usually disaggregate the household sector into several groups. This disaggregation allows social accounting matrices to be used for diverse income distribution analysis. The objective of this work is to use the linear SAM models to study how inequality is modified by several exogenous injections of income. The set of multipliers and indicators presented is applied to the economy of Extremadura - a region situated in the southwest of Spain. In particular, together with the accounting multipliers, two redistributed income matrices are presented to show how changes in final demand and in income transfers cause opposite effects in inequality. For contrasting these results, Gini and Theil indices are also used. Finally, a major reduction in both would result from an appropriate re-allocation of transfers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2393-2403 Issue: 20 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427825 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427825 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:20:p:2393-2403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaewoon Koo Author-X-Name-First: Jaewoon Author-X-Name-Last: Koo Author-Name: Kyunghee Maeng Author-X-Name-First: Kyunghee Author-X-Name-Last: Maeng Title: Foreign ownership and investment: evidence from Korea Abstract: This study examines whether an increase in foreign ownership affects investment in Korea. Many studies have shown that in an imperfect financial market, a firm's investment depends on the availability of internal funds. If high foreigners' shareholding is a sign of a firm's good financial position, and if foreign investors demand better corporate governance to protect their investments, then cash-flow sensitivity of investment decreases with the level of foreign ownership. Using data from Korean firms, it is found that cash-flow sensitivity of investment is lower in firms with high foreign ownership than in those with low foreign ownership. This finding is regarded as evidence for a potential benefit of open financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2405-2414 Issue: 20 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427817 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427817 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:20:p:2405-2414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Are nascent entrepreneurs 'Jacks-of-all-trades'? A test of Lazear's theory of entrepreneurship with German data Abstract: In a recent paper Edward Lazear proposed the 'Jack-of-all-trades' view of entrepreneurship. Based on a coherent model of the choice between self-employment and paid employment he shows that having a background in a large number of different roles increases the probability of becoming an entrepreneur. The intuition behind this proposition is that entrepreneurs must have sufficient knowledge in a variety of areas to put together the many ingredients needed for survival and success in a business, while for paid employees it suffices and pays to be a specialist in the field demanded by the job taken. This study contributes to the entrepreneurship literature by empirically testing Lazear's hypothesis using a large recent representative sample of the German population. The empirical estimation takes the rare events nature of becoming a nascent entrepreneur and the regional stratification of the sample into account. The results illustrate the statistical significance and economic importance of the 'jack-of-all-trades' theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2415-2419 Issue: 20 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427783 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427783 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:20:p:2415-2419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haydar Sengul Author-X-Name-First: Haydar Author-X-Name-Last: Sengul Author-Name: Seda Sengul Author-X-Name-First: Seda Author-X-Name-Last: Sengul Title: Food consumption and economic development in Turkey and European Union countries Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between food consumption and economic development in Turkey and European Union countries. Differences in food diets are analysed by using data on per capita consumption in caloric terms based on the period from 1970 to 2000. The cluster analysis is employed to derive country grouping on the basis of similarities in dietary structure in the 1970 and 2000. Existence of a trend towards a common European diet is explored with Beta convergence. The empirical results show that per capita food consumption is becoming less responsive to changes in income and appears to be reaching a ceiling in the majority of EU countries and Turkey. However, the share of animal products in food consumption diet is low and income expenditure elasticity of animal products is higher with 0.84 values in Turkey than that in European countries in 2000. There are great differences in dietary structure between Turkey and the European Union. Differences also exist between European Union countries; however, despite these differences there is a general tendency for dietary structure to become increasingly similar across the majority of European Union countries. The result also supports the absence of a convergence towards a common diet if Turkey joins the European Union. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2421-2431 Issue: 20 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427726 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:20:p:2421-2431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juncal Cunado Author-X-Name-First: Juncal Author-X-Name-Last: Cunado Author-Name: Fernando Perez de Gracia Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Perez Author-X-Name-Last: de Gracia Title: Real convergence in some Central and Eastern European countries Abstract: This article examines the real convergence hypothesis in some Central and East European countries (both towards the German and the US economies) by means of using time series techniques during the period 1950 to 2003. No evidence is found of real convergence for the whole period. However, when one allows for structural breaks, evidence is found of a catch-up process during the 1990s to 2003 period for Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary towards Germany and only for Poland towards the US economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2433-2441 Issue: 20 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427718 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427718 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:20:p:2433-2441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arzu Akkoyunlu-Wigley Author-X-Name-First: Arzu Author-X-Name-Last: Akkoyunlu-Wigley Author-Name: Sevinc Mihci Author-X-Name-First: Sevinc Author-X-Name-Last: Mihci Title: Effects of the customs union with the European Union on the market structure and pricing behaviour of the Turkish manufacturing industry Abstract: Turkey established a Customs Union with the European Union in 1996. This study aims to analyse the effect of that Customs Union on the market structure and the pricing behaviour of the Turkish manufacturing industry for the period 1994 to 2000. To that end, the price cost mark-up equation of 12 manufacturing industry sectors is estimated using the import and export ratios with European Union countries together with control variables. A second equation is also estimated for the concentration ratio index, taking the trade ratios with European Union countries as explanatory variables. The estimation method is panel data covering eight years and 12 cross-section units. Estimation outcomes indicate that the export and import ratios of trade with European Union countries have a negative relation with the price cost mark-up in the manufacturing sector. It is concluded that increased imports with union countries have created a positive wealth and efficiency effect upon the Turkish manufacturing industry, due to falling price cost mark-ups. Similarly, the concentration ratio equation estimation outcomes indicate that increased imports with union countries have induced a decline in the concentration ratio for the manufacturing industry during the period in question. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2443-2452 Issue: 20 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427643 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:20:p:2443-2452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Hsiao-Ping Chu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Does PPP hold in African countries? Further evidence based on a highly dynamic non-linear (logistic) unit root test Abstract: With a view to investigating whether the purchasing power parity (PPP) theory holds true for selected African countries during the January 1980-December 2003 period, we employ a rigorous, highly dynamic non-linear (logistic) unit root test, as first advanced by Leybourne et al. (1998), which is considerably more powerful than those tests traditionally used. Compared with the rejection of the null of the unit root process for only one of the 22 countries under study when we use the traditional ADF, PP, KPSS, NP and the DF-GLS unit root tests, with the Leybourne et al. (1998) test, we strongly reject the null of the unit root process for a surprising six of the 22 countries. These empirical results clearly indicate that PPP holds true for these six countries, namely the Central African Republic, the Cote d'Ivoire, Kenya, Madagascar, Uganda and Lesotho. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2453-2459 Issue: 20 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427890 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427890 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:20:p:2453-2459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Reza Arabsheibani Author-X-Name-First: G. Reza Author-X-Name-Last: Arabsheibani Author-Name: Alan Marin Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Marin Title: If not computers then what? Returns to computer use in the UK revisited Abstract: In recent years much attention has been paid to the effect on wages of skill-biased technology, especially the use of computers. Although empirical studies have shown a positive relationship between computer-use and earnings, doubts have been cast on whether this is a causal relationship or merely represents unobserved other factors, which are themselves positively linked to computer usage. This study provides evidence that computers themselves raise wages. Although their impact on wages falls as other controls are included in the regression, it still remains significant whilst the effect of another proxy for unobserved factors becomes insignificant. Furthermore, improvements in computer use have an additional impact on earnings, supporting the productivity interpretation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2461-2467 Issue: 21 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427668 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427668 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:21:p:2461-2467 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Andren Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Andren Author-Name: Daniela Andren Author-X-Name-First: Daniela Author-X-Name-Last: Andren Title: Assessing the employment effects of vocational training using a one-factor model Abstract: Matching estimators use observed variables to adjust for differences between groups to eliminate sample selection bias. When minimum relevant information is not available, matching estimates are biased. If access to data on usually unobserved factors that determine the selection process is unavailable, other estimators should be used. This study advocates the one-factor control function estimator that allows for unobserved heterogeneity with factor-loading technique. Treatment effects of vocational training in Sweden are estimated with mean and distributional parameters, and then compared with matching estimates. The results indicate that unobservables slightly increase the treatment effect for those treated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2469-2486 Issue: 21 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427577 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427577 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:21:p:2469-2486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ernst Juerg Weber Author-X-Name-First: Ernst Juerg Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Monetary policy in a heterogeneous monetary union: the Australian experience Abstract: Australia is a monetary union with strong regional specialization. Manufacturing and service industries are located in the population centres on the south-eastern seaboard, and mining and pastoral activities take place in the interior and north of the continent. Monetary policy affects the interior and north more strongly than the south-eastern seaboard because Australian primary goods are mostly exported and the exchange rate provides the main transmission channel for monetary policy. The Reserve Bank of Australia must consider the economic interests of the interior and north and the south-eastern seaboard. Since monetary policy cannot differentiate between regions, there is a need for interregional macroeconomic risk-sharing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2487-2495 Issue: 21 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427742 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427742 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:21:p:2487-2495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Dacuycuy Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Dacuycuy Title: Explaining male wage inequality in the Philippines: non-parametric and semiparametric approaches Abstract: The study examines the roles of experience and education in explaining the increase in wage inequality among Philippine male workers between 1988 and 1995. It also provides a methodological approach to the analysis of wage inequality by combining non-parametric methods with semiparametric additive models, using the variance accounting framework. Non-parametric density estimators allow flexibility in dealing with distributional inference while additive models yield marginal effects estimates under minimal assumptions on the functional specification of the wage-schooling and wage-experience relationships. The results show that much of the inequality increase from 1988 to 1995 was caused by greater variabilities in returns to schooling and experience among 1995 workers. The rise of the p90/p10 percentile ratio was caused by greater return variabilities on schooling and experience in the 90th percentile. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2497-2511 Issue: 21 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427767 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:21:p:2497-2511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sonia Bhalotra Author-X-Name-First: Sonia Author-X-Name-Last: Bhalotra Title: Near rationality in wage setting Abstract: This study argues that it is interesting to examine near rational behaviour in the context of an efficiency wage model, where there are positive if decreasing returns to increasing the wage beyond the efficient level. Previous research has found it difficult to distinguish between efficiency wage and bargaining models, which have similar empirical predictions. But unions are a priori more likely to develop in environments in which the technology favours efficiency wage payments. This makes it interesting to investigate what it costs the firm to deviate from the efficiency wage. If it does not cost a lot, firms may give in to union demands. This study derives expressions for the wage deviation and for the associated profit loss. For illustrative purposes, these are calibrated for UK, US and Indian manufacturing, taking a plausible parameterization of the effort-wage function and using available estimates of the wage and employment elasticities of output. While there is evidence of positive effort returns to wages in the UK and India, the results are consistent with wage bargaining pushing the wage above the efficient level. The associated profit loss is considerably larger in the UK than in India. In contrast, US firms pay wages that are insignificantly different from the efficiency wage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2513-2521 Issue: 21 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427734 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427734 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:21:p:2513-2521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Young-Kyu Moh Author-X-Name-First: Young-Kyu Author-X-Name-Last: Moh Title: Continuous-time model of uncovered interest parity with regulated jump-diffusion interest differential Abstract: This study investigates to what extent can an exchange rate model built on uncovered interest parity (UIP) match the empirical features of the exchange rate and the interest differential data. This article presents a continuous-time model of UIP in which the interest differential evolves following regulated jump-diffusion. Simulation experiments show that the model is capable of matching several important features of the data. Inclusion of jumps improves the model to capture persistent dynamics of interest differential and fat-tails in exchange rate returns compared to simple diffusion processes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2523-2533 Issue: 21 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427809 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427809 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:21:p:2523-2533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muzafar Shah Habibullah Author-X-Name-First: Muzafar Shah Author-X-Name-Last: Habibullah Author-Name: Peter Smith Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Author-Name: W. N. W. Azman-Saini Author-X-Name-First: W. N. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Azman-Saini Title: Testing liquidity constraints in 10 Asian developing countries: an error-correction model approach Abstract: An error-correction model is used to estimate the fraction of consumers who are liquidity-constrained in 10 Asian developing countries. Our estimates of the fraction of consumers who are liquidity-constrained range between 0.25 and 0.98. We further investigate whether financial liberalization has resulted in the reduction of liquidity constraints in these countries. However, the results find support for this only in the cases of South Korea, Sri Lanka and Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2535-2543 Issue: 21 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427833 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427833 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:21:p:2535-2543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Chu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Simulating weight restrictions in data envelopment analysis using the subjective and objective integrated approach Abstract: Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is a method that uses a mathematical programming model to determine the relative efficiency of a decision-making unit, and gives optimal weight for a set of inputs and outputs. The scores of the weights will generally differ from unit to unit and this flexibility in the choice of weights is both a strength and a weakness of this approach. The strength is that the weight generated will be fair and equitable, and not affected by subjective factors. The weakness is that, if the weight is selected intentionally, it may then make the decision-making unit relatively efficient, and its efficiency will not necessarily come from an inherent efficiency, but from the selection of the weight. Is the score of the relative efficiency obtained using such an innate weight fair, reasonable, and acceptable? This question is addressed in order to integrate the subjective and objective weights restriction method, so that the results of the evaluation can be more realistic. The study concludes by taking the garbage clearance of each district in Kaohsiung city in Southern Taiwan is considered to illustrate this approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2545-2552 Issue: 21 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601043752 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601043752 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:21:p:2545-2552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian von Hirschhausen Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: von Hirschhausen Author-Name: Astrid Cullmann Author-X-Name-First: Astrid Author-X-Name-Last: Cullmann Author-Name: Andreas Kappeler Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Kappeler Title: Efficiency analysis of German electricity distribution utilities - non-parametric and parametric tests Abstract: This study applies non-parametric and parametric tests to assess the efficiency of electricity distribution companies in Germany. Traditional issues in electricity sector benchmarking are addressed, such as the role of scale effects and optimal utility size, as well as new evidence specific to the situation in Germany. Labour, capital, and peak load capacity are used as inputs, and units sold and the number of customers as output. The data cover 307 (out of 553) German electricity distribution utilities. A data envelopment analysis (DEA) is applied with constant returns to scale (CRS) as the main productivity analysis technique, whereas stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) with distance function is the verification method. The results suggest that returns to scale play but a minor role; only very small utilities have a significant cost advantage. Low customer density is found to affect the efficiency score significantly, in particular in the lower third of all observations. Surprisingly, East German utilities feature a higher average efficiency than their West German counterparts. The correlation tests imply a high coherence of the results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2553-2566 Issue: 21 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427650 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427650 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:21:p:2553-2566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Author-Name: Amzad Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Amzad Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Title: Market deregulation, trade liberalization and productive efficiency in Bangladesh agriculture: an empirical analysis Abstract: The impact of trade liberalization and of market deregulation in general, on the performance of agriculture remains contentious and empirical issue in the literature. Following the random coefficient frontier modelling framework, this paper attempts to contribute to this debate by computing the farm-specific productive efficiency indices in Bangladesh agriculture before and after reform. It also examines the impact of some farm-specific and policy variables on productive efficiency. The empirical results show that there are wide variations in productive efficiency across farms and regions and the average efficiency of all regions increased modestly by 8 percentage points from the pre-reform to post-reform period. The efficiency differentials are largely explained by farm size, infrastructure, households' off-farm income and the reduction of government anti-agricultural bias in relation to trade and domestic policies. The implication of these results suggests the need for further policy reform to augment productive efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2567-2580 Issue: 21 Volume: 38 Year: 2006 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427585 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427585 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:38:y:2006:i:21:p:2567-2580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarah Gelper Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Gelper Author-Name: Aurelie Lemmens Author-X-Name-First: Aurelie Author-X-Name-Last: Lemmens Author-Name: Christophe Croux Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Croux Title: Consumer sentiment and consumer spending: decomposing the Granger causal relationship in the time domain Abstract: It is often believed that the consumer sentiment index has predictive power for future consumption levels. While Granger causality tests have already been used to test for this, no attempt has been made yet to quantify the predictive power of the consumer sentiment index over different time horizons. In this article, we decompose the Granger causality at different time lags, by looking at a sequence of nested prediction models. Since the consumer sentiment index turns out to be cointegrated with real consumption, we resort to error correcting models. Four consumption series are studied, namely total real consumption, real consumption of durables, non-durables and services. Among other findings, we show that the consumer sentiment index Granger causes future consumption with an average time lag of 4-5 months. Furthermore, it is found that the consumer sentiment index has more incremental predictive power for consumption of services than for consumption of durables or non-durables, and that the index is not only useful as a predictor at the very short term, but keeps predictive power at larger time horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427791 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427791 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:1:p:1-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert-Paul Berben Author-X-Name-First: Robert-Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Berben Title: Does stock market uncertainty impair the use of monetary indicators in the euro area? Abstract: The relationship between monetary indicators and inflation is usually assumed to be linear, implying that looser monetary conditions always signal an increase in inflation. Recently, money growth in the euro area surged while inflation remained comparatively subdued. This seems at variance with linearity. At the same time, stock market uncertainty peaked, suggesting that part of the money growth resulted from portfolio adjustment and was hence non-inflationary. A threshold regression model is employed to verify the claim that the impact of monetary indicators on future inflation varies conditional on stock price volatility. It is shown that there is limited evidence to support this claim. On the other hand, the results indicate that stock market data may contain useful information regarding future inflation, Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 13-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600903436 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600903436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:1:p:13-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Gustavsson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Gustavsson Title: The 1990s rise in Swedish earnings inequality -- persistent or transitory? Abstract: This article decomposes the rise in the cross-sectional variance of male annual earnings in Sweden between 1991 and 1999 into its persistent and transitory components. The results show that the persistent component accounts for basically all of the increase in earnings dispersion. This implies that the answer to the 1990s trend reversal in Swedish earnings inequality is to be found in explanations that focus on persistent changes in the labour market, such as changes in the price of skills. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 25-30 Issue: 1 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500428039 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500428039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:1:p:25-30 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Tauras Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Tauras Author-Name: Lisa Powell Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Author-Name: Frank Chaloupka Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Chaloupka Author-Name: Hana Ross Author-X-Name-First: Hana Author-X-Name-Last: Ross Title: The demand for smokeless tobacco among male high school students in the United States: the impact of taxes, prices and policies Abstract: Despite the deleterious effects of smokeless tobacco use, very little is known about the effects of tobacco control policies on smokeless tobacco demand. This paper uses data extracted from the 1995-2001 National Youth Risk Behavior Surveys (YRBS) augmented with tobacco taxes, prices and policies to estimate smokeless tobacco demand equations among male high school students. The estimates indicate that higher smokeless tobacco taxes would significantly reduce the number of male students who use smokeless tobacco and the number of days smokeless tobacco users use smokeless tobacco. Moreover, smokeless tobacco products and cigarettes were found to be economic complements in consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 31-41 Issue: 1 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427940 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:1:p:31-41 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Dawson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Author-Name: Steven Millsaps Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Millsaps Author-Name: Mark Strazicich Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Strazicich Title: Trend breaks and non-stationarity in the Yugoslav black market for dollars, 1974-1987 Abstract: We estimate a model of the black market premium for dollars in Yugoslavia from 1974 to 1987. Unlike previous applications of the model, our analysis addresses non-stationarity in the underlying data by allowing for trend breaks. Endogenous structural break tests indicate the presence of breaks closely associated with the death of Tito and changes in laws affecting the operation of the black market. After accounting for these breaks, we find strong support for the underlying model. In addition, we find evidence consistent with the era of increased government involvement in the black market leading to greater volatility of the premium following regime change. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 43-51 Issue: 1 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427932 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:1:p:43-51 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Nildag Basak Ceylan Author-X-Name-First: Nildag Basak Author-X-Name-Last: Ceylan Author-Name: Hasan Olgun Author-X-Name-First: Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Olgun Title: Inflation uncertainty and interest rates: is the Fisher relation universal? Abstract: This paper tests the validity of the Fisher hypothesis, which establishes a positive relation between interest rates and expected inflation, for the G7 countries and 45 developing economies. For this purpose, we estimate a version of the GARCH specification of the hypothesis for all countries included in the sample. We also test the augmented Fisher relation by including the inflation uncertainty in the equation. The simple Fisher relation holds in all G7 countries but in only 23 developing countries. There is a positive and statistically significant relationship between interest rates and inflation uncertainty for six of the G7 and 18 of the developing countries and this relationship is negative for seven developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 53-68 Issue: 1 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427908 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427908 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:1:p:53-68 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harry Telser Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Telser Author-Name: Peter Zweifel Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Zweifel Title: Validity of discrete-choice experiments evidence for health risk reduction Abstract: There is growing interest in discrete-choice experiment (DCE) as a method to elicit consumers' preferences in the health care sector. Increasingly this method is used to determine willingness to pay (WTP) for health-related goods. However, its external validity in the health care domain has not been investigated until now. This paper examines the external validity of DCE concerning the reduction of a health risk. Convergent validity is examined by comparing the value of a statistical life with other preference elicitation techniques, such as revealed preference. Criterion validity is shown by comparing WTP values derived from stated choices in the experiment with those derived from actual choices made by the same individuals. Both tests provide strong evidence in favour of external validity of the DCE method. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 69-78 Issue: 1 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427858 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:1:p:69-78 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chin-Tsai Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Tsai Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yi-Hsien Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The impact of party alternative on the stock market: the case of Japan Abstract: This paper tries to clarify whether change in political regime has an effect on the behaviour of the stock market in Japan. The empirical study finds that the transition of ruling party effect is not a crucial variable to the Nikkei 225. The alienation felt by the Japanese about the political environment, resulting in a succession of prime ministers, does not influence the Nikkei 225 stock market behaviour. Therefore, former prime ministers who have resigned have become scapegoats for the poor performance of financial and economic policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 79-85 Issue: 1 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427882 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427882 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:1:p:79-85 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Hans Matthews Author-X-Name-First: Peter Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Matthews Author-Name: Paul Sommers Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Sommers Author-Name: Francisco Peschiera Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Peschiera Title: Incentives and superstars on the LPGA Tour Abstract: Following Ehrenberg and Bognanno (1990a, b), this study explores the role of incentives on the 2000 LPGA Tour. Overall, it finds them to have limited effectiveness. Several possible explanations are considered, including unmeasured differences in both abilities and courses and variations in the distribution of prizes across tournaments. The existence of a 'superstar effect' is also considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 87-94 Issue: 1 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601004143 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601004143 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:1:p:87-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ludwig Von Auer Author-X-Name-First: Ludwig Author-X-Name-Last: Von Auer Author-Name: John Brennan Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Brennan Title: Bias and inefficiency in quality-adjusted hedonic regression analysis Abstract: Numerous quality-adjusted hedonic price-trend studies based on computer prices have provided support to widely held suspicions that officially released price indices are not accurately measuring the price declines occurring in many information technology (IT) products. If provable, then general price inflation is being overestimated and, consequently, real GDP is being underestimated. Existing evidence, however, is inconclusive. First, empirical findings for IT products other than computers are essentially non-existent and, secondly, estimation bias is inherent in the hedonic regression technique most commonly employed. This article presents an unbiased method together with an estimated quality-adjusted price trend for laser printers (1993-2004). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 95-107 Issue: 1 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427841 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:1:p:95-107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Albert Wijeweera Author-X-Name-First: Albert Author-X-Name-Last: Wijeweera Author-Name: Brian Dollery Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Dollery Author-Name: Don Clark Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Title: Corporate tax rates and foreign direct investment in the United States Abstract: A significant research effort has been directed at establishing the determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI), with taxation policy identified as an important factor. However, the empirical literature has been limited in several respects, with most work focused exclusively on host country tax regimes. This paper seeks to extend the boundaries of FDI empirical inquiry by using a panel of nine investing tax exemption and tax credit countries over the period 1982-2000, constituting more than 85% of total US FDI inflows, and incorporating home country tax rates to analyse two as yet unanswered questions. First, are corporate income tax rates an important determinant of FDI in the US? Secondly, do investors from tax credit countries differ significantly in their tax response relative to those from tax exemption countries? Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 109-117 Issue: 1 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447872 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447872 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:1:p:109-117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Asier Minondo Author-X-Name-First: Asier Author-X-Name-Last: Minondo Title: The disappearance of the border barrier in some European Union countries' bilateral trade Abstract: This paper estimates the tariff equivalent of the border barrier in each bilateral trade among European Union (EU) countries. The results show that there are large differences in the border barrier across EU countries' bilateral trade. In some bilateral trade flows the border barrier has almost disappeared, whereas in other cases it is still equivalent to a 75% tariff. The results also show that some countries have low border barriers in most of their bilateral trade flows with other EU members, whereas other countries persistently present large border barriers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 119-124 Issue: 1 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427601 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427601 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:1:p:119-124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Winston Koh Author-X-Name-First: Winston Author-X-Name-Last: Koh Author-Name: Roberto Mariano Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Mariano Author-Name: Yiu Kuen Tse Author-X-Name-First: Yiu Kuen Author-X-Name-Last: Tse Title: Open vs. sealed-bid auctions: testing for revenue equivalence under Singapore's vehicle quota system Abstract: Using data from the auction of vehicle quota licenses in Singapore, we study if revenue equivalence holds when the auction format was switched from a sealed-bid format (May 1990 to June 2001) to an open bidding format since July 2001. Our econometric analysis indicates the change in auction format led to a change in bidding behavior. On average, the quota license premium under the open bidding format is about US$1000 (about 7.5% of the Category E license price in June 2001) lower, compared to the forecast level that would have prevailed if there had been no change in the auction format. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 125-134 Issue: 1 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427916 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:1:p:125-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Jaeun Shin Author-X-Name-First: Jaeun Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Author-Name: Moosa Khan Author-X-Name-First: Moosa Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Title: Causal linkages between US and Eurodollar interest rates: further evidence Abstract: This study examines causal linkages between US and Eurodollar interest rates during 1983-2002. Recursive cointegration analysis shows that a stable cointegration relationship between the two interest rates emerges only since the early 1990s, when the Fed used federal funds rate targeting and eliminated the reserve requirement on Eurocurrency deposits. The study further reveals that bidirectional causality exists between the two rates over the period of 1993 to 2002, while unidirectional causality from Eurodollar rate to the US rate is found to exist over the period of 1983 to 1991. These findings consistently support increased interest rate linkages especially since the early 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 135-144 Issue: 2 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500428070 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500428070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:2:p:135-144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thorsten Egelkraut Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Egelkraut Author-Name: Philip Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Author-Name: Bruce Sherrick Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Sherrick Title: Options-based forecasts of futures prices in the presence of limit moves Abstract: The reported analysis examines a simultaneous estimation option-based approach to forecast futures prices in the presence of daily price limit moves. The procedure explicitly allows for changing implied volatilities by estimating the implied futures price and the implied volatility simultaneously. Using futures and futures options data for three agricultural commodities, it is found that the simultaneous estimation approach accounts for the abrupt changes in implied volatility associated with limit moves and generates more accurate price forecasts than conventional methods that rely on only one implied variable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 145-152 Issue: 2 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427478 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:2:p:145-152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Title: Manufacturing exports, mining exports and growth: cointegration and causality analysis for Chile (1960-2001) Abstract: This study examines the export-led growth hypothesis using annual time series data from Chile in a production function framework. It addresses the problem of specification bias under which previous studies have suffered, and focuses on the impact of manufactured and mining exports on productivity growth. In order to investigate if and how manufactured and mining exports affect economic growth via increases in productivity, the study uses Johansen cointegration technique. The estimation results can be interpreted as evidence of productivity-enhancing effects of manufactured exports and of productivity-limiting effects of mining exports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 153-167 Issue: 2 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427965 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427965 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:2:p:153-167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiawen Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jiawen Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Is exchange rate pass-through symmetric? Evidence from US imports Abstract: This study addresses the question of whether exchange rate pass-through into the import price is symmetric between appreciation and depreciation of the home currency. The dramatic increase of the dollar in the early 1980s and the subsequent decline provided a necessary setting for testing whether there was a structural change in the exchange rate pass-through. Examining import price data for 98 disaggregated SIC industries in the US manufacturing sector and the US import price for all commodities, mixed evidence is found regarding the stability of exchange rate pass-through. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 169-178 Issue: 2 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427320 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427320 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:2:p:169-178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jurgen Bitzer Author-X-Name-First: Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Bitzer Author-Name: Andreas Stephan Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Stephan Title: A Schumpeter-inspired approach to the construction of R&D capital stocks Abstract: A new method for constructing R&D capital stocks is proposed and tested. Following Schumpeter, the development of R&D capital stocks is modelled as a process of creative destruction. Newly generated knowledge is assumed not only to add to the existing R&D capital stocks but also, by displacing old knowledge, to destroy part of that capital. This is in stark contrast to the perpetual inventory method, which postulates a constant rate of depreciation. We compare both methods by estimating the impact of R&D and spillovers on output of 9 industries in 12 OECD countries, and find that the new approach leads to more sensible and robust results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 179-189 Issue: 2 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427973 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427973 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:2:p:179-189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jim Granato Author-X-Name-First: Jim Author-X-Name-Last: Granato Author-Name: Melody Lo Author-X-Name-First: Melody Author-X-Name-Last: Lo Author-Name: M. C. Sunny Wong Author-X-Name-First: M. C. Sunny Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: A note on Romer's openness-inflation relation: the responsiveness of AS and AD to economic openness and monetary policy Abstract: Temple (2002) empirically challenges Romer's (1993) negative openness-inflation relation on empirical grounds. This article links economic openness to the slopes of aggregate supply (AS) and aggregate demand (AD) to explain why the openness-inflation relation can be ambiguous. Starting with a widely used assumption initiated by Romer (1993) that more open economies face greater output inflation tradeoffs, we demonstrate that greater output-inflation tradeoffs in more open economies (reflected in the steeper AS) induce policymakers to adopt more aggressive optimal monetary policy (reflected in the flatter AD). Empirical results from 15 developed countries' data support our theoretical explanation on the recent empirical failure in finding the negative openness-inflation relation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 191-197 Issue: 2 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427627 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427627 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:2:p:191-197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Perez Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Author-Name: Denise Osborn Author-X-Name-First: Denise Author-X-Name-Last: Osborn Author-Name: Marianne Sensier Author-X-Name-First: Marianne Author-X-Name-Last: Sensier Title: Business cycle affiliations in the context of European integration Abstract: We study affiliations for the countries of the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) with Germany and the USA, using various business cycle measures derived from quarterly real GDP. These measures are Hodrick-Prescott and Baxter-King filtered series and annual growth rates. By using rolling contemporaneous and maximum (over a short lead/lag interval) correlations, we document increasing correlations of EMU countries with Germany, with these typically being largest during the 1990s. We also document a strong leading role for the USA in relation to these countries in the period since 1993, thereby correcting the fallacy that the European business cycle was disjointed from the USA for most of the 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 199-214 Issue: 2 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427924 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:2:p:199-214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carl Bonham Author-X-Name-First: Carl Author-X-Name-Last: Bonham Author-Name: Byron Gangnes Author-X-Name-First: Byron Author-X-Name-Last: Gangnes Author-Name: Ari Van Assche Author-X-Name-First: Ari Author-X-Name-Last: Van Assche Title: Fragmentation and East Asia's information technology trade Abstract: This article studies the growth and determinants of information technology (IT) trade in the Asia-Pacific region. We argue that the rise of IT trade must be understood within the context of increasing vertical fragmentation of production processes that has occurred over the past two decades. To evaluate this empirically, we estimate a set of pooled bilateral IT export equations for eight Asian countries, the USA and the EU, where foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows are introduced as a proxy for fragmentation. We apply a panel cointegration approach that allows for heterogeneity in short-run dynamics and in fixed effects. Consistent with production fragmentation, we find that the evolution of IT trade can be explained in part by traditional income and relative price effects but also by FDI inflows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 215-228 Issue: 2 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427635 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427635 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:2:p:215-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Morana Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Author-Name: Fabio Cesare Bagliano Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Cesare Author-X-Name-Last: Bagliano Title: Inflation and monetary dynamics in the USA: a quantity-theory approach Abstract: In this article we investigate the long-run link between inflation and money growth in the United States since 1960. A measure of the long-run inflation trend is constructed, which bears the interpreation of 'monetary' inflation rate and is directly related to the excess nominal money growth process (money growth less output growth), as postulated by the quantity theory. Consistent with the memory characteristics of the series, their fractional integration and cointegration properties are taken into account in empirical modelling. The proposed measure is then compared with several existing measures of 'core inflation', aimed at capturing long-run inflation dynamics but unrelated to money growth. The 'monetary' long-run inflation rate performs well in out-of-sample forecasting exercises especially over a 2-3-year horizon, yielding valuable information to monetary policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 229-244 Issue: 2 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500428047 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500428047 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:2:p:229-244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. A. Garcia-Valinas Author-X-Name-First: M. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-Valinas Author-Name: M. A. Muniz Author-X-Name-First: M. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Muniz Title: Is DEA useful in the regulation of water utilities? A dynamic efficiency evaluation (a dynamic efficiency evaluation of water utilities) Abstract: The discussion about public utilities efficiency and its management has become increasingly important in the last decades. We focus on the distribution of water, which is one of the most important natural resources (Marshall, 1879). This research shows the relationship between efficiency and institutional factors such as management system. For this purpose, we have data about some Spanish water utilities under different provision systems, during the period 1985 to 2000. Using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), we estimate potential cost savings in this context. We will extend the results obtained by Thanassoulis (2000a, b), in attempt to guide the regulation of this sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 245-252 Issue: 2 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500428054 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500428054 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:2:p:245-252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Maris Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Maris Author-Name: K. Nikolopoulos Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolopoulos Author-Name: K. Giannelos Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Giannelos Author-Name: V. Assimakopoulos Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Assimakopoulos Title: Options trading driven by volatility directional accuracy Abstract: Analysts have claimed over the last years that the volatility of an asset is caused solely by the random arrival of new information about the future returns from the underlying asset. It is a common belief that volatility is of great importance in finance and it is one of the critical factors determining option prices and consequently driving option-trading strategies. This article discusses an empirical option trading methodology based on efficient volatility direction forecasts. Although in most cases accurate volatility forecasts are hard to obtain, forecasting the direction is significantly easier. Increase in the directional accuracy leads to profitable investment strategies. The net gain is depended on the size of the changes as well; however successful volatility forecasts in terms of directional accuracy was found to be sufficient for positive results. In order to evaluate the proposed methodology weekly data from CAX40, DAX and the Greek FTSE/ASE 20 stock indices were used. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 253-260 Issue: 2 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427999 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:2:p:253-260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiziana Cuccia Author-X-Name-First: Tiziana Author-X-Name-Last: Cuccia Author-Name: Roberto Cellini Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Cellini Title: Is cultural heritage really important for tourists? A contingent rating study Abstract: In this article we present the results of a contingent rating study carried out on a sample of tourisits visiting Scicli, a Sicilian town known for its baroque heritage. In particular, we focus on different attributes of tourism products - namely, season, accommodation and cultural heritage - to study how much each of these attributes weights in tourists' preferences. We also study how the socio-demographic characteristics of people affect their evaluation of the different attributes of tourism products. The heritage endowment appears to be far from being the most important factor; this result is consistent across different socio-demographic subgroups of interviewed persons. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 261-271 Issue: 2 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427981 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427981 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:2:p:261-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: WenShwo Fang Author-X-Name-First: WenShwo Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Stephen Miller Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: Exchange rate depreciation and exports: the case of Singapore revisited Abstract: This article revisits the weak relationship between exchange rate depreciation and exports for Singapore, using a bivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity in mean model that simultaneously estimates time-varying risk. The evidence shows that depreciation does not significantly improve exports, but that exchange rate risk significantly impedes exports. In sum, Singaporean policy makers can better promote export growth by stabilizing the exchange rate rather than generating its depreciation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 273-277 Issue: 3 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500438848 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500438848 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:3:p:273-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: A unified approach to detecting unit root and structural break Abstract: In the proposed approach, eight alternative data-generating processes (DGPs) are considered by combining a process with or without a unit root, a process with or without a trend break and a process with or without an innovation-variance break. It is determined on the basis of the selected model using the Bayesian information criterion which DGP generates the observed time series. The efficacy of the proposed approach is verified using comprehensive simulations, including comparisons with two conventional hypothesis-testing methods. The results of applying the proposed method to output time series for 20 developed countries suggest that 12 series have a trend break and 16 series have an innovation-variance break. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 279-289 Issue: 3 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500439044 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500439044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:3:p:279-289 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hulya Ulku Author-X-Name-First: Hulya Author-X-Name-Last: Ulku Title: R&D, innovation and output: evidence from OECD and nonOECD countries Abstract: This article uses data from 41 OECD and nonOECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development) countries to examine the predictions of nonscale endogenous growth theories that an increase in the share of researchers in labour force leads to an increase in innovation and innovation raises per capita output. The results show that an increase in the share of researchers in labour force increases innovation only in the large market OECD countries. Moreover, an increase in innovation raises per labour GDP (Gross Domestic Product) in all nonOECD countries except for low income countries, while raising it only in the high-income OECD countries. These findings suggest that though the large market OECD countries are the world leader in innovation, nonOECD countries benefit more from it in promoting their growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 291-307 Issue: 3 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500439002 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500439002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:3:p:291-307 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qing Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Qing Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Michael Reed Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Reed Title: Export and production growth: evidence from three major wheat exporters of Australia, Canada and the United States Abstract: This article investigates the robustness of the relationship between export and production growth for three major wheat exporters: Australia, Canada and the United States from 1966 to 2000. Combining production, international trade and development theories, a four variable (production, exports, producer price and imports) vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) model is developed for each country. The causality results show that the hypothesis of export-led development is supported by these three major players in the international wheat trade, though a bi-directional causality is found for Canada and the USA. Variance decomposition and impulse response functions are employed to further investigate the effects of macroeconomic shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 309-319 Issue: 3 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500439010 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500439010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:3:p:309-319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Byers Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Byers Author-Name: David Peel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: Dennis Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Habit, aggregation and long memory: evidence from television audience data Abstract: Many economic outcomes appear to be influenced by habit or commitment, giving rise to persistence. In cases where the decision is binary and persistent, the aggregation of individual time series can result in a fractionally integrated process for the aggregate data. Certain television programmes appear to engender commitment on the part of viewers and the decision to watch or not is clearly binary. We report an empirical analysis of television audience data and show that these series can be modelled as I(d) processes. We also investigate the proposition that temporal aggregation of a fractionally-integrated series leaves the value of d unchanged. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 321-327 Issue: 3 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500428120 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500428120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:3:p:321-327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olcay Yucel Emir Author-X-Name-First: Olcay Yucel Author-X-Name-Last: Emir Author-Name: Fatih Ozatay Author-X-Name-First: Fatih Author-X-Name-Last: Ozatay Author-Name: Gulbin Sahinbeyoğlu Author-X-Name-First: Gulbin Author-X-Name-Last: Sahinbeyoğlu Title: Effects of US interest rates and news on the daily interest rates of a highly indebted emerging economy: evidence from Turkey Abstract: It has been widely demonstrated that asset prices react sensitively to macroeconomic news releases both in the industrialized countries and emerging markets. However, there are contradicting results on the effects of changes in interest rates of industrialized countries on asset prices of emerging markets. In heavily indebted economies, in addition to these factors, political news and announcements from international institutions that may increase or decrease concerns about debt sustainability can affect asset prices as well. This potential notwithstanding, there has been relatively limited empirical work on the effects of such variables. The objective of this study is to quantify the impact of all of these factors on interest rates of a highly indebted emerging economy. Using daily post-crisis data of the Turkish economy we show that both good and bad political news, International Monetary Fund announcements, and European Union related news significantly affected secondary market government securities yields, whereas volatility of yields was affected mainly by bad news releases. Changes in US Treasury bond rates and 'appetite' for risk of foreign investors did not affect government securities yields in the period analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 329-342 Issue: 3 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427270 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427270 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:3:p:329-342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yesim Gurbuz Author-X-Name-First: Yesim Author-X-Name-Last: Gurbuz Author-Name: Thomas Jobert Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Jobert Author-Name: Ruhi Tuncer Author-X-Name-First: Ruhi Author-X-Name-Last: Tuncer Title: Public debt in Turkey: evaluation and perspectives Abstract: The aim of this study is to analyse past and future sustainability of total public debt in Turkey. The analysis is based on econometric studies and simulations. The data are taken quarterly in order to take into account intra annual effects important in Turkey, given the strong volatility of the economy. The period covered is 1988 to 2002. The econometric analysis rejects the hypothesis of the sustainability of Turkish public debt in the last 15 years. The simulations show that to reach an acceptable level of debt, Turkey has to solve its problem of chronic inflation, stabilize its economy and adopt either a policy freezing public spending or a very active fiscal policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 343-359 Issue: 3 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500438889 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500438889 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:3:p:343-359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Quentin Chu Author-X-Name-First: Quentin Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Deborah Pittman Author-X-Name-First: Deborah Author-X-Name-Last: Pittman Author-Name: Jeng-Hong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jeng-Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Inflation or disinflation? Evidence from maturing US Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities Abstract: The prices of maturing US Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) during the last 6-month coupon period reveal whether the market is anticipating an inflationary or disinflationary regime. Against the benchmark of the Treasury bill yield to adjust for the time value of money, maturing TIPS prices represent a sequence of updated forecasts of the consumer price index (CPI) to be used to determine the final single cash flow on the maturity date. Under the assumption of risk-neutrality, the sequence of forecasts is modelled as a martingale. Generalized method of moments and regression analysis are used to test two martingale properties of the CPI forecasts: (1) the unconditional mean of daily changes in the CPI forecasts is zero and (2) serial correlations of the daily changes in the CPI forecasts are zero. The test statistics reject both martingale properties of the CPI forecasts implied in maturing TIPS prices. A persistent upward movement of the CPI forecasts toward the actual target CPI during the first quarter of 2002 implies the market was then anticipating a disinflationary regime. One policy implication is that time series behaviour of CPI forecasts can provide timely feedback to the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 361-372 Issue: 3 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500438939 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500438939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:3:p:361-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Baichen Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Baichen Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: John Davis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Title: Household food demand in rural China Abstract: This article explores rural household food consumption behaviour in China using a large household data set from Jilin Province. Data are classified into four main food groups—grain, vegetable products, animal products and other foods. A household food demand system, incorporating four household characteristics, is estimated using an LA-AIDS model, assuming a three-stage budgeting procedure. Expenditure elasticities for a range of food groups are estimated, with a particular focus on animal products. The inclusion of household characteristics did not have a big impact on the elasticity values in any of the three stages of the budgeting process. The total expenditure elasticity for grain (Stage II) was 0.64, suggesting substantial future growth in household demand for fine grains such as rice and wheat, as per capita incomes continue to grow in rural areas. The highest conditional and total expenditure elasticity values were for the animal products (Stage II) group, 1.22 and 0.76, respectively. Within this group the elasticities were highest for the meat sub-group at 1.14 and 0.87, respectively, suggesting an almost proportionate increase in demand as household incomes grow. Added demand pressures from animal production will likely keep grain policy high on the political agenda. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 373-380 Issue: 3 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500428013 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500428013 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:3:p:373-380 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toshinobu Matsuda Author-X-Name-First: Toshinobu Author-X-Name-Last: Matsuda Title: Linearizing the inverse quadratic almost ideal demand system Abstract: This article investigates the linear approximation to the inverse quadratic almost ideal demand system (IQUAIDS), a recently introduced flexible functional form with potential usefulness. Linearizing this nonlinear model is of practical importance because nonstationary data, which are likely to be used in inverse demand systems, can be handled more properly in linear models. The IQUAIDS is linearized by replacing the two aggregator functions with a number of alternative quantity indices and new composite variables. The results of an application to Japanese fresh food demand suggest that the IQUAIDS can be linearized with adequate accuracy in terms of elasticities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 381-396 Issue: 3 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600825779 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600825779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:3:p:381-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chengqi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chengqi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Li Yu Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Do spillover benefits grow with rising foreign direct investment? An empirical examination of the case of China Abstract: Using data from the Chinese manufacturing industry for 2001, this article examines the impacts of foreign presence on the performance of locally owned Chinese firms. Our key result supports a curvilinear functional form. Foreign penetration rates in excess of just about two-thirds of industrial capital are associated with declining spillover benefits, indicating the dominance of negative spillovers. The curvilinear relationship is found to be particularly strong in labour-intensive industries, contrasting with a standard linear relationship in technology-intensive sectors. The finding of the complexity of spillover effects challenges the laissez-faire view that 'the more inward foreign direct investment (FDI), the better' and that inward FDI into all types of domestic industry is equally valuable, in terms of performance benefits. Our findings argue for policy measures to strengthen domestically owned Chinese industry, to provide effective competition to foreign firms and to absorb the benefits from spillovers more effectively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 397-405 Issue: 3 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500428096 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500428096 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:3:p:397-405 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oral Williams Author-X-Name-First: Oral Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Author-Name: Olumuyiwa Adedeji Author-X-Name-First: Olumuyiwa Author-X-Name-Last: Adedeji Title: Inflation dynamics in a small emerging market Abstract: This study investigates the determinants of inflation in the Dominican Republic during 1991 to 2002, a period characterized by remarkable macroeconomic stability and growth. By developing a parsimonious and empirically stable error correction model using quarterly observations, the study finds that inflation is explained by changes in monetary aggregates, real output, foreign inflation and the exchange rate. Long-run relationships in the money and traded goods markets are found to exist, but only the disequilibrium from the money market exerts a significant impact on inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 407-414 Issue: 4 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500439085 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500439085 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:407-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Todd Jewell Author-X-Name-First: R. Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Jewell Title: Prenatal care and birthweight production: evidence from South America Abstract: Research using US data has shown that increases in prenatal care have positive effects on birthweight and that the existence of unobserved health heterogeneity tends to reduce the measured effect of prenatal care. This study extends extant research to the South American countries of Bolivia, Brazil, Columbia and Peru using data from the demographic and health surveys, finding a positive effect of increased prenatal care use on birthweight. Furthermore, the largest marginal effect of increased prenatal care use is found at low levels of usage. The results highlight both the usefulness of existing methodologies for estimating the effect of prenatal care on birthweight and the importance of extending these methodologies to data from countries other than the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 415-426 Issue: 4 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500439028 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500439028 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:415-426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francis Green Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: Green Author-Name: Steven McIntosh Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: McIntosh Title: Is there a genuine under-utilization of skills amongst the over-qualified? Abstract: Two theories of over-qualification are considered, namely mismatch, whereby workers do not find the most appropriate jobs for their skills, because of imperfect information or labour market rigidities, and 'heterogeneous workers', whereby individuals with the same qualifications have different actual skill levels, so that they can be over-qualified in terms of formal qualifications, while their skills are actually appropriate for the jobs that they do. The evidence suggests that both theories are relevant in certain situations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 427-439 Issue: 4 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427700 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427700 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:427-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilo Sarmiento Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento Author-Name: William Wilson Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Spatially correlated exit strategies in the baking industry Abstract: This article uses a unique data set to analyse economic factors that explain firm exit and the interrelation across firms in space when exiting. Results show the effectiveness of modelling spatial correlation in a logit exit model. Indeed, in our application, reliable statistical results could only be drawn from our data when including spatial correlation in the model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 441-448 Issue: 4 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500438913 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500438913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:441-448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dirk Veestraeten Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Veestraeten Title: The presence of target zone nonlinearities when narrower bands exist within official zones Abstract: The presence of target zone nonlinearities is generally refuted in empirical research. We argue that this may be due to estimation being performed vis-a-vis official limits when monetary authorities are in fact targeting a narrower band. Estimation results for the Belgian and French franc confirm that nonlinearities are present when narrower zones are accounted for. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 449-452 Issue: 4 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500428104 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500428104 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:449-452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miao-Ling Chen Author-X-Name-First: Miao-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Guan-Ru Chen Author-X-Name-First: Guan-Ru Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The effects of advertising on resale price maintenance Abstract: This research combines the market power and market competition perspectives on advertising, under the framework of a generalized theoretical model in minimum resale price maintenance (RPM), in order to investigate the effects of advertising on RPM using the real options approach. The effects of advertising on retail price will impact the value of RPM, further, influence the incentive of manufacturers to impose RPM. Through brand penetration and promotional pricing effects, advertising is likely to influence RPM under the condition of retail price competition. When the brand penetration effect is dominant, advertising will discourage manufacturers from imposing RPM. Advertising will encourage manufacturers to impose RPM when the promotional pricing effect is dominant. RPM not only substitutes advertising, but also complements advertising. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 453-459 Issue: 4 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500438863 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500438863 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:453-459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giancarlo Marini Author-X-Name-First: Giancarlo Author-X-Name-Last: Marini Author-Name: Alessandro Piergallini Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Piergallini Author-Name: Pasquale Scaramozzino Author-X-Name-First: Pasquale Author-X-Name-Last: Scaramozzino Title: Inflation bias after the Euro: evidence from the UK and Italy Abstract: This article presents an indirect approach to investigate the possible existence of measurement error bias in the harmonized index of consumer prices for the UK and Italy. Our empirical results show that there is no significant evidence of a bias for the UK or for Italy prior to the introduction of the Euro. Since January 2002, however, the inflation rate in Italy has been underestimated by at least 6 percentage points. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 461-470 Issue: 4 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500438962 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500438962 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:461-470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Clements Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: Yihui Lan Author-X-Name-First: Yihui Author-X-Name-Last: Lan Title: Exchange rates, productivity, poverty and inequality Abstract: This article analyses differences in the wealth of nations by comparing PPP-based cross-country incomes from the Penn World Table with those derived from prevailing exchange rates. Using the Balassa (1964)-Samuelson (1964) productivity-bias framework, we introduce the 'international poverty line' and illustrate the implications for cross-country income inequality. We demonstrate that our results are not inconsistent with the previous literature when appropriately interpreted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 471-476 Issue: 4 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500439101 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500439101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:471-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Tongzon Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Tongzon Author-Name: Lavina Sawant Author-X-Name-First: Lavina Author-X-Name-Last: Sawant Title: Port choice in a competitive environment: from the shipping lines' perspective Abstract: The present era of globalization and regional competition has witnessed the increasing influence of the global operations of the shipping lines on port development and the declining monopoly of ports. This warrants the need for an identification of the port selection criteria from the perspective of the shipping lines. Hence, an attempt is made to determine the port choice from the perspective of the shipping lines. Moreover, most port operators have designed their strategies based on the 'stated preference' of the shipping lines. However, the stated preference approach can have several shortcomings such as the shipping lines would tend to overstate their demands for services at the port. This directs for an examination of the port choice of the shipping lines based on a revealed preference approach. The 'revealed preference' approach aims at judging the port choice of shipping lines purely from their 'actions' rather than what they actually 'state'. The empirical study in this article is based on a survey conducted among major shipping lines operating in Singapore and Malaysia. The findings have shown port charges and wide range of port services to be the only significant factors in their port choice. Moreover, the results show no consistency between the stated and revealed preferences of shipping lines. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 477-492 Issue: 4 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500438871 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500438871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:477-492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Arghyrou Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Arghyrou Title: The price effects of joining the euro: modelling the Greek experience using non-linear price-adjustment models Abstract: The widely-held hypothesis that accession to the EMU has caused a structural increase in Greek consumer prices is tested. No econometric evidence of such an effect is found. There is strong evidence of (a) multiple structural breaks in the process driving Greek equilibrium consumer prices and (b) non-linear price adjustment. The findings explain the post-EMU accession acceleration in Greek prices as normal, equilibrium-restoring behaviour. They also have important policy implications for the countries planning to join the euro in the foreseeable future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 493-503 Issue: 4 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427221 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427221 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:493-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan-Ramon Borrell Author-X-Name-First: Joan-Ramon Author-X-Name-Last: Borrell Title: Pricing and patents of HIV/AIDS drugs in developing countries Abstract: This article provides empirical evidence on the impact of patents on drug prices across developing countries. It uses sales data on human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)/acquired immuno deficiency syndrome (AIDS) drugs in a sample of 34 low- and middle-income countries between 1995 and mid-2000. The main findings are that patents do shift drug prices up, drug prices are correlated to per capita income levels and drug firms follow a skimming strategy when pricing new HIV/AIDS drugs. That is, there is across country and intertemporal price discrimination in the global drug markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 505-518 Issue: 4 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500438954 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500438954 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:505-518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Laurenceson Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Laurenceson Title: Financial sector regulation, bank franchise values and savings mobilization Abstract: Empirical studies show that financial development exhibits a positive relationship with economic growth and the extent of poverty alleviation. Implementing policies that best promote financial development - such as mobilizing savings - are therefore, a matter of importance for all developing countries. A recent theoretical proposal that draws inspiration from the East Asian development experience hypothesises that by regulating to augment bank franchise values (i.e. the capitalized value of expected future profits accruing to banks), more savings can be mobilized compared with pursuing liberalization policies. This article provides an empirical test of this theory using a panel data set that covers 101 countries over the period 1994 to 2001. The results are not supportive of the theoretical proposal. In commenting on this result, it is noted that while intervening in the financial sector might not boost the aggregate quantity of savings mobilized, liberalization policies in developing countries should not necessarily be expedited, as other considerations are also clearly relevant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 519-525 Issue: 4 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500438905 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500438905 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:519-525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fatih Ozatay Author-X-Name-First: Fatih Author-X-Name-Last: Ozatay Title: Public sector price controls and electoral cycles Abstract: Public enterprise prices are important policy instruments in developing economies. This is why public sector price polices constitute a key element of stabilization programmes implemented in these economies. However, this significance is not specific to stabilization episodes. First, this study questions whether an opportunistic politician can manipulate public prices to win elections. It analyses the impact of such price controls on budget deficits and the repercussions of alternative financing mechanisms of these deficits on the inflation rate and voters' behaviour. It is shown that electoral inflation cycles are obtained under domestic debt financing, whereas money financing does not permit such a manipulative policy. Second, by focusing on data of the Turkish economy for the 1987(1)-2003(12) period, empirical evidence for such manipulative policies is given. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 527-539 Issue: 4 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427346 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:4:p:527-539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joan Costa-Font Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Costa-Font Author-Name: Panos Kanavos Author-X-Name-First: Panos Author-X-Name-Last: Kanavos Author-Name: Joan Rovira Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Rovira Title: Determinants of out-of-pocket pharmaceutical expenditure and access to drugs in Catalonia Abstract: This article examines the determinants of the demand for pharmaceuticals in Catalonia using the latest available official survey data, having accounted for the individual differences in cost-sharing among consumers, as well as the influence of self-medication. The article builds a model of the (household) determinants of pharmaceutical expenditure and consumption. The econometric application deals with the infrequency of purchases and the nondistinction between out-of-pocket spending and drug cost sharing. Our results suggest that income and the variables accounting for the effect of cost sharing were significantly associated with drug use but not drug expenditure. Furthermore, gender, health status and having health insurance appear to be significant predictors. Access to pharmacies increases both drug use and expenditure; self-medication also increases drug expenditure out-of-pocket. These results are relevant for the entire Spanish case where current reform proposals have recommended the introduction of income-related (rather than age-related) co-payments. The same applies to the need for controlling self-medication which results from individual behaviour of consuming medicines for minor ailments without a prescription and which can be acquired OTC and are priced cheaply. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 541-551 Issue: 5 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500438947 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500438947 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:5:p:541-551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Min-Hsin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Min-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Eugene Jones Author-X-Name-First: Eugene Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: David Hahn Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hahn Title: Determinants of price elasticities for private labels and national brands of cheese Abstract: An Almost Ideal Demand System model is developed and used to estimate price elasticities for US cheese sold at retail. Growing consumption of cheese coupled with fierce competition between private labels and national brands serves as motivating factors for this study. Per capita consumption of cheese grew by 75% during 1980-2004 and private labels captured a rising share of this growth. Private labels today account for 35% of market share; national brands, for the remaining 65%. Kraft accounts for 45% of national brands, but price increases for Kraft brands led to a sizeable price gap between its brands and private labels. This gap helped to stimulate growth of private labels. Marketing managers seek to capitalize on both growing cheese sales and price gaps for brands. Relevant information for marketing managers is consumer sensitivity to price changes. This study uses 69 weeks of scanner data, with consumers segmented by income levels to derive price elasticities for both lower-and higher-income consumers. Results show lower-income consumers to be more price sensitive. If large price gaps are maintained, the results suggest continued growth of private labels. Yet, meta-analyses for this study suggest that Kraft could lower the price gap and regain market share. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 553-563 Issue: 5 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500439069 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500439069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:5:p:553-563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abhiman Das Author-X-Name-First: Abhiman Author-X-Name-Last: Das Author-Name: Sangeeta Das Author-X-Name-First: Sangeeta Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: Scale economies, cost complementarities and technical progress in Indian banking: evidence from fourier flexible functional form Abstract: This article uses a multi-product Fourier flexible cost function specification to investigate scale economies, cost complementarities and technical progress of Indian banks during the post reform period 1992 to 2003. The empirical results indicate that there exist significant economies of scale for all size classes of banks and there is no evidence of diseconomies of scale, even for larger banks. In particular, for small and medium-size banks, there is enough opportunity to increase output by either increasing the scale or merging with other banks to improve the average cost curve. The evidence is fairly robust even after controlling the impact of asset quality and overall risk exposure in the cost function specification. In addition, the statistical test confirms that the industry cost function does not have a Translog form. The results do not find any empirical evidence of cost complementarities between outputs. In terms of technical progress, Indian banks have experienced significant cost reduction which is as high as 5% for the recent period. However, the effects due to the scale augmenting and nonneutral components are found to be negligible. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 565-580 Issue: 5 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500428138 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500428138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:5:p:565-580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Author-Name: Ashok Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Kenneth Erickson Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Erickson Title: Next year on the US farmland market: an informational approach Abstract: This study formulates an information measure for changes in asset values and applies the formulation to farmland values in the United States for 1960 to 1999. The results indicate that changes in asset values contained significant information following the Russian wheat sale in the early 1970s and the financial crisis in agriculture in the mid 1980s. Further, information about preceding year's asset values largely explains the regional distribution of current year's farmland values. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 581-585 Issue: 5 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447831 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:5:p:581-585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heather Mitchell Author-X-Name-First: Heather Author-X-Name-Last: Mitchell Author-Name: Mark Stewart Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Stewart Title: A competitive index for international sport Abstract: This article constructs an index of competitiveness for different international sports. This is done by finding the national characteristics that are associated with sporting success and then noting the countries that participate in the different sports. This enables the various sports to be rated in terms of their competitiveness, thereby allowing judgements to be made regarding how difficult it is to be successful in these sports. Although a sports competitive index will no doubt be of interest to many armchair sporting experts, an answer to this question is also of importance when it comes to government policy with regard to funds directed to sport. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 587-603 Issue: 5 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447740 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447740 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:5:p:587-603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Clements Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: E. A. Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: E. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: More on stochastic index numbers Abstract: There are three major approaches used to estimate index numbers. The first is Fisher's test approach whereby indexes are judged on their ability to satisfy certain criteria. The economic theory of index numbers is the second approach and this deals with their foundations in utility theory. The third approach is a less well-known methodology, but one which is now attracting considerable attention, the stochastic approach which is a new way of viewing index numbers in which uncertainty and statistical ideas play a central role. While providing a point estimate for the index number like the other two approaches, the stochastic approach additionally provides the SE of the point estimate. This article enhances understanding of stochastic index numbers by showing that they are formally equivalent to the familiar optimal combination of forecasts with the individual prices playing the role of n forecasts of the overall rate of inflation. This leads to new analytical results on the impact of adding additional information within the stochastic approach framework. We provide two concrete examples of the sources of such additional information: (i) the quantity theory of money; and (ii) the use of quantity data in addition to price data. We also illustrate some of these theoretical results using real data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 605-611 Issue: 5 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500439093 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500439093 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:5:p:605-611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Madden Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Title: Tobacco taxes and starting and quitting smoking: does the effect differ by education? Abstract: This article uses duration analysis to investigate the role of tobacco taxes in starting and quitting smoking. Applying a variety of parametric duration models to a sample of Irish women, it finds that in general tobacco taxes do influence starting and quitting smoking in the expected direction. It also finds that the effect for starting differs by education but in a nonmonotonic way, with the greatest effect for women with intermediate levels of education. The results for quitting suggest the greatest effect for women with the lowest level of education. These results are unchanged when account is taken of unobserved heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 613-627 Issue: 5 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447898 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447898 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:5:p:613-627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Chunxia Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Chunxia Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Genfu Feng Author-X-Name-First: Genfu Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Dirk Willenbockel Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Willenbockel Title: WTO challenges and efficiency of Chinese banks Abstract: After joining the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in December 2001, China was given 5 years to completely open up its banking market for international competition. Chinese banks have been renowned for their mounting nonperforming loans and low efficiency. Despite gradual reforms, the banking system is still dominated by state ownership and encapsulated monopolistic control. How to raise efficiency is a key to the survival and success of domestic banks, especially the state-owned commercial banks. Two important factors may be responsible for raising efficiency: ownership reform and hard budget constraints. This article uses a panel data of 22 banks over the period 1995 to 2001, and employs a stochastic frontier production function to investigate the effects of ownership structure and hard budget constraint on efficiency. Empirical results suggest that nonstate banks were 8-18% more efficient than state banks, and that banks facing a harder budget tend to perform better than those heavily capitalized by the state or regional governments. The results shed important light on banking sector reform in China to face the tough challenges after WTO accession. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 629-643 Issue: 5 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447799 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447799 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:5:p:629-643 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: An-Sing Chen Author-X-Name-First: An-Sing Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Tai-Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Autocorrelation, structural breaks and the predictive ability of dividend yield Abstract: We study whether dividend yield (DY) can predict aggregate stock returns while controlling for the effects of structural breaks in the parameters and bias induced by autocorrelation in the predictor variable. To do so we apply the Bai and Perron (BP) (1998, 2000) methodology to test for structural breaks and the bias-adjusted predictability test of Lewellen (2004). We show that although DY predicts market returns during the period 1946 to 1989, there exist 'natural' subsamples bounded by statistically detectable structural breaks that can last for long periods of time (up to 11 years in duration) when DY does not show significant forecasting power. This has important implications in that even if in the long-run DY actually provides strong predictive ability, investors should be mentally prepared for long dry spells of unpredictability with respect to DY. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 645-652 Issue: 5 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447708 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447708 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:5:p:645-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chia-Hung Sun Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Economic integration, efficiency change and technological progress Abstract: This article examines the forces driving output growth in 21 manufacturing industries at the 3-digit level in Hong Kong during the period 1976 to 1997. A varying frontier coefficients model is adopted that relaxes the assumption of homogeneous application of the best practice production technology. The varying coefficients frontier approach allows the decomposition of output growth into factor contributions, technological progress and efficiency change. Following the decomposition framework, it facilitates the investigation of the relative roles of the three components of output growth and of the manner in which technical efficiency changed over time. The article finds evidence of moderate annual TFP growth of 2.7% in Hong Kong manufacturing attributed mainly to technological progress. This implies technical efficiency gained through learning-by-doing has been insignificant, reflecting the loss of skilled labour associated with manufacturing relocation to mainland China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 653-662 Issue: 5 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447690 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447690 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:5:p:653-662 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricio Perez Author-X-Name-First: Patricio Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Author-Name: Vicente Esteve Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Esteve Title: Trend breaks in the research and development process Abstract: This work examines the behaviour of the input and output measures of the R&D process in the United States, Germany, France and the United Kingdom, in the second half of the 20th century. The researcher and idea stock series can be construed as stationary fluctuations around a trend function, with a main breakpoint at the end of the 1960s. All the countries exhibit slower growth after their last breaks that during the decades preceding its first breaks. In this connection, the United States and Germany appear to represent the end points in the range of incidence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 663-674 Issue: 5 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447666 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447666 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:5:p:663-674 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steffen Anderson Author-X-Name-First: Steffen Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Author-Name: Glenn Harrison Author-X-Name-First: Glenn Author-X-Name-Last: Harrison Author-Name: Morten Lau Author-X-Name-First: Morten Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Author-Name: Rutstrom Elisabet Author-X-Name-First: Rutstrom Author-X-Name-Last: Elisabet Title: Valuation using multiple price list formats Abstract: We examine the properties of a popular method for elicitation of valuations from experimental subjects, the multiple price list format. The main advantages of this format are that it is relatively transparent to subjects and provides simple incentives for truthful revelation. The main disadvantages are that it only elicits interval responses, and could be susceptible to framing effects. We consider extensions to address and evaluate these concerns in the context of eliciting willingness to pay for products. We find that the multiple price list can elicit relatively precise valuations for products, and that those valuations are robust to possible framing effects. It therefore offers an attractive procedure for eliciting valuations for goods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 675-682 Issue: 6 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500462046 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500462046 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:6:p:675-682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anindita Chakrabarti Author-X-Name-First: Anindita Author-X-Name-Last: Chakrabarti Author-Name: Kausik Chaudhuri Author-X-Name-First: Kausik Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhuri Title: Antenatal and maternal health care utilization: evidence from northeastern states of India Abstract: This article examines the role played by the various socio-economic and community level factors in determining the antenatal and maternal health care utilization pattern using the data from the National Family Health Survey carried out in India in 1998/99. Our analysis document that autonomy enjoyed by women and exposure to media has a significant impact on maternal heath care utilization even after controlling for other attributes, particularly their education and household economic status. Availability of a rural health facility in the village and other community level programme propagates the utilization of health care. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 683-695 Issue: 6 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500439036 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500439036 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:6:p:683-695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Parker Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Parker Author-Name: Jonathan Rougier Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Rougier Title: The retirement behaviour of the self-employed in Britain Abstract: We analyze the retirement behaviour of older self-employed workers, using a life cycle framework and a multinomial logit model of dynamic employment and retirement choices. Using data from the two-wave Retirement Survey, we find that greater actual or potential earnings decrease the probability of retirement among the self-employed. In contrast to employees, none of gender, health or family circumstances appear to affect self-employed retirement decisions. The dynamic analysis reveals that relatively few employees and virtually no retirees switch into self-employment in later life. The switches that do occur are motivated less by attempts to use self-employment as a bridge job or 'stepping stone' to full retirement, than by self-employment being a last resort for less affluent workers with job histories of weak attachment to the labour market. We compare self-employed and employee retirement behaviour and discuss the policy implications of our results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 697-713 Issue: 6 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447807 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447807 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:6:p:697-713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derek Braddorn Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Braddorn Author-Name: Keith Hartley Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Hartley Title: The competitiveness of the UK aerospace industry Abstract: Porter's five competitive forces model provides an analytical framework for assessing the UK aerospace industry's competitiveness in this article. Various statistical indicators are used to measure competitiveness, based on published data at the industry and firm level, supplemented with information from company interviews. The indicators include productivity, output, firm size, development time-scales, labour hoarding, exports and profitability. The empirical results of this article suggest that, over the period 1980 to 2000, the UK aerospace industry improved its competitiveness compared with the USA and the EU. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 715-726 Issue: 6 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500448391 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500448391 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:6:p:715-726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Decker Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Decker Author-Name: Mark Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: Do increases in petroleum product prices put the incumbent party at risk in US presidential elections? Abstract: This article investigates the impact of petroleum product prices on recent United States' presidential elections by modelling the probability of the incumbent presidential party losing a state (under the United States' electoral college system) it had carried the previous presidential election. The main finding is that the probability of the incumbent party losing a state previously carried increases with petroleum product prices but only in those states that have primarily energy consuming economies. We also find that increases in the number of international conflicts, increases in real state per-capita income growth, and increases in state per capita grants-in-aid all reduce the likelihood of losing previously carried states while higher taxation growth increases this likelihood. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 727-737 Issue: 6 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600735408 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600735408 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:6:p:727-737 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suchismita Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Suchismita Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Arun Prakash Author-X-Name-First: Arun Author-X-Name-Last: Prakash Author-Name: Gordon Karels Author-X-Name-First: Gordon Author-X-Name-Last: Karels Author-Name: Therese Pactwa Author-X-Name-First: Therese Author-X-Name-Last: Pactwa Title: Skewness preference and the measurement of abnormal returns Abstract: In performing an empirical analysis of stock market returns there are certain conditions under which the quadratic characteristic line (QCL) will be the appropriate return-generating process compared to the linear characteristic line (LCL). These conditions are whether the parameter associated with the squared market term (the deviation from the mean) is significantly different from zero and whether the return on the market portfolio is asymmetrically distributed (or skewness is present). Examining abnormal returns surrounding stock splits, we find that these conditions hold for our data set. Having ascertained that the conditions for QCL hold, we find that the cumulative average returns (CARs) obtained using QCL dominate the CARs obtained using LCL in the event time and the CAR space for the dividend-increase sub-sample. Furthermore, the standardized abnormal returns for the QCL model are significantly different than those obtained using the LCL model. We find that neither the LCL nor the QCL paradigm reveals any statistically significant abnormal return for the dividend-decrease group. However, for the dividend-decrease group, the CARs for the LCL model dominate the CARs for the QCL model. The standardized abnormal returns for the QCL model are also significantly different than those of the LCL model. Using QCL, we find support for the signalling hypothesis of dividends. We also find that the extent of investor reaction obtained using QCL is statistically significantly different than that obtained using the LCL. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 739-757 Issue: 6 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500439077 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500439077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:6:p:739-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Strobel Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Strobel Title: Southeast Asian monetary integration: a real options perspective Abstract: We examine the real option implicit in countries' decisions of whether to join a monetary union and calibrate our theoretical model for the core ASEAN/AFTA group of Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand. None of the countries would be prepared to join a monetary union amongst them at present, and most have low to negligible probabilities of ever wanting to do so. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 759-763 Issue: 6 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500428005 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500428005 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:6:p:759-763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shailendra Gajanan Author-X-Name-First: Shailendra Author-X-Name-Last: Gajanan Author-Name: D. Malhotra Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Malhotra Title: Measures of capacity utilization and its determinants: a study of Indian manufacturing Abstract: We estimate Capacity Utilization (CU) rates in for selected industries in Indian manufacturing for the 20-year period 1976-1996. We estimate a generalized Leontief variable cost function, with capital as a quasi fixed input, to derive our CU measures, using error-component techniques. We note substantial variations in CU both across industries and over time. In general, we find that CU rates were higher in the earlier time-period, dropped in the mid-80s and started rising again in the early 90s. CU rates in our analysis are sensitive to input prices with the sole exception of the price of labor. We also confirm the standard result that variations in demand are a significant driving force for variations in CU. We find that CU is positively related to the magnitude of labor intensity in production. This holds for both between-industries and within-industries. Empirical results also indicate that traditional measures of CU such as minimum capital output ratio and peak-to-peak are not appropriate proxies for the short-run decision making of the firm regarding CU. As compared to the estimates derived from the choice-theoretic framework, we find that the traditional measures exhibit substantial bias. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 765-776 Issue: 6 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447732 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:6:p:765-776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Whitehead Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whitehead Author-Name: Richard Aiken Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Aiken Title: Temporal reliability of willingness to pay from the National Survey of Fishing, Hunting and Wildlife-Associated Recreation Abstract: The US Fish and Wildlife Service's (USFWS) National Survey of Fishing, Hunting and Wildlife-Associated Recreation (FHWAR) has been a source of information on wildlife-related recreation since 1955. The contingent valuation method has been used to estimate willingness to pay for recreation trips in the 1980, 1985, 1991, 1996 and 2001 surveys. However, relatively little comparative analysis over time has been performed. Similar value elicitation formats were used in the 1991 and 1996 surveys for bass and trout fishing, deer hunting and nonconsumptive wildlife recreation. We statistically analyze these data to assess the temporal reliability of the willingness to pay. We control for the effects of trip quality and socioeconomic variables and find that willingness to pay is significantly lower in 1996 for each activity. A subtle, but important, change in the 1996 question format may drive the result of lower willingness to pay. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 777-786 Issue: 6 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500438996 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500438996 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:6:p:777-786 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Santiago Budria Author-X-Name-First: Santiago Author-X-Name-Last: Budria Author-Name: Pedro Telhado Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Telhado Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Title: The wage effects of training in Portugal: differences across skill groups, genders, sectors and training types Abstract: This article investigates the determinants and wage effects of training in Portugal. In a first stage, we show that there are considerable differences in training participation across groups of workers, with elder and low educated individuals participating substantially less. In a second stage, we show that training has a positive and significant impact on wages. The estimated wage return is about 30% for men and 38% for women. Discriminating between levels of education and working experience and the public and private sector reveals important differences across categories of workers. We find that women, low educated workers and workers with long working experience earn larger returns from training. The average effect of training is similar in the private sector and the public sector. However, differences across experience groups are larger in the private sector, while differences across education groups are larger in the public sector. We use three alternative classifications of training activities and find that training in the firm, training aimed to improve skills needed at the current job and training with duration less than a year are associated to larger wage gains. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 787-807 Issue: 6 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447757 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:6:p:787-807 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oguzhan Dincer Author-X-Name-First: Oguzhan Author-X-Name-Last: Dincer Title: The effects of property rights on economic performance Abstract: This study augments the neoclassical growth model proposed by Mankiw et al. (1992) to analyse the effects of the property rights protection on the levels of economic performance, measured by per capita gross domestic product (GDP), across countries. The augmented model predicts that (1) the accumulation of physical and human capital and therefore the level of per capita GDP in a country, is positively related with the degree of property rights protection as well as with the saving rates and (2) the effects of the saving rates on the level of per capita GDP in a country are positively related with the degree of property rights protection. Empirical evidence shows that the predictions of the augmented model are consistent with the variations in the levels of per capita GDP across countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 825-837 Issue: 7 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461964 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461964 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:7:p:825-837 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Costs of smoking and attempts to quit Abstract: Using recent cross-sectional state-level data for the US, this article examines smoking quitting behaviour by smokers. In particular, we uniquely focus on how the costs of smoking, both direct and indirect costs, induce smokers to quit. Results show that the price of cigarettes and home smoking restrictions are the primary thrusts behind smokers' quit decision. The indirect costs due to workplace smoking restrictions, medical costs and a lack of insurance do not seem to significantly matter. The habit-forming effect of cigarettes is shown to lead to greater quit attempts. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 853-857 Issue: 7 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500439119 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500439119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:7:p:853-857 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuliana Battisti Author-X-Name-First: Giuliana Author-X-Name-Last: Battisti Author-Name: P. Stoneman Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Stoneman Title: The prices of material and intermediate inputs in UK manufacturing: identifying the contributions of world prices and domestic factor costs Abstract: In this article, we explore the patterns and determinants of the prices of raw material and intermediate inputs (MIIs) to UK manufacturing as measured by the net (n) and gross (g) producer price indexes of materials and fuels (PIMF). Despite the importance of MII in total manufacturing costs their prices have been little studied. It is shown that these prices are Granger independent of the demand for such inputs and thus a simple cost based model of price determination is constructed. This model forecasts that MII prices are functions of world prices for oil, commodities and semi-manufactured products intermediated by exchange rates and duties, domestic factor prices and a trend reflecting domestic technical change, changes in mark ups and change in weights. By the means of an error correction representation it is found that PIMFn and PIMFg, in the long and short-run, are more sensitive to overseas-determined prices (of oil, commodities and semi-manufactured products) than domestically determined prices (labour, capital and the trend). It may be argued that to some considerable degree therefore the prices of material and intermediate inputs in UK manufacturing will not be particularly sensitive to policy actions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 859-882 Issue: 7 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461832 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:7:p:859-882 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jer-Shiou Chiou Author-X-Name-First: Jer-Shiou Author-X-Name-Last: Chiou Author-Name: Pei-Shan Wu Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Shan Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Antony Chang Author-X-Name-First: Antony Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Bor-Yi Huang Author-X-Name-First: Bor-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: The asymmetric information and price manipulation in stock market Abstract: The interaction between asymmetrically informed traders has been mostly investigated in theoretical frameworks. Not only there are relatively few empirical studies but, if any, the mostly focus on cross-sectional analysis and use very short samples. In this study, we blend theoretic with empirical, and propose a new signalling system of turning points in the economy to examine the extent of volatility of these markets relative to their tranquil periods. The signalling system proposed here is based on the Markov-switching model. Differing from the existing literatures, the study employs three phases and time-varying transition probability, and captures the states of volatility. After examining the causality between high volatility and foreign portfolio investment (FPI) by using moving average and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, the portfolio's profitability of FPI and individual investors in different periods are compared. Finally, the investigation of FPI's leading effect is studied. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 883-891 Issue: 7 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500462038 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500462038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:7:p:883-891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Cortinhas Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Cortinhas Title: Intra-industry trade and business cycles in ASEAN Abstract: A new resolve for both increased economic integration and monetary and exchange rate cooperation has started to emerge in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), especially since the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis. According to the optimum currency area theory, the degree of trade integration is one of the most important criteria for joining a currency union. The large increase in intra-ASEAN trade in recent years raises the question of whether the ASEAN countries are becoming better prepared to form a currency union. This article sets to test whether the recorded increase in intra-ASEAN trade is leading the ASEAN members to closer economic integration and thus to better satisfy the criteria for a common currency. Two separate models are estimated for that purpose. First, a variation of the model of Frankel and Rose (1997) was estimated for the ASEAN members. Next, a new panel data methodology was conducted. The results with our own model were very significant and robust when four of the ASEAN5 countries were considered, and showed a clear positive correlation between intra-industry trade and business cycle synchronization in ASEAN. This result has important implications for the prospects of the creation of a common currency in the region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 893-902 Issue: 7 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461907 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461907 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:7:p:893-902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hung-Lin Tao Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Author-Name: Chia-Hung Li Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The impact of sectoral shifts and the aggregate labour market on unemployment duration Abstract: This study investigates the effects of sectoral shifts among industries on unemployment duration. These effects are decomposed into two subeffects: the overall effect and the specific industrial effect. The former is equal for all of the unemployed in all industries, while the latter depends on the tightness of the demand for labour of the industry in question. In addition, the impact of the aggregate labour market on unemployment duration is also explored. The empirical results show that most of the overall and all of the specific effects are significant, indicating that the sectoral shifts among industries as well as the aggregate labour market do in fact impact unemployment duration, and that the effects on unemployment duration vary in terms of their tightness in the different industrial labour markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 915-926 Issue: 7 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461923 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461923 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:7:p:915-926 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Garcia-Iglesias Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-Iglesias Title: How the European Central Bank decided its early monetary policy? Abstract: The main goal of this paper is to detect the mechanisms that should rationally stimulate the decision making-policies of the European Central Bank (ECB). This is carried out under the framework of theoretical principles of interest rate rules. Firstly, we deduce a set of logically advisable guidelines for the strategy actually developed by this central bank. Then we contrast a wide set of hypotheses with reference to those variables the ECB takes into account on deciding its monetary policy, with a flexible treatment regarding the number of months of advance or delay in the explanatory variables. The results lead us to the conclusion that the ECB, besides adopting a smooth strategy, especially bears in mind the expected core inflation rate, with a reaction coefficient adjusted to that initially proposed by Taylor. The economic growth rate, though it has a significant positive coefficient, matters relatively little and is backward looking. Finally, we evaluate up to what point the behaviour of the ECB is assimilative to an inflation targeting framework, solving this question affirmatively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 927-936 Issue: 7 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461931 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:7:p:927-936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Title: Structure, conduct and performance: a simultaneous equations investigation for the Brazilian manufacturing industry Abstract: The article investigated structure-conduct-performance (SCP) relationships in the context of the Brazilian manufacturing industry in 1996. For that purpose, it considered a system with four equations pertaining concentration, advertising, R&D and profitability that was estimated with simultaneous equation models. In addition to the usual explanatory variables proxying barriers to entry and demand conditions, the article considered organizational practices and incentive schemes variables. The evidence indicated an important role for variables related to barriers to entry in affecting market structure, an important and nonlinear effect of concentration on advertising, a relevant impact of firm-size on the propensity to exert R&D effort and finally a significant positive impact of concentration on profitability, and were similar to the previous evidence for developed countries. Additionally, no important roles were detected for organizational practices and incentive schemes on the SCP relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 937-942 Issue: 7 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461949 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461949 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:7:p:937-942 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Tasiran Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Tasiran Author-Name: Kerem Tezic Author-X-Name-First: Kerem Author-X-Name-Last: Tezic Title: Early labour-market experiences of second-generation immigrants in Sweden Abstract: This article investigates second generation immigrant's early labour-market performances in Sweden. To study their labour-market success we estimate dynamic transition rate models-Cox type proportional hazards, in a competing risk framework using register based panel-data set. Our results reveal that parental resources affect not only second-generation immigrants' continuing education but also their later labour-market success. The study verifies that finding a job is difficult for second-generation immigrants and the significant unobserved-heterogeneity parameter estimate may indicate discrimination. As a whole, second-generation immigrants have worse labour-market performances compared to their native-born counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 809-824 Issue: 7 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461915 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461915 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:7:p:809-824 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger White Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: White Title: Immigrant-trade links, transplanted home bias and network effects Abstract: Macro-level data for the US and 73 trading partners spanning the years 1980 to 2001 is used with a gravity specification to investigate the influence of immigration on bilateral trade. Prior research has identified immigrant stocks as a significant determinant of trade; however, this study indicates that the US immigrant-trade link is driven by immigration from relatively low income countries. A 10% increase in the immigrant stock is found to generate respectively 4.7 and 1.5% increases in domestic imports from and exports to the typical low income home country. The observed link is decomposed into two hypothesized channels-network effects and transplanted home bias. Considerable variation in per-immigrant trade effects is found across home countries: imports from the typical low income home country are estimated to increase by up to $2057 due to transplanted home bias and by as much as $2967 as a result of network effects, while exports rise by up to $910 as a result of networks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 839-852 Issue: 7 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447849 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:7:p:839-852 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Chih Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Wan-Hsiu Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Wan-Hsiu Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Correlated jumps in crude oil and gasoline during the Gulf War Abstract: This article employs a bivariate poisson jump model to investigate the relationship between the volatility of crude oil and gasoline especially during the period of the Gulf War. We find that greater jumps occurring in crude oil returns will appear in gasoline returns at the same time, but the magnitude of the co-movements in volatility falls. The covariance is relatively smaller in the Second Gulf War vs. the first conflict. The volatility of crude oil is of significantly high levels during periods of the war, yet the volatility of gasoline is not as sensitive as crude oil, particularly in the second conflict. Furthermore, the jump that occurred by the war did not lead both spot prices to a high persistent level for a long period, which fits the feature of the jump models. All these findings are important to market traders and hedging strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 903-913 Issue: 7 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500474249 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500474249 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:7:p:903-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Title: Estimating the stock of postwar Dutch postal stamps Abstract: This article seeks to find an answer to the question: 'How many stamps are still around, given that we know their prices at issue, the current price and the amount then issued?' For this purpose, I develop a simple statistical model, the parameters of which are estimated for over 1000 postwar Dutch stamps. One finding is that some stamps are very scarce, that is, less than 100 copies must be around. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 943-946 Issue: 8 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701243641 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701243641 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:8:p:943-946 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saang Joon Baak Author-X-Name-First: Saang Joon Author-X-Name-Last: Baak Author-Name: M. A. Al-Mahmood Author-X-Name-First: M. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Mahmood Author-Name: S. Vixathep Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Vixathep Title: Exchange rate volatility and exports from East Asian countries to Japan and the USA Abstract: The purpose of this article is to investigate the impact of exchange rate volatility on exports in four East Asian countries (Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore, and Thailand). Specifically, this article aims at determining whether the bilateral real exchange rate volatility between an East Asian country and its trading partner negatively affects the exports of the East Asian country. Considering the dominant roles of the USA and Japan as trading partners of those East Asian countries, this article focuses on the quarterly export volumes of East Asian countries to the US and Japan for the period from 1981 to 2004. Except for the case of Hong Kong's exports to Japan, cointegration tests and estimations of error correction models indicate exchange rate volatility has negative impacts on exports either in the short-run or in the long-run, or both. On the other hand, the real GDP of importing countries and depreciation of real bilateral exchange rates turn out, in general, to have positive effects. Of special interest is the finding that the impact of the exchange rate volatility does not show any stylized differences depending on whether the importing country is Japan or the USA, even though dollar invoicing dominates in East Asia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 947-959 Issue: 8 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500474231 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500474231 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:8:p:947-959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Abera Gelan Author-X-Name-First: Abera Author-X-Name-Last: Gelan Title: Real and nominal effective exchange rates for African countries Abstract: The real effective exchange rate is an index that is used to measure international competitiveness of a country. While the International Monetary Fund constructs and publishes the index for all industrial and some newly industrialized countries, the African nations receive no such attention. In this article we construct quarterly indexes of real and nominal effective exchange rates over the 1971I-2004III period for 21 African countries. We hope by publishing this data set, more research attention will be given to these countries. As an application, we test for the stationarity of the real effective rates to show that the Purchasing Power Parity theory holds only in four of our 21 cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 961-979 Issue: 8 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447922 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447922 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:8:p:961-979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Author-Name: Keen Meng Choy Author-X-Name-First: Keen Meng Author-X-Name-Last: Choy Title: Prospects for enhanced exchange rate cooperation in East Asia: some preliminary findings from generalized PPP theory Abstract: The Asian financial crisis increased economic disparities in the East Asian (EA) region, thus making monetary integration more difficult, but rekindled political interest in Asian monetary and exchange rate cooperation. This article applies the theory of Generalized Purchasing Power Parity (G-PPP), which looks at the behaviour of long-run real exchange rates, to assess the potential for an optimum currency area (OCA) among a subset of EA countries based on five of the more advanced members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN5). Our findings suggest little support for an OCA for ASEAN5 as a bloc prior to the Asian financial crisis and mixed results in the post-crisis period. In particular, asymmetries in the way countries adjust to shocks and low or insignificant speeds of adjustment were found. Thus, although the application of single OCA criteria is notoriously demanding and our tests apply to only one of the many criteria for the successful formation of an OCA, we cannot find persuasive evidence that ASEAN5 as a group constitute a potential currency area with either the USA or Japan, even when the 'noisy' period of the Asian financial crisis is omitted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 981-995 Issue: 8 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500497042 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500497042 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:8:p:981-995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Marquez de la Cruz Author-X-Name-First: Elena Marquez de la Author-X-Name-Last: Cruz Author-Name: Ana Martinez-Canete Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez-Canete Author-Name: Ines Perez-Soba Aguilar Author-X-Name-First: Ines Perez-Soba Author-X-Name-Last: Aguilar Title: Intertemporal preference parameters for some European monetary union countries Abstract: In the European Monetary Union, the estimation and analysis of preference parameters in its members is of special interest because possible differences could help us to understand why a common monetary policy could have different effects on the different economies involved. In this article, we have focused our attention on the elasticity of intertemporal substitution, one of the key preference parameters in intertemporal macroeconomic models. Several studies have shown a possible underestimation of such elasticity for different countries. It is common practice to estimate the parameter using only nondurable goods and services consumption data, without referring to the flow of services generated by durable consumption. This is only admissible if the intratemporal utility can be separated among the different consumption components. Our first objective is, therefore, to test the assumption of intratemporal separability for a selection of European countries (Germany, Spain and France), and then to analyse the effect of durable consumption on the estimated values of the intertemporal elasticity of substitution of these countries, our ultimate goal. Knowledge of such elasticity will enable us to characterise how saving in these economies reacts to variations in the real interest rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 997-1011 Issue: 8 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500462012 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500462012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:8:p:997-1011 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: HuiChen Chiang Author-X-Name-First: HuiChen Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Title: Commercial loan borrower's optimal borrowing and prepayment decisions under uncertainty Abstract: We model a firm which faces continuing stochastic money needs and fluctuating interest rates. The borrower minimizes the expected present value of the sum of interest payments and prepayment penalty costs subject to a liquidity constraint. Since contingent opportunities are absent from the model, we find (i) the firm should not inventory cash, (ii) the firm should prepay the maximum amount possible if it prepays at all. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1013-1020 Issue: 8 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461972 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461972 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:8:p:1013-1020 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dan Axelsen Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Axelsen Author-Name: Dan Friesner Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Friesner Author-Name: Robert Rosenman Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenman Author-Name: Hal Snarr Author-X-Name-First: Hal Author-X-Name-Last: Snarr Title: Welfare recipient work choice and in-kind benefits in Washington state Abstract: We analyze the work choice of welfare recipients. Potential welfare recipients compare their on and off welfare utility from after-tax income and in-kind benefits via employment or welfare, and choose whether to work. Our null hypothesis, which we reject, is that benefits affect only the decision to work or not, not the hours worked, which will depend on wages. Using Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) administrative data from Washington state, we find that employer provided health insurance and child care subsidies significantly raise exit rates of TANF recipients and induce greater work effort. Other work inducing factors include wages and the Earned Income Tax Credit, while increased levels of Medicaid, Food Stamps and the income guarantee increase welfare dependency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1021-1036 Issue: 8 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461865 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461865 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:8:p:1021-1036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. W. Fedderke Author-X-Name-First: J. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Fedderke Author-Name: J. M. Luiz Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Luiz Title: Fractionalization and long-run economic growth: webs and direction of association between the economic and the social -- South Africa as a time series case study Abstract: Recent cross-sectional growth studies have found that ethnolinguistic fractionalization is an important explanatory variable of long-run growth performance. In the present article, we follow the call of earlier studies to conduct a more detailed clinical analysis of the growth experience of a specific country. South Africa constitutes an interesting case in which to explore these questions. The results of this study provide important nuance to the existing body of evidence. We find that fractionalization is subject to strong change over time. In addition, we find strong evidence of webs of association between the various social, political and institutional dimensions. Thus various forms of social cleavage tend to go hand in hand, which presents the danger of spurious inference of association. Further, the direction of association in the preponderance of cases runs from economic to social, political and institutional variables, rather than the other way around. However, there remain significant impacts from some, but only some fractionalization indexes on economic growth. Which social cleavage, when, how and for what period of time will depend on the historical path of specific societies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1037-1052 Issue: 8 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461899 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461899 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:8:p:1037-1052 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Title: Determinants of firm start-up size in the Brazilian industry: an empirical investigation Abstract: The article investigates the determinants of newly created industrial establishments in Brazil in 1997 taking as reference explanatory variables referring to market structure and industry dynamics, stronger effects are detected for larger firms. Minimum efficient scale, industry size, industry growth and turbulence display the expected positive effects on firm size, but the intensity of those are more pronounced for larger firms. The suboptimal scale variable, on the other hand, exhibits a counterintuitive positive effect and perhaps other types of barriers to entry that are not related to scale aspects may be important in the Brazilian case. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1053-1058 Issue: 8 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461998 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461998 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:8:p:1053-1058 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yehning Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yehning Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shing-Yang Hu Author-X-Name-First: Shing-Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: The controlling shareholder's personal leverage and firm performance Abstract: This article examines the relationship between firm performance and its controlling shareholder's personal loans. We present a model that allows the controlling shareholder to finance company projects through personal loans. Using personal loans, however, will create an incentive for controlling shareholders to pursue risky projects. We test our predictions using a sample of companies from Taiwan and find supporting evidence. We find that firms with a higher personal loan will have a higher risk and worse performance in the future. We also find that the positive relation between risk and personal leverage is time varying: the relation gets stronger in bad times. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1059-1075 Issue: 8 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500462004 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500462004 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:8:p:1059-1075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lukas Menkhoff Author-X-Name-First: Lukas Author-X-Name-Last: Menkhoff Author-Name: Chodechai Suwanaporn Author-X-Name-First: Chodechai Author-X-Name-Last: Suwanaporn Title: On the rationale of bank lending in pre-crisis Thailand Abstract: Evidence from credit files is provided to examine bank lending determinants of Thai commercial banks. Their lending practice follows reasonable patterns as a standard set of variables, including indirect risk variables, explains much of the variance in interest rate spread. Reflecting institutional differences with mature markets, we find a higher importance of relationship banking and risk control via credit availability. Information about later default reveals prudent relationship lending. However, banks could have made better use of available information about borrowers' riskiness. These findings do not support a general verdict of bad banking but indicate room to improve lending decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1077-1089 Issue: 9 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447815 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447815 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:9:p:1077-1089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haesun Park Author-X-Name-First: Haesun Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: James Mjelde Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Mjelde Author-Name: David Bessler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Title: Time-varying threshold cointegration and the law of one price Abstract: A theoretical model of the law of one price which allows for seasonality in transaction costs and supply and demand conditions between markets is developed. Bivariate three-regime threshold vector error correction models are applied to natural gas markets to examine seasonality in threshold levels. Results indicate that there are nonlinear adjustments to the law of one price in seven pair-wise markets (Chicago is used as the base market). In the natural gas sector, dynamic threshold effects relative to the Chicago market vary depending on season, geographical location and whether the market is an excess producing or consuming market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1091-1105 Issue: 9 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500486540 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500486540 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:9:p:1091-1105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nancy Mohan Author-X-Name-First: Nancy Author-X-Name-Last: Mohan Author-Name: John Ruggiero Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ruggiero Title: Influence of firm performance and gender on CEO compensation Abstract: In this article we continue the examination of top executive pay by comparing performance, total pay and the influence of CEO gender. We analyse compensation differences between male and female CEOs using nonparametric analysis. We calculate the potential compensation for each executive using two benchmarks. First, each executive's performance and compensation are evaluated relative to members of the same gender to produce a same-gender measure of under-compensation. Each executive's compensation is also benchmarked against the other gender's potential compensation, producing an other-gender measure of under-compensation. Together, both measures allow an analysis of the gender-specific potential salaries of each executive while controlling for performance. The approach is applied to a sample of male and female executives. The results indicate that women are under-compensated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1107-1113 Issue: 9 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500474264 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500474264 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:9:p:1107-1113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felix Dominguez-Barrero Author-X-Name-First: Felix Author-X-Name-Last: Dominguez-Barrero Author-Name: Julio Lopez-Laborda Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Laborda Title: Why do people invest in personal pension plans? Abstract: The aim of this article is to identify the variables affecting the decision to make contributions to personal pension plans and the amount of such contributions. For this purpose, we specify and estimate a Tobit model for a sample based on the 1995 Personal Income Taxpayers Panel prepared by the Institute of Fiscal Studies (Spanish Ministry of Economy and Finance) formed by 3041 taxpayers, of whom 358 made contributions to pension plans. Our results suggest that individuals decide to invest in pension plans on complex grounds combining the wish to benefit from tax savings and to ensure they will receive supplementary income upon retirement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1115-1126 Issue: 9 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461956 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461956 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:9:p:1115-1126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiffany Hui-Kuang Yu Author-X-Name-First: Tiffany Hui-Kuang Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Hong Yih Chu Author-X-Name-First: Hong Yih Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Title: Is health care really a luxury? A demand and supply approach Abstract: Many studies have found strong and positive relationship between per capita income and health care expenditure. These studies usually adopt the assumptions that (1) the relationships among the variables are constant; and/or (2) the supply-side market for health care could be treated by using standard demand functions models. To take into account of the supply side of health care, we use the demand and supply approach with the cointegration model to re-examine this issue. By using Taiwan health care expenditure data, our results show that the real income elasticity is smaller than unity and the health care expenditures are primarily for 'curing' rather than 'caring'. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1127-1131 Issue: 9 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461857 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:9:p:1127-1131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdal Ozmen Author-X-Name-First: Erdal Author-X-Name-Last: Ozmen Title: Financial development, exchange rate regimes and the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle: evidence from the MENA region Abstract: This article investigates whether the Feldstein and Horioka (1980) argument on domestic saving-investment relationship is supported by the data of the countries in the Middle East and North Africa region when financial development levels and exchange rate regimes are taken into account. To this end, we employ both the Auroregressive Distributed Lag bounds cointegration test and panel mean group procedures. The results support the view that a successful international financial integration requires compatible levels of financial intermediation. The evidence also suggests that saving-investment cointegration is not invariant to exchange rate regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1133-1138 Issue: 9 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447674 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447674 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:9:p:1133-1138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kangsik Choi Author-X-Name-First: Kangsik Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Ex ante contracting with inequity aversion Abstract: We introduce that the principal and the agent can contract at the ex ante stage, and allow for risk-averse agents with inequity aversion to analyse the properties of the optimal incentive scheme under adverse selection. Contrary to the solutions of standard adverse selection problems, our main finding is that the efficient agent who is a risk-averse in presence of concerns with inequity produces more than first-best level, whereas the inefficient agent produces less than second-best level than canonical pure adverse selection output. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1139-1145 Issue: 9 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447914 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447914 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:9:p:1139-1145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessio Anzuini Author-X-Name-First: Alessio Author-X-Name-Last: Anzuini Author-Name: Aviram Levy Author-X-Name-First: Aviram Author-X-Name-Last: Levy Title: Monetary policy shocks in the new EU members: a VAR approach Abstract: The article provides empirical evidence on the effects of monetary policy shocks in the three largest new European Union (EU) economies: Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland. Vector autoregression (VAR) system estimates show that the co-movement of macroeconomic variables, conditional on a monetary policy shock, is similar across these countries and, despite their lower degree of financial development, not dissimilar to that found for more advanced European economies. While qualitatively similar to the responses observed in the old EU members, the responses of the new members are, on average, weaker. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1147-1161 Issue: 9 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600592866 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600592866 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:9:p:1147-1161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kang-Shik Choi Author-X-Name-First: Kang-Shik Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Jinook Jeong Author-X-Name-First: Jinook Author-X-Name-Last: Jeong Title: Does unmeasured ability explain the wage premium associated with technological change?: Quantile regression analysis Abstract: By using the quantile regressions of earnings equation, we find that the educational wage premium is higher in industries with rapid technological change than in industries with slower technological change at every decile in the distribution of wage residuals. The wage premium associated with the technological change is mostly explained by the returns to workers' unobserved heterogeneities, which are correlated with education, rather than the rents of high-tech industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1163-1171 Issue: 9 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500486565 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500486565 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:9:p:1163-1171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Mendi Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Mendi Title: Contractual implications of international trade in tacit knowledge Abstract: This article searches for evidence on the additional difficulty the parties have in contracting for the transfer of know-how relative to the transfer of patented technology. A sample of contracts for the acquisition of technology Spanish firms in 1991 is analysed to find a positive relationship between contract duration and the likelihood of transferring know-how in unaffiliated transfers. It is also found that technical assistance is bundled together with the transfer of know-how, suggesting that the parties try to mitigate opportunistic behaviour on the licensor's side. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1173-1183 Issue: 9 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600592817 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600592817 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:9:p:1173-1183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Cheng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Selecting suitable compensation plans of executive stock options Abstract: Theoretical and empirical works have emphasized that executive stock option plans play an important role in compensation management and corporate governance owing to the incentives to increase firm stock price and volatility levels. This study not only proposes models of executive stock options and constructs value-matched financial variables for comparing the incentive effects towards these options, but also develops an empirical study exploring the characteristics of executive stock options and suitable compensation management for companies. This investigation examines the daily value and compares incentive effects of six kinds of executive stock options with the empirical data of TSMC, the world's largest dedicated semiconductor foundry, which is listed on the TSE and NYSE. Empirical results indicate that purchased options would be the best choice for companies that are unsuitable to undertake risky investments, while the relative indexed options are appropriate for bear markets and good for companies whose executives are highly risk averse. Repriceable options are not recommended due to their high costs and weak incentive effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1185-1193 Issue: 9 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600592841 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600592841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:9:p:1185-1193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pi-Chung Han Author-X-Name-First: Pi-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: The mobility of highly skilled human capital in Taiwan Abstract: Most economists agree that a country's economic growth depends on human capital, physical capital, technology, and several other minor inputs. Human capital is the basic wealth of every country. Highly skilled workers are the most important component of human capital. Human capital can have a positive spillover effect on society. When talented young people leave their native country to work elsewhere, this brain drain inhibits the country's economic growth. Several factors contribute to brain drain. These can be classified roughly into three categories: economic, academic and personal. Economic factors play the most important role. From the early 1960s to the late 1980s, Taiwan suffered a brain drain when many people who had earned advanced degrees in western countries chose to leave Taiwan to work elsewhere. In this study's statistical analysis, I show that Taiwan's economy is based in past on an effective labour force and explain why Taiwan's economy has grown over the past 30 years. With the improved economy in the 1990s, young people are increasingly choosing to return to or remain in Taiwan to work and live. As Taiwan's economy improves, its highly skilled labour market becomes more competitive. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1195-1205 Issue: 9 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500439051 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500439051 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:9:p:1195-1205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Valentina Hartarska Author-X-Name-First: Valentina Author-X-Name-Last: Hartarska Author-Name: Denis Nadolnyak Author-X-Name-First: Denis Author-X-Name-Last: Nadolnyak Title: Do regulated microfinance institutions achieve better sustainability and outreach? Cross-country evidence Abstract: In spite of increasing pressure on microfinance institutions (MFIs) operating in developing countries to transform into regulated financial intermediaries, to date, no study has investigated whether regulated MFIs actually achieve better financial results and reach more poor clients than nonregulated MFIs. This article explores the impact of regulation on MFI performance using newly released data for 114 MFIs from 62 countries in an empirical model where performance is specified as a function of MFI-specific, regulatory, macroeconomic and institutional variables. Consistent with recent cross-country evidence on the impact of banking regulations on bank performance (Barth et al., 2004), this article finds that regulatory involvement does not directly affect performance either in terms of operational self-sustainability or outreach. The article also finds that less leveraged MFIs have better sustainability. The policy implication is that MFIs' transformation into regulated financial institutions is may not lead to improved financial results and outreach. However, the finding that MFIs collecting savings reach more borrowers suggests that there may be indirect benefits from regulation, if regulation is the only way for MFIs to access savings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1207-1222 Issue: 10 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461840 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:10:p:1207-1222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. A. Naude Author-X-Name-First: W. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Naude Author-Name: W. F. Krugell Author-X-Name-First: W. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Krugell Title: Investigating geography and institutions as determinants of foreign direct investment in Africa using panel data Abstract: This article uses a cross-country econometric approach to identify the determinants for foreign direct investment (FDI) in Africa. The contribution is 3-fold. Firstly, we recognize that the estimation techniques used elsewhere, such as ordinary least squares, may be flawed. We therefore use a dynamic one-step generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator due to Arellano and Bond (1991). The GMM-estimates identified a number of robust determinants of FDI, namely government consumption, inflation rate, investment, governance (political stability, accountability, regulatory burden, rule of law) and initial literacy. It is concluded that geography does not seem to have a direct influence on FDI flows to Africa. Neither market-seeking nor re-exporting motives of FDI seem to dominate, with different policy instruments being significant in the different specifications. This does not discount the importance of good policies, but probably indicates the importance of good policies made by good institutions. Institutions, in the form of political stability showed up as a significant determinant of FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1223-1233 Issue: 10 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600567686 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600567686 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:10:p:1223-1233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Birchwood Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Birchwood Author-Name: Rudolph Matthias Author-X-Name-First: Rudolph Author-X-Name-Last: Matthias Title: Structural factors associated with primary fiscal balances in developing countries Abstract: The study explores the conditions under which a government in a developing country is likely to run a balanced or surplus budget. We contend that primary fiscal deficits are likely to persist where the economy is too saving constrained to raise private sector investment. To conduct the investigation, a logit model is applied to a sample of developing countries to see whether the saving constraints are associated with the fiscal stance of governments. Accordingly, income level, growth, external current account balance and foreign direct investment are used as indicators of the saving constraint. With the exception of economic growth, positive developments in these variables turned out to be significant to the likelihood of the government adopting a surplus budget. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1235-1243 Issue: 10 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447716 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447716 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:10:p:1235-1243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arianne de Blaeij Author-X-Name-First: Arianne Author-X-Name-Last: de Blaeij Author-Name: Paulo Nunes Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Nunes Author-Name: Jeroen C. J. M. van den Bergh Author-X-Name-First: Jeroen C. J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: van den Bergh Title: 'No-choice' options within a nested logit model: one model is insufficient Abstract: We examine the impact of providing a 'no-choice' option in attribute-based valuation experiments. The aim of the experiment was to assess monetary values of cockle fishery management practices in the Dutch Wadden Sea for different stakeholder groups, namely Dutch citizens, local residents and tourists. The current policy debate about the management of the Wadden Sea stresses the fact that individual preferences with respect to cockle-fishery differ. The aim of this article is to analyse the individual preferences in a objective way. Special attention is given to the influence of including a 'no-choice option', which is analysed using a nested logit model. We test whether the full set of options can be considered as close substitutes. The estimation results show that the influence of including the no-choice option differs among the stakeholders considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1245-1252 Issue: 10 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600852955 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600852955 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:10:p:1245-1252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsiang-Tai Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hsiang-Tai Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Jonathan Yoder Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Yoder Title: A bivariate Markov regime switching GARCH approach to estimate time varying minimum variance hedge ratios Abstract: This article develops a new bivariate Markov regime switching BEKK-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) (RS-BEKK-GARCH) model. The model is a state-dependent bivariate BEKK-GARCH model and an extension of Gray's univariate generalized regime-switching (GRS) model to the bivariate case. To solve the path-dependency problem inherent in the bivariate regime switching BEKK-GARCH model, we propose a recombining method for the covariance term in the conditional variance-covariance matrix. The model is applied to estimate time-varying minimum variance hedge ratios for corn and nickel spot and futures prices. Out-of-sample point estimates of hedging portfolio variance show that compared to the state-independent BEKK-GARCH model, the RS-BEKK-GARCH model improves out-of-sample hedging effectiveness for both corn and nickel data. We perform White's (2000) data-snooping reality check to test for predictive superiority of RS-BEKK-GARCH over the benchmark model and find that the difference in variance reduction between BEKK-GARCH and RS-BEKK-GARCH is not statistically significant for either data set at conventional confidence levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1253-1265 Issue: 10 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500438970 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500438970 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:10:p:1253-1265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregorio Gimenez Author-X-Name-First: Gregorio Author-X-Name-Last: Gimenez Author-Name: Jaime Sanau Author-X-Name-First: Jaime Author-X-Name-Last: Sanau Title: Interrelationship among institutional infrastructure, technological innovation and growth. An empirical evidence Abstract: This paper uses a multi-equation model to achieve an overall study of two key factors which explain growth, technology and institutions. The paper focuses on the process of the accumulation of these factors and the interrelationship arising among them. A theoretical model is given, together with empirical evidence for the joint impact of these factors on economic growth in a wide-ranging sample of countries between 1985 and 1997. This paper also contributes certain novel aspects in the variables employed. Thus, an indicator of human capital and an index reflecting institutional infrastructure have been used. The human capital indicator considers health, formal education, informal education and accumulated experience. It embraces a wider range of factors than the variables conventionally used in empirical studies. As to the institutional infrastructure index, it has been constructed on the basis of six institutional sub-indices, comprising voice and accountability, political stability, government effectiveness, regulatory quality, rule of law and control of corruption. Thus, the index constructed captures a greater wealth of the items commonly covered by the concept of institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1267-1282 Issue: 10 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500438988 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500438988 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:10:p:1267-1282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yanrui Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yanrui Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Export performance in China's regional economies Abstract: China enjoyed unprecedented economic growth in the 1980s and 1990s. Associated with this growth was the rapid expansion of exports from the Chinese regions. This study aims to provide an empirical assessment of export performance in the Chinese regions during 1992-2001. It has shown that, on an average, China's regional economies have only achieved 70% of their export potential, leaving substantial scope for improvement. There is also considerable variation in export performance among the Chinese regions, with the noncoastal areas lagging behind. In addition, this article also shows that several region-specific factors (e.g. foreign direct investment, government spending, infrastructure development and the nonstate sector) have affected regional export performance positively. Furthermore, it is found that the development of China's western regions has boosted and will continue to improve the export sectors in these regions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1283-1293 Issue: 10 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500474272 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500474272 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:10:p:1283-1293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Willie Belton Author-X-Name-First: Willie Author-X-Name-Last: Belton Author-Name: Usha Nair-Reichert Author-X-Name-First: Usha Author-X-Name-Last: Nair-Reichert Title: Inflation regimes, core inflation measures and the relationship between producer and consumer price inflation Abstract: To date, an overwhelming majority of the literature has addressed mean relationships between producer and consumer price inflation. Granger et al. (1986) represent the only attempt to investigate second moment relationships. We examine the consumer--producer price relationship employing a multivariate GARCH-M framework that allows simultaneous estimation of the bivariate system along with providing explicit times series estimates of the variances of consumer and producer price inflation. This research also breaks new ground in the use of core and over-all inflation variance measures as well as examining state dependent mean and variance relationships. We find that mean relationships are generally sensitive to the measure of inflation used. Food and energy prices play an important role in transmitting changes in aggregate input prices to aggregate output prices. When food and energy prices are eliminated from consumer and producer price inflation measures, mean relationships break down irrespective of whether the economy is experiencing a high or low inflation regime. Variance relationships appear to be more robust in general and input price relationships in particular appear to respond to inflation regime shifts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1295-1305 Issue: 10 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447682 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447682 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:10:p:1295-1305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inchul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Inchul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Insik Min Author-X-Name-First: Insik Author-X-Name-Last: Min Title: An alternative semiparametric estimate of the base-independence equivalence scale: an application to US consumer expenditure survey data Abstract: This study proposes a semiparametric estimate and a test for base-independence equivalence scale. Our semiparametric approach is based on nondensity weighted loss function in contrast to Pendakur's (1999) density weighted loss function. Simulation results indicate that our specification tends to produce a smaller bias in estimating the equivalence scale and thus a more reliable test for base-independence hypothesis. We also provide an application using US Consumer Expenditure Survey data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1307-1314 Issue: 10 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600606294 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600606294 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:10:p:1307-1314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Isabel Gil Author-X-Name-First: Ana Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Title: Human development and alcohol abuse in adolescence Abstract: The aim of this article is to analyse the development of human capital in adolescents, as represented by their state of health and educational attainment, when this capital is affected by the abusive consumption of alcohol measured by grams of ethanol. To that end, we adopt a theoretical framework derived from the Model of Rational Addiction, the Model of Health Demand and the Model of Schooling Demand, which is then estimated by using data drawn from the Spanish National Survey on Drug Use in the School Population (1996, 1998, 2000). Results confirm that higher alcohol consumption leads to worse health states and lower academic efficiency among adolescents, which suggests the need to implement effective policies aimed at reducing alcohol abuse among this population group. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1315-1323 Issue: 10 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701346238 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701346238 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:10:p:1315-1323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Giunta Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Giunta Author-Name: Francesco Trivieri Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Trivieri Title: Understanding the determinants of information technology adoption: evidence from Italian manufacturing firms Abstract: Our empirical study aims at identifying the determinants of Information Technology (IT) adoption by small and medium sized Italian manufacturing firms. An ordered probit analysis is conducted on a sample of about 17 000 firms surveyed by the Italian Statistical Institute, using as a dependent variable an index of IT adoption. Our results show that firm size, geographical location, functional composition of the workforce, R&D activity, subcontracting, exports and collaboration between firms are all highly significant determinants of IT adoption. Such results are consistent with most of the predictions advanced in the few studies existing on this topic. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1325-1334 Issue: 10 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600567678 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600567678 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:10:p:1325-1334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Ming Jing Yang Author-X-Name-First: Ming Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Hui-Chin Liao Author-X-Name-First: Hui-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Hysteresis in unemployment: empirical evidence from Taiwan's region data based on panel unit root tests Abstract: In this study, we test the hysteresis hypothesis in unemployment for Taiwan's 21 regional data sets using the Levin et al. (2002), Im et al. (2003) and Taylor and Sarno (1998) panel-based unit root tests for the June 1993 to September 2001 period. The results from all three tests provide evidence that based on Taiwan's regional unemployment data the hysteresis hypothesis can justifiably be rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1335-1340 Issue: 10 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500486516 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500486516 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:10:p:1335-1340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Deininger Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Deininger Author-Name: Songqing Jin Author-X-Name-First: Songqing Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Xinhua Yu Author-X-Name-First: Xinhua Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Risk coping and starvation in rural China Abstract: We use a 3-year panel from two poor provinces in Southern China to examine the nature of risks to which rural households are exposed and their ability to insure calorie consumption and spending of total consumption against idiosyncratic shocks to their income. We find that idiosyncratic risks are indeed the main source of income variation in the sample, consumption is better insured than total spending. Unlike total spending where full insurance is rejected in most cases, calorie intake is completely insured for both land-rich and land-poor households in both provinces. Access to even modest amounts of land significantly enhances households' ability to guard against total spending. Land-rich households are much better insured against total spending than land-poor households. The results are robust across model specifications although Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimations increase the magnitude of difference in total spending between the land-rich and the land-poor. Policies targeting poverty reduction and improving land use rights and land access to the poor could potentially improve the overall risk sharing ability of the rural poor. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1341-1352 Issue: 11 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600592908 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600592908 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:11:p:1341-1352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. F. Galvao Jr Author-X-Name-First: A. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Galvao Jr Author-Name: F. A. Reis Gomes Author-X-Name-First: F. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Reis Gomes Title: Convergence or divergence in Latin America? A time series analysis Abstract: This article investigates the occurrence of per capita income convergence in 19 Latin American countries. We apply a time series approach to test for stochastic convergence and β-convergence based on structural breaks unit root tests, where the dates of breaks are unknown and determined endogenously. This approach is essential since it does not impose common break dates and parameter homogeneity among countries. In fact, the econometric methodology employed attempts to provide what was lacking in previous works. As a consequence, unlike prior studies the results indicate that there is substantial evidence in favor of conditional convergence in Latin America. We show that this evidence is even greater when analyzing South and Central America separately. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1353-1360 Issue: 11 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600606278 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600606278 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:11:p:1353-1360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfons Palangkaraya Author-X-Name-First: Alfons Author-X-Name-Last: Palangkaraya Author-Name: Jongsay Yong Author-X-Name-First: Jongsay Author-X-Name-Last: Yong Title: How effective is “lifetime health cover” in raising private health insurance coverage in Australia? An assessment using regression discontinuity Abstract: The Australian government introduced three major private health insurance policy initiatives in recent years. These are, in chronological order, (i) the Private Health Insurance Incentives Scheme (PHIIS), which imposes a tax levy on high-income earners who do not have private health insurance and provides a means-tested subsidy schedule for low-income earners who purchase PHI; (ii) a 30% premium rebate for all private health insurance policies to replace the means-tested component under PHIIS; and (iii) lifetime health cover, which permits a limited form of age-related risk rating by insurance funds. Together, these policy changes have been effective in encouraging the uptake of PHI; the percentage of the population covered by PHI rose from 31% in 1999 to 45% at the end of 2001. The difficult issue, however, is in disentangling the effects of the three policy changes, given that they were introduced in quick succession. This article attempts to evaluate the effect of lifetime health cover using a regression discontinuity design, an approach that makes use of cross-section data that allows the effect of lifetime health cover to be isolated via local regression. The results suggest that the importance of lifetime health cover appears to be grossly over-rated in previous studies. Our estimates indicate that it accounts for roughly 22-32% of the combined effects of all the policy initiatives introduced in the late 1990s. While these figures suggest that its effect is clearly significant, it is nonetheless nowhere near the effect often associated with lifetime health cover. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1361-1374 Issue: 11 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500486532 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500486532 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:11:p:1361-1374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Bentzen Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Bentzen Title: Does OPEC influence crude oil prices? Testing for co-movements and causality between regional crude oil prices Abstract: Using high-frequency data the co-movements among crude oil prices are analysed in order to address the question of regionalization of the world crude oil market. Time-series econometrics in the form of error-correction modelling is applied for daily crude oil price data covering the time period 1988 to 2004 and in this framework topics like weak and strong exogeneity among three major oil prices - represented by Brent, OPEC and Texas (WTI) - are addressed. The empirical results are that causality is most likely bi-directional among these crude oil prices - and hence rejecting a regionalization hypothesis of the global oil market - and also an influence from the OPEC oil price towards Bent and WTI, which are usually claimed to have a benchmark role. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1375-1385 Issue: 11 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600606344 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600606344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:11:p:1375-1385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yujin Oh Author-X-Name-First: Yujin Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Sung-Joon Park Author-X-Name-First: Sung-Joon Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Yu-Seop Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Seop Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: A comparative analysis of inter-industry wage differentials: before and after the Korean financial crisis Abstract: Korean economy has changed rapidly since the 1997 Korean financial crisis. This article investigates whether the inter-industry wage differentials in the Korean manufacturing industry are consistent over time and how the inter-industry wage structure has changed after the financial crisis. We used the 1995 and 1999 survey report on the wage structure-Korea. Our empirical results provide evidences for a wider inter-industry wage differentials and changes of the wage structure. After the crisis, company size, region (live in capital), sex, tenure, education are more critical to determine wages. According to factor analysis, the job quality factor is most closely related to wages before the crisis, while the industry attributes factor does in 1999. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1387-1397 Issue: 11 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600606286 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600606286 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:11:p:1387-1397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aydın Ulucan Author-X-Name-First: Aydın Author-X-Name-Last: Ulucan Title: An analysis of mean-variance portfolio selection with varying holding periods Abstract: In this study, I investigate optimal holding period (investment horizon) for the classical mean-variance portfolio optimization problem. Optimal holding period ex-post is determined using Istanbul Stock Exchange ISE-100 index stocks and Athens Stock Exchange FTSE-40 index stocks data. I extend the approach to other downside risk criteria including expected loss and semi-variance. The analysis involves solving the portfolio optimization problem for a total of 648 cases - two stock exchanges, three different target return levels, three different risk measures and 36 different time periods with rolling data. I discuss the results from the view point of two neighbouring markets: one with an upward trend and the other with a downward trend. The results show that portfolio returns with varying holding periods have a convex structure with an optimal holding period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1399-1407 Issue: 11 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600606310 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600606310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:11:p:1399-1407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shih-Chuan Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Title: Strategic debt service and investment decisions Abstract: Firms alter investing decisions when there is debt in the capital structure. Security design features can exacerbate the situation. This article studies how strategic debt service may affect investment distortions resulting from debt financing in a dynamic framework. When the production decision involves an expansion option, the shareholders' option to strategically default on the outstanding debt eliminates bankruptcy costs but, in contrast to previous literature where production decisions are fixed, leads to suboptimal investing decisions. This is due to higher wealth transfers from shareholders to debt holders upon exercise of the growth option. Strategic debt service, therefore, may reduce the value of the firm. The setting of an endogenous production set offers a potential explanation for empirical observations of wide credit spreads and low leverage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1409-1424 Issue: 11 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600592890 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600592890 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:11:p:1409-1424 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khurram Jamali Author-X-Name-First: Khurram Author-X-Name-Last: Jamali Author-Name: Kirsten Wandschneider Author-X-Name-First: Kirsten Author-X-Name-Last: Wandschneider Author-Name: Phanindra Wunnava Author-X-Name-First: Phanindra Author-X-Name-Last: Wunnava Title: The effect of political regimes and technology on economic growth Abstract: Do political regimes have a significant effect on economic growth? This study builds on the new neoclassical growth model to identify economic determinants of growth, and explicitly tests for the influence of political variables on economic performance for the 1990s. The results suggest that democracies and bureaucracies significantly outperform autocracies. Economic growth is also promoted by increased protection of property rights, and higher investment in education. Moreover, technology has become a requirement for efficient production, and hence, is crucial in promoting growth. Countries can therefore increase the level of economic growth by increasing the levels of education and technology in the economy, and establishing codified laws to foster property rights. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1425-1432 Issue: 11 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447906 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447906 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:11:p:1425-1432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-Hua Shen Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Chien-Fu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Fu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Li-Hsueh Chen Author-X-Name-First: Li-Hsueh Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: An empirical study of the asymmetric cointegration relationships among the Chinese stock markets Abstract: The Enders and Siklos asymmetric cointegration test is employed to examine the long-run asymmetric equilibrium relationships between the Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets. Three samples are adopted, which are the whole sample (October 1992 to September 2002); the first subsample before B shares were opened up to the Chinese public (October 1992 to February 2001); and the second subsample after B shares were opened up (February 2001 to September 2002). The estimated results are as follows. First, when the conventional Engle-Granger symmetric cointegration test is used, only the A shares in Shanghai and Shenghen stock exchange market are cointegrated when using the whole sample and the first subsample. However, with the Enders-Siklos M-TAR asymmetric cointegration test, Shenzhen A and B shares stock prices have an asymmetric cointegration relationship after B shares were open, suggesting that openness increases the market efficiency. Furthermore, the two A shares in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges also have an asymmetric cointegration relationship in the whole sample and the first subsample, implying that although the asymmetric relationship is crucial, it has long been neglected. Finally, it is found that the adjustment speed of Shanghai A shares is faster when deviation from the long-run equilibrium is positive than when it is negative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1433-1445 Issue: 11 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600606302 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600606302 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:11:p:1433-1445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adriaan Kalwij Author-X-Name-First: Adriaan Author-X-Name-Last: Kalwij Author-Name: Wiemer Salverda Author-X-Name-First: Wiemer Author-X-Name-Last: Salverda Title: The effects of changes in household demographics and employment on consumer demand patterns Abstract: This study examines to what extent changes in consumer demand patterns over the last two decades in the Netherlands can be attributed to changes in household demographics, employment and total expenditures. The dominating changes in consumer demand are decreasing budget shares of food & beverages and clothing & footwear and increasing budget shares of housing and services. The changes in households' composition - away from the traditional one-earner family with children - together with the increase in household total expenditures account for about one-third of the decrease in the budget share of food & beverages, half of the increase in the budget shares of services and only a minor part of the increase in housing. Once controlled for budget effects, the quadrupling of the proportion of employed women with young children accounts for about one-third of the increase in the budget shares of personal & health care - including childcare - and food away, holidays & entertainment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1447-1460 Issue: 11 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500474256 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500474256 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:11:p:1447-1460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shyh-Wei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shyh-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chung-Hua Shen Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Evidence of the duration-dependence from the stock markets in the Pacific Rim economies Abstract: This article investigates the duration-dependent feature of five Pacific Rim economies. The duration-dependent Markov Switching model is employed to achieve this objective. The Savage-Dickey density ratio is also computed in support of the duration-dependent Markov switching model. The possible bull and bear market dates for each stock market are also identified by the posterior probability from the empirical model. It is unambiguous that Japan, South Korea and Hong Kong are all characterized by duration-dependence in a bear market but no duration-dependence in a bull market. In the case of Taiwan and Singapore, the duration-dependence feature holds for both the bear and bull markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1461-1474 Issue: 11 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600592858 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600592858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:11:p:1461-1474 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheila Amin Gutierrez de Pineres Author-X-Name-First: Sheila Amin Author-X-Name-Last: Gutierrez de Pineres Author-Name: Manuel Cantavella-Jorda Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cantavella-Jorda Title: Export-led growth: are the results robust across methodologies and/or data sets? A case study of Latin America Abstract: We examine the export-led growth (ELG) hypothesis from a different perspective asking if the choice of data and/or methodology drives the results. We apply the Granger causality test modified by the corresponding error correction model using real export data from two common sources: the International Monetary Fund and the United Nations Commodity Trade Statistics. Additionally, to determine if the level of deflation could be a factor, we deflate the data at a disaggregated level and by a single export unit price index. Outcomes are compared to those obtained through the Granger causality procedure developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) and Dolado and Lutkepohl (1996). We use sixteen Latin American countries to test our hypotheses. The analysis reveals inconsistencies in the results both by selection of data and methodology suggesting much of the debate regarding ELG, at least for Latin America, is fuelled by data and/or methodology choice, putting into question previous studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1475-1500 Issue: 12 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447781 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:12:p:1475-1500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arusha Cooray Author-X-Name-First: Arusha Author-X-Name-Last: Cooray Author-Name: Dipendra Sinha Author-X-Name-First: Dipendra Author-X-Name-Last: Sinha Title: The Feldstein-Horioka model re-visited for African countries Abstract: We study the relationship between the saving and investment rates for 20 African countries using a long period of data. A high correlation between saving and investment is often taken as evidence of capital immobility. We use the new Ng-Perron unit root tests to examine the stationarity of saving and investment rates. Both Johansen cointegration tests and fractional cointegration tests are used. The results are mixed. The Johansen cointegration tests show that the saving and investment rates are cointegrated only for Rwanda and South Africa. This implies that for the other 18 countries, there is evidence of capital mobility. The fractional cointegration test results are different. The two rates are found to be fractionally cointegrated for the following 12 countries: Algeria, Burundi, Egypt, Morocco, Niger, Rwanda, Senegal, South Africa, Swaziland, Tunisia, Tanzania and Zimbabwe. For Cote d'Ivoire, Kenya, Lesotho and Sierra Leone there is some evidence of capital mobility while the results for Ethiopia, Malawi, Mauritius and Nigeria are mixed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1501-1510 Issue: 12 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600675679 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600675679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:12:p:1501-1510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chih-Ling Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Ming-Chieh Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Chieh Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yin-Feng Gau Author-X-Name-First: Yin-Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Gau Title: Expected risk and excess returns predictability in emerging bond markets Abstract: This study examines the predictability of expected excess returns from eight emerging bond markets within an international asset pricing framework. Two sets of instruments are used, which include both world and local factors, to forecast emerging bond returns. Besides investigating the influence of the macroeconomic factors in specific countries on bond returns in those countries, this study also divides local factors into macroeconomic and financial factors. Unlike previous studies, we apply macroeconomic instruments that contain more information on excess returns as a proxy for local risk factors via principal component analysis methodology. The information variable approach enables the prediction of excess bond returns based on world and local factors and facilitating understanding of the degree of integration between emerging bond markets and developed bond markets. The results indicate that the bond market in emerging world is partially integrated to that in the developed world and the predictability of local factors that include both financial and macroeconomic information variables can forecast around 25-66% of the returns of emerging bonds. Incorporating the macroeconomic variables increases the explanatory power of the model. Both world and country-specific local instruments can forecast excess bond returns, but local instruments appear to be better predictors of such returns, particularly the local credit spread to US. Additionally, this study finds that investor risk aversion is significant among most of sample countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1511-1529 Issue: 12 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600606336 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600606336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:12:p:1511-1529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Changhui Kang Author-X-Name-First: Changhui Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: Academic interactions among classroom peers: a cross-country comparison using TIMSS Abstract: Using an international data set from the Third International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS), we examine academic interactions among classroom peers for each country, and compare them across different countries. To minimize the bias that usually plagues peer effects studies, we take within-student differences between mathematics and science test scores. The results show a significantly positive association between peers' performance and own achievement for most of the TIMSS countries. Moreover, the degree of mutual peer interactions within classroom is found to be surprisingly close across different countries, even if there exists a wide range of institutional differences in middle-school education (e.g. degree of ability mixing). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1531-1544 Issue: 12 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600606328 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600606328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:12:p:1531-1544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keshab Bhattarai Author-X-Name-First: Keshab Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattarai Title: Welfare impacts of equal-yield tax reforms in the UK economy Abstract: A multisectoral dynamic general equilibrium tax model with and without announcement effects for open and closed capital markets is used to evaluate efficiency gains and transitional effects from equal-yield tax reforms for seven different taxes in the UK economy. Impacts of an unanticipated tax reform on investment, capital accumulation, output and employment are compared to those of anticipated tax reforms. Households, producers, traders, investors and the government are found to be more capable of adjusting their economic behaviour when tax announcements are made in advance. In equal-yield tax experiments welfare gains up to 1.4% of base year GDP can occur by removing distortions in taxes. Welfare loss of up to 2.05% of it can happen if a less distortionary tax, such as the labour income tax is replaced by more distortionary taxes. These simulation results hold whether the capital markets are closed or open. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1545-1563 Issue: 12 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600571100 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600571100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:12:p:1545-1563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Herzfeld Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Herzfeld Author-Name: Christoph Weiss Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Weiss Title: Corruption clubs: empirical evidence from kernel density estimates Abstract: A common finding of many analytical models is the existence of multiple equilibria of corruption. Countries characterized by the same economic, social and cultural background do not necessarily experience the same levels of corruption. In this article, we use Kernel Density Estimation techniques to analyse the cross-country distribution of corruption. Particular emphasis will be given to the question whether the distribution of corruption shows more than one peak. We find that most of the estimated densities exhibit twin peaks. We also provide some evidence on the intra-distribution dynamics and the persistence of corruption. We find the group of countries classified within the two 'clubs' to be very stable. Corruption is a highly persistent phenomenon. Substantial changes in the economic, political and cultural environment of countries within the 'corruption club' are required before a significant decline of corruption is to be expected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1565-1572 Issue: 12 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461980 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461980 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:12:p:1565-1572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans-Jurgen Engelbrecht Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Jurgen Author-X-Name-Last: Engelbrecht Author-Name: Christopher Pearce Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Pearce Title: The GATT/WTO has promoted trade, but only in capital-intensive commodities! Abstract: This article uses gravity models to explore the impact of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT)/World Trade Organization (WHO) on bilateral trade in a sample of 46 countries over the period 1965 to 1997. Our data enable us to disaggregate trade by broad commodity aggregates. The results for total trade are similar to those reported by Rose (2004). However, the disaggregated estimates reveal that the GATT/WTO has had a positive and statistically significant impact on trade in capital-intensive commodities, but no statistically significant impact on trade in other commodities. The article demonstrates that simple modifications of Rose's approach lead to results that are much more 'common sense' than his (JEL F10, F15). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1573-1581 Issue: 12 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600592874 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600592874 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:12:p:1573-1581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Jesus Delgado Author-X-Name-First: Maria Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Delgado Author-Name: Inmaculada Alvarez Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez Title: Network infrastructure spillover in private productive sectors: evidence from Spanish high capacity roads Abstract: Interest in public infrastructure research has been a subject of increasing concern to economists and policy-makers. This article aims at analysing the locational impact of the high capacity roads (HCR) on the Spanish private economic activity from 1970 through 1998, given that this is one of main infrastructure-based development strategy undertaken in Spain in this period. In a stochastic frontier production-function framework, we allow for modelling of provincial heterogeneity through the existence of different efficiency levels in the territorial units. Results show HCR spillovers between geographically close provinces and between provinces displaying similar socio-demographic characteristics and government size. To the extent that the magnitude and sign of these impacts differ across sectors a reasonable explanation of the limited impact of HCR on aggregate private production could be made. The presence of a negative spillover effect in the industrial and business service sector suggests that Spanish provinces may have used HCR capital as a competitive tool for attracting factors of production leading to a rearrangement in these economic activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1583-1597 Issue: 12 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500486557 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500486557 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:12:p:1583-1597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeronimo Pastor Author-X-Name-First: Jeronimo Author-X-Name-Last: Pastor Author-Name: Alejandro Villagomez Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Villagomez Title: The structural budget balance: a preliminary estimation for Mexico Abstract: In this article we estimate the structural budget balance for Mexico from 1980 to 2003 using a variation of the methodology proposed by the International Monetary Fund. In addition, we propose a fiscal rule that limits deficits in the structural balance as a percentage of GDP, such as the ones used by the European Union and the Chilean Government amongst others. We also simulate what the conventional balance would have been for Mexico if such a rule would have been implemented in 1980. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1599-1607 Issue: 12 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447856 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:12:p:1599-1607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maxime de Marin de Montmarin Author-X-Name-First: Maxime de Marin Author-X-Name-Last: de Montmarin Title: A new contribution to the 'Paris Metro Pricing' proposal Abstract: Using the concept of the 'Paris Metro Pricing', we will show that, when the distribution of the capacity between sub-networks leads to any loss of technical effectiveness and when a traditional condition on the 'hazard rate' is checked, it is always optimal for the monopolist to subdivide his main network in as many sub-networks as there are different types of net surfers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1609-1612 Issue: 13 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690173 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:13:p:1609-1612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: Estimating short and long-run relationships: a guide for the applied economist Abstract: Many applied economists face problems in selecting an appropriate technique to estimate short and long-run relationships with the time series methods. This article reviews three alternative approaches viz., general to specific, vector autoregressions and the vector error correction models. As in other methodological controversies, definite answers are difficult. It is suggested that if these techniques are seen as tools to summarize data, as in Smith (2000), often there maybe only minor differences in their estimates. Therefore a computationally attractive technique is likely to be popular. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1613-1625 Issue: 13 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690256 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690256 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:13:p:1613-1625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leone Leonida Author-X-Name-First: Leone Author-X-Name-Last: Leonida Author-Name: Dario Maimone Ansaldo Patti Author-X-Name-First: Dario Maimone Ansaldo Author-X-Name-Last: Patti Author-Name: Pietro Navarra Author-X-Name-First: Pietro Author-X-Name-Last: Navarra Title: Towards an equilibrium level of market reform: how politics affects the dynamics of policy change Abstract: In this article we examine the dynamics of economic reforms that are implemented by incumbent policy-makers interested in maintaining their political power. We use a sample of 86 countries over a time period going from 1980 to 2001 and find that the achievement of an equilibrium level of market liberalization is highly costly. Our results are robust to endogenity and model specification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1627-1634 Issue: 13 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690231 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690231 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:13:p:1627-1634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wen-Hsien Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Forecasting the semiconductor industry cycles by bootstrap prediction intervals Abstract: In recent years, there has been a recognition that point forecasts of the semiconductor industry sales may often be of limited value. There is substantial interest for a policy maker or an individual investor in knowing the degree of uncertainty that attaches to the point forecast before deciding whether to increase production of semiconductors or purchase a particular share from the semiconductor stock market. In this article, I first obtain the bootstrap prediction intervals of the global semiconductor industry cycles by a vector autoregressive (VAR) model using monthly US data consisting of four macroeconomic and seven industry-level variables with 92 observations. The 24-step-ahead out-of-sample forecasts from various VAR setups are used for comparison. The empirical result shows that the proposed 11-variable VAR model with the appropriate lag length captures the cyclical behaviour of the industry and outperforms other VAR models in terms of both point forecast and prediction interval. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1731-1742 Issue: 13 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600706995 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600706995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:13:p:1731-1742 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Lin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Yu-Hau Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Hau Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Currency substitution and nonlinear error correction in Taiwan's demand for broad money Abstract: We modify the conventional money demand function by including a real exchange rate variable to reflect the effect of currency substitution. Empirical evidence indicates that the variable is crucial to the long-run stability of Taiwan's money demand. After finding the failure of a linear error-correction model (ECM) in describing the dynamics of Taiwan's money demand, we apply a nonlinear ECM to examine its dynamics and support the appropriateness of the nonlinear model empirically. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1635-1645 Issue: 13 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/09603100600675631 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09603100600675631 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:13:p:1635-1645 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shu Chen Chang Author-X-Name-First: Shu Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: The interactions among foreign direct investment, economic growth, degree of openness and unemployment in Taiwan Abstract: The vector autoregression method of variance decomposition and impulse response function analysis are applied to analyse various relationships among foreign direct investment (FDI), economic growth, unemployment and degree of openness in Taiwan. The analysis results show that these five variables have a long-run equilibrium relationship; however, unemployment rate and FDI outflow have weak exogeneity. We also found that there exist three unidirectional causalities from FDI outflow to FDI inflow, from economic growth to degree of openness, and from economic growth to unemployment in short-run. Furthermore, the shocks of economic growth and degree of openness have positive effects on FDI inflow. On the contrary, the shocks in economic growth and FDI inflow have negative effects on unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1647-1661 Issue: 13 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600675612 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600675612 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:13:p:1647-1661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Wesley Nimon Author-X-Name-First: R. Wesley Author-X-Name-Last: Nimon Author-Name: Ricky Hall Author-X-Name-First: Ricky Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Title: Empirical analysis of the efficiency of job assignment auctions Abstract: For some hard-to-fill jobs the Navy awards Assignment Incentive Pay using an auction-like format. With respect to the optimal job assignment auction format, however, there is only a very limited academic literature. Furthermore, the extant literature assumes all bidders are equally qualified. In the Navy assignment context, this is not a tenable assumption, as other considerations, such as relocation and en-route training costs, must be considered when making an assignment. The lower the weight on the bid, the greater the weight that can be attached to the qualification component in the objective function. The lower the weight, however, the weaker the incentive to bid near one's reservation wage. The consideration of such other criteria precludes the implementation of the incentive-compatible, Vickery-Leonard assignment auction. We relax the assumption that bid amounts alone determine the assignment set and experimentally estimate the efficiency reductions associated with decreased bid-weights. The estimated elasticity of the value of the bids to changes in the bid-weight in low contention, first price auctions vary by bid-weight. Nonetheless, an increase from a 10 to a 50% weight on the bids decreases the level of the submitted bids by approximately 28%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1679-1690 Issue: 13 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600675646 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600675646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:13:p:1679-1690 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lex Borghans Author-X-Name-First: Lex Author-X-Name-Last: Borghans Author-Name: Bart Golsteyn Author-X-Name-First: Bart Author-X-Name-Last: Golsteyn Title: Skill transferability, regret and mobility Abstract: After graduation many students start working in sectors not related to their field of study or participate in training targeted at work in other sectors. In this article, we look at mobility immediately after graduation from the perspective that educational choices have been made when these pupils had little experience of the actual working life in these professions. We develop a model where students accumulate partially transferable human capital but also learn about their professional preferences at the university and during the first years in the labour market. As a consequence of this newly acquired insight, these young workers might realize that working in another occupational field would better fit their preferences, although they are better equipped to work in their own field. The empirical analysis reveals that if wages are 1% lower due to lower skill transferability, the probability that a graduate who regrets his choice actually switches decreases by 1.4 percentage points, while those who switch on average take 0.3 months additional education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1663-1677 Issue: 13 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600675661 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600675661 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:13:p:1663-1677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nakil Sung Author-X-Name-First: Nakil Author-X-Name-Last: Sung Title: Information technology, efficiency and productivity: evidence from Korean local governments Abstract: This study evaluates the performance of Korean local government by measuring their technical efficiency (TE) and total factor productivity (TFP) growth and, more importantly, examining the impact of information technology (IT) on this performance. The study is different from received analysis in that a unique measure of the state of IT-the Informatization Index-is used to investigate the impact of IT on both TE and TFP growth. Empirical analyses are conducted on data from 222 Korean local governments for the period 1999 to 2001. In particular, data envelopment analysis techniques are applied to calculate TE scores and TFP growth rates for sampled local governments. The empirical findings confirm the positive impact IT has in improving technical efficiency and accelerating productivity growth. The estimated coefficients are correctly signed (with other regional characteristics controlled for) when TE scores and TFP growth rates are regressed on the Index. In addition, the findings indicate that economies of density are present in the production of local public services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1691-1703 Issue: 13 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600675620 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600675620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:13:p:1691-1703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nobuyuki Harada Author-X-Name-First: Nobuyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Harada Title: Video game demand in Japan: a household data analysis Abstract: Various economic studies of the video game industry have focused on intra-industry details. This article complements the approach by highlighting broader budget allocation by households. Using the 'total households' data of the Family Income and Expenditure Survey, this article estimates the demand model for video games. Estimation results show the effects of household income and demographic factors and prices of goods on the expenditure share of video games. These results indicate the importance of explicitly considering a households' budget allocation, or at least, including information on households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1705-1710 Issue: 13 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600660713 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600660713 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:13:p:1705-1710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Miles Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Miles Author-Name: Maximo Rossi Author-X-Name-First: Maximo Author-X-Name-Last: Rossi Title: Learning about one's relative position and subjective well-being Abstract: In this article we show evidence which suggests that changes in an individual's relative position affects his subjective well-being (SWB). In this sense, our findings are in line with those who argue that a felicity function should take into account both absolute and relative position. Our results are based on a simple experimental design to discuss whether learning about one's relative position affects SWB. Additionally, using nonexperimental data we find a significant association between SWB and relative wage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1711-1718 Issue: 13 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600660721 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600660721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:13:p:1711-1718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Malgarini Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Malgarini Author-Name: Patrizia Margani Author-X-Name-First: Patrizia Author-X-Name-Last: Margani Title: Psychology, consumer sentiment and household expenditures Abstract: The aim of this article is to assess the role of the Italian Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI) as an autonomous driving force of consumption decisions. We test for the presence of 'rule of thumb' consumers as originally proposed by Campbell and Mankiw (1991), using sentiment measures distinguished by respondent's working condition and consumption data disaggregated according to durability, over the period 1982-2004. The consumption-sentiment relationship is found to be stronger for some groups of households and for some particular categories of expenditures. Moreover, sentiment seems to be not well explained by economic fundamentals alone, capturing also the effects of the political cycle and exceptional circumstances. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1719-1729 Issue: 13 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600606351 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600606351 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:13:p:1719-1729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saralees Nadarajah Author-X-Name-First: Saralees Author-X-Name-Last: Nadarajah Author-Name: Samuel Kotz Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Kotz Title: Two generalized beta distributions Abstract: Two new distributions which contain several of the known generalizations of the beta distribution as particular cases are introduced. Various structural properties of each distribution are derived, including its cdf, moment generating function, characteristic function, moments, mean deviation about the mean, mean deviation about the median, entropy, asymptotic distribution of extreme order statistics, maximum-likelihood estimates and the Fisher information matrix. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1743-1751 Issue: 14 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500428062 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500428062 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:14:p:1743-1751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susana Santos Author-X-Name-First: Susana Author-X-Name-Last: Santos Title: Modelling economic circuit flows in a social accounting matrix framework. An application to Portugal Abstract: Aggregated Social Accounting Matrices (SAMs) will be built for the Portuguese economy in 1997, 1998 and 1999, based on the country's national accounts statistics. The SAMs will be shown as a working instrument for quantifying the flows in the economic circuit and for simulating the effects resulting from changes in such flows. The economic flows associated with the government subsectors will be emphasized, whilst accounting and fixed-price multipliers will be calculated to facilitate the study of the effects resulting from changes in the government's expenditure, which will also be subjected to a test on their veracity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1753-1771 Issue: 14 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447864 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447864 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:14:p:1753-1771 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haoming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Haoming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jinli Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Jinli Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Title: Airline passenger fatality and the demand for air travel Abstract: After the 11 September tragedy, 20% of the scheduled US airline flights were cancelled and the passenger load factor was down to 56% from 66.6% a year ago. Was the high death toll or the nature of the attack itself responsible for this dramatic decline? Using the US data, we find that the demand for air travel did fall in years of relatively high fatality rate, but the demand is not sensitive to whether the high fatality rate is due to any terrorist activities. Our estimation results suggest that even after controlling for the sharp increase in the fatality rate because of the 11 September tragedy, a considerable proportion of the decline in demand for air travel that year is still unexplained. This evidence could suggest that there has been a fundamental shift in consumers' perception of air travel safety in the aftermath of the tragedy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1773-1781 Issue: 14 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701371822 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701371822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:14:p:1773-1781 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Macas Nunes Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Macas Nunes Author-Name: Tiago Neves Sequeira Author-X-Name-First: Tiago Author-X-Name-Last: Neves Sequeira Author-Name: Zelia Serrasqueiro Author-X-Name-First: Zelia Author-X-Name-Last: Serrasqueiro Title: Firms' leverage and labour productivity: a quantile approach in Portuguese firms Abstract: We show that the leverage of Portuguese firms tends to negatively affect its labour productivity for firms with relatively lower labour productivity but to positively affect this variable for firms in the right-hand side of the productivity distribution. This is particularly important in a country where labour productivity is persistently lower compared with the richer countries in Europe. Thus, we have concluded that, controlling for the usual effects, increasing leverage cannot be a solution for the less productive (and consequently the majority) of Portuguese firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1783-1788 Issue: 14 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707076 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:14:p:1783-1788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Emre Alper Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Emre Alper Author-Name: Ayse Mumcu Author-X-Name-First: Ayse Author-X-Name-Last: Mumcu Title: Interaction between price, quality and country of origin when estimating automobile demand: the case of Turkey Abstract: We estimate the demand for new automobiles in Turkey immediately following its entry to Custom Union with the European Union in 1996. We use quarterly data on price, quantity, quality, country of origin and product characteristics of the new automobile sales market and macroeconomic variables to estimate market demand during 1996-1999 using dynamic Generalized Least Squares Estimation method. In addition to including quality, we also include country of origin, to serve as another proxy for quality and to capture differences in cost-increasing and demand-reducing trade restrictions imposed on cars from certain countries as well as taste differences. Our results indicate that country of origin as well as quality matter for automobile demand in Turkey. Consistent with other aggregate automobile demand models for other countries, the demand for new automobiles is found to be price inelastic in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1789-1796 Issue: 14 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707050 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707050 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:14:p:1789-1796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paola Rota Author-X-Name-First: Paola Author-X-Name-Last: Rota Title: Unidimensionality, asymmetry and (S,s) rules in labour demand Abstract: We analyse the conditions under which an (S,s) rule may be implemented in the case of labour demand. The (S,s) rule implies a specific ordering of choices: downward adjustment, nonadjustment and upward adjustment with the decision of inaction lying crucially in the middle. This requires an exact negative relation between the choice-specific error terms. The particular ordering of choices implied may be estimated by an ordered probit. We test the (S,s) rule nesting the ordered probit within a multinomial model with correlated error terms. The restriction to a univariate error distribution is rejected by the data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1797-1815 Issue: 14 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690207 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:14:p:1797-1815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chih-Hai Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Hai Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: What factors inspire the high entry flow in Taiwan's manufacturing industries-A count entry model approach Abstract: Why is the entry flow of the manufacturing sector extremely high in Taiwan, and does it contribute to the prevailing entrepreneurship? This article aims to explore what factors inspire potential entrants to go into an industry. Based on a theoretical formulation of the Poisson probability entry model, a count data model is employed to investigate the determinants of entry flows. The empirical results reveal that traditional entry barriers indeed lower the entry flow. The entry incentives, including price cost margin and industry growth, play a lesser role at attracting new firms, while alternatively the market size acts as a better proxy of an entry incentive in explaining entry flows. Incumbents' responses to entry, R&D and advertising intensity are found to be associated with a significant negative impact on entry flows. This article also finds that there is a higher bound of covariate of entry, about 10%, that can be attributed to the immeasurable personality of entrepreneurs-entrepreneurship. Rather be the chicken's beak than be the cow's behind.1 The trade that might cause life hazard will be dealt, while the trade that might cause a loss will not be dealt. Two traditional Chinese proverbs Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1817-1831 Issue: 14 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690181 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:14:p:1817-1831 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taewoo You Author-X-Name-First: Taewoo Author-X-Name-Last: You Author-Name: Hongmin Zi Author-X-Name-First: Hongmin Author-X-Name-Last: Zi Title: The economic crisis and efficiency change: evidence from the Korean construction industry Abstract: This article gauges and analyses different types of efficiency in the Korean construction industry for the period 1996 to 2000, which includes the country's economic crisis. We also identify several important factors of the efficiency change and provide some managerial implications for the reason why most Korean construction firms had failed to maintain or enhance efficiency during this period. The results show that efficiency measures decreased significantly during the sample period and that there are large differences over the period before and after the economic crisis. Unlike many other industries, the low level of cost efficiency of the construction industry is mainly due to allocative inefficiency (inappropriate mix of input factors) rather than technical inefficiency. The low level of allocative efficiency, together with the strong relationship between institutional investors and efficiency, implies that the agency problem between managers and owners had prevailed in the Korean construction industry, and that construction firms could increase efficiency by minimizing agency costs. The study also implies that firms having failed in decreasing the leverage ratio, disposing unproductive assets and increasing the receivables overdue turnover could not avoid the efficiency decrease. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1833-1842 Issue: 14 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690199 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690199 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:14:p:1833-1842 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Anyadike-Danes Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Anyadike-Danes Title: How well are women doing? Female non-employment across UK regions Abstract: Discussions of the UK's recent labour market performance commonly mention the contrasting trends in the unemployment rate (down), the employment rate (up) and the inactivity rate (flat). These same commentaries also notice that the 'flatness' of the overall inactivity rate masks contrasting trends by sex, with male rates (slowly rising) and female rates (slowly falling) and then proceed to discuss male inactivity in some detail before concluding. Bypassing the composition of female inactivity, these commentaries fail to notice that the male and the female proportions of the population not working by reason of sickness or disability are quite similar. Equally they have rarely noticed that male and female non-employment rates display a very similar regional hierarchy with female rates in the 'North' as much as 50% higher than those in the 'South', and that there is an even steeper North-South gradient in some of the components of non-employment. For example, sickness and disability rates for females in the North are up to 10% of the working age population, while in the South rates are typically less than half that size. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1843-1854 Issue: 14 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427957 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427957 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:14:p:1843-1854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chen-Hsiu Laih Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Hsiu Author-X-Name-Last: Laih Author-Name: Bin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Kuan-Yu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Kuan-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Effects of the optimal port queuing pricing on arrival decisions for container ships Abstract: When arriving at a busy port, a container ship usually need to queue in anchorage waiting for a berth. If the port establishes a toll scheme, the ship may rationally adjust sailing speed and time to save the cost, otherwise she has to pay for berthing on time. Consequently container ships' arrival times at the port will be dispersed, and the queuing situation can be decreased. In this article, an optimal step toll scheme by cost equilibrium approach is designed, and all values of equilibrium queuing cost and operating cost under the scheme are obtained. According to equilibrium results in this study, we show container ships that pay the toll to berth a queuing port are those altered their original arrival times at the port before the toll established. In addition, those ships' arrival time adjusting decisions from the nontoll to the optimal step toll cases can be well investigated before tolling a queuing port. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1855-1865 Issue: 14 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447765 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:14:p:1855-1865 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Yuan Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Leon Li Title: Volatility states and international diversification of international stock markets Abstract: This study uses a Markov-switching technique to identify the volatility state of international stock markets. Further, we consider four possible state combinations of the individual and world stock markets to examine an interesting issue regarding the relationship between international diversification and market volatility. Last, we adopt a framework based on the state-varying correlation to establish a more efficient international investment strategy. Our empirical results are consistent with the two following notions. First, the situation of both the individual and world stock markets during high volatility states will be associated with the minimum benefit of risk-reduction from international diversification and a maximum cross-market correlation. Second, by incorporating the character of state-varying correlation into the establishment of an international portfolio, we can create a more efficient investment strategy with less risk, or greater return for a given risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1867-1876 Issue: 14 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500428088 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500428088 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:14:p:1867-1876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derek Hum Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Hum Author-Name: Wayne Simpson Author-X-Name-First: Wayne Author-X-Name-Last: Simpson Title: The legacy of immigration: labour market performance and education in the second generation Abstract: Previous research finds that the children of immigrants, or the second generation, earn at least as much as other native born but that there are persistent ethnic differences in the intergenerational transmission of education and wages. We explain why these results are not incompatible and extend the empirical evidence in several directions using the Canadian Survey of Labour and Income Dynamics. First, we estimate a model of wages, earnings and hours worked using modern econometric techniques to corroborate earlier US results of complete integration by the second generation in the labour market. We find that ethnic differences in labour market performance are significant, but that these difference do not alter conclusions about the relative performance of the second generation. Second, we find a source of superior labour market performance for the second generation in higher educational attainment, which constitutes an important legacy of immigration that should not be ignored. Third, we find that the definition of the second generation matters. Men and women with two immigrant parents achieve about one additional year of education, while those with one immigrant parent achieve about one-half that educational advantage. We conclude that the education effect of an immigrant mother or father are comparable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1985-2009 Issue: 15 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690223 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690223 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:15:p:1985-2009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Duane Graddy Author-X-Name-First: Duane Author-X-Name-Last: Graddy Author-Name: Thomas Strickland Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Strickland Title: Public information as a deterrent to environmental infractions Abstract: Past studies of the impact of publicly announced violations of environmental laws on the market value of the offending firms have yielded equivocal results. A particularly troubling aspect of this research is whether the market imposes a reputation penalty for such violations. This article uses the event-study methodology to estimate the effect of announced environmental infractions on the market returns of the violators. Stockholders experienced significant negative abnormal returns in the event window. Cross-sectional analysis showed these cumulative losses to be a function of firm size, type of legal action and specific toxin. The reputation component of abnormal returns was influenced by these factors as well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1961-1972 Issue: 15 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707084 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:15:p:1961-1972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Borghesi Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Borghesi Title: The late-season bias: explaining the NFL's home-underdog effect Abstract: This article examines price efficiency and out-of-sample predictability in the NFL point-spread betting market. Our main contribution to the existing literature is the identification of a persistent increase in bias magnitude during the final few weeks of each season. We demonstrate that this anomaly causes the much-documented home-underdog effect. We also offer evidence that the limits of arbitrage have enabled this phenomenon to persist for decades. Finally, we use several regression models to confirm our univariate analysis and show that these models can be used to implement profitable betting strategies. The predictive models presented differ from those in the prior literature by taking into account both short-term and aggregate biases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1889-1903 Issue: 15 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690314 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690314 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:15:p:1889-1903 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gordon Tang Author-X-Name-First: Gordon Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Wai Cheong Shum Author-X-Name-First: Wai Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Shum Title: The risk-return relations: evidence from the Korean and Taiwan stock markets Abstract: This article examines the risk-return relations conditional on up and down market periods in the Korean and Taiwan stock markets. Based on statistical tests adjusted for the effects of heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation of the residuals, beta is found positively (negatively) related to realized returns in up (down) markets. However, the results are sensitive to portfolio aggregation methods. Its role as a risk measure vanishes in down markets for the two-way (beta-size and size-beta) sorted portfolios. Unsystematic risk is significantly and positively priced only in up markets and mainly for beta-sorted portfolios while total risk is correctly priced except in Taiwan during down markets. Moreover, the impact of skewness and kurtosis on realized returns is not only sensitive to portfolio aggregation methods but also different across stock markets. They are found to be more relevant risk characteristics in the Korean than in the Taiwan stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1905-1919 Issue: 15 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690280 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690280 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:15:p:1905-1919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darrin Downes Author-X-Name-First: Darrin Author-X-Name-Last: Downes Author-Name: Winston Moore Author-X-Name-First: Winston Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Title: Does the exchange rate regime influence the relationship between the output gap and the current account? Abstract: Estimates of the output gap are useful for identifying the sustainable level of noninflationary output growth in countries with a flexible exchange rate regime. For nations with a fixed exchange rate, however, domestic prices are inexorably linked to the prices of its main trading partners and are unlikely to bear little relation to the output gap. This article uses data on 45 developed and developing countries between 1970 and 2004 to show that a positive output gap in a country with a fixed exchange rate is more liable to be reflected in an imbalance on the external current account. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1955-1960 Issue: 15 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707035 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707035 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:15:p:1955-1960 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Solaiman Miah Author-X-Name-First: M. Solaiman Author-X-Name-Last: Miah Author-Name: Virginia Wilcox-Gok Author-X-Name-First: Virginia Author-X-Name-Last: Wilcox-Gok Title: Do the sick retire early? Chronic illness, asset accumulation and early retirement Abstract: Our objective is to determine how chronic illness affects asset accumulation and retirement. Previous studies have found that poor health leads to early retirement, but those studies failed to look at the indirect impact of chronic illness on retirement. Using data from the Health and Retirement Study, we define an illness as chronic if the individual reports having asthma, cancer, heart disease, stroke or diabetes for four or more years. We first estimate how a chronic illness influences asset accumulation. We then estimate how asset accumulation and current poor health influence retirement. We observe that the vast majority of the chronically ill population do not report their general health to be poor nor do they report functional limitations in activities of daily living. Nevertheless, our results indicate that chronic illness leads these people to accumulate fewer assets during their working years and consequently retire later. Neither researchers nor policy-makers discussing the many critical issues surrounding illness and retirement have addressed this issue. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1921-1936 Issue: 15 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690165 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690165 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:15:p:1921-1936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Li Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Wealth, volume and stock market volatility: case of Hong Kong (1993-2001) Abstract: This article attempts to answer the question of whether the gain and loss in property market speculations and rate of information flow play a significant role in stock market volatility in Hong Kong. To test for our wealth-volume-volatility hypothesis, two different measures of volatility: absolute (absolute value of SD from mean with monthly dimension) and conditional (EGARCH) are used and results are compared. In both measures, we find evidence of a statistical presence of a wealth effect on stock market volatility, particularly in the investment of luxury class of property in Hong Kong. To account for this result, we apply the prospect theory, house money effect and the newly developed conditional confidence theory. Although we fail to establish a volume-volatility relationship in our estimation, we offer additional dimensions to the explanation of our observation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1937-1953 Issue: 15 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707019 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707019 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:15:p:1937-1953 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Survival of the hippest: life at the top of the hot 100 Abstract: We analyse the survival characteristics of recordings that reached the number one spot on the US popular music charts over the period 1955 to 2003. Our results show that there has been a statistically significant change in the time spent at number one since 'album cuts' were included in the compilation of Billboard 's Hot 100. Survival time is significantly improved if the recording is by a female solo artist, or if it is an instrumental tune. We also find a significant 'Elvis effect'. 'I'll never be a saint, it's true. I'm too busy surviving!' (Madonna, 1994) Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1877-1887 Issue: 15 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707159 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707159 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:15:p:1877-1887 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsuan-Chi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Hsuan-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Cyuan-Jhan Jhou Author-X-Name-First: Cyuan-Jhan Author-X-Name-Last: Jhou Author-Name: Hsiu-Chuan Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Hsiu-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: Signalling by underwriter retention rate in the IPO market Abstract: Underwriters in Taiwan have to purchase 10-25% of shares offered in initial public offerings (IPOs) for their own accounts. We present a signalling model showing that the underwriter retention rate can serve as a signal of firm value to investors because underwriters are investors as well. This mechanism can reduce information asymmetry between issuers and investors. The model shows that when underwriters retain more proportion of IPO shares, in equilibrium, the initial return is greater and the subscription success rate is lower. We further test the propositions using 616 IPO firms in Taiwan for the period 1998-2004. Overall, the empirical results support the propositions developed from the signalling model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1973-1983 Issue: 15 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600706987 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600706987 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:15:p:1973-1983 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Yilmazkuday Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Yilmazkuday Title: Inflation targeting supported by managed exchange rate Abstract: We compare, on a welfare loss basis, possible inflation targeting regimes supported by different exchange rate rules. For model parametrization, we estimate a forward looking monetary policy rule for Trukey. When variable inflation targets are taken into consideration, as opposed to the fixed targets used in prior research that use data from developed countries, forward looking Taylor rules provide a reasonable description of Central Bank behaviour in Turkey. By applying a calibration based on estimated parameters, we compare the loss functions under flexible inflation targeting and strict inflation targeting while taking into consideration the supporting regimes, namely a flexible exchange rate and a managed floating exchange rate. We find that the welfare loss function caused by four simultaneous shocks, namely a foreign interest rate shock, a monetary policy shock, a foreign output shock and a domestic output shock, is minimized under the flexible inflation targeting regime supported by a managed floating exchange rate rule. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2011-2026 Issue: 16 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707068 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:16:p:2011-2026 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiao Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Gail Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Gail Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Title: Managed care and the near-elderly: effects of plan enrollment on functionality Abstract: This paper examines the effects of enrollment in a health maintenance organization (HMO) or a preferred provider organization (PPO) on the functional status of near-elderly adults (aged 55-64), compared to traditional fee-for-service (FFS) plans. A sample of 1306 near-elderly adults with employer-sponsored health insurance are drawn from the 2000-2002 waves of the Health and Retirement Study, a nationally representative panel survey of community-dwelling adults. Regression models are estimated to assess the effects of different types of insurance plans on functionality, as measured by whether or not the individual has any functional limitations. The potential influence of selection bias into alternative types of plans is addressed by limiting the sample to near-elders without a choice of health plans. The effects of HMOs on functionality are shown to be comparable to those of FFS plans among the general near-elderly population. However, significant adverse effects of HMO enrollment on functional status are observed among near-elders with chronic conditions. PPO enrollees have similar functional outcome to FFS enrollees, even among those with chronic conditions. The observed differences in functional outcome across plans have important implications for the practicality of managed care plans serving older adults. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2027-2037 Issue: 16 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707217 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707217 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:16:p:2027-2037 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oliver Falck Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Falck Title: Survival chances of new businesses: do regional conditions matter? Abstract: This article analyses the effects of industry-, regional- and firm-level characteristics on the post-entry performance of new businesses by means of an econometric survival time model. First preference is given to an accelerated failure time model assuming a log-logistic distribution. The data involve a representative sample of businesses in the private sector of West Germany during 1993 to 2002 period. The results demonstrate that the regional dimension is most important; whereas firm-level characteristics play a subordinated role. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2039-2048 Issue: 16 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749615 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:16:p:2039-2048 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vaughan Dickson Author-X-Name-First: Vaughan Author-X-Name-Last: Dickson Title: Concentration history and market power in US manufacturing industries Abstract: For a 1963-1992 panel of US manufacturing industries, the relationship between seller concentration and both price-cost margins (PCMs) and prices is investigated for industries divided by whether concentration has recently increased or decreased. Regressions of PCM in levels and first differences, and price equations in first differences, establish that the positive effect of concentration on prices and profits is always weaker in industries where concentration has recently increased and always stronger in industries where concentration has recently decreased. These results are attributed to the different endogeneity biases in the two samples. Increasing concentration industries are more likely the ones where leading firms have lowered prices to gain share, while decreasing concentration industries are more likely the ones where smaller firms have lowered concentration by lowering prices. An additional conclusion is that the cost-reducing effects of changes in concentration are greater for increasing concentration industries, meaning that increasing concentration industries have lower price increases compared to decreasing concentration industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2049-2055 Issue: 16 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749466 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749466 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:16:p:2049-2055 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Josse Delfgaauw Author-X-Name-First: Josse Author-X-Name-Last: Delfgaauw Title: Where to go? Workers' reasons to quit and intra- vs. interindustry job mobility Abstract: We show that workers' reasons for quitting their job affect their decision to stay in or leave their industry, using survey data among public sector employees in the Netherlands. Workers quitting for e.g. pay, work pressure, or job duties move relatively often to another industry, in contrast to workers quitting for commuting time or the atmosphere at work. This suggests that workers use their experience in the initial job to update their expectations on other jobs in the industry, as the first set of job aspects is more likely to be related among jobs within an industry than the latter. Furthermore, it is shown that workers' reasons to quit fully explain the differences in wage growth between intra- and interindustry job movers. Lastly, we find that workers who quit for pay or management often leave the public sector altogether. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2057-2067 Issue: 16 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707092 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707092 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:16:p:2057-2067 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. M. Kargbo Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kargbo Title: Forecasting agricultural exports and imports in South Africa Abstract: The implementation of wide-ranging policy reforms, including trade and exchange rate policies, is improving the efficiency of the South African economy and its reintegration into the global economy with rapid export expansion. Agricultural exports in the Southern African Customs Union increased from R8.14 billion in 1995 to R23.0 billion in 2003, whilst agricultural imports rose from R6.83 billion to R13.84 billion during the same period. This article uses alternative approaches to forecasting agricultural exports and imports in South Africa. The models used include: exponential smoothing, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), vector autoregression (VAR), Engle-Granger (EG) single-equation and vector error-correction models (VECM). We found that the ARIMA and EG methods outperform the VAR and VECM according to Theil's U-statistic. The VAR outperforms the VECM in forecasting agricultural exports in South Africa. The combined forecasts have a lower variance compared to individual forecasts, thereby, reducing the risks of making wrong decisions based on the forecasts. The article provides empirical evidence that is beneficial to policymakers and business leaders in South Africa as they strive to reduce poverty and inequality and increase economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2069-2084 Issue: 16 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707183 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:16:p:2069-2084 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce Morley Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Morley Author-Name: Dennis Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Attendance demand and core support: evidence from limited-overs cricket Abstract: In this paper we construct and estimate a model for match attendances in English one-day, limited-overs league cricket. Our dataset separates 'pay at gate' spectators from club members, enabling us to distinguish between the attendance decisions of casual spectators and those of the, potentially, more committed 'core' supporters. In addition to providing a more direct analysis of the relatively underdeveloped issue of 'core support', we also investigate variability within the core. Apart from providing further evidence regarding demand determination in professional team sports we consider some specific policy implications particular to the 'peculiar' sport of cricket. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2085-2097 Issue: 16 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707225 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707225 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:16:p:2085-2097 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nasri Harb Author-X-Name-First: Nasri Author-X-Name-Last: Harb Title: Trade between Euro zone and Arab countries: a panel study Abstract: We construct an aggregate data panel to estimate price and income elasticities of the Arab countries imports from and exports to Euro zone. We study the nonstationarity of our series and verify the cointegration hypothesis among the variables using Pedroni's (2004) heterogeneous panel cointegration tests. The panel data circumvent the problem of short span sample and increase the power of the nonstationarity tests. Then, we estimate the idiosyncratic and panel cointegrating vectors using dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) (Kao and Chiang, 2000), fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) (Phillips and Hansen, 1990) and group mean DOLS and FMOLS developed by Pedroni (2000, 2001). Our variables are shown to be cointegrated. Arab imports from Euro zone countries are income inelastic, but price elastic. Results of export function are not conclusive and depend on the used estimator. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2099-2107 Issue: 16 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600722307 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600722307 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:16:p:2099-2107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lean Hooi Hooi Author-X-Name-First: Lean Hooi Author-X-Name-Last: Hooi Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Are Asian real exchange rates mean reverting? Evidence from univariate and panel LM unit root tests with one and two structural breaks Abstract: There are a number of studies that examine the purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis. The empirical findings from the extant literature for the PPP hypothesis are mixed. This article applies univariate and panel Lagrange Multiplier (LM) unit root tests with one and two structural breaks to real exchange rates for 15 Asian countries. The univariate LM unit root tests find evidence of PPP for two-thirds of the sample. The results from the panel LM unit root test support long-run PPP for the Asian countries in the sample. The results from the LM panel unit root tests differ from those of existing panel unit root tests of PPP for Asian countries that have not allowed for the existence of structural breaks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2109-2120 Issue: 16 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600722331 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600722331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:16:p:2109-2120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bilin Neyaptı Author-X-Name-First: Bilin Author-X-Name-Last: Neyaptı Author-Name: Fatma Taskın Author-X-Name-First: Fatma Author-X-Name-Last: Taskın Author-Name: Murat Ungor Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Ungor Title: Has European Customs Union Agreement really affected Turkey's trade? Abstract: The numerous discussions regarding the advantages and disadvantages of Turkey's becoming a member of the Customs Union has been inconclusive. The empirical analysis that mostly focus on the changes in the volume of trade without much regard to the conjectural changes have also been insufficient. This study attempts to shed light on this issue in a formal analysis of Turkey's international trade by empirically accounting for the changes before and after the Customs Union Agreement (CUA). In doing so, we explicitly account for the concurrent changes in the macroeconomic environment that may have affected Turkey's trade with the rest of the world. Our empirical findings indicate that CUA has not only positively impacted on Turkey's trade, but also led to changes in the behaviour of both exports and imports with regards to their responsiveness to underlying variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2121-2132 Issue: 16 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600735390 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600735390 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:16:p:2121-2132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jae-Young Lim Author-X-Name-First: Jae-Young Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: The effect of patient's asymmetric information problem on elderly use of medical care Abstract: It has been proposed that the patient's relative ignorance about medicine, 'asymmetry of information between doctor and patient', should place a patient in a disadvantaged position when purchasing medical care. Even if rapidly developing information technologies can enhance the patient's access to health information, a patient doesn't have enough ability to understand, interpret and evaluate it. So, the doctor's effort at sincerely helping patient understand and utilize health information by effective communication with patient might improve the patient's asymmetric information problem and affect the patient's use of medical care by way of its being a source of patient's solid trust on doctor. This research seeks to determine whether a doctor's effort, mentioned earlier can affect the elderly use of medical care. This study used data from a survey sample of people aged more than 65 living in Seoul and Chuncheon, Korea. The results suggest the doctor's effort level has a statistically significant positive effect on the elderly use of medical care, which suggest a doctor's effort of effectively communicating with patient would ameliorate patient's information problem and it could be a source of patient's trust on doctor, so this trust would lead a patient to consume more medical care. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2133-2142 Issue: 16 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707142 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:16:p:2133-2142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harald Badinger Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Badinger Title: Market size, trade, competition and productivity: evidence from OECD manufacturing industries Abstract: This article investigates empirically the links between market size, trade, competition and productivity, using a cross-section of 11 OECD countries and 11 manufacturing industries over the period 1995 to 2000. To deal with endogeneity concerns we extend the Frankel and Romer (1999) approach to construct instruments for both trade and competition. We find that larger, more integrated markets exhibit more competition (lower markups) and higher productivity, in line with the theoretical model by Melitz and Ottaviano (2005). The pro-competitive effect of trade accounts for approximately 30% of trade's total productivity effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2143-2157 Issue: 17 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707282 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707282 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:17:p:2143-2157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Didier Soopramanien Author-X-Name-First: Didier Author-X-Name-Last: Soopramanien Author-Name: Robert Fildes Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Fildes Author-Name: Alastair Robertson Author-X-Name-First: Alastair Author-X-Name-Last: Robertson Title: Consumer decision making, E-commerce and perceived risks Abstract: This article studies how adoption and usage behaviour of the Internet and online shopping, respectively influence the preference to use electronic commerce to purchase different types of products. We empirically model the preference for electronic commerce when consumers have to buy different types of products and thus face different types of risks (Cox and Rich, 1964). Unlike previous research, we find that consumers who have previously shopped online, display stronger preferences to buy products on the Internet irrespective of the perceived level of product-specific risks of online shopping. This article provides an interesting and novel insight into how both adoption and usage of electronic commerce impact on the attitude and risk perception of buying less predictable (more risky) products on the Internet. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2159-2166 Issue: 17 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749565 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749565 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:17:p:2159-2166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Ang Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Ang Title: Are saving and investment cointegrated? The case of Malaysia (1965-2003) Abstract: This article examines whether domestic saving rate leads to higher domestic investment rate in the case of Malaysia. We argue that the results obtained from cross-sectional studies are not able to address this issue satisfactorily and highlight the importance of individual country case studies. Using the recently developed autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing procedure, the results reveal a robust cointegrated relationship between domestic saving and investment rates during the period 1965 to 2003. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2167-2174 Issue: 17 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600722281 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600722281 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:17:p:2167-2174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kostas Tsekouras Author-X-Name-First: Kostas Author-X-Name-Last: Tsekouras Author-Name: Dimitris Skuras Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Skuras Author-Name: Irene Daskalopoulou Author-X-Name-First: Irene Author-X-Name-Last: Daskalopoulou Title: Is productive inefficiency a fatal disease? The effects of technical and scale efficiency in firm exit: the case of the Greek rubber and plastic industry Abstract: This article presents an integrated framework for testing the effects of productive efficiency, i.e. technical efficiency (TE) and scale efficiency (SE), on firm exit, facilitating the identification of the effects, causing a firm's operation at increasing or decreasing returns to scale. A panel data set of firms in the plastics and rubber industry of the Greek manufacturing sector is used to study the effect that TE and SE may have on a firm's probability to exit. Results reveal that technical efficiency is the most critical factor influencing firm exit, while SE exerts a quadratic effect on the probability to exit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2175-2187 Issue: 17 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749482 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:17:p:2175-2187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sainan Jin Author-X-Name-First: Sainan Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Liangjun Su Author-X-Name-First: Liangjun Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Forecasting the car penetration rate (CPR) in China: a nonparametric approach Abstract: With strong economic growth, the auto industry has made great breakthroughs in recent years and has become a backbone industry in China, while cars play an increasingly important role, and are now the principal part of the auto industry. Both China's government and academic circles take strong interest in the prediction of CPR (i.e. car penetration rate or cars per thousand people), which will be the main guidance for the future industry policy. We summarize the existing problems in recent research and propose to use nonparametric methods to estimate the CPR and its elasticity with respect to GDP per capita (GDPPC). The results indicate that the nonparametric methods provide a much better fit than the conventional OLS method, and more importantly, it captures the nonlinearity of the elasticity of CPR with respect to GDPPC. Finally, we predict future CPR in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2189-2195 Issue: 17 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749631 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749631 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:17:p:2189-2195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ansgar Belke Author-X-Name-First: Ansgar Author-X-Name-Last: Belke Author-Name: Thorsten Polleit Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Polleit Title: How the ECB and the US Fed set interest rates Abstract: Monetary policies of the European Central Bank (ECB) and US Fed can be characterized by 'Taylor rules', that is both central banks seem to be setting rates by taking into account the 'output gap' and inflation. We also set up and tested Taylor rules which incorporate money growth and the euro-dollar exchange rate, thereby improving the 'fit' between actual and Taylor rule based rates. In general, Taylor rules appear to be a much better way of describing Fed policy than ECB policy. Simulations suggest that the ECB's short-term interest rates have been at a much lower level in the last 2 years compared with what a Taylor rule would suggest. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2197-2209 Issue: 17 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749623 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749623 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:17:p:2197-2209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Kargbo Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Kargbo Title: The effects of macroeconomic factors on South African agriculture Abstract: Significant research efforts have been devoted to understanding the effects of macroeconomic factors on the agriculture sector. Analysing the sources of volatility in the industry is critical for designing appropriate policies to stabilize agricultural markets, reduce poverty and increase economic growth. Agriculture is a competitive sector with prices that are more flexible than those in nonagricultural sectors. This article uses annual data over the 1957-2004 period and a vector error-correction model in investigating the dynamic effects of exchange rates, money supply and other macroeconomic variables on the agricultural sector in South Africa. Overall, real exchange rates, interest rates, inflation and money supply (M3) shocks have significant and persistent impacts on agricultural output, prices received by farmers and farm input prices. M3 and interest rate shocks tend to put agriculture in a cost-price squeeze. Agricultural price movements are a source of macroeconomic instability in the country. Real exchange rate shocks shift relative prices in favour of agriculture in the long-run, thereby, boosting farm incomes and accelerating poverty reduction in the country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2211-2230 Issue: 17 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600735374 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600735374 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:17:p:2211-2230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jui-Cheng Hung Author-X-Name-First: Jui-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Shi-Jie Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Shi-Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Chien-Liang Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Title: Jump risk of Presidential election: evidence from Taiwan stock and foreign exchange markets Abstract: This article employs jump-diffusion models, including the ARJI model and the GARCH-jump model, to examine jump intensity and volatility of Taiwan stock and foreign exchange markets during a Presidential election period. The empirical results indicate that, firstly, the ARJI model fits data better than the GARCH-jump model. Secondly, the Presidential election events enhance the jump intensity of both markets and the jump-induced variance is higher than diffusion-induced variance. It reveals the importance of the discrete jump process during a Presidential election period, and might provide some implications for option pricing or hedging strategy. Due to the intervention of the Central Bank in the foreign exchange market during a Presidential election period, the results indicate that jump intensity and volatility of jump size are more moderate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2231-2240 Issue: 17 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749458 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749458 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:17:p:2231-2240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Lin Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Shih-Ying Wu Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Lottery expenses and charitable contributions - Taiwan's experience Abstract: Individuals' contributions are affected by their lottery outlays if they consider their spending of lottery funds on charities to be a substitute for or a complement to their direct charitable contributions. This study investigates the effect of lottery outlays on charitable contributions based on the experience of lottery introduction in Taiwan. The estimates reveal that lottery outlays exert a positive effect on charitable contributions while the quantitative impact is significant. This study thus provides evidence ameliorating the pessimistic prospect that people may reduce their direct charitable contributions when they spend more on lotteries. Possible explanations for the positive effect are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2241-2251 Issue: 17 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707001 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:17:p:2241-2251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raymond Swaray Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Swaray Title: How did the demise of international commodity agreements affect volatility of primary commodity prices? Abstract: This article has used the T-GARCH and E-GARCH models to answer the following two questions regarding the pattern of volatility of commodity prices following the demise of international commodity agreements (hereafter ICAs) in five key commodities: firstly, the question of whether the collapse or suspension of ICAs contributed to asymmetry in price volatility and secondly, the question of whether the collapse or suspension of ICAs led to an increase in persistence in price volatility. The results show that breakdown of ICAs was generally followed by higher degree asymmetry in price volatility but lower persistence in volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2253-2260 Issue: 17 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707043 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707043 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:17:p:2253-2260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suthep Buranakunaporn Author-X-Name-First: Suthep Author-X-Name-Last: Buranakunaporn Author-Name: Edward Oczkowski Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Oczkowski Title: A dynamic econometric model of Thailand manufacturing energy demand Abstract: The purpose of this article is to employ the dynamic translog framework to model inter-factor and inter-fuel energy demand for the Thai manufacturing sector. The Denny et al. (1981) and Lynk (1989) framework, which proposes a dynamic adjustment for capital stock is employed to motivate the estimated of factor demand and fuel share equations. Three factors: energy, labour and capital; and five fuel types: fuel oil, diesel oil, liquified petroleum gas (LPG), electricity, and coal and lignite; are examined. Regression diagnostics support the empirical specification. Numerous factor and fuel substitution possibilities are identified, with some policy implications described. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2261-2267 Issue: 17 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707167 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707167 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:17:p:2261-2267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katy Cornwell Author-X-Name-First: Katy Author-X-Name-Last: Cornwell Author-Name: Brett Inder Author-X-Name-First: Brett Author-X-Name-Last: Inder Title: Evidence for the ineffectiveness of debt rescheduling as a policy instrument Abstract: Where an economy cannot meet its external debt service obligations, it is forced to appeal to creditors for rescheduling of the debt. As such, rescheduling is evidence of a country's incapacity to carry a debt burden. This article explores factors that explain the probability of a country requiring debt rescheduling in a panel framework. The current literature is extended by modelling a dynamic random effects panel probit, in order to identify a presence of state dependence after controlling for country heterogeneity. We find clear evidence of state dependence when a 2-year lag of the dependent variable is allowed for, suggesting that overall, the fact that a country has experienced a rescheduling arrangement in the past does indeed make them more likely to experience further rescheduling. The article stresses that in order to draw the appropriate policy conclusions from this finding, one must understand that the debt rescheduling variable is itself a policy response variable. The fact that further rescheduling is often required within 2 years of a previous action suggests that rescheduling as it took place in the 1980s and 1990s was an inadequate response that often did little to help countries move beyond their current debt crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2269-2278 Issue: 17 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707175 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707175 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:17:p:2269-2278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Fertig Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Fertig Title: The effectiveness of qualification measures for employed workers - an evaluation study for Saxony Abstract: This article investigates whether and to what extent employment policy measures (co-) financed by the European Social Fund in Germany meet their objective. Specifically, it is analysed whether qualification programs for employed workers in the German state of Saxony were effective in terms of employment protection. To this end, a control function approach is implemented which utilizes a unique firm-level dataset. This model explicitly accounts for unobserved heterogeneity between participating and nonparticipating companies by modelling the participation decision process. Our results suggest a positive effect of program participation. However, this positive treatment effect varies considerably across different sub-groups of the treatment as well as the comparison group. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2279-2301 Issue: 18 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707233 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707233 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:18:p:2279-2301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bharat Kolluri Author-X-Name-First: Bharat Author-X-Name-Last: Kolluri Author-Name: Mahmoud Wahab Author-X-Name-First: Mahmoud Author-X-Name-Last: Wahab Title: Asymmetries in the conditional relation of government expenditure and economic growth Abstract: Previous studies on the relationship between government expenditure and economic growth have, invariably, aggregated periods of strong and weak GDP growth and reported a single government expenditure response coefficient estimate. We argue that traditional test specifications of this relationship suffer from aggregation (or omitted variables) biases by failing to distinguish between diverse economic growth experiences and their impact on government expenditure. We reexamine the evidence concerning Wagner's Law using a proposed conditional test specification that is capable of: (a) separating periods of strong and weak economic growth, (b) accommodating possible asymmetries in the marginal responses of government expenditure to variations in economic growth and (c) distinguishing between positive and negative asymmetries in such responses. We present evidence showing that: (a) the majority of government expenditure responses tend to occur during periods of an economic slowdown characterized by GDP growth that is below trend-growth; and (b) there is little evidence suggesting that government expenditure increases markedly during periods of an economic expansion when GDP growth is at/above trend-growth. Results from several tests of hypotheses also corroborate these findings. When we aggregate response coefficients across periods of above trend-growth and below trend-growth, we obtain an elastic aggregate response coefficient for OECD countries in line with Wagner's proposition. However, the evidence seems less forthcoming for EU economies. Nonetheless, the estimated cumulative response coefficient from our conditional asymmetric specification exceeds the estimated response coefficient from a traditional symmetric test specification which appears biased against finding support for Wagner's proposition due to omission of important directional asymmetry variables from the estimating equation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2303-2322 Issue: 18 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707126 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:18:p:2303-2322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Devadoss Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Devadoss Author-Name: Viswanadham Manchu Author-X-Name-First: Viswanadham Author-X-Name-Last: Manchu Title: A comprehensive analysis of farmland value determination: a county-level analysis Abstract: This study develops a comprehensive model of farmland value determination to analyze the effects of various economic variables such as net farm income, government payments, macroeconomic factors, and demographic conditions on farmland values for the counties along the Snake River valley in Idaho. Land values, net farm income, and population show considerable variation among the counties. Therefore, use of county level cross-sectional and time-series data helps to assess the impacts of various factors on land values more accurately. The empirical results show that net farm income, wheat yield, population, and credit availability have positive effects, and property tax rates, interest rates, and debt to asset ratio have negative effects on farmland values. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2323-2330 Issue: 18 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600675687 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600675687 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:18:p:2323-2330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Choi Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Lan Liang Author-X-Name-First: Lan Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Title: Reverse moral hazard of liability insurers: evidence from medical malpractice claims Abstract: This study investigates putative differences in the legal defense of medical malpractice claims between liability carriers with distinct ownership forms: doctor-controlled and commercial-stock. The scope of a carrier's legal defense is determined by claim characteristics, such as injury severity and liability, and possibly the doctor's private costs from settling or losing a claim. When a carrier does not internalize the doctor's private costs from losing or settling a claim, then a conflict of interest arises as the carrier provides a lower level of legal defense than preferred by the doctor (i.e., reverse moral hazard). The perception is that doctor-sponsored carriers mitigate such conflicts of interest. If this is the case, we should expect to see differences in the amount spent by the carrier in defense of the doctor and the propensity to settle claims. To test these expectations, we use medical malpractice claims filed in Florida between 1985 and 1990. We indeed find differences in legal defense in terms of amount spent on legal defense and settlement rate between carriers with different ownership. The doctor-sponsored carrier we investigated was less likely to settle out-of-court, and did spend more on a doctor's legal defense than stock carriers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2331-2340 Issue: 18 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427080 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:18:p:2331-2340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuo Ogawa Author-X-Name-First: Kazuo Author-X-Name-Last: Ogawa Title: Why did Japan's household savings rate fall in the 1990s? Abstract: This study investigates empirically why Japan's household savings rate fell in the 1990s. We constructed an economic model consisting of two types of household: unconstrained life cycle households and liquidity-constrained households. Unconstrained households generally save, but liquidity-constrained households consume all of their disposable income. We found that the proportion of liquidity-constrained households increased sharply in the late 1990s, which led to a decline in Japan's household savings rate. Our simulation analysis demonstrates that if the proportion of liquidity-constrained households in the 1990s had stayed at the level as that of the late 1980s, the household savings rate would have increased by four% points in 2001 and 2002. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2341-2353 Issue: 18 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600639899 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600639899 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:18:p:2341-2353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benno Torgler Author-X-Name-First: Benno Author-X-Name-Last: Torgler Author-Name: Sascha Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Sascha Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: What shapes player performance in soccer? Empirical findings from a panel analysis Abstract: In this article, we investigate the pay-performance relationship of soccer players using individual data from eight seasons of the German soccer league Bundesliga. We find a nonlinear pay-performance relationship, indicating that salary does indeed affect individual performance. The results further show that player performance is affected not only by absolute income level but also by relative income position. An additional analysis of the performance impact of team effects provides evidence of a direct impact of team-mate attributes on individual player performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2355-2369 Issue: 18 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600660739 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600660739 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:18:p:2355-2369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Zofio Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Zofio Title: Malmquist productivity index decompositions: a unifying framework Abstract: In two widely cited but unpublished working papers, Simar and Wilson (1998) and Zofio and Lovell (1998) proposed an alternative decomposition of the Malmquist Productivity Index, which retained what seemed to be the strongholds of previous proposals with regard to the contribution of technological and efficiency change to productivity change. Namely, a technical change term with regard to the best practice variable returns to scale (VRS) technology, which is to be found in Ray and Desli (1997) and a scale efficiency change term that illustrates a firm's situation with regard to optimal scale (benchmark technology), Fare et al. (1994). Attaining this objective required the introduction of an additional term in the Malmquist Productivity Index decomposition, which would reflect the scale bias of technical change. It is our objective to provide economic rationale for this term within a theory of production context, the existing decompositions and recent articles that further elaborate on this issue. The ideas are illustrated using productivity trends in 17 OECD countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2371-2387 Issue: 18 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600606260 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600606260 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:18:p:2371-2387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chih-Hai Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Hai Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Chun-Chien Kuo Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Chien Author-X-Name-Last: Kuo Title: Lower bounds of concentration in Taiwan's manufacturing industries: do exports matter? Abstract: This article aims to test Sutton's 'lower bounds' approach on the analysis of market concentration in a small open economy like Taiwan. Exporting, which is important to a small open economy, is also considered in order to investigate the role of foreign competition on the market structure. Using a stochastic frontier approach, the estimate findings are in accordance with Sutton's predictions, whereby the lower bounds for high advertising and/or R&D-intensive industries are higher than those for low advertising and/or R&D-intensive industries in Taiwan. At the same time, the lower bounds of concentrations for export-intensive industries do not differ significantly from that of nonexport-intensive industries. The deviations from the lower bound are explained by industry characteristics such as the cost disadvantage ratio, the share of small and median-size enterprises, turnover rate and growth rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2389-2401 Issue: 18 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600606237 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600606237 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:18:p:2389-2401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Chih Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Jui-Cheng Hung Author-X-Name-First: Jui-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: Hedging for multi-period downside risk in the presence of jump dynamics and conditional heteroskedasticity Abstract: This study extends the one period zero-VaR (Value-at-Risk) hedge ratio proposed by Hung et al. (2005) to the multi-period case and incorporates the hedging horizon into the objective function under VaR framework. The multi-period zero-VaR hedge ratio has several advantages. First, compared to existing hedge ratios based on downside risk, it has an analytical solution and is simple to calculate. Second, compared to the traditional Minimum Variance (MV) hedge ratio, it considers expected return and remains optimal while the Martingale process is invalid. Thirdly, hedgers may elect an adequate hedging horizon and confidence level to reflect their level of risk aversion using the concept of VaR. Pondering the occurrence of volatility clustering and price jumps, this study utilizes the ARJI model to compute time-varying hedge ratios. Finally, both in-sample and out-of-sample hedging effectiveness between one-period hedge ratio and multi-period hedge ratio are evaluated for four hedging horizons and various levels of risk aversion. The empirical results indicate that hedgers wishing to hedge downside risk over long horizons should use the multi-period zero-VaR hedge ratios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2403-2412 Issue: 18 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707118 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:18:p:2403-2412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Cristina D'Addio Author-X-Name-First: Anna Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: D'Addio Author-Name: Tor Eriksson Author-X-Name-First: Tor Author-X-Name-Last: Eriksson Author-Name: Paul Frijters Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Frijters Title: An analysis of the determinants of job satisfaction when individuals' baseline satisfaction levels may differ Abstract: A growing literature seeks to explain differences in individuals' self-reported satisfaction with their jobs. The evidence so far has mainly been based on cross-sectional data and when panel data have been used, individual unobserved heterogeneity has been modelled as an ordered probit model with random effects. This article makes use of longitudinal data for Denmark, taken from the waves 1995-1999 of the European Community Household Panel, and estimates fixed effects ordered logit models using the estimation methods proposed by Ferrer-i-Carbonel and Frijters (2004) and Das and van Soest (1999). For comparison and testing purposes a random effects ordered probit is also estimated. Estimations are carried out separately on the samples of men and women for individuals' overall satisfaction with the jobs they hold. We find that using the fixed effects approach (that clearly rejects the random effects specification), considerably reduces the number of key explanatory variables. The impact of central economic factors is the same as in previous studies, though. Moreover, the determinants of job satisfaction differ considerably between the genders, in particular once individual fixed effects are allowed for. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2413-2423 Issue: 19 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707357 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707357 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:19:p:2413-2423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robin Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Robin Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: W. A. Razzak Author-X-Name-First: W. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Razzak Author-Name: Steven Stillman Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Stillman Title: Has New Zealand benefited from its investments in research & development? Abstract: We use panel data for nine industries to evaluate research and development (R&D) investments in New Zealand over the past forty years. We estimate the impact of R&D stocks in a particular industry on output per person in that industry and on output per person in the rest of the economy. We examine both public and private R&D investments. Privately provided R&D has a statistically significant positive impact on own-industry output per person, suggesting it increases productivity. However, publicly provided R&D has no impact on own-industry output per person. There is also evidence that private R&D in certain industries positively affects output per person in the rest of the economy, i.e. it generates positive spillovers. There is no evidence of positive spillovers from publicly provided R&D. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2425-2440 Issue: 19 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707308 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707308 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:19:p:2425-2440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hassan Mohammadi Author-X-Name-First: Hassan Author-X-Name-Last: Mohammadi Author-Name: Murat Cak Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Cak Author-Name: Demet Cak Author-X-Name-First: Demet Author-X-Name-Last: Cak Title: Capital mobility and foreign debt sustainabilty: some evidence from Turkey Abstract: This paper address the extent of capital mobility and foreign debt sustainability in Turkey over the 1962-2003 period by examining the relationship between saving and investment, and imports and exports, respectively. The empirical investment is based on cointegration, error correction models, and threshold and momentum threshold autoregressive models. Our findings are consistent with the existence of capital mobility and the 'Strong' form of foreign debt sustainability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2441-2449 Issue: 19 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707274 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707274 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:19:p:2441-2449 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tahir Abdi Author-X-Name-First: Tahir Author-X-Name-Last: Abdi Title: Trade liberalization, technology, relative factor supplies and the relative wage: evidence from the South Abstract: There is much controversy about the role that trade liberalization, technological change and relative factor supplies have played in bringing about changes in the relative wage of the unskilled workers. Much of the empirical work on this issue has focused on the industrial countries and paid little attention to developing countries. To fill this gap, this study develops a special data set to examine the relative wage behaviour of a large number of developing countries. An empirical model based on the theory is used to test different explanations of the relative wage change. As predicted by the technology explanation, the empirical analysis in the study finds a significant negative link between the relative wage of unskilled workers and the technology index. The analysis, however, does not find a significant role for labour supplies or trade liberalization in determining the relative wage of unskilled-skilled workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2451-2463 Issue: 19 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600567660 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600567660 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:19:p:2451-2463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cees van Beers Author-X-Name-First: Cees Author-X-Name-Last: van Beers Author-Name: Jeroen C. J. M. van den Bergh Author-X-Name-First: Jeroen C. J. M. van den Author-X-Name-Last: Bergh Author-Name: Andre de Moor Author-X-Name-First: Andre de Author-X-Name-Last: Moor Author-Name: Frans Oosterhuis Author-X-Name-First: Frans Author-X-Name-Last: Oosterhuis Title: Determining the environmental effects of indirect subsidies: integrated method and application to the Netherlands Abstract: The term 'environmentally damaging subsidies' covers all sorts of direct and indirect subsidies with negative consequences for the environment. This article presents a method to determine the environmental impact of these subsidies. It combines a microeconomic framework with an environmental impact module. The method is particularly useful for analysing indirect subsidies. These are often hidden, and therefore, not recognized as subsidies. Use of the method will provide a basis for formulating corrective policy. The method is applied to several important subsidies in the Netherlands, in agriculture, energy and transport sectors. The results reveal large environmental effects, which deserve serious attention from policy makers. To illustrate the specific features of the method, its application to a particular subsidy, namely the exemption of excise taxes on aviation fuels, is presented in full detail. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2465-2482 Issue: 19 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600592833 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600592833 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:19:p:2465-2482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Seema Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Seema Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Are real exchange rates nonlinear with a unit root? Evidence on PPP for Italy: a note Abstract: In this article, we apply the recently developed threshold autoregression model to examine both linearity and stationarity of Italy's real exchange rate vis-a-vis her six trading partner (G6) countries. Our main finding is that Italy's real exchange rate is a nonlinear process that is not characterized by a unit root process for five of six trading partner countries. This provides strong support for purchasing power parity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2483-2488 Issue: 19 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600606369 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600606369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:19:p:2483-2488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Bahmani Author-X-Name-Last: Oskooee Author-Name: Magda Kandil Author-X-Name-First: Magda Author-X-Name-Last: Kandil Title: Real and nominal effective exchange rates in MENA countries: 1970-2004 Abstract: The main purposes of this article are 3-fold. First, we construct measures of real and nominal effective exchange rates for 14 Middle East and North African countries over the 1970-2004 period. Second, we test the validity of the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) by applying the ADF and KPSS tests to the real effective exchange rates. Finally, we employ the bounds testing approach to cointegration and error-correction modelling to show that nominal devaluation leads to real devaluation in the short-run as well as in the long-run in many of the countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2489-2501 Issue: 19 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690306 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690306 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:19:p:2489-2501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leonardo Gambacorta Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Author-X-Name-Last: Gambacorta Author-Name: S. Iannotti Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Iannotti Title: Are there asymmetries in the response of bank interest rates to monetary shocks? Abstract: This article examines the velocity and asymmetry of the response of bank interest rates to monetary policy shocks. Using an asymmetric vector error correction model, it analyses the pass-through of changes in money market rates to retail bank interest rates in Italy in the period 1985-2002. The main results of the article are: (1) the speed of adjustment of bank interest rates to monetary policy changes increased significantly after the introduction of the 1993 Consolidated Law on Banking; (2) interest rate adjustment in response to positive and negative shocks is asymmetric in the short run, but not in the long run; (3) banks adjust their loan (deposit) rate faster during periods of monetary tightening (easing); (4) this asymmetry almost vanished since the 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2503-2517 Issue: 19 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707241 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707241 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:19:p:2503-2517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Athena Belegri-Roboli Author-X-Name-First: Athena Author-X-Name-Last: Belegri-Roboli Author-Name: Panayotis Michaelides Author-X-Name-First: Panayotis Author-X-Name-Last: Michaelides Title: Estimating labour and output gap: evidence from the Athens Olympic Region in Greece Abstract: The present article estimates potential labour and labour gap as well as potential output and output gap using a Cobb-Douglas production function and a Hodrick-Prescott filter. We investigate the Athens Region in Greece by sector of economic activity, with the aid of the non-accelerating wage inflation rate of unemployment concept. The results support the idea that the Athens region seems to be working, mostly, over the regional economy's capabilities, a fact which leads to inflationary pressure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2519-2528 Issue: 19 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707290 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707290 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:19:p:2519-2528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Bonilla Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Bonilla Author-Name: Rafael Romero-Meza Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Meza Author-Name: Melvin Hinich Author-X-Name-First: Melvin Author-X-Name-Last: Hinich Title: GARCH inadequacy for modelling exchange rates: empirical evidence from Latin America Abstract: This article checks for the adequacy of using GARCH models in exchange rate series. Using the Hinich portmanteau bicorrelation test, we find that a GARCH formulation or any of its variants fails to capture the data generating process of the main Latin American exchange rates. Our results highlight the potential of having misleading public policy when estimates are based in GARCH types of models. This article also complements recent similar findings encountered in European and Asian economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2529-2533 Issue: 19 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707316 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707316 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:19:p:2529-2533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Asche Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Asche Author-Name: Shabbar Jaffry Author-X-Name-First: Shabbar Author-X-Name-Last: Jaffry Author-Name: Jessica Hartmann Author-X-Name-First: Jessica Author-X-Name-Last: Hartmann Title: Price transmission and market integration: vertical and horizontal price linkages for salmon Abstract: Relationships between prices are of interest when testing for market integration as well as analyses of supply chains. A feature that has received little attention is that if two supply chains are linked by market integration at some stage, then the whole supply chain will be linked. Furthermore, the leading price in such a system can be in one supply chain and will not be revealed in market integration studies or analysis of a single supply chain. An empirical analysis is provided for the supply chains for salmon which originates in Norway and the United Kingdom and is then sold at retail level in France as smoked salmon. We find a high degree of price transmission in both supply chains, as well as integrated markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2535-2545 Issue: 19 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500486524 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500486524 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:19:p:2535-2545 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Byers Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Byers Author-Name: James Davidson Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Davidson Author-Name: David Peel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: The long memory model of political support: some further results Abstract: This article extends the results of Byers et al. (1997) on long memory in support for the Conservative and Labour Parties in the UK using longer samples and additional poll series. It finds continuing support for the ARFIMA(0, d, 0) model, though with somewhat smaller values of the long memory parameter. We find that the move to telephone polling in the mid-1990s had no apparent effect on the estimated value of d for either party. Finally, we find that we cannot reject the hypotheses that the parties share a common long memory parameter which we estimate at around 0.65. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2547-2552 Issue: 20 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707340 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707340 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:20:p:2547-2552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Glauco De Vita Author-X-Name-First: Glauco De Author-X-Name-Last: Vita Author-Name: Andrew Abbott Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Abbott Title: Do exchange rates have any impact upon UK inward foreign direct investment? Abstract: This article examines the impact of the level and volatility of the real exchange rate on UK foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows from the seven major countries of origin of the investment over the period 1975-2001. We use both fixed effects and dynamic generalized methods of moments (GMM) panel estimation techniques, and manufacturing data disaggregated by high and low R&D content of the sector of destination. Our results provide strong evidence that exchange rate volatility has a negative impact on FDI flows into the UK, irrespective of the sector of destination of the investment. On the other hand, the level of the real exchange rate is found to have a statistically insignificant effect on FDI after controlling for endogeneity of the regressors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2553-2564 Issue: 20 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749748 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749748 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:20:p:2553-2564 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miquel Clar Author-X-Name-First: Miquel Author-X-Name-Last: Clar Author-Name: Juan-Carlos Duque Author-X-Name-First: Juan-Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Duque Author-Name: Rosina Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Rosina Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno Title: Forecasting business and consumer surveys indicators-a time-series models competition Abstract: The objective of this article is to compare different time-series methods for the short-run forecasting of Business and Consumer Survey Indicators. We consider all available data taken from the Business and Consumer Survey Indicators for the Euro area between 1985 and 2002. The main results of the forecast competition are offered not only for raw data but we also consider the effects of seasonality and removing outliers on forecast accuracy. In most cases, the univariate autoregressions were not outperformed by the other methods. As for the effect of seasonal adjustment methods and the use of data from which outliers have been removed, we obtain that the use of raw data has little effect on forecast accuracy. The forecasting performance of qualitative indicators is important since enlarging the observed time series of these indicators with forecast intervals may help in interpreting and assessing the implications of the current situation and can be used as an input in quantitative forecast models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2565-2580 Issue: 20 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690272 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690272 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:20:p:2565-2580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keith Brown Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Title: How many viewers does a cable network need? A survival analysis of cable networks Abstract: This article employs survival/duration analysis to determine how subscriber levels affect cable networks' survival probabilities. Using piecewise-constant hazards estimation, we find that an additional one million subscribers increases a cable network's probability of survival in a given year by 17%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2581-2587 Issue: 20 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707191 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707191 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:20:p:2581-2587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Seema Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Seema Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Is devaluation expansionary or contractionary? Empirical evidence from Fiji Abstract: Devaluation has been traditionally promoted as an effective tool for increasing exports and improving the external position of the devaluing country if a nominal devaluation results in expenditure switching. In this article, our aim is to model the relationship between currency devaluations and output for Fiji. Following the approach in Bahmani et al. (2002), we extend the traditional model by incorporating other monetary and fiscal policy variables. We achieve our goal by using the recently developed bounds testing approach to cointegration and the autoregressive distributed lag model and find that devaluation is expansionary in the case of Fiji. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2589-2598 Issue: 20 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707266 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707266 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:20:p:2589-2598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helder de Mendonca Author-X-Name-First: Helder Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendonca Title: Towards credibility from inflation targeting: the Brazilian experience Abstract: This article analyses the use of the basic interest rate after the adoption of inflation targeting in Brazil and the credibility of this monetary regime through two indices that consider the Cukierman and Meltzer (1986) definition for credibility. It also shows the main theoretical and practical motives for changes in the conduction of the monetary policy in the 1970s; the way that inflation targeting strategy is inserted in rules vs. discretion analysis; and the main points that characterize the literature concerning inflation targeting. The findings denote that the strategy implemented in Brazil is not a good mechanism to develop credibility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2599-2615 Issue: 20 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707324 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707324 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:20:p:2599-2615 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Odeck Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Odeck Title: Measuring technical efficiency and productivity growth: a comparison of SFA and DEA on Norwegian grain production data Abstract: This article compares data envelopment analysis and stochastic frontier analysis to assess efficiency and productivity growth of Norwegian grain producers. Previous studies have dealt with either one of them and less of both. For the assessment of productivity growth or regress, Malmquist productivity indices are derived from both approaches. The data cover a 10-year period. We find consistency between the approaches to the extent that: (1) there are potentials for efficiency improvements, but the magnitudes depends on the model applied and by segmentation of the data set, (2) there has been a productivity improvement in the sector, on average in the interval 30-38% in the period studied and (3) technical change has had the greatest impact on productivity, indicating that producers have a tendency to catch-up with the front runners. In general, policy-makers are warned not to be indifferent with respect to the approach used for efficiency and productivity measurement as these may give different results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2617-2630 Issue: 20 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600722224 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600722224 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:20:p:2617-2630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rafael Bastos Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Bastos Author-Name: Julio Pindado Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Pindado Title: An agency model to explain trade credit policy and empirical evidence Abstract: This article explains trade credit policy based on the agency theory. According to this theory, we have developed an agency model based on the adverse selection and moral hazard phenomena arising from the relation between sellers and buyers. This model has been estimated by using panel data methodology applied to UK companies. Our findings strongly support the model proposed. We find that smaller firms, those with a smaller proportion of fixed assets, and those that are less profitable extend more trade credit, whereas firms with a high proportion of variable costs and high percentage of bad debts extend less. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2631-2642 Issue: 20 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600722232 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600722232 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:20:p:2631-2642 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sean Pascoe Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Pascoe Title: Estimation of cost functions in a data poor environment: the case of capacity estimation in fisheries Abstract: Fisheries economic analysis is often handicapped by the lack of adequate data to undertake robust econometric analyses. In this study, a translog cost function was required to estimate the potential direction of adjustment in a UK fleet segment if a new regulatory regime was introduced. However, the available data were not appropriate for such estimation. Data envelopment analysis (DEA) was used to modify the data subsequently used in the estimation of the long-run cost function. The resulting model appears robust and is consistent with economic theory and the supporting evidence produced using DEA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2643-2654 Issue: 20 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600722257 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600722257 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:20:p:2643-2654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ji-Chung Yang Author-X-Name-First: Ji-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Variations of optimum firm and company town location Abstract: In the literatures of location and firm behaviour, most of the papers deal with location and theory of firms in conjunction with a heterogeneous space where markets are given at discrete points. Also, most of writers of the papers considered the optimum location problem only for an unregulated firm and industry. On the other hand, there are many regulated firms and industries in real economies. Also, we can consider a location problem of an industrial city (industry complex) which means a big company town. Many comparisons after combining some effects such as agglomeration (scale economies/diseconomies), etc. were implemented. We analysed the optimum location of industrial city (big company town) and input usage under regulatory constraint and agglomeration. We introduced an active constraint of a fair rate of return from the pioneering work of Averch and Johnson to the location problem of the big firm with multi inputs. With multi-inputs, simple one dimension locational problems are solved. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2655-2661 Issue: 20 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600722265 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600722265 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:20:p:2655-2661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Chu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: A DEA study to evaluate the relative efficiency and investigate the reorganization of the credit department of farmers' associations in Taiwan Abstract: In this study data envelopment analysis models were applied to evaluate the relative efficiencies of the credit departments of farmers' associations (CDFAs) in Taiwan. The findings show that the overall efficiency scores are not best and scale for CDFAs in Taiwan is relative small. It implies that the reorganization of the CDFAs may be appropriate if more efficient organization is to be pursued. Thus, this study investigated CDFAs reorganization to increase the efficiency. The proposed CDFAs reorganization alternatives have higher average efficiency scores than the current CDFAs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2663-2671 Issue: 20 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600722273 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600722273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:20:p:2663-2671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Lieh Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Lieh Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Chao-Hsi Huang Author-X-Name-First: Chao-Hsi Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: The persistence of Taiwan's output fluctuations: an empirical study using innovation regime-switching model Abstract: In this article we examine the persistence nature of Taiwan's aggregate output fluctuations by using the 'innovation regime-switching' (IRS) model in which the effect of an innovation may be permanent or transitory, depending on an unobservable state variable that follows a first order Markov chain. By applying the IRS model to Taiwan's real GDP data, we find that during the 1961 to 2000 period 61% (39%) of the real output shocks are likely to have permanent (transitory) effects. Moreover, the innovations in the officially identified expansion (contraction) are more likely to have a permanent (transitory) effect. These results are similar to those found in many studies of US real output fluctuations, e.g. Beaudry and Koop (1993), Kim and Nelson (1999) and Kuan et al. (2005). However, we also find that Taiwan's output dynamics have changed drastically ever since year 2000. In particular, the shocks to real GDP have become more likely to have only transitory effect, even during the period of post-2001:IV expansion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2673-2679 Issue: 20 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600735382 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600735382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:20:p:2673-2679 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ranjula Bali Swain Author-X-Name-First: Ranjula Bali Author-X-Name-Last: Swain Title: The demand and supply of credit for households Abstract: The demand and supply of credit in the rural credit markets is investigated in this article using household data from India. The aim is to study the effects of household, farm productive characteristics and the policy variables on the demand and supply of credit. A type 3 Tobit model is estimated which corrects for sample selection and endogeniety bias. In addition, a generalized Double Hurdle model is estimated where the information on the household's access to credit is included to estimate the demand and supply of credit. The results suggest that the size of the operational holdings, net-wealth, dependency ratio, educational level of the household and the wages and output prices are important determinants of the demand and supply of credit for farm households. The Double Hurdle model confirms that the 'size of land owned' plays a crucial role in whether the household has access to a loan or not. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2681-2692 Issue: 21 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749516 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749516 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:21:p:2681-2692 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Are adjustments in the default risk premium asymmetric? Abstract: This article employs threshold cointegration and error-correction models to the default risk premium. The approach allows asymmetry in the dynamic process that has not been captured in previous studies of corporate credit spreads. The results indicate that the adjustment process is asymmetric and would be beneficial to investors and macroeconomic forecasters as the default risk premium may signal future business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2693-2698 Issue: 21 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749797 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:21:p:2693-2698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Griffiths Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Griffiths Title: Forecasting income shares: are mean-reversion assumptions appropriate? Abstract: The article examines some statistical evidence that supports the view that US labour and capital shares of income return to some long-run historical values. We estimate the long-run share values and the length of time it takes to converge to them. We account for the interdependence of the shares by using a vector error-correction model, and this specification is tested against a VAR alternative using Johansen's method to characterize the properties of the cointegrating vector. We find support for the idea that labour and capital shares have historically been mean reverting, in spite of the fairly restrictive assumptions implied when invoking the Cobb-Douglas production function as the rationale. The cumulative impulse response functions indicate that for capital and labour shares, the time required to revert back to long run levels is in the order of thirty quarters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2699-2711 Issue: 21 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600722299 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600722299 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:21:p:2699-2711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez Author-Name: Indira Romero Author-X-Name-First: Indira Author-X-Name-Last: Romero Title: The role of permanent and transitory components in the fluctuations of Latin-American real exchange rates Abstract: Following the approach suggested by Engel and Kim (1999), we estimate the permanent and transitory components of the real exchange rates in four Latin-American countries for the period 1957:01 to 2002:04. Results suggest that transitory component is the driving force of the real exchange rates in Argentina and Mexico. A principal role of the permanent component is observed in the real exchange rates of Brazil and Chile. Estimates probabilities of the high-variance regime allow to identify the principal events happened in these countries. This information is closely related to nominal shocks and therefore, it explains the significant role of this component in these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2713-2722 Issue: 21 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600722349 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600722349 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:21:p:2713-2722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Dupuy Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Dupuy Title: Will the skill-premium in the Netherlands rise in the next decades? Abstract: While the skill-premium has been rising sharply in the US and the UK for 20 years, the Dutch skill-premium decreased for much of that period and only started to rise in the early 90s. In this article, we investigate whether the Dutch skill-premium will rise in the next decades. To answer this question, we forecast the skill-premium using the Katz and Murphy (1992) and the Krusell et al. (2000) models. The Katz and Murphy model (KM) explains demand shifts by skill-biased technological change in unobservable variables captured by a time trend. In contrast, the Krusell et al. model (KORV) explains demand shifts by (observable) changes in the capital stock under a capital-skill complementarity technology. The results show that while the KM model predicts that the skill-premium will have increased by 30% in 2020, based on realistic predictions of the stock of capital, the KORV model predicts that the skill-premium will remain between -5 and +5% of its 1996 level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2723-2731 Issue: 21 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749441 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749441 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:21:p:2723-2731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyongwook Choi Author-X-Name-First: Kyongwook Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Brandon Dupont Author-X-Name-First: Brandon Author-X-Name-Last: Dupont Title: Revisiting structural change and market integration in late 19th century American capital markets Abstract: This article draws on a variety of time series tools to more deeply explore issues surrounding the emergence of a national capital market in the late 19th century. Our focus is on the timing of the emergence of a national capital market. Rather than relying on the absolute narrowing of regional interest rate differentials, which is a common approach in this literature, we use Gregory and Hansen cointegration tests, which allow us not only to test for cointegrating relations in the interest rate series but to identify unknown structural change dates as a byproduct. We also use dynamic conditional correlations to determine the dates at which regional interest rate correlations began increasing. Our results suggest that structural changes are centred around the year 1900, which is consistent with Sylla's argument that the lowering of capital requirements by the Gold Standard Act of 1900 increased bank entry and competition and facilitated regional capital market convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2733-2741 Issue: 21 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749508 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749508 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:21:p:2733-2741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Mehay Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Mehay Author-Name: Natalie Webb Author-X-Name-First: Natalie Author-X-Name-Last: Webb Title: Workplace drug prevention programs: does zero tolerance work? Abstract: Current drug policy in the US military mandates frequent random drug testing of service members and dismissal of those who test positive for illegal drugs. This article analyses the economic costs and benefits of this zero tolerance policy as applied in the US Navy. Program effects consist of the actual number of detected users and the predicted number of deterred potential users. Productivity losses imposed by drug users are based on reported annual workdays lost due to drug use in the Navy. The productivity losses avoided by deterring and detecting users constitute program benefits. Program costs include the cost of replacing service members who are dismissed under the zero tolerance policy. Net benefits are sensitive to three key parameters - the deterrence effect, replacement cost, and productivity losses due to drug use. The results show that net benefits are negative for most plausible values of the key parameters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2743-2751 Issue: 21 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749532 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749532 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:21:p:2743-2751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Halkos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Halkos Author-Name: Ilias Kevork Author-X-Name-First: Ilias Author-X-Name-Last: Kevork Title: Testing for a unit root under the alternative hypothesis of ARIMA (0, 2, 1) Abstract: Showing a dual relationship between ARIMA (0, 2, 1) with parameter θ = -1 and the random walk, a new alternative hypothesis in the form of ARIMA (0, 2, 1) is established in this article for evaluating unit root tests. The power of four methods of testing for a unit root is investigated under the new alternative, using Monte Carlo simulations. The first method testing θ = -1 in second differences and using a new set of critical values suggested by the two authors in finite samples, is the most appropriate from the integration order point of view. The other three methods refer to tests based on t and φ statistics introduced by Dickey and Fuller, as well as, the nonparametric Phillips-Perron test. Additionally, for cases where for the first method a low power is met, we studied the validity of prediction interval for a future value of ARIMA (0, 2, 1) with θ close but greater of -1, using the prediction equation and the error variance of the random walk. Keeping the forecasting horizon short, the coverage of the interval ranged at expected levels, but its average half-length ranged up to four times more than its true value. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2753-2767 Issue: 21 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600735416 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600735416 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:21:p:2753-2767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaeun Shin Author-X-Name-First: Jaeun Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Author-Name: S. Moon Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Moon Title: HMO plans, self-selection and utilization of health care services Abstract: This study examines the effect of health maintenance organizations (HMOs) on the use of health care services among the privately insured, nonelderly population. To consider jointly the possible self-selection bias and high frequency of zero observations in the applied utilization measures, we accommodate the endogeneity of health plan choice decisions in the censored regression model. Using data from the 2000 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey, we find strong evidence for favourable self-selection into HMO plans. Health maintenance organization enrollment is found to encourage greater use of office-based and hospital outpatient services. Overall satisfaction with the quality of care among HMO members is relatively low compared to that among nonHMO members. These findings suggest that more effort is needed to develop management strategies in HMOs in order to contain the moral hazard in utilization and assure the quality of service provided within the network of HMO providers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2769-2784 Issue: 21 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749391 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749391 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:21:p:2769-2784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yahui Peng Author-X-Name-First: Yahui Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Kehluh Wang Author-X-Name-First: Kehluh Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: IPO underpricing and flotation methods in Taiwan - a stochastic frontier approach Abstract: Adopting stochastic frontier analysis, this article studies the pricing model and underpricing phenomenon of the initial public offerings (IPOs) in Taiwan and further elucidates the potential impact of offering mechanisms on underpricing. The sampling period is from 1996 to 2003, in which 647 IPOs are selected. Empirical results suggest that issuing firms with greater earning potentials, less risk or less asymmetric information have lower underpricing. Furthermore, the variables included to explain underpricing are mostly significant, especially the proxy variable for flotation method. Observed mean IPO underpricing is 20.59% in the sample period, compared to 17.12% for the subgroup using the auction method. This statistically significant difference implies that the introduction of the auction method can help reduce IPO underpricing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2785-2796 Issue: 21 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749417 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749417 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:21:p:2785-2796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Chu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Hsiu-Chuan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Hsiu-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Applying data envelopment analysis in analysing the organizational change for credit departments of farmers' associations in Taiwan Abstract: This study attempts to apply the data envelopment analysis to approach the performance of the credit departments of farmers' associations in Taiwan. Based on the structure of the data envelopment analysis approach, this study measures the relative efficiency for credit departments of farmers' associations in Taiwan via resource redistribution. When the amount of resource is fixed, it can be distributed to each unit within an organization in a better way. It is intended to find the possible improvements for those inefficient credit departments of farmers' associations. The empirical results show that the overall efficiency scores of the teams indicate is not best and scale for credit departments of farmers' associations in Taiwan is relatively small. It implies that the reorganization of the credit departments of farmers' associations may be appropriate if more efficient organization is to be pursued. Finally the reorganization of the credit departments of farmers' associations are studies, evidences show the results are really be improved and acceptable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2797-2805 Issue: 21 Volume: 39 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749425 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749425 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:21:p:2797-2805 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Introduction: economics of betting markets Abstract: Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-3 Issue: 1 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701728773 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701728773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:1-3 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Cain Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Cain Author-Name: David Law Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: David Peel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Bounded cumulative prospect theory: some implications for gambling outcomes Abstract: Standard parametric specifications of Cumulative Prospect theory (CPT) can explain why agents bet on longshots at actuarially unfair odds. However, the standard specification of CPT cannot explain why people might bet on more favoured outcomes, where by construction the greatest volume of money is bet. This article outlines a parametric specification than can consistently explain gambling over all outcomes. In particular we assume that the value function is bounded from above and below and that the degree of loss aversion experienced by the agent is smaller for small-stake gambles (as a proportion of wealth) than usually assumed in CPT. There are a number of new implications of this specification. Boundedness of the value function in CPT implies that the indifference curve between expected-return and win-probability for a given stake will typically exhibit both an asymptote (implying rejection of an infinite gain bet) and a minimum, as the shape of the value function dominates the probability weighting function. Also the high probability section of the indifference curve will exhibit a maximum. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701728765 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701728765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:5-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Author-Name: Jie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: D. Law Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Law Title: The Markowitz model of utility supplemented with a small degree of probability distortion as an explanation of outcomes of Allais experiments over large and small payoffs and gambling on unlikely outcomes Abstract: We show that in principal only a small degree of probability distortion is necessary for agents to exhibit the Allais paradox. We also show that the choices observed in the Allais experiments employing small real payoffs cannot be explained by Cumulative Prospect Theory without the assumption of low degrees of probability distortion that rule out gambling at unfair odds on all but the most extreme longshots in CPT. Given these points we show that the Markowitz model of utility supplemented by a small degree of probability distortion can explain the majority choices involved Allais experiments and other experiments as well as gambling at actuarially unfair odds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 17-26 Issue: 1 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701728781 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701728781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:17-26 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: T. A. Garrett Author-X-Name-First: T. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Garrett Title: Why people choose negative expected return assets - an empirical examination of a utility theoretic explanation Abstract: Using a theoretical extension of the Friedman and Savage (1948) utility function developed in Bhattacharyya (2003), we predict that for assets with negative expected returns, such as state lottery games, expected return will be a declining and convex function of skewness. That is, lottery players trade-off expected return for skewness. Using two samples of lottery game data, we find that our theoretical conclusions are supported by the empirical results. The findings obtained here not only contribute to the literature on why individuals may participate in unfair gambles, the framework could be extended to an analysis of the stock market where higher returns cannot be solely explained by risk (variance). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 27-34 Issue: 1 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701335587 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701335587 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:27-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kathryn Combs Author-X-Name-First: Kathryn Author-X-Name-Last: Combs Author-Name: Jaebeom Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jaebeom Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: John Spry Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Spry Title: The relative regressivity of seven lottery games Abstract: We study the implicit tax incidence of raising state revenue through a monopoly state-run lottery using a new dataset on individual Minnesota lottery game sales by zip code. We use the bootstrap to compute SEs and construct confidence intervals for Suits Indices of seven lottery products. We conclude that the implicit tax on each product is regressive, and find statistically significant differences in regressivity between some products. Minnesota's newly introduced G3 instant scratch product, printed at time and place of purchase, is also the most regressive lottery game. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 35-39 Issue: 1 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850701439327 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13504850701439327 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:35-39 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cary Deck Author-X-Name-First: Cary Author-X-Name-Last: Deck Author-Name: Jungmin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jungmin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Javier Reyes Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Reyes Title: Risk attitudes in large stake gambles: evidence from a game show Abstract: This article estimates the degree of risk aversion of contestants appearing on 'Vas o No Vas', the Mexican version of 'Deal or No Deal'. We consider both dynamic agents, who fully backward induct and myopic agents that only look forward one period. Further, we vary the level of forecasting sophistication by the agents. We find substantial evidence of risk aversion, the degree of which is more modest than what is typically reported in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 41-52 Issue: 1 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701235704 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701235704 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:41-52 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lisa Farrell Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Farrell Author-Name: David Forrest Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Forrest Title: Measuring displacement effects across gaming products: a study of Australian gambling markets Abstract: This article seeks to establish the extent of displacement effects across gaming products. This is a particularly difficult question to address with precision. To date, many studies have looked at policy changes such as the introduction of a new product into the market to assess the severity of displacement effects. However, simple before and after comparisons are invalid. One needs to know what the appropriate counterfactual would have been in the absence of the policy change - which by its very nature is unobservable. The alternative is to look at identical populations exposed to different regimes. Australia represents such a natural experiment. In Australia, Betting and Gaming legislation is determined at the state level, giving rise to some interesting differentials across states within a single country. This article estimates a state level (fixed effects) panel data model, exploiting the intra-state differences in the portfolio of gaming products available, to estimate the extent of displacement effects across the gaming sector. The results are particularly relevant to the current UK policy debate, which is focused on the potential impact on the existing market following a forthcoming, radical deregulation of the industry (with further liberalization proposed). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 53-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701591379 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701591379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:53-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hasret Benar Author-X-Name-First: Hasret Author-X-Name-Last: Benar Author-Name: Glenn Jenkins Author-X-Name-First: Glenn Author-X-Name-Last: Jenkins Title: The economics of casino taxation Abstract: In this article, a model of the costs of a casino is developed that focuses on the implications for economic welfare of different taxation schemes for casinos. The situation being considered is in a country where casinos cater exclusively to foreign tourists. The goal of the country is to determine the maximum amount of taxes that can be extracted from the activities of this sector under different systems of taxation. When the price of gambling is set by regulation above its competitive level, the economic losses created by excessive investment in the sector can be reduced by taxation. A turnover tax on the amount gambled can maximize both tax revenue and the economic welfare of the country. Due to administrative constraints, a number of countries rely on the taxation of the casinos' fixed assets or a combination of a turnover tax and a tax on fixed costs. The model is applied to the situation in North Cyprus. The annual economic efficiency loss from its poorly designed tax policies on casino gambling is estimated to be about 0.5% of GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 63-73 Issue: 1 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749656 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749656 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:63-73 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Winter Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Winter Author-Name: Martin Kukuk Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Kukuk Title: Do horses like vodka and sponging? - On market manipulation and the favourite-longshot bias Abstract: One of the most striking empirical patterns of horse race betting markets is the favourite-longshot bias: Bets on favourites have dramatically higher expected returns than bets on longshots. The literature offers a couple of different, though not mutually exclusive, explanations based on risk preferences and probability perceptions. This article adds a new possible explanation: The favourite-longshot bias may be the rational answer of an honest audience to a simple, but highly lucrative cheating opportunity of insiders. We provide anecdotal evidence that the type of cheating we model here really takes place. What is more, by employing a large scale German data set we are able to demonstrate that the pattern of the favourite-longshot bias changes as the opportunity of cheating vanishes. The changes we observe are in accord with the cheating model we suggest. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 75-87 Issue: 1 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701731538 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701731538 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:75-87 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marshall Gramm Author-X-Name-First: Marshall Author-X-Name-Last: Gramm Author-Name: C. Nicholas McKinney Author-X-Name-First: C. Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: McKinney Author-Name: Douglas Owens Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Owens Title: The efficiency of exotic wagers in racetrack betting Abstract: Many empirical studies have found the existence of a bias where the general public overestimates low probability events. This phenomenon has been termed the favourite-longshot bias and has been much studied in betting markets. This article looks at efficiency in multihorse 'exotic' wagers using 11 194 races run at 35 U.S. racetracks. We find the standard favourite-longshot in exacta wagers (involves picking the first two finishers in order). Results are unclear for trifecta wagers (picking the first three finishers in order). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 89-97 Issue: 1 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701466085 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701466085 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:89-97 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. Graham Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Graham Author-Name: H. Stott Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Stott Title: Predicting bookmaker odds and efficiency for UK football Abstract: The efficiency of gambling markets has frequently been questioned. In order to investigate the rationality of bookmaker odds, we use an ordered probit model to generate predictions for English football matches and compare these predictions with the odds of UK bookmaker William Hill. Further, we develop a model that predicts bookmaker odds. Combining a predictive model based on results and a bookmaker model based on previous quoted odds allows us to compare directly William Hill opinion of various teams with the team ratings generated by the predictive model. We also compare the objective value of individual home advantage and distance travelled with the value attributed to these factors by bookmakers. We show that there are systematic biases in bookmaker odds, and that these biases cannot be explained by William Hill odds omitting valuable, or excluding extraneous, information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 99-109 Issue: 1 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701728799 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701728799 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:99-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaos Vlastakis Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Vlastakis Author-Name: George Dotsis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Dotsis Author-Name: Raphael Markellos Author-X-Name-First: Raphael Author-X-Name-Last: Markellos Title: Nonlinear modelling of European football scores using support vector machines Abstract: This article explores the linear and nonlinear forecastability of European football match scores using IX2 and Asian Handicap odds data from the English Premier league. To this end, we compare the performance of a Poisson count regression to that of a nonparametric Support Vector Machine (SVM) model. Our descriptive analysis of the odds and match outcomes indicates that these variables are strongly interrelated in a nonlinear fashion. An interesting finding is that the size of the Asian Handicap appears to be a significant predictor of both home and away team scores. The modelling results show that while the SVM is only marginally superior on the basis of statistical criteria, it manages to produce out-of-sample forecasts with much higher economic significance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 111-118 Issue: 1 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701731546 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701731546 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:111-118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Forrest Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Forrest Author-Name: Robert Simmons Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Simmons Title: Sentiment in the betting market on Spanish football Abstract: We employ a sample of over 3000 bets available on matches from the top tier of Spanish football in an examination of the efficiency of betting odds offered in the on-line betting market. Odds appear to be influenced by the relative number of fans of each club in a match, with supporters of the more popular team offered more favourable terms on their wagers. We report similar findings for a sample of games from Scotland. The results contrast with studies of American sports betting markets but are consistent with competitive behaviour by profit maximizing bookmakers in a market where bettors can choose between several operators. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 119-126 Issue: 1 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701522895 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701522895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:1:p:119-126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bob Barnes Author-X-Name-First: Bob Author-X-Name-Last: Barnes Title: A Cointegrating approach to budget deficits and long-term interest rates Abstract: A cointegrating approach is undertaken in this study to determine if there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between budget deficits and long-term interest rates for the United States and nine European countries. The cointegration approach consists of conducting cointegration tests and then testing several hypothesized values for the deficit and price expectations variables. The cointegration results suggest the existence of several significant cointegrating vectors for each of the ten countries, which would seem to appeal to the view of budget deficits having a positive impact on long-term interest rates. The hypothesized values for the deficit and price expectations variables are found to be too strict since the hypotheses are rejected in every case but one. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 127-133 Issue: 2 Volume: 40 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749722 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2007:i:2:p:127-133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Flexible trend-cycle decomposition of nonstationary multivariate time series Abstract: A flexible method for the trend-cycle decomposition of nonstationary multivariate time series is proposed. In this method, each time series is decomposed into a common or individual stochastic trend, a common or individual stationary cycle, and observation noise components. The combination of variables for a common trend or for a common cycle and the introduction of economic-theory-based trend are flexible and determined using the Akaike information criterion. Simulation results suggest that the proposed method works well, and two examples are shown to illustrate the efficacy of the proposed method, particularly by investigating the predictive accuracy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 135-147 Issue: 2 Volume: 40 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749573 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749573 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2007:i:2:p:135-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Van der Meer Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Van der Meer Title: Is the gender wage gap declining in the Netherlands? Abstract: In this paper I try to answer the question whether the gender wage gap in the Netherlands is declining. I posed this question because on several other indicators labour market differences between men and women in the Netherlands declined or disappeared altogether. First of all the labour market participation of women has increased and women on the labour market are no longer a small minority. Second, the difference in productive characteristics between men and women is disappearing. Third, both product and labour markets have become increasingly competitive, due to changes in regulation like anti-trust laws, which should have an effect on the gender wage gap. Contrary to these expectations I did not find a declining gender wage gap. The data in Dutch Institute for Labour Studies (OSA) labour supply panel show a steady gender gap of approximately nineteen per cent. At most twenty-five to thirty per cent of the gap can be explained by productivity differences. The largest part of the gender wage gap is due to 'price' differences. Both cross-section and panel analyses give the same answer. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 149-160 Issue: 2 Volume: 40 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749557 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749557 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2007:i:2:p:149-160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Titus Awokuse Author-X-Name-First: Titus Author-X-Name-Last: Awokuse Title: Trade openness and economic growth: is growth export-led or import-led? Abstract: Most previous investigations have only focused on the effect of export expansion on economic growth while ignoring the potential growth-enhancing contribution of imports. This article re-examines the relationship between trade and economic growth in Argentina, Colombia, and Peru with emphasis on both the role of exports and imports. Granger causality tests and impulse response functions were used to examine whether growth in trade stimulate economic growth (or vice versa). The results suggest that the singular focus of past studies on exports as the engine of growth may be misleading. Although there is some empirical evidence supporting export-led growth, the empirical support for import-led growth hypothesis is relatively stronger. In some cases, there is also evidence for reverse causality from gross domestic product growth to exports and imports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 161-173 Issue: 2 Volume: 40 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749490 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749490 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2007:i:2:p:161-173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: The long and short of money: short-run dynamics within a structural model Abstract: Empirical examinations into aggregate money demand functions, generally, incorporate a monetary aggregate as the dependent variable. While this custom may be inefficient, it does not create any new difficulties for estimating the demand function's long-run parameters, as money supply would equal money demand. The short-run estimates, however, are not as fortunate. As the monetary aggregate is a measure of supply and not demand, one needs to tease out the short-run responses associated with money demand changes with those which are associated with monetary supply shocks. The present article, therefore, proposes a more complete representation of monetary sector behaviour and in doing so, finds significant support for the so-called buffer stock money demand models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 175-192 Issue: 2 Volume: 40 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749805 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749805 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2007:i:2:p:175-192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Moons Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Moons Author-Name: A. Van Poeck Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Van Poeck Title: Does one size fit all? A Taylor-rule based analysis of monetary policy for current and future EMU members Abstract: This article uses the Taylor rule to examine the appropriateness of European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate policy for the initial European Monetary Union (EMU) members and the 10 new EMU member states some of whom are expected to join the Eurozone in 2006-2007. Specifically it addresses three questions. (1) Are there differences between the interest rate aggregated from the Taylor interest rates of individual member states in the euro area and the interest rate set by the ECB? (2) For which countries do the desired interest rates according to the original Taylor rule and the interest rate of the euro area differ most and in which respect? (3) The last question is whether the interest rate gaps change over time. We find that the ECB's policy does not fit individual EMU members equally well and this result is unlikely to be changed with the addition of the 10 new members, which will have only a marginal effect on the ECB interest rate stance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 193-199 Issue: 2 Volume: 40 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749763 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2007:i:2:p:193-199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ai-Chi Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Ai-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Shu-Chin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The hurdle models choice between truncated normal and lognormal Abstract: The purpose of this article is to compare and evaluate statistical models for corner solution applications of censored regression. Generally, a double-hurdle model is better than one-part model. Cragg (1971) suggests a double-hurdle model, the truncated normal model, is widely used. However, the lognormal model is easy to have the economic interpretation than the Cragg's model. We use the simulation and empirical data to test both the models. The results show that the lognormal model is usually more robust than the truncated normal model. While the lognormal model has valuable application in censored data, its potential usefulness should not be overlooked. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 201-207 Issue: 2 Volume: 40 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749581 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2007:i:2:p:201-207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chen-Hsiu Laih Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Hsiu Author-X-Name-Last: Laih Author-Name: Kuan-Yu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Kuan-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Economics on the optimal n-step toll scheme for a queuing port Abstract: This article establishes a series of the optimal n-step toll schemes (where n = 1, 2, 3, …) which are levied to container ships for a queuing port. Container ships' arrival times at the port will be rationally dispersed after pricing the optimal n-step toll schemes. Consequently, the queuing time at the anchorage to all container ships will be rationally decreased. This article also shows the regularities in arrival time values, equilibrium values of queuing and operating costs, and decisions of arrival time adjustment under the optimal n-step toll schemes. All of these are important information if the port queuing pricing is planned to put into practice by the authorities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 209-228 Issue: 2 Volume: 40 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749870 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2007:i:2:p:209-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoon-Jun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yoon-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Jeong-Dong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Technology strategy for enhancing the public-to-private technology transfer: evidence from the duration of patent Abstract: Patents are typically characterized as assets of great values. Nevertheless, there are many patents that are actually never used. In this article, we claim that there is a relationship between the duration of patents and the characteristics of the underlying invention. From the viewpoint of Public Research Institutes, the duration of patents may be a proxy of probability of technology transfer because the long lived patents have higher value and more chances to be transferred. We characterize the patents along different dimensions captured by the renewal and application data, i.e. collaboration, scope, competitiveness and attractiveness. The results of hazard rate duration analysis tell us that long lived patents are characterized by being more focused, having more competitiveness, and being more collaborative. In addition, it is analysed that patents in chemical industry expire faster than those in electrical/electronic industry. Though this fact is against the general intuition, it may be reasonable from a viewpoint of technology transfer. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 229-240 Issue: 2 Volume: 40 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749854 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749854 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2007:i:2:p:229-240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salvador Gil-Pareja Author-X-Name-First: Salvador Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Pareja Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Price convergence in the European car market Abstract: This article examines price convergence in the European Union (EU) car market over the period 1995 to 2005. We find that there is a clear evidence of price convergence among the EU15 countries, but not before 1999. Moreover, countries of the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) started convergence previously to the EU15 as a whole. Finally, exchange rate changes have significantly contributed to price dispersion over time across countries. The results provide significant evidence that trade liberalization and the EMU have enhanced the process of regional integration in the European automobile industry, even though there is room for further measures to promote integration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 241-250 Issue: 2 Volume: 40 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749847 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749847 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2007:i:2:p:241-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: HuiChen Chiang Author-X-Name-First: HuiChen Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Title: Financial intermediary's choice of borrowing Abstract: This research investigates several dynamic stochastic models of a bank's management problem of the term structures of its assets and liabilities. A bank can either eliminate most of its interest risk with appropriate options, or it can utilize its expertise in its core business and seek extraordinary profits. This research concerns a bank with the latter goal. In this model, the bank seeks to maximize the expected present value of dividend issued subject to the Federal Reserve's regulatory constraint and liquidity constraint. With this model, we find that if the available deposits are not too high and the level of liquid assets is high enough, then it is optimal for a bank to accept all of the available deposits. However, if the level of liquid assets is too low, then a bank should not issue a dividend or to accept any deposits. The properties are still valid even if the bank is not risk neutral. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 251-260 Issue: 2 Volume: 40 Year: 2007 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749706 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749706 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2007:i:2:p:251-260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lukas Menkhoff Author-X-Name-First: Lukas Author-X-Name-Last: Menkhoff Author-Name: Rafael Rebitzky Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Rebitzky Author-Name: Michael Schroder Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Schroder Title: Do dollar forecasters believe too much in PPP? Abstract: This article extends earlier studies on exchange-rate expectations' formation by using new data and adding information about forecasters' reliance on fundamental analysis for the first time. We replicate the conventional result of nonrational expectations. Moreover, biases in expectations are identified as professionals significantly believe too much in mean reversion, mean being represented by purchasing power parity (PPP). When respondents are grouped on their reliance to fundamental analysis, fundamentalists reveal an even stronger bias. Those, who rely the least on fundamentals - preferring technical analysis instead - show a significantly smaller bias towards PPP in lieu of expecting too much trend extrapolation. Biased beliefs will grow stronger when the US Dollar is further away from PPP. Finally, the accuracy of the expectations is poor for both groups, however, we find directional forecasting ability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 261-270 Issue: 3 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500428153 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500428153 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:3:p:261-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. -H. Cheng Author-X-Name-First: I. -H. Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Y. -Y. Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Y. -Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Title: Estimating the staged effects of regional economic integration on trade volumes Abstract: This article compares various specifications of the gravity model of trade, which are commonly used in the literature. It shows that most of them can be regarded as nested versions of a general specification in which the heterogeneity of bilateral country-pair fixed effects is accounted for. This article constructs a modified gravity model in which both the conventional gravity variables and price-effect variable are included. It intends to discuss the trend of the effects of the enlargement and enhancement of regional blocs, particularly taking account of the staged effects to investigate the effects of regional economic agreements on trade volumes. The differences of the effects across regional blocs are investigated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 383-393 Issue: 3 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600606252 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600606252 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:3:p:383-393 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murali Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Murali Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: Jack Houston Author-X-Name-First: Jack Author-X-Name-Last: Houston Author-Name: James Bukenya Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Bukenya Title: Assessing the impacts of stochastic trend in crop acreage supply response model Abstract: This paper demonstrates the need to revisit the way a technical change has been incorporated in a crop acreage supply response model. Three different versions of technological change were introduced and compared: no trend, deterministic trend, and stochastic trend. The results confirm the need to treat a technology variable as a stochastic trend for better results in crop acreage supply response model specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 295-302 Issue: 3 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461881 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461881 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:3:p:295-302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inung Jung Author-X-Name-First: Inung Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Philip Gayle Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Gayle Author-Name: Dale Lehman Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Lehman Title: Competition and investment in telecommunications Abstract: This study examines the relationship between competition and investment by Incumbert Local Exchange Carriers (ILECs) in US telecommunications markets. A panel data model and a dynamic panel data model that have not been used in previous studies are applied in this analysis. Results of the panel data model suggest that investment by ILECs is positively related to the market share of Competitive Local Exchange Carriers (CLECs), and negatively to the absolute number of CLECs. However, once the persistence in ILECs' investment behaviour is controlled for using the dynamic model, our measures of the existing competition from CLECs, at best, have a weak effect on ILECs' investment. Therefore, while strengthening competition in the telecom sector may be key to restoring telecom investment, it is uncertain that competition spurred by the mandatory sharing policy in this sector stimulates ILECs' incentives to invest in new infrastructure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 303-313 Issue: 3 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600592882 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600592882 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:3:p:303-313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ben Groom Author-X-Name-First: Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Groom Author-Name: Phoebe Koundouri Author-X-Name-First: Phoebe Author-X-Name-Last: Koundouri Author-Name: Celine Nauges Author-X-Name-First: Celine Author-X-Name-Last: Nauges Author-Name: Alban Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Alban Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: The story of the moment: risk averse cypriot farmers respond to drought management Abstract: This article illustrates the importance of estimating risk preferences when evaluating water policy. Using agricultural production data from the Kiti region of Cyprus we estimate farmers' risk preferences a la Antle (Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 1, 192-201, 1983, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 69, 509-22, 1987) and show sensitivity to higher order moments of profit, such as skewness. We show that farmers in the Kiti region are risk averse with risk premiums in the region of 20% of expected profit. We use these estimates to analyse the impact of a water quota from the perspective of three policy-makers who differ only in their understanding of farmers' risk preferences. We show in the case of Kiti that policy-makers who model risk preferences incorrectly, that is, either; (a) assume risk neutrality or; (b) ignore down-side risk, wrongly predict the magnitude and direction of input responses and therefore the magnitude of welfare changes. This highlights the importance of accommodating preferences for higher order moments of profit in the evaluation of water policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 315-326 Issue: 3 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600592916 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600592916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:3:p:315-326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marie-Estelle Binet Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Estelle Author-X-Name-Last: Binet Title: Optimal local taxation and French municipal tax distortions Abstract: This article presents both theoretical and empirical findings in the field of optimal local taxation i.e. neutral in locational decision. This topic should throw light on the question of tax policy and tax reform. We extend Wildasin's (1987) model, including mobile capital. In this way, we include his marginal cost of congestion taxation rule relating to mobile households (Proposition 1). This extension provides us with a new rule (Proposition 2): the optimal share-out of taxes among household residents and firms in municipalities. To illustrate these results, we discuss the French municipal tax system properties and we pick out its main distortions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 327-332 Issue: 3 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500427874 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500427874 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:3:p:327-332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Hinrichs Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Hinrichs Author-Name: Oliver Musshoff Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Musshoff Author-Name: Martin Odening Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Odening Title: Economic hysteresis in hog production Abstract: German hog production only responds in a very limited way to price fluctuations in the pork market. The hog production concentrates on a few regions though it is not bound to special natural conditions such as soil quality. Furthermore, the volume of production does not vary over time. Relatively high market risks, sunk costs and the flexibility of the decision maker to defer investments characterize decision problems in hog production. Thus the real option approach is chosen to explain the inertia in production capacity. By the use of panel data of specialized hog farms from the German Farm Accountancy Data Network, an empirical investment model is estimated. Formally, the model has the structure of a generalized ordered probit model. This approach allows to test for economic hysteresis in the adjustment of hog production capacity. The results confirm that uncertainty and flexibility widen the optimal range of inaction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 333-340 Issue: 3 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447880 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447880 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:3:p:333-340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Miles Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Miles Title: Exchange rates, inflation and growth in small, open economies: a difference-in-differences approach Abstract: Financial crises in emerging markets have led many observers to recommend abandoning fixed exchange rates and adopting more flexible regimes. Moreover, some recent research suggests that the correct exchange rate regime may have a significant effect on inflation and even economic growth. The estimated effect found in such studies, however, likely suffers from an upward bias, as countries which choose a given exchange rate regime have other hard-to-measure policies and attributes which also affect economic performance. Utilizing a recent data set on actual, as opposed to official exchange rate regimes, this article employs the difference-in-differences method, currently popular in applied microeconomics, to a set of emerging markets that switched to more flexible currency policies. Results indicate that, contrary to previous studies, exchange rates themselves exert no significant impact on inflation or output. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 341-348 Issue: 3 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600639881 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600639881 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:3:p:341-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Title: Bridging the gap between the measurement of poverty and of deprivation Abstract: One way of measuring the deprivation or poverty of persons is to use money based measures: a person is regarded as 'poor' if his/her income (or expenditure) falls below a poverty line value. Such an approach-usually termed 'poverty analysis'-has spawned a large literature embodying several sophisticated measures of poverty. The downside to this is that low income or expenditure may not be very good indicators of deprivation. Another way, usually termed 'deprivation analysis', is to define an index whose value, for each person, is the number (or proportion) of items, from a prescribed list, that he/she possesses: persons are then regarded as 'deprived' if their index value is below some threshold value. This offers an alternative method of identifying deprived persons. The downside of deprivation analysis is that it measures deprivation exclusively in terms of the proportion of deprived persons in the total number of persons. The purpose of this paper is to bridge the gap between poverty and deprivation analysis by constructing a wider set of deprivation measures and showing, with data for Northern Ireland, how they might be applied. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 349-356 Issue: 3 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500426926 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500426926 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:3:p:349-356 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyun Joung Jin Author-X-Name-First: Hyun Joung Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Jang-Chul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jang-Chul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The effects of the BSE outbreak on the security values of US agribusiness and food processing firms Abstract: A case of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) was found on December, 2003 in the United States, which affected offshore and domestic demands for US beef. This study evaluates the effects of the BSE outbreak on the security values of the US agribusiness and food processing firms, using an event study. Empirical results indicate that the beef industry was significantly, negatively affected, but other meat industries benefited significantly. For the sectors not immediately involved with beef products, the effects were small or negligible. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 357-372 Issue: 3 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461824 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461824 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:3:p:357-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juthathip Jongwanich Author-X-Name-First: Juthathip Author-X-Name-Last: Jongwanich Title: Real exchange rate overvaluation and currency crisis: evidence from Thailand Abstract: This article examines real exchange rate (RER) misalignment in Thailand in the lead-up to the 1997-1998 currency crisis. The methodology involves estimating the long-run equilibrium RER based on the internal and external balance approach. RER misalignment is measured by comparing the actual RER with the estimated long-run equilibrium RER. The results suggest that there was a persistent RER overvaluation from 1991 up to the onset of the crisis in 1997. 'Too much' net short-term capital inflows and government expenditure expansion were the main contributory factors. After the massive depreciation of nominal exchange rate during the crisis, the RER seems to have gradually returned to its long-run equilibrium level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 373-382 Issue: 3 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600570961 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600570961 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:3:p:373-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Min-Hsien Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Min-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Author-Name: Jo-Yu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jo-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Regime switching cointegration tests for the Asian stock index futures: evidence for MSCI Taiwan, Nikkei 225, Hong Kong Hang-Seng, and SGX Straits Times indices Abstract: This study applies a cointegration system that considers regime shifts in order to study the long-run relationship between the stock index and stock index futures markets. The MSCI Taiwan, Nikkei 225, Hong Kong Hang-Seng, and Singapore Exchange (SGX) Straits Times indices are examined. The empirical evidence shows that the cointegration system with regime shifts performs better than the usual cointegration system without considering regime shifts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 285-293 Issue: 3 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500400251 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500400251 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:3:p:285-293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luiz de Mello Author-X-Name-First: Luiz Author-X-Name-Last: de Mello Title: Estimating a fiscal reaction function: the case of debt sustainability in Brazil Abstract: This article reviews recent trends in fiscal performance in Brazil, estimates fiscal reaction functions for the consolidated public sector and different levels of government, and tests for the sustainability of the public debt dynamics. The empirical analysis, based on monthly data for the period 1995-2004, suggests that all levels of government react strongly to changes in indebtedness by adjusting their primary budget surplus targets. In addition, the central government appears to follow a spend-and-tax policy: changes in revenue are affected strongly by expenditure. About two-thirds of changes in primary spending are offset by higher revenue over the longer term. Institutions are also found to matter for fiscal sustainability. The responsiveness of the sub-national fiscal stance to indebtedness, as well as that of central government revenue to changes in primary spending, appears to have become stronger after 1998, when ceilings on indebtedness were introduced. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 271-284 Issue: 3 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500461873 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500461873 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:3:p:271-284 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elyas Elyasiani Author-X-Name-First: Elyas Author-X-Name-Last: Elyasiani Author-Name: Wanli Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Wanli Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: International interdependence of an emerging market: the case of Iran Abstract: In this study the interdependence between Iran, its major trading partners and the United States is investigated using vector autoregression, generalized impulse response function and generalized variance decomposition techniques, introduced by Pesaran and Shin (1998). These techniques have an advantage over the commonly used impulse response and variance decomposition procedures in that they are insensitive to the ordering of the countries considered and hence, they produce more reliable results. The countries included in the sample, besides Iran are, France, Germany, Spain, Japan, South Korea, Brazil, Italy and the United States. The direction, strength, durability and stability of the effect of shocks in one market on the return patterns of the other markets are examined. The findings are 4-fold. First, the effect of past own market shocks on current behaviour is significant, beyond the first month, in most cases. Second, the own effect is stronger for the emerging markets such as Iran and Brazil, than the industrialized countries. Third, cross-country effects are short-lived for Brazil, Korea and Japan, but durable in the case of Iran, Germany, Spain and the United States. Fourth, in terms of breadth and strength, cross-country effects exhibit differential degrees of interdependence and asymmetry. The observed lack of integration between the Iranian market and the industrialized world makes it less vulnerable to the effect of shocks in the latter countries but it also deprives it from the flow of funds that could spur economic development and growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 395-412 Issue: 4 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707027 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707027 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:4:p:395-412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Biing-Hwan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Biing-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: Consumer knowledge, food label use and grain consumption in the US Abstract: Responding to mounting evidence of the association between whole-grain consumption and a reduced risk of heart problems and other diseases, as well as an increased probability of body weight maintenance, the US Government has strongly encouraged its citizens to increase consumption of whole grains. However, compared against the 2005 Federal dietary recommendations, in 1994-1996 only 6% of Americans met the current recommended whole-grain consumption. To narrow this huge gap between actual and recommended consumption of whole grains, considerable changes in consumer behaviour will be needed. A demand system with two censored consumption equations and endogenous food label use and nutrition knowledge variables is estimated to investigate the factors that affect the consumption of whole and refined grains. Food label use and nutrition knowledge are found to play important roles in the consumption of refined- and whole-grain products, as are sociodemographic variables. The results can be used to help develop effective nutrition education messages and targeting strategies to promote consumption of whole grains in Americans' diets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 437-448 Issue: 4 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690298 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690298 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:4:p:437-448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yujing Shen Author-X-Name-First: Yujing Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Choice of a regular physician and health care utilization: principal-agent issues for American veterans Abstract: Using US Veterans Health Administration (VA) data, we examined factors that affected patients choice of regular physicians and how the location of regular physicians influenced patients health care use. Appropriate estimation methods were applied to control for the endogeneity of patients choice of regular physicians. Our study showed that VA enrollees with regular VA physicians were more likely to use VA for inpatient care while those with regular nonVA physicians were more likely to use VA for special care such as pharmacy or mental health/substance abuse treatment, both of which can have very limited coverage in nonVA settings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 449-463 Issue: 4 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707134 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707134 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:4:p:449-463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tahir Abdi Author-X-Name-First: Tahir Author-X-Name-Last: Abdi Title: Machinery & equipment investment and growth: evidence from the Canadian manufacturing sector Abstract: New Growth Theory points to three potential influences on output and productivity growth-investment in human capital, R&D and investment in machinery and equipment (M&E). However, much of the literature focuses on human capital and R&D as sources of growth. Few efforts have been made to estimate the impact of M&E investment. This article presents empirical models that endeavour to fill this gap. Using panel data on 20 Canadian manufacturing industries (1961-1997) and time-series data (1961-2000) for the entire Canadian manufacturing sector, this article finds that the elasticities of output with respect to M&E capital stock and M&E investment are well above capital's share of national income suggested by a constant-returns-to-scale Cobb-Douglas production function. However, the coefficient on labour is near its income share. The results also suggest that M&E investment is not the only source of growth because the elasticity of output with respect to structures investment is also well above its income share, indicating the possible existence of complementarities between the two types of capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 465-478 Issue: 4 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690215 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690215 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:4:p:465-478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minoas Koukouritakis Author-X-Name-First: Minoas Author-X-Name-Last: Koukouritakis Author-Name: Leo Michelis Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: Michelis Title: The term structure of interest rates in the 12 newest EU countries Abstract: This article uses cointegration and common trends techniques to investigate empirically the expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates for the 10 new EU countries, along with Bulgaria and Romania. The empirical results support the expectations theory of the term structure for all countries except Malta. By decomposing each term structure into its transitory and permanent components, we also analyse short-run and long-run interdependence among the term structures of interest rates in these countries. Our results indicate only weak linkages among the term structures of the 10 new EU countries and strong linkages between Bulgaria and Romania joined the EU in 2007. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 479-490 Issue: 4 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690249 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690249 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:4:p:479-490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Chung Nieh Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Nieh Author-Name: Jeng-Bau Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jeng-Bau Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yu-Shan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Shan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Regime-switching analysis for the impacts of exchange rate volatility on corporate values: a Taiwanese case Abstract: A second-moment, regime-switching model with not only a switching intercept and a switching slope, but also a switching error variance, is applied to examine the impacts of exchange rate volatility (ERV) on corporate values (CV) for the 10 industries investigated in Taiwan. Two different regimes categorized as strong-impact and weak-impact are identified. The dominant power varies from one industry to another. The Wald statistics for the null of equality are ambiguous, which show that if the Markov-switching (MS) model is plausible, then the ERV might not be one major factor, but another factor that could switch the CV of Taiwan's industries. For the model's volatility influence, the data of 8 out of 10 industries are shown to fit a two-state model when the volatility is stimulated. A two-state, first-order MS model is appropriate for the 'goodness of fit' analysis at the 10% significant level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 491-504 Issue: 4 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690066 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:4:p:491-504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carsten Lynge Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Lynge Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Author-Name: Bernt Aarset Author-X-Name-First: Bernt Author-X-Name-Last: Aarset Title: Explaining noncompliance in the Norwegian coastal cod fishery: an application of the multinomial logit Abstract: Establishing motive is central to the analysis of criminal behaviour. This article analyses the range of motives for noncompliant behaviour among coastal cod fishermen. A multinomial logit model is employed to analyse the reasons that underlie various motives. The four motives compared in this study are economic, technological and social and motives caused by bureaucracy and legitimacy problems. The economic motive is found to be most important for coastal fishermen. However, the cross-sectional data indicate that motives vary with fishing gear, vessel length and fishermen's age. The results indicate that identifying motives for noncompliant behaviour is not straightforward but is important for reducing the extent of infringements of the regulations. Fishermen who use gill net, seine and long line, for example, are more often motivated to noncompliance by technical problems and bureaucracy than hand-jig fishers. The study suggests that in order to prevent noncompliance behaviour, the authorities' management policy should be designed to address the problems encountered by different categories of fishers. For example, offences that are committed because of technical problems should be resolved by increasing the involvement of fishermen in the process of drawing up regulations, whereas offences motivated by economic factors should be reduced by increasing inspections. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 505-513 Issue: 4 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600606245 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600606245 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:4:p:505-513 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Obiyathulla Ismath Bacha Author-X-Name-First: Obiyathulla Ismath Author-X-Name-Last: Bacha Title: A common currency area for ASEAN? issues and feasibility Abstract: This article examines the feasibility of a Common Currency Area (CCA) for ASEAN and the broader ASEAN +5. Using macro-economic data for 14 East Asian countries over the 34-year period 1970-2003, this article addresses whether a Euro style CCA would be well suited for these countries. Issues such as the costs and benefits involved and which countries may be best suited are examined. Previous literature on currency unions have identified synchronous business cycles, similarity in inflation levels and policy congruence to be among essential preconditions. A Vector Autoregression Model and Correlation Analysis is used to examine common linkages among the 14 sample countries. Impulse response functions and variance decomposition is used to identify potential candidates among the 14 countries. The results show an absence of broad-based common linkages. Instead, several paired clusters are identified as potential candidates. The results imply that while a region-wide CCA may not now be feasible, a strategy of beginning with paired clusters and then expanding may be a logical progression if a currency union is a desired objective. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 515-529 Issue: 4 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600675653 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600675653 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:4:p:515-529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charlene Kalenkoski Author-X-Name-First: Charlene Author-X-Name-Last: Kalenkoski Title: Parent-child bargaining, parental transfers, and the post-secondary education decision Abstract: Schooling decisions are often modelled within a unitary preference framework. In this article, an alternative to the unitary preference model is proposed in which parents and child have conflicting preferences over parental transfers and the level of post-secondary schooling and participate in cooperative bargaining as a means of resolving this conflict. Comparisons of the implications of the bargaining and unitary preference models motivate tests of parental altruism and income pooling. To test these hypotheses, reduced form transfer and schooling equations are estimated using data from the High School and Beyond Surveys. The evidence suggests that the unitary preference model be rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 413-436 Issue: 4 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600690264 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600690264 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:4:p:413-436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karel Jan Alsem Author-X-Name-First: Karel Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Alsem Author-Name: Steven Brakman Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Brakman Author-Name: Lex Hoogduin Author-X-Name-First: Lex Author-X-Name-Last: Hoogduin Author-Name: Gerard Kuper Author-X-Name-First: Gerard Author-X-Name-Last: Kuper Title: The impact of newspapers on consumer confidence: does spin bias exist? Abstract: It is sometimes argued that news reports in the media suffer from biased reporting. Mullainathan and Shleifer (2002, 2005) argue that there are two types of media bias. One bias, called ideology, reflects a news outlet's desire to affect reader opinions in a particular direction. The second bias, referred to as 'spin' or 'slanting', reflects the outlet's attempt to simply create a memorable story. Competition between outlets can eliminate the effect of ideological bias, but increases the incentive to spin or slant stories. We examine whether we find some evidence of spin in Dutch newspaper reporting on the state of the economy. If newspapers are indeed able to create memorable stories this should, according to our hypothesis, affect the opinion of readers with respect to the state of the economy. Sentiments about the actual state of the economy could be magnified by spin. As a result, consumer confidence-a variable that routinely measures the opinion on the state of the economy-can be expected to be affected not only by economic fundamentals, but also by the way these fundamentals are reported. We construct a variable that reflects the way consumers perceive economic news reported in newspapers. We find that this variable indeed has a significant impact on consumer confidence, which is short-lived. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 531-539 Issue: 5 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707100 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:5:p:531-539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carolina Navarro Author-X-Name-First: Carolina Author-X-Name-Last: Navarro Author-Name: Luis Ayala Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Ayala Title: Multidimensional housing deprivation indices with application to Spain Abstract: The main aim of this article is to define a multidimensional housing deprivation index and identify the main determining characteristics of this phenomenon, using Spain as reference. A latent variable model is used in order to overcome some of the traditional difficulties encountered in multidimensional deprivation studies. The construction of a latent structure model has allowed a set of partial housing deprivation indices to be grouped together under a single index. It has also enabled each individual to be assigned to a different class depending on the level and type of deprivation. Results show that the vector of observed variables (having hot running water, heating, a leaky roof, damp walls or floor, rot in window frames and floors and overcrowding) and the correlations among such variables can be explained by a single latent variable. There are also specific characteristics that differentiate the population affected by housing deprivation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 597-611 Issue: 5 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600722323 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600722323 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:5:p:597-611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Hadley Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hadley Author-Name: Xavier Irz Author-X-Name-First: Xavier Author-X-Name-Last: Irz Title: Productivity and farm profit - a microeconomic analysis of the cereal sector in England and Wales Abstract: This article implements the profit change decomposition methodology developed by Grifell-Tatje and Lovell (1999). Profit change over time is first decomposed into a price effect and a quantity effect; the quantity effect is then decomposed into a productivity effect and an activity effect; in turn, the productivity effect is subdivided into a technical efficiency effect and a technical change effect, while the activity effect is divided into a scale effect, resource mix effect and product mix effect. The end result is therefore a measure of six distinct components of profit change. The methodology is used to investigate profit changes for a sample of cereal farms drawn from the Farm Business Survey in England and Wales for the period 1982 to 2000. The results of the analysis show an overall decline in profit levels for the period at the average speed of £4400 annually, with the major part of this decline attributable to a negative price effect amounting to £7000 annually on average. However, this was to some degree offset by a positive quantity effect largely driven by the positive contribution of technical change to profit growth, worth £4000 annually on average. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 613-624 Issue: 5 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707209 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:5:p:613-624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. D. Walls Author-X-Name-First: W. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Walls Title: Cross-country analysis of movie piracy Abstract: We examine the rate of motion-picture piracy across a sample of 26 diverse countries. The level of piracy is explained empirically by the level of income, the cost of enforcing property rights, the level of collectivism present in a country's social institution and the level of internet usage. The results of a cross-country regression analysis indicate that piracy is increasing in the level of social coordination and the cost of enforcing property rights, unrelated to income and decreasing in internet usage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 625-632 Issue: 5 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504850600707337 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13504850600707337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:5:p:625-632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir Author-X-Name-First: Zeynel Abidin Author-X-Name-Last: Ozdemir Title: Efficient market hypothesis: evidence from a small open-economy Abstract: This article studies the efficient market hypothesis for the Istanbul Stock Exchange National 100 (ISEN 100) price index within the Lumsdaine and Papell two structural breaks unit root test framework. The main finding of the article shows that the ISEN 100 index is characterized by a unit root with two structural breaks, which is consistent with the efficient market hypothesis. In addition, the article applies the augmented Dickey-Fuller test, runs test and the variance-ratio test to test the weak-form efficiency of the ISEN 100. The analyses are repeated for three sub-periods delineated in view of the endogenously determined break points. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 633-641 Issue: 5 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600722315 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600722315 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:5:p:633-641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Crespo Cuaresma Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Crespo Cuaresma Author-Name: Doris Ritzberger-Grunwald Author-X-Name-First: Doris Author-X-Name-Last: Ritzberger-Grunwald Author-Name: Maria Antoinette Silgoner Author-X-Name-First: Maria Antoinette Author-X-Name-Last: Silgoner Title: Growth, convergence and EU membership Abstract: The effect of European integration on long-term growth of the EU-15 member states is studied by means of panel data methods. The length of EU membership is found to have a significant positive effect on economic growth, which is relatively higher for poorer countries. While previous empirical studies tend not to find positive growth effects of regional integration, the present study suggests an asymmetric, convergence-stimulating impact of EU membership on long-term growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 643-656 Issue: 5 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749524 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749524 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:5:p:643-656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shu-Hsien Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Ming-Shu Hua Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Shu Author-X-Name-Last: Hua Author-Name: Richard Stuetz Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Stuetz Title: Measuring country event risk compensation on BRICs international portfolio management Abstract: The BRICs nations (Brazil, Russia, India and China) have a strong relative economic growth pattern in the world among economic powers. The allure of globalization has made the analysis and assessment of national critical component of international portfolio management in recent years. We construct the model from comparing the relative SD of stock return whereby higher SDs are generally associated with more risk. This relative SD forms a principle component in the change of the weights on the international portfolio choice. The result shows that event jump risk not only makes the investor's allocation more conservative overall, but also it can be compensated on BRICs event risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 657-665 Issue: 5 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749474 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749474 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:5:p:657-665 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicente Pinilla Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Pinilla Author-Name: Maria-Isabel Ayuda Author-X-Name-First: Maria-Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Ayuda Title: Market dynamism and international trade: a case study of Mediterranean agricultural products, 1850-1935 Abstract: This article concentrates on analysing the rightward shifts of the demand curve for Mediterranean agricultural products from 1850 to 1938. We have found that such shifts were especially conditioned by the different income elasticities of demand and by changes or otherwise, in consumer preferences. Our aim is to show that there was an initial conditioning factor for the producer countries to take full advantage of these potential growth opportunities, namely the size of such shifts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 583-595 Issue: 5 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600707258 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600707258 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:5:p:583-595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hendrik Jurges Author-X-Name-First: Hendrik Author-X-Name-Last: Jurges Title: Self-assessed health, reference levels and mortality Abstract: The article studies the relationship between self-assessed health (SAH) and subsequent mortality in the German Socio-Economic Panel. Specifically, I examine whether socio-economic characteristics of respondents have an effect on mortality, conditional on SAH. Such conditional effects are shown to exist for various covariates, including age, income and wealth. These findings question the comparability of SAH across different socio-economic groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 569-582 Issue: 5 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500447823 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500447823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:5:p:569-582 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leonardo Becchetti Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Author-X-Name-Last: Becchetti Author-Name: Stefania Di Giacomo Author-X-Name-First: Stefania Author-X-Name-Last: Di Giacomo Author-Name: Damiano Pinnacchio Author-X-Name-First: Damiano Author-X-Name-Last: Pinnacchio Title: Corporate social responsibility and corporate performance: evidence from a panel of US listed companies Abstract: We investigate whether inclusion and permanence in the domini social index (DSI) affects corporate performance on a sample of around 1000 firms in a 13-year interval by controlling for size, industry, business cycle and time invariant firm idiosyncratic characteristics. Our results find partial support to the hypothesis that corporate social responsibility is a move from the shareholders wealth to a multi-stakeholders welfare target. On the one side, permanence into the domini index (DI) is shown to increase (reduce) significantly total sales per employee (returns on equity but not when large and R&D investing firms are excluded from the sample). On the other side, lower returns on equity for Domini firms seem nonetheless to be accompanied by relatively lower conditional volatility and lower reaction to extreme shocks with respect to the control sample. An explanation for these findings, suggested by the inspection of Domini criteria, is that social responsibility implies, on the one side, decisions leading to higher cost of labour and of intermediate output, but may, on the other side, enhance involvement, motivation and identification of the workforce with company goals with positive effects on productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 541-567 Issue: 5 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500428112 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500428112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:5:p:541-567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Vogt Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Vogt Title: Determinants of the demand for US exports and imports of tourism Abstract: This study estimates real income and relative price elasticities of demand for US exports and imports of tourism with annual data from 1973-2002. Overall, there is empirical support for the model of tourism expenditure. With one exception, the estimated parameters have the correct signs, and most are significantly different from zero. The US trading partners appear to be more sensitive to the determinants of international tourism than is the US The greater response (of the US trading partners) to changes in real income may account for the US running surpluses on its tourism balance during 16 of the 29 years of our sample period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 667-672 Issue: 6 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749698 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749698 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:6:p:667-672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Henry Kinnucan Author-X-Name-First: Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Kinnucan Author-Name: Øystein Myrland Author-X-Name-First: Øystein Author-X-Name-Last: Myrland Title: On generic vs. brand promotion of farm products in foreign markets Abstract: Farm groups and their governments spend millions of dollars each year advertising agricultural products in international markets. Intuitively, country-of-origin or 'brand' advertising should be more profitable than generic advertising in that it enhances product differentiation and reduces free riding. However, unlike generic advertising, brand advertising decreases the demand for competing imports and lowers their prices when supplies are upward sloping. In addition to inviting retaliation, the decline in the prices of competing products erodes the price of the advertised product through second-round or 'market feedback' effects. In this study, we develop a generalized model for assessing the relative effectiveness of generic and brand promotion in the international market when products are differentiated by source origin and supplies are uncontrolled. Applying the model to US beef promotion in Japan, we find that when brand and generic advertising are equally efficient in the sense that they cause equivalent horizontal shifts in the group and product-specific demand curves, generic advertising is indeed more profitable for most of the relevant parameter space. Distributional analysis suggests that, with equal export supply elasticities, the gross benefits of generic advertising are distributed across exporters in proportion to the expenditure elasticities for the products in question. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 673-684 Issue: 6 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749664 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749664 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:6:p:673-684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurence Cecchini Author-X-Name-First: Laurence Author-X-Name-Last: Cecchini Author-Name: Charles Lai-Tong Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Lai-Tong Title: The links between openness and productivity in Mediterranean countries Abstract: We examine the relation between the international trade, the foreign direct investment and the total factor productivity of the Mediterranean partner countries of Europe within the framework of a cointegrated panel model. The results, obtained from data on seven Mediterranean partner countries of Europe (Algeria, Egypt, Israel, Jordan, Morocco, Tunisia, Turkey), show that FDI and human capital are complementary in the acquisition of productivity gains. We identify the threshold level of human capital from which the received foreign investments generate beneficial effects. In a more general way, the improvement of the total factor productivity via the international openness results only from the indirect effects related to the transfer of technology. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 685-697 Issue: 6 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749771 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749771 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:6:p:685-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steve Leybourne Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Leybourne Author-Name: Tae-Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tae-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Paul Newbold Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Newbold Title: A more powerful modification of Johansen's cointegration tests Abstract: We apply the idea of using reversed time series to improve the power of Johansen tests. We suggest computationally simple variants of the trace and maximum eigenvalue statistics and establish their limit distributions. Both are shown, via simulation, to yield nontrivial power gains. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 725-729 Issue: 6 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749714 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749714 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:6:p:725-729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masoud Moghaddam Author-X-Name-First: Masoud Author-X-Name-Last: Moghaddam Author-Name: Momodou Bah Author-X-Name-First: Momodou Author-X-Name-Last: Bah Title: The money demand function in a small, open and quasi-monetary economy: the Gambia Abstract: The open-economy money demand asserts that for its underlying theory to hold, the variables ought to be co-integrated. Co-integrated variables although nonstationary in level, can share a long-term trend that is indeed stationary. However, the open money demand model has mainly been tested in developed and developing nations. This article investigates the co-integrated open-economy money demand in the Gambia where the macro economy is a quasi-monetary system, small (relative to the world market), but very open with a floating exchange rate regime. In the co-integrated space, the Gambian money demand appears to be quite responsive to domestic income, a measure of interest rate and the real exchange rate fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 731-734 Issue: 6 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749649 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749649 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:6:p:731-734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ilkay Sendeniz-Yuncu Author-X-Name-First: Ilkay Author-X-Name-Last: Sendeniz-Yuncu Author-Name: Levent Akdeniz Author-X-Name-First: Levent Author-X-Name-Last: Akdeniz Author-Name: Kursat Aydoğan Author-X-Name-First: Kursat Author-X-Name-Last: Aydoğan Title: Interdependence of the banking sector and the real sector: evidence from OECD countries Abstract: This article investigates the validity of the credit view hypothesis in eleven OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) countries over the period 1987:QI to 2003:QIII. The existence of a long-run relationship between the banking sector and the real sector is supported by cointegration test results. For some of the countries in the sample, Granger causality tests show the leading role of the banking sector in the real sector, thus supporting the credit view hypothesis, whereas for other countries, the same tests indicate no interdependence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 749-764 Issue: 6 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600735424 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600735424 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:6:p:749-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ebru Guven Solakoglu Author-X-Name-First: Ebru Guven Author-X-Name-Last: Solakoglu Title: The effect of railroads and price responsiveness on acreage decisions in the post-Bellum period Abstract: This study analyses the effect of farmers' price responsiveness and railroad development on acreage decisions in the late 19th century. A potential simultaneity between these determinants was mentioned in some earlier studies, but never examined. This study sheds some light on these relationships by employing a simultaneous equations model. The results show that acreage, prices and railroad mileage were jointly determined in the late nineteenth century. Furthermore, farmers were very responsive to wheat prices in their wheat acreage decisions in the eastern and northeastern regions when endogeneity effect is considered. In the western and southern regions, however, farmers were not responsive to wheat prices in their wheat acreage decisions. On the other hand, they were very responsive to corn and animal prices in their corn acreage decisions. Railroads were one important determinant that affected farmers' acreage decisions positively in every region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 765-771 Issue: 6 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749599 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749599 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:6:p:765-771 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Thalheimer Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Thalheimer Title: Government restrictions and the demand for casino and parimutuel wagering Abstract: Growth in casino wagering in the United States from the mid-1980s forward has been extraordinary. Over the same period, however, parimutuel wagering has declined. Concern for this decline has prompted a number of states to allow parimutuel racetracks to offer casino-type gaming devices at their facilities. Such operations are commonly referred to as 'racinos'. If the gaming devices at a racino are under the auspices of a state lottery, they are referred to as video lottery terminals (VLTs). Separate parimutuel and VLT wagering demand models were estimated for a racino facility. A number of restrictions were imposed on the VLT's at the beginning of the study period including: number of VLT's, type of game and machine, maximum bet per play and VLT location. The effect of these restrictions on VLT and parimutuel handles was a major focus of this article. Also of importance was an examination of the relationship between the VLT and parimutuel products. Relaxation of government restrictions on the VLT's was found to have resulted in a large increase in VLT wagering. On the other hand, parimutuel wagering was found to decrease with the relaxation of restrictions on the VLT's. The presence and growth of the VLT product was found to decrease parimutuel handle. The presence and growth of the parimutuel product was found to increase VLT handle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 773-791 Issue: 6 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749672 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:6:p:773-791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanford Berg Author-X-Name-First: Sanford Author-X-Name-Last: Berg Author-Name: Chen Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Consistency in performance rankings: the Peru water sector Abstract: Regulators can utilize a number of alternative methodologies for comparing firm efficiency, but these approaches need to be robust to be accepted by stakeholders. This study evaluates the consistency of water-utility performance rankings for Peruvian water utilities. The results indicate that data envelopment analysis (DEA) and stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) yield similar rankings in this case. In addition, the techniques have comparable success for identifying the best and worst performing utilities. However, these rankings based on sophisticated statistical techniques are not highly correlated with those developed by the Peruvian water regulator (SUNASS). This result does not invalidate the performance rankings obtained by the regulator, since those rankings are based on more dimensions of utility performance. However, they illustrate the importance of developing sound techniques for identifying weak utilities. Improvements in sector performance require that benchmarking be given greater attention than in the past. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 793-805 Issue: 6 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749409 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749409 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:6:p:793-805 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Macarena Lozano Author-X-Name-First: Macarena Author-X-Name-Last: Lozano Author-Name: Pilar Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno Title: A discrete time single-server queue with balking: economic applications Abstract: This article studies a discrete time single-server queue with finite and infinite buffer where the users have the option to leave the queue upon arrival (balking). We consider two variants of the model in accordance with the balking policies. Firstly, all the arriving customers balk with a constant probability. Secondly, arriving customers increase their balking probabilities as more customers join the system. Specifically, we find the ergodicity condition and closed-form expressions for the stationary distribution of the system size, of the waiting/spending time in the FCFS system and of the unfinished work. The mathematical model is applied in order to resolve several real-life problems in the economic field; in this sense, practical applications in the secondary and tertiary sector are shown. We also develop a cost model to determine the buffer capacity that minimizes certain cost function and give some numerical examples. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 735-748 Issue: 6 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749607 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749607 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:6:p:735-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dan Friesner Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Friesner Author-Name: Robert Roseman Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Roseman Author-Name: Matthew McPherson Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: McPherson Title: Are hospitals seasonally inefficient? Evidence from Washington State Abstract: Efficiency measurement has been one of the most extensively explored areas of health services research over the past two decades. Despite this attention, few studies have examined whether a provider's efficiency varies on a monthly, quarterly or other, sub-annual basis. This article presents an empirical study that looks for evidence of seasonal inefficiency. Using a quarterly panel of general, acute-care hospitals from Washington State, we find that hospital efficiency does vary over time; however, the nature of this dynamic inefficiency depends on the type of efficiency being measured. Our results suggest that technical and cost efficiency vary by quarter. Allocative and scale efficiency also vary on a quarterly basis, but only if the data are jointly disaggregated by quarter and another, firm-specific factor such as size or operating status. Thus, future research, corporate decisions and government policies designed to improve the efficiency of hospital care need to account for seasonal trends in hospital efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 699-723 Issue: 6 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749730 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749730 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:6:p:699-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Author-Name: Hassan Mohammadi Author-X-Name-First: Hassan Author-X-Name-Last: Mohammadi Author-Name: Murat Cak Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Cak Title: Turkish budget deficit sustainability and the revenue-expenditure nexus Abstract: The sustainability of the Turkish budget deficits as well as the dynamics of government revenues and expenditures in controlling the size of the deficit is examined using annual data from 1968 to 2004. The findings support the existence of a long-run relation between government revenues and expenditures once allowance is made for an unknown structural break. However, the size of the slope parameter is significantly less than one, suggesting that the government might face difficulties in financing its future debt. With respect to the revenue-expenditure nexus, the empirical evidence is favourable to the tax-spend hypothesis through the error correction term in the expenditures equation. Finally, there is no evidence of asymmetries in the adjustment process in either the threshhold autoregressive or momentum threshold autoregressive specifications of the budgetary adjustment process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 823-830 Issue: 7 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749904 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:7:p:823-830 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Marlow Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Marlow Title: Determinants of state tobacco-control expenditures Abstract: While Centers for Disease Control and Prevention believe that most state governments under-fund tobacco-control programs, little is known about why large variation in spending exists between state governments. This study explores reasons for spending variation through an econometric model of per capita spending on tobacco-control programs that explores the effects of smoking prevalence while holding constant tobacco settlement funds, state budget deficits, and other factors that might also be expected to influence spending variation. Empirical evidence indicates no support for the hypothesis that states with high smoking prevalence spend more on tobacco-control than other states. This finding may be quite surprising to those working in areas of public health and clearly leads to many important policy questions regarding why the data indicate that funding does not appear to bear any relation to perceived public health problems as would be predicted if policymakers were following a 'rational needs' approach to funding. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 831-839 Issue: 7 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771098 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771098 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:7:p:831-839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Cosme Costa Vieira Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Cosme Costa Author-X-Name-Last: Vieira Title: An economics journals' ranking that takes into account the number of pages and co-authors Abstract: In this article, I examine whether the academics reward policy must correlate positively with the published number of articles per co-author, number of pages and journals reputation. This is accomplished by estimating a nonlinear model with a panel data from 168 economics journals covered in the ISI-Web of Knowledge database (58 825 articles). The data reinforces the conjecture that published article value is slightly increasing with the number of co-authors and is proportional to the number of pages. The data also suggests that there are four distinct groups related to journal quality that I name A, B+, B and B-. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 853-861 Issue: 7 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749755 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749755 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:7:p:853-861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho Jin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ho Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Akinori Tomohara Author-X-Name-First: Akinori Author-X-Name-Last: Tomohara Title: Public health insurance expansions and labour supply of married women: the state children's health insurance programme Abstract: While the relationships between health insurance and the labour supply of women have been explored in the literature, little is known about the effects of offering public health insurance on the labour supply decisions of married women. This article examines the labour supply decisions of married women using the State Children's Health Insurance Programme. Our empirical analysis implies that certain groups of married women may be leaving the labour force in order to provide public health insurance for their children. We conclude that the programme causes unexpected efficiency losses through distorted labour supply decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 863-874 Issue: 7 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749789 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749789 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:7:p:863-874 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Differentiating between business cycles and growth cycles: evidence from 15 developed countries Abstract: Growth cycles are often mistaken for business cycles, although these two have different statistical properties. In order to differentiate between them in a statistically satisfactory manner, the Bayesian information criterion-(BIC) based model-selection approach is presented. Business cycles are described by the cyclical trend model, and growth cycles are described by the trend-plus-cycle model. Whether the observed time series is derived from business cycles or from growth cycles is determined as a result of model selection. It is shown via data-based simulations that the proposed method works well in most situations. Empirical results obtained for 15 countries suggest that the business cycle model is selected for five countries, the growth cycle model is selected for two countries and the trend-plus-noise model is selected for eight countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 875-883 Issue: 7 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749862 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:7:p:875-883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niko Gobbin Author-X-Name-First: Niko Author-X-Name-Last: Gobbin Author-Name: Glenn Rayp Author-X-Name-First: Glenn Author-X-Name-Last: Rayp Title: Different ways of looking at old issues: a time-series approach to inequality and growth Abstract: In this article we propose an econometric approach that steers clear of parameter heterogeneity, omitted variable bias and endogeneity problems, from which suffers the econometric analysis of economic growth. We propose to investigate the relation between income inequality and economic growth in a cointegrated VAR setting and present an application to Belgium, US and Finland. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 885-895 Issue: 7 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771106 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:7:p:885-895 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Revisiting the US money demand function: an application of the Lagrange multiplier structural break unit root test and the bounds test for a long-run relationship Abstract: In this article, we examine the issue of a levels relationship and stability of the US money demand function over the period 1959:01 to 2004:02. We use the Lagrange multiplier structural break unit root test and the bounds testing approach to a long-run relationship in levels of the variables, namely real money demand, nominal interest rate and real income. We find greater evidence for a long-run relationship in levels and stability of the US money demand function when we use M2 as a proxy for money demand. However, we find little evidence for a long-run relationship between M1 and M2 with their determinants for the recent period, spanning the last decade or so. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 897-904 Issue: 7 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749813 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:7:p:897-904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hung-Lin Tao Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Title: What makes devout Christians happier? Evidence from Taiwan Abstract: This study divides the effects of religious involvement on subjective well being (SWB) into direct and indirect channels. The indirect channels mean that, by improving its adherents' present lives, religion enhances their happiness. It is found that devout Christians enhance their SWB by means of one direct channel and three indirect channels; these indirect channels being high health expectations, good family relationship expectations and sound social networks. A good family relationship expectation is found to be the most important factor among the indirect channels. Devout Christians are happier than their counterparts based on a probability of 28, 55, and 45% of the 28% are accounted for by the direct channel and the three indirect channels, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 905-919 Issue: 7 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749839 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749839 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:7:p:905-919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Nihat Solakoglu Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Nihat Author-X-Name-Last: Solakoglu Author-Name: Ebru Guven Solakoglu Author-X-Name-First: Ebru Guven Author-X-Name-Last: Solakoglu Author-Name: Tunc Demirağ Author-X-Name-First: Tunc Author-X-Name-Last: Demirağ Title: Exchange rate volatility and exports: a firm-level analysis Abstract: The relationship between real exports and exchange rate volatility is investigated using panel data analysis at the firm level. Results indicate that there is no negative or positive relationship between volatility and real exports. In addition, firm size and level of international activity do not influence the size and significance of the volatility effect on exports. However, there is some evidence that firms use import revenue to lower their exchange rate exposure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 921-929 Issue: 7 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749888 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749888 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:7:p:921-929 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaoaqin Alegre Author-X-Name-First: Jaoaqin Author-X-Name-Last: Alegre Author-Name: Llorenc Pou Author-X-Name-First: Llorenc Author-X-Name-Last: Pou Title: Further evidence of excess sensitivity of consumption? Nonseparability among goods and heterogeneity across households Abstract: The standard theoretical framework for analysing households' intertemporal decisions is the life-cycle/permanent income model. Among its implications, testing the model allows to analyse the response of consumption to fiscal policy. However, the empirical literature with microdata has yielded mixed results. This article examines the sensitivity of the results to the assumption of separability among goods and of homogeneity across households. For that purpose, we test a rational expectations permanent income model with household data drawn from the Spanish Family Expenditure Survey. This survey contains detailed information on total expenditure and the income presents large, exogenous quarterly changes due to an institutional feature. The article shows that assuming separability among commodities biases the test against the model. When separability is not imposed, we show that the rejection of the model depends on heterogeneity across households in terms of their members being unemployed or not. For those households permanently employed, the model cannot be rejected whatever their income status. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 931-948 Issue: 7 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749896 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749896 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:7:p:931-948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Euston Quah Author-X-Name-First: Euston Author-X-Name-Last: Quah Author-Name: Jongsay Yong Author-X-Name-First: Jongsay Author-X-Name-Last: Yong Title: An assessment of four popular auction mechanisms in the siting of NIMBY facilities: some experimental evidence Abstract: The issue of locating locally unfriendly but socially beneficial facilities such as landfills and power stations is an important public policy concern in many countries. Local residents in the area where such facilities are to be located tend to exhibit strong opposition, no doubt due to the asymmetric distribution of the costs and benefits of such not-in-my-backyard (NIMBY) facilities. A potentially useful mechanism for the siting of such facilities is by compensation auctions, which attempt to incorporate the market mechanism into the decision making process. In such auctions, communities name the compensation they require to host such facilities, and the community demanding the least amount of compensation gets to host the facility. This research attempts to evaluate the performance of such compensation auctions using laboratory exepriments. Four popular auction formats are evaluated: first- and second-price and all-pay first-and second-price sealed-bid auctions. The latter two formats correspond to the compensation auctions with penalty payments proposed by Kunreuther and Kleindorfer (1986) and Quah and Tan (1998), who claim that these auctions are more efficient as they restrains strategic (or over) bidding. Our results, however, contradict this claim. We show that the first-and second-price auctions without penalty payments are in fact more efficient, in that they tend to minimize social costs, and truthful bidding is more likely. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 841-852 Issue: 7 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600758509 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600758509 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:7:p:841-852 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barıs Yoruk Author-X-Name-First: Barıs Author-X-Name-Last: Yoruk Author-Name: Osnman Zaim Author-X-Name-First: Osnman Author-X-Name-Last: Zaim Title: International regulations and environmental performance Abstract: This article employs the data envelopment analysis (DEA) approach to compute the environmental performance of all but two Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. It is found that although the environmental performance of countries differs over time, Poland and Hungary are the two best performers for all periods while Italy, Japan, Austria and Switzerland are ranked among the worst. The effect of international regulations and some observed characteristics of countries on environmental performance are also investigated. International regulations are reported to have a positive effect on environmental performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 807-822 Issue: 7 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749821 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749821 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:7:p:807-822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Yao Tseng Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Tseng Title: Internal R&D effort, external imported technology and economic value added: empirical study of Taiwan's electronic industry Abstract: Technology innovation is a significant resource in the contemporary knowledge-based economy. The main sources of technology innovation are internal R&D effort and external imported technology. Two primary traditional production factors are physical capital and labour. The theoretical basis for this study is an evolutionary Cobb-Douglas production function explaining the effects of four resources (internal R&D effort, imported technology, physical capital and labour) on a firm's sales and economic value added (EVA). Time-series cross-section panel data from 219 Taiwan electronic manufacturers between 1990 and 2003 were employed for fixed effect model. Major empirical findings were observed in this study: first, Internal R&D effort can positively affect a firm's sales and EVA. Conversely, imported technology is found to have had no significant effect on sales and EVA. Second, although both physical capital and labour affect a firm's sales more than the effects of internal R&D and external imported technology, internal R&D effort contributes to a firm's EVA beyond the effects of imported technology, physical capital and labour. Third, External imported technology has neither a complementary nor a substitutive relationship with internal R&D effort. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1073-1082 Issue: 8 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771163 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771163 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:8:p:1073-1082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silvia Sgherri Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Sgherri Title: Explicit and implicit targets in open economies Abstract: Under a flexible inflation targeting regime, should policymakers avoid any reaction to movements in the foreign exchange market? Using data for six advanced open economies explicitly targeting inflation, this article examines empirically whether real exchange rate disequilibria systematically affect the conduct of monetary policy. Estimates indicate that monetary policy responses in inflation-targeting, open economies have changed significantly, as the institutional framework for the conduct of monetary policy has evolved. In particular, an explicit target for core inflation and a greater use of the expectation channel of monetary policy appear to be the key features of the newest policy framework. In this context, central banks are unlikely to react to regular fluctuations in the exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 969-980 Issue: 8 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749912 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749912 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:8:p:969-980 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javier Alonso Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Alonso Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Human capital in Spain: an estimate of educational attainment Abstract: In this article an alternative methodology is proposed for obtaining long time-series data for a human capital indicator based on the average number of years of education of the working-age population. In contrast to previous studies, we use Labour Force Survey microdata relating to the level of education actually completed, in order to construct temporal profiles of educational attainment and thus avoid the need to interpolate from censuses. To illustrate the method proposed, we evaluate the average number of years of education of the Spanish working-age population for the period 1910 to 2000. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1005-1013 Issue: 8 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771171 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:8:p:1005-1013 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantinos Drakos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Drakos Title: Efficiency and formation of expectations: evidence from the European investment survey Abstract: The European Commission conducts an annual survey regarding planned and realized business fixed investment across various manufacturing sectors in Euroland. In this study we investigate the predictive content of survey-based expectations on investment. In addition, we empirically test the rationality of respondents both in a time series as well as in a panel context. According to our results, based on pooling the data, efficiency is rejected since expectations are biased predictors of actual outcomes. Furthermore, expectations revisions are found to be correlated with components of the information set known at the time of decision making. Finally, our results qualify regressive expectations as the mechanism that more adequately describes the formation of expectations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1015-1022 Issue: 8 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771189 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:8:p:1015-1022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyprianos Prodromidis Author-X-Name-First: Kyprianos Author-X-Name-Last: Prodromidis Author-Name: Prodromos Prodromidis Author-X-Name-First: Prodromos Author-X-Name-Last: Prodromidis Title: Returns to education: the Greek experience, 1988-1999 Abstract: This article provides estimates of private rates of return to education in Greece derived from Mincerian-type earnings equations. The data come from the latest three household surveys of the country covering the 1988 to 1999 period. The empirical evidence suggests that: rates of return associated with female high school and university graduates exceed the respective rates for male graduates; rates of return pertaining to tertiary education graduates are increasing over time, whereas the corresponding rates for secondary education graduates follow an inverted U-shaped pattern and dropouts from any education degree end up with rates of return lower than the rates associated with the immediately preceding education level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1023-1030 Issue: 8 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771197 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:8:p:1023-1030 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jung Hur Author-X-Name-First: Jung Author-X-Name-Last: Hur Author-Name: Donghyun Park Author-X-Name-First: Donghyun Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Joseph Alba Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Alba Title: Economic geography in the presence of preferential trade agreements: an empirical analysis of OECD data Abstract: In the presence of preferential trade agreements (PTAs), there are two distinct levels of economic geography-global economic geography (GEG) between a PTA bloc and the world and local economic geography (LEG) between a PTA member and its PTA bloc. Using OECD data, we empirically examine whether both types of economic geography can help to explain the international production structure. Our findings provide some support for the importance of distinguishing between LEG and GEG when testing for the presence of economic geography. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1031-1041 Issue: 8 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771213 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771213 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:8:p:1031-1041 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: En-Ai Liao Author-X-Name-First: En-Ai Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: Chia-Hung Teng Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Teng Title: The effects of monetary policy: a DSGE model analysis of Taiwan Abstract: This article attempts to use empirical data to analyse the impact of monetary policy in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. According to the monetary policy decisions of the Central Bank of China (Taiwan), maintaining price, financial stability and fostering economic growth are the ultimate goals of monetary policy during the empirical period. First, this article uses the cointegration tests to determine the operating targets, the intermediate targets and the ultimate goals of monetary policy. Then, a forward-looking aggregate demand-aggregate supply model for a small open economy is specified, and policy discretion is included in this model. Finally, the model is estimated by a linear state space model and is used to analyse the short-run effects of a systematic monetary change. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1043-1051 Issue: 8 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771130 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771130 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:8:p:1043-1051 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Biman Chand Prasad Author-X-Name-First: Biman Chand Author-X-Name-Last: Prasad Title: Are shocks to real effective exchange rates permanent or transitory? Evidence from Pacific Island countries Abstract: In this article, we consider the stability of the real effective exchange rates for four Pacific Island countries using the Lee and Strazicich (2003a, b) unit root test, which allows one to incorporate at most two structural breaks in the data series. Our main finding is that for Papua New Guinea and Samoa, exchange rates are stable, implying that shocks will have a transitory effect on real effective exchange rates, while for Fiji and the Solomon Islands we find exchange rates to be unstable, implying that shocks will have a permanent effect on real effective exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1053-1060 Issue: 8 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771122 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:8:p:1053-1060 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daisuke Tsuruta Author-X-Name-First: Daisuke Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuruta Title: Bank information monopoly and trade credit: do only banks have information about small businesses? Abstract: According to previous studies, a bank can set a higher interest rate for small firms by establishing a lending relationship since information asymmetry limits competition between banks. Therefore, the bank can acquire monopoly rent from small firms. However, if small firms can use trade credit which is another financial source, the bank cannot extract monopoly rent. In this article, we examine whether small firms can use trade credit if the bank sets a higher interest rate. Using panel data of small firms in Japan, our analysis shows that when the interest rate the bank sets is too severe or worsened for the borrower, the ratio of trade payables increases and the bank loses its amount of loans. This result implies that trade creditors alleviate the problems of bank information monopolies in Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 981-996 Issue: 8 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771155 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771155 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:8:p:981-996 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satoru Shimokawa Author-X-Name-First: Satoru Author-X-Name-Last: Shimokawa Title: The labour market impact of body weight in China: a semiparametric analysis Abstract: While a positive wage effect of Body Mass Index (BMI) is widely observed in low-income developing countries, a negative wage effect of BMI is often observed in high-income developed countries. To fill the gap between these previous findings, we investigate the relationship between body weight and wages in transition economies. We focus on China, whose rapid economic growth of the 1990s was followed by a rapid increase in overweight and obesity while still experiencing significant food insecurity and underweight. we first use several parametric regression strategies to obtain a consistent estimate of the wage effects of weight. Second, we adopt a semiparametric partially linear model that allows for endogeneity of weight. Parametric regressions provide mixed results, and the sign and magnitude of their estimates are sensitive to the choice of samples and regression strategies. Semiparametric estimates provide evidence of a wage penalty for very heavy and thin persons among both men and women. The wage penalty is more significant among men than among women. Semiparametric results also indicate that parametric estimates can overstate and misrepresent the wage effects of weight for healthy weight persons due to their restrictive functional form assumptions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 949-968 Issue: 8 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771239 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771239 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:8:p:949-968 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jagadanand Chaudhary Author-X-Name-First: Jagadanand Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhary Author-Name: Samarendu Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Samarendu Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Author-Name: Sukant Misra Author-X-Name-First: Sukant Author-X-Name-Last: Misra Author-Name: Suwen Pan Author-X-Name-First: Suwen Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: The effects of MFA quota elimination on Indian fibre markets Abstract: This article examines the effects of multi-fibre arrangement (MFA) quota elimination on Indian fibre market. The partial equilibrium Indian fibre model was developed using a theoretically consistent framework and incorporated regional supply response, substitutability between cotton and man-made fibres, and appropriate linkage between cotton and textile sectors. Baseline projections were developed for supply, demand and prices of cotton, man-made fibres and textiles under a set of exogenous assumptions. The effects of MFA textile quota eliminations were introduced into the model by conducting three scenarios, i.e. increasing textile exports by 10, 20 and 30% from the baseline level. The results suggest that on an average, cotton imports rise by 4-8% annually, while the man-made fibre exports from India decline with the opening of textile markets in the developed countries. The higher domestic cotton prices encourage acreage expansion in cotton in all the three regions in India, but not enough to meet rising mill demand under the scenarios of higher textile exports. The rise in cotton imports from India has little effect on world cotton prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1083-1099 Issue: 9 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771205 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:9:p:1083-1099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Caliendo Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Caliendo Author-Name: Reinhard Hujer Author-X-Name-First: Reinhard Author-X-Name-Last: Hujer Author-Name: Stephan Thomsen Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: Thomsen Title: Identifying effect heterogeneity to improve the efficiency of job creation schemes in Germany Abstract: Previous empirical studies of job creation schemes (JCS) in Germany have shown that the average effects for the participating individuals are negative. However, we find that this is not true for all strata of the population. Identifying individual characteristics that are responsible for the effect heterogeneity and using this information for a better allocation of individuals therefore bears some scope for improving programme efficiency. We present several stratification strategies and discuss the occurring effect heterogeneity. Our findings show that JCS do neither harm nor improve the labour market chances for most of the groups. Exceptions are long-term unemployed men in West and long-term unemployed women in East and West Germany who benefit from participation in terms of higher employment rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1101-1122 Issue: 9 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500438897 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500438897 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:9:p:1101-1122 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Fleming Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Fleming Author-Name: Parvinder Kler Author-X-Name-First: Parvinder Author-X-Name-Last: Kler Title: I'm too clever for this job: a bivariate probit analysis on overeducation and job satisfaction in Australia Abstract: Using data from the first wave of the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia data set, this article establishes an empirical relationship between overeducation and workplace satisfaction for Australian adult males in the labour force. In a departure from much of the existing literature, both univariate and bivariate probit models are used to account for potential unobserved heterogeneity. We find that estimates in the univariate probit models are positively biased for three of the six measures of workplace satisfaction studied. This suggests that consideration should be given to the use of bivariate models when studying the determinants of workplace satisfaction and overeducation. Results show, although levels of satisfaction remain high, that across all measures of workplace satisfaction overeducated workers are less satisfied compared to their nonovereducated counterparts. This intimates that satisfaction levels should be viewed from a relative, rather than an absolute perspective. 'Pleasure in the job puts perfection in the work' Aristotle 384BC-322BC Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1123-1138 Issue: 9 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771254 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771254 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:9:p:1123-1138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Schunk Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Schunk Title: Probability predictions of rising real GDP growth and inflation: the usefulness of monetary indicators Abstract: Several recent studies have focused on the predictive power of the yield spread for future economic activity. The current paper reformulates the work of Estrella and Mishkin (1998) by focusing on the usefulness of monetary variables for generating probability predictions of rising or falling real GDP growth and inflation. Besides redefining the dependent variables, the independent monetary variables are allowed to include lagged information. Also, the current paper considers the usefulness of the Divisia monetary aggregates in the context of probit models for predicting the probability that real GDP growth or inflation will be increasing Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1139-1149 Issue: 9 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771247 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771247 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:9:p:1139-1149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vitor Ozaki Author-X-Name-First: Vitor Author-X-Name-Last: Ozaki Author-Name: Barry Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Author-Name: Ricardo Shirota Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Shirota Title: Parametric and nonparametric statistical modelling of crop yield: implications for pricing crop insurance contracts Abstract: This article considers alternative methods to calculate the fair premium rate of crop insurance contracts based on county yields. The premium rate was calculated using parametric and nonparametric approaches to estimate the conditional agricultural yield density. These methods were applied to a data set of county yield provided by the Statistical and Geography Brazilian Institute (IBGE), for the period of 1990 through 2002, for soybean, corn and wheat, in the State of Parana. In this article, we propose methodological alternatives to pricing crop insurance contracts resulting in more accurate premium rates in a situation of limited data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1151-1164 Issue: 9 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749680 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749680 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:9:p:1151-1164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tam Bang Vu Author-X-Name-First: Tam Bang Author-X-Name-Last: Vu Title: Foreign direct investment and endogenous growth in Vietnam Abstract: Foregin Direct Investment's (FDI's) contribution to growth has been a controversial topic in economic literature and appears to be country specific. In this article, we use time-varying coefficients in an augmented production function and let FDI indirectly affect Gross domestic product growth through labour productivity. This approach creates built-in heteroskedasticity, so the feasible generalized least square estimation is employed. The results show that FDI has significant and positive effect on labour productivity and economic growth in Vietnam, but the effect is not equally distributed among economic sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1165-1173 Issue: 9 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600749433 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600749433 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:9:p:1165-1173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Kuang Ho Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Kuang Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Extremal analysis of currency crises in Taiwan Abstract: We employ extreme value theory to identify currency crises in Taiwan. The new approach is able to identify severe currency crises, and at the same time avoid the crisis-misclassification problem of Markov-switching models. Signal accounting indicates that currency crises in Taiwan are preceded by rapid expansion of domestic credit and other monetary aggregates, implying that financial excesses stressed by the third-generation crisis model are the main causes of these currency crises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1175-1186 Issue: 9 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771221 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771221 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:9:p:1175-1186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cho-Min Lin Author-X-Name-First: Cho-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Wan-Hsiu Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Wan-Hsiu Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Economic determinants of comovement across international stock markets: the example of Taiwan and its key trading partners Abstract: This study uses the multinomial logit model in which comovements are categorized into three outcomes, namely (i) negative comovements, (ii) positive comovements and (iii) no comovements, with the purpose of the empirical analysis being to investigate the economic determinants that affect the comovement relationships in the stock markets for Taiwan and four major trading partners (Mainland China, United States, Japan and Hong Kong) using daily data covering the period from 1994 to 2004. The period under study is further divided into three sub-periods, i.e. the period before the Asian financial crisis, that during the Asian financial crisis and that after the Asian financial crisis, in order to determine whether the factors influencing the comovements in the stock market returns of Taiwan and its trading partners actually change over time. In addition, this study differs from earlier studies that only emphasized the analysis of statistical significance in that it attaches importanace to analysing both the statistical and economic significance of the factors affecting comovements. The empirical results indicate that, regardless of whether it is the period during or after the financial crisis that is being considered, the volatility of stock market returns and the rate of change in the exchange rate are both important factors that affect comovement. In addition, interest rate differentials play an increasingly important role in the period after the financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1187-1205 Issue: 9 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771262 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771262 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:9:p:1187-1205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luiz Lima Author-X-Name-First: Luiz Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Author-Name: Jaime de Jesus Filho Author-X-Name-First: Jaime de Author-X-Name-Last: Jesus Filho Title: Further investigation of the uncertain trend in US GDP Abstract: The presence of deterministic or stochastic trend in US GDP has been a continuing debate in the literature of macroeconomics. Ben-David and Papell (1995) found evidence in favour of trend stationarity using the secular sample of Maddison (1991). More recently, Murray and Nelson (2000) correctly criticized this finding arguing that the Maddision data are plagued with additive outliers (AO), which bias inference towards stationarity. Hence, they propose to set the secular sample aside and conduct inference using a more homogeneous but shorter time-span post-WWII sample. In this article we re-visit the Maddison data by employing a test that is robust against AO's. Our results suggest the US GDP can be modelled as trend stationary process Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1207-1216 Issue: 9 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771270 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771270 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:9:p:1207-1216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Kung Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Kung Title: Dynamic strategies for fixed-income investment Abstract: The last 30 years have witnessed an enormous growth in fixed-income markets. How long-term fixed-income strategies should be implemented for the welfare of investors has become a major concern of bond managers. This study makes use of stochastic optimal control to formulate a multi-period portfolio selection model and implements it using backward recursion algorithm to find numerically the optimal allocation of wealth between long- and short-term bonds for an investor with power utility and an investment horizon of 10 years. By way of a technical manipulation, this study uses the fact that the long rate and the spread (difference between long rate and short rate) are uncorrelated to simplify model formulation and parameter estimation. The results show that an investor would increase his/her holding of short-term bond if his/her investment horizon becomes shorter or if he/she is more risk averse, or both. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1341-1354 Issue: 10 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771304 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771304 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:10:p:1341-1354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junyi Shen Author-X-Name-First: Junyi Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Yusuke Sakata Author-X-Name-First: Yusuke Author-X-Name-Last: Sakata Author-Name: Yoshizo Hashimoto Author-X-Name-First: Yoshizo Author-X-Name-Last: Hashimoto Title: Is individual environmental consciousness one of the determinants in transport mode choice? Abstract: This article models negative impact on the environment as one of the attributes of transport mode. By this modelling, we are able to examine whether individual environmental consciousness of this impact plays a significant role in his/her choice of transport mode. A survey data from Saito and Onohara Area in Northern Osaka of Japan is used to estimate the model with the Heteroscedastic Extreme Value specification. Both of the estimated and simulated results imply that individual environmental consciousness does influence his/her decision on transport mode choice in the sample. Furthermore, the likelihood ratio tests indicate that both the utility and scale parameters are not equivalent across sub-samples of university commuters, research-facility commuters and residents. The results of the comparison across sub-samples suggest that sometimes we may learn more from sub-dividing a whole sample into several sub-samples if we could distinguish them by their characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1229-1239 Issue: 10 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771296 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771296 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:10:p:1229-1239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashok Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Charles Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Title: Measurement of inequality by components of farm household consumption expenditures Abstract: Inequality in consumption levels of families, both nationally and internationally has been studied by Theil. However, empirical studies that measure inequality in farm household consumption, to our knowledge, have not been performed. This study measures inequality in farm household consumption. In addition, the study also measures inequality in consumption based on farm typology and farming region. Results from this analysis show consumption inequality among farm households is lower than consumption inequality among all other households. Results indicate that 'other expenditures' component has the highest inequality and 'food and household supplies' component has the lowest inequality. Further, farm typology has information about difference in consumption expenditures; the typology is informative when it comes to the components of consumption while the regional decomposition is not. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1241-1252 Issue: 10 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600722240 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600722240 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:10:p:1241-1252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. Eldon Ball Author-X-Name-First: V. Eldon Author-X-Name-Last: Ball Author-Name: W. A. Lindamood Author-X-Name-First: W. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Lindamood Author-Name: Richard Nehring Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Nehring Author-Name: Carlos San Juan Mesonada Author-X-Name-First: Carlos San Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Mesonada Title: Capital as a factor of production in OECD agriculture: measurement and data Abstract: This article provides a farm sector comparison of levels of capital input for fourteen OECD countries for the period 1973 to 2002. The starting point for construction of a measure of capital input is the measurement of capital stock. Estimates of depreciable capital are derived by representing capital stock at each point of time as a weighted sum of past investments. The weights correspond to the relative efficiencies of capital goods of different ages, so that the weighted components of capital stock have the same efficiency. Estimates of the stock of land are derived from balance sheet data. We convert estimates of capital stock into estimates of capital service flows by means of capital rental prices. Comparisons of levels of capital input among countries require data on relative prices of capital input. We obtain relative price levels for capital input via relative investment goods prices, taking into account the flow of capital input per unit of capital stock in each country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1253-1277 Issue: 10 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771320 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771320 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:10:p:1253-1277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joaquin Azagra-Caro Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Azagra-Caro Author-Name: Juana Aznar-Marqez Author-X-Name-First: Juana Author-X-Name-Last: Aznar-Marqez Author-Name: Juan Blanco Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Blanco Title: Interactive vs. non-interactive knowledge production by faculty members Abstract: In this article, we develop a model of individual choice to study the determinants of faculty members allocation of effort between interactive and noninteractive activities. This model is tested by using censored and discrete choice econometric models to estimate optimum effort allocated to interactive activities and real interaction. We conclude, first, that individual responds to nonmonetary rather than monetary incentives and to the difficulty of producing noninteractive rather than interactive knowledge. Second, we detect the possible existence of rationing, since optimum effort and real interaction depend on different variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1289-1297 Issue: 10 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771338 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:10:p:1289-1297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takanori Ida Author-X-Name-First: Takanori Author-X-Name-Last: Ida Author-Name: Shin Kinoshita Author-X-Name-First: Shin Author-X-Name-Last: Kinoshita Author-Name: Masayuki Sato Author-X-Name-First: Masayuki Author-X-Name-Last: Sato Title: Conjoint analysis of demand for IP telephony: the case of Japan Abstract: With the recent diffusion of broadband (BB) services, Internet protocol (IP) telephony is expected to spread significantly in Japan. This article investigates the demand for IP telephony by using conjoint analysis. Projecting IP telephony demand also contributes to Japanese info-communication policy discussions. Two points are made. First, IP telephony is still currently considered an optional supplement or an add-on service option of high-speed BB Internet access services in Japan rather than a close substitute of existing plain old telephone service (POTS). At this point, we find little evidence that many households will promptly forsake their fixed line service for IP telephony. Second, we conclude that the key condition for the proliferation of IP telephony is the complete guarantee of quality of service (QoS), including voice quality, number portability, fax usage and emergency access, comparable to or exceeding that of existing POTS. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1279-1287 Issue: 10 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771312 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:10:p:1279-1287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Villaverde Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Villaverde Author-Name: Adolfo Maza Author-X-Name-First: Adolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Maza Title: Productivity convergence in the European regions, 1980-2003: a sectoral and spatial approach Abstract: This article analyses the evolution of the EU productivity between 1980 and 2003, both across regions and sectors. By making use of various techniques (cross-section, nonparametric and spatial approaches) it concludes that: (1) the regional and sectoral dispersion of productivity is quite high; (2) the gains experienced in aggregate productivity are due entirely to the sectors productivity growth effect; (3) there is a weak beta-convergence process at the aggregate and sectoral levels; (4) the accounting decomposition of the aggregate productivity convergence process reveals the sectoral productivity growth effect to be the only responsible factor for regional catching-up; (5) finally, there are clear signs of spatial dependence which, when properly addressed, increase the speed of convergence at the aggregate level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1299-1313 Issue: 10 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771361 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:10:p:1299-1313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Title: E-Baying for blood?: noncompetitive flexible pricing in entertainment ticketing-some demand side evidence Abstract: This article gives some exploratory results from estimating a consumer surplus type equation which features a number of economic and demographic variables as regressors. We calculate an income elasticity for the maximum surplus that individuals would ever perceive themselves to be getting by being allowed to buy at a set price. The results also show that those who attend the cinema are significantly less inclined to generate a surplus in flexible price events markets whilst young adults offer to pay quite a large amount more for their heavily desired entertainment. This suggests that part of the burden of a shift in ticket pricing methods may be borne by the parents of young adults. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1315-1322 Issue: 10 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771353 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:10:p:1315-1322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Manuel Cordero-Ferrera Author-X-Name-First: Jose Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cordero-Ferrera Author-Name: Francisco Pedraja-Chaparro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Pedraja-Chaparro Author-Name: Javier Salinas-Jimenez Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Salinas-Jimenez Title: Measuring efficiency in education: an analysis of different approaches for incorporating non-discretionary inputs Abstract: Measuring efficiency in the education sector is a highly complex task. One of the reasons is that the main resource of schools (the type of students they have) lie outside of their control, which means that it must be treated differently to other factors in analysis. This study examines the different options available in the literature for incorporating non-controllable inputs in a data envelopment analysis in order to determine the most appropriate model for evaluating schools. Our empirical study presents the results obtained using the model proposed by Fried et al. (1999), though we use bootstrap techniques to avoid problems of bias in the estimations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1323-1339 Issue: 10 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771346 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:10:p:1323-1339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katharina Wrohlich Author-X-Name-First: Katharina Author-X-Name-Last: Wrohlich Title: The excess demand for subsidized child care in Germany Abstract: The extension of publicly provided or subsidized child care is currently one of the priorities of the political agenda in many European countries. In this article, the excess demand for subsidized child care slots in Germany is estimated using a partial observability model. The results show that there is considerable excess demand for child care for children aged less than 3 years in East and West Germany, even among children with working mothers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1217-1228 Issue: 10 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771288 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771288 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:10:p:1217-1228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Payne Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Author-Name: George Waters Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Waters Title: Interest rate pass through and asymmetric adjustment: evidence from the federal funds rate operating target period Abstract: This study examines the long-run interest rate pass through of the federal funds rate to the prime rate and whether there is asymmetric adjustment in the prime rate using the Enders-Siklos (2001) momentum threshold autoregressive model over the period February 1987 to October 2005. Once allowance is made for the endogenously determined structural break in the cointegrating relationship in April 1996, the adjustment of the prime rate to changes in the federal funds rate appears asymmetric with upward rigidity, a result contrary to previous studies which found that the prime rate exhibits downward rigidity. The finding of upward rigidity in the prime rate lends support for the customer reaction and adverse selection hypotheses. Moreover, the empirical evidence seems to support the observation of increased pass through as a result of heightened competition in the banking industry as well as the Federal Reserve's enhanced transparency in monetary policy during the 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1355-1362 Issue: 11 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600806233 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600806233 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:11:p:1355-1362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saziye Gazioglu Author-X-Name-First: Saziye Author-X-Name-Last: Gazioglu Title: Stock market returns in an emerging financial market: Turkish case study Abstract: Increased globalization in financial markets implies that the percentage of all shares under foreign ownership in domestic stock markets has been rising. The recent speculative attacks on the foreign exchange market in November 2000, followed by February 2001, led Turkey into a deep economic crisis. Real stock returns as an important indicator for a forthcoming or pending financial crisis, using net capital flows have already been established in Gazioglu (2003). In this article we explore the effects of capital inflows and outflows to real exchange rates and the real stock market returns, before, and after the financial crisis. We investigate the relationship between real exchange rate, real stock returns and capital flows. We decompose the foreign flows into real assets and liabilities, in order to investigate the possible long-term effect of inflows and outflows. Empirical investigation shows that the long-term relationship only appears between the real exchange rates and the real bank liabilities owned by the foreigners. The first half of the sub-period, which is the pre-crisis period, is dominated by capital inflows and outflows. These affect the real exchange rate whereas the second sub-period, which is the post-crisis period, is dominated by unstable the capital inflow and outflows causing the decline of real stock market returns and the depreciation of the currency. The post-financial crisis period demonstrates a long-lasting effect on lowering the stock market returns. This confirms the theoretical findings of this article. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1363-1372 Issue: 11 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600820663 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600820663 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:11:p:1363-1372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Groot Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Groot Author-Name: H. M. van den Brink Author-X-Name-First: H. M. Author-X-Name-Last: van den Brink Title: Health-adjusted life expectancy of the British population Abstract: In this article, changes in the quality of health-adjusted life expectancy of the British population between 1991 and 1998 are analysed. It is found that at all given age levels, life expectancy increased during this period. Life expectancy at birth increased by 1 year for women and by 1.5 years for men. It is further found that the prevalence of health problems and handicaps increased during the 1990s. For all age categories, the self-assessment of the health status showed that the quality of health also declined on average. We concluded that the quality-adjusted life expectancy between 1991 and 1998 showed a decrease rather than an increase. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1373-1386 Issue: 11 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600820671 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600820671 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:11:p:1373-1386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Paez-Farrell Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Paez-Farrell Title: Assessing sticky price models using the Burns and Mitchell approach Abstract: This article evaluates sticky-price models using the methods proposed by Burns and Mitchell, focusing on the monetary aspects of the business cycle. Recent research has emphasized the responses of models to shocks at the expense of its systematic component. Whereas sticky-price models have been successful at replicating impulse response functions from vector autoregressions, this article highlights that they are unable to mimic the data for nominal variables. Moreover, the results are robust to the specification of the Phillips curve, including its backward-looking variant, calibrated values and the inclusion of fiscal policy shocks. Since being able to mimic the data is the lowest hurdle a Model must pass, these results pose a challenge for sticky price models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1387-1397 Issue: 11 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600794363 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600794363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:11:p:1387-1397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Colin Kirkpatrick Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: Kirkpatrick Author-Name: Kenichi Shimamoto Author-X-Name-First: Kenichi Author-X-Name-Last: Shimamoto Title: The effect of environmental regulation on the locational choice of Japanese foreign direct investment Abstract: This article assesses the impact of environmental regulation (ER) in host countries on Japanese foreign direct investment (FDI) decision-making. It tests the pollution haven hypothesis using data on national (ER) standards and Japanese inward FDI in five dirty industries (iron and steel industry, nonferrous metals industry, chemicals industry, paper and pulp industry, nonmetallic products industry). The results do not support the pollution hypothesis. On the contrary, inward Japanese FDI appears to be attracted to countries which have committed themselves to a transparent and stable environment regulatory environment, suggesting that the quality of the regulatory framework in terms of its certainty and transparency has a greater influence on foreign investors' choice of location than the level of environmental regulatory measures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1399-1409 Issue: 11 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600794330 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600794330 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:11:p:1399-1409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniele Fabbri Author-X-Name-First: Daniele Author-X-Name-Last: Fabbri Author-Name: Chiara Monfardini Author-X-Name-First: Chiara Author-X-Name-Last: Monfardini Title: Style of practice and assortative mating: a recursive probit analysis of Caesarean section scheduling in Italy Abstract: We study practice variation in scheduling of caesarean section (CS) delivery across public and private hospitals in Italy. Adopting a novel perspective, we look at the role played by patients' preferences for the treatment. The recursive probit model is revisited as a useful tool to assess the presence of assortative mating of patients and provider driven by style of practice. According to our evidence, the propensity to schedule a CS is codetermined with patient self-sorting into hospital types. We measure a significantly higher inclination to practice CS scheduling in private hospitals and conclude that assortative mating is of minor relevance in our case, even if we cannot exclude it to be present. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1411-1423 Issue: 11 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771395 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771395 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:11:p:1411-1423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aquiles Elie Guimaraes Kalatzis Author-X-Name-First: Aquiles Elie Author-X-Name-Last: Guimaraes Kalatzis Author-Name: Carlos Roberto Azzoni Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Azzoni Author-Name: Jorge Alberto Achcar Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Achcar Title: Financial constraints and investment decisions: evidence from a highly unstable emerging economy Abstract: This study analyses the role of financial constraints on the investment decisions of 497 Brazilian firms. We use panel data, with firm-specific information for different years, allowing for the abandonment of the representative firm model. Information on capital intensity at the firm level is used to group firms. We estimate different models and the results suggest the presence of financial restrictions, especially for capital-intensive firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1425-1434 Issue: 11 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771379 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:11:p:1425-1434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Angeles Diaz Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Angeles Diaz Author-Name: Rosario Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Rosario Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez Title: Temporary contracts and young women in Spain Abstract: In this article we analyse the determinants of temporary employment through a balanced panel of workers from 1995 to 2000. First, we estimate a panel with 1267 individuals with ages ranging from 16 to 65 years. We obtain that the probability of having a temporary contract increases for people younger than 46 years old. Secondly, we estimate separately the sample of people younger than 46 years old and we obtain that the probability of temporality increases for young people with university level of education. More interestedly, the probability of being in a temporary contract is smaller for young women that for young men in Spain. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1435-1442 Issue: 11 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600771387 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600771387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:11:p:1435-1442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Margarita Genius Author-X-Name-First: Margarita Author-X-Name-Last: Genius Author-Name: Elisabetta Strazzera Author-X-Name-First: Elisabetta Author-X-Name-Last: Strazzera Title: Applying the copula approach to sample selection modelling Abstract: The limited availability of tractable multivariate distributions undermines the validity of the standard parametric approach to sample selection modelling. Copula distributions can be very useful in situations where the applied researcher has a prior on the distributional form of the margins, since the modelling of the latter is separated from that of the dependence structure. The present article first presents an application to female work data. Afterwards, the approach is analysed in an application to contingent valuation data on recreational values of forests. It is shown that the copula approach is especially beneficial in case of strong departures from the hypothesis of normality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1443-1455 Issue: 11 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600794348 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600794348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:11:p:1443-1455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kuo-Liang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Kuo-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shu-Ching Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Ching Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Profitability, concentration, imports and exports: the case of Taiwan's midstream petrochemical industries Abstract: Based on an open-economy oligopoly model, causalities among domestic firms' price-cost margin (PCM), domestic concentration, import and export shares are derived and a simultaneous-equation system is established. By utilizing the 1989-1997 data of Taiwan's midstream petrochemical industries, three-stage least squares is used to estimate the system. The empirical results confirm the derived results, and demonstrate: (1) there exist simultaneous relationships among domestic PCM, domestic concentration, import and export shares; (2) import concentration affects domestic concentration positively, but affects domestic PCM, import and export shares negatively; (3) diversifying international markets improves domestic firms' PCM; (4) domestic firms seem to be in a situation of collusion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1457-1473 Issue: 11 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600820697 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600820697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:11:p:1457-1473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adelina Gschwandtner Author-X-Name-First: Adelina Author-X-Name-Last: Gschwandtner Author-Name: Michael Hauser Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hauser Title: Modelling profit series: nonstationarity and long memory Abstract: The dynamic structure of profit rates for 156 US manufacturing companies is analysed by means of fractional integration techniques as an alternative to the commonly used ARIMA models with respect to the 'persistence of profits'. Thereby the pseudo-spectral density aproach of Velasco and Robinson together with model selection criteria is applied. The results show-despite the short lengths of the series and tests for the integer degrees of integration (d = 0, 1)-that 35.5% of the series may be well-approximated by long-range dependent processes, and 54% are nonstationary. This is a confirmation of the strong challenge to the competitive environment hypothesis obtained by previous studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1475-1482 Issue: 11 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600794355 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600794355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:11:p:1475-1482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evens Salies Author-X-Name-First: Evens Author-X-Name-Last: Salies Title: Mergers in the GB electricity market: effects on retail charges Abstract: The opening up of the UK residential electricity sector in 1999 prompted several studies of the impact this had on both the level and structuring of retail charges, and on incumbent players' market power. Drawing on observations of regional tariffs for the month of January 2004, this article supports previous conclusions based on simulated retail charges, looking at the response of real tariffs to distribution and transmission costs, customer density and the length of low voltage underground circuit. We also investigate whether vertically integrated suppliers have a particular effect on charges ceteris paribus the effect of cost drivers and supplier-related factors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1483-1490 Issue: 11 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600794322 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600794322 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:11:p:1483-1490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Furceri Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Furceri Author-Name: G. Karras Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Karras Title: Business-cycle synchronization in the EMU Abstract: This article asks whether the business cycles of the EU countries have become more or less synchronized after the introduction of the euro. Our findings show that all countries in our EU sample are better synchronized with the EMU-wide economy in the post-EMU period than they were before the euro. We also show that this increase in synchronization is present in all components of aggregate demand, as well as two supply-side variables, but it is more pronounced in the trade components (imports and, particularly, exports). It is also shown that the increase in trade within the EMU area is at least partly responsible for the increase in cyclical synchronization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1491-1501 Issue: 12 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600843954 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600843954 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:12:p:1491-1501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose-Luis Fernandez Author-X-Name-First: Jose-Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez Author-Name: J. Forder Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Forder Title: Consequences of local variations in social care on the performance of the acute health care sector Abstract: This article uses 2 years worth of data from 150 English local authorities to quantify the extent to which local variations in social care resources are associated with variations in performance of the acute sector, and particularly on the rates of hospital delayed discharges and hospital emergency re-admissions. Results indicate that social care services play a significant role in explaining local variations in acute sector performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1503-1518 Issue: 12 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600843939 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600843939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:12:p:1503-1518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorg Borrmann Author-X-Name-First: Jorg Author-X-Name-Last: Borrmann Title: Awarding monopoly franchises repeatedly: are second-best block-rate tariffs attainable without regulation? Abstract: Under economies of scale, Demsetz's (1968) proposal of franchise bidding results, at best, in uniform prices approaching average cost. This article questions the accepted belief that the auctioneer always needs to know the market demand function, if the concept is modified so as to allow for bids consisting of block-rate tariffs in order to increase welfare. Given a setting of repeated auctions, the auctioneer can apply a sequential mechanism to evaluate bids, instead of evaluating them in each auction independently. We characterize the conditions under which a second-best block-rate tariff for given thresholds is approached in equilibrium. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1519-1528 Issue: 12 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600829144 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600829144 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:12:p:1519-1528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liu Zhentao Author-X-Name-First: Liu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhentao Title: Testing the liquidity effect with equilibrium interest rate Abstract: We examine the existence of liquidity effects by using the equilibrium interest rates estimated from the disequilibrium analysis instead of the observed interest rate. The use of equilibrium interest rates allows us to take the growth rate in the money supply as being exogenous and circumvent the identification problem away. Following the traditional AR model and the method proposed by Hamilton (1997), we obtain evidences showing the negative relationship between the equilibrium interest rate and the growth rate in money supply. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1529-1535 Issue: 12 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600820689 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600820689 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:12:p:1529-1535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ronald Lange Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Lange Title: A decomposition of the predictive content of the term structure for output growth in Canada Abstract: The purpose of this study is to identify the underlying economic disturbances that drive the predictive content of the term structure for future output growth and those that may distort its information content. The study uses a structural vector autoregressive (VAR) model of a small and open economy for Canada that takes into account its relationship with financial markets in the USA and that Canada is a relatively large exporter of commodities. The model is used to decompose the sources of the variation of the slope of the yield curve and the correlation between the term spread and output growth. Monetary policy disturbances in both Canada and the USA, as well as short-term interest rates, are found to trigger excessive volatility in short-term rates and the term spread that do not contribute to the predictive content of the term spread for future output growth at horizons relevant for monetary policy analysis. However, innovations in output growth, inflation and other macroeconomic variables do not distort the forecast power of the term spread. Unlike the evidence for the USA, disturbances in nominal long-term yields are found to contribute about the same amount to the predictive content of the term spread as unexpected movements in monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1537-1545 Issue: 12 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600820705 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600820705 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:12:p:1537-1545 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olugbenga Onafowora Author-X-Name-First: Olugbenga Author-X-Name-Last: Onafowora Author-Name: Oluwole Owoye Author-X-Name-First: Oluwole Author-X-Name-Last: Owoye Title: Exchange rate volatility and export growth in Nigeria Abstract: This article examines the impact of exchange rate volatility on Nigeria's exports to its most important trading-partner-the United States over the quarterly period January 1980 to April 2001. Using cointegration and vector error correction (VECM) framework, empirical tests indicate the presence of a unique cointegrating vector linking real exports, real foreign income, relative export prices and real exchange rate volatility in the long run. Furthermore, the results show that increases in the volatility of the real exchange rate raise uncertainty about profits to be made which exert significant negative effects on exports both in the short- and long-run. Our results also show that improvements in the terms of trade (represented by declines in the real exchange rate) and real foreign income exert positive effects on export activity. Most importantly, we found that the trade liberalization and economic reform policies implemented in the post-1986 structural adjustment period contributed to Nigeria's export performance. Overall, our findings suggest that Nigeria's exporting activities can be further boosted by policies aimed at achieving and maintaining a stable competitive real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1547-1556 Issue: 12 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600827676 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600827676 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:12:p:1547-1556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: A structural Bayesian VAR for model-based fan charts Abstract: Inflation forecast uncertainty is of importance for a wide range of agents in the economy, central banks in particular. Ways to describe and account for this uncertainty in a consistent manner have received increasing attention of late, in part due to the growing number of inflation-targeting central banks. This article develops a large structural VAR for the Swedish economy and estimates it in a Bayesian framework. The methodology permits not only structural interpretation and analysis but offers a natural way to formalize forecast uncertainty, as the posterior predictive density from the model has the interpretation of a fan chart. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1557-1569 Issue: 12 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600843947 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600843947 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:12:p:1557-1569 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Detection of switching cointegration rank allowing for switching lag structure: an application to money-demand function Abstract: A new method is developed for detecting regime switches between cointegration and no-cointegration at unknown times allowing for switching lag structure. In this method, time-series observations are divided into several segments, and a regression model with or without cointegration is fitted to each segment. The goodness of fit of the global model composed of these local models is evaluated using the corresponding modified information criterion, and the division which minimizes this criterion defines the best model. Simulation results suggest that the proposed method works well. Empirical results indicate that money demand is well described by the proposed method in Canada, UK and Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1571-1582 Issue: 12 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600843962 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600843962 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:12:p:1571-1582 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yue Ma Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Ying Chu Ng Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Ng Title: Bootstrapping statistical inferences of decomposition methods for gender earnings differentials Abstract: Applying the standard bootstrapping technique with corrections for heteroskedasticity for a sample of the 1997 Urban Household Survey in China, the present article attempts to test (1) whether the commonly used decomposition methods for gender earnings differentials give significantly different results and (2) whether the explained component is significantly different from the unexplained component (which is commonly referred to as discrimination) within each decomposition method. Based on a national data set, the empirical results indicated some significant differences in both tests. The implication of the results is that the proposed bootstrapping technique can be regarded as a guideline on applying which approach to decompose gender earnings differentials among different methods without losing important information, and on evaluating the relative importance of the decomposition components for any chosen method. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1583-1593 Issue: 12 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600843970 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600843970 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:12:p:1583-1593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Lawrance Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Lawrance Author-Name: Robert Marks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Marks Title: Firm size distributions in an industry with constrained resources Abstract: We propose an equilibrium model for firm size distribution in an industry with a constrained essential input. The model applies when the population of firms is small and homogeneous and the supply of the necessary input factor is perfectly inelastic. We argue that although the Gibrat assumption obtains, this does not result in the lognormal distribution because of the entries, exits and mergers of firms competing for the inelastic essential resource. Using our own 32-year database of firms, we test the broken-stick, or random-ordered-interval, model that we call the Whitworth distribution, successfully applied by others to a number of data sets, including the abundances of bird species. We propose the Whitworth as the basic model of the equilibrium distribution of firm sizes for such supply-constrained industries, and find it fits our 31-year database best. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1595-1607 Issue: 12 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600843988 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600843988 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:12:p:1595-1607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Bajo-Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Bajo-Rubio Author-Name: Carmen Diaz-Roldan Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Diaz-Roldan Author-Name: Vicente Esteve Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Esteve Title: US deficit sustainability revisited: a multiple structural change approach Abstract: In this article we re-examine the long-run sustainability of US budget deficits, using Bai and Perron's multiple structural change approach. While the deficit would have been weakly sustainable over the full sample (1947:1-2005:3), strong sustainability would appear only between January 1982 and February 1996. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1609-1613 Issue: 12 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600843996 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600843996 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:12:p:1609-1613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarlok Singh Author-X-Name-First: Tarlok Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Financial development and economic growth nexus: a time-series evidence from India Abstract: This study examines the relationship between financial development and economic growth in India for the period 1951-52 to 1995-96. The long-run equilibrium and short-run dynamic models are estimated using financial interrelations ratio and new issue ratio as the measures of financial development, a la Goldsmith (1969). The Johansen (1991) estimator rejects the null of zero cointegrating vector and shows the presence of long-run equilibrium relationship between financial development and economic growth. The error correction model, impulse response and variance decomposition analyses (Sims, 1980), and the Toda and Yamamoto (1995) estimator show the presence of bidirectional Granger-causality between financial development and economic growth. The presence of bidirectional Granger-causality suggested by these estimators points towards the possible problem of endogeneity and simultaneity bias in the growth models that examine the contemporaneous effect of financial development on economic growth. The economic reforms that started since July 1991 emphasized on the liberalization and development of financial sector to supplement the efforts aimed at achieving high economic growth in India. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1615-1627 Issue: 12 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600892886 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600892886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:12:p:1615-1627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuqing Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yuqing Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Henry Kinnucan Author-X-Name-First: Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Kinnucan Author-Name: Henry Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: News and volatility of food prices Abstract: Financial markets exhibit an asymmetric news effect with unexpected low prices generating more price volatility than 'news' of high prices. The present study examines US food markets for such asymmetric news effects. Analysis of 25 years of monthly data for 45 retail food items shows that price news destabilizes about a third of the markets with unexpected price increases more destabilizing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1629-1635 Issue: 13 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600892910 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600892910 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:13:p:1629-1635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shaikh Hamid Author-X-Name-First: Shaikh Author-X-Name-Last: Hamid Author-Name: Tej Dhakar Author-X-Name-First: Tej Author-X-Name-Last: Dhakar Title: The behaviour of the US consumer price index 1913-2003: a study of seasonality in the monthly US CPI Abstract: This article analyses the seasonality in the monthly consumer price index (CPI) over the period January 1913 to December 2003. We examine three types of month effects: if the mean of monthly CPI changes of the entire data set, and of a given month were significantly different from zero; if the mean of monthly CPI changes of a given month was different from the mean of the other months; and if the variance of the monthly CPI changes for a given month was different from the variance of the other months. The mean of monthly CPI changes for the entire data set (0.27%) was found to be significantly greater than zero. The means of monthly changes show a downward trend from September to December. When the data are sliced into three sub-periods, we find an increasing trend in the means and medians of monthly changes but a decreasing trend in the SDs of the monthly changes. The mean of monthly CPI changes during the republican presidencies (0.15%) was significantly lower than during the democratic presidencies (0.38%). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1637-1650 Issue: 13 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905159 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905159 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:13:p:1637-1650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alvaro Aguiar Author-X-Name-First: Alvaro Author-X-Name-Last: Aguiar Author-Name: Manuel Martins Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Martins Title: Testing for asymmetries in the preferences of the euro-area monetary policymaker Abstract: This article tests for asymmetries in the preferences of the euro-area monetary policymaker with 1995:1-2005:2 data from the latest update of the European Central Bank's (ECB's) Area-wide database. Following the relevant literature, we distinguish between three types of asymmetry: precautionary demand for expansions, precautionary demand for price stability and interest rate smoothing asymmetry. Based on the joint generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation of the Euler equation of optimal policy and the aggregate supply-aggregate demand (AS-AD) structure of the macroeconomy, we find evidence of precautionary demand for price stability in the preferences revealed by the monetary policymaker. This type of asymmetry is consistent with the ECB's definition of price stability and with the priority of credibility-building by a recently created monetary authority. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1651-1667 Issue: 13 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600870999 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600870999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:13:p:1651-1667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Ezcurra Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra Author-Name: Belen Iraizoz Author-X-Name-First: Belen Author-X-Name-Last: Iraizoz Author-Name: Pedro Pascual Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual Author-Name: Manuel Rapun Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Rapun Title: Spatial disparities in the European agriculture: a regional analysis Abstract: This article examines the territorial imbalances in European agriculture during the period 1980 to 2001, by means of the information provided by various methodological instruments which allow us to overcome the drawbacks of conventional convergence analysis. The results obtained reveal that the regional distribution of productivity in the agricultural sector is characterized by the presence of positive spatial dependence. This fact implies that the European regions in close spatial proximity register similar levels of the variable under study, which highlights the relevance of geographical location in this context. The empirical evidence presented also shows that regional disparities have remained almost constant during the time interval considered. However, the increase in density around the European average explains the observed reduction in the degree of bipolarization, while intra-distribution mobility is relatively limited. Finally, the analysis carried out allows us to assess the role of variables such as country of origin, investment per worker in the agricultural sector, regional per capita income or the size of the agrifood industry, in explaining the dynamics of the distribution under analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1669-1684 Issue: 13 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905175 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905175 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:13:p:1669-1684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuan-Hung Hsu Ku Author-X-Name-First: Yuan-Hung Hsu Author-X-Name-Last: Ku Title: Student-t distribution based VAR-MGARCH: an application of the DCC model on international portfolio risk management Abstract: Significant second-moment transmission effects and obvious time-varying patterns of correlation coefficients among major equity and currency markets in the US, Japan and the UK are found to exist. Such observations inspire the time-varying setting of dynamic conditional correlation coefficients in MGARCH models. On the other hand, the multivariate Student-t distribution is suitable for analysing the visible leptokurtosis that is common in financial markets. Both are important for international portfolio risk management. Thus, a comparison on the hedging efficiency of hypothetical portfolios consisting of stock and currency future positions is conducted in order to justify the multivariate Student-t distribution based on the DCC-MGARCH model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1685-1697 Issue: 13 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600892894 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600892894 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:13:p:1685-1697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Jara-Diaz Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Jara-Diaz Author-Name: Beatriz Tovar Author-X-Name-First: Beatriz Author-X-Name-Last: Tovar Author-Name: Lourdes Trujillo Author-X-Name-First: Lourdes Author-X-Name-Last: Trujillo Title: On the proper modelling of multioutput port cargo handling costs Abstract: Cargo handling activities involve various heterogeneous outputs, e.g. general cargo, containers, dry and liquid bulk and so on. These activities in ports, however, have been usually analysed using aggregate descriptions of output such as total tons moved. The main purpose of this article is to show that ignoring this heterogeneity may lead to two types of problems: (i) the underestimation of the relevance of key dimensions (i.e. marginal costs per product and economies of scope) and (ii) a bias in the estimates of the relevance of other dimensions (economies of scale). To do so, we rely on a unique new dataset on three cargo handling firms operating in a Spanish port between 1991 and 1999. We use it to estimate both a multi-output cost for these three operators, as well as an aggregate cost function. The policy conclusions are derived from an explicit and detailed comparison of these two sets of estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1699-1705 Issue: 13 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600892902 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600892902 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:13:p:1699-1705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Luis Fernandez-Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Jose Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Serrano Author-Name: M. Dolores Robles-Fernandez Author-X-Name-First: M. Dolores Author-X-Name-Last: Robles-Fernandez Title: Time-series model forecasts and structural breaks: evidence from Spanish pre-EMU interest rates Abstract: Analysis of the future behaviour of economic variables can be biased if structural breaks are not considered. When these structural breaks are present, the in-sample fit of a model gives us a poor guide to ex ante forecast performance. This problem is true for both univariate and multivariate analysis and can be extremely important when co-integration relationships are analysed. The main goal of this article is to analyse the impact of structural breaks on forecast accuracy evaluation. We focus on forecasting several interest rates from the Spanish interbank money market. In order to carry out the analysis, we perform two forecasting exercises: (a) without structural breaks and (b) when structural breaks are explicitly considered. We use new sequential methods in order to estimate change-points in an endogenous way. This method allows us to detect structural breaks in all four rates in May 1993. However, the effects of these breaks are not very strong, since we found scarce gains in forecasting accuracy when the structural breaks are included in the models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1707-1721 Issue: 13 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600895640 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600895640 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:13:p:1707-1721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atsushi Yoshida Author-X-Name-First: Atsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Yoshida Author-Name: Young-Sook Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young-Sook Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Sharing health risk and income risk within households: evidence from Japanese data Abstract: The question of which household members should consume medical services, and in what quantities, is examined by using Japanese household-level data. Two key concepts are employed, health risk and income risk, and whether family heads or dependants bear these risks investigated. Health risk is the risk that a household member falls ill, while income risk is the risk that future household income decreases. It is found that both heads and dependants make fewer visits to doctors as household size increases. It is also found that only dependants visited doctors less frequently following the reform of the public health insurance system, which raised the co-payment rate of family heads from 10% to 20%. These findings imply that heads and dependants share health risk but dependants bear income risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1723-1735 Issue: 13 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600895798 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600895798 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:13:p:1723-1735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Chu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Evaluating the operational efficiency of major ports in the Asia-Pacific region using data envelopment analysis Abstract: In recent years, as competition among international ports has intensified, the impartial and objective evaluation of port operational efficiency has become increasingly important in enabling each individual port to understand its peculiar strengths and weaknesses, as well as any immediate threats or opportunities that may affect its competitive environment. This study applies CCR model, BCC model and 3-stage DEA model to evaluate the changes in efficiency that have taken place between 1998 and 2001 in 10 ports in the Asia-Pacific region using cross-period data. The empirical results show that different model will lead to different result. On average, the efficiency estimated by 3-stage DEA procedure is the highest, while CCR efficiency is the lowest. It should be noted that the efficiencies based on CCR and BCC model are somewhat lower than the 3-stage DEA approaches, because they do not take the environmental factors, managerial inefficiency and statistical noises into account. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1737-1743 Issue: 13 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905126 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:13:p:1737-1743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sigbjorn Tveteras Author-X-Name-First: Sigbjorn Author-X-Name-Last: Tveteras Author-Name: Frank Asche Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Asche Title: International fish trade and exchange rates: an application to the trade with salmon and fishmeal Abstract: International fish trade is growing, and fish exports represent an important source of foreign currency for many countries. For a few countries the exports are also an essential part of the economy. We revisit the seminal paper of Richardson (1978) that addresses the issue of exchange rate pass-through in commodity markets, but in a multivariate cointegration framework. The multivariate cointegration framework allows us to test common assumptions like exchange rate pass-through, leading price, central markets, and exogeneity of exchange rates. This approach is particularly suited when studying markets for primary products. We provide empirical examples using salmon imports to Japan and fish meal exports from Peru to Germany. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1745-1755 Issue: 13 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905134 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905134 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:13:p:1745-1755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jie-Min Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jie-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Sheng-Hong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Sheng-Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The effects of price and smoking risk information on the demand for tobacco in Taiwan: an empirical study Abstract: This study evaluates the effects of a cigarette price increase and smoking risk information on tobacco consumption in Taiwan. Tobacco price, expenditure and an index of smoking risk information for Taiwan were introduced into a Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) demand model to estimate several cigarette demand elasticity coefficients. According to this model, increasing the cigarette price is a more effective means of reducing cigarette consumption than disseminating more risk information. In addition, we found that a price rise of NT$5 per cigarette pack would cause a reduction in the consumption of domestic and imported cigarettes of 3.23 and 4.86 packs per capita, respectively. Total per capita consumption of cigarettes would be reduced annually by 8.09 packs (7.56%). Despite this reduction in cigarette consumption, the increase in cigarette price would at the same time lead to a significant net increase in tax revenue to the Taiwan government. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1757-1767 Issue: 13 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905142 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:13:p:1757-1767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Pakko Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pakko Title: No smoking at the slot machines: the effect of a smoke-free law on Delaware gaming revenues Abstract: As communities around the nation consider laws restricting smoking in public places, a key political and economic issue that often arises is the effect that such laws have on the sales and profits of particular sectors. The gaming industry has been active in opposition to such ordinances, citing large prospective losses. This article analyses the revenues of three gaming facilities in Delaware following the implementation of a smoke-free law in December 2002. Revenues are found to have declined significantly at each of the three facilities, with relative magnitudes of losses corresponding to the availability of alternative gaming venues in the region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1769-1774 Issue: 14 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905241 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905241 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:14:p:1769-1774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Joachim Tan Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: Forecasting international bandwidth capacity using linear and ANN methods Abstract: An artificial neural network (ANN) can improve forecasts through pattern recognition of historical data. This article evaluates the reliability of ANN methods, as opposed to simple extrapolation techniques, to forecast Internet bandwidth index data that is bursty in nature. A simple feedforward ANN model is selected as a nonlinear alternative, as it is flexible enough to model complex linear or nonlinear relationships without any prior assumptions about the data generating process. These data are virtually white noise and provides a challenge to forecasters. Using standard forecast error statistics, the ANN and the simple exponential smoothing model provide modestly better forecasts than other extrapolation methods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1775-1787 Issue: 14 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905183 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:14:p:1775-1787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Maddison Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Maddison Author-Name: Anders Jul Pedersen Author-X-Name-First: Anders Author-X-Name-Last: Jul Pedersen Title: The death effect in art prices: evidence from Denmark Abstract: Analysing a panel of paintings by Danish painters suggests that the conditional life expectancy of the artist at the time of sale has a negative impact on the sale price. This is consistent with the idea that artists share some of the characteristics of durable monopolists and that the aging and ultimately the death of the artist represent acceptable forms of commitment not to 'overproduce'. In addition interest in an artist's work begins to wane after their death. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1789-1793 Issue: 14 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905191 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905191 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:14:p:1789-1793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takashi Unayama Author-X-Name-First: Takashi Author-X-Name-Last: Unayama Title: Measuring the substitution bias in Japan: the demand system approach and a superlative index Abstract: This study estimates the demand system using Japanese micro data and calculates the cost of living index (COLI) to assess the substitution bias in the Consumer Price Index. The estimated bias during the sample period of 1982-2000 is about 0.06 percentage points, which is larger than the estimates calculated from a superlative index. The difference between the COLI and a superlative index can be explained with the upward movements of the average utility level in Japan, since the cost of living for the rich has grown more rapidly than that for the poor. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1795-1806 Issue: 14 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905209 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:14:p:1795-1806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yigit Aydede Author-X-Name-First: Yigit Author-X-Name-Last: Aydede Title: Aggregate consumption function and public social security: the first time-series study for a developing country, Turkey Abstract: This article is the first attempt in the literature to investigate the effects of public social security on aggregate consumption in a time-series setting for a developing country, Turkey that has one of the most generous social security systems in the organization for economic cooperation and development (OECD) region. In order to quantify the social security variable, this article uses the social security wealth (SSW) series calculated for Turkey in a separate study. This study indicates that SSW is the largest part of the household wealth in Turkey, and therefore should not be ignored in the aggregate consumption studies. The results show that its effect on consumption is positive and robust. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1807-1826 Issue: 14 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905167 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905167 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:14:p:1807-1826 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Mate-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Mate-Garcia Author-Name: Jose Rodriguez-Fernandez Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez-Fernandez Title: Productivity and R&D: an econometric evidence from Spanish firm-level data Abstract: This article analyses the relationship between productivity growth and R&D investments of Spanish manufacturing firms during the 1990s. The theoretical model is a version of the Cobb-Douglas production function in its growth rate form. The purpose is to estimate the rate of return to R&D expenditures. The econometric specification is a distributed lag model. The estimation applies the generalized method of moments method. The main empirical finding is that a positive and significant role is played by R&D expenditures on productivity growth. The rate of return to R&D expenditures is 26.598%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1827-1837 Issue: 14 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905217 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905217 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:14:p:1827-1837 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heinz Welsch Author-X-Name-First: Heinz Author-X-Name-Last: Welsch Title: The welfare costs of corruption Abstract: Corruption has been shown to affect a variety of economic indicators, especially GDP per capita. However, as GDP is not a genuine indicator of welfare, it may reflect the welfare costs of corruption only in an incomplete way. This article uses self-rated subjective well-being as an empirical approximation to general welfare and shows that cross-national welfare - operationalized in this way - is affected by corruption not only indirectly through GDP, but also directly through nonmaterial factors. This article estimates the size of these effects as well as their monetary equivalent. The direct effect - not previously investigated in the corruption literature - is found to be substantially larger than the indirect effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1839-1849 Issue: 14 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905225 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905225 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:14:p:1839-1849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felix Lopez-Iturriaga Author-X-Name-First: Felix Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Iturriaga Author-Name: Juan Antonio Rodriguez-Sanz Author-X-Name-First: Juan Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez-Sanz Title: Capital structure and institutional setting: a decompositional and international analysis Abstract: The legal and institutional setting is more and more influential in firms' financial decisions. Our article analyses firms' capital structure in an international framework in order to assess the different level of debt use across countries and to identify both common and differential explanatory factors. Although the level of financial leverage is quite different, the factors that have traditionally driven capital structure decisions have much in common in all the legal and institutional settings. The performance and size of the firm, the assets tangibility and the growth opportunities have a relevant but differential effect across the different institutional systems. Consequently, our results suggest that the legal and institutional system of each country does not only affect firms' capital structure but also creates the conditions to explain a differential effect of the common determinants of firms' financial choices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1851-1864 Issue: 14 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905233 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905233 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:14:p:1851-1864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Granier Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Granier Title: Endogenous mergers and cost heterogeneity Abstract: The objective of this article is to analyze the effect of firms' heterogeneity on their incentives to merge. To reach this target, merger decisions are modelled as endogenous. To simplify the analysis, we focus on the extreme case where merger leads to monopolization. Kamien and Zang (1990, 1993) give monopolization conditions in static and dynamic acquisition games. Introducing cost heterogeneity in a n-firm industry, we provide more general monopolization conditions. Indeed, we show that any industry can be monopolized if cost heterogeneity is large enough. This result provides new information to competition authorities on concentration possibilities and allows them to focus particularly on some industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1865-1871 Issue: 14 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905258 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905258 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:14:p:1865-1871 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emilio Galdeano-Gomez Author-X-Name-First: Emilio Author-X-Name-Last: Galdeano-Gomez Title: Productivity effects of environmental performance: evidence from TFP analysis on marketing cooperatives Abstract: The object of the present article is to offer a decomposition of productivity indices incorporating environmental changes. The model followed is an input oriented approach related to undesirable output (environmental performance attribute) in horticultural marketing cooperatives. This study is motivated by both the lack of analysis of environmental performance's effects on agribusiness productivity and the relevance of cooperative firms in the European agricultural model for attaining sustainability. For this purpose, bootstrapped envelopment analysis is applied and the best practice frontier obtained corresponds to decision making units showing the best environmental behaviour. The Malmquist total factor productivity (TFP) is decomposed into technological change, efficiency and environmental change. In the second stage, the correlations of these changes with other management variables of cooperatives are analysed. The indicators obtained, on one hand, advice about the nonseparable distance function estimations when the environmental factor is introduced. On the other hand, the results display a relevant increase in efficiency and environmental components for the period under study showing a high influence from labour qualification, environmental effort and spillover effect in the sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1873-1888 Issue: 14 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905266 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905266 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:14:p:1873-1888 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Machiel van Dijk Author-X-Name-First: Machiel Author-X-Name-Last: van Dijk Author-Name: Michiel Bijlsma Author-X-Name-First: Michiel Author-X-Name-Last: Bijlsma Author-Name: Marc Pomp Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Pomp Title: The price of free advice Abstract: What factors determine how well consumers make their actual choices with regard to financial products? This article empirically evaluates two different choices consumers make when buying deferred annuities. One choice concerns the type of insurance policy, the other concerns the choice of insurance provider. For both choices, we will analyse what factors explain the quality of the choice made. In particular, we will investigate the role of financial advice in the decision-making process. By combining Dutch consumer survey data and data on quotations by Dutch life insurance companies, we obtain the following results. First, respondents who buy their policy directly from an insurer attain a significantly better match between their risk preferences and the type of policy chosen than respondents who purchase their policy through an insurance broker. Second, respondents who buy their policy through an insurance broker obtain a significantly lower payout than respondents who purchased their policy directly from an insurance company. These results raise doubts about the functioning of both the market for financial advice and the market for life insurances. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1889-1903 Issue: 14 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905274 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905274 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:14:p:1889-1903 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magda Kandil Author-X-Name-First: Magda Author-X-Name-Last: Kandil Title: Price flexibility in developing countries: evidence and implications Abstract: Using data for a sample of 50 developing countries, the empirical investigation evaluates determinants and implications of asymmetric price flexibility. Price inflation is characterized by high flexibility to adjust towards full equilibrium. Further, price inflation accelerates flexibly with unanticipated demand growth, in both the upward and downward directions, in most of the countries under investigation. Asymmetry indicates higher upward flexibility compared to downward flexibility in many countries. Aggregate uncertainty determines the degree of asymmetry such that price flexibility is higher with respect to expansionary demand shocks, compared to contractionary shocks, the higher the variability of aggregate demand across countries. In contrast, higher trend price inflation increases downward price flexibility. Across countries, output variability decreases with both upward and downward price flexibility in the face of aggregate demand shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1905-1918 Issue: 15 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905290 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905290 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:15:p:1905-1918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelvin Balcombe Author-X-Name-First: Kelvin Author-X-Name-Last: Balcombe Author-Name: Iain Fraser Author-X-Name-First: Iain Author-X-Name-Last: Fraser Author-Name: Laure Latruffe Author-X-Name-First: Laure Author-X-Name-Last: Latruffe Author-Name: Mizanur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Mizanur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Author-Name: Laurence Smith Author-X-Name-First: Laurence Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: An application of the DEA double bootstrap to examine sources of efficiency in Bangladesh rice farming Abstract: In this article we examine sources of technical efficiency for rice farming in Bangladesh. The motivation for the analysis is the need to close the rice yield gap to enable food security. We employ the DEA double bootstrap of Simar and Wilson (2007) to estimate and explain technical efficiency. This technique overcomes severe limitations inherent in using the two-stage DEA approach commonly employed in the efficiency literature. From a policy perspective our results show that potential efficiency gains to reduce the yield gap are greater than previously found. Statistically positive influences on technical efficiency are education, extension and credit, with age being a negative influence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1919-1925 Issue: 15 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905282 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905282 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:15:p:1919-1925 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mousumi Duttaray Author-X-Name-First: Mousumi Author-X-Name-Last: Duttaray Author-Name: Amitava Dutt Author-X-Name-First: Amitava Author-X-Name-Last: Dutt Author-Name: Kajal Mukhopadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Kajal Author-X-Name-Last: Mukhopadhyay Title: Foreign direct investment and economic growth in less developed countries: an empirical study of causality and mechanisms Abstract: We examine the causality between foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth for 66 developing countries, taking into account their interaction with exports and technological change. Time series analysis for each country is conducted, based on a method introduced by Toda and Yamamoto (1995) for testing Granger causality in the presence of nonstationary time series. The main findings of this article are: FDI causes growth in several of the developing countries, but the mechanism through which this works differs across countries and reverse causality from growth to FDI exists for many countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1927-1939 Issue: 15 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949231 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949231 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:15:p:1927-1939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diansheng Dong Author-X-Name-First: Diansheng Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Harry Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: Studying household purchasing and nonpurchasing behaviour for a frequently consumed commodity: two models Abstract: A panel data double-hurdle model is developed to analyse household purchasing behaviour. The model, a time-series extension of Cragg's conventional double-hurdle model of censored consumption, is able to account not only for the censored nature of commodity purchases, but also for the temporal linkage of the purchase process. The panel data double-hurdle model is compared with the marked renewal model that has also been used for studying household purchasing behaviour. The empirical results of the double-hurdle model show that for household milk purchases hurdle due to noneconomic reasons exists. The results of the marked purchase renewal model showed that the duration dependence is positive. Both models fit the data well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1941-1951 Issue: 15 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949272 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949272 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:15:p:1941-1951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. McKenzie Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: McKenzie Title: Privatization and economic growth in Australia: the shorthand of a long process Abstract: The impact of privatization on economic growth has been little investigated relative to disaggregated approaches. A growth accounting framework is used here to investigate the impact of privatization on growth for the Australian economy. The contribution of public capital to the private sector and whether the growth process is endogenous or Solow is evaluated. Separate measures of public and private capital are computed in order to estimate their impacts with labour on Australian gross domestic product (GDP) growth for the period 1960 to 2003. A simple growth rates version is found preferred by stationarity and other tests. Labour growth appears to strongly positively influence the growth of GDP. In contrast, public capital growth has no statistically significant effect on GDP growth, or on private capital productivity. The data are consistent with the hypothesis that the coefficients of the growth equation are the same before and during privatization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1953-1967 Issue: 15 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600915257 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600915257 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:15:p:1953-1967 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcos Alvarez-Diaz Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarez-Diaz Title: Exchange rates forecasting: local or global methods? Abstract: Exchange rates forecasters usually assume that local methods (nearest neighbour) dominate the global ones (neural networks or genetic programming, for example). In this article, first, we use different generalizations of the standard nearest neighbours to predict the dynamic evolution of the Yen/US$ and Pound Sterling/US$ exchange rates one-period ahead. Second, we compare our results with those employing global methods such as neural networks, genetic programming, data fusion and evolutionary neural networks. Finally, we find out the existence of predictable structures τ periods ahead. Our results reveal a slightly but significant forecasting ability for one-period ahead which is lost when more periods ahead are considered, and no important predictive differences between local and global methods have been found. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1969-1984 Issue: 15 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600905308 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600905308 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:15:p:1969-1984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brent Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: The role of user fees in the cost-benefit analysis of privatization with an application to inpatient psychiatric services in the US Abstract: When there is no asset sale and thus no lump sum revenues to accrue to the government, one of the major benefits of privatization is then absent. Because of this, the revenues that were previously obtained from private clients assume more importance. This article incorporates these client revenues fully into a cost-benefit framework and applies the framework to an evaluation of the privatization of psychiatric wards in nonfederal general hospitals in the United States. We find that the privatization of psychiatric services in general hospitals would provide a social gain only if the change took place using for-profit rather than nonprofit hospitals, a finding that depends crucially on including the excess burden effects of public revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1985-1993 Issue: 15 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600915265 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600915265 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:15:p:1985-1993 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amit Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Amit Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: Saumik Paul Author-X-Name-First: Saumik Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Title: Opening the Pandora's box? Trade openness and informal sector growth Abstract: This article constructs a labour transition model combining the features of job loss and job creation in the formal sector of an economy. The theoretical model examines the impact of trade liberalization on net job transition from formal to informal sector. In the light of our model we establish certain pre-conditions based on simulations under which trade liberalization is accompanied by rising informal sector. The model outcome conforms to the empirical evidence of rising informality with openness which we find in 18 Central Eastern European and Former Soviet Union countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1995-2007 Issue: 15 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600915273 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600915273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:15:p:1995-2007 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Olivares Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Olivares Title: Rear-view-mirror driving in defined contribution systems: the strange formula of the Chilean pension funds Abstract: The pioneering regulation on Chilean pension funds under Defined Contribution program requires private managing institutions to exclusively manage individual accounts and meet a minimum return to their clients. The purpose of this study is to empirically investigate the investment behaviour of pension funds and to contribute to the Social Security debate. The findings reveal the benchmark significantly explains funds' performance. Pension funds tend to replicate their asset allocations to exhibit similarities in returns. We believe the obligation on fund managers to attain a minimum guaranteed return, based on relative performance evaluation, encourages them not to deviate from the industry's performance; indeed, the benchmark explains most of the group performance. To hold similar allocations, managers may monitor each others through their investment style. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2009-2019 Issue: 15 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600936345 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600936345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:15:p:2009-2019 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vladimir Teles Author-X-Name-First: Vladimir Author-X-Name-Last: Teles Author-Name: Joaquim Andrade Author-X-Name-First: Joaquim Author-X-Name-Last: Andrade Title: Monetary policy and country risk Abstract: This article develops an econometric model in order to study country risk behaviour for six emerging economies (Argentina, Mexico, Russia, Thailand, Korea and Indonesia), by expanding the country beta risk model of Harvey and Zhou (1993), Erb et al. (1996a, b) and Gangemi et al. (2000). Towards this end, we have analysed the impact of macroeconomic variables, especially monetary policy, upon country risk, by way of a time-varying parameter approach. The results indicate an unstable effect of monetary policy upon country risk in periods of crisis. However, this effect is stable in other periods, and the Favero-Giavazzi effect is not verified for all economies, with an opposite effect being observed in many cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2021-2028 Issue: 15 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949249 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949249 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:15:p:2021-2028 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Goksel Armagan Author-X-Name-First: Goksel Author-X-Name-Last: Armagan Author-Name: Cuma Akbay Author-X-Name-First: Cuma Author-X-Name-Last: Akbay Title: An econometric analysis of urban households' animal products consumption in Turkey Abstract: People in developing countries are increasing their consumption from the very low levels of the past, and they have a long way to go before coming near developed country averages. In this study, households' animal products consumption patterns are analysed by using Linear Approximation of Almost Ideal Demand System (LA/AIDS) and survey data collected from households in urban areas in Turkey. According to the results of the study, annual per capita consumption of animal products were 48.18 kg for milk, 26.89 kg for yogurt, 18.55 kg for cheese, 6.45 kg for meat, 22.11 kg for poultry and 10.05 kg for fish. Price elasticities were found to be lower than 1 for milk, yogurt, cheese, poultry and fish and higher than 1 for meat. Moreover, the impacts of socio-demographic factors on the demand for animal products were found to be very low. Determination of production targets and formulation of polices are possible by obtaining the proper information related to the livestock products. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2029-2036 Issue: 15 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949256 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949256 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:15:p:2029-2036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isidoro Guzman Author-X-Name-First: Isidoro Author-X-Name-Last: Guzman Author-Name: Carmelo Reverte Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo Author-X-Name-Last: Reverte Title: Productivity and efficiency change and shareholder value: evidence from the Spanish banking sector Abstract: Productivity change and shareholder value have been analysed in the banking sector in the last few years, although it should be noted that these two important aspects have been studied separately. In this regard, the main contribution of our study is to link these two lines of research by verifying whether those banks characterized by higher levels of efficiency and productivity change have a higher shareholder value. To measure changes in efficiency and productivity we use the Malmquist nonparametric technique, which is calculated from Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) linear programming approach. The Malmquist total factor productivity index enables separation of the 'catching up' effect, i.e. changes over time in technical efficiency, from 'technological change', i.e. the shift of best practice frontier over time due to technological progress. Our results for a sample of listed Spanish banks in the period 2000 to 2004 confirm that those banks with higher efficiency and productivity changes have a higher shareholder value, even after controlling for the impact of traditional measures of performance, such as return on assets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2037-2044 Issue: 15 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949413 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949413 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:15:p:2037-2044 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akhter Faroque Author-X-Name-First: Akhter Author-X-Name-Last: Faroque Title: An investigation into the demand for alcoholic beverages in Canada: a choice between the almost ideal and the Rotterdam models Abstract: In this article I investigate the historical pattern of interactions in the demand for three categories of alcoholic beverages in Canada, using both the differential Almost Ideal and the differential Rotterdam demand systems. I evaluate these models based on several decision criteria including model encompassment (based on the J-test), structural stability, conformity with demand theory and the credibility of the estimated price and income responses, in an attempt to determine which of these models is better suited for explaining the demand for alcoholic beverages. The results reveal that both models satisfy the restrictions of demand theory and of structural stability but the Rotterdam model is preferable on grounds of the remaining two criteria. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2045-2054 Issue: 16 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949363 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:16:p:2045-2054 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelvin Balcombe Author-X-Name-First: Kelvin Author-X-Name-Last: Balcombe Author-Name: Sophia Davidova Author-X-Name-First: Sophia Author-X-Name-Last: Davidova Author-Name: Laure Latruffe Author-X-Name-First: Laure Author-X-Name-Last: Latruffe Title: The use of bootstrapped Malmquist indices to reassess productivity change findings: an application to a sample of Polish farms Abstract: This article assesses the extent to which sampling variation affects findings about Malmquist productivity change derived using data envelopment analysis (DEA), in the first stage by calculating productivity indices and in the second stage by investigating the farm-specific change in productivity. Confidence intervals for Malmquist indices are constructed using Simar and Wilson's (1999) bootstrapping procedure. The main contribution of this article is to account in the second stage for the information in the second stage provided by the first-stage bootstrap. The DEA SEs of the Malmquist indices given by bootstrapping are employed in an innovative heteroscedastic panel regression, using a maximum likelihood procedure. The application is to a sample of 250 Polish farms over the period 1996 to 2000. The confidence intervals' results suggest that the second half of 1990s for Polish farms was characterized not so much by productivity regress but rather by stagnation. As for the determinants of farm productivity change, we find that the integration of the DEA SEs in the second-stage regression is significant in explaining a proportion of the variance in the error term. Although our heteroscedastic regression results differ with those from the standard OLS, in terms of significance and sign, they are consistent with theory and previous research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2055-2061 Issue: 16 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949264 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949264 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:16:p:2055-2061 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. A. Bikker Author-X-Name-First: J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bikker Author-Name: M. van Leuvensteijn Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: van Leuvensteijn Title: Competition and efficiency in the Dutch life insurance industry Abstract: The lack of available prices in the Dutch life insurance industry makes competition an elusive concept that defies direct observation. Therefore, this article investigates competition by analysing several factors which may affect the competitive nature of a market and various indirect measurement approaches. After discussing various supply and demand factors which may constitute a so-called tight oligopoly, we establish the existence of scale economies and the importance of cost X-inefficiency, since severe competition would force firms to exploit available scale economies and to reduce X-inefficiencies. Both scale economies and X-inefficiencies turn out to be substantial, although more or less comparable to those found for insurers in other countries and to other financial institutions. Further, we apply the Boone indicator, a novel approach to measuring the effects of competition. This indicator points to limited competition in comparison to other sectors in the Netherlands. Further investigations of submarkets should reveal where policy measures in order to promote competition might be appropriate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2063-2084 Issue: 16 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949298 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949298 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:16:p:2063-2084 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raul Crespo Author-X-Name-First: Raul Author-X-Name-Last: Crespo Title: Total factor productivity: an unobserved components approach Abstract: This work examines the presence of unobserved components in the time-series of total factor productivity (TFP), which is an idea central to modern Macroeconomics. The main approaches in both the study of economic growth and the study of business cycles rely on certain properties of the different components of the time-series of TFP. In the study of economic growth, the Neoclassical growth model explains growth in terms of technical progress as measured by the secular component of TFP. While in the study of business cycles, the Real Business Cycle approach explains short-run fluctuations in the economy as determined by temporary movements in the production function, which are reflected by the cyclical component of the time-series of the same variable. The econometric methodology employed in the estimation of these different components is the structural time-series approach developed by Harvey (1989), Harvey and Shephard (1993), and others. An application to the time-series of TFP for the 1948-2002 US private nonfarm business sector is presented. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2085-2097 Issue: 16 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949314 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949314 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:16:p:2085-2097 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Herve Queneau Author-X-Name-First: Herve Author-X-Name-Last: Queneau Author-Name: Amit Sen Author-X-Name-First: Amit Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: Evidence on the dynamics of unemployment by gender Abstract: We present empirical evidence regarding unemployment dynamics for women and men in eight OECD countries. Unit-root tests are used to examine the unemployment dynamics of women and men. Failure to reject the unit-root hypothesis is consistent with unemployment hysteresis. Rejection of the unit-root hypothesis indicates that unemployment dynamics are best explained by the natural rate of unemployment or the structuralist view. We find evidence of gender differences in unemployment dynamics in Canada, Germany and the US, but not in other countries. While there are some differences in the extent of persistence across gender and across countries, the degree of persistence for both female and male unemployment rates is fairly low in all countries. Our results, therefore, contrast with substantial empirical evidence of high levels of unemployment persistence in European countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2099-2108 Issue: 16 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949330 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949330 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:16:p:2099-2108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Javier de Miguel Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Javier Author-X-Name-Last: de Miguel Author-Name: Antonio Manresa Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Manresa Title: Removal of farm subsidies in a regional economy: a computable general equilibrium analysis Abstract: The purpose of this article is to analyse the importance of farm subsidies for the Extremadura economy. To this end, a computable general equilibrium model for this region is presented, with which we analyse the economic effects caused by a simulated removal of these subsidies. Different scenarios involving the labour market rigidities and tax compensation are considered. Model parameters are determined by the procedure known as calibration, using a social accounting matrix constructed for this economy. The results clearly show the negative effects that this elimination would produce on the main micro and macroeconomic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2109-2120 Issue: 16 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949371 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949371 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:16:p:2109-2120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Naresh Pradhan Author-X-Name-First: Naresh Author-X-Name-Last: Pradhan Author-Name: PingSun Leung Author-X-Name-First: PingSun Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Title: Sea turtle interactions with Hawaii's longline fishery: an extended multi-objective programming model incorporating spatial and seasonal dimensions Abstract: Endangered and protected sea turtle interactions with the pelagic longline fishery have become an important fishery policy concern recently. A multi-objective programming model for Hawaii's longline fishery that incorporated sea turtle interactions (Pradhan and Leung, 2006a) has been extended with spatial and seasonal dimensions. The synergetic effect of these added features indicate that there exists better economic and environmental efficiency gains in terms of higher profit and reduced turtle interactions, compared to the base case without these added dimensions, by reconfiguring fishing efforts across space and seasons. There also exists a trade-off between fleet-wide profit and turtle interactions. The current fishery policy related to sea turtle interactions disallows capturing all the potential efficiency gain, as the number of turtles allowed to get interacted severely limits swordfish-targeted longline fishing that uses conventional technologies. Restricting longline fishery to operate sub-optimally would result in average shadow value of $15 957 and $60 908 per turtle in terms of lost profit and revenue, respectively. These shadow values are higher than those estimated from earlier model without the spatial and seasonal dimensions. Adaptation to 'turtle-friendly' fishing technologies is among the many strategies that would allow for higher optimal fishing efforts and also leading to higher overall welfare and towards more responsible fishery. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2121-2134 Issue: 16 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949355 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:16:p:2121-2134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huai-I. Lee Author-X-Name-First: Huai-I. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Min-Hsien Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Min-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Author-Name: Hsinan Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Hsinan Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: A new choice of dynamic asset management: the variable proportion portfolio insurance Abstract: The constant proportion portfolio insurance (CPPI) achieves the advantage of simplicity due to its constant multiple. However, a dynamic multiple could improve the effectiveness of portfolio management. In this article, we provide a complete and detailed examination of the mechanism of variable proportion portfolio insurance (VPPI) strategy. The multiple of the VPPI states that when the stock price goes up, the multiple gets larger accordingly and when the stock price goes down, the multiple gets smaller. A portfolio insurance strategy with this discipline could yield better performance. Based on this principle, we recommend an exponential proportion portfolio insurance (EPPI). In addition, we also propose a new performance measure for portfolio insurance. Compared with the CPPI, simulation and empirical evidence support that the EPPI works better in both upside capture and downside protection, implying that the EPPI could be an effective tool for asset management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2135-2146 Issue: 16 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949280 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949280 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:16:p:2135-2146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ensar Yilmaz Author-X-Name-First: Ensar Author-X-Name-Last: Yilmaz Author-Name: Alovsat Muslumov Author-X-Name-First: Alovsat Author-X-Name-Last: Muslumov Title: Deposit insurance and moral hazard problem: the case of Turkish banking system Abstract: We investigate the effect of full deposit insurance introduced in 1994 on the financial performance of Turkish commercial banks. We construct a model, under reasonable assumptions, with deposit insurance where banks undertake excessive risk - moral hazard risk. Empirical investigation using experimental design approach supports our moral hazard hypothesis. Our findings indicate that banks subject to the moral hazard behaviour show significant increases in foreign exchange position risk and deterioration in capital adequacy relative to their benchmark after introduction of full deposit insurance system. We relate this excessive risk-taking to the moral hazard behaviour by commercial banks. The research results indicate that complete deposit insurance system distorts the incentive structure of commercial banks and thus, prevents proper functioning of market discipline mechanism and leads to the taking excessive risk-taking. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2147-2163 Issue: 16 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949306 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949306 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:16:p:2147-2163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Eray Yucel Author-X-Name-First: Eray Author-X-Name-Last: Yucel Title: Effects of USD-Euro parity on a small open economy: evidence from Turkey Abstract: This study assesses the effect of USD-Euro parity on a small open economy where exports are predominantly denominated in Euros and imports are denominated in USD. Empirical evidence from Turkey suggests that a positive change in the USD value of the Euro appreciates the local currency, decreases inflation and increases output. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2165-2174 Issue: 16 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949322 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949322 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:16:p:2165-2174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Tasci Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Tasci Title: Dual representation and its online scheduling method for event-varying DESs with capacity constraints Abstract: This article presents a small open economy model which is a part of the world that consists of a continuum of infinitesimal open economies. New Keynesian Investment Saving Line (IS) and Phillips curves are derived for the small open economy and the rest of the world. For five different policies, (i.e. domestic inflation targeting, consumer price index (CPI) inflation targeting, exchange rate peg, domestic inflation Taylor rule and CPI inflation Taylor rule) the effects of domestic and world technology shocks are analysed. The degree of openness is discussed and the effect of openness is addressed by comparing the impulse responses of a small open economy and closed economy that face productivity shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2175-2190 Issue: 17 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949462 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:17:p:2175-2190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Busato Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Busato Author-Name: Bruno Chiarini Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Chiarini Author-Name: Elisabetta Marzano Author-X-Name-First: Elisabetta Author-X-Name-Last: Marzano Title: Consumption and income smoothing Abstract: This article presents a two-sector dynamic general equilibrium model in which income smoothing takes place within the households (intra-temporally), and consumption smoothing takes place among the households (inter-temporally). Idiosyncratic risk-sharing within the family is based on an income smoothing contract. There are two-sectors in the model, the regular sector and the underground sector, and the smoothing comes from the underground sector, which is countercyclical with respect to aggregate GDP. The article shows that the simulated disaggregated consumption and income series (that are the regular and underground consumption flows) are more sensitive to exogenous changes in sector-specific productivity and tax rates than regular and underground income flows, and that this picture is reversed when the aggregate series are considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2191-2207 Issue: 17 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949348 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:17:p:2191-2207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aude Hubrecht-Deville Author-X-Name-First: Aude Author-X-Name-Last: Hubrecht-Deville Author-Name: Herve Leleu Author-X-Name-First: Herve Author-X-Name-Last: Leleu Title: Impact of trade area environment on bank's comparative advantages Abstract: This article analyses the relationship between the comparative advantages of bank branches and the trade area environment. Bank branches are points of sale whose trade environment influences their activities and performance. Comparative advantages are defined, for each output mix, by the strict dominance of a production technology in a specific trade area over the production technologies of other environments. Using Shephard's output distance functions on a sample of 728 bank branches, we compare the production technologies for different output mixes and different trade environments. We show that none of the production technologies strictly dominates the others and none of them is strictly dominated. Therefore, each trade area benefits from comparative advantages that we try to highlight. Finally, we evaluate the performance of the central banks regarding their ability to provide the right incentives on output mixes to their bank branches so that the latter may benefit from their comparative advantages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2209-2219 Issue: 17 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949389 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949389 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:17:p:2209-2219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Bertrand Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Bertrand Author-Name: Habib Zitouna Author-X-Name-First: Habib Author-X-Name-Last: Zitouna Title: Domestic versus cross-border acquisitions: which impact on the target firms' performance? Abstract: This article investigates the effects of horizontal acquisitions on the performance of target firms in the 1990s. Using French manufacturing firm-level data, we examine two main indicators of performance: the profit and the productive efficiency. We distinguish domestic from cross-border acquisitions. To evaluate the impact of take-overs, we implement appropriate difference-in-difference estimation techniques associated to a matching propensity score procedure. We find that Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) do not increase the profit of French target firms, even on the long run. However, they clearly raise the productivity of target firms. These results suggest that firms probably redistribute efficiency gains at the upstream and/or downstream production stage. There is no evidence of an increase in market power. In addition, the consequences of domestic and cross-border M&A significantly differ. Efficiency gains are stronger for cross-border M&A. This conclusion is however true only for extra-European Union operations. The achievement in the European economic integration certainly explains the absence of difference between European and domestic acquisitions. Finally, our results cast some doubt on the frequent discrimination attitude towards foreign takeovers and the fears of their impact on firms' performance and the host country's welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2221-2238 Issue: 17 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949397 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949397 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:17:p:2221-2238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lena Lindahl Author-X-Name-First: Lena Author-X-Name-Last: Lindahl Title: Do birth order and family size matter for intergenerational income mobility? Evidence from Sweden Abstract: Previous studies of intergenerational income mobility have not considered potential birth-order or family-size effects in the estimated income elasticity. This article uses a large sample of individuals born between 1962 and 1964; income elasticities with respect to parents' incomes are estimated for individuals with different birth-order positions and family sizes. Results based on labour income and total income for sons and daughters are reported separately. The elasticity tends to decrease with family size as well as with birth order for a given family size, especially in the labour-income analysis of fathers and sons. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2239-2257 Issue: 17 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949421 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949421 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:17:p:2239-2257 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maritta Paloviita Author-X-Name-First: Maritta Author-X-Name-Last: Paloviita Title: Comparing alternative Phillips curve specifications: European results with survey-based expectations Abstract: This article examines inflation dynamics in Europe. Econometric specification tests with pooled European data are used to compare the empirical performance of the New Classical, New Keynesian and Hybrid specifications of the Phillips curve. Instead of imposing any specific form of expectations formation, direct measures, i.e. Consensus Economics survey data are used to proxy economic agents' inflation expectations. According to the results, the New Classical Phillips curve has satisfactory statistical properties. Moreover, the purely forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips curve is clearly outperformed by the New Classical and Hybrid Phillips curves. We interpret our results as indicating that the European inflation process is not purely forward looking and inflation cannot instantaneously adjust to changes in expectations. Consequently, even allowing for possible nonrationality in expectations results in a lagged inflation term entering the New Keynesian Phillips curve for inflation dynamics in Europe. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2259-2270 Issue: 17 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949439 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:17:p:2259-2270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diego Romero-Avila Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Avila Title: A confirmatory analysis of the unit root hypothesis for OECD consumption-income ratios Abstract: This article investigates the existence of a unit root in the consumption-income ratio for a sample of 23 OECD countries over the period 1960 to 2005. For that purpose, we first use recently developed unit root tests with good size and power. Second, we employ the more powerful panel unit root tests of Pesaran (2003) and Smith et al. (2004) that take the null of nonstationarity and a bootstrap version of the test of Hadri (2000) that takes stationarity as the null hypothesis. Overall, our confirmatory analysis renders clear-cut evidence that OECD consumption-income ratios contain a unit root. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2271-2278 Issue: 17 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949447 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:17:p:2271-2278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pi-Fem Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Pi-Fem Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: Sources of employment fluctuations in Taiwan's industries and regions Abstract: This empirical study explores the sources of employment fluctuations in Taiwan's industries and regions over the period 1978 to 2004. The quarterly growth rates of employment in nine industries and four regions are modelled with a structural vector autoregression (VAR), and the employment shocks are measured by VAR residuals. The covariance matrix of the VAR residuals is decomposed using system estimation method that selects the parameters to make the error model close to the covariance matrix and, in turn, to estimate the relative importance of national as well as industry-specific and region-specific shocks. The empirical results show that industry-specific shocks account for the major fluctuations in industries and regions. On average, about 83.95% of an industry's cyclical variations and 56.28% of the volatility in a region may be attributed to industry-specific shocks. National shocks account for little employment volatility in industries. Only the finance and personal service industries are highly sensitive to national shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2279-2293 Issue: 17 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949454 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:17:p:2279-2293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elif Akbostancı Author-X-Name-First: Elif Author-X-Name-Last: Akbostancı Author-Name: G. Ipek Tunc Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Ipek Tunc Author-Name: Serap Turut-Asık Author-X-Name-First: Serap Author-X-Name-Last: Turut-Asık Title: Environmental impact of customs union agreement with EU on Turkey's trade in manufacturing industry Abstract: In this study, we analyse Turkey's manufacturing industry trade by estimating sectoral import and export demand equations for 1980-2000. The study aims to understand whether the trade in the manufacturing industry complies with pollution haven hypothesis, and whether the free trade environment provided by the customs union (CU) agreement altered the trade pattern of the clean and dirty industries. Results of our econometric models have shown that while CU positively affects the import demand, it does not have any significant impact on the export demand of Turkish manufacturing industry. In terms of the environmental impact, distinction between clean and dirty industries turns out to be significant for both import and export demand. In general, our findings suggest that both clean and dirty industries' import demand increased during the study period. In terms of export demand, clean industries' export demand declines whereas dirty industries' export demand increases compared to the total demand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2295-2304 Issue: 17 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949405 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949405 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:17:p:2295-2304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darold Barnum Author-X-Name-First: Darold Author-X-Name-Last: Barnum Author-Name: John Gleason Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gleason Title: Bias and precision in the DEA two-stage method Abstract: In Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), the two-stage method is a popular procedure for accounting for exogenous influences on efficiency. With the conventional two-stage method, a DEA is first conducted using only traditional (endogenous) inputs and outputs. Then, the first-stage DEA scores are regressed on the environmental/contextual (exogenous) inputs of interest. The regression outcomes are used to identify exogenous inputs that influence the first-stage DEA scores to a statistically significant degree, and to adjust DEA scores to account for these influences. Herein, it is demonstrated empirically that the conventional method exhibits substantial bias and low precision, with the degree of bias and precision affected by input variance and correlation. A reverse two-stage procedure that yields estimates without the bias and precision problems that compromise the validity of the conventional method's estimates is suggested. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2305-2311 Issue: 18 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949470 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949470 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:18:p:2305-2311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeroen Hinloopen Author-X-Name-First: Jeroen Author-X-Name-Last: Hinloopen Author-Name: Charles van Marrewijk Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: van Marrewijk Title: Empirical relevance of the Hillman condition for revealed comparative advantage: 10 stylized facts Abstract: The theoretically necessary and sufficient condition for the correspondence between 'revealed' comparative advantage and pre-trade relative prices derived by Hillman (1980) is analysed empirically for virtually all countries of the world over an extended period of time. This yields 10 stylized facts, including that (i) violations of the Hillman condition are small as a share of the number of observations, but substantial as a share of the value of world exports, (ii) violations occur relatively frequently in the period 1970-1984 and more rarely in the period 1985-1997 and (iii) violations occur foremost in primary product and natural resource intensive sectors and for countries in Africa, the Middle East, Latin America and Central and Eastern Europe. An additional bonus of verifying the Hillman condition in empirical research is its ability to identify erroneously classified trade flows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2313-2328 Issue: 18 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949488 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949488 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:18:p:2313-2328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandro Nicita Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Nicita Title: Price elasticities and tax reform in Mexico Abstract: Price responses are usually estimated for the average household. However, different households are unlikely to respond in a similar way to movement in prices. Consequently, relying on averages may be misleading when examining the behaviour of a particular group of households such as the poor. This article uses six household surveys collected in Mexico between 1989 and 2000 to derive price responses for 10 product groups and for five levels of income households. The estimated price elasticities are then fed into a micro simulation model to measure the effect of a marginal tax reform. The results find that that poorer households tend to react substantially more to movement in prices, suggesting the usefulness of estimating elasticities that reflect the behavioural responses of the poor rather than of the entire population. The micro simulation results indicate that reducing the taxes on maize, alcoholic beverages and vegetables would be both more equitable and more efficient in terms of social welfare. Meanwhile, a reduction in the tax on legumes, sugar, and oils and fats, while inefficient, would contribute to reduce inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2329-2335 Issue: 18 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970104 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970104 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:18:p:2329-2335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Catherine Fuss Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Fuss Author-Name: Philip Vermeulen Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Vermeulen Title: Firms' investment decisions in response to demand and price uncertainty Abstract: We investigate the effect of demand and price uncertainty on firms' planned and realized investment from a panel of manufacturing firms. Uncertainty measures are derived from firms' own expectations about demand and prices and firm's sales. We find that demand uncertainty at the time of planning depresses planned and subsequent realized investment. Firms do not revise their plans due to demand uncertainty at the time of spending, suggesting that reducing demand uncertainty will only have lagged effects on investment. We do not find any effect of price uncertainty. Our results are consistent with the behaviour of monopolistic firms with irreversible capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2337-2351 Issue: 18 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600959909 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600959909 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:18:p:2337-2351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Florian Hoppner Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Hoppner Author-Name: Christian Melzer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Melzer Author-Name: Thorsten Neumann Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Neumann Title: Changing effects of monetary policy in the US-evidence from a time-varying coefficient VAR Abstract: We estimate a time-varying coefficient VAR model for the US economy to analyse (i) if the effect of monetary policy on output has been changing systematically over time, and (ii) if monetary policy has asymmetric effects over the business cycle. We find that the impact of monetary policy shocks has been gradually declining over the sample period (1962 to 2002), as some theories of the monetary transmission mechanism imply. In addition, our results indicate that the effects of monetary policy are greater in a recession than in a boom. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2353-2360 Issue: 18 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970112 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:18:p:2353-2360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takaaki Aoki Author-X-Name-First: Takaaki Author-X-Name-Last: Aoki Title: Some aspects on regional integration, comparative advantage and consumer's diversity Abstract: This article describes one simple Cournot oligopoly model with linear inverse demand and international linkage, and tries to analyse how the degree of competitiveness, the diversity in comparative advantage, consumer preference and market volume are closely interrelated with each other in the course of free trade areas (FTA) liberalization. The influence of income/substitution effects to firm's profit maximization is also examined. My analysis shows some basic results and implications regarding the tariff-setting strategies and the incentive for endogenous internal liberalization, as well as the role of FTA formation on a stream to world-wide liberalization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2361-2368 Issue: 18 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970120 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:18:p:2361-2368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristien Werck Author-X-Name-First: Kristien Author-X-Name-Last: Werck Author-Name: Mona Grinwis Plaat Stultjes Author-X-Name-First: Mona Grinwis Plaat Author-X-Name-Last: Stultjes Author-Name: Bruno Heyndels Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Heyndels Title: Budgetary constraints and programmatic choices by Flemish subsidized theatres Abstract: We analyse programmatic choices of Flemish theatres and examine how they are affected by the theatres' budgetary situation. Following Lancaster's characteristics approach, we identify several output characteristics of individual Flemish theatres during the period 1980 to 2000. A simultaneous equation approach is used to capture the theatre managers', subsidizing government's and consumers' behaviour. We find that changes in the budgetary situation of a theatre are translated into changes of both the 'amount' and the nature of the theatre's output. The budgetary impact on artistic choices has intensified since the introduction of a 4-yearly instead of yearly allocation of subsidies. The decrease in financial risk for the individual theatres leads to an increase in artistic risk-taking. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2369-2379 Issue: 18 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970153 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970153 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:18:p:2369-2379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Hillebrand Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Hillebrand Author-Name: Faik Koray Author-X-Name-First: Faik Author-X-Name-Last: Koray Title: Interest rate volatility and home mortgage loans Abstract: The US economy has experienced substantial fluctuations in real and nominal interest rates since the 1970s. This article investigates empirically the relationship between home mortgage loans and volatility in mortgage rates for the period 1971:02 to 2003:03. Contrary to common wisdom, we find a positive relationship between mortgage rate volatility and home mortgage loans. Further investigation indicates that this is due to volatility in the bond market. In times of high interest volatility, households disinvest in government securities and invest in real assets, which yields a positive relationship between mortgage rate volatility and home mortgage loans. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2381-2385 Issue: 18 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949538 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949538 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:18:p:2381-2385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Arrazola Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Arrazola Author-Name: Jose de Hevia Author-X-Name-First: Jose de Author-X-Name-Last: Hevia Title: A simple inflation indicator for the euro zone Abstract: This article proposes and estimates an inflation indicator for the European Monetary Union (EMU). This indicator is set up so that it is contemporarily not affected by the changes in price differentials among EMU countries. The results show that the Monetary Union Index of Consumer Prices (MUICP), which is the inflation measure that the European Central Bank (ECB) takes as a reference for monetary policy purposes, could be understating the value of the inflation in the euro zone. It is also concluded that regional peculiarities are fundamental in the evolution of prices in the different EMU countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2387-2394 Issue: 18 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600959917 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600959917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:18:p:2387-2394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Thalheimer Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Thalheimer Author-Name: Mukhtar Ali Author-X-Name-First: Mukhtar Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Title: Table games, slot machines and casino revenue Abstract: The main focus of this study is to assess the influence of table games on slot machine and total casino revenues. The subjects of the analysis are 24 rierboat casinos in the midwestern states of Illinois, Iowa and Missouri and three racinos in Iowa. A racino is a parimutuel racetrack which also offers slot machine gaming to its customers. Two econometric models were developed, one for slot machine revenue and one for total (slot machine plus table game) revenue at riverboats and racinos. Of particular interest is the effect on slot machine and total revenue of adding table games to the gaming operation. Slot machine revenue was found to increase with the number of slot machines and decrease with the number of table games. Slot machine revenue was estimated to decrease by 11.5% in the presence of 40 table games, the mean number of table games over the sample. Total win was found to increase with an increase in both slot machines and table games. The elasticity of total win with respect to the number of slot machines and table games was estimated to be 0.786 and 0.219, respectively. Total revenue was estimated to increase by 24.5% for an additional 40 table games. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2395-2404 Issue: 18 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600959891 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600959891 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:18:p:2395-2404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keith F. Gilsdorf Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: F. Gilsdorf Author-Name: Vasant Sukhatme Author-X-Name-First: Vasant Author-X-Name-Last: Sukhatme Title: Tournament incentives and match outcomes in women's professional tennis Abstract: Our research examines the effect of prize money differentials in women's professional tennis tournaments on the probability that the favoured player wins the match. This study adds to the existing literature on tournament theory through its focus on Rosen's (1986) elimination-style, match play tournament model. We estimate a standard probit model using a unique data set containing detailed information on prize money, player-specific characteristics, and match play outcomes for all tournaments played during the 2004 tour sponsored by the Women's Tennis Association (WTA). Our results support predictions by Rosen's tournament model. Larger prize money differentials have a positive, statistically significant effect on the favoured player's probability of winning the match. In addition, the number of stages remaining has a significant, negative effect on winning, consistent with tournament theory predictions associated with the number of contestants in a tournament. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2405-2412 Issue: 18 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949512 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949512 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:18:p:2405-2412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Hsien-Chang Kuo Author-X-Name-First: Hsien-Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Kuo Author-Name: I-Liang Lin Author-X-Name-First: I-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Merger and optimal number of firms: an integrated simulation approach Abstract: In a market where imperfect competition occurs as a result of mergers, this study proposes a framework consisting of both efficiency and risk analyses that allow the simulation of pro forma mergers and hence the determination of the optimal number of firms in the industry. This is valuable policy information for regulators concerned with possible intervention in the case of competition and anti-trust violations, and also for business managers seeking acquisition targets. The framework is applied to the banking industry in Taiwan. Results reveal the potential for industrial restructuring in a sector where the optimal number of Bank Holding Companies (BHCs) is between four and six, subject to whether partial control is assumed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2413-2421 Issue: 18 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949504 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949504 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:18:p:2413-2421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferda Halicioglu Author-X-Name-First: Ferda Author-X-Name-Last: Halicioglu Title: The J-curve dynamics of Turkey: an application of ARDL model Abstract: This article seeks an empirical evidence for the existence of the J-curve phenomenon both in the short-run and long-run for Turkey over the period 1980-2005. The bounds testing cointegration approach is employed to estimate the trade balance model. An augmented form of Granger causality analysis is implemented between trade balance, real effective exchange rates, foreign income and domestic income. The stability of the short-run as well as long-run coefficients in the trade balance model is tested too. The empirical results that the J-curve phenomenon is supported only in the short-run. Whilst causality tests reveal mix results, the parameter stability tests seem to be inconclusive. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2423-2429 Issue: 18 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949496 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949496 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:18:p:2423-2429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiago Neves Sequeira Author-X-Name-First: Tiago Neves Author-X-Name-Last: Sequeira Author-Name: Paulo Macas Nunes Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Macas Nunes Title: Does tourism influence economic growth? A dynamic panel data approach Abstract: On average, tourism-specialized countries grow more than others. This is not consistent with the core of modern economic growth theory that suggests that economic growth is linked to sectors with high-tech intensity and large scale. In this article, we use appropriate panel data methods to study the relationship between tourism and economic growth. In general, we show that tourism is a positive determinant of economic growth both in a broad sample of countries and in a sample of poor countries. However, contrary to previous contributions, tourism is not more relevant in small countries than in a general sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2431-2441 Issue: 18 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600949520 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600949520 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:18:p:2431-2441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xose Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Xose Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez Author-Name: Julio Pallas Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Pallas Title: Determinants of foreign direct investment in Spain Abstract: This study utilizes panel data as a means of examining the determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Spain. Data that are taken in the period 1993-2002 are used in order to estimate the determinants of FDI, at the sectoral level, by differentiating the manufacturing sectors, and at the regional level. The analysis investigates the sectoral, regional and macroeconomic variables that have successfully attracted FDI inflows from those that have not. Empirical results suggest that the differential between labour productivity and the cost of labour has been an important determinant of FDI in Spain during the period 1993-2002. Factors related to demand, the evolution of human capital, the export potential of the sectors and certain macroeconomic determinants that measure the differential between Spain and the European Union average, also play a very important role in attracting flows of FDI. Certain policy issues that are relevant to the results are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2443-2450 Issue: 19 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367606 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367606 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:19:p:2443-2450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ignacio Abasolo Author-X-Name-First: Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Abasolo Author-Name: Aki Tsuchiya Author-X-Name-First: Aki Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuchiya Title: Understanding preference for egalitarian policies in health: are age and sex determinants? Abstract: This article presents an empirical assessment of the relevance of different factors when understanding preferences for outcome-egalitarian policies in health, in particular respondent age and sex. A representative sample of the Spanish population was interviewed (n = 1209). After being informed that those from the higher social class have longer life expectancy at birth than those from the lower social class, respondents were required to choose between two programmes: to increase life expectancy of the two groups by the same amount (the 'distribution neutral' programme); and to target the lowest social class group, thereby reducing current health inequalities (the 'targeting' or 'egalitarian' programme). Two variants, one with and the other without visual aid, are used. Majority (69%) of respondents support targeting. An effect of age was observed, where younger and older individuals are less likely to target the egalitarian policy than those in middle age. However, individual's sex was not associated with targeting behaviour. In addition, right-wingers or/and individuals living in a high per capita income region are less likely to target. On the other hand, neither individual's education nor household income has a significant impact on targeting. Finally, regarding the two variants, results suggest that the visual aid is associated with less targeting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2451-2461 Issue: 19 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600993940 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600993940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:19:p:2451-2461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Aristei Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Aristei Author-Name: Luca Pieroni Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Pieroni Title: A double-hurdle approach to modelling tobacco consumption in Italy Abstract: This article analyzes the determinants of tobacco expenditures for a sample of Italian households. A Box-Cox double-hurdle model adjusted for heteroscedasticity is estimated to account for separate individual decisions concerning smoking participation and tobacco consumption and to correct for nonnormality in the bivariate distribution of the error terms. Nested univariate and bivariate models are found to be excessively restrictive, supporting the adequacy of a generalized specification. Estimation results show that consumption decisions are significantly affected by income and demographic characteristics. In particular, income positively impacts tobacco expenditure, while participation probability substantially declines as age increases. The existence of significant gender differences in both smoking participation and tobacco consumption patterns is found, while high education and white-collar occupation reduces the likelihood to smoke and tobacco expenditure levels. Single adult households have a lower probability of smoking initiation even if, conditional on smoking, they consume more. Finally, complementarity between tobacco and alcohol beverages suggests the necessity of joint public health strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2463-2476 Issue: 19 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970229 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970229 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:19:p:2463-2476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge Chami Batista Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Chami Author-X-Name-Last: Batista Title: Competition between Brazil and other exporting countries in the US import market: a new extension of constant-market-shares analysis Abstract: This article develops a new extension of the constant-market-shares model, attributing the gains or losses of market share of an exporter in a specific market to its competitors. The method is then applied to Brazil's exports of manufactured products to the US market, determining from which countries and by how much Brazil gained market share, and to which countries Brazil lost market share in the period between 1992, 1999 and 2004. The bilateral gains and losses of Brazil to OECD countries are shown to be related to changes in the relative unit labour costs of these countries through a two-period panel data analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2477-2487 Issue: 19 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970203 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:19:p:2477-2487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bhavani Shankar Author-X-Name-First: Bhavani Author-X-Name-Last: Shankar Author-Name: Richard Bennett Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Bennett Author-Name: Stephen Morse Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Morse Title: Production risk, pesticide use and GM crop technology in South Africa Abstract: Technology involving genetic modification of crops has the potential to make a contribution to rural poverty reduction in many developing countries. Thus far, pesticide-producing Bacillus thuringensis (Bt) varieties of cotton have been the main GM crops under cultivation in developing nations. Several studies have evaluated the farm-level performance of Bt varieties in comparison to conventional ones by estimating production technology, and have mostly found Bt technology to be very successful in raising output and/or reducing pesticide input. However, the production risk properties of this technology have not been studied, although they are likely to be important to risk-averse smallholders. This study investigates the output risk aspects of Bt technology by estimating two 'flexible risk' production function models allowing technology to independently affect the mean and higher moments of output. The first is the popular Just-Pope model and the second is a more general 'damage control' flexible risk model. The models are applied to cross-sectional data on South African smallholders, some of whom used Bt varieties. The results show no evidence that a 'risk-reduction' claim can be made for Bt technology. Indeed, there is some evidence to support the notion that the technology increases output risk, implying that simple (expected) profit computations used in past evaluations may overstate true benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2489-2500 Issue: 19 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970161 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970161 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:19:p:2489-2500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. -P. Hu Author-X-Name-First: Y. -P. Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: L. Lin Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: J. -W. Kao Author-X-Name-First: J. -W. Author-X-Name-Last: Kao Title: Time-varying inter-market linkage of international stock markets Abstract: As a response to the growing concern on the interconnection of international stock markets, this study uses the Pena-Box model to capture time-varying relationship of the returns of 13 stock indices during 1993-2002. The results indicate a dynamic relationship of world major stock markets over time, which provide new but supplemental evidence on the conclusion derived from the conventional confirmatory factor analyses in literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2501-2507 Issue: 19 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970146 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:19:p:2501-2507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmen Diaz-Mora Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Diaz-Mora Title: What factors determine the outsourcing intensity? A dynamic panel data approach for manufacturing industries Abstract: The present article investigates the determinants of outsourcing production using a panel of 93 Spanish manufacturing industries for the period 1993 to 2002. Outsourcing is measured as production tasks which are contracting out to external suppliers, a more direct and suitable indicator. After controlling for unobserved heterogeneity and simultaneity, our results show a high persistence of the outsourcing intensity. Moreover, outsourcing of production is positively related to unit labour costs, skills requirements, national ownership and orientation to international markets. We also find evidence for a negative link between the outsourcing intensity and the share of small firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2509-2521 Issue: 19 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970179 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970179 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:19:p:2509-2521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chun-Ping Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Trend stationary of inflation rates: evidence from LM unit root testing with a long span of historical data Abstract: The article applies the LM univariate unit root test recently developed by Lee and Strazicich (2003, 2004) to re-examine the validity of trend stationary in the inflation rates of 11 OECD and Asian countries using a longer span of historical data. Our empirical findings are favourable to the trend stationary of the inflation rates when we control the structural breaks in series, and therefore they point to the absence of hyperinflation in the majority of the countries. The results indicate that shocks to inflation rates are temporary and soon converge, with the inflation rates being trend stationary. Hence, most structural breaks in the inflation rate occur around the Great Depression, World War I, World War II, and energy shock periods. For the convergence effect, we repeat the unit root tests utilized above for smaller sub-samples so as to provide a robust analysis. The outcomes show that by selecting a longer data span, we can catch more powerful convergent evidence. Overall, some policy implications are obtained in this article. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2523-2536 Issue: 19 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970138 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:19:p:2523-2536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Dell'Anno Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Dell'Anno Author-Name: Offiong Helen Solomon Author-X-Name-First: Offiong Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Solomon Title: Shadow economy and unemployment rate in USA: is there a structural relationship? An empirical analysis Abstract: This article aims to estimate the size of the US shadow economy (SE) using a structural equation approach and to evaluate if a structural relationship exists between the SE and the unemployment rate (UR) in the United States. The size of the SE is estimated to be decreasing over the last two decades. We corroborate the existence of a structural relationship between the SE and the UR by using a simple theoretical model. Furthermore, we extend the Okun's law to estimate the structural relationship between growth rate of official GDP, SE and UR. Our results indicate a significant positive relationship between the SE and the UR. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2537-2555 Issue: 19 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970195 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970195 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:19:p:2537-2555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatiane Menezes Author-X-Name-First: Tatiane Author-X-Name-Last: Menezes Author-Name: Carlos Azzoni Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Azzoni Author-Name: Fernando Silveira Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Silveira Title: Demand elasticities for food products in Brazil: a two-stage budgeting system Abstract: The object of this article is to estimate demand elasticities for a basket of staple food important for providing the caloric needs of Brazilian households. These elasticities are useful in the measurement of the impact of structural reforms on poverty. A two-stage demand system was constructed, based on data from Household Expenditure Surveys (POF) produced by IBGE (The Brazilian Bureau of Statistics) in 1987/88 and 1995/96. We have used panel data to estimate the model, and have calculated income, own-price, and cross-price elasticities for eight groups of goods and services and, in the second stage, for 11 sub groups of staple food products. We estimated those elasticities for the whole sample of consumers and for two income groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2557-2572 Issue: 19 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970187 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:19:p:2557-2572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monazza Aslam Author-X-Name-First: Monazza Author-X-Name-Last: Aslam Author-Name: Geeta Gandhi Kingdon Author-X-Name-First: Geeta Gandhi Author-X-Name-Last: Kingdon Title: Gender and household education expenditure in Pakistan Abstract: Pakistan has very large gender gaps in educational outcomes. One explanation could be that girls receive lower educational expenditure allocations than boys within the household, but this has never convincingly been tested. This article investigates whether the intra-household allocation of educational expenditure in Pakistan favours males over females. It also explores two different explanations for the failure of the extant 'Engel curve' studies to detect gender-differentiated treatment in education even where gender bias is strongly expected. Using individual level data from the latest household survey from Pakistan, we posit two potential channels of gender bias: bias in the decision whether to enrol/keep sons and daughters in school, and bias in the decision of education expenditure conditional on enrolling both sons and daughters in school. In middle and secondary school ages, evidence points to significant pro-male biases in both the enrolment decision as well as the decision of how much to spend conditional on enrolment. However, in the primary school age-group, only the former channel of bias applies. Results suggest that the observed strong gender difference in education expenditure is a within rather than an across household phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2573-2591 Issue: 20 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970252 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970252 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:20:p:2573-2591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Unemployment, insurance and smoking Abstract: Using recent state-level data from the United States, this article examines new influences on cigarette demand. In particular, we uniquely focus on the effects of unemployment and health insurance coverage on smoking. Results show that higher cigarette prices, a lack of health insurance and restrictions on smoking at home, all lead to reduced smoking. On the other hand, literacy, income, unemployment, workplace smoking restrictions, smokeless tobacco taxes and tobacco-producing states do not seem to have an appreciable impact. The magnitude of the price elasticity of demand is greater than that found in the pre-MSA era. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2593-2599 Issue: 20 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970278 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970278 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:20:p:2593-2599 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Huw Edwards Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Huw Edwards Title: Implicit trade Costs and European single market enlargement Abstract: This paper investigates the deeper integration of the new EU accession states into the Single Market. Building on the assumption that observed trade patterns can be taken to reveal trading costs between members and non-members of a bloc, I develop a model-consistent Dixit-Stiglitz general equilibrium-based calibration technique. Using this, I investigate numerically the effects of the recent EU enlargement, suggesting that deeper integration, which removed the border costs implied by 1990s trade patterns, could raise trade by 50-100% and incomes in the accession states by 10-20%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2601-2613 Issue: 20 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970260 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970260 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:20:p:2601-2613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuliana Parodi Author-X-Name-First: Giuliana Author-X-Name-Last: Parodi Author-Name: Dario Sciulli Author-X-Name-First: Dario Author-X-Name-Last: Sciulli Title: Disability in Italian households: income, poverty and labour market participation Abstract: This article studies the economic effects of disabled members on Italian households, with the aim of identifying a suitable target group for welfare policies. Survey of Households Income and Wealth data for the year 2000 is used. Preliminary results show significant differences in levels of income and poverty diffusion to the detriment of households with disabled members. We propose an exogenous explanation: the replacement ratio between disability benefits and expected labour income shows that disability benefits do not compensate the potential incomes of the disabled person and of the possible carer, except in households with severe socioeconomic disadvantages. We also propose an endogenous explanation: applying a logit model we show that the labour market participation of the possible carer is reduced in households with disabled persons. In order to increase the income of the households with disabled members, policy recommendations include the provision of care services and structural policies to improve employment, income and educational opportunities for households at greatest disadvantage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2615-2630 Issue: 20 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970211 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970211 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:20:p:2615-2630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hai-Chin Yu Author-X-Name-First: Hai-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Ingyu Chiou Author-X-Name-First: Ingyu Author-X-Name-Last: Chiou Author-Name: James Jordan-Wagner Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Jordan-Wagner Title: Does the weekday effect of the yen/dollar spot rates exist in Tokyo, London, and New York? An analysis of panel probability distribution Abstract: Using probability distribution techniques, this article explores whether any differences exist between the returns and volatility of yen/dollar spot markets in Tokyo, London and New York. After the intraday returns were fit into probability distributions, New York is found to have the highest return, followed by London, and then Tokyo. In estimating the peaks and widths of the distributions of volatility, Tokyo is found to have the lowest volatility in the log-normal distribution, while London and New York show similar volatility distributions, implying similar investor risk-return preference behaviour in the London and New York markets. The findings also imply that arbitrage opportunities between London and New York could be trivial. After estimating the panel distribution from Monday to Friday across the three markets, we found that the Monday effect disappears. Instead, Tuesday shows negative and significantly lower returns. The Friday (weekend) effect no longer exists. Instead, Thursday shows a positive and significantly higher return than the other weekdays. Finally, the three major currency markets did not become more volatile after Japan's deregulation in the foreign currency market in April 1998. On the contrary, they show less volatile behaviour than before deregulation. The probability distributions of volatility on different weekdays did not change significantly after deregulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2631-2643 Issue: 20 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970294 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970294 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:20:p:2631-2643 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mubariz Hasanov Author-X-Name-First: Mubariz Author-X-Name-Last: Hasanov Author-Name: Tolga Omay Author-X-Name-First: Tolga Author-X-Name-Last: Omay Title: Nonlinearities in emerging stock markets: evidence from Europe's two largest emerging markets Abstract: Recent developments in time series analysis allow proper modelling of nonlinearities in economic and financial variables. A growing body of research was dedicated to investigation of potential nonlinearities in conditional mean of many economic and financial variables, mainly concentrating in developed economies. However, nonlinearities in financial variables in developing economies have not been fully examined yet. In this article we investigate potential nonlinearity and cyclical behaviour of stock returns in Europe's two largest emerging stock markets, mainly in the Greek and Turkish stock markets. Specifically, we use STAR family models, which allow to model nonlinearities in the conditional mean, for modelling monthly returns on stock exchange indices of the Athens Stock Exchange and Istanbul Stock Exchange. Although we find no nonlinearity in conditional variance, we do find strong evidence in favour of nonlinear adjustment of stock returns. It is found that allowing for nonlinearity in conditional mean results in a superior model and provides good out-of-sample forecasts, which contradicts to efficient market hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2645-2658 Issue: 20 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970310 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:20:p:2645-2658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Conor Keelan Author-X-Name-First: Conor Author-X-Name-Last: Keelan Author-Name: Carol Newman Author-X-Name-First: Carol Author-X-Name-Last: Newman Author-Name: Maeve Henchion Author-X-Name-First: Maeve Author-X-Name-Last: Henchion Title: Quick-service expenditure in Ireland: parametric vs. semiparametric analysis Abstract: The aim of this study is to identify the economic and socio-economic factors influencing Irish households' expenditure on quick-service meals, a particularly dynamic component of the foodservice industry, and to determine the extent to which these factors have changed over the course of the 1990s. Maximum likelihood estimation and semiparametric alternatives are considered with the conclusion that in this instance semiparametric techniques do not offer a viable alternative to maximum likelihood estimation of tobit models, even in the presence of heteroscedasticity and non-normality. The results revel that household income, place of residence, commuters and household size have significant and positive influences on quick-service expenditure. Older families, single households and married couples, together with homeowners, display reduced expenditure. The opportunity cost of time is positively related to quick-service expenditure, consistent with theory, while health knowledge has a negative impact on quick-service consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2659-2669 Issue: 20 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970286 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970286 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:20:p:2659-2669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isil Erol Author-X-Name-First: Isil Author-X-Name-Last: Erol Author-Name: Dogan Tirtiroglu Author-X-Name-First: Dogan Author-X-Name-Last: Tirtiroglu Title: The inflation-hedging properties of Turkish REITs Abstract: This study empirically tests the inflation-hedging abilities of Turkish REITs in comparison to the indices of common stocks listed on the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) over the period December 1999 to December 2004. Two main factors motivate this study. First, compared to their counterparts in developed capital markets, Turkish REITs have some important tax incentives as well as flexibility in managing their portfolios. Second, the Turkish economy provides a rare and good opportunity to test the hedging behaviour of real estate stocks in periods of both high- and moderate-inflation rates. The empirical results show that Turkish REITs, in general, provide a better hedge against both actual and expected inflation than do the ISE common stock indices. Dividing the entire sample period into the high- and moderate-inflation sub-periods, we find that the hedging ability of REITs is better under high inflation than under moderate inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2671-2696 Issue: 20 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970237 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970237 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:20:p:2671-2696 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Bonilla Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Bonilla Author-Name: Carlos Maquieira Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Maquieira Author-Name: Rafael Romero-Meza Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Meza Title: Nonlinear behaviour of emerging market bonds spreads: the Latin American case Abstract: In this article we check for nonlinear behaviour of the 10 most important Latin American emerging market bonds spreads. Applying the Hinich portmanteau bicorrelation test, the BDS test and the Engle LM test, we observe systematic nonlinear structure in the spreads series. Our results suggest that the nonlinear serial dependencies are episodic in nature. All the stock returns series (with the exception of Mexico) are characterized by few brief periods of highly significant nonlinearity, followed by long time periods in which the returns follow a pure noise process. Our findings support the idea that, even in this well informed and sophisticated market, the weak-form of the efficient market hypothesis cannot be supported. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2697-2702 Issue: 20 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970245 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970245 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:20:p:2697-2702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Hauner Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hauner Author-Name: Shanaka Peiris Author-X-Name-First: Shanaka Author-X-Name-Last: Peiris Title: Banking efficiency and competition in low income countries: the case of Uganda Abstract: There is a concern that the state dominated, inefficient and fragile banking systems in many low-income countries, especially Sub-Saharan Africa, are a major hindrance to economic growth. In this context, this article systematically analyses the impact of the far-reaching banking sector reforms undertaken in Uganda on banking sector competition and efficiency. Using models of banking competition and efficiency that have been predominantly estimated in industrial countries, we find that the level of competition has significantly increased and has been associated with a rise in efficiency of the sector. Moreover, on average, larger banks and foreign-owned banks are more efficient than others while smaller banks have fallen back in efficiency with the increase in competitive pressures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2703-2720 Issue: 21 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600972456 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600972456 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:21:p:2703-2720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elisabeth Mueller Author-X-Name-First: Elisabeth Author-X-Name-Last: Mueller Title: Benefits of control, capital structure and company growth Abstract: This article studies the influence of the benefits of control on the capital structure and the growth of private companies for a sample of 8964 UK companies with limited liability observed for up to 5 years. It is hypothesized that companies in which existing owners would lose more control if they expanded, have smaller equity increases, are more highly levered and grow more slowly. Potential loss of control is measured as the difference in the probability of winning a vote for the largest owner before and after a hypothetical equity increase. Evidence is found that is consistent with the hypotheses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2721-2734 Issue: 21 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600981622 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600981622 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:21:p:2721-2734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Yongqing Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yongqing Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The J-curve: evidence from commodity trade between US and China Abstract: In testing the short-run (J-curve effect) and the long-run effects of currency depreciation on the trade balance many researchers have used either trade data between one country and the rest of the world or between one country and another trading partner. Both groups are said to suffer from aggregation bias. To reduce the bias, in this article we consider trade data between one country (the US) and her trading partner (China) disaggregated by commodity. We use imports and exports of 88 industries (2-digit and 3-digit classifications) and cointegration analysis to show that the trade balance of at least 34 of the industries react favourably to real depreciation of the dollar. The J-curve effect is detected in 22 industries. Furthermore, most of these industries that are sensitive to currency depreciation are durable commodity groupings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2735-2747 Issue: 21 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970328 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:21:p:2735-2747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Halkos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Halkos Author-Name: Nickolaos Tzeremes Author-X-Name-First: Nickolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Tzeremes Title: Trade efficiency and economic development: evidence from a cross country comparison Abstract: Economic theory suggests that development is enhanced through income growth, which is driven through increased trade. However, the empirical evidence of such a relationship most of the times is proved to be weak. In this study we try to determine the factors influencing this relationship by measuring 'trade efficiency'. Using the data envelopment analysis (DEA) window method for a sample of 16 OECD countries, we obtained the efficiency scores and the optimal output levels for the inefficient countries for a time period of 5 years under consideration. Results drawn from the broadly used ratio analysis were also compared to the results derived from the DEA model. Our empirical findings show that 'trade efficient' countries have clear characteristics like low-exchange rates for exports, low R&D intensity, high-value intra industry trade and positive impact of net trade on their gross domestic product. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2749-2764 Issue: 21 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970302 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970302 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:21:p:2749-2764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Author-Name: Troy Schmitz Author-X-Name-First: Troy Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitz Author-Name: A. Schmitz Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitz Title: Segregating genetically modified and nongenetically modified corn in a marketing channel Abstract: The adoption of GM corn in the United States depends on many factors including segregation costs, which have minor impacts on aggregate welfare. Because the demand for nonGM corn is small relative to its supply, no premium for nonGM corn can be generated in excess of the segregation costs. An outward shift in the supply of corn resulting from the adoption of GM varieties has a greater impact on aggregate welfare than do the segregation costs required to satisfy the GM-free demand. A 10% increase in the aggregate supply of GM corn increases aggregate welfare by more than US $250 million. However, nonadopters of GM corn lose while adopters can gain or lose depending on the nature of the aggregate demand curve for US corn. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2765-2774 Issue: 21 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970336 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:21:p:2765-2774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsiao-Tang Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Tang Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: The payoff and implied pricing kernel in REITs Abstract: This article explores the hybrid character (i.e. the resemblance of both stock and bond) of Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) through the implied pricing kernel behind REITs prices. We use the Empirical Pricing kernel method (Rosenberg and Engle, 2002) to explore their Payoff probability density and extract the implied pricing kernel. To estimate payoff probability density, we use asymmetric GARCH model. Results indicate that implied pricing kernels flatten in all ranges of low rate of returns and decrease exponentially in ranges of high rate of returns. This means the REIT pricing kernel resembles a bond when rate of return is low, and a stock when it is high. The pattern is consistent between 1970 and 2000. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2775-2783 Issue: 21 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970344 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:21:p:2775-2783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Model-selection-based unit-root detection in unemployment rates: international evidence Abstract: A model-selection-based unit-root detection by using the Bayesian information criterion is proposed. First, six alternative model classes are obtained considering the presence or absence of a unit root and considering three kinds of deterministic terms: no constant, constant, constant and trend. Second, given the selected model class, the best model is selected from the alternative models with different lags. Third, the best of the entire model set comprising the six models obtained in the preceding step is selected. Finally, whether an observed time series contains a unit root is determined on the basis of the selected model. Simulation results suggest that the proposed method is at least comparable to and often better than the sequential testing method provided by Dolado et al. (1990). Empirical results obtained by the proposed method are more convincing than those obtained by the sequential testing method and suggest that the hysteresis hypothesis can be applied to monthly time series of the unemployment rates for all the six countries under consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2785-2791 Issue: 21 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600970351 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600970351 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:21:p:2785-2791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Arti Prasad Author-X-Name-First: Arti Author-X-Name-Last: Prasad Author-Name: Baljeet Singh Author-X-Name-First: Baljeet Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: A test of the Wagner's hypothesis for the Fiji islands Abstract: In this article we examine Wagner's law for Fiji for the period 1970 to 2002. Using the Johansen (1988) test for cointegration, we find one cointegration relationship between national output and government expenditure. Using five different long run estimators, we find robust results on the impact of national income on government expenditure. The elasticity ranges from 1.36 to 1.44, implying that a 1% increase in income leads to a 1.36-1.44% increase in government expenditure. Moreover, we find that in the long run national income Granger causes government expenditure. While these results are consistent with Wagner's law, we warn policy makers that because Fiji's total debt stands at around 69% of GDP, in future the bulk of expenditure will go towards debt financing at the expense of productive sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2793-2801 Issue: 21 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600972472 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600972472 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:21:p:2793-2801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Bonci Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Bonci Author-Name: F. Columba Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Columba Title: Monetary policy effects: new evidence from the Italian flow-of-funds Abstract: New evidence on the transmission of monetary policy to the economy is provided through an analysis of the effects of a restrictive monetary policy shock on Italian flow of funds over the period 1980 to 2002. Firms reduce issuance of debt and decrease the acquisition of financial assets, providing no support for the existence of strong financial frictions. Following the shock, in the first quarter households increase short-tem liabilities and diminish the acquisition of liquid assets and shares. The public sector increases net borrowing during the first 2 years. Financial corporations decrease their borrowing for three quarters while in the same period the foreign sector increases borrowed funds. We claim that our results shed new light on the role of the financial decisions of the economic sectors in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2803-2818 Issue: 21 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964492 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:21:p:2803-2818 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurt Hafner Author-X-Name-First: Kurt Author-X-Name-Last: Hafner Title: The pattern of international patenting and technology diffusion Abstract: The article focuses on the impact of R&D expenditure on labour productivity using international patent applications as a technology diffusion indicator. Considering the relationship between research and productivity, the pattern of international patenting reflects the channel between the source and the destination of transferred technology. Accounting for nonstationarity and cointegration, I find that patent-related foreign R&D spillovers are present for a panel of 18 OECD countries. Moreover, nonG7 OECD countries benefit more from foreign rather than domestic R&D activities. Estimates also show that there is no significant spillover effect from bilateral trade, but confirm the impact of FDI on domestic labour productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2819-2837 Issue: 21 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600981630 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600981630 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:21:p:2819-2837 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. D. Chwelos Author-X-Name-First: P. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Chwelos Author-Name: E. R. Berndt Author-X-Name-First: E. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Berndt Author-Name: I. M. Cockburn Author-X-Name-First: I. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cockburn Title: Faster, smaller, cheaper: an hedonic price analysis of PDAs Abstract: We compute quality-adjusted price indexes for personal digital assistants (PDAs) for the period 1999 to 2004. Hedonic regressions indicate that prices are related to processor generation and clock speed, memory capacity, screen size and quality and the presence of a digital camera or wireless capability. A particularly salient feature of PDAs is portability, where we find: (i) purchasers value the energy density of the battery technology (e.g. lithium ion) rather than the battery life in hours; and (ii) the physical characteristics of the PDA (e.g. weight, volume) are nonlinearly related to price, suggesting that valuation of the physical form of PDAs does not bear a simple linear relationship to characteristics, either in absolute terms ('smaller is better') or vs. an ergonomic 'sweet spot'. Rather, portability characteristics are correlated with other desirable attributes, making the relationship between price and portability difficult to disentangle. However, hedonic price indexes are robust across different measures of the portability of PDAs. Hedonic indexes using the dummy variable, characteristics prices, and imputation approaches decline on average between 19 and 26% per year. A matched model price index computed from a subset of observations declines at 19% per year, while a fixed-effects hedonic index declines at 14% per year. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2839-2856 Issue: 22 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600993924 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600993924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:22:p:2839-2856 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ines Hardoy Author-X-Name-First: Ines Author-X-Name-Last: Hardoy Author-Name: Pål Schøne Author-X-Name-First: Pål Author-X-Name-Last: Schøne Title: The family gap and family friendly policies: the case of Norway Abstract: Norway has among the most generous family policies in the world. The most recent is the cash-for-care reform, which was implemented in 1998. We answer two main questions in this article: What is the level of the family gap in such a generous regime and how has it developed as a consequence of the latest reform? Results suggest that the family gap is rather modest in Norway compared to many other countries and we find no evidence of a worsening of the gap in recent years. A positive interpretation of these results is that the Norwegian labour market is fairly flexible, in the sense that it seems to be able to absorb even more generous family policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2857-2871 Issue: 22 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600993981 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600993981 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:22:p:2857-2871 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Thornton Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Author-Name: Jennifer Rice Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Rice Title: Determinants of healthcare spending: a state level analysis Abstract: Within the high and rising level of healthcare spending for the US as a whole is substantial variation in spending across states. Yet relatively little attention has been given to the empirical analysis of interstate differences in aggregate healthcare expenditures, and therefore little empirical evidence exists at the state level to guide policymakers. Using data for all 50 states for the year 1998, we estimate an empirical model that includes structural and reduced-form healthcare spending equations and a health production function to assess the significance, size and relative importance of factors that prior research indicates, may play an important role in explaining interstate variation in medical care expenditures, and the main pathways through which they operate. Our results indicate higher levels of healthcare spending for state populations with higher income, less education, fewer uninsured residents, less healthy lifestyles, larger proportion of elderly residents, greater availability of medical care providers and less urbanization. Our findings suggest that the most effective cost containment measures may be those that increase education and promote healthy lifestyles. Not only do these actions lead to reductions in healthcare spending, they also improve the health status of the population, and may help to achieve other important social policy goals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2873-2889 Issue: 22 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600993973 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600993973 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:22:p:2873-2889 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. O. Vargas-Tellez Author-X-Name-First: C. O. Author-X-Name-Last: Vargas-Tellez Title: Purchasing power parity across Mexican cities: a panel data analysis Abstract: This article presents three different unit root tests for panel data, the main objective is to find the level of internal integration market through the purchasing power parity (PPP) evidence, based in the Balassa-Samuelson approach. Thus, eight kinds of markets, as tradable and nontradable goods for 16 main Mexican cities during a 21 year period have been contrasted. While two tests showed the PPP validity for seven markets, the other rejected it. The results obtained moreover feed the present controversy about which test is most appropriate to test the PPP, as soon as it is highlighted new elements emerge to explain the half-life analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2891-2899 Issue: 22 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600993965 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600993965 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:22:p:2891-2899 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rafael Myro Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Myro Author-Name: Patricio Perez Author-X-Name-First: Patricio Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Author-Name: Alberto Colino Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Colino Title: Economic growth in a world of ideas: the US and the leading European countries Abstract: This article discusses the ideas creation model that was initially formulated by Romer and later generalized and empirically applied by Jones. In particular, we generalize Jones' model to include catching up to a technological frontier, which improves the empirical results for European countries, and ensures convergence to the technological frontier in the steady state Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2901-2909 Issue: 22 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600993957 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600993957 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:22:p:2901-2909 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. E. Akinlo Author-X-Name-First: A. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Akinlo Title: A cost function analysis of import demand for Nigeria Abstract: The article uses a translog cost function to examine the substitution relations among capital, labour and imports. The results show that capital has a substitute relation with domestic labour and import. However, labour and import have complementary relationship. The implication of this finding is that liberalization policies, if pursued vigorously, could impart positively on the demand for labour. In addition, it suggests that economic growth could be enhanced through trade liberalization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2911-2920 Issue: 22 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600993932 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600993932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:22:p:2911-2920 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christine Mutz Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Mutz Author-Name: Thomas Ziesemer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Ziesemer Title: Simultaneous estimation of income and price elasticities of export demand, scale economies and total factor productivity growth for Brazil Abstract: This article focuses on a growth model in which (unlike other models) low (high) export demand elasticities and the fact that developing countries are importers of capital goods help explaining the slow (high) growth of these countries in the transition and in the steady state. The question arises whether export demand elasticities are low or high. For answering this question, export demand elasticities for the case of Brazil are obtained by estimation of the model. As a by-product of estimating the model, we obtain estimates for total-factor productivity growth and for scale economies. Based on the results from estimation we calculate steady-state growth rates, engine and handmaiden effects of growth as well as dynamic steady-state gains from trade. The model and the results are discussed in regard to several strands of literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2921-2937 Issue: 22 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600993916 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600993916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:22:p:2921-2937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petter Vegard Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Petter Vegard Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Author-Name: Lars Lindholt Author-X-Name-First: Lars Author-X-Name-Last: Lindholt Title: The market power of OPEC 1973-2001 Abstract: We apply a multi-equation dynamic econometric model on monthly data to test if the behaviour of OPEC as a whole or different sub-groups of the cartel is consistent with the characteristics of dominant producers on the world crude oil market in the period 1973-2001. Our results indicate that the producers outside OPEC can be described as competitive producers, taking the oil price as given and maximizing profits. The OPEC members do not fit the behaviour of price-taking producers. Our findings of low residual demand price elasticities for OPEC underpin the potential market power of the producer group, and are in line with the results in some recent energy studies. On the other hand, our findings indicate that neither OPEC nor different sub-groups of the cartel can be characterized as a dominant producer in the period 1973-1994. However, we find that the characteristics of a dominant producer to some extent fit OPEC-Core as from 1994. Thus, although OPEC clearly has affected the market price, the producer group has not behaved as a pure profit-maximizing dominant producer. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2939-2959 Issue: 22 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600972480 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600972480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:22:p:2939-2959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeong-Dong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chansoo Park Author-X-Name-First: Chansoo Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Dong-Hyun Oh Author-X-Name-First: Dong-Hyun Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Tai-Yoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Yoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Measuring consumption efficiency with utility theory and stochastic frontier analysis Abstract: The concept of production efficiency has been studied since the 1960s, but consumption activity as well may be inefficient for various reasons, such as product complexity, lack of information, the bounded rationality of the consumer and imperfect markets, to name a few. This study proposes a conceptual framework for measuring the consumption efficiency of differentiated products, based on traditional utility theory. It employs stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) in an empirical analysis. It makes use of hedonic price theory to link traditional utility theory and the SFA framework. When the developed model is applied to the Korean personal computer market, empirical results indicate the levels and distribution of consumption efficiency in that market. The findings afford us a better understanding of the characteristics of the innovation process in that market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2961-2968 Issue: 22 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600993908 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600993908 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:22:p:2961-2968 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Benitez-Silva Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Benitez-Silva Author-Name: F. Heiland Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Heiland Title: Early claiming of social security benefits and labour supply behaviour of older Americans Abstract: The labour supply incentives provided by the early retirement rules of the United States Social Security Old Age benefits program are of growing importance as the Normal Retirement Age (NRA) increases to 67 and the labour force participation of older Americans starts to increase. These incentives allow individuals who claim benefits before the NRA but continue to work, or return to the labour force, to increase their future rate of benefit pay by having benefits withheld. Since the adjustment of the benefit rate takes place only after the NRA is reached, benefits received before the NRA can become actuarially unfair for those who continue to work after claiming. Consistent with these incentives, estimates from bivariate models of the monthly labour force exit and claiming hazards using data from the Health and Retirement Study indicate that early claimers who do not withdraw from the labour force around the time they claim are increasingly likely to stay in the labour force. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2969-2985 Issue: 23 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994054 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994054 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:23:p:2969-2985 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig Depken Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Depken Author-Name: Arthur Snow Author-X-Name-First: Arthur Author-X-Name-Last: Snow Title: The strategic nature of advertising in segmented markets Abstract: We develop a simple model in which firm-specific advertising has cooperative and predatory effects. Our model is set in a static market where firms are naturally segmented into two distinct submarkets: several large firms located in the core, with small firms operating as a fringe. We test the net effect of opposing market size (cooperative) and market share (predatory) effects of both fringe and core firm advertising on the advertising decisions of large firms in several US consumer industries. Empirically, fringe firm advertising leads to an increase in advertising efforts by large firms, implying strategic complementarity. On the other hand, increased advertising by core firms in an industry decreases advertising expenditures of other core firms, indicating they are strategic substitutes. Our findings imply that equilibrium levels of advertising can be greater with asymmetric, rather than symmetric, strategic interactions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2987-2994 Issue: 23 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994047 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994047 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:23:p:2987-2994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donna Ramirez Harrington Author-X-Name-First: Donna Ramirez Author-X-Name-Last: Harrington Author-Name: Madhu Khanna Author-X-Name-First: Madhu Author-X-Name-Last: Khanna Author-Name: George Deltas Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Deltas Title: Striving to be green: the adoption of total quality environmental management Abstract: Many firms are undertaking environment-friendly organizational change by applying the philosophy of total quality management with its emphasis on reducing waste and increasing efficiency. Their objective is to improve their management of pollution and increase customer satisfaction. This article investigates the factors that lead to total quality environmental management (TQEM) by large firms. We find that internal considerations stemming from a firm's technical capability, size (absolute and relative to competing firms), extent of operations and volume of past emissions are strongly associated with the TQEM adoption decision. The first four factors are proxies for the firm's costs and capabilities of adopting TQEM while the fifth factor is related to the benefits from increasing efficiency and waste reduction, and thus proxies for internally generated demand for TQEM. The desire to improve a firm's image with customers, earning good-will with regulators and the anticipation of future regulations do not appear to be associated with the adoption of TQEM. Thus, this article's main conclusion is that the adoption of TQEM is associated mostly with internal factors and motives. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2995-3007 Issue: 23 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994005 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994005 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:23:p:2995-3007 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dirk Frantzen Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Frantzen Title: R&D and manufacturing production specialization in developed economies Abstract: A study of the relation between technology and manufacturing production specialization in a series of developed economies is performed by means of models relating indicators of revealed symmetric comparative advantage of value added and exports to similar measures of comparative performance of R&D expenditure, capital intensity, total factor productivity and wage costs. The production and R&D specialization are shown to be substantial and sticky. This contrasts with the evidence of a substantial degree of convergence in the patterns of the other variables. Regression estimates show that, although all variables play their part, the impact of comparative R&D efforts on production specialization is by far the strongest. This impact is found to be stronger in the smaller economies and it is especially important in research-intensive industries. The influence of comparative wages is, moreover, found to be positive here, suggesting the dominance of a labour skill and efficiency wage effect over a wage cost competitiveness effect. These findings are shown to conform quite well with the predictions of Schumpeterian theory and of certain contributions to 'new trade theory' that have stressed the importance of dynamic economies of scale. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3009-3027 Issue: 23 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994013 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994013 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:23:p:3009-3027 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arnold Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Arnold Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Michael Fung Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Fung Title: Financial market and housing wealth effects on consumption: a permanent income approach Abstract: The objective of this study is to examine the financial market and housing wealth effects on consumption. Housing has the dual functions as both a commodity yielding a flow of housing services and an investment asset yielding a flow of capital income. With the construction of an empirical framework based on the vector autoregression approach, the findings from this study suggest that a rise in housing price has both a positive wealth effect and a negative price effect on consumption. While the positive wealth effect is caused by an increase in capital income, the negative price effect is caused by an increase in the cost of housing services. In addition, the housing market wealth effect increases, at the expense of the price effect, with the level of housing-market leverage. These findings imply that the government policy of land supply aiming to stimulate the economy should strike a balance between the possible wealth and price effects of the housing market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3029-3038 Issue: 23 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994021 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:23:p:3029-3038 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frode Alfnes Author-X-Name-First: Frode Author-X-Name-Last: Alfnes Author-Name: Kyrre Rickertsen Author-X-Name-First: Kyrre Author-X-Name-Last: Rickertsen Author-Name: Øydis Ueland Author-X-Name-First: Øydis Author-X-Name-Last: Ueland Title: Consumer attitudes toward low stake risk in food markets Abstract: Consistency of quality is viewed as important for producers of consumer goods. However, there is no literature testing the importance of quality consistency on consumers' willingness to pay for consumer goods. We use an experimental auction market to investigate how inconsistency in tenderness affects consumers' willingness to pay for beef. We find that most consumers are risk averse with respect to sensory quality. Both the average tenderness and the variance of tenderness affected the consumers' willingness to pay for beef. Reducing the uncertainty of the sensory quality by categorizing the beef into three tenderness classes increased the total value of the beef by 8%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3039-3049 Issue: 23 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994062 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994062 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:23:p:3039-3049 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stavros Degiannakis Author-X-Name-First: Stavros Author-X-Name-Last: Degiannakis Author-Name: Alexandra Livada Author-X-Name-First: Alexandra Author-X-Name-Last: Livada Author-Name: Epaminondas Panas Author-X-Name-First: Epaminondas Author-X-Name-Last: Panas Title: Rolling-sampled parameters of ARCH and Levy-stable models Abstract: In this article an asymmetric autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) model is applied to some well-known financial indices (DAX30, FTSE20, FTSE100 and SP500), using a rolling sample of constant size, in order to investigate whether the values of the estimated parameters of the model change over time. Although, there are changes in the estimated parameters reflecting that structural properties and trading behaviour alter over time, the ARCH model adequately forecasts the one-day-ahead volatility. A simulation study has been carried out to investigate whether the time-variant attitude holds in the case of a generated ARCH data process revealing that either in that case the rolling-sampled parameters are time varying. The rolling analysis is also applied to estimate the parameters of a Levy-stable distribution. The empirical findings support that the stable parameters are also time variant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3051-3067 Issue: 23 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994039 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:23:p:3051-3067 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nil Demet Gungor Author-X-Name-First: Nil Demet Author-X-Name-Last: Gungor Author-Name: Aysıt Tansel Author-X-Name-First: Aysıt Author-X-Name-Last: Tansel Title: Brain drain from Turkey: an investigation of students' return intentions Abstract: The emigration of skilled individuals from Turkey attracted greater media attention and the interest of policymakers in Turkey, particularly after the experience of recurrent economic crises that have led to an increase in unemployment among the highly educated young. This study estimates a model of return intentions using a data set compiled from an Internet survey of Turkish students residing abroad. The findings of this study indicate that, as expected, higher salaries offered in the host country and lifestyle preferences, including a more organized environment in the host country, increase the probability of student nonreturn. However, the analysis also points to the importance of prior return intentions and the role of the family in the decision to return to Turkey or stay overseas. It is also found that the compulsory service requirement attached to government scholarships increases the probability of student return. Turkish student association membership also increases return intentions. Longer stay durations, on the other hand, decrease the probability of return. These findings have important policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3069-3087 Issue: 23 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600993999 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600993999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:23:p:3069-3087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Koyin Chang Author-X-Name-First: Koyin Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: The strategic alliance of the biotechnology firm Abstract: This article applies the relevant theories of firm organization and inter-firm relationships in the high-tech environment to explain the institutional reasons that firms choose between internal or external approaches. Particularly, this study tries to understand to what extent and in what way strategic alliances have impacts on individual firms' organizational structure, financial structure and firms' activities. Also it tries to find out what type of firms tend to benefit most from alliances, and thus use more inter-firm agreements. The theoretical findings are that due to liquidity constraint and asymmetric information reasons, young, research-intensive firms need to use more alliances to survive in the fast changing high-technology industry. The empirical analysis employs 3 year panel data and finds that the results are consistent with the theoretical predictions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3089-3100 Issue: 23 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994104 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994104 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:23:p:3089-3100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alpaslan Akay Author-X-Name-First: Alpaslan Author-X-Name-Last: Akay Author-Name: Elias Tsakas Author-X-Name-First: Elias Author-X-Name-Last: Tsakas Title: Asymptotic bias reduction for a conditional marginal effects estimator in sample selection models Abstract: In this article we discuss the differences between the average marginal effect and the marginal effect of the average individual in sample selection models, estimated by the Heckman procedure. We show that the bias that emerges as a consequence of interchanging the measures, could be very significant, even in the limit. We suggest a computationally cheap approximation method, which corrects the bias to a large extent. We illustrate the implications of our method with an empirical application of earnings assimilation and a small Monte Carlo simulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3101-3110 Issue: 24 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994096 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994096 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:24:p:3101-3110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Title: Differentials at firm level productive capacity realization in Bangladesh food manufacturing: an empirical analysis Abstract: This article empirically estimates the firm-specific productive capacity realization (PCR) indices using the stochastic frontier production function and analyses a number of variables explaining realization rates across firms and over time. Following Battese and Coelli (1995) the stochastic frontier production function is used to estimate capacity output and thereby PCR. Using the Firm level panel data from Bangladesh food manufacturing, the results show that capacity realization rates widely vary across firms and over time. The average rate of realization is about 65% implying that most of the firms are producing away from their full production capacity. This article also identifies several firm-specific and policy-related variables explaining capacity realization. The results show that firm size (SZE) and outward orientation (OPN) have positive while capital intensity (CNSTY), market structure (MSTRE) and effective rate of assistance (ERA) have negative impact on realization rates. Strikingly, both policy-related variables are statistically insignificant. Sensitivity analysis using the 'extreme bound analysis' also confirms the fragility (insignificance) of these two variables. Excessive support to firms and piecemeal liberalization reform may be attributed to these results. Thus, further reform of the domestic and trade policies are suggested to ensure competition and competitiveness of the manufacturing sector and of the country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3111-3126 Issue: 24 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994088 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994088 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:24:p:3111-3126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aashish Mehta Author-X-Name-First: Aashish Author-X-Name-Last: Mehta Author-Name: Hector Villarreal Author-X-Name-First: Hector Author-X-Name-Last: Villarreal Title: Why do diplomas pay? An expanded Mincerian framework applied to Mexico Abstract: We compare four explanations for the value of diplomas, each of which has implications for unemployment and wage variation amongst graduates, most of which have not previously been tested for when seeking to explain the effects of diplomas. We test for these implications using a refined econometric framework, exploiting idiosyncrasies in Mexican labour market and educational institutions. Premiums in Mexico appear to result from diplomas tied to jobs with downwards rigid wages - an uncommon but simple explanation. The standard explanations, including screening, are not suggested by Mexican data. Our results illuminate how labour markets segmented by diplomas clear. This depends upon the nature of the labour market rigidities exactly as predicted by neoclassical theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3127-3144 Issue: 24 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994120 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:24:p:3127-3144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inmaculada Martinez-Zarzoso Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez-Zarzoso Author-Name: Eva Maria Perez-Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Eva Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Garcia Author-Name: Celestino Suarez-Burguet Author-X-Name-First: Celestino Author-X-Name-Last: Suarez-Burguet Title: Do transport costs have a differential effect on trade at the sectoral level? Abstract: This article aims to analyse the determinants of transport costs and to investigate their influence in international trade with a sample of disaggregate trade data. First, we estimate a transport-cost function using cross-section data on maritime and overland transport for four sectors: agro-industry, ceramic tiles, motor vehicle parts and accessories, and electrical and mechanical household appliances, obtained from interviews held with Spanish exporters and logistics operators in 2001. Second, we study the relationship between transport costs and trade and estimate the elasticity of trade with respect to transport costs for each sector. Important differences for high value- and low value-added sectors are observed. The trade-equation estimation shows that higher transport costs significantly deter trade, especially in high value-added sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3145-3157 Issue: 24 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994179 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994179 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:24:p:3145-3157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Jareno Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Jareno Title: Spanish stock market sensitivity to real interest and inflation rates: an extension of the Stone two-factor model with factors of the Fama and French three-factor model Abstract: This study is focussed on estimating the real interest and inflation sensitivity in Spanish market, proposing an extension of the Stone (1974) two-factor model and controlling for size and growth of the companies [Fama and French (1993) three-factor model], because of its importance in the stock sensitivity shown by previous literature. I also study the classical explanatory factors of the stock sensitivity: leverage and liquidity level of the firms. The Spanish stock response is similar to the response in other markets, and the 'size' is higher than 'growth' effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3159-3171 Issue: 24 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994187 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:24:p:3159-3171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shu Ling Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shu Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Conditional risk and return in Asian emerging markets: evidence from the banking sector Abstract: Previous studies reach no consensus on the relationship between risk and return using data from one market. This study argues that the market factor should be noticed in assessing the risk-return relationship in a partially integrated emerging market. The analysis aims to provide new insight into the nature of the risk-return relationship by a conditional factor GARCH-M framework that controls for time-series effects, to investigate the banking sector in five Asian emerging markets of China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia and Taiwan during the period 1995 to 2004. Finally, the study provides evidence on these relations before and after the Asian financial crisis of 1997. The results are generally consistent across the markets and with expectations, and have implications for empirical assessments of the risk-return relationship and diversification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3173-3183 Issue: 24 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994161 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994161 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:24:p:3173-3183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Mei-Se Chien Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Se Author-X-Name-Last: Chien Title: Stability of money demand function revisited in China Abstract: As China's economic reforms have undergone significant structural changes after 1979, it has been rather difficult to formulate a stable money demand function over the period following that year. While previous literature on the long-run relationship of money demand in China shows the existence of stable money demand, this article revisits the stability of the China money demand function over the period after 1979. To employ the unit root tests and the cointegration tests with structural break, the empirical evidence demonstrates that economic and financial deregulation did affect the stability of demand for money in China over the period 1977 to 2002. Moreover, the estimated long-run income and interest elasticity are respectively 1.01 (1.11) and -0.14 (-0.08) using the real M1 (M2) equation. In addition, real income and the interest rate are found to be weakly exogenous. We overall do find structural breakpoints mainly in 1980 and 1993, and they look to match clearly with corresponding critical financial and economic incidents. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3185-3197 Issue: 24 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994153 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994153 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:24:p:3185-3197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Soosung Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Soosung Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Byung Khun Song Author-X-Name-First: Byung Khun Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: 'Irrational exuberance' in the long-run UK stock market Abstract: Using the macroeconomic data for 1830-2004 in vector error correction models, we find that the UK stock price was largely in line with the equilibrium level. However, the UK stock price shows large and slow-moving positive or negative deviations from the equilibrium, forming cycles of at least a few decades in length. We also show that the equity premium is as low as 3.1% for the 175 years, which is far smaller than the 6 to 7% that has been suggested by many previous studies. Finally, contrary to general belief, the 1999 UK stock price did not appear to be overvalued in our study. We suggest that the 25 years of sharp increase in the UK stock price prior to 1999 can be understood as a mere mean-reversion towards the long-run equilibrium level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3199-3211 Issue: 24 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994146 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:24:p:3199-3211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yaping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yaping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shaw Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shaw Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Bing-Xuan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Bing-Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Liansheng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Liansheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: The frequency and magnitude of earnings management in China Abstract: Earnings management is an indicator of the corporate governance quality and investor protection standard. We study the frequencies and magnitudes of earnings management under two different thresholds, zero earnings and prior earnings, in the Chinese market from 1997 to 2004. We model earnings as a mixed-normal distribution and obtain parameter estimators that measure the frequency and magnitude of earnings management. We show that the practice of earnings management has gone up both in frequency and magnitude during the post-2000 period. We also find that the frequency and magnitude of earnings management are higher when firms try to avoid negative earnings than when firms try to report earnings increase. Our findings reflect the current economic environment in China and caution investors on the low-disclosure quality in the Chinese stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3213-3225 Issue: 24 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994138 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:24:p:3213-3225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ekrem Gul Author-X-Name-First: Ekrem Author-X-Name-Last: Gul Author-Name: Sezgin Acikalin Author-X-Name-First: Sezgin Author-X-Name-Last: Acikalin Title: An examination of the Fisher Hypothesis: the case of Turkey Abstract: This study examines the famous Fisher Hypothesis (FH) for Turkey. FH asserts that nominal interest rates adjust on a one-to-one basis to expected changes in inflation rates. Using the Johansen cointegration method for the Turkish monthly interest rate and inflation rate data, we find that it is possible to determine the long-run relationship—but not the one-to-one basis—between nominal interest rates and inflation. Our findings suggest that full FH does not hold but there is a very powerfull Fisher effect in the case of Turkey from 1990 to 2003. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3227-3231 Issue: 24 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994112 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:24:p:3227-3231 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed Jellal Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Jellal Author-Name: Christophe Nordman Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Nordman Author-Name: Francois-Charles Wolff Author-X-Name-First: Francois-Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Title: Evidence on the glass ceiling effect in France using matched worker-firm data Abstract: In this article, we investigate the relevance of the glass ceiling hypothesis in France, according to which there exist larger gender wage gaps at the upper tail of the wage distribution. Using a matched worker-firm data set of about 1 30 000 employees and 14 000 employers, we estimate quantile regressions and rely on a principal component analysis to summarize information specific to the firms. Our different results show that accounting for firm-related characteristics reduces the gender earnings gap at the top of the distribution, but the latter still remains much higher at the top than at the bottom. Furthermore, a quantile decomposition shows that the gender wage gap is mainly due to differences in the returns to observed characteristics rather than in differences in characteristics between men and women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3233-3250 Issue: 24 Volume: 40 Year: 2008 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994070 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:40:y:2008:i:24:p:3233-3250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: The applied economics of agriculture: introduction and overview Abstract: We introduce and summarize the results of nine empirical studies that make up this special issue on agricultural economics. The research includes studies applied to the US, Bangladesh, Northern Ireland, Germany, Poland, Taiwan, Tunisia and Italy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-3 Issue: 1 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802704236 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802704236 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:1:p:1-3 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masato Nakane Author-X-Name-First: Masato Author-X-Name-Last: Nakane Author-Name: Loren Tauer Author-X-Name-First: Loren Author-X-Name-Last: Tauer Title: Empirical dairy profits under fluctuating prices Abstract: Production theory suggests that average profits would be greater with more variation in prices, if farmers correctly adjust use of inputs and outputs to changes in prices. We provide an empirical nonparametric analysis of farmers' profits under price changes over 12 years using an unbalanced panel of dairy farmers. Each year that a farm participated, we have quantities of milk and other outputs and usage of 30 different inputs. If that farmer participated in the survey the following year, the profit that farmer would have earned that following year using the netput vector of the previous year and the price vector of the following year was calculated. This passive profit was compared to the actual profit the farmer produced the following year. Of the 2371 observations, 56% show netput vector changes which enhanced net profit implying that as a group, these farmers were not generally able to correctly adjust inputs in response to price changes consistently. Logit regression failed to differentiate characteristics of farmers who were successful. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5-15 Issue: 1 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801935393 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801935393 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:1:p:5-15 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. N. Asadullah Author-X-Name-First: M. N. Author-X-Name-Last: Asadullah Author-Name: S. Rahman Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Title: Farm productivity and efficiency in rural Bangladesh: the role of education revisited Abstract: This article reassesses the debate over the role of education in farm production in Bangladesh using a large dataset on rice producing households from 141 villages. Average and stochastic production frontier functions are estimated to ascertain the effect of education on productivity and efficiency. A full set of proxies for farm education stock variables are incorporated to investigate the 'internal' as well as 'external' returns to education. The external effect is investigated in the context of rural neighbourhoods. Our analysis reveals that in addition to raising rice productivity and boosting potential output, household education significantly reduces production inefficiencies. However, we are unable to find any evidence of the externality benefit of schooling - neighbour's education does not matter in farm production. We discuss the implication of these findings for rural education programmes in Bangladesh. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 17-33 Issue: 1 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019125 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:1:p:17-33 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Davis Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Author-Name: P. Caskie Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Caskie Author-Name: M. Wallace Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Wallace Title: Economics of farmer early retirement policy Abstract: We estimate the structural effects, costs and potential efficiency gains that might arise from the introduction of an Early Retirement Scheme for farmers in Northern Ireland using data from the Farm Business Survey and a separate survey of 350 farmers aged between 50 and 65. Modelling results suggest that farm scale is a significant determinant of profit per hectare but that the age of the operator is not. The economic gains from releasing land through a scheme were conditional on transfers bringing about significant farm expansion and changes in land use. When these conditions were satisfied pensions payments of only about one-third the statutory maximum could be justified. Survey responses indicated that participation in the scheme would bring forward farmers' retirement age by an average of 4 years. Moreover, 'deadweight' payments would equate to about 23% of potential total expenditure. Overall, the economic case for the introduction of an Early Retirement Scheme to Northern Ireland is judged to be weak. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 35-43 Issue: 1 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994211 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994211 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:1:p:35-43 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Glauben Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Glauben Author-Name: Martin Petrick Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Petrick Author-Name: Hendrik Tietje Author-X-Name-First: Hendrik Author-X-Name-Last: Tietje Author-Name: Christoph Weiss Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Weiss Title: Probability and timing of succession or closure in family firms: a switching regression analysis of farm households in Germany Abstract: In a two-step econometric approach that corrects for selectivity bias, we analyse the determinants of the probability of succession and the timing of succession or closure in a unique sample of 233 North-German family farms. We set up the succession decision as an intertemporal optimization problem. The empirical results show that larger and more profitable farms, which are specialized in dairy production are significantly more likely to have an intra-family successor. We find that a nonagricultural education of the current manager or the successor delay succession. When the family decided to stop farming operations, nonagricultural education of the owner delays closure of the farm. Closure occurs earlier if the manager is able to lease out the land in the process of retirement. Although farm households react to incentives originating from tax and pension regulations, many important determinants of succession are beyond the control of policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 45-54 Issue: 1 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601131722 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601131722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:1:p:45-54 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Axel Tonini Author-X-Name-First: Axel Author-X-Name-Last: Tonini Author-Name: Roel Jongeneel Author-X-Name-First: Roel Author-X-Name-Last: Jongeneel Title: The distribution of dairy farm size in Poland: a markov approach based on information theory Abstract: This article sets out to analyse the evolution of the dairy farm structure of Poland during the post-socialist period. After focusing on how the farm structure has changed over time, an instrumental variable generalized cross entropy estimator is used to develop and estimate a Markov model in order to explore how farm structure will probably develop in the coming decade. The estimator exploits both sample data and prior information, including general and plausible information on farm mobility and structural adjustments based on independent literature. Next, several statistical indicators are computed for farm mobility and for which farms are likely to survive. Finally, milk projections are made and related to policy scenarios. The projections show that the number of dairy farms will continue to decline, but the number of medium and large farms will increase. In the coming decade, subsistence dairy farms are expected to leave the sector slowly. Milk projections show that under the status quo, milk quotas will be binding and overrun, whereas under the 'soft landing' scenario they appear to be only binding after 2010. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 55-69 Issue: 1 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704394 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701704394 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:1:p:55-69 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hung-Hao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Richard Boisvert Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Boisvert Title: Are farmers' decisions to work off the farm related to their decisions to participate in the conservation reserve program? Abstract: Since both working off the farm and participating in the Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) remove important resources from US agricultural production, we utilize two econometric specifications to test hypotheses regarding whether these two decisions by farmers are independent. We find statistical evidence that decisions to participate in CRP and work off the farm are correlated. Characteristics of farm households and farm operations affect both decisions directly and indirectly, as do local economic conditions and participation in other farm programs. To illustrate their importance, we simulate the combined direct and indirect effects of changes in decoupled payments and farm size on the probabilities of farm households engaging in these two activities. We also illustrate that the probability of engaging in these two activities depends on whether the farm is located in a state, or local agricultural district or participates in a related farmland retention program. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 71-85 Issue: 1 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720861 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:1:p:71-85 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yi-Chung Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: Endogenous structural breaks, public investment in agriculture and agricultural land productivity in Taiwan Abstract: Using time-series data for Taiwan's agricultural sector and with the government's public investment in the agricultural sector serving as a proxy variable for nonfarm current inputs aside from the original labour and capital input variables usually taken into consideration, this article examines the relationship between public investment in agriculture (public investment/land) and agricultural land productivity (output/land) in Taiwan. Our main findings are as follows. First, the cointegration test reveals that public investment in agriculture and the productivity of agricultural land exhibit a significant positive relationship in the long run, where the elasticity of land productivity in relation to public investment in agriculture is 0.55. Second, when controlling for endogenous structural breaks, the long-run equilibrium relationship for the productivity of the agricultural land model is still supported. Third, the results of the weak exogeneity test indicate that a causal relationship exists in the long run between public investment in agriculture and the productivity of land, indicating that the growth of the agricultural sector must in the long run be based on the government's public investment in the agricultural sector. Furthermore, as the agricultural sector grows, this growth is able to stimulate public investment on the part of the government in the agricultural sector, so that the two affect each other. Fourth, from the short-run error correction model estimation, it is found that public investment in agriculture is a major means of adjusting for the disequilibria that occur within the system. Fifth, in the short run, the unidirectional causal relationship in terms of the productivity of agricultural land on public investment in agriculture is established, otherwise it is not established. From this it can be seen that in the short run, the government is unable to reveal the effectiveness of its public investment in agriculture. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 87-103 Issue: 1 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601131748 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601131748 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:1:p:87-103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. M. Gil Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Author-Name: M. BenKaabia Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: BenKaabia Author-Name: H. E. Chebbi Author-X-Name-First: H. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Chebbi Title: Macroeconomics and agriculture in Tunisia Abstract: This article aims to analyse the impact of changes in the monetary policy and the exchange rate on agricultural supply, prices and exports. The methodology used is based on the multivariate cointegration approach. Ten variables are considered - interest and exchange rates, money supply, inflation, agricultural output and input prices, agricultural supply and exports, income and the rate of commercial openness. The sample period covers annual data from 1967 to 2002. Due to the short sample period, two subsystems are considered. First, long-run relationships are identified in each subsystem. Second, both subsystems are merged in order to calculate the short-run dynamics. The results indicate that changes in macroeconomic variables have an effect on the agricultural sector, but the reverse effect does not hold. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 105-124 Issue: 1 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604420 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604420 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:1:p:105-124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maurizio Canavari Author-X-Name-First: Maurizio Author-X-Name-Last: Canavari Author-Name: Rodolfo Nayga Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Nayga Title: On consumers' willingness to purchase nutritionally enhanced genetically modified food Abstract: This study assesses consumers' willingness to purchase genetically modified (GM) food products with two different types of benefits: an input (i.e., reduced pesticides) and an output trait benefit (i.e., nutritionally enhanced). Data were collected using a telephone survey of an Italian households sample. Discrete choice approach is used to elicit the purchase intentions of the respondents. Four separate probit models are estimated to examine the effect of various factors on choices. Results suggest that majority of Italians are not willing to buy GM food products even if they are nutritionally enhanced. However, more consumers are willing to buy a nutritionally enhanced plant based GM product than a traditional plant based GM (with input trait benefit). Willingness to buy for a nutritionally enhanced animal based GM product and for a traditional animal based GM product with input trait benefit are similar. Consumers unwilling to buy GM food would not buy it even if it is nutritionally enhanced and has lower price. However, there is a niche of consumers who are willing to buy nutritionally enhanced GM food products even at a premium. Knowledge of science and trust in scientists consistently affect Italian consumers' willingness to buy the GM products. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 125-137 Issue: 1 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367564 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367564 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:1:p:125-137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Magda Kandil Author-X-Name-First: Magda Author-X-Name-Last: Kandil Title: Are devaluations contractionary in MENA countries? Abstract: Currency depreciation reduces aggregate supply by raising cost of imported inputs and increases aggregate demand by increasing its net export component. Depending on the relative strength of the two effects, depreciation could be expansionary or contractionary. We employ the bounds testing approach to cointegration and error-correction modelling to evaluate the effects of exchange rate depreciation on output growth, both in the short and in the long-run, across a sample of MENA countries. Exchange rate fluctuations are found to be important to fluctuations in real output growth in the short-run. Anticipated exchange rate depreciation may induce long-run expansionary or contractionary effects on output supply. Consistent with theory's predictions, the expansionary effect of unanticipated depreciation is only transitory on output growth. Nonetheless, unanticipated depreciation is found to have a contractionary effect on output growth in the long-run via an increase in the cost of imported inputs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 139-150 Issue: 2 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994195 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994195 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:2:p:139-150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Reed Neil Olsen Author-X-Name-First: Reed Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Olsen Title: Marital status in a developing economy: gender, ethnicity and family structure Abstract: This article employs population survey data for Trinidad and Tobago to investigate the likelihood of being married, both legal and common law in the present or the past, as compared to being never married, in a developing economy. The article finds support for the sex-specialized theory of marital formation, with men valued more and women valued less for their economic contributions to the family. Socioeconomic status and ethnicity play an important role in marital formation with sex specialization less likely to occur among Africans than the more advantaged ethnic groups. One of the consistent findings is that family structure matters crucially in predicting both legal and common law marriages. For example, living in a large, multigenerational household tends to impact the likelihood of marriage, as compared to remaining single, in opposite ways for men and women, with men in large households more likely to be married but women less likely to be married. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 151-169 Issue: 2 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994203 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:2:p:151-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minhaj Mahmud Author-X-Name-First: Minhaj Author-X-Name-Last: Mahmud Title: On the contingent valuation of mortality risk reduction in developing countries Abstract: Using the contingent valuation method in developing countries to value mortality risk reduction is particularly challenging because of the low level education of the respondents. In this article, we investigate whether some brief training regarding probability and risk concepts has any significant effect on the willingness-to-pay (WTP) responses. We elicit individuals' risk perceptions by providing information on age specific mortality risks and find that people on average overestimate the mortality risk at younger ages and underestimate it at older ages. Our results indicate a significantly higher WTP for the trained sub-sample and WTP is sensitive to the magnitude of risk reduction for both the sub-samples. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 171-181 Issue: 2 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994252 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994252 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:2:p:171-181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dragan Miljkovic Author-X-Name-First: Dragan Author-X-Name-Last: Miljkovic Title: US and Canadian livestock prices: market integration and trade dependence Abstract: Cointegration of Canadian and US livestock prices points to the existence of market integration in the period January 1996 to December 2004. Trade flows of livestock and beef products were nonexistent between Canada and the United States for many months in 2003 and 2004 suggesting market segmentation. This lack of trade in beef and livestock was due to livestock/beef import bans by both countries due to bovine spongiform encephalopathy. It was also determined that Canada's trade dependence in livestock and beef is cointegrated with Canadian and US livestock prices. However, as the trade dependence variable is shocked, the effects on Canadian and US prices are opposite although one would expect that in an integrated market the price responses to an exogenous shock would be similar or statistically identical. This result reinforces the case against the use of price cointegration analysis in determining presence (or absence) of market integration. Empirical results in this article raise some very difficult questions. Gains from trade are well documented. Yet, once a country becomes very trade dependent, the prices in it become much more vulnerable to exogenous shocks that reduce the trade flows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 183-193 Issue: 2 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994260 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994260 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:2:p:183-193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Collins Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Author-Name: Victor Fernandez-Blanco Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Blanco Author-Name: Juan Prieto-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Prieto-Rodriguez Title: Characteristics of buyers and renters of cultural goods: the case of movies Abstract: This article identifies the characteristics of consumers of movies, watched on videotapes, in their homes. Models of the frequency of movie video buying and renting by individuals are estimated using data from the Spanish Cultural Consumption Habits Survey (Encuesta sobre Habitos de Consumo Cultural). This survey featured information about videotapes rented and bought in Spain throughout 1998. Applying a multinomial probit modelling framework, this study analyses whether there are two different video markets (renting and buying) and any discernible socio-economic characteristics for their respective consumers. The influence of film genres on the renting of movie videotapes is also considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 195-210 Issue: 2 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007203 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:2:p:195-210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Manuela Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Maria Manuela Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Author-Name: Sergio Perelman Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Perelman Author-Name: Lourdes Trujillo Author-X-Name-First: Lourdes Author-X-Name-Last: Trujillo Title: Tracking the stepwise effects of regulatory reforms over time: a 'back-door' approach Abstract: Most of the literature on the efficiency effects of regulatory reforms ignores the gradual nature of the implementation of these reforms. This article describes a new simple data manipulation that minimizes data requirements to measure econometrically the impact on efficiency of each stage of multi-stages regulatory reforms. The approach can easily be implemented using standard stochastic frontier software programs. It is illustrated with data on the Spanish port system, which went through a two-stage reform during the 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 211-218 Issue: 2 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994294 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994294 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:2:p:211-218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Garcia-del-Barrio Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-del-Barrio Author-Name: L. A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: L. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: New revelations about unemployment persistence in Spain: time-series and panel data approaches using regional data Abstract: This article aims to re-examine the persistence of unemployment in Spain. For this purpose, we use time-series and cross-section analysis. From a time-series viewpoint we disaggregate unemployment by regions, and use unit root tests, AR coefficients and fractional differencing parameters as indicators of persistence. For the cross-section approach, we first estimate mean regressions of regional unemployment rates. Then, using a panel of 114 periods and 50 provinces, we estimate pooled, fixed and random effects models. Finally, following some recent developments, we implement several panel data unit root tests. Previous studies had already shown the strong persistence of Spanish unemployment. Our disaggregated analysis extends the finding to reveal that the persistence is greater in the most industrialized regions. The results also suggest that a structural break took place in 1994, implying a decline in the unemployment persistence since then. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 219-236 Issue: 2 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994237 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994237 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:2:p:219-236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir Author-X-Name-First: Zeynel Abidin Author-X-Name-Last: Ozdemir Author-Name: Hasan Olgun Author-X-Name-First: Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Olgun Title: The Feldstein - Hoiroka puzzle across countries Abstract: This article tests the Feldstein-Hoiroka 'puzzle' for a sample of 49 countries from two angles; that of co-movements in the saving-investment series and the magnitude of the saving-retention coefficient (SRC). The overall conclusion we obtain from the results of three different cointegration tests leaves no room for 'puzzle' in the majority of the countries included in the sample. On the other hand, various statistical tests applied to the SRCs show that there are significant differences among the high-income, middle-income and low-income country groups with regards to the salient aspects of capital mobility. First, there are significant differences in the average SRCs of the country groups. Second, the SRCs are differently distributed around their means among the country groups. The results yielded by a third test dictate that future research should pay more attention to the underlying distribution of the SRCs within country groups when testing the 'country size' argument. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 237-247 Issue: 2 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994245 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994245 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:2:p:237-247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Colin Glass Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Colin Glass Author-Name: Gillian McCallion Author-X-Name-First: Gillian Author-X-Name-Last: McCallion Author-Name: Donal McKillop Author-X-Name-First: Donal Author-X-Name-Last: McKillop Author-Name: Syamarlah Rasaratnam Author-X-Name-First: Syamarlah Author-X-Name-Last: Rasaratnam Author-Name: Karl Stringer Author-X-Name-First: Karl Author-X-Name-Last: Stringer Title: Best-practice benchmarking in UK higher education: new nonparametric approaches using financial ratios and profit efficiency methodologies Abstract: The neglected issue of using profit efficiency for the best-practice benchmarking of UK universities is explored to see whether this supports the policy stance of encouraging more specialized university production. The article also investigates whether nonparametric modelling with financial ratios, in contrast to nonparametric modelling based on the prices and quantities of each university's inputs and outputs, can yield ready insights into this profit efficiency issue. The empirical results, using two new approaches, confirm that more specialized university production yields relatively higher performance on average than less specialized production. The results also highlight certain advantages of financial ratios modelling. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 249-267 Issue: 2 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994278 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994278 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:2:p:249-267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mubariz Hasanov Author-X-Name-First: Mubariz Author-X-Name-Last: Hasanov Title: A note on efficiency of Australian and New Zealand stock markets Abstract: In this article we re-examine efficiency of the Australia's and New Zealand's stock markets, extending recent work of Narayan (2005). For this purpose we apply the nonlinear unit root test procedure recently developed by Kapetanios et al. (2003). The nonlinear unit root tests reject the null hypothesis of unit root, suggesting that the both stock markets are not weak form efficient, contrary to the findings of Narayan (2005). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 269-273 Issue: 2 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994286 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994286 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:2:p:269-273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Robson Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Robson Title: Structural change, specialization and regional labour market performance: evidence for the UK Abstract: While structural change and regional differences in the pattern of employment specialization are widely perceived to be significant factors in accounting for disparities in the labour market performance of regions in the United Kingdom, there have been relatively few recent attempts to gather detailed evidence on this issue. The current study aims to fill this gap by examining the effects of structural change and associated changes in the pattern of employment specialization on three key indicators of regional labour market performance: the rate of employment growth, the unemployment rate and the rate of nonemployment. The findings indicate that while industry structure has statistically significant effects on regional labour market performance, the quantitative significance of these effects is relatively small. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 275-293 Issue: 3 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007278 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007278 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:3:p:275-293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zlata Hajro Author-X-Name-First: Zlata Author-X-Name-Last: Hajro Author-Name: Joseph Joyce Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Joyce Title: A true test: do IMF programs hurt the poor? Abstract: This article analyses the effect of IMF programs on poverty with data from 82 countries during 1985-2000. Two indicators of poverty, infant mortality rates and the human development index (HDI), are utilized, and the effects of the IMF's concessionary and nonconcessionary programs are investigated, as well as economic and institutional factors. The results show that the IMF's programs have no significant direct impact on poverty. Growth and good institutions, however, both have significant impacts, lowering infant mortality and increasing the HDI. The Fund's concessionary programs increase the impact of growth on lowering infant mortality, while the nonconcessionary programs lower the impact of growth on the HDI. “Where a great proportion of the people are suffered to languish in helpless misery, that country must be ill policed, and wretchedly governed; a decent provision for the poor is the true test of civilization.” -Samuel Johnson, 1791 “… once a country was in crisis, IMF funds and programs not only failed to stabilize the situation but in many cases actually made things worse, especially for the poor.” -Joseph Stiglitz, 2002 Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 295-306 Issue: 3 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007229 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007229 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:3:p:295-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Randolph Beard Author-X-Name-First: T. Randolph Author-X-Name-Last: Beard Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Title: Who's number one? - ranking college football teams for the 2003 season Abstract: This article uses the method of pairwise comparisons to rank college football teams. This issue is of some importance due to debate over, which team actually won the national championship in 2003-2004. Some polls ranked LSU number 1 while others ranked USC number 1. Our method, based on pairwise comparisons, finds LSU to be clearly ranked number 1 but USC ends up ranked third behind Miami of Ohio. The Southeastern Conference (SEC) does well in our ranking scheme because the SEC produced not only the best team in the country (LSU) but also the only team to beat the best team in the country (UF). We also find that our ranking does not correspond very closely to rankings in either the AP or Coaches poll. Auxiliary regressions with our rank as the independent variable explain 58 and 50% of the variation in the AP and Coaches rankings, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 307-310 Issue: 3 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007245 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007245 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:3:p:307-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sven Anders Author-X-Name-First: Sven Author-X-Name-Last: Anders Author-Name: Stanley Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Stanley Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Author-Name: Roland Herrmann Author-X-Name-First: Roland Author-X-Name-Last: Herrmann Title: Markets segmented by regional-origin labelling with quality control Abstract: It is the objective of this paper to provide a methodological framework for the analysis of regional marketing programs which inlclude regional-origin labelling as well as quality assurance and control. Such programs are increasingly being introduced in Europe and other parts of the world as a means against quality uncertainty in globalized markets. An equilibrim - displacement model is developed for a segmented market with differential qualities that can be utilized for a broad variety of marketing programs. It is applied to one selected European case, i.e. “Gepruefte Qualitaet - Bayern”. It is shown that the price impacts on high-quality and low-quality segments depend crucially on substitutive relationships between the markets and the advertising elasticities. Welfare implications for producers in a program depend strongly on advertising elasticities, too, but also on the costs of participation including quality control and on the co-financing mechanism between government and producers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 311-321 Issue: 3 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007237 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007237 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:3:p:311-321 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mario Quagliariello Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Quagliariello Title: Macroeconomic uncertainty and banks' lending decisions: the case of Italy Abstract: This article discusses the role that macroeconomic uncertainty plays in banks' decisions on the optimal asset allocation. Following the portfolio model proposed by Baum et al. (2005), the article aims at disentangling how Italian banks choose between loans and risk-free assets when uncertainty on macroeconomic conditions increases. The econometric results confirm that macroeconomic uncertainty is a significant determinant of banks' investment decisions, also after controlling for other factors. In periods of increasing turmoil, banks' ability to accurately forecast future returns is hindered and herding behaviour tends to emerge, as witnessed by the reduction of the cross-sectional variance of the share of loans held in portfolio. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 323-336 Issue: 3 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007286 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007286 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:3:p:323-336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elisabetta Ottoz Author-X-Name-First: Elisabetta Author-X-Name-Last: Ottoz Author-Name: Graziella Fornengo Author-X-Name-First: Graziella Author-X-Name-Last: Fornengo Author-Name: Marina Di Giacomo Author-X-Name-First: Marina Author-X-Name-Last: Di Giacomo Title: The impact of ownership on the cost of bus service provision: an example from Italy Abstract: This article examines the potential impact of ownership on the cost of bus service provision for a sample of 65 private and 12 public companies providing local public transit (LPT) in Piedmont (Italy) from 1998 to 2002. A translog cost frontier is estimated using the model in Battese and Coelli (1995) where inefficiency scores are allowed to vary across firms and over time. A public ownership dummy is included in the inefficiency model and it is always positive and significant. Density and scale economies and cost inefficiencies are then computed. Private companies seem to experience higher density and scale economies than public ones. Cost inefficiencies appear higher in the public sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 337-349 Issue: 3 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007260 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007260 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:3:p:337-349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Author-Name: Harry Bloch Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Bloch Title: Business expenditures on R&D and trade performances in Australia: is there a link? Abstract: This article, empirically examines the dynamic causal link between business research and development (R&D) expenditures and trade performance in Australia. Based on cointegration and error-correction modelling, Granger causality tests, variance decomposition and impulse response functions are used for this purpose. The results show that a long-run relationship exists between the trade variables and R&D expenditure and a unidirectional causality run from R&D expenditure to exports, imports and net exports. Further, the variance decomposition and impulse response functions confirm that, a significant portion of fluctuations in the trade variables beyond the sample period is explained by R&D expenditure. Therefore, government policies that lift expenditures on business R&D are shown to contribute to the narrowing of Australia's chronic trade deficits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 351-361 Issue: 3 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007302 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007302 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:3:p:351-361 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jay Squalli Author-X-Name-First: Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Squalli Author-Name: Kenneth Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Openness and access Abstract: This article uses a data set from the World Economic Forum that quantitatively captures nonexistent or scarce data to test the relationship between trade openness and market access. In recognition of the diversity and range of trade openness measures, this article uses five different openness measures and one measure of market access comprising public institutions, the regulatory environment, and network industries. This article finds that all three components matter and that better market access leads to greater trade openness in both nominal and real terms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 363-379 Issue: 3 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007294 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007294 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:3:p:363-379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cem Payaslioglu Author-X-Name-First: Cem Author-X-Name-Last: Payaslioglu Title: A tail index tour across foreign exchange rate regimes in Turkey Abstract: This article uses daily foreign exchange data in the USD/TRL foreign exchange market to test for structural breaks due to exchange rate regime switches. The analysis focus on extreme movements of exchange rate returns across different regimes using tail index indicators. Sequential and rolling tests, developed by Quintos et al (2001) are used to identify the dates of breaks in the Turkish exchange rate for the period 28 January 1980 to 11 October 2004 and for the sub-periods which cover the fixed exchange rate regime from 28 January 1980 to 22 February 2001 and the flexible exchange rate regime from 23 February 2001 to 11 October 2004. Compelling evidence for breaks in the tail index is found not only across but also within different exchange rate regimes - especially within the fixed regime. Moreover, breakpoint dates are clustered right before the crisis in 2001. This makes the tail index indicator a fairly good candidate for a variable to be used in early warning systems for currency crises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 381-397 Issue: 3 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007211 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007211 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:3:p:381-397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arielle Beyaert Author-X-Name-First: Arielle Author-X-Name-Last: Beyaert Author-Name: Juan Jose Perez-Castejon Author-X-Name-First: Juan Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Castejon Title: Markov-switching models, rational expectations and the term structure of interest rates Abstract: In order to evaluate the efficiency of the monetary transmission mechanism, we develop the formulas for testing rational expectations theory in the term structure of interest rates with VAR models of stochastically switching regimes in which all the parameters are regime dependent. These formulas are obtained for the strict version of rational expectations as well as for the case where measurement errors are assumed in the expectations relationship. They are extensible to other contexts that involve variables linked by rational-expectations behaviours. The testing procedure is implemented on interest rates of the Spanish inter-bank money market. Measurement errors must be assumed to find signs favourable to the theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 399-412 Issue: 3 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007195 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007195 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:3:p:399-412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: The applied economics of health: introduction and overview Abstract: We introduce and summarize the results of 12 empirical studies that make up this special issue on health economics, covering a wide range of countries and issues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 413-415 Issue: 4 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902757241 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902757241 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:4:p:413-415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean Spinks Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Spinks Author-Name: Bruce Hollingsworth Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Hollingsworth Title: Cross-country comparisons of technical efficiency of health production: a demonstration of pitfalls Abstract: It has been proposed that cross-country comparisons of the technical efficiency of health production, estimated using data envelopment analysis (DEA), have useful applications for policy makers. In theory such an analysis utilizes measures of the socioeconomic determinants of health relevant to all social policy, not just health policy. Using OECD and WHO data, this article critically analyses a number of outstanding theoretical questions regarding the use of DEA in this setting. It concludes that until such questions are addressed, the resultant implications for policy will be based on misleading information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 417-427 Issue: 4 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604354 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:4:p:417-427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zijun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zijun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The determinants of health expenditures: evidence from US state-level data Abstract: Most macro studies of what determines health expenditures have used the same panel of OECD country-level data. Based on a more homogeneous panel data set of US states we constructed, this note applies the model selection procedure to identify the determinants of health expenditures at the state level. We find that the four key factors are gross state products, the proportion of the population over the age of 65, the degree of urbanization and the number of hospital beds. The cross-section income elasticity of health care is around 0.7, implying that health care is a necessity rather than a luxury good at the state level. The (relative) price of health care varies significantly across states but does not appear to have real effects on the amount of resources (measured in real dollars) a state devotes to health care. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 429-435 Issue: 4 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704527 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701704527 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:4:p:429-435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tetsuji Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Tetsuji Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Author-Name: Chia-Ching Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Ching Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Tadashi Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Tadashi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Author-Name: I-Ming Chiu Author-X-Name-First: I-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: John Smith Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Healthcare services accessibility of children in the USA Abstract: The increase in the number of children without access to healthcare services is an increasingly urgent issue in the United States. By using data from the Community Tracking Study Household Survey 1996 to 1997, we focus this study on the determinants that cause for the widening gap of healthcare service accessibility among children, 18 years and under, in the USA. Our empirical results suggest that factors such as the out-of-pocket price of healthcare services, household income, years of education by parent (or guardian), health insurance coverage, access to healthcare provider (availability of regular provider, obtaining an appointment, and travelling time) and provider-patient interaction strongly determine the actual use of outpatient services by children as realized access (i.e. accessibility). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 437-450 Issue: 4 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720762 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:4:p:437-450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marta Pascual Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual Author-Name: David Cantarero Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero Title: Intergenerational health mobility: an empirical approach based on the ECHP Abstract: Despite the importance of the study of health mobility, few attempts have been made to measure intergenerational mobility not only in the European Union but also in other countries such as United States. This article is focused on the study of intergenerational health mobility using data from the European community household panel (ECHP). In particular, the relationships between self-assessed health of parents and their sons are analysed. The evidence obtained suggests that, in Spain, sons' reported health depends significantly on the self-assessed health of their fathers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 451-458 Issue: 4 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367523 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367523 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:4:p:451-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Bilodeau Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Bilodeau Author-Name: Pierre-Yves Cremieux Author-X-Name-First: Pierre-Yves Author-X-Name-Last: Cremieux Author-Name: Pierre Ouellette Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Ouellette Title: Hospital performance in a noncompetitive environment Abstract: In this article, we perform a quantitative analysis of the performance of hospital services in a nonmarket environment based on a very complete data set. Evaluating efficiency in a nonmarket system is important since the absence of market mechanisms could yield large inefficiencies. In fact, we show that hospital performance varies greatly across institutions. Specifically, our results suggest that hospitals with high levels of quasi-fixed factors are less efficient than other institutions. In general, hospitals performed very differently even after controlling for differences in services, hospital and patient characteristics. All in all, increased efficiencies could lead to potential savings, for the Quebec government, in the hundreds of millions of dollars. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 459-468 Issue: 4 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701564384 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701564384 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:4:p:459-468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Todd Jewell Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Todd Jewell Title: Demand for prenatal health care in South America Abstract: This study extends existing research on prenatal care demand to the South American countries of Bolivia, Columbia and Peru, using data from the Demographic and Health Surveys and employing two measures of prenatal care: whether prenatal care was ever initiated and a measure of prenatal care adequacy that includes information on month of initiation and number of visits. The results indicate that prenatal care demand in South America is significantly affected by a woman's age, previous pregnancy experience, education and marital status. Furthermore, household wealth and the degree of wantedness of the child significantly influence prenatal care demand. Since prenatal care use has been shown to improve infant and maternal health, there may be substantial benefits from economic and public health policies that target these determinants of prenatal care in the countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 469-479 Issue: 4 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604396 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604396 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:4:p:469-479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Preety Ramful Author-X-Name-First: Preety Author-X-Name-Last: Ramful Author-Name: Xueyan Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xueyan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Participation in marijuana, cocaine and heroin consumption in Australia: a multivariate probit approach Abstract: This article investigates factors affecting the participation in marijuana, cocaine and heroin using micro-unit data from an Australian national survey on recreational drugs. Accounting for cross-drug correlation potentially induced by unobserved personal characteristics such as individual tastes and addictive personalities, we estimate a trivariate probit model, where the participation decisions are jointly modelled as a system with correlated error terms. The estimated correlation coefficients are significant across all three drugs. The study provides valuable empirical information on conditional and joint probabilities of drug participation. The multivariate approach is shown to provide better analysis relative to a univariate approach that does not address the endogeneity of all drug participation variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 481-496 Issue: 4 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701522853 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701522853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:4:p:481-496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brent Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: A cost-benefit analysis of a condom social marketing programme in Tanzania Abstract: This article uses the revealed preference, willingness-to-pay approach to estimate the benefits in a cost-benefit analysis of a condom social marketing (CSM) programme in Tanzania. The demand curve used to derive the consumer surplus had unit elasticity and it was estimated from a cross-sectional sample of 1272 persons. People were willing to pay different prices for the condoms because perceived quality varied. Net benefits were close to zero for the minimum estimate that ignored external benefits. With external benefits included, the CSM programme was judged socially worthwhile with our best estimate producing a benefit-cost ratio ranging from 1.31 to 1.72. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 497-509 Issue: 4 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701522887 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701522887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:4:p:497-509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erkan Erdil Author-X-Name-First: Erkan Author-X-Name-Last: Erdil Author-Name: I. Hakan Yetkiner Author-X-Name-First: I. Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Yetkiner Title: The Granger-causality between health care expenditure and output: a panel data approach Abstract: This study investigates the Granger-causality relationship between real per capita GDP and real per capita health care expenditure by employing a large macro panel data set with a VAR representation. The findings verify that the dominant type of Granger-causality is bidirectional. In instances that we found one-way causality, the pattern is not homogenous: Our analyses show that one-way causality generally runs from income to health in low- and middle-income countries whereas the reverse holds for high-income countries. Accordingly, care must be paid in defining the dependent and independent variables when specifying the determinants of health care expenditure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 511-518 Issue: 4 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019083 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:4:p:511-518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shin-Jong Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shin-Jong Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Economic fluctuations and health outcome: a panel analysis of Asia-Pacific countries Abstract: The purpose of this study is to assess the effects of economic fluctuations on health outcome. By using data obtained from eight Asia-Pacific countries over the period 1976 to 2003 and a fixed-effects model to conduct the regression analysis, the results of this study indicate that unemployment rate is negatively and significantly correlated with total mortality and mortality rates from cardiovascular diseases, motor vehicle accidents and infant mortality. These findings are consistent with the view that health may improve during economic downturns. In addition, suicide is found to move countercyclically with economic fluctuations. Socioeconomic factors such as age and gender also play important roles in affecting the mortality rates. The results also show that unemployment has a stronger immediate and contemporaneous, rather than a sustained, effect on mortality rates. Finally, this study concludes that the effects of economic fluctuations on health outcome tend to lead to erroneous conclusions if the fixed-effects problems are neglected. The findings of this study shed some light on the link between economic fluctuations and health outcome and provide further international evidence on this issue. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 519-530 Issue: 4 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720754 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720754 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:4:p:519-530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Are health expenditures and GDP characterized by asymmetric behaviour? Evidence from 11 OECD countries Abstract: In this article, we examine whether per-capita health expenditures and per-capita GDP for 11 OECD countries can be characterized by asymmetric behaviour. We achieve this goal by using the nonparametric Triples test suggested by Randles et al. (1980). We examine two forms of asymmetries, namely deepness and steepness. Our main finding is that for 6 out of 11 countries, namely for the USA, the UK, Japan, Spain, Finland and Iceland, either per-capita health expenditures or per-capita GDP are characterized by asymmetric behaviour. This finding to some extent casts doubt on those studies that model the relationship between health and GDP using unit-root and cointegration tests that assume symmetric disturbances. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 531-536 Issue: 4 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765304 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765304 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:4:p:531-536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard McGregory Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: McGregory Author-Name: M. Scott Niederjohn Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Scott Niederjohn Author-Name: James Peoples Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Peoples Title: Do part-time/full-time compensation differentials for nurses vary between the private and public sector? Abstract: This study examines whether, compared to their private sector counterparts, public sector health care employers are at a disadvantage using part-time (PT) nurses to lower labour costs. Findings reveal a lack of a PT wage differential. Public and Private sector PT nurses are less likely to receive health care and pension coverage compared with full-time (FT) nurses. Yet, these PT/FT nonwage compensation coverage differentials do not vary across sectors. The nonwage findings are interpreted as suggesting that public sector health care employers are just as likely as private sector health care employers to benefit from cost savings associated with lower nonwage coverage for PT nurses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 537-546 Issue: 4 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701320241 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701320241 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:4:p:537-546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tjalling van der Goot Author-X-Name-First: Tjalling Author-X-Name-Last: van der Goot Author-Name: Noud van Giersbergen Author-X-Name-First: Noud Author-X-Name-Last: van Giersbergen Author-Name: Michiel Botman Author-X-Name-First: Michiel Author-X-Name-Last: Botman Title: What determines the survival of internet IPOs? Abstract: This article examines whether the variables that are significant in noninternet initial public offering (IPOs) play a similar role for internet IPOs. To this end, we analyse the determinants of survival of internet firms that have gone public at the NASDAQ stock exchange from December 1996 through February 2001. Financial and nonfinancial data published in the IPO prospectuses are examined. For our analysis, we use the semiparametric Cox proportional hazard model and estimate the effect of these variables on the trading (survival) time using the parametric Log-logistic survival model. It appears that the average operating history of internet IPOs is remarkably small compared to noninternet IPOs, namely 2.4 and 10 years, respectively. Furthermore, we find that the average number of risk factors for internet IPOs is four times higher than the number reported for noninternet IPOs. The results of the parametric analysis correspond to the semiparametric results. Our findings hold under a number of different model specifications and robustness checks. The sensitivity analysis in the Log-logistic model reveals that the greatest positive effect on the survival time comes from investor demand followed by operational cash flow over liabilities. The expected survival time is shortened mostly by IPO market level, followed by valuation uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 547-561 Issue: 5 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007369 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:5:p:547-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pablo Fajnzylber Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Fajnzylber Author-Name: Ana Fernandes Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandes Title: International economic activities and skilled labour demand: evidence from Brazil and China Abstract: Using two new firm-level datasets, this article investigates the impact of three international economic activities - the use of imported inputs, exports and foreign direct investment - on skilled labour demand in Brazil and China. We find that Brazilian firms that engage in these activities exhibit a higher skilled labour demand than firms that do not. In contrast, Chinese firms that engage in these activities have a lower skilled labour demand than firms that do not. Thus, international economic activities act as a channel for skill-biased technology diffusion in Brazil but have an effect of specialization according to comparative advantage in unskilled labour-intensive goods in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 563-577 Issue: 5 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007336 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:5:p:563-577 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fassil Fanta Author-X-Name-First: Fassil Author-X-Name-Last: Fanta Author-Name: Mukti Upadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Mukti Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyay Title: Determinants of household supply of labour in food-for-work programme in Tigray, Ethiopia Abstract: We study the factors that determine the household supply of labour in food-for-work (FFW) projects that seek to address food insecurity and help capital formation in development. Based on data from a survey conducted in 2003 in Tigray, Ethiopia, our probit analysis identifies factors that significantly affect the household decision to participate in FFW programmes. We correct for selection bias, and estimate total and excess supply of FFW labour. Our finding of substantial leakages in targeting that allow relatively well-off households to obtain FFW employment yield important implications for the prevailing FFW wage. We also argue that FFW programmes will be more effective if they are designed to account for geographic heterogeneity in such factors as male to female labour participation differences and the incidence of debilitating diseases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 579-587 Issue: 5 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007419 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007419 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:5:p:579-587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephanie Brewer Author-X-Name-First: Stephanie Author-X-Name-Last: Brewer Author-Name: Jason Kelley Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Kelley Author-Name: James Jozefowicz Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Jozefowicz Title: A blueprint for success in the US film industry Abstract: This article analyses motion picture box-office gross revenue using a cross-section of films from 1997 to 2001. The dependent variable is total domestic box-office revenue. The independent variables investigated include: production budget; peak number of screens that the film was shown on in theaters; Consumer price index for movie tickets; personal income; season and year of the release in theaters; a measure of pre-existing audience; aggregate critic rating; MPAA rating; genre; word-of-mouth recommendation; the presence of popular stars and the award nominations. A distinction is made in the analysis between information available to the public prior to the release of the film in theaters (ex ante) and information available to the public after the film opens in theaters (ex post). Results for the ex ante ordinary least squares (OLS) regression reveal positive impacts of budget, summer and holiday release dates, critical reviews, sequels and several genres on gross revenue. Significant, positive determinants in the ex post OLS regressions include budget, the peak number of screens, sequels, critical reviews, summer and holiday releases, word-of-mouth, award nominations and star power. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 589-606 Issue: 5 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007351 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007351 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:5:p:589-606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atrayee Ghosh Roy Author-X-Name-First: Atrayee Ghosh Author-X-Name-Last: Roy Title: Evidence on economic growth and government size Abstract: The purpose of this article is to explore the effect of government size on economic growth in the United States using time-series data over the period 1950 to 1998. A multi-equation model is developed to examine the relationship between economic growth and government size. The results indicate that government size has a significant and negative effect on economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 607-614 Issue: 5 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007393 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007393 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:5:p:607-614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andres Picazo-Tadeo Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Picazo-Tadeo Author-Name: Francisco Saez-Fernandez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Saez-Fernandez Author-Name: Francisco Gonzalez-Gomez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez-Gomez Title: The role of environmental factors in water utilities' technical efficiency. Empirical evidence from Spanish companies Abstract: This article computes input-specific scores of technical efficiency for a sample of water utilities located in the southern Spanish region of Andalusia. In addition, differences in efficiency between different operating environments are investigated. Concerning the debate about ownership and efficiency, we find that privately owned companies outperform public utilities in their management of labour. Furthermore, technical efficiency is found to be greater among firms located in highly populated areas and for utilities providing water services to tourist municipalities. Finally, no empirical evidence supporting the greater technical efficiency of consortia of water utilities, a managerial strategy strongly encouraged by regional politicians, is found. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 615-628 Issue: 5 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007310 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:5:p:615-628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Ter Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Ter Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: On the simultaneous elimination of export subsidies under oligopoly Abstract: This article extends the model of Brander and Spencer (1985) to study whether the simultaneous elimination of export subsidies is feasible. It is shown that the incentive for subsidizing exports to reoccur will exist when all subsidizing countries are forced to withdraw their subsidies on exports simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 629-631 Issue: 5 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007328 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:5:p:629-631 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victoria Busch Author-X-Name-First: Victoria Author-X-Name-Last: Busch Author-Name: Svenn-Åge Dahl Author-X-Name-First: Svenn-Åge Author-X-Name-Last: Dahl Author-Name: Dennis Dittrich Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Dittrich Title: An empirical study of age discrimination in Norway and Germany Abstract: Using a questionnaire and a sample of students and personnel managers we establish the existence of age discrimination in the hiring process in Germany and Norway. As expected, age discrimination is more prominent in Germany where the hiring probability of equally qualified applicants is reduced by about 22 percentage points due to an age differential of 14 years as opposed to only 12 percentage points in Norway. Within both countries the tendency to discriminate does not differ between students and personnel managers and does not depend on the age of the decision maker. 'The phenomenon of unemployment among older workers […] is characterized less by the risk of becoming unemployed than by the problem of remaining unemployed and failing to find new work.' Frerichs and Naegele (1998, p. 59) Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 633-651 Issue: 5 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007344 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:5:p:633-651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Title: Endogeneity, computers, language skills and wages among university graduates in Vietnam Abstract: One would expect that returns to supplementary skills in developing countries are considerably higher, compared to those documented for developed countries (as is the case with returns to schooling). I derive estimates of returns to the use of computer and foreign language skills in Vietnam after controlling for endogeneity, using a binary instrument hypothesized to reflect reconstruction (Doi Moi) policies in Vietnam. I find that (a) the use of both computers and language skills is associated with very large earnings premiums (b) IV return estimates are as high as and sometimes higher than OLS estimates, however, they should be interpreted in relation to the instrument used. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 653-663 Issue: 5 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007377 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007377 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:5:p:653-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martina Lawless Author-X-Name-First: Martina Author-X-Name-Last: Lawless Title: Firm export participation: entry, spillovers and tradability Abstract: This article analyses the choices made by individual firms to enter the export market. A probit specification tests the probability of exporting in the current period given past exporting experience, controlling for the firm's initial export status. This article uses a two-step estimation procedure suggested by Orme (1997, 2001), which controls for the influence of initial conditions. Significant evidence of sunk costs was found, based on the observed persistence of export activity and the explanatory power of previous exporting experience on current export status. A measure of sector tradability was also used and as expected firms in more easily traded sectors were most likely to be exporters. However, little evidence of spillovers was found in determining export market participation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 665-675 Issue: 5 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007401 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007401 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:5:p:665-675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianpaolo Rossini Author-X-Name-First: Gianpaolo Author-X-Name-Last: Rossini Author-Name: Paolo Zanghieri Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Zanghieri Title: Current account composition and sustainability of external debt Abstract: If an economy runs a current account (CA) deficit and finances it via a corresponding net inflow of equity capital the external debt (ED) does not change, i.e. the CA deficit does not add to ED. This is no paradox. It simply comes from the definition of CA deficit and ED, and points to different degrees of sustainability of CA deficits according to the way they are financed and to the composition of the CA itself. By the evaluation of the determinants of interest rates spreads vis a vis US lending rates we assess the sustainability of CA deficits. We find that FDI net inflows (proxy of equity capital) allow emerging economies to sustain larger CA imbalances with respect to CA deficits financed by inflows of more liquid assets. Equity capital is a way to finance the CA. It does not contribute to the ED and it affects the solvency assessment of a country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 677-683 Issue: 5 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007427 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007427 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:5:p:677-683 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Law Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: Skewness as an explanation of gambling in cumulative prospect theory Abstract: Skewness of return has been suggested as a reason why agents might choose to gamble, ceteris paribus, in cumulative prospect theory (CPT). We investigate the relationship between moments of return in two models where agents choices over uncertain outcomes are determined as in CPT. We illustrate via examples that in CPT theory, as with expected utility theory, propositions that agents have a preference for skewness may be invalid. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 685-689 Issue: 6 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007476 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:6:p:685-689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley Ewing Author-X-Name-First: Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Ewing Author-Name: Jamie Kruse Author-X-Name-First: Jamie Author-X-Name-Last: Kruse Author-Name: Mark Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Twister! Employment responses to the 3 May 1999 Oklahoma City tornado Abstract: This research examined the impact of the 3 May 1999 tornado on the Oklahoma City labour market. We estimated time series models that allow for time-varying variance in employment growth. The models include intervention variables designed to capture the tornado's effect at initial impact as well as over the post-tornado period. In terms of total employment growth, the Oklahoma City Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) experienced an increase in employment growth and a reduction in labour market risk in the sample period following the tornado. The analysis also examined the effect of the weather event on eight industrial sectors. Five of eight sectors experienced significant decreases in labour market risk after the tornado. Our evidence suggests that Oklahoma City and surrounding communities that make up the Metropolitan Statistical Area survived the disaster without suffering any extended adverse labour market effects. Our results indicate that at least in the aggregate, the labour market improved. “… what has so often excited wonder, the great rapidity with which countries recover from a state of devastation; the disappearance, in a short time, of all traces of the mischiefs done by earthquakes, floods, hurricanes, and the ravages of war … all the inhabitants are ruined, and yet in a few years after, everything is much as it was before.” - J.S. Mill (1848) Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 691-702 Issue: 6 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007468 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007468 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:6:p:691-702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: F. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: T. D. Pousson Author-X-Name-First: T. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Pousson Author-Name: T. G. Green Author-X-Name-First: T. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Green Title: Toddler economicus: childhood habit cessation in a Beckerian Model of pacifier use Abstract: As a test of elements of Gary Becker's model of habitual behaviours, the present study examines another potential example of a habit - pacifier use - within the youngest segment of the population, infants and toddlers. To explore the facets of a child's pacifier habit, we make use of an extensive questionnaire on the effectiveness of several proposed methods for stopping a child's pacifier consumption. Results indicate that children's pacifier use approaches the habit/addiction threshold, and it is best alleviated with abrupt cessation, or 'cold turkey.' Interestingly, our empirical finding that 'cold turkey' dominates or is superior to other methods of getting children to stop relying on pacifier use (e.g. limiting time of use, altering the pacifier's tip, etc.) has two implications. First, it supports the Beckerian notion that a child's pacifier habit approaches the habit/addiction threshold, as stated above. Second, it contradicts suggestions from many in the health profession to seek methods other than 'cold turkey' to stop a child's pacifier use. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 703-713 Issue: 6 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007484 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:6:p:703-713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Frank Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Frank Author-Name: P. Garcia Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Title: Time-varying risk premium: further evidence in agricultural futures markets Abstract: Research has provided mixed results regarding the presence of a time-varying risk premium in agricultural futures markets. In this article we test for the presence of a time-varying risk premium focusing on the properties of the underlying data. Our results show that accounting for the structural break in the 1970s plays a key role in the findings. In contrast to recent research, we find only limited evidence of time-varying risk premium. For a two-month horizon the corn, soybean meal and hog markets show no signs of a risk premium, while very weak support for a time-varying premium emerges in live cattle. For the four-month horizon, no evidence of a time-varying risk premium appears for any of the markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 715-725 Issue: 6 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019026 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:6:p:715-725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jessica Bennett Author-X-Name-First: Jessica Author-X-Name-Last: Bennett Author-Name: Seamus McGuinness Author-X-Name-First: Seamus Author-X-Name-Last: McGuinness Title: Assessing the impact of skill shortages on the productivity performance of high-tech firms in Northern Ireland Abstract: This article utilizes data from three separate skill related surveys of firms in the Northern Ireland IT, Electronic Engineering and Mechanical Engineering industries in order to assess the extent to which the performance of high-tech firms are being constrained as a result of hard-to-fill and/or unfilled vacancies. Whist it was found that the determinants of skill shortage varied somewhat depending upon the definitional approach adopted, a high degree of correlation was found. With regards to the impacts of skill shortages on firm level performance, it was found that both hard-to-fill and unfilled vacancies had reduced output per worker levels by between 65 and 75% in affected firms, however, these impacts were only detecw after controlling for selection effects. The evidence suggests that standard OLS procedures can generate highly misleading results in studies of this nature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 727-737 Issue: 6 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007450 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007450 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:6:p:727-737 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nurhan Yenturk Author-X-Name-First: Nurhan Author-X-Name-Last: Yenturk Author-Name: Burc Ulengin Author-X-Name-First: Burc Author-X-Name-Last: Ulengin Author-Name: Ahmet Cimenoglu Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Author-X-Name-Last: Cimenoglu Title: An analysis of the interaction among savings, investments and growth in Turkey Abstract: Turkey has been implementing tight fiscal and monetary policies for years. These policies rely on the basic understanding that savings trigger growth and investments. However there are alternative theoretical discussions and empirical findings related to the interaction among these variables. In this study, while one of the purposes is to analyse the interaction among these variables for the Turkish case, the other is to try to bring an insight for other developing countries for the issues such as data production, econometric analysis, and as well as making policy suggestions in line with the evidence from the Turkish case. The findings of this study show that, it is the growth that induces both savings and investments. Hence, it is necessary to question policies that assume it is the savings triggering growth and investments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 739-751 Issue: 6 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019000 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:6:p:739-751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Angeles Caraballo Author-X-Name-First: M. Angeles Author-X-Name-Last: Caraballo Author-Name: Carlos Usabiaga Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Usabiaga Title: The relevance of supply shocks for inflation: the spanish case Abstract: The methodology applied in this article to the Spanish economy is based on Ball and Mankiw (1995). These authors assume that a good proxy for supply shocks is the third moment of the price changes distribution. The main data used are the monthly consumer price indexes of each region, disaggregated in 57 categories, for the 1993-2005 period. We estimate the relation between mean inflation and the higher moments of the distribution, including several control variables. Our results point out that Spanish regions show a common pattern with regard to nominal rigidities, and that Spanish inflation is vulnerable to supply shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 753-764 Issue: 6 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007443 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:6:p:753-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erik de Regt Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: de Regt Title: Hourly wages and working time in the Dutch market sector 1962-1995 Abstract: This article analyses the joint behaviour of hourly wages and standard hours in the Netherlands. With respect to the development of full-time hours to different hypotheses are suggested: work-sharing or productivity-sharing. Under the work-sharing hypothesis, high unemployment would lead to reduced hours, whereas under productivity-sharing, increased productivity leads to higher wages or reduced hours. The evidence is in favour of the productivity hypothesis. There is no direct impact of unemployment on the evolution of hours. Moreover, although reduced hours tend to increase hourly wages in the short run, this is not the case in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 765-778 Issue: 6 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019018 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:6:p:765-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hector Sala Author-X-Name-First: Hector Author-X-Name-Last: Sala Title: Institutions, capital stock and wage setting in Spain Abstract: This article confronts two distinct perspectives of the labour market: the institutionalist view - highlighting equilibrium and labour market institutions - and the Chain Reaction Theory - emphasizing dynamics and the growth drivers' role in labour market performance. We consider the ratio of public to private capital stock as a growth driver relevant to the labour market; provide different economic rationales for this ratio to exert a negative influence in wage setting; and explore its empirical relevance in the context of a wage setting curve for Spain comprising the standard variables. There are two main results. First, several institutional variables taken to be critical to explain unemployment in the mainstream literature are not relevant for the Spanish wage setting curve. Second, there is a negative and significant influence of the ratio of public to private capital stock, which is robust to different specifications of the wage setting equation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 779-789 Issue: 6 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007435 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:6:p:779-789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maury Granger Author-X-Name-First: Maury Author-X-Name-Last: Granger Author-Name: Gregory Price Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Price Title: Does religion constrain the risky sex behaviour associated with HIV/AIDS? Abstract: This article examines the likely effectiveness of public health interventions designed to change the risky sexual behaviour associated with Human Immunodeficiency Virus/Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (HIV/AIDS) by Faith-Based Organizations (FBOs). We utilize data from the General Social Survey (GSS) to estimate an economic model of sexual behaviour. Our theoretical approach proceeds by rationalizing, on evolutionary grounds, the existence of sexual activity in individual preference functions, with unobservable costs imposed by religious beliefs and participation. Given the objective of utility maximization, we justify the existence of demand functions for sexual activity that generate empirically testable hypotheses about the effects of religion and religious participation on risky sexual activity. Our results suggest that, at least in the case of heterosexuals, FBOs can indeed influence the risky sexual behaviour that is associated with the transmission of HIV/AIDS. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 791-802 Issue: 6 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/09603100601007495 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09603100601007495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:6:p:791-802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nektarios Aslanidis Author-X-Name-First: Nektarios Author-X-Name-Last: Aslanidis Author-Name: Susana Iranzo Author-X-Name-First: Susana Author-X-Name-Last: Iranzo Title: Environment and development: is there a Kuznets curve for CO2 emissions? Abstract: This article re-examines the relationship between growth in per capita income and environmental degradation using econometric techniques appropriate for smooth transition regressions with panel data. This is a more intuitive and flexible methodology than the polynomial models widely used in the literature, and it can reconcile some of the mixed results found previously. The methodology is applied to carbon dioxide emissions from nonOECD countries over the period 1971 to 1997. Although there is no evidence of environmental Kuznets curve, we find two regimes, namely a low-income regime where emissions accelerate with economic growth and a middle to high-income regime associated with a deceleration in environmental degradation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 803-810 Issue: 6 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601018994 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601018994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:6:p:803-810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: The applied economics of fiscal policy: introduction and overview Abstract: We introduce and summarize the results of 10 empirical studies that make up this special issue on fiscal policy, covering a wide range of developed and developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 811-813 Issue: 7 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902840393 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902840393 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:7:p:811-813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Foreman-Peck Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Foreman-Peck Author-Name: Laurian Lungu Author-X-Name-First: Laurian Author-X-Name-Last: Lungu Title: Fiscal devolution and dependency Abstract: Public spending devolution in practice is widely seen as more appropriate for addressing varied political aspirations within state boundaries than is tax devolution. A drawback is that devolved public spending may be subject to irresistible upward pressure, as illustrated by 'formula drift' of the United Kingdom devolved administrations. By crowding out the private sector such public spending can exacerbate the problem it was originally intended to alleviate. When taxpayers do not value increases in government output at least as highly as the private goods and services they must forgo to finance them, then the public sector is too large. This article estimates a three sector Hecksher-Ohlin model of the economy with the greatest relative rise of the public spending ratio in the United Kingdom, Wales. Simulation of the model shows a net gain in employment from a 1% cut in income tax matched by a corresponding reduction in government spending. This result is consistent with the current level of intergovernmental transfers being excessive. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 815-828 Issue: 7 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019182 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:7:p:815-828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Badinger Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Badinger Title: Fiscal rules, discretionary fiscal policy and macroeconomic stability: an empirical assessment for OECD countries Abstract: Does aggressive use of discretionary fiscal policy induce macroeconomic instability in terms of higher output and inflation volatility? Three main conclusions arise from our cross section and panel analysis for a sample of 20 OECD countries: first, discretionary fiscal policy has a significant and sizeable effect on volatility of GDP (per capita) and all of its components. Second, there is no direct effect on inflation volatility; since output volatility is an important determinant of inflation volatility, discretionary fiscal policy indirectly exacerbates inflation volatility. These results turn out robust with respect to alternative fiscal policy measures and endogeneity concerns. Finally, many of the fiscal rules introduced since 1990 appear to have reduced the use of discretionary fiscal policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 829-847 Issue: 7 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367556 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367556 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:7:p:829-847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Rui Henrique Alves Author-X-Name-First: Rui Henrique Author-X-Name-Last: Alves Title: Endogenous growth and European fiscal rules Abstract: We develop a general equilibrium endogenous growth model of a monetary union between two countries that differ in economic dimension and level of development. By solving transitional dynamics towards the steady state, we examine the impact of fiscal shocks that may lead to excessive deficits. Results suggest that the individual and the whole impact of such deficits depend on which country they occur. In such context, we argue that the small and less developed country should be allowed to temporarily run an excessive deficit, in order to improve economic convergence within the union. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 849-858 Issue: 7 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604503 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604503 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:7:p:849-858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lusine Lusinyan Author-X-Name-First: Lusine Author-X-Name-Last: Lusinyan Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The sustainability of South African fiscal policy: an historical perspective Abstract: This article examines the issue of long-run fiscal sustainability in South Africa by applying a battery of recently developed unit root and cointegration tests to real revenue and spending data for the period 1895 to 2005. The results provide evidence that, allowing for structural breaks, South African revenue and spending during this period were I(1) series and cointegrated, with the estimated long-run equilibrium relation supporting the presence of a weak deficit sustainability condition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 859-868 Issue: 7 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604537 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604537 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:7:p:859-868 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Agustin Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Agustin Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Author-Name: M. J. Arroyo Author-X-Name-First: M. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Arroyo Author-Name: R. Minguez Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Minguez Author-Name: J. Uxo Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Uxo Title: Estimation of a fiscal policy rule for EMU countries (1984-2005) Abstract: The primary objective of this article is to estimate a fiscal policy rule for each of the EMU member States from 1984 to 2005 in order to know if there has been a systematic response of the cyclically adjusted primary balance to output gap and debt level variations. Also, we aim to discover whether the change in the fiscal framework, which took place after 1992 has had a substantial impact on the fiscal policy applied. The principal novelty is that the estimation is performed simultaneously by means of a seemingly unrelated regression estimator model. We are thus able to obtain different coefficients for each country, while developing possible correlations between national fiscal policies, which would reveal the existence of common factors. The results provide clear evidence of a structural break in the rule after the introduction of the new fiscal regulations and, as the hypothesis of equality in the national coefficients of the rule is clearly rejected, reveal a need to consider specific national factors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 869-884 Issue: 7 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720739 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720739 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:7:p:869-884 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helder Ferreira de Mendonca Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendonca Author-Name: Rubens Teixeira da Silva Author-X-Name-First: Rubens Teixeira Author-X-Name-Last: da Silva Title: Fiscal effect from inflation targeting: the Brazilian experience Abstract: This article evaluates the presence of possible unpleasant effects on the fiscal side due to a disinflation process initiated with the adoption of inflation targeting in Brazil. The analysis for this country deserves attention because, credibility is still being built and Brazil represents a potential laboratory experiment in which the effects of an adoption of inflation targeting, after more than half a decade, can be studied. Under this perspective, an empirical analysis based on OLS, GMM and VAR methods is made. The findings denote that the development of credibility is a powerful instrument for eliminating the unpleasant effects from a tight monetary policy (necessity of increasing primary surplus) on public debt. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 885-897 Issue: 7 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721398 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721398 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:7:p:885-897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Colombier Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Colombier Title: Growth effects of fiscal policies: an application of robust modified M-estimator Abstract: In the field of economics only nonhigh-quality data is usually available, which can cause the widely used least square estimators (LSE) to be biased and inefficient. Therefore, the present study introduces the robust modified M-estimator (MME) proposed by Yohai et al. (1991). In the case of growth regressions with fiscal variables it can be shown that LSE is biased and inefficient, whereas MME is not. The robust regressions ascertain a stable positive growth effect of public infrastructure and education. Moreover, this study shows that government size has not been detrimental to growth for OECD countries in the past. No growth effects of taxation have been found so that endogenous growth theory is not corroborated in this regard. Consequently, fiscal policies aiming at promoting growth should focus on infrastructure and education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 899-912 Issue: 7 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736099 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736099 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:7:p:899-912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Ang Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Ang Title: Do public investment and FDI crowd in or crowd out private domestic investment in Malaysia? Abstract: Motivated by the concern of a persistent decline in total investment in Malaysia during the post-crisis era, this article examines the long-run relationship between private domestic investment (PDI), public investment and foreign direct investment (FDI) in Malaysia. Using multivariate cointegration techniques, the results indicate a fairly robust cointegrated relationship between these variables during the period 1960 to 2003. Both public investment and FDI are found to be complementary to, rather than competing with, PDI. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 913-919 Issue: 7 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721448 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:7:p:913-919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Noriko Ishikawa Author-X-Name-First: Noriko Author-X-Name-Last: Ishikawa Author-Name: Mototsugu Fukushige Author-X-Name-First: Mototsugu Author-X-Name-Last: Fukushige Title: Impacts of tourism and fiscal expenditure on remote islands in Japan: a panel data analysis Abstract: Japan consists of many small inhabited islands in addition to four main islands. We examine the impact of fiscal expenditure and the number of tourists on per capita taxable income in remote islands using panel data analyses. The results show that both fiscal expenditure and population size have significant positive impacts on per capita taxable income, whereas the number of tourists does not have statistically significant impact. They indicate that tourism development would not work as a substitute for financial support from the government. In other words, continuous financial support may be needed to maintain the islands' economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 921-928 Issue: 7 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964484 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:7:p:921-928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marta Gomez-Puig Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Gomez-Puig Title: The immediate effect of monetary union on EU-15 sovereign debt yield spreads Abstract: Yield spreads (corrected for exchange rate risk) over 10-year German securities of European Union (EU) countries that did not join Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) experienced an average decrease of 14.20 basis points during the first 3 years after the beginning of Currency Union. Conversely, Euro-area countries' adjusted spreads registered an average rise of 11.98 basis points in the same period. This article examines the elements (a possible change in the relative importance of domestic or international risk factors) behind these results using both panel estimations in the two groups of countries and a country-by-country specification in each of them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 929-939 Issue: 7 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802345584 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802345584 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:7:p:929-939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shu-Chun Chang Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Productivity and territorial specialization Abstract: On the basis of a relatively free trade world and global economy, specialization tends to increase the comparative advantages of a country. But in this scenario, not countries but cities are the territorial organizations that play the main role. Cities concentrate the economic activity and political influential household that reflects economic changes.The purpose of this study is to explore the principles underlie the distribution of population on a territory and the likely effect of economic development on redistributing population geographically. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 941-945 Issue: 8 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019091 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019091 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:8:p:941-945 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syoum Negassi Author-X-Name-First: Syoum Author-X-Name-Last: Negassi Title: International R&D spillovers and economic performance of firms: an empirical study using random coefficient models Abstract: The existence of R&D spillovers or externalities i.e. the effects of firms' research activities on other firms activities was theoretically established by Arrow 1962, but few empirical studies have addressed their effects on firms' economic performance (i.e. value-added) and technological performance (innovation output). In an open economy, firms' economic and technological performances depend on the position of these firms in their national and international technological environments. The main focus of this article is identifying the different channels through, which spillover occurs, specially the international technology spillovers (i.e. R&D activities of foreign firms; foreign technology payments; international intermediate inputs; and international R&D cooperation) and the mobility of engineers and scientists between firms. Our statistical and econometric analysis determines that spillovers drive the production of individual firms together and link it to the incidence of innovations. Thus, using a pooling method based on segmentation of bunched (or grouped) individuals rather than those of usual individuals panel models and proposing an efficient new full information method (3SLS),1 this empirical study shows that international spillovers are rather large compared to national spillovers. They account for a substantial fraction of the variation in firm production and innovation output in the French economy. The mobility of engineers and scientists help a firm to acquire knowledge externally so as to innovate and increase its production. The effects of technological policy tools used by the French government on the innovation and production are rather very high and incite firms to increase their R&D efforts. This study also demonstrates the existence of a potential simultaneity in the decision to impliment R&D and the spillover pools. The estimated coefficients obtained for the classical variables (capital and employment) are comparable to those obtained in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 947-976 Issue: 8 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019034 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019034 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:8:p:947-976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Voxi Heinrich Amavilah Author-X-Name-First: Voxi Heinrich Author-X-Name-Last: Amavilah Title: Knowledge of African countries: production and value of doctoral dissertations Abstract: The notion that lack of knowledge undermines the economic performance of African countries is deeply and widely held to be true. Yet quantitative evidence for the basis of that truth is few and far in-between. This article first describes a conventional production function approach to the creation of knowledge of African countries in terms of a relative and indirect measure of the quantity of dissertations (D). Second, it assesses the imputed values of knowledge. In the first instance it finds that relative income (Y), population (N), openness (Z), and technical factors (A) are central to the production of knowledge of African countries. In the second instance, the imputed values of knowledge are positive, but of modest magnitude. The results recommend more investment in the production of knowledge of African countries, improved openness, and especially reduced opportunity cost of knowledge creation which now differs widely across countries, and averages 10.7%. For further research the results suggest that dissertations may be useful proxies for human capital in economic growth regressions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 977-989 Issue: 8 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019117 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:8:p:977-989 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Manufacturing FDI and economic growth: evidence from Asian economies Abstract: Previous empirical studies on inward foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth generate mixed results. This article suggests that the ambiguous results might be caused by the use of total FDI. We study the heterogeneous effects of different sector-level FDI inflows on host country's economic growth. Data from 12 Asian economies over the period of 1987 to 1997 are employed. Strong evidence shows that FDI in manufacturing sector has a significant and positive effect on economic growth in the host economies. FDI inflows in nonmanufacturing sectors do not play a significant role in enhancing economic growth. Furthermore, without the decomposition of total FDI inflows, the effect of manufacturing FDI on host country's economic growth is understated by at least 48%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 991-1002 Issue: 8 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019059 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019059 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:8:p:991-1002 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akhter Faroque Author-X-Name-First: Akhter Author-X-Name-Last: Faroque Author-Name: Ryan Minor Author-X-Name-First: Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Minor Title: Inflation regimes and the stability of the pass-through of wages to consumer prices in Canada Abstract: This article has formally identified distinct historical inflation regimes in Canada since 1961 in order to facilitate an investigation of the impact of regime changes on the wage-price dynamics in the economy. Both in and out-of-sample evidence suggest that wage growth exerts an influence on inflation only during a high-inflation regime but inflation exerts a more systematic and quantitatively stronger influence on wage growth regardless of the prevailing inflation regime. Overall, the results do not support either the 'cost-push' view of inflation or the 'new view' that claims that increased globalization during the 1990s has reduced the feedback from wage growth to inflation by weakening the bargaining power of workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1003-1017 Issue: 8 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019133 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:8:p:1003-1017 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Jones Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Peter Sloane Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sloane Title: Regional differences in job satisfaction Abstract: Job satisfaction is significantly higher in Wales than in London and the South East, the rest of England and Scotland. This is despite the fact that among these four regions, earnings are lowest in Wales. Using data from the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS), we investigate the determinants of job satisfaction and attempt to explain why workers in Wales are happier in their work than workers in other parts of the UK. We find that workers in Wales appear to be less concerned about pay than workers in other regions. We suggest that because lower earnings tend to be associated with higher levels of unemployment and inactivity, being in work may be regarded more favourably in more economically depressed regions. We also suggest the climate of industrial relations, as perceived by workers, is better in Wales than elsewhere. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1019-1041 Issue: 8 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019067 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:8:p:1019-1041 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yonghyup Oh Author-X-Name-First: Yonghyup Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: International capital market imperfections: evidence from geographical features of international consumption risk sharing Abstract: This article attempts to rationalize the validity of gravity variables to explain the degree of international consumption risk sharing. We find that for a panel of 54 countries during 1950-2000, variables such as distance, affluence, a common language and the type of legal system are relevant in explaining not only cross-country consumption and output correlations, but consumption risk sharing. Common law countries share consumption risks more than civil law countries. English speaking countries turn out to share consumption risks more than other language groups, and show significantly higher consumption risk sharing even within the group of common law countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1043-1053 Issue: 8 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019042 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019042 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:8:p:1043-1053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dar-Hsin Chen Author-X-Name-First: Dar-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chun-Da Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Da Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Jianguo Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jianguo Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Downside risk measures and equity returns in the NYSE Abstract: Although investors are concerned foremost with mean and variance, they are also sensitive to downside risk. In this article we employ several risk variables of traditional and downside risk measures to evaluate the equity returns in the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) market in order to test their explaining power. The test results show that variance (or SD) is better than beta in the performance. However, those traditional risk measures have almost less explanatory power than total downside risk measures, whether the downside risk measures are relative to zero, the mean return or the market index return when they are used to predict the future risk premium. The results also show that the significance of the downside risk measures in the NYSE market is different between different industry sectors, different periods of time and in different individual equities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1055-1070 Issue: 8 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019075 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:8:p:1055-1070 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. T. Addison Author-X-Name-First: J. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Addison Author-Name: C. J. Surfield Author-X-Name-First: C. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Surfield Title: Does atypical work help the jobless? Evidence from a CAEAS/CPS cohort analysis Abstract: Atypical employment, such as temporary, on-call and contract work, has been found disproportionately to attract the jobless. But there is no consensus in the literature as to the labour market consequences of such job choice by unemployed individuals. Using data from the Current Population Survey, we investigate the implications of the initial job-finding strategies pursued by the jobless for their short- and medium-term employment stability. At first sight, it appears that taking an offer of regular employment provides the greatest degree of employment continuity for the jobless. However, closer inspection indicates that the jobless who take up atypical employment are not only more likely to be employed 1 month and 1 year later than those who continue to search, but also to enjoy employment continuity that is not less favourable than that offered by regular, open-ended employment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1077-1087 Issue: 9 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019232 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019232 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:9:p:1077-1087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. la Cour Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: la Cour Author-Name: A. Milhøj Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Milhøj Title: The sale of alcohol in Denmark - recent developments and dependencies on prices/taxes Abstract: How do prices affect the choice of types of alcohol in Denmark? We study the Danish sale of alcoholic beverages in a time series framework. First, we look at annual data from 1980 investigating the hypothesis of a fairly stable level of sales. We conclude stationarity of sales and we also find that the income elasticity of total sales has been zero. Second, we analyse the composition of the alcohol sale between beer, wine and spirits in a multivariate model conditional on the development in prices. For this analysis we use Johansen cointegration techniques. Again we test that income can be omitted from the model and we use the model to derive the effects on the composition of alcohol sales of three different sets of changes in the alcohol taxation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1089-1103 Issue: 9 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019174 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:9:p:1089-1103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yucan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yucan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: C. Richard Shumway Author-X-Name-First: C. Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Shumway Title: Testing expected utility maximization under price and quantity risk with a heterogeneous panel Abstract: Refutable implications based on the curvature properties of the indirect utility function for the competitive firm operating under uncertainty are extended to the case of both price and quantity uncertainty. Using unit roots and cointegration tests for heterogeneous panels, a model of US agricultural production is developed based on the time-series properties of a panel of state-level data. Most refutable hypotheses under output price and output quantity risk are not rejected, but symmetry conditions implied by a twice-continuously-differentiable indirect utility function are rejected. The same test conclusions are obtained from a traditional model that presumes stationarity in all variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1105-1119 Issue: 9 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019166 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019166 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:9:p:1105-1119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: R. S. Hacker Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: S. Hacker Title: Can the LR test be helpful in choosing the optimal lag order in the VAR model when information criteria suggest different lag orders? Abstract: The objective of this simulation study is to investigate whether the likelihood ratio (LR) test can pick the optimal lag order in the vector autoregressive model when the most applied information criteria (i.e. vector Schwarz-Bayesian, SBC and vector Hannan-Quinn, HQC) suggest two different lag orders. This lag-choosing procedure has been suggested by Hatemi-J (1999). The results based on the Monte Carlo simulations show that combining the LR test with SBC and HQC causes a substantial increase in the success rate of choosing the optimal lag order compared to cases when only SBC or HQC are used. This appears to be the case irrespective of homoscedasticity or conditional heteroscedasticity properties of the error-term in small sample sizes. This improvement in choosing the right lag order also tends to improve the forecasting capability of the underlying model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1121-1125 Issue: 9 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019273 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:9:p:1121-1125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barbara Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Author-Name: Steve Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Firm turnover, restructuring and labour productivity in transition: the case of Poland Abstract: This article explores the impact of turnover and restructuring on labour productivity in the Polish economy over the period 1988 to 1993. Changes in aggregate productivity are decomposed into elements corresponding to productivity growth among survivors, market share growth by survivors and the contributions of entering and exiting firms. The traditional entry and exit effects begin to work as transition to a market economy progresses. However, initial productivity improvements are due to changes in market shares of the existing firms following the break-up of large enterprises. Regression analysis shows that changes in the firm-level productivity are affected by restructuring and a more competitive economic environment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1127-1136 Issue: 9 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019208 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019208 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:9:p:1127-1136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ajit Karnik Author-X-Name-First: Ajit Author-X-Name-Last: Karnik Author-Name: Cedwyn Fernandes Author-X-Name-First: Cedwyn Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandes Title: Natural resource dependence: a macroeconometric model for the United Arab Emirates Abstract: This study constructs a macroeconometric model to analyse the problems of regions that exhibit dependence on nonrenewable resources (e.g. oil). The role of the oil sector in the UAE and the extent to which it subsidizes the rest of the economy is evaluated. The macroeconometric model constructed consists of four sectors, has 25 equations and is evaluated and calibrated employing dynamic simulation techniques. Counter-factual and policy experiments are carried out and the instruments-targets approach is used to analyse the impact of the oil sector. The article highlights the continued dependence of the UAE economy on oil and the urgency to diversify the economy and securing more nonhydrocarbon sources of revenue. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1157-1174 Issue: 9 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019109 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:9:p:1157-1174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin O'Brien Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: O'Brien Title: Union wage, nonwage and political effects on protective service budgets Abstract: Previous studies have shown that public employee unions can affect the budgets for their municipal services. I determine the specific sources of these increased budgets for municipal services: increased wages, nonwage bargaining issues, or political activity. Using data from national, cross-sectional samples for police and fire departments, I show that increased union wages do not affect the size of police and fire budgets size whereas nonwage bargaining outcomes and union political activity do affect police and fire budgets. Thus, nonwage contract issues should be recognized as another important vehicle for public employee unions to affect the budgets for their services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1175-1182 Issue: 9 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019257 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019257 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:9:p:1175-1182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Author-Name: Andrew Mearman Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Mearman Title: Student participation in sporting activities Abstract: Given that many universities spend large sum of money supplying sports facilities for student use, comparatively little is known about the factors that influence the quantity of student sporting participation. This article presents evidence which suggests that the quantity of student sports participation is negatively related to the number of hours they work, while augmenting social capital and sports literacy are found to enhance their sports participation. Universities need to target their investment in sporting facilities to meet students' demands and not simply to increase the range of sports facilities available to students. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1183-1190 Issue: 9 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019216 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019216 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:9:p:1183-1190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui-Lin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Hui-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Ryh-song Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Ryh-song Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Author-Name: Ching-Fan Chung Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: The effect of outward investment to China on domestic R&D: a two-hurdle model with endogenous ODI Abstract: Outward direct investment (ODI) and domestic R&D are interrelated, but empirical evidence is affected by the nature of a firm's data, which are heavily censored. Firm data contain a firm's yes/no decision to invest in China, yes/no decision of R&D, and the decision of R&D intensity. We thus adopt a two-hurdle model and allow the China investment decision to be endogenous in an R&D model in order to examine the effect of ODI in China on domestic R&D investment in Taiwan's electronics industry. In the model, a two-equation simultaneous subsystem is formed, in which three regression equations are specified: a decision of R&D intensity, and a yes/no decision of location to conduct R&D together with a yes/no decision to invest in China Our results indicate that China investment and R&D intensity are positively related such that ODI in China helps to raise significantly a firm's R&D intensity as compared to the estimate if the endogeneity of China investment and the nature of data were not properly accounted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1191-1198 Issue: 9 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019224 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019224 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:9:p:1191-1198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Mien Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Mien Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yun-Sheng Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Yun-Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Shieh-Liang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shieh-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Cash-flow news, market liquidity and liquidity risk Abstract: This article adopts Campbell's (1991) return decomposition model to decompose the unexpected stock return and unexpected excess stock return in the US stock market. The study also investigates the factors that cause the shock to stock return and excess stock return. We further examine the responses of stock market to cash-flow news, expected stock return news, expected excess stock return news and interest rate news. Last, we examine the reaction of market liquidity, liquidity risk and abnormal trading volume to cash-flow news, expected stock return news, expected excess stock return news and interest rate news. Our main findings are summarized as follows: first, cash-flow news is the main driver of stock return and excess stock return in stock market. Second, the dividend payout ratio is able to predict stock return and excess stock return. Third, under the model of stock return variance, unexpected market liquidity and unexpected liquidity risk are negatively related to expected stock return news, but not related to cash-flow news. Fourth, under the model of excess stock return variance, unexpected market liquidity and unexpected liquidity risk are negatively related to cash-flow news, expected excess stock return news, and interest rate news. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1137-1156 Issue: 9 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019158 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019158 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:9:p:1137-1156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Cigarette prices and illicit drug use: is there a connection? Abstract: Using cross-sectional data from the United States, this study examines the effects of cigarette prices on the use of marijuana and illicit drugs (including marijuana, cocaine, heroin, inhalants, hallucinogens or any prescription drugs for nonmedical use). Five primary contributions of this work are: First, it provides evidence on the cross-relation between cigarettes and marijuana and illicit drugs. Second, besides the 'standard' control variables used in demand studies (namely, price, education and income), we also control for the influence of employment status and health insurance coverage. Third, this research provides new evidence on the price elasticity of cigarette demand for a recent time period. Fourth, the data used in this study are the latest available. Five, based on our results, implications for drug use policy are provided. Several key points may be noted from our results: (i) Cigarette demand seems to have become elastic in recent years. This is in contrast to findings in earlier years; (ii) Consumers seem to view cigarettes and marijuana as substitutes and cigarettes and illicit drugs as substitutes. (iii) Greater consumer income increases illegal drug use, but does not seem to have a significant impact on smoking and marijuana use; (iv) The unemployment rate and health insurance converge do not seem to significantly affect smoking or drug use; and (v) Policymakers should pay attention to the cross effects among drugs in framing drug use policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1071-1076 Issue: 9 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019141 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:9:p:1071-1076 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: The applied economics of money and inflation: introduction and overview Abstract: We provide an introduction and overview to the 13 applied studies making up this special theme on money and inflation. The studies cover a wide range of national and regional experience in the relationship between inflation and money and employ a variety of applied techniques. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1199-1201 Issue: 10 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902920641 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902920641 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1199-1201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wojciech Maliszewski Author-X-Name-First: Wojciech Author-X-Name-Last: Maliszewski Title: Modelling inflation in Georgia Abstract: The article explains the behaviour of inflation in Georgia in the post-stabilization period. Long-run equation linking prices with money and exchange rate, as well as short-run, dynamic equation for inflation are estimated. The inflation equation is stable, points to a dominant role of exchange rate in the inflation behaviour. The equation explains well the behaviour of inflation after the Russian crises, when inflation increased sharply but was quickly brought under control when the National Bank of Georgia kept its monetary policy tight and exchange rate stable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1203-1213 Issue: 10 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007187 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1203-1213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Cerisola Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Cerisola Author-Name: Gaston Gelos Author-X-Name-First: Gaston Author-X-Name-Last: Gelos Title: What drives inflation expectations in Brazil? An empirical analysis Abstract: This study examines the macro-economic determinants of survey inflation expectations in Brazil since the adoption of inflation targeting in 1999. The results suggest that the inflation-targeting framework has helped anchor expectations, with the dispersion of inflation expectations declining considerably, particularly during periods of high uncertainty. We also find that apart from the inflation target, the stance of fiscal policy, as proxied by the ratio of the consolidated primary surplus to GDP, has been instrumental in shaping expectations. The importance of past inflation in determining expectations appears to be relatively low, and the overall empirical evidence does not suggest the presence of substantial inertia in the inflation process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1215-1227 Issue: 10 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601166892 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601166892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1215-1227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Shih Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Shih Author-Name: D. E. Giles Author-X-Name-First: D. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: Modelling the duration of interest rate spells under inflation targeting in Canada Abstract: We use survival models to analyse the duration of the spells associated with the interest rate used by the Bank of Canada as its monetary policy instrument. Both nonparametric and parametric models are estimated, allowing for right-censoring of the data, and time-varying covariates. We find that the data are explained well by an accelerated failure time Weibull model, with the annual rate of inflation and the quarterly rate of growth in Gross domestic product (GDP) as covariates. The model indicates that there is positive duration dependence in the interest rate spells, and that unemployment and exchange rate effects are insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1229-1239 Issue: 10 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721232 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721232 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1229-1239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Author-Name: Tracy Mott Author-X-Name-First: Tracy Author-X-Name-Last: Mott Title: On the behaviour of UK money, velocity, prices, and output in the gold standard period: 1871-1913 Abstract: This article provides evidence in support of cointegration among the UK money supply, real output and the price level in the gold standard period, 1871-1913. The series respond to eliminate short run deviations from the long run equilibrium relation of the equation of exchange. Cointegration is also observed between the UK and US price levels, with the former also responding to eliminate short run deviations from the long run equilibrium relation among the two price levels. Our results for the components of the quantity equation support arguments that the Bank of England moved short-term interest rates in response to changes in domestic economic activity, taken to be an indicator of future changes in its gold reserve position. Our evidence concerning the UK-US price levels supports the rising position of the United States as an economic power during this period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1241-1249 Issue: 10 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840600994229 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840600994229 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1241-1249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyongwook Choi Author-X-Name-First: Kyongwook Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Structural changes and the US money demand function Abstract: Previous literature on the stability of the US money demand function suggests mixed results. In this article, we study the stability of the money demand function from the standpoint of structural changes in the function. We first investigate if a stable money demand function can be found for the US for the period from the first quarter of 1959 to the fourth quarter of 2000. The results show that a stable long-run money demand function does not exist for the sample period under consideration. We then estimate unknown structural break points in the variables of the money demand function using Bai and Perron's (1998) method and test if there is a stable relationship in each sub-sample period of the break points. The results show that a stable relationship exists for each sub-sample period. The estimated income elasticity and interest rate semi-elasticity are relatively smaller than Ball's (2001) estimates, but consistent with his argument. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1251-1257 Issue: 10 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007385 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007385 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1251-1257 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jarko Fidrmuc Author-X-Name-First: Jarko Author-X-Name-Last: Fidrmuc Title: Money demand and disinflation in selected CEECs during the accession to the EU Abstract: A panel data set for six countries (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia) is used to estimate money demand with panel cointegration methods over the recent disinflation period. The basic money demand model is able to convincingly explain the long-run dynamics of M2 in the selected countries. However, money demand is found to have been significantly determined by the euro area interest rates and the exchange rate against the euro, which indicates possible instability of money demand functions in the Central and Eastern European countries. Therefore, direct inflation targeting is an appropriate monetary regime before the eventual adoption of the euro. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1259-1267 Issue: 10 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019323 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019323 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1259-1267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Sumner Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sumner Title: Demand for money in Thailand Abstract: After a brief review of recent literature, new estimates on a long run of annual observations of the Thai demand for all the standard measures of money are presented. The results demonstrate that the demand for real money balances is a stable function of a scale variable and a coherent measure of opportunity cost, with all the properties predicted by economic theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1269-1276 Issue: 10 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019398 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019398 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1269-1276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Saten Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Saten Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Cointegration, structural breaks and the demand for money in Bangladesh Abstract: This article allows for endogenous structural breaks in the cointegration equation and investigates if there is a stable demand for money for Bangladesh. We have used the Gregory and Hansen framework and found that there was an intercept shift and a well-determined and stable demand for money in Bangladesh exists. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1277-1283 Issue: 10 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367671 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367671 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1277-1283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: The effect of inflation and real wages on productivity: new evidence from a panel of G7 countries Abstract: This article examines the effect of inflation and real wages on productivity within a panel unit root and panel cointegration framework for the G7 countries over the period 1960 to 2004. The main contribution of the article is to provide panel long-run estimates of the effect of inflation and real wages on productivity in the G7 countries over this period. The article finds that for the panel as a whole a 1% increase in real wages generates a 0.6% increase in productivity, while the effects of inflation on productivity are statistically insignificant for most of the individual countries and for the panel as a whole. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1285-1291 Issue: 10 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701537810 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701537810 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1285-1291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Fendel Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Fendel Author-Name: M. Frenkel Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Frenkel Title: Inflation differentials in the Euro area: did the ECB care? Abstract: Compared to inflation differentials among regions in the United States, European Monetary Union (EMU) inflation differentials are larger and more persistent. Based on augmented monetary policy reactions functions, this article addresses the question whether the presence of pronounced inflation differentials in combination with low average inflation rates has influenced monetary policy decisions of the ECB. The article finds statistical evidence that the ECB took inflation differentials into account which may reflect the fear of deflation in low inflation countries like Germany. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1293-1302 Issue: 10 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701522838 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701522838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1293-1302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Par Osterholm Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Osterholm Title: The time-series properties of Norwegian inflation and nominal interest rate Abstract: This article investigates the time-series properties of Norwegian inflation and nominal interest rate using annual data from 1850 to 2004. A number of different univariate unit-root tests are employed to examine whether the time series are mean reverting or generated by unit-root processes. Results show very strong evidence in favour of mean reversion in inflation but a unit root in the nominal interest rate. This implies that there exists no long-run relationship between these two variables, a conclusion which is further supported by cointegration tests and estimated vector error correction models. The cointegration analysis also points to an important potential pitfall when using cointegration techniques on systems where some variables are stationary processes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1303-1309 Issue: 10 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701537828 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701537828 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1303-1309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arto Luoma Author-X-Name-First: Arto Author-X-Name-Last: Luoma Author-Name: Jani Luoto Author-X-Name-First: Jani Author-X-Name-Last: Luoto Title: Modelling the general public's inflation expectations using the Michigan survey data Abstract: In this article we discuss a few models developed to explain the general public's inflation expectations formation and provide some relevant estimation results. Furthermore, we suggest a simple Bayesian learning model which could explain the expectations formation process on the individual level. When the model is aggregated to the population level it could explain not only the mean values, but also the variance of the public's inflation expectations. The estimation results of the mean and variance equations seem to be consistent with the results of the questionnaire studies in which the respondents were asked to report their thoughts and opinions about inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1311-1320 Issue: 10 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604339 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604339 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1311-1320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andres Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Author-Name: Luis Melo Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Melo Author-Name: Carlos Posada Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Posada Title: Inflation and money in Colombia: another P-Star model Abstract: This document presents the estimation of a recent version of the P-Star model by Gerlach and Svensson (2003) and its predictions for Colombia (January 1980 to April 2005). The model is designed to explain the inflation gap (observed rate minus the target) based on the monetary gap and the output gap. According to the results, the output gap lacks significant effects while the monetary gap has significant positive effects on inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1321-1329 Issue: 10 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704493 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701704493 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:10:p:1321-1329 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Author-Name: Ingrid Nielsen Author-X-Name-First: Ingrid Author-X-Name-Last: Nielsen Author-Name: Vinod Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Vinod Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: 'I've been to Bali too' (and I will be going back): are terrorist shocks to Bali's tourist arrivals permanent or transitory? Abstract: International visitor arrivals to Bali are examined using univariate and panel Lagrange multiplier (LM) unit root tests with one and two structural breaks to ascertain if shocks to the time path of tourist arrivals are permanent or transitory. The univariate LM unit root tests with one and two structural breaks fail to reject the null hypothesis of a unit root in international visitor arrivals to Bali. However, the panel LM unit root tests with one and two structural breaks applied to a panel of Bali's 11 major source markets reject the null and support the alternative hypothesis of a joint trend-stationary series with transitory shocks. This result suggests that, the effects of the recent terrorist acts on Bali on the growth path of tourist arrivals from major markets are only transitory and that as a consequence Bali's tourism sector is sustainable in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1367-1378 Issue: 11 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019356 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019356 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:11:p:1367-1378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmet Aysan Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Author-X-Name-Last: Aysan Author-Name: Gaobo Pang Author-X-Name-First: Gaobo Author-X-Name-Last: Pang Author-Name: Marie-Ange Veganzones-Varoudakis Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Ange Author-X-Name-Last: Veganzones-Varoudakis Title: Uncertainty, economic reforms and private investment in the Middle East and North Africa Abstract: During the 1980s and the 1990s, private investment in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) has on average shown a decreasing or stagnant trend. This contrasts with the situation of the Asian economies, where private investment has always been more dynamic. In this article, it is empirically shown for a panel of 39 developing economies among which four MENA countries - that in addition to the traditional determinants of investment such as the growth anticipations and the real interest rate - government policies explain MENA's low investment rate. Insufficient structural reforms, which have most of the time led to poor financial development and deficient trade openness have been a crucial factor for the deficit in private capital formation. The economic uncertainties of the region have represented another factor of the firm's decisions not to invest. These uncertainties consisted of the external debt burden and various measures of volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1379-1395 Issue: 11 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019315 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019315 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:11:p:1379-1395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mårten Bjellerup Author-X-Name-First: Mårten Author-X-Name-Last: Bjellerup Author-Name: Thomas Holgersson Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Holgersson Title: A simple multivariate test for asymmetry Abstract: Since many macroeconomic models are linear, it is not desirable to use them with an asymmetric dependent variable. In this article, we formulate a univariate test for symmetry, based on the third central moment and extend it to a multivariate test; the test does not require modelling and it is robust against serial correlation, Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) and nonnormality. In the empirical application of the test it is found that orthodox theory seem to be supported; consumption expenditure on durable goods is found to be symmetric while consumption expenditure on nondurable goods is asymmetric for the USA and the UK, with peaks being higher than troughs are deep. Also, the empirical importance of the choice between the univariate and the multivariate test for possibly correlated series is underscored; the results from the two approaches clearly differ. Given the widespread practice of using consumption expenditure on nondurable goods as the dependent variable in linear models for the USA and the UK, our results might be noteworthy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1405-1416 Issue: 11 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840500428146 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840500428146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:11:p:1405-1416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Rouwendal Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Rouwendal Author-Name: Jaap Boter Author-X-Name-First: Jaap Author-X-Name-Last: Boter Title: Assessing the value of museums with a combined discrete choice/count data model Abstract: This article assesses the value of Dutch museums using information about destination choice as well as about the number of trips undertaken by an actor. Destination choice is analysed by means of a mixed logit model, and a count data model is used to explain trip generation. We use a utility-consistent framework in which the discrete choice model for destination choice is linked to an indirect utility function. The results are used to compute the compensating variation of particular museums and of the total group of museums in the sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1417-1436 Issue: 11 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019240 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019240 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:11:p:1417-1436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia Castello Stefani Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Castello Author-X-Name-Last: Stefani Author-Name: Ciro Biderman Author-X-Name-First: Ciro Author-X-Name-Last: Biderman Title: The evolution of the returns to education and wage differentials in Brazil: a quantile approach Abstract: This paper uses quantile regression techniques to analyze the returns to education across the conditional distribution of wages from individuals separated both by gender and skin color, while accounting for the endogeneity of the education decisions. Using data from the Brazilian households survey (PNAD) for the years of 1988 and 1996, the results indicate that the returns to education are significantly heterogeneous across the distribution of earnings, as well as the wage gap between the groups, according to gender and skin color. Moreover, there has been a significant improvement in the wage differentials between the groups across the years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1453-1460 Issue: 11 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019299 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019299 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:11:p:1453-1460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Beyza Ural Author-X-Name-First: Beyza Author-X-Name-Last: Ural Author-Name: William Horrace Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Horrace Author-Name: Jin Hwa Jung Author-X-Name-First: Jin Hwa Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Inter-industry gender wage gaps by knowledge intensity: discrimination and technology in Korea Abstract: A new gender wage gap decomposition methodology is introduced, which does not suffer from identification problems caused by unobserved nondiscriminatory wage structure. The methodology is used to measure the relative size of Korean gender wage gaps, from 1994 to 2000 across industries, differentiated by industrial knowledge intensity, where knowledge intensity is the extent to which industries produce or employ high-technology products. Korea represents an important case study, since it possesses one of the fastest growing knowledge-intensive economies among industrialized countries. Empirical results indicate that over this period, discrimination (the unexplained portion of the gender wage gaps) in Korea was statistically smaller in knowledge-intensive industries than in industries with low knowledge intensity. Also, discrimination was declining on average over the period. This suggests that continued growth in knowledge-intensive industries in Korea may lead to further declines in the overall gender gap. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1437-1452 Issue: 11 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019281 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019281 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:11:p:1437-1452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Dimitrios Vougas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Vougas Title: Unit root testing against an ST-MTAR alternative: finite-sample properties and an application to the UK housing market Abstract: A class of smooth transition momentum-threshold autoregressive (ST-MTAR) tests is proposed to allow testing of the unit root hypothesis against an alternative of asymmetric adjustment about a smooth nonlinear trend. Monte-Carlo simulation is employed to derive finite-sample critical values for the proposed test and illustrate its attractive power properties against a range of stationary alternatives. The empirical relevance of the ST-MTAR test is highlighted via an application to aggregate house price data for the UK. Interestingly, house prices are found to exhibit structural change characterized a fitted logistic smooth transition process, with the newly proposed ST-MTAR test providing the most significant results of the alternative smooth transition unit root tests available. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1397-1404 Issue: 11 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019331 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:11:p:1397-1404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Kyongwook Choi Author-X-Name-First: Kyongwook Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: The start of interest rate smoothing in the US: is it a monetary or fiscal story? Abstract: This article revisits the key issue raised by researchers who have empirically investigated the behaviour of short term US interest rates during the period 1890-1933. The seminal article of Mankiw, Miron and Weil (1987) argues that changes in the behaviour of nominal interest rates is best explained as a monetary regime shift that occurred with the founding of the Federal reserve in 1914. This explanation is rejected by Newbold, Lehybourne, Sollis and Wohar (2001) who show that fiscal and regulatory changes (driven by the needs of World War1 financing) best explain the changing behaviour of interest rates that they identify as beginning in mid-1917. We find, using three different statistical procedures that a structural break in the second moment of interest rates occurred in early 1915. This supports the monetary regime shift argument of MMW by illustrating that the interest rate smoothing policies of the FED can be observed as a variance break in short term interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1361-1365 Issue: 11 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019380 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:11:p:1361-1365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Fischer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Fischer Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: The nature of the relationship between international tourism and international trade: the case of German imports of Spanish wine Abstract: This article deals with the relationship between international trade and tourism. We focus on the effect that German tourism to Spain has on German imports of Spanish wine. Due to the different stochastic properties of the series under analysis, which display different orders of integration, a methodology is used based on long memory regression models, where tourism is supposed to be exogenous. The period covered is January 1998 to November 2004. The results show that tourism has an effect on wine imports that lasts between 2 and 9 months. Disaggregating the imports across the different types of wine, it is observed that only for red wines from Navarra, Penedus and Valdepenas, and to a certain extent for sparkling wine, tourism produces an effect on future import demand. From a policy-making perspective our results imply that the impact of tourism on the host economy is not only direct and short-term but also oblique and delayed, thus reinforcing the case for tourism as a means for economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1345-1359 Issue: 11 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019349 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019349 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:11:p:1345-1359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Edwards Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Edwards Author-Name: Benhua Yang Author-X-Name-First: Benhua Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: An empirical refinement of the relationship between growth and volatility Abstract: The link between business cycle volatility and the long-run growth rate has received increasing attention in the literature over the last ten years. Yet neither is there a theoretical consensus nor consistent empirical evidence that would lead us to believe the relationship is positive, negative or nonexistent either within broadly defined regions or over time. This study investigates a possible cause for this phenomenon. What we find is that out of 14 popularly defined sub regions, only 7 can be constrained over time within the respective sub region, while only two broadly-defined regional classifications are justified. We did find that the grouping of OECD countries is statistically valid, but only if the relationship is allowed to vary over time. We suggest a refinement of the current empirical work that takes into account both more narrowly defined regional and time parametric heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1331-1343 Issue: 11 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019307 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019307 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:11:p:1331-1343 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mika Kuismanen Author-X-Name-First: Mika Author-X-Name-Last: Kuismanen Title: Piece-wise or differentiable budget constraint? Estimating labour supply function for Finnish females Abstract: Various estimation approaches have been used in recent literature to study the effect of nonlinear income taxation on labour supply. Different techniques and data sets have produced a wide range of income and substitution elasticities. In this study, we utilize register data provided by the tax authorities. This gives us good possibilities to construct detailed budget constraints for each individual in our sample. We estimate labour supply function using the piece-wise linear budget constraint approach and the differentiable budget constraint approach suggested by MaCurdy et al. (1990). Our results support the view that if one is able to mimic the actual budget set closely and if the degree of progression is high then these two methods are likely to produce similar results. Some sensitivity analysis is also carried out using alternative assumptions concerning the budget sets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1461-1472 Issue: 12 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601032144 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601032144 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:12:p:1461-1472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mercedes Gumbau-Albert Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Gumbau-Albert Author-Name: Joaquin Maudos Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Maudos Title: Patents, technological inputs and spillovers among regions Abstract: This article analyses the importance of different technological inputs (R&D and human capital) and different spillovers in explaining the differences in patenting among Spanish regions in the period 1986 to 2003. The analysis is based on the estimation of a knowledge production function. A region's own R&D activities and human capital are observed to have a positive significant effect on innovation output, measured by the number of patents. R&D spillovers weighted by the distance and the volume of trade flows between regions cause positive effects on a region's patents. However, distance matters more than the intensity of trade flows and the R&D spillover effects between regions are bounded: spillovers from closer regions perform better than spillovers from distant regions. On the opposite side, human capital spillovers do not cause any effect outside the region itself. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1473-1486 Issue: 12 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601032250 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601032250 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:12:p:1473-1486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elisenda Paluzie Author-X-Name-First: Elisenda Author-X-Name-Last: Paluzie Author-Name: Jordi Pons Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Pons Author-Name: Daniel Tirado Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Tirado Title: A test of the market potential equation in Spain Abstract: In this article, we examine the relationship between regional wages in Spain and the market potential of these regions in the period 1955 to 1995. We demonstrate the existence of a spatial wage structure, in which wages fall with increasing distance from the highest income regions. This result strengthens the hypothesis that agglomerative forces were operating in Spain during the second half of the twentieth century. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1487-1493 Issue: 12 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601032169 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601032169 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:12:p:1487-1493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Feldman Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Feldman Author-Name: Robert Archibald Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Archibald Title: Revealed preferences for car tax cuts: an empirical study of perceived fiscal incidence Abstract: Voting in an election in which elimination of the local car tax is the central issue shows how a highly visible universal tax cut can prevail in the electoral process even if benefits are skewed toward upper income households. These results are consistent with positive models of fiscal structure choice in which fiscal systems are the consequence of support maximizing politicians attempting to supply net benefits to easily identifiable interest groups without generating significant opposition from other groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1495-1500 Issue: 12 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601032201 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601032201 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:12:p:1495-1500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Zietz Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Zietz Author-Name: Xiaolin Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: The response of household incomes to stock price and GDP growth by income quantile Abstract: How household incomes respond to GDP and stock price growth is important for an understanding of the economic costs of business cycles and the driving forces of income inequality over time. This article examines to what extent household incomes react differently across income distribution quantiles and time. It employs U.S. Panel Study of Income Dynamics data for the period 1979-2000 and quantile regression techniques. Significant differences are found in how household incomes respond across income quantiles. For the same income quantiles, large differences are identified when the time period 1979-1987 is compared to 1988-2000. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1501-1512 Issue: 12 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601032151 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601032151 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:12:p:1501-1512 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuseppe Munda Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Munda Author-Name: Michela Nardo Author-X-Name-First: Michela Author-X-Name-Last: Nardo Title: Noncompensatory/nonlinear composite indicators for ranking countries: a defensible setting Abstract: Composite indicators (or indexes) are very common in economic and business statistics for benchmarking the mutual and relative progress of countries in a variety of policy domains such as industrial competitiveness, sustainable development, globalization and innovation. The proliferation of the production of composite indicators by all the major international organizations is a clear symptom of their political importance and operational relevance in policy-making. As a consequence, improvements in the way these indicators are constructed and used seem to be a very important research issue from both the theoretical and operational points of view. This article aims at contributing to the improvement of the overall quality of composite indicators (or indexes) by looking at one of their technical weaknesses, that is, the aggregation convention used for their construction. For this aim, we build upon concepts coming from multi-criteria decision analysis, measurement theory and social choice. We start from the analysis of the axiomatic system underlying the mathematical modelling commonly used to construct composite indicators. Then a different methodological framework, based on noncompensatory/nonlinear aggregation rules, is developed. Main features of the proposed approach are: (i) the axiomatic system is made completely explicit and (ii) the sources of technical uncertainty and imprecise assessment are reduced to the minimum possible degree. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1513-1523 Issue: 12 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019364 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:12:p:1513-1523 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Krishna Iyer Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Iyer Author-Name: Alicia Rambaldi Author-X-Name-First: Alicia Author-X-Name-Last: Rambaldi Author-Name: Kam Ki Tang Author-X-Name-First: Kam Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: How trade and foreign investment affect the growth of a small but not so open economy: Australia? Abstract: This article analyses the impact of trade and foreign investment on a small but not so open economy, Australia, whose growth rate outpaced the majority of the OECD countries in the last decade. We model five channels of outward orientation: exports, imports, foreign direct investment, foreign portfolio investment and other foreign investment. A cointegrated vector autoregressive model, complemented by a robust Granger noncausality test, is specified to identify permanent channels of outward orientation. Imports and direct investment are found to have a growth effect in the long run. The effect of imports is almost three times that of direct investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1525-1532 Issue: 12 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601032177 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601032177 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:12:p:1525-1532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy Beatty Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Beatty Title: Semiparametric quantile Engel curves and expenditure elasticities: a penalized quantile regression spline approach Abstract: This article estimates nonparametric Engel curves and expenditure elasticities by quantile for an exhaustive set of household expenditure categories using a novel estimation approach. Engel curves and expenditure elasticities are vital inputs to evaluating the effects of public policies. This article examines whether Engel curves and expenditure elasticities evaluated for an average individual are importantly different from the Engel curves and expenditure elasticities at the upper and lower quantiles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1533-1542 Issue: 12 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601032185 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601032185 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:12:p:1533-1542 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Basile Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Basile Author-Name: Sergio de Nardis Author-X-Name-First: Sergio de Author-X-Name-Last: Nardis Author-Name: Alessandro Girardi Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Girardi Title: Pricing to market of Italian exporting firms Abstract: This article investigates the pricing-to-market (PTM) behaviour of Italian exporting firms, using quarterly survey data by sector and by region over the period 1999q1 to 2005q2. A partial equilibrium imperfect competition model provides the structure according to which the orthogonality of structural shocks is derived. Impulse response analysis shows non-negligible reactions of export-domestic price margins to unanticipated changes in cost competitiveness and in foreign and domestic demand levels, even though these effects appear to be of a transitory nature. For the period 1999 to 2001, a typical PTM behaviour emerges, while, during the most recent years favourable foreign demand conditions allowed firms to increase their export-domestic price margins in face of a strong deterioration of their cost competitiveness. Macroeconomic implications of the observed PTM behaviour are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1543-1562 Issue: 12 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601032219 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601032219 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:12:p:1543-1562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. J. Cano Fernandez Author-X-Name-First: V. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cano Fernandez Author-Name: G. Guirao Perez Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Guirao Perez Author-Name: M. C. Rodriguez Donate Author-X-Name-First: M. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez Donate Author-Name: M. E. Romero Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: M. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Romero Rodriguez Title: An analysis of count data models for the study of exclusivity in wine consumption Abstract: Several models which analyse count data have been proposed in econometric literature. These models allow the discrete, nonnegative nature of specific phenomena of interest to be gathered in a appropriate way and can be useful for the explanation of specific preference structures among individuals. In this work, an analysis of the number of wine types consumed by residents of Tenerife is carried out, with an aim to observe which characteristics determine the exclusivity in its consumption, given the current context of increased competition in this sector. The specific characteristics of the considered variable allow the study to cover two aspects. The first is methodological, and is seen by the variety of models that may be considered in this case. This focus consists in comparing several possibilities, which fit the type of count data involved. The second aspect is clearly empirical, and is based on the description of not only the most appropriate decision-making mechanism for the study but in the identification of those factors that explain the diversity in wine consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1563-1574 Issue: 12 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601032227 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601032227 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:12:p:1563-1574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: The applied economics of economic growth: introduction and overview Abstract: We introduce and summarize the results of 12 empirical studies that make up this special theme on economic growth, covering a wide range of countries and issues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1575-1577 Issue: 13 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903016613 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903016613 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:13:p:1575-1577 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Everhart Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Everhart Author-Name: Jorge Martinez- Vazquez Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Martinez- Author-X-Name-Last: Vazquez Author-Name: Robert McNab Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: McNab Title: Corruption, governance, investment and growth in emerging markets Abstract: The article investigates the potential impact of corruption on economic growth by examining the effect that corruption may have on several significant determinants of economic growth, namely, investment in human, private and public capital, and on governance. Our theoretical approach allows for corruption to influence economic growth directly and indirectly through different investment and governance channels. All previous empirical work on this issue has been based on national income and product accounts (NIPA) data, which do not normally break down gross domestic investment into its private and public sector, and if they do, they misclassify investment by public enterprises as private investment, potentially biasing empirical findings. In this article we use a data set from the International Finance Corporation that bypasses these problems. We find that the impact of corruption on the level of public investment appears to be more ambiguous than it has been found in the previous literature. We, however, find that the impact of corruption on the accumulation of private capital is significantly more damaging than what has been previously found. We also find that the impact of corruption on governance is unambiguously negative, which further deters economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1579-1594 Issue: 13 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701439363 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701439363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:13:p:1579-1594 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Ang Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Ang Title: Financial development and the FDI-growth nexus: the Malaysian experience Abstract: This article examines the FDI-growth nexus in the small open economy of Malaysia by controlling for the level of financial development. Financial development is proxied by a composite index, which is a summary measure of four financial development indicators. Using time-series data from 1965 to 2004, the results show that FDI and financial development are positively related to output in the long-run. The impact of FDI on output is enhanced through financial development. To supplement these findings, we assess the causal relationships between the variables using the recent causality tests available in the literature. The results indicate that economic growth causes FDI growth in the long-run, but no feedback relationship is observed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1595-1601 Issue: 13 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222553 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:13:p:1595-1601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaohui Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohui Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chang Shu Author-X-Name-First: Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Shu Author-Name: Peter Sinclair Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sinclair Title: Trade, foreign direct investment and economic growth in Asian economies Abstract: Despite the increasing role of foreign direct investment (FDI) in economic development, very limited research has been carried out on the causal links between trade, FDI and economic growth in Asian economies. This study examines empirically the inter-play between exports, imports, FDI and economic growth for nine Asian economies by conducting multivariate causality tests in the vector error correction model (VECM) framework. The results reveal two-way causal connections between trade, inward FDI, inward merger and acquisitions (M&As) and growth for most of the sample economies. There is a unidirectional causal link running from outward M&As to growth and trade. These findings suggest that export expansion, import liberalization, FDI inflows and inward M&As are integral elements of the growth process in Asian economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1603-1612 Issue: 13 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701579176 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701579176 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:13:p:1603-1612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasuyuki Sawada Author-X-Name-First: Yasuyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Sawada Title: The immiserizing growth: an empirical evaluation Abstract: This article examines the empirical validity of immiserizing growth by using the revealed preference framework, together with macroeconomic growth data. We identify 26 episodes of immiserizing growth in the post-war world economy, mostly in Africa and Latin America. We also test statistically the restriction imposed by the standard macroeconomic framework that rule out the existence of immiserizing growth. The overall probability of immiserizing growth is found to be minimal in a cross section of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1613-1620 Issue: 13 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802052099 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802052099 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:13:p:1613-1620 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Batten Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Batten Author-Name: Xuan Vinh Vo Author-X-Name-First: Xuan Vinh Author-X-Name-Last: Vo Title: An analysis of the relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth Abstract: Employing a panel data modelling technique, we contribute to two critical research issues: what is the link between Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and economic growth and does the relationship change under different educational, institutional and economic conditions? Overall, the analysis supports the view that FDI has a stronger positive impact on economic growth in countries with a higher level of education attainment, openness to international trade and stock market development, and a lower rate of population growth and lower level of risk. Thus, countries undertaking reform of cross-border capital restrictions and controls and initiating other policy aimed at encouraging FDI need to ensure that broader social policy objectives-such as education and institutional reform-are also undertaken to leverage the benefits from FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1621-1641 Issue: 13 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701493758 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701493758 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:13:p:1621-1641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claude Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Claude Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Javier Reyes Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Reyes Title: Stationary properties of the real interest rate and the per-capita consumption growth rate: empirical evidence for theoretical arguments Abstract: Many economic theories connecting the real interest rate and the per-capita consumption growth rate require that both rates evolve together over time. This article investigates whether these rates present similar stationary behaviour for the seven most industrialized countries over the 1957-2005 period. The analysis relies on the unit root tests developed by Elliott et al. (1996) and Lopez (2006) to look for stationary or regime-wise stationary behaviour, respectively. Furthermore, the final break selection uses Bai and Perron's (2003) method. The results show, for all the countries considered, that both rates are either stationary or regime-wise stationary with the same number of breaks and, mostly, with corresponding dates. The results hold whether the rates are calculated annually or quarterly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1643-1651 Issue: 13 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802243805 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802243805 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:13:p:1643-1651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Maheshwar Rao Author-X-Name-First: Maheshwar Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: Openness and growth in Fiji: some time series evidence Abstract: Compared to many cross-country studies on the determinants of growth rate, time series works are relatively few and limited in scope. However, time series studies are useful for country-specific policies. But in many recent works ad hoc specifications have been used to analyse the contribution of various factors to growth. This article uses an improved specification to estimate the effects of openness on growth in a small open economy namely Fiji. In addition to trade openness, we include, as additional variables, the basic conditioning variables namely factor inputs into our specification. The need for the inclusion of some basic conditioning variables has been emphasized by Boswoth and Collins (2003) in their cross country studies. Our results show that trade openness and output are cointegrated. Neglecting the conditioning variables seems to lead to some overestimation of the effects of openness and at times a cointegrating vector may not exist. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1653-1662 Issue: 13 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601007252 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601007252 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:13:p:1653-1662 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hailin Liao Author-X-Name-First: Hailin Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: Xiaohui Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohui Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Export-total factor productivity growth nexus in East Asian economies Abstract: Despite increasing interest in the relationship between trade and macro-economic performance in development economics, very limited studies have been conducted on the causal links between exports and productivity growth in Asian economies. This article examines empirically the interplay between exports and productivity growth for eight East Asian economies in a multivariate framework by applying bound tests and modified Wald tests. The results indicate that causality is bidirectional in the case of Korea, Singapore and Taiwan, while unidirectional from productivity to exports for Mainland China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia and the Philippines. These findings provide little support for the conventional export-led growth hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1663-1675 Issue: 13 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601032193 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601032193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:13:p:1663-1675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarkan Cavusoglu Author-X-Name-First: Tarkan Author-X-Name-Last: Cavusoglu Title: Growth effects of currency mismatches: evidence from emerging economies Abstract: This article investigates empirically the effects of currency mismatches on economic growth and volatility of growth in emerging market economies. Using the Arellano-Bond dynamic panel data approach, the analyses provide evidence on the presence of adverse growth effects of currency mismatches. This illustrates the crucial role played by foreign currency denominated debts in the propagation mechanism of contractionary depreciations in emerging economies in the last decade. Further evidence from estimations implies that the adverse effects of mismatches on growth and growth volatility are more pronounced with higher exchange rate fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1677-1690 Issue: 13 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601131714 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601131714 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:13:p:1677-1690 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mansur Masih Author-X-Name-First: Mansur Author-X-Name-Last: Masih Author-Name: Ali Al-Elg Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Elg Author-Name: Haider Madani Author-X-Name-First: Haider Author-X-Name-Last: Madani Title: Causality between financial development and economic growth: an application of vector error correction and variance decomposition methods to Saudi Arabia Abstract: This article makes an attempt to test the possible directions of causality between financial development and economic growth, which were labelled by Patrick (1966) as the supply-leading and demand-following hypothesis. Saudi Arabia is taken as a case study. The methods applied are the error correction and variance decompositions techniques including the most recently developed 'long-run structural modelling (LRSM)' (Pesaran and Shin, 2002), which by imposing exactly identifying and overidentifying restrictions on the cointegrating vector has taken care of a major limitation of the conventional cointegrating estimates in that they were atheoretical in nature. To the best of our knowledge, there has not been any study on this issue with the application of the techniques that incorporate 'LRSM'. The stability of the functions has also been tested by Cumulative Sum (CUSUM), Cumulative Sum of Squares (CUSUMSQ) and Chow Test (CHOW) tests. Our findings, based on the above mentioned rigorous techniques, tend to suggest that the direction of causation between financial development and economic growth is supply-leading (rather than demand-following), as expected at the early stage of development. These findings have clear policy implications in that a pro-active policy of growth and reform of the financial sector will help enhance economic growth in an open developing economy like Saudi Arabia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1691-1699 Issue: 13 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701320233 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701320233 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:13:p:1691-1699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karima Saci Author-X-Name-First: Karima Author-X-Name-Last: Saci Author-Name: Gianluigi Giorgioni Author-X-Name-First: Gianluigi Author-X-Name-Last: Giorgioni Author-Name: Ken Holden Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Holden Title: Does financial development affect growth? Abstract: This article contributes to the literature on the relationship between financial development and economic growth in three ways: it utilizes recently developed techniques for generalized methods of moments (GMM) one-step estimation with dynamic panel models, it focuses exclusively on a sample of developing countries and it uses as proxies for financial development variables which capture both banking sector and stock market effects. The results provide evidence, based on a panel of annual data for 30 developing countries, that while the stock market variables are positively and significantly related to growth, their presence results in the standard banking sector variables, credit to the private sector and liquid liabilities, having negative effects on growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1701-1707 Issue: 13 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701335538 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701335538 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:13:p:1701-1707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chew Ging Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chew Ging Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Foreign direct investment, pollution and economic growth: evidence from Malaysia Abstract: The bounds test developed by Pesaran et al. (2001) is applied to examine the existence of a long-run relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, pollution and output of Malaysia. Granger causality tests are also utilized to test for the presence of the short-run and long-run causal relationship between these variables. Both FDI inflows and pollution have short-run causal relationship on output. Output only has long-run causal relationship on FDI inflows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1709-1716 Issue: 13 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701564376 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701564376 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:13:p:1709-1716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Garrick Blalock Author-X-Name-First: Garrick Author-X-Name-Last: Blalock Author-Name: Vrinda Kadiyali Author-X-Name-First: Vrinda Author-X-Name-Last: Kadiyali Author-Name: Daniel Simon Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Simon Title: Driving fatalities after 9/11: a hidden cost of terrorism Abstract: We show that the public's response to terrorist threats can have unintended consequences that rival the attacks themselves in severity. Driving fatalities increased significantly after the 11 September 2001 terrorist attacks, events that prompted many travellers to substitute road transportation for safer air transportation. After controlling for time trends, weather, road conditions and other factors, we find that travellers' response to 9/11 resulted in 327 driving deaths per month in late 2001. Moreover, while the effect of 9/11 weakened over time, as many as 2300 driving deaths may be attributable to the attacks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1717-1729 Issue: 14 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601069757 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601069757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:14:p:1717-1729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brent Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: A cost-benefit analysis of female primary education as a means of reducing HIV/AIDS in Tanzania Abstract: This article, uses panel data related to 20 Tanzania regions and 8 years to estimate the direct and indirect effects of female primary education on HIV/AIDS rates. A recursive framework for education, income and infections is employed, based on two autoregressive equations that allow us to obtain dynamic estimates of effectiveness. We find that the indirect effect working through changes in income outweighs the direct positive effect of education on infections, implying that female education can be effective as an intervention to lower the disease in Tanzania. The estimates of effectiveness are then utilized to carry out a cost-benefit analysis of the education expenditures. The human capital approach is used to measure the benefits. Irrespective of the timing of the benefits and costs, and the discount rate alternatives we consider, our best estimates result in positive net-benefits, with benefit-cost ratios in the range 1.3-2.9. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1731-1743 Issue: 14 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601032235 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601032235 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:14:p:1731-1743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Bailey Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Author-Name: Jason Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: A concentration index for differentiated products: the case of religious competition Abstract: In the past, scholars have used a Herfindahl-Hirschman Index using denominational market shares to measure the competitiveness of religious markets. However, this approach ignores both the imperfect substitutability between denominations and the degree of competition within denominations. These two shortcomings make the current index a suspect measure of religious competition; it often falsely identifies which market micro-economists would generally consider the more competitive one. We develop a new religious competition index that incorporates intra-denominational competition and creates a 'substitutability parameter' to better specify the appropriate degree of inter-denominational competition. While the model developed in this article applies specifically to religious markets, our index of competition could be expanded to other economic markets where such a substitutability parameter is meaningful. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1745-1759 Issue: 14 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601131698 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601131698 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:14:p:1745-1759 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Zubaidi Author-X-Name-Last: Baharumshah Author-Name: Siti Hamizah Mohd Author-X-Name-First: Siti Hamizah Author-X-Name-Last: Mohd Author-Name: Sung Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Sung Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Title: On the predictive power of monetary exchange rate model: the case of the Malaysian ringgit/US dollar rate Abstract: The predictive power of the monetary model for the Malaysian ringgit/US dollar (RM/USD) rate is analysed using quarterly data ending in 2006:Q3. We find compelling evidence of a long-run relationship between exchange rates and the economic fundamental determinant. Macroeconomic factors systematically affect the long-run movement of the RM/USD rate. Additionally, the RM/USD rate was overvalued by about 10% several quarters before the 1997 crisis; after the crisis, rates fluctuated close to the equilibrium value. The out-of-sample forecasts demonstrate that the monetary model outperforms the naive random walk model. The monetary and Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) models do well at the four to eight quarters horizon. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1761-1770 Issue: 14 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817771 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902817771 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:14:p:1761-1770 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lee Chin Author-X-Name-First: Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Chin Author-Name: Muzafar Shah Habibullah Author-X-Name-First: Muzafar Shah Author-X-Name-Last: Habibullah Author-Name: M. Azali Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Azali Title: Tests of different monetary aggregates for the monetary models of the exchange rate in five ASEAN countries Abstract: This study examines the usefulness of divisia money, relative to simple sum money, for exchange rate modelling in a period of rapid financial deregulation. This comparison is conducted using the monetary model of the exchange rate. In the long-run modelling, the divisia money is significantly superior to simple sum money in the case of Malaysia and the Philippines while indifferent for Indonesia, Singapore and Thailand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1771-1783 Issue: 14 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845517 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902845517 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:14:p:1771-1783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Chu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: A study of optimal weights restriction in Data Envelopment Analysis Abstract: Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is a mathematical programming approach to assessing relative efficiencies within a group of Decision Making Units (DMUs). An important outcome of such an analysis is a set of virtual multipliers or weights accorded to each (input or output) factor taken into account. Due to the factor weight flexibility of the DEA model, a DMU may assign very low-factor weight scores to some of its unfavourable inputs or outputs and appear as efficient, thus producing nonsensical results in some cases. This study focuses on this shortcoming to integrate an optimal weights restriction model and absolute restriction method to restricting weight flexibility in DEA, so that the evaluation result can be more realistic, and finally takes the garbage clearance of each district in Kaohsiung city in Taiwan as an example for the illustration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1785-1790 Issue: 14 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601131706 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601131706 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:14:p:1785-1790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shu-Chun Chang Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Assessing economic activities - an example from central business districts Abstract: The Central Business District (CBD) is a dynamic part of the city that changes drastically over time, and responds to forces and demands for activities from within and from other countries. However, it is extremely difficult to quantify the various propositions put forward for measuring economic activities in the CBD due to the paucity of statistical data. Planning intervention thus becomes extremely difficult as other forces beyond the control or knowledge of the planner play crucial roles in determining what activities will locate in the CBD and where they will locate. This study, attempts to explore a view of how to measure and assess central business district economic activities for planning purposes. It follows a critical discussion of the nature of the CBD by pointing to empirical studies, including examples from the New York metropolitan region and the city of London. Moreover, it discusses indicators could be used to measure and assess economic activities in the CBD by highlighting planning purposes covering the entire issue. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1791-1797 Issue: 14 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601131680 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601131680 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:14:p:1791-1797 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Heiland Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Heiland Title: Does the birth order affect the cognitive development of a child? Abstract: This article investigates the link between position in the birth order and early scholastic ability. Using matched mother-child data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (1979 cohort, NLSY79), I find that being the first-born is beneficial even after controlling for (nonlinear) effects of family size and child characteristics. The verbal ability of first-borns is about one-tenth of a SD higher than for children in the middle of the birth order. There is no evidence that last-borns fare better than intermediate children. The first-born advantage is confirmed by estimates from within-family variation models and I argue that the findings are consistent with the resource dilution hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1799-1818 Issue: 14 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601083220 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601083220 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:14:p:1799-1818 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sangho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hyunjoon Lim Author-X-Name-First: Hyunjoon Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Donghyun Park Author-X-Name-First: Donghyun Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Imports, exports and total factor productivity in Korea Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between trade and economic growth in Korea during 1980-2003. We find Granger causality from imports to Total Factor Productivity (TFP) growth, and the absence of any causal relation between exports and TFP. We then, empirically examine the impact of various trade variables on TFP growth. Our results indicate that imports have a significant positive effect on TFP growth, but exports do not. Furthermore, our results suggest that the positive impact of imports stems not only from competitive pressures arising from the imports of consumer goods but also from technological transfers embodied in imports of capital goods and imports from developed countries. Most of our empirical results still hold when we replace TFP growth with Gross Domestic Profit (GDP) growth as the dependent variable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1819-1834 Issue: 14 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601032243 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601032243 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:14:p:1819-1834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miriam Manchin Author-X-Name-First: Miriam Author-X-Name-Last: Manchin Author-Name: Anna Maria Pinna Author-X-Name-First: Anna Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Pinna Title: Border effects in the enlarged EU area: evidence from imports to accession countries Abstract: By looking at imports of Eastern European countries, we provide novel insights on the importance and magnitude of border effects and on how they are linked with technical barriers to trade. All Central Eastern European Countries (CEECs) traded with themselves more than with other countries. We grouped products into three categories; depending on the importance of applicaple technical barriers. Our results show border effects are the largest for products, where we expect to have the most important technical barriers. We assess if border effects changed over the transition period and we find that for products where technical barriers are less important the magnitude of border effects was declining at the end of the 90s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1835-1854 Issue: 14 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601044974 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601044974 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:14:p:1835-1854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Partridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Partridge Author-Name: Dan Rickman Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Rickman Title: Canadian regional labour market evolutions: a long-run restrictions SVAR analysis Abstract: Canada's high reliance on commodities can work against its constitutionally mandated goal of regional equity in economic development, while also inhibiting macroeconomic performance and limiting monetary policy effectiveness. Yet, flexible and integrated regional labour markets can help achieve both equity and macroeconomic goals. Therefore, this study examines the dynamics of Canadian provincial labour markets using a long-run restrictions structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model. Labour market fluctuations are decomposed into the parts arising from shocks to labour demand (new jobs), labour supply through migration (new people) and internal labour supply (original residents). The results suggest that demand innovations primarily underlie provincial labour market fluctuations. Despite significant geographic and language barriers that could impede their performance, there also is little overall evidence to suggest that provincial labour markets are more sluggish or less flexible than US state labour markets. Finally, original residents benefit slightly more from increased provincial labour demand compared to findings for US states. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1855-1871 Issue: 15 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601131789 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601131789 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:15:p:1855-1871 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Lilla Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Lilla Author-Name: Stefano Staffolani Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Staffolani Title: The evolution of wage inequality in Italy Abstract: This article analyses the evolution of inequality in yearly and daily wages between and within groups of blue and white collar, using the INPS-ISFOL database for the period 1985 to 1999 in Italy. Between-group inequality increased in the 1990s as clerical wages grew slowly, whereas blue collars' wages remained nearly constant. Within-group inequality increased only if measured by daily wages. The covariance structure analysis shows that inequality comes from persistent differentials among older workers and from high income volatility for younger cohorts. Within inequalities in office and manual workers are driven by the growth of permanency for the older cohorts (individual abilities, say experience, matter more) and by the growth of income volatility for the younger cohorts (luck in the labour market). Within each group, low paid workers during their career acquire earning gains for their abilities and reduce differentials with respect to high paid workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1873-1892 Issue: 15 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601131771 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601131771 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:15:p:1873-1892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lee Chin Author-X-Name-First: Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Chin Author-Name: M. Azali Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Azali Author-Name: A. Mansur M. Masih Author-X-Name-First: A. Mansur M. Author-X-Name-Last: Masih Title: Tests of the different variants of the monetary model in a developing economy: Malaysian experience in the pre- and post-crisis periods Abstract: This study examines the validity of four different variants of the monetary model of exchange rate determination for Malaysia covering both the pre- and post-crisis periods using the vector error-correction models. The findings demonstrate that for both periods, the variables used are cointegrated. Tests tend to suggest that of the four variants of monetary model, the sticky-price model holds in both periods and the flexible-price model holds only in the post-crisis period. The proportionality between the exchange rate and relative money does not hold in any period. The plotted actual and fitted exchange rates for both sub-samples show that the models are able to track the actual exchange rate trend quiet well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1893-1902 Issue: 15 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601131797 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601131797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:15:p:1893-1902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. D. McAvinchey Author-X-Name-First: I. D. Author-X-Name-Last: McAvinchey Author-Name: W. D. McCausland Author-X-Name-First: W. D. Author-X-Name-Last: McCausland Title: European monetary union and the outsiders Abstract: This article looks at the impact on a small outside country if a larger, outsider country were to join a nearby monetary union, exemplified by the likely effects on Norway of the UK deciding to join the Euro. We construct a theoretical model to capture such effects, which focuses on the effect of union on Norway as the small outside state. We then estimate the model using data from the period 1980-1999 (the period covering the existence of the ECU and the Euro), and find that there would be substantial implications for the management of the Norwegian economy in response to asymmetric shocks and EU fiscal and monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1903-1916 Issue: 15 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601137125 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601137125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:15:p:1903-1916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ofer Azar Author-X-Name-First: Ofer Author-X-Name-Last: Azar Title: Incentives and service quality in the restaurant industry: the tipping-service puzzle Abstract: Tipping is a significant economic activity (tips in the US food industry alone amount to about $42 billion annually) that was claimed to improve service quality and increase economic efficiency, because it gives incentives to provide excellent service, and therefore allows to avoid costly monitoring of workers. The article suggests that this common wisdom might be wrong. A simple model shows formally that tips can improve service only if they are sensitive enough to service quality. Empirical evidence suggests that tips are hardly affected by service quality. Nevertheless, rankings of service quality by customers are very high; the co-existence of these two findings is denoted 'the tipping-service puzzle,' and several possible explanations for it are offered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1917-1927 Issue: 15 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601131813 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601131813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:15:p:1917-1927 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kwang Woo Park Author-X-Name-First: Kwang Woo Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Myeong Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myeong Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The industrial relationships in time-varying beta coefficients between Korea and United States Abstract: This article examines financial linkage of systematic risks for 20 industry portfolio returns between Korean and US stock markets. Time-varying beta coefficients of Capital Asset Pricing Model are estimated and Granger-causality tests are carried out for identifying the significance of the industrial relations between the two stock markets. The empirical findings show that the strength and the causality of international financial linkage vary depending on the types of industry and the shocks in the systematic risk. Some Korean industries, including financing industries, iron and metal industries, service, and textile and wearing industries are relatively vulnerable to systematic risk associate with US industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1929-1938 Issue: 15 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601131730 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601131730 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:15:p:1929-1938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evan Lau Author-X-Name-First: Evan Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Author-Name: Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Zubaidi Author-X-Name-Last: Baharumshah Title: Assessing the mean reversion behaviour of fiscal policy: the perspective of Asian countries Abstract: This article investigates fiscal policy sustainability in 10 Asian countries by adopting a battery of unit root tests. Univariate unit root tests reveal that the fiscal stance in these countries follows a nonstationary process while the opposite conclusion was drawn for the same dataset using the commonly employed panel unit root techniques. By utilizing the series-specific panel unit-root test recently developed by Breuer et al. [2002, SURADF (Seemingly Unrelated Regression Augmented Dickey-Fuller)] that allows testing for the presence of nonstationarity within individual cross sections of the panel, we found that only cross sections four out of 10 countries in the panel are stationary. This means that fiscal deficits in most Asian countries are in violation of their intertemporal budget constraint and that the deficits are too large. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1939-1949 Issue: 15 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601131755 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601131755 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:15:p:1939-1949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: An-Sing Chen Author-X-Name-First: An-Sing Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shih-Chuan Fang Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: Uniform testing and portfolio strategies for single and multifactor asset pricing models in the Pacific Basin markets Abstract: We test and implement portfolio strategies for three major asset pricing models, under uniform diagnostic measures using the PACAP data set containing all current listing and de-listing of firms for the local stock exchange in several Pacific Basin countries. Compared to the often used MSCI database that include only a subset of the (large) firms in the local markets, the more complete coverage of our database allows for more robust testing of current multifactor asset pricing models since the possible effects of additional factors such as size and book to market may not show up correctly using less comprehensive data sets. Our data set also provides a natural packet of nonUS data for addressing the issue of whether the results of recent asset pricing research are sample specific. Our overall results provide multi-country (sample nonspecific) support for the additional asset pricing risk factors of the Fama-French three-factor model but not for the momentum factor of the Carhart model. We additionally find that the size risk factor is more prominent than value risk factor in the Pacific Basin markets. Finally, we find strong evidence that portfolio strategies implemented to capture value and size effects are profitable in the Pacific Basin stock markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1951-1963 Issue: 15 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601131763 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601131763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:15:p:1951-1963 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chin-Tsai Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Tsai Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Hsin-Yi Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Hsin-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: Empirical of the Taiwan stock index option price forecasting model - applied artificial neural network Abstract: This work presents a novel neural network model for forecasting option prices using past volatilities and other options market factors. Out of different approaches to estimating volatility in the option pricing model, this study uses backpropagation neural network to forecast prices for Taiwanese stock index options. The ability to develop accurate forecasts of grey prediction volatility enables practitioners to establish an appropriate hedging strategy at in-the-money option. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1965-1972 Issue: 15 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601131672 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601131672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:15:p:1965-1972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darwin Yu Author-X-Name-First: Darwin Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Rodolfo Aquino Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Author-X-Name-Last: Aquino Title: Testing capital structure models on Philippine listed firms Abstract: This study examines the ability of the Trade-Off (TO) model and the Pecking Order (PO) model to explain the financing behaviour of Philippine listed firms from 1990 to 2001. Using panel data regression techniques, the firms' leverage ratios move towards their optimal level, holding up the TO model. The results, however, show better support for the PO model, as leverage and profitability are negatively related, while financing deficit mostly explains the annual change in total liabilities. Furthermore, in joint tests, only the fitted values from the PO model equation continue to have additional explanatory power over fitted values from the TO model. Firms issued more equity than debt from 1990 to 1996 when stock market prices were increasing rapidly, but this still fits the more complex version of the PO model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1973-1990 Issue: 15 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601131805 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601131805 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:15:p:1973-1990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: The applied economics of monetary policy: introduction and overview Abstract: We introduce and summarize the results of 10 empirical studies that make up this special theme on monetary policy, covering a wide range of countries and issues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1991-1993 Issue: 16 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903083142 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903083142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:16:p:1991-1993 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David-Jan Jansen Author-X-Name-First: David-Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Jansen Author-Name: Jakob De Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Title: Has ECB communication been helpful in predicting interest rate decisions? An evaluation of the early years of the Economic and Monetary Union Abstract: We examine the usefulness of communication by the European Central Bank for predicting its policy decisions during the early years of the European Economic and Monetary Union. Using ordered probit models based on the Taylor rule, we find that statements on the main refinancing rate and future inflation are significantly related to interest rate decisions. At the same time, an out-of-sample evaluation shows that communication-based models do not outperform models based on macroeconomic data in predicting decisions. Both types of models have difficulty in predicting changes in the main refinancing rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1995-2003 Issue: 16 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802167384 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802167384 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:16:p:1995-2003 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Gazioglu Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Gazioglu Author-Name: W. D. McCausland Author-X-Name-First: W. D. Author-X-Name-Last: McCausland Title: Interest rates and monetary policy Abstract: This article conducts a thorough intertemporal analysis of nominal interest rate based monetary policy. Its main contribution is to show how such a policy can have different effects depending on the assumptions made about the saving and borrowing behaviour of firms. We consider two cases: (i) consumers are savers and firms are borrowers and (ii) both consumers and firms are borrowers (the nation as a whole is borrowing from abroad). In one case we confirm conventional wisdom, but in the other case we find there may be unexpected and surprising results. Moreover, our analysis has important implications for both inflation and nominal exchange rate targeting policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2005-2012 Issue: 16 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019372 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:16:p:2005-2012 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Merkl Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Merkl Author-Name: Stephanie Stolz Author-X-Name-First: Stephanie Author-X-Name-Last: Stolz Title: Banks' regulatory buffers, liquidity networks and monetary policy transmission Abstract: Based on a quarterly regulatory dataset for German banks from 1999 to 2004, this article analyses the effects of banks' regulatory capital on the transmission of monetary policy in a system of liquidity networks. The dynamic panel regression results provide evidence in favour of the bank capital channel theory. Banks holding less regulatory capital and less interbank liquidity react more restrictively to a monetary tightening than their peers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2013-2024 Issue: 16 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360245 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360245 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:16:p:2013-2024 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Sonmez Atesoglu Author-X-Name-First: H. Sonmez Author-X-Name-Last: Atesoglu Author-Name: Jamie Emerson Author-X-Name-First: Jamie Author-X-Name-Last: Emerson Title: Long-run monetary neutrality Abstract: In this article, we provide a test of long-run monetary neutrality employing cointegration and vector error-correction modelling methodology. Using quarterly data for the United States, we estimate the long-run relationships among money supply and output and other key macroeconomic variables. Our findings, in general, raise doubts about the long-run monetary neutrality proposition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2025-2036 Issue: 16 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604479 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604479 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:16:p:2025-2036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Paez-Farrell Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Paez-Farrell Title: Monetary policy rules in theory and in practice: evidence from the UK and the US Abstract: Given the large amount of interaction between research on monetary policy and its practice, this article examines whether some simple monetary policy rules that have been proposed in the academic literature, part of which has originated from within central banks, provide a reasonable characterization of actual policy in the United Kingdom and the United States. The article finds the simple rule that describes best the actual US monetary policy is a speed limit rule with dynamics, whilst for the UK it is a forward-looking rule. The simpler dynamics in the UK's monetary policy rule are reflective of the lower persistence of inflation as a result of its policy of inflation targeting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2037-2046 Issue: 16 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701689496 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701689496 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:16:p:2037-2046 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yanchun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yanchun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The role of monetary shocks and real shocks on the current account, the terms of trade and the real exchange rate dynamics: a SVAR analysis Abstract: The article is an empirical investigation of the role of monetary shocks and real shocks on the current account, the terms of trade and the real exchange rate dynamics. Three new open economy macro-economics (NOEM) models are studied to motivate the empirical investigation. Then I apply the Blanchard-Quah decomposition to identify a SVAR model. The empirical evidence supports the NOEM model with the simplified household preference specification and with the small degree of pricing-to-market. The evidence also illustrates monetary shocks important for the real exchange rate and the terms of trade movements, but not for the current account fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2047-2063 Issue: 16 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721034 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721034 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:16:p:2047-2063 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aaron Jackson Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Jackson Author-Name: William Miles Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Miles Title: Quantitative goals for monetary policy: a quantile regression approach Abstract: A recent paper by Fatas et al. (2006) indicates that formal monetary policy targets-exchange rate, money supply or inflation targets-palpably decrease inflation in a sample of 40 countries. The authors employ various least squares estimations, which pick up the conditional average effect. However, there is wide inflation variability in the authors' sample. Thus, formal targets could have very different effects in high- and low- inflation countries. Accordingly, we utilize the technique of quantile regression, a method frequently used in labour economics. We find, in a sample of low- and moderate-inflation countries, that formal targets exert no significant impact on low-inflation nations. This result is important for debates over formal targets, such as whether the United States should adopt an inflation target. There are costs and benefits in having formal targets, and finding that targets do not decrease inflation, when it is already moderate, is an important piece of information to consider. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2065-2071 Issue: 16 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736123 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736123 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:16:p:2065-2071 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarron Khemraj Author-X-Name-First: Tarron Author-X-Name-Last: Khemraj Title: Excess liquidity and the foreign currency constraint: the case of monetary management in Guyana Abstract: This article examines why commercial banks in Guyana demand nonremunerated excess reserves, a phenomenon that became even more widespread after financial liberalization. Despite the removal of capital controls, banks do not invest all excess reserves in a safe foreign asset because the central bank maintains an unofficial foreign currency constraint by accumulating international reserves. The findings suggest that commercial banks do not demand excess reserves for precautionary purpose-which is the conclusion of several other studies-but rather because of the maintained constraint. The estimated sterilization coefficient is consistent with the hypothesis of an enforced constraint. The results, moreover, suggest an alternative way of looking at the monetary transmission mechanism in developing countries. The central bank maintains price and exchange rate stability through the accumulation of foreign reserves. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2073-2084 Issue: 16 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701857994 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701857994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:16:p:2073-2084 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kerim Peren Arin Author-X-Name-First: Kerim Peren Author-X-Name-Last: Arin Author-Name: Timur Han Gur Author-X-Name-First: Timur Han Author-X-Name-Last: Gur Title: Exchange rate versus monetary aggregate targeting: the Turkish case Abstract: This article compares and contrasts the macroeconomic effects of exchange rate targeting and money supply targeting by using quarterly data from Turkey for the period February 1986-March 2000. The results of the VAR analysis show that the exchange rate does not have the traditional 'hump-shaped effect' that money supply has on output. In addition, we observe that an exchange rate depreciation leads to a temporary improvement in the trade balance for only a year, while monetary innovations have longer-lasting effects. Those results suggest that money-based targeting is more appropriate than exchange-rate targeting for Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2085-2092 Issue: 16 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601019190 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601019190 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:16:p:2085-2092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Georgopoulos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Georgopoulos Title: Measuring regional effects of monetary policy in Canada Abstract: This article measures monetary policy shocks and examines whether the effects of such shocks have differential regional effects in Canada. We identify three possible sources of regional effects: differences in the importance of interest-sensitive industries, differences in the contribution of exports to output and differences in the proportion of small relative to large firms. Using the overnight interest rate as the instrument of monetary policy, we present impulse responses of industry output from a recursive vector autoregression, which incorporates a cointegrating relation. The results show that manufacturing and primary industries are the most interest sensitive. We conduct impulse responses of provincial employment from a monetary contraction. The results show that Newfoundland and Prince Edward Island (PEI), primary industry-based provinces, are strongly and adversely affected by a monetary contraction. Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Alberta, also primary-based, are also affected. Ontario, which is manufacturing-based, is also affected but to a lesser extent. The response of Quebec, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and British Columbia are not statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2093-2113 Issue: 16 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604362 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:16:p:2093-2113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Yilmazkuday Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Yilmazkuday Author-Name: M. Ege Yazgan Author-X-Name-First: M. Ege Author-X-Name-Last: Yazgan Title: Effects of credit and debit cards on the currency demand Abstract: We analyze the effects of credit and debit cards on the currency in circulation by using GMM estimation. Instead of using the data obtained by surveys, we use monthly data obtained by an interbank institution that keeps the statistics of all credit and debit cards usage of a small open economy, Turkey, for the period over 2002M1-2006M10. As expected from the theory, we find that an increase in the usage of credit and debit cards leads to a decrease in the currency demand. Moreover, the usage of the debit cards has a bigger effect on the money demand, compared to the usage of the credit cards. We also find that the effect of credit cards is mostly through purchases and the effect of debit cards is mostly through withdrawals Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2115-2123 Issue: 17 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222496 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222496 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:17:p:2115-2123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Allard Bruinshoofd Author-X-Name-First: W. Allard Author-X-Name-Last: Bruinshoofd Author-Name: Clemens Kool Author-X-Name-First: Clemens Author-X-Name-Last: Kool Title: Nonlinear target adjustment in corporate liquidity management: an endogenous thresholds approach Abstract: We provide new empirical evidence on nonlinear liquidity management in Dutch firms. Our results reveal that liquidity adjustment from below the target is significantly faster than from above. We find no evidence for bands of inaction around the target. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2125-2131 Issue: 17 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222587 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222587 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:17:p:2125-2131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Martins Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Martins Title: Rent sharing before and after the wage bill Abstract: Many biases plague the analysis of whether employers share rents with their employees, unlike what is predicted by the competitive labour market model. Using a Portuguese matched employer-employee panel, this article is one of the first to address these biases in three complementary ways: (1) Controlling directly for the fact that firms that share more rents will, ceteris paribus, have lower net-of-wages profits. (2) Instrumenting profits via interactions between the exchange rate and the share of exports in firm's total sales. (3) Considering firm or firm/worker spell fixed effects and highlighting the role of downward wage rigidity. These approaches clarify conflicting findings in the literature and result, in our preferred specifications, in significant evidence of rent sharing (a Lester range of pay dispersion of 56%), also shown to be robust to a number of competitive interpretations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2133-2151 Issue: 17 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736164 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736164 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:17:p:2133-2151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmen Marti Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Marti Author-Name: Juan Matallin Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Matallin Author-Name: M Angeles Fernandez Author-X-Name-First: M Angeles Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez Title: Determinants of pension plan fees in Spain Abstract: Pension plans and funds represent a substantial part of the welfare systems in both Europe and Spain. One of the most important factors in the choice of a plan or fund is the performance it obtains. In view of the influence that fees have on performance, the objective of this study is to analyse the variables that determine the management and custodial fees of individual pension plans. The Spanish market for pension plans and funds sets legal caps on these fees, and at the same time the majority of them are commercialized and managed by financial institutions, which can in turn generate a conflict of interests. In this article, we estimate models with censured variables and our findings show how the average investment per plan, the legal status and the size of the management company to which the plan belongs, and the style of the plan are all relevant determinants of the management fee. In turn, the custodial fee is determined by the legal status of the custodial company, the size, the return and the type of plan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2153-2168 Issue: 17 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222462 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:17:p:2153-2168 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mita Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Mita Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: Jong-Rong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Market dynamics and dichotomy: evidence from Taiwanese manufacturing Abstract: In Taiwan, a dichotomous market structure is closely related to the progress of economic development. The purpose of the present article is to examine the market dynamics and dichotomous nature of Taiwanese manufacturing. A model of dynamic adjustment of industry structure is considered when both the speed of adjustment and the long-run market concentration are allowed to vary across industries. We use 118 four-digit manufacturing industries for empirical analysis of our models spanning between 1981 and 1991. Empirical findings show that both the speed of adjustment and long-run industry concentration are predominantly determined by minimum efficient scale. The speed of adjustment is much faster in a small open economy like Taiwan compared to mature economies like the US and Australia. In addition, the dichotomous nature of the market is supported in our findings for both periods, viz, 1981-1986 and 1986-1991, albeit weaker for the later period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2169-2179 Issue: 17 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222470 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222470 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:17:p:2169-2179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kang Ernest Liu Author-X-Name-First: Kang Ernest Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: A globally flexible, quadratic almost ideal demand system: an application to demand for meats and fish in Taiwan Abstract: A new demand system, called a globally flexible, quadratic almost ideal demand system (GF-QUAIDS), integrates both the quadratic Engel curve and the Fourier series. This novel GF-QUAIDS model is applied to study the demand for meats and fish in Taiwan. Empirical results show that the GF-QUAIDS fits the data well and that, by using the likelihood ratio test, its nested models are rejected, including the locally flexible functional form and the linear Engel curve. Nevertheless, other empirical model-selection measures indicate that the GF-QUAIDS can be as good as its famous nested models such as the AIDS, QUAIDS and GF-AIDS. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2181-2189 Issue: 17 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701335504 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701335504 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:17:p:2181-2189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean Heck Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Heck Author-Name: Peter Zaleski Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Zaleski Author-Name: Scott Dressler Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Dressler Title: Leading institutional contributors to the elite economic journals Abstract: Given the prestige enjoyed by several economic departments, there is a natural curiosity regarding their contributions to the economic literature. This article, analyses the appearance of all academic institutions worldwide in the eight leading economic journals, the 'Blue Ribbon Eight,' from 1991 to 2005. We cite those institutions who appear the most, and analyse the composition of appearances across all eight journals to assess their degree of diversity. While it is tempting to use these measures as a ranking of institutions, the analysis is meant to be purely an historical appreciation of the contributions of these admirable institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2191-2196 Issue: 17 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701206598 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701206598 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:17:p:2191-2196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felipa de Mello-Sampayo Author-X-Name-First: Felipa Author-X-Name-Last: de Mello-Sampayo Title: Competing-destinations gravity model: an application to the geographic distribution of FDI Abstract: The competing-destinations formulation of the gravity model ensues from the fact that unlike the classical version, this approach explicitly acknowledges the interdependence of the flows between a set of alternative locations, i.e. country-recipients are competing for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). This article examines empirically a range of theoretical hypotheses about the determinants of FDI location in a panel data regression framework. The results of the estimation of a gravity model lend support to the proximity-concentration and internalization hypotheses. Also, the fact that FDI has been found to be decreasing in the competition posed by alternative locations is suggestive of the superiority of the competing-destinations version of the gravity equation over its classical formulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2237-2253 Issue: 17 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765346 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:17:p:2237-2253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luigi Benfratello Author-X-Name-First: Luigi Author-X-Name-Last: Benfratello Author-Name: Massimiliano Piacenza Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Piacenza Author-Name: Stefano Sacchetto Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Sacchetto Title: Taste or reputation: what drives market prices in the wine industry? Estimation of a hedonic model for Italian premium wines Abstract: The aim of this article is to provide new evidence on the factors affecting wine prices on both methodological and factual grounds. On the methodological ground, this study is the first to apply a general Box-Cox transformation within the context of hedonic models which exploit all the variables (objective and sensorial characteristics, reputation) pointed out by previous literature as relevant in driving market prices. On the factual ground, the article fills the lack of empirical evidence on the issue for Italy, one of the leading wine producers, by using a large data set on two premium quality wines (Barolo and Barbaresco) covering the 1995-1998 vintages. Our results support the evidence obtained using data from other countries, showing that sensorial traits, the reputation of wines and producers, as well as objective variables are all important factors influencing the consumers' willingness to pay. More importantly, by resorting to a nonnested statistical test (Vuong, 1989) we compare two alternative specifications (taste vs. reputation) and find that the reputation model significantly outperforms the taste one, whereby suggesting that a greater amount of information on how the wine price is formed is contained in the reputation specification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2197-2209 Issue: 17 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222439 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:17:p:2197-2209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bethany Peters Author-X-Name-First: Bethany Author-X-Name-Last: Peters Title: The drinkers' bonus in the military: officers versus enlisted personnel Abstract: Applied Economics published the first article reporting the findings of drinkers earning more than nondrinkers in 1988. The positive correlation between drinking and higher wages has existed in the economics literature on alcohol consumption for almost two decades. However, a clear explanation for this finding is only beginning to emerge. I use data on male military personnel from the 1985 Worldwide Survey of Alcohol and Nonmedical Drug Use Among Military Personnel to explore a theory of social capital. Specifically, one way individuals can invest in social capital is through drinking in certain settings. Abstainers miss out on opportunities to increase their social capital stock because they forego social interaction that could result in promotion. Some evidence comes from exploring the wage bonus for Officers versus Enlisted. I find the effect of different drinking levels on wages varies with station in the military. Officers who drink between two and 38 drinks per week earn between 2 and 8% more than Officers who abstain. Alternatively, enlisted personnel gain a much smaller bonus from drinking, which is consistent with the ways in which the military differs on Officers and Enlisted promotions, thus supporting evidence for social capital as a wage-enhancing drinking mechanism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2211-2220 Issue: 17 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222447 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:17:p:2211-2220 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Barıs Tekin Author-X-Name-First: R. Barıs Author-X-Name-Last: Tekin Author-Name: M. Ege Yazgan Author-X-Name-First: M. Ege Author-X-Name-Last: Yazgan Title: Exchange rate pass-through in Turkish export and import prices Abstract: This article examines exchange rate pass-through into prices of internationally traded goods in the case of a small emerging open market economy such as Turkey. In this study, we provide empirical evidence on complete pass-through in export prices in Turkey using aggregate data on the manufacturing sector. Our data do not however support complete pass-through in import prices in Turkey. This contradicts with the findings of the existent literature, which typically concludes that the degree of pass-through in import prices is higher than the one of export prices. This can be interpreted as a result of competition between import and import substituting industries where importers fall short of competing successfully with import substituting sectors. Although Turkish importers can be responsive to exchange rate changes to a certain degree in the short-run, in the long-run, they seem to lose their market power perhaps as a result of swift competition. A complete exchange rate pass-through to export prices in Turkey implies that the Turkish manufacturing export sector has the competitive strength to transmit exchange rate movements into their prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2221-2228 Issue: 17 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222454 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:17:p:2221-2228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Fehder Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Fehder Author-Name: Edward Nelling Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Nelling Author-Name: Jeffrey Trester Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Trester Title: Innovation and price: the case of digital cameras Abstract: This study examines a hedonic regression model of digital camera prices using data collected from an internet price comparison service. We find that a small number of product characteristics explains most of the variation in camera prices. In addition, the model demonstrates substantial downward pressure on camera prices during the time period considered. We also examine technological innovation shocks to determine their impact on product prices. We find that the corresponding price reaction exhibits gradual adjustment over time, providing evidence of some degree of anticipation of the innovation, as well as a post-innovation price shock. This study also demonstrates the power of web-based shopping services as a new and novel source of data for econometric analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2229-2236 Issue: 17 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222488 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222488 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:17:p:2229-2236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Connelly Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Connelly Author-Name: Rajeev Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Rati Ram Author-X-Name-First: Rati Author-X-Name-Last: Ram Title: Demand for cigarettes in the United States: effects of prices in bordering states and contiguity with Mexico and Canada Abstract: Based on a cross-section of US states for 2004, this article estimates a demand function for cigarettes after including a proxy for prices in the bordering states and simple proxies for contiguity with Mexico and Canada and for being a major tobacco producer. One major point seems to be that the negative elasticity for within-state price is similar in magnitude to the positive elasticity for the (lowest) price in bordering states. Several additional points also seem noteworthy. First, having a border with Mexico lowers sales in the state sizably. Second, the share of Hispanic/Latino population in the state also lowers sales significantly. Third, contiguity with Canada appears to have no significant effect. Fourth, partial impact of the state being a major tobacco producer appears minor even though consumption in these states is considerably higher. Fifth, education shows the expected negative association with cigarette consumption, but its statistical significance is low. Last, income carries a weak negative parameter, perhaps reflecting the lower prevalence of smoking in higher-income households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2255-2260 Issue: 18 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222637 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222637 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:18:p:2255-2260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marina Della Giusta Author-X-Name-First: Marina Author-X-Name-Last: Della Giusta Author-Name: Maria Laura Di Tommaso Author-X-Name-First: Maria Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Di Tommaso Author-Name: Isilda Shima Author-X-Name-First: Isilda Author-X-Name-Last: Shima Author-Name: Steinar Strøm Author-X-Name-First: Steinar Author-X-Name-Last: Strøm Title: What money buys: clients of street sex workers in the US Abstract: The article presents a review of current theoretical and empirical approaches to sex work, followed by the presentation of an original theoretical framework (Della Giusta et al., 2006), which is tested with an econometric model of the characteristics of demand for sex services by a sample of clients of street sex workers in the US. We present findings in relation to stigma and the relationship between paid and unpaid sex that corroborate our model's hypotheses and are in line with findings from other empirical studies. Furthermore, we identify in our sample two diametrically opposite profiles: one for clients whom we label 'experimenters', and one for more experienced ones that we name 'regulars', we also estimate attitudes toward risk, and draw implications in terms of both policy and future theoretical and empirical research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2261-2277 Issue: 18 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222561 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:18:p:2261-2277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Judith Clarke Author-X-Name-First: Judith Author-X-Name-Last: Clarke Author-Name: Nilanjana Roy Author-X-Name-First: Nilanjana Author-X-Name-Last: Roy Author-Name: Marsha Courchane Author-X-Name-First: Marsha Author-X-Name-Last: Courchane Title: On the robustness of racial discrimination findings in mortgage lending studies Abstract: That mortgage lenders have complex underwriting standards, often differing legitimately from one lender to another, implies that any statistical model estimated to approximate these standards, for use in fair lending determinations, must be misspecified. Exploration of the sensitivity of disparate treatment findings from such statistical models is, thus, imperative. We contribute to this goal. This article examines whether the conclusions from several bank-specific studies, undertaken by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, are robust to changes in the link function adopted to model the probability of loan approval and to the approach used to approximate the finite sample null distribution for the disparate treatment hypothesis test. Our evidence, of discrimination findings that are reasonably robust to the range of examined link functions, suggests that regulators and researchers can be reasonably comfortable with their current use of the logit link. Based on several features of our results, we advocate regular use of a resampling method to determine p-values. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2279-2297 Issue: 18 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222579 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222579 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:18:p:2279-2297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Author-Name: Henrique Cesar Tupper Author-X-Name-First: Henrique Cesar Author-X-Name-Last: Tupper Title: Service quality in Brazilian mobile telephony: an efficiency frontier analysis Abstract: The mobile telephony sector is characterized by the dynamic interplay of rapid changes in technology and an apparently growing competition, as indicated by the fierce nonprice competition, and is yet associated with the entry of new operating companies in some cases. In this context, a relevant and neglected issue is the assessment of how service quality responded to an increasingly competitive environment. This study utilizes data envelopment analysis to assess the quality efficiency of mobile telephony companies in Brazil during the 2000-2003 period. Window analysis was conducted for the entire period, taking as reference different quality indicators pertaining to different forms of complaints and calls completed and interrupted. The efficiency measurement was made feasible by interpreting the indicators reflecting a positive dimension of quality as outputs and those reflecting negative aspects of quality as inputs. Given potential heterogeneities across firms that relate to the frequency band and to the technology (time division multiple access technology and code division multiple access technology among others), this article considered adjusted efficiency scores. The Tobit model for censored data was estimated to control for the aforementioned aspects. Rescaled residuals from the econometric estimation produced efficiency scores for service quality. The evidence indicated an overall improvement in efficiency over time. Nonparametric tests were consistent with a positive evolution of quality over time even for shorter subperiods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2299-2307 Issue: 18 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222595 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222595 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:18:p:2299-2307 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marianna Brunetti Author-X-Name-First: Marianna Author-X-Name-Last: Brunetti Author-Name: Costanza Torricelli Author-X-Name-First: Costanza Author-X-Name-Last: Torricelli Title: Economic activity and recession probabilities: information content and predictive power of the term spread in Italy Abstract: The aim of the present article is to examine the information content of the Italian term spread as for real economic growth rates and recession probabilities and to test its predictive power in forecasting regime probabilities. To this end the relationship between the term spread and economic growth rates is modelled as a nonlinear one and specifically the Logistic Smooth Transition model is used, while a probit model is implemented to forecast recession probabilities. Specific to this article is the use of the OECD business cycle chronology, which was never used before to this end for the Italian case. Overall evidence supports the informative content of the spread in Italy over the whole period (1984-2005) although results are more satisfactory as from 1992. In particular, recession forecasts are generally better than those obtained with other chronologies previously adopted for the Italian case (ISAE and ECRI). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2309-2322 Issue: 18 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222512 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222512 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:18:p:2309-2322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Teresa Serra Author-X-Name-First: Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Serra Author-Name: David Zilberman Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Zilberman Author-Name: Jose Gil Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Author-Name: Allen Featherstone Author-X-Name-First: Allen Author-X-Name-Last: Featherstone Title: The effects of decoupling on land allocation Abstract: The purpose of this article is to study the impact of agricultural policy decoupling on land allocation decisions. Our analysis contributes to the literature by formally assessing the effects of decoupling on farms' crop mix and on the decision to set land aside. The analysis is undertaken within the framework of the model of production under uncertainty developed by Just and Zilberman (1986). Our empirical application focuses on a sample of Kansas farms observed from 1998 to 2001. Results show that US agricultural policy decoupling has resulted in a shift in land use away from program crops towards nonprogram commodities offering higher expected profits and idle land. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2323-2333 Issue: 18 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222520 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222520 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:18:p:2323-2333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Bivin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bivin Author-Name: Brad Humphreys Author-X-Name-First: Brad Author-X-Name-Last: Humphreys Title: Accounting for output fluctuations in manufacturing Abstract: There is a substantial body of evidence to the effect that output is more volatile than sales among manufacturing industries. Numerous explanations have been advanced to account for this excess output volatility. Some examples are pro-cyclical inventory movements induced by a stockout-avoidance motive, cost and technology shocks and decreasing marginal costs. This article assesses the contribution of these different motives to output volatility for six different manufacturing industries. Linear-quadratic models are estimated for each of the industries and then dynamic simulations are employed to determine the volatility of output when one or more of the factors are removed from the model. Technology shocks provide the most significant contribution to output volatility. The stockout-avoidance motive is also important. Cost shocks provide a very small contribution and marginal production costs are increasing at the margin and thus stabilize output. It is also shown that output volatility declines when current values of sales and material costs are assumed known rather than forecasted from prior periods' values. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2335-2352 Issue: 18 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222538 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222538 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:18:p:2335-2352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Catarina Figueira Author-X-Name-First: Catarina Author-X-Name-Last: Figueira Author-Name: Joseph Nellis Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Nellis Author-Name: David Parker Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Parker Title: The effects of ownership on bank efficiency in Latin America Abstract: In recent years many countries have privatised their state-owned banks and encouraged foreign investment. This article investigates the roles of state and private ownership and foreign and domestic ownership on the performance of banks across Latin America. Using a range of financial and economic ratios, data envelopment analysis (DEA) and regression modelling, the study reveals that by 2001 there was surprisingly little difference in performance between state-owned and privately-owned banks and between foreign and domestically-owned banks. The study also reports significantly different levels of bank performance in different Latin American countries, suggesting that country differences outweighed ownership differences in explaining performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2353-2368 Issue: 18 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222546 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222546 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:18:p:2353-2368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre-Guillaume Meon Author-X-Name-First: Pierre-Guillaume Author-X-Name-Last: Meon Title: Voting and turning out for monetary integration: the case of the French referendum on the Maastricht treaty Abstract: This article analyses the voting and abstention patterns in French departments in the 1992 referendum on the Maastricht treaty, in light of the potential impact of monetary union. We observe that departmental characteristics implying either greater benefits or lower costs from monetary union are significantly correlated with the approval rate. This supports the view that the voting behaviour of individual agents depended on their self-interest. The impact of economic characteristics on the abstention rate is less clear. Indeed, the variable that is most significantly correlated with abstention in the referendum is average abstention in other elections. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2369-2384 Issue: 18 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222504 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222504 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:18:p:2369-2384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: The applied economics of employment: introduction and overview Abstract: We provide an introduction and overview to the 10 applied studies making up this themed issue on employment. The studies cover a wide range of national and regional experience and employ a variety of applied techniques. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2385-2387 Issue: 19 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903119342 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903119342 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:19:p:2385-2387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Horst Feldmann Author-X-Name-First: Horst Author-X-Name-Last: Feldmann Title: The effects of hiring and firing regulation on unemployment and employment: evidence based on survey data Abstract: We use the results of surveys among senior business executives to measure the strictness of hiring and firing regulations. The survey data are more likely than objective indicators (used in almost all previous studies) to correctly capture the de facto strictness of these regulations and their relevance to the performance of the labour market. Using data from 19 industrial countries for the period 1992 to 2002, we find that more flexible regulations are likely to lower unemployment and to increase employment rates. While the effects on the general population appear to be modest, the effects on female, young and low-skilled workers seem to be substantial. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2389-2401 Issue: 19 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736131 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736131 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:19:p:2389-2401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Collender Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Collender Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Banking structure and employment growth Abstract: Recent studies have documented an association between financial structure and per capita income growth. The relationship between financial structure and job growth, by contrast, is an unexplored issue of independent interest. Here we find that US nonmetropolitan employment grew faster in 1973-1996 where there were fewer locally owned bank offices and a more concentrated initial banking market structure; these linkages were less stable in metropolitan areas. In addition, controlling for employment growth does not undermine the empirical linkage between initial bank structure and subsequent per capita income growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2403-2417 Issue: 19 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801998607 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801998607 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:19:p:2403-2417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Per Engstrom Author-X-Name-First: Per Author-X-Name-Last: Engstrom Author-Name: Bertil Holmlund Author-X-Name-First: Bertil Author-X-Name-Last: Holmlund Title: Tax evasion and self-employment in a high-tax country: evidence from Sweden Abstract: Self-employed individuals have arguably greater opportunities than wage earners to underreport their incomes. This article uses recent Swedish income and expenditure data to examine the extent of underreporting of income among self-employed individuals. A key hypothesis is that underreporting of incomes among the self-employed would be visible in the data as 'excess food consumption', for a given level of observed income. Our results confirm the underreporting hypothesis. In particular, we estimate that households with at least one self-employed member underreport their total incomes by around 30%. Under-reporting appears to be much more prevalent among self-employed people with unincorporated businesses as among those with incorporated businesses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2419-2430 Issue: 19 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765452 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765452 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:19:p:2419-2430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yao-Tung Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yao-Tung Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Market integration between developing countries and urban unemployment-the perspective of the real minimum wage Abstract: This article examines the effect of market integration through free trade and factor mobility on the urban unemployment rate of a developing country whose economy is large enough to influence the terms of trade. From the perspective of the real minimum wage, it is shown that free trade would result in a rise or a decline in the country's urban unemployment rate, depending on its trade pattern. While the effect of labour mobility on a country's urban unemployment rate is determined by the difference between the ratio of would-be farmers to incoming workers and that of farm leavers to outgoing workers, the result of capital mobility will depend on a comparison of the initial urban unemployment rates of two countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2431-2447 Issue: 19 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964740 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964740 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:19:p:2431-2447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mika Haapanen Author-X-Name-First: Mika Author-X-Name-Last: Haapanen Author-Name: Hannu Tervo Author-X-Name-First: Hannu Author-X-Name-Last: Tervo Title: Self-employment duration in urban and rural locations Abstract: Previous research has shown that the local environment is important for self-employment. The dynamics of self-employment varies between areas characterized by different labour market conditions, entrepreneurial traditions and other structural factors. This article analyses self-employment spells in Finland with a large register-based data set from the period 1987 to 2002. The main aim is to investigate the role of region-specific factors as compared with individual-specific and other factors on the duration of self-employment spells. First, the descriptive analysis shows that the exit rates from self-employment and the length of self-employment spells depend upon location (urban versus rural area) and the cyclical trends in the economy. Second, self-employment duration is modelled using discrete time survival analysis. It is found that rural areas have significantly lower exit rates in the first years of self-employment than urban areas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2449-2461 Issue: 19 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360278 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360278 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:19:p:2449-2461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Shannon Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Shannon Title: Canadian lone mother employment rates, policy change and the US welfare reform literature Abstract: The article examines the rise in Canadian lone mother employment rates during the 1990s using data from the Canadian Labour Force Survey and methods borrowed from the United States welfare reform literature. Patterns of lone mother employment rate increases in Canada are found to be similar to those in the United States. Income support policies in both countries changed in similar directions and in both cases increased the incentive to work. Despite these parallel changes it appears that, unlike the United States, policy reforms account for only a small part of the rise in Canadian lone mother employment rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2463-2481 Issue: 19 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360294 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360294 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:19:p:2463-2481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Candelon Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Candelon Author-Name: A. Dupuy Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Dupuy Author-Name: L. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: The nature of occupational unemployment rates in the United States: hysteresis or structural? Abstract: This article provides new evidence on the nature of occupational differences in unemployment dynamics, which is relevant for the debate between the structural or hysteresis hypotheses. We develop a procedure that permits us to test for the presence of a structural break at unknown date. Our approach allows the investigation of a broader range of persistence than the 0/1 paradigm about the order of integration, usually implemented for testing the hypothesis of hysteresis in occupational unemployment. In almost all occupations, we find support for both the structuralist and the hysteresis hypotheses, but stress the importance of estimating the degree of persistence of seasonal shocks along with the degree of long-run persistence on raw data without applying seasonal filters. Indeed hysteresis appears to be underestimated when data are initially adjusted using traditional seasonal filters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2483-2493 Issue: 19 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802584950 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802584950 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:19:p:2483-2493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andy Chung Author-X-Name-First: Andy Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Gender difference in suicide, household production and unemployment Abstract: This article aims to explain why men's suicide rate is generally higher than women's and why the former tends to fluctuate with unemployment. Adopting Hamermesh and Soss's suicide model (1974), with a two-period household production model, I argue that (1) the gender gap in suicide rate increases with the unemployment rate, because unemployed men suffer a larger 'human capital loss', due to the division of labour within their household and (2) men's suicide rate is generally higher than women's because of the shorter expected life of the former. Both international and US evidences support this hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2495-2504 Issue: 19 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599446 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:19:p:2495-2504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shu-hen Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Shu-hen Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Title: The effects of regional diversity on national unemployment through inter-regional migration: new evidence from Taiwan Abstract: The relationship between diversity and unemployment has long been an important issue for regional scientists. This article applies quarterly data for four regions in Taiwan during the 1981-2004 period and the empirical results indicate that regional diversity can reduce the national unemployment rate, and this is solid support for the hypothesis of inter-regional migration. To further evaluate this, the interactions among regional unemployment rates are tested using the seemingly unrelated regression estimation approach, where the negative correlations of the regional residuals show that inter-regional migration is indeed an important common factor among regions. An isolated regional labour market with the highest unemployment rate in Taiwan re-confirms that inter-regional migration plays a critical role in lowering national unemployment. In sum, regional diversity can induce migration, which then reduces national unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2505-2511 Issue: 19 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736149 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736149 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:19:p:2505-2511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Rute Cardoso Author-X-Name-First: Ana Rute Author-X-Name-Last: Cardoso Author-Name: Priscila Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Priscila Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Title: The dynamics of job creation and destruction for university graduates: why a rising unemployment rate can be misleading Abstract: A large matched employer-employee data set on the Portuguese economy is used to analyse gross job creation and job destruction for university graduates, compared to other groups of workers. Standard measures of gross job flows are computed, and variance decomposition is used to check whether idiosyncratic shocks or aggregate and sectoral shocks can account for the time variation in gross job flows, for schooling groups separately. Results indicate that the market for university graduates has expanded much more than that for undergraduates, and that idiosyncratic shocks are more relevant driving job flows for university graduates than for nongraduates. No support is therefore found for the pessimistic view that states that the expansion of higher education may have gone too far. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2513-2521 Issue: 19 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802293339 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802293339 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:19:p:2513-2521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Ali Kutan Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Kutan Title: The J-curve in the emerging economies of Eastern Europe Abstract: Devaluation or depreciation of a currency worsens the trade balance before improving it, resulting in a J-curve pattern. A new definition of the hypothesis implies a short-run deterioration combined with the long-run improvement. By using monthly data over the January 1990-June 2005 period from 11 east European emerging economies, most of which are the new European Union (EU) members or the EU candidate countries, this article uses the bounds testing approach to cointegration and error-correction modelling and finds empirical support for the J-curve hypothesis in three countries of Bulgaria, Croatia and Russia. The results have important implications for policymakers involved in economics in terms of using exchange rate policy as a policy device to achieve real convergence toward EU standards. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2523-2532 Issue: 20 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701235696 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701235696 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:20:p:2523-2532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Bastida Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Bastida Author-Name: Gokce Soydemir Author-X-Name-First: Gokce Author-X-Name-Last: Soydemir Title: Obesity and employment as predictors of diabetes in Mexican Americans: findings from a longitudinal study Abstract: This article examines changes in weight loss and employment on the incidence and management of diabetes over an eight-year period. Using data from three panel waves of the Border Epidemiologic Study on Aging, collected between 1995 and 2003, estimation results from a set of logit regression models reveal that obese individuals, who lose weight over an eight-year period, are less likely to be diagnosed with diabetes than those who remain obese in waves two and three. Moreover, employment, an important covariate in all three waves, is associated with the lower likelihood of being diagnosed with diabetes. In all, results confirm findings from cross-sectional data that point to overweight and obesity as important predictors of diabetes and further support public policy efforts that aim at controlling the rising incidence of diabetes through tailored interventions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2533-2540 Issue: 20 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701335629 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701335629 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:20:p:2533-2540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Veeramani Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Veeramani Title: Trade barriers, multinational involvement and intra-industry trade: panel data evidence from India Abstract: The article analyses the effects of trade barriers and multinationals on the intensity of intra-industry trade (IIT) in a panel of Indian manufacturing industries from 1988 to 1999. We find that the intensity of IIT increases with the reduction of trade barriers. This is expected as greater competition from imports leads individual plants in the domestic industry to specialize in the manufacturing of unique varieties. The analysis suggests that horizontal (market seeking) multinational activities in the domestic industries exert a negative influence on IIT. This is consistent with the view that horizontal multinationals displace exports to the host country. At the same time, our results indicate that IIT will be stimulated to the extent that the entry of multinationals induces intra-industry specialization. We also analyse the role of product differentiation and plant level scale economies in determining IIT. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2541-2553 Issue: 20 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701235688 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701235688 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:20:p:2541-2553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Growitsch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Growitsch Author-Name: Tooraj Jamasb Author-X-Name-First: Tooraj Author-X-Name-Last: Jamasb Author-Name: Michael Pollitt Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pollitt Title: Quality of service, efficiency and scale in network industries: an analysis of European electricity distribution Abstract: Quality of service (QoS) is of major economic significance in natural monopoly infrastructure industries. In this article, we present an efficiency analysis of electricity distribution networks from seven European countries. We apply the stochastic frontier analysis method to multi-output translog input distance function models to estimate cost efficiency and scale economies. We show that introducing the quality dimension into the analysis affects estimated efficiency significantly, especially that smaller utilities' efficiency seems to decrease. Our results emphasize that QoS should be an integrated part of efficiency and economic analysis of regulated natural monopolies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2555-2570 Issue: 20 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701262872 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701262872 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:20:p:2555-2570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Matesanz Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Matesanz Author-Name: Guadalupe Fugarolas Author-X-Name-First: Guadalupe Author-X-Name-Last: Fugarolas Title: Exchange rate policy and trade balance: a cointegration analysis of the Argentine experience since 1962 Abstract: Using multivariate cointegration tests for nonstationary data and vector error correction models, this article examines the determinants of trade balance (TB) for Argentina over the last forty to fifty years taking into account that the short-run impacts of currency depreciation on the TB behaviour may differ from the long-run effects. Our investigation confirms the existence of long-run relationships among TB, real exchange rate (RER) and foreign and domestic incomes for Argentina during different RER management policies. Based on the estimations, the Marshall-Lerner condition is checked and, by means of impulse response functions, we trace the effect of a one-time shock to the RER on the TB not finding support for a J-curve pattern in the short-run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2571-2582 Issue: 20 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222660 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222660 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:20:p:2571-2582 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Arranz Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Arranz Author-Name: Ana Gil Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Title: Traffic accidents, deaths and alcohol consumption Abstract: The main goal of this article is to analyse the relationship existing among prices of alcoholic beverages, alcohol consumption and traffic fatalities for the Spanish Autonomous Communities during the time interval 1998 to 2002. Among the main results, we highlight a positive correlation between alcohol consumption and traffic mortality rate. Basically, governments implement two kinds of policies to reduce the traffic mortality rate. One is oriented to control the supply of alcohol by increasing alcohol taxes. The other is oriented to preserve traffic security, increasing the number of sanctions for traffic rule infraction. We find evidence that both policies exert a positive influence in the reduction of traffic fatalities. There is no empirical evidence to indicate that being a novice driver increases the tendency to be involved in a mortal traffic accident. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2583-2595 Issue: 20 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222652 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222652 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:20:p:2583-2595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Ozlem Onder Author-X-Name-First: A. Ozlem Author-X-Name-Last: Onder Title: The stability of the Turkish Phillips curve and alternative regime shifting models Abstract: This article, presents empirical evidence supporting instability of the Phillips curve in Turkey. We employ the multiple structural break models and the Markov-switching models and then evaluate the performance of the two models. The data pertain to the monthly inflation rate in Turkey for the period of 1987 to 2004. The results show that the Turkish Phillips curve is not linear. There exists no evidence on the asymmetry in the inflation response to output gap. The persistence of inflation is found to be much lower than in linear models. After 2001, slight decline in persistence of inflation is observed. There exits weaker support for the Phillips curve for the periods where the policymakers attempt to take the advantage of the tradeoff between output and inflation relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2597-2604 Issue: 20 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222645 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:20:p:2597-2604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyojik Song Author-X-Name-First: Kyojik Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Does debt market timing increase firm value? Abstract: Survey evidence indicates that firm managers try to time debt markets when choosing the maturity of new debt issues, but we do not know whether these strategies increase firm value. This research examines differences in value across nontimers and timers, where timers are defined as firms that follow either a naive strategy of choosing long-term debt when the term premium is low or a strategy from Baker et al. (2003) based on the predictability of future excess bond returns. After controlling for various determinants of firm value, the research finds no differences in value across timers and nontimers. It also documents that the timing strategies do not increase firm value and do not affect announcement effects of long-term debt offerings. The results suggest that corporate debt markets are efficient and well integrated with equity markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2605-2617 Issue: 20 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222629 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222629 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:20:p:2605-2617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Ulas Mısırlı Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Ulas Mısırlı Author-Name: C. Emre Alper Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Emre Alper Title: Drivers of expected returns in Istanbul stock exchange: Fama-French factors and coskewness Abstract: We investigate the impact of coskewness on the variation of portfolio excess returns in Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) over the period July 1999 to December 2005. We form portfolios according to size, industry, size and book-to-market ratio, momentum and coskewness and compare alternative asset pricing models. The traditional capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and the three-factor model of Fama and French are tested in the multivariate testing procedure of Gibbons-Ross-Shanken (1989). Coskewness is introduced as a fourth factor and its incremental effect over CAPM and Fama-French factors is examined both in multivariate tests and in cross-sectional regressions. The findings reveal that coskewness is able to explain the size premium in ISE. Hence, the basic two-moment CAPM without the coskewness factor would underestimate the expected return of size portfolios. Multivariate test results indicate that coskewness reduces the pricing bias, albeit insignificantly. Cross-sectional analysis uncovers that coskewness has a significant additional explanatory power over CAPM, especially for size and industry portfolios. However, coskewness does not have a significant incremental explanatory power over Fama-French factors in ISE. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2619-2633 Issue: 20 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222611 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222611 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:20:p:2619-2633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Angel Jimenez-Martin Author-X-Name-First: Juan Angel Author-X-Name-Last: Jimenez-Martin Author-Name: Rafael Flores de Frutos Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Flores de Author-X-Name-Last: Frutos Title: Seasonal fluctuations and equilibrium models of exchange rate Abstract: Most of the evidence on dynamic equilibrium exchange rate models is based on seasonally adjusted consumption data. Equilibrium models have not worked well in explaining the actual exchange rate. However, the use of seasonally adjusted data might be responsible for the spurious rejection of the model. This article presents a new equilibrium model for the exchange rates that incorporates seasonal preferences. The fit of the model to the data is evaluated for five industrialized countries using seasonally unadjusted data. Our findings indicate that a model with seasonal preferences can generate monthly time series of the exchange rate without seasonality even when the variables that theoretically determine the exchange rate show clear seasonal behaviours. Further, the model can generate theoretical exchange rates with the same order of integration than actual exchange rates, and in some cases, with the same stochastic trend. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2635-2652 Issue: 20 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701222603 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701222603 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:20:p:2635-2652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kuniyoshi Saito Author-X-Name-First: Kuniyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Saito Title: Does asymmetric information matter in the early insurance market? Evidence from the auto insurance market Abstract: In the late 1960s, the performance of automobile insurance declined dramatically in Japan in spite of rapid growth in the diffusion rate, and the premiums were sharply raised several times in order to improve the situation. This observation indicates the possible presence of adverse selection (death spiral), and provides an ideal situation for assessing informational asymmetry. Using bodily injury liability (BIL) insurance data from 46 Japanese prefectures over the period 1966 to 1975, this article tests two hypotheses of adverse selection: (i) high-risk drivers were more likely to join the BIL insurance market and (ii) sharp premium increases drove low-risk policyholders away. Various empirical analyses show that there is little evidence for either type of adverse selection. We also test whether a risk-misperception hypothesis can explain our results, and find some evidence that the population density have a significantly positive impact on the demand for BIL insurance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2653-2666 Issue: 21 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701335546 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701335546 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:21:p:2653-2666 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel V. Montes Rojas Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel V. Author-X-Name-Last: Montes Rojas Author-Name: Lucas Siga Author-X-Name-First: Lucas Author-X-Name-Last: Siga Title: On the nature of micro-entrepreneurship: evidence from Argentina Abstract: We analyse the nature of micro-entrepreneurship in Argentina. We focus on whether the sector resembles its counterpart in industrialized countries, characterized by the risk-taking nature of the entrepreneurial activity, or if it is the result of labour market distortions and disguised unemployment, as in the dual economy hypothesis. Our results suggest a segmentation of the micro-entrepreneur sector. Both young uneducated and middle aged highly educated salaried workers have the highest likelihood of becoming entrepreneurs. However, the first segment has a high probability of becoming own-account workers, while the probability of becoming micro-entrepreneurs with employees is strictly increasing in both age and education. Moreover, the probability of entrepreneur failure (as measured by the transition to the salaried sector) has an inverted U shape, implying that both high and low skill individuals are more likely to remain entrepreneurs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2667-2680 Issue: 21 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701335553 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701335553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:21:p:2667-2680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Tabak Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Tabak Title: Testing the expectations hypothesis in the Brazilian term structure of interest rates: a cointegration analysis Abstract: In this article the expectations hypothesis (EH) is tested using cointegration techniques, for maturities ranging from 1 to 12 months, for the Brazilian market. We found evidence suggesting that, for the period 1995-2006, the cointegration implication generally seems to hold. We also found strong evidence supporting causality from short to long rates and also in the opposite direction. Empirical evidence supports the expectations theory of the term structure of interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2681-2689 Issue: 21 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701335579 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701335579 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:21:p:2681-2689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Bellak Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Bellak Author-Name: Markus Leibrecht Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Leibrecht Title: Do low corporate income tax rates attract FDI? - Evidence from Central- and East European countries Abstract: Fifty six bilateral country relationships combining 7 home countries from the EU and the US, and 8 Central and East European host countries (CEECs) of foreign direct investment (FDI) from 1995-2003 are used in a panel gravity-model setting to estimate the role of taxation as a determinant of FDI. While gravity variables explain most of the variation of FDI inflows, the bilateral effective average tax rate (beatr) is roughly equally important to other cost-related factors. The semi-elasticity of FDI with respect to taxes is about -4.3. This value is above those of earlier studies in absolute terms and can partly be attributed to using the beatr instead of the statutory tax rate. Our results indicate that tax-lowering strategies of CEEC governments seem to have an important impact on foreign firms location decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2691-2703 Issue: 21 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701320217 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701320217 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:21:p:2691-2703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suchin Virabhak Author-X-Name-First: Suchin Author-X-Name-Last: Virabhak Author-Name: Wook Sohn Author-X-Name-First: Wook Author-X-Name-Last: Sohn Title: The impact of Medicaid's preferred drug lists on physicians' prescribing behaviour Abstract: This article examines Medicaid preferred drug lists (PDLs), a cost-containment tool that designates specific drugs for use by Medicaid beneficiaries. We develop an empirical model to measure the direct and spillover effects of Medicaid PDL across Medicaid, cash and third-party payer markets; and apply product level panel data to the cardiovascular market in Illinois and Louisiana. We find a significant decrease in post-PDL Medicaid prescription shares of drugs excluded from the PDL. Spillovers onto third parties and the cash market are also statistically significant. Moreover, a more restrictive prior authorization procedure has a greater impact on prescription shares. There is evidence of gradual adjustment in prescription shares. Lastly, the impact of PDLs is stronger among physicians with a higher share of Medicaid prescriptions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2705-2725 Issue: 21 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701320209 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701320209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:21:p:2705-2725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chang-Chiang Chin Author-X-Name-First: Chang-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Chin Author-Name: Huei-Mei Liang Author-X-Name-First: Huei-Mei Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Title: The long-run uncovered interest rate parity in view of a trading strategy Abstract: Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) states that bonds in different denomination should produce the same returns if the maturities of the bonds are the same. Given this, if a foreign bond produces a lower holding period return than a home bond of the same maturity, for their remaining lives the same foreign bond ought to produce a return higher than the home bond. A test is designed according to this relationship. With 1 to 6 year interest rate data of U.S., Britain and Germany from 1979 to 2005, our test shows that this relationship is more reliable for 6-year interest rates than the shorter rates in general. This result lends support to the long-run UIP. A trading strategy is developed by utilizing this idea. We show that positive returns can be achieved by the strategy for bonds of longer horizons. This result also serves as indirect evidence of the long-run UIP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2727-2739 Issue: 21 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701320225 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701320225 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:21:p:2727-2739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salih Katircioglu Author-X-Name-First: Salih Author-X-Name-Last: Katircioglu Title: Tourism, trade and growth: the case of Cyprus Abstract: Although the relationship between international trade and economic growth has found a wide application area in the literature over the years, this can not be said about tourism and growth or trade and tourism. This study employs the bounds test for cointegration and Granger causality tests to investigate a long-run equilibrium relationship between tourism, trade and real income growth, and the direction of causality among themselves for Cyprus. Results reveal that tourism, trade and real income growth are cointegrated; thus, a long-run equilibrium relationship can be inferred between these three variables. On the other hand, Granger causality test results suggest that real income growth stimulates growth in international trade (both exports and imports) and international tourist arrivals to the island. Furthermore, growth in international trade (both exports and imports) also stimulates an increase in international tourist arrivals to Cyprus. And finally, real import growth stimulate growth in real exports in the case of Cyprus. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2741-2750 Issue: 21 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701335512 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701335512 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:21:p:2741-2750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhongmin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Zhongmin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Author-Name: Yu Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Multiple job holding in the United Kingdom: evidence from the British Household Panel Survey Abstract: This article examines the determinants of multiple job holding in the UK. We address these issues using data from the first 11 waves of the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS), which covered the period from 1991 to 2001. Evidence from the BHPS does not support the hypotheses of main job hours constrained and main job insecurity. We argue that the incentive for moonlighting in the UK is due to financial pressures and the desire for heterogeneous jobs. The empirical work is carried out separately for men and women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2751-2766 Issue: 21 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701335520 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701335520 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:21:p:2751-2766 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdul Razack Author-X-Name-First: Abdul Author-X-Name-Last: Razack Author-Name: Stephen Devadoss Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Devadoss Author-Name: David Holland Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Holland Title: A general equilibrium analysis of production subsidy in a Harris-Todaro developing economy: an application to India Abstract: Since 1950s India has advocated import substituting industrialization policies to promote its manufacturing sector. The end result was creation of a dual economy: highly favored manufacturing sector with high and rigid wages and neglected agricultural sector with low wages and poverty. Because of the higher wages in the manufacturing sector, the rural laborers migrate to the urban sector, a typical characteristic of the Harris-Todaro developing economy. Realizing this crisis, the Indian government recently initiated policies to boost agricultural production to curb the labor migration and improve the welfare of the rural population. In this study, we develop a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model for India by incorporating Harris-Todaro economic characteristics of unemployment, labor migration, farm dependant population, and labor-intensive agriculture. We use the model to analyze the effects of agricultural production subsidy policies on employment, factor price, output price, output levels, and welfare in agricultural and manufacturing sectors. Our findings show that agricultural production subsidy increases agricultural production, reduces unemployment, raises the wage rate in the agriculture sector, augments the consumption among the rural and urban households, and increases the rental rate for capital in agricultural sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2767-2777 Issue: 21 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701335561 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701335561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:21:p:2767-2777 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Author-Name: John Mangan Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Mangan Title: Home is where the hurt is: an econometric analysis of injuries caused by spousal assault Abstract: Using data on injuries presenting at the emergency departments of participating hospitals in the Australian state of Queensland we examine the nature of injuries resulting from spousal assault and compare them to injuries from nonspousal assault and accidental injuries. We ask: who are the persons most vulnerable to spousal assault?, Are spousal assault injuries more (or less) severe than injuries from nonspousal assault and accidental injuries? Do the recorded figures for assault injuries on women understate the true number of assault injuries, and if so, by how much? 'But for my bonny Kate, she must with me. I will be master of what is mine own. She is my goods, my chattels' (Taming of the Shrew). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2779-2787 Issue: 21 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701335637 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701335637 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:21:p:2779-2787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: The applied economics of transport: introduction and overview Abstract: We provide an introduction and overview to the nine applied studies making up this special theme on transport. The studies cover a wide range of national and regional experience and employ a variety of applied techniques. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2789-2791 Issue: 22 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903283379 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903283379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:22:p:2789-2791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sigbjørn Sødal Author-X-Name-First: Sigbjørn Author-X-Name-Last: Sødal Author-Name: Steen Koekebakker Author-X-Name-First: Steen Author-X-Name-Last: Koekebakker Author-Name: Roar Adland Author-X-Name-First: Roar Author-X-Name-Last: Adland Title: Value based trading of real assets in shipping under stochastic freight rates Abstract: The article uses a real options valuation model with stochastic freight rates to investigate market efficiency and the economics of switching between the dry bulk and the tanker markets in international shipping. A dry bulk carrier is replaced with a tanker when the expected net present value of such a switch is optimal from a real options based decision rule. Depending on the development of the markets a reversal may take place later. The cost and demand parameters upon which the decisions to switch are made, including the stochastic characteristics of freight rates, are estimated from an empirical analysis that is updated every week throughout a 12-year time period from 1993 to 2005. The second-hand market for bulk ships seems to have been efficient most of these years in the sense that market switching usually did not pay off, with one major exception: it seemed profitable in expectation to leave the dry bulk market and enter the tanker market over a significant period of time shortly after the millennium shift, and to return to the dry bulk market about three years later. These points in time corresponded with an unprecedented boom period in the tanker and dry bulk freight markets, respectively, and the result suggest that agents in the second-hand market were slow to adjust their expectations. In retrospect, such an investment policy also happened to be profitable compared to staying put in the tanker market, even after accounting for transaction costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2793-2807 Issue: 22 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720853 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:22:p:2793-2807 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Schulze Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Schulze Author-Name: Alexander Prinz Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Prinz Title: Forecasting container transshipment in Germany Abstract: In this article, we examine container transshipment at German ports using the Seasonal Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model and the Holt-Winters exponential smoothing approach. Our models are designed especially to take account of the seasonal behaviour of the quarterly data used. We consider the dynamic development in this sector for the whole container throughput and also the destinations Asia, Europe and North America, which are the world's three main economic regions. Our data runs from the first quarter of 1989 to the fourth quarter of 2006. We provide detailed quarterly forecasts for the years 2007 and 2008. According to forecasting error measures such as mean square error and Theil's U, the SARIMA-approach yields slightly better values of modelling the container throughput than the exponential smoothing approach. Our forecast results indicate further strong growth for German container handling in total and especially for the destinations Asia and Europe. Only the container transshipment between Germany and North America shows rather small increases up to the end of 2008. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2809-2815 Issue: 22 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802260932 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802260932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:22:p:2809-2815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chen-Hsiu Laih Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Hsiu Author-X-Name-Last: Laih Author-Name: Kuan-Yu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Kuan-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Economics on the optimal port queuing pricing to bulk ships Abstract: This article develops the optimal single step toll scheme which is levied to bulk ships for a queuing port. Bulk ships' arrival times at the port will be rationally dispersed after pricing this toll scheme. Consequently, the queuing time at the anchorage to all bulk ships will be rationally decreased. This article shows bulk ships' equilibrium arrival rate distributions during the queuing period before and after establishing the optimal single step toll scheme. This article also shows bulk ship owners' decisions of arrival time adjustments under the optimal single step toll scheme. Based on these results, we find some bulk ships that paid no toll under the optimal single step toll scheme to maintain the same arrival times at the anchorage as they did in the original nontoll equilibrium situation. New arrival times at the anchorage for other bulk ships that paid the toll are postponed when compared with their original arrival times in the nontoll equilibrium situation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2817-2825 Issue: 22 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736156 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736156 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:22:p:2817-2825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Couto Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Couto Author-Name: Daniel Graham Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Graham Title: The determinants of efficiency and productivity in European railways Abstract: This article evaluates the economic performance of European railways over the period 1972 to 1999. The cost structure of the railway industry is analysed using a stochastic frontier approach estimated within the framework of a translog cost system. The results confirm that European railways experience significant cost increases due to inefficient behaviour. In contrast to previous studies, however, the estimates indicate a much greater role for allocative rather than technical inefficiency. Overall, inefficiencies can essentially be explained by the supply of excess capacity and by the over-employment of labour inputs. Regarding productivity, it appears to be technological progress, and not levels of efficiency or scale economies, that provide the most convincing explanation for variance in growth rates within the sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2827-2851 Issue: 22 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801949782 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801949782 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:22:p:2827-2851 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Germa Bel Author-X-Name-First: Germa Author-X-Name-Last: Bel Author-Name: Xavier Fageda Author-X-Name-First: Xavier Author-X-Name-Last: Fageda Title: Preventing competition because of 'solidarity': rhetoric and reality of airport investments in Spain Abstract: From a public interest perspective, there could be a justification for constraining market mechanisms with the aim of progressive redistribution. However, some policies might be based on selfish motivations of government agents. In this article, we empirically contrast if the infrastructure policy is based only on public interest motivations or if it is also based on the private motivations of policy makers. In this way, Spain infrastructure policy provides a useful policymaking field to test hypothesis about the behaviour of policy makers. We find some evidence regarding the strength of political motivations in explaining such behaviour. In fact, results from our analysis show that political motivations can eventually play a more relevant role than social welfare maximization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2853-2865 Issue: 22 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701522846 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701522846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:22:p:2853-2865 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Winand Emons Author-X-Name-First: Winand Author-X-Name-Last: Emons Author-Name: George Sheldon Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Sheldon Title: The market for used cars: new evidence of the lemons phenomenon Abstract: The lemons model assumes that owners of used cars have an information advantage over potential buyers with respect to the quality of their vehicles. Owners of bad cars try to sell them to ill-informed buyers while owners of good cars hold on to theirs. Consequently, the quality of traded automobiles tends to be sub-average. In contrast to previous empirical work, the following article investigates the behaviour of both buyers and sellers, testing for adverse selection by sellers and for quality uncertainty among buyers with a sample consisting of all 1985 cars registered in the Swiss canton of Basle City over the period 1985 to 1991. Our data supports both adverse selection and buyer uncertainty, suggesting that a lemons problem exists. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2867-2885 Issue: 22 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802277332 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802277332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:22:p:2867-2885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Matas Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Matas Author-Name: Josep-Lluis Raymond Author-X-Name-First: Josep-Lluis Author-X-Name-Last: Raymond Title: Hedonic prices for cars: an application to the Spanish car market, 1981-2005 Abstract: In this article we provide a comparison of different formulations for hedonic regression analysis in order to construct a quality adjusted price index for the Spanish car market over the period 1981 to 2005. Specifically, we address the issue of instability of coefficients over time, and propose two alternative estimation procedures based, firstly, on a moving sample of observations and, secondly, on a moving average of estimated coefficients in single period equations. The statistical tests applied support the proposed methodologies. On empirical grounds two conclusions can be emphasized. Firstly, our study concludes that, taking quality changes into account, car prices in Spain deflated by consumer price index (CPI) declined by 40% between 1981 and 2005. This result is robust to the alternative estimation procedures employed in the study. Secondly, an analysis of σ-convergence shows that for quality adjusted prices a clear trend in σ-convergence emerges between 1986 and 1992, whereas such a trend does not exists for observed prices. This result has to be related to Spain's integration into the European Community (EC). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2887-2904 Issue: 22 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720945 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720945 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:22:p:2887-2904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Loeb Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Loeb Author-Name: William Clarke Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Clarke Author-Name: Richard Anderson Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Title: The impact of cell phones on motor vehicle fatalities Abstract: This article develops a set of models for the determinants of automobile fatalities with particular attention devoted to the effects of increased cell phone usage. Cell phones have been associated with both life taking and life-saving properties. However, prior statistical evaluations of the effects of cell phones have led to fragile results. We develop in this article econometric models using time-series data, allowing for polynomial structures of the regressors. The models are evaluated with a set of specification error tests providing reliable estimates of the effects of the various policy and driving-related variables evaluated. The statistical results indicate the effect of cell phones is nonmonotonic depending on the volume of phones in use, first having a net life-taking effect, then a net life-saving effect, followed finally with a net life-taking effect as the volume of phone use increases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2905-2914 Issue: 22 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858133 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:22:p:2905-2914 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junyi Shen Author-X-Name-First: Junyi Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Latent class model or mixed logit model? A comparison by transport mode choice data Abstract: This article applies two recently stated choice survey datasets of Japan to investigate the difference between the Latent Class Model (LCM) and the Mixed Logit Model (MLM) for transport mode choice. A detailed comparison is carried out, focusing on comparing values of time savings, direct choice elasticities, predicted choice probabilities and prediction success indices. Furthermore, a test on nonnested model is also utilized to help determine which model is superior to another one. The results suggest that the LCM performs better than the MLM in both datasets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2915-2924 Issue: 22 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964633 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:22:p:2915-2924 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Philippe Stijns Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Philippe Author-X-Name-Last: Stijns Title: Mineral wealth and human capital accumulation: a nonparametric approach Abstract: This article uses a nonparametric approach to investigate the nexus between mineral wealth and human capital accumulation across countries. Higher mineral wealth is associated with elevated levels of human capital in a cross-section of countries. Matching the overall level of economic development and political instability and violence, weakens but does not reverse this conclusion. These results are economically significant. Moving up from the bottom to the top quartile for subsoil wealth per capita decreases illiteracy by ≈ 12% among young and adult females. Conversely, moving down from the top to the bottom quartile for subsoil wealth per capita decreases the average years of primary and total education by ≈ 1.5 years for females. Results are consistent with Hirschman's conjecture that enclave economies have weaker production linkages but stronger government revenue linkages than other activities. Most importantly, this article argues that caution should be exercised when discouraging countries from exploiting their mineral wealth, especially for countries where human capital is scarce. I know, [there is] no safe depositary of the ultimate powers of society, but the people themselves; and if we think them not enlightened enough to exercise their control with wholesome discretion, the remedy is not to take it from them, but to inform their discretion by education. This is the true corrective of abuses of constitutional power. Letter from Thomas Jefferson to William C. Jarvis, 1820, The Writings of Thomas Jefferson, Memorial Edition (Lipscomb and Bergh, eds), Vol. 15, Washington, D.C., 1903-1904, p. 278. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2925-2941 Issue: 23 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840601166900 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840601166900 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:23:p:2925-2941 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. C. Dumagan Author-X-Name-First: J. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Dumagan Author-Name: V. E. Ball Author-X-Name-First: V. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Ball Title: Decomposing growth in revenues and costs into price, quantity and total factor productivity contributions Abstract: This article employs the superlative Fisher and Tornqvist indexes for exact decomposition of growth in nominal revenues and costs. The findings confirm the well-known result that these indexes very closely approximate each other, implying that the mathematically simpler and computationally easier Tornqvist is the more practicable index. Moreover, this article's nominal growth decomposition yields all the results from the more common real growth decomposition and is also more informative for policy purposes. Application to the US agricultural sector during 1948-2001 shows that of the 3.31% average annual growth in revenues, TFP growth contributed 1.90 percentage points (pct. pts.); growth in output prices added 1.43 pct. pts.; while growth in input quantities contributed - 0.02 pct. pts. (i.e. fewer inputs). Therefore, real output growth (or revenue growth less output price growth) was 1.88 pct. pts., revealing that TFP's 1.90 pct. pts. growth contribution was fully responsible for real output growth with fewer inputs. Since revenues measure incomes, these results suggest that policy should focus more on measures to foster TFP growth than on specific price or quantity instruments to enhance income growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2943-2953 Issue: 23 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367549 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367549 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:23:p:2943-2953 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Penn Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Penn Title: Financial well-being in an urban area: an application of multiple imputation Abstract: This article estimates a model of self-reported financial well-being (FWB) using primary data collected for a Southwestern U.S. city. Missing data are estimated using multiple imputation. Model estimates show how FWB depends on home ownership, the number of children, health insurance, age, and income. Multiple imputation results differ somewhat from complete case results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2955-2964 Issue: 23 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367507 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:23:p:2955-2964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahmood Arai Author-X-Name-First: Mahmood Author-X-Name-Last: Arai Author-Name: Fredrik Heyman Author-X-Name-First: Fredrik Author-X-Name-Last: Heyman Title: Microdata evidence on rent-sharing Abstract: We examine the effect of firm profits on wages for individual workers while focusing on the empirical complications associated with estimating the extent of rent-sharing. Controlling for worker and firm fixed-effects and using several instruments to deal with the endogeneity of profits, we report results indicating that Ordinary Least Square (OLS)-estimates strongly underestimate the effects of profits on wages. Moreover, the effect of profits on wages are estimated separately for firms with increasing and decreasing profits within a given time period. We find a positive and stable effect only in firms with increasing profits. This is in line with the idea that falling profits do not lead to wage cuts while increasing profits imply higher wages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2965-2976 Issue: 23 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721620 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:23:p:2965-2976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susana Alonso-Bonis Author-X-Name-First: Susana Author-X-Name-Last: Alonso-Bonis Author-Name: Valentin Azofra-Palenzuela Author-X-Name-First: Valentin Author-X-Name-Last: Azofra-Palenzuela Author-Name: Gabriel de la Fuente-Herrero Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: de la Fuente-Herrero Title: Real option value and random jumps: application of a simulation model Abstract: This article studies how sensitive real option valuations are to incorrect assumptions about the stochastic process followed by the state variables. We design a valuation model which combines Monte Carlo simulation and dynamic programming and provides an appropriate framework to evaluate the effect of estimation errors on both the value of real options and their critical frontier. Although the model is flexible enough to value American-type options contingent on a wide range of stochastic processes, we focus on the analysis of the effect of stochastic jumps. We apply our model to the valuation of an investment in the car parts industry documented in previous literature. Our results clearly show that underestimating this type of jumps might lead to substantial misjudgements in a firm's decision-making processes. For instance, it may lead to profitable projects being rejected when jump diffusion is low, or negative expanded net present value projects being accepted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2977-2989 Issue: 23 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701335603 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701335603 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:23:p:2977-2989 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Teresa Balaguer-Coll Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Teresa Balaguer-Coll Author-Name: Diego Prior Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Prior Title: Short- and long-term evaluation of efficiency and quality. An application to Spanish municipalities Abstract: This article analyses efficiency and quality levels in Spanish local governments and their determining factors through the application of the Data Envelopment Analysis methodology. It aims to discover to what extent inefficiency arises from both quality considerations and external factors beyond the organization's control, or alternatively, how much inefficiency is due to inadequate resource management. As a component of inadequate resource management, we test the existence of political-budgetary cycles in the temporal evolution of inefficiencies. The results show that on the whole there is still a wide margin within which local government efficiency and quality levels could be increased, although it is revealed that a great deal of inefficiency is due to exogenous or noncontrollable factors. In particular, it has been found that the size of the municipality, the per capita tax revenue, the per capita grants and the amount of commercial activity are some of the factors related with local government efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2991-3002 Issue: 23 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701351923 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701351923 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:23:p:2991-3002 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilla Mastromarco Author-X-Name-First: Camilla Author-X-Name-Last: Mastromarco Author-Name: Marco Runkel Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Runkel Title: Rule changes and competitive balance in Formula One motor racing Abstract: This article provides an economic explanation of the frequent rule changes in the Formula One (F1) motor racing series. In a two-stage model, the FIA (the organizer of the F1) first decides whether to change the rules or not, and then the racing teams compete in a contest. It turns out that a rule change reduces the teams' performances, but also improves competitive balance between the teams. The rule change is implemented, if the FIA's revenue gain from the latter effect overcompensates the FIA's revenue loss from the former effect. We provide empirical evidence from F1 seasons in the period 1950 to 2005, which supports the main implications of the model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3003-3014 Issue: 23 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701349182 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701349182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:23:p:3003-3014 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minkyoung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minkyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Philip Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Author-Name: Raymond Leuthold Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Leuthold Title: Managing price risks using and local polynomial kernel forecasts Abstract: This study contributes to understanding price risk management through hedging strategies in a forecasting context. A relatively new forecasting method, nonparametric local polynomial kernel (LPK), is used to forecast prices and to generate ex ante hedge ratios. The selective multiproduct hedge based on the LPK price and hedge ratio forecasts is in general found to be better than continuous hedging, no hedging and alternative forecasting procedures. Selective multivariate hedging using the LPK is found to improve hog producer's expected returns. The findings indicate that combining hedging with forecasts, especially when using the LPK procedure, can improve price risk management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3015-3026 Issue: 23 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701351915 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701351915 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:23:p:3015-3026 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diego Romero-Avila Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Avila Title: Productive physical investment and growth: testing the validity of the AK model from a panel perspective Abstract: In this article, we analyse the relationship between productive physical investment and economic growth from a panel perspective for a sample of 61 countries spanning the period 1950 to 1992. The analysis can be thought of as two-fold. First, we test the empirical validity of AK models following the logic by Jones (1995). For that purpose, we determine the degree of persistence of physical investment rates and growth by employing recently developed panel unit-root tests that enable us to make more reliable inferences about the existence of stochastic trends in the series. Second, we estimate the long-run effect of physical investment on growth by using panel data techniques rather than cross-section regressions. Overall, our findings cast doubts on the rejection of the empirical validity of the AK model, as suggested by Jones' analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3027-3043 Issue: 23 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701335611 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701335611 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:23:p:3027-3043 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pilsun Choi Author-X-Name-First: Pilsun Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Insik Min Author-X-Name-First: Insik Author-X-Name-Last: Min Title: Estimating endogenous switching regression model with a flexible parametric distribution function: application to Korean housing demand Abstract: This study introduces Johnson's SU-normal distribution which can accommodate the flexibility of true error distribution to obtain consistent estimates in an endogenous switching regression model. Simulation results indicate that the SU-normal model outperforms the normal model for the consistency of estimators when the error distribution is nonnormal. Korean housing demand model estimated by the SU-normal model also outperforms the normal model in terms of parameter estimates and graphical predictions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3045-3055 Issue: 23 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701335595 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701335595 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:23:p:3045-3055 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Ali Kutan Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Kutan Author-Name: Su Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Su Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Towards solving the PPP puzzle: evidence from 113 countries Abstract: Several different approaches have been followed by researchers to test the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). Since the introduction of the unit-root tests, researchers have applied a battery of these tests to determine whether the real exchange rates are stationary. If the answer is in the affirmative, PPP is validated. While application of the standard augmented Dickey-Fuller test has not provided much support for PPP, a test that incorporates nonlinearity in the rates has. Under both tests, however, the null of nonstationary is tested against the alternative of stationarity. In this article, when we switch the null with the alternative and apply Kwiatkowski et al. (1992) test, we provide relatively more support for the theory, getting closer and closer towards solving the PPP puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3057-3066 Issue: 24 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367648 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367648 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:24:p:3057-3066 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert-Paul Berben Author-X-Name-First: Robert-Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Berben Author-Name: W. Jos Jansen Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Jos Jansen Title: Bond market and stock market integration in Europe: a smooth transition approach Abstract: This article investigates whether there has been a structural increase in financial market integration in nine European countries and the US in the period 1980 to 2003. We employ a GARCH model with a smoothly time-varying correlation to estimate the date of change and the speed of the transition between the low and high correlation regimes. Our test produces strong evidence of greater comovement across the board for both stock markets and government bond markets. Dates of change and speeds of adjustment vary widely across country linkages. Stock market integration is a more gradual process than bond market integration. The impact of European monetary union (EMU) is rather limited, as it has mainly affected the timing of bond market correlation gains (but hardly their size) and has had little discernible effect on stock market integration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3067-3080 Issue: 24 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367572 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367572 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:24:p:3067-3080 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roderick Rejesus Author-X-Name-First: Roderick Author-X-Name-Last: Rejesus Author-Name: Bruce Sherrick Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Sherrick Author-Name: Gary Schnitkey Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Schnitkey Author-Name: Cesar Escalante Author-X-Name-First: Cesar Author-X-Name-Last: Escalante Title: Factors influencing producers' perceptions about the importance of government support programmes in agriculture: application of a semi-parametric ordered response model Abstract: This article examines factors affecting producers' perceptions towards the relative importance of government support programmes in agriculture. Specific attention is placed on determining the effect of crop insurance usage on farmers' views about the importance of government programme payments. Results from a semi-parametric ordered response model shows that producers who use yield- or revenue-based crop insurance products also tend to view government programmes with higher importance, suggesting that crop insurance and direct government support programmes tend to be complements rather than substitutes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3081-3092 Issue: 24 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367580 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:24:p:3081-3092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Elbers Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Elbers Author-Name: Jan Willem Gunning Author-X-Name-First: Jan Willem Author-X-Name-Last: Gunning Author-Name: Lei Pan Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: Insurance and rural welfare: what can panel data tell us? Abstract: Assessing the scope for insurance in rural communities usually requires a structural model of household behaviour under risk. One of the few empirical applications of such models is the study by Rosenzweig and Wolpin (1993) who conclude that Indian farmers in the ICRISAT villages would not benefit from the introduction of formal weather insurance. In this article we investigate how models such as theirs can be estimated from panel data on production and assets. We show that if assets can take only a limited number of values the coefficients of the model cannot be estimated with reasonable precision. We also show that this can affect the conclusion that insurance would not be welfare improving. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3093-3101 Issue: 24 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367614 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367614 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:24:p:3093-3101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsushi Oka Author-X-Name-First: Tatsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Oka Title: Juvenile crime and punishment: evidence from Japan Abstract: Over the last decade, juvenile crime has become a serious social problem in Japan. The Juvenile Law was revised in 2001 to impose harsher punishment on juvenile offenders. This revision makes it possible to impose criminal punishment on 14- and 15-year-old criminal offenders, while those offenders aged 16-19 have always faced criminal punishment, both before and after the revision. Using this revision as a natural experiment, this study conducts a difference-in-differences estimation to examine the effect of punishment on juvenile crime. The analysis provides evidence that punishment can deter juvenile crime. In addition, this research examines the criminal behaviour of 13-year-olds, who face no change in punishment, but who soon will in the near future. The results suggest that the revision also had a negative impact on the criminal behaviour of these younger offenders. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3103-3115 Issue: 24 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701365923 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701365923 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:24:p:3103-3115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Bodman Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Bodman Title: Output volatility in Australia Abstract: A number of papers have documented a significant decline in real GDP volatility in several major OECD economies. Some authors have presented evidence to suggest that this is the outcome of a one-off structural break from a high to low volatility state whilst others have estimated regime switching models that indicate low volatility regime states have dominated in recent years. This article provides further evidence on the general properties of output volatility for Australia, including evidence of a significant moderation in output volatility for the country that occurred in the early 1980s. Estimates of various GARCH models of real GDP growth are also provided to further examine shorter term volatility features of the Australian economy that are associated with its business-cycle. A regime shift dummy is maintained in all models of the conditional variance in order to account for the regime shift in volatility and evidence is found of significant business-cycle effects, including leverage effects and asymmetries that suggest recessions are times of higher output volatility than economic expansions. Overall, it is concluded that the so-called 'Great Moderation' in macroeconomic instability, as documented here for Australia, is a result of a myriad of economic, institutional and policymaking changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3117-3129 Issue: 24 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367622 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367622 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:24:p:3117-3129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: Brinda Viswanathan Author-X-Name-First: Brinda Author-X-Name-Last: Viswanathan Author-Name: E. A. Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: E. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: Muthu Mangai Author-X-Name-First: Muthu Author-X-Name-Last: Mangai Title: Modelling the domestic and foreign tourist arrivals to Tamil Nadu (India) Abstract: In recent years, due to the Indian Federal Government's and Tamil Nadu State Government's various initiatives and promotional activities, foreign and domestic tourist arrivals in Tamil Nadu are on the increase. This article aims to model the monthly tourist arrivals (foreign as well as domestic) in Tamil Nadu for monthly time series data during the period 1998 to 2002 using univariate time-series models. As both time series show strong seasonal patterns, we also investigate the possibility of seasonal unit roots in the domestic and foreign tourist arrivals series. The results show that significant growth in domestic and foreign arrivals takes place during the months December to January. Growth rate for domestic tourist arrivals is positive during April and May, but is negative for the foreign tourist arrivals during April and insignificant during May. Such information would be very useful to the Tamil Nadu government and the tourism industry in maximizing the usage of available tourist spot infrastructure and to provide high quality service. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3131-3142 Issue: 24 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367598 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367598 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:24:p:3131-3142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jongsu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jongsu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Minkyu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Minkyu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Analysis on the growth of telecommunication services: a global comparison of diffusion patterns Abstract: With the development of the Internet, the telecommunication market has seen a rapid shift from voice-based services to data-based services. Relationships of substitutability and complementarity have emerged among communications technology services such as Internet service, mobile phone service and fixed telephone service. The article analyses the diffusion patterns of communication services in different continents. A modified logistic growth model is estimated using panel data for the years 1975-2004. The research forms a valuable framework for forecasting demand for new services based on the diffusion of incumbent services and can inform strategies for entering the communications network industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3143-3150 Issue: 24 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367655 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367655 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:24:p:3143-3150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adnan Kasman Author-X-Name-First: Adnan Author-X-Name-Last: Kasman Author-Name: Evrim Turgutlu Author-X-Name-First: Evrim Author-X-Name-Last: Turgutlu Title: Cost efficiency and scale economies in the Turkish insurance industry Abstract: This article examines the cost efficiency and scale economies of insurance firms in the Turkish insurance industry over a 15-year period, 1990-2004. Using the stochastic cost frontier model, cost efficiency scores and scale economies were estimated for each firm in the sample. The results show that mean cost inefficiencies range between 18.3 and 36.9% of total costs and they do not tend to decrease over time. On average, small firms are more cost efficient than large firms. Economies of scale appear present and significant for any class size. The results suggest that there is a substantial difference in scale economies between small and large insurance firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3151-3159 Issue: 24 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367663 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367663 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:24:p:3151-3159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gwanghoon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Gwanghoon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: International knowledge spillovers through the import of information technology commodities Abstract: Using the panel data from 1981 to 2000 of 17 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries, we investigate the role of the trade flow of information technology (IT) commodities in international knowledge spillovers. We use the group mean fully modified ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator, proposed by Pedroni (2000), that allows for greater flexibility in the presence of heterogeneity of cointegrating vectors among countries under panel cointegration. The results of estimation confirm statistically significant positive effects of IT imports on international knowledge spillovers. In contrast, non-IT imports turn out to have negative effects on the productivity of importing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3161-3169 Issue: 24 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367515 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367515 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:24:p:3161-3169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Jabir Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Jabir Title: The dynamic relationship between the US GDP, imports and domestic production of crude oil Abstract: This article investigates the dynamic relationship between crude oil imports, gross domestic product (GDP) and domestic crude oil production of the United States using a Vector Error Correction model estimation, generalized impulse response functions, persistence profile and variance decompositions. This article results suggest that the GDP has a leading role in determining oil imports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3171-3178 Issue: 24 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367531 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367531 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:24:p:3171-3178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei-Chun Tseng Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Tseng Author-Name: Chi-Chung Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Estimating the wetland rental fee: a case study involving a Taiwan wetland Abstract: Wetlands provide many functions that are both economic and recreational and are valuable in terms of their ecological diversity, while at the same time being nonmarket value products. The purpose of this study is to estimate the optimal wetland rental through estimations of both the demand and supply functions in relation to wetland. The wetland supply function is directly estimated based on the data provided by the owners of the wetland, while the estimation of the wetland input demand function involves using the bootstrapping and contingent visitation approaches. Such estimation approaches could also be applied to other nonmarket value products that give rise to environmental externalities. The estimation of rental fee could provide a long-term leasing contract that gives the landlord with a particular rent to lease their lands to support a wetland eco-tourism park to maintain wetland for substantial management. Several environmental management policy implications are also addressed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3179-3188 Issue: 24 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367630 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367630 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:24:p:3179-3188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: The applied economics of sport: introduction and overview Abstract: We provide an introduction and overview to the 15 applied studies making up this special theme on sport. The studies cover a wide range of international and regional experience and employ a variety of applied techniques. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3189-3191 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903385257 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903385257 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3189-3191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Groothuis Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Groothuis Author-Name: James Richard Hill Author-X-Name-First: James Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Hill Author-Name: Timothy Perri Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Perri Title: The dilemma of choosing talent: Michael Jordans are hard to find Abstract: This article explores the dilemma of choosing talent using NBA data from 1987 to 2003. We find there is much uncertainty in selecting talent. If superstars are found, they are usually identified early. However, more false positives exist than correct decisions with high draft picks. Our results suggest the dilemma of choosing talent is not so much a winner's curse but more like a purchase of a lottery ticket. Most times you lose, but, if you are going to win, you must buy a ticket. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3193-3198 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701564459 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701564459 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3193-3198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uwe Sunde Author-X-Name-First: Uwe Author-X-Name-Last: Sunde Title: Heterogeneity and performance in tournaments: a test for incentive effects using professional tennis data Abstract: This article provides an approach to test whether greater heterogeneity of contestants leads to lower effort exertion in elimination tournaments, as predicted by conventional tournament models. This prediction is difficult to test with real world data because the effort is difficult to measure. Based on a simple behavioural model, testable implications are derived and an identification strategy is suggested that allows to test for an incentive effect of heterogeneity even when the effort is unobservable. The application uses data from professional tennis tournaments and provides evidence that heterogeneity affects the incentives to exert effort. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3199-3208 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802243789 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802243789 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3199-3208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Michael Toma Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Toma Author-Name: Jay Carmichael Author-X-Name-First: Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Carmichael Title: Attendance and promotions in minor league baseball: the Carolina League Abstract: This empirical study investigates determinants of attendance at minor league baseball games in the Carolina League in 2006. The focus of the analysis is on the effect of a wide variety of game-day promotions on attendance on a game-by-game basis, rather than aggregate attendance during the season. The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) results imply that attendance is positively a function of per capita income in the city or county hosting the team, runs scored by the home team, Friday and Saturday games, and promotions that provide cost-reduced food or beverages, low- and high-value merchandise and post-game fireworks. Attendance is negatively a function of home team errors, Monday games and possibly rainy conditions during the game. An unusual finding with respect to minor league baseball is that team performance variables affect attendance. However, home team runs scored and home team errors contribute to the overall entertainment experience for the home team fans, and thus yield plausible effects on attendance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3209-3214 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903286323 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903286323 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3209-3214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Swofford Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Swofford Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Trellis Green Author-X-Name-First: Trellis Author-X-Name-Last: Green Title: Can a sub-optimal tournament be optimal when the prize can be collectively consumed? The case of college football's national championship Abstract: One of the most heated debates in all of sports is the annual debate over major college football's national champion. Since its implementation in 1995, the Bowl Championship Series (BCS) system has often failed to quell the controversy concerning what team is the Division 1 Football Bowl Subdivision football champion. Many of the BCS controversies have spawned changes in the title selection format, while others are perhaps the result of certain changes. What remains now is the cry from some college football fans for an expanded 'national championship playoff,' though college and university presidents and many college football coaches continue to resist these cries. We try to explain this resistance to expanding the number of teams invited to compete for the BCS championship and the persistence of the two team playoff format in college football. For three championship eras-pre-BCS, BCS and a futuristic post-BCS expanded playoff-we first relate some of the controversial details to concepts such as optimal tournaments and the public goods concept of collective consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3215-3223 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765510 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765510 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3215-3223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Title: OSU and LSU: easy to spell but did they belong? Using the method of paired comparisons to evaluate the BCS rankings and the NCAA football championship game 2007-08 Abstract: This article employs the Bradley-Terry method of paired comparisons, previously used by Beard and Caudill (2007), to examine the 2007 National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) football season. We find that the Bowl Championship Series (BCS) did get it right: Ohio State University (OSU) number one and Louisiana State University (LSU) number two. Our method also indicates that LSU played a much more difficult schedule than OSU and that the Southeastern Conference (SEC) is the strongest conference in the US. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3225-3230 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903018809 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903018809 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3225-3230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bert Scholtens Author-X-Name-First: Bert Author-X-Name-Last: Scholtens Author-Name: Wijtze Peenstra Author-X-Name-First: Wijtze Author-X-Name-Last: Peenstra Title: Scoring on the stock exchange? The effect of football matches on stock market returns: an event study Abstract: We analyse the effect of results of football matches on the stock market performance of football teams. We analyse 1274 matches of eight teams in the national and European competition during 2000-2004. We find that the stock market response is significant and positive for victories and negative for defeats. The response is significantly stronger in the case of defeat. The response is stronger for matches in the European competition than for those in the national competition. Unexpected results have a stronger impact for European matches than expected ones but this is not the case in the national competition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3231-3237 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721406 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721406 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3231-3237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Pedro Garcia-del-Barrio Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-del-Barrio Author-Name: Stephanie Leach Author-X-Name-First: Stephanie Author-X-Name-Last: Leach Title: Analysing the technical efficiency of the Spanish Football League First Division with a random frontier model Abstract: This article analyses technical efficiency of football clubs in the Spanish Football League Division 1 (Primera Liga) from the seasons 1995-1996 to 2004-2005 with an unbalanced panel data. The random frontier model is used, allowing the identification of random variables in the cost frontier. It is concluded that the price of capital investment, the number of points won and attendance are heterogeneous variables. Therefore, no common public policy aiming to improve efficiency can embrace all of the clubs, so that policies by clusters are required. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3239-3247 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765379 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3239-3247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phillip Miller Author-X-Name-First: Phillip Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: Subsidized monopolists and product prices: the case of Major League Baseball Abstract: I analyse the setting of ticket prices when teams receive subsidization. I model teams as entertainment providers, where entertainment is generated by selling wins and amenities. I argue that subsidization of teams generally comes from subsidizing the amenities in the teams' stadiums. Subsidization lowers the marginal cost of providing them to fans, driving ticket prices lower. The empirical analysis suggests that this is the case. The average team playing in a 5-year-old public stadium charges a ticket price that is 40 cents less than the same team playing in a private stadium of the same age. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3249-3255 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360203 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3249-3255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiji Yamamura Author-X-Name-First: Eiji Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamura Author-Name: Inyong Shin Author-X-Name-First: Inyong Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Title: Convergence, clustering and their effects on attendance in the Japan Professional Baseball League Abstract: In this research, using a panel data set for the Japan Professional Baseball League (JPBL) during the post-WWII period, we apply the technique developed by Hobijn and Franses (2000) to examine the competitive balance from the view point of convergence and its effect upon game attendance. The JPBL comprises two leagues, the Central League (CL) and the Pacific League (PL). The CL is far more popular with fans than the PL. Our estimation results showed that the number of the PL clusters continues to go towards unity, thereby raising the uncertainty of the outcome to increase the PL game attendance more rapidly. Also, attendance by CL fans tends to be more inelastic with team performance than for the PL. Therefore, the PL payroll was more elastic to wins than that of the CL. The features of each League have crucial impacts on the outcomes and the behaviours of team insiders such as players and managers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3257-3265 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367697 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3257-3265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Krautmann Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Krautmann Title: Market size and the demand for talent in major league baseball Abstract: In this article, we look at how revenues affect the personnel decisions of Major League Baseball (MLB) teams. It is well established that teams with the strongest demands end up with the top stars and deepest benches, thus the best chance of winning. Since a team's demand for talent is its Marginal Revenue Product, the critical test is whether large-market teams have a greater Marginal Revenue (MR). Controlling for the impact of re-distributional efforts by MLB, we find that the MR of a large-market team is about 50% larger than that of a small-market team. Furthermore, we find that re-distributive efforts have a more severe effect on small-market teams. “Are the New York Yankees a dynasty because they outsmarted everyone? No, they just outspent everyone.” Sam Smith, Chicago Tribune Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3267-3273 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701582121 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701582121 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3267-3273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason Winfree Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Winfree Title: Owners incentives during the 2004-05 National Hockey League lockout Abstract: This study shows that firm owners can indirectly benefit from work stoppages if they own other firms in substitute industries and gain market power for those other firms. The incentives of the owners are examined with a model of cross-ownership cartels and data from professional sports. Assuming that various professional sport events are substitutes, owners may increase profits by eliminating competition, even if they own the competition. This study shows that the recent National Hockey League (NHL) lockout caused a statistically significant increase in attendance for the National Basketball Association and junior hockey leagues. Given that many NHL owners own teams in these substitutable leagues, this could be construed as anti-competitive behaviour and may have prolonged the NHL lockout and helped NHL owners in collective bargaining. Given the public investment in sports facilities and market power in professional sports, this analysis calls for cross-ownership across professional sports to be questioned. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3275-3285 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765395 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765395 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3275-3285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Klein Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Klein Author-Name: Bernhard Zwergel Author-X-Name-First: Bernhard Author-X-Name-Last: Zwergel Author-Name: J. Henning Fock Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Henning Fock Title: Reconsidering the impact of national soccer results on the FTSE 100 Abstract: In past decades, many empirical studies revealed return anomalies in many different asset classes and markets. Very recent publications have, however, even found evidence that stock markets react to the results of soccer matches. In this article, we argue that such empirical studies should be analysed carefully; we thus endorse the use of replication studies to verify results. Consequently, by rebuilding the study of Ashton et al. (2003), we are able to detect mistakes in the empirical set-up. Based on these findings, we demonstrate how even minor flaws can have a crucial influence on the results of such studies and point out pitfalls that are frequently encountered. We furthermore emphasize the importance of robustness checks to validate the results of empirical studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3287-3294 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112471 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3287-3294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Florian Hagn Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Hagn Author-Name: Wolfgang Maennig Author-X-Name-First: Wolfgang Author-X-Name-Last: Maennig Title: Large sport events and unemployment: the case of the 2006 soccer World Cup in Germany Abstract: This study analyses on the basis of a multivariate analysis ex post the effects on the jobs market of a soccer World Cup, in this case the 2006 World Cup held in Germany. In addition to three methods already used for other analyses in studies of sporting events, an extended 'Difference-in-Difference' estimate is used in order to compare the development of the numbers of unemployed in the 12 World Cup venues with the development of the numbers of unemployed in 63 other German cities. The results demonstrate that in none of the respective match venues did the effect of the sporting event on unemployment differ significantly from zero. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3295-3302 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604545 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604545 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3295-3302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Bernd Frick Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Frick Author-Name: Jose Passos Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Passos Title: Coaching for survival: the hazards of head coach careers in the German 'Bundesliga' Abstract: This article analyses how long head coaches survive in the clubs of the first German football league ('Bundesliga'), where the dismissal of a presumably weak coach is a generally adopted procedure in case of a poor sporting performance of the team. We use duration models for repeated events to accommodate the correlation within individuals. We find that the head coaches of successful teams and those working during the more recent 'Bosman Effect' period are more likely to survive in the Bundesliga. Moreover, the head coaches of clubs with relatively high team wage bills are likely to survive for shorter periods of time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3303-3311 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721455 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3303-3311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongbin Li Author-X-Name-First: Hongbin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Lingsheng Meng Author-X-Name-First: Lingsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Author-Name: Qian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The government's role in China's Olympic glory Abstract: This article examines the determinants of China's Olympic success by drawing on provincial-level data. We find that it is government spending on sports, rather than per capita income, that has the greatest impact on this success. Our findings suggest that government involvement is still the most fundamental feature of sports organization in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3313-3318 Issue: 25 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736081 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:25:p:3313-3318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darold Barnum Author-X-Name-First: Darold Author-X-Name-Last: Barnum Author-Name: John Gleason Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gleason Author-Name: Brendon Hemily Author-X-Name-First: Brendon Author-X-Name-Last: Hemily Title: Using panel data analysis to estimate confidence intervals for the DEA efficiency of individual decision making units Abstract: This article demonstrates a methodology using panel data analysis to estimate confidence intervals for the data envelopment analysis efficiency of individual decision making units (DMUs), and the statistical significance of trends in individual DMU efficiency. The procedure accounts for stochastic variations of the inputs and outputs of the target DMU as well as stochastic variations of the inputs and outputs of its efficient benchmark peers. The procedure is demonstrated using 9 years of data from 34 Canadian paratransit agencies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3319-3326 Issue: 26 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701493741 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701493741 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:26:p:3319-3326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zia Wadud Author-X-Name-First: Zia Author-X-Name-Last: Wadud Author-Name: Daniel Graham Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Graham Author-Name: Robert Noland Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Noland Title: A cointegration analysis of gasoline demand in the United States Abstract: Time-series estimation of gasoline demand elasticities often does not take into account the possibility of nonstationarity in the underlying data, which may render the parameter estimates spurious. Studies have shown that the time trending variables used to explain gasoline demand could be difference stationary and therefore, may require cointegration analysis to assess the relationship among the trending variables. In this work we use the cointegration technique to derive long-run and short-run demand elasticities of noncommercial gasoline consumption using time-series data for the USA from 1949 to 2004. We also attempt to incorporate the presence of a structural break in the data generation process of the time trending variables. Our results show that the consumption of gasoline and lifetime income have a long-term stable relationship after the second oil shock of 1978. Prior to the first oil shock of 1973, no such long-run relationship could be established through cointegration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3327-3336 Issue: 26 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701477306 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701477306 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:26:p:3327-3336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erik Dietzenbacher Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Dietzenbacher Author-Name: Alex Hoen Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Hoen Author-Name: Bart Los Author-X-Name-First: Bart Author-X-Name-Last: Los Author-Name: Jan Meist Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Meist Title: International convergence and divergence of material input structures: an industry-level perspective Abstract: This article analyses whether international material input structures have converged or diverged over time. Pooled variances for 25 industries were obtained from OECD input-output tables in constant prices for nine countries over the period 1971-1990. It is found that high-tech industries were mainly characterized by divergence of material input structures, whereas convergence was found for many low-tech, more mature industries. In line with studies on (labour) productivity growth rates, convergence of material input structures was prevalent in the 1970s, while divergence dominated in the 1980s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3337-3344 Issue: 26 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701439355 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701439355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:26:p:3337-3344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Egger Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Egger Author-Name: Stephan Gruber Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: Gruber Author-Name: Michael Pfaffermayr Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pfaffermayr Title: The law of one price: conditional convergence evidence from disaggregated data Abstract: This article contributes to the literature on the Law of One Price (LOP) and absolute Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in two ways. First, it uses a novel set of PPP data from the International Comparison Programme for OECD countries and 195 internationally comparable products from 1980 to 1996. Second, it derives and applies a test of conditional σ-convergence, which does not require long-time spans or high frequency data. Between 1990 and 1996 for 10 out of 23 countries, a significant reduction in the variance of the deviations from LOP is found for tradeables, but none in case of nontradeables. For the former, the deviations from LOP close out at half-lives between 2.2 and 6.3 years. However, there are also persistent country-specific deviations from LOP parities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3345-3357 Issue: 26 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701426584 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701426584 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:26:p:3345-3357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nissim Ben David Author-X-Name-First: Nissim Ben Author-X-Name-Last: David Title: Efficiency aspects of increasing inheritance taxes while decreasing income taxes Abstract: This article tries to shed some light on the economic efficiency aspects of a tax reform that would increase inheritance taxes while decreasing income taxes. An analysis of labour market decisions following the activation of such a reform is presented. An international comparison of inheritance tax collection shows that almost all industrial countries impose an inheritance tax. However, government revenue from inheritance and gift taxes in Europe is lower than 1% of GDP and is very low in the United States as well. Applying the proposed reform could increase work hours and delay retirement decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3359-3366 Issue: 26 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701416411 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701416411 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:26:p:3359-3366 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. W. Kreutzer Author-X-Name-First: D. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Kreutzer Title: Risk premiums and optimal combat-force levels in an all-volunteer army Abstract: Using a straight-forward and intuitive model of individual risk-wealth tradeoffs, we posit a labour market where a firm's total wage bill declines as it increases employment. Using value of statistical life estimates from Viscusi and Aldy (2003) and Mrozek and Taylor (2002), we analyze the market for security personnel in Iraq for both the US military and a private contractor. We conclude that the US military's marginal cost of labour is about $8000 less than the wage and that the marginal cost for the private contractor may actually be negative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3367-3373 Issue: 26 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701416403 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701416403 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:26:p:3367-3373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio David Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: David Title: Are price-based capital account regulations effective in developing countries? Abstract: In this article, we evaluate the effectiveness of policy measures adopted by Chile and Colombia aiming to mitigate the deleterious effects of pro-cyclical capital flows. In the case of Chile, according to our GMM analysis, capital controls succeeded in reducing net short-term capital flows, but did not affect long-term flows. As far as Colombia is concerned, the regulations were capable of affecting total flows and also long-term ones. In addition, our cointegration models indicate that the regulations did not have a direct effect on the real exchange rate in the Chilean case. Nonetheless, the model used for Colombia did detect a direct impact of the capital controls on the real exchange rate. Therefore, our results do not seem to support the idea that those regulations were easily evaded. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3375-3388 Issue: 26 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701367689 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701367689 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:26:p:3375-3388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mei-Hui Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Tai-Hsin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Threshold effects of financial status on the cost frontiers of financial institutions in nondynamic panels Abstract: This article applies Hansen's (1999, 2000) threshold regression model to estimate translog cost frontiers in the hope of shedding light on the banking industry's production processes and the extent of its Technical Efficiency (TE). The threshold technique allows for the existence of multiple technologies of production, distinguished by an exogenous threshold variable. Strong evidence of multiple technologies is found in the industry irrespective of which financial indicator, as constructed by factor analysis, defines the threshold variable. Cost savings and scale economies among the various underlying technologies are compared herein. We also highlight the differences between the threshold results and the conventional cost frontier. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3389-3401 Issue: 26 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600079 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:26:p:3389-3401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kangsik Choi Author-X-Name-First: Kangsik Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Conformism, peer pressure and adverse selection Abstract: To examine the effects of peer pressure in adverse selection problem, we define a peer pressure function that represents the psychological costs and incorporate it into the agent's utility function. Based on these assumptions, the efficient agent who has conformity preference produces less outputs than the first-best level, while the inefficient agent produces more than the second-best level of standard adverse selection output when the agents feel peer pressure among themselves. Although the production gap between the utility functions under peer pressure narrows, the gap of the ex post information rent goes wider as the information rent of efficient agents increases. Our theoretical results are consistent with some empirical/experimental findings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3403-3409 Issue: 26 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701392877 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701392877 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:26:p:3403-3409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Grace Lordan Author-X-Name-First: Grace Author-X-Name-Last: Lordan Title: Considering endogeneity and heterogeneity-a hierarchical random parameters approach to measuring efficiency Abstract: Modelling efficiency in healthcare with stochastic production frontiers (SPF) is complicated because of the immeasurable elements, quality of care and casemix as well as complex data structures. This analysis considers a SPF approach to estimating efficiencies for organizations in the Republic of Ireland that supply GP services outside of normal working hours. These organizations are run out of a number of primary care centres. The daily payroll for the centre is the output in the SPF and the services offered by these centres enter the production function as inputs. It is argued that these services are exogenous variables and are determined by patient characteristics and reported conditions and not the staff within the centre. A characteristic of the data used is a two-tier structure emanating from a centre lying within a co-op. To account for this tier structure the analysis considers a random parameters approach. The analysis also considers proxies for quality of care and casemix and incorporates them into the SPF. The sensitivity of efficiency values to the excluding the random parameters, quality of care and casemix variables is examined by estimating three reduced forms of the model which ignore each of these elements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3411-3423 Issue: 26 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701426592 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701426592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:26:p:3411-3423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haoming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Haoming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yohanes Riyanto Author-X-Name-First: Yohanes Author-X-Name-Last: Riyanto Title: Ownership of property-rights and the allocation of talents Abstract: Under the reserve-clause system that assigns the property-rights on the Major League Baseball players' services to teams, player transfers are negotiated between teams without the involvement of players. In contrast, under the current free-agency system, players with free-agent status negotiate directly with potential suitors. Thus, the system assigns the property-rights to players. Using data extracted from the Baseball Archive (http://baseball1.com), this article examines the effect of the change in the property-rights assignment on the allocation of talents across teams. We find that the change increased large-market teams' shares of veteran all-star players and the concentration of senior players. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3425-3436 Issue: 26 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701392869 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701392869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:26:p:3425-3436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eduardo Acosta-Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Acosta-Gonzalez Author-Name: Julian Andrada-Felix Author-X-Name-First: Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Andrada-Felix Author-Name: Fernando Fernandez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Rodriguez Title: Estimating time-varying variances and covariances via nearest neighbour multivariate predictions: applications to the NYSE and the Madrid Stock Exchange Index Abstract: In this article, we present a technique to obtain the time-varying covariance matrix for several time series for nearest neighbour predictors. To illustrate the use of this technique, we analyse the time-varying variances and correlations between the daily returns on two equity stock market indexes, the New York Stock Exchange and the Madrid Stock Exchange Index. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3437-3445 Issue: 26 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701439371 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701439371 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:26:p:3437-3445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: O. de Bandt Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: de Bandt Author-Name: C. Bruneau Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Bruneau Author-Name: W. El Amri Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: El Amri Title: Convergence in household credit demand across euro area countries: evidence from panel data Abstract: This article contributes to the literature on the convergence of financial systems in the euro area by estimating household credit demand in individual countries. Using the ARDL framework advocated notably by Pesaran et al. (1999), the article provides evidence on the convergence of long-run credit demand determinants (interest rates, investment and house prices) in the largest euro area countries, while short run-dynamics remain heterogenous across countries. The article also demonstrates that the equation uncovers demand rather than supply behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3447-3462 Issue: 27 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701493774 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701493774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:27:p:3447-3462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Seaton Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Seaton Title: A nonparametric revealed preference test of optimal intra-firm resource allocation Abstract: The collective rationality hypothesis initiated by Chiappori (1988a) and applied by Seaton (1997, 2001) for a two-person household is used to distinguish the organizational behaviour of firms. Firms produce satisfaction to groups as traditional managerial and early behavioural theories of the firm of Williamson, Baumol and Marris suggest, as well as more modern principle agent models. Under certain conditions, intra-firm bargaining leads to a Pareto optimal outcome. What makes this work an important contribution is that it identifies a set of nonvacuous testable restrictions to empirically detect if firm-level data satisfy Pareto optimal behaviour for the main decision makers in the organization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3463-3476 Issue: 27 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701537836 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701537836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:27:p:3463-3476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Jarrett Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Jarrett Author-Name: Zhenzhen Sun Author-X-Name-First: Zhenzhen Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Daily variation, capital market efficiency and predicting stock returns for the Hong Kong and Tokyo exchanges Abstract: Studying capital market efficiency is important because result may infer that there are predictable properties of the time series of prices of traded securities on organized markets. We examine the weak form of the efficient markets hypothesis to indicate its usefulness in terms of the results of this study. Furthermore, this study of individual securities prices of traded securities on the organized markets of Hong Kong and Japan corroborate previous findings of studies of individual stocks and market indexes both in Asian nations, the United States and other stock exchanges in the United Kingdom and Europe. Daily patterns are present in the times series of securities prices. You will note also, that the models identified reflect the returns on individual firms listed on the two of the three largest Asian Stock Exchanges. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3477-3482 Issue: 27 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701493782 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701493782 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:27:p:3477-3482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Jacobs Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobs Author-Name: Gerard Kuper Author-X-Name-First: Gerard Author-X-Name-Last: Kuper Author-Name: Daan van Soest Author-X-Name-First: Daan Author-X-Name-Last: van Soest Title: On the effect of high energy prices on investment Abstract: Empirical analyses of firm behaviour typically assume that there is a stable relationship between investment on the one hand and changes in the relative prices of inputs, output demand and other determinants on the other hand. However, because of the lumpy nature and irreversibility of investments and the presence of uncertainty about future economic developments, a specific percentage change in relative prices and output demand may not always lead to the same percentage change in capital stocks. That means that different regimes may exist in investment behaviour. We test whether such regimes exist using high-quality data on eight manufacturing industries in the Netherlands. Three different regimes can be identified that are characterized by differences in the relative input price levels and we find that if relative prices take on extreme values, the propensity to adjust the scale of production to changes in demand is very low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3483-3490 Issue: 27 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701537794 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701537794 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:27:p:3483-3490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing-Xuan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Bing-Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chen-Miao Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Stephen Smith Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Who bets against hedgers and how much they trade? A theory and empirical tests Abstract: This article provides a simple equilibrium model of a futures market. Since the futures market is a zero sum game, some firms will, in equilibrium, end up being 'speculators' who bet against 'hedgers'. We show it is firms that have high initial capital and/or poor production opportunities that are the most likely candidates to bet against the hedgers. In equilibrium, these groups earn a premium in order to provide this insurance so that speculating increases value. We also provide some results that imply an inverted U shaped relationship between trading volume and the level of futures prices. Empirical evidence from the S&P futures contract provides strong empirical support for this theoretical result. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3491-3497 Issue: 27 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701493766 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701493766 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:27:p:3491-3497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ali Choudhary Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Choudhary Author-Name: Vasco Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Vasco Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Title: Is there really a gap between aggregate productivity and technology? Abstract: The important contribution by Basu and Fernald (2002) shows that, in practice, there is a statistically significant gap between aggregate productivity and technology that can be attributed to inefficient product and labour markets. This is important, as it implies that the Solow residual is an imperfect index for aggregate technology change. We take a related approach and find that when we control for capacity utilization, time varying markup and account for externalities between industries, by employing a superior system estimator, the gap between the aggregate productivity and technology is shown to narrow considerably. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3499-3503 Issue: 27 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701537851 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701537851 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:27:p:3499-3503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fatima S. Al Shamsi Author-X-Name-First: Fatima S. Author-X-Name-Last: Al Shamsi Author-Name: Hassan Aly Author-X-Name-First: Hassan Author-X-Name-Last: Aly Author-Name: Mohamed El-Bassiouni Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: El-Bassiouni Title: Measuring and explaining the efficiencies of the United Arab Emirates banking system Abstract: Using newly collected data from a survey distributed to all banks in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), this article measures economic efficiency in the banking industry, namely allocative, technical, pure technical and scale efficiency. Employing a nonparametric Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) approach, the study estimates the efficiency for a cross section of the UAE banks in 2004. The results indicate that the dominant source of inefficiency in the UAE banking is stemming from allocative inefficiency rather than technical inefficiency. Furthermore, the main source of the relatively small size, technical inefficiency in the UAE banking industry is not the scale inefficiency but rather pure technical inefficiency. The results further indicate that the UAE banks are able to use their input resources more efficiently when they have more branches, and that newer banks are performing better than older banks on average. Moreover, the results also show that short experiences of employees affect efficiencies negatively and government ownership tends to reduce efficiency (as the government shares increase in the bank, the efficiency scores get lower). Finally, the most interesting results have to do with finding higher average efficiencies in banks that employ more women, more managers and less national citizens of the UAE. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3505-3519 Issue: 27 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964773 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:27:p:3505-3519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Belayet Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Belayet Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Author-Name: Ehsan Latif Author-X-Name-First: Ehsan Author-X-Name-Last: Latif Title: Determinants of housing price volatility in Canada: a dynamic analysis Abstract: This article tries to identify the determinants of housing price volatility and to examine the dynamic effects of these determinants on volatility using quarterly data for Canada. The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (GARCH) and the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models have been employed to analyse possible time variation of the housing price volatility and the interactions between the volatility and the key macroeconomic variables. We find the evidence of time varying housing price volatility for Canada. Our VAR, Granger causality and variance decomposition (VDC) analyses demonstrate that housing price volatility is affected significantly by gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate, housing price appreciation rate and inflation. On the other hand, volatility affects GDP growth rate, housing price appreciation and volatility itself. The impulse response analysis reveals the asymmetric of the positive and negative shocks. The findings of this article have important implications, particularly for those seeking to develop derivatives for housing market prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3521-3531 Issue: 27 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701522861 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701522861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:27:p:3521-3531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. L. Baldi-Delatte Author-X-Name-First: A. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Baldi-Delatte Title: A counterfactual analysis of the Argentinian monetary transformation in 2002 Abstract: A hard peg restored economic stability in Argentina during the nineties but made it also vulnerable to real shocks in so far as the economy was highly dollarized. A devaluation in 1998 in Brasil, its main partner, damaged the Argentinian competitiveness and resulted in a fall in export demand. There was a need for a real adjustment but removing the peg would have implied large balance sheet effects and raised serious financial issues. This article endeavours to learn a lesson about the aftermath of hard peg regime from the Argentinian experience. It is based on a dynamic macroeconomic model to assess the impact of three scenarios, already suggested in the literature. Two hypothetical, a floating regime and dollarization and one which was actually implemented in 2002, the pesification of the whole economy. The simulations suggest that pesification was the only scenario with unambiguous expansionary effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3533-3544 Issue: 27 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701522879 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701522879 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:27:p:3533-3544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Sookram Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sookram Author-Name: P. K. Watson Author-X-Name-First: P. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Author-Name: F. Schneider Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Schneider Title: Characteristics of households in the informal sector of an emerging economy Abstract: Using the case study of Trinidad and Tobago, we investigate the socio-economic, demographic and attitudinal characteristics of households that participate in the informal sector of an emerging economy and their perception of the risk of detection by tax authorities while doing so. Data are gathered from a cross-sectional field survey covering 570 households. Results using multinomial logit and ordered probit models suggest that households are motivated to participate in the informal sector when members spend little time in formal sector activity, believe that taxes are too high and their incomes are too low, have dependents to support and believe that the resulting tax evasion will go undetected. Their perception of the risk of detection by the tax authority is determined largely by the income they earn in the formal sector and the extent of government bureaucracy prevailing there. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3545-3559 Issue: 27 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701493733 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701493733 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:27:p:3545-3559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Burton Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Burton Author-Name: Katherine Carson Author-X-Name-First: Katherine Author-X-Name-Last: Carson Author-Name: Susan Chilton Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Chilton Author-Name: W. George Hutchinson Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: George Hutchinson Title: Why do people non-demand reveal in hypothetical double referenda for public goods? Abstract: Hypothetical contingent valuation surveys used to elicit values for environmental and other public goods often employ variants of the referendum mechanism due to the cognitive simplicity and familiarity of respondents with this voting format. One variant, the double referendum mechanism, requires respondents to state twice how they would vote for a given policy proposal given their cost of the good. Data from these surveys often exhibit anomalies inconsistent with standard economic models of consumer preferences. There are a number of published explanations for these anomalies, mostly focusing on problems with the second vote. This article investigates which aspects of the hypothetical task affect the degree of nondemand revelation and takes an individual-based approach to identifying people most likely to non-demand reveal. A clear profile emerges from our model of a person who faces a negative surplus i.e. a net loss in the second vote and invokes non self-interested, non financial motivations during the decision process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3561-3569 Issue: 27 Volume: 41 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701537802 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701537802 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:41:y:2009:i:27:p:3561-3569 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo Sekkel Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Sekkel Author-Name: Denisard Alves Author-X-Name-First: Denisard Author-X-Name-Last: Alves Title: The economic determinants of the Brazilian nominal term structure of interest rates Abstract: The purpose of this study is to identify the effects of monetary policy and macroeconomic shocks on the dynamics of the Brazilian term structure of interest rates. We estimate a near-VAR model under the identification scheme proposed by Christiano et al. (1996, 1999). The results resemble those of the US economy: monetary policy shocks that flatten the term structure of interest rates. We find that monetary policy shocks in Brazil explain a significantly larger share of the dynamics of the term structure than in the USA. Finally, we analyse the importance of standard macroeconomic variables (e.g. GDP, inflation and measure of country risk) to the dynamics of the term structure in Brazil. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-10 Issue: 1 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701579226 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701579226 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:1:p:1-10 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Marlow Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Marlow Title: The influence of private school enrollment on public school performance Abstract: School choice reform refers to changes that allow parents greater freedom to choose schools for their children. School choice reform is contentious because it fundamentally alters the environment in which public and private schools operate and could result in significant changes for both demanders and suppliers of education. This article develops a model of public education with imperfect exit to predict how private school enrollment influences performance of public schools. Empirical evidence from data on all private and public schools in California provides substantial support for the hypothesis that public school test scores are inversely related to private school enrollments and charter school enrollments when private and charter schooling reflects exiting by parents unhappy with local public schools. Implications regarding how expanded private school choice might influence public school performance in California and elsewhere are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 11-22 Issue: 1 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701564418 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701564418 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:1:p:11-22 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vera Lucia Fava Author-X-Name-First: Vera Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Fava Title: Price dispersion and price indexes Abstract: The traditional theory of price index numbers is based on the law of one price. But in the real world, we frequently observe the existence of an equilibrium price dispersion instead of one price of equilibrium. This article discusses the effects of price dispersion on two price indexes: the cost of living index and the consumer price index. With price dispersion and consumer searching for the lowest price, these indexes cannot be interpreted as deterministic indicators, but as stochastic indicators, and they can be biased if price dispersion is not taken into account. A measure for the bias of the consumer price index is proposed and the article ends with an estimation of the bias based on data obtained from the consumer price index calculated for the city of Sao Paulo, Brazil, from January 1988 through December 2004. The period analysed is very interesting, because it exhibits different inflationary environments: high levels and high volatility of the rates of inflation with great price dispersion until July 1994 and low and relatively stable rates of inflation with prices less dispersed after August 1994. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 23-36 Issue: 1 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701579168 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701579168 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:1:p:23-36 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Robson Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Robson Author-Name: Robert Bennett Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Bennett Title: Paying fees for government business advice: an assessment of Business Link experience Abstract: Business Link (BL) in Britain provides a unique opportunity to examine a government policy support to small firms which has targeted fee income as a major part of its management objectives in order to increase the 'sense of value' of the services offered. This article examines the influence of fees on client impact and satisfaction. It finds that fees have no significant relationship with client satisfaction or impact. Government targets and manager/advisor policies have, therefore, been wrong to pursue an explicit fee-based targeting strategy. Instead, satisfaction and impact are most significantly influenced by the character of the BL provider, being significantly higher for franchises managed by chambers of commerce and other agents, and being poorer for independent stand-alone providers. Service type has a significant influence on the propensity to charge a fee and on service impact. Small- and medium-sized enterprises characteristics have little influence on client evaluations. The policy implication is that advisors should focus on what they do best and can quality assure; in other cases, they should use referral to other professional advisors. The scope to raise fees from government advice services is, therefore, opportunistic and limited, and should not be incentivized. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 37-48 Issue: 1 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701579184 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701579184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:1:p:37-48 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takashi Ishida Author-X-Name-First: Takashi Author-X-Name-Last: Ishida Author-Name: Noriko Ishikawa Author-X-Name-First: Noriko Author-X-Name-Last: Ishikawa Author-Name: Mototsugu Fukushige Author-X-Name-First: Mototsugu Author-X-Name-Last: Fukushige Title: Impact of BSE and bird flu on consumers' meat demand in Japan Abstract: In this article, we investigate the impact of BSE and bird flu on consumers' meat demand in Japan by using the 'almost ideal' demand system. The BSE and bird flu scares brought about a fall in demand for beef and chicken, respectively, and an upturn in demand for pork and fishery products, which are substitutes for beef and chicken in Japan. We also find that the bird flu outbreak had no impact on the market share for beef. This suggests that BSE had a larger impact on consumers' meat demand than did bird flu. Our empirical results also show that BSE has had a persistent impact whereas, bird flu has not. These differences might depend on the characteristics of each disease, such as the incubation period, cure rate and infection risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 49-56 Issue: 1 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701564392 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701564392 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:1:p:49-56 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rabindra Bhandari Author-X-Name-First: Rabindra Author-X-Name-Last: Bhandari Author-Name: Kamal Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Title: Panel data evidence of the impact of exchange rate uncertainty on private investment in South-east Asia Abstract: This article examines the impact of real exchange rate uncertainty on the private investment in South-east Asia using panel data from four countries of the region namely, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand. Annual time series data from 1972 to 2001 is used. Before carrying out the estimation the time series properties of the data are diagnosed and an error correction model is developed and estimated. The model is estimated using both the fixed effects and the random effects estimators. The estimated results from both the estimations, suggest that the real exchange rate uncertainty had a negative effect on the private investment in that region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 57-61 Issue: 1 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701564400 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701564400 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:1:p:57-61 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Gripaios Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Gripaios Author-Name: Paul Bishop Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Bishop Author-Name: Steven Brand Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Brand Title: A lottery within a lottery? An examination of the distribution of lottery funds in England Abstract: The UK National Lottery has been in operation since 1994. An examination of the regional distribution of awards per head of population suggests marked spatial disparities with London doing particularly well and Scotland, Northern Ireland, Wales and the North East faring much better than other regions. Such disparities also exist at English Local Authority level with London and some major provincial centres doing much better than more rural authorities. Such inequalities may give grounds for concern, given that they appear to replicate those for other types of Government spending. The results of an empirical model designed to explain the spatial distribution of awards suggest that, in addition to a London effect, levels of deprivation have a positive impact. Another important explanatory variable which has a positive impact on lottery funding is the qualifications of residents which might plausibly reflect the quality of lottery bids received from an area. However, once these factors are taken account of, there is little evidence that rural areas fare badly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 63-71 Issue: 1 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701564426 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701564426 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:1:p:63-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: Time-series econometrics of growth-models: a guide for applied economists Abstract: This article examines the use of specifications based on the endogenous and exogenous growth-models for country-specific growth policies. It is suggested that time-series models based on the Solow (1956) exogenous growth-model are useful and they can also be extended to capture the permanent growth-effects of some variables. Our empirical results, with data from Fiji, show that trade openness and human capital have significant and permanent growth-effects. However, these growth-effects are small and eventually converge over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 73-86 Issue: 1 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701564434 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701564434 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:1:p:73-86 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russel Cooper Author-X-Name-First: Russel Author-X-Name-Last: Cooper Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Title: Estimating components of ICT expenditure: a model-based approach with applicability to short time-series Abstract: This article develops a microeconomic model-based approach to estimation of national information and communications technology expenditure that is helpful when only very short time-series are available. The model specification incorporates parameters for network effects and national e-readiness. Finally, the model allows for observed nonhomotheticity and 'noise' found in sample data, with the latter attributed to country-specific influences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 87-96 Issue: 1 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701564442 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701564442 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:1:p:87-96 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho Shirley Author-X-Name-First: Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Shirley Title: Social norms and emission tax multiple equilibria in adopting pollution abatement device Abstract: The effect of social norm is addressed in an adoption game, where an emission tax is used to motivate oligopolistic firms to adopt a pollution abatement device. We ask if the intrinsic motivation from social norm alone can motivate firms to participate in adoption. The multiple equilibria in the adoption game indicates two possibilities: this intrinsic motivation may or may not enhance adoption. The existing literature on equilibrium selection further suggests that the most likely outcome is that it cannot enhance adoption. Next, by keeping the assumption of symmetry, we show that if cooperation is an option for firms, then the presence of two coordination effects (social norm on adoption and cooperation benefits on output) will result in the existence of asymmetric adoptions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 97-105 Issue: 1 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701537844 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701537844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:1:p:97-105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Szu-Wen Chou Author-X-Name-First: Eric Szu-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Title: Can socialism in internal capital markets occur in the absence of managerial rent seeking? Abstract: Socialism in internal capital markets (SICM) is the phenomenon whereby multi-division firms underinvest in high-profit segments and overinvest in low-profit segments. This article modifies and extends the Scharfstein and Stein (2000) model that explains SICM. The major modification is to abstract from rent-seeking behaviour - a central ingredient that is used by most SICM models and has the side effect of overturning SICM when the underlying rent-seeking game is slightly perturbed. It is shown that when division managers' private benefits are not exactly propotional to their division's production profit, as assumed by Scharfstein and Stein (2000), SICM arises due to the CEO's incentive to extract gain from the trade of capital between his division managers by equalizing their marginal private benefits, instead of accommodating rent-seeking. Furthermore, we show that 'diversification discounts' exist, increase in diversity and decrease in CEO ownership. The results are robust to endogenizing the investors' choice of the total capital provided to the firm, which allows the conditions for aggergate underinvestment or overinvestment to be determined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 107-120 Issue: 1 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701579150 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701579150 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:1:p:107-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shyh-Wei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shyh-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Testing the hypothesis of market efficiency in the Taiwan-US forward exchange market since 1990 Abstract: This article examines the applicability of the hypothesis of market efficiency in Taiwan's foreign exchange market using daily data. Instead of linear regression-based models, we consider the possibility that the true data generating process may come from two different distributions, and we employ the Markov Switching approach to analyse this. From the results of the two-state Markov Switching model, we define State 1 as the efficient state and State 2 as the inefficient one. Only the 30-day forward rate is able to differentiate between the two states. Based on the unconditional probabilities from the Markov switching model, we also find that the 30-day forward rate has a 70% probability in the efficient state, which indicates that 70% of all speculators fully extract information when predicting future spot rates, while 30% of all investors do not. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 121-132 Issue: 1 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701579200 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701579200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:1:p:121-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheila Amin Gutierrez de Pineres Author-X-Name-First: Sheila Amin Gutierrez de Author-X-Name-Last: Pineres Author-Name: Manuel Cantavella-Jorda Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cantavella-Jorda Title: Short-run effects of devaluation: a disaggregated analysis of Latin American exports Abstract: Conventional models examining the relationship between devaluation and exports are based on exchange rate pass through. These suggest that after devaluation exports become cheaper, relative to other exports, and the growing export market is posited to stimulate the economy. If devaluation has a differential effect across commodities, countries can expect different results depending on their portfolios. Therefore, any accurate analysis of the effects of devaluation must take into account the components of a country's export portfolio. The pooled time series estimation for Latin American countries reveals a negative short-run relationship between real devaluation and export growth for most exports at a disaggregated level. The results of this study are far reaching as they suggest that more targeted policies are better suited to stimulate exports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 133-142 Issue: 2 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701579259 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701579259 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:2:p:133-142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Preckel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Preckel Author-Name: J. A. L. Cranfield Author-X-Name-First: J. A. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Cranfield Author-Name: Thomas Hertel Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Hertel Title: A modified, implicit, directly additive demand system Abstract: A recently developed demand system, nicknamed AIDADS (An Implicit, Directly Additive Demand System), offers an approach to capturing consumer preferences across a wide range of expenditure levels. AIDADS generalizes the LES by assuming marginal budget shares vary with utility and hence with expenditure. Like the LES, AIDADS includes subsistence parameters that define minimum consumption levels. Here we present a modified AIDADS (MAIDADS) that replaces the constant subsistence parameters with functions that also vary with utility; these transformed subsistence levels are referred to as minimum consumption quantities. This model is applied to the 1996 International Consumption Project data. As these data span a wide range of expenditure levels, MAIDADS offers a viable alternative for the estimation of a 'global demand system'. Results suggest minimum consumption quantities for staple grains, livestock, other food products, alcohol and tobacco, clothing and footwear and transport and transport services vary with expenditure, while those for rent and fuel and household furnishings and operations are zero and invariant across expenditure levels. Only the minimum consumption quantity for staple grains declines with expenditure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 143-155 Issue: 2 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701591361 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701591361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:2:p:143-155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Awudu Abdulai Author-X-Name-First: Awudu Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulai Title: Socio-economic characteristics and obesity in underdeveloped economies: does income really matter? Abstract: Available evidence suggests that overweight and obesity prevalence is increasing worldwide at an alarming rate in both developed and developing countries. This study focuses on the determinants of overweight in mothers and children, using a unique dataset collected in urban Accra, in Ghana. The findings show that mothers' education, employment status and ethnicity significantly exert influence on the generation of body weight. In particular, those who attained secondary and tertiary education had lower body mass indices and were much less likely to be overweight or obese, lending support to the notion that more educated women normally have better health knowledge and are more likely to consume healthy foods and also engage in physical exercises that help to control weight gain. Mother's education was also found to exert a negative and significant impact on the weight status of children. Furthermore, household expenditure was found to exert a positive and significant impact on the probability of a mother being overweight or obese, but no significant impact on the probability of a child being overweight. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 157-169 Issue: 2 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604313 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604313 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:2:p:157-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricard Gil Author-X-Name-First: Ricard Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Title: An empirical investigation of the Paramount antitrust case Abstract: Production patterns in the US movie industry changed drastically between 1940 and 1960. During these decades, a major event took place: the Paramount antitrust case was resolved by the US Supreme Court in 1948. As a result, the five largest studios (MGM, Paramount, 20th Century Fox, Warner Brothers and RKO) were forced to vertically disintegrate and separate production and distribution from exhibition. The Supreme Court also banned these and three other studios (Columbia, Universal and United Artists) from using block booking as contractual practice. In this article, I examine how this antitrust ruling affected the movie industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 171-183 Issue: 2 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604404 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604404 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:2:p:171-183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Holmes Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Author-Name: A. Hunt Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hunt Author-Name: I. Stone Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Stone Title: An analysis of new firm survival using a hazard function Abstract: A unique data set is used to provide a detailed examination of the survival of newly established manufacturing firms in north-east England. Using data on 781 firms established between 1973 and 2001, log-logistic hazard models are estimated separately for (i) micro-enterprises and (ii) small and medium establishments (SMEs). Both micro-enterprises and SMEs show clear evidence of positive duration dependence, followed by negative duration dependence. We find the two firm types are differentially affected by firm-specific and macro-economic variables. Increases in initial plant size impact negatively on micro-enterprise survival and positively on SME survival. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 185-195 Issue: 2 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701579234 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701579234 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:2:p:185-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanja Samirana Pattnayak Author-X-Name-First: Sanja Samirana Author-X-Name-Last: Pattnayak Author-Name: Shandre Thangavelu Author-X-Name-First: Shandre Author-X-Name-Last: Thangavelu Title: Economic liberalization and productivity for selected Indian manufacturing industries: a panel cointegration approach Abstract: This article estimates the long-run production function for a panel of 13Indian manufacturing industries for the period 1981 to 1998. To account for nonstationarity and to avoid spurious regression problems, the panel unit-roots tests as suggested by Im et al. (2003) and the panel cointegration techniques as proposed by Pedroni (1999) were used. The generalized methods of moments (GMM) estimation methodology as suggested by Arellano and Bond (1991) and Blundell and Bond (2000), were used to deal with the simultaneity bias introduced by measurement errors. Based on the panel cointegration test, we found evidence of long-run production relationship for all the selected industries. We also observe increasing returns to scale in 3 out of 13 industries under study. However, comparing the pre- and post-liberalization periods, there are improvements in total factor productivity (TFP) in 9 out of 13 industries in the post-liberalization period of 1991 to 1998. This clearly supports the observations that there are significant economic improvements in the recent Indian economic reforms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 197-209 Issue: 2 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604321 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604321 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:2:p:197-209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hirokatsu Asano Author-X-Name-First: Hirokatsu Author-X-Name-Last: Asano Title: Estimating irreversible investment with financial constraints: an application of switching regression models Abstract: This analysis investigates irreversible investment with financial constraints. When investment is irreversible, zero investment can be optimal and investment becomes lumpy. Because external funds are not a perfect substitute for internal funds, financially constrained firms invest differently than unconstrained firms. To incorporate both irreversibility and financial constraints into estimations, the analysis develops a switching regression model that depends on the real options theory of capital investment. The analysis investigates three US industries: the oil refining, communications equipment manufacturing and semiconductor manufacturing industries. The analysis shows that internal funds affect investment if a firm is financially constrained. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 211-222 Issue: 2 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701579218 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701579218 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:2:p:211-222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Luis Miralles-Marcelo Author-X-Name-First: Jose Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Miralles-Marcelo Author-Name: Jose Luis Miralles-Quiros Author-X-Name-First: Jose Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Miralles-Quiros Author-Name: Maria del Mar Miralles-Quiros Author-X-Name-First: Maria del Mar Author-X-Name-Last: Miralles-Quiros Title: Intraday linkages between the Spanish and the US stock markets: evidence of an overreaction effect Abstract: This paper focuses on short-term information transmission between the US stock market, properly the DOW index, and the main Spanish stock index, IBEX-35, in its early and final hours. We follow the approaches of Lin, Engle and Ito (1994), Susmel and Engle (1994) and Baur and Jung (2005) who use a GARCH model to analyze the influence of the previous daytime and overnight returns and volatility of the DOW upon the overnight returns and daytime returns of the IBEX from Open-to-3:30 and from 3:30-to-Close. The results suggest that the Spanish stock market usually has a low price movement till Wall Street opens. Additionally, they indicate that the Spanish market reacts quickly to the news, basically in the first four minutes following the opening of the US market. Furthermore, we find the existence of an overreaction effect during the two hours before the closing of the Spanish market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 223-235 Issue: 2 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701579192 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701579192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:2:p:223-235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zisimos Koustas Author-X-Name-First: Zisimos Author-X-Name-Last: Koustas Author-Name: Jean-Francois Lamarche Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Francois Author-X-Name-Last: Lamarche Title: Evidence of nonlinear mean reversion in the real interest rate Abstract: This article utilizes tests for a unit root that have power against nonlinear alternatives to provide empirical evidence on the time series properties of the ex-post real interest rate in the G7 countries. We find that the unit root hypothesis can be rejected in the presence of a nonlinear alternative motivated by theoretical literature on optimal monetary policy rules. This represents a reversal of the results obtained using standard linear unit-root and cointegration tests. Tests for linearity reject this hypothesis for Canada, France, Italy and Japan for which we estimate nonlinear models capturing the dynamics of the interest rate. For these countries, ex-post real interest rates follow a nonlinear model characterized by mean reversion and provide statistical evidence for the Fisher effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 237-248 Issue: 2 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701579242 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701579242 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:2:p:237-248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isolde Woittiez Author-X-Name-First: Isolde Author-X-Name-Last: Woittiez Author-Name: Edwin Van Gameren Author-X-Name-First: Edwin Author-X-Name-Last: Van Gameren Title: The effect of care leave on burden and job performance Abstract: In this article the expected effects of the introduction of a fully paid long-term care leave programme in the Netherlands are investigated. In particular we are interested in the effects on perceived burden and job performance. We analyse data from a survey among workers who care for a person in their social circle for longer than two weeks. The caring workers with a high perceived burden and intention to participate in the programme were asked questions regarding the expected effects on burden. An econometric model in which we account for these two potentially nonrandom selection mechanisms is set up to analyse the expected reduction in burden due to the intended take-up of care leave. As a result of the introduction of the programme about 60% of the intended participants who perceive a high burden expect a reduction in their burden. The relation between burden and job performance shows that the programme would reduce the number of caring workers who perform less precise in their job by one-third. A modified version of the programme with more stringent requirements than analysed in this article was introduced in The Netherlands in 2005. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 249-266 Issue: 2 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604347 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604347 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:2:p:249-266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Rajarshi Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Rajarshi Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: How sensitive is commodity trade flows between US and India to currency depreciation? Abstract: Previous studies that investigated the impact of real depreciation of the rupee on Indian trade balance used aggregate trade data and provided no support for real depreciation to be effective in improving India's trade balance. In this article we disaggregate the Indian trade data by commodity and consider the sensitivity of each industry's inpayments (export value) and outpayments (import value) to real rupee-dollar exchange rate. Annual data over the period of 1962 to 2004 from 40 industries that trade between the two countries as well as bounds testing approach are used to show that while in half of the industries real depreciation of rupee has short-run effects on inpayments and outpayments, the short-run effects do not last into the long-run in majority of the cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 267-277 Issue: 3 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604453 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:3:p:267-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Groot Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Groot Author-Name: H. M. van den Brink Author-X-Name-First: H. M. Author-X-Name-Last: van den Brink Title: The effects of education on crime Abstract: In this article, we use a unique data set on criminal behaviour to analyse the effects of education on offences and crimes committed. The findings suggest that substantial savings on the social costs of crime can be obtained by investing in education. We find that the probability of committing crimes like shop lifting, vandalism and threat, assault and injury decrease with years of education. The probability of committing tax fraud, however, increases with years of education. We further find that higher educated people have more permissive attitudes and social norms towards criminal behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 279-289 Issue: 3 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604412 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604412 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:3:p:279-289 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akbar Marvasti Author-X-Name-First: Akbar Author-X-Name-Last: Marvasti Title: A welfare estimation of beach recreation with aggregate data Abstract: A single-site travel cost recreation demand model for a representative agent visiting a beach is employed that uses an indirect utility function. Alternative specifications of the expected demand function are estimated with aggregate time-series data from a local beach park. The estimated parameters are used to compute the value of the consumer surplus. The recreational value of the park is expectedly sensitive to the functional form used. Also, own-price and income elasticities for various functional forms vary. The results from the Box-Cox procedure suggest that the semi-log function is the most appropriate for the data used in this study. Confidence intervals are calculated to deal with the reliability problem of the consumer surplus estimates. An alternative algorithm, which assumes omitted variable as the source of the error in the demand function, is also presented. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 291-296 Issue: 3 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802498813 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802498813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:3:p:291-296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Granier Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Granier Author-Name: Sebastien Trinquard Author-X-Name-First: Sebastien Author-X-Name-Last: Trinquard Title: Entry deterrence and mergers under price competition in pharmaceutical markets Abstract: After patent expirations in pharmaceutical markets, brand-name laboratories are threatened by generic firms' entry. To fill the gap in the theoretical literature on this topic, we study brand-name firms' incentives either to deter entry, or to merge with the entrant. These strategies are considered along with the possibility of the brand-name firm producing its own generic drug, called a pseudo-generic drug. Using a vertical differentiation model with Bertrand-Stackelberg competition, we show that each strategy, merging and deterring entry, may be Nash equilibrium, according to the generic firm's setup cost level and to the rate of discount. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 297-309 Issue: 3 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604495 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:3:p:297-309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gerhard Reichmann Author-X-Name-First: Gerhard Author-X-Name-Last: Reichmann Author-Name: Margit Sommersguter-Reichmann Author-X-Name-First: Margit Author-X-Name-Last: Sommersguter-Reichmann Title: Efficiency measures and productivity indexes in the context of university library benchmarking Abstract: Data envelopment analysis (DEA) has attracted considerable attention during the last few decades as an intuitively clear method for performance assessment. Theoretical developments have taken turns with empirical efficiency studies. In this paper we empirically analyse performance differences across university libraries from different countries from a cross-section and a longitudinal perspective. We use the Malmquist index approach to disentangle environmental efficiency from technical efficiency (TE) to highlight performance differences eventually induced by environmental factors beyond the control of library management, as well as to decompose productivity changes over time into changes in TE and changes in technology. In our cross-section analysis we found that North American (NA) libraries are more productive at higher input levels than the European libraries from Germany and Austria at which we looked in this contribution. Moreover, the largest NA libraries are still able to improve performance, as the results of panel data analysis revealed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 311-323 Issue: 3 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604511 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604511 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:3:p:311-323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Evidence on PPP for selected Asian countries from a panel cointegration test with structural breaks Abstract: The goal of this article is to examine evidence for purchasing power parity (PPP) for a panel of Asian countries, namely Malaysia, Thailand, India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and the Philippines. Our main contribution is that for the first time in this literature we use a panel cointegration test, developed by Westerlund (2006), which allows us to incorporate multiple structural breaks. We find that using Gregory and Hansen's (1996) residual-based test for cointegration and Pedroni's (1999) panel cointegration test without structural breaks provide weak evidence of cointegration between nominal exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar and relative prices. However, when we use the Lagrange multiplier panel structural break cointegration test we find strong evidence of panel cointegration, providing evidence for PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 325-332 Issue: 3 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604446 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:3:p:325-332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Scrogin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Scrogin Author-Name: Richard Hofler Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Hofler Author-Name: Kevin Boyle Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Boyle Author-Name: J. Walter Milon Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Walter Milon Title: An efficiency approach to choice set formation: theory and application to recreational destination choice Abstract: An unresolved debate in behavioural choice research surrounds specifying individual choice sets. To overcome the limitations of deterministic and probabilistic approaches in a framework consistent with individual optimizing behaviour, this study develops an efficient frontiers approach to the choice set problem in the context of revealed preference destination choice. Stochastic frontier models relating costly inputs to utility generating outputs are estimated to measure the efficiency of sites; choice sets are then formed by retaining sites that exceed alternative efficiency thresholds. Choice set composition, site choice efficiency and probability of selection and consumer surplus are evaluated in the case of fishery site choice in Maine. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 333-350 Issue: 3 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604438 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604438 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:3:p:333-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurence Mathieu Author-X-Name-First: Laurence Author-X-Name-Last: Mathieu Author-Name: Catherine Waddams Price Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Waddams Price Author-Name: Francis Antwi Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: Antwi Title: The distribution of UK personal income tax compliance costs Abstract: Governments are committed to reducing the regulatory burden on business and individuals, while at the same time transferring many tasks from bureaucrats. One such example is tax compliance where self-assessment (SA) has raised concerns that such transfers may place a particularly heavy burden on lower income and elderly taxpayers. This is the first study since its introduction into the UK in 1996 of the regulatory burden, which SA imposes on individuals. We identify both the total compliance burden and its components for individuals who might be expected to incur high compliance costs because they pay tax on nonbusiness employment income. We use a specially designed questionnaire and find that within this group the burden seems to have increased by less than 25%. Compliance costs are regressive, but do not impinge disproportionately on the elderly. The compliance burden is determined by income, occupation, education (but not specifically in accounting subjects) and difficulty in attending to tax affairs, indicating some possibilities for reducing these compliance costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 351-368 Issue: 3 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604370 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:3:p:351-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacob Bikker Author-X-Name-First: Jacob Author-X-Name-Last: Bikker Author-Name: Laura Spierdijk Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Spierdijk Author-Name: Pieter-Jelle van der Sluis Author-X-Name-First: Pieter-Jelle Author-X-Name-Last: van der Sluis Title: What factors increase the risk of incurring high market impact costs? Abstract: This article applies quantile regression to assess the factors that influence the risk of incurring high trading costs. Using data on the equity trades of the world's second largest pension fund in the first quarter of 2002, we show that trade timing, momentum, volatility and the type of broker intermediation are the major determinants of the risk of incurring high trading costs. Such risk is increased substantially by either high or low momentum and by strong volatility. Moreover, agency trades are substantially more risky in terms of trading costs than similar principal trades. Finally, we show that the quantile regression model succeeds well in forecasting future trading costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 369-387 Issue: 3 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604461 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604461 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:3:p:369-387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Liang Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Author-Name: Hsiao-Ping Chu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Peter Sher Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sher Author-Name: Yi-Chia Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chia Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Title: R&D intensity, firm performance and the identification of the threshold: fresh evidence from the panel threshold regression model Abstract: This article tests whether there is an optimal level of research and development (R&D) intensity at which point a firm is able to maximize its performance. An advanced panel threshold regression model is employed to investigate the panel threshold effect of R&D intensity on firm performance among publicly traded Taiwan information technology and electronic firms. The results confirm that a single-threshold effect does exist and show an inverted-U correlation between R&D intensity and firm performance. This article demonstrates that it is possible to identify the definitive level beyond which a further increase in R&D expenditure does not yield proportional rewards. Some important policy implications emerge from the findings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 389-401 Issue: 3 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604487 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604487 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:3:p:389-401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chulho Jung Author-X-Name-First: Chulho Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: William Shambora Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Shambora Author-Name: Kyongwook Choi Author-X-Name-First: Kyongwook Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Are stocks really riskier than bonds? Abstract: Conventional wisdom holds that stocks are riskier than bonds; thus when the stock market becomes volatile, money flows from the stock market into the perceived safe haven of the bond market. In this article, we find that this notion is not necessarily accurate and might lead people to make incorrect investment decisions. In fact, intermediate- and long-term bonds are riskier than stocks when we measure risk by the coefficient of variation. We examine a case where an inaccurate perception regarding the relative riskiness of the two types of assets could play a part in what appears to be short-sighted and potentially costly behaviour of investors in financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 403-412 Issue: 4 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704386 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701704386 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:4:p:403-412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panagiotis Kasteridis Author-X-Name-First: Panagiotis Author-X-Name-Last: Kasteridis Author-Name: Murat Munkin Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Munkin Author-Name: Steven Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: Demand for cigarettes: a mixed binary-ordered probit approach Abstract: This study analyses the demand for cigarettes fitting observed zero outcomes with a trivariate model consisting of an equation for the starting smoking decision, an equation for the quitting decision, and an equation that models the level of cigarettes consumed. Five competing specifications are considered to explain level, with the ordered probit, which accommodates pile-ups of counts in the dependent variable, providing the best fit. Marginal effects of explanatory variables are calculated providing strong evidence of race and gender differences in consumption patterns. The estimated marginal effects are robust to alternative categorizations of the level of cigarettes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 413-426 Issue: 4 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704402 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701704402 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:4:p:413-426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Dorn Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Dorn Author-Name: Alfonso Sousa-Poza Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa-Poza Title: 'Voluntary' and 'involuntary' early retirement: an international analysis Abstract: Recent literature makes a distinction between 'voluntary' and 'involuntary' early retirement, where 'involuntary' early retirement results from employment constraints rather than from a preference for leisure relative to work. This article analyses 'voluntary' and 'involuntary' early retirement based on international microdata covering 19 industrialized countries. The results show that 'involuntary' early retirement is particularly widespread in Continental Europe. Countries facing economic recessions and having strict employment protection legislation have higher shares of 'involuntary' retirements among early retirees. Generous early retirement provisions of the social security system do not only make 'voluntary' early retirement more attractive for individuals, but also induce firms to push more employees to retire early. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 427-438 Issue: 4 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701663277 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701663277 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:4:p:427-438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ronald Lange Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Lange Title: Sources of regime switching in short-term interest rates for Canada Abstract: The purpose of this study is to identify sources of regime switching in short-term interest rates for Canada. The choice of information variables is based on three well-known hypotheses about interest rates: the expectations hypothesis, the Fisher relationship, and the condition for uncovered interest parity. The empirical framework consists of an autoregressive distributive lag (ADL) model in error-correction form with information spreads and a Markov regime-switching estimation methodology. The models choose interest-rate regimes that are similar in many respects to those found for the USA. The different regimes in Canada are driven by movements in the monetary policy rate, the US short-term rate, and the long-term yield. The monetary policy rate is found to trigger very large changes in the short-term rate, responding one-for-one in the high-variance regime and slightly less in the more 'normal' interest-rate regime. Both the US short rate and long-term yield are also found to trigger relatively large changes in short-term rates, but only in the high-variance regime. Inflation, however, is not found to contain additional information about regime switches in interest rates at the short-term horizon. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 439-454 Issue: 4 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701630078 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701630078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:4:p:439-454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tufan Ekici Author-X-Name-First: Tufan Author-X-Name-Last: Ekici Author-Name: Lucia Dunn Author-X-Name-First: Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Dunn Title: Credit card debt and consumption: evidence from household-level data Abstract: This research investigates the relationship between credit card debt and consumption using household level data. This is a departure from the previous studies which have used aggregate measures of consumption and general debt such as the Debt Service Ratio or total revolving credit. We use a detailed monthly survey of credit card use to impute credit card debt to respondents from the Consumer Expenditure Survey sample. In contrast to some earlier studies using aggregate data, we find a negative relationship between debt and consumption growth. Our work shows that a $1000 increase in credit card debt results in a decrease in quarterly consumption growth of almost 2%. Investigations are also made into effects of debt within different age categories and into the impact of expected income growth on the debt-consumption relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 455-462 Issue: 4 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964526 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964526 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:4:p:455-462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charalambos Pattichis Author-X-Name-First: Charalambos Author-X-Name-Last: Pattichis Title: The intertemporal budget constraint and current account sustainability in Cyprus: evidence and policy implications Abstract: Using the recently developed 'bounds' testing approach, this article provides evidence that Cyprus is not in violation of its intertemporal budget constraint and its current account balance is 'strongly' sustainable in the long-run. A policy implication of these findings is that the loss of exchange rate policy following the adoption of the euro in 2008 may not be a serious cost for Cyprus. On a methodological level, the results presented in this article support theoretical models that employ an intertemporal approach to modelling the current account. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 463-473 Issue: 4 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599875 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599875 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:4:p:463-473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lourdes Moreno Martin Author-X-Name-First: Lourdes Moreno Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: Diego Rodriguez Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Diego Rodriguez Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez Title: Export activity, persistence and mark-ups Abstract: This article addresses the differences in margins across exporting and nonexporting firms. We jointly estimate a translog cost function, a variable factor share equation and price-cost margin equations to analyse the effect of persistence in export activity on margins. Results indicate that nonexporters have smaller margins than persistent exporters and firms that entered foreign markets during the nineties. However, larger export ratio is negatively associated with margins for persistent exporters. It suggests that efficiency advantages for exporters are partially compensated by higher competitive pressure in international markets. These results are in accordance with the predictions of Melitz and Ottaviano (2005). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 475-488 Issue: 4 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604529 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604529 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:4:p:475-488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Nonlinear mean-reversion to purchasing power parity: exponential smooth transition autoregressive models and stochastic unit root processes Abstract: Nonlinear exponential smooth transition autoregressive (ESTAR) models are recently very popular in modelling the deviation from purchasing power parity. This article, shows that there is a close relation between the ESTAR models estimated in Taylor et al. (2001) and stochastic unit root (STUR) processes of Granger and Swanson (1997) and McCabe and Tremayne (1995). Also, for a post-Bretton Woods sample period, the real exchange rates from four major countries are tested if they are better described as I(1), ESTAR or STUR processes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 489-496 Issue: 4 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701604552 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701604552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:4:p:489-496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Poomthan Rangkakulnuwat Author-X-Name-First: Poomthan Author-X-Name-Last: Rangkakulnuwat Author-Name: Sung Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Sung Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Author-Name: Holly Wang Author-X-Name-First: Holly Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Susan He Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Extended generalized purchasing power parity and optimum currency area in East Asian countries Abstract: This article extends the theory of generalized purchasing power parity (G-PPP) by developing a model including foreign variables such as the real money supply, output and interest rate. A cointegration rank test with two structural breaks in the deterministic trend was adopted to selected Asian countries, with Japan as the base country. There were two cointegrating vectors and six common stochastic trends in the model. The cointegrating vectors were estimated by the same approach used by Pesaran et al. (2000). The first cointegrating vector is interpreted as G-PPP, and the second one is interpreted as the extended G-PPP. According to G-PPP, these countries could form a single currency area. The first stochastic trend is primarily driven by Japan's real money supply; the second, third and fourth by the real exchange rates of the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand, respectively; the fifth by Japan's output; and the sixth by Japan's government bond yields. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 497-513 Issue: 4 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701663269 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701663269 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:4:p:497-513 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernardino Benito Author-X-Name-First: Bernardino Author-X-Name-Last: Benito Author-Name: Francisco Bastida Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Bastida Author-Name: Jose Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Title: Explaining differences in efficiency: an application to Spanish municipalities Abstract: This article, investigates efficiency in the municipal sector of the Region of Murcia (Spain). With that aim, data of 31 municipalities (69% of the response rate) have been collected. Services analysed are: police, culture, sports, green areas, refuse collection and water supply. Ratios of efficiency have been related to other control variables, such as economic level, size of the municipality, decentralization, political sign and financial situation. A weak positive relation between economic level and efficiency arises. Some weak evidence also exists that public management of refuse collection is more efficient than private. In water supply, public management by means of a company controlled by the local government is clearly more efficient than private. It also seems that the higher the tax burden, the greater the efficiency in providing services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 515-528 Issue: 4 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701675560 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701675560 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:4:p:515-528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magali Chaudey Author-X-Name-First: Magali Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudey Author-Name: Muriel Fadairo Author-X-Name-First: Muriel Author-X-Name-Last: Fadairo Title: Contractual design and networks performance: empirical evidence from franchising Abstract: This article, deals with the links between networks performance and the design of vertical contracts. It provides evidence broadly consistent with the hypothesis that within franchising systems, constraining contracts for the retailers favour a better performance at the network level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 529-533 Issue: 4 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704428 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701704428 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:4:p:529-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandro Rebucci Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Rebucci Title: Is growth exogenous? Evidence from the 1970s and 1980s Abstract: This article assesses the role of external and policy factors for growth variability. The mean group estimator is used to estimate a vector autoregressive system on a panel data set of eighteen developing economies from 1965 to 1992. The main findings are that (i) temporary external shocks are an important determinant of medium to long-run growth variability (ii) high inflation countries are more vulnerable to external shocks than others. This evidence is supportive of the conventional view that macro-economic stability is conducive to growth, and casts doubts on the idea that the growth process might be largely exogenous. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 535-543 Issue: 5 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704410 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701704410 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:5:p:535-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Yurekli Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Yurekli Author-Name: O. Sayginsoy Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Sayginsoy Title: Worldwide organized cigarette smuggling: an empirical analysis Abstract: This article estimates the economic size and the impact on government revenues of cigarette smuggling worldwide and formulates economic policies that can be used to effectively address the problem. First, information from various sources are combined and a global map of smuggling routes for cigarettes is described. By examining the international cigarette trade records, the hub/transit countries in six regions of the world are identified. Second, a variable that measures smuggling incentives for cigarettes is defined and computed for 110 countries. Third, a static global demand model for cigarettes (that includes the smuggling incentives variable) is specified and robustly estimated. Using the estimation results, global price and income elasticities of cigarette demand are obtained as -0.41 and 0.37, respectively. It is estimated that in 1999, 3.4% of global cigarette consumption was smuggled and 7.4% of tax revenue was lost to smuggling. Fourth, the best policy options are identified to achieve the objectives of both public health agencies (less consumption, less smuggling) and governments (less smuggling, more revenue). A tax-induced increase in real retail cigarette prices and an improvement in anti-smuggling law enforcement (as proxied by the corruption indicator) are found to significantly increase government revenues while decreasing global consumption and smuggling. Furthermore, when the tax increase is not accompanied by an improvement in law enforcement, then global smuggling of cigarettes would increase, but governments would still enjoy increased tax revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 545-561 Issue: 5 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720721 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:5:p:545-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Overesch Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Overesch Author-Name: Georg Wamser Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Wamser Title: Corporate tax planning and thin-capitalization rules: evidence from a quasi-experiment Abstract: This article investigates tax-planning behaviour by means of inter-company finance and the effectiveness of government countermeasures via thin-capitalization rules. A simple theoretical model which considers the financing decision of a multinational company is used to obtain empirical implications. The empirical analysis, based on German inbound investment data from 1996 to 2004, confirms a significant impact of tax-rate differentials on the use of inter-company debt. The effectiveness of the German thin-capitalization rule is tested by using legal amendments as natural experiments. The results suggest that thin-capitalization rules induce significantly lower internal borrowing. Hence, tax planning via internal finance is effectively limited by thin-capitalization rules. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 563-573 Issue: 5 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704477 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701704477 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:5:p:563-573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre Koning Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Koning Author-Name: Daniel van Vuuren Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: van Vuuren Title: Disability insurance and unemployment insurance as substitute pathways Abstract: In this article, we estimate the degree of substitution between enrolment into Disability Insurance (DI) and Unemployment Insurance (UI) in the Netherlands. Starting in the 1990s many policy measures aimed at reducing DI enrolment, and increase labour force participation. We quantify whether these policy measures have led to a reduction in hidden unemployment in DI. A side effect of the reforms may be increased pressure on UI. Therefore, we simultaneously estimate reverse substitution, that is, hidden disability in UI. To this end, we employ a sample of firms in the Dutch AVO database from the period 1993 to 2002. Using instrumental variables in a bivariate Tobit specification, we identify the hidden components in both respective schemes. The estimation results indicate that about 3% of all dismissals took place through DI, which implies that about one quarter of the DI enrolments observed in our sample in fact consists of hidden unemployment. We find no evidence for reverse substitution of disabled persons ending up in UI. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 575-588 Issue: 5 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704436 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701704436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:5:p:575-588 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inmaculada Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Author-Name: Victor Manuel Montuenga Author-X-Name-First: Victor Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Montuenga Title: Intra-family distribution of paid-work time Abstract: This article analyses the intra-family distribution of paid-work time in five European countries (France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the UK). To that end, we formulate a collective model, which allows us to characterize the efficient labour supply decisions of each spouse. This two-equation model is then simultaneously estimated by using national panel data drawn from the European Community Household Panel-ECHP (1994-2001). Empirical results clearly show that, in all sample countries, the labour supply of wives is affected by own wages, household and own nonlabour incomes and the number of children, whereas evidence for husbands differs across countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 589-601 Issue: 5 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704469 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701704469 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:5:p:589-601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anh Le Author-X-Name-First: Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Le Author-Name: Paul Miller Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: Glass ceiling and double disadvantage effects: women in the US labour market Abstract: Gender pay issues in the US labour market are examined using 1990 and 2000 US Census data for three groups: the native born, immigrants from English-speaking countries and immigrants from non-English-speaking countries. Quantile regression estimates reveal different patterns of wage effects across the wage distribution. Females have lower rates of pay across the entire wage scale. There is minimal evidence of glass ceiling effects. Immigrant women from non-English-speaking countries are argued to experience a double disadvantage effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 603-613 Issue: 5 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704501 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701704501 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:5:p:603-613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mikael Svensson Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Svensson Title: Economic upturns are good for your heart but watch out for accidents: a study on Swedish regional data 1976-2005 Abstract: This article explores the relationship between the regional unemployment rate in total and cause-specific mortality in Sweden during 1976-2005. Overall mortality is unrelated to changes in the unemployment rate, while the biggest cause of death (heart disease) decreases when the unemployment rate decreases. At the same time, other accidents, including job-related accidents, increases when the unemployment rate decreases. Swedish evidence provide no support for the US research findings, that 'short-term decreases in the unemployment rate are bad for your health', in general. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 615-625 Issue: 5 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704519 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701704519 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:5:p:615-625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Chang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Lon-Ping Zu Author-X-Name-First: Lon-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Zu Author-Name: Chau-Jung Kuo Author-X-Name-First: Chau-Jung Author-X-Name-Last: Kuo Title: Risk aversion, order strategy and price formation Abstract: This article provides a model of order-submission strategy and price formation by analysing the optimal behaviour of risk-averse uninformed traders. According to our inference, the market dynamically adjusts the bid/ask at any moment to generate enough price improvement return in order to cover the adverse selection risk and the nonexecution risk faced by the liquidity providers of both side. We find that the asset volatility is the key determinant of the adverse selection risk and the nonexecution risk, and thereby the bid-ask spread is positively associated with the asset volatility. From a practice perspective, our order-submission model based on risk-averse preference may have much less potential problems than the risk-neutral analyses of Foucault (1999) and Handa et al. (2003). Besides, our novelty approach could connect both previous models, which are the special cases of the reduced form of our model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 627-640 Issue: 5 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720788 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:5:p:627-640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Omer Gokcekus Author-X-Name-First: Omer Author-X-Name-Last: Gokcekus Author-Name: Adam Godet Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Godet Author-Name: Heather Ramsey Author-X-Name-First: Heather Author-X-Name-Last: Ramsey Title: Are women more predictable than men? Abstract: During the NCAA basketball tournaments from 2002 to 2005, men's games produced 27% more upsets than women's games. To test whether these unpredictable results were due to gender differences, we conduct logit analysis to explain upsets by gender and other potentially significant variables, including differences in competing teams': (i) RPI scores, (ii) percentage of freshmen, (iii) percentage of seniors, (iv) top scorer's total points and, (v) top three scorers' total points. These analyses suggest that gender plays a significant role in explaining predictability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 641-645 Issue: 5 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704451 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701704451 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:5:p:641-645 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evrim Turgutlu Author-X-Name-First: Evrim Author-X-Name-Last: Turgutlu Author-Name: Burcu Ucer Author-X-Name-First: Burcu Author-X-Name-Last: Ucer Title: Is global diversification rational? Evidence from emerging equity markets through mixed copula approach Abstract: In this article, we aim to model the level and structure of the dependence between the world's leading stock markets and those of the emerging market groups - Europe, Latin America and Far East. To this end we use a mixture model of Gaussian, Gumbel and Gumbel survival copulas. Our results indicate that none of the pairs of stock markets exhibit a right-tail dependence structure. All valid models exhibit a mixture of Gaussian and left-tail dependence structure. Our findings imply that Gaussian dependence structure is dominant in most of the models. The emerging equity markets in the European region exhibit the most significant dependence structure with the world leaders. Furthermore, most of the emerging equity markets have a significant dependence structure with the US stock market. We further compare our findings with the results of the conventional correlation coefficients and conclude the importance of using copula models in analysing the portfolio diversification opportunities. Our findings overall indicate two important remarks: First, the copula models reveal better indicators for global investors to establish a diversified portfolio; Second, international equity markets exhibit significant dependence, which leaves a smaller opportunity to benefit from international portfolio diversification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 647-658 Issue: 5 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704485 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701704485 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:5:p:647-658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kuan-Min Wang Author-X-Name-First: Kuan-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Thanh-Binh Nguyen Thi Author-X-Name-First: Thanh-Binh Nguyen Author-X-Name-Last: Thi Title: Asymmetric pass-through and risk of interest rate: an empirical exploration of Taiwan and Hong Kong Abstract: This study employs the asymmetric threshold cointegration test suggested by Enders and Siklos (2001) and creates asymmetric EC-EGARCH(1, 1)- M model to investigate the pass-through of money-market rate to banking retail rates in Taiwan and Hong Kong. It further explores the impact of interest volatility on interest rates. Over the period of February 1988 to December 2004, we find that the interest pass-through mechanism of these two markets is noncomplete. In addition, based on the asymmetric threshold cointegration test, we discover the existence of asymmetric cointegration relationship between retail rates and market rate in both markets. In particular, while employing asymmetric EC-EGARCH (1, 1)-M model to test for the influence of money-market rate adjustment and volatility on retail rates in short-run, we find robust evidence that there exist the upward rigidity in deposit rate and the downward rigidity in lending rate in both Taiwan and Hong Kong. This finding supports the hypothesis of the collusive pricing arrangements. Furthermore, interest volatility should cause a smaller margin of variation for Taiwan's deposit/lending rates and wider margin for Hong Kong's lending rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 659-670 Issue: 5 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704444 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701704444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:5:p:659-670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Torjus Bolkesjø Author-X-Name-First: Torjus Author-X-Name-Last: Bolkesjø Author-Name: Joseph Buongiorno Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Buongiorno Author-Name: Birger Solberg Author-X-Name-First: Birger Author-X-Name-Last: Solberg Title: Joint production and substitution in timber supply: a panel data analysis Abstract: Supply equations for sawlog and pulpwood were developed with a panel of data from 102 Norwegian municipalities, observed from 1980 to 2000. Static and dynamic models were estimated by cross-section, time-series andpanel data methods. A static model estimated by first differencing gavethe best overall results in terms of theoretical expectations, pattern ofresiduals, prediction accuracy and parsimony. The results showed thatsawlog supply responded positively to its own price (elasticity e = 0.91 ± 0.07) but negatively to the pulpwood price (e = -0.22 ± 0.06). The pulpwood supply responded positively to the price of both pulpwood (e = 0.53 ± 0.06) and sawlogs (e = 0.20 ± 0.07). Sawlog and pulpwood supply had a common elasticity of 2.04 (± 0.25) with respect to the growing stock, and of 0.30 (± 0.21) with respect to the interest rate. The supply elasticity of substitution of sawlog for pulpwood with respect to their relative price was 0.74 ± 0.04. Policies to raise the annual harvest, which is currently well below the annual growth, should focus on stimulating sawnwood production (thus increasing sawlog prices), because this would increase supply of both pulpwood and sawlogs. Instead, policies to stimulate pulpwood demand (thus increasing pulpwood prices), would give more pulpwood, but less sawlogs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 671-680 Issue: 6 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721216 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721216 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:6:p:671-680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Makram El-Shagi Author-X-Name-First: Makram Author-X-Name-Last: El-Shagi Title: Capital controls and international interest rate differentials Abstract: Since the Asian crises it is often taken as granted that capital markets have significant functional deficits. Often these deficits are believed to be so very strong that the ability of free capital markets to guarantee a more or less correct international allocation of capital is denied. It is argued that speculation dominates capital markets so much that capital allocation is purely random. This is one of the major arguments backing the present trend to re-establish capital controls, which emerged after the capital market distortions observed during the Asian flu. In the present article it is shown that capital markets, while certainly prone to many distortions, are well capable of roughly guiding capital to the proper place. Though allocation is not model-like perfect, this steals the thunder from the idea, that closed or government-guided capital markets were able to perform better. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 681-688 Issue: 6 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720770 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720770 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:6:p:681-688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordi Pons-Novell Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Pons-Novell Author-Name: Daniel Tirado-Fabregat Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Tirado-Fabregat Title: Is there life beyond the ISI Journal lists? The international impact of Spanish, Italian, French and German economics journals Abstract: This comparative study looks at the international impact of leading economics journals published in Spain, Italy, France and Germany. It also aims to establish whether they play similar roles in these four countries. For this purpose, data were collected on the number of times that articles published in these journals are cited in international journals on the ISI Journals lists. The study focused on the number and characteristics of the citations received during the period 1996 to 2004 by articles published between 1995 and 1999 in a limited number of Spanish, Italian, French and German journals. The international impact of the Spanish journals was found to be similar in size and characteristics to that of Italian publications. However, it differed sharply from the impact of the highest-ranking French and German journals, which received considerably more citations. Moreover, restricting the group of citing journals to the 'blue ribbon journals', the highest-ranking publications in the economics sector, only the leading journals in Germany and France received a significant number of references. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 689-699 Issue: 6 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720804 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:6:p:689-699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dorothea Schafer Author-X-Name-First: Dorothea Author-X-Name-Last: Schafer Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Author-Name: Eva Terberger Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Terberger Title: Banking competition, good or bad? The case of promoting micro and small enterprise finance in Kazakhstan Abstract: Competition is claimed to be beneficial in development projects promoting micro and small enterprise finance although there are still doubts as to whether these loans can be developed into a profitable business. Our research sheds new light on the question of how many MSE banking units should optimally be created and supported in a certain region. We employ a unique data set from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development for Kazakhstan, and investigate which strategy contributes more to the overall success of the programme: a strategy of setting up several competing banks or a strategy of establishing regional monopolies. 'Competition is the most important principle on which our strategy is based. As in any other market, effective competition provides incentives for banks to offer market-based and demand-oriented financial services. Competition encourages the development of better products and services at lower cost.' (Matthaus-Maier and von Pischke, 2004, p. 1). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 701-716 Issue: 6 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720820 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720820 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:6:p:701-716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Vergara Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Vergara Title: Taxation and private investment: evidence for Chile Abstract: Along with several structural reforms, Chile embarked upon a major income tax reform in the eighties. Its basic feature was a significant reduction in the corporate income tax rate. The purpose of this article is to investigate empirically the link between the tax reform and the investment performance of Chile since the reform. Macroeconomic and microeconomic evidence is found to be consistent with the hypothesis of the reduction in the corporate income tax as being one of the determinants of the investment boom of the late eighties and nineties in Chile. Our estimations suggest that there are two channels in which taxes affect investment: on the one hand, higher taxes increase the cost of capital (cost of capital channel); and on the other, they reduce internal funds available for investment (liquidity constraint channel). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 717-725 Issue: 6 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720747 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720747 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:6:p:717-725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Kesting Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Kesting Title: Why it is possible that wages and pensions can increase simultaneously in an ageing and stagnating % A theoretical investigation and a simulation of the German case Abstract: This article investigates the possibilities and restrictions of inter-generational income development for ageing and stagnating economies. In a first step, the basic logic of ageing will be investigated in a simple dynamic model. In particular, the investigation points out the existence of the demographic distribution mass and its meaning for inter-generational income development. It proves that the demographic distribution mass makes it possible for wages and pensions to grow simultaneously in an ageing and stagnating economy. In a second step, the development of wages and pensions is simulated for the German case through to the year 2050. It is demonstrated that (under normal circumstances) it can be expected that the burden from ageing can almost always be over-compensated by the economic growth of the respective year. Against this background, ageing appears to be rather a problem of acceptance and income distribution than that of real income reductions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 727-738 Issue: 6 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720796 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:6:p:727-738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Vaillant Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Vaillant Author-Name: Philippe Lesot Author-X-Name-First: Philippe Author-X-Name-Last: Lesot Author-Name: Quentin Bonnard Author-X-Name-First: Quentin Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnard Author-Name: Valerie Harrant Author-X-Name-First: Valerie Author-X-Name-Last: Harrant Title: The use of expert opinion, quality and reputation indicators by consumers: evidence from the French vaulting stallion semen market Abstract: We build a model inspired by the standard hedonic approach developed by Rosen (1974) and completed by Landon and Smith (1997, 1998) to analyse the price of French vaulting stallion semen in 2004. We show that reputation, modelled as an endogenous factor, plays a less important role than information on true quality for the explanation of price dispersion. This result is explained by the fact that information on studhorses is not only available but also reliable, insofar as the quality of a stallion is stable over time, contrary to nondurable products like wine or cigars. This explains also why consumers on this market do not use expert opinions to make their choices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 739-745 Issue: 6 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720812 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720812 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:6:p:739-745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Koyin Chang Author-X-Name-First: Koyin Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Dennis Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Author-Name: Yung-Hsiang Ying Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Hsiang Author-X-Name-Last: Ying Author-Name: Yoonbai Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yoonbai Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The decomposition of disturbances to national output of China-the evidence of sectoral and regional shocks Abstract: The Chinese government has established policies to promote its industrial sectors and to develop coastal provinces since the late 1978. To investigate the extent and reason the output growth in China has been influenced by these policies, an error-component model is employed to decompose the importance of sectoral and regional shocks to variations in national output. The results show that both sectoral specific shocks common across regions and regional specific shocks common across sectors are important in explaining the disturbance of national output in China. Specifically, sectoral specific shocks consistently explain relatively more disturbance of Chinese output than regional specific shocks do. Our empirical results are somewhat different from Stockman (1988) and Costello (1993), since they show almost equal explanatory power of sectoral and national shocks in accounting for national outputs in OECD countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 747-757 Issue: 6 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720887 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:6:p:747-757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Badri Narayanan Author-X-Name-First: Badri Author-X-Name-Last: Narayanan Title: Long-run relationship between output, capital, labour and productivity in emerging market economies Abstract: Long-run relationship between the variables involved in the production function is an issue that is important particularly in developing countries, as the neoclassical production function is best suited for developed countries and its applicability to developing countries is questionable in various ways. This motivates us to do this based on time-series analysis, taking Indian textile industry as an example, which is currently at its crucial stage as a critical industry in an emerging economy, with the phasing out of Multi Fibre Arrangement in 2005. This study documents existence of cointegration between capital and output, negative impact of employment shocks on output changes, substitutability between changes in capital and labour, negative effect of shocks to changes in capital stock on productivity and negative effect of employment shocks on future productivity. These results are in line with the general perceptions about this industry and with the standard neoclassical propositions, as explained in this article. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 759-768 Issue: 6 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720838 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:6:p:759-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Yazici Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Yazici Author-Name: Mushtaq Ahmad Klasra Author-X-Name-First: Mushtaq Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad Klasra Title: Import-content of exports and J-curve effect Abstract: This article investigates how the response to devaluation of trade balance is affected, compared to J-curve hypothesis, by the presence of imported inputs in the production of exports. Using first the Almon lag technique and then the cointegration and the generalized impulse response function analysis, the J-curve effect is examined in two sectors of Turkish economy (manufacturing and mining), which use imported inputs at different rates. Based on the data covering the period from the first quarter of 1986 to the third quarter of 1998, our results indicate that in neither sector J-curve exists and that the violation of the J-curve effect is more severe in the sector with higher import content Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 769-776 Issue: 6 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720846 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:6:p:769-776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon So Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: So Author-Name: Gordon Tang Author-X-Name-First: Gordon Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: An examination of conditional effect on cross-sectional returns: Singapore evidence Abstract: This article empirically examines the usefulness of beta, firm size, book-to-market equity ratio (B/M) and earnings-to-price ratio (E/P), as risk proxies in explaining the cross-sectional returns in the Singapore stock market under both unconditional and conditional frameworks based on up and down markets. Consistent with previous studies, though beta plays no role under unconditional framework, there is evidence of a significantly positive (negative) risk premium on beta during periods of up (down) markets, supporting for the continuous use of beta as a risk measure. Interestingly, our results show that firm size is the only significant variable in explaining average returns under the unconditional framework but its impact becomes much less under the up and down market conditions. However, significant conditional effect of E/P is found. Although, B/M alone is not significantly conditionally related to returns, in various combinations with beta, it becomes significant and the joint role of beta and B/M, due to an interaction effect between them, has an 'amplified' gain in the explanatory power. Our study suggests that beta does not suffice to explain the cross-sectional variations of returns, but it is possible that the joint effect of beta and B/M may be a surrogate as an underlying and more fundamental factor that is missing in the conditional SLB model. We also find evidence that investors in the Singapore stock market react virtually the same to these firm-specific factors and to beta during up and down markets. Our results are robust for both beta-size and size-beta sorting procedures and for both value- and equally weighted market proxies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 777-795 Issue: 6 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720879 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720879 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:6:p:777-795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chuan Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chin-Tsai Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Tsai Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chien-Hua Lai Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: Jackpot promotion model for Taiwan Lotto Abstract: Lotto was inaugurated in January 2002, and immediately became a popular activity in Taiwan; as the big craze following its initial introduction has subsided, the growth of Lotto game sales has slowed. To maintain lottery sales' momentum, operators have conducted numerous jackpot promotions; this study examines the effectiveness of various jackpot promotional strategies. The analytical results can provide a valuable reference for operators and governmental authorities regarding ways of increasing lottery earnings. The empirical findings of this investigation include the following: (1) the effective price elasticity of Lotto is -0.382; Taipei Fubon Bank can increase the revenue gained from Lotto by increasing the effective price; (2) operators can significantly increase lottery sales by declaring the jackpot as an unconditional added fixed or variable bonus. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 797-801 Issue: 6 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720903 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720903 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:6:p:797-801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jon Nelson Author-X-Name-First: Jon Author-X-Name-Last: Nelson Title: Alcohol advertising bans, consumption and control policies in seventeen OECD countries, 1975-2000 Abstract: This article uses cross-country panel data to study the effects of advertising bans and other control policies on alcohol demand. The null hypothesis is that advertising bans do not decrease alcohol consumption. The study addresses several shortcomings in four previous cross-country studies. First, an explanatory variable is included for other alcohol control policies. Second, the study examines the history of advertising bans in OECD countries. Third, the study also examines differences in cross-country trends that characterize developed countries, including aging of the population, increased tourism, higher unemployment rates and increased consumption of wine. The Mediterranean wine-drinking countries are shown to be categorically distinct from the beer-drinking countries and Nordic spirits-drinking countries. Fourth, the study examines the panel data for unit roots and employs model specifications that correct for nonstationary data. The empirical results indicate a significantly negative effect for the control index and the alcohol price. Using alternative model specifications and estimation methods, the results indicate that advertising bans do not reduce alcohol consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 803-823 Issue: 7 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720952 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720952 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:7:p:803-823 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdul Hakim Author-X-Name-First: Abdul Author-X-Name-Last: Hakim Author-Name: Michael McAleer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McAleer Title: Modelling the interactions across international stock, bond and foreign exchange markets Abstract: The benefits of investing internationally depend on three conditions, namely, cross-country correlations, market volatilities and future changes in currency risks (Odier and Solnik, 1993). This article investigates these conditions for several countries. Many papers have modelled both domestic interactions across asset markets and international interactions in individual asset markets in isolation, but rarely have they examined international interactions across asset markets. The article fills this gap by modelling the international interactions across stock, bond and foreign exchange markets. Two models that meet these purposes are the VARMA-AGARCH model of Hoti et al. (2002) and the VARMA-GARCH model of Ling and McAleer (2003). The countries that will be modelled in this article are Australia, Japan, Singapore, New Zealand and USA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 825-850 Issue: 7 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720994 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:7:p:825-850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pål Boug Author-X-Name-First: Pål Author-X-Name-Last: Boug Author-Name: Andreas Fagereng Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Fagereng Title: Exchange rate volatility and export performance: a cointegrated VAR approach Abstract: During the last decades Norwegian exporters have-despite various forms of exchange rate targeting-faced a rather volatile exchange rate which may have influenced their behaviour. Recently, the shift to inflation targeting and a freely floating exchange rate has brought about an even more volatile exchange rate. We examine the causal link between export performance and exchange rate volatility across different monetary policy regimes within the cointegrated Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework using the implied conditional variance from a Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model as a measure of volatility. Although treating the volatility measure as either a stationary or a nonstationary variable in the VAR, we are not able to find any evidence suggesting that export performance has been significantly affected by exchange rate uncertainty. We find, however, that volatility changes proxied by blip dummies related to the monetary policy change from a fixed to a managed floating exchange rate and the Asian financial crises during the 1990s enter significantly in a dynamic model for export growth-in which the level of relative prices and world market demand together with the level of exports constitute a significant cointegration relationship. A forecasting exercise on the dynamic model rejects the hypothesis that increased exchange rate volatility in the wake of inflation targeting in the monetary policy has had a significant impact on export performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 851-864 Issue: 7 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600491 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600491 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:7:p:851-864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Rangel Figueira Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Rangel Author-X-Name-Last: Figueira Author-Name: Heloisa Lee Burnquist Author-X-Name-First: Heloisa Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Burnquist Author-Name: Mirian Rumenos Piedade Bacchi Author-X-Name-First: Mirian Rumenos Piedade Author-X-Name-Last: Bacchi Title: Forecasting fuel ethanol consumption in Brazil by time series models: 2006-2012 Abstract: This article analysed scenarios for Brazilian consumption of ethanol for the period 2006 to 2012. The results show that if the country's GDP sustains a 4.6% a year growth, domestic consumption of fuel ethanol could increase to 25.16 billion liters in this period, which is a volume relatively close to the forecasted gasoline consumption of 31 billion liters. At a lower GDP growth of 1.22% a year, gasoline consumption would be reduced and domestic ethanol consumption in Brazil would be no higher than 18.32 billion liters. Contrary to the current situation, forecasts indicated that hydrated ethanol consumption could become much higher than anhydrous consumption in Brazil. The former is being consumed in cars moved exclusively by ethanol and flex-fuel cars, successfully introduced in the country at 2003. Flex cars allow Brazilian consumers to choose between gasoline and hydrated ethanol and immediately switch to whichever fuel presents the most favourable relative price. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 865-874 Issue: 7 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720978 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720978 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:7:p:865-874 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen MacDonald Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: MacDonald Author-Name: Suwen Pan Author-X-Name-First: Suwen Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Agapi Somwaru Author-X-Name-First: Agapi Author-X-Name-Last: Somwaru Author-Name: Francis Tuan Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: Tuan Title: China's role in world cotton and textile markets: a joint computable general equilibrium/partial equilibrium approach Abstract: Under the Uruguay Round's Agreement on Textiles and Clothing (ATC), the quotas inherited from the Multifibre Arrangement were gradually phased-out between January 1995 and 31 December 2004. This study estimates the impact of the ATC's implementation on China's textile industry and China's cotton sector. The study finds that, assuming equilibrium levels of income and exchange rates, the adoption of ATC are expected to increase China's net apparel exports, textile production, cotton consumption, cotton production and cotton imports. However, this study fails to support the hypothesis that the adoption of the ATC results in China supplanting the textile industries of the rest of the developing world. The impacts on cotton are also smaller than indicated by previous studies. These outcomes are somewhat sensitive to estimates of expected efficiency gains around the world. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 875-885 Issue: 7 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720911 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720911 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:7:p:875-885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsiu-Yun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hsiu-Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Jyh-Lin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Chiung-Hsiang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chiung-Hsiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Hysteresis in East Asian unemployment Abstract: High-performing Asian economies are quite distinctive with efficient, flexible and responsive labour markets. Comparing the persistence of unemployment in East Asian economies to that in Western countries is difficult due to the data's short time spans and possible structural breaks. This article employs advanced unit root tests to deal with these problems and fails to reject 'hysteresis' in the unemployment rates of the high-performing Asian countries, even after taking into account structural change. An alternative explanation of different productivity growth for the hysteresis phenomenon of the Asian countries is proposed herein. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 887-898 Issue: 7 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720895 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:7:p:887-898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Zaher Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Zaher Author-Name: Allen Featherstone Author-X-Name-First: Allen Author-X-Name-Last: Featherstone Title: Productive efficiency in the Middle East and North Africa Abstract: Productive efficiency and factors affecting it in 11 countries in the Middle East and North Africa region were evaluated over the period 1980 to 1999 using Fare's nonparametric approach. The results indicate that Oil-producing countries are more efficient in terms of production compared with non Oil-producing countries. Tobit analyses indicate that previous levels of efficiency, the degree of economic openness, consumption of domestically produced goods and the limited availability of credit have a positive impact on production efficiency. A sensitivity analysis using the bias corrected bootstrap technique shows that allocative efficiency and economic efficiency are more sensitive to the returns to scale assumption and sample size than pure technical efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 899-915 Issue: 7 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720986 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720986 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:7:p:899-915 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chia-Hung Sun Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Yi-Bin Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Title: Taiwan's trade imbalance and exchange rate revisited Abstract: This article applies the recently developed econometric method of autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model to re-examine the relationship between the exchange rate and bilateral trade imbalance for Taiwan and its several trading partners: China, Hong Kong, the US, Japan, South Korea and Malaysia. The implication of this issue is critical to policy makers, particularly after China and Taiwan joined the World Trade Organization (WTO) in late 2001 and early 2002, respectively. The empirical evidence shows a stable long-run relationship of bilateral trade balance and real exchange rate between Taiwan and its trading partners except Japan. Other findings indicate that except for the US, there is no specific pattern supporting the J-curve phenomenon for these trading partners. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 917-922 Issue: 7 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720937 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720937 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:7:p:917-922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qin Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Qin Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Yunhua Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yunhua Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The residential market of Hong Kong: rational or irrational? Abstract: The current study attempts to investigate the proposition that Hong Kong residential market is only driven by a rational speculative bubble, in addition to fundamentals. The fundamentals are chosen according to the present value model, but will account for latent private information. Potential roles of other public information are also explored. The study finds that the influence of the rational bubble on the price growth is highly significant. However, in contrast to Seoul and Singapore housing market (Xiao, 2006; Xiao and Huang, 2007), neither the fundamentals, nor the rational bubble can explain much of the price growth in the market of concern. This finding leaves large room for questioning whether or not this market is more prone to irrationality than its counterparts in Seoul and Singapore. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 923-933 Issue: 7 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701720960 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701720960 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:7:p:923-933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christine Wieck Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Wieck Author-Name: David Holland Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Holland Title: The economic effect of the Canadian BSE outbreak on the US economy Abstract: Before the discovery of the first Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) cow in May 2003, Canada was the most important exporter of live cattle into the US with a share of 74% of US total live cattle imports. With the outbreak of BSE in Canada, the US ceased imports of Canadian cattle and beef products. This study analyses the short to medium-term effect of the import trade ban for the US economy using a 20 sector, economy wide Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. Uncertainty about exogenous elasticity values was addressed using Monte Carlo techniques. Beneficiaries of the trade ban are the cattle industry and related sectors, such as feed production and agricultural service providers. The US economy as a whole, however, is negatively affected with a loss of ∼$-1.7 billion in gross domestic product and -11000 jobs. The model shows how the restriction on Canadian cattle imports generates income losses for both rich and poor households in the US. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 935-946 Issue: 8 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721125 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:8:p:935-946 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantinos Nikolopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolopoulos Title: Forecasting with quantitative methods: the impact of special events in time series Abstract: Quantitative methods are very successful in producing baseline forecasts of time series; however, these models forecast neither the timing nor the impact of special events such as promotions or strikes. In most of the cases, the timing of such events is not known so they are usually referred as shocks (economics) or special events (forecasting). Sometimes the timing of such events is known a priori (i.e. a future promotion); but even then the impact of the forthcoming event is hard to estimate. Forecasters prefer to use their own judgement for adjusting for forthcoming special events, but human efficiency in such tasks has been found to be deficient. This study after examining the relative performance of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Nearest Neighbour (NN) approaches proposes an expert method, which combines the strengths of regression and artificial intelligence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 947-955 Issue: 8 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721042 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721042 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:8:p:947-955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masoud Moghaddam Author-X-Name-First: Masoud Author-X-Name-Last: Moghaddam Title: Co-integrated money in the production function-evidence and implications Abstract: The notion of money as a factor of production has been debated both theoretically and empirically by a number of researchers in the past four decades. However, the empirical support for money as an input along with labour and capital has been mixed and thus, the issue appears to be unsettled. Recent developments in econometrics regarding co-integration and error correction provide a rich environment in which the role of money in the production function can be reexamined. In a co-integrated space, this article presents empirical evidence indicating that different definitions of money (simple sum or the divisia M2) play an input role in the Cobb-Douglas production function. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 957-963 Issue: 8 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721075 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:8:p:957-963 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juthathip Jongwanich Author-X-Name-First: Juthathip Author-X-Name-Last: Jongwanich Title: The determinants of household and private savings in Thailand Abstract: A broad set of possible determinants of household and private savings behaviour is examined through an in-depth case study of Thailand during the period 1960 to 2004. Results suggest that an increase in economic growth, inflation and terms of trade all have a significant positive impact on household and private saving rates. In contrast, the availability of bank credit tends to reduce household and private saving rates. While an increase in both old and young dependency has a negative impact on household and private saving rates, the magnitude of the impact on the former is far greater than that on the latter. Furthermore, public saving seems to crowd out household and private saving, but less than proportionately. This reflects a possible role of fiscal policy in increasing national savings in the economy. Over and above these variables, corporate saving is another important determinant of household saving. An increase in the former brings about a significant reduction in the latter. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 965-976 Issue: 8 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721067 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:8:p:965-976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian-Zhou Teng Author-X-Name-First: Jian-Zhou Author-X-Name-Last: Teng Author-Name: Qi Liang Author-X-Name-First: Qi Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Title: Reassessment of the finance-growth nexus in the presence of structural breaks Abstract: This article investigates empirically the causality between financial development and economic growth for 11 sample countries in a structural break framework via minimum Lagrange multiplier unit-root test and Hsiao's causality test. We find most of the series can be more accurately characterized as a segmented trend stationary process around structural breaks as opposed to a stochastic unit-root process, which has important implications for policy-makers to formulate long-term development strategy and short-run stabilization policies as well as for academics to carry out cointegration analysis. Besides, we find different causality patterns in sample countries, which depart from those found in the existing literature, highlighting that it might be unreliable to apply only conventional unit-root test and inappropriate to take the first difference of the series to achieve stationarity, all of which might result in model misspecification. Our analysis also provides some evidence on the source of the mixed results on finance-growth nexus as they may differ due to the length of data span and the different econometric procedure. 'One of the most important problems in the field of finance … is the effect that financial structure and development have on economic growth'. Goldsmith (1969, p. 390) Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 977-988 Issue: 8 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721059 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721059 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:8:p:977-988 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emanuela Marrocu Author-X-Name-First: Emanuela Author-X-Name-Last: Marrocu Author-Name: Raffaele Paci Author-X-Name-First: Raffaele Author-X-Name-Last: Paci Title: The effects of public capital on the productivity of the Italian regions Abstract: This article investigates the role played by public capital in increasing the productivity levels in Italy. For construction of the regional series for the public capital stock over the period 1996 to 2003, the study benefits from the use of the rich dataset on public expenditure, recently published by the Italian Ministry of Economy. We have estimated panel production functions with the inclusion of traditional factors and also intangible inputs like research and development (R&D) expenditure, human capital (HK) and social capital (SK). The results point out that public capital has a positive and significant effect on production. Moreover, the effects of all production factors vary considerably between the two macro-areas of the country, namely Centre-North and Mezzogiorno. More specifically, while private capital is more effective in the South, labour exhibits an elasticity much higher in the Centre-North with respect to the Mezzogiorno. The disaggregation of the public capital stock into functional categories indicates a significant different impact in the two macro-areas. In addition, when the analysis is carried out by distinguishing among government levels it turns out that the decentralized administrative bodies are much less efficient in the South in delivering public expenditure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 989-1002 Issue: 8 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721083 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:8:p:989-1002 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-Hua Shen Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Shyh-Wei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shyh-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chien-Fu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Fu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The dual characteristics of closed-end country funds: the role of risk Abstract: This article explores which of two hypotheses, market segmentation or investor sentiment, determines the behaviour of Closed-End Country Funds (CECFs) with the inclusion of risk factors. The risk factors are proxied volatility, as estimated with a Bivariate Markov-switching Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (BSWARCH) model, which simultaneously includes foreign and US markets. Our findings are as follows. On average, a positive response is larger than a negative response in terms of absolute value. And, the market segmentation hypothesis with risk factors gains support in Mexico, where CECF returns are related to a market with low volatility but not to one with high volatility. Third, the investor sentiment hypothesis, which argues that CECF returns are not responsive to foreign markets, is weakly supported in Brazil, the Philippines, Indonesia and, to a lesser degree, in Germany. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1003-1013 Issue: 8 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721018 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:8:p:1003-1013 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Demoussis Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Demoussis Author-Name: N. Giannakopoulos Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Giannakopoulos Author-Name: S. Zografakis Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Zografakis Title: Native-immigrant wage differentials and occupational segregation in the Greek labour market Abstract: This article explores native-immigrant wage differentials in the Greek labour market. Data from the most recent Greek Household Budget Survey (2004-05) were employed, four alternative occupational categories were considered and occupational choice was explicitly modelled. Controlling for occupational selectivity, occupation-specific wage regressions for representative samples of employed native and immigrant workers were estimated and an augmented decomposition technique was utilized to analyse inter and intra occupation wage differentials. The obtained results demonstrate that roughly 48% of the average wage differential cannot be explained by differences in observed characteristics and that the larger component of this unexplained part is due to asymmetrical occupational access by native and immigrant workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1015-1027 Issue: 8 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721000 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:8:p:1015-1027 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Rezitis Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Rezitis Title: Agricultural productivity and convergence: Europe and the United States Abstract: This article applies the Window Malmquist Index (WMI) approach to measure changes in agricultural Total Factor Productivity (TFP) for the United States and a sample of nine European countries for the period 1973 to 1993. The dataset used in this article is obtained from Ball et al. (2001). The WMI is constructed by combining Data Envelopment Analysis, window analysis with the Malmquist index approach. Furthermore, the 'Kruskal and Wallis rank test' is used for testing frontier shifts among observed periods. The article also explores the question of convergence in TFP across the countries under consideration, by testing for β- and σ-convergence, as well as for stochastic or long-run convergence. The results show wide variation in the rate of TFP growth across countries with an average trend growth rate of 1.62%. The results indicate the presence of β-convergence but the absence of σ-convergence for the full period under consideration but the presence of both β- and σ-convergence for the sub-period 1983 to 1993. Finally, a wide spectrum of panel unit root test results support the presence of long-run convergence among the sample countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1029-1044 Issue: 8 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721026 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:8:p:1029-1044 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Santiago Budria Author-X-Name-First: Santiago Author-X-Name-Last: Budria Title: Schooling and the distribution of wages in the European private and public sectors Abstract: International research has shown that schooling enhances within-groups wage dispersion. This assessment is typically based on private sector data and, up to date, the inequality implications of schooling have not been documented for the public sector. This article uses recent data from eight European countries to explicitly take into account differences between the private and public sectors. Using quantile regression, the article describes the effects of schooling on the location and shape of the conditional wage distribution in each sector. While the average impact of schooling on wages is similar across sectors, the impact of schooling on within-groups dispersion is found to be substantially larger in the private sector than in the public sector. This finding warns that the effects of the European educational expansion on overall within-groups dispersion may be lower than previously thought. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1045-1054 Issue: 8 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721109 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:8:p:1045-1054 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheng-Tung Chen Author-X-Name-First: Sheng-Tung Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chih-Ching Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Ching Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Wei-Chun Tseng Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Tseng Author-Name: Chi-Chung Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Options using a collective lottery to ration vaccines during an influenza pandemic Abstract: For many countries, the best way to counter an influenza pandemic is to provide citizens with a pandemic vaccine. However, since the global supply of the vaccines is far smaller than the quantity demanded, how to allocate the limited vaccines can be a very challenging task for them. In this study, we introduce a collective lottery mechanism that allocates vaccines as fairly as the traditional lottery, while also offering more options for family members or those who are close so that they can choose the joint probability of successes that can maximize their welfare. This mechanism thus gives rise to a Pareto improvement over the traditional lottery. Our empirical study uses the US and the UK as examples in sequential collective lotteries that are simulated to prove that such an improvement while maintaining fairness, in fact, exists. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1055-1065 Issue: 8 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721091 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721091 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:8:p:1055-1065 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Hanafiah Harvey Author-X-Name-First: Hanafiah Author-X-Name-Last: Harvey Title: The J-curve: Malaysia versus her major trading partners Abstract: Currency depreciation is said to worsen the trade balance before improving it, hence the J-curve phenomenon. Since introduction of cointegration and error-correction modelling, researchers have tried to distinguish the short-run effects of currency depreciation from its long-run effects. A few studies that have investigated the experience of Malaysia, have relied upon aggregate trade data and have found no strong support for a significant relation between the real value of the ringgit and the Malaysian trade balance. In this article, we disaggregate the data by country and consider Malaysia's bilateral trade balance with her 14 largest trading partners. Using bound testing approach to cointegration and error-correction modelling, we provide some support for the J-curve hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1067-1076 Issue: 9 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721158 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721158 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:9:p:1067-1076 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Sencicek Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Sencicek Author-Name: Kamal Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Title: Are devaluations contractionary? The case of Turkey Abstract: This article studies the output effects of currency devaluation in Turkey using annual data from 1970 to 2004. An empirical model that incorporates monetary, fiscal and other external variables in addition to exchange rates is developed. Before estimating the model, time-series properties of the data are diagnosed. Two forms of the model, one with real exchange rate and the other with nominal exchange rate and relative price level (foreign-to-domestic price ratio) are estimated. The results suggest that devaluation is contractionary in the short run, expansionary in the medium run and neutral in the long run, and the effects emanate from nominal devaluation and not from the changes in relative price level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1077-1083 Issue: 9 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721208 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721208 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:9:p:1077-1083 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Beat Hintermann Author-X-Name-First: Beat Author-X-Name-Last: Hintermann Author-Name: Anna Alberini Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Alberini Author-Name: Anil Markandya Author-X-Name-First: Anil Author-X-Name-Last: Markandya Title: Estimating the value of safety with labour market data: are the results trustworthy? Abstract: We use a panel dataset of UK workers, combined with risk data at the four-digit industry level, to look for evidence of compensating wage differentials for workplace risk. We discuss various econometric problems associated with the hedonic wage approach, namely the instability of the estimates to specification changes, unobserved heterogeneity and endogeneity. We find evidence of significant compensating wage differentials and Values of a Statistical Life (VSL) figures only under the most restrictive assumptions, i.e. when we assume that there is no unobserved heterogeneity and that all regressors are exogenous. However, the VSL values are large and vary dramatically with the inclusion or exclusion of industry and/or occupation dummies, as well as with the addition of nonfatal risk. When we specify models that allow for heterogeneity and endogeneity of risk and of other regressors, we find no evidence of compensating wage differentials. We conclude that if compensating differentials for risk exists, econometric problems and the changing nature of labour markets prevent us from observing them. We also conclude that models and techniques for panel data that account for unobserved heterogeneity and endogeneity present a completely different picture about compensating wage differentials than that inferred by most wage-risk studies, which have generally used single cross-sections of data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1085-1100 Issue: 9 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802260940 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802260940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:9:p:1085-1100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Groothuis Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Groothuis Author-Name: Paul Gabriel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriel Title: Positive assortative mating and spouses as complementary factors of production: a theory of labour augmentation Abstract: This article develops a model of intellectual labour augmentation to explain both the marriage wage premium and educational assortative mating. We suggest that husbands and wives are complementary factors of production where a spouse's education and skills augment their partner's productivity and earnings potential. We test this proposition using data from the 2000 US Census of Population and the 2003 Current Population Survey. Our results indicate that for working couples the marriage premium for husbands and wives is directly related to the education level of their spouses-suggesting that positive assortative mating may be attributable to the labour market effects of intellectual augmentation of married households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1101-1111 Issue: 9 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721141 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:9:p:1101-1111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tseng-Chung Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tseng-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Effects of announcements of reorganization outcome Abstract: Less is known about whether the market perceives the final resolution of post-reorganization filing to be idiosyncratic or to carry endemic implications for the corresponding industries. This study observes the presence of intra-industry information transfers; the magnitude and direction of the reactions in response to three separate resolution outcome differs in a systematic way across industry portfolios. Specifically, portfolio rivals that are affected by competitive realignments in the industry experience stock price reactions in the opposite manner to those of the distressed firms, thus suggesting dominant competitive effects. In addition, this study reveals that the discriminatory power and forecast performance of three hybrid neuro-fuzzy models are stable and unimpaired across time and are generally superior in classifying Rival Cumulative Prediction Error (RCPE-) candidates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1113-1124 Issue: 9 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721174 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:9:p:1113-1124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-Chu Chuang Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Chuang Author-Name: Yi-Hsien Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Electoral information in developed stock market: testing conditional heteroscedasticity in the market model Abstract: This investigates the influence of major electoral information on abnormal returns around the announcement date in the developed stock market and examines whether these explanatory variables are associated with observed cumulative abnormal returns using a regression analysis. The analytical results demonstrate that average abnormal returns are significantly negative before the date of the announcement of the results of a general election, on days -6 and -3, and after that announcement date, on days +4, +6 and +10. This phenomenon can be attributed to hedging activity of the investors to reduce risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1125-1131 Issue: 9 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721117 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:9:p:1125-1131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manolis Kritikos Author-X-Name-First: Manolis Author-X-Name-Last: Kritikos Author-Name: Raphael Markellos Author-X-Name-First: Raphael Author-X-Name-Last: Markellos Author-Name: Gregory Prastacos Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Prastacos Title: Corporate real estate analysis: evaluating telecom branch efficiency in Greece Abstract: This article proposes productivity analysis for evaluating the relative efficiency in corporate real estate usage across decision-making units. Using data from the Greek Telecommunications Organization (GTO), we measure the productivity of 127 branches using the number of employees and the total area covered per building as inputs and the number of telephony access lines as outputs. We apply three nonparametric Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) models assuming: Constant Returns to Scale (CRS), Variable Returns to Scale (VRS) and Slacks-Based Measures (SBM), respectively. We discuss how the proposed approach can provide real estate managers and analysts a multi-informational tool that allows the quantification of targets and may serve as a guide tool for the efficient employment of real estate assets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1133-1143 Issue: 9 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721166 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721166 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:9:p:1133-1143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I-Chun Tsai Author-X-Name-First: I-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Ming-Chi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Tai Ma Author-X-Name-First: Tai Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Modelling house price volatility states in the UK by switching ARCH models Abstract: This article analyses investment risk in the housing market by examining volatility properties of house prices for the UK. We use both ARCH and GARCH models to estimate price conditional heteroscedasticity and find evidence of a time-varying property in the volatilities of the house price series. We then use the SWARCH model and find there are three volatility states in the price series. Our estimations suggest the UK housing markets are relatively stable and different states do not switch very often. The magnitude of high price volatility is as high as 20.99 times of the low volatility for the older housing market and 14 times of the low volatility for the new housing market. In addition, the older housing market is less efficient than the new housing market, since the impacts of events on the volatility state of the older house prices is more lasting than in new housing market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1145-1153 Issue: 9 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721133 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:9:p:1145-1153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. -H. Chen Author-X-Name-First: J. -H. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: C. -Y. Huang Author-X-Name-First: C. -Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: An analysis of the spillover effects of exchange-traded funds Abstract: This article used the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity-Autoregressive Moving Average (GARCH-ARMA) and the exponentially Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity-Autoregressive Moving Average (EGARCH-ARMA) models to study the impact of the spillover and the leverage effects on returns and volatilities of stock index and Exchange Trade Fund (ETF) for developed and emerging markets. Previous unexpected returns for developed and emerging markets which have an opposite influence pattern on ETFs' returns were identified. The spillover effects from returns are excellent for Hong Kong, followed by Singapore. Meanwhile, Taiwan's stock index return was recorded to have a strong negative impact on ETF return. Notably, this article shows that the spillover effects on stock index and ETF volatilities existed with bilateral influences. Despite a strong positive asymmetric volatility effect in Korea's ETF market, the leverage effect appears to play important roles in the explanation of both stock index and ETF returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1155-1168 Issue: 9 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721182 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:9:p:1155-1168 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Hsin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Ying-Ting Liao Author-X-Name-First: Ying-Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: Li-Chih Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Li-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Title: An examination on the cost efficiency of the banking industry under multiple output prices' uncertainty Abstract: This article formulates a behavioural model of profit maximization, which explicitly incorporates both multiple output prices' risk and safety-first practice. This theoretical model is specifically suitable for investigating financial institutions, whose output prices frequently encounter a variety of risks, such as loan defaults/arrears. The sample banks are empirically found to be highly risk-averse. Furthermore, risk preferences exert little effect on the technical efficiency estimates, whereas the same estimates obtained by the standard fixed-effect model under certainty tend to be overestimated. Evidence is found that a specialized bank offering a single product with a larger scale of production will be preferable in an uncertain atmosphere. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1169-1182 Issue: 9 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721190 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721190 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:9:p:1169-1182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tay-Cheng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Tay-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Do prices respond asymmetrically to cost changes? Abstract: This article investigates price asymmetry by using an almost complete sample of Taiwanese industries to see whether output prices respond faster to cost increases than they do to decreases. In contrast with the earlier literature, the evidence shows that positive price asymmetry cannot be applied to all industries, especially those industries with rapid productivity growth. The evidence also indicates that firms exhibiting fast (slow) productivity growth see their prices react less (more) to cost increases than to cost decreases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1183-1196 Issue: 9 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721240 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721240 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:9:p:1183-1196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Hineline Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hineline Title: Long-run impacts of inflation across sectors in a small sample of countries Abstract: This article investigates the long-run effects of inflation on economic output for 10 sectors of the economy, with a sample of 7 countries. The analysis is done using long-run restrictions in a vector autoregression and reports long-run multipliers with bootstrapped confidence bands. The results suggest that some sectors seem to be affected differently than others, as well as significant heterogeneity across countries. The results suggest the strongest effects in the low inflation countries Germany and Japan as has been found in similar studies. In contrast to research using growth regressions, the evidence suggests a positive long-run effect of inflation on output. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1197-1207 Issue: 10 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721307 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721307 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:10:p:1197-1207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wen-Hao Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The impact of the employment insurance repayment policy: nonexperimental approaches Abstract: This research examines the impact of the strengthened repayment provision under the Employment Insurance (EI) system in Canada. The provision has introduced an increase in benefit repayment rates and a reduction in the repayment threshold. Without a randomized experiment, this article uses various nonexperimental approaches, particularly matching, to estimate the policy effect. Using data from the Survey of Changes in Employment (CIE) and the Survey of Labour and Income Dynamics (SLID), the results suggest that the new repayment policy has reduced the probabilities of filing a claim among workers whose annual income is equal to or greater than $48 750. The estimated decline in the claim rate ranges between 6 and 12 percentage points, depending on the datasets. The results appear to be robust regardless of the methods of estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1209-1226 Issue: 10 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721315 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721315 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:10:p:1209-1226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akhter Faroque Author-X-Name-First: Akhter Author-X-Name-Last: Faroque Author-Name: William Veloce Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Veloce Title: Fundamentals versus the leading index-the forecasting of Canada's output growth since 1991: an encompassing approach Abstract: We evaluate the ability of Statistics Canada's Composite Leading Index to forecast Canada's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate in the backdrop of the Duguay (1994, JME) model and also the dynamic and the error-correction variants of the Duguay model, that already include the 'fundamentals' of the Canadian business cycle. The results show that integrating the index in these models substantially improve the in-sample fit of the models and also provide an explanation for the 'perplexingly' large influence of the US real GDP on aggregate spending in the Canadian economy. Out-of-sample forecasts over the inflation-targeting regime (January 1991-April 2004), evaluated using the forecast encompassing tests, confirm that the index contains an important amount of new information about the future growth rate, quite apart from the information contained in the fundamentals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1227-1243 Issue: 10 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721364 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:10:p:1227-1243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Luis Jimenez Author-X-Name-First: Juan Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Jimenez Author-Name: Jordi Perdiguero Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Perdiguero Title: Regional finance and competition policy: the Canary Islands petrol market Abstract: Market competition levels affect all agents of an economy: businesses, consumers and the State. Traditional analysis has evaluated the State's effects on the other agents, but no analysis has been conducted regarding the inverse relationship. Thus, the aim of this study is to estimate the tributary income losses that low levels of competition in the retail petrol market could cause in it, using the data from Canary Islands Autonomous Community. First, we will use Parker and Roller's methodology (1997) to measure the level of competition and confirm a deficiency. Then, using estimated rates, we will determine the differences that would appear in tributary income if the market were to behave as a Cournot's model. Our results show that the lack of competition causes a substantial loss of tributary income for this region, somewhere between 5and 10% of the real income from the tax on unleaded petrol for the year 2004. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1245-1255 Issue: 10 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721224 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721224 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:10:p:1245-1255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Macri Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Macri Author-Name: Michael McAleer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McAleer Author-Name: Dipendra Sinha Author-X-Name-First: Dipendra Author-X-Name-Last: Sinha Title: On the robustness of alternative rankings methodologies: Australian and New Zealand economics departments, 1988 to 2002 Abstract: Just as friendly arguments based on an ignorance of facts eventually led to the creation of the definitive Guinness Book of World Records, any argument about university rankings has seemingly been a problem without a solution. To state the obvious, alternative rankings methodologies can and do lead to different rankings. This article evaluates the robustness of rankings of Australian and New Zealand economics teaching departments for 1988 to 2002 and 1996 to 2002 using alternative rankings methodologies, and compares the results with the rankings obtained by Macri and Sinha (2006). In the overall mean rankings for both 1988 to 2006 and 1996 to 2002, the University of Melbourne is ranked first, followed by UWA and ANU. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1257-1268 Issue: 10 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721265 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721265 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:10:p:1257-1268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Victoria Esteban Author-X-Name-First: Maria Victoria Author-X-Name-Last: Esteban Author-Name: Susan Orbe-Mandaluniz Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Orbe-Mandaluniz Title: A nonparametric approach for estimating betas: the smoothed rolling estimator Abstract: In this study an alternative nonparametric estimator to the Fama and MacBeth approach for the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) estimation is proposed. Betas and risk premiums are estimated simultaneously in order to increase the explanatory power of the proxy for betas. A data-driven method is proposed for selecting the smoothness degrees, which are directly related to the subsample sizes. Based on this relation, the traditional estimator is obtained as a particular case. Contrary to the results obtained in other studies our empirical evidence for Spanish market data is favourable to the CAPM. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1269-1279 Issue: 10 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721257 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721257 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:10:p:1269-1279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sami Keskek Author-X-Name-First: Sami Author-X-Name-Last: Keskek Author-Name: Mehmet Orhan Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Orhan Title: Inflation and inflation uncertainty in Turkey Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty, and the impact of monetary policy on this relationship using monthly Turkish inflation data over January 1984 to-October 2005. The results from various types of GARCH-M models indicate that higher inflation rates lead to greater inflation uncertainty. On the other hand, the effect of inflation uncertainty on inflation is found to be negative due to stabilization motives' dominating the opportunistic incentives of monetary authorities. We find strong evidence to support the view that inflation-oriented monetary policy has power to reduce the inflation persistence and eliminate uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1281-1291 Issue: 10 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721273 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:10:p:1281-1291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Natalia Pimenta Monteiro Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Pimenta Author-X-Name-Last: Monteiro Title: Using propensity matching estimators to evaluate the impact of privatization on wages Abstract: Whether the transfer of ownership rights to the private sector leads to a decline or increase in wage growth is theoretically ambiguous, given that the outcome depends on the uncertain interaction between firms and workers. Using propensity matching techniques, this article investigates the effects of privatization on wages in the Portuguese banking industry. The empirical results, obtained from Quadros de Pessoal for the period between 1989 and 1997, generally show a negative (positive) short-run (long-run) effect of privatization on relative wage growth for both men and women retained in the privatized firms. Moreover, the results show that the most educated and experienced (oldest) workers, as well as those in the high skill occupational categories, were more likely to experience a negative wage effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1293-1313 Issue: 10 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721281 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721281 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:10:p:1293-1313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Bagnai Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Bagnai Title: Structural changes, cointegration and the empirics of Thirlwall's law Abstract: Thirlwall's law establishes a relation between the long-run growth rate, the growth of exports and the long-run income elasticity of imports. The estimation of this parameter requires cointegration techniques, which in turn require a large span of data, thus exposing the estimates to risks of structural changes. While this problem has been recognized in the literature, the evidence produced is still partial, being concerned with a very limited number of countries, and in some respects unsatisfactory. In this article we fill this gap by assessing Thirlwall's empirical regularity on a sample of 22 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries using econometric techniques that allow for the presence of a shift of unknown date in the long-run parameters. The results are generally supportive of Thirlwall's hypothesis and allow us to reconcile and qualify the evidence provided in the existing literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1315-1329 Issue: 10 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721299 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721299 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:10:p:1315-1329 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Marlow Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Marlow Title: Do expenditures on tobacco control decrease smoking prevalence? Abstract: Effectiveness of tobacco control programmes in reducing smoking prevalence during 2001 to 2005 is examined. Tobacco control spending is found to exert no significant effects on smoking prevalence across the 50 states. Cigarette prices are found to lower prevalence of daily smokers, but exert no effect on nondaily smoking prevalence. Several reasons are suggested for why these results might conflict with previous research. These include that most previous studies examined two states (California and Massachusetts) with long-standing tobacco control programmes and that most studies examined periods in which many of the states in their samples did not actively fund their programmes. Another reason may be that, unlike most previous studies, this study controls for the possibility that tobacco control spending is endogenous when, for example, states exhibiting relatively low smoking prevalence are also states with relatively high distaste for smoking and accordingly fund tobacco control programmes more generously. A negative relation between tobacco control spending and smoking prevalence does not necessarily indicate that higher spending causes lower prevalence when spending is endogenously determined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1331-1343 Issue: 11 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721505 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721505 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:11:p:1331-1343 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Catherine Durham Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Durham Author-Name: James Eales Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Eales Title: Demand elasticities for fresh fruit at the retail level Abstract: The obesity epidemic in the US and elsewhere has re-doubled efforts to understand determinants of the quality of consumers' diets. Part of the discussion has centered on the potential of 'fat taxes' and/or the subsidization of the purchase of fresh fruits and vegetables to coax consumers to better diets. Whether this discussion has merit or not, fundamental to the debate are the demand elasticities of the commodities involved. This study employs weekly data from several retail stores on fruit prices and sales to estimate elasticities of individual fruits. Estimates show consumers are more responsive to price than has been found previously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1345-1354 Issue: 11 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721356 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721356 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:11:p:1345-1354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joakim Westerlund Author-X-Name-First: Joakim Author-X-Name-Last: Westerlund Author-Name: Silika Prohl Author-X-Name-First: Silika Author-X-Name-Last: Prohl Title: Panel cointegration tests of the sustainability hypothesis in rich OECD countries Abstract: This study reexamines the sustainability hypothesis by testing whether government revenues and expenditures for eight rich OECD countries between 1977Q1 and 2005Q4 are cointegrated. For this purpose, a nonstationary panel data approach is adopted, which is general enough to permit for cross-country dependence as well as structural breaks representing major shifts in fiscal policy. In contrast to many earlier studies, the results reported in this study suggest that the sustainability hypothesis cannot be rejected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1355-1364 Issue: 11 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721323 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721323 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:11:p:1355-1364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tommaso Agasisti Author-X-Name-First: Tommaso Author-X-Name-Last: Agasisti Author-Name: Geraint Johnes Author-X-Name-First: Geraint Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Heterogeneity and the evaluation of efficiency: the case of Italian universities Abstract: A random parameters stochastic frontier model is applied to Italian data in order to evaluate the cost function and efficiency of higher education institutions. The method yields useful information about inter-institutional variation in cost structure and technical efficiency. Returns to scale and scope are evaluated for the typical university, and it is found that these returns are almost ubiquitously decreasing, a finding with clear policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1365-1375 Issue: 11 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721463 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721463 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:11:p:1365-1375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Norrbin Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Norrbin Author-Name: Aaron Smallwood Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Smallwood Title: Generalized long memory and mean reversion of the real exchange rate Abstract: Definitive evidence regarding a rapid mean reversion of the real exchange rate is not present when using standard linear methodology, including unit root tests and fractional integration. To consider the robustness of these results, we use an encompassing model, the Gegenbauer AutoRegressive Moving Average (GARMA) model, which nests as special cases the existing linear methods. The GARMA model accommodates a complete notion of persistence and allows shocks to dissipate slowly in a cyclical manner. We find evidence supporting a weak version of purchasing power parity, where equilibrium errors are long memory with strongly persistent cycles. However, this new form of cyclical mean reversion is likely too slow to be economically meaningful. The inability to find a strong equilibrium attractor process, using a very general encompassing linear methodology provides support for the recent models that allow for a nonlinear attraction process and for shifting real exchange rate equilibria. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1377-1386 Issue: 11 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721349 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721349 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:11:p:1377-1386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Bhaskara Rao Author-Name: Toani Takirua Author-X-Name-First: Toani Author-X-Name-Last: Takirua Title: The effects of exports, aid and remittances on output: the case of Kiribati Abstract: Country specific time-series models of the determinants of output for the small developing island countries in the Pacific region are relatively few. This article explores the applicability of the framework underlying Solow (1956) to analyse the determinants output in Kiribati for the period 1970 to 2005. It is found that technical progress in Kiribati has been negative virtually offsetting the positive effects of factor accumulation. Aid and remittances have negative effects and exports have only a small positive effect in the short-run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1387-1396 Issue: 11 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721331 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:11:p:1387-1396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leigh Drake Author-X-Name-First: Leigh Author-X-Name-Last: Drake Author-Name: Terence Mills Author-X-Name-First: Terence Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Title: Trends and cycles in Euro area real GDP Abstract: This article examines the time-series properties of real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the Euro area as a whole, both prior to and after the adoption of the Euro in January 1999. We employ the relatively recent 'optimal approximation' band pass filter developed by Christiano and Fitzgerald (2003) in order to identify a Eurozone business cycle. We also utilize two alternative assumptions regarding the behaviour of the trend component of Euro area real GDP. The empirical results suggest that the single currency experiment appears to have reduced trend growth in the Eurozone, both ex ante during the Maastricht nominal convergence phase, and also ex post, during the period 2001Q1 to 2006Q1. With respect to cyclical behaviour, we identify a very robust measure of the Eurozone business cycle in the post-1994 period which does not appear to be sensitive to the particular assumption made regarding the trend rate of growth of real GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1397-1401 Issue: 11 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721372 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:11:p:1397-1401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Yuan Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Yuan Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Dynamic hedge ratio for stock index futures: application of threshold VECM Abstract: This study represents one of the first papers in stock-index-futures arbitrage literature to investigate the effects of arbitrage threshold on stock index futures hedging effectiveness by using threshold vector error correction model (hereafter threshold VECM). Moreover, in contrast to prior studies focusing on examining case studies involving mature stock markets, this study not only adopts US S&P 500 stock market as the sample but also adds an analysis of one emerging stock market, Hungarian BSI and examines the differences between them. Finally, this investigation employs a rolling estimation process to examine the impact of arbitrage threshold behaviours on the setting of futures hedging ratio. The empirical findings of this study are consistent with the following notions. First, arbitrage behaviour reduces co-movement between futures and spot markets and increases the volatility of both futures and spot markets. Second, this article denotes the outer regime of futures-spot market for the case of Hungarian BSI (US S&P 500) as a crisis (an unusual) condition. Moreover, arbitrage threshold behaviours make remarkable (unremarkable) shift on optimal hedge ratio between two different market regimes for the case of Hungarian BSI (US S&P 500). Finally, the framework involving regime-varying hedge ratio designed in this study provides a more efficient futures hedge ratio design for Hungarian BSI stock market, but not for US S&P 500 stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1403-1417 Issue: 11 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721380 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:11:p:1403-1417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jalal Siddiki Author-X-Name-First: Jalal Author-X-Name-Last: Siddiki Title: The Ricardian equivalence hypothesis: evidence from Bangladesh Abstract: This article examines the Ricardian equivalence hypothesis (REH) and its sources of failure in the case of Bangladesh using various theoretical specifications, annual data from 1974-2001 and linear and nonlinear time series techniques. The general findings tend to invalidate the REH: a finite time horizon and the presence of liquidity-constrained individuals are the sources of deviation from the REH. Empirical results reveal that real per-capita private consumption (C) under various specifications is cointegrated generally at the 5% level with real per-capita income (Y), government expenditure before and after interest rate repayments (G and G2), taxes (T) and the interest rate (r). Results reveal that an increase in G, G2, T and r reduces C and that an increase in budget deficits raises trade deficits. These results highlight the importance of fiscal policies in boosting private consumption and controlling trade deficits, which are the prime goals of stabilization policies being followed by Bangladesh. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1419-1435 Issue: 11 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721414 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721414 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:11:p:1419-1435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinliang Li Author-X-Name-First: Jinliang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chihwa Kao Author-X-Name-First: Chihwa Author-X-Name-Last: Kao Author-Name: Wei David Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei David Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Bounded influence estimator for GARCH models: evidence from foreign exchange rates Abstract: Previous research indicates that the maximum likelihood estimates of Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models on foreign exchange rates, under various distributional assumptions, are sensitive to the presence of outliers. The advantage of the proposed Bounded Influence Estimator (BIE) is that it limits the influence of a small subset of data and is asymptotically normal. The BIE provides more consistent and robust estimates than Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) and semi-parametric estimator, both of which tend to underestimate volatility persistence due to outliers. It is thus robust to outliers and model misspecification. Results of BIE estimates of GARCH models on the exchange rate series of five major currencies indicate that BIE offers an efficient mechanism for down-weighting outlying observations and is a competitive alternative to MLE. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1437-1445 Issue: 11 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721422 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721422 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:11:p:1437-1445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong-Yil Choi Author-X-Name-First: Yong-Yil Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Relative government size in globalization and its welfare implications Abstract: As globalization spreads across the world, countries are experiencing growing competitive pressure in many fields. Since the role of government is needed to change in this global era, the so-called government-size debate has become fierce. This article provides a measure of relative government size in globalization, and clarifies the welfare effect of relative government size in globalization applying a simplified dynamic utility theoretical approach. The main finding is that there is no systematic relationship between relative government size and relative welfare in globalization; such relation depends on behavioural parameters such as the elasticity of inter-temporal substitution of consumption and the disutility of labour. This result suggests that finding prerequisites for government consumption to play a welfare-improving role in globalization is more beneficial than the government-size debate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1447-1453 Issue: 11 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721430 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721430 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:11:p:1447-1453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: O. Henry Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Henry Author-Name: N. Olekalns Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Olekalns Title: Peacock and Wiseman's displacement hypothesis: some new long-run evidence for the UK Abstract: This article presents new evidence on the ability of Peacock and Wiseman's displacement hypothesis to explain temporal increases in the ratio of government expenditure to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the UK. Using univariate modelling techniques that are robust to structural changes in the underlying data generating process and a data set extending back to 1836, we find four instances where the ratio of expenditure to GDP displays an evidence of a structural break. Two of these breaks coincide with major social upheavals as predicted by the displacement hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1455-1460 Issue: 11 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003668873 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003668873 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:11:p:1455-1460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nidhiya Menon Author-X-Name-First: Nidhiya Author-X-Name-Last: Menon Title: Investment credit and child labour Abstract: It is generally assumed that credit has a positive effect on children's schooling among poor households. This article shows that need not be the case when households obtain credit for investment purposes. In fact, investment loans may not have any effect on the likelihood of schooling for children who work in their family business. Our estimates confirm that this is the case; credit used to finance investments has no effect on the odds of schooling for employed children. This may be because investment loans increase children's labour productivity, which in turn increases the opportunity cost of schooling. The results of this study suggest that improving access to credit may not, by itself, constitute a solution to the problem of child labour in developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1461-1479 Issue: 12 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721471 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:12:p:1461-1479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeff DeSimone Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: DeSimone Title: Drinking and academic performance in high school Abstract: I investigate the extent to which negative alcohol use coefficients in Grade Point Average regressions reflect unobserved heterogeneity rather than direct effects of drinking, using 2001 and 2003 Youth Risk Behaviour Survey data on high school students. Results illustrate that omitted factors are quite important. Drinking coefficient magnitudes fall substantially in regressions that control for risk and time preference, mental health, self-esteem and consumption of other addictive substances. Moreover, the impact of binge drinking is negligible for students who are less risk averse, heavily discount the future or use other drugs. However, effects that remain significant after accounting for unobserved heterogeneity and are relatively large for risk averse, future-oriented and drug-free students suggest that binge drinking might slightly worsen academic performance. Consistent with this, the relationship between grades and drinking without binging is small and insignificant on the extensive margin and positive on the intensive margin. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1481-1497 Issue: 12 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721554 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:12:p:1481-1497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Veronique Genre Author-X-Name-First: Veronique Author-X-Name-Last: Genre Author-Name: Ramon Gomez Salvador Author-X-Name-First: Ramon Gomez Author-X-Name-Last: Salvador Author-Name: Ana Lamo Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Lamo Title: European women: why do(n't) they work? Abstract: To increase labour market participation is a major challenge currently faced by the EU, and attracting women into the labour force appears as a promising avenue to do so. Therefore, a clear understanding of what the factors influencing the evolution of female participation rates are in Europe is essential for a successful design of policy measures aiming at increasing participation rates. This article provides empirical evidence on the role that institutions have played in determining participation rates of women in the European labour markets. Our findings discard any doubt on the influence of institutions on women's participation in Europe. The strictness of labour market institutions negatively affects female participation rates. We also find that institutional features aimed at reconciling motherhood with professional life such as maternity leave schemes and part-time work favour participation rates of prime-age women. Additionally, fertility rates and education enrolment have been relevant for the evolution of participation rates during the sample period considered for prime-age and young females, respectively, while cohort effects drive the developments of older females. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1499-1514 Issue: 12 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721547 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721547 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:12:p:1499-1514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Hurlin Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Hurlin Title: What would Nelson and Plosser find had they used panel unit root tests? Abstract: In this study, we systemically apply nine recent panel unit root tests to the same 14 macroeconomic and financial series as those considered in the seminal paper by Nelson and Plosser (1982). The data covers OECD countries from 1950 to 2003. Our results clearly point out the difficulty that applied econometricians would face when they want to get a simple and clear-cut diagnosis with panel unit root tests. We confirm the fact that panel methods must be very carefully used for testing unit roots in macroeconomic or financial panels. More precisely, we find mitigated results under the cross-sectional independence assumption, since the unit root hypothesis is rejected for many macroeconomic variables. When international cross-correlations are taken into account, conclusions depend on the specification of these cross-sectional dependencies. Two groups of tests can be distinguished. The first group tests are based on a dynamic factor structure or an error component model. In this case, the nonstationarity of common factors (international business cycles or growth trends) is not rejected, but the results are less clear with respect to idiosyncratic components. The second group tests are based on more general specifications. Their results are globally more favourable to the unit root assumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1515-1531 Issue: 12 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721539 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721539 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:12:p:1515-1531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vincent Bouvatier Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: Bouvatier Title: Hot money inflows and monetary stability in China: how the People's Bank of China took up the challenge Abstract: Nonforeign direct investment capital inflows in China were particularly strong in 2003 and 2004. They have led to a rapid accumulation of international reserves and they may have provided excess liquidity to the Chinese economy. This article, investigates how the central bank of China managed the rapid build-up of international reserves in 2003 and 2004. The relationship between real international reserves and real domestic credit is examined with a Vector Error Correction Model, estimated on monthly data from January 1997 to March 2006. Empirical results show that this relationship was negative, which suggests that the central bank succeeded in slowing down real domestic credit when real international reserves increased. Direct and indirect Granger causality tests are implemented to show how the People's Bank of China proceeded to control domestic credit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1533-1548 Issue: 12 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721513 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721513 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:12:p:1533-1548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julio Lucia Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Lucia Author-Name: Angel Pardo Author-X-Name-First: Angel Author-X-Name-Last: Pardo Title: On measuring speculative and hedging activities in futures markets from volume and open interest data Abstract: This article provides a critical assessment of the line of research that measures speculative and hedging activities in futures markets from volume and open interest data. It makes several contributions. First, a detailed theoretical analysis of the measures proposed in the previous literature as proxies for speculative activity clarifies the circumstances in which they fail, as well as the assumptions that have to be made, when they are used as intended. Second, we propose a new way of combining the volume and the open interest figures, which provides additional information regarding the type of trading activity that takes place in the market on a given date. Finally, we analyse empirically the basic statistical properties of all the ratios when they are applied to real data for some of the stock index futures contracts most actively traded in the world. This empirical analysis shows the diverse behaviour of the ratios when they are applied to a common sample of real data, which confirms our previous theoretical findings. Our contributions should be taken into account when any of the measures is used as a proxy for the relative importance of speculative demand in empirical analyses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1549-1557 Issue: 12 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721489 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721489 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:12:p:1549-1557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Macri Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Macri Author-Name: Dipendra Sinha Author-X-Name-First: Dipendra Author-X-Name-Last: Sinha Title: How much influence do economics professors have on rankings? The case of Australia and New Zealand Abstract: This study ranks Australian and New Zealand economics teaching departments on the basis of the research productivity of its economics professors in economics teaching departments using quality adjusted journal articles listed on the ECONLIT database for the periods 1988 to 2002 and for 1996 to 2002. The per capita research productivity of professors is highest for University of Melbourne, University of Western Australia and University of Canterbury. For a number of economics departments, the per capita research productivity is lower than the research productivity of all faculty members, using a number of criteria for 1988-2002 and 1996-2002. These universities are University of Auckland, Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology University, Griffith University and Macquarie University. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1559-1567 Issue: 12 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721562 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721562 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:12:p:1559-1567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Bauer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Bauer Author-Name: Mathias Sinning Author-X-Name-First: Mathias Author-X-Name-Last: Sinning Title: Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition for Tobit models Abstract: In this article, a decomposition method for Tobit models is derived, which allows the differences in observed outcome variables between two groups to be decomposed into a part that is explained by differences in observed characteristics and a part attributable to differences in the estimated coefficients. Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate that in the case of censored dependent variables this decomposition method produces more reliable results than the conventional Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition for linear regression models. Finally, our method is applied to a decomposition of the gender wage gap using German data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1569-1575 Issue: 12 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721612 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721612 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:12:p:1569-1575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Santos Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Santos Author-Name: Maria Alberta Oliveira Author-X-Name-First: Maria Alberta Author-X-Name-Last: Oliveira Title: Assessing French inflation persistence with impulse saturation break tests and automatic general-to-specific modelling Abstract: This article has three different motivations. Firstly, we wish to contribute to the debate on whether French inflation has been persistent since the mid-eighties. Empirical evidence in this domain has been mixed. We use the standard method of testing for breaks in the mean of the inflation series to conclude whether possible unit root findings are the result of neglected breaks. Then, we build standard autoregressive representations of inflation, using an automatic general-to-specific approach. We conclude against inflation persistence in the sample period, and the point estimates of persistence we obtain are several percentage points below those achieved with other break tests and model selection methods. Moreover, our final model is congruent. Secondly, we provide the first empirical application of the new impulse saturation break test. The resulting estimates of the break dates are in line with other literature findings and have a sound economic meaning, confirming the good performance the test had revealed in theoretical and simulation studies. Finally, we also illustrate the shortcomings of the Bai-Perron test when applied to a small sample with high serial correlation. Indeed, we show the Bai-Perron break dates' estimates would not allow us to build a congruent autoregressive representation of inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1577-1589 Issue: 12 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721521 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721521 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:12:p:1577-1589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Efthimia Tsakiridou Author-X-Name-First: Efthimia Author-X-Name-Last: Tsakiridou Author-Name: Agapi Somwaru Author-X-Name-First: Agapi Author-X-Name-Last: Somwaru Author-Name: Konstadinos Mattas Author-X-Name-First: Konstadinos Author-X-Name-Last: Mattas Title: Middle East and North Africa countries' agricultural export potentials under trade reforms Abstract: Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries' future stand in the world's economy depends to a large extent on the potentials of their agriculture to perform in a free trade world. European Union (EU) is the largest market for agricultural products of MENA countries, though new outlets and new partnerships can expand the market of their products. Enhancing agriculture's potentials safeguards the economy's general expansion and impede the flee of MENA countries' huge labour reserves to the developed world. In this work, introducing a few possible trade reforms, a general equilibrium model is employed to assess the impacts upon region's export potentials and welfare changes. Selecting certain distinct scenarios from a wide spectrum of anticipated trade reforms, and feeding them into the model, insights on the direction of the expected changes and rough estimates of accrued benefits can be extracted. The model results suggest that the region might benefit the most under special provisions for developing countries in a World Trade Organization (WTO) agreement, while in the case of EU-Med agreement, agricultural trade will benefit MENA countries and can induce economic growth through the expansion of agricultural exports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1591-1599 Issue: 12 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721497 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721497 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:12:p:1591-1599 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuqing Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yuqing Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Henry Kinnucan Author-X-Name-First: Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Kinnucan Author-Name: Harry Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: Measuring and testing advertising-induced rotation in the demand curve Abstract: Advertising can rotate the demand curve if it changes the dispersion of consumers' valuations. We provide an elasticity form measure of the advertising-induced demand curve rotation in five demand models and test for its presence in the US nonalcoholic beverage market. The Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) model reveals that doubling advertising spending rotates the demand curves clockwise for milk, and coffee and tea with associated slope changes of 7 and 12%. Soft-drink advertising rotates its demand curve counterclockwise. Our policy suggestion is that milk and soft-drink firms time advertising to coincide with high-and low-price periods, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1601-1614 Issue: 13 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721570 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:13:p:1601-1614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li Rui Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Rui Author-Name: Zhu Xi Author-X-Name-First: Zhu Author-X-Name-Last: Xi Title: Econometric analysis of credit constraints of chinese rural households and welfare loss Abstract: Using recent survey data of Chinese rural households, we estimate the impact of credit constraints on Chinese rural households' income and consumption. Results reveal that 71% of rural households are rationed in the credit markets. The credit constraints have significant negative effects on the income and consumption of rural households. The expenditures on education and medical treatments, the size of land holdings, household head education and the balance of financial capital all affect the demand of credit. Personal connections (relationship) are the most important determinate of the supply for credit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1615-1625 Issue: 13 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721604 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721604 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:13:p:1615-1625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Janice Hauge Author-X-Name-First: Janice Author-X-Name-Last: Hauge Author-Name: Mark Jamison Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Jamison Title: Effects of using specific versus general data in social program research Abstract: We present a comparison of results of similar analyses of a particular social program using two sources of data: one representative of the general population, and one representative of the population that actually is eligible for the social program. To do this, we focus on a particular public assistance program as implemented in Florida as our public policy program of choice. We compare the results of an analysis of the program's participation rates using US Census data for the general population of Florida to the results of the exact same model using a dataset that includes only the population of Florida that is actually eligible for the program. We find that while generally signs of effects remain the same, they do not always remain the same; moreover, significance differs, and the marginal effects of various demographic and socio-economic factors on program participation rates vary greatly. We submit that such differences are important for policymakers to recognize so that they can effectively target programs to those individuals and geographic areas most in need of such programs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1627-1639 Issue: 13 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721653 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721653 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:13:p:1627-1639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subal Kumbhakar Author-X-Name-First: Subal Author-X-Name-Last: Kumbhakar Title: Efficiency and productivity of world health systems: where does your country stand? Abstract: This article deals with estimating efficiency of world health systems using panel data on World Health Organization (WHO) member countries. The Stochastic Frontier (SF) approach is used for this purpose. We evaluate absolute efficiency as well as rankings and their sensitivity across alternative model specifications using both output-maximizing and cost-minimizing frameworks. We also compare productivity of health service (among countries) derived from the output-maximizing and cost-minimizing models. Results show that efficiency rankings of countries vary substantially depending on whether the goal of healthcare provision is output maximization or health cost minimization. The same applies to different SF model specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1641-1659 Issue: 13 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721588 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721588 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:13:p:1641-1659 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Seema Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Seema Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Is there a unit root in the inflation rate? New evidence from panel data models with multiple structural breaks Abstract: In this article, we examine whether or not the inflation rate for 17 OECD countries can be modelled as a stationary process. We find that (1) conventional univariate unit root tests without any structural breaks generally reveal that the inflation rate contains a unit root; (2) the KPSS univariate test with multiple structural breaks reveals that for 10 out of 17 countries inflation is stationary; and (3) the KPSS panel unit root test reveals strong evidence for stationarity of the inflation rate for panels consisting of countries which were declared nonstationary by univariate tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1661-1670 Issue: 13 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721596 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721596 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:13:p:1661-1670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. S. Sephton Author-X-Name-First: P. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: On the empirical size of Nielsen's multivariate likelihood ratio test of fractional integration Abstract: Nielsen (2004) provides multivariate maximum likelihood procedures to test whether several series are fractionally integrated. This note examines the finite sample size of the likelihood ratio tests applied to a bivariate system experiencing breaks in means. The results suggest that tests of a common unit root are somewhat undersized in small samples. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1671-1679 Issue: 13 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721638 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721638 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:13:p:1671-1679 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarath Divisekera Author-X-Name-First: Sarath Author-X-Name-Last: Divisekera Author-Name: Jim Deegan Author-X-Name-First: Jim Author-X-Name-Last: Deegan Title: An analysis of consumption behaviour of foreign tourists in Ireland Abstract: The objective of this article is to analyse the consumption behaviour of foreign tourists in Ireland. Based on the Almost Ideal Demand System, five demand systems are estimated, four representing the major source markets of tourists to Ireland, namely from Britain, North America, Mainland Europe and Rest of the World; and one aggregate model based on a pooled sample. Each system included six commodity aggregates representing the major consumables of tourists. Estimated models were statistically significant and the derived elasticities are theoretically consistent and empirically plausible. While there are some variations in the consumption patterns of tourists from different source markets, reflecting differences in consumer preferences and consumption habits, in general, tourist demand for the various Irish tourism goods and services is found to be price inelastic. This finding is consistent with a priori expectations, as tourists are obliged to consume whatever is available at the destination they visit. The lack of substitutes and perfect information on product markets offer limited consumption opportunities for the tourists. Nonetheless, the cross-price elasticity values for all commodities across the source markets indicate gross complementarity, which suggests that latent price sensitivity exists in the background. This is an area that needs further investigation and this finding may have significant, yet unknown, consequences for repeat visitation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1681-1697 Issue: 13 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721646 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:13:p:1681-1697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hatice Pehlivan Jenkıns Author-X-Name-First: Hatice Pehlivan Author-X-Name-Last: Jenkıns Author-Name: Salih Turan Katırcıoglu Author-X-Name-First: Salih Turan Author-X-Name-Last: Katırcıoglu Title: The bounds test approach for cointegration and causality between financial development, international trade and economic growth: the case of Cyprus Abstract: This study employs the bounds test for co-integration and Granger causality tests to investigate the long-run equilibrium relationship and the direction of causality between financial development, international trade and real income growth for the Cyprus economy. The results of the study reveal that financial development as measured by broad money (M2), international trade and real income growth are cointegrated; thus, a long-run equilibrium relationship can be inferred among these three variables. On the other hand, Granger causality test results suggest that in Cyprus the growth in real income stimulates the growth of international trade (both exports and imports) and the growth of money supply. Furthermore, growth in imports of goods and services also stimulates a growth in exports of goods and services of Cyprus. Although this result contradicts our initial expectations, it indicates the importance of capital inflows in Cyprus that plays a major role in financing the investments mainly in the tourism sector. As a final point, the results of this study reveal that the supply-leading, export-led growth and import-led growth hypotheses are not confirmed by this study whereas the demand-following hypothesis can be justified for the Cypriot economy when M2 measure of money supply is under consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1699-1707 Issue: 13 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721661 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721661 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:13:p:1699-1707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Saona Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Saona Author-Name: Eleuterio Vallelado Author-X-Name-First: Eleuterio Author-X-Name-Last: Vallelado Title: Is the use of bank debt as a governance mechanism conditioned by the financial system? The cases of Chile and Spain Abstract: We test whether the use of bank debt as a governance mechanism is conditioned by the financial system in which firms operate. Our results indicate that the legal and institutional environment determines the use of bank debt to finance growth opportunities. Firms use bank debt to finance their growth opportunities when the country's banking system contributes to solving agency and asymmetric information problems and avoiding information monopoly costs. The evolutionary process of the financial systems in each country means that market imperfections such as information asymmetry or agency costs can have a diverse influence on firms' bank debt decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1709-1726 Issue: 13 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736065 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:13:p:1709-1726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Jose Veiga Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Veiga Author-Name: Linda Goncalves Veiga Author-X-Name-First: Linda Goncalves Author-X-Name-Last: Veiga Title: The impact of local and national economic conditions on legislative election results Abstract: Using data for 278 Portuguese mainland municipalities, we estimate the impact of national and local economic conditions on legislative electoral outcomes over the period from the reestablishment of democracy in 1974 to the present. Empirical results indicate that the performance of the national economy is important but that the municipal situation also conditions electoral outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1727-1734 Issue: 13 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736107 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:13:p:1727-1734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Agee Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Agee Author-Name: Thomas Crocker Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Crocker Title: Directional heterogeneity of environmental disamenities: the impact of crematory operations on adjacent residential values Abstract: A hedonic study of residential house sales in Rawlins, Wyoming, was conducted to estimate the impact of an environmental shock from a new point source upon adjacent residential property values. We use a unique data base of house sale prices and associated house attributes, including structural and neighbourhood characteristics and geographic distances and directions from the source of the shock, atmospheric emissions from a new crematory. Our data spans 27 months of house sales: 7 months before, and 20 months after the startup of crematory operations. Results indicate that proximity, measured both in terms of direction and distance from the crematory, imparts a statistically significant negative impact on average house sale prices-an increase of 0.3 to 3.6% of average sale price for every one-tenth mile increase up to one-half mile in distance away from the crematory, but depending on direction from the crematory. This distance benefit increases somewhat with calendar time only for houses located west of the crematory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1735-1745 Issue: 14 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721679 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:14:p:1735-1745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wim Vijverberg Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Vijverberg Author-Name: Joop Hartog Author-X-Name-First: Joop Author-X-Name-Last: Hartog Title: On the distribution of job characteristics: an analysis of the DOT data Abstract: We analyse the information in the Dictionary of Occupational Titles to characterize the structure of labour demand. Two dimensions, an intellectual factor and a dexterity factor, capture two-thirds of the variance in job requirements; the remaining (co-)variance cannot be easily structured. Simple linear relationships go a long way in describing the matching between job activities and required worker qualities (Intellect for complex relations to Data and to People, Dexterity for complex relations to Things). There is no dichotomy between mathematical and verbal required skills. Poor working conditions are not restricted to workers in low-level jobs; we find strong support for compensating wage differentials. At more intellectual jobs, men receive less wage compensation for working conditions, while in jobs requiring greater dexterity they receive more. Such a relationship is absent for women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1747-1760 Issue: 14 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736115 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:14:p:1747-1760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Caitlin Knowles Myers Author-X-Name-First: Caitlin Knowles Author-X-Name-Last: Myers Author-Name: Marcus Bellows Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Bellows Author-Name: Hiba Fakhoury Author-X-Name-First: Hiba Author-X-Name-Last: Fakhoury Author-Name: Douglas Hale Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Hale Author-Name: Alexander Hall Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Author-Name: Kaitlin Ofman Author-X-Name-First: Kaitlin Author-X-Name-Last: Ofman Title: Ladies first? A field study of discrimination in coffee shops Abstract: Despite anecdotal and survey evidence suggesting the presence of discrimination against customers in stores, restaurants and other small-transaction consumer markets, few studies exist that identify or quantify the nature of any unequal treatment. We provide evidence from a field study of wait times in Boston-area coffee shops that suggests that female customers wait an average of 20 seconds longer for their orders than do male customers even when controlling for gender differences in orders. We find that this differential in wait times is inverse to the proportion of employees who are female and directly related to how busy the coffee shop is at the time of the order. This supports the conclusion that the observed differential is driven at least in part by employee animus and/or statistical discrimination rather than unobserved heterogeneity in the purchasing behaviour of female customers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1761-1769 Issue: 14 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701721687 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701721687 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:14:p:1761-1769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Onsurang Pipatchaipoom Author-X-Name-First: Onsurang Author-X-Name-Last: Pipatchaipoom Author-Name: Stefan Norrbin Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Norrbin Title: Is the real interest rate parity condition affected by the method of calculating real interest rates? Abstract: Although the real interest rate parity (RIRP) hypothesis has been extensively tested, there are no conclusive findings. We argue that the mixed findings are a result of the different methods used to calculate the real interest rate. In this article, we examine whether the RIRP holds for four OECD countries using five different methods for computing the real interest rate. The results indicate that the connection between real interest rates tends to be sensitive to the computational method of the real interest rate. Thus, authors have to be careful when comparing results across existing studies, since the type of computational method might be responsible for differences in conclusions of the validity of the RIRP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1771-1782 Issue: 14 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736073 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:14:p:1771-1782 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jef Vuchelen Author-X-Name-First: Jef Author-X-Name-Last: Vuchelen Author-Name: Stijn Caekelbergh Author-X-Name-First: Stijn Author-X-Name-Last: Caekelbergh Title: Explaining public investment in Western Europe Abstract: Budgetary consolidations are considered the obvious explanation for the decline in public investment that most Western European countries experienced over the past three decades. However, regressions based on budgetary variables tend to overpredict public investment during the post-1990 period, i.e. when the budgetary stress eased. We supplement the budgetary consolidation approach to public investment with ideas from behavioural economics to explain why these investments do not increase when additional budgetary resources are available. We use the peak/end evaluation procedure to capture the frustration of voters as cuts in government consumption expenditures accumulate. This 'memory-effect' of budgetary consolidations implies that voters recall the previous peak in government consumption expenditures. They remain discontent as long as current expenditures are below the peak value. When the budgetary situation improves, policy makers will choose to increase government consumption because this is electorally more rewarding. Public investment will thus decline when budgetary consolidations are imposed and will remain constant when additional budgetary resources emerge. We test for a memory-effect by introducing expenditure gaps in public investment regressions. These gaps equal the difference between the highest previously observed primary government consumption to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ratio and the current ratio. The regression results for most EU countries support our assumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1783-1796 Issue: 14 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736180 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:14:p:1783-1796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantinos Dimitrios Drakos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Drakos Author-Name: Eleftherios Goulas Author-X-Name-First: Eleftherios Author-X-Name-Last: Goulas Title: Investment in Greek manufacturing under irreversibility and uncertainty: the message in used capital expenditures Abstract: This article contributes to the existing literature by showing that uncertainty produces a nonuniform impact to the extent that different types of capital goods exhibit heterogeneous irreversibility, which we define as asset-specific irreversibility. Hence, asset-specific irreversibility is responsible for asymmetries in responses across types of capital goods to uncertainty. We also show that for a given type of capital good, uncertainty produces a variety of responses across sectors, which we define sector-specific irreversibility. In other words, sectoral differences in terms of the ability to substitute a given type of capital with labour, introduce a second-order effect of uncertainty on investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1797-1809 Issue: 14 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736040 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736040 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:14:p:1797-1809 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Tse-Shih Wang Author-X-Name-First: Alan Tse-Shih Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Ming-Yuan Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Yuan Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Ti-Chen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ti-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Price transmission, foreign exchange rate risks and global diversification of ADRs Abstract: The purposes of this article are to reinvestigate how returns of major American depository receipts (ADRs) from different countries are related to the underlying stock returns and to identify the determinants of ADR risk premiums. We use different types of error-correcting terms in vector error correction models to examine information flows between ADRs and the underlying foreign stocks. General method of moments estimation of conditional international asset pricing model of Dumas and Solnik (1995) is applied to investigate ADR return premiums. We find that stock returns are more affected by disequilibrium between ADR and stock prices in an inefficient way. For US investors, foreign exchange rate risk premiums and world market risk premium (beyond US index) are priced in ADRs returns ex ante. Surprisingly, it is shown that the exchange rate of New Taiwan dollar and the interest rates of Brazil and Taiwan play important roles in determining ADR risk premiums across countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1811-1823 Issue: 14 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736057 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:14:p:1811-1823 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-Ki Min Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Min Title: Estimation of SEs for heteroscedastic and cross-sectionally correlated data Abstract: This study develops SE estimators for heteroscedastic and cross-sectionally correlated data. The new estimators are a cross-sectional version of the White and Domowitz (1984) and Newey and West (1987) estimators, and therefore, consistent in the presence of heteroscedasticity and cross correlation of unknown form. Unlike the estimators in the literature, these estimators can control for cross correlation even for single-period cross-sectional data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1825-1832 Issue: 14 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736172 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:14:p:1825-1832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jay Squalli Author-X-Name-First: Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Squalli Author-Name: Kenneth Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Author-Name: Sarah Hugo Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Hugo Title: An analysis of market access Abstract: Market access matters. This article creates, for the first time, a quantitative measure of market access, the Market Access Index, which enables the creation of a rank order, or league table, of market access for a large sample of world economies. The article uses Structural Equation Modelling and a data set from the World Economic Forum and provides a broader framework for the analysis of market access arguing that market access is driven by the regulatory environment, public institutions and network industries. The article finds that network industries are the most important contributors to market access, followed by public institutions. The regulatory environment, covering trade policy is the least important contributor. These findings have important implications for the role of trade policy in influencing greater market access. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1833-1844 Issue: 14 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736198 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736198 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:14:p:1833-1844 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger White Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: White Title: Long-run wage and earnings losses of displaced workers Abstract: Displacement-related losses are estimated using National Longitudinal Survey of Youth data that span the years 1979-2000. The typical displaced worker faces losses of $34 065 during the period 4 years prior through 5 years following displacement. Proportionally, this represents a 10.8% loss compared to earnings of similar nondisplaced workers over the period. Considerable variation in losses is reported across worker types. Union, male and more mature workers suffer greater losses, respectively, than do their nonunion, female and younger counterparts. College graduates and high school dropouts are found to suffer lower losses compared to high school diploma holders and those who completed some college. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1845-1856 Issue: 14 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736206 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736206 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:14:p:1845-1856 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atsushi Fukumi Author-X-Name-First: Atsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Fukumi Author-Name: Shoji Nishijima Author-X-Name-First: Shoji Author-X-Name-Last: Nishijima Title: Institutional quality and foreign direct investment in Latin America and the Caribbean Abstract: The purpose of this article is to investigate the interaction between Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and institutional quality through a panel analysis of 19 countries in Latin America and the Caribbean. We employed a simultaneous equation approach to avoid endogeneity biases and found that FDI could improve the quality of institutions, while better institutions attract more FDI into the region. As a policy implication, our regression results indicate that during the process of reform, the relation between FDI and institutional quality warrants a certain amount of attention. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1857-1864 Issue: 14 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701748979 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701748979 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:14:p:1857-1864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Davide Furceri Author-X-Name-First: Davide Author-X-Name-Last: Furceri Title: Long-run growth and volatility: which source really matters? Abstract: The aim of the article is to analyse the relationship between long-run growth and business cycle volatility. In particular, the main purpose of this article is to identify which source of volatility is most detrimental to growth. Using cross-country data from 1970 to 2000, and several indicators of volatility (such as inflation, exchange rate, government expenditure, output and investment volatility) this article shows that although, all these measures of volatility are remarkably harmful for growth, business cycle investment volatility is the main source that hampers long-run growth. This relation is robust to different measures of business cycle, and to different sub-samples of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1865-1874 Issue: 15 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701749050 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701749050 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:15:p:1865-1874 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Volodymyr Bilotkach Author-X-Name-First: Volodymyr Author-X-Name-Last: Bilotkach Title: Quality coordination and complementary products Abstract: This article models the choice of price and quality, where products are complementary; and components can be provided by either one or two monopolists. The firms have to choose price and quality simultaneously, but can coordinate in the latter dimension. We consider two specifications for the quality of the composite good: 'bottleneck' and additive set-ups. In both cases, a single monopolist may produce lower quality as compared to dual ownership, if the latter is modelled as a single-stage quality-and-price setting game. When separate markets for components of the composite good are added to the model, we provide an example where dual ownership leading to higher quality also yields higher consumer surplus (but not total welfare) than a single monopolist. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1875-1888 Issue: 15 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701749043 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701749043 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:15:p:1875-1888 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Whitacre Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Whitacre Author-Name: Bradford Mills Author-X-Name-First: Bradford Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Title: A need for speed? Rural Internet connectivity and the no access/dial-up/high-speed decision Abstract: As residential high-speed Internet access has become more prevalent, the nature of the rural-urban digital divide in access has shifted. In 2000, dial-up access rates in rural households lagged behind their urban counterparts by 11 percentage points. By 2003, however, dial-up access rates were equal in rural and urban areas, but high-speed access rates were 14 percentage points higher in urban areas. This article uses a nested logit model to explore the household decision between no Internet access, dial-up access and high-speed access. A decomposition technique is then used to estimate the contributions of various factors, including education, income and infrastructure levels, to differences in Internet access among rural and urban households. The results suggest that policies which solely promote infrastructure in rural areas fail to address the dominant factors in the emerging high-speed digital divide. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1889-1905 Issue: 15 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701749001 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701749001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:15:p:1889-1905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sovannroeun Samreth Author-X-Name-First: Sovannroeun Author-X-Name-Last: Samreth Title: Currency substitution and seigniorage-maximizing inflation: the case of Cambodia Abstract: This article contributes a new empirical study on currency substitution in Cambodia. In our analysis, a model of money-in-the-utility function is adopted. The empirical results indicate that the elasticity of substitution between foreign and domestic real currency balances in Cambodia is high. Moreover, the high share of foreign real balances in providing domestic liquidity services in Cambodia is also confirmed by empirical analysis. Given these findings, the effects of the currency substitution on the government ability to gain from seigniorage revenue are also examined. The analysis from simulated results shows that the Cambodian government has little opportunity to gain from seigniorage revenue. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1907-1916 Issue: 15 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701749035 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701749035 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:15:p:1907-1916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sangho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Rainer Klump Author-X-Name-First: Rainer Author-X-Name-Last: Klump Title: The effects of public pensions on private wealth: evidence on the German savings puzzle Abstract: Based on German panel data between 1984 and 1999, we test for the interaction of social security benefits and private wealth formation. In a simple life-cylce model benefits from public pension systems should displace equal amounts of private retirement accumulation. Our estimate for the offset effect, corrected for several possible measurement biases, is much lower, however, than expected from pure life-cycle considerations and less than comparable estimates for the US and the UK. This result thus supports other evidence on a particular German savings puzzle, which might be due to market imperfections and/or bounded rational behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1917-1926 Issue: 15 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701749027 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701749027 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:15:p:1917-1926 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaolin Xing Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolin Author-X-Name-Last: Xing Title: Can price dispersion be persistent in the Internet markets? Abstract: We investigate pricing behaviour and market dynamics for both online branches of Multi-Channel Retailers (MCRs) and online-only retailers (Dotcoms), based on a set of panel data collected for 2 years in the online DVD market. We find that prices of MCRs and Dotcoms both go down with time, but prices of MCRs decrease in a significantly faster speed, implying that difference in the average prices between the two types of retailers is getting smaller with time. We also compare the price dispersion and its dynamics between MCRs and Dotcoms. We find that the price dispersion among MCRs is much bigger than that among Dotcoms at the beginning. But such a difference gets smaller with time as the price dispersion among Dotcoms becomes bigger. Our results suggest that the two types of retailers will not only charge similar average prices in long term, but also have similar price dispersions. But our findings show that price dispersion among all retailers goes up with time, indicating that prices do not converge in the Internet market. Branding makes significant difference on both the price and the price dispersion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1927-1940 Issue: 15 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701748987 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701748987 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:15:p:1927-1940 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dirk Czarnitzki Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Czarnitzki Author-Name: Kornelius Kraft Author-X-Name-First: Kornelius Author-X-Name-Last: Kraft Title: On the profitability of innovative assets Abstract: Successful innovative activity is a major contribution to the intangible capital of firms. Although its importance is generally acknowledged, the contribution to companies' profits is a priori unclear. We present the results of an empirical study on the effects of the patent stock on profitability. The database is a representative sample of German manufacturing firms and we use a number of control variables including measures of competition and firm governance. It turns out that the patent stock has a strong and robust effect on profitability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1941-1953 Issue: 15 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701749019 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701749019 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:15:p:1941-1953 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Axel Dreher Author-X-Name-First: Axel Author-X-Name-Last: Dreher Author-Name: Tim Krieger Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Krieger Title: Diesel price convergence and mineral oil taxation in Europe Abstract: We empirically analyse convergence of European producer and consumer prices for diesel fuel and investigate the role of excise taxation. By comparing the speed of convergence of prices and taxes we find a surprisingly fast speed of convergence for consumer prices. While this can in part be explained by fuel tourism, the main driving force is producer price dynamics. Tax convergence contributes weakly to price convergence, but the overall effect is to slow down consumer relative to producer price convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1955-1961 Issue: 15 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701749076 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701749076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:15:p:1955-1961 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rumi Masih Author-X-Name-First: Rumi Author-X-Name-Last: Masih Author-Name: A. Mansur M. Masih Author-X-Name-First: A. Mansur M. Author-X-Name-Last: Masih Author-Name: Kilian Mie Author-X-Name-First: Kilian Author-X-Name-Last: Mie Title: Model uncertainty and asset return predictability: an application of Bayesian model averaging Abstract: We investigate model uncertainty associated with predictive regressions employed in asset return forecasting research. We use simple combination and Bayesian model averaging (BMA) techniques to compare the performance of these forecasting approaches in short-vs. long-run horizons of S&P500 monthly excess returns. Simple averaging involves an equally-weighted averaging of the forecasts from alternative combinations of factors used in the predictive regressions, whereas BMA involves computing the predictive probability that each model is the true model and uses these predictive probabilities as weights in combing the forecasts from different models. From a given set of multiple factors, we evaluate all possible pricing models to the extent, which they describe the data as dictated by the posterior model probabilities. We find that, while simple averaging compares quite favorably to forecasts derived from a random walk model with drift (using a 10-year out-of-sample iterative period), BMA outperforms simple averaging in longer compared to shorter forecast horizons. Moreover, we find further evidence of the latter when the predictive Bayesian model includes shorter, rather than longer lags of the predictive factors. An interesting outcome of this study tends to illustrate the power of BMA in suppressing model uncertainty through model as well as parameter shrinkage, especially when applied to longer predictive horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1963-1972 Issue: 15 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701736214 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701736214 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:15:p:1963-1972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kam Yu Author-X-Name-First: Kam Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Marc Prud'homme Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Prud'homme Title: Econometric issues in hedonic price indices: the case of internet service providers Abstract: Researchers in hedonic studies frequently encounter the problems of the choice of functional forms, the use of pooled regression using time dummies vs period to period regression, and the unit of measurement of the product. This article examines these issues through the study of Internet service providers in Canada from 1993 to 2000. A series of tests are employed to evaluate the best procedure. We find that the commonly used log-linear equation with period to period regression and hourly rate charged gives a robust result compared with the more flexible translog function. The quality-adjusted price index declines at about 15% per year. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1973-1994 Issue: 15 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701748995 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701748995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:15:p:1973-1994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Gerry Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Gerry Author-Name: Carmen Li Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Consumption smoothing and vulnerability in Russia Abstract: Applying bootstrapped quantile regression to the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey (RLMS) data, we examine the channels through which individuals experience and seek to cope with changes in consumption. We find that married individuals living in small households, with educated heads in urban areas are better equipped to smooth consumption. Investigating the impact of idiosyncratic shocks, we find that the labour market is an important transmission mechanism allowing households to smooth their consumption but also exposing them to risk, mainly through job loss. Outside of pension payments, the formal social safety net does not facilitate consumption smoothing, thus heightening the importance of informal coping institutions. It transpires that both support from relatives/friends and home production act as important insurance mechanisms for the most vulnerable. In contrast with previous findings, it would seem that regardless of its historical, political and social roots, the garden plots and dachas, often romanticized in Russian literature, do provide a means by which 'urban' Russians are able to cope with economic fluctuations. We finish by stressing the important policy lessons for Russia's developing market economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1995-2007 Issue: 16 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765403 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765403 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:16:p:1995-2007 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasser Abdih Author-X-Name-First: Yasser Author-X-Name-Last: Abdih Author-Name: Charalambos Tsangarides Author-X-Name-First: Charalambos Author-X-Name-Last: Tsangarides Title: FEER for the CFA franc Abstract: We investigate the behaviour of the real effective exchange rates (REER) of the two CFA franc zone monetary unions - CEMAC and WAEMU - vis-a-vis their long-run equilibrium paths. A reduced form of the Edwards' (1989) fundamentals equilibrium exchange rate (FEER) model is estimated using the Johansen's (1995) cointegration methodology, and equilibrium paths and associated misalignments are derived for the period 1970 to 2005. Our results suggest that, for both CEMAC and WAEMU, the fundamentals account for most of the exchange rates' fluctuation: increases in the terms-of-trade, government consumption and productivity tend to appreciate the exchange rate, while increases in investment and openness tend to depreciate it. At end of 2005, we find no evidence that either the CEMAC or WAEMU REERs were significantly over-valued, which suggests that no exchange rate action is currently needed. Our analysis also reveals significant differences in the fundamentals' marginal impact, and speed of reversion to equilibrium following a shock, which may raise questions about the desirability of maintaining the same parity for both monetary unions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2009-2029 Issue: 16 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765411 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765411 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:16:p:2009-2029 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seong-Hoon Cho Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Zhuo Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zhuo Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Neelam Poudyal Author-X-Name-First: Neelam Author-X-Name-Last: Poudyal Title: Spatial structure of agricultural production in China Abstract: The spatial structure of county-level agricultural production in China in 1999 is analysed. A convenient simple method that corrects for both spatial autocorrelation and spatial heterogeneity in the input-output relationships using spatial lag models and an allowance for the response coefficients to vary across relatively homogeneous regions are described. Empirical results suggest an abundant labour supply and extensive use of agricultural machinery reflected in its declining price. Although mechanization is relatively new, machines have replaced fertilizer in agricultural production in the North, Northeast, Northwest and East regions while irrigation and fertilizer are the significantly important inputs in the Central and Southwest regions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2031-2040 Issue: 16 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765320 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765320 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:16:p:2031-2040 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Song Zan Chiou-Wei Author-X-Name-First: Song Zan Author-X-Name-Last: Chiou-Wei Author-Name: Zhen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Wun-Cheng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Wun-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Financial development and economic growth in South Korea: an application of smooth transition error correction analysis Abstract: This article investigates the influences of financial development on economic growth for South Korea. The analysis is performed using an error correction model and a nonlinear smooth transition error correction technique. Empirical results from the cointegration test reveal that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship among financial development and economic growth. We also demonstrate that the nonlinear specification is more appropriate than the linear model and confirm the presence of nonlinearity in the aggregate output. Furthermore, we find that the short-run effect of financial development on economic growth is unstable despite the positive long-term effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2041-2052 Issue: 16 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765312 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:16:p:2041-2052 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mareva Sabatier Author-X-Name-First: Mareva Author-X-Name-Last: Sabatier Title: Do female researchers face a glass ceiling in France? A hazard model of promotions Abstract: The present article examines whether French female researchers face a glass ceiling, an invisible barrier to promotion. Using an original database from the National Institute for Agricultural Research (INRA), we estimate duration models for promotions. The methodology used allows us to take into account censored observations and unobserved heterogeneity. Our results show a significant gender effect that does not contradict the glass-ceiling hypothesis. In addition, factors that boost promotion seem to be radically different according to gender and we present evidence that promotion strategies are different for males and females. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2053-2062 Issue: 16 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765338 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:16:p:2053-2062 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gerhard Kempkes Author-X-Name-First: Gerhard Author-X-Name-Last: Kempkes Author-Name: Carsten Pohl Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Pohl Title: The efficiency of German universities-some evidence from nonparametric and parametric methods Abstract: Due to tight public budget constraints, the efficiency of publicly financed universities in Germany is receiving increasing attention in the academic as well as in the public discourse. Against this background, we analyse the efficiency of 72 public German universities for the years 1998-2003, applying data envelopment and stochastic frontier analysis. Contrary to earlier studies, we account for the faculty composition of universities which proves to be an essential element in the efficiency of higher education. Our main finding is that East German universities have performed better in total factor productivity change compared to those in West Germany. However, when looking at mean efficiency scores over the sample period, West German universities still appear at the top end of relative efficiency outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2063-2079 Issue: 16 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765361 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:16:p:2063-2079 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Pedro Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez Title: Linkages in international stock markets: evidence from a classification procedure Abstract: In this article, we propose a new approach to evaluate the predictable components in stock indices using a boosting-based classification technique, and we use this method to examine causality among the three main stock market indices in the world during periods of large positive and negative price changes. The empirical evidence seems to indicate that the Standard & Poors 500 index contains incremental information that is not present in either the FTSE 100 index (Financial Times Stock Exchange Index) or the Nikkei 225 index, and that could be used to enhance the predictability of the large positive and negative returns in the three main stock market indices in the world. This in turn would suggest a causality relationship running from the Standard & Poors 500 index to both the FTSE 100 and the Nikkei 225 indices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2081-2089 Issue: 16 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765387 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:16:p:2081-2089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corrado Andini Author-X-Name-First: Corrado Author-X-Name-Last: Andini Title: A dynamic Mincer equation with an application to Portuguese data Abstract: This article argues in favour of a dynamic specification of the Mincer equation, where the past observed earnings play the role of additional explanatory variable for current observed earnings. A dynamic approach offers an explanation why the return to schooling in terms of observed earnings is not independent of labour-market experience, as suggested by some recent empirical evidence for the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2091-2098 Issue: 16 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765429 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:16:p:2091-2098 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Rukmini Gounder Author-X-Name-First: Rukmini Author-X-Name-Last: Gounder Author-Name: Josef Loening Author-X-Name-First: Josef Author-X-Name-Last: Loening Title: The level and growth effects in the empirics of economic growth: some results with data from Guatemala Abstract: Mankiw et al. (1992) have extended the Solow (1956) model by augmenting the production function with human capital. Its empirical success is impressive and it showed a procedure to improve the explanatory power of the neoclassical growth model. This article suggests an empirical procedure to further extend the neoclassical growth model to distinguish between the growth and level effects of shift variables like the human capital. We use time-series data from Guatemala to show that while the growth effects of education are small, they are significant and dominate the level effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2099-2109 Issue: 16 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701749068 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701749068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:16:p:2099-2109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsinan Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Hsinan Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Hsing-Chi Wu Author-X-Name-First: Hsing-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Hsien-Yi Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hsien-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Janchung Wang Author-X-Name-First: Janchung Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: A measurement of the extent of market imperfections between markets and applications Abstract: Traditionally, market imperfections are measured separately. In dealing with the impacts of market imperfections on a financial theory, financial researchers often modify the theory by incorporating one type of market imperfections into the theory, one by one, and then derive a new modified formula. The major problem with this approach is that when considering a type of market imperfections, the new modified formula still ignores the effects of other types of market imperfections. Another problem is that the modified formula is often tedious. Following the concept of degree of market imperfection in Hsu and Wang (2004), this article aims to derive a more easy measurement of market imperfections between markets, discuss some useful applications and provide one of empirical tests. The degree of market imperfection between markets can be applied at least to the following areas: (1) theoretical model building for pricing derivatives in imperfect markets, (2) predicting the deviations of the actual derivative prices from their theoretical prices based on the model of perfect market assumptions and (3) showing the extent of arbitrage activities between markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2111-2126 Issue: 16 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765353 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:16:p:2111-2126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magda Kandil Author-X-Name-First: Magda Author-X-Name-Last: Kandil Title: The asymmetric effects of demand shocks: international evidence on determinants and implications Abstract: The analysis focuses on the asymmetric effects of demand shocks. The evidence across a sample of 19 industrial countries differentiates the effects of expansionary and contractionary aggregate demand shocks on real output growth and nominal wage and price inflation. The difference appears consistent with a kinked supply curve that is dependent on the asymmetric flexibility of wages and/or prices across countries. Furthermore, the evidence does not support the endogeneity of asymmetric nominal flexibility with respect to demand variability or trend price inflation across countries. On average, across countries, demand variability increases nominal wage and price inflation relative to deflation, while exacerbating output contraction relative to expansion. The apparent trade-off between changes in real and nominal trends provides further support to the supply side explanation of asymmetry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2127-2145 Issue: 17 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765502 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765502 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:17:p:2127-2145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Ludger Schuknecht Author-X-Name-First: Ludger Author-X-Name-Last: Schuknecht Author-Name: Vito Tanzi Author-X-Name-First: Vito Author-X-Name-Last: Tanzi Title: Public sector efficiency: evidence for new EU member states and emerging markets Abstract: In this article, we analyse public sector efficiency in the new member states of the EU compared to that in emerging markets. After a conceptual discussion of expenditure efficiency measurement, we compute efficiency scores and rankings by applying a range of measurement techniques. The study finds that expenditure efficiency across new EU member states is rather diverse especially as compared to the group of top performing emerging markets in Asia. Econometric analysis shows that higher income, civil service competence and education levels as well as the security of property rights seem to facilitate the prevention of inefficiencies in the public sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2147-2164 Issue: 17 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765460 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765460 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:17:p:2147-2164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Boeters Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Boeters Author-Name: Christoph Bohringer Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Bohringer Author-Name: Thiess Buttner Author-X-Name-First: Thiess Author-X-Name-Last: Buttner Author-Name: Margit Kraus Author-X-Name-First: Margit Author-X-Name-Last: Kraus Title: Economic effects of VAT reforms in Germany Abstract: In the tax policy debate, differentiation of value-added taxes (VAT) is often justified by distributional concerns. Our quantitative analysis for Germany indicates that such concerns are misplaced. We find that the abolition of VAT differentiation has only negligible redistributive effects. Instead, reduced VAT rates are found to act as industry-specific subsidies. Whereas the overall welfare effects of pure VAT reforms are very small, a revenue-neutral introduction of a harmonized VAT combined with reductions in the marginal income tax rates or social security contributions turns out to yield substantial welfare gains for all households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2165-2182 Issue: 17 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701857952 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701857952 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:17:p:2165-2182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter van der Zwan Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: van der Zwan Author-Name: Roy Thurik Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Thurik Author-Name: Isabel Grilo Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Grilo Title: The entrepreneurial ladder and its determinants Abstract: We test a new model where the entrepreneurial decision is described as a process of successive engagement levels, i.e. as an entrepreneurial ladder. Five levels are distinguished using nearly 12 000 observations from the 2004 'Flash Eurobarometer survey on Entrepreneurship' covering the 25 European Union member states and the United States. The most surprising of the many results is that perception of lack of financial support is no obstacle for moving to a higher entrepreneurial engagement level whereas perceived administrative complexity is a significant obstacle. We also show that the effect of age on the probability of moving forward in the entrepreneurial process becomes negative after a certain age implying that if entrepreneurial engagements are not taken early enough in life they may well never be taken. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2183-2191 Issue: 17 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765437 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:17:p:2183-2191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: Deterministic and stochastic trends in the time series models: a guide for the applied economist Abstract: Applied economists working with time series data face a dilemma in selecting between models with deterministic and stochastic trends. While models with deterministic trends are widely used, models with stochastic trends are not so well known. In an influential paper Harvey (1997) strongly advocates a structural time series approach with stochastic trends in place of the widely used autoregressive models based on unit root tests and cointegration techniques. Therefore, it is important to understand their relative merits. This article suggests that both methodologies are useful and they may perform differently in different models. This article provides a few guidelines to the applied economists to understand these alternative methods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2193-2202 Issue: 17 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765494 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:17:p:2193-2202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria De Paola Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: De Paola Author-Name: Vincenzo Scoppa Author-X-Name-First: Vincenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Scoppa Title: Peer group effects on the academic performance of Italian students Abstract: We analyse peer effects among students of a middle-sized Italian public university. We explain students' average grade in exams passed during their Second Level Degree course on the basis of their pre-determined measures of abilities, personal characteristics and peer group abilities. Thanks to a rich administrative data set, we are able to build a variety of definitions of peer groups, describing different kinds of students' interaction, based on classes attended together or exams taken in the same session. Self-selection problems are handled through Two-Stage Least Squares estimations using as an instrument, the exogenous assignment of students to different teaching classes in the compulsory courses attended during their First Level Degree course. We find statistically significant positive peer group effects, which are robust to the different definitions of peer group and to different measures of abilities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2203-2215 Issue: 17 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765478 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:17:p:2203-2215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taewoo You Author-X-Name-First: Taewoo Author-X-Name-Last: You Author-Name: Xiaoying Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoying Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Mark Holder Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Holder Title: Efficiency and its determinants in pharmaceutical industries: ownership, R&D and scale economy Abstract: The purpose of this article is to measure the efficiency of pharmaceutical firms and identify their determinants using Korean and American samples from 1992 to 2004. We document some stylized facts in the patterns and sources of efficiency change in Korean and American pharmaceutical firms. The evidence shows that ownership structure can substantially influence the efficiency of pharmaceutical firms. Especially, institutional ownership rate affects corporate efficiencies negatively, corroborating the myopic institutional investor hypothesis. The hypothesis is supported by both Korean and American samples. However, we find evidence that foreign ownership in Korea promotes efficiency of pharmaceutical firms. It is shown that R&D intensity is positively related to contemporaneous largest ownership rate and prior foreign ownership rate in Korean pharmaceutical firms. In contrast, little evidence is found on the relationship between ownership structure and R&D intensity in the American pharmaceutical industry. These empirical results are robust even after we check the causal links among efficiency, R&D and ownership. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2217-2241 Issue: 17 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765445 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:17:p:2217-2241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julian Ramajo Author-X-Name-First: Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Ramajo Author-Name: Montserrat Ferre Author-X-Name-First: Montserrat Author-X-Name-Last: Ferre Title: Purchasing power parity revisited: evidence from old and new tests for an organisation for economic co-operation and development panel Abstract: The objective of this article is to study long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a panel of 21 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries from the end of the Bretton Woods era by applying a wide range of the econometric techniques available. This will allow us to present a comprehensive up to date examination of the empirical validity of PPP, covering the weak and strong versions of the hypothesis with individual and panel analysis, including the absence or presence of cross-dependency, the linear or nonlinear behaviour of the real exchange rates and the degree of persistence. Overall, the results provide evidence in favour of PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2243-2260 Issue: 17 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701765486 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701765486 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:17:p:2243-2260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Russo Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Russo Title: Is past prologue? Prospects for state and local sales tax bases Abstract: General sales taxes provide substantial fractions of state and local revenues in the US. However, state and local sales tax bases have been eroding steadily during the past 50 years. Base erosion contributes to fiscal stress in the states; therefore, prospects for continued sales tax base erosion are important to state tax administrators, policymakers and public finance economists. This article offers a quantitative assessment of base erosion. We construct time series of a representative state sales tax base and its price index, and estimate a structural demand system for 'taxed' and 'untaxed' commodities. We use the estimates to forecast the sales tax base over coming years. Time-series forecasts and a weighted-average forecast are constructed, to reduce the likelihood of forecast error. The results suggest slow, but relentless, base erosion and possible recurring fiscal stress, in states where sales tax revenues make up sizable fractions of total tax revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2261-2274 Issue: 18 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858000 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:18:p:2261-2274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Musolesi Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Musolesi Author-Name: Massimiliano Mazzanti Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzanti Author-Name: Roberto Zoboli Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Zoboli Title: A panel data heterogeneous Bayesian estimation of environmental Kuznets curves for CO2 emissions Abstract: This article investigates the Environmental Kuznets Curves (EKC) for CO2 emissions in a panel of 109 countries during the period 1959 to 2001. The length of the series makes the application of a heterogeneous estimator suitable from an econometric point of view. The results, based on the hierarchical Bayes estimator, show that different EKC dynamics are associated with the different sub-samples of countries considered. On average, more industrialized countries show evidence of EKC in quadratic specifications, which nevertheless are probably evolving into an N-shape based on their cubic specification. Nevertheless, it is worth noting that the EU, and not the Umbrella Group led by US, has been driving currently observed EKC-like shapes. The latter is associated to monotonic income-CO2 dynamics. The EU shows a clear EKC shape. Evidence for less-developed countries consistently shows that CO2 emissions rise positively with income, though there are some signs of an EKC. Analyses of future performance, nevertheless, favour quadratic specifications, thus supporting EKC evidence for wealthier countries and non-EKC shapes for industrializing regions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2275-2287 Issue: 18 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858034 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858034 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:18:p:2275-2287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tara Sinclair Author-X-Name-First: Tara Author-X-Name-Last: Sinclair Author-Name: H. O. Stekler Author-X-Name-First: H. O. Author-X-Name-Last: Stekler Author-Name: L. Kitzinger Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Kitzinger Title: Directional forecasts of GDP and inflation: a joint evaluation with an application to Federal Reserve predictions Abstract: Many studies have undertaken separate analyses of the Fed's forecasts of real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth and inflation. This article presents a method for jointly evaluating the direction of change predictions of these variables. We conclude that some of the inflation forecasts, examined separately, were not valuable. However, the joint pattern of GDP and inflation projections was generally in accord with the economy's movements. '… directional forecasting … is now an increasingly popular metric for forecasting performance….' (Pesaran and Timmermann, 2004, 414) Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2289-2297 Issue: 18 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701857978 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701857978 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:18:p:2289-2297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Karlson Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Karlson Author-Name: Eliakim Katz Author-X-Name-First: Eliakim Author-X-Name-Last: Katz Title: Immigration amnesties Abstract: Barriers and border patrols complement amnesty in a coherent policy that creates incentives for illegal immigrants to self-select on the basis of ability in a way that benefits a rich host country. We consider the roles of barriers to migration and immigration amnesties in greater depth and, in particular, we examine the rich country's optimal policies. Encouraging self-selection is optimal under some, but not all, circumstances, because there are mixes of potential immigrants for which the cost of welfare migration is more than offset by the gains from productive workers enticed by a more lenient immigration policy. Furthermore, under plausible assumptions, the rich country's optimum may require a probabilistic rather than a certain amnesty to fine-tune the mix of migrants. Numerical examples illustrate that probabilistic or certain amnesties, addressed to different partitions of the migrant population, are each optimal as the mix of potential migrants changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2299-2315 Issue: 18 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701857986 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701857986 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:18:p:2299-2315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashfaqul Babool Author-X-Name-First: Ashfaqul Author-X-Name-Last: Babool Author-Name: Michael Reed Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Reed Title: The impact of environmental policy on international competitiveness in manufacturing Abstract: The aim of this study is to test the hypothesis that environmental stringency adversely affects the international competitiveness (net exports) in manufacturing sectors. The model follows the standard factor endowment approach to explain the effects of environmental regulatory policy on net exports in different product-based industries. An econometric model is constructed, which includes factor endowments and environmental regulations to examine how strict environmental policies impact export competitiveness. A panel dataset of 10 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries, over 17 years, 1987-2003, was constructed for the modelling effort. The study finds that environmental regulations can be a way to combat the flight of manufacturing out of developed countries if the output from these industries can be identified as environmentally friendly. A positive relationship between net exports and environmental regulations was found for paper products, wood products and textile products. However, most manufacturing industries are harmed by increased environmental regulations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2317-2326 Issue: 18 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858026 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:18:p:2317-2326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Bagliano Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Bagliano Author-Name: Claudio Morana Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: Business cycle comovement in the G-7: common shocks or common transmission mechanisms? Abstract: What are the sources of macroeconomic comovement among G-7 countries? Two main candidate explanations may be singled out: common shocks and common transmission mechanisms. In the article it is shown that they are complementary, rather than alternative, explanations. By means of a large-scale Factor Vector Autoregressive (FVAR) model, allowing for full economic and statistical identification of all global and idiosyncratic shocks, it is found that both common disturbances and common transmission mechanisms of global and country-specific shocks account for business cycle comovement in the G-7 countries. Moreover, spillover effects of foreign idiosyncratic disturbances seem to be a less important factor than the common transmission of global or domestic shocks in the determination of international macro-economic comovements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2327-2345 Issue: 18 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858067 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:18:p:2327-2345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Myung-Hee Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myung-Hee Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hyun-Hoon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hyun-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Linguistic and nonlinguistic factors determining proficiency of English as a foreign language: a cross-country analysis Abstract: This article is one of the first studies to use econometric techniques to examine the factors influencing proficiency of English as a foreign language. Specifically, this article aims to investigate, at cross-country level, the linguistic and nonlinguistic factors influencing the variation of proficiency in the use of English as a second language. As a proxy for English proficiency, we use the average Test of English as a Foreign Language (TOEFL) scores achieved by residents of a total of over 60 countries. The regression results suggest that linguistic factors such as historical affinity and similarity in word order between English and a given language have an influence on the proficiency in English achieved by people whose native language is not English. Among the nonlinguistic factors, expected years of schooling and degree of globalization have a positive relation with proficiency in English. These results seem robust, even when the computer-based TOEFL score is used in place of the paper-based TOEFL score and even when the overall score is replaced by the respective score in listening comprehension, structure and written expression, and reading comprehension. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2347-2364 Issue: 18 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701857960 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701857960 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:18:p:2347-2364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ege Yazgan Author-X-Name-First: M. Ege Author-X-Name-Last: Yazgan Author-Name: Ilknur Zer-Toker Author-X-Name-First: Ilknur Author-X-Name-Last: Zer-Toker Title: Currency substitution, policy rule and pass-through: evidence from Turkey Abstract: In this article we analyse empirically currency substitution and exchange rate pass-through in the Turkish Economy, where their ongoing presence could undermine the implementation of a successful monetary policy, especially in a flexible exchange rate regime. Even though a considerable time has passed after the implementation of a flexible exchange rate regime in Turkey, by using Vector Error Correction model for the period from 1987 to 2004, we find that the currency substitution and exchange rate pass-through still have importance in the Turkish Economy and the monetary policy stance has been considerably strong, possibly, as a response of ongoing presence of them. If this is the case, to avoid the undesired consequences of this strong monetary policy, Turkey should consider some policy measures to reduce the degree of pass-through and currency substitution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2365-2378 Issue: 18 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858018 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:18:p:2365-2378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenji Matsui Author-X-Name-First: Kenji Author-X-Name-Last: Matsui Title: Effects of wholesaler concentration on retailers by format: evidence from Japanese brand-level price data Abstract: Using unique brand-level wholesale price data, this article examines how purchase prices of commodities for retailers are influenced by wholesale concentration. Compared with studies focusing on retail prices, little empirical work has measured the impact of wholesale concentration on wholesale prices. Economic theory suggests that the sensitivity of purchase price in response to degree of wholesale concentration is smaller for large retail formats than for small retail formats in the presence of intra-format retail competition. To test the validity of the theoretical implication, I measure the impact of the concentration on purchasing prices for retailers by format. Empirical findings support the hypothesis that the large retail format tends to draw advantageous purchase prices when wholesalers become increasingly oligopolistic. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2379-2391 Issue: 18 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858042 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858042 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:18:p:2379-2391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christine Dwane Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Dwane Author-Name: Philip Lane Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Lane Author-Name: Tara McIndoe Author-X-Name-First: Tara Author-X-Name-Last: McIndoe Title: Currency unions and Irish external trade Abstract: Ireland has participated in two currency unions-a bilateral union with the UK that lasted until 1979 and as a founder member of European Monetary Union (EMU) that began in 1999. This article investigates whether currency unions have influenced Irish trade patterns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2393-2397 Issue: 19 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858109 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:19:p:2393-2397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Libero Monteforte Author-X-Name-First: Libero Author-X-Name-Last: Monteforte Author-Name: Stefano Siviero Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Siviero Title: The economic consequences of euro-area macro-modelling shortcuts Abstract: Should euro-area economies be modelled in an aggregate (area-wide) fashion or in a disaggregate (multi-country) one? This article tackles that question from both statistical and economic viewpoint. From a statistical viewpoint, aggregation bias criteria are found to signal that the degree of structural heterogeneity among euro-area economies is such that the loss of information entailed by an aggregate modelling approach may be far from trifling. From an economic viewpoint, we investigate the following issue. Are those statistically detectable heterogeneities of any practical relevance when it comes to supporting monetary policy decision-making? To provide an answer to this question, we compute simple optimal monetary policy reaction functions on the basis of either an aggregate model or a disaggregate one, and compare the associated welfare losses. The results suggest that the welfare under-performance of an area-wide-model-based rule is not only nonnegligible, but also robust with respect to a number of sensitivity analyses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2399-2415 Issue: 19 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858075 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:19:p:2399-2415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Christian Fischer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Fischer Title: International travelling and trade: further evidence for the case of Spanish wine based on fractional vector autoregressive specifications Abstract: This article deals with the relationship between international travelling and trade. For this purpose we focus on a particular case study: the connection between the Spanish wine exports to Germany and the German travellers to Spain. Unlike previous studies we use a methodology based on fractional Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) models, which permits us to compute the impulse responses in a similar way as in the standard VAR case. The results show that the orders of integration of the two series are constrained between 0 and 1, being higher for the arrivals series than for the exports. The impulse response analysis reveals that an increase in travelling produces a positive initial impact on trade though it tends to disappear in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2417-2434 Issue: 19 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858083 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:19:p:2417-2434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simone Bertoli Author-X-Name-First: Simone Author-X-Name-Last: Bertoli Author-Name: Giampiero Gallo Author-X-Name-First: Giampiero Author-X-Name-Last: Gallo Author-Name: Giorgio Ricchiuti Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Author-X-Name-Last: Ricchiuti Title: Exchange market pressure: some caveats in empirical applications Abstract: The Exchange Market Pressure (EMP) index, developed by Eichengreen et al. (1994), is widely used as a tool to signal whether pressure on a currency is softened or warded off through monetary authorities' interventions or, rather, a currency crisis has originated. In this article we show how the index is sensitive to some assumptions behind the aggregation of the information available (exchange rates, interest rates and reserves), especially when emerging countries are involved. Specifically, we address the way exchange rate variations are computed and the impact of different definitions of the reserves, and we question the constancy of the weights adopted. These issues compound with the choice of a fixed threshold when crisis episodes are identified through the EMP index. As a result, one should exert caution in subsequent econometric analyses where a dependent binary variable is built to identify crisis periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2435-2448 Issue: 19 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858059 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858059 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:19:p:2435-2448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harris Neeliah Author-X-Name-First: Harris Author-X-Name-Last: Neeliah Author-Name: Bhavani Shankar Author-X-Name-First: Bhavani Author-X-Name-Last: Shankar Title: Ozone pollution and farm profits in England and Wales Abstract: Tropospheric ozone is an air pollutant known to adversely affect crop yields across Europe. Experimental work is underway to quantify yield effects at ambient ozone levels for a number of crops. In this article, we undertake direct, farm-level evaluation of the impact of ozone by estimating a multi-output profit function using a panel dataset of cereal farms in England and Wales. A system of equations, comprising the profit function, input and output share equations is estimated using a fixed-effects seemingly unrelated regression technique, with ozone as a quasi-fixed input. Estimated parameters are used to calculate tropospheric ozone-related profit and output supply elasticities. The main findings from the profit function show that a 10% increase in average ozone levels would decrease variable profits by 1.3% and wheat output supply by 1%. These results are of a significantly lower magnitude, but qualitatively consistent with findings from similar studies carried out in North America. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2449-2458 Issue: 19 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858158 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858158 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:19:p:2449-2458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lindsay Tedds Author-X-Name-First: Lindsay Author-X-Name-Last: Tedds Title: Keeping it off the books: an empirical investigation of firms that engage in tax evasion Abstract: This article uses a unique dataset that contains detailed information on firms from around the world to investigate factors that affect under-reporting behaviour. The empirical strategy employed exploits the nature of the dependent variable, which is interval coded, and uses interval regression which provides an asymptotically efficient estimator provided that the classical linear model assumptions hold. These assumptions are investigated using standard diagnostic tests that have been modified for the interval regression model. Evidence is presented that shows that the firms in all regions engage in under-reporting. Regression results indicate that government corruption has the single largest causal effect on under-reporting, resulting in the percentage of sales not reported to the tax authority being 51.3% higher. Taxes have the second single largest causal effect on under-reporting, resulting in the percentage of sales not reported to the tax authority being 18.0% higher, followed by access to financing at 8.9% higher and organized crime at 7.6% higher. Inflation, political instability, exchange rates and the fairness of the legal system were found to have no effect on under-reporting. It is also found that there is a significant correlation between under-reporting and the legal organization of the business, size, age, ownership, competition and audit controls. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2459-2473 Issue: 19 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858141 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:19:p:2459-2473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Caliendo Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Caliendo Author-Name: Katharina Wrohlich Author-X-Name-First: Katharina Author-X-Name-Last: Wrohlich Title: Evaluating the German 'Mini-Job' reform using a natural experiment Abstract: Increasing work incentives for people with low income is a common topic in the policy debate across European countries. The 'Mini-Job' reform in Germany had a similar motivation. We carry out an ex-post evaluation to identify the short-run effects of this reform. Our identification strategy uses an exogenous variation in the interview months in the Socio-Economic Panel Study (SOEP), which allows us to distinguish groups that are affected by the reform from those who are not. To account for seasonal effects we additionally use a Difference-In-Differences (DID) strategy. Descriptives show that there is a post-reform increase in the number of mini-jobs. However, we show that this increase cannot be causally related to the reform, since the short-run effects are very limited. Only single men seem to react immediately and increase secondary job holding. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2475-2489 Issue: 19 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858125 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:19:p:2475-2489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pablo Mejia-Reyes Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Mejia-Reyes Author-Name: Denise Osborn Author-X-Name-First: Denise Author-X-Name-Last: Osborn Author-Name: Marianne Sensier Author-X-Name-First: Marianne Author-X-Name-Last: Sensier Title: Modelling real exchange rate effects on output performance in Latin America Abstract: This article empirically analyses real per capita GDP growth for six Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Columbia, Mexico, Venezuela) in terms of real exchange rate depreciations, inflation and US interest rates, focussing on the role of the real exchange rate. We find evidence of nonlinearity in this relationship, which we capture through a smooth transition regression model. With the exception of Mexico, nonlinearity in economic growth is associated with changes in the real exchange rate, with depreciations leading to different relationships compared with appreciations. Regimes for Mexico are associated with the past growth rates, with effectively symmetric effects of real exchange rate changes. Although our results are in accord with other recent literature in that depreciations may have negative effects for growth, the asymmetries we uncover indicate that these effects depend on the conditioning state. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2491-2503 Issue: 19 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858117 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:19:p:2491-2503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jui-Kou Shang Author-X-Name-First: Jui-Kou Author-X-Name-Last: Shang Author-Name: Fei-Ching Wang Author-X-Name-First: Fei-Ching Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Wei-Ting Hung Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: A stochastic DEA study of hotel efficiency Abstract: This current study is the first to apply Stochastic Data Envelopment Analysis (SDEA) approach to assess the efficiency of hotels. The determinants of hotel efficiency were also investigated employing the Tobit regression model approach. The SDEA results show that the SDEA efficiency measures are higher than the deterministic ones and the greater the stochastic variability of outputs, the closer the envelope moves successively to any given observation and the efficiency score approaches one. The optimal solution to SDEA involves the presence of some buffer (slack) of all outputs. In applications involving practice production situation, such buffer (slack) can be interpreted as the firms' need to hold inventory, excess capacity and organizational slack against stochastic uncertainty of market environment. Our results also indicate that resort hotels achieve better efficiency than those in metropolitan areas and operating as part of a chain is not the main determinant of the efficiency of international tourist hotels in Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2505-2518 Issue: 19 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840701858091 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840701858091 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:19:p:2505-2518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Danny Leung Author-X-Name-First: Danny Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Author-Name: Terence Yuen Author-X-Name-First: Terence Author-X-Name-Last: Yuen Title: Do exchange rates affect the capital-labour ratio? Panel evidence from Canadian manufacturing industries Abstract: Using industry-level data for Canadian manufacturing industries from 1981 to 1997, we find empirical evidence of a negative relationship between the capital-labour ratio and the user cost of capital relative to the price of labour. A 10% increase in the user cost of the Machinery and Equipment (M&E) relative to the price of labour results in a 3.3% decrease in the M&E-labour ratio in the long run. Assuming complete exchange rate pass-through into imported M&E prices, the maximum effect of a permanent 10% depreciation in the exchange rate is a 1.7% decline in the M&E-labour ratio. This result implies that the cumulative growth of the M&E-labour ratio during the 1991 to 1997 period would have been 2.3 percentage points higher had the dollar not depreciated. This may appear to be significant, but considering both M&E as a share of total capital and the capital share of nominal output are both approximately one-third, in terms of a simple growth accounting framework, the effect on labour productivity is small. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2519-2535 Issue: 20 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964476 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:20:p:2519-2535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Davis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Author-Name: Wen You Author-X-Name-First: Wen Author-X-Name-Last: You Title: The time cost of food at home: general and food stamp participant profiles Abstract: Little is known about the cost of time in food preparation at home. Yet, this economic variable is a common thread running through recent concerns about obesity and the Food Stamp (FS) program. This article provides initial estimates of the time cost in food preparation at home for the United States. Two standard methods of estimation are implemented and three demographic profiles are considered: (i) the general population, (ii) the typical FS participant and (iii) the typical FS participant following the United States Department of Agriculture Thrifty Food Plan. For the general population and averaging across methods, the time cost share of total food cost is about 30% if the individual works in the market and at home, but it is about 49% if the individual does not work in the market. For the typical FS participant, especially one following the Thrifty Food plan, the time cost share of total food cost can be as much as 26% higher than the general population. These substantial percentages provide strong incentives to purchase food away from home and help undermine overall diet quality and the efficacy of the FS program, which ignores the time cost in food at home production. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2537-2552 Issue: 20 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964468 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964468 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:20:p:2537-2552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gareth David Leeves Author-X-Name-First: Gareth David Author-X-Name-Last: Leeves Title: Declining US output volatility and its effect on labour flow volatility: an MGARCH analysis Abstract: This article analyses flow rates of US workers between employment and unemployment using new quarterly data for the period 1967 to 2002. Multivariate GARCH models are used to investigate links between flow-rate volatilities. The results suggest that links changed substantially in the mid 1980s, coinciding with the documented decline in output volatility. These changes in adjustment dynamics are consistent with a move to greater use of hours rather than worker adjustment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2553-2561 Issue: 20 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801949774 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801949774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:20:p:2553-2561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Risa Kumazawa Author-X-Name-First: Risa Author-X-Name-Last: Kumazawa Title: Promotion speed and its effect on attrition of Navy-enlisted personnel: addressing heterogeneity in high school credentials Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between recruit quality and promotion speed of the US Navy's first-term enlisted personnel, which in turn is expected to affect retention. It also investigates whether there are quality differences between the various types of high school credentials presented at the time of recruitment, including test-based and attendance-based equivalencies and nontraditional high school diplomas. The results of this article suggest that the Navy's recent targeting of individuals with alternative high school credentials and nonhigh school graduates, who score in the top half of the Armed Forces Qualification Tests (AFQTs) as substitutes for diploma holders have desirable results for promotion speed but undesirable results for retention. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2563-2576 Issue: 20 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964450 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964450 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:20:p:2563-2576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vladimir Kuhl Teles Author-X-Name-First: Vladimir Kuhl Author-X-Name-Last: Teles Author-Name: Maria Carolina Leme Author-X-Name-First: Maria Carolina Author-X-Name-Last: Leme Title: Fundamentals or market sentiment: what causes country risk? Abstract: The country risk indicator, as measured by the JP Morgan's EMBI or grades of rating agencies such as Standard & Poor's (S&P's) or Moody's, does not seem to truly reflect the fundamentals of an economy. Countries that pursue sound economic policies are frequently placed on the same level as countries with a populist orientation or with a recent history of default or debt restructuring. Such circumstance generates a feeling of unease with regard to these ratings. The objective of this article is to investigate whether these indicators truly reflect market fundamentals or whether some sort of prejudice, or intolerance towards certain countries, can be identified. We use the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition to analyse the differences in country risk, measured as by EMBI+, for a group of emerging markets. This decomposition allows us to separate the 'justified' (differences in fundamentals) from the 'unjustified' differences (same fundamental differently evaluated). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2577-2585 Issue: 20 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964518 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964518 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:20:p:2577-2585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Ho Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Chun-Mei Ma Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Mei Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Ming-Yuan Sun Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Efficiency and credit rating in Taiwan banking: data envelopment analysis estimation Abstract: In this article, we use the data envelopment analysis to measure the efficiency of banks before and after credit rating is taken into consideration and we also employ the Malmquist Productivity Index to measure the total factor productivity changes from 2001 to 2003. The results are as follows: (1) There is a positive relationship between the efficiency scores and credit rating, and thus, the credit rating can be a representative to evaluate the performance and quality of a bank; (2) We use the Wilconxon two-sample test of nonparametric statistic to test the influences of credit rating. The empirical result shows that the credit rating is proven to influence the efficiency of banks; (3) The efficiency scores improve in both investment grade (above tw BBB-) and speculation grade (under tw BBB-), when credit rating is taken into consideration. The empirical results show that the efficiency scores of banks with a high credit rating improved relatively more when compared to banks with a lower credit rating; (4) In this research we also adopt the Malmquist index to observe the productivity and efficiency changes from year to year. We obtain results whereby the improvement of efficiency may be influenced greatly both from pure technical and scale efficiency changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2587-2600 Issue: 20 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964443 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:20:p:2587-2600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Bilson Darku Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Bilson Darku Title: Consumption smoothing, capital controls and the current account in Ghana Abstract: Much of the empirical evidence on developing economies indicates that the basic intertemporal model of the current account fails to predict the dynamics of the actual current account series. This article argues that the model can predict the dynamics of the current account series if it is appropriately adjusted to reflect the nature of capital mobility and exchange rate policies in these countries. Using data on Ghana that span across capital control and liberalized regimes this article reports three finding. First, consistent with the existing empirical evidence, the basic model fails to predict the dynamics of the actual current account. Second, extending the basic model to capture variations in interest rates and exchange rates better explains the path of the actual current account balances only during the liberalized regime. Third, tests of asymmetric access to the international financial market indicate that economic agents in Ghana could not use the international financial market to smooth their consumption during the capital control regime. However, the liberalization program that reduced constraints on capital flows has enabled economic agents to use the international capital market to smooth consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2601-2616 Issue: 20 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964542 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964542 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:20:p:2601-2616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seher Nur Sulku Author-X-Name-First: Seher Nur Author-X-Name-Last: Sulku Title: Econometric testing of purchasing power parity in less developed countries: fixed and flexible exchange rate regime experiences Abstract: We investigate the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis for 16 Less Developed Countries (LDCs), from all over the world, during their fixed and flexible exchange rate experiences over the period 1957:01-1999:12. The main contribution of this article to the empirical literature on PPP is that our study is the first to consider PPP hypothesis on alternative exchange rate regimes for LDCs. The bilateral exchange rates of LDCs and the United States, and their respective price levels are considered. Three different time series methodologies are employed: unit-root tests, Engle-Granger (1987) cointegration technique and Johansen multivariate VAR methodology (1988). The cointegration techniques improve the results, which allows the examination of the more frequent long-run relationship between relative prices and nominal exchange rates. Nevertheless, using each of econometric techniques we find only a few and a nearly equal evidence in favour of PPP under the alternative regimes in LDCs. Hence, the main conclusion of our study is that the deviations from PPP in LDCs cannot be attributed to the exchange rate regime system. Other market regulations should be investigated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2617-2630 Issue: 20 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964534 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:20:p:2617-2630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno Coric Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Coric Author-Name: Geoff Pugh Author-X-Name-First: Geoff Author-X-Name-Last: Pugh Title: The effects of exchange rate variability on international trade: a meta-regression analysis Abstract: The trade effects of exchange rate variability have been an issue in international economics for the past 30 years. The contribution of this article is to apply meta-regression analysis (MRA) to the empirical literature. On average, exchange rate variability exerts a negative effect on international trade. Yet MRA confirms the view that this result is highly conditional, by identifying factors that help to explain why estimated trade effects vary from significantly negative to significantly positive. MRA evidence on the pronounced heterogeneity of the empirical findings may be instructive for policy: first, by establishing that average trade effects are not sufficiently robust to generalize across countries; and second, by suggesting the importance of hedging opportunities - hence of financial development - for trade promotion. For the practice of MRA, we make a case for checking the robustness of results with respect to estimation technique, model specification and sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2631-2644 Issue: 20 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964500 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964500 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:20:p:2631-2644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ludger Wossmann Author-X-Name-First: Ludger Author-X-Name-Last: Wossmann Title: Families, schools and primary-school learning: evidence for Argentina and Colombia in an international perspective Abstract: This article presents evidence on the associations between family background, school characteristics and student performance in primary school in Argentina, Colombia and several comparison countries. As a general pattern, educational performance is strongly related to family background, weakly to some institutional school features and hardly to schools' resource endowments. In an international perspective, family-background effects are relatively large in Argentina, and relatively small in Colombia. A specific Argentine feature is the lack of performance differences between rural and urban areas. A specific Colombian feature is the lack of significant between-gender performance differences. Nonnative students and students not speaking Spanish at home perform particularly weak in both countries. In Argentina, students perform better in schools with a centralized curriculum and ability-based class formation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2645-2665 Issue: 21 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964617 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964617 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:21:p:2645-2665 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deepananda Herath Author-X-Name-First: Deepananda Author-X-Name-Last: Herath Author-Name: John Cranfield Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Cranfield Author-Name: Spencer Henson Author-X-Name-First: Spencer Author-X-Name-Last: Henson Title: Understanding the financing of innovation and commercialization: the case of the Canadian functional food and nutraceutical sector Abstract: We develop and implement two models to show what factors affect a firm's decision to seek external financing and the level of financing obtained in the Canadian functional food and nutraceutical sector. Data from a national survey of functional foods and nutraceutical firms in Canada, conducted by Statistics Canada in 2003, is used for this analysis. Firm size, being privately held and engaging in contractual arrangements have negative impacts on the likelihood of a firm seeking external funding, while firms which are intensively involved in the functional food and nutraceutical sector, with greater prospects for business expansion and/or involved in partnerships are more likely to seek external financing. Larger firms and those involved in functional food and nutraceutical research and development receive a greater amount of capital when they decide to raise capital. However, firms focused on functional foods and nutraceuticals, as opposed to more diversified firms, and those involved in product development and concept scale-up, receive less capital. Our findings highlight the importance of public support in addressing the capital requirements of functional food and nutraceutical firms and underscore the considerable burden borne by smaller firms in this respect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2667-2682 Issue: 21 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964658 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964658 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:21:p:2667-2682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Djeto Assane Author-X-Name-First: Djeto Author-X-Name-Last: Assane Author-Name: Bernard Malamud Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Malamud Title: Financial development and growth in sub-Saharan Africa: do legal origin and CFA membership matter? Abstract: This article examines whether relations between legal origin, financial development and economic growth that hold worldwide hold in British and French legal origin Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) as well. We also test for the differential impacts on financial development and on growth of Communaute Financiere Africaine (CFA) currency union membership within French legal origin SSA. Our panel regressions and descriptive measures agree with the findings of British legal origin advantage with respect to financial development. In addition, financial development contributes positively to economic growth in British legal origin SSA, as it does worldwide. Within French legal origin SSA, we find that currency union constraints tend to hinder financial development in CFA countries beyond the negative impacts of French legal origin. Moreover, contributions to the growth of various indicators of financial development in French legal origin SSA are negative or insignificant irrespective of CFA membership. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2683-2697 Issue: 21 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964591 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:21:p:2683-2697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy Thornton Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Author-Name: William Belski Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Belski Title: Financial reporting quality and price competition among nonprofit firms Abstract: Donors increasingly rely on financial information reported by Internal Revenue Service (IRS) Form 990 to allocate donations among nonprofit firms. However, competition among nonprofits creates an incentive for managers to under-report management and fund-raising expenditures to make their firms appear relatively efficient. Increasingly, researchers suspect that information provided in the Form 990 may not accurately portray the true financial condition of nonprofit firms. Inaccurate price information weakens the ability of donors to promote efficiency and discipline excess among nonprofit managers. This article examines the reaction of donors to variation in Form 990 reporting quality. We find that donors reward nonprofit firms for investments in more accurate financial reporting. Additionally, higher quality financial information sharpens the ability of donor markets to discipline nonprofit firms by increasing price sensitivity. The primary implication of this study is that regulatory improvements in reporting quality could increase the ability of donor markets to serve as a viable governance mechanism for improving nonprofit efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2699-2713 Issue: 21 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964583 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964583 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:21:p:2699-2713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: What is in a surname? The role of ethnicity in economic decision making Abstract: This article reports results from two experiments that investigate possible incidence of discrimination against people with foreign backgrounds in Sweden. In the first experiment, participants played the trust game and the dictator game with co-players of different ethnic affiliation. The family name of the players was exposed to their co-players. Results for the trust game showed no significant discrimination against co-players with foreign backgrounds. On the other hand, the results for the dictator game showed a statistically significant discriminatory behaviour by men against co-players with non-European backgrounds. The discriminatory behaviour was solely a male phenomenon. In the second experiment, the dictator game was replicated to check the stability of the results in the first experiment. The second experiment also examined whether people with foreign backgrounds discriminate against other people with foreign backgrounds; that is, the purpose was to discover whether discrimination is systematic. The observations in the second experiment underlined the results found in the first experiment: foreign co-players are discriminated against by Swedish players. However, we did not find that people with foreign backgrounds discriminated against other people with foreign backgrounds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2715-2723 Issue: 21 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964609 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964609 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:21:p:2715-2723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Kara Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Kara Author-Name: Hande Kucuk-Tuğer Author-X-Name-First: Hande Author-X-Name-Last: Kucuk-Tuğer Title: Inflation expectations in Turkey: learning to be rational Abstract: Turkey implemented an ambitious restructuring of the economy in the past several years, including the adoption of inflation targeting along with a floating exchange rate regime. Inflation came down from almost triple digits to single digits between 2001 and 2005. This particular episode of the Turkish economy sets a genuine case study for investigating the possible changes in the behaviour of inflation expectations upon a regime shift. Accordingly, this study analyses inflation expectations in Turkey, focusing especially on the post-2001 transition phase. We first conduct classical tests of unbiasedness and efficiency using aggregate survey data between August 2001 and October 2007 to get a statistical benchmark for rationality; we find that classical tests reject full rationality hypothesis for all series except next month's Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation expectations. Then, we carry out Time-Varying Parameter (TVP) estimates based on a Kalman filter to see how the coefficients in the classical test equations evolve over time. This framework allows us to see whether there is convergence to rationality in terms of unbiasedness and efficiency. We find that forecast performance has improved through time, as the coefficients on the test equations shows movement towards values implied by unbiasedness and efficiency hypotheses, supporting the learning hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2725-2742 Issue: 21 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964559 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964559 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:21:p:2725-2742 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chao-Liang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chao-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The pension costs from a defined benefit to individual pension accounts: do they cost more in the case of Taiwan? Abstract: This article develops a market-based liability valuation model to price individual pension costs of a Defined Benefit (DB) pension plan. The purpose is to compare them with the new labour pension plan, Individual Pension Accounts (IPAs), in the case of Taiwan. The results based on the numerical approach show that the new IPAs cost a company more than the old DB plan, except if the average wage growth relative to the risk-free interest rate is high enough. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2743-2750 Issue: 21 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964567 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964567 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:21:p:2743-2750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmelo Reverte Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo Author-X-Name-Last: Reverte Author-Name: Isidoro Guzman Author-X-Name-First: Isidoro Author-X-Name-Last: Guzman Title: The predictive ability of relative efficiency for future earnings: an application using data envelopment analysis to Spanish SMEs Abstract: Research on earnings prediction has documented that the transitory component of current earnings undermines its predictive ability about future earnings. The implication of this finding is that a measure that better captures the underlying persistent component of earnings may prove very useful in predicting future earnings when used along with current earnings. Our study, based on a large sample of 1939 Spanish Small and medium Enterprises (SMEs), investigates whether an alternative measure of performance ignored in previous research on earnings forecasting-i.e. relative efficiency-has predictive ability over and above current earnings and book value of equity. Relative efficiency captures the inherent ability of a firm-as compared to other similar firms-to make the most productive use of available resources and is measured using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) nonparametric technique. Our findings highlight that our DEA-based efficiency measure has an incremental predictive ability over and above current earnings and book value of equity for predicting future earnings. Moreover, we have further validated the models in a holdout sample and our results evidence the highest forecast accuracy of the model that includes our efficiency measure as an additional predictor to current earnings and book value of equity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2751-2757 Issue: 21 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964575 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964575 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:21:p:2751-2757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Graff Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Graff Title: Does a multi-sectoral design improve indicator-based forecasts of the GDP growth rate? Evidence from Switzerland Abstract: This article presents a multi-sectoral composite indicator for the Swiss GDP growth rate, targeting a lead of two quarters. The in-sample period ranges from 1991 to 2002 and 14 data points are reserved as out of sample to assess the forecasting performance. The results appear promising, in terms of both phase and amplitude. Comparisons with two other uni-sectoral composite leading indicators for the same reference series-the traditional KOF (Konjunkturforschungsstelle) barometer as published until March 2006 and a uni-sectoral composite indicator computed from the same indicators as the multi-sectoral instrument-show that the new approach is superior to the alternatives, which is due to both its broader information basis as well as to the structure that is imposed by the multi-sectoral design. Yet, there are pronounced differences regarding the accuracy of the sectoral forecasts, so that there is scope for improvement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2759-2781 Issue: 21 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964641 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964641 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:21:p:2759-2781 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Slaibi Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Slaibi Author-Name: D. Chapman Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Chapman Author-Name: H. Daouk Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Daouk Title: A geopolitical theory of oil price behaviour: an econometric evaluation Abstract: Previous work on crude oil price modelling has generally focused on two theoretical approaches, either the+ optimal control analysis of pricing of a depletable resource or Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) as a partial monopolist setting oil prices to maximize net present value. Neither has been wholly satisfactory. We consider a different perspective: a cooperative framework in which political and military factors interacted with economic considerations for oil exporters and importers to define a Target Price Zone (TPZ). We analyse several issues in this context: monthly versus annual average prices, beginning and ending dates for TPZs, degree of stability in several price series (West Texas Intermediate (WTI), Brent, etc.), Free On Board (FOB) and landed prices, real or nominal prices, OPEC behaviour and effect of the Euro exchange rate on dollar denominated oil prices. We conclude that a TPZ system was in operation from 1986 through 2003. The TPZ worked imperfectly but with a substantial degree of predictability for 18 years. In 2004, the TPZ system deteriorated for several reasons and has not been re-established. Perhaps the US government supports the Saudis because it has always believed it had a two-way relation with OPEC generally and the Persian Gulf countries in particular. We give them protection and they supply oil.1 The Bush trip [1986] came as an additional incentive to restore some stability to prices … What they [the Saudis] heard was the Vice President of the United States of America saying that the price collapse was destabilizing and threatened the security of the United States … The Saudis looked to the United States for their own security; surely, they thought in the aftermath of the Bush visit, they would have to be attentive to the security needs of the United States.2 Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2783-2800 Issue: 22 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964724 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964724 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:22:p:2783-2800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brigitte Desroches Author-X-Name-First: Brigitte Author-X-Name-Last: Desroches Author-Name: Michael Francis Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Francis Title: World real interest rates: a global savings and investment perspective Abstract: Over the past 15 years, long-term interest rates have declined to levels not seen since the 1970s. This article explores possible shifts in global savings and investment that have led to this fall in the world real interest rate. There are several key findings. First, the authors identify the relative weakness in investment demand as more important than the relative increase in desired global savings to explain the decline in global interest rates. Second, the results indicate that the key factors explaining movements in savings and investment are variables that evolve relatively slowly over time, such as labour force growth and age structure. The conclusions suggest that over the coming years, world real interest rates are likely to continue to adjust slowly, reflecting long-term trends. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2801-2816 Issue: 22 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964690 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964690 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:22:p:2801-2816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adalbert Mayer Author-X-Name-First: Adalbert Author-X-Name-Last: Mayer Title: The evolution of wages over the lifecycle: insights from intergenerational connections Abstract: This article uses intergenerational information to improve our understanding of lifecycle wage dynamics. I present a simple statistical model that relates the wages of workers at different points in their lifecycle to the earnings of their parents. I decompose cross-sectional variance of wages into a permanent component related to parental background, a permanent component unrelated to parental background, and a transitory component. Data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) suggests that intergenerational relationships are stronger when measured later in the lifecycle of the son. This implies that the permanent parent-related component is increasingly important for wage determination as workers grow older. This is not consistent with wage evolution through persistent random shocks. Rather, it is consistent with human capital models and learning models of wage evolution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2817-2833 Issue: 22 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964682 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964682 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:22:p:2817-2833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Guertzgen Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Guertzgen Title: Rent-sharing and collective wage contracts-evidence from German establishment-level data Abstract: Using German establishment-level data, this article analyses whether wages respond to firm-specific profitability conditions. Particular emphasis is given to the question of whether the extent of rent-sharing varies with collective bargaining coverage. In this context, two conflicting hypotheses are tested. The first one asserts that unions exploit their bargaining power at the firm level and appropriate a larger share of rents than the bargaining parties in uncovered firms. The second one states that unions favour a compressed intra-industry wage structure and suppress the responsiveness of wages to firm-specific profitability conditions. The empirical analysis provides strong support for the second hypothesis. While Pooled Ordinary Least Squares (POLS) estimates yield positive estimates of the rent-sharing coefficient in covered establishments, dynamic panel data estimates accounting for unobserved heterogeneity and the endogeneity of rents point to a rent-sharing coefficient of zero. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2835-2854 Issue: 22 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964708 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964708 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:22:p:2835-2854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Nawrocki Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Nawrocki Author-Name: William Carter Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Carter Title: Industry competitiveness using Herfindahl and entropy concentration indices with firm market capitalization data Abstract: While previous studies of industry concentration have traditionally utilized sales or market share data, no studies that we are aware of have been done with market capitalization data. If the markets are successful at valuing a firm's current and future prospects, it can be argued that concentration indices and other metrics based on the market value of the firms in an industry should be a good proxy for market power within an industry. This study presents a study of the market concentration using the Herfindahl and entropy concentration indices for 13 industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2855-2863 Issue: 22 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964666 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964666 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:22:p:2855-2863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandy Suardi Author-X-Name-First: Sandy Author-X-Name-Last: Suardi Title: Nonstationarity, cointegration and structural breaks in the Australian term structure of interest rates Abstract: This article examines the unit-root property of the Australian short- and long-term interest rates using unit-root tests that accommodate a single or two breaks under the null and/or alternative hypothesis. Two breaks in interest rates are found to coincide with the 1982/83 and 1990/91 recessions or the 1993 inflation targeting period. We further investigate the implications of these structural breaks on the cointegrating relationship implied by the single, linear expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates. While there is evidence that the data are consistent with the expectations hypothesis at the shorter end of the term structure, breaks in interest rates generate a shift in the cointegrating relationship, thus altering the information content of the term structure. Failing to account for a regime shift in the cointegration regression, the data erroneously supports the expectations hypothesis at the longer end of the term structure. These results have profound implications for policy makers who may inadequately exploit the information content of the term structure to predict future changes in inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2865-2879 Issue: 22 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964625 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964625 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:22:p:2865-2879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Author-Name: Simon Ville Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Ville Title: Ranking and clustering of the faculties of commerce research performance in Australia Abstract: There is a growing policy focus in Australian higher education on quantitative research performance assessment. However, most of the analysis has addressed aggregate performance at the institutional level, an approach inconsistent with recent policy emphasis on diversity among universities and one that ignores performance variations across disciplines. Using averaged and all available data for 2000-2004, cluster analysis is used to classify Australian Commerce Faculties into groups that exhibit similar research performance, measured by publication, PhD completion and secured competitive research grant funding. We also use factor analysis to generate full-multidimensional rankings within the resulting two or three clusters. It is found that in terms of total research output, with the exception of Adelaide all the Group of 8 (Go8) members plus University of Technology, Sydney and Griffith always belong to 'Clusters A'. However, when research performance is expressed in per academic staff terms, an additional 11 universities join this same cluster. Our results additionally show that eight Australian faculties of Commerce not only possess low total research output but their per capita performance is also poor. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2881-2895 Issue: 22 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964674 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964674 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:22:p:2881-2895 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeng Bau Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jeng Bau Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chin Chia Liang Author-X-Name-First: Chin Chia Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Title: Testing for threshold cointegration and error correction: evidence in the petroleum futures market Abstract: This article examines the existence of threshold cointegration between futures and spot prices for the Brent petroleum market. We then estimate the asymmetric error-correction specification utilizing the Momentum Threshold Autoregressive Consistent (M-TAR-C) approach particularly proposed by Enders and Siklos (2001). We find that, for the daily data over 2 January 2001 through 15 October 2006, the petroleum futures prices are cointegrated with the spot prices. This effectively confirms the expectations hypothesis and that asymmetric adjustments for the futures basis towards the long-run value display a negative basis from the long-run equilibrium level more persistently than a positive basis from that level. The empirical result suggests that short-run arbitrages manipulating buy-long (sell-short) futures contracts be profitable when a positive basis is weakening (a negative basis is strengthening). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2897-2907 Issue: 22 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964716 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964716 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:22:p:2897-2907 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Dueker Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dueker Author-Name: Katrin Assenmacher-Wesche Author-X-Name-First: Katrin Author-X-Name-Last: Assenmacher-Wesche Title: Forecasting macro variables with a Qual VAR business cycle turning point index Abstract: One criticism of Vector Autoregression (VAR) forecasting is that macroeconomic variables tend not to behave as linear functions of their own past around business cycle turning points. A large amount of literature therefore focuses on nonlinear forecasting models, such as Markov switching models, which only indirectly capture the relation with turning points. This article investigates a direct approach to using information on turning points from the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) chronology to model and forecast macroeconomic data. Our Qual VAR model includes a truncated normal latent business cycle index that is negative during NBER recessions and positive during expansions. We motivate our forecasting exercise by demonstrating that if starting from a linear specification, a truncated normal variable is an omitted variable, then forecasts of the remaining variables will become nonlinear functions of their own past. We apply the Qual VAR model to recursive out-of-sample forecasting and find that the Qual VAR improves on out-of-sample forecasts from a standard VAR. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2909-2920 Issue: 23 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964732 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:23:p:2909-2920 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Feng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Cutting through the smoke: separating the effect of price on smoking initiation, relapse and cessation Abstract: I employ a large national representative dataset (Current Population Survey-Tobacco Use Supplements) to investigate how cigarette prices affect smoking decisions. A standard econometric approach is to estimate the relationship between cigarette prices and smoking participation at a point in time. I extend this approach to model past-year decisions to start, resume or quit smoking. Considering reverse causality, I apply an instrumental variable (excise taxes) for cigarette prices. I include an index of state-level anti-smoking sentiment to control for omitted variable bias. After estimating separate models for smoking initiation, relapse and cessation and for different age groups, I find no evidence that increasing taxes on cigarettes can prevent the onset of youth smoking. Neither does it effectively induce young smokers to quit. However, cigarette prices do play an important role to prevent relapse and encourage quitting at older ages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2921-2939 Issue: 23 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964880 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964880 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:23:p:2921-2939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tolga Omay Author-X-Name-First: Tolga Author-X-Name-Last: Omay Author-Name: Mubariz Hasanov Author-X-Name-First: Mubariz Author-X-Name-Last: Hasanov Title: The effects of inflation uncertainty on interest rates: a nonlinear approach Abstract: In this article, we investigate the effects of inflation variability on short-term interest rates within a nonlinear smooth transition regression framework. The test results suggest that only the conditional mean of the inflation is a nonlinear process whereas the conditional variance is time variant but linear. Using the square root of conditional variance as a proxy for inflation risk, we estimate Fisher equation augmented with inflation risk. Although the estimated Fisher equations suggest that inflation risk reduces short-term interest rates, we find that the effects of inflation risk on interest rates are regime-dependent. Particularly, we find that the negative effects of inflation variability on nominal rates are greater in low-inflationary regimes when compared to high-inflationary regimes. On the other hand, it is found that both inflation and inflation uncertainty raise the expected inflation effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2941-2955 Issue: 23 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964757 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:23:p:2941-2955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Shoesmith Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Shoesmith Title: Four factors that explain both the rise and fall of US crime, 1970-2003 Abstract: Previous research has failed to explain the rise and fall of US crime since 1970. This study uses cointegration, error correction and common long-memory components analyses to demonstrate that four basic crime factors explaining both the increases in US violent and property crime between 1970 and 1991 and the dramatic declines in crime after 1991. The four factors include arrest rates, income per capita, the proportion of criminal-justice resources devoted to drug crime and alcohol consumption. Error correction models and common long-memory factors show an especially close link between crime rates and the percentage of prison resources devoted to drug offenders. Similar factors result in cointegrated models for murder, rape, robbery, assault and larceny. Additional modelling shows that effective abortion rates computed along the lines of Donohue and Levitt (2001) do not help in explaining the rise and fall of US crime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2957-2973 Issue: 23 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964765 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:23:p:2957-2973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-eun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jong-eun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Inequality in the globalizing Asia Abstract: This article investigates the impact of globalization on the inequality of Asia. It is the first attempt to examine 11 Asian countries' panel data allowing nonlinearity between globalization and inequality from 1960 to 2003 with robustness check. We also survey the literature on growth, globalization, and inequality and reflect their endogenous relationships to our article. We found the significant turning point of globalization at which inequality starts decreasing as further globalization proceeds. It will offer us policy implications for the ongoing process of globalization in the Asian economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2975-2984 Issue: 23 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964781 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:23:p:2975-2984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nissim Ben David Author-X-Name-First: Nissim Ben Author-X-Name-Last: David Title: Government policy to reduce pollution emissions within the overlapping generations model Abstract: This article develops an overlapping generations model with multiple categories of capital. The importance of this article is in its ability to analyse changes in the distribution of various categories of capital along the growth path of the economy. Economic growth is accompanied by capital growth as well as increase in pollution emissions. Implementing a government policy to reduce pollution emission would change the equilibrium path of capital distribution. Within the model, the government builds a corporate tax function that defines the tax rate as a function of a 'desired' pollution level. The tax rate decreases as the 'desired' pollution level is higher. When the 'desired' pollution level is higher than the actual pollution level, production is subsidized and pollution levels rise. An example and a simulation are presented in order to confirm the theoretical results and demonstrate that the model can be used for empirical analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2985-2998 Issue: 23 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964799 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964799 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:23:p:2985-2998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Doyoung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Doyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The use of stock-based pay for sorting: an empirical analysis of compensation for new CEOs Abstract: Examining stock-based compensation for newly hired CEOs, this article finds that the sensitivity of stock-based pay to performance is higher for new economy, young and volatile firms. Of the components of stock-based pay, it is option grants that generate such variation across firms. It also finds that this cross-firm variation in pay-performance sensitivity is more pronounced for the CEO's first year in office. These findings support the view that firms use stock-based pay to new CEOs for sorting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2999-3010 Issue: 23 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964807 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964807 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:23:p:2999-3010 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shao-Hsun Keng Author-X-Name-First: Shao-Hsun Author-X-Name-Last: Keng Author-Name: Yang Li Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Decomposition of total factor productivity in world health production: a stochastic frontier approach Abstract: While countries around the globe have increased spending on health care, economists and policy makers have raised concerns over the productivity and efficiency of health care. This article applies a stochastic frontier approach to address this issue using data from 141 countries for the period 1993 to 1997. From the perspective of productivity change, our results suggest that gains in population health will be greater provided that more resources are allocated to investment in human capital. We also show that the scale component accounts for 65-70% of the productivity change. That is, omitting the scale component in our case will result in a significant underestimation of the decline in the productivity of world health production. We do not find evidence supporting the hypothesis that production frontiers differ between Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) and non-OECD countries. However, the change in productivity and scale elasticity do vary significantly between these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3011-3021 Issue: 23 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964815 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964815 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:23:p:3011-3021 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maxym Chaban Author-X-Name-First: Maxym Author-X-Name-Last: Chaban Title: Cointegration analysis with structural breaks and deterministic trends: an application to the Canadian dollar Abstract: This article applies recent developments in cointegration analysis with structural breaks and deterministic trends to analyse the relationship between the real Canada-US exchange rate and commodity prices. Previous empirical studies disagree on whether these variables are cointegrated. The root of disagreement could be in the handling of deterministic trends and potential structural breaks. I find that even after controlling for these matters, the question of whether the real exchange rate and commodity prices are cointegrated for Canada remains unresolved. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3023-3037 Issue: 23 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964823 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:23:p:3023-3037 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ofer Azar Author-X-Name-First: Ofer Author-X-Name-Last: Azar Title: Do people tip because of psychological or strategic motivations? An empirical analysis of restaurant tipping Abstract: One of the most interesting and central questions about tipping is why people tip. The two major potential reasons are strategic behaviour aimed to ensure good future service and social/psychological motivations. Data on tipping behaviour suggests that there is no positive effect of patronage frequency on the sensitivity of tips to service quality. This implies that people tip only because of social and psychological motivations, and not because of strategic reasons and future service considerations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3039-3044 Issue: 23 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964831 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:23:p:3039-3044 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Hiebert Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Hiebert Author-Name: I. Vansteenkiste Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Vansteenkiste Title: International trade, technological shocks and spillovers in the labour market: a GVAR analysis of the US manufacturing sector Abstract: We empirically analyse the response of labour market related variables in the US manufacturing sector to various shocks, notably to trade openness and technology, as well as examining spillovers from industry-specific labour market shocks. The econometric approach involves an application of the recently developed Global Vector Autoregression methodology of Dees et al. (2007) to 12 manufacturing industries over the period 1977-2003. The framework allows us to analyse the response of a standard set of labour-market related variables (employment, real compensation, productivity and capital stock) to exogenous factors (a sector-specific measure of trade openness, a common technology and oil price shock), along with industry spillovers using specific measures of manufacturing-wide variables for each sector. Generalized impulse responses indicate that increased trade openness negatively affects real compensation, has negligible employment effects and leads to higher labour productivity. These impacts, however, are relatively weaker than those induced by technology shocks, with the latter positively and significantly affecting both real compensation and employment. There is also evidence of positive spillovers across industries from sector-specific employment and productivity shocks. Impact elasticities suggest strong intra-sectoral linkages for employment and capital stock formation, contrasting with weak linkages for what concerns real compensation and productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3045-3066 Issue: 24 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964864 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964864 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:24:p:3045-3066 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Chiquiar Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Chiquiar Author-Name: Antonio Noriega Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Noriega Author-Name: Manuel Ramos-Francia Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Ramos-Francia Title: A time-series approach to test a change in inflation persistence: the Mexican experience Abstract: When a central bank commits credibly to a nonaccommodative monetary policy, observed inflation should be a stationary process. In countries where, for a variety of reasons, the determinants of inflation could lead it to follow a nonstationary process, the adoption of a credible disinflationary programme should therefore induce a fundamental change in the stochastic process governing inflation and, in particular, should diminish its persistence. This article studies the time-series properties of both inflation and core inflation during the 1995-2006 period for the Mexican economy, using recently developed techniques to detect a change in the persistence of economic time series. Consistently with the adoption of an inflation-targeting framework, the results suggest that inflation in Mexico seems to have indeed switched from a nonstationary to a stationary process around the end of year 2000 or the beginning of 2001. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3067-3075 Issue: 24 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801982684 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801982684 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:24:p:3067-3075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Cuesta Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Cuesta Title: How much of a threat to economic growth is a mature AIDS epidemic? Abstract: The article models the impact on economic growth of HIV/AIDS when the epidemic is in a mature phase, in contrast with previous studies focused on periods of expansion as it is typically the case in African countries. Simulations for Honduras, the epicentre of the epidemic in Central America, show that AIDS is not likely to threaten economic growth neither through labour nor capital accumulation channels. Impacts are estimated between 0.007 and 0.27% points of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth annually for the period 2001 to 2010. Increasing spending on prevention, higher public treatment subsidies and increasing treatment access will not jeopardize economic growth prospects. Critical factors that slash economic growth in Africa (such as human capital reductions and shifts in relative skills) are not strong in Honduras. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3077-3089 Issue: 24 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964849 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:24:p:3077-3089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammed Mohsin Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Mohsin Title: The dynamic effects of tax policies in a small open economy Abstract: We develop an intertemporal optimizing model of a small open economy with both durable and nondurable consumption to address the implications of alternative tax policies. An increase in lump sum taxes reduces the steady state level of consumption and improves the stock of foreign bonds. Consistent with empirical evidence, durable consumption exhibits initial excess volatility. Though an increase in the tax on durables increases the demand for nondurables and improves the bond holdings in the steady state, an increase in the tax on nondurables has insignificant effects on the stock of foreign bonds and the consumption of durables. Using quarterly data from the UK and estimating generalized impulse response functions we find empirical support. We also calibrate the welfare implications of different tax policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3091-3104 Issue: 24 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964856 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:24:p:3091-3104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Zimmer Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmer Title: The effect of double coverage on health care utilization of children Abstract: Double coverage refers to a situation in which a person is covered by more than one health plan. In a family in which the husband and wife are both offered employer-provided insurances, it is possible for one or more family members to be double covered. This article is the first to examine double coverage of children and quantify the effects of double coverage on health care utilization for any population. Results show that double coverage does not affect the frequency at which children consume medical services, but rather double coverage leads children to consume more expensive forms of health care. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3105-3117 Issue: 24 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964898 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964898 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:24:p:3105-3117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Waldkirch Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Waldkirch Title: The structure of multinational activity: evidence from Germany Abstract: Recent empirical studies of the determinants of multinational activity across countries have found overwhelming support for a horizontal rather than a vertical model of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). The majority of these studies use data either originating in or targeted at the US. This article presents evidence from a dataset of German inward and outward FDI. The dataset is similar in scope to the widely used US Bureau of Economic Analysis data, making the results comparable to those from previous studies. In addition, a new empirical specification is employed that avoids some of the problems that have plagued these studies. The results provide little indication of vertical multinationals. FDI happens largely between similarly endowed countries. Multinational firms originate in skilled-labour abundant countries, although the evidence is mixed on whether they are also small. A novel result is that German firms invest disproportionately in other European countries, while the reverse is not true. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3119-3133 Issue: 24 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801964872 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801964872 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:24:p:3119-3133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuan-Vinh Vo Author-X-Name-First: Xuan-Vinh Author-X-Name-Last: Vo Title: Net private capital flows and economic growth-the case of emerging Asian economies Abstract: This article makes an exploratory empirical investigation into the relationship between net private capital flows and economic growth using a panel dataset from emerging Asian countries, namely South Korea, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and the Philippines, over the period 1980-2001. Overall, this article indicates that net private capital helps to promote economic growth for the countries in the sample. In addition, this article also supports the view that net private capital flows will better contribute to economic growth under a sound policy and economic environment. This article also seeks to improve the estimation results by controlling for reverse causality as an econometric method that can control, for reverse causality is very important to examining the relationship between net private capital flows and economic growth. To tackle this issue, this article employs the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation technique, which is an econometric technique that can handle the reverse causality using the lagged explanatory variables as instruments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3135-3146 Issue: 24 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801982676 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801982676 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:24:p:3135-3146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abid Burki Author-X-Name-First: Abid Author-X-Name-Last: Burki Author-Name: G. S. K. Niazi Author-X-Name-First: G. S. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Niazi Title: Impact of financial reforms on efficiency of state-owned, private and foreign banks in Pakistan Abstract: This article uses a unique bank level data from 1991 to 2000 and evaluates how financial reforms affect banking efficiency of domestic and foreign banks in Pakistan. The results suggest that banking efficiency falls during initial reform period when banks adjust to enhanced competition but increases in more advanced stages of reform. While in general foreign and private banks show superior efficiency and factor productivity than do state-owned banks, the relative performance of foreign banks worsens after the consolidation stage of the financial reforms is over. We show the importance of link between bank size, asset quality and bank branches with efficiency indexes and also note that every 10% increase in share of nonperforming to total loans decreases banking efficiency by 6 to 10%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3147-3160 Issue: 24 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112315 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112315 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:24:p:3147-3160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chuen-Ping Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chuen-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Bank liquidity providing in a real synergy management under a cap-based valuation Abstract: Since banks often lend via commitments, their lending and deposit-taking may be two manifestations of one primitive function: the provision of liquidity on demand. We explore this function under a cap-based valuation. We find that (i) the strike price of the cap-based valuation increases the bank's liquid asset holdings by increasing its loan rate and loan commitment rate (with the strategic rate-adjustment complements) and decreases the bank's external finance need by increasing its deposit rate, when the bank realizes a less risky state of the world and (ii) the number of caplet days decreases the bank's liquid asset holdings by decreasing its loan rate and loan commitment rate (with the strategic rate-adjustment complements and the strategic timing substitutes) and increases the bank's external finance need by decreasing its deposit rate (with the strategic timing substitutes), when the bank realizes a more risky state. Our findings provide alternative explanations concerning the bank's liquidity function under the cap-based optimization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3161-3173 Issue: 24 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360088 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360088 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:24:p:3161-3173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Fisher Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Fisher Author-Name: Angela Lyons Author-X-Name-First: Angela Author-X-Name-Last: Lyons Title: Information and credit access: using bankruptcy as a signal Abstract: Legally, a bankruptcy flag can appear on an individual's credit report for up to 10 years after the filing. The flag affects an individual's credit score, and in turn, an individual's access to credit. In this article, we investigate how the bankruptcy flag affects access to credit along three dimensions-loan acceptance, the price of the loan as is determined by the interest rate, and the amount of credit the household receives. Using the Panel Study of Income Dynamics and the Survey of Consumer Finances, we estimate a series of two-stage models corrected for sample selection and adjusted to account for the household's level of creditworthiness. We find that the bankruptcy flag increases the probability of being denied access to a loan. The flag also increases interest rates for unsecured loans and lowers the credit limits available to households. The findings have important implications with respect to current bankruptcy code and the impact that information, such as the bankruptcy flag, can have on the efficiency of the credit markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3175-3193 Issue: 25 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112331 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:25:p:3175-3193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evis Sinani Author-X-Name-First: Evis Author-X-Name-Last: Sinani Author-Name: Bersant Hobdari Author-X-Name-First: Bersant Author-X-Name-Last: Hobdari Title: Export market participation with sunk costs and firm heterogeneity Abstract: In this article we investigate the importance of sunk costs, firm characteristics and spillovers from nearby exporters on a firm's decision to participate in exporting. The empirical analysis involves the estimation of a nonstructural, discrete choice, dynamic model with firm heterogeneity. By using panel data for Estonian companies from 1994 to 1999 we find that: (i) both sunk costs and observable firm characteristics are important determinants of export market participation; (ii) previous history matters, in that, if a firm has been exporting the previous period or the period before, it significantly increases the likelihood of the firm exporting in the current period; (iii) larger firms with high capital intensity and foreign ownership are more likely to be exporters; (iv) operating in an export-oriented industry increases a firm's likelihood of exporting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3195-3207 Issue: 25 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112372 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:25:p:3195-3207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bas Jacobs Author-X-Name-First: Bas Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobs Author-Name: Ruud de Mooij Author-X-Name-First: Ruud Author-X-Name-Last: de Mooij Author-Name: Kees Folmer Author-X-Name-First: Kees Author-X-Name-Last: Folmer Title: Flat income taxation, redistribution and labour market performance Abstract: A flat tax rate on labour income has gained popularity in European countries. This article assesses the attractiveness of such a flat tax in achieving redistributive objectives with the smallest distortions to employment. We do so by using a detailed applied general equilibrium model for the Netherlands. The model is empirically grounded in the data and encompasses decisions on hours worked, labour force participation, skill formation, wage bargaining between unions and firms and a wide variety of institutional details. The simulations suggest that the replacement of the current tax system in the Netherlands by a flat rate will harm labour market performance if aggregate income inequality is contained. Only flat tax reforms that reduce redistribution will raise employment. This finding bolsters the notions from optimal tax literature regarding the equity-efficiency trade off and the superiority of nonlinear taxes to obtain redistributive goals in an efficient way. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3209-3220 Issue: 25 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112356 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112356 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:25:p:3209-3220 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mita Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Mita Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Labour productivity trends in Australian manufacturing: some time series properties Abstract: Labour productivity plays a significant role in economic growth, labour demand and employment situation of a particular economy. In this light, the presence of a structural break in productivity, and its unit root property, has important consequences for the overall economy and in major sectors such as manufacturing. In this article, using some recently developed unit root tests, we examine: (i) the null hypothesis of a unit root in the log-level of labour productivity for 38 manufacturing subdivisions against the alternative of trend stationarity over a three-decade period; and (ii) the presence of a structural break in the series, and whether the break has had a permanent or a transitory effect on manufacturing labour productivity. Our main finding is that shocks to labour productivity have had a transitory effect, implying that policies are likely to have only short-term effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3221-3230 Issue: 25 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840801982692 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840801982692 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:25:p:3221-3230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John McDonald Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: McDonald Title: Efficiency in the Domesday economy, 1086: evidence from Wiltshire estates Abstract: It may surprise some readers that frontier methods such as Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) can be used to assess the productive efficiency of the estates of eleventh century England. This is possible because in 1086, William the Conqueror carried out a comprehensive survey (the Domesday Survey) of lands he invaded 20 years earlier. The survey provides high-quality data on the inputs and outputs of most manors in England. A previous analysis of the data for Essex estates indicated that the average efficiency of the Domesday agricultural economy was comparable to, if not higher than that for more modern economies, that some tenants-in-chief displayed significantly more entrepreneurial flair than others, and that the geographical location, the size of the estate and the arable/livestock mix all significantly affected estate efficiency. In this article, analysis of a second Domesday county, Wiltshire, confirms the general results for Essex, but indicates some differences in the factors affecting estate efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3231-3240 Issue: 25 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112430 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112430 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:25:p:3231-3240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peijie Wang Author-X-Name-First: Peijie Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: An examination of business cycle features in UK Sectoral Output Abstract: This article examines business cycle features of UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) sectors with regard to trends, cycles and growth. The empirical study adopts the Kalman filter to decompose these GDP sectors into trend and cycle components. The general model of this study encompasses a number of alternative specifications about trend growth, therefore accommodating diverse views on growth. There is reasonable support in the results for a mean-reverting stochastic growth model for the UK economy. The characteristics in trends and cycles of UK GDP sectors are discussed, focusing on their similarities and differences around business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3241-3252 Issue: 25 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599818 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599818 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:25:p:3241-3252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyun Joung Jin Author-X-Name-First: Hyun Joung Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Dragan Miljkovic Author-X-Name-First: Dragan Author-X-Name-Last: Miljkovic Title: An analysis of multiple structural breaks in US relative farm prices Abstract: The movement of farm prices relative to other commodity prices is analysed for the period 1913:01 to 2003:12, investigating the number and time of structural breaks and discussing likely causes of structural breaks in the relative farm prices. Bai and Perron's (1998, 2003) multiple structural change test with a dynamic programming algorithm is used. This test makes it possible to have an efficient computation of the estimates of the break points as global minimizers of the sum of squared residuals. We find six structural breaks when we consider only the mean process and two breaks when we consider the mean and autoregressive processes. Possible causes for these breaks are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3253-3265 Issue: 25 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600368 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600368 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:25:p:3253-3265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carluccio Bianchi Author-X-Name-First: Carluccio Author-X-Name-Last: Bianchi Author-Name: Alessandro Carta Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Carta Author-Name: Dean Fantazzini Author-X-Name-First: Dean Author-X-Name-Last: Fantazzini Author-Name: Maria Elena De Giuli Author-X-Name-First: Maria Elena Author-X-Name-Last: De Giuli Author-Name: Mario Maggi Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Maggi Title: A copula-VAR-X approach for industrial production modelling and forecasting Abstract: World economies, and especially European ones, have become strongly interconnected in the last decade and a joint modelling is required. We propose here the use of copulae to build flexible multivariate distributions, since they allow for a rich dependence structure and more flexible marginal distributions that better fit the features of empirical data, such as leptokurtosis. We use our approach to forecast industrial production series in the core European Monetary Union (EMU) countries and we provide evidence that the copula-Vector Autoregression (VAR) model outperforms or at worst compares similarly to normal VAR models, keeping the same computational tractability of the latter approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3267-3277 Issue: 25 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112349 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112349 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:25:p:3267-3277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Benczur Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Benczur Author-Name: Attila Ratfai Author-X-Name-First: Attila Author-X-Name-Last: Ratfai Title: Economic fluctuations in Central and Eastern Europe: the facts Abstract: This article provides a detailed empirical analysis of quarterly frequency dynamics in macroeconomic aggregates in 12 countries of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). It shows that business fluctuations in CEE countries are, in general, more pronounced than in developed ones, and are of similar size as in other emerging market economies. Private consumption is particularly volatile. Relative to major developed economies government spending is dominantly procyclical, and net exports are strongly countercyclical. The most frequent country outliers are the high inflation countries of Bulgaria, Romania and Russia, especially in labour market, price and exchange rate variables. Excluding these countries from the sample makes many of the observed patterns in cyclical dynamics more homogenous, and broadly similar to ones established in developed economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3279-3292 Issue: 25 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112380 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:25:p:3279-3292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Modelling money demand for a panel of eight transitional economies Abstract: In this article, we estimate money demand functions for a panel of eight transitional economies, using quarterly data for the period 1995:01 1995 to 2005:03. We find that real M1 and real M2 and their determinants, namely real income and short-term domestic interest rate, are cointegrated, both for individual countries as well as for the panel. Long-run elasticities suggest that consistent with theory, real income positively and nominal interest rate negatively impact real money demand. Our test for panel Granger causality suggests short-run bidirectional causality between M1 and M2 and their determinants. Finally, our tests for stability of the money demand functions reveal more cases of unstable money demand functions when M2 is used as a proxy for money demand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3293-3305 Issue: 25 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112323 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112323 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:25:p:3293-3305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sahar Bahmani Author-X-Name-First: Sahar Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani Author-Name: Ali Kutan Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Kutan Title: How stable is the demand for money in emerging economies? Abstract: One of the key elements of implementing the monetary policy is stability of the demand for money. The literature includes a large number of studies that have tested the stability of the money demand in developed as well as less-developed countries but not in emerging economies of Eastern Europe. As market-based data becomes available from these countries, there is an urgency to test old theories for these modern market-oriented economies. In this article we consider the experiences of Armenia, Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Russia and the Slovak Republic. Using the bounds testing approach to error-correction modelling and cointegration, we show that money demand is stable in these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3307-3318 Issue: 26 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112406 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112406 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:26:p:3307-3318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Augustin de Coulon Author-X-Name-First: Augustin Author-X-Name-Last: de Coulon Author-Name: Francois-Charles Wolff Author-X-Name-First: Francois-Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Title: Location intentions of immigrants at retirement: stay/return or go 'back and forth'? Abstract: This article analyses the intentions of immigrants regarding their residential choice after retirement. Three options are investigated: stay in the host country, go back to the origin country and adopt a mobile strategy, sharing time between the host and the origin country (defined as 'back and forth'). For this purpose, we analyse a cross section of non-French nationals aged above 45 who are not yet retired. The impacts of several potential determinants of such intentions are investigated, with particular focus on the effect of the actual location of the respondents' children. The estimation is conducted using a multinomial Logit model. Instrumental variable technique is used to address the issue of endogenous children's location with respect to parents' location intention. Results suggest that the immigrants prefer to return rather than stay in the host country when their children live in the country of origin. However, children's location does not seem to affect the 'back and forth' strategy with respect to staying in the host country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3319-3333 Issue: 26 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.482518 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.482518 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:26:p:3319-3333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Duncan McVicar Author-X-Name-First: Duncan Author-X-Name-Last: McVicar Author-Name: Michael Anyadike-Danes Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Anyadike-Danes Title: Panel estimates of the determinants of British regional male incapacity benefits rolls 1998-2006 Abstract: This article explores the determinants of the proportion of the working age male population claiming Incapacity Benefits (IB), across the 11 British Government Office Regions, for the period 1998 to 2006. Three different approaches are adopted to modelling register dynamics: first, treating IB stocks as if they were trend-stationary, albeit with persistence, and estimating reduced form models for their logs; second, treating IB stocks as if they were nonstationary and examining their long-run determinants plus short-run equilibrium reversion properties; third, focusing on the determinants of gross inflows and outflows that together drive IB stocks. Given the nature of the data, no approach is ideal yet the models provide reasonably robust evidence that labour market changes-specifically falling unemployment rates and rising real earnings-have contributed to falling male IB stocks over the period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3335-3349 Issue: 26 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112414 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112414 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:26:p:3335-3349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niels Hermes Author-X-Name-First: Niels Author-X-Name-Last: Hermes Author-Name: Vu Thi Hong Nhung Author-X-Name-First: Vu Thi Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Nhung Title: The impact of financial liberalization on bank efficiency: evidence from Latin America and Asia Abstract: This article investigates the impact of financial liberalization on bank efficiency, using data for a sample of over 4000 bank-year observations from ten emerging economies for the period 1991-2000. We use Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to calculate bank efficiency at the individual bank level. Bank efficiency measures are then aggregated at the country level to investigate the relationship between financial liberalization and bank efficiency, using a panel least square fixed-effects model. Overall, we find strong support for the positive impact of financial liberalization programmes on bank efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3351-3365 Issue: 26 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112448 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:26:p:3351-3365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. M. Nunley Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nunley Title: Inflation and other aggregate determinants of the trend in US divorce rates since the 1960s Abstract: This article extends empirical research on the determinants of divorce in two ways. First, I examine the effect of inflation on divorce. Second, the use of a structural time-series modelling approach attributes unobservables and omitted variables to an unobserved component, which allows for the model's parameters to be estimated consistently. Inflation is statistically significant, positive and persistent. I show that the effects of inflation are robust to the inclusion of additional explanatory variables and various trend specifications. The long-run implications of inflation are also substantial. I conclude that price stability has the potential to reduce divorce rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3367-3381 Issue: 26 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112489 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112489 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:26:p:3367-3381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Naticchioni Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Naticchioni Author-Name: Andrea Ricci Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Ricci Author-Name: Emiliano Rustichelli Author-X-Name-First: Emiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Rustichelli Title: Far away from a skill-biased change: falling educational wage premia in Italy Abstract: In this article we apply quantile regressions to investigate the evolution of Educational Wage Premia (EWP) in Italy from 1993 to 2004. Using the Survey of the Household Income and Wealth (SHIW, Bank of Italy) and different classifications for educational attainments, we show that, in the private sector, EWP have generally decreased over time, considering both continuous and categorical specifications for education, at all quantiles of the wage distribution. Different patterns are observed in the public sector, where EWP remain basically stable over time. A number of robustness checks and various econometric specifications are also applied in order to address sample selection issues. Our findings provide additional evidence in favour of the thesis that the increasing patterns in inequality and EWP, and the related interpretations concerning skill-biased changes, are much less pronounced in continental Europe than in Anglo-Saxon countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3383-3400 Issue: 26 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112455 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:26:p:3383-3400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Noriko Inakura Author-X-Name-First: Noriko Author-X-Name-Last: Inakura Author-Name: Satoshi Shimizutani Author-X-Name-First: Satoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Shimizutani Title: Deposit insurance and depositor discipline: direct evidence on bank switching behaviour in Japan Abstract: As Japan's financial system becomes more market oriented, depositor discipline is playing a larger role in the monitoring of banks. Matching household survey data with banks' financial data, we examine households' response to bank risk and different deposit insurance schemes. We find that bank switching in response to risk increased between 1996 and 2001 and households' choice of bank adequately reflects banks' financial health. We also examine the determinants of households' knowledge of the deposit insurance scheme and how this affects switching behaviour. The results suggest that depositor discipline works and could play an important supplementary role in bank monitoring. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3401-3415 Issue: 26 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112398 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112398 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:26:p:3401-3415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ku-Hsieh (Michael) Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ku-Hsieh Author-X-Name-Last: (Michael) Chen Author-Name: Ho-Ming Hsiao Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Hsiao Author-Name: Hao-Yen Yang Author-X-Name-First: Hao-Yen Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Spillover effects of innovation: Taiwanese evidence Abstract: This article evaluates spillover effects of innovation of Taiwan's industries by using the input-output (IO) analysis framework. On the basis of IO tables for the years 1981, 1986 1991 and 1996, the structure, magnitude and ranking list of the spillover effect of innovation are revealed. Additionally, several findings are also achieved from the empirical results. First, the spillover effect of process innovation is stronger and about more than twice the spillover effect of product innovation in Taiwan. Furthermore, Taiwan's industries manifest a dispersive technological distribution structure and the spillover effect of the process innovation is more dispersive than that of product innovation. Moreover, Taiwanese industries are rather dependent on foreign technologies, particularly in terms of product innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3417-3437 Issue: 26 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112422 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112422 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:26:p:3417-3437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. S. Sephton Author-X-Name-First: P. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Sephton Title: Unit roots and purchasing power parity: another kick at the can Abstract: Lopez et al. (2005) demonstrated that single-equation unit-root tests cannot provide conclusive evidence of whether real exchange rates are stationary because inference depends critically on the lag-lengths used to construct the test statistics, a result reinforced by a recent work by Sweeney (2006). The purpose of this article is to revisit the issue, first demonstrating the necessary conditions under which this approach of testing for Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is appropriate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3439-3453 Issue: 27 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112513 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112513 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:27:p:3439-3453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlo Altavilla Author-X-Name-First: Carlo Author-X-Name-Last: Altavilla Author-Name: Paul De Grauwe Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: De Grauwe Title: Forecasting and combining competing models of exchange rate determination Abstract: This article investigates the out-of-sample forecast performance of a set of competing models of exchange rate determination. We compare standard linear models with models that characterize the relationship between exchange rate and the underlying fundamentals by nonlinear dynamics. Linear models tend to outperform at short forecast horizons especially when deviations from long-term equilibrium are small. In contrast, nonlinear models with more elaborate mean-reverting components dominate at longer horizons especially when deviations from long-term equilibrium are large. The results also suggest that combining different forecasting procedures generally produces more accurate forecasts than can be attained from a single model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3455-3480 Issue: 27 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112505 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112505 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:27:p:3455-3480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mina Baliamoune-Lutz Author-X-Name-First: Mina Author-X-Name-Last: Baliamoune-Lutz Title: Black and official exchange rates in Morocco: an analysis of their long-run behaviour and short-run dynamics (1974-1992) Abstract: Using Vector Error-Correction (VEC) model estimation on monthly data from Morocco for the period January 1974 to December 1992, this article tests the hypothesis that there is a long-run stable relationship between the official and the black-market exchange rates for US dollars. We also examine the short-run dynamics in the relationship between the two markets. The econometric results indicate that the two exchange rates are cointegrated. Furthermore, we reject weak exogeneity in the case of the official exchange rate, but fail to reject it in the case of the black-market rate. Granger causality tests show that the black-market rate causes the official exchange rate. The results seem to support the efficiency hypothesis, suggesting that participants in the black-market are able to anticipate changes in the official exchange rate. The findings also suggest that Morocco's decision (in January 1993) to introduce only current account convertibility and keep controls on capital accounts was wise. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3481-3490 Issue: 27 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112463 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112463 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:27:p:3481-3490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Chi Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Larry Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Larry Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Author-Name: Wenlong Weng Author-X-Name-First: Wenlong Author-X-Name-Last: Weng Title: The links between international parity conditions and Granger causality: a study of exchange rates and prices Abstract: This article investigates Granger causality between exchange rates and prices for the US and four of its trading partners: Canada, Germany, Japan and the UK. We emphasize the distinction between direct and indirect Granger causality: exchange rates directly cause prices if movements in exchange rates lead movement in prices, and exchange rates indirectly cause prices if deviations from the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) condition can help forecast movement in prices. But only by including the interest-rate differential in our error correction model do we obtain results that align with economic theory. The economic theory of PPP suggests that exchange rates and prices are cointegrated, with exchange rates moving proportionally to prices in the long run. In general, we find either direct or indirect feedback mechanisms between exchange rates and prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3491-3501 Issue: 27 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112521 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112521 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:27:p:3491-3501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raul Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Raul Author-X-Name-Last: Serrano Author-Name: Vicente Pinilla Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Pinilla Title: Causes of world trade growth in agricultural and food products, 1951-2000: a demand function approach Abstract: The objective of the present study is to analyse the causes of the growth of international agricultural and food trade in volume terms from 1951 to 2000. The results suggest that income growth has been the principal reason for this expansion, while exchange rate stability and the real price of agricultural products played only a minor role. Multilateral trade liberalization and trade costs, given their long-term stability, are not elements that could have stimulated their growth. Finally, the intensive liberalization of trade which took place in various economic regions, especially in Europe, became a key factor in promoting agricultural trade among the countries participating in regional trade agreements. The study results also indicate that the determinants of trade growth for these goods were different to those for other goods and other periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3503-3518 Issue: 27 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802167368 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802167368 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:27:p:3503-3518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Truong Dong Loc Author-X-Name-First: Truong Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Loc Author-Name: Ger Lanjouw Author-X-Name-First: Ger Author-X-Name-Last: Lanjouw Author-Name: Robert Lensink Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lensink Title: Stock-market efficiency in thin-trading markets: the case of the Vietnamese stock market Abstract: This article reviews developments in the Stock Trading Centre (STC) in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam, the main stock market in the country, since its start in 2000. It presents information about developments in the number of stocks traded, trading activity and stock-price developments. This article focuses on the question whether the market is weak-form efficient. An important element of the investigation concerns the possible bias of the results caused by the thin trading that characterizes the STC. Stock-market returns are corrected for this. The main conclusion is that the STC is not efficient in the weak form. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3519-3532 Issue: 27 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802167350 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802167350 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:27:p:3519-3532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Morales Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Morales Title: The real yield curve and macroeconomic factors in the Chilean economy Abstract: This article estimates a dynamic model for the yield curve incorporating latent and macro factors to represent the term structure of the real interest rates. The representation of the yield curve is based on the popular latent factor model of Nelson and Siegel (1987), but under a dynamic interpretation due to Diebold and Li (2006). After assuming the data generating process for the latent and macro factors can be represented by a VAR process, the yields-macro model can be regarded as a state-space representation and estimated by a Kalman Filter approach or by using a simplified two-step procedure proposed by Diebold and Li (2006). This article follows the simple two-step method and makes a comparison check with the Kalman Filter estimation, concluding that the basic intuition of the results is not significantly affected by the use of the simplified approach. Estimation results give support to the dynamic interaction between yield curve latent factors and macroeconomic variables. In particular, monetary policy implemented by the Central Bank seems to be influenced by the market players given the significant response of the monetary policy rate to the yield curve factors as shown by impulse-response functions. In addition, the level and slope of the yield curve seems to be responsive to real activity and monetary policy shocks, issues that should be considered by monetary authorities given the dependency of monetary policy effectiveness on the shape of the yield curve. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3533-3545 Issue: 27 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802129806 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802129806 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:27:p:3533-3545 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Assaf Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Assaf Author-Name: K. M. Matawie Author-X-Name-First: K. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Matawie Title: Improving the accuracy of DEA efficiency analysis: a bootstrap application to the health care foodservice industry Abstract: This article analyses the efficiency of health care foodservice operations and its determinants using a Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) bootstrapping approach. The purpose of using the bootstrapping approach is two-fold: first, to obtain the bias corrected estimates and the confidence intervals of DEA-efficiency scores and second, to overcome the correlation problem of DEA-efficiency scores and to provide consistent inferences in explaining the determinants of health care foodservice efficiency. The approach was implemented on a sample of 89 health care foodservice operations. The results showed the presence of inefficiency in the sample, with an average efficiency level of 72.6%. Further, the results from analysing the determinants of health care foodservice operations provided policy implication regarding the factors that might improve the efficiency of health care foodservice operations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3547-3558 Issue: 27 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112497 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112497 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:27:p:3547-3558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Levent Korap Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Levent Korap Author-Name: Ozgur Aslan Author-X-Name-First: Ozgur Author-X-Name-Last: Aslan Title: Re-examination of the long-run purchasing power parity: further evidence from Turkey Abstract: In this article, we re-examine the empirical validity of the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory for the Turkish economy. For this purpose, an empirical model is constructed using some contemporaneous estimation techniques such as multivariate co-integration and vector error correction methodology. Our estimation results reveal that the PPP can strongly be supported as a long-run stationary steady-state relationship for the Turkish economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3559-3564 Issue: 27 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802129798 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802129798 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:27:p:3559-3564 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nazmul Chaudhury Author-X-Name-First: Nazmul Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhury Author-Name: Dilip Parajuli Author-X-Name-First: Dilip Author-X-Name-Last: Parajuli Title: Conditional cash transfers and female schooling: the impact of the female school stipend programme on public school enrolments in Punjab, Pakistan Abstract: Instead of mean-tested Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) programmes, some countries have implemented gender-targeted CCTs to explicitly address intra-household disparities in human capital investments. This study focuses on addressing the direct impact of a female school stipend programme in Punjab, Pakistan - Did the intervention increase female enrolment in public schools? To address this question, we draw upon data from the provincial school censuses 2003 and 2005. We estimate the net growth in female enrolments in grade 6-8 in stipend eligible schools. Impact evaluation analysis, including difference-and-difference (DD), triple differencing (DDD) and regression-discontinuity design (RDD), indicate a modest but statistically significant impact of the intervention. The preferred estimator derived from a combination of DDD and RDD empirical strategies suggests that the average programme impact between 2003 and 2005 was an increase of six female students per school in terms of absolute change and an increase of 9% in female enrolment in terms of relative change. A triangulation effort is also undertaken using two rounds of a nationally representative household survey before and after the intervention. Even though the surveys are not representative at the sub-provincial level, the results corroborate evidence of the impact using school census data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3565-3583 Issue: 28 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802167376 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802167376 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:28:p:3565-3583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Alan Edwards Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Edwards Author-Name: Ronald Gilbert Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Gilbert Author-Name: Juan Sherwell Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Sherwell Title: Accounting for regional variance heterogeneity of growth Abstract: This article explores heterogeneous behaviour in the conditional variance of growth. We find that regional effects account for a good part of this behaviour when modelled alone; however, regional effects themselves have no particular meaning. To this end, we try to empirically account for the regional effects using a large set of economic, political and demographic variables. Our results indicate that countries with past high levels of both investment and inflation cause growth to be less volatile today. Countries that have a greater number of changes in heads of government tend to experience lower growth volatility except in parliamentary democracies where the relationship reverses. The greater the number of effective parties the lower the volatility for all regime types. More strikes have no effect on volatility except for presidential democracies where volatility actually increases, while more open economies that share presidential and legislative powers also have more volatile growth rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3585-3596 Issue: 28 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802260924 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802260924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:28:p:3585-3596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmen Lopez-Pueyo Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Pueyo Author-Name: Jaime Sanau Author-X-Name-First: Jaime Author-X-Name-Last: Sanau Title: How different are the production functions of the European manufacturing sectors? New empirical evidence Abstract: The neo-classical model of international trade assumes that the Total Factor Productivity (TFP) of a sector is common across countries, that returns to scale are constant and that the sectoral production of the countries differs by virtue of the factor endowments. In this article, we consider whether the differences in production can also be explained by the economies of scale in the national industries and by the technological differences across countries. To test this hypothesis, we estimate three models proposed in Harrigan (1999) with data for eight European Union (EU) Member States covering the period 1978 to 1992 and analyse how the TFP changes from country to country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3597-3605 Issue: 28 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802260965 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802260965 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:28:p:3597-3605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inmaculada Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Author-Name: Jose-Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose-Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Author-Name: Maria Navarro Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Navarro Title: The effects of education on spouses' satisfaction in Europe Abstract: This article identifies the effects of both own and spouses' education levels on individual economic satisfaction for European households. To that end, it estimates several specifications based on the family collective approach, for each of the 14 EU countries, by using the eight waves of the European Community Household Panel, 1994-2001. After demonstrating that the IV Hausman-Taylor procedure is the selected estimation method in the majority of cases, the empirical results show that male and female income satisfaction significantly increases when the husband achieves higher education qualifications in the majority of European countries. However, the positive effect of the wife's higher education on female income satisfaction only appears in a very limited number of countries. Additionally, increases in individual wage and nonwage incomes generally lead to higher satisfaction levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3607-3618 Issue: 28 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802314572 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802314572 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:28:p:3607-3618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arif Sultan Author-X-Name-First: Arif Author-X-Name-Last: Sultan Title: A model of the used car market with lemons and leasing Abstract: This article extends Kim's (1985) model of the used car market with asymmetric information to examine the possible impacts of leasing and Certified Pre-Owned (CPO) programs on the average quality of traded used cars in the market. The author assumed that a consumer can buy or lease a new car, or he/she can buy a used or a CPO car. While, like Kim (1985), the author assumed that the quality of a car depends on the maintenance level, the maintenance level in this model is chosen when a car is still a 'new' car, i.e. after the warranty ends. The model implied that the average quality of traded used cars can be either higher or lower than the average quality of nontraded used cars. The study also found that leasing and CPO have substantially improved the information mechanism between buyers and sellers of used cars, which, in turn, has helped reduce adverse selection and improved the average quality of traded used cars in the market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3619-3627 Issue: 28 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802314556 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802314556 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:28:p:3619-3627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Dixon Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Dixon Author-Name: David Shepherd Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Shepherd Title: Models of labour services and estimates of total factor productivity Abstract: This article examines the manner in which labour services are modelled in the aggregate production function, concentrating on the relationship between numbers employed and average hours worked. It argues that numbers employed and hours worked are not perfect substitutes and that conventional estimates of total factor productivity which, by using total hours worked as the measure of labour services, assume they are perfect substitutes, will be biased when there are marked changes in average hours worked. The relevance of the theoretical argument is illustrated using data for the United States and the United Kingdom. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3629-3634 Issue: 28 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802314549 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802314549 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:28:p:3629-3634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudia Buch Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Buch Author-Name: Serkan Yener Author-X-Name-First: Serkan Author-X-Name-Last: Yener Title: Consumption volatility and financial openness Abstract: Economic theory predicts that the integration of financial markets lowers the volatility of consumption. In this article, we study long-term trends in the consumption volatility of the G7 countries. Using different measures of financial openness, we find evidence that greater financial openness has been associated with lower consumption volatility. However, volatility of consumption relative to output has not declined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3635-3649 Issue: 28 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802260916 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802260916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:28:p:3635-3649 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rinaldo Brau Author-X-Name-First: Rinaldo Author-X-Name-Last: Brau Author-Name: Matteo Lippi Bruni Author-X-Name-First: Matteo Author-X-Name-Last: Lippi Bruni Author-Name: Anna Maria Pinna Author-X-Name-First: Anna Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Pinna Title: Public versus private demand for covering long-term care expenditures Abstract: This article studies the determinants of the Willingness to Pay (WTP) for Long-Term Care (LTC) insurance coverage. Two alternatives are considered: one compulsory, financed through taxes, the other purchased on a voluntary basis and paid through a premium. WTP was elicited through open-ended contingent valuation within a survey conducted in the Italian region Emilia-Romagna about LTC population needs. We model information on individual WTP as a two-stage process, where respondents first establish their interest for LTC cover, then state their WTP. Results show that interest and WTP are influenced by different variables, and that differences arise also between the WTP for public and private coverage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3651-3668 Issue: 28 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802167343 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802167343 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:28:p:3651-3668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiziano Razzolini Author-X-Name-First: Tiziano Author-X-Name-Last: Razzolini Title: Study on labour supply when tax evasion is an option with Box-Cox functional forms and random parameters Abstract: Labour supply when tax evasion is an option is analysed within a discrete choice framework which incorporates random parameters and Box-Cox functional forms, using mixed logit models. Deviates in parameters and, in some cases, correlation between alternatives in the evasion group are found to be significant. The models utilized yield good predictions in terms of labour supply and taxes paid by nonevaders. The goodness-of-fit and quality of prediction is improved by the introduction of correlation between random coefficients. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3669-3684 Issue: 28 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802243797 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802243797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:28:p:3669-3684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corrado Andini Author-X-Name-First: Corrado Author-X-Name-Last: Andini Title: Within-groups wage inequality and schooling: further evidence for Portugal Abstract: This article provides further evidence on the positive impact of schooling on within-groups wage dispersion in Portugal, using data on male workers from the 2001 wave of the European Community Household Panel. The issue of schooling endogeneity is taken into account by using the latest available instrumental-variable technique for quantile regression, i.e. the control-function estimator due to Lee (2007). The findings are compared with earlier results based on different techniques, i.e. the instrumental-variable estimator due to Arias et al. (2001) and the standard exogeneity-based estimator due to Koenker and Bassett (1978). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3685-3691 Issue: 28 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802314564 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802314564 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:28:p:3685-3691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Rup Singh Author-X-Name-First: Rup Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Effects of trade openness on the steady-state growth rates of selected Asian countries with an extended exogenous growth model Abstract: The Solow (1956) growth model is extended with an endogenous growth framework to estimate the effects of trade openness on the Steady State Growth Rate (SSGR). Estimates of the augmented production functions are used to compute the SSGRs for Singapore, Malaysia, Hong Kong, India and Thailand. Good policies that increase the growth effects of openness is also tested with an interactive term. Our results show that Singapore has the highest SSGR of 2.75%, followed by Hong Kong and Thailand with 2.5%. India and Malaysia have lower SSGRs of 1.7% and 0.5%, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3693-3702 Issue: 29 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802534468 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802534468 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:29:p:3693-3702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johnnie Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Johnnie Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: Alistair Bruce Author-X-Name-First: Alistair Author-X-Name-Last: Bruce Author-Name: Jiejun Yu Author-X-Name-First: Jiejun Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: The ordinal efficiency of betting markets: an exploded logit approach Abstract: This article offers a new perspective on efficiency in betting markets by examining the degree to which finishing order in horse races corresponds to probabilities inherent in odds across different categories of horse race. The application of an exploded logit procedure reveals a significantly greater degree of ordinal efficiency in higher relative to lower-class races. Explanations for the phenomenon include differences in prize-related incentives, cross-market distinctions in information markets and differential opportunity/incentive for market manipulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3703-3709 Issue: 29 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802314622 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802314622 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:29:p:3703-3709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Foreign direct investment and domestic investment in the host country: evidence from panel study Abstract: This article examines the impact of inward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on host countries' domestic investment. Utilizing data from 50 countries over the period of 1970 to 2004, we find that inward FDI has a negative contemporaneous effect on domestic investment, while the cumulative effect of FDI over time tends to be positive. In addition, we separately study FDI in Developed Countries (DCs) and Less Developed Countries (LDCs). The effect of contemporaneous FDI on domestic investment is negative in DCs, and the cumulative effect of FDI is neutral. Strong evidence suggests that the contemporaneous effect of FDI on domestic investment is neutral in LDCs, while the cumulative effect of FDI is positive. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3711-3721 Issue: 29 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802314580 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802314580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:29:p:3711-3721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Bailey Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Author-Name: Vani Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Title: What enhances mathematical ability? A cross-country analysis based on test scores of 15-year-olds Abstract: This article examines the mathematical abilities of 15-year-olds in a range of countries which participated in the 2003 cycle of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OCED)'s Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA). Utilizing information on the scores obtained by individual students in the mathematical part of the PISA assessment, we use a range of indicators from the literature on inequality and poverty to evaluate the 'mathematical performance' of participating countries. Since data from PISA contained a wealth of information on the circumstances of the students in terms of their home and school environment, we identify and examine the relative influence of factors which serve to enhance the mathematical performance of students in the PISA assessment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3723-3733 Issue: 29 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802314598 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802314598 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:29:p:3723-3733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Reboredo Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Reboredo Title: Nonlinear effects of oil shocks on stock returns: a Markov-switching approach Abstract: Using Markov-switching models, we investigate whether oil price shocks have nonlinear effects on stock returns. Empirical evidence from a set of international stock indexes suggests that an increase in oil prices has a negative and significant impact on stock prices in one state of the economy, whereas this effect is significantly dampened in another state of the economy. Furthermore, it is shown that changes in oil prices or in oil price volatility do not lead to a higher probability of switching between regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3735-3744 Issue: 29 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802314606 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802314606 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:29:p:3735-3744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Aiello Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Aiello Author-Name: Paola Cardamone Author-X-Name-First: Paola Author-X-Name-Last: Cardamone Author-Name: Maria Rosaria Agostino Author-X-Name-First: Maria Rosaria Author-X-Name-Last: Agostino Title: Evaluating the impact of nonreciprocal trade preferences using gravity models Abstract: This article presents new evidence on the impact of Nonreciprocal Preferential Trade Policies (NRPTPs) granted by developed countries to exports from developing countries over the period 1995 to 2003. The analysis has been carried out by using three levels of data aggregation. It accounts for unobservable heterogeneity, endogeneity of the preferential treatment and potential selection bias. We find a positive and significant impact of NRPTPs when considering total exports and total agricultural exports. However, at 2-digit agricultural level the results are heterogeneous. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3745-3760 Issue: 29 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802314614 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802314614 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:29:p:3745-3760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nissim Ben David Author-X-Name-First: Nissim Ben Author-X-Name-Last: David Title: An iteration process for calculating labour market flows Abstract: This article presents a technique for calculating labour market flows, given labour market stocks of workers and nonemployed agents at the beginning and at the end of a certain period of time. I build a system of equations that define the stocks as a product of the flows. For a vector of stocks Y and a vector of flows X, the system of equations is defined as Y = A*X. However, the system is not solvable (the flows cannot be identified) due to singularity of the matrix A. I suggest an iteration process that enables us to solve the system and identify the flows given a chosen negligible deviation from the true flows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3761-3766 Issue: 29 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802359924 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802359924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:29:p:3761-3766 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angie Hernandez Author-X-Name-First: Angie Author-X-Name-Last: Hernandez Author-Name: Jorge Dresdner Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Dresdner Title: The effect of temporal closures and individual quotas on fishing trip duration: a hazard function analysis Abstract: In this article, we assess the effect that two different fishery management regimes have on the duration of the fishing trip. A basic theoretical model predicts that trip duration should increase with temporal closures and decrease with an individual quota system. Therefore, we propose and apply an empirical trip duration model. Estimations are based on data for the pelagic fleet in central-southern Chile. Conforming to the theoretical predictions, the results indicate that temporal closures tend to increase trip duration, whereas individual quotas reduce it. Moreover, the regulatory regimes also affect the magnitude of the impact that other determinants have on trip duration. The results are consistent with increased efficiency in fleet operation under an individual quota system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3767-3776 Issue: 29 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360096 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360096 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:29:p:3767-3776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Angeles Carnero Author-X-Name-First: M. Angeles Author-X-Name-Last: Carnero Author-Name: Blanca Martinez Author-X-Name-First: Blanca Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez Author-Name: Rocio Sanchez-Mangas Author-X-Name-First: Rocio Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez-Mangas Title: Mobbing and its determinants: the case of Spain Abstract: The objective of this article is to analyse empirically the problem of mobbing in Spain. Based on the fifth Spanish survey on working conditions, we find that during 2003, around 5% of workers declared being mobbed at their workplace. Some personal, job characteristics and working conditions are found to be significant at explaining the probability of being a mobbing victim. Finally, we find differences in the variables affecting such probability depending on the victim's gender. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3777-3787 Issue: 29 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360112 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:29:p:3777-3787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorg Dopke Author-X-Name-First: Jorg Author-X-Name-Last: Dopke Author-Name: Sebastian Weber Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: The within-distribution business cycle dynamics of German firms Abstract: In this article, we analyse stylized facts for Germany's business cycle at the firm level. Based on longitudinal firm-level data from the Bundesbank's balance sheet statistics covering, on average, 55 000 firms per year from 1971 to 1998, we estimate transition probabilities of a firm in a certain real sales growth regime switching to another regime in the next period, e.g. whether a firm that has witnessed a high growth rate is likely to stay in a regime of high growth or is bound to switch to a regime of low growth in the subsequent period. We find that these probabilities depend on the business cycle position. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3789-3802 Issue: 29 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360120 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:29:p:3789-3802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oludele Akinloye Akinboade Author-X-Name-First: Oludele Akinloye Author-X-Name-Last: Akinboade Author-Name: Daniel Makina Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Makina Title: Econometric analysis of bank lending and business cycles in South Africa Abstract: This article examines econometric relationships between bank lending and business cycle in South Africa. Two long-run economic relationships are hypothesized between total credit and the variables, namely, coincidental indicators, spread between lending and borrowing rates, money supply, stock price index, inflation and banking sector specific factors included in the model. Of these variables, only coincident indicators, changes in money supply as well as capital, and reserve are found to exert some influence on short-run total credit availability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3803-3811 Issue: 29 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360138 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:29:p:3803-3811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Turgut Kısınbay Author-X-Name-First: Turgut Author-X-Name-Last: Kısınbay Title: Predictive ability of asymmetric volatility models at medium-term horizons Abstract: Using realized volatility to estimate conditional variance of financial returns, we compare forecasts of volatility from linear GARCH models with asymmetric ones. We consider horizons extending to 30 days. Forecasts are compared using three different evaluation tests. With data from an equity index and two foreign exchange returns, we show that asymmetric models provide statistically significant forecast improvements upon the GARCH model for two of the datasets and improve forecasts for all datasets by means of forecasts combinations. These results extend to about 10 days in the future, beyond which the forecasts are statistically inseparable from each other. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3813-3829 Issue: 30 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360211 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360211 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:30:p:3813-3829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saziye Gaziog-super-˜lu Author-X-Name-First: Saziye Author-X-Name-Last: Gaziog-super-˜lu Author-Name: Azize Bastıyalı-Hayfavi Author-X-Name-First: Azize Author-X-Name-Last: Bastıyalı-Hayfavi Title: Stochastic optimization applied to self-financing portfolio: does bequest matter? Abstract: The article studies stochastic optimization of an intertemporal consumption model to allocate financial assets between risky and risk-free assets. We use a stochastic optimization technique, in which utility is maximized subject to a self-financing portfolio constraint. The papers in literature have estimated the errors of Euler equations using data from financial markets. It has been shown that it is sufficient to test the first order Euler equation implied by the model. However, they all assume a constant consumption-wealth ratio that constrains the boundary conditions, hence influencing the coefficient of the risk premium. The main contribution of our article is that we drop the assumption of a constant consumption-wealth ratio. We have an analytical solution using a utility maximization model with a stochastic self-financing portfolio. We introduce a terminal condition of wealth with and without bequests. We also simulate the stochastic optimization with a self-financing portfolio, distinguishing risk neutral investors (γ-low) from high risk averse investors (γ-high). We show that the model with bequest has a higher level of wealth and a smoother decline of consumption over time than the model with no bequest at the end of the period. The model with no bequest has the same level of consumption and a sharp fall at the end of the period. Risk averse agents with high return assets have a higher amount of wealth than risk-neutral agents with lower return assets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3831-3838 Issue: 30 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802112364 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802112364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:30:p:3831-3838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erdinc Telatar Author-X-Name-First: Erdinc Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Author-Name: Funda Telatar Author-X-Name-First: Funda Author-X-Name-Last: Telatar Author-Name: Tarkan Cavusoglu Author-X-Name-First: Tarkan Author-X-Name-Last: Cavusoglu Author-Name: Umur Tosun Author-X-Name-First: Umur Author-X-Name-Last: Tosun Title: Political instability, political freedom and inflation Abstract: Using a dynamic panel data approach, we estimate the impact of the political and institutional factors on inflation. Estimation results show that a lower degree of political instability generates lower inflation only for developed and low-inflation countries. However, when political freedom is taken into account, political instability appears to be influential on inflation also for developing countries and turns out to be significant only for high-inflation countries. Such findings emphasize the inflation-reducing effects of political stability depending on democratic political structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3839-3847 Issue: 30 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360237 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360237 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:30:p:3839-3847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Woodland Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Woodland Author-Name: Kishti Sen Author-X-Name-First: Kishti Author-X-Name-Last: Sen Title: The volatility of Australian traded goods' prices Abstract: It is generally accepted that the Australian economy is continually subject to unanticipated shocks, particularly, unexpected swings in the prices of Australia's internationally- traded goods. This article empirically investigates the nature and extent of volatility in import and export prices faced by the Australian production sector. It estimates multivariate GARCH models of the stochastic processes generating the prices of imports and exports, and of important components of exports and imports. This article proposes an index of volatility, which is used to provide a summary measure of the extent of volatility in a multivariate context. The overall conclusion is that the price growth rates for Australia's traded goods exhibit considerable time variation in volatility and that these price growth rates are highly and positively correlated with each other. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3849-3869 Issue: 30 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360286 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360286 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:30:p:3849-3869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shunsuke Managi Author-X-Name-First: Shunsuke Author-X-Name-Last: Managi Title: Productivity measures and effects from subsidies and trade: an empirical analysis for Japan's forestry Abstract: Several techniques have been proposed in the literature to measure productivity. While allowing for inefficiency of the production unit, we provide a methodological comparison of alternative approaches to measure total factor productivity. This article evaluates the effects of unintended policy outcomes such as government subsidies and foreign trade. Empirically, we analyse the forest productivity of timber in Japan by using panel data on 46 regions. The results suggest substantial variation in productivity between these two techniques although average trends are similar. We find that subsidies impede competition since the government is ready to rescue a loss-making firm with subsidies rather than allow it to close. In contrast, trade is shown to have positive effects on productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3871-3883 Issue: 30 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360146 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:30:p:3871-3883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gicheol Jeong Author-X-Name-First: Gicheol Author-X-Name-Last: Jeong Author-Name: Jongsu Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jongsu Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Estimating consumer preferences for online music services Abstract: This article analyses consumer preferences with regard to important attributes of online music services. Conjoint analysis and a random coefficient discrete choice model using Bayesian approach with Gibbs sampling are used to estimate the preferences. Based on the quantitative results, we use simulation to look at how a new pricing strategy and the threat of legal penalty for file sharing would influence the online music market. Findings include these: estimated willingness to pay for downloading one music file is significantly less than the actual price of the file; consumers are sensitive to longer search and download times for music files and very sensitive to the threat of legal action; and consumers are not sensitive to online music services broadening their catalogues. Finally, the simulation shows that a combination of increased transaction costs for illegal file sharing and lower-priced digital music files would inhibit illegal file sharing and bolster the number of people purchasing music legally from the online services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3885-3893 Issue: 30 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360153 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360153 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:30:p:3885-3893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harald Tauchmann Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Tauchmann Title: Consistency of Heckman-type two-step estimators for the multivariate sample-selection model Abstract: This analysis shows that multivariate generalizations to the classical Heckman (1976, 1979) two-step estimator that account for cross-equation correlation and use the inverse Mills ratio as correction term are consistent only if certain restrictions apply to the true error-covariance structure. An alternative class of generalizations to the classical Heckman two-step approach is derived that condition on the entire selection pattern rather than selection in particular equations and, therefore, use modified correction terms. It is shown that this class of estimators is consistent. In addition, Monte-Carlo results illustrate that these estimators display a smaller mean square prediction error. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3895-3902 Issue: 30 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360179 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360179 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:30:p:3895-3902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benoit Dostie Author-X-Name-First: Benoit Author-X-Name-Last: Dostie Author-Name: Rajshri Jayaraman Author-X-Name-First: Rajshri Author-X-Name-Last: Jayaraman Author-Name: Mathieu Trepanier Author-X-Name-First: Mathieu Author-X-Name-Last: Trepanier Title: What (if any) are the returns to computer use? Abstract: Using North American data, we revisit the question first broached by Krueger (1993) and re-examined by DiNardo and Pischke (1997) of whether there exists a real wage differential associated with computer use. Employing a mixed effects model with matched employer-employee data to correct for the fact that workers and workplaces that use computers are self-selected, we find that computer users enjoy an almost 4% wage premium over nonusers. Failure to correct for worker and workplace selection effect leads to a more than twofold overestimate of this premium. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3903-3912 Issue: 30 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360187 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:30:p:3903-3912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Tennant Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Tennant Author-Name: Abdullahi Abdulkadri Author-X-Name-First: Abdullahi Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulkadri Title: Empirical exercises in estimating the effects of different types of financial institutions' functioning on economic growth Abstract: While recent studies of the finance-growth nexus have focused on the use of proxies which more accurately capture the theorized functioning of the financial sector, they have tended to focus either on the functioning of the financial sector as a whole, or on the dominant institutions within the sector. Little attention has been paid to a comparison of the relative effects of different types of financial institutions on economic growth. This article attempts to get a deeper understanding of the finance-growth process by disaggregating the total financial sector impact and examining the individual and relative effects of each type of institution in the financial sector. We explore the empirical properties of alternative specifications of models of the impact of financial institutions' functioning on economic growth, by conducting a number of exercises. These exercises experiment with various model specifications to represent the long- and short-run impacts of the financial institutions' functioning on economic growth, using cointegration and error correction methodologies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3913-3924 Issue: 30 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360252 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360252 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:30:p:3913-3924 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarlok Singh Author-X-Name-First: Tarlok Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Services sector and economic growth in India Abstract: This study examines the long-run equilibrium and short-run dynamic relationship between services sector and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and between services and nonservices sectors in India. The model is estimated using the optimal single-equation and the maximum-likelihood system estimators. All the estimators consistently suggest the cointegrating relationship between services sector and GDP as well as between services and nonservices sectors. The estimates of long-run elasticity parameters are statistically significant and dimensionally consistent across the estimators. The conventional Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) and the new CUSUM and Moving Sum (MOSUM) tests suggest the stability of the equilibrium residuals and reinforce the cointegrating relationship between the model series. The error correction model provides some support for unidirectional Granger-causality from services sector to GDP. The impulse response and variance decomposition analyses instead suggest the bidirectional causality between services sector and GDP and between services and nonservices sectors. The stable growth of services sector is essentially crucial to absorb the adverse effects of exogenous weather shocks in agriculture and industry and provide resilience to the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3925-3941 Issue: 30 Volume: 42 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360229 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360229 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:30:p:3925-3941 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: U. Michael Bergman Author-X-Name-First: U. Author-X-Name-Last: Michael Bergman Author-Name: Yin-Wong Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Yin-Wong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: Kon Lai Author-X-Name-First: Kon Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: The common-trend and transitory dynamics in real exchange rate fluctuations Abstract: This study examines the behaviour of both Common Trend (CT) and transitory components of Real Exchange Rate (RER) fluctuations under the current float. The CT component is in most cases found to be sizeable, albeit its relative importance can vary considerably across major currencies and its estimate can be sensitive to whether or not long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is imposed on the data. Further analysis suggests that both CT and transitory innovations are linked much more to interest rate changes than to productivity changes. Accordingly, it is interest rate, not productivity, disturbances that drive the highly persistent RER. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003742645 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003742645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:1:p:1-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose J. Martin Martin Author-X-Name-First: Jose J. Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: M. Puerto Lopez del Amo Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Puerto Lopez del Amo Gonzalez Author-Name: M. Dolores Cano Garcia Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dolores Cano Garcia Title: Review of the literature on the determinants of healthcare expenditure Abstract: This study reviews the literature on determinants of healthcare expenditure for the period 1998 to 2007. The methodology combines searches in the MesH database of PubMed with the search in the principal journals of Health Economics. 20 primary studies were found that met the criteria for inclusion. No single pattern of results is clearly identified. Among the 20 articles, four consider income to be the principal determinant of healthcare expenditure, two of them jointly with population ageing. Six highlight population ageing, as against six others that emphasize the proximity to death. The remaining six do not focus on a specific variable, or focus on another variable, e.g. technological progress or territorial decentralization. 11 of the 20 articles calculate the income elasticity of demand, only two of them obtaining a value greater than 1, thus cataloguing healthcare expenditure as a luxury good. There is, therefore, no unanimity in the variables and econometric regressions of healthcare expenditure in Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries. No solid empirical evidence exists that population ageing is one of the principal determinants of healthcare expenditure, and factors such as technological progress, closeness to death and territorial decentralization of healthcare are increasingly seen as important in the development of explanatory models of healthcare expenditure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 19-46 Issue: 1 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003689754 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003689754 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:1:p:19-46 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Sutter Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Sutter Title: The 'liberal' media: bias or customer preferences? Abstract: Allegations of liberal bias against the national news media in the US remain very contentious. Conservative critics of the media argue biased news stems from liberal-leaning journalists. Another explanation of alleged bias could be that liberals have a greater demand for news than moderates or conservatives, so the media simply tailors its product to their customers. I test whether liberals in the US have a greater demand for news by investigating the determinants of newspaper circulation across states and metropolitan areas. I find mixed evidence for liberal demand: circulation is higher in more liberal metropolitan areas but is independent of local political preferences across states. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 47-52 Issue: 1 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802419009 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802419009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:1:p:47-52 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Denis Larocque Author-X-Name-First: Denis Author-X-Name-Last: Larocque Author-Name: Michel Normandin Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Normandin Title: A procedure to evaluate cyclical fluctuations under superior information Abstract: This article presents and assesses a procedure to evaluate conventional moments characterizing fluctuations at the business cycle frequency, when the economic agents' information set is superior to the econometrician's one. First, we derive the theoretical conditions under which the econometrician obtains valid statistics for the moments from laws of motion for forcing variables that fully recover the agents' superior information. Second, we use a new-Keynesian monetary model to document the numerical properties of the statistics when the laws of motion are possibly misspecified and to assess the ability of certain information criteria to detect the presence of superior information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 53-62 Issue: 1 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802552361 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802552361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:1:p:53-62 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Douglas Hodgson Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Hodgson Title: An analysis of pricing and returns in the market for French Canadian paintings Abstract: The valuation of French Canadian paintings is analysed empirically. Using a sample of auction prices for major French Canadian painters for the period 1968 to 2005, we run hedonic regressions to determine the influence of various factors, including painter identity, on auction prices, as well as to construct a market price index. This is then used in a second stage analysis of the properties of these art works viewed as investment assets. We consider the extent to which standard asset pricing theory, as represented by the capital asset pricing model, can account for price movements in the market for French Canadian paintings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 63-73 Issue: 1 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802400462 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802400462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:1:p:63-73 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Long-Hwa Chen Author-X-Name-First: Long-Hwa Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Wei-Chung Wang Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The impact of the overtime policy reform-evidence from the low-paid workers in Taiwan Abstract: This article investigates the effects of shortening standard workweek on workers with different income levels. Using two repeated cross-sectional survey data, the Taiwanese Manpower Utilization Survey and Human Resource Survey, we estimate the impacts of the new policy on working hours and monthly income. Our results show that the new standard workweek in Taiwan has made the working hours drop, but the scale of decrease becomes smaller in the following 3 years. Although the hours drop has gradually risen back for every worker, the rate of increase is higher for the low-income workers. The monthly incomes of the high-income female workers have decreased, however, the decreases in the hourly wage rates are less than their average wage rates. Our results also show that the firms have automatically adapted under the new law and a poor enforcement scheme after a period of time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 75-90 Issue: 1 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802389079 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802389079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:1:p:75-90 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yucan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yucan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: C. Richard Shumway Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Richard Shumway Author-Name: Robert Rosenman Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenman Author-Name: Virgil Eldon Ball Author-X-Name-First: Virgil Eldon Author-X-Name-Last: Ball Title: Productivity growth and convergence in US agriculture: new cointegration panel data results Abstract: Dynamic effects of health and inter-state and inter-industry knowledge spillovers, Total Factor Productivity (TFP) growth and convergence in US agriculture are examined using recently developed procedures for panel data and a growth accounting model. Strong evidence is found to support the hypothesis that TFP converges to a steady state. Health care supply in rural areas and research spillovers from other states and from nonagricultural sectors are found to have significant impacts on the productivity growth rate in both the short and the long run. These results suggest a richer set of opportunities for policy makers to enhance productivity growth than previously considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 91-102 Issue: 1 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802389087 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802389087 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:1:p:91-102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giulio Bottazzi Author-X-Name-First: Giulio Author-X-Name-Last: Bottazzi Author-Name: Alex Coad Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Coad Author-Name: Nadia Jacoby Author-X-Name-First: Nadia Author-X-Name-Last: Jacoby Author-Name: Angelo Secchi Author-X-Name-First: Angelo Author-X-Name-Last: Secchi Title: Corporate growth and industrial dynamics: evidence from French manufacturing Abstract: This work explores basic properties of the size and growth rates distributions of firms at the aggregate and disaggregate levels. Using an extensive dataset on French manufacturing firms, we investigate which properties of firm size distributions and growth dynamics characterize the aggregate dynamics and are, at the same time, robust under disaggregation. Our analysis is based on nonlinear robust regression methods which have never been applied before to this kind of data. The growth rates distributions we observe are well described by a Subbotin distribution with a shape parameter significantly lower than 1, suggesting a noticeable departure from the Laplace behaviour reported in previous works on Italian and the US data. At the same time, the variance of growth rates depends negatively on size and the relationship does not seem to be linear, with larger firms possibly displaying lower variability in their growth dynamics. At the disaggregate level, we observe significant heterogeneity in the firm size distributions across sectors, while the shape of the sectoral growth rates density displays a surprising degree of homogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 103-116 Issue: 1 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802400454 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802400454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:1:p:103-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Feng-Li Lin Author-X-Name-First: Feng-Li Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Does debt affect firm value in Taiwan? A panel threshold regression analysis Abstract: This article analyses whether leverage affects firm value and does so using a panel of 196 Taiwanese listed companies during the 13-year (1993-2005) period. We employ an advanced panel threshold regression model to test whether there is a 'threshold' debt ratio which causes there to be asymmetrical relationships between debt ratio and firm value. We adopt Tobin's Q as proxy for firm value. We find that there are two threshold effects between debt ratio and firm value, and these are 9.86% and 33.33%. When the debt ratio is less than 9.86%, Tobin's Q (i.e. firm value) increases by 0.0546%, with an increase of 1% in the debt ratio. When the debt ratio is between 9.86% and 33.33%, we find Tobin's Q increases by only 0.0057%, with an increase of 1% in the debt ratio. But when the debt ratio is greater than 33.33%, there is no relationship between debt ratio and firm value. We therefore conclude that there must be a threshold debt ratio of less than 33.33% at which point firm value stops increasing. These results are consistent with the trade-off theory, which suggests that there is a static amount of debt which prompts managers to find the 'optimal capital structure' that maximizes firm value when the benefits of debt equal the marginal cost of debt. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 117-128 Issue: 1 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360310 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:1:p:117-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hassan Mohammadi Author-X-Name-First: Hassan Author-X-Name-Last: Mohammadi Title: Long-run relations and short-run dynamics among coal, natural gas and oil prices Abstract: We examine the long-run relations and short-run dynamics among the three primary energy prices-coal, natural gas and crude oil-using the annual and monthly US data for the post-1970 period. The results are consistent with the view that oil prices are determined globally; natural gas prices are determined regionally and coal prices are set by long-term contracts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 129-137 Issue: 2 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802446606 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802446606 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:2:p:129-137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mustafa Oktem Author-X-Name-First: Mustafa Author-X-Name-Last: Oktem Author-Name: Ju-Chin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ju-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Property tax shifting under imperfect competition Abstract: The hedonic price models are commonly used to empirically assess the degree to which property taxes are shifted from property owners to property renters. The findings of these studies vary sporadically in terms of the degree of tax shifting. The competitiveness of housing markets may significantly influence the degree of tax shifting. In this article, we allow a nonzero price-cost markup in the hedonic price equation and examine the impact of market power on property tax shifting. In our case study, we examine the property-specific characteristics, occupancy record and local property tax associated with hundreds of managed rental properties in central New Hampshire. The results show that, depending on the degree of market power exercised by a property management firm, the anti-competitive structure of the market may significantly contribute to property tax shifting from property owners to property renters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 139-152 Issue: 2 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802446614 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802446614 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:2:p:139-152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Stephane Mesonnier Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Stephane Author-X-Name-Last: Mesonnier Title: The forecasting power of real interest rate gaps: an assessment for the Euro area Abstract: The real Interest Rate Gap (IRG)-the gap between the short-term real interest rate and its 'natural' level-is a theoretical concept that has attracted much attention in central banks in recent years. This article aims at clarifying its practical relevance for monetary policy in real time. For this purpose, it provides an empirical assessment of the usefulness of a semi-structural versus purely statistical estimates of the real IRG for predicting policy relevant macroeconomic variables in the Euro area. However mixed, the results confirm that semi-structural estimates of the real IRG deserve being added to the central banks' toolbox. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 153-172 Issue: 2 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802481868 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802481868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:2:p:153-172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jochen Hartwig Author-X-Name-First: Jochen Author-X-Name-Last: Hartwig Title: Can Baumol's model of unbalanced growth contribute to explaining the secular rise in health care expenditure? An alternative test Abstract: In a recent paper, I argued that Baumol's model of 'unbalanced growth' offers a ready explanation for the observed secular rise in Health Care Expenditure (HCE) in rich countries. Baumol's model implies that HCE is driven by wage increases in excess of productivity growth. I tested this hypothesis empirically, using data from a panel of 19 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries and found robust evidence in favour of Baumol's theory. An alternative way to test Baumol's theory is to check whether its implication that variations in the relative price of medical care contribute significantly to explaining variations in health expenditure in the same direction has an empirical grounding. Earlier studies, although mostly not in an explicit attempt to test Baumol's theory, have occasionally rejected this hypothesis. Despite poor data quality of the available medical price indices, I perform the alternative test using data for nine OECD countries. My findings suggest that the relative price of medical care is in fact a statistically significant explanatory variable for health expenditure, thus lending support to Baumol's theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 173-184 Issue: 2 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802400470 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802400470 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:2:p:173-184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfred Haug Author-X-Name-First: Alfred Author-X-Name-Last: Haug Author-Name: Syed Basher Author-X-Name-First: Syed Author-X-Name-Last: Basher Title: Linear or nonlinear cointegration in the purchasing power parity relationship? Abstract: We test long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) within a general model of cointegration of linear and nonlinear form. Nonlinear cointegration is tested with rank tests of Breitung (2001). We determine first the order of integration of each variable, using monthly data from the post-Bretton Woods era for G-10 countries. In many cases prices are I(2), whereas all exchange rates are I(1). However, there are several countries that have a price level that linearly cointegrates with the US price level so that this combination is I(1). Overall, we find some, though limited, evidence for nonlinear and also linear cointegration for the weak version of PPP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 185-196 Issue: 2 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802403656 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802403656 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:2:p:185-196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenji Matsui Author-X-Name-First: Kenji Author-X-Name-Last: Matsui Title: Dynamic adjustment process of retail store density in cointegrated panels: evidence from Japan Abstract: Using recently developed econometric techniques for testing the existence of unit roots and cointegration in panel datasets, this article investigates the dynamic adjustment process of the number of retail stores per person by business type. Specifically, the major objective of this article is to examine whether there is a long-term relationship between retail store density and consumers' ability to transport and store goods; that is, the relative costs of performing distributive tasks, as suggested in previous studies relating to store density. The first conclusion from this article is that a cointegration relationship exists between store density for most types of retail businesses and proxies for consumers' ability to transport and store goods. Second, the estimation results of an error correction model reveal that the density of stores dealing in convenience goods exhibits a slow adjustment speed to recover the long-run equilibrium density level, while the density of stores selling shopping goods shows relatively fast adjustment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 197-205 Issue: 2 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802534450 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802534450 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:2:p:197-205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Sondermann Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Sondermann Author-Name: Mark Trede Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Trede Author-Name: Bernd Wilfling Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Wilfling Title: Estimating the degree of interventionist policies in the run-up to EMU Abstract: Based on a theoretical monetary exchange-rate model in continuous time, this article establishes a sequential estimation framework which is capable of indicating central bank intervention in the run-up to a currency union. Using daily pre-European Monetary Union (pre-EMU) exchange-rate data for the countries of the current Euro zone, we find mixed evidence of active pre-EMU intervention policies (so-called institutional frontloading strategies). Our estimation framework is highly relevant to economic and political agents operating in financial markets of the upcoming EMU accession countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 207-218 Issue: 2 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802481884 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802481884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:2:p:207-218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Author-Name: Theodore Panagiotidis Author-X-Name-First: Theodore Author-X-Name-Last: Panagiotidis Author-Name: Abhijit Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Abhijit Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: The sustainability of India's current account Abstract: This study conducts an investigation into the sustainability of the Indian current account using data for 1950 onwards. A necessary condition for current account sustainability is that exports and imports are cointegrated. After testing for unit roots that allow for a structural break, we employ parametric tests for cointegration: based on Johansen (1995) and Saikkonen and Lutkepohl (2000a, b, c) as well as the nonparametric procedure proposed by Breitung (2002) and Breitung and Taylor (2003) that does not assume linearity. By employing these procedures recursively, two distinct regimes are identified characterized by whether or not imports and exports are cointegrated. The regime of noncointegration runs until the late 1990s and the second regime of cointegration is present after that. This latter regime coincides with the liberalization of the Indian economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 219-229 Issue: 2 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802481876 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802481876 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:2:p:219-229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yang-Cheng Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: D. P. Tang Author-X-Name-First: D. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Wen-Chi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Long-run purchasing power parity with asymmetric adjustment: further evidence from African countries Abstract: This study applies threshold cointegration test advanced by Enders and Siklos (2001) to investigate the properties of asymmetric adjustment in long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in 22 selected African countries during the period of January 1980 to December 2003. Although there is evidence of long-run PPP for most African countries, the adjustment mechanism is asymmetric. These results have particularly important policy implications for African countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 231-242 Issue: 2 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802467073 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802467073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:2:p:231-242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Cuestas Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Cuestas Author-Name: Estefania Mourelle Author-X-Name-First: Estefania Author-X-Name-Last: Mourelle Title: Nonlinearities in real exchange rate determination: do African exchange rates follow a random walk? Abstract: In this article, we aim at modelling the long-run behaviour of the Real Effective Exchange Rates (REER) for a pool of African countries. Not much attention has been paid to this group of countries, in particular, to the existence of nonlinearities in the long-run path of such a variable. Controlling for two sources of nonlinearities, i.e. asymmetric adjustment to equilibrium and nonlinear deterministic trends allows us to gain some insight about the behaviour of the African REER. We find that these sources of nonlinearities help us to explain the apparent unit root behaviour found applying linear unit root tests for most of the countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 243-258 Issue: 2 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802467065 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802467065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:2:p:243-258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Henneke Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Henneke Author-Name: Svetlozar Rachev Author-X-Name-First: Svetlozar Author-X-Name-Last: Rachev Author-Name: Frank Fabozzi Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Fabozzi Author-Name: Metodi Nikolov Author-X-Name-First: Metodi Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolov Title: MCMC-based estimation of Markov Switching ARMA-GARCH models Abstract: Regime switching models, especially Markov Switching (MS) models, are regarded as a promising way to capture nonlinearities in time series. Combining the elements of MS models with full Autoregressive Moving Average-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARMA-GARCH) models poses severe difficulties for the computation of parameter estimators. Existing methods can become completely unfeasible due to the full path dependence of such models. In this article, we demonstrate how to overcome this problem. We formulate a full MS-ARMA-GARCH model and its Bayes estimator. This facilitates the use of Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods and allows us to develop an algorithm to compute the Bayes estimator of the regimes and parameters of our model. The approach is illustrated on simulated data and with returns from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Our model is then compared to other approaches and clearly proves to be advantageous. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 259-271 Issue: 3 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802552379 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802552379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:3:p:259-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leonardo Becchetti Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Author-X-Name-Last: Becchetti Author-Name: Giovanni Trovato Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Trovato Author-Name: David Andres Londono Bedoya Author-X-Name-First: David Andres Author-X-Name-Last: Londono Bedoya Title: Income, relational goods and happiness Abstract: Our empirical analysis on the determinants of self-declared happiness on more than 100 000 individuals from representative samples in 82 world countries does not reject the hypothesis that the time spent for relationships has a significant and positive impact on happiness. This basic nexus helps to understand new unexplored paths in the so-called 'happiness-income paradox'. To illustrate them we show that personal income has two main effects on happiness. The first is a positive effect which depends on individual's ranking within domestic income quintiles. The second is determined by the relationship between income and relational goods. In principle, more productive individuals may substitute (if the income effect prevails over the substitution effect) worked hours with the nonworking time made free for enjoying relationships, when they have strong preferences for them. The problem is that these individuals tend to have ties with their income class peers who share with them a high opportunity cost for the time spent for relationships. Hence, a coordination failure may reduce the joint investment in relational goods (local public goods which need to be co-produced in order to be enjoyed together) and, through this effect, individuals in the highest income quintiles may end up with poorer relational goods. The indirect impact of personal income on happiness through this channel is therefore expected to be negative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 273-290 Issue: 3 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802570439 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802570439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:3:p:273-290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Byeongyong Paul Choi Author-X-Name-First: Byeongyong Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Elyas Elyasiani Author-X-Name-First: Elyas Author-X-Name-Last: Elyasiani Title: Foreign-owned insurer performance in the US property-liability markets Abstract: Foreign-owned property-liability insurers have increased their market share in the US in the recent decades. They may have achieved this by being more efficient, by undercutting prices to attract away business from their domestic rivals, or both. We investigate return, risk, efficiency and determinants of efficiency performance of these insurers relative to their domestic competitors. We find that these firms are less profitable and less efficient in terms of cost scale and revenue X-efficiencies but more efficient in terms of cost X- and revenue scale efficiencies. Overall, the evidence shows that both of the aforementioned factors have contributed to their growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 291-306 Issue: 3 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802552353 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802552353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:3:p:291-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. W. B. Bos Author-X-Name-First: J. W. B. Author-X-Name-Last: Bos Author-Name: M. Koetter Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Koetter Title: Handling losses in translog profit models Abstract: In this article, we compare standard approaches used to handle losses in logarithmic profit models with a simple novel approach. We estimate translog stochastic profit frontiers, and discuss discriminatory power, rank stability and the precision of Profit Efficiency (PE) scores. Contrary to existing methods, our approach does not result in a loss of observations. Our new method enhances rank stability and discriminatory power, and improves the precision of PE scores. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 307-312 Issue: 3 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802570413 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802570413 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:3:p:307-312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mathieu Narcy Author-X-Name-First: Mathieu Author-X-Name-Last: Narcy Title: Would nonprofit workers accept to earn less? Evidence from France Abstract: This article focuses on wage differentials between French nonprofit, for-profit and public sectors. Considering the public sector allows testing more extensively the labour donation theory (Preston, 1989). The findings support this theory because nonprofit workers accept to earn significantly less than they would earn in the for-profit and public sectors. They also suggest differences in the motivations of workers in these sectors. Nonprofit workers are attracted to their work for reasons transcending material compensation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 313-326 Issue: 3 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802570447 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802570447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:3:p:313-326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauro Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Title: Capturing asymmetry in real exchange rate with quantile autoregression Abstract: Quantile Autoregression (QAR) is used to explore asymmetries in the adjustment process of pairwise Real Exchange Rate (RER) between the Italian lire, French franc, Deutsch mark and the British pound. Based on the best specification for each quantile we construct predicted conditional density functions, which guided us to identify two sources of asymmetry: (1) dispersion depends on the conditioned value of the RER, i.e. 'conditional' heteroskedasticity; (2) the probability of increases and falls also changes according to the conditioned value, i.e. there is higher probability for the RER to appreciate (depreciate) given the currency is depreciated (appreciated). We only verified strong heterokedasticity in relations among the lire, franc and mark, which was resolved by estimating quadratic autoregressive model for some quantiles. Relations involving the pound presented stable but higher dispersion indicating larger probability of wider oscillation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 327-340 Issue: 3 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802584919 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802584919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:3:p:327-340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Robst Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Robst Author-Name: Jennifer VanGilder Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: VanGilder Title: The role of childhood sexual victimization in the occupational choice of adults Abstract: Numerous studies have found that survivors of Childhood Sexual Abuse (CSA) suffer as adults from depression, post-traumatic stress disorder, alcohol and drug abuse, and other mental illnesses. As such, the effect of experiencing traumatic events during childhood including sexual abuse can be long lasting. The lasting effects of CSA may have economic as well as psychological implications. This article examines the relationship between CSA and future labour market outcomes for men and women. In particular, we examine whether the occupations of abuse survivors differ from those who were not subject to sexual abuse, focusing on the gender composition of the occupation. In addition, we determine whether there are gender differences in the consequences of CSA, and whether incomes of CSA victims vary across male and female occupations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 341-354 Issue: 3 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802584893 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802584893 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:3:p:341-354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stuart Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Stuart Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Author-Name: Vikash Ramiah Author-X-Name-First: Vikash Author-X-Name-Last: Ramiah Author-Name: Heather Mitchell Author-X-Name-First: Heather Author-X-Name-Last: Mitchell Author-Name: Richard Heaney Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Heaney Title: Seasonal factors and outlier effects in rate of return on electricity spot prices in Australia's National Electricity Market Abstract: This article documents seasonal patterns and other characteristics of electricity spot prices in the Australian National Electricity Market (NEM), over a 7-year sample period. The goal is to investigate more specifically the influence of seasonalities and outliers noted in the body of literature on electricity prices. The results confirm that electricity prices exhibit significant time-of-day and day-of-week effects and monthly and yearly effects are significant to a lesser degree. Extremely high spikes in the price series are an important characteristic of electricity prices and are shown to be a highly significant component of returns behaviour. Negative prices are unusual in financial time series data but occur in Australian electricity prices and are found to be influential on returns. The implications of these finding are that seasonal and outlier effects should not be ignored in efforts to model electricity prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 355-369 Issue: 3 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802570421 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802570421 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:3:p:355-369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Rajapakse Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Rajapakse Title: Estimation of a complete system of nonlinear Engel curves: further evidence from Box-Cox Engel curves for Sri Lanka Abstract: The specification and estimation of Engle curves has drawn much attention over many years since the earliest attempt of Working (1943). Among the many approaches, a complete system of Engel curves stood out as more appealing as it explicitly imposes the important budget constraint in the allocation of family budgets. Further, extended researches were undertaken on nonlinear specifications as they are likely to produce results that are closer to the reality than the linear systems. Beneito (2003) attempted Box-Cox form of nonlinear specification but ended up estimating a set of linear equations using seemingly unrelated regression equations method. The present research extends the previous work on Engle curves in two ways; first by incorporating key demographic characteristics into the determination of expenditures in the specification of the Box-Cox form of nonlinear system, and second by using primary micro data from large household surveys to estimate the system by nonlinear estimation methods. Our estimations have produced robust results; the expenditure patterns are significantly nonlinear and the expenditure patterns are significantly different for different demographic groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 371-385 Issue: 3 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802552346 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802552346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:3:p:371-385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: The applied economics of labour: introduction and overview Abstract: We provide an introduction and overview to the seven applied financial studies making up this special theme on labour. The studies cover a wide range of topics, and employ a variety of applied techniques across a range of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 387-388 Issue: 4 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.555957 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2011.555957 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:4:p:387-388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Lechner Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Lechner Author-Name: Rosalia Vazquez-Alvarez Author-X-Name-First: Rosalia Author-X-Name-Last: Vazquez-Alvarez Title: The effect of disability on labour market outcomes in Germany Abstract: In this article we analyse the individual effects of becoming disabled on key aspects of labour market outcomes in Germany. The German Socio Economic Panel (1984-2002) collects socio-economic and health data. This data is organized such that the potential problems for such an estimation that may arise from disability not being a random event are considerably reduced. Using matching methods, we find a reduction of individual employment chances of about 9 to 13%, the level depending on the degree of disability. We find no statistically significant evidence for a reduction in income or an increase in unemployment due to disability. We interpret these findings as an indication that the German social security systems appear to successfully mitigate or at least reduce the economic hardship that comes with the event of disability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 389-412 Issue: 4 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599974 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599974 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:4:p:389-412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arnaud Dupuy Author-X-Name-First: Arnaud Author-X-Name-Last: Dupuy Author-Name: Daniel Fernandez-Kranz Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Kranz Title: International differences in the family gap in pay: the role of labour market institutions Abstract: Using the microdata for 35 countries over the period 1985 to 1994 and 1994 to 2002 we find that labour market institutions are traditionally associated with more compressed wage structures and a higher family gap. Our results indicate that these policies reduce the price effect of having children but aggravate the human capital loss due to motherhood. We also find evidence that policies that help women to continue in the same job after childbirth decrease the family gap. Of all the countries we study, mothers in Southern Europe suffer the biggest family gap and our analysis indicates that this is due to the bad combination of labour market policies in these countries. Our results are robust to specification changes and indicate that the main reason for mothers to lag behind other women in terms of earnings is the loss of accumulated job market experience caused by career breaks around childbirth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 413-438 Issue: 4 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902950580 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902950580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:4:p:413-438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Jean-Pascal Guironnet Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Pascal Author-X-Name-Last: Guironnet Author-Name: Nicolas Peypoch Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Peypoch Title: How to quickly get a job? The transition from higher education to French labour market by a survival model Abstract: This article analyses how long former university students stay unemployed, when searching for a new job after the leaving of the French higher education. Cox duration models are used to account for the proportional hypothesis. The main result of this article is that the worker's recruitment is based more on the choice of the faculty of initial training than the educational level attainment. Some policy implications are derived from our results to give some recommendations for individual job search and policy-makers in education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 439-448 Issue: 4 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903166251 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903166251 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:4:p:439-448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno Amable Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Amable Author-Name: Lilas Demmou Author-X-Name-First: Lilas Author-X-Name-Last: Demmou Author-Name: Donatella Gatti Author-X-Name-First: Donatella Author-X-Name-Last: Gatti Title: The effect of employment protection and product market regulation on labour market performance: substitution or complementarity? Abstract: This article provides new evidence on the linkages between various forms of market regulation and joblessness and its components, unemployment and inactivity. One crucial contribution of this article is the analysis of the interdependence across Product Market Regulation (PMR) and labour markets regulation (Employment Protection Legislation (EPL)). With the help of a dynamic fixed effect model with an interaction term, we estimate the marginal impact of EPL and PMR at different levels of the other interacted variable. To cope with problems related to the inclusion of time-invariant institutional variables in fixed effect models, we present results of regressions based on a new procedure, specifically designed to treat slowly changing variables. We build time-series data to account for the annual evolution of EPL, and use new data for unemployment insurance net replacement rates. Among other results, we find evidence of a positive (negative) effect of EPL (PMR) on employment performance as well as of substitution, rather than complementarity, between the two forms of regulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 449-464 Issue: 4 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903317367 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903317367 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:4:p:449-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosella Nicolini Author-X-Name-First: Rosella Author-X-Name-Last: Nicolini Title: Labour productivity in Spain: 1977-2002 Abstract: This study examines the evolution of labour productivity across Spanish regions during the period from 1977 to 2002. Applying the kernel technique, we estimate the effects of the transition process on labour productivity and its main sources. We find that Spanish regions experienced a major convergence process in labour productivity mostly driven by human capital in the 1977-1993 period. Conversely, the dynamics of investment in physical capital appear to be neutral with respect to the transition dynamics of labour productivity. Finally, from 1995 to 2002, no dynamic processes seemed to have taken place. Spanish regions exhibit a persistent relative position with established convergence clubs: the human capital effect is less important and the investment in physical capital seems not to have a triggering effect on labour productivity growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 465-485 Issue: 4 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903427216 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903427216 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:4:p:465-485 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aekapol Chongvilaivan Author-X-Name-First: Aekapol Author-X-Name-Last: Chongvilaivan Author-Name: Jung Hur Author-X-Name-First: Jung Author-X-Name-Last: Hur Title: Outsourcing, labour productivity and wage inequality in the US: a primal approach Abstract: We investigate the linkages among outsourcing activities, labour productivity and wage inequality for skilled and unskilled labour by employing a primal approach that involves estimating a nested constant elasticity of substitution production function, using six-digit North American Industry Classification System US manufacturing industries from 2002 to 2005. First, we find that general outsourcing and international outsourcing have a skill-biased impact on labour productivity. However, the skill-biased impact of general outsourcing on labour productivity is larger than that of international outsourcing. Second, we find that the wage gap between skilled and unskilled labour, which is defined as their marginal productivity gap, can be better explained by general outsourcing than by international outsourcing. These two results imply that the wage inequality of US manufacturing industries during 2002-2005 was mainly due to the skill-biased labour productivity effect of general outsourcing rather than that of international outsourcing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 487-502 Issue: 4 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360302 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360302 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:4:p:487-502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Romeu Gordo Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Romeu Gordo Title: Compression of morbidity and the labour supply of older people Abstract: This article tests whether there is evidence of compression of morbidity using Health and Retirement Study (HRS) data and analyses the effects of this on the labour supply of older people. We find younger cohorts to suffer less from functional problems than older cohorts at given ages. Furthermore, we observe that instrumentalized disability has a negative effect on labour force participation. According to the cohort analysis and the multivariate analysis, it can be concluded that individuals will be able to work longer because of the delay in the onset of disability problems. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 503-513 Issue: 4 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599941 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599941 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:4:p:503-513 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lester Hadsell Author-X-Name-First: Lester Author-X-Name-Last: Hadsell Title: Inefficiency in deregulated wholesale electricity markets: the case of the New England ISO Abstract: The efficiency of the New England Independent System Operator electricity market is examined. Using peak hour prices from March 2003 to February 2007, significant differences between Day Ahead (DA) and spot prices are found, indicating that profitable arbitrage opportunities existed in the DA market. It is also found that persistence of price volatility is higher in the DA market, indicating that information is not incorporated into DA prices as quickly as it is in the spot market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 515-525 Issue: 5 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802584943 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802584943 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:5:p:515-525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Koon Nam Lee Author-X-Name-First: Koon Nam Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Forecasting long-haul tourism demand for Hong Kong using error correction models Abstract: Forecasting accuracy is particularly important when forecasting tourism demand on account of the perishable nature of the product. This study compares a range of forecasting models in the context of predicting annual tourist flows into Hong Kong from the major long-haul markets of the US, the UK, Germany and major short-haul markets of China, Japan and Taiwan. Econometric forecasting models considered included Error Correction Models (ECMs) based on Permanent Income-Life Cycle (PI-LC) hypothesis (PI-LC ECM) and alternative cointegration approaches: Engle and Granger (1987), Johansen (1988), and Ordinary Least Square (OLS) approaches. Both Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and no change model (hereafter NAIVE) models are used as a benchmark time series model for accuracy comparisons. It was hypothesized that PI-LC ECM is a better forecasting model particularly for long-haul tourism demand. The objective of this article is to investigate whether the application of PI-LC ECM could improve the forecasting performance of econometric models relative to time series models. The forecasting results indicate that the PI-LC ECM based on the Engle-Granger (1987) approach produces more accurate forecasts than other alternative forecasting models for all long-haul markets based on Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) criteria. Overall, PI-LC ECMs produce better forecasts of tourism demand than the OLS, ARIMA and NAIVE models for all origin markets and all time horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 527-549 Issue: 5 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599743 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599743 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:5:p:527-549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Artur Tamazian Author-X-Name-First: Artur Author-X-Name-Last: Tamazian Author-Name: Krishna Chaitanya Vadlamannati Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Chaitanya Author-X-Name-Last: Vadlamannati Title: Growth effects of a comprehensive measure of globalization with country-specific time series data Abstract: Many studies have estimated the growth effects of globalization where globalization was measured with a few economic variables, ignoring its social and political dimensions. Recently, Dreher (2006) has developed a comprehensive measure of globalization with several variables from the economic, political and social sectors. He showed, with the panel data methods, that globalization has positive growth effect implying that countries with higher globalization grow faster. We argue that 5-year average growth rates, used in many panel data studies, are inadequate proxies for the unobservable Steady State Growth Rate (SSGR). Using the Dreher indices, we extend the Solow (1956) model to derive country-specific estimates of SSGRs for Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, India and the Philippines. Our results show that countries with higher levels of globalization have higher SSGRs but the growth effects on SSGRs are smaller than in many studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 551-568 Issue: 5 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802534476 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802534476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:5:p:551-568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rose Cunningham Author-X-Name-First: Rose Author-X-Name-Last: Cunningham Author-Name: Ilan Kolet Author-X-Name-First: Ilan Author-X-Name-Last: Kolet Title: Housing market cycles and duration dependence in the United States and Canada Abstract: Housing wealth is a large component of households' total wealth and plays an important role in aggregate business cycles. In this article, we explore data on real house price cycles at the aggregate level and city level for the US and Canada. Using a panel of 137 cities, we examine the duration and characteristics of housing market cycles in North America. We find that North American housing cycles are long, averaging 5 years of expansion and 4 years of contraction. We estimate a discrete time survival model with a probit specification for house price expansions and contractions. This model allows us to test for duration dependence. We find that US housing market expansions have positive duration dependence since their exit probabilities increase with duration, while contractions seem to have no duration dependence. Canadian house price cycles did not exhibit duration dependence. Standard determinants of house prices (interest rates, income and population growth) are included as controls. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 569-586 Issue: 5 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802584927 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802584927 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:5:p:569-586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Ho Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: Yu-Chuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xue-Jie Bai Author-X-Name-First: Xue-Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Bai Title: Efficiency and risk in Taiwan banking: SBM super-DEA estimation Abstract: In this study we adopt the two Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) methods, including Banker-Charnes-Cooper (BCC) and Slacks-based Measure (SBM) super efficiency, to investigate whether a bank's technical efficiency index's results, incorporating account risk and not incorporating account risk, differ significantly. The information is obtained from 43 Taiwanese banks for the period 1998 to 2002. We also employ the nonradial and slacks-based Malmquist Total Factor Productivity (TFP) index to measure the impact of productivity change on the panel data. Our empirical results from the DEA approach are summarized as follows: (1) Loan quality factors have an impact on a bank's efficiency. In general, the bank with a higher degree of problem loans drops down its efficiency by incorporating account risk; however, the bank with a lower degree of problem loans increases its efficiency by incorporating account risk. (2) Super efficiency provides a good framework for ranking efficient units. (3) Based on the nonradial and slacks-based Malmquist TFP index, we find that bank productivity has increased and technical change has improved. (4) In Taiwan, bank with a higher performance will be more secure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 587-602 Issue: 5 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599750 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:5:p:587-602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcus Eliason Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Eliason Title: Income after job loss: the role of the family and the welfare state Abstract: That displaced workers suffer long-lasting earnings losses is a stylized fact, raising the question whether these losses are replaced by other means. For married men, increased labour supply by the wife may be one way. Another possibility is that the public welfare system offsets the same losses. I used a Swedish longitudinal data set containing married couples where the husband was either employed or made redundant in 1987 by an establishment closure. There was no evidence that husbands' job loss positively affected wives' annual earnings. Although husbands' utilization of unemployment insurance increased significantly, government transfers including also sickness insurance, disability insurance and means-tested social benefits, did not fully replace husbands' long-run earnings losses. Hence, displaced workers seem to suffer also from long-lasting losses in family income, which in many respects is a better measure of economic welfare than individual earnings or wages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 603-618 Issue: 5 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802584968 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802584968 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:5:p:603-618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tristan Masters Author-X-Name-First: Tristan Author-X-Name-Last: Masters Author-Name: Roslyn Russell Author-X-Name-First: Roslyn Author-X-Name-Last: Russell Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Title: The demand for creative arts in regional Victoria, Australia Abstract: A healthy creative arts industry can contribute significantly to the economic and social fabric of a community. Unfortunately, regional areas often suffer from a lack of supply and demand for the creative arts. This article explores the demand for the creative arts in three regional locations in Victoria, Australia, using three broad dimensions of demand: attitudes towards the arts; frequency of participation in the arts and level of expenditure on the arts. The analysis of demand patterns uses the general modelling approach of Levy-Garboua and Montmarquette (1996) as a basis and makes use of the ordered probit class of models for its statistical analysis. The study confirms that individual levels of demand are contingent on a range of demographic characteristics and also identifies factors such as festival attendance and increased past creative arts expenditure as being important determinants of demand for the arts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 619-629 Issue: 5 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802584976 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802584976 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:5:p:619-629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Rosa Borges Author-X-Name-First: Maria Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Borges Title: Random walk tests for the Lisbon stock market Abstract: This article reports the results of tests on the weak-form market efficiency applied to the PSI-20 index prices of the Lisbon stock market from January 1993 to December 2006. As an emerging stock market, it is unlikely that it is fully information-efficient, but we show that the level of weak-form efficiency has increased in recent years. We use a serial correlation test, a runs test, an Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test and the multiple variance ratio test proposed by Lo and MacKinlay (1988) for the hypothesis that the stock market index follows a random walk. Nontrading or infrequent trading is not an issue because the PSI-20 includes only the 20 most traded shares. The tests are performed using daily, weekly and monthly returns for the whole period and for five sub-periods which reflect different trends in the market. We find mixed evidence, but on the whole, our results show that the Portuguese stock market index has been approaching a random walk behaviour since 2000, with a decrease in the serial dependence of returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 631-639 Issue: 5 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802584935 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802584935 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:5:p:631-639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joakim Westerlund Author-X-Name-First: Joakim Author-X-Name-Last: Westerlund Author-Name: Fredrik Wilhelmsson Author-X-Name-First: Fredrik Author-X-Name-Last: Wilhelmsson Title: Estimating the gravity model without gravity using panel data Abstract: This article examines the effects of zero trade on the estimation of the gravity model using both simulated and real data with a panel structure, which is different from the more conventional cross-sectional structure. We begin by showing that the usual log-linear estimation method can result in highly deceptive inference when some observations are zero. As an alternative approach, we suggest using the poisson fixed effects estimator. This approach eliminates the problems of zero trade, controls for heterogeneity across countries, and is shown to perform well in small samples. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 641-649 Issue: 6 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599784 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:6:p:641-649 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matteo Ricciarelli Author-X-Name-First: Matteo Author-X-Name-Last: Ricciarelli Title: Investment choice and asset allocation of Italian households: the discrete-continuous approach Abstract: Financial and monetary policies are considered to be effective depending on the reaction of financial markets which are increasingly populated by households. In this article, from intertemporal settings, I derive a Financial Almost Ideal (FAI) Demand System and I estimate it by highlighting the determinants of both limited participation to financial markets and asset substitutability/complementarity in the allocating stage. Finally, the wealth elasticities provide some further insights on the low diffusion of the newer and more complex financial instruments across Italian households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 651-662 Issue: 6 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599800 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599800 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:6:p:651-662 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heru Margono Author-X-Name-First: Heru Author-X-Name-Last: Margono Author-Name: Subhash Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Subhash Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Kevin Sylwester Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Sylwester Author-Name: Usama Al-Qalawi Author-X-Name-First: Usama Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Qalawi Title: Technical efficiency and productivity analysis in Indonesian provincial economies Abstract: This article estimates inefficiency and Total Factor Productivity (TFP) across Indonesian provinces from 1993 to 2000. Indonesia is a large emerging market economy, but provinces within the country (due to the island structure of the country) are more distinct from one another compared to other countries. We use a stochastic frontier methodology to estimate inefficiency and TFP. We find that TFP fell by an average rate of 7.5% across provinces due to the decrease in technical efficiency. In fact, the majority of output growth within Indonesia is explained by the accumulation of inputs. In this sense, economic growth within Indonesia does not appear to be sustainable without reversing these trends. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 663-672 Issue: 6 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599834 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599834 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:6:p:663-672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faizul Haque Author-X-Name-First: Faizul Author-X-Name-Last: Haque Author-Name: Thankom Gopinath Arun Author-X-Name-First: Thankom Gopinath Author-X-Name-Last: Arun Author-Name: Colin Kirkpatrick Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: Kirkpatrick Title: Corporate governance and capital structure in developing countries: a case study of Bangladesh Abstract: This paper investigates the influence of firm-level corporate governance on the capital structure pattern of non-financial listed firms, using a case study of Bangladesh. The agency theory suggests that better corporate governance will reduce agency costs and improve investor confidence, which in turn will enhance the ability of a firm to gain access to equity finance, reducing dependence on debt finance. Conversely, the controlling shareholders of poorly governed firms are likely to prefer debt, in order to retain absolute ownership and control rights. The OLS regression framework uses a questionnaire-survey based Corporate Governance Index (CGI). The study results seem to support agency theory, with a statistically significant inverse relationship between corporate governance quality and the total as well as long-term debt ratios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 673-681 Issue: 6 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599909 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599909 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:6:p:673-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fethi Oğunc Author-X-Name-First: Fethi Author-X-Name-Last: Oğunc Author-Name: Inci Batmaz Author-X-Name-First: Inci Author-X-Name-Last: Batmaz Title: Estimating the neutral real interest rate in an emerging market economy Abstract: This study estimates the neutral real interest rate and output gap jointly under two different multivariate unobserved components models. In the analyses, Kalman filter is applied to a small-scale macroeconomic model of the Turkish economy to estimate the unobserved variables for the period 1989 to 2005. In addition, two alternative specifications for neutral real interest rate are exploited in the analyses. The first model uses a simple random walk model for the neutral rate, whereas the second one employs more structural specification, which specifically links the neutral rate with the trend growth rate and the long-term course of the risk premium by adapting the model proposed by Laubach and Williams (2003) to allow for small open economy consideration. Model evaluations clearly indicate the use of more structural specification against random walk specification. Results point out that the variation in the long-term course of the risk premium could be an important determinant of the neutral real interest rate in Turkey. Though there is relatively high uncertainty surrounding the neutral rate estimates to use them directly in the policy-making process, estimates appear to be very useful for ex post monetary policy evaluations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 683-693 Issue: 6 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599768 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599768 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:6:p:683-693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Koi Nyen Wong Author-X-Name-First: Koi Nyen Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Author-Name: Tuck Cheong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Tuck Cheong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Exchange rate variability and the export demand for Malaysia's semiconductors: an empirical study Abstract: This article examines the effects of exchange rate variability on export demand for semiconductors, which is the largest sub-sector of electronics industry in Malaysia as reported by Malaysian Industrial Development Authority (MIDA, 2004). The empirical results, which are estimated based on the Johansen's multivariate cointegration tests and error-correction model, suggest that there is a unique long-run relationship among quantities of export, relative price, real foreign income and real exchange rate variability. The major finding of this article is that the variability of real exchange rate has some effect on semiconductor exports in both the long run and the short run. In the light of rapid advances in technology in the global markets for electronics products, the findings are useful to policy makers for the design and target of appropriate exchange rate and industrial policies to enhance the export competitiveness of semiconductor industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 695-706 Issue: 6 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599917 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:6:p:695-706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geir Wæhler Gustavsen Author-X-Name-First: Geir Wæhler Author-X-Name-Last: Gustavsen Author-Name: Kyrre Rickertsen Author-X-Name-First: Kyrre Author-X-Name-Last: Rickertsen Title: The effects of taxes on purchases of sugar-sweetened carbonated soft drinks: a quantile regression approach Abstract: The consumption of large quantities of Sugar-Sweetened Carbonated Soft Drinks (SSCSD) may lead to obesity, which is associated with health problems such as diabetes, cardiac diseases and mental health problems. The effects of increasing the Value Added Tax (VAT) on purchases of SSCSD are estimated. Obesity is more likely among heavy drinkers than among light or moderate drinkers. Therefore, the effects on high- and low-purchasing households are estimated by using Quantile Regressions (QRs) on Norwegian household purchase data. Since many households did not purchase SSCSD during each survey period, censored as well as ordinary QRs are used. Our results suggest that a VAT increase from 13 to 25% will have the highest percentage effect among low-purchasing households but the absolute effect is highest among high-purchasing households. Low-purchasing households will reduce their purchases by about 5 L while the reduction is almost 20 L among high-purchasing households. However, the effects among high-purchasing households are not statistically significant from zero. A reduction of 5 L corresponds ceteris paribus to an annual reduction of about 0.3 kg of body weight. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 707-716 Issue: 6 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599776 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:6:p:707-716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joo-Suk Lee Author-X-Name-First: Joo-Suk Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Seung-Jun Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: Modelling R&D expenditure data with zero observations: two-equation model Abstract: This article attempts to analyse the determinants of firms' Research and Development (R&D) expenditures in Korea by considering the business environment after the economic crisis in 1997. In addition, to take into account zero R&D expenditure, this article employed a two-equation model unlike models used in other studies. This method incorporates a two-level decision structure: the participation decision and the decision on the amount to spend once the issue of participation has been decided. According to the estimation results, while the proposition that larger firms are more active in R&D is true, the proposition that firms that possess market power are more active in R&D is not true for Korea. Technical cooperation among Korean firms seems to be less active than in other countries. In addition, the results indicate that foreign investment stimulates the firms' R&D expenditure. Furthermore, a number of factors were found to play a role in promoting firms' R&D activities: the external conditions of the firms' R&D activities, including the location, other firms' R&D activities in the same industry, support from the government and technical support from research institutes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 717-727 Issue: 6 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599792 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599792 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:6:p:717-727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Ping Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Jia-Hsi Weng Author-X-Name-First: Jia-Hsi Author-X-Name-Last: Weng Title: Is the secularization hypothesis valid? A panel data assessment for Taiwan Abstract: The secularization thesis is based on the idea that a country becomes more secular as it becomes richer and more industrialized. In order to investigate whether this hypothesis is valid, we examine the relationship between religion in Taiwan and economic development across 23 counties by adopting the panel data approach for the period 1998 to 2003. We select six religious activity proxy variables and five economic development variables in a cross-county panel data framework. The evidence indicates that the ratio of females to males has a significantly positive effect and that the literacy rate and population density each have a significantly negative effect on the religious variables. Finally, except for the Christian culture, the unemployment rate has a positive effect on the religious variables. Our findings thus support the view that the religious secularization hypothesis is valid in Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 729-745 Issue: 6 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599826 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:6:p:729-745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Williams Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Author-Name: Nicolas Peypoch Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Peypoch Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Title: The Luenberger indicator and productivity growth: a note on the European savings banks sector Abstract: We employ the Luenberger productivity indicator to estimate productivity growth and its decomposition into technical change and efficiency change components for savings banks sectors in 10 EU countries between 1996 and 2003. The Luenberger indicator requires less restrictive assumptions than standard nonparametric productivity indexes, and it allows the assumption of profit maximization to be made for sample firms. We estimate average productivity growth in the savings banks sector to be 2.78% per annum and driven almost entirely by technical change. Whilst the general results confirm earlier findings, this study is one of the earliest to identify cross-border differences in productivity growth in the savings banks sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 747-755 Issue: 6 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599859 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:6:p:747-755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joao Dias Author-X-Name-First: Joao Author-X-Name-Last: Dias Author-Name: Vitor Mendes Magrico Author-X-Name-First: Vitor Mendes Author-X-Name-Last: Magrico Title: The impact of resource conditions and environmental uncertainty on inter-firm alliance strategies Abstract: The resource dependence theory and the resource-based view have been put forward in order to explain inter-firm alliance strategies. According to these approaches, the main driver for alliance formation is the internal resource condition of the firm and the need to acquire external resources. We argue that resource motivation is moderated by perceived environmental uncertainty. First, we conceptualize how perceived environmental uncertainty and resource conditions independently affect the probability of firms to develop alliance strategies. Then, we analyse how the role of resource conditions is affected by environmental uncertainty. Finally, we test our point of view using a sample of Portuguese firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 757-765 Issue: 6 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599867 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:6:p:757-765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Chung Chang Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Jin-Li Hu Author-X-Name-First: Jin-Li Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Inconsistent preferences in environmental protection investment and the central government's optimal policy Abstract: Environmental protection plans cannot succeed without full cooperation among related units. However, inconsistent investment preferences toward environmental protection increase the damage to the environment. This article employs the contract mechanism to analyse environmental protection effects when the central government directly subsidizes the local governments. The results reveal that subsidies from the central government are not only unable to solve the problem of the inconsistent investment preferences among the central and local governments but also induce the free-riding behaviour of local governments. Because of the free-riding behaviour of the local governments, there is no such equilibrium in which the central government prefers the sequential investment mode while the local governments prefer the simultaneous investment mode. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 767-772 Issue: 6 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599891 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599891 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:6:p:767-772 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Crowder Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Crowder Author-Name: Pieter de Jong Author-X-Name-First: Pieter Author-X-Name-Last: de Jong Title: Does investment lead to greater output? A panel error-correction model analysis Abstract: In this study we attempt to determine the direction of causality between fixed investment spending and output. A literature has been developed which examines this causal structure. The results have been anything but consistent. De Long and Summers (1991) find strong evidence of the traditional causal relationship from investment to output growth. But Blomstrom et al. (1996) find just the opposite. One problem with these studies is that each fails to recognize the implied long-run relationship between fixed investment and output such that a Vector Autoregressive Representation (VAR) in these variables should be modelled as an error correction mechanism. We employ panel cointegration techniques on data from the Penn World Tables 6.1 covering 98 countries over 40 years. Our results suggest that investment and output are cointegrated and that the direction of causality generally runs in both directions. However, we find that in African- and low-income nations the direction of causality runs from output to investment, supportive of the findings by Blomstrom et al. (1996). This pattern is found in the short run as well as in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 773-785 Issue: 7 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599982 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599982 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:7:p:773-785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jennifer Rice Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Rice Title: The influence of managed care on generic prescribing rates: an analysis of HMO physicians Abstract: Retail expenditures on prescription drugs continue to grow annually by double digits, while the share of prescriptions dispensed as generics remains relatively constant. Efforts to curtail rising drug expenditures have been exhibited by Managed Care Organizations (MCOs), yet drug expenditures continue to rise. Using the National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NAMCS) for 1997-2000, this study examines how managed care, specifically Health Maintenance Organizations (HMOs), influence the physician's decision to prescribe the generic version of a multi-source drug. The findings show that HMO physicians are not significantly more likely to prescribe generic drugs than non-HMO physicians. Among HMO physicians, different cost reduction tools effect generic prescribing behaviour in different ways, with, the size of the effect depending on the patient and physician relationship with the HMO. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 787-796 Issue: 7 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600061 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:7:p:787-796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Max Nielsen Author-X-Name-First: Max Author-X-Name-Last: Nielsen Author-Name: Frank Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Author-Name: Jari Setala Author-X-Name-First: Jari Author-X-Name-Last: Setala Author-Name: Jarno Virtanen Author-X-Name-First: Jarno Author-X-Name-Last: Virtanen Title: Causality in demand: a co-integrated demand system for trout in Germany Abstract: This article focuses on causality in demand. A methodology where causality is imposed and tested within an empirical co-integrated demand model, not prespecified, is suggested. The methodology allows different causality of different products within the same demand system. The methodology is applied to fish demand. On the German market for farmed trout and substitutes, it is found that supply sources, i.e. aquaculture and fishery, are not the only determinant of causality. Storing, tightness of management and aggregation level of integrated markets might also be important. The methodological implication is that more explicit focus on causality in demand analyses provides improved information. The results suggest that frozen trout forms part of a large European whitefish market, where prices of fresh trout are formed on a relatively separate market. Redfish is a substitute on both markets. The policy implication is that increased production of trout causes a downward pressure on fresh trout prices, but frozen trout prices remain relatively unaffected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 797-809 Issue: 7 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600038 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:7:p:797-809 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Weiss Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Weiss Author-Name: Alfred Garloff Author-X-Name-First: Alfred Author-X-Name-Last: Garloff Title: Skill-biased technological change and endogenous benefits: the dynamics of unemployment and wage inequality Abstract: In this article, we study the effect of skill-biased technological change on unemployment and wage inequality in the presence of a link between social benefits and average income. In this case, an increase in the productivity of skilled workers, and hence their wage, leads to an increase in average income and hence in benefits. The increased fallback income, in turn, makes unskilled workers ask for higher wages. As higher wages are not justified by corresponding productivity increases, unemployment rises. Generally, we show that skill-biased technological change leads to increasing unemployment of the unskilled and to a moderately increasing wage inequality when benefits are endogenous. The model provides a theoretical explanation for diverging dynamics in wage inequality and unemployment under different social benefits regimes. Analysing the social legislation in 14 countries, we find that benefits are linked to the evolution of average income in Continental Europe but not in the US and the UK. Given this institutional difference, our model predicts that skill-biased technological change leads to rising unemployment in Continental Europe and rising wage inequality in the US and the UK. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 811-821 Issue: 7 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599933 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599933 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:7:p:811-821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felicitas Nowak-Lehmann D. Author-X-Name-First: Felicitas Author-X-Name-Last: Nowak-Lehmann D. Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Author-Name: Sebastian Vollmer Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Vollmer Author-Name: Inmaculada Martinez-Zarzoso Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez-Zarzoso Title: Modelling the dynamics of market shares in a pooled data setting: econometric and empirical issues Abstract: The objective of this article is twofold. First, it is to study the applicability of the widely used Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) in a pooled data setting. Second, it is to analyse Chile's market shares in the EU during the period 1988 to 2002, pointing to application problems that might jeopardize the model and searching for estimation methods that deal with the problem of inter-temporal and cross-sectional correlation of the disturbances. To estimate the coefficients of the ARDL model, Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) is utilized within the Three-Stage Least Squares (3SLS) and the nonstandard Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) frameworks. A computation of errors is added to highlight the susceptibility of the model to problems related to the underlying model assumptions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 823-835 Issue: 7 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599925 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:7:p:823-835 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Gander Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Gander Title: Equity valuation under Bull and Bear market regimes in South East Asia firms: a switching regression approach Abstract: A switching regression approach is used to analyse the market equity value of firms in the three South East Asia countries with a comparison to Japan. Two regimes are used to optimally sort the firms in a given country based on a switching function using profit rate (net income to book equity) as its variable. The regimes are identified as a Bear security market or a Bull security market depending on the value of the profit rate. Two financial ratios are used in the regime regressions. It was found that the optimum scaled switch point separating the Bulls from the Bears for the countries was a positive profit rate ranging between 6 and 24%. The notion that a zero or negative profit rate identifies a Bear market is not supported. In general, the results across countries and for the long-term debt ratio were quite consistent. The post-Asian financial crisis of 1997 had a depressing effect on firm market equity values, regardless of the market type and the country. The Bulls and the Bears are not cousins when it comes to their different reactions to the long-term debt ratio and their different, relative, adverse responses to the financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 837-844 Issue: 7 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599966 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599966 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:7:p:837-844 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristian Jonsson Author-X-Name-First: Kristian Author-X-Name-Last: Jonsson Title: Time-specific disturbances in a panel stationarity test Abstract: In this article, we investigate the performance of a panel data stationarity test when cross-sectional correlation is modelled by a time-specific factor. Size distortions, that occur especially when the number of cross sections is small, are documented. To eliminate these distortions, a new set of critical values is supplied. When investigating the rejection frequency under the alternative hypothesis, it is found that the panel data stationarity test that uses the supplied critical values maintain good power characteristics even when only a subset of the cross-sectional units have a unit root. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 845-853 Issue: 7 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599958 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599958 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:7:p:845-853 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eva Moreno-Galbis Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno-Galbis Author-Name: Francois-Charles Wolff Author-X-Name-First: Francois-Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Title: Evidence on new technologies and wage inequality in France Abstract: Using individual data from the French Labour Force Survey and the Complementary Survey on Working Conditions for 1998, we analyse earnings inequalities along the wage distribution between workers using novel Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) at their job and those not using them. We estimate quantile regressions with technological dummies and carry out a decomposition analysis, both at the aggregate level and by occupations. At the aggregate level, most of the wage gap between both populations is explained by the divergence in their labour characteristics. In jobs where ICT are not very diffused, the technological premium is larger than in jobs characterized by a large presence of novel technologies. Whereas in the former type of jobs, the technological premium is mainly justified by a divergence in the labour market characteristics between ICT users and nonusers, in positions characterized by a wide presence of novel technologies the technological premium responds rather to a divergence in the returns to identical characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 855-872 Issue: 7 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600004 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600004 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:7:p:855-872 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takashi Matsuki Author-X-Name-First: Takashi Author-X-Name-Last: Matsuki Author-Name: Ryoichi Usami Author-X-Name-First: Ryoichi Author-X-Name-Last: Usami Title: China's regional convergence in panels with multiple structural breaks Abstract: This study investigates the existence of regional convergence of per capita outputs in China from 1952 to 2004, particularly focusing on considering the presence of multiple structural breaks in the provincial-level panel data. First, the panel-based unit root test that allows for the occurrence of multiple breaks at various break dates across provinces is developed; this test is based on the p-value combination approach suggested by Fisher (1932). Next, the test is applied to China's provincial real per capita outputs to examine the regional convergence in China. To obtain the p-values of unit root tests for each province, which are combined to construct the panel unit root test, this study assumes three Data Generating Processes (DGPs): a driftless random walk process, an Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) process and an Autoregression (AR) process with cross-sectionally dependent errors in Monte Carlo simulation. The results obtained from this study reveal that the convergence of the provincial per capita outputs exists in each of the three geographically classified regions-the Eastern, Central and Western regions-of China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 873-890 Issue: 7 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600012 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:7:p:873-890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mats Wilhelmsson Author-X-Name-First: Mats Author-X-Name-Last: Wilhelmsson Author-Name: Rune Wigren Author-X-Name-First: Rune Author-X-Name-Last: Wigren Title: The robustness of the causal and economic relationship between construction flows and economic growth: evidence from Western Europe Abstract: Our main objective is to analyse whether we have a problem of parameter heterogeneity across countries and over time in the estimation of the relationship between infrastructure investments and economic growth. The research approach concerning causality and the estimating of the long-run equilibrium is based on the error-correction model. The problem of parameter heterogeneity is handled by the use of interaction terms. The result indicates that residential construction Granger causes Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the short and long run and it seems likely that the interaction term indicating high unemployment do add some explanation power to the model. This is not true when it comes to infrastructural and other building construction and its impact on economic growth. A high housing stock per capita seems to reduce the short-run effect. This implies that residential construction seems to have a larger effect if the accumulated residential stock is on a low level. The speed of adjustment to long-run equilibrium differs considerably between a country with a low residential capital stock and a country with a high-capital stock. Moreover, high owner occupation rates seem to be associated with a stronger relationship between residential construction and economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 891-900 Issue: 7 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600020 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:7:p:891-900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oliver Masakure Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Masakure Author-Name: John Cranfield Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Cranfield Author-Name: Spencer Henson Author-X-Name-First: Spencer Author-X-Name-Last: Henson Title: Factors affecting the incidence and intensity of standards certification evidence from exporting firms in Pakistan Abstract: This article explores the incidence and intensity of certification of Pakistani exporting firms across a range of quality assurance programs. Using firm-level data, the firm's certification status is modelled using Heckman's two-step procedure. The first-stage results using a probit model show that the likelihood of certification is determined by the sector, the firm's awareness of trade standards, the level to which the firm's markets are diversified, external pressure for certification and the firm's primary export market. The intensity of certification is treated as the number of standards a firm has invested in, which can be seen as ordered into distinct categories, such that an ordered probit model can be applied, correcting for sample selection bias. The results show that the number of standards to which a firm is certified is influenced by firm size, a firm's primary export markets, level of awareness of trade standards and level of market diversification. Overall, the results suggest that certification can be enhanced through increased private and institutional incentives, such as reducing transactions costs in the fisheries and agro-processing sectors, as well as increased regulatory enforcements in supply chains and support for raising the technical capacity of the sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 901-915 Issue: 8 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600103 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600103 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:8:p:901-915 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nuno Alves Author-X-Name-First: Nuno Author-X-Name-Last: Alves Author-Name: Jose Brandao de Brito Author-X-Name-First: Jose Brandao de Author-X-Name-Last: Brito Author-Name: Sandra Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Sandra Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Author-Name: Joao Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Joao Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: The transmission of monetary policy and technology shocks in the euro area Abstract: This article analyses the response of a set of euro area macroeconomic variables to monetary policy and technology shocks based on structural Vector Auto-regressions (VARs). The data set runs from 1970:1 until 2006:4 and includes a novel long-run series for hours worked per capita in the euro area. We find that real macroeconomic variables follow a hump-shaped response after monetary policy shocks and jump on impact after technology shocks. We also provide evidence that hours worked fall after a positive technology shock. These conclusions are robust to different sample periods and specifications of the variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 917-927 Issue: 8 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600186 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600186 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:8:p:917-927 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Author-Name: Osvaldo Miranda Author-X-Name-First: Osvaldo Author-X-Name-Last: Miranda Title: Borderplex brand name medicine price differences Abstract: Relatively high brand name pharmaceutical prices have led many US residents to cross the border into Mexico as 'medical tourists'. To examine the savings potentially available to consumers willing to cross into Mexico, data are collected and analysed for brand name prescription medicines sold in El Paso, Texas and Ciudad Juarez, Mexico. Retail pharmacy prices are generally lower on the south side of the border and substantial savings result for some medicines. For some products, however, shelf prices are lower on the north side of the border. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 929-939 Issue: 8 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600194 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:8:p:929-939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Torben Schubert Author-X-Name-First: Torben Author-X-Name-Last: Schubert Author-Name: Hariolf Grupp Author-X-Name-First: Hariolf Author-X-Name-Last: Grupp Title: Tests and confidence intervals for a class of scientometric, technological and economic specialization ratios Abstract: In economic, scientometric and innovation research, often so-called specialization indices are used. These indices measure comparative strengths or weaknesses as well as specialization profiles of the observation units with respect to certain criteria, such as patenting and publication or trade activities. They allow question like: is Germany specialized in the export of motor vehicles? Or is the UK specialized in biotech patents? Unfortunately, little is known about their statistical properties, which makes valid inferencing difficult. In this article we prove asymptotic normality for a certain class of scientometric, technological and some economic, though nonmonetary, specialization indices. We provide asymptotic confidence intervals and demonstrate in an example how to obtain statistically sound results. We will also address the problem of normalization of these indicators. All procedures proposed are provided in an add on package for R statistical environment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 941-950 Issue: 8 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600160 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600160 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:8:p:941-950 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Conchita D'Ambrosio Author-X-Name-First: Conchita Author-X-Name-Last: D'Ambrosio Author-Name: Joseph Deutsch Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Deutsch Author-Name: Jacques Silber Author-X-Name-First: Jacques Author-X-Name-Last: Silber Title: Multidimensional approaches to poverty measurement: an empirical analysis of poverty in Belgium, France, Germany, Italy and Spain, based on the European panel Abstract: This article has three goals. First, we wish to compare three multidimensional approaches to poverty and check to what extent they identify the same households as poor. Second, we aim at better understanding the determinants of poverty by estimating logit regressions with five categories of explanatory variables: size of the household, age of the head of the household, her gender, marital status and status at work. Third, we introduce a decomposition procedure proposed recently in the literature, the so-called Shapley decomposition, in order to determine the exact marginal impact of each of the categories of explanatory variables. Our empirical analysis is based on data made available by the European Community Household Panel (ECHP). We used its third wave and selected five countries: Belgium, France, Germany, Italy and Spain. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 951-961 Issue: 8 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600129 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:8:p:951-961 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong-Kyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hong-Kyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Does sample selection bias affect the effect of family background on the returns to schooling? Evidence from Korea Abstract: This article examines the effect of family background on the returns to schooling in Korea. In doing so, sample selection bias is controlled, as the probability of being employed is affected by the schooling of family members. The results of this study are different from previous studies, which did not consider sample selection bias. While the effect of family background on the returns to schooling was obvious in previous studies, it is weakened with the control of sample selection bias. This phenomenon is particularly strong for the wife. Moreover, controlling sample selection bias increases the downward bias due to measurement error. Thus it is concluded from these findings that sample selection bias should be controlled to accurately estimate the effect of family background on the returns to schooling. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 963-972 Issue: 8 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600111 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:8:p:963-972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Greenidge Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Greenidge Author-Name: Carlos Holder Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Holder Author-Name: Alvon Moore Author-X-Name-First: Alvon Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Title: Current account deficit sustainability: the case of Barbados Abstract: This article investigates the sustainability of the current account deficit in Barbados over the period 1960 to 2006. Various unit root and cointegration techniques are employed to determine whether the country is satisfying its Intertemporal Budget Constraint (IBC). The cointegration regressions suggest that the current account of Barbados is sustainable and that deviations from long-run equilibrium between real exports and imports are corrected in the short-run with imports making the adjustment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 973-984 Issue: 8 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600095 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600095 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:8:p:973-984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Robert Reed Author-X-Name-First: W. Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Reed Author-Name: Haichun Ye Author-X-Name-First: Haichun Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Title: Which panel data estimator should I use? Abstract: This study employs Monte Carlo experiments to evaluate the performances of a number of common panel data estimators when serial correlation and cross-sectional dependence are both present. It focuses on fixed effects models with less than 100 cross-sectional units and between 10 and 25 time periods (such as are commonly employed in empirical growth studies). Estimator performance is compared on two dimensions: (i) root mean square error and (ii) accuracy of estimated confidence intervals. An innovation of our study is that our simulated panel data sets are designed to look like 'real-world' panel data. We find large differences in the performances of the respective estimators. Further, estimators that perform well on efficiency grounds may perform poorly when estimating confidence intervals and vice versa. Our experimental results form the basis for a set of estimator recommendations. These are applied to 'out of sample' simulated panel data sets and found to perform well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 985-1000 Issue: 8 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600087 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600087 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:8:p:985-1000 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melanie Jones Author-X-Name-First: Melanie Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: Disability, employment and earnings: an examination of heterogeneity Abstract: This article uses information from an ad hoc module on disability in the 2002 UK Labour Force Survey to identify the heterogeneity that exists within the disabled group and examine its impact on labour market outcomes. After controlling for a range of personal characteristics, the type, severity, duration and cause of the disability are found to be important determinants of employment, but there is less evidence to support the influence of within group heterogeneity on earnings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1001-1017 Issue: 8 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600053 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:8:p:1001-1017 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Par Sjolander Author-X-Name-First: Par Author-X-Name-Last: Sjolander Title: A stationary unbiased finite sample ARCH-LM test procedure Abstract: Engle's (1982) Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity-Lagrange Multiplier (ARCH-LM) test is the undisputed standard test to detect ARCH. In this article, Monte Carlo (MC) simulations are used to demonstrate that the test's statistical size is biased in finite samples. Two complementing remedies to the related problems are proposed. One simple solution is to simulate new unbiased critical values for the ARCH-LM test. A second solution is based on the observation that for econometrics practitioners, detection of ARCH is generally followed by remedial modelling of this time-varying heteroscedasticity by the most general and robust model in the ARCH family; the Generalized ARCH (GARCH(1,1)) model. If the GARCH model's stationarity constraints are violated, as in fact is very often the case, obviously, we can conclude that ARCH-LM's detection of conditional heteroscedasticity has no or limited practical value. Therefore, formulated as a function of whether the GARCH model's stationarity constraints are satisfied or not, an unbiased and more relevant two-stage ARCH-LM test is specified. If the primary objectives of the study are to detect and remedy the problems of conditional heteroscedasticity, or to interpret GARCH parameters, the use of this article's new two-stage procedure, 2-Stage Unbiased ARCH-LM (2S-UARCH-LM), is strongly recommended. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1019-1033 Issue: 8 Volume: 43 Year: 2010 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600046 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600046 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2010:i:8:p:1019-1033 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mikael Bask Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Bask Author-Name: Jens Lundgren Author-X-Name-First: Jens Author-X-Name-Last: Lundgren Author-Name: Niklas Rudholm Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Rudholm Title: Market power in the expanding Nordic power market Abstract: We examine if the Nordic power market, Nord Pool, has been competitive or if electricity suppliers have had market power. Specifically, since the evolution from national markets to a multi-national and largely deregulated power market has taken place stepwise, we also examine how the degree of market power has evolved during this integration process. The Bresnahan-Lau method together with weekly data during 1996-2004 are used in the analysis, which shows that electricity suppliers have had small, but statistically significant, market power, but that the market power has been reduced as the Nord Pool area has expanded. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1035-1043 Issue: 9 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600269 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600269 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:9:p:1035-1043 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monica Escaleras Author-X-Name-First: Monica Author-X-Name-Last: Escaleras Author-Name: Charles Register Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Register Title: Ethnic tensions and social infrastructure Abstract: Ethnic tensions may restrict economic growth through a number of infrastructure channels. We extend this literature by (1) using a broad measure of ethnic tensions, (2) considering a variety of measures of social infrastructure for a panel of 87 countries across 16 years and (3) explicitly addressing the endogeneity of ethnic tensions. We find ethnic tensions significantly retard the formation of social infrastructure and, by extension, impose an unnecessary cap on growth and development. As such, governments would well-serve the interests of their populaces by enacting policies, conducting politics and carrying out their daily functions in ways that serve to dampen ethnic tensions, rather than the reverse, which too often seems the case. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1045-1057 Issue: 9 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600152 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600152 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:9:p:1045-1057 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Vera Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Vera Title: How robust is the Fed reaction function to changes in the output-gap specification? Abstract: Using alternative measures of the output gap, we estimate a forward-looking monetary policy reaction function, similar to those estimated by Clarida et al. (1998, 2000), for Greenspan's period as a chairman of the Board of Governors of the US Federal Reserve System. We are able to show that the reaction function that considers an output gap based on the industrial production index instead of the unemployment rate better captures the behaviour of the Federal Reserve during Greenspan's period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1059-1065 Issue: 9 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600236 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600236 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:9:p:1059-1065 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oliver Musshoff Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Musshoff Author-Name: Martin Odening Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Odening Author-Name: Wei Xu Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Management of climate risks in agriculture-will weather derivatives permeate? Abstract: It is a matter of common knowledge that weather represents the major source of uncertainty in crop production. It is to be expected that weather fluctuations will increase in the future due to climate change. Traditionally, farmers tried to protect themselves against weather-related yield variations by buying insurances. More recently, there has been a discussion regarding the use of weather derivatives to safeguard against volumetric risks. Although weather derivatives display advantages over traditional insurances, there is only a relatively small market for these products in agriculture. This is partly attributed to the fact that it is unclear whether and to what extent weather derivatives are a useful instrument of risk management in agriculture. This study applies real yield and weather data from Northeast Germany in order to quantify the risk-reducing effect that can be achieved in wheat production by using precipitation options. To do so stochastic simulation is used. The hedging effectiveness is controlled by the contract design (index, strike level, tick size). However, the local basis risk and the geographical basis risk remain with the farmer. We separate both causes of basis risk and reveal the extent of each. This enables conclusions regarding the design of weather derivatives; thus the question dealt with here is relevant both for farmers and for potential sellers of weather derivatives. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1067-1077 Issue: 9 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600210 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600210 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:9:p:1067-1077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Crespo Cuaresma Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Crespo Cuaresma Author-Name: Gerhard Reitschuler Author-X-Name-First: Gerhard Author-X-Name-Last: Reitschuler Author-Name: Maria Antoinette Silgoner Author-X-Name-First: Maria Antoinette Author-X-Name-Last: Silgoner Title: On the effectiveness and limits of fiscal stabilizers Abstract: The smoothing impact of fiscal stabilizers (proxied by government expenditures) on business cycle volatility is studied for a panel of European Union (EU) countries in the period 1970-1999. Special emphasis is put on the investigation of possible nonlinearities in the relationship between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth volatility and fiscal stabilizers. The results show that the business cycle volatility smoothing effect of fiscal stabilizers may revert at high levels. The results hold when using government revenues as a proxy for fiscal stabilizers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1079-1086 Issue: 9 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600251 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600251 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:9:p:1079-1086 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberta Colavecchio Author-X-Name-First: Roberta Author-X-Name-Last: Colavecchio Author-Name: Declan Curran Author-X-Name-First: Declan Author-X-Name-Last: Curran Author-Name: Michael Funke Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Funke Title: Drifting together or falling apart? The empirics of regional economic growth in post-unification Germany Abstract: The objective of this article is to address the question of convergence across German districts in the first decade after German unification by drawing out and emphasizing some stylized facts of regional per capita income dynamics. We achieve this by employing nonparametric techniques which focus on the evolution of the entire cross-sectional income distribution. In particular, we follow a distributional approach to convergence based on kernel density estimation and implement a number of tests to establish the statistical significance of our findings. This article finds that the relative income distribution appears to be stratifying into a trimodal/bimodal distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1087-1098 Issue: 9 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600178 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600178 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:9:p:1087-1098 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wook Sohn Author-X-Name-First: Wook Author-X-Name-Last: Sohn Author-Name: Hyosoon Choi Author-X-Name-First: Hyosoon Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Banks' lending decisions after loan acquisitions: do banks favour pre-existing relationships? Abstract: This article examines the lending decisions of Korean banks after they acquire loan portfolios from failed banks. We find that a firm's pre-existing relationships positively affect the continuation of those relationships, and that pre-existing relationships negatively impact increases in loan size, once those relationships are maintained. These results suggest that banks have a conflict of interest that comes with pre-existing lending relationships, and that bank quality does not necessarily convey the risk classes of its client firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1099-1112 Issue: 9 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600202 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600202 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:9:p:1099-1112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wen-Yi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chunhuei Chi Author-X-Name-First: Chunhuei Author-X-Name-Last: Chi Author-Name: Yu-Hui Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: The willingness to pay for the health care under Taiwan's national health insurance system Abstract: In this study, we utilized the nested multinomial logit model to estimate the Willingness To Pay (WTP) values for different National Health Insurance (NHI) coverage plans in Taiwan. The WTP value for having care from clinics in a Hospital Care Only (HCO) plan is NT$178 (US$6) per person/month. The WTP value for having care from hospitals in a Clinic Care Only (CCO) plan is NT$1342 (US$43) per person/month. The WTP value for the NHI with a Universal Coverage (UC) is NT$1540 (US$49) per person/month. The figure NT$1540 (US$49) is equivalent to 8.77% of monthly household income, much higher than the new premium rate of the new NHI tax (2.5-4% of monthly household income) proposed by the Taiwan's government. Our result suggests that Taiwan's government may increase the new premium rate further in order to make Taiwan's NHI financially more sustainable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1113-1123 Issue: 9 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600228 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600228 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:9:p:1113-1123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jani Beko Author-X-Name-First: Jani Author-X-Name-Last: Beko Author-Name: Timotej Jagric Author-X-Name-First: Timotej Author-X-Name-Last: Jagric Title: Demand models for direct mail and periodicals delivery services: results for a transition economy Abstract: This article examines the demand for services of the Slovenian national postal operator for the direct mail and periodicals market and separately for the direct mail market. The main factors of the demand are found to be various price indicators with respect to individual market, two income series and the variable of economic environment. The results of our empirical analysis suggest that the price elasticity of demand on both markets is below zero. The autonomy in price increases is limited due to positive cross-price elasticity of demand for direct mail with regard to price fluctuations for TV commercials. Substitution effects on the direct mail market are even more evident with regard to price fluctuations for advertisements in magazines and daily papers. An additional finding is that the demand on both markets varies seasonally in all models estimated by us. Finally, coefficients of income elasticity of demand for direct mail services show that the total number of mail deliveries on the direct mail market increases faster than the retail revenue in real terms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1125-1138 Issue: 9 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600244 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600244 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:9:p:1125-1138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Eisenhauer Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Eisenhauer Author-Name: Luigi Ventura Author-X-Name-First: Luigi Author-X-Name-Last: Ventura Title: Interval risk aversion Abstract: The conventional measures of absolute and relative risk aversion are appropriate for measuring preferences locally, but because they rely on differential calculus, they cannot accurately capture attitudes towards high-stakes risks involving potentially large changes in wealth. Eisenhauer (2006) has recently proposed an alternative approach which avoids the use of calculus. The present article extends that work in two ways. First, the Pratt-Arrow coefficient of absolute risk aversion is generalized into a measure of interval risk aversion, suitable for analysing preferences over risks of any magnitude, and a corresponding interval measure of relative risk aversion is constructed from preference and risk parameters, without explicit reference to initial wealth or income. Second, the new measures are applied to survey data from the Bank of Italy, to illustrate their empirical applicability to large-scale risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1139-1150 Issue: 9 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600285 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600285 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:9:p:1139-1150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Mak Arvin Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Mak Arvin Author-Name: Byron Lew Author-X-Name-First: Byron Author-X-Name-Last: Lew Title: Does democracy affect environmental quality in developing countries? Abstract: This article examines the impact of democracy on environmental conditions in a large sample of developing countries for the period 1976-2003. This relationship is explored empirically using three indicators of environmental quality: carbon dioxide emissions, water pollution and deforestation damage. We find evidence that democracy is conducive to environmental improvement but that this result depends on the measure of the environmental quality that is used. We also find remarkable differences in results across our different sub-samples. The conclusion therefore is that there is no uniform relationship between democracy and the state of the environment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1151-1160 Issue: 9 Volume: 43 Year: 2009 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600277 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600277 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2009:i:9:p:1151-1160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Boileau Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Boileau Author-Name: Marc-Andre Letendre Author-X-Name-First: Marc-Andre Author-X-Name-Last: Letendre Title: Inventories, sticky prices, and the persistence of output and inflation Abstract: Post-war business cycle fluctuations of output and inflation are remarkably persistent. Many recent sticky-price models, however, grossly underpredict this persistence. We assess whether adding inventories to a standard sticky-price model raises the persistence of output and inflation. For this addition, we consider a shopping-cost model. In the model, consumers find shopping activities costly, and the cost of shopping depends on the stock of goods available. In this context, producers manage inventories to smooth production and to affect the cost of shopping. We find that the shopping-cost model generates a persistence for output and inflation that matches the persistence observed in the post-1985 US data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1161-1174 Issue: 10 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600343 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600343 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:10:p:1161-1174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hilary Ingham Author-X-Name-First: Hilary Author-X-Name-Last: Ingham Author-Name: Mike Ingham Author-X-Name-First: Mike Author-X-Name-Last: Ingham Author-Name: Jan Herbst Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Herbst Title: Local unemployment in Poland: rural-urban contrasts Abstract: Unemployment continues to bedevil Poland, albeit with striking sub-national differences, which this article seeks to explain using random effects error component two-stage estimation for the country's NUTS 4 (nomenclature des unites territoriales statistiques) level powiats. Given the economy's peculiar configuration under communism, with its large private agricultural sector, emphasis is placed on rural-urban differences. While less densely populated areas do suffer higher unemployment rates, the effect is moderated by hidden unemployment in farming. On the other hand, powiats that housed the ex-state farms suffer a negative long-term legacy. Other notable results include an evident positive impact of foreign capital on local labour market fortunes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1175-1186 Issue: 10 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600293 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600293 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:10:p:1175-1186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Naoko Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Naoko Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: An empirical analysis of real exchange rate movements in the euro Abstract: This study uses a long-run Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) approach to identify the sources of real exchange rate fluctuations in the euro. The empirical results indicate that real shocks play a dominant role in explaining the real exchange rate fluctuations in the euro. This implies that the best approach for policymakers toward improving the competitiveness of the EU is to focus on improvements in the real economy, such as improvements in efficiency, technologies and productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1187-1191 Issue: 10 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600319 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600319 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:10:p:1187-1191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hajime Katayama Author-X-Name-First: Hajime Author-X-Name-Last: Katayama Author-Name: Hudan Nuch Author-X-Name-First: Hudan Author-X-Name-Last: Nuch Title: A game-level analysis of salary dispersion and team performance in the national basketball association Abstract: Using game-level panel data on the National Basketball Association (NBA), we examine the causal effect of within-team salary dispersion on team performance. We exploit three measures of salary dispersion and examine the effect at three levels: whether the outcome of the game is influenced by salary dispersion among (1) players participating in the current game (active players), (2) players who played more than half of their team's games in a season (regular and occasional players) and (3) the entire player population. Regardless of the measures used, we find that salary dispersion does not influence team performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1193-1207 Issue: 10 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600335 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:10:p:1193-1207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ursula Jaenichen Author-X-Name-First: Ursula Author-X-Name-Last: Jaenichen Author-Name: Gesine Stephan Author-X-Name-First: Gesine Author-X-Name-Last: Stephan Title: The effectiveness of targeted wage subsidies for hard-to-place workers Abstract: Targeted wage subsidies paid to employers are an important element of active labour market policies in Germany. This article uses propensity score matching to investigate their effect on the employment and unemployment rates of subsidized hard-to-place workers. In a first scenario, we estimate the average treatment effect of a subsidy on previously unemployed individuals. A second scenario analyses the effects of a subsidy on employment probabilities conditional on taking-up employment. The third scenario investigates the additional effect of a subsidy on individuals, who have participated in a short-term training measure beforehand. Summing up and in line with the literature, the results show that subsidies have a favourable effect on the employment prospects of participants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1209-1225 Issue: 10 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600426 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600426 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:10:p:1209-1225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christine Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Jang-Chul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jang-Chul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Robert Wood Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Wood Title: A comparison of volatility and bid-ask spread for NASDAQ and NYSE after decimalization Abstract: We compare volatility and transaction costs for National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ) and New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) firms after decimalization. Using the data of May 2001, our study includes several large samples are matched based on key determinants of volatility and transaction costs. Our findings suggest that volatility on NASDAQ is much higher than on NYSE even after the recent market reforms and decimalization. Transaction costs measured by quoted and effective spreads remain significantly higher on NASDAQ than on NYSE, and these differences cannot be attributed to the differences in the characteristics of the stocks traded in the two markets. In addition, the frequency of small (large) trades inside the quotes is significantly greater (lower) on NYSE than on NASDAQ. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1227-1239 Issue: 10 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600376 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600376 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:10:p:1227-1239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Ledesma-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Ledesma-Rodriguez Author-Name: Manuel Navarro-Ibanez Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Navarro-Ibanez Author-Name: Jorge Perez-Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Perez-Rodriguez Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Implicit bands in the yen/dollar exchange rate Abstract: This article attempts to identify implicit exchange rate regimes for the yen/dollar exchange rate. To that end, we apply a sequential procedure that considers both the dynamics of exchange rates and central bank interventions to data covering the period from 1971 to 2003. Our results suggest that implicit bands existed in two subperiods: April-December 1980 and March-October 1987, the latter coinciding with the Louvre Accord. Furthermore, the study of the credibility of such implicit bands indicates the high degree of confidence attributed by economic agents to the evolution of the yen/dollar exchange rate within the detected implicit band rate, thus lending further support to the relevance of such implicit bands. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1241-1255 Issue: 10 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600384 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600384 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:10:p:1241-1255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Henrickson Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Henrickson Title: Spatial competition and geographic grain transportation demand on the Mississippi and Illinois rivers Abstract: Using a model of spatial competition between grain elevators, I estimate a model of transportation demand for grain elevators located along the Mississippi and Illinois rivers. This analysis uses a unique set of interview data collected by the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA). Both the theory and the data suggest that there are geographic patterns in barge demand elasticity-patterns which are empirically uncovered using an endogenous switch point model. These results are of central importance to policy-makers as they call into question assumptions made by the models currently used for measuring the benefits of inland waterway improvements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1257-1269 Issue: 10 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600392 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600392 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:10:p:1257-1269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shishir Saxena Author-X-Name-First: Shishir Author-X-Name-Last: Saxena Title: Technology and spillovers: evidence from Indian manufacturing microdata Abstract: This article finds that technology stocks and spillovers have significantly affected the output of Indian manufacturing firms over the period 1994 to 2006. The technology of a firm is measured, as embodied in its recent stock of plant and machinery, as well as generated through its own R&D. Moreover, investments in both these types of capital by a firm, also generate significant knowledge spillovers, for all other firms in that industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1271-1287 Issue: 10 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600301 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600301 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:10:p:1271-1287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunday Iyare Author-X-Name-First: Sunday Author-X-Name-Last: Iyare Author-Name: Winston Moore Author-X-Name-First: Winston Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Title: Financial sector development and growth in small open economies Abstract: This article investigates the Granger causal relationship between financial development and economic growth for four small open economies over the period 1960 to 2003. Both long- and short-run Granger causality tests are used to assess the finance-growth nexus. The results suggest that there is a positive association between financial development and growth in all countries. However, the long-run causality tests show that growth tends to lead financial development in Singapore and Jamaica, financial development leads growth in Trinidad and Tobago and there is a bidirectional link in Barbados. These results therefore suggest that cross-country studies could overstate the impact of financial development on growth, since they ignore differences - even in relatively homogenous groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1289-1297 Issue: 10 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600350 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600350 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:10:p:1289-1297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Veronique Genre Author-X-Name-First: Veronique Author-X-Name-Last: Genre Author-Name: Karsten Kohn Author-X-Name-First: Karsten Author-X-Name-Last: Kohn Author-Name: Daphne Momferatou Author-X-Name-First: Daphne Author-X-Name-Last: Momferatou Title: Understanding inter-industry wage structures in the euro area Abstract: This article focuses on the euro area wage structure and its potential determinants from a sectoral viewpoint. Merging information from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Structural Analysis database with data from the EU Labour Force Survey, we construct a cross-country panel of 22 industries in eight euro area countries for 1991-2002. Data inspection confirms the existence of a fairly stable inter-industry wage structure that is similar across countries. We then apply panel data techniques to identify factors explaining inter-industry wage differentials in the euro area. Both workforce characteristics (e.g. human capital variables) and firm-related characteristics (e.g. capital intensity, productivity) contribute significantly. However, considerable wage heterogeneity across sectors remains. Idiosyncratic sector and country specifics, reflecting different socio-cultural and institutional backgrounds, appear to bear a major role. While our empirical analysis only uses direct evidence from workforce and firm-related characteristics, we also relate the remaining heterogeneity to institutional characteristics, based on related literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1299-1313 Issue: 11 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.537637 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.537637 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:11:p:1299-1313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evangelos Falaris Author-X-Name-First: Evangelos Author-X-Name-Last: Falaris Title: Misclassification of the dependent variable in binary choice models: evidence from five Latin American countries Abstract: Misclassification of the dependent variable in binary choice models can result in inconsistency of the parameter estimates. I estimate probit models that treat misclassification probabilities as estimable parameters for three labour market outcomes: formal sector employment, pension contribution and job change. I use Living Standards Measurement Study (LSMS) data from Nicaragua, Peru, Brazil, Guatemala and Panama. I find that there is a significant misclassification in 11 of the 16 cases that I investigate. If misclassification is present but is ignored, estimates of the probit parameters and their SEs are biased toward zero. In most cases, predicted probabilities of the outcomes are significantly affected by misclassification of the dependent variable. Even a moderate degree of misclassification can have substantial effects on the estimated parameters and on many of the predictions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1315-1327 Issue: 11 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600483 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:11:p:1315-1327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Glynn Tonsor Author-X-Name-First: Glynn Author-X-Name-Last: Tonsor Author-Name: Ted Schroeder Author-X-Name-First: Ted Author-X-Name-Last: Schroeder Title: Multivariate forecasting of a commodity portfolio: application to cattle feeding margins and risk Abstract: Traditionally, economists have utilized univariate approaches to forecast prices, even for firms operating in multicommodity environments. This research improves the way in which managerial decision making is analysed by developing a model better representing the price risks and opportunities faced by firms that produce using a portfolio of commodities. Using the situation of cattle feedlot investors and managers as an example, this is accomplished by recognizing the multivariate (live cattle, feeder cattle and corn prices) situation that feedlots operate in and employing corresponding multivariate simulation techniques. Evaluation suggests that properly modelling the cattle feeding margin as a multivariate set of prices significantly improves the accuracy of forecasting future feeding margin values realized in the cash market. The model also suggests incorporating both implied and historical time-varying volatility information when forecasting margin variability. Implications for other multicommodity situations and future research are also provided. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1329-1339 Issue: 11 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600517 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600517 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:11:p:1329-1339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Randall Kesselring Author-X-Name-First: Randall Author-X-Name-Last: Kesselring Author-Name: Dale Bremmer Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Bremmer Title: Setting the target for the federal funds rate: the determinants of Fed behaviour Abstract: This article analyses the factors the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) considers in setting the target for the federal funds rate. The sample consists of 262 FOMC meetings between 1983 and 2005. Statistical results indicate that the Fed's target is inversely related to the unemployment rate and directly related to several measures of expected inflation. Technical factors such as the number of days since the last target change, the size and direction of the previous target change and the gap between the actual federal funds rate and its targeted value were also statistically significant explanatory variables. Estimations were performed using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), censored regression and two types of ordered probit; but the results proved to be robust regardless of the statistical technique used. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1341-1349 Issue: 11 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600459 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600459 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:11:p:1341-1349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. Bettendorf Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Bettendorf Author-Name: E. Dijkgraaf Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Dijkgraaf Title: The bicausal relation between religion and income Abstract: In this article the relation between religion and income is investigated using a micro-dataset for the Netherlands. Religion is measured by religious membership and by participation. Instead of estimating a religion equation and an income equation separately, joint regression is preferred since this generally yields more efficient estimates. Following the single-equation approach, both religious measures are found to decrease income significantly and income is found to affect religion negatively. However, these cross-effects become insignificant once the equations are estimated simultaneously. In contrast, the effects of socio-economic characteristics on religion and income hardly differ between the approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1351-1363 Issue: 11 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600442 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600442 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:11:p:1351-1363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Author-Name: Jan-Christoph Rulke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Rulke Author-Name: Georg Stadtmann Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Stadtmann Title: Do professional economists' forecasts reflect Okun's law? Some evidence for the G7 countries Abstract: Using survey data for the G7 countries, we report that professional economists' forecasts of changes in the unemployment rate and the growth rate of real output are consistent with Okun's law. Professional economists do not believe in potential asymmetries in Okun's law over the business cycle. They believe in the classic linear version of Okun's law. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1365-1373 Issue: 11 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600400 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600400 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:11:p:1365-1373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ying Xie Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: David Giles Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giles Title: A survival analysis of the approval of US patent applications Abstract: We model the length of time that it takes for a patent application to be granted by the US Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO), conditional on the patent actually being awarded eventually. Survival analysis is applied and both the nonparametric Kaplan-Meier and parametric accelerated failure time models are used to analyse the data. We find that the number of claims a patent makes, the number of citations a patent makes, the patent's technological category, and the type of applicant all have significant effects on the duration that a patent is under consideration. A log-normal survival model is the preferred parametric specification, and the results suggest that the hazard function is nonmonotonic over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1375-1384 Issue: 11 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600418 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600418 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:11:p:1375-1384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eiji Yamamura Author-X-Name-First: Eiji Author-X-Name-Last: Yamamura Title: Effects of social norms and fractionalization on voting behaviour in Japan Abstract: This article uses prefecture-level panel data from Japan, spanning the period 1989-2003, to examine the influence of social norms and fractionalization on voting behaviour. The key findings obtained from analysis via the fixed effects estimation, which controls for unobserved prefecture-specific fixed effects, are as follows: (1) the voter turnout is higher in close-knit communities, indicating that social norms enhance voting; (2) fractionalization, from both economic and generational standpoints, lowers the voter turnout and (3) a lack of social capital can lead to the distribution of votes being spread thinly among the competing parties. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1385-1398 Issue: 11 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600434 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600434 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:11:p:1385-1398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Hsuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Hsuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Kehluh Wang Author-X-Name-First: Kehluh Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Anthony Tu Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Tu Title: Default correlation at the sovereign level: evidence from some Latin American markets Abstract: Using the eruption of Argentina debt crisis in 2001 as a natural experiment, we investigated the correlated default at the sovereign level for some Latin American countries. Daily closing market quotes for sovereign Credit Default Swaps (CDS) of Argentina, Brazil, Mexico and Venezuela were obtained from CreditTrade database. Using copula approach, we observed increased dependences among sovereign CDS markets during the crisis period. Their dependence structures were found to be asymmetric. Moreover, the degree of credit contagion was related to the creditworthiness of the country. This study also discussed the implications of these findings for policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1399-1411 Issue: 11 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600467 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600467 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:11:p:1399-1411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brent Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: An implicit price of a DALY for use in a cost-benefit analysis of ARVs Abstract: This article uses the revealed preference approach to estimate the price for a Disability Adjusted Life Year (DALY) implied by grant decisions by the Global Fund for AIDS, tuberculosis (TB) and malaria (GFATM). A cost-benefit criterion is used that requires the DALY price exceed the cost-effectiveness ratio. The estimated price was $6300 for a DALY saved from any disease, but it was $11 900 from a DALY saved specifically from HIV/AIDS. Estimates of the cost-effectiveness ratios of Antiretroviral Drug Therapies (ARVs) in the literature were examined. At the DALY prices implicit by GFATM decisions, ARVs would be socially worthwhile. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1413-1421 Issue: 11 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600475 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600475 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:11:p:1413-1421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoonkyung Yuh Author-X-Name-First: Yoonkyung Author-X-Name-Last: Yuh Author-Name: Jaehwan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jaehwan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Optimal annuity planning and longevity risk: evidence from Korea Abstract: This study examines annuity planning using an optimization framework. An optimization problem is formulated with the objective of maximizing the lifetime utility of consumption and bequestable wealth, and benchmark cases for Korean households are applied. We extend the optimization model suggested in Gupta and Li (2007) by incorporating realistic constraints, such as installment premium contracts, deferred annuity payments and the possibility of borrowing. Further, we have considered a variety of longevity cases. The results confirmed that an annuity is an effective tool for managing longevity risk, and annuitization timing is crucial for the maximization of lifetime utility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1423-1433 Issue: 11 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003670762 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003670762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:11:p:1423-1433 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pimbucha Rusmevichientong Author-X-Name-First: Pimbucha Author-X-Name-Last: Rusmevichientong Author-Name: Harry Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: Are there halo effects of US grain export promotion? Abstract: The objective of the research reported in this article is to examine both the own and cross effects of US export promotion for US and non-US grains. We focus on two previously neglected dimensions of the cross effects. First, we examine whether a halo effect (i.e. promotion for one US commodity positively effects demand for another US commodity) for US commodities exists. Second, we look at whether US grain export promotion has public goods characteristics, that is does US grain promotion have a halo effect on grain demand for other countries? We use a Linear Approximation of an Almost Ideal Demand System (LA/AIDS) model for US and non-US rice, wheat and sorghum that include US export promotion as one of the explanatory variables. Our goal is to provide further empirical evidence for the halo effect issue by using US grains as a case study since this sector has not been previously explored. In addition to estimating own and cross export promotion elasticities, the magnitude of cross effects on US market share for grain commodities are simulated for several policy scenarios involving alternative export promotion levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1435-1446 Issue: 12 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600525 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:12:p:1435-1446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Agnolucci Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Agnolucci Author-Name: Andrew Venn Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Venn Title: Industrial energy intensities in the UK: is there a deterministic or stochastic difference among sectors? Abstract: Energy intensities of industrial subsectors differ widely due to differences in the final product and ultimately in the production process. The aim of this article is to assess whether these differences are stochastic or deterministic. The analysis is implemented for a number of British industrial subsectors over the 1970-2004 and 1978-2004 time periods. It turns out that the results of the tests are very influenced by whether one allows for the presence of structural breaks. Only when modelling structural breaks, one can conclude that the evidence in favour of the long-term differences being deterministic outbalances the evidence pointing to their nature being stochastic. This supports the adoption of policy instruments which are applied across productive sectors in a way which is not affected by the short-run evolution of the sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1447-1462 Issue: 12 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600541 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600541 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:12:p:1447-1462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Hauner Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hauner Author-Name: Manmohan Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Manmohan Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Interest rates and budget deficits revisited-evidence from the G7 countries Abstract: This article revisits whether budget deficits affect interest rates, and broadens the literature by examining whether financial globalization has changed this relationship. A structural model of interest determination is extended to account for the fact that official capital flows are determined differently than private flows and is estimated for a 1960-2005 G7 panel. We find that deficits have a significant but small effect on long-term rates, but that this result depends on the fiscal concept used. Moreover, we find no evidence of structural change in interest rate determination in the recent decades, with the exception of an increased impact of insurance-related capital inflows in recent years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1463-1475 Issue: 12 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600574 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600574 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:12:p:1463-1475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoyong Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: David Zimmer Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmer Title: Modelling bivariate count distributions with finite mixture models: application to health care demand of married couples Abstract: Count measures of health care utilization are often correlated with other measures of utilization. In addition, utilization measures display a high proportion of zero observations. This article attempts to accommodate both data features in one model, with an application to medical care usage of husbands and wives. A bivariate count representation is used to model dependence between husbands' and wives' utilizations, and a finite mixture specification accommodates the problem of excess zeros. Results show that married couples are characterized by two distinct subpopulations according to the intensity of utilization of the wife. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1477-1483 Issue: 12 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600509 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600509 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:12:p:1477-1483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Jarrett Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Jarrett Author-Name: Zhenzhen Sun Author-X-Name-First: Zhenzhen Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Evidence and explanations for the association among six Asian (Pacific-Basin) financial markets Abstract: We explore, explain and extend previous research on the relations between large and small stock returns in six Asian (Pacific-Basin) nations and the association among the same six Asian financial markets. Our purpose is to provide evidence of the cross-autocorrelation of stock returns in a more recent time period than analysed before by others. Evidence is brought to bear as to the theoretical explanations for stock market behaviour of Pacific-Basin nations including those with large financial markets, i.e. Japan and Hong Kong, and those with small financial markets, i.e. Thailand and Malaysia. No other study collects and analyses stock market behaviour in these nations for the recent time period. In addition, we study results from a sample of time periods and compare them. We indicate the validity of the conclusion made on studies of earlier time periods which conflict with various explanations of stock market behaviours. Relations between large and small size firms' stock returns as well as the influence of lagged returns provide the subject matter of this study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1485-1496 Issue: 12 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600533 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600533 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:12:p:1485-1496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Philippe Gervais Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Philippe Author-X-Name-Last: Gervais Title: Disentangling nonlinearities in the long- and short-run price relationships: an application to the US hog/pork supply chain Abstract: Increased concentration at the retail, food processing and farm input manufacturing levels has brought increased attention to patterns in retail-to-farm price spreads. Most studies documenting asymmetric price transmission focus on nonlinear error correction processes, as opposed to the current study which analyses potential nonlinearities in the long-run relationship between the farm and retail prices. The null hypothesis of nonlinearity in the long-run relationship between farm and retail prices in the US hog/pork supply chain is rejected in favour of a Smooth Transition Cointegration (STC) framework. The STC framework predicts downward price stickiness in retail prices. The predicted residuals of the nonlinear model are used to investigate whether it is possible to disentangle nonlinearity in the long-run price relationship from nonlinearity in the adjustment towards the long-run equilibrium. The results underline the importance of testing for linearity in the long-run price relationship before modelling nonlinearity in short-run dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1497-1510 Issue: 12 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600558 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600558 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:12:p:1497-1510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giorgia Giovannetti Author-X-Name-First: Giorgia Author-X-Name-Last: Giovannetti Author-Name: Giorgio Ricchiuti Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Author-X-Name-Last: Ricchiuti Author-Name: Margherita Velucchi Author-X-Name-First: Margherita Author-X-Name-Last: Velucchi Title: Size, innovation and internationalization: a survival analysis of Italian firms Abstract: Firms' survival is often seen as crucial for economic growth and competitiveness. This article focuses on business demography of Italian firms, using an original database, obtained by matching and merging to gain the intersection of three firm level datasets. This database allows us to simultaneously consider the effect of size, technology, trade, FDIs and innovation on firms' survival probability. We show that size and technological level positively affect the likelihood of survival. Internationalized firms show higher failure risk: on average competition is stronger in international markets, forcing firms to be more efficient. However, large internationalized firms are more likely to 'survive'. An Italian internationalized firm to be successful and to survive, should be high-tech, large and innovative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1511-1520 Issue: 12 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600566 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600566 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:12:p:1511-1520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashok Kumar Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Krishna Paudel Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Title: Estimating permanent income and wealth of the US farm households Abstract: Farm households are unique in the way they derive income when compared to nonfarm households. Farm operators and spouses have dual income sources, from farm and off-farm activities. Further, farm households on an average possess higher wealth than nonfarm households. This article estimates permanent income for the US farm households using data from a large national farm level survey. The estimated income is then used to identify the determinants of wealth accumulation by the US farm households. Results confirm that permanent income is closely related to age of the operator, education, occupation, farm size, location and number of earners in the household. Along with age, permanent income is a significant determinant of household wealth. It was also found that the wealth-income curve is nonlinear, upward sloping, and convex. Hausman's specification test indicates that variations in farm household wealth is better explained by estimated permanent income than observed total household income. Off-farm income cannot be treated as residual or transitory income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1521-1533 Issue: 12 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600582 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600582 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:12:p:1521-1533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kent Messer Author-X-Name-First: Kent Author-X-Name-Last: Messer Author-Name: Harry Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Author-Name: Collin Payne Author-X-Name-First: Collin Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Author-Name: Brian Wansink Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Wansink Title: Can generic advertising alleviate consumer concerns over food scares? Abstract: Consumers consistently express concern about the risk of new variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease (nvCJD) from eating beef. Given several US cows infected with Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE) (mad cow disease) and recent findings that the path of transmission of nvCJD remains unknown, the potential for a devastating scare hangs over the beef industry. This experimental research evaluates the ability of industry advertising messages to offset the effects of media messages related to the lack of food safety. Using a nonstudent subject pool, this research finds that beef industry advertising significantly alleviates US consumer safety concerns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1535-1549 Issue: 12 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600616 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600616 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:12:p:1535-1549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shuching Chou Author-X-Name-First: Shuching Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Fengyi Lin Author-X-Name-First: Fengyi Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Bank's risk-taking and ownership structure - evidence for economics in transition stage Abstract: Conventional studies assume that inside management plays a major role in corporate governance and argue that foreign institutional investors may lack incentives to monitor invested firms due to their short-term profit orientation. By utilizing 650 observations of Taiwan banks, this study examines the effects of specific types of ownership on the risk-taking behaviours of banks under differential ownership structures. In light of the increasing foreign institution ownership during privatization, this article further constructs relative governance strength variables to observe how inside management and foreign institutions interact to affect these banks' risk-taking. The results show that banks with higher inside management ownership and higher government ownership have higher overdue loan and lower capital adequacy ratios. Banks with higher foreign institution ownership and stronger relative governance strength are associated with lower overdue loans and higher regulatory capital. In general, the results are consistent regardless of the choice of ownership structure or relative governance strength of foreign institutions as independent variable. These findings contribute to add evidence for risk-taking behaviour manifested by banks in the emerging market, where feasible monitoring mechanisms still need to be explored. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1551-1564 Issue: 12 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903018791 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903018791 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:12:p:1551-1564 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: The applied economics of trade: introduction and overview Abstract: We provide an introduction and overview to the eleven applied economics studies making up this special themed issue on The applied economics of trade. The studies cover a wide range of topics, and employ a variety of applied techniques across a range of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1565-1566 Issue: 13 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587304 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2011.587304 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:13:p:1565-1566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristian Boboilă Author-X-Name-First: Cristian Author-X-Name-Last: Boboilă Author-Name: Cristea Boboilă Author-X-Name-First: Cristea Author-X-Name-Last: Boboilă Title: Functions that model foreign trade during the East-European transition from communism to capitalism Abstract: Analytical methods generally use a wide range of statistical mathematical functions, such as the linear function, the hyperbolic function, the higher-order parabolic function and the exponential function to better approximate economic trends. The testing of a wide range of functions is mandatory, in order to choose the ones that offer the possibility of predicting trends more accurately. In the current report, we introduce several functions and compare them on datasets concerning foreign trade of Romania over the 1996 to 2000 period. We conclude that some of the complexities of transitioning from a communist to a capitalist economy, as reflected in the foreign trade, are best captured by complex and logistic functions defined below. Furthermore, we describe a seasonal variation in the volume of trade, which may be characteristic for all transition economies in East-European countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1567-1577 Issue: 13 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802584901 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802584901 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:13:p:1567-1577 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Scott Hegerty Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Hegerty Title: The J-curve and NAFTA: evidence from commodity trade between the US and Mexico Abstract: The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) was predicted to have a substantial impact on the US-Mexico trade, especially on specific importing and exporting industries. In this article, we use annual industry-level export and import data from 1962 to 2004 to discern both the short- and long-run effects of real exchange-rate depreciation on the Mexico-US trade balance, as well as the effects of NAFTA on this trade. We find that peso depreciation has a positive long-run effect on 24 of 102 Mexican industries and a negative short-run effect on 19 of 102 industries. Only a small fraction (7 of 102 industries) show any support for the J-curve hypothesis. NAFTA has had a significant effect on a significant number of the industries, however. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1579-1593 Issue: 13 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360328 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:13:p:1579-1593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Bennett Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Bennett Author-Name: Paul Robson Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Robson Title: Exploring the use of trade and professional association services Abstract: This article examines how the services offered by sector business associations are used and the impact that they offer. A large-scale survey of small- and medium-sized businesses is used to infer how association services operate. An important focus is to determine the level at which the fixed costs of association services are covered: this defines a minimum-size level for associations. This is found to be between one-half and one member of staff per thousand businesses in that sector. This is a fairly low barrier to market entry by an association, which helps to explain the fragmentation of associations. This is further indicated by the existence of declining internal economics of scale and scope for larger association sizes. This suggests that efforts to stimulate association merger and co-operation will continue to meet with limited success. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1595-1605 Issue: 13 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599990 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599990 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:13:p:1595-1605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Karemera Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Karemera Author-Name: Shunsuke Managi Author-X-Name-First: Shunsuke Author-X-Name-Last: Managi Author-Name: Lucy Reuben Author-X-Name-First: Lucy Author-X-Name-Last: Reuben Author-Name: Ora Spann Author-X-Name-First: Ora Author-X-Name-Last: Spann Title: The impacts of exchange rate volatility on vegetable trade flows Abstract: Trade flows of commodities are generally affected by the principles of comparative advantage in a free trade. However, trade flows might be enhanced or distorted not only by various government interventions, but also by exchange rate fluctuations among others. This study applies a commodity-specific gravity model to selected vegetable trade flows among Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries to determine the effects of exchange rate uncertainty on the trade flows. Using the data from 1996 to 2002, the results show that, while the exchange rate uncertainty significantly reduces trade in the majority of commodity flows, there is evidence that both short- and long-term volatility have positive effect on trade flows of specific commodities. This study also tests the regional preferential trade agreements such as the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) and the EU, and their different effects on commodities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1607-1616 Issue: 13 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600137 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:13:p:1607-1616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Debasri Mukherjee Author-X-Name-First: Debasri Author-X-Name-Last: Mukherjee Author-Name: Susan Pozo Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Pozo Title: Exchange-rate volatility and trade: a semiparametric approach Abstract: We use a gravity model to analyse the impact of exchange-rate volatility on the volume of bilateral international trade. Semiparametric regression methods are applied to the pooled data for over 200 countries. Our results indicate that volatility affects trade negatively although at very high level of volatility the effect diminishes and eventually becomes statistically indistinguishable from zero. Countries apparently find avenues to mitigate the detrimental impact of exchange rate uncertainty when volatility attains very high levels. These results help reconcile the contradictory findings often found in the literature on the impact of exchange-rate uncertainty on trade volume. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1617-1627 Issue: 13 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600327 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600327 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:13:p:1617-1627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francis Kumah Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: Kumah Title: Real exchange rate assessment in the GCC countries — a trade elasticities approach Abstract: This article adopts new panel econometric methods to assess real exchange rate alignment with economic fundamentals in the countries of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), using a theoretical approach popularized by Paul Krugman in the late 1980s. Results from panel econometric applications of the Krugman model yield low levels of real exchange rate undervaluation in the GCC countries, although indicating persistence of undervaluation - albeit statistically low - into the medium term. They also show that the recent real exchange rate undervaluation could be characterized as due to 'short-run frictions and adjustment costs' associated with continued depreciation of the US dollar to which GCC countries' currencies are pegged. Further, failure to find supporting evidence for the Marshall-Lerner condition underscores the propriety of using fiscal policy rather than exchange rate policy to address recent inflationary pressures and help resolve lingering global financial imbalances. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1629-1646 Issue: 13 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600640 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600640 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:13:p:1629-1646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Deloof Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Deloof Author-Name: Wouter Van Overfelt Author-X-Name-First: Wouter Author-X-Name-Last: Van Overfelt Title: Trade credit and bank relationships: evidence from pre-World War I Belgium Abstract: We investigate the determinants of trade credit granted by suppliers in a historical environment which was characterized by high-information asymmetries and strong banks, focusing on the role of bank-firm relationships. Our results, which are based on a unique sample of 535 firm-year observations for 125 listed Belgian firms in four dominant industries in the period 1905 to 1909, are generally consistent with the financing role of trade credit. They suggest that trade credit was a tool for channelling funds from firms with close bank ties to other firms, which is consistent with findings for contemporary developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1647-1655 Issue: 13 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903166269 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903166269 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:13:p:1647-1655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Francis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Francis Author-Name: Yuqing Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yuqing Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Trade liberalization, unemployment and adjustment: evidence from NAFTA using state level data Abstract: This article specifies a supply and demand model of the labour market to examine the effects of North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) on the US labour market. Regression results suggest that NAFTA decreased yearly unemployment growth by 4.4%. Equivalently, NAFTA brought a structural break to the US state level unemployment. The second finding is that the labour market began feeling the impact of NAFTA immediately after its implementation and the labour market has continued to feel its effects probably through 2001. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1657-1671 Issue: 13 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903194212 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903194212 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:13:p:1657-1671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Chalkley Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Chalkley Author-Name: Geoff Stewart Author-X-Name-First: Geoff Author-X-Name-Last: Stewart Title: International trade and the incentive for merger Abstract: This article examines the profitability of horizontal merger in an open economy with Cournot competition. We find that duopoly is a necessary, but not sufficient, condition for domestic merger to be profitable. A cross-border merger, however, can be profitable from any market structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1673-1677 Issue: 13 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903527171 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903527171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:13:p:1673-1677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Bilson Darku Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Bilson Author-X-Name-Last: Darku Title: The impact of trade liberalization and the fiscal equalization transfer policy on provincial income disparities in Canada: an application of GMM estimation Abstract: This article uses the Solow growth model and the panel data method to examine the effect of trade liberalization and the federal equalization transfers on income convergence among Canadian provinces between 1981 and 2006. Estimation problems of weak instruments and endogenous regressors are addressed by the use of a system Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) estimator. The results from the empirical analysis indicate that the current rate of convergence of Personal Income (PI) in Canada is 4.41% per year. This rate is considerably higher than the range of 1.80 and 2.41% per year that previous studies using least-square estimators have reported. The findings from the policy analysis show that the launching and expansion of the North America regional integration have de-accelerated the convergence speed for Canadian provinces by 3.99 and 3.15% per year, respectively. However, consistent with the results from previous studies, the fiscal transfers, which are part of the federal equalization programme, have accelerated the convergence speed for Canadian provinces. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1679-1689 Issue: 13 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491465 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491465 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:13:p:1679-1689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianluca Cafiso Author-X-Name-First: Gianluca Author-X-Name-Last: Cafiso Title: Rose effect versus border effect: the Euro's impact on trade Abstract: The purpose of this article is to test the common finding of a positive 'Rose Effect' (RE) in the case of the Euro through a comparison with an indicator of integration among the Euro Zone (EZ) countries: the 'Border Effect' (BE). This study of the Euro's impact using both the RE and the BE is a novelty in the literature. Our findings cast doubts about the supposed trade-costs reduction caused by the Euro, reduction which is the main explanation of the positive RE estimated in several works. Both indicators are estimated by means of a gravity model for bilateral trade flows using a panel of manufacture exports and production figures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1691-1702 Issue: 13 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003724437 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003724437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:13:p:1691-1702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Bessler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Author-Name: James Kolari Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Kolari Author-Name: Thein Maung Author-X-Name-First: Thein Author-X-Name-Last: Maung Title: Dynamic linkages among equity markets: local versus basket currencies Abstract: This article compares the stability of interrelationships among nine national equity markets by employing basket currencies versus individual base currencies to measure rates of return. We show that the average correlations of equity indexes based on basket currencies are much lower than the average correlations of equity indexes based on individual home base currencies. Additionally, empirical directed graph results from using basket currencies are more consistent with each other than the results from using different individual currencies. We conclude that basket currencies provide more robust results for studying equity market comovements than individual currencies. By implication, studies on equity market interrelationships, including studies on potential financial contagion between equity markets, should use basket currencies to avoid currency dependent results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1703-1719 Issue: 14 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802631843 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802631843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:14:p:1703-1719 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Title: Model selection for forecast combination Abstract: In this article it is advocated to select a model only if it significantly contributes to the accuracy of a combined forecast. Using hold-out-data forecasts of individual models and of the combined forecast, a useful test for equal forecast accuracy can be designed. An illustration for real-time forecasts for Gross Domestic Profit (GDP) in the Netherlands shows its ease of use. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1721-1727 Issue: 14 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902762753 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902762753 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:14:p:1721-1727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keith Coble Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Coble Author-Name: Zhijun Yang Author-X-Name-First: Zhijun Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: M. Darren Hudson Author-X-Name-First: M. Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Title: Using experimental economics to evaluate alternative subjective elicitation procedures Abstract: Managing uncertainty is an unavoidable challenge in a variety of decision contexts. If empirical data are available, statistics can be used to assist decision-making. If objective data are absent, experts are commonly used as a source of subjective probability estimates about the variable of interest. In our controlled economic experiment, a web-based software was developed and incentive-compatible rewards were applied to participants in order to induce rational decision-making. Participants assessed data drawn from known distributions and then responded to a subjective probability elicitation. The empirical results provide experimentally based guidance on elicitation and aggregation techniques that yield the most accurate subjective estimates of unknown probabilities. The results can be applied to a wide array of decision-making processes involving subjective probability analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1729-1736 Issue: 14 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600632 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:14:p:1729-1736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Beck Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Beck Author-Name: Michal Grajek Author-X-Name-First: Michal Author-X-Name-Last: Grajek Author-Name: Christian Wey Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Wey Title: Estimating level effects in diffusion of a new technology: barcode scanning at the checkout counter Abstract: Cross-country or cross-industry studies of technology diffusion typically estimate how independent factors affect diffusion speed or timing, often based on a two-stage approach. In many applications, however, countries (industries) differ most in the saturation level of diffusion. In a single-stage econometric approach to a standard diffusion model, we therefore estimate how the saturation level covaries with independent factors. In our application to diffusion of an important retail information technology, we focus on the competitive effect of hypermarkets (superstores). We also find standard scale, income and labour substitution effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1737-1748 Issue: 14 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600624 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600624 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:14:p:1737-1748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Niaz Asadullah Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Niaz Author-X-Name-Last: Asadullah Title: Intra- and inter-household externalities in children's schooling: evidence from rural residential neighbourhoods in Bangladesh Abstract: This article tests for neighbourhood effects on children's schooling, using unique data on rural residential neighbourhoods from Bangladesh. We find that school completion of children is positively and significantly affected by the mean grade completion of other children in the neighbourhood. We then present three pieces of evidence that suggest that the social effect offers a valid explanation. Firstly, the evidence we find of inter-household externalities is not driven out by control for a host of neighbourood and household attributes. Secondly, the result remains robust to neighbourhood composition effects: it is unchanged as we purge our main sample of the households within the neighbourhood that are potentially linked in terms of their recent history of partition. Thirdly, a similar peer effect is found for adults who completed schooling before the introduction of existing educational reforms in rural areas suggesting that the observed effect of growing up in educated neighbourhood does not merely capture the influence of common exposure to various government educational interventions. As a by-product, the article also provides evidence of intra-household externality in children's schooling, net of neighbourood externalities. We conclude by discussing the implication of these findings for education policy design. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1749-1767 Issue: 14 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600590 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600590 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:14:p:1749-1767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Falbo Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Falbo Author-Name: Cristian Pelizzari Author-X-Name-First: Cristian Author-X-Name-Last: Pelizzari Title: Stable classes of technical trading rules Abstract: Technical analysis includes a huge variety of trading rules. This fact has always been a serious hindrance to the large number of market efficiency studies implemented either to demonstrate the profitability of market-beating systems or to deny their operational feasibility. For evident reasons it is practically impossible and theoretically weak to systematically analyse the entire body of all trading rules. We therefore propose a novel method to form natural classes of trading rules which are found to be robust to changing market scenarios. In particular, groups are formed adopting a similarity measure based on the investing signals of the trading rules. Our clustering methodology adopts a Markov chain bootstrapping technique to generate differentiated scenarios preserving volume and price joint distributional features. An application is developed on a sample of 674 trading rules. Results show that six groups (here identified as trading styles) are sufficient to explain the large portion of the investing signals variance. We also suggest applications of our results to fund performance measurement and the analysis of financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1769-1785 Issue: 14 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/09603100802676239 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09603100802676239 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:14:p:1769-1785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. W. Fedderke Author-X-Name-First: J. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Fedderke Author-Name: B. G. Teubes Author-X-Name-First: B. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Teubes Title: Fiscal incentives for research and development Abstract: It is often argued that since the social return to R&D exceeds the private return, the government should provide incentives for R&D expenditure. This article considers the issue of the impact of such incentives on the fiscal position of the government, using a simple comparative static model. In particular, it is argued that it is possible that the social return from R&D might be sufficient to allow R&D incentives to more than pay for themselves. On the basis of the international evidence, the model is calibrated to examine what values of the key parameters are required in order for this conclusion to hold. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1787-1800 Issue: 14 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802631827 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802631827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:14:p:1787-1800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gulcay Tuna Author-X-Name-First: Gulcay Author-X-Name-Last: Tuna Title: The effectiveness of Central Bank intervention: evidence from Turkey Abstract: This article investigates the effectiveness of Central Bank intervention on the conditional variance and the mean of the exchange rate returns in Turkey during the float period. The daily exchange rates are studied within an Exponential General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (EGARCH) framework. Little evidence is found for the effectiveness of intervention operations. Empirical results suggest that foreign exchange (FX) selling auctions increase exchange rate volatility. However, a reverse causality relationship detected between one-day past sales of FX auctions and exchange rate returns which is supportive of leaning-against-the-wind behaviour of the Central Bank contradicts its announcements. Also the Central Bank of Turkey (CBT) tends to intervene through FX selling auctions when one-day past volatility is higher. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1801-1815 Issue: 14 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802676228 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802676228 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:14:p:1801-1815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alaa El-Shazly Author-X-Name-First: Alaa Author-X-Name-Last: El-Shazly Title: Designing an early warning system for currency crises: an empirical treatment Abstract: This article investigates the predictive power of qualitative response models that can serve as the basis for an early warning system for currency crises. It employs a signals framework that monitors the behaviour of key economic variables and issues a warning when their values exceed certain critical levels. The analysis is carried out for a parsimonious specification with high-frequency data. Taking Egypt as a case study, it is shown that this class of probability models captures to a good extent the turbulence in the foreign exchange market and the onset of crises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1817-1828 Issue: 14 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600657 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600657 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:14:p:1817-1828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yamin Ahmad Author-X-Name-First: Yamin Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad Author-Name: Stuart Glosser Author-X-Name-First: Stuart Author-X-Name-Last: Glosser Title: Searching for nonlinearities in real exchange rates Abstract: A recent innovation in modelling exchange rates has been the use of nonlinear techniques such as threshold autoregressive models and its smooth transition variants. This article investigates the Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) modelling strategy in an application to real exchange rates. The key findings are as follows. First, using the methodology advocated by Terasvirta (1994), we find evidence of nonlinear dynamics for several of the spot dollar real exchange rates using monthly data on five of the G7 countries. However, once estimated, we find that the STAR specification is appropriate for only one of the three exchange rate series indicated to be an Exponential Smooth Transition Autoregressive (ESTAR) process. Moreover, using simulations, we show that the underlying methodology used to detect nonlinearities in the data exhibit substantial size biases, which we attribute to influential observations. We find, upon investigating alternative nonlinear specifications, that the open-loop Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) process is a more appropriate specification than the ESTAR process for the dollar-sterling and dollar-lira real exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1829-1845 Issue: 15 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817797 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902817797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:15:p:1829-1845 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Matsumura Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Matsumura Author-Name: Ajax Moreira Author-X-Name-First: Ajax Author-X-Name-Last: Moreira Title: Assessing macro influence on Brazilian yield curve with affine models Abstract: Using affine term structure models with latent and observable factors, we study the interaction between macro variables and the Brazilian yield curve contained in a daily dataset. Two versions of the model are tested, one in continuous time and estimated using maximum likelihood with Chen-Scott inversion (1993), and the other in discrete time and estimated using Monte Carlo-Markov Chain (MCMC) with Kalman filter. The effect of the inclusion of macro factors and changes of specification on the goodness-of-fit and dynamics are analysed. We conclude that the interaction between the macro variables and the yield curve is an important element for understanding the dynamics. Also, the choice of specification alters the response of the identified shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1847-1863 Issue: 15 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902762746 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902762746 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:15:p:1847-1863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masashi Hasegawa Author-X-Name-First: Masashi Author-X-Name-Last: Hasegawa Author-Name: Yuichi Fukuta Author-X-Name-First: Yuichi Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuta Title: An empirical analysis of information in the yield spread on future recessions in Japan Abstract: This article examines whether the yield spread contains information on the likelihood of future economic recessions using a probit model by taking the stability of the relationship between the yield spread and future recessions into account. We also compare the accuracy of information in the yield spread with stock returns and money supply. We find the following results in this article. First, a structural change in the relationship between the yield spread and future recessions occur at the end of 1996. Second, whereas the Japanese yield spread contains more precise information on future recessions than stock returns and nominal money supply before the structural break, we cannot predict future recessions using the yield spread after the break. Third, the money supply does not forecast future recessions for the entire sample period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1865-1881 Issue: 15 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902780136 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902780136 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:15:p:1865-1881 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Kargbo Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Kargbo Title: Capital flows, real exchange rate misalignment and PPP tests in emerging market countries Abstract: The economic performance of emerging markets has significant impacts on economic growth and volatility of macroeconomic indicators in various countries. Emerging markets accounted for 20-43% of global exports during the period 1970-2005, and held 70% of global foreign reserves in recent years. More than 50% of the exports from the Euro area, Japan and the United States go to emerging markets and other developing countries. The globalization of capital flows is facilitated by technological innovations and excellent information networks, coupled with sharp increases in savings that are directed into financial instruments across borders. The use of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) as a benchmark in exchange rate policy reforms assumes the existence of a stable relationship between the exchange rate and the ratio of price levels in two countries. This article investigates whether or not long-run PPP holds in emerging markets. Johansen's cointegration technique is used with annual data in analysing the relationship between exchange rates and the CPI during the period 1951-2005. We found overwhelming support for long-run PPP in emerging markets, thus, PPP is a reliable guide for exchange rate determination and exchange rate policy reforms in these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1883-1897 Issue: 15 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902762761 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902762761 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:15:p:1883-1897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Derek Bond Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Bond Author-Name: Michael Harrison Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Harrison Author-Name: Edward O'Brien Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: O'Brien Title: Nonlinearity and structural breaks in Irish PPP relationships: an application of random field regression Abstract: Using nominal and real exchange rates for Ireland relative to Germany and the UK from 1975 to 2003, this article explores likely sources of nonlinearity in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) relationships and difficulties in employing an I(1)/I(0) econometric framework. Tests for fractional integration and nonlinearity, including random field regression-based procedures, are applied. Results reveal shortcomings in the standard cointegration and smooth transition autoregression approaches to modelling, and point to multiple structural changes models. Such a model for the case of Ireland and Germany suggests that PPP holds not only in the long-run but also in the medium to short term. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1899-1911 Issue: 15 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902780144 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902780144 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:15:p:1899-1911 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredrik Carlsen Author-X-Name-First: Fredrik Author-X-Name-Last: Carlsen Author-Name: Jostein Grytten Author-X-Name-First: Jostein Author-X-Name-Last: Grytten Author-Name: Irene Skau Author-X-Name-First: Irene Author-X-Name-Last: Skau Title: Physician response to fee changes: using inheritance as a quasi-natural experiment Abstract: We used data on inheritance received by Norwegian primary care physicians and their spouses to study how wealth affects the amount of medical treatment provided by fee-for-service physicians. The effect of wealth on the number of consultations, and the amount of treatment provided during consultations, was small. Our results suggest that the income effect of fee changes on service provision of fee-for-service physicians is moderate, implying that fee regulation is an effective means of controlling spending on primary care physician services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1913-1922 Issue: 15 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902837092 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902837092 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:15:p:1913-1922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheng-Feng Lee Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Ching-Chuan Tsong Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Tsong Title: Covariate selection for testing purchasing power parity Abstract: This article employs Hansen's (1995) Covariate Augmented Dickey-Fuller (CADF) test to reexamine the issue of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) using post-Bretton Woods exchange rate data for 20 industrialized countries. Instead of just using a single covariate as in the literature, we implement the test by using Bai and Ng's (2002) method to choose suitable stationary covariates. Our empirical results show that the real exchange rates generally display long-run mean reversion and support PPP, as contrasted with those obtained in Amara and Papell (2006) that less rejections of unit root hypothesis are made with the same test. The panel unit root test suggested by Chang (2004) is also performed to justify our results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1923-1933 Issue: 15 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902837100 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902837100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:15:p:1923-1933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yen-Hsien Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chien-Liang Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Title: Arbitrage behaviour in the exchange rates of Taiwan and Japan: applying the smooth transition vector error correction model with GJR-GARCH and spillover volatility Abstract: This study utilizes a Smooth Transition Vector Error Correction Model (STVECM) with Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GJR-GARCH) and spillover volatility to investigate the changes in short-run return dynamics when a deviation from the comovement equilibrium between the prices of New Taiwan Dollar (NTD) and Japan Yen (JPY) exists. Empirical results demonstrated that both exchange rates have a nonlinear relationship with the comovement equilibrium, which was captured by the Logistic Smooth Transition Vector Error Correction Model with GJR-GARCH and Spillover Volatility (LSTVECM-GJR-GARCH-SV). Both exchange rates will quickly reverse to equilibrium when there are large deviations between the two exchange rates, implying that information traders obtain profit in two markets, and then both exchange rates continue to deviate from equilibrium when small deviations exist from comovement, owing to noise trader to expand mispricing. Moreover, small and large deviations may have obvious differences and adjustment speeds when reverting to equilibrium for large negative and large positive deviations. Thus, this study applied LSTVECM-GJR-GARCH-SV to elucidate arbitrage behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1935-1943 Issue: 15 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902902235 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902902235 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:15:p:1935-1943 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Cheung Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: Keith Lam Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Lam Author-Name: HangFai Yeung Author-X-Name-First: HangFai Author-X-Name-Last: Yeung Title: Intertemporal profitability and the stability of technical analysis: evidences from the Hong Kong stock exchange Abstract: This study investigates the impact of market integration on the profitability of two simple and popular technical trading rules, the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the Trading Range Break (TRB) in Hong Kong. Using data from 1972 to 2006, we find that the SMA (1, 50) consistently outperforms the market before the integration of stock exchanges in 1986. Under the (1, 50) rule, a variable length moving average performs better than the fixed length moving average rule by 2.5 to 5% (annual) before transaction costs because it includes the information of the first 9 days into investors' decision. The results are robust to the out of sample tests for the validity of the profitability of the trading rules. The returns of the trading range break rules are insignificant over the 35-year span. Our results support the conjecture that stock market integration may lead to better information efficiency. The findings of significant pre-1986 profits and insignificant post-1986 profits, contradict previous findings that returns are predictable in Hong Kong, suggesting that the Hong Kong stock market may be weak-form efficient after 1986. Overall, our results suggest that technical analysis matters for asset pricing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1945-1963 Issue: 15 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902817805 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902817805 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:15:p:1945-1963 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heng Chen Author-X-Name-First: Heng Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Dietrich Fausten Author-X-Name-First: Dietrich Author-X-Name-Last: Fausten Author-Name: Wing-Keung Wong Author-X-Name-First: Wing-Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Evolution of the Trans-Atlantic exchange rate before and after the birth of the Euro and policy implications Abstract: The establishment of the Euro could present a challenge to the hegemony of the US Dollar as the predominant international currency. The fact that the unipolar US Dollar dominated international monetary system can be unstable in the presence of large shocks presents an opportunity for the Euro to promote systemic stability. The present study pursues this conjecture by exploring with cointegration and Error Correction Method techniques, the interdependence between the dynamics of the Dollar/Euro exchange rate and economic fundamentals in the context of a monetary exchange rate model. Our results suggest that both short-run (price stickiness) and long-run (secular growth) fundamentals affect the exchange rate path. These findings support a relatively broad-based policy approach to promote the collective economic interest of the EU-zone. To the extent that such policies succeed in strengthening and stabilizing the Euro-zone economy, they are likely to buttress and possibly accelerate the internationalization of the Euro. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1965-1977 Issue: 16 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902845509 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902845509 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:16:p:1965-1977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Zubaidi Author-X-Name-Last: Baharumshah Author-Name: Chan Tze Haw Author-X-Name-First: Chan Tze Author-X-Name-Last: Haw Author-Name: A.Mansur M. Masih Author-X-Name-First: A.Mansur M. Author-X-Name-Last: Masih Author-Name: Evan Lau Author-X-Name-First: Evan Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Title: Financial integration of East Asian economies: evidence from real interest parity Abstract: In this article, we investigate the financial linkages between the East Asian economies with Japan and the United States. We test for long-run Real Interest-rate Parity (RIP) using an array of panel-data techniques, including recent techniques developed by Breuer et al. (2002) and Carrion-i-Silvestre et al. (2005). This study offers two important results: first, the failure to account for structural breaks in the industrialized countries and Asian emerging economies is likely to provide evidence of nonstationary series that are stationary. Second, we found strong evidence that the parity condition holds in all the Asian countries. The failure of earlier studies to confirm mean reversion of Real Interest-rate Differential (RID) may reflect the choice of estimation/testing procedure rather than any inherent deficiency in the RIP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1979-1990 Issue: 16 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902902243 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902902243 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:16:p:1979-1990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Garry MacDonald Author-X-Name-First: Garry Author-X-Name-Last: MacDonald Author-Name: Andy Mullineux Author-X-Name-First: Andy Author-X-Name-Last: Mullineux Author-Name: Rudra Sensarma Author-X-Name-First: Rudra Author-X-Name-Last: Sensarma Title: Asymmetric effects of interest rate changes: the role of the consumption-wealth channel Abstract: This article examines the role of the consumption-wealth channel in explaining asymmetric effects of monetary policy changes. Towards this end, we draw upon available literature on the consumption function and behavioural finance to construct a framework for asymmetric effects of monetary policy caused by the impact of wealth changes on aggregate consumption. We then employ data from the UK to examine the validity of the proposed framework. In the context of a liberalized economy with easy access to consumer credit, wealth reduction due to monetary tightening is expected to have weaker impact on spending than increase in wealth. Our results validate the above hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1991-2001 Issue: 16 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902950572 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902950572 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:16:p:1991-2001 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mingshu Hua Author-X-Name-First: Mingshu Author-X-Name-Last: Hua Author-Name: Chen-Yu Li Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The intraday bid-ask spread behaviour of the JPY/USD exchange rate in the EBS electronic brokerage system Abstract: Using a sophisticated tool of the Periodic-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (P-GARCH) model, this article investigates the market institutional effects of the determining role of trading activities and exchange rate volatility on the intraday behaviour of the 15-minute JPY/USD exchange rate bid-ask spreads in the Electronic Broking Service (EBS) of electronic brokerage market for the period from 1 January 2003 to 31 December 2005. We find that the exchange rate volatility both significantly and positively affects the bid-ask spreads, while the number of deals and quotation changes negatively affect the bid-ask spreads. These results are similar to those of past studies. We also find that a U-shaped pattern exists in the Tokyo trading hours and an inverted U-shaped pattern in the London trading hours, in addition to a round clock inverted U-shaped pattern of spread volatility. This inverted U-shaped pattern may be caused by unexpected news arrivals. The spread behaviour of the EBS global electronic broking market is not different from that of other electronic interdealer quotation markets and electronic broking markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2003-2013 Issue: 16 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902967576 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902967576 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:16:p:2003-2013 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alice Ouyang Author-X-Name-First: Alice Author-X-Name-Last: Ouyang Author-Name: Ramkishen Rajan Author-X-Name-First: Ramkishen Author-X-Name-Last: Rajan Title: Reserve accumulation and monetary sterilization in Singapore and Taiwan Abstract: Asian economies have embraced the globalization of production, trade and capital flows. One dimension of contemporary globalization has been the heavy exchange rate management by, and rapid and massive stockpiling of, foreign exchange reserves in Asia. This article undertakes an empirical investigation to assess the extent of de facto sterilization and capital mobility in Singapore and Taiwan using quarterly data between 1990 and 2008. Our empirical results suggest that, since, 2001 both Singapore and Taiwan have a high degree of - but not perfect - de facto capital mobility. To date, this high-effective capital mobility has not undermined the ability of the central bank in either economies to sterilize their respective foreign exchange intervention but may make the process increasingly difficult over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2015-2031 Issue: 16 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902984373 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902984373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:16:p:2015-2031 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariani Abdul-Majid Author-X-Name-First: Mariani Author-X-Name-Last: Abdul-Majid Author-Name: David Saal Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Saal Author-Name: Giuliana Battisti Author-X-Name-First: Giuliana Author-X-Name-Last: Battisti Title: The impact of Islamic banking on the cost efficiency and productivity change of Malaysian commercial banks Abstract: This study employs Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA) to analyse Malaysian commercial banks during 1996-2002, and particularly focuses on determining the impact of Islamic banking on performance. We derive both net and gross efficiency estimates, thereby demonstrating that differences in operating characteristics explain much of the difference in costs between Malaysian banks. We also decompose productivity change into efficiency, technical, and scale change using a generalized Malmquist productivity index. On average, Malaysian banks experience moderate scale economies and annual productivity change of 2.68%, with the latter driven primarily by Technical Change (TC), which has declined over time. Our gross efficiency estimates suggest that Islamic banking is associated with higher input requirements. However, our productivity estimates indicate that full-fledged Islamic banks have overcome some of these cost disadvantages with rapid TC, although this is not the case for conventional banks operating Islamic windows. Merged banks are found to have higher input usage and lower productivity change, suggesting that bank mergers have not contributed positively to bank performance. Finally, our results suggest that while the East Asian financial crisis had a short-term cost-reducing effect in 1998, the crisis triggered a long-lasting negative impact by increasing the volume of nonperforming loans. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2033-2054 Issue: 16 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902984381 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902984381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:16:p:2033-2054 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jie Li Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Alice Ouyang Author-X-Name-First: Alice Author-X-Name-Last: Ouyang Title: Currency crises: can high reserves offset vulnerable fundamentals? Abstract: First generation crisis models suggest that the size of international reserves affects only the timing of a crisis while second generation models imply that higher reserves can reduce the probability of a crisis. First in the literature, this article suggests the 'rolling probit model' to successfully demonstrate that high reserves can be effective in offsetting vulnerable fundamentals in a vulnerable zone. The more vulnerable fundamentals in the vulnerable zone require higher levels of international reserves to reduce the probability of a crisis. If the fundamentals are sufficiently bad, the level of needed reserves may be explosive, which makes a crisis unavoidable. Unlike the arbitrary proposals of reserve adequacy measures in current literature, this article also sheds light on such measures based on the relationship between vulnerable fundamentals and high reserves. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2055-2069 Issue: 16 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902984399 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902984399 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:16:p:2055-2069 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: Are shocks to tourism transitory at business cycle horizons? Abstract: The goal of this article is to propose a theoretical framework based on a macro model that can be used to examine the relative importance of permanent and transitory shocks in explaining variations in tourist expenditure and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at business cycle horizons. We estimate the model for Australia. Our findings reveal a common-trend and common-cycle relationship among tourist expenditure and GDP, and the variance decomposition analysis of shocks reveals that at business cycle horizons permanent shocks explain the bulk of the variations in output, while transitory shocks explain the bulk of the variations in tourist expenditure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2071-2077 Issue: 16 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903035951 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903035951 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:16:p:2071-2077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Myoung Shik Choi Author-X-Name-First: Myoung Shik Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Momentary exchange rate locked in a triangular mechanism of international currency Abstract: This study uses two-way quoted data on major and nonmajor currencies to test the exchange rate dynamics. Particular attention is paid to the arbitrage and the spread in triangular foreign exchange trades. There is only one possible triangle when a bilateral exchange rate equals its trilateral rate. Otherwise, any third currency would potentially create arbitrage opportunities. Empirical testing evidence supports that small but possibly exploitable profitable arbitrage has significantly occurred over the very short haul of uncertainty and turbulence. In other words, we are convinced that the bilateral exchange rate could be diverged from one common currency side of the trilateral basket rates until markets function efficiently. This helps in better explaining foreign exchange rate movements. In addition, we find that the currency correlating decreases slightly but the volatility increases over time, as we expected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2079-2087 Issue: 16 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903035969 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903035969 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:16:p:2079-2087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javed Younas Author-X-Name-First: Javed Author-X-Name-Last: Younas Author-Name: Debasish Chakraborty Author-X-Name-First: Debasish Author-X-Name-Last: Chakraborty Title: Globalization and the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle Abstract: Capital account liberalization and the integration of world financial markets should increase capital mobility across countries. This article uses the Feldstein-Horioka savings-investment methodology to examine the impact of economic globalization on the degree of capital mobility in 99 countries over the period 1970 to 2005. Our findings suggest that economic openness and financial market integration have led to increased capital mobility in developed as well as developing countries. However, their effect appears to be larger for the latter. This also implies that countries with more financial openness can run higher current account deficits due to better access to external capital markets. Our results also support the previous findings that foreign aid supplements domestic savings for investment in developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2089-2096 Issue: 16 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903035985 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903035985 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:16:p:2089-2096 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bram van Dijk Author-X-Name-First: Bram Author-X-Name-Last: van Dijk Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Author-Name: Richard Paap Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Paap Author-Name: Dick van Dijk Author-X-Name-First: Dick Author-X-Name-Last: van Dijk Title: Modelling regional house prices Abstract: We develop a panel model for regional house prices, for which both the cross-section and the time series dimension is large. The model allows for stochastic trends, cointegration, cross-equation correlations and, most importantly, latent-class clustering of regions. Class membership is fully data-driven and based on the average growth rates of house prices, and the relationship of house prices with economic growth. We apply the model to quarterly data for the Netherlands. The results suggest that there is convincing evidence for the existence of two distinct clusters of regions with pronounced differences in house price dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2097-2110 Issue: 17 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903085089 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903085089 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:17:p:2097-2110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Musolesi Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Musolesi Author-Name: Mario Nosvelli Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Nosvelli Title: Long-run water demand estimation: habits, adjustment dynamics and structural breaks Abstract: This article examines a water demand equation for Milan for the second half of the 20th century: 1950-2001. We focus mainly on the effects of price and habits, but also account for other factors in the demand for water such as climate, income and productive activity. Allowing for trend break stationarity or nonlinear trend stationarity, we find evidence against the unit root hypothesis for many time series. Based on this result, standard cointegration analysis would not be appropriate; therefore we adopt an alternative estimation and testing procedure. We focus, in particular, on the so-called bounds testing approach, which can be applied irrespective of the level of integration of the variables and which can be a useful modelling strategy given that dynamics are important when estimating a water demand equation. The main results are that long-run price elasticity is higher than short-run elasticity, and that consumption habits are relevant. We also find that both climate, sectoral and technological modifications affect water consumption, while income is not significant. Finally, the changes to pricing schemes in the mid-1970s provoked reactions of different magnitudes among households and firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2111-2127 Issue: 17 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903066642 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903066642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:17:p:2111-2127 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roy Brouwer Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Brouwer Title: A mixed approach to payment certainty calibration in discrete choice welfare estimation Abstract: This article provides further empirical evidence of payment uncertainty in dichotomous choice (DC) Contingent Valuation (CV) and proposes an alternative way of certainty calibration, moving away from conventional recoding of uncertain responses. In an international CV application, the main sources of payment uncertainty are identified related to imperfect knowledge and information about the public good involved, future supply levels, income constraints, price levels and the survey instrument. Together these sources of uncertainty are responsible for a third of the error variance in the estimated discrete choice model. Accounting for the heterogeneity induced by payment uncertainty in the welfare estimation procedure with the help of a mixed probit model yields a significantly lower welfare measure albeit at the expense of estimation precision. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2129-2142 Issue: 17 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903035977 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903035977 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:17:p:2129-2142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rainer Frey Author-X-Name-First: Rainer Author-X-Name-Last: Frey Author-Name: Katrin Hussinger Author-X-Name-First: Katrin Author-X-Name-Last: Hussinger Title: European market integration through technology-driven M&As Abstract: Merger and Acquisitions (M&As) have been an important tool for reorganizing the European market since the establishment of European Economic and Monetary Union. This article suggests that European integration helped and encouraged European firms to source technology across national borders in Europe, establishing European innovative firms. The figures confirm that, once barriers impeding the free movement of capital, goods and labour had fallen, European firms used M&As intensively to enter foreign European markets. Enhancing technology competencies is found to be one of the main motives for cross-border acquisitions in the 1990s but is not a factor in domestic acquisitions over the same period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2143-2153 Issue: 17 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903153796 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903153796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:17:p:2143-2153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lukasz Grzybowski Author-X-Name-First: Lukasz Author-X-Name-Last: Grzybowski Title: Screening competition in mobile telephony† Abstract: This article presents a simple method for screening competition in differentiated products oligopoly with a small number of competitors. In many situations, estimation of price elasticities of demand may be impossible due to difficulties in defining demand or missing data on sales. However, even without information on price elasticities, in certain situations it is possible to test for the static noncooperative Nash-Bertrand equilibrium, which in the case of rejection, may be important screening information for antitrust authorities. The static noncooperative Nash-Bertrand equilibrium may be rejected when demand is linear and in the estimation of best-response functions, the coefficients on the competitors' prices are statistically greater than 0.5. The application of this method is illustrated by the example of German mobile telephony using monthly data between January 1998 and December 2002. According to the estimation results, the observed prices in the segment of low-users cannot be the outcome of a static noncooperative Nash-Bertrand equilibrium. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2155-2163 Issue: 17 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903153788 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903153788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:17:p:2155-2163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Assaf Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Assaf Title: A fresh look at the productivity and efficiency changes of UK airlines Abstract: This article uses the bootstrapped Malmquist index methodology to measure and test the extent of efficiency and productivity changes in the UK airline sector. The aim of the bootstrap method is to overcome the statistical limitations of the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) method, generally used to measure the distance functions of the Malmquist index. In applying the method we use input/output data on a sample of major UK airlines for the period 2004-2007. Results showed that most airlines have witnessed significant decrease in their productivity, efficiency, scale and technology measures. Using a second stage Tobit regression, this article attributed the sources of productivity and efficiency changes to factors such as stage length, load factor and airline size. This article also discussed the negative impacts of oil price using illustrations from the UK and other international airlines. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2165-2175 Issue: 17 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903085071 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903085071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:17:p:2165-2175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Markus Leibrecht Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Leibrecht Author-Name: Johann Scharler Author-X-Name-First: Johann Author-X-Name-Last: Scharler Title: Borrowing constraints and international risk sharing: evidence from asymmetric error-correction Abstract: We analyse the adjustment process of consumption growth after disequilibrating output shocks in a sample of Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries. In particular, we test the hypothesis that consumption is smoothed to a lesser degree after negative shocks, whereas the impact of a positive shock is delayed for a longer period of time. Our analysis is based on an error-correction framework that allows for asymmetric adjustment. We find that the mean adjustment lag after a negative shock is significantly shorter than after a positive shock, especially since the beginning of the 1980s. This result is consistent with the interpretation that borrowing constraints limit the degree to which the impact of negative shocks on consumption can be smoothed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2177-2184 Issue: 17 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903103692 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903103692 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:17:p:2177-2184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ujo Goto Author-X-Name-First: Ujo Author-X-Name-Last: Goto Author-Name: Colin McKenzie Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: McKenzie Title: Deregulation and strategic complements: Japanese gasoline market Abstract: The purpose of this article is to provide an explanation for the success of deregulation implemented in the Japanese oil industry by investigating the economic norm in Japanese gasoline market, namely, how a firm expects its rivals to react when the firm changes its output decisions. Using the conjectural opponent's reaction, this article investigates whether the economic norm in Japanese gasoline market is strategic complements or strategic substitutes. It is found that the economic norm in the Japanese gasoline market over the period 1992 to 2003 is strategic complements, that is, 'Do it, since everyone else is doing it'. It is suggested that some of the fall in gasoline prices said to result from successful deregulation should really be attributed to the production expansion derived from this strategic complementarity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2185-2192 Issue: 17 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903103700 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903103700 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:17:p:2185-2192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ching-Chih Chang Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Tin-Chia Lai Author-X-Name-First: Tin-Chia Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: Nonlinear model for Panamax secondhand ship Abstract: Hitherto, scholarly analyses of secondhand ship prices in the international dry bulk market have focused on Capesize. This article adopts a nonlinear model based on the well-known Gaussian distribution theory, with a view to examine Panamax activity from January 1996 to December 2007. According to X-11 and Phase Average Trend (PAT) analysis, three whole cycles were discernible during the study period. Three nonlinear prediction models are developed, which are commensurate with these findings. Evidently, the empirical results match the inflated predictions of the models, with the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) falling below 20%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2193-2198 Issue: 17 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903120670 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903120670 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:17:p:2193-2198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Lin Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Shih-Chuan Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: David Sun Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Price informativeness and predictability: how liquidity can help Abstract: Information asymmetry and liquidity concentration has been widely discussed in literatures. This study shows how liquidity influences not only forecasting performances of term structure estimation, but also information transmission and price adjustment across markets. Our analysis helps understanding how extreme market movements affect one another. This study examines, and provides a rationale for incorporating, liquidity in estimating term structure. Forecasting performance can be greatly enhanced when conditioning on trading liquidity. It reduces information asymmetry in the sense of Easley and O'Hara (2004) and Burlacu et al. (2007). We adopt a time series forecasting model following Diebold and Li (2006) to compare behaviour of forecasted price errors. Our findings indicate that forecasted price errors in markets with less depth would influence those with more. Information asymmetry induces volatile trading first and then price adjustment is transmitted to another market due to insufficient market depth. Cross-market price adjustment could be as much as 21 bps on average. Compared with previous studies, our results establish a valid reason to condition on liquidity when forecasting prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2199-2217 Issue: 17 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903153812 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903153812 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:17:p:2199-2217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carl Gwin Author-X-Name-First: Carl Author-X-Name-Last: Gwin Author-Name: David VanHoose Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: VanHoose Title: Search costs, sticky prices and markups Abstract: This article investigates how search costs, price stickiness and product durability influence the impact of inflation on firm markups. We provide evidence that each of these three factors plays an independent role in influencing the responsiveness of markups to inflation. Although we find that the direct effect of inflation on markups is negative, offsetting positive influences of inflation on markups arise in industries that produce durable experience goods with flexible prices. Thus, our results indicate that markups of industries producing nondurable search goods with sticky prices tend to experience unambiguously negative impacts from inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2219-2228 Issue: 17 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903153820 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903153820 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:17:p:2219-2228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sara Allin Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Allin Author-Name: Cristina Masseria Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Masseria Author-Name: Elias Mossialos Author-X-Name-First: Elias Author-X-Name-Last: Mossialos Title: Equity in health care use among older people in the UK: an analysis of panel data Abstract: This article uses panel data to investigate the extent of income-related inequity in the likelihood of visiting a General Practitioner (GP), specialist, dentist and hospital among individuals aged 65 years and over in the UK. The probability of accessing health care is predicted with separate random effects probit panel models using data from the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) for the period 1998 to 2006. We use well-established methods based on the concept of the concentration curve to compare the cumulative distribution of health care utilization with the cumulative distribution of the population ranked by income. The results find evidence for inequity in specialist and dental care, but only slight inequity for GP care and not significant inequity in hospital admissions. Levels of inequity are highest for specialist and dental care, even when users of the private sector are excluded from analyses. The Mobility Index (MI) is also used to compare short- and long-run estimates of inequities and show that upwardly income mobile individuals contribute to inequity in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2229-2239 Issue: 18 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903196621 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903196621 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:18:p:2229-2239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Dolan Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Dolan Author-Name: Aki Tsuchiya Author-X-Name-First: Aki Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuchiya Title: Determining the parameters in a social welfare function using stated preference data: an application to health Abstract: One way in which economists might determine how best to balance the competing objectives of efficiency and equality is to specify a Social Welfare Function (SWF). This article looks at how the stated preferences of a sample of the general public can be used to estimate the shape of the SWF in the domain of health benefits. The results suggest that people are willing to make trade-offs between efficiency and equality and that these trade-offs are sensitive to what kind of inequalities exist and to the groups across which those inequalities exist. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2241-2250 Issue: 18 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903166244 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903166244 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:18:p:2241-2250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Hanson Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Hanson Author-Name: Martin Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: The impact of Coalition offensive operations on the Iraqi insurgency Abstract: Coalition offensive operations in Iraq seek to disrupt insurgents and their networks, but may also act as a recruitment tool for the insurgency. We use data from Coalition press releases and casualty reports to assess the total impact of these operations. We find that two additional offensive operations come at a future cost of an additional Coalition soldier's life. The evidence suggests that rather than diminishing the insurgents' appetite to wage counterattacks, these operations may act as a recruitment tool for the insurgency. We further find that while the insurgents change their level of operations in response to the Coalition, the Coalition does not react to the insurgents. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2251-2265 Issue: 18 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903153804 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903153804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:18:p:2251-2265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Assaf Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Assaf Title: Accounting for technological differences in modelling the performance of airports: a Bayesian approach Abstract: This article uses the innovative Bayesian random coefficient frontier model to account for technological differences in the efficiency measurement of UK airports. In separating cost efficiency from technological differences, the model provides more accurate efficiency measures for airports' policy makers. The input/output data used in testing the model reflect on recent figures from the UK airport industry, and as a result link the efficiency measures with the current industry trends such as the increase in oil price, airport capital investments and market expansion. Results from the model estimation showed that the model fits the data well with all coefficients correctly signed and in line with the theoretical requirements. The average cost efficiency for 2007 was around 73.73%, indicating that UK airports are not operating close to a full efficiency level. This article attributed the sources of inefficiencies to the current industry trends and discussed the importance of heterogeneity in future policy formulations at UK airports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2267-2275 Issue: 18 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903101779 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903101779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:18:p:2267-2275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thanh Le Author-X-Name-First: Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Le Author-Name: Philip Bodman Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Bodman Title: Remittances or technological diffusion: which drives domestic gains from brain drain? Abstract: This article examines the impact of technological diffusion and international migrants' remittances on the economic development of less-developed countries. The hypothesis that skilled workers, living and working overseas, can effectively channel technological knowledge back to their home country, which in turn contributes to that country's economic growth, is tested utilizing data on the stock of high-skilled workers from 50 developing countries working in industrialized countries over the last two decades. Results obtained lend strong support to this hypothesis. In addition, the effect that remittances from workers in developed countries, which are used for investment purposes in developing countries, have on the rate of growth of those developing economies is investigated. Our empirical evidence indicates that this remittance channel exerts a significant, positive impact on growth, although quantitatively the contribution of such investment-oriented remittances in driving sustainable economic development appears to be somewhat smaller than that of more general technological diffusion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2277-2285 Issue: 18 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903153838 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903153838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:18:p:2277-2285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Creel Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Creel Author-Name: Montserrat Farell Author-X-Name-First: Montserrat Author-X-Name-Last: Farell Title: Modelling usage of medical care services: the medical expenditure panel survey data, 1996-2000 Abstract: We explore the determinants of usage of six different types of health care services, using the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) data, years 1996-2000. We apply a number of models for univariate count data, including semiparametric, semi-nonparametric and finite mixture models. We find that the complexity of the model that is required to fit the data well depends upon the way in which the data is pooled across sexes and over time, and upon the characteristics of the usage measure. Pooling across time and sexes is almost always favoured, but when more heterogeneous data is pooled it is often the case that a more complex statistical model is required. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2287-2302 Issue: 18 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903166202 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903166202 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:18:p:2287-2302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre-Guillaume Meon Author-X-Name-First: Pierre-Guillaume Author-X-Name-Last: Meon Author-Name: Friedrich Schneider Author-X-Name-First: Friedrich Author-X-Name-Last: Schneider Author-Name: Laurent Weill Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Weill Title: Does taking the shadow economy into account matter when measuring aggregate efficiency? Abstract: We analyse how adding the shadow economy to official output figures affects the estimated technical efficiency at the country level. We find that this not only slightly affects the ranking of efficiency scores, but also increases average efficiency in a sample of 87-97 countries, both developed and developing. Our results are robust to the functional form of the production technology and the adjustment of labour to account for years of schooling. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2303-2311 Issue: 18 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903166210 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903166210 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:18:p:2303-2311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Structural breaks and smooth transition autoregressive processes: an application to the US stock value ratios Abstract: In this study, we show that a very simple structural break process can be easily confused with an Exponential Smooth Transition Autoregressive (ESTAR) model. Nonlinear estimates of an ESTAR model also appear to be quite significant and plausible when the model is applied to a structural break process. Testing for structural breaks is, therefore, imperative to avoid finding spurious nonlinear relations. Throughout this study, we illustrate our main findings with the value ratios from the Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) stock price. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2313-2320 Issue: 18 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903166228 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903166228 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:18:p:2313-2320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Philippe Boussemart Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Philippe Author-X-Name-Last: Boussemart Author-Name: Walter Briec Author-X-Name-First: Walter Author-X-Name-Last: Briec Author-Name: Christophe Tavera Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Tavera Title: More evidence on technological catching-up in the manufacturing sector Abstract: Production frontiers for the manufacturing sector are estimated to determine a 'country specific' catching-up process of Total Factor Productivity (TFP). TFP gains were aimed at assessing the manufacturing industry's productive performances for 14 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries over the period 1970 to 2001. Our TFP measure does not assume technical or allocative efficiency which are inherent drawbacks of usual TFP indices. We show that catching-up processes can be very different between sub-periods and across countries. A significant catching-up process was in progress in the manufacturing sector between 1970 and 1986, then it overturned over the period 1987 to 2001. During the first sub-period, the speed of technological catching-up of the Eurozone countries was definitely higher than those of the other European or OECD nations, whereas the divergence noted in the second sub-period had the same order of magnitude amongst the three groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2321-2330 Issue: 18 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903166236 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903166236 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:18:p:2321-2330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyeon-Seung Huh Author-X-Name-First: Hyeon-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Huh Author-Name: Hyun-Hoon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hyun-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: A combined measure of UK core inflation estimates Abstract: This article estimates UK core inflation in a structural Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework. While building on the work of Quah and Vahey (1995), we extend their two-variable VAR model to allow for different dynamics depending on the nature of the shocks that potentially influence the process of core inflation. We also construct a combined measure of core inflation estimates on the basis of their reliabilities. Empirical evidence shows that the new measures demonstrate marked improvement in their eligibility to serve as core inflation estimators. Furthermore, the combined measure is shown to perform best. It appears that the conventional core measures such as the retail prices excluding mortgage interest payments (RPIX) and the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation series are not successful in capturing the underlying trend of inflation, casting some doubt on their current use in the making of monetary policy decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2331-2341 Issue: 18 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903194196 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903194196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:18:p:2331-2341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Coffey Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Coffey Author-Name: Ted Schroeder Author-X-Name-First: Ted Author-X-Name-Last: Schroeder Author-Name: Thomas Marsh Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Marsh Title: Disaggregated household meat demand with censored data Abstract: Previous research on meat demand has generally used highly aggregated data (across time, products and consumers). However, meat products across species are likely stronger substitutes than some products from the same species. Further, demand for specific meat products would be expected to respond differently to market information about food safety or other events. This study uses monthly consumer panel data collected between 1992 and 2000 to estimate a disaggregated meat product demand system. The use of the expectations maximization algorithm is introduced to estimate a demand system that adjusts for the econometric problem of censored data resulting from purchased shares of some products by individuals often being equal to zero. Results indicate that certain individual meat products have noticeably different own-price elasticities than existing aggregate meat product estimates of their respective species. Some individual meat products have stronger substitutes across species than within species (e.g. beef steak and pork chops are substitutes, but beef roast and ground beef or not substitutes for steak). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2343-2363 Issue: 18 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903194238 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903194238 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:18:p:2343-2363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emerson Fernandes Marcal Author-X-Name-First: Emerson Fernandes Author-X-Name-Last: Marcal Author-Name: Pedro Valls Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Valls Pereira Author-Name: Diogenes Manoel Leiva Martin Author-X-Name-First: Diogenes Manoel Leiva Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: Wilson Toshiro Nakamura Author-X-Name-First: Wilson Toshiro Author-X-Name-Last: Nakamura Title: Evaluation of contagion or interdependence in the financial crises of Asia and Latin America, considering the macroeconomic fundamentals Abstract: This article investigates the existence of contagion between countries on the basis of an analysis of returns for stock indices over the period 1994 to 2003. The econometrics methodology used is that of multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) family volatility models, particularly the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) models in the form proposed by Engle and Sheppard (2001). The returns were duly corrected for a series of country-specific fundamentals. The relevance of this procedure is highlighted in the literature by the work of Pesaran and Pick (2003). The results obtained in this article provide evidence favourable for the hypothesis of regional contagion in both Latin America and Asia. As a rule, contagion spread from the Asian crisis to Latin America, but not in the opposite direction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2365-2379 Issue: 19 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903194204 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903194204 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:19:p:2365-2379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bedri Kamil Onur Tas Author-X-Name-First: Bedri Kamil Onur Author-X-Name-Last: Tas Title: Private information of the Fed and predictability of stock returns Abstract: This article investigates whether the Federal Reserve's (Fed's) private Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth forecasts, as reported in the Greenbook of the Fed, contain information about future real and excess stock returns. I implement long-horizon regressions to analyse the predictive power of the Fed's GDP growth forecasts. The regressions conclude that the Fed's GDP growth forecasts can be used to predict long- and short-term stock returns. The size of the coefficient of the Fed's orthogonal GDP growth forecast indicates that 1% increase in the Fed's forecast predicts 2-4% decrease in real and excess stock returns. The regressions considering the size effect suggest that the predictive power of the Fed's GDP growth forecasts increases as the size of the portfolio decreases. A comparison of the Fed's forecasts and the commercial forecasts shows that the Fed's GDP growth forecasts contain information that does not exist in the commercial forecasts. I investigate the sources of the Fed's superior private information and predictive power. Analysis suggests that the source of the predictive power of the Fed's GDP growth forecasts is the private information about future surprise monetary policy actions embedded in them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2381-2398 Issue: 19 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903194220 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903194220 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:19:p:2381-2398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Beate Jochimsen Author-X-Name-First: Beate Author-X-Name-Last: Jochimsen Author-Name: Robert Nuscheler Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Nuscheler Title: The political economy of the German Lander deficits: weak governments meet strong finance ministers Abstract: We analyse the deficits of the German Lander (regional states) for the period 1960 to 2005 and test a number of hypotheses derived from the literature on the political economy of public deficits. We find evidence for the weak government hypothesis, that is, coalition governments issue significantly more debt than single party governments - a result that is typically explained by the common pool problem. As our data suggest, this result crucially hinges on the position or strength of the finance minister within coalition governments. We find that coalition governments with a strong finance minister are - in terms of borrowing - not significantly different from single party governments. In addition, we find (weak) evidence for an opportunistic political business cycle. As borrowing is significantly lower in pre-election years it appears that German voters favour fiscal discipline. There is no evidence for partisan behaviour, so party ideology seems to play a negligible role. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2399-2415 Issue: 19 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903194246 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903194246 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:19:p:2399-2415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles Mossman Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Mossman Author-Name: Sergiy Rakhmayil Author-X-Name-First: Sergiy Author-X-Name-Last: Rakhmayil Title: Firm size, book-to-market ratio and the macroeconomic environment: theory and test Abstract: Many studies find that stock returns are related to firm size and the book-to-market ratio. This article provides a theoretical explanation for this phenomenon. We show that profit maximizing homogenous firms should converge to a stable long-run equilibrium in which firm's capital size and growth rates are shaped by the economic environment, and both influence stock returns. Our evidence shows firm convergence towards the optimum profitability size in a changing equilibrium. Firm characteristics reflect sensitivity to the macroeconomic environment. Our model and empirical tests demonstrate a linkage between this sensitivity and the relationship of returns to market value and book-to-market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2417-2431 Issue: 19 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903196639 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903196639 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:19:p:2417-2431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rati Ram Author-X-Name-First: Rati Author-X-Name-Last: Ram Title: Growth elasticity of poverty: direct estimates from recent data Abstract: Using recent poverty data for developing countries, elasticity of $2 poverty headcount with respect to the growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita is directly calculated for the 1990s and the 2000s. The global estimate is around -0.84, which is much smaller in absolute magnitude than what some highly influential studies have reported or used. For the poverty-dense South Asia region, the elasticity is of the order of -0.22, which is a dramatic contrast from the previous estimates. For India, where the number of poor people is by far the largest of any country, and where the poverty rate is higher than even in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), the elasticity is of the order of -0.13, which is an even bigger contrast from earlier studies. Policymakers and researchers are urged to keep these estimates in mind while judging the likely effect of income growth on poverty, and to discount poverty-reduction claims based on higher elasticity estimates that have been reported or used in many influential studies. In particular, the elasticities shown in this study for South Asia and India seem to be a grim reminder of how unrealistic the existing estimates might be. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2433-2440 Issue: 19 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903196647 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903196647 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:19:p:2433-2440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russell James Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: James Author-Name: Keely Jones Author-X-Name-First: Keely Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: Tithing and religious charitable giving in America Abstract: The concept of religious tithing - giving 10% or more of one's income to religious organizations - permeates ancient and contemporary religious literature. Yet, the degree to which households apply this construct in their charitable giving practices remains unclear. This study examines the practice of tithing using data from a national expenditures survey including 56 663 households. Despite the pervasiveness of the tithing concept, religious donors did not appear to be targeting a specific 10% giving level. This may have resulted from varied definitions of income for tithing purposes or the presence of small charitable gifts made without reference to income. While the likelihood of religious giving increased with income, the likelihood of tithing fell dramatically. As a group, tithers had less income, but were wealthier, more educated, older and gave more to nonreligious charity than did other households. Religious tithers who also gave to nonreligious charities were wealthier, older and more highly educated than tithers who gave only to religious organizations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2441-2450 Issue: 19 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903213384 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903213384 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:19:p:2441-2450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacob Jordaan Author-X-Name-First: Jacob Author-X-Name-Last: Jordaan Title: Cross-sectional estimation of FDI spillovers when FDI is endogenous: OLS and IV estimates for Mexican manufacturing industries Abstract: Cross-sectional estimates of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) spillovers are biased when the variable capturing the cross-industry variation of foreign participation is endogenous to the estimated regression model. In this article I introduce an original instrument for this problematic FDI variable, capturing the general FDI intensity of manufacturing industries. I use this instrument to estimate FDI externalities in a cross-section of Mexican manufacturing industries. The main findings show that, in contrast to the common criticism that Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimation produces an upward bias in the estimated FDI externality effect, for the sample of Mexican manufacturing industries OLS estimation causes a downward bias. Controlling for the tendency among foreign manufacturing firms to gravitate towards low productivity industries, the instrumental variable estimations provide robust evidence of significantly larger positive FDI spillover effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2451-2463 Issue: 19 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903262977 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903262977 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:19:p:2451-2463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rehim Kilic Author-X-Name-First: Rehim Author-X-Name-Last: Kilic Title: A conditional variance tale from an emerging economy's freely floating exchange rate Abstract: This article studies daily return and volatility dynamics in the exchange rate of an emerging market economy Turkey over the recent floating period. We use Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) and Fractionally Integrated GARCH (FIGARCH) models with various error distributions. Findings show that a parsimonious FIGARCH model with an asymmetric error distribution characterizes the daily Turkish Lira (TL) returns against US dollar and euro considerably well. We find statistically significant asymmetry and peakedness in conditional returns and time-varying volatility with long-range dependence in conditional volatility. Long memory finding is robust to different specifications for the conditional returns as well as possible shifts in the return and volatility dynamics over sub-periods. Results in the article show that despite the decline in volatility over the course of the recent float, TL returns are still wild compared to developed economies exchange rates during the same period. Findings have implications for exchange rate regime choice, policy and risk management in Turkey and other emerging market economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2465-2480 Issue: 19 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903266812 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903266812 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:19:p:2465-2480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsung-Wu Ho Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Intra-national risk-sharing and government sizes: evidence from nonlinear regression Abstract: This article investigates the effects of government sizes on the cyclical elasticity coefficient. Theory of intra-national risk-sharing evaluates the effects of the cyclical sensitivity of taxes to income fluctuation across US states. Because government size is a proxy for automatic stabilizer, which captures the relevant differences of fiscal variables at the state level; hence, the cyclical sensitivity may differ across various magnitudes of local government. We employ two nonlinear econometric methods: threshold regression of panel data (Hansen, 1999) and semi-parametric smooth-coefficient regression of cross-sectional data (Koop and Tobias, 2006). Evidence from a panel of 50 US states supports a positive relationship between government size and intra-national risk-sharing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2481-2492 Issue: 19 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903299680 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903299680 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:19:p:2481-2492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Trevon Logan Author-X-Name-First: Trevon Author-X-Name-Last: Logan Title: Econometric tests of American college football's conventional wisdom Abstract: College football fans, coaches and observers have adopted a set of beliefs about how college football poll voters behave. I document three pieces of conventional wisdom in college football regarding the timing of wins and losses, the value of playing strong opponents and the value of winning by wide margins. Using a unique data set with 25 years of Associated Press (AP) poll results, I use a hedonic regression to test college football's conventional wisdom. In particular, I test (1) whether it is better to lose early or late in the season, (2) whether teams benefit from playing stronger opponents and (3) whether teams are rewarded for winning by large margins. Contrary to conventional wisdom, I find that (1) it is better to lose later in the season than earlier, (2) AP voters do not pay attention to the strength of a defeated opponent and (3) the benefit of winning by a large margin is negligible. I conclude by noting how these results inform debates about a potential playoff in college football. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2493-2518 Issue: 20 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903286331 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903286331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:20:p:2493-2518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Eugenio-Martin Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Eugenio-Martin Author-Name: Juan Campos-Soria Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Campos-Soria Title: Income and the substitution pattern between domestic and international tourism demand Abstract: This article analyses the role of income in the decision of participating in the tourism demand within 1 year. The tourists who are participating can travel to domestic destinations only, abroad destinations only or to both of them. Such a substitution pattern is modelled using a bivariate probit model. The analysis is carried out to the regional level using a survey conducted in 15 European (EU-15) countries. In addition to the traditional socioeconomic variables, the analysis adds new variables to the outbound tourism demand modelling, such as the attributes of the place of residence. The results show that tourism demand is income elastic. However, there are marked differences in the income elasticities of the probabilities of travelling domestically or abroad. Above certain income threshold, the substitution pattern between destinations takes part. The probability of travelling domestically only remains constant, whereas the probability of travelling abroad keeps growing. Additionally, the article proves that income elasticities vary significantly and nonlinearly with income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2519-2531 Issue: 20 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903299698 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903299698 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:20:p:2519-2531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bjørn-Roger Wilhelmsen Author-X-Name-First: Bjørn-Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Wilhelmsen Author-Name: Andrea Zaghini Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Zaghini Title: Monetary policy predictability in the euro area: an international comparison Abstract: We evaluate the ability of market participants to anticipate monetary policy decisions in 14 countries. First, by looking at both the magnitude and volatility of changes in the money market rates we show that the days of policy meetings are special days for financial markets. Second, we find that the predictability of Federal Reserve (FED), Bank of England and European Central Bank (ECB) is fully comparable. Finally, an econometric analysis of the ability of market participants to incorporate in the current short-term interest rates the expected policy changes shows that in the euro area (and in other countries) policy decisions are anticipated well in advance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2533-2544 Issue: 20 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903299714 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903299714 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:20:p:2533-2544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Jen Lin Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chia-Chi Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Testing Coase theorem: the case of free agency in NBA Abstract: This study seeks to test the applicability of the Coase theorem to the allocation of players within. According to the Coase theorem, a player's final allocation would be the same no matter who has ownership of his playing rights if there are no transaction costs. What ownership affects is just the allocation of wealth. Using data from the National Basketball Association (NBA), this article argues that player mobility is likely to be affected by player ownership due to transaction cost imposed by the institution. It is also concluded that performance indicators used for value estimation vary by position and that this also affects player transfer. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2545-2558 Issue: 20 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903299722 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903299722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:20:p:2545-2558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maik Schmeling Author-X-Name-First: Maik Author-X-Name-Last: Schmeling Title: Consumption, money and excess returns Abstract: We augment the standard Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model (CCAPM) by the growth in money holdings and empirically investigate whether money is helpful for pricing a cross-section of US excess returns. We find that the growth in M2 significantly improves the fit of the CCAPM with R2s well above 80% in a cross-section with the three Fama-French factors, the momentum portfolio, a contrarian portfolio and two bond portfolios as test assets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2559-2563 Issue: 20 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903299730 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903299730 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:20:p:2559-2563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Werner Holzl Author-X-Name-First: Werner Author-X-Name-Last: Holzl Author-Name: Andreas Reinstaller Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Reinstaller Title: On the heterogeneity of sectoral growth and structural dynamics: evidence from Austrian manufacturing industries Abstract: This article studies the factors driving structural dynamics across Austrian manufacturing industries. Using a Structural Vector Autoregressive Model (SVAR) framework we identify sectoral labour productivity and demand shocks that are orthogonal to aggregate shocks. We analyse the sectoral impulse-response patterns and find that the effect of industry labour productivity shocks on industry output growth is quite heterogeneous. We devise a taxonomy that allows us to classify industries according to the effect productivity and demand shocks have on output growth. We also show that productivity shocks are quite heterogeneous not just across industries but also over time, whereas shocks to sectoral demand growth are more systematic. We test the taxonomy in a panel regression and are able to confirm our sector-specific findings. Industry demand shocks and aggregate productivity and demand shocks lead always to an increase in industry output and industry employment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2565-2582 Issue: 20 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903299748 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903299748 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:20:p:2565-2582 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lusine Lusinyan Author-X-Name-First: Lusine Author-X-Name-Last: Lusinyan Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Unit roots, structural breaks and cointegration in the UK public finances, 1750-2004 Abstract: In this article, we report results from several traditional and more recently developed unit root and cointegration tests, allowing for structural breaks, which indicate that UK government revenue and spending during 1750-2004 were I(1) series and cointegrated, and that the UK public finances have been on a consistently sustainable path over the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2583-2592 Issue: 20 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903299755 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903299755 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:20:p:2583-2592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chih-Chuan Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Author-Name: Kuan-Min Wang Author-X-Name-First: Kuan-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yu-Bo Suen Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Suen Title: A quantile framework for analysing the links between inflation uncertainty and inflation dynamics across countries Abstract: In contrast to the conventional conditional mean approaches, this study uses quantile regression techniques to present some new statistical evidence on the links between inflation uncertainty and the level of inflation with cross-sectional data from 90 countries during the period 1961 to 2006. The results suggest that positive inflation shocks have stronger impact on inflation uncertainty which varies across the quantiles. Furthermore, popular time-series models are evaluated for their ability to reproduce measures of uncertainty and indicate similar results regarding the relationships between inflation and inflation uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2593-2602 Issue: 20 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903299763 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903299763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:20:p:2593-2602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Quatraro Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Quatraro Title: ICT capital and services complementarities: the Italian evidence Abstract: This article investigates whether Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) hardware and services play a complementary role in boosting economic growth. The main argument is that investments in ICT fixed capital are a necessary but not sufficient condition leading to productivity gains, above all in late adopter countries. Their effective implementation indeed requires on the one hand a changing economic structure characterized by a growing weight of service sectors and on the other hand complementary investments in ICT services, directed to ease the integration of the new technologies within firms' boundaries. The analysis is conducted on a late industrialized country like Italy, and shows that in lagging countries the weak impact of ICT adoption is the result of three converging forces: relatively high share of manufacturing sectors, low-adoption levels of ICTs in traditional manufacturing sectors, inadequate investments in ICT services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2603-2613 Issue: 20 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903299805 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903299805 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:20:p:2603-2613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiziana Laureti Author-X-Name-First: Tiziana Author-X-Name-Last: Laureti Author-Name: Alessandro Viviani Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Viviani Title: Competitiveness and productivity: a case study of Italian firms Abstract: The purpose of this article is to obtain a synthetic measure of the multi-dimensional concept of firm competitiveness and to analyse the role of different factors, such as productivity, firm size and cluster of industries, for determining firm competitiveness in Italy. An adequate firm-specific data set is constructed from balance sheets by using imputation methods for handling missing values. The synthetic measure of competitiveness is obtained using a Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) approach, then a Tobit model is considered to measure the influence of different factors on the measured competitiveness. The results obtained are very interesting and coherent with the characteristics of the Italian firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2615-2625 Issue: 20 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903357439 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903357439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:20:p:2615-2625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kuang-Liang Chang Author-X-Name-First: Kuang-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: The optimal value-at-risk hedging strategy under bivariate regime switching ARCH framework Abstract: Unlike the majority of other hedging literatures in which variance is taken as the risk indicator, this article uses the Value-at-Risk (VaR) as the risk management tool of the hedged portfolio. This article adopts a bivariate Markov regime Switching Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (SWARCH) model to formulate the optimal VaR hedging strategy and then compares it with the other dynamic futures hedging strategies mentioned in the literature in hedging performance. Using Taiwan Stock Exchange Capitalization Weighted Stock Index (TAIEX) futures data, the in-sample and out-of-sample results shows that when VaR is used as the criterion to measure the futures hedging effectiveness, the performance of the dynamic hedging strategy is superior to that of the static hedging strategy, and the performance of the optimal VaR hedging strategy is better than that of the minimum variance and mean-variance hedging strategies. Besides, from the standpoint that the volatility of hedge ratio and hedged portfolio variance decline, no matter what kind of hedging strategy is adopted, the regime switching model is better in in-sample and out-of-sample hedging effectiveness than the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2627-2640 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903299771 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903299771 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2627-2640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hua Wang Author-X-Name-First: Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jie He Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Estimating individual valuation distributions with multiple bounded discrete choice data Abstract: This article presents a new modelling strategy that estimates individual valuation distributions with Multiple Bounded Discrete Choice (MBDC) data. An individual's valuation of a commodity or service is assumed to have a distribution rather than being a single number. Likelihood responses to the MBDC questions are numerically coded and treated with a new panel technique. The proposed estimation strategy is empirically compared with previous data analysis methods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2641-2656 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903299789 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903299789 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2641-2656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Luc Demeulemeester Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Luc Author-X-Name-Last: Demeulemeester Author-Name: Claude Diebolt Author-X-Name-First: Claude Author-X-Name-Last: Diebolt Author-Name: Magali Jaoul-Grammare Author-X-Name-First: Magali Author-X-Name-Last: Jaoul-Grammare Title: The growth of aggregate wage earnings in Germany, 1810-1989 Abstract: Aggregate wage earnings are one of the key variables of the German economy. Paradoxically, it is also a little known variable, especially in the long term. Historians have never devoted a synthesis to the subject and, among all the economists who have centred their work on the study of economic growth, Hoffmann (1965) is the only one to have addressed aggregate earnings over a long period. This article follows up his founding work and has two objectives. The first is to measure the movement of wages and wage earners over a long period and use this to make an original estimate of aggregate employment earnings in Germany from 1810 to 1989. Reconstituted sets of statistics are also used to put forward new hypotheses concerning the way is which wages, wage earners and aggregate employment earnings in Germany are linked to the socioeconomic development of the country in the 19th and 20th centuries. It is also sought to detect the temporary and permanent shocks that have affected the German economy since the beginning of the 19th century. Our reflection is in two parts. The first defines the concept of wages, sets out the spatial scope and describes the methodological constraints. The second describes our cliometric results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2657-2669 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903299813 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903299813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2657-2669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ioannis Ganoulis Author-X-Name-First: Ioannis Author-X-Name-Last: Ganoulis Author-Name: Massimo Giuliodori Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Giuliodori Title: Financial liberalization and house price dynamics in Europe Abstract: This article investigates the determinants of house prices in a sample of European countries over the period 1970 to 2004. Focusing on the role of financial liberalization, we find that it has mainly affected the short-term dynamics of residential prices. In particular, the impulse effects on house prices of income and mortgage debt have become smaller. On the other hand, the effects of interest rates, past house prices and, to a lesser degree, stock market have strengthened. In other words, there seems to have been a certain 'de-linking' of short-term house price dynamics from income, whereas the housing market may have become more similar to a financial asset market, with interest rates and expectations of capital gains playing a more prominent role. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2671-2688 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903315494 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903315494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2671-2688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmut Stix Author-X-Name-First: Helmut Author-X-Name-Last: Stix Title: Euroization: what factors drive its persistence? Household data evidence for Croatia, Slovenia and Slovakia Abstract: The question asked in this article is why people continue to use foreign currencies even after their economies have stabilized. Survey data for Croatia, Slovenia and Slovakia are employed to provide an answer. The results confirm the role of network effects and of remittances. Furthermore, the extent of currency substitution is found to be positively associated with the level of income and education. An important aspect of euroization seems to be age (older people are more likely to hold foreign currencies). In contrast, neither expectations about inflation rates, nor about exchange rates, do seem to affect the degree of euroization in a systematic and predictable way. Trust in the banking system is found to affect the choice between foreign currency cash and foreign currency deposits. Overall, the results support the view that the persistence in the use of foreign currencies is driven to a large extent by factors that are related to the past. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2689-2704 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903357413 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903357413 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2689-2704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael French Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: French Author-Name: Johanna Catherine Maclean Author-X-Name-First: Johanna Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Maclean Author-Name: Jody Sindelar Author-X-Name-First: Jody Author-X-Name-Last: Sindelar Author-Name: Hai Fang Author-X-Name-First: Hai Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: The morning after: alcohol misuse and employment problems Abstract: Using a rich, recent and nationally representative longitudinal survey specifically designed to examine alcohol use and associated problems, we investigate the effects of alcohol misuse on a series of understudied and perhaps less common employment problems. Such problems include being fired or laid off from a job, sustained unemployment and conflicts with a supervisor and/or co-worker. After controlling for time-invariant omitted variables via fixed effects estimation, we find evidence that three measures of alcohol misuse are significantly related to employment problems. The results offer new information on the potential adverse labour market effects of alcohol misuse and shed light on potential mechanisms through which alcohol misuse may impact intensive labour supply and/or wages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2705-2720 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903357421 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903357421 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2705-2720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giovanni Di Bartolomeo Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Di Bartolomeo Author-Name: Lorenza Rossi Author-X-Name-First: Lorenza Author-X-Name-Last: Rossi Author-Name: Massimiliano Tancioni Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Tancioni Title: Monetary policy, rule-of-thumb consumers and external habits: a G7 comparison Abstract: This article extends the standard New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model to agents who cannot smooth consumption (i.e. spenders) and are affected by external consumption habits. Although these assumptions are not new, their joint consideration strongly affects some theoretical and empirical results addressed by the recent literature. By deriving closed-form solutions, we identify different demand regimes and show that they are characterized by specific features regarding dynamic stability and monetary policy effectiveness. We also evaluate our model by stochastic simulations obtained from the Bayesian parameters estimates for the Group of Seven (G7) economies. From posterior impulse responses, we address the empirical relevance of the different regimes and provide comparative evidence on the heterogeneity of monetary policy effects among countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2721-2738 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903357447 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903357447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2721-2738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sumon Kumar Bhaumik Author-X-Name-First: Sumon Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Bhaumik Author-Name: Jeffrey Nugent Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Nugent Title: Real options and demographic decisions: empirical evidence from East and West Germany Abstract: Iyer and Velu (2006) have convincingly argued that contemporary analyses of fertility behaviour fail to explain why a woman (or a couple) will choose to postpone childbirth, and in particular to consider the role of uncertainty in this regard. They have addressed this lacuna in the literature by using a real options approach to model fertility decisions by relating uncertainty experienced by individuals to the likelihood of childbirth. However, they did not present empirical evidence. Since the theory implies the existence of two offsetting effects of uncertainty on fertility decisions, a positive insurance effect and a negative option value effect, it is not easy to reject the theory on the basis of empirical analysis, when one of these effects offsets the other. We construct such a test for East (and also West) Germany during that country's reunification, which takes advantage of the fact that because of the country's strong welfare system, the insurance effect should be dominated by the option value effect, thereby suggesting that the net relationship should be negative. The results provide rather strong support for the real options link, especially for Eastern Germany. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2739-2749 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903373287 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903373287 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2739-2749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Knabe Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Knabe Author-Name: Steffen Ratzel Author-X-Name-First: Steffen Author-X-Name-Last: Ratzel Title: Quantifying the psychological costs of unemployment: the role of permanent income Abstract: Unemployment causes significant losses in the quality of life. In addition to reducing individual income, it also creates nonpecuniary and psychological costs. We quantify these nonpecuniary losses by using the life satisfaction approach. In contrast to previous studies, we apply Friedman's (1957) permanent income hypothesis by distinguishing between temporary and permanent effects of income changes. This allows us to account for intertemporal spillovers of income compensations. Our results show that the nonpecuniary costs of unemployment are only half as large compared to a standard estimation without this distinction. Nevertheless, the nonpecuniary costs of unemployment calculated with this modified quantification method are still about two times higher than its pecuniary costs. This confirms the high value of work for life satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2751-2763 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903373295 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903373295 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2751-2763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Contreras Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Contreras Author-Name: L. de Mello Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: de Mello Author-Name: E. Puentes Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Puentes Title: The determinants of labour force participation and employment in Chile Abstract: Chile's labour force participation is low in comparison with Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and Latin American countries on average, especially among females and youths. This article estimates the main determinants of labour supply and employment for prime-age individuals and youths using data from the National Household Survey (CASEN) for 1990, 1996 and 2003. Educational attainment is found to be a powerful predictor of labour supply and employability for both males and females. The number of young children in the household is a strong deterrent to female participation, both for prime-age and young women. Changes in labour supply and employment during 1990 and 2003 are decomposed using the probit estimations. The results suggest that structural changes in the economy were the main determinants of changes in participation among prime-age individuals, but the converse is true for changes in employment, which depended predominantly on shifts in individual characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2765-2776 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903373303 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903373303 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2765-2776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Schneider Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Schneider Author-Name: Gerhard Fenz Author-X-Name-First: Gerhard Author-X-Name-Last: Fenz Title: Transmission of business cycle shocks between the US and the euro area Abstract: We analyse the transmission of structural shocks between the US and the euro area within a two-country Vector Autoregressive (VAR) framework. For that purpose, we simultaneously identify cost-push, demand and monetary policy shocks for both countries using sign restrictions. Our results show that domestic shocks explain the largest share of the forecast error variances for Gross Domestic Product (GDP), consumer prices and interest rate in both countries in the short run, whilst spillovers from the other country and global factors gain importance in the medium run. The strength of the shock transmission between the two countries is quite symmetric. Our approach to the identification of structural shocks allows us to construct confidence bands that account both for estimation and identification uncertainty. We find impulse responses to domestic shocks to be significant while spillovers across countries are insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2777-2793 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903373311 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903373311 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2777-2793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsin-Hung Chen Author-X-Name-First: Hsin-Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Hsien-Tang Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Hsien-Tang Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Dennis Lin Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Optimal mean-variance portfolio selection using Cauchy-Schwarz maximization Abstract: Fund managers highly prioritize selecting portfolios with a high Sharpe ratio. Traditionally, this task can be achieved by revising the objective function of the Markowitz mean-variance portfolio model and then resolving quadratic programming problems to obtain the maximum Sharpe ratio portfolio. This study presents a closed-form solution for the optimal Sharpe ratio portfolio by applying Cauchy-Schwarz maximization and the concept of Kuhn-Tucker conditions. An empirical example is used to demonstrate the efficiency and effectiveness of the proposed algorithms. Moreover, the proposed algorithms can also be used to obtain the optimal portfolio containing large numbers of securities, which is not possible, or at least is complicated via traditional quadratic programming approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2795-2801 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903388285 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903388285 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2795-2801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Morteza Haghiri Author-X-Name-First: Morteza Author-X-Name-Last: Haghiri Author-Name: Alireza Simchi Author-X-Name-First: Alireza Author-X-Name-Last: Simchi Title: A nonparametric extension of generalized quadratic Box-Cox models in measuring technical efficiency Abstract: This article uses a nonparametric extension of estimating Generalized Quadratic Box-Cox (GQBC) models using the Additivity and Variance Stabilization (AVAS) algorithm. The new method accounts for random noise in the data and relaxes the sensitivity of technical efficiency scores to the choice of functional form. It also provides more flexible choices for estimating the parameter of the dependent variable. The model is specified to measure technical efficiency scores of New York dairy producers in the period 1990 to 2000. Results show that the sample producers did not use resources efficiently, as the estimated mean technical efficiency score was found to be 0.663. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2803-2810 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903389804 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903389804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2803-2810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meng-Fen Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Fen Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Author-Name: Chung-Hua Shen Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Business cycles and bank regulations - what happens to bank provisioning? A more comprehensive look at 49 countries Abstract: Numerous researchers provide evidence that many banks intend to increase their Loan Loss Provisioning (LLP) when the economy is in a downward trend. However, the answer whether banks provide sufficient provisions when the economy is in an upturn trend remains unsolved. Furthermore, provisioning must be influenced not only by business cycles and bank earnings, but also by the regulatory system. Nevertheless, empirical research on this issue has been scarce. Thus, this study intends to answer two questions shown above. The evidence shows that with steady growth in both the economy and bank earnings, the bank management will tend to increase LLP, whereas with a buoyant economy but negative growth in bank earnings, the management will exhibit an inclination to reduce LLP. As regards the influence of bank regulation on provisions, the evidence shows that, under certain circumstances, banks make more provision based on regulatory considerations. This explains why bank regulations regarding LLP across countries do have an impact on banks' provisioning behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2811-2822 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903389812 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903389812 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2811-2822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Christopher Coombs Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Coombs Title: The influence of the number of statewide legislative referendums on voter participation in the US Abstract: This empirical study seeks to broaden the interpretation of the 'rational voter model' so as to include the potential effects of the number of statewide legislative referendums. This study tests the hypothesis that greater numbers of such referendums increase voter turnout because they elevate the Expected Gross Benefits (EGB) of voting by 'empowering voters' while not significantly increasing the Expected Gross Costs (EGC) of voting. Using state-level data for the 2006 general election in the US, as well as the 2004 US Presidential election, and after allowing for a variety of economic and demographic factors, this study finds compelling evidence that the number of statewide legislative referendums does significantly increase voter turnout. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2823-2831 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903389820 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903389820 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2823-2831 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lisa Farrell Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Farrell Author-Name: Tim Fry Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Fry Author-Name: Mark Harris Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Title: 'A pack a day for 20 years': smoking and cigarette pack sizes Abstract: This study focuses on the determinants of cigarette consumption. In particular, the impact of cigarette pack sizes on the typical daily consumption of smokers is investigated. Results are presented from a new multi-modal count data model which allows for 'pack-effects' in daily consumption levels. Our results suggest that smokers regulate their consumption in accordance with the variety of pack sizes that are available to them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2833-2842 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903389838 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903389838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2833-2842 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Adetunji Babatunde Author-X-Name-First: M. Adetunji Author-X-Name-Last: Babatunde Title: A bound testing analysis of Wagner's law in Nigeria: 1970-2006 Abstract: This study tests Wagner's law (the tendency for government activities to expand along with economic expansion) for Nigeria using annual time series data between 1970 and 2006. It adopts the bounds test approach proposed by Pesaran et al. (2001) based on unrestricted error correction model (UECM) and Toda and Yamamoto's (1995) Granger noncausality tests. Empirical results from the bounds test indicate that there exists no long-run relationship between government expenditure and output in Nigeria. In addition, Toda and Yamamoto's (1995) causality test results show that Wagner's law does not hold for more than the period being tested. Rather we found a weak empirical support in the proposition by Keynes that public expenditure is an exogenous factor and a policy instrument for increasing national income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2843-2850 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903425012 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903425012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2843-2850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Catherine Ho Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: M. Ariff Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ariff Title: Sticky prices and time to equilibrium: evidence from Asia-Pacific trade-related economies Abstract: The theoretical relation between exchange rate and prices has been a difficult proposition to find supporting evidence despite many studies of developed economies using standard research methods. The exchange rate to price relation appears to hold in the long run only, a result consistent with sticky price hypothesis. There is a need to add to this sticky price literature by examining more yet-studied economies to this area of research. This article presents results to support long-run equilibrium in the Asia-Pacific economies as being 5 years. The methodology is used to group countries with high-trade intensity within a region and value-weight the resulting variables to test the theory in a regional context. Our positive finding on the long-run equilibrium, we believe, helps in some ways to enrich the literature on the exchange rate behaviour of an important region for world trade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2851-2861 Issue: 21 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/09603100903425189 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09603100903425189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:21:p:2851-2861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: The applied economics of industry: introduction and overview Abstract: We provide an introduction and overview to the 10 applied economics studies making up this special-themed issue on The Applied Economics of Industry. The studies cover a wide range of topics, and employ a variety of applied techniques. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2863-2864 Issue: 22 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.608266 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2011.608266 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:22:p:2863-2864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. Li Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: W. Lu Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: M. Zhong Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Title: The predictability of industry portfolio returns Abstract: This article studies the predictability of stock returns from industry portfolios. Consistent with the habit formation framework of Campbell and Cochrane (1999, 2000), we find that reasonably large portions of predictability of long-horizon industry portfolio returns are explained by the ratio of aggregate consumption in surplus of habit or its instrument, the consumption-wealth ratio. The time-varying βs and, more importantly, time-varying market risk premium associated with either the surplus consumption ratio or the consumption-wealth ratio help explain the predictable variation of long-horizon expected returns on over half of the industry portfolios. The conditional Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) with βs varying with the proposed conditioning variable performs better than the static CAPM, but not as well as the Fama-French (1993, 1997) three-factor model in explaining the time-series variability of returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2865-2881 Issue: 22 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802360260 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802360260 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:22:p:2865-2881 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick McCarthy Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: McCarthy Author-Name: Aselia Urmanbetova Author-X-Name-First: Aselia Author-X-Name-Last: Urmanbetova Title: Production and cost in the US paper and paperboard industry Abstract: The US paper and paperboard industry has experienced significant structural changes over the past 25 years, including reductions in the number of mills, lower rates of capacity growth, employment cutbacks and a loss of market share to foreign competitors. These structural shifts portray an industry that increasingly has difficulty adapting to a more competitive global environment. Based on aggregate data from 1965 to 1996, this article estimates a short-run translog (TL) cost function for the industry. The estimated model fits the data well and all sample points satisfy monotonicity and concavity conditions at all points. Among the findings, the industry operates at slightly increasing returns to capital utilization and labour and energy are Allen-Uzawa complements but Morishima substitutes in production. Technological progress generated 0.02% reduction in annual operating costs and consistent with an ailing US industry, estimated marginal costs approximated average operating costs until 1982 after which marginal costs significantly diverged from average operating costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2883-2893 Issue: 22 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802599883 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802599883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:22:p:2883-2893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Laurent Botti Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Botti Author-Name: Nicolas Peypoch Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Peypoch Author-Name: Bernardin Solonandrasana Author-X-Name-First: Bernardin Author-X-Name-Last: Solonandrasana Title: Managerial efficiency and hospitality industry: the Portuguese case Abstract: In this article, the innovative twostage procedure of Simar and Wilson (2007) is used to estimate the efficiency determinants of Portuguese hotel groups from 1998 to 2005. In the first stage, the hotels' technical efficiency is estimated with Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA), in order to establish which hotels have the most efficient performance. These could serve as peers to help improve performance of the least efficient hotels. In the second stage, the Simar and Wilson model is used to bootstrap the DEA scores with a truncated regression. The article contributes to the hotel industry literature by adopting a somewhat novel approach that has never been applied to this industry despite its managerial implications. The motivation for the analysis lies in the fact that during the period under analysis Portuguese hotels faced a number of threats. Knowing what the best practices are is then good news for managers and institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2895-2905 Issue: 22 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600145 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600145 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:22:p:2895-2905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Henrik Hammar Author-X-Name-First: Henrik Author-X-Name-Last: Hammar Author-Name: Tommy Lundgren Author-X-Name-First: Tommy Author-X-Name-Last: Lundgren Author-Name: Magnus Sjostrom Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Sjostrom Author-Name: Matts Andersson Author-X-Name-First: Matts Author-X-Name-Last: Andersson Title: The kilometer tax and Swedish industry-effects on sectors and regions Abstract: An introduction of a kilometer tax for heavy goods vehicles can be constrained by the risk of that higher production costs than competitors in other countries will negatively affect regions and industries of policy concern. We estimate factor demand elasticities in the Swedish manufacturing industry using firm level data for the 1990 to 2001 period on input prices and quantities. The results show that the introduction of a kilometer tax for heavy goods vehicles decreases transport demand and increases labour demand. The effects are less pronounced in terms of changes in output, though some industries (e.g. wood, pulp and paper) can be expected to be affected more than others due to their dependence on road freight transport. The regional dimension regarding the consequences of a kilometer tax seems to be small or even nonexisting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2907-2917 Issue: 22 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802600608 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802600608 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:22:p:2907-2917 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johannes Fedderke Author-X-Name-First: Johannes Author-X-Name-Last: Fedderke Author-Name: Dietmar Naumann Author-X-Name-First: Dietmar Author-X-Name-Last: Naumann Title: An analysis of industry concentration in South African manufacturing, 1972-2001 Abstract: This article examines industry concentration for the South African manufacturing sector over the 1972-2001 period, for the three-digit industry classification. The article notes both the high level of industry concentration in South African manufacturing and a rising trend in concentration across a wide range of industries as measured by the Gini and Rosenbluth coefficients. The article examines the impact of concentration on investment rates using a dynamic heterogeneous panel estimation methodology. We find that increased concentration unambiguously lowers investment rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2919-2939 Issue: 22 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840802631835 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840802631835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:22:p:2919-2939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uwe Cantner Author-X-Name-First: Uwe Author-X-Name-Last: Cantner Author-Name: Jens Kruger Author-X-Name-First: Jens Author-X-Name-Last: Kruger Author-Name: Kristina von Rhein Author-X-Name-First: Kristina Author-X-Name-Last: von Rhein Title: Knowledge compensation in the German automobile industry Abstract: In studies looking at firm survival over the industry life cycle knowledge is one of the most important determinants. Different kinds of knowledge, namely post-entry experience, pre-entry experience and knowledge acquired by innovative activity positively influence the survival chances. This article investigates how different kinds of knowledge are able to compensate each other. A statistical survival analysis is performed for the German automobile industry (1886-1939) which applies an estimation approach that links instrumental variables with the Cox regression. The results highlight that innovative activity is able to compensate for lacking post-entry experience, supporting Schumpeterian creative destruction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2941-2951 Issue: 22 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840902762738 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840902762738 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:22:p:2941-2951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Clarissa Yeap Author-X-Name-First: Clarissa Author-X-Name-Last: Yeap Title: Capacity use in multi-unit firms: evidence for efficiency gains or strategic competition in the US restaurant industry? Abstract: In this article, I examine both the full firm size distribution and establishment-level capacity use to determine if efficiency gains or strategic competition account for the proliferation of multi-unit firms in the US restaurant industry. Using US census microdata, I find that multi-unit firms operate a greater number of restaurants and larger individual restaurants in larger Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs). This evidence of increased profitability goes hand in hand with increases in capacity utilization through longer operating hours and more intensive production of meals and nonmeals output at individual establishments. Greater capacity exploitation is consistent with efficient firms, rather strategic behaviour, such as product proliferation or location preemption to limit rivalry. Furthermore, these results hold true for multi-unit firms but not for large national chain systems, suggesting that efficiency gains accrue from firm-specific capital, not just from marketing or distribution scale economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2953-2968 Issue: 22 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903299797 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903299797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:22:p:2953-2968 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bi-Huei Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Bi-Huei Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Yiming Li Author-X-Name-First: Yiming Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Modelling competition in global LCD TV industry Abstract: This work analyses global shipments of Liquid Crystal Display Televisions (LCD TVs) by considering mutualism among multiple generations of LCD TVs. In applying the revised Lotka-Volterra equations, this study analyses the dynamic competitive relationship among producers of 26-, 32- and 37-inch LCD TVs. Equilibrium analysis is used to evaluate whether future shipment orbit could converge to equilibrium status. The prediction abilities of Bass growth model and Lotka-Volterra model are further compared to examine whether the Lotka-Volterra model, which incorporates the mutualism among multi-generation LCD TVs, performs better. The result shows that the relationships between 26- and 32-inch LCD TVs, and 37- and 32-inch LCD TVs are commensal. Sales of 32-inch LCD TVs are promoted by increased sales of 26- or 37-inch LCD TVs. Results of the equilibrium analysis indicate that competition among various sizes of LCD TVs will not be stable. The interactions among multiple generations of LCD TVs will influence each other, leading to great fluctuations in sales. Since this study incorporates the interactive relationships among various sizes of LCD TVs in the proposed Lotka-Volterra equations, the ability of the Lotka-Volterra model to predict the market evolution of LCD TVs is superior to that of the Bass model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2969-2981 Issue: 22 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.530222 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.530222 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:22:p:2969-2981 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lila Truett Author-X-Name-First: Lila Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Author-Name: Dale Truett Author-X-Name-First: Dale Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Title: The Korean textile industry: still competitive, after all these years? Abstract: Although a vital part of the economy, the Korean textile industry has been challenged by the recent reduction of international trade barriers, particularly as this industry was fully integrated into General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) in 2005. The textile industries in Japan and many other countries have also faced difficulties. This study examines future prospects for the Korean industry by investigating the presence of economies of scale and relationships among the inputs of domestic capital, labour and intermediate goods, as well as foreign intermediate goods. The findings are consistent with constant returns to scale and a substitutes relationship among all input pairs except for domestic capital and foreign intermediate goods. Thus, there appear to be no further cost reductions available through increased output and economies of scale. However, some reduction in industry output may not result in increased unit costs either. A reduction in the price of foreign intermediate goods will not only increase the demand for domestic capital, but also, at least in the short run, add stress to the industry as it decreases the demand for domestic labour and domestic intermediate goods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2983-2992 Issue: 22 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.528374 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.528374 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:22:p:2983-2992 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Louis Lu Author-X-Name-First: Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Before and after the millennium: productivity analysis of the supply chain of Taiwan's IC industry Abstract: Taiwan's Integrated Circuit (IC) industry has achieved excellent performance in the past decades. However, it has also consumed a lot of national resources in both human capital and financial capital. National valuable resources are limited and, as such, allocating resources to the most effective sector is critical for enhancing national competitiveness further in the future. This study adopts the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) method to evaluate the production efficiency of Taiwan's IC subsectors. 10 years of data, from 1995 to 2004, have been used to conduct the research. The productivities before and after the year 2000 are compared to see if there are any differences between the periods of economic upturn and downturn. The analysis finds that the IC design sector is the most worthwhile one in which a country's treasurable resources can be invested. However, the IC manufacturing and IC testing/packaging sectors are inefficient over an economic downturn due to their heavy capital investment. The results provide some insights for policy-makers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2993-2996 Issue: 22 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903357348 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903357348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:22:p:2993-2996 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Moscone Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Moscone Title: Geographical variations in expenditure of learning disability services in England Abstract: This article investigates the determinants of local authority Learning Disability (LD) expenditure in England. It adopts a reduced form of demand and supply model, extended to account for possible interdependence between municipalities. Risk factors such as 'people aged under 14', 'mortality rate' and 'lone parents' seem to play an important role in explaining geographical variation of spending. Further, labour municipalities on average allocate lower resources on LD than do other political parties. Finally, results corroborate recent findings in economics that authorities interact with each other when allocating public resources. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2997-3005 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903425194 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903425194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:2997-3005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Harris Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Qian Cher Li Author-X-Name-First: Qian Cher Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Participation in export markets and the role of R&D: establishment-level evidence from the UK Community Innovation Survey 2005 Abstract: There is a strong expectation in the literature that exporting and innovation activities (particularly R&D) are strongly related, and that the need to be innovative is increasing over time due to globalization. In this study, we find that R&D is endogenous in a model that determines which British establishments enter export markets, and when such simultaneity is taken into account the strength of the export-innovation relationship is generally quite weak (especially in the nonmanufacturing sector). Rather, we find that the size of establishments and firms, foreign ownership, the extent of international co-operation and, most importantly, the industry sector to which the establishment belongs, are the most significant in explaining which establishments are able to overcome entry barriers into overseas markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3007-3020 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903427190 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903427190 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:3007-3020 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Egon Franck Author-X-Name-First: Egon Author-X-Name-Last: Franck Author-Name: Stephan Nuesch Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: Nuesch Title: The effect of wage dispersion on team outcome and the way team outcome is produced Abstract: The impact of intra-team pay dispersion on team productivity is a highly discussed issue. On the one hand, wage differentials provide incentives for higher employee effort. On the other hand, pay inequality may reduce team cohesiveness and increase feelings of relative deprivation leading to lower performance. Analysing nonlinear effects of wage dispersion in professional soccer, we find empirical evidence that team performance is strongest when there is either very high or very low wage inequality. Medium levels produce the weakest team performance. In addition, we show that the pay structure affects the team's playing style even after controlling for team and coach heterogeneity. We discuss the theoretical and managerial implications as well as the limits of generalization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3037-3049 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903427224 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903427224 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:3037-3049 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredrik Andersson Author-X-Name-First: Fredrik Author-X-Name-Last: Andersson Author-Name: Iben Bolvig Author-X-Name-First: Iben Author-X-Name-Last: Bolvig Author-Name: Matthew Freedman Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Freedman Author-Name: Julia Lane Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Lane Title: Lost jobs and health insurance: an analysis of the impact of employment volatility on firm-provided health insurance Abstract: It is an established fact that there are high levels of employment volatility in the US. Despite the importance of employer-provided benefits in the US health insurance system the impact of prior job instability on one's future ability to obtain insurance coverage is not well understood. This article finds a negative relationship between the volatility of a worker's employment and her likelihood of receiving firm-provided health insurance. Previous employment volatility reduces each of the four factors necessary to receive such insurance: a worker's subsequent chances of getting a job, her chances of getting a job in a firm that offers coverage, her chances of staying with the firm long enough to become eligible for coverage and her ability to take up insurance if offered. The most important impact is on the last: her ability to take up insurance if offered. Lack of employment is not the only, and not even the largest, barrier to individual coverage under this system. This finding has important policy implications, particularly given the recent tendency of employers to shift the cost of insurance premiums onto their employees. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3051-3073 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903427232 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903427232 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:3051-3073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chrysovalantis Karafillis Author-X-Name-First: Chrysovalantis Author-X-Name-Last: Karafillis Author-Name: Evaggelos Papanagiotou Author-X-Name-First: Evaggelos Author-X-Name-Last: Papanagiotou Title: Innovation and total factor productivity in organic farming Abstract: This article measures the contribution of innovations to Total Factor Productivity (TFP) of organic olive farmers. By constructing an innovation variable instead of using a time trend, technical change is replaced by technical difference and TFP growth becomes TFP difference. Primary cross-section data on organic olive enterprises from a Greek region is used in the application of the stochastic frontier profit function. Farmers are classified into groups according to their innovative 'profile'. TFP difference among consecutive innovation groups is decomposed into technical difference and adjustment in innovativeness effects. Results indicate that more innovative farmers perform better than less innovative ones regarding TFP scores. The rate of technical difference is always positive to the formation of TFP difference, whereas the adjustment in innovativeness effects varies among the innovation groups. Nevertheless, high-tech capital is to a different extent under-utilized, regardless of the innovation group. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3075-3087 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903427240 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903427240 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:3075-3087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Hopp Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Hopp Author-Name: Finn Rieder Author-X-Name-First: Finn Author-X-Name-Last: Rieder Title: What drives venture capital syndication? Abstract: Using a sample of 1485 funded firms in Germany, we analyse the driving forces of Venture Capitalist (VC) syndication and try to disentangle the circumstances under which VCs engage in collaboration with partners. The results indicate that syndication is more pronounced for younger funded firms. For firms where products are far from commercialization, the risks that investors face are more severe. With respect to disentangling the role of diversification and managerial resource motives we analyse the impact of syndication activities on the industry concentration in VC portfolios. The results indicate that (all else equal) more syndication leads to more pronounced concentration on certain industries. These findings are in line with the argument that VCs involve partners to leverage upon their idiosyncratic skills and knowledge to either improve deal selection and/or provide a better quality of managerial advice to the funded firm rather than simply using syndication to diversify portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3089-3102 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903427257 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903427257 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:3089-3102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chuang Yuang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chuang Yuang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Dar Hsin Chen Author-X-Name-First: Dar Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chin Yu Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Chin Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Title: The limitation of monotonicity property of option prices: an empirical evidence Abstract: Many option pricing models are based on the assumption that the underlying asset price follows one-dimensional diffusion process. An alternative approach is to test the properties that should hold for all models based on a given stochastic process for the underlying asset. Following Perignon (2006), we test the empirical validity of the monotonicity property for option prices by collecting all transaction data from 1 July 2006 to 31 December 2006 for option contracts traded on the Taiwan Futures Exchange (TAIFEX). We find that sampled intraday option prices violate the monotonicity property between 29.97% and 57% of the time, and that call and put prices often increase, or decrease, together. We also find evidence to show that the frequent violations of the monotonicity property are to a large extent attributable to microstructure effects and that they arise from rational trading tactics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3103-3113 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903427265 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903427265 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:3103-3113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauro Mastrogiacomo Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Mastrogiacomo Author-Name: Nicole Bosch Author-X-Name-First: Nicole Author-X-Name-Last: Bosch Title: Tax credits, labour participation and home production in the Netherlands Abstract: We set up a dynamic reduced form model of labour market participation for women who balance career and motherhood. The model accounts for the occurrence of future child birth and early retirement, and includes home production; however, it does not require the estimation of a structural model. Careful implementation of pension institutions can return optimal life patterns of participation without the need of a structural approach. The weaker theoretical framework is compensated by the rich spectrum of possible policy simulations. As illustration, we simulate the effect of two tax credits policy options on the hazard rate out of work. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3115-3128 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903459953 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903459953 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:3115-3128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Blankenau Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Blankenau Author-Name: Steven Cassou Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Cassou Title: Industry estimates of the elasticity of substitution and the rate of biased technological change between skilled and unskilled labour Abstract: We estimate the elasticity of substitution between skilled and unskilled labour and the pace of skill-biased technological change at the industry level. The data is compiled from the March extract of the Current Population Survey (CPS) from 1968 to 2006. Industry information provided by the survey is used to group workers into 13 industry categories and education levels are used to dichotomize workers as skilled or unskilled. We construct measures of the ratio of skilled to unskilled employment and the ratio of skilled to unskilled wages in each industry. Using a relationship implied by profit maximizing behaviour on the part of representative firms, this data generates estimates of structural parameters. We find considerable differences across industries in the elasticity of substitution between skilled and unskilled labour. Furthermore, while most industries have experienced skill-biased technological change, the pace of this change has varied widely across industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3129-3142 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903476361 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903476361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:3129-3142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony Glass Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Glass Title: The rise and fall of Railtrack PLC: an event study Abstract: Forming Railtrack was a key part of the privatization of British Rail (BR). Railtrack took over the ownership of BR's fixed infrastructure in April 1994 and its parent company, the Railtrack Group, was floated in May 1996 on the London Stock Exchange (LSE). Despite the group posting some excellent financial results in the early years, Railtrack's record on infrastructure improvement and safety was frequently criticized. This apparent inconsistency between shareholder interests and public service obligations culminated in Railtrack being placed in administration in October 2001. In view of this apparent inconsistency and the High Court claim for additional compensation brought against the government by a group of 49 000 small investors, the reaction of the stock market to 19 key events is modelled. Among other things, we find when Railtrack announced after the fatal derailment of a high-speed train near the Hertfordshire town of Hatfield that there would be a 6-month programme of emergency track repairs, the Group's share price was marked down, but it did not plummet. Even though Railtrack was in panic mode, it appears that investors decided to hold onto their shares, believing the panic would have no long-term repercussions. This proved to be a huge error of judgement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3143-3153 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903476379 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903476379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:3143-3153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michiel van Leuvensteijn Author-X-Name-First: Michiel Author-X-Name-Last: van Leuvensteijn Author-Name: Jacob Bikker Author-X-Name-First: Jacob Author-X-Name-Last: Bikker Author-Name: Adrian van Rixtel Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: van Rixtel Author-Name: Christoffer Kok Sørensen Author-X-Name-First: Christoffer Kok Author-X-Name-Last: Sørensen Title: A new approach to measuring competition in the loan markets of the euro area Abstract: This article is the first that applies a new measure of competition, the Boone indicator, to the banking industry. This approach is able to measure competition of bank market segments, such as the loan market, whereas many well-known measures of competition can consider the entire banking market only. Like most other model-based measures, this approach ignores differences in bank product quality and design, as well as the attractiveness of innovations. We measure competition on the lending markets in the five major EU countries as well as, for comparison, the UK, the US and Japan. Our findings indicate that over the period 1994-2004 the US had the most competitive loan market, whereas overall loan markets in Germany and Spain were among the best competitive in the EU. The Netherlands occupied a more intermediate position, whereas in Italy competition declined significantly over time. The French, Japanese and UK loan markets were generally less competitive. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3155-3167 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903493234 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903493234 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:3155-3167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Norbert Michel Author-X-Name-First: Norbert Author-X-Name-Last: Michel Title: Another look at the spending response to the 2001 income tax rebates Abstract: This article revisits the spending response to the 2001 US tax rebates by focussing on two key aspects of how tax policy researchers use the Consumer Expenditure Survey (CEX). These two attributes, which are often overlooked, are as follows: the measures used for consumption and the 'outlier' criteria applied to the data. First, I reproduce the results in Johnson et al. (2006), which (using the CEX) concluded that households immediately spent 20-40% of their rebates on nondurable consumption goods. Then, I show how making two changes - both of which are relied upon in the literature - affects their results. These adjustments reduce the estimated magnitude of the rebate's impact by as much as 100%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3169-3174 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903493242 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903493242 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:3169-3174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Armando Barrientos Author-X-Name-First: Armando Author-X-Name-Last: Barrientos Author-Name: Rachel Sabates-Wheeler Author-X-Name-First: Rachel Author-X-Name-Last: Sabates-Wheeler Title: Strategic complementarities and social transfers: how do PROGRESA payments impact nonbeneficiaries? Abstract: The article examines local economy effects of social transfers by focusing on food consumption and asset holdings of noneligible households in rural Mexico following the introduction of Programa de Educacion, Salud y Alimentacion (PROGRESA) in 1997. The quasi experimental nature of the evaluation data collected for the purposes of evaluating the impact of PROGRESA enables comparison of welfare indicators among noneligible households in treatment areas and control areas. The analysis finds that noneligible households in treatment areas show significantly higher levels of food consumption and asset holdings following the introduction of PROGRESA, compared to noneligible households in control areas. These results are interpreted to suggest that transfers in poor rural areas in Mexico enable agents to interact more strategically such that nonbeneficiaries, as well as beneficiaries, reap consumption and production advantages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3175-3185 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903493259 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903493259 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:3175-3185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anh Tran Author-X-Name-First: Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Author-Name: Bang Nam Jeon Author-X-Name-First: Bang Nam Author-X-Name-Last: Jeon Title: The dynamic impact of macroeconomic factors on initial public offerings: evidence from time-series analysis Abstract: This article examines the explanatory power and the dynamic impact of macroeconomic conditions on Initial Public Offering (IPO) activities in US during the period from 1970 to 2005. Applying time-series econometric techniques, we find the existence of long-run equilibrium relationships between IPO activities and selected macroeconomic variables. Stock market performance and volatility are shown to play the most important role in the timing of IPOs. The Fed funds rate and the 10 year US Treasury Bond (TB) yield play a comparable role in determining the amount of proceeds raised in the IPOs. There also exist different short-run dynamic adjustment mechanisms between IPOs and macroeconomic factors towards the long run equilibrium path and they are mostly completed within the period of 6 months to 1 year. The results have some useful implications for forecasting IPO activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3187-3201 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903493267 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903493267 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:3187-3201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarja Viitanen Author-X-Name-First: Tarja Author-X-Name-Last: Viitanen Title: Child care voucher and labour market behaviour: experimental evidence from Finland Abstract: This article provides experimental estimates of the impact of a voucher for private care on labour force participation and use of private and public child care within the Nordic system of universal provision of public care. In a market that was providing high-quality, low-cost public child care, a voucher is nevertheless found to have a significant, positive effect for the use of private child care with zero effects on either use of public care or labour force participation. The use of private increased by five percentage points in the whole country and by five to seven percentage points in areas that suffer from excess demand for child care as a result of the introduction of the private child care voucher. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3203-3212 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903508346 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903508346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:3203-3212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuseppe Ferrero Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrero Author-Name: Andrea Nobili Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Nobili Author-Name: Patrizia Passiglia Author-X-Name-First: Patrizia Author-X-Name-Last: Passiglia Title: Assessing excess liquidity in the euro area: the role of sectoral distribution of money Abstract: The strong and prolonged deviation of money growth from its reference value since 2001 has caused concern among policy-makers about the upside risks to price stability from monetary developments. In this article we provide evidence that these risks might have been smaller until 2005 than regularly assumed. Three basic findings support this view. First, a sectoral breakdown of money holdings shows that current excess liquidity conditions have been partly related to the acceleration of nonbank financial intermediaries' money demand, as well as to the accumulation of marketable instruments. Such increases are likely to be associated more to portfolio choices than to transaction motives. Second, evidence from balance sheet data on investment funds points to a general increase in the relative importance of this sector in the economy, rather than to a higher degree of liquidity of their asset positions, thus reflecting, to a large extent, a permanent change in the financial structure of the economy. Third, excess liquidity measures that exclude nonbank financial intermediaries' money holdings have more predictive power for future inflation at medium-term horizons than those that include them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3213-3230 Issue: 23 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903508353 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903508353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:23:p:3213-3230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Massomeh Hajilee Author-X-Name-First: Massomeh Author-X-Name-Last: Hajilee Title: Impact of exchange rate uncertainty on commodity trade between US and Sweden Abstract: Previous studies that investigated the effects of exchange rate uncertainty on the trade flows of Sweden employed aggregate trade data either between Sweden and the rest of the world or at bilateral level between Sweden and her major trading partners. In this article, we disaggregate the trade data and employ the import and export data from 87 industries that trade between Sweden and the US. We find that exchange rate volatility has significant short-run effects on the trade flows between the two countries in almost two-third of the industries. However, the short-run effects are translated into the long-run effects in one-third of the cases. Furthermore, the real depreciation of krona against the dollar was found to have favourable effects on the overall trade balance between the two countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3231-3251 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903508361 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903508361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3231-3251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Symeonidis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Symeonidis Title: Competition and the relative productivity of large and small firms Abstract: Using a comprehensive dataset on the incidence of price-fixing across British manufacturing industries in the 1950s, I compare collusive and competitive industries and find evidence of a negative relationship between collusion and the labour productivity of larger firms relative to smaller firms. In particular, collusion is associated with a reduction or even a reversal of the productivity gap between larger and smaller firms. This result is robust to controlling for the potential endogeneity of collusion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3253-3264 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903508379 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903508379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3253-3264 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Aguilar Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Aguilar Title: Conjoint analysis of industry location preferences: evidence from the softwood lumber industry in the US Abstract: Conjoint Analysis (CA) was used to study location preferences among members of the softwood lumber industry in the southern and western regions of the US. This industry was selected as an example of a resource-based industry to test several hypotheses derived from location theory. Decision-makers, owners and managers, identified price of logs and distance to sources for logs as the most important location factors. A secondary category included wages and energy costs. Other variables such as cost of land, quality of access roads and distance to markets are less important. There were statistically significant differences in the part-worth estimates of raw materials and wage costs among decision-makers but not between regions in an ordered model for site preference. Marginal analysis of the price of logs stressed its importance as the major location factor in the softwood lumber industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3265-3274 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903508387 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903508387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3265-3274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sean Murphy Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Author-Name: Robert Rosenman Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenman Author-Name: Jonathan Yoder Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Yoder Author-Name: Daniel Friesner Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Friesner Title: Patients' perceptions and treatment effectiveness Abstract: An extensive literature relating patients' expectations to treatment outcomes has not addressed the determinants of these expectations. We argue that treatment history is part of a reference point that influences the patients' expectations of how effective further treatment might be, thus influencing whether to proceed with additional treatment or not. We hypothesize that those patients with unsuccessful prior treatments have diminished expected improvement from subsequent treatments. Prospect Theory (PT) provides a theoretical foundation for reference frame effects, and the model is tested with data on patients diagnosed with Idiopathic Intracranial Hypertension (IIH). Our results support the reference frame hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3275-3288 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903508395 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903508395 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3275-3288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Ding Li Author-X-Name-First: Ding Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yang-Cheng Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Purchasing power parity for East-Asia countries: further evidence based on panel stationary test with multiple structural breaks Abstract: In this article, we re-investigate the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) for a sample of 10 East-Asia countries over the period of January 1987 to June 2005, using a recently developed econometric technique of the panel stationary test with multiple structural breaks, proposed by Carrion-i-Silvestre et al. (2005). This test considers multiple structural breaks positioned at different unknown dates and a different number of breaks for each individual. Empirical evidence shows that the PPP holds true for half of 10 East-Asia countries during the research period. Our results have important policy implications for these 10 East-Asia countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3289-3298 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903508403 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903508403 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3289-3298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Mazzanti Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzanti Author-Name: Anna Montini Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Montini Author-Name: Francesco Nicolli Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Nicolli Title: Embedding landfill diversion in economic, geographical and policy settings Abstract: We analyse the process of landfill diversion embedding the dynamics in a frame where economic, geographical and policy variables enter the arena. We aim at investigating in depth what main drivers may be responsible for such a phenomenon. We exploit a rich panel dataset covering all the 103 Italian provinces. The case study on Italy is worth being considered provided that Italy is a main country in the EU, thus offering important pieces of information on the evaluation of policies. Evidence shows that the observed decoupling between economic growth and landfilling is driven by a mix of structural factors, as population density and waste management strategies. If on the one hand, the landfill tax is not arising as a significant driver of the phenomenon, other waste management instruments are associated with high significant negative effect on landfilled waste. In association to the features of the tariff system, we also underline the key role played by the share of separated collection in driving down landfilling of waste. Both the evolution of collection and tariff system are joint factors that may drive a wedge between the comparative waste performances of northern and southern regions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3299-3311 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903559612 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903559612 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3299-3311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcus Alexander Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Author-Name: Matthew Harding Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Harding Author-Name: Carlos Lamarche Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Lamarche Title: Quantifying the impact of economic crises on infant mortality in advanced economies Abstract: Policy makers rely on a mix of government spending and tax cuts to address the imbalances in the economy during an economic crisis, by promoting price stability and renewed economic growth. However, little discussion appears to focus explicitly on quantifying the cost of economic crises in terms of human lives, especially the lives of the most vulnerable members of society, infants. Using a statistical approach that is robust to the increases of mortality in outlying years, we quantify the effect that economic crises, periods of prolonged economic recession, have on infant mortality. Moreover, we investigate whether different levels of public spending on health across advanced industrialized democracies can mitigate the impact of crises on infant mortality. We find that economic crises are extremely costly and lead to a more than proportional increase in infant mortality in the short-run. Substantial public spending on health is required in order to limit their impact. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3313-3323 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036840903559620 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036840903559620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3313-3323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Thornton Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Does more medical care improve population health? New evidence for an old controversy Abstract: This article investigates the aggregate relationship between medical care and health for the US population. I use annual state level panel data for the period 1983 to 2000 to estimate static and dynamic health production function models. I find no compelling evidence that greater aggregate utilization of medical care from application of existing technology improves population health by lowering mortality in the short run or long run. My results suggest that development of new medical technologies that diffuse rapidly throughout the nation and at different rates across states may well explain much of the decline in the age-adjusted death rate over the past several decades, as well as persistent differences in mortality across geographic regions. Overall, my findings suggest that the US may be experiencing 'flat of the curve medicine' with future improvements in mortality from medical care coming from new and better technologies rather than greater intensity of services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3325-3336 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003636243 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003636243 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3325-3336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Szymon Wlazlowski Author-X-Name-First: Szymon Author-X-Name-Last: Wlazlowski Author-Name: Bjorn Hagstromer Author-X-Name-First: Bjorn Author-X-Name-Last: Hagstromer Author-Name: Monica Giulietti Author-X-Name-First: Monica Author-X-Name-Last: Giulietti Title: Causality in crude oil prices Abstract: Crude oil markets witness growing disparity between the quality of crudes supplied and demanded in the market. The market share of low-quality crudes is increasing due to the depletion of old fields and increasing demand. This is unnerving the practitioners and affecting the relevance of the traditional benchmark crudes due to the lack of lower quality benchmarks (Montepeque, 2005). In this article, we apply Granger causality tests to study the price dependence of 32 crudes in order to establish which crudes drive other prices and which ones simply follow general market trends. Our results indicate that some of the old benchmarks are still relevant while others can be disregarded. Our results also interestingly show that the low-quality Mediterranean Russian Urals crude, introduced in the late 1990s, has emerged recently as a significant driver of global prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3337-3347 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003636250 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003636250 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3337-3347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mete Feridun Author-X-Name-First: Mete Author-X-Name-Last: Feridun Title: Impact of terrorism on tourism in Turkey: empirical evidence from Turkey Abstract: This article aims at investigating the causal impact of terrorist attacks on the tourism industry in Turkey based on the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing procedure for the period between 1986 and 2006. The ARDL bounds test reveals that tourism is in a long-run equilibrium level relationship with terrorism. The evidence obtained from the long-run and short-run parameter estimates indicates the existence of a negative causal effect of terrorism on tourism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3349-3354 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003636268 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003636268 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3349-3354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katarina Nordblom Author-X-Name-First: Katarina Author-X-Name-Last: Nordblom Title: The complex attitudes to alcohol taxation Abstract: Alcoholic beverages are taxed at very different rates across the EU, which implies extensive cross-border shopping. Therefore, there is an ongoing debate about harmonization of alcohol taxes among countries. Sweden, with a tradition of high alcohol taxes due to public health arguments, has the highest excise duties on spirits in the EU. But, because of this, the occurrence and possible problems caused by cross-border shopping are also extensive. Using a questionnaire survey I analyse the Swedes' attitudes to alcohol taxation and find that these two sides of the coin are important determinants. Many respondents want to decrease the alcohol tax, while some even want to increase it. Those most positive to alcohol taxation are those who regard increased alcohol consumption as a worrying problem and those living in areas where many adults are treated for alcohol-related diseases. However, the ordered-probit analysis also shows that those who support the EU membership are more supportive of reduced taxation to harmonize the Swedish tax with those in other EU countries. Those who live in regions where privately imported alcohol is substantial are also more reluctant to alcohol taxation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3355-3364 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003636276 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003636276 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3355-3364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Woojin Chung Author-X-Name-First: Woojin Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Monica Das Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Monica Das Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Factors influencing 'missing girls' in South Korea Abstract: Despite the massive attention drawn to 'missing girls,' there has been no study that specifically focuses on the association between childlessness and the daughter deficit. Using a bivariate probit selection model, this article analysed the data for 6475 married women aged 15-49 years collected from the 2003 Korea National Fertility and Family Health Survey. The results showed that a couple's decision to have a child exerted a significant influence on its daughter deficit. This study also found that the effect of a woman's education on daughter deficit did not correspond to that of her husband's level of education. Additionally, a prediction was made that if a one child family norm were prevailing in South Korea, the probability of a couple's having a daughter deficit would increase by as much as 63.9%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3365-3378 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003636284 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003636284 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3365-3378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joanne Xiaolei Qian Author-X-Name-First: Joanne Xiaolei Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Educational expenditure in urban China: income effects, family characteristics and the demand for domestic and overseas education Abstract: Analysing survey data from 32 selected cities across China in 2003, this article examines parents' expenditure on their children's education from two aspects: factors affecting domestic education expenditure and factors affecting expenditure on overseas education. The main findings that emerge from this study are as follows. First, household income has significant effects on the magnitude of the domestic and overseas educational expenditures. Second, households where mothers have senior secondary school or college education, and fathers are working in professional occupations are likely to spend more on education for their children. Third, being in the highest income category, having a college-educated father, having a mother who is a cadre or middle professional and living in a coastal area significantly enhances the probabilities for the households sending their children overseas for education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3379-3394 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003636292 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003636292 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3379-3394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. J. Power Author-X-Name-First: G. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Power Author-Name: C. Turvey Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Turvey Title: What explains long memory in futures price volatility? Abstract: Long memory in futures price volatility is a well-documented stylized fact with implications for market efficiency, risk management, forecasting and option pricing bias. The implications of long-memory differ, however, based on whether it is of a 'fractional' or of a 'stochastic' type. The aims of this article are to determine, in the case of agricultural commodity futures data, which type better describes price volatility and also to evaluate several competing explanations for findings of long memory. The evidence presented here finds little support for three out of four potential explanations, namely, excessive noise in the volatility measure, bias in the long-memory estimator and understated SEs of the long-memory parameter. For the data considered, price volatility appears to be most likely generated by a nonfractional long-memory process such as a stochastic break or stochastic unit root. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3395-3404 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003636300 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003636300 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3395-3404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shin-Yun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shin-Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Cheng-Few Lee Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Few Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making for evaluating mutual fund strategies Abstract: Investors often need to evaluate investment strategies according to their own subjective preferences based upon various criteria. This situation can be regarded as a Fuzzy Multiple Criteria Decision-Making (FMCDM) problem. The purpose of this study is to propose an FMCDM approach with fuzzy integral. This approach relaxes the independence assumption among criteria for the evaluation of the Multiple Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) problems, which is oftentimes the basic assumption in applying hierarchical system for evaluating the strategies of selecting investment style. We also employ Triangular Fuzzy Numbers (TFNs) to represent the decision-makers' subjective preferences on the criteria, as well as for the criteria measurements to evaluate mutual funds investment style. To achieve this objective, first, we employ factor analysis to extract four independent common factors from those criteria. Second, we construct the evaluation frame using hierarchical system composed of four common factors with 16 evaluation criteria, and then derive the relative weights with respect to the considered criteria. Third, the synthetic utility value corresponding to each mutual fund's investment style is aggregated by the fuzzy weights with fuzzy performance values. Finally, we compare with empirical data and find that the model of FMCDM predicts the rate of return very accurately in certain ranges of λ, hence the nonadditive fuzzy integral technique is an effective method for evaluating mutual funds' strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3405-3414 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003636318 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003636318 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3405-3414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pinar Celikkol Geylani Author-X-Name-First: Pinar Celikkol Author-X-Name-Last: Geylani Author-Name: Spiro Stefanou Author-X-Name-First: Spiro Author-X-Name-Last: Stefanou Title: Productivity growth patterns in US dairy products manufacturing plants Abstract: We analyse the productivity growth patterns in the US dairy products industry using the Census Bureau's plant-level data set. We decompose Total Factor Productivity (TFP) growth into the scale and technical change components and analyse variability of plants' productivity by constructing transition matrices. We observe a cross-sectional dispersion in plant-level productivity growth in the industry. Even though the industry aggregate shows a small TFP growth rate -0.3%, quartile rank analysis shows that while the lowest productivity quartile plants average 1.9% loss in productivity, the highest productivity quartile plants average 1.1% growth annually. Our results show considerable movements of plants in their productivity rank categories overall and across age groups, and we find that the scale effect contribution to TFP growth accounts for about 90% of TFP growth on average in the industry. These plants extract scale efficiencies over technological progress to fuel TFP growth. The youngest plants start with the lowest productivity growth at the initial time period, but they catch up older plants productivity, which present the highest average growth rate through years. This may indicate a 'learning-by-doing' process for the industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3415-3432 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003636326 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003636326 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3415-3432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Ferruz Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Ferruz Author-Name: Fernando Munoz Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Munoz Author-Name: Maria Vargas Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Vargas Title: Are traditional timing models well specified? Abstract: Traditional timing models are affected by several biases, which generate spurious timing and stock-picking coefficients. Academics have appointed different causes as the possible sources of these biases. A negative correlation between timing and stock-picking abilities arises as a consequence of the biases in traditional timing models. This article provides evidence for one bias commonly found in traditional timing models, which is related with options. We focus on this bias in view of the scant attention it has so far received in the literature. We believe one possible cause for this bias is the failure to include the cost of the option implicit in timing activities in the timing models, and on this basis, we opt for a corrected version of the Merton and Henriksson model (1981). This study therefore is a pioneer in the assessment of the magnitude of this bias and in the measurement of the impact of its correction on fund managers' results. Our results confirm both the existence of the bias and the correction of the problem when the cost of the option is included in timing models. The modified version of the Merton and Henriksson model, unlike the traditional model, reports positive timing and stock-picking coefficients, supporting the good performance by managers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3433-3440 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003636334 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003636334 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3433-3440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanjiv Jaggia Author-X-Name-First: Sanjiv Author-X-Name-Last: Jaggia Title: Identifiability of the misspecified split hazard models Abstract: Unlike standard models, a split population hazard model allows the exit probability to be less than one. Although conceptually attractive, split models are prone to identification problems. In the reduced form estimation of the hazard function, the influence of split may not be distinguishable from that of neglected heterogeneity. For illustration, I use Monte Carlo simulations to highlight the problem of interpreting the structural parameters of the split Weibull and the Weibull-gamma models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3441-3447 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003652422 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003652422 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3441-3447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sankar Mukhopadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Sankar Author-X-Name-Last: Mukhopadhyay Author-Name: Jeanne Wendel Author-X-Name-First: Jeanne Author-X-Name-Last: Wendel Title: Is post-smoking-cessation weight-gain a significant trigger for relapse? Abstract: While the Surgeon General's Consumer Guide lists weight-gain as an important relapse trigger, the 2001 Surgeon General's Report on Women and Smoking concludes, paradoxically, that actual weight-gain during cessation does not appear to predict relapse. This dichotomous view reflects longstanding scientific uncertainty about the role of weight-gain in triggering relapse. This scientific uncertainty, which stems from mixed clinical trial results, is problematic for insurance coverage decisions such as state Medicaid programme decisions to cover or exclude smoking-cessation and weight-control pharmaceuticals. Analysts hypothesize that selection bias may explain the inconsistency between the negative clinical results and the persistent view that weight-gain triggers relapse, if weight-concern is both a key determinant of the transition from 'smoker' to 'ex-smoker,' and a key moderating variable in the relationship between weight-gain and relapse. We therefore use the nationally representative 1997 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY97) to test the relapse-trigger hypothesis, and conclude that post-smoking-cessation weight-gain triggers relapse among weight-concerned white women, but it is associated with quitting success among Hispanic women. In addition, our results do not support the hypothesis that the mixed clinical trial results reflect selection bias based on weight-concern. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3449-3457 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003652430 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003652430 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3449-3457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Girma Kassie Author-X-Name-First: Girma Author-X-Name-Last: Kassie Author-Name: Awudu Abdulai Author-X-Name-First: Awudu Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulai Author-Name: Clemens Wollny Author-X-Name-First: Clemens Author-X-Name-Last: Wollny Title: Heteroscedastic hedonic price model for cattle in the rural markets of central Ethiopia Abstract: This study employs a heteroscedastic hedonic price model to examine the factors that influence cattle prices in the rural markets of central Ethiopia. The empirical results show that season, market location, class of cattle, body size and age are very important determinants of the cattle price. The relative weight of the phenotypic characteristics of the animals is among the highest of all the factors considered. These preferences at the farmers' and farmer traders' levels are the ones that matter most in shaping the diversity of animals kept at farm level, and the diversity of cattle genetic resources is quite essential for generating or identifying the best suited breeds of cattle, given the livelihood objectives of the target community. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3459-3464 Issue: 24 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003670614 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003670614 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:24:p:3459-3464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ulf Rinne Author-X-Name-First: Ulf Author-X-Name-Last: Rinne Author-Name: Marc Schneider Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Schneider Author-Name: Arne Uhlendorff Author-X-Name-First: Arne Author-X-Name-Last: Uhlendorff Title: Do the skilled and prime-aged unemployed benefit more from training? Effect heterogeneity of public training programmes in Germany Abstract: This study analyses the treatment effects of public training programmes for the unemployed in Germany. Based on propensity score matching methods, we extend the picture that has been sketched in previous studies by estimating the treatment effects of medium-term programmes for different skill and age groups. Our results indicate that programme participation has a positive impact on employment probabilities and earnings for almost all sub-groups. We find little evidence for the presence of heterogeneous treatment effects, and the magnitude of the differences is quite small. Our results thus - at least in part - conflict with the strategy to provide training increasingly to individuals with better employment prospects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3465-3494 Issue: 25 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003670697 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003670697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:25:p:3465-3494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Ayala Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Ayala Author-Name: Carolina Navarro Author-X-Name-First: Carolina Author-X-Name-Last: Navarro Author-Name: Mercedes Sastre Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Sastre Title: Cross-country income mobility comparisons under panel attrition: the relevance of weighting schemes Abstract: This article aims to present an assessment of the effects of panel attrition on income mobility comparisons for some EU countries by using the European Community Household Panel (ECHP). There are different possibilities of correcting the attrition problem by means of alternative longitudinal weighting schemes. The sensitivity of mobility estimates to these attrition correction procedures is tested in this article. Our results show that ECHP attrition is characterized by a certain degree of selectivity but only affecting some variables and countries. Different probability models corroborate the existence of a certain nonrandom attrition. The model chosen to construct the longitudinal weights to correct attrition offers up rather different results than those obtained when Eurostat's longitudinal weights are used. Although attrition does not seem to have a great effect on aggregated mobility indicators, it does have a decisive effect on decomposition exercises. Our tests reveal certain sensitivity of income mobility measures to the weighting system used. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3495-3521 Issue: 25 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003670705 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003670705 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:25:p:3495-3521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryan Compton Author-X-Name-First: Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Compton Author-Name: Daniel Giedeman Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Giedeman Title: Panel evidence on finance, institutions and economic growth Abstract: This article investigates whether the level of institutional development affects the link between financial development and economic growth. Using a range of cross-sectional and panel approaches we find that the positive effect of banking development on growth is reduced as the level of institutions (e.g. rule of law, lack of corruption) increases. We do not, however, find a similar result when we examine the joint effect of institutional level and stock market development on economic growth. We attribute these results to the ability of banks to perform functions similar to those provided by well-operating institutions, whereas stock markets do not perform such comparable functions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3523-3547 Issue: 25 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003670713 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003670713 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:25:p:3523-3547 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Devicienti Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Devicienti Author-Name: Ambra Poggi Author-X-Name-First: Ambra Author-X-Name-Last: Poggi Title: Poverty and social exclusion: two sides of the same coin or dynamically interrelated processes? Abstract: There is growing interest in the analysis and measurement of social exclusion, to complement the static and dynamic literature on income poverty. On theoretical grounds, social exclusion and income poverty are seen as different processes, but with closely interrelated dynamics. However, our empirical understanding of the way these two processes dynamically interact at the individual level is still very limited. To shed some light on the issue, we use a dynamic bivariate probit model, controlling for unobserved heterogeneity and Wooldridge (2005)-type initial conditions. Both the first- and second-order Markov dynamics are examined. We estimate the model using the Italian sample of the European Community Household Panel (ECHP), waves 1-8, and find a sizable extent of state dependence in both poverty and social exclusion. Moreover, there are dynamic cross-effects implying that poverty and social exclusion are mutually reinforcing. Social policies aimed at eradicating poverty and avoiding individuals' social and economic marginalization should take these interaction effects explicitly into account. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3549-3571 Issue: 25 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003670721 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003670721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:25:p:3549-3571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Bafumi Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Bafumi Title: Animal spirits: the effect of economic expectations on economic output Abstract: The public is characterized as able forecasters of future economic performance. They engage in rational expectations. Empirical evidence exists to bolster the claim. This article considers the possibility that the public does more than predict economic output. They may engage in a self-fulfilling prophecy where belief about the future economy translates into personal financial behaviour (e.g., consumption and investment) that actually drives economic performance. After controlling for rational expectations with elite forecasts, leading indicators and past economic performance, it is shown that between 5% and one-third of the variance in economic output can be explained by prospective economic sentiment. This result has broad implications for electoral behaviour research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3573-3589 Issue: 25 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003670739 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003670739 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:25:p:3573-3589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ofer Azar Author-X-Name-First: Ofer Author-X-Name-Last: Azar Author-Name: Michael Bar-Eli Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Bar-Eli Title: Do soccer players play the mixed-strategy Nash equilibrium? Abstract: Mixed-Strategy Nash Equilibrium (MSNE) is a commonly used solution concept in game-theoretic models in various fields in economics, management and other disciplines, but the experimental results whether the MSNE predicts well actual play in games is mixed. Consequently, the evidence for naturally occurring games in which the MSNE predicts the outcome well is of great importance, as it can justify the vast use of MSNE in models. The game between the kicker and the goalkeeper in soccer penalty kicks is a real-world game that can be used to examine the application of the MSNE concept or its accuracy, because payoffs are a common knowledge, the players have huge incentives to play correctly, the game is simple enough to analyse, its Nash equilibrium is in mixed strategies, and players' actions can be observed. We collected and analysed the data on the direction of kicks and jumps in penalty kicks in various top leagues and tournaments. Our analysis suggests that the MSNE predictions are the closest to the actual sample data, even though some other prediction methods use information on the marginal distribution of kicks or jumps, whereas the MSNE does not. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3591-3601 Issue: 25 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003670747 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003670747 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:25:p:3591-3601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katsushi Imai Author-X-Name-First: Katsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Imai Author-Name: Raghav Gaiha Author-X-Name-First: Raghav Author-X-Name-Last: Gaiha Author-Name: Woojin Kang Author-X-Name-First: Woojin Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: Vulnerability and poverty dynamics in Vietnam Abstract: Drawing upon the Vietnam Household Living Standards Survey (VHLSS) data that cover the whole of Vietnam in 2002 and 2004, ex ante measures of vulnerability are constructed. These are then compared with static indicators of poverty (i.e. the headcount ratio in a particular year). Detailed analyses of the panel data show that (i) in general, vulnerability in 2002 translates into poverty in 2004; (ii) vulnerability of the poor tends to perpetuate their poverty and (iii) sections of the nonpoor but vulnerable slip into poverty. Durable reduction in poverty is conditional on (i) accurate identification of the vulnerable, (ii) their sources of vulnerability and (iii) design of social safety nets that would enable the vulnerable to reduce risks and cope better with rapid integration of markets with the larger global economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3603-3618 Issue: 25 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003670754 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003670754 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:25:p:3603-3618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdul Aleem Author-X-Name-First: Abdul Author-X-Name-Last: Aleem Author-Name: Amine Lahiani Author-X-Name-First: Amine Author-X-Name-Last: Lahiani Title: Estimation and evaluation of core inflation measures Abstract: This article estimates and evaluates different measures of core inflation for India by employing statistical and econometric approaches. We estimate Wholesale Price Index (WPI) ex-food, WPI ex-food and energy, 20% asymmetric trimmed mean, 63rd percentile and Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) measures of core inflation. The trimmed mean, 63rd percentile and SVAR measures are unbiased, less volatile and highly correlated to headline inflation. The predictive accuracy of the different core inflation measures used in this article is assessed. The overall result suggests that a 20% asymmetric trimmed mean and SVAR measures of core inflation can be useful for the policy purposes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3619-3629 Issue: 25 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003670770 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003670770 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:25:p:3619-3629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Seema Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Seema Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Is health care really a luxury in OECD countries? Evidence from alternative price deflators Abstract: This article examines whether real Health-care Expenditure (HE) is a luxury or necessity for Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries over the period 1972 to 2004 within a panel unit root and panel cointegration framework. To realize this objective, we regress HE on real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the proportion of the population aged over 65 (P65) and a time trend (T). We first present results for 18 countries where real HE per capita is obtained using a general GDP deflator. For these countries, we find that health care is a luxury for just one country. Next, we present results for eight countries where real HE is obtained using a specific health-care price index. When the general GDP deflator is replaced with a specific health-care price index, at least one of the GDP, P65 or T coefficients for the eight countries changes in a reasonably dramatic fashion, suggesting that the use of the GDP deflator introduces bias into the regression. We find that HE is a necessity in all eight countries. Given that the reliability of the GDP deflator results is questionable, on the basis of the results for the eight countries, we conclude that HE is a necessity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3631-3643 Issue: 25 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003670788 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003670788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:25:p:3631-3643 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Morrisey Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Morrisey Author-Name: David Grabowski Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Grabowski Title: Gas prices, beer taxes and GDL programmes: effects on auto fatalities among young adults in the US Abstract: Efforts to reduce teenage driving fatalities can be categorized as: enhancing driving skills, constraining driving behaviour and limiting the exposure of young drivers to the road. This article uses state-year specific Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) data on the motor vehicle fatalities of young adults aged 15-24 to estimate the effects of gasoline prices, beer taxes and the enactment of Graduated Drivers License (GDL) programmes over the 1985-2006 period. Results indicate that a 10% increase in gasoline prices reduce fatalities by 3.2-6.2%. The largest percentage reductions occurred among 15- to 17-year-old drivers. 10% higher beer taxes were estimated to reduce motor vehicle fatalities among young drivers by approximately 1.3%. In this case, there was virtually no effect on 15- to 17-year-old drivers. Finally, the introduction of more restrictive GDL programmes, those with a 6-month learner's permit phase and subsequent limits on early nighttime driving or on the number of passengers, reduced fatalities among 15- to 17-year-old drivers by 24%. The effects on 18- to 21-year-old drivers were smaller and the weakest GDL programmes had no effect on fatalities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3645-3654 Issue: 25 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003670796 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003670796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:25:p:3645-3654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hashem Dezhbakhsh Author-X-Name-First: Hashem Author-X-Name-Last: Dezhbakhsh Author-Name: Paul Rubin Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Rubin Title: From the 'econometrics of capital punishment' to the 'capital punishment' of econometrics: on the use and abuse of sensitivity analysis Abstract: The academic debate over the deterrent effect of capital punishment has intensified again with a major policy outcome at stake. About two dozen empirical studies have recently emerged that explore the issue. Donohue and Wolfers (2005) claim to have examined the recent studies and shown the evidence not to be robust to specification changes. We argue that the narrow scope of their study does not warrant this claim. Moreover, focusing on our two studies that they have examined, we show the deterrence findings to be robust, while their work has serious flaws and their reporting appears to be selective. The selectivity is biased towards showing 'no deterrence'. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3655-3670 Issue: 25 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003670804 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003670804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:25:p:3655-3670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Podrecca Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Podrecca Title: Labour market institutions and wage setting: evidence for OECD countries Abstract: The main channel through which labour market institutions are supposed to work in affecting unemployment is through their effects on the key parameters of the wage curve. In particular, labour market institutions may have both a direct wage push (or level) effect, i.e. change the level of the real wage for any given level of the unemployment rate and productivity, and an indirect slope effect, i.e. change the responsiveness of the real wage to the unemployment rate. The question this article addresses is whether there is any evidence that these transmission mechanisms were at work in a group of 20 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries over the period 1960 to 1999. The analysis is accomplished in two steps. Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimates of a wage equation including unemployment, productivity and a set of wage push institutions are first obtained, allowing only a subset of institutional coefficient to be homogeneous, while leaving the unemployment and other coefficients free to differ across countries. The country specific estimates of the unemployment coefficients are then used to investigate whether and to what extent cross-country heterogeneity in the estimated wage response to unemployment is related to institutional differences. The results support the existence of significant wage push effects of union density and benefit replacement rates, and of significant slope effects of benefit replacement rates, benefit duration and employment protection. A more generous unemployment benefit structure is found to lower the wage responsiveness to unemployment, while higher employment protection, contrary to what one expects, is found to enhance it. No significant level and slope effects are found for the tax wedge and bargaining coordination. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3671-3686 Issue: 25 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003689721 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003689721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:25:p:3671-3686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Brown Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Kam Chan Author-X-Name-First: Kam Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: Carl Chen Author-X-Name-First: Carl Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: First-author conditions: evidence from finance journal coauthorship Abstract: We study the trend and the author name-ordering rule in finance publication using the publication records of 21 core finance journals during the period from 1990 to 2004. We empirically model the underlying factors that affect the alphabetical ordering rule among multi-authored finance articles. We find that the choice of alphabetical ordering is based on the quality of the article, institutional heterogeneity, team size and cultural factors. The central argument rests upon the need to signal and the importance of signalling within the context of bargaining behaviour among coauthors. The probability of choosing alphabetical name ordering rule is associated with high article quality, higher ranked institutions, smaller research team and the presence of European authors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3687-3697 Issue: 25 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003689739 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003689739 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:25:p:3687-3697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Artur Tamazian Author-X-Name-First: Artur Author-X-Name-Last: Tamazian Title: A simultaneous equations model of finance and growth: FIML estimates for India Abstract: In the relationship between economic growth and financial development, it is generally conceded that both variables are likely to be interdependent. However, no attempt has been made so far to estimate a simultaneous equations model to test whether finance causes growth or vice versa. This article uses the Full Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML) method to estimate a two equations model of growth and finance for India to determine the strength of this interdependence. Our results show that Financial Developments (FD) have a small but significant permanent growth effect. However, there is no evidence to support the view that 'where enterprise leads, finance follows'. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3699-3708 Issue: 25 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003689747 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003689747 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:25:p:3699-3708 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. K. Ashton Author-X-Name-First: J. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Ashton Author-Name: B. Gerrard Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Gerrard Author-Name: R. Hudson Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Title: Do national soccer results really impact on the stock market? Abstract: This study is a response to Klein et al. (2008), which was highly critical of earlier work by Ashton et al. (2003). This work considering the link between international soccer results and stock market returns was challenged by Klein et al. (2008), who reject the presence and importance of this link. In response, this work provides a reassessment of the link between international soccer results and stock market returns within Ashton et al. (2003). This new analysis extends the original work by using a larger dataset, employing an extended range of tests and allowing for outliers. It is reported that, contrary to the findings of Klein et al. (2008), the link between international soccer results and stock market prices does indeed exist particularly within the sample period 1984-2002 used by Ashton et al. (2003). After extending the dataset to include observations from 2002 until 2009, it is reported that the effect on stock market returns has declined in importance over this period, particularly the impact of wins. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3709-3717 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003689762 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003689762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3709-3717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdullahi Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Abdullahi Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: Enjiang Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Enjiang Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: George Messinis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Messinis Title: The role of exports, FDI and imports in development: evidence from Sub-Saharan African countries Abstract: The disappointing economic performance of Sub-Saharan African (SSA) economies in the late 1980s prompted reforms in foreign trade and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the early 1990s. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach and Pedroni panel estimation procedures that allow for heterogeneity, this study found that exports and FDI have a significant impact on economic growth. Granger-type causality tests show the interrelatedness of exports, FDI, imports and income variables. The results also provide evidence of a two-stage causal chain of exports, imports and income. This article calls for more market-oriented policy reforms in SSA countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3719-3731 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003705303 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003705303 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3719-3731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenji Matsui Author-X-Name-First: Kenji Author-X-Name-Last: Matsui Title: Accounting year-end dispersion and seasonality in the Japanese corporate bond market Abstract: Using monthly yield data on straight bonds, this article investigates seasonality in the Japanese corporate bond market. A statistical examination of spreads between the yield of each bond and a bond market index reveals that the yield spread consistently decreases from April to August, whereas it increases from September to December. Because accounting year-ends for most investors in Japan are concentrated in either March or December, this seasonality supports the hypotheses of tax-loss selling and window dressing. Moreover, the seasonality becomes more pronounced as the debt rating declines, consistent with the findings in previous studies investigating the US bond market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3733-3744 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003705311 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003705311 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3733-3744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Miljkovic Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Miljkovic Author-Name: R. Zhuang Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhuang Title: The exchange rate pass-through into import prices: the case of Japanese meat imports Abstract: Japan is a traditional net importer of food products in general and meat products in particular. Japanese meat imports come from a few countries thus making Japan potentially very sensitive to the swings in one or a few bilateral exchange rates. One of the key contributions of this article is the use of commodity (meats in this case) imports weighted exchange rates in the analysis. The standard practice in previous international agricultural trade studies related to either exchange rate pass-through or pricing to market was to use the aggregate trade weighted exchange rates usually provided by the Central Bank authorities or sources. Beef and poultry import prices indicate partial exchange rate pass-through while import prices of pork indicate zero exchange rate pass-through, primarily due to gate price policy system applied to pork imports. In terms of competitiveness, these results suggest relatively more competitive markets among poultry importing firms, somewhat competitive markets among beef importing firms, while competitiveness of pork importing firms could not be assessed due to existing import policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3745-3754 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003705329 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003705329 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3745-3754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heiko Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Heiko Author-X-Name-Last: Hansen Author-Name: Ramona Teuber Author-X-Name-First: Ramona Author-X-Name-Last: Teuber Title: Assessing the impacts of EU's common agricultural policy on regional convergence: sub-national evidence from Germany Abstract: This article assesses the relationship between transfers arising from EU's Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) and convergence in both farmers' revenues and interpersonal income redistribution using a sample of 26 regions in the state of Hesse, Germany, over the period 1979 to 2004 and 1991 to 2004, respectively. We thereby combine the concept of sigma convergence with Shorrock's inequality decomposition in order to determine the driving forces in distributional dynamics of farmers' revenues. Additionally, we apply alternative methodologies to investigate how per capita incomes have evolved over time. Explicitly comparing the situations with and without transfers, our results indicate that the CAP tends to smooth differences in farmers' revenues across regions, but does not impede a strong divergence through time. The latter is mainly driven by increasing structural differences between the regions, while disparities in intensity turn out to be less important. The empirical analysis also shows that CAP transfers reduce income inequality within society as a whole. However, this impact proved to be negligible in explaining distributional dynamics and growth of per capita incomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3755-3765 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003724395 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003724395 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3755-3765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heather Dickey Author-X-Name-First: Heather Author-X-Name-Last: Dickey Author-Name: Verity Watson Author-X-Name-First: Verity Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Author-Name: Alexandros Zangelidis Author-X-Name-First: Alexandros Author-X-Name-Last: Zangelidis Title: Is it all about money? An examination of the motives behind moonlighting Abstract: Multiple-job holding is an important labour market phenomenon. In this article, we examine individuals' motives for multiple-job holding. Specifically, we estimate an empirical model of the motivation for moonlighting assuming that individuals hold a second job for either financial or for nonpecuniary motives. Our results contribute to a better understanding of multiple-job holding. We find that multiple-job holding is used by individuals as a way to deal with the financial difficulties or the increased financial commitments in their household. Individuals are more likely to moonlight for money in the early stages of their adult life. Finally, individuals with more labour market experience are more likely to moonlight for pecuniary than nonpecuniary reasons. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3767-3774 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003724403 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003724403 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3767-3774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefanie Haller Author-X-Name-First: Stefanie Author-X-Name-Last: Haller Author-Name: Iulia Siedschlag Author-X-Name-First: Iulia Author-X-Name-Last: Siedschlag Title: Determinants of ICT adoption: evidence from firm-level data Abstract: We analyse factors driving inter- and intra-firm diffusion of Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) using data from Irish manufacturing firms over the period 2001 to 2004. We find that the path of ICT diffusion has been uneven across firms, industries and space, which is consistent with the theory of new technology adoption. Our results suggest that firms that are larger, younger, fast growing, skill-intensive, export-intensive and firms located in the capital city region have been relatively more successful in adopting and using ICT. We find positive technology spillovers from firms that have adopted ICT located in the same industry and region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3775-3788 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003724411 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003724411 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3775-3788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olga Isengildina-Massa Author-X-Name-First: Olga Author-X-Name-Last: Isengildina-Massa Author-Name: Scott Irwin Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Irwin Author-Name: Darrel Good Author-X-Name-First: Darrel Author-X-Name-Last: Good Author-Name: Luca Massa Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Massa Title: Empirical confidence intervals for USDA commodity price forecasts Abstract: Conventional procedures for calculating confidence limits of forecasts generated by statistical models provide little guidance for forecasts based on a combination or a consensus process rather than formal models, as is the case with US Department of Agriculture (USDA) forecasts. This study applied and compared several procedures for calculating empirical confidence intervals for USDA forecasts of corn, soybean and wheat prices over the 1980/81 through 2006/07 marketing years. Alternative procedures were compared based on out-of-sample performance over 1995/96 through 2006/07. The results of this study demonstrate that kernel density, quantile distribution and best fitting parametric distribution (logistic) methods provided confidence intervals calibrated at the 80% level prior to harvest and 90% level after harvest. The kernel density-based method appears most accurate both before and after harvest with the final value falling inside the forecast interval 77% of the time before harvest and 92% after harvest, followed by quantile regression (73% and 91% before and after harvest, respectively) logistic distribution (73% and 90% before and after harvest, respectively) and histogram (66% and 84% before and after harvest, respectively). Overall, this study demonstrates that empirical approaches may be used to construct more accurate confidence intervals for USDA corn, soybean and wheat price forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3789-3803 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003724429 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003724429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3789-3803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelvin Balcombe Author-X-Name-First: Kelvin Author-X-Name-Last: Balcombe Author-Name: Iain Fraser Author-X-Name-First: Iain Author-X-Name-Last: Fraser Author-Name: Abhijit Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Abhijit Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: Bayesian model averaging and identification of structural breaks in time series Abstract: Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) is used for testing for multiple break points in univariate series using conjugate normal-gamma priors. This approach can test for the number of structural breaks and produce posterior probabilities for a break at each point in time. Results are averaged over specifications including: stationary; stationary around trend and unit root models, each containing different types and number of breaks and different lag lengths. The procedures are used to test for structural breaks on 14 annual macroeconomic series and 11 natural resource price series. The results indicate that there are structural breaks in all of the natural resource series and most of the macroeconomic series. Many of the series had multiple breaks. Our findings regarding the existence of unit roots, having allowed for structural breaks in the data, are largely consistent with previous work. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3805-3818 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003724445 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003724445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3805-3818 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monojit Chatterji Author-X-Name-First: Monojit Author-X-Name-Last: Chatterji Author-Name: Karen Mumford Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Mumford Author-Name: Peter Smith Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: The public-private sector gender wage differential in Britain: evidence from matched employee-workplace data Abstract: This article shows that little of the gender earnings gap in the public and private sectors in Britain are explained by differences in employee characteristics. The differences in workplace characteristics, however, make a significant, sizeable contribution. It is shown that performance related pay and company pension schemes are associated with higher relative earnings in the private sector, whilst increased provision of family-friendly employment practices in the public sector is associated with higher relative earnings for women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3819-3833 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003724452 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003724452 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3819-3833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yosef Bonaparte Author-X-Name-First: Yosef Author-X-Name-Last: Bonaparte Author-Name: Frank Fabozzi Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Fabozzi Title: Household search choice: theory and evidence Abstract: Since the work by Stigler (1961) on the economics of information in the early 1960s, economists have paid closer attention to the role of search for information. However, search methods are not considered in the theory of portfolio choice. We present a model of investor search behaviour in order to provide a framework by which to evaluate our empirical evidence on the role of search in portfolio selection and performance. We study two types of search methods: informal and professional. We show that the income, wealth and risk preference of households influence their search choice. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3835-3847 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003724460 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003724460 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3835-3847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Almuhanad Melhim Author-X-Name-First: Almuhanad Author-X-Name-Last: Melhim Author-Name: C. Richard Shumway Author-X-Name-First: C. Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Shumway Title: Enterprise diversification in US dairy: impact of risk preferences on scale and scope economies Abstract: Enterprise diversification has recently become a prominent feature of US dairy farms. Scope economies and risk aversion are two forces that simultaneously determine diversification. We jointly estimate scope economies and determine risk preferences under price uncertainty. We reject risk neutrality in favour of Increasing Absolute Risk Aversion (IARA) and Increasing Relative Risk Aversion (IRRA). Scope economies are significant, but diminish with farm size. Increasing returns to scale exist in the production of multiple enterprises and diminish with size. Large farms operate under decreasing returns to scale. Ignoring risk preferences, a common practice in empirical work, results in an underestimate of the effect of scope economies for large farms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3849-3862 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003724478 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003724478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3849-3862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samiran Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Samiran Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Author-Name: James Murphy Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Title: Do rational demand functions differ from irrational ones? Evidence from an induced budget experiment Abstract: Various studies (e.g. Becker, 1962; Ariely et al., 2003) have noted anomalies concerning the relationship between observed demand and the preferences presumed to motivate it. We re-examine these findings using experimental choice data. After separating our subjects' choices into rational and irrational subsets based on consistency with the axioms of revealed preference, we estimate and compare demand coefficients. Mirroring Ariely et al.'s 'coherently arbitrary' choice, both rational and irrational demand estimates exhibit negative price and positive endowment coefficients. However, a comparison of the full set of demand coefficients indicates significant differences between the two, yielding an observable artefact of the preference hypothesis. Relaxing the goodness-of-fit of the revealed preference test (Afriat, 1987; Varian, 1994) does not alter our findings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3863-3882 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003724486 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003724486 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3863-3882 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy Ford Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Author-Name: Bruce Elmslie Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Elmslie Title: Scale effects found! Abstract: A key feature of early endogenous growth models is their prediction of scale effects - the larger the economy, as measured by population, the number of firms or employment, the faster the economy should grow. However, empirical work has failed to support the existence of scale effects. As a result, much human capital has been expended in order to 'fix' this problem by eliminating scale effects in endogenous growth models. We contend that econometric techniques used in the empirical search for scale effects are inconsistent with growth theory. Using data from US states and an econometric technique that better matches growth theory by allowing each economy to have its own steady state, we provide empirical support for the existence of scale effects. Results call into question the need to reformulate the first models of endogenous growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3883-3890 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003742553 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003742553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3883-3890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ender Su Author-X-Name-First: Ender Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: John Bilson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Bilson Title: Trading asymmetric trend and volatility by leverage trend GARCH in Taiwan stock index Abstract: This article develops a leverage trend Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model by incorporating asymmetric trend of returns of the exponential autoregressive and asymmetric volatility of GARCH models to study the asymmetric effects. Using in-sample daily data of Taiex over the period 4 January 1980 to 25 August 1997 and postsample daily data over the period 26 August 1997 to 10 September 2007, the evidence reveals that a curvaceous risk-return relationship and both asymmetric volatility and asymmetric trend of returns are significant in Taiex. The episode of asymmetric trend of returns is that the positive information creates a higher return trend than the negative information of the same amount, while similarly to most studies, the evidence of asymmetric volatility appears that the negative information makes a higher volatility than the positive information of the same size. Most remarkably, we evidence that the volatility asymmetry effect is a conservative trading factor and the return trend asymmetry effect is an active trading factor. In comparison of post-sample performance using rolling-window technique, the leverage trend GARCH model indeed outperforms the other three models with single asymmetry adjusted or without asymmetry adjusted, while the asymmetry nonadjusted model performs the worst. It implies that the return trend asymmetry (active trading) and the volatility asymmetry effects (conservative trading) tend to compensate, but not offset each other. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3891-3905 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003742561 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003742561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3891-3905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dolores Jimenez Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Dolores Jimenez Author-X-Name-Last: Rubio Title: The impact of decentralization of health services on health outcomes: evidence from Canada Abstract: This article contributes to the limited empirical literature on the impact of decentralization on economic welfare by investigating the hypothesis that shifts towards more fiscal decentralization in health services would be accompanied by improvements in population health. Building on a conventional public finance model applied to health care, this hypothesis is tested on a panel data of the highly decentralized Canadian provinces during the period 1979 to 1995. The results of the exploratory empirical analysis presented in this article suggest that fiscal decentralization of health services in Canada has had a positive and substantial influence on the effectiveness of public policy in improving a population's health over the period studied. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3907-3917 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003742579 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003742579 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3907-3917 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mario Mazzocchi Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzocchi Author-Name: W. Bruce Traill Author-X-Name-First: W. Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Traill Title: Calories, obesity and health in OECD countries Abstract: Theoretical models suggest that decisions about diet, weight and health status are endogenous within a utility maximization framework. In this article, we model these behavioural relationships in a fixed-effect panel setting using a simultaneous equation system, with a view to determining whether economic variables can explain the trends in calorie consumption, obesity and health in Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries and the large differences among the countries. The empirical model shows that progress in medical treatment and health expenditure mitigates mortality from diet-related diseases, despite rising obesity rates. While the model accounts for endogeneity and serial correlation, results are affected by data limitations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3919-3929 Issue: 26 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003742587 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003742587 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:26:p:3919-3929 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shandre Thangavelu Author-X-Name-First: Shandre Author-X-Name-Last: Thangavelu Author-Name: Aekapol Chongvilaivan Author-X-Name-First: Aekapol Author-X-Name-Last: Chongvilaivan Title: The impact of material and service outsourcing on employment in Thailand's manufacturing industries Abstract: With increasing emphasis on the importance of outsourcing, the 'fear of job losses' has been of significant interest, not only in the developed countries, but also in the developing countries. In this article, we empirically investigate the impacts of intermediate inputs (material) and services outsourcing on the relative demands for skilled and unskilled labour in Thailand's manufacturing sectors from 1999 to 2003. Based on the aggregation of establishment-level data at 4-digit industrial classification, we find that both intermediate inputs and service outsourcing are relatively skill-biased. Further, our results show that intermediate inputs outsourcing has negative impacts on the relative demands for skilled and unskilled workers, whereas service outsourcing shifts the demand towards skilled workers at the expense of unskilled workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3931-3944 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003742595 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003742595 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:3931-3944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Bitzan Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Bitzan Author-Name: Theodore Keeler Author-X-Name-First: Theodore Author-X-Name-Last: Keeler Title: Intermodal traffic, regulatory change and carbon energy conservation in US freight transport Abstract: Conserving transport carbon emissions is an important policy goal. Conventional wisdom often holds that conservation is best achieved by increased regulation, and that such gains are best achieved in passenger auto transport (fuel efficiency standards or diversion to transit). We argue that the growth of rail freight has conserved carbon fuel use in the United States, and that fuel-saving changes have been facilitated by reduced regulation since 1980. Methods used include estimation of translog cost functions (and related demand functions for fuel) for intermodal rail and for truck, allowing controlled comparisons of modal fuel use. We find intermodal rail (e.g. trailer on flatcar) to be a powerful conserver: if intermodal rail were eliminated, and traffic transferred to over-the-highway truck, extra annual carbon emissions would be nearly 25 Tg. By comparison, if urban passenger transit were eliminated and replaced by autos (according to one study) the extra annual emissions would be only 3.9 Tg. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3945-3963 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003742603 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003742603 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:3945-3963 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Brown Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Gareth Leeves Author-X-Name-First: Gareth Author-X-Name-Last: Leeves Title: Comparative effects of migrants' remittances on composition of recipient household income in two small, island economies Abstract: We use unique household survey data from Fiji and Tonga to estimate and compare the combined impact of migration and remittances on the composition of household income. A two-step methodology is followed employing a migration prediction model followed by the estimation of a Three Stage Least Squares (3SLS) remittances and income equation system. We find that remittances contribute to growth in productive capital and entrepreneurial activity in the longer-established migrant economy, but have yet to impact on business activity in the more recently remittances-oriented economy, despite it having a more developed, market economy. In the latter case, remittances seem more linked to supporting consumption through supplementing low wage income. These findings suggest that the duration and intensity of remittance-driven migration, and the structure of economic activity within a community are important in understanding the influences of migration and remittances on household resource allocation and production decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3965-3976 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003742611 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003742611 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:3965-3976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nils Braakmann Author-X-Name-First: Nils Author-X-Name-Last: Braakmann Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Product diversification and stability of employment and sales: first evidence from German manufacturing firms Abstract: In this study, we use a unique rich newly built data set for German manufacturing enterprises to investigate the relationship between product diversification and the stability of sales and employment. We find that contrary to portfolio theoretic considerations, more diversified firms exhibit a higher variability of sales and employment. However, the effects are negligibly small from an economics point of view. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3977-3985 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003742629 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003742629 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:3977-3985 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Grisolia Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Grisolia Author-Name: K. G. Willis Author-X-Name-First: K. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Willis Title: An evening at the theatre: using choice experiments to model preferences for theatres and theatrical productions Abstract: This article examines people's preferences and demand for live theatre. It investigates the preferences for people attending a regional theatre, Northern Stage in Newcastle, in relation to other live theatres they could attend, and in relation to the attributes of theatrical productions and ticket price. It uses a Stated Preference (SP), discrete choice experiment, to assess people's utility and Willingness To Pay (WTP) for the different attributes of theatrical productions. The model assesses the effect of the attributes of plays on choice; and the impact of Socio-Economic (SE) and demographic variables on choice and demand. Results reveal the heterogeneity of theatregoers' tastes for different types of plays and ticket prices. The models reveal the significance of 'reviews' and 'Word Of Mouth' (WOM) opinions on plays, as the most important variables determining choice. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3987-3998 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003742637 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003742637 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:3987-3998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carsten Ochsen Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Ochsen Author-Name: Heinz Welsch Author-X-Name-First: Heinz Author-X-Name-Last: Welsch Title: The social costs of unemployment: accounting for unemployment duration Abstract: This article contributes to the literature on unemployment and well-being by investigating the linkage between personal life satisfaction and a macroeconomic indicator of the duration of unemployment. Using data for more than 50 000 individuals in 10 European countries, 1992-2002, we find that the social costs of unemployment, in terms of general unemployment's impact on life satisfaction, relate significantly and to a considerable extent to unemployment duration. It is thus not just the risk of becoming or staying unemployed that people worry about, but especially the prospect of staying long-term unemployed. This fear affects employed and unemployed people alike. Our findings provide a strong point for focusing labour market policies on long-term unemployment, in addition to considerations of human capital depreciation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3999-4005 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003761900 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003761900 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:3999-4005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Carroll Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Carroll Author-Name: Carol Newman Author-X-Name-First: Carol Author-X-Name-Last: Newman Author-Name: Fiona Thorne Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Thorne Title: A comparison of stochastic frontier approaches for estimating technical inefficiency and total factor productivity Abstract: This article compares standard stochastic frontier models for panel data with a number of recently developed models which attempt to control for unobserved heterogeneity in the inefficiency component. Results are used to construct a generalized Malmquist Total Factor Productivity (TFP) index for the Irish tillage sector. While our application yields similar general TFP trends across models, it is evident that this new class of model leads to fewer theoretical inconsistencies in the production frontier. Furthermore, inefficiency estimates across models are critically compared and the potential benefits of controlling for unobserved heterogeneity are highlighted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4007-4019 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003761918 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003761918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:4007-4019 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Gibson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Author-Name: Scott Rozelle Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Rozelle Title: The effects of price on household demand for food and calories in poor countries: are our databases giving reliable estimates? Abstract: Food price policy relies heavily on estimated price elasticities of food demand to help balance the nutritional and economic objectives in poor countries. Economists use either unit values (ratios of household expenditure to quantity purchased) or community prices (enumerated from vendors in local markets) as proxies for market prices when estimating price elasticities with household survey data. Biases are believed to result from using unit values, due to measurement error and quality effects, but evidence on this issue is lacking and even less is known about community prices. This article provides an empirical evidence from Vietnam, which suggests that economists should exercise caution when estimating price elasticities from household surveys. A 14-food demand system is estimated alternatively with unit values or community prices, and the elasticity of calories with respect to rice prices is calculated. This elasticity is more than twice as large (-0.54 versus -0.22) when community prices are used rather than unit values. Hence, conclusions about the nutritional effects of rice price increases appear sensitive to data choices made by economists. More generally, this discrepancy suggests that the household survey databases commonly used by economists may not provide reliable estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4021-4031 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003781478 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003781478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:4021-4031 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Ford Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Title: An investigation into the relationship of retail gas prices on oil company profitability Abstract: In this article, we present several empirical procedures using publicly available data from the US Department of Energy (DOE), and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to examine the relationship of oil company gross profit margins to retail gas prices. This descriptive analysis indicates that the profit margins of the major integrated oil companies are lower, on average, during periods of extremely high gas and oil prices (and, in fact, are even lower than in times of extremely low gas and oil prices). Large oil companies are most profitable during periods of moderate gasoline prices. Smaller, vertically integrated oil companies and firms, primarily in the business of refining purchased crude oil, exhibit a consistently inverse relationship between profit margins and retail gas prices - as gas prices increase, these firms become less profitable. We find no evidence for the increase in the gross profit margins of oil companies during episodes of very high retail gasoline prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4033-4041 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003781486 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003781486 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:4033-4041 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angelo Baglioni Author-X-Name-First: Angelo Author-X-Name-Last: Baglioni Title: Shareholders' agreements and voting power: evidence from Italian listed firms Abstract: This work provides an empirical investigation of shareholders' agreements signed in Italy over the past decade. The evidence shows that agreements produce a remarkable reshuffling of voting power (Shapley value) among participants. In particular, the first owner gains much voting power at low levels of ownership concentration, and his gain is decreasing in his ownership stake; the opposite happens for the other participants. In addition, the likelihood that a supermajority rule is included in an agreement contract is increasing in the first owner's share of equity. These findings are consistent with the hypothesis that agreements are used to correct situations where the first owner's power is at one of the two extremes: either too low (leading to insufficient monitoring over managers and gridlocks in decision-making) or too high (enabling him to extract large private benefits of control). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4043-4052 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003781494 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003781494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:4043-4052 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Gibson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Author-Name: Susan Olivia Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Olivia Author-Name: Scott Rozelle Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Rozelle Title: How widespread are nonlinear crowding out effects? The response of private transfers to income in four developing countries Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between household income and private transfers received in developing countries. If private transfers are unresponsive to household income, there is less likelihood of expansions in public social security crowding out private transfers. Most literature finds that private transfers are unresponsive, but this may be because responses have been obscured by the methods that ignore nonlinearities. Threshold regression techniques find such nonlinearity in the Philippines and scope for serious crowding out, with 30-80% of private transfers potentially displaced for low-income households (Cox et al., 2004). To see if these nonlinear effects occur more widely, semiparametric and threshold regression methods are used to model private transfers in four developing countries - China, Indonesia, Papua New Guinea and Vietnam. The results reported in this article suggest that nonlinear crowding out effects are not important features of transfer behaviour in these countries. The transfer derivatives under a variety of assumptions only range between 0 and -0.08. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4053-4068 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003800831 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003800831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:4053-4068 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Matallin-Saez Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Matallin-Saez Title: On causality in the size-efficiency relationship: the effect of investor cash flows on the mutual fund industry Abstract: One of the perceived advantages in mutual fund management is the presence of economies of scale resulting from fund size. This article analyses the impact of mutual fund cash flows on the relation between size and performance, demonstrating that performance determines asymmetric variations in fund assets, particularly in mutual equity funds. Therefore, the more efficient funds generate broad enough cash flow entry that increases the relative size of the fund, leading to an implicit and positive relation between size and performance. So, if the average size over the period sample is used as a measure of size, such a relation would be biased. When the initial size is used, this bias is avoided and, in general, an insignificant relation is found between size and performance. These results are controlled by mutual fund costs using gross returns to estimate performance. The evidence is robust, and shows only weak evidence of a negative relation between size and performance for the balanced funds that is driven by a low positive relation between costs and size; precisely, the contrary that is expected from the hypothesis of the presence of economies of scale. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4069-4079 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003800849 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003800849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:4069-4079 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jenifer Piesse Author-X-Name-First: Jenifer Author-X-Name-Last: Piesse Author-Name: David Schimmelpfennig Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Schimmelpfennig Author-Name: Colin Thirtle Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: Thirtle Title: An error correction model of induced innovation in UK agriculture Abstract: Cointegration techniques are applied to a model of induced innovation based on the two-stage Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES) production function. This approach results in direct tests of the inducement hypothesis, which are applied to agricultural data for the United Kingdom from 1953 to 2000. The time series properties of the variables are checked, cointegration is established and an Error Correction Model (ECM) constructed, which attempts to separate factor substitution from technological change. Finally, the ECM formulation is subjected to causality tests, which show that the factor price ratio for chemicals and land is Granger-prior to the factor-saving bias of technological change. However, long-run relative prices are not causally prior to the machinery/labour ratio. This results from perturbations in the user cost of machinery, caused by oil price shocks. Thus, the Induced Innovation Hypothesis (IIH) may explain long-run transformations like the mechanical and fertilizer revolutions that dominated the twentieth century, but not reflect short-run price volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4081-4094 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036841003800856 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036841003800856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:4081-4094 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zahoor Ul Haq Author-X-Name-First: Zahoor Ul Author-X-Name-Last: Haq Author-Name: Karl Meilke Author-X-Name-First: Karl Author-X-Name-Last: Meilke Title: Does the Linder effect hold for differentiated agri-food and beverage product trade? Abstract: Using a generalized gravity equation, this study tests for the Linder effect in differentiated agri-food product trade, i.e. as the demand structures of two countries become more similar, their trade intensity increases. Two proxies of demand structure, the Balassa index and the absolute value of the difference in per capita Gross Domestic Products (GDPs) of trading partners, are used to capture the Linder effect. In addition, two measures of bilateral trade, the Grubel and Lloyd (GL) index, and the value of bilateral trade are used as the dependent variable. This study investigates the role of the Linder effect in explaining the trade of 37 differentiated agri-food and beverage products categorized into eight product groups: cereals, fresh fish, frozen fish, vegetables, fresh fruit, processed fruit, tea and coffee and alcoholic beverages. The data covers trade across 52 developed and developing countries from 1990 to 2000. The type of proxy used for the Linder effect and the way in which bilateral trade is measured influence the outcome of the statistical tests for the Linder effect. The Linder effect for cereals, frozen fish, vegetables, processed fruits and tea and coffee, using the value of trade as the dependent variable, is often accepted, but it is generally rejected when the GL index is used as the measure of trade intensity. In brief, the results do not provide strong support for the Linder effect in the trade of differentiated agri-food products. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4095-4109 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.484000 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.484000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:4095-4109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Igor Velickovski Author-X-Name-First: Igor Author-X-Name-Last: Velickovski Author-Name: Geoffrey Thomas Pugh Author-X-Name-First: Geoffrey Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Pugh Title: Constraints on exchange rate flexibility in transition economies: a meta-regression analysis of exchange rate pass-through Abstract: This article uses Meta-Regression Analysis (MRA) to investigate exchange rate pass-through to domestic prices, highlighting differences between transition and developed economies. A total of 23 studies yielded 575 coefficients measuring exchange rate pass-through to import prices and consumer prices for 23 developed and 12 transition economies. The MRA results confirm the finding of many particular analyses that exchange rate pass-through is less than complete. In addition, exchange rate pass-through is higher to import prices than to consumer prices; and exchange rate pass-through is higher in the long run than in the short run. Regarding transition and developed economies, MRA suggests that there is no statistically significant difference in exchange rate pass-through to import prices. Yet, exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices is significantly and substantially higher in transition than in developed economies. This finding is consistent with the caution of many monetary authorities in transition economies regarding exchange rate flexibility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4111-4125 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.485927 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.485927 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:4111-4125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carsten Ochsen Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Ochsen Title: Recommendation, class repeating, and children's ability: German school tracking experiences Abstract: While the 2006 Progress in International Reading Literacy Study (PIRLS) assesses the average ability of German primary school students as being higher than average, the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) studies (OECD, 2000, 2003, 2006) ranks German secondary school students at a considerably lower level. This article examines whether a teacher's recommendation for the secondary school track and class repeating are causes for these ability differences. According to the estimates, failures as a result of teachers' recommendations given at the end of primary school are an important reason for the differences between the two types of studies. Being required to repeat a school class amplifies the inefficient management of children's abilities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4127-4133 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.485929 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.485929 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:4127-4133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joshua Aizenman Author-X-Name-First: Joshua Author-X-Name-Last: Aizenman Author-Name: Kenneth Kletzer Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Kletzer Title: The life cycle of scholars and papers in economics - the 'citation death tax' Abstract: The information content of academic citations is a subject to debate. This article views premature death as a tragic 'natural experiment', outlining a methodology identifying the 'citation death tax' - the impact of the death of productive economists on the patterns of their citations. We rely on a sample of 428 papers written by 16 well-known economists who died well before retirement, during the period 1975 to 1997. The news is mixed: for half of the sample, we identify a large and significant 'citation death tax' for the average paper written by these scholars. For these authors, the estimated average missing citations per paper attributed to premature death ranges from 40% to 140% (the overall average is about 90%), and the annual costs of lost citations per paper are in the range 3-14%. Hence, a paper written 10 years before the author's death avoids a citation cost that varies between 30% and 140%. For the other half of the sample, there is no citation death tax; and for two Nobel Prize-calibre scholars in this second group, Black and Tversky, citations took off over time, reflecting the growing recognitions of their seminal works. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4135-4148 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.485930 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.485930 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:4135-4148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabian Capitanio Author-X-Name-First: Fabian Author-X-Name-Last: Capitanio Author-Name: Maria Bielza Diaz-Caneja Author-X-Name-First: Maria Bielza Author-X-Name-Last: Diaz-Caneja Author-Name: Carlo Cafiero Author-X-Name-First: Carlo Author-X-Name-Last: Cafiero Author-Name: Felice Adinolfi Author-X-Name-First: Felice Author-X-Name-Last: Adinolfi Title: Does market competitiveness significantly affect public intervention in agricultural insurance: the case in Italy Abstract: Analyses of agricultural insurance failures often assume the existence of competitive supply, tracing the reasons for high insurance cost and limited farmer participation to informational problems, and suggesting the need for premium subsidization in order to increase participation. However, in countries such as Spain and Italy, where agricultural insurance is most highly subsidized, it could be that supply is not fully competitive. In this article, we explore the incidence of public subsidies to agricultural insurance premia when supply is noncompetitive. Through the use of a simple empirical model of an insurance market, it is shown that, while in the case of a competitive supply, subsidies to insurance would benefit farmers, a monopolistic supply would capture most of the subsidy, thus eliminating the potential incentive towards wider participation by farmers. The model is applied to a panel of Italian farms for different levels of risk aversion to demonstrate the limited effect that a subsidy to a hypothetical all risk yield insurance would have on farmer participation in the case of monopolistic supply. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4149-4159 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.487823 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.487823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:4149-4159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melanie Jones Author-X-Name-First: Melanie Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Paul Latreille Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Latreille Title: Disability and self-employment: evidence for the UK Abstract: This article examines the self-employment decision for disabled and nondisabled workers in the UK. Using Labour Force Survey (LFS) data, it is found that self-employment may provide an important means by which those with work-limiting disabilities can accommodate their impairment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4161-4178 Issue: 27 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.489816 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.489816 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:27:p:4161-4178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anne-Laure Delatte Author-X-Name-First: Anne-Laure Author-X-Name-Last: Delatte Author-Name: Julien Fouquau Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Fouquau Title: The determinants of international reserves in the emerging countries: a nonlinear approach Abstract: In this article, we adopt a nonlinear approach to examine the dynamics of the international reserves holdings by the emerging economies. To do so, we estimate the demand for international reserves with a Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) model that loosens two restricting hypotheses, homogeneity and time-stability. We find evidence for the presence of a nonlinear behaviour in the demand for international reserves, a result that is new to the literature. The coefficients are found to change smoothly, as a function of two threshold variables - out of five candidates tested in total. Our specification accounts for the acceleration of foreign exchange reserves accumulation that the linear specifications fail to explain. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4179-4192 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.489886 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.489886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4179-4192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fousseini Traore Author-X-Name-First: Fousseini Author-X-Name-Last: Traore Title: The impact of the United States subsidies on world cotton price: evidence from ARDL bounds tests Abstract: This article investigates the impact of the United States subsidies on world cotton price in a structural framework. It starts with a simultaneous equations model of world cotton market, and then, it focuses on the reduced form. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds tests of Pesaran et al. (2001), no evidence of cointegration is found between the underlying variables. This contrasts with results found in the classical framework, which highlight a strong evidence of a negative impact of subsidies on cotton price, either in the short or long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4193-4201 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491443 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4193-4201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Camilla Andersson Author-X-Name-First: Camilla Author-X-Name-Last: Andersson Author-Name: Erik Holmgren Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Holmgren Author-Name: James MacGregor Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: MacGregor Author-Name: Jesper Stage Author-X-Name-First: Jesper Author-X-Name-Last: Stage Title: Formal microlending and adverse (or nonexistent) selection: a case study of shrimp farmers in Bangladesh Abstract: Microcredit schemes have become a popular means of improving smallholders' access to credit and making long term investment possible. However, it remains to be explored whether the current microcredit schemes are more successful than earlier formal small scale lending in identifying successful borrowers. We studied shrimp farming in a rural region in Bangladesh where formal microlending is well established, but where more expensive informal microlending coexists with the formal schemes. Farmers - both those who exclusively use formal loans and those who also use informal loans - remain credit-constrained; both types overutilize labour in order to reduce the need for working capital. However, the credit constraint is actually milder for the informal borrowers: the implicit shadow price of working capital is substantially higher in the group that only takes formal loans than in the group that also uses informal loans. These results suggest that informal lenders - with their closer ties to the individual farmers - remain more successful in identifying those smallholder farmers that are most likely to use the borrowed funds successfully. Informal lenders have an information advantage that formal microlenders lack: the latter need to find routes to access this information in order for formal microcredit schemes to succeed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4203-4213 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491444 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4203-4213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Black Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Black Author-Name: Yi-Ping Tseng Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Tseng Author-Name: Roger Wilkins Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Wilkins Title: Do changes in demographic characteristics explain declining male employment rates? Examination of the Australian case using a propensity score re-weighting decomposition approach Abstract: Using Australian data spanning the period from 1981 to 2001, we apply a propensity score re-weighting decomposition approach to investigate the extent to which the large decline in the male employment population rate over this period can be attributed to changes in socio-demographic characteristics. We find that changes in observed characteristics account for little of the aggregate decline. However, changes in characteristics are found to be important for population sub groups. In particular, changes in partner status and partner employment status have acted to decrease employment rates of younger males, but increase employment rates of older males. A further finding is that, holding observed characteristics constant, there has been a very large decline in the employment rate of 55-64-year-olds with bachelor degree qualifications. In the course of applying the decomposition method, we illustrate that validity of inferences depends on 'appropriate' specification of the reweighting function. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4215-4226 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491445 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4215-4226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Jesus Such Devesa Author-X-Name-First: Maria Jesus Such Author-X-Name-Last: Devesa Author-Name: Laura Parte Esteban Author-X-Name-First: Laura Parte Author-X-Name-Last: Esteban Title: Spanish hotel industry: indebtedness determinants Abstract: This article analyses the indebtedness of the companies belonging to the Spanish hotel industry. The internationalization process of Spanish hotel companies requires a new approach to their financial strategies. The form of expansion chosen in this process has an impact on the pace and volume of the funds needed for it. Other items are incorporated to observe different behaviour among hotel companies in relation with their indebtedness process. Among analysed factors, we can observe the importance of solvency, liquidity, and asset structure. The hotel industry's means to explain individual indebtedness is also relevant, demonstrating the fact that firms usually follow the sector's benchmark when determining the level of indebtedness. Studies such those of Grinblatt and Titman (2003) or Frank and Goyal (2009) confirm this same hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4227-4238 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491446 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4227-4238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Heywood Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Heywood Author-Name: Uwe Jirjahn Author-X-Name-First: Uwe Author-X-Name-Last: Jirjahn Author-Name: Georgi Tsertsvadze Author-X-Name-First: Georgi Author-X-Name-Last: Tsertsvadze Title: Part-time work and the hiring of older workers Abstract: This research uses German establishment data to examine the relationship between back loading compensation, the hiring of older workers and their part time status. We confirm that establishments that defer compensation are less likely to hire older workers. We demonstrate for the first time that establishments that defer compensation are more likely to limit older workers to part time jobs, when they do hire them. Thus, deferred compensation plays a larger role in reducing the chances of older workers being hired into full time jobs than would be inferred from past estimates simply examining their odds of being hired at all. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4239-4255 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491447 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4239-4255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Delgado Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Delgado Author-Name: Maria Jose Presno Author-X-Name-First: Maria Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Presno Title: Convergence of fiscal pressure in the EU: a time series approach Abstract: The study of fiscal convergence in the EU is a relevant issue in the context of economic integration and fiscal harmonization and we report new empirical evidence on this topic using a time series approach. We apply unit root and stationarity tests with an endogenous break for the study of long run, deterministic and stochastic convergence of the national tax burden taking Germany, the United Kingdom and the European average as benchmarks. Only the United Kingdom and Germany show long run convergence and few countries converge despite harmonization efforts and fiscal competition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4257-4267 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491449 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491449 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4257-4267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corrado Andini Author-X-Name-First: Corrado Author-X-Name-Last: Andini Title: Financial development and long-run growth: is the cross-sectional evidence robust? Abstract: In a seminal paper, Levine, Loayza and Beck (LLB, 2000) provide cross-sectional evidence showing that financial development has positive average impact on long-run growth, using a sample of 71 countries. We argue that the evidence is sensitive to the presence of outliers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4269-4275 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491450 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491450 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4269-4275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: John Formby Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Formby Author-Name: Hoseong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hoseong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Economic growth and poverty: a tale of two decades Abstract: The relationship between poverty and economic growth is reexamined using pooled cross section and time series estimates of state level poverty. Empirical evidence is provided for both cash and comprehensive income headcounts and Sen indexes of poverty. Particular emphasis is placed on the differential impacts of growth on poverty in the long economic expansions of the 1980s and 1990s. Contrary to prior work, we find that the long-term effects of growth did not strengthen and may have actually diminished during the 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4277-4288 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491451 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491451 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4277-4288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Lamla Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Lamla Author-Name: Sarah Lein Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Lein Title: What matters when? The impact of ECB communication on financial market expectations Abstract: This article analyses financial markets' reaction to European Central Bank's (ECB) communication. We apply a novel indicator that quantifies the contents of the ECB's introductory statements and allows disentangling ECB statements on prices, the real and the monetary sector. We provide evidence that it matters what issue the ECB is speaking about: especially, the ECB's statements on price developments represent important news to financial markets. It also matters when the ECB affects markets: communication drives maturities above 4 months. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4289-4309 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491452 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491452 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4289-4309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Crespo Cuaresma Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Crespo Author-X-Name-Last: Cuaresma Author-Name: Tapas Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Tapas Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: Human capital, age structure and growth fluctuations Abstract: This article assesses the empirical relationship between per capita income growth fluctuations and the age-structured human capital variations across four groups of geographically clustered developed and developing countries from spatial perspective. We estimate a spatial Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model of income dynamics where the distance between countries is defined on relational space based on their similarity in appropriation tendency of human capital in the production processes. These distances are computed using a newly developed human capital data set which fully characterizes the demographic structure of human capital, and thus underlines the joint relevance of demography and human capital in economic growth. Spatial effects on growth interdependence and complementarity are then explored with respect to the proposed distance metrics. Our results imply that significant cross-country growth interdependence based on human capital distances exists among defined country groups suggesting the need for a cooperative policy programme among them. We also find that the relationship between economic growth and human capital is highly nonlinear as a function of the proposed human capital distance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4311-4329 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491453 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4311-4329 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emmanuel Skoufias Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Skoufias Author-Name: Vincenzo Di Maro Author-X-Name-First: Vincenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Di Maro Author-Name: Teresa Gonzalez-Cossio Author-X-Name-First: Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez-Cossio Author-Name: Sonia Rodriguez Ramirez Author-X-Name-First: Sonia Rodriguez Author-X-Name-Last: Ramirez Title: Food quality, calories and household income Abstract: We investigate the relationship between calories, food quality and household per capita expenditure using regression and semiparametric methods on a sample of poor households from rural Mexico, where Programa de Apoyo Alimentario (PAL), a targeted nutritional programme, is operating. The semiparametric method yields an estimate of the elasticity between calories and expenditure of 0.39 below the median and 0.28 above. The corresponding estimates of the elasticity of the calorie price are 0.48 below the median and 0.45 above. We also examine the extent to which the expenditure elasticity of the calorie price is explained by substitution between and within major food groups. We find that there is a very high incidence of substitution within cereals (especially for poor households) and that between group substitution explains at most 59% of the income elasticity for food quality. These estimates suggest that the potential of a cash transfer programme to have a positive impact on the food diversity and the nutritional status of households is quite limited. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4331-4342 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491454 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4331-4342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miles Finney Author-X-Name-First: Miles Author-X-Name-Last: Finney Author-Name: Mann Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Mann Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Interdependence in the technology adoption decision among municipalities Abstract: This study examines the interdependence among municipalities in the discrete decision to adopt internet technology. Results from probit specifications with interaction effects suggest that cities are influenced by nearby neighbours with similar population size in developing a website. Evidence is also presented indicating interaction among municipalities in the decision to use internet technology to facilitate financial transactions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4343-4352 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491455 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4343-4352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeff Borland Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Borland Author-Name: Yi-Ping Tseng Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Tseng Title: Does 'Work for the Dole' work?: an Australian perspective on work experience programmes Abstract: This study examines the effect of Work for the Dole (WfD), a community-based work experience programme, on transitions out of unemployment in Australia. To evaluate the WfD programme, a quasi-experimental exact matching approach is applied. Participation in the WfD programme is found to be associated with a large and significant adverse effect on the likelihood of exiting unemployment payments. The main potential explanation is the existence of a 'lock-in' effect whereby programme participants reduce job search activity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4353-4368 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491457 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491457 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4353-4368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cliff Nowell Author-X-Name-First: Cliff Author-X-Name-Last: Nowell Author-Name: Therese Grijalva Author-X-Name-First: Therese Author-X-Name-Last: Grijalva Title: Trends in co-authorship in economics since 1985 Abstract: It has been often noted (McDowell and Melvin, 1983; Barnett et al., 1988; Piette and Ross, 1992; Sutter and Kocher, 2004) that the share of co-authored papers in economics has been increasing steadily. The purpose of this study is to investigate some of the theories as to why co-authorship has been increasing in the economics profession. Using data on the publication records of faculty at 129 US colleges and universities that offer doctoral degrees in Economics, Poisson and logit regression models are estimated to explain co-authorship. Results indicate that the likelihood of co-authorship is greater for papers that combine quantitative analysis with another field and for papers published in higher quality journals. Further, co-authorship appears to differ in the many subfields of economics, with the field of Economic History and History of Thought (Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) categories N and B) to be the least likely to co-author and the fields of Financial Economics (JEL category G) and Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics (JEL category Q) to be the most prone to co-authorship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4369-4375 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491458 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491458 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4369-4375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmelo Garcia Perez Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo Garcia Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Author-Name: Mercedes Prieto Alaiz Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Prieto Author-X-Name-Last: Alaiz Title: Using the Dagum model to explain changes in personal income distribution Abstract: This article studies the evolution of personal income distribution in Spain from 1995 to 2005 using the Dagum model. Dagum's three parameter model (type I) provides a good fitting to empirical income distributions in Spain. Moreover, its parameters can be interpreted as economic indicators of income distribution changes. After studying the economic interpretation of the Dagum model parameters, we analyse the impact of parameter changes on different income percentiles and also on the evolution of inequality in Spain using data from the European Community Household Panel (ECHP) and the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4377-4386 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491459 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491459 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4377-4386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Mohn Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Mohn Author-Name: Petter Osmundsen Author-X-Name-First: Petter Author-X-Name-Last: Osmundsen Title: Asymmetry and uncertainty in capital formation: an application to oil investment Abstract: Theories of irreversible investment suggest a negative relation between investment and uncertainty, and nonlinear adjustment costs open for asymmetries in the adjustment of fixed capital. We propose an econometric modelling approach to estimate and test the key predictions of modern investment theory, including asymmetric dynamics and various uncertainty indicators. Our application on a data set from the oil industry offers empirical support for both asymmetric dynamics and uncertainty in oil and gas investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4387-4401 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491460 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491460 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4387-4401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ragnar Tveteras Author-X-Name-First: Ragnar Author-X-Name-Last: Tveteras Author-Name: Ola Flaten Author-X-Name-First: Ola Author-X-Name-Last: Flaten Author-Name: Gudbrand Lien Author-X-Name-First: Gudbrand Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Title: Production risk in multi-output industries: estimates from Norwegian dairy farms Abstract: Farmers who produce multiple outputs are portfolio managers in the sense that they use inputs to balance expected economic return and variance of return. This article estimates the structure of the stochastic multioutput production technology in Norwegian dairy farming, allowing for a more flexible specification of the technology than previous studies. We find that an increase in input levels leads primarily to higher output variability, and that inputs also influence the covariance of shocks between outputs. Risk reducing effects of inputs on outputs are primarily present in the covariance functions. Technical change leads to shifts in the profit distribution over the data period, but no welfare improvement for risk averse farmers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4403-4414 Issue: 28 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491461 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491461 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:28:p:4403-4414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lukas Menkhoff Author-X-Name-First: Lukas Author-X-Name-Last: Menkhoff Title: Are momentum traders different? Implications for the momentum puzzle Abstract: This article examines the puzzlingly high unexploited momentum returns from a new perspective. We analyse characteristics of momentum traders in a sample of 692 fund managers. We find that momentum traders are 'defined' by their short-term horizon, by a behavioural view on the market and by a somewhat lower degree of risk aversion, whereas they are like other fund managers with respect to sophistication. This is consistent with the interpretation that momentum returns may compensate for the risk of momentum trading on short-term horizons and that the short-term oriented momentum traders are not in a position to perform long-term arbitrage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4415-4430 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491462 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4415-4430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan de Dios Tena Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: de Dios Tena Author-Name: Edoardo Otranto Author-X-Name-First: Edoardo Author-X-Name-Last: Otranto Title: A realistic model for official interest rate movements and their consequences Abstract: This article extends the Vector Autoregression (VAR) methodology to examine the consequences of monetary policy decisions by considering two types of nonlinearities in the determination of official interest rates: (1) the asymmetry related to the different nature of the discrete and infrequent positive and negative interest rate movements determined by central bankers and (2) the convexity in the transmission of policy shocks induced by the nonnegativity constraint in interest rates. For the UK, we find some evidence of both types of asymmetries. In the US, responses to unexpected interest rate shocks are far more symmetric. Results highlight the importance of considering all types of asymmetries when studying monetary transmission. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4431-4447 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491463 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491463 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4431-4447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dennis Coates Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Coates Author-Name: Brad Humphreys Author-X-Name-First: Brad Author-X-Name-Last: Humphreys Title: The effect of professional sports on the earnings of individuals: evidence from microeconomic data Abstract: This article examines the impact of professional sports franchises in labour markets using data from the March Supplement to the Current Population Survey (CPS) for workers employed in specific occupational groups in all large US cities from 1983 to 2002. Results from a standard wage model suggest that professional football franchises increase average hourly and weekly earnings of males employed in these occupations, but professional baseball franchises reduce them. These results support growing evidence that professional sports affect labour markets. However, the mixed nature of the association between sport and earnings provides little economic justification for government subsidies for professional sport. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4449-4459 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491464 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4449-4459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Caroline Elliott Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Elliott Author-Name: Rob Simmons Author-X-Name-First: Rob Author-X-Name-Last: Simmons Title: Advertising media strategies in the film industry Abstract: The primary aim of this article is to estimate the multiple determinants of film advertising expenditures in four important media, namely television, press, outdoor and radio, in the UK. First, television advertising, the leading film advertising medium, is examined as part of a system of equations, capturing the interdependences between advertising, the number of screens on which films are initially shown and box office revenues. Then a reduced form model is put forward to reveal the determinants of film advertising in the four media. While major distribution companies have different preferences for the use of the alternative advertising media, results highlight the importance of quality signals, such as critical reviews, in determining advertising expenditures in the film industry. Moreover, advertising expenditures can themselves be considered to offer potential cinema goers signals of film quality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4461-4468 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491466 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491466 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4461-4468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Garrick Blalock Author-X-Name-First: Garrick Author-X-Name-Last: Blalock Author-Name: Jed DeVaro Author-X-Name-First: Jed Author-X-Name-Last: DeVaro Author-Name: Stephanie Leventhal Author-X-Name-First: Stephanie Author-X-Name-Last: Leventhal Author-Name: Daniel Simon Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Simon Title: Gender bias in power relationships: evidence from police traffic stops Abstract: We test for the existence of gender bias in power relationships. Specifically, we examine whether police officers are less likely to issue traffic tickets to men or to women during traffic stops. Whereas the conventional wisdom, which we document with surveys, is that women are less likely to receive tickets, our analysis shows otherwise. Examination of a pooled sample of traffic stops from five locations reveals no gender bias, but does show significant regional variation in the likelihood of citations. Analysis by location shows that women are more likely to receive citations in three of the five locations. Men are more likely to receive citations in the other two locations. To our knowledge, this study is the first to test for gender bias in traffic stops, and clearly refutes the conventional wisdom that police are more lenient towards women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4469-4485 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491467 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491467 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4469-4485 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pallab Mozumder Author-X-Name-First: Pallab Author-X-Name-Last: Mozumder Author-Name: Robert Berrens Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Berrens Title: Social context, financial stakes and hypothetical bias: an induced value referendum experiment Abstract: This article investigates the effect of social context in an induced value, public good referendum experiment. In a split-sample treatment, social context is simulated by requiring participants to potentially have to disclose their vote to the group (voting disclosure) across both hypothetical and real settings. The experimental design also varies the cost (a coercive tax), and includes an uncertain level of benefit from the public good. The design allows investigation of the role of social context in both hypothetical and real referenda and its interaction with changes in the financial stakes involved (costs and potential benefits). Results show evidence of hypothetical bias, but also a social context effect that occurs in both real and hypothetical settings. This social context effect is larger than the effect of hypothetical bias, but is muted by the magnitude of costs and potential benefits. Hypothetical cases are also shown to be more prone to the social context effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4487-4499 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491468 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491468 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4487-4499 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Prince Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Prince Title: Relating inertia and experience in technology markets: an analysis of households' personal computer choices Abstract: This article empirically analyses how households' PC purchasing behaviours change with market experience. We find that: households generally exhibit inertia in their PC purchases, the level of inertia is increasing as a function of experience on the PC market, and, for households switching brands, the likelihood of buying a lesser-known brand increases with experience, regardless of the brand of the previous purchase. These findings are consistent with the predictions of a simple learning model, and extend our understanding of how market experience affects purchasing behaviour to an important technology product, with implications that may apply to other similar products. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4501-4514 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491469 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491469 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4501-4514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tom Stargardt Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Stargardt Title: Modelling pharmaceutical price changes in Germany: a function of competition and regulation Abstract: In this article, price changes for pharmaceuticals in Germany are modelled as a function of regulation and competition. Changes in the regulatory environment, and in the competitive environment of a product, are taken into account. To follow the hierarchical structure, a four-level random intercept model was constructed. Price changes were allowed to vary randomly between drug classes, between different substances within a drug class, and between different manufacturers of a substance. This study provides evidence that two policy measures - reference pricing and temporary price freezes - succeeded in reducing prices in Germany between January 2004 and June 2006. For off-patent substances - depending on the competition faced by a drug - the effect of competition can be greater than the effect of regulation. The study, therefore, not only demonstrates the importance of competition between and within drug classes, it also provides evidence that generic entry has substantial effects on the prices of branded products. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4515-4526 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491470 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491470 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4515-4526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Luis Raymond Author-X-Name-First: Jose Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Raymond Author-Name: Jose Luis Roig Author-X-Name-First: Jose Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Roig Title: Intrafirm human capital externalities and selection bias Abstract: This article investigates the existence of intrafirm human capital externalities in the Spanish economy. In doing so, it focusses on two estimation issues. First, a semiparametric methodology is used to estimate externalities in a more flexible way that allows to affect all parameters in the equation. Second, two approaches to control for selection bias are designed for use in cross-section data. Our results show a higher externality effect on wages when using the semi parametric approach as compared to the standard estimation approach. Additionally, the estimations even when controlling for selection bias give evidence of externalities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4527-4536 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491471 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4527-4536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Esther Del Brio Author-X-Name-First: Esther Author-X-Name-Last: Del Brio Author-Name: Elida Maia-Ramires Author-X-Name-First: Elida Author-X-Name-Last: Maia-Ramires Author-Name: Alberto De Miguel Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: De Miguel Title: Ownership structure and diversification in a scenario of weak shareholder protection Abstract: This work examines the influences of ownership concentration and insider ownership on corporate strategies for diversification within a scenario characterized by poor protection of shareholder interests. We find evidence of a quadratic relationship between ownership concentration and diversification, and a cubic relationship between diversification and insider ownership. These results point towards the high probability of both expropriation and entrenchment phenomena, respectively, in this kind of scenario. We also find that concentrated ownership requires high levels of insider ownership, in order to prevent negative externalities of diversification. Another result shows that entrenchment externalities affect diversification before they erode firm value, which suggests that for low levels of diversification, firm value is still not negatively affected. Additionally, our results show that control mechanisms, such as debt, director remuneration and compliance with codes of good practice, are negatively related to the level of diversification. Overall, our results confirm the theoretical relevance of agency theory in explaining managerial attitudes towards corporate strategy, i.e. diversification. Furthermore, companies characterized by deficiencies in shareholder legal protection, concentrated ownership structures and a higher likelihood of managers being entrenched, should focus on the correct functioning of corporate governance mechanisms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4537-4547 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491472 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491472 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4537-4547 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcella D'Uva Author-X-Name-First: Marcella Author-X-Name-Last: D'Uva Author-Name: Rita De Siano Author-X-Name-First: Rita Author-X-Name-Last: De Siano Title: Time series approaches to Italian regional convergence Abstract: This article investigates the evolution of the gap between Italian regions and Italy as a whole during the period of 1980 to 2007. We tested for the presence of the stochastic and β-convergence hypotheses using different time series approaches. The former was studied, first, for the entire sample period and then, with an exogenous instantaneous break in the series. The presence of β-convergence, instead, was estimated considering a known and an unknown trend break date model. Our results show that most of the regions do not converge in an 'actual' way, since they do not present a stochastic and β-convergence simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4549-4559 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491473 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491473 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4549-4559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Eichler Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Eichler Author-Name: Dominik Maltritz Author-X-Name-First: Dominik Author-X-Name-Last: Maltritz Title: Currency crises and the stock market: empirical evidence for another type of twin crisis Abstract: We explore the dependency between currency crises and the stock market in emerging economies. Our focus is two-fold. First, the risk of a currency crisis rises as the foreign stake in the domestic stock market increases. Successful economies with high capital flows into their booming stock markets especially are prone to stock market-induced currency crises. Second, we apply the dividend growth model to show that stock markets crash in the run-up to a currency crisis. This new type of twin crisis is empirically tested by employing a logit framework using quarterly data for 33 emerging economies for 1994Q1-2007Q4. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4561-4587 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491474 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491474 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4561-4587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tindara Addabbo Author-X-Name-First: Tindara Author-X-Name-Last: Addabbo Author-Name: Donata Favaro Author-X-Name-First: Donata Author-X-Name-Last: Favaro Title: Gender wage differentials by education in Italy Abstract: In this article we evaluate wage differentials in Italy combining gender and education perspectives. The main goal of this article is to verify whether the extent of the gender pay gap varies between highly- and low-educated workers, and whether or not the role played by gender differences in characteristics and in market rewards is similar in the two groups. We apply quantile regression analysis and an adaptation of the procedure suggested by Machado and Mata (2005) to evaluate the predicted wage gap at different points of the female wage distribution scale. The analysis is carried out on the Italian sample of the last available year of the European Community Household Panel (ECHP). We show that the extent and the trend of the gap predicted across the female distribution is sharply different between groups with diverse educational levels. In the case of low-educated workers, although the predicted gap is largely explained by differences in rewards, lower levels of education or experience are responsible for the gap, especially on the right-hand side of the distribution. On the contrary, highly-educated females have better characteristics than highly-educated men that partially compensate the rather high difference in returns, in particular at the extremes of the distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4589-4605 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.491475 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.491475 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4589-4605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lex Borghans Author-X-Name-First: Lex Author-X-Name-Last: Borghans Author-Name: Bas ter Weel Author-X-Name-First: Bas Author-X-Name-Last: ter Weel Title: Computers, skills and wages Abstract: Computer technology is most prominently used by skilled, high-wage workers. This suggests that computer use requires skills to take full advantage of the possibilities, which are particularly present among relatively skilled workers. This article develops a simple technology adoption model showing that the decision to adopt computer technology depends on (i) the tasks to be performed, (ii) the level of skill or education and (iii) the level of wages. Applying this model to British data, it is shown that the effect of wages and particular tasks on computer adoption is larger than the effect of skills on adoption. The estimates suggest that in Britain computer use is likely to be a matter of cost efficiency and not so much of workers' skills. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4607-4622 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.493138 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.493138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4607-4622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mao-Wei Hung Author-X-Name-First: Mao-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Jr-Yan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jr-Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Loss aversion and the term structure of interest rates Abstract: This article studies how the loss averse behaviour affects the term structure of real interest rates. Since the pro-cyclical conditional expected marginal rate of substitution, implied from the US consumption data, is consistent with the proposition of loss aversion, we incorporate the loss averse behaviour of prospect theory into the consumption-based asset pricing model. Motivated by the similarity between habit formation and the prospect theory utility, habit formation is exploited to determine endogenously the reference point of this behavioural finance utility. The highly curved characteristic of the term structure of real interest rates can thus be captured by the additional consideration of loss aversion. This model also fits the downward sloping volatility of the real yield curve in the data of US Treasury Inflation-Protection Securities (TIPS). Moreover, depending on the effective risk attitude of the representative agent with the loss averse behaviour of prospect theory, our model is capable of generating a normal or an inverted yield curve. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4623-4640 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.493139 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.493139 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4623-4640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shandre Thangavelu Author-X-Name-First: Shandre Author-X-Name-Last: Thangavelu Author-Name: Liu Haoming Author-X-Name-First: Liu Author-X-Name-Last: Haoming Author-Name: Park Cheolsung Author-X-Name-First: Park Author-X-Name-Last: Cheolsung Author-Name: Ang Boon Heng Author-X-Name-First: Ang Boon Author-X-Name-Last: Heng Author-Name: James Wong Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: The determinants of training participation in Singapore Abstract: This article uses the Singapore Labour Force survey data to examine the determinants of workers' participation in training programmes in Singapore. The results show that different socio-demographic and employment related characteristics affect the training participation of workers. Well-educated and better paid workers are much more likely to participate in training programmes than others. Age has a positive impact on training participation for younger workers (under 37 years), but a negative effect on older workers' participation. The results also indicate that occupational affiliations have a significant impact on training participation. We also find that married workers seem to be less likely to participate in training programmes, but the difference between married and single is only significant at the 10% level. Finally, gender does not have any significant effect at any conventional level although the coefficient on the female dummy is positive, suggesting females might be slightly more likely to participate in training programmes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4641-4649 Issue: 29 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.493140 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.493140 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:29:p:4641-4649 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Perelman Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Perelman Author-Name: Daniel Santin Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Santin Title: Imposing monotonicity on outputs in parametric distance function estimations Abstract: The technology set involved in the estimation of a multi-output production frontier theoretically implies monotonicity on outputs. This is because an efficient firm cannot reduce the vector of outputs holding the vector of inputs fixed while it still belongs to the frontier. In empirical studies dealing with the estimation of parametric distance functions, this hypothesis is often violated by observations with far from average characteristics. To overcome this limitation, we propose a new approach for allowing the easy imposition of monotonicity on outputs in this context. This methodology is tested in the educational sector using Spanish student level data from the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) database. The results indicate that a nonnegligible 8.33% of the production units break the monotonicity assumption. Furthermore, although there is no statistically significant difference in efficiency distribution by school ownership, our methodology helps to detect a slight worse mathematical performance for students attending public schools. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4651-4661 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.493141 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.493141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4651-4661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmut Herwartz Author-X-Name-First: Helmut Author-X-Name-Last: Herwartz Author-Name: Annekatrin Niebuhr Author-X-Name-First: Annekatrin Author-X-Name-Last: Niebuhr Title: Growth, unemployment and labour market institutions: evidence from a cross-section of EU regions Abstract: The responsiveness of unemployment to growth is an issue of ongoing political and academic interest. Economic growth is supposed to be the key to increase labour demand and reduce unemployment. Departing from Okun's law, most research on the unemployment intensity of growth has focused on national disparities and the role of labour market institutions. Empirical evidence at the regional level is scarce. We investigate differences in regional labour market responsiveness and their potential determinants for a cross section of European regions. The data set covers the NUTS 2 regions in the EU15 for the period 1980 to 2002. Following a spatial modelling approach interaction among neighbouring labour markets is taken into account. Our findings point to substantial differences in labour market effects of output growth among European countries and regions. Both national labour market institutions and regional characteristics, such as structural change explain a significant part of these disparities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4663-4676 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.493142 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.493142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4663-4676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Morrison Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Morrison Author-Name: Darla Hatton MacDonald Author-X-Name-First: Darla Hatton Author-X-Name-Last: MacDonald Title: A comparison of compensating surplus and budget reallocation with opportunity costs specified Abstract: The use of most nonmarket valuation techniques is predicated on respondents paying additional amounts of money for increased provision of a public good. However, in many circumstances this may not be appropriate. Treaty rights or the capacity of a government to raise and collect taxes in the context of a developing country may preclude the introduction of new taxes. Alternatively, there may be settings where respondents reject the notion of an additional payment and a different approach to estimating nonmarket values is needed. This article demonstrates a methodology for estimating compensating budget reallocation, which is the amount of expenditure on other public goods that respondents are willing to forego for the government to provide more of another public good. One of the main contributions of this article is a demonstration of how to improve the specification of the opportunity costs of budget reallocations. Second, using choice modelling for the estimation of budget reallocations is compared with the standard approach of estimating compensating surplus. The two approaches produce aggregate results that are of a similar magnitude, however the relative importance of the environmental attributes differs. We also investigate the similarity of value estimates across income groups, and similar to Swallow and McGonagle (2006), we find that budget reallocations produce a different set of preferences for lower income earners. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4677-4688 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.493143 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.493143 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4677-4688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy Park Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Elizabeth Davis Author-X-Name-First: Elizabeth Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Title: Productivity and efficiency impacts of human resources practices in food retailing Abstract: Data from an annual survey of US supermarkets including detailed information on store characteristics, operations, and performance are used to develop an index of Human Resource (HR) practices for food retailers. A stochastic frontier analysis demonstrates that HR policies have a positive impact on value added in food retailing establishments while efficiency is not adversely influenced by HR practices. Managerial implications of the model link technical inefficiency estimates for retailers to slight declines in store level gross margins. Evaluated on the basis of technical efficiency, retailers choosing a portfolio of HR practices that score high on the HR index are able to match the performance of competitors pursuing an alternative low HR strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4689-4697 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498348 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4689-4697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Caroline Elliott Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Elliott Author-Name: Rob Simmons Author-X-Name-First: Rob Author-X-Name-Last: Simmons Title: Factors determining UK album success Abstract: This article uses a recently compiled dataset on the UK album sales to determine which factors contribute to best-selling album sales success. We control for factors including length of time since release, nationality of artist, artist type and album type, testing the increasing returns to information hypothesis. Information on general public online review scores for the albums in the dataset allows for a strong test of the accuracy of online reviews in predicting music sales, as online reviews are a relatively recent phenomenon, while the release of many of the albums predates the widespread use of Internet. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4699-4705 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498349 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498349 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4699-4705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pascal Courty Author-X-Name-First: Pascal Author-X-Name-Last: Courty Author-Name: Mario Pagliero Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Pagliero Title: Does responsive pricing smooth demand shocks? Abstract: Using data from a unique pricing experiment, we investigate Vickrey's conjecture that responsive pricing can be used to smooth both predictable and unpredictable demand shocks. Our evidence shows that increasing the responsiveness of price to demand conditions reduces the magnitude of deviations in capacity utilization rates from a pre-determined target level. A 10% increase in price variability leads to a decrease in the variability of capacity utilization rates between 2% and 6%. We discuss implications for the use of demand-side incentives to deal with congestible resources. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4707-4721 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498350 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498350 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4707-4721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Bang Jou Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Bang Author-X-Name-Last: Jou Author-Name: Tan (Charlene) Lee Author-X-Name-First: Tan Author-X-Name-Last: (Charlene) Lee Title: Mutually exclusive investment with technical uncertainty Abstract: A firm, which faces technical uncertainty as in Pindyck (1993) can choose between two mutually exclusive investment projects, Projects 1 and 2. The added option to exercise Project 2 makes the firm less likely to exercise Project 1. An increase in the degree of technical uncertainty, the investment rate or the investment value upon completion for Project 2 encourages the firm to exercise Project 2 by increasing the trigger level of the expected cost of Project 2. This, however, ambiguously affects the firm's incentive to exercise Project 1, as the firm would rather implement Project 1 (2) in a region where the expected cost of Project 2 is relatively high (low). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4723-4728 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498351 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498351 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4723-4728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Gries Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Gries Author-Name: Manfred Kraft Author-X-Name-First: Manfred Author-X-Name-Last: Kraft Author-Name: Daniel Meierrieks Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Meierrieks Title: Financial deepening, trade openness and economic growth in Latin America and the Caribbean Abstract: This contribution investigates the causal interactions between financial deepening, trade openness and economic growth in 13 Latin American and Caribbean countries. We construct a composite indicator for financial deepening and use it to detect Granger causality within a modified Vector Autoregressive/Vector Error Correction Model (VAR/VECM) framework. We find almost no evidence for the popular hypothesis of finance-led growth. Evidence of bidirectional finance-growth causality is stronger but mostly instable in the long run. Most results indicate a demand following or insignificant causal relationship between finance and growth. There is also no evidence that finance indirectly induces growth via the channel of trade openness. Hence, policies that prioritize financial and trade sector development cannot be supported. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4729-4739 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498352 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498352 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4729-4739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehtap Kesriyeli Author-X-Name-First: Mehtap Author-X-Name-Last: Kesriyeli Author-Name: Erdal Ozmen Author-X-Name-First: Erdal Author-X-Name-Last: Ozmen Author-Name: Serkan Yiğit Author-X-Name-First: Serkan Author-X-Name-Last: Yiğit Title: Corporate sector liability dollarization and exchange rate balance sheet effect in Turkey Abstract: In this study, we investigate the causes and balance sheet effect consequences of Liability Dollarization (LD) of nonfinancial sectors in Turkey. The dynamic panel data Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) results suggest that both sector specific and macroeconomic variables are significant in explaining the corporate sector LD. Industries appear to partially match the currency composition of their debt with their income streams. Devaluations are found to be contractionary, in terms of investments and profits, for sectors with higher LD. Macroeconomic instability affects the performance of the industries negatively. Our results also stress the importance of strong macroeconomic policy stance for an endogenous dedollarization process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4741-4747 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498353 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4741-4747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brenda Gannon Author-X-Name-First: Brenda Author-X-Name-Last: Gannon Author-Name: Jennifer Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Title: Part-time work and health among older workers in Ireland and Britain Abstract: Part-Time (PT) work is viewed as a viable option for people who wish to have a gradual transition to retirement. From a policy viewpoint, this may help to alleviate some labour supply shortages and fiscal pressures, especially in the context of the ageing population. Factors such as health or pension provision may influence a person's decision to work PT. This article considers the impact of health on the work decision of people aged 50 and over in the UK and Ireland. Methodological issues are discussed and the impact of unobserved individual effects is estimated using the Mundlak (1978) estimator applied to the multinomial probit model. We find that health problems increase the probability of retirement for this age group in both countries. In Britain, those with health problems are less likely to work full time and more likely to work PT, however in Ireland, health problems appear to have no effect on the probability of PT work. This article discusses the potential reasons for these impacts and current policies on PT work. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4749-4757 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498354 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4749-4757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ram Acharya Author-X-Name-First: Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Acharya Author-Name: Henry Kinnucan Author-X-Name-First: Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Kinnucan Author-Name: Steven Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Title: Asymmetric farm-retail price transmission and market power: a new test Abstract: A finite mixture model is used to estimate farm-retail price transmission in the US fresh strawberry market. Results suggest two distinct pricing regimes associated with off- and peak-harvesting seasons. The market power parameter is significant in the peak-harvest regime, but not in the off-peak regime. Moreover, price changes are transmitted completely throughout the marketing channel in the off-peak regime when the market power parameter is zero, but not in the peak-harvest regime when the market power parameter is positive. This suggests that produce buyers are more apt to exercise market power when farm supplies are abundant than when they are scarce, and that the exercise of such power causes the farm-retail price linkage to become asymmetric. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4759-4768 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498355 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4759-4768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laure Turner Author-X-Name-First: Laure Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Author-Name: Herve Boulhol Author-X-Name-First: Herve Author-X-Name-Last: Boulhol Title: Recent trends and structural breaks in the US and EU15 labour productivity growth Abstract: This article examines shifts in labour productivity growth in the US and in Europe between 1970 and 2007 based on econometric tests of structural breaks. Additionally, it makes use of time-series-based projections of labour productivity growth up to 2009 in order to detect breaks depending on confidence intervals of the projections. The identification of structural breaks in the US labour productivity growth is far from obvious. A statistically significant break is found in the late 1990s only if at least the 97.5th percentile of forecasts materializes in the future, which means that despite a clear pick up in productivity growth in the second half of the 1990s, the size of the hump is not large enough compared with past variations to make this change a statistically significant break. However, a significant break point is detected in the mid-1990s for the difference in labour productivity growth between the US and the EU15, even when controlling for the convergence of Europe towards the US productivity levels that has contributed to higher European performance in the early catch up phase. Finally, within Europe, the accumulation of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) capital seems to be related to differences in the shifts in structural labour productivity growth across countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4769-4784 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498356 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498356 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4769-4784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Moonsoo Park Author-X-Name-First: Moonsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Yanhong Jin Author-X-Name-First: Yanhong Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Alan Love Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Love Title: Dynamic and contemporaneous causality in a supply chain: an application of the US beef industry Abstract: Causal relationships are used to investigate information flows and directions of control in a decentralized multi-echelon supply chain where no central authority has system level control over optimizing decisions. We use secondary time-series data representing the US beef industry to investigate dynamic and contemporaneous causality based on out-of-sample Granger causality and Direct Acyclic Graphs (DAGs). Results indicate: (i) the US beef supply chain experienced a significant structural change in late 1996 and early 1997 that may be attributed to a weather induced production shock and an apparent turnaround of the cattle cycle; (ii) contemporaneous causalities appear to be stronger and dynamic causalities appear to be weaker after the structural change, suggesting faster and more effective information transmission along the supply chain after the structural change; (iii) contemporaneous information appears to flow from upstream to downstream tiers in the supply chain before the structural break, which reverses after the structural break, suggesting a shift in control from upstream to downstream firms; and (iv) co-use of spot market and contracts to procure strategic inputs by processors appears to allow processors some control of spot price through contract purchases in the post-break period. Our approach could be readily used to investigate other multi-echelon systems. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4785-4801 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498357 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498357 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4785-4801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Firat Inceoglu Author-X-Name-First: Firat Author-X-Name-Last: Inceoglu Author-Name: Minsoo Park Author-X-Name-First: Minsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Diffusion of a new product under network effects: the US DVD market Abstract: We formulate a model that captures the inter-dependence between hardware demand and software supply - indirect network effect - in the DVD industry. The identification of the network effect comes from the difference in software availability across two different formats: VHS and DVD. We find that a 1% increase in the number of DVD titles raises the demand for DVD players by 0.87%. Simultaneously, a 1% increase in video player ownership leads to a 0.14% increase in the variety of video titles. Our simulations show that hardware manufacturers might be able to internalize the network externality to increase total industry revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4803-4815 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498358 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498358 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4803-4815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Scott Shonkwiler Author-X-Name-First: J. Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Shonkwiler Author-Name: David Grigorian Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Grigorian Author-Name: Tigran Melkonyan Author-X-Name-First: Tigran Author-X-Name-Last: Melkonyan Title: Controlling for the underreporting of remittances Abstract: Empirical studies that use self-reported data on remittances to measure the latter's impact on microeconomic incentives mostly ignore the potential errors associated with reporting/measurement issues. An econometric procedure to control for these errors is developed and applied to household level data from Armenia. We find evidence of systematic underreporting of remittances. After controlling for this, we find a strong negative impact of remittances on incentives to work. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4817-4826 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498359 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498359 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4817-4826 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey Cohen Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Cohen Author-Name: Catherine Morrison Paul Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Morrison Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Title: Scale and scope economies for drug abuse treatment costs: evidence for Washington State Abstract: Drug abuse treatment has been pervasive in the US in the recent years, and the associated direct treatment costs approached $18 billion in 2001. However, there have been few published studies on scale economies, and none on scope economies, for drug abuse treatment costs. We estimate a restricted cost function for 17 hospitals in Washington State that provided inpatient and/or outpatient drug abuse treatment during the years 1997-2004. We find significant evidence of scale economies for hospitals that provide only outpatient drug abuse treatment services. The marginal costs of outpatient services are even smaller for hospitals that produce both outpatient and inpatient drug abuse treatment services. Further, these joint-production hospitals exhibit diseconomies of scope, or specialization economies. These results all imply that recent trends towards additional outpatient treatment services will enhance cost efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4827-4834 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498360 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498360 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4827-4834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Siminski Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Siminski Title: The price elasticity of demand for pharmaceuticals amongst high-income older Australians: a natural experiment Abstract: Most high-income older Australians became eligible for a pharmaceutical concession through a 1999 policy change. I exploit this natural experiment to estimate their price elasticity of demand for pharmaceuticals. The preferred model is a nonlinear Instrumental Variable (IV) regression, estimated on nationally representative repeated cross-sectional survey data using the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). No significant evidence is found for endogenous take-up, and so cross-sectional estimates are also considered. Taking all of the results into account, the 'headline' estimate is -0.1, implying that quantity demanded is not highly responsive to price. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4835-4846 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498361 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4835-4846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. Biondi Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Biondi Title: Cost of capital, discounting and relational contracting: endogenous optimal return and duration for joint investment projects Abstract: Concession, project financing and public-private partnership schemes are investment projects that are generally submitted to valuation criteria based on discounted cash flow analysis. The theoretical basis of these valuation criteria are now at issue. Pursuant to recent advances in relational contracting economics and behavioural finance, joint investment projects can be considered as special relational environments where the project's returns improve on alternative replacement opportunities. This article seeks to bridge the gap between new theories and widely used valuation techniques by providing a generalized approach to investment valuation. This article suggests reasonable valuation criteria that fit these new theoretical developments, including an endogenous optimal duration function that may be integrated into the project's contractual agreement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4847-4864 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498362 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4847-4864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Ziesemer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Ziesemer Title: Growth with endogenous migration hump and the multiple, dynamically interacting effects of aid in poor developing countries Abstract: We show empirically that aid given to poor developing countries enhances growth and reduces emigration, once several dynamically interacting effects of aid are taken into account in a system of equations. We estimate equations for net immigration flows as a share of the labour force and Gross Domestic Product Per Capita (GDPPC) growth and also for all their regressors including remittances and official development aid. We use dynamic panel data methods for a sample of poor countries with GDPPC below $1200 (2000), for which aid is about 9.5% of GDP. The partial effects in these regressions are working against each other. Therefore, we integrate all equations into a dynamic system and run a simulation. One result is an endogenous migration hump with several peaks. In a counterfactual simulation, we double aid with the consequence that for more than a 100 years migration is reduced and the GDPPC is enhanced, because the positive effects of aid on investment and education dominate the negative direct effects of aid on growth and the unfavourable effects on savings, tax revenues and labour force growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4865-4878 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498363 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4865-4878 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joon-Ho Hahm Author-X-Name-First: Joon-Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Hahm Author-Name: Sangche Lee Author-X-Name-First: Sangche Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Economic effects of positive credit information sharing: the case of Korea Abstract: In many countries, in addition to negative credit information such as loan default and arrears, positive credit information is also exchanged on a voluntary and reciprocal basis. Employing optimal credit decision models of profit maximizing banks, and utilizing a unique dataset of 2 million consumer loan obligors in Korea, we investigate the economic effects of sharing positive credit information in addition to negative credit information already exchanged. We find that the discriminatory power of the credit scoring model improves significantly. We proceed to investigate the economic effects of the information gap in a competitive credit market by assuming two representative banks that differ only in the level of credit information sharing. The bank that utilizes negative information only suffers from deterioration of the borrower pool and reduced profit, as high credit risk borrowers are more concentrated on this bank due to underpricing of risks. Our finding suggests that banks have incentives to voluntarily participate in the positive information sharing mechanism, since even a small difference in discriminatory power stemming from the information gap may lead to a significant fall in profitability as the distribution of borrower quality changes endogenously due to adverse selection problems. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4879-4890 Issue: 30 Volume: 43 Year: 2011 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498364 File-URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/00036846.2010.498364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:43:y:2011:i:30:p:4879-4890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dominique M. Gross Author-X-Name-First: Dominique M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gross Author-Name: Nicolas Schmitt Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitt Title: Low- and high-skill migration flows: free mobility versus other determinants Abstract: We investigate what economic factors drive international migration of workers to France and how their influence varies across different skill levels under restrictive policies and through time as free mobility is implemented. We find that neither incentives nor policy parameters are similar across skill levels. Migration drivers such as a network of compatriots and relative incomes influence the movement of low-skill workers. High-skill individuals however move only according to financial opportunities be they standard of living or returns to skill within a class. We conclude that competition for high-skill workers among Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries requires more than free mobility to successfully attract high-skill migrants even for a developed country such as France. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-20 Issue: 1 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498365 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.498365 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:1:p:1-20 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olena Stavrunova Author-X-Name-First: Olena Author-X-Name-Last: Stavrunova Author-Name: Oleg Yerokhin Author-X-Name-First: Oleg Author-X-Name-Last: Yerokhin Title: Two-part fractional regression model for the demand for risky assets† Abstract: Empirical studies of household portfolio choices are often interested in quantifying the effects of various covariates on the fraction of a household's wealth invested in risky assets such as common stocks. The preferred econometric specification in these studies is the two-limit Tobit model, which can accommodate the fractional nature of the dependent variable. However, it is restrictive, because it assumes that the same data generating process determines both whether households participate in the stock market and the fraction of wealth invested in stocks. This article demonstrates that, in this setting, a two-part version of the fractional response model of Papke and Wooldridge (1996) constitutes an attractive alternative to Tobit by comparing the performance of the two models using data on portfolio choices of Australian households. We find that (1) the Tobit model is rejected by our data in favour of a two-part specification; and (2) marginal effects of covariates on the share of risky assets conditional on participation estimated from Tobit are confounded by the effects of these covariates on the participation decision. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 21-26 Issue: 1 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498366 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.498366 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:1:p:21-26 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anindita Chakrabarti Author-X-Name-First: Anindita Author-X-Name-Last: Chakrabarti Title: Determinants of child morbidity and factors governing utilization of child health care: evidence from rural India Abstract: Prevention as well as effective treatment of respiratory infections and diarrhoea depends on several individual, household and community level factors. The objective of this article is to estimate the role played by such factors in determining the occurrence of such diseases and utilization of formal health care for children under the age of three in India. The major findings are briefly enlisted as follows. First, a woman with greater educational qualification and autonomy in terms of her power to take decisions on her own, control over household resources and complete freedom to move beyond the confines of her household exerts a significant influence on the probability of seeking care. In addition to this, formal care is more likely to be sought for children whose mothers are more exposed to the media. Programmes devised to enhance utilization of formal health care for children should be targeted to catering for the needs of the vulnerable group i.e. female child, predominantly, residing in households belonging to Scheduled Tribe. In addition to this, children belonging to Muslim households are at higher risk of contracting the diseases but there is no significant difference in their health seeking behaviour as compared to other religious groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 27-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498367 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.498367 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:1:p:27-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rolf Färe Author-X-Name-First: Rolf Author-X-Name-Last: Färe Author-Name: Shawna Grosskopf Author-X-Name-First: Shawna Author-X-Name-Last: Grosskopf Author-Name: Carl A. Pasurka Author-X-Name-First: Carl A. Author-X-Name-Last: Pasurka Author-Name: William L. Weber Author-X-Name-First: William L. Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Substitutability among undesirable outputs Abstract: In recent years, economists have started to move beyond calculating regulatory effects on a pollutant-by-pollutant basis since their interaction is important. In this study, we take up this issue. To allow for joint production of multiple pollutants and marketable output, we specify our technology using a directional distance function. This allows us to treat pollutants as joint outputs, yet accounts for their ‘undesirability’. We estimate the distance function for a sample of coal-fired electric power plants from 1985 to 1998, which includes the first 4 years of Phase I of the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990. We focus on the interaction between SO2 and NO x , as they became more highly regulated and estimate shadow prices of the pollutants and the Morishima elasticity of transformation between two pollutants, NO x and SO2, as well as with respect to the desirable output, kilowatt-hours of electricity. As expected, we find that power plants increase NO x emissions as they decrease SO2, i.e. they are substitutes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 39-47 Issue: 1 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498368 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.498368 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:1:p:39-47 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Horst Feldmann Author-X-Name-First: Horst Author-X-Name-Last: Feldmann Title: Inflation volatility and unemployment in industrial countries Abstract: Using annual data on 20 industrial countries over the period from 1972 to 2003, this article analyses the impact of inflation volatility on unemployment. It finds that higher volatility over the previous 10 years is associated with a higher unemployment rate in the current year. The effect appears to be small in the short run and medium sized in the long run. The results are robust to variations in specification and sample size. The magnitude of the effect is not smaller if the sample is limited to the more recent sub-period of comparatively low inflation volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 49-64 Issue: 1 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498369 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.498369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:1:p:49-64 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sharmistha Self Author-X-Name-First: Sharmistha Author-X-Name-Last: Self Author-Name: Richard Grabowski Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Grabowski Title: Opportunities for women and Islam: variations upon variations Abstract: Religion has long been thought to be an important institution influencing economic development. More recently, it has also been argued that religion influences economic and social opportunities for women, specifically, that Islam limits women's opportunities. A revisionist view has countered with the argument that once one accounts for oil rents and/or fertility, then much of the negative effect disappears. In addition, it has been argued that the impact of Islam varies greatly from region to region. The empirical results from this article indicate that indeed once an account is taken of the impact of fertility, much, but not all, of the negative impact of Islam on relative female performance disappears. In addition, the impact of Islam on relative female performance does vary greatly from region to region. Finally, the inclusion of a variable measuring oil rents does not seem to substantially influence the results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 65-79 Issue: 1 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498370 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.498370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:1:p:65-79 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lionel Page Author-X-Name-First: Lionel Author-X-Name-Last: Page Title: ‘It ain’t over till it's over.’ Yogi Berra bias on prediction markets Abstract: The recent expansion of prediction markets provides a great opportunity to test the market efficiency hypothesis and the calibration of trader judgements. Using a large database of observed prices, this article studies the calibration of prediction markets prices on sporting events using both nonparametric and parametric methods. While only minor bias can be observed during most of the lifetime of the contracts, the calibration of prices deteriorates very significantly in the last moments of the contracts’ lives. Traders tend to overestimate the probability of the losing team to reverse the situation in the last minutes of the game. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 81-92 Issue: 1 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498578 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.498578 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:1:p:81-92 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maryam H’madoun Author-X-Name-First: Maryam Author-X-Name-Last: H’madoun Author-Name: Walter Nonneman Author-X-Name-First: Walter Author-X-Name-Last: Nonneman Title: Explaining differences in job retention between alien and nonalien workers after an in-company training Abstract: This study focuses on the job retention of unemployed workers, after they attended a subsidized in company training programme in Flanders. Using a new large scale dataset of the Flemish Labour Exchange, we look for differences in the probability of employment between aliens and nonaliens during the 36 months following their on the job training. We further investigate whether differences persist after controlling for several socio-economic characteristics and labour market related variables. Estimating a modified probit model we find that, on average, being an alien lowers the probability of employment after training by approximately 15%. This effect reduces to 10% when controlling for other variables. The effect of education on a trainee's employment chances differs for aliens and nonaliens. Aliens have a markedly lower return on investment in education. Good language skills and a longer in company training period also increase employment probability, but more so for aliens. Other control variables do not significantly improve the explanatory power of the model. The main conclusion is that even after a tailored on the job training, aliens still lag behind nonaliens in terms of employment success. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 93-103 Issue: 1 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.500271 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.500271 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:1:p:93-103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ellen K. Nyhus Author-X-Name-First: Ellen K. Author-X-Name-Last: Nyhus Author-Name: Empar Pons Author-X-Name-First: Empar Author-X-Name-Last: Pons Title: Personality and the gender wage gap Abstract: In this study, we investigate whether personality traits contribute towards a better understanding of the reasons for the gender wage gap. We explore whether two of the personality factors put forward by Bowles et al. (2001) as likely to be incentive enhancing in the employer--employee relationship can explain the difference in wages for women and men. These are (1) personal self efficacy (Locus of Control (LoC)) and (2) time preference. We also study the role of the so called Big Five personality traits (extraversion, emotional stability, agreeableness, openness intellect and conscientiousness), which have been associated with earnings in several recent studies. Using a sample of Dutch employees, we found that 11.5% of the observed gender wage gap could be ascribed to differences in the personality trait scores (mainly in agreeableness and intellect), while less than 0.5% could be ascribed to gender differences in the returns to the traits. The addition of personality traits to a traditional human capital model reduces the unexplained part of the gender wage gap from 75.2% to 62.7%. We therefore conclude that these traits represent a valuable addition to the model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 105-118 Issue: 1 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.500272 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.500272 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:1:p:105-118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nalan Baştürk Author-X-Name-First: Nalan Author-X-Name-Last: Baştürk Author-Name: Richard Paap Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Paap Author-Name: Dick van Dijk Author-X-Name-First: Dick Author-X-Name-Last: van Dijk Title: Structural differences in economic growth: an endogenous clustering approach Abstract: This article addresses heterogeneity in determinants of economic growth in a data-driven way. Instead of defining groups of countries with different growth characteristics a priori, based on, for example, geographical location, we use a finite mixture panel model and endogenous clustering to examine cross-country differences and similarities in the effects of growth determinants. Applying this approach to an annual unbalanced panel of 59 countries in Asia, Latin and Middle America and Africa for the period 1971--2000, we can identify two groups of countries in terms of distinct growth structures. The structural differences between the country groups mainly stem from different effects of investment, openness measures and government share in the economy. Furthermore, the detected segmentation of countries does not match with conventional classifications in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 119-134 Issue: 1 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.500274 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.500274 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:1:p:119-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis E. Arango Author-X-Name-First: Luis E. Author-X-Name-Last: Arango Author-Name: Fernando Arias Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Arias Author-Name: Adriana Flórez Author-X-Name-First: Adriana Author-X-Name-Last: Flórez Title: Determinants of commodity prices Abstract: A panel of annual information between 1960 and 2006 for approximately 50 different commodity prices and some other variables and sources is used to tests the determinants of commodity prices. According to the evidence, interest rates seem to maintain a negative relationship with commodity prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 135-145 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.500273 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.500273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:2:p:135-145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos頃uesta Author-X-Name-First: Jos頍 Author-X-Name-Last: Cuesta Author-Name: Camilo Bohórquez Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Bohórquez Title: Soccer and national culture: estimating the impact of violence on 22 lads after a ball Abstract: Sports have been recently conceptualized as an effective tool for development. Questioning that argument, recent evidence suggests that the practice of soccer reveals national cultures of violence prevailing in players’ countries of origin. We model violent behaviour in the soccer pitch as a function of game specific controls as well as socioeconomic, political, cultural and conflict variables characterizing players’ home countries. We construct a database for the Latin American 2008 Libertadores Cup Competition and find that across multiple specifications and estimating techniques, only game specific variables determine sanctions to violent actions. There are three compatible explanations for this result: highly skilled soccer players may not be representative average citizens; violent conflicts may not necessarily cause a violent culture affecting all corners of society; and even when violent cultures are transmitted to individual players, those values do not condition significantly their behaviour during games. After all, sports may not be a pernicious activity that intrinsically transmits violent values to youths. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 147-161 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.500275 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.500275 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:2:p:147-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Stephan Popp Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: Popp Title: A nonlinear approach to testing the unit root null hypothesis: an application to international health expenditures Abstract: In this article, we examine the unit root null hypothesis for per capita total Health Expenditures (HEs), per capita private HEs and per capita public HEs for 29 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. The novelty of our work is that we use a new nonlinear unit root test that allows for one structural break in the data series. We find that for around 45% of the countries, we are able to reject the unit root hypothesis for each of the three HE series. Moreover, using Monte Carlo simulations, we show that our proposed unit root model has better size and power properties than the widely used Augmented Dickey--Fuller (ADF) and Lagrange Multiplier (LM) type tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 163-175 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.500276 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.500276 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:2:p:163-175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger Bowles Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Bowles Author-Name: Chrisostomos Florackis Author-X-Name-First: Chrisostomos Author-X-Name-Last: Florackis Title: Impatience, reputation and offending Abstract: Reconviction rates for offenders are high despite sentence severity increasing with the number of convictions. The standard one-shot model of crime provides little scope for exploring ‘persistence effects’, although recent papers by Emons and others have sought to put offending decisions into a more dynamic setting. This article develops a simple two-period model of offending in which criminal convictions act as an adverse signal in labour markets. Ordinary and multinomial logistic regression modelling is used to test the predictions of the theoritical model and explore the link between unemployment and convictions. The empirical results, which are based on longitudinal data from the National Child Development Study (NCDS) in the UK, strongly support the view that, ceteris paribus, individuals with previous convictions are at higher risk of being unemployed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 177-187 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.500277 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.500277 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:2:p:177-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ki-Dong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ki-Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seok-Joon Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Seok-Joon Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Min-hwan Lee Author-X-Name-First: Min-hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Agglomeration economies and location choice of Korean manufacturers within the United States Abstract: Employing the micro data for 1997--2004, we investigate the location decision of Korean-affiliated manufacturing investments in the United States. The conditional logit estimates confirm that although industry-specific Korean agglomeration and domestic agglomeration play an important role, the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) location is more sensitively affected by the interstate difference in endowment conditions than by the same nationality agglomeration. Both business service and intermediate good agglomeration are main determinants of FDI location. Furthermore, estimation results show substantial change in the location pattern after recovery from the Asian financial crisis. We find quite different patterns of location decision across industry groups; dispersion forces work greater than the agglomeration force in the consumer goods industry, forward linkages with US upstream firms can be seen in the assembly and processing industry, and typical follow-the-leader pattern mixed with market potential effect by Korean immigrants is seen in the basic material manufacturing industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 189-200 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.502109 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.502109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:2:p:189-200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Kalb Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Kalb Author-Name: Benny Geys Author-X-Name-First: Benny Author-X-Name-Last: Geys Author-Name: Friedrich Heinemann Author-X-Name-First: Friedrich Author-X-Name-Last: Heinemann Title: Value for money? German local government efficiency in a comparative perspective Abstract: In this article, we investigate the cost efficiency of German local governments in the state of Baden-Württemberg in 2004 using a stochastic frontier approach. Besides being the first study on German data, we add two elements to the literature. First, we provide a comparative perspective, allowing us to embed our results in the broader literature. Second, unlike most previous studies, we explicitly account for exogenous or nondiscretionary influences when estimating municipal efficiency scores. The results suggest that disregarding such exogenous factors can lead to significant and systematic bias in the estimated inefficiency levels. Particularly, underestimation of efficiency occurs for municipalities with high tourist activity, while the reverse is true for municipalities with high unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 201-218 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.502110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.502110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:2:p:201-218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Rosenman Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenman Author-Name: Scott Goates Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Goates Author-Name: Laura Hill Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Hill Title: Participation in universal prevention programmes Abstract: We analyse family decisions to participate in community-based universal substance-abuse prevention programmes through the framework of expected utility theory. Family functioning, which has been shown to be a good indicator of child risk for substance abuse, provides a useful reference point for family decision making. Our results show that well-functioning families (with children at low risk for substance use) should have the lowest incentive to participate, but that high-risk families may also opt out of prevention programmes. For programmes that are most effective for high-risk youth, this could be a problem. Using data from the Strengthening Families Programme (SFP) and the Washington Healthy Youth Survey (HYS), we empirically test the implications of our model and find that at least for one measure of family functioning those families with children most likely to be at risk for substance use are opting out of the programme. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 219-228 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.502111 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.502111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:2:p:219-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernhard Michel Author-X-Name-First: Bernhard Author-X-Name-Last: Michel Author-Name: François Rycx Author-X-Name-First: François Author-X-Name-Last: Rycx Title: Does offshoring of materials and business services affect employment? Evidence from a small open economy Abstract: The fear of massive job losses has prompted a fast-growing literature on offshoring and its impact on employment in advanced economies. This article examines the situation for Belgium. It improves the offshoring intensity measure by computing a volume measure of the share of imported intermediates in output, and it is among the first to address both materials and business services offshoring to high wage and low wage countries. Estimations of static and dynamic industry-level labour demand equations augmented by offshoring intensities do not reveal a significant impact of either materials or business services offshoring on total employment for Belgium between 1995 and 2003. This result holds for both the manufacturing sector and the service sector and it proves robust to splitting the manufacturing sector into high technology and low technology industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 229-251 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.503932 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.503932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:2:p:229-251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonios Georgopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Antonios Author-X-Name-Last: Georgopoulos Author-Name: Kostas Karamanis Author-X-Name-First: Kostas Author-X-Name-Last: Karamanis Title: The implications of the liberalization in telecommunication markets for market structure and price policy: evidence from a small open economy Abstract: This study analyses the impact of liberalization on market structure and pricing in the Greek telecommunication market from 1992 to 2005. The data refers to 44 of the most prominent companies of fixed telephony, mobile telephony and internet services and was compiled by means of interviews with the help of a questionnaire. Our descriptive analysis concluded that liberalization of the telecommunication market reduced its concentration degree, increased competition and induced price cuts. This conclusion is supported by other research studies concerning other countries of the EU, since Greece as an EU member country has also implemented the respective European policy in the specific industry. As far as the econometric level is concerned, we used panel Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS). FGLS is an appropriate tool for samples such as our own, composed by intersectoral data that extend to more than one time periods, and without correlation between the unobserved effects and the interpretative variables. Our econometric research showed that both private ownership and specialized personnel in the commercial and technical sector seem to positively influence the companies’ market share. In turn, a large market share offers companies more freedom to cut down prices in their services. However, there is still considerable need for econometric research in this field. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 253-263 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.505556 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.505556 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:2:p:253-263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauricio Jara-Bertin Author-X-Name-First: Mauricio Author-X-Name-Last: Jara-Bertin Author-Name: F鬩x J. López-Iturriaga Author-X-Name-First: F鬩x J. Author-X-Name-Last: López-Iturriaga Author-Name: Óscar López-de-Foronda Author-X-Name-First: Óscar Author-X-Name-Last: López-de-Foronda Title: Does the influence of institutional investors depend on the institutional framework? An international analysis Abstract: This article analyses the effect of institutional ownership in alleviating or exacerbating the conflicts of interests among stakeholders in different legal and institutional frameworks. This analysis is carried out based on two characteristics: the concentration of power of institutional ownership and the identification of the main types of institutional investors. In common law countries, consistent with the convergence and entrenchment hypotheses, we find a U-shape relation between ownership structure and firm performance. In civil law countries, consistent with the collusion and contest theories, we find an inverted U-shape relation. We also find that when institutional investors are classified as pressure resistant and pressure sensitive according to the strength of their ties with managers, pressure-resistant investors, who operate more independently, are the most capable of improving the value of the firm. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 265-278 Issue: 3 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.502112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.502112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:3:p:265-278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gerhard Riener Author-X-Name-First: Gerhard Author-X-Name-Last: Riener Title: Inequality and mobility of household incomes in Europe: evidence from the ECHP Abstract: In this article we want to shed light on two aspects of income mobility: relative total income mobility using the estimator by Fields and Ok (1999) and equalization of long-run incomes measured by the index of Fields (2009). The cross country comparison shows a negative relationship between total relative mobility and long-run income equalization, this result is contrary to the intuition given by Shorrocks (1978a) who stated that higher relative mobility will cause higher equalization of incomes when the accounting period is extended. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 279-288 Issue: 3 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.505555 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.505555 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:3:p:279-288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy J. Halliday Author-X-Name-First: Timothy J. Author-X-Name-Last: Halliday Author-Name: Sally Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Sally Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: What is a peer? The role of network definitions in estimation of endogenous peer effects Abstract: We employ a standard identification strategy from the peer effects literature to investigate the importance of network definitions in estimation of endogenous peer effects. We use detailed information on friends in the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health Survey (Add Health) to construct two network definitions that are less ad hoc than the school-grade cohorts commonly used in the educational peer effects literature. We demonstrate that accurate definitions of the network seriously impact estimation of peer effects. In particular, we show that peer effects estimates on educational achievement, smoking and drinking are substantially larger with our more detailed measures than with the school-grade cohorts. These results highlight the need to further understand how friendships form in order to fully understand implications for policy that alters the peer group mix at the classroom or cohort level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 289-302 Issue: 3 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.505557 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.505557 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:3:p:289-302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. James Deaton Author-X-Name-First: B. James Author-X-Name-Last: Deaton Author-Name: Ekaterina Niman Author-X-Name-First: Ekaterina Author-X-Name-Last: Niman Title: An empirical examination of the relationship between mining employment and poverty in the Appalachian region Abstract: We empirically examine the relationship between the share of employment in the mining sector and poverty rates in Appalachian counties of the United States. Using panel data we decompose the effect of an increase in a sector's employment share (i.e. mining, manufacturing, agriculture, services and construction) to identify an immediate and lag effect. With regard to the mining sector the empirical results suggest that the immediate effect reduces poverty rates while the lag effect is associated with increases in the poverty rate. We assess these results in the context of previous literature that examines the relationship between resource intensive economies and economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 303-312 Issue: 3 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.505558 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.505558 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:3:p:303-312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Samarajeewa Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Samarajeewa Author-Name: G. Hailu Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Hailu Author-Name: S. R. Jeffrey Author-X-Name-First: S. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Jeffrey Author-Name: M. Bredahl Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Bredahl Title: Analysis of production efficiency of beef cow/calf farms in Alberta Abstract: This article measures production efficiency across cow--calf farms in Alberta, and examines the sources of variation in efficiency. Average technical, allocative and economic efficiencies are, respectively, 83%, 78% and 67%. Biological efficiency (increased conception, calving and weaning rates), larger herd size, higher share of family labour and greater expense for bedding material reduce inefficiency. Inefficiency was also related to receipt of government subsidies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 313-322 Issue: 3 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.507173 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.507173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:3:p:313-322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Casacuberta Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Casacuberta Author-Name: N鳴or Gandelman Author-X-Name-First: N鳴or Author-X-Name-Last: Gandelman Title: Multiple job holding: the artist's labour supply approach Abstract: This article analyses a labour supply model in which individuals maximize a utility function that depends on leisure time, consumption and time devoted to an activity that is termed ‘artistic’. This activity may generate income that depends nonlinearly on hours dedicated to it. The individual can also work in the labour market (an activity that does not increase utility by itself) in exchange for an hourly wage, and obtain income not related to hours. Conditions are obtained that sort individuals into two groups, part-time and full-time artists, deriving their labour supply functions in both activities. The predictions of the model are tested empirically using a sample of musicians from a Uruguayan performing rights society. Increases in outside wages drive part-time artists out of the labour market, but no significant increase in arts hours is detected. Higher nonlabour income also reduces nonarts work time of part-time artists, but does not have a significant impact in their arts hours. Conversely, arts hours of full-time artists increase with nonlabour income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 323-337 Issue: 3 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508719 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508719 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:3:p:323-337 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacqueline Agesa Author-X-Name-First: Jacqueline Author-X-Name-Last: Agesa Author-Name: Richard U. Agesa Author-X-Name-First: Richard U. Author-X-Name-Last: Agesa Title: Imports, unionization and racial wage discrimination in the US Abstract: Past studies of the relationship between competition and racial wages find that domestic competition reduces racial wage discrimination of nonunion workers. This article examines the effects of foreign competition on racial wages of union and nonunion workers utilizing an empirical model which allows for cluster-adjusted SEs by industry. Such a procedure allows independence of observations across industries but not within industries, thereby not overstating the significance of industry invariant controls. In this analysis, clustered SEs prevent the overstatement of the significance of imports as a means to reduce earnings discrimination. We find evidence of a wage premium for nonunion white workers in concentrated industries; however, imports cause the wages of nonunion whites to converge towards market rates. In contrast, for union workers in concentrated industries, wage standardization provides a sanctuary from market power initiated discrimination such that imports play a limited role in reducing discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 339-350 Issue: 3 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508720 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508720 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:3:p:339-350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Coccorese Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Coccorese Title: Information sharing, market competition and antitrust intervention: a lesson from the Italian insurance sector Abstract: By means of an application of the Rosse--Panzar methodology, we assess the degree of competition in the Italian car insurance market in order to evaluate the considerable fine that is imposed on 39 companies by the Italian Antitrust Authority (IAA) in 2000 for their supposed anticompetitive behaviour due to a longstanding information exchange through a third independent company. Our results show that this group of firms has earned revenues as if under monopoly or collusive oligopoly conditions, therefore endorsing the decision of IAA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 351-359 Issue: 3 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508721 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:3:p:351-359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenyu Zang Author-X-Name-First: Wenyu Author-X-Name-Last: Zang Author-Name: Mark Baimbridge Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Baimbridge Title: Exports, imports and economic growth in South Korea and Japan: a tale of two economies Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between exports, imports and economic growth for South Korea and Japan by constructing a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model. Causality is examined between real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), real exports and real imports. Several principal results emerge from the empirical work. First, the three variables are cointegrated for both countries, implying that a long run steady state exists. Second, there is evidence of bidirectional causality between imports and economic growth for both countries. Finally, Japan seems to experience export-led growth, while GDP growth in South Korea has a negative effect on export growth. These contrasting findings could result from export goods in Japan exhibiting greater nonprice competitive aspects, although their success fails to trigger a virtuous circle since growth fails to lead to increased exports, while for South Korea, output growth leads to a decrease in export growth suggesting a strong domestic market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 361-372 Issue: 3 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508722 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:3:p:361-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael L. Marlow Author-X-Name-First: Michael L. Author-X-Name-Last: Marlow Title: Effectiveness of Massachusetts’ comprehensive tobacco control program Abstract: While Massachusetts's comprehensive programme of excise taxes, smoking bans and tobacco control has been argued to have significantly lowered cigarette consumption, this is the first study to examine the comprehensive nature of its programme and to control for factors other than tobacco programmes themselves while examining effects on taxed cigarette sales. Examination indicates strong support for the hypotheses that taxed sales in Massachusetts declined due to price increases, changes in income and smuggling. There is very limited support for the hypothesis that tobacco control spending or smoking bans contributed to falling cigarette sales. Possibilities are discussed that may explain why this study does not support most previous studies. These include failure to control for numerous factors that probably also influenced sales, that effects of tobacco control programmes might differ between states and that previous studies examined shorter time periods. It is hoped that this article will foster further examination of these issues so that we can better understand effectiveness of comprehensive tobacco control programmes when formulating recommendations about how governments should allocate their scarce resources towards such programmes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 373-385 Issue: 3 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508723 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508723 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:3:p:373-385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silvia Banfi Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Banfi Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Author-Name: Andrea Horehájová Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Horehájová Title: Using a choice experiment to estimate the benefits of a reduction of externalities in urban areas with special focus on electrosmog Abstract: Traffic noise, air pollution and electromagnetic pollution (i.e. nonionizing radiation, also called electrosmog) are typical negative local externalities in urban areas. They are side effects of human and economic activities (e.g. road transport, telecommunication) and they affect individuals’ well being negatively without compensation. In recent years, the increased number of mobile phone antennas in residential areas, and thus the increased intensity of radiated power, has aroused public concern, discussions and protests. The view of an antenna is annoying an increasing number of inhabitants. In this article, the stated Choice Experiment (CE) is used to estimate the Willingness To Pay (WTP) residents in the cities of Zurich and Lugano place on the reduction of these three environmental loads. Estimation results reveal that there is a positive and significant WTP for a reduction of air pollution and traffic noise levels to those limit values fixed by the government. Respondents also show WTP for reducing electrosmog and removing mobile phone antennas from their view, however to a lesser extent. In addition, this is the first study that estimates the benefit of a reduction of electrosmog using a CE. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 387-397 Issue: 3 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508724 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508724 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:3:p:387-397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Štefan Bojnec Author-X-Name-First: Štefan Author-X-Name-Last: Bojnec Author-Name: Imre Fertő Author-X-Name-First: Imre Author-X-Name-Last: Fertő Title: Complementarities of trade advantage and trade competitiveness measures Abstract: The complementarities of trade advantage and trade competitiveness measures for agro food trade of five Central European (CE-5) countries with the European Union are analysed. The stability and duration of the trade measures over time is investigated by the survival analysis using the nonparametric Kaplan--Meier product limit estimator, and the consistency test between the trade measures is conducted by the stratified Cox proportional hazard model. The CE-5 countries experienced a greater number of products with relative trade disadvantages and greater significance of one way imports. Unlike the Czech Republic, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia, Hungary experienced Relative Trade Advantages (RTAs) for bulk raw commodities, processed intermediates and horticulture, with the greatest significance of successful quality competition and one-way exports, and the lowest significance of unsuccessful price and unsuccessful quality competition. The duration of RTAs is longer than the duration for the successful trade competition categories. Our results confirm that the RTA is consistent with the one way export and the successful price and successful quality competition categories in two way trade on one side, and the relative trade disadvantage with the one way import and the unsuccessful price and unsuccessful quality competition on the other. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 399-408 Issue: 4 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508725 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508725 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:4:p:399-408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong-Hyeon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dong-Hyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Shu-Chin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Trade and income at different stages of economic development Abstract: Recent research has found a strong positive effect of international trade on real income. We propose that this relationship may vary with the level of economic development. Using the instrument variable threshold regressions approach proposed by Caner and Hansen (2004), we find evidence that trade openness contributes to uneven development. Greater trade openness tends to have beneficial effects on real income for more industrialized countries. For less developed countries, however, trade openness appears to influence real income in a significantly negative way. The findings imply that greater international trade and integration may foster inequality of nations and hence contribute to more diverging economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 409-421 Issue: 4 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508726 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:4:p:409-421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alex YiHou Huang Author-X-Name-First: Alex YiHou Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Volatility forecasting by quantile regression Abstract: Quantile regression allows one to predict the volatility of time series without assuming an explicit form for the underlying distribution. Financial assets are known to have irregular return patterns; not only the volatility but also the distribution functions themselves may vary with time, so traditional time series models are often unreliable. This study presents a new approach to volatility forecasting by quantile regression utilizing a uniformly spaced series of estimated quantiles. The proposed method provides much more complete information on the underlying distribution, without recourse to an assumed functional form. Based on an empirical study of seven stock indices, using 16 years of daily return data, the proposed approach produces better volatility forecasts for six of the seven indices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 423-433 Issue: 4 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508727 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508727 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:4:p:423-433 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fr餩ric Laurin Author-X-Name-First: Fr餩ric Author-X-Name-Last: Laurin Title: Trade and regional growth in Spain: panel cointegration in a small sample Abstract: In this article, we test for the existence of a relationship between per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and trade, for 15 Spanish Autonomous Communities between 1988 and 2004, using a panel cointegration methodology. In particular, we implement several panel unit root tests (Maddala and Wu, 1999; Levin et al., 2002; Im et al., 2003) and panel cointegration tests (Pedroni, 1999, 2004), with a special attention to their behaviour in a small sample. We also develop a Seemingly Unrelated Regression Estimation (SURE) residual based test, in order to explicitly take into account the cross regional correlation pattern. Appropriate confidence intervals are estimated with a sieve bootstrap designed for our small time sample, preserving the dependence structure among cross sectional units. Our cointegration tests reject the existence of a significant relationship between GDP per capita and exports. However, we do find some evidence of a significant relationship between GDP per capita and imports or with total trade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 435-447 Issue: 4 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508728 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508728 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:4:p:435-447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dieter Nautz Author-X-Name-First: Dieter Author-X-Name-Last: Nautz Author-Name: Juliane Scharff Author-X-Name-First: Juliane Author-X-Name-Last: Scharff Title: Inflation and relative price variability in the euro area: evidence from a panel threshold model Abstract: The impact of inflation on Relative Price Variability (RPV) generates an important channel for real effects of inflation. This article provides first evidence on the empirical relation between inflation and RPV in the euro area. Stirred by the widespread use of inflation caps or target bands in monetary policy practice, we are particularly interested in threshold effects of inflation. In line with the predictions of monetary search models, our results indicate that expected inflation significantly increases RPV only if inflation is either very low (below 0.95% per annum (p.a.)) or very high (above 4.96% p.a.). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 449-460 Issue: 4 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508729 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508729 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:4:p:449-460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sang H. Lee Author-X-Name-First: Sang H. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: John Levendis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Levendis Author-Name: Luis Gutierrez Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Gutierrez Title: Telecommunications and economic growth: an empirical analysis of sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: We examine the effect of mobile cellular phones on economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa where a marked asymmetry is present between land line penetration and mobile telecommunications expansion. This study extends previous research along two important dimensions. First, we allow for the potential endogeneity between economic growth and telecommunications expansion by employing a special linear Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator. Second, we explicitly model for varying degrees of substitutability between mobile cellular and land line telephony, so that greater expansion of mobile telecommunications can have a different impact whenever the level of land line penetration differs. We find that mobile cellular phone expansion is an important determinant of the rate of economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa. Moreover, we find that the contribution of mobile cellular phones to economic growth has been growing in importance in the region, and that the marginal impact of mobile telecommunication services is even greater wherever land line phones are rare. Given the low cost of mobile telecommunications technology relative to other broad infrastructure projects, especially land line infrastructure, we advocate that mobile telecommunication services be encouraged in the area. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 461-469 Issue: 4 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508730 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508730 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:4:p:461-469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Volpe Martincus Author-X-Name-First: Christian Volpe Author-X-Name-Last: Martincus Author-Name: Jerónimo Carballo Author-X-Name-First: Jerónimo Author-X-Name-Last: Carballo Author-Name: Pablo M. Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Pablo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Title: Public programmes to promote firms’ exports in developing countries: are there heterogeneous effects by size categories? Abstract: Several countries have implemented programmes to support their firms’ internationalization efforts. Their impacts are likely to be heterogeneous over firm size categories because these programmes are primarily intended and expected to benefit smaller companies. Whether this is or not the case is still an open question. In this article, we aim at filling this gap in the literature by providing evidence on the effects of trade promotion programmes on the export performance of firms within different size segments using a rich firm level dataset for Argentina over the period 2002 to 2006. We find that these effects are indeed larger for smaller firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 471-491 Issue: 4 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508731 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508731 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:4:p:471-491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heather L. R. Tierney Author-X-Name-First: Heather L. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Tierney Title: Examining the ability of core inflation to capture the overall trend of total inflation Abstract: This article examines whether core inflation is able to predict the overall trend of total inflation using real-time data in a parametric and nonparametric framework. Specifically, two sample periods and five in-sample forecast horizons in two measures of inflation, which are the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI), are used in the exclusions-from-core inflation persistence model. This article finds that core inflation is only able to capture the overall trend of total inflation for the 12-quarter in-sample forecast horizon using the CPI in both the parametric and nonparametric models in the longer sample period. The nonparametric model outperforms the parametric model for both data samples and for all five in-sample forecast horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 493-514 Issue: 4 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508732 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:4:p:493-514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher F. Baum Author-X-Name-First: Christopher F. Author-X-Name-Last: Baum Author-Name: Atreya Chakraborty Author-X-Name-First: Atreya Author-X-Name-Last: Chakraborty Author-Name: Liyan Han Author-X-Name-First: Liyan Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Boyan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Boyan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The effects of uncertainty and corporate governance on firms’ demand for liquidity Abstract: We find that US corporations’ demand for liquidity is sensitive to two important factors: uncertainty facing the firm and the quality of corporate governance. Following prior research, we find that both factors have important influences on firms’ cash holdings. Our results also indicate that the interactions between uncertainty and governance measures are significant. From a policy perspective, these new findings indicate that both governance and the nature of uncertainty may play an important role in managing liquidity risks. Policy recommendations may not only be limited to changes in financial policy but may also include changes in corporate governance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 515-525 Issue: 4 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508733 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508733 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:4:p:515-525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael P. Kidd Author-X-Name-First: Michael P. Author-X-Name-Last: Kidd Author-Name: Renuka Metcalfe Author-X-Name-First: Renuka Author-X-Name-Last: Metcalfe Author-Name: Peter J. Sloane Author-X-Name-First: Peter J. Author-X-Name-Last: Sloane Title: The determinants of hiring older workers in Britain revisited: an analysis using WERS 2004 Abstract: This article reexamines the role of specific human capital and back loading of compensation as deterrents to hiring older workers. We utilize the framework initially suggested by Hutchens (1986) and more recently implemented by Daniel and Heywood (2007). This approach identifies the extent to which firms hire older workers at a rate less than full replacement would imply. Using the 2004 British Workplace Employment Relations Survey, we examine whether a more favourable climate including a much tighter UK labour market combined with the abandonment of defined benefit pension schemes has increased the tendency to hire older workers. We also examine the impact of private health insurance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 527-536 Issue: 4 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.508734 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.508734 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:4:p:527-536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans-Jürgen Engelbrecht Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Jürgen Author-X-Name-Last: Engelbrecht Title: Some empirics of the bivariate relationship between average subjective well-being and the sustainable wealth of nations Abstract: The World Bank's Millennium Capital Assessment (MCA) has provided per capita estimates of total wealth and its major subcategories for a large number of countries. In this article, these macro-level estimates are used to explore bivariate cross-country ‘wealth--happiness’ relationships, focussing on issues of appropriate functional form, parameter stability and outliers. For comparative purposes, ‘income--happiness’ relationships are also explored. Total wealth turns out to be strongly related to Gross National Income (GNI) per capita, due to the importance of produced and intangible capital, but not to natural capital. In contrast, when the most natural capital intensive countries are excluded as outliers, a strong relationship emerges between Subjective Well-Being (SWB) and natural capital, especially amongst high income countries. In these countries, natural capital seems to be an important wealth correlate of SWB, despite accounting for only a very small proportion of total wealth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 537-554 Issue: 5 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.510464 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.510464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:5:p:537-554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steve Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: An historical perspective on the forecasting performance of the Treasury Model: forecasting the growth in UK consumers’ expenditure Abstract: Drawing upon Treasury Official Economic Forecasts Vols. I & II, a series of Treasury Model (TM) forecasts of the percentage growth in real total consumers’ expenditure are derived for the period 1967 to 1989. The one-, two- and three-step ahead forecasts examined cover an interesting period which includes major shocks to the UK economy, business cycle effects and changes in economic policy. Whilst a battery of forecast evaluation statistics and tests do not detect any evidence of forecast bias or irrationality over the whole sample, split-sample analysis provides evidence of a switch from overprediction to underprediction around 1977. In addition, the application of ‘modified’ versions of Holden--Peel (1990) tests provides evidence of the longest horizon forecasts failing to capture the full movement of changes in consumption growth. Using simple regression and a selection of forecast encompassing tests, shorter horizon forecasts are found to dominate longer horizon forecasts, a feature which might be expected logically, but need not occur in practice. Finally, forecast performance is related to changes in model specification and modelling methodology. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 555-563 Issue: 5 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.510465 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.510465 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:5:p:555-563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Gazi Mainul Hassan Author-X-Name-First: Gazi Mainul Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Title: An analysis of the determinants of the long-run growth rate of Bangladesh Abstract: This article develops a framework to analyse the determinants of the long term growth rate of Bangladesh. It is based on the Solow (1956) growth model and its extension by Mankiw et al. (1992) and follows Senhadji's (2000) growth accounting procedure to estimate Total Factor Productivity (TFP). Our Growth Accounting Exercise (GAE) shows that growth rate in Bangladesh, until the 1990s was primarily due to factor accumulation. Since then, however, TFP has made a small positive contribution. Using our results on the determinants of TFP, we also examine policy options to double per capita income of Bangladesh in about 15 years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 565-580 Issue: 5 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.510466 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.510466 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:5:p:565-580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Dixon Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Dixon Author-Name: G. Lim Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: A univariate model of aggregate labour productivity Abstract: A model of labour productivity that distinguishes between permanent and transient shocks on productivity is proposed. We show that this model is a type of unobserved components model -- a random walk with drift plus noise model. The advantage of this approach is that it provides a coherent framework to identify the deterministic trend growth component and also the productivity-enhancing (or technology-related) stochastic components. The model is applied to aggregate labour productivity in Australia, and the time series of technology shocks extracted sheds some light on the contributions of policy reforms to productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 581-585 Issue: 5 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2010.511991 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2010.511991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:5:p:581-585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bahro A. Berhan Author-X-Name-First: Bahro A. Author-X-Name-Last: Berhan Author-Name: Glenn P. Jenkins Author-X-Name-First: Glenn P. Author-X-Name-Last: Jenkins Title: The self-imposed embargo: customs-related transaction costs of North Cyprus Abstract: Customs-related transaction costs are a major barrier to the expansion of international trade. These costs are a financial burden to importers and ultimately to consumers. This study measures the transaction costs that are created by the obsolete customs and port handling procedures in North Cyprus. Such an analysis is important because since 1974 North Cyprus has suffered under a direct trade embargo. All its imports and exports must come or go via the ports in Turkey. This study finds that excessive trade transaction costs inflicted by the inefficient port handling and customs services of North Cyprus is between 1.42 to 2.96 times as costly as the extra transportation costs caused by the international embargo on its direct trade with the rest of the world. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 587-597 Issue: 5 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.511992 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.511992 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:5:p:587-597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saten Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Saten Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Don J. Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don J. Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Author-Name: Scott Fargher Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Fargher Title: Testing the validity of the Feldstein--Horioka puzzle for Australia Abstract: This article presents the details of an investigation into the relationship between investment and savings in Australia over the period 1960 to 2007. Using five time series techniques our results reveal that the Feldstein--Horioka puzzle exists in a weak form, with a lower saving retention coefficient. Granger causality tests illustrate that savings Granger causes investment, both in the short and long runs. Our results suggest Australia could effectively adopt policies that focus on increasing investment through increasing domestic savings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 599-605 Issue: 5 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.511993 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.511993 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:5:p:599-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saten Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Saten Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Don J. Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don J. Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Author-Name: Scott Fargher Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Fargher Title: Wagner's Law revisited: cointegration and causality tests for New Zealand Abstract: Wagner's Law states that the share of government expenditure in Gross National Product (GNP) will increase with economic development; many associated empirical studies substitute GNP with Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This article presents an empirical investigation into the validity of Wagner's Law for New Zealand over the period 1960 to 2007 and compares the results obtained using these two measures of output. Application of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds test suggests a cointegrating relationship between either output measure and the share of government spending, and further application of General to Specific (GETS), Engle and Granger (EG), Phillip Hansen's Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Johansen's time series techniques illustrate statistical robustness and an income elasticity between 0.56 and 0.84. The results suggest that output measures Granger cause the share of government expenditure in the long run, thereby providing support for Wagner's Law, and these results are stable irrespective of the chosen output measure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 607-616 Issue: 5 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.511994 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.511994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:5:p:607-616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Portugal Duarte Author-X-Name-First: António Portugal Author-X-Name-Last: Duarte Author-Name: João Sousa Andrade Author-X-Name-First: João Sousa Author-X-Name-Last: Andrade Title: How the Gold Standard functioned in Portugal: an analysis of some macroeconomic aspects Abstract: Portugal was the first country in Europe to join Great Britain in the Gold Standard, in 1854, having abandoned the principle of free gold convertibility in 1891. By elucidating the historical choice of the Gold Standard by the Portuguese authorities, and analysing its macroeconomic behaviour, we prove that it is a mistake to compare different monetary systems with the same indicators. Our examination of demand, supply and monetary shocks in the context of a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model confirm the idea of appropriate application of the principles of classical economics to the Gold Standard in Portugal. We also prove that the principles of demand management were not compatible with the functioning of the Gold Standard. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 617-629 Issue: 5 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.513675 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.513675 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:5:p:617-629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyeyoen Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyeyoen Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Large data sets, nonlinearity and the speed of adjustment to real exchange rate shocks Abstract: A well known puzzle in international finance concerns the very slow speeds of adjustment of real exchange rates observed in response to shocks. In this article, we explore whether allowing for a wide range of influences on the real exchange rate in a nonlinear framework can help resolve this puzzle. Using, recently proposed econometric methods for summarizing very large macroeconomic data sets into a small number of observable factors, we find that there is a long run relationship between these factors and real exchange rates. When put into a nonlinear framework, we find that allowing for the effects of macroeconomic factors dramatically increases the measured speed of adjustment of the real exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 631-639 Issue: 5 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.513676 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.513676 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:5:p:631-639 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheikh Selim Author-X-Name-First: Sheikh Author-X-Name-Last: Selim Title: Labour productivity and rice production in Bangladesh: a stochastic frontier approach Abstract: In this article, we examine the significance of labour productivity and use of inputs in explaining technical efficiency of rice production in Bangladesh. We find that higher labour productivity can stimulate high efficiency gains, but increased use of inputs (except land) induces negative marginal effect on technical efficiency. While more use of land, improved seeds and fertilizers contributes to the rate of labour productivity induced marginal efficiency gain, any additional labour depresses this rate. Given the agricultural policy reform history in Bangladesh, our findings imply that rather than providing input subsidy or output price support, future reforms should put more emphasis on providing incentives to enhance labour productivity and encourage formalization of the agricultural labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 641-652 Issue: 5 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.515203 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.515203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:5:p:641-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tuvshintugs Batdelger Author-X-Name-First: Tuvshintugs Author-X-Name-Last: Batdelger Author-Name: Magda Kandil Author-X-Name-First: Magda Author-X-Name-Last: Kandil Title: Determinants of the current account balance in the United States Abstract: This article studies the role of public and private imbalances in the behaviour of the current account balance in the United States in the context of an intertemporal model. The estimation evaluates the effects of public and private imbalances on the dynamics of the current account. Correlation coefficients support the Ricardian equivalence. Higher budget deficit correlates with a reduction in private consumption and an increase in private savings. Government saving does not vary significantly with macroeconomic variables in the short- or in the long-run. In contrast, fluctuations in government investment vary significantly with a number of economic variables in the long- and in the short-run. Accordingly, fluctuations in the budget deficit are likely to be driven by fluctuations in public investment. In contrast to government savings, private savings vary significantly with macro variables in the long- and in the short-run. Fluctuations in private investment appear less evident compared to that in private savings. Overall, fluctuations in the current account balance appear to be more tied to movements in the budget deficit. Nonetheless, fluctuations in the budget deficit are moderated by an increase in private savings and a reduction in private investment, moderating fluctuations in the current account balance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 653-669 Issue: 5 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.518950 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.518950 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:5:p:653-669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Arusha Cooray Author-X-Name-First: Arusha Author-X-Name-Last: Cooray Title: How useful is growth literature for policies in the developing countries? Abstract: Growth literature has focused mainly on the long-term growth outcomes, but policy makers of the developing economies need rapid improvements in the short- to medium-term growth rates. In this article, we argue that this widening gap can be reduced by distinguishing between the short- to medium-term growth effects of policies from their long-run growth effects. With data from Singapore, Malaysia and Thailand, we show that an extended Solow (1956) model can narrow this gap. We find that the short to medium term growth effects of an increase in the investment ratio are quite significant and persist for up to 10 years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 671-681 Issue: 6 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.517188 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.517188 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:6:p:671-681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jakob B. Madsen Author-X-Name-First: Jakob B. Author-X-Name-Last: Madsen Author-Name: Ratbek Dzhumashev Author-X-Name-First: Ratbek Author-X-Name-Last: Dzhumashev Title: The equity premium and the required stock returns in a Tobin's q model with a stochastic discount factor Abstract: Based on the production-based Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) principle, this article shows that earnings per unit of capital and the output capital ratio are excellent measures of expected stock returns because they are only temporarily affected by earnings shocks but affected permanently by changes in required share returns. Evidence for the US suggests that the risk premium is currently about 2% and that the covariance between consumption growth and expected returns is substantially lower than previously thought of; thus, reducing the equity puzzle substantially. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 683-694 Issue: 6 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.518755 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.518755 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:6:p:683-694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yir-Hueih Luh Author-X-Name-First: Yir-Hueih Author-X-Name-Last: Luh Author-Name: Fung-Mey Huang Author-X-Name-First: Fung-Mey Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Yu-Ning Chien Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Chien Author-Name: Chen-Chih Lo Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Lo Title: Organizational learning differences in healthcare services: the case of medical centres in Taiwan Abstract: This study presents an individual-based evaluation of the within- and between-organization learning differences in Taiwan's medical centres. Drawn from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research (NHIR) database, a sample of 32 285 Laparoscopic Cholecystectomy (LC) surgery cases performed in all 18 medical centres during the period 1998 to 2004 is analysed. All the medical centres in Taiwan are Not-For-Profit (NFP) in nature. This study thus provides a clear-cut delineation of the learning differences between public and private hospitals. The individual-based approach creates surgeon-specific learning distributions within each institution through a parametric estimation of the hyperbolic model, after controlling for patients’ heterogeneity. Investigation of the within- and between-hospital learning differences is accomplished through two nonparametric tests. The results indicate both within- and between-organization learning differences. Compared to senior surgeons, an overall dominance of learning effects among junior surgeons is found. Furthermore, the between-organization comparisons indicate junior surgeons affiliated with private hospitals learn faster than their peers in public hospitals. This suggests potential learning differences in terms of hospital costs may result from hospital ownership. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 695-706 Issue: 6 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.518943 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.518943 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:6:p:695-706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matt E. Ryan Author-X-Name-First: Matt E. Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Author-Name: Marshall Gramm Author-X-Name-First: Marshall Author-X-Name-Last: Gramm Author-Name: Nicholas McKinney Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: McKinney Title: Information effects in major league baseball betting markets Abstract: Previous studies point to a generally efficient baseball betting market with no profitable betting strategies. However, failure to consider the time of year in which the bets are placed neglects differences in available information throughout the season. This analysis largely confirms the general efficiency of the major league baseball betting market by existing measures; however, incorporating the time of the year in which the bet is made generates persistent profitable betting strategies. The process by which information impacts returns is considered; increasing difficulties in determining the true favourite likely play the largest role, while assessing the exact favourite underdog relationship also has an impact. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 707-716 Issue: 6 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.518951 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.518951 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:6:p:707-716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diansheng Dong Author-X-Name-First: Diansheng Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Todd M. Schmit Author-X-Name-First: Todd M. Author-X-Name-Last: Schmit Author-Name: Harry Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: Modelling household purchasing behaviour to analyse beneficial marketing strategies Abstract: Price promotion and generic advertising are two common strategies to increase consumer demand for food products. Which one is preferred over the other depends largely, on the relative importance of state dependence and heterogeneity in household purchase decision and behaviour on desired commodity over time. In this article, this issue is investigated for household purchases of fluid milk products using a panel data dynamic Tobit model. The proposed econometric model accounts not only for state dependence and heterogeneity of the purchasing process, but also for the censoring or sample selectivity encountered when using household survey data. Empirical findings show that state dependence is negative and household heterogeneity over milk persists over time implying that advertising efforts aimed at increasing milk consumption would be more effective than short-term price promotions. The results also suggest that advertising efforts should concentrate on attracting new purchasers and increasing purchase frequencies for fluid milk products. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 717-725 Issue: 6 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.522521 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.522521 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:6:p:717-725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Danny Leung Author-X-Name-First: Danny Author-X-Name-Last: Leung Author-Name: Yi Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: What affects MFP in the long-run? Evidence from Canadian industries Abstract: Using data on 12 Canadian industries for 1976--2003, this study employs a dynamic panel error correction model to establish the relative importance of potential determinants of Multifactor Productivity (MFP). The model restricts the long run coefficients of these factors to be the same across industries, but allows industry heterogeneity in the short-run coefficients. After controlling for capacity utilization, Information and Communications Technologies (ICT) capital, outsourcing and global trade openness are found to have a statistically significant positive effect on MFP. The long run impact of ICT is small, but its recent contribution to MFP growth is sizeable for some industries, possibly reflecting the delayed benefits of the ICT investment surge in the late 1990s due to adjustment costs. Global trade openness and industry outsourcing generally raises MFP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 727-738 Issue: 6 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.522522 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.522522 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:6:p:727-738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Colin Hunt Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: Hunt Title: The interaction of public and private capital: a study of 20 OECD members Abstract: This article addresses the interaction of public and private capital stocks. We show for most developed countries that there is a long-term equilibrium relation between public and private capital. We find that imbalances in the relation of public and private capital are most likely to be corrected through a public capital adjustment. Private capital tends towards weak exogeneity. The evidence presented suggests that public investment is more likely to be enticed by private investment rather than serve to crowd out private investment activity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 739-764 Issue: 6 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.522523 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.522523 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:6:p:739-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaodong Du Author-X-Name-First: Xiaodong Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: David A. Hennessy Author-X-Name-First: David A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hennessy Title: The planting real option in cash rent valuation Abstract: After entering into a farmland cash rent contract in the fall, a tenant farmer has flexibility over the spring crop choice and the input application level. Failure to account for these options will bias estimates of what farmers should pay to rent land. Applying Monte Carlo simulation methods, this study investigates the option values for these choices. A Multivariate Gaussian Copula (MGC) is employed to account for dependence among yields and prices. Results show that the average cash rent valuation for the real option approach is $33.6 higher than that for the conventional Net Present Value (NPV) method, in which the input intensity option is $0.9. Crop planting sequence is shown to impact the real option value. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 765-776 Issue: 6 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.522524 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.522524 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:6:p:765-776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriella Sjögren Lindquist Author-X-Name-First: Gabriella Sjögren Author-X-Name-Last: Lindquist Author-Name: Jenny Säve-Söderbergh Author-X-Name-First: Jenny Author-X-Name-Last: Säve-Söderbergh Title: Securing victory or not? Surrendering optimal play when facing simple calculations -- a natural experiment from the Swedish and US Jeopardy Abstract: This article empirically investigates the common assumption of economic agents’ capabilities to process complex mathematical problems to find optimal strategies applied in economic modelling. By exploiting a design difference in the game show Jeopardy between the US and Sweden, we obtain a natural experiment of individuals facing an optimization decision either having explicit information or deriving it by noncomplex adding and subtracting. Given the assumption that individuals compute optimally, there should be no difference in the strategies used. Yet, the results show that even a small change in informational pre-conditions for obtaining an optimal strategy strongly alters economic-decision making. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 777-783 Issue: 6 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.522525 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.522525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:6:p:777-783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Author-Name: Ernest W. King Author-X-Name-First: Ernest W. Author-X-Name-Last: King Title: Helping Hispanic-America vote? Ballot technology, voter fatigue and HAVA 2002 Abstract: Lott (2009) finds that nonvoted ballot rates for down-ballot races are greater than those for presidential races, and newer technologies that reduce nonvoted presidential ballots create even greater rates of nonvoting down-ballot than the same older voting technologies. The conclusion is momentous: adopting voting technologies that minimize under-voting in presidential races actually increases under-voting across all races on the same ballot. This study extends Lott's by examining the Congressional vote on the Help America Vote Act of 2002 (HAVA 2002), which established a program to provide funds to states in order to replace punch card voting systems with newer technologies. We focus on the racial component of Lott's finding, specifically that Hispanic-American voters exhibit greater rates of voter fatigue than do white voters. This study posits that, given the large Hispanic-American populations in California and Texas and their propensity to support Democrats in these states, House Democrats from these states would not view the HAVA 2002 as favourably as House Democrats from other parts of the US. Among other results presented here, the data show that support for HAVA 2002 among California and Texas House Democrats was 11.6 percentage points below that of House Democrats from the other 48 states. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 785-792 Issue: 6 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.522526 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.522526 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:6:p:785-792 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christiane Goodfellow Author-X-Name-First: Christiane Author-X-Name-Last: Goodfellow Author-Name: Martin T. Bohl Author-X-Name-First: Martin T. Author-X-Name-Last: Bohl Title: Forestalling floor closure: evidence from a natural experiment on the German stock market Abstract: This article contributes to the debate about the relative qualities of floor and electronic trading systems by analysing the effects of bringing forward the Xetra closing time from 8.00 pm to 5.30 pm in November 2003, while the Frankfurt floor remains open until 8.00 pm. This natural experiment provides a ‘cleaner’ institutional setting than in Venkataraman (2001), as it enables us to investigate trading quality on both platforms for the same stocks in the same country before and after the event. The empirical evidence suggests that primarily institutional investors trading in large stocks transfer to the floor when Xetra closes earlier. It appears that investors remain with Xetra for informed trading though. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 793-802 Issue: 6 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.524626 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.524626 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:6:p:793-802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kausik Chaudhuri Author-X-Name-First: Kausik Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhuri Author-Name: Mary M. Cherical Author-X-Name-First: Mary M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cherical Title: Credit rationing in rural credit markets of India Abstract: This article analyses the prevalent situation of the formal Financial Institutions (FIs) in rural India using data from National Sample Survey 54th Round (January--June, 1998). We use sample selectivity model to examine the sanction of the loan by the FIs as a two-stage process. We model the choice of the household's credit requirement using an unordered choice model, namely, a multinomial logit model. Our results reveal that the rural households are considerably credit constrained. The households who do not have an account in a FI have a lower chance of obtaining the loan and households who are credit constrained have relatively lower land holding and they do not possess livestock. Households who borrow for nonfarm purpose exhibit a lower chance of obtaining credit compared to those households who borrow for farm business. Village level infrastructure plays an important role in determining the credit rationing behaviour in rural India. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 803-812 Issue: 7 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.524627 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.524627 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:7:p:803-812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc D. Hayford Author-X-Name-First: Marc D. Author-X-Name-Last: Hayford Author-Name: A. G. Malliaris Author-X-Name-First: A. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Malliaris Title: Transparent US monetary policy: theory and tests Abstract: In 1994, the Federal Reserve System moved to a more transparent reporting of monetary policy. This article assesses the impact of monetary policy transparency on uncertainty about future monetary policy using T-bill rate forecast dispersions and ex post forecast errors from the Survey of Professional Forecasters as a proxy for monetary policy uncertainty. The empirical findings confirm that Federal Reserve transparency has reduced the uncertainty about future monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 813-824 Issue: 7 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.524628 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.524628 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:7:p:813-824 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Winston Ricardo Moore Author-X-Name-First: Winston Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Author-Name: Denny M. Lewis-Bynoe Author-X-Name-First: Denny M. Author-X-Name-Last: Lewis-Bynoe Author-Name: Natalia Morgan Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Author-X-Name-Last: Morgan Title: Inflation starts in Latin America and the Caribbean Abstract: High rates of inflation are a perennial problem in Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) countries. This article attempts to identify the factors that initiate these inflationary episodes using observations on 31 LAC countries between 1970 and 2006. The study finds that the key determinants of inflation starts in the region are demand pressures, oil price shocks, elections, transitions to less repressive political regimes and foreign inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 825-834 Issue: 7 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.524629 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.524629 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:7:p:825-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harald Badinger Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Badinger Title: Cyclical expenditure policy, output volatility and economic growth Abstract: This article provides an empirical assessment of the relation between the cyclicality of fiscal expenditure policy, output volatility and economic growth, using a cross-section of 88 countries over the period 1960 to 2004. Identification of the effects of (endogenous) cyclical expenditure policy is achieved by exploiting the exogeneity of countries’ political and institutional characteristics, which we find to be relevant determinants of the cyclicality of expenditures. There are three main results: first, both pro- and countercyclical expenditure policy amplify output volatility, much in a way like pure fiscal shocks; second, output volatility, due to variations in cyclical and discretionary fiscal policy, is negatively associated with economic growth; third, there is no direct effect of cyclicality on economic growth other than through output volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 835-851 Issue: 7 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.524630 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.524630 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:7:p:835-851 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sami Bibi Author-X-Name-First: Sami Author-X-Name-Last: Bibi Author-Name: Paul Makdissi Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Makdissi Author-Name: Myra Yazbeck Author-X-Name-First: Myra Author-X-Name-Last: Yazbeck Title: Equivalence scales and housing deprivation orderings: an example using Lebanese data Abstract: Housing deprivation orderings raise challenges as far as measurement is concerned. The first challenge resides in the identification of an adequate variable that characterizes housing services consumed by households. Another challenge may arise in the comparisons of housing services consumption between households of different sizes and composition. The last challenge may arise in the choice of a deprivation threshold and of a deprivation index. In this article we address those challenges theoretically. An empirical illustration is offered using Lebanese data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 853-866 Issue: 7 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.524631 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.524631 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:7:p:853-866 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher McIntosh Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: McIntosh Author-Name: Stefan Hellmer Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Hellmer Title: Necessary and sufficient conditions in merger control: the use of HHI and threshold value Abstract: This article considers two coarse measures applicable to antitrust policy: one of market concentration, the Herfindahl--Hirschman Index (HHI) and one of market dominance, threshold value. Calculations of threshold value are compared to HHI values to determine when thresholds might be of specific use in merger cases. Many scenarios which satisfy the threshold conditions (indicating a dominant firm exists) are consistent with high HHI numbers such that current US Department of Justice and European Commission guidelines (based on HHIs) for merger concerns will have been met. It is suggested as a rule of thumb that HHIs be used as necessary conditions and threshold value be considered sufficient conditions for further case review. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 867-878 Issue: 7 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.524632 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.524632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:7:p:867-878 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mamta B. Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Mamta B. Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: Growth and dynamics of Australia's education exports Abstract: Australia is the third largest global exporter of education services and generated $18.6 billion in 2009--2010. The education sector ranks as the top services exports and number three of all export earners in recent years after coal and iron ore. This study analyses the major determinants of Australia's education exports. Using the Johansen cointegration technique, a stable long run relationship is found between education export earnings, real exchange rate, world income and terms of trade. It is also found that policy reforms relating to opening up the education sector from the mid 1980s had a positive growth effect on the sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 879-888 Issue: 7 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.524633 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.524633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:7:p:879-888 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kathryn L. Combs Author-X-Name-First: Kathryn L. Author-X-Name-Last: Combs Author-Name: John A. Spry Author-X-Name-First: John A. Author-X-Name-Last: Spry Title: Who plays the numbers games in the middle of the day? Abstract: We analyse the increase in sales of Pick 3 and Pick 4 daily numbers lottery games and other Ohio Lottery games after Ohio introduced midday drawings for the Pick 3 and Pick 4 games in August 1999. The midday drawings increased Pick 3 sales by 5%, Pick 4 sales by 12%, and total lottery sales by 2% based on our analysis of a 36-month panel dataset of Ohio lottery sales by zip code. Midday drawings raise more revenue from the strongly regressive daily numbers games. However, the introduction of midday drawings does not change the negative income elasticities of demand for numbers games in an economically meaningful manner. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 889-897 Issue: 7 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.524634 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.524634 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:7:p:889-897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabrice Collard Author-X-Name-First: Fabrice Author-X-Name-Last: Collard Author-Name: Carole Haritchabalet Author-X-Name-First: Carole Author-X-Name-Last: Haritchabalet Title: Valuing satellite systems to support fishing in a dynamic competitive model Abstract: This article investigates the technology adoption decision of a new satellite system aimed at locating tuna shoals. We propose a dynamic imperfect competition model with vertical differentiation in which each firm acts as a Cournot oligopolist and takes the evolution of the natural resource into account. In this dynamic setting, the model cannot be solved analytically and we rely on a numerical approach. Results are derived for the northern bluefin tuna. We find that high-quality firms value more the technology than low-quality firms. A direct implication of this result is that the market value of the new technology can be maximized while serving only the highest quality firms. We then evaluate how individual quotas can be used to increase the value that firms attach to the technology. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 899-916 Issue: 7 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.526581 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.526581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:7:p:899-916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emilio Dom󹱵ez Author-X-Name-First: Emilio Author-X-Name-Last: Dom󹱵ez Author-Name: Miren Ullibarri Author-X-Name-First: Miren Author-X-Name-Last: Ullibarri Author-Name: Idoia Zabaleta Author-X-Name-First: Idoia Author-X-Name-Last: Zabaleta Title: Effects of reduction in working hours on a model with job creation and job destruction Abstract: This article shows how, with certain modifications to a standard Real Business Cycle (RBC) model, and with certain qualified responses in the short and long term, a policy of reduction in the number of working hours can have positive effects on activity and employment. The modifications required to bring about these results include specification of the working day, existence of the creation and destruction of employment and differentiation between inactivity and unemployment. Results reveal that any measures taken to reduce the number of working hours must take into consideration the productivity levels of working hours, to thus ensure that the consequences of such a policy are positive not only for employment but also in all other macroeconomic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 917-932 Issue: 7 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.526583 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.526583 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:7:p:917-932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mar𨀠 Ángeles Cadarso Vecina Author-X-Name-First: Mar𨀠 Ángeles Cadarso Author-X-Name-Last: Vecina Author-Name: Nuria Gómez Sanz Author-X-Name-First: Nuria Gómez Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz Author-Name: Luis Antonio López Santiago Author-X-Name-First: Luis Antonio López Author-X-Name-Last: Santiago Author-Name: Mar𨀠 Ángeles Tobarra Gómez Author-X-Name-First: Mar𨀠 Ángeles Tobarra Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez Title: Offshoring components and their effect on employment: firms deciding about how and where Abstract: Firms must take two fundamental decisions: how and where to produce. Traditional measures of offshoring include information on both decisions but cannot distinguish between them. In this article, we attempt to distinguish the evolution of the requirement of inputs per unit of output (how to produce) from the delocalization of production to others countries (where to produce). We call global technical change to the first element and net offshoring to the second. We further decompose net offshoring into net inter-industry substitution and intra-industrial offshoring (replacement of domestic inputs for imported ones from the same sector). This last measure quantifies better the concept of delocalization of production to other countries looking for lower costs, the original idea behind offshoring. This decomposition allows us to further investigate on whether technical change or net offshoring is the main factor in recent Spanish industrial employment changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1009-1020 Issue: 8 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.532113 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.532113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:8:p:1009-1020 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunku Hahn Author-X-Name-First: Sunku Author-X-Name-Last: Hahn Author-Name: Tae-Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tae-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Minho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The influence of school quality on housing prices in Korea Abstract: The existence of good schools is expected to increase nearby housing prices. We use a natural experiment from two cities in Korea where the high school entrance system changed from self-selection to geographical assignment. Our empirical results show that the existence of good high schools did increase the nearby housing prices as well as the rental prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1021-1023 Issue: 8 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.534056 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.534056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:8:p:1021-1023 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dobromił Serwa Author-X-Name-First: Dobromił Author-X-Name-Last: Serwa Title: Banking crises and nonlinear linkages between credit and output Abstract: In this article, we analyse the asymmetric causality linkages between credit growth and output growth during banking crises. We employ a recently developed procedure, based on a bivariate Markov switching model, to test the hypotheses of independence, causality and asymmetric causality between credit and output. Using a sample of 103 banking crises around the world, we find that neither credit nor output takes precedence as a variable in calm and crisis periods, although there is evidence of instantaneous interdependence between the banking and real sector during crises. The results suggest that shocks propagate mostly within a year between the banking sector and the real economy. The linear link between credit growth and output growth is also regime dependent. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1025-1040 Issue: 8 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.534064 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.534064 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:8:p:1025-1040 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mete Feridun Author-X-Name-First: Mete Author-X-Name-Last: Feridun Title: Liability dollarization, exchange market pressure and fear of floating: empirical evidence for Turkey Abstract: The objective of this article is to examine the relationship between liability dollarization and the Exchange Market Pressure (EMP) in Turkey within an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Granger causality framework using monthly data from 1991:12 to 2006:08. The findings suggest that there exists a long-term equilibrium relationship between EMP and liability dollarization, where liability dollarization Granger causes EMP both in the short- and long-run, with no evidence of reverse causality. This suggests that the predominance of foreign currency liabilities in the banks’ balance sheets in Turkey induces a selling pressure in the exchange market as well as a fear of floating. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1041-1056 Issue: 8 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.534073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.534073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:8:p:1041-1056 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dominique Anxo Author-X-Name-First: Dominique Author-X-Name-Last: Anxo Author-Name: Shakir Hussain Author-X-Name-First: Shakir Author-X-Name-Last: Hussain Author-Name: Ghazi Shukur Author-X-Name-First: Ghazi Author-X-Name-Last: Shukur Title: The demand of part-time in European companies: a multilevel modelling approach Abstract: Part-time work is one of the most well-known ‘atypical’ working time arrangements. In contrast to previous studies focusing on the supply side, the originality of our research is to investigate the demand-side of part-time work and to examine how and why companies use part-time work. Based on a large and unique sample of European firms operating in 21 member states, we use a multilevel multinomial modelling in a Bayesian environment. Our results suggest that the variations in the extent of part-time workers at the establishment level is determined more by country-specific features than by industry-specific factors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1057-1066 Issue: 8 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.534075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.534075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:8:p:1057-1066 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Peyrache Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Peyrache Author-Name: Cinzia Daraio Author-X-Name-First: Cinzia Author-X-Name-Last: Daraio Title: Empirical tools to assess the sensitivity of directional distance functions to direction selection Abstract: Directional Distance Functions (DDFs) are becoming a popular way of measuring efficiency as they encompass the Shephard output and input distance functions as special cases. However, the most critical and still unsolved issue related to DDF remains the selection of the direction along which to measure the distance from the efficient frontier. In this article, we propose some empirical tools which allow to quantify the sensitivity of the efficiency measurement to the selection of the direction. The proposed tools are applied on a dataset on the Italian agricultural sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 933-943 Issue: 8 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.526582 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.526582 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:8:p:933-943 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan C. Reboredo Author-X-Name-First: Juan C. Author-X-Name-Last: Reboredo Title: The switch from continuous to call auction trading in response to a large intraday price movement Abstract: Some European exchanges (e.g. Euronext, Frankfurt and Madrid) make use of a mechanism to moderate price volatility that was proposed by Madhavan (1992) as preferable to a trading halt in times of market stress. It consists of a temporary switch from continuous to call auction trading in an individual security whenever its price moves beyond predetermined limits. This article studies whether this mechanism sharpens the information content of prices, dampens volatility and normalizes trading volume and intensity. Taking intraday data for the Madrid order driven continuous market, I find post switch improvements in the information content of prices and reductions in volatility, especially for thinly traded stocks. Trading volume and intensity peaked around auctions, but soon returned to preevent levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 945-967 Issue: 8 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.526584 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.526584 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:8:p:945-967 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Author-Name: Jesper Andersen Author-X-Name-First: Jesper Author-X-Name-Last: Andersen Author-Name: Carsten Lynge Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Lynge Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Title: Investment behaviour in individual nontransferable quota systems Abstract: This article studies the investment behaviour of the Danish demersal fishery in the North Sea. For the study period, this fishery is regulated by variants of individual nontransferable quotas. It is shown that interest rates and capital stocks are primary determinants of investments. Another conclusion is that an aggregated model based on the whole fleet gives identical results to models based on individual fleets (disaggregated models) for trawlers and Danish seiners. However, for netters and other vessels, the aggregated and disaggregated models yield different results. In addition, the variance of the estimated parameters is lower in the disaggregated models. This result arises because vessels in the disaggregated models are more homogeneous. Furthermore, investments in machinery, electronics and vessels are governed by one year lagged variables, while investment in gears is governed by present variables for the Danish demersal fishery in the North Sea. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 969-978 Issue: 8 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.528371 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.528371 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:8:p:969-978 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terry Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Terry Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: Dyed in the wool? An empirical note on fan loyalty Abstract: This article attempts to investigate empirically the strength of intracity football club support and seeks to test the commonly held belief among the sports community that supporters will not switch allegiance between city rivals very readily. To test this phenomenon, data on the attendances of five English and two Italian city rival clubs is used to conduct a cointegration analysis. The results imply that a stable relationship does not exist between the attendance series which throws doubt on the proposition that supporters of a team are unlikely to switch their support to a rival club. To test the possibility that this result could be due to fickle supporters ceasing to attend, a sensitivity analysis is conducted between attendances and performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 979-985 Issue: 8 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.528372 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.528372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:8:p:979-985 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Madhusudan Datta Author-X-Name-First: Madhusudan Author-X-Name-Last: Datta Title: Service boom in the Indian economy: an analysis of causal influences Abstract: The article decomposes the influence behind the growth of service activities in the Indian economy over the last three decades into three components -- the final demand effect, input structure effect and reallocation effect -- and makes empirical assessments thereof. In terms of the influences, the behaviour of the group of services used basically as intermediate inputs, designated as category-I services, was distinct from the rest of heterogeneous services combined as ‘community, social and personal services’. The study finds that apart from the final demand effect, the other two influences too played very important but different roles in different phases of growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 987-998 Issue: 8 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.528373 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.528373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:8:p:987-998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Moonsung Kang Author-X-Name-First: Moonsung Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Hongshik Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hongshik Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Soonchan Park Author-X-Name-First: Soonchan Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Industry-specific effects of antidumping activities: evidence from the US, the European Union and China Abstract: This article analyses industry-specific effects of Antidumping (AD) activities on trade, using the system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) in dynamic panel date models. In the process of doing so, this article selected three frequent AD users, such as the US, the European Union (EU) and China. Additionally, we chose the metal/steel, chemical and plastic/rubber industries for the US cases; chemical, metal/steel and machinery/electronics industries for the EU cases; and the chemical industry for the Chinese cases. Based on the analyses conducted herein, we detected positive evidence of industry-specific impacts of AD measures imposed by the three frequent users. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 999-1008 Issue: 8 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.530223 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.530223 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:8:p:999-1008 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alex Acworth Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Acworth Author-Name: Nicolas de Roos Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: de Roos Author-Name: Hajime Katayama Author-X-Name-First: Hajime Author-X-Name-Last: Katayama Title: Substance use and adolescent sexual activity Abstract: Using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997, we examine the relationship between initiating substance use and youth sexual behaviour. We employ a combination of panel data and propensity score matching techniques to control for observed and unobserved heterogeneity. The results indicate striking differences across gender. For males, initiating alcohol or marijuana use is positively and significantly associated with the likelihood of engaging in sexual intercourse and uncontracepted sexual intercourse. For females, in contrast, there is no robust evidence for such links. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1067-1079 Issue: 9 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.534074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.534074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:9:p:1067-1079 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hai Fang Author-X-Name-First: Hai Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: John A. Rizzo Author-X-Name-First: John A. Author-X-Name-Last: Rizzo Title: Does inequality in China affect health differently in high- versus low-income households? Abstract: China's so-called ‘reform and opening up’ policy (Gai Ge Kai Fang), implemented nearly 30 years ago, has led to tremendous economic development. China's nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was 3.25 trillion US dollars in 2007, making it the fourth largest economy in the world. At the same time, income inequality has become quite skewed in China, inviting considerable criticism. Moreover, the trend towards greater income inequality persists. Of particular public policy relevance is the effect of income inequality on health disparities in China, particularly for low-income households. This study addresses this issue using a longitudinal dataset from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) over the period 1997 to 2006. Our central finding is that income inequality affects health differently by socioeconomic status: income inequality harms individual health among low income households by more than it does among high income households. More specifically, health is more adversely affected by greater income inequality for households with low incomes. China's central government is committed to making further investments in the health care system. As part of that effort, attention should be directed at low income households to reduce health inequality, possibly providing them with a health insurance safety net similar to Medicaid in USA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1081-1090 Issue: 9 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.534076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.534076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:9:p:1081-1090 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Huang Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Title: The form of money demand function and the welfare costs of inflation Abstract: In this article we show that the marginal welfare costs of inflationary is progressively larger with the inflation rate in Bailey's formulation, but under Baumol--Tobin treatment the opposite applies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1091-1092 Issue: 9 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.534077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.534077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:9:p:1091-1092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vani K. Borooah Author-X-Name-First: Vani K. Author-X-Name-Last: Borooah Author-Name: John Mangan Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Mangan Title: Measuring competitive balance in sports using generalized entropy with an application to English premier league football Abstract: A central issue in the economics of sport is the degree of competitive balance in sporting contests. The importance attached to competitive balance is predicated on the belief that it is uncertainty about the outcomes of sporting contests that attracts spectators and sponsors. In a perfectly balanced competition, each team would have an equal chance of winning each match and, therefore, of winning the championship or the league. By contrast, the absence of competitive balance would mean that the results of sporting contests would become predictable and attendance at sporting contests would suffer. The general theme that underpins the issue of competitive balance is that of inequality. This article proposes a general measure of competitive balance based on the Generalized Entropy (GE) approach to measuring inequality and shows how this might be interpreted in terms of the league's welfare. The measures are applied to results from 2006 to 2007 season of the English Premier League (EPL). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1093-1102 Issue: 9 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.537638 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.537638 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:9:p:1093-1102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nada Mora Author-X-Name-First: Nada Author-X-Name-Last: Mora Author-Name: Andrew Logan Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Logan Title: Shocks to bank capital: evidence from UK banks at home and away Abstract: This article assesses how shocks to bank capital may influence a bank's portfolio behaviour using novel evidence from a UK bank panel data set from a period that predates the recent financial crisis. Focusing on the behaviour of bank loans, we extract the dynamic response of a bank to innovations in its capital and in its regulatory capital buffer. We find that innovations in a bank's capital in this (precrisis) sample period were coupled with a loan response that lasted up to 3 years. The international presence of UK banks allows us to identify a specific driver of capital shocks in our data, independent of bank lending to UK residents. Specifically, we use write-offs on loans to nonresidents to instrument bank capital's impact on UK resident lending. A fall in capital brought about a significant drop in lending in particular, to Private Nonfinancial Corporations (PNFC). In contrast, household lending increased when capital fell, which may indicate that, in this precrisis period, banks substituted into less risky assets when capital was short. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1103-1119 Issue: 9 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.537639 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.537639 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:9:p:1103-1119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don J. Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don J. Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Author-Name: Andrew Mearman Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Mearman Title: Students’ perceptions of economics: identifying demand for further study Abstract: Most university departments aspire to increase their quantity of students. The objective of this empirical study is to ascertain whether it is possible to identify students who would demand more economics study. Using data on student perceptions of economics and the application of logistic regression, two step autoclustering, K means clustering, analysis of variance and Tukey's honestly significant difference statistical techniques, we reveal distinct clusters of students, including a small cluster of students who appear to be more open to further study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1121-1132 Issue: 9 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.537640 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.537640 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:9:p:1121-1132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Thomas Sav Author-X-Name-First: G. Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Sav Title: Government free riding in the public provision of higher education: panel data estimates of possible crowding out Abstract: This article employs panel data on more than 1000 US public colleges and universities to investigate the effect of private giving on state government funding. Government free riding is at question and is found to be active in that private donations partially displace state government funding at the rate of 83 cents on the dollar. That compares to the 45 cents political substitution of the 1960s but is much diminished from the $1.07 of the 1980s. Those are aggregate comparisons for all public institutions. A disaggregated approach in this article additionally reveals that doctoral granting research universities are somewhat lesser victims of crowd out in experiencing a 71 cents cut. At master level colleges and universities and associate 2 year degree granting colleges, crowding out is estimated to be on the order 87 cents and $1.10, respectively. Relative to the academic year 2000 to 2001, publicly controlled colleges and universities are found to experience significant reductions in state appropriated funding in 2003 to 2004 and 2006 to 2007. Even accounting for changes in the business cycle and changes in possible government spending priorities over time, the overall findings support the persistent effect of this brand of crowding out. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1133-1141 Issue: 9 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.537641 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.537641 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:9:p:1133-1141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexis Habiyaremye Author-X-Name-First: Alexis Author-X-Name-Last: Habiyaremye Author-Name: Thomas H. W. Ziesemer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas H. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Ziesemer Title: Export demand elasticities and productivity as determinants of growth: estimates for Mauritius Abstract: In this article, we combine the export led and import led growth hypotheses in a growth model in which the importation of foreign capital goods and the demand elasticities of own export products explain the growth opportunities and the technical progress of developing countries. This model, based on imported capital goods, uses Mauritius’ data on capital investment, employment, export partners’ growth and terms of trade to estimate price and income elasticities of export demand, total factor productivity growth and economies of scale. These elasticities are then used to assess how the growth in export partners’ income is converted into domestic growth. The implications of the presence of low or high export demand elasticities are discussed by relating them to various strands of trade and growth literature. Based on the results of this estimation, we also calculate steady state growth rates, engine and handmaiden effects of growth as well as the dynamic steady state gains from trade for this latecomer export economy. The implications of steady state results are also discussed in the light of the Mauritian employment and growth perspectives. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1143-1158 Issue: 9 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.537642 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.537642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:9:p:1143-1158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Ben David Author-X-Name-First: N. Ben Author-X-Name-Last: David Author-Name: U. Benzion Author-X-Name-First: U. Author-X-Name-Last: Benzion Author-Name: E. Ofir Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Ofir Author-Name: E. Spanier Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Spanier Title: A model for estimating fish population and optimal fishing effort in lakes and rivers Abstract: We developed a model for estimating the fish population for various species in lakes and rivers. Our estimation focuses, in its first step, on fish species that breed outside the lake. Using the annual outside supply of fingerlings, natural survival rate and reported amounts of fish caught, we estimated fish stock. Given the estimated stock for fish bred outside the lake, we can evaluate the catch rate. Assuming equal catch rates for other species, and given the amount caught for each species, we are able to evaluate each species stock. Using the proposed technique, we evaluated various species stocks in the Sea of Galilee (Lake Kinneret) in Israel. Using our suggested technique for evaluating fish stock, we calculated the optimal effort of fishing needed for maximizing steady state profit of the fishers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1159-1168 Issue: 9 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.537643 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.537643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:9:p:1159-1168 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alasdair Brown Author-X-Name-First: Alasdair Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Title: Evidence of in-play insider trading on a UK betting exchange Abstract: An open question in market microstructure is whether ‘informed’ traders have an advantage due to access to private, inside, information; or due to a superior ability to process public information. In this article we attempt to answer this question with data from a sports betting exchange taken during play. Uniquely, this allows us to time-stamp information events to the nearest second, and to ensure we are observing all relevant information regarding the value of an asset. We find evidence of inside information but not of a superior ability to process public information. The first finding suggests that a subset of the betting population are observing the action before the wider public (possibly due to delays in the television signal), and betting using this informational advantage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1169-1175 Issue: 9 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.537644 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.537644 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:9:p:1169-1175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Thalheimer Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Thalheimer Title: The demand for slot machine and pari-mutuel horse race wagering at a racetrack-casino Abstract: This article expands the limited literature on the demand for casino (racino) wagering. The focus of this article is on the interrelationship of the demands for slot machine and horse race wagering at a racino. Wagering demand models were estimated for the two racino products; slot machine gaming and pari-mutuel horse racing. Horse race and slot machine wagering both decreased when a competing casino entered the racino's market area. As in earlier studies, slot machine customers did not, on net, bet on horse racing but horse racing customers did bet on slot machines. Pari-mutuel horse race wagering fell 21% after slot machines were introduced and 16% following the introduction of table games. On the other hand, slot machine wagering increased 13% in the presence of live horse racing and 14% in the presence of import simulcast horse racing. Slot machine wagering fell 8% with the introduction of table games. This has important policy implications if stakeholder shares of table game revenue are different than their corresponding slot machines shares. Those with lower table game shares may lose net gaming revenue if table games do not produce enough revenue to offset the expected loss of slot machine revenue. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1177-1191 Issue: 9 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.537645 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.537645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:9:p:1177-1191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jörg Franke Author-X-Name-First: Jörg Author-X-Name-Last: Franke Title: The incentive effects of levelling the playing field -- an empirical analysis of amateur golf tournaments Abstract: Levelling the playing field is an important policy instrument to guarantee an equitable competition among heterogeneous individuals. However, the incentive effects of those policies are usually not explicitly addressed in empirical studies. In this article the performance in amateur golf tournaments is analysed to gain insights into the incentive effects of those types of policies. The empirical analysis takes advantage of the fact that tournaments in amateur golf are of two distinctive types that apply different scoring rules: while one scoring rule is based on gross scores, i.e. the total number of strokes of a player, the second scoring rule is based on net scores where the total number of strokes is normalized with respect to the respective player's handicap. Performance comparisons of players who participated in both types of tournaments suggest that levelling the playing field, as in tournaments based on net score, has positive and significant performance effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1193-1200 Issue: 9 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.537646 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.537646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:9:p:1193-1200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ritesh Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Ritesh Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Author-Name: Ethan Cohen-Cole Author-X-Name-First: Ethan Author-X-Name-Last: Cohen-Cole Title: Competition and the cost of health care Abstract: In this article, we investigate pricing power in the US health care market. Using new data on state-level health care cost, as well as combining public and previously unused data on concentration among insurers and providers, we find a link between the market concentration of insurance carriers and total costs. We also present suggestive evidence that concentration in the hospital sector does not relate to total costs; however, it may lead to decreased health care access. The implications are large: we find that a 1 percentage point increase in the average market share of the largest five carriers in a market leads to a 10% increase in expenditures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1201-1207 Issue: 10 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.539537 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.539537 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:10:p:1201-1207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masakazu Hojo Author-X-Name-First: Masakazu Author-X-Name-Last: Hojo Title: Shared literacy and employment in the nonfarm sector Abstract: This article empirically examines the external effect of family literacy on the earnings of illiterate workers. Considering recent findings that rural nonfarm sectors in developing countries are becoming more important in determining the welfare of households, this article tests two hypotheses: (1) an illiterate person living with literate members (i.e. a proximate illiterate person) is more likely to find a job in the nonfarm sector than is an illiterate person living with no literate person (i.e. an isolated illiterate person) and (2) wage income of a proximate illiterate worker is higher than that of an isolated illiterate worker. The empirical results suggest that proximate illiterate persons earn higher wages than isolated illiterate persons because they are more likely to be employed in the nonfarm sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1209-1217 Issue: 10 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.539538 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.539538 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:10:p:1209-1217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Doyoung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Doyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: On the determinants of director additions and removals Abstract: This article studies director additions and removals for S&P 500 firms during the period 2000 to 2003. It finds that firms with smaller board size than estimated efficient levels add more and remove fewer directors than firms with larger board size. It also finds that firms with lower board independence than estimated efficient levels add more and remove fewer independent directors, and add fewer and remove more nonindependent directors than firms with higher board independence. These findings suggest that firms add and remove directors to adjust board structure in a manner consistent with economic efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1219-1233 Issue: 10 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.539539 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.539539 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:10:p:1219-1233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: St鰨ane Mussard Author-X-Name-First: St鰨ane Author-X-Name-Last: Mussard Author-Name: Luc Savard Author-X-Name-First: Luc Author-X-Name-Last: Savard Title: The Gini multi-decomposition and the role of Gini's transvariation: application to partial trade liberalization in the Philippines Abstract: This article proposes a unified technique of the Gini decomposition. The Gini multi-decomposition is a combination of the income source decomposition and the subgroup decomposition. This technique is applied on reference situation and simulated scenarios for partial trade liberalisation in Philippines, and is extended to different orderings to capture a wide range of between-group indicators. We simulate variations in income source distributions for seven educational groups in the Philippines, in order to measure the inequality variations between a reference situation and a post simulation one with positive externalities due to public expenditures on the private sector productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1235-1249 Issue: 10 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.539540 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.539540 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:10:p:1235-1249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alex Coad Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Coad Author-Name: Tom Broekel Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Broekel Title: Firm growth and productivity growth: evidence from a panel VAR Abstract: This article offers new insights into the processes of firm growth by applying a reduced-form Vector Autoregression (VAR) model to longitudinal panel data on French manufacturing firms. We observe the co-evolution of key variables such as growth of employment, sales and gross operating surplus, as well as growth of multifactor productivity. It seems that employment growth is negatively associated with subsequent growth of productivity. This latter result, however, is sensitive to our choice of productivity indicator, i.e. multifactor productivity or labour productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1251-1269 Issue: 10 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.539542 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.539542 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:10:p:1251-1269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enzo Weber Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Regional and outward economic integration in South-East Asia Abstract: The subject of this article tackles macroeconomic integration of the South-East Asian countries South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan. Economically, the analysis is based on notions of stochastic long-run convergence and business cycle synchrony in the Gross Domestic Products (GDPs). Relevant tests for cointegration and common serial correlation features reveal a high degree of coherence in long-run growth and medium-run fluctuations. This allows extracting a common stochastic growth trend and a common business cycle. Further analysis shows that both these components are subject to stronger influences from the US than from Japan. Convergence towards these matured economies conspicuously appears since the 1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1271-1283 Issue: 10 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.539543 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.539543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:10:p:1271-1283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco de Assis Costa Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: de Assis Costa Title: Corporations and local economies in the Brazilian Amazon: the impacts of the mining sectors scheduled investments in Southeastern Pará (2004--2010) Abstract: Southeastern Pará is an extraordinarily dynamic region. There were large cattle ranching projects, financed in the 1960s. Expansion of peasant agriculture, mineral projects and gold prospecting followed the ranching projects. Also important structural transformations reinforced the role of the urban centres and the local rural bases in the logistics of new economic sectors conditioned by the presence of Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (CVRD), in the region since 1985. This article presents the results of an input--output analysis of the investment programme of CVRD from year 2004 up to 2010. The main findings are that the mineral sector has achieved a considerable influence over the economy of Southeastern Pará, so that during the cycle of investments each 1% in the growth of the mineral production creates growth possibilities of about 0.83% for the agricultural sector and about 0.86% for the local urban sectors. Considering just the production growth, a percentile point will imply growth at, respectively, 0.73% and 0.76% for those sectors. For the economy of the rest of the state of Pará, those elasticities would be, incorporating the investments, 0.80% and, without them, 0.68%. For the economy of the rest of Brazil they would be, respectively, 0.88% and 0.78%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1285-1302 Issue: 10 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.539544 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.539544 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:10:p:1285-1302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ariaster B. Chimeli Author-X-Name-First: Ariaster B. Author-X-Name-Last: Chimeli Author-Name: Roy G. Boyd Author-X-Name-First: Roy G. Author-X-Name-Last: Boyd Author-Name: Darius M. Adams Author-X-Name-First: Darius M. Author-X-Name-Last: Adams Title: International timber markets and tropical deforestation: the evidence from prices Abstract: Some scholars suggest that global timber markets, especially those involving high value species, are a leading cause of tropical deforestation. Despite limited empirical evidence, this hypothesis rests on the assumption that global timber markets respond to a common equilibrating mechanism that provides strong enough incentives for loggers in the tropical regions of the world. This article develops a simple model and taps into a unique data set on timber prices of hardwood and softwood in leading markets to test the global timber markets hypothesis. While we find evidence of a global equilibrating mechanism with potentially significant economic incentives to affect tropical deforestation, our results do not endorse the common conjecture in the literature that timber price shocks in developed countries lead to a homogeneous response in terms of deforestation everywhere in the tropical world. Instead, they invite further development of structural global timber market models to assess the linkages between markets and the consequences of such linkages to deforestation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1303-1314 Issue: 10 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.539545 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.539545 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:10:p:1303-1314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sven Schreiber Author-X-Name-First: Sven Author-X-Name-Last: Schreiber Title: Estimating the natural rate of unemployment in euro-area countries with co-integrated systems Abstract: Given that for France, Germany, Italy and the Netherlands the unemployment rates are best classified as I(1), we apply permanent-transitory decompositions based on co-integrated Vector Autoregressions (VAR) with relevant variables (labour productivity, wages, tax wedges, foreign relative prices) to estimate the time-varying natural unemployment rates. In general all variables seem to matter, and the results are quite different from published Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Nairus. Our implied unemployment gaps are better than the OECD gaps in predicting unemployment changes and inflation gaps, but they are (except for Italy) as bad as the OECD gaps for forecasting inflation changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1315-1335 Issue: 10 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.539548 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.539548 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:10:p:1315-1335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Pr駥t Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Pr駥t Author-Name: P. Waelbroeck Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Waelbroeck Title: What is the cost of low participation in French timber auctions? Abstract: How much is the standing timber from public forests worth? To estimate the value of a timber lot, we adopt the transaction evidence appraisal approach using data from timber auctions in Lorraine (Eastern France) accounting for the facts that: (i) the seller's reserve prices are secret, (ii) there remain many unsold lots and (iii) the number of bidders varies across auctions. Taking into account the endogenous participation in our hedonic price equation for the highest bid, we estimate that, compared to lots that receive two bids, the highest bid is 22% lower when there is only one bid and 37% higher when there are three or more bids. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1337-1346 Issue: 11 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.539546 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.539546 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:11:p:1337-1346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: ByungWoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: ByungWoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Growth regression revisited: R&D promotes convergence? Abstract: Barro and Sala-i-Martin (2004) analysed the empirical determinants of growth. They used a cross-sectional empirical framework that considered growth from two kinds of factors, initial levels of steady-state variables and control variables (e.g. investment ratio, infrastructure). Recent literature suggests that Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation of dynamic panel data models produce more efficient and consistent estimates than Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) or pooled regression models. Following Cellini (1997), we also consider co-integration and error-correction methods for the growth regression. We extend the previous research for Asian countries of Kim (2009) to developed countries. Following the implications of semi-endogenous growth theory, we regressed output growth on a constant, 1-year lagged output (initial income) and the determinants of steady-state income (investment rate, population growth, the quadratic (or linear) function of Research and Development (R&D) intensity). The regression suggests faster significant convergence. This contradicts with that of Mankiw et al. (1992), which asserts that the speed is lower when considering broad concept of capital including human capital. The coefficients for the determinants of steady-state income, especially for the quadratic function of R&D intensity, are significant and occur in the expected direction. Our results suggest that adopting appropriate growth policy, an economy can grow more rapidly through transition dynamics or changing fundamentals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1347-1362 Issue: 11 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.539547 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.539547 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:11:p:1347-1362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Caragliu Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Caragliu Author-Name: Peter Nijkamp Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Nijkamp Title: The impact of regional absorptive capacity on spatial knowledge spillovers: the Cohen and Levinthal model revisited Abstract: We design a conceptual framework for linking two approaches: absorptive capacity and spatial Knowledge Spillovers (KSs). Regions produce new knowledge, but only part of it is efficiently adopted in the economy; the share of efficiently adopted technology depends on cognitive capital. Our dataset is based on a panel of European regions over the period 1999 to 2006, combining data from EUROSTAT and the European Values Study (EVS). We test the hypothesis that insufficient levels of cognitive capital hamper the capability of regions to fully exploit new knowledge. Results show that a lower regional absorptive capacity increases KS towards surrounding areas, hampering the regions’ capability to decode and efficiently exploit new knowledge, both locally produced and originating from outside. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1363-1374 Issue: 11 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.539549 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.539549 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:11:p:1363-1374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akram Masoud Haddad Author-X-Name-First: Akram Masoud Author-X-Name-Last: Haddad Author-Name: Yousef Shahwan Author-X-Name-First: Yousef Author-X-Name-Last: Shahwan Title: Optimization agricultural production under financial risk of water constraint in the Jordan Valley Abstract: Some sectors of the Jordanian agriculture have reached, over the last few years, a considerably high standard of competitiveness. Such evolution occurred in a period where the government started to have a more passive position and, producers, in turn, tried themselves to modify the production structures, adapting to the forces of the market and to the demands for internal and external competitiveness. Jordan Valley (JV) is considered as a basket of fruit and vegetables of Jordan that allows production of seasonal crops. The main constraint to agriculture in JV is water availability. Target Minimization of Total Absolute Deviation (MOTAD) model was used to evaluate three levels of water availability and these are: current normal situation, 50% and 30% water reduction. It was evident that crops behaviour under risk condition in JV differs according to the risk associated with production process, both for season and amount of water available for irrigation where the impact of water reduction was obvious in winter (spring) farming season. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1375-1385 Issue: 11 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.539550 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.539550 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:11:p:1375-1385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Paul Chavas Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Chavas Author-Name: Bradford Barham Author-X-Name-First: Bradford Author-X-Name-Last: Barham Author-Name: Jeremy Foltz Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Foltz Author-Name: Kwansoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kwansoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Analysis and decomposition of scope economies: R&D at US research universities Abstract: This article uses a multi output production function to analyse economies of scope between patents and R&D in US research universities. It evaluates the tradeoffs and/or synergies that arise between traditional university research outputs (articles and doctorates) and academic patents. It also investigates the sources of economies of scope and the relative roles of complementarity, scale and convexity. Nonparametric Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) estimates of scope economies using R&D input and output data from 92 research universities show significant economies of scope between articles and patents but only modest complementarities except in a few cases. The analysis shows how scale effects (for small universities) and convexity effects can contribute to economies of scope. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1387-1404 Issue: 11 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.541151 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.541151 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:11:p:1387-1404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seong-Hoon Cho Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Suhyun Jung Author-X-Name-First: Suhyun Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Roland K. Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Roland K. Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Author-Name: Seung Gyu Kim Author-X-Name-First: Seung Gyu Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Interrelationship between poverty and the wildland--urban interface in metropolitan areas of the Southern US Abstract: This research disentangles the relationship between Wildland--Urban Interface (WUI) area and poverty in metropolitan areas of the Southern US where urban sprawl has intensified and high-poverty regions have persisted. Results confirm that the enlargement of WUI areas increases urban poverty, which in turn causes WUI areas to expand. This finding validates the underlying hypothesis: expansion of the WUI excludes people in poor inner-city neighbourhoods from educational and economic opportunities that occur in suburban areas and the problems related to inner-city poverty push the rich away from the inner city. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1405-1416 Issue: 11 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.541392 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.541392 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:11:p:1405-1416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos順鲥s Author-X-Name-First: Jos頍 Author-X-Name-Last: F鲥s Author-Name: Arnaud Reynaud Author-X-Name-First: Arnaud Author-X-Name-Last: Reynaud Author-Name: Alban Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Alban Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Water reuse in Brazilian manufacturing firms Abstract: This article examines the factors influencing manufacturing firms’ water reuse decision and analyses whether the structure of intake water demand differs between firms that adopt water reuse practices and those which do not. The first stage of the estimation model involves a Probit analysis of the water reuse decision and the second stage employs an endogenous switching regression to estimate the intake water demand equations. Results suggest that water charges may act as an effective mechanism in inducing firms to undertake water reuse investments and in reducing intake water demand. Estimates of the water demand price elasticities indicate that plants that reuse water are more sensitive to water price increases than plants without access to reuse technologies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1417-1427 Issue: 11 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.543070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.543070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:11:p:1417-1427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Shan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Shan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Bi-Yu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Bi-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Patent indicators as output variables of DEA to evaluate the efficiency of the computer communication equipment industry in United States Abstract: This study uses Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and several statistical approaches to evaluate the efficiency of the computer communication equipment industry in the US from the perspective of patent performance. There are two output variables -- patent counts and patent citations -- and three input variables -- total assets, R&D expenditures and employee productivity -- in this study. The efficiency scores of the Charnes, Cooper and Rhodes (CCR) and Banker, Charnes and Cooper (BCC) models in this industry are 17.21% and 24.56%. Besides, this study finds out that there is ‘the advantage of firm size’ for patent performance, and demonstrates that R&D expenditures and employee productivity have positive effects on patent performance in this industry. Furthermore, this study applies cluster analysis to divide the sample into three groups named ‘Giant Enterprises’, ‘Indistinct Enterprises’ and ‘Ameba Enterprises’. This study points out that ‘Indistinct Enterprises’ have the worst efficiency, because ‘Giant Enterprises’ have the advantages of firm size, R&D resources and employee productivity and ‘Ameba Enterprises’ possess the advantage of flexibility, but ‘Indistinct Enterprises’ don’t have any advantage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1429-1432 Issue: 11 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.543071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.543071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:11:p:1429-1432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuan-Ming Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yuan-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Kuan-Min Wang Author-X-Name-First: Kuan-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Searching for a better proxy for business cycles: with supports using US data Abstract: This study revises the original Current Depth of Recession (CDR) to prove that the Modified CDR (MCDR) is more suitable as a threshold variable than the CDR. We rebuild the CDR indicator and adjust its positive and negative ranges with the estimation results of the Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model. We construct two TAR models utilizing CDR and MCDR as threshold variables, respectively. Estimation and test results of the root mean square error, Theil's inequality coefficient and the Diebold-Mariano (DM, 1995) test suggest that MCDR performs better as a threshold variable than CDR. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1433-1442 Issue: 11 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.543073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.543073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:11:p:1433-1442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Title: A re-examination of the unbiased forward rate hypothesis in the presence of multiple unknown structural breaks Abstract: We test the Unbiased Forward Rate (UFR) hypothesis using new tests for cointegration developed by Hatemi-J (2008a) that allows for multiple unknown structural breaks. We analyse the Australian dollar (AUD), Euro (EUR), British pound (GBP) and Japanese yen (JPY) (versus the US dollar (USD)) spot rates and forward rates relationship during the period 5 January 1999 to 28 December 2006. We find that the UFR does hold when the effects of the unknown structural breaks are taken into account. The parameters that we obtained were close to unity; hence, taking into account transaction cost and the existence of a risk premium, earning arbitrage profits may still not be possible. Thus, the markets for these currencies may still be considered as efficient. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1443-1448 Issue: 11 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.543075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.543075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:11:p:1443-1448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Gartell Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gartell Title: The college-to-work transition during the 1990s: evidence from Sweden Abstract: This article analyses the time it takes for Swedish college graduates to start a full time job that lasts for 6 months or more. The focus is on the transition over time during the period 1991 to 1999. This period covers both upturns and downturns of the business cycle, providing a unique opportunity to consider the importance of the timing of graduation. The results show that the risk of unemployment and the unemployment duration have varied considerably with the business cycle, both within and between cohorts. For example, the field of education is of more importance for the outcomes during recessions. Further, the relative risk of unemployment has decreased over time for individuals with the highest degree of education whereas the unemployment duration has increased, indicating that the selection into unemployment for this group may have changed over time. This is interesting, not least in the light of the sharp expansion of the higher educational system during the study period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1449-1469 Issue: 11 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.543078 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.543078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:11:p:1449-1469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-Gee Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Gee Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yu-Shan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Shan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Evaluating natural resource projects with embedded options and limited reserves Abstract: This study proposes a Dynamic Option Simulation (DOS) approach to evaluate natural resource investment projects that contain several embedded options and limited reserves. To construct a practical pricing model, DOS combines simulation and dynamic programming techniques that can value natural resource investments with multi-variable, early exercise, various embedded options and finite reserve properties. A copper mine project offers a demonstration; the mine holder may temporarily close, reopen and abandon the mine at specific times before the expiration date. The mine holder may also accelerate mining speed to be optimal, referred to as the acceleration option. Numerical analyses of the copper price and interest rate effects on the copper mine value suggest that DOS can efficiently assess complex, multiple-variable, American-style real options problems. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1471-1482 Issue: 12 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.543076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.543076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:12:p:1471-1482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeroen Hinloopen Author-X-Name-First: Jeroen Author-X-Name-Last: Hinloopen Author-Name: Charles van Marrewijk Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: van Marrewijk Title: Power laws and comparative advantage Abstract: Using a comprehensive international trade data set we document empirical Power Laws (PLs) for the distribution of the interaction between countries as measured by revealed comparative advantage. Using the recently developed estimator by Gabaix and Ibragimov (2011), we find strong evidence in favour of PLs along the time, country and sector dimension for three different levels of data aggregation. This finding is not predicted by any of the existing trade theories. The estimated PL exponents characterizing the distribution of revealed comparative advantage are stable over time but differ between countries and sectors. These differences are related empirically to country and sector characteristics, including population size, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and factor intensities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1483-1507 Issue: 12 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.543079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.543079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:12:p:1483-1507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong-Chern Su Author-X-Name-First: Yong-Chern Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Han-Ching Huang Author-X-Name-First: Han-Ching Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Shiue-Fang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shiue-Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Dynamic relations between order imbalance, volatility and return of top gainers Abstract: Investors have been working hard to find the best trading strategy. Previous studies suggest that order imbalance can be a state variable in explaining cross sectional stock return. In this article, we examine dynamic relations between order imbalance, volatility and stock return of top gainers. Then, we develop an order imbalance based trading strategy and explain the causality. We employ a time varying Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model to investigate intraday dynamics among order imbalance, volatility and return. A significantly negative relation between order imbalance and volatility has been documented. The leverage effect proposed by Christie (1982) could explain the above result. Current period order imbalance explains current period volatility and stock return. Contemporaneous order imbalance has a significantly positive and lag-one order imbalance has a significantly negative influence on stock return. Time span of data and responsibility of market maker explain this phenomenon. Finally, we develop a profitable order imbalance based trading strategy. To explore the profitability of our trading strategy, we examine the causal relationship between return and order imbalance. We find that order imbalance is a good indicator for price discovery. Moreover, order imbalance is a better indicator for predicting returns in large firm size quartile. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1509-1519 Issue: 12 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.543080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.543080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:12:p:1509-1519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bryan C. McCannon Author-X-Name-First: Bryan C. Author-X-Name-Last: McCannon Title: The value of multiple reviews Abstract: Expert opinion aids consumers purchasing a good they have no personal experience with. Previous research has found little to no impact of expert opinion on price. Evidence from panels of cigar reviewers shows that the explanatory power of the experts’ rating improves as more reviews are used. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1521-1525 Issue: 12 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.543081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.543081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:12:p:1521-1525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boris Lokshin Author-X-Name-First: Boris Author-X-Name-Last: Lokshin Author-Name: Pierre Mohnen Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Mohnen Title: How effective are level-based R&D tax credits? Evidence from the Netherlands Abstract: This article examines the impact of the R&D fiscal incentive programme on R&D by Dutch firms. Taking a factor demand approach, we measure the elasticity of firm R&D capital accumulation to its user cost. Econometric models are estimated using a rich unbalanced panel of firm data covering the period 1996 to 2004 with firm specific R&D user costs varying with tax incentives. Using the estimated user cost elasticity, we perform a cost--benefit analysis of the R&D incentive programme. We find some evidence of additionality suggesting that the level based programme of R&D incentives in the Netherlands is effective in stimulating firms’ investment in R&D. However, the hypothesis of crowding out can be rejected only for small firms. The analysis also indicates that the level based nature of the fiscal incentive scheme leads to a substantial social deadweight loss. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1527-1538 Issue: 12 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.543083 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.543083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:12:p:1527-1538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massoud Metghalchi Author-X-Name-First: Massoud Author-X-Name-Last: Metghalchi Author-Name: Juri Marcucci Author-X-Name-First: Juri Author-X-Name-Last: Marcucci Author-Name: Yung-Ho Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Are moving average trading rules profitable? Evidence from the European stock markets Abstract: This article examines the profitability of several simple technical trading rules for 16 European stock markets over the 1990 to 2006 period. Our results indicate that increasing moving average rules indeed have predictive power being able to discern recurring price patterns for profitable trading, even after accounting for the effects of data snooping bias. To assess the profitability of different technical trading rules and strategies, we adopt the White's (2000) Reality Check (RC) test that quantifies the data snooping bias and adjusts for its effects. Our empirical results also support the hypothesis that technical trading rules can outperform the buy and hold strategy after accounting for transaction costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1539-1559 Issue: 12 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.543084 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.543084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:12:p:1539-1559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Georges Prat Author-X-Name-First: Georges Author-X-Name-Last: Prat Title: Arbitrage costs and nonlinear adjustment in the G7 stock markets Abstract: This article aims to study stock price adjustments towards fundamentals due to the existence of arbitrage costs defined as the sum of transaction costs and a risky arbitrage premium associated with the uncertainty characterizing the fundamentals. Accordingly, it is shown that a two regime Smooth Transition Error Correction Model (STECM) is appropriate to reproduce the dynamics of stock price deviations from fundamentals in the G7 countries during the period 1969 to 2005. This model takes into account the interdependences or contagion effects between stock markets. Deviations appear to follow a quasi random walk in the central regime when prices are near fundamentals (i.e. when arbitrage costs are greater than expected arbitrage profits, the mean reversion mechanism is inactive), while they approach a white noise in the outer regimes (i.e. when arbitrage costs are lower than expected arbitrage profits, the mean reversion is active). Interestingly, as expected when arbitrage costs are heterogeneous, the estimated STECM shows that stock price adjustments are smooth and that the convergence speed depends on the size of the deviation. Finally, using two appropriate indicators proposed by Peel and Taylor (2000), both the magnitudes of under and overvaluation of stock price and the adjustment speed are calculated per date in the G7 countries. These indicators show that the dynamics of stock price adjustment are strongly dependent on both the date and the country under consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1561-1582 Issue: 12 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.543085 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.543085 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:12:p:1561-1582 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Long Liu Author-X-Name-First: Long Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jan Ondrich Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Ondrich Author-Name: John Ruggiero Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ruggiero Title: Estimating multiple-input-- multiple-output production functions with an analysis of credit unions Abstract: In this article, we develop a methodology to estimate production functions characterized by multiple inputs and multiple outputs. Aggregate output is estimated assuming a piecewise-linear production possibility set and by measuring distance to the boundary using nonparametric techniques. The parameters of the production function are then estimated in a second-stage using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). The primary advantage of this approach is the ability to measure the output aggregate nonparametrically. The approach developed in this article is applied to estimate credit union production. An alternative approach developed by Vinod (1968) specifies an extended Cobb--Douglas equation and estimates the parameters using canonical correlation. Our new approach is compared to Vinod's canonical correlation approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1583-1589 Issue: 12 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.548784 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.548784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:12:p:1583-1589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenji Matsui Author-X-Name-First: Kenji Author-X-Name-Last: Matsui Title: Concentration of marketing channels and brand-level retailer margins: evidence from Japan Abstract: This article investigates the impacts of marketing channel concentration at each distributive channel stage on brand level retailer gross margins. A unique official Japanese dataset, the National Survey of Prices -- which reports brand level wholesale prices as well as retail prices of national brand items in various consumer product categories -- enables us to estimate the retail margin directly for each specified brand. The most notable conclusion is that an inverse relationship is found between brand level retailer margins and the degree of wholesaler concentration, which is consistent with empirical results in previous marketing and economic studies that investigated the impacts of manufacturer concentration on category level retailer margins. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1591-1601 Issue: 12 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.548785 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.548785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:12:p:1591-1601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark F. Owens Author-X-Name-First: Mark F. Author-X-Name-Last: Owens Author-Name: Charles L. Baum Author-X-Name-First: Charles L. Author-X-Name-Last: Baum Title: The effects of welfare vehicle asset rules on vehicle assets Abstract: Before 1996, households were typically ineligible for welfare if they had assets worth more than $1000, where $1500 from each vehicle's value was excluded from this determination. However, the 1996 welfare reform act began allowing states to increase their asset limits and vehicle exclusions. This may prompt low-income households to reallocate resources to or from vehicles. We examine the effects of state vehicle asset rules on vehicle assets. Results show that liberalizing asset rules increases vehicle assets and that this increase is driven largely by eligible individuals increasing vehicle assets, with no evidence indicating that ineligible individuals reduce vehicle assets to become eligible. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1603-1619 Issue: 13 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.548783 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.548783 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:13:p:1603-1619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wan-Jiun Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wan-Jiun Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The relationships of carbon dioxide emissions and income in a newly industrialized economy Abstract: This study investigates the carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions patterns in coordination with the economic development of Taiwan. The resulting quadratic relationship between emissions and income are partly due to the structural change of energy supply in Taiwan, with the introduction of nuclear energy in 1980 to 1986. This relationship is quite unique and different from the N-shaped relationships in some developed countries (de Bruyn and Opschoor, 1997; Friedl and Getzner, 2003). The CO2 emissions in Taiwan increase with the increasing imports of raw materials for economic activities and the increasing use of electricity. There is no evidence that the substantial increase of Taiwan's service sector contributed to slowing its CO2 emissions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1621-1630 Issue: 13 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.548786 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.548786 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:13:p:1621-1630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. D𮠭Mora Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: D𮠭Mora Author-Name: A. Triguero-Cano Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Triguero-Cano Title: Why do some firms contract out production? Evidence from firm-level panel data Abstract: This article examines which factors determine outsourcing decision using firm level data. According to the theoretical and empirical literature, firm, industry and market characteristics influence the likelihood of contracting out. We try to identify which firm characteristics are prerequisites for becoming an outsourcer. Using a dynamic panel data probit model, our results show that firms with previous subcontracting experience, higher wages, frequent market changes, R&D activities, product differentiation, large size and exporter status are more likely to engage in outsourcing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1631-1644 Issue: 13 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.548787 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.548787 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:13:p:1631-1644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ather H. Akbari Author-X-Name-First: Ather H. Author-X-Name-Last: Akbari Author-Name: Yigit Aydede Author-X-Name-First: Yigit Author-X-Name-Last: Aydede Title: Effects of immigration on house prices in Canada Abstract: From the turn of the present century until late 2008, house prices in some developed countries, including Canada, rose sharply compared to the increases in their per capita incomes. Some in the public circles of these countries argue that immigration fueled this rise. Each year, Canada admits about 225 000 immigrants, but information on the effect of immigration on house prices in this country is lacking. Our extensive econometric analysis based on panel data at census division levels obtained from the 1996, 2001 and 2006 population censuses indicates a statistically significant but small effect of immigration on prices of privately owned dwellings in Canada. An out migration of the native born from the areas where new immigrants settle, or an increased supply of housing due to expectations of higher demand in those areas may have caused this result. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1645-1658 Issue: 13 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.548788 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.548788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:13:p:1645-1658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lota D. Tamini Author-X-Name-First: Lota D. Author-X-Name-Last: Tamini Author-Name: Bruno Larue Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Larue Author-Name: Gale West Author-X-Name-First: Gale Author-X-Name-Last: West Title: Technical and environmental efficiencies and best management practices in agriculture Abstract: An Input Distance Function (IDF) is estimated to empirically evaluate and analyse the technical and environmental efficiencies of 210 farms located in the Chaudière watershed (Quebec), where water quality problems are particularly acute because of the production of undesirable outputs that are jointly produced with agricultural products. The true IDF is approximated by a flexible translog functional form estimated using a full information maximum likelihood method. Technical and environmental efficiencies are disaggregated across farms and account for spatial variations. Our results show that there is a significant correlation between the two efficiencies. The IDF is used to compute the cumulative Malmquist productivity index and the Fisher index. The two indices are used to measure changes in technology, profitability, efficiency and productivity in response to the adoption of two selected Best Management Practices (BMPs) whose objective is to reduce water pollution. We found significant differences across BMPs regarding the direction and the magnitude of their effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1659-1672 Issue: 13 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.548789 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.548789 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:13:p:1659-1672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Dacuycuy Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Dacuycuy Title: Parametric and semiparametric model representations of the conditional mean of wages: do they make a difference against nonparametric ones? Abstract: This study is concerned with the validation of parametric functional representations of the conditional mean of wages using Philippine data. This is done in the light of studies confirming relative weaknesses associated with parametric approaches to the modelling of human capital earnings functions (Zheng, 2000; Heckman et al., 2003; Lemieux, 2003; Miles and Mora, 2003). Extending the approaches in Lemieux (2003), Zheng (2000) and Miles and Mora (2003), we conduct consistent specification tests not only on parametric functional forms but also on the semiparametric partially linear model to verify the effect of modelling choice on the schooling-earnings as well as the experience-earnings relationships. Test results indicate that parametric models may still be valid representations of the wage function. In some instances, the semiparametric partially linear wage function holds promise as a modelling alternative to parametric models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1673-1684 Issue: 13 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.548790 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.548790 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:13:p:1673-1684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Aβmann Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Aβmann Title: Determinants and costs of current account reversals under heterogeneity and serial correlation Abstract: Using large panel data sets for analysis of determinants and costs of reversals asks for controls of latent heterogeneity among countries. This article performs a Bayesian analysis, which allows for a parsimonious yet flexible handling of country specific heterogeneity via random coefficients and serially correlated errors. Consideration of persistence within the employed macroeconomic data is important to gauge the impact of explaining variables suggested by theory correctly. Bayesian specification tests provide evidence in favour of models incorporating heterogeneity and serial correlation. The results suggest that costs of reversals are overestimated, when country specific heterogeneity is neglected and stress the importance of external variables in explaining current account reversals. Results are checked for robustness against the underlying reversal definition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1685-1700 Issue: 13 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.554370 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.554370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:13:p:1685-1700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jo-Hui Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jo-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Wan-Chieh Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Wan-Chieh Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Title: A comparison of international income inequality: an ordered probit model analysis Abstract: In this study, the ordered probit model with marginal effect was applied to examine the key elements that influence changes in the Gini levels. The empirical results indicated that export incentives and poverty have a positive impact on the Gini levels. Moreover, the marginal effect revealed that export incentives increase income inequality for countries with higher inequality and reduce inequality for those countries with a relatively even income distribution. Likewise, the study found that the Asian Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) and the EU countries move from inequality to equality more efficiently than countries in the Latin American Integration Association (LAIA). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1701-1716 Issue: 13 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.554371 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.554371 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:13:p:1701-1716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hau Chyi Author-X-Name-First: Hau Author-X-Name-Last: Chyi Title: The 1993 EITC expansion and low-skilled single mothers’ welfare use decision Abstract: Previous studies on low-skilled single mothers focus generally either on the binary welfare use or work decision. However, work among welfare participants has increased steadily since the mid-1990s. This study estimates the role of the 1993 Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) expansion on the decline of welfare caseloads using a bivariate probit model. Using monthly Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) information, I find that the 1993 EITC expansion has at least the same effect on reducing welfare use as the welfare reform initiatives. Moreover, the elasticity estimates indicate that single mothers, especially those who were not employed and dependent solely on welfare before the expansion, were the most responsive to the policy initiatives. Finally, the increase in work among welfare participants is due to the relative ineffectiveness of the policies in reducing the net population of those who are on welfare and work simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1717-1736 Issue: 13 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.554372 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.554372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:13:p:1717-1736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jasim Al-Ajmi Author-X-Name-First: Jasim Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Ajmi Author-Name: J. H. Kim Author-X-Name-First: J. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Are Gulf stock markets efficient? Evidence from new multiple variance ratio tests Abstract: The purpose of this article is to test for the Random Walk Hypothesis (RWH) for seven stock markets in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, and to determine the effect of the correction for thin trading. Three new multiple variance ratio tests are applied to both observed returns and returns corrected for thin trading. It is found overall that the RWH does not hold for the GCC stock markets at both daily and weekly frequencies. This evidence is particularly strong when daily returns are used, where the RWH is soundly rejected for both observed and corrected returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1737-1747 Issue: 14 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.554373 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.554373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:14:p:1737-1747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Concetta Castiglione Author-X-Name-First: Concetta Author-X-Name-Last: Castiglione Title: Technical efficiency and ICT investment in Italian manufacturing firms Abstract: The importance of Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs) is a much debated question with extensive literature aimed at understanding the role of ICTs in increasing economic growth, firm productivity and firm efficiency. Different methods to estimate firm efficiency are used in this study. In particular, both the translog and the Cobb--Douglas production functions are used in order to estimate the impact of ICT on Technical Efficiency (TE) in Italian manufacturing firms over the period 1995 to 2003. Results show that ICT investments positively and significantly affected firms’ TE. Moreover, group, size and geographical position have a positive influence on TE. Finally, the results show that older firms are, on average, more efficient than newer ones. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1749-1763 Issue: 14 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.554374 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.554374 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:14:p:1749-1763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sharon G. Levin Author-X-Name-First: Sharon G. Author-X-Name-Last: Levin Author-Name: Paula E. Stephan Author-X-Name-First: Paula E. Author-X-Name-Last: Stephan Author-Name: Anne E. Winkler Author-X-Name-First: Anne E. Author-X-Name-Last: Winkler Title: Innovation in academe: the diffusion of information technologies Abstract: This study investigates the diffusion of two early Information technologies across 1348 institutions of higher education: (1) the adoption of Because It's Time Network (BITNET), a precursor to the Internet as we know it today and (2) the adoption of the Domain Name System (DNS) with its registration of domain names, an essential feature of the modern Internet. We find that the time paths of adoption for both generally exhibit the typical S shape found for other innovations. We identify factors likely responsible for the patterns observed and in the process extend the scope of the diffusion literature by incorporating insights from the optimization behaviour of nonprofits. Using a proportional hazards framework, we find that faster adoption occurred among institutions focused on research and doctoral education as well as among select liberal arts colleges relative to nonselect colleges. Faster adoption also occurred for larger institutions, suggesting that they benefited from economies of scale. Adoption was slower for institutions having a larger percent of female faculty members. Also, there is some evidence to suggest that public institutions were faster to innovate than private institutions, while institutions in the South tended to innovate more slowly than institutions located in other regions of the country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1765-1782 Issue: 14 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.554375 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.554375 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:14:p:1765-1782 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felix Rioja Author-X-Name-First: Felix Author-X-Name-Last: Rioja Author-Name: Neven Valev Author-X-Name-First: Neven Author-X-Name-Last: Valev Title: Financial structure and capital investment Abstract: This article studies the effects of financial structure on the growth of physical capital accumulation. Several theoretical works have proposed that banks are better than stock markets in funding capital investment. We test these theories with panel data for 62 industrial and developing countries using Generalized Method of Moments dynamic panel techniques. Results show that bank based financial systems are indeed associated with faster capital growth. This effect is especially strong in countries where banks can have close links to nonfinancial firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1783-1793 Issue: 14 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.554376 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.554376 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:14:p:1783-1793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank M. Fossen Author-X-Name-First: Frank M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fossen Title: Gender differences in entrepreneurial choice and risk aversion -- a decomposition based on a microeconometric model Abstract: Why are female entrepreneurs so rare? In Germany, women exhibit both a lower entry rate into and higher exit rate from self-employment. To explain this gender gap, this study estimates a structural microeconometric model of transition rates that includes a standard risk aversion parameter. Inputs into the model are the expected value and variance of earnings from self-employment and dependent employment, estimated separately by gender and accounting for nonrandom selection into self-employment. The gender differential in the transition rates is decomposed using a novel extension of the Blinder--Oaxaca technique for nonlinear models. Women's higher estimated risk aversion explains the largest part of their higher exit rate but only a small portion of their lower entry rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1795-1812 Issue: 14 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.554377 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.554377 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:14:p:1795-1812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marshall Gramm Author-X-Name-First: Marshall Author-X-Name-Last: Gramm Author-Name: C. Nicholas McKinney Author-X-Name-First: C. Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: McKinney Author-Name: Douglas H. Owens Author-X-Name-First: Douglas H. Author-X-Name-Last: Owens Title: Efficiency and arbitrage across parimutuel wagering pools Abstract: Previous studies have found some degree of inefficiency in betting markets. However, it is difficult to implement a strategy to take advantage of these biases. This article investigates and attempts to arbitrage interrelated betting markets by undertaking three betting simulations using two datasets comprised of parimutuel pools from US horse races. Two of the betting simulations are positive returns, but in the most realistic real-time simulation the losses are substantial. Profitable betting opportunities disappear due to last minute wagers which change the odds and increase market efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1813-1822 Issue: 14 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.554378 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.554378 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:14:p:1813-1822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gail Blattenberger Author-X-Name-First: Gail Author-X-Name-Last: Blattenberger Author-Name: Richard Fowles Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Fowles Author-Name: Peter D. Loeb Author-X-Name-First: Peter D. Author-X-Name-Last: Loeb Author-Name: Wm. A. Clarke Author-X-Name-First: Wm. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Clarke Title: Understanding the cell phone effect on vehicle fatalities: a Bayesian view Abstract: This article examines the potential effect of various factors on motor vehicle fatality rates using a rich set of panel data and classical regression analysis combined with Bayesian Extreme Bounds Analysis (EBA), Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) and Stochastic Search Variable Selection (SSVS) procedures. The variables examined in the models include traditional motor vehicle and socioeconomic factors. In addition, the models address the effects of cell phone usage on such accidents. The use of both classical and Bayesian techniques diminish the model and parameter uncertainties which afflict more conventional modelling methods which rely on only one of the two methods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1823-1835 Issue: 14 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.554379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.554379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:14:p:1823-1835 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christa Frei Author-X-Name-First: Christa Author-X-Name-Last: Frei Author-Name: Alfonso Sousa-Poza Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa-Poza Title: Overqualification: permanent or transitory? Abstract: This article analyses job mismatches in Switzerland based on a subjective measure of overqualification. According to job search and job matching theories, overqualification is a transitory problem. Other theories show that overqualification can also be of a permanent nature. We test the perpetuity of overeducation using panel data from the first eight waves of the Swiss Household Panel (SHP) covering the period 1999 to 2006. Our empirical analysis reveals little evidence for lasting rigidities that would cause permanent job mismatches. Rather, spells of overqualification are relatively short: about half of all individuals who were overqualified in a given year had an adequate job match 1 year later. While a short duration of overqualification would be consistent with job search and job matching theories, our observation that the probability of a job mismatch does not significantly decrease with experience is at odds with these theories. Our article provides an alternative explanation for this phenomenon: the constant accumulation of experience and qualifications throughout a worker's career implies that, for a good job match to be maintained, qualification-specific job requirements must increase as the worker ages. If this does not occur, even older workers face a risk of becoming overqualified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1837-1847 Issue: 14 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.554380 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.554380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:14:p:1837-1847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Poomthan Rangkakulnuwat Author-X-Name-First: Poomthan Author-X-Name-Last: Rangkakulnuwat Author-Name: A. K. M. Mahbub Morshed Author-X-Name-First: A. K. M. Mahbub Author-X-Name-Last: Morshed Author-Name: H. Holly Wang Author-X-Name-First: H. Holly Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Sung K. Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Sung K. Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Title: Price convergence in US cities: a cointegration approach with two structural breaks Abstract: This article investigates how the price indices of major cities of the US respond to the shock from a city and from monetary policy. We find that the crisis of Bretton Woods system in 1968 and the oil crisis in 1974 should be incorporated as structural breaks in monetary policy variables and price indices. Using cointegration technique with structural break in our aggregated data, we find that the average half-life is 1.75 years, which is closer to what some of others found in disaggregated data, and that the interest rate is an effective tool for controlling cities’ price in short run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1849-1862 Issue: 14 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.554381 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.554381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:14:p:1849-1862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei-Chun Tseng Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Tseng Author-Name: Waraporn Ngamsomsuke Author-X-Name-First: Waraporn Author-X-Name-Last: Ngamsomsuke Title: The nested collective lottery that maximizes welfare under consumption interdependence Abstract: We develop a generalized lottery mechanism in this article that allows people to choose to succeed separately while retaining both merits (fairness and options to succeed jointly) of the collective lottery developed by Chen et al. (2010). We use the rationing of hunting permits in the US and Canada as examples to show the applicability of this generalized lottery mechanism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1863-1866 Issue: 14 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.556582 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.556582 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:14:p:1863-1866 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Giesecke Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Giesecke Author-Name: Nhi Hoang Tran Author-X-Name-First: Nhi Hoang Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: A general framework for measuring VAT compliance rates Abstract: Summary measures of Value Added Tax (VAT) compliance rates are valuable for identifying problem areas in VAT implementation. They are also essential for meaningful crosscountry and crosstime comparisons of VAT compliance. We present a comprehensive and general framework for calculating VAT compliance rates at both the economy wide and detailed sectoral levels. Unlike existing measures of VAT compliance, our framework isolates a compliance measure from the effects on VAT receipts of detailed features of VAT systems as actually implemented by tax authorities. These features include multiple VAT rates, exemptions, registration rates, refund limitations, informal activity, taxation of domestic nonresidents and undeclared imports. We implement our comprehensive VAT compliance measure for Vietnam, a country with a complex VAT system. Our estimate of Vietnam's VAT compliance rate is about 13 percentage points higher than that calculated by the most popular measure of compliance, Collection Efficiency (CE). Our method facilitates decomposition of the difference between CE and our VAT compliance measure into individual contributions by the statutory and structural features of Vietnam's VAT regime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1867-1889 Issue: 15 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.554382 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.554382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:15:p:1867-1889 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Guccio Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Guccio Author-Name: G. Pignataro Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Pignataro Author-Name: I. Rizzo Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Rizzo Title: Determinants of adaptation costs in procurement: an empirical estimation on Italian public works contracts Abstract: It is widely agreed that rules governing public procurement should be designed to achieve value for money. However, in the public works sector, ‘… the good being procured is usually complex and hard to be exactly specified ex ante, … [and] alterations to the original project might be needed after the contract is awarded. This may result in considerable discrepancies between the lowest winning bid and the actual costs that are incurred by the buyer’ (Bajari et al., 2006). There is now a wide body of literature focusing on cost escalation during the execution of contracts and their estimates reveal that it can be often quite large. This article is aimed at offering an empirical test of the determinants of adaptation costs in the public works procurement. Using a detailed data set on Italian public works contracts, we run an empirical analysis, grounded on the main conclusions reached in the literature, to test for the main drivers of adaptation costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1891-1909 Issue: 15 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.556589 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.556589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:15:p:1891-1909 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikita Lyssenko Author-X-Name-First: Nikita Author-X-Name-Last: Lyssenko Author-Name: Roberto Mart󹑺-Espiñeira Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Mart󹑺-Espiñeira Title: Respondent uncertainty in contingent valuation: the case of whale conservation in Newfoundland and Labrador Abstract: In this article we investigate the issue of respondent uncertainty in contingent valuation studies while estimating the willingness to pay for a whale conservation program off the coasts of Newfoundland and Labrador. We use data from a phone survey administered to a sample (N = 614) of adult Canadians, proposing a policy consisting of subsidizing and enforcing the use of acoustic devices that would reduce the likelihood that whales become entangled in fishing nets. A follow-up question asked respondents how certain they were about their answer to the main dichotomous-choice question, which allows us to investigate how the treatment of uncertainty affects value measures. A mean willingness to pay of about $81/year per respondent is estimated when accounting for the degree of certainty with which respondents expressed their willingness to pay. We also analyse payment vehicle effects using a split-sample approach whereby some respondents were asked a dichotomous-choice question about a tax contribution while others were asked about a voluntary donation instead. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1911-1930 Issue: 15 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.556590 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.556590 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:15:p:1911-1930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Engel Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Engel Author-Name: V. Procher Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Procher Title: Export, FDI and firm productivity Abstract: Many empirical papers tested the theoretical predictions of Helpman, Melitz and Yeaple (HMY, 2004) which sorts firms at different internationalization states according to their productivity levels. While these papers ignore the fact, that the theoretical predictions of HMY only apply to firms that become engaged in market-driven Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), we apply a more precise methodology using a French firm sample with more than 110 000 observations. Our results show that firms with a broader investment strategy, reflecting a great importance of market-driven motives, show higher productivity levels than firms with less encompassing foreign investment strategies. We conclude that the methodology is well-suited to sort firms according to the importance of market-driven FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1931-1940 Issue: 15 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.556591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.556591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:15:p:1931-1940 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Population growth and local public finance in Japanese cities Abstract: The determinants of Japanese city population growth for the period 2000 to 2005 are empirically examined with particular attention to local public finance. The selection of one Fiscal Indicator (FI) from four alternatives -- ordinary balance ratio (OBR), ratio of outstanding borrowing (ROB) to the ordinary account, debt service payment ratio (DSPR) and financial power index (FPI) -- and the consideration of spatial auto‐correlation provide 12 regression models. In each regression, six additional explanatory variables are considered with reference to earlier empirical studies. Empirical results suggest that (1) three FIs, excluding DSPR, are significant; and (2) the number of local government officers and the ratio of graduates of not‐less‐than junior college are highly significant in all specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1941-1949 Issue: 15 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.556592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.556592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:15:p:1941-1949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui-Boon Tan Author-X-Name-First: Hui-Boon Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Author-Name: Eng-Tuck Cheah Author-X-Name-First: Eng-Tuck Author-X-Name-Last: Cheah Author-Name: Johnnie E. V. Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Johnnie E. V. Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: Ming-Chien Sung Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Chien Author-X-Name-Last: Sung Author-Name: Chong-Hin Chuah Author-X-Name-First: Chong-Hin Author-X-Name-Last: Chuah Title: Stock market capitalization and financial integration in the Asia Pacific region Abstract: The Stock Market Capitalization (SMC) of a country, defined as the aggregated market value equity of companies in the respective equity market, is commonly used to measure the widening and deepening of stock market activity. SMC also influences economic growth predictions and public consensus concerning the value of the stock market. However, no previous work has examined the role this variable plays in the process of financial integration. This article provides an argument for the use of SMC as a means of deciding which countries are acting as leaders in creating a fully integrated equity market in the Asia Pacific region. A total of 12 countries in the Asia Pacific region were divided into ‘Emerging Market’ and ‘Advanced Market’ equity blocks. We examine the relative size of the speed of adjustments derived from the error correction models following the Engle--Granger two-step procedure framework and apply the Granger causality test. The results suggest that Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (SAR) possesses the necessary credentials to act as market leader. In fact, Hong Kong SAR appears to be the only contender for market leader of both the ‘Emerging Market’ and ‘Advanced Market’ equity blocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1951-1961 Issue: 15 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.556593 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.556593 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:15:p:1951-1961 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudio Cozza Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Cozza Author-Name: Franco Malerba Author-X-Name-First: Franco Author-X-Name-Last: Malerba Author-Name: Maria Luisa Mancusi Author-X-Name-First: Maria Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Mancusi Author-Name: Giulio Perani Author-X-Name-First: Giulio Author-X-Name-Last: Perani Author-Name: Andrea Vezzulli Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Vezzulli Title: Innovation, profitability and growth in medium and high-tech manufacturing industries: evidence from Italy Abstract: The main goal of this article is to assess the impact of product innovation on the economic performance of firms operating in Medium and High-Tech (M&HT) industries. Using information from a large and unique dataset on Italian firms we estimate, by means of Propensity Score (PS) matching methods, a positive and significant ‘innovation premium’ both in terms of profitability and growth (in the short-run) for those firms who introduced new innovative products. We also find that this innovation premium is particularly large for small firms and even more so when considering new established firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1963-1976 Issue: 15 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.556594 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.556594 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:15:p:1963-1976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Natalie Chun Author-X-Name-First: Natalie Author-X-Name-Last: Chun Author-Name: Minjung Park Author-X-Name-First: Minjung Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: The impact of clinical trial insurance coverage mandates on racial minorities and low income individuals Abstract: Mandates are often used as a policy tool to decrease disparities in access to health treatments and services. The lack of insurance coverage for routine care costs associated with participating in clinical trials is often cited as a major barrier to clinical trial participation, especially for low income individuals and racial minorities who are highly cost-sensitive. This article examines if state mandates requiring health insurers to cover routine care costs for patients enroled in clinical trials helped reduce the gap in clinical trial access between the affluent and the poor and between whites and racial minorities. Using data on the locations of cancer clinical trials initiated in the US between 2001 and 2007 as well as Census data on income and race, we examine the effects of the policies on clinical trial sponsors’ location choices. Our analysis indicates that the policies helped increase availability of phase 2 clinical trials in areas with a high proportion of black residents, thereby partially mitigating race-based disparity in clinical trial access. We do not find any evidence that the policies helped alleviate income-based disparity in clinical trial access. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1977-1984 Issue: 15 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.556595 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.556595 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:15:p:1977-1984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hipólito Simón Author-X-Name-First: Hipólito Author-X-Name-Last: Simón Title: The gender gap in earnings: an international comparison with European matched employer--employee data Abstract: This article examines the origin of the cross-country heterogeneity of the gender wage gap in nine European countries using a unique harmonized international matched employer--employee dataset. Our novel findings suggest that cross-country differences in the intensity of female segregation into low-paying workplaces is a relevant source of international differences in the size of the gap and that international disparities in the characteristics of wage structures are not very influential. On the other hand, the evidence is not fully conclusive with respect to the influence on the variations of the gap of different macroeconomic, social and institutional country-specific features considered previously in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1985-1999 Issue: 15 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.558477 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.558477 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:15:p:1985-1999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georgios P. Kouretas Author-X-Name-First: Georgios P. Author-X-Name-Last: Kouretas Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: The dynamics of inflation: a study of a large number of countries Abstract: Over the last twenty years the statistical properties of inflation persistence has been the subject of intense investigation and debate without reaching a unanimous conclusion yet. In this article we attempt to shed further light to this debate using a battery of econometric techniques in order to provide robust evidence on the degree of inflation persistence and whether this has changed during the period in which several countries have followed inflation-targeting regimes or new monetary regimes. We consider the inflation rates of thirty developed and emerging economies using quarterly data for the period 1958 to 2007 which include alternative monetary policy regimes. The coefficient of the inflation parameter is estimated by Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) and Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA) models. Furthermore, the grid-bootstrap Median Unbiased (MUB) estimator approach developed by Hansen (1999) is used to estimate the finite sample OLS estimates coupled with the 95% symmetric confidence interval. We also examine parameter stability of persistence coefficients by estimating a model with time-varying parameters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2001-2026 Issue: 16 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.556596 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.556596 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:16:p:2001-2026 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ebru Guven Solakoglu Author-X-Name-First: Ebru Guven Author-X-Name-Last: Solakoglu Author-Name: Abdulkadir Civan Author-X-Name-First: Abdulkadir Author-X-Name-Last: Civan Title: Does morbidity matter? Perceived health status in explaining the share of healthcare expenditures Abstract: We argue that the demand for healthcare services can be better explained by individual need based variables rather than by macro variables such as the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita and the share of public healthcare expenditures. This study introduces a self-rated health variable called morbidity that describes individual needs for health care -- healthy individuals need less health care than sick ones -- and that is measured through personal interviews conducted by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). In addition, stationary properties of the series are considered in order to understand the effect of shocks to expenditure behaviour on health care. Stationary test results show that we should not only use differenced values for the model variables but also incorporate time-specific effects into the model. Using the appropriate specification and accounting for the time effect, we find evidence supporting the hypothesis that the share of healthcare expenditure in GDP rises with the increased need for health care. The need for health care is also found to be more important than per capita GDP when explaining the change in the share of healthcare expenditures for the examined countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2027-2034 Issue: 16 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.558476 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.558476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:16:p:2027-2034 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maximilian D. Schmeiser Author-X-Name-First: Maximilian D. Author-X-Name-Last: Schmeiser Title: Expanding New York State's Earned Income Tax Credit Programme: the effect on work, income and poverty Abstract: Given its favourable employment incentives and ability to target the working poor, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) has become the primary antipoverty programme at both the federal and state levels. However, when evaluating the effect of EITC programmes on income and poverty, governments generally calculate the effect using simple accounting, where the value of the state or federal EITC benefit is added to a person's income. These calculations omit the behavioural incentives created by the existence of these programmes, the corresponding effect on labour supply and hours worked, and therefore the actual effect on income and poverty. This article simulates the full effect of an expansion of the New York State EITC benefit on employment, hours worked, income, poverty and programme expenditures. These results are then compared to those omitting labour supply effects. Relative to estimates excluding labour supply effects, the preferred behavioural results show that an expansion of the New York State EITC increases employment by an additional 14 244 persons, labour earnings by an additional $95.8 million, family income by an additional $84.5 million, decreases poverty by an additional 56 576 persons and increases costs to the State by $29.7 million. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2035-2050 Issue: 16 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.558478 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.558478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:16:p:2035-2050 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anirvan Banerji Author-X-Name-First: Anirvan Author-X-Name-Last: Banerji Author-Name: Allan P. Layton Author-X-Name-First: Allan P. Author-X-Name-Last: Layton Author-Name: Lakshman Achuthan Author-X-Name-First: Lakshman Author-X-Name-Last: Achuthan Title: Dating the ‘world business cycle’ Abstract: By mid-2008 the world was witnessing the unfolding of a relatively rare macroeconomic phenomenon, namely, the onset of what one might call a synchronized international -- or ‘world’ -- recession. But what exactly is a ‘synchronized world recession’? This article proposes a practical definition of a ‘synchronized world recession’ and a putative set of historical post-WWII dates for a ‘world business cycle chronology’. Further, using a constructed ‘world coincident index of economic indicators’ and an associated ‘world leading index of economic indicators’, this article demonstrates that evidence was available from early in the second half of 2007 that the world was indeed sliding inexorably towards its fourth synchronized world recession since WWII (although, interestingly, already its second of the twenty-first century!). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2051-2063 Issue: 16 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.558479 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.558479 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:16:p:2051-2063 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julie L. Hotchkiss Author-X-Name-First: Julie L. Author-X-Name-Last: Hotchkiss Author-Name: John C. Robertson Author-X-Name-First: John C. Author-X-Name-Last: Robertson Title: Asymmetric labour force participation decisions Abstract: This article finds compelling evidence of asymmetric labour force participation decisions across demographic groups in response to changes in labour market conditions. This behaviour is consistent with predictions from the standard labour-leisure choice model and suggests that asymmetry in individual behaviour plays some role in the observed asymmetry of the aggregate unemployment rate. It is estimated that the weighted average difference in response to a one percentage point change in unemployment rates is sizeable when compared to the average monthly change in the aggregate labour force. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2065-2073 Issue: 16 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.558480 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.558480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:16:p:2065-2073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Dixon Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Dixon Author-Name: G. C. Lim Author-X-Name-First: G. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: A univariate model of aggregate labour productivity Abstract: In this article, we set out a model of labour productivity which distinguishes between shocks which change productivity permanently and shocks which have transient affects on productivity. We show that this model is a type of unobserved components model -- a random walk with drift plus noise model. The advantage of this approach is that it provides a coherent framework to identify the deterministic trend growth component and also the productivity enhancing (or technology related) stochastic components. The model is applied to aggregate labour productivity in Australia and the time series of technology shocks extracted is used to shed some light on the contributions of policy reforms to productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2075-2080 Issue: 16 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.558481 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.558481 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:16:p:2075-2080 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyun Seok Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyun Seok Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Title: Can real option values explain apparent storage at a loss? Abstract: Since decisions to sell grain are irreversible, waiting to sell grain can have a real option value. This real option value may explain why producers appear to store too long. A new seasonal mean reversion model is estimated that allows prices to be a random walk with drift within a season, but mean reverting across crop years. Unless prices are extremely low, selling before mean reversion begins is optimal. Thus, the real option value of waiting does not explain why some producers seem to store at a loss in the latter part of crop years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2081-2090 Issue: 16 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.558483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.558483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:16:p:2081-2090 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manuel Leon Navarro Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Navarro Author-Name: Rafael Flores de Frutos Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Flores Author-X-Name-Last: de Frutos Title: Consumption and housing wealth breakdown of the effect of a rise in interest rates Abstract: In this article the effect on consumption of a fall in housing wealth and housing prices, resulting from an increase in interest rates is estimated. With the help of a dynamic multiequation, macroeconomic model, the consumer response function is broken down into two parts: a direct response related to a rise in the cost of credit and another indirect one related to the deterioration of the property market. Estimation of the theoretical model is done by means of a Vectorial Error-Correction (VEC) model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2091-2110 Issue: 16 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.558484 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.558484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:16:p:2091-2110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianna C. Giannelli Author-X-Name-First: Gianna C. Author-X-Name-Last: Giannelli Author-Name: Lucia Mangiavacchi Author-X-Name-First: Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Mangiavacchi Author-Name: Luca Piccoli Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Piccoli Title: GDP and the value of family caretaking: how much does Europe care? Abstract: This study estimates the size and value of unpaid family caretaking activities at a European level. While at a country level several studies are available, a comprehensive evaluation for Europe as a whole was missing so far, mainly due to data limitations. This article fills this gap using a method that merges the information of the European Survey of Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) with the Harmonised European Time Use Surveys (HETUS). Monetary values of unpaid family domestic work and unpaid family childcare work are obtained applying both the opportunity cost and the market replacement approaches. For Europe as a whole, the total value of these activities ranges between 17% and 31.6% of the EU Gross Domestic Product (GDP), depending on the applied methodology. The national values of these activities are discussed and an interpretation of the country and gender differentials in family caretaking costs is given in terms of differences in culture, economic development and welfare state. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2111-2131 Issue: 16 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.558485 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.558485 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:16:p:2111-2131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Ignacio Gimenez-Nadal Author-X-Name-First: Jose Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Gimenez-Nadal Author-Name: Jose Alberto Molina Author-X-Name-First: Jose Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Molina Author-Name: Raquel Ortega Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Ortega Title: Self-employed mothers and the work-family conflict Abstract: We analyse how self-employed and employed mothers allocate their time throughout the day in order to balance their work and family responsibilities. To that end, we use time diary information from Spain, a country with a low level of women's participation in the labour market (Spanish Time Use Survey (STUS), 2002--2003). We find that self-employed mothers devote less time to market work, and more time to tertiary (e.g. sleeping, eating) and leisure activities, than employed mothers in a working day. We also find differences between employed and self-employed mothers in the timing of market work, child care and housework throughout the day, and we find complementarities between the timing of market work of working mothers and the timing of child care of their male partners. Our results on timing are consistent with the hypothesis that self-employment stands as a possible way for mothers to have greater control over the timing of work (flexible hours), and that they may therefore be able to work odd shifts, when the spouse is available to care for the children. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2133-2147 Issue: 17 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.558486 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.558486 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:17:p:2133-2147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Grund Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Grund Author-Name: Judith Przemeck Author-X-Name-First: Judith Author-X-Name-Last: Przemeck Title: Subjective performance appraisal and inequality aversion Abstract: Making use of a subjective performance appraisal system, it is a well-established fact that many supervisors tend to assess the employees too good (leniency bias) and that the appraisals hardly vary across employees of a certain supervisor (centrality bias). We explain these two biases in a simple theoretical model and discuss determinants of the size of the biases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2149-2155 Issue: 17 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.560109 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.560109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:17:p:2149-2155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nick Johnstone Author-X-Name-First: Nick Author-X-Name-Last: Johnstone Author-Name: Ivan Haščič Author-X-Name-First: Ivan Author-X-Name-Last: Haščič Author-Name: Julie Poirier Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Poirier Author-Name: Marion Hemar Author-X-Name-First: Marion Author-X-Name-Last: Hemar Author-Name: Christian Michel Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Michel Title: Environmental policy stringency and technological innovation: evidence from survey data and patent counts Abstract: This article uses patent data to examine the impact of public environmental policy on innovations in environment-related technology. The analysis is conducted using data on an unbalanced panel of 77 countries between 2001 and 2007, drawing upon data obtained from the European Patent Office (EPO) World Patent Statistical (PATSTAT) database and the World Economic Forum's (WEF) ‘Executive Opinion Survey’. The results support our hypotheses concerning the positive role of both general innovative capacity and environmental policy stringency on environment-related innovation. A subsequent two-stage model assesses the factors which drive innovation in general and uses the fitted values to estimate environmental innovation. While the analysis is conducted on a smaller sample, they confirm the findings of the reduced-form model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2157-2170 Issue: 17 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.560110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.560110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:17:p:2157-2170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laurent Granier Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Granier Author-Name: S颡stien Trinquard Author-X-Name-First: S颡stien Author-X-Name-Last: Trinquard Title: Predation in off-patent drug markets Abstract: In 2009, Sanofi-Aventis, whose generic subsidiary is Winthrop, merges with the generic firm, Zentiva. This article fills the gap in the theoretical literature concerning mergers in pharmaceutical markets. To prevent generic firms from increasing their market share, some brand-name firms produce generics themselves, called pseudo-generics. We develop a Cournot duopoly model by considering the pseudo-generics production as a mergers' catalyst. We show that a brand-name company always has an incentive to purchase its competitor. The key insight of this article is that the brand-name laboratory can increase its merger gain by producing pseudo-generics beforehand. In some cases, pseudo-generics would not otherwise be produced and this production is then a predatory strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2171-2186 Issue: 17 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.562169 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.562169 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:17:p:2171-2186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Declan Curran Author-X-Name-First: Declan Author-X-Name-Last: Curran Title: British regional growth and sectoral trends: global and local spatial econometric approaches Abstract: This article looks beneath the surface of British sub-regional aggregate Gross Value Added (GVA) growth over the period 1995 to 2007, by examining how the differing growth dynamics of the secondary and services sectors have influenced the overall regional growth process. A spatial econometric analysis is undertaken which tests regional secondary and services real GVA per capita for absolute and conditional convergence at the NUTS 3 level. Both local and global spatial analysis techniques are utilized in order to gain a detailed insight into the growth process over the period 1995 to 2007. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2187-2201 Issue: 17 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.562170 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.562170 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:17:p:2187-2201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raul Conejeros Author-X-Name-First: Raul Author-X-Name-Last: Conejeros Author-Name: Miguel Vargas Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Vargas Title: Segregation, exclusion and compensating transfers under a dynamic setting Abstract: Anas (2002) has shown that there exist equilibria with exclusion and the payments of economic transfers where whites and blacks are better off than in the case without them. Anas’ model is static so it does not consider important dynamics aspect of this phenomenon. Hence, we have developed a dynamic general equilibrium model of segregation. Our main findings are: there exists a path of transfers such as there is a dynamic equilibrium where whites and blacks are better off with exclusion and transfers; and higher levels of prejudices imply lower levels of aggregated utility. Finally, the effects of a prejudice shock can last between 2 and 30 years, hence policymakers must pay attention to sudden positive prejudice shocks in order to implement policies to reduce their consequences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2203-2215 Issue: 17 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.562171 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.562171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:17:p:2203-2215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge V. P鲥z-Rodr򍑥z Author-X-Name-First: Jorge V. Author-X-Name-Last: P鲥z-Rodr򍑥z Author-Name: Beatriz G. L. Valcarcel Author-X-Name-First: Beatriz G. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Valcarcel Title: Do product innovation and news about the R&D process produce large price changes and overreaction? The case of pharmaceutical stock prices Abstract: Do extreme price changes of pharmaceutical stocks reflect unexpected scientific information produced during the drug R&D process, especially the approval of new drugs, but also pre- and clinical trial results, recalls and withdrawals? Do stock prices initially overreact to such information? We modelled market-adjusted daily changes in stock prices of the 17 biggest pharmaceutical firms worldwide for the period from 1989 to 2008 to detect large price changes (outliers), using an Autoregressive Moving Average--Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARMA--GARCH) dynamic econometric model. Then, we matched those outliers with news produced during the drug R&D process, and tested the hypothesis of no overreaction by examining cumulative abnormal returns. Our results show that there were 261 abnormal market-adjusted daily returns. In 60% of the cases, we were able to assign a plausible cause; i.e. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approvals in 6% of these cases, news of a scientific nature in another 25%. Only 10 of 1721 FDA approvals of new drugs during the study period were related to abnormally large returns. The impact of negative news items on stock prices is larger than of positive news items. The overreaction hypothesis is rejected; there is no price backlash, therefore, the efficient market hypothesis is not violated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2217-2229 Issue: 17 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.562172 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.562172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:17:p:2217-2229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luke Byrne Willard Author-X-Name-First: Luke Byrne Author-X-Name-Last: Willard Title: Does inflation targeting matter? A reassessment Abstract: A number of countries have adopted the policy of inflation targeting and a substantial literature exists on the virtues of inflation targeting in reducing inflation (Bernanke et al., 1999). However, results in the existing empirical literature conflict. This article uses a number of identification approaches (instrumental variables, assumptions about heteroscedasticity, panel-fixed effects and a potential natural experiment) to estimate the effect of inflation targeting on inflation for a sample of Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. Generally, it finds that the effect is small and insignificant. It also finds little evidence that inflation variability, inflation uncertainty, inflation volatility or inflation expectations fall with targeting suggesting that inflation targeting does not affect a number of variables likely to be of interest to policy makers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2231-2244 Issue: 17 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564136 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564136 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:17:p:2231-2244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sylvia Brandt Author-X-Name-First: Sylvia Author-X-Name-Last: Brandt Author-Name: Sara Gale Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Gale Author-Name: Ira Tager Author-X-Name-First: Ira Author-X-Name-Last: Tager Title: The value of health interventions: evaluating asthma case management using matching Abstract: Despite large public investments in asthma interventions, there are few rigorous assessments of these programmes and little understanding of what comprises an effective intervention. There is a lack of appropriate data, little technical support is provided, and the programs themselves have little incentive to conduct these analyses. In this study, we apply optimal full matching using propensity scores to estimate the impact of an asthma intervention programme across a range of health outcomes. Our participation model is derived using the Deletion, Substitution and Addition (DSA) algorithm, a method used in epidemiology for model selection. We find that the asthma programme in question has no significant effect on participants that distinguishes them from matched nonparticipants, but it is not clear whether this is due to the effectiveness of the programme, heterogeneity of effects or barriers outside the programme's control. Our findings do show how current programmes could be modified to increase their effectiveness and better inform future research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2245-2263 Issue: 17 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564137 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:17:p:2245-2263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anita Alves Pena Author-X-Name-First: Anita Alves Author-X-Name-Last: Pena Title: Economies of scale and gender discrimination in transition: the case of the Republic of Tajikistan Abstract: This article tests for economies of scale and for evidence of discrimination based on gender lines in intra-household consumption allocations using data from the Living Standards Survey in the Republic of Tajikistan (TLSS). Overall results support the existence of household economies of scale in Tajikistan; however, empirical evidence supporting boy--girl discrimination is limited despite anecdotal evidence otherwise. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2265-2281 Issue: 18 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564138 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:18:p:2265-2281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Debra Dwyer Author-X-Name-First: Debra Author-X-Name-Last: Dwyer Author-Name: Hong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: John A. Rizzo Author-X-Name-First: John A. Author-X-Name-Last: Rizzo Title: Does patient trust promote better care? Abstract: Information asymmetries favouring the supplier in the production of good health have long been acknowledged as an anomaly in medical markets creating the potential for inefficiency. Such asymmetries may undermine the physician/patient relationship. And given these asymmetries, patient trust may play an important role in successful physician/patient relationships. This agency relationship has been studied for many years in the context of Fee-for-Service (FFS) reimbursement. But the market has changed considerably given the combination of an influx of information and the penetration of managed care - both of which have shifted some decision-making power away from the physician. An additional important factor in the physician/agency relationship that is also changing is patient trust. Where patient trust was implicit in the system with predicted positive effects on health outcomes when FFS was the norm, now trust itself is not a given, and its effect on the doctor--patient relationship may be evolving. We study how trust impacts patients’ perceptions about quality of care, and whether these relationships differ by health insurance type. We find that Health Maintenance Organization (HMO) patients have significantly lower trust in their primary care physicians than those with more traditional coverage. Using a multi-dimensional index of patients’ perceptions about the quality of care they receive from their physicians, we also find that trust has no significant effect on perceived quality for non-HMO patients, but significantly improves perceived outcomes for HMO patients. We conclude that trusting patients are more likely to have a better doctor-patient relationship than those who are skeptical in the HMO setting. Perhaps given lack of provider choice, it requires a level of trust in general to be compliant and satisfied with assigned physicians. In the non-HMO setting where consumers are now armed with more information and free to make choices, trust becomes less important. These results have implications for how decisions are made in the market for health services we face today and ultimately for public health policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2283-2295 Issue: 18 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564139 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564139 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:18:p:2283-2295 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Bolli Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Bolli Author-Name: Mathias Zurlinden Author-X-Name-First: Mathias Author-X-Name-Last: Zurlinden Title: Measurement of labour quality growth caused by unobservable characteristics Abstract: The standard economy-wide indices of labour quality (or human capital) largely ignore the role of unobservable worker characteristics. In this article, we develop a methodology for identifying the contributions of both observable and unobservable worker characteristics in the presence of the incidental parameter problem. Based on data for Switzerland over the period 1991 to 2006, we find that a large part of growth in labour quality is caused by shifts in the distribution of unobservable worker characteristics. The overall index differs little from the standard indices, but contributions to growth attributed to education and age are corrected downwards. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2297-2308 Issue: 18 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564140 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564140 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:18:p:2297-2308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gil Aharoni Author-X-Name-First: Gil Author-X-Name-Last: Aharoni Author-Name: Oded H. Sarig Author-X-Name-First: Oded H. Author-X-Name-Last: Sarig Title: Hot hands and equilibrium Abstract: Past literature suggests that success rates in professional basketball are independent of past performance and this has been interpreted as evidence that the commonly shared belief in Hot Hands (HH) is a cognitive illusion. This is often cited as evidence of biased decision making, even when financial stakes are high. We argue that this interpretation ignores changes in both teams’ behaviour after the detection of an HH player. We derive testable hypotheses that differentiate between HH as a real phenomenon and a cognitive illusion. Analysing an entire NBA season, our results are consistent with HH being a real phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2309-2320 Issue: 18 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564141 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:18:p:2309-2320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lusine Lusinyan Author-X-Name-First: Lusine Author-X-Name-Last: Lusinyan Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The intertemporal relation between government revenue and expenditure in the United Kingdom, 1750 to 2004 Abstract: We examine the intertemporal relation between government revenue and expenditure in the UK during 1750 to 2004. We pay particular attention to long run trends by applying a battery of unit root and cointegration techniques to the data, and we use a modified Granger causality test on data spans organized around structural breaks in the series. The results suggest that, allowing for structural breaks, UK real revenue and spending are I(1) series and cointegrated and that Granger causality runs from government spending to revenue. As such, the ‘spend-tax’ hypothesis appears to best characterize the long run intertemporal relation between government revenue and spending in the UK. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2321-2333 Issue: 18 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564142 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:18:p:2321-2333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Vera Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Vera Title: How responsive are banks to monetary policy? Abstract: I provide evidence that the response of commercial banks’ loans to monetary policy shocks in the US has changed. In particular, using bank data from the period 1959 to 2007, I show that the effect of monetary policy shocks on banks’ credit has significantly decreased over time. My results contrast significantly with previous finding in the literature (Bernanke and Blinder, 1992). As potential explanations to the lower effect of monetary shocks, I describe some of the changes in bank regulation that triggered bank consolidation and changes in the bank-size distribution, as well as changes in the banks’ portfolio towards an increasing share of real estate loans. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2335-2346 Issue: 18 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564143 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564143 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:18:p:2335-2346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harry Bloch Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Bloch Author-Name: Patricia Fraser Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Fraser Author-Name: Garry MacDonald Author-X-Name-First: Garry Author-X-Name-Last: MacDonald Title: Commodity prices: how important are real and nominal shocks? Abstract: We consider the response of both nominal and real commodity prices on world markets to real and nominal shocks by hypothesizing that nominal shocks can permanently affect nominal commodity prices, but can have only temporary effects on real commodity prices. Real shocks, in contrast, can have permanent as well as temporary effects on both nominal and real commodity prices. When nominal and real shocks are decomposed in this manner, real shocks are found to be of much greater importance to the observed movements in commodity prices. We use the Blanchard and Quah (BQ, 1989) decomposition to obtain the permanent and temporary components of the real commodity price series and relate this to the rate of growth of world industrial production as an indicator of business cycle movements. The results suggest that the impact of the business cycle is self-stabilizing in that there is an initial positive effect on growth in commodity prices followed by a fully offsetting negative effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2347-2357 Issue: 18 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564144 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564144 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:18:p:2347-2357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric C. Y. Ng Author-X-Name-First: Eric C. Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Ng Title: What determines productivity performance of telecommunications services industry? A cross-country analysis Abstract: This article investigates the key factors that determine the productivity performance of telecommunications services industry. A simple theoretical model is used to illustrate that the Total Factor Productivity (TFP) growth is attributable to the effects of scale economies, market competition and technical change. We then examine empirically the effect of various factors on the TFP growth in the industry using panel data in 12 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries for the period 1983 through 2003. The empirical results are consistent with the theoretical prediction. A new finding in this article is that higher machinery and equipment (M&E) capital intensity and human capital contribute to higher TFP growth in the telecommunications services industry. The decomposition analysis also suggests that technical change induced by changes in M&E capital intensity and human capital are important sources of productivity performance in the industry across the OECD countries, contributing to about 20--50% and 2--7% of TFP growth, respectively. These findings highlight the importance of improving the conditions for M&E capital investment and the quality of human capital, which in turn could facilitate the adoption of new technologies and enhance the productivity in the industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2359-2372 Issue: 18 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564145 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564145 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:18:p:2359-2372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donghyun Oh Author-X-Name-First: Donghyun Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Almas Heshmati Author-X-Name-First: Almas Author-X-Name-Last: Heshmati Author-Name: Hans Lööf Author-X-Name-First: Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Lööf Title: Technical change and total factor productivity growth for Swedish manufacturing and service industries Abstract: This article presents alternative specifications of the production functions of a large panel of Swedish firms for the period 1992 to 2000. The period can be characterized as a transition when long-run productivity growth in the Swedish economy improved from being among the weakest to one of the strongest within the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). In order to present a detailed exploration of this dramatic change, the time trend and general index models are applied to estimate Total Factor Productivity (TFP) growth, rate of technical change and returns to scale. The models are extended to allow for firm specific as well as time-varying technical change. The parametric TFP measures are also compared with the nonparametric Solow residual, and several hypotheses are tested to explain the growth patterns in the Swedish economy. It is found that the improved growth rate, initially starting in large exporting manufacturing firms, after a deep economic crisis at the beginning of the 1990s, spilled over to the rest of the economy, both manufacturing and services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2373-2391 Issue: 18 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564147 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:18:p:2373-2391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Salvino Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Salvino Author-Name: Michael T. Tasto Author-X-Name-First: Michael T. Author-X-Name-Last: Tasto Author-Name: Geoffrey K. Turnbull Author-X-Name-First: Geoffrey K. Author-X-Name-Last: Turnbull Title: A direct test of direct democracy: New England town meetings Abstract: Representative democracies govern most locales in the US, making it difficult to compare performance relative to direct democracy. New England states, however, provide an opportunity to test both direct and representative democracy at the local level. This article uses revealed preference axioms to compare spending patterns in New England towns and cities against median voter hypothesis benchmarks. Contrary to previous evidence, we find no differences between direct and representative democracy. The results suggest that horizontal competition arising from local fragmentation minimize differences between direct and representative local government, providing support for wider applicability of median voter-based empirical models of local government behaviour in the US. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2393-2402 Issue: 18 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564148 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564148 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:18:p:2393-2402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wolfgang Franz Author-X-Name-First: Wolfgang Author-X-Name-Last: Franz Author-Name: Nicole Guertzgen Author-X-Name-First: Nicole Author-X-Name-Last: Guertzgen Author-Name: Stefanie Schubert Author-X-Name-First: Stefanie Author-X-Name-Last: Schubert Author-Name: Markus Clauss Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Clauss Title: Assessing the employment effects of the German welfare reform -- an integrated CGE-microsimulation approach Abstract: The purpose of this article is to quantify the employment effects of the recent German welfare reform. The key element of this reform was to merge the coexisting transfer systems Social Assistance (SA) and Unemployment Assistance (UA) into one unified benefit (Arbeitslosengeld II -- ALG II). We also consider a second reform scenario that is intended to further improve the labour supply incentives of low-skilled workers. Our methodological contribution is to use an integrated CGE-microsimulation model. In adopting such an approach, we are able to combine the advantages of microsimulation studies by accounting for the large amount of heterogeneity in terms of households’ preferences and budget constraints with the advantages of an applied general equilibrium model. The latter permits us to identify potential general equilibrium repercussions through changes in wages and unemployment. The simulations indicate that the introduction of ALG II results in a negligible increase in employment of only 45 000 individuals. In contrast, a cut in benefit levels combined with a decrease in transfer withdrawal is shown to produce somewhat larger employment effects of about 190 000 individuals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2403-2421 Issue: 19 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564149 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564149 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:19:p:2403-2421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David A. Savage Author-X-Name-First: David A. Author-X-Name-Last: Savage Author-Name: Benno Torgler Author-X-Name-First: Benno Author-X-Name-Last: Torgler Title: Nerves of steel? Stress, work performance and elite athletes Abstract: There is a notable shortage of empirical research directed at measuring the magnitude and direction of stress effects on performance in a controlled environment. One reason for this is the inherent difficulties in identifying and isolating direct performance measures for individuals. Additionally, most traditional work environments contain a multitude of exogenous factors impacting individual performance, but controlling for all such factors is generally unfeasible (omitted variable bias). Moreover, instead of asking individuals about their self-reported stress levels, we observe workers’ behaviour in situations that can be classified as stressful. For this reason, we have stepped outside the traditional workplace in an attempt to gain greater controllability of these factors using the sports environment as our experimental space. We empirically investigate the relationship between stress and performance, in an extreme pressure situation (football penalty kicks) in a winner take all sporting environment (FIFA World Cup and UEFA European Cup competitions). Specifically, we examine all the penalty shootouts between 1976 and 2008 covering in total 16 events. The results indicate that extreme stressors can have a positive or negative impact on individuals’ performance. On the other hand, more commonly experienced stressors do not affect professionals’ performances. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2423-2435 Issue: 19 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564150 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564150 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:19:p:2423-2435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Chung Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The impact of military technology transfer on economic growth: international evidence Abstract: The purpose of this article is to measure the impact of military technology transfer on economic growth for 67 selected countries during the period 2000 to 2005 through the application of the Malmquist productivity index, which is broken down into efficiency change and technical change. Our main findings are as follows. First, technology diffusion is all-pervading in half of the sampled countries due to pure efficiency and scale efficiency changes. Second, a higher-income level and an excess of arms imports lead to innovative activities. Third, middle-income countries have higher efficiency and pure efficiency changes; these contribute to higher total productivity change. Finally, after separating the impact of capital investment from that of arms imports, the diffusion of military technology has a more positive and substantial impact on economic growth, thereby revealing the presence of externalities between countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2437-2449 Issue: 19 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564152 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564152 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:19:p:2437-2449 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew W. Hobbs Author-X-Name-First: Andrew W. Author-X-Name-Last: Hobbs Author-Name: Kenneth P. Jameson Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth P. Author-X-Name-Last: Jameson Title: Measuring the effect of bi-directional migration remittances on poverty and inequality in Nicaragua Abstract: This article examines the impact of migrants’ remittances on poverty and income distribution in Nicaragua. Nicaraguan emigrants are fairly evenly distributed between the US and Costa Rica. Poorer migrants overwhelmingly migrate to Costa Rica; richer migrants favour the US. This bi-directional flow provides an opportunity to examine the distributional impacts of remittances in a situation that offers distinct opportunities to different groups of prospective migrants. To this end, we use Heckman's (1979) sample selection method to predict counterfactual ‘no-migration’ consumption figures for Nicaraguan households whose members have emigrated. Using these estimates, we are able to compare the current situation to one in which migration had not occurred. We find that migration to Costa Rica results in increased per capita household consumption for poor households, while migration to the US leads to increase in middle class households. The rate, depth and severity of poverty as measured by the Foster, Greer, Thorbecke Indices (Foster et al., 1984) decrease, though only slightly. However, inequality appears to increase, likely because the middle class benefits from US migration, while the poor tend to make it no farther than Costa Rica. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2451-2460 Issue: 19 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564153 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564153 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:19:p:2451-2460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Docherty Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Docherty Author-Name: Steve Easton Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Easton Title: Market efficiency and continuous information arrival: evidence from prediction markets Abstract: Two regularities in financial economics are that prices underreact to news events and that they display short term momentum. This article tests for the presence of these regularities in prediction markets offered by the betting exchange Betfair on the 2008 Ryder Cup Golf Competition. Betfair offered in play prediction markets on the individual match play pairings and on the Cup result, with trading being virtually continuous in all markets. Modelled probabilities of the Cup result were updated continuously using trades in the individual match play pairings. These probabilities were then compared with the probabilities of the Cup result implied by odds in that market. The odds in the market for the Cup result underreact to both good and bad news that is provided by changes in the odds in the markets for the individual pairings. Further, these modelled probabilities Granger cause changes in the probabilities of the Cup result implied by odds in the market on that outcome. In addition, economically and statistically significant evidence of momentum is found in the odds in the market on the Cup result. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2461-2471 Issue: 19 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564154 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564154 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:19:p:2461-2471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Rosell-Martinez Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Rosell-Martinez Author-Name: P. Sanchez-Sellero Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez-Sellero Title: Foreign direct investment and technical progress in Spanish manufacturing Abstract: This article analyses the effects of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on technical progress in Spanish manufacturing. Particularly, we study how FDI's contributions vary depending on the economic structure of the industry. The results show that most FDI goes to capital-intensive sectors, especially when those sectors are also Research and Development (R&D)-intensive. Our estimates of the Solow residual show that the positive effect of contemporaneous and lagged FDI on manufacturing productivity is only attributable to capital and R&D intensive industries in what seems to be related to a dynamic capabilities explanation or to complementarities with R&D expenditures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2473-2489 Issue: 19 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564155 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564155 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:19:p:2473-2489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tino Berger Author-X-Name-First: Tino Author-X-Name-Last: Berger Title: The dynamics of short- and long-run capital mobility: evidence from a time-varying parameter error-correction model Abstract: This article analyses the dynamic evolution of capital mobility in eight Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries over the period 1850 to 1992. We estimate an error-correction model of saving and investment that allows to distinguish between short- and long-run capital mobility. The parameters of the error-correction model are allowed to be time-vary ing and are estimated using the Kalman filter and maximum likelihood technique. We find that both short- and long-run capital mobility was very high at the end of the nineteenth century but since then decreased in most countries. However, the magnitude of changes in long-run capital mobility is very small while the absolute change of short-run capital mobility is substantial. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2491-2498 Issue: 19 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564352 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564352 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:19:p:2491-2498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ren頍orissette Author-X-Name-First: Ren頍 Author-X-Name-Last: Morissette Author-Name: Yuqian Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yuqian Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Feng Hou Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Title: Marriage, cohabitation and women's response to changes in the male wage structure Abstract: Using microdata and grouped data that cover the period 1996 to 2006, we assess the extent to which cohabiting women adjust their labour supply to a lesser extent, if any, than married women in response to changes in male wages. Both microdata regressions and grouping estimators unambiguously indicate that cohabiting women respond less to variation in male wages than married women. However, the magnitude of the difference is not sizeable. We also assess the magnitude of married men's and cohabiting men's own wage elasticities and find that they do not differ much. Combined with the fact that male earnings account for roughly two-thirds of family earnings, these two findings explain why the impact of changes in male wages on family earnings is very similar for married couples and cohabiting couples: in both cases, a 10% decline in male wages appears to induce roughly a 6% drop in family earnings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2499-2516 Issue: 19 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566180 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:19:p:2499-2516 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandro Corsi Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Corsi Author-Name: Cristina Salvioni Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Salvioni Title: Off- and on-farm labour participation in Italian farm households Abstract: Most farms are family business, both in developed and developing countries. Labour allocation choices of farm household members are therefore relevant both for production choices in the farm and for rural labour markets. In particular, off-farm work and combination of on- and off-farm work (pluriactivity) are viewed as an efficient allocation of household labour resources. Moreover, labour choice of the children of the farm household is relevant for farm succession. In this article, we extend previous literature by estimating in an unified framework labour participation choices both for on- and off-farm work for operators, spouses and their eldest children in working age, using a five equation multivariate probit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2517-2526 Issue: 19 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566181 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:19:p:2517-2526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kuo S. Huang Author-X-Name-First: Kuo S. Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Sophia Wu Huang Author-X-Name-First: Sophia Wu Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Consumer welfare effects of increased food and energy prices Abstract: In this study, the authors evaluated how much price changes in food and energy -- two basic living expenditures competing for consumers’ budgets -- would affect consumer welfare. We first estimated a US complete demand system to quantify the interdependent demand relationships among 11 categories of consumption expenditures. Among the estimates, the own price elasticities of both food and energy are relatively inelastic, a finding that explains the dynamics of the recent soaring food and energy prices. The estimated demand elasticities were then incorporated into the measurement of Hicksian compensating variation to analyse the consumer welfare effects of price changes in food and energy. The results indicated that an increase in food and energy prices would increase compensated expenditures or incur a substantial consumer welfare loss, creating an especially heavy burden for low income households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2527-2536 Issue: 19 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566182 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:19:p:2527-2536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Author-Name: Michael Grimm Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Grimm Title: Does foreign aid increase private investment? Evidence from panel cointegration Abstract: This article uses panel cointegration and causality techniques to examine the long run relationship between foreign aid and private investment. Our main result is that aid has a statistically significant negative effect on private investment. This result is robust to outliers, different measures and forms of aid, sample selection and the sample period. In addition, we find that long run causality runs in both directions, suggesting that an increase in aid reduces private investment and that, in turn, higher private investment leads to lower aid inflows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2537-2550 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566183 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2537-2550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aekapol Chongvilaivan Author-X-Name-First: Aekapol Author-X-Name-Last: Chongvilaivan Title: Learning by exporting and high-tech capital deepening in Singapore manufacturing industries, 1974--2006 Abstract: A number of fundamental factors enhance the growth of industries’ productivity. Among others, the export-led and high-tech capital deepening strategies are widely adopted by developing economies. This article attempts to empirically investigate the extent to which both industrial development policies affect the Total Factor Productivity Growth (TFPG) in Singapore manufacturing industries during the period from 1974 to 2006. Using the panel data estimations, I find that both development strategies bring about TFPG via nonneutral technological growth, and the former more largely explains TFPG than does the latter. This study captures the measure of learning by exporting by the lagged export intensity and therefore contributes to the literature, in which only the case of whether or not firms are active in export markets is conventionally employed. Methodologically, my main contributions are a more detailed treatment of (nonneutral) technological changes, and an alternative measure of export intensity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2551-2568 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566184 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2551-2568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yui Suzuki Author-X-Name-First: Yui Author-X-Name-Last: Suzuki Title: Binding constraint on economic growth under export-oriented industrialization and globalization Abstract: The two-gap model of economic growth implies that different constraints on economic growth, namely the savings and the foreign exchange availability, are binding at different times. This article estimates these varying binding constraints in 16 countries in East and Southeast Asia and Latin America, and explores their differences across countries, regions and periods. I show that the East and Southeast Asian countries, which are recognized to be successful in export-oriented industrialization, are less constrained by the foreign exchange availability with reinforced export capacity than the Latin American countries, which had carried some inertia of import substituting industrialization policy until the 1980s. In addition, the economic growth turns out to be more constrained by the domestic savings in recent years, which can be a reflection of capital account liberalization policies typically implemented in the late 1980s and 1990s, and/or a diminishing return to export-led growth. In either case, this might be a factor underlining the recent reconsideration of export-oriented development strategy to balance past excessive dependence on the external demand in several countries in East and Southeast Asia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2569-2576 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566185 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566185 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2569-2576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fiona Tregenna Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Tregenna Title: What are the distributional implications of halving poverty in South Africa when growth alone is not enough? Abstract: The United Nations Millennium Declaration commits to halving extreme poverty between 2000 and 2015. The South African government has set a goal of halving poverty by 2014, although the meaning of this goal has not yet been defined. This article frames government's stated target of halving poverty by 2014 in terms of specific measures of the poverty gap and poverty headcount ratio, using income and expenditure survey microdata. With the poverty line as defined here, approximately half the South African population falls below the poverty line. Despite this, the aggregate poverty gap is surprisingly small at about 3% of gross domestic product. Projections of poverty in 2014 under various growth scenarios indicate that growth alone will be insufficient to halve poverty by then, and that any worsening of distribution will put the target of halving poverty by 2014 far beyond reach. However, projections of the effects of a range of growth and distributional scenarios on poverty, using a new method for simulating pro-poor distributional change, indicate that halving poverty appears feasible with moderate growth rates and fairly mild pro-poor distributional change. The results are indicative as to the scale of distributional changes necessary to halve poverty under various growth scenarios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2577-2596 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566186 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566186 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2577-2596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Myeong Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myeong Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Nodir Adilov Author-X-Name-First: Nodir Author-X-Name-Last: Adilov Title: The lesser of two evils: an empirical investigation of foreign direct investment-pollution tradeoff Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and pollution measured by carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. The results suggest that while lax environmental regulations might attract FDI, the foreign companies utilize less polluting technology as compared to local firms in low-income countries. Thus, FDI does not necessarily increase pollution levels in the host countries. The findings, therefore, simultaneously support the pollution haven and the pollution halo hypotheses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2597-2606 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566187 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2597-2606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge E. Araña Author-X-Name-First: Jorge E. Author-X-Name-Last: Araña Author-Name: Carmelo J. León Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo J. Author-X-Name-Last: León Title: Scale-perception bias in the valuation of environmental risks Abstract: The valuation of environmental risks is commonly approached with the utilization of stated preference methods such as contingent valuation. In these methods, money is utilized as the scale that reflects the individual's underlying utility function. However, this scale can vary across individuals due to different perceptions on what are the right or appropriate bounds for Willingness To Pay (WTP). In this article, we test for scale-perception bias and propose a correction method based on the utilization of anchoring vignettes that define different degrees of preference for the nonmarket good. The proposed method is applied to study the commonly found anomaly ‘probability neglect’, which is defined by the insensitivity to the probability levels in the valuation of environmental risks. The results show that probability neglect disappears when WTP responses are corrected for self-perception bias through the utilization of the anchoring vignettes approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2607-2617 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566188 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566188 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2607-2617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yeşim Kuştepeli Author-X-Name-First: Yeşim Author-X-Name-Last: Kuştepeli Author-Name: Yaprak Gülcan Author-X-Name-First: Yaprak Author-X-Name-Last: Gülcan Author-Name: Sedef Akgüngör Author-X-Name-First: Sedef Author-X-Name-Last: Akgüngör Title: Transportation infrastructure investment, growth and international trade in Turkey Abstract: Investment in transportation infrastructure facilitate the movement of the goods; leading to higher standards of living for the people of the whole globe. Although infrastructure is indispensable to achieve the main development targets in developing countries, such as urbanization, industrialization and sustainable economic development (Kim, 2006), the relationship between infrastructure expenditures, economic growth and international trade is inconclusive. The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of investment on highway infrastructure on international trade and economic growth in Turkey for the period of 1970 to 2005. The empirical results from causality and cointegration analysis suggest only a very weak short run effect of share of exports in Gross National Product (GNP) on highway transportation expenditures but no long run relationships between highway infrastructure expenditures, economic growth and international trade in Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2619-2629 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566189 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2619-2629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ali Choudhary Author-X-Name-First: M. Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhary Author-Name: Adnan Haider Author-X-Name-First: Adnan Author-X-Name-Last: Haider Title: Neural network models for inflation forecasting: an appraisal Abstract: We assess the power of diverse Artificial Neural-Network (ANN) models as forecasting tools for monthly inflation rates for 28 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. In the context of short out-of-sample forecasting horizon we find that, on average, the ANN models were a superior predictor for inflation for 45% while the Autoregressive model of order one (AR1) model performed better for 23% of the countries. Furthermore, we develop arithmetic combinations of several ANN models and find that these may also serve as credible tools for forecasting inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2631-2635 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566190 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566190 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2631-2635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jürgen Antony Author-X-Name-First: Jürgen Author-X-Name-Last: Antony Author-Name: Thomas Grebel Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Grebel Title: Technology flows between sectors and their impact on large-scale firms Abstract: In this article we highlight the importance of technology flows between sectors and their impact on the labour productivity of large-scale corporations. Based on theoretical considerations, we explore technological spillovers between the sectors of an economy. Large-scale corporations usually focus on certain sectors but make use of a wide range of technological knowledge from other sectors. Thereby, technological knowledge built up in sectors by continuous R&D activities does not spill over without bounds but is directed by firms’ absorptive capacities. We use firms’ patent portfolio to empirically calculate the sector affiliation and therewith the firms’ absorptive capacities in order to estimate the impact of technology diffusion on labour productivity. Fortune 500 firms serve as data base. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2637-2651 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566191 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566191 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2637-2651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nick Drydakis Author-X-Name-First: Nick Author-X-Name-Last: Drydakis Title: Sexual orientation and labour relations: new evidence from Athens, Greece Abstract: We use data from the 2008--2009 Athens Area Study (AAS) to provide the first evidence on the relationship between men's sexual orientation and wages in the Greek capital, Athens. Gay and bisexual men are found to receive significantly lower monthly wages than heterosexual male workers after accounting for demographic and occupational characteristics. The estimations reveal that educated gay and bisexual workers face lower wage differentials than less-educated gay and bisexual workers, which is consistent with the statistical theory of discrimination. However, wage gaps are significant at all educational attainment levels, suggesting that these workers face strong prejudices in the Athenian labour market. The same pattern holds also across all occupations and sectors. Furthermore, to better understand the determinants of the wage gaps, we compare gay/bisexual men with both married and unmarried heterosexual men. By making these comparisons, we are able to disentangle the penalty associated with being unmarried from other human-capital explanations for the wage gap. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2653-2665 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566194 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2653-2665 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oluyemisi Kuku Author-X-Name-First: Oluyemisi Author-X-Name-Last: Kuku Author-Name: Steven Garasky Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Garasky Author-Name: Craig Gundersen Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Gundersen Title: The relationship between childhood obesity and food insecurity: a nonparametric analysis Abstract: Childhood obesity and food insecurity are major public health concerns in the United States and other developed countries. Research on the relationship between the two has provided mixed results across a variety of data sets and empirical methods. Common throughout this research, however, is the use of parametric frameworks for empirical analyses. This study moves beyond parametric methods by examining the relationship between childhood obesity and food insecurity among low-income children with nonparametric regression techniques. We examine data from the Child Development Supplement (CDS) of the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID), a nationally representative data set from the US. Consistent with recent work, our parametric analyses indicate that there is no statistically significant relationship between childhood obesity and food insecurity. In contrast, our nonparametric results indicate that the probability of being obese varies markedly with the level of food insecurity being experienced by the child. Moreover, this relationship differs across relevant subgroups including those defined by gender, race/ethnicity and income. Fully understanding the relationship between childhood obesity and food insecurity has significant policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2667-2677 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566192 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2667-2677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kishor Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Kishor Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Pemasiri J. Gunawardana Author-X-Name-First: Pemasiri J. Author-X-Name-Last: Gunawardana Title: The role of price and nonprice factors in predicting Australia's trade performance Abstract: This article investigates the role of price and nonprice factors in predicting Australia's trade performance. Results broadly suggest that Australia's trade performance is largely explained by the nonprice factors namely, R&D, reliability of domestic supply, aggregate world demand and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows in long run. Price factors such as, relative price of Australian exports and domestic prices are also important predictors of trade competitiveness. The policy implications of these findings are that there are dividends in terms of improved trade performance by encouraging R&D expenditure, attracting FDI, improving domestic supply and implementing appropriate policies to improve price competitiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2679-2686 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566193 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2679-2686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mar𨀠 Bel鮠Lozano Author-X-Name-First: Mar𨀠 Bel鮠 Author-X-Name-Last: Lozano Title: Analysing the effect of excess cash accumulation on financial decisions Abstract: In this current moment of crisis it is very important for firms to hold a suitable amount of cash. But it is also very important to analyse how this amount of cash affects firm value. Here an in-depth study is made of the determination of firm value centring our attention on the problem of excess cash accumulation. This article adds important value to the existing literature since, employing the panel data methodology in the sample of Spanish nonfinancial firms, it identifies whether excess cash holding affects firm value in general, and investment, financing and dividend decisions in particular. The results show how asymmetric information among the economic agents of the firm affects the cash reserves. In particular, shareholders could penalize the investment made by these firms and consider the positive effect that the debt in particular and the dividend policies exert on the firm. Moreover, the results reveal the importance of financial flexibility as opposed to the arguments provided by agency theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2687-2698 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566195 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566195 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2687-2698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaobo Wu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaobo Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Yanbin Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yanbin Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Sectoral role change in transition China: a network analysis from 1990 to 2005 Abstract: In this article, by using the data collected from input--output table, we conduct a detailed investigation on the evolution pattern during economy development of China from 1990 to 2005. By using network analysis at national, cluster and individual level, we find some interesting insights, also in order to identify the difference between cluster levels, we proposed a cluster centralization method to analyse the role of the cluster in the network. This study shows that during the transition process of China, there exist some similarity and differences in each selected time. Each period studied have some similar distributions of key sectors, including the cores, i.e. chemical industry, nonmetallic mineral products, construction, business. However, significant differences also exists, for example, the 2005 system is characterized as higher degrees of systemic connection and hierarchy, while the 1990s system has looser density and less centralization. Additionally, the high tech clusters (i.e. electronics and instruments) including high tech industry (i.e. electronics and telecommunications equipment manufacturers) has played a much more important role in 2005 than that in early 1990s. Also the high tech cluster and service cluster have contributed a lot to the transition and development of the whole country, the results also confirm that some theory concluded from developed country can also applied to developing economies such as China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2699-2715 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566196 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2699-2715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong-wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hong-wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Wei-guo Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wei-guo Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Jie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Urban--rural income disparities and development in a panel data set of China for the period from 1978 to 2006 Abstract: We examine the relationship between urban--rural income disparities and development in a panel data set of 30 provinces and regional subsets of China during the period of 1978 to 2006. There is an inverted-U relationship between the urban--rural income gap and per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Financial development by scale widens the urban--rural income gap in all regional samples, while financial sector efficiency and rural bank loans may reduce it in some regions. Government spending raises the urban--rural income gap as well. We also examine the effects of urbanization, openness and education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2717-2728 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566197 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2717-2728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Yau Man Ze-To Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Yau Man Author-X-Name-Last: Ze-To Title: Estimating value-at-risk under a Heath--Jarrow--Morton framework with jump Abstract: This article proposes a new methodology for measuring Value-at-Risk (hereafter VaR) using a model that incorporates both volatility and jumps. Heath--Jarrow--Morton (HJM) model has been used for the valuation of interest rate derivatives. This study extends the use of HJM model to the estimation VaR. This article specifically uses a two-factor HJM jump-diffusion model for the computation. The study models the Eurodollar futures prices using its derivatives. In addition, this article uses a new volatility specification of Ze-To (2002) to construct the HJM dynamics. The result indicates that the VaR model using HJM jump-diffusion framework performs well in capturing the nonnormality and in providing accurate VaR forecasts in the in-sample and out-sample tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2729-2741 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566198 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566198 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2729-2741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Engelbert Stockhammer Author-X-Name-First: Engelbert Author-X-Name-Last: Stockhammer Author-Name: Simon Sturn Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sturn Title: The impact of monetary policy on unemployment hysteresis Abstract: This article investigates the hypothesis that the extent to which hysteresis occurs in the aftermath of recessions depends on monetary policy reactions. The degree of hysteresis is explained econometrically by the extent of monetary easing during a recession and by standard variables for labour market institutions in a pooled cross country analysis using quarterly data. The sample includes 40 recessions in 19 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries for which the required data is available. The time period lasts for the period from 1980 to 2007. This article builds on Ball (1999) and extends the sample of countries, the time period under investigation and the set of control variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2743-2756 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566199 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566199 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2743-2756 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Christoph Ruelke Author-X-Name-First: Jan Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Ruelke Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Author-Name: Georg Stadtmann Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Stadtmann Title: On the internal consistency of short-term, medium-term and long-term oil price forecasts Abstract: We derive internal consistency restrictions on short-, medium- and long-term oil price forecasts. We then analyse whether oil price forecasts extracted from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) conducted by the European Central Bank (ECB) satisfy these internal consistency restrictions. We find that neither short-term forecasts are consistent with medium-term forecasts nor that medium-term forecasts are consistent with long-term forecasts. Using a more complex expectation formation structure featuring a distributed lag structure, however, we find stronger evidence of internal consistency of medium-term forecasts with long-term forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2757-2765 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566201 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566201 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2757-2765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Piracha Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Piracha Author-Name: Y. Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Precautionary savings by natives and immigrants in Germany Abstract: This article analyses the savings behaviour of natives and immigrants in Germany. It is argued that uncertainty about future income and legal status (in case of immigrants) is a key component in the determination of the level of precautionary savings. Using the German dataset, we exploit a natural experiment arising from a change in the nationality law in Germany to estimate the importance of precautionary savings. Using a Difference-in-Differences (DiD) approach, we find a significant reduction in savings and remittances for immigrants after the easing of citizenship requirements, compared to the pre-reform period. Our parametric specification shows that introduction of the new nationality law reduces the gap in marginal propensity to save between natives and immigrants by up to 80%. These findings suggest that many of the differences in terms of the savings behaviour between natives and immigrants are driven by the savings arising from the uncertainties about future income and legal status rather than cultural differences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2767-2776 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566202 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566202 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2767-2776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David E. Bloom Author-X-Name-First: David E. Author-X-Name-Last: Bloom Author-Name: David Canning Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Canning Author-Name: Erica S. Shenoy Author-X-Name-First: Erica S. Author-X-Name-Last: Shenoy Title: The effect of vaccination on children's physical and cognitive development in the Philippines Abstract: We use data from the Cebu Longitudinal Health and Nutrition Survey (CLHNS) in the Philippines to link vaccination in the first 2 years of life with later physical and cognitive development in children. We use propensity score matching to estimate the causal effect of vaccination on child development. We find no effect of vaccination on later height or weight, but full childhood vaccination for measles, polio, Tuberculosis (TB), Diphtheria, Pertussis and Tetanus (DPT) significantly increases cognitive test scores relative to matched children who received no vaccinations. The size of the effect is large, raising test scores, on average, by about half an SD. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2777-2783 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566203 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2777-2783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Themis Kokolakakis Author-X-Name-First: Themis Author-X-Name-Last: Kokolakakis Author-Name: Fernando Lera-López Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Lera-López Author-Name: Thanos Panagouleas Author-X-Name-First: Thanos Author-X-Name-Last: Panagouleas Title: Analysis of the determinants of sports participation in Spain and England Abstract: This article investigates the role of sociodemographic characteristics, educational and economic variables on sports participation in a comparative way in two European countries: Spain and England. Adopting a broad concept of sport, as in the common European approach, we analyse the determinants of sports participation in 40 different professional and nonprofessional sports and recreational activities in both countries. The research involves a comparative analysis between the data of England and Spain based on two logistic regressions. The regression equation of every country tests the effect of 17 binary explanatory variables on a dependent binary variable for participation. Higher education level, professional occupation, younger age and being male are all factors associated with more sports participation. Although there is no difference in the direction of the factor effects on participation between England and Spain, there is considerable variation in their relative strength, which has sport policy implications in the two nations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2785-2798 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566204 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566204 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2785-2798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantinos Drakos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Drakos Title: Extent and intensity of investment with multiple capital goods Abstract: Overall investment is the product of the number of capital goods for which triggering has occurred (the extensive or reductive margin) and the depth of investment per capital good (intensive margin). Based on a longitudinal plant-level data and using dynamic panel techniques we investigated the validity of the hypothesis that the intensity of investment increases as its extent increases. Our results indicate a strong linkage between the extent and intensity of investment decisions, finding which holds both for positive and negative investment decisions. This linkage suggests that the decision on how many capital types to initiate investment is closely connected to the decision regarding the depth of investment expenditures. Moreover, the intensity--extent derivative remains positive but its magnitude decreases with plant size, providing indirect evidence for higher complementarity between capital types for smaller plants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2799-2810 Issue: 22 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:22:p:2799-2810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Jarl Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Jarl Author-Name: U.-G. Gerdtham Author-X-Name-First: U.-G. Author-X-Name-Last: Gerdtham Title: Does drinking affect long-term sickness absence? A sample selection approach correcting for employment and accounting for drinking history Abstract: This article studies the effect of alcohol consumption on the probability of long-term sickness-related absenteeism for women. Using Swedish matched survey and register data, we apply sample selection models to correct for nonrandom sampling into paid employment. There are three main findings of the study. First, diverging from the most prevalent consumption group (long-term light drinkers) is associated with an increased probability of long-term sickness, ranging from 10% for long-term heavy drinkers to 18% for former drinkers. Second, controlling for former consumption errors (especially former drinker and former abstainer errors) and sample selection into employment are important for unbiased, consistent estimations. Third, by predicting the effect of changes in consumption on long-term sickness-related absence, we find that alcohol only explains a small part of the overall picture of long-term sickness-related absenteeism. Notwithstanding this fact, long-term sickness-related absenteeism due to alcohol adds up to substantial productivity loss for society. Our conclusion is that the commonly found U-shaped relationship between current alcohol consumption and labour market outcomes remains for women, after controlling for past consumption and selection effects. A change in consumption level increases probability of long-term sickness-related absence, compared to individuals with constant consumption levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2811-2825 Issue: 22 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566206 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566206 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:22:p:2811-2825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chiang Chun-Hao Author-X-Name-First: Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Chun-Hao Author-Name: Yang Jian-Min Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Jian-Min Title: A bibliometric study of financial risk literature: a historic approach Abstract: This study probes into the development of financial risk literatures through the perspective of bibliometrics. The research samples were collected from the relevant international financial business bibliographic databases. A total of 2727 entries in a span of 29 years from 1970 to 2009 were collected and the results are summarized as follows: (1) the financial risk literatures under influence of the financial turmoil in Asia achieved substantial growth from 1997 to 1998 and an exponential growth curve during the global financial turmoil from 2007 to 2009; (2) the literatures were mainly journals and articles written in English; (3) the United States ranked first in sector productivity; (4) the author productivity of the financial risks was consistent with the Lotka's Law and (5) the document types of the financial risk literatures were mostly dissertation papers on economics and business. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2827-2839 Issue: 22 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566208 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566208 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:22:p:2827-2839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ya Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ya Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Cesar L. Escalante Author-X-Name-First: Cesar L. Author-X-Name-Last: Escalante Author-Name: Lewell F. Gunter Author-X-Name-First: Lewell F. Author-X-Name-Last: Gunter Author-Name: James E. Epperson Author-X-Name-First: James E. Author-X-Name-Last: Epperson Title: A decomposition approach to analysing racial and gender biases in Farm Service Agency's lending decisions Abstract: This study provides a different perspective in revisiting the racial and gender discrimination issue at the Farm Service Agency (FSA). Employing the Oaxaca--Blinder decomposition method, this study analyses disparities in approved loan amounts among racial and gender classes of borrowers. This study's results indicate substantial differentials in approved loan amount gaps between racial and gender classes, favouring white and female borrowers, respectively. Further scrutiny of the borrowers’ comparative financial conditions presented to FSA to support their loan applications, however, indicate that these borrower groups significantly dominate their peers in a number of measures that indicate their financial strengths and relatively greater capability to repay their future lending obligations. Hence, this study's results can hardly be construed as evidence of biased lending decisions as these borrower groups should rightfully be offered more favourable loan terms, such as larger loan amounts, by the FSA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2841-2850 Issue: 22 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566210 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566210 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:22:p:2841-2850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Author-Name: Stephanie Vermeer Author-X-Name-First: Stephanie Author-X-Name-Last: Vermeer Title: Inequality amongst the wealthiest and its link with economic growth Abstract: In this article, we correlate the key features of the distribution of wealth of the 500 wealthiest individuals in the Netherlands with economic growth and stock market returns for the period 1998 to 2009. We show that each year the distribution obeys a power law and that the key parameter measures the degree of inequality. Our main finding is that more inequality amongst the wealthiest is associated with higher economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2851-2858 Issue: 22 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566211 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566211 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:22:p:2851-2858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rigoberto A. Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Rigoberto A. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Kristen L. Fantuzzi Author-X-Name-First: Kristen L. Author-X-Name-Last: Fantuzzi Title: Demand for carbonated soft drinks: implications for obesity policy Abstract: This article examines consumer choices of Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs) and their implications for obesity policy. Demand in relation to product and consumer heterogeneity is estimated via a random coefficients logit model (Berry et al., 1995) applied to quarterly scanner data for 26 brands in 20 US cities, involving 40 000 consumers. Counterfactual experiments show that caloric taxes could be effective in decreasing caloric CSD consumption though having little impact on obesity incidence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2859-2865 Issue: 22 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568397 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568397 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:22:p:2859-2865 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elisabetta Ottoz Author-X-Name-First: Elisabetta Author-X-Name-Last: Ottoz Author-Name: Marina Di Giacomo Author-X-Name-First: Marina Author-X-Name-Last: Di Giacomo Title: Diversification strategies and scope economies: evidence from a sample of Italian regional bus transport providers Abstract: A growing number of Local Public Transport (LPT) companies diversify their production lines by providing a large set of services. We investigate the cost structure of a sample of LPT companies operating in Italy and assess the presence and the magnitude of scope economies. We split the whole sample of firms according to their diversification strategy: private firms, mainly diversifying in competitive transport related services and public firms providing nontransport services in regulated markets. Scope economies appear sizeable for both groups but higher for firms pursuing a transport related strategy, suggesting caution in the multiutility development pursued by public LPT firms in Italy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2867-2880 Issue: 22 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568399 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568399 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:22:p:2867-2880 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Alichi Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Alichi Author-Name: Rabah Arezki Author-X-Name-First: Rabah Author-X-Name-Last: Arezki Title: An alternative explanation for the resource curse: the income effect channel Abstract: This article provides an alternative explanation for the ‘resource curse’ based on the income effect resulting from high government current spending in resource rich economies. Using a simple life cycle framework, we show that private investment in the nonresource sector is adversely affected if private agents expect extra government current spending financed through resource sector revenues in the future. This income channel of the resource curse is stronger for countries with lower degrees of openness and forward altruism. We empirically validate these findings by estimating nonhydrocarbon sector growth regressions using a panel of 25 oil-exporting countries over the period 1992 to 2005. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2881-2894 Issue: 22 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568400 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568400 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:22:p:2881-2894 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesus Clemente Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Clemente Author-Name: Carmen Marcuello Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Marcuello Author-Name: Antonio Montañes Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Montañes Title: Government Social Spending and GDP: has there been a change in social policy? Abstract: Government Social Spending (GSS) is made up of a very heterogeneous range of variables, monetary transfers for retirement or illness, unemployment benefits, family services, active labour market policies and health expenditure. We believe that each of these components is of enormous importance to the economic development of a country. As has often been affirmed, however, GSS is one of the economic aggregates most sensitive to the ups and downs of economic growth. In moments of crisis, sharp cuts are almost immediate, and these may or may not be recovered when times are good. In this article, we examine the sensitivity of GSS to the evolution of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in order to reveal the relationship between the two. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2895-2905 Issue: 22 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568401 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568401 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:22:p:2895-2905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Haan Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Haan Author-Name: Michał Myck Author-X-Name-First: Michał Author-X-Name-Last: Myck Title: Multi-family households in a labour supply model: a calibration method with application to Poland Abstract: Models of cooperative and noncooperative behaviour opened the household ‘black box’ and allowed for individual treatment of partners in couples. However, labour supply literature has so far largely ignored a broader issue -- the distinction of single versus multi-family (‘complex’) households. We propose a method to account for multi-family household structure by borrowing from recent applications of the collective model to identify the degree of sharing. We assume that each household is characterized by a between-family sharing parameter, which is calibrated on estimated preferences, observed labour market status and other characteristics. We apply the method to Polish labour market data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2907-2919 Issue: 22 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568402 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568402 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:22:p:2907-2919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Zubaidi Author-X-Name-Last: Baharumshah Author-Name: Siew-Voon Soon Author-X-Name-First: Siew-Voon Author-X-Name-Last: Soon Title: Mean reversion in bilateral real exchange rates: evidence from the Malaysian ringgit Abstract: This study examines behaviour of the Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based Real Exchange Rates (RERs) of the ringgit against the currencies of Malaysia's major trading partners. The empirical results, which are derived from newly developed tests advocated by Lee and Strazicich (LS, 2003) and Narayan and Popp (NP, 2010) that allow for two breaks in the series, provide conflicting results. We obtain weaker support for Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) using the Narayan and Popp (2010) test. By truncating the sampling period into two sub-periods, we find that PPP holds for majority of the Malaysia's bilateral exchange rate vis-à-vis its major trading partners during the pre-crisis period. The 1997 currency crisis, however, has weakened the evidence in favour of PPP hypothesis in the strict sense. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2921-2933 Issue: 22 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568406 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568406 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:22:p:2921-2933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Author-Name: Gurudeo Anand Tularam Author-X-Name-First: Gurudeo Anand Author-X-Name-Last: Tularam Title: Which way does water flow? An econometric analysis of the global price integration of water stocks Abstract: Around US$600 billion of investment is desperately needed to address forecasted huge shortages in water supply globally. A number of worldwide investors -- so-called water funds -- have started to take up this challenge. For these global water investors, knowledge about the extent of integration between the water sectors of financial markets is highly important. According to international portfolio diversification theory, the less (more) integrated markets are, the more (less) benefits there are from international diversification. In this study, we investigate the extent and manner of interdependence among the US, European and Asian water sector of the equity markets based on Vector Autoregression (VAR), Granger causality and impulse response analyses. We find that world water stock market prices are indeed significantly interdependent although this interdependence varies across time periods. Each market quickly responds to shocks from each other and completes its response within 3 days. Hence, for water investors, international diversification that is undertaken just within the water sector will not be beneficial. The result also implies that there is the risk of crossmarket contagion -- that is, price volatility spill over across water sectors of different financial markets, and therefore, water authorities in one market should take cognisance of events in other markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2935-2944 Issue: 23 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568403 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568403 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:23:p:2935-2944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saten Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Saten Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Don J. Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don J. Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Author-Name: Geoff Perry Author-X-Name-First: Geoff Author-X-Name-Last: Perry Title: Real wages, inflation and labour productivity in Australia Abstract: This article presents an analysis of real wages, inflation and labour productivity interrelationships using cointegration, Granger causality and, most importantly, structural change tests. Applications of tests to Australian data over the 1965 to 2007 period corroborate the presence of a structural break in 1985 and show that a 1% increase in manufacturing sector real wages led to an increase in manufacturing sector productivity of between 0.5% and 0.8%. Comparable estimates for the effect of inflation on manufacturing sector productivity have limited statistical significance. Granger causality test results suggest that real wages and inflation both Granger cause productivity in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2945-2954 Issue: 23 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568405 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568405 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:23:p:2945-2954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabrizio Iacone Author-X-Name-First: Fabrizio Author-X-Name-Last: Iacone Author-Name: Steve Martin Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: Luigi Siciliani Author-X-Name-First: Luigi Author-X-Name-Last: Siciliani Author-Name: Peter C. Smith Author-X-Name-First: Peter C. Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Modelling the dynamics of a public health care system: evidence from time-series data Abstract: The English National Health Service (NHS) was established in 1948, and has therefore yielded some long time series data on health system performance. Waiting time for inpatient care have been a persistent policy concern since the creation of the NHS. After developing a simple theoretical framework of the dynamic interaction between key indicators of health system performance, we investigate empirically the relationship between hospital activity, waiting time and population characteristics using aggregate time-series data for the NHS over the period 1952 to 2003. Structural Vector Autoregression (S-VAR) suggests that in the long run: higher activity is associated with lower waiting times (elasticity = −0.9); an increase in the elderly population is associated with higher waiting time (elasticity = 1.3). In the short run, higher lagged waiting time leads to higher activity (elasticity = 0.12). We also find that shocks in waiting times are countered by higher activity, so the effect is only temporary. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2955-2968 Issue: 23 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568407 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568407 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:23:p:2955-2968 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mir M. Ali Author-X-Name-First: Mir M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Author-Name: Aliaksandr Amialchuk Author-X-Name-First: Aliaksandr Author-X-Name-Last: Amialchuk Author-Name: Song Gao Author-X-Name-First: Song Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Frank Heiland Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Heiland Title: Adolescent weight gain and social networks: is there a contagion effect? Abstract: Previous studies on the spread of obesity in social networks have focused on the contemporaneous effect of peer weight outcomes on individuals. This article is the first to investigate the longer term effects, within adolescence and from adolescence into early adulthood, of peers on individual weight outcomes. Using data from the first three waves of the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health (Add Health), and accounting for correlated effects using a number of empirical strategies including school-level fixed effects and accounting for neighbourhood preferences, we show that Body Mass Index (BMI) and overweight status in a person's friendship network influence their BMI and likelihood of being overweight. The evidence suggests that there is some persistence of the effects of past peer weight experiences on individual weight outcomes during adolescence and into early adulthood. The findings are consistent with adolescence being an important formative period of individuals’ preference for ideal physique and own body weight aspirations. We conclude that policy makers should be particularly concerned with interventions during childhood and adolescence, in order to slow the spread of obesity by promoting a healthy body image and positive health behaviours. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2969-2983 Issue: 23 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568408 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568408 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:23:p:2969-2983 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eddie Chi-man Hui Author-X-Name-First: Eddie Chi-man Author-X-Name-Last: Hui Author-Name: Xian Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Xian Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: The dynamic correlation and volatility of real estate price and rental: an application of MSV model Abstract: This article investigates the dynamic conditional correlation between price and rental among four types of real estate markets, namely housing, retail, office and factory. In the case of Hong Kong (from January 1993 to December 2008), the Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate Stochastic Volatility (DCC--MSV) model and Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) are employed to capture the volatility and time varying correlation of property price and rental in each market. The empirical results demonstrate that the volatilities of price are significantly larger than those of rental for each type of real estate markets throughout the whole sample period. Besides, the findings indicate that the correlations between price and rental are time-varying, and the average correlation in the housing market is much larger than those in the other three markets. Also, the conditional correlations in the factory market are the most volatile, while those in the office market are relatively stable. Additionally, two particularly volatile periods have been identified in and around 1997 and 2003. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2985-2995 Issue: 23 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568409 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568409 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:23:p:2985-2995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: St鰨ane Mussard Author-X-Name-First: St鰨ane Author-X-Name-Last: Mussard Author-Name: Patrick Richard Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Richard Title: Linking Yitzhaki's and Dagum's Gini decompositions Abstract: In this article we show that the Gini coefficient is simultaneously decomposable both by sources of income and by populations of income receivers for nonoverlapping income distributions: the so-called first-best Gini multi-decomposition. We show that this multidimensional decomposition is useful for many reasons: (i) it is related to the degree of inequality aversion of the decision maker, (ii) it is especially well suited to study inequalities between poor and nonpoor people, (iii) it enables one to measure the impact of marginal tax reforms on within- and between-group inequalities, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2997-3010 Issue: 23 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568410 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568410 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:23:p:2997-3010 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F鬩x Dom󹱵ez-Barrero Author-X-Name-First: F鬩x Author-X-Name-Last: Dom󹱵ez-Barrero Author-Name: Julio López-Laborda Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: López-Laborda Title: Taxation and the portfolio structure of Spanish households Abstract: Using a sample of 5962 Spanish households from the Survey of Household Finances (EFF) undertaken by the Bank of Spain, this article describes the structure of their portfolio, and estimates both a Probit model and a Tobit model to test how taxation affects, respectively, the decision to invest in each asset and the relative importance of each asset within the household portfolio. The influence of taxation is measured using the average marginal personal income tax rate of the household. The estimations performed show that the marginal tax rate is significant and displays the sign expected to explain both the holding of tax favourable assets and their weight in the household portfolio. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3011-3027 Issue: 23 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568411 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568411 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:23:p:3011-3027 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diego Romero-Ávila Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Ávila Author-Name: Carlos Usabiaga Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Usabiaga Title: Disaggregate evidence on Spanish inflation persistence Abstract: This article investigates the degree of persistence of different inflation rates for the Spanish economy using the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the aggregate as well as for the regions, provinces and eight groups of goods and services, in addition to the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the aggregate and 24 industrial sectors. For that purpose, we employ: (1) the unit-root tests with good size and power of Ng and Perron (2001) with the small-sample bias correction developed by Perron and Qu (2007); (2) the nonlinear Exponential Smooth Transition Autoregressive (ESTAR) unit-root test proposed by Kapetanios et al. (2003); (3) median-unbiased estimations of the persistence parameter and the respective confidence intervals through the grid-bootstrap method proposed by Hansen (1999) and (4) median-unbiased estimations of the half-life of a shock in addition to the associated confidence intervals through the method based on impulse-response functions proposed by Gospodinov (2004). The results from the application of these techniques indicate that most of the CPI-based inflation rate series clearly contain a unit root. As regards the results for the PPI-based inflation rate series, we have provided evidence that the aggregate series appears to contain a unit root, while at the industry level the inflation rate series are found to be nonlinear stationary in 13 sectors. On the basis of this robust evidence of high persistence in inflation, policymakers should pay more attention to any shock hitting inflation, since the effects are expected to be long-lasting, particularly for consumer prices. Along these lines, it is essential to implement correcting reforms with the aim of raising price adjustment flexibility if one wants to avoid having to intervene actively in the markets to reach the inflation target. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3029-3046 Issue: 23 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568412 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568412 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:23:p:3029-3046 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Buehn Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Buehn Author-Name: Mohammad Reza Farzanegan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Reza Author-X-Name-Last: Farzanegan Title: Smuggling around the world: evidence from a structural equation model Abstract: This article uses a Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes (MIMIC) model to analyse the determinants of smuggling. The analysis reveals that higher corruption and a lower rule of law encourage smuggling. Tariffs and trade restrictions are important push factors, while a higher Black Market Premium (BMP) discourages smugglers. Based on the MIMIC estimates, we calculate an index of smuggling which provides a ranking for 54 countries. We find that smuggling is rampant in Cameroon, Pakistan and Kenya while it is least prevalent in Switzerland, Finland and Sweden. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3047-3064 Issue: 23 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570715 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570715 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:23:p:3047-3064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaba Ghonghadze Author-X-Name-First: Jaba Author-X-Name-Last: Ghonghadze Author-Name: Thomas Lux Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Lux Title: Modelling the dynamics of EU economic sentiment indicators: an interaction-based approach Abstract: This article estimates a simple univariate model of expectation or opinion formation in continuous time adapting a ‘canonical’ stochastic model of collective opinion dynamics (Weidlich and Haag, 1983; Lux, 1995, 2009a). This framework is applied to a selected data set on survey-based expectations from the rich EU business and consumer survey database for 12 European countries. The model parameters are estimated through Maximum Likelihood (ML) and numerical solution of the transient probability density functions for the resulting stochastic process. The model's success is assessed with respect to its out-of-sample forecasting performance relative to univariate Time Series (TS) models of the Autoregressive Moving Average model, ARMA(p, q) and Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average, ARFIMA(p, d, q) varieties. These tests speak for a slight superiority of the canonical opinion dynamics model over the alternatives in the majority of cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3065-3088 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570716 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570716 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3065-3088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheng-Feng Lee Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Ching-Chuan Tsong Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Tsong Title: A revisit on real interest rate parity hypothesis -- simulation evidence from efficient unit root tests Abstract: A set of unit root tests are applied to test the existence of long-run real interest rate parity among the G-10 countries over the period 1971M1 to 2007M2. Rather than trusting the asymptotic distributions, this article uses simulation techniques to establish the small sample distributions of these tests, conditional on the stationary and nonstationary processes. The empirical results indicate that the tests have stable finite-sample sizes and higher size-adjusted powers such that the two estimated processes can be distinguished from each other. Thus, for six of the nine countries, their series are more likely to come from the estimated Autoregressive (AR) stationary process than from the nonstationary process. Noticeably, the testing results are rather different from those using the asymptotic distributions, in which only three countries support the real interest rate parity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3089-3099 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570717 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570717 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3089-3099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Avi Herbon Author-X-Name-First: Avi Author-X-Name-Last: Herbon Author-Name: Uriel Spiegel Author-X-Name-First: Uriel Author-X-Name-Last: Spiegel Author-Name: Joseph Templeman Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Templeman Title: Simulation study of the price differentiation effect in a stochastic deteriorating inventory with heterogeneous consumers -- freshness sensitivity Abstract: A fixed price policy regardless of expiration date may result in unsold inventory and sales loss. Price reduction over time as the expiration date approaches motivates customers to purchase all items, including the ones that are left with only a short interval until their expiration. We conduct a discrete event simulation that captures the main characteristics of this phenomenon. Results show that a moderate differentiation of price increases profits by 6%, a larger differentiation reduces profits. Profits are the highest for freshness-oriented customers. A fixed price policy is preferred in an environment of large variance and expected near term expirations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3101-3119 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570718 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570718 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3101-3119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salvatore Capasso Author-X-Name-First: Salvatore Author-X-Name-Last: Capasso Author-Name: Oreste Napolitano Author-X-Name-First: Oreste Author-X-Name-Last: Napolitano Title: Testing for the stability of money demand in Italy: has the Euro influenced the monetary transmission mechanism? Abstract: Stability of money demand is a crucial issue for the efficacy of monetary policy. This is particularly true in the presence of significant exogenous shocks to the monetary system. By implementing the most recent econometric testing procedures, this article intends to investigate the consistency of the stability of money demand in Italy, one of the larger European Monetary Union (EMU) countries, before and after the EMU. Among others, the objective is, indeed, to ascertain the effect of a change in the currency regime on the monetary aggregates and to provide a valid empirical model which is a viable tool for policy performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3121-3133 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570719 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570719 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3121-3133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nadia Ayari Author-X-Name-First: Nadia Author-X-Name-Last: Ayari Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Author-Name: Pedro Mendi Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Mendi Title: Renewable energy innovations in Europe: a dynamic panel data approach Abstract: We investigate the determinants of renewable energy R&D intensity and the impact of renewable energy innovations on firm performance, using several dynamic panel data models. We estimate these models using a large data set of European firms from 19 different countries, with some patenting activity in areas related to renewable energies during the 1987 to 2007 period. Our results confirm our priors on the determinants of the rapid development of renewable energy R&D intensity during the past decades. Additionally, we find evidence that renewable patent intensity has a significant dynamic impact on the stock market value of firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3135-3147 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570720 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570720 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3135-3147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed A. Marouani Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed A. Author-X-Name-Last: Marouani Author-Name: David A. Robalino Author-X-Name-First: David A. Author-X-Name-Last: Robalino Title: Assessing interactions among education, social insurance and labour market policies in Morocco Abstract: This article develops a general equilibrium model to assess the impact that integrated reforms of macroeconomic, education and social protection policies can have on employment. The model presents three innovations. First, it formalizes the production of skills in the economy by following sex--age cohorts through the various levels of the education and training systems, given dropout and repetition rates. Second, it incorporates a module that projects social insurance expenditures as a function of the demographic structure of the country and the rules of the pension system. Finally, it develops a very detailed description of the labour market, where informality reflects strategic decisions by workers and not necessarily exclusion. The model is applied to Morocco. The results of various simulations illustrate the importance of coordinating macro, education and social protection policies in order to achieve meaningful effects on employment levels. In particular, we show that isolated interventions to improve the internal efficiency of the education system can aggravate the unemployment problem; that subsidies to investments are more efficient in sectors intensive in skilled labour; and that not controlling the growth of pension expenditures and the tax-wedge can depress employment in the formal sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3149-3167 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570721 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3149-3167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jenifer Piesse Author-X-Name-First: Jenifer Author-X-Name-Last: Piesse Author-Name: Bruce Allen Hearn Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Allen Author-X-Name-Last: Hearn Title: The law of one price: an examination of price integration between Europe and regional markets in Africa Abstract: This study examines the degree of price-integration of equity indices between the major markets of Africa, namely Morocco, Tunisia, Egypt, Kenya, Nigeria, Namibia and South Africa with the European markets of London and Paris. Vector Autoregressive and Autoregressive Distributed Lag methods reveal that African markets are largely price-segmented. The only markets that are price-integrated have shared economic and financial institutions, such as Namibia and South Africa, and Egypt, Tunisia and France. The evidence suggests that development policy should be focussed on enhancing existing institutions rather than embarking prematurely on regional integration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3169-3193 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570722 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3169-3193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bahar Bayraktar Saglam Author-X-Name-First: Bahar Bayraktar Author-X-Name-Last: Saglam Author-Name: Burak Gunalp Author-X-Name-First: Burak Author-X-Name-Last: Gunalp Title: The Beveridge curve and labour market dynamics in Turkey Abstract: This article investigates the dynamics of unemployment and vacancy rates in Turkey during the period 1951 to 2008 by means of a Beveridge Curve (BC). The time-series analysis of unemployment and vacancies as well as two other relevant labour market variables, real wages and real labour productivity, strongly suggests inefficiency in the Turkish labour market. A stable long-run relationship between unemployment rate and vacancy rate is found for Turkey, that is, the existence of a negatively sloped BC is verified. The estimated Turkish BC reflects the structural problems and lack of flexibility in the labour market. The modified BC with real wages and labour productivity reveals that labour productivity has no significant effect on unemployment rate whereas wages have positive and significant effects on the same variable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3195-3202 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570725 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570725 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3195-3202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Albert Sol魏ll頍 Author-X-Name-First: Albert Author-X-Name-Last: Sol魏ll頍 Author-Name: Pilar Sorribas-Navarro Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Sorribas-Navarro Title: The dynamic adjustment of local government budgets: does Spain behave differently? Abstract: The aim of this article is to analyse whether Spanish municipalities adjust in response to budget shocks and (if so) which elements of the budget they are more likely to adjust. The methodology we use to answer these questions is a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), estimated with data from a panel of Spanish municipalities during the period 1988 to 2006. Our results confirm that Spanish municipalities do indeed make adjustments in response to fiscal shocks (i.e. the deficit is stationary in the long run). We compare our results with those obtained for US and Germany to evaluate if the viability of local finance depends on the institutional arrangement and to analyse how it affects the adjustment patterns. We observe that grants have a more important role in the adjustment process in environments where either they have an equalization objective or where there is no clear rule that determines their distribution. This fact can generate a moral hazard problem: governments tend to spend more due to the expected intervention by the central government. Own revenues have a lower adjustment capacity in environments where subcentral governments have limited fiscal autonomy. These results, however, suggest that the viability of the local finance system is feasible with different institutional arrangements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3203-3213 Issue: 25 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570723 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570723 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:25:p:3203-3213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. Chatterjee Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Chatterjee Author-Name: R. Ray Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Ray Title: Does the evidence on corruption depend on how it is measured? Results from a cross-country study on microdata sets Abstract: While much of the existing literature on corruption looks at the effect of corruption on macro variables such as growth rates and income distribution, this study provides a departure by focussing on victims of corruption by using microdata to compare civilian and business corruption. This study finds that businesses face a stronger incidence of bribe demands than individuals. Though there are several differences between the determinants of the two forms of bribe victimization, there are also some similarities. Policies to combat corruption need to take into account both the differences and the similarities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3215-3227 Issue: 25 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570724 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570724 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:25:p:3215-3227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lee Chin Author-X-Name-First: Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Chin Author-Name: M. Azali Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Azali Title: Testing the validity of the monetary model for ASEAN with structural break Abstract: This study examines the validity of the long run structural relations underlying the monetary exchange rate model for Malaysia, Singapore, The Philippines and Thailand. Take into consideration the possibility of structural change, we examined the models using recent developed techniques of testing unit root and cointegration with a structural break. Our findings of three cointegrating relations among the variables in the system were further identified by testing theoretical restrictions on the cointegrating equations. The long run relationships were able to be interpreted according to the theory, hence, support the long run validity of the monetary exchange rate model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3229-3236 Issue: 25 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570726 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:25:p:3229-3236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jim Allen Author-X-Name-First: Jim Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: Andries de Grip Author-X-Name-First: Andries Author-X-Name-Last: de Grip Title: Does skill obsolescence increase the risk of employment loss? Abstract: In this article, we analyse whether technological change induces skill obsolescence and early labour market exit, and to what extent training participation and on the job learning reduce these risks. Using panel data on older workers, we find that workers report skill obsolescence more often when learning is a structural characteristic of the job. This perceived skill obsolescence is not related to a higher probability of losing employment. Instead, workers who experience skill obsolescence appear to learn more on the job and participate more often in training, which decreases the risk of losing employment. These results are consistent with the dynamic model of skill obsolescence and employment loss we develop in this article. Moreover, we find that when workers with long job tenures decrease their training participation, this is an early indicator of future job loss. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3237-3245 Issue: 25 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570727 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570727 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:25:p:3237-3245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simón Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: Salvador Gil-Pareja Author-X-Name-First: Salvador Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Pareja Title: Convergence in car prices among European countries Abstract: This article contributes to the literature on price convergence in Europe by investigating the existence of stochastic and deterministic convergence of car prices in the EU15 countries. We apply recently developed econometric techniques that allow for multiple structural breaks to an up-to-date dataset. We find considerable evidence of both types of convergence in our sample of countries and car models, therefore suggesting a tendency for relative prices to equalize over time. In addition, we find evidence regarding the importance in this convergence process of both legislative changes taking place in the years 1996 and 2002, and the implementation of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3247-3254 Issue: 25 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570728 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570728 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:25:p:3247-3254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Meng-Nan Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Flexible Fourier stationary test in purchasing power parity for African countries Abstract: This study applies stationary test with a Fourier function proposed by Enders and Lee (2004, 2009) to test the validity of long run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) to assess the nonstationary properties of the real exchange rate for 20 African countries. We find that our approximation has higher power to detect U shaped breaks and smooth breaks than linear method if the true data generating process of exchange rate is in fact a stationary nonlinear process. We examine the validity of PPP from the nonlinear point of view and provide robust evidence clearly indicate that PPP holds true for almost African countries. Our findings point out their exchange rate adjustment is mean reversion towards PPP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3255-3262 Issue: 25 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570729 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570729 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:25:p:3255-3262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yu-Shao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Shao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for African countries: with nonlinear panel unit-root tests Abstract: This study applies Panel Seemingly Unrelated Regressions (SUR) Kapetanios et al. (Kapetanios--Shin--Snell (KSS), SURKSS) tests, proposed by Wu and Lee (2009), to investigate the properties of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in 15 African countries. The empirical results from the univariate unit root and panel based unit root tests indicate that PPP does not hold for these 15 countries under study. However, Panel SURKSS tests indicate that PPP is valid for four of these 15 countries. These results have important policy implications for these 15 African countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3263-3273 Issue: 25 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570730 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570730 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:25:p:3263-3273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Title: Central Government versus private sector wages and cognitive skills: evidence using endogenous switching regression Abstract: The importance of estimation techniques that allow for nonrandom selection of workers into the public and private sectors has been established in the theoretical and empirical literature. A separate body of work has explored the contribution of cognitive and other basic skills to earnings. This article brings together these two strands of empirical literature using Adult Literacy and Lifeskills (ALL) survey data for Norway and Bermuda. In the case of Norway, results from both Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and a switching regression model agree that cognitive skills are rewarded more in the public sector and that, in both sectors, the main effect is the direct effect of skills on earnings. In the case of Bermuda, however, switching regression estimates are substantially different with respect to the how skills affect earnings; furthermore, controlling for cognitive skills changes the nature of selection and, hence, the estimates of sector wage differentials. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3275-3286 Issue: 25 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.572854 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.572854 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:25:p:3275-3286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. Holm-Hadulla Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Holm-Hadulla Author-Name: S. Hauptmeier Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Hauptmeier Author-Name: P. Rother Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Rother Title: The impact of expenditure rules on budgetary discipline over the cycle Abstract: We study the impact of expenditure rules on the propensity for governments to deviate from their expenditure plans in response to surprising cyclical developments. Theoretical considerations suggest that due to political fragmentation in the budgetary process expenditure policy might be prone to a procyclical bias. However, this tendency may be mitigated by strictly enforced expenditure rules. These hypotheses are tested against data from a panel of EU Member States. Our key findings are that (1) deviations between actual and planned government expenditure tend to be positively related to output gap surprises, and (2) expenditure rules reduce this procyclical bias. These results are particularly pronounced when the analysis is confined to spending items with a high degree of budgetary flexibility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3287-3296 Issue: 25 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.572855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.572855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:25:p:3287-3296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chandra Bahadur Adhikari Author-X-Name-First: Chandra Bahadur Author-X-Name-Last: Adhikari Author-Name: Trond Bjorndal Author-X-Name-First: Trond Author-X-Name-Last: Bjorndal Title: Analyses of technical efficiency using SDF and DEA models: evidence from Nepalese agriculture Abstract: Alleviation of poverty is a central issue in Nepal. Given the limited stock of land and the infant/unorganized manufacturing sector, increased demand for food has to be satisfied by improving production efficiency. This article examines how this could be achieved. Stochastic distance function and data envelopment analysis models identify the existence of a high degree of technical inefficiency in Nepalese agriculture, suggesting that there is a substantial prospect of increasing agricultural productivity using the existing level of inputs and resources more efficiently. Among the three farm sizes in the data set, medium size farmers achieve a higher technical efficiency than large and small farm sizes, suggesting that productive efficiency can be increased with the encouragement of creating medium size holdings. The observed decreasing returns to scale also implies that productivity gains could be achieved by breaking up of large farms into small family farms. The technical inefficiency model suggests the potential for shifting the production frontier upwards by providing ownership of land, increasing farmers’ education and knowledge, and increasing land quality, including irrigation facilities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3297-3308 Issue: 25 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.572856 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.572856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:25:p:3297-3308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Antonio Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno Author-Name: Seonghoon Cho Author-X-Name-First: Seonghoon Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: The Deaton paradox in a long memory context with structural breaks Abstract: This article contributes to the Permanent Income Hypothesis (PIH) and excess consumption smoothness debate in the context of fractional integration. We show that the excess consumption smoothness result is a consequence of the quarterly data frequency commonly employed in the empirical work. In fact, the I(1) hypothesis is rejected for the income process with monthly data in favour of a fractional integration order lower than 1. Moreover, if a structural break is taken into account, we observe a substantial reduction in the degree of consumption smoothness, especially after the break found in 1975. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3309-3322 Issue: 25 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.572857 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.572857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:25:p:3309-3322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabelle Clerc Author-X-Name-First: Isabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Clerc Author-Name: Olivier L’Haridon Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: L’Haridon Author-Name: Alain Paraponaris Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Paraponaris Author-Name: Camelia Protopopescu Author-X-Name-First: Camelia Author-X-Name-Last: Protopopescu Author-Name: Bruno Ventelou Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Ventelou Title: Fee-for-service payments and consultation length in general practice: a work--leisure trade-off model for French GPs Abstract: This article presents an adaptation of the labour supply model applied to the independent medical sector. First, we model simultaneous General Practitioner (GP) decisions on both the leisure time and the consultation length for two payment schemes: fixed fees and unregulated fees. The objective of this econometric study is to validate the theoretical prediction that doctors under unregulated fees may make choices about the length of patient consultations independent of their personal leisure decision. Indeed, according to our empirical results, the bidirectional link between leisure choice and consultation length -- verified with fixed fees -- does not hold any longer under unregulated fees. Our findings can be seen as a necessary but not a sufficient condition to legitimize unregulated fees in general practice. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3323-3337 Issue: 25 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.572858 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.572858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:25:p:3323-3337 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johane Dikgang Author-X-Name-First: Johane Author-X-Name-Last: Dikgang Author-Name: Anthony Leiman Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Leiman Author-Name: Martine Visser Author-X-Name-First: Martine Author-X-Name-Last: Visser Title: Elasticity of demand, price and time: lessons from South Africa's plastic-bag levy Abstract: Policy makers in many countries have perceived plastic-bag litter as a problem, and have used a variety of regulatory tools to address it. South Africa's current legislation on plastic-bags came into effect on 7 May 2003. It increased the thickness of the plastic used, charged a small levy and required that bags be sold rather than distributed gratis. These regulations sharply reduced consumption of plastic bags in the short term, but unlike the Irish and Danish levies have failed to curb their use meaningfully in the long run. It is suggested that the initial sharp fall in use of bags was a result of loss aversion rooted in an endowment effect (the bags having long been a free good). Once consumers became accustomed to paying for bags, demand slowly rose to its historic levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3339-3342 Issue: 26 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.572859 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.572859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:26:p:3339-3342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gylfi Zoega Author-X-Name-First: Gylfi Author-X-Name-Last: Zoega Title: Employment and asset prices Abstract: A medium-term relationship exists between share prices, normalized by labour productivity, and the rate of unemployment in the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. This helps explain decadal changes in mean unemployment, such as the shift to higher mean unemployment in the Continental European countries in the 1970s and 1980s that coincided with a fall in the level of share prices, as well as differences in mean unemployment between countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3343-3355 Issue: 26 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.572860 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.572860 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:26:p:3343-3355 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takanori Ida Author-X-Name-First: Takanori Author-X-Name-Last: Ida Title: Beyond mobile number portability: measuring consumer preferences for service portability in Japan's mobile phone market Abstract: Japan's mobile phone market has been oligopolized by three incumbents who are seeking vertically integrated business models, which may prevent competitors from using platform layers to provide original services. We conduct two types of conjoint analysis to measure consumer stated preferences and draw two main conclusions from the analyses. First, the average consumer is willing to pay more than JPY 2000 (US $20) to increase mobile service portability. Second, the average consumer's willingness to pay corresponds to JPY 100--200 (US $1--2) per song for securing music download platforms. A dilemma exists in consumer preferences for service portability in Japan's mobile phone market, namely the choice between free mobile service portability and convenient music download platforms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3357-3369 Issue: 26 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577011 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577011 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:26:p:3357-3369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasuyuki Sawada Author-X-Name-First: Yasuyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Sawada Author-Name: Jonna P. Estudillo Author-X-Name-First: Jonna P. Author-X-Name-Last: Estudillo Title: The MDGs and exit time: the case of the Philippines Abstract: This article evaluates whether the Philippines will be able to halve the incidence of poverty between 1990 and 2015. Using the concept of exit time and household‐level data, we find that the Philippines as a whole will not be able to comply with Target 1 of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), although 15 of its provinces will be able to do so. These provinces are closer to Manila, characterized by higher per capita expenditure growth rates, and had lower incidence of poverty in 1988. This suggests the importance of policies to mitigate the regional disparity in achieving the MDGs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3371-3377 Issue: 26 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577012 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:26:p:3371-3377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chanjin Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chanjin Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Em󚑯 Tostão Author-X-Name-First: Em󚑯 Author-X-Name-Last: Tostão Title: Effects of horizontal consolidation under bilateral imperfect competition between processors and retailers Abstract: This article considers bilateral imperfect competition between processors and retailers to estimate the trade off between market power and cost efficiency. The model is based on pricing rules from a firm's profit maximization and nests both oligopoly and oligopsony models. An empirical analysis for US beef processors and retailers suggests that processors tend to exercise oligopsony market power in procuring cattle, but they are unlikely to exercise market power on retailers. When retailers and processors are considered as one integrated sector, efficiency effects from the increased concentration in the US beef packing industry are slightly larger than market power effects. When processors’ market power is considered separately from retailers’ market power, the difference between cost saving and market power effects becomes greater. The cost elasticity estimate, 0.99, indicates that a further merger would result in little economies of scale in the future. Therefore, although we find that efficiency effects are currently larger than market power effects, a further increase in concentration in the US beef processing industry could narrow the gap between the two effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3379-3389 Issue: 26 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577013 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577013 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:26:p:3379-3389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia Justino Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Justino Title: Multidimensional welfare distributions: empirical application to household panel data from Vietnam Abstract: This article explores the empirical application of theoretical multidimensional welfare distribution analysis techniques to real household welfare distributions. The article operationalizes recent conceptual developments in multidimensional distribution theory and assesses their usefulness for the measurement of multidimensional household inequality. The results strongly highlight the importance of bringing nonmonetary aspects of household welfare into the forefront of inequality analysis. Agreement over the various approaches to the measurement of multidimensional inequality entails, however, nontrivial decisions that may limit the practical usefulness of these measures. We suggest that the use of multidimensional inequality ranges and the application of restrictive dominance criteria to multidimensional welfare distributions may open significant scope for further developments in the empirical analysis of multidimensional inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3391-3405 Issue: 26 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577014 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577014 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:26:p:3391-3405 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S颡stien Wälti Author-X-Name-First: S颡stien Author-X-Name-Last: Wälti Title: The myth of decoupling Abstract: The decoupling hypothesis is the idea that business cycles in emerging market economies have become more independent from business cycles in advanced economies in recent years. Decoupling essentially amounts to a structural break in the degree of business cycle interdependence between the two groups of economies, and it can be tested as such. We develop an innovative measure of business cycle interdependence based on the Euclidean distance, available at the annual frequency, which allows for a proper test for a structural break in a graphical setup. We also make use of a standard econometric test. Both approaches point to the same conclusion: there has been no decoupling in recent years. If anything, the degree of business cycle interdependence has become stronger. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3407-3419 Issue: 26 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577015 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577015 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:26:p:3407-3419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shakil Quayes Author-X-Name-First: Shakil Author-X-Name-Last: Quayes Title: Depth of outreach and financial sustainability of microfinance institutions Abstract: The primary justification for subsidizing Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) is their enhancement of social welfare by extending credit to the poor households. Therefore, recent emphasis on their financial self-sufficiency has created concern, that this may adversely affect the mission of social outreach. Utilizing data from 702 MFIs operating in 83 countries, this study shows empirical evidence of a positive complementary relationship between financial sustainability and depth of outreach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3421-3433 Issue: 26 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577016 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577016 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:26:p:3421-3433 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian R. Bell Author-X-Name-First: Adrian R. Author-X-Name-Last: Bell Author-Name: Chris Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: David Matthews Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Matthews Author-Name: Charles Sutcliffe Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Sutcliffe Title: Over the moon or sick as a parrot? The effects of football results on a club's share price Abstract: This article considers the impact of match results on the stock returns of English football clubs. We propose that the magnitude of the response to a given result depends on the importance of the game, which is measured in two ways. First, we consider the extent to which the clubs are close rivals vying for similar league positions, as winning such games is particularly significant. Second, we argue that each individual game becomes more important for those clubs likely to be promoted or relegated as the season draws to a close, since a given match will have increasing information content concerning the final league position of the club. Using a fairly large panel comprising data for 19 clubs, we find some support for the notion that stock prices are affected more by the results of important matches than matches of lesser importance. We also observe that the difference between the number of points the club secures from a given match, and the number it was expected to secure, affects its stock price, as does the number of goals that the club under question scores in the match, relative to its competitor. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3435-3452 Issue: 26 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577017 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577017 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:26:p:3435-3452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheng-Kai Chang Author-X-Name-First: Sheng-Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: State dependence, serial correlation and heterogeneity in the union membership dynamics Abstract: In order to distinguish the true and spurious state dependence from the complicated dynamics of union membership, the simulation estimators incorporating the lagged dependent variables, unobserved individual heterogeneity and correlations among the errors are implemented in this article to study union membership dynamics. It is found that the true state dependence of union membership under multivariate t assumption is much higher than the standard dynamic panel probit estimators which are under multivariate normal assumptions. On the other hand, the spurious state dependence (the variance of the unobserved individual heterogeneity) is estimated to be higher when using the standard dynamic panel probit estimators than under multivariate t assumption. Moreover, blacks and married men are found to have higher union membership true state dependence than whites and unmarried men. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3453-3460 Issue: 26 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577018 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:26:p:3453-3460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tim Pawlowski Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Pawlowski Author-Name: Christoph Breuer Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Breuer Title: Expenditure elasticities of the demand for leisure services Abstract: Although some research has already focused on the analysis of expenditure elasticities of leisure demand, some shortcomings with regard to the content and the underlying theoretical model as well as the applied methods exist. This article aims at avoiding these problems to provide consistent derivatives of leisure service expenditure elasticities. Therefore, a regular demand system is derived from microeconomic duality theory. To implement leisure specific demand factors (i.e. demand- and supply-based sports and recreational opportunities as well as sports and recreational preferences) while still being consistent with neoclassical demand theory, the basic model is extended by applying the demographic translation framework. Data of the continuous household budget survey (n = 7724) from Germany is used for the estimation of the derived demand system. It is shown how sensitive the results are depending on the applied (censored) regression model: 16 out of 18 analysed services are indicated as luxury goods based on the findings of the Tobit model type I but as necessities based on the findings of the Tobit model type II. Possible implications are presented and discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3461-3477 Issue: 26 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577021 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:26:p:3461-3477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jung-Suk Yu Author-X-Name-First: Jung-Suk Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: M. Kabir Hassan Author-X-Name-First: M. Kabir Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Author-Name: Benito Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Benito Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez Title: A re-examination of financial development, stock markets development and economic growth Abstract: This study provides new evidence on the role of financial development and stock market development in accounting for economic growth across geographic regions and income groups. To derive feasible policy implications, we estimate not only unbalanced panel regressions with period fixed effects, but also variance decompositions of annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rates to examine what proxy measures are most important in economic growth over time and how much they contribute to economic growth. We find distinct direction, timing and strength of the causal links between financial development, stock market development and economic growth based on the results of Granger causality tests. Therefore, it may be necessary to make different efforts to achieve steady economic growth across geographic regions and income groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3479-3489 Issue: 27 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577019 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577019 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:27:p:3479-3489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei-Ming Wu Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Capacity utilization and its determinants for a container shipping line: theory and evidence Abstract: Under-utilization of fleet capacity appears to be a long-lasting issue in the container shipping industry. Also, there are some difficulties unsolved while measuring the ratio of Capacity Utilization (CU) of a container shipping line. From the perspective of an engineering approach, the slots capacity installed is the most popular way to represent the capacity output. Since the slots capacity installed lacks theoretical support, this study adopts an economics model to find the capacity output of a shipping line. Further, the derived CU ratio identifies the realized utilization of fleet capacity for a shipping line. Focused on the three largest container shipping lines in Taiwan, this article shows that their fleet capacity are totally under-utilized and the movement patterns of CU ratios are approximately identical. In addition, the variations of CU ratios also suggest that the enactment of Ocean Shipping Reform Act has contributed a positive effect on the capacity utilization of a container shipping line. Finally, by running a regression model to investigate the determinants of CU ratios, the result indicates that demand condition and global shipping alliance are two critical factors to improve the utilization of fleet capacity for a container shipping line. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3491-3502 Issue: 27 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577020 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:27:p:3491-3502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sophie B鲥au Author-X-Name-First: Sophie Author-X-Name-Last: B鲥au Author-Name: Antonia López Villavicencio Author-X-Name-First: Antonia López Author-X-Name-Last: Villavicencio Author-Name: Val鲩e Mignon Author-X-Name-First: Val鲩e Author-X-Name-Last: Mignon Title: Currency misalignments and growth: a new look using nonlinear panel data methods Abstract: The aim of this article is to investigate the link between currency misalignments and economic growth. Relying on panel cointegration techniques, we calculate Real Exchange Rate (RER) misalignments as deviations of actual RERs from their equilibrium values for a set of advanced and emerging economies. Estimating Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) models, we show that RER misalignments have a differentiated impact on economic growth depending on their sign: whereas overvaluations negatively affect economic growth, RER undervaluations significantly enhance it. This result indicates that undervaluations may drive the exchange rate to a level that encourages exports and promotes growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3503-3511 Issue: 27 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577022 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577022 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:27:p:3503-3511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroki Iwata Author-X-Name-First: Hiroki Author-X-Name-Last: Iwata Author-Name: Keisuke Okada Author-X-Name-First: Keisuke Author-X-Name-Last: Okada Author-Name: Sovannroeun Samreth Author-X-Name-First: Sovannroeun Author-X-Name-Last: Samreth Title: Empirical study on the determinants of CO2 emissions: evidence from OECD countries Abstract: This article empirically investigates the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) for CO2 emissions in the cases of 11 OECD countries by taking into account the role of nuclear energy in electricity production. The autoregressive distributed lag approach to cointegration is employed as the estimation method. Our results indicate that energy consumption has a positive impact on CO2 emissions in most countries in the study. However, the impact of trade is not statistically significant. The results provide evidence for the role of nuclear power in reducing CO2 emissions only in some countries. Additionally, although the estimated long-run coefficients of income and its square satisfy the EKC hypothesis in Finland, Japan, Korea and Spain, only Finland's EKC turning point is inside the sample period of the study, providing poor evidence in support of the EKC hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3513-3519 Issue: 27 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577023 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577023 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:27:p:3513-3519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Sutter Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Sutter Title: Is the media liberal? An indirect test using news magazine circulation Abstract: Many critics allege that the US national news media is biased in favour of liberal causes and Democratic candidates. The lack of an objective measure of news content ensures that such charges remain controversial. I consider an indirect test for media bias: if the national news media do exhibit a liberal bias, consumption should be higher in liberal media markets, ceteris paribus. I examine determinants of circulation of the three major weekly news magazines across the US and find that Newsweek and Time have higher circulation in liberal markets while US News has higher circulation in conservative markets. The evidence is consistent with a liberal bias for Time and Newsweek, while US News may be relatively conservative (but still left of centre) or absolutely conservative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3521-3532 Issue: 27 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577024 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577024 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:27:p:3521-3532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios P. Louzis Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios P. Author-X-Name-Last: Louzis Author-Name: Spyros Xanthopoulos-Sisinis Author-X-Name-First: Spyros Author-X-Name-Last: Xanthopoulos-Sisinis Author-Name: Apostolos P. Refenes Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos P. Author-X-Name-Last: Refenes Title: Stock index realized volatility forecasting in the presence of heterogeneous leverage effects and long range dependence in the volatility of realized volatility Abstract: In this article, we account for the presence of heterogeneous leverage effects and the persistence in the volatility of stock index realized volatility. The Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) Realized Volatility (RV) model is extended in order to account for asymmetric responses to negative and positive shocks occurring at distinct frequencies, as well as, for the long range dependence in the heteroscedastic variance of the residuals. Compared with established HAR and Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average (ARFIMA) realized volatility models, the proposed model exhibits superior in sample fitting, as well as, out of sample volatility forecasting performance. The latter is further improved when the Realized Power Variation (RPV) is used as a regressor, while we show that our analysis is also robust against microstructure noise. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3533-3550 Issue: 27 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577025 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577025 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:27:p:3533-3550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyunchul Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hyunchul Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seokchin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Seokchin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jinsu Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jinsu Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Open technology innovation activity and firm value: evidence from Korean firms Abstract: Despite the importance of Open Technology Innovation Activity (OTIA) for firm value, the literature investigating effects of OTIA announcements of developing country firms is not known in international academic circles. Our study using an event study approach examines the effects of OTIA (technology import and joint R&D) announcements of firms in Korea, one of the leading developing and highly innovative countries. We find that the announcements of OTIA produce positive average abnormal returns. Interestingly, unlike the prior studies on developed country firms, OTIA with firms in the homogenous industry leads to greater firm value than that involving firms in heterogenic industries. This implies an importance of a technological fusion with external firms in different industries for value of developing country firms. In addition, this article finds no home bias that a nationality of partner firms is not essential for the relation between OTIA and value of firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3551-3561 Issue: 27 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577026 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:27:p:3551-3561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abul Shamsuddin Author-X-Name-First: Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Shamsuddin Author-Name: Dong Xiang Author-X-Name-First: Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Xiang Title: Does bank efficiency matter? Market value relevance of bank efficiency in Australia Abstract: The stochastic frontier analysis is employed to investigate efficiency of publicly listed Australian banks over the period 1985 to 2008. The results suggest that technical, cost and profit efficiency of Australian banks have improved over time. Large banks have attained a higher level of cost efficiency but a lower level of technical efficiency compared to small banks. No substantial difference between the two groups is found in terms of profit efficiency. A panel regression of bank stock return on bank efficiency suggests that an improvement in technical, cost or profit efficiency contributes to the market value of a bank. Thus, the shareholder wealth maximization goal is aligned with the goal of maximizing bank efficiency in the Australian context. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3563-3572 Issue: 27 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577027 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577027 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:27:p:3563-3572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David M. Zimmer Author-X-Name-First: David M. Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmer Author-Name: H. Youn Kim Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Youn Kim Title: The dependence structure of income distribution Abstract: This article investigates the dependence structure of income distribution in the US by providing two approaches -- one regression-based and the other copula-based -- to reveal new information about income dependence. The system of Seemingly Unrelated Regressions (SUR) is estimated for both quintile income shares and mean income growth by controlling for macroeconomic variables, and Kendall's tau statistics are derived for income dependence. Results from less restrictive copula models corroborate the regression-based results. However, income growth models do not support the common claim that the rich are getting richer while the poor are getting poorer. Income dependence patterns do not appear to be affected by business cycles, but Democratic and Republican presidential administrations have drastically different income dependence results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3573-3583 Issue: 27 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.577028 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.577028 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:27:p:3573-3583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. Bouvet Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Bouvet Title: The Beveridge curve in Europe: new evidence using national and regional data Abstract: The Beveridge curve depicts the empirical negative relationship between job vacancy rate and unemployment rate, and reflects the efficiency of the job matching process. Movements along a fixed downward sloping Beveridge curve are associated with cyclical shocks, while shifts of the curve arise from structural factors that alter the matching efficiency between job vacancies and unemployed workers. National and regional data on job vacancies and unemployment are combined to estimate the Beveridge curves of five European countries and their regions, focusing on the period 1975 to 2004. I also analyse whether shifts in European Beveridge curves are due to changes in the composition of the unemployed pool, labour market rigidities or cyclical and structural shocks. The empirical evidence suggests that changes in labour market rigidities, long term unemployment, as well as cyclical shocks are responsible for outward shifts in European Beveridge curves. I also find evidence of nonlinearities in the relation between unemployment and labour market institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3585-3604 Issue: 27 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.579062 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.579062 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:27:p:3585-3604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pat Obi Author-X-Name-First: Pat Author-X-Name-Last: Obi Author-Name: Job Dubihlela Author-X-Name-First: Job Author-X-Name-Last: Dubihlela Author-Name: Jeong-Gil Choi Author-X-Name-First: Jeong-Gil Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Equity market valuation, systematic risk and monetary policy Abstract: This study examines the relationship between equity market valuation and risk indicators that portend economic downswings. The indicators are implied options volatility, Treasury-Eurodollar (TED) spread and exchange rate. While implied volatility captures market risk in that it reflects the fear factor embedded in the price of an option, TED spread reflects the default risk premium that is priced into a key short-term credit instrument. Equity markets often show a tendency to reflect the incidence of these risk factors. And because they provide valuable information about the health of the economy, many have argued that equity market valuation be taken into account in the formulation of monetary policy. Results of this study not only show a statistically significant inverse relationship between the stock market and these risk factors, but also evidence of a cointegration. In a variance decomposition of the series, we find that equity valuation is a major contributor to the forecast error variances of each of the risk indicators, a finding that lends tacit support to the argument that risk indicators associated with the equity market be considered in monetary policy decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3605-3613 Issue: 27 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.579065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.579065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:27:p:3605-3613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Per Engström Author-X-Name-First: Per Author-X-Name-Last: Engström Author-Name: Per Johansson Author-X-Name-First: Per Author-X-Name-Last: Johansson Title: The medical doctors as gatekeepers in the sickness insurance? Abstract: Based on a randomized experiment, we estimate effects from notification to medical doctors of tighter monitoring of their Medical Certificates (MCs). Both the time prescribed by the doctor certificates for sick leave (prescribed sick leave) and the impact on the length of the actual sickness absence (actual sick leave) is studied. We find no effect on the total number of prescribed sick leave days. However, we do find an increase in both prescribed and actual sick leave with a 25% work inability. We also find that the notification letter causes an increase in actual sick leave (i.e. the number of reimbursed sick days). We discuss a number of potential explanations for this rather surprising result. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3615-3625 Issue: 28 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.579064 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.579064 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:28:p:3615-3625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Philip Molyneux Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Molyneux Author-Name: Linh H. Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Linh H. Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Competition and risk in South East Asian commercial banking Abstract: This article investigates the effects of competition on bank risk taking behaviour in four South East Asian countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines and Vietnam). Our main finding is that competition does not increase bank risk-taking behaviour and the results appear robust to different model specifications, estimation approaches and variable construction. We also find that concentration is inversely related to bank risk whereas regulatory restrictions positively influence bank risk-taking. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3627-3644 Issue: 28 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.579066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.579066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:28:p:3627-3644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfonso Alba Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Alba Author-Name: Jose Maria Arranz Author-X-Name-First: Jose Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Arranz Author-Name: Fernando Muñoz-Bullón Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Muñoz-Bullón Title: Re-employment probabilities of unemployment benefit recipients Abstract: This article studies transitions out of unemployment for benefit recipients in Spain. We analyse the duration of unemployment, distinguishing between spells that end in recall (workers returning to the previous employer) and spells that end in exit to a new job. This distinction allows us to find that the recall hazard rate increases around the time of exhaustion of benefits. However, this happens only for workers receiving Unemployment Insurance (UI). Because we are unable to replicate this result for workers receiving Unemployment Assistance (UA), we believe the finding lends support to the hypothesis that in Spain firms and workers make a strategic use of UI. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3645-3664 Issue: 28 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.579067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.579067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:28:p:3645-3664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miguel Gómez-Antonio Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Antonio Author-Name: Bernard Fingleton Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Fingleton Title: Regional productivity variation and the impact of public capital stock: an analysis with spatial interaction, with reference to Spain Abstract: In this article, we examine whether variations in the level of public capital across Spain's Provinces affected productivity levels over the period 1996 to 2005. The analysis is motivated by contemporary urban economics theory, involving a production function for the competitive sector of the economy (‘industry’) which includes the level of composite services derived from ‘service’ firms under monopolistic competition. The outcome is potentially increasing returns to scale resulting from pecuniary externalities deriving from internal increasing returns in the monopolistic competition sector. We extend the production function by also making (log) labour efficiency a function of (log) total public capital stock and (log) human capital stock, leading to a simple and empirically tractable reduced form linking productivity level to density of employment, human capital and public capital stock. The model is further extended to include technological externalities or spillovers across provinces. Using panel data methodology, we find significant elasticities for total capital stock and for human capital stock, and a significant impact for employment density. The finding that the effect of public capital is significantly different from zero, indicating that it has a direct effect even after controlling for employment density, is contrary to some of the earlier research findings which leave the question of the impact of public capital unresolved. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3665-3677 Issue: 28 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.579068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.579068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:28:p:3665-3677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristof De Witte Author-X-Name-First: Kristof Author-X-Name-Last: De Witte Author-Name: Chris Van Klaveren Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Van Klaveren Title: Comparing students by a matching analysis -- on early school leaving in Dutch cities Abstract: In case of regional discretionary on the implementation of policy measures, central governments often consider differences in outcomes as an indication that one policy was more effective than another policy. If uniform incentives are provided to motivate regional policy makers, these incentives can be discouraging when the underlying populations differ. Empirically, this study compares early school leaving between the four largest Dutch cities. It shows that considering regional differences as performance measures can be dangerous if differences in population characteristics are not properly taken into account. Methodologically, this study contrasts the use of a traditional probit model with a more advanced iterative matching procedure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3679-3690 Issue: 28 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.579069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.579069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:28:p:3679-3690 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Allard Bruinshoofd Author-X-Name-First: W. Allard Author-X-Name-Last: Bruinshoofd Author-Name: Leo de Haan Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: de Haan Title: Market timing and corporate capital structure: a transatlantic comparison Abstract: This article provides comparative international evidence on the effect of market timing on corporate capital structures using panel data for US, UK and continental European firms. We document that the empirical regularity found for US firms, that historical market-to-book ratios and corporate leverage correlate negatively does not extend to UK and continental European firms. The latter tend to raise debt rather than equity when stock prices are high, thus sticking more closely to a pecking order in which debt is preferred over external equity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3691-3703 Issue: 28 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.581211 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.581211 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:28:p:3691-3703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos魍ar𨁍ontero-Lorenzo Author-X-Name-First: Jos魍ar𨀍 Author-X-Name-Last: Montero-Lorenzo Author-Name: Beatriz Larraz-Iribas Author-X-Name-First: Beatriz Author-X-Name-Last: Larraz-Iribas Title: Space-time approach to commercial property prices valuation Abstract: There exists three ways of approaching real estate prices: the cost approach, the market data approach and the income capitalization approach. In this article, we propose an improvement of the market data approach that takes into account the spatial component. In particular, we propose a modified market data approach based on interpolation, being the structure of the spatial correlation between the prices of properties the main factor to obtain the weights. Interpolation methods have been widely used for estimating real estate prices, but they do not take into account the structure of their spatial dependence. Although this drawback is overcome by kriged estimation, in the case of the prices of commercial properties, they do not provide good estimates because the scarceness of the market information. This is why auxiliary information is needed and cokriging methods are used to obtain estimates that are more accurate. The aim of this article is the comparison of cokriged estimation of premises prices in two different temporal moments in the emblematic old part of Toledo city (Spain), using housing prices as an auxiliary random function due to their strong correlation with the main one. Cokriging, kriging and inverse distance weighting results are compared. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3705-3715 Issue: 28 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.581212 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.581212 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:28:p:3705-3715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bettina Fincke Author-X-Name-First: Bettina Author-X-Name-Last: Fincke Author-Name: Alfred Greiner Author-X-Name-First: Alfred Author-X-Name-Last: Greiner Title: How to assess debt sustainability? Some theory and empirical evidence for selected euro area countries Abstract: In this article we elaborate on the test proposed by Bohn (1998) that suggests to study whether the primary surplus relative to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a positive function of the public debt to GDP ratio in order to detect whether debt policies are sustainable. We argue that this should be complemented by additional tests for countries with rising debt to GDP ratios. We, then, apply that test to some countries of the euro area. In addition, we perform stationarity tests with respect to the real deficit inclusive of interest payments in order to gain additional insight. We conclude that there is empirical evidence that the chosen paths of fiscal policies are sustainable for the countries we consider, although there are country specific differences in debt policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3717-3724 Issue: 28 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.581213 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.581213 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:28:p:3717-3724 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Malcolm Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Malcolm Title: Can buy me love: the effect of child welfare expenditures on maltreatment outcomes Abstract: I consider the effect of state level child welfare expenditures on child abuse victimization and fatality rates. The main result is that these expenditures are strongly associated with improved child maltreatment outcomes. Further, the well known negative association between income and child abuse is overstated if one fails to control for relevant policy differences that are correlated with economic circumstances. The effect of income diminishes further upon controlling for social attitudes correlated with income. The source of identification is a set of large and explicitly exogenous changes in child welfare expenditures induced by the circa 2000 recession. I show that endogeneity problems are small and tend to work against the result. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3725-3736 Issue: 28 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.581214 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.581214 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:28:p:3725-3736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ismat Ara Begum Author-X-Name-First: Ismat Ara Author-X-Name-Last: Begum Author-Name: Mohammad Jahangir Alam Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Jahangir Author-X-Name-Last: Alam Author-Name: Jeroen Buysse Author-X-Name-First: Jeroen Author-X-Name-Last: Buysse Author-Name: Aymen Frija Author-X-Name-First: Aymen Author-X-Name-Last: Frija Author-Name: Guido Van Huylenbroeck Author-X-Name-First: Guido Author-X-Name-Last: Van Huylenbroeck Title: Contract farmer and poultry farm efficiency in Bangladesh: a data envelopment analysis Abstract: The objective of this article is to determine the efficiency of the poultry farm in Bangladesh and to assess the influence of contract farming system, using a data envelopment analysis. Seventy-five commercial poultry farms (25 and 50 independent and contract farms, respectively) were randomly selected. The results reveal that efficiency scores vary across sample farms. To explain some of these variations, the efficiency scores were regressed on some human capital variables and farming system using a Tobit model. The study also estimates elasticities to provide the information on the magnitude of the influence of variables on Technical Efficiency (TE), Allocative Efficiency (AE) and Economic Efficiency (EE). The results show that the contracting system is positively and significantly related to the farm's TE, AE and EE. This is expected because under contractual agreement, in order to obtain sufficient supplies of the right quality of poultry meat at the right time, the company provides technical know how assistance through company's recruited supervisor, production inputs and services, and production credit along with intensive supervision, which in turn improves farm efficiency. Thus, by receiving technical know how contract farmers have gained more knowledge on their resource and practices, which enables them to use resources more efficiently. Empirical results can provide crucial information to policy makers that improve poultry farm efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3737-3747 Issue: 28 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.581216 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.581216 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:28:p:3737-3747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Zschille Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Zschille Author-Name: Matthias Walter Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Walter Title: The performance of German water utilities: a (semi)-parametric analysis Abstract: Germany's water supply industry is characterized by a multitude of utilities and widely diverging prices, possibly resulting from structural differences beyond the control of firms’ management, but also from inefficiencies. In this article, we use Data Envelopment Analysis and Stochastic Frontier Analysis to determine the utilities’ Technical Efficiency (TE) scores based on cross-sectional data from 373 public and private water utilities in 2006. We find large differences in TE scores even after accounting for significant structural variables like network density, share of groundwater usage and water losses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3749-3764 Issue: 29 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.581215 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.581215 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:29:p:3749-3764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dongxu Wu Author-X-Name-First: Dongxu Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Zhongmin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Zhongmin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Crime, inequality and unemployment in England and Wales Abstract: A model of crime is developed based on principles from the existing literature with some original insight. The implications of the model are that income inequality and unemployment are important explanatory variables for crimes motivated by economic gain, but do not offer much explanatory power for other types of crime. Panel data of UK regions over the years from 2002 to 2007 are then used to test these predictions. The empirical results strongly support the hypothesis that crime is an economic phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3765-3775 Issue: 29 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.581217 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.581217 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:29:p:3765-3775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Corrales-Herrero Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Corrales-Herrero Author-Name: B. Rodr򍑥z-Prado Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Rodr򍑥z-Prado Title: Characterizing Spanish labour pathways of young people with vocational lower-secondary education Abstract: School-to-work transition is no longer considered to take place at one point but it is seen as a sequential process with multiple stages that extend over a relatively long period in which individuals gradually settle down into the labour market. This article constructs and examines the labour pathways followed by Spanish young people who have completed vocational lower secondary education. To do so, we use the Survey on Educational-Training Transition and Labour Integration, a retrospective longitudinal dataset that contains monthly calendar information about the labour states in the 4 years after completing vocational education. A wide range of states is covered: part-time employment, full-time employment, unemployment and several situations of inactivity. To examine young labour pathways we use sequence analysis, an exploratory technique which allows us to obtain a measure of dissimilarity between sequences. Later, a cluster analysis is applied that allow us to identify seven patterns of transition into the labour market. Nevertheless, most trajectories may be classified as linear, with a successful integration into the labour market. A multinomial logit model confirms that demographic and educational variables are relevant to explain the pathways followed by young people. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3777-3792 Issue: 29 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.581218 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.581218 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:29:p:3777-3792 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Grad󸀍 Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Grad󸀍 Title: Poverty among minorities in the United States: explaining the racial poverty gap for Blacks and Latinos Abstract: The two largest minorities in the United States, African Americans and people of Hispanic origin, show official poverty rates at least twice as high as those of non-Hispanic Whites. These similarly high poverty rates between the two minorities are, however, the result of different combinations of factors related to the specific characteristics of these two groups. In this article, we analyse the role of demographic and labour-related variables in the current differential of poverty rates among racial and ethnic groups in the United States and its recent evolution. Our results show, first, that these differentials are largely explained by differing family characteristics of the ethnic groups. Furthermore, we show that while labour market activity of family members and a preponderance of single mothers play a more significant role in the higher poverty rates of Blacks, a larger number of dependent children is closely associated with higher poverty among Latinos, who also suffer from a larger educational attainment gap and higher immigration rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3793-3804 Issue: 29 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.581219 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.581219 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:29:p:3793-3804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maman Setiawan Author-X-Name-First: Maman Author-X-Name-Last: Setiawan Author-Name: Grigorios Emvalomatis Author-X-Name-First: Grigorios Author-X-Name-Last: Emvalomatis Author-Name: Alfons Oude Lansink Author-X-Name-First: Alfons Oude Author-X-Name-Last: Lansink Title: Industrial concentration and price-cost margin of the Indonesian food and beverages sector Abstract: This article investigates trends in industrial concentration and its relationship with the price-cost margin in 54 subsectors of the Indonesian food and beverages sector in the period 1995 to 2006. This study uses firm-level survey data provided by the Indonesian Bureau of Central Statistics (BPS), classified at the five-digit International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC) Level. The results show a significant increase in industrial concentration in 1995 to 1999, which coincided with the period of the economic crisis in Indonesia. After 1999, the industrial concentration exhibits a slightly decreasing long-term trend. Furthermore, the industrial concentration for all subsectors tends to converge to the same value in the long run. Additionally, results show that higher industrial concentration yields a higher price-cost margin. Finally, the introduction of the competition law in 1999 has slightly lowered industrial concentration and the price-cost margin. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3805-3814 Issue: 29 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.581220 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.581220 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:29:p:3805-3814 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Title: Unconditional quantile regressions, wage growth and inequality in the Philippines, 2001--2006: the contribution of covariates Abstract: I implement a two-stage procedure to estimate the components of real wage change in the Philippines along the wage distribution from 2001 to 2006, as well as the contribution of individual covariates to each component. The methodology is based on Re-centred Influence Functions (RIF), as suggested by Firpo et al. (2009). The advantage of this methodology is that it not only decomposes the unconditional wage change at any quantile of the wage distribution, but also allows the characterization of the contribution of any single covariate on each component. I find that real earnings of males in the Philippines declined and the decline along the earnings distribution is generally higher at higher deciles for all males and higher at lower deciles in Manila. Decomposition results are driven by the wage structure component, while the composition effect is small and generally positive with education as the main contributor. Within the wage structure effect, the main determinants are associated with changes in the rewards of experience and occupation, along with residual change (change in intercepts). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3815-3830 Issue: 29 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.581221 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.581221 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:29:p:3815-3830 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hossein Kavand Author-X-Name-First: Hossein Author-X-Name-Last: Kavand Author-Name: J. Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: J. Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Title: The inflationary effects of stochastic resource revenues in resource-rich economies with less well-developed financial markets Abstract: This article develops a simple Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model to illustrate how economies that face restrictions in their ability to alter both government spending and taxation in the short run and cannot borrow easily (perhaps because of incomplete internal capital markets) can find external fluctuations in resource revenues producing unexpected variations in their internal money supply and ultimately in their inflation rate. The main channels for these effects run through the government budget and through the country's balance of payments position. The model is calibrated to illustrate the case of Iran. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3831-3840 Issue: 29 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.581222 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.581222 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:29:p:3831-3840 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mala Raghavan Author-X-Name-First: Mala Author-X-Name-Last: Raghavan Author-Name: Paramsothy Silvapulle Author-X-Name-First: Paramsothy Author-X-Name-Last: Silvapulle Author-Name: George Athanasopoulos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Athanasopoulos Title: Structural VAR models for Malaysian monetary policy analysis during the pre- and post-1997 Asian crisis periods Abstract: This article conducts an in-depth investigation into building a Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model and analysing the Malaysian monetary policy. Considerable attention is paid to: (i) the selection of foreign, policy and target variables; (ii) establish identifying restrictions and improve the estimates of impulse response functions; (iii) assess the importance of intermediate channels in transmitting monetary policy mechanism; and (iv) the way in which the 1997 Asian financial crisis affected the working of monetary policy. Malaysia is an interesting small open economy to study because, following this crisis, the government imposed capital and exchange rate control measures. The overall results suggest that the crisis and the subsequent major shift in the exchange rate regime have significantly affected the Malaysian ‘Black Box’. In the pre-crisis period, domestic variables appear to be more vulnerable to foreign monetary shocks. Further, the exchange rate played a significant role in transmitting the interest rate shocks, whereas credit and asset prices helped to propagate the money shock. In the post-crisis period however, asset prices play a more domineering role in intensifying the effects of both interest rate and money shocks on output, and the economy was insulated from foreign shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3841-3856 Issue: 29 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.581360 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.581360 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:29:p:3841-3856 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. J. Aziakpono Author-X-Name-First: M. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Aziakpono Author-Name: S. Kleimeier Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Kleimeier Author-Name: H. Sander Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Sander Title: Banking market integration in the SADC countries: evidence from interest rate analyses Abstract: This study investigates the state, development and drivers of banking market integration in the member countries of the Southern African Development Community (SADC). A Principal Component Analysis (PCA) of national retail interest rates indicates increasing integration in loan and deposit markets. These integration processes are not developing uniformly and we can identify a convergence club. When investigating the interest rate pass-through from central bank onto retail rates for this convergence club, we find both, genuine and monetary-integration driven processes though the latter dominate. We thus conclude that a selective expansion of the Common Monetary Area (CMA) is possible. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3857-3876 Issue: 29 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.583219 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.583219 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:29:p:3857-3876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zein Kallas Author-X-Name-First: Zein Author-X-Name-Last: Kallas Author-Name: Teresa Serra Author-X-Name-First: Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Serra Author-Name: Jos頠 M. Gil Author-X-Name-First: Jos頠 M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Title: Effects of policy instruments on farm investments and production decisions in the Spanish COP sector Abstract: Our article assesses the impacts regarding on-farm investment and production decisions resulting from the Partially Decoupled (PD) payment scheme implemented during the 1990s and first half of the 2000s within the framework of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). The Spanish Cereal, Oilseed and Protein (COP) sector is taken as a case study regarding this effect due to its economic and political relevance in Spain. The empirical analysis is applied to farm-level data from 2000 to 2004 using the Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN). We use a reduced-form application of the dual model of investment under uncertainty and estimate a system of censored and uncensored equations. PD payments are found to increase short-run production and generate a statically significant increase in the investment in farm assets. Results also show the importance of assessing the effects of PD payments in a dynamic framework as applied in this article. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3877-3886 Issue: 30 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.583220 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.583220 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:30:p:3877-3886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarlok Singh Author-X-Name-First: Tarlok Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Testing nonlinearities in economic growth in the OECD countries: an evidence from SETAR and STAR models Abstract: This study estimates the Self Exciting Threshold Autoregressive (SETAR) and Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) models and examines the nonlinear and regime switching dynamics of economic growth for a set of 10 OECD countries. The null of linearity in SETAR model is tested using the recursive polynomial F test of Tsay and the bootstrap based supremum, average and exponential average Lagrange Multiplier (LM) tests of Hansen. The F test of Tsay rejects the null of linearity for all the countries, except Spain and Switzerland. The SETAR model of Hansen reinforces the evidence and suggests the rejection of linear model. The STAR model rejects the null of linearity against STAR nonlinearity for all the countries, except Denmark and Switzerland. The sequential F tests for the conditional nulls suggest the LSTAR nonlinearity for Australia, Belgium, France, Sweden and UK, and the ESTAR nonlinearity for Canada, Spain and the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3887-3908 Issue: 30 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.583221 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.583221 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:30:p:3887-3908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ekaterini Panopoulou Author-X-Name-First: Ekaterini Author-X-Name-Last: Panopoulou Author-Name: Theologos Pantelidis Author-X-Name-First: Theologos Author-X-Name-Last: Pantelidis Title: Convergence in per capita health expenditures and health outcomes in the OECD countries Abstract: Our analysis of 19 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries over the period 1972 to 2006 provides evidence of convergence in per capita health care expenditures for 17 countries, while the US and (to a lesser degree) Norway follow a different path. A simple decomposition of per capita health expenditures reveals that the divergence of the US comes from the divergence of the ‘ratio of health care expenditures to Gross Domestic Product (GDP)’ component, while Norway's divergence is mainly caused by the ‘labour productivity’ component. Interestingly, our results suggest that convergence in per capita health expenditures among the 17 OECD countries does not lead to convergence in health outcomes. Finally, we extend our analysis to examine convergence in various determinants of health expenditures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3909-3920 Issue: 30 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.583222 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.583222 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:30:p:3909-3920 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven T. Yen Author-X-Name-First: Steven T. Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: Gender differences, physical activity and body weight Abstract: We investigate the effect of physical activity on bodyweight and the gender differences in such effects, following the copula approach to endogenous switching regression. Using data from the 2006 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS), we find differentiated effects of socio-demographic variables on exercise and on Body Mass Indexes (BMIs), and differentiated effects of exercise on BMI, between genders. Regular exercise, on average, decreases BMI by 1.78 for women and 1.01 for men. Food price away from home has negative effects on BMI of both men and women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3921-3934 Issue: 30 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.583223 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.583223 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:30:p:3921-3934 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Gómez-Garc𨀍 Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Garc𨀍 Author-Name: Mar𨀠 del Rocio Moreno Enguix Author-X-Name-First: Mar𨀠 del Rocio Moreno Author-X-Name-Last: Enguix Author-Name: Juan Cándido Gómez-Gallego Author-X-Name-First: Juan Cándido Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Gallego Title: Estimation of the efficiency of structural funds: a parametric and nonparametric approach Abstract: This article seeks to perform an analysis of the efficiency of the application of the structural funds in the regions classified as Objective 1 over the period 2000 to 2006, applying the techniques known as Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and stochastic frontier. In the first place, we are going to identify which are the most efficient regions. Finally, we will analyse the extent to which certain factors have repercussions on the efficiency such as country, geographical location and contribution of agriculture of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and the result indicates that some of these variables have significantly influences of technical efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3935-3954 Issue: 30 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.583224 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.583224 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:30:p:3935-3954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcos Sanso-Navarro Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Sanso-Navarro Title: Broken trend stationarity of hours worked Abstract: The estimated impact of a technology shock on hours worked using Structural Vector Autoregressions (SVARs) depends to a great extent on whether or not hours worked is considered to be integrated of first order. It is shown in this article that the widely analysed time series of hours worked per capita in the US business sector evolves around a broken linear trend. When this fact is taken into account, the unit root null is rejected by recently proposed tests. Therefore, it can be stated that empirical specifications with hours in first differences are not recommended. It seems more appropriate to control for the presence of this shift in the deterministic component. We also draw this conclusion from a bivariate model for both productivity growth and hours worked. Our results suggest that technology improvements have a negative but nonsignificant effect on hours only in the very short run. This impact later becomes positive and statistically significant after five periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3955-3964 Issue: 30 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.583225 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.583225 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:30:p:3955-3964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akhter Faroque Author-X-Name-First: Akhter Author-X-Name-Last: Faroque Author-Name: William Veloce Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Veloce Author-Name: Jean-Francois Lamarche Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Francois Author-X-Name-Last: Lamarche Title: Have structural changes eliminated the out-of-sample ability of financial variables to forecast real activity after the mid-1980s? Evidence from the Canadian economy Abstract: This article evaluates how consistently reliable the information content of individual financial variables is for Canada's future output growth. We estimate the timing of structural changes in linear growth models and check robustness to specification changes, multiple breaks, and business cycle asymmetry. Our simulated out-of-sample forecast evaluation strategy, using the Mean Square Error F-type (MSE-F) and the new encompassing (ENC-NEW) tests, shows that the leading information content of most financial variables for Canada's future Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth has deteriorated substantially after 1984:04, but the 1--3-year term spread exhibits a consistently reliable predictive ability at the 1 and 2 quarter horizons and has significant forecasting ability at the 8 quarter horizon. Also, the real M1 money growth has regained its ability to forecast output growth since 1991:01. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3965-3985 Issue: 30 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.583226 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.583226 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:30:p:3965-3985 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramo Barrena Author-X-Name-First: Ramo Author-X-Name-Last: Barrena Author-Name: Mercedes Sánchez Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Sánchez Title: Abstraction and product categories as explanatory variables for food consumption Abstract: This study sets out to explore variation in the consumer choice structure in relation to three types of products with different levels of search, experience and credence attributes. The decision structures of rice, wine and functional food (experience, search and credence products) consumers were explored by means of laddering. The results suggest the presence of an emotional component in foods that increases in complexity (becomes more abstract) with the number of credence attributes. The findings recommend adjusting the complexity of advertising campaigns and product positioning to the type of product being promoted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3987-4003 Issue: 30 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.583227 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.583227 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:30:p:3987-4003 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatiane Almeida de Menezes Author-X-Name-First: Tatiane Almeida Author-X-Name-Last: de Menezes Author-Name: Marie-Gabrielle Piketty Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Gabrielle Author-X-Name-Last: Piketty Title: Towards a better estimation of agricultural supply elasticity: the case of soya beans in Brazil Abstract: Brazil is a major exporter of several agricultural commodities and has shown strong interest in agricultural trade negotiations. For several commodities, trade liberalization is expected to be followed by farmgate prices increase and to boost domestic production. However, in a country as big as Brazil, possible supply responses to price increase will probably strongly differ from one region to another. This article focuses on soya beans for which Brazil became a top exporter. The panel data technique is used to estimate the soy bean supply response at national and regional level. Soya bean supply is shown to be very price elastic. Moreover, soya bean supply own price elasticity is much higher in the Center-North regions than in the South of the country. Substitution between livestock and soya bean is also very significant in the Center-North region. World agricultural trade models should take account for such regional variability of soya bean supply elasticity. The results also allow us to discuss the issue of soya bean expansion at the Amazon border. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4005-4018 Issue: 31 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:31:p:4005-4018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weiping Kostenko Author-X-Name-First: Weiping Author-X-Name-Last: Kostenko Author-Name: Mark Harris Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Xueyan Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xueyan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Occupational transition and country-of-origin effects in the early stage occupational assimilation of immigrants: some evidence from Australia Abstract: We examine the occupational attainment of recent immigrants at 2 years post migration in order to study their early stage assimilation into the labour market in Australia. Human capital endowments and country-of-origin effects are examined for six occupational groups. We also study transitions across occupations from source to host country. The empirical approach utilizes the Ordered Generalized Extreme Value (OGEV) model which embodies differing utility functions across occupational outcomes, as well as accounting for any ordering in these outcomes. The results suggest that the transferability of knowledge and skills is affected by cultural and social backgrounds, and that non-Western immigrants are disproportionately channelled into inferior jobs post migration. The investigation of the country-of-origin effect on the skilled migrants’ occupational transition process is especially apt in the context of skill shortages in many host countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4019-4035 Issue: 31 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:31:p:4019-4035 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D Büttner Author-X-Name-First: D Author-X-Name-Last: Büttner Author-Name: B. Hayo Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Hayo Title: EMU-related news and financial markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland Abstract: We analyse the impact of news on five financial markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland using a newly constructed data set in a Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) framework. Macroeconomic shocks (on Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation rate, current account and trade balance) are constructed as deviations from expected values. Economic and Monetary Union (EMU)-related political and fiscal news is captured as news dummies. Macroeconomic shocks significantly affect short-term interest rates and, to a lesser extent, other financial variables. Political and fiscal news has an impact on long-term bond yields and exchange rates. News displayed prominently in our media sources has a greater impact on financial markets than other news and, in addition, the sources of news themselves matter. We also discover asymmetric effects of news within markets. Finally, using a pooled GARCH model we find that macroeconomic shocks have the strongest impact on financial markets in Hungary, while political news has the largest influence in both Hungary and Poland. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4037-4053 Issue: 31 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587775 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587775 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:31:p:4037-4053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emil Stavrev Author-X-Name-First: Emil Author-X-Name-Last: Stavrev Author-Name: Helge Berger Author-X-Name-First: Helge Author-X-Name-Last: Berger Title: The information content of money in forecasting euro area inflation Abstract: This article contributes to the debate on the role of money in monetary policy by analysing the information content of money in forecasting euro-area inflation. We compare the predictive performance within and among various classes of structural and empirical models in a consistent framework using Bayesian and other estimation techniques. We find that money contains relevant information for inflation in some model classes. Money-based New Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models and Vector Autoregressions (VARs) incorporating money perform better than their cashless counterparts. But there are also indications that the contribution of money has its limits. The marginal contribution of money to forecasting accuracy is often small, money adds little to dynamic factor models, and it worsens forecasting accuracy of partial equilibrium models. Finally, nonmonetary models dominate monetary models in an all-out horserace. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4055-4072 Issue: 31 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:31:p:4055-4072 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George A Vamvoukas Author-X-Name-First: George A Author-X-Name-Last: Vamvoukas Title: Panel data modelling and the tax-spend controversy in the euro zone Abstract: This article attempts to differentiate between the debatable tax and spend, spend and tax, fiscal synchronization and institutional separation hypotheses in order to explore empirically the interplay between public expenditures and public revenues in the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) member states. For this purpose, panel data models are derived to test the validity of the four hypotheses in EMU countries. A notable characteristic of this article is that the four hypotheses are tested by dividing EMU countries into various subgroups and using disaggregated data for government expenditures and revenues. Seeking for the robustness of the empirical evidence, the panel data methods of Generalized Two-Stage Least Squares (GTSLS) and Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) are accordingly applied to identify the relationship between public outlays and taxation receipts. GTSLS and GMM results strongly support the fiscal synchronization hypothesis implying that budget decision-making is significantly influenced by both government expenditures and revenues components. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4073-4085 Issue: 31 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:31:p:4073-4085 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Les Coleman Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Coleman Title: Testing equity market efficiency around terrorist attacks Abstract: This article uses the nine major bombings since 1998 that have been attributed to Al Qaida to examine market efficiency, including a test of rumours that investors traded with advance knowledge of attacks. Analysis of these related, but individually unexpected, events confirms markets are semi-strong efficient: it now takes well under a trading day to fully price in a completely unexpected attack. On balance, markets also proved strongly efficient with no conclusive evidence of insider trading. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4087-4099 Issue: 31 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587778 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:31:p:4087-4099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marina Selini Katsaiti Author-X-Name-First: Marina Selini Author-X-Name-Last: Katsaiti Title: Obesity and happiness Abstract: This article provides insight on the relationship between individual obesity and happiness levels. Using the latest available panel data from Germany German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP), UK British Household Panel Survey (BHPS), and Australia Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA), we examine whether there is statistical evidence on the impact of overweight on subjective well-being. Instrumental Variable (IV) analysis is utilized under the presence of endogeneity, stemming from several explanatory variables. Results indicate that in all three countries obesity has a negative effect on the subjective well-being of individuals. The results also have important implications for the effect of other socio-demographic, economic and individual characteristics on well-being. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4101-4114 Issue: 31 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587779 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:31:p:4101-4114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Joseph Fogarty Author-X-Name-First: James Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Fogarty Title: Expert opinion and cuisine reputation in the market for restaurant meals Abstract: As food is an experience good, the market for restaurant meals is a market where the cost of acquiring information regarding quality is relatively high. In such markets consumers often turn to reputation measures to guide purchase decisions. As Australia does not have a longstanding cuisine style of its own, and given Australia has been open to substantial immigration inflows since federation, it represents an especially appropriate market to study regarding the impact of individual restaurant reputation and collective cuisine reputation on meal prices. The following study uses the hedonic price approach to investigate the implicit price of individual reputation indicators, cuisine type reputation indicators and other objective indicators in the market for restaurant meals. The empirical findings presented suggest that both individual restaurant reputation and cuisine type reputation are important. Other important factors are shown to include the quality of the restaurant wine list, the availability of private dining rooms, and whether or not there is an outdoor dining option. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4115-4123 Issue: 31 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587780 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587780 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:31:p:4115-4123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno De Borger Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: De Borger Author-Name: Kristiaan Kerstens Author-X-Name-First: Kristiaan Author-X-Name-Last: Kerstens Author-Name: Diego Prior Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Prior Author-Name: Ignace Van de Woestyne Author-X-Name-First: Ignace Author-X-Name-Last: Van de Woestyne Title: Static efficiency decompositions and capacity utilization: integrating economic and technical capacity notions Abstract: Starting from existing static decompositions of overall economic efficiency on nonparametric production and cost frontiers, this article proposes more comprehensive decompositions including several cost-based notions of capacity utilization. Furthermore, in case prices are lacking, we develop additional decompositions of overall technical efficiency integrating a technical concept of capacity utilization. These new efficiency decompositions provide a link between short and long run economic analysis and, in empirical work, avoid conflating inefficiency and differences in capacity utilization. An empirical analysis using a monthly panel of Chilean hydro-electric power plants illustrates the potential of these decomposition proposals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4125-4141 Issue: 31 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587783 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587783 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:31:p:4125-4141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. Wei Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: J. Xiao Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Title: Factors affecting the take-off of innovative technologies: evidence from digital cameras Abstract: While technological innovations are important for many industries, take-off sales for innovative products can have long lead times due to a variety of factors. This article identifies the main parameters affecting digital camera take-off sales in the US between 2001 and 2004. The study constructs an empirical model for film and digital camera shipments and finds that digital cameras primarily served as a substitute for low-end film compacts rather than high-end film Single-Lens Reflex (SLR) cameras. Also, growth in household PC ownership and Windows XP market share were the main contributing factors to the decline of film cameras, with PC penetration rate as the most important factor for digital camera diffusion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4143-4152 Issue: 32 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587781 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:32:p:4143-4152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silvia Pasqua Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Pasqua Author-Name: Anna Laura Mancini Author-X-Name-First: Anna Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Mancini Title: Asymmetries and interdependencies in time use between Italian parents Abstract: In recent decades, changes in parents’ attitudes towards the importance of spending time with children to optimize their future behaviour and cognitive development have greatly affected patterns of time allocation among both working and nonworking parents in all developed countries. We compare the two waves of the Italian Time Use dataset (1988 and 2002) to analyse how family time allocation changed over time in a country that was undergoing a marked increase in female employment rate and a continuous decline in total fertility rate. We focus especially on how parents’ time with their children depends on their employment status and household characteristics. Using a simultaneous sequential approach, we consider links among the different time uses of individuals and correlations with spouses’ decisions. We find that wives’ time at work time strongly influences the time spent by both spouses with their children in 2002, but not in 1988. Fathers were much more involved in childcare and rearing in 2002 than in 1988. In general, as women's work time increased, substitutes for their childcare time were found within the household (fathers or other co-resident adults). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4153-4171 Issue: 32 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587782 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587782 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:32:p:4153-4171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chor Foon Tang Author-X-Name-First: Chor Foon Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Soo Y. Chua Author-X-Name-First: Soo Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Chua Title: The savings-growth nexus for the Malaysian economy: a view through rolling sub-samples Abstract: The purpose of this study is to re-investigate the savings-growth nexus for the Malaysian economy using bounds testing approach to cointegration and Toda and Yamamoto (1995) and Dolado and Lütkepohl (1996) -- TYDL Granger causality test. This study covered the sample period from 1971:Q1 to 2008:Q4. The cointegration results suggest that the variables are moving together in the long run and the TYDL Granger causality results indicate that the relationship between savings and economic growth is bilateral. In addition, the rolling sub-samples TYDL Granger causality test exhibited a relatively stable causal relationship running from savings to economic growth in Malaysia particularly before the onset of Asian Financial Crisis in 1997/1998. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4173-4185 Issue: 32 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587784 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:32:p:4173-4185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesse Russell Author-X-Name-First: Jesse Author-X-Name-Last: Russell Title: Herding and the shifting determinants of exchange rate regime choice Abstract: It is difficult to pin down the factors that determine states’ choice of exchange rate regime because those very factors present a moving target. Many scholars have taken on the same question: what are the determinants of exchange rate regime choice? But as a group they have been unable to identify a stable answer. The reason for this is that the factors that best predict exchange rate regime vary dramatically across time. An explanation for this variation is offered: rational herding, or information cascades, can explain why one factor becomes prominent for a period of time then suddenly drops off and is replaced by a better predictor. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4187-4197 Issue: 32 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587785 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:32:p:4187-4197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raú l Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Raú l Author-X-Name-Last: Serrano Author-Name: Vicente Pinilla Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Pinilla Title: The long-run decline in the share of agricultural and food products in international trade: a gravity equation approach to its causes Abstract: The objective of this study is to determine the causes of the loss of share of agricultural products and food in international trade. The article compares, using a gravity model, the impact of various factors upon bilateral trade in agricultural products, in manufactures and in total trade, between 1963 and 2000 for a representative sample of 40 countries. The results clearly demonstrate how the low demand elasticity for agricultural products and food, the high degree of protectionism to which they were subjected and their meagre share in intra-industrial trade are the principal causes of their relatively slow growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4199-4210 Issue: 32 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587786 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587786 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:32:p:4199-4210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jana Vyrastekova Author-X-Name-First: Jana Author-X-Name-Last: Vyrastekova Author-Name: Sander Onderstal Author-X-Name-First: Sander Author-X-Name-Last: Onderstal Author-Name: Pierre Koning Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Koning Title: Self-selection and the power of incentive schemes: an experimental study Abstract: We examine how self-selection of workers depends on the power of incentive schemes and how it affects team performance if the power of the incentive schemes is increased. In a laboratory experiment, we let subjects choose between (low-powered) team incentives and (high-powered) individual incentives. We observe that subjects exhibiting high trust or reciprocity in the trust game are more likely to choose team incentives. When exposed to individual incentives, subjects who chose team incentives perform worse if both the unobservable interdependency between their efforts and their incentive to cooperate under team incentives are high. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4211-4219 Issue: 32 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587787 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587787 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:32:p:4211-4219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Ashley Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Ashley Author-Name: Haichun Ye Author-X-Name-First: Haichun Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Title: On the Granger causality between median inflation and price dispersion Abstract: The Granger-causal relationship between the size and dispersion of fluctuations in sub-components of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is examined using both in-sample and out-of-sample tests and data from January 1968 to December 2008. Strong in-sample evidence is found for feedback between median inflation and price dispersion; the evidence for Granger-causation from median inflation to price dispersion remains strong in out-of-sample testing, but is less strong for Granger-causation in the opposite direction. The implications of these results for the variety of price-level determination models in the literature are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4221-4238 Issue: 32 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587788 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:32:p:4221-4238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Tomohara Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Tomohara Author-Name: H. J. Lee Author-X-Name-First: H. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: S. Lee Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Did FIN 48 increase companies’ tax payments? Trade-off between disclosure and tax burdens Abstract: This article examines the effects of implementing FIN 48 on companies’ tax burdens. While the literature examines how FIN 48 impacts companies’ financial reporting, its effect on tax payments has not yet been explored. We find that FIN 48 likely increased larger companies’ tax burdens. Prior to the adoption of FIN 48, larger companies may have used their asymmetric information advantage over the tax authorities to maintain relatively aggressive tax positions. To the extent that such tax-saving strategies were possible only for larger companies, FIN 48 appears to have reduced the appeal of these more aggressive tax minimization strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4239-4248 Issue: 32 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587789 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587789 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:32:p:4239-4248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: De-Chih Liu Author-X-Name-First: De-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Purchasing power parity with flexible Fourier stationary test for Central and Eastern European countries Abstract: This study applies stationary test with a Fourier function proposed by Enders and Lee (2004, 2009) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) to assess the nonstationary properties of the Real Exchange Rate (RER) for seven Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs). We find that our approximation has higher power to detect U-shaped breaks and smooth breaks than linear method if the true data generating process of exchange rate is in fact a stationary nonlinear process. We examine the validity of PPP from the nonlinear point of view and provide robust evidence clearly indicating that the PPP holds true for all CEECs. Our findings point out their exchange rate adjustment is mean reversion towards PPP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4249-4256 Issue: 32 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.587791 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.587791 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:32:p:4249-4256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julien Chevallier Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Chevallier Title: Time-varying correlations in oil, gas and CO2 prices: an application using BEKK, CCC and DCC-MGARCH models Abstract: Previous literature has identified oil and gas prices as being the main drivers of CO2 prices in a univariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) econometric framework (Alberola et al., 2008; Oberndorfer, 2009). By contrast, we argue in this article that the interrelationships between energy and emissions markets shall be modelled in a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) and Multivariate GARCH (MGARCH) framework, so as to reflect the dynamics of the correlations between the oil, gas and CO2 variables overtime. Using the Baba--Engle--Kraft--Kroner (BEKK), Constant Conditional Correlation (CCC) and Dynamic Conditional Correlation MGARCH (DCC-MGARCH) models on daily data from April 2005 to December 2008, we highlight significant own-volatility, cross-volatility spillovers, and own persistent volatility effects for nearly all markets, indicating the presence of strong Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) and GARCH effects. Besides, we provide strong empirical evidence of time-varying correlations in the range of [−0.3; 0.3] between oil and gas, [−0.05; 0.05] between oil and CO2, and [−0.2; 0.2] between gas and CO2, that have not been considered by previous studies. These findings are of interest for traders and utilities in the energy sector, but also for a broader applied economics audience. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4257-4274 Issue: 32 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589809 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589809 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:32:p:4257-4274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Hackethal Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hackethal Author-Name: M. Koetter Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Koetter Author-Name: O. Vins Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Vins Title: Do government owned banks trade market power for slack? Abstract: The ‘Quiet Life Hypothesis (QLH)’ posits that banks with market power have less incentives to maximize revenues and minimize cost. Especially government owned banks with a public mandate precluding profit maximization might succumb to a quiet life. We use a unified approach that simultaneously measures market power and efficiency to test the quiet life hypothesis of German savings banks. We find that average local market power declined between 1996 and 2006. Cost and profit efficiency remained constant. Nonparametric correlations are consistent with a quiet life regarding cost efficiency but not regarding profit efficiency. The quiet life on the cost side is negatively correlated with bank size, quality of loan portfolio and local per capita income. The last result indicates that the quiet cost life is therefore potentially due to benevolent excess consumption of local input factors by public savings banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4275-4290 Issue: 33 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589808 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589808 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:33:p:4275-4290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryoko Morozumi Author-X-Name-First: Ryoko Author-X-Name-Last: Morozumi Title: A test of a unitary model on labour supply using the information of household decision-making systems Abstract: This article tests whether a unitary model is consistent with household behaviour using the data of two-earner couples. It focuses on the unitary model assuming that all family members have the same utility function. The analysis investigates the difference in a husband's and wife's labour supply between the household that determines the wife to be the main decision-maker and the household that selects a different decision-making system under the control of individual and household characteristics. The estimation employs a treatment effects model to consider the selectivity bias caused by unmeasured characteristics. Results show that the household with the wife as the main decision-maker increases the husband's working hours by 15% and decreases the wife's working hours by 59%, compared to the household that selects a different decision-making system. This implies that the unitary model is rejected. Additionally, the husband's wage rate, the husband's and wife's health status, and their gambling addiction determine the household decision-making system such as the variables that determine the reservation utility of not being married. The effect of the decision-making system on the labour supply and that of the determinant factors on the decision-making system are consistent with the implications obtained from Nash bargaining models and collective models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4291-4300 Issue: 33 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589810 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589810 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:33:p:4291-4300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Eun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Macroeconomic determinants of the world trade disputes Abstract: This article is whether and how the world macroeconomic environments influence the world trade disputes. We use two-pronged approach. First, we try to answer the question whether and how global macroeconomic environments are attached to the count of the world trade disputes. Even if the traditional literature captures it at the national-level, global picture needs to be completed. The second question we address is that given the set of trade dispute initiating countries, whether and how differently high-, middle- and low-income countries respond to their macroeconomic environments in their decision-makings of trade disputes initiations. The universe in the second question is a selected set of the filing countries only, not all countries on this planet. One can capture the behaviours of the countries involved in the trade disputes under certain macroeconomic circumstances. The period is from 1995 to 2008, covering all records of trade disputes since the birth of the World Trade Organization (WTO). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4301-4311 Issue: 33 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589811 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589811 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:33:p:4301-4311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Valentina Hartarska Author-X-Name-First: Valentina Author-X-Name-Last: Hartarska Author-Name: Denis Nadolnyak Author-X-Name-First: Denis Author-X-Name-Last: Nadolnyak Title: Board size and diversity as governance mechanisms in community development loan funds in the USA Abstract: Community Development Loan Funds (CDLFs) in the US help revitalize low-income communities by providing financial services to underserved populations. This article uses recently available data from several surveys to explore the link between performance and board size and diversity. Given the unique nature of CDLFs, specific hypotheses are formulated based on insights from the literature on governance in banks and nonprofit institutions. To capture the CDLFs multiple objectives, the article adapts an empirical approach used to study governance in banks. The results show that efficiency improves as the board size increases up to 13 members. The results also suggest that gender diversity has a positive impact, while racial diversity is associated with a negative but negligibly small impact. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4313-4329 Issue: 33 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589812 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589812 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:33:p:4313-4329 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Denis Nadolnyak Author-X-Name-First: Denis Author-X-Name-Last: Nadolnyak Author-Name: Valentina Hartarska Author-X-Name-First: Valentina Author-X-Name-Last: Hartarska Title: Agricultural disaster payments in the southeastern US: do weather and climate variability matter? Abstract: Governments around the world are forced to react to disasters caused by weather. The agricultural sector is particularly susceptible to weather extremes and adverse climate conditions. In the US, agricultural disaster payments account for a significant part of total agricultural subsidies. The payments, and their distribution, are more important in the areas most affected by disastrous weather events, usually coinciding with areas of pronounced impact of the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO). In this article, the impact of weather and climate, as well as some economic variables, on disaster payments is analysed using county level data from four states in the southeastern United States. The results suggest that weather and climate variables explain most of the crop disaster payments at the county level while socioeconomic variables do not, suggesting that advancements in weather and climate forecasts could be helpful in planning for disaster compensation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4331-4342 Issue: 33 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589813 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:33:p:4331-4342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eva Fransen Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Fransen Author-Name: Janneke Plantenga Author-X-Name-First: Janneke Author-X-Name-Last: Plantenga Author-Name: Jan Dirk Vlasblom Author-X-Name-First: Jan Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Vlasblom Title: Why do women still earn less than men? Decomposing the Dutch gender pay gap, 1996--2006 Abstract: Despite major improvements in women's labour market attachment, women still earn considerably less than men. International research shows that the persistence of the gender pay gap may be due to the fact that although the gap in characteristics between men and women is diminishing, changes in the wage structure counteract this change. This article will study whether this ‘swimming upstream’ phenomenon is also playing a role in the rather slow convergence between male and female wages in the Netherlands. Our results indicate that this is not the case; most of the changes in the Dutch wage structure have been rather favourable to women. The lacking convergence in wages has to be explained from the fact that despite the favourable changes, the Dutch wage structure still contains a considerable implicit gender bias. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4343-4354 Issue: 33 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589818 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589818 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:33:p:4343-4354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Shi Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Economies of scale in the Australian tourism industry Abstract: The measurement of economies of scale in the tourism industry has not been done to this point, as tourism is not a specific industry according to international statistical standards. Among many industries related to tourism, four sectors (accommodation, transport, retail trade and recreational services) across six states and two territories from 1997 to 2007 are studied as they contribute nearly 70% of tourism output in Australia. By comparing regression results from the Cobb--Douglas (C--D) production function and the translog production function, we find that there is evidence of increasing returns in transport, retail trade and recreational services at the industry level. However, accommodation is characterized by constant returns to scale at the industry level. As accommodation is responsible for the biggest share of tourism output, this suggests that overall the tourism sector is not characterized by increasing returns. We also find that the degrees of returns to scale from the C--D and translog production functions are different and that the imposition of input share also influences the empirical results. Both of these factors stress the importance of model specification to the measurement of economies of scale. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4355-4367 Issue: 33 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589819 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589819 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:33:p:4355-4367 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rolf Färe Author-X-Name-First: Rolf Author-X-Name-Last: Färe Author-Name: Chenggang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chenggang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Clark Seavert Author-X-Name-First: Clark Author-X-Name-Last: Seavert Title: A model of site-specific nutrient management Abstract: A model is introduced to answer three questions pertaining to site-specific nutrient management in production of orchard crops: which input factors of crop production are limiting yield; what action should be taken to remove the limiting factors; and what is the potential gain in revenue from taking the action. Our model captures the essence of the law of the minimum in that yield and revenue increase only if the limiting nutrients are adjusted. An example of pear trees shows how to implement the method. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4369-4380 Issue: 33 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589820 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589820 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:33:p:4369-4380 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shu Chun Chang Author-X-Name-First: Shu Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: The effect of social capital on post-earthquake reconstruction (programmes) in Nantou County, Taiwan: an assessment Abstract: The study aims, through an examination of social capital on post-earthquake reconstruction programmes, to assess the impact of government's programmes on integrated community development and to draw policy implications. To this end, the study explores the programmes implemented by the government in the communities of Nantou County after the earthquake. The findings show that of the three measurements, ‘infrastructure improvement’ satisfied most respondents in the three survey areas, but in Lugu Township and in Nantou City, further improvements are needed in ‘unemployment reduction’ and ‘respondents betterment’. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4381-4389 Issue: 33 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589821 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589821 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:33:p:4381-4389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chandranath Amarasekara Author-X-Name-First: Chandranath Author-X-Name-Last: Amarasekara Author-Name: George J. Bratsiotis Author-X-Name-First: George J. Author-X-Name-Last: Bratsiotis Title: Monetary policy and real wage cyclicality Abstract: This article points to the potential role of monetary policy in affecting the degree of real wage cyclicality. We show that the degree and direction of real wage cyclicality is determined by the interaction of (i) the returns to scale in production, (ii) the nature of aggregate shocks and (iii) monetary policy. Given that production technology is fairly constant in the short run, we suggest that variations in the real wage -- output covariance depend largely on the combination of the latter two. Identifying well-documented monetary policy phases in six major Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries and accounting for both aggregate demand and supply shocks, we provide empirical evidence to support our main theoretical claim. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4391-4408 Issue: 33 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589823 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:33:p:4391-4408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shu-Chun Chang Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Evaluation of Taiwan's aboriginal development before Ching Dynasty Abstract: This study makes use of information on geography, climate, immigration, history and anthropology to analyse interactions between changes in terrain and migration developments in these two areas from 1624 to 1894. Bangang, on the Yunlin-Chiayi plain, was the biggest city in Taiwan during the period 1624-1720. However, the terrain of this area has changed greatly with the coastline moving toward the west about 20 meters per year. Therefore, many cities and harbours in this area were gradually replaced. As a result, much new land was created and many races immigrated into the area. The first Han Chinese migration was led by Yen Shih-Chi and Cheng Chih-Lung in 1624, and entered the coastal area of Yunlin-Chiayi for exploitation. By 1650 it had grown to 25 000 people and that huge number forced the Tsou tribe to begin moving toward Ali Mountain. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4409-4419 Issue: 34 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589822 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:34:p:4409-4419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Domeque Claver Author-X-Name-First: N. Domeque Author-X-Name-Last: Claver Author-Name: C. Fillat Castej󮠍 Author-X-Name-First: C. Fillat Author-X-Name-Last: Castej󮠍 Author-Name: F. Sanz Gracia Author-X-Name-First: F. Sanz Author-X-Name-Last: Gracia Title: External economies as a mechanism of agglomeration in EU manufacturing Abstract: Productive externalities are significant determinants of agglomeration, not deeply studied at the industry and international level. We analyse the impact on productivity growth of technological externalities, both inter- and intraindustry, national or international, at the industry level for the EU countries and the period 1995-2002. The results confirm the advisability of considering international externalities when countries are taken as regions, whose omission underestimates national spillovers. Together with national endowments and a central geographical position, the growth of productivity is encouraged by national and international specialization as a general result; moreover, it is fuelled by stronger interindustry spillovers and productive diversification, a result more evident for high technology industries, while lower technology industries are more sensitive to the omission of international externalities. Economic integration seems to be relevant, because supranational regions with less friction for goods and factor movements are more likely to take advantage of external economies as a mechanism of productivity growth and agglomeration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4421-4438 Issue: 34 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589824 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589824 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:34:p:4421-4438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ant󮩯 Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Ant󮩯 Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Ricardo M. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: The macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy Abstract: We investigate the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy using a Bayesian Structural Vector Autoregression (B-SVAR) approach. We identify fiscal policy shocks via a partial identification scheme, but also: (i) include the feedback from government debt; (ii) look at the impact on the composition of output; (iii) assess the effects on asset markets; (iv) use quarterly data; and (v) analyse empirical evidence from the US, the UK, Germany and Italy. The results show that government spending shocks, in general, have a small effect on Gross Domestic Product (GDP); lead to important 'crowding-out' effects; have a varied impact on housing prices and generate a quick fall in stock prices. Government revenue shocks generate a mixed effect on housing prices and a small and positive effect on stock prices. The empirical evidence also suggests that it is important to explicitly consider the government debt dynamics in the model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4439-4454 Issue: 34 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.591732 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.591732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:34:p:4439-4454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hendrik Schmitz Author-X-Name-First: Hendrik Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitz Title: More health care utilization with more insurance coverage? Evidence from a latent class model with German data Abstract: We analyse the impact of optional deductibles, private supplementary health insurance and income on the demand for health care utilization, measured as the number of physician visits with data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP). With a set of newly available variables for the years 2002, 2004 and 2006 that measure individual health more accurately and including risk-attitudes towards health we find that possible endogeneity of the insurance choice is not a problem. A latent class approach that takes into account the panel structure of the data reveals that especially individuals who have few doctor visits, the low users, respond strongest to insurance status and income. In this group we find that more insurance increases the demand for physician visits and there is a pro-rich inequity in health care utilization. No such effects are found for the high users. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4455-4468 Issue: 34 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.591733 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.591733 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:34:p:4455-4468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Hohmeyer Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Hohmeyer Title: Effectiveness of One-Euro-Jobs: do programme characteristics matter? Abstract: Recent German labour market reforms introduced a large scale workfare programme called One-Euro-Jobs to activate welfare recipients and improve their employment prospects. In programme design leeway is left to regional actors. Using administrative data and Propensity Score (PS) matching, this article investigates the association between programme design and effectiveness, so as to provide insight on how to increase programme effectiveness. First, effects of different types of One-Euro-Jobs according to planned duration and weekly working hours compared to 'waiting' are estimated. Second, programme types are compared directly to disentangle selection and programme effects. As expected lock-in effects are larger for participations with a longer planned duration, but not for those with longer weekly working hours. One-Euro-Jobs do not generally increase the employment prospects for East German men beyond 2 years after programme start and longer and more intensive participations even decrease employment prospects. In West Germany, One-Euro-Jobs generally increase the employment chances and longer participations lead to slightly greater employment opportunities roughly 2 years after programme start. The initial advantages of short participations decrease over time. Following these results, a reallocation of participants might improve programme effectiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4469-4484 Issue: 34 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.591734 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.591734 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:34:p:4469-4484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. van Lottum Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: van Lottum Author-Name: D. Marks Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Marks Title: The determinants of internal migration in a developing country: quantitative evidence for Indonesia, 1930-2000 Abstract: This study specifies and estimates a gravity model for interprovincial migration in Indonesia. Analysing five cross-sections for Indonesia's 26 provinces for five survey years between 1930 and 2000 we show that throughout the twentieth century economic factors were more important in the explanation of interprovincial migration patterns in Indonesia than planned migration policy aimed at the redistribution of the population. In addition, our regression analysis demonstrates that the urban primacy of Jakarta, Indonesia's capital, had a strong effect on the direction and size of migration flows. Our findings thus suggest that the costly government-supported migration is not very successful and that a strongly centralized government induces migration flows to the capital. These findings have policy implications for other developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4485-4494 Issue: 34 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.591735 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.591735 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:34:p:4485-4494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Zhongfei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zhongfei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Housing sales in urban Beijing Abstract: In the housing market, new properties sometimes experience delays before they are sold. Such delays reflect the preferences of buyers in respect of the homes' characteristics. Therefore, it is important for managerial purposes to identify the causes of housing sales delays. After analysing the delays in sales of housing in Beijing City, China, the principal finding of this study is that delays are largely explained by the dwellings' characteristics and location. Policy implications of the research findings, particularly those related to means of reducing the delays, are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4495-4504 Issue: 34 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.591736 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.591736 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:34:p:4495-4504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Zhang Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: G. Q. Huang Author-X-Name-First: G. Q. Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: X. Liu Author-X-Name-First: X. Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Impacts of business environment changes on global manufacturing in the Chinese Greater Pearl River Delta: a supply chain perspective Abstract: Business operating conditions have changed substantially in the Chinese Greater Pearl River Delta (GPRD) due to the Chinese currency appreciation, rising labour costs, highly volatile oil prices and new processing trade policies. Such changes have triggered manufacturers to rethink their global operations. This article studies potential global manufacturing trends from a supply chain perspective. A mixed integer programming model suggests that these changes have negatively affected the region's competitive advantages as its labour-intensive production mainly targets at the mass market and competes on low costs. Three production relocation trends are affirmed, i.e. the relocation to lower-cost areas within China, lower-cost Asian countries and areas near end markets. However, it is also discovered that the GPRD region still attracts businesses with its formation of industrial clusters, the enhanced comparative advantage against competing regions in inland China or Asian lower-cost countries under high oil prices, and Hong Kong's being a robust location choice to host trade operations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4505-4514 Issue: 34 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.591737 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.591737 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:34:p:4505-4514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth W. Clements Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth W. Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: Izan H. Y. Izan Author-X-Name-First: Izan H. Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Izan Title: The pay parity matrix - a tool for analysing the structure of pay Abstract: This article introduces a new tool for measuring relative pay within organizations. We call this innovation the 'Pay Parity (PP) matrix', and discuss its advantages and useful properties. The PP matrix allows us to conveniently measure, and draw inferences about, the nature of the whole remuneration schedule, such as its gradient and smoothness. We illustrate the application of the PP matrix by using data on the remuneration of academic executives in universities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4515-4525 Issue: 34 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.591738 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.591738 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:34:p:4515-4525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rashmi Umesh Arora Author-X-Name-First: Rashmi Umesh Author-X-Name-Last: Arora Title: Finance and inequality: a study of Indian states Abstract: Although a large literature exists on finance and economic growth, few studies have empirically examined the relationship between finance and inequality. Using grouped national household sample survey data on monthly household consumption expenditure at the sub-national level for the years 1999-2000 to 2006-2007, we examine the relationship between Financial Development (FD) and rural and urban inequality in India. The results indicate that FD is associated with a reduction in inequality, but only in the urban areas. Further, inequality is found to be higher in the richer states compared to less developed and low income states, and as state income increases, inequality also increases both in the rural and urban areas. Finally, our results show that increase in population per bank branch leads to higher inequality in urban areas but decline in rural areas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4527-4538 Issue: 34 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597736 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597736 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:34:p:4527-4538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Kvasnicka Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Kvasnicka Author-Name: Harald Tauchmann Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Tauchmann Title: Much ado about nothing? Smoking bans and Germany's hospitality industry Abstract: Over the past years, public smoking bans have been introduced in most European countries. Unlike elsewhere, in Germany such bans were introduced at state level at different points in time, which provides important intra-country regional variation that can be exploited to identify the effects of such bans on the hospitality industry. Using monthly data from a compulsory survey carried out by the German Federal Statistical Office, we study the short-run effects that these bans had on establishments’ sales. In contrast to the largely US-based literature, we find that smoke-free policies had a negative (yet moderate) effect on establishment sales. Closure rates of businesses in the hospitality industry, however, were not significantly affected by the introduction of state smoking bans. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4539-4551 Issue: 35 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.591739 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.591739 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:35:p:4539-4551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Masclet Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Masclet Author-Name: Thierry P鮡rd Author-X-Name-First: Thierry Author-X-Name-Last: P鮡rd Title: Do reputation feedback systems really improve trust among anonymous traders? An experimental study Abstract: Feedback systems are claimed to be a crucial component of the success of electronic marketplaces like eBay or Amazon Marketplace. This article aims to compare the effects of various feedback systems on trust between anonymous traders, through a set of experiments based on the trust game. Our results indicate that trust is significantly improved by the introduction of a reputation feedback system. However, such mechanisms are far from being perfect and are vulnerable to strategic ratings and reciprocation. Our findings indicate that some changes in rating rules may significantly improve the efficiency of feedback systems, by avoiding strategic rating or reciprocation, and hence stimulate trust and trustworthiness among traders. In particular, a system in which individuals are not informed of their partner's rating decision before making their own decision provides better results, both in terms of trust and earnings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4553-4573 Issue: 35 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.591740 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.591740 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:35:p:4553-4573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Gómez-Loscos Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Loscos Author-Name: Mar𨀠 Dolores Gadea Author-X-Name-First: Mar𨀠 Dolores Author-X-Name-Last: Gadea Author-Name: Antonio Montañ鳠 Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Montañ鳠 Title: Economic growth, inflation and oil shocks: are the 1970s coming back? Abstract: This article analyses the relationship between oil price shocks and the macroeconomic evolution of the Group of Seven (G7) countries. Using the Qu and Perron (2007) methodology, we endogenously identify three breaks in the nonlinear relationship across our 1970 to 2008 sample. We compute long-term multipliers and find that the response of output and inflation to oil price shocks is greatest in the 1970s and progressively disappears until the late 1990s. In contrast to the previous literature, we observe that both effects reappear in the 2000s, especially on inflation. Nevertheless, the transmission of oil price shocks to the economy is weaker than in the 1970s, which means that oil price shocks have lost some of their explanatory power. Precisely identifying these effects is crucial for the design of adequate economic measures to control or smoothen them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4575-4589 Issue: 35 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.591741 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.591741 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:35:p:4575-4589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiao Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Gail A. Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Gail A. Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Title: Does health insurance reduce illness-related worker absenteeism? Abstract: The objective of this article is to examine whether having health insurance reduces illness-related absenteeism among older workers. A nationally representative sample of 1780 workers in the United States, aged 52--64, are drawn from the 2004--2006 Health and Retirement Study (HRS). Binary logistic regressions and censored Tobit models are estimated for workers’ likelihood of missing work days due to illness and the number of illness-related work days missed, respectively, while explicitly addressing the possibility of insurance-selection effects. The findings suggest that over a 12-month period, older workers without health insurance are as likely as insured workers to miss work days due to illness and there are no differences in the number of days missed between insured and uninsured workers. However, there is strong evidence that poor baseline health, onset of new diseases and longer hospitalization significantly increase an older worker's absenteeism at work. These results suggest that having health insurance does not affect illness-related absenteeism among older workers in the US. Future research examining other aspects of worker productivity, such as ‘presenteeism’, and the longer term effects of insurance on productivity can extend our understanding of the role of health insurance in the workplace. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4591-4603 Issue: 35 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.593498 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.593498 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:35:p:4591-4603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Cristina Zhunio Author-X-Name-First: Maria Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Zhunio Author-Name: Sharmila Vishwasrao Author-X-Name-First: Sharmila Author-X-Name-Last: Vishwasrao Author-Name: Eric P. Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Eric P. Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Title: The influence of remittances on education and health outcomes: a cross country study Abstract: We study the effect of international remittances on aggregate educational and health outcomes using a sample of 69 low- and middle-income countries. We find that remittances play an important role in improving primary and secondary school attainment, increasing life expectancy and reducing infant mortality. Our results suggest that as migration laws continue to support greater emigration and remittances, policies should be enacted to facilitate the flow of remittances as they represent a significant source for economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4605-4616 Issue: 35 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.593499 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.593499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:35:p:4605-4616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jun Nagayasu Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Nagayasu Title: Financial innovation and regional money Abstract: This article studies the effect that financial innovation, which has been very common in recent years, has on money. Using Japanese regional data and the money demand specification, we first provide evidence of instability in the simple money-output relationship. However, when this relationship is extended to include a proxy for a comprehensive measure of financial innovation, the model is found to be stable. Furthermore, consistent with economic theory, evidence is obtained of financial innovation leading to decreased demand for liquid financial assets. In this respect, in Japan demand deposits seem to possess very similar characteristics to cash over recent years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4617-4629 Issue: 35 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.593500 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.593500 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:35:p:4617-4629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emma M. Iglesias Author-X-Name-First: Emma M. Author-X-Name-Last: Iglesias Title: An analysis of extreme movements of exchange rates of the main currencies traded in the Foreign Exchange market Abstract: This article analyses the extreme movements of exchange rates of the seven main currencies traded in the Foreign Exchange market against the US dollar: Euro, British pound, Canadian dollar, Japanese Yen, Swiss franc, Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar by using tail index indicators. Payaslioğlu (2009) considers the case of the Turkish exchange rate using the traditional Hill (1975) estimator as a tool. In this article, we employ also an alternative estimator proposed in Iglesias and Linton (2009) that is shown to have, in some cases, improved finite sample properties and it provides substantially different results versus the Hill estimator. We find that for the Euro, Japanese Yen, Swiss franc, Canadian, Australian and New Zealand dollars, the Hill estimator provides a better measure to analyse the extreme behaviour; while for the British pound, the Iglesias and Linton alternative estimator is superior by using Hausman-type tests of misspecification. Measures of value at risk are also provided for the seven markets. We also find that the largest estimated value at risk by far is for the Japanese Yen, followed by the Swiss franc, the Canadian dollar, the Euro, the New Zealand dollar and the Australian dollar. The UK pound has the smallest value at risk when extreme movements occur. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4631-4637 Issue: 35 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.593501 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.593501 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:35:p:4631-4637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarah Brown Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Andrew Dickerson Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Dickerson Author-Name: Jolian McHardy Author-X-Name-First: Jolian Author-X-Name-Last: McHardy Author-Name: Karl Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Karl Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Gambling and credit: an individual and household level analysis for the UK Abstract: We explore the relationship between gambling and the use of credit at the individual and household levels using representative pooled cross-section data from the UK Expenditure and Food Surveys (EFS) (2001--2007). Gambling and the use of credit are shown to be positively correlated at the household level. We find that both the incidence and amount of gambling vary according to household income and the positive association between gambling and credit is stable across household income. It is also apparent that there is strong intra-household correlation in both gambling activity and the use of credit, with stronger relationships in lower income households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4639-4650 Issue: 35 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.593502 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.593502 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:35:p:4639-4650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Chi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chang-Ching Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chang-Ching Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Information shocks and cigarette addiction: views from dynamic panels with common structural changes Abstract: In this article we attempt to evaluate the impact of various information shocks on cigarette consumption. In contrast to the existing studies, we do not impose any break points a priori. We use recently developed techniques for sample splitting in the data on US cigarette demand, and find that using a time index as a transition variable can cluster cigarette demand into four distinct regimes. In the past four decades a myopic-to-rational switch in cigarette consumption behaviour was observed in response to various anti-smoking information events. In particular, we find strong evidence in support of the rational addiction model in the 1980s and 1990s. Moreover, in line with the theoretical prediction, our estimate of the long-run elasticity is twice as large as the short-run elasticity. Our empirical framework should improve policy makers' understanding of the dynamics of cigarette consumption in response to various anti-smoking campaigns, and stress the role of sound policy making in improving smoking control measures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4651-4660 Issue: 35 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597733 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597733 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:35:p:4651-4660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Conte Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Conte Author-Name: Peter G. Moffatt Author-X-Name-First: Peter G. Author-X-Name-Last: Moffatt Author-Name: Fabrizio Botti Author-X-Name-First: Fabrizio Author-X-Name-Last: Botti Author-Name: Daniela T. Di Cagno Author-X-Name-First: Daniela T. Author-X-Name-Last: Di Cagno Author-Name: Carlo D’Ippoliti Author-X-Name-First: Carlo Author-X-Name-Last: D’Ippoliti Title: A test of the rational expectations hypothesis using data from a natural experiment Abstract: Data on contestants’ choices in Italian Game Show Affari Tuoi are analysed in a way that separates the effect of risk attitude (preferences) from that of beliefs concerning the amount of money that will be offered to contestants in future rounds. This separate identification is possible by virtue of the fact that, at a certain stage of the game, beliefs are not relevant, and risk attitude is the sole determinant of choice. The rational expectations hypothesis is tested by comparing the estimated belief function with the ‘true’ offer function which is estimated extraneously using data on offers actually made to contestants. We find a close correspondence, leading us to accept the rational expectations hypothesis. The importance of belief formation is confirmed by the estimation of a mixture model which establishes that the vast majority of contestants are forward looking as opposed to myopic. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4661-4678 Issue: 35 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597734 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597734 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:35:p:4661-4678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Maltritz Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Maltritz Author-Name: A. Bühn Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bühn Author-Name: S. Eichler Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Eichler Title: Modelling country default risk as a latent variable: a multiple indicators multiple causes approach Abstract: We study the determinants of country default risk by applying a Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes (MIMIC) model. This accounts for the fact that country default risk is an unobservable variable. Whereas existing (regression-based) approaches typically use only one of several possible country default risk indicators as the dependent variable, the MIMIC model enables us to consider several indicators at once. The simultaneous consideration of sovereign yield spreads and Standard and Poor (S&P) ratings may help to improve the identification of the latent country default risk. Our results confirm most of the literature's main findings regarding important determinants of country default risk, refute others and provide new evidence to controversial questions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4679-4688 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.528369 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.528369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4679-4688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Feng-Yuan Moh Author-X-Name-First: Feng-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Moh Author-Name: Hsi-Peng Lu Author-X-Name-First: Hsi-Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Bing-Huei Lin Author-X-Name-First: Bing-Huei Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Contributions to financial crisis research: an assessment of the literature in Social Science Citation Index journals from 1990 to 2008 Abstract: Research in the field of financial crisis has generated a considerable amount of literature in the past, yet there has neither been any study to assess the contributions to the literature made by individuals or institutions, nor any to measure the impact of the articles and researchers. This study represents an attempt to: (1) investigate the major journals in publishing financial crisis research, (2) assess the contributions of individual researchers and institutions using the credited contribution approach and (3) measure the impact of individual publications and individual researchers on the financial crisis literature through citation analysis, based on the publications in Social Science Citation Index (SSCI) journals from 1990 to 2008. The findings provide a useful benchmark for assessing individual and institutional research productivity, and trends for future research and venues for publications are identified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4689-4700 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.528370 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.528370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4689-4700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gaurav Nayyar Author-X-Name-First: Gaurav Author-X-Name-Last: Nayyar Title: The quality of employment in India's services sector: exploring the heterogeneity Abstract: For some observers, the dramatic growth of the services sector in India reflects rapid strides made by educated professionals. Some others see it as the expansion of an employer of last resort. Given this heterogeneity, the object of this article is to analyse the quality of employment being created in different sub-sectors of services, relative to the industrial sector, where quality is defined to include wages, job security and social protection. Analysing household survey data from India in 1993--94 and 2004--05, we find the following. First, sub-sectors of services are generally either ‘good’ or ‘bad’ employers -- higher wages do not compensate for less job security or less job protection. Second, the classification of most service sub-sectors as ‘good’ or ‘bad’ employers in 2004--05 is the same as that in 1993--94. Third, employment expansion during the 10-year period under consideration is more in service sub-sectors where quality of employment is low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4701-4719 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589816 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589816 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4701-4719 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Pedace Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Pedace Author-Name: Christine DuBois Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: DuBois Title: Immigration policy and employment assimilation in the United States Abstract: We examine the impact of immigration policy on the employment propensity and assimilation of immigrants using a pooled cross-section of the 1994--2004 Current Population Surveys (CPS). The results are generally consistent with positive immigrant employment assimilation. A Blinder--Oaxaca style decomposition shows that the foreign-born obtain more employment primarily through human capital acquisition and changes in labour market conditions rather than higher returns to observable skills, as sometimes seen in wage studies. In addition, our analysis suggests that immigration policies may influence both labour demand and supply incentives and are associated with structural shifts in the labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4721-4730 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589817 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589817 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4721-4730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Loreto Lira Author-X-Name-First: Loreto Author-X-Name-Last: Lira Author-Name: Magdalena Ugarte Author-X-Name-First: Magdalena Author-X-Name-Last: Ugarte Author-Name: Rodrigo Vergara Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Vergara Title: Prices and market structure: an empirical analysis of the supermarket industry in Chile Abstract: This article investigates empirically the relationship between market structure and consumer prices in the supermarket industry in Chile. A panel of monthly data from 16 cities in the period January 1998--September 2006 is used. We find that, the more concentrated the industry in a city, the higher the prices, while the participation of major national chains in cities tends to lower prices. In terms of magnitude, this latter effect prevails over the former. Moreover, the dominant local chain is found to behave differently depending on whether or not one of the national chains is present in the city. Finally, we find that prices rise when a national chain acquires another chain and both were previously in a city (inmerge) while if only one of the two was present (outmerge), prices fall. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4731-4744 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.595689 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.595689 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4731-4744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V񍁯r M. González Author-X-Name-First: V񍁯r M. Author-X-Name-Last: González Author-Name: Francisco González Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: González Title: Firm size and capital structure: evidence using dynamic panel data Abstract: This article suggests that the validity of the Trade-Off Theory (TOT) and Pecking-Order Theory (POT) to explain financing decisions varies among small, medium-sized and large firms. Using dynamic panel data tests on a sample of 3439 Spanish firms over the period 1995--2003, results are partially consistent with both explanations but suggest a greater validity of pecking-order predictions for small firms. In small firms, the negative influence of profitability and the positive influence of investment opportunities and of intangible assets on firm debt predicted by the POT are heightened. However, no differences are observed between small and large firms in their speed of adjustment to the target leverage as suggested by the TOT. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4745-4754 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.595690 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.595690 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4745-4754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Kumazawa Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Kumazawa Author-Name: P. Gomis-Porqueras Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Gomis-Porqueras Title: An empirical analysis of patents flows and R&D flows around the world Abstract: In this article, we empirically investigate the effect of Research and Development (R&D) flows on patent flows around the world. We do this using an unbalanced panel consisting primarily of Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries that have both patent and R&D expenditure information broken down by domestic and foreign sources. Our analysis shows that even among a fairly homogeneous group of countries, the sources of patents and R&D differ substantially. Using a dynamic panel framework, we find that domestic R&D per capita increases domestic patents per capita only for the European Patent Convention (EPC) countries that already have a decentralized approach to innovation. Foreign R&D per capita increases foreign patents per capita in all countries even though foreign R&D constitutes a very small fraction of total R&D. We find that some of these differences can be attributed to the locations of the patent applications, including those to the European Patent Office (EPO), United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) and triadic patent applications to the EPO, USPTO and Japan Patent Office (JPO) simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4755-4763 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.528375 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.528375 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4755-4763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro de Faria Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: de Faria Author-Name: Francisco Lima Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Title: Interdependence and spillovers: is firm performance affected by others’ innovation activities? Abstract: The creation of new knowledge is a case in which agents' behaviour can affect the performance of other actors positively, given that new knowledge creates positive externalities in the market. In this context, we investigate the existence of performance spillovers associated with innovation activities by quantifying the innovation produced in surrounding firms and controlling for the fact that a firm is itself an innovation producer. We use data from the Third Community Innovation Survey (CIS III) that measures innovation in a broad way, not reducing it to R&D and patents, which departs from previous literature on spillovers. Furthermore, to tackle the endogeneity of the innovation variables on the firm production decision, we resort to the firm intellectual property protection methods as an instrument. We found a positive spillover of innovation on firm value added. The results also show that process innovation spillovers are more prevalent than product innovation spillovers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4765-4775 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.560108 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.560108 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4765-4775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Cowie Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Cowie Title: Contestability in bus markets -- evidence from the British de-regulated market Abstract: Following the 1985 Transport Act in Great Britain, reforms in the provision of bus services continue across Europe and other parts of the world to this day. The British experience, however, remains a key point of study in informing these continuing developments. This article looks at the issue of contestability in bus markets, and tests for the existence of the contestable market in Britain through an examination of fare levels, profit margins and technical efficiencies in 90 identifiable bus markets. The main conclusion is that there is evidence of the contestable market in Britain, however it can hardly be described as widespread, only found to be present in 15 of the 90 markets identified in the sample. The real issue however, particularly with regard to continuing reforms elsewhere in Europe, is the ability of regulatory authorities to maintain competitive and contestable (free) markets and the research suggests that in the face of market forces this is simply not possible. The only conclusion therefore is that contestability in the free market is not sustainable, and thus can only be introduced directly through franchising. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4777-4785 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564146 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4777-4785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: M. Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Zulal Denaux Author-X-Name-First: Zulal Author-X-Name-Last: Denaux Author-Name: Yeliz Yalcin Author-X-Name-First: Yeliz Author-X-Name-Last: Yalcin Title: Turkish monetary policy and components of aggregate demand: a VAR analysis with sign restrictions model Abstract: This article estimates the effects of monetary policy on components of aggregate demand using quarterly data on Turkish economy from 1987--2008 by means of structural Vector Autoregression (VAR) methodology. This study adopts Uhlig's (2005) sign restrictions on the impulse responses of main macroeconomic variables to identify monetary shock. This study finds that expansionary monetary policy stimulates output through consumption and investment in the short-run. However, expansionary monetary policy is ineffective in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4787-4798 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564151 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564151 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4787-4798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Agiakloglou Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Agiakloglou Author-Name: Apostolos Tsimpanos Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Tsimpanos Title: An alternative approach for testing for linear association for two independent stationary AR(1) processes Abstract: Spurious correlations occur when two independent time series are found to be correlated according to the typical statistical procedure for testing the null hypothesis of zero correlation in the population. Using a Monte Carlo analysis, this study examines the spurious correlation phenomenon for two independent stationary AR(1) processes and it finds that if an alternative testing procedure is applied, spurious behaviour is eliminated using the variance of the sample correlation coefficient of these two series, suggested by Bartlett (1935). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4799-4803 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.595695 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.595695 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4799-4803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Lucke Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Lucke Title: Testing the technology interpretation of news shocks Abstract: This article presents further evidence on the hypothesis of news driven business cycles. I use a structural Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) approach to identify news shocks as in Beaudry and Lucke (BL, 2010). I document three facts: first, news shocks identified by BL are Granger causal for US patent data; second, BL's analysis applied to German macro data reveals very similar patterns: activity is largely driven by news, and news shocks explain a sizable and increasing share of Total Factor Productivity (TFP) variance at long horizons; and third, German news shocks are Granger causal for German patent data and the pattern is, again, very similar to the US. Since patent data in the US and Germany are almost uncorrelated, the similarity is striking and strongly suggests a technology interpretation of news shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-13 Issue: 1 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566209 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:1:p:1-13 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enrique Fatás Author-X-Name-First: Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Fatás Author-Name: Nikolaos Georgantz񈀍 Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Georgantz񈀍 Author-Name: Juan A. Máñez Author-X-Name-First: Juan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Máñez Author-Name: Gerardo Sabater Author-X-Name-First: Gerardo Author-X-Name-Last: Sabater Title: Experimental duopolies under price guarantees Abstract: In a symmetric differentiated experimental duopoly we test the ability of Price Guarantees (PGs) to raise prices above the competitive levels. Different types of PGs (‘aggressive’ and ‘soft’ price-beating and price-matching) are implemented either as an exogenously imposed market rule or as a business strategy. Our results show that PGs may lead close to the collusive outcome, depending on whether the interaction between duopolists is repeated and provided that the guarantee is not of the ‘aggressive’ price-beating type. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 15-35 Issue: 1 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568398 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568398 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:1:p:15-35 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joo Heon Park Author-X-Name-First: Joo Heon Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Douglas L. MacLachlan Author-X-Name-First: Douglas L. Author-X-Name-Last: MacLachlan Title: Estimating willingness to pay by risk adjustment mechanism Abstract: Measuring consumers’ Willingness To Pay (WTP) without considering the level of uncertainty in valuation and the consequent risk premiums will result in estimates that are biased toward lower values. This research proposes a model and method for correctly assessing WTP in cases involving valuation uncertainty. The new method, called Risk Adjustment Mechanism (RAM), is presented theoretically and demonstrated empirically. It is shown that the RAM outperforms the traditional method for assessing WTP, especially in a context of a nonmarket good such as a totally new product. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 37-46 Issue: 1 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.568404 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.568404 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:1:p:37-46 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: António Gomes de Menezes Author-X-Name-First: António Gomes Author-X-Name-Last: de Menezes Author-Name: Jos頠 Cabral Vieira Author-X-Name-First: Jos頠 Cabral Author-X-Name-Last: Vieira Title: Measurement of hospital efficiency, using a latent class stochastic frontier model Abstract: This article analyses the technical efficiency of Portuguese hospitals from 1997 to 2008 with the latent class frontier model, enabling the identification of different segments in the cost frontier. It is found that there are three statistically significant segments in the sample, leading to the conclusion that no common health policy can be applicable to all the hospitals analysed, calling rather for policies conceived for each hospital segment identified. The health policy based in the identified segments enables a more accurate and cost effective management of resources. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 47-54 Issue: 1 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.579061 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.579061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:1:p:47-54 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Constant I. Tra Author-X-Name-First: Constant I. Author-X-Name-Last: Tra Title: Nonlinear income effects in random utility models: revisiting the accuracy of the representative consumer approximation Abstract: This article investigates the implications of nonlinear income effects in Random Utility Models (RUM) for measuring general equilibrium welfare impacts. A popular approach in applied welfare analysis is to approximate the expected compensating variation (cv) for an amenity change as the cv of a representative consumer whose indirect utility is given by the expected maximum utility. However, this approach can be misleading in the case of nonmarginal changes as it implies that changes in income do not affect the consumer's choice. In this case the true expected cv can be obtained via simulation. Empirical applications to recreational demand find that the bias from the representative approach is small. This article re-evaluates the accuracy of the representative consumer approximation in the context of measuring the general equilibrium welfare impacts of large environmental changes. Our findings suggest that, though the representative consumer approximation could lead to biased point estimates of the expected cv, this bias is overwhelmed by the size of the confidence intervals that result from the empirical estimation of household preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 55-63 Issue: 1 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589807 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589807 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:1:p:55-63 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hugo J. Far𨀍 Author-X-Name-First: Hugo J. Author-X-Name-Last: Far𨀍 Author-Name: Hugo M. Montesinos-Yufa Author-X-Name-First: Hugo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Montesinos-Yufa Author-Name: Daniel R. Morales Author-X-Name-First: Daniel R. Author-X-Name-Last: Morales Author-Name: C鳡r G. Aviles B. Author-X-Name-First: C鳡r G. Author-X-Name-Last: Aviles B. Author-Name: Osmel Brito-Bigott Author-X-Name-First: Osmel Author-X-Name-Last: Brito-Bigott Title: Does corruption cause encumbered business regulations? An IV approach Abstract: In this research we attempt to understand the effects of corruption on business regulations measured by number of procedures, time and costs involved in satisfying governmental requisites. Using Two-Stage-Least Squares (2SLS) methods we lessen the problems associated with endogeneity and uncovered the existence of a robust, positive, statistically significant and quantitatively large direction channel from corruption to encumbered business regulations. These results suggest the need to deter corruption in order to improve business regulations. The quest to reduce corruption worldwide acquires new relevancy given the findings of Djankov et al. (2006) that countries with simple and transparent regulations grow faster. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 65-83 Issue: 1 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589814 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589814 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:1:p:65-83 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Decomposition of new venture growth into firm age, survey period and vintage effects Abstract: Firm data are accumulated on a yearly basis. In view of the linear relationship of firm age + foundation year = survey year, the fluctuations of firm data classified by age and period cannot be decomposed into age, period and cohort (foundation year) effects. Three decomposition methods are briefly reviewed and applied to Japanese data on new ventures founded since 1995. Regarding sales and employment growth, the age effect is the largest with a downward trend, and the cohort effect is negligible. Regarding labour productivity, the age effect indicates upward movements, and the cohort effect is negligible. The reason of the negligible cohort effect is discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 85-97 Issue: 1 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589815 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589815 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:1:p:85-97 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas G鲡rd Vaillant Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas G鲡rd Author-X-Name-Last: Vaillant Author-Name: François-Charles Wolff Author-X-Name-First: François-Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Title: Understanding how experts rate cigars: a ‘havanometric’ analysis Abstract: Drawing on data from an annual French guidebook published in 2004, this article focuses on the determinants of experts’ ratings on Cuban cigars. We find that high quality cigars are more likely to be recommended to more experienced cigar lovers. Both the self-assessed quality and recommendation depend on the length and diameter of the cigars, but also on more subjective characteristics like number and type of aromas. Results from a Fields’ decomposition show that the quality of cigars is much more sensitive to the presence of a defect and number of aromas than the experts’ recommendation, which is more influenced by the rarity of cigars. Finally, it is essentially the cigars’ objective characteristics that have an influence on their prices, meaning that consumers truly benefit from additional qualitative information when reading experts’ advice and ratings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 99-109 Issue: 1 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.595691 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.595691 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:1:p:99-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mar𨀠 P𨁏livero Author-X-Name-First: Mar𨀠 P𨀍 Author-X-Name-Last: Olivero Author-Name: Robert Madak Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Madak Title: Financial integration within Europe and the international transmission of business cycles among industrialized countries Abstract: We exploit a dataset on financial integration within Europe to answer a novel question in the international Real Business Cycle (RBC) literature. Does financial integration within Europe matter for the international transmission of business cycles between the United States and Europe? We find that it does, and that as European countries become more financially integrated among themselves, European business cycles start to ‘decouple’ from those in the United States. We show that this is true for three macro indicators of economic activity: Gross Domestic Product (GDP), consumption and investment, and for five alternative measures of the degree of financial integration. We also show that the effect of trade linkages becomes insignificant once financial factors are accounted for. Our work has interesting policy implications since it unveils the importance of further integration in the EU to slow down the transmission of aggregate shocks among industrialized nations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 111-122 Issue: 1 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.595693 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.595693 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:1:p:111-122 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Winchester Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Winchester Author-Name: R. T. Stefani Author-X-Name-First: R. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Stefani Title: An innovative approach to National Football League standings using bonus points Abstract: We investigate the inclusion of bonus points in the National Football League (NFL) using a prediction model built on league points. Both touchdown-based and narrow-loss bonuses are shown to be significant determinants of match outcomes. This implies that including bonus points in league standings generates a more accurate ranking of teams from best to worst than a system that only rewards wins and ties. Our preferred system awards four points for a win, two for a tie, one point for scoring three or more touchdowns and one point for losing by seven or fewer points. Such a system would also make it easier for supporters to identify playoff contenders and place importance on otherwise meaningless end-of-game plays in some matches, which would increase spectator interest. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 123-134 Issue: 1 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.595694 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.595694 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:1:p:123-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chin Hsien Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Chin Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Author-Name: Fengyi Lin Author-X-Name-First: Fengyi Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Applying digital analysis to detect fraud: an empirical analysis of US marine industry Abstract: Firms have tendency to window dress their financial statements by reporting earnings to achieve reference points represented by N × 10 -super-k . Such practice of reporting rounded earnings is likely due to (1) firms may believe that investors perceive a reported earnings of $1.99 million to be significantly less than $2.0 million; and/or (2) contracts between firms and stakeholders are likely to express earnings in round numbers. Auditors have employed more sophisticated digital analysis such as Benford's law, as part of their fraud detection processes. This study investigated the window dressing behaviour among firms in the US marine industry. The findings of the study suggest that window dressing is a significant practice among the marine firms. However, the extent of the pervasiveness of such behaviour is less severe among marine firms than among all publicly-listed firms in the entire US economy, suggesting that the quality of financial statements of marine companies is higher than the overall population of public companies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 135-140 Issue: 1 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.605759 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.605759 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:1:p:135-140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bedassa Tadesse Author-X-Name-First: Bedassa Author-X-Name-Last: Tadesse Author-Name: Elias K. Shukralla Author-X-Name-First: Elias K. Author-X-Name-Last: Shukralla Title: The impact of foreign direct investment on horizontal export diversification: empirical evidence Abstract: Using data on stocks of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) from 131 countries spanning the years 1984 to 2004 and the number of products exported by each country, we examine the effect of FDI on horizontal export diversification. To quantify the effects, we utilize parametric (quantile) and semi-parametric econometric methods. Results from both approaches indicate that, in general, an increase in the stock of FDI enhances the horizontal diversification of exports. The actual magnitude of the effect however, varies greatly across countries depending on the existing stock of FDI and stage of diversification, giving rise to an almost inverted U-shaped relationship. A further look at our results provides useful insights on the circumstances under which FDI may aid or inhibit the horizontal expansion of exports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 141-159 Issue: 2 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.595692 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.595692 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:2:p:141-159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristina Mart󹑺-Sola Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Mart󹑺-Sola Author-Name: Pedro J. Garc𫑔eruel Author-X-Name-First: Pedro J. Author-X-Name-Last: Garc𫑔eruel Author-Name: Pedro Mart󹑺-Solano Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Mart󹑺-Solano Title: Corporate cash holding and firm value Abstract: This study contrasts the effect of cash holding on firm value for a sample of US industrial firms during 2001--2007. The study tests empirically for the existence of an optimal cash level that maximizes firm value. Second, the study analyses whether or not deviations from the optimum cash level reduce firm value. The results show a concave relation between cash holding and firm value, verifying the existence of an optimum level of cash holding. Additionally consistent with the initial analysis, deviations above and below optimal cash holding decreases the firm value. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 161-170 Issue: 2 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.595696 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.595696 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:2:p:161-170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Viet Anh Dang Author-X-Name-First: Viet Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Dang Title: Testing capital structure theories using error correction models: evidence from the UK, France and Germany Abstract: We employ an error correction model of leverage to test the trade-off and pecking order theories of capital structure for firms in the UK, France and Germany. The error correction framework extends the partial adjustment model by explicitly modelling changes in target leverage and past deviations from such target as determinants of firms’ dynamic leverage adjustment process. We also augment our empirical models to test the pecking order theory. Using appropriate and advanced dynamic panel data methods, we find that UK, French and German firms adjust towards target leverage quickly in both the partial adjustment and error correction models, which is consistent with the trade-off theory. We further show that the trade-off theory explains these firms’ capital structure decisions better than the pecking order theory in the models nesting the two theories. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 171-190 Issue: 2 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597724 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597724 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:2:p:171-190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho-Chuan (River) Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Chuan (River) Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Chih-Chuan Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: Okun's law in panels of countries and states Abstract: This article contributes to the empirical literature of Okun's law in three respects. First, in contrast to the limited data used in the existing studies, we employ two extensive (across countries and across states, i.e. within a country) panel data sets to investigate the validity of Okun's law. Second, the use of the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimator permits us not to pre-filter the data as often done in the current literature, and can take into account the possibility of cointegration between unemployment and output. Third, in addition to the short-run relationship or cyclical components between unemployment and output, we also estimate the long-run linkage between these two important variables. Empirical results show that unemployment and output are long-run cointegrated, irrespective of using country- or state-level data. Moreover, the unemployment-output linkages are found to be negative and highly significant both in the short- and long-run. Our results not only confirm the validity of Okun's law (in the short-run) but also point out that a similar tradeoff exists in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 191-199 Issue: 2 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597725 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597725 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:2:p:191-199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fırat Bilgel Author-X-Name-First: Fırat Author-X-Name-Last: Bilgel Author-Name: Kien C. Tran Author-X-Name-First: Kien C. Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: The determinants of Canadian provincial health expenditures: evidence from a dynamic panel Abstract: This article seeks to reveal the magnitude of the income elasticity of health expenditure and the impact of non income determinants of health expenditure across Canada. For this purpose, panel data on gross domestic product, the relative price of health care, the share of publicly funded health expenditure, the share of senior population and the life expectancy at birth have been used to investigate the determinants of Canadian provincial health expenditures over a 28 year period. Dynamic models of health expenditure are analysed via Generalized Instrumental Variables (GIV) and Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). Results indicate that the long run income elasticity of health expenditure is substantially lower than one. Thus, health care is far from being a luxury in Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 201-212 Issue: 2 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597726 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:2:p:201-212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Author-Name: Mohan Nandha Author-X-Name-First: Mohan Author-X-Name-Last: Nandha Author-Name: Yuan Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Title: Dynamics of CDS spread indexes of US financial sectors Abstract: This article examines the Credit Default Swap (CDS) spread index for three sectors, banking, financial services and insurance, in the short and long run. In the long run, the results show that the index of the insurance sector which sells the long term CDS contracts has the highest adjustment, while the banking sector is not error correcting. In the short run, although the insurance sector CDS spread index has general predictive power of all sector CDS spreads, the evidence suggests that the banking sector particularly leads the financial services and this in turn leads the insurance sector, implying a leading sector CDS pricing role for the banking spreads in the short run. The short run sensitivity Generalized Impulse Response Function (GIRF) and Generalized Variance Decomposition (GVDC) analyses also demonstrate that the sectors’ credit risk responds more to credit events in the banking sector than in the other two sectors other than their own over a 50 day horizon. However, the lowest cross sector CDS shock impacts in the short run come from the insurance sector. These results are useful for regulators wishing to embark on new regulations of these financial institutions such as Basel III. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 213-223 Issue: 2 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597727 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597727 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:2:p:213-223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heng-Chih Chou Author-X-Name-First: Heng-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Rim Zaabar Author-X-Name-First: Rim Author-X-Name-Last: Zaabar Author-Name: David Wang Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Measuring and testing the long-term impact of terrorist attacks on the US futures market Abstract: This article investigates the long-term impact of the 11 September 2001 terrorist attacks on the maturity, volume and open interest effects for the S&P 500 index futures contracts. Adopting Chou (2005a, b)'s range-based volatility models, this article provides a number of interesting results. For the maturity effect, we find evidence for a very weak presence in the pre 9/11 period and no presence in the post 9/11 period, indicating that the maturity effect vanishes completely following the event of 9/11. Despite a strong presence of the volume effect in both periods, we detect a relative decrease in the presence during the post 9/11 period. The open interest effect shows a very weak presence during the pre 9/11 period and a strong presence during the post 9/11 period, indicating a stronger open interest effect following the event of 9/11. Furthermore, we show that there is a bi-directional causality relationship between futures volatility and trading volume during the pre 9/11 period, and that the causality relationship between the two variables becomes unidirectional during the post 9/11 period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 225-238 Issue: 2 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597728 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597728 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:2:p:225-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vincenzo Carrieri Author-X-Name-First: Vincenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Carrieri Author-Name: Marcel Bilger Author-X-Name-First: Marcel Author-X-Name-Last: Bilger Title: Preventive care: underused even when free. Is there something else at work? Abstract: Explaining the rationale of preventive care underuse is a difficult task considering its great benefits for health. Underuse is even more difficult to explain in countries like Italy where preventive care can be obtained for free. In this article we investigate the determinants of prevention underuse with an empirical model based on human capital theory which also includes three factors to which little attention has been paid so far: role played by the General Practitioner (GP), nonmonetary barriers to access and health beliefs. We apply a recursive probit model explaining both recourse to prevention and to the GP which allows us to adequately measure the effect of the latter on the former and to quantitatively compare the determinants of curative and preventive care. We find that the GP plays a minor role in prevention use but that nonmonetary barriers to access and health beliefs are strong determinants of preventive care demand. Finally, we also find support for both Grossman's capital depreciation theory (at younger ages) and Cropper's shorter pay-off period theory (at older ages). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 239-253 Issue: 2 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597729 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597729 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:2:p:239-253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicente Tuesta Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Tuesta Title: The consumption-real exchange rate anomaly: nontraded goods and distribution services Abstract: In the data, Real Exchange Rates (RERs) tend to move in opposite directions with respect to the relative consumption across countries. Chari et al. (2002) refer to the inability of models to replicate the previous stylized fact as the consumption-RER anomaly. In this article, it is shown that an International Real Business Cycle (IRBC) model, similar to the one proposed by Chari et al. but extended by considering nontraded goods and an incomplete asset market structure, can solve the anomaly. Nontradable goods amplify wealth effects arising from the incomplete assets market structure, generating a negative co-movement between the RER and relative consumption. Adding Distribution Services (DS) improves the performance of the model in some other dimensions. In particular, DS help to generate countercyclical net exports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 255-271 Issue: 2 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597730 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597730 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:2:p:255-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daehwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Daehwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jung Inn Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jung Inn Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Taeyoon Sung Author-X-Name-First: Taeyoon Author-X-Name-Last: Sung Title: Stock market liberalization and price response: gradualism versus cold turkey Abstract: We present a simple analytical framework that illustrates the impact of two types of market liberalization on stock prices: cold turkey versus gradual liberalization. Using this theoretical framework, we show that gradual stock market liberalization can have a negative impact on stock prices when such gradual liberalization increases uncertainty about future stock prices. We examine the liberalization experience of the Korean stock market, and find that our analysis could be relevant in that case. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 273-285 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597731 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597731 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:3:p:273-285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph M. Santos Author-X-Name-First: Joseph M. Author-X-Name-Last: Santos Title: Trading grain now and then: the relative performance of early grain-futures markets Abstract: Popular hostilities toward futures trading in the United States date to the nineteenth century, when many Americans perceived then-nascent grain exchanges as little more than gaming parlours that existed to serve the illegitimate aspirations of gamblers--a depiction that, if anything, compromises the legitimacy of modern futures exchanges. Yet, agricultural historians have largely praised the performance of these early markets, which they contend were shaped by commercial interests who sought successfully to mitigate price risk. In any case, our understanding of how early futures markets performed is fragmented, and so such claims remain largely unsubstantiated in a quantifiable sense. Even so, futures-price data are available for the late-nineteenth century, thanks to the Chicago Board of Trade (CBT), which pioneered grain-futures trading in the 1860s. In this article, I test and compare the performance of wheat, corn, and oats futures prices on the CBT from 1880 to 1890 and from 1997 to 2007. My results indicate that grain-futures markets in both periods are efficient in the long run. Short-run performance is mixed, and inefficiency is more evident in the nineteenth century. On balance, my results support the notion that early grain-futures exchanges benefited commercial interests and the grain trade more generally. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 287-298 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597732 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:3:p:287-298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Grund Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Grund Author-Name: Andreas Schmitt Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitt Title: Works councils, wages and job satisfaction Abstract: We investigate the effects of works councils on employees' wages and job satisfaction in general and for subgroups with respect to sex and occupational status. Making use of a German representative sample of employees, we find that employees, who move to a firm with a works council, report increases in job satisfaction, but do not receive particular wage increases. Especially the job satisfaction of female employees is affected by a change in works council status. However, we do not find support for the hypothesis that the introduction of a works council itself increases wages or job satisfaction for the employees staying at the firm. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 299-310 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597735 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597735 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:3:p:299-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inmaculada Mart󹑺-Zarzoso Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Mart󹑺-Zarzoso Title: The log of gravity revisited Abstract: This article evaluates the performance of alternative estimation methods for gravity models with heteroscedasticity and zero trade values. Both problematic issues, recently addressed by Santos Silva and Tenreyro in an influential paper, are re-examined here. We use Monte Carlo simulations to compare the Pseudo Poisson Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimator recommended by Santos Silva and Tenreyro, a Gamma Pseudo-Maximum-Likelihood (GPML), a Nonlinear Least Squares (NLS) estimator and a Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) estimator with more traditional techniques. Additionally, estimates of the gravity equation are obtained for three different data sets with the abovementioned methods. The results of the simulation study indicate that, although the PPML estimator is less affected by heteroscedasticity than others are, its performance is similar, in terms of bias and SEs, to the FGLS estimator performance, in particular for small samples. GPML presents however the lowest bias and SEs in the simulations without zero values. The results of the empirical estimations, using three different samples containing real data, indicate that the choice of estimator has to be made for each specific dataset. It is highly recommended to follow a model selection approach using a number of tests to select the more appropriate estimator for any application. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 311-327 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.599786 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.599786 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:3:p:311-327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeroen Klomp Author-X-Name-First: Jeroen Author-X-Name-Last: Klomp Author-Name: Jakob De Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Title: Do political budget cycles really exist? Abstract: Most recent cross-country studies on election-motivated fiscal policy assume that the data can be pooled. As various tests suggest that our data for some 70 democratic countries for the period 1970--2007 cannot be pooled, we use the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimator to test whether Political Budget Cycles (PBCs) exist in our sample. We find that fiscal policy is only affected by upcoming elections in the short run. Our results suggest that the occurrence of a PBC is conditional on the level of development and democracy, government transparency, the country's political system, its membership of a monetary union and its degree of political polarization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 329-341 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.599787 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.599787 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:3:p:329-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexis Direr Author-X-Name-First: Alexis Author-X-Name-Last: Direr Title: Are betting markets efficient? Evidence from European Football Championships Abstract: This article investigates the degree of efficiency of the European Football online betting market by using odds quoted by 12 bookmakers on 21 European championships over 11 years. We show that systematically picking out odds inferior to a threshold delivers a rate of return of 4.45% if best odds are selected across bookmakers and 2.78% if mean odds are used. This amounts to backing overwhelmingly favourites whose probability of winning exceeds 90%. Our results only exploit information contained in odds, are robust to the use of real-time data and different sample periods and hold under risk neutrality and expected utility preferences for realistic degrees of risk aversion. Transaction costs reduce profitability but only for small stake bets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 343-356 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.602010 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.602010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:3:p:343-356 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter H. van der Meer Author-X-Name-First: Peter H. Author-X-Name-Last: van der Meer Author-Name: Rudi Wielers Author-X-Name-First: Rudi Author-X-Name-Last: Wielers Title: What makes workers happy? Abstract: This article answers the question what makes workers happy? It does so by combining insights from micro-economics, sociology and psychology. Basis is the standard utility function of a worker that includes income and hours of work and is elaborated with job characteristics. In this way it is possible to answer whether part-time workers are happier than full-time workers. The utility function is estimated on basis of the European Social Survey 2004 which contains all necessary information. The results show that workers optimize income and hours of work as predicted by micro-economics, but also that part-time workers are happier than full-time workers. Challenging work with a high level of autonomy makes the workers happy, work pressure makes workers unhappy. Higher educated workers are unhappier than lower educated workers, we find a negative effect of education, but this is compensated by the type of jobs these higher educated hold. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 357-368 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.602011 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.602011 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:3:p:357-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Travis Ng Author-X-Name-First: Travis Author-X-Name-Last: Ng Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Author-Name: Man-Tat Siu Author-X-Name-First: Man-Tat Author-X-Name-Last: Siu Author-Name: Benjamin Everard Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Everard Title: What determines the price of a racing horse? Abstract: This article uses the data of 10 auctions from the two largest Australian auction houses to study how a racing horse is priced. We ask whether bloodline is indeed a determining factor. We find that the track record of its parents and siblings are important factors in determining the price of a yearling. Moreover, more mature horses and those purchased by foreign buyers are generally more expensive. We also show that racing horses sold in the flagship auctions are associated with a significant premium. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 369-382 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.605553 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.605553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:3:p:369-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suyanto Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Suyanto Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Title: Foreign direct investment spillovers and technical efficiency in the Indonesian pharmaceutical sector: firm level evidence Abstract: The spillovers of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on domestic firms’ performances have been highly debated for many years. This article contributes to this debate by analysing spillovers effects on technical efficiency of Indonesian pharmaceutical sector using a unique unbalanced panel of highly disaggregated (at five-digit International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC)) 210 firms over the period 1990--1995 (1001 observations). The Stochastic Production Frontier (SPF) and the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) based on Malmquist Productivity Indices (MPI) have been used to test the spillovers effects of FDI on technical efficiency. The empirical results from the SPF show that foreign firms are more efficient than domestic competitors, and the presence of the former increases the inefficiency of the latter. Similarly the results from the MPI demonstrate that FDI has a negative and significant impact on technical efficiency changes in domestic competitors, but generate positive spillovers to domestic suppliers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 383-395 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.605554 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.605554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:3:p:383-395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Erik Askildsen Author-X-Name-First: Jan Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Askildsen Author-Name: Tor Helge Holmås Author-X-Name-First: Tor Helge Author-X-Name-Last: Holmås Title: Wages and work conditions as determinants for physicians’ work decisions Abstract: It is not uncommon that publicly employed physicians also have income from work outside the hospital, sometimes termed moonlighting. There is little empirical evidence of such activity. In this article, we investigate which factors that may influence physicians’ choice of work between the public hospital sector and elsewhere. An exceptionally high wage increase in 1996 for one group of hospital physicians (physician assistants) serves as a natural experiment, and we analyse whether wages in general and this reform in particular have affected physicians’ external earnings. For physician assistants we find that higher wages at public hospitals affect negatively both the decisions to earn income externally, and level of income once active. For chief physicians, on the other hand, there was no such response to the wage increase. Several hospital specific factors representing job specific work characteristics also matter for physicians’ decisions to earn income externally. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 397-406 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.605756 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.605756 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:3:p:397-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Desiderio Romero-Jordán Author-X-Name-First: Desiderio Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Jordán Author-Name: Marta Jorge Garc𫑉n鳠 Author-X-Name-First: Marta Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Garc𫑉n鳠 Author-Name: Santiago Álvarez Garc𨀍 Author-X-Name-First: Santiago Álvarez Author-X-Name-Last: Garc𨀍 Title: The impact of fuel tourism on retailers’ diesel price in Spanish neighbouring regions Abstract: Since 1986, car fuel consumption in Spain has been subject to the Special Hydrocarbons Tax and the Value Added Tax. In addition, since 2002 regional governments have been able to apply a regional excise duty on hydrocarbons. This article analyses the impact that such a regional tax has on the retailer's diesel price at the border of the province of Lugo (in the region of Galicia) and the province of Leon (in the region of Castile Leon) (only the former region has the regional tax). Evidence shows that variations in the price of diesel at the border of Lugo are of the same sign but of lower intensity than at the border of Leon (the price--price elasticity is 0.8060). These results suggest that service stations located in regions with higher excise duties use their price policy to lessen the negative effects generated for fuel tourism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 407-413 Issue: 4 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.605757 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.605757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:4:p:407-413 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo Gonçalves Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Gonçalves Author-Name: Pedro Pita Barros Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Pita Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Title: Economies of scale and scope in the provision of diagnostic techniques and therapeutic services in Portuguese hospitals Abstract: This article analyses the provision of auxiliary clinical services that are typically carried out within the hospital. We estimate a flexible cost function for three of the most important (cost-wise) diagnostic techniques and therapeutic services in Portuguese hospitals: Clinical Pathology, Medical Imaging, and Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation. Our objective in carrying out this estimation is the evaluation of economies of scale and scope in the provision of these services. For all services, we find evidence of economies of scale and some evidence of economies of scope. We also find evidence of diminishing returns to management, whereby larger hospitals appear to have surpassed their optimal size. These results have important policy implications and can be related to the ongoing discussion of where and how should hospitals provide these services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 415-433 Issue: 4 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.605758 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.605758 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:4:p:415-433 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Hopp Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Hopp Author-Name: A. Dreher Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Dreher Title: Do differences in institutional and legal environments explain cross-country variations in IPO underpricing? Abstract: We empirically analyse the determinants of Initial Public Offering (IPO) underpricing using panel data for 24 countries over the period 1988--2005. Our hypotheses stress the importance of institutional and legal factors in explaining cross-country variations. We find evidence that underpricing is higher in countries with stronger protection of outside investors, suggesting that incumbent managers try to use underpricing as a tool to safeguard their private benefits of control when going public. Moreover, the results show that underpricing is reduced when stronger law enforcement and the availability of accounting information reduce the value of private benefits of control. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 435-454 Issue: 4 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.605760 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.605760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:4:p:435-454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claude Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Claude Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Christian J. Murray Author-X-Name-First: Christian J. Author-X-Name-Last: Murray Author-Name: David H. Papell Author-X-Name-First: David H. Author-X-Name-Last: Papell Title: Median-unbiased estimation in DF-GLS regressions and the PPP puzzle Abstract: Using median-unbiased estimation based on Augmented Dickey--Fuller (ADF) regressions, recent research has questioned the validity of Rogoff's ‘remarkable consensus’ of 3--5 year half-lives of deviations from Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). The confidence intervals of these half-life estimates, however, are extremely wide, with lower bounds of about 1 year and upper bounds of infinity. We extend median-unbiased estimation to the Dickey--Fuller Generalized Least Square (DF-GLS) regression of Elliott et al. (1996). We find that combining median-unbiased estimation with this regression has the potential to tighten confidence intervals for the half-lives. Using long-horizon real exchange rate data, we find that the typical lower bound of the confidence intervals for median-unbiased half-lives is just below 3 years. Thus, while previous confidence intervals for median-unbiased half-lives are consistent with virtually anything, our tighter confidence intervals are inconsistent with economic models with nominal rigidities as candidates for explaining the observed behaviour of real exchange rates and move us away from solving the PPP puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 455-464 Issue: 4 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.605761 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.605761 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:4:p:455-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jørgen Juel Andersen Author-X-Name-First: Jørgen Juel Author-X-Name-Last: Andersen Title: The Dutch disease and intergenerational welfare Abstract: Governments in resource abundant economies face a tradeoff between transferring wealth to present generations and saving for future generations. Employing an overlapping generations framework with endogenous growth, this article analyses the intergenerational welfare effects of: (1) a wealth transfer policy where the entire wealth is transferred to the generations alive at present; (2) an income transfer policy where the wealth is saved and the permanent income of the wealth is transferred to all present and future generations, forever. Not surprisingly, present generations are unambiguously better off with the wealth transfer policy. Less trivially, however, the wealth transfer policy can be associated with higher welfare also for future generations. The intuition for this result is that while a wealth transfer depresses growth only in the periods subsequent to the transfer, income transfers constitute a permanent drag on growth. Perhaps counter to the naïve intuition, the policy of saving the wealth and distributing the permanent income to all present and future generations is less beneficial for the future generations if the real return to saving is high. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 465-476 Issue: 4 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.605762 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.605762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:4:p:465-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melanie Khamis Author-X-Name-First: Melanie Author-X-Name-Last: Khamis Title: Does the minimum wage have a higher impact on the informal than on the formal labour market? Evidence from quasi-experiments Abstract: This article investigates a puzzle in the literature on labour markets in developing countries: labour legislations not only have an impact on the formal labour market but also an impact on the informal sector. It has even been argued that the impact on the informal sector in the case of the minimum wage is stronger than on the formal sector. Using quasi-experiments of minimum wage changes and thereby exploiting geographical variation of the minimum wage bite, I find evidence for this hypothesis. Informal workers, workers without social security contribution, experienced significant wage increases when the minimum wage was raised while formal workers did not. This result highlights that noncompliance with one labour legislation, the social security contribution, does not necessarily imply noncompliance to other labour laws such as the minimum wage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 477-495 Issue: 4 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.605763 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.605763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:4:p:477-495 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angelo Baglioni Author-X-Name-First: Angelo Author-X-Name-Last: Baglioni Author-Name: Luca Colombo Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Colombo Title: The efficiency view of corporate boards: theory and evidence Abstract: We build a model in which corporate governance allows for the adoption of an institution acting as a mechanism to control agency problems. Our model predicts that the incentive to adopt such an institution is decreasing in ownership concentration and increasing in free cash flow. Testing our theoretical model by means of a sample of 157 Italian listed companies over the period 2004--2007, we find that board composition favours independent members in firms with a large free cash flow, and executive members in firms with high ownership concentration, supporting the view of governance as a way to limit agency costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 497-510 Issue: 4 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.605764 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.605764 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:4:p:497-510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Bönisch Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Bönisch Author-Name: Philipp Gaffert Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Gaffert Author-Name: Joachim Wilde Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wilde Title: The impact of skills on remigration flows Abstract: More than 10 years after the seminal paper by Borjas and Bratsberg (1996), modelling the impact of skills on remigration, the empirical evidence on that theory is still mixed. Our article is to shed light on that issue. Using the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP) we test two hypotheses derived from Borjas and Bratsberg (1996) while allowing for endogeneity of host country-specific capital. Our results give strong support for their theory. Additionally a sensitivity analysis shows that the insignificance of education in previous studies is due to the test design conducted and cannot be interpreted as falsification of Borjas and Bratsberg's (1996) theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 511-524 Issue: 4 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.605765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.605765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:4:p:511-524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hal W. Snarr Author-X-Name-First: Hal W. Author-X-Name-Last: Snarr Title: Was it the economy or reform that precipitated the steep decline in the US welfare caseload? Abstract: Objectives of the 1996 overhaul of the US welfare system included reducing dependency, raising employment and de-incentivizing out-of-wedlock fertility. Using public use state-level panel data from 1990 to 2005, I analyse how state implementation of welfare reform simultaneously affects the caseload, employment and out-of-wedlock births (henceforth, Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) objectives). Because endogeneity and simultaneity could not be rejected, I use Three-Stage Least Squares (3SLS) method. Results indicated that most of the steep decline in the caseload is attributed to welfare reform, while the economy's overall effect paled in comparison. However, lagged and contemporaneous unemployment individually ranked second and third behind the Hispanic share of state population. The conservative tilt over the period studied ranked forth, followed in declining order by full family sanctions, Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) payments, time limits (lagged by length), access to abortion clinics, lump-sum TANF diversion payments, and TANF benefit payments. Findings also suggest that policy does not always work as intended: caseloads are found to be higher in states that have highly regarded family formation and job retention TANF programs; and EITC payments are associated with lower not higher caseloads. The most compelling finding in this study is that low-income families likely turn first to unemployment insurance and then to TANF assistance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 525-540 Issue: 4 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.607135 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.607135 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:4:p:525-540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Todd C. Neumann Author-X-Name-First: Todd C. Author-X-Name-Last: Neumann Title: The effect of drinking and smoking on the labour market outcomes of low-income young adults Abstract: Among adults the causal ‘drinking bonus’ and ‘smoking penalty’ have been estimated to be as large as 12% and 24%, respectively. The magnitudes of these effects compare in size with many active labour market programs targeted at low-income young adults. This article extends the literature by examining these relationships in such a group. Somewhat surprisingly the data indicate that just as in the greater population young drinkers have more favourable labour market outcomes than nondrinkers. However, when a fixed-effects approach is used to identify causal impacts there is no evidence that drinking has a positive impact on labour market outcomes and some evidence for negative returns to drinking. The smoking penalty is estimated to be much smaller among this group and not statistically significant. Finally, estimates suggest that the observed correlations between consumption and labour market outcomes are biased by unobserved characteristics of the individual as well as unobservables that change over time that are likely causing the treatment decision. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 541-553 Issue: 5 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.579063 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.579063 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:5:p:541-553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Da Silva Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Da Silva Author-Name: Dinorá Baldo Author-X-Name-First: Dinorá Author-X-Name-Last: Baldo Author-Name: Raul Matsushita Author-X-Name-First: Raul Author-X-Name-Last: Matsushita Title: Biological correlates of the Allais paradox Abstract: We conducted a questionnaire study with student subjects to look for explicit correlations between selected biological characteristics of the subjects and manifestation of the Allais paradox in the pattern of their choices between sets of two pairs of risky prospects. We found that particular characteristics, such as gender, menstrual cycle, mother's age at delivery, parenthood, second- to fourth-digit ratio, perceived negative life events, and emotional state, can be related to the paradox. Women, particularly when not menstruating, are less susceptible to the paradox. Those born to not-too-young mothers are also less prone to the paradox. The same holds true for men who have fathered children and had been exposed to high levels of prenatal testosterone, people who had experienced many negative life events, and those who were anxious, excited, aroused, happy, active, or fresh at the time of the experiment. Further, left-handers and atheists may be less inclined to display the paradox. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 555-568 Issue: 5 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.607133 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.607133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:5:p:555-568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jochen Lawrenz Author-X-Name-First: Jochen Author-X-Name-Last: Lawrenz Title: Time-series properties of the dividend--price ratio with social dynamics Abstract: We model an exchange economy where a finite number of standard identical agents interact locally and analyse the time-series properties of the simulated dividend--price ratio dp t . Our results document that a sufficient degree of social dynamics induces high persistence in dp t which leads to the failure to reject the null of a unit root, as well as the failure to reject the null that dividends and prices are not cointegrated. At the same time, we find that returns are not significantly autocorrelated, thus, being consistent with weak-form market efficiency. Finally, we document that although dp t is highly persistent, econometric tests may still find predictability of future returns by current dividend--price ratios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 569-579 Issue: 5 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.607134 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.607134 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:5:p:569-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roxana Radulescu Author-X-Name-First: Roxana Author-X-Name-Last: Radulescu Author-Name: Martin Robson Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Robson Title: Does labour market flexibility matter for investment? A study of manufacturing in the OECD Abstract: This study examines whether a more flexible labour market -- defined here in terms of the strictness of labour regulations regarding the flexibility of employers to adjust levels of employment in response to changing economic conditions -- helps to promote a higher level of fixed capital formation in an economy. Theory generates ambiguous predictions concerning the sign of the relationship between investment and the labour market regulation regarding hiring and firing workers, although a positive relationship may be expected. Using an index of labour market regulation compiled from surveys of business executives in 19 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) economies, an econometric analysis is carried out to examine the effects of labour market flexibility on the level of investment in the manufacturing sector. The findings support the proposition that freeing-up regulatory constraints on employers’ use of labour helps to create a more favourable environment for investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 581-592 Issue: 5 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.607633 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.607633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:5:p:581-592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Yilmazkuday Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Yilmazkuday Title: Inflation targeting, flexible exchange rates and inflation convergence Abstract: Using a disaggregated level Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, this article compares convergence properties of regional inflation rates in a small open economy, Turkey, between pre-inflation-targeting and inflation-targeting periods, where the latter also corresponds to a flexible exchange rate regime. It is found that during the inflation-targeting period, Turkish regional inflation rates have converged to each other in terms of CPI groups with relatively nontradable components, while they have diverged from each other in terms of CPI groups with relatively tradable components. Since a common and sound monetary policy among the regions of a country is supposed to have a convergence effect on regional inflation rates according to the conventional wisdom, the results for CPI groups with relatively tradable components require further attention and have significant policy implications, especially for inflation-targeting countries using flexible exchange rate regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 593-603 Issue: 5 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.608642 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.608642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:5:p:593-603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wai Mun Fong Author-X-Name-First: Wai Mun Author-X-Name-Last: Fong Title: Time diversification under loss aversion: a bootstrap analysis Abstract: We examine the problem of time diversification from the viewpoint of prospect theory investors. We use a block bootstrap approach to generate returns of US stocks and Treasury bills for time horizons ranging from 1 year to 20 years. On average, value functions computed using these bootstrapped returns are mainly positive and increase monotonically with the time horizon. The strategy that yields the highest average value function is the one that buys and holds an all-equity portfolio for 20 years. In contrast, mean-variance optimal portfolios are more conservative, with the optimal proportion of the portfolio invested in stocks declining with time horizon. Our results suggest that time diversification ought to be viewed more favourably by prospect theory investors than by mean-variance investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 605-610 Issue: 5 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.608643 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.608643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:5:p:605-610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Author-Name: Yew-Kee Ho Author-X-Name-First: Yew-Kee Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Weiling Lin Author-X-Name-First: Weiling Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chee-Meng Yap Author-X-Name-First: Chee-Meng Author-X-Name-Last: Yap Title: Diminishing marginal returns from R&D investment: evidence from manufacturing firms Abstract: This study analyses the association between R&D Investment (RDI) and growth opportunities and show that there exists diminishing marginal returns in manufacturing firms. Extant literature has found that besides R&D investment, systematic risk, financial leverage and complementary asset investment are also associated with growth opportunities. Accordingly, we employ structural equation modelling to simultaneously estimate both a direct influence of RDI as well as indirect influences of RDI on growth opportunities via these three mediating effects. We find that the direct effect of incremental RDI on growth opportunities is independent of R&D intensity. Instead, the heterogeneous effects of RDI on systematic risk, financial leverage and complementary asset investment across firms with different R&D intensity level accounts for the diminishing marginal returns to R&D investment. We specifically observe that the greatest indirect effect is via the financial leverage of the firm. This study shows the importance of accounting for the interdependencies in R&D investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 611-622 Issue: 5 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.608644 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.608644 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:5:p:611-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George B. Tawadros Author-X-Name-First: George B. Author-X-Name-Last: Tawadros Title: The information content of the Reserve Bank of Australia's inflation forecasts Abstract: In this article, the inflation forecasts produced by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and that generated by private forecasters, are used to assess whether the Reserve Bank possesses information about inflation that the private sector does not have. The results show that the Reserve Bank inflation forecasts embody useful predictive information about inflation, beyond that contained in private forecasts, over the recent inflation targeting period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 623-628 Issue: 5 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.608646 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.608646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:5:p:623-628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James J. Forest Author-X-Name-First: James J. Author-X-Name-Last: Forest Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Alternative estimators of cointegrating parameters in models with nonstationary data: an application to US export demand Abstract: This article presents Monte Carlo simulations which compare the empirical performance of two alternative single equation estimators of the equilibrium parameters in a dynamic relationship. The estimators considered are Stock and Watson's Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) estimator and Bewley's transformation of the general autoregressive distributed lag model. The results indicate that the Bewley transformation produces a lower mean-square error as well as superior serial correlation properties even with lower truncation lags for the lagged variables included in the estimation equation. An application is then provided which examines the nature of the equilibrium relationship between aggregate US exports, world trade and the US real exchange rate. This confirms that estimation of the equilibrium parameters of this relationship by the Bewley transformation produces results which are superior to estimation by DOLS. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 629-636 Issue: 5 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.608647 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.608647 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:5:p:629-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Author-Name: Charles Harvie Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Harvie Author-Name: Indika Karunanayake Author-X-Name-First: Indika Author-X-Name-Last: Karunanayake Title: Global output growth and volatility spillovers Abstract: This article examines discernable patterns of real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth co-movements across 29 countries, using consistent time series data (1912--2008). Of these countries, only 12 are found to form three statistically significant groupings (i.e. G6-six Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) European countries, G4-four Anglo-Saxon countries, and G2-two major Asian countries). One may then conclude that, inter alia, geographical proximity, cultural ties, and the level of socio-economic and financial ties among countries determine the global systematic co-movements of growth rates. Our results indicate that any recession in the US initially engulfs other Anglo-Saxon countries as well as G6 and G2 countries, before exerting its adverse knock-on effects to the rest of the world. A Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (MGARCH) model is also used to examine the transmission of GDP growth across these three groups and their corresponding volatility spillovers. We find significant bi-directional cross-mean spillovers between the G4 and G6 blocs. In terms of cross-volatility spillovers, the estimated persistence varies from a maximum 0.959 (G4--G6) to a minimum of 0.832 (G2--G4). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 637-649 Issue: 5 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.608648 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.608648 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:5:p:637-649 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Young Jun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: George Clarke Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Clarke Title: Determinants of inter-firm technology licensing in the EU Abstract: This article investigates the determinants of technology licensing, focusing on how country-specific characteristics affect technology holders’ incentives to sell their proprietary technologies through licensing alliances. An empirical examination of licensing is done using a unique panel data set of licensing transactions involving companies in the EU. The strength of Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) protection, the degree of economic freedom, the level of country risk, and the number of patent granted in the country are found to be important determinants of inter-firm technology licensing. In addition, firms with prior independent experience as a licensor and public companies tend to license technology more. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 651-661 Issue: 5 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.610746 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.610746 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:5:p:651-661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dorrit Posel Author-X-Name-First: Dorrit Author-X-Name-Last: Posel Author-Name: Daniela Casale Author-X-Name-First: Daniela Author-X-Name-Last: Casale Title: The relationship between sex ratios and marriage rates in South Africa Abstract: We investigate the relationship between alternative definitions of sex ratios and marriage outcomes among African and white women in South Africa. In contrast to marriages among whites, African marriages in South Africa traditionally have involved the payment of bridewealth (or ilobolo) by a husband to the prospective wife's family. Using matched data from the 2001 Population Census and the South African Labour Force Surveys, we find that among Africans, both the quantity and quality of unmarried men relative to women in local marriage markets are significant predictors of marriage. However, economic-based measures of marriageability have a larger effect on marriage outcomes than simple sex ratios. These findings are consistent with the argument that bridewealth payments act as a financial constraint to marriage among African couples, raising the marriageability criteria of men. In contrast, we find mostly insignificant results for the relationship between sex ratios and marriage outcomes among white women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 663-676 Issue: 5 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.610749 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.610749 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:5:p:663-676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Edwyna Harris Author-X-Name-First: Edwyna Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Yovina Joymungul Author-X-Name-First: Yovina Author-X-Name-Last: Joymungul Title: Price clustering in Australian water markets Abstract: The finding of clustering in financial prices on particular digits is common across a broad range of financial markets. This article explores whether price clustering is also present in the case of the weekly market for seasonal water in rural Victoria, Australia. We find a similar degree of clustering in the seasonal water market. This suggests that the trading activities of the market produce characteristics that are similar to more sophisticated and deeper financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 677-685 Issue: 6 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.610747 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.610747 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:6:p:677-685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Federico Biagi Author-X-Name-First: Federico Author-X-Name-Last: Biagi Author-Name: Danilo Cavapozzi Author-X-Name-First: Danilo Author-X-Name-Last: Cavapozzi Author-Name: Raffaele Miniaci Author-X-Name-First: Raffaele Author-X-Name-Last: Miniaci Title: Employment transitions and computer use of older workers Abstract: Our empirical analysis studies the impact of computer use on out of employment transitions of older workers, disentangling the effect of using a Personal Computer (PC) at work from that of being PC literate. Data are drawn from the 2000, 2002 and 2004 waves of the Bank of Italy Survey on Household Income and Wealth. We provide empirical evidence that, even controlling for a wide set of covariates, older employees who use a PC at work have a higher probability of remaining employed in the future. However, our results also indicate that, once PC literacy is controlled for, the use of a PC at work decreases only marginally the risk of becoming not employed (i.e. the effect is smaller than the one registered when we do not control for PC literacy). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 687-696 Issue: 6 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.610748 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.610748 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:6:p:687-696 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Teemu Kautonen Author-X-Name-First: Teemu Author-X-Name-Last: Kautonen Author-Name: Marco van Gelderen Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: van Gelderen Author-Name: Erno T. Tornikoski Author-X-Name-First: Erno T. Author-X-Name-Last: Tornikoski Title: Predicting entrepreneurial behaviour: a test of the theory of planned behaviour Abstract: This article contributes to the occupational choice literature pertaining to entrepreneurship by applying the Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) to predict entrepreneurial behaviour. Originating from social psychology, the TPB posits that intention, a function of behavioural beliefs, is a significant predictor of subsequent behaviour. In spite of an established stream of scholarship explaining the formation of entrepreneurial intentions, empirical research has not yet employed longitudinal data to examine whether the intention to start a business measured at one point of time translates into subsequent entrepreneurial behaviour. This article provides a full test of the TPB in the prediction of business start-up intentions and subsequent behaviour based on two-wave survey data (2006 and 2009) from the working-age population in Finland. The econometric results support the predictions outlined in the TPB: attitude, perceived behavioural control and subjective norms are significant predictors of entrepreneurial intention; and intention and perceived behavioural control are significant predictors of subsequent behaviour. This research thus provides support to the application of the TPB and the concept of behavioural intention to understand the emergence of complex economic behaviour such as entrepreneurship prior to the onset of any observable action. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 697-707 Issue: 6 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.610750 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.610750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:6:p:697-707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Håkan Eggert Author-X-Name-First: Håkan Author-X-Name-Last: Eggert Author-Name: Ragnar Tveterås Author-X-Name-First: Ragnar Author-X-Name-Last: Tveterås Title: Productivity development in Icelandic, Norwegian and Swedish fisheries Abstract: This article analyses the Total Factor Productivity (TFP) performance of fisheries in Iceland, Norway and Sweden during the period 1973 to 2003. We measure TFP growth using real gross value added as output and capital input, labour input and a stock input index based on the major fish stocks. In developed neighbouring countries, we expect rapid diffusion of fishing technology innovations contributing to productivity convergence. In addition, innovations in the public regulation and the industrial organization may also have influenced productivity growth during the period. We find that Iceland had the highest annual TFP growth. Accounting for stock changes, it amounts to 3%, while the corresponding figures for Sweden and Norway are 2.8% and 0.8%, respectively. Despite best practice fishing technologies being widely available, we find no evidence of productivity convergence among the three countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 709-720 Issue: 6 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.610751 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.610751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:6:p:709-720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Stephan Popp Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: Popp Title: Size and power properties of structural break unit root tests Abstract: In this article, we compare the small sample size and power properties of a newly developed endogenous structural break unit root test of Narayan and Popp (NP, 2010) with the existing two break unit root tests, namely the Lumsdaine and Papell (LP, 1997) and the Lee and Strazicich (LS, 2003) tests. In contrast to the widely used LP and LS tests, the NP test chooses the break date by maximizing the significance of the break dummy coefficient. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we show that the NP test has better size and high power, and identifies the structural breaks accurately. Power and size comparisons of the NP test with the LP and LS tests reveal that the NP test is significantly superior. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 721-728 Issue: 6 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.610752 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.610752 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:6:p:721-728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Inyeob Ji Author-X-Name-First: Philip Inyeob Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Title: Do country-specific shocks matter? Evidence from Australia and high income countries Abstract: A stylized fact of global upward trend in domestic-world output ratio for major small open economies is recognized in comparison with Australia's dichotomous experience with the ratio. This fact is used to shed light on the importance of country-specific shocks for small open economies using a simple real business cycle model. While it has been previously found that country-specific shocks are more significant source of business cycle fluctuations than worldwide shocks for Australia before the 1990s, this article suggests that the country-specific shocks may have become an important driver of output growth only in the early 1990s for Australia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 729-739 Issue: 6 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.610753 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.610753 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:6:p:729-739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Rubb Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Rubb Title: Overeducation, undereducation and asymmetric information in occupational mobility Abstract: Due to short-term asymmetric information, overeducated and undereducated workers are shown to have different optimal strategies in seeking upward occupational mobility into their next positions. Undereducated workers typically have other human capital strengths, but these strengths are not marketable to outsiders. Overeducated workers typically have other human capital weaknesses that are not apparent to outsiders while their excess schooling is marketable in labour markets with dynamic asymmetric information. This article presents empirical evidence showing that job tenure increases the probability of upward occupational mobility more if individuals are undereducated. Moreover, the probability of finding upward occupational mobility is increased by overeducated workers engaging in firm switching. This article also validates prior empirical studies finding overeducated workers more likely to self report engaging in firm switching activities and more likely to experience upward occupational mobility than others. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 741-751 Issue: 6 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.610754 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.610754 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:6:p:741-751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeng-Yan Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Jeng-Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Optimal bank interest margin and default risk in equity returns under the return to domestic retail with structural breaks Abstract: A retrenchment in crossborder credit is under way, the product of both market forces and political pressure on international banks to lend at home (Economist, 2009). In addition, banks, particularly the largest, have also dramatically expanded their retail banking operations over the past few years (Hirtle and Stiroh, 2007). Our goal, in this article, is to study the effects of default risk on equity returns through bank interest margin management under a renewed focus on domestic retail banking, a trend often attributed to the stability of banking activities. Specifically, this article explores the determinants of optimal bank interest margins based on an option-based firm-theoretical model with multiple sources of structural breaks due to political pressure. The model demonstrates how capital regulation and political pressure on foreign lending return and risk conditions jointly determine the optimal bank interest margin decision. We show that a more stringent capital requirement is linked with lower equity return, but higher default risk of the bank in the return to domestic retail banking. An increased focus on the political pressure on foreign lending return is linked with higher equity return and default risk of the bank. It is also showed that an increased focus on the political pressure on foreign lending risk decreases the bank's equity return and default risk. We conclude that the return to domestic retail banking may be a relatively stable activity when the political pressure decision impacts only the expected risk of the bank's foreign lending and not the return. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 753-764 Issue: 6 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.610755 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.610755 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:6:p:753-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shao-Chi Chang Author-X-Name-First: Shao-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Ming-Tse Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Tse Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Title: The effect of prior alliance experience on acquisition performance Abstract: Information asymmetry usually results in acquiring a target where post-acquisition performance is often disappointing. In this study, we examine whether previous bidder--target alliances mitigate the negative effect of information asymmetry. Further, in cases when the target firms in an acquisition are from the high technology or service industries or privately held firms, whereby the firms are composed of unique knowledge, intangible assets and less disclosed information, respectively, we test whether there are significantly more acquisitions when prior bidder--target alliances exist, as it is assumed that these alliances reduce the level of information asymmetry. We find on average the post acquisition stock performance is better when the purchasing firm acquires a prior alliance partner. Furthermore, when acquiring privately held target firms, the target firms are more likely to be previous alliance partners. Finally, when the target firms are ‘more informed’ (i.e. high technology, service or privately held firms), the post acquisition performance is disappointing. However, bidder--target alliances reduce the amount of value destroyed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 765-773 Issue: 6 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:6:p:765-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hung-Lin Tao Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Author-Name: Shih-Yung Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Yung Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Title: Income growth, redistribution, and subjective well-being in Taiwan -- a simulation study Abstract: This study simulates different income growth and income distribution scenarios in Taiwan in 2001, and examines how social happiness and people's happiness at different income levels change. Without taking downward comparison into consideration, the simulation supports income redistribution in favour of the poor. When the downward comparison is taken into consideration, the simulation does not support any kind of income redistribution. The present study investigates the relationship between income inequality and subjective well-being, and shows that a change in the Gini index can be interpreted in terms of a shift in revealed subjective well-being. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 775-791 Issue: 6 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613768 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613768 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:6:p:775-791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roland Craigwell Author-X-Name-First: Roland Author-X-Name-Last: Craigwell Author-Name: Troy Lorde Author-X-Name-First: Troy Author-X-Name-Last: Lorde Author-Name: Winston Moore Author-X-Name-First: Winston Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Title: Fiscal policy and the duration of financial crises Abstract: Financial systems across the world have all come under pressure due to the on-going financial crisis. One of the most often asked questions during a collapse is how long and how deep will the decline be as well as what policy initiatives can be employed to shorten the recession. This study estimates a model of the duration of financial crises in an attempt to identify whether fiscal policy can reduce the time to recovery. The results suggest that fiscal shocks, which could provoke an overreaction on the part of markets, tend to lengthen crisis duration. Significant nonlinear effects of government spending are also reported in relation to trade openness and financial openness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 793-801 Issue: 6 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613769 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613769 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:6:p:793-801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giap V. Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Giap V. Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Curtis M. Jolly Author-X-Name-First: Curtis M. Author-X-Name-Last: Jolly Title: A cointegration analysis of seafood import demand in Caribbean countries Abstract: Cointegration analysis and error correction model are used to estimate seafood import demand for selected Caribbean countries. The results show that seafood import is price elastic. Exchange rate has a negative effect, while Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and tourism have positive effects on seafood imports. Import and domestic production do not have a short run causal relationship. The increase in Caribbean seafood imports is primarily due to decreasing import price and increasing domestic demand. The decline of domestic fisheries production has other causes than import competition. However, imports and domestic production have a negative long run equilibrium relationship. Tariff and production expansion policies both help producers, but tariff may reduce total economic surplus, while supply expansion can increase total economic surplus. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 803-815 Issue: 6 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613771 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613771 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:6:p:803-815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcel Aloy Author-X-Name-First: Marcel Author-X-Name-Last: Aloy Author-Name: Mohamed Boutahar Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Boutahar Author-Name: Karine Gente Author-X-Name-First: Karine Author-X-Name-Last: Gente Author-Name: Anne P駵in-Feissolle Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: P駵in-Feissolle Title: Long-run relationships between international stock prices: further evidence from fractional cointegration tests Abstract: The recent empirical literature supports the view that most of the international stock prices are not pairwise cointegrated. However, by using fractional cointegration techniques, this article shows that France, Germany, Hong Kong and Japan's stock prices indices are pairwise fractionally cointegrated with US stock prices. Equilibrium errors are mean reverting with half-life lying between 2 and 12 days. It is worthwhile noting that emerging markets like Brazil and Argentina are not pairwise cointegrated with the US stock market. These new results have important implications for asset pricing and international portfolio strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 817-828 Issue: 7 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566207 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:7:p:817-828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ralf Fendel Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Fendel Author-Name: Michael Frenkel Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Frenkel Author-Name: Jan-Christoph Rülke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Rülke Title: Do professional forecasters trust in Taylor-type rules? -- Evidence from the Wall Street Journal poll Abstract: This article uses the monthly Wall Street Journal poll between 2002 and 2010 to analyse whether professional economic forecasters believe in and, thus, apply Taylor-type rules for their own forecasts. Using their forecasts for the Federal Funds rate, the inflation rate and capacity utilization, we estimate whether these are internally consistent with the message of Taylor(-type) rules. We find that the expectation formation can indeed be described by Taylor-type rules. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 829-838 Issue: 7 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613770 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613770 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:7:p:829-838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olga Murova Author-X-Name-First: Olga Author-X-Name-Last: Murova Author-Name: Benaissa Chidmi Author-X-Name-First: Benaissa Author-X-Name-Last: Chidmi Title: Technical efficiency of US dairy farms and federal government programs Abstract: In this article, Technical Efficiency (TE) of dairy farms is estimated and analysed with two methodologies: Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA). Using DEA, the TE scores for different states are determined. Further, logistic regression is applied to TE scores to explain how known technical and policy variables affect a farm's probability of being efficient. The second methodology employs SFA to estimate and analyse TE scores. Two federal milk policies are considered in this research: marketing policy and milk income loss policy. Federal milk marketing program has shown a significant and negative impact on TE with both methods. Payments under the milk income loss program have shown a positive significant impact in SFA analysis. Both methodologies produced similar outcomes on regional impacts and on the significance of several considered variables. Categorical representation of some variables in graphs provided some additional insights of their effects on TE. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 839-847 Issue: 7 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613772 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613772 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:7:p:839-847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Su Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Su Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Nonlinearity and stationarity of inflation rates: evidence from the euro-zone countries Abstract: Earlier studies hardly reject the hypothesis of a unit root in inflation. Few studies have examined the possibility of nonlinearity in inflation and tested nonlinear stationarity of the inflation rates. This study thus intends to fill the gap. This study utilizes the tests for nonlinearity along with the unit root tests that allow for nonlinearity in the variables to examine the stationarity of inflation rates of 12 European countries that formed the Euro Zone (EZ) later in the sample period. The results suggest that the majority of these countries’ inflation rates can be characterized by mean reversion during the floating exchange rate period. Many of them appear to be nonlinear stationary. This finding is essential in conducting applied economic studies for these countries, when constructing models whose validity relies on whether or not inflation is stationary. The results of this study also imply that shocks to inflation have a transitory effect on inflation in the euro area. Therefore, it would be less costly in exercising the policies of disinflation for the monetary authorities of the euro area than for those of the countries with nonstationary inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 849-856 Issue: 7 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:7:p:849-856 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Damien Échevin Author-X-Name-First: Damien Author-X-Name-Last: Échevin Title: Employment and education discrimination against disabled people in Cape Verde Abstract: This article assesses the employment and school enrolment gaps between disabled and nondisabled persons using the last Cape Verdean census. The unexplained part of these gaps accounts for most of them, whatever the age group considered. Furthermore, differences in age structures between disabled and nondisabled persons have almost no effect on these gaps. Taking into account potential misclassification errors in the disability variable seems to change only marginally these results. These findings thus suggest that there is scope for programs to better target and promote employment and education of the disabled in Cape Verde. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 857-875 Issue: 7 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613775 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613775 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:7:p:857-875 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Jill Stowe Author-X-Name-First: C. Jill Author-X-Name-Last: Stowe Title: Breeding to sell: a hedonic price analysis of leading Thoroughbred sire stud fees Abstract: This article utilizes panel data on leading Thoroughbred sires from 1999 until 2008 and estimates the determinants of their stud fees, or the price paid for the rights to one breeding season, and the marginal value of those characteristics. Using a Fixed Effects (FE) estimation procedure, we find strong evidence of ‘breeding to sell’: stud fees for established sires are determined primarily by the sales prices of their progeny. Other determinants include a sire's ability to produce sons who go on to become sires themselves, current year progeny racing performance and cumulative racing performance of a sire's progeny. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 877-885 Issue: 7 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:7:p:877-885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edinaldo Tebaldi Author-X-Name-First: Edinaldo Author-X-Name-Last: Tebaldi Author-Name: Bruce Elmslie Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Elmslie Title: Does institutional quality impact innovation? Evidence from cross-country patent grant data Abstract: This article contributes to the literature on institutions and economic growth by conducting an empirical examination of the links between innovation and institutions. Using cross-country data and the instrumental variable method, this study finds that institutional arrangements explain much of the cross country variations in patent production. Our results also imply that controlling for institutional quality, geographic related variables are not significant in explaining patent production. This article also finds evidence to support the idea that in the long run human capital accumulation is an important factor in shaping institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 887-900 Issue: 7 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:7:p:887-900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ofer H. Azar Author-X-Name-First: Ofer H. Author-X-Name-Last: Azar Title: Firm strategy and biased decision making: the price dispersion puzzle Abstract: This article confronts the empirical evidence and theoretical predictions about the correlation between price dispersion and price. Theoretically, search and location differentiation models suggest that price dispersion is a function of search and transportation costs, but is independent of the good's price. Empirical evidence, however, suggests otherwise: price dispersion and price are strongly correlated. This article points out the discrepancy between theory and evidence, which it denotes as ‘the price dispersion puzzle’. It then explains why the documented behaviour of relative thinking (people behave as if their search or transportation costs are increasing in the good's price) can solve the puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 901-910 Issue: 7 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613778 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:7:p:901-910 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Feeny Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Feeny Author-Name: Bazoumana Ouattara Author-X-Name-First: Bazoumana Author-X-Name-Last: Ouattara Title: The effects of health aid on child health promotion in developing countries: cross-country evidence Abstract: Although epidemiological knowledge in relation to child health has improved in the last few decades, around 3 million children die each year in developing countries from preventable diseases. The international development community views increased immunization coverage for children as an important step in eliminating or reducing these deaths. Many developing countries have very limited resources to tackle major health problems and have to rely on external finance. This article examines the impact of foreign aid devoted to the health sector on child health promotion in developing countries. Two proxies for child health promotion are used: (a) immunization against measles and (b) immunization against Diphtheria--Pertussis--Tetanus (DPT). A range of model specifications and panel data econometric techniques are applied to data covering the period 1990 to 2005. This article finds a positive and statistically significant link between health aid and the measures of child health promotion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 911-919 Issue: 7 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613779 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:7:p:911-919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Almuhanad Melhim Author-X-Name-First: Almuhanad Author-X-Name-Last: Melhim Author-Name: C. Richard Shumway Author-X-Name-First: C. Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Shumway Title: Cost economies in the presence of marketing contracts Abstract: We examine the impact of marketing contracts on farm cost structure and implied scale and scope economies for large samples of dairy, corn and wheat farms. We consider a multi-product, multi-market technology to examine returns from diversifying marketing schemes. Allowing for risk preferences under price uncertainty, we estimate the contract adoption decision, risk preferences and structural parameters simultaneously. We derive measures of economies for both contracting and noncontracting farms. Each industry exhibits significant scope and multi-output scale economies but vary in product-specific scale economies. We find that marketing contracts improve returns to corn and wheat farms, but not to dairy farms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 921-932 Issue: 7 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613780 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613780 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:7:p:921-932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Schmale Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Schmale Author-Name: T. Ehrmann Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Ehrmann Author-Name: A. Dilger Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Dilger Title: Buying without using -- biases of German BahnCard buyers Abstract: We use a large data set of German railway travellers to analyse the purchasing decision for fare-reducing BahnCards. We expect that this tariff choice is neither completely rational nor irrational, but bounded-rational in a meaningful way. Actually we predict a flat-rate bias, i.e. an under-use of their BahnCards by many customers. However, we estimate that this bias is not too large. The empirical results approve our hypotheses for the most part, especially for the more expensive BahnCard50 (BC50), whereas the under-use of the cheaper BahnCard25 (BC25) is so extensive that it is not worthwhile on average. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 933-941 Issue: 7 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613781 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:7:p:933-941 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ghassem A. Homaifar Author-X-Name-First: Ghassem A. Author-X-Name-Last: Homaifar Author-Name: Jonathan Adongo Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Adongo Author-Name: Kevin M. Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Kevin M. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: The long-run relationship between stock return dispersion and output Abstract: Based on the rational that some industry groups are more closely linked to the business cycle than others, we re-examined a previous analysis on the long-term relationship between stock return dispersion by industry and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which evaluated data until 1987 by extending it to 2008. Using Mean Square Forecast Errors (MSFE) statistics, we find that incorporating the return dispersion in Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models enhances their forecasting power for output (GDP) in the long run. This article also determines that the relationship between stock return dispersion by industry and GDP is tenuous in the recent decade from 1999. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 943-952 Issue: 7 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613792 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613792 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:7:p:943-952 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yohannes Kinfu Author-X-Name-First: Yohannes Author-X-Name-Last: Kinfu Title: The efficiency of the health system in South Africa: evidence from stochastic frontier analysis Abstract: The availability of increased resources and the lack of parallel improvement in health status have renewed interest on health system performance, particularly where progress towards the Millennium Development Goals has been slow. Since the political transition in 1994, South Africa has consistently invested over eight of its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on health, but so far returns remain uneven, with some localities delivering lower outcomes than others, even when they have comparable input levels. This study measures the performance of the country's health system, following a stochastic production frontier approach. Results have revealed that eight of the 52 districts in the country had an efficiency score of below 60%, and in four of these, the score was below 50%. Technical inefficiency was positively and significantly associated with HIV prevalence and illiteracy rates reported for districts. Overall mean technical efficiency (TE) in the country was around 80%. Given this, further improvements in health outcome in the country are expected to depend both on its ability to address existing inefficiencies and on the capacity to invest additional resources in communities where existing services were already inadequate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1003-1010 Issue: 8 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613787 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613787 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:8:p:1003-1010 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saten Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Saten Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Don J. Webber Author-X-Name-First: Don J. Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Title: Australasian money demand stability: application of structural break tests Abstract: Estimates of the demand for money provide important foundations for monetary policy setting but if the estimation technique does not explicitly account for structural changes then such estimates will be biased. This article presents an investigation into the level and stability of money demand (M1) for Australia and New Zealand over the period 1960--2009 and demonstrates that both countries experienced regime shifts; Australia also experienced an intercept shift. Application of four time series methods provide consistent results with 1984 and 1998 break dates. Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) and CUSUMSQ stability tests reveal that M1 demand functions were unstable over the period 1984--1998 for both countries although tests for stability are not rejected thereafter. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1011-1025 Issue: 8 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613788 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:8:p:1011-1025 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Bodman Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Bodman Author-Name: Thanh Le Author-X-Name-First: Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Le Title: Assessing the roles that absorptive capacity and economic distance play in the foreign direct investment-productivity growth nexus Abstract: We further examine the channels through which Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) develops the national productivity of host countries. We investigate whether FDI is an effective channel of technological transfer across borders and whether that technology transfer is bi-directional: from an investing country to a host country and vice versa. In particular, an analysis is provided of whether FDI helps channel more resources towards the promotion of education activities and hence augments economic growth indirectly through augmenting the host country's absorptive capacity. Also, the analysis uses a novel approach to take into account the possibility that physical distances can act as a barrier to economic and technological interactions amongst countries, by embedding a measure of geographical distance into two specific channels: international trade and FDI. Empirical results obtained all lend strong support to these hypotheses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1027-1039 Issue: 8 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613789 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613789 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:8:p:1027-1039 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. G. González Ortiz Author-X-Name-First: L. G. González Author-X-Name-Last: Ortiz Author-Name: G. Masiero Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Masiero Title: Disentangling spillover effects of antibiotic consumption: a spatial panel approach Abstract: Literature on socioeconomic determinants of antibiotic consumption in the community is limited to few countries using cross-sectional data. This article analyses regional variations in outpatient antibiotics in Italy using a balanced panel dataset covering the period 2000 to 2008. We specify an econometric model in which antibiotic consumption depends upon demographic and socioeconomic characteristics of the population, the supply of health care services in the community, and antibiotic copayments. The model is estimated by means of Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) techniques with Fixed Effects (FE). The implications of consumption externalities across geographical areas are investigated by means of Spatial-Lag and Spatial-Error models (SLFE and SEFE). We find significant and positive income elasticity and negative effects of copayments. Antibiotic use is also affected by the age structure of the population and the supply of community health care. Finally, we find evidence of spatial dependency in the use of antibiotics across regions. This suggests that regional policies (e.g. public campaigns) aimed at increasing efficiency in antibiotic consumption and controlling bacterial resistance may be influenced by policy makers in neighbouring regions. There will be scope for a strategic and coordinated view of regional policies towards the use of antibiotics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1041-1054 Issue: 8 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613790 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613790 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:8:p:1041-1054 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mudziviri Nziramasanga Author-X-Name-First: Mudziviri Author-X-Name-Last: Nziramasanga Author-Name: Jonathan Yoder Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Yoder Title: The check in the mail: household characteristics and migrant remittance from the US to Mexico Abstract: We develop a household model of migrant remittance that supports testable hypotheses about the effect of migrant income, family composition and distribution, transaction costs associated with remittance mode, income and residence security, and other household characteristics on remittance levels and frequency. We test these hypotheses using survey data on individual Mexican migrants in the United States. The results are broadly consistent with our hypotheses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1055-1073 Issue: 8 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613791 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613791 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:8:p:1055-1073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro M. G. Martins Author-X-Name-First: Pedro M. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Martins Title: Do large capital inflows hinder competitiveness? The Dutch disease in Ethiopia Abstract: This article investigates whether large inflows of foreign aid and remittances have had a damaging impact on the Ethiopian Real Exchange Rate (RER). We improve the current empirical literature by: (i) compiling a unique quarterly dataset to provide a larger sample size and enable the modelling of important intra-year dynamics -- which should lead to better model specifications; (ii) providing a new empirical approach (Unobserved Components (UC)) to test the ‘Dutch disease’ hypothesis; and (iii) using several cointegration approaches to further test the robustness of our conclusions. Our results suggest that there are two main long-run determinants of the RER in Ethiopia: trade openness is found to be correlated with RER depreciations, while a positive shock to the terms of trade tends to appreciate the RER. Foreign aid is not found to have a statistically significant impact, while there is only weak evidence that remittances are associated with RER appreciations. The lack of empirical support for the ‘Dutch disease’ hypothesis suggests that Ethiopia has been able to effectively manage large capital inflows, thus avoiding major episodes of macroeconomic instability. We believe that most African countries will therefore be able to absorb large inflows of foreign capital without damaging their external competitiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1075-1088 Issue: 8 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613794 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613794 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:8:p:1075-1088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kian-Ping Lim Author-X-Name-First: Kian-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Weiwei Luo Author-X-Name-First: Weiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Jae H. Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jae H. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Are US stock index returns predictable? Evidence from automatic autocorrelation-based tests Abstract: This article re-examines the evidence of return predictability for three major US stock indices using two recently developed data-driven tests, namely the automatic portmanteau Box--Pierce test and the wild bootstrapped automatic variance ratio test. In tracking the time variation of return predictability via rolling estimation window, we find that those periods with significant return autocorrelations can largely be associated with major exogenous events. Theoretically, the documented time varying nature of predictable patterns is consistent with the adaptive markets hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 953-962 Issue: 8 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613782 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613782 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:8:p:953-962 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maryann O. Keating Author-X-Name-First: Maryann O. Author-X-Name-Last: Keating Author-Name: Barry P. Keating Author-X-Name-First: Barry P. Author-X-Name-Last: Keating Title: How trade and capital restrictions affect the probability of a balance of trade disturbance Abstract: Free market economists argue that national authorities avoid restrictions on the free movement of goods, services and financial capital between countries. Yet, countries continually choose to restrict the flow of capital both into and out of the country. Why is this done? Is it done to protect the domestic banking system, to control the domestic money supply, to manage the exchange rate, to provide stability for internal markets or to avoid wide swings in the availability of capital? Are these controls effective in precluding wide swings in a country's international trade balance? This article uses panel data in a logit model to analyse policy choice with respect to an international trade and/or investment regime. The goal is to identify choices effective in reducing the likelihood of a severe Balance of Trade Disturbance (BTD) and determine if the appropriate choice is related to per capita income (pci). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 963-972 Issue: 8 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613783 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613783 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:8:p:963-972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ton van Schaik Author-X-Name-First: Ton Author-X-Name-Last: van Schaik Author-Name: Theo van de Klundert Author-X-Name-First: Theo Author-X-Name-Last: van de Klundert Title: Employment protection legislation and catching-up Abstract: After World War II (WW II), productivity growth in Europe and Japan was driven by catching up with the US. Institutions in Europe were different too and well suited for economic growth through imitation and adaptation of the technology to local circumstances. Catching up is, however, a self defeating process. It ends when the technology frontier is attained or when in case of conditional convergence institutions set a limit to the process of catching up. Once this situation is reached, the existing institutions may no longer be appropriate. Regression analysis on a panel of 21 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries reveals that Employment Protection Legislations (EPL) had a positive impact on productivity growth in the period of rapid convergence in the sixties and seventies. However, from the eighties onwards, the total effect of EPL on labour productivity growth was negative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 973-981 Issue: 8 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613784 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:8:p:973-981 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jang C. Jin Author-X-Name-First: Jang C. Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Lawrence Jin Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Title: Research publications and economic growth: evidence from cross-country regressions Abstract: The effects of the quality of tertiary education on economic growth have been examined across countries. Professors’ research publication is used as a proxy for the quality of education at the university level. Research outputs in basic science and engineering are found to have a positive and significant effect on economic growth. Economics and business research also have immediate growth effects although the effects are a bit smaller. The results are, in general, consistent with the findings in the growth literature. The convergence hypothesis is also supported by the data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 983-990 Issue: 8 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613785 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:8:p:983-990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aparna Mathur Author-X-Name-First: Aparna Author-X-Name-Last: Mathur Author-Name: Kartikeya Singh Author-X-Name-First: Kartikeya Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Foreign direct investment, corruption and democracy Abstract: This article is the first to show that foreign investors care about economic freedoms, rather than political freedoms, in making decisions about where to locate capital. Hence more democratic countries may receive less Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows if economic freedoms are not guaranteed. One reason could be that democratizing developing economies are often unable to push through the kind of economic reforms that investors desire due to the presence of competing political interests. This could potentially explain why countries like China and Singapore that rank poorly on the democracy index but are relatively high on the property rights index do well in terms of FDI inflows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 991-1002 Issue: 8 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613786 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613786 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:8:p:991-1002 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kent D. Messer Author-X-Name-First: Kent D. Author-X-Name-Last: Messer Author-Name: Gregory L. Poe Author-X-Name-First: Gregory L. Author-X-Name-Last: Poe Author-Name: William D. Schulze Author-X-Name-First: William D. Author-X-Name-Last: Schulze Title: The value of private versus public risk and pure altruism: an experimental economics test Abstract: In 1996, Johannesson et al. published a paper entitled ‘The Value of Private Safety versus the Value of Public Safety’. Based on the preliminary evidence from a hypothetical contingent valuation study for public and private safety, these authors argue that consumers behave as ‘pure altruists’ who consider the cost of a program that might be imposed on other voters when they determine their maximum willingness-to-pay for public safety programs. The authors conclude that further empirical research in this area is warranted. This article presents a set of laboratory economics experiments to test Johannesson et al.'s conjecture under controlled conditions in which participants face an actual risk of financial loss. The laboratory results extend those of Johannesson et al.'s, providing strong evidence of pure altruism in coercive settings involving public risks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1089-1097 Issue: 9 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.608645 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.608645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:9:p:1089-1097 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Solomon Tarfasa Author-X-Name-First: Solomon Author-X-Name-Last: Tarfasa Author-Name: Roy Brouwer Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Brouwer Title: Estimation of the public benefits of urban water supply improvements in Ethiopia: a choice experiment Abstract: Improving existing drinking water supply services in developing countries depends crucially on available financial resources. Cost recovery rates of these services are typically low, while demand for more reliable services is high and rapidly growing. Most stated preference-based demand studies in the developing world apply the contingent valuation method and focus on rural areas. This study examines household Willingness to Pay (WTP) for improved water supply services in a choice experiment in an urban area in Ethiopia, a country with the lowest water supply coverage in Sub-Saharan Africa. The design of the choice experiment allows estimation of the value of both drinking water supply reliability and safety. The estimated economic values can be used in policy appraisals of improved supply investment decisions. Despite significant income constraints, households are willing to pay up to 80% extra for improved levels of water supply over and above their current water bill. Women and households living in the poorest part of the city with the lowest service levels value the improvement of water quality most. As expected, also averting behaviour and expenditures play an important role. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1099-1108 Issue: 9 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613793 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:9:p:1099-1108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H餩 Essid Author-X-Name-First: H餩 Author-X-Name-Last: Essid Author-Name: Pierre Ouellette Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Ouellette Author-Name: St鰨ane Vigeant Author-X-Name-First: St鰨ane Author-X-Name-Last: Vigeant Title: Small is not that beautiful after all: measuring the scale efficiency of Tunisian high schools using a DEA-bootstrap method Abstract: Allocation of resources to schools in a centrally managed state system, as the Tunisian one, should depend on the performance of the individual institutions. The optimal size is of crucial importance in this context and we need accurate measurement for sound policies. This article discusses and implements a nonparametric statistical test procedure for organization scale efficiency. This procedure allows us to test whether the observed scale efficiency is optimal or not, using a smooth bootstrap methodology for efficiency measures estimated using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) methods. Because school principals do not control for the size of their institution, i.e. the capital available at decision time, the scale efficiency measures are defined so as to include quasi-fixed inputs. The results show that scale efficiency measures are subject to sampling variation. We also found that the schools that are scale efficient are usually mid-sized and large schools, when size is measured by the number of students. This contradicts the largely shared view among decision makers that small schools were optimal. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1109-1120 Issue: 9 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613795 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613795 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:9:p:1109-1120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lijia Mo Author-X-Name-First: Lijia Author-X-Name-Last: Mo Title: Impact of food safety information on US poultry demand Abstract: The impact of poultry product recall events on consumer demand in the US was empirically tested for four major categories of poultry: broiler (young chicken), eggs, turkey and other chicken (mature or nonbroiler chicken). From 2000 to 2004, poultry Food Safety Inspection Service (FSIS) recall events had a consistent positive impact on demand for turkey but no significant impact on other types of poultry products. United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) -- FSIS recall, as a complement to food labelling, did not undermine poultry consumption but promoted turkey demands. On the contrary, media recall undermined poultry demands. Moreover, it demonstrated that turkey consumers were a special behaviour group of poultry consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1121-1131 Issue: 9 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613796 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:9:p:1121-1131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Derbyshire Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Derbyshire Author-Name: B. Gardiner Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Gardiner Author-Name: S. Waights Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Waights Title: Estimating the capital stock for the NUTS2 regions of the EU27 Abstract: To identify and target lagging regions policy makers require statistics to be produced at regional level. In many instances it is not possible simply to compare regional-level statistics produced by Member State national statistical offices as there is variation in the methods and assumptions used to produce them. Capital stock statistics at the national level have been available for most countries of the EU27 for some time, but statistics at the regional level are absent for almost all countries. Where they do exist the methods used to produce them are not consistent across countries. This article assesses the feasibility of producing comparable estimates of the capital stock at NUTS2 regional level for the EU27 and makes some initial estimates. The article outlines the method and data employed, and the techniques used to fill missing values. The approach is a Perpetual Inventory Method (PIM) based on that outlined in the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Manual on capital estimation, and the data employed were taken from Eurostat or other publicly available sources wherever possible. The article analyses the robustness of the capital stock estimates produced, as well as their impact on productivity analysis, and suggests how they can be improved in future updates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1133-1149 Issue: 9 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613797 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:9:p:1133-1149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sylvie Charlot Author-X-Name-First: Sylvie Author-X-Name-Last: Charlot Author-Name: Sonia Paty Author-X-Name-First: Sonia Author-X-Name-Last: Paty Author-Name: Michel Visalli Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Visalli Title: Assessing the impact of local taxation on property prices: a spatial matching contribution Abstract: This article provides empirical evidence on the impact of local taxation on property prices, controlling for the local public spending, using data on property taxation and real estate transactions, over the period 1994--2004. Our empirical methodology pairs transactions in the same spatial environments. Spatial differencing and Instrumental Variables (IV) methodology allow us to compare sales across municipality boundaries and to control for the potential endogeneity of local taxation and public spending. Our results suggest that the local Property Tax (PT) rate has no impact on property prices, while the amount of taxes paid appears to have a negative effect on property price. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1151-1166 Issue: 9 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613798 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613798 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:9:p:1151-1166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy Schwartz Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Schwartz Title: Do temporary extensions to unemployment insurance benefits matter? The effects of the US standby extended benefit program Abstract: During the 2007--2010 economic downturn, the US temporarily increased the duration of Unemployment Insurance (UI) by 73 weeks, higher than any prior extension, raising concerns about UI's disincentive effects on job search. This article examines the effect of temporary benefit extensions using a Regression Discontinuity (RD) approach that addresses the endogeneity of benefit extensions and labour market conditions. Using data from the 1991 recession, the results indicate that the Stand-by Extended Benefit (SEB) program has a significant, although somewhat limited, impact on county unemployment rates and the duration of unemployment. The results suggest that the temporary nature of SEB benefit extensions may mitigate their effect on search behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1167-1183 Issue: 9 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613799 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613799 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:9:p:1167-1183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Todd Jewell Author-X-Name-First: R. Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Jewell Author-Name: Michael A. McPherson Author-X-Name-First: Michael A. Author-X-Name-Last: McPherson Author-Name: Margie A. Tieslau Author-X-Name-First: Margie A. Author-X-Name-Last: Tieslau Title: Whose fault is it? Assigning blame for grade inflation in higher education Abstract: This study attempts to isolate the potential sources of grade inflation and to measure their relative importance. We incorporate existing models of grade inflation into a model of grade inflation at the department level. Our data comprise 1683 separate courses taught in 28 different academic departments by 3176 distinct instructors at a large public university over two decades. Our results suggest that incentives to inflate grades vary according to characteristics of academic departments. However, the vast majority (over 90%) of grade inflation observed in our data is estimated to be a result of either university-level factors or instructor-specific characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1185-1200 Issue: 9 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.621884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.621884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:9:p:1185-1200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leonardo Becchetti Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Author-X-Name-Last: Becchetti Author-Name: Pierluigi Conzo Author-X-Name-First: Pierluigi Author-X-Name-Last: Conzo Title: Credit access and life satisfaction: evaluating the nonmonetary effects of micro finance Abstract: Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) are used to claim that their impact goes beyond money since rescuing from exclusion uncollateralized poor borrowers significantly affects their dignity, self-esteem, social recognition, future economic perspectives and, through it, life satisfaction. Our article aims to verify the validity of this claim by evaluating whether access to microfinance loans has significant direct impact on life satisfaction beyond its indirect impact via current income changes. Empirical findings on a sample of poor borrowers in the suburbs of Buenos Aires show that, after controlling for survivorship, selection and interview bias, microfinance membership has a significant and positive effect on life satisfaction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1201-1217 Issue: 9 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.624086 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.624086 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:9:p:1201-1217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Apostolos Tsiachristas† Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Tsiachristas† Author-Name: Ren頇oudriaan Author-X-Name-First: Ren頍 Author-X-Name-Last: Goudriaan Author-Name: Wim Groot Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Groot Title: The welfare effects of innovative pharmaceuticals: an international perspective from the Dutch experience Abstract: Policy discussions on new medicines are often focused on cost containment rather than on the benefits they produce, such as health gains and cost savings in other sectors. In this study, we identify systematic differences in policies towards pharmaceuticals between countries and calculate the welfare gains of 39 innovative pharmaceuticals introduced in the Dutch market after 1997. Welfare gains are defined as the difference between the value of a QALY gained by innovative pharmaceuticals and their costs. The review shows that there are systematic differences among pharmaceutical policies and regulations between countries. It is further found that the welfare gains of pharmaceuticals are substantial and amount to €77 per capita per year in the Netherlands. The welfare gains could be higher if institutional barriers for an efficient utilization of innovative pharmaceuticals are removed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1219-1226 Issue: 9 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.628296 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.628296 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:9:p:1219-1226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Abbott Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Abbott Author-Name: Glauco De Vita Author-X-Name-First: Glauco Author-X-Name-Last: De Vita Title: Testing for long-run convergence across regional house prices in the UK: a pairwise approach Abstract: This article tests for stochastic convergence in UK regional house prices using the recently developed pairwise approach. This approach allows for unit root tests to be conducted on all N(N − 1)/2 possible pairs of house price differentials across N regions in the UK, thus avoiding the need to choose a base region or alternative national figure as the benchmark. Using mix adjusted house price data from 1973:Q4 to 2008:Q4, the main finding is that there is no evidence of long run convergence among regional house prices or of an equilibrium relationship towards which UK regional house prices have a tendency to gravitate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1227-1238 Issue: 10 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613800 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613800 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:10:p:1227-1238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashok Bardhan Author-X-Name-First: Ashok Author-X-Name-Last: Bardhan Author-Name: Daniel L. Hicks Author-X-Name-First: Daniel L. Author-X-Name-Last: Hicks Author-Name: Dwight Jaffee Author-X-Name-First: Dwight Author-X-Name-Last: Jaffee Title: How responsive is higher education? The linkages between higher education and the labour market Abstract: Higher education is considered vital for developing a productive and dynamic labour force to meet the demands of the global economy. How effectively does the US higher education sector respond to labour market signals? We match US postsecondary degree completions from 1984 to 2008 with occupational employment statistics and employ an Instrumental Variable (IV) strategy to examine the supply response to changes in occupation specific demand. The supply of educated workers appears weakly responsive to short-term wage signals and moderately responsive to long-term employment conditions. Analysis reveals a sizeable degree of heterogeneity and lag in the responsiveness across specific occupation--degree pairings. Failure to respond rapidly to changes in labour demand may be one factor driving inequality in wages across occupations and in the aggregate economy. We suggest some simple policy measures to help increase the responsiveness of the higher education sector, both in terms of the output of specific degree programmes and the overall mix and composition of graduate completions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1239-1256 Issue: 10 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613801 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613801 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:10:p:1239-1256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jakob B. Madsen Author-X-Name-First: Jakob B. Author-X-Name-Last: Madsen Author-Name: Ratbek Dzhumashev Author-X-Name-First: Ratbek Author-X-Name-Last: Dzhumashev Author-Name: Hui Yao Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Stock returns and economic growth Abstract: Theoretical considerations appear to support the conjecture that stock returns are positively related to growth in the long run. However, the empirical literature does not give unanimous support to the theory. Based on a stochastic general equilibrium model it is argued that the long-run relationship between stock returns and per capita income growth is ambiguous and depends on output volatility. Using a century of data for 20 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries it is shown that the relationship between stock returns and growth is positive over the period 1916--1951, in which output volatility was persistent. Outside this period no relationship between stock returns and growth is found. These findings are consistent with the predictions of the theoretical model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1257-1271 Issue: 10 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613802 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613802 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:10:p:1257-1271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei-han Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wei-han Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Detecting structural breaks in tail behaviour -- from the perspective of fitting the generalized Pareto distribution Abstract: Extreme Value Theory (EVT) is heavily applied in modelling tail behaviour. Previous literature uses the tail index to test for Structural Breaks (SBs) in the tails. This study presents another more reliable approach and relies on the outperformance of the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) in modelling tails. The transformed GPD is treated as a classical Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression and the generalized M-fluctuation test (Zeileis, 2005, 2006) is applied because it is a unified approach based on Maximum Likelihood (ML) scores (Andrews and Ploberger, 1994), F-statistics (1989, 1992), and OLS residuals (Ploberger and Kramer, 1992). The outcomes indicate that there are multiple SBs not only in all of the three exchange return series considered (UK Pound, Japanese Yen and New Taiwan Dollar, all versus US Dollar) but also GPD parameter estimation at extreme quantile levels. Based on these empirical analyses, it is advisable that EVT should be used with caution at extreme quantile levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1273-1286 Issue: 10 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.613803 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.613803 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:10:p:1273-1286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mira Farka Author-X-Name-First: Mira Author-X-Name-Last: Farka Author-Name: Adrian R. Fleissig Author-X-Name-First: Adrian R. Author-X-Name-Last: Fleissig Title: The impact of FOMC statements on the volatility of asset prices Abstract: This article examines the impact of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statements on asset prices. Statements are found to have a much more pronounced impact on the volatility of asset prices than interest rate surprises. They influence primarily stock returns, intermediate and long-term yields, whereas short-term rates are driven both by statements and by interest rate surprises. We also find that the regime shift of May 1999 has improved the effectiveness of monetary policy, as reflected in an overall reduction in market volatility during the most recent regime. In addition, markets are equally well-prepared for the upcoming rate decision in both regimes, but the process of adjustment depends on whether a statement was issued in the old regime or not. When a statement is issued, price adjustments are very similar across both periods, whereas if no statement is issued then the rate of adjustment towards the new value is more gradual and occurs throughout the entire intermeeting period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1287-1301 Issue: 10 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.615732 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.615732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:10:p:1287-1301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Vidal-Meliá Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Vidal-Meliá Author-Name: Mar𨁤el Carmen Boado-Penas Author-X-Name-First: Mar𨀍 Author-X-Name-Last: del Carmen Boado-Penas Title: Compiling the actuarial balance for pay-as-you-go pension systems. Is it better to use the hidden asset or the contribution asset? Abstract: The aim of this article is twofold: to establish the connection between the ‘Contribution Asset’ (CA) and the ‘Hidden Asset’ (HA) and to determine whether using either of them to compile the Actuarial Balance (AB) sheet in the Pay-As-You-Go (PAYG) pension system will provide a reliable solvency indicator. With these aims in mind, we develop a model based on those first put forward by Settergren and Mikula (2005) and Boado-Penas et al. (2008) to obtain the analytical properties of the CA and to confirm its soundness as a measure of the assets of a PAYG scheme. Our model also enables us to explore whether, and to what extent, the HA can be considered a second alternative measure of the assets for PAYG schemes. The main theoretical finding is that, despite their very different natures, the HA and the CA may nearly coincide at the limit when the interest rate of the financial market approaches the growth of the covered wage bill from above, but the HA supplies a solvency indicator which is not always consistent with the system's financial health. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1303-1320 Issue: 10 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.615733 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.615733 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:10:p:1303-1320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter L. Jones Author-X-Name-First: Peter L. Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: The determinants of aggregate creditors’ voluntary liquidations Abstract: This article investigates the determinants of Creditors’ Voluntary Liquidations (CVLs), an area of research that has received comparatively scant attention in the literature despite the fact that, at least in the UK, this form of insolvency has consistently comprised the majority of company failures. It develops an Equilibrium Correction Model (ECM) to explain variations in the aggregate number of CVLs in England and Wales between 1963 and 1995. This is then subjected to out-of-sample testing over the subsequent 10-year period. The results indicate that in both the short-run and the long-run, changes in the level of liquidations can be explained by two main explanatory variables namely: the nominal after-tax cost of borrowing and changes in the overall level of economic activity. In addition, confirmatory evidence is provided for the dampening effect of the 1986 Insolvency Act on the number of liquidations. The model retains its forecasting accuracy in the out-of-sample period although there is possibly some preliminary evidence of a further mitigating effect associated with the Enterprise Act 2002. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1321-1330 Issue: 10 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.617695 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.617695 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:10:p:1321-1330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Sin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Sin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Pi-Hsia Yen Author-X-Name-First: Pi-Hsia Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Author-Name: Kam C. Chan Author-X-Name-First: Kam C. Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Title: Market states and disposition effect: evidence from Taiwan mutual fund investors Abstract: We study the disposition effect across market states in the context of mutual fund investors in Taiwan. Using mutual fund data at the fund and individual levels during July 2001 to October 2008, we find that the disposition effect varies across market states. Our results suggest that investors redeem their mutual fund units more under a bear market than a bull market when they have extreme capital losses. When investors have moderate capital gains, they are less active in redeeming their mutual fund units under a bull market relative to a bear market. Under a neutral market, investors actively redeem mutual fund units in both winner and loser mutual funds except when they have extreme capital losses. Thus, disposition effect is not uniform; it varies by market condition. In addition, the disposition effect phenomenon also exists for Taiwan mutual fund investors as well. Our findings are robust to aggregate and individual investor levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1331-1342 Issue: 10 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.617696 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.617696 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:10:p:1331-1342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger Svensson Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Svensson Title: Publicly-funded R&D programs and survival of patents Abstract: I apply a survival model to a detailed data set of Swedish patents to estimate how different financing factors affect the likelihood of patent renewal. Since the owners know more about the patents than potential external financiers, there is a problem of asymmetric information. To overcome this, Sweden has for a long time relied on government support rather than Private Venture Capital (PVC). In the empirical analysis, two kinds of government loans are unbundled. The empirical results show that patents which have received soft government loans in the R&D-phase have a higher probability of expiring than patents without such financing. But patents that have received more market-oriented government loans during the commercialization phase are renewed for as long as other commercialized patents. This finding suggests that rather than bad choices of projects, it is the nature of the contract terms that explains the low renewal of some patents with government financing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1343-1358 Issue: 10 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.617700 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.617700 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:10:p:1343-1358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michiel van Leuvensteijn Author-X-Name-First: Michiel Author-X-Name-Last: van Leuvensteijn Author-Name: Christoffer Kok Sørensen Author-X-Name-First: Christoffer Kok Author-X-Name-Last: Sørensen Author-Name: Jacob A. Bikker Author-X-Name-First: Jacob A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bikker Author-Name: Adrian A.R.J.M. van Rixtel Author-X-Name-First: Adrian A.R.J.M. Author-X-Name-Last: van Rixtel Title: Impact of bank competition on the interest rate pass-through in the euro area Abstract: This article analyses the impact of loan market competition on the interest rates applied by euro area banks to loans during the period 1994--2004, using a novel measure of competition called the Boone indicator. We find evidence that stronger competition implies significantly lower spreads between bank and market interest rates for most loan market products, in line with expectations. This result implies that stronger competition causes both lower bank interest rates and a stronger pass-through of market rate changes into bank rates. Evidence of the latter is also presented by our Error Correction Model (ECM) for bank rates. Further, banks compensate income losses from increased loan market competition by offering lower deposit rates. Our findings with respect to the loan market rates have important monetary policy implications, as they suggest that measures to promote competition in the European banking sector are likely to render the monetary policy transmission mechanism more effective. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1359-1380 Issue: 11 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.617697 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.617697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:11:p:1359-1380 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott Adams Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Adams Author-Name: Chad Cotti Author-X-Name-First: Chad Author-X-Name-Last: Cotti Author-Name: Daniel Fuhrmann Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Fuhrmann Title: The short-term impact of smoke-free workplace laws on fatal heart attacks Abstract: Using data from across the US, we find that as the number of communities adopting smoking bans in workplaces in a state increases or an entire state goes smoke-free, there are significant reductions in fatal Myocardial Infarctions (MI) among those aged 25--54. The result proves durable, as we subject it to an extensive battery of robustness checks. These results are smaller in magnitude, however, than published case studies analysing the experiences of individual communities passing bans. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1381-1393 Issue: 11 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.617698 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.617698 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:11:p:1381-1393 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Colin T. Bowers Author-X-Name-First: Colin T. Author-X-Name-Last: Bowers Author-Name: Chris Heaton Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Heaton Title: What does high-dimensional factor analysis tell us about risk factors in the Australian stock market? Abstract: Estimates of the cost of equity are often sensitive to the specification of the linear factor model used in their construction. In this article, we use techniques developed for high-dimensional factor models to consider the identity of systematic risk factors in the Australian equities market. Our results support the use of neither the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) nor the Fama and French model, although they provide an explanation for the empirical performance of these models. Many other model specifications are also rejected. We find that a single-factor model with an equal-weighted market index is the best model for estimating the cost of equity in the Australian context. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1395-1404 Issue: 11 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.617699 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.617699 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:11:p:1395-1404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tieli Li Author-X-Name-First: Tieli Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Miao Fu Author-X-Name-First: Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Xiaolan Fu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolan Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Title: Regional technology development path in an open developing economy: evidence from China Abstract: This article explores the paths of regional technology development in a large open developing economy. Findings from the research based on Chinese data suggest a differentiated approach to regional technology development. In technologically advanced regions, indigenous R&D plays a more important role than learning-by-doing while in backward regions the latter becomes more important. Interregional technology transfer is found to have a more significant impact on regional technology development than Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and its effect intensifies when the technology level of the recipient region is close to the technological frontier. R&D plays a key role in both the assimilation of foreign technologies in advanced regions and the assimilation of interregional technology transfer; learning-by-doing only affects the latter. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1405-1418 Issue: 11 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.617701 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.617701 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:11:p:1405-1418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Boitani Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Boitani Author-Name: Marcella Nicolini Author-X-Name-First: Marcella Author-X-Name-Last: Nicolini Author-Name: Carlo Scarpa Author-X-Name-First: Carlo Author-X-Name-Last: Scarpa Title: Do competition and ownership matter? Evidence from local public transport in Europe Abstract: This article investigates how the ownership and the selection procedure of firms operating in the Local Public Transport (LPT) sector affect their productivity. In order to compare different institutional regimes, we carry out a comparative analysis of 77 companies operating in large European cities over the period 1997 to 2006. This allows us to consider firms selected either through competitive tendering or negotiated procedures. Retrieving the residuals we obtain a measure of Total Factor Productivity (TFP), which we regress on firm and city characteristics. We find that totally or partially public firms display lower productivity than privately owned firms. Moreover, firms selected through competitive tendering display higher TFP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1419-1434 Issue: 11 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.617702 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.617702 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:11:p:1419-1434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vadym Volosovych Author-X-Name-First: Vadym Author-X-Name-Last: Volosovych Title: Risk sharing from international factor income: explaining cross-country differences Abstract: Access to world capital markets and net investment income flows between countries help protect national income from country-specific output shocks. I empirically study what factors explain cross-country differences in the extent of risk sharing from international factor income. An index of investor protection is the leading causal variable for the estimated amount of risk sharing over the 1985 to 2004 period. Improving investor protection in Russia to Denmark's level implies five times larger risk sharing compared to the sample average. These results indicate one possible way to reap large potential benefits from international risk sharing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1435-1459 Issue: 11 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.617703 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.617703 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:11:p:1435-1459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johannes Sauer Author-X-Name-First: Johannes Author-X-Name-Last: Sauer Author-Name: Catherine J. Morrison Paul Author-X-Name-First: Catherine J. Morrison Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Title: The empirical identification of heterogeneous technologies and technical change Abstract: When different technologies are present in an industry, we assume that a homogeneous technology will lead to misleading implications about technical change and inefficient policy recommendations. In this article a latent class modelling approach and flexible estimation of the production structure is used to distinguish different technologies for a representative sample of EU dairy producers, as an industry exhibiting significant structural changes and differences in production systems in the past decades. The model uses a transformation function to recognize multiple outputs; separate technological classes based on multiple characteristics, a flexible generalized linear functional form, a variety of inputs and random effects to capture firm heterogeneity; and measures of first- and second-order elasticities to represent technical change and biases. We find that if multiple production frontiers are embodied in the data, different firms exhibit different output or input intensities and changes associated with different production systems that are veiled by overall (average) measures. In particular, we find that farms that are larger and more capital intensive experience greater productivity, technical progress and labour savings, and enjoy scale economies that have increased over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1461-1479 Issue: 11 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.617704 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.617704 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:11:p:1461-1479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James A. Yunker Author-X-Name-First: James A. Author-X-Name-Last: Yunker Author-Name: Alice Melkumian Author-X-Name-First: Alice Author-X-Name-Last: Melkumian Title: Optimal diversification and risk-taking: a theoretical and empirical analysis Abstract: Among the justifications for capital property income received by private households is that it is a ‘return to risk-taking’. However, portfolio diversification provides an obvious means toward the reduction of risk. Moreover, it is widely believed that the wealthier the household, the more diversification it practices: the larger tends to be the proportion of its total portfolio allocated to publicly traded stock, and the larger tends to be the number of individual stock issues included in its portfolio. Using a simple ‘homogeneous securities’ model, explicit functional forms are obtained for both the optimal proportion of the portfolio allocated to stocks, and the optimal number of individual stock issues in the portfolio. Empirical evaluation of these theoretical results, using a dataset derived from the 2004 Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF), lends substantial support to the model. Applying these empirical results, it is found that as household capital wealth increases, expected capital income increases while simultaneously a reasonable risk indicator (the probability of incurring a negative return on the capital portfolio) decreases owing to the higher level of portfolio diversification. This indication casts significant doubt on the ‘return to risk-taking’ justification for capital property income received by wealthy private households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1481-1492 Issue: 11 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.619498 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.619498 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:11:p:1481-1492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martina Celidoni Author-X-Name-First: Martina Author-X-Name-Last: Celidoni Title: Vulnerability to poverty: an empirical comparison of alternative measures Abstract: This article compares empirically the several measures of individual vulnerability to poverty proposed in the literature, in order to understand which is the best signal of poverty that can be used for policy purposes. To this aim, the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve, the Pearson and Spearman correlation coefficients are used as precision criteria. The results show that two groups of indexes can be identified, high and low performers, and, among the former, that proposed by Dutta et al. (2011) is the most precise. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1493-1506 Issue: 12 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.624271 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.624271 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:12:p:1493-1506 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianni Amisano Author-X-Name-First: Gianni Author-X-Name-Last: Amisano Author-Name: Maria Letizia Giorgetti Author-X-Name-First: Maria Letizia Author-X-Name-Last: Giorgetti Title: Diversification by entry into a new submarket? Abstract: Using a dataset on the subsector and geographical segmentation of 208 Pharmaceutical companies, a Bayesian panel probit is used to analyze the role of state dependency, size and achieved diversification in affecting entry decision. We properly account for unobservable heterogeneity in a context with nonstrictly exogenous regressors. We find that achieved diversification, measured by the number of submarkets already entered affects negatively the probability of entry. Beside some country-specific exceptions, size and the lagged dependent variable do not seem to be relevant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1507-1518 Issue: 12 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.628297 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.628297 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:12:p:1507-1518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Ormerod Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Ormerod Author-Name: B. Rosewell Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Rosewell Author-Name: P. Phelps Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Phelps Title: Inflation/unemployment regimes and the instability of the Phillips curve Abstract: Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United States, the United Kingdom and Germany between 1871 and 2009. We identify for each country three distinct regimes in inflation/unemployment space. Similarities exist across countries in both the regimes and the timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the regimes are substantially different. Further, even within a given regime, the results from the cluster analysis reveal persistent fluctuations in the degree of attachment to that regime of inflation/unemployment observations over time. The economic implications of this are that, first, the inflation/unemployment relationship or Phillips curve experiences from time to time major shifts. Second, that it is also inherently unstable even in the short run. It is likely that the factors which govern the inflation/unemployment trade-off are so multi-dimensional that it is hard to identify periods of short-run Phillips curves which can be assigned to particular historical periods with any degree of accuracy or predictability. The analysis shows that reliance on a trade-off between inflation and unemployment for policy purposes is misplaced even in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1519-1531 Issue: 12 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.628299 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.628299 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:12:p:1519-1531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Fernando Zanella Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Zanella Title: Testing for the government's intertemporal budget restriction in Brazil during 1823--1889 Abstract: This article tests whether the government's intertemporal budget restriction was fulfilled during the Brazilian imperial period (1823--1889). To accomplish this, newly developed tests for cointegration with unknown structural breaks are applied. It is found that government spending and government revenue are cointegrated if the effect of two unknown structural breaks is taken into account. The estimated parameter vector reveals that the one-by-one relationship that is required for solvency does not prevail for the sub-periods before and after the first break, however it prevails for the sub-period after the second break. We interpret these findings as empirical support for the long-run government solvency in Brazil at the end of the imperial period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1533-1540 Issue: 12 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.629984 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.629984 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:12:p:1533-1540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Rosillo Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Rosillo Author-Name: D. de la Fuente Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: de la Fuente Author-Name: J. A. L. Brugos Author-X-Name-First: J. A. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Brugos Title: Technical analysis and the Spanish stock exchange: testing the RSI, MACD, momentum and stochastic rules using Spanish market companies Abstract: The aim of this research is to examine the result of the application of the indicators Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Momentum and Stochastic in different companies of the Spanish continuous market. By using these indicators, it is intended to give purchase and sale recommendations to small investors. The generation of great capital gains depends on the type of the stock exchange company and the indicator which is being used. In addition, this research solves the problems in case of ambiguity, in the indicators, for the traders. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1541-1550 Issue: 12 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.631894 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.631894 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:12:p:1541-1550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Lamo Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Lamo Author-Name: Javier J. P鲥z Author-X-Name-First: Javier J. Author-X-Name-Last: P鲥z Author-Name: Ludger Schuknecht Author-X-Name-First: Ludger Author-X-Name-Last: Schuknecht Title: The cyclicality of consumption, wages and employment of the public sector in the euro area Abstract: This study empirically examines the business cycle behaviour of public consumption and its main components, the public wage bill (including its breakdown into compensation per employee and public employment) and intermediate consumption, in the euro area aggregate, euro area countries and a group of selected non-euro area Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries (Denmark, Sweden, the UK, Japan and the US). It looks across a large number of variables and methods, using annual data from 1960 to 2005. It finds robust evidence supporting that public consumption, wages and employment co-move with the business cycle in a pro-cyclical manner with 1--2 year lags, notably for the euro area aggregate and euro area countries. The findings reflect mainly the correlation between cyclical developments, but also point to an important role of pro-cyclical discretionary fiscal policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1551-1569 Issue: 12 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.631895 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.631895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:12:p:1551-1569 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Håkan Eggert Author-X-Name-First: Håkan Author-X-Name-Last: Eggert Author-Name: Viktoria Kahui Author-X-Name-First: Viktoria Author-X-Name-Last: Kahui Title: Reference-dependent behaviour of paua (abalone) divers in New Zealand Abstract: We study dynamic labour supply using data on paua (abalone) divers in New Zealand. The divers face stable, flat prices per kilogram after each catch, but experience transitory wage changes due to varying weather and water conditions, and are free to vary their daily working hours and display an intermittent working pattern. We find nonlinear wage elasticities, rejecting the standard neo-classical prediction that these divers should work long hours during days when wages are high and quit early during days when hourly wages are low. We explore potentially distorting factors, but find little evidence. Applying Kőszegi and Rabin's (2006) theory where workers have both income and hours targets could explain our result. In particular, our divers appear to be primarily guided by the hours target. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1571-1582 Issue: 12 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.631896 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.631896 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:12:p:1571-1582 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Zubanov Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Zubanov Author-Name: H. D. Webbink Author-X-Name-First: H. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Webbink Author-Name: N. G. Martin Author-X-Name-First: N. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Title: The effect of schooling on problem drinking: evidence from Australian twins Abstract: We relate differences in problem drinking symptoms within pairs of identical twins to their respective differences in years of schooling. Isolating in this way the influences of family background and genes, we find that an increase in schooling attainment results in a significantly lower incidence of problem drinking for men. Thus, an extra year of schooling reduces the number of health problems caused by drinking by 0.14, and the probability of developing symptoms of Alcohol Dependence (AD) by 0.06. This negative link is robust to a variety of modifications to the identifying assumptions underlying our statistical analysis. Socio-economic implications of our findings are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1583-1599 Issue: 12 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.631897 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.631897 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:12:p:1583-1599 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthieu Bussière Author-X-Name-First: Matthieu Author-X-Name-Last: Bussière Title: Balance of payment crises in emerging markets: how early were the ‘early’ warning signals? Abstract: Although many papers have already proposed empirical models of currency crises, the timing of such crises has received relatively little attention so far. Most papers use indeed a static specification and impose the same lag structure across all explanatory variables. This, by construction, prevents from specifically timing the crisis signals sent by the leading indicators. The objective here is to fill this gap by considering a set of dynamic discrete choice models. The first contribution is to identify how early in advance each explanatory variable sends a warning signal. Some indicators are found to signal a crisis in the very short run while others signal a crisis at more distant horizons. The second contribution is to show that state dependence matters, albeit mostly in the short run. The results have important implications for crisis prevention in terms of the timeliness and usefulness of the envisaged policy response. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1601-1623 Issue: 12 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.633891 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.633891 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:12:p:1601-1623 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexandre Dmitriev Author-X-Name-First: Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Dmitriev Title: Institutions and growth: evidence from estimation methods robust to weak instruments Abstract: This article focuses on the empirical approach proposed by Hall and Jones (1999) to estimate the effect of what they call ‘social infrastructure’ on productivity across countries. We consider the issue of weak identification in their linear instrumental variables model. The evidence obtained from partially robust estimators, such as the k-class and jackknife estimators, is interpreted on the basis of Monte Carlo studies. Our findings suggest that using certain k-class estimators allows exclusive reliance on the linguistic variables to instrument for institutional quality despite their low correlation with the endogenous regressor in question. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1625-1635 Issue: 13 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.633892 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.633892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:13:p:1625-1635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Title: Evaluating Federal Reserve predictions of growth in consumer spending Abstract: This study shows that Federal Reserve forecasts of growth in both total consumption and durable spending are generally rational under asymmetric loss, and the forecasts of growth in nondurable (services) spending, while unbiased (biased), fail to be rational. Yet, these forecasts are all directionally accurate. The forecasts of growth in total consumption, durable and services spending are more (less) accurate in predicting the downward (upward) moves and are thus of value when policymakers assign more (less) cost to incorrect downward (upward) predictions. The forecasts of growth in nondurable spending are equally accurate in predicting the downward and upward moves and are thus of value when policymakers assign similar cost to both incorrect downward and upward predictions. Utilizing survey data to measure the private forecasts, we further provide partial support for the asymmetric information hypothesis that the Federal Reserve has useful information about the state of the economy that is not known by the public. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1637-1646 Issue: 13 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.633893 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.633893 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:13:p:1637-1646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ernesto Aguayo-T鬬ez Author-X-Name-First: Ernesto Author-X-Name-Last: Aguayo-T鬬ez Author-Name: Jos頍art󹑺-Navarro Author-X-Name-First: Jos頍 Author-X-Name-Last: Mart󹑺-Navarro Title: Internal and international migration in Mexico: 1995--2000 Abstract: Using micro data from Mexico and US 2000 population censuses and following a multi-choice variant of Roy's (1951) model, this article pools into one model the determinants of internal and international migration in M鸩co, while paying explicit attention to the potential problem of self-selection. The results reveal that ignoring multiple destinations in the migration decision might lead to erroneous inferences about the determinants of migration and the type of selection. After controlling for wage differences, the results suggest that single adult men with low schooling levels tend to migrate to the US while married women and men with higher levels of schooling tend to migrate within Mexico. We also found that there are strong differences between domestic and international social networks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1647-1661 Issue: 13 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.633894 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.633894 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:13:p:1647-1661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. P. Thi颡ut Author-X-Name-First: S. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Thi颡ut Author-Name: T. Barnay Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Barnay Author-Name: B. Ventelou Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Ventelou Title: Ageing, chronic conditions and the evolution of future drugs expenditure: a five-year micro-simulation from 2004 to 2029 Abstract: The healthy ageing assumptions may lead to substantial changes in paths of aggregate health care expenditure, notably catastrophic expenditure of people at the end of the life. But clear assessments of involved amounts are not available when we specifically consider ambulatory care (as drug expenditure) generally offered to chronically-ill people. We estimate the effects of epidemiological and life expectancy changes on French health expenditure until 2029 by applying a Markovian micro-simulation model from a nationally representative database. The originality of these simulations holds in using an aggregate indicator of morbidity--mortality, capturing vital risk and making it possible to adapt the quantification of life expectancies by taking into account the presence of severe chronic pathologies. We forecast future national drugs expenditure, under different epidemiological scenarios of chronic morbidity: trend scenario, healthy ageing scenario and medical progress scenario. For the population aged 25+, results predict an increase in reimbursable drug expenditure of between 1.1% and 1.8% (annual growth rate), attributable solely to the ageing population and changes in health status. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1663-1672 Issue: 13 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.633895 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.633895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:13:p:1663-1672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karolien De Bruyne Author-X-Name-First: Karolien Author-X-Name-Last: De Bruyne Author-Name: Jan Van Hove Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Van Hove Title: Explaining the spatial variation in housing prices: an economic geography approach Abstract: Housing prices vary geographically, even between neighbouring municipalities. Local differences can be attributed to differences in socio-economic variables and real estate characteristics. This article argues that one should additionally take into account the geographical location of municipalities. In particular, housing prices are affected by distance and travel-time to important economic centres offering jobs and extensive services. Following the economic geography literature, we develop a model showing the explicit impact of geographical barriers on housing prices. As such, we distinguish ourselves from the existing literature on the dynamics of housing prices since geographical elements are fairly constant over time. We estimate our model on municipality-level housing prices for all 589 Belgian municipalities in 2001. We also differentiate between the two main regions of Belgium (Flanders and Wallonia). Our empirical results confirm expectations. Geographical barriers have significantly negative effects on housing prices. Nevertheless we find important differences between the Belgian regions and the means of transport considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1673-1689 Issue: 13 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.636021 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.636021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:13:p:1673-1689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Bryan Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Martin Bryan Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: Voting with the crowd: do single issues drive partisanship? Abstract: We examine whether survey data supports the anecdotal evidence which suggests that group association impacts the individual's stated beliefs. Specifically, we examine whether a rise in the relative importance of a single issue, i.e. national security, blurs the traditional importance of socio-economic variables in determining an electorate's political party association. Further, we examine whether such blurring occurs across the responses to questions outside the scope of this single issue. We find that in the aftermath of the terrorist attacks on 11 September 2001, the relative importance of national security rose in the US electorate and reduced the relative importance of socio-economic variables in determining the electorate's political association for both security and nonsecurity issues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1691-1700 Issue: 13 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.636022 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.636022 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:13:p:1691-1700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Randall P. Ellis Author-X-Name-First: Randall P. Author-X-Name-Last: Ellis Author-Name: Shenyi Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Shenyi Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Tzu-Chun Kuo Author-X-Name-First: Tzu-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Kuo Title: Does service-level spending show evidence of selection across health plan types? Abstract: We provide an explanation for the widespread finding that capitated managed care plans attract comparatively healthy, low cost enrollees relative to traditional unmanaged plans. Using disaggregated commercial insurance claims from the Thomson-Reuters MarketScan database, we show that managed care plans spend proportionally less on those types of services that are predicted to be more profitable to ration tightly using a selection index developed by Ellis and McGuire that captures the derivative of profits with respect to reduced spending on disaggregated services. Conventional diagnosis-based risk adjusted premiums reduce selection incentives by about 50% relative to premiums that are not risk-adjusted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1701-1712 Issue: 13 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.636023 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.636023 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:13:p:1701-1712 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Aaron Morey Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Morey Title: Regulator flexibility and the administrative allocation licensing of 3G spectrum Abstract: Globally, most nations assign radio spectrum to provide 3G mobile services during the period 1999--2007. While there is consensus among most economists that auctions are the preferred assignment mechanism, the assignment mode is split, more or less, equally (in terms of the number of licences issued) between administrative allocations and auctions. With auction procedures tending to raise more revenue for governments (Cartelier, 2003) the question that naturally arises is: why are administrative allocations so popular a method to assign spectrum? McMillan (1995) conjectures that administrative allocations provide additional ‘flexibility’. Accordingly, this study examines the performance of 3G assignments in terms of an econometric analysis of a unique sample of national 3G spectrum administrative allocations. These outcomes are modelled as depending on spectrum package attributes, and post-award network deployment requirements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1713-1718 Issue: 13 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.636024 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.636024 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:13:p:1713-1718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Kriechel Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Kriechel Author-Name: G. A. Pfann Author-X-Name-First: G. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Pfann Title: Workforce reorganization and the worker Abstract: In this article we study the joint decision process of changing the structure of jobs and laying off individual workers in a firm that downsizes its workforce. A hierarchical decision model is proposed and estimated using personnel data from a firm in demise comparing the characteristics of the individual workers and the structure of the firm's labour force before and after its reorganization. Our results show that workers in jobs in the top levels of each skill group's hierarchy are better protected against downsizing due to larger productivity shocks and larger firing costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1719-1729 Issue: 13 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.636025 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.636025 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:13:p:1719-1729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarah Brown Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Michael Dietrich Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dietrich Author-Name: Aurora Ortiz Nuñez Author-X-Name-First: Aurora Ortiz Author-X-Name-Last: Nuñez Author-Name: Karl Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Karl Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Business ownership and attitudes towards risk Abstract: We explore the relationship between business ownership and attitudes towards financial risk using individual level data drawn from the US Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF). The SCF includes a measure of individuals’ attitudes towards risk allowing us to explore the implications of interpersonal differences in risk attitudes for the probability and success of business ownership. Our empirical findings suggest that willingness to take financial risk is positively associated with both the incidence and success of business ownership. We find that this relationship is particularly pronounced in cases where the individual actually started the business. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1731-1740 Issue: 13 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.636026 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.636026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:13:p:1731-1740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christoph Kneiding Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Kneiding Author-Name: Alexander S. Kritikos Author-X-Name-First: Alexander S. Author-X-Name-Last: Kritikos Title: Funding self-employment -- the role of consumer credit Abstract: This article investigates whether self-employed households use consumer loans -- in particular, instalment loans and overdrafts -- to finance business activities. Controlling for financial and nonfinancial household variables, we show that self-employed households particularly use personal overdrafts significantly more often than employee households. When analysing the correlation between consumer loan take-ups and consumption of self-employed in comparison to employee households, we find first evidence that overdrafts are used by self-employed to finance their business as well. This indicates that intermingling constitutes a financing strategy when regular business loans might not be accessible. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1741-1749 Issue: 13 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.637895 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.637895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:13:p:1741-1749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. T. Shehzad Author-X-Name-First: C. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Shehzad Author-Name: J. De Haan Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Author-Name: B. Scholtens Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Scholtens Title: The relationship between size, growth and profitability of commercial banks Abstract: Using a dynamic panel model for more than 15 000 banks from 148 countries from 1988 to 2010, we investigate the interaction between size, growth and profitability of banks. For our total sample, we cannot reject the hypotheses that the variability of bank profitability and the level and variability of bank growth are independent of bank size. However, in high-income Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries bigger banks grow slower but are more profitable than small banks. While bank growth is not persistent, bank profitability is persistent. Finally, we find that bank growth and bank profitability are independent of each other. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1751-1765 Issue: 13 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.637896 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.637896 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:13:p:1751-1765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saten Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Saten Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Mamta B. Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Mamta B. Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: Demand for money in the selected OECD countries: a time series panel data approach and structural breaks Abstract: Time series panel data estimation methods are used to estimate the cointegrating equations for the demand for money (M1) for a panel of 11 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries for which consistent quarterly data are available. The effects of financial reforms are analysed with structural break tests and estimates for alternative sub-samples. Our results for the post-reform sub-samples show that the income elasticity of the demand for money has decreased and response to interest rate changes has increased. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1767-1776 Issue: 14 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.637897 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.637897 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:14:p:1767-1776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franz Fuerst Author-X-Name-First: Franz Author-X-Name-Last: Fuerst Author-Name: George Matysiak Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Matysiak Title: Analysing the performance of nonlisted real estate funds: a panel data analysis Abstract: The rapid growth of nonlisted real estate funds over the last several years has contributed towards establishing this sector as a major investment vehicle for gaining exposure to commercial real estate. Academic research has not kept up with this development, however, as there are still only a few published studies on nonlisted real estate funds. This article aims to identify the factors driving the total return over a 7-year period. Influential factors tested in our analysis include the weighted underlying direct property returns in each country and sector as well as fund size, investment style gearing and the distribution yield. Furthermore, we analyse the interaction of nonlisted real estate funds with the performance of the overall economy and that of competing asset classes and find that lagged Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth and stock market returns as well as contemporaneous government bond rates are significant and positive predictors of annual fund performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1777-1788 Issue: 14 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.637898 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.637898 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:14:p:1777-1788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. M. Craven Author-X-Name-First: B. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Craven Author-Name: G. T. Stewart Author-X-Name-First: G. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Stewart Title: Economic implications of socio-cultural correlates of HIV/AIDS: an analysis of global data Abstract: In formulating economic policy in health affairs where millions of people are deemed to be at risk, the evidence that informs such policy must be clear and unambiguous. For nearly 30 years there has been a prevailing consensus supporting the hypothesis that a retrovirus, Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV), is the unique and exclusive cause of a pandemic of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS); that HIV spreads heterosexually; and that all who acquire it will inevitably and inexorably develop AIDS and eventually die. This article shows that whilst this hypothesis is widely and uncritically held the epidemiological data collected impartially and globally are consistent with other hypotheses where anomalies are fewer. There are substantial resource implications. The findings suggest that resources should, especially in African countries, be directed away from research into HIV and use of anti-retroviral drugs and vaccines into projects to improve basic living conditions in the areas of water quality, basic hygiene and nutrition, where recurrences of other lethal diseases overlap with HIV/AIDS. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1789-1800 Issue: 14 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.639737 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.639737 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:14:p:1789-1800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricio A. Jaramillo Author-X-Name-First: Patricio A. Author-X-Name-Last: Jaramillo Author-Name: Juan Carlos Piantini Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Piantini Title: Multimodality and mixture distributions: an application to a Survey of Economic Expectations Abstract: In this article we present the Silverman multimodality test and mixture distributions methodology, applying both approaches to the Survey of Economic Expectations of the Central Bank of Chile. The main results reflect the importance of a permanent monitoring of the complete distributions and not just central tendency meausures as is the practice in many central banks currently. We find that the forecasts of the private professional forecasters have systematically been in line with the inflation targeting range, although during episodes where the effective inflation proved to be outside the target range. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1801-1817 Issue: 14 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.639738 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.639738 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:14:p:1801-1817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nancy Huyghebaert Author-X-Name-First: Nancy Author-X-Name-Last: Huyghebaert Author-Name: Mathieu Luypaert Author-X-Name-First: Mathieu Author-X-Name-Last: Luypaert Title: Value creation and division of gains in horizontal acquisitions in Europe: the role of industry conditions Abstract: In this article, we empirically investigate the industry determinants of value creation through Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) and the division of M&A gains for a sample of horizontal acquisitions in Europe during the period 1997--2008. We calculate the combined abnormal return around deal announcement to proxy for M&A value creation. Our results show that industry sales concentration and the ratio of the combined target and bidder size relative to the minimum efficient scale in the corresponding industry are significantly negatively associated with M&A value creation. The relation between industry sales growth and M&A gains is U-shaped. The extent of foreign competition within the industry, industry technological intensity and industry deregulation bear no significant association with M&A wealth effects, however. Finally, the data reveal that the division of M&A gains between target and bidder investors is determined by firm and deal characteristics rather than by industry conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1819-1833 Issue: 14 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.639739 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.639739 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:14:p:1819-1833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carolina Cosculluela-Mart󹑺 Author-X-Name-First: Carolina Author-X-Name-Last: Cosculluela-Mart󹑺 Author-Name: Rafael Flores de Frutos Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Flores Author-X-Name-Last: de Frutos Title: Housing investment in Spain: has it been the main engine of growth? Abstract: This article studies dynamic responses of employment and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to a permanent, unitary shock in the housing capital stock for the Spanish economy. It quantifies the importance of this variable in the boom experienced by the Spanish economy during the pre-crisis years. Results confirm that building industry has been the most important engine for output and labour growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1835-1843 Issue: 14 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.639740 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.639740 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:14:p:1835-1843 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meliyanni Johar Author-X-Name-First: Meliyanni Author-X-Name-Last: Johar Author-Name: Denzil G. Fiebig Author-X-Name-First: Denzil G. Author-X-Name-Last: Fiebig Author-Name: Marion Haas Author-X-Name-First: Marion Author-X-Name-Last: Haas Author-Name: Rosalie Viney Author-X-Name-First: Rosalie Author-X-Name-Last: Viney Title: Using repeated choice experiments to evaluate the impact of policy changes on cervical screening Abstract: Australia was one of the first countries to introduce a publicly funded Human Papilloma Virus (HPV) vaccine program, and its introduction coincided with a media campaign to promote regular cervical screening. One issue with HPV vaccination is how it impacts on demand for screening. This study examines changes in women's screening preferences following these two interventions, using a novel approach to policy evaluation based on repeated discrete choice experiments. The study extends our previous analysis of attitudes to screening by taking advantage of the timing of the choice experiments to examine the impact of the two policy changes on determinants of screening. We find that, unexpectedly, willingness to screen is generally lower post-interventions. The reason for this trend appears to be related to HPV vaccination. We also find that interventions have minor impacts on how women value screening attributes. Our approach allows us to examine the impact of provider behaviour. A simulation demonstrates that under certain conditions, participation rates can be increased by 40% to 50% if health providers actively encourage women to undertake a cervical screening test. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1845-1855 Issue: 14 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.639741 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.639741 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:14:p:1845-1855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yunxia Bai Author-X-Name-First: Yunxia Author-X-Name-Last: Bai Author-Name: Bing-Xuan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Bing-Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yaping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yaping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Liansheng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Liansheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Full privatization through controlling rights transfer in China: the extent of its success Abstract: This article investigates the effect of the second step of privatization in China, which is full privatization through controlling rights transfer after share issue partial privatization. It finds that fully privatized firms perform worse than state-controlled enterprises. Expropriation by private block shareholders is greater than that by state block shareholders. Furthermore, increase in expropriation is negatively related to performance change. The results suggest that full privatization may not yield the expected efficiency gains in transition economies with weak legal system. They also emphasize the importance of preventing private block shareholders from exploiting minority shareholders in the process of full privatization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1857-1867 Issue: 14 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.639742 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.639742 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:14:p:1857-1867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raghav Gaiha Author-X-Name-First: Raghav Author-X-Name-Last: Gaiha Author-Name: Raghbendra Jha Author-X-Name-First: Raghbendra Author-X-Name-Last: Jha Author-Name: Vani Kulkarni Author-X-Name-First: Vani Author-X-Name-Last: Kulkarni Title: Demand for nutrients in India: 1993 to 2004 Abstract: In response to the Deaton and Dreze (2009) explanation of a downward shift in the calorie Engel curve in terms of lower requirements due to health improvements and lower activity levels in India, we develop an alternative explanation embedded in a standard demand theory framework, with food prices and expenditure (as a proxy for income) cast in a pivotal role. We find robust food price and expenditure effects and shifting food price elasticities. There are shifts in demands due to factors other than lower requirements. So, while the Deaton and Dreze (2009) explanation is not rejected, it is arguable that it is complementary to the demand based explanations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1869-1886 Issue: 14 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.639744 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.639744 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:14:p:1869-1886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tristan D. Skolrud Author-X-Name-First: Tristan D. Author-X-Name-Last: Skolrud Author-Name: C. Richard Shumway Author-X-Name-First: C. Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Shumway Title: A Fourier analysis of the US dairy industry Abstract: Measurement of economies of scale and scope is particularly important for predicting growth and product diversification. However, estimates are useful only to the extent the underlying production technology is modelled accurately. This study measures economies of scale and scope in the rapidly changing US dairy industry with a Fourier flexible cost function, which provides a global approximation of the unknown function. We use the high quality national Agricultural and Resource Management Survey (ARMS) survey data. We find economies of scale at most firm sizes and persistent economies of scope across firm sizes in this industry, which is counter to estimates from two Diewert‐flexible functional forms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1887-1895 Issue: 14 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.648319 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.648319 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:14:p:1887-1895 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William H. Greene Author-X-Name-First: William H. Author-X-Name-Last: Greene Author-Name: David A. Hensher Author-X-Name-First: David A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hensher Title: Revealing additional dimensions of preference heterogeneity in a latent class mixed multinomial logit model Abstract: Latent class models offer an alternative perspective to the popular mixed logit form, replacing the continuous distribution with a discrete distribution in which preference heterogeneity is captured by membership of distinct classes of utility description. Within each class, preference homogeneity is usually assumed, although interactions with observed contextual effects are permissible. A natural extension of the fixed parameter latent class model is a random parameter latent class model which allows for another layer of preference heterogeneity within each class. This article sets out the random parameter latent class model and illustrates its applications using a stated choice data set on alternative freight distribution attribute packages pivoted around a recent trip in Australia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1897-1902 Issue: 14 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.650325 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.650325 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:14:p:1897-1902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Grabowski Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Grabowski Author-Name: Sharmistha Self Author-X-Name-First: Sharmistha Author-X-Name-Last: Self Title: Mother's autonomy: impact on the quality of children's healthcare in India Abstract: Given the poor condition of children's health in developing countries, this article seeks to examine two hypotheses concerning healthcare for children. First, does mother's autonomy influence the quality of child healthcare and, second, which is related to the first, whether mother's autonomy reduces the apparent gender bias in child healthcare. Using household survey data from Bihar and Uttar Pradesh in India the article finds that for the most part as the mother's autonomy (measured several different ways) increases, the quality of care for children improves. The results also indicate that gender bias exists in the provision of quality healthcare for children. Male children generally receive better quality care. However, for several measures of female autonomy, an increase in such autonomy reduces the bias. The results of this analysis have important policy implications and provide additional insight into the state of affairs of children's health in rural India. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1903-1913 Issue: 14 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.637899 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.637899 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:14:p:1903-1913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Siminski Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Siminski Title: Are low-skill public sector workers really overpaid? A quasi-differenced panel data analysis Abstract: Public--private sectoral wage differentials have been studied extensively using quantile regression techniques. These typically find large public sector premiums at the bottom of the wage distribution. This may imply that low skill workers are ‘overpaid’, prompting concerns over efficiency. We note several other potential explanations for this result and explicitly test whether the premium varies with skill, using Australian data. We use a quasi-differenced Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) panel data model which has not been previously applied to this topic, internationally. Unlike other available methods, this technique identifies sectoral differences in returns to unobserved skill. It also facilitates a decomposition of the wage gap into components explained by differences in returns to all (observed and unobserved) skills and by differences in their stock. We find no evidence to suggest that the premium varies with skill. One interpretation is that the compressed wage profile of the public sector induces the best workers (on unobserved skills) to join the public sector in low wage occupations, vice versa in high wage occupations. We also estimate the average public sector premium to be 6% for women and statistically insignificant (4%) for men. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1915-1929 Issue: 14 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.641928 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.641928 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:14:p:1915-1929 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. F. Chia Author-X-Name-First: Y. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Chia Title: Dollars and pounds: the impact of family income on childhood weight Abstract: This article examines the impact of family income on childhood weight status for children in the United States using matched mother-child data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY 79). Instrumental variable (IV) models, family Fixed Effects (FE) models and family Fixed Effects IV (FEIV) models are estimated in order to control for causality. The results suggest that although the prevalence of childhood obesity is higher in low-income families in the sample, family income might be acting primarily as a proxy for other unobserved characteristics that determine the child's weight status rather having a major direct causative role in determining the child's weight status. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1931-1941 Issue: 14 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.641929 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.641929 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:14:p:1931-1941 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio F. Galvao Author-X-Name-First: Antonio F. Author-X-Name-Last: Galvao Author-Name: Gabriel Montes-Rojas Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Montes-Rojas Author-Name: Jose Olmo Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Olmo Title: A panel data test for poverty traps Abstract: This article develops a threshold panel data nonlinearity test for poverty traps. The new testing strategy extends the work on nonlinearity tests for panel data by considering threshold nonlinearities in the fixed-effects components. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to evaluate the finite-sample performance of these tests. The tests are applied to the relationship between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita and capital stock per capita. Our application to a panel of countries for the period 1973 to 2007 uncovers the presence of two regimes determined by the level of capital stock per capita. The conclusions from our test also support the existence of a poverty trap determined by a capital stock per capita level at the 11% quantile of its pooled worldwide distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1943-1952 Issue: 14 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.641930 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.641930 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:14:p:1943-1952 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carsten Trenkler Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Trenkler Author-Name: Enzo Weber Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Testing for codependence of cointegrated variables Abstract: We analyse nonstationary time series that do not only trend together in the long run, but restore the equilibrium immediately in the period following a deviation. While this represents a common serial correlation feature, the framework is extended to codependence, allowing for delayed adjustment. We show which restrictions are implied for the Moving Average (MA) and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) representations and put forward a Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) test. In addition, for cases where the constraints can be uniquely imposed on a VECM a likelihood ratio test is proposed. We apply the concept to US and European interest rate data, examining the capability of the Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) and European Central Bank (ECB) to control overnight money market rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1953-1964 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.641931 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.641931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:1953-1964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Annabel Vanroose Author-X-Name-First: Annabel Author-X-Name-Last: Vanroose Author-Name: Bert D’Espallier Author-X-Name-First: Bert Author-X-Name-Last: D’Espallier Title: Do microfinance institutions accomplish their mission? Evidence from the relationship between traditional financial sector development and microfinance institutions’ outreach and performance Abstract: This article analyses the relationship between outreach and performance of Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) on the one hand and traditional financial sector development on the other. The results indicate that MFIs reach more clients and are more profitable in countries where access to the traditional financial system is low. This finding is in line with the market-failure hypothesis: MFIs respond to a need that banks do not fulfill and MFIs flourish where the formal financial sector fails. Along the same line, the results demonstrate that MFIs serve poorer people in countries with well-developed financial systems. The results suggest that in countries with well-developed financial systems, the two sectors stand in more direct competition with each other. This competition pushes MFIs down the market and makes mission drift by MFIs less likely. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1965-1982 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.641932 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.641932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:1965-1982 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Trevor C. Collier Author-X-Name-First: Trevor C. Author-X-Name-Last: Collier Title: Scouts versus Stats: the impact of Moneyball on the Major League Baseball draft Abstract: Michael Lewis’ influential book Moneyball (2003) discusses several sources of inefficiency in the Major League Baseball (MLB) labour market; one of these being the failure of baseball scouts to place a draft premium on college players. We test this implication of the Moneyball thesis -- the superiority of college players -- by measuring the productivity of players who were drafted in the first round of five MLB drafts covering the years 1995--1999. Employing a variety of specifications, we find that the performance of college draft choices is no better than those of high school picks and argue that this is consistent with Hayek's (1944) work on the economics of information and his emphasis on the importance of localized knowledge. Additionally, we utilize data on the first three rounds of the MLB draft from 1965 to 2010 to test whether Lewis’ book had any impact on teams’ draft strategies. We find no significant structural change in the draft following the publication of Moneyball. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1983-1990 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.641933 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.641933 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:1983-1990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Montizaan Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Montizaan Author-Name: F. Cörvers Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Cörvers Author-Name: A. de Grip Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: de Grip Title: Training and retirement patterns Abstract: Life-cycle theory predicts that employers enter into implicit contracts with newly hired employees to ensure rent-sharing and to decrease turnover after firm-specific training investments. Typically, these implicit contracts would include both upward sloping earning profiles and mandatory retirement. In this article, we empirically test the prediction that workers with firm-specific skills are restrained in their options to continue working. Therefore, they are more likely to retire at common mandatory retirement dates than those with general skills. Using the US National Longitudinal Survey of Older Men, we find that workers who participated in firm-specific training in their early careers do indeed retire earlier than those with general skills. The results show that compulsory retirement plans force these older workers to retire when they reach the common mandatory retirement age of 65. The results presented in this article are highly relevant for public policies in European and other industrialized countries that aim to increase labour force participation of the elderly. As our study demonstrates, the effectiveness of institutional arrangements to postpone retirement will also depend on training policies of employers and the type of skills workers acquired in the past. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1991-1999 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.646066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.646066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:1991-1999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Julia Paxton Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Paxton Title: Inflation stationarity during Latin American inflation: insights from unit root and structural break analysis Abstract: Inflation stationarity has important theoretical and policy implications, yet most of the literature has focused on low inflation countries. This article investigates inflation stationarity in Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Mexico and Bolivia during a hyperinflationary period from 1980 to 2004. We test for structural breaks in inflation, discuss the breaks in terms of changes in monetary regimes, and test if accounting for these structural breaks changes the nonstationarity results for those nations that ‘fail’ the traditional Augmented Dickey--Fuller (ADF) test for inflation. All five are found to have inflation rates that are I(0) once the structural breaks analysis is incorporated into our unit root tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2001-2010 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.646067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.646067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:2001-2010 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azzeddine Azzam Author-X-Name-First: Azzeddine Author-X-Name-Last: Azzam Author-Name: Belaid Rettab Author-X-Name-First: Belaid Author-X-Name-Last: Rettab Title: Market power versus efficiency under uncertainty: conventional versus Islamic banking in the GCC Abstract: In this article we estimate the effect of concentration on intermediation margins in Gulf Cooperation Council's (GCC) Islamic and conventional banking under the assumption that margins are uncertain. The empirical model, which we formally derive from an expected utility maximization problem, allows us to test for risk aversion as well as competitive conduct in loan and the deposit markets. The model also yields an expression showing that the effect of concentration on margins is the sum of its respective effects on market power, marginal cost of intermediation and marginal cost of uncertainty. The expression allows us to test whether concentration is welfare enhancing, reducing or neutral. We find Islamic banks to be risk-averse and conventional banks to be risk-neutral. We also find that concentration is welfare-neutral in Islamic loans and deposits, welfare-enhancing in conventional loans and welfare-neutral in conventional deposits. We used Nonlinear Two-Stage Least Squares (N2SLS) and Nonlinear Three-Stage Least Squares (N3SLS) to check for robustness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2011-2022 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.646068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.646068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:2011-2022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boon L. Lee Author-X-Name-First: Boon L. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Productivity, technical and efficiency change in Singapore's services sector, 2005 to 2008 Abstract: The current study was motivated by statements made by the Economic Strategies Committee that Singapore's recent productivity levels in services were well below countries such as the US, Japan and Hong Kong. Massive employment of foreign workers was cited as the reason for poor productivity levels. To shed more light on Singapore's falling productivity, a nonparametric Malmquist productivity index was employed which provides measures of productivity change, technical change and efficiency change. The findings reveal that growth in Total Factor Productivity (TFP) was attributed to technical change with no improvement in efficiency change. Such results suggest that gains from TFP were input-driven rather than from a ‘best-practice’ approach such as improvements in operations or better resource allocation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2023-2029 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.646069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.646069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:2023-2029 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy Tyler Brown Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Tyler Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Title: A monetary valuation of individual religious behaviour: the case of prayer Abstract: The majority of the US population is religious. The value of a fundamental religious behaviour, prayer, is determined using the well-being valuation method. Theoretically appropriate Instrumental Variables (IV) are used to avoid bias in estimating the effects of household income and the frequency of prayer on well-being. The marginal value of an additional weekly prayer session for individuals already at the national mean is estimated to be $6550 per annum (2004 dollars). Praying at the frequency of the national mean of 8.1 prayer sessions weekly is valued at $53 055 (2004 dollars) per annum. This is larger than the median household income in the US in 2004: $44 684. This suggests that the perception of communion with God is highly valued by religious individuals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2031-2037 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.648318 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.648318 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:2031-2037 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kanittha Tambunlertchai Author-X-Name-First: Kanittha Author-X-Name-Last: Tambunlertchai Author-Name: Andreas Kontoleon Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Kontoleon Author-Name: Madhu Khanna Author-X-Name-First: Madhu Author-X-Name-Last: Khanna Title: Assessing participation in voluntary environmental programmes in the developing world: the role of FDI and export orientation on ISO14001 adoption in Thailand Abstract: Empirical assessments of the determinants of firm participation in Voluntary Environmental Programmes (VEPs) in the developing world are largely absent from the environmental regulation literature, leaving a number of important factors unique to such countries unexplored. This article examines these factors, namely the roles played by Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and export orientation, in addition to factors deemed important in the industrialized world context to the problem of ISO14001 adoption in one developing nation, Thailand. We make use of unique primary data from 494 firms, and focus on three important industries, the resource-based food and beverages industry, the labour-intensive textiles and wearing apparel industry, and the more high-technology electronics and electrical appliances industry. We find that FDI plays a role in ISO14001 adoption, especially FDI from Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and ISO14001-rich countries. Other important determinants include firm size, experience with ISO9000, and production of intermediate products. Firms faced with fewer obstacles to environmental improvements such as those facing lower costs, having more understanding of the procedure, and with greater access to the appropriate technology are also more likely to adopt ISO14001. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2039-2048 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.648320 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.648320 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:2039-2048 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victoria Serra-Sastre Author-X-Name-First: Victoria Author-X-Name-Last: Serra-Sastre Author-Name: Alistair McGuire Author-X-Name-First: Alistair Author-X-Name-Last: McGuire Title: Information and diffusion of new prescription drugs Abstract: This article examines the role of different product information flows on the diffusion of new pharmaceuticals. Given the innovative nature of pharmaceutical drugs and their impact on health care expenditure there is a surprisingly small literature devoted to this topic. Some information flow mechanisms have been examined individually in the literature, but very few have captured the simultaneous impact of these mechanisms on up-take and diffusion. This article uses the up-take of statins as an example. Diffusion of this therapeutical group is expressed as a function of four specific informational channels: self-experience, consumption externalities, scientific evidence and marketing. In addition to this, the influence of economic factors is tested to examine whether they have any role in drug diffusion. Prescription data from over 130 General Practitioners (GP) practices in the UK during 1991--2004 are used to test the econometric specification applying dynamic panel data methods. Results suggest individual self-experience and clinical evidence are major factors promoting diffusion, while there is an inverse relationship with GP practice size and diffusion. Having controlled for these factors financial incentives and marketing appear to play little role. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2049-2057 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.648321 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.648321 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:2049-2057 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas W. Zuehlke Author-X-Name-First: Thomas W. Author-X-Name-Last: Zuehlke Title: Estimation and testing of nonproportional Weibull hazard models Abstract: Most applications of the Weibull hazard model specify a common shape parameter. This is a proportional hazard model that imposes a common rate of duration dependence. A wide class of nonproportional Weibull models may be estimated by making the shape parameter a linear function of observable regressors. The log-likelihood function for these models is well behaved. The conditions under which this generalization is useful are essentially the same conditions under which interaction terms are useful in classical regression. Since the nonproportional model nests the proportional model, a formal test for nonproportionality may be conducted by likelihood ratio test. Estimation and testing of nonproportional models is illustrated with data sets for housing sales, out-of-court settlements and oil field exploration. Finally, estimation of a proportional Weibull model after adding temporal interaction terms to the regressors that specify the scale parameter is shown to be a fundamental misspecification. The standard log-likelihood function fails to recognize the stochastic nature of temporal interaction terms and the resulting estimates often fall outside the parameter space of the Weibull. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2059-2066 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.648322 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.648322 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:2059-2066 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. Sheldon Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Sheldon Author-Name: S. Khadka Mishra Author-X-Name-First: S. Khadka Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: D. Pick Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Pick Author-Name: S. R. Thompson Author-X-Name-First: S. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Exchange rate uncertainty and US bilateral fresh fruit and fresh vegetable trade: an application of the gravity model Abstract: In order to analyse the effect of exchange rate uncertainty, we apply an empirical gravity equation to two sets of US bilateral trade data: fresh fruit over the period 1976--1999 for a panel of 26 countries; and fresh vegetables over the period 1976--2006 for a panel of nine countries. Based on panel estimation methods, and using both a moving SD measure and the Per饠and Steinherr (1989) measure of exchange rate uncertainty, the results show that US bilateral fresh fruit trade has been negatively affected by exchange rate uncertainty. We also find some evidence that the exchange rate between the US dollar and the currencies of Latin American trading partners accounts for most of the negative impact of exchange rate uncertainty on bilateral trade flows in fresh fruit. In contrast, when using panel estimation methods and both measures of exchange rate uncertainty, we find no statistically significant evidence for any negative effect of exchange rate uncertainty on US bilateral fresh vegetable trade. However, we do find a statistically significant negative effect for exchange rate uncertainty when we estimate a US export gravity equation for fresh vegetables using the same panel of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2067-2082 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.650330 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.650330 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:2067-2082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Feess Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Feess Author-Name: C. R. Schumacher Author-X-Name-First: C. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Schumacher Title: The elasticity of demand for wagering in an unregulated market Abstract: The literature estimating the take-out rate (price) elasticity of horse race wagering has consistently found values far above one. The persistence of these apparently inefficiently high prices can be attributed to institutional factors of the US market where federal taxes are imposed on the total amount wagered, and not on the bookmakers’ revenue. By investigating all horse races in New Zealand from August 1993 to April 2009, our article is the first one to consider price setting for wagering in an unregulated market where taxes for a monopolistic betting agency are based on revenues. In such a setting, one would expect elasticities close to one, but in all econometric specifications, we find values well below one. We identify two reasons why higher prices could nevertheless reduce profits: cross price elasticities are negative and, due to the specific features of parimutuel betting, international competitors may only be attracted when take-out rates are above a critical threshold. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2083-2090 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.650331 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.650331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:2083-2090 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Okudaira Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Okudaira Author-Name: M. Takizawa Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Takizawa Author-Name: K. Tsuru Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuru Title: Employment protection and productivity: evidence from firm-level panel data in Japan Abstract: Recent developments in the literature on Employment Protection Legislation (EPL) have revealed that changing the stringency of employment protection can lead to extensive consequences outside the labour market, by affecting firms’ production decisions or workers’ commitment levels. This article provides the first empirical evaluation of the comprehensive effect of restrictions on firing employees in Japan, by exploiting the variations in court decisions. We find that judgements lenient to workers significantly reduce firms’ total-factor productivity growth rate. The effect on capital is mixed and inconclusive, although we obtain modest evidence that an increase in firing costs induces a negative scale effect on capital inputs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2091-2105 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.654913 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.654913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:2091-2105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sonia Akter Author-X-Name-First: Sonia Author-X-Name-Last: Akter Author-Name: Jeff Bennett Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Bennett Title: Preference uncertainty in stated preference studies: facts and artefacts Abstract: The ordinal scale and polychotomous choice methods are two widely used techniques for estimating preference uncertainty in stated preference studies. This article presents the results of two experiments that apply these estimation techniques. The first experiment was designed to compare and contrast the scores of the ordinal scale and polychotomous choice method. The second experiment was conducted to test a scale that combines verbal expressions with numerical and graphical interpretations: a composite scale. The results of the study can be summarized in three key findings. First, the polychotomous choice method generates a higher proportion of ‘yes’ responses than the conventional dichotomous choice elicitation format. Second, the composite scale generates a significantly higher proportion of certain responses. Finally, the ordinal scale performs poorly on the ground of construct validity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2107-2115 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.654914 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.654914 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:2107-2115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Cavalcanti Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Title: AIDS, longevity and long-run income Abstract: This article studies the long-run impact of HIV/AIDS on per capita income and education. We focus on the disincentive to human capital accumulation given by shorter life span. We work with a continuous time overlapping generations model with education and saving decisions, calibrated for a cross-section of countries. The simulations predict that the most affected countries in Sub-Saharan Africa will be in future, on average, 20% poorer than they would be without AIDS. Schooling will decline in some cases such as Botswana, South Africa and Zambia by more than 40%. The impact of population decline was found to be irrelevant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2117-2125 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.654915 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.654915 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:2117-2125 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shiyong Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Shiyong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Privatization, FDI inflow and economic growth: evidence from China's provinces, 1978--2008 Abstract: China's economic growth over 1978--2008 is a miracle. This article attempts to figure out and quantify the factors leading to this miracle. It is generally believed that economic reform and opening up is the key to China's economic success, but that is far from being exact and specific. This study hypothesizes that privatization and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflow are the two key factors in this process. We focus on identifying the exact, specific and detailed mechanisms of privatization and FDI inflow in promoting economic growth, especially from the provincial level. Then using a panel data covering 31 provinces of Chinese mainland over 1978--2008, we find statistically significant evidence to support our hypotheses. We predict that further economic growth depends on further privatization and opening up, that is, depends on denationalization of the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2127-2139 Issue: 15 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.654916 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.654916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:15:p:2127-2139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauricio Calani Author-X-Name-First: Mauricio Author-X-Name-Last: Calani Author-Name: J. Rodrigo Fuentes Author-X-Name-First: J. Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Fuentes Author-Name: Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt-Hebbel Title: A systemic approach to modelling and estimating demand for money(ies) Abstract: This article uses a consumer theory-based systemic approach to model the demand for monetary liquid asset holdings in Chile. We implement the suggestions and caveats of aggregation theory for the estimation of a demand system for liquid assets (monies) in static, dynamic and time-varying parameters setups. Our results are robust and theoretically consistent with consumer theory restrictions, as a system derived from a utility maximizing framework and a quasi concave utility function. In our estimations, we find stability of interest rate elasticities, in contrast to previous related literature. We also document evidence that long (short) maturity rates are associated to less (more) liquid assets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2141-2162 Issue: 16 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.610745 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.610745 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:16:p:2141-2162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yaobin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yaobin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Economic growth drag in the Central China: evidence from a panel analysis Abstract: This article employs recently developed panel methods to test for unit roots, cointegration and Granger causality to justify and estimate the drag induced by resource constraint and environmental pollution for the Central China. The results of the panel cointegration test show that there is a stable long run relationship amongst total output, capital, labour, land, water and SO2 when total output is the dependent variable. The results of the causality test with Error Correction Model (ECM) analysis suggest that the available water resource and environmental pollutant have no impacts on total output temporarily, but in the long‐run there is a Granger causality running from these variables to total output, indicating the economic growth drag induced by the natural resource and environmental pollution can be further estimated. Given the stable cointegration and significant Granger causality being, the study shows that the drag on the total output reduces annual economic growth rate by about 1.1 percentage points for the Central China as a whole and there is a significant difference on the aggregated and disaggregated drags for the six provinces, which indicates that natural resource and environmental constraints so far incorporated into production probably have a modest effect over the past 31 years for the Central China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2163-2174 Issue: 16 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.654917 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.654917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:16:p:2163-2174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas M. Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Thomas M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Author-Name: Andr頠 Varella Mollick Author-X-Name-First: Andr頠 Varella Author-X-Name-Last: Mollick Title: Border region panel evidence on PPP deviations Abstract: This article examines prices for 32 identical menu items sold by restaurant franchises operating on both sides of the border between El Paso in the US and Ciudad Juárez in Mexico from July 1997 to June 2008. The relationship between Real Exchange Rate (RER) volatility and the degree of price convergence is examined within a panel data context. The city-pair and goods selected provide a unique experiment in which distance, tradability and industry considerations are set aside and the extent of RER volatility is the only factor to influence price convergence. We find nonmonotonic relationships between mean reversion and RER volatility: very fast adjustments for both low and high volatility panels of goods (between 1 and 2 months) and slower half-lives (between 3 and 4 months) at moderate levels of uncertainty. These figures are, however, substantially smaller than the 6 or 7 months reported in previous research for general US--Mexico goods, suggesting the very strong price convergence observed along the US--Mexican border. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2175-2182 Issue: 16 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.654919 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.654919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:16:p:2175-2182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sangho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hyunjoon Lim Author-X-Name-First: Hyunjoon Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Donghyun Park Author-X-Name-First: Donghyun Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Does productivity growth lower inflation in Korea? Abstract: We investigate Granger causality between productivity growth and inflation in Korea using quarterly data for the period 1985Q1--2002Q4. Our results indicate unidirectional Granger causality from productivity growth to inflation. In light of such causality, we estimate the effect of productivity and other variables on productivity. According to our regression results, a 1% increase in labour and Total Factor Productivity (TFP) reduces Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation by 0.07--0.08% and 0.37--0.44%, respectively. Our results also suggest that the productivity-inflation nexus became stronger in Korea since the Asian financial crisis, and that this was largely due to structural reform and technological progress. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2183-2190 Issue: 16 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.657352 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.657352 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:16:p:2183-2190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Au Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Au Author-Name: K. Hauck Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Hauck Author-Name: B. Hollingsworth Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Hollingsworth Title: The relationship between smoking, quitting smoking and obesity in Australia: a seemingly unrelated probit approach Abstract: Smoking and obesity are two leading causes of preventable death. Further understanding of the relationship between these two risk factors can assist in reducing avoidable morbidity and mortality. This study investigates the empirical association between obesity and the propensity to smoke and to quit smoking, using a Seemingly Unrelated (SUR) probit approach that takes into consideration the potential for reverse causality and unobserved heterogeneity. Using Australian health survey data, this article demonstrates the usefulness of the SUR probit approach in generating information on the relationship between unobserved factors influencing both smoking behaviour and obesity, and in providing estimates of the conditional probabilities of each risk factor. Results suggest the two risk factors are not independent. The presence, size and direction of correlation between the unobserved factors are found to vary by smoking behaviour and by gender. Estimates of conditional probabilities demonstrate smokers have a lower probability of obesity, particularly among females, and ex-smokers have a higher probability of obesity, particularly among males. These findings suggest that health policies targeted at one risk factor may have unintended implications for the other. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2191-2199 Issue: 16 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.657353 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.657353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:16:p:2191-2199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rita Almeida Author-X-Name-First: Rita Author-X-Name-Last: Almeida Author-Name: Ana M. Fernandes Author-X-Name-First: Ana M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandes Title: Explaining local manufacturing growth in Chile: the advantages of sectoral diversity Abstract: This article investigates whether the agglomeration of economic activity in regional clusters affects long-run manufacturing Total Factor Productivity (TFP) growth in an emerging market context. We explore a large firm-level panel dataset for Chile during a period characterized by high growth rates and rising regional income inequality (1992--2004). Our findings are clear-cut. Locations with greater concentration of a particular sector have not experienced faster TFP growth during this period. Rather, local sector diversity was associated with higher long-run TFP growth. However, there is no evidence that the diversity effect was driven by the local interaction with a set of suppliers and/or clients. We interpret this as evidence that agglomeration economies are driven by other factors such as the sharing of access to specialized inputs not provided solely by a single sector, e.g. skills or financing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2201-2213 Issue: 16 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.659344 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.659344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:16:p:2201-2213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Semra Özdemir Author-X-Name-First: Semra Author-X-Name-Last: Özdemir Author-Name: F. Reed Johnson Author-X-Name-First: F. Reed Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Estimating willingness to pay: do health and environmental researchers have different methodological standards? Abstract: Health and environmental economists have been employing Stated-Preference (SP) methods such as conjoint analysis or contingent valuation to estimate the monetary value of public health interventions and environmental goods and services. However, the quality of data and the validity of results are sensitive to a number of decisions researchers make. The aim of this study is to compare the degree of the current consensus among active researchers in the rapidly evolving area of SP methods in health and environmental valuation. We surveyed researchers who have published manuscripts on SP methods in the last 10 years. Researchers were presented with hypothetical SP studies with different attributes. They were first asked which study they would recommend to use to inform policy decisions, and then asked which study has better-quality. Our results show that good-practice SP methods vary among study features and among researchers with different amounts and kinds of research experience. Although health researchers had specific preferences on which study features were better, their quality judgements were not very consistent with their judgements about the acceptability of studies for policy analysis. On the other hand, environmental researchers had similar preferences over the study attributes for the two types of questions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2215-2229 Issue: 16 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.659345 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.659345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:16:p:2215-2229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Marc Burniaux Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Burniaux Author-Name: Jean Chateau Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Chateau Author-Name: Romain Duval Author-X-Name-First: Romain Author-X-Name-Last: Duval Title: Is there a case for carbon-based border tax adjustment? An applied general equilibrium analysis Abstract: Concern that unilateral Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission reductions could foster carbon leakage and undermine the international competitiveness of domestic industry has led to growing calls for carbon-based Border-Tax Adjustments (BTAs). This article uses a global general equilibrium model to assess the economic effects of BTAs and comes to three main conclusions. First, BTAs can reduce carbon leakage if the coalition of countries taking action to reduce GHG emissions is small, because in this case leakage (while typically small) mainly occurs through international trade competitiveness losses rather than through declines in world fossil fuel prices. Second, even though the economic effects of BTAs vary somewhat depending on how they are implemented, their welfare impact is typically small, and slightly negative at the world level. Third, and perhaps more strikingly, BTAs do not necessarily curb the output losses incurred by the domestic Energy Intensive-Industries (EIIs) they are intended to protect in the first place. This is in part because EIIs in industrialized countries make important use of carbon-intensive intermediate inputs produced by EIIs in other geographical areas. Another, deeper explanation is that EIIs are ultimately more adversely affected by the existence of a carbon price itself than by any international competitiveness losses. These findings are shown to be robust to key model parameters, country coverage, targets and design features of BTAs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2231-2240 Issue: 16 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.659346 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.659346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:16:p:2231-2240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Ebeke Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Ebeke Author-Name: Jean-Louis Combes Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Combes Title: Do remittances dampen the effect of natural disasters on output growth volatility in developing countries? Abstract: This article examines whether or not remittance inflows help mitigate the effects of natural disasters on the volatility of the real output per capita growth rate. Using a large sample of developing countries and mobilizing a dynamic panel data framework, it uncovers a diminishing macroeconomic destabilizing consequence of natural disasters as remittance inflows rise. It appears that the effect of natural disasters disappears for a remittance ratio above 8% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). However, remittances aggravate the destabilizing effects of natural disasters when they exceed 17% of the GDP. Finally, the article shows that current and lagged remittance inflows significantly reduce the number of people killed by natural disasters and the number of people affected, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2241-2254 Issue: 16 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.659347 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.659347 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:16:p:2241-2254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anton Paulrud Author-X-Name-First: Anton Author-X-Name-Last: Paulrud Author-Name: Thomas Laitila Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Laitila Title: A cost-benefit analysis of restoring the Em River in Sweden: valuation of angling site characteristics and visitation frequency Abstract: This article uses Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) to evaluate restoration scenarios aimed at improving angling on the Em River in Sweden. We find that none of the proposed projects are socially profitable when considering only values associated with angling. We rely on a Choice Experiment (CE) to derive utilities and estimate the monetary value of angling site characteristics and then also use the utilities derived in a visitation frequency using a two-stage budgeting approach. The visitation frequency is then used to extract values for fishing license sales and business-related income. The case study illustrates how CBA can provide useful insights into the potential economic returns of environmental restoration projects. Our case study also indicates that the results in terms of Willingness-To-Pay (WTP) and visitation frequency are general findings -- i.e. they appear similar across angling sites -- which is particularly useful from a policy point of view because it supports the use of benefit transfer for more cost-effective river management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2255-2266 Issue: 16 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.659348 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.659348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:16:p:2255-2266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tim Oliver Berg Author-X-Name-First: Tim Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Berg Title: Cross-country evidence on the relation between stock prices and the current account Abstract: This article explores the relation between stock prices and the current account for 17 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries in 1980--2007. A panel Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model is used to compare the effects of stock price shocks to those originating from monetary policy and exchange rates. While monetary policy shocks have little effects, shocks to stock prices and exchange rates have sizeable effects. A 10% contraction in stock prices improves the current account by 0.3% after 2 years. Hence a channel -- in addition to the traditional exchange rate channel -- is found through which external balance for an OECD country with a current account imbalance can be restored. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2267-2277 Issue: 16 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.659349 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.659349 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:16:p:2267-2277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hwa-Taek Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hwa-Taek Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Gawon Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Gawon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Does purchasing power parity hold sometimes? Regime switching in real exchange rates Abstract: Standard unit root tests are not very powerful in drawing conclusions regarding the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP). Rather than asking whether PPP holds throughout the whole sample period, we examine, in this study, if PPP holds sometimes by employing Hamilton-type (1989) Markov regime switching models. When at least one of multiple regimes is stationary, PPP holds locally within the regime. There are indeed various reasons that we should expect that the persistence of real exchange rates changes over time. Employing five real exchange rates spanning more than 100 years, we find herein strong evidence that the strength of PPP varies during the sample periods and that there exist stationary regimes in which PPP holds. Throughout the article, we also make comparisons to previous Markov regime switching estimation results by Kanas (2006) on the same data series. The new Markov switching model selection criterion of Smith et al. (2006), which is devised especially for discriminating Markov regime switching models, unambiguously indicates a preference for the Hamilton-type Markov regime switching model employed in this study. We also find that the evidence for PPP is not much different across different nominal exchange rate arrangements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2279-2294 Issue: 16 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.661399 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.661399 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:16:p:2279-2294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: O. Damette Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Damette Author-Name: V. Fromentin Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Fromentin Title: Migration and labour markets in OECD countries: a panel cointegration approach Abstract: This article examines the interaction between immigration and the host labour market of 14 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries using nonstationary panel data methodology. We estimate a trivariate Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and derive causality tests to simultaneously assess the long- and short-term macroeconomic impact of newcomers on wages and unemployment levels in the host country. The results suggest that an increase of migrants is likely to increase wages in the destination countries in the short run but to increase them in the long run. There is no evidence of adverse effects on unemployment due to immigration in short and long-term except for Anglo-Saxon countries in the short term. Our findings also show that immigration is conditioned by levels of unemployment and wages especially in Anglo-Saxon countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2295-2304 Issue: 16 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.661400 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.661400 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:16:p:2295-2304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ananda Jayawickrama Author-X-Name-First: Ananda Author-X-Name-Last: Jayawickrama Author-Name: Tilak Abeysinghe Author-X-Name-First: Tilak Author-X-Name-Last: Abeysinghe Title: The experience of some OECD economies on tax smoothing Abstract: Observed random walk behaviour of a tax rate does not necessarily support the tax smoothing hypothesis though the latter implies the former. This article presents a direct test of tax smoothing by showing that if the tax smoothing hypothesis holds then the future tax rate should cointegrate with the current permanent government expenditure rate even though the tax rate is a random walk. This test is a direct and robust test of a number of ‘random walk models’ available in the literature. This procedure also enables us to differentiate among ‘strong tax smoothing’, ‘weak tax smoothing’ and ‘no-tax smoothing’, all of which are consistent with the random walk behaviour of a tax rate. Application of this test to Australia, Canada, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, New Zealand, the UK and the US show evidence in support of weak forms of tax smoothing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2305-2313 Issue: 16 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.663472 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.663472 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:16:p:2305-2313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dakshina G. De Silva Author-X-Name-First: Dakshina G. Author-X-Name-Last: De Silva Author-Name: Nidhi Thakur Author-X-Name-First: Nidhi Author-X-Name-Last: Thakur Author-Name: Mengzhi Xie Author-X-Name-First: Mengzhi Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Title: A hedonic price analysis of hearing aid technology Abstract: In this article, we study how technological components affect the price of hearing aids. The main goals are to determine which functional and technological features have the greatest influence on manufacturer-based prices in the hearing aid industry, and to analyse the price-cost margins at the dispenser level using a unique data set that is compiled from a hearing clinic in West Texas. The result shows that style and signal processing scheme are the two most important determinants of hearing aid price. Other characteristics such as directional microphone, noise cancellation, and a certain shell type are also positively related to price. Further, on average, this particular local dispenser has a markup of about 35% per hearing instrument. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2315-2323 Issue: 16 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.663473 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.663473 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:16:p:2315-2323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura de Dominicis Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: de Dominicis Author-Name: Raymond J.G.M. Florax Author-X-Name-First: Raymond J.G.M. Author-X-Name-Last: Florax Author-Name: Henri L.F. de Groot Author-X-Name-First: Henri L.F. Author-X-Name-Last: de Groot Title: Regional clusters of innovative activity in Europe: are social capital and geographical proximity key determinants? Abstract: Finding proper policy instruments to promote productivity growth features prominently in the Europe 2020 strategy and is central in many national as well as European policy debates. In view of the increased mobility of high-skilled workers in Europe, ongoing globalization and increased interregional and international co-operation, location patterns of innovative activity may be subject to drastic changes. A proper understanding of location patterns of innovative outputs can enhance the effectiveness and efficiency of national and European placed-based innovation policies. Building on the literature on the knowledge production function, the aim of this article is to explain the observed differences in the production of innovative outputs across European regions. Our main research question is whether geographical proximity and social capital are important vehicles of knowledge transmission in Europe. Several other variables are used to control for structural differences across European regions. We find support for the hypothesis that both social capital and geographical proximity are important factors in explaining the observed differences in the production of innovative output across European regions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2325-2335 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.663474 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.663474 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2325-2335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shinji Yane Author-X-Name-First: Shinji Author-X-Name-Last: Yane Author-Name: Sanford Berg Author-X-Name-First: Sanford Author-X-Name-Last: Berg Title: Sensitivity analysis of efficiency rankings to distributional assumptions: applications to Japanese water utilities Abstract: This article examines the robustness of efficiency score rankings across four distributional assumptions for trans-log stochastic production-frontier models, using data from 1221 Japanese water utilities (for 2004 and 2005). One-sided error terms considered include the half-normal, truncated normal, exponential and gamma distributions. Results are compared for homoscedastic and doubly heteroscedastic models, where we also introduce a doubly heteroscedastic variable mean model, and examine the sensitivity of the nested models to a stronger heteroscedasticity correction for the one-sided error component. The results support three conclusions regarding the sensitivity of efficiency rankings to distributional assumptions. When four standard distributional assumptions are applied to a homoscedastic stochastic frontier model, the efficiency rankings are quite consistent. When those assumptions are applied to a doubly heteroscedastic stochastic frontier model, the efficiency rankings are consistent when proper and sufficient arguments for the variance functions are included in the model. When a more general model, like a variable mean model is estimated, efficiency rankings are quite sensitive to heteroscedasticity correction schemes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2337-2348 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.663475 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.663475 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2337-2348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicente Salas-Fumás Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Salas-Fumás Author-Name: J. Javier Sanchez-Asin Author-X-Name-First: J. Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Sanchez-Asin Title: The management function of entrepreneurs and countries’ productivity growth Abstract: This article examines the determinants of the equilibrium number of entrepreneurs and the level of productivity in economies where individuals make occupational choices between being self-employed or working as an employee. The results of the theoretical model explain some observed empirical regularities, such as the negative association between productivity and self-employment rates in cross-country data. The article also derives and empirically tests an unexplored relationship between entrepreneurship and economic growth, in the form of a positive association between productivity growth in t and the proportion of the self-employed in t − 1, providing a new perspective on cross-country productivity convergence over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2349-2360 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.663476 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.663476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2349-2360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Malgarini Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Malgarini Author-Name: Massimo Mancini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Mancini Author-Name: Lia Pacelli Author-X-Name-First: Lia Author-X-Name-Last: Pacelli Title: Temporary hires and innovative investments Abstract: The flexicurity approach claims a positive effect of flexible labour on firm performance, also through an increased ability to innovate. Critics consider it a deregulation of the labour market, decreasing investment in human capital and innovation. We contribute to this broad debate providing an estimate of the relationships linking innovative investment, substitution investment, permanent hires and temporary hires. In particular, we aim at affirming or denying that innovative investments are accompanied by a specific kind of workforce, being it stable or flexible. In doing so, we contribute to bridge the gap among two quite separate strands of literature, as existing literature usually analyses capital and labour separately. Estimating a nonlinear recursive equation system we highlight a significant increase in the likelihood of hiring on a permanent base when the firm innovates; this holds till 2008. Afterward, during the crisis, innovating firms are more likely to hire using temporary contracts instead, a possible signal of a cost saving strategy adopted in a loose labour market by firms still able to innovate. Furthermore, both permanent and temporary hires never depend on increases in labour costs; however, substitution investment increases when labour cost increases, maybe in an attempt to increase labour productivity through a more efficient capital equipment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2361-2370 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.663477 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.663477 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2361-2370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Author-Name: Jan-Christoph Rülke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Rülke Author-Name: Georg Stadtmann Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Stadtmann Title: Oil price forecasting under asymmetric loss Abstract: Based on the approach developed by Elliott et al. (2005), we found that the loss function of a sample of oil price forecasters is asymmetric in the forecast error. Our findings indicate that the loss oil price forecasters incurred when their forecasts exceeded the price of oil tended to be larger than the loss they incurred when their forecast fell short of the price of oil. Accounting for the asymmetry of the loss function does not necessarily make forecasts look rational. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2371-2379 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.663478 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.663478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2371-2379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. H. Ergeç Author-X-Name-First: E. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Ergeç Author-Name: B. G. Arslan Author-X-Name-First: B. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Arslan Title: Impact of interest rates on Islamic and conventional banks: the case of Turkey Abstract: Identifying the impact of the interest rates upon Islamic banks is a key to understand the contribution of such institutions to the financial stability, designing monetary policies and devising a proper risk management applicable to these institutions. This article analyses and investigates the impact of interest rate shock upon the deposits and loans held by the conventional and Islamic banks with particular reference to the period between December 2005 and July 2009 based on Vector Error Correction (VEC) methodology. It is theoretically expected that the Islamic banks, relying on interest-free banking, shall not be affected by the interest rates; however, in concurrence with the previous studies, the article finds that the Islamic banks in Turkey are visibly influenced by interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2381-2388 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.665598 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.665598 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2381-2388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Parjiono Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Parjiono Author-Name: A.B.M. Rabiul Alam Beg Author-X-Name-First: A.B.M. Rabiul Alam Author-X-Name-Last: Beg Author-Name: Richard Monypenny Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Monypenny Title: The driving forces of the level and the growth rate of real per capita income in Indonesia Abstract: We investigate the driving forces behind the level and the growth rate in real per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Indonesia. The ultimate reasons and the proximate causes underlying Indonesia's economic growth since the mid-1960s are still unclear. In the literature there have been at least three ways of investigating the driving forces of economic growth in Indonesia, namely: growth accounting system, regression and causality. The difference and improvement in this article is that we employed a two-step bounds testing approach to cointegration, which has not been done before; it uses the endogenous growth model to consider 12 policy variables and two external factors that potentially affect per capita income, this number is more than that has been done before. The empirical results that we obtained using this two-step bounds testing approach help us draw policy implications that if or when implemented would be expected to increase the growth of real per capita income, as well as the welfare of the people of Indonesia. Economic growth in Indonesia is largely driven by government policy, so the ability to increase Indonesia's economic growth rate, in the long run, will largely depend on the implementation of appropriate government policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2389-2400 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.665599 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.665599 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2389-2400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristof De Witte Author-X-Name-First: Kristof Author-X-Name-Last: De Witte Author-Name: Mika Kortelainen Author-X-Name-First: Mika Author-X-Name-Last: Kortelainen Title: What explains the performance of students in a heterogeneous environment? Conditional efficiency estimation with continuous and discrete environmental variables Abstract: Efficiency estimations which do not account for the operational environment where production units are operating in may have only a limited value. This article presents a fully nonparametric framework to estimate relative performance of production units when accounting for continuous and discrete background variables. Using insights from recent developments in nonparametric econometrics, we show how conditional efficiency scores can be estimated using a tailored mixed kernel function with a data-driven bandwidth selection. The methodology is applied to the sample of Dutch pupils from the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development's Programme for International Student Assessment (OECD PISA) data set. We estimate students' performance and the influence of its background characteristics. The results of our application show that several family- and student-specific characteristics have a statistically significant effect on the educational efficiency, while school-level variables do not have impact on performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2401-2412 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.665602 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.665602 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2401-2412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony J. Makin Author-X-Name-First: Anthony J. Author-X-Name-Last: Makin Author-Name: Sam Strong Author-X-Name-First: Sam Author-X-Name-Last: Strong Title: New measures of factor productivity in Australia: a Sato approach Abstract: This article derives new results of the Elasticity of Substitution (ES) between capital and labour and factor productivity for Australia, an economy which experienced major economic reform that substantially increased the flexibility of its labour, product and capital markets throughout the 1980s and 1990s. It employs a Sato production function specification which has unique properties that enable the estimation of capital--labour substitution elasticity and changing marginal productivities through time. These estimates reveal that the substitution elasticity and labour productivity in Australia rose significantly from the mid-1960s and remained elevated during the economic reform period. A novel contribution of this article is the depiction of Australia's production isoquants to convey how combining labour and capital to produce real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has changed over recent decades. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2413-2422 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.665603 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.665603 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2413-2422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Horst Rottmann Author-X-Name-First: Horst Author-X-Name-Last: Rottmann Author-Name: Timo Wollmershäuser Author-X-Name-First: Timo Author-X-Name-Last: Wollmershäuser Title: A micro data approach to the identification of credit crunches Abstract: This article presents a micro data approach to the identification of credit crunches. Using a survey among German firms which regularly queries the firms' assessment of the current willingness of banks to extend credit, we estimate the probability of a restrictive loan supply policy by time taking into account the creditworthiness of borrowers. Creditworthiness is approximated by firm-specific factors, e.g. the firms' assessment of their current business situation and their business expectations. After controlling for the return on the banks' risk-free investment alternative, which is also likely to affect the supply of loans, we derive a credit crunch indicator, which measures that part of the shift in the loan supply that is neither explained by firm-specific factors nor by the opportunity costs of providing risky loans. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2423-2441 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.665604 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.665604 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2423-2441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michał Gradzewicz Author-X-Name-First: Michał Author-X-Name-Last: Gradzewicz Author-Name: Krzysztof Makarski Author-X-Name-First: Krzysztof Author-X-Name-Last: Makarski Title: The business cycle implications of the euro adoption in Poland Abstract: This article analyses the macroeconomic impact of the loss of autonomous monetary policy after the euro adoption in Poland. Using a two-country Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model with sticky prices and wages, we find that the euro adoption will have a noticeable impact on the magnitude of economic fluctuations. In particular, the volatility of output, interest rate, consumption and employment is expected to increase while the volatility of inflation should decrease. Also, in order to quantify the effect of the euro adoption, we compute the welfare effect of this monetary policy change. Our findings suggest that the welfare cost is not large. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2443-2455 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.667550 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.667550 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2443-2455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauro Mussini Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Mussini Title: A matrix approach to the Gini index decomposition by subgroup and by income source Abstract: The literature offers two main ways of decomposing the Gini index: decomposition by population subgroup and by income source. This article proposes merging the two decomposition dimensions by suggesting a matrix formula for the Gini index which permits the simultaneous decomposition by subgroup and by income source. Using this multi‐decomposition, one can investigate the role of the interaction between the subgroup and the source components in determining the overall inequality. We apply the methodology to sample data on Italian household incomes collected in 2008. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2457-2468 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.667553 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.667553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2457-2468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazumasa Oguro Author-X-Name-First: Kazumasa Author-X-Name-Last: Oguro Author-Name: Takashi Oshio Author-X-Name-First: Takashi Author-X-Name-Last: Oshio Author-Name: Junichiro Takahata Author-X-Name-First: Junichiro Author-X-Name-Last: Takahata Title: Ability transmission, endogenous fertility and educational subsidy Abstract: In this study, we attempt to investigate how educational subsidy, childcare allowance and family allowance affect economic growth and income distribution on the basis of simulation models which incorporate intergenerational ability transmission and endogenous fertility. The simulation results show that financial support for higher education can both increase economic growth and reduce income inequality, especially if the abilities of parent and child are closely correlated. In contrast with educational subsidy, raising childcare allowance or family allowance has limited impacts on growth and income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2469-2479 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.667554 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.667554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2469-2479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin F. Forbes Author-X-Name-First: Kevin F. Author-X-Name-Last: Forbes Author-Name: Ernest M. Zampelli Author-X-Name-First: Ernest M. Author-X-Name-Last: Zampelli Title: The impacts of religion, political ideology, and social capital on religious and secular giving: evidence from the 2006 Social Capital Community Survey Abstract: Using a double hurdle model and data from the 2006 Social Capital Community Survey (SCCS2006) we examine religious and secular giving, focusing on the impacts of religion, political ideology and social capital. Our main results indicate that greater participation in religious activities positively impacts religious and secular giving, the intensity of religious belief increases religious giving at the expense of secular giving, religious giving by very conservative individuals is higher than for other ideological groups, and measures of social capital are very important in raising the level and likelihood of philanthropic giving. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2481-2490 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.667555 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.667555 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2481-2490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Larry Li Author-X-Name-First: Larry Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: An operational risk profile: the experience of British firms Abstract: This study provides an analysis of 163 operational loss events experienced by a variety of British firms over the period 1999--2008. 10 different hypotheses are tested to examine the distribution of loss severity and frequency with respect to business line, event type and corporate entity type. We also test hypotheses on the relation between loss severity and the decline in the market value of the announcing firm and whether or not the decline in market value is greater if the loss results from internal fraud. The results indicate that loss severity does not depend on firm size, that the decline in market value bears no stable relation to the loss amount and that they decline in market value relative to the loss amount is positively related to firm size. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2491-2500 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.667556 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.667556 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2491-2500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ari Aisen Author-X-Name-First: Ari Author-X-Name-Last: Aisen Author-Name: David Hauner Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hauner Title: Budget deficits and interest rates: a fresh perspective Abstract: We extend the literature on budget deficits and interest rates in three ways: we examine both advanced and emerging economies and for the first time a large emerging market panel; explore interactions to explain some of the heterogeneity in the literature; and apply system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). There is overall a highly significant positive effect of budget deficits on interest rates, but the effect depends on interaction terms and is only significant under one of the several conditions: deficits are high, mostly domestically financed, or interact with high domestic debt; financial openness is low; interest rates are liberalized; or financial depth is low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2501-2510 Issue: 17 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.667557 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.667557 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2501-2510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dandan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Dandan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Dennis W. Jansen Author-X-Name-First: Dennis W. Author-X-Name-Last: Jansen Title: The effects of monetary policy using structural factor analysis Abstract: The traditional Vector Autoregression (VAR) method is widely used to trace out the effects of monetary policy innovations on the economy. However, this method suffers from the curse of dimensionality, so that in practice VARs are estimated on a limited number of variables, leading to a potential missing information problem. In this article we use the method of structural factor analysis to evaluate the effects of monetary policy on key macroeconomic variables in a data rich environment. This methodology allows us to extract information on monetary policy and its impact on the economy from a much larger data set than is possible with the traditional VAR method. We propose two structural factor models. One is the Structural Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressive (SFAVAR) model and the other is the Structural Factor Vector Autoregressive (SFVAR) model. Compared to the traditional VAR, both models incorporate information from hundreds of data series, series that can be and are monitored by the central bank in setting policy. Moreover, the factors used are structurally meaningful, a feature that adds to the understanding of the 'black box' of the monetary transmission mechanism. Both models generate qualitatively reasonable impulse response functions. For the SFVAR model, both the price puzzle and the liquidity puzzle are eliminated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2511-2526 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.669462 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.669462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2511-2526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantinos Tzioumis Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Tzioumis Title: Are company founders underpaid? Abstract: This article examines the relation between founder status and CEO compensation in publicly listed US firms. The results suggest that CEO/founders receive lower cash pay and total compensation compared to professional managers. In contrast, CEOs who are relatives of the founders receive similar cash pay and total compensation to that of professional managers. Different compensation levels also emerge in terms of stock option awards. The findings underline the importance of distinguishing among these three CEO types when examining the determinants of executive compensation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2527-2536 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.669463 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.669463 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2527-2536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ndahiriwe Kasa Author-X-Name-First: Ndahiriwe Author-X-Name-Last: Kasa Author-Name: Ruthira Naraidoo Author-X-Name-First: Ruthira Author-X-Name-Last: Naraidoo Title: The opportunistic approach to monetary policy and financial market conditions Abstract: We test the concept of the opportunistic approach to monetary policy in South Africa post-2000 inflation targeting regime. The article contributes to the current debate on central banks having additional objectives over and above inflation and output by incorporating a measure of financial conditions in the modelling framework. Our findings support the two features of the opportunistic approach. First, we find that the models that include an intermediate target that reflects the recent history of inflation rather than simple inflation target improve the fit of the models. Second, the data supports the view that the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) behaves with some degree of nonresponsiveness when inflation is within the zone of discretion but react aggressively otherwise. Recursive estimates from our preferred model reveal that overall there has been a subdued reaction to inflation, output and financial conditions amidst the increased economic uncertainty of the 2007--2009 financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2537-2545 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.669464 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.669464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2537-2545 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Padilla Angulo Author-X-Name-First: Laura Padilla Author-X-Name-Last: Angulo Title: Labour inputs substitution during corporate restructuring: a translog model approach for US freight railroads Abstract: After deregulation in 1980, competitive pressures forced the large US freight railroads to reduce costs and restructure, resulting in an economic renaissance of the US railroad companies after years of poor financial conditions. The most striking restructuring measure receiving much attention was dramatic labour downsizing: until 2004 employment was reduced by 60%. But other overlooked measures are the significant restructuring of workforce composition, and important changes in railroads' workplace organization practices and corporate culture. To better understand this successful occupational restructuring, I investigate labour inputs substitutional relationships by using a translog variable cost model. Labour is decomposed into six employee categories rather than traditional production--nonproduction breakdown to estimate inputs elasticities of substitution. The data investigated is a unique firm-level dataset on the US freight Class I Railroads, covering a 22-year period, which allows this fine-grained analysis. I also document railroad workplace organization practices relating to results and reflecting changes in railroads corporate culture. I find strong substitutability between managerial positions and transportation employees, pointing to achievement of better command and control of operations; a high degree of complementarity between the most skilled employee categories and the strongest substitute relationship between transportation and maintenance of Ways&Structures groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2547-2562 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.669465 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.669465 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2547-2562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luisa Alam᭓abater Author-X-Name-First: Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Alam᭓abater Author-Name: Laura MᲱuez-Ramos Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: MᲱuez-Ramos Author-Name: Celestino SuᲥz-Burguet Author-X-Name-First: Celestino Author-X-Name-Last: SuᲥz-Burguet Title: Trade and transport connectivity: a spatial approach Abstract: This article aims to analyse whether transport connectivity affects trade flows using a spatial approach. We consider first-order contiguity and incorporate logistics network structure dependence in a spatial autoregressive model. The results provide evidence regarding the role of the location of logistics platforms for satisfying existing demand for transport structure in Spain. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2563-2566 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.669466 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.669466 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2563-2566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Buehn Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Buehn Author-Name: Christian Lessmann Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Lessmann Author-Name: Gunther Markwardt Author-X-Name-First: Gunther Author-X-Name-Last: Markwardt Title: Decentralization and the shadow economy: Oates meets Allingham--Sandmo Abstract: This article studies the impact of decentralization on the shadow economy. We argue that decentralization may decrease the size of the shadow economy mainly through two transmission channels: (1) decentralization enhancing public sector efficiency (efficiency effect), and (2) decentralization reducing the distance between bureaucrats and economic agents, which increases the probability of detection of shadow economic activities (deterrence effect). Using various measures of fiscal, political and government employment decentralization in a cross-section of countries, we find the deterrence effect to be of more importance. The deterrence effect is stronger, the lower the degree of institutional quality. We find no robust evidence of the efficiency effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2567-2578 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.671923 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.671923 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2567-2578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilbert Cette Author-X-Name-First: Gilbert Author-X-Name-Last: Cette Author-Name: Marielle de Jong Author-X-Name-First: Marielle Author-X-Name-Last: de Jong Title: Breakeven inflation rates and their puzzling correlation relationships Abstract: It is generally assumed that the two Fisher components of the interest rate -- the real interest and the inflation -- evolve independently over time, considering that they are driven by unrelated economical events. However, the market pricing of those components deduced from newly-available bond data does not provide conclusive evidence. While studying the price behaviour of inflation-linked (real) bonds beside nominal bonds in the major fixed-income markets, we observe that the Real Bond Yields (RBY) and the yield differentials, the Breakeven Inflation Rates (BEIR), have the propensity to be positively correlated between each other across the various countries, yet are pushed into a negative correlation relationship due to market-related price distortions. As long as those distortions are local, the net result is near-zero correlation within countries; when they become global, as in the heat of the current crisis, the correlations turn negative worldwide. In this article insight is gained by taking an innovative worldwide study approach and thanks to revealing crisis period events. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2579-2585 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.671924 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.671924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2579-2585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Didier Fouarge Author-X-Name-First: Didier Author-X-Name-Last: Fouarge Author-Name: Trudie Schils Author-X-Name-First: Trudie Author-X-Name-Last: Schils Author-Name: Andries de Grip Author-X-Name-First: Andries Author-X-Name-Last: de Grip Title: Why do low-educated workers invest less in further training? Abstract: Several studies document that low-educated workers participate less often in further training than high-educated workers. This article investigates two possible explanations: low-educated workers invest less in training because of (1) the lower economic returns to these investments or (2) their lower willingness to participate in training. Controlling for unobserved heterogeneity, we find that the economic returns to training for low-educated workers are positive and not significantly different from those for high-educated workers. However, low-educated workers are significantly less willing to participate in training. We show that this lesser willingness to train is driven by economic preferences, and personality traits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2587-2601 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.671926 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.671926 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2587-2601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lilia Cavallari Author-X-Name-First: Lilia Author-X-Name-Last: Cavallari Author-Name: Stefano d'Addona Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: d'Addona Title: Nominal and real volatility as determinants of FDI Abstract: This article examines the role of country-specific sources of output and interest rate or exchange rate volatility in driving Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) activities. Building on a dataset with bilateral FDI flows among 24 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) economies over the period 1985--2007, we find that nominal and real volatility strongly deter foreign investments. Output and exchange rate volatility matter in particular for the decision whether to invest in a foreign country in the first place. Interest rate volatility mainly influences the amount of foreign investments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2603-2610 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.674206 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.674206 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2603-2610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hooi Hooi Lean Author-X-Name-First: Hooi Hooi Author-X-Name-Last: Lean Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Do Malaysian house prices follow a random walk? Evidence from univariate and panel LM unit root tests with one and two structural breaks Abstract: In this article we apply univariate and panel Lagrange Multiplier (LM) unit root tests with one and twostructural breaks proposed by Lee and Strazicich (2003, 2004) and Im et al. (2005) to examine housing prices for five different housing price indices (all housing, detached housing, semi-detached housing, terrace housing and high-rise housing) in 14 states of Malaysia to test whether housing prices exhibit a random walk. Our main finding from the univariate LM unit root tests is that for the vast majority of states housing prices follow a stationary process about a segmented trend. The results of the panel LM unit root tests provide overwhelming evidence that house prices are segmented trend reverting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2611-2627 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.674207 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.674207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2611-2627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani--Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani--Oskooee Author-Name: Scott W. Hegerty Author-X-Name-First: Scott W. Author-X-Name-Last: Hegerty Author-Name: Jia Xu Author-X-Name-First: Jia Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Exchange--rate volatility and US--Hong Kong industry trade: is there evidence of a 'third country' effect? Abstract: In an effort to better understand the determinants of trade flows worldwide, researchers have recently incorporated external volatility (in addition to that of the partners' bilateral exchange rate) into their models. The so--called 'third country' effect is present if adding this term changes the bilateral volatility estimates that are found when external volatility is omitted. This study examines US exports to Hong Kong for 143 industries, and imports from Hong Kong for 110 industries, and finds two key results. First, expected inflation due to Hong Kong's dollar peg leads to increased US exports in a large number of industries. Second, comparing our results with those of a previous study shows strong evidence of a 'third country' effect, especially for US imports. Nonparametric tests suggest that these effects differ by sector: for both exports and imports. Manufacturing industries that enjoy a large trade share are less likely to experience this effect once external volatility is incorporated into the analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2629-2651 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.654918 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.654918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2629-2651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Åsa Marie Hansson Author-X-Name-First: Åsa Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Hansson Author-Name: Karin Olofsdotter Author-X-Name-First: Karin Author-X-Name-Last: Olofsdotter Title: FDI, taxes and agglomeration economies in the EU15 Abstract: This article provides an empirical analysis of the impact of tax differentials and agglomeration economies on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). The article departs from most previous work on FDI and tax competition in a number of ways. First, it incorporates several measures of agglomeration in order to investigate whether agglomeration economies mitigate the downward spiral in tax rates. As the strength of agglomeration economies may vary with the degree of integration, we use a panel of bilateral FDI flows for a highly integrated region including countries with similar economic structure -- the EU15 -- from 1986 to 2004. Second, the empirical analysis explicitly deals with the problem of selection bias by using the Heckman sample selection approach. Also, by focusing on the EU15, we are able to provide additional information on the determinants of FDI between similar, higher-income countries. The empirical analysis provides some evidence of corporate marginal effective tax rates having an impact on FDI. This result, however, is sensitive to the inclusion of agglomeration economies. In particular, we find both Marshall types of technological externalities and overall concentration of economic activity to have an influence on FDI flows and, moreover, mitigating the negative impact of taxes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2653-2664 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.665596 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.665596 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2653-2664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giorgia Giovannetti Author-X-Name-First: Giorgia Author-X-Name-Last: Giovannetti Author-Name: Giorgio Ricchiuti Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Author-X-Name-Last: Ricchiuti Author-Name: Margherita Velucchi Author-X-Name-First: Margherita Author-X-Name-Last: Velucchi Title: Location, internationalization and performance of firms in Italy: a multilevel approach Abstract: Competition is increasingly global. However, location still matters: often firms cluster in the same geographic areas in order to exploit locational externalities and improve their competitiveness. This article analyses how Italian firms' performance, proxied by their propensity to export, depends both on geographical and institutional context and on individual characteristics. Using a multilevel approach, we estimate and distinguish the effect of individual (firm level) and context (province level) variables on the performance of internationalized Italian firms. We show that both firms and province heterogeneity shape the results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2665-2673 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.665597 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.665597 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2665-2673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alisher Akhmedjonov Author-X-Name-First: Alisher Author-X-Name-Last: Akhmedjonov Author-Name: Marco Chi Keung Lau Author-X-Name-First: Marco Chi Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Author-Name: Berna Balcı İzgi Author-X-Name-First: Berna Balcı Author-X-Name-Last: İzgi Title: New evidence of regional income divergence in post-reform Russia Abstract: This article investigates regional income convergence in Russia during 2000--2008. We test the hypothesis in which income divergence across regions of the country should give place to income convergence as the country moves toward free market economy with strong market institutions. The study contributes to the existing literature by using the exponential smooth autoregressive Augmented Dickey--Fuller (ADF) unit root test in a panel setup, a novel econometric technique, which encompasses cross sectional dependence. Results show strong evidence of on-going regional income divergence in post-reform period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2675-2682 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.665600 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.665600 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2675-2682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ronald Huisman Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Huisman Author-Name: Mehtap Kili砍 Author-X-Name-First: Mehtap Author-X-Name-Last: Kili砍 Title: A history of European electricity day-ahead prices Abstract: In this article, we examine the development of day-ahead prices in five European markets which became more connected over recent years. Where previous studies examined the convergence of price levels over time, we focus on patterns in estimates for the parameters in a switching regimes model. This makes it possible to distinguish between prices under normal market conditions and under non-normal market conditions, those market conditions that can cause extreme price spikes. We expect that increased connectivity yields additional supply in the short-term and therefore will reduce the impact of price spikes. Our results indicate that the impact of price spikes and volatility decreased over time, that prices behave more random, and that the parameter estimates between various connected markets seem to have converged between the Belgian, Dutch, French, German and Nordic day-ahead markets over the years 2003 through 2010. These results can be explained by increased connectivity and improved liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2683-2693 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.665601 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.665601 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2683-2693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Dixon Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Dixon Author-Name: G. C. Lim Author-X-Name-First: G. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: A univariate model of aggregate labour productivity Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2695-2695 Issue: 18 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.652881 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.652881 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:18:p:2695-2695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emanuele Bajo Author-X-Name-First: Emanuele Author-X-Name-Last: Bajo Author-Name: Massimiliano Barbi Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Barbi Author-Name: David Hillier Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hillier Title: Interest rate risk estimation: a new duration-based approach Abstract: Duration is widely used by fixed income managers to proxy the interest rate risk of their assets and liabilities. However, it is well known that the convexity of the price-yield relationship introduces approximation errors that grow with changes in yield. In this article we suggest a new approach, ‘discrete duration’, which significantly improves upon the accuracy of traditional duration methods and achieves a level of accuracy close to the more complex ‘duration-plus-convexity’ measure. In particular, discrete duration performs particularly well for long dated and low coupon rate bonds where the estimation error is impressively close to zero. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2697-2704 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.667552 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.667552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2697-2704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anton Bekkerman Author-X-Name-First: Anton Author-X-Name-Last: Bekkerman Author-Name: Barry K. Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Barry K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Author-Name: Nicholas E. Piggott Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas E. Author-X-Name-Last: Piggott Title: A variable threshold band approach to measuring market linkages Abstract: Uncertain and changing economic conditions can have substantial effects on price relationships in spatially separated, linked markets. Although numerous studies have analysed price relationships to characterize market linkage structures, most assume that the relationships and associated linkages are time invariant. This study extends the literature by modelling and estimating time-dependent market linkages that are conditional on changes in exogenous factors. The methodology is used to investigate price relationships in North Carolina (NC) corn and soya bean markets. Empirical results indicate that generalized market-linkage models provide a better representation of price relationships over time, improving the understanding of price discovery dynamics and marketing strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2705-2714 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.671925 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.671925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2705-2714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanna-Mari Hynninen Author-X-Name-First: Sanna-Mari Author-X-Name-Last: Hynninen Author-Name: Terhi Maczulskij Author-X-Name-First: Terhi Author-X-Name-Last: Maczulskij Title: Spot market wages, implicit contracts and technological change: skill-level evidence from Finland Abstract: This article investigates the relevance of the theories of implicit contracts and spot market model to the skill-level wages in Finland. We use linked worker-firm panel data over the period from 1991 to 2004, which included major institutional and technological changes. We find similar patterns in the wage flexibility of primary and highly educated workers: their wages increased with the decreasing spot market unemployment rate after the EU membership still exhibiting some weak backward linkages. The wages of the secondary-educated did not follow the decreasing spot market unemployment, but instead some signs of the full commitment risk sharing were found. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2715-2723 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.674205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.674205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2715-2723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rita Soares Author-X-Name-First: Rita Author-X-Name-Last: Soares Title: Assessing monetary policy in the euro area: a factor-augmented VAR approach Abstract: In order to overcome the omitted information problem of small-scale Vector Autoregression (VAR) models, this study combines the VAR methodology with dynamic factor analysis and assesses the effects of monetary policy shocks in the euro area in the period during which there is a single monetary policy. Using the Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) approach of Bernanke et al. (2005), we summarize the information contained in a large set of macroeconomic time series with a small number of estimated factors and use them as regressors in recursive VARs to evaluate the impact of the nonsystematic component of the European Central Bank's (ECB's) actions. Overall, our results suggest that the inclusion of factors in the VAR allows us to obtain a more coherent picture of the effects of monetary policy innovations, both by achieving responses easier to understand from the theoretical point of view and by increasing the precision of such responses. Moreover, this framework allows us to compute impulse-response functions for all the variables included in the panel, thereby providing a more complete depiction of the effects of policy disturbances. However, the extra information generated by the FAVAR also delivers some puzzling responses, in particular those relating to exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2724-2744 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.676736 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.676736 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2724-2744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Does the monetary policy committee still care about inflation? Some evidence from a small macroeconomic model Abstract: This article derives an optimal Taylor rule for the UK economy using a simple estimated model based on data prior to the financial crisis of 2008. Optimal policy rules are calculated using simulation of the model over a long time period coupled with a search for optimal Taylor rule parameters using the Newton-Raphson loss minimization algorithm. The weights in the pre-crisis loss function are then inferred from the Taylor rule parameters estimated from the period corresponding to Bank of England independence, i.e. 1997--2008. These estimates are consistent with a low weight on inflation relative to output stabilization even before the crisis. The model is therefore consistent with the hypothesis that there has been no change in Bank of England preferences and that the Bank has responded to the crisis in a way which would have been predicted on the basis of its pre-crisis behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2745-2750 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.629985 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.629985 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2745-2750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Constantin Belu Author-X-Name-First: Constantin Author-X-Name-Last: Belu Author-Name: Cristiana Manescu Author-X-Name-First: Cristiana Author-X-Name-Last: Manescu Title: Strategic corporate social responsibility and economic performance Abstract: This article proposes a novel Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) index based on a Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model. Acknowledging the argument that companies might favour those CSR dimensions that provide strategic competitive advantages, we argue that the index can capture companies’ strategic approach to CSR. Furthermore, our findings reveal a neutral relationship between this strategic CSR index and economic performance as measured by Return on Assets (ROA) and Tobin's Q, when controlling for firm unobserved heterogeneity and past economic performance. By contrast, an equally-weighted index of the same CSR indicators is found to be negatively related with ROA, which reinforces our claim that this specific DEA-based index is a measure of strategic CSR. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2751-2764 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.676734 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.676734 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2751-2764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Roma Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Roma Author-Name: Giuseppe Di Martino Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Di Martino Author-Name: Giovanni Perrone Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Perrone Title: What to show on the wine labels: a hedonic analysis of price drivers of Sicilian wines Abstract: Unlike previous literature, we construct a hedonic model of wine price that incorporates all the main categories of variables simultaneously to enable a better evaluation of their importance on wine price formation. A comprehensive model has the advantage of providing more reliable estimates of the attributes' implicit prices thereby facilitating firms' pricing and improving effectiveness of wine production and marketing decisions. We utilize two different datasets of Sicilian wines collecting data from influential wine guides. Our results suggest that wine price strongly depends on objective features such as vintage, alcoholic content, geographical origin, grape variety, producer size and cellaring potential. In addition, use of containers like tonneaux and barrique positively affects prices, whereas use of concrete containers has a negative influence. No univocal indications emerge with regard to the effect of the type of company, type of viticulture and firm age. As for sensorial characteristics, our analysis provides novel evidence of the importance of olfactory variables such as aroma intensity and the presence of particular smells in the wine. Finally, current guides’ grades and firm reputation play a crucial role in determining wine prices as well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2765-2778 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.678983 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.678983 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2765-2778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy Philip Thornton Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Author-Name: Sara Helms Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Helms Title: Afterlife incentives in charitable giving Abstract: There is an expanding literature that examines the influence of religion on economic behaviour. Researchers typically do not distinguish among religions, masking important variation across doctrines. Our article adopts a typology of religions based on the construct of salvific merit. Major religious doctrines are ordered based on their linkage between charitable behaviour in this life and condition in the afterlife. Using the Center on Philanthropy Panel Study (COPPS), we exploit variation in household marginal tax rates (a subsidy to charitable giving) to test the influence of major religious doctrines on charitable giving. We find that charitable giving by adherents to high-salvific-merit religions are less sensitive to changes in charitable subsidies. Adherents to low-salvific-merit religions behave more like nonreligious households. Our results suggest that religious households optimize according to specific doctrines rather than a broad notion of religion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2779-2791 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.678984 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.678984 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2779-2791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor V. Claar Author-X-Name-First: Victor V. Author-X-Name-Last: Claar Author-Name: Christine Cain Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Cain Author-Name: Ross D. Poll Author-X-Name-First: Ross D. Author-X-Name-Last: Poll Title: Spreading academic pay over nine or twelve months: economists are supposed to know better, but do they act better? Abstract: Our article empirically considers two general hypotheses related to the literature of behavioural economics. First, we test the null hypothesis that individuals behave, on average, in a manner more consistent with the rational expectations hypothesis than with the idea of self-control in the face of hyperbolic discounting in their saving decisions. Second, along a variety of dimensions, we examine whether individuals exhibit Herbert Simon's notion that the goal formation of individuals will differ depending upon their relative levels of experience and knowledge. Perhaps there are significant differences among groups in their saving decisions that depend upon their apparent levels of intelligence, education and knowledge. Finally, using a variety of individual-specific control variables, we test for robustness of the results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2792-2800 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.681027 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.681027 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2792-2800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eddie Chi-man Hui Author-X-Name-First: Eddie Chi-man Author-X-Name-Last: Hui Author-Name: Xian Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Xian Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Hui Wang Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Investor sentiment and risk appetite of real estate security market Abstract: This article proposes a new model to measure the risk appetite in absence of option prices. Without options transaction, traditional measurements cannot be made. This article establishes a Risk Appetite (RA) indicator by way of change measure and simulation, with two density functions, i.e. risk-neutral density and historical density. The RA indicators use the data from the Property Composite Index (PCI) and the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSECI). The empirical result shows that investors involved in the real estate security market have lower RA compared to those in the general security market. Particularly, RA indicators for both indices started to fall markedly in early 2008 and even more so after September 2008. The changes in RA suggest that the overall investors’ attitudes nowadays towards China's stock market are never as pessimistic as before. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2801-2807 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.681028 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.681028 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2801-2807 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Margherita Comola Author-X-Name-First: Margherita Author-X-Name-Last: Comola Author-Name: Luiz de Mello Author-X-Name-First: Luiz Author-X-Name-Last: de Mello Title: Salaried employment and earnings in Indonesia: new evidence on the selection bias Abstract: This article uses household survey data to estimate the determinants of earnings in Indonesia, a country where nonsalaried work is widespread and earnings data are available for salaried employees only. We deal with the selection bias by estimating a Full-Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML) system of equations, where selection into the labour market is modelled in a multinomial setting. We find that some estimated parameters of the earnings equation differ from a binomial selection procedure by Heckman (1979), in particular for those variables with the strongest impact on the selection into the different labour-market statuses. However, the estimated returns to education are unaffected, even when we deal with the endogeneity of educational attainment following Duflo (2001). Overall, our findings show that the choice of the selection rule affects the estimates of the earnings determinants in the Indonesian labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2808-2816 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.667551 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.667551 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2808-2816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sharmistha Nag Author-X-Name-First: Sharmistha Author-X-Name-Last: Nag Author-Name: Hui Yang Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Steven Buccola Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Buccola Author-Name: David Ervin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Ervin Title: Productivity and financial support in academic bioscience Abstract: Despite widespread awareness that scientific record and grant funding reinforce one another, empirical models of scientific production normally consider laboratory inputs to be exogenous. The present article employs a cross-section of academic bioscientists to examine the mutual relationship between research output and financial support. Information's nonrival character is such that scientific output and funding success cannot be expressed in strictly supply-and-demand terms. We find the typical bioscience laboratory to operate in a range of decreasing returns to scale and to over-invest in laboratory equipment and materials. Publication and funding success strongly reinforce one another, explaining the right-skewed success distributions often observed in science. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2817-2826 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.676737 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.676737 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2817-2826 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gunnar Isacsson Author-X-Name-First: Gunnar Author-X-Name-Last: Isacsson Author-Name: Anders Karlström Author-X-Name-First: Anders Author-X-Name-Last: Karlström Author-Name: Jan-Erik Swärdh Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Swärdh Title: The value of commuting time in an empirical on-the-job search model -- an application based on moments from two samples Abstract: This article estimates the Value of Commuting Time (VOCT) among Swedish males in an empirical on-the-job search model. It uses a large sample of employee-establishment linked data obtained from administrative registers. The sample lacks information on mode choice for the journey to work. We therefore estimate a mode choice model on another sample and use this model to link the administrative data to the relevant set of travel times, costs and distances. The VOCT is found to be 1.8 times the net hourly wage rate in the sample. The relatively high estimate results from a high VOCT among cohabiting men. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2827-2837 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.678981 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.678981 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2827-2837 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Peery Cover Author-X-Name-First: James Peery Author-X-Name-Last: Cover Author-Name: Eric Olson Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Olson Title: Using Romer and Romer's new measure of monetary policy shocks to identify the AD and AS shocks Abstract: This article re-examines the series of (exogenous) Federal Funds Rate (FFR) shocks created by Romer and Romer (2004) for the period 1969:01--1996:12. We hypothesize that if Romer and Romer have constructed a reasonable set of monetary policy shocks, then including them in a small Vector Autoregression (VAR) should help to identify other structural shocks that affected the United States economy during their sample period. Using a sample period of 1971:01--1996:12 we are easily able to identify both an Aggregate Demand (AD) shock and an Aggregate Supply (AS) shock without imposing any sign or long-run restrictions. We present historical decompositions that allow us to compare the relative importance of these shocks with that of the exogenous monetary policy shocks in explaining output fluctuations during the 1973--1975, 1980--1984 and 1990--1991 business cycle episodes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2838-2846 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.681029 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.681029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2838-2846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity for East Asian countries using the rank test for nonlinear cointegration Abstract: This study applies a simple and powerful nonlinear rank test, proposed by Breitung (2001) to test the validity of long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in a sample of East Asian countries over the period March 1985--September 2008. The empirical results indicate that PPP holds for all of East Asian countries studied and the nominal exchange rate, domestic Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the US CPI are all linearly interrelated with the exception of China. Our results have important policy implications for these East Asian countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2847-2852 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.657354 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.657354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2847-2852 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Wogbe Agbola Author-X-Name-First: Frank Wogbe Author-X-Name-Last: Agbola Title: Does human capital constrain the impact of foreign direct investment and remittances on economic growth in Ghana? Abstract: This article empirically investigates whether human capital constrains the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and remittances on economic growth in Ghana. An economic growth model for Ghana is specified and estimated using Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) estimator and employing annual data spanning the period 1965 to 2008. Empirical results indicate that FDI and remittances are key determinants of economic growth in Ghana. Results indicate that human capital enhances the impact of FDI and remittances on economic growth. Although both government expenditure and trade openness are growth-enhancing, government expenditure appears to crowd-out private investment. Empirical results also indicate that domestic inflationary pressures, unstable political environment and volatile global economy exert a negative impact on economic growth in Ghana. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2853-2862 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.676735 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.676735 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2853-2862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Susi Störmer Author-X-Name-First: Susi Author-X-Name-Last: Störmer Author-Name: Ren順ahr Author-X-Name-First: Ren頍 Author-X-Name-Last: Fahr Title: Individual determinants of work attendance: evidence on the role of personality Abstract: We investigate the influence of personality as measured by the Big Five personality scale on absenteeism using the 2005 wave of the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP). Estimates of a double hurdle negative binomial regression allow us to test hypotheses on the influence of the Big Five personality traits on work attendance. Our findings augment previous results on the link between personality and absenteeism by analysing representative data and including a large set of control variables typically not available in small scale surveys. We find clear negative correlations between the absence probability and Conscientiousness among women. For male employees a negative correlation with the incidence of absence is observed for the Agreeableness dimension. When looking at the length of absence occurrences Neuroticism is found to significantly influence male absenteeism despite controlling for the subjective health of the individual. Following the reasoning by Bowles et al. (2001) for the provision of effort by employees, employers might pay for incentive-enhancing preferences such as low Neuroticism among male employees because employers can only insufficiently monitor the true level of sickness of their employees and consequently want to avoid voluntary absenteeism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2863-2875 Issue: 19 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.684789 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.684789 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:19:p:2863-2875 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew H. Chen Author-X-Name-First: Andrew H. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Frank J. Fabozzi Author-X-Name-First: Frank J. Author-X-Name-Last: Fabozzi Author-Name: Dashan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Dashan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Optimal corporate strategy under uncertainty Abstract: Within a dynamic setting, optimal corporate strategy management for a multi-division corporation involves restructuring a portfolio of Strategic Business Units (SBUs) periodically so as to maximize the firm's market value. Real option theory has been applied to model and explain managerial flexibility for both project selection and operational decisions. In general, optimal corporate strategy has focused on strategic environments and characteristics of business units rather than on managerial flexibility. In this article, we develop a feasible discrete-time model for optimal corporate strategy that incorporates both endogenous and exogenous factors and is consistent with the value-based criterion for maximizing shareholders’ wealth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2877-2882 Issue: 20 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.684791 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.684791 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:20:p:2877-2882 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung Chuan Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yung Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Su-Lien Lu Author-X-Name-First: Su-Lien Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: A comparative analysis of independent director appointments on stock price behaviour: an empirical investigation based on the Markov regime-switching model Abstract: In 2002, the Taiwanese government regulated that new companies should appoint independent directors for good corporate governance. The purpose of this article is to compare appointing independent directors' motivation of structural changes in stock behaviour. The empirical results showed that the companies with mandatory or voluntary independent director appointments significantly reduced both stock returns and risks over 2000--2006. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2883-2893 Issue: 20 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.687093 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.687093 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:20:p:2883-2893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kuo-Yuan Liang Author-X-Name-First: Kuo-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Chen-Hui Yen Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Yen Title: Measuring CPI's reliability: the stochastic approach to index numbers revisited Abstract: The reliability measurement of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has recently drawn much attention, as the index number has been criticized for its inaccuracy in accessing the degree of inflation. This article centers on providing a new regression specification that can help better gauge the CPI's reliability. More specifically, based on the stochastic approach to index numbers, we argue that the conventional treatment of the systematic changes in relative prices should be made time variant. We therefore propose a more comprehensive regression specification by including additional dummies that represent different general inflation rate levels and business cycle phases. Under this framework, we are more capable of avoiding possible misspecifications in the regression equation, as was experienced by Clements and Izan (1987). It also allows us to better answer the ‘Keynes’ critic’ regarding the stochastic approach to index numbers. The empirical results of Australia and the US are used to validate the merit of our specification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2894-2908 Issue: 20 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.687097 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.687097 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:20:p:2894-2908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vu Thanh Hai Author-X-Name-First: Vu Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Hai Author-Name: Albert K. Tsui Author-X-Name-First: Albert K. Author-X-Name-Last: Tsui Author-Name: Zhaoyong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhaoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Measuring asymmetry and persistence in conditional volatility in real output: evidence from three East Asian tigers using a multivariate GARCH approach Abstract: We search for evidence of conditional volatility in the quarterly real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rates of three East Asian tigers: Singapore, Hong Kong and Taiwan. The widely accepted Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (EGARCH)-type model is used to capture the existence of asymmetric volatility and the potential structural break points in the volatility. We find evidence of asymmetry and persistence in the volatility of GDP growth rates. It is noted that the structural breakpoints of volatility correspond reasonably well to the historical economic and political events in these economies. Policy implications from our findings are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2909-2914 Issue: 20 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.687098 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.687098 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:20:p:2909-2914 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Belen Usero Author-X-Name-First: Belen Author-X-Name-Last: Usero Author-Name: Grigorios Asimakopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Grigorios Author-X-Name-Last: Asimakopoulos Title: Productivity change and its determinants among leading mobile operators in Europe Abstract: The European mobile telecommunications industry has seen increased competition and market saturation in recent years, so improving productivity will become crucially important for mobile operators in the near future. This study adopts a bootstrap Malmquist index approach to estimate productivity change among a sample of 23 of Europe's leading mobile operators over the 2008 to 2009 period. Using a second-stage regression, this article also analyses the determinants of productivity changes in terms of regulation, competition and ownership structure. The results show that mobile companies operating in countries that have recently joined the EU have a positive association with productivity change, in contrast to their counterparts in South-East Europe. Concerning market competition, the leading mobile operators that experience higher productivity changes operate in more concentrated markets. The results also indicate that international mobile operators perform better in terms of productivity change than their national equivalents. Finally, some of the implications of the findings for mobile operators’ management and policymakers are provided. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2915-2925 Issue: 20 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.687100 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.687100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:20:p:2915-2925 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saeid Mahdavi Author-X-Name-First: Saeid Author-X-Name-Last: Mahdavi Author-Name: Emmanuel Alanis Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Alanis Title: Public expenditures and the unemployment rate in the American states: panel evidence Abstract: We reexamine the Unemployment Rate (UR) -- government expenditure nexus in a panel of 50 State and Local Governments (SLGs) over the period 1977--2006 to provide new pre-recession empirical evidence that helps put the expectations on the effects of the federal relief to SLGs in a broader context. We found that: (1) per capita real public spending (total and capital, assistance and subsidies, wages and salaries, and social insurance categories) was part of a cointegrating relationship with UR and real per capita state personal income. (2) With the exception of social insurance, other spending variables, when statistically significant, actually had a depressing effect on UR. The magnitude of this effect, however, was generally small. UR was most sensitive to increases in wages and salaries. (3) Long-term causality analysis based on panel error-correction coefficients provided consistent evidence of a causal effect from spending to UR, but less consistent evidence of such effect in the opposite direction. Social insurance, however, drove UR. (4) The size of the error-correction coefficients suggested a slow response of UR to deviations from the cointegrating relationship. (5) The marginal effect of spending on UR increased with the amount of the federal grants received. Our results suggest that public spending may not serve as a quick fix in relation to UR. They also seem to favour allocation of the federal funds to wage and salaries and assistance and subsidies, but not to capital and social insurance expenditures to lower UR. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2926-2937 Issue: 20 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.690849 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.690849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:20:p:2926-2937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurt A. Hafner Author-X-Name-First: Kurt A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hafner Title: Agglomeration economies and clustering -- evidence from German and European firms Abstract: This article empirically analyses the impact of agglomeration economies on the clustering of German and European firms using partial proportional-odds models. Firms are grouped according to industry and divided into departments. At the industry level, I find evidence for inter-industry economies derived from the New Economic Geography (NEG) framework for European firms in general and German knowledge-intensive firms in particular. At the department level, Marshallian Externalities such as the hiring of skilled labour and technological spillover, and therefore intra-industry economies, are empirically confirmed for European and German departments like Human Resources and R&D but rarely for others. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2938-2953 Issue: 20 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.690850 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.690850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:20:p:2938-2953 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lien-Ti Bei Author-X-Name-First: Lien-Ti Author-X-Name-Last: Bei Author-Name: Tsung-Chi Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Brand power index -- using principal component analysis Abstract: A relatively simple approach is proposed to evaluate the strength of brands from the viewpoint of consumers. It employs Principal Component Analysis (PCA), in which the coefficients of the first principal component are used as the weight for developing our study's final ‘product’, the Brand Power Index (BPI). Empirical consumer-survey data of two product categories: televisions and mobile phones illustrate that the patterns of PCA results for both televisions and mobile phones are extremely similar. The biplots reveal that the leading brands in both product categories had positive component scores; more than a dozen following brands had positive first component scores and negative second component scores in both categories. This led us to a visual examination of the data on certain leading brands with regard to their brand excellence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2954-2960 Issue: 20 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.690853 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.690853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:20:p:2954-2960 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashoka Mody Author-X-Name-First: Ashoka Author-X-Name-Last: Mody Author-Name: Mark P. Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mark P. Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: International capital crunches: the time-varying role of informational asymmetries Abstract: We examine the determinants of capital flows to four developing countries during the 1990s using an explicitly disequilibrium econometric framework in which the supply and demand for capital are not necessarily equal and the actual amount of the flow is determined by the ‘short side’ of the market. We are thus able to detect instances of ‘international capital crunch’ -- where capital flows are curtailed because of supply-side rationing -- and to relate these instances to movements in the underlying fundamentals. The analysis highlights the role of asymmetric information -- as distinct from the traditional concern with default risk -- in conditioning capital flows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2961-2973 Issue: 20 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.657355 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.657355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:20:p:2961-2973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Obiyathulla Ismath Bacha Author-X-Name-First: Obiyathulla Ismath Author-X-Name-Last: Bacha Author-Name: Azhar Mohamad Author-X-Name-First: Azhar Author-X-Name-Last: Mohamad Author-Name: Sharifah Raihan Syed Mohd Zain Author-X-Name-First: Sharifah Raihan Syed Mohd Author-X-Name-Last: Zain Author-Name: Mohd Eskandar Shah Mohd Rasid Author-X-Name-First: Mohd Eskandar Shah Mohd Author-X-Name-Last: Rasid Title: Foreign exchange exposure and impact of policy switch -- the case of Malaysian listed firms Abstract: This article undertakes an in-depth study of the foreign exchange exposure of Malaysian listed firms. We examine several issues related to firm-specific and overall exposure, including an evaluation of the efficacy of adopting a hard-peg on such exposure. Our sample consists of 158 listed firms and spans the 16 year period, 1990--2005. A multivariate model using four bilateral exchange rates is used to determine firm level exposure while panel data analysis using a random-effects Generalized Least Squares (GLS) model is used to determine system-wide or aggregate sample exposure. We find a total 71% of our sample firms to have significant exchange rate exposure, a rate substantially higher than that reported for most countries, especially developed ones. The US$ is by far the single most important source of exposure with 63% of sample firms exposed to it. The sign of the beta coefficient for three of the four currencies are negative, implying that our sample firms are largely net importers in these currencies. We find exposure to be time variant and dependent on the sector within which a firm operates. Interestingly, the panel data analysis which measures aggregate exposure, shows the US$ to be a significant source of exposure even with the adoption of the hard peg. The change in policy regime to a fixed peg following the crisis appears to have had no impact at either firm-level exposure or overall system-wide exposure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2974-2984 Issue: 20 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.684790 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.684790 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:20:p:2974-2984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takaaki Aoki Author-X-Name-First: Takaaki Author-X-Name-Last: Aoki Title: An empirical analysis on the law of purchasing power parity and international economic deepening Abstract: This article empirically investigates the effect of international trade on the deviation of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) law and on the international economic deepening in four developed countries (Japan, USA, UK and France), and three Asian developing ones (South Korea, Singapore and Malaysia), using International Financial Statistics (IFS) data issued by International Monetary Fund (IMF). Our results show that in some developed countries the imbalance effect of balance of payments is significant for both international deepening and deviation from PPP, and in some developing countries the volume effect of balance of payments is significant for international deepening. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2985-2993 Issue: 20 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.684792 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.684792 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:20:p:2985-2993 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gigi Foster Author-X-Name-First: Gigi Author-X-Name-Last: Foster Author-Name: Charlene M. Kalenkoski Author-X-Name-First: Charlene M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kalenkoski Title: Tobit or OLS? An empirical evaluation under different diary window lengths Abstract: Researchers analysing time-use data often estimate limited dependent variable models because time spent must be nonnegative and cannot be more than the total amount of time in a given observation period. While the traditional empirical technique applied to such cases is maximum likelihood estimation of a Tobit (censored regression) model, recent debate has questioned whether linear models estimated via Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) are preferable. On the one hand, Tobit models are deemed necessary to address the significant censoring (i.e. large numbers of zeroes) typically found in time-use data, in the face of which OLS estimators would be biased and inconsistent. Yet, optimization occurs over a longer period than that covered by the typical time diary (often a day), and thus some argue that reported zeroes represent a measurement problem rather than true nonparticipation in the activity, in which case OLS would be preferred. We provide direct empirical evidence on this question using the Australian Time Use Surveys, which record time-use information for two consecutive diary days, by estimating censored and linear versions of a parental child care model for both 24-hour and 48-hour windows of observation in order to determine the empirical consequences of estimation technique and diary length. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2994-3010 Issue: 20 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.690852 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.690852 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:20:p:2994-3010 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pang-Tien Lieu Author-X-Name-First: Pang-Tien Author-X-Name-Last: Lieu Author-Name: Chinkun Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chinkun Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Philip Mizzi Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Mizzi Title: Estimating the true cost of living for households with different incomes using data from Taiwan Abstract: This empirical study investigates why the true costs of living for different income groups in Taiwan as measured by the superlative Törnqvist price index have grown dissimilarly over the sample period. Specifically, it shows that using the aggregate Cost of Living (COL) estimates for the entire households as is commonly practiced would produce noticeable group bias effect in measurement. Also the magnitude of the commodity substitution bias in the conventional Consumer Price Index (CPI) is found to be positively related to household income in general. Because of the presence of these two biases, the true COL for households belonging to the two ends of the income spectrum is found to be over-estimated. This article is therefore in full agreement with Arrow's proposition that an alternative and separate set of price index be constructed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3011-3023 Issue: 21 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.692872 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.692872 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:21:p:3011-3023 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Irma Hindrayanto Author-X-Name-First: Irma Author-X-Name-Last: Hindrayanto Author-Name: John A.D. Aston Author-X-Name-First: John A.D. Author-X-Name-Last: Aston Author-Name: Siem Jan Koopman Author-X-Name-First: Siem Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Koopman Author-Name: Marius Ooms Author-X-Name-First: Marius Author-X-Name-Last: Ooms Title: Modelling trigonometric seasonal components for monthly economic time series Abstract: The basic structural time series model has been designed for the modelling and forecasting of seasonal economic time series. In this article, we explore a generalization of the basic structural time series model in which the time-varying trigonometric terms associated with different seasonal frequencies have different variances for their disturbances. The contribution of the article is two-fold. The first aim is to investigate the dynamic properties of this frequency-specific Basic Structural Model (BSM). The second aim is to relate the model to a comparable generalized version of the Airline model developed at the US Census Bureau. By adopting a quadratic distance metric based on the restricted reduced form moving-average representation of the models, we conclude that the generalized models have properties that are close to each other compared to their default counterparts. In some settings, the distance between the models is almost zero so that the models can be regarded as observationally equivalent. An extensive empirical study on disaggregated monthly shipment and foreign trade series illustrates the improvements of the frequency-specific extension and investigates the relations between the two classes of models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3024-3034 Issue: 21 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.690937 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.690937 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:21:p:3024-3034 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ying Sophie Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ying Sophie Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Carl R. Chen Author-X-Name-First: Carl R. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Are college chief executives paid like corporate CEOs or bureaucrats? Abstract: We study compensation of college chief executives from 1997 to 2004. Although presidential salaries have acquired the attention of the media, Congress, and the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) in recent years, they are much below those of corporate CEOs. Compared with CEOs in corporations with comparable sizes, college chief executives earn on average approximately one-third of the compensation of their corporate counterparts. However, CEO compensation is more volatile than that of college chief executives. Our results show that private college presidential salaries are consistent with the prediction of job complexity and institutional reputation hypotheses. Presidential compensations of public research universities, on the other hand, are more consistent with the prediction of job complexity hypothesis only. Hence, our findings do not support the prediction of bureaucrat hypothesis for both private and public institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3035-3043 Issue: 21 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.695070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.695070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:21:p:3035-3043 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nissim Ben David Author-X-Name-First: Nissim Author-X-Name-Last: Ben David Title: Predicting housing prices according to expected future interest rate Abstract: In this article, I present a theoretical model for predicting future housing prices as a function of the expected future interest rate, housing depreciation and rent rate. Focusing on the notion of arbitrage, where the returns on investing in housing is equal to the return on bonds, I forecast housing prices in the US as a function of the expected future interest rate on corporate bonds graded at categories AAA or AA. I get that a change in the expected future bond yield will lead to a change in future housing prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3044-3048 Issue: 21 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.697124 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.697124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:21:p:3044-3048 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ching-Yi Lin Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Forecasting China's inflation in a data-rich environment Abstract: Inflation is one of the most recent critical issues facing China. To improve inflation forecasts within China, this study investigates the predictive ability of three dimension reduction techniques used in a data-rich environment: Principal Components Analysis (PCA), Sliced Inverse Regression (SIR), and Partial Least Squares (PLS) applied in the Factor-Augmented Autoregression (FAAR) model proposed by Stock and Watson (2005). Varied macroeconomic data from China between January 1998 and December 2009 are obtained to construct factors for use by three different techniques. The performance of different dimension reduction methods depends on forecasting horizons, the number of factors chosen, and the number of slices for SIR. The empirical study finds that the FAAR model with an optimal number of PCA factors outperforms the other model in out-of-sample inflation forecasting in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3049-3057 Issue: 21 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.697122 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.697122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:21:p:3049-3057 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Aubry Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Aubry Author-Name: P. Renou-Maissant Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Renou-Maissant Title: Investigating the semiconductor industry cycles Abstract: The aim of this article is to investigate the links between semiconductor sales and various macroeconomic, financial, industrial variables including inventories, equipment orders or semiconductor sector stock index. Statistical properties of these variables are studied. Both short-run and long-run interactions are analysed. On the short-run, our results indicate that relationships often imply feedbacks. Through the implementation of cointegration analysis, we separately identify both sales value and investments in the semiconductor market. An impulse--response analysis confirms the relevance of our choice of data and stability tests demonstrate that the parameters remain constant during the entire sample. The Vector Error Correction Models (VECMs) offer a representation respecting cycle theories and market actor analyses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3058-3067 Issue: 21 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.697123 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.697123 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:21:p:3058-3067 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C鬩ne Gondat-Larralde Author-X-Name-First: C鬩ne Author-X-Name-Last: Gondat-Larralde Author-Name: Frank Strobel Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Strobel Title: Uncertainty and switching in the mortgage market Abstract: We examine when it might be optimal for borrowers to switch providers of debt products such as their mortgage, allowing in particular for the role of uncertainty by constructing a stylized real options model of the decision problem involved. We illustrate with numerical examples, and then calibrate the model for the UK mortgage market for the period October 1998 to March 2005; significant magnitudes of trigger levels can arise even when standard switching costs are zero, providing an additional, risk-related explanation to the inertia commonly observed in borrowers' product choices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3068-3073 Issue: 21 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.690842 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/13504851.2012.690842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:21:p:3068-3073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. K. Jones Author-X-Name-First: M. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: R. J. Jones Author-X-Name-First: R. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: P. L. Latreille Author-X-Name-First: P. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Latreille Author-Name: P. D. Murphy Author-X-Name-First: P. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Author-Name: P. J. Sloane Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Sloane Title: A regional analysis of flows into and out of the UK national minimum wage Abstract: This article utilizes the panel element of the UK Labour Force Survey (LFS) to identify for individual regions total inflows and outflows and hazards for those individuals paid at or below the National Minimum Wage (NMW). In particular, it examines the extent and direction of the correlation between low-pay inflows and outflows and the economic cycle. Further, it examines the impact of regional variations in the bite of the NMW on regional flows into and out of the NMW. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3074-3087 Issue: 21 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.695069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.695069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:21:p:3074-3087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristofer Månsson Author-X-Name-First: Kristofer Author-X-Name-Last: Månsson Author-Name: Ghazi Shukur Author-X-Name-First: Ghazi Author-X-Name-Last: Shukur Author-Name: Pär Sjölander Author-X-Name-First: Pär Author-X-Name-Last: Sjölander Title: Asymmetric quantile analysis of the Swedish mortgage price discovery process Abstract: Based on Swedish banking data we discover robust and significantly positive Asymmetric Price Transmission (APT) effects over all analysed regression quantiles of our mortgage interest rates, with even larger positive APT for the higher percentiles. The analysis was enabled through unique access to a Swedish bank's (SEB) own records of their true borrowing costs. Our central contribution is that there is a higher propensity for the bank to rapidly increase its mortgage interest rates for customers following an increase in its borrowing costs, compared with the propensity for the bank to decrease its customers’ mortgage rates subsequent to a corresponding borrowing cost decrease. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3088-3101 Issue: 21 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.681030 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.681030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:21:p:3088-3101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bo Sun Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: The optimal shape of compensation contracts with earnings management Abstract: The research question of why earnings management occurs is decomposed into two questions in this article: Which component of executive compensation generates incentives for earnings management? and Why is the compensation structured that way in the first place? We first use as a dynamic stochastic equilibrium model to show that ‘big bath’ and earning overstatement can co-exist as equilibrium financial reporting strategies when thresholds are used in compensation contracts. In order to understand the use of performance thresholds as a prevailing compensation strategy in practice, we then derive the optimal compensation contract when the manager is privately informed about economic earnings and his expertise in managing earnings. Equilibria exist in which the inactive region below a threshold in compensation should be economically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3102-3109 Issue: 21 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.699187 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.699187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:21:p:3102-3109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhuo Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhuo Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Christopher A. Kanter Author-X-Name-First: Christopher A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kanter Author-Name: Kent D. Messer Author-X-Name-First: Kent D. Author-X-Name-Last: Messer Author-Name: Harry M. Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: Identifying significant characteristics of organic milk consumers: a CART analysis of an artefactual field experiment Abstract: The organic dairy category is one of the fastest growing categories of organic foods in the US. Organic milk consumers generally cite perceived health benefits and lower risk of food contamination, as well as perceived superior quality and environmental sustainability of organic farming methods, as the major motivations for preference of organic over conventional milk. While the attributes of organic milk that are valued by consumers are fairly well-known, more ambiguity exists regarding the demographic characteristics of the typical organic milk consumer. This research makes use of experimental data from 148 adult participants and use a Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis, a nonparametric modelling approach, to identify how Willingness-to-Pay (WTP) for organic milk varies with the demographic profile of experiment participants. The study finds that perceived taste of organic milk, concern for the risk of consuming conventional milk, being a primary shopper, and the quantity of milk consumed are the major factors that separate experiment participants into groups with high and low WTP for organic milk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3110-3121 Issue: 21 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.699189 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.699189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:21:p:3110-3121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tidiane Kinda Author-X-Name-First: Tidiane Author-X-Name-Last: Kinda Title: Oil windfall, public spending and price stability: modelling inflation in Chad† Abstract: This article examines the determinants of inflation in Chad using quarterly data from 1983:Q1 to 2009:Q3. The analysis is based on a single-equation model, completed by a Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model to capture inflation persistence. The results show that the main determinants of inflation in Chad are rainfall, foreign prices, exchange rate movements and particularly public spending, which soared following the onset of oil production in 2003. The effects of rainfall shocks and changes in foreign prices on inflation persist during six quarters. Changes in public spending and the nominal exchange rate affect inflation during three and four quarters, respectively. †The views expressed herein are those of the author and should not be attributed to the IMF, its Executive Board, or its management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3122-3135 Issue: 21 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.690851 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.690851 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:21:p:3122-3135 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Debasri Mukherjee Author-X-Name-First: Debasri Author-X-Name-Last: Mukherjee Author-Name: Elsy Thomas Kizhakethalackal Author-X-Name-First: Elsy Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Kizhakethalackal Title: Empirics of health-aid, education and infant mortality: a semiparametric study Abstract: The present article uses semiparametric regression to capture the impact of foreign-aid given for health purposes on the Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) of poor developing countries, after controlling for other covariates. We also investigate whether education (general awareness) helps lower IMR directly or helps improve effectiveness of health-aid in reducing IMR. In addition, the study investigates whether various disaggregated components of health-aid (for example, aid that goes for infectious disease control or nutrition) help lower IMR. We find that although adult education (awareness) always lowers IMR, the overall effect of health-aid remains insignificant. Our conclusion is robust to various disaggregated components of health-aid as well. We also check if health-aid has improved prenatal care for expecting mothers but our conclusion regarding the overall ineffectiveness of aid remains unchanged. Interestingly, we find that total health-aid as well as nutrition aid may lower IMR only after education exceeds a threshold level -- a new angle that has not been explicitly explored before. We also find interesting role of education in making the aid more effective for prenatal care. Our semiparametric nonlinear estimation strategy helps us unravel certain interesting thresholds and facts which cannot be captured in a linear parametric estimation framework. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3137-3150 Issue: 22 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.699186 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.699186 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:22:p:3137-3150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon W. Bowmaker Author-X-Name-First: Simon W. Author-X-Name-Last: Bowmaker Author-Name: Patrick M. Emerson Author-X-Name-First: Patrick M. Author-X-Name-Last: Emerson Title: Still waiting for Mister Right? Asymmetric information, abortion laws and the timing of marriage Abstract: Previous studies have suggested that more liberal abortion laws should lead to a decrease in marriage rates among young women as ‘shotgun weddings’ are no longer necessary. Empirical evidence from the United States lends support to that hypothesis. This article presents an alternative theory of abortion access and marriage based on the cost of search which suggests that more liberal abortion laws may actually promote young marriage. An empirical examination of marriage data from Eastern Europe shows that countries that liberalized their abortion laws saw an increase in marriage rates among nonteenage women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3151-3169 Issue: 22 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.699188 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.699188 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:22:p:3151-3169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joras Ferwerda Author-X-Name-First: Joras Author-X-Name-Last: Ferwerda Author-Name: Mark Kattenberg Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Kattenberg Author-Name: Han-Hsin Chang Author-X-Name-First: Han-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Brigitte Unger Author-X-Name-First: Brigitte Author-X-Name-Last: Unger Author-Name: Loek Groot Author-X-Name-First: Loek Author-X-Name-Last: Groot Author-Name: Jacob A. Bikker Author-X-Name-First: Jacob A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bikker Title: Gravity models of trade-based money laundering Abstract: Several attempts have been made in the literature to measure money laundering. However, the adequacy of these models is difficult to assess, as money laundering takes place secretly and, hence, goes unobserved. An exception is Trade-Based Money Laundering (TBML), a special form of trade abuse that has been discovered only recently. TBML refers to criminal proceeds that are transferred around the world using fake invoices that under- or overvalue imports and exports. This article is a first test on the well-known prototype models proposed by Walker and Unger to predict illicit money laundering flows and to apply traditional gravity models familiar in international trade theory. To do so, we use a dataset of Zdanowicz of TBML flows from the US to 199 countries. Our test rejects the specifications of the Walker and Unger prototype models, at least for TBML. The traditional gravity model that we present can explain TBML flows worldwide in a plausible manner. An important determinant is trade in which TBML is hidden. Furthermore, our results suggest that criminals use TBML in order to escape the stricter anti-money laundering regulations of financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3170-3182 Issue: 22 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.699190 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.699190 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:22:p:3170-3182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Regina T. Riphahn Author-X-Name-First: Regina T. Author-X-Name-Last: Riphahn Author-Name: Parvati Trübswetter Author-X-Name-First: Parvati Author-X-Name-Last: Trübswetter Title: The intergenerational transmission of education and equality of educational opportunity in East and West Germany Abstract: Socialist societies often emphasized the abolition of traditional social classes. To achieve this objective, educational opportunities were at times ‘actively managed’ and allocated to children of less educated parents. What happened to these patterns after the demise of socialist rule in Eastern Europe? We study the development of educational mobility after the fall of the iron curtain in East Germany and compare the relevance of parental educational background for secondary schooling in East and West Germany. Based on the data from the German Mikrozensus we find that educational mobility is lower in East than in West Germany and that it has been falling in East Germany after unification. While the educational advantage of girls declined over time, having many siblings presents a more substantial disadvantage in East than in West Germany. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3183-3196 Issue: 22 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.703314 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.703314 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:22:p:3183-3196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard E. Mueller Author-X-Name-First: Richard E. Author-X-Name-Last: Mueller Title: A note on Canadian migration to the United States during the 1980s and 1990s Abstract: Considerable media attention had been directed towards the flow of highly talented Canadians to the United States in the 1990s. There are firm theoretical reasons, however, to believe that qualitative differences in migration began as early as the 1980s, owing to the widening distribution of earnings and the related increased returns to education in the United States relative to Canada, both of which could result in qualitative improvements in the migration flow. US immigration policy remained essentially unchanged during the 1980s, but changed markedly in the 1990s owing to the implementation of the Canada--US Free Trade Agreement (CUFTA) and its successor, the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). We use a flexible empirical approach to document these changes in immigrant quality using 1980, 1990 and 2000 US census data. Our results suggest that improvements in Canadian immigrant quality occurred during the 1990s, but these also happened earlier, casting doubt on the hypothesis of improving Canadian immigrant quality in the 1990s. Quantile regressions also show that improvement in the entry quality of immigrants was not limited to the upper tail of the earnings distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3197-3210 Issue: 22 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.703311 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.703311 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:22:p:3197-3210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Cuestas Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Cuestas Author-Name: Karsten Staehr Author-X-Name-First: Karsten Author-X-Name-Last: Staehr Title: Fiscal shocks and budget balance persistence in the EU countries from Central and Eastern Europe Abstract: This article analyses the time series properties of the fiscal balance in the 10 EU countries from Central and Eastern Europe. The persistence of the fiscal balance is analysed by means of unit root tests that account for possible nonlinearities and structural changes. The linear and nonlinear unit root tests find only mild evidence in favour of the stationarity hypothesis, with asymmetric effects present in a few cases. After controlling for structural changes in the Data Generation Processes (DGPs), the results point to stationarity of the series. Thus, in spite of relatively steady headline figures, the budget balance processes in the EU countries from Central and Eastern Europe exhibit substantial instability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3211-3219 Issue: 22 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.703316 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.703316 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:22:p:3211-3219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Astrid Ayala Author-X-Name-First: Astrid Author-X-Name-Last: Ayala Author-Name: Juncal Cunado Author-X-Name-First: Juncal Author-X-Name-Last: Cunado Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Real convergence: empirical evidence for Latin America Abstract: This article investigates the real convergence of 17 Latin American countries to the US economy for the period 1950 to 2011. Time series methods are used to test stochastic and β-convergence. These methods include the possibility of one or two structural changes. The results show that when endogenous structural changes are considered several Latin American countries exhibit stochastic convergence. Nevertheless, real convergence to the US is found only for three Latin American countries: Chile, Costa Rica and Trinidad and Tobago, with these countries also presenting evidence of stochastic and β-convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3220-3229 Issue: 22 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.703317 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.703317 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:22:p:3220-3229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sotiris Vandoros Author-X-Name-First: Sotiris Author-X-Name-Last: Vandoros Author-Name: Panos Kanavos Author-X-Name-First: Panos Author-X-Name-Last: Kanavos Title: The generics paradox revisited: empirical evidence from regulated markets Abstract: Earlier studies have pointed at the presence of a generics paradox in the US prescription drug market. This article tests whether the generics paradox also holds in the presence of pricing and reimbursement regulation in six European prescription drug markets. Using proprietary pricing and market share data, the results of panel data analysis suggest that the generics paradox also holds in these markets. Neither generic entry nor generic market penetration affect prices of originator drugs downwards, and prices of originator drugs actually increase post-generic entry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3230-3239 Issue: 22 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.703313 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.703313 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:22:p:3230-3239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tilman Tacke Author-X-Name-First: Tilman Author-X-Name-Last: Tacke Author-Name: Robert J. Waldmann Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Waldmann Title: Infant mortality, relative income and public policy Abstract: Do health outcomes depend on relative income as well as on an individual's absolute level of income? We use infant mortality as a health status indicator and find a significant and positive link between infant mortality and income inequality using cross-national data for 93 countries. Holding constant the income of each of the three poorest quintiles of a country's population, we find that an increase in the income of the upper 20% of the income distribution is associated with higher, not the lower infant mortality. Our results are robust and not just caused by the concave relationship between income and health. The estimates imply a decrease in infant mortality by 1.5% for a one percentage point decrease in the income share of the richest quintile. The overall results are sensitive to public policy: public health care expenditure, educational outcomes, and access to basic sanitation and safe water can explain the inequality--health relationship. Thus, our findings support the hypothesis of public disinvestment in human capital in countries with high income inequality. However, we are not able to determine whether public policy is a confounder or mediator of the relationship between income distribution and health. Relative deprivation caused by the income distance between an individual and the individual's reference group is another possible explanation for a direct effect from income inequality to health. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3240-3254 Issue: 22 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.705429 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.705429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:22:p:3240-3254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth W. Clements Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth W. Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: H. Y. Izan Author-X-Name-First: H. Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Izan Author-Name: Yihui Lan Author-X-Name-First: Yihui Author-X-Name-Last: Lan Title: Volatility and stock price indexes Abstract: The stochastic approach to index numbers has been successfully applied to the estimation of inflation, the world interest rate and international competitiveness. One distinct advantage of this approach is that it provides the whole distribution of the index, not simply one value. In this article, we extend the stochastic approach to the estimation of a stock market index. We demonstrate how this approach can be used to identify ‘redundant stocks’ that do not contribute significantly to the overall index. For index tracking purposes, these stocks can be safely excluded. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3255-3262 Issue: 22 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.703315 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.703315 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:22:p:3255-3262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Agapi Lambrini Somwaru Author-X-Name-First: Agapi Lambrini Author-X-Name-Last: Somwaru Title: Does trade liberalization and its associated increased economic activity affect permanently the value and pattern of trade flows? Abstract: Despite a number of multi-country case studies based on a variety of analytical frameworks and numerous econometric studies using large cross-country data sets that analyse trade openness and its induced economic activities that alters both the volume and value of trade flows, there is still disagreement among economists concerning the nature of this relationship. In this article, we follow a rather unique approach by estimating the density functions of the observed trade flows and the density functions of trade flows generated by tariff removal using an intertemporal global Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. Our inquiry is whether or not the trade flows generated by global tariff elimination impact economies in the long-run and alter their historical underlying distributions. If the latter case prevails, it implies that the economies follow a different transitional path into a new steady-state equilibrium. The density functions, estimated parameters and higher moments of the observed trade flow distributions are distinctly different from the parameter estimates of the trade flows generated by the model. In this sense, trade-inducing economic activity as generated by tariff removal and captured by the neoclassical specification of the model is associated with trade flows along a different transitional path from the observed trade flows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3263-3277 Issue: 23 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.703312 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.703312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:23:p:3263-3277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Ali M. Kutan Author-X-Name-First: Ali M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kutan Author-Name: Dan Xi Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Xi Title: The impact of economic and monetary uncertainty on the demand for money in emerging economies Abstract: By introducing uncertainty, monetary volatility and economic volatility are said to make the public cautious, hence increase their cash holdings or their demand for money. On the other hand, because of monetary and economic uncertainty if the public seek safer assets than money, they may hold less cash. In the absence of any paper testing for the impact of economic and monetary uncertainty on the demand for money in emerging economies, this article fills the gap by considering the experiences of six Central and Eastern European emerging economies and four other emerging economies. We found that the impact is transitory in most countries. Moreover, money demand is found correctly specified and stable in most countries, suggesting that policy based on monetary targeting could still be effective despite significant output and monetary uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3278-3287 Issue: 23 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.705430 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.705430 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:23:p:3278-3287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: The domestic Balassa--Samuelson effect of inflation for the Greek economy Abstract: The goal of this study is to assess whether and to what extent inflation differentials between the tradable and nontradable sectors in the Greek economy are due to the domestic version of the Balassa--Samuelson (BS) effect and, therefore, the ‘expensiveness’ of the country and its huge deficit of international competitiveness. Using data over the period 1989 to 2009 from the Greek economy, the empirical results indicate that the domestic BS effect is present for the case of Greece and seems to explain about 33% of the overall inflation rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3288-3294 Issue: 23 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.707774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.707774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:23:p:3288-3294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos A. Carrasco Author-X-Name-First: Carlos A. Author-X-Name-Last: Carrasco Author-Name: Jesus Ferreiro Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreiro Title: Inflation targeting and inflation expectations in Mexico Abstract: In this article we analyse inflation expectations in Mexico. After a review of the theoretical and empirical literature, we apply unit root, normality and cointegration tests to the data provided by Banco de M鸩co (Banxico) in the Survey on the Expectations of the Private Sector Economics Specialists. Our results reject the null hypothesis of normality for inflation expectations over the period 2004:01--2011:12. The exchange rate has become one of the most relevant variables in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in a small open economy. In this regard, we show the existence of a long-run relationship between nominal exchange rate and interest rate where inflation expectations matter for long-term dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3295-3304 Issue: 23 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.707772 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.707772 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:23:p:3295-3304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. A. Razzak Author-X-Name-First: W. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Razzak Title: Predicting instability Abstract: Unanticipated shocks could lead to instability, which is reflected in statistically significant changes in distributions of random variables. Changes in the conditional moments of stationary variables are predictable. We provide a framework based on a statistic for the sample generalized variance, which is useful for interrogating real time data and for predicting statistically significant sudden and large shifts in the conditional variance of a vector of correlated macroeconomic and financial variables. It is a test for a market-wide instability. Central banks can incorporate the framework in the policymaking process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3305-3315 Issue: 23 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.707775 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.707775 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:23:p:3305-3315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiung-Bin Chin Author-X-Name-First: Jiung-Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Chin Author-Name: Mu-Chen Wu Author-X-Name-First: Mu-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Ling-Feng Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Ling-Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Title: Strategic planning of optimal resource allocation in response to global financial crisis -- a study of international tourist hotels Abstract: This study is principally designed to examine the changes in the efficiency, effective resource allocation and future operation strategies of Taiwan's international tourist hotel in global economic downturn. At first, we set up critical input and output factors and construct an assessment model using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) for analysis of relative efficiency. Further, we apply an allocative efficiency model for additional considerations of each input cost and analyse proper and effective resource allocation. Finally, there are significant changes in overall efficiency of international tourist hotels under global financial crisis. We can also reach an effective allocation of the overall resources. In such cases, lowering cost has become a key issue for sustainable operation of international tourist hotel. Finally, the greatest contribution of this study is to further classify the competitiveness and optimal cost allocation of Taiwan's international tourist hotels into seven categories based on the study results and propose strategic planning of future operations for hotel administrators’ reference in making improvements in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3316-3328 Issue: 23 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.705427 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.705427 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:23:p:3316-3328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marlon P. Mundt Author-X-Name-First: Marlon P. Author-X-Name-Last: Mundt Author-Name: Michael T. French Author-X-Name-First: Michael T. Author-X-Name-Last: French Title: Adolescent alcohol use, sociability and income as a young adult Abstract: We use data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Adolescent Health (Add Health) to study how sociability and adolescent alcohol use impact personal income as a young adult. We find that factors which enhance not only individual sociability but also social interaction at the community level are positively linked to future earnings of adolescents. Adolescents whose friends and friends of friends have greater sociability reap long-term labour market rewards into adulthood. After adjusting for individual and community sociability, the effect of teenage alcohol consumption on labour market earnings as young adults is reduced. Our results suggest that earnings premiums associated with adolescent alcohol consumption may be partially explained by social network dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3329-3339 Issue: 23 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.707773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.707773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:23:p:3329-3339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Why is it so difficult to outperform the random walk in exchange rate forecasting? Abstract: A simulation exercise is used to demonstrate the difficulty to outperform the random walk in exchange rate forecasting if forecasting accuracy is judged by the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) or similar criteria that depend on the magnitude of the forecasting error. It is shown that, as the exchange rate volatility rises, the RMSE of the model rises faster than that of the random walk. While the literature considers this finding to be a puzzle that casts a big shadow of doubt on the soundness of international monetary economics, the results show that failure to outperform the random walk, in both in-sample and out-of-sample forecasting, should be the rule rather than the exception. However, the results do not imply that the random walk is unbeatable, because it can be easily outperformed if forecasting accuracy is judged according to criteria such as direction accuracy and profitability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3340-3346 Issue: 23 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.709605 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.709605 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:23:p:3340-3346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Lewis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Lewis Title: Fiscal policy in Central and Eastern Europe with real time data: cyclicality, inertia and the role of EU accession Abstract: This article evaluates the cyclicality, inertia and effect of EU accession on fiscal policy in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) using a real time dataset. Budget balances are found to react in a stabilizing way to economic activity -- every extra percentage point of economic growth is associated with an improvement in the budget balance of 0.3 percentage points of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) -- and there is no evidence of an asymmetric reaction to the cycle. Balances are much less inert than is typically found in Western Europe. However, there is clear evidence of a fiscal loosening in the run-up to EU accession. This began in 1999 in larger central European countries, often identified as ‘front-runners’. The other seven began loosening in 2001, after the Nice Treaty was agreed. For both sets of countries, this loosening cumulatively amounts to some 3% of GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3347-3359 Issue: 23 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.705428 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.705428 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:23:p:3347-3359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuqing Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yuqing Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Harry Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: Optimal quality threshold of admission in a two-sided farmers’ market Abstract: We develop a two-sided model for a farmers’ market where farmers value the number of consumers, and consumers value the number of farmers and the average product quality in the market. Consumer preference over product quality provides an incentive for the farmers’ market to exclude farmers of the lowest product quality. Using the model, we identify what factors the farmers’ market has to consider in determining the optimal quality threshold of admission, an issue that has not received any formal study. Those factors include the network effects between farmers and consumers, consumer preference over product quality and variety, and the quality spread among farmers. We also outline an empirical estimation strategy in order to make use of the model developed in this study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3360-3369 Issue: 23 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.711941 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.711941 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:23:p:3360-3369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Hatice Ozer Balli Author-X-Name-First: Hatice Ozer Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Title: On the empirics of risk-sharing across MENA countries Abstract: In this article, we compute the potential welfare gains and the realized gains from risk-sharing among Middle East and North African (MENA) countries, including the oil-rich Gulf region and the resource-scarce economies. We find that the overall potential welfare gains across MENA countries are positive for all countries under the assumption of full risk-sharing. The potential welfare gains among the six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries are positive even though the magnitudes are smaller compared to those of the rest of the MENA region. We also quantify the extent of risk-sharing for the MENA region and show that it is significant for the MENA region and its subgroups; however, we could not find any sign of inter-temporal smoothing across the same groups. Decomposing the aggregate output shocks shows that the extent of risk-sharing is significant when only positive output shocks exist across the resource-scarce MENA economies. However, we observe that GCC countries share output risks with each other even under negative output shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3370-3377 Issue: 23 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.687099 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.687099 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:23:p:3370-3377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Devadoss Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Devadoss Title: Ad valorem tariff and spatial equilibrium models Abstract: The objectives of this article are to illustrate theoretically and empirically how to incorporate an ad valorem tariff in spatial equilibrium models and show the equivalence of three approaches (primal, dual and MCP) of spatial equilibrium trade modelling. The article lays out in detail the theory, empirical applications and the results for all three approaches so that trade modellers can easily follow and apply them in their work. The primal approach is commonly used by spatial equilibrium modellers, though the dual approach corresponds to the textbook depiction of consumer surplus, producer surplus and gains from trade. The Mixed Complementarity Problem (MCP) is not commonly used by spatial equilibrium modellers, though it is relatively simpler if the modeller knows the equilibrium conditions. This article also presents advantages and disadvantages of each approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3378-3386 Issue: 23 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.711943 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.711943 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:23:p:3378-3386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Åsa Marie Hansson Author-X-Name-First: Åsa Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Hansson Author-Name: Karin Olofsdotter Author-X-Name-First: Karin Author-X-Name-Last: Olofsdotter Title: FDI, Taxes and Agglomeration Economies in the EU15 Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3387-3387 Issue: 23 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.707007 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.707007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:23:p:3387-3387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaap E. Wieringa Author-X-Name-First: Jaap E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wieringa Author-Name: Peter S. H. Leeflang Author-X-Name-First: Peter S. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Leeflang Title: Modelling the effects of promotion expenditures on sales of pharmaceuticals Abstract: The successful innovation of pharmaceuticals requires a substantial amount of marketing support, despite concerns about the effects of these marketing efforts. This study considers prior findings that indicate that higher marketing expenditures for a brand reduce its price elasticity of demand, which may lead to higher prices, in the context of the Dutch pharmaceutical market. The authors find that parameters are heterogeneous across brands, and that marketing effects differ across product life cycle stages. They propose a separate analysis of established and new brands. For established brands, marketing efforts neither have a positive effect on sales, nor do they affect the price elasticity. For new brands, several proposed models might capture their diffusion pattern; the diffusion-of-innovation models provide the best results. Marketing accelerates the rate of diffusion and leads to a higher baseline level of sales. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3389-3399 Issue: 24 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.711940 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.711940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:24:p:3389-3399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shelagh A. Heffernan Author-X-Name-First: Shelagh A. Author-X-Name-Last: Heffernan Author-Name: Xiaolan Fu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolan Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Xiaoqing (Maggie) Fu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoqing (Maggie) Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Title: Financial innovation in the UK Abstract: This study employs a national survey of over 1100 British financial firms to ascertain the determinants of financial innovation and their sales success using the logit and the generalized Tobit models. We find that the likelihood of financial innovation rises with the size of financial firms, employee education, greater expenditure on research and development, the availability of finance and the extent to which firms cooperate with each other. Perceptions of economic risk and innovation costs are also influential. R&D, cooperation and human capital are the main variables driving the success of financial innovation, measured by the percentage share of innovations sold. Firms in London/the south have a significantly greater tendency to innovate, though Scotland also does well. Stock broking, fund management and related activities are more innovative than firms in the financial intermediation and pension/insurance sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3400-3411 Issue: 24 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.711942 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.711942 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:24:p:3400-3411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. E. Arouri Author-X-Name-First: M. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Arouri Author-Name: H. Ben Ameur Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Ameur Author-Name: N. Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: F. Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: W. Louhichi Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Louhichi Title: Are Islamic finance innovations enough for investors to escape from a financial downturn? Further evidence from portfolio simulations Abstract: Does Islamic finance constitute a promising solution for the current global financial crisis and are Islamic financial innovations enough to reassure investors, stabilize financial systems and provide them with a means of escaping from financial downturns? This article addresses these questions while investigating the dynamics of Islamic and conventional stock prices over the last few years. In particular, we apply Multivariate Vector Autoregressive (VAR) tools to test the interaction between conventional and Islamic financial products, and implement the Granger causality test to specify the dependence orientation of feedback between Islamic and conventional stock prices. Our article differs from previous work on the topic in that it develops portfolio simulations to determine whether Islamic finance can supplant conventional finance by generating investment and diversification opportunities during periods of crisis. In addition, we develop optimal portfolio strategies and investment proportions for conventional and Islamic funds to ensure the best resource allocation. Our main findings are: (i) the impact of the current crisis on the Islamic finance industry is less marked than on conventional finance, (ii) investment in Islamic products generates high returns, (iii) portfolios that include Islamic products reduce systemic risk and generate significant diversification benefits, (iv) the US crisis has led to significant changes in resource allocation through changes in investment choices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3412-3420 Issue: 24 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.707776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.707776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:24:p:3412-3420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Houdou Basse Mama Author-X-Name-First: Houdou Author-X-Name-Last: Basse Mama Author-Name: Alexander Bassen Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Bassen Title: Contagion effects in the electric utility industry following the Fukushima nuclear accident Abstract: This article examines intra-industry information transfers in the European and Japanese electric industry in the wake of the Fukushima nuclear accident. For European conventional utilities, the downward price drift is relatively small and transient in nature. Yet, we find positive and lingering effects of the accident on the shares of alternative electric utilities. Japanese utilities were hit the hardest and the shock seems to be long-lasting. An interesting finding of this article is the abrupt increase (decrease) in the systematic risk of conventional (alternative) electric utilities following the event. In Europe, we could only document a decrease in the idiosyncratic risk of conventional utilities, pointing to enhanced return synchronicity in the conventional power industry. In turn, total risk seems to be stationary around the accident. In rebuttal, idiosyncratic and systematic risks (and consequently total risk) have substantially risen in Japan since the event. Finally, intercept values related to European utilities remained stable around the accident while Japanese utilities incurred a substantial decline in their daily average returns as captured by alpha shifts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3421-3430 Issue: 24 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.714072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.714072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:24:p:3421-3430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tae-Jeong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tae-Jeong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Geoffrey J. D. Hewings Author-X-Name-First: Geoffrey J. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Hewings Title: Inter-regional endogenous growth under the impacts of demographic changes Abstract: This article attempts to project the economic paths for the individual Midwest states (Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin, as well as the rest of the US) in the near future when the population ageing becomes more pronounced. To accomplish this task, a dynamic general equilibrium model is developed so that it could incorporate the inter-regional transactions and endogenous growth mechanisms within the framework of an Overlapping Generations (OLG) model. Key parameter values associated with the regional interconnections were assigned using a multi-regional Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) of the Midwest states. Two different steady-state results were presented with two different age-cohort population structures corresponding to year 2007 and 2030. These steady-state results imply that the rate of declining of per-capita output is projected to be heterogeneous across the regions due to different developments of age-cohort population structures and consequently different levels of endogenously determined educational investment of workers. Also, two steady-state simulation results revealed that the development of output price in a certain region reflects the dynamics of demographics of every region. Meanwhile, the dynamic simulation results reveal that the per-capita output of every region is projected to grow positively in the near future when the population ageing will be pronounced. However, the growth rate of the per-capita output is projected to be heterogeneous across the regions: the regions with high-skilled workers hold the potential threat that population ageing could give more negative impacts on the economy due to the relatively sluggish growth of human capital stock. Also, the dynamic simulation results show that certain regions in the Midwest will experience their terms of trade deterioration in the near future, implying that careful attention should be given to their future trade conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3431-3449 Issue: 24 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.709603 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.709603 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:24:p:3431-3449 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kui-Wai Li Author-X-Name-First: Kui-Wai Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The US monetary performance prior to the 2008 crisis Abstract: This article uses a Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) approach to study the different shocks to the monetary performance in the two decades of the US economy prior to the 2008 financial crisis. By using the Federal Fund Rate as a measure of change in the monetary policy, this study shows that interest rate expectation is informative about the future movement of Federal Fund Rate and the anticipated monetary policy should be one of the crucial reasons in causing monetary and financial deterioration in the US economy. This article discusses a possible conjecture of a low interest rate trap when a persistent and prolonged low interest rate regime led to financial instability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3450-3461 Issue: 24 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.714071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.714071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:24:p:3450-3461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Rati Ram Author-X-Name-First: Rati Author-X-Name-Last: Ram Title: Economic uncertainty and corruption: evidence from a large cross-country data set Abstract: A vast amount of research has considered numerous causes and correlates of corruption. Also, there have been many studies of the consequences of various forms of uncertainty. However, exploration of the nexus between economic uncertainty and corruption appears scarce. After providing an intuitive and heuristic linkage between general economic uncertainty and corruption, this article uses a large cross-country data set to augment a fairly standard model with simple proxies for uncertainty and to investigate how economic uncertainty might affect the prevalence of corruption. In addition, a quantile-regression framework is used to judge how the strength of various covariates may differ with the level of corruption. Seven main points emerge from the estimates. First, economic uncertainty is associated positively with corruption, and the relation seems to be robust across measures of uncertainty and corruption. Second, quantile-regression estimates indicate considerable parametric heterogeneity across the distribution of corruption. Third, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita has the expected corruption-mitigating role. Fourth, increased political rights and civil liberties also appear to lower corruption. Fifth, greater government consumption is associated with lower corruption. Sixth, while the hyperinflation dummy lacks significance in most OLS regressions, its significance varies across the distribution of corruption. Seventh, neither police force nor government subsidies shows significance, but transition economies have more corruption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3462-3468 Issue: 24 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.714073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.714073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:24:p:3462-3468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Author-Name: Heleen Mees Author-X-Name-First: Heleen Author-X-Name-Last: Mees Title: Approximating the DGP of China's quarterly GDP Abstract: We demonstrate that the Data Generating Process (DGP) of China's cumulated quarterly Gross Domestic Product (GDP, current prices), as it is reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBSC), can be (very closely) approximated by a simple rule. This rule says that the annual growth in any quarter is equal to the annual growth in its previous quarter plus an error term that is only nonzero in the first quarter of each year and with small variance. We show that this rule fits the data well for the period 1992Q1--2005Q4 for total GDP. It also gives accurate forecasts for 2006Q1--2009Q4. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3469-3472 Issue: 24 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.709604 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.709604 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:24:p:3469-3472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Cellini Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Cellini Author-Name: Tiziana Cuccia Author-X-Name-First: Tiziana Author-X-Name-Last: Cuccia Title: Museum and monument attendance and tourism flow: a time series analysis approach Abstract: This article takes a time-series analysis approach to evaluate the directions of causality between tourism flows, on the one side, and museum and monument attendance, on the other. We consider Italy as a case study, and analyse monthly data over the period January 1996 to December 2010. All the considered series are seasonally integrated, and co-integration links emerge. We focus on the error-correction mechanism among co-integrated time series to detect the directional link(s) of causality. Clear-cut results emerge: bi-directional causality exists in the long-run dynamics, but it is the long-run dynamics of visits to museums and monuments that mainly adjust to tourism variables (arrivals, overnights, average stays). In the short run, there are some causal effects going from the cultural sites’ attendance to tourism dynamics. The nonstationary nature of time series, their co-integration relationships and the direction of causal links suggest specific implications for tourism and cultural policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3473-3482 Issue: 24 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.716150 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.716150 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:24:p:3473-3482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antoine Bonleu Author-X-Name-First: Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Bonleu Author-Name: Gilbert Cette Author-X-Name-First: Gilbert Author-X-Name-Last: Cette Author-Name: Guillaume Horny Author-X-Name-First: Guillaume Author-X-Name-Last: Horny Title: Capital utilization and retirement Abstract: This empirical analysis assesses the determinants of firms’ capital retirement. Particular attention is paid to the impact of the business cycle and the capital usage intensity. Compared to previous studies, we directly control for the capital utilization and disentangle the short-run mechanisms from the long-run ones. The analysis is carried out with an original and large firm-level dataset. The main results of the analysis may be summarized as follows: (i) the retirement rate increases during slowdowns and decreases during booms. This corresponds to a countercyclical capital retirement; (ii) the capital retirement rate increases with the capital usage intensity in the long run. This corresponds to a wear and tear effect, which is small compared to the countercyclical one; (iii) the capital retirement rate increases with the average age of capital; (iv) the profit rate and the wage cost per capita do not have a significant impact on the retirement rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3483-3494 Issue: 24 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.720013 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.720013 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:24:p:3483-3494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pui Sun Tam Author-X-Name-First: Pui Sun Author-X-Name-Last: Tam Title: Finite-sample distribution of the augmented Dickey--Fuller test with lag optimization Abstract: This article presents a response surface analysis for the distribution of the augmented Dickey--Fuller (ADF) test with optimized lag order in the autoregression using frequently applied data-dependent methods. Simulation results demonstrate that finite-sample distribution of the test depends critically on the lag-order determination rule. The univariate test and its panel counterparts exhibit size distortion when the lag order in the autoregression is optimized but inappropriate distribution is employed in test implementation. Response surface coefficients reported for the finite-sample distribution of the test with lag optimization are therefore useful tools for practitioners in applied research. The simulation evidence and practical use of the response surface coefficients are substantiated with empirical illustrations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3495-3511 Issue: 24 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.724159 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.724159 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:24:p:3495-3511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sungju Chun Author-X-Name-First: Sungju Author-X-Name-Last: Chun Author-Name: Pierre Perron Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Perron Title: Comparisons of robust tests for shifts in trend with an application to trend deviations of real exchange rates in the long run Abstract: We study the finite sample properties of tests for structural changes in the trend function of a time series that do not require knowledge of the degree of persistence in the noise component. The tests of interest are the quasi-Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) procedure by Perron and Yabu (2009b) and the weighted average of the regression t-statistics by Harvey et al. (2009), both of which have the same limit distribution whether the noise component is stationary or has a unit-root. We analyse the finite sample size and power properties of these tests under a variety of Data-Generating Processes (DGPs). The results show that the Perron--Yabu test has greater power overall. With respect to the size, the Harvey--Leybourne--Taylor test exhibits larger size distortions unless a moving-average component is present. Using the Perron and Yabu procedure to test for structural changes in the trend function of long-run real exchange rates with respect to the US dollar indicates that for 17 out of 19 countries, the series have experienced a shift in trend since the late nineteenth century. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3512-3528 Issue: 24 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.724160 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.724160 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:24:p:3512-3528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno De Borger Author-X-Name-First: Bruno De Author-X-Name-Last: Borger Author-Name: Kristiaan Kerstens Author-X-Name-First: Kristiaan Author-X-Name-Last: Kerstens Author-Name: Diego Prior Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Prior Author-Name: Ignace Van de Woestyne Author-X-Name-First: Ignace Van de Author-X-Name-Last: Woestyne Title: Static efficiency decompositions and capacity utilization: integrating economic and technical capacity notions Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3529-3529 Issue: 24 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.712786 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.712786 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:24:p:3529-3529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Deininger Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Deininger Author-Name: Daniel Ayalew Ali Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Ayalew Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Author-Name: Tekie Alemu Author-X-Name-First: Tekie Author-X-Name-Last: Alemu Title: Productivity effects of land rental market operation in Ethiopia: evidence from a matched tenant--landlord sample Abstract: As countries increasingly strive to transform their economies from agriculture‐based into a diversified one, land rental will become of greater importance. It will thus be critical to complement research on the efficiency of specific land rental arrangements such as sharecropping with an inquiry into the broader productivity impacts of the land rental market. Plot‐level data for a matched landlord--tenant sample in an environment where sharecropping dominates allow us to explore both issues. We find that pure output sharing leads to significantly lower levels of efficiency that can be attenuated by monitoring while the inefficiency disappears if inputs are shared as well. Rentals transfer land to more productive producers but realization of this productivity advantage is prevented by the inefficiency of contractual arrangements, suggesting changes that would prompt adoption of different contractual arrangements could have significant benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3531-3551 Issue: 25 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.725933 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.725933 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:25:p:3531-3551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leonardo Becchetti Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Author-X-Name-Last: Becchetti Author-Name: Stefano Castriota Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Castriota Author-Name: Melania Michetti Author-X-Name-First: Melania Author-X-Name-Last: Michetti Title: The effect of fair trade affiliation on child schooling: evidence from a sample of Chilean honey producers Abstract: We evaluate the impact of Fair Trade (FT) affiliation on child schooling within a sample of Chilean honey producers with a retrospective panel data approach. From a theoretical point of view, we argue that FT should have a positive effect on child schooling since it generates a short-run pure income effect together with a medium-run productivity effect on both adult and child wages. On the other hand, because of the higher productivity generated by the medium-run effect, the opportunity cost of child education increases if they work with their parents. The direction of the impact of FT affiliation on child schooling is therefore uncertain and requires empirical testing. Our econometric findings document a positive and significant impact of affiliation years on child schooling after controlling for endogeneity and heterogeneity between the treatment and control sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3552-3563 Issue: 25 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.727980 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.727980 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:25:p:3552-3563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin R. Auer Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin R. Author-X-Name-Last: Auer Title: Can consumption-based asset pricing models using monetary conditioning variables explain the cross-section of German stock returns? Abstract: In this article, we analyse whether simple Consumption-based Capital Asset Pricing Models (CCAPMs) using monetary conditioning information (growth of the money aggregates M1, M2 and M3) can explain the cross-section of German size, book-to-market and industry portfolio returns. Our results show that models having stochastic discount factor parameters that vary with money aggregates can reduce the pricing errors of models with constant parameters. However, a large proportion of the cross-sectional variation remains unexplained. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3564-3573 Issue: 25 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.725935 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.725935 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:25:p:3564-3573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oludele Akinloye Akinboade Author-X-Name-First: Oludele Akinloye Author-X-Name-Last: Akinboade Author-Name: Emilie Chanceline Kinfack Author-X-Name-First: Emilie Chanceline Author-X-Name-Last: Kinfack Title: Interest rate reforms, financial deepening and economic growth in Cameroon: an empirical investigation Abstract: The impact of interest rate reforms on financial deepening and growth in Cameroon is examined. We employ five proxies of financial deepening against deposit rate, a proxy for interest rate reforms. The impact of interest rate reforms on financial deepening is sensitive to the proxy used for financial deepening. The impact is almost negative and significant for all the indicators, except for the ratio of broad money to Gross Domestic Product, where it is positive and significant in the first lag. This means that financial repression helps improve broad money and hinders the development of the other indicators of financial development in Cameroon. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3574-3586 Issue: 25 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566200 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:25:p:3574-3586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tidiane Kinda Author-X-Name-First: Tidiane Author-X-Name-Last: Kinda Title: Beyond natural resources: horizontal and vertical FDI diversification in Sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: This article uses firm-level data to analyse the drivers of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) to the manufacturing and services sectors of 30 Sub-Saharan African countries. It shows that improving the investment climate helps to attract aggregate FDI. By analysing disaggregate FDI data, the article establishes that there is considerable contrast in behaviour between vertical FDI (foreign firms producing for export) and horizontal FDI (foreign firms producing for local markets). In particular, the latter firms are attracted to areas with higher trade regulations, highlighting their interest in protected markets. Furthermore, horizontal FDI is more affected by financing and human capital constraints and less affected by infrastructure and institutional constraints than vertical FDI is. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3587-3598 Issue: 25 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.678982 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.678982 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:25:p:3587-3598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Sutton Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Sutton Title: On the determinants of UK unemployment and the Great Recession: analysing the gross flows data Abstract: This article provides a detailed analysis of the gross worker flows data in the United Kingdom between 1997 and 2010, with particular emphasis on the 2008/2009 recession and its aftermath. Utilizing flows data from the Labour Force Survey (LFS), the dominant macroeconomic factors driving unemployment in the United Kingdom before, during and after the recessionary period are identified. Amongst the salient findings of this article is a striking decline in job-to-job movements throughout and beyond the recent recession. This discovery adds a new dimension to the existing literature in this field. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3599-3616 Issue: 25 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.725934 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.725934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:25:p:3599-3616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. C. Huang Author-X-Name-First: H. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: P. S. Tung Author-X-Name-First: P. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Tung Title: Does option provide more informative content than stock after regulation fair disclosure? Abstract: This article examines the impact of Regulation Fair Disclosure (Reg FD), which intends to eliminate selective disclosure to only a few privileged interested parties, on the information embedded in the stock-and-option markets prior to tender offer announcements. In the pre-announcement period after Reg FD, the volume of public option information contains less information about subsequent stock price movements. Although the quantity of public information may be higher after Reg FD, the inferior quality of publicly available option information dominates the higher quantity. Thus, the predictive power of option information decreases. In the post-RFD pre-announcement period, the volume of public option information is more informative than the volume of stock private information. It indicates that although the quality of private stock information is superior to that of public option information, the much lower quantity of stock information results in a lower predictive power of private stock information than that of public option information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3617-3624 Issue: 25 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.725936 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.725936 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:25:p:3617-3624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keith A. Bender Author-X-Name-First: Keith A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bender Author-Name: Rebecca M. Neumann Author-X-Name-First: Rebecca M. Author-X-Name-Last: Neumann Author-Name: John Douglas Skåtun Author-X-Name-First: John Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Skåtun Title: Real and perceived losses from unemployment: a cross-country study Abstract: This article compares the Unemployment Rate (UR) as a measure of inefficiency with several other potential measures across 18 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. Results show that the UR is not a very good measure of relative inefficiency between countries, it overestimates the number of individuals who would get jobs if the market is clear, the Dead Weight Losses (DWLs) of UR are remarkably low even in high unemployment countries and the aggregate perceived monetary losses by the unemployed as a proportion of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) are also uniformly low, although inframarginal individuals in some countries may perceive their losses to be high. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3625-3636 Issue: 25 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.727977 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.727977 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:25:p:3625-3636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Lederman Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Lederman Author-Name: Taye Mengistae Author-X-Name-First: Taye Author-X-Name-Last: Mengistae Author-Name: Lixin Colin Xu Author-X-Name-First: Lixin Colin Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Microeconomic consequences and macroeconomic causes of foreign direct investment in southern African economies Abstract: The authors use a new data set on firms in 13 countries of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) and comparators from other regions to identify the benefits and determinants of FDI in this region. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has facilitated local development in the SADC. Foreign-owned firms perform better than domestic firms, are larger, and locate in richer and better-governed countries and in countries with more competitive financial intermediaries. They are also more likely to export than domestic firms and evidence suggests that they might have positive spillover effects on domestic firms. Based on a standard empirical model, the SADC is attracting the inward FDI per capita that the region's level of income would predict. But this means that there are less capital inflows per capita to the region than there are to wealthier parts of the developing world. Moreover, the SADC is attracting less FDI than comparators for reasons that are possibly more fundamental than current income, namely, countries’ past growth record, demographic structure and the quality of physical infrastructure. Interestingly, inward FDI is less sensitive to variation in income within the SADC than in other parts of the world, but is more responsive to changes in country's openness to trade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3637-3649 Issue: 25 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.727978 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.727978 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:25:p:3637-3649 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicole M. Aulerich Author-X-Name-First: Nicole M. Author-X-Name-Last: Aulerich Author-Name: Scott H. Irwin Author-X-Name-First: Scott H. Author-X-Name-Last: Irwin Author-Name: Philip Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Title: Returns to individual traders in agricultural futures markets: skill or luck? Abstract: Using individual trader data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's (CFTC) Large Trader Reporting System (LTRS) for the period January 2000 to September 2009, this article investigates whether noncommercial traders in the corn, live cattle and coffee futures markets persist in making profits. Two out-of-sample measures of skill -- a winner and a loser ranking test and a top and a bottom decile test -- are used to analyse the ability of traders to consistently perform well at monthly, quarterly and annual time horizons. The findings identify significant persistence in rankings -- traders in the top half of the profit distribution in a time period tend to stay in the top half in the next period. Differences in magnitude of profitability between the top and bottom deciles also provide support that persistent skill exists among the top 10% of traders. Detailed examination of annual rankings for those traders who were most continuously in the markets further reveals persistence in profits for a smaller subset of traders, as well as an indication of persistence in the face of losses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3650-3666 Issue: 25 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.727979 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.727979 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:25:p:3650-3666 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philipp B. Schuster Author-X-Name-First: Philipp B. Author-X-Name-Last: Schuster Title: One for all and all for one: privatization and Universal Service provision in the postal sector Abstract: Universal Service provision has a special role for the public utilities sector in many Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. These public utilities have largely been subject to privatization during the last 3 decades. Efficiency effects of privatization are widely documented while the impacts on the quality and accessibility of the Universal Service are not much examined. By using a unique dataset on privatization for 21 countries over the period 1980--2007 for the postal sector, we are able to show that privatization, in particular formal privatization, has led to a decrease in the quality of the Universal Service. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3667-3682 Issue: 26 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.727982 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.727982 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:26:p:3667-3682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David G. McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David G. Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: The relationship between temperature and CO2 emissions: evidence from a short and very long dataset Abstract: The debate regarding rising temperatures and CO2 emissions has attracted the attention of economists employing recent econometric techniques. This article extends the previous literature using a dataset that covers 800 000 years, as well as a shorter dataset, and examines the interaction between temperature and CO2 emissions. Unit root tests reveal a difference between the two datasets. For the long dataset, all tests support the view that both temperature and CO2 are stationary around a constant. For the short dataset, temperature exhibits trend-stationary behaviour, while CO2 contains a unit root. This result is robust to nonlinear trends or trend breaks. Modelling the long dataset reveals that while contemporaneous CO2 appears positive and significant in the temperature equation, including lags results in a joint effect that is near zero. This result is confirmed using a different lag structure and Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model. A Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach to account for endogeneity suggests an insignificant relationship. In sum, the key result from our analysis is that CO2 has, at best, a weak relationship with temperature, while there is no evidence of trending when using a sufficiently long dataset. Thus, as a secondary result we highlight the danger of using a small sample in this context. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3683-3690 Issue: 26 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.729955 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.729955 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:26:p:3683-3690 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Paradiso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Paradiso Author-Name: Saten Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Saten Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: A New Keynesian IS curve for Australia: is it forward looking or backward looking? Abstract: This article estimates the forward looking, backward looking and an extended version of the New Keynesian IS curve for Australia. The validity of these models is investigated by imposing the constraint on real rate of interest as well as when the constraint is relaxed. Two measures of output gap, namely GAP1 (constructed using the unobserved components approach) and GAP2 (constructed using a quadratic trend) are utilized. Our results suggest that the baseline backward looking and forward looking models are overwhelmingly rejected by the data. This evidence strongly supports the extended backward looking model (with GAP2) being relevant for monetary policy analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3691-3700 Issue: 26 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.718068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.718068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:26:p:3691-3700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. Bouvatier Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Bouvatier Author-Name: S. Rigot Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Rigot Title: Pension funds' allocations to hedge funds: an empirical analysis of US and Canadian defined benefit plans Abstract: This article investigates the characteristics of US and Canadian pension funds that allocate assets to hedge funds. The typical pension fund that invests in hedge funds is a large sophisticated pension fund that diversifies its portfolio across numerous classes of investments, private equity in particular, uses a core-satellite organization and has access to low delegation costs for alternative assets. Moreover, we find that pension funds investing in hedge funds significantly obtained higher global returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3701-3710 Issue: 26 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.725932 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.725932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:26:p:3701-3710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yves Croissant Author-X-Name-First: Yves Author-X-Name-Last: Croissant Author-Name: William Roy Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Roy Author-Name: Joan Canton Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Canton Title: Reducing urban public transport costs by tendering lots: a panel data estimation Abstract: Allotment is, for urban authorities, a governance strategy to reduce public transport costs. It consists of dividing a network into several lots, so as to multiply the number of calls for tender. On the one hand, gains should be obtained by increasing competition for the market and reducing the costs of obtaining accurate information. On the other hand, cutting a network into several parts is also expected to have negative consequences on production costs, in terms of lower returns to scale. Many industry stakeholders believe that the latter element more than compensates for the former. In this article, we estimate a translog cost function with a panel of 141 French urban public transport networks. Our main conclusion is that scale economies are exhausted for a production of about 3 million vehicle-kilometres per year. Therefore, as far as returns to scale are concerned, allotment would reduce the costs of public transport services for the main cities of our sample. A second dividend for allotment is then presented and implies that the assumed trade-off between returns to scale and increased competition is irrelevant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3711-3722 Issue: 26 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.730133 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.730133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:26:p:3711-3722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Rosa Borges Author-X-Name-First: Maria Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Borges Author-Name: Ricardo Gairifo Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Gairifo Title: Abnormal returns before acquisition announcements: evidence from Europe Abstract: Acquisition announcements influence the stock price of target firms, providing an opportunity for insiders to obtain significant abnormal returns. We study the presence of positive abnormal returns before the announcement date, in target firms, quoted in Euronext markets (Belgium, France, The Netherlands and Portugal) from 2001 to 2007. We investigate whether the pre-announcement run-up of prices can be explained by rumours in the media and the percentage of capital previously owned by the bidding firm, among other factors. We examine cumulative abnormal returns in an event window of 60 days prior the acquisition announcement, with the event date adjusted for the previous disclosure of news about the acquisition, in the media. We compute a run-up index, and find that there are abnormal positive returns before the announcement date, confirming previous studies. We find that a significant part of the run-up is explained by: (i) market anticipation triggered by legitimate sources of information, namely, rumours in the media about the possibility of an acquisition bid and (ii) the percentage of capital previously owned in the target firm, by the bidding firm. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3723-3732 Issue: 26 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.730134 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.730134 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:26:p:3723-3732 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. V. Vieira Author-X-Name-First: F. V. Author-X-Name-Last: Vieira Author-Name: M. Holland Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Holland Author-Name: C. Gomes da Silva Author-X-Name-First: C. Gomes Author-X-Name-Last: da Silva Author-Name: L. C. Bottecchia Author-X-Name-First: L. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Bottecchia Title: Growth and exchange rate volatility: a panel data analysis Abstract: The aim of this article is to assess the role of Real Exchange Rate (RER) volatility on long-run economic growth for a set of 82 advanced and emerging economies, using a panel data set ranging from 1970 to 2009. With an accurate measure for exchange rate volatility, the results for the two-step system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) panel growth models show that a more (less) volatile RER has a significant negative (positive) impact on economic growth. The results are also robust for different model specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3733-3741 Issue: 26 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.730135 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.730135 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:26:p:3733-3741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toshio Utsunomiya Author-X-Name-First: Toshio Author-X-Name-Last: Utsunomiya Title: A new approach to the effect of intervention frequency on the foreign exchange market: evidence from Japan Abstract: This article estimates and analyses the effect of intervention frequency on the yen/dollar market, using daily intervention data. We examine using a nonlinear methodology, with the frequency of intervention from April 1991 to December 2005 as a focal explanatory variable. In this article, we also introduce a flexible target zone model that is capable of characterizing the dynamic behaviour of an exchange rate implied by the original target zone model of Krugman and its modifications. The empirical results show the importance of considering the threshold effect when analysing the effect of intervention due to the presence of asymmetry in the foreign exchange market. Moreover, we show that a high frequency intervention stabilizes the exchange rate by reducing exchange rate volatility, especially when the yen appreciates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3742-3759 Issue: 26 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.730136 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.730136 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:26:p:3742-3759 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maty Konte Author-X-Name-First: Maty Author-X-Name-Last: Konte Title: A curse or a blessing? Natural resources in a multiple growth regimes analysis Abstract: The literature on the impact of an abundance of natural resources on economic performance remains inconclusive. In this article we consider the possibility that countries may follow different growth regimes, and test the hypothesis that whether natural resources are a curse or a blessing depends on the growth regime to which an economy belongs. We follow recent work that has used a mixture-of-regressions method to identify different growth regimes, and find two regimes such that in one regime resources have a positive impact on growth, while in the other they have a negative impact or at best have no impact on growth. Our analysis of the determinants of whether a country belongs or not to the blessed resources regime indicates that the level of democracy plays an important role while education and economic institutions have no effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3760-3769 Issue: 26 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.730137 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.730137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:26:p:3760-3769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmad Ismail Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Author-X-Name-Last: Ismail Author-Name: Abed A. Abdallah Author-X-Name-First: Abed A. Author-X-Name-Last: Abdallah Title: Acquirer's return and the choice of acquisition targets: does acquisition experience matter? Abstract: We study a sample of 6503 UK acquisitions completed between 1985 and 2004 and control for previous deals similarities. Returns for frequent acquirers decrease constantly but they remain positive through high-order deals. We do not detect an improving pattern of returns but, at best, a stable one when the deal is settled for cash. Using ‘characteristics-based’ experience variables, our multivariate analysis shows that the acquirers’ returns are unaffected by prior acquisition experience. However, we find solid evidence for acquirers drawing inferences from prior experience in designing the method of payment, selecting the organizational form of the target firm and engaging in focused acquisitions, which is consistent with learning through acquisitions. The results are robust to various consistency checks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3770-3777 Issue: 26 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.732688 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.732688 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:26:p:3770-3777 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodolfo G. Campos Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo G. Author-X-Name-Last: Campos Author-Name: Iliana Reggio Author-X-Name-First: Iliana Author-X-Name-Last: Reggio Author-Name: Dionisio Garc𫑐𺑺 Author-X-Name-First: Dionisio Author-X-Name-Last: Garc𫑐𺑺 Title: Micro versus macro consumption data: the cyclical properties of the consumer expenditure survey Abstract: The Consumer Expenditure Survey (CEX) offers the most comprehensive consumption data at the consumer level for the United States. Several previous studies have shown a large gap between per-capita consumption from the CEX and the aggregate Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) series. While previous research has focused on consumption levels, we focus on the cyclical properties of consumption. We find that the cyclical properties of consumption expenditure data from the two sources are quantitatively very different. This result calls for caution when using CEX data for business cycle research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3778-3785 Issue: 26 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.732689 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.732689 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:26:p:3778-3785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bente Halvorsen Author-X-Name-First: Bente Author-X-Name-Last: Halvorsen Author-Name: Bodil M. Larsen Author-X-Name-First: Bodil M. Author-X-Name-Last: Larsen Title: How serious is the aggregation problem? An empirical illustration Abstract: Heterogeneity in consumer behaviour may create problems with aggregation across consumers. If so, we may not be able to make correct inferences about behaviour based on aggregated data. However, using micro estimates to predict aggregate demand responses to policy changes may also create a bias if not aggregated properly. This may sound like a Catch 22 situation, but it is not, as it is possible to calculate both micro and aggregate demand responses based on microdata. The size of the aggregation bias is an empirical question. In this article, we show how to calculate theoretically consistent aggregate demand responses. We use both micro and macro data for Norwegian household electricity consumption to illustrate the magnitude and direction of different aggregation biases. We find considerable aggregation biases, in particular, when estimating with macro data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3786-3794 Issue: 26 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.732690 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.732690 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:26:p:3786-3794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Christopher M. Duquette Author-X-Name-First: Christopher M. Author-X-Name-Last: Duquette Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Battleground states and voter participation in US presidential elections: an empirical test Abstract: The winner-take-all method of allocating Electoral College votes (in 48 of the 50 states) in US presidential elections has promoted interesting behaviours by politicians and states that are evident throughout US (economic) history. This analysis explores the impact that being a ‘battleground state’ in presidential elections has on future voter participation rates. After quantifying the degree to which each state is a battleground state, the empirical analysis proffers what it refers to as the ‘battleground voting hypothesis’, which argues that the greater the degree to which a given state is a battleground state, the greater the expected benefits from voting in that state and hence the greater the voter turnout in that state. The empirical results suggest that the top-to-bottom ‘battleground state effect’ generated an average of 7.8 additional percentage points in voter participation in presidential elections over the period 1964--2008 for those states at the top of the scale. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3795-3799 Issue: 26 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.727981 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.727981 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:26:p:3795-3799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariano Kulish Author-X-Name-First: Mariano Author-X-Name-Last: Kulish Author-Name: Stephen Elias Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Elias Title: Direct effects of money on aggregate demand: another look at the evidence Abstract: Now that a number of central banks are faced with short-term nominal interest rates close to or at the zero lower bound, there is a renewed interest in the long-running debate about whether or not changes in the stock of money have direct effects. In particular, do changes in money have additional effects on aggregate demand outside of those induced by changes in short-term nominal interest rates? This article revisits and reinterprets the empirical evidence based on single equation regressions which is quite mixed, with some results supporting and other results denying the existence of direct effects. We use a structural model with no direct effects of money to show that the finding of positive and statistically significant coefficients on real money growth can be misleading. The model generates data that, when used to estimate analogues of the empirical regressions, produce positive and statistically significant coefficients on real money growth, similar to those often found when using actual data. The problem is that single equation regressions leave out a set of variables, which in turn, give rise to an omitted variables bias in the estimated coefficients on real money growth. Hence, they are an unreliable guide to calibrate monetary policies, in general, including at the zero lower bound. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3801-3809 Issue: 27 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.718067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.718067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:27:p:3801-3809 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Huawei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Huawei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: David J. Leatham Author-X-Name-First: David J. Author-X-Name-Last: Leatham Title: The multi-market analysis of a housing price transmission model Abstract: In this article, we examine dynamic relationships among housing prices from four first-tier cities in China from December 2000 to May 2010 and present an equilibrium model of housing price in multi-markets. By explicitly incorporating and modelling endogenous price series in competing housing markets, our empirical model is able to capture the existence of long-run equilibrium relationships and important short-run dynamics and price structures such as price leadership, price transmission lag and asymmetric price responses. Such multi-market analysis has generalized implications and can easily be applied to analyse the pricing dynamics among other real estate markets in the world. Our major contribution lies in two aspects. First, we employ an Error-Correction Model (ECM) with Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAG) to study the price dynamics in the four largest and key housing markets in China. Second, we uncover a price transmission among these housing markets in China and provide an insightful understanding of price adjustment across markets. The revealed effective price transmission and high correlation among these different markets actually is not a good thing for a stable financial system and for the defence against price bubbles in the housing market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3810-3819 Issue: 27 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.734595 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.734595 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:27:p:3810-3819 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Hsin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Hsin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Zixiong Xie Author-X-Name-First: Zixiong Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Title: Population and economic growth: a simultaneous equation perspective Abstract: This article examines the relationship between Population Growth (PG) and Economic Growth (EG) in the framework of simultaneous structural equation models. Based on Lewbel (2012), the structural parameters can be estimated using the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). Identification requires a heteroscedastic covariance restriction that appears in some models of endogeneity, measurement errors and panel data. This study obtains several findings. First, the current and lagged variables of PG negatively and positively affect EG in the short run. Second, PG does not significantly influence EG in the long run. Third, the reverse relations running from EG to PG are weak in both the short and long run, regardless of economic development conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3820-3826 Issue: 27 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.734596 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.734596 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:27:p:3820-3826 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Mazzanti Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzanti Author-Name: Antonio Musolesi Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Musolesi Title: The heterogeneity of carbon Kuznets curves for advanced countries: comparing homogeneous, heterogeneous and shrinkage/Bayesian estimators Abstract: We investigate Carbon Kuznets Curves (CKC) relationships for advanced countries grouped in policy relevant groups -- North America and Oceania, South Europe, North Europe -- by means of various homogeneous, heterogeneous and shrinkage/Bayesian panel estimators. We try to provide an answer to the question ‘how sensitive are the CKC estimates to changes in the level of parameters' heterogeneity?’. We do find that in coherence with their ‘policy and economic’ commitment to carbon reductions and environmental market-based instruments implementation, bell shapes are present only for northern EU, which leads the group of advanced countries. The other two lag behind. We show for the first time that CKC shapes are present if we net out Europe of the southern and less developed countries. This is coherent with the Kuznets paradigm. The negative side of the tale is that they characterize a bunch of few countries. Other advanced countries lag behind and are far from reaching a CKC dynamics. Heterogeneous and Bayesian estimators clearly show this, with the EU presenting turning points closely around $13 000 per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Heterogeneous panel estimates also show that for lagging countries presumed bell shapes turn into linear relationships. The stability of outcomes across models is stronger when we compare heterogeneous rather than homogeneous models. If it is compared with other studies, our analysis highlights a relative lower variability across specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3827-3842 Issue: 27 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.734597 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.734597 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:27:p:3827-3842 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Paradiso Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Paradiso Author-Name: Saten Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Saten Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: B. Bhaskara Rao Author-X-Name-First: B. Bhaskara Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Title: The growth effects of education in Australia Abstract: In this article, we estimate the growth effect of human capital with country-specific time series data for Australia. In doing so, we extended the Solow (1956) growth model by using educational attainment as a measure of human capital developed by Barro and Lee (2010). The extended Solow (1956) model performs well after allowing for the presence of structural changes. Our results, based on alternative time series methods, show that educational attainment has a small and significant permanent effect on the growth rate of per worker output in Australia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3843-3852 Issue: 27 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.724161 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.724161 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:27:p:3843-3852 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitra Dimitropoulou Author-X-Name-First: Dimitra Author-X-Name-Last: Dimitropoulou Author-Name: Philip McCann Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: McCann Author-Name: Simon P. Burke Author-X-Name-First: Simon P. Author-X-Name-Last: Burke Title: The determinants of the location of foreign direct investment in UK regions† Abstract: This article employs a database of over 2000 observations of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) projects in UK regions. We analyse this data by means of various multinomial and conditional logit models in order to identify the major determinants of the location choices of these inward investments. Having controlled for the various characteristics of inward investing firms, the projects and the regions, our results suggest that existing regional specialization is the single most important determining feature of where inward FDI locates. In addition, London is seen to benefit primarily by the immigration of new investments, the majority of which are related to service sector activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3853-3862 Issue: 27 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.558482 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.558482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:27:p:3853-3862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmelo J. León Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo J. Author-X-Name-Last: León Author-Name: Jorge E. Araña Author-X-Name-First: Jorge E. Author-X-Name-Last: Araña Author-Name: Javier de León Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: de León Title: Valuing the social cost of corruption using subjective well being data and the technique of vignettes Abstract: Corruption can have an effect on people's happiness and satisfaction, and therefore, can generate a social cost. However, the perceptions of corruption and satisfaction can also vary across subjects, due to socioeconomic and cultural characteristics. This article studies the differences in the perceptions of corruption and satisfaction across subjects, utilizing the technique of vignettes for the correction of the bias that follows from the differences in the response scale across individuals. The evidence comes from a sample of citizens in Spain, who are asked about their perceptions of corruption and personal satisfaction. The results show that there exists a response scale bias, both for corruption and satisfaction. These results are utilized to approximate the social cost of corruption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3863-3870 Issue: 27 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.741678 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.741678 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:27:p:3863-3870 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emilios Galariotis Author-X-Name-First: Emilios Author-X-Name-Last: Galariotis Title: Mesdames et Messieurs, momentum performance is not so abnormal after all! Abstract: This article provides evidence regarding the performance of momentum investment strategies that is consistent with the Neoclassical Theory. More specifically, while momentum investment returns appear orthogonal to systematic risk in the extant literature, this article illustrates that they are due to correlated changes of hedge portfolio systematic risk exposures with market conditions. Momentum portfolios are excellent market timers in both expanding and contracting markets. Their returns however are generally not abnormal when timing is considered in an augmented unconditional Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), while the standard version erroneously considers them to be so, possibly explaining why momentum studies have so far rejected the Neoclassical Theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3871-3879 Issue: 27 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.730138 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.730138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:27:p:3871-3879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sean Pascoe Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Pascoe Author-Name: James Innes Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Innes Author-Name: Ana Norman-López Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Norman-López Author-Name: Chris Wilcox Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Wilcox Author-Name: Natalie Dowling Author-X-Name-First: Natalie Author-X-Name-Last: Dowling Title: Economic and conservation implications of a variable effort penalty system in effort-controlled fisheries Abstract: Bycatch of threatened, endangered or protected species by commercial fishers is a universal problem. Technical solutions are often applied that may impose inefficiencies across the fleet, even in periods or areas when the risk of bycatch is low. These may include gear specifically designed to avoid the bycatch which may also reduce the targeted catch, or designation of marine protected areas that exclude fishing from whole areas. In this article, we examine the effectiveness of a variable penalty system that can provide incentives for fishers to redirect their effort away from problem areas. The system is examined using a case study of fishery, which is currently subjected to gear and closure controls to limit bycatch of turtles and seabirds. An alternative incentive-based management policy using a series of differential hook penalties has been proposed as a flexible tool to discourage vessels operating in certain areas. The effects of various hook penalties and closures in key areas on fishing effort in those areas and elsewhere as well as vessel economic performance are assessed using a location choice model. The results suggest that incentive-based approaches may result in lower costs to industry than closures provided some level of residual bycatch is acceptable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3880-3890 Issue: 27 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.736941 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.736941 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:27:p:3880-3890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel J. Power Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel J. Author-X-Name-Last: Power Author-Name: Dmitry V. Vedenov Author-X-Name-First: Dmitry V. Author-X-Name-Last: Vedenov Author-Name: David P. Anderson Author-X-Name-First: David P. Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Author-Name: Steven Klose Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Klose Title: Market volatility and the dynamic hedging of multi-commodity price risk Abstract: Commodity cash and futures prices experienced a severe boom-and-bust cycle between 2006 and 2009. Increases in commodity price volatility have raised concerns about the usefulness of commodity futures and options as risk management tools. Dynamic hedging strategies have the potential to improve risk management when conditional (co)variances depart significantly from their unconditional, long-run counterparts and may be useful to decision-makers despite their greater complexity and higher transaction costs. We propose a Nonparametric Copula-based Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (NPC-GARCH) approach to estimate time-varying hedge ratios, and evaluate the benefits of dynamic hedging during four sub-periods between 2000 and 2011 using a stylized Texas cattle feedlot management problem. The NPC-GARCH approach allows for a flexible, nonlinear and asymmetric dependence structure between cash and futures prices for different commodities. We find that NPC-GARCH dynamic hedging performs better than either static, GARCH-Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) or GARCH-Baba, Engle, Kraft and Kroner (BEKK) hedging in terms of lower tail risk (expected shortfall), but that there is no significant difference between hedging approaches in terms of portfolio variance reduction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3891-3903 Issue: 27 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.736942 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.736942 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:27:p:3891-3903 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jie Li Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy responses to twin crises Abstract: We study how effective fiscal and monetary policy responses are during a twin crisis. Using the dataset provided by Laeven and Valencia (2008), we identify 57 episodes of twin crises. Following the methods proposed in Baldacci et al. (2009) and Hutchison et al. (2010), we construct the variables measuring the duration and output cost of a twin crisis. We find that fiscal policy does not seem to be associated with the shortening of a twin crisis. Regarding monetary policy, we find that monetary tightening is associated with the lengthening of a twin crisis duration, consistent with the result in Hutchison et al. (2010) dealing with a sudden stop crisis. In addition, our results show that while a mild monetary expansion is effective in reducing a twin crisis duration, over-expansionary monetary policy loses its effectiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3904-3913 Issue: 27 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.736943 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.736943 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:27:p:3904-3913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alpaslan Akay Author-X-Name-First: Alpaslan Author-X-Name-Last: Akay Author-Name: Gökhan Karabulut Author-X-Name-First: Gökhan Author-X-Name-Last: Karabulut Author-Name: Peter Martinsson Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Martinsson Title: The effect of religiosity and religious festivals on positional concerns -- an experimental investigation of Ramadan Abstract: This article examines the effect of religion on positional concerns using survey experiments. We focus on two of the dimensions of religion -- degree of religiosity and religious festivals. By conducting the experiments during both the most important day of Ramadan (the Night of Power) and a day outside Ramadan, we find that Ramadan overall has a small and negative impact on positional concerns. Detailed analyses based on the sorting of individuals’ degree of religiosity reveal that the decrease in the degree of positional concerns during Ramadan is mainly explained by a decrease in positionality among individuals with a low degree of religiosity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3914-3921 Issue: 27 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.736944 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.736944 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:27:p:3914-3921 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. M. Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: T. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Author-Name: A. G. Walke Author-X-Name-First: A. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Walke Title: Public transportation demand in a border metropolitan economy Abstract: Empirical research for public transport demand has uncovered numerous interesting commonalities across metropolitan economies. This study examines the demand for municipal bus services over time in El Paso, Texas, USA. El Paso is one of the largest metropolitan economies in the USA located directly adjacent to an international boundary with another country. This study not only models the demand for municipal bus services as a function of traditional variables such as price, income and weather, but also includes regressors designed to measure the potential impacts of cross-border economic conditions on El Paso ridership. Results from a Linear Transfer Function (LTF) modelling approach indicate that rider volumes are affected by domestic as well as international economic conditions in this border metropolitan area. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3922-3931 Issue: 27 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.736945 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.736945 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:27:p:3922-3931 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Obeng Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Obeng Title: Bus transit technical efficiency using latent class stochastic indirect production frontier Abstract: Using an Indirect Production Frontier (IPF), this article examines technical inefficiency within a latent class framework while simultaneously accounting for allocative distortions from operating and capital subsidies. It identifies two latent classes of US public transit systems, one characterized by economies of scale with 16.61% technical inefficiency and the other by diseconomies of scale with 14.16% technical inefficiency. It decomposes technical inefficiency among some of its sources and finds that the incentive tier of federal operating subsidies, regulations regarding years of vehicle use, subsidy-induced allocative distortion from labour overuse relative to capital negatively influence technical inefficiency in all transit systems. For the Latent Class 1 transit systems, the sources of lower technical inefficiency are operating speed, purchased transportation and years-of-vehicle-use regulation. For the Latent Class 2 transit systems, these sources are subsidy-induced capital-labour allocative distortion and the incentive tier component of the federal formula grant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3933-3942 Issue: 28 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.736946 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.736946 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:28:p:3933-3942 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deliana Kostova Author-X-Name-First: Deliana Author-X-Name-Last: Kostova Title: A (nearly) global look at the dynamics of youth smoking initiation and cessation: the role of cigarette prices Abstract: This study investigates the role of cigarette prices on smoking initiation and cessation among youth in a sample of eight primarily non-Western low, middle, and high income countries, with a particular focus on a subsample of 40 low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Using split-population duration models on longitudinally-transformed individual data from the Global Youth Tobacco Survey (GYTS), the average impact of cigarette prices in the presence of unobserved country heterogeneity and shifting cultural norms within countries is identified by the variation of cigarette prices within countries over time. Price increases are found to effectively reduce initiation in early youth, and girls are considerably more responsive than boys. The price elasticity of initiation in LMICs is −0.82 for the combined gender analysis, −0.46 for boys only and −1.5 for girls only. There is some indication that youths in developing countries may be slightly less responsive to price changes than in high-income countries. No evidence is found that cigarette prices increase quitting rates in youth, which may be due to the difficulty of defining true quitting among smokers in early life. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3943-3951 Issue: 28 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.736947 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.736947 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:28:p:3943-3951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aleksandar Kešeljević Author-X-Name-First: Aleksandar Author-X-Name-Last: Kešeljević Author-Name: Rok Spruk Author-X-Name-First: Rok Author-X-Name-Last: Spruk Title: Endogenous economic freedom and the wealth of nations: evidence from a panel of countries, 1996--2011 Abstract: Indexes of economic freedom measure the degree to which the policies and institutions of countries are supportive of economic freedom. The authors find a considerable scope for improvement in Index of Economic Freedom, created by Heritage Foundation, since not all components of index have equal effect on economic well-being. Contrary to Heritage methodology the authors tackle the aggregation bias and highlight that each index component contributes differently to the level of economic freedom and subsequently to the level of income per capita. The level of fiscal freedom and monetary freedom exert the strongest influence on the overall index of economic freedom. Authors present the new endogenous cross-country ranking of 135 countries from Instrumental Variable-Two Stage Least Squares (IV-2SLS) empirical specification which removes the inconsistencies arising from the arbitrary assumption of the equivalent effect of each component on the overall index and, hence, the level of real income per capita. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3952-3962 Issue: 28 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.736948 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.736948 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:28:p:3952-3962 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dakshina G. De Silva Author-X-Name-First: Dakshina G. Author-X-Name-Last: De Silva Author-Name: Robert P. McComb Author-X-Name-First: Robert P. Author-X-Name-Last: McComb Author-Name: Anita R. Schiller Author-X-Name-First: Anita R. Author-X-Name-Last: Schiller Title: Do production subsidies have a wage incidence in wind power? Abstract: Employment in electricity generation from renewable resources has expanded rapidly in the US and in Texas during the last decade. Availability of the Production Tax Credit (PTC) has been an important driver of this growth. Using establishment-level employment and payroll data for Texas at the North American Industrial Classification System (NAICS)-6 level, we analyse the differences in average wages between firms generating electricity from fossil fuels and those generating electricity from wind power. We compare relative average wages before and after the rapid expansion of wind power development that followed the ex ante renewal of the PTC in 2006. Our main finding using both the parametric and nonparametric estimation techniques proposed by Racine and Li (2004), is that average payrolls for wind power generators increased relative to fossil fuel-based electricity generators after 2006. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3963-3972 Issue: 28 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.741679 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.741679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:28:p:3963-3972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Greasley Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Greasley Author-Name: Jakob B. Madsen Author-X-Name-First: Jakob B. Author-X-Name-Last: Madsen Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: Long-run growth empirics and new challenges for unified theory Abstract: Annual estimates of productivity are reported for periods over 500 years for eight countries and for five other countries over shorter periods. One- and two-break time series models are used to investigate discontinuities in productivity growth. The results support two-break models of long-run productivity and they favour approaches to unified growth modelling with three epochs. However, the lessening of productivity gaps and the decisive shifts to higher productivity occurred in the twentieth century, chiefly in the years around the World War II. The timing of the breaks and the complexity of the historical record highlights a need for unified models to connect more closely with economic history. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3973-3987 Issue: 28 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.741780 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.741780 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:28:p:3973-3987 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Becker Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Becker Author-Name: Y. Wang Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Measuring the Chinese business cycle Abstract: This article documents the business cycle characteristics of the Chinese economy by adopting both nonparametric and parametric methodologies. The two approaches are applied to relevant macroeconomics indicators -- Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Industrial Production (IP) indices -- aiming to investigate the growth cycle (deviation cycle). We provide a clear chronology of the Chinese growth cycle. One significant characteristic of the Chinese growth cycle is the relatively direct influence of government policies. However, recently these policy effects have become less significant when compared to global economic influences. Our study provides an enhanced understanding of the properties of business cycle dating algorithms and as such contributes to future Chinese business cycle research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3988-4003 Issue: 28 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.744135 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.744135 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:28:p:3988-4003 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luigi Giamboni Author-X-Name-First: Luigi Author-X-Name-Last: Giamboni Author-Name: Emanuele Millemaci Author-X-Name-First: Emanuele Author-X-Name-Last: Millemaci Author-Name: Robert J. Waldmann Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Waldmann Title: Evaluating how predictable errors in expected income affect consumption Abstract: This article studies whether anomalies in consumption can be explained by a behavioural model in which agents make predictable errors in forecasting income. We use a micro-data set containing subjective expectations about future income. This article shows that the null hypothesis of rational expectations is rejected in favour of the behavioural model, since consumption responds to predictable forecast errors. On average, agents who we predict are too pessimistic increase consumption after the predictable positive income shock. On average, agents who are too optimistic reduce the consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4004-4021 Issue: 28 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.745987 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.745987 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:28:p:4004-4021 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benedict Clements Author-X-Name-First: Benedict Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: Sanjeev Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Sanjeev Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Masahiro Nozaki Author-X-Name-First: Masahiro Author-X-Name-Last: Nozaki Title: What happens to social spending in IMF-supported programmes? Abstract: This article finds that education and health spending has risen during International Monetary Fund (IMF)-supported programmes at a faster pace than in developing countries as a whole. The analysis is based on the most comprehensive dataset assembled thus far for this purpose, with data covering 1985 to 2009 for 140 countries. Controlling for other determinants of education and health spending, including macroeconomic conditions, the results confirm that IMF-supported programmes have a positive and significant effect on social spending in low-income countries. Over a 5-year period with IMF-supported programmes, spending for education increases by about ¾ percentage point of Gross Domestic Product (GDP); and for health, by about 1 percentage point of GDP. IMF-supported programmes are also associated with increases in the share of government spending allocated to education and health. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4022-4033 Issue: 28 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.744136 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.744136 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:28:p:4022-4033 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Hayo Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Hayo Author-Name: Matthias Neuenkirch Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Neuenkirch Title: Does the currency board matter? US news and Argentine financial market reaction Abstract: Using a Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model, we study the effects of the US monetary policy and macroeconomic announcements on Argentine money, stock and foreign exchange markets over the period January 1998 to July 2007. We show, first, that both types of news have a significant impact on all markets. Second, there are noticeable differences in reaction for different subsamples: Argentine money markets were more dependent on US news under the currency board than after it was abandoned as the floating exchange rate partly absorbs spillover effects from the US. Finally, we find that the US-dollar-denominated assets react less to US news than peso-denominated assets, which suggests that the currency board was not completely credible during its final years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4034-4040 Issue: 28 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.748177 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.748177 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:28:p:4034-4040 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jui-Cheng Hung Author-X-Name-First: Jui-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Tien-Wei Lou Author-X-Name-First: Tien-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Lou Author-Name: Yi-Hsien Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jun-De Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jun-De Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Evaluating and improving GARCH-based volatility forecasts with range-based estimators Abstract: This article investigates the feasibility of using range-based estimators to evaluate and improve Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH)-based volatility forecasts due to their computational simplicity and readily availability. The empirical results show that daily range-based estimators are sound alternatives for true volatility proxies when using Superior Predictive Ability (SPA) test of Hansen (2005) to assess GARCH-based volatility forecasts. In addition, the inclusion of the range-based estimator of Garman and Klass (1980) can significantly improve the forecasting performance of GARCH-t model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4041-4049 Issue: 28 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.748179 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.748179 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:28:p:4041-4049 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Muysken Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Muysken Author-Name: T. H. W. Ziesemer Author-X-Name-First: T. H. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Ziesemer Title: A permanent effect of temporary immigration on economic growth Abstract: Immigration can help to lessen the burden of ageing for the welfare states of most Western economies. To show this, we develop a decomposition framework for Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita which deals with the impact of both ageing and immigration on economic growth. Using a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) for the Netherlands during 1973 to 2009, we demonstrate the empirical relevance of some crucial interactions between elements of that decomposition. The conclusion is that even temporary immigration may help to alleviate the ageing problem through a positive long-term contribution to employment, wages and GDP per capita, as long as the immigrants are able to participate in the labour force in tandem with the native population. Unfavourable short-term effects should be avoided through a gradual phasing in of immigration policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4050-4059 Issue: 28 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.748178 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.748178 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:28:p:4050-4059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Serrano-Cinca Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Serrano-Cinca Author-Name: Begoña Guti鲲ez-Nieto Author-X-Name-First: Begoña Author-X-Name-Last: Guti鲲ez-Nieto Title: A decision support system for financial and social investment Abstract: This article proposes a decision-making model that assesses the different aspects associated to Social Venture Capital (SVC) investment decisions. SVC companies buy shares of investee companies, valued according to financial and social aspects. The proposed model includes three main factors: the previous experience with the company (the past); its financial information and intangible assets (the present); and the proposed project, considering financial and social criteria (the future). The model has 26 criteria and 160 indicators, prioritized by means of Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). AHP simplifies a complex problem using a hierarchical analysis methodology, which enables subjective judgements among different criteria. The model has been tested in a given SVC company. Its development is explained in this article. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4060-4070 Issue: 28 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.748180 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.748180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:28:p:4060-4070 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Alan Bowman Author-X-Name-First: R. Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Bowman Author-Name: Thomas Ashman Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Ashman Author-Name: James Lambrinos Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Lambrinos Title: Prospective measures of competitive balance: application to money lines in major league baseball Abstract: This study examines competitive balance in Major League Baseball (MLB) by looking at the money lines for the games during the regular season. The assertion is that the closer the money lines are to indicating that each team has an equal chance of winning each game, the more competitive balance there is in the league. This study extends the model developed by Bowman et al. (2012), which used point spreads to assess competitive balance in the National Football League (NFL) and the National Basketball Association (NBA). In this study, money lines for the 1999--2011 seasons were used to develop several measures of competitive balance. The results indicate that competitive balance increased rather substantially during this period. A by-product of this research is to identify the most highly rated team and pitcher. In 2002, New York Yankees were the highest rated team and from the year 2000 Pedro Martinez was the highest rated pitcher. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4071-4081 Issue: 29 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.750421 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.750421 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:29:p:4071-4081 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melanie Cozad Author-X-Name-First: Melanie Author-X-Name-Last: Cozad Author-Name: Bruno Wichmann Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Wichmann Title: Efficiency of health care delivery systems: effects of health insurance coverage Abstract: Health insurance expansions may increase the demand for care-creating incentives for health systems to increase input consumption. The possibility remains that added capacity and personnel will have little effect on health outcomes, decreasing the technical efficiency of health care delivery systems. We estimate that a 1 percentage point increase in health insurance coverage decreases the technical efficiency of health care delivery by 1.3 percentage points, translating into approximately 50 billion dollars in additional health expenditures. This finding uncovers a previously unexplored consequence of changes in health insurance on the supply side of health care markets suggesting one avenue through which health care costs growth may occur. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4082-4094 Issue: 29 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.750420 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.750420 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:29:p:4082-4094 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuliana Passamani Author-X-Name-First: Giuliana Author-X-Name-Last: Passamani Author-Name: Roberto Tamborini Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Tamborini Title: Monetary policy through the ‘credit-cost channel’: Italy and Germany pre- and post-EMU Abstract: We present an empirical analysis of the ‘Credit-Cost Channel’ (CCC) of monetary policy transmission. This channel combines bank credit supply and interest rates on loans as a cost to firms. The thrust of the CCC is that it makes both aggregate demand and aggregate supply dependent on monetary policy. As a consequence (1) credit market conditions (e.g. risk spreads) are important sources and indicators of macroeconomic shocks, (2) the real effects of monetary policy are larger and persistent. We have applied the Cointegrated Vector Autoregression (CVAR) econometric methodology to Italy and Germany in the ‘hard’ EMS period and in the European Monetary Union (EMU) period. The short-run and long-run effects of the CCC are detectable for both countries in both periods. Simulation of the estimated model also confirms that inflation-targeting by way of inter-bank rate control stabilizes inflation through structural shifts of the stochastic equilibrium paths of both inflation and the output. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4095-4113 Issue: 29 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.748176 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.748176 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:29:p:4095-4113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rizki E. Wimanda Author-X-Name-First: Rizki E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wimanda Author-Name: Paul M. Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul M. Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Author-Name: Maximilian J. B. Hall Author-X-Name-First: Maximilian J. B. Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Title: The shape of the Phillips curve: the case of Indonesia Abstract: It is recognized that the effectiveness of monetary policy in the control of inflation depends critically on the relationship between inflation and the output gap. During booms, inflation is highly sensitive to monetary influences, but during recessions this influence is considerably muted. However, econometric investigation of this phenomenon has mostly focussed on the developed economies. In this article, the shape of the Phillips curve is investigated for Indonesia. Evidence is found of significant nonlinearities in the inflation--output relationship for Indonesia and it is argued that this relationship is best modelled by the capacity-constraint (L-shape) model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4114-4121 Issue: 29 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.744137 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.744137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:29:p:4114-4121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rina Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Rina Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: Sanchita Mukherjee Author-X-Name-First: Sanchita Author-X-Name-Last: Mukherjee Title: Non-Keynesian effects of fiscal policy in OECD economies: an empirical study Abstract: This article explores the hypothesis that the propensity to consume out of income varies in a nonlinear fashion with fiscal variables, and in particular with government debt per capita. Using panel data from 18 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries, we examine whether there is any empirical evidence to support the hypothesis that households move from non-Ricardian to Ricardian behaviour as government debt reaches high levels and as uncertainty about future taxes increases. Our results provide support for this hypothesis, and also suggest that private and government consumption are complements in the household utility function. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4122-4136 Issue: 29 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.752571 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.752571 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:29:p:4122-4136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yehenew Endegnanew Author-X-Name-First: Yehenew Author-X-Name-Last: Endegnanew Author-Name: Charles Amo-Yartey Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Amo-Yartey Author-Name: Therese Turner-Jones Author-X-Name-First: Therese Author-X-Name-Last: Turner-Jones Title: Fiscal policy and the current account: are microstates different? Abstract: This article examines the empirical link between fiscal policy and the current account focusing on microstates defined as countries with a population of less than 2 million between 1970 and 2009. This article employs panel regression and Panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR) on 155 countries of which 42 are microstates. Panel regression results show that a percentage point improvement in the fiscal balance improves the current account balance by 0.4 percentage points of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The real effective exchange rate has no significant impact on the current account in microstates but the coefficient is significant in the global sample. PVAR results show that an increase in government consumption results in real exchange appreciation, but the effect on the current account after an initial deterioration dies out quicker in microstates than in the global sample. The result implies that fiscal policy has little effect on the current account in microstates beyond its direct impact on imports. Overall, the results suggest that the weak relative price effects make the effect of fiscal adjustment on the current account much more difficult in microstates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4137-4151 Issue: 29 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2012.754542 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.754542 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:29:p:4137-4151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristofer Månsson Author-X-Name-First: Kristofer Author-X-Name-Last: Månsson Author-Name: Ghazi Shukur Author-X-Name-First: Ghazi Author-X-Name-Last: Shukur Author-Name: Pär Sjölander Author-X-Name-First: Pär Author-X-Name-Last: Sjölander Title: Testing for panel unit roots in the presence of spatial dependency Abstract: In this article, the size and power properties of the Common-factor Im, Pesaran and Shin (CIPS), Wald (W), Likelihood Ratio (LR) and Lagrange Multiplier (LM) tests are investigated when the error term follows a spatial error model. In this study, the results from the Monte Carlo simulations, first, show that the CIPS test over-estimates the nominal size. Second, the simulation results show that the empirical size of the W test approaches the nominal size quickly, while the LR and LM tests underestimate the null hypothesis in both small and moderate sample sizes. Finally, the results also show that even though the LM and LR tests under-reject the true-null hypothesis they have higher power than the W test. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4152-4159 Issue: 29 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.767980 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.767980 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:29:p:4152-4159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. K. G. Wong Author-X-Name-First: K. K. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Trade distance functions and the derivation of inverse demand for imports Abstract: This article introduces a new representation of trade preferences termed as the trade distance function, which measures the maximum amount by which import quantities must be deflated or inflated to reach the indifference surface. The properties of this function are discussed and employed to derive systems of inverse demand for imported goods. We illustrate its usefulness by proposing two new parametric forms of trade distance functions. While the trade distance function directly yields Hicksian inverse demand functions of imports, they usually lack closed-form representations in terms of observable variables. This problem, however, need not hinder estimation and could be solved by using the numerical inversion estimation method. Results generally indicate that the suggested modelling and estimation methods are operationally, implying that the trade distance function approach is a promising tool of the empirical analysis of import demands subjected to tight theoretical conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4160-4168 Issue: 29 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.767979 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.767979 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:29:p:4160-4168 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William A. Barnett Author-X-Name-First: William A. Author-X-Name-Last: Barnett Author-Name: Isaac Kalonda Kanyama Author-X-Name-First: Isaac Kalonda Author-X-Name-Last: Kanyama Title: Time-varying parameters in the almost ideal demand system and the Rotterdam model: will the best specification please stand up? Abstract: This article assesses the ability of the Rotterdam Model (RM) and of three versions of the Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) to recover the time-varying elasticities of a true demand system and to satisfy theoretical regularity. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we find that the RM performs better than the linear-approximate AIDS at recovering the signs of all the time-varying elasticities. More importantly, the RM has the ability to track the paths of time-varying income elasticities, even when the true values are very high. The linear-approximate AIDS, not only performs poorly at recovering the time-varying elasticities but also badly approximates the nonlinear AIDS. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4169-4183 Issue: 29 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.768014 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.768014 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:29:p:4169-4183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Scelles Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Scelles Author-Name: C. Durand Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Durand Author-Name: L. Bonnal Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnal Author-Name: D. Goyeau Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Goyeau Author-Name: W. Andreff Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Andreff Title: Competitive balance versus competitive intensity before a match: is one of these two concepts more relevant in explaining attendance? The case of the French football Ligue 1 over the period 2008--2011 Abstract: The aim of this article is to investigate the determinants of attendance at French football Ligue 1 matches over the period 2008--2011 with an emphasis on examining the effects of both competitive balance and intensity before a match. Competitive balance is measured by the point difference between the two teams concerned by a match in the championship. Competitive intensity is measured by the point difference for the home team in relation to ranks with sporting stakes. Results show that competitive balance has an insignificant impact whereas competitive intensity has a significantly positive impact. Implications are drawn. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4184-4192 Issue: 29 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.770124 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.770124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:29:p:4184-4192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boon L. Lee Author-X-Name-First: Boon L. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Andrew C. Worthington Author-X-Name-First: Andrew C. Author-X-Name-Last: Worthington Title: A note on the ‘Linsanity’ of measuring the relative efficiency of National Basketball Association guards Abstract: This note examines the productive efficiency of 62 starting guards during the 2011/12 National Basketball Association (NBA) season. This period coincides with the phenomenal and largely unanticipated performance of New York Knicks’ starting point guard Jeremy Lin and the attendant public and media hype known as Linsanity. We employ a data envelopment analysis (DEA) approach that includes allowance for an undesirable output, here turnovers per game, with the desirable outputs of points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks per game and an input of minutes per game. The results indicate that depending upon the specification, between 29% and 42% of NBA guards are fully efficient, including Jeremy Lin, with a mean inefficiency of 3.7% and 19.2%. However, while Jeremy Lin is technically efficient, he seldom serves as a benchmark for inefficient players, at least when compared with established players such as Chris Paul and Dwayne Wade. This suggests the uniqueness of Jeremy Lin's productive solution and may explain why his unique style of play, encompassing individual brilliance, unselfish play and team leadership, is of such broad public appeal. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4193-4202 Issue: 29 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.770125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.770125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:29:p:4193-4202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Josep Llu񈁃arrion-i-Silvestre Author-X-Name-First: Josep Llu񈀍 Author-X-Name-Last: Carrion-i-Silvestre Author-Name: Emma M. Iglesias Author-X-Name-First: Emma M. Author-X-Name-Last: Iglesias Title: Editorial Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4203-4203 Issue: 30 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.778947 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.778947 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:30:p:4203-4203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos頍ar𨁁rias Author-X-Name-First: Jos頍ar𨀍 Author-X-Name-Last: Arias Title: Preface Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4204-4204 Issue: 30 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.778949 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.778949 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:30:p:4204-4204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno S. Frey Author-X-Name-First: Bruno S. Author-X-Name-Last: Frey Author-Name: Jana Gallus Author-X-Name-First: Jana Author-X-Name-Last: Gallus Title: Political economy of happiness Abstract: Happiness research has been a great success by yielding new and important insights. These results are often used in a technocratic manner: Governments should maximize, or at least raise, the subjective well-being of the population measured by the national happiness index. Yet the government has strong incentives and a wide range of possibilities to manipulate this index to its advantage. Happiness policy must be part of the normal democratic process where divergent views are considered and aggregated. In particular, competition between parties is a prerequisite for the insights from happiness research put to the benefit of the citizens. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4205-4211 Issue: 30 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.778950 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.778950 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:30:p:4205-4211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: St鰨ane Bonhomme Author-X-Name-First: St鰨ane Author-X-Name-Last: Bonhomme Author-Name: Laura Hospido Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Hospido Title: Earnings inequality in Spain: new evidence using tax data Abstract: We use tax files from 2004 to 2010 to document the recent evolution of earnings inequality in Spain. We find that inequality went in parallel with the evolution of the unemployment rate during the period. This evolution is consistent with the evidence from Social Security records recently documented in Bonhomme and Hospido (2012). Quantitatively, the 90/10 percentile ratio of daily earnings experienced a 10% increase between 2007 and 2010, which is partly but not fully explained by changes in labour force composition. We also use the tax data to study the evolution of the gender earnings gap, and find that it has decreased throughout the distribution during the period. Lastly, we tentatively exploit the panel dimension of the data to explore the permanent and temporary dimensions of Spanish inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4212-4225 Issue: 30 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.781261 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.781261 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:30:p:4212-4225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ma del Mar Salinas-Jim鮥z Author-X-Name-First: Ma del Mar Author-X-Name-Last: Salinas-Jim鮥z Author-Name: Marta Rahona-L󰥺 Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Rahona-L󰥺 Author-Name: In鳠P. Murillo-Huertas Author-X-Name-First: In鳠P. Author-X-Name-Last: Murillo-Huertas Title: Gender wage differentials and educational mismatch: an application to the Spanish case Abstract: This article aims to analyse gender wage differentials in Spain by taking into account the levels of educational attainment and by studying whether the educational mismatch affects the gender wage gap. Focusing on returns to education, evidence is found on the existence of educational mismatch and on its contribution to determine wages, with women suffering greater wage penalties that are associated with educational mismatch. Furthermore, although the gender wage gap is lower for individuals with low educational levels, we find that the part of this gap due to differences in returns is greater in this group. On the contrary, the gender gap is greater among highly-educated workers, but in this case most of the wage differentials are due to differences in productive characteristics. In any case, our results suggest that gender wage discrimination tends to be greater for those workers who show educational mismatch. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4226-4235 Issue: 30 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.781260 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.781260 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:30:p:4226-4235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Sommerfeld Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Sommerfeld Title: Higher and higher? Performance pay and wage inequality in Germany Abstract: Performance pay is of growing importance to the wage structure as it applies to a rising share of employees. At the same time, wage dispersion is growing continuously. This leads to the question of how is the growing use of performance pay schemes related to the increase in wage inequality? German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) data for the years 1984--2009 confirm the large increase in the application of performance pay schemes. This in turn led to an upward shift of the wage distribution by about one log point. However, it did not contribute to the growth in wage inequality. Even though wage inequality grew within the group of employees who receive performance pay, it grew even more so within the group who do not. Still, the wage difference between both wage schemes remained flat over the distribution. The empirical analysis employs sequential decompositions in a quantile regression framework. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4236-4247 Issue: 30 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.783682 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.783682 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:30:p:4236-4247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Fa𨐠 Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Fa𨐠 Author-Name: J. L󰥺-Rodr򍑥z Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: L󰥺-Rodr򍑥z Author-Name: L. Varela-Candamio Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Varela-Candamio Title: Nontaxable income and necessary consumption: the Rousseau's paradox of fiscal egalitarianism Abstract: This article compares a tax method featuring flat rates and fixed allowances equal for all taxpayers (Surplus Income Tax Method (SITM) procedure) with a tax method featuring also flat rates and increasing personal allowances (IPAs) to meet the amounts of necessary consumption required by the different living standards (Discretionary Income Tax Method (DITM) procedure). Our results show that the DITM procedure generates an after-tax income distribution less unequal and superior in terms of social welfare. Moreover, the assumption (for comparison purposes) of identical total tax revenues leads to the corollary that the flat tax rate under the DITM is necessarily larger than the one under the SITM; being thus, the former taxmethod is more progressive than the latter. These results imply an obvious paradox considering the commonly accepted principle that basic necessities are the same for everyone (Rousseau, 1755). Based on the results obtained in this article, we have labelled this paradox as the Rousseau's paradox of fiscal egalitarianism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4248-4259 Issue: 30 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.781262 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.781262 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:30:p:4248-4259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emma M. Iglesias Author-X-Name-First: Emma M. Author-X-Name-Last: Iglesias Author-Name: J. Atilano Pena L󰥺 Author-X-Name-First: J. Atilano Pena Author-X-Name-Last: L󰥺 Author-Name: Jos頍anuel Sᮣhez S᮴os Author-X-Name-First: Jos頍anuel Sᮣhez Author-X-Name-Last: S᮴os Title: Evolution over time of the determinants of preferences for redistribution and the support for the welfare state Abstract: The objective of this article is to analyse the determinants of preferences for redistribution in Spain both at an aggregate and regional level. Using country level data, we put to the test the Alesina and Angeletos' (2005) hypothesis, the strong and positive relationship between the 'belief that luck determines income' and the support for redistributive policies. As an innovative contribution, we contrast this hypothesis using a set of panel data models with regional and time fixed effects. Our main finding is the existence of a structural change in preferences formation for redistribution in Spain between 1995 and 2007. Furthermore, the empirical results provide some evidence suggesting that (1) the belief that society is unfair have a moderate effect on the individuals' preferences for redistribution and (2) regional beliefs in Spanish regions are not equally important when determining demand for redistribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4260-4274 Issue: 30 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.778948 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.778948 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:30:p:4260-4274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Good Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Good Title: Do immigrant outflows lead to native inflows? An empirical analysis of the migratory responses to US state immigration legislation Abstract: I estimate the impact on internal migration for 52 different demographic groups of the recent influx of state omnibus immigration laws targeting undocumented immigrants in the United States. I find evidence that while the demographic groups pinpointed as having higher percentages of undocumented immigrants certainly experience population and employment 'outflows' from states implementing these immigration laws, there is a lack of associated 'inflows' for those demographic groups identified by economic theory as being probable substitutes for undocumented immigrants. Several segments designated as probable substitutes actually experience an adverse effect on population and employment. This finding provides rigorous empirical backing to existing anecdotal evidence of the same cross-state migratory phenomenon, resulting in clear policy implications in relation to the ongoing debate over immigration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4275-4297 Issue: 30 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.786802 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.786802 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:30:p:4275-4297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: O. Alonso-Villar Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Alonso-Villar Author-Name: C. Grad󸀍 Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Grad󸀍 Author-Name: C. del R􈀍 Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: del R􈀍 Title: Occupational segregation of Hispanics in US metropolitan areas Abstract: This article quantifies the occupational segregation of Hispanics in the largest Hispanic enclaves of the US. Using a procedure based on propensity score, it explores the role played by the characteristics of Hispanics, such as country of origin and English fluency, in explaining the variation of segregation across metropolitan areas. Regarding the characteristics of the metropolitan areas, a regression analysis shows that the segregation of Hispanic workers tends to be higher in relatively smaller and highly educated labour markets, with a lower proportion of Hispanics, a higher growth of recent foreign-born Hispanics and in areas where they face cooler feelings from the rest of the population. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4298-4307 Issue: 30 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.778951 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.778951 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:30:p:4298-4307 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Duvivier Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Duvivier Author-Name: S. Li Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: M.-F. Renard Author-X-Name-First: M.-F. Author-X-Name-Last: Renard Title: Are workers close to cities paid higher nonagricultural wages in rural China? Abstract: It is widely recognized that nonagricultural earnings are crucial for the welfare of rural households in developing countries. In this study, we investigate whether workers close to cities are paid higher nonagricultural wages than workers in outlying rural areas. We find that workers close to urban areas not only benefit from more opportunities to engage in nonagricultural activities, but also from better paid jobs. In addition, we provide evidence on the transmission channels at work. The issue of spatial differences in nonagricultural earnings that we highlight is extremely serious for rural China where, because of the strong institutional restrictions on labour mobility, living conditions in an individual's birthplace still significantly affect his well-being. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4308-4322 Issue: 30 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.778953 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.778953 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:30:p:4308-4322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Garc𨀍 Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Garc𨀍 Author-Name: Prieto-Alaiz Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Prieto-Alaiz Author-Name: Sim󮠍 Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Sim󮠍 Title: The influence of macroeconomic factors on personal income distribution in developing countries: a parametric modelling approach Abstract: This article examines the influence of macroeconomic factors on personal income distribution in developing countries using a parametric modelling approach. The technique is based on the selection and estimation of a theoretical parametric model (a Dagum distribution) which fits accurately to the empirical income distributions of the countries examined. The parameters of the model specifically related to inequality are subsequently used as dependent variables in econometric models in order to examine the impact that certain macroeconomic variables (GDP growth, inflation, employment and real interest rates) have on inequality. The results reveal that GDP growth, employment rate and real interest rate are the macroeconomic factors with greater impact in shaping personal income distribution in developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4323-4334 Issue: 30 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.778952 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.778952 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:30:p:4323-4334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Greenberg Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Greenberg Author-Name: Johanna Walter Author-X-Name-First: Johanna Author-X-Name-Last: Walter Author-Name: Genevieve Knight Author-X-Name-First: Genevieve Author-X-Name-Last: Knight Title: A cost-benefit analysis of the random assignment UK Employment Retention and Advancement Demonstration Abstract: This article presents a cost-benefit analysis of Britain's Employment Retention and Advancement (ERA) demonstration, which was evaluated through the first large-scale randomized control trial in the UK. ERA used a combination of job coaching and financial incentives in attempting to help long-term unemployed men and low-income lone parents sustain employment and progress in work once they were employed. Using both administrative and survey data, ERA's effects on benefits and costs were estimated through impact analyses, which exploited the experimental design. The findings indicated that ERA was cost beneficial for long-term unemployed adult men, but not for lone parents. The key findings appear robust to sensitivity tests. Uncertainty, as implied by the SEs of the estimated impacts, was addressed through a Monte Carlo analysis, an approach seldom previously used in cost-benefit analyses of social programs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4335-4354 Issue: 31 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.776664 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.776664 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:31:p:4335-4354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benoit Dostie Author-X-Name-First: Benoit Author-X-Name-Last: Dostie Author-Name: Lene Kromann Author-X-Name-First: Lene Author-X-Name-Last: Kromann Title: New estimates of labour supply elasticities for married women in Canada 1996--2005 Abstract: In this article, we estimate income and substitution labour supply and participation elasticities for Canadian married women using data from the Survey of Labour and Income Dynamics 1996--2005. We use the Canadian Tax and Credit Simulator (CTaCS) and detailed information on the structure of income at the household level to compute the marginal tax rates faced by each individual. We then use these marginal tax rates to compute net own-wage, spouse-wage, and nonlabour income. We show how the magnitude of the estimated elasticities varies depending on whether net or gross wages and income are used in the estimation procedure, and quantify biases caused by using average tax rates instead of marginal tax rates. Finally, because marginal tax rates vary significantly over the sample, we use quantile regressions to compare elasticities at different points of the hours distribution. Overall, our results show that public policies now have, on average, less scope for influencing hours of work than 10 years ago. However, the quantile results show that wives working fewer hours per week are more sensitive to changes in their own or spouses' wages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4355-4368 Issue: 31 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.776663 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.776663 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:31:p:4355-4368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Ruixin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ruixin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The J-curve: evidence from commodity trade between UK and China Abstract: China is often accused of manipulating its currency to gain international competitiveness. Previous studies have tried to address this issue by investigating the impact of yuan depreciation on China's trade balance. Not only have they failed to establish the link between the Chinese exchange rate and its trade balance with the rest of the world but also between China and her major trading partners. In this article, we consider the China--UK trade balance and disaggregate their trade flows by commodity. Out of the 47 industries considered, we show that the real depreciation has favourable short-run effects in most industries. However, the short-run effects last into the long run only in seven cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4369-4378 Issue: 31 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.783680 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.783680 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:31:p:4369-4378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Author-Name: Bert De Groot Author-X-Name-First: Bert Author-X-Name-Last: De Groot Title: Do commercial real estate prices have predictive content for GDP? Abstract: Using a uniquely compiled database concerning rental prices of commercial real estates, which are property of the largest broker in the Netherlands, we examine whether these prices have predictive value for quarterly economic growth. In contrast to related studies, we document that the mean price contains no relevant information, whereas other properties of the price distributions have. We show that these distributions can be described by mixtures of two distributions, reflecting low-end and high-end price segments. Our main findings are that higher economic growth is predictable from more new buildings being rented, more variation in the price levels and a larger size of the low-price segment, while lower economic growth emerges when the differences in prices between high-end and low-end segments increase and when the average price level in the low-price segment increases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4379-4384 Issue: 31 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.783681 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.783681 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:31:p:4379-4384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong-Hyeon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dong-Hyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Shu-Chin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Interrelationships among banks, stock markets and economic growth: an empirical investigation Abstract: This article utilizes a simultaneous equations model to study the relationships among economic growth, banking and stock market development. In contrast to conventional instrumental variable approach, we implement the analysis via the methodology of identification through heteroscedasticity. Using Beck and Levine (2004) dataset, we find that each of the three variables interacts in important ways. While both are conducive to economic growth, banking development matters more for growth in low-income countries and stock market development is more favourable to growth in high-income or low-inflation ones. The data also reveal coexistence of a positive effect of banking development on stock market development and a negative effect of stock market development on banking development. Besides, the feedback effects of growth on both banking and stock market development are found. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4385-4394 Issue: 31 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.786165 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.786165 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:31:p:4385-4394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mar𨁌orena Mar𑁥l Cristo Author-X-Name-First: Mar𨁌orena Author-X-Name-Last: Mar𑁥l Cristo Author-Name: Marta G󭥺-Puig Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: G󭥺-Puig Title: Pass-through in dollarized countries: should Ecuador abandon the US dollar? Abstract: In this article, we examine the convenience of dollarization for Ecuador today. As Ecuador is strongly integrated financially and commercially with the United States, the exchange rate pass-through should be zero. However, we sustain that rising rates of imports from trade partners other than the United States and subsequent real effective exchange rate depreciations are causing the pass-through to move away from zero. Here, in the framework of the Vector Error Correction Model, we analyse the impulse response function and variance decomposition of the inflation variable. We show that the developing economy of Ecuador is importing inflation from its main trading partners, most of them emerging countries with appreciated currencies. We argue that if Ecuador recovered both its monetary and exchange rate instruments, it would be able to fight against inflation. We believe such an analysis could be extended to other countries with pegged exchange rate regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4395-4411 Issue: 31 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.786166 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.786166 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:31:p:4395-4411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank den Butter Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: den Butter Author-Name: Abdessalam Es-Saghir Author-X-Name-First: Abdessalam Author-X-Name-Last: Es-Saghir Title: Productivity effects of trade and product innovations: an empirical analysis for 13 OECD countries Abstract: This article distinguishes two sources of productivity increases, namely product/process innovations and trade innovations. An empirical analysis for 13 OECD countries shows that product/process innovations, represented by aggregated investments in Research and Development (R&D), are major determinants for productivity growth in large industrial countries, whereas trade innovations, represented by export intensity, seem to contribute most to productivity in trade-oriented economies. These trade innovations relate to the ability to reduce transaction costs so that these trading nations specialize in the organization of production in this era of globalization where the production chain is split up in more and more component parts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4412-4418 Issue: 31 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.786167 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.786167 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:31:p:4412-4418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dilip Nachane Author-X-Name-First: Dilip Author-X-Name-Last: Nachane Author-Name: Amlendu Kumar Dubey Author-X-Name-First: Amlendu Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Dubey Title: Trend and cyclical decoupling: new estimates based on spectral causality tests and wavelet correlations Abstract: The issue of decoupling of emerging market economies (EMEs) (especially in the Asian region) from the developments in advanced economies has become a subject of lively debate in recent years. Basically, decoupling seems to comprise three sub-hypotheses: (i) growth spillovers from advanced countries to EMEs decreasing progressively in importance, (ii) business cycles in EMEs becoming less synchronized with those of the advanced world and (iii) strengthening of growth spillovers and cyclical synchronization among the EMEs as a group. The received literature fails to distinguish adequately between the trend and cyclical aspects of the decoupling relationship. We resort to two frequency domain methods (nonstationary spectral causality testing and wavelet correlations), which seem to offer a neat separation of trend and cyclical decoupling. Based on a sample of seven EMEs from the Asian region (including the two large EMEs -- China and India), we uncover strong evidence favouring both trend and cyclical decoupling. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4419-4428 Issue: 31 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.788781 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.788781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:31:p:4419-4428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicki L. Bogan Author-X-Name-First: Vicki L. Author-X-Name-Last: Bogan Title: Household investment decisions and offspring gender: parental accounting Abstract: Numerous behavioural factors have been identified as having an impact on household stockholding decisions. Given there is both theoretical and empirical evidence to support the premise that offspring gender can influence specific types of parental preferences, I test the theory that offspring gender has an effect on parental investment decision-making. I find that offspring gender does influence household stock market participation. Specifically, I find that having only female offspring can significantly increase the probability of stockholding. Given stockholding can have large effects on household wealth levels and that family wealth levels affect intergenerational transfers, this finding could have important implications for understanding distributional welfare issues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4429-4442 Issue: 31 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.788782 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.788782 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:31:p:4429-4442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Title: The effects of merit pay on teacher job satisfaction Abstract: The purpose of this study is to determine if the existence of a district-level merit pay system has any effects on teacher job satisfaction. Using a large sample of public school teachers from the year 2007, the results of this study suggest that teachers who work in districts that use a merit pay system are no less satisfied with their jobs than are other teachers; these results are consistent for both an ordered probit model and a two-stage analysis. Although the effect of merit pay on overall job satisfaction was insignificant, teachers in merit pay districts were less enthusiastic, did not think teaching was important, and were more likely to leave for better pay. However, in examining a sample of teachers who worked only in merit pay districts, it was found that teachers who received merit pay were more satisfied overall with their jobs than were teachers who did not receive merit pay. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4443-4451 Issue: 31 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.788783 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.788783 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:31:p:4443-4451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hoanjae Park Author-X-Name-First: Hoanjae Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Walter N. Thurman Author-X-Name-First: Walter N. Author-X-Name-Last: Thurman Title: A Bayesian approach to aggregation in demand systems: smoothing with perfect substitution priors Abstract: Demand analysis requires aggregation of commodities. Some are imposed at the data collection level, leaving some for the estimation level. When data are collected, the implicit assumption underlying the aggregation is perfect substitutability: one gallon of gasoline is viewed by consumers as equivalent to another gallon; hence, the two are added together. While such aggregation can be carried out further by the data analyst, it is difficult to incorporate perfect substitutability into the estimation of direct demand systems. Perfect substitution in that context implies discontinuous demand functions, which are not nested within standard empirical demand systems. Perfect substitution is much more easily handled in a system of inverse demands, though an empirical method to impose perfect substitutability in an inverse demand system has not previously appeared in the literature. In this article, we develop such a method, which allows perfect substitutability to be imposed as a prior restriction. We use Leamer's information contract curve as a tool to flexibly impose the substitution restriction and to investigate consistency between the data and prior. We illustrate the method with an application to inverse demands for fish in Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4452-4462 Issue: 31 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.788784 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.788784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:31:p:4452-4462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos頉. Castillo-Manzano Author-X-Name-First: Jos頉. Author-X-Name-Last: Castillo-Manzano Author-Name: Lourdes Lopez-Valpuesta Author-X-Name-First: Lourdes Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Valpuesta Author-Name: Manuel Marchena-G󭥺 Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Marchena-G󭥺 Author-Name: Diego J. Pedregal Author-X-Name-First: Diego J. Author-X-Name-Last: Pedregal Title: How much does water consumption drop when each household takes charge of its own consumption? The case of the city of Seville Abstract: Making individuals take charge of their own domestic water consumption is one of the measures used to reduce the growing demand for this resource and to achieve sustainable consumption compatible with the goal of equity. The use of individual meters instead of communal meters and fixing tariffs by inhabitant rather than by household are two measures aimed at achieving these objectives. This article assesses the measures put in place in the Seville metropolitan area during the last 20 years with an unobserved component model set up in a state-space framework estimated using maximum likelihood. Water consumption elasticity to individual meters has changed from --0.307 to --1.317 with the introduction of per inhabitant tariffs, which demonstrates that there are water-saving synergies when the two measures are implemented together. The reductions in water consumption achieved with these measures are also longer lasting than the changes in consumption habits during the frequent droughts in Seville. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4465-4473 Issue: 32 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.788785 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.788785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:32:p:4465-4473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boya Liu Author-X-Name-First: Boya Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Stephen Devadoss Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Devadoss Title: Effects of trade diversion and trade creation of MERCOSUR on US and world apple markets Abstract: Apples are the third most valuable fruit in the United States and account for 18% of US fruit exports. Chile is a major competitor to the United States in the MERCOSUR market, since it is one of the leading apple producing countries and enjoys the tariff reductions as a member of MERCOSUR. Consequently, Chilean exports displace US exports in MERCOSUR. In addition, other MERCOSUR members import more from lower-cost Chile, leading to a reduction in production and an increase in consumption in these countries. This study develops a theoretical and an empirical model of world apple market to quantify the trade diversion and trade creation effects of the MERCOSUR free trade agreement and to estimate the welfare impacts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4474-4486 Issue: 32 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.788786 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.788786 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:32:p:4474-4486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ant󮩯 Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Ant󮩯 Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Miguel St. Aubyn Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: St. Aubyn Title: Public and private inputs in aggregate production and growth: a cross-country efficiency approach Abstract: In a cross section of OECD countries, we replace the macroeconomic production function by a production possibility frontier, total factor productivity being the composite effect of efficiency scores and possibility frontier changes. We consider, for the periods 1970, 1980, 1990 and 2000 one output -- GDP per worker -- and three inputs -- human capital, public physical capital per worker and private physical capital per worker. We use a semi-parametric analysis, computing Malmquist productivity indexes, and we also resort to stochastic frontier analysis. Results show that private capital is important for growth, although public and human capital also contribute positively. A governance indicator, a nondiscretionary input, explains inefficiency. Better governance helps countries to achieve a better performance. Nonparametric and parametric results coincide rather closely on the movements of the countries vis-୶is the possibility frontier and on their relative distances to the frontier. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4487-4502 Issue: 32 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.791018 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.791018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:32:p:4487-4502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Inyeob Ji Author-X-Name-First: Philip Inyeob Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Author-Name: Sangbae Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sangbae Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Mean-reversion in closed-end fund discount: evidence from half-life Abstract: This article examines the mean-reversion properties of the discount on UK and US closed-end funds. While the discounts are tested I(1), strong statistical evidence of mean-reversion is ascertained by bias-corrected bootstrap half-life estimates. The estimates also indicate that equity-based funds converge to the steady-state level faster than fixed income funds. In addition, although an equilibrium pricing condition postulates an inverse relation between half-life and the discount size, correlation estimates fail to show strong support for the relation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4503-4515 Issue: 32 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.791019 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.791019 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:32:p:4503-4515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michele Raitano Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Raitano Author-Name: Francesco Vona Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Vona Title: Peer heterogeneity, school tracking and students' performances: evidence from PISA 2006 Abstract: This paper analyses the interaction between school-tracking policies and peer effects in OECD countries. Using the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) 2006 data set, we show that linear peer effects are slightly concave-shaped in both early-tracking and comprehensive educational systems, but generally stronger in the early-tracking one. Second, and more interestingly, the effect of peer heterogeneity goes in opposite directions in the two systems. In both student- and school-level estimates, peer heterogeneity reduces students' achievements in the comprehensive system while it has a positive impact in the early-tracking one. This reversal effect is robust to different definitions of early-tracking system, to the inclusion of pseudo-school fixed effects and to the exclusion of outlier countries. Finally, peer effects are stronger for low-ability students in both groups of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4516-4532 Issue: 32 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.791020 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.791020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:32:p:4516-4532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lior Fink Author-X-Name-First: Lior Author-X-Name-Last: Fink Author-Name: Yossi Lichtenstein Author-X-Name-First: Yossi Author-X-Name-Last: Lichtenstein Author-Name: Simon Wyss Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Wyss Title: Ex post adaptations and hybrid contracts in software development services Abstract: We follow the recent literature on ex post adaptations in procurement and argue that highly volatile specifications result in multiple variations of fixed price (FP) and time and materials (T&M) contracts. Specifically, placing a cap on specification change in FP contracts prevents specification volatility, similar to the way that placing a cap on the price in T&M contracts prevents price escalation. We argue that these hybrid mechanisms are particularly important in software development contracting, a new critical business capability involving frequent and costly ex post adaptations to specification change. The level of completeness in these contractual archetypes is hypothesized to be determined by contracting costs and benefits, where costs are related to project uncertainty and benefits are related to the likelihood of vendor opportunism. We test this hypothesis with a unique data set of 270 software development contracts entered into by a leading international bank. The analysis confirms the existence of multiple hybrid contracts that mitigate both price escalation and specification volatility. It also shows that contracting costs and benefits explain more variance in contract choice when these hybrids are included, uncovering the detailed mechanisms used to curb opportunism when the vendor is less familiar to the client. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4533-4544 Issue: 32 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.791021 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.791021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:32:p:4533-4544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ant󮩯 Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Ant󮩯 Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Lu񈁆. Costa Author-X-Name-First: Lu񈁆. Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Title: Market power and fiscal policy in OECD countries Abstract: We compute average markups as a measure of market power throughout time and study their interaction with fiscal policy and macroeconomic variables in a VAR framework. From impulse-response functions, the results, with annual data for a set of 14 OECD countries, show that the markup (i) depicts a pro-cyclical behaviour with productivity shocks and (ii) a counter-cyclical behaviour with fiscal spending shocks. We also use a PVAR, increasing the efficiency in the estimations, which confirms the country-specific results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4545-4555 Issue: 32 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.795275 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.795275 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:32:p:4545-4555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V񍁯r E. Barrios Author-X-Name-First: V񍁯r E. Author-X-Name-Last: Barrios Author-Name: M. Consuelo Colom Author-X-Name-First: M. Consuelo Author-X-Name-Last: Colom Author-Name: M. Cruz Mol鳠 Author-X-Name-First: M. Cruz Author-X-Name-Last: Mol鳠 Title: Life cycle and housing decisions: a comparison by age cohorts Abstract: The use of decomposition methodologies when the involved variable is continuous is not common in the literature. This article uses this methodology, together with other decomposition methodologies, to explain how age can influence on housing decisions. In particular, we use Spanish data to study whether the age of the householder plays a significant role in influencing household decisions with respect to housing tenure and demand. From the comparison of housing decisions between different groups of households classified by the age of the householders, we conclude that age plays the primary role in explaining the gap between households regarding tenure choice, while it shares its importance with other covariates of the model in the housing demand decision. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4556-4568 Issue: 32 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.795276 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.795276 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:32:p:4556-4568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Devadoss Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Devadoss Author-Name: Jeff Luckstead Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Luckstead Author-Name: Ron Mittelhammer Author-X-Name-First: Ron Author-X-Name-Last: Mittelhammer Title: Econometric issues related to identification of the market power parameter Abstract: This study demonstrates the crucial role the specification of the cost function plays in identifying the market power parameter in autarky models. For constant marginal cost or marginal cost with quantity interacting with input prices, the market power parameter in autarky models in identified without a rotation of the demand curve. If a comodity is sold in both domestic and foreign markets, the market power parameters are identified regardless of the specific form of the marginal cost and demand specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4569-4574 Issue: 32 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.795277 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.795277 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:32:p:4569-4574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: J. R. Clark Author-X-Name-First: J. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Title: An extension of the Tiebout hypothesis of voting with one's feet: the Medicaid magnet hypothesis Abstract: This study empirically extends the Tiebout hypothesis of 'voting with one's feet' in two ways. First, it provides updated estimates using net migration data for the period 2000--2008. Second, in addition to investigating variables reflecting public education outlays, property taxation and income taxation, it investigates whether migrants are attracted to states with higher Medicaid benefits per recipient. The latter hypothesis is referred to as the 'Medicaid magnet hypothesis'. The analysis includes three economic variables, three quality of life variables and three Tiebout-type factors in addition to Medicaid benefits. Results indicate that consumer voters were attracted to states with higher per pupil public school spending, lower property and income tax rates, and that certain consumer-voters may be attracted to states that offer higher levels of Medicaid benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4575-4583 Issue: 32 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.795278 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.795278 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:32:p:4575-4583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Ken Hung Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: Revisiting purchasing power parity in Latin America: sequential panel selection method Abstract: This study applies the Sequential Panel Selection Method (SPSM), proposed by Chortareas and Kapetanios (2009) to test the validity of long-run purchasing power parity (PPP) in a sample of 15 Latin American countries using monthly data spanning from December 1994 to February 2010. SPSM classifies the whole panel into a group of stationary and nonstationary series. In doing so, we can clearly identify how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes. Empirical results from the SPSM using the Panel KSS unit root test (Ucar and Omay, 2009) with a Fourier function which accounts for any structural break in the data indicate that PPP holds in many of the Latin American countries studied. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4584-4590 Issue: 32 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.795279 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.795279 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:32:p:4584-4590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Peichl Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Peichl Author-Name: Nico Pestel Author-X-Name-First: Nico Author-X-Name-Last: Pestel Title: Multidimensional affluence: theory and applications to Germany and the US Abstract: This article suggests multidimensional affluence measures for the top of the distribution. In contrast to commonly used top income shares, they allow the analysis of the extent, intensity and breadth of affluence in several dimensions within a common framework. We illustrate this by analysing the role of income and wealth as dimensions of multidimensional well-being in Germany and the US in 2007 as well as for the US over the period 1989--2007. We find distinct country differences with the country ranking depending on the measure. While in Germany wealth predominantly contributes to the intensity of affluence, income is more important in the US. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4591-4601 Issue: 32 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.795280 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.795280 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:32:p:4591-4601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey B. Nugent Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey B. Author-X-Name-Last: Nugent Author-Name: Malgorzata Switek Author-X-Name-First: Malgorzata Author-X-Name-Last: Switek Title: Oil prices and life satisfaction: asymmetries between oil exporting and oil importing countries Abstract: In spite of general consensus on the importance of oil prices for objective measures of economic well-being across countries, almost no research has been carried out to analyse the effects of oil prices on subjective well-being internationally. Using the World Values Survey (2009), we help fill this gap by studying the effects of oil prices on life satisfaction for two groups of countries, oil importers and oil exporters. Although some previous studies have shown negative effects of oil prices on subjective well-being of one oil importing country the United States, since it is an outlier in terms of dependence on automobiles and in gasoline consumption per capita, these findings may not be representative of other oil importing countries. Our results show that, in fact, oil prices have quite strong negative effects on life satisfaction in a sample of over 40 oil importing countries. By contrast, for oil exporting countries for which there have been virtually no previous quantitative studies, but theoretical analyses suggest the results could be ambiguous, we find strong positive effects on life satisfaction. Hence, our results reveal quite strong asymmetries in the effects of oil prices on life satisfaction between oil importers and oil exporters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4603-4628 Issue: 33 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.795281 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.795281 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:33:p:4603-4628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Janko Gorter Author-X-Name-First: Janko Author-X-Name-Last: Gorter Author-Name: Jacob A. Bikker Author-X-Name-First: Jacob A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bikker Title: Investment risk taking by institutional investors Abstract: According to theory, institutional investors face both risk-management and risk-shifting incentives. This article assesses the relevance of these conflicting incentives for Dutch pension funds and insurance firms over the period 1995 to 2009. Using a unique and extended data set, we observe a significant positive relationship between capital and asset risk for insurers, indicating that risk-management incentives dominate in the Dutch insurance industry. Risk-shifting incentives, however, also seem relevant, as stock insurers take more investment risk than their mutual peers. For Dutch pension funds, we conclude that overall neither risk-shifting nor risk-management incentives seem to dominate. Interestingly, we find that professional group pension funds take significantly less investment risk than other types of pension funds. This finding is in line with expectations, as in professional group pension funds potential incentive conflicts between pension fund participants and the employer are effectively internalized. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4629-4640 Issue: 33 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.795282 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.795282 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:33:p:4629-4640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jakob B. Madsen Author-X-Name-First: Jakob B. Author-X-Name-Last: Madsen Author-Name: Eric Yan Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Title: The first Great Divergence and the evolution of cross-country income inequality during the last millennium: the role of institutions and culture Abstract: Using a millennium of data for 12 countries in the East and in the West, this article tests the extent to which contracting institutions, property right institutions and culture can explain economic development and the Great Divergence. It is tested whether these theories influence growth through science and technology or through human capital or channels that are independent of these two channels. It is found that culture, contracting institutions and property right institutions have all been relevant for growth and development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4641-4650 Issue: 33 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.795283 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.795283 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:33:p:4641-4650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wanjun Yao Author-X-Name-First: Wanjun Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Tomoko Kinugasa Author-X-Name-First: Tomoko Author-X-Name-Last: Kinugasa Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: An empirical analysis of the relationship between economic development and population growth in China Abstract: China has experienced a dramatic demographic transition since the latter half of the twentieth century, and thus, assessing the global economic implications is an important issue. This article uses time-series data on China to estimate the determinants of gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. According to the results of the presented co-integration analysis, population has a significantly negative impact on GDP per capita, while savings rate, total factor productivity and degree of industrialization have significantly positive impacts on GDP per capita. These results suggest that the share of the working-age population relative to the total population does not have a strong influence on GDP per capita. Therefore, the contribution of the working-age population to economic growth might not be as large as previously assumed. It is also possible that an increase in savings, remarkable industrialization and rapid technological progress have all stimulated economic growth in China greatly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4651-4661 Issue: 33 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.795284 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.795284 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:33:p:4651-4661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. Karam Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Karam Author-Name: C. Zaki Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Zaki Title: On the determinants of trade in services: evidence from the MENA region Abstract: This article examines the determinants of aggregate flows of service trade in MENA countries using an adapted version of the gravity model and a panel data set covering the 2000 to 2009 period for 21 countries and 10 sectors. A new determinant of trade performance is introduced: the number of bound commitments undertaken by a sector in the WTO as well as the availability of those commitments by mode of supply. The results show that being a WTO member boosts trade in services. In addition, the number of bound commitments increases exports, imports and trade in services. This positive and significant effect remains robust even after controlling for several econometric issues, namely, the selection bias related to the WTO membership and the endogeneity of commitments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4662-4676 Issue: 33 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.797560 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.797560 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:33:p:4662-4676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Forecasting house prices for the four census regions and the aggregate US economy in a data-rich environment Abstract: This article considers the ability of large-scale (involving 145 fundamental variables) time-series models, estimated by dynamic factor analysis and Bayesian shrinkage, to forecast real house price growth rates of the four US census regions and the aggregate US economy. Besides the standard Minnesota prior, we also use additional priors that constrain the sum of coefficients of the VAR models. We compare 1- to 24-months-ahead forecasts of the large-scale models over an out-of-sample horizon of 1995:01--2009:03, based on an in-sample of 1968:02--1994:12, relative to a random walk model, a small-scale VAR model comprising just the five real house price growth rates and a medium-scale VAR model containing 36 of the 145 fundamental variables besides the five real house price growth rates. In addition to the forecast comparison exercise across small-, medium- and large-scale models, we also look at the ability of the 'optimal' model (i.e. the model that produces the minimum average mean squared forecast error) for a specific region in predicting ex ante real house prices (in levels) over the period of 2009:04 till 2012:02. Factor-based models (classical or Bayesian) perform the best for the North East, Mid-West, West census regions and the aggregate US economy and equally well to a small-scale VAR for the South region. The 'optimal' factor models also tend to predict the downward trend in the data when we conduct an ex ante forecasting exercise. Our results highlight the importance of information content in large number of fundamentals in predicting house prices accurately. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4677-4697 Issue: 33 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.797561 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.797561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:33:p:4677-4697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Y. Çakır Author-X-Name-First: M. Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Çakır Author-Name: A. Kabundi Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kabundi Title: Business cycle co-movements between South Africa and the BRIC countries Abstract: This article examines the relationships between South African economy and the economies of the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China). In particular, it identifies the nature and key features of the co-movement of South African business cycles with cycles of the BRIC countries. It uses the dynamic factor model to a set of 307 macroeconomic series during the period 1995Q2 to 2009Q4. We found significant evidence of synchronization between South Africa and the BRIC countries over the business cycle, although the magnitude of co-movement differs with each country. India portrays strong ties with South Africa over time. Moreover, Brazil, China and Russia lead South Africa in the long run, while India is contemporaneous. Further, the findings imply that the first two factors are BRICS factors while the third one is a US factor. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4698-4718 Issue: 33 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.797562 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.797562 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:33:p:4698-4718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Florent Fremigacci Author-X-Name-First: Florent Author-X-Name-Last: Fremigacci Author-Name: Antoine Terracol Author-X-Name-First: Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Terracol Title: Subsidized temporary jobs: lock-in and stepping stone effects Abstract: This article evaluates the effectiveness of subsidized temporary jobs as stepping stones to regular employment. We study a French program that allows job seekers to work part-time while remaining registered with the unemployment agency. In this program, insured individuals concurrently receive part of their unemployment benefits and wage income. Using administrative data, we find that subsidized temporary jobs have both a significant lock-in effect and a significant positive post-treatment impact on the hazard rate to employment. Since individuals facing a high implicit tax rate have incentives to self-select into better part-time jobs, we also find that a higher tax rate leads to a weaker lock-in effect and a stronger post-treatment effect. Simulations suggest that the lock-in effect first dominates, but that the overall effect eventually becomes positive. They also point to ways of improving the effectiveness of the policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4719-4732 Issue: 33 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.797644 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.797644 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:33:p:4719-4732 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhiwei Xu Author-X-Name-First: Zhiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Univariate unobserved-component model with a nonrandom-walk permanent component Abstract: In this article, we revisit the univariate unobserved-component (UC) model of the US GDP by relaxing the traditional random-walk assumption of the permanent component. Since our general UC model is unidentified, we investigate the upper bound of the contribution of the transitory component, and find the GDP fluctuation is dominated by the permanent component. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4733-4737 Issue: 33 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.799756 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.799756 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:33:p:4733-4737 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guillermo Felices Author-X-Name-First: Guillermo Author-X-Name-Last: Felices Author-Name: Vicente Tuesta Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Tuesta Title: Monetary policy in a dual currency environment Abstract: We develop a small open economy general equilibrium model with sticky prices and partial dollarization -- a situation where both domestic and foreign currencies coexist. We derive a tractable representation of the model in terms of domestic inflation and the output gap in which a trade-off, which depends on the degree of dollarization, arises endogenously due to the presence of foreign interest rate shocks. We use this framework to show analytically how higher degrees of dollarization induce larger volatilities of the output gap and inflation, thus hampering a central bank's effectiveness to stabilize the economy. Our impulse response functions show that the transmission of such shocks has a positive (negative) effect on inflation and negative (positive) effect on the output gap when money aggregates and consumption are complements (substitutes). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4739-4753 Issue: 34 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.804165 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.804165 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:34:p:4739-4753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Omar S. Dahi Author-X-Name-First: Omar S. Author-X-Name-Last: Dahi Author-Name: Firat Demir Author-X-Name-First: Firat Author-X-Name-Last: Demir Title: Preferential trade agreements and manufactured goods exports: does it matter whom you PTA with? Abstract: This article explores two questions. First, do preferential trade agreements (PTAs) affect manufactured goods exports of developing countries? Second, does it matter for developing countries whom they sign the PTAs with? We find that the answer to both questions is yes. Using bilateral manufactured goods exports data from 28 developing countries during 1978--2005; we find that South--South PTAs have a significantly positive effect on manufactured goods exports. In contrast, no such effect is detected in the case of South--North PTAs. We confirmed the robustness of these findings to estimation methodology, sample selection, time period, zero trade flows and multilateral trade resistance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4754-4772 Issue: 34 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.804169 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.804169 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:34:p:4754-4772 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Orla A. Murphy Author-X-Name-First: Orla A. Author-X-Name-Last: Murphy Author-Name: Ping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Sunny X. Wang Author-X-Name-First: Sunny X. Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Greg Tkacz Author-X-Name-First: Greg Author-X-Name-Last: Tkacz Title: An economic efficiency study on different regions of Ghana via Slack-based data envelopment analysis and regression analysis Abstract: In this article, we evaluate the efficiency of the 10 different regions of Ghana using slack-based data envelopment analysis, a nonparametric linear programming technique. Furthermore, we analyse the variable effects on the efficiency of the regions by various regression models using bootstrap sampling technique. The data come from the 1991/1992 and 1998/1999 Ghana Living Standards Survey. Our results show that wealth is not strongly related to efficiency. For example, the study indicates that the Brong--Ahafo region is the most efficient region but not the most wealthy in Ghana. Generally, urban regions are not found to be among the most efficient regions due to the high expenditures. The regression analysis shows that female heads of household have an overall positive effect on efficiency. In addition, any form of education obtained is also found to have a significant positive effect on efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4773-4780 Issue: 34 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.804170 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.804170 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:34:p:4773-4780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Douglas M. Walker Author-X-Name-First: Douglas M. Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Author-Name: Peter T. Calcagno Author-X-Name-First: Peter T. Author-X-Name-Last: Calcagno Title: Casinos and political corruption in the United States: a Granger causality analysis Abstract: The commercial casino industry experienced an unprecedented expansion in the United States during the 1990s. As the industry has grown, so has the anecdotal evidence that links the casino industry with political corruption. However, there have been no empirical analyses of the issue. We use state-level panel data from 1985--2000 to posit a Granger causality analysis of the relationship between corruption convictions of state public officials and the predicted adoptions of casinos at the state level. We find evidence that predicted casino adoptions Granger cause corruption convictions. This finding is suggestive of a scenario of regulatory capture and may help explain why state-level gaming regulatory agencies have a history of softening gaming regulations after the initial introduction of casinos. Our study provides the first empirical evidence linking casinos to political corruption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4781-4795 Issue: 34 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.804171 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.804171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:34:p:4781-4795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: WenShwo Fang Author-X-Name-First: WenShwo Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Stephen M. Miller Author-X-Name-First: Stephen M. Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: The effect of ESCOs on carbon dioxide emissions Abstract: Proponents of energy service companies (ESCOs) argue that these firms provide a crucial instrument for delivering improved energy efficiency in public and private sectors, thus contributing to carbon dioxide (CO2) emission reduction around the world. Do ESCOs reduce CO2 emissions? To answer this question, we develop an estimating equation, which approximates the IPAT model, from a simple model of production. We estimate a dynamic panel of 129 countries over the period 1980--2007 to show that the ESCOs effectively reduce CO2 emissions and that this effect increases over time. These findings also prove robust to the inclusion of a set of control variables, different dates of the first ESCO and the Kyoto Protocol. Finally, we discuss energy policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4796-4804 Issue: 34 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.804172 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.804172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:34:p:4796-4804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Eichler Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Eichler Author-Name: Dominik Maltritz Author-X-Name-First: Dominik Author-X-Name-Last: Maltritz Title: An options-based approach to forecast competing bids: evidence for Canadian takeover battles Abstract: During takeover battles, a tender offer provides a call option right to the target's shareholders: it guarantees the offered price but maintains the chance of a higher offer. We present an options-based approach to estimate the probability and expected value of higher competing takeover bids using target stock price data. Analysing Canadian takeover battles in the period 1997 to 2007 we find that during the 5 trading days prior to the occurrence of an increased takeover bid, the estimated probability of a higher bid exceeds 80% on average and the expected value of a potential competing bid almost matches the realized value. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4805-4819 Issue: 34 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.804167 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.804167 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:34:p:4805-4819 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lu Han Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Siddhartha Bandyopadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Siddhartha Author-X-Name-Last: Bandyopadhyay Author-Name: Samrat Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Samrat Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Title: Determinants of violent and property crimes in England and Wales: a panel data analysis Abstract: We examine various determinants of property and violent crimes by using police force area level (PFA) data on England and Wales over the period of 1992--2008. Our list of potential determinants includes two law enforcement variables namely crime-specific detection rate and prison population, and various socio-economic variables such as unemployment rate, real earnings, proportion of young people and the Gini Coefficient. By adopting a fixed effect dynamic GMM estimation methodology we attempt to address the potential bias that arises from the presence of time-invariant unobserved characteristics of a PFA and the endogeneity of several regressors. There is a significant positive effect of own-lagged crime rate. The own-lagged effect is stronger for property crime, on an average, than violent crime. We find that, on an average, higher detection rate and prison population leads to lower property and violent crimes. This is robust to various specifications. However, socio-economic variables with the exception of real earnings play a limited role in explaining different crime types. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4820-4830 Issue: 34 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.806782 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.806782 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:34:p:4820-4830 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boubacar Camara Author-X-Name-First: Boubacar Author-X-Name-Last: Camara Author-Name: Laetitia Lepetit Author-X-Name-First: Laetitia Author-X-Name-Last: Lepetit Author-Name: Amine Tarazi Author-X-Name-First: Amine Author-X-Name-Last: Tarazi Title: Ex ante capital position, changes in the different components of regulatory capital and bank risk Abstract: We investigate the impact of changes in capital of European banks on their risk-taking behaviour from 1992 to 2006, a time period covering the Basel I capital requirements. We specifically focus on the initial level and type of regulatory capital banks hold. First, we assume that risk changes depend on banks' ex ante regulatory capital position. Second, we consider the impact of an increase in each component of regulatory capital on banks' risk changes. We find that, for highly capitalized, adequately capitalized and strongly undercapitalized banks, an increase in equity or in subordinated debt positively affects risk. Moderately undercapitalized banks tend to invest in less risky assets when their equity ratio increases but not when they improve their capital position by extending hybrid capital or subordinated debt. On the whole, our conclusions support the need to implement more explicit thresholds to classify European banks according to their capital ratios but also to clearly distinguish pure equity from hybrid and subordinated instruments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4831-4856 Issue: 34 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.804166 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.804166 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:34:p:4831-4856 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sherrill Shaffer Author-X-Name-First: Sherrill Author-X-Name-Last: Shaffer Title: Reciprocal deposits and incremental bank risk Abstract: Even after controlling for other observable factors, reciprocal deposits are associated with higher bank risk as measured by the probability of failure and the Z-score. These results are consistent with the moral hazard hypothesis and reject the risk substitution hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4857-4860 Issue: 34 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.806784 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.806784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:34:p:4857-4860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marie Pfiffelmann Author-X-Name-First: Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Pfiffelmann Title: What is the optimal design for lottery-linked savings programmes? Abstract: In this article, we determine the optimal design of lottery-linked savings (LLS) programmes. LLS vehicles, such as lottery bonds, are financial instruments that preserve depositors' principal but provide randomized variable returns to these depositors through periodic lottery drawings, in lieu of the regular coupon payments traditionally received by bondholders. This type of asset is very popular in Europe. We note that the framing of LLS instruments is linked to their popularity, and we attempt to elucidate that link and thereby determine the optimal structure of payments for LLS programmes. Our goal is to frame LLS programmes in a manner that both maximizes their investors' satisfaction and preserves their ability to serve as inexpensive sources of capital for their issuers. We demonstrate that the optimal pay-off structure is characterized by a high level of skewness, as investors are willing to accept a decrease in the small and medium prizes of the lottery in exchange for an increase in the grand prize. Thus, to attract a maximum number of depositors, the issuers of LLS programmes should prioritize the jackpot size relative to the other lottery pay-offs and insist on high skewness for the lottery pay-offs relating to the LLS assets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4861-4871 Issue: 35 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.804168 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.804168 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:35:p:4861-4871 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syster C. Maart-Noelck Author-X-Name-First: Syster C. Author-X-Name-Last: Maart-Noelck Author-Name: Oliver Musshoff Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Musshoff Author-Name: Moritz Maack Author-X-Name-First: Moritz Author-X-Name-Last: Maack Title: The impact of price floors on farmland investments: a real options based experimental analysis Abstract: Price floors are a common instrument for market intervention to stimulate investments. In some cases, it can be observed that a price floor does not have the stimulating effect. We experimentally analyse the investment behaviour of students who take the role of farmers. The experiment considers an investment problem under uncertainty in a 'with price floor' and a 'no price floor' treatment, stylizing a decision to take an ongoing farmland investment option. We compare the actual investment behaviour with normative benchmarks of the net present value and the real options approach. Furthermore, we look at order and learning effects. The results show that the price floor has no significant impact on the willingness to invest, whereas the effects of order were statistically significant. The investment reluctance arising from an abolishment is stronger than the investment stimulation arising from the introduction of a price floor. Furthermore, neither the net present value nor the real options approach is appropriate to predict the investment behaviour in general. Nevertheless, the predictions of the real options approach enable an approximation of the participants' investment behaviour if the individuals have an adequate chance to learn from personal experience. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4872-4882 Issue: 35 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.806783 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.806783 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:35:p:4872-4882 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Garry F. Barrett Author-X-Name-First: Garry F. Author-X-Name-Last: Barrett Author-Name: Milica Kecmanovic Author-X-Name-First: Milica Author-X-Name-Last: Kecmanovic Title: Changes in subjective well-being with retirement: assessing savings adequacy Abstract: Does retirement represent a state of relative prosperity or unanticipated hardship? To assess whether individuals are successful in smoothing their well-being across the transition to retirement we analyse measures of subjective well-being (SWB) in the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey. Specifically, this research examines retirees' current standard of living, financial security and overall happiness relative to their pre-retirement levels. It is found SWB either improves or remains constant for the large majority of individuals as they retire from the labour force. However, there are significant disparities in changes in well-being with retirement among the group of retirees. In particular, the subset of individuals who are forced to retire early due to job loss or their own health, and who find their income in retirement to be much less than expected, report marked declines in their SWB with retirement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4883-4893 Issue: 35 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.806786 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.806786 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:35:p:4883-4893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magda ElSayed Kandil Author-X-Name-First: Magda ElSayed Author-X-Name-Last: Kandil Title: Variation in the fiscal multiplier with the method of financing: evidence across industrial countries Abstract: Government spending has often varied with the business cycle to stimulate the economy and to revive economic conditions. However, the state of public finances has often necessitated higher borrowing to finance widening fiscal deficits. Indeed, recent austerity packages around the globe have crystalized the importance of fiscal consolidation against the backdrop of rising public debt. To shed light on recent debates regarding fiscal multipliers, the article estimates variation in these multipliers with the method of financing, using annual data for a sample of industrial countries. There is a large variation in the effects of expansionary and contractinary government spending shocks on economic variables within and across countries. The significant effects of negative government spending shocks (fiscal contraction) appear more prevalent than those of expansionary shocks on real output growth, price inflation and nominal wage inflation. Consistent with theory's predictions, the fiscal multiplier is more likely to be negative when government spending is financed by issuing debt and less likely in the case of monetization. The evidence confirms concerns about the negative effect of higher debt and more expensive financing on private activity, countering the effectiveness of fiscal policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4894-4927 Issue: 35 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.807025 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.807025 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:35:p:4894-4927 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James H. Cardon Author-X-Name-First: James H. Author-X-Name-Last: Cardon Author-Name: Jeffrey T. Denning Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey T. Author-X-Name-Last: Denning Author-Name: Mark H. Showalter Author-X-Name-First: Mark H. Author-X-Name-Last: Showalter Title: Flexible spending accounts and the use-it-or-lose-it provision Abstract: Flexible spending accounts (FSAs) are a widely used arrangement that allow employees to pay for qualified out-of-pocket health expenses with pre-tax dollars. The original structure of FSAs included a significant forfeiture risk if households had unused funds in their accounts at the end of the year. In 2005, the US Treasury made an administrative ruling that offered a grace period for spending FSA funds after the end of the calendar year, thereby substantially reducing forfeiture risk. We use a unique panel data set to evaluate the effects of this rule change.We find that the change increased FSA participation rates by about 4 percentage points (17% increase from a 23.9% baseline). We also find that FSA election amounts increased by just over 3%, though this result is more fragile. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4928-4939 Issue: 35 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.808308 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.808308 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:35:p:4928-4939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erez Siniver Author-X-Name-First: Erez Author-X-Name-Last: Siniver Author-Name: Yosef Mealem Author-X-Name-First: Yosef Author-X-Name-Last: Mealem Author-Name: Gideon Yaniv Author-X-Name-First: Gideon Author-X-Name-Last: Yaniv Title: Overeating in all-you-can-eat buffet: paying before versus paying after Abstract: A widespread meal-serving system commonly blamed for contributing to the obesity epidemic is the all-you-can-eat buffet, where customers can help themselves to as much food as they wish to eat in a single meal for a fixed entry price. We set forth the hypothesis that buffet restaurants' practice of collecting the price in advance, rather than at the end of the meal, encourages overeating. Viewing advance payment as a token of disrespectful treatment, we first establish this result theoretically by extending two recent and competing models on buffet behaviour to take account of the customer's treatment experience. We then report the results of two experiments conducted in a sushi restaurant which support our hypothesis. The experiments reveal, ceteris paribus, that paying for the buffet meal after eating reduces sushi consumption by about 4.5 units, as compared to paying before eating. The result bears a straightforward and simple policy implication: To help reduce obesity, buffet restaurants should be banned from collecting the price in advance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4940-4948 Issue: 35 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.808309 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.808309 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:35:p:4940-4948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Teixeira Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Teixeira Author-Name: V. Rocha Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Rocha Author-Name: R. Biscaia Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Biscaia Author-Name: M. F. Cardoso Author-X-Name-First: M. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Cardoso Title: Competition and diversification in public and private higher education Abstract: The development of mass higher education and growing competition between higher education institutions has given increasing visibility to the issue of diversification. This article analyses the issue of programme diversification, using a panel of 181 Portuguese higher education institutions over the period 1995 to 2007, by comparing the behaviour of public and private institutions. The results show that the legal status of institutions is the major determinant of programme diversification, as private institutions are far more specialized than their public counterparts. The study also evaluates the role of other institutional variables, such as the institution's size, age, location, institutional mission and research intensity, to explain differences in the diversification behaviour of higher education institutions. The results provide important insights, as competition has been thought to improve the performance of higher education institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4949-4958 Issue: 35 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.808310 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.808310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:35:p:4949-4958 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gazi M. Hassan Author-X-Name-First: Gazi M. Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Author-Name: Mark J. Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark J. Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Title: Remittances and the real effective exchange rate Abstract: We examine the long-run relationship between remittances and the real exchange rate for less-developed countries. In a key departure from the literature, we employ a panel cointegration approach using an innovative method for the measurement of the multilateral real effective exchange rate and we focus on high-remittance economies. We find a small inelastic, but significant, long-run relationship which confirms a Dutch disease type effect. The short-run relationship is explored using a panel vector error correction model which confirms that short-run causality is unidirectional running from remittances to the exchange rate. Potential asymmetries in this relationship are identified using quantile regression analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4959-4970 Issue: 35 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.808311 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.808311 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:35:p:4959-4970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph D. Alba Author-X-Name-First: Joseph D. Author-X-Name-Last: Alba Author-Name: Wai-Mun Chia Author-X-Name-First: Wai-Mun Author-X-Name-Last: Chia Author-Name: Zheng Su Author-X-Name-First: Zheng Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Oil shocks and monetary policy rules in emerging economies Abstract: We examine the effects of shocks in the oil market on key macroeconomic variables in small open economies using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with sticky prices and imperfect competition under different monetary policy rules. The numerical solutions show that the types of exchange rate regimes and monetary policies could partly explain the trends in macroeconomic volatilities considering negative shocks to oil supply (Hamilton, 1983) and positive shocks to oil demand (Kilian, 2009). These findings are confirmed in vector autoregressive responses for Chile and Israel with inflation targeting under flexible exchange regimes and Hong Kong with fixed regime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4971-4984 Issue: 35 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.808312 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.808312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:35:p:4971-4984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pian Chen Author-X-Name-First: Pian Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Aaron Smith Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: The nonlinear multidimensional relationship between stock returns and the macroeconomy Abstract: We use nonparametric dimension-reduction methods to extract from a set of 15 macroeconomic variables the risk factors that are priced in the stock market. The dominant factor moves with the business cycle but, because it is a nonlinear function of observed macroeconomic variables, it captures a rich set of interactions. Low-credit risk and low-inflationary expectations have a greater positive effect on stock returns when leading macroeconomic indicators are high relative to current economic activity, i.e. early in the business cycle as the economy emerges from recession. High-stock returns also arise in periods when the economy is booming relative to its leading indicators, but such periods tend to portend crashes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4985-4999 Issue: 35 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.806785 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.806785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:35:p:4985-4999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elisabeth Mueller Author-X-Name-First: Elisabeth Author-X-Name-Last: Mueller Author-Name: Frank Reize Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Reize Title: Loan availability and investment: can innovative companies better cope with loan denials? Abstract: This study examines the consequences of loan denials for the investment performance of small- and medium-sized German enterprises. As a consequence of a loan denial, innovative companies experience a smaller drop in the share of actual to planned investment than noninnovative companies. The nonrandomness of loan denials is controlled for with a selection equation employing the intensity of banking competition at the district level as an exclusion restriction. We can explain the better performance of innovative companies by their ability to increase the use of external equity financing, such as venture capital or mezzanine capital, when facing a loan denial. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5001-5011 Issue: 36 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.808314 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.808314 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:36:p:5001-5011 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elizabeth Anne Yeager Author-X-Name-First: Elizabeth Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Yeager Author-Name: Michael R. Langemeier Author-X-Name-First: Michael R. Author-X-Name-Last: Langemeier Title: Economic efficiency and downside risk Abstract: This article investigates the impact of downside risk on cost and revenue efficiency (RE) for a sample of farms. Downside risk or loss below a certain level of return is a concern regardless of producer risk preferences and thus a suitable measure of risk to use. Downside risk was measured as the weighted summation of net farm income below the amount needed for unpaid labour during the previous 10 years. Cost and RE were estimated using traditional input and output measures, and then re-estimated including each farm's downside risk. Comparisons were made between the efficient farms with and without downside risk and the average for all farms. As expected, downside risk plays an important role in explaining farm inefficiency. Failure to account for downside risk overstates inefficiency and can lead to unrealistic expectations in potential efficiency improvements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5012-5020 Issue: 36 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.808313 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.808313 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:36:p:5012-5020 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diana Bowser Author-X-Name-First: Diana Author-X-Name-Last: Bowser Author-Name: David Canning Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Canning Title: The effect of health improvements due to tobacco control on earnings in the United States Abstract: There is minimal evidence causally estimating the relationship between tobacco tax policy, population health and earnings. This article uses state tobacco taxes as an instrument for life expectancy to estimate the effect on earnings per capita in a panel of almost 3000 counties in the United States over the period 1970 to 2000. In the first stage of the model, we find that a one dollar increase in state tobacco taxes significantly increases life expectancy between 1.9% and 2.1%. Despite showing that tobacco tax is correlated with higher life expectancy and that, theoretically, improvements in health from reductions in smoking should lead to increased earnings, we find an insignificant impact of the induced gains in life expectancy from tobacco policy on county level earnings per capita over the period 1970 to 2000. The lack of significance is explained through local average treatment effects and the smaller economic impact of certain policies that impact health later in life. These results provide further evidence that the most effective interventions for improving income later in life are policy interventions with a direct impact on the health of younger cohorts rather than older cohorts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5021-5030 Issue: 36 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.815310 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.815310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:36:p:5021-5030 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno P. Arruda Author-X-Name-First: Bruno P. Author-X-Name-Last: Arruda Author-Name: Pedro L. Valls Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Pedro L. Author-X-Name-Last: Valls Pereira Title: Analysis of the volatility's dependency structure during the subprime crisis Abstract: In this article, we test the hypothesis of contagion amongst sectors within the United States' economy during the subprime crisis. The econometric methodology applied here is based on the dynamic conditional correlation model proposed by Engle (2002). Further, we applied several Lagrange multiplier (LM)-robust tests to test whether there were structural breaks in series' dependency structures during the period of interest. Events theoretically classified as relevant to the crisis upshots as well as the interactions between the moments of the series were used as indicator functions to the referred structural breaks. The main conclusion of this study is that one can indeed observe contagion within almost all pairs of sectors' indices. Thus, we conclude that the dependency structure of the sectors of interest has faced structural changes during the years of 2007 and 2008. Hence, diversification strategies as well as the risk analysis inherent to the portfolios' management may have been drastically affected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5031-5045 Issue: 36 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.815311 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.815311 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:36:p:5031-5045 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raymond G. Riezman Author-X-Name-First: Raymond G. Author-X-Name-Last: Riezman Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Author-Name: Shunming Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shunming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Metrics capturing the degree to which individual economies are globalized Abstract: We discuss metrics of globalization for individual economies as distance measures between fully integrated and trade restricted equilibria in economies initially operating under less than full integration with the global economy. Such metrics can be used to construct country globalization metrics reflecting the distance of economies from full global integration due to trade barriers, barriers to factor flows, barriers to international financial intermediation, solved technological diffusion and other economy-specific features yielding less than full integration into the global economy. Many distance metrics present themselves and none are wholly satisfactory since they each behave differently across various displacements from integration. Distance measures can, for instance, be small in goods space but large in price space. We present alternative measures constructed for eight OECD economies and comment in a concluding section on other measures used elsewhere in the literature such as trade/GDP ratios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5046-5061 Issue: 36 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.815312 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.815312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:36:p:5046-5061 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rafael Martins de Souza Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Martins Author-X-Name-Last: de Souza Author-Name: Luiz Felipe Pires Maciel Author-X-Name-First: Luiz Felipe Pires Author-X-Name-Last: Maciel Author-Name: Adrian Pizzinga Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Pizzinga Title: State space models for the exchange rate pass-through: determinants and null/full pass-through hypotheses Abstract: In this article, we formulate linear Gaussian state space models for the estimation of the exchange rate pass-through of the Brazilian Real against the US Dollar, using monthly data from August 1999 to August 2008. The state space/Kalman filtering framework allows the investigation of some empirical aspects previously suggested in the literature, such as time-varying coefficients and null/full pass-through hypotheses. We also test whether some theoretical 'determinants' of the pass-through are statistically significant in the period considered. The principal findings are as follows: (1) the data offer strong support to a time-varying pass-through; and (2) the variance of the exchange rate pass-through, the monetary policy and the trade flow have shown to be relevant determinants of the exchange rate pass-through. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5062-5075 Issue: 36 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.815397 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.815397 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:36:p:5062-5075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. Coudert Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Coudert Author-Name: C. Couharde Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Couharde Author-Name: V. Mignon Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Mignon Title: Pegging emerging currencies in the face of dollar swings Abstract: The aim of this article is to study ruptures of exchange rate pegs by focusing on the fluctuations of the anchor currency. We test for the hypothesis that currencies linked to the USD are more likely to loosen their peg when the USD is appreciating, while sticking to it otherwise. To this end, we estimate smooth-transition regression models for a sample of 28 emerging currencies over the 1994--2011 period. Our findings show that while the real effective exchange rates of most of these countries tend to co-move with that of the USD in times of depreciation, this relationship is frequently reversed when the US currency appreciates over a certain threshold. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5076-5085 Issue: 36 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.818215 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.818215 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:36:p:5076-5085 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olga Isengildina-Massa Author-X-Name-First: Olga Author-X-Name-Last: Isengildina-Massa Author-Name: Berna Karali Author-X-Name-First: Berna Author-X-Name-Last: Karali Author-Name: Scott H. Irwin Author-X-Name-First: Scott H. Author-X-Name-Last: Irwin Title: When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes? Abstract: This study analysed forecasts for all US corn, soya bean and wheat categories published within the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE ) reports over the 1987/88 through 2009/10 marketing years in an attempt to identify patterns and better understand when the USDA forecasters make mistakes. Two general sources of errors were investigated: behavioural and macroeconomic factors. The first objective was to examine how these factors affect the size of the forecast error and the second concentrated on the direction of the error due to these effects. Our findings suggest that the largest increase in the size of USDA forecast errors was associated with structural changes in commodity markets that took place in the mid-2000s. Corn, soya bean and wheat forecast errors also grew during the periods of economic growth and with changes in exchange rates, while inflation and changes in oil price had a much smaller impact. With respect to behavioural sources, we identified patterns consistent with leniency and pessimism across different categories. Predictability of forecast errors based on the information available at the time the forecasts are made provides evidence of inefficiency and suggests that these forecasts may be improved using the findings of this study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5086-5103 Issue: 36 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.818213 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.818213 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:36:p:5086-5103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas A. Jolly Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas A. Author-X-Name-Last: Jolly Title: The impact of work-limiting disabilities on earnings and income mobility Abstract: This article uses the 1968--2007 waves of the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) to examine how work-limiting disabilities influence the intragenerational earnings and income mobility of individuals. The results show that work-limiting disabilities increase the probability of downward mobility for several years after onset. Furthermore, the probability of being in the bottom portions of the distributions increases significantly, not only during the year of onset but also for at least 10 years afterwards. These results are more pronounced for those individuals suffering from a disability that is more chronic or severe in nature. Income from spousal earnings and government transfer payments offers some protection against disability's adverse effect, with more protection being provided to those who are more chronically disabled. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5104-5118 Issue: 36 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.818212 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.818212 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:36:p:5104-5118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sonila M. Tomini Author-X-Name-First: Sonila M. Author-X-Name-Last: Tomini Author-Name: Wim Groot Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Groot Title: Paying informally for public health care in Albania: scarce resources or governance failure? Abstract: Informal payments for health care are common in most former communist countries. This article explores the demand side of these payments in Albania. Using tobit and Heckman selection models we control for individual determinants of informal payments in outpatient and inpatient health care. Propensity score matching (PSM) techniques are used to investigate the changes in the characteristics of people paying informally over the different years. Our findings suggest that vulnerable groups in society remain less protected against such payments and policy measures have not reached the most deprived regions of the country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5119-5130 Issue: 36 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.818216 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.818216 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:36:p:5119-5130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mari Kangasniemi Author-X-Name-First: Mari Author-X-Name-Last: Kangasniemi Author-Name: Antti Kauhanen Author-X-Name-First: Antti Author-X-Name-Last: Kauhanen Title: Performance-related pay and gender wage differences Abstract: We study the impact of performance-related pay (PRP) on gender wage differences using Finnish-linked employer--employee panel data. Controlling for unobserved person and firm effects, we find that bonuses increase women's earnings slightly less than men's, but the economic significance of the difference is negligible. Piece rates and reward rates, however, tend to increase gender wage differentials. Thus, the nature of a PRP plan is important for gauging the impact of PRP on gender wage differentials. A comparison with OLS results shows the importance of controlling for an unobserved person and firm effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5131-5143 Issue: 36 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.824546 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.824546 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:36:p:5131-5143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Hanafiah Harvey Author-X-Name-First: Hanafiah Author-X-Name-Last: Harvey Author-Name: Scott W. Hegerty Author-X-Name-First: Scott W. Author-X-Name-Last: Hegerty Title: Brazil--US commodity trade and the J-Curve Abstract: Currency devaluation or depreciation is said to temporarily worsen a country's trade balance and improve it later, an effect that is called the J-Curve. Previous research that tested the J-Curve for Brazil used the country's aggregate trade flows with the rest of the world and did not find support for the phenomenon. In this article, we consider the trade flows between Brazil and a major trading partner, the United States, disaggregating their trade flows by commodity. We then test the empirical validity of the J-Curve for each of the 92 industries that trade between the two countries. We find support for the phenomenon in 31 industries. Therefore, disaggregation by industry seems to yield some support for the phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-13 Issue: 1 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.824548 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.824548 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:1:p:1-13 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Horst Feldmann Author-X-Name-First: Horst Author-X-Name-Last: Feldmann Title: Venture capital availability and labour market performance around the world Abstract: This article studies the effects of venture capital on the performance of the labour market. Using data from a much larger sample of countries than previous papers, it finds more readily available venture capital to favourably affect both the unemployment and the employment rate. The magnitude of the estimated effects is substantial. We control for both endogeneity of venture capital availability and most major determinants of labour market performance. The results are robust to variations in specification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 14-29 Issue: 1 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.826874 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.826874 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:1:p:14-29 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Kelly Burns Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Burns Title: A reappraisal of the Meese--Rogoff puzzle Abstract: Several explanations have been put forward for the Meese--Rogoff puzzle that exchange rate models cannot outperform the random walk in out-of-sample forecasting. We suggest that a simple explanation for the puzzle is the use of the root mean square error (RMSE) to measure forecasting accuracy, presenting a rationale as to why it is difficult to beat the random walk in terms of the RMSE. By using exactly the same exchange rates, time periods and estimation methods as those of Meese and Rogoff, we find that their results cannot be overturned even if the models are estimated with time-varying coefficients. However, we also find that the random walk can be outperformed by the same models if forecasting accuracy is measured in terms of the ability to predict direction, in terms of a measure that combines magnitude and direction and in terms of profitability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 30-40 Issue: 1 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.829202 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.829202 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:1:p:30-40 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Samarina Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Samarina Author-Name: Mirre Terpstra Author-X-Name-First: Mirre Author-X-Name-Last: Terpstra Author-Name: Jakob De Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Title: Inflation targeting and inflation performance: a comparative analysis Abstract: This article examines how the impact of inflation targeting on inflation performance depends on the choice of country samples, adoption dates, time periods and methodological approaches. We apply two different estimation methods -- difference-in-differences and propensity score matching -- for our sample of 25 advanced and 59 emerging and developing countries over the period 1985 to 2011. Our findings suggest that distinguishing countries by economic development is crucial, as no effect of inflation targeting is found for advanced economies, whereas the results suggest a significant negative effect of inflation targeting on inflation in emerging and developing countries. The results are robust to the methodology used for the analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 41-56 Issue: 1 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.829205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.829205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:1:p:41-56 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas T. Thøgersen Author-X-Name-First: Thomas T. Author-X-Name-Last: Thøgersen Author-Name: Sean Pascoe Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Pascoe Title: Combining performance measures to investigate capacity changes in fisheries Abstract: The Common Fisheries Policy (CFP) aims to achieve a balance between the European fleet capacity and the resources available. This can be realized either by temporarily reducing the fishing effort (i.e. capacity utilization) or quotas in the hope of increasing the resources available or reducing the actual fishing capacity. In both cases, the relationship between effort indicators and capacity needs to be resolved in order for the manager to introduce the right interventions. Previous studies have estimated these relationships in multi-species fisheries using either a multi-output distance function approach (DFA) or with a second stage Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). Both approaches have advantages and disadvantages. In this article, DEA and DFA are combined to reduce noise in the estimation and to establish more useful interpretations for the manager. The article compares the traditional DFA with the alternative approach for the Danish North Sea demersal trawlers. The alternative approach improves the estimation results and provides better estimates of efficiency scores, compared to the unadjusted DFA. Furthermore, the analyses suggest that the demersal trawlers have a limited ability to substitute catches of cod, plaice and Nephrops and that gross tonnage is a more consistent indicator of fishing capacity than engine power. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 57-69 Issue: 1 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.829203 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.829203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:1:p:57-69 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Maennig Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Maennig Author-Name: M. Steenbeck Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Steenbeck Author-Name: M. Wilhelm Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Wilhelm Title: Rhythms and cycles in happiness Abstract: This study analyses time-dependent rhythms in happiness in three aspects. We show that the Sunday neurosis exists exclusively for men with a medium level of education and both men and women with high levels of education. Men with high levels of education may even experience a weekend neurosis. This study is the first to test for intra-monthly rhythms and to demonstrate that men with a lower educational background may suffer from negative effects on happiness towards the end of the month, potentially because of liquidity problems. The study is also the first to demonstrate that happiness exhibits seasonal effects over the annual period, depending on gender and education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 70-78 Issue: 1 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.829206 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.829206 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:1:p:70-78 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Berlemann Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Berlemann Author-Name: Marco Oestmann Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Oestmann Author-Name: Marcel Thum Author-X-Name-First: Marcel Author-X-Name-Last: Thum Title: Demographic change and bank profitability: empirical evidence from German savings banks Abstract: Most European economies will experience significant demographic changes in the decades ahead. Due to low birth rates, populations are shrinking and ageing at the same time. This article explores the impact of demographic change on the banking industry. A unique data set, which contains detailed information on almost 2.5 million accounts in 11 German savings banks, allows us estimating the socio-demographic determinants of retail profitability. Using a simulation model, we predict the development of bank profitability resulting from demographic shifts through 2025. Our central finding is that the effects of population ageing will partially offset the impact of shrinking customer bases. While the decline in the size of the population reduces the customer base, ageing increases profitability per se, as older customers typically generate higher profits for their banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 79-94 Issue: 1 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.829262 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.829262 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:1:p:79-94 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. Tsuchiya Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuchiya Title: A directional evaluation of corporate executives' exchange rate forecasts Abstract: We investigate the directional accuracy of exchange rate forecasts by corporate executives. We find that a forecast with a 1-year horizon is valuable for the profitability and unprofitability predictions of manufacturers, although previous studies provide considerable evidence that forecasts with horizons of 1 year and longer are not valuable. However, a forecast is not valuable in predicting an appreciation or depreciation of the exchange rate. Our findings suggest that corporate executives are more concerned about and focused on the impact of the exchange rate on their profitability, rather than the exchange rate itself. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 95-101 Issue: 1 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.831173 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.831173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:1:p:95-101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Stevens Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Stevens Title: Identification problems in Granger causality tests based on the net oil price increase Abstract: The net oil price increase is one of the most popular models used to study the relationship between changes in the price of oil and macroeconomic activity. The model postulates that an increase in the price of oil has negative consequences for the economy if the new price exceeds the maximum price observed over a reference period of arbitrary length. The relationship between the net oil price increase and other economic variables is often evaluated with Granger causality tests, the results of which are sensitive to the choice of the reference period. If the reference price is chosen to best fit the data, it becomes an unidentified nuisance parameter under the null hypothesis, causing standard tests to over-reject the null. This article proposes a simple method to obtain correct critical values. Using US data for the period 1954 to 2012, it is found that these corrected critical values reduce, but do not eliminate support for the proposition that the net oil price increase Granger causes real USGDP growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 102-110 Issue: 1 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.831170 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.831170 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:1:p:102-110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Florin G. Maican Author-X-Name-First: Florin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Maican Author-Name: Richard J. Sweeney Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Sweeney Title: Costs of misspecification in break-model unit-root tests Abstract: This article examines power issues for the ADF and four break models (Perron, 1989; Zivot and Andrews, 1992) when the DGP corresponds to one of the break models. Choosing to test an incorrect break model can, but need not, greatly reduce the probability of rejecting the null. Break points that are relatively early in the sample period have substantial effects of increasing power. For modest shifts in time trends, simply including a time trend without shift in the model preserves power, but not for large time-trend shifts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 111-118 Issue: 1 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.831171 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.831171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:1:p:111-118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steve Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Duncan Watson Author-X-Name-First: Duncan Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Author-Name: Louise Parker Author-X-Name-First: Louise Author-X-Name-Last: Parker Title: New evidence on the importance of gender and asymmetry in the crime--unemployment relationship Abstract: The literature examining the crime--unemployment relationship is vast. Three recent developments in the analysis of this relationship are combined with a novel empirical method to explore the importance of gender effects and asymmetric adjustment when analysing the impact of unemployment upon criminal activity. Using data for the United States of America, a number of interesting results are obtained. The key finding concerns the importance of gender, with opportunity effects in criminal activity detected when considering female, but not male, unemployment. Further examination shows findings to support theories associated with 'victimization' and worsening socio-economic conditions, rather than those emphasizing 'latchkey care' effects and an absence of guardianship. Consideration of motivation effects provides further evidence of significant asymmetries in the response of crime to unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 119-126 Issue: 2 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.835481 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.835481 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:2:p:119-126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. J. Sanders Author-X-Name-First: D. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Sanders Author-Name: J. V. Balagtas Author-X-Name-First: J. V. Author-X-Name-Last: Balagtas Author-Name: G. Gruere Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Gruere Title: Revisiting the palm oil boom in South-East Asia: fuel versus food demand drivers Abstract: In the past 30 years, palm oil production has increased ninefold, with almost all the growth occurring in Malaysia and Indonesia. This growth has been associated with extensive deforestation, with biofuels often named as the principal driver. However, other drivers have been less examined; in particular, restrictions on genetically modified food in Europe and on trans fats in many developed countries have led food companies to switch to using palm oil in production. This article uses a price analysis to examine the drivers of palm oil production growth during the 1980--2010 boom. Soya bean oil is used in the analysis as the leading vegetable oil, while crude oil represents the energy market; the prices of these oils, along with palm oil, are tested in vector autoregression (VAR) and vector error correction models. The two models consistently find that palm oil prices do not appear to respond to short-run fluctuations in crude oil prices. Rather, they are a function of lagged palm oil prices and current and lagged soya bean oil prices. Overall, the results indicate that while palm and soya bean oil markets have a potentially significant relationship, the crude oil market does not appear to have been an important driver of the palm oil boom. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 127-138 Issue: 2 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.835479 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.835479 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:2:p:127-138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sophocles N. Brissimis Author-X-Name-First: Sophocles N. Author-X-Name-Last: Brissimis Author-Name: Eugenie N. Garganas Author-X-Name-First: Eugenie N. Author-X-Name-Last: Garganas Author-Name: Stephen G. Hall Author-X-Name-First: Stephen G. Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Title: Consumer credit in an era of financial liberalization: an overreaction to repressed demand? Abstract: In this article, we empirically analyse the factors which determined consumer credit in Greece in the period before and after the financial liberalization, while accounting for significant changes in structure due to the lifting of credit restrictions and the subsequent impressive boom of consumer loans. We use multivariate cointegration techniques to estimate a vector error correction model (VECM) and identify separate demand and supply relationships for consumer loans. We introduce demand and supply-related shifts in parameters through the inclusion of appropriate dummy variables and trends in the long-run relationships. We partly deviate from the typical Johansen procedure and estimate the model in two steps. We find that the theoretical exclusion and coefficient-size restrictions on the demand and supply cointegrating vectors are valid. Our results are consistent with the operation of a bank lending channel in Greece. We also find that the supply side was mostly responsible for the acceleration of consumer loan growth following credit liberalization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 139-152 Issue: 2 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.835482 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.835482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:2:p:139-152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heather Brown Author-X-Name-First: Heather Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Arne Risa Hole Author-X-Name-First: Arne Risa Author-X-Name-Last: Hole Author-Name: Jennifer Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Title: Going the same 'weigh': spousal correlations in obesity in the United Kingdom Abstract: The obesity epidemic has received widespread media and research attention. However, the social phenomenon of obesity is still not well understood. Data from the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) show positive and significant correlations in spousal body mass index (BMI). This article explores the three mechanisms of matching in the marriage market, social learning and shared environment to explain this correlation. We apply a novel method of testing for social learning by focusing on how the addition of individual and partner health and marriage length affects the correlation in spousal BMI. Results show the importance of matching in the marriage market in explaining correlated BMI outcomes. There is significant correlation in partner BMI even after controlling for own health, spouse health, marriage length and regional effects, suggesting evidence of a social influence. However, it does not appear to be a learning effect as the spouse health and marriage length are insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 153-166 Issue: 2 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.837575 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.837575 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:2:p:153-166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mardi Dungey Author-X-Name-First: Mardi Author-X-Name-Last: Dungey Author-Name: Renee Fry-McKibbin Author-X-Name-First: Renee Author-X-Name-Last: Fry-McKibbin Author-Name: Verity Linehan Author-X-Name-First: Verity Author-X-Name-Last: Linehan Title: Chinese resource demand and the natural resource supplier Abstract: This article provides empirical evidence on the effects of Chinese resource demand on the resource-rich natural resource supplier using the example of Australia. A structural VAR model is used to examine the effects of Chinese resource demand, commodity prices and foreign output on the macroeconomy with a formally specified mining and resource export sector. The key findings of the article are that shocks to Chinese demand and commodity prices result in a sustained increase in commodity prices and mining investment and a positive impact on the resource sector. However, these shocks eventually lead to lower real domestic output with factors of production moving out of the nonresource sectors and into the resource sector, resulting in a fall in nonresource sector output which is not fully offset by the rise in resource sector output. The results also indicate some market power by the natural resource supplier. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 167-178 Issue: 2 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.835483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.835483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:2:p:167-178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faiza Azhar Khan Author-X-Name-First: Faiza Azhar Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: John Hudson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Title: Initial human capital or the rule of law: what matters for the income convergence of poor countries? Abstract: The article analyses conditional β-convergence among the low income countries using a panel data framework covering the period 1960 to 2008. The estimation of conditional income convergence is based on the augmented Solow model with system GMM technique for the dynamic panel data. More importantly, the article assesses the role of initial human capital stock and the rule of law in the income convergence of poor countries by considering further categorizations of the poor countries based on these two variables. This is the first study on the comparative properties of human capital and the rule of law in the income convergence of poor countries utilizing a dynamic panel framework. The full sample of low income countries does not show any evidence of conditional income convergence. The categorizations on the basis of initial human capital stock do not alter the conclusion of no income convergence. However, the subsample of low income countries with a better rule of law exhibits positive evidence of convergence towards the steady states. The article concludes that there exists a greater role of the rule of law, than initial human capital stock, in the income convergence of poor countries and vice versa for the high and middle income countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 179-189 Issue: 2 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.831172 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.831172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:2:p:179-189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarah Holton Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Holton Author-Name: Martina Lawless Author-X-Name-First: Martina Author-X-Name-Last: Lawless Author-Name: Fergal McCann Author-X-Name-First: Fergal Author-X-Name-Last: McCann Title: Firm credit in the euro area: a tale of three crises Abstract: Using survey data from 2009 to 2011, we analyse the effects of the recent euro area economic, financial and private debt crisis on the supply of and demand for bank finance for small and medium enterprises (SMEs). At the country level, we identify three distinct aspects of the recent crisis in the euro area affecting firm credit through different channels. Controlling for country fixed effects, the impact of a weak real economy on firm credit operates both by reducing firms' demand for bank financing and by lenders increasing loan rejections and tightening terms and conditions on credit allocated. On the other hand, financial conditions have no significant effect on demand, but they do affect credit supply as we find that financial tensions worsen the chances of obtaining credit and its terms and conditions. We interpret this as evidence of a bank balance sheet channel negatively impacting credit provision. We find that private sector indebtedness has important effects on SMEs' credit access and its terms and conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 190-211 Issue: 2 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.824547 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.824547 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:2:p:190-211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosa Duarte Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Duarte Author-Name: Vicente Pinilla Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Pinilla Author-Name: Ana Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Serrano Title: Looking backward to look forward: water use and economic growth from a long-term perspective Abstract: Recent research has examined the relationship between natural resources and economic growth. Considered vitally important, not only for humanity's well-being but also for the integrity of the ecosystem, the relationship between water use and economic growth has nevertheless traditionally attracted little attention by analysts. This article studies water use trends from 1900 to 2000 throughout the world and their relationship to the main determinants of economic growth. To do this, we first analyse water use trajectories. Second, to proceed with the determinants of water use, we reformulate the Ehrlich and Holdren's impact, population, affluence, technology (IPAT) equation (1971), decomposing water use trends into changes in economic demands and in water use intensity on the basis of a decomposition analysis. Finally, a simple scenario analysis is conducted, to project future water use trends under different economic, demographic and technological assumptions. The empirical evidence shows that economic and population growth have been crucial in explaining the increase in water use over the past 100 years, with significant regional differences. Nevertheless, the decline in water use intensity has been responsible for a significant reduction in the growth of total water use. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 212-224 Issue: 2 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.844329 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.844329 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:2:p:212-224 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H鲩court Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: H鲩court Author-Name: Spielvogel Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Spielvogel Title: Beliefs, media exposure and policy preferences on immigration: evidence from Europe Abstract: This article studies the joint determination of beliefs about the economic impact of immigration and immigration policy preferences, using data from the five rounds of the European Social Survey (2002--2010). In addition to standard socio-economic characteristics, this analysis takes individual media consumption into account, as a determinant of opinion about immigration. Our results stress the important role of the endogenous determination of beliefs, which appears as a major determinant of policy preferences. Moreover, media exposure appears as a key determinant of beliefs: individuals who spend more time to get informed on social and political matters through newspapers and radio have a better opinion on the economic impact of immigration compared with individuals who devote time to other types of content. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 225-239 Issue: 2 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.844330 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.844330 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:2:p:225-239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Asma Mobarek Author-X-Name-First: Asma Author-X-Name-Last: Mobarek Author-Name: Alovaddin Kalonov Author-X-Name-First: Alovaddin Author-X-Name-Last: Kalonov Title: Comparative performance analysis between conventional and Islamic banks: empirical evidence from OIC countries Abstract: This article investigates the performance of Islamic (IBs) versus conventional banks (CBs) around the recent financial crisis in 18 OIC (Organization of Islamic Conference) countries. The study primarily employs two dominant frontier approaches of efficiency measurement in banking literature. The study also estimates the soundness score of the banks by using Z-score methodology and attempts to explore the relationship between efficiency and financial stability of banks. The results based on the data envelopment analysis (DEA) and stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) approaches report that CBs are more efficient than their Islamic counterparts. On the contrary, Z-score reports that IBs were financially more stable than CBs. However, the dominance of IBs has been drastically lost afterwards. This might be originated by the decrease of Z-score of IBs in Bahrain, Kuwait and UAE, which were found as main front-runners among IBs in terms of financial stability. To the best of authors' knowledge, it is the first study that examines the efficiency of IBs versus CBs using two different frontier efficiency analyses and collates the result of frontier efficiency methods with stability indicator. The practical implication of the findings for IBs is to explore additional investment opportunity and for CBs is to uphold more financial stability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 253-270 Issue: 3 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.839863 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.839863 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:3:p:253-270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Breunig Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Breunig Author-Name: Bronwyn Garrett-Rumba Author-X-Name-First: Bronwyn Author-X-Name-Last: Garrett-Rumba Author-Name: Mathieu Jardin Author-X-Name-First: Mathieu Author-X-Name-Last: Jardin Author-Name: Yvon Rocaboy Author-X-Name-First: Yvon Author-X-Name-Last: Rocaboy Title: Wage dispersion and team performance: a theoretical model and evidence from baseball Abstract: We develop a general theoretical model of the effect of wage dispersion on team performance which nests two possibilities: wage inequality may have either negative or positive effects on team performance. A parameter which captures the marginal cost of effort, which we estimate using game-level data from Major League Baseball, determines whether wage dispersion and team performance are negatively or positively related. We find low marginal cost of effort; consequently, wage disparity is negatively related to team performance. Game and season-level regressions also indicate a negative relationship between inequality and performance. We discuss a variety of interpretations of our results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 271-281 Issue: 3 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.839864 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.839864 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:3:p:271-281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lena Dr䧥r Author-X-Name-First: Lena Author-X-Name-Last: Dr䧥r Author-Name: Jan-Oliver Menz Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Menz Author-Name: Ulrich Fritsche Author-X-Name-First: Ulrich Author-X-Name-Last: Fritsche Title: Perceived inflation under loss aversion Abstract: Building on prospect theory, we apply the concept of loss aversion to the formation of inflation perceptions and test empirically for nonlinearities in the inflation-perceptions relation for a panel of 10 Euro area countries. Specifically, under the assumption of loss aversion, inflation changes above a certain reference rate will be perceived more strongly. Rejecting rationality of inflation perceptions in general under symmetric loss and in a majority of cases under flexible loss functions, panel smooth transition models give evidence of nonlinearities in the inflation-perceptions relation regarding both actual inflation and time. This result is confirmed by dynamic fixed effects estimates, where the slope of the estimated value function is significantly steeper in the loss region and the implied average reference inflation rate is found close to 2%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 282-293 Issue: 3 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.844328 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.844328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:3:p:282-293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Credit constraints and exports: evidence for German manufacturing enterprises Abstract: This study uses newly available enterprise-level data for firms from manufacturing industries in Germany to test for the link between credit constraints, measured by a credit-rating score from the leading credit-rating agency Creditreform, and exports. In line with hypotheses from a theoretical model, we find a positive link between a better credit-rating score of a firm and both the probability that the firm is an exporter and a higher share of exports in total sales. This link, though statistically highly significant, is not very strong from an economic point of view. While empirical evidence for the hypothesis that credit-constrained firms are less likely to start to export is, at best, weak, we find no evidence for a statistically significant difference in credit-rating scores between firms that stopped to export and firms that continued to export. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 294-302 Issue: 3 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.839866 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.839866 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:3:p:294-302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hirokazu Mizobata Author-X-Name-First: Hirokazu Author-X-Name-Last: Mizobata Title: What determines the Japanese firm investments: real or financial? Abstract: In this article, I test both the real and the financial frictions in the Japanese firm investments using structural approach. The real represents the nonconvex capital adjustment costs, and the financial means the financing constraints. These two factors have been studied for a long time, but rarely analysed simultaneously. Through this analysis, I find the following results. First, both these two factors affect Japanese firm investments. Second, convex adjustment costs parameter is estimated at a very small level. Third, this small convex adjustment costs lead to the model introduced in Wang and Wen (2012), which insists that the firm investments are determined by the upper bound of the borrowing constraints. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 303-311 Issue: 3 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.839867 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.839867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:3:p:303-311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tai-Yi Yu Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: An empirical study of collaborative partnering among enterprises and government organizations for information system outsourcing Abstract: Most researches on information systems (IS) outsourcing indicate that public sector decides to outsource information technology (IT) services due to the belief that private vendors offer more cost advantages. This research explores government sectors of outsourcing and focus on the role of relationship for IS-service providers. Quantitative data of 126 questionnaires and 30 IS demonstrate that trust, mutual dependence, equipment investment and information sharing are contributing factors to successful outsourcing long-term partnerships. Information sharing between the service receiver and provider is also vital in terms of equipment investment in long-term partnerships, and is affected by the level of trust that each party holds for the other within the outsourcing process. Conceptual model is useful in explicating important government-business partnering strategies - the model highlights not only the economic benefits that the IS-outsourcing relationship brings based on social exchange theory characteristics, but also suggests many additional relevant elements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 312-322 Issue: 3 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.844332 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.844332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:3:p:312-322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: David Lester Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: A subcultural study of credit card debt and foreclosures Abstract: This study explored predictors of credit card debt and foreclosure rates in the states of the USA, based on the average personality scores of the residents of the states obtained from an Internet questionnaire completed by 619 397 residents (Rentfrow et al., 2008). It was found that states whose residents had higher credit card debt in the year 2000 had residents who scored higher in openness and lower in agreeableness. States with higher foreclosure rates in 2007 had residents who scored higher in openness and also had lower average intelligence test scores. The results were used to argue for a subcultural approach for ecological studies of economic behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 323-328 Issue: 3 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.839865 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.839865 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:3:p:323-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ralf Fendel Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Fendel Author-Name: Jan-Christoph Ruelke Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Ruelke Title: Expectations and the quantity equation - evidence from Eastern European countries Abstract: This article analyses the usefulness of the quantity equation from the financial market's view. We use more than 10 000 forecasts of financial analysts concerning projections of the growth rate of money supply, prices and real output for six Central and Eastern European countries to test whether they are internally consistent with the quantity equation. In particular, we report that forecasts are consistent with the quantity equation in high-inflation countries and high-inflation regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 329-335 Issue: 3 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.839862 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.839862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:3:p:329-335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauro Caselli Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Caselli Title: Trade, skill-biased technical change and wages in Mexican manufacturing Abstract: This article looks at the relative importance of competing stories, particularly trade liberalization and skill-biased technical change, to explain changes in the skill premium and the real wages of unskilled and skilled workers in Mexican manufacturing using plant-level data. The channel through which technical change is observed is changes in the domestic price of machinery and equipment due to the availability of new and cheaper machines. The analysis also looks at trade-induced skill-biased technical change by taking into account changes in the price of machinery and equipment caused by changes in the tariff rate specific to machinery and equipment. Instrumental variables, including the price of machinery and equipment in the United States, are used to determine causality between the above effects and wages. Thus, the article provides evidence for some recent findings in the literature that link trade liberalization, skill-biased technical change occurring through technology embodied in machines and increases in the skill premium. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 336-348 Issue: 3 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.848033 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.848033 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:3:p:336-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ant󮩯 Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Ant󮩯 Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Title: Fiscal composition and long-term growth Abstract: We assess the fiscal composition-growth nexus, using a large country panel, accounting for the usually encountered econometric pitfalls. Our results show that revenues have no significant impact on growth whereas expenditures have negative effects. The same is true for the OECD with the addition that government revenue has a negative impact on growth. From our results, taxes on income are less for growth enhancing, as well as public wages, interest payments, subsidies and government consumption, while spending on education and health boosts growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 349-358 Issue: 3 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.848030 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.848030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:3:p:349-358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Does foreign aid reduce tax revenue? Further evidence Abstract: A common criticism of foreign aid is that it reduces domestic tax effort. Empirical research on the issue has been hampered by the failure to tackle endogeneity issues effectively. We use measures of geographical and cultural distance to donor countries as instrumental variables to uncover the causal effect of aid on tax revenue in a panel of 93 countries. The tax to GDP ratio is found to decrease following aid inflows. This reduction in tax effort is statistically and economically significant; a one SD increase in aid causes a 0.52 percentage point drop in the tax-to-GDP ratio. The results indicate that the effect is driven by unconditional grants, whereas aid given as loans induces recipient governments to improve their tax effort. Our results are robust to changes in the sample and the use of a nearest neighbour matching technique to account for nonrandom assignment of aid. Our identification strategy is sharpened by the use of a difference-in-difference estimation strategy that leverages a natural experiment in which aid flows exogenously increased for some countries following the Iranian Revolution in 1979. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 359-373 Issue: 4 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.829207 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.829207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:4:p:359-373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Gazi Salah Uddin Author-X-Name-First: Gazi Salah Author-X-Name-Last: Uddin Title: On the causal nexus of remittances and poverty reduction in Bangladesh Abstract: The aim of this article is to investigate the causal relationship between remittances and poverty reduction in Bangladesh over the period 1976 to 2010. This issue is of fundamental importance for the developing economy of Bangladesh. We apply newly developed methods by Hacker and Hatemi-J (2006, 2012) that are based on simulations and are robust to the violation of statistical assumptions especially when the sample size is small, as is the case in this article. Our estimation results reveal that causality nexus of poverty and remittances is bi-directional. We also find that the causal impact of poverty reduction on remittance is stronger than the reverse impact. This finding implies that Bangladeshi policy-makers can influence remittances through poverty reduction in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 374-382 Issue: 4 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.844331 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.844331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:4:p:374-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Jos Jansen Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Jos Jansen Author-Name: Ad C. J. Stokman Author-X-Name-First: Ad C. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Stokman Title: International business cycle co-movement: the role of FDI Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between FDI and business cycle synchronization in the period 1982 to 2011 for eight industrialized countries. We find that more synchronized business cycles are associated with stronger FDI relations in the period 1995 to 2011, but not before 1995. More intensive FDI links are also associated with a greater vulnerability to lagged output spillovers from abroad. Our findings suggest that FDI has become a separate channel through which economies may affect each other and that FDI stocks are now an essential aspect of economic interdependence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 383-393 Issue: 4 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.844327 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.844327 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:4:p:383-393 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Title: Explaining peak inflation rates prior to disinflationary policy adjustments or what got us into this mess? Abstract: This study investigates, using annual data from 1974--2004, whether unionization rates, trade openness and central bank independence can help explain cross-national and inter-temporal variations in level of peak inflation prior to a disinflationary policy adjustment. I find that unionization is positively associated with both peak inflation rates whereas more independent central banks and trade openness are correlated with lower inflation levels. These results are robust to controlling for the high inflation decade of the 1970s and to using average (rather than peak) inflation as the explanatory variable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 394-399 Issue: 4 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.848032 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.848032 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:4:p:394-399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shu-Chun Chang Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Implication for cities of the liberalizing national economies in twenty-first century Abstract: For cities, the liberalization of national economies and the creation of a global economy have profound and far-reaching implications: global capitalist restructuring has been a key force in reshaping cities during the late1980s, 1990s and 2000s; it has demanded the production and use of new information technologies and in doing so, has forged new relationships among new technologies and new spatial forms and processes in cities. Technological innovation and territorial restructuring have also deeply modified cities' emerging socio-economic systems. At the centre of change are the three major global cities -- New York, Tokyo and London (Sassen, 1993). Other cities that have been affected by the liberalization and creation of a global economy are found mainly in newly industrializing Asian countries such as Seoul, Singapore and Hong Kong. Bombay, Mexico City and cities in South America are among countries in the developing world that have experienced some change in their economies in response to changing world conditions, but are still constrained by protectionist policies. Among these changes, therefore, this study will focus on structural change occurring in cities in the developed countries, particularly New York, London and Tokyo. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 400-407 Issue: 4 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.848029 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.848029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:4:p:400-407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Louren篠S. Paz Author-X-Name-First: Louren篠S. Author-X-Name-Last: Paz Title: Trade liberalization and the inter-industry wage premia: the missing role of productivity Abstract: The literature concerning the effect of tariffs on the inter-industry wage premium has not addressed the role of total factor productivity (TFP) in determining both the wage premium and tariffs. This omission not only overlooks an important determinant of wage premium but also invalidates the use of the pre-reform tariff level as an instrument for the change in tariffs. Based on an analysis of Colombian data, I find that including TFP in the estimated model of the effects of tariffs on the wage premium leads to a 41% decrease in the effect of tariffs on the inter-industry wage premium relative to the model that omits TFP. More specifically, a 10 percentage point decrease in tariffs reduces the wage premium by 1.01%, whereas a 10% increase in TFP raise wage premium by 1.6%. This finding suggests the importance of using policies that boost productivity to offset the effect of tariffs on the wage premium. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 408-419 Issue: 4 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.848031 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.848031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:4:p:408-419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-pierre Fenech Author-X-Name-First: Jean-pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Fenech Author-Name: Hamed Vosgha Author-X-Name-First: Hamed Author-X-Name-Last: Vosgha Author-Name: Salwa Shafik Author-X-Name-First: Salwa Author-X-Name-Last: Shafik Title: Modelling the dependence structures of Australian iTraxx CDS index Abstract: In contrast to market expectations, the correlation between credit default swap (CDS) spreads and their respective stock prices in Australia was found to be positive. The global financial crisis (GFC) affected the nonlinear association between the two asset classes with firms experiencing financial distress and stock prices plummeting. CDSs issuers reacted to such exogenous shocks by increasing their risk premiums on their spreads, reflecting the increased inherent risk. By splitting the data into pre- and post-GFC contexts and by employing the use of Archimedean copulas, we observe a negative co-movement in the post-GFC period. This finding is robust to several equity indices. Overall, such result is critical for investors engaging in arbitrageur activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 420-431 Issue: 4 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.849378 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.849378 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:4:p:420-431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian R. Fleissig Author-X-Name-First: Adrian R. Author-X-Name-Last: Fleissig Author-Name: Gerald A. Whitney Author-X-Name-First: Gerald A. Author-X-Name-Last: Whitney Title: Estimating demand elasticities under rationing Abstract: Eliminating rationing in the United Kingdom following the Second World War was a concern for policy-makers because of potentially large fluctuations in post-war prices and the impact on unrationed goods. This study shows that in using virtual prices, elasticities can be estimated from a 'free' demand system consistent with observed consumer choices. Substitution estimates without accounting for rationing are misleading. In contrast, using virtual prices and estimating a 'free' market system yield results similar to those of the pre-war period. Results show that food rationing affected expenditure across unrationed goods. Rationing on other services had little effect on expenditure across unrationed goods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 432-440 Issue: 4 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.849379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.849379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:4:p:432-440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Bajo-Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Bajo-Rubio Author-Name: Carmen D𮠭Roldᮠ Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: D𮠭Roldᮠ Author-Name: Esteve Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Esteve Title: Sustainability of external imbalances in the OECD countries Abstract: In this article, we provide a test of the sustainability of external imbalances in the OECD countries over the period 1970 to 2007, i.e., before the beginning of the international financial crisis. Specifically, we deal with the case of those countries that have experienced current account deficits in more than half of the years throughout the period of analysis, and address the recent critique of Bohn (2007) on unit root and cointegration tests of the intertemporal budget constraint. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 441-449 Issue: 4 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.851779 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.851779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:4:p:441-449 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roman Horvath Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Horvath Author-Name: Marek Rusnak Author-X-Name-First: Marek Author-X-Name-Last: Rusnak Author-Name: Katerina Smidkova Author-X-Name-First: Katerina Author-X-Name-Last: Smidkova Author-Name: Jan Zapal Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Zapal Title: The dissent voting behaviour of central bankers: what do we really know? Abstract: We examine the determinants of the dissent in central bank boards voting records about monetary policy rates in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Sweden, the UK and the US. In contrast to previous studies, we consider 25 different macroeconomic, financial, institutional, psychological or preference-related factors jointly and use Bayesian model averaging (BMA) to formally assess the attendant model uncertainty. We find that the rate of dissent is between 5% and 20% for the examined central banks. Our results suggest that most of the examined regressors, including factors that capture the effects of inflation and output, are not robust determinants of voting dissent. This result suggests that unobserved characteristics of central bankers and different communication strategies drive the dissent, rather than the level of macroeconomic uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 450-461 Issue: 4 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.851775 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.851775 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:4:p:450-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dakshina G. De Silva Author-X-Name-First: Dakshina G. Author-X-Name-Last: De Silva Title: Editorial Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 463-464 Issue: 5 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.860784 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.860784 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:5:p:463-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Deltas Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Deltas Author-Name: Donna Ramirez Harrington Author-X-Name-First: Donna Ramirez Author-X-Name-Last: Harrington Author-Name: Madhu Khanna Author-X-Name-First: Madhu Author-X-Name-Last: Khanna Title: Green management and the nature of pollution prevention innovation Abstract: Management systems have a strong impact on the level of innovation and on production operations. Understanding this impact sheds light on how firms function. This article examines the relationship between a firm's approach to environmental management and the nature of the pollution prevention activities or practices that it undertakes. We differentiate pollution prevention activities according to (i) four functional characteristics and (ii) visibility to consumers. We find that the application of the total quality management (TQM) approaches on pollution prevention has a stronger effect for practices that involve procedural changes or are of a customized nature. These are indeed the type of practices where one would expect TQM to have a disproportionate impact in decision-making effectiveness. There seems to be no corresponding effect on the adoption of practices that are visible to consumers. Our results corroborate the notion that a well-designed management system can help stimulate innovation, but only for specific types. They also help identify the types of firms that are more likely to benefit from adoption of TQM principles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 465-482 Issue: 5 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.857004 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.857004 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:5:p:465-482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy P. Hubbard Author-X-Name-First: Timothy P. Author-X-Name-Last: Hubbard Title: Trade and transboundary pollution: quantifying the effects of trade liberalization on CO2 emissions Abstract: I consider a multi-country trade model in which a subset of firms emit transboundary pollution as a by-product of production. Consumers are harmed by these emissions, creating a role for government intervention. Theoretically, the effects of trade liberalization on the level of pollution and aggregate welfare are ambiguous -- they depend on values of country-specific pollution disutility parameters. I use real-world data to estimate trade costs and to recover values for these disutility parameters that are consistent with the Nash--Walras equilibrium predicted by the model. In counterfactual exercises, I investigate the effects of changing trade costs on the aggregate level and distribution of pollution as well as the welfare of each country. These experiments suggest concern regarding the effect further trade liberalization has on the level of firm-generated pollution and that agreements like the Kyoto Protocol can be effective even when governments behave strategically. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 483-502 Issue: 5 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.857000 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.857000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:5:p:483-502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felix Groba Author-X-Name-First: Felix Author-X-Name-Last: Groba Title: Determinants of trade with solar energy technology components: evidence on the porter hypothesis? Abstract: Studies analysing renewable energy (RE) market development usually investigate electricity capacity or investment. Characteristics, roles and determinants of trade with RE system components remain blurred. Policies are important in promoting RE utilization and innovation. Yet, their effect on determining exports remains ambiguous. The Porter hypothesis and the lead-market literature argue that environmental regulation leads to comparative export advantages. Empirical studies, however, reach diverging conclusions, rarely focus on the RE-sector and use broad proxies of environmental regulation.Focusing on solar energy technology components (SETCs), we believe this is the first study describing structure and development of international trade and estimating the role of RE policies on determining trade flows. We empirically estimate a gravity trade model using Poisson-Pseudo-Maximum-Likelihood (PPML) estimation to test the role of RE policies and trade barriers on SETC exports. We use panel data representing annual bilateral trade flows of 21 OECD countries exporting SETCs to 118 importing countries between 1999 and 2007.We find a rapidly growing market with trade dominated by Europe. The study supports the Porter and the lead-market hypotheses as early adopters of RE policies gained a comparative advantage. Analysing the importer side, the study suggests that regulatory policies and import tariffs determine SETC export flows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 503-526 Issue: 5 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.857005 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.857005 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:5:p:503-526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chintamani Jog Author-X-Name-First: Chintamani Author-X-Name-Last: Jog Author-Name: Georgia Kosmopoulou Author-X-Name-First: Georgia Author-X-Name-Last: Kosmopoulou Title: Experimental evidence on the performance of emission trading schemes in the presence of an active secondary market Abstract: As auction based emission trading schemes (ETS) become more common in addressing climate change, it is of interest to study the effects of bargaining power in resale markets on original as well as post-resale allowance allocations in terms of prices and efficiency. This article provides an experimental study of first price private value asymmetric auctions followed by a -double auction resale market opportunity. We compare the -double auction to other resale regimes with an uneven distribution of market power and contrast initial bids, resale prices and efficiency. Despite the conventional wisdom that full efficiency requires the absence of market power, we find that -double auction resale markets lead to lower efficiency than the monopsony resale regime. The level of efficiency achieved, however, is close to the highest across mechanisms that have differential bargaining power at the resale stage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 527-538 Issue: 5 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.857128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.857128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:5:p:527-538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Porcher Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Porcher Title: Efficiency and equity in two-part tariffs: the case of residential water rates Abstract: As first noticed by Coase (1946), a standard result in utility regulation is that efficiency requires two-part tariffs with marginal prices set to marginal costs and fixed fees equal to each customer' s share of fixed costs. Residential water customers in France face marginal prices for water that average about 8% more than marginal costs. Under price elasticity estimates that are consistent with previous results in the literature, efficiency costs represent around 8 million euros of welfare losses for 2008. Even though the impact is fairly small, current price schedules are an important pre-existing distortion which should be considered when evaluating current taxes aimed at addressing external costs. Moreover, efficiency gains from reformed tariffs could be used to fund water assistance programs focused on financially stressed households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 539-555 Issue: 5 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.857001 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.857001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:5:p:539-555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aude Le Lannier Author-X-Name-First: Aude Le Author-X-Name-Last: Lannier Author-Name: Simon Porcher Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Porcher Title: Efficiency in the public and private French water utilities: prospects for benchmarking Abstract: This article uses a data envelopment analysis (DEA) and a stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) to assess the relative technical efficiency of 177 decision-making units in the French water supply sector in 2009. Water utilities can be directly managed by the local authorities or contracted out and then managed by a private operator. The use of a three-stage model mixing DEA and SFA enables us to dissociate managerial inefficiencies from the structural inefficiencies and statistical noise. After having taken the environmental variables into account, we find that private management are on average slightly less efficient than public management. An explanation to this performance gap can be different resource management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 556-572 Issue: 5 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.857002 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.857002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:5:p:556-572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dakshina G. De Silva Author-X-Name-First: Dakshina G. Author-X-Name-Last: De Silva Author-Name: Rachel A. J. Pownall Author-X-Name-First: Rachel A. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Pownall Title: Going green: does it depend on education, gender or income? Abstract: Sustainable development entails meeting our present needs without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their needs. This requires us to treat economic, social and environmental aspects in an integrated way, but little is known about the nature of individual preferences towards the trade-offs involved in this effort. For the first time, we study individual preferences towards the environment, social well-being and financial well-being by using a survey of over 1400 households in the Netherlands. Using nonparametric, parametric and matching methods, we find that gender and education are important factors for sustainability rather than income levels. Moreover, results indicate that educated females put the greatest value on going green whilst being socially minded. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 573-586 Issue: 5 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.857003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.857003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:5:p:573-586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vladimir Borgy Author-X-Name-First: Vladimir Author-X-Name-Last: Borgy Author-Name: Carine Bouthevillain Author-X-Name-First: Carine Author-X-Name-Last: Bouthevillain Author-Name: Claude Diebolt Author-X-Name-First: Claude Author-X-Name-Last: Diebolt Author-Name: Gilles Dufr鮯t Author-X-Name-First: Gilles Author-X-Name-Last: Dufr鮯t Title: New tools to assess fiscal and financial vulnerabilities in advanced economies Abstract: This introduction presents a selection of articles dealing with the issue of measuring the fiscal and financial vulnerabilities in the advanced economies. These articles were presented at a conference organized jointly by the Banque de France and BETA in Strasbourg on 13--14 September. The authors show that the improvement of macroeconomic toolkit goes hand in hand with the strengthening of fiscal frameworks and the tools for managing financial tensions. They propose several indicators in order to capture the variety of vulnerabilities observed in the industrialized countries since the recent great depression: funding needs, market perceptions risks, stress dependence among sovereigns and the reactions of governments to cope with these new challenges. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 587-588 Issue: 6 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.861585 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.861585 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:6:p:587-588 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniele Franco Author-X-Name-First: Daniele Author-X-Name-Last: Franco Author-Name: Francesco Zollino Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Zollino Title: Macroeconomic imbalances in Europe: institutional progress and the challenges that remain Abstract: The article reviews the key steps in the construction of the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) and the accompanying debate in the academics and within the European institutions, stressing that most vulnerabilities unveiled by the sovereign debt crisis were known long before the inception of the EMU. But the rules, although later amended, largely neglected the critical implications of macroeconomic imbalances for fiscal and sustainability. As the financial tensions deepened, significant progress has been made in enhancing European economic governance, including the new procedure for macroeconomic imbalance surveillance (EIP). The article argues that preventing and correcting macroeconomic imbalances is now one of the EU's most challenging tasks as major technical and political difficulties still need to be overcome. The EIP represents a major step forward in strengthening the EU's capability for managing the risks to macroeconomic stability, largely contributing to a common understanding among Member States and in the EU institutions of methods and tools for dealing with the fundamental macro drivers. The new procedure comes together with a comprehensive strategy of deep fiscal, financial, economic and political reform of the EMU. Further progress requires the will to change at both the domestic and the EU level in order to effectively implement the new procedures and, where necessary, to reinforce their scopes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 589-602 Issue: 6 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.861592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.861592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:6:p:589-602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Kastrop Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Kastrop Author-Name: Sarah Ciaglia Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Ciaglia Author-Name: Werner Ebert Author-X-Name-First: Werner Author-X-Name-Last: Ebert Author-Name: Sibylle Stoßberg Author-X-Name-First: Sibylle Author-X-Name-Last: Stoßberg Author-Name: Stefanie Wolff-Hamacher Author-X-Name-First: Stefanie Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff-Hamacher Title: Fiscal, economic and financial vulnerabilities: implications for Euro area surveillance Abstract: Sound public finances are necessary for the functioning and economic prosperity of a common currency union. The financial, economic and European sovereign debt crises revealed that financial stability and economic growth also serve as prerequisites and that all three interact in this respect. This has made clear that containing related vulnerabilities and risks in order to effectively prevent serious crises is complex and not sufficiently addressed by the current institutional framework of the Euro area. Substantial institutional shortcomings are now being addressed by reforms. However, in this article, we argue that further institutional reforms are needed in order to integrate vulnerability and risk analyses into surveillance processes. Above all, we propose setting up an independent expert council that is charged with the evaluation of all surveillance processes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 603-615 Issue: 6 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.861588 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.861588 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:6:p:603-615 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Lam頍 Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Lam頍 Author-Name: M. Lequien Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Lequien Author-Name: P.-A. Pionnier Author-X-Name-First: P.-A. Author-X-Name-Last: Pionnier Title: Interpretation and limits of sustainability tests in public finance Abstract: Public debt is considered sustainable if discounted net repayments are expected to cover the initial debt issuance, i.e. if the government's inter-temporal budget constraint is expected to hold. With risk-averse lenders and an uncertain economic environment, Bohn (1995) stresses that this constraint relies on a stochastic discount factor which depends on lenders' preferences. To get round the difficulty related to the specification of private agents' preferences in empirical analysis, Bohn (1998) suggests to estimate fiscal reaction functions describing how primary surplus reacts to indebtedness. After having solved the econometric issues arising when primary surplus and debt have a very different persistence (with a nonparametric approach) or are both integrated (with parametric tests), we estimate fiscal reaction functions for France and Greece. There remain important limitations and interpretation difficulties that are common to all econometric sustainability tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 616-628 Issue: 6 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.861587 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.861587 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:6:p:616-628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcel Aloy Author-X-Name-First: Marcel Author-X-Name-Last: Aloy Author-Name: Gilles Dufr鮯t Author-X-Name-First: Gilles Author-X-Name-Last: Dufr鮯t Author-Name: Anne P駵in-Feissolle Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: P駵in-Feissolle Title: Is financial repression a solution to reduce fiscal vulnerability? The example of France since the end of World War II Abstract: This article contributes to the recent empirical literature on financial repression and focuses on the French case since the end of World War II. We find that the fiscal adjustment needed to lower the debt ratio has been smaller during the years of financial repression in comparison with those of liberalized financial markets. This was possible because the real interest rates were low. We conduct a counterfactual analysis to see whether the vulnerability of public finances would have been different, if, since the late 1980s, the governments had continued carrying out the same financial repression policies. We answer affirmatively showing that the cost of debt service would have been reduced. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 629-637 Issue: 6 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.861586 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.861586 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:6:p:629-637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristina Checherita-Westphal Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Checherita-Westphal Author-Name: Andrew Hughes Hallett Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Hughes Hallett Author-Name: Philipp Rother Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Rother Title: Fiscal sustainability using growth-maximizing debt targets Abstract: This article highlights the importance of debt-related fiscal rules and derives growth-maximizing public debt ratios from a simple theoretical model. On the basis of evidence on the productivity of public capital, we estimate public debt targets that governments should maintain if they wish to maximize growth for panels of OECD, EU and euro area countries. These are not arbitrary numbers, but are founded on long-run optimizing behaviour assuming that governments implement the golden rule of financing; that is, they contract debt only to finance public investment. Our estimates suggest that the euro area should target debt levels of around 50% of GDP if member states are to have common targets. That is about 15% points lower than the estimate for the growth-maximizing debt ratio in our OECD sample and comfortably within the Stability and Growth Pact's debt ceiling of 60% of GDP. We also indicate how forward-looking budget reaction functions fit into a debt targeting framework. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 638-647 Issue: 6 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.861590 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.861590 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:6:p:638-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lukas Reiss Author-X-Name-First: Lukas Author-X-Name-Last: Reiss Title: Fiscal sustainability using growth-maximizing debt targets Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 648-649 Issue: 6 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.861591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.861591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:6:p:648-649 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Schaechter Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Schaechter Author-Name: C. Emre Alper Author-X-Name-First: C. Emre Author-X-Name-Last: Alper Author-Name: Elif Arbatli Author-X-Name-First: Elif Author-X-Name-Last: Arbatli Author-Name: Carlos Caceres Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Caceres Author-Name: Giovanni Callegari Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Callegari Author-Name: Marc Gerard Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Gerard Author-Name: Jiri Jonas Author-X-Name-First: Jiri Author-X-Name-Last: Jonas Author-Name: Tidiane Kinda Author-X-Name-First: Tidiane Author-X-Name-Last: Kinda Author-Name: Anna Shabunina Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Shabunina Author-Name: Anke Weber Author-X-Name-First: Anke Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: A toolkit to assess fiscal vulnerabilities and risks in advanced economies Abstract: This article presents a range of tools and indicators for analysing fiscal vulnerabilities and risks for advanced economies. The analysis covers key short-, medium- and long-term dimensions. Short-term pressures are captured by assessing (i) gross funding needs, (ii) market perceptions of default risk and (iii) stress dependence among sovereigns. Medium- and long-term pressures are summarized by (iv) medium- and long-term budgetary adjustment needs, (v) susceptibility of debt projections to growth and interest rate shocks and (vi) stochastic risks to medium-term debt dynamics. Aiming to cover a wide range of advanced economies and minimize data lags, has also influenced the selection of empirical methods. Due to these features, they can, for example, help inform the joint IMF--FSB Early Warning Exercise (EWE) on the fiscal dimensions of economic risks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 650-660 Issue: 6 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.861589 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.861589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:6:p:650-660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Claeys Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Claeys Title: Comment on '"A toolkit to assessing fiscal vulnerabilities and risks in advanced economies" by Andrea Schaechter, C. Emre Alper, Elif Arbatli, Carlos Caceres, Giovanni Callegari, Marc Gerard, Jiri Jonas, Tidiane Kinda, Anna Shabunina and Anke Weber' Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 661-662 Issue: 6 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.861960 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.861960 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:6:p:661-662 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazumasa Oguro Author-X-Name-First: Kazumasa Author-X-Name-Last: Oguro Author-Name: Motohiro Sato Author-X-Name-First: Motohiro Author-X-Name-Last: Sato Title: Public debt accumulation and fiscal consolidation Abstract: In this study, we analyse the relationship between interest rates on government bonds (GB) and the fiscal consolidation rule by using an overlapping generation model with endogenous and stochastic growth settings. Our key findings are summarized as follows. First, contrary to conventional view, we find that interest rates on GB may decline as public debt accumulates relative to private capital. Second, the simulation reveals that the economy may exhibit discrete changes with divergent interest rates, implying that the observed trend of relatively low interest rates on GB with public debt accumulation may not continue indefinitely in the future. Third, fiscal consolidation rule plays a key role in determining equilibrium interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 663-673 Issue: 7 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.851772 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.851772 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:7:p:663-673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Navaz Naghavi Author-X-Name-First: Navaz Author-X-Name-Last: Naghavi Author-Name: Wee-Yeap Lau Author-X-Name-First: Wee-Yeap Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Title: Exploring the nexus between financial openness and informational efficiency -- does the quality of institution matter? Abstract: This article examines the empirical link between financial openness and informational efficiency of stock markets in 27 emerging markets. Improving on earlier papers, this study has used World Bank's Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) as the proxy of institutional development in dynamic panel data models estimated by generalized method of moments (GMM). Our results show, first, financial liberalization by itself has no impact on enhancing efficiency of stock market. Second, for countries with high level of institutional development, the interaction of trade openness and financial openness become significant. Third, for the same group of countries, interaction effect of financial liberalization and institutional development leads to more efficiency in stock market. Hence, our finding demonstrates the utmost importance of institutional development and its role on liberalization. Our results conclude that institutional development and trade openness are pre-requisites for a country to benefit from financial openness. Our study further provides empirical evidence to theoretical model proposed by Basu and Morey (2005) that governance is the missing link between stock market efficiency and financial liberalization. Our findings suggest that policy makers in developing economies should enhance the quality of their institution in order to optimize the benefits of financial liberalization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 674-685 Issue: 7 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.849380 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.849380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:7:p:674-685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Kifle Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Kifle Author-Name: P. Kler Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Kler Author-Name: S. Shankar Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Shankar Title: Are women really that happy at work? Australian evidence on the 'contented female' Abstract: This article investigates the apparent paradox of females possessing higher levels of job satisfaction compared to their male counterparts despite possessing worse employment outcomes. Postulating that the female workforce is heterogeneous by age, education and the presence of children, we create four groups; the aggregated, young and childless, young with children and the educated. The article finds statistical evidence of significant gender differences, though not uniformly so. Econometric results, however, paint a muddier picture, indicating that statistical results alone should not be used to categorically report incidences of gender differences in job satisfaction. Sample-selection bias results also evince sub-group heterogeneity and require further study. The determinants of job satisfaction vary between measures and sub-groups, though not necessarily so across gender. In sum, the article finds that the paradox does exhibit itself for the aggregated and young and childless sub-groups, but is largely absent for the young with children group. As well, there is a clear bifurcation in job satisfaction between genders for the educated sub-group. This suggests that employed females should not be viewed as a monolithic bloc in the labour force. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 686-697 Issue: 7 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.851781 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.851781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:7:p:686-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marga Peeters Author-X-Name-First: Marga Author-X-Name-Last: Peeters Author-Name: Ard den Reijer Author-X-Name-First: Ard Author-X-Name-Last: den Reijer Title: Coordination versus flexibility in wage formation: a focus on the nominal wage impact of productivity in Germany, Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain and the United States Abstract: Wage coordination between countries of the European Monetary Union (EMU) aims at aligning nominal wage growth with labour productivity growth at the national level. We analyse the developments in Germany, the EMU's periphery countries Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain along with the United States over the period 1980 to 2010. Apart from the contribution of productivity to nominal wages, we take into account the contributions of prices, unemployment, replacement rates and taxes by means of an econometrically estimated nonlinear equation resulting from a wage bargaining model. We further study the downward rigidities of nominal wages. The findings show that in past times of low productivity, price inflation and reductions in unemployment still put significant upward pressure on nominal wage growth. The periphery countries are far from aligning nominal wage growth with productivity growth. German productivity is a major wage determinant, but surely not the only one. Within the context of a free bargaining process between employers and labour unions, policy-makers can effectively use the replacement rate to steer the nominal wages outcome. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 698-714 Issue: 7 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.851773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.851773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:7:p:698-714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Koch Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Koch Title: Dynamic linkages among carbon, energy and financial markets: a smooth transition approach Abstract: This article explores how price linkages between carbon allowances and market fundamentals in the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) vary over time. I adopt a multivariate GARCH model that allows the conditional correlation between carbon, energy and financial prices to change smoothly across regimes governed by functions of two transition variables that explain why price linkages vary. I use (i) time as transition variable to allow for structural changes associated with institutional advances in the EU ETS and (ii) implied volatility to account for heterogeneity in the behaviour of correlations in times of distress compared to calm periods. The results point to a new pricing regime with much closer carbon-energy price linkages in the second phase of the EU ETS. Furthermore, I find that correlations depend on market uncertainty conditions, which exposes the link between carbon and financial markets due to common macroeconomic shocks during the current financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 715-729 Issue: 7 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.854301 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.854301 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:7:p:715-729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Montalbano Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Montalbano Author-Name: S. Nenci Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Nenci Title: Assessing the trade impact of the European Neighbourhood Policy on the EU-MED Free Trade Area Abstract: The European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP) set an additional objective for the Southern Mediterranean Countries (SMCs): the prospect of 'a stake in the internal market'. The launch of this new policy has been the occasion for a revival of empirical studies aimed at assessing the impact of the EU-MED partnership on bilateral trade. The novelty of this work is twofold: (i) to present nonparametric matching estimators besides gravity estimates; (ii) to assume as a counterfactual of the treatment the ex-post long-run average treatment effects of the Europe Agreements. By controlling for likely selection bias and country and time heterogeneity, using both qualitative and quantitative measures of the policy variable, we assess ex-post the trade-enhancing impact of the EU preferential agreements towards SMCs and ex ante the actual efficacy of the ENP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 730-740 Issue: 7 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.851776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.851776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:7:p:730-740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yizao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yizao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Should further mergers be allowed? Product differentiation and merger in the external audit market Abstract: The external audit market in US is a market with noticeable features: a highly concentrated market, various choice patterns of auditors and the sequential mergers of big auditors over time. There has been growing concern about the impact of mergers and the increasing market concentration. Using a flexible multinomial probit model and micro level data on over 3000 public companies, this article investigates production differentiation and merger in the external audit service market between the Big Four accounting firms. Based on the estimation results of the demand estimates, a model of post-merger conduct is then used to simulate the competitive effects of a merger. The results suggest that merger effects on prices in this market are not significant with no larger than 3%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 741-749 Issue: 7 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.851777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.851777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:7:p:741-749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Line Bjørnskov Pedersen Author-X-Name-First: Line Bjørnskov Author-X-Name-Last: Pedersen Author-Name: Julie Riise Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Riise Author-Name: Arne Risa Hole Author-X-Name-First: Arne Risa Author-X-Name-Last: Hole Author-Name: Dorte Gyrd-Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Dorte Author-X-Name-Last: Gyrd-Hansen Title: GPs' shifting agencies in choice of treatment Abstract: Earlier studies have shown that general practitioners' (GPs) prescription choices are influenced by effect, patient costs and costs to society, patient attitude and own experience. This study builds on this knowledge and explores how prescription behaviour is affected when choices are made in different contexts, where the conflicting roles as agents for the patient and agents for society are stressed. A total of 309 Danish GPs were randomly allocated to one of three versions of a web-based questionnaire, which included a discrete choice experiment. Mixed logit models in willingness to pay (WTP) space were estimated with and without accounting for stated attribute non-attendance. Results show that the GP's role as agent for his patients is clearly strengthened in the presence of national recommendations. In contrast, when recommendations are not present and when GPs face a patient who is currently taking an expensive albeit effective medication, the GP takes on his role as agent for society. We find no evidence of status quo bias in such a setting, with a majority of GPs opting for a medication which offers less certainty about effectiveness at lower cost. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 750-761 Issue: 7 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.854305 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.854305 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:7:p:750-761 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arndt Reichert Author-X-Name-First: Arndt Author-X-Name-Last: Reichert Author-Name: Harald Tauchmann Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Tauchmann Title: When outcome heterogeneously matters for selection: a generalized selection correction estimator Abstract: The classical Heckman (1976, 1979) selection correction estimator (heckit) is misspecified and inconsistent, if an interaction of the outcome variable with an explanatory variable matters for selection. To address this specification problem, a full information maximum likelihood (FIML) estimator and a simple two-step estimator are developed. Monte Carlo (MC) simulations illustrate that the bias of the ordinary heckit estimator is removed by these generalized estimation procedures. Along with OLS and ordinary heckit, we apply these estimators to data from a randomized trial that evaluates the effectiveness of financial incentives for reducing obesity. Estimation results indicate that the choice of the estimation procedure clearly matters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 762-768 Issue: 7 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.851780 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.851780 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:7:p:762-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert M. Feinberg Author-X-Name-First: Robert M. Author-X-Name-Last: Feinberg Title: State antitrust enforcement in the US and implications for small business entry and relocation Abstract: This article examines the impact of the important, yet little studied, state-level antitrust enforcement activity on entry and relocation behaviour by small US firms. Feinberg and Husted (2011) have shown that this enforcement, especially nonhorizontal cases, may be viewed by potential entrants as a negative aspect of the state business climate. However, they did not pursue a more disaggregate analysis of small firm entry behaviour; nor did they investigate different responses between manufacturing, wholesaling and retailing firms. Another related issue is the extent to which state cases filed in tandem with federal investigations have the same impact on establishment entry as do purely 'independent' cases. These considerations are dealt with in this article. The author uses annual state-level data from the Statistics of US Business to examine entry and relocation reactions to state antitrust enforcement by firms within three small-business categories: 1--19 employees; 20--99 employees; 100--499 employees. Generally speaking, the smallest retail and wholesale firms seem to favour vigorous antitrust activity, especially enforcement targeted against cartel behaviour by suppliers. The largest small-firm retailers and wholesalers (those with 100--499 employees) seem somewhat threatened by such activity, especially the more controversial nonhorizontal enforcement. However, it must be acknowledged that the effects on entry or relocation of small firms -- both positive and negative -- are quite small. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 769-779 Issue: 7 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.854306 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.854306 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:7:p:769-779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Nicolas Peypoch Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Peypoch Author-Name: Scott Tainsky Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Tainsky Title: Cost efficiency of French soccer league teams Abstract: This article evaluates the operational activities of French soccer clubs from 2003 to 2011 by using a finite mixture model that allows controlling for unobserved heterogeneity. In doing so, a stochastic frontier latent class model, which allows the existence of different technologies, is adopted to estimate cost frontiers. This procedure not only enables us to identify different groups of French soccer clubs but also permits to analyse their cost efficiency. The main result is that there are two groups among the French soccer clubs, both following completely different 'technologies' to obtain league points, suggesting that business strategies need to be adapted to the characteristics of the clubs. Some managerial implications are developed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 781-789 Issue: 8 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.854304 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.854304 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:8:p:781-789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Title: Estimating the optimal hedge ratio in the presence of potential unknown structural breaks Abstract: We propose a new approach in the estimation of the optimal hedge ratio that allows the hedge ratio to vary over time but without the necessity of frequently rebalancing the portfolio. We apply this in the context of the US and UK equity markets using weekly spot share prices and future share prices during the period 5 January 1999 to 29 September 2009. Our method is to test for cointegration in the presence of two potentially unknown structural breaks by determining the timing of each via the underlying data. The empirical findings reveal that the spot and future prices are strongly cointegrated in each market. The estimated parameters disclose that the optimal hedge ratio is not constant in case of the US and the UK. We find one negative and one positive shift in the optimal hedge ratio in the US. However, we find only one significant and positive shift in the optimal hedge ratio in the UK. The implication of these findings from the perspective of both investors as well as policy-makers is elaborated on in the main text. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 790-795 Issue: 8 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.854303 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.854303 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:8:p:790-795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sam Meng Author-X-Name-First: Sam Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Title: How may a carbon tax transform Australian electricity industry? A CGE analysis Abstract: The carbon tax policy proposed by Australian government has triggered deep concerns about the high electricity prices facing households and the sustainability of electricity industry. By employing a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model and an environmentally extended Social Accounting Matrix (SAM), this article simulates the effect of Australian carbon tax on the electricity industry. The modelling results show that the wholesale electricity prices indeed increase by about 90%, but the retailer prices only increase by 25%. The coal-fired electricity generators will reduce their output by 8% (for black-coal) to 18% (for brown-coal), but the profitability of the industry will drop dramatically. On the other hand, generators using oil, gas or renewable resources, will increase their output significantly and enjoy a handsome profit. Through the price, cost and profitability mechanisms, the carbon tax will transfer the Australian electricity generation to a low emission industry in the long term. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 796-812 Issue: 8 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.854302 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.854302 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:8:p:796-812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liu Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Do futures prices exhibit maturity effect? A nonparametric revisit Abstract: The maturity effect (ME) of futures prices postulated by Samuelson (1965) is re-examined using three nonparametric tests. The consistent entropy asymmetry test by Racine and Maasoumi (2007) indicates that variance is an appropriate risk or uncertainty measure for ME, and value-at-risk and expected shortfall are also adopted. The Kolmogorov--Smirnov dominance test and Wilcoxon rank sum and signed rank test are employed to rank the estimates of the three risk measures under a moving-window framework. The testing outcomes are contingent on futures type, testing method and risk measures. The testing outcomes show mild support for ME. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 813-825 Issue: 8 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.854299 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.854299 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:8:p:813-825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amalia Morales-Zumaquero Author-X-Name-First: Amalia Author-X-Name-Last: Morales-Zumaquero Author-Name: Sim󮠓osvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Sim󮠍 Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Real exchange rate volatility, financial crises and exchange rate regimes Abstract: This article examines real exchange rate (RER) volatility in 80 countries around the world, during the period 1970 to 2011. Two main questions are raised: are structural breaks in RER volatility related to changes in exchange rate regimes or financial crises? And do these two events affect the permanent and transitory components of RER volatility? To answer these, we employ two complementary procedures that consist in detecting structural breaks in the RER series and decomposing volatility into its permanent and transitory components. Our results suggest that structural breaks in RER volatility coincidence with financial crises and certain changes in nominal exchange rate regimes. Moreover, our findings confirm that RER volatility does increase with the global financial crises and detect that the more flexible the exchange rate regime, the higher the volatility of the RER using a de facto exchange rate classification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 826-847 Issue: 8 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.859382 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.859382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:8:p:826-847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Naneida Regina Lazarte Alcala Author-X-Name-First: Naneida Regina Author-X-Name-Last: Lazarte Alcala Author-Name: Lee C. Adkins Author-X-Name-First: Lee C. Author-X-Name-Last: Adkins Author-Name: Bidisha Lahiri Author-X-Name-First: Bidisha Author-X-Name-Last: Lahiri Author-Name: Andreas Savvides Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Savvides Title: Remittances and income diversification in Bolivia's rural sector Abstract: This article examines the role of remittances in income diversification strategies in Bolivia's rural sector. Remittances can be consumed or invested by the recipient. As an investment, funds can be used for farming or to finance other nonfarm productions. In this article, we use a large and nationally representative survey to estimate the effect that remittances have on the probability of producing income from nonfarm activities (diversification) by using a bivariate probit model. Our evidence shows that remittances increase the probability that a rural family engages in nonfarm activities, at least in some regions of Bolivia. We also find evidence that the sender's decision to remit and the recipient's decision to diversify may be jointly determined. As such, this suggests that remittances may serve as a mechanism to overcome localized failures in Bolivia's capital markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 848-858 Issue: 8 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.854300 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.854300 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:8:p:848-858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terence C. Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Terence C. Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Alfons Palangkaraya Author-X-Name-First: Alfons Author-X-Name-Last: Palangkaraya Author-Name: Jongsay Yong Author-X-Name-First: Jongsay Author-X-Name-Last: Yong Title: Hospital utilization in mixed public--private system: evidence from Australian hospital data Abstract: This article investigates whether patients who used a mixture of private and public hospital care have higher total hospital utilization than those who exclusively used either public or private hospital care. Using Australian hospital administrative data of heart disease patients, we found that those who used a mixture of private and public care had the highest total hospital utilization. Our findings are robust to how utilization is measured and endogeneity between utilization and hospital type choice. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 859-870 Issue: 8 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.854307 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.854307 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:8:p:859-870 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Hofmarcher Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Hofmarcher Author-Name: Stefan Kerbl Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Kerbl Author-Name: Bettina Grün Author-X-Name-First: Bettina Author-X-Name-Last: Grün Author-Name: Michael Sigmund Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Sigmund Author-Name: Kurt Hornik Author-X-Name-First: Kurt Author-X-Name-Last: Hornik Title: Model uncertainty and aggregated default probabilities: new evidence from Austria Abstract: Understanding the determinants of aggregated corporate default probabilities (PDs) has attracted substantial research interest over the past decades. This study addresses two major difficulties in understanding the determinants of aggregate PDs: model uncertainty and multicollinearity among the regressors. We present Bayesian model averaging (BMA) as a powerful tool that overcomes model uncertainty. Furthermore, we supplement BMA with ridge regression to mitigate multicollinearity. We apply our approach to an Austrian data set. Our findings suggest that factor prices like short-term interest rates (STIs) and energy prices constitute major drivers of default rates, while firms' profits reduce the expected number of failures. Finally, we show that the results of our model are fairly robust with respect to the choice of the BMA parameters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 871-879 Issue: 8 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.859378 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.859378 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:8:p:871-879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Ochmann Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Ochmann Title: Differential income taxation and household asset allocation Abstract: This article empirically investigates the effects of differential income taxation on households' portfolio choice and asset allocation, applying a two-stage budgeting model of asset demand to German survey data. The model is structured into the discrete and the continuous asset choice. Cross-sectional variation in marginal tax rates, appropriately instrumented, as well as over-time variation from a major tax reform are used to identify the tax effects. Households with higher tax rates are found to have relatively greater demand for tax-privileged assets, such as nonowner-occupied housing, mortgage repayments, building society deposits, stocks, insurances and consumer credits, than households with lower tax rates. Demand at higher tax rates is lower for owner-occupied housing, bank deposits and bonds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 880-894 Issue: 8 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.859381 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.859381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:8:p:880-894 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theoharry Grammatikos Author-X-Name-First: Theoharry Author-X-Name-Last: Grammatikos Author-Name: Robert Vermeulen Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Vermeulen Title: The 2007--2009 financial crisis: changing market dynamics and the impact of credit supply and aggregate demand sensitivity Abstract: This article singles out the determinants of changes in US firms' systematic risk and idiosyncratic return induced by the 2007--2009 financial crisis. After establishing that systematic risk changes during the crisis, the results show that higher operational and financial leverage coincide with an increase in systematic risk, while high cash availability is associated with a decrease in systematic risk. The crisis-induced idiosyncratic return worsens with increasing financial leverage, higher sensitivity to aggregate demand shocks and banking sector problems, and lower operational leverage. Additional results show that the aforementioned variables have economically large effects on firm performance during the crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 895-911 Issue: 8 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.859379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.859379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:8:p:895-911 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David A. Volkman Author-X-Name-First: David A. Author-X-Name-Last: Volkman Author-Name: Olivier J. P. Maisondieu Laforge Author-X-Name-First: Olivier J. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Maisondieu Laforge Author-Name: Mark Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: The conditional influence of term spread and pattern changes on future equity returns Abstract: We extend previous research examining the relation between interest rates and equity returns using a multivariate analysis of covariance model with a dynamic yield curve and conditioned term spread. We find yield pattern changes predict economic equity returns; that the long end-of-yield curve is a strong determinant factor; and, in contrast to previous research, we find no relation between a decrease in the short rate and equity returns. However, the conditional term spread captures a significant positive return indicating that the degree of decline in the short rate relative to the long rate is of more importance than the term spread alone. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 913-923 Issue: 9 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.859377 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.859377 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:9:p:913-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Denise Doiron Author-X-Name-First: Denise Author-X-Name-Last: Doiron Author-Name: Jane Hall Author-X-Name-First: Jane Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Author-Name: Patricia Kenny Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Kenny Author-Name: Deborah J. Street Author-X-Name-First: Deborah J. Author-X-Name-Last: Street Title: Job preferences of students and new graduates in nursing Abstract: This article investigates the preferences of student and newly graduated nurses for pecuniary and nonpecuniary aspects of nursing jobs. It is the first study applying methods based on discrete choice experiments to a developed country nursing workforce. It is also the first to focus on the transition through university training and into work. This is particularly important as junior nurses have the lowest retention levels in the profession. We sample 526 individuals from nursing programmes in two Australian universities. Flexible and newly developed models combining heteroscedasticity with unobserved heterogeneity in scale and preference weights are estimated. Overall, salary remains the most important feature in increasing the probability that a job will be selected. 'Supportive management/staff' and 'quality of care' follow as the most important attributes from a list of 11 nonpecuniary characteristics. However, the subset of new graduates rank 'supportive management/staff' above salary increases, emphasizing the importance of a supportive workplace in the transition from university to the workplace. We find substantial preference heterogeneity and some attributes, such as the opportunity for clinical rotations, are found to be attractive to some nurses while seen as negative by others. Nursing retention could be improved by designing different employment packages to appeal to these different tastes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 924-939 Issue: 9 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.861584 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.861584 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:9:p:924-939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Apostolos Tsiachristas Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Tsiachristas Author-Name: Maureen P. M. H. Rutten-van Mölken Author-X-Name-First: Maureen P. M. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Rutten-van Mölken Title: Exploring the variability of patient costs in disease management programs: a hierarchical modelling approach Abstract: Disease management programs include a wide variation of patients with different chronic diseases and different health care utilization. The aim of this article was to identify factors on patient-level and organizational-level that explain the variability in costs of patients with different chronic diseases enrolled in a DMP by employing a rigorous analytical model. A generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) was specified to perform a multi-level analysis of cross-sectional hierarchical data from 16 DMPs in the Netherlands. Multiple imputation, sub-group analysis per disease and analysis from both the health care and the societal perspectives were also performed. Our model showed that age, the presence of cardiovascular disease, multi-morbidity and payments on top of the payment for the usual care had positive relation with costs, while better quality of life was associated with lower health care costs. In the COPD sample, physical activity and employment were associated with health care costs. Our study showed that there is great variability in health care costs among patients included in DMPs and identified patient and organizational explanatory factors. The findings are relevant to the design of future DMPs and their payment schemes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 940-951 Issue: 9 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.864044 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.864044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:9:p:940-951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruud Gerards Author-X-Name-First: Ruud Author-X-Name-Last: Gerards Author-Name: Andries de Grip Author-X-Name-First: Andries Author-X-Name-Last: de Grip Author-Name: Maaike Witlox Author-X-Name-First: Maaike Author-X-Name-Last: Witlox Title: 'Employability-miles' and worker employability awareness Abstract: This article studies the use and impact of a ('Employability-miles') voucher scheme. These vouchers could be used for participation in a restricted number of training courses, which all aim to stimulate employees to develop a more active attitude towards their own employability. Using data from two surveys of one firm's workforce, we find that voucher use is related to various personality traits and personal characteristics. In particular, a worker's ambition, goal setting and education level are positively related to voucher use. In addition, workers with longer tenure spend their vouchers more often. Conversely, workers with a more positive self-image as well as those who are negatively reciprocal spend their vouchers less often. The negative relation between voucher use and negative reciprocity suggests that workers who are more negatively reciprocal perceive the voucher as an HR tool for outplacement. Further, we find that voucher use positively affects worker employability awareness and willingness to train. Remarkably, participation in non voucher training shows little relation to personality traits. From a human resources (HR) perspective, this finding suggests that by employing a voucher scheme, the firm makes training participation more dependent on employee personality and individual characteristics instead of the HR development strategy of the firm. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 952-965 Issue: 9 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.864036 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.864036 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:9:p:952-965 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chunpeng Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chunpeng Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Rengui Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Rengui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Does mixed-frequency investor sentiment impact stock returns? Based on the empirical study of MIDAS regression model Abstract: We examine whether mixed-frequency investor sentiment affects stock returns. In line with recent evidence from China, we find that the aggregate effect and the individual effect of mixed-frequency investor sentiment are statistically significant, and mixed-frequency investor sentiment is more important than the low-frequency one. Moreover, mixed-frequency investor sentiment, which is mixed by high-frequency data, can be more important than the market premium. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 966-972 Issue: 9 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.864041 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.864041 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:9:p:966-972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Sushanta Kumar Mallick Author-X-Name-First: Sushanta Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mallick Author-Name: Ricardo Magalhães Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Magalhães Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Nonlinear monetary policy reaction functions in large emerging economies: the case of Brazil and China Abstract: This article estimates monetary policy rules for two key emerging market economies: Brazil and China. It analyses whether the monetary authority reacts to changes in economic activity, financial markets, monetary conditions, the foreign exchange market and the commodity price. We assess the importance of nonlinearity using a smooth transition regression (STR) model. Using quarterly data over the time period 1990:1 to 2008:4, we find that considerations about the output gap and the real effective exchange rate (in the case of Brazil), and the inflation rate (for China) explain the nonlinear adjustment of the central bank rate. Moreover, the results suggest that central banks pursue a target range for the threshold variable rather than a specific point target. In the case of China, the McCallum rule shows that the GDP growth, the interest rate and the commodity price drive the response of the growth rate of the relevant monetary aggregate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 973-984 Issue: 9 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.851774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.851774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:9:p:973-984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Ivrendi Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Ivrendi Author-Name: Douglas K. Pearce Author-X-Name-First: Douglas K. Author-X-Name-Last: Pearce Title: Asset prices and expected monetary policy: evidence from daily data Abstract: This article explores the relationships among Libor, gold prices, the exchange rate, oil prices, fed funds futures prices and stock prices at a daily frequency. This article examines whether expected monetary policy, measured by changes in the prices of fed funds futures contracts, reacts to high frequency changes in asset prices and, in turn, whether asset prices respond to changes in expected monetary policy. The article reveals that there are statistically significant relationships between expected US monetary policy and shocks to Libor and exchange rates. It also reveals that there is no evidence of a systematic relationship between stock prices and expected monetary policy changes. Splitting the data into expansionary and recessionary periods using NBER dating, we find results for the expansionary periods that are very similar to the results for the entire period. For the periods of recession, we find little evidence of significant linkages between markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 985-995 Issue: 9 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.864038 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.864038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:9:p:985-995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Biewen Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Biewen Author-Name: Constantin Weiser Author-X-Name-First: Constantin Author-X-Name-Last: Weiser Title: An empirical test of marginal productivity theory Abstract: We explore an hitherto unused approach to testing marginal productivity theory. Our method rests on the simple idea that, under the assumption of a linear homogeneous production function, residual profits are informative about the discrepancies between factor payments and marginal products. Our empirical application using data on manufacturing plants in Chile suggest moderate deviations from marginal productivity theory which depend on firm size. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 996-1020 Issue: 9 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.864042 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.864042 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:9:p:996-1020 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niels Hermes Author-X-Name-First: Niels Author-X-Name-Last: Hermes Title: Does microfinance affect income inequality? Abstract: This study addresses the question whether participation of the poor in microfinance contributes to reducing a country's level of income inequality. Using data from 70 developing countries, we show that higher levels of microfinance participation are indeed associated with a reduction of the income gap between rich and poor people. We also show, however, that the effects of microfinance on reducing income inequality are relatively small. The results of this study add to the discussion on the impact of microfinance on poverty by showing that, although access to microfinance does seem to improve the relative income position of the poor, this improvement is modest, which is probably because the use of microfinance is generally small as compared to the size of the economy of the countries in our sample. Microfinance should, therefore, not be seen as a panacea for bringing down income inequality in a significant way. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1021-1034 Issue: 9 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.864039 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.864039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:9:p:1021-1034 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Uyar Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Uyar Author-Name: Cemil Kuzey Author-X-Name-First: Cemil Author-X-Name-Last: Kuzey Title: Determinants of corporate cash holdings: evidence from the emerging market of Turkey Abstract: This study analyses the factors that might explain the level of corporate cash holdings in a broad sample of Turkish-listed nonfinancial firms over the period 1997 to 2011. The empirical results reveal that, on average, Turkish firms hold 9.1% of their total assets as cash and cash equivalents. There is a steadily increasing trend in cash holding across the years. Both the system GMM and the difference GMM regression results are consistent; almost exactly the same variables are significant and going in the same direction. The findings indicate that the previous year's cash holding is positive and significant determinant at the current year's cash level, suggesting that these firms have a targeted cash level. Furthermore, the results reveal that cash flow and growth opportunities have positive and significant impact on the cash level. However, the amount of capital expenditures, liquid assets used as cash substitute, the degree of tangibility of assets, financial debt ratio and leverage have negative and significant impact on the cash level. Most of these explanatory variables were in line with our theoretical background and with previous studies as well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1035-1048 Issue: 9 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.866203 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.866203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:9:p:1035-1048 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xinhua Gu Author-X-Name-First: Xinhua Author-X-Name-Last: Gu Author-Name: Pui Sun Tam Author-X-Name-First: Pui Sun Author-X-Name-Last: Tam Title: Market structure and casino taxation in tourist resorts Abstract: This article examines the association of tax effects with market structure for casino gaming. We show that if market structure is uncompetitive, much of casino taxation falls on tourists whose demand is inelastic relative to supply. The tax is likely to be efficient under strong external demand if imposed on oligopoly casinos with a monopoly location in a cross-border market. The likelihood of economically 'good' taxation is greater under oligopoly than under competition but lower than under monopoly. Casino taxes should be lowered in a more competitive market with weaker external demand. Our prediction is consistent with the evidence found from casino tourism development in Macao with 'high' gambling taxes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1049-1057 Issue: 10 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.864037 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.864037 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:10:p:1049-1057 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfred A. Haug Author-X-Name-First: Alfred A. Author-X-Name-Last: Haug Title: On real interest rate persistence: the role of breaks Abstract: The role of structural breaks in long spans of ex-post real interest rates for 10 industrialized countries is studied. First, the persistence of the real interest is assessed with newly proposed low-frequency tests of Müller and Watson (2008). Second, the test of Leybourne et al. (2007) for a change in persistence of a time series is applied to the real interest rate. The results show that real interest rates over the full sample period do not fit a covariance-stationary or unit-root model, nor a fractionally integrated, near-unit-root or local-level model. Instead, the persistence of real rates changes over time and there are periods when the real rate is covariance-stationary and other periods when it follows a unit-root process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1058-1066 Issue: 10 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.864043 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.864043 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:10:p:1058-1066 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luigi Buzzacchi Author-X-Name-First: Luigi Author-X-Name-Last: Buzzacchi Author-Name: Stefano Pedrini Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Pedrini Title: Does player specialization predict player actions? Evidence from penalty kicks at FIFA World Cup and UEFA Euro Cup Abstract: Penalty kicks are analysed in the literature as 'real life experiments' for assessing the use of rational mixed strategies by professional players. However, each penalty kick cannot be considered a repetition of the same event because of the varying background conditions, in particular the heterogeneous ability of different players. Consequently, aggregate statistics over data sets composed of a large number of penalty kicks mediate the behaviour of the players in different games, and the properties of optimal mixed strategies cannot be tested directly because of aggregation bias. In this article, we model the heterogeneous ability of players. We then test the hypothesis that differently talented players randomize over different actions. To achieve this aim, we study a data set that collects penalties kicked during shoot-out series in the last editions of FIFA World Cup and UEFA Euro Cup (1994--2012) where kickers are categorized as specialists and non-specialists. The results support our theoretical predictions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1067-1080 Issue: 10 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.866205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.866205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:10:p:1067-1080 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emmanuelle Pi鲡rd Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuelle Author-X-Name-Last: Pi鲡rd Author-Name: Paul Grootendorst Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Grootendorst Title: Do downturns cause desperation? The effect of economic conditions on suicide rates in Canada Abstract: There is conflicting evidence concerning the impact of macroeconomic conditions on suicide rates. To help resolve this pertinent question, we present evidence using Canadian data. We estimate feasible generalized least squares models of annual gender-specific suicide rates in the working age population (aged 25--64) using data from each of the 10 Canadian provinces over the period 1982 to 2007. We allow for heteroscedasticity across provinces and first-order autocorrelation common to all provinces. We posit that suicide rates in this population are a function of macroeconomic conditions (current and lagged unemployment rates and real per capita GDP) and other determinants that might be correlated with macro conditions, such as physician supply. We find that different factors affect suicide rates across genders and that some of the results are sensitive to the specification of the model we use and the regressors included. Generally, economic conditions affect men more than women; suicide rates are counter-cyclical and a higher supply of psychiatrists in a province is correlated with lower suicide rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1081-1092 Issue: 10 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.866204 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.866204 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:10:p:1081-1092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory A. Falls Author-X-Name-First: Gregory A. Author-X-Name-Last: Falls Author-Name: Paul A. Natke Author-X-Name-First: Paul A. Author-X-Name-Last: Natke Title: College football attendance: a panel study of the Football Bowl Subdivision Abstract: Panel data with an instrumented real ticket price are used to estimate a regular season game-day attendance and per cent of capacity regression equations. Better team performance, whether short term (season wins), intermediate term (bowls games in last 10 years) or long term (lifetime winning percentage), higher undergraduate enrolment, traditional rivalries and video coverage increase per cent of capacity used. Poor weather (more rain or cloud cover), higher travel costs and larger local population decrease it. Fan interest wanes as a season progresses, but this is offset as a team wins more games. Games played near a National Football League stadium, those with conference opponents, non-FBS opponents and non-BCS opponents have lower stadium utilization. The substantive results of the analysis do not change when attendance is used as the dependent variable rather than per cent of capacity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1093-1107 Issue: 10 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.866208 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.866208 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:10:p:1093-1107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enrico Maria Cervellati Author-X-Name-First: Enrico Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Cervellati Author-Name: Riccardo Ferretti Author-X-Name-First: Riccardo Author-X-Name-Last: Ferretti Author-Name: Pierpaolo Pattitoni Author-X-Name-First: Pierpaolo Author-X-Name-Last: Pattitoni Title: Market reaction to second-hand news: inside the attention-grabbing hypothesis Abstract: This article investigates whether the market reaction to second-hand information is due to price pressure or information dissemination. We use the perspective of attention grabbing to analyse the market reaction to the dissemination of analysts' recommendations published in print media. This perspective is able to explain the asymmetric market reaction to 'buy' and 'sell' advice, which is difficult to rationalize within the price pressure hypothesis. We base our empirical analysis on the content of a weekly column in the most important Italian financial newspaper, which publishes past information and analysts' recommendations on listed companies. Our findings show asymmetric price and volume reactions on the publication day. Contrary to previous evidence, we document a positive relationship between the number of analysts quoted in the column and the price (volume) increase associated with positive recommendations. Because the weekly columns seem to simply attract investors' attention, with no additional new information, observing a reaction positively related to the column's salience (proxied by the number of quoted analysts) is natural. In addition, we find that the market reaction is higher when the order size is lower, i.e., when individual investors' trades constitute a higher fraction of the total trading activity in the market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1108-1121 Issue: 10 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.866206 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.866206 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:10:p:1108-1121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julia Clapper Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Clapper Author-Name: Steven B. Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven B. Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Title: Water quality and cottage prices in Ontario Abstract: We use hedonic analysis to show that water clarity has a significant effect on lakefront property values in the Near North Ontario, Canada. In this study, water clarity is measured by Secchi disc reading. Based on two different dependent variables; sales price and sales price per square foot, and the estimation of linear, log--linear and log--log models, we find that water clarity does matter to lakefront property buyers in the Near North, Ontario. In particular, our results indicate that buyers are willing to pay about 2% more for each 1-foot increase in water clarity or Secchi depth. This finding is consistent across all of our specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1122-1126 Issue: 10 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.851778 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.851778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:10:p:1122-1126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ginny Ju-Ann Yang Author-X-Name-First: Ginny Ju-Ann Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Horace Chueh Author-X-Name-First: Horace Author-X-Name-Last: Chueh Author-Name: Chen-Hsun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Hsun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Examining the theory of capital structure: signal factor hypothesis Abstract: The aim of this study was to explore how various levels of information asymmetry affect the capital structure of listed companies in Taiwan and China. Regression results over the past few decades have indicated that the trade-off theory lacks explanatory power, bringing into question the accuracy of the static trade-off theory and the existence of an optimal capital structure. On the other hand, the financial decisions of companies do not always appear consistent with the pecking order theory. Building on the research of Chou et al. (2011), this study sought to verify the signal factor hypothesis, which combines the trade-off theory with the pecking order theory.This study was the first one to employ the panel KPSS test with sharp drifts, developed by Chang and Ranjbar (2012), as well as the Fourier function to verify that an optimal capital structure does exist for companies with more symmetric information, thereby establishing the trade-off theory. Firms with information asymmetry show adverse selection costs, which supports the pecking order theory and rejects the existence of an optimal capital structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1127-1133 Issue: 10 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.864040 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.864040 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:10:p:1127-1133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fran篩s-Éric Racicot Author-X-Name-First: Fran篩s-Éric Author-X-Name-Last: Racicot Author-Name: Raymond Th鯲et Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Th鯲et Title: Cumulant instrument estimators for hedge fund return models with errors in variables Abstract: We revisit the factors incorporated in asset pricing models following the recent developments in financial markets -- i.e., the rise of shadow banking and the change in the transmission channel of monetary policy. We propose two versions of the Fung and Hsieh (2004) hedge fund return model, especially an augmented market model which accounts for the new dynamics of financial markets and the procyclicality of hedge fund returns. We run these models with an innovative Hausman procedure, tackling the measurement errors embedded in the models factor loadings. Our empirical method also allows for confronting the drawbacks of the instruments used to estimate hedge fund asset pricing models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1134-1149 Issue: 10 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.868591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.868591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:10:p:1134-1149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Su Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Su Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Ali M. Kutan Author-X-Name-First: Ali M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kutan Title: Smooth structural breaks and the stationarity of the yen real exchange rates Abstract: This article examines and solves an interesting paradox in the literature that the tests for purchasing power parity (PPP) based on the yen real exchange rates (RERs) refute the PPP hypothesis more often than those with other major currency-based RERs, and the evidence is sensitive to the sample period used. Using a new empirical methodology accounting for both nonlinearity and multiple smooth temporary breaks in the data, we show that the puzzling finding is due to the failure to take into account the long but temporary large rise and fall in the yen RERs. The results illustrate that the yen RERs in the post-Bretton Woods period are likely mean reverting with linear or nonlinear adjustment toward large, long swing type of infrequent smooth temporary changes around constant equilibrium values, supporting the validity of PPP and resolving the paradox. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1150-1159 Issue: 10 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.868587 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.868587 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:10:p:1150-1159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: PACking a punch: Political Action Committees and corruption Abstract: Political Action Committees (PACs) are unique and prominent players in American politics. Yet, formal research on some aspects of PACs is lacking. Using US data over the period 1970 to 2009, this research demonstrates that the growth in PACs is positively associated with greater corruption. A 10% increase in the number of PACs per capita would increase corruption by about 8%. Upon disaggregation, corporate PACs, rather than labour PACs, are positively associated with corruption. The effects of economic prosperity, government size and population on US corruption are generally in line with the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1161-1169 Issue: 11 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.868589 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.868589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:11:p:1161-1169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kerstin Bernoth Author-X-Name-First: Kerstin Author-X-Name-Last: Bernoth Author-Name: Roberta Colavecchio Author-X-Name-First: Roberta Author-X-Name-Last: Colavecchio Title: The macroeconomic determinants of private equity investment: a European comparison Abstract: A strong private equity (PE) market is a cornerstone for commercialization and innovation in modern economies. However, substantial differences exist in the relative amounts raised and invested in PE across European countries. We investigate the macroeconomic determinants of PE investment in Europe, focusing on the comparison between Central and Eastern European (CEE) and Western European countries. Our estimations are based on a data set running from 2001 to 2011 that covers 16 countries. Applying robust estimation techniques, we identify a 'robust' set of determinants of PE activity in both regions. We find similarities as well as differences in the driving forces of PE investments in Western European and CEE countries. Our results suggest that economic activity, the inflation rate, equity market capitalization, unit labour costs, the unemployment rate as well the the institutional and legal environment are significant determinants of PE activity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1170-1183 Issue: 11 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.866306 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.866306 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:11:p:1170-1183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zheng Yang Author-X-Name-First: Zheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Anthony H. Tu Author-X-Name-First: Anthony H. Author-X-Name-Last: Tu Author-Name: Yong Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Title: Dynamic linkages between Asian stock prices and exchange rates: new evidence from causality in quantiles Abstract: This article applies the Granger causality test in quantiles to investigate causal relations between stock returns and exchange rate changes for nine Asian markets over the period 1 January 1997 to 16 August 2010. Our empirical results indicate that the quantile causal relations vary across different quantiles and different periods. Although the causal effects of exchange rate changes on stock returns (or stock returns on exchange rate changes) are heterogeneous across quantiles, the overall evidence suggests that most stock and foreign exchange markets are negatively correlated. The result shows that there are more bidirectional causal relations in accordance with this method than the conventional least square (LS) estimation. The symmetry of these quantile causal effects (the 'averaging effect') helps to explain why conventional LS method usually obtains an insignificant result of causality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1184-1201 Issue: 11 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.868590 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.868590 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:11:p:1184-1201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James E. Payne Author-X-Name-First: James E. Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Author-Name: Stephanie Miller Author-X-Name-First: Stephanie Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Author-Name: Junsoo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Junsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Myeong Hyeon Cho Author-X-Name-First: Myeong Hyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: Convergence of per capita sulphur dioxide emissions across US states Abstract: This study examines the stochastic conditional convergence of sulphur dioxide (SO2) emissions using the Residual Augmented Least Squares--Lagrange Multiplier (RALS--LM) unit root test with structural breaks. This procedure allows the data to account for trend breaks and nonnormal errors that have been ignored or deemphasized in previous studies. The study finds that per capita sulphur dioxide emissions exhibits stochastic conditional convergence across US states. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1202-1211 Issue: 11 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.868588 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.868588 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:11:p:1202-1211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nadir Altinok Author-X-Name-First: Nadir Author-X-Name-Last: Altinok Author-Name: Claude Diebolt Author-X-Name-First: Claude Author-X-Name-Last: Diebolt Author-Name: Jean-Luc Demeulemeester Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Luc Author-X-Name-Last: Demeulemeester Title: A new international database on education quality: 1965--2010 Abstract: The aim of this article is to propose a new database allowing a comparative evaluation of the relative performance of schooling systems around the world. We measure this performance through pupils' achievement in standardized tests. We merge all existing regional and international student achievement tests by using a specific methodology. When compared with other existing databases, our approach innovates in several ways, especially by including regional student achievement tests and intertemporal comparable indicators. We provide a data set of indicators of quality of student achievement for 103 countries/areas in primary education and 111 countries/areas in secondary education between 1965 and 2010. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1212-1247 Issue: 11 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.868592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.868592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:11:p:1212-1247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. G. Walke Author-X-Name-First: A. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Walke Author-Name: T. M. Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: T. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Title: Freight transportation costs and the thickening of the US--Mexico border Abstract: Border regulatory requirements and administrative practices changed subsequent to the September 11, 2001 (9/11), terrorist attacks in the United States. Research in this study examines the manners in which transportation cost data for merchandise imports from Mexico behaved before and after 2001. Evidence is obtained that confirms results earlier tabulated for imports from Canada. Empirical results further indicate that, beyond freight cost changes, growth in the value of imports from Mexico was disrupted by events associated with the aftermath of 9/11. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1248-1258 Issue: 11 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.870659 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.870659 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:11:p:1248-1258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qiao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Wenju Wang Author-X-Name-First: Wenju Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: An analysis of Chinese government expenditure using dynamic binary panel data Abstract: In this article, we model the government expenditure on the welfare change of general public by means of static and dynamic binary response model for panel data. We analyse the effectiveness of the total magnitude and the structure of the Chinese government expenditure on the basis of its effects on the welfare of Chinese citizens. We construct both the static and dynamic models. And we also do a further analysis of the state dependence of the welfare change of Chinese citizens by means of the survival analysis. The estimation results imply that the total amount of the Chinese government expenditure is not oversized but its allocation is not efficient. And expenditures in some fields are not utilized efficiently. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1259-1266 Issue: 11 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.870655 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.870655 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:11:p:1259-1266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian C. H. Lei Author-X-Name-First: Adrian C. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Lei Author-Name: Martin H. Y. Yick Author-X-Name-First: Martin H. Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Yick Author-Name: Keith S. K. Lam Author-X-Name-First: Keith S. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Lam Title: The effects of tax convexity on default and investment decisions Abstract: The objective of this article is to examine how default and investment triggers change under different levels of tax asymmetry when firms face nonlinear tax schedules. Under a convex tax schedule, profits are taxed at a higher rate, while losses are taxed (or rebated) at a lower rate, thus reducing the risk shared by the government. This article presents a dynamic model based on the contingent-claims framework to explore the impacts of tax convexity on the triggers, and we find that the impacts vary significantly depending on several countervailing forces. Tax convexity has a nonmonotonic relationship with both the default and investment triggers, because of the government's risk-sharing role. The default trigger is higher when tax convexity increases, while the growth option exerts a counteracting effect that lowers this trigger, creating an ambiguity in the investment trigger when changing the level of tax asymmetry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1267-1278 Issue: 11 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.870653 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.870653 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:11:p:1267-1278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khaled Guesmi Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Guesmi Author-Name: Duc Khuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc Khuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Time-varying regional integration of stock markets in Southeast Europe Abstract: We investigate the dynamics of regional financial integration and its determinants in the context of an ICAPM accounting for the deviations from PPP as well as temporal variations in both regional and local sources of risk. Using data from four major countries of the Southeast Europe, our results support the validity of the ICAPM and show that changes in the degree of regional integration are explained principally by trade openness and stock market development whatever the measure of currency risk. As market integration induces both benefits and risks, our findings should have significant implications for economic policies and market regulations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1279-1290 Issue: 11 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.870656 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.870656 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:11:p:1279-1290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesse M. Cunha Author-X-Name-First: Jesse M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cunha Author-Name: Ryan Sullivan Author-X-Name-First: Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Sullivan Author-Name: Melih Can Author-X-Name-First: Melih Author-X-Name-Last: Can Author-Name: Huseyin Yalcinkaya Author-X-Name-First: Huseyin Author-X-Name-Last: Yalcinkaya Title: Expedited citizenship for sale: estimating the effect of Executive Order 13269 on noncitizen military enlistments Abstract: This article estimates the effect of offering an expedited citizenship application process to noncitizens for joining the US military. Executive Order (EO) 13269, enacted in July of 2002, allowed noncitizens to apply for US citizenship immediately upon joining the military, effectively reducing the waiting time that is required to apply for citizenship from 3 years to 1 day. We identify the effect of the policy by using administrative personnel data on the universe of military enlistees between 1999 and 2010 along with a difference-in-differences (DD) strategy that uses accessions amongst citizens as the control group. Overall, we find no effect of the offer of expedited citizenship on total accessions amongst noncitizens. However, this overall null effect masks significant shifts of noncitizen enlistments out of combat intensive services and into 'safer' services. These results provide the first empirical evidence about this important, and relatively costless, recruiting policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1291-1300 Issue: 11 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.870658 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.870658 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:11:p:1291-1300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Fuentes Castro Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Fuentes Castro Title: Evidences of maturity mismatching of loans in OECD housing markets between 1995 and 2008 Abstract: The article focuses on maturity mismatching of loans in OECD economies during the last housing boom (which ended with the subprime mortgage crisis in 2007). Our model gives rise to an indicator measuring how strong the incentives for speculation were. The indicator is also used to estimate the influence of transaction costs and demand-side subsidies on leverage. According to the model, the influence of subsidies is likely to be limited compared to transaction costs, which may play a significant role in containing incentives for maturity mismatching. Some distinctive patterns can be deduced from a country by country analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1301-1311 Issue: 12 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.870652 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.870652 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:12:p:1301-1311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Z. Wu Author-X-Name-First: Z. Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: L. Peng Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: L. Sheng Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Title: Where did all the remittances go? Understanding the impact of remittances on consumption patterns in rural China Abstract: We focus on the impact of migrants' remittances on consumption patterns in China. Using a large homogenous sample of rural households surveyed in 2001 and 2004, we find that remittances are spent on nonhousing consumption expenditures at the margin, virtually dollar-for-dollar, when we instrument remittances and local employed earnings using proxies of social networks. Our findings are robust to intra-household division of labour and to fixed-effect for the county in which the respondents are registered. These results imply that rural households largely take remittances as permanent income and are consistent with the prevalence of circular and repeat migration in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1312-1322 Issue: 12 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.872764 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.872764 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:12:p:1312-1322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pin-te Lin Author-X-Name-First: Pin-te Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Franz Fuerst Author-X-Name-First: Franz Author-X-Name-Last: Fuerst Title: The integration of direct real estate and stock markets in Asia Abstract: Currently, there exists relatively little research investigating the long-term association between stock and direct real estate markets. Using appropriate transaction-based property indices, this study focuses on the relationship between stock and direct real estate markets in nine Asian countries from the period 1980 to 2012 through both linear and nonlinear cointegration techniques. We find empirical evidence of linear cointegration of stock and property markets in Taiwan, fractional cointegration in Singapore and Hong Kong and no evidence of cointegration in China, Japan, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia and South Korea. It is concluded that segmentation of property markets from stock markets does not appear to be linked to the differences in the maturity of national financial markets and that the differing degrees of integration across Asia may instead be reflective of a range of factors impacting upon the underlying economic structures in each country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1323-1334 Issue: 12 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.872763 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.872763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:12:p:1323-1334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gordon Y. N. Tang Author-X-Name-First: Gordon Y. N. Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Haomin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Haomin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Stock return reversal and continuance anomaly: new evidence from Hong Kong Abstract: Using weekly data, this article conducts a comprehensive analysis and presents new empirical evidences on the short-term stock return reversal and continuance anomaly in the Hong Kong stock market. We confirm that winner stocks behave differently from loser stocks in that the return reversal phenomenon is pervasive within past winner stocks only while past loser stocks tend to show weak return continuance. The arbitrage strategy can earn significantly positive contrarian profits, especially for small firms and illiquid stocks. The anomaly varies across different industries and is also sensitive to the market movement. Despite the existence of the anomaly, our results still in general suggest that the Hong Kong stock market is weak-form efficient because arbitrage trading costs would largely overwhelm the available profits in most cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1335-1349 Issue: 12 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.872767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.872767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:12:p:1335-1349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simona Rasciute Author-X-Name-First: Simona Author-X-Name-Last: Rasciute Author-Name: Eric Pentecost Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Pentecost Author-Name: Ben Ferrett Author-X-Name-First: Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrett Title: Firm heterogeneity in modelling foreign direct investment location decisions Abstract: This article investigates the probability of the FDI location decisions of multinational enterprises using a mixed logit panel data model, which is the most flexible discrete choice model. We employ a three-level data set, which includes over 1100 FDI location decisions into 13 alternative Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) over an 11-year period. Our empirical results on the effect of host country, industry and firm characteristics on the probability of undertaking FDI in a particular location are significant and consistent with the predictions of our theoretical model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1350-1360 Issue: 12 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.872760 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.872760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:12:p:1350-1360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johannes M. Bauer Author-X-Name-First: Johannes M. Author-X-Name-Last: Bauer Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Aaron Morey Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Morey Title: Effects of economic conditions and policy interventions on OECD broadband adoption Abstract: The positive effects of broadband networks and services on productivity and economic growth are well established. Looking at broadband as an engine of economic prosperity, the OECD and its member states are seeking to foster its widespread adoption. However, which public policies best promote the adoption of broadband remains controversial. This article contributes in two ways to this discussion. It offers a comprehensive discussion of the factors that influence broadband adoption and uses an econometric approach that is well-suited to overcome the challenges of modelling broadband adoption. This framework allows drawing more robust and nuanced policy recommendations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1361-1372 Issue: 12 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.872765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.872765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:12:p:1361-1372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Ignacio Garc𫑐鲥z Author-X-Name-First: J. Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Garc𫑐鲥z Author-Name: Marisa Hidalgo-Hidalgo Author-X-Name-First: Marisa Author-X-Name-Last: Hidalgo-Hidalgo Author-Name: J. Antonio Robles-Zurita Author-X-Name-First: J. Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Robles-Zurita Title: Does grade retention affect students' achievement? Some evidence from Spain Abstract: Grade retention practices are at the forefront of the educational debate. In this article, we measure the effect of grade retention on Spanish students' achievement by using data from Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA). We find that grade retention has a negative impact on educational outcomes, but we confirm the importance of endogenous selection which makes observed differences between repeaters and nonrepeaters appear about 14% lower than they actually are. The effect on scores of repeating is much smaller (--10% of nonrepeaters' average) than the counterfactual reduction that nonrepeaters would suffer had they been retained as repeaters (--24% of their average). Furthermore, those who repeated a grade during primary education suffered more than those who repeated a grade in secondary school, although the effect of repeating at both times is, as expected, larger. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1373-1392 Issue: 12 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.872761 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.872761 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:12:p:1373-1392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marjorie L. Baldwin Author-X-Name-First: Marjorie L. Author-X-Name-Last: Baldwin Author-Name: Chung Choe Author-X-Name-First: Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Choe Title: Re-examining the models used to estimate disability-related wage discrimination Abstract: We examine how differences in model specifications and econometric methods affect unexplained wage differentials between workers with and without physical disabilities, where the unexplained differentials are estimates of the potential effects of disability-related wage discrimination. We apply an enhanced decomposition method (Neuman and Oaxaca, 2004) to selectivity-corrected wage equations to estimate potential discrimination effects. The decomposition separates observed wage differentials into a part explained by differences in characteristics that affect productivity and the decision to work and an unexplained part potentially attributed to discrimination. In addition to the functional limitation variables used to control for the effects of disability on productivity, we add measures of physical job demands, and interaction effects between functional limitations and job demands, to the wage models to examine how estimates of potential discrimination change. The interaction terms measure the extent to which workers' physical limitations affect important job functions. Data come from the 2004 SIPP merged to measures of job demands from the Occupational Information Network (O*Net). With job demands and interactions included in the model, approximately 10% of the observed wage differential for men, and 20% for women, is potentially attributed to discrimination. Changes in decomposition technique substantially alter the estimates of discrimination effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1393-1408 Issue: 12 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.872762 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.872762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:12:p:1393-1408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Barr貥 Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Barr貥 Author-Name: Quentin Bonnard Author-X-Name-First: Quentin Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnard Author-Name: V鲯nique Chossat Author-X-Name-First: V鲯nique Author-X-Name-Last: Chossat Title: Are we at a turning point in the evolution of gastronomy? Paris: an exemplary case Abstract: Over the past few years, the landscape of top-class gastronomy has empirically changed: some celebrity chefs are returning their hard-won awards to instead provide low-cost food while others work tirelessly to gain access to the inner circle of international top-class restaurants. Things are changing, but the direction is unclear. To analyse the situation, we took the case of French Parisian gastronomy -- because it has been the main model for world gastronomy. Our study of it focuses on the Michelin Guide selection, covering the 60-year period 1950--2012. We then applied multiple correspondence analysis to establish the profiles of the Parisian restaurants and to find out whether these profiles have evolved. This article shows that a turning point has clearly been reached and that gastronomic pluralism is on the rise -- to the detriment of the hegemony of elitist gastronomy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1409-1419 Issue: 12 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.875110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.875110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:12:p:1409-1419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei-Han Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Han Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Optimal hedge ratio estimation and hedge effectiveness with multivariate skew distributions Abstract: This article proposes to use the three multivariate skew distributions (generalized hyperbolic distribution, multivariate skew normal distribution, and multivariate skew Student-t distribution) for estimating the minimum variance hedge ratio in a dynamic setting. Three criteria for measuring hedge effectiveness are employed: hedging instrument effectiveness, overall hedge effectiveness, and relative-to-optimal hedge ratio effectiveness (RHRE). Three portfolios of spot and futures series are formed for empirical analysis. The outcomes confirm that the three multivariate skew distributions are more helpful in deciding the minimum variance hedge ratio, especially the generalized hyperbolic distribution, than the symmetrical normal and Student-t distributions. This outperformance is significant especially at critical market moments and it is indicated by three hedge effectiveness measures. This advantage is held without the cost of lowering portfolio return. In addition, there is speculation possibility existing in the portfolio hedged by the traditional optimal hedge ratio and this potential can be detected especially by RHRE. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1420-1435 Issue: 12 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.875112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.875112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:12:p:1420-1435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zsolt Darvas Author-X-Name-First: Zsolt Author-X-Name-Last: Darvas Author-Name: Balẳ Varga Author-X-Name-First: Balẳ Author-X-Name-Last: Varga Title: Inflation persistence in central and eastern European countries Abstract: This article studies inflation persistence with time-varying coefficient autoregressions for 12 central European countries in comparison with the United States and the euro area. We find that inflation persistence tends to be higher in times of high inflation. Since the oil price shocks, inflation persistence has declined both in the United States and the euro area. In most central and eastern European countries, for which our study covers 1993--2012, inflation persistence has also declined, with the main exceptions of the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Slovenia, where persistence seems to be rather stable. Our findings have implications for the conduct of monetary policy and for a possible membership in the euro area. Among the two time-varying coefficient methods we use, our results favour the flexible least squares smoother over the Kalman smoother. We also conclude that the OLS estimate of an autoregression is likely upward biased relative to the time-average of time-varying parameters, when the parameters change. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1437-1448 Issue: 13 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.875113 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.875113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:13:p:1437-1448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Jobert Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Jobert Author-Name: Fatih Karanfil Author-X-Name-First: Fatih Author-X-Name-Last: Karanfil Author-Name: Anna Tykhonenko Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Tykhonenko Title: Estimating country-specific environmental Kuznets curves from panel data: a Bayesian shrinkage approach Abstract: Designing an efficient global climate policy turns out to be a difficult yet crucial task since there are noteworthy cross-country differences in energy and carbon intensities. In this article, the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis is tested for carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, and as a modelling technique, the iterative Bayesian shrinkage procedure is employed to handle the cross-country differences. The results suggest that first the EKC hypothesis is rejected for 47 out of the 51 countries considered when the heterogeneity in countries' energy efficiencies and cross-country differences in the CO2 emissions trajectories are accounted for; second, a classification of the results with respect to the development levels of the countries concerned reveals that the emergence of an overall inverted U-shaped curve is due to the fact that in high-income countries increase in gross domestic product (GDP) decreases emissions, while in low-income countries emissions and GDP are positively correlated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1449-1464 Issue: 13 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.875111 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.875111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:13:p:1449-1464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gonzalo Troncoso Author-X-Name-First: Gonzalo Author-X-Name-Last: Troncoso Author-Name: Juan Carlos Mu񯺠 Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Mu񯺠 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Ferrer Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrer Author-Name: Louis de Grange Author-X-Name-First: Louis Author-X-Name-Last: de Grange Title: Assessing salesforce marginal productivity Abstract: Marginal productivity of salesforce (excluding checkout clerks) in a retail store is difficult to assess. An analytical model is presented here explaining this productivity using salesforce workers per hour as the factor of production (the explanatory variable) and sales transactions per hour as the level of production (the explained variable). The model incorporates self-service transactions, controls for various seasonal effects (time of day, day of the week, month of the year) and generates solutions for in-store salesforce assignment across opening hours and sales points. To control for possible endogeneity between the transactions and salesforce size variables, instrumental variables are employed in the calibration process. The model is calibrated using data from a major retail chain based in Latin America both at the storewide level and for groups of individual store departments. The results corroborate the existence of diminishing returns to scale for the workers per hour factor and a significant level of self-service transactions in the total number of sales. The application of the model to the stores supplying the data confirms the systematic understaffing reported in the literature for the retail industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1465-1475 Issue: 13 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.877575 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.877575 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:13:p:1465-1475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Reis Mourao Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Mourao Title: Does European regional competitiveness influence sports? An analysis of three sports Abstract: The main objective of this work was to test European regional determinants of sports competitiveness. We studied competitiveness in volleyball, basketball and handball. We developed a theoretical model based on the model proposed by Bernard and Busse (2004) to analyse the effect of regional institutions and sport environments that can interfere with sports competitiveness. To test our model, we constructed an enlarged database for all European NUTS2 since 1995, which we analysed using panel data techniques (censored Tobit models). Our results reveal that the regions that are able to maintain player performance do so by persistent effort and external influences. These factors contribute more to regional competitiveness than a region's central location or political prominence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1476-1489 Issue: 13 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.877578 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.877578 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:13:p:1476-1489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Farhang Niroomand Author-X-Name-First: Farhang Author-X-Name-Last: Niroomand Author-Name: Massomeh Hajilee Author-X-Name-First: Massomeh Author-X-Name-Last: Hajilee Author-Name: Omar M. Al Nasser Author-X-Name-First: Omar M. Author-X-Name-Last: Al Nasser Title: Financial market development and trade openness: evidence from emerging economies Abstract: International trade is said to be the engine of economic growth. Despite an enormous effort to explain this phenomenon, the relationship between financial market development and trade openness and integration into the world economy is still an enigma. This article investigates the relationship between financial market development and trade openness. To do this, we develop a long-run and short-run model (a bounds testing approach to cointegration) for 18 emerging economies over the period 1980 to 2011. Estimates from all models show that financial market development, including both the stock market and the banking sector, has significant effect on trade openness in both short-run and long-run phenomena in the majority of countries. Despite many similarities among emerging economies, additional evidence suggests that the link between either stock market development or banking sector development with trade openness works via each country's specific structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1490-1498 Issue: 13 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.866207 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.866207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:13:p:1490-1498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Jeng-Yan Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Jeng-Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Wei-Ming Hung Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: Assessing bank equity risk under Legacy Loan Program Abstract: We study the effects of purchasing distressed loan on bank equity risk under the Legacy Loan Program (LLP), in which the government is in partnership with private investors. The bank may refuse LLP when its knock-out value is too low. When the bank decides to participate in the LLP, the participation of a private investor generates a decrease in bank interest margin and an increase in equity risk, but the knock-out value with the LLP assistance generates an increase in bank interest margin and a decrease in equity risk. Our results suggest that the success of LLP depends critically on the willingness of a weak bank to participate in it. However, the participation of a private investor in LLP does not decrease the weak bank's equity risk but poses instability to the banking system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1499-1508 Issue: 13 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.875109 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.875109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:13:p:1499-1508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tamara de la Mata Author-X-Name-First: Tamara Author-X-Name-Last: de la Mata Title: Does trade creation by social and business networks hold in services? Abstract: Recent literature on the border effect has shown that the intensity of trade in goods is positively correlated with the migration stocks between any pair of countries/regions. The number of references for business networks is more limited, but they are also related with a reduction on information costs. In this article we investigate whether such a relation holds also for Spanish domestic trade flows in consumer services. To this end, we use a gravity model rooted in the Dixit--Stiglitz--Krugman theoretical framework and a unique data set on interregional trade flows for some of the main tourism service sectors, namely, accommodations and restaurants. Our industry-specific analysis finds a large positive effect for restaurants but a more limited effect for accommodations. Forces driving the demand in each sector explain this result and suggest the idea that although social networks can act as a substitute of firms in some sectors at the same time they can enhance trade flows in other sectors. We perform the same kind of analysis with a data set (obtained by a similar method) for domestic trade in goods and discover a different response to social and business networks. Finally, we treat the potential endogeneity by taking the instrumental-variable approach of the Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood estimator and thus obtain consistent results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1509-1525 Issue: 13 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.877576 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.877576 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:13:p:1509-1525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minki Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minki Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hailey Hayeon Joo Author-X-Name-First: Hailey Hayeon Author-X-Name-Last: Joo Title: What makes you grab low carb beers? Abstract: What makes people choose low-carbohydrate, high-protein food (low-carb food), which is good for health but usually tastes bad? Using panel data on US beer consumption in which each consumption occasion is uniquely associated with various companion-based consumption contexts and exposure levels to diet information, we analyse the variations in consumers' preferences for low-carb food. The results show that there exist considerable gender differences in the preference variation under peer pressure. First, single females behave in a way they dislike drinking low-carb beer in front of friends, spouses and significant others. Second, male (both married and single) and married females pretend to choose low-carb beer when accompanied by spouses or significant others. Finally, the elasticity of demand for healthy food with respect to news articles about low-carb diets is positive, yet with substantial differences in the degree of elasticity across demographic groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1526-1534 Issue: 13 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.877572 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.877572 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:13:p:1526-1534 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ray Bachan Author-X-Name-First: Ray Author-X-Name-Last: Bachan Author-Name: Barry Reilly Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Reilly Author-Name: Robert Witt Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Witt Title: Team performance and race: evidence from the English and French national soccer teams Abstract: This study examines the performance of the men's senior national soccer teams of England and France between the years 1996 and 2011. The article models team performance using an array of match-specific variables including the racial composition of the starting XI. We find no definitive evidence that the racial composition of the national teams exerts an influence on match outcome for either country over the period reviewed. In addition, while there is no statistical support for the view that the identity of the England national team manager is an important determinant of performance, there is mild evidence that the converse is the case for France. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1535-1546 Issue: 13 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.875108 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.875108 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:13:p:1535-1546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pilar G󭥺-Fernᮤez-Aguado Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: G󭥺-Fernᮤez-Aguado Author-Name: Antonio Partal-Ure񡠍 Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Partal-Ure񡠍 Author-Name: Antonio Trujillo-Ponce Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Trujillo-Ponce Title: Moving toward risk-based deposit insurance premiums in the European Union: the case of Spain Abstract: This article provides a scenario-based analysis of how the European Union proposal for a new funding model for deposit insurance systems (DISs) would affect the Spanish banking sector. We examine the risk profiles of commercial banks, savings banks and credit cooperatives over the period 2007 to 2011 and compare the contributions to the deposit insurance fund (DIF) under the current flat-rate regime with those that would have occurred under the new risk-sensitive system. We find that a risk-based scheme could provide an incentive for sound management by reducing the premiums for credit institutions with better risk profiles. We also conclude that the proposed reform may help to mitigate the moral hazard associated with larger credit institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1547-1564 Issue: 13 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.877577 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.877577 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:13:p:1547-1564 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Patricio Samanez Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Patricio Author-X-Name-Last: Samanez Author-Name: L鯠da Rocha Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: L鯠 Author-X-Name-Last: da Rocha Ferreira Author-Name: Carolina Caldas do Nascimento Author-X-Name-First: Carolina Caldas Author-X-Name-Last: do Nascimento Author-Name: Let񊑡 de Almeida Costa Author-X-Name-First: Let񊑡 Author-X-Name-Last: de Almeida Costa Author-Name: Claudio R. S. Bisso Author-X-Name-First: Claudio R. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Bisso Title: Evaluating the economy embedded in the Brazilian ethanol--gasoline flex-fuel car: a Real Options approach Abstract: The introduction of the flex-fuel cars in the Brazilian market in 2003 changed considerably the consumer decision-making process. Prior to this date, it was necessary to choose the automobile type only by gasoline or by ethanol fuel; today it is possible to choose a car type with both fuel options. This flexibility generates economic advantages for his owner, but what are the financial benefits of a flex-fuel car in comparison with a car using only gasoline? Geographically, where is the owner of the benefits from this flexibility located? This article presents an empirical application of the Real Options Theory in the analysis of the flex-fuel car option for five geographic Brazilian regions: Northern, Northeastern, Central-Western, Southeastern and Southern. The regional price differences as well as the consumer preferences of these regions were met. For this purpose, historical fuel prices were considered stochastic and following a Mean Reverting Stochastic process. The prediction and option values were generated by a Monte Carlo simulation. The results indicated that the option embedded on the Brazilian flex-fuel car adds considerable value to the owner in all regions and car models considered, with the Southeastern Region receiving most benefits by the flex option. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1565-1581 Issue: 14 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.877573 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.877573 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:14:p:1565-1581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Author-Name: Kenichi Suzuki Author-X-Name-First: Kenichi Author-X-Name-Last: Suzuki Title: Who are the members of the international club? Abstract: This article proposes pragmatic methods that incorporate recent contributions to public good theory to identify the members of the international club and how they select new members. This article also suggests simple applications to the recent problems in international clubs such as the euro and NATO. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1582-1585 Issue: 14 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.877574 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.877574 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:14:p:1582-1585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yaobin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yaobin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Resource drag in an endogenous growth context: a panel data-based estimation with cross-sectional dependences and structural breaks Abstract: The article develops a resource drag model based on the endogenous growth theory, and provides fresh empirical evidence to estimate the drags for China by using the recently developed panel model with both cross-sectional dependences and structural breaks. The results indicate that there exists a long-run equilibrium relationship between GDP and its inputs, and both the land and water resources have significantly positive impacts on GDP except from some provinces after allowing for cross-sectional heterogeneities and structure breaks. In addition, the study employs the common correlated effects estimators to investigate the resource drags at both the pooled and individual levels. The result shows that the aggregate drag reduces annual growth rate by about 0.016 percentage points in China as a whole while there exist significant differences in both these disaggregate and aggregate drags for the province-groups, suggesting there is a fair amount of geographic clustering for them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1586-1598 Issue: 14 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.879283 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.879283 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:14:p:1586-1598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michal Brzezinski Author-X-Name-First: Michal Author-X-Name-Last: Brzezinski Title: Statistical inference for richness measures Abstract: Richness indices are distributional statistics used to measure the incomes, earnings or wealth of the rich. This article uses a linearization method to derive the sampling variances for recently introduced distributionally sensitive richness measures when estimated from survey data. The results are derived for two cases: (1) when the richness line is known and (2) when it has to be estimated from the sample. The proposed approach enables easy consideration of the effects of a complex sampling design. Monte Carlo results suggest that the proposed approach allows for reliable inference in case of 'concave' richness indices, but that it is not satisfactory in case of 'convex' richness measures. The standard bootstrap methods give similar results for 'concave' measures, but they are also unreliable for 'convex' indices. The performance of the bootstrap inference can be improved in some cases using a semi-parametric approach. The variance formulae are illustrated with a comparison of wealth richness in Canada, Sweden, the United Kingdom and the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1599-1608 Issue: 14 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.880106 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.880106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:14:p:1599-1608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muriel Fadairo Author-X-Name-First: Muriel Author-X-Name-Last: Fadairo Author-Name: Cintya Lanchimba Author-X-Name-First: Cintya Author-X-Name-Last: Lanchimba Title: Organizational choices and performance in distribution systems Abstract: This article studies the performance of distribution networks as the result of a range of organizational choices. The analytical part of the article surveys the vast literature devoted to franchising and dual distribution. From this framework, several testable propositions linking network performance to organizational choices are derived. Three complementary criteria of performance are taken into account: the internationalization rate, the expansion rate and the market share. This article provides evidence for the simultaneity between these performance criteria, analytically related as indicators of the network commercial performance. Thus, the econometrical model is defined as a system of simultaneous equations, free of endogeneity regarding the explanatory variables. The estimations on recent French data obtained using the three-stage least squares method provide robust results and show that the type of distribution network, the number of company-owned outlets in the network, the type of sector and the choice to manage several networks simultaneously affect the performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1609-1623 Issue: 14 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.872766 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.872766 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:14:p:1609-1623 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Lasarte Navamuel Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Lasarte Navamuel Author-Name: Fernando Rubiera Moroll󮠍 Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Rubiera Moroll󮠍 Author-Name: Dusan Paredes Author-X-Name-First: Dusan Author-X-Name-Last: Paredes Title: City size and household food consumption: demand elasticities in Spain Abstract: Are food price elasticities different across city sizes? The aim of this article is to estimate expenditure and own-price elasticities for 10 aggregated food product groups using the Spanish Household Budget Survey for the year 2010. These products are the ones for which the survey provides information regarding prices and quantities, thus allowing the application of an Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) model with censored data. The estimation procedure allows not only comparisons to be made among households with different levels of income, but also the contribution of residence characteristics to variations in demand. The results confirm that the size of the city in which the household resides has a similar significant and relevant effect on consumption patterns as family income level. This is especially clear with own-price elasticities. In Spain, large central cities show a greater response to price changes than smaller cities or rural peripheral areas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1624-1641 Issue: 14 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.868593 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.868593 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:14:p:1624-1641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nina Ponikvar Author-X-Name-First: Nina Author-X-Name-Last: Ponikvar Author-Name: Katja Zajc Kejžar Author-X-Name-First: Katja Author-X-Name-Last: Zajc Kejžar Title: The puzzle on the causality of the productivity and employment growth: evidence from firm-level data Abstract: This article analyses the causality between the firm's employment and productivity growth based on the population of manufacturing firms registered in Slovenia in the 1994--2003 period. By using the system GMM estimator, we show that the employment--productivity growth trade-off does not exist. Moreover, we find significant complementarities between employment and productivity growth, mostly driven by SMEs and firms from high-tech industries. Accordingly, we argue that the job-creation policy and productivity-promoting policy are complementary rather than trade-offs and that policymakers should focus on the optimal policy mix that provides the highest aggregate effect with regard to all growth aspects. Further, significant differences among the factors of employment and productivity growth suggest that job-creation policy measures are most successful when targeted at younger export-oriented firms with high total factor productivity levels and capital-intensive production. Meanwhile, the outcome of policy measures aimed at promoting productivity increases with a firm's capital intensity and size up to the threshold employment level and with the intensity of market competition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1642-1651 Issue: 14 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.881974 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.881974 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:14:p:1642-1651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasunori Yoshizaki Author-X-Name-First: Yasunori Author-X-Name-Last: Yoshizaki Author-Name: Shigeyuki Haomori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Haomori Title: The effects of oil price shocks on expenditure category CPI Abstract: In this study, we apply a two-block structural vector autoregressive (VAR) model proposed by Kilian and Park (2009) in order to investigate the dynamic effects of changes in oil price on the expenditure category consumer price index (CPI) in the United States and Japan. Our results confirm that each expenditure category price index responded very differently to the same structural shock, and that whether changes in oil price function as a positive stimulus or a negative shock for the individual expenditure category prices also depends on the kind of underlying shock that drives the changes in oil price. Finally, our results also reveal that the manner in which changes in oil price affect each expenditure category price differs between the United States and Japan and these detailed-level differences may lead to aggregate-level differences in the price response of both countries to changes in oil price. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1652-1664 Issue: 14 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.881977 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.881977 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:14:p:1652-1664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan T. Wang Author-X-Name-First: Alan T. Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chengxue Yao Author-X-Name-First: Chengxue Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Risks of Latin America sovereign debts before and after the financial crisis Abstract: We investigate the financial determinants of the return and volatility of sovereign CDS spread from six major Latin American countries before and after the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers. Other than CBOE VIX index, we also find that global factors including US Baa--Aaa default yield, TED spread and US Treasury rate all contribute to the changes in these sovereign CDS spread. Although global risk aversion (VIX) is a significant determinant of sovereign debt spread, in the years after the crisis, the emphasis has shifted towards short-term refinancing risk (TED). Furthermore, the risk of Greek sovereign debt crisis also transmitted Latin American CDS spreads immediately, but only in the post-Lehman sub-period. These findings provide implications for international bonds and credit derivatives trading strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1665-1676 Issue: 14 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.881976 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.881976 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:14:p:1665-1676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsunao Okumura Author-X-Name-First: Tsunao Author-X-Name-Last: Okumura Author-Name: Emiko Usui Author-X-Name-First: Emiko Author-X-Name-Last: Usui Title: The effect of pension reform on pension-benefit expectations and savings decisions in Japan Abstract: Using the Japanese Study of Aging and Retirement (JSTAR), which is a new Japanese panel survey of people aged 50 and over, we find that more Japanese in their early 50s expect their level of public pension benefits to decline compared with those in their late 50s and early 60s. We also find that recent pension reforms that raised the pensionable age affected the Japanese population by increasing the age at which they expect to claim their benefits by almost the exact same amount as the increase in the pensionable age. The reforms have also decreased the population's expectations about receiving public pension benefits, although this effect is not necessarily significant. We also find evidence that anxiety about the public pension programme's future increases private savings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1677-1691 Issue: 14 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.870654 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.870654 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:14:p:1677-1691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Josef Lamla Author-X-Name-First: Michael Josef Author-X-Name-Last: Lamla Author-Name: Martin Straub Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Straub Author-Name: Esther Mirjam Girsberger Author-X-Name-First: Esther Mirjam Author-X-Name-Last: Girsberger Title: On the economic impact of international sport events: microevidence from survey data at the EURO 2008 Abstract: Using firm-level data for more than 700 Swiss hotels and restaurants, we evaluate the economic impact of the EURO 2008 soccer championship in Switzerland. Although aggregated macrodata do not reveal any sizable economic impact, we report an overall negative effect based on the surveyed companies. Notably the reported effects of the individual firms are very heterogeneous. For instance, hotels in cities benefitted from the tournament as they were able to raise prices and thereby increase sales. Looking at the long-run impact only a small fraction of companies do believe in a positive effect. Interestingly, this outlook does not depend on realized sales, but on the guest structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1693-1703 Issue: 15 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.881972 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.881972 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:15:p:1693-1703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jae-Joon Han Author-X-Name-First: Jae-Joon Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Hongshik Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hongshik Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Joonhyung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Joonhyung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: How and where to offshore: a productivity comparison at the firm level Abstract: Using recent survey data on South Korean firms' strategies for sourcing intermediate goods from abroad, we investigate whether there exists a productivity premium of offshoring by considering organizational forms (insourcing versus outsourcing) and the income level of offshored countries (North versus South) altogether. Thus, we consider the following four offshoring types: outsourcing from South, insourcing from South, outsourcing from North and insourcing from North. Unlike previous studies, we give particular attention to the comparison between outsourcing from North and insourcing from South and find that firms outsourcing from North are more productive than firms sourcing from their own affiliates in South. We offer three critical conditions to incorporate our empirical findings into the standard firm heterogeneity model: the fixed cost is higher for insourcing than for outsourcing and is higher in North than in South, the headquarters receive a larger share of the final revenue through insourcing than through outsourcing, and sourcing from North guarantees better profitability (or a bigger share) in the market for the headquarters than sourcing from South. Thus, this article contributes to the literature by identifying a new productivity order. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1704-1715 Issue: 15 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.881975 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.881975 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:15:p:1704-1715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher S. Brunt Author-X-Name-First: Christopher S. Author-X-Name-Last: Brunt Author-Name: John R. Bowblis Author-X-Name-First: John R. Author-X-Name-Last: Bowblis Title: Health IT adoption, productivity and quality in primary care Abstract: Within the last decade, there has been a growing push towards the use of electronic medical records and health information technology (IT) within primary care physician practices. Despite financial subsidies, smaller practices remain reluctant to adopt these information systems. Using a nationally representative survey of physicians, this study explores the relationship between physician, practice and area attributes and the adoption of health IT systems. Controlling for these attributes, the analysis subsequently studies the relationship between health IT, physician productivity and perceived quality of care. It finds that smaller practices and physicians with lower incomes are less likely to adopt health IT systems and that adoption varies with the type of medical conditions the practice typically treats. With regards to productivity, health IT adopters are more likely to see fewer patients and spend a larger amount of time on each visit with marginal increases in time on administrative tasks and no differences in perceived ability to deliver quality health care. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1716-1727 Issue: 15 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.884705 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.884705 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:15:p:1716-1727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna P. I. Vong Author-X-Name-First: Anna P. I. Author-X-Name-Last: Vong Author-Name: Duarte Trigueiros Author-X-Name-First: Duarte Author-X-Name-Last: Trigueiros Title: Reversal in the relative performance of state- and legal person-owned companies during the Chinese split share structure reform Abstract: The split share structure reform was started in 2005 with the object of re-designating state-related, nontradable shares into tradable shares. The article compares the two major forms of state ownership in China (direct or indirect ownership) showing that, close to the reform period, companies directly held by the state experience a significant increase in market performance relative to indirectly held companies. Results suggest that investors' perception about the worth of these two forms of state ownership may have suffered a reversal, thus bringing to light value-related consequences ensuing from protective schemes usual in China and elsewhere. The article also addresses a recurrent pitfall relating to the use in empirical models of fractions of the same total and shows that U-shaped patterns found in the relationship between ownership and performance are transient rather than stable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1728-1750 Issue: 15 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.881973 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.881973 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:15:p:1728-1750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anh Tuan Bui Author-X-Name-First: Anh Tuan Author-X-Name-Last: Bui Author-Name: Mardi Dungey Author-X-Name-First: Mardi Author-X-Name-Last: Dungey Author-Name: Cuong Viet Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Cuong Viet Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Thu Phuong Pham Author-X-Name-First: Thu Phuong Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Title: The impact of natural disasters on household income, expenditure, poverty and inequality: evidence from Vietnam Abstract: Natural disasters are expected exacerbate poverty and inequality, but little evidence exists to support the impact at household level. This article examines the effect of natural disasters on household income, expenditure, poverty and inequality using the Vietnam Household Living Standard Survey in 2008. The effects of a natural disaster on household income and expenditure, corrected for fixed effects and potential endogeneity bias, are estimated at 6.9% and 7.1% declines in Vietnamese household per capita income and expenditure, respectively. Natural disasters demonstrably worsen expenditure poverty and inequality in Vietnam, and thus should be considered as a factor in designing poverty alleviation policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1751-1766 Issue: 15 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.884706 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.884706 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:15:p:1751-1766 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haichao Fan Author-X-Name-First: Haichao Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Zhiwei Xu Author-X-Name-First: Zhiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Firm dynamics in news-driven business cycles: the role of endogenous survival rate Abstract: Evidences from the structural vector-error correction model shows that the new business formation and stock prices co-moves with output under news shocks. However, simply incorporating firm dynamics into Jaimovich and Rebelo's (Jaimovich and Rebelo, 2009) model cannot explain these empirical findings. We show that this problem can be resolved by introducing endogenous survival rates for the new entrants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1767-1777 Issue: 15 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.884701 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.884701 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:15:p:1767-1777 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Anderson Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Title: Maximum likelihood ranking in racing sports Abstract: Most ranking methods used in racing sports are based on the number of points earned in a series of races. In some applications, this method will fail to provide an accurate ranking of competitors based on ability. In particular, rankings will not accurately reflect ability when competitors enter different numbers of races or when the level of competition varies by race. Additionally, point-based rankings are dependent on a subjective points scale. Three alternative models of performance and corresponding maximum likelihood estimation methods are presented that can be used to rank competitors and overcome the shortcomings of point-based rankings. Two methods are based on paired-comparisons among competitors and can be estimated using common binary-choice regression methods; the other is based on the rank-ordered logit model. These methods are valuable tools for stakeholders who need to evaluate the relative abilities of competitors to efficiently allocate resources. Application is demonstrated using results from the 2012 Formula One season, and the results of the maximum likelihood methods are compared to each other and the official point-based rankings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1778-1787 Issue: 15 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.884702 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.884702 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:15:p:1778-1787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Hussey Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Hussey Author-Name: Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy Author-Name: Jay Walker Author-X-Name-First: Jay Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Title: AIDing contraception: HIV and recent trends in abortion Abstract: Using a difference-in-differences estimation framework and state-level data, we investigate the potential role of HIV/AIDS in contributing to declining abortion utilization in the United States. Our results suggest that the perceived risk of HIV contraction negatively affected unwanted pregnancies. Specifically, a 10% increase in HIV incidence is associated with 0.34--1.1% fewer abortions per live births, an effect that can account for at least one-tenth of the sharp decline in abortions observed from the early 1980s to mid-1990s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1788-1803 Issue: 15 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.884700 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.884700 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:15:p:1788-1803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: M. Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Nildag Basak Ceylan Author-X-Name-First: Nildag Basak Author-X-Name-Last: Ceylan Author-Name: Burak Dogan Author-X-Name-First: Burak Author-X-Name-Last: Dogan Title: An interest-rate-spread-based measure of Turkish monetary policy Abstract: A coherent method to measure the effectiveness of a monetary policy improves the monetary authority's management capacity and renders the possibility of applying sound policies prior to and during a crisis. The trend in employing complicated and ambiguity-bearing unconventional monetary tools in the aftermath of the 2008 crisis has increased the value of such a method. The aim of this article is to introduce a coherent and consistent monetary policy evaluation method for Turkey. Accordingly, we suggest that innovations in the spread between overnight interest rates and Treasury auction interest rates are informative for exchange rate, output, and prices. Empirical evidence for this identification reveals that positive innovation in spread (implying a tight monetary policy measure) decreases output temporarily, permanently decreases prices, and appreciates local currency. This result is also robust to alternative specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1804-1813 Issue: 15 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.884703 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.884703 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:15:p:1804-1813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos頃. Fari񡳠 Author-X-Name-First: Jos頃. Author-X-Name-Last: Fari񡳠 Author-Name: Alberto L󰥺 Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: L󰥺 Author-Name: Ana Mart󻑍arcos Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Mart󻑍arcos Title: Assessing the impact of domestic outsourcing and offshoring on productivity at the firm level Abstract: The purpose of this article is to investigate the effects of domestic and foreign sourcing on firm-level productivity. We develop a simple framework that permits the introduction of both domestic outsourcing and offshoring in a conventional production function. We find that the decision to outsource has a positive impact on the level of productivity as it permits the relocation of parts of the production process to external suppliers. Furthermore, there is a positive impact on output resulting from domestic outsourcing and offshoring like any other input. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1814-1828 Issue: 15 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.884704 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.884704 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:15:p:1814-1828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Justin A. Lee Author-X-Name-First: Justin A. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Steven B. Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven B. Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Shine bright like a diamond: a hedonic model of grading and pricing an experience good Abstract: Diamonds are generally evaluated on the basis of sensory characteristics, such as carat (weight), colour, clarity and cut. However, given the experience goods nature of diamonds, few consumers grasp how the sensory characteristics of these stones are evaluated by the gemological grading laboratories that independently issue diamond reports. This study extends prior research by determining whether diamonds graded by certain gemological laboratories are subject to pricing premiums or discounts in online retail markets. Regression models employing a sample of 169 483 real-time diamond offerings from online diamond retailers (e.g. Blue Nile, James Allen and Adiamor) find significant price discounts attributable to diamonds graded by the European Gemological Laboratory USA in relation to diamonds graded by the Gemological Institute of America (GIA) and significant price premiums attributable to diamonds graded by the American Gem Society in relation to diamonds graded by the GIA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1829-1838 Issue: 16 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.884707 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.884707 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:16:p:1829-1838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carla Blazquez-Fernandez Author-X-Name-First: Carla Author-X-Name-Last: Blazquez-Fernandez Author-Name: David Cantarero Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero Author-Name: Patricio Perez Author-X-Name-First: Patricio Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Title: Disentangling the heterogeneous income elasticity and dynamics of health expenditure Abstract: In this article, we empirically study the impact of per capita income on health-care expenditure and its dynamics over time in a sample of 14 OECD countries for the period 1971 to 2009. A simple model, built upon one developed by Newhouse (1977), suggests that health care is a necessity in the short run but it cannot be rejected to be a luxury good in the long run. Our findings provide strong empirical evidence that a year's health expenditure is conditioned by the previous one. Interestingly, our results reveal increasing income inelasticity over time along with huge heterogeneity across countries. Finally, this article supports the hypothesis of conditional convergence in health-care spending among countries. In designing policies which facilitate the sustainability of national health systems, we emphasize that ceteris paribus the greater the participation of public health, the lower the growth rate of health spending. High share of children and elderly over working age population opposite influences. We also provide evidence that technological progress could reduce the long-run income elasticity for health care, which in turn threaten the sustainability of health-care systems. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1839-1854 Issue: 16 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.887197 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.887197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:16:p:1839-1854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weiwei Weng Author-X-Name-First: Weiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Weng Author-Name: Fanzheng Yang Author-X-Name-First: Fanzheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: The impact of social identity on trust in China: experimental evidence from cross-group comparisons Abstract: Social identity tends to bias decision making in favour of in-group members with whom one shares a common social membership. This article investigates the trust behaviour of mainland Chinese when interacting with nonmainlanders in a two-party decision-making situation. Our experimental results reveal that, relative to their Hong Kong brethren who tend to be insensitive to their potential partner's background of origin, the decisions of mainland Chinese are significantly impacted by sharing a common background. This suggests mistrust may limit the effectiveness of China's policy of promoting international cooperation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1855-1860 Issue: 16 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.887196 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.887196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:16:p:1855-1860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marizah Minhat Author-X-Name-First: Marizah Author-X-Name-Last: Minhat Author-Name: Mazni Abdullah Author-X-Name-First: Mazni Author-X-Name-Last: Abdullah Title: Executive compensation in government-linked companies: evidence from Malaysia Abstract: The aim of this study was to explore the characteristics of executive pay, equity ownership incentives and pay--performance relationship in government-controlled firms. Data were hand-collected from the annual reports of 179 companies listed on Bursa Malaysia. The results show that executive pay is lower in government-linked companies. Positive pay--performance relationship is also not evident for this category of firms, which indicates that their executives were largely guaranteed with certain level of pay irrespective of performance. The level of equity ownership incentives provides the executives in government-controlled firms with very little incentive to produce effort that can improve firm performance. Overall, our findings are consistent with the inefficient pay hypothesis developed in this study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1861-1872 Issue: 16 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.887192 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.887192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:16:p:1861-1872 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saten Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Saten Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Money demand income elasticity in advanced and developing countries: new evidence from meta-analysis Abstract: This article extends the meta-analysis presented in Knell and Stix (2005, 2006) to investigate the possible sources of variations in empirical findings about the income elasticity of money demand in advanced and developing countries. In the case of advanced countries, we find that the income elasticities of money demand are significantly higher if broader definitions of the monetary aggregates are used. In addition, financial reforms and wealth seem to have significantly reduced the estimates of the income elasticity. However, we achieved quite different findings for the developing countries. It appears that the broader definitions of monetary aggregates seem to produce income elasticity estimates that are only marginally higher than the narrower aggregates. While the wealth (financial reform) impacts on income elasticity are statistically insignificant (weakly significant), both seems to have reduced the income elasticity estimates only marginally. Moreover, some contrasting results between advanced and developing countries are also attained with respect to the proxies of cost of holding money. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1873-1882 Issue: 16 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.887195 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.887195 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:16:p:1873-1882 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre Blanchard Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Blanchard Author-Name: Jean-Pierre Huiban Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Huiban Author-Name: Claude Mathieu Author-X-Name-First: Claude Author-X-Name-Last: Mathieu Title: The shadow of death model revisited with an application to French firms Abstract: This article provides an empirical model of the shadow of death in which the exit probability of a firm depends on the firm's productive performance and the firm's level of sunk costs, which are viewed as barriers to exit. The shadow of death effect is treated by assuming a relationship between the propensity to exit and both the contemporaneous and lagged values of efficiency and sunk costs. To estimate the unobserved productive efficiency, we use the Ackerberg et al. (2006) estimator extended by the addition of a correction for selection bias. We use an unbalanced sample of approximately 100 000 French firms over the period 1997 to 2002. Our results indicate that the probability of exit is negatively affected by unobserved individual efficiency and the level of sunk costs. The shadow of death effect applies mainly in manufacturing, where both productive efficiency and sunk costs decrease during several years before exit. In service sectors, the exit process seems to occur more suddenly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1883-1893 Issue: 16 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.859376 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.859376 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:16:p:1883-1893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Ignacio Gimenez-Nadal Author-X-Name-First: Jose Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Gimenez-Nadal Author-Name: Almudena Sevilla Author-X-Name-First: Almudena Author-X-Name-Last: Sevilla Title: Total work time in Spain: evidence from time diary data Abstract: Using detailed time-use data from 2002--03 and 2009--10 for Spain, we analyse changes in the time-allocation decisions of the Spanish population, with a focus on the time devoted to total work. Consistent with prior literature, we document that the concept of 'iso-work' (e.g. the time devoted to total work by gender is equal) does not hold in societies with stringent gender roles, such as Spain. Women devote more time to total work than men, and this difference has increased throughout the period studied by 2 hours per week. The relative increase in total work for women compared to men can be explained by a relative increase in market work of 8 hours per week, coupled with a relative decrease in nonmarket work of 6 hours per week, which have led Spanish women to devote, relatively, 2 fewer hours to leisure per week in 2009--10, compared to 2002--03. We propose social norms as a potential explanation of these empirical findings. By uncovering how individuals allocate their time inside and outside the market over a period of time, our results may improve our understanding of the dynamics of economic change and welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1894-1909 Issue: 16 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.887194 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.887194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:16:p:1894-1909 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aida Isabel Tavares Author-X-Name-First: Aida Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Tavares Title: Health insurance and lifestyles Abstract: This article contributes to the discussion surrounding the existence of ex ante moral hazard and propitious selection in a voluntary private health insurance scenario. Moreover, it provides an estimation of the determinants of lifestyle choices and of private health insurance demand. A multivariate probit is estimated for health insurance demand and lifestyle decisions to take into account the potential endogeneity of these decisions. The results indicate that there is evidence of ex ante moral hazard in deciding to do sports and eating healthy snacks. Hence, no propitious selection has been found for these decisions. Another relevant result shows that there is no individual heterogeneity for the lifestyle choices, except for smoking, and private health insurance choice. Evidence from the results also supports the idea that there are nonobservable variables playing a role in the lifestyle decisions. These results provide some directions for policymakers, such as the promotion of precautionary behaviours and the use of implicit lifestyle drivers to promote healthy choices by people. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1910-1923 Issue: 16 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.889803 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.889803 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:16:p:1910-1923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. M. Dobbs Author-X-Name-First: I. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dobbs Author-Name: A. D. Miller Author-X-Name-First: A. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: Inducing risk preferences in multi-stage multi-agent laboratory experiments Abstract: Though there has been some debate over the practical efficacy of using binary lotteries for controlling risk preferences in experimental environments, the question of its theoretical validity within the contexts it is often used, namely multi-stage multi-agent settings, has not been addressed. Whilst the original proof of its validity featured a single-agent single-stage context, its practical use has seen a wide range of implementations. Practitioners have implicitly assumed that whenever the setting and form of implementation they have chosen deviates from the original single-agent single-period proof, it remains theoretically valid. There has been virtually no debate in the practitioner literature on the theoretical validity of binary lotteries in a more general context, or on whether the form of implementation matters. The current article addresses these questions, establishes limitations on validity and suggests some design principles for future implementation of binary lotteries for the purpose of controlling risk preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1924-1939 Issue: 16 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.889801 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.889801 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:16:p:1924-1939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Spulbăr Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Spulbăr Author-Name: M. Niţoi Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Niţoi Title: Determinants of bank cost efficiency in transition economies: evidence for Latin America, Central and Eastern Europe and South-East Asia Abstract: In this study, we adopt Wang's (2002) heteroscedastic stochastic frontier model, which allows us to investigate bank cost efficiency and to measure the marginal effects of some variables on both the level and the variability of inefficiency. In recent years, the financial crisis has significantly affected the banking systems of the transition countries. Hence, the efficiency is of major importance for the stability of the banks. Regarding the determinants of efficiency, we find evidence that banks that follow a more cautious strategy, characterized by lower risk appetite and average expectations on profitability, have higher cost efficiency. We also find that traditional deposit-taking and loan-making still remain the most efficient activity of the banks. Additionally, the results showed that a higher Gross Domestic Product growth rate implies an increase in the inefficiency level, indicating an unsustainable bank management behaviour, which in periods of economic growth adopts policies that can generate inefficiency in order to gain market share and to obtain higher bonuses. Country cost efficiency results show significant differences. The banking systems in transition countries in South Eastern Asia appear to have a higher cost efficiency level. Also, the effects of the financial crisis were less significant in this region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1940-1952 Issue: 16 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.889806 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.889806 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:16:p:1940-1952 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Erik Bohlin Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Bohlin Author-Name: Paitoon Kraipornsak Author-X-Name-First: Paitoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kraipornsak Author-Name: Thien Tran Author-X-Name-First: Thien Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: The determinants of prices in the FCC's 700 MHz spectrum auction Abstract: This article examines the prices paid for 700 MHz licenses in recent Federal Communications Commission auctions. Econometric modelling confirms the presence of economies of scale and scope in wireless spectrum valuations. That is, higher prices are recorded for areas with large populations, whilst lower prices are realized for geographically large areas. Also, smaller geographic license areas appear to meet bidders' demand more effectively, and licenses in areas with high incomes are sold at higher prices. Not surprisingly, more strict deployment requirements and the presence of harmful technical interference reduce prices. Also, paired spectrum receives higher prices than unpaired spectrum. Interestingly, high minimum opening bids and upfront deposits are associated with higher prices. Finally, competitive bidding places upward pressure on prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1953-1960 Issue: 17 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.889807 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.889807 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:17:p:1953-1960 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Alice Kones Author-X-Name-First: Alice Author-X-Name-Last: Kones Title: Real and nominal effective exchange rates of African countries during 1971Q1--2012Q4 Abstract: One of the macro variables that are included in most models is the exchange rate. Overall performance of a country's exchange rate is measured by changes in nominal or real effective exchange rate (REER). These rates are constructed and published mostly for industrial countries by international organizations. Less developed countries have received little attention. In this article, the two rates are constructed for 21 African countries using quarterly data over the period 1971Q1--2012Q4. As an application, we use the REERs to show that even in Africa the movements of the real effective rates follow a nonlinear path. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1961-1984 Issue: 17 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.889805 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.889805 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:17:p:1961-1984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Lien Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Author-Name: Sucharita Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Sucharita Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: Steven Yamarik Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Yamarik Title: Does the Confucius institute impact international travel to China? A panel data analysis Abstract: This article examines the impact of Confucius Institutes on inbound travel to China. We estimate a panel gravity model of inbound tourism flows to China between 2004 and 2010. We use a Poisson pseudo-maximum likelihood estimator to control for heteroscedasticity endemic in gravity models (Santos Silva and Tenreyro, 2006). We find that the presence of Confucius Institute(s) in the source country increases overall tourism in general and business and worker tourists in particular. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1985-1995 Issue: 17 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.889802 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.889802 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:17:p:1985-1995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacob A. Bikker Author-X-Name-First: Jacob A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bikker Author-Name: Thijs Knaap Author-X-Name-First: Thijs Author-X-Name-Last: Knaap Author-Name: Ward E. Romp Author-X-Name-First: Ward E. Author-X-Name-Last: Romp Title: Measuring and explaining implicit risk sharing in defined benefit pension funds Abstract: This article investigates responses to changes in solvency by occupational pension funds using a unique panel data set containing the balance sheets of all registered pension funds in the Netherlands over a period of 13 years (1993--2005). A fixed discount rate for liabilities in the supervisory framework allows us to measure the response of pension funds to solvency shocks. We find that pension rights are expanded, by e.g. indexation, or limited, by for instance setting the pension premium over its actuarially fair price, in line with the funding ratio but that the pension funds' response function exhibits two sharp and significant behavioural breaks, close to the minimum funding ratio of 105% and the target ratio of around 125%. We further find that large funds and grey funds are relatively generous to current participants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1996-2009 Issue: 17 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.889804 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.889804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:17:p:1996-2009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nobuhiro Hosoe Author-X-Name-First: Nobuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Hosoe Title: Japanese manufacturing facing post-Fukushima power crisis: a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis with foreign direct investment Abstract: The Great East Japan Earthquake and the subsequent tsunami that hit and severely damaged the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station resulted indirectly in the shutdown of most of the nuclear power plants in Japan. To compensate for the lost nuclear power supply, more fossil fuels were used. People became concerned that this could be disadvantageous for domestic manufacturing industries and accelerated their offshoring to Asia, especially China, through foreign direct investment (FDI). We used a world trade computable general equilibrium (CGE) model with endogenous FDI from Japan to China to quantify the impact of the power crisis on the Japanese manufacturing sectors. We found that the power crisis as well as FDI would adversely affect several sectors that use power intensively, but would benefit the transportation equipment (TEQ), electric equipment (EEQ) and machinery sectors, despite the common expectation that these sectors would undergo a so-called 'hollowing-out.' Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2010-2020 Issue: 17 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.892198 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.892198 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:17:p:2010-2020 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karel Hrazdil Author-X-Name-First: Karel Author-X-Name-Last: Hrazdil Author-Name: Kim Trottier Author-X-Name-First: Kim Author-X-Name-Last: Trottier Author-Name: Ray Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ray Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: An intra- and inter-industry evaluation of three classification schemes common in capital market research Abstract: We compare the Standard Industry Classification (SIC), the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) and the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) schemes in their effectiveness to group stocks with similar operating characteristics. We are the first to analyse and compare individual functional category levels within and across each industry classification and test whether the three industry classifications show significant improvement in homogeneity with finer industry partitions across a wide range of research applications. Our results suggest that the GICS system offers advantages over the other two systems in grouping firms across all its levels of industry categories and across different application schemes common to capital market research. However, the SIC and NAICS offer additional advantages across their finest industry partitions. Our study has important implications for users of industry classifications in various financial and economic analyses, research settings and regulatory contexts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2021-2033 Issue: 17 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.892200 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.892200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:17:p:2021-2033 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abhinav Sacheti Author-X-Name-First: Abhinav Author-X-Name-Last: Sacheti Author-Name: Ian Gregory-Smith Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Gregory-Smith Author-Name: David Paton Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Paton Title: Uncertainty of outcome or strengths of teams: an economic analysis of attendance demand for international cricket Abstract: A significant body of theoretical literature has argued that popular interest in sporting contests between teams is heavily influenced by how difficult it is to predict the result ex-ante. Empirical research has, however, been unable to reach a consensus on the magnitude of uncertainty of outcome on demand. In this article, we seek to resolve this impasse by distinguishing between uncertainty of outcome in the short run and uncertainty of outcome in the long run. We also show that it is important to control for the independent effect of absolute team strength when testing the uncertainty of outcome hypothesis. Using data on over 380 Test cricket matches played in England, Australia and New Zealand since 1980, we find that short-run uncertainty of outcome has a significant impact on attendance demand and that absolute team strength has better explanatory power for attendance demand than does long-run uncertainty of outcome. Our results suggest some policy implications for the management and organization of international cricket. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2034-2046 Issue: 17 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.892203 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.892203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:17:p:2034-2046 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Lieh Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Lieh Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Testing Markov switching models Abstract: In this article, we propose a new test for Markov switching models. Unlike the tests in the existing literature (e.g. Hansen, 1992; Garcia, 1998; Cho and White, 2007), we focus on testing the null of two regimes, instead of one single regime, in a switching framework. To implement our test, we propose a Markov switching model with absorbing states and examine whether the absorption probabilities are close to the boundary of the parameter space. We exploit recent advances by Andrews (2001) and conduct inference in the proposed model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2047-2051 Issue: 17 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.892201 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.892201 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:17:p:2047-2051 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michał Brzoza-Brzezina Author-X-Name-First: Michał Author-X-Name-Last: Brzoza-Brzezina Author-Name: Jacek Kotłowski Author-X-Name-First: Jacek Author-X-Name-Last: Kotłowski Title: Measuring the natural yield curve Abstract: We generalize the concept of the natural rate of interest (Laubach and Williams, 2003; Woodford, 2003) by defining and estimating the natural yield curve (NYC) -- the term structure of natural interest rates. Our motivation stems i.a. from the observation that at times when central banks attempt to directly affect long-term interest rates (e.g. via quantitative easing) the gap between the short-term real and natural rate is no more a good indicator of the monetary policy stance. We estimate the NYC on US data, document its main properties and show i.a. that in the period 2008 to 2011 the NYC allows to better capture the US monetary policy stance than the short-term natural rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2052-2065 Issue: 17 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.829204 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.829204 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:17:p:2052-2065 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philipp Doerrenberg Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Doerrenberg Author-Name: Andreas Peichl Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Peichl Title: The impact of redistributive policies on inequality in OECD countries Abstract: Due to behavioural effects triggered by redistributional interventions, it is still an open question whether government policies are able to effectively reduce income inequality. We contribute to this research question by using different country-level data sources to study inequality trends in OECD countries since 1980. We first investigate the development of inequality over time before analysing the question of whether governments can effectively reduce inequality. Different identification strategies, using fixed effects and instrumental variables models, provide some evidence that governments are capable of reducing income inequality despite countervailing behavioural responses. The effect is stronger for social expenditure policies than for progressive taxation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2066-2086 Issue: 17 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.892202 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.892202 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:17:p:2066-2086 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georg V. Lehecka Author-X-Name-First: Georg V. Author-X-Name-Last: Lehecka Title: Have food and financial markets integrated? Abstract: This article analyses comovements and discusses possibly greater market integration between aggregate food commodity and stock prices in the period 1990 to 2012. Return correlations, price return distributions, cointegration and Granger-causalities are tested in subsamples on monthly FAO Food Price Index and MSCI World Stock Market Index. Empirical results suggest that while there is only weak indication of greater comovements concurrent with structural changes such as changed agricultural policies, new demand due to growth in emerging markets and energy mandates and the financialization of food markets since the early 2000s, they did start to increase substantially in particular during the financial stress of the Lehman crisis and the Great Recession. While structural changes may have amplified price linkages across markets, results do not suggest that they are the key factors for greater price comovements. Instead, the effects of the late-2000s recession as a time of great economic weakness and uncertainty may have changed concurrently the behaviour of both food and financial market participants, such that different market prices exhibit large comovements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2087-2095 Issue: 18 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.894634 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.894634 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:18:p:2087-2095 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Dobbie Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dobbie Author-Name: Craig MacMillan Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: MacMillan Author-Name: Ian Watson Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: The returns to general experience, job and occupational tenure: a study using Australian panel data Abstract: This article uses Australian panel data for the years 2001--2009 to estimate returns to general experience, job and occupational tenure. We pay particular attention to issues of unobserved heterogeneity bias in our estimations. We find that both general experience and occupational tenure have statistically and numerically significant effects on wage outcomes, even after controlling for unobserved heterogeneity. Job tenure on the other hand only seems to matter in OLS regressions that do not control for heterogeneity biases. Once these biases are controlled for, only a modest effect from job tenure remains. The inclusion of occupational tenure in the estimating equation tends to negate even this modest job tenure effect. The only exception to this is for workers in large organizations. For these workers a small but statistically significant effect from job tenure remains, even once we have controlled for heterogeneity and included occupational tenure in the estimating equation. The results reported in this article have implications for the various theories of the labour market that predict upward-sloping wage-job-tenure profiles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2096-2107 Issue: 18 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.894632 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.894632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:18:p:2096-2107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiujie Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Qiujie Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: H. Holly Wang Author-X-Name-First: H. Holly Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Qing Hua Shi Author-X-Name-First: Qing Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: Estimating bivariate yield distributions and crop insurance premiums using nonparametric methods Abstract: Modelling crop yield distribution is crucial in crop insurance premium setting. The correlation between different crop yields due to rotations or systemic risks requires estimation of joint yield distribution for multiple crops. In this article, we apply a nonparametric method to estimate bivariate yield distributions using farm-level yield data of wheat and corn in Shandong Province in China. Then, the simulated yields are used to evaluate the expected indemnity of one traditional and one hypothetical crop insurance programme. Our results reveal that the nonparametric bivariate method is very flexible in shaping the yield probability density functions to estimate local idiosyncrasies and correlation between two crops. It is also feasible to simulate the nonparametric yield distributions at a satisfying level of accuracy. The simulation results show that the hypothetical two-crop insurance contract can be more affordable to farmers than traditional individual crop insurance contracts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2108-2118 Issue: 18 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.894630 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.894630 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:18:p:2108-2118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Louisa Andriamasy Author-X-Name-First: Louisa Author-X-Name-Last: Andriamasy Author-Name: Carlos P. Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos P. Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Qibin Liang Author-X-Name-First: Qibin Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Title: Technical efficiency of French nuclear energy plants Abstract: This article analyses the efficiency of French nuclear energy plants belonging to EDF-electricity of France from 2004 to 2008 with a DEA-Data Envelopment Analysis model. The -convexity model is used to investigate the technical efficiency of a representative sample of nuclear plants. The results indicated that some plants have undergone an improvement in technical efficiency while others have regressed in terms of technical efficiency. Policy implications related to the results are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2119-2126 Issue: 18 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.892199 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.892199 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:18:p:2119-2126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Andr頍 Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Andr頍 Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Testing for persistence in housing price-to-income and price-to-rent ratios in 16 OECD countries Abstract: Housing price-to-income and price-to-rent ratios are among the most widely monitored indicators of housing market conditions. While these ratios tend to fluctuate around a constant level or a mild trend over the long term, they also tend to deviate from these benchmarks for protracted periods. Traditional unit root tests often indicate the presence of a unit root. This article uses the framework of fractional integration to test the persistence of price-to-income and price-to-rent ratios in a sample of 16 OECD countries spanning four decades. The results indicate that the ratios are highly persistent. The possibility that persistence estimates may be affected by structural breaks in the series is also considered, but evidence of such breaks is found only in a very limited number of cases. Policy action may be required if high price-to-income and price-to-rent ratios have adverse social and economic consequences. Policies should be guided by a careful analysis of the factors behind high ratios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2127-2138 Issue: 18 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.896988 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.896988 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:18:p:2127-2138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richhild Moessner Author-X-Name-First: Richhild Author-X-Name-Last: Moessner Title: Effects of explicit FOMC policy-rate guidance on equities and risk measures Abstract: We quantify the impact of explicit Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy-rate guidance used as an unconventional monetary-policy tool at the zero lower bound of the policy rate on US equity prices, as well as on the risk indicators of credit and CDS spreads, implied volatilities and US equity index risk reversals. We find that explicit FOMC policy-rate guidance announcements at the zero lower bound led to a significant increase in US equity prices, for an aggregate equity index as well as for US commercial bank and US nonfinancial equities. Moreover, we find that they led to a significant reduction in some credit spreads. They also led to a significant reduction in an implied volatility index for US government bonds, as well as in the absolute value of US equity risk reversals, implying a lower perceived risk attached to a large fall in the equity index. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2139-2153 Issue: 18 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.894668 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.894668 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:18:p:2139-2153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Hanafiah Harvey Author-X-Name-First: Hanafiah Author-X-Name-Last: Harvey Title: US--Indonesia trade at commodity level and the role of the exchange rate Abstract: Previous studies that assessed the impact of currency depreciation on inpayments and outpayments of Indonesia with her major trading partners did not find much significant results, especially in the trade with the United States. We wonder whether insignificant link between the real rupiah-dollar rate and Indonesia's inpayments and outpayments with the United States is due to aggregation bias. To answer this question, we disaggregate the trade flows between the two countries by commodity and consider the sensitivity of inpayments of 108 US exporting industries and outpayments of 32 US importing industries from Indonesia. We find that most industries respond to exchange rate changes in the short run. In the long run, however, 32 inpayments schedule and 17 outpayments schedule are significantly affected. A 1% real depreciation of the dollar was found to improve US trade balance by 1.8%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2154-2166 Issue: 18 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.896985 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.896985 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:18:p:2154-2166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahdi Noomen Ajmi Author-X-Name-First: Ahdi Noomen Author-X-Name-Last: Ajmi Author-Name: Ghassen El-montasser Author-X-Name-First: Ghassen Author-X-Name-Last: El-montasser Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Author-Name: Duc Khuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc Khuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Oil prices and MENA stock markets: new evidence from nonlinear and asymmetric causalities during and after the crisis period Abstract: This article investigates the potential of nonlinear causal relationships between world oil prices and stock markets in Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries during a black swan period that is characterized by rarity and devastating impacts. Our study is carried out using the daily data for 11 MENA countries over the period from 2 July 2007 to 27 August 2012. By using the nonlinear and asymmetric causality test of Kyrtsou and Labys (2006), we mainly find that: (i) the oil prices and MENA stock markets interact in a nonlinear manner; (ii) the signs of changes in the causing variables are important for detecting the true causality links between the variables and (iii) the nonlinear causality is more pronounced in the case of the Brent than West Texas Intermediate oil prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2167-2177 Issue: 18 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.896987 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.896987 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:18:p:2167-2177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. MᲱuez Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: MᲱuez Author-Name: A.R. Mart󹑺-Ca񥴥 Author-X-Name-First: A.R. Author-X-Name-Last: Mart󹑺-Ca񥴥 Author-Name: I. P鲥z-Soba Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: P鲥z-Soba Title: From real estate to consumption: the role of credit markets in the USA Abstract: The aim of this article is to test whether the credit market conditions affect the strength of transmission of real estate wealth effects on household consumption in the US economy. Although many different works have dealt with the analysis of the existence of a real estate wealth effect, most of them as a reaction to the dramatic increase of housing prices in several OECD countries, there are only few papers analysing whether the consumption response depends on the positive or negative sign of the wealth shock and, as far as we know, none of them takes the effects of credit market conditions on that asymmetric response into account. This article tries to fill the existing gap in the literature on this matter. From an econometric perspective, we estimate the asymmetries in the consumption response within the momentum threshold autoregressive model (M-TAR) proposed by Enders and Siklos (2001), but following Stevans (2004), it is applied to a multivariate framework. The main results show that the credit market conditions play a significant role in the transmission of changes in real estate wealth to consumption. In addition, we find that there exists an asymmetric behaviour in the US aggregate consumption spending responses to real estate wealth and credit market shocks, which is only significant when a negative shock takes place. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2178-2189 Issue: 18 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.896986 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.896986 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:18:p:2178-2189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wolfram Berger Author-X-Name-First: Wolfram Author-X-Name-Last: Berger Author-Name: Michael Pickhardt Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Pickhardt Author-Name: Athanassios Pitsoulis Author-X-Name-First: Athanassios Author-X-Name-Last: Pitsoulis Author-Name: Aloys Prinz Author-X-Name-First: Aloys Author-X-Name-Last: Prinz Author-Name: Jordi Sardࠍ Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Sardࠍ Title: The hard shadow of the Greek economy: new estimates of the size of the underground economy and its fiscal impact Abstract: This article presents new estimates of the Greek underground economy and explores the link between the underground economy and aggregate debt. We show that the Greek underground economy has been underestimated heavily and has been on a rising trend again since Greece adopted the Euro. We also present evidence that the size of the underground economy is positively related to the debt-to-GDP ratio, implying that fighting the underground economy is also conducive to financial and macroeconomic stability. Our results suggest that for our sample of 11 EMU member countries, the loss of the inflation tax as an economic policy instrument had drastic consequences. While the underground economy did not have a statistically significant impact on aggregate debt before the introduction of the Euro, it has pushed up the debt-to-GDP ratio in our sample since. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2190-2204 Issue: 18 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.896984 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.896984 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:18:p:2190-2204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ali Choudhary Author-X-Name-First: M. Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhary Author-Name: M. Nadim Hanif Author-X-Name-First: M. Nadim Author-X-Name-Last: Hanif Author-Name: Javed Iqbal Author-X-Name-First: Javed Author-X-Name-Last: Iqbal Title: On smoothing macroeconomic time series using the modified HP filter Abstract: In business-cycle research, smoothing data is an essential first step to evaluate the extent to which model-generated moments stand up to their empirical counterparts. We put to test McDermott's (1997) modified version of Hodrick and Prescott's (1997) smoothing filter. On the one hand, our simulations suggest that relative to other filters, the modified HP-filter replicates better artificially generated series with known properties. On the other hand, using true data we find that autoregressive properties of smoothed series are not affected by the choice of smoothing HP filters, but the same does not hold when it comes to multivariate analysis. The later result is especially strong for annual data. We report results for a large set of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2205-2214 Issue: 19 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.894631 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.894631 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:19:p:2205-2214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ibrahim Ergen Author-X-Name-First: Ibrahim Author-X-Name-Last: Ergen Title: Tail dependence and diversification benefits in emerging market stocks: an extreme value theory approach Abstract: This article examines tail dependence, the benefits of diversification and the relation between the two for emerging stock markets. We find most emerging equity markets are independent in limiting joint extremes. However, the dependence in finite levels of extremes is still much stronger than the dependence implied by multivariate normality. Therefore, simple correlation analysis can lead to gross underestimation of the chances of joint crashes in multiple markets. Assuming risk-averse investors guarding against extreme losses, diversification benefits are measured for each two-country optimal portfolio by the reduction in quantile risk measures such as value-at-risk and expected shortfall relative to an undiversified portfolio. It is shown that tail dependence measures developed from multivariate extreme value theory are negatively related to diversification benefits and more importantly can explain diversification benefits better than the correlation coefficient at the most extreme quantiles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2215-2227 Issue: 19 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.899678 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.899678 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:19:p:2215-2227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefanie Schubert Author-X-Name-First: Stefanie Author-X-Name-Last: Schubert Title: Reducing public health insurance expenditure: a numerical analysis for Germany Abstract: In recent decades, Germany's statutory health insurance expenditure increased drastically. To combat moral hazard, moderate copayments for the purchase of prescription drugs were introduced and increased several times. These measures, however, have been insufficient to buck the steadily increasing tide of Germany's statutory health care expenditure, making further reforms indispensable. Among a multitude of potential reform proposals, such as a switch to a health premia regime, are two policy options that provide for incentives to limit health care demand: mandatory deductibles and further elevating copayments. By combining an applied general equilibrium (AGE) model with abundant empirical data on heterogeneous household types, this article investigates the economic effects of these two policy options, thereby looking at both the current earnings-related SHI system and a hypothetical health premia regime characterized by per capita premia. As a key outcome, we find that the decrease in expenditure associated with both reform options is too small to induce substantial overall effects, most notably, because both the level of deductibles and the copayment rate are rather moderate in international contexts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2228-2241 Issue: 19 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.896982 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.896982 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:19:p:2228-2241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jenni P䤫könen Author-X-Name-First: Jenni Author-X-Name-Last: P䤫könen Author-Name: Timo T. Sepp䬤 Author-X-Name-First: Timo T. Author-X-Name-Last: Sepp䬤 Title: Using composite indicators to evaluate the efficiency of health care system Abstract: This article produces a system-level composite indicator on population health in publicly provided primary health care. We first summarize information from various indicators of care by principal component analysis (PCA). We then regress the costs of care against these indicators to evaluate whether they are related. The existing health status indicator provides a point of comparison. Our results suggest that PCA can be used to extract information efficiently and thus to reduce the dimensionality of data. Furthermore, the use of the existing health status indicator to estimate cost-efficiency leads to invalid inference on overall efficiency, while the use of composite indicator significantly reduces the bias. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2242-2250 Issue: 19 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.899675 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.899675 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:19:p:2242-2250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Author-Name: Hsiao Chink Tang Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao Chink Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Xinpeng Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xinpeng Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: The impact of the ACFTA on ASEAN--PRC trade: estimates based on an extended gravity model for component trade Abstract: This article uses an extended gravity model to examine the impact of the free trade agreement between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) on their trade flows and patterns. New determinants are utilized to capture the growing importance of global production sharing and intraregional trade in parts and components in East Asia. We show that the free trade agreement leads to substantially higher and more pronounced bilateral trade flows between ASEAN and the PRC than what a conventional gravity model predicts and the increase is concentrated in ASEAN countries that have stronger industrial linkages with the PRC. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2251-2263 Issue: 19 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.899676 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.899676 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:19:p:2251-2263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Ashworth Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ashworth Author-Name: Benny Geys Author-X-Name-First: Benny Author-X-Name-Last: Geys Author-Name: Bruno Heyndels Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Heyndels Author-Name: Fanny Wille Author-X-Name-First: Fanny Author-X-Name-Last: Wille Title: Competition in the political arena and local government performance Abstract: Competition reduces rent extraction in private-sector firms. In this article, we empirically assess whether it similarly disciplines politicians by evaluating local-level governments' performance in Flanders. The results indicate that electoral competition -- measured via the number of parties competing in elections -- significantly positively affects the productive efficiency of municipal policy. Intertemporal competition -- measured as the volatility of election outcomes over time -- has a similar, but weaker, positive effect. These beneficial effects are mitigated by the fact that competition may lead to more fragmented governments, which is shown to work against their productive efficiency. Overall, though, the beneficial effects outweigh the unfavourable ones in our sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2264-2276 Issue: 19 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.899679 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.899679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:19:p:2264-2276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurt William Rotthoff Author-X-Name-First: Kurt William Author-X-Name-Last: Rotthoff Author-Name: Craig A. Depken Author-X-Name-First: Craig A. Author-X-Name-Last: Depken Author-Name: Peter A. Groothuis Author-X-Name-First: Peter A. Author-X-Name-Last: Groothuis Title: Influences on sponsorship deals in NASCAR: indirect evidence from time on camera Abstract: When corporate sponsors want to maximize their exposure, they often focus sponsorship dollars on events, teams and athletes that will prove to be reliable, respectable and, most important, repetitive advertising outlets. Analysing the factors that increase a broadcaster's propensity to display a sponsor during television broadcasts is often hard to measure. Using a unique data set describing NASCAR broadcasts, we indirectly analyse what influences the value of a sponsorship contract through a proxy for driver sponsorship value: the value of time on camera (VTOC). We find that the VTOC is influenced by driver performance and their celebrity status, as measured by driver experience and inherited brand-name capital. Although the values of individual sponsorship contracts are generally not reported, the evidence herein suggests that driver performance and status likely influence the value of NASCAR sponsorship contracts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2277-2289 Issue: 19 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.899672 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.899672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:19:p:2277-2289 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luciana De Andrade Costa Author-X-Name-First: Luciana Author-X-Name-Last: De Andrade Costa Title: The effect of physician board membership on uncompensated care provision Abstract: Previous studies indicate that nonprofit and for-profit hospitals provide comparable levels of uncompensated care, when taking into account their sizes. This evidence suggests that for-profit hospitals extract some indirect benefit when providing uncompensated care. Our article investigates how physician board membership affects uncompensated care provision. With data for hospitals in California from 1997 to 2010, we estimate a fixed-effect model where uncompensated care is a function of physician board membership, other board attributes, as well as hospital characteristics. Our results indicate that physician board membership in for-profit hospitals relates positively with uncompensated care provision. Prior evidence, such as Goldstein and Ward (2004) and Molinari et al. (1995), has shown that involving physicians in strategic decisions improves hospitals' financial performance. Our results reinforce the notion that having physicians in leadership or strategic positions benefits for-profit hospitals. In these hospitals, physicians seem to understand the strategic component of providing uncompensated care, possibly due to their closer assessment of patients' needs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2290-2300 Issue: 19 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.899671 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.899671 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:19:p:2290-2300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric C. Y. Ng Author-X-Name-First: Eric C. Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Ng Author-Name: Malick Souare Author-X-Name-First: Malick Author-X-Name-Last: Souare Title: On investment and exchange-rate movements Abstract: We investigate the ways in which permanent exchange-rate changes may affect investment by influencing domestic and foreign revenue, the cost of imported variable inputs and the investment price of imported capital goods. We find that the revenue and investment-price channels have a quantitatively greater effect on investment than the cost channel. The negative effect of the revenue channel, which affects the marginal profitability of capital, outweighs the positive effect of the investment-price channel, which affects the marginal cost of capital, implying that exchange-rate appreciation has a net negative influence on investment. The estimation results are robust to different approaches to extracting the permanent components of exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2301-2315 Issue: 19 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.902026 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.902026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:19:p:2301-2315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Sch䦥r Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Sch䦥r Author-Name: Urs von Arx Author-X-Name-First: Urs Author-X-Name-Last: von Arx Title: The influence of pension funds on corporate governance Abstract: Although pension funds have gained importance in the last two decades, their role has not been described in detail by economic models. This article focuses on the scope of these institutional investors when they are not satisfied with a management team of a company in which the pension fund holds a block of shares. Stock holdings by pension funds are largely dispersed. Therefore, any intervention by pension funds in corporate governance requires the formation of a coalition of pension funds. The realization of a coordinated intervention, in turn, is subject to the problems related to the provision of public goods, such as free riding. We find that the stock dispersion and the combined share of pension funds, coordination costs and the attractiveness of the exit option are relevant factors for determining the probability of the success of interventions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2316-2329 Issue: 19 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.899670 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.899670 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:19:p:2316-2329 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Michael A. Nelson Author-X-Name-First: Michael A. Author-X-Name-Last: Nelson Title: Whistleblower laws and exposed corruption in the United States Abstract: This research creates a unique internet-based measure of awareness about state-level whistleblower laws and provisions to examine their effects on observed corruption in the United States. Are whistleblower laws complementary or substitutes for other, more direct, corruption control measures? Placing the analysis within the corruption literature, the findings show that greater whistleblower awareness results in more observed corruption and this finding holds across specifications. Internet awareness about whistleblower laws seems relatively more effective at exposing corruption than the quantity and quality of state whistleblower laws themselves. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2331-2341 Issue: 20 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.894633 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.894633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:20:p:2331-2341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michele Limosani Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Limosani Author-Name: Emanuele Millemaci Author-X-Name-First: Emanuele Author-X-Name-Last: Millemaci Title: Precautionary savings of agents with heterogeneous risk aversion Abstract: This article focuses on the estimation of the importance of the precautionary motive in the wealth accumulation decision. We use the micro data set of the De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB) Household Survey (DHS) (CentERdata, Tilburg University), a Dutch household survey containing information on wealth, a subjective measure of income uncertainty and subjective qualitative measures of risk aversion. We find that only a small share of wealth is accumulated for the precautionary motive by the Dutch households. This share of wealth is constant across assets with different degrees of liquidity. The economic downturn of the period 2008 to 2010 seems to affect risk attitudes and precautionary saving. Our findings also suggest that the more risk-averse individuals are those who hold less savings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2342-2361 Issue: 20 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.896983 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.896983 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:20:p:2342-2361 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roohollah Zare Author-X-Name-First: Roohollah Author-X-Name-Last: Zare Author-Name: M. Azali Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Azali Author-Name: M. S. Habibullah Author-X-Name-First: M. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Habibullah Author-Name: W. N. W. Azman-Saini Author-X-Name-First: W. N. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Azman-Saini Title: Monetary policy effectiveness and stock market cycles in ASEAN-5 Abstract: This article examines the asymmetric effects of monetary policy on real output in bull and bear phases of stock market in five ASEAN economies (Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand) using the recently developed pooled mean group (PMG) technique. Stock market cycles are identified by employing Markov switching models and the rule-based nonparametric approach. Estimating the models using monthly data from 1991:1 to 2011:12, the results show that monetary policy (measured by short-term interest rate) has a negative and statistically significant long-run effect on real output in bull and bear market periods while the effects are stronger in bear periods than bulls. In the short run, there is no statistically significant relationship between monetary policy and real output. These results are consistent with finance constraints (capital market imperfection) models that predict that monetary policy is more effective during bear periods than bulls. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2362-2374 Issue: 20 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.899673 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.899673 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:20:p:2362-2374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark J. Browne Author-X-Name-First: Mark J. Author-X-Name-Last: Browne Author-Name: Lan Ju Author-X-Name-First: Lan Author-X-Name-Last: Ju Author-Name: Zhiyong Tu Author-X-Name-First: Zhiyong Author-X-Name-Last: Tu Title: Broker monitoring of premium adequacy: the role of contingent commissions Abstract: Contingent commissions, which are payments made by an insurer to brokers based on the volume and profitability of insurance placed with the insurer, have been criticized as damaging to the relationship between the insured and its broker. The argument is made that contingent commission payments encourage brokers to select insurers for their clients based on the potential to earn contingent commissions, rather than on the needs of the insured. We argue that contingent commission payments, which while directly paid by the insurer are ultimately paid by the insured through higher premiums, are beneficial to insureds because they provide an incentive for the broker to place their coverage with an insurer that is charging an adequate premium. We contend that although inadequate premiums are perhaps good for the insured in the short term, in the longer term, inadequate premiums will result in price hikes or coverage restrictions that are harmful to the insureds. Our empirical analysis demonstrates that insurers who pay contingent commissions experience less price fluctuation over the underwriting cycle than insurers who do not pay contingent commissions in the US property and casualty insurance industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2375-2386 Issue: 20 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.902020 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.902020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:20:p:2375-2386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emmanouil Trachanas Author-X-Name-First: Emmanouil Author-X-Name-Last: Trachanas Author-Name: Constantinos Katrakilidis Author-X-Name-First: Constantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Katrakilidis Title: Is the Greek budget deficit sustainable after all? Empirical evidence accounting for regime shifts Abstract: This article re-examines the sustainability of the Greek budget deficit by using a formal framework based on the government's intertemporal budget constraint. The empirical analysis uses annual data from 1960 to 2011 and employs traditional as well as more recent unit root and cointegration techniques that account for linear and nonlinear effects in fiscal policy actions. Unlike previous studies, the evidence suggests that, allowing for structural breaks, the Greek budget deficit is unsustainable. The parameter after the second detected break reflects the structural deficiencies of the Greek economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2387-2397 Issue: 20 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.902021 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.902021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:20:p:2387-2397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. P. Barros Author-X-Name-First: C. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: G. Rossi Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Rossi Title: A Bayesian stochastic frontier of Italian football Abstract: This study analyses the technical efficiency of Serie A Italian football clubs during the 2004--2012 seasons with a Bayesian stochastic frontier model using unique data extracted from clubs' annual reports. Specifically, the focus of the study is on assessing the impact effects on clubs' efficiency whether they are big clubs, they employ several foreign player, they compete in European competitions and their involvement with football scandals in the Italian football. The empirical results reveal that efficiency varies among the clubs analysed and policy implications are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2398-2407 Issue: 20 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.902023 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.902023 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:20:p:2398-2407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason Fletcher Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Fletcher Title: Friends or family? Revisiting the effects of high school popularity on adult earnings Abstract: Recent evidence has suggested links between high school popularity and wages during mid-life using the Wisconsin Longitudinal Study. This article revisits this question by first replicating the results using an alternative dataset that is very similar in structure. Similar to previous results, the Add Health baseline effects suggest that an additional high school friendship nomination is linked to a 2% increase in earnings around age 30. However, leveraging the unique structure of the Add Health shows that sibling comparisons eliminate any associations between popularity and earnings. The findings suggest that families, rather than friends, may be the cause of the association. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2408-2417 Issue: 20 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.902024 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.902024 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:20:p:2408-2417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peng Nie Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Author-Name: Alfonso Sousa-Poza Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa-Poza Title: Maternal employment and childhood obesity in China: evidence from the China Health and Nutrition Survey Abstract: Using five waves from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS), we investigate the association between maternal employment and obesity in children aged 3--17 in both rural and urban China. Using body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) as measures for paediatric adiposity, we provide scant evidence for its relation to maternal employment. We also find no strong association between maternal employment and our measures for children's diet and physical activity. Our study also suggests that grand-parenting could have beneficial effects on childhood obesity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2418-2428 Issue: 20 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.902025 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.902025 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:20:p:2418-2428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Author-Name: Kui-Wai Li Author-X-Name-First: Kui-Wai Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Junji Shimada Author-X-Name-First: Junji Author-X-Name-Last: Shimada Title: Rational expectation bubbles: evidence from Hong Kong's sub-indices Abstract: This article uses Hong Kong stock market's four sub-indices to examine the existence and causes of rational expectation bubbles. The unit root test is applied to the rational bubble hypothesis. Various causality test methods are used to examine the causality of bubble among the four sub-indices. The empirical results show that in the sub-periods of 1986 to 2002 and 2000 to 2012, the bubbles of commerce and industry and utilities industries are consistent with rational expectation bubbles, but not so in the finance and properties industries. In general, the rational expectation bubbles in the two sub-periods seemed to have been caused by expectations in other growing foreign economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2429-2440 Issue: 20 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.904493 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.904493 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:20:p:2429-2440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arusha Cooray Author-X-Name-First: Arusha Author-X-Name-Last: Cooray Author-Name: Reetu Verma Author-X-Name-First: Reetu Author-X-Name-Last: Verma Author-Name: Lynne Wright Author-X-Name-First: Lynne Author-X-Name-Last: Wright Title: Does a gender disparity exist in academic rank? Evidence from an Australian university Abstract: Employing a unique administrative data set on academics from the University of Wollongong (UOW), we investigate if women are under-represented in academic rank, taking into account information on personal characteristics, job characteristics, education and productivity. The results suggest that males have a significant advantage in rank attainment. The possession of a PhD, the number of years of experience and the number of journal articles, books, book chapters, competitive grants and ERA A* ranked articles appear to be important for academic rank attainment. A Blinder--Oaxaca decomposition test indicates that both supply side and demand side factors play a role; however, there is greater support for the endowments argument. Interviews were conducted in an attempt to explain the results. Interviews showed that men were more career-driven compared to women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2441-2451 Issue: 20 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.904496 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.904496 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:20:p:2441-2451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maoyong Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Maoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Hong Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Junrui Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Junrui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: What precludes the development of noninterest activities in Chinese commercial banks from the perspective of the price of interest activities? Abstract: Noninterest activities of Chinese commercial banks remain sluggish. This article examines the price of interest activities and noninterest activities of Chinese commercial banks over 2000-2010 based on OLS and 2SLS regression. We find that the price of interest activities has a significant negative effect on the noninterest activities. It appears that controlled interest rate is the main hindrance of the development of noninterest activities, and the result is consistent with 'political' view. We also find that among state-owned commercial banks and nonstate-owned ones, the relationships of interest activities and noninterest activities are differential. The link between the price of interest activities and noninterest activities in state-owned commercial banks is stronger than that in nonstate-owned commercial banks. That is the result of different government intervention degree. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2453-2461 Issue: 21 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.881971 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.881971 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:21:p:2453-2461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jun Ma Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: Expected returns and expected dividend growth: time to rethink an established empirical literature Abstract: This article examines various state-space and VAR model specifications to investigate the contributions of expected returns and expected dividend growth to movements in the price-dividend ratio. We show that both models involve serious inference problems that need to be dealt with carefully. We propose procedures that offer more reliable inference results, and the corrected inferences indicate that the aggregate data of dividends and returns alone do not provide strong enough evidence to support the notion that the expected returns dominate the stock price variation. However, we show that an alternative measure of cash flows termed the net payout by Larrain and Yogo (2008) appears to lend strong support to the notion that the expected cash flow explains a large fraction of the firm value variation. This finding remains robust in both state-space and VAR decompositions with the corrected inference. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2462-2476 Issue: 21 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.899674 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.899674 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:21:p:2462-2476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Werner Bönte Author-X-Name-First: Werner Author-X-Name-Last: Bönte Author-Name: Stefan Krabel Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Krabel Title: You can't always get what you want: gender differences in job satisfaction of university graduates Abstract: Previous literature stressed on the gender differences in job satisfaction and the factors influencing the job satisfaction of men and women. Two rationales are usually provided for the finding that women tend to be relatively more satisfied with their jobs than men although disadvantaged in labour markets: first, women may have relatively lower expectations of career and income, and second, they may attach relatively less importance to extrinsic rewards than men. In order to analyse whether substantial gender differences exist already at the beginning of the career, we employ information of over 20 000 graduates collected through a large-scale survey of German university graduates who recently entered the labour market. We find that the job satisfaction of female graduates is on average slightly lower than the job satisfaction of male graduates, but our results do not point to substantial gender differences. In our sample of highly qualified individuals, men and women are very similar in what they want from their jobs and also in their perceptions of what they get. While our results point to substantial similarity of men and women in the early career stage, gender differences may emerge at later stages of the career life cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2477-2487 Issue: 21 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.899677 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.899677 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:21:p:2477-2487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Mengling Li Author-X-Name-First: Mengling Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Wai-Mun Chia Author-X-Name-First: Wai-Mun Author-X-Name-Last: Chia Title: Foreign interest rate shocks and exchange rate regimes in East Asia Abstract: Using a theoretical dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model and an empirical panel vector autoregression, we assess the transmission of foreign real interest rate shocks on the volatility of various key macroeconomic variables in nine small open economies in East Asia taking into account the role of exchange rate regimes. Both the theoretical and empirical findings confirm the hypothesis that flexible exchange rate may work as a shock absorber when the economy is hit by foreign real interest rate shocks. The findings suggest a clear trade-off between the volatility of real exchange rate and real output to foreign interest rate shocks, both the US and G7 real interest rates, where the responses of real output are mitigated in countries that have more flexible exchange rate regime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2488-2501 Issue: 21 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.902022 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.902022 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:21:p:2488-2501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongduo Cao Author-X-Name-First: Hongduo Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Ying Li Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yong Tan Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: The synchronization club: classification of global economic groups by inequality Abstract: We find that, from 1970 to 2006, the GDPs of 181 countries are described by a log-normal with a power law tail before 1992, but by a kinked power law distribution after 1992. In the 15 years from 1992 to 2006, there are two obvious scale-free zones for annual GDPs, ranked from the largest to smallest. If the countries in each scaling region are regarded as a group, the world is divided into two groups, each with a roughly stable number of members. The power exponents of the two groups are different and hence lead to different inequalities. Therefore, the basis for classification is the macro-consistent inequality within each group. The wealth grows in a synchronous nonlinear manner within groups that have a stable wealth distribution and rank structure. If each group is considered as a club, we name it a 'synchronization club'. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2502-2510 Issue: 21 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.904490 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.904490 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:21:p:2502-2510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Argüelles Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Argüelles Author-Name: C. Benavides Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Benavides Author-Name: I. Fernᮤez Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Fernᮤez Title: A new approach to the identification of regional clusters: hierarchical clustering on principal components Abstract: This study focuses on the identification of regional business clusters as a primary step in the design and implementation of cluster-based development strategies. A methodology that has not been used previously to identify clusters is applied to data on inter-industry linkages from the input-output table of a region in northern Spain. The first advantage of this approach, hierarchical clustering on principal components (HCPC), over the use of factorial analysis alone, is that it involves the application of objective clustering techniques to the principal components analysis results, which leads to a better cluster solution. A second advantage is derived from using a mixed algorithm for the clustering process - a combination of the Ward's classification method with the K-means algorithm - which improves the robustness of the final results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2511-2519 Issue: 21 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.904491 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.904491 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:21:p:2511-2519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantins Benkovskis Author-X-Name-First: Konstantins Author-X-Name-Last: Benkovskis Author-Name: Ludmila Fadejeva Author-X-Name-First: Ludmila Author-X-Name-Last: Fadejeva Title: The effect of VAT rate on inflation in Latvia: evidence from CPI microdata Abstract: This article evaluates the inflation effect of recent value added tax (VAT) rate changes in Latvia by using consumer price index (CPI) microdata. Our findings suggest that the pass-through of the tax rate to consumer prices is strong in case of upward tax adjustments, especially when there are no demand restrictions, while the pass-through is weaker for tax reductions. The frequency of price changes peaks at the moment of VAT adjustment, which, however, is partially compensated by lower average size of price revisions. The level of pass-through exhibits a high degree of heterogeneity with higher pass-through for goods, especially food, and lower for services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2520-2533 Issue: 21 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.904492 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.904492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:21:p:2520-2533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chi-Jung Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Jung Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Author-Name: Sheng-Hung Chen Author-X-Name-First: Sheng-Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Jie-Min Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jie-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chun-Yuan Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: Is there the threshold effect of cigarette price on smoking prevalence? A cross-country panel data analysis Abstract: This article shows new cross-country evidences by empirically investigating the joint effects of cigarette price levels and joining the World Health Organization Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (WHO FCTC) on smoking prevalence in 74 countries over the period of 2000, 2003, 2005 and 2006. We assessed cigarette price elasticity for three national income levels using different databases on cigarette price from the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), demographic and socioeconomic country characteristics from the World Bank and adjusted smoking prevalence rates published by various yearly WHO reports on the global tobacco epidemic from 2000 to 2010. A panel threshold regression was used to capture the nonlinear effects that cigarette prices on smoking prevalence at the three national income levels endogenously determined by estimation. Our findings supported the evidence that joining the WHO FCTC would have a positive effect on reducing cross-country smoking prevalence, especially among countries with low- and medium-income levels. Moreover, some simulated results show that a price hike of 10% would reduce smoking prevalence in countries with national income levels equal to or less than US$1900 and by 7.2% in countries with national income levels between US$1900 and US$2510 more than those with national income levels that are higher than US$2510. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2534-2544 Issue: 21 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.904494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.904494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:21:p:2534-2544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Carlos Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Joao Ricardo Faria Author-X-Name-First: Joao Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Faria Title: Inflation in Mozambique: empirical facts based on persistence, seasonality and breaks Abstract: This article investigates inflation in Mozambique using long-range dependence (LRD) techniques in monthly data from December 1995 to October 2012. Two important features of the data are analysed: persistence and seasonality, looking at aggregated and disaggregated data. The stability of the parameters across the sample is also investigated. The results indicate a high degree of persistence in the data along with a strong seasonal pattern. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2545-2555 Issue: 21 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.907482 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.907482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:21:p:2545-2555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ku-Hsieh Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ku-Hsieh Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Joe-Ming Lee Author-X-Name-First: Joe-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Cheng-Huan You Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Huan Author-X-Name-Last: You Title: Who upholds the surging gold price? The role of the central bank worldwide Abstract: Who upholds the surging gold price? Conventional wisdom suggests that the depreciation of the exchange rate, inflation and economic turmoil are the suspects. Nonetheless, while these factors cease, why does the gold price still stay around hikes? The gold market belongs to a global arena. Different from other commodities, its participants include the national central banks worldwide. However, surprisingly, the role played by these tremendous market participants' gold holdings on the gold price has been ignored in past empirical works. This research focuses on central banks' gold holdings to explore who upholds the surging gold price. Several interesting outcomes are derived. First, our empirical evidence shows an inverse phenomenon relative to news reports from the mass media that the gold holdings of central banks worldwide in fact continuously descend. Second, the mainstream countries of the world have not played a main role in the rising trend of the gold price in the recent decade; instead, newly emerging industrialized countries' central banks' gold holdings show their significant power in explaining causality to gold price fluctuations. Third, the reason for the persistent gold buying behaviour of emerging economies may be because the increase in the gold price delivers a kind of short squeeze effect to the central banks of emerging countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2557-2575 Issue: 22 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.904495 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.904495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:22:p:2557-2575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Sheng Liu Author-X-Name-First: William Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Frank Wogbe Agbola Author-X-Name-First: Frank Wogbe Author-X-Name-Last: Agbola Title: Regional analysis of the impact of inward foreign direct investment on economic growth in the Chinese electronic industry Abstract: This article empirically investigates the impact of inward foreign direct investment (FDI) on regional economic growth in the Chinese electronic industry (CEI). Utilizing a provincial-level panel data spanning the period 1989 to 2009, we specify and estimate an endogenous economic growth model for the CEI. Empirical results indicate that, for the coastal region, FDI inflows have been growth enhancing, while in the central and western regions the impact of FDI on economic growth is mixed, depending on the channel of capital flow. Results also indicate that exports, human capital, science and technology investment and fixed asset investment are growth enhancing, while unemployment and foreign R&D investment are growth impeding in the CEI. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2576-2592 Issue: 22 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.907478 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.907478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:22:p:2576-2592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christoph A. Schaltegger Author-X-Name-First: Christoph A. Author-X-Name-Last: Schaltegger Author-Name: Martin Weder Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Weder Title: Fiscal adjustment and the costs of public debt service: evidence from OECD countries Abstract: We use a panel of 21 OECD countries from 1970 to 2009 to investigate the effects of different fiscal adjustment strategies on long-term interest rates - a key fiscal indicator reflecting the costs of government debt service. As Europe's sovereign debt crisis has shown, governments confronted with high deficits and rising debt may be forced to enact fiscal adjustments in order to avoid increasing market pressure and solvency problems. Over the last four decades, such measures taken by governments in OECD countries have varied in duration, size, composition and in their success to re-establish fiscal sustainability. We find that large and expenditure-based adjustments lead to substantially lower long-term interest rates. Small and revenue-based measures do not have an effect on interest rates. Financial markets thus only seem to value strict and decisive measures - a clear sign that the government's pledge to cut the deficit is credible. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2593-2610 Issue: 22 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.907479 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.907479 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:22:p:2593-2610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chaker Aloui Author-X-Name-First: Chaker Author-X-Name-Last: Aloui Author-Name: Duc Khuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc Khuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: On the detection of extreme movements and persistent behaviour in Mediterranean stock markets: a wavelet-based approach Abstract: We combine the global Hurst exponent and Morlet wavelet multi-resolution analysis (MRA) to investigate the dynamic behaviour of six selected stock markets in the Mediterranean region. Specifically, we employ the resonance coefficients and their power spectra to identify potential extreme movements and long-term dependence in stock returns. Using weekly data for the period 2005 to 2010, our results reveal that the wavelet MRA is able to reconstruct the effects of major extreme shocks on stock returns of studied markets, such as the Asian financial crisis, the 9/11 terrorist attacks and the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Moreover, the wavelet-based global Hurst exponent indicates the presence of long-term dependencies in stock returns of all the considered markets, except for France where the anti-persistent behaviour is detected. Overall, our findings are useful to assess the stock market efficiency and provide new insights into stock market dynamics over different time scales. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2611-2622 Issue: 22 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.907480 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.907480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:22:p:2611-2622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salem Abo-Zaid Author-X-Name-First: Salem Author-X-Name-Last: Abo-Zaid Title: Net job creation in the US economy: lessons from monthly data, 1950-2011 Abstract: This article studies the monthly net job creation (NJC) at the aggregate and the sectoral levels in the United States over the period 1950 to 2011. The article has few important findings. First, NJC did not show a significant trend over the last six decades, which led to a fall in the NJC rate. Second, NJC was very volatile and it could change course even in the span of 1 month. Third, there was no clear pattern about the co-movement between NJC and the change in the unemployment rate. Fourth, the averages of total NJC and private NJC since late 2010 were significantly higher than their respective historical averages and the volatility in NJC since the end of the Great Recession was not unusual by historical standards. Fifth, while the evidence about the effects of the 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act on employment is inconclusive, some sectors appeared to benefit from it. Finally, the most frequent drop in the unemployment rate was by 0.1%, and drops of more than 0.2% should not be highly expected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2623-2638 Issue: 22 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.907481 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.907481 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:22:p:2623-2638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Xu Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: S.E. Lowe Author-X-Name-First: S.E. Author-X-Name-Last: Lowe Author-Name: S. Zhang Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: An analysis of irrigated agricultural outcomes under the prior appropriation doctrine: hypotheses and applications Abstract: This article measures irrigated agricultural outcomes under the prior appropriation doctrine by developing a model of farmers' land allocations in response to water supply change. The modelling approach considers the institutional factors of water rights and permits the inclusive determination of water and land allocations. We utilize farm-level data of irrigated agriculture in Water District #1 in Idaho to examine the predictions from our theoretical model. The water rights priority date is consolidated at the farm level and used to differentiate farmers' responses. We test a set of hypotheses that relate to water supply and crop revenue. Our results suggest that the water rights priority has a profound impact on agricultural outcomes, indicating strong institutional effects and weak influence of market-based approaches. Farmers respond to both long-term and seasonal water supply change and variation, and they respond to seasonal water supply forecasts in varied ways depending on their water rights portfolios, thus signalling a disproportionate distribution of potential impacts of water supply change. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2639-2652 Issue: 22 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.907483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.907483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:22:p:2639-2652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Doroth饠Boccanfuso Author-X-Name-First: Doroth饠 Author-X-Name-Last: Boccanfuso Author-Name: Marcelin Joanis Author-X-Name-First: Marcelin Author-X-Name-Last: Joanis Author-Name: Patrick Richard Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Richard Author-Name: Luc Savard Author-X-Name-First: Luc Author-X-Name-Last: Savard Title: A comparative analysis of funding schemes for public infrastructure spending in Quebec Abstract: The economic literature has been investigating the positive relation between public infrastructure spending and the productivity of the private sector since Munnell (1992). We have introduced this relationship into a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model of the Quebec economy to investigate various funding schemes to scale up infrastructure spending in the province. We draw our assumptions from Estache et al. (2010) combined with sectoral elasticity parameters. We conduct a comparative analysis where the funding comes from debt alone, and debt with sales tax, income tax and business tax. Our main finding is that the income tax seems to produce the most positive effects and the businesses tax the most negative effects, though differences are small. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2653-2664 Issue: 22 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.909576 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.909576 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:22:p:2653-2664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thanh Pham Thien Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Thanh Pham Thien Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Author-Name: Parmendra Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Parmendra Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: How efficient is the banking system of Asia's next economic dragon? Evidence from rolling DEA windows Abstract: Vietnam is now widely regarded as a rising economic star and the next economic dragon of Asia. Its banking system has played a key role in this stellar economic performance. Since 1990, Vietnam's banking system has undergone significant changes which saw its composition transformed from being state banks only to now being both state as well as private banks, and has performed generally well in terms of growth, profitability and stability. But is it efficient? We conduct a dynamic analysis of the level and trend of the cost and profit efficiency of the Vietnamese banking sector over the period 1995 to 2011 taking into account the Asian and Global Financial crises. We use the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) Windows Analysis approach and adjust for bank size in calculating the average efficiency score of the banking system. Our empirical findings show that the cost and profit efficiency of the Vietnamese banking system averaged around 0.90 and 0.75, respectively, with the state banks being more efficient than the private banks and with efficiency experiencing an upward trend over the analysis period. Moreover, we find that the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and Asian Financial Crisis (AFC) did not significantly affect the efficiency of the whole Vietnamese banking system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2665-2684 Issue: 22 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.909578 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.909578 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:22:p:2665-2684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saeed Heravi Author-X-Name-First: Saeed Author-X-Name-Last: Heravi Author-Name: Peter Morgan Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Morgan Title: A comparison of six sampling schemes for price index construction in a COICOP food group Abstract: This article compares the behaviour of sampling techniques for price indices using a scanner data set as a model population. Indices produced by two purposive deterministic cut-off designs and four probabilistic sampling schemes are compared with each other and with the 'true' population index from the whole data set. We found that the two deterministic cut-off sampling schemes show much different behaviour from the probabilistic sampling schemes. This is not unexpected, as the former schemes have a very restricted focus with respect to the variety of products. We also found that the probabilistic schemes are generally closer to each other and the 'true' value than the deterministic cut-off designs. The jackknife resampling technique is also explored as a means of estimating the SE of the index and compared with the actual results from repeated sampling. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2685-2699 Issue: 22 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.909574 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.909574 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:22:p:2685-2699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shuddhasattwa Rafiq Author-X-Name-First: Shuddhasattwa Author-X-Name-Last: Rafiq Author-Name: Harry Bloch Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Bloch Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Title: Determinants of renewable energy adoption in China and India: a comparative analysis Abstract: This article examines the dynamic relationships among output, carbon emission and renewable energy generation of India and China during the period 1972 to 2011 using a multivariate vector error correction model (VECM). The results for India reveal unidirectional short-run causality from carbon emission to renewable energy generation and from renewable energy generation to output, whereas in the long run, the variables have bidirectional causality. Causalities in China give a rather different scenario, with a short-run unidirectional causality from output to renewable energy and from carbon emission to renewable energy generation. In the long run, for China, unidirectional causality is found from output to renewable energy generation, while bidirectional causality is found between carbon emission and renewable energy generation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2700-2710 Issue: 22 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.909577 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.909577 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:22:p:2700-2710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Val鲩e Chouard Author-X-Name-First: Val鲩e Author-X-Name-Last: Chouard Author-Name: Daniel Fuentes Castro Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Fuentes Castro Author-Name: Delphine Irac Author-X-Name-First: Delphine Author-X-Name-Last: Irac Author-Name: Matthieu Lemoine Author-X-Name-First: Matthieu Author-X-Name-Last: Lemoine Title: Assessing the losses in euro area potential productivity due to the financial crisis Abstract: In this article, we show that the recent financial crisis has significantly affected the potential total factor productivity (TFP) of the four largest euro area economies, as well as that of the rest of the euro area. We used a reduced-form equation of TFP, based on an approach recently developed by Cahn and Saint-Guilhem (2010). Our empirical findings show that the permanent impact on potential TFP varies across countries from -3.9 points to -1.3 points in Q2 2012. When these losses are incorporated, TFP gaps develop closely in line with capacity utilization rates (CUR). Moreover, in the case of France, including CUR in our TFP model improves the quasi-real-time reliability of TFP gap estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2711-2720 Issue: 23 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.887193 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.887193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:23:p:2711-2720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Gaël Bertrand Author-X-Name-First: Gaël Author-X-Name-Last: Bertrand Author-Name: Laurent Botti Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Botti Author-Name: Scott Tainsky Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Tainsky Title: Cost efficiency of French rugby clubs Abstract: This article analyses the cost efficiency of French first-league rugby clubs using a stochastic frontier model. The frontier estimation confirmed that the model fits the data well with all coefficients correctly signed and in line with the theoretical requirements. The results show that one of the clubs is operating efficiently, with the majority of clubs clustered around 20% inefficiency. Policy implications are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2721-2732 Issue: 23 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.907484 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.907484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:23:p:2721-2732 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Florian I. Schumacher Author-X-Name-First: Florian I. Author-X-Name-Last: Schumacher Author-Name: Joilson Dias Author-X-Name-First: Joilson Author-X-Name-Last: Dias Author-Name: Edinaldo Tebaldi Author-X-Name-First: Edinaldo Author-X-Name-Last: Tebaldi Title: Two tales on human capital and knowledge spillovers: the case of the US and Brazil Abstract: This article uses a quasi-Mincerian approach to verify whether the concentration of college-educated individuals employed in the business support services sector and in the own sector contributes to increased productivity in other sectors of the economy. We estimate the returns to education using data from the 2008 US Current Population Survey (March supplement) and from the 2008 Brazilian household survey. This article finds evidence of a positive and significant human capital sectorial spillover effect, which is consistent with Acemoglu's (1996) conjecture. The sectorial concentration of highly educated workers contributes to increase wages for all workers. This study also finds evidence of increasing returns to education in Brazil and diminishing returns to education in the United States. This finding may be explained by differences in supply of skilled workers in both economies. In addition, the short supply of highly skilled workers in Brazil likely explains the importance of the spillover effect from the business supporting sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2733-2743 Issue: 23 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.909575 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.909575 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:23:p:2733-2743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mikio Ito Author-X-Name-First: Mikio Author-X-Name-Last: Ito Author-Name: Akihiko Noda Author-X-Name-First: Akihiko Author-X-Name-Last: Noda Author-Name: Tatsuma Wada Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuma Author-X-Name-Last: Wada Title: International stock market efficiency: a non-Bayesian time-varying model approach Abstract: This article develops a non-Bayesian methodology to analyse the time-varying structure of international linkages and market efficiency in G7 countries. We consider a non-Bayesian time-varying vector autoregressive (TV-VAR) model, and apply it to estimate the joint degree of market efficiency in the sense of Fama (1970, 1991). Our empirical results provide a new perspective that the international linkages and market efficiency change over time and that their behaviours correspond well to historical events of the international financial system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2744-2754 Issue: 23 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.909579 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.909579 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:23:p:2744-2754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernard Gauthier Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Gauthier Author-Name: Jonathan Goyette Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Goyette Title: Taxation and corruption: theory and firm-level evidence from Uganda Abstract: This article develops a simple framework to analyse the negotiation over bribe and tax payments during the tax collection process. We show that the larger the bribe a firm offers to a tax collector, the larger the tax rebate it gets. More particularly, we show that the negotiation over bribe and tax payments hinges on four other factors: firms' official liabilities, detection, firms' negotiation power and red tape costs imposed on firms. Some of the predictions from the theoretical model are tested using firm-level data from Uganda. We find that bribe and tax payments are inversely related, thereby supporting the hypothesis of a negotiation taking place between firms and tax collectors. In particular, a 1% point increase in average bribe payments per employee is associated with a 7% point reduction in average amount of tax payments per employee. Results are robust to various instruments dealing with the endogenous relationship between bribes and taxes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2755-2765 Issue: 23 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.909580 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.909580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:23:p:2755-2765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicoletta Berardi Author-X-Name-First: Nicoletta Author-X-Name-Last: Berardi Author-Name: Thomas Eife Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Eife Author-Name: Erwan Gautier Author-X-Name-First: Erwan Author-X-Name-Last: Gautier Title: Optimal price setting during a currency changeover: theory and evidence from french restaurants Abstract: This article studies firms' price-setting decision during a currency changeover. Buyers' difficulties with the new nominal price level may create incentives to raise prices temporarily but doing so comes at the risk of damaging a seller's standing as a fair retailer. We model firms' trade-off and study conditions under which increasing or decreasing prices is optimal. A difference-in-differences analysis based on micro-data of French restaurants strongly supports the model's predictions. Prices during the 2002 changeover in the European Monetary Union were less likely to rise in larger restaurants, nontourist restaurants and when prices were advertised. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2766-2782 Issue: 23 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.914144 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.914144 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:23:p:2766-2782 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Nakosteen Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Nakosteen Author-Name: Michael Zimmer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmer Title: Approval of social security disability appeals: analysis of judges' decisions Abstract: This article is an empirical analysis of decisions by judges regarding requests by individuals for disability benefits. Applicants for disability benefits who are twice denied through the normal process can appeal to one of the Social Security Administration's administrative law judges, who hold appointed positions. The data for this study are taken from decisions made by approximately 1000 judges for cases heard from 2010 through 2012. Using each judge as a unit of observation, the data reveal the number of cases heard and the number of approvals granted. We augmented the data with additional information on the presiding judge, and with data from the state in which the court resides. The purpose of the study is to determine whether a simple model can explain, first, the volume of decisions rendered at the judge level and, second, the proportion of approvals. Results indicate that the volume of decisions can be explained in part by the judge's recent record of leniency. Evidence also supports the hypothesis that approval outcomes depend on judges' professional tenure and economic factors in the state of jurisdiction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2783-2791 Issue: 23 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.914147 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.914147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:23:p:2783-2791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thi Hong Hanh Pham Author-X-Name-First: Thi Hong Hanh Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Title: Financial structure in the age of globalization Abstract: Using a large panel data set covering 160 countries over the period 1990 to 2010, this article aims to address the question of how financial structure (bank-based versus market-based system) changes when economies are liberalized and opened to international capital markets. Specifically, in this study, globalization is characterized not only by trade and financial integration but also by other important aspects, such as social globalization, political globalization and cultural globalization. The empirical results support the impacts of globalization on financial structure, which are, however, diverse and strongly depend on the way to measure globalization and financial structure. Our finding also reveals a significant change in financial structure after the globalization process, except the case of low-income countries, in which financial structure seems to be not correlated with either globalization process or other macroeconomic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2792-2813 Issue: 23 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.914150 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.914150 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:23:p:2792-2813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabel Feito-Ruiz Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Feito-Ruiz Author-Name: Ana I. Fernᮤez Author-X-Name-First: Ana I. Author-X-Name-Last: Fernᮤez Author-Name: Susana Men鮤ez-Requejo Author-X-Name-First: Susana Author-X-Name-Last: Men鮤ez-Requejo Title: Determinants of the acquisition of listed versus unlisted firms in different legal and institutional environments Abstract: The aim of this article is to analyse the determinants of the decision to acquire unlisted rather than listed firms in different legal and institutional environments. We estimate a probit model considering the mergers and acquisitions (M&As) announced by European listed firms (19 countries) that acquires worldwide listed or unlisted firms (36 countries) in the period 2002-2007. Our results show that managerial opportunism is a determinant in the acquisition of listed firms, occurring with greater probability in acquiring countries with low shareholder and minority shareholder protection. Information asymmetry is another relevant determinant that promotes the acquisitions of unlisted firms. Furthermore, the less developed the capital market in the country of the acquired firm, the greater the probability of acquisitions of unlisted firms. This article contributes to the M&A literature by showing that in addition to managerial opportunism and information asymmetry, the legal and institutional environments in both the acquiring and the target countries are also relevant aspects explaining the decision of whether to acquire listed or unlisted firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2814-2832 Issue: 23 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.914146 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.914146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:23:p:2814-2832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antti Saastamoinen Author-X-Name-First: Antti Author-X-Name-Last: Saastamoinen Author-Name: Timo Kuosmanen Author-X-Name-First: Timo Author-X-Name-Last: Kuosmanen Title: Is corruption grease, grit or a gamble? Corruption increases variance of productivity across countries Abstract: The effect of corruption on economic growth has attracted interest in empirical development economics. The conventional view of corruption as impediment for growth has been challenged by the 'grease-on-the-wheels' hypothesis. We take a new perspective on the issue and suggest corruption as macro risk, referred to as a 'gamble' hypothesis. Using cross-country data and two alternative indicators of corruption, we find corruption to be a significant driver of heteroscedasticity in total productivity. This supports the new gamble hypothesis. We also note some misleading interpretations in the previously published frontier applications. To avoid these shortcomings, we apply a flexible semi-nonparametric estimator. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2833-2849 Issue: 23 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.914149 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.914149 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:23:p:2833-2849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eero P䴤ri Author-X-Name-First: Eero Author-X-Name-Last: P䴤ri Author-Name: Mika Vilska Author-X-Name-First: Mika Author-X-Name-Last: Vilska Title: Performance of moving average trading strategies over varying stock market conditions: the Finnish evidence Abstract: This article examines the profitability of dual moving average crossover (DMAC) trading strategies in the Finnish stock market over the period 1996 to 2012. It contributes to the existing technical analysis literature by comparing for the first time the performance of DMAC trading portfolios of individual stocks to the performance of index trading strategies based on trading on an index that consists of the same stocks. The results show that their relative performance varies over time, whereas previous studies have documented outperformance of index trading strategies over trading strategies of stock portfolios. Moreover, the great majority of 3020 DMAC strategies examined in this article outperform the corresponding buy-and-hold (B and H) strategy for both trading targets (i.e., OMX Helsinki 25 index and individual stocks included in the index) in out-of-sample tests. In addition, the decomposition of the full-sample-period performance into separate bull- and bear-period performance shows clearly that the outperformance of DMAC strategies over B and H strategy is mostly attributable to their better performance during bearish periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2851-2872 Issue: 24 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.914145 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.914145 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:24:p:2851-2872 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Artz Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Artz Author-Name: Ilker Kaya Author-X-Name-First: Ilker Author-X-Name-Last: Kaya Title: The impact of job security on job satisfaction in economic contractions versus expansions Abstract: Job security, often measured using the perceived risk of job loss in the near future, is a significant determinant of job satisfaction. We posit that the impact job security has on job satisfaction is not only a function of how likely it is that a worker loses a job but also how likely it is that a worker could find another. The effect this has on worker job satisfaction then is different depending on whether perceived job loss occurs (or not) when job openings are scarce or when job openings are plentiful. We use difference-in-differences analysis of the 1997 and 2008 waves from the National Study of the Changing Workforce to show that three measures of job security increase private sector worker job satisfaction, and reduce worker incentives to quit, more when job openings are relatively scarce (during contractions) than when job openings are relatively plentiful (during expansions). We find that our results are strongest among less-educated workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2873-2890 Issue: 24 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.914148 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.914148 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:24:p:2873-2890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. R. Chen Author-X-Name-First: G. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: How do advertised brands benefit from private labels? An application of rational expectations models Abstract: Private labels have traditionally been viewed as a threat to advertised brands. Contrary to traditional wisdom, this study uses a two-asset rational expectations model to show that advertised brands could benefit from private labels. While the manufacturer's advertising creates product differentiation, the retailer's synchronous pricing strategy further enhances the product differentiation and raises profits as well as the efficiency of price discounts for the advertised brand. In addition, the existence of private labels improves the advertising efficiency, especially for newly introduced brands. The economic role of private labels is not limited to taking a free ride on the manufacturer's advertising efforts, and this role cannot be replaced by another advertised brand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2891-2902 Issue: 24 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.916388 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.916388 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:24:p:2891-2902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rafael Cezar Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Cezar Title: The heterogeneous effect of finance on international trade Abstract: Is the impact of financial development on international trade heterogeneous - being positive, negative or null - across manufacturing sectors? And is it dependent on the level of sectoral requirement on external finance for capital need? To examine these questions this article uses a panel trade database on 21 manufacturing sectors in 80 countries between 2000 and 2009. The analysis demonstrates that the effect of financial development on trade is indeed heterogeneous by estimating a coefficient for each sector and showing that the signs and significance levels vary across them. The article also demonstrates that sectors with strong reliance on external finance export higher volume from countries with developed financial system and that financial development reduces trade in industries with low financial dependence level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2903-2919 Issue: 24 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.916389 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.916389 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:24:p:2903-2919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jie Li Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Han Yu Author-X-Name-First: Han Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Income inequality and financial reform in Asia: the role of human capital Abstract: We investigate whether financial reform can reduce income inequality in Asia, with particular emphasis on the role of human capital. Extending Galor and Zeira (1993), we demonstrate that financial reform is effective in reducing income inequality, and the effect is more profound in a country with higher human capital. Using the data for 18 countries in Asia, the region with the most promising financial reform, we confirm our theoretical finding. In addition, among disaggregated financial reforms, lift of credit control, better banking supervision and security market development seem to be significantly associated with reduction of income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2920-2935 Issue: 24 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.916390 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.916390 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:24:p:2920-2935 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Avdjiev Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Avdjiev Author-Name: Zheng Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Zheng Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Title: Credit growth, monetary policy and economic activity in a three-regime TVAR model Abstract: We employ a Threshold Vector Autoregression (TVAR) methodology in order to examine the nonlinear nature of the interactions among credit market conditions, monetary policy and economic activity. We depart from the existing literature on the subject along two dimensions. First, we focus on a model in which the relevant threshold variable describes the state of economic activity rather than credit market conditions. Second, in contrast to the existing TVAR literature, which concentrates exclusively on single-threshold models, we allow for the presence of a second threshold, which is overwhelmingly supported by all relevant statistical tests. Our results indicate that the dynamics of the interactions among credit market conditions, monetary policy and economic activity change considerably as the economy moves from one phase of the business cycle to another and that single-threshold TVAR models are too restrictive to fully capture the nonlinear nature of those interactions. The impact of most shocks tends to be largest during periods of subpar economic activity and smallest during times of moderate economic growth. By contrast, credit risk shocks have the largest impact when output growth is considerably above its long-term trend. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2936-2951 Issue: 24 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.916391 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.916391 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:24:p:2936-2951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Flannery Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Flannery Author-Name: J. Cullinan Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cullinan Title: Where they go, what they do and why it matters: the importance of geographic accessibility and social class for decisions relating to higher education institution type, degree level and field of study Abstract: This article considers the impact of geographic accessibility and social class on school leavers when making decisions relating to higher education institution (HEI) type, degree level and field of study. Using a novel and comprehensive Irish data set, we consider a number of joint decisions facing school leavers in relation to where and what to study and employ a range of bivariate choice models which allows us to control for correlations in these decisions. We find that geographic accessibility and social class play an important role in determining outcomes relating to HEI type, degree level and field of study. We argue that these decisions are important in terms of future labour market and other outcomes for school leavers and that current policy in Ireland does not go far enough in mitigating the impact of distance and socio-economic barriers on these outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2952-2965 Issue: 24 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.916392 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.916392 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:24:p:2952-2965 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Balcilar Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Balcilar Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Stephen M. Miller Author-X-Name-First: Stephen M. Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: Housing and the Great Depression Abstract: This article considers the structural stability of the relationship between the real housing price and real GDP per capita for an annual sample that includes the Great Depression. We test for structural change in parameter values using a sample of annual US data from 1890 to 1952. The article examines the long-run and short-run dynamic relationships between the real housing price and real GDP per capita to determine whether these relationships experienced structural change over the sample period. We find that temporal Granger causality exists between these two variables only for subsamples that include the Great Depression. For the other subsample periods as well as for the entire sample period, no relationship exists between these variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2966-2981 Issue: 24 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.916393 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.916393 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:24:p:2966-2981 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luisa Mart𓐊Author-X-Name-First: Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Mart𓐊Author-Name: Rosa Puertas Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Puertas Author-Name: Leandro Garc𨀍 Author-X-Name-First: Leandro Author-X-Name-Last: Garc𨀍 Title: The importance of the Logistics Performance Index in international trade Abstract: Logistics and transport increasingly play a pivotal role in international trade relations. The Logistics Performance Index (LPI) analyses differences between countries in terms of customs procedures, logistics costs and the quality of the infrastructure for overland and maritime transport. The aim of this article is to analyse the impact that each of these components has on trade in emerging economies using a gravity model. Furthermore, the study also attempts to detect possible advances in logistics in developing countries, which are grouped into five regions (Africa, South America, Far East, Middle East and Eastern Europe) by comparing the first LPI data published in 2007 with the most recent data, released in 2012. The results obtained reveal that improvements in any of the components of the LPI can lead to significant growth in a country's trade flows. Specifically, LPI components are becoming increasingly important for international trade in many countries in Africa, South America and Eastern Europe. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2982-2992 Issue: 24 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.916394 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.916394 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:24:p:2982-2992 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bo Xiong Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Xiong Author-Name: Sixia Chen Author-X-Name-First: Sixia Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Estimating gravity equation models in the presence of sample selection and heteroscedasticity Abstract: Gravity models are widely used to explain patterns of trade. However, two stylized features of trade data, sample selection and heteroscedasticity challenge the estimation of gravity models. We propose a two-step method of moments (TS-MM) estimator that deals with both issues. The Monte-Carlo experiments show that the TS-MM estimates are resistant to various combinations of sample selection and heteroscedasticity. Moreover, the TS-MM estimator performs reasonably well even when the data generating process deviates from the TS-MM assumptions. We revisit the world trade in 1990 to illustrate the usefulness of the proposed model, with emphasis on the identification of the extensive margin of trade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2993-3003 Issue: 24 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.920481 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.920481 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:24:p:2993-3003 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Md Akhtaruzzaman Author-X-Name-First: Md Author-X-Name-Last: Akhtaruzzaman Author-Name: Paul Docherty Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Docherty Author-Name: Abul Shamsuddin Author-X-Name-First: Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Shamsuddin Title: Interest rate, size and book-to-market effects in Australian financial firms Abstract: The Fama-French three-factor model (1993) has been extensively used to study the pricing of nonfinancial stocks. This study provides the first examination of the pricing of Australian financial stocks using the Fama-French framework. The four-factor model (market, size, book-to-market and momentum) augmented with the level, slope and curvature of the interest rate term structure is used to examine the pricing of Australian financial stocks. The interest rate factors have not been previously considered for pricing Australian stocks within the Fama-French framework. Consistent with US evidence, we use a system-based estimation to show that the size and book-to-market factors are not priced in the cross section of the equity returns of Australian financial stocks. Momentum and term spread are priced in the equity returns of both financial and nonfinancial stocks. These findings are robust to the inclusion of control variables such as default spread, the inflation rate and a dummy variable for the global financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3005-3020 Issue: 25 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.920478 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.920478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:25:p:3005-3020 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurt A. Hafner Author-X-Name-First: Kurt A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hafner Title: Technology spillover effects and economic integration: evidence from integrating EU countries Abstract: The article uses time series for the period 1981-2008 to estimate the impact of foreign technology spillover effects on Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain, representing the integrating European Union (EU) countries. I restrict technology diffusion to EU-12 countries and compare the results to unrestricted technology diffusion from a sample of 32 OECD countries. Accounting for nonstationarity and co-integration, the dynamic OLS estimator is used to estimate the impact of foreign R&D stock on labour productivity, taking into account patent-, trade- and FDI-related technology diffusion channels. I find empirical evidence for trade-related foreign technology spillover effects for Greece and Ireland if technology diffusion is unrestricted. Restricting technology diffusion to EU-12 countries, there are significant foreign technology spillover effects from European integration for Portugal (patent related) and Spain (trade and FDI related). Moreover, the domestic R&D stock and education are significant drivers for labour productivity in integrating EU countries. The empirical results are robust for different regression specifications and sources of technology diffusion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3021-3036 Issue: 25 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.920479 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.920479 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:25:p:3021-3036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nakil Sung Author-X-Name-First: Nakil Author-X-Name-Last: Sung Title: Market concentration and competition in OECD mobile telecommunications markets Abstract: This study analyses the progress of market concentration in OECD member states' mobile telecommunications markets and evaluates the relationship between market concentration and performance. Using annual panel data from 24 OECD member states for the 1998-2011 period, the study estimates regression equations for market concentration, mobile prices and profits. The empirical results indicate that the more concentrated the mobile market, the higher the prices and profits, providing support for the market power hypothesis. If this hypothesis holds, then market concentration can be a useful indicator of market performance. On the other hand, the applicability of the hypothesis is unclear for the second half of the sample period. The results provide evidence that regulatory policies influence the structure and performance of mobile markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3037-3048 Issue: 25 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.920480 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.920480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:25:p:3037-3048 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oliver Musshoff Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Musshoff Author-Name: Norbert Hirschauer Author-X-Name-First: Norbert Author-X-Name-Last: Hirschauer Title: Using business simulation games in regulatory impact analysis - the case of policies aimed at reducing nitrogen leaching Abstract: In the past, regulatory impact analysis was predominantly based on the rational-choice-assumption of a completely informed and exclusively profit-maximizing homo oeconomicus. Real economic actors, however, are multiple-goal and boundedly rational decision-makers. An exclusive reliance on rational-choice models therefore generates the risk that both the pace and the type of behavioural adaptations to changing institutional environments are misjudged. Against this background, this article addresses three questions. First, can we use business simulation games as a convincing but low-cost experimental tool for policy analysis? Second, how do intentionally varied nitrogen extensification schemes impact the behaviour of students who participate in an explorative business simulation study? Third, do nitrogen reduction policies that are framed as voluntary as opposed to prescriptive schemes have a different impact on behaviour even if they lead to the same profits respectively? In our business simulation game, the student-participants take the role of farmers who are confronted with different policy measures aimed at reducing nitrogen loads. The student-farmers react very differently to different measures even though all measures have an identical impact on profitability. This is an indication that the behavioural changes that can be achieved per Euro of the taxpayers' money, and therefore the cost efficiency (and smartness) of regulatory measures, are contingent on their specific design. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3049-3060 Issue: 25 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.920482 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.920482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:25:p:3049-3060 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kady Marie-Danielle Body Author-X-Name-First: Kady Marie-Danielle Author-X-Name-Last: Body Author-Name: Liliane Bonnal Author-X-Name-First: Liliane Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnal Author-Name: Jean-Fran篩s Giret Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Fran篩s Author-X-Name-Last: Giret Title: Does student employment really impact academic achievement? The case of France Abstract: Student employment is usually thought to curb academic achievement. Our research relating to a survey at a French university in 2012 emphasizes the significance of the intensity of student working hours. Allowance for the endogeneity of student employment reinforces the negative effects, particularly for young people working more than 16 hours a week. However, the academic achievement of those working fewer than 8 hours per week seems unaffected. The type of employment also affects the chances of success: students with public sector jobs appear to be less prone to failure, possibly because of more flexible working hours. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3061-3073 Issue: 25 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.920483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.920483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:25:p:3061-3073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: An Chen Author-X-Name-First: An Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Incentive-compatible compensation and regulation Abstract: This article uses contingent claims analysis and regulatory constraints to show how a bank can create incentive-compatible compensation for the senior management aligned with the interests of the other stakeholders. For this purpose, the remuneration package takes the form of a 'call spread' on the bank's equity. Unlike regular stock option programmes, a call spread limits the upside potential for the senior management. This prevents unlimited risk taking. Additionally, a maximum regulatory default probability also constrains risk-taking behaviour. We show under which parameterizations the remuneration package and the regulatory constraint offer equal incentives for the senior management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3074-3081 Issue: 25 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.922671 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.922671 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:25:p:3074-3081 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Malikane Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Malikane Author-Name: Tshepo Mokoka Author-X-Name-First: Tshepo Author-X-Name-Last: Mokoka Title: The new Keynesian Phillips curve: endogeneity and misspecification Abstract: The wrong or insignificant sign of the forcing variable in the new Keynesian Phillips curve estimations may be a result of the endogeneity of the labour share and misspecification of real marginal cost in the baseline model. We address the misspecification of real marginal cost by formulating a broad measure that features the labour share, output gap and supply shock variables. The endogeneity of the labour share is addressed by using an appropriate lag of the labour share in the Phillips curve. Reduced-form evidence from five developed and five emerging market economies support the empirical validity of the NKPC. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3082-3089 Issue: 25 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.922672 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.922672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:25:p:3082-3089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maciej Albinowski Author-X-Name-First: Maciej Author-X-Name-Last: Albinowski Author-Name: Piotr Ciżkowicz Author-X-Name-First: Piotr Author-X-Name-Last: Ciżkowicz Author-Name: Andrzej Rzońca Author-X-Name-First: Andrzej Author-X-Name-Last: Rzońca Title: Links between trust in the ECB and its interest rate policy Abstract: We analyse determinants of trust in the European Central Bank (ECB). Our main finding is that when households have pessimistic expectations, aggressive cuts in interest rates have an adverse effect on their trust in central bank. This result is in accordance with the 'lack-of-confidence shock' hypothesis developed by Schmitt-Groh頡nd Uribe (2012) and in contrast with the 'fundamental shock' hypothesis which implies positive effects of aggressive cuts for trust in the ECB. The result is robust to various changes in the modelling approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3090-3106 Issue: 25 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.922674 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.922674 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:25:p:3090-3106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Kelly Burns Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Burns Title: Error correction modelling and dynamic specifications as a conduit to outperforming the random walk in exchange rate forecasting Abstract: The proposition that dynamic exchange rate models can outperform the random walk in out-of-sample forecasting, in the sense that they produce lower mean square errors, is examined and disputed. By using several dynamic versions of three macroeconomic exchange rate models, it is demonstrated that dynamic specifications outperform the corresponding static models but improvement in the forecasting power may not be sufficient for the dynamic models to perform better than the random walk. The results are explained by suggesting that any dynamic specification or transformation of the static model leads to the introduction of a lagged dependent variable, which in effect is a random walk component. The analysis leads to the conclusion that it is implausible to aim at beating the random walk by augmenting a static model with a random walk component. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3107-3118 Issue: 25 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.922675 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.922675 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:25:p:3107-3118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Neuenkirch Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Neuenkirch Title: Federal Reserve communications and newswire coverage Abstract: In this article, we explore the determinants of newswire coverage of Federal Reserve (Fed) communications. Our sample covers all 344 forward-looking communications made in the period May 1999 to May 2004. We find, first, that there is a higher likelihood of newswire coverage for monetary policy reports and speeches by Chairman Greenspan than for testimony and speeches by other Fed members. Furthermore, communications with an explicit monetary policy inclination or tone different from the current interest rate path are particularly likely to be covered. However, the release of important macroeconomic news reduces the likelihood of newswire coverage. Second, speeches by regional Fed presidents are relatively less likely to be reported than speeches by Board members. Nevertheless, newswire coverage of Fed president speeches is more likely if central bank communication is stale. Finally, our results indicate that Ben Bernanke played a distinguished role even before his Chairmanship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3119-3129 Issue: 25 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.922676 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.922676 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:25:p:3119-3129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alita Nandi Author-X-Name-First: Alita Author-X-Name-Last: Nandi Author-Name: Cheti Nicoletti Author-X-Name-First: Cheti Author-X-Name-Last: Nicoletti Title: Explaining personality pay gaps in the UK Abstract: Using the British Household Panel Survey we estimate the effect on pay of each of the Big Five personality traits for employed men living in the UK. We add to the existing literature by estimating the role of factors such as education and occupation in explaining personality pay gaps, by allowing the personality traits to affect wage differently across occupations, education levels and other workers characteristics, and by investigating personality pay gaps for high- and low-paid workers. We find that openness to experience is the most relevant personality trait in explaining wages, followed by neuroticism, agreeableness, extroversion and conscientiousness. Openness and extroversion are rewarded while agreeableness and neuroticism are penalized, but the openness pay gap is totally explained by differences in worker characteristics, particularly education and occupation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3131-3150 Issue: 26 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.922670 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.922670 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:26:p:3131-3150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cem Çebi Author-X-Name-First: Cem Author-X-Name-Last: Çebi Author-Name: Ali Askın Çulha Author-X-Name-First: Ali Askın Author-X-Name-Last: Çulha Title: The effects of government spending shocks on the real exchange rate and trade balance in Turkey Abstract: The aim of this study is to investigate the effects of government spending shocks on the real exchange rate and foreign trade balance in Turkey for the period of 2002:01-2012:04 within a structural VAR framework. The analysis shows that a positive shock to the government spending tends to induce real exchange rate appreciation and deterioration in trade balance. We also find that the composition of the government spending matters. Although shocks to the government nonwage consumption generate an appreciation in the real exchange rate and worsening of the trade balance, the effects of government investment shocks remain insignificant. Furthermore, the analysis demonstrates that shocks to government spending are associated with a rise in taxes, which is indicative of a spending-driven tax adjustment process in Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3151-3162 Issue: 26 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.922673 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.922673 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:26:p:3151-3162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miroslava Rajcaniova Author-X-Name-First: Miroslava Author-X-Name-Last: Rajcaniova Author-Name: d'Artis Kancs Author-X-Name-First: d'Artis Author-X-Name-Last: Kancs Author-Name: Pavel Ciaian Author-X-Name-First: Pavel Author-X-Name-Last: Ciaian Title: Bioenergy and global land-use change Abstract: This is the first article that econometrically estimates the global land-use change impact of bioenergy. Applying time-series analytical mechanisms to fuel, biofuel and agricultural commodity prices and production, we estimate the long-run relationship between energy prices, bioenergy production and the global land-use change. Our results suggest that rising energy prices and bioenergy production significantly contribute to the global land-use change both through the direct and indirect land-use change impact. Globally, the total agricultural area yearly increases by 35 578.1 thousand ha due to increasing oil price, and by 12 125.1 thousand ha due to increasing biofuel production, which corresponds to 0.73% and 0.25% of the total worldwide agricultural area, respectively. Soya land-use change and wheat land-use change have the highest elasticities with respect to both oil price and biofuel production. In contrast, nonbiomass crops (grassland and rice) have negative land-use change elasticities. Region-specific results suggest that South America faces the largest yearly total land-use change associated with oil price increase (+10 600.7 thousand ha), whereas Asia (+8918.6 thousand ha), South America (+4024.9 thousand ha) and North America (+1311.5 thousand ha) have the largest yearly total land-use change associated with increase in biofuel production. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3163-3179 Issue: 26 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.925076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.925076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:26:p:3163-3179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason Loughrey Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Loughrey Author-Name: Thia Hennessy Author-X-Name-First: Thia Author-X-Name-Last: Hennessy Title: Hidden underemployment among Irish farm holders 2002-2011 Abstract: This article examines the scale of hidden underemployment on Irish farms from 2002 to 2011. We provide a measure of hidden underemployment that is not captured by the national-level statistics. Hidden underemployment can be attributed to a number of factors relating to inadequate employment situations as described at the 16th International Conference of Labour Statisticians such as low productivity, the poor utilization of skills and other factors specific to agriculture. We place particular attention upon the potential role of off-farm labour supply in solving the underemployment problem. We utilize a two-stage residual inclusion model and a random effects probit model to examine the forces behind farm underemployment. We utilize a fixed effects model to examine the factors driving the severity of farm underemployment. Our findings suggest that instances of hidden underemployment increased between 2002 and 2011. Hidden underemployment appears to be a stubborn problem and is related to the absence of off-farm employment, low yield, livestock intensity and smaller than average farm size in the sheep and drystock cattle sectors in particular. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3180-3192 Issue: 26 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.925077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.925077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:26:p:3180-3192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong-Yil Choi Author-X-Name-First: Yong-Yil Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Lax money supply under globalization and detecting an early sign to anticipate deep recession Abstract: This article uncovers a macroeconomic threshold for avoiding deep recession under globalization. The analysis shows that there is a long-run natural rate of substitution between the broadest measure of money balances and nominal government spending, namely the natural fiscal velocity. Applying this threshold to the actual economy can give us two benefits: first, comparing the actual rate of substitution between the broadest measure of money balances and nominal government spending with the natural fiscal velocity can provide an early sign to anticipate deep recession under globalization. Second, controlling the actual fiscal velocity so as not to exceed the natural one is such a macro calibration that the authorities can easily justify their pre-emptive actions as a means of avoiding a deep recession trap under globalization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3193-3201 Issue: 26 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.925078 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.925078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:26:p:3193-3201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martha Jim鮥z Author-X-Name-First: Martha Author-X-Name-Last: Jim鮥z Author-Name: Jaime Arturo Matus Author-X-Name-First: Jaime Arturo Author-X-Name-Last: Matus Author-Name: Miguel Angel Mart󹑺 Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Angel Author-X-Name-Last: Mart󹑺 Title: Economic growth as a function of human capital, internet and work Abstract: The World Bank has suggested the need to enhance Information and Communication Technology skills in all sectors because a 10% increase in internet connectivity was found to boost GDP growth by 1.38%. Simultaneously, the OECD argued that high internet access rates generate a 2% increase in GDP. Because the internet positively affects economic growth, we investigated the relationship between an economically active population, human capital and technology to evaluate these effects in Mexico. A data series from 1991 to 2010 was analysed in three stages according to the least-squares method. A Cobb-Douglas function under the Solow model was considered. Technology and internet access were found to positively affect top-level students and graduate students and thus contribute to the global innovation index. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3202-3210 Issue: 26 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.925079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.925079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:26:p:3202-3210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chen Ling Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Ling Author-Name: David Scrogin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Scrogin Title: Optimal pricing of public lotteries and comparison of competing mechanisms Abstract: This article establishes optimal pricing rules for rationing indivisible units of rival and otherwise nonexcludable goods by lottery or a hybrid of a lottery and outright sale by posted price. Given the distributional objective of maximizing expected consumer surplus, the solutions to unconstrained and constrained versions of the pricing problem may be expressed in classic inverse elasticity form, with the lottery price appearing as an entry fee, user fee or a combination of the two. Numerical analysis of a rich class of private value distributions indicates that sizable gains in expected consumer surplus can be realized over competitive pricing and zero pricing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3211-3223 Issue: 26 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.925080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.925080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:26:p:3211-3223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Cheng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: I-Cheng Yeh Author-X-Name-First: I-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: Which drives abnormal returns, over- or under-reaction? Studies applying longitudinal analysis Abstract: This article combined both cross-sectional and time-series longitudinal analysis to identify that factor anomalies are driven by either over-reaction or under-reaction. The basic principle is, first, use a factor to form 10 portfolios in the t quarter, then observe the average prices and returns of the 10 portfolios for the previous four quarters and for the following four quarters as well. Samples in this study contain all stocks listed in the US from 1990 to 2010. The empirical evidence shows that the reason for the abnormal returns of value (book-to-price ratios, earnings-to-price ratios, sales-to-price ratios), scale and liquidity factors is over-reaction. Meanwhile, the reason for the abnormal returns of growth factors (return on equity, return on assets and revenue growth rate) is under-reaction. The results provide significant policy implications. The anomaly returns of the value, scale and liquidity factors last longer and are more appropriate to be employed for long-run investment while the growth factors are better suited for short-run investment. Furthermore, a more profitable stock-selection strategy can be formed by simultaneously considering the above two types of factors to capture both of these two sources of anomaly returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3224-3235 Issue: 26 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.925081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.925081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:26:p:3224-3235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sule Akkoyunlu Author-X-Name-First: Sule Author-X-Name-Last: Akkoyunlu Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Title: Does the law of one price hold in a high-inflation environment? A tale of two cities in Turkey Abstract: This study addresses the price convergence in two cities in Turkey (Istanbul and Ankara) using annual data over the three-quarters of the twentieth century (1922-1998), characterized by prevailing high inflation rates for most of the period. In contrast to the rest of the literature addressing convergence in price levels with a typical result of extremely slow convergence rates at best, we argue that convergence is much easier detected in growth rates rather than levels of prices. We suggest using the bounds testing procedure of Pesaran et al. (2001) for this purpose. We find a clear-cut evidence on the existence of a common driving force behind inflation dynamics in Istanbul and Ankara - a finding that is in contrast with the results typically reported in related literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3236-3245 Issue: 26 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.925190 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.925190 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:26:p:3236-3245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Md. Al Mamun Author-X-Name-First: Md. Author-X-Name-Last: Al Mamun Author-Name: Guneratne B. Wickremasinghe Author-X-Name-First: Guneratne B. Author-X-Name-Last: Wickremasinghe Title: Dynamic linkages between diffusion of Information Communication Technology and labour productivity in South Asia Abstract: At present, diffusion of Information Communication Technology (ICT) is a significant area of concern for sustainable development and growth of a country. Regions with abundant labour such as South Asia require significant improvements in the diffusion of ICT to achieve higher productivity for their labour, which in turn can increase the pace of economic growth. In this context, the objective of this study is to investigate whether ICT could be used to improve labour productivity for countries in South Asia. This study first investigates the general status of diffusion of ICT among South Asian countries. The initial results based on descriptive statistics indicate that there is a significant gap among the South Asian countries, with Maldives having the highest ICT facilities. Second, using robust panel data methodologies, this study concludes that South Asia's drive for higher productivity of its abundant labour force can substantially be improved in the long-run by increasing diffusion of ICT in the presence of trade openness as well as domestic capital formulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3246-3260 Issue: 26 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.927573 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.927573 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:26:p:3246-3260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sarah Bernhard Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Bernhard Author-Name: Eva Kopf Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Kopf Title: Courses or individual counselling: does job search assistance work? Abstract: How does labour market policy affect welfare recipients and long-term unemployed people? We investigate whether job search assistance (JSA) helps disadvantaged individuals to find jobs and whether courses or individual counselling is more successful in reaching this goal. To evaluate individual employment effects, we apply a quasi-experimental design and construct suitable comparison groups using propensity score matching methods. We compare participants to nonparticipants as well as participants of both schemes directly. Our article benefits from access to rich administrative data from the German Federal Employment Agency. When comparing participants to nonparticipants, results suggest that the individual JSA does not affect participants' employment prospects at all and that the course JSA even decreased their employment chances. At the same time, differences in these effects can be ascribed to programme design differences and to differences in the groups of participants. Therefore, we compare both programmes directly to each other, that is, we use the other programme participants as a comparison group, respectively. We found some evidence that individual JSA performs better than course JSA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3261-3273 Issue: 27 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.927567 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.927567 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:27:p:3261-3273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sebastian Benz Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Benz Author-Name: Mario Larch Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Larch Author-Name: Markus Zimmer Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmer Title: The structure of the German economy Abstract: Exploiting the information contained in an economy's input-output matrix and using the novel approach developed by Fisher and Marshall (2011), we calculate Rybczynski effects and Stolper-Samuelson effects for Germany in 2007. We show how sectoral output and factor remuneration react to exogenous changes of factor endowments and product prices, respectively. These calculations are implemented using two different models comprising one with labour and capital as the classical production factors and one where we introduce patent stock as an additional factor of production. In the former, we further differentiate between a scenario where all production factors are mobile and one with sector-specific capital. In the latter analysis, we measure the impact of innovation-targeting policy action for sectoral output. Positive Rybczynski effects of patents and high-skilled workers are strongest in knowledge-intensive sectors, while other sectors contract. The introduction of patents as a further production factor has only minor influence on the Rybczynski effects of other factors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3274-3283 Issue: 27 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.927568 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.927568 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:27:p:3274-3283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Vera Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Vera Author-Name: Kazuki Onji Author-X-Name-First: Kazuki Author-X-Name-Last: Onji Author-Name: Prasanna Gai Author-X-Name-First: Prasanna Author-X-Name-Last: Gai Title: Are all financial crises created equal? Wholesale funding and two financial crises Abstract: We use financial information on banks from Asia, Europe, North America and Oceania to examine the role of wholesale funding on the transmission of financial crises to bank lending, as well as to study the response of financial institutions in different regions during the crises. We consider the role of wholesale funding during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and Asian Financial Crisis (AFC). Our results suggest that during the GFC, wholesale funding dependence had a negative effect on loans growth across regions, but with substantial regional heterogeneity. The growth of loans from financial institutions in Asia and Europe was consistently sensitive to wholesale funding dependence. Although wholesale funding did not play a significant role in the transmission mechanism of the AFC, a subsample of financial institutions in Asia, who depended more heavily on wholesale funding, experienced a faster loan growth and may have been able to better withstand the crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3284-3299 Issue: 27 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.927569 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.927569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:27:p:3284-3299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hatice Ozer Balli Author-X-Name-First: Hatice Ozer Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Christian J. Murray Author-X-Name-First: Christian J. Author-X-Name-Last: Murray Author-Name: David H. Papell Author-X-Name-First: David H. Author-X-Name-Last: Papell Title: Median-unbiased estimation of structural change models: an application to real exchange rate persistence Abstract: Measuring deviations from purchasing power parity has been the subject of extensive investigation. The most common practice in empirical research for measuring real exchange rate persistence is to estimate univariate autoregressive (AR) time series models and calculate the half-life, defined as the number of periods for a unit shock to a time series to decay by 50%. In the presence of structural change, there are two potential biases in the parameter estimates of AR models: (1) a downward small sample median-bias and (2) an upward bias, which occurs when structural change is present and ignored. We conduct a variety of Monte Carlo simulations and demonstrate that the existence of structural change causes a substantial increase in the small sample bias documented in Andrews (1993). We then propose an extension of median-unbiased estimation, which explicitly accounts for structural change, and apply these methods to estimate half-lives of several long-horizon real exchange rates analysed by Lothian and Taylor (1996) and Taylor (2002). The upward bias from neglecting structural change dominates the downward median-bias for these real exchange rates. When structural change is present and accounted for, the median-unbiased half-lives towards a changing mean decrease and the confidence intervals tighten. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3300-3311 Issue: 27 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.927570 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.927570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:27:p:3300-3311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hernan A. Tejeda Author-X-Name-First: Hernan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Tejeda Author-Name: Barry K. Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Barry K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Title: Dynamic multiproduct optimal hedging in the soybean complex - do time-varying correlations provide hedging improvements? Abstract: Optimal multiproduct time-varying hedge ratios are determined - for a soybean complex - and their risk-mitigating impact is contrasted over single-commodity time-varying and naive hedge ratios. A parsimonious regime-switching dynamic correlation model is employed, with the estimated dynamic correlation matrix among prices varying between two different levels, and the time-varying correlations being applied to the multiproduct setting. Findings obtained are three-fold. First, there is significant evidence that estimated simultaneous correlations among different commodities' prices (e.g. soybean spot and soybean meal futures) attain different values along the time series. Second, there is a substantial reduction in margin variance provided by the optimal multiproduct time-varying hedge ratios over single time-varying and naive hedge ratios, for both in- and out-of-sample data. Third, average optimal multiproduct time-varying hedge ratios for soybean and soybean meal (0.82 and 0.74, respectively; for out-of-sample data) are significantly below the naive full hedge ratio, providing risk mitigation at lower costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3312-3322 Issue: 27 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.927571 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.927571 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:27:p:3312-3322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandra Cavaco Author-X-Name-First: Sandra Author-X-Name-Last: Cavaco Author-Name: Patricia Crifo Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Crifo Title: CSR and financial performance: complementarity between environmental, social and business behaviours Abstract: This article analyses the interactions between various dimensions of corporate social responsibility (CSR) that mediate the relationship between CSR and financial performance. We hypothesize that the absence of consensus in the empirical literature on the CSR-financial performance relationship may be explained by the existence of synergies (complementarity) and trade-offs (substitutability) between the different CSR components. We investigate such relationship using a final unbalanced panel sample of 1094 observations (around 300 firms per year) from 15 countries over the 2002-2007 period. Our results show that responsible behaviours towards employees (human resources dimension) and towards customers and suppliers (business behaviour dimension) appear as complementary inputs of financial performance, indicating mutual benefits and less conflict between those stakeholders. Conversely, responsible behaviours towards customers and suppliers and towards the environment appear as substitutable inputs of financial performance, suggesting more conflict between or over-investment towards those stakeholders. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3323-3338 Issue: 27 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.927572 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.927572 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:27:p:3323-3338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Ribar Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Ribar Author-Name: Christopher A. Swann Author-X-Name-First: Christopher A. Author-X-Name-Last: Swann Title: If at first you don't succeed: applying for and staying on the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program Abstract: We examine households' applications to and participation in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program using administrative records from South Carolina. We model application resolutions with multinomial logit (MNL) specifications where the possible outcomes are acceptance, denial due to income ineligibility, denial due to a failure to provide sufficient information and denial due to other reasons. For cases with successful applications, we model the durations of participation spells using competing risk hazard specifications that distinguish among exits that result from missed recertifications, financial ineligibility, incomplete or missing information and other reasons. The application and hazard outcomes depend on past programme behaviour and observed characteristics. The results indicate that a household's application and participation history affect its subsequent application success and programme tenure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3339-3350 Issue: 27 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.929623 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.929623 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:27:p:3339-3350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fadi Fawaz Author-X-Name-First: Fadi Author-X-Name-Last: Fawaz Author-Name: Masha Rahnama Author-X-Name-First: Masha Author-X-Name-Last: Rahnama Author-Name: Victor J. Valcarcel Author-X-Name-First: Victor J. Author-X-Name-Last: Valcarcel Title: A refinement of the relationship between economic growth and income inequality Abstract: There is mixed evidence in the literature of a clear relationship between income inequality and economic growth. Most of that work has focused almost exclusively on developed economies. In what we believe to be a first effort, our emphasis is solely on developing economics, which we classify as high-income and low-income developing countries (HIDC and LIDC). We make such distinction on theoretical and empirical grounds. Empirically, the World Bank has classified developing economies in this manner since 1978. The data in our sample are also supportive of such classifications. We provide theoretical scaffolding that uses asymmetric credit constraints as a premise for separating developing economies in such a way. We find strong evidence of a negative relationship between income inequality and economic growth in LIDC to be in stark contrast with a positive inequality-growth relationship for HIDC. Both correlations are statistically significant across multiple econometric specifications. Using international data from 1960 to 2010, this article explores the effect of income inequality on economic growth using dynamic panel technique, such as system generalized method of moments (GMM) that is believed to mitigate endogenous problem. These results are strikingly contrasting to the previous estimation results of Forbes (2000) displaying significant positive correlation between two variables in the short to medium term. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3351-3361 Issue: 27 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.929624 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.929624 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:27:p:3351-3361 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhaohua Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhaohua Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chao Feng Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Title: The impact and economic cost of environmental regulation on energy utilization in China Abstract: This article utilizes three data envelopment analysis-based models: a no environmental regulation model, a weak environmental regulation model and a strong environmental regulation model to reveal the impact of environmental regulation on China's regional total-factor energy efficiency (TFEE) during the period of 2003-2010. To take a further step, these three models are adjusted for calculating the correspondingly macro-economic cost of environmental regulation. The estimation results show that at present, the level of China's environmental regulation is relatively low, and an enhancing of environmental regulation would lead to a sufficient increase of China's regional TFEE with an enormous economic cost as its price. That means in China, the nationwide environmental stress is high, and the regulation cost is very huge. Strengthening environmental regulation would inevitably have some negative influences on China's economy in the short run. Based on our findings, some corresponding policies are also proposed in this article. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3362-3376 Issue: 27 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.929629 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.929629 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:27:p:3362-3376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Carlos Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Nicolas Peypoch Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Peypoch Title: Long memory and fractional integration in the housing price series of London and Paris Abstract: This article deals with the analysis of house price indexes from a long-range dependence viewpoint. In particular, it estimates the fractional differencing parameter in the London and Paris house price series recognizing in some cases the potential seasonality and allowing for breaks in the data. Moreover, it analyses the stability of the parameters across the sample period examined. It is concluded that the series are nonstationary but mean reverting in some cases and very persistent in others. Policy implications are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3377-3388 Issue: 27 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.929630 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.929630 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:27:p:3377-3388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ji-Liang Shiu Author-X-Name-First: Ji-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Shiu Title: Two separated effects of employer-provided health insurance on job mobility Abstract: We estimate the effect of employer-provided health insurance (EPHI) on job mobility via a dynamic model of joint employment and health insurance decision in the presence of uncertainty about wage rate and health status transitions. The model is based on a Markov decision process in which a hedonic wage approach provides an economic rationale for the different choices and health insurance serves as an input to the health production process. Including health transitions in the model helps us to understand how the availability of EPHI (positive job characteristic) and holding EPHI (the wage-health insurance trade-off) enter into the individuals' decisions. The model is estimated using the 1999-2000 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey panel 4, and the results show that the 'pure' effects of holding EPHI are negligible, the 'full' effects of EPHI are significant and the degrees of the inefficiency vary between 14% and 25% across different states. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3389-3407 Issue: 28 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.929625 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.929625 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:28:p:3389-3407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. Menla Ali Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Menla Ali Author-Name: O. Dimitraki Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Dimitraki Title: Military spending and economic growth in China: a regime-switching analysis Abstract: This article investigates the impact of military spending changes on economic growth in China over the period 1953 to 2010. Using two-state Markov-switching specifications, the results suggest that the relationship between military spending changes and economic growth is state dependent. Specifically, the results show that military spending changes affect the economic growth negatively during a slower growth-higher variance state, while positively within a faster growth-lower variance one. It is also demonstrated that military spending changes contain information about the growth transition probabilities. As a policy tool, the results indicate that increases in military spending can be detrimental to growth during slower growth-higher growth volatility periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3408-3420 Issue: 28 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.929626 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.929626 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:28:p:3408-3420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Durba Chakrabarty Author-X-Name-First: Durba Author-X-Name-Last: Chakrabarty Author-Name: Levent Kutlu Author-X-Name-First: Levent Author-X-Name-Last: Kutlu Title: Competition and price dispersion in the airline markets Abstract: We use two ticket-level data sets on one-way domestic flights for the US airlines to examine the potentially nonlinear relationship between price dispersion and three forms of competition: inter-firm, inter-flight and frequency competitions. The linear relationship is rejected at any conventional significance levels. In particular, there is an S-shaped relationship between market concentration and price dispersion. This can be a reason for the mixed results in the literature. Roughly speaking, the inter-flight and frequency competitions have opposite effects on price dispersion. Finally, in general, the size of aircraft has a positive effect on price. However, for very large aircraft, the relationship becomes negative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3421-3436 Issue: 28 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.931919 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.931919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:28:p:3421-3436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rafik Abdesselam Author-X-Name-First: Rafik Author-X-Name-Last: Abdesselam Author-Name: Jean Bonnet Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnet Author-Name: Patricia Renou-Maissant Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Renou-Maissant Title: Typology of the French regional development: revealing the refugee versus Schumpeter effects in new-firm start-ups Abstract: In this article, we analyse the relationships between unemployment rates and new-firm start-up rates in France. Using a quarterly data basis covering the period 1993 to 2011, we identify, thanks to data analysis methods, different classes that show different types of development among the French regions. For each of these classes, the existence of refugee/Schumpeter effects both in the short run and in the long run is revealed. At the national level, it appears that the refugee effect explains the dynamics of entrepreneurship in France over the period 2000 to 2011. Necessity is the key motivation for new French firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3437-3451 Issue: 28 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.931920 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.931920 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:28:p:3437-3451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruce T. Elmslie Author-X-Name-First: Bruce T. Author-X-Name-Last: Elmslie Author-Name: Edinaldo Tebaldi Author-X-Name-First: Edinaldo Author-X-Name-Last: Tebaldi Title: The determinants of marital happiness Abstract: This study contributes to the literature by providing an empirical analysis of the determinants of marital and general happiness. The empirical analysis is conducted using US data from the General Social Survey (GSS) and an Ordered Probit Model. We also attempt to overcome the endogeneity problem between marital happiness and infidelity using a recursive bivariate probit model. One of the advances of this study is to show that the determinants of marital happiness differ between men and women in interesting ways. While infidelity has similar effects for both sexes, we find that women have a detectable preference for a traditional division of labour within the household. In addition, social class, religion, age, children and income have differential effects between men and women. In particular, for marital happiness we find diminishing returns from household income for women and satiation for men. Hence, we find that most of the existing literature has left hidden important differences in the determinants of marital happiness between men and women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3452-3462 Issue: 28 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.932047 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.932047 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:28:p:3452-3462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangwon Suh Author-X-Name-First: Sangwon Author-X-Name-Last: Suh Author-Name: Wonho Song Author-X-Name-First: Wonho Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Bong-Soo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Bong-Soo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: A new method for forming asset pricing factors from firm characteristics Abstract: Commonly used asset pricing models do not successfully account for both time-series and cross-sectional variations of asset returns. In this article, we propose a new method for forming pricing factors that are intended to capture the time-series as well as the cross-sectional variations. The new pricing factors are constructed by utilizing a set of basis assets that are associated with firm characteristics. Compared with popular extant asset pricing models, empirical results show that the new model can parsimoniously and successfully account for both time-series and cross-sectional variations of asset returns and significantly improve model performances in terms of various measures: the Jensen's α, root mean squared α, time series regression , cross-sectional regression and the HJ-distance measure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3463-3482 Issue: 28 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.932049 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.932049 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:28:p:3463-3482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: An empirical investigation into the impact of US federal government budget deficits on the real interest rate yield on intermediate-term treasury issues, 1972-2012 Abstract: This study provides new empirical evidence on the impact of the federal budget deficit on the real interest rate yields on intermediate-term debt issues of the US Treasury, represented herein by the ex post real interest rate yields on 3-year Treasury notes and 7-year Treasury notes, two interest rate measures that have received essentially no attention in the economics and finance literature in recent years. This study is couched within a loanable funds model that includes two ex post real interest rate yields, the monetary base as a per cent of GDP, the change in per capita real GDP, net financial capital inflows as a per cent of GDP and the budget deficit as a per cent of GDP. This study uses annual data for the study period 1972 to 2012, a time period that includes 'quantitative easing' monetary policies by the Federal Reserve. Two-stage least squares estimations reveal that the federal budget deficit, expressed as a per cent of GDP, exercised a positive and statistically significant impact on the ex post real interest rate yields on both 3-year and 7-year Treasury notes, even after allowing for quantitative easing and other factors. The study also considers the time period 1980 to 2012 and offers simple robustness testing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3483-3493 Issue: 28 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.932050 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.932050 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:28:p:3483-3493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ting Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Dan Gerlowski Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Gerlowski Author-Name: Deborah Ford Author-X-Name-First: Deborah Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Title: Housing price variability: national and local impacts Abstract: This article examines the influence of national and local forces on housing prices in 20 local US real estate markets during the recent housing price run-up and decline. We use reduced-form panel data fixed-effects models with robust SEs to determine the impact of national and local effects on housing prices in 20 US cities across time. A national home price index and mortgage rate are used to measure national impacts on the local markets. A mix of socio-economic variables estimates local impacts. We find no results indicating that national trends lack relevance in local markets; however, we find wide support for the additional inclusion of local socio-economic factors in all markets. The findings are consistent with an environment in which national polices and trends influence all markets; however local policymakers and investors can continue to expect geographic differences in market outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3494-3502 Issue: 28 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.929628 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.929628 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:28:p:3494-3502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kamila Cygan-Rehm Author-X-Name-First: Kamila Author-X-Name-Last: Cygan-Rehm Author-Name: Regina T. Riphahn Author-X-Name-First: Regina T. Author-X-Name-Last: Riphahn Title: Teenage pregnancies and births in Germany: patterns and developments Abstract: We study the development of teenage fertility in East and West Germany using data from the German Socioeconomic Panel and from the German Mikrozensus. Following the international literature we derive hypotheses on the patterns of teenage fertility and test whether they are relevant to the German case. We find that teenage fertility is associated with teenage age and education, with the income of the teenager's family, with migration status, residence in East Germany and aggregate unemployment. Our evidence supports counter-cyclical teenage fertility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3503-3522 Issue: 28 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.932045 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.932045 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:28:p:3503-3522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Ono Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Ono Title: The government expenditure-economic growth relation in Japan: an analysis by using the ADL test for threshold cointegration Abstract: Based on annual data from Japan for the period 1960 to 2010, we investigate the government expenditure-economic growth relation in Japan by using the autoregressive distributed lag test for threshold cointegration developed by Li and Lee (2010). In particular, we evaluate the validity of Wagner's view and the Keynesian view in the case of Japan. The empirical results presented herein indicate that of these two classical economics perspectives, only Wagner's view holds for Japan. The findings also demonstrate that the adjustment process towards its long-run equilibrium is asymmetric. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3523-3531 Issue: 28 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.932046 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.932046 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:28:p:3523-3531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. D. Pitts Author-X-Name-First: J. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Pitts Author-Name: S. Orozco-Aleman Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Orozco-Aleman Author-Name: J. Rezek Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Rezek Title: The role of supervisors in the determination of wages and wage gaps Abstract: This article considers labour market discrimination by supervisors as a potential contributor to racial and gender wage gaps. Empirical analysis reveals evidence that all workers, except Hispanic males, earn significantly higher hourly wages when working for a supervisor of the same race and sex as themselves. Furthermore, the results suggest that sex has a larger impact on wages than race for workers with white supervisors, while race has a larger impact on wages than sex for workers with minority supervisors. Based on past research, we theorize that the degree of labour discrimination workers face may also be dependent upon the location and size of the firm in which they are employed. However, decomposing the samples by firm location and size suggests that these two factors cannot adequately explain the observed matched supervisor--worker wage effects, which supports the notion that these wage effects are largely driven by factors other than supervisor discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3533-3547 Issue: 29 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.934430 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.934430 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:29:p:3533-3547 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Gatt Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Gatt Author-Name: Joseph Falzon Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Falzon Title: British tourism demand elasticities in Mediterranean countries Abstract: We use the almost ideal demand system (AIDS) model developed by Deaton and Muellbauer (1980) to estimate tourism demand elasticities for a number of Mediterranean countries (Cyprus, Greece, Italy, Malta, Portugal, Spain and Turkey) in relation to tourists originating from the United Kingdom during the period 1963 to 2009. Using the restrictions imposed by theory, we find that the model is able to explain developments in market shares reasonably well, despite the large and at times sudden changes in market shares over the sample period. Our share estimates indicate that while Spain and Portugal managed to keep a stable market share over time, Malta and especially Italy lost market share to Cyprus, Greece and Turkey. Overall, we observe that Italy and Spain have the lowest own-price elasticities, whereas Greece, Portugal, Spain and Turkey are expenditure inelastic holiday destinations. We also improve over the traditional treatment of the AIDS model in the literature by studying the stability of the estimated elasticities over time using recursive estimates. The results indicate that some elasticities are indeed time varying and highlight the potential pitfalls of assuming fixed and stable elasticities over a long period, as is customary in the tourism literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3548-3561 Issue: 29 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.934432 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.934432 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:29:p:3548-3561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Alexandrakis Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Alexandrakis Title: Sectoral differences in the use of information technology and matching efficiency in the US labour market Abstract: The present study examines how the heterogeneity of use of information technology in production affects the probability that an unemployed worker will be matched with a vacancy. Using US time series from 1967 to 2007, I construct measures of dispersion of the stocks of software and hardware per worker across 13 industries. The measures exhibit three waves whose timing roughly corresponds to the diffusion of mainframe computers in the 1960s and 1970s, personal computers in the 1980s and the Internet in the late 1990s. After controlling for other influences, I find that the probability of transitioning from unemployment to employment responds negatively to an increase in either measure. The results imply that by enhancing technical heterogeneity, the diffusion of a new technology may suppress the job finding rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3562-3571 Issue: 29 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.934433 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.934433 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:29:p:3562-3571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Pino Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Pino Author-Name: Ariel Soto Author-X-Name-First: Ariel Author-X-Name-Last: Soto Title: Analysis of wage flexibility across the Euro Area: evidence from the process of convergence of the labour income share ratio Abstract: This article analyses wage flexibility as a factor in the unemployment rate across 12 Euro Area countries. We use extensive evidence pertaining to the countercyclical behaviour of the labour income share ratio to estimate its equilibrium value in the long run. This measure is calculated using a hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curve. Additionally, by using spatial econometrics, we can incorporate into the study the interdependence in the inflation among the countries. As a result, we identify countries that might see an improvement in their employment rates by improving their wage flexibility. We also identify countries with high unemployment that is not a consequence of a lack of wage flexibility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3572-3580 Issue: 29 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.934434 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.934434 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:29:p:3572-3580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jochen Hartwig Author-X-Name-First: Jochen Author-X-Name-Last: Hartwig Title: Testing Okun’s law with Swiss industry data Abstract: Okun’s law postulates a stable relationship between quarterly output growth and changes in (un)employment. This proposition has so far been tested with macroeconomic data at the highest level of aggregation. The article goes beyond that in extending the analysis to industry data from Switzerland, applying a method suggested by the International Monetary Fund. Another focus is on whether expansions in production have become more ‘jobless’ over the most recent business cycle compared to earlier ones. This does not seem to be the case in Switzerland, except in the construction industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3581-3590 Issue: 29 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.934435 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.934435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:29:p:3581-3590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Peter Wanke Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Wanke Title: Insurance companies in Mozambique: a two-stage DEA and neural networks on efficiency and capacity slacks Abstract: This article analyses the efficiency of Mozambique insurance companies using a DEA model. Two DEA models are used and a bootstrap approach adopted. Furthermore, the efficiency scores are predicted based on neural networks. The results reveal that Mozambique insurance companies’ output-increasing potentials are severely constrained, particularly in terms of the ceded reinsurance increasing potentials. Policy implications are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3591-3600 Issue: 29 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.934436 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.934436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:29:p:3591-3600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atsuyuki Kato Author-X-Name-First: Atsuyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Kato Author-Name: Naomi Kodama Author-X-Name-First: Naomi Author-X-Name-Last: Kodama Title: Markups, productivity and external market development of the service SMEs Abstract: During the last decade, economists and policy makers have extensively discussed what types of firms can exploit external markets by exporting and what happens to domestic firms if external competitors penetrate into the home market. Although both theoretical and empirical studies have been dedicated to these issues, few have been carried out for the service sector. Since the service sector accounts for the lion’s share of GDP, the lack of those studies indicates that a large part of the actual economy still remains veiled. Our study fills this gap. We examine whether or not the Melitz and Ottaviano (2008) model remains satisfied in the service sector, using data from Japanese SMEs. From our analysis, we confirm that larger market sizes are associated with higher productivity levels. On the other hand, firms with higher markups tend to develop their business in smaller markets, conditional of the simultaneity between production and consumption. These results reveal that further productivity growth in the service sector also requires markets to be larger and more integrated. In addition, the markup levels become lower in those markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3601-3608 Issue: 29 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.937033 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.937033 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:29:p:3601-3608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Naiwei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Naiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: E-N Hsiao Author-X-Name-First: E-N Author-X-Name-Last: Hsiao Title: Insider ownership and financial flexibility Abstract: This study examines the cash flow sensitivity of external financing (financial flexibility (FF)) of firms from the perspective of the agency by focusing on whether and how insider ownership has a modifying effect on the FF of firms. Given the documented relationship between corporate governance and cost of external financing, insider ownership, an important proxy of corporate governance, should affect FF via the agency cost channel. A review of the US nonfinancial firms from 1992 to 2009 indicates that insider ownership aids in determining the FF of firms. More specifically, results indicate the existence of optimal insider ownership, and any deviation from it causes FF to decrease. In addition, FF is higher when CEO ownership is lower (>0.08%) and this phenomenon is more pronounced for financially unconstrained firms. Furthermore, FF is higher when non-CEO insider ownership is in the middle range (0.12--0.43%) for financially constrained firms, whereas non-CEO insider ownership has minimal impact on FF for unconstrained firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3609-3629 Issue: 29 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.937035 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.937035 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:29:p:3609-3629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Marc Poitras Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Poitras Title: Voter turnout in US presidential elections: does Carville’s law explain the time series? Abstract: We estimate a time series model of voter turnout for 34 US presidential elections, 1880--2012. Employing a variety of econometric techniques, our major results are as follows. (1) A negative and significant structural shift in voter turnout occurs in 1972 and is too large to be explained by the lowering of the voting age. (2) The 1972 shift is the only statistically significant structural shift to occur since the first decade of the twentieth century. (3) Short-term macroeconomic conditions significantly impact turnout, with unemployment having a positive effect. (4) Turnout in recent presidential elections has not deviated significantly from the post-1972 norm. (5) Turnout is positively related to the expected closeness of the election outcome, but contrary to some theoretical predictions, closeness exhibits no trend over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3630-3638 Issue: 29 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.937037 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.937037 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:29:p:3630-3638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jiao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Qingcheng Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Qingcheng Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Author-Name: Xiaofeng Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xiaofeng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Forecasting spot freight rates based on forward freight agreement and time charter contract Abstract: In this article, the lead--lag relationship in freight rates between spot and forward markets and between spot and time charter (TC) markets was investigated. A hybrid forecasting method for spot freight rates was proposed based on the price discovery functions of the freight forward agreement (FFA) and the TC contract. VECM-based models were developed to analyse the relation between spot rates and FFA and TC rates. Empirical results indicate that cointegration does exist between spot and FFA rates and between spot and TC rates. Furthermore, while both FFA and TC rates are helpful in forecasting spot freight rates, the integration of the two can further improve the forecasting performance of spot freight rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3639-3648 Issue: 29 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.937038 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.937038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:29:p:3639-3648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marina-Selini Katsaiti Author-X-Name-First: Marina-Selini Author-X-Name-Last: Katsaiti Author-Name: Amany A. El Anshasy Author-X-Name-First: Amany A. Author-X-Name-Last: El Anshasy Title: On the determinants of obesity: evidence from the UAE Abstract: This article investigates the possible determinants of being overweight and obese in the United Arab Emirates (UAE), controlling for age and education status. We use a novel dataset constructed from survey responses of university undergraduate students. Using OLS, logistic and ordered logistic regressions, we find that male, affluent and nonnational students face a higher risk of being obese (or overweight). The results also show that cultural and geographical factors interact with some behavioural aspects related to lifestyle in determining weight status. Students originating from other Middle East and North Africa countries exhibit higher body mass index (BMI) and odds of being obese with higher frequency of eating out and more computer use. Unexpectedly, fast food consumption and lack of exercise do not seem to contribute to higher risks of being overweight/obese. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3649-3658 Issue: 30 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.934431 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.934431 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:30:p:3649-3658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ainura Tursunalieva Author-X-Name-First: Ainura Author-X-Name-Last: Tursunalieva Author-Name: Param Silvapulle Author-X-Name-First: Param Author-X-Name-Last: Silvapulle Title: A semi-parametric approach to estimating the operational risk and Expected Shortfall Abstract: In this article, we propose improvements to the peak-over-threshold (POT) method and apply this improved method for modelling US business operational losses and estimating operational risks (ORs). In the widely used traditional POT method, the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) is fitted to severity losses, while an empirical distribution is fitted to small to medium losses. Then, the Expected Loss and the 99.9% operational value-at-risk (OpVaR) are estimated. Additionally, the Expected Shortfall (ES) - a coherent risk measure - is estimated in this article as an alternative to OpVaR. These risk measures constitute the levels of regulatory and economic capitals to cover risks. With the improved POT method, the risks can be estimated more accurately than with the traditional POT method. The results indicate that the OpVaR are much lower than the ES and that the larger the tail losses the greater the difference between these two risk measures. Our findings imply that the ES would provide higher levels of capitals to cover risks than would the OpVaR, particularly during crises, and they have implications for the efficient OR management and regulators. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3659-3672 Issue: 30 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.937034 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.937034 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:30:p:3659-3672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Grabowski Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Grabowski Author-Name: Sharmistha Self Author-X-Name-First: Sharmistha Author-X-Name-Last: Self Title: Some preliminary evidence of the impact of the 2008-2009 financial crisis on women Abstract: Beginning in late 2007 and into 2008, a financial crisis originating in the United States spread throughout the world. This article seeks to present preliminary evidence of the impact of this crisis on female labour force participation and the proportion of females working in nonagricultural sectors. A panel data set involving 171 countries is utilized, and the results indicate that the financial crisis led to increases in female labour force participation as well as the proportion of females working in the nonagricultural sector. There are differences in impact for countries of various income levels (low, middle and high). In addition, female political power has also led to increases in the economic participation of females. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3673-3681 Issue: 30 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.937039 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.937039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:30:p:3673-3681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Antonakakis Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Antonakakis Author-Name: H. Badinger Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Badinger Title: International business cycle spillovers since the 1870s Abstract: This article considers the evolution of international business cycle interdependencies among 27 developed and developing countries since the beginning of 1870s, utilizing the generalized vector autoregressive (VAR)-based spillover index of Diebold and Yilmaz (2012), which allows the construction of a time-varying measure of business cycle spillovers. We find that, on average, 65% of the forecast error variance of the 27 countries' business cycle shocks is due to international spillovers. However, the magnitude of international business cycle spillovers varies considerably over time. There is a clear increasing trend since the end of World War II and until the mid-1980s. After that, international business cycle interdependencies declined during the period that was dubbed the Great Moderation and stabilized around the beginning of the twenty-first century. During the Great Recession of 2008-2009, international business cycle spillovers increased to unprecedented levels. Finally, developed countries are consistently ranked as net transmitters of cyclical shocks to developing counties throughout the sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3682-3694 Issue: 30 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.937040 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.937040 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:30:p:3682-3694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhenxu Tong Author-X-Name-First: Zhenxu Author-X-Name-Last: Tong Title: Deviations from optimal corporate cash holdings and the valuation from a shareholder's perspective Abstract: The trade-off theory of corporate cash holdings predicts that there is an optimal level of cash. We test the trade-off theory by investigating the relation between deviations from optimal cash holdings and the valuation of cash from a shareholder's perspective. We decompose corporate cash holdings into the optimal level of cash and the deviations from the optimum. We find that the marginal value of cash for shareholders is higher when a change in cash moves corporate cash holdings towards the optimal level and that this relationship holds for both the above-optimal deviations and the below-optimal deviations. We conclude that the results are consistent with the prediction of the trade-off theory of corporate cash holdings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3695-3707 Issue: 30 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.939374 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.939374 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:30:p:3695-3707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Omer Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Omer Author-Name: Jakob de Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: de Haan Author-Name: Bert Scholtens Author-X-Name-First: Bert Author-X-Name-Last: Scholtens Title: Testing uncovered interest rate parity using LIBOR Abstract: We test uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) using London InterBank Offered Rate (LIBOR) interest rates for a wide range of maturities. In contrast to other markets, LIBOR markets have minimal frictions. Whereas most previous studies reject UIP, we find that UIP holds for several short-term LIBOR maturities using block bootstrap panel unit root tests suggested by Palm et al. (2011) and cointegration techniques by Westerlund (2007). Furthermore, the estimation results suggest that the speed of adjustment to the long-run equilibrium marginally differs across the maturity of the underlying instrument, thus supporting the efficient market hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3708-3723 Issue: 30 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.939375 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.939375 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:30:p:3708-3723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pilar Poncela Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Poncela Author-Name: Eva Senra Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Senra Author-Name: Lya Paola Sierra Author-X-Name-First: Lya Paola Author-X-Name-Last: Sierra Title: Common dynamics of nonenergy commodity prices and their relation to uncertainty Abstract: The purpose of this article is to improve the empirical evidence on commodity prices in various dimensions. First, we attempt to identify the extent of comovements in 44 monthly nonenergy commodity price series in order to ascertain whether the increase in comovement is a recent term phenomenon. Second, we attempt to determine the role of uncertainty in determining comovements among nonenergy prices in the short run. We diagnose the overall comovement using a dynamic factor model estimated by principal components. A factor-augmented vector autoregressive approach is used to assess the relationship of fundamentals, financial and uncertainty variables with the comovement in commodity prices. We find a greater synchronization among raw materials since December 2003. Since that date, uncertainty has played an important role in determining short-run fluctuations in nonenergy raw material prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3724-3735 Issue: 30 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.939377 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.939377 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:30:p:3724-3735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Antonio Lucena Aiube Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Antonio Lucena Author-X-Name-Last: Aiube Author-Name: Carlos Patricio Samanez Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Patricio Author-X-Name-Last: Samanez Title: On the comparison of Schwartz and Smith's two- and three-factor models on commodity prices Abstract: Since Schwartz and Smith (2000) published their study on two-factor model on commodity prices, many studies have used this model and others have extended it. The authors also proposed the three-factor model due to the poor fitting of the two-factor one on long-term futures prices. At that time the authors had only long-term prices from a private source to calibrate, test and compare these models. No public data on long-term future contracts were available. On the other hand, during the last decade the commodity prices soared as did the liquidity of long-term contracts. This means that the interest of the agents in the management of their risk on long-term positions increased the same way and this is the motivation for this study. In this article, we revisit the comparison between two- and three-factor models using public data for short- and long-term contracts (we use up to the 67-month-ahead contract). We also provide a detailed derivation of the three-factor model differently from that of the original article. Following the original article of Schwartz and Smith, we used oil futures prices traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange to calibrate the model. The results show a better fit of the three-factor model for the term structure of prices and volatilities mainly for long maturities contracts, while the two-factor model in most portions of the curve underestimates the risk premiums. This type of analysis is important not only for daily agents negotiating the physical commodities through long-term contracts but also for investment decisions on development of real projects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3736-3749 Issue: 30 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.939409 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.939409 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:30:p:3736-3749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Astrid Cullmann Author-X-Name-First: Astrid Author-X-Name-Last: Cullmann Author-Name: Petra Zloczysti Author-X-Name-First: Petra Author-X-Name-Last: Zloczysti Title: R&D efficiency and heterogeneity - a latent class application for the OECD Abstract: Expenditures devoted to research and development (R&D) are scarce and thus need to be used as efficiently as possible given the financial constraints countries are facing. This article assesses the relative efficiency of R&D expenditures for 26 OECD member countries and two nonmember countries. As countries differ in their national innovation systems and states of economic development and industrialization, e.g. transition economies in Eastern Europe versus Asian countries versus Anglo-Saxon countries, the measurement of R&D efficiency needs to consider differences in the technology of knowledge production. By means of a latent class model for stochastic frontiers, we relax the assumption of a homogeneous technology frontier and model technological differences in knowledge production among countries. Empirical evidence suggests the existence of different classes stressing the importance of accounting for countries' disparities within R&D efficiency analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3750-3762 Issue: 30 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.939410 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.939410 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:30:p:3750-3762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Itthipong Mahathanaseth Author-X-Name-First: Itthipong Author-X-Name-Last: Mahathanaseth Author-Name: Loren W. Tauer Author-X-Name-First: Loren W. Author-X-Name-Last: Tauer Title: Performance of Thailand banks after the 1997 East Asian financial crisis Abstract: The performance of commercial banks and government-owned specialized banks in Thailand is estimated after the 1997 East Asian financial crisis. Commercial banks exhibit increasing returns to scale, whereas government-owned specialized banks exhibit decreasing returns to scale, implying further increases in bank size and market concentration in the commercial bank sector but not for government specialized banks. Cost inefficiency varies by bank and is a function of the ratio of nonperforming loans (NPLs) to total loans, equity to total assets and liquid assets to total assets, as well as the number of branches. On average, banks with fewer NPLs, that are well capitalized and with adequate liquidity are efficient. Thus, stricter rules to regulate credit risk management and ensure capital and liquidity adequacy would enhance efficiency in the banking sector. Although estimated input substitutability appears to be low, labour and loanable fund are substitutes. However, labour and physical capital as well as physical and loanable funds are complements in commercial banks. All the three inputs of labour, physical capital and loanable funds are substitutes for the government specialized banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3763-3776 Issue: 30 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.937036 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.937036 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:30:p:3763-3776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Berna Kirkulak Uludag Author-X-Name-First: Berna Author-X-Name-Last: Kirkulak Uludag Author-Name: Zorikto Lkhamazhapov Author-X-Name-First: Zorikto Author-X-Name-Last: Lkhamazhapov Title: Long memory and structural breaks in the returns and volatility of gold: evidence from Turkey Abstract: This article examines the long-memory properties and structural breaks in spot and futures gold returns and volatility in Turkey. The data cover the period from 2008 through 2013 in which gold prices hit an all-time high. ARFIMA-FIGARCH model provides evidence of dual long memory in spot series and a lack of long-memory property in futures returns. Anti-persistence in spot returns is indicative of an overreaction of gold prices to new information, thus disconfirming the weak form of market efficiency. The findings further provide evidence of one structural break, which is associated with correction in the gold prices during the post-global financial crisis. The analyses suggest that the long memory is true, not spurious. This implies that long memory is a feature of the data instead of an outcome of structural changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3777-3787 Issue: 31 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.929627 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.929627 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:31:p:3777-3787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David J. Mayston Author-X-Name-First: David J. Author-X-Name-Last: Mayston Title: Effectiveness analysis of quality achievements for university Departments of Economics Abstract: When university Departments are under pressure to improve the assessed quality of their research and teaching in several different directions simultaneously, questions arise as to the nature of the corresponding feasible set and the shape of its frontier. When quality is judged by reference to grades whose precise thresholds are subject to stochastic uncertainties, both convex and nonconvex regions of the frontier of the feasible set may be present. The appropriateness of deploying standard empirical techniques of frontier estimation is then called into question in evaluating the relative effectiveness of individual Departments and their scope for improvements. The empirical results of frontier estimation, here applied to UK university Departments of Economics, are shown to be sensitive to the choice of nonparametric frontier technique deployed, with Free Disposal Hull analysis providing an alternative estimation technique that can allow for both convex and nonconvex regions of the possibility frontier. Issues of the endogeneity of the resources available to Departments are also raised in this applied context, with a need to incorporate into the effectiveness analysis the potential feedback effects of improved research and teaching quality upon the achievement possibility set. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3788-3797 Issue: 31 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.939373 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.939373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:31:p:3788-3797 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Serrano-Cinca Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Serrano-Cinca Author-Name: Yolanda Fuertes-Call鮠 Author-X-Name-First: Yolanda Author-X-Name-Last: Fuertes-Call鮠 Author-Name: Bego񡠇uti鲲ez-Nieto Author-X-Name-First: Bego񡠍 Author-X-Name-Last: Guti鲲ez-Nieto Author-Name: Beatriz Cuellar-Fernᮤez Author-X-Name-First: Beatriz Author-X-Name-Last: Cuellar-Fernᮤez Title: Path modelling to bankruptcy: causes and symptoms of the banking crisis Abstract: This article studies the bankruptcy of US banks since 2009. It first analyses the financial symptoms that precede bankruptcy, such as low profitability, insufficient revenue or low solvency ratios. It also goes into the causes of these symptoms. It poses several hypotheses on causes of failure, such as loan growth (some of them risky), specialization (in this case concentration in real estate) and the pursuit of a turnover-driven strategy neglecting margin. It presents and tests a structural equation modelling based on partial least squares path modelling (PLS-PM) and logistic regression. Results show that, 5 years before the crisis, failed banks had, compared to solvent banks, the following: higher loan growth, higher concentration on real estate loans, higher risk ratios, higher turnover, but lower margins. A relationship is found between symptoms and causes. Failed banks present a significant relationship between the percentage of real estate loans and risk. This relationship is negative in excellent banks, confirming that they allocated less real estate loans with a high quality. Nonfailed banks compensated increases in risk by strengthening their core capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3798-3811 Issue: 31 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.943882 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.943882 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:31:p:3798-3811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Chih Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Option smiling when investors' estimates of asset volatility disagree Abstract: This study sheds light on why heterogeneous beliefs in volatility manifest the smile effect of options and how the degree of belief disagreement influences option-implied volatility. It is found that when investors' level of heterogeneous beliefs increases, agents who over estimate volatility raise their subjective probability about those outer dividend states and hence increase more consumption to those states. As a result, an increase of consumption causes a decrease of their marginal rate of transformation in outer states. The raising subjective probability increases the prices of outer states, while the lower marginal rate of transformation decreases the prices of that. However, the influence of the former dominates the latter, causing a fatter tail of the state-price density. As a consequence, the values increase for those call options with high strike prices and put options with low strike prices, leading to a U-shaped implied volatility and hence causes a smell effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3812-3827 Issue: 31 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.943883 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.943883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:31:p:3812-3827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheuk Yin Ho Author-X-Name-First: Cheuk Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Can the baseline search and matching model quantitatively explain Okun's law? Abstract: Okun's Law is an empirically observed, negative relationship between changes in an economy's unemployment rate and its growth rate of output. The baseline search and matching model with stochastic labour productivity fails to match the Okun's coefficient, because it generates a too low unemployment volatility and a too high correlation between labour productivity and unemployment. The model is capable of matching the coefficient if it is extended with an addition of employment separation shocks plus a high calibrated value of nonmarket activities. This article also shows that changes in the stochastic properties of exogenous shocks could explain changes in the Okun's coefficient in the Great Moderation (1984-2007). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3828-3835 Issue: 31 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.943884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.943884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:31:p:3828-3835 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: J. R. Clark Author-X-Name-First: J. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Title: The effects of economic freedom, regulatory quality and taxation on the level of per capita real income: a preliminary analysis for OECD nations and non-G8 OECD nations Abstract: This study of the impact of economic freedom, regulatory quality and the relative burden of taxation on the level of per capita real income/GDP among OECD nations over the period 2003 to 2007 adopts a modified version of the overall economic freedom index computed by the Heritage Foundation (2013), one with the fiscal freedom and business freedom indices removed. This study then provides panel least squares fixed-effects estimates for five linear specifications/models. Each nation during this time frame can be regarded either as a nation per se or as a de facto 'economic region' within the OECD. The analysis first focuses upon all of the OECD nations and then, as a robustness test, subsequently focuses only on non-G8 OECD member nations. The estimations in this study all provide strong empirical support for the three central hypotheses proffered here, namely: (1) the higher the overall degree of economic freedom, the higher the per capita real income (GDP) level; (2) the higher the level of regulatory quality, the higher the level of per capita real income (GDP) and (3) the higher the overall tax burden, expressed as a per cent of GDP, the lower is the level of per capita real income (GDP). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3836-3848 Issue: 31 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.943885 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.943885 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:31:p:3836-3848 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Noureddine Benlagha Author-X-Name-First: Noureddine Author-X-Name-Last: Benlagha Title: Dependence structure between nominal and index-linked bond returns: a bivariate copula and DCC-GARCH approach Abstract: This article investigates the dependence structure related to four French nominal and index-linked bonds with various maturities and reference indices. To achieve this aim, we estimate various copulas to select the appropriate one for our data. We also compare results obtained using the copula method with multivariate dynamic conditional correlation GARCH (DCC-GARCH) modelling. The major issue in this study is that the best copulas used to model the dependence among bond returns are the Plackett and Student models. We also find a dynamic correlation between bond returns. In particular, the relationship between nominal and indexed bonds is characterized by an asymmetric dependence. Moreover, the results obtained by the copula approach are confirmed by those obtained by multivariate GARCH modelling. Our empirical study provides a useful method that may be employed by decision-makers to quantitatively introduce dependence and spillover effects in their bond issuance policy. For investors, we propose optimal investment combinations in bonds with respect to their investment horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3849-3860 Issue: 31 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.943886 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.943886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:31:p:3849-3860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Milunovich Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Milunovich Author-Name: Jelena Minović Author-X-Name-First: Jelena Author-X-Name-Last: Minović Title: Local and global illiquidity effects in the Balkans frontier markets Abstract: We study market illiquidity across 11 national markets of the Balkans. In general, the EU member countries are more liquid than the nonmember countries. Turkey, however, has the most liquid market, while Serbia and Bosnia are the least liquid. Global illiquidity sourced from the US has a strong and positive impact on pricing in eight of the Balkans markets. In contrast, illiquidity transmitted from the EU impacts expected returns in only two instances, while local illiquidity is significant for just one market. Croatia and Slovenia are most susceptible to transmissions of regional illiquidity, each receiving illiquidity spillovers from four sources. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3861-3873 Issue: 31 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.943888 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.943888 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:31:p:3861-3873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: O. Israeli Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Israeli Author-Name: M. Weber Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Defining chronic poverty: comparing different approaches Abstract: In this study, we discuss two methods commonly used in the literature to measure chronic poverty, the permanent income approach (where the chronically poor are those whose mean income over time is below the poverty line) and the spells approach (where the chronically poor are those households who are below the poverty line half of the time or more). We check the differences between these two methods considering also several household characteristics. The index we use is that of Foster, Greer and Thorbecke, FGT, with and . When each method identifies the chronically poor (which could be different individuals by each method) and shows the percentage of the chronically poor, while when the methods also take into account the depth of poverty. Our main goal is to show the differences between the two methods, so that policymakers would have different perspectives on the problem of chronic poverty and could make decisions on this basis. The results show that, in the data used, the permanent method and the spells method classify the households into chronically poor and nonchronically poor definitions almost similarly in some cases. Thus, when measuring chronic poverty using the FGT index with , the levels of chronic poverty measured by the two methods are quite the same for the whole population as well as for subgroups of the population. Nevertheless, when using the FGT index with , the permanent method and the spells method give different results, as they take into account the depth of poverty differently. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3874-3881 Issue: 31 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.946182 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.946182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:31:p:3874-3881 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Potts Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Potts Title: Governance, corruption and Olympic success Abstract: This article is the first to utilize a set of World Governance Indicators published by the World Bank to examine what role, if any, various characteristics of governance played in promoting success in the 2012 Summer Olympics. Although no strong statistical linear relationship is found between any of the governance indicators and Olympic success, it is shown that nations belonging to roughly the top quintile in control of corruption had a lower probability of medalling and received lower medal shares, ceteris paribus. A possible explanation for this reduced success is revealed in that scoring in the top quintile of control of corruption is also associated with fewer anti-doping violations, which may indicate lower rates of performance-enhancing drug use. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3882-3891 Issue: 31 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.948672 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.948672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:31:p:3882-3891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lila J. Truett Author-X-Name-First: Lila J. Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Author-Name: Dale B. Truett Author-X-Name-First: Dale B. Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Title: Cost relationships and challenges in the Spanish apparel industry Abstract: In the twenty-first century, the Spanish textile and apparel industries have faced substantial challenges, resulting in declining sales and employment. This study concentrates on the apparel industry, since its economic challenges and opportunities differ from those of the textile industry. The analysis employs a transcendental logarithmic cost function to investigate the presence of scale economies and the interrelationships among inputs of domestic capital, labour and intermediate goods as well as outsourced intermediate products for the Spanish apparel industry and discusses the implications for its future competitiveness and the demand for domestic inputs. The results are consistent with diseconomies of scale or, in the case of one model, possibly constant returns to scale, indicating that some contraction of the industry due to international competition will not raise unit costs. All of the inputs except for capital and intermediate goods were found to be substitutes. An important finding is that the cross elasticity values of both labour and domestic intermediate goods with respect to the price of outsourced goods have risen over time, indicating an increased sensitivity of the quantity demanded of these home-country inputs to the price of imported intermediate goods. It follows that domestic input markets will be more substantially affected by international prices for outsourced inputs as the industry tries to maintain its competitiveness in the global environment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3893-3906 Issue: 32 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.943887 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.943887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:32:p:3893-3906 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong Xiang Author-X-Name-First: Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Xiang Author-Name: Andrew C. Worthington Author-X-Name-First: Andrew C. Author-X-Name-Last: Worthington Author-Name: Helen Higgs Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Higgs Title: Family ownership, altruism and agency costs in Australian small- and medium-sized enterprises Abstract: Given the continuing uncertainty about whether family firms enjoy lower agency costs, this article hypothesizes that a combination of the effects of family ownership, altruism and self-control is instead at play. To begin with, family ownership can indeed reduce agency costs through better aligning the interests of owners and managers. This is a 'determining' effect in that it independently mitigates one source of agency problems. However, altruism combined with self-control problems arising from the highly concentrated ownership often found in family firms can also increase agency costs. This is an 'embedding' effect as it is rooted in the personal relationships within the family firm. Using the Business Longitudinal Database compiled by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), we find that for larger SMEs (those with 20-200 employees), the gains in lower agency costs arising from family ownership are almost completely offset by the losses from altruism and the lack of self-control. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3907-3921 Issue: 32 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.946183 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.946183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:32:p:3907-3921 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yener Altunbas Author-X-Name-First: Yener Author-X-Name-Last: Altunbas Author-Name: John Thornton Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The (small) blessing of foreign aid: further evidence on aid's impact on democracy Abstract: In an empirical contribution to the literature of foreign aid, we estimate the impact of foreign aid on democracy in a panel of 93 developing economies during 1971-2010. We find that foreign aid promotes democracy, with the result robust to different estimation methodologies and control variables and to instrumenting for foreign aid. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3922-3930 Issue: 32 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.946186 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.946186 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:32:p:3922-3930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Bailey Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Bailey Title: Who pays the high health costs of older workers? Evidence from prostate cancer screening mandates Abstract: Between 1992 and 2009, 30 US states adopted laws mandating that health insurance plans cover screenings for prostate cancer. Because prostate cancer screenings are used almost exclusively by men over age 50, these mandates raise the cost of insuring older men relative to other groups. This article uses a triple-difference empirical strategy to take advantage of this quasi-random natural experiment in raising the cost of employing older workers. Using Integrated Public Use Microdata Series data from the March Supplement of the Current Population Survey, I find that the increased cost of insuring older workers results in their receiving 2.8% lower hourly wages, being 2% less likely to be employed and being 0.7% less likely to have employer-sponsored health insurance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3931-3941 Issue: 32 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.948673 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.948673 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:32:p:3931-3941 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eivind Hestvik Brækkan Author-X-Name-First: Eivind Hestvik Author-X-Name-Last: Brækkan Title: Disentangling supply and demand shifts: the impacts on world salmon price Abstract: To understand price changes, one must determine the relative impact of supply and demand shifts on price. Conditional on predetermined supply and demand elasticities, we retrieve yearly shifts in regional supply and demand. The relative impact on price from each supply and demand shift is determined through an equilibrium displacement model (EDM). This procedure is applied on a yearly basis for the world salmon market in the period 2002 to 2011. The results indicate a large variation in demand and supply growth both over time and between regions. While average annual price impacts from supply or demand shifts from most regions are not statistically significant, price impacts from supply or demand shifts for specific periods are detected in all but one region. This indicates that the use of smooth trend indicators is likely to be inappropriate for measuring supply and demand shifts and their impacts on price. The procedure presented in this article can be a useful instrument for determining the relative impacts of supply and demand shifts on price in any market with unstable price behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3942-3953 Issue: 32 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.948674 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.948674 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:32:p:3942-3953 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Clive B. Walker Author-X-Name-First: Clive B. Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Title: Housing booms and media coverage Abstract: This article analyses news media coverage of the housing market. Building on theories of media influence where word of mouth is the final mechanism of opinion change but media initiate discourse, I examine the relationship between news media and the recent UK house price boom. Over 30 000 articles on the UK housing market from the period 1993 to 2008 are analysed, and it is found that media Granger-caused real house price changes, suggesting the media may have influenced opinions on the housing market. However, media sentiment on the housing market did not change with the secular increase in house prices in the 2000s, suggesting that the media did not contribute to the UK's housing boom and may have helped constrain it. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3954-3967 Issue: 32 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.948675 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.948675 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:32:p:3954-3967 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saša Popović Author-X-Name-First: Saša Author-X-Name-Last: Popović Author-Name: Andrija Đurović Author-X-Name-First: Andrija Author-X-Name-Last: Đurović Title: Intraweek and intraday trade anomalies: evidence from FOREX market Abstract: In this article, we search for the evidence of intraweek and intraday anomalies on the spot foreign exchange (FOREX) market. Having in mind the international scope of this market, empirical evidence against market efficiency (i.e. market anomalies) will have important consequences for the substantial number of FOREX investors all around the globe. We explore intraweek, intraday and interaction between days and hour trade anomalies on the FOREX market over the period of 10 years using hourly time-series data of Euro and US Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate on Swiss FOREX market from 1 January 2004 to 11 January 2014. We compare by analysis of variance test all pairs of mean returns on a daily, hourly and daily/hourly basis. t-Test is used to test whether intraday returns are significantly different from zero. We employ Tukey's honestly significant difference test to explore which intraday pairs of hourly mean returns are significantly greater than zero. We find that intraday and interaction between day and hour anomalies are present in trading EUR/USD on the spot FOREX market over the period of 10 years. The best arbitrage opportunity is evidenced on Fridays, when selling USD and buying EUR at 00:00 and selling EUR and buying USD at 03:00 the same day. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3968-3979 Issue: 32 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.948676 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.948676 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:32:p:3968-3979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xintian Zhuang Author-X-Name-First: Xintian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhuang Author-Name: Jun Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Jiliang Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Jiliang Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Title: The effects of optimism bias in teams Abstract: This article imports a behavioural perspective into a team context to study the effort-coordination problem among agents. Specifically, we investigate how the presence of optimism bias impacts the severity of the free-rider problem, the organizational structure of the team and the compensation contracts offered to agents in equilibrium. The results indicate that all agents become more reluctant to exert effort and the team welfare decreases when some of its agents are optimistic, suggesting that optimism aggravates the free-rider problem in teams. Appointing a team leader makes all agents work harder, and the team benefits more by having the optimistic agent as its leader. These findings are in sharp contrast to the effects of overconfidence as identified in the literature. It is advisable to pay the optimistic agents less than the rational agents. Encouragingly, optimistic agents can learn about their own bias in the long run, leaving their team without too much detriment of optimism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3980-3994 Issue: 32 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.948678 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.948678 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:32:p:3980-3994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeff Luckstead Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Luckstead Author-Name: Seung Mo Choi Author-X-Name-First: Seung Mo Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Stephen Devadoss Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Devadoss Author-Name: Ron C. Mittelhammer Author-X-Name-First: Ron C. Author-X-Name-Last: Mittelhammer Title: China's catch-up to the US economy: decomposing TFP through investment-specific technology and human capital Abstract: We implement a neoclassical growth model that incorporates investment-specific technology (IST) modifying capital investment in the law of motion of capital and bifurcates productivity into human capital and total factor productivity (TFP) in the production function. We focus on the role of changes in the quality-adjusted price of investment goods on China's growth by comparing the effects of IST and human capital on the decomposition of US and Chinese productivity. The results show that both human capital and IST play an important role in the decomposition of US TFP. For China, human capital accounts for an increasingly higher portion of Chinese TFP for the period 1952-2009; however, IST contributes to the explanation of TFP only after the 1979 reforms. The analysis is extended by considering the impact of IST in the consumer's investment decision and by projecting both countries' GDP while modelling unbalanced Chinese growth using catch-up. Our model predicts that the Chinese economy will surpass the US economy in 2024. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3995-4007 Issue: 32 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.948677 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.948677 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:32:p:3995-4007 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. Chen Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: X. Sun Author-X-Name-First: X. Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Urban-rural income polarization and economic growth in China: evidence from the analysis of a dynamic panel data model Abstract: Using a dynamic panel data model and the system GMM, this article examines the relationship between urban-rural income polarization and economic growth at the provincial level in the period 1995 to 2010 in China. The estimated results and significant tests indicate that a certain degree of urban-rural income polarization is beneficial to economic growth at the provincial level in both stages for China as a whole, though the contribution of urban-rural income polarization to economic growth is relatively small. Aggravating urban-rural income polarization has a negative impact on economic growth in China. Based on a cluster analysis of regional economic growth at the provincial level, the authors carried out the same analysis separately for two categories of regions too. The results for those two categories of regions show that positive correlations also exist between urban-rural income polarization and economic growth in both stages, which are very similar to the analysis for the whole of China. In addition, a meaningful finding can be derived that the contribution of consumption growth rate to economic growth rate in the second stage is smaller than that in the first stage obviously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4008-4023 Issue: 32 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.950792 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.950792 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:32:p:4008-4023 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: X. Chapsa Author-X-Name-First: X. Author-X-Name-Last: Chapsa Author-Name: C. Katrakilidis Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Katrakilidis Title: Assessing economic convergence in the EU: is there a perspective for the 'cohesion countries'? Abstract: This article analyses the stochastic income convergence within the EU-15. The empirical analysis uses per capita GDP, in PPP and in constant prices of 2005 for the period 1950 to 2010. Apart from the traditional DF type tests we also account for possible structural changes. In this direction, we employ the Zivot-Andrews (1992) and the Lee-Strazicich (1999, 2003) testing procedures, for one and two breaks, endogenously determined. Furthermore, we apply the Carlino and Mills (1993) methodology proposed for the detection of β-convergence. The overall evidence supports the existence of two discrete clubs, the first by the 'cohesion countries' (Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain) and the second by the remaining members. In particular, there is a clear evidence of convergence within each club, whereas between clubs there is a luck of catching-up effects. Furthermore, investigation of correlation between relative per capita GDP of each country and several factors that are often identified as growth stimulants, namely Total Factor Productivity, FDI, investment and openness confirm, with the exception of Greece, a strong association between these factors and the convergence process. However, progress in the convergence has not been uniform across countries and over time, reflecting the specific interactions between domestic and international factors and their impact on the convergence process of individual countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4025-4040 Issue: 33 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.946185 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.946185 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:33:p:4025-4040 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. R. Kim Author-X-Name-First: J. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: K. Chung Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Regime switching and the (in)stability of the price-rent relationship: evidence from the US Abstract: Present value models of house prices assert that in the absence of self-fulfilling bubbles, a house price is equal to the present discount value of all future rents, which implies a linear relationship between house price and rent, and hence a stable price-to-rent ratio. Using a Markov switching error correction model, we re-examine this relationship in the US housing market and find two distinctive regimes: one with a long-run relation between house price and rent predicted by the present value models and the other in which the relation is nonlinear. Furthermore, we find evidence that deviations of house prices from the present value models' predictions are caused by the overreaction of house prices to movements in rents rather than speculative bubbles attributable to extraneous factors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4041-4052 Issue: 33 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.950793 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.950793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:33:p:4041-4052 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Stevens Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Stevens Author-Name: P. de Lamirande Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: de Lamirande Title: Testing the efficiency of the futures market for crude oil in the presence of a structural break Abstract: The efficiency of the futures market for crude oil has been the subject of significant study, with the basis regression representing a popular methodology. However, the parameters of this model are subject to a structural break, casting doubt on any conclusion regarding the efficiency of the futures market. To address this problem, this article employs a simple generalization which is capable of testing the efficiency of a futures market in the presence of a structural break. Using this approach, strong evidence of inefficiency is found in the one month futures contract for West Texas Intermediate for the period between 1985 and 2013, which is otherwise not detected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4053-4059 Issue: 33 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.950794 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.950794 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:33:p:4053-4059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kui-Wai Li Author-X-Name-First: Kui-Wai Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: An analysis on economic opportunity Abstract: Although economic opportunity is considered as a latent variable, it can serve as another factor in promoting growth and development. Through the construction of an economic opportunity index, this article identifies the extensity and intensity channels through which economic opportunity is created. Data on 24 variables for 184 world economies for the period 2000 to 2010 are collected for the empirical analysis. The methodology involves the use of principal component analysis in constructing three indices for the parametric and nonparametric regression analyses. The country sample is divided into OECD and non-OECD economies so as to examine their different performances. Extensity seems to be the more important channel to all economies, but for non-OECD economies, a higher performance in intensity can enrich the effect of extensity on economic opportunity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4060-4074 Issue: 33 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.950795 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.950795 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:33:p:4060-4074 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Title: Is the pragmatic response to International Monetary Fund quotas and credit limits favourable? Abstract: Under the International Monetary Fund (IMF)'s recently developed pragmatic response, the amount a member can borrow is not determined by its quota. We consider two pragmatic responses that produce a Pareto improvement, compared with the IMF rule: one mandated by the IMF and the other related to the trade of the additional credit limit in the market. Both these responses indicate that the additional credit limit on top of the IMF rule should be positive (negative) for a country whose investment return is larger (smaller) than the average investment return across all IMF member developing countries. The rule for the IMF credit limit does not reflect the demand for credit, which induces inefficiency. The first pragmatic response, which has an appropriately small negotiation and distribution cost per unit incurred by the IMF, may dominate the second one. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4075-4082 Issue: 33 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.950796 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.950796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:33:p:4075-4082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Is export diversification good for profitability? First evidence for manufacturing enterprises in Germany Abstract: This article uses a tailor-made newly available data set for enterprises from manufacturing industries in Germany to investigate for the first time the links between export diversification over destination countries and goods on the one hand and the profitability of the exporting firms on the other hand. We find that profits tend to be larger in firms with less diversified export sales over goods and in firms with more diversified export sales over destination countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4083-4090 Issue: 33 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.950797 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.950797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:33:p:4083-4090 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Santosh Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Santosh Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Emily A. Dansereau Author-X-Name-First: Emily A. Author-X-Name-Last: Dansereau Author-Name: Christopher J. L. Murray Author-X-Name-First: Christopher J. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Murray Title: Does distance matter for institutional delivery in rural India? Abstract: This article estimates the causal effect of distance to health facility on in-facility birth in rural India, taking into account the endogenous placement of the health facility. We find that women living farther away from the health facilities are less likely to give birth at a health facility. Each additional kilometre from the nearest health facility is associated with a 4.4% decline in the probability of in-facility birth. Policy simulation results indicate that providing access to a health facility within 5 km would increase institutional delivery by 10%. Overall, our findings confirm that distance is an important barrier to in-facility births in rural India. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4091-4103 Issue: 33 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.950836 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.950836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:33:p:4091-4103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Les Coleman Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Coleman Title: Involuntary corporate finance: the dominance of history in decisions Abstract: Lagged values of corporate finance decisions are known to be economically important, but most analyses ignore them. This article examines the influence on five key financial decisions of previous decisions using a data set that includes industry census data. It finds that lagged values explain between 25% and 36% of decisions on leverage, payout and investment, which gives them strong predictive ability. In regression of these decisions on firm and industry traits, omission of lagged values leads to a change of around one-third in parameter estimates, and so significantly overstates their impact. The influence of lagged values persists, and for most decisions is significant for several years. Given the stickiness in financial decisions, there are potentially significant analytical problems from ignoring their lagged values. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4104-4115 Issue: 33 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.952889 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.952889 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:33:p:4104-4115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Guo Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: P. Zhang Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: A general method of computing the cut-off point in adverse selection models Abstract: Based on the model set-up in Laffont and Tirole (1986)'s seminal paper 'Using Cost Observation to Regulate Firms', we provide a general method of computing the cut-off point above which inefficient firms should be shut down under asymmetric information. With the help of the transversality conditions in optimal control, this method of computing the cut-off point is directly applicable to other adverse selection models under asymmetric information provided the optimization problem in these models could be written as an optimal control problem. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4116-4124 Issue: 33 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.952890 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.952890 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:33:p:4116-4124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rabindra Nepal Author-X-Name-First: Rabindra Author-X-Name-Last: Nepal Author-Name: Tooraj Jamasb Author-X-Name-First: Tooraj Author-X-Name-Last: Jamasb Author-Name: Clement Allan Tisdell Author-X-Name-First: Clement Allan Author-X-Name-Last: Tisdell Title: Market-related reforms and increased energy efficiency in transition countries: empirical evidence Abstract: Energy efficiency improvement is a desirable response to growing climate change and security of energy supply concerns. This article studies the impacts of a varied set of macro-level market-oriented reforms as well as structural change on economy-wide measure of energy efficiency across a group of the transition countries. These countries experienced a rapid marketization process, which, since the early 1990s, transformed their economies from central planning towards market-driven models. We use a bias-corrected fixed-effect analysis technique to estimate this effect for the period 1990 to 2010. The results suggest that reforms aimed at market liberalization, financial sector and most infrastructure industries drove energy efficiency improvements. We find significant differences in improvements in energy efficiency between transitional Central European and Baltic States, South East Europe ones and the Commonwealth of Independent States. The reasons for these differences are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4125-4136 Issue: 33 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.952894 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.952894 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:33:p:4125-4136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeng-Yan Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Jeng-Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Chu-Yun Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Chu-Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Government bailouts and default risks of a duopoly: strong bank versus weak bank Abstract: A duopolistic loan market includes a strong bank without the problem of early closure that opts out of government bailouts and a weak bank with this problem that participates in the bailout programmes of distressed loan purchases and direct equity injections. A direct implication of our framework is that the strong bank's equity will be priced as a standard call option, while the weak bank's equity will be priced as a down-and-out call option. We find that an increase in either bailout (i.e. distressed loan purchases and direct equity injections) directly decreases the weak bank's default risk but indirectly increases the strong bank's default risk. Accordingly, either bailout contributes to banking stability since the indirect positive effect insufficiently offsets the direct negative effect, giving an overall negative response of default risks to an increase in either bailout. Higher competition by shifting to quasi-competition from collusion increases banking stability under either bailout. Our analysis suggests that competition is aligned with the regulatory objective of improving stability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4137-4150 Issue: 34 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.932048 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.932048 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:34:p:4137-4150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Rude Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Rude Author-Name: Yves Surry Author-X-Name-First: Yves Author-X-Name-Last: Surry Author-Name: Robert Kron Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Kron Title: A generalized double-hurdle model of Swedish gambling expenditures Abstract: This article estimates the relationship between demand for Swedish gambling, income and the other socioeconomic variables using empirical models of participation and gambling expenditure. It also indirectly attempts to account for the effect of a recent recession on gambling behaviour by examining gambling behaviour when the economy was growing versus the period immediately after a major recession. The aim of the article is to analyse the factors influencing gambling decisions. This is done using the double-hurdle method adjusted for the problems of heteroscedasticity and nonnormality using an approach that can handle extreme values and address skewness. The empirical results ruled out Tobit-type models and normally distributed double-hurdle models. The pattern on income elasticities across income classes implies that implicit Swedish gaming taxes are regressive. Income elasticities become smaller after the recession and the decision to participate changed with respect to the several of the demographic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4151-4163 Issue: 34 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.939376 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.939376 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:34:p:4151-4163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joscha Beckmann Author-X-Name-First: Joscha Author-X-Name-Last: Beckmann Author-Name: Ansgar Belke Author-X-Name-First: Ansgar Author-X-Name-Last: Belke Author-Name: Florian Verheyen Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Verheyen Title: Exchange rate pass-through into German import prices - a disaggregated perspective Abstract: This study analyses the exchange rate pass-through into German import prices based on disaggregated data taken on a monthly basis between 1995 and 2012. Our main contribution is twofold: firstly, we employ various time-series techniques to analyse data for different product categories, and also cointegration techniques to carefully distinguish between short-run and long-run pass-through coefficients. Secondly, in a panel data approach we estimate time-varying pass-through coefficients and explain their development with regard to various macroeconomic factors. Our results show that long-run pass-through is only partly observable and incomplete, whereas short-run pass-through shows a more unique character, although heterogeneity across product groups does exist. We are also able to identify several macroeconomic factors that determine changes in the degree of pass-through, which is especially relevant for policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4164-4177 Issue: 34 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.946184 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.946184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:34:p:4164-4177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariya Burdina Author-X-Name-First: Mariya Author-X-Name-Last: Burdina Author-Name: Michael Wright Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Wright Author-Name: Zhen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Is the stock market sticker shocked? A study of market response to recent CAFE regulations in the US Abstract: In response to increasing environmental concerns, to improve energy security and to conserve energy use, the US government has proposed a new round of Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards. Many studies have focused on how the CAFE standard can be met by various automakers that have sales in the US market, and the costs and benefits of the companies meeting the standard. However, the stock markets' view on the impact of the standard on automakers' profitability is largely absent. We study the more recent episode of the CAFE regulation in an effort to try to detect the market response using the standard event study method. Our empirical findings suggest that while the stock market had some responses to the regulation, the large-scale and systematic reaction to the regulation is absent. In addition, the market response pattern to the regulation appears to be tied to the individual company's compliance condition if there is any significant response at all. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4178-4189 Issue: 34 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.952891 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.952891 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:34:p:4178-4189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shenglong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Shenglong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Guifu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Guifu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Empirical research on monetary policy, asset prices and inflation: an analysis based on provincial panel data in China Abstract: In this article, we investigate the dynamic correlations among monetary policy, asset prices and inflation and assess the regional effects of monetary policy in China for the period October 2007 to July 2013. We focus on the interdependencies among monetary policy and asset price fluctuations by using the Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate as the preferred variable for analysing monetary policy movement. In particular, we apply a vector autoregressive model in a panel setting, which allows researchers to examine variations over time or across individual regions. The empirical results presented herein indicate that monetary policy reacts actively to asset prices, although it is still shown to be ineffective. In addition, we find that asset prices display some regional differences in their response to an unexpected monetary policy shock. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4190-4204 Issue: 34 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.952892 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.952892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:34:p:4190-4204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Firat Yaman Author-X-Name-First: Firat Author-X-Name-Last: Yaman Title: Ethnic externalities in education and second-generation immigrants Abstract: I analyse the role of ethnic and native human capital - defined, respectively, as the average years of schooling of ethnic groups and of natives within a specific region - and of ethnic concentrations in the educational attainment of second-generation immigrants in Germany. Compared to natives' children, parents' education has a small and insignificant effect on second-generation immigrants' education. Ethnic concentrations have a negative effect, while ethnic capital is insignificant. The effect of native capital, too, is insignificant but much larger in magnitude than the effect of ethnic capital. For women, mother's education is relatively more important. For men, ethnic concentrations constitute a stronger impediment to educational attainment than for women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4205-4217 Issue: 34 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.952893 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.952893 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:34:p:4205-4217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Monta񩳠 Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Monta񩳠 Author-Name: L. Olmos Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Olmos Title: Do the Spanish regions converge? A unit root analysis for the HDI of the Spanish regions Abstract: This article studies the possible stochastic convergence between the Spanish regions in 1980-2010. The application of unit root techniques to the new Human Development Index recently calculated in Herrero et al. (2013) allows us to show that the evolution of the Spanish economy can be better understood as the sum of divergent forces rather than as a group of convergent regions. Similar conclusions can be drawn when the per capita GDP is used, although these two variables exhibit different patterns of behaviour at the end of the sample. Finally, we also observe that the distance between northern and southern regions has increased since 2000. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4218-4230 Issue: 34 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.952895 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.952895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:34:p:4218-4230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Farla Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Farla Title: Determinants of firms' investment behaviour: a multilevel approach Abstract: This article investigates the determinants of firms' investment behaviour using firm data from 101 developing and emerging economies. A substantial number of firms does not invest in fixed capital or invests little relative to sales revenue. Using a multilevel probit model we study what factors trigger investment, and using a multilevel Heckman selection model we study what factors influence a firm's investment-to-sales ratio. We find that firms' investment behaviour has relatively little dependency on a country's macroeconomic setting. Additionally, we find that, on average, firms that are completely foreign-owned have a relatively lower investment-to-sales ratio. Finally, we find evidence which suggests that the probability of investing is higher for firms located in countries with more control of corruption and we find some evidence which suggests that partially foreign-owned firms located in countries with relatively less corruption have a relatively higher investment-to-sales ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4231-4241 Issue: 34 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.955167 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.955167 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:34:p:4231-4241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Neil R. Meredith Author-X-Name-First: Neil R. Author-X-Name-Last: Meredith Title: Religious service attendance and labour force status: evidence from survey data using count data methods Abstract: I undertake count data estimation with data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 cohort and the Health and Retirement Study to evaluate the relationship between time spent out of the labour force and the frequency of religious service attendance for individuals of working age. I also examine whether being out of the labour force is correlated with the frequency of religious service attendance. Results using Poisson fixed-effect and negative binomial estimation suggest that men under age 50 appear to attend religious services less frequently when out of the labour force. I ascribe this finding to younger men's religious service attendance being related to having work or the pursuit of work. Men between ages 50 and 65 attend religious services less frequently when out of the labour force, which I attribute to serious health problems in later age forcing labour market exiting and reduced frequency of religious service attendance. Women between ages 50 and 65 attend religious services more frequently when out of the labour force, which I ascribe to having more time to pursue religious activity in addition to women's established proclivity to religious commitment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4242-4255 Issue: 34 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.955253 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.955253 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:34:p:4242-4255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert M. McNab Author-X-Name-First: Robert M. Author-X-Name-Last: McNab Author-Name: Diana I. Angelis Author-X-Name-First: Diana I. Author-X-Name-Last: Angelis Title: Does computer-based training impact maintenance costs and actions? An empirical analysis of the US Navy's AN/SQQ-89(v) sonar system Abstract: The United States Navy decided in the early 2000s to replace traditional, instructor-led schoolhouse training with computer-based training (CBT). While employing CBT may produce gains in knowledge acquisition and lower costs for repetitive, low-skill work, there is a lack of empirical evidence whether these benefits exist for more highly skilled Navy operations. Anecdotal evidence suggests that CBT failed to sufficiently prepare new sailors for sophisticated systems' maintenance and operation. To determine the validity of this evidence, we examine how CBT has affected the AN/SQQ-89(v) sonar. We empirically analyse whether the Navy's introduction of CBT significantly altered fleet maintenance costs, actions and training requirements, by assembling a unique data set of ships, locations, personnel, maintenance costs and maintenance actions. Controlling for the Navy's plan to man the system, the number of authorized billets and the number of personnel on board, we find that CBT adversely impacts costs, actions and maintenance hours for the sonar system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4256-4266 Issue: 34 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.955254 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.955254 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:34:p:4256-4266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wai-Yip Alex Ho Author-X-Name-First: Wai-Yip Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: James Yetman Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Yetman Title: Do economies stall? Abstract: A 'stalling' economy has been defined as one that experiences a discrete deterioration in economic performance following a decline in its growth rate to below some threshold level. We examine the international evidence for stalling in a panel of 51 economies using two different definitions of a stall threshold (time-invariant and related to lagged average growth rates). We find that the evidence for stalling is limited: only 7-12 of the economies in our sample experience statistically significant stalls at the 5% level based on any one definition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4267-4275 Issue: 35 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.955255 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.955255 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:35:p:4267-4275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Artz Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Artz Author-Name: David M. Welsch Author-X-Name-First: David M. Author-X-Name-Last: Welsch Title: Childcare quality and pricing: evidence from Wisconsin Abstract: Childcare prices vary dramatically both between and within states. We identify the effects of demographic and provider characteristics on childcare pricing, but focus primarily on whether unique government-provided information on childcare quality has an effect on pricing. Using provider-level observations across three adjacent counties in southern Wisconsin, we find that this government-provided information on childcare quality does not significantly affect pricing. Recognizing that information asymmetry may be the root cause of the insignificant relationship, we test the relationship further within multiple subsamples and with alternative models. Only the lowest quality childcare providers are significantly associated with lower prices in areas that we hypothesize suffer from greater information asymmetry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4276-4289 Issue: 35 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.955256 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.955256 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:35:p:4276-4289 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Kandrac Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Kandrac Title: Modelling the causes and manifestation of bank stress: an example from the financial crisis Abstract: In this study, I model the predictors and manifestation of bank stress during the financial crisis using a Multiple Indicator Multiple Cause model. Unlike most early warning models that predict failure probabilities, this article describes a framework for predicting a broader notion of bank stress that need not rely on regulatory decisions. As such, this method can be easily applied to large institutions, and avoids the complications associated with modelling a regulatory decision such as failure or a CAMELS downgrade. Using bank reliance on Term Auction Facility funds and the out-of-sample incidence of failures and acquisitions, I demonstrate that the measure of bank stress generated here accords with other notions of bank-level distress. Finally, this method catalogues predictors of distress during the financial crisis. Thus, this article can help assess the validity of several recent regulatory proposals. I find that those banks entering the crisis with more Tier 1 capital, more liquid balance sheets, and relatively stable liabilities subsequently came under less stress. These findings support the Basel III recommended increases in banks' capital adequacy, liquidity and stable funding. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4290-4301 Issue: 35 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.955257 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.955257 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:35:p:4290-4301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Dreger Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Dreger Author-Name: Yanqun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yanqun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: On the relevance of exports for regional output growth in China Abstract: Despite high economic growth during the past decades, China is still vulnerable to shocks arising from industrial states. The advanced economies strongly influence Chinese export performance, with subsequent effects on output growth. Using a production function, this article examines to which extent regional GDP growth in China is export driven. In a panel of 28 Chinese provinces, series are splitted into common and idiosyncratic components, the latter being stationary. The results indicate cointegration between the common components of GDP, the capital stock and exports. In equilibrium, exports increase GDP by more than their impact expected from the national accounts. While exports and capital are weakly exogenous, GDP responds to deviations from the long run. A similar adjustment pattern can be detected for most regions, except for some provinces in the Western part of the country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4302-4308 Issue: 35 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.955258 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.955258 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:35:p:4302-4308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. C. Hadrich Author-X-Name-First: J. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Hadrich Author-Name: J. J. Jackson Author-X-Name-First: J. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Jackson Title: Livestock emissions regulation with unknown damages and strategic technology adoption Abstract: Livestock emissions have been identified as a contributor to greenhouse gas build-up yet have remained unregulated in the US. A game-theoretic model in the style of Tarui and Polasky (2005) was analysed where the dairy industry strategically chooses to abate air emissions with technology adoption and herd size decisions while a regulator chooses a tax rate on emissions to satisfy the desires of competing interest groups. This model allows the effects of potential air emission regulation on the dairy industry to be evaluated. Results demonstrate that dairy farms react to the increased cost of air regulation by decreasing herd size rather than investing in air emission abatement technology in the short run. This suggests that incentives may need to be put in place to induce adoption in emissions abatement technology at the livestock level in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4309-4317 Issue: 35 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.957440 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.957440 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:35:p:4309-4317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nannan Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Nannan Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Crowding-out effects of affordable and unaffordable housing in China, 1999-2010 Abstract: Using panel data on housing construction, this article examines the crowding-out effects of affordable and unaffordable housing in China from 1999 to 2010. Applying a dynamic panel model allows us to examine the dynamic interactions between affordable and unaffordable housing constructions when controlling for region-specific fixed and time-specific effects. We analyse whether affordable (unaffordable) housing construction has changed in response to the past and contemporaneous construction of unaffordable (affordable) housing. Our empirical results reveal an asymmetric crowding-out pattern between affordable and unaffordable housing. We also observe that when urbanization rate is lower than 57.39%, unaffordable housing construction crowds out affordable housing construction. Moreover, the crowding-out effect of unaffordable housing on affordable housing decreases with rising urbanization rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4318-4333 Issue: 35 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.957441 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.957441 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:35:p:4318-4333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. Masson Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Masson Author-Name: N. Sim Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Sim Author-Name: L. Wedding Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Wedding Title: Did the AFL equalization policy achieve the evenness of the league? Abstract: In this article, we investigate whether the Australian Football League intervention policies coincided with a more even-playing field in the league, as captured by individual match margins. We find that only two out of the eight major policies implemented over the last hundred years are correlated with lower margin. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4334-4344 Issue: 35 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.957442 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.957442 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:35:p:4334-4344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinhwa Chung Author-X-Name-First: Jinhwa Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Seonghoon Jeon Author-X-Name-First: Seonghoon Author-X-Name-Last: Jeon Title: Portfolio effects in conglomerate mergers: the empirical evidence of leverage effects in Korean liquor market Abstract: In the article, we implement an empirical test on the portfolio effects of conglomerate mergers, using the data of Korean liquor market during the period 1990-2008 in which there have been several important conglomerate mergers between beer and soju companies. We find that the combined company could take the advantage of regional market dominance in the beer market in expanding regional market shares in the soju market. Such leverage effects are differentiated from the efficiency-enhancing portfolio effects that result in the combined company's expanding shares over all regional soju markets regardless of the presence of dominance in the beer market. The common distribution channels of liquor wholesalers seem to play a pivotal role in the combined firm's expansion of dominance in one market into another. Furthermore, we implement separate empirical tests for two subsamples of regionally dominant and nondominant soju companies in order to differentiate the leverage effects of foreclosure from those of toehold. The empirical results show the evidence of leverage effects only for a sample of nondominant soju companies. This implies that the leverage effects of conglomerate mergers between beer and soju companies in Korea had pro-competitive effects in that the combined firm could compete more effectively with regionally dominant companies with the leverage of dominance in the beer market as toehold. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4345-4359 Issue: 35 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.957443 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.957443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:35:p:4345-4359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Mak Arvin Author-X-Name-First: B. Mak Author-X-Name-Last: Arvin Author-Name: Rudra P. Pradhan Author-X-Name-First: Rudra P. Author-X-Name-Last: Pradhan Title: Broadband penetration and economic growth nexus: evidence from cross-country panel data Abstract: This article investigates whether there are Granger causal relationships between broadband penetration, degree of urbanization, foreign direct investment and economic growth using a panel data set covering the G-20 countries for the period 1998-2011. Using our multivariate framework, we first find that all of the variables are cointegrated. Our findings further reveal a network of causal connections between the variables including short-run bidirectional causality between broadband penetration and economic growth among the more developed countries within the G-20. On the other hand, for the developing countries within the G-20, there is evidence of unidirectional causality from economic growth to broadband penetration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4360-4369 Issue: 35 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.957444 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.957444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:35:p:4360-4369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristie Briggs Author-X-Name-First: Kristie Author-X-Name-Last: Briggs Author-Name: Mary Wade Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Wade Title: More is better: evidence that joint patenting leads to quality innovation Abstract: Joint ownership of a patent is most often viewed by firms as a second-best option compared to single, monopoly ownership. However, the results of this article suggest that there may be reason for businesses and policymakers to incentivize joint patenting behaviour. This is because, joint patent ownership is found to positively impact the quality of an innovation (as measured by forward patent citations). In addition, the degree of quality increases with the number of patent owners. Since past research confirms the important links between patent quality and ongoing innovation, and between innovation and growth, those factors that impact patent quality are deserving of attention. Economic research on joint patenting is currently limited, but we hope to shed light on the importance of expanding dialogue on this topic. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4370-4379 Issue: 35 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.957446 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.957446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:35:p:4370-4379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Balcilar Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Balcilar Author-Name: Rene頶an Eyden Author-X-Name-First: Rene頍 Author-X-Name-Last: van Eyden Author-Name: Roula Inglesi-Lotz Author-X-Name-First: Roula Author-X-Name-Last: Inglesi-Lotz Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Time-varying linkages between tourism receipts and economic growth in South Africa Abstract: The causal link between tourism receipts and GDP has recently become a major focus in the tourism economics literature. Results obtained in recent studies about the causal link appear to be sensitive with respect to the countries analysed, sample period and methodology employed. Considering the sensitivity of the causal link, we use rolling window and time-varying coefficient estimation methods to analyse the parameter stability and Granger causality based on a vector error correction model (VECM). When applied to South Africa for the period 1960-2011, the findings are as follows: results from the full-sample VECM indicate that there is no Granger causality between tourism receipts and GDP, while the findings from the time-varying coefficients model based on the state-space representation show that tourism receipts have positive-predictive content for GDP for the entire period, with the exception of the period between 1985 and 1990. Full-sample time-varying causality tests show bidirectional strong causality between tourism receipts and GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4381-4398 Issue: 36 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.957445 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.957445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:36:p:4381-4398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gulgun Bayaz-Ozturk Author-X-Name-First: Gulgun Author-X-Name-Last: Bayaz-Ozturk Author-Name: Tao Chen Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Kenneth A. Couch Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth A. Author-X-Name-Last: Couch Title: Intragenerational mobility and the ratio of permanent to total inequality Abstract: This article provides finite sample conditions for the ratio of permanent to total inequality based on methods of Gottschalk and Moffitt (1994) to be equivalent to the Shorrocks R constructed with a Theil General Entropy Index. A simple test emerges of whether the two measures can be seen as equivalent that reveals the implicit social weighting placed on different parts of the income distribution by the Gottschalk-Moffitt methods. Using data from the PSID and the SOEP for annual income from 1984 through 2006, the condition for the two measures to be equivalent is found to be satisfied in both data sets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4399-4408 Issue: 36 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.962225 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.962225 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:36:p:4399-4408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tine Hjernø Lesner Author-X-Name-First: Tine Hjernø Author-X-Name-Last: Lesner Author-Name: Ole Dahl Rasmussen Author-X-Name-First: Ole Dahl Author-X-Name-Last: Rasmussen Title: The identifiable victim effect in charitable giving: evidence from a natural field experiment Abstract: We design a natural field experiment to enhance our understanding of the role of the identifiable victim effect in charitable giving. Using direct mail solicitations to 25 797 prior donors of a nonprofit charity, we tested the responsiveness of donors to make a contribution to either an identifiable or a statistical victim. Unlike much previous research, which has used only laboratory experiments, we find that the campaign letter focusing on one identifiable victim did not result in significantly larger donations than the campaign letter focusing on the statistical victim. In addition to the role of the identifiable victim, we investigate the degree to which each of our campaign letters affected donors' payments to other concurrent and future campaigns and whether there is decreasing marginal returns to campaigning in the sense that receiving a letter crowds out donors' payments to other future and concurrent campaigns. We find some evidence of crowding out, indicating that charitable giving could be a zero-sum game; however, the treatment letters did not have different effects on other payments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4409-4430 Issue: 36 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.962226 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.962226 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:36:p:4409-4430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meliyanni Johar Author-X-Name-First: Meliyanni Author-X-Name-Last: Johar Author-Name: Jeffrey Truong Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Truong Title: Direct and indirect effect of depression in adolescence on adult wages Abstract: It is well recognized that a depressive mental state can persist for a long time, and this can adversely impact labour market outcomes. The aim of this article is to examine the direct association between depression status in late-teenage years and adult wages, as well as the indirect association, operating through accumulated education, experience and occupation choice. Using the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 data, we find adolescent depression is associated with a wage penalty of around 10-15%, but its mechanics are very different for males and females. For males, about three quarters of the wage penalty is through the direct channel, whilst for females the indirect effect channel is dominant. The indirect channel is driven by lower accumulated education, mostly because depression discourages further study post high school. These results are important because they imply that the association between adolescent depression and wages is stronger than has been estimated in previous cross-sectional studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4431-4444 Issue: 36 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.962227 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.962227 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:36:p:4431-4444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayako Saiki Author-X-Name-First: Ayako Author-X-Name-Last: Saiki Author-Name: Jon Frost Author-X-Name-First: Jon Author-X-Name-Last: Frost Title: Does unconventional monetary policy affect inequality? Evidence from Japan Abstract: Inequality has been largely ignored in the literature and practice of monetary policy, but is gaining more attention recently. Here, we exclusively focus on the impact of unconventional monetary policy (UMP) on inequality. We look at how the recent UMP in Japan affected inequality, using household survey data. Our vector auto regression (VAR) results show that UMP widened income inequality after 2008Q3 as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) resumed its zero-interest rate policy and reinstated UMP. This is largely due to the portfolio channel. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to empirically analyse the distributional impact of UMP. Japan's extensive experience with UMP may hold important policy implications for other countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4445-4454 Issue: 36 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.962229 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.962229 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:36:p:4445-4454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jochen Hartwig Author-X-Name-First: Jochen Author-X-Name-Last: Hartwig Author-Name: Jan-Egbert Sturm Author-X-Name-First: Jan-Egbert Author-X-Name-Last: Sturm Title: Robust determinants of health care expenditure growth Abstract: Our aim is to disclose robust explanatory variables for health care expenditure (HCE) growth by introducing to this field of research a method that is especially well suited for situations of 'model uncertainty': the Extreme Bounds Analysis (EBA). We analyse data for 33 OECD countries over the period 1970-2010 and include - as far as it is statistically feasible - all macroeconomic and institutional determinants of HCE growth in the EBA that have been suggested in the literature. Furthermore, we analyse to what extent outliers in the data influence the results. Our results confirm earlier findings that GDP growth and a variable representing Baumol's 'cost disease' theory emerge as robust and statistically significant determinants of HCE growth. Depending on whether or not outliers are excluded, we find up to six additional robust drivers: the growth in expenditure on health administration, the change in the share of inpatient expenditure in total health expenditure, the (lagged) government share in GDP, the change in the insurance coverage ratio, the growth in land traffic fatalities and the growth in the population share undergoing renal dialysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4455-4474 Issue: 36 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.964829 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.964829 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:36:p:4455-4474 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nan Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Gail Pacheco Author-X-Name-First: Gail Author-X-Name-Last: Pacheco Title: Demand in New Zealand hospitals: expect the unexpected? Abstract: The health care sector in New Zealand has undergone substantial structural reform since 1983 and stands out relative to other OECD countries, with relatively low per capita health expenditure and a high share of public funding. Efficient allocation of resources in this public dominant health system is therefore paramount. This article uses a national database of hospital admissions to predict hospital demand. We find lagged information on patient demand imperative in formulating an easy to implement approach for predictive purposes. Contrasting predicted with actual demand, we construct an indicator of volatility in unexpected patient demand (at both the hospital and the disease chapter level) and assess its role with regard to patient outcomes. There is consistent evidence that when actual patient numbers exceed predicted, patients stay in hospital significantly longer and are more likely to have an acute readmission. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4475-4489 Issue: 36 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.964830 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.964830 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:36:p:4475-4489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sebastian Garmann Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Garmann Title: The causal effect of coalition governments on fiscal policies: evidence from a Regression Kink Design Abstract: Proportional election systems are widespread across countries and often lead to coalition governments. This creates interest in how the form of government (single-party or coalition governments) causally influences fiscal policies. It is difficult to estimate this causal effect empirically because the form of government is not randomly assigned to political units. I overcome this problem by using a Regression Kink Design which exploits that there is a slope change in the treatment probability at the 50% vote share of the strongest party. This method is applied to a large panel data set of German local governments. I find that contrary to the theoretical prediction, coalition governments significantly decrease expenditures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4490-4507 Issue: 36 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.964831 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.964831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:36:p:4490-4507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petros Messis Author-X-Name-First: Petros Author-X-Name-Last: Messis Author-Name: Achilleas Zapranis Author-X-Name-First: Achilleas Author-X-Name-Last: Zapranis Title: Asset pricing with time-varying betas for stocks traded on S&P 500 Abstract: This study uses a novel approach for capturing time variation in betas whose pattern is treated as a function of market returns. A two-factor model (TFM) is constructed using estimated coefficients of a nonlinear regression. The model is tested against the CAPM and the Fama and French three-factor model in the context of time series regressions. The used stocks are traded on S&P 500. The period spans from 1993 to 2011. The time series regression results depict the superiority of the TFM in explaining portfolio returns including momentum ones. We also provide evidence that the particular portfolios employed at the construction of the new model accommodate different fundamental characteristics and different risk levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4508-4518 Issue: 36 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.964833 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.964833 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:36:p:4508-4518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: James E. Payne Author-X-Name-First: James E. Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: The causal dynamics between renewable energy, real GDP, emissions and oil prices: evidence from OECD countries Abstract: This study extends the empirical literature on the determinants of renewable energy consumption in the case of 25 OECD countries for the period 1980-2011. Preliminary analysis suggests the presence of cross-sectional dependence within the panel data. As a result, second-generation panel unit root tests of Smith et al. (2004) and Pesaran (2007) are undertaken to find the respective variables that are integrated of order one. Panel cointegration and error correction modelling reveal that a long-run relationship exists between renewable energy consumption per capita, real GDP per capita, carbon dioxide emissions per capita and real oil prices. The long-run elasticity estimates are positive and statistically significant for real GDP per capita, carbon dioxide emissions per capita and real oil prices. The panel error correction model shows that a feedback relationship exists among the variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4519-4525 Issue: 36 Volume: 46 Year: 2014 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.964834 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.964834 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:36:p:4519-4525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cara M. Marshall Author-X-Name-First: Cara M. Author-X-Name-Last: Marshall Title: Isolating the systematic and unsystematic components of a single stock's (or portfolio's) standard deviation Abstract: This article revisits the roots of modern portfolio theory. Instead of isolating the systematic component of risk by recasting the risk in terms of a stock's beta coefficient, I decompose the SD directly into its systematic and unsystematic components. From this decomposed SD, an 'adjusted capital market line (CML)' can be derived. It is easily shown that the adjusted CML is equivalent to Sharpe's security market line (SML). I evaluate the effectiveness of these alternative measures of systematic and unsystematic risk using empirical data and find that beta often deviates from my systematic risk measure and, in general, tends to overestimate a portfolio's risk. This alternative way of looking at systematic and unsystematic risk offers easily accessible insights into the very nature of risk. Implications include reducing the computational complexities in calculating the relevant portion of a portfolio's volatility, facilitating sophisticated dispersion trades, estimating risk-adjusted returns and improving risk-adjusted performance measurement. This article offers new ideas that may influence the teaching of economics and finance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-11 Issue: 1 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.959652 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.959652 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:1:p:1-11 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin Guo Author-X-Name-First: Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: Causal relationship between stock returns and real economic growth in the pre- and post-crisis period: evidence from China Abstract: This article empirically examines the causality in mean and variance between stock returns and real economic growth in China before and after the outbreak of US subprime crisis. Using a nonuniform weighting cross-correlation approach and the multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model, we found no causality in mean or variance between China's stock returns and real economic growth for the period before the subprime crisis. Interestingly, however, in the period after the crisis, we detected unidirectional causality in mean from real economic growth to stock returns and unidirectional causality in variance from stock returns to real economic growth. These new findings imply that the linkage between China's stock market and its real economy has become stronger in the post-crisis period. The implication of our results is that Chinese policymakers should continue the deregulation and improve the efficiency of the stock market to sustain high economic growth rate in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 12-31 Issue: 1 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.959653 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.959653 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:1:p:12-31 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Tsung-Pao Wu Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Pao Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Are house prices in South Africa really nonstationary? Evidence from SPSM-based panel KSS test with a Fourier function Abstract: This study applies the sequential panel selection method (SPSM) to investigate the time-series properties of provincial house prices for entire, large, medium and small middle-segments of South Africa. Quarterly time-series data were collected from nine provinces in South Africa for different house-size categories over the period of 1978.Q1 to 2012.Q4. Whereas other panel-based unit-root tests are joint tests of a unit root for all members of a panel and are incapable of determining the mix of integrated of order zero (I(0)) series and integrated of order one (I(1)) series in a panel setting, the SPSM proposed by Chortareas and Kapetanios (2009) can clearly identify how many and which series in the panel are stationary processes by classifying a whole panel into a group of stationary and nonstationary series. The empirical results from several panel-based, as well as standard pure time-series, unit-root tests, indicate that house prices for the nine provinces studied here are either stationary or nonstationary. However, results from the SPSM using the panel version of the Kapetanios et al. (KSS, 2003) test with a Fourier function unequivocally indicate that house prices are stationary for the nine provinces under study. Our test results have important economic and policy implications for South Africa. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 32-53 Issue: 1 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.959657 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.959657 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:1:p:32-53 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Riza Emekter Author-X-Name-First: Riza Author-X-Name-Last: Emekter Author-Name: Yanbin Tu Author-X-Name-First: Yanbin Author-X-Name-Last: Tu Author-Name: Benjamas Jirasakuldech Author-X-Name-First: Benjamas Author-X-Name-Last: Jirasakuldech Author-Name: Min Lu Author-X-Name-First: Min Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Evaluating credit risk and loan performance in online Peer-to-Peer (P2P) lending Abstract: Online Peer-to-Peer (P2P) lending has emerged recently. This micro loan market could offer certain benefits to both borrowers and lenders. Using data from the Lending Club, which is one of the popular online P2P lending houses, this article explores the P2P loan characteristics, evaluates their credit risk and measures loan performances. We find that credit grade, debt-to-income ratio, FICO score and revolving line utilization play an important role in loan defaults. Loans with lower credit grade and longer duration are associated with high mortality rate. The result is consistent with the Cox Proportional Hazard test which suggests that the hazard rate or the likelihood of the loan default increases with the credit risk of the borrowers. Finally, we find that higher interest rates charged on the high-risk borrowers are not enough to compensate for higher probability of the loan default. The Lending Club must find ways to attract high FICO score and high-income borrowers in order to sustain their businesses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 54-70 Issue: 1 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.962222 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.962222 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:1:p:54-70 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maha Khalifa Author-X-Name-First: Maha Author-X-Name-Last: Khalifa Author-Name: Hakim Ben Othman Author-X-Name-First: Hakim Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Othman Title: The effect of conservatism on cost of capital: MENA evidence Abstract: The purpose of this article is to investigate the economic consequences of accounting conservatism in the Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) region. In particular, motivated by the lack of such studies in the context of emerging countries, we empirically examine the effect of conditional conservatism on firms' cost of equity capital. Using a sample of firms pertaining to 13 MENA countries during the period 2004-2007, we conduct three sets of tests. First, we assess the existence of conservatism in our sample following the model of Basu (1997). Second, we examine the association between conservatism and cost of equity capital. Third, we test the effect of two disaggregated measures of conservatism - conservatism with respect to bad news (BNEWS) and conservatism with respect to good news (GNEWS) on the cost of equity. Results suggest that, overall firms in MENA region adopt conservative reporting. Furthermore, as predicted we find a negative association between conditional conservatism and the cost of equity capital. This evidence is robust to time series changes of variables and cross-country differences. The results also report a negative association between the two disaggregated measures of conservatism and the cost of equity capital. Our article gives additional light on the benefits of accounting conservatism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 71-87 Issue: 1 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.962223 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.962223 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:1:p:71-87 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos頌uis Miralles-Quir󳠍 Author-X-Name-First: Jos頌uis Author-X-Name-Last: Miralles-Quir󳠍 Author-Name: Mar𨁤el Mar Miralles-Quir󳠍 Author-X-Name-First: Mar𨁤el Mar Author-X-Name-Last: Miralles-Quir󳠍 Author-Name: Julio Daza-Izquierdo Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Daza-Izquierdo Title: Intraday patterns and trading strategies in the Spanish stock market Abstract: Different rating and investment companies have recently pointed out Spain's brightening growth outlook, which has energized the Spanish stock market. By anticipating greater interest in the behaviour of the Spanish stock market, we show that the best trading strategy is that in which the investor enters long or short after the opening of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) till the end of the trading day at 17:30. This strategy should be complemented with that of entering long or short from the opening of the trading day till the closing price before the opening of the NYSE in no-coincidence phases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 88-99 Issue: 1 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.962224 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.962224 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:1:p:88-99 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hem C. Basnet Author-X-Name-First: Hem C. Author-X-Name-Last: Basnet Author-Name: Subhash C. Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Subhash C. Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Puneet Vatsa Author-X-Name-First: Puneet Author-X-Name-Last: Vatsa Title: Monetary policy synchronization in the ASEAN-5 region: an exchange rate perspective Abstract: In light of the long-standing vision of economic and monetary integration in the ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) region and the importance of coordinating monetary policies to achieve it, the objective of this article is to assess the monetary policy synchronization among the founding members of the ASEAN, that is, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand. Due to the importance of exchange rate movements to monetary policies, we approach this issue from a currency exchange rate perspective. Specifically, multivariate trend-cycle decomposition is employed to investigate common trends and common cycles among the exchange rates of these countries during the period 1976-2012. Our analysis reveals that the real exchange rates of Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand share common cycles in the short term and have common trends in the long term, but the Indonesian currency does not share these relationships. Thus, our results augur well for the synchronization of monetary policies among Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand. In contrast, the relatively turbulent dynamics of the Indonesian rupiah evident in frequent bouts of stark depreciation separated by periods of steady depreciation over the past three decades raise questions regarding the readiness of Indonesia for participating in a monetary alliance with the ASEAN-4 nations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 100-112 Issue: 1 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.962228 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.962228 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:1:p:100-112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Author-Name: Mohammad Arzaghi Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Arzaghi Author-Name: Ilker Kaya Author-X-Name-First: Ilker Author-X-Name-Last: Kaya Title: On the accuracy of Blue Chip forecasts of interest rates and country risk premiums Abstract: We examine the accuracy of Blue Chip forecasts of short- and long-term interest rates and country risk premiums for the Eurozone and six other industrial countries for 1999-2008. In so doing, we utilize comparable random walk forecasts as benchmarks. Consistent with the efficient market hypothesis, the long-term interest rate forecasts fail to outperform the random walk. Our findings on the accuracy of short-term interest rate forecasts are, however, mixed. Further results reveal that Blue Chip is more (less) accurate in predicting country risk premiums associated with short-term (long-term) interest rates. Such evidence is reasonable since the short-term country risk premiums contain only the perceived default risk, while the long-term risk premiums, in addition, can contain the perceived inflation and exchange rate differentials. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 113-122 Issue: 2 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.959656 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.959656 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:2:p:113-122 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Noton Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Noton Title: On the size of home bias Abstract: Home bias in consumption refers to consumers strongly preferring domestic over foreign products. However, if the products were to be differentiated, would there then be a taste for country of origin? If this were the case, what would be the market shares if consumers were to only value prices and characteristics and not the brand's nationality? Using a structural demand, we account for home bias in the European car market and compute the counterfactual market shares in the absence of home bias. We find that home-biased preferences explain more than half of the market shares of domestic car manufacturers in their domestic markets, limiting the role of trade frictions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 123-128 Issue: 2 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.964832 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.964832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:2:p:123-128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianfranco Gianfelice Author-X-Name-First: Gianfranco Author-X-Name-Last: Gianfelice Author-Name: Giuseppe Marotta Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Marotta Author-Name: Costanza Torricelli Author-X-Name-First: Costanza Author-X-Name-Last: Torricelli Title: A liquidity risk index as a regulatory tool for systemically important banks? An empirical assessment across two financial crises Abstract: We provide an empirical assessment of the suggestion, based on Severo (2012), to use a systemic liquidity risk index (SLRI) for estimating liquidity premia that could be charged on large banks as a compensation for the implicit liquidity support obtained from public authorities (Blancher et al., 2013). To this end we compute, over the period January 2004-December 2012, a parsimonious and fully documented SLRI. We also investigate its statistical significance in explaining the level and variability of stock returns for a group of large international banks across the subprime and the Eurozone sovereign debt crises. Main findings are two: our more parsimonious SLRI is close to Severo's but provides a stronger signal of liquidity stress and recovery episodes; we consistently fail to detect, within and across the two crises, a stable group of banks among the global systemically important ones listed by the Financial Stability Board. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 129-147 Issue: 2 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.967379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.967379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:2:p:129-147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason Barr Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Barr Author-Name: Bruce Mizrach Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Mizrach Author-Name: Kusum Mundra Author-X-Name-First: Kusum Author-X-Name-Last: Mundra Title: Skyscraper height and the business cycle: separating myth from reality Abstract: This article is the first to rigorously test how skyscraper height and output co-move. Because builders can use their buildings for nonrational or nonpecuniary gains, it is widely believed that height competition occurs near the business cycle peaks. This would suggest that extreme building height is a leading indicator of GDP, since the tallest buildings are likely to be completed at or near the peak of a cycle. To test these claims, first we look at both the announcement and the completion dates for record-breaking buildings and find there is very little correlation with the business cycle. Second, cointegration and Granger causality tests show that while height and output are cointegrated, height does not Granger cause output. These results are robust for the United States, Canada, China and Hong Kong. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 148-160 Issue: 2 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.967380 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.967380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:2:p:148-160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joaquim Murillo Author-X-Name-First: Joaquim Author-X-Name-Last: Murillo Author-Name: Javier Roman𓐊Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Roman𓐊Author-Name: Jordi Suri񡣨 Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Suri񡣨 Title: The Business Excellence Attraction Composite Index (BEACI) in small areas. Design and application to the municipalities of the Barcelona province Abstract: The location of economic activity, in general, and the ones of business excellence (high-tech or knowledge-intensive businesses that have a low environmental impact), in particular, is not dependent on one single factor, but rather on a series of economic, geographical, social and political variables. The aim of this article is to design a composite index for assessing the capacity to attract this kind of economic activity for small areas. As a case study, we have calculated this index for 26 of the main municipalities in the province of Barcelona (Spain). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 161-179 Issue: 2 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.967381 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.967381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:2:p:161-179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Denise Doiron Author-X-Name-First: Denise Author-X-Name-Last: Doiron Author-Name: Denzil G. Fiebig Author-X-Name-First: Denzil G. Author-X-Name-Last: Fiebig Author-Name: Meliyanni Johar Author-X-Name-First: Meliyanni Author-X-Name-Last: Johar Author-Name: Agne Suziedelyte Author-X-Name-First: Agne Author-X-Name-Last: Suziedelyte Title: Does self-assessed health measure health? Abstract: Despite concerns about reporting biases and interpretation, self-assessed health (SAH) remains the measure of health most used by researchers, in part reflecting its ease of collection and in part the observed correlation between SAH and objective measures of health. Using a unique Australian data set, which consists of survey data linked to administrative individual medical records, we present empirical evidence demonstrating that SAH indeed predicts future health, as measured by hospitalizations, out-of-hospital medical services and prescription drugs. Our large sample size allows very disaggregate analysis and we find that SAH predicts more serious, chronic illnesses better than less serious illnesses. Finally, we compare the predictive power of SAH relative to administrative data and an extensive set of self-reported health measures; SAH does not add to the predictive power of future utilization when the administrative data is included and improves prediction only marginally when the extensive survey-based health measures are included. Clearly there is value in the more extensive survey and administrative health data as well as greater cost of collection. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 180-194 Issue: 2 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.967382 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.967382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:2:p:180-194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salvatore Di Falco Author-X-Name-First: Salvatore Author-X-Name-Last: Di Falco Author-Name: Erwin Bulte Author-X-Name-First: Erwin Author-X-Name-Last: Bulte Title: Does social capital affect investment in human capital? Family ties and schooling decisions Abstract: We analyse whether traditional sharing norms within kinship networks affect education decisions of poor black households in KwaZulu-Natal. Theory predicts that the size of the kinship network ambiguously impacts on the incentive to invest in human capital (due to opposing 'empathy' and 'free-rider' effects). Our empirical analysis, based on a range of different estimators, suggests the latter effect dominates: forced solidarity within the network discourages investments in human capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 195-205 Issue: 2 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.967383 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.967383 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:2:p:195-205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Patrick T. Kanda Author-X-Name-First: Patrick T. Author-X-Name-Last: Kanda Author-Name: Mampho P. Modise Author-X-Name-First: Mampho P. Author-X-Name-Last: Modise Author-Name: Alessia Paccagnini Author-X-Name-First: Alessia Author-X-Name-Last: Paccagnini Title: DSGE model-based forecasting of modelled and nonmodelled inflation variables in South Africa Abstract: Inflation forecasts are a key ingredient for monetary policy-making - especially in an inflation targeting country such as South Africa. Generally, a typical Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) only includes a core set of variables. As such, other variables, for example alternative measures of inflation that might be of interest to policy-makers, do not feature in the model. Given this, we implement a closed-economy New Keynesian DSGE model-based procedure which includes variables that do not explicitly appear in the model. We estimate such a model using an in-sample covering 1971Q2 to 1999Q4 and generate recursive forecasts over 2000Q1 to 2011Q4. The hybrid DSGE performs extremely well in forecasting inflation variables (both core and nonmodelled) in comparison with forecasts reported by other models such as AR(1). In addition, based on ex-ante forecasts over the period 2012Q1-2013Q4, we find that the DSGE model performs better than the AR(1) counterpart in forecasting actual GDP deflator inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 207-221 Issue: 3 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.959707 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.959707 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:3:p:207-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gail Pacheco Author-X-Name-First: Gail Author-X-Name-Last: Pacheco Author-Name: Barrett Owen Author-X-Name-First: Barrett Author-X-Name-Last: Owen Title: Moving through the political participation hierarchy: a focus on personal values Abstract: This study empirically explores the determinants of political participation. Using data from the European Social Survey, we investigate the relationship between political participation and personal values, using the Schwartz (1992) values inventory. A political participation hierarchy is theorized, and activities are categorized into four levels of participation (none, weak, medium and strong), based on the cost of participating and how unconventional the activity is. Empirical analysis points to individuals who are more open to change and more self-transcendent, being more likely to participate. Sub-sample analysis, contrasting East and West Europe, suggests that the role for personal values is more subdued in the East, with respect to moving individuals from not participating to at least voting. Furthermore, the use of a generalized ordered logit model in this study illustrates the complex nature of many of the determinants of political participation. In particular, we find that the influence of the majority of individual characteristics is not monotonic in nature, as you move up through the political participation hierarchy. These findings are important for researchers and policy-makers who may be interested in understanding determinants of and/or enhancing the level of political participation in an economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 222-238 Issue: 3 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.967384 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.967384 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:3:p:222-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mar𨁂el鮠Lozano Author-X-Name-First: Mar𨁂el鮠 Author-X-Name-Last: Lozano Author-Name: Simone Caltabiano Author-X-Name-First: Simone Author-X-Name-Last: Caltabiano Title: Cross institutional cash and dividend policies: focusing on Brazilian firms Abstract: This article analyses the determinants of cash holding and dividends and the relation existing between them in the institutional framework of Brazil, an emerging market on the world scenario. It also presents specific cultural and institutional characteristics. Through the panel data methodology, we show how peculiar the behaviour of Brazilian firms is, surprisingly quite different from the traditional theories and stereotypes. It was found that they have lower cash holdings and pay higher dividends compared to the UK market. In addition, analysis of the relation between these two policies showed a positive relation, together with other closely related items such as the relevant effect of profitability and investment opportunities. All this leads us to confirm the importance of the institutional framework in the financial decisions taken in the Brazilian market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 239-254 Issue: 3 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.967516 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.967516 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:3:p:239-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ky-Hyang Yuhn Author-X-Name-First: Ky-Hyang Author-X-Name-Last: Yuhn Author-Name: Sang Bong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sang Bong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Joo Ha Nam Author-X-Name-First: Joo Ha Author-X-Name-Last: Nam Title: Bubbles and the Weibull distribution: was there an explosive bubble in US stock prices before the global economic crisis? Abstract: Existing studies on bubbles have been mainly concerned with investigating the stationarity properties of stock prices and market fundamentals. We develop a new method of testing for bubbles that relates the bubble component of stock prices to the probability of bursting in the context of the Weibull distribution. There were several eruptions and subsequent collapses of seeming bubbles over the past three decades: 1987 (Black Monday), 2000 (information technology (IT) boom) and 2007 (housing market boom). Using US monthly data for the S&P 500 and NASDAQ series, we have found that the S&P 500 series contained an explosive bubble only during the boom of the housing market that occurred before the 2007 global economic crisis, and the NASDAQ market contained an explosive bubble during the surge of stock prices peaking in 1987 and 2007, although our stationarity tests fail to detect the bubbles. No bubble was found in both the S&P and NASDAQ series during the 2000 IT boom. Our evidence corroborates the criticism that the traditional unit root and cointegration tests may not be able to detect some important class of bubbles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 255-271 Issue: 3 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.969824 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.969824 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:3:p:255-271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Prem G. Mathew Author-X-Name-First: Prem G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mathew Author-Name: H. Semih Yildirim Author-X-Name-First: H. Semih Author-X-Name-Last: Yildirim Title: Does director affiliation lead to analyst bias? Abstract: This study examines the ability of security analysts to provide objective earnings forecasts for firms with which the analyst's brokerage firm has a director affiliation. The affiliation that we examine is where the brokerage firm has, on its board of directors, a director or an upper management individual from the firm which an analyst at the brokerage firm provides coverage. We find that affiliated analysts tend to provide earnings forecasts that are insignificantly different from unaffiliated analysts in terms of accuracy. However, we also find that forecasts provided by affiliated analysts tend to be significantly more pessimistic than those provided by their unaffiliated counterparts. This pessimistic bias in their earnings forecast will more easily allow the covered firm to beat earnings expectations when earnings are realized. We find that this bias surfaced after the Global Settlement decision, an enforcement agreement between large investment banks and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding issues surrounding conflicts of interest. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 272-287 Issue: 3 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.969825 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.969825 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:3:p:272-287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Sarmiento-Sabogal Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Sarmiento-Sabogal Author-Name: M. Sadeghi Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sadeghi Title: Estimating the cost of equity for private firms using accounting fundamentals Abstract: Finance literature suggests the use of the Accounting Beta (BACC) as a proxy for the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) market beta to estimate the cost of equity capital when the stock price is not available. Previous researchers have aimed to achieve this objective by determining the correlation between accounting variables and the market beta. However, the magnitude of the resulting error in this correlation has remained unknown. The current study is an attempt to test the performance of the BACC as a proxy measure for the market risk and to examine the extent of the statistical error in the correlation between these two measures. Our findings indicate that BACC overestimates the market beta by between 20% and 50%. Applying some corrective measures, such as operational earnings scaled by equity, may lessen this difference to a range of 22%-25%; however, it does not eliminate the error. Our output also suggests that the BACC might be biased when used to assess the risk of small firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 288-301 Issue: 3 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.969826 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.969826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:3:p:288-301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Riccardo Cimini Author-X-Name-First: Riccardo Author-X-Name-Last: Cimini Title: How has the financial crisis affected earnings management? A European study Abstract: The article aims to investigate whether and how in the European Union (EU), the burst of the 2008 financial crisis affected misrepresentation of financial information due to earnings management. By analysing a sample of 11 844 firm-year observations listed in the EU over the period 2006-2012, an event study methodology allows us to calculate and compare country-by-country abnormal accruals over the estimation period and over the event period. Our findings validate our research hypothesis and suggest a decrease of misrepresentation in the large majority of the European countries after the burst of the financial crisis. The results take part in the debate in the accounting literature about the change of earnings management over a financial crisis and have several implications for standard setters and regulators that could learn how the common incentives of entities to attract potential investors during a crisis could lead them to provide a high-quality financial reporting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 302-317 Issue: 3 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.969828 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.969828 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:3:p:302-317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Mattana Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Mattana Author-Name: Filippo Petroni Author-X-Name-First: Filippo Author-X-Name-Last: Petroni Author-Name: Stefania Patrizia Sonia Rossi Author-X-Name-First: Stefania Patrizia Sonia Author-X-Name-Last: Rossi Title: A test for the too-big-to-fail hypothesis for European banks during the financial crisis Abstract: Motivated by the theoretical prediction of the opportunistic behaviour of large banks that face expected public intervention, we test a full and a partial form of the too-big-to-fail (TBTF) hypothesis. The full form of the hypothesis implies the increase in the risk undertakings and profitability of banks that exceed a certain dimension; the partial form of the hypothesis implies only an augmented risk appetite of large banks compared to their smaller counterparts. The examined area is the European banking industry, whose behaviour is observed over the first wave of the present financial crisis (2007/09). The estimation of a quadratic fit that links change in a bank's credit risk profile and profitability retention rates with a bank's size suggests the existence of a partial form of the TBTF hypothesis. However, a more precise, local rolling windows estimation of the size sensitivities reveals that large banks - those whose liabilities exceed approximately 2% of the country of origin's GDP (15% of our sample) - show an increase in credit risk profile and a superior capability of retaining higher ROA scores, vis-୶is their smaller counterparts. With the caveats of our investigation, we interpret these results as evidence of a full form of the TBTF hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 319-332 Issue: 4 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.959654 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.959654 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:4:p:319-332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gisung Moon Author-X-Name-First: Gisung Author-X-Name-Last: Moon Author-Name: Hongbok Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hongbok Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Doug Waggle Author-X-Name-First: Doug Author-X-Name-Last: Waggle Title: The effect of debt capacity on the long-term stock returns of debt-free firms Abstract: This article examines the long-term stock market performance of debt-free firms with high and low levels of debt capacity to see whether they are different. We use Fama and French's (1993) three-factor and Carhart's (1997) four-factor models to examine the subsequent 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5-year stock returns of firms that stayed debt free for 3- and 5-year periods. We measure debt capacity as the expected asset liquidation value of a firm, which is proxied by the firm-level tangibility measure defined by Berger, Ofek, and Swary (1996). We find that regardless of the level of debt capacity, zero-debt firms generate positive abnormal returns in the long run after controlling for key risk factors. We also find support for the notion that preserving debt capacity in the form of higher tangibility reinforces the positive abnormal returns over and above the effect of a zero-leverage policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 333-345 Issue: 4 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.959655 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.959655 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:4:p:333-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephanie Parsons Author-X-Name-First: Stephanie Author-X-Name-Last: Parsons Author-Name: Nicholas Rohde Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Rohde Title: The hot hand fallacy re-examined: new evidence from the English Premier League Abstract: Previous studies have illustrated human misperceptions of randomness and resultant suboptimal decision-making with reference to the 'hot hand' or momentum effect in sport, the notion of serial dependency between outcomes. However, issues of omitted variables bias have plagued many due to a reliance on nonparametric techniques or basic regression models. This article examines across-game and within-game momentum in the English Premier League (EPL) football competition using fixed effects regressions to control for time-invariant heterogeneity in conjunction with traditional nonparametric techniques. Although the results show evidence of performance reversal following winning streaks, no such evidence is found for streaks of draws or losses or in goal-scoring performance within games. This suggests that momentum is better suited as a post hoc label of performance than a robust causal phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 346-357 Issue: 4 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.969830 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.969830 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:4:p:346-357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minjung Kang Author-X-Name-First: Minjung Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Jin Wook Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jin Wook Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Ho-Young Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Young Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Myung-Gun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Myung-Gun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Financial statement comparability and audit efficiency: evidence from South Korea Abstract: In this study, we examine the effect of financial statement comparability on audit hours, which we use as a proxy for audit efficiency. We examine the hours worked by auditors in completing 2322 audits in Korea between 2006 and 2010. Audit efficiency can be determined by the total audit effort required to achieve a successful audit. Using a sample consisting of firms maintaining a certain level of audit quality, we investigate whether financial statement comparability reduces audit hours. We find that comparability is negatively associated with audit hours. In addition, we find that the effect of comparability on audit hours is attenuated for firms that are 'highly followed' by financial analysts. This study contributes to the literature by proposing a possible way to improve audit efficiency from a unique perspective. While prior studies show that a client's inherent risk and control risk lower audit efficiency, the results of this study show that comparability between financial statements facilitates audit efficiency. Improvements in audit efficiency reduce the opportunity costs associated with audit effort and thereby enable auditors to spend more time and effort focusing on high-risk engagements. Comparability is one of four qualitative characteristics of accounting information included in accounting conceptual frameworks. Despite the importance of comparability, there is very little research on its benefits. This study makes a unique contribution by measuring audit effort using a large database of audit hours worked by auditors in Korean firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 358-373 Issue: 4 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.972543 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.972543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:4:p:358-373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Khang Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Khang Author-Name: T. D. King Author-X-Name-First: T. D. Author-X-Name-Last: King Title: Capital market access and corporate loan structure Abstract: In this article, we use a sample of 14 075 loan packages issued between 1993 and 2007 to examine if borrower access to external capital markets influences corporate loan structure. We classify firms into three access categories: private, unrated public and rated public. Private firms have the lowest access, and to date, no large sample investigation of their loans has been done in the literature. Rated public firms access the capital markets the most. We find the level of access influences loan structure in ways that are consistent with having greater or fewer financing alternatives, as well as theories on information asymmetry, agency and monitoring. In particular, loans to firms with higher levels of access have shorter maturities, fewer loan facilities per package, and a lower probability of being secured. We also find that a higher level of access results in a higher incidence of single-lender loans, but among multiple-lender loans, it leads to a larger number of lenders. Furthermore, we find evidence that access affects financial covenants in a nonmonotonic manner. Finally, lender type and economic conditions influence loan structure. Our results are robust to endogeneity caused by simultaneity of contract terms and rating. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 374-397 Issue: 4 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.972544 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.972544 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:4:p:374-397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: John Vaz Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Vaz Title: Why is it so difficult to outperform the random walk? An application of the Meese-Rogoff puzzle to stock prices Abstract: Some economists suggest that the Meese-Rogoff puzzle is equally applicable to the stock market, in the sense that no model of stock prices can outperform the random walk in out-of-sample forecasting. We argue that this is not a puzzle and that we should expect nothing, but this result if forecasting accuracy is measured by the root mean square error (RMSE) and similar metrics that take into account the magnitude of the forecasting error only. We demonstrate by using two models for dividend-paying and nondividend-paying stocks that as price volatility rises, the RMSE of the random walk rises, but the RMSE of the model rises even more rapidly, making it unlikely for the model to outperform the random walk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 398-407 Issue: 4 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.972545 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.972545 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:4:p:398-407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Credit constraints and margins of import: first evidence for German manufacturing enterprises Abstract: This study uses tailor-made enterprise-level data for 2008-2010 from various sources for firms from manufacturing industries to test for the link between credit constraints, measured by a credit rating score provided by a leading credit rating agency, and imports in Germany for the first time. We find empirical evidence that a better credit rating score is positively related to extensive margins of import - firms with a better score have a higher probability to import, they import more goods and they source from more countries of origin. The intensive margin of imports - the share of imports in total sales - is found not to be related to credit constraints. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 415-430 Issue: 5 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.969829 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.969829 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:5:p:415-430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vidhura Tennekoon Author-X-Name-First: Vidhura Author-X-Name-Last: Tennekoon Author-Name: Robert Rosenman Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenman Title: The pot calling the kettle black? A comparison of measures of current tobacco use Abstract: Researchers often use the discrepancy between self-reported and biochemically assessed active smoking status to argue that self-reported smoking status is not reliable, ignoring the limitations of biochemically assessed measures and treating it as the gold standard in their comparisons. Here, we employ econometric techniques to compare the accuracy of self-reported and biochemically assessed current tobacco use, taking into account measurement errors with both methods. Our approach allows estimating and comparing the sensitivity and specificity of each measure without directly observing true smoking status. The results, robust to several alternative specifications, suggest that there is no clear reason to think that one measure dominates the other in accuracy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 431-448 Issue: 5 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.972546 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.972546 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:5:p:431-448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wolfgang Breuer Author-X-Name-First: Wolfgang Author-X-Name-Last: Breuer Author-Name: Thorsten Hens Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Hens Author-Name: Astrid Juliane Salzmann Author-X-Name-First: Astrid Juliane Author-X-Name-Last: Salzmann Author-Name: Mei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: On the determinants of household debt maturity choice Abstract: This article jointly analyses a behavioural and a cultural concept to explain household debt portfolio choice. The behavioural approach explores the role of time preferences on household debt maturity in a theoretical model and a numerical analysis. We derive a positive relationship between the long-term discount factor δ and the optimal maturity of household loans. The cultural approach examines whether national culture is a reasonable predictor for household debt maturity. We show that culture is an important factor for households' borrowing decisions and has even more predictive power than time preferences. Countries with higher scores on the Hofstede dimension of long-term orientation tend to have shorter household debt maturity. Time preferences incur a primarily mediating role, because the effect of national culture on the borrowing decision is reduced, as the long-term discount factor δ increases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 449-465 Issue: 5 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.972547 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.972547 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:5:p:449-465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos順鬩x Sanz-Sanz Author-X-Name-First: Jos順鬩x Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz-Sanz Author-Name: Mar𨁁rrazola-Vacas Author-X-Name-First: Mar𨀍 Author-X-Name-Last: Arrazola-Vacas Author-Name: Nuria Rueda-L󰥺 Author-X-Name-First: Nuria Author-X-Name-Last: Rueda-L󰥺 Author-Name: Desiderio Romero-Jordᮠ Author-X-Name-First: Desiderio Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Jordᮠ Title: Reported gross income and marginal tax rates: estimation of the behavioural reactions of Spanish taxpayers Abstract: This article estimates, for the Spanish personal income tax, the elasticity of reported gross income to marginal tax rates. The identification of this elasticity has been performed using the reform approved by Law 35/2006, which came into force in January 2007. The elasticities obtained suggest the existence of important efficiency costs, with significant regional differences. The average elasticity estimated for Spain as a whole is 0.676. However, this elasticity is highly dispersed throughout the Spanish administrative regions, which indicates the unequal power of distortion of the tax. Thus, households whose principal source of income is salary display an elasticity of 0.337, compared to 0.682 for households whose main income source comes from business or savings. Lastly, a positive correlation is also detected between elasticity and income level: an elasticity of 3.6 is reached for taxpayers with an annual gross income exceeding 100000€. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 466-484 Issue: 5 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.972548 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.972548 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:5:p:466-484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peyman Khezr Author-X-Name-First: Peyman Author-X-Name-Last: Khezr Title: Time on the market and price change: the case of Sydney housing market Abstract: This article is an empirical study of characteristics related to residential properties sold in Sydney, Australia. We use comprehensive data on the Sydney housing market composed of 25489 observations for properties sold in the Sydney region in 2011. We consider the fact that both the seller of the property and the real estate agent have a common goal: to sell the property at the highest possible price in the shortest amount of time. The analysis is divided into two major parts. First, we estimate a two-stage least square model to analyse which parameters affect time on the market for a property. Second, we propose a probit model that estimates the parameters that affect a revision in list prices. The results contribute to the existing literature on the Australian housing market by extending understandings about the parameters that could affect the time on the market of properties and the revision of their list prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 485-498 Issue: 5 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.972549 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.972549 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:5:p:485-498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dieter Gerdesmeier Author-X-Name-First: Dieter Author-X-Name-Last: Gerdesmeier Author-Name: Andreja Lenarčič Author-X-Name-First: Andreja Author-X-Name-Last: Lenarčič Author-Name: Barbara Roffia Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Roffia Title: An alternative method for identifying booms and busts in the Euro area housing market Abstract: This article develops a model-based method to detect booms and busts in the Euro area housing market. A model is constructed and tested, whereby the user cost rate, a demographic variable, unemployment rate, disposable income, debt-to-income ratio and housing stock are fundamental variables significantly explaining house price (HP) developments. Booms/busts are identified as episodes when the HP index exceeds the levels implied by those economic fundamentals. Furthermore, a cross-check with boom/bust episodes based on other methods is carried out to substantiate the results, while the ability of the model in predicting booms/busts in real time is also tested. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 499-518 Issue: 5 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.975328 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.975328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:5:p:499-518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuri Mansury Author-X-Name-First: Yuri Author-X-Name-Last: Mansury Author-Name: Wook Sohn Author-X-Name-First: Wook Author-X-Name-Last: Sohn Title: Are financial activities harmful for regional growth? Contradictory evidence from the Indonesian panel data Abstract: Using high-frequency panel data for Indonesian provinces, we find that financial activities are associated with slower growth rates of productivity and output per capita. In particular, bank credit alone appears to inhibit growth more than the impact of credit and financial savings combined. This result contrasts starkly with the evidence from low-frequency panel, where the estimates suggest that bank credit promotes faster productivity and higher growth of per capita output. The contradictory evidence is attributable to the nonlinear growth dynamics of the finance-output nexus, where credit inhibits growth in the short run and promotes growth over the longer haul. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 519-530 Issue: 5 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.975329 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.975329 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:5:p:519-530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Youngho Kang Author-X-Name-First: Youngho Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: Trade, labour market rigidity, and aggregate productivity in OECD countries Abstract: As the economy becomes more open to trade, aggregate productivity can increase by driving out the least productive firms (the selection effect). Since the selection effect reallocates resources toward the more productive firms, this process can be hindered by rigidity in domestic labour market institutions. Based on the selection effect by Melitz (2003), this article empirically examines how rigidity in labour market institutions affects the consequence of trade on aggregate productivity. Findings from panel dynamic ordinary least square (DOLS) estimators suggest that a high degree of labour market rigidity in an open economy reduces Total Factor Productivity (TFP). In particular, in the case of extremely high labour market rigidity but low foreign R&D capital stocks, openness to trade can cause a country to experience decreasing TFP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 531-543 Issue: 6 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.975330 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.975330 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:6:p:531-543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert McNown Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: McNown Author-Name: Omar S. Aburizaizah Author-X-Name-First: Omar S. Author-X-Name-Last: Aburizaizah Author-Name: Charles Howe Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Howe Author-Name: Nathan Adkins Author-X-Name-First: Nathan Author-X-Name-Last: Adkins Title: Forecasting annual water demands dominated by seasonal variations: the case of water demands in Mecca Abstract: Water usage in Mecca is dominated by trends and cyclical variations in the number of foreign pilgrims visiting for the annual Hajj Pilgrimage. Time series regressions show that the mean temperature in Mecca at the time of the Hajj affects the number of pilgrims, inducing a long-term cyclical pattern for this variable and therefore water usage. The cointegrating relation between water usage, number of external pilgrims and temperature produces long-run forecasts of Mecca water demand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 544-552 Issue: 6 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.975331 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.975331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:6:p:544-552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C鳡r E. Castell󮠍 Author-X-Name-First: C鳡r E. Author-X-Name-Last: Castell󮠍 Author-Name: Tullaya Boonsaeng Author-X-Name-First: Tullaya Author-X-Name-Last: Boonsaeng Author-Name: Carlos E. Carpio Author-X-Name-First: Carlos E. Author-X-Name-Last: Carpio Title: Demand system estimation in the absence of price data: an application of Stone-Lewbel price indices Abstract: This article evaluates the feasibility of estimating a system of demand equations in the absence of price information using the approach developed by Lewbel (1989). Stone-Lewbel (SL) price indices for commodity groups are constructed using information on the budget shares and the Consumer Price Indices (CPIs) of the goods comprising the commodity groups, which allows for household-level prices to be recovered. This study evaluates how susceptible are elasticities and marginal effects estimates from traditional parametric demand systems to the CPI used in the construction of the SL prices. To do this, three alternative regional CPIs are considered for the construction of the SL prices: monthly, quarterly and a constant (unity) price index. Elasticities and marginal effect estimates are computed for eight food commodity groups using the Exact Affine Stone Index (EASI) model as the parametric demand system and data from the United States Consumer Expenditure Survey. The estimates proved to be robust to the alternative regional CPIs considered in the construction of SL price indices, even to the absence of one. Hence, the results suggest that it is possible to accurately estimate a demand system even in the absence of price information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 553-568 Issue: 6 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.975332 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.975332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:6:p:553-568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter C. Dawson Author-X-Name-First: Peter C. Author-X-Name-Last: Dawson Title: The capital asset pricing model in economic perspective Abstract: The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is theoretically incomplete in its demand-side focus, risk-averse investors and internally inconsistent homogeneous beliefs; is not conclusively supported empirically; and yet it legitimizes a notion that investors can earn higher returns by bearing undiversifiable risk. Our article does not merely extend the CAPM with more realistic assumptions, it completes its original framework by including (1) risk-taking investors in the investor population, (2) investors who can have heterogeneous expectations or beliefs - an overlooked but required condition for the CAPM to be an internally consistent and meaningful model of competitive financial asset pricing under uncertainty and (3) a positive-sloped short-run supply curve based on a reasonable interpretation of the nature of financial asset trade. Upon a complete economic interpretation, it is shown that the equilibrium (systematic) risk-rate of return relationship depends on whose aggregate trading activity dominates, risk-averse or risk-taking investors'. There is no universal, or even general, positive relationship between systematic risk and rate of return. This has far-reaching implications for investors and investment advisors who serve them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 569-598 Issue: 6 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.975333 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.975333 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:6:p:569-598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Huck Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Huck Author-Name: Komivi Afawubo Author-X-Name-First: Komivi Author-X-Name-Last: Afawubo Title: Pairs trading and selection methods: is cointegration superior? Abstract: Pairs trading is a popular dollar-neutral trading strategy. This article, using the components of the S&P 500 index, explores the performance of a pairs trading system based on various pairs selection methods. Whereas large empirical applications in the literature focus on the distance method, this article also deals with well-known statistical and econometric techniques such as stationarity and cointegration which make the trading system much more demanding from a computational point of view. Trades are initiated when stocks deviate from their equilibrium. Our results confirm, after controlling for risk and transaction costs, that the distance method generates insignificant excess returns. While a pairs selection following the stationarity criterion leads to a weak performance, this article reveals that cointegration provides a high, stable and robust return. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 599-613 Issue: 6 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.975417 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.975417 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:6:p:599-613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad A. Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: George B. Tawadros Author-X-Name-First: George B. Author-X-Name-Last: Tawadros Author-Name: Terry A. Hallahan Author-X-Name-First: Terry A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hallahan Title: The effectiveness of international diversification: whole markets versus sectors Abstract: A hedging approach is used to examine the effect of sectoral factors on the effectiveness of international diversification. By using data covering seven countries and various sectors, we find that international diversification is more effective when assets from developed markets only are used and when multiasset portfolios are used instead two-asset portfolios. The results also reveal that international diversification across whole markets is more effective than diversification across sectors. These results reflect the pattern of return correlation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 614-622 Issue: 6 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.978073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.978073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:6:p:614-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. Martin Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: N. Omrani Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Omrani Title: An assessment of trends in technology use, innovative work practices and employees' attitudes in Europe Abstract: Several studies of innovative work practices show a positive link with firm performance and employees' task involvement, organizational commitment and citizenship behaviours. One of the recent changes faced by firms is the introduction of Information and Communication Technologies (ICTs). Although several empirical studies analyse the links between ICT use, innovative work practices and firm performance, employee-level analyses are scarce. Using data from the European Working Condition Survey (EWCS), this article investigates the relationships between use of the Internet and computers and positive attitudes among employees (social support, job satisfaction, extra effort) in the European context. Our empirical results are based on data for more than 9500 employees from 16 European countries in 2005, and more than 14000 in 2010. Among the different effects of ICT use, based on the results for the 2005, 2010 and the pooled 2005-2010 sample, and in a within-cohorts change analysis, we find that Internet use is positively related to employees' job satisfaction and extra effort. We find that computer use is not related to employees' behaviours. We find also that most of the innovative work practices considered are positively related to employees' positive attitudes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 623-638 Issue: 6 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.978072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.978072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:6:p:623-638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hai Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Hai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Title: Does a college education cause better health and health behaviours? Abstract: In this article, we exploit the recent higher education expansion in China to apply a regression discontinuity method to identify the causal effects of higher education on health and health behaviours. We do not find causal effect of a college education on better smoking and drinking behaviours. For our selected measures of health, we do not find causal effect of a college education on better self-assessed health, less chance of having illness in the past 3 months and keeping normal body weight; however, we find that a college education could significantly reduce the probability of having hypertension. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 639-653 Issue: 7 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.978074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.978074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:7:p:639-653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kiho Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Kiho Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Author-Name: Wonjoon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Wonjoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Productivity growth of newly industrializing economies in heterogeneous capital goods markets: the case of the Korean machinery and equipment industry Abstract: Although many previous studies have investigated the economic growth of East Asian countries from the perspective of productivity growth, they have adopted a limited focus only on the national level or on the aggregated level and have overlooked the heterogeneity at the disaggregated level. Furthermore, only a few studies have examined the sources of the remarkable growth and trade performance of the Korean machinery and equipment industry, despite its importance for sustainable growth of national economy. Therefore, we investigated the Total Factor Productivity Growth (TFPG) of the Korean machinery and equipment industry and its 12 sub-sectors from 1970 to 2012 using the stochastic frontier production approach. As a result, we found that the industry has achieved labour input-driven TFPG largely due to technical progress. This is contrary to the previous result that East Asia has expanded the production frontier by capital accumulation. In contrast, in some sub-sectors, scale effect and allocation efficiency have driven TFPG. We also found distinctive patterns of TFPG across different sub-sectors from the perspectives of the effect of input factors and the pattern of technical progress. These results imply that policy makers should consider industry-specific policy designs that incorporate the specific characteristics of individual sub-sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 654-668 Issue: 7 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.978075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.978075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:7:p:654-668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Sara砍 Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Sara砍 Author-Name: Feyyaz Zeren Author-X-Name-First: Feyyaz Author-X-Name-Last: Zeren Title: The dependency of Islamic bank rates on conventional bank interest rates: further evidence from Turkey Abstract: The nexus between Islamic banks' returns on term deposits (participation accounts) and conventional banks' (CBs) interest rates on term deposits is one of the controversies with regard to Islamic finance. The obvious correlation between two sides is considered a convergence of Islamic banking to the conventional mode and the breach of the 'risk sharing', the underlying principle of Islamic finance. The aim of this study is to econometrically investigate the long-term relationship between CBs' term-deposit rates (TDRs) and participation banks' (PBs) TDR in Turkey. We undertake an elaborate analysis of the dependency of each PBs in Turkey on interest rates utilizing the most recent econometric techniques including Maki cointegration tests with multiple breaks and frequency domain causality tests. Findings show that TDRs of three PBs are significantly cointegrated with those of CBs, while one is not. In addition, permanent causality is found from CBs to all PBs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 669-679 Issue: 7 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.978076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.978076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:7:p:669-679 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lenka Šťastn᠍ Author-X-Name-First: Lenka Author-X-Name-Last: Šťastn᠍ Author-Name: Martin Gregor Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Gregor Title: Public sector efficiency in transition and beyond: evidence from Czech local governments Abstract: This article provides the first comparison of public sector efficiency in and beyond transition. We compare the comprehensive efficiency scores of 202 local governments in the Czech Republic in the transition period of 1995-1998 and the post-transition period of 2005-2008 and identify the period-specific determinants of local government efficiency. We observe convergence to the best practice frontier but also a growing efficiency gap between small and large governments. In both periods, municipal size and the main fiscal variables qualitatively affect efficiency in the same direction and in line with the fiscal stress hypothesis. Left-wing ideology is only robustly associated with cost inefficiency in the transition period. The geographic distances begin to matter for efficiency only in the post-transition period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 680-699 Issue: 7 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.978077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.978077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:7:p:680-699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jun Xie Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Chunpeng Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chunpeng Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Investor sentiment and the financial crisis: a sentiment-based portfolio theory perspective Abstract: The article proposes a portfolio model subjected to a constraint that captures the investor's goal, with maximum estimation of expected return that is affected by investor sentiment. And we give a solution of the portfolio model by exploring the geometric features. Furthermore, we discuss the relationship between investor sentiment and the financial crisis by analysing the optimal allocation. The results show that: when investor sentiment is low enough, the investor should reject the investment, this condition leads the depression financial market to prevail, then the financial crisis erupts; when investor sentiment is modest, the financial crisis is difficult to erupt unless the decline of investor sentiment is quick and deep; but there is a special status that the financial crisis is caused by other factors rather than by investor sentiment; and only improving investor sentiment cannot move away from the financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 700-709 Issue: 7 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.978078 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.978078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:7:p:700-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sok Chul Hong Author-X-Name-First: Sok Chul Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Jungmin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jungmin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: People on the verge of death: evidence from impacts of celebrity suicides Abstract: We attempt to identify the population who are vulnerable to emotional shocks by exploiting an unprecedented series of celebrity suicides in South Korea during the last decade, including one of the most famous actresses, as well as a former president. Our conservative estimates show that for 5 out of 11 celebrity suicides observed, 1 celebrity suicide on average yielded to more than 10 excessive suicides per day over a time frame of at least 2 weeks. The results indicate that a significant number of people are very much mentally unstable to end their life by emotional shocks that should be irrelevant to their economic status. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 710-724 Issue: 7 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.980571 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.980571 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:7:p:710-724 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vikash Ramiah Author-X-Name-First: Vikash Author-X-Name-Last: Ramiah Author-Name: Jacopo Pichelli Author-X-Name-First: Jacopo Author-X-Name-Last: Pichelli Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Environmental regulation, the Obama effect and the stock market: some empirical results Abstract: Following the signing of the Kyoto protocol in 2005, a new wave of green policies emerged with the intention of protecting our planet. This study explores the effects these policies have on capital markets. In particular, we assess how the risk and return of US industrial portfolios react to the announcement of green policies. Event study methodology and asset pricing models are used to that end. We document negative abnormal returns and increase in systematic risk for the biggest polluters whereas environmentally friendly businesses are affected to a lesser degree. An apparent Obama effect is observed, resulting from the 2008 outcome of the US presidential election. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 725-738 Issue: 7 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.980572 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.980572 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:7:p:725-738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John P. Weche Geluebcke Author-X-Name-First: John P. Author-X-Name-Last: Weche Geluebcke Title: The impact of foreign takeovers: comparative evidence from foreign and domestic acquisitions in Germany Abstract: This study provides the first evidence of foreign takeover effects on the performance of acquired firms in Germany that considers a general takeover effect through the comparison with domestic takeovers. A propensity score matching approach combined with a difference-in-differences (DiD) estimator were performed with new high-quality panel data for manufacturing enterprises, provided by German official statistics. The results indicate a negative impact of foreign takeovers on employment and no productivity improvements for the period 2007-2009. This evidence contradicts existing empirical evidence for Germany which suggests significant productivity improvements and no changes in terms of employment. These findings are of particular interest to Germany as one of the most important FDI inflow destinations worldwide. They contribute to the foreign ownership performance premium literature as well as improving the understanding of foreign acquisition consequences, a subject of utmost topicality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 739-755 Issue: 8 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.982854 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.982854 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:8:p:739-755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carolina Castilla Author-X-Name-First: Carolina Author-X-Name-Last: Castilla Author-Name: Timothy Haab Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Haab Title: Asymmetric search and prospect theory: choice experiment on consumer willingness to search in the gasoline retail market Abstract: We use an internet survey conducted among a representative random sample of drivers in the State of Ohio consisting of a choice experiment designed to examine the mechanism driving asymmetric search. The internet survey affords us the opportunity to overcome endogeneity difficulties by imposing exogenous price changes on gasoline consumers to examine the decision-making process behind intended search decisions. We randomly assigned participants to one of five price treatments (either 2.5 or 5% above or below their reported expected price, or no change). We provide a simple empirical model to derive testable implications under prospect theory and use the internet survey to test them. Results indicate that among the respondents who faced prices below their expected price, only 12% chose to search, whereas 45% searched when prices were above. Further, we find results consistent with asymmetric search being driven by prospect theory. The change in consumers' willingness to search is twice as large when prices exceed expectations by 2.5% relative to when prices exceed them by 5% suggesting that consumers derive utility of finding a good deal evaluated relative to a reference price. We show that this result is inconsistent with standard utility theory or consumers using alternative reference prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 756-778 Issue: 8 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.980573 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.980573 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:8:p:756-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Michael L. Polemis Author-X-Name-First: Michael L. Author-X-Name-Last: Polemis Title: The competitive conditions in the OECD manufacturing industry Abstract: The goal of this study was to assess the intensity of competition in the OECD manufacturing industry by using the Panzar and Rosse index over the period 1970-2011. For this purpose, we use the fully modified OLS method and second-generation unit root analysis to investigate the level of competition across two-digit manufacturing sectors. The results are robust and consistent with similar studies, leading to the rejection of perfect collusion and perfect competition, while providing evidence in favour of monopolistic competition. Similarly to other empirical studies, H-statistics are shown to be heterogeneous across manufacturing sectors. We argue that more concentrated sectors such as food and beverages, motor vehicles and furniture have low levels of H-statistic being thus less competitive than other industries (i.e. computers transportation equipment, printing and chemicals), where the H-statistic is closer to unity. Lastly, our analysis will be a useful policy tool to achieve structural micro-economic goals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 779-797 Issue: 8 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.980574 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.980574 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:8:p:779-797 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Olaoluwa S. Yaya Author-X-Name-First: Olaoluwa S. Author-X-Name-Last: Yaya Title: Do sunspot numbers cause global temperatures? Evidence from a frequency domain causality test Abstract: This article applies the causality test in the frequency domain, developed by Breitung and Candelon (2006), to analyse whether sunspot numbers (used as a partial approximation to solar irradiance) cause global temperatures, using monthly data covering the time period 1880:1-2013:9. While standard time domain Granger causality test fails to reject the null hypothesis that sunspot numbers do not cause global temperatures for both full and sub-samples (identified based on tests of structural breaks), the frequency domain causality test detects predictability for both the full-sample and the last sub-sample at short (2-2.6 months) and long (10.3 months and above) cycle lengths, respectively. Our results highlight the importance of analysing causality using the frequency domain test, which, unlike the time domain Granger causality test, allows us to decompose causality by different time horizons, and hence, could detect predictability at certain cycle lengths even when the time domain causality test might fail to pick up any causality. Further, given the widespread discussion in the literature, those results for the full-sample causality, irrespective of whether it is in time or frequency domains, cannot be relied upon when there are structural breaks present, and one needs to draw inference regarding causality from the sub-samples, we can conclude that there has been an emergence of causality running from sunspot numbers to global temperatures only recently at cycle length of 10.3 months and above. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 798-808 Issue: 8 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.980575 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.980575 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:8:p:798-808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Jim M. Mariano Author-X-Name-First: Marc Jim M. Author-X-Name-Last: Mariano Author-Name: James A. Giesecke Author-X-Name-First: James A. Author-X-Name-Last: Giesecke Author-Name: Nhi H. Tran Author-X-Name-First: Nhi H. Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: The effects of domestic rice market interventions outside business-as-usual conditions for imported rice prices Abstract: The Philippine government intervenes in the domestic rice market through the imposition of import tariffs and the provision of producer and consumer subsidies. While policymakers are aware that these programmes come with allocative efficiency costs, they justify the programmes on the grounds that they insulate the domestic economy from unexpected price spikes in the international rice market. An interesting matter for policy evaluation is to quantify the insulation benefit that the programmes provide in circumstances of sudden severe import price spikes. To examine this question, we undertake a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) simulation in which the Philippines is subject to an external rice price shock. We find that the insulation benefit of the support programmes under a 2008-like event is worth approximately 0.10% of real consumption. However, the cost of insuring against these price spikes is significant. We estimate the annual cost of the rice market interventions at approximately 0.40% of real consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 809-832 Issue: 8 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.980576 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.980576 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:8:p:809-832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Hagemejer Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Hagemejer Author-Name: Krzysztof Makarski Author-X-Name-First: Krzysztof Author-X-Name-Last: Makarski Author-Name: Joanna Tyrowicz Author-X-Name-First: Joanna Author-X-Name-Last: Tyrowicz Title: Unprivatizing the pension system: the case of Poland Abstract: In many countries, the fiscal tension associated with the global financial crisis brings about the discussion about unprivatizing the social security system. This article employs an Overlapping Generations model to assess ex ante the effects of such changes to the pension reform in Poland from 1999 as implemented in 2011 and in 2013. We simulate the behaviour of the economy without the implemented/proposed changes and compare it to a status quo defined by the reform from 1999. We find that the changes implemented in 2011 and in 2013 are detrimental to welfare. The effects on capital and output are small and depend on the selected fiscal closure. Implied effective replacement rates are lower. These findings are robust to time inconsistency. The shortsightedness of the governments imposes welfare costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 833-852 Issue: 8 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.980577 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.980577 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:8:p:833-852 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernard Bollen Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Bollen Title: What should the value of lambda be in the exponentially weighted moving average volatility model? Abstract: Forecasting volatility is fundamental to forecasting parametric models of value-at-risk. The exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) volatility model is the recommended model for forecasting volatility by the Riskmetrics group. For monthly data, the lambda parameter of the EWMA model is recommended to be set to 0.97. In this study, we empirically investigate if this is the optimal value of lambda in terms of forecasting volatility. Employing monthly realized volatility as the benchmark for testing the value of lambda, it is found that a value of lambda of 0.97 is far from optimal. The tests are robust to a variety of test statistics. It is further found that the optimal value of lambda is time varying and should be based upon recent historical data. The article offers a practical method to increase the reliability and accuracy of value-at-risk forecasts that can be easily implemented within an Excel spreadsheet. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 853-860 Issue: 8 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.982853 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.982853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:8:p:853-860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Arusha Cooray Author-X-Name-First: Arusha Author-X-Name-Last: Cooray Title: The dynamics of Greek public debt - evidence from simultaneous and structural VAR models Abstract: The goal of the present article was to investigate not only the dynamics of the Greek public debt, but also the appropriate measures required for achieving fiscal consolidation. The empirical estimation is carried out using a macroeconomic data set spanning the period 1980-2008 and both the three-stage least squares (3SLS) methodological approach on a theoretical model and the structural VAR methodology to perform forecast tests and to calibrate the future paths of the public debt variable up to 2020. The results suggest that only a restrictive fiscal policy that simultaneously increases government revenues and reduces government expenditure could permit the country to achieve debt sustainability. The results also suggest that debt sustainability can be achieved faster when tax revenue policies are intensified. The results are expected to have important implications to policymakers for designing effective macroeconomic policy in terms of achieving sustainable levels of public debt. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 967-980 Issue: 10 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.985372 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.985372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:10:p:967-980 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fran篩s-Éric Racicot Author-X-Name-First: Fran篩s-Éric Author-X-Name-Last: Racicot Title: Engineering robust instruments for GMM estimation of panel data regression models with errors in variables: a note Abstract: Econometricians have long recognized the need to account in some way for measurement errors, specification errors and endogeneity to ensure that the ordinary least squares estimator is consistent. This article introduces a new generalized method of moments estimator that relies on robust instruments to estimate panel data regression models containing errors in variables. We show how this GMM approach can be generalized for the panel data framework using higher moments and cumulants as instruments. The new instruments, engineered for greater robustness, are proposed to tackle the pervasive problem of weak instruments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 981-989 Issue: 10 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.985373 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.985373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:10:p:981-989 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lars P. Feld Author-X-Name-First: Lars P. Author-X-Name-Last: Feld Author-Name: Sarah Necker Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Necker Author-Name: Bruno S. Frey Author-X-Name-First: Bruno S. Author-X-Name-Last: Frey Title: Happiness of economists Abstract: We study the importance of economists' professional situation towards their life satisfaction based on a unique survey of mostly academic economists. On average, economists report to be highly happy with life. Satisfaction is positively related to spending more time on doing research. The lack of a tenured position decreases satisfaction. However, the extent to which the uncertainty created by the tenure system affects satisfaction varies with the contract terms. The effect is stronger if the contract expires in the near future or cannot be extended. Publication success has no effect if it is controlled for academic rank and the contract duration. The finding suggests that publications are rather a means to an end, for example, to acquire a tenured position. While the perceived level of external pressure also has no impact, the perceived change of pressure in recent years is positively related to economists' life satisfaction. An explanation is that economists have accepted a high level of pressure when entering academia but are not willing to cope with the recent increase. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 990-1007 Issue: 10 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.985374 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.985374 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:10:p:990-1007 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Agne Suziedelyte Author-X-Name-First: Agne Author-X-Name-Last: Suziedelyte Title: The effects of old and new media on children's weight Abstract: Childhood obesity rates have recently been rising in many countries. It has been suggested in the literature that changes in children's media exposure may contribute to explaining this trend. I investigate whether or not this hypothesis is supported by data. I contribute to the literature by focusing not only on television but also on new media - computers and video games. The Child Development Supplement to the Panel Study of Income Dynamics is used for the analysis. To address the endogeneity of children's media exposure, I use dynamic and panel data models. This is another improvement upon the existing literature. Additionally, an extensive list of control variables is included in the regressions. I find that video game playing or computer use has no effect on children's body weight. On the other hand, television viewing may increase children's body weight slightly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1008-1018 Issue: 10 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.987916 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.987916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:10:p:1008-1018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Dima Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Dima Author-Name: Ş.M. Dima Author-X-Name-First: Ş.M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dima Author-Name: F. Barna Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Barna Title: A wavelet analysis of capital markets' integration in Latin America Abstract: The continuous wavelet transform analysis may provide a rich and flexible framework for the analysis of time series which exhibit less stable statistical properties, such as the ones describing the dynamic trajectory of capital markets. In contrast to the Fourier analysis, wavelet transform preserves information on both time and frequency. We provide a summary of the most important features of this framework. By involving the concept of coherence as well as its partial and multiple forms, we analyse the connections between Santiago Stock Exchange, Mexican Stock Exchange and BM&FBOVESPA São Paulo Stock Exchange, for a time span which covers the 23 September 2003-12 March 2014 period. We highlight the existence of several significant forces of regional integration and of a short- to medium-run synchronization process between these markets. We conclude that deeper structural and institutional reforms are required in order to enhance the sustainable development and more profound integration of these markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1019-1036 Issue: 10 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.987917 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.987917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:10:p:1019-1036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos頌󰥺-Gracia Author-X-Name-First: Jos頍 Author-X-Name-Last: L󰥺-Gracia Author-Name: Francisco Sogorb-Mira Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Sogorb-Mira Title: Financial constraints and cash-cash flow sensitivity Abstract: This article explores the cash-cash flow relationship by comparing financially constrained and financially unconstrained companies. Unlike previous research, we test the sensitivity of cash to cash flow by considering unlisted firms as constrained and listed firms as unconstrained. Our empirical evidence is based on findings from Spanish firms and is consistent with the core rationale that unlisted firms face more difficulties than their listed counterparts when looking for funding from external markets. As a result, unlisted firms tend to hoard significant amounts of cash out of the generated cash flow, while listed firms do not. Our findings are robust to a number of additional empirical tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1037-1049 Issue: 10 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.987918 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.987918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:10:p:1037-1049 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Piet Eichholtz Author-X-Name-First: Piet Author-X-Name-Last: Eichholtz Author-Name: Ronald Huisman Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Huisman Author-Name: Remco C. J. Zwinkels Author-X-Name-First: Remco C. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Zwinkels Title: Fundamentals or trends? A long-term perspective on house prices Abstract: Using a long-term time series covering 350 years of house prices along the Herengracht in Amsterdam, we examine whether a fundamental factor or a trend explains house prices and whether their explanatory power is time varying. We find that agents in the housing market switch in their formation of expectations about future changes in house prices between fundamental and momentum strategies. Specifically, we show that agents base their expectations more on fundamentals during economic slowdowns and more on recent trends or momentum during economic booms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1050-1059 Issue: 10 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.987919 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.987919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:10:p:1050-1059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stijn Baert Author-X-Name-First: Stijn Author-X-Name-Last: Baert Author-Name: Elsy Verhofstadt Author-X-Name-First: Elsy Author-X-Name-Last: Verhofstadt Title: Labour market discrimination against former juvenile delinquents: evidence from a field experiment Abstract: In view of policy action to integrate ex-offenders into society, it is important to identify the underlying mechanisms of the negative relationship between criminal record on the one hand and later employment and earnings on the other hand. In this study, we identify hiring discrimination against former juvenile delinquents in a direct way. To this end, we conduct a field experiment in the Belgian labour market. We find that labour market discrimination is indeed a major barrier in the transition to work for former juvenile delinquents. Labour market entrants disclosing a history of juvenile delinquency get about 22% less callback compared to their counterparts without a criminal record. This discrimination is heterogeneous by the occupation for which one applies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1061-1072 Issue: 11 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.990620 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.990620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:11:p:1061-1072 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Feeny Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Feeny Author-Name: Alberto Posso Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Posso Author-Name: Jonathan Regan-Beasley Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Regan-Beasley Title: Handle with care: fragile states and the determinants of fragility Abstract: The international community has grave concerns over the capacity of so-called 'fragile states' to effectively deliver basic services to their people due to their weak policy and institutional environments. This article examines the drivers of state fragility. The World Bank and OECD definitions of fragility are adopted using the World Bank's Country Policy and Institutional Assessment (CPIA) scores. Analysis is conducted on both binary measures of fragility and the actual CPIA scores using an array of estimation techniques. Findings indicate that democracy, income levels, economic growth, levels of education, country size and natural resource rents are important determinants of fragility. Unlike other studies, findings also suggest that being a Small Island Development State is a primary driver of fragility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1073-1085 Issue: 11 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.990621 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.990621 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:11:p:1073-1085 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mala Raghavan Author-X-Name-First: Mala Author-X-Name-Last: Raghavan Author-Name: Mardi Dungey Author-X-Name-First: Mardi Author-X-Name-Last: Dungey Title: Should ASEAN-5 monetary policy-makers act pre-emptively against stock market bubbles? Abstract: Stock market rises and asset price inflation in ASEAN economies have raised the question of whether monetary authorities in these economies should act pre-emptively against these rising trends to prevent impending financial crises. Using structural vector error correction models (SVECMs) which incorporate mixed data characteristics, we examine the effects and interactions between monetary policy and stock market shocks for Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines. The results suggest that monetary policy focused on the stock market detracts from price stability objectives, in particular because containing a stock market bubble may inadvertently depress output and inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1086-1105 Issue: 11 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.990622 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.990622 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:11:p:1086-1105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seval Mutlu Çamoğlu Author-X-Name-First: Seval Author-X-Name-Last: Mutlu Çamoğlu Author-Name: Teresa Serra Author-X-Name-First: Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Serra Author-Name: Jos頍. Gil Author-X-Name-First: Jos頍. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Title: Vertical price transmission in the Turkish poultry market: the avian influenza crisis Abstract: This article assesses the impact of the Avian Influenza (AI) outbreak in the Turkish poultry market by focusing on price transmission at producer and retail levels. The relationship and patterns of transmission between producer and retail prices are analysed by estimating a Regime-Switching Vector Error Correction Model with three regimes. An AI information index variable is developed and used to determine regime-switching. Results suggest that consumer prices adjust to disequilibrium caused by the AI crisis, while producer prices are sticky and slowly responsive. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1106-1117 Issue: 11 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.990623 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.990623 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:11:p:1106-1117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Matas Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Matas Author-Name: Jos魌uis Raymond Author-X-Name-First: Jos魌uis Author-X-Name-Last: Raymond Author-Name: Jos魌uis Roig Author-X-Name-First: Jos魌uis Author-X-Name-Last: Roig Title: How market access shapes human capital accumulation in a peripheral country: the case of Spain Abstract: Human capital endowment is one of the main factors influencing the level of development of a region. This article analyses whether remoteness from economic activity has a negative effect on human capital accumulation and, consequently, on economic development. Making use of microdata, this research proves that remoteness from economic activity can explain the differences in the level of education observed across Spanish provinces over the last 50 years. The effect is significant even when controlling for the improvement of education supply. Nonetheless, the accessibility effect has been petering out since the 1960s due to decreasing barriers to mobility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1118-1132 Issue: 11 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.990624 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.990624 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:11:p:1118-1132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keshab Bhattarai Author-X-Name-First: Keshab Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattarai Title: Financial deepening and economic growth Abstract: The core of Shapley-Shubik games and general equilibrium models with a Venn diagram is applied for a theory on the role of real finance in economic growth among advanced economies. Then the dynamic computable general equilibrium (DCGE) models for Germany, France, the UK, Japan and the USA are constructed to assess the validity of the over-financing hypothesis that has reappeared after the financial crisis of 2008. Actual financial deepening ratios observed in the nonconsolidated balance sheet of the OECD exceeded by factors of 3.5, 2.4, 5.1, 11.6 and 4.8 than the optimal financial deepening ratios implied by DCGE models, respectively, in these countries because of excessive leveraging and bubbles up to 19 times of GDP which were responsible for this great recession. Containing such massive fluctuations for macroeconomic stability and growth in these economies are not possible in conventional fiscal and monetary policy models and require a DCGE analysis like this along with adoption of separating equilibrium strategy in line of Miller-Stiglitz-Roth mechanisms to avoid problem of asymmetric information in the process of financial intermediation so that the gaps between actual and optimal ratios of financial deepening remain as small as possible. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1133-1150 Issue: 11 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.993130 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.993130 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:11:p:1133-1150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Sahar Bahmani Author-X-Name-First: Sahar Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani Author-Name: Alice Kones Author-X-Name-First: Alice Author-X-Name-Last: Kones Author-Name: Ali M. Kutan Author-X-Name-First: Ali M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kutan Title: Policy uncertainty and the demand for money in the United Kingdom Abstract: Limited studies that have assessed the impact of economic uncertainty on the demand for money have concentrated on using a volatility measure of money supply and output. Certainly, other factors such as regulation, taxes, budget deficits, national debt, etc. can contribute to an uncertain environment. This new measure of uncertainty, which is called 'policy uncertainty', is now constructed for several countries and published. We investigate the impact of this new measure on the demand for money in the UK and find that it has a negative and significant short-run effect, but not any log-run effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1151-1157 Issue: 11 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.993138 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.993138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:11:p:1151-1157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. De La Poza Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: De La Poza Author-Name: L. J󤡲 Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: J󤡲 Author-Name: M.S.S. Alkasadi Author-X-Name-First: M.S.S. Author-X-Name-Last: Alkasadi Title: Modelling the propagation of adult male muscle dysmorphia in Spain: economic, emotional and social drivers Abstract: Males aged over 40 do more gym practice to improve their body image as a way of reinforcing their personal self-esteem and sexual appeal. Cases when self-image becomes an obsession may result in a body dysmorphic disorder named 'muscle dysmorphia' (MD). The combination of psychological, environmental and biological drivers determines the appearance and development of this disorder. In this article, we developed a discrete population mathematical model to forecast the rate of prevalence of males who are noncompetitive bodybuilders at risk of suffering MD in Spain in forthcoming years. Economic, emotional, sociological and psychological motivations were taken into account to quantify the dynamic behaviour of Spanish noncompetitive bodybuilders. The impact of the unemployment is reflected in the construction of two coefficients, αu and α21, which explain subpopulation transits due to the economy. Sociological influences, such as human herding and social propagation, were also considered. Our results predict an increase in Spanish noncompetitive bodybuilders suffering MD from 1% in 2011 to around 11% in 2015. Our model can be applied to any other western country where data are available and to another study period when the hypotheses are applicable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1159-1169 Issue: 12 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2013.870657 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2013.870657 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:12:p:1159-1169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Paul Paquin Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Paquin Author-Name: Alain Charbonneau Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Charbonneau Author-Name: David Tessier Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Tessier Title: The derivation of the NPV variance of a risky capital investment project with first-order autoregressive cash flows and autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic variances Abstract: In this article, the authors develop a closed-form solution for assessing the capital investment project NPV variance when cash flows obey a first-order autoregressive process. A distinction is established between static and dynamic solutions as the authors focus on the case involving partial positive dependence between cash flows. Under a Markovian process, the NPV solution is stationary in mean but not strictly in variance. Constraining the process to become fully stationary will overestimate the NPV variance. Finally, the authors show that the Markovian NPV variance closed-form solution is robust to the introduction of autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic variances complying with a GARCH(1,1) process; it will, however, have its value increased and consequently the riskiness of the capital investment project. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1170-1186 Issue: 12 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.987915 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.987915 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:12:p:1170-1186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasemin Ulu Author-X-Name-First: Yasemin Author-X-Name-Last: Ulu Title: Rationality of inflation-output forecasts of MMS survey: international evidence Abstract: We analyse the individual rationality of inflation and output forecasts from Money Market Survey (MMS) for a group of G7 countries and EU under asymmetric univariate Linlin and Linex loss functions. We also test for joint rationality of inflation-output forecasts using the forecast rationality test under multivariate asymmetric loss functions proposed by Ulu (2013). Our results indicate that rationality is often rejected under symmetric loss, and results improve towards rationality when asymmetric loss functions are assumed. The assumption of multivariate asymmetric loss compared to univariate asymmetric loss provides further evidence towards rationality. We also analyse directional forecast accuracy of the inflation and output forecasts and find that the inflation-output forecasts of MMS are valuable when considered both jointly and separately. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1187-1198 Issue: 12 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.990619 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.990619 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:12:p:1187-1198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pradeep Agrawal Author-X-Name-First: Pradeep Author-X-Name-Last: Agrawal Title: India's petroleum demand: estimations and projections Abstract: Energy security is crucial for sustaining high economic growth in India. This article empirically estimates India's long- and short-term demand relations for crude oil, diesel and petrol (gasoline) using the ARDL and ECM cointegration procedures and then uses them to project demand for these products up to 2025 under various scenarios of GDP growth and oil prices. Our projections show that over 2012 to 2025, demand is likely to increase by about 74% for crude oil, 117% for diesel and 136% for petrol - the annual growth rates being about 4.3% for crude oil, 6.1% for diesel and 6.8% for petrol (gasoline). This article suggests that India needs to (1) take measures to improve efficiency in the use of petroleum products; (2) try to enhance supplies such as through production sharing agreements by Indian oil companies with other countries and (3) increase the use of nuclear, hydro, solar and other alternative energy sources, as Western European countries have done. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1199-1212 Issue: 12 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.993131 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.993131 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:12:p:1199-1212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Alves Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Alves Author-Name: Victor Mendes Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Mendes Author-Name: Paulo Pereira da Silva Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira da Silva Title: Do stress tests matter? A study on the impact of the disclosure of stress test results on European financial stocks and CDS markets Abstract: During the recent sovereign debt crisis, the European Banking Authority conducted two stress tests on European banks in order to gauge their capital needs, core Tier-1 ratios and ratios of resilience to adverse shocks. We assess the informational content of the disclosure of the stress test outcomes. We conclude that the stress tests conveyed new information and that the outcomes were not anticipated by the stock market but were partially anticipated by the credit default swap (CDS) market. However, while the stock market reacted to the disclosure of the stress test outcomes, in the CDS market there is some evidence of a 'reverse' reaction. Moreover, the publication of the outcomes of the stress tests had a stronger impact on the stock prices of riskier financial institutions. A similar pattern is evident in the CDS market, albeit narrowed to one of the stress tests and amid the financial institutions with higher perceived credit risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1213-1229 Issue: 12 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.993132 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.993132 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:12:p:1213-1229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jarrett Hart Author-X-Name-First: Jarrett Author-X-Name-Last: Hart Author-Name: Dragan Miljkovic Author-X-Name-First: Dragan Author-X-Name-Last: Miljkovic Author-Name: Saleem Shaik Author-X-Name-First: Saleem Author-X-Name-Last: Shaik Title: The impact of trade openness on technical efficiency in the agricultural sector of the European Union Abstract: The aim of this study is to analyse the impact of trade openness on technical efficiency of the European Union's (EU) agricultural sector. There are no systematic theories linking trade policy to technical efficiency; hence, the relation between trade liberalization and technical efficiency is fundamentally ambiguous. Stochastic frontier analysis is used to model the relationship between EU's production resources and agricultural output, as well as the importance of trade openness on technical efficiency of a country. The data for 16 of the 28 EU members were available for the period 1980-2007 including land, capital, fertilizer, labour, agricultural GDP, foreign direct investments (FDI), exports and import data. Results indicate that trade openness has an immediate, negative impact on efficiency in the EU agricultural sector. Over time, however, trade openness does increase efficiency. The FDI outflows increase efficiency. This suggests that an initial reduction in capital supply forces EU nations to utilize other factor inputs more efficiently. However, there is the unexamined potential that over time the depletion of capital results in a decrease in efficiency. Finally, formerly communist member-countries of the EU are found to have the lowest technical efficiency scores whereas Southern European nations have the highest efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1230-1247 Issue: 12 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.993134 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.993134 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:12:p:1230-1247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Ruixin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ruixin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: On the impact of financial development on income distribution: time-series evidence Abstract: Financial market development is said to have equalizing or unequalizing effects on income distribution. Previous research used cross-sectional and panel data and provided mixed results. Suspecting that they suffer from aggregation bias, we adhere to time-series data and error-correction modeling technique and address the issue one more time in each of the 17 countries for which we have time-series data. In 10 counties, short-run effects of financial market development on income distribution were found to be equalizing. In five countries, the effects were unequalizing. However, the equalizing effects lasted into the long run only in three countries of Denmark, Kenya and Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1248-1271 Issue: 12 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.993135 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.993135 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:12:p:1248-1271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Athanasios Koulakiotis Author-X-Name-First: Athanasios Author-X-Name-Last: Koulakiotis Author-Name: Apostolis Kiohos Author-X-Name-First: Apostolis Author-X-Name-Last: Kiohos Author-Name: Vassilios Babalos Author-X-Name-First: Vassilios Author-X-Name-Last: Babalos Title: Exploring the interaction between stock price index and exchange rates: an asymmetric threshold approach Abstract: This article examines the impact of stock market news on the foreign exchange markets of USA, Canada and UK, employing an innovative extension of the asymmetric threshold model of Apergis and Miller (2006). Under this framework we can disentangle the reaction of foreign exchange market to bad or good news and small or large news of stock returns. Our comprehensive daily data-set spans the period from January 1990 to June 2014. Using a cointegration and error correction model, we document the existence of a causal relationship between stock market and foreign exchange markets. Most interestingly, our results derived from the asymmetric threshold model confirm that the relationship between stock and foreign exchange markets is sensitive to short-term good or bad news and short-term small or large news. Our findings entail significant implications for policymakers, governments, risk managers and international investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1273-1285 Issue: 13 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.990618 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.990618 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:13:p:1273-1285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sang Hyeon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Sang Hyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Ji Yong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ji Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Doo Bong Han Author-X-Name-First: Doo Bong Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Rodolfo M. Nayga Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nayga Title: Are Korean consumers willing to pay a tax for a mandatory BSE testing programme? Abstract: The outbreaks of mad cow disease (BSE) have significantly increased the demand for food safety programs in the Korean beef market. Two issues that are getting much attention are about whether Korea should implement mandatory testing of slaughtered domestic cattle for BSE and whether consumers are willing to pay a tax for the programme. No study, however, has examined consumers' willingness to pay (WTP) a tax for a BSE testing programme. We conducted a contingent valuation (CV) study using a double-bounded dichotomous choice approach to estimate Korean consumers' valuation for a mandatory BSE testing programme on slaughtered domestic cattle that are 21months or older. Our results show that the sample-population adjusted mean estimate of WTP a tax per year is 4482 KRW (US $4.01) per household. This suggests that Korean consumers have a strong preference for a mandatory testing of domestic cattle for BSE. This study also found that Korean consumers' WTP for the programme is greater than estimated implementation costs of the programme. These results imply that implementing a mandatory BSE testing programme in Korea could confer positive consumer welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1286-1297 Issue: 13 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.993137 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.993137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:13:p:1286-1297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. N. Khan Author-X-Name-First: M. N. Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: N. Tantisantiwong Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Tantisantiwong Author-Name: S. G. M. Fifield Author-X-Name-First: S. G. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fifield Author-Name: D. M. Power Author-X-Name-First: D. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Power Title: The relationship between South Asian stock returns and macroeconomic variables Abstract: This article investigates whether economic variables have explanatory power for share returns in South Asian stock markets. In particular, using data for four South Asian emerging stock markets over the period 1998-2012, the article examines the influence of a selection of local, regional and global economic variables in explaining equity returns; most previous studies that have examined this issue have tended to focus on only local and/or global factors. Important factors are identified by distilling the macroeconomic variables into principal components. Economic activities, real interest rates, real exchange rates and the trade balance represent local factors. Regional factors are represented by interregional trade and regional economic activity while global factors are represented by world financial asset returns and world economic activity. The vector autoregression results suggest that the South Asian markets examined are not efficient. Both local and regional factors can directly and indirectly explain Bangladeshi, Pakistani and Sri Lankan stock returns while the lagged returns of the Pakistani stock market and world economic activity can explain Indian stock returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1298-1313 Issue: 13 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.995360 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.995360 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:13:p:1298-1313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anne Boring Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Boring Title: The impact of patent protection on US pharmaceutical exports to developing countries Abstract: This article provides evidence that patent protection can have a positive effect on trade, by analysing the impact of the implementation of intellectual property rights (IPR) in developing countries on the US exports of pharmaceutical products, following intense lobbying efforts from the US pharmaceutical industry to have the Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS) agreement included in the creation of the World Trade Organization (WTO). A gravity model using panel data from 1995 to 2010 suggests that the implementation of minimum standards of patent protection has increased US exports of pharmaceuticals to 108 nonadvanced countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1314-1330 Issue: 13 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.995364 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.995364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:13:p:1314-1330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan A. Correa Author-X-Name-First: Juan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Correa Author-Name: Francisco Parro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Parro Author-Name: Loreto Reyes Author-X-Name-First: Loreto Author-X-Name-Last: Reyes Title: Self-selection in the market of teachers Abstract: Public school teachers are usually paid according to centralized earning schedules, in which their income depends mainly on experience. By contrast, in private schools, there is high wage dispersion, and salaries correspond mainly to teachers' performance. That dichotomous labour regulation encourages teachers with better unobservable skills to self-select into private schools because the likelihood of earning higher wages is higher than in public schools. The other side of the coin is the self-selection of 'bad' teachers into public schools. Using a representative sample of Chilean teachers, we estimate a two-sector Roy model to test self-selection. We find evidence of negative self-selection of teachers into public schools. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1331-1349 Issue: 13 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.995365 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.995365 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:13:p:1331-1349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin A. Hassett Author-X-Name-First: Kevin A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hassett Author-Name: Aparna Mathur Author-X-Name-First: Aparna Author-X-Name-Last: Mathur Title: A spatial model of corporate tax incidence Abstract: Using a unique, self-compiled data-set on international tax rates, we explore the link between taxes and manufacturing wages for a panel of 66 countries over 25years. We find, controlling for other macroeconomic variables, that wages are significantly responsive to corporate taxation. Higher corporate tax rates depress wages. Using spatial modelling techniques, we also find that tax characteristics of neighbouring countries, whether geographic or economic, have a significant effect on domestic wages. We test for, and reject, spatial autocorrelation in our model using a modification of the Moran-I test statistic that accounts for country-specific fixed effects in a panel data setting. Our article fits in with the new economic geography literature as well as the urban economics literature which attempt to explain the spatial distribution of wages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1350-1365 Issue: 13 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.995367 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.995367 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:13:p:1350-1365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Andreu Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Andreu Author-Name: Jos頌uis Sarto Author-X-Name-First: Jos頌uis Author-X-Name-Last: Sarto Author-Name: Miguel Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Serrano Title: Implications of manager replacement: evidence from the Spanish mutual fund industry Abstract: We analyse the financial consequences of manager replacement in a sample that includes all domestic and European equity funds in Spain. Specifically, we examine a total of 104 funds of the sample that experience manager turnover over the period 1999-2009. We find that underperforming funds in the pre-replacement period experience a significant improvement in the excess returns and performance after the manager change, an improvement that lasts over time for domestic equity funds. The analysis of the risk profile indicates that funds experiencing a manager change do not show significantly different levels of risk before the replacement dates although they tend to show an increase in the level of total risk after the change. Finally, the pool-regression analysis of the investment flows confirms that manager changes tend to impact negatively on subsequent flows of those funds with manager turnover. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1366-1387 Issue: 13 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.997921 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.997921 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:13:p:1366-1387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seth C. Anderson Author-X-Name-First: Seth C. Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Author-Name: Robert B. Jr Ekelund Author-X-Name-First: Robert B. Jr Author-X-Name-Last: Ekelund Author-Name: John D. Jackson Author-X-Name-First: John D. Author-X-Name-Last: Jackson Author-Name: Robert D. Tollison Author-X-Name-First: Robert D. Author-X-Name-Last: Tollison Title: Are auction revenues affected by rising art buyers' premia? The case of early American art Abstract: The steady rise in the premiums charged to art buyers at auction (above hammer price) has been underway since 1992. This article, using a stable and bounded sample of repeat purchase of American works created before 1950, reveals that this tact has reduced hammer prices for that art. However, renewed and hyper-competitive efforts to bring more and higher quality art to market by the two main houses, Sotheby's and Christie's, have resulted in general profitability. Nevertheless, we calculate that a rise in buyers' premia at Sotheby's, a publically traded company, has reduced revenues and profits below their potential in the absence of such increases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1389-1400 Issue: 14 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.997926 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.997926 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:14:p:1389-1400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Homburg Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Homburg Title: Critical remarks on Piketty's Capital in the Twenty-first Century Abstract: This article discusses the central macroeconomic claims that are made in Thomas Piketty's book Capital in the Twenty-first Century. The article aims to show that Piketty's contentions are not only logically flawed but also contradicted by his own data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1401-1406 Issue: 14 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.997927 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.997927 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:14:p:1401-1406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuxi Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Yuxi Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Haizheng Li Author-X-Name-First: Haizheng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Belton M. Fleisher Author-X-Name-First: Belton M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fleisher Title: The earnings effects of health and health-related activities: a panel data approach Abstract: We investigate the effects of health and health-related habits on earnings in China using panel data to control for unobserved heterogeneity related to individual traits and job characteristics. Health-related habits include smoking cigarettes, drinking tea, frequency of drinking alcohol and physical exercising. We find a significant and large impact of health status on earnings, controlling for schooling, experience and the unobserved individual heterogeneity and job heterogeneity. We also find that smoking has a strong negative effect on earnings net of health status, while the estimated effects of other health-related activities are statistically insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1407-1423 Issue: 14 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000521 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000521 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:14:p:1407-1423 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vu Hong Thai Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Vu Hong Thai Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Agyenim Boateng Author-X-Name-First: Agyenim Author-X-Name-Last: Boateng Author-Name: David Newton Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Newton Title: Involuntary excess reserves, the reserve requirements and credit rationing in China Abstract: Using a sample of 95 banks that covers the period 2000-2011, this article examines Chinese banks' credit lending behaviour in response to the changes in the reserve requirement ratio in the presence of involuntary excess reserves (IERs) in the banking system. The study finds that Chinese banks with positive IERs one period after a reserve requirement shock experience a significantly increased credit supply in response to an increase in reserve requirement ratio. However, the reserve requirements have no significant impact on the credit supply in Chinese banks that have negative IERs one period after a reserve requirement shock. This article sheds lights on the effectiveness of Chinese monetary policy, which uses reserve requirements as the primary tool to sterilize excess liquidity and restrain credit expansion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1424-1437 Issue: 14 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.995362 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.995362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:14:p:1424-1437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Surender Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Surender Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Hidemichi Fujii Author-X-Name-First: Hidemichi Author-X-Name-Last: Fujii Author-Name: Shunsuke Managi Author-X-Name-First: Shunsuke Author-X-Name-Last: Managi Title: Substitute or complement? Assessing renewable and nonrenewable energy in OECD countries Abstract: The elasticity of interfuel substitution between renewable and nonrenewable energy is key to establishing effective climate change policy. This is the first study to estimate the elasticity of substitution between different fossil fuels and renewable resources. We used 12 manufacturing industry-level datasets for the OECD countries from 1995 to 2009. We found a complementary relationship from nonrenewable energy to renewable energy in eight industries, whereas a substitute relationship was maintained for four industries. In particular, the food and pulp industries had a strong complementary relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1438-1459 Issue: 14 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.997922 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.997922 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:14:p:1438-1459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kathryn G. Marshall Author-X-Name-First: Kathryn G. Author-X-Name-Last: Marshall Title: Economic structure and factor payments Abstract: There is a growing body of evidence that the labour payment share in national income varies across countries and over time, suggesting that the popular aggregate Cobb-Douglas production function may not capture income share dynamics. There remains conflicting evidence on the importance of natural resource rents among low income economies and on estimates of the rate of return to produced capital. This paper focuses on the structural differences among countries, confirming the importance of the agriculture sector in estimates of labour and land's share of factor income based on 81 countries at diverse levels of economic development in the year 2005. I find that cross-country data are best modelled by a CES production function with an elasticity of substitution of 0.8 and that many low income countries have a higher return to capital than the United States. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1460-1480 Issue: 14 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.997924 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.997924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:14:p:1460-1480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luisa Alam᭓abater Author-X-Name-First: Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Alam᭓abater Author-Name: Laura MᲱuez-Ramos Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: MᲱuez-Ramos Author-Name: Jos頍iguel Navarro-Azor󸀍 Author-X-Name-First: Jos頍iguel Author-X-Name-Last: Navarro-Azor󸀍 Author-Name: Celestino SuᲥz-Burguet Author-X-Name-First: Celestino Author-X-Name-Last: SuᲥz-Burguet Title: A two-methodology comparison study of a spatial gravity model in the context of interregional trade flows Abstract: This article argues that the introduction of spatial interactions to model the determinants of origin-destination (OD) flows can potentially result in excessive contiguity. To explain flows between OD regions, it is not only what happens in the origin and destination that is relevant, but also what happens in their neighbouring regions. However, what happens if there is a high degree of overlap between origin neighbouring areas and destination neighbouring areas? The article presents an empirical illustration to re-examine the evidence presented in previous research (Alam᭓abater et al., 2013) and more closely analyses the territorial level, focusing on the case of interregional trade of goods at the NUTS3 level (Spanish provinces). We then use two different methodologies within the framework of a spatial gravity equation for interregional trade modelling. The findings confirm the importance of spatial dependence on trade flows and in particular that logistics decisions within a province affect shipments from contiguous provinces. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1481-1493 Issue: 14 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.997929 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.997929 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:14:p:1481-1493 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Muscettola Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Muscettola Title: Difficulties for small firms to invest in research prerogatives. An empirical analysis of a sample of Italian firms Abstract: It is a commonly accepted fact that a quite strong relation exists between research investments and the general wealth of a given area. The main goal of this study is to analyse and determine which financing sources better serve this need for innovation, taking a sample of 1000 private firms in current economic downturn. Small firms from Southern Italy often have no access to debt capital on nondeterministic research activities, and more importantly, it still seems like banks cannot afford to finance these kinds of operations, mainly because of their indeterminate nature. This research draws the conclusion that only self-evidently solvent firms have a chance of getting the financial help needed to innovate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1495-1510 Issue: 15 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.995363 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.995363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:15:p:1495-1510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hans Bonesrønning Author-X-Name-First: Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Bonesrønning Author-Name: Leiv Opstad Author-X-Name-First: Leiv Author-X-Name-Last: Opstad Title: Can student effort be manipulated? Does it matter? Abstract: This article provides evidence that college students' effort can be manipulated substantially by making changes in the college testing regime and moreover that student effort is a meaningful input in education production. The evidence comes from a quasi-experiment where a mid-semester test with a pass requirement is introduced to a mandatory one-semester Business School course in Macroeconomics. Four cohorts of students - one before and three after the introduction of the pass requirement - have reported their study effort twice during the semester, and the relationship between achievement and study effort is investigated by using a within-subject within-student across-study periods approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1511-1524 Issue: 15 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.997923 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.997923 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:15:p:1511-1524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio C. David Author-X-Name-First: Antonio C. Author-X-Name-Last: David Author-Name: Montfort Mlachila Author-X-Name-First: Montfort Author-X-Name-Last: Mlachila Author-Name: Ashwin Moheeput Author-X-Name-First: Ashwin Author-X-Name-Last: Moheeput Title: Does international integration matter for financial development in Africa? Abstract: This article analyses the links between international financial and trade integration and financial development in sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. It is based on a panel data set using methods that tackle slope heterogeneity, cross-sectional dependence and nonstationarity. The results do not point to a general direct robust link between trade and financial integration and financial development in SSA, once we control for other factors such as GDP per capita and inflation. The findings may be due to a number of factors including distortions in domestic financial markets, relatively weak institutions and/or poor financial sector supervision. We find some indication that financial integration is more important for financial development in countries with better institutional quality. Stronger scores in some measures of the quality of banking regulation and supervision are also linked to a positive association between integration and financial development in some of our results. Thus, African policy-makers should be cautious about expectations regarding immediate gains for financial development from greater international integration. Such gains are more likely to occur slowly and through indirect channels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1525-1549 Issue: 15 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.997925 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.997925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:15:p:1525-1549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heather Mitchell Author-X-Name-First: Heather Author-X-Name-Last: Mitchell Author-Name: Mark Fergusson Stewart Author-X-Name-First: Mark Fergusson Author-X-Name-Last: Stewart Title: What should you pay to host a party? An economic analysis of hosting sports mega-events Abstract: Governments all over the world put huge amounts of money into bidding for, and then hosting, sports events like Football's World Cup or the Olympic Games. They also give money to professional sports teams and other mega-events to encourage them to locate within a particular constituency. This article examines the statistical relationship between tourism and three Football World Cups and five Olympic Games, finding very little positive effect. Given this conclusion, the article looks at why governments continue to bid for these competitions. It presents evidence that shows that these sports contests make people happy, and argues that politicians capitalize on this feel-good factor; harnessing the hubris associated with these events for political gain. The article then contends that the best way to reduce the politics associated with bidding for mega-events is to allocate them via an auction, rather than the wasteful rent-seeking methods that are currently used. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1550-1561 Issue: 15 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000522 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000522 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:15:p:1550-1561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taoufik Bouraoui Author-X-Name-First: Taoufik Author-X-Name-Last: Bouraoui Title: The effect of reducing quantitative easing on emerging markets Abstract: On 22 May and 19 June 2013, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) announced a reduction in the asset purchase programme of its quantitative easing policy. This article investigates the impact of this news on the currencies of emerging markets. Using event study methodology, our results report a global significant depreciation in the currencies of all emerging markets in our sample, but with different depreciation sizes from one market to another. To test whether the depreciation in currencies is driven by capital flow components, a regression analysis is performed. Inward FDI as well as outward FDI appear to have more explanatory power than inward and outward portfolio investment in explaining the impact. With the slowdown in asset purchases by the Fed, emerging countries have incurred large capital outflows from their markets to the US market, resulting in a drop in their currencies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1562-1573 Issue: 15 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000524 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000524 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:15:p:1562-1573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Conghui Hu Author-X-Name-First: Conghui Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Xun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Qiuming Gao Author-X-Name-First: Qiuming Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Title: Synthetic CDO pricing: the perspective of risk integration Abstract: The underlying asset pool of collateral debt obligations (CDOs) simultaneously encompasses credit risk and market risk. However, the standard CDO pricing model not only underestimates the risk to the asset pool due to a poor description of the correlation structure among obligors but is also incapable of reflecting the impacts of interdependent markets, credit risks and systematic sudden shocks on the asset pool. This paper studies the joint impact of interrelated market and credit risk factors on the key inputs of CDO pricing (default probability, default correlation and default loss rate) under the framework of factor copula CDO pricing model and constructs a risk-integrated model for CDO pricing. In addition, we extend the static integrated model to a dynamic version by allowing the risk factors driven by the copula-GARCH process. The simulation results show that, compared with an integrated model, the premium of senior tranches is significantly lower under the standard model. Such difference is mainly due to different assumptions of the distributions of risk-driving factor. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1574-1587 Issue: 15 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000525 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:15:p:1574-1587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takeshi Yagihashi Author-X-Name-First: Takeshi Author-X-Name-Last: Yagihashi Author-Name: Juan Du Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Du Title: Intertemporal elasticity of substitution and risk aversion: are they related empirically? Abstract: This article examines the relationship between two types of preference: preference of intertemporal choices and preference towards risk. In the simplest form of the constant relative risk aversion utility function, the intertemporal elasticity of substitution (IES) and risk aversion have an inverse relationship. However, there is no empirical evidence that suggests this inverse relationship holds. We examine the relationship between risk aversion and IES using household consumption data from the Consumer Expenditure Survey during 1996-2010. Multiple risk domains are selected to represent risk preference, and for each domain, we consider some households to be more risk averse than others. We separately estimate IES for the more risk-averse and less risk-averse households. We find that the IES estimates are generally smaller for the more risk-averse households than for the less risk-averse households and that the difference is statistically significant in the majority of the financial domains. This finding supports the inverse relationship between the two parameters, although considerable heterogeneity is found across domains. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1588-1605 Issue: 15 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000530 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000530 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:15:p:1588-1605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rabia Arif Author-X-Name-First: Rabia Author-X-Name-Last: Arif Author-Name: Azam Chaudhry Author-X-Name-First: Azam Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhry Title: The effects of external migration on enrolments, accumulated schooling and dropouts in Punjab Abstract: External migration in developing countries can relax household income constraints because of external remittances. This paper looks at whether the external migration of individuals in a household has a positive effect on schooling outcomes of children as measured by school enrolments, accumulated level of schooling, number of days spent in school and dropouts in Punjab. Historic migration rates were used to instrument for migration in an analysis of school outcomes for children of different ages to see which group has been most affected by external migration. The results show a significantly positive impact of external migration on the enrolments of younger children, whereas, the accumulated level of schooling for older children increases significantly if there is an external migrant in the household. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1607-1632 Issue: 16 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000518 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000518 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:16:p:1607-1632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sajid Anwar Author-X-Name-First: Sajid Author-X-Name-Last: Anwar Author-Name: Sizhong Sun Author-X-Name-First: Sizhong Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Foreign direct investment in R&D and domestic entrepreneurship in China's manufacturing industries Abstract: This paper argues that internationalization of innovation and the related spillovers can also affect the likelihood of firm entry and exit into an industry. By making use of firm-level panel data from China over the period 2005 to 2007, this paper examines the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) in research and development (R&D) and the related linkages on entry and exit likelihoods of domestic firms in (i) transport equipment and (ii) electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing industries. In order to evaluate the region-of-origin effect, this paper also separately examines the impact of FDI in R&D originating from (i) all countries except Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan and (ii) Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan. Furthermore, the impact of FDI in R&D on entry and exit of Chinese firms in the two industries is examined by splitting the data into large and small firms within the two industries. The results of the pooled probit regression reveal that FDI in R&D and the related spillovers can have a significant impact on the likelihood of entry and exit of domestic firms in transport equipment and electric machinery and equipment industries. The empirical analysis also suggests that the impact of changes in FDI in R&D and the related spillovers varies across firm size. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1633-1651 Issue: 16 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000527 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000527 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:16:p:1633-1651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Duol Kim Author-X-Name-First: Duol Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Iljoong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Iljoong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Trade-offs in the allocation of prosecution resources: an opportunity cost of overcriminalization Abstract: One in every five citizens has a criminal record in Korea. Scarce prosecution resources have been severely skewed toward prosecuting more 'legislated crime' than 'conventional crime'. We estimate the opportunity cost of this prosecutory pattern in terms of spillovers to conventional crimes. The cost was found to be substantial. For example, in 2003, the total spillovers accounted for approximately 25% of the increase in conventional crimes for 3 years from 2000 because of the disproportionate prosecutory focus on legislated crimes compared with that of the 1990s. This article has relevance to those countries with an overcriminalizing trend for legislated crimes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1652-1669 Issue: 16 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000531 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000531 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:16:p:1652-1669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhuo Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Zhuo Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Author-Name: Wing-Keung Wong Author-X-Name-First: Wing-Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Which is a better investment choice in the Hong Kong residential property market: a big or small property? Abstract: The relationship between property size and property investment yield is an interesting issue in the real estate market. Previous studies usually use the mean-variance criterion to compare the return-risk profiles of the yields of different property sizes in the United States. However, this criterion has a few shortcomings. This article provides the first attempt to use a stochastic dominance approach to analyse this issue. We adopt two powerful stochastic dominance tests to compare the yields of five property size classes in the Hong Kong residential property market. In our study, we analyse two possible investment outcomes: (1) investors could not rent out their properties, and thus they would gain/lose from the appreciation/depreciation of residential property prices; (2) investors could also gain from rental incomes. Our empirical results provide strong evidence to show that the yields of smaller property classes stochastically dominate the yields of bigger property classes, suggesting that buying smaller properties is a better investment choice in the Hong Kong residential property market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1670-1685 Issue: 16 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000534 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:16:p:1670-1685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Nabila Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Nabila Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Abdoulkarim Idi Cheffou Author-X-Name-First: Abdoulkarim Idi Author-X-Name-Last: Cheffou Title: Are Islamic stock markets efficient? A time-series analysis Abstract: This article investigates the weak-form informational efficient hypothesis for three major Islamic stock markets (world, emerging and developed). Unlike previous studies, we applied different parametric and nonparametric tests to investigate efficiency in the short and long horizons. Using recent data over the period May 2002-June 2012, we developed a time-series analysis of Islamic stock price dynamics in the context of the recent global financial crisis (2008-2009). Our analysis offers two interesting results. First, emerging Islamic stock markets seem to be less efficient than developed Islamic markets, suggesting interesting investment opportunities and diversification benefits from this region in both the short run and the long run. Second, nonrejection of the cointegration hypothesis for developed Islamic markets and the global conventional stock market point to efficiency for the former in the long term, even if it is inefficient in the short term. This finding has at least two economic and political implications: (i) investors who seek moderate risk would do well to opt for Islamic funds in developed countries, particularly as they share the same tendency and provide similar expected returns in the long term as conventional funds, (ii) Islamic financial systems can offer a useful model that can help to reform and remodel conventional financial institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1686-1697 Issue: 16 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000535 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000535 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:16:p:1686-1697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Mourao Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Mourao Author-Name: Jos預edro Cabral Author-X-Name-First: Jos預edro Author-X-Name-Last: Cabral Title: Periodograms on fiscal illusion: discussing the cycle lengths of public finances in European countries Abstract: In this article, we study the duration of public finance cycles in 12 European countries since 1960. We applied periodogram techniques on the levels of fiscal illusion found for these established democracies and tested the statistical significance of the Fourier frequency peaks. Our empirical efforts revealed that most of the cycles in these countries could be characterized as long-term cycles (approximately 30 years), embodying subcycles of approximately 15 years. These findings show that in addition to the commonly studied electoral cycles or real business cycles, our democracies demonstrate extended public finance cycles that extend over various legislative tenures ruled by different political parties. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1698-1709 Issue: 16 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002901 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002901 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:16:p:1698-1709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hooi Hooi Lean Author-X-Name-First: Hooi Hooi Author-X-Name-Last: Lean Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Testing for weak-form efficiency of crude palm oil spot and future markets: new evidence from a GARCH unit root test with multiple structural breaks Abstract: There is a sizeable literature that tests for weak-form efficiency in commodity and energy spot and future prices. While many studies now allow for multiple structural breaks to address the criticism that conventional unit root tests have low power to reject the unit root null in the presence of structural change, the extant literature overlooks the fact that conventional unit root tests are biased in the presence of conditional heteroscedasticity. We apply a recently developed generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) unit root test with multiple structural breaks to crude palm oil spot and future prices and find much more evidence against weak-form efficiency than that found using tests that fail to allow for conditional heteroscedasticity. Our results point to the importance of allowing for heteroscedasticity when testing for efficiency in commodity and energy spot and future prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1710-1721 Issue: 16 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002905 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002905 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:16:p:1710-1721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Surendranath R. Jory Author-X-Name-First: Surendranath R. Author-X-Name-Last: Jory Author-Name: Thanh N. Ngo Author-X-Name-First: Thanh N. Author-X-Name-Last: Ngo Author-Name: Daphne Wang Author-X-Name-First: Daphne Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Amrita Saha Author-X-Name-First: Amrita Author-X-Name-Last: Saha Title: The market response to corporate scandals involving CEOs Abstract: This article examines corporate scandals of both a financial and nonfinancial nature between 1993 and 2011 which is expressly linked to a firm's CEO. Findings suggest that in the short run, investors react adversely to such events and that recalcitrant CEOs end up costing their shareholders dearly. Such scandals are more likely to occur among large firms, firms with insiders on the board and where the value of options granted to a firm's managers is substantial. However, firms with more cash flows are less likely to be mired in such scandals, and their stock returns are less likely to be affected. There is an increase in stock price volatility of affected firms in the days following the announcement of the scandal. A point of respite for investors is the damage being confined to the short run. The stock price performance of the firms affected by the scandals matches the performance of control firms in the long run post-announcement. However, the operating performance of the sample firms is better than their matched counterparts in the years after the scandal. We contribute to the extant literature by considering corporate scandal events that are the doings of a firm's CEO and not necessarily financially motivated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1723-1738 Issue: 17 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.995361 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.995361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:17:p:1723-1738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massomeh Hajilee Author-X-Name-First: Massomeh Author-X-Name-Last: Hajilee Author-Name: Omar M. Al Nasser Author-X-Name-First: Omar M. Author-X-Name-Last: Al Nasser Author-Name: Gladys H. Perez Author-X-Name-First: Gladys H. Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Title: Banking sector development and interest rate volatility in emerging economies Abstract: Over the last decades, macroeconomic stability is said to be one of the major concerns of emerging economies. Financial sector as a core of macroeconomic stability has been under close consideration of policy makers. The relationship between interest rate uncertainty and banking sector development as one of the most important indicators of financial sector development, especially for emerging economies, has not received enough attention in the literature. Perhaps this article is the most comprehensive study that investigates the relationship between interest rate uncertainty and banking sector development for a large group of emerging economies. To do this, the short-run and long-run models using a bounds testing approach to cointegration for 12 emerging economies over the period 1980-2011 have been developed. Estimated results from all models indicate that interest rate uncertainty has significant effect on banking sector development in both short-run and long-run phenomena in the majority of countries. The findings indicate that the link between interest rate uncertainty and banking sector development in each country depends on each country's specific structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1739-1747 Issue: 17 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000520 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000520 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:17:p:1739-1747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Ismail Saglam Author-X-Name-First: Ismail Author-X-Name-Last: Saglam Author-Name: Inayat Hussain Author-X-Name-First: Inayat Author-X-Name-Last: Hussain Title: Spectrum auction designs and revenue variations Abstract: This study examines a sample of 93 national 3G spectrum auctions for the period 2000-2011 to identify the sources of substantial revenue variations. An implied reduced-form econometric model that recognises the censored nature of the sample relates per capita winning bid (per Mhz, per million populations) values to regulator-determined auction design characteristics, auction competitiveness, mobile wireless market conditions and spectrum package attributes identified from tender documents. The analysis reveals that among other factors, all auction design characteristics independently impact on realized 3G spectrum auction revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1748-1763 Issue: 17 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000532 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000532 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:17:p:1748-1763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Author-Name: Marco Villatoro Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Villatoro Title: Is Beta-t-EGARCH(1,1) superior to GARCH(1,1)? Abstract: Statistical performance, in-sample point forecast precision and out-of-sample density forecast precision of GARCH(1,1) and Beta-t-EGARCH(1,1) models are compared. We study the volatility of nine global industry indices for period from April 2006 to July 2010. Competing models are estimated for periods before, during and after the United States (US) financial crisis of 2008. The results provide evidence of the superior out-of-sample predictive performance of Beta-t-EGARCH compared to GARCH after the US financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1764-1774 Issue: 17 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000536 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000536 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:17:p:1764-1774 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Nagac Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Nagac Title: Tax system and informal economy: a cross-country analysis Abstract: This article analyses determinants of informal economy. By using qualitative aspects of tax systems, first, we create a 'Smithian' tax system index based on Adam Smith's four maxims. Then, using this index and other control variables, we study determinants of informal economy. We use unique panel data set that is constructed by using various sources. After taking into account the endogeneity of tax burden and GDP per capita, our results show that 'Smithian' tax system index does not significantly affect informal economy. Our results suggest that rule of law, complexity of a tax system and tax burden affect informal economy negatively, while labour market regulations affect positively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1775-1787 Issue: 17 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002893 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002893 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:17:p:1775-1787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Ping Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Aziz N. Berdiev Author-X-Name-First: Aziz N. Author-X-Name-Last: Berdiev Title: Do natural disasters increase the likelihood that a government is replaced? Abstract: We examine the impact of natural disasters on the likelihood that a government is removed from office using panel data for 156 countries over the period 1975-2010. Employing a conditional logit model, we find that the occurrence of natural disasters, the number of natural disasters and disaster-related losses increase the chances that a government will be replaced. The magnitudes of these effects differ widely across natural disaster types, but are robust to the inclusion of economic and political variables and to model specifications. Overall, these findings are consistent across our sample of OECD and non-OECD countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1788-1808 Issue: 17 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002894 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002894 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:17:p:1788-1808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Fatih Ekinci Author-X-Name-First: M. Fatih Author-X-Name-Last: Ekinci Author-Name: F. Pinar Erdem Author-X-Name-First: F. Pinar Author-X-Name-Last: Erdem Author-Name: Zubeyir Kilinc Author-X-Name-First: Zubeyir Author-X-Name-Last: Kilinc Title: Credit growth, current account and financial depth Abstract: Exploring the determinants and dynamics of the current account balance is one of the priorities of academic literature and policy circles. Although the effects of structural variables are deeply analysed, a lesser attention has been paid to the impact of financial variables. Drawing on standard empirical current account models and with a large sample of industrial and developing countries, we report a significant deterioration in the current account balance in case of an increase in the credit growth. Moreover, we find that this link is substantially stronger for the developing ones motivating a closer examination. Therefore, we further advance our analysis and show that credit growth causes a stronger impact on the current account balance for lower levels of financial depth. In other words, at the early stages of financial development, acceleration in the credit growth might cause a larger deterioration in the current account balance; thus, it might be suggested that monetary policy and macro-prudential measures aimed at preventing financial excess might be more effective to reduce the external imbalances at the early stages of financial deepening. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1809-1821 Issue: 17 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002897 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002897 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:17:p:1809-1821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nestor M. Arguea Author-X-Name-First: Nestor M. Author-X-Name-Last: Arguea Author-Name: Richard R. Hawkins Author-X-Name-First: Richard R. Author-X-Name-Last: Hawkins Title: The rate elasticity of Florida tourist development (aka bed) taxes Abstract: One aspect of taxation in Florida is unique in that state policymakers have created several different tourist development taxes, generally allowing local governments to adopt up to four of these ad valorem levies (which can total 5%) on transient rentals. The rentals include, but are not limited to, hotel stays. In this article, we estimate the elasticity of this local tax base with respect to the rate for Florida counties with rate changes between 1998 and 2012. Results indicate several significant and large short-term declines from periodic county-level increases in the tax rate, but no significant long-term effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1823-1832 Issue: 18 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000519 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000519 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:18:p:1823-1832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shengrong Lu Author-X-Name-First: Shengrong Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Yanwu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yanwu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Convergence, technological interdependence and spatial externalities: a spatial dynamic panel data analysis Abstract: This study adopts a spatial dynamic panel data approach and spatial quasi-maximum likelihood to re-estimate the speed of growth convergence in 91 countries based on technological interdependence and spatial externalities. We perform a conditional Lagrange multiplier test for spatial error dependence and find some differences to previous studies. First, the switch from a cross-sectional to a dynamic panel data framework enables the estimated rate of conditional convergence to be higher, more accurate and more appropriate for realistic and theoretical expectations. Second, the spatial Durbin model (SDM) is a general form of simplified model that considers spatial error correlation, and its likelihood ratio test for the theoretical model of 'learning by doing' effect provides further evidence. Finally, statistical tests find that spatial correlation not only occurs in each variable, but also appears in the error term. Thus, the SDM does not exist in the assumptions associated with the spatial error, which are not necessarily correct. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1833-1846 Issue: 18 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000523 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000523 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:18:p:1833-1846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charlene M. Kalenkoski Author-X-Name-First: Charlene M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kalenkoski Author-Name: Gigi Foster Author-X-Name-First: Gigi Author-X-Name-Last: Foster Title: Measuring the relative productivity of multitasking to sole-tasking in household production: experimental evidence Abstract: The standard household production model does not incorporate multitasking, although time-diary data reveal that individuals regularly multitask. We incorporate multitasking into a household production model in which time spent in childcare can be sole-tasked or multitasked with another household production activity and we present the results of an experiment designed to measure the productivity parameters of this model. Because utility and productivity are intertwined and difficult to disentangle in any household production model, we vary the utility pay-offs our experimental participants receive in order to determine how our estimated productivity parameters are affected by a change in the utility parameters. Our estimates of the relative multitasking productivities indicate that, while a minute of sole-tasked time produces more of a single commodity than a minute of multitasked time, total household output increases when two outputs are produced simultaneously, hence confirming the economic motivation for multitasking. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1847-1862 Issue: 18 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000526 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000526 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:18:p:1847-1862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura E. Armey Author-X-Name-First: Laura E. Author-X-Name-Last: Armey Author-Name: Robert M. McNab Author-X-Name-First: Robert M. Author-X-Name-Last: McNab Title: Democratization and civil war Abstract: This article examines the impact of civil war on democratization, particularly focusing on whether civil war provides an opportunity for institutional reform. We investigate the impact of war termination in general, along with prolonged violence, rebel victory and international intervention on democratization. Using an unbalanced panel data set of 96 countries covering a 34-year period, our analysis suggests that civil war lowers democratization in the succeeding period. Our findings also suggest that United Nations intervention increases democratization, as do wars ending in stalemates. However, wars ending in rebel victories seem to reduce democratization. These findings appear robust to conditioning, different instrument sets, modelling techniques and the measurement of democracy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1863-1882 Issue: 18 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000529 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000529 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:18:p:1863-1882 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven J. Jordan Author-X-Name-First: Steven J. Author-X-Name-Last: Jordan Author-Name: Andrew Vivian Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Vivian Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: Location, location, location: currency effects and return predictability? Abstract: Most international financial market studies that compare across countries utilize the US dollar as the common numeraire. We explore the little studied question of the appropriate choice for the base currency and ask if currency choice can affect the final conclusion of whether predictability exists. We provide empirical results for stock return predictability that demonstrate the importance of the numeraire. For example, the existence (absence) of predictability for a US investor does not necessarily imply the existence (absence) of predictability for other foreign investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1883-1898 Issue: 18 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000537 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000537 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:18:p:1883-1898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shekar Bose Author-X-Name-First: Shekar Author-X-Name-Last: Bose Author-Name: Hafizur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Hafizur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Title: Examining the relationship between stock return volatility and trading volume: new evidence from an emerging economy Abstract: Using daily stock return data for individual stocks from an emerging economy, this article examines the relationship between return volatility and trading volume under the theoretical postulate of the mixture of distributions hypothesis. The results suggest that the contemporaneous trading volume as a proxy for latent information arrival to the market did not contribute to the removal of significant ARCH or Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity effects that are found in stocks at the first stage of the investigation. The same holds for the lagged volume except for one case. This, perhaps, suggests that the trading volume (contemporaneous or lagged) is not adequately conveying information to induce traders' views of the desirability of trade and, therefore, points to the need for searching for other micro and macro variables to be used as potential proxy for information arrival to the stock market of the emerging economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1899-1908 Issue: 18 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002885 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002885 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:18:p:1899-1908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shakil Quayes Author-X-Name-First: Shakil Author-X-Name-Last: Quayes Title: Outreach and performance of microfinance institutions: a panel analysis Abstract: Using a panel of 764 microfinance institutions (MFIs) from 87 countries, this study analyses the possible trade-off between outreach and performance and shows that greater depth of outreach has a positive impact on the financial performance of an MFI. The empirical results of this study should dispel the widely held apprehension that the recent emphasis on attainment of financial sustainability by the MFIs could seriously impair their outreach efforts and shows that outreach to the poor can actually bolster financial performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1909-1925 Issue: 18 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002891 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002891 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:18:p:1909-1925 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Giokas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Giokas Author-Name: Nicolaos Eriotis Author-X-Name-First: Nicolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Eriotis Author-Name: Ioannis Dokas Author-X-Name-First: Ioannis Author-X-Name-Last: Dokas Title: Efficiency and productivity of the food and beverage listed firms in the pre-recession and recessionary periods in Greece Abstract: This study uses data envelopment analysis to examine the liquidity and sales efficiency of the Food and Beverage listed firms in Athens Exchange in the period 2006-2012. The liquidity efficiency of the firms is higher than the sales efficiency but the results indicate that there are not statistical significant differences in the rankings estimated by the two models in each period. The Malmquist Productivity Index reveals that over the period of the study, firms have experienced an annual average increase in productivity of 0.5% (a slight progress). On examining the components of this productivity change, it becomes evident that firms have experienced an annual average of 2% increase in technology combined with a decrease in technical efficiency of -1.5%. The results indicate that 52.4% of the firms experienced productivity gains in the examined period, and this was mainly the result of technological gain rather than efficiency improvement. More than 90% of the firms in the sample shift the efficiency frontier and only 33.3% of the firms are catching up, improving their productivity by reducing inefficiency. Moreover, the empirical study reveals that the overall technical inefficiencies of the firms are primarily caused by pure technical inefficiencies rather than scale inefficiencies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1927-1941 Issue: 19 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002886 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:19:p:1927-1941 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Ahmet Göncü Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Author-X-Name-Last: Göncü Author-Name: Giray Ökten Author-X-Name-First: Giray Author-X-Name-Last: Ökten Title: Estimating sensitivities of temperature-based weather derivatives Abstract: Pricing of temperature-based weather derivatives has been studied in the literature; however, there is no analysis of the estimation of the sensitivities of weather derivatives in a stochastic model of temperatures. We use pathwise derivative and kernel methods to derive Monte Carlo estimators for the sensitivity (Greeks) of temperature-based weather derivatives. These sensitivities can be used by investors for choosing the most suitable weather contracts for partial hedging or speculation. Temperature data from New York, Atlanta and Chicago are used in the discussion of numerical results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1942-1955 Issue: 19 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002888 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002888 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:19:p:1942-1955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristhian Mellado Author-X-Name-First: Cristhian Author-X-Name-Last: Mellado Author-Name: Diego Escobari Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Escobari Title: Virtual integration of financial markets: a dynamic correlation analysis of the creation of the Latin American Integrated Market Abstract: This article investigates the role of virtual integration of financial markets on stock market return co-movements. In May of 2011, the Chilean, Colombian and Peruvian stock markets virtually integrated their stock exchanges and central securities depositories to form the Latin American Integrated Market (MILA). We utilize the dynamic conditional correlation model proposed by Engle (2002) to identify a statistically significant positive correlation between these markets. Moreover, we find strong evidence that the creation of the MILA increased the levels of dynamic correlation between stock returns. A higher correlation was also found during the dot-com bubble and the 2007 financial crises. Our results imply a decline in gains from international diversification by holding portfolios consisting of diverse stocks of these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1956-1971 Issue: 19 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002892 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:19:p:1956-1971 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Rivera Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Rivera Author-Name: B. Casal Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Casal Author-Name: L. Currais Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Currais Title: Length of stay and mental health of the immigrant population in Spain: evidence of the healthy immigrant effect Abstract: This article analyses the relationship between how long immigrant populations reside in the country of destination and the state of their mental health. The empirical approach to this relationship relies on data from the Spanish National Health Survey 2011-2012. The results confirm a Healthy Immigrant Effect that tends to decline in accordance with how long the immigrant stays. Immigrants who have been residing for less than 10 years in Spain have better mental health than the national population as a whole. It is important to study health disparities among the foreign population and how these evolve to ensure that it has access to health services and that its health care needs are met. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1972-1982 Issue: 19 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002895 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:19:p:1972-1982 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Younes Ben Zaied Author-X-Name-First: Younes Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Zaied Author-Name: Marie Estelle Binet Author-X-Name-First: Marie Estelle Author-X-Name-Last: Binet Title: Modelling seasonality in residential water demand: the case of Tunisia Abstract: This article proposes to model seasonal patterns of residential water demand using the techniques of seasonal integration and cointegration. The methodology is applied to quarterly aggregate time series data for Tunisia (1980-2007), applying the same increasing, multi-step pricing scheme in the whole country. First, a seasonal cointegration analysis demonstrates the relevance of a pricing policy that increases the size of the lower consumption block in summer. Second, the nonseasonal cointegration analysis reveals a relatively high price elasticity for the highest consumption block. Therefore, we also propose to increase the tariff progressivity to promote water savings. This modified pricing scheme will help to achieve goals of environmental protection and social equity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1983-1996 Issue: 19 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002896 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002896 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:19:p:1983-1996 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dan Saar Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Saar Author-Name: Yossi Yagil Author-X-Name-First: Yossi Author-X-Name-Last: Yagil Title: Corporate yield curves as predictors of future economic and financial indicators Abstract: The government yield curve is known for its ability to predict the future growth rate of the economy. Later studies showed that credit spreads can assist in predicting macroeconomic behaviour as well. We extend this notion by utilizing corporate yield curves and demonstrating that corporate yield curve spreads can predict future economic growth, the future state of the economy and stock market behaviour. In addition, our sample covers the most recent data available, and it also includes the crash year of 2008 and the recovery period following it. Our results reveal a trade-off effect between the government yield curve, which is a better predictor for long-term forecasting, and the corporate yield curves, which are better predictors for short-term predictions. In addition, we show that both the government and corporate yield curves are more effective in predicting negative rather than positive economic changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1997-2011 Issue: 19 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002898 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002898 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:19:p:1997-2011 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meixin Guo Author-X-Name-First: Meixin Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Huiran Pan Author-X-Name-First: Huiran Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: Can cross-listing relax financial frictions in trade and equity holdings? A sector-level analysis Abstract: Previous studies have documented the positive mutual relationship between bilateral aggregate goods trade and asset holdings. This article examines whether financial frictions play an important role in this mutual relationship. Instrumental variable Poisson pseudo maximum likelihood (IV-PPML) estimation method is applied to a new panel of data on US imports and foreign equity holdings in 20 manufacturing sectors from 43 countries over the period 2001-2007. The results confirm the significantly positive relationship between goods trade and equity holdings, and show that financial frictions are an important factor causing this positive correlation. In addition, we find that equity cross-listings in the US stock markets provide external funds to relax financial frictions and promote goods trade. This impact varies with different measures of financial frictions in developing and developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2012-2029 Issue: 19 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002900 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002900 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:19:p:2012-2029 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Afschin Gandjour Author-X-Name-First: Afschin Author-X-Name-Last: Gandjour Title: A model to optimize investments in health technologies, quality of care and research Abstract: Funds for health technologies compete with funds for implementing health technologies as well as funds for conducting research to reduce uncertainty around treatment and implementation cost-effectiveness. No study has yet shown how to allocate a combined budget for health technologies, implementation and research. The purpose of this work was to present an allocation model with the goal to maximize health. Based on a constrained optimization formulation, we show that considering opportunities to invest in implementation and research may justify considerable disinvestment in health technologies. This may reduce the willingness to pay for new health technologies significantly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2031-2039 Issue: 20 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.995366 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.995366 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:20:p:2031-2039 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-Chu Chuang Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Chuang Author-Name: Yi-Hsien Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Tsai-Jung Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Tsai-Jung Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Author-Name: Shuo-Li Chuang Author-X-Name-First: Shuo-Li Author-X-Name-Last: Chuang Title: Hedging effectiveness of the hedged portfolio: the expected utility maximization subject to the value-at-risk approach Abstract: Multivariate volatilities and distribution play an important role in portfolio selection and can be used to calculate the value-at-risk (VaR) of a multiple-asset financial position. This study proposes a new expected utility maximization (EUM) model that accounts for VaR (EUM model with a VaR constraint (EUM-VaR)). Additionally, using the EUM-VaR model, this study investigates the hedging effectiveness of short and long hedged portfolios constructed with multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH)-type models that feature level effects and multivariate normal and skewed distributions for stock indexes and their corresponding futures in the Greater China Region. It is found that, all else equal, portfolios constructed using the multivariate skewed distribution are far more effective in hedging than those that rely on the other distributions, and the effectiveness of hedged portfolios from the multivariate GARCH-type models with level effects outperform those without level effects. Additionally, the effectiveness of hedged portfolios from multivariate asymmetric GARCH-type models exceeds that of those from multivariate symmetric GARCH-type models. Thus, investors should select the multivariate asymmetry in volatility, multivariate asymmetry in distribution, and EUM-VaR models to construct effectively hedged portfolios. The results of this study can provide useful implications for investors looking to manage risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2040-2052 Issue: 20 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000528 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000528 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:20:p:2040-2052 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Larry Li Author-X-Name-First: Larry Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Operational risk, the legal system and governance indicators: a country-level analysis Abstract: A total of 4388 operational loss events recorded over three decades in 53 countries are analysed on a country level in terms of the size of the economy, the standard of living, the legal system, the regional factor and six governance indicators. The results show that the average severity of the operational losses incurred by firms located in a particular country is positively related to the size of the economy and the standard of living. The results also show that loss of severity is negatively related to governance indicators, particularly regulatory quality. The frequency of operational loss events is also positively related to the size of the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2053-2072 Issue: 20 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000533 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000533 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:20:p:2053-2072 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karl Ludwig Keiber Author-X-Name-First: Karl Ludwig Author-X-Name-Last: Keiber Author-Name: Helene Samyschew Author-X-Name-First: Helene Author-X-Name-Last: Samyschew Title: The role of sentiment in global risk premia Abstract: This article examines the role of sentiment for global risk premia. We analyse whether the global risk premia on macroeconomic fundamentals can be estimated more thoroughly if sentiment is included as additional conditioning information. The analysis is performed in the framework of a conditional multiple beta pricing model. The focus of analysis is the asset excess returns of the G-7 stock markets in the period from February 1999 to February 2012. The obtained results indicate that sentiment as conditioning information is able to contribute to the explanation of the general macroeconomic risk premia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2073-2091 Issue: 20 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002887 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:20:p:2073-2091 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Palardy Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Palardy Author-Name: Tomi Ovaska Author-X-Name-First: Tomi Author-X-Name-Last: Ovaska Title: Decomposing household, professional and market forecasts on inflation: a dynamic factor model analysis Abstract: A dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility is used to investigate the relationships between three alternative measures of inflation expectations. The results show evidence of both a common time-varying trend and a common transitory component between inflation and short-term inflation expectations from households, professionals and markets. While the common time-varying trend has declined in both level and volatility since the early 1980s, it was found that consumer expectations are disproportionately influenced by the visibility of prices of select few goods. Roughly speaking, a 1% point increase in food and energy prices leads to about 1/3% point increase in consumer forecasts of inflation. In terms of policymaking, this finding suggests that stability in highly visible prices can moderate inflation in a meaningful way. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2092-2101 Issue: 20 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002889 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002889 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:20:p:2092-2101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabrizio Rossi Author-X-Name-First: Fabrizio Author-X-Name-Last: Rossi Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Title: Stock market reactions to announcements of the board of directors: evidence from Italy Abstract: The board of directors plays an important role in corporate governance. It is an internal mechanism that controls and monitors the actions of managers and aligns the utility functions between corporate owners and managers. The board of directors performs multiple functions that concern, for example, the replacement of the managers, financial policy, the preparation of strategic plans and other actions that affect the performance of the company. The board plays an important role since on the one hand it controls the actions of management and on the other it advises the management regarding the strategies to be adopted. In this study, 100 announcements regarding the appointment of the board of directors of 100 Italian listed companies during the period 2012-2014 are investigated. The results show a positive reaction within 20 days around the announcement date. In four of the six time windows, cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) are positive and statistically significant. The positive reaction of the market would appear, however, to be linked more to the composition of the board of directors than to the size of the board of directors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2102-2118 Issue: 20 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002902 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002902 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:20:p:2102-2118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harald Badinger Author-X-Name-First: Harald Author-X-Name-Last: Badinger Author-Name: Jesus Crespo Cuaresma Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Crespo Cuaresma Title: Aggregravity: estimating gravity models from aggregate data Abstract: This article considers alternative methods to estimate econometric models based on bilateral data when only aggregate information on the dependent variable is available. Such methods can be used to obtain an indication of the sign and magnitude of bilateral model parameters and, more importantly, to decompose aggregate into bilateral data, which can then be used as proxy variables in further empirical analyses. We perform a Monte Carlo study and carry out a simple real world application using intra-EU trade and capital flows, showing that the methods considered work reasonably well and are worthwhile being considered in the absence of bilateral data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2119-2126 Issue: 20 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002903 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002903 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:20:p:2119-2126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Bajo-Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Bajo-Rubio Author-Name: Carmen D𮠭Mora Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: D𮠭Mora Title: On the employment effects of outward FDI: the case of Spain, 1995-2011 Abstract: In this article, we analyse the impact on domestic employment resulting from outward FDI performed by Spanish firms, using industry data for the period 1995-2011. Together with the effects on the total employment, we differentiate the effects according to the particular groups of countries and activities to which those FDI outflows are addressed. In addition, the impact of outward FDI on the demand for labour is also analysed separately for high and low skill levels of the labour force. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2127-2141 Issue: 21 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002904 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:21:p:2127-2141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Christensen Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Christensen Author-Name: Michael Vangsgaard Christensen Author-X-Name-First: Michael Vangsgaard Author-X-Name-Last: Christensen Author-Name: Ken Gamskjaer Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Gamskjaer Title: Delegated portfolio management and optimal allocation of portfolio managers Abstract: In this article, we investigate whether the application of the mean-variance framework on portfolio manager allocation offers any out-of-sample benefits compared to a naﶥ strategy of equal weighting. Based on an exclusive data-set of high-net-worth (HNW) investors, we utilize a wide variety of methodologies to estimate the input parameters including exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA), generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) and Bayes-Stein shrinkage estimation. We apply nine different mean-variance models, but find that none of these present any consistent benefit over a naﶥ strategy of equal weighting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2142-2153 Issue: 21 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005811 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005811 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:21:p:2142-2153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niels Hermes Author-X-Name-First: Niels Author-X-Name-Last: Hermes Author-Name: Aljar Meesters Author-X-Name-First: Aljar Author-X-Name-Last: Meesters Title: Financial liberalization, financial regulation and bank efficiency: a multi-country analysis Abstract: This article investigates the impact of financial reforms on bank efficiency. More specifically, we distinguish between two different types of financial reforms, i.e. financial liberalization measures and measures of the quality of bank regulation and supervision (i.e. financial regulation), and study their relationship to bank efficiency separately. Moreover, we analyse whether the impact of financial liberalization on bank efficiency is conditional on the quality of regulation and supervision of the banking system. We apply stochastic frontier analysis to calculate bank efficiency at the individual bank level and use a new and detailed database that measures different aspects of financial reforms. The data-set consists of 87 312 bank-year observations covering 61 countries for the period 1996-2005. Overall, we show that the impact of financial liberalization policies on bank efficiency is conditional on the extent to which bank regulation and supervision has been adopted and developed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2154-2172 Issue: 21 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005815 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005815 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:21:p:2154-2172 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. H. Chung Author-X-Name-First: J. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: T. H. Yoo Author-X-Name-First: T. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Government policy, network externalities and mobile telecommunication services: evidence from OECD countries Abstract: This article analyses the effect of government policy on the diffusion of mobile telecommunication services in member countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Specifically, we examine how the competition in and standard policies of each country affect cellular diffusion through interactions with positive and negative network externalities. The empirical analysis shows that significant network externality effects exist in a cellular market. Although the positive effects dominate the negative effects initially, the negative network externality effects become larger and outweigh the positive externality effects after a certain level of diffusion rate has been achieved. In particular, a single standard policy and the speed of technological innovation combined with the previous penetration rate generate a positive network externality on the diffusion of mobile telecommunications. However, a competition policy that solely increases the rate of new subscriptions does not generate any interacting effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2173-2183 Issue: 21 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005816 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005816 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:21:p:2173-2183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Hanna Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hanna Author-Name: L. L鶩 Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: L鶩 Author-Name: S. Petit Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Petit Title: Intra-tourism trade, income distribution and tourism endowment: an econometric investigation Abstract: Empirical investigation (Nowak et al., 2012) points out that vertical intra-industry trade (VIIT) in Europe is the dominant type of intra-industry trade (IIT) in the tourism sector. This article is the first in tourism literature to test separately the determinants of vertically and horizontally differentiated services, using the most recent models in the theory of IIT. We examine bilateral trade among all trading partners of the sample of European countries, covering the period from 2000 to 2008. We show that differences in gross domestic product per capita and the income-distribution overlap, as well as cultural proximity, are the most significant driving forces behind VIIT for European countries. Geographic distance has a negative effect, whereas specific tourism endowments and relative size of the economies are less conclusive. These results confirm theory predictions and most of the empirical findings related to the pattern of VIIT for the manufacturing sector. As expected, we find that determinants of VIIT cannot explain horizontal intra-industry trade in tourism. We suggest two alternative methods of estimation: generalized least squares logistic function and the fractional logit estimator. We conclude that there are common factors explaining IIT in the manufacturing and tourism trades. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2184-2200 Issue: 21 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005817 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005817 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:21:p:2184-2200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mateja Matajič Author-X-Name-First: Mateja Author-X-Name-Last: Matajič Author-Name: Timotej Jagrič Author-X-Name-First: Timotej Author-X-Name-Last: Jagrič Author-Name: Jani Bekő Author-X-Name-First: Jani Author-X-Name-Last: Bekő Title: A differentiated tolls system - an effective transport policy tool for Slovenia? Abstract: We provide an econometric model of passenger and freight transportation demand based on panel data for 10 sections of toll roads in Slovenia. Transportation demand on Slovenian motorways is price inelastic. The price elasticity of transportation demand statistically varies among different parts of the toll sections, so it would seem sensible to introduce a differentiated toll system that would allow the simultaneous achievement of multiple objectives, such as increasing the internalization of the external costs of transport, increasing transportation demand management on the basis of price and increasing cost recovery for the maintenance and development of toll roads in Slovenia. Transportation demand is even more responsive to changes in fuel price than changes in tolls, so transportation policy can manage transportation demand using differences in fuel prices. Based on estimates of demand models differentiated according to several geographical groups of road sections, we also find that growth in the price elasticity of transportation demand in Slovenia can be achieved through the expansion of the transport supply by increasing the competitiveness of rail transport and alternative transportation routes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2201-2217 Issue: 21 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005818 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005818 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:21:p:2201-2217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yueming Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Yueming Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Yi David Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yi David Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jianfeng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jianfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Implied discount rate and payback threshold of energy efficiency investment in the industrial sector Abstract: The industrial sector is responsible for about a third of the energy usage in the United States, and there is significant energy saving potential from the industrial sector. However, the phenomenon of "energy efficiency gap" - the scenario in which cost-effective energy efficient technologies enjoy only limited market success - appears frequently in the industrial sector. This article tries to explain this efficiency gap in the industrial sector by empirically estimating the implied discount rates and payback thresholds industrial firms use to evaluate their energy efficiency investments. Using the Industrial Assessment Centers (IAC) database from 2002 to 2011, with more than 30 000 energy efficiency recommendations, this article builds structural models of firms' evaluation of an energy efficiency project. The model results show that the implied discount rates of medium to small industrial firms range from 40 to 45%, and the average payback threshold is about 9 months. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2218-2233 Issue: 21 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005820 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005820 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:21:p:2218-2233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tina Dulam Author-X-Name-First: Tina Author-X-Name-Last: Dulam Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Title: Emigration, wage differentials and brain drain: the case of Suriname Abstract: In this article, we examine two hypotheses concerning emigration. The first hypothesis is that emigration is positively correlated with wage differentials. The second hypothesis concerns a positive correlation between emigration and higher education in the sending country (the so-called brain gain hypothesis). We analyse unique time-series data for Suriname for the period 1972-2009, for which we fit error correction models to disentangle short-run from long-run effects. We document moderate support for the first hypothesis, but we find strong support for the brain drain (and not brain gain) hypothesis. We conclude with implications of our findings for Suriname. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2339-2347 Issue: 23 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005826 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:23:p:2339-2347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian (Wai-Kong) Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Adrian (Wai-Kong) Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Crypto-currency bubbles: an application of the Phillips-Shi-Yu (2013) methodology on Mt. Gox bitcoin prices Abstract: The creation of bitcoin heralded the arrival of digital or crypto-currency and has been regarded as a phenomenon. Since its introduction, it has experienced a meteoric rise in price and rapid growth accompanied by huge volatility swings, and also attracted plenty of controversies which even involved law enforcement agencies. Hence, claims abound that bitcoin has been characterized by bubbles ready to burst any time (e.g. the recent collapse of bitcoin's biggest exchange, Mt Gox). This has earned plenty of coverage in the media but surprisingly not in the academic literature. We therefore fill this knowledge gap. We conduct an econometric investigation of the existence of bubbles in the bitcoin market based on a recently developed technique that is robust in detecting bubbles - that of Phillips et al. (2013a). Over the period 2010-2014, we detected a number of short-lived bubbles; most importantly, we found three huge bubbles in the latter part of the period 2011-2013 lasting from 66 to 106 days, with the last and biggest one being the one that 'broke the camel's back' - the demise of the Mt Gox exchange. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2348-2358 Issue: 23 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005827 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:23:p:2348-2358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Seema Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Seema Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Stephan Popp Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: Popp Author-Name: Huson Ali Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Huson Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Ahmed Title: Is the efficient market hypothesis day-of-the-week dependent? Evidence from the banking sector Abstract: In this article, we propose a new hypothesis: that the efficient market hypothesis is day-of-the-week-dependent. We apply the test to firms belonging to the banking sector and listed on the NYSE. We find significant evidence that the efficient market hypothesis is day-of-the-week-dependent. Overall, for only 62% of firms, the unit root null hypothesis is rejected on all the five trading days. We also discover that when investors do not account for unit root properties in devising trading strategies, they obtain spurious profits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2359-2378 Issue: 23 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005828 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005828 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:23:p:2359-2378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martina Lawless Author-X-Name-First: Martina Author-X-Name-Last: Lawless Author-Name: Brian O'Connell Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: O'Connell Author-Name: Conor O'Toole Author-X-Name-First: Conor Author-X-Name-Last: O'Toole Title: Financial structure and diversification of European firms Abstract: Small and medium enterprises have been shown to rely mainly on banks for funding and, unlike larger firms, rarely have direct access to capital markets. This article looks at the extent to which SMEs avail of a wider range of funding options and how their use differs across firms and countries. Across all countries, we find that firms are currently using two or three sources of finance to fund their operations and have had previous experience of other types of funding. There are some noticeable differences across countries with peripheral economies generally being less diversified. Differences across firm size and age groups are more marked than cross-country variation, with smaller and younger firms significantly more reliant on a limited set of finance types and older, larger firms having more diversified financial structures. Looking at individual sources of financing, we find that trade credit and informal sources of finance are extremely prevalent across all countries, with Irish firms being particularly likely to use them as sources of funding. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2379-2398 Issue: 23 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005829 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005829 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:23:p:2379-2398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marie Poprawe Author-X-Name-First: Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Poprawe Title: A panel data analysis of the effect of corruption on tourism Abstract: This study empirically tests the hypothesis that corruption has a negative effect on tourism. Having to pay bribes while on holiday or a business trip increases the costs of travelling to a country where corruption is prevalent. Tourists are thus more likely to travel to countries where these additional costs do not need to be incurred. This hypothesis is tested using a panel data set of over 100 countries and 16 years. The results indicate that a 1-point increase in the Corruption Perception Index (implying a decrease in corruption) results in a 2% to 7% increase in tourist inflows. In addition, tourist inflows rise with GDP per capita, openness and growth and are higher in countries with a temperate climate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2399-2412 Issue: 23 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005874 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005874 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:23:p:2399-2412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kostas Mavromaras Author-X-Name-First: Kostas Author-X-Name-Last: Mavromaras Author-Name: Peter Sloane Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Sloane Author-Name: Zhang Wei Author-X-Name-First: Zhang Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: The scarring effects of unemployment, low pay and skills under-utilization in Australia compared Abstract: There is a substantial literature on the scarring effects of unemployment on future employment prospects and a smaller one on the scarring effects of low pay, but the possibility that skills mismatch, in the form of skills under-utilization, may have similar detrimental effects has not been considered before. We use the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia panel to investigate the dynamics of unemployment, low pay and skills under-utilization, including differences by gender and education. We show that, in addition to earlier evidence on wage penalties and reduced job satisfaction, skills under-utilization scars future employment prospects in a way similar to that of low pay. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2413-2429 Issue: 23 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008762 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:23:p:2413-2429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Bruestle Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Bruestle Author-Name: W. Mark Crain Author-X-Name-First: W. Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Crain Title: A mean-variance approach to forecasting with the consumer confidence index Abstract: This article refines the way consumer confidence survey data are used in forecasting models. The refinement is easy to describe: it extends existing models by controlling for statistically significant changes in consumer confidence index values. The motivation behind this refinement is simply that not all changes in the confidence index are statistically significant, and mean index values alone provide a noisy signal. Using Michigan Index of Consumer Confidence from 1967 through 2013, we show that controlling for significant versus insignificant changes in the consumer confidence index materially enhances the explanatory power of household expenditure forecasting models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2430-2444 Issue: 23 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008763 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:23:p:2430-2444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Ventosa-Santaul಩a Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Ventosa-Santaul಩a Author-Name: M. G󭥺-Zald񸑲 Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: G󭥺-Zald񸑲 Author-Name: F. H. Wallace Author-X-Name-First: F. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Wallace Title: The real exchange rate, regime changes and volatility shifts Abstract: We make use of a data-set with both long span and high frequency to test for purchasing power parity (PPP) while allowing for a structural shift in the volatility of the Mexico-US bilateral real exchange rate (RER). The Kim, Leybourne and Newbold (2002) unit root test, robust to changes in the innovation variance, indicates mean stationarity of the monthly RER, and hence evidence of PPP, for the full sample, 1930-2012, and various subsamples. The persistence of deviations of the real rate from its PPP level as measured by half-lives ranges from 1.37 to 2.41 years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2445-2454 Issue: 24 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005821 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005821 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:24:p:2445-2454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Burkhard Raunig Author-X-Name-First: Burkhard Author-X-Name-Last: Raunig Title: Firm credit risk in normal times and during the crisis: are banks less risky? Abstract: Bank solvency was a major issue during the financial crisis of 2007-2009, but bank credit default swap (CDS) spreads were almost always below nonbank CDS spreads. What is the reason for this gap? Are banks perceived to be less risky? This study empirically decomposes CDS premia for 45 major banks and 167 large industrial firms from Europe and the US. It turns out that expected losses are usually somewhat lower for banks than for nonbanks, but expected losses contribute relatively little to the observed CDS premia. CDS spreads for banks and nonbanks differ mainly because market participants require a lower compensation for bearing bank credit risk. The quite persistent difference in the credit risk premia for banks and nonbanks disappears only temporarily during the crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2455-2469 Issue: 24 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008758 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008758 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:24:p:2455-2469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joshua Healy Author-X-Name-First: Joshua Author-X-Name-Last: Healy Author-Name: Kostas Mavromaras Author-X-Name-First: Kostas Author-X-Name-Last: Mavromaras Author-Name: Peter J. Sloane Author-X-Name-First: Peter J. Author-X-Name-Last: Sloane Title: Adjusting to skill shortages in Australian SMEs Abstract: Skill shortages are often portrayed as a major problem for advanced economies, yet there is surprisingly little empirical evidence about how firms adjust to skill shortages and their associated effects on firm performance. This article provides new evidence from the Business Longitudinal Database, an Australian data set with unusually rich information on the causes and consequences of skill shortages in small- and medium-sized enterprises. We document the range of alternative strategies that firms adopt when responding to skill shortages and show that certain types of adaptation are used in some cases and not in others, depending on the type of shortage encountered and other attributes of the firm. Further, we show that certain types of skill shortage are more likely to be long-lasting and difficult to resolve, while others are alleviated relatively quickly with minimal adjustment. Our findings yield lessons for the skill utilization strategies of firms and for the labour market policies of governments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2470-2487 Issue: 24 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008764 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008764 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:24:p:2470-2487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Shun Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Shun Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Chien-Chih Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Hsiao-Yin Chen Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Optimal diversification, bank value maximization and default probability Abstract: This study argues that the optimal level of diversification for the maximization of bank value is asymmetrical and depends on the business cycle. During times of expansion, systematic risks are relatively low; hence, the effect of raising systematic risks from portfolio diversification is slight. Consequently, the benefit of reducing individual risks dominates any loss from raising systematic risks, leading to a higher value for a bank by holding a diversified portfolio of assets. On the contrary, during times of recession, systematic risks are relatively high. It is more likely that the loss from raising systematic risks surpasses the benefit of reducing individual risks from portfolio diversification. Consequently, more diversification leads to lower bank values. Finally, some empirical evidence from the banks in Taiwan is provided. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2488-2499 Issue: 24 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008766 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008766 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:24:p:2488-2499 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stijn Van Puyvelde Author-X-Name-First: Stijn Author-X-Name-Last: Van Puyvelde Author-Name: Ralf Caers Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Caers Author-Name: Cind Du Bois Author-X-Name-First: Cind Author-X-Name-Last: Du Bois Author-Name: Marc Jegers Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Jegers Title: Does organizational ownership matter? Objectives of employees in public, nonprofit and for-profit nursing homes Abstract: Does organizational ownership matter for employees? We conducted a discrete choice experiment to reveal employees' objectives in for-profit, nonprofit and governmental nursing homes. The results indicate that differences in objectives among nursing home staff are at least partially related to differences in ownership type. More specifically, we find that employees of public nursing homes are less extrinsically motivated than their for-profit and nonprofit counterparts. However, the results also show that employees of for-profit, nonprofit and governmental nursing homes are trading off output quality and output quantity differently, in line with the view that public providers of elderly care are pursuing a supplier-of-last-resort objective function. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2500-2513 Issue: 24 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:24:p:2500-2513 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinfang Li Author-X-Name-First: Jinfang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The asymmetric effects of investor sentiment and monetary policy on stock prices Abstract: We examine the impact of investor sentiment and monetary policy on the stock prices under different market states based on the Markov-switching vector autoregression (MS-VAR) model. The results show that the sentiment shocks, more than monetary policy shocks, lead to not only much larger fluctuations of stock prices but also much longer duration in the stock market downturn than in the stock market expansion, which shows obvious asymmetric effect. Moreover, the responses of stock prices to the sentiment shocks present an immediate effect, while the responses of stock prices to the monetary policy shocks show one-period lag effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2514-2522 Issue: 24 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008770 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008770 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:24:p:2514-2522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Dixon Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Dixon Author-Name: G. C. Lim Author-X-Name-First: G. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Jan C. van Ours Author-X-Name-First: Jan C. Author-X-Name-Last: van Ours Title: The effect of shocks to labour market flows on unemployment and participation rates Abstract: This article presents an analysis of labour market dynamics, in particular of flows in the labour market and how they interact and affect the evolution of unemployment rates and participation rates, the two main indicators of labour market performance. Our analysis has two special features. First, apart from the two labour market states - employment and unemployment - we consider a third state - out of the labour force. Second, we study net rather than gross flows, where net refers to the balance of flows between any two labour market states. Distinguishing a third state is important because the labour market flows to and from that state are quantitatively important. Focusing on net flows simplifies the complexity of interactions between the flows and allows us to perform a dynamic analysis in a structural vector-autoregression framework. We find that a shock to the net flow from unemployment to employment drives the unemployment rate and the participation rate in opposite directions while a shock to the net flow from not in the labour force to unemployment drives the rates in the same direction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2523-2539 Issue: 24 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008771 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008771 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:24:p:2523-2539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leonardo Becchetti Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Author-X-Name-Last: Becchetti Author-Name: Rocco Ciciretti Author-X-Name-First: Rocco Author-X-Name-Last: Ciciretti Author-Name: Ambrogio Dalò Author-X-Name-First: Ambrogio Author-X-Name-Last: Dalò Author-Name: Stefano Herzel Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Herzel Title: Socially responsible and conventional investment funds: performance comparison and the global financial crisis Abstract: We investigate the performance of socially responsible funds (SRFs) and conventional funds (CFs) in different market (geographical area and class size) segments during the period 1992-2012. From an unbalanced sample of more than 22 000 funds, we define a matched sample using a beta-distance measure to match any SRF with the 'nearest neighbour' CF in terms of sensitivity to risk factors. Using this matching approach and a recursive analysis, we identify several switch points in the lead/lag relationship between the two investment styles over time in different market segments. A relevant finding of our analysis is that SRFs played an 'insurance role' outperforming CFs during the 2007 global financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2541-2562 Issue: 25 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000517 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000517 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:25:p:2541-2562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rigoberto A. Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Rigoberto A. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Yizao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yizao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: TV advertising spillovers and demand for private labels: the case of carbonated soft drinks Abstract: The expansion of private labels, or store brands, has transformed consumer choice sets and competition in retail markets, prompting manufacturers to fight back with renewed pricing and product and promotion strategies to forestall further private label expansion. This article examines the spillover effects of television advertising on brand-level consumer demand for carbonated soft drinks (CSDs), including private labels, using a random coefficients logit model with household purchasing and advertising viewing Nielsen data. As in previous work, we find that although brand spillover effects significantly increase demand for CSD brands in the same company and undermine demand facing other manufacturers' CSD brands, surprisingly, there are positive spillover effects on the demand for private label brands. This indicates that brand advertising is persuasive with respect to manufacturers' brands but complementary with respect to private labels. Further results show that eliminating television advertising for CSDs would lower aggregate CSD sales as consumers migrate to other beverages, although private labels stand to gain, particularly Wal-Mart brands. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2563-2576 Issue: 25 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002899 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002899 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:25:p:2563-2576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. V. Esteban Author-X-Name-First: M. V. Author-X-Name-Last: Esteban Author-Name: E. Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Author-Name: S. Orbe-Mandaluniz Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Orbe-Mandaluniz Title: Nonparametric methods for estimating and testing for constant betas in asset pricing models Abstract: In this article, we study the performance of a smoothing spline method in estimating and testing for constant betas in two well-known asset pricing models, the usual market model and the three-factor model. The spline estimator is computed taking into account the conditional heteroscedasticity of the errors. Using the right model and estimation procedure for the variance term plays a crucial role in gaining efficiency in beta estimators. A simulation study shows the good performance of our method; in all the scenarios simulated, it outperforms the benchmark rolling estimator. The method enables users to obtain confidence intervals and to test for the significance and constancy of betas. Finally, the method is applied to US data, comprising 25 portfolios formed based on size and the ratio of book equity to market equity. The results show that the time-variability of the betas plays an important role, mainly when sensitivity to the HML factor is considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2577-2607 Issue: 25 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005812 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005812 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:25:p:2577-2607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Xu Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Oil prices and UK industry-level stock returns Abstract: In this article, we study whether the behaviour of oil prices can be used as a reliable predictor for the disaggregated industry-level stock market indices. We find strong evidence for the relevance of changes in oil price as a predictor for the returns of UK industry portfolios, while this relevance is heterogeneous across industries. In an out-of-sample framework, we find that both the contemporaneous and lagged oil price changes do predict UK industry stock market returns. The predictive power is more transient for the latter case, and mostly appearing after allowing for time variation in the relative performance. In addition, we find some evidence of asymmetry in the oil-stock price relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2608-2627 Issue: 25 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008760 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:25:p:2608-2627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdur R. Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Abdur R. Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Author-Name: Mark Wheeler Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Wheeler Title: The impact of output and exchange rate volatility on fixed private investment: evidence from selected G7 countries Abstract: This study examines the impact of shocks to exchange rate and output uncertainty (volatility) on real private fixed investment (FI) in Canada, Germany, the United Kingdom and the United States. The analysis is conducted using vector autoregressive models that contain the price level, real output, the volatility of real output, the real exchange rate, the volatility of the real exchange rate, an interest rate and FI. The results yield important public policy implications with regard to the impact of output volatility of FI. Our analysis indicates that volatility shocks, measured as output volatility or exchange rate volatility, do not have a significant impact on FI for any country in our study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2628-2641 Issue: 25 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008761 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008761 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:25:p:2628-2641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. Chan Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: G. MacDonald Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: MacDonald Title: Permanent and transitory shocks in the presence of asymmetric error correction Abstract: This article highlights the potential importance of asymmetries in the loading vector of a set of cointegrated variables for the construction, analysis and interpretation of permanent and transitory shocks using impulse response functions. We derive an asymmetric version of the Permanent-Transitory decomposition suggested by Gonzalo and Ng (2001) and illustrate the potential importance of such asymmetries using the 'cay' data of Lettau and Ludvigson (2004). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2642-2648 Issue: 25 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:25:p:2642-2648 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Annari De Waal Author-X-Name-First: Annari Author-X-Name-Last: De Waal Author-Name: Rene頖an Eyden Author-X-Name-First: Rene頍 Author-X-Name-Last: Van Eyden Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Do we need a global VAR model to forecast inflation and output in South Africa? Abstract: This study determines whether the global vector autoregressive (GVAR) approach provides better forecasts of key South African variables than a vector error correction model (VECM) and a Bayesian vector autoregressive (BVAR) model augmented with foreign variables. The article considers both a small GVAR model and a large GVAR model in determining the most appropriate model for forecasting South African variables. We compare the recursive out-of-sample forecasts for South African GDP and inflation from six types of models: a general 33 country (large) GVAR, a customized small GVAR for South Africa, a VECM for South Africa with weakly exogenous foreign variables, a BVAR model, autoregressive (AR) models and random walk models. The results show that the forecast performance of the large GVAR is generally superior to the performance of the customized small GVAR for South Africa. The forecasts of both the GVAR models tend to be better than the forecasts of the augmented VECM, especially at longer forecast horizons. Importantly, however, on average, the BVAR model performs the best when it comes to forecasting output, while the AR(1) model outperforms all the other models in predicting inflation. We also conduct ex ante forecasts from the BVAR and AR(1) models over 2010:Q1-2013:Q4 to highlight their ability to track turning points in output and inflation, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2649-2670 Issue: 25 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008769 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008769 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:25:p:2649-2670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richhild Moessner Author-X-Name-First: Richhild Author-X-Name-Last: Moessner Title: Reactions of real yields and inflation expectations to forward guidance in the United States Abstract: We study the impact of forward policy rate guidance by the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) used as an unconventional monetary policy tool at the zero lower bound of the policy rate on real and breakeven US Treasury yield curves. We find that explicit FOMC policy rate guidance announcements led to a significant reduction in real yields at horizons of 2 to 5 years ahead. By contrast, long-term breakeven inflation rates were little affected, suggesting that inflation expectations have remained well anchored, and that explicit FOMC policy rate guidance has not adversely affected central bank credibility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2671-2682 Issue: 26 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008759 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008759 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:26:p:2671-2682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chunding Li Author-X-Name-First: Chunding Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: John Whalley Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Whalley Title: Chinese firm and industry reactions to antidumping initiations and measures Abstract: China has been the subject of large numbers of both antidumping initiations and measures. This article explores the reactions of Chinese firms and industries to these actions by using dynamic system GMM estimator and industrial panel data on all Chinese firms in the industry, foreign firms operating within China and state-owned enterprises (SOEs) for aggregated firms group between 1997 and 2007. We find that antidumping actions by developed and developing countries negatively impact industrial profits and employee and firm numbers and also exports, but improve labour productivity. We also find that different kinds of firms show different responses. All firms together in an industry react to antidumping the most, and foreign and SOE firms show a much smaller response. Further, antidumping effects from different countries are different. Developed countries' antidumping actions have more negative impact than developing countries' actions; the effects of US actions are different from the European Union's. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2683-2698 Issue: 26 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008772 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008772 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:26:p:2683-2698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rina Rosenblatt-Wisch Author-X-Name-First: Rina Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenblatt-Wisch Author-Name: Rolf Scheufele Author-X-Name-First: Rolf Author-X-Name-Last: Scheufele Title: Quantification and characteristics of household inflation expectations in Switzerland Abstract: Inflation expectations are a key variable in conducting monetary policy. However, these expectations are generally unobservable and only certain proxy variables exist, such as surveys on inflation expectations. This article offers guidance on the appropriate quantification of household inflation expectations in the Swiss Consumer Survey, where answers are qualitative in nature. We apply and evaluate different variants of the probability approach and the regression approach; we demonstrate that models that include answers on perceived inflation and allow for time-varying response thresholds yield the best results; and we show why the originally proposed approach of Fluri and Spörndli (1987) has resulted in heavily biased inflation expectations since the mid-1990s. Furthermore, we discuss some of the key features of Swiss household inflation expectations, i.e. the fact that there has been a shift in expectation formation since 2000 (expectations are better anchored and less adaptive, and there is lower disagreement of expectations). We suggest that this may be linked to the Swiss National Bank's adjustment of its monetary policy framework around this time. In addition, we outline how expectation formation in Switzerland is in line with the sticky information model, where information disseminates slowly from professional forecasters to households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2699-2716 Issue: 26 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:26:p:2699-2716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mareva Sabatier Author-X-Name-First: Mareva Author-X-Name-Last: Sabatier Title: A women's boom in the boardroom: effects on performance? Abstract: This article analyses whether improving gender diversity in boardrooms improves firms' economic performance. In the context of French CAC40-listed companies between 2008 and 2012, this research uses instrumental variable panel regressions, including production frontier estimates, to arrive at two key results. First, gender diversity in boards depends on firms' attributes including their previous gender promotion strategies. Second, promoting women in boardrooms has a significant and positive effect on economic performance while accounting for the endogeneity boards' gender diversity. Gender diversity even reduces corporate inefficiencies and enables firms to come closer to their optimal performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2717-2727 Issue: 26 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:26:p:2717-2727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexandru Minea Author-X-Name-First: Alexandru Author-X-Name-Last: Minea Author-Name: Lavinia Mustea Author-X-Name-First: Lavinia Author-X-Name-Last: Mustea Title: A fresh look at fiscal multipliers: one size fits it all? Evidence from the Mediterranean area Abstract: Following the adoption of important fiscal stimuli to fight the recent crisis, a large literature estimated fiscal multipliers. Focusing on an area particularly appealing, given its diversity and the diversity of the response of countries that compose it to the current crisis, namely the Mediterranean area, we unveil major disparities regarding the significance, sign and size of fiscal multipliers depending mainly on the economic characteristics, the type of multiplier, the time span and the type of fiscal stimulus. Evidence of such important heterogeneities highlights the need for better cooperation among countries, particularly regarding the design of fiscal policy. Failing to do so might divert public resources to ineffective fiscal policies in some countries, or, on the contrary, deprive other countries of potentially high benefits of appropriate fiscal policies, including a reliable tool for exiting the current crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2728-2744 Issue: 26 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008775 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008775 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:26:p:2728-2744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Czudaj Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Czudaj Author-Name: Jan Prüser Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Prüser Title: International parity relationships between Germany and the USA revisited: evidence from the post-DM period Abstract: In this study, we show the interrelation of the purchasing power parity and the uncovered interest rate parity between the US and Germany for the recent period running from 1999:01 to 2014:04. This study extends the literature by testing both hypotheses simultaneously in a multivariate ECM. This has the advantage that interactions between capital and goods markets can be considered simultaneously. Our finding of two long-run relationships between the variables shows that a disequilibrium in one of the two markets leads to a disequilibrium in the other. While analysing the reaction to cumulative shocks, we show that US variables have a greater impact on German variables than vice versa. Therefore, the rising importance of the euro and the increased integration of the European Union in the recent decade have not changed this relation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2745-2767 Issue: 26 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:26:p:2745-2767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Torun Fretheim Author-X-Name-First: Torun Author-X-Name-Last: Fretheim Author-Name: Glenn Kristiansen Author-X-Name-First: Glenn Author-X-Name-Last: Kristiansen Title: Commodity market risk from 1995 to 2013: an extreme value theory approach Abstract: In this article we examine whether extreme risk has increased in the agricultural commodity market during the period 1995-2013. We add to the literature on food price volatility by analysing the tail segment of futures price return distributions. Food price variability is a concern for governments and regulators worldwide, as most nations trade in food. High food price variability can contribute to poverty and malnourishment, in particular for people in less economically developed economies. We find no indications of systematically increasing tail-risk for the commodities in our sample. Analysis of estimated shape-parameters of the Generalized Extreme Value distribution further supports the conclusion that there is no general systematic change in the extreme risk associated with these commodity investments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2768-2782 Issue: 26 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011307 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011307 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:26:p:2768-2782 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos P. Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos P. Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: João Ricardo Faria Author-X-Name-First: João Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Faria Title: The macroeconomy of Angola: breaks and persistence in Angolan macro data Abstract: Using long-range dependence techniques we examine the order of integration of Angola's macro variables from a fractional viewpoint. Based on a small open economy model, the series examined are money reserves, credit, money supply, lending rate, exchange rates, CPI, GDP, oil revenues and government expenditure, for the period of January 2000 to December 2013. The results suggest that the variables are nonstationary with orders of integration equal to or higher than 1 suggesting nonmean-reverting behaviour. Structural breaks reveal that the series reflect the IMF intervention in Angola in 2003 to control inflation. Policy implications are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2783-2802 Issue: 27 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.997928 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.997928 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:27:p:2783-2802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xin Wan Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Author-Name: Yuanyuan Ma Author-X-Name-First: Yuanyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Kezhong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Kezhong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Political determinants of intergovernmental transfers in a regionally decentralized authoritarian regime: evidence from China Abstract: This article examines the political determinants of the allocation of intergovernmental transfers in the context of China. In a regionally decentralized authoritarian regime, a government marked by political centralization and fiscal decentralization, intergovernmental transfers are employed by politicians as instruments to achieve political goals. Using China's provincial data from 1994 to 2009, we find that the officials' political power is an important factor in the distribution process. A party secretary's replacement facilitates an increase in transfers, especially if the replacement comes from the central government. If a party secretary is a member of the Central Politburo, the province receives more conditional transfers than others. The central government allocates the transfers in such a way that the province with a high proportion of the minority population receives more transfers than others. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2803-2820 Issue: 27 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1008768 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1008768 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:27:p:2803-2820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott Fung Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Fung Author-Name: Shih-Chuan Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Title: Stock market-driven investment: new evidence on information, financing and agency effects Abstract: This study provides a theoretical model and empirical analysis to jointly examine the information, financing and agency effects, the three channels through which the stock market can actively influence corporate investment decisions and firm performance. First, stock market affects corporate investments, and such impact varies with different market valuation measures, types of investments and firm characteristics. Second, stock market valuation affects investments through the channel of corporate financing, supporting the financing hypothesis. Third, stock market-driven investments have differential impacts on the future operating performance of firms. Investments driven by market valuation of firm-specific information have a positive effect on future performance. In contrast, investments driven by market-wide sentiment have a negative effect on future performance. Fourth, consistent with the information hypothesis, market-driven investments are value-enhancing for firms with better external monitoring by analysts and institutional investors. Lastly, consistent with the agency hypothesis, market-driven investments are value-destroying when firms lack external monitoring, proper managerial incentives and independent board of directors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2821-2843 Issue: 27 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011306 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011306 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:27:p:2821-2843 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin R. Auer Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin R. Author-X-Name-Last: Auer Title: Superstitious seasonality in precious metals markets? Evidence from GARCH models with time-varying skewness and kurtosis Abstract: In this article, we analyse whether the Friday the 13th effect documented by Kolb and Rodriguez (1987) can be observed in precious metals markets. Specifically, we use dummy-augmented GARCH models to investigate the impact of this specific calendar day on the conditional means of gold, silver, palladium and platinum returns. The specification of the GARCH model follows a flexible class recently proposed by Le󮠥t al. (2005) that incorporates time-varying skewness and kurtosis by applying a Gram-Charlier series expansion of the normal density function. Our results for the period from July 1996 to August 2013 provide three important insights. First, there is no evidence that human superstition regarding bad luck Fridays affects precious metals markets in a negative way, i.e. returns on Fridays the 13th are not significantly lower than on regular Fridays. Second, besides showing robustness in a variety of settings, we can confirm this main result in a sensitivity check, where we replace the dummy variables by a new measure of investor attention, recently promoted by Da et al. (2011), that is based on Google search volumes. Third, as an important by-product of our study, we can show that there is significant evidence of time-varying skewness and kurtosis in precious metals returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2844-2859 Issue: 27 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011308 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011308 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:27:p:2844-2859 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Leonhardt Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Leonhardt Author-Name: A. W. Rathgeber Author-X-Name-First: A. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Rathgeber Author-Name: J. Stadler Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Stadler Author-Name: S. Stöckl Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Stöckl Title: Pricing fx forwards in OTC markets - new evidence for the pricing mechanism when faced with counterparty risk Abstract: By using daily foreign exchange (fx) market data for five major currency pairs, this article shows that, especially since the beginning of the financial crisis, pricing of fx forwards has not matched the pricing formula derived from the covered interest rate parity (CIP). This corresponds to previous empirical results. Therefore, the CIP leads to systematic over- or underpricing. Overall, four statistically significant explanatory factors for this systematic over- or underpricing have been identified - the volatility in the difference between the interest rate levels, the spot price, the fx forward spread and the counterparty risk. In particular, the high significance of the counterparty risk demonstrates that pricing models for fx forwards should be reviewed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2860-2877 Issue: 27 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011309 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011309 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:27:p:2860-2877 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roselyne Joyeux Author-X-Name-First: Roselyne Author-X-Name-Last: Joyeux Author-Name: George Milunovich Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Milunovich Title: Speculative bubbles, financial crises and convergence in global real estate investment trusts Abstract: We test for price bubbles in 14 national real estate investment trust (REIT) markets, and measure the degree of their convergence towards a common trend. Our methodology consists of the recently developed test of Phillips, Shi and Yu (2014) for mildly explosive processes, and the Phillips and Sul (2007) method for modelling convergence among random variables. We find evidence of explosive behaviour in index levels of seven of the 14 markets. In contrast, explosive dynamics are found in only one price/dividend ratio. More than half of the episodes of explosive behaviour are date-stamped to periods prior to the 2007-2009 financial crisis. We also discover a number of periods over which the markets converge towards a common trend. Interestingly, all of the convergence intervals coincide either with periods of crisis, or with periods of market exuberance. For instance, evidence of convergence is found during the 2000 dot-com crash, the 2007-2009 subprime crisis and the 2010-2013 European sovereign debt crisis, as well as over the bubble period of 2004-2005. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2878-2898 Issue: 27 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011310 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:27:p:2878-2898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wu-Yueh Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wu-Yueh Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: The role of risk and risk-aversion in adoption of alternative marketing arrangements by the US farmers Abstract: The objective of this article is to analyse the relationship between farmers' risk-aversions and the riskiness of various agricultural enterprises to see which marketing arrangements would typically emerge. Relying on the basic agency theory model, we hypothesize the prevalence of alternative marketing arrangements (AMAs) in situations with high risk-averse farmers and high-risk enterprises and the prevalence of spot (cash) markets for low risk-averse participants and less risky enterprises. Our empirical tests are carried out using the 2004 Agricultural Resource Management Survey (ARMS). The empirical results are largely supportive of the agency theory of contract choice. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2899-2912 Issue: 27 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011311 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011311 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:27:p:2899-2912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anis Omri Author-X-Name-First: Anis Author-X-Name-Last: Omri Author-Name: Saida Daly Author-X-Name-First: Saida Author-X-Name-Last: Daly Author-Name: Duc Khuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc Khuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: A robust analysis of the relationship between renewable energy consumption and its main drivers Abstract: We provide a comprehensive and robust analysis of the drivers of renewable energy consumption for a panel of 64 countries, using both the static (Pooled OLS, Panel Fixed and Random Effects) and dynamic (difference and system GMM) panel data estimation approaches. We show that the dynamic panel data model provides more efficient estimators than the static ones and that increases in per capita CO2 emissions and per capita trade with foreign partners mainly drive the changes in per capita renewable energy consumption. We also find limited evidence of oil price effects on renewable energy consumption, which reflects the fact that renewable energy is just a complement and not a perfect substitute of crude oil, at least in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2913-2923 Issue: 28 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011312 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:28:p:2913-2923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seeun Jung Author-X-Name-First: Seeun Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Does education affect risk aversion? Evidence from the British education reform Abstract: Individual risk attitudes are frequently used to predict decisions regarding education. However, using risk attitudes as a control variable for decisions about education has been criticized because of the potential for reverse causality. Causality between risk aversion and education is unclear, and disentangling the different directions it may run is difficult. In this study, we make the first attempt to investigate the causal effects of education on risk aversion by examining the British education reform of 1972, which increased the duration of compulsory schooling from age 15 to age 16. Using regression discontinuity design, we find that this additional year of schooling increases the level of risk aversion, which is contrary to previous findings in the literature, and we also find that this result is particularly strong for individuals with less education. This positive causal effect of education on risk aversion might alleviate concerns regarding the endogeneity/reverse causality issue when using risk aversion as an explanatory variable for decisions about education; the sign would remain credible because the coefficients are underestimated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2924-2938 Issue: 28 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011313 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011313 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:28:p:2924-2938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry R. Chiswick Author-X-Name-First: Barry R. Author-X-Name-Last: Chiswick Author-Name: Nicholas Larsen Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Larsen Author-Name: Paul Pieper Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Pieper Title: The awarding of PhDs in the United States and Canada: war, the draft and other economic determinants Abstract: This article is concerned with the awarding of PhDs in the USA and Canada in the post-WW II period, overall, by gender and major academic discipline. The effects of the explanatory variables lagged by 6 years, to allow for time-to-degree completion, are consistent with the model. Military conscription with educational exemptions and the Vietnam War increased male PhDs in the USA, but, as expected, had no effect for US females or in Canada. This suggests that the war and draft effect for US males were not reflecting other unmeasured North American effects. Government expenditures on research and development enhanced the PhD production, especially for males and in the physical sciences. The cyclical indicator, the adult male unemployment rate, has a weak positive effect for males in both the USA and Canada, suggesting that during the post-WW II period, the positive effect on graduate-level education of the reduced opportunity cost of time due to a recession was stronger than the negative wealth effect of the recession. Other variables the same, there has been an increase over time in the female receipts of the PhD, but there is no such trend for males. While males still receive more PhDs per year than females, the gender gap has decreased over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2939-2958 Issue: 28 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011314 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011314 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:28:p:2939-2958 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don U. A. Galagedera Author-X-Name-First: Don U. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Galagedera Author-Name: John Watson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: Benchmarking superannuation funds based on relative performance Abstract: In this article, we assess fund performance using data envelopment analysis (DEA). For each inefficient fund, DEA provides a set of role model funds whose best practices may be emulated for performance improvement. We find that the role models of most inefficient funds consist entirely of funds different from their own type. To overcome this situation, we suggest a multi-step DEA procedure. The procedure starts by categorizing funds on a hierarchical basis. We establish the hierarchy based on the frequency of efficient funds that belong to each fund type. Thereafter, a set of role model funds for each inefficient fund is found by pooling the funds in its own category and the funds that belongs to the categories at the lower levels in the hierarchy and applying DEA. This procedure is repeated by augmenting the pool with funds at the next higher level and so on until all the sampled funds are included. At each step, a set of role models is identified. An inefficient fund can thus reach the efficient frontier in stages. Statistical evidence suggests that membership and proportion of risky assets may have a negative association, and the fund size may have a positive association with fund performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2959-2973 Issue: 28 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011315 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011315 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:28:p:2959-2973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aymen Belgacem Author-X-Name-First: Aymen Author-X-Name-Last: Belgacem Author-Name: Anna Creti Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Creti Author-Name: Khaled Guesmi Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Guesmi Author-Name: Amine Lahiani Author-X-Name-First: Amine Author-X-Name-Last: Lahiani Title: Volatility spillovers and macroeconomic announcements: evidence from crude oil markets Abstract: The paper applies an event study methodologyaims to investigate the macroeconomic announcements effects on Standard&Poor's500 and oil prices. Our results provide evidence for a significant impact of the US macroeconomic news on oil prices. This impact is split into two components, namely the direct effect (common response) and indirect effect (volatility transmission). Altogether our results show that the volatility transmission is bidirectional. Not only a significant volatility transmission from the oil market to the US stock market is revealed, but also a high volatility transmission is recorded from the oil market to the stock market especially after the release of consumption indicators. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2974-2984 Issue: 28 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011316 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011316 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:28:p:2974-2984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Balcilar Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Balcilar Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Anandamayee Majumdar Author-X-Name-First: Anandamayee Author-X-Name-Last: Majumdar Author-Name: Stephen M. Miller Author-X-Name-First: Stephen M. Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: Was the recent downturn in US real GDP predictable? Abstract: This article uses a small set of variables - real GDP, the inflation rate and the short-term interest rate - and a rich set of models - atheoretical (time series) and theoretical (structural), linear and nonlinear, as well as classical and Bayesian models - to consider whether we could have predicted the recent downturn of the US real GDP. Comparing the performance of the models to the benchmark random-walk model by root mean-square errors, the two structural (theoretical) models, especially the nonlinear model, perform well on average across all forecast horizons in our ex post, out-of-sample forecasts, although at specific forecast horizons certain nonlinear atheoretical models perform the best. The nonlinear theoretical model also dominates in our ex ante, out-of-sample forecast of the Great Recession, suggesting that developing forward-looking, microfounded, nonlinear, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models of the economy may prove crucial in forecasting turning points. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2985-3007 Issue: 28 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011317 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011317 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:28:p:2985-3007 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudia Curi Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Curi Author-Name: Cinzia Daraio Author-X-Name-First: Cinzia Author-X-Name-Last: Daraio Author-Name: Patrick Llerena Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Llerena Title: The productivity of French technology transfer offices after government reforms Abstract: This article assesses the productivity change of the French technology transfer offices (TTOs) after the introduction of the July 1999 innovation law and the new public management oriented reform. By using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA)-based Malmquist productivity index, we find an average increase in the short-term productivity of the French TTOs driven by both positive efficiency and technology change. The bootstrap analysis reveals that these improvements are ascribed to 50% of the TTO systems, while the remaining part does not show significant changes. Moreover, while older TTOs positively contribute to the performance of French TTOs in the short run, young TTOs with hospital seem to contribute negatively to the efficiency of the entire system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3008-3019 Issue: 28 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011318 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011318 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:28:p:3008-3019 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qi He Author-X-Name-First: Qi Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Hong Fang Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Miao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Bo Peng Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Title: Trade liberalization and trade performance of environmental goods: evidence from Asia-Pacific economic cooperation members Abstract: In this article, we study the impact of trade liberalization, including reductions in both tariff and nontariff trade barriers, on environmental goods (EGs) exports. Using bilateral trade data from 20 Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation members, we find that tariff reduction in an exporting country has a larger positive impact on its exports of EGs than tariff reduction in an importing country. Our results also show that a lower nontariff barrier in an importing country increases its imports of EGs. A considerable amount of heterogeneity also exists in subsample results based on countries' income levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3021-3039 Issue: 29 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011319 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011319 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:29:p:3021-3039 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Caroline Mothe Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Mothe Author-Name: Uyen T. Nguyen-Thi Author-X-Name-First: Uyen T. Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen-Thi Author-Name: Phu Nguyen-Van Author-X-Name-First: Phu Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen-Van Title: Assessing complementarity in organizational innovations for technological innovation: the role of knowledge management practices Abstract: We empirically investigate the pattern of complementarity among four organizational practices. Firm-level data were drawn from the Community Innovation Survey, carried out in Luxembourg. Supermodularity tests confirm the crucial role of organizational innovation in raising firms' technological innovation. The pattern of complementarity across organizational practices differs according to the type of innovation (i.e. product or process), as well as according to whether the firm is in the first stage of its innovation process (i.e. being innovative or not) or in a later stage (i.e. sales of new products). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3040-3058 Issue: 29 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011320 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011320 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:29:p:3040-3058 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Faye Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Faye Author-Name: E. Le Fur Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Le Fur Author-Name: S. Prat Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Prat Title: Dynamics of fine wine and asset prices: evidence from short- and long-run co-movements Abstract: This article examines short- and long-term price linkages among the majority of fine wine and equity markets over the period of 2003 to 2012. We do not consider the price index (LIV-EX 100 or 500), as is typically undertaken in previous studies, but rather examine the auction price series of the world's most traded wine-vintage pairs (5 Bordeaux first growth, 8 Bordeaux second growth, 5 Burgundy, 3 Rhone, 4 Italian, 5 Californian, 1 Australian and 1 Portuguese). A global equity index is also included using the Morgan Stanley Capital International World. Cointegration procedures, the Granger non-causality test, and ECM are used to analyse short- and long-run relationships among these markets. The results indicate a strong effect of financial markets on wine prices and short-term causality for certain wines. Moreover, the findings indicate short-run causality between the wines themselves, revealing a leader (exogenous) or follower (endogenous) status of certain fine wines in price dynamics, and also long-run causality for endogenous wines. This approach is relevant to portfolio diversification strategies and allows price movements to be anticipated more accurately than using an index approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3059-3077 Issue: 29 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011321 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011321 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:29:p:3059-3077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hem C. Basnet Author-X-Name-First: Hem C. Author-X-Name-Last: Basnet Author-Name: Kamal P. Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal P. Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Title: Impact of oil price shocks on output, inflation and the real exchange rate: evidence from selected ASEAN countries Abstract: This article analyses the impact of oil price shocks on real output, inflation and the real exchange rate in Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, the Philippines and Indonesia (ASEAN-5) using a Structural VAR model. The cointegration tests indicate that the macroeconomic variables of these countries are cointegrated and share common trends in the long run. The impulse response functions reveal that oil price fluctuations do not impact the ASEAN-5 economies in the long run and much of its effect is absorbed within five to six quarters. The variance decomposition results further assert that with a few exceptions oil price shocks do not explain a significant variation in any of the variables under consideration. We also identify a very unique pattern of response to oil price fluctuations between Malaysia and Singapore and between the Philippines and Thailand. The pairs exhibit a high degree of similarity in their responses; they do not share any commonalities across the group. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3078-3091 Issue: 29 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011322 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011322 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:29:p:3078-3091 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Author-Name: John P. Weche Gelübcke Author-X-Name-First: John P. Author-X-Name-Last: Weche Gelübcke Title: Access to finance, foreign ownership and foreign takeovers in Germany Abstract: With this article we present the first microeconometric analysis of the impact of a foreign acquisition on the target firm's access to finance. By using a large database of German firms, we furthermore investigate for the first time the link between foreign ownership and access to finance in Germany, one of the world's leading target countries for FDI. We use newly available comprehensive panel data that we constructed from information collected by the German statistical offices and from credit rating scores supplied by the leading German credit rating agency. We find foreign-owned firms in German manufacturing on average to show slightly more financing restrictions than domestically owned enterprises, but this very small difference diminishes once unobserved heterogeneity is taken into account. We further demonstrate that one reason for this finding is the preference of foreign investors for targets with relatively low credit-worthiness. Although the likelihood of a foreign acquisition appears to be correlated with credit rating, there is no impact of foreign takeovers on the credit constraints of the target firms ex post and therefore no support for the hypothesis that foreign takeovers ease financial frictions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3092-3112 Issue: 29 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011323 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011323 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:29:p:3092-3112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jingjing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jingjing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Partha Gangopadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Partha Author-X-Name-Last: Gangopadhyay Title: Dynamics of environmental quality and economic development: the regional experience from Yangtze River Delta of China Abstract: This article investigates the dynamic relationship between economic progress and environmental quality at a regional level. An important economic intuition in this context is that environmental degradation will be limited by human behaviour if costs and benefits of such degradation are local since economic agents will then be incentivized to choose appropriate corrective action. Therefore, we note the likelihood that regional economic development can help regions 'grow out of' environmental problems. Using a new data set from Yangtze River Delta of China, we find a strong confirmation of the intuition that human can and will resolve the environmental problem by altering the damaging behaviour of economic agents. A very interesting finding of this study is that the relationship between environmental quality and economic progress measured by per capita income can display a wave-like function in the case of water pollution, as opposed to the much dramatized environmental Kuznets curve, with significant policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3113-3123 Issue: 29 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011324 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011324 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:29:p:3113-3123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Damette Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Damette Author-Name: St鰨ane Goutte Author-X-Name-First: St鰨ane Author-X-Name-Last: Goutte Title: Tobin tax and trading volume tightening: a reassessment Abstract: This article extends the previous literature on the Tobin tax. We find that very roughly, a doubling in transaction costs would reduce trading volume by 25% to 40% in the Forex. Most importantly, this article is the first contribution to specify the trading volume of the Forex through different (low and high volatility) regimes. Our results show evidence of nonlinear patterns for trading volumes and transaction costs on the Forex. Thus, the Tobin tax would not have a monotonic impact on trading activity across market conditions. The change in elasticity between low and high volatility regimes would be slight but significantly different. We may suggest that the high-variance regime might be the fundamentalist regime and the low-variance regime might be the chartist regime. It is a first step towards understanding which categories of agents would react to the introduction of a tax. Our results seem consistent with Tobin's underlying thinking; since a tax would penalize chartists more than fundamentalists, it could reduce exchange rate volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3124-3141 Issue: 29 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1011325 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1011325 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:29:p:3124-3141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hassan Tanha Author-X-Name-First: Hassan Author-X-Name-Last: Tanha Author-Name: Michael Dempsey Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dempsey Title: Do Aussie markets smile? Implied volatility functions and determinants Abstract: If options are correctly priced, the interpretation of volatility in the Black-Scholes model (as identifying the volatility of the underlying asset) is violated. The empirical relation between the model 'implied volatility' and the degree to which the option is in-the-money (moneyness) has been reported as resembling a U-shape (or 'smile') for options on currencies (and more of a 'smirk' for options on equities). In this article, using multivariate time-series analysis and employing an impulse response function, we investigate the structural relationships and dynamics of the volatility smile in relation to the option liquidity, key features of the underlying asset and market momentum. Our findings confirm evidence of a number of biases in the Black-Scholes model consistent with Chou et al. (2011) in regard to liquidity in both the underlying and the option itself, and with Pe񡠼italic>et al. (1999) as to the importance of the option time to maturity. As well as delineating such biases as they co-relate both with each other and with the underlying asset volatility and momentum, we find that the pronounced smile is related to the differential sensitivities of in-the-money and out-of-the-money options, which itself suggests an explanation for the characteristic smile shape. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3143-3163 Issue: 30 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013606 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013606 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:30:p:3143-3163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niels Hermes Author-X-Name-First: Niels Author-X-Name-Last: Hermes Author-Name: Ernest Kihanga Author-X-Name-First: Ernest Author-X-Name-Last: Kihanga Author-Name: Robert Lensink Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lensink Author-Name: Clemens Lutz Author-X-Name-First: Clemens Author-X-Name-Last: Lutz Title: The determinants of trade credit use: the case of the Tanzanian rice market Abstract: Most small businesses in the developing economies suffer from a lack of access to formal external finance. One important alternative source of finance for these entrepreneurs is trade credit. Applying a unique data-set containing data on specific trade relations between rice wholesalers and rice retailers in Tanzania, we analyse the determinants of trade credit demand and supply in this market, using a simultaneous equation modelling approach. The analysis shows that while the demand for trade credit is primarily determined by the extent to which retailers need external funds, supply is mainly driven by wholesalers' incentives to attract and keep clients. Moreover, wholesalers' willingness to provide credit increases if they have better information about the possibility that the customer will fail to repay the credit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3164-3174 Issue: 30 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013607 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013607 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:30:p:3164-3174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Svante Mandell Author-X-Name-First: Svante Author-X-Name-Last: Mandell Author-Name: Mats Wilhelmsson Author-X-Name-First: Mats Author-X-Name-Last: Wilhelmsson Title: Financial infrastructure and house prices Abstract: We argue that banks operating in a local market possess better information about the local housing market than do nonlocal banks. Possessing this information may influence their willingness to grant loans to house buyers and the specifics of the loan terms, which in turn may affect house prices because credit facilitation makes the housing market more efficient. Using a panel data set covering a period from 1993 to 2007 and involving 274 municipalities in Sweden, we establish a positive causal influence of local bank presence on local house prices. There are significant spatial and spillover effects, that is, banks in a municipality affect the housing markets in neighbouring municipalities, although to a lesser extent than in their own municipality. Similar results are obtained through a gravity model. The results are robust over time and municipality size. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3175-3188 Issue: 30 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013608 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013608 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:30:p:3175-3188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gil Cohen Author-X-Name-First: Gil Author-X-Name-Last: Cohen Author-Name: Elinor Cabiri Author-X-Name-First: Elinor Author-X-Name-Last: Cabiri Title: Can technical oscillators outperform the buy and hold strategy? Abstract: This study compares returns from the traditional buy and hold (B&H) strategy to well-known technical oscillators applied to diverse indices leading the global market (DJI, FTSE, NK225 and TA100) during the period 2007-2012. Our aim was to establish whether technical tools can consistently achieve returns exceeding those of the B&H strategy across various financial markets. We found the relative strength index (RSI) to be the best oscillator, outperforming the DJIA, the FTSE100 and the NK225 for five of the six years examined. The only index that did better than the RSI was TA100, which outperformed all the examined oscillators. In second place was the moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) oscillator, which outperformed the NK225 B&H strategy and came in second for TA100. The results show that during bear markets the RSI and MACD generally produce better gains than the indices, while the opposite occurs during bull markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3189-3197 Issue: 30 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013609 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013609 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:30:p:3189-3197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: May-Chiun Lo Author-X-Name-First: May-Chiun Author-X-Name-Last: Lo Author-Name: Thurasamy Ramayah Author-X-Name-First: Thurasamy Author-X-Name-Last: Ramayah Author-Name: Yin Chai Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yin Chai Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Sustainable leadership: power of influence in MNCS in Malaysia Abstract: Building upon social exchange theory which explains how power is gained and lost in the process of influence between an agent and the target, this article hypothesized the impact of supervisors' and subordinates' power bases on the usage of influence tactics by the supervisors. Bases of power of supervisors, subordinates and influence tactics were conceptualized as seven-, seven- and nine-dimensional constructs, respectively. Three hundred and eighty-five pairs of Malaysian managers and executives working in large multinational companies participated. Currently, the manufacturing sector is considered as one of the cornerstone of Malaysia's economic diversification strategy. The findings suggested that supervisors apply various influence tactics on their subordinates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3198-3215 Issue: 30 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013610 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013610 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:30:p:3198-3215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enrique Moral-Benito Author-X-Name-First: Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Moral-Benito Author-Name: Luis Serv鮠 Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Serv鮠 Title: Testing weak exogeneity in cointegrated panels Abstract: For reasons of empirical tractability, analysis of cointegrated economic time series is often developed in a partial setting, in which a subset of variables is explicitly modelled conditional on the rest. This approach yields valid inference only if the conditioning variables are weakly exogenous for the parameters of interest. This article proposes a new test of weak exogeneity in panel cointegration models. The test has a limiting Gumbel distribution that is obtained by first letting and then letting . We evaluate the accuracy of the asymptotic approximation in finite samples via simulation experiments. Finally, as an empirical illustration, we test weak exogeneity of disposable income and wealth in aggregate consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3216-3228 Issue: 30 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013611 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013611 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:30:p:3216-3228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marie M. Stack Author-X-Name-First: Marie M. Author-X-Name-Last: Stack Author-Name: Geetha Ravishankar Author-X-Name-First: Geetha Author-X-Name-Last: Ravishankar Author-Name: Eric J. Pentecost Author-X-Name-First: Eric J. Author-X-Name-Last: Pentecost Title: FDI performance: a stochastic frontier analysis of location and variance determinants Abstract: The opening up process of the eastern European countries was marked by greater integration of FDI with their western neighbouring countries. Using the single-step ML approach to stochastic frontier analysis, the location and variance determinants of FDI are estimated using the knowledge capital (KK) model framework. The findings, based on a panel of bilateral FDI stocks from 10 western to 10 eastern European countries over the 1996-2007 period, suggest FDI is determined by both horizontal and vertical motives while the process of liberalization and infrastructural developments significantly reduces the variance of FDI. In using a stochastic frontier specification of the KK model, the efficiency of FDI performance is identified relative to maximum levels. The bilateral efficiency scores suggest a mixed performance, indicating scope to improve the efficiency of FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3229-3242 Issue: 30 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013612 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013612 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:30:p:3229-3242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Ahrens Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Ahrens Author-Name: T. V. Kovandzic Author-X-Name-First: T. V. Author-X-Name-Last: Kovandzic Author-Name: L. M. Vieraitis Author-X-Name-First: L. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Vieraitis Title: Do execution moratoriums increase homicide? Re-examining evidence from Illinois Abstract: This article revisits the event study by Cloninger and Marchesini (2006), who find that the declaration of the Illinois' death penalty moratorium on 31 January 2000 had a homicide-promoting effect and resulted in 150 additional homicides over the period 2000-2003. We reassess the author's identification strategy, which they refer to as 'portfolio approach' and which draws upon event studies in finance research. We argue that their methodology is not applicable in crime studies. Instead, we apply univariate time-series methods to test for a structural break at a known and unknown break date. We allow for unknown break points as the structural break might have occurred slightly earlier (criminals might have anticipated the moratorium) or later (due to persistence in criminal behaviour). In addition, we implement the synthetic control estimator which approximates the counterfactual homicide series by a weighted average of homicide outcomes in other US states. Based on various testing methods and two distinct data sets, we conclude that there is no empirical evidence to support the hypothesis that the Illinois' execution moratorium significantly increased homicides. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3243-3257 Issue: 31 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013613 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013613 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:31:p:3243-3257 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wahyu Widodo Author-X-Name-First: Wahyu Author-X-Name-Last: Widodo Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Author-Name: Harry Bloch Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Bloch Title: The effects of agglomeration economies on technical efficiency of manufacturing firms: evidence from Indonesia Abstract: This article examines the effects of agglomeration economies and industrial structure upon firm-level technical efficiency in the Indonesian manufacturing industry over the period 2004-2009. A stochastic production frontier and three channels of agglomeration economies consisting of specialization, diversity and competition are used. The empirical results show that the effects of specialization and diversity upon firm-level technical efficiency are positive and negative, respectively, indicating that specialization is more favourable than diversity for stimulating firms' technical efficiency. Competition has a positive sign, showing that region with high levels of competition tend to be more conducive in accelerating firm-level technical efficiency. In terms of firm location, both dummy for urban region and industrial complex turn out to be positive, indicating that firms located in both areas are experienced higher technical efficiency. Both firm size and age also have positive effect upon technical efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3258-3275 Issue: 31 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013614 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013614 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:31:p:3258-3275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: Long-run estimates of money demand: new evidence from East Asian countries and the presence of structural breaks Abstract: Conventionally, the money demand function is estimated using a linear regression of the logarithm of money demand on a number of variables. In this article, we aim to estimate the long-run properties of money demand specification for a number of East Asian economies and within a panel framework with the presence of structural breaks. Various country-specific coefficients are allowed to capture inter-country heterogeneities. Consistent with theoretical postulates, it is found that (a) the demand for money in the long-run positively responds to real income and inversely to the interest rate spread, inflation, the real effective exchange rate and the US real interest rate; (b) the long-run income elasticity is greater than unity; and (c) both the currency substitution and capital mobility hypotheses hold. The empirical findings in this article can provide useful policy guidelines to the East Asian countries' central banks in their quest for price stability. If one of the primary objectives of these countries is to minimize price instability, they should avoid creating unnecessary disequilibrium in the money market, while the employment of cointegration with the presence of structural breaks clearly recommends to central banks to use the supply of money to attain price and macroeconomic stability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3276-3291 Issue: 31 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013615 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:31:p:3276-3291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eduardo Correia de Souza Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Correia de Souza Author-Name: Jorge Chami Batista Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Chami Author-X-Name-Last: Batista Title: Replacement cycles, income distribution and dynamic price discrimination Abstract: This article analyses how income distribution, Intellectual Property Rights and other regulatory policies such as minimum quality standards determine pricing strategies in a dynamic context where a monopolist periodically introduces new generations or upgrades of a durable good. Discrimination through quality and screening in this article takes place in a context where consumers buy several versions of the durable good during their lifetime, instead of a single version as in Inderst's (2008) or Koh's (2006). It also differs from Glass (2001) in that an equilibrium may emerge in which different consumer types replace their durable generations with different frequencies. Our modelling is motivated by stylized facts from the last Brazilian POF (household budget survey). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3292-3310 Issue: 31 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013616 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013616 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:31:p:3292-3310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Buckell Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Buckell Author-Name: A. Smith Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Author-Name: R. Longo Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Longo Author-Name: D. Holland Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Holland Title: Efficiency, heterogeneity and cost function analysis: empirical evidence from pathology services in the National Health Service in England Abstract: Pathology services are increasingly recognized as key to effective healthcare delivery - underpinning diagnosis, long-term disease management and research. To the extent that pathology services affect a patient's treatment pathway, significant healthcare costs are influenced directly by the performance of these services. Given pressures on the UK Department of Health to make efficiency savings and that little is known about the efficiency of pathology laboratories, this area offers unlocked potential for efficiency gains. We adopt a time varying inefficiency model, with laboratory-specific time paths for inefficiency, to identify potential savings in pathology services based on a panel of 57 English laboratories over a 5 year period. We apply a range of approaches to account for observable and unobservable heterogeneity between laboratories. We find potential efficiency savings of 13% in pathology services in this sample, which implies the potential for an annual saving of £390m in pathology across the NHS. Our study also provides valuable insights into the impact of a range of factors influencing laboratory costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3311-3331 Issue: 31 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013617 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013617 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:31:p:3311-3331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Atsushi Sekine Author-X-Name-First: Atsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Sekine Title: Effects of mineral-commodity price shocks on monetary policy in developed countries Abstract: This article investigates effects of changes in mineral commodity prices on monetary policy. Using macroeconomic data from three mineral-producing countries (Australia, Canada and New Zealand) and two non-mineral-resource countries (USA and UK), I estimate the impulse response functions of the policy interest rates and the core consumer price index (CPI) inflation rates to mineral-commodity price shocks. I find that the central banks in both groups of the examined countries significantly respond to mineral-commodity price shocks. In responses to an unexpected 10% increase in mineral commodity prices, the central banks are estimated to increase their policy interest rates by approximately 0.8 percentage points. Moreover, the central banks seem to take anticipatory policy reactions to control core CPI variations triggered by these shocks. Thus, mineral commodity prices would act as important determinants of the monetary policies in both groups of the examined countries. These findings would be useful for analysing Taylor rules in their countries. However, effects of the increase in their policy interest rates on core CPI inflation cannot be identified for the examined countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3332-3346 Issue: 31 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013618 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013618 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:31:p:3332-3346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahmod Qadan Author-X-Name-First: Mahmod Author-X-Name-Last: Qadan Author-Name: Joseph Yagil Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Yagil Title: International co-movements of real and financial economic variables Abstract: This study presents a first attempt at investigating whether the international co-movements of real economic activity conform to the same international co-movements of financial activity. This study tests the international co-movements of real economic activity, on the one hand, and financial variables such as stock returns, interest rates, inflation rates and risk premiums, on the other hand. We employ a dynamic correlation model on data from OECD countries for the period 1980-2010. Our findings demonstrate that international stock markets co-react in accordance with the underlying international economic forces. We also document three other results. First, the correlation among countries with respect to real economic activity is statistically positive, but the level of this correlation is lower than that of financial variables. Second, there is a significant increase over time in the international correlation level with respect to the financial variables. Finally, the creation of the Euro Monetary Union and the adoption of an inflation targeting policy in many countries have increased the international correlation of all of the financial variables tested. The article concludes with two implications from these findings: (1) predictions in the context of international portfolio diversification, and (2) policy making at the fiscal and monetary levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3347-3366 Issue: 31 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013619 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013619 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:31:p:3347-3366 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Mihaylov Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Mihaylov Author-Name: Alfred Yawson Author-X-Name-First: Alfred Author-X-Name-Last: Yawson Author-Name: Ralf Zurbruegg Author-X-Name-First: Ralf Author-X-Name-Last: Zurbruegg Title: The decision to seek advice in the self-directed retirement fund industry Abstract: This article examines the influence of investor knowledge and the cognitive bias that arises from overconfidence on the advice-seeking behaviour of investors managing their own retirement funds. Specifically, we trace whether overestimating one's own technical and financial abilities can hinder the willingness to seek advice, particularly when it would be in the investors' best interest to do so. We identify a subset of investors who are not knowledgeable and yet do not seek advice. These investors exhibit overconfidence in their ability to manage a fund, despite holding under-diversified and less sophisticated portfolios relative to their peers. Given the global rise in investors choosing to manage their own retirement funds and the importance of seeking advice in this context, there are direct policy implications from these results. They suggest a need to identify and target investors who display overconfidence since they are most likely to be managing underperforming retirement investments in the longer term. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3367-3381 Issue: 32 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013620 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:32:p:3367-3381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vassilios G. Papavassiliou Author-X-Name-First: Vassilios G. Author-X-Name-Last: Papavassiliou Title: Price discovery and the effects of fragmentation on market quality: evidence from Cypriot cross-listed stocks Abstract: Using a novel high-frequency data set, we examine the contribution of Greek trading to the price discovery process of a pair of Cypriot blue-chip, cross-listed stocks during overlapping trading hours. Additionally, we investigate the effects of market fragmentation on the home market's quality, as measured by microstructure-based liquidity measures. Contrary to earlier studies from other markets, our findings show that foreign stock exchanges can act as the leading contributors to price discovery and can concentrate the majority of trading activity and produce the lowest transaction costs. Our results also show that market fragmentation can lead to negative effects on market liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3382-3394 Issue: 32 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1016205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1016205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:32:p:3382-3394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dooyeon Cho Author-X-Name-First: Dooyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Dong-Eun Rhee Author-X-Name-First: Dong-Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Rhee Title: An assessment of inflation targeting in a quantitative monetary business cycle framework: evidence from four early adopters Abstract: This article examines the effectiveness of inflation targeting (IT) to stabilize the real economy in advanced countries where IT was adopted in the early 1990s. To quantitatively assess IT, this article employs the monetary business cycle accounting methodology recently developed by Šustek (2011), which is an extended version of Chari, Kehoe, and McGrattan (2007), to monetary models. Our main finding is that the monetary policy wedge that captures economic fluctuations caused by monetary policy has significantly declined since the implementation of IT in the early 1990s. The results suggest that advanced economies, such as Australia, Canada, Sweden and the United Kingdom, that adopted IT in the early 1990s have been successful in stabilizing business cycle fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3395-3413 Issue: 32 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1016206 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1016206 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:32:p:3395-3413 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Firpo Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Firpo Author-Name: Hugo Jales Author-X-Name-First: Hugo Author-X-Name-Last: Jales Author-Name: Cristine Pinto Author-X-Name-First: Cristine Author-X-Name-Last: Pinto Title: Measuring peer effects in the Brazilian school system Abstract: Using the identification strategy proposed by Graham and Hahn (2005), we estimate the magnitude of classmate effects on math scores using Brazilian data from 2005. In addition, we provide a detailed discussion about the identification of endogenous peer effects in the linear in means models. Our results show that both peer characteristics (exogenous peer effects) - like race, socioeconomic status and gender - and peer actions (endogenous peer effects) are important determinants of students' outcomes in the fifth grade of elementary school. Our estimates of endogenous peer effects are about 0.008 of 1 SD of math test scores, which can be interpreted as evidence of a so-called 'conformist' individual behaviour, under which students face large costs to exert effort levels that are distant from what is believed to be the norm in the classroom. Those estimates of endogenous peer effects imply a social multiplier of about 1.67. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3414-3438 Issue: 32 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1016207 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1016207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:32:p:3414-3438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michiel Bijlsma Author-X-Name-First: Michiel Author-X-Name-Last: Bijlsma Author-Name: Karen Van Der Wiel Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Van Der Wiel Title: Consumer perception of deposit insurance: little awareness, limited effectiveness? Abstract: The empirical findings on bank runs and market discipline are at odds with the theoretical predictions from the literature, at least in emerging markets. Using unique survey data from the Netherlands, we explore two possible explanations: deposit holders may have limited knowledge of deposit insurance (DI)-schemes or they may not fully trust these schemes to be executed faithfully. We find that knowledge on the eligibility for DI is limited, particularly when it concerns minor banks. Nevertheless, households with more deposits have better knowledge of the DI-scheme and show higher levels of trust. In addition, deposit holders generally expect an associated payback time that well exceeds the time it has taken to pay back depositors in the past. Moreover, consumers believe repayment is more likely and faster for large, systemic banks. These results confirm that both households' awareness of the coverage and trust in the operations of the DI-scheme are suboptimal. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3439-3461 Issue: 32 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1016208 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1016208 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:32:p:3439-3461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shin-Yi Chou Author-X-Name-First: Shin-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Echu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Echu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Min-Jen Lin Author-X-Name-First: Min-Jen Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Jin-Tan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jin-Tan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Better peers, better scores? A study of twin junior high school graduates in Taiwan Abstract: Using data of twin students graduating from junior high schools between 2002 and 2004 in Taiwan, we estimate the effects of peers on high school joint entrance examination performance. To alleviate the potential endogeneity of peer educational achievement, linear models with twin fixed effect and instrumental variables are estimated. Quantile, quantile with twin fixed effect and quantile with instrument variables regressions are also implemented to determine whether estimated peer effects differ at various locations of the testing scores' conditional distributions. Positive and statistically significant peer effects are found to exist at the mean and at different quantile levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3462-3481 Issue: 32 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1016209 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1016209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:32:p:3462-3481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kunlapath Sukcharoen Author-X-Name-First: Kunlapath Author-X-Name-Last: Sukcharoen Author-Name: Hankyeung Choi Author-X-Name-First: Hankyeung Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: David J. Leatham Author-X-Name-First: David J. Author-X-Name-Last: Leatham Title: Optimal gasoline hedging strategies using futures contracts and exchange-traded funds Abstract: This article employs a variety of econometric models (including OLS, VEC/VAR, DCC GARCH and a class of copula-based GARCH models) to estimate optimal hedge ratios for gasoline spot prices using gasoline exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and gasoline futures contracts. We then compare their performance using four different measures from the perspective of both their hedging objectives and trading position using four different measures: variance reduction measure, utility-based measure and two tail-based measures (value at risk and expected shortfall). The impact of the 2008 financial market crisis on hedging performance is also investigated. Our findings indicate that, in terms of variance reduction, the static models (OLS and VEC/VAR) are found to be the best hedging strategies. However, more sophisticated time-varying hedging strategies could outperform the static hedging models when the other measures are used. In addition, ETF hedging is a more effective hedging strategy than futures hedging during the high-volatility (crisis) period, but this is not always the case during the normal time (post-crisis) period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3482-3498 Issue: 32 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1016210 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1016210 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:32:p:3482-3498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tristan Kohl Author-X-Name-First: Tristan Author-X-Name-Last: Kohl Author-Name: Sofia Trojanowska Author-X-Name-First: Sofia Author-X-Name-Last: Trojanowska Title: Heterogeneous trade agreements, WTO membership and international trade: an analysis using matching econometrics Abstract: This article explores the heterogeneous effects of trade agreements (TAs) and World Trade Organization (WTO) membership on the volume of international trade. We extend Baier and Bergstrand's (2009a) application of matching econometrics by distinguishing between different types of TAs and WTO participation and account for the endogenous nature of trade policy. For a panel data set covering 1960-2005 and 187 countries, we find that the treatment effect on international trade systematically varies with the type of TA and WTO membership. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3499-3509 Issue: 33 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1016211 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1016211 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:33:p:3499-3509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takanori Tanaka Author-X-Name-First: Takanori Author-X-Name-Last: Tanaka Title: Foreign investors and corporate social responsibility: evidence from the career advancement of women in Japan Abstract: I examine whether foreign investors invest in firms that encourage the career advancement of women by using data from a sample of Japanese firms during the period 2008-2011. First, I find that corporate governance reform and work-life balance practices facilitate the promotion of women to higher positions in firms. Furthermore, I find that foreign investors hold more shares of firms that encourage the career advancement of women. Overall, these results indicate that the career advancement of women, as a part of corporate social responsible activities, benefits foreign investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3510-3524 Issue: 33 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1016212 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1016212 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:33:p:3510-3524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Title: Asymmetric size-dependent effects of the output gap on inflation: US evidence from the last half a century Abstract: This article examines asymmetric size- and sign-dependent effects of the output gap on the US quarterly inflation rate using data from the last half a century (1959Q2-2013Q1). Consistent with previous studies, it is found that the consumer price index is cointegrated with the unit labour cost and the price of oil. A short-run dynamic model is then estimated in which variations in the output gap are divided into three groups: large-positive; large-negative; and small-medium positive/negative. The results provide convincing evidence that only sufficiently large (positive or negative) variations of the output gap can significantly influence inflation. Put otherwise, relatively small to medium changes in the output gap exert no significant impact on inflation and if not separated, they can somewhat obscure the significant effects associated with large variations of the output gap. This study can lead to greater consensus on the inflation-output gap nexus. The findings remain robust despite the use of different measures of output gap and they are consistent with the modern doctrine but with a new caveat: inflation responds to both positive and negative changes in the output gap as long as such variations are of sizable magnitudes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3525-3539 Issue: 33 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1016213 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1016213 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:33:p:3525-3539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Hutter Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Hutter Author-Name: Enzo Weber Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Constructing a new leading indicator for unemployment from a survey among German employment agencies Abstract: The article investigates the predictive power of a new survey implemented by the Federal Employment Agency (FEA) for forecasting German unemployment in the short run. Every month, the CEOs of the FEA's regional agencies are asked about their expectations of future labour market developments. We generate an aggregate unemployment leading indicator that exploits serial correlation in response behaviour through identifying and adjusting temporarily unreliable predictions. We use out-of-sample tests suitable in nested model environments to compare forecasting performance of models including the new indicator to that of purely autoregressive benchmarks. For all investigated forecast horizons (1, 2, 3 and 6 months), test results show that models enhanced by the new leading indicator significantly outperform their benchmark counterparts. To compare our indicator to potential competitors, we employ the model confidence set. Results reveal that models including the new indicator perform very well at the 10% level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3540-3558 Issue: 33 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1018672 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1018672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:33:p:3540-3558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mu-Sheng Chang Author-X-Name-First: Mu-Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Elyas Elyasiani Author-X-Name-First: Elyas Author-X-Name-Last: Elyasiani Title: Do insurance activities enhance the performance of financial services holding companies? Abstract: Stiroh and Rumble (2006) and Yeager et al. (2007) have argued that extension of banks into nonbanking activities produces no diversification benefits for financial services holding companies (FSHCs) eligible to consolidate banking and insurance products. We investigate the effect of aggregate nonbank activities, as well as two main areas of insurance business, namely agency and underwriting enterprise, on the risk-adjusted performance of FSHCs. Our sample includes a quarterly panel data of FSHCs over the period 2003-2011. We find that the effect of FSHCs' entry into agency insurance activities on their risk-adjusted returns is dependent on their size; it is positive for FSHCs in the top quartile of our sample (assets greater than $4.495 billions), but negative for smaller and mid-size FSHCs. The effect of underwriting insurance activities on risk-adjusted returns is generally negative or statistically insignificant, except for some of the largest-size firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3559-3576 Issue: 33 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1019032 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1019032 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:33:p:3559-3576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitris Balios Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Balios Author-Name: Nikolaos Eriotis Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Eriotis Author-Name: Alexandra Fragoudaki Author-X-Name-First: Alexandra Author-X-Name-Last: Fragoudaki Author-Name: Dimitrios Giokas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Giokas Title: Economic efficiency of Greek retail SMEs in a period of high fluctuations in economic activity: a DEA approach Abstract: This study aims to analyse the economic efficiency of Greek small and medium retail enterprises before and after the crisis that started in 2008. Based on the Accounting Equation, we use Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to estimate variable returns of scale efficiency scores and to conclude on specific characteristics that efficient companies have, for example, on capital structure. Our results from the DEA application show a high degree of inefficiency. We found that SMEs on the islands are more efficient than those on the mainland and that SMEs in the cities are the least efficient. Size seems to be important, more so on the islands and on the mainland than in the cities. We conclude that companies should act more conservatively in terms of operating cost when the first signs of a recession appear. In addition, during a recession period, companies that have evidences that their operations will continue positively should strengthen their operations by raising more own capital. Finally, our study clarifies four issues: the efficiency of retail companies in a period of growth and a period of recession, focusing on SMEs that operate in different regions, connecting Accounting Equation and DEA and adding acid ratio as an output in our model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3577-3593 Issue: 33 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1019033 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1019033 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:33:p:3577-3593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fergal McCann Author-X-Name-First: Fergal Author-X-Name-Last: McCann Author-Name: Tara McIndoe-Calder Author-X-Name-First: Tara Author-X-Name-Last: McIndoe-Calder Title: Firm size, credit scoring accuracy and banks' production of soft information Abstract: Research on SME bank financing generally assumes that smaller firms are more opaque from a lender's perspective. We propose that the discriminatory power of credit scoring models can be thought of as a proxy for firm opaqueness, given that when these models perform poorly, lenders must invest in the production of 'soft information' to supplement the financial data used in these models. Measuring the discriminatory power of probit default models across quintiles of the Irish SME size distribution, we show that our proxy for firm opaqueness increases monotonically as firms get smaller. This finding supports an assumption that is the starting point to a wide strand of literature on SME bank financing. Our findings can also be interpreted as providing an insight to the literature on the determinants of banks' choice of lending technology. While smaller banks may, as found in a substantial previous literature, produce larger amounts of 'soft information' due to their organizational advantages, they may also do so out of necessity: hard-information-based default modelling is less effective among smaller firms, thereby forcing banks that lend to these borrowers to invest more in relationship banking technologies to retain competitiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3594-3611 Issue: 33 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1019034 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1019034 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:33:p:3594-3611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Title: Recent topics in Applied Financial Economics Abstract: This note discusses topics concerning recent evolutions in financial economics research. It focuses in particular on the progress of quantitative finance and applied economics in the context of the global financial crisis. To this end, I examine various important topics in Economics and Finance and discuss several empirical studies on the statistical properties of macroeconomic and financial data through the application of different econometric methodologies. I analyse their empirical findings and discuss their conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3613-3616 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1021464 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1021464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:34-35:p:3613-3616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Calebe de Roure Author-X-Name-First: Calebe Author-X-Name-Last: de Roure Author-Name: Steven Furnagiev Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Furnagiev Author-Name: Stefan Reitz Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Reitz Title: The microstructure of exchange rate management: FX intervention and capital controls in Brazil Abstract: This article uses a microstructure approach to analyse the effectiveness of capital controls introduced in Brazil to counter an appreciation of the Real. Based on a rich data set from the Brazilian foreign exchange market, we estimate a reduced-form VAR to characterize the interaction of the central bank, financial and commercial customers in times of regulatory policy measures. We find that capital controls change market participants' behaviour, and that central bank interventions elicit a significant response in financial order flow. Referring to the source of order flow, we find no direct price impact by financial flows and thus no evidence that the appreciation of the Real is driven by financial customers' activity. Instead, commercial customers seem to be a primary driver of the Real within our model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3617-3632 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1021455 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1021455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:34-35:p:3617-3632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Waël Louhichi Author-X-Name-First: Waël Author-X-Name-Last: Louhichi Author-Name: Abdoulkarim Idi Cheffou Author-X-Name-First: Abdoulkarim Author-X-Name-Last: Idi Cheffou Title: Intraday bidirectional volatility spillover across international stock markets: does the global financial crisis matter? Abstract: This article studies volatility spillover between the US and the three largest European stock markets (Frankfurt, London and Paris) around the time of the recent Subprime crisis. In order to investigate the impact of the latter, we break our sample down into two sub-periods: a pre-crisis period and a post-crisis period, using a structural break test that has the advantage of endogenously testing for further breaks in the data. Unlike previous studies that have frequently investigated this issue using low frequency data, our article makes use of intraday data. Accordingly, using Threshold generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model estimations, we find weak evidence of volatility transmission between the two regions before the Subprime crisis. However, during the post-crisis period, we record returns and volatility spillover from US to European markets and vice versa at different times of the trading day, indicating that the two regions became more dependent during the recent Subprime crisis, a finding that supports the contagion hypothesis between the US and European stock markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3633-3650 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1021459 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1021459 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:34-35:p:3633-3650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuri Biondi Author-X-Name-First: Yuri Author-X-Name-Last: Biondi Title: Accounting and the formation of share market prices over time: a mathematical institutional economic analysis through simulation and experiment Abstract: This article develops a heterogeneous agents-based model to examine the emergent dynamic properties of share market price formation over time, with a view on financial market stability under alternative accounting regimes. In the model, individual heterogeneous investors interact with each other and with institutional devices which are an accounting system (related to the business firm) and a price system (related to the Share Exchange). These interactions provide mechanisms for transmission through which firm-specific (accounting signal) and market-driven (aggregate price) factors can act. A baseline simulation analysis assesses the financial market stability under three alternative accounting designs, namely two kinds of historical cost accounting regime and one kind of fair-value (mark-to-market) accounting regime. The former prove to better stabilize the financial system in terms of market volatility and exuberance in perfectly balanced conditions between speculative and fundamentalist beliefs and intentions. An evolutionary analysis is then developed by varying the relative degree of speculative attitudes between the two sides of the market. Historical cost accounting regimes further prove to make the financial system more resilient to speculative waves occurring at inter-individual level. Baseline findings are further corroborated through experimental analysis in twelve artificial financial systems. This mathematical institutional economic analysis has general implications for both designing accounting systems aimed at enhancing financial market stability and preventing procyclicality, and the study of accounting information process in the formation of share market prices over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3651-3672 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1021461 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1021461 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:34-35:p:3651-3672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georges Prat Author-X-Name-First: Georges Author-X-Name-Last: Prat Author-Name: Remzi Uctum Author-X-Name-First: Remzi Author-X-Name-Last: Uctum Title: Expectation formation in the foreign exchange market: a time-varying heterogeneity approach using survey data Abstract: Using Consensus Economics survey data on JPY/USD and GBP/USD exchange rate expectations for the 3- and 12-month horizons over the period November 1989-December 2012, we first show that expectations fail the conventional tests of unbiasedness and do not exhibit a learning process towards rationality. Our approach is consistent with the economically rational expectations theory (Feige and Pearce, 1976), which states that information costs and agents' aversion to misestimating future exchange rates determine the optimal amounts of information on which they base their expectations. The time variability of the cost/aversion ratios justifies at the aggregate level a representation of expectations as a linear combination of the traditional extrapolative, adaptive and regressive processes augmented by a forward market component, whose parameters are allowed to change over time. This mixed expectation model with unstable heterogeneity is validated by our Kalman filter estimation results for the two currencies and the two horizons considered. Although the relative importance of the 'fundamentalists' ('chartists') is found to increase (decrease) with the time-horizon, chartist behaviour appears to dominate fundamentalist behaviour for both horizons. Central bank intervention is then effective in stabilizing the foreign exchange markets if it encourages fundamentalist activity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3673-3695 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1021460 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1021460 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:34-35:p:3673-3695 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michał Brzoza-Brzezina Author-X-Name-First: Michał Author-X-Name-Last: Brzoza-Brzezina Author-Name: Jacek Kotłowski Author-X-Name-First: Jacek Author-X-Name-Last: Kotłowski Author-Name: Kamil Wierus Author-X-Name-First: Kamil Author-X-Name-Last: Wierus Title: Can interest rate spreads stabilize the euro area? Abstract: Since the onset of the financial crisis significant interest rate spreads have arisen between euro area countries, both for public and private debt. We check whether these spreads could be made to work towards the goal of providing more stability to the euro area. In particular, we focus on reducing the imbalances that arose between the core and peripheral members of the euro area in the first decade of its existence. The idea is that stable positive spreads in peripheral countries could have decreased domestic demand, preventing the boom-bust cycles that plagued these economies. They could also prevent such developments in the future. We construct a panel model for euro area countries and estimate the relationship between real interest rates and the current account balance. Next, we use the estimated parameters to perform simulations. We find that spreads on real interest rates of 0.6-5.5 percentage points would have been necessary to stabilize external positions of the four peripheral euro area member countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3696-3709 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1021547 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1021547 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:34-35:p:3696-3709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junko Koeda Author-X-Name-First: Junko Author-X-Name-Last: Koeda Author-Name: Ryo Kato Author-X-Name-First: Ryo Author-X-Name-Last: Kato Title: The role of uncertainty in the term structure of interest rates: A GARCH-ATSM approach Abstract: This article examines the roles of uncertainties regarding various macro-variables in determining risk premiums of bond yields. We develop a multivariate GARCH-VAR to quantify uncertainties regarding inflation, real activities and monetary policy as time-varying conditional variances. We jointly estimate the multivariate GARCH and no-arbitrage bond pricing equations using a maximum likelihood method. The results indicate that the inflation uncertainty is the largest contributor to the dynamics of long-term yields since the 1980s, while the monetary policy uncertainty also plays noticeable roles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3710-3722 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1021454 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1021454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:34-35:p:3710-3722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wojciech Charemza Author-X-Name-First: Wojciech Author-X-Name-Last: Charemza Author-Name: Svetlana Makarova Author-X-Name-First: Svetlana Author-X-Name-Last: Makarova Author-Name: Imran Shah Author-X-Name-First: Imran Author-X-Name-Last: Shah Title: Making the most of high inflation Abstract: This article examines the relationship between the real effects of inflation and its level in countries with frequent episodes of high inflation. The real effects are computed as asymmetric impulse responses of output to inflation separately in the regimes with different signs of the differences between the expected inflation and the predicted output-neutral inflation. It is found that, with the increase in inflation, such effects increase in the regime with the positive sign, relatively to the effects in the regime with the negative sign. It is also shown that this finding is valid for most countries with high inflation episodes, where inflation is greater than 4.8% for at least 25% of quarterly observations. This leads to a simple policy prescription that, in economies with frequent high inflation episodes, anti-inflationary monetary decisions are least damaging for output if undertaken in the periods when the difference between the expected and output-neutral inflation is negative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3723-3739 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1021462 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1021462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:34-35:p:3723-3739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca Agnello Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Agnello Author-Name: Vitor Castro Author-X-Name-First: Vitor Author-X-Name-Last: Castro Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Author-Name: Ricardo M. Sousa Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa Title: Fiscal consolidation and financial reforms Abstract: We use a rare events logistic regression model as well as traditional probit and logit models to investigate the impact of fiscal consolidation on the likelihood of financial reforms for a panel of 17 countries over the period 1980-2005. We show that large austerity plans, mainly implemented through spending cuts rather than tax hikes, promote financial reforms. By considering reforms affecting specific areas of the financial sector, we find that the banking sector reforms and domestic finance reforms are more likely to occur when fiscal adjustments are put in place. Interestingly, while banking sector reforms are mainly prompted during periods of tax-driven consolidations, spending cuts driven consolidation packages seem to propel the implementation of domestic finance reforms. Finally, we show that higher inflation, lower degree of trade openness, a deterioration of financial conditions and, to some extent, a fall in the degree of competitiveness enhance the probability of financial reforms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3740-3755 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1021457 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1021457 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:34-35:p:3740-3755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Balẳ Égert Author-X-Name-First: Balẳ Author-X-Name-Last: Égert Title: The 90% public debt threshold: the rise and fall of a stylized fact Abstract: We put the original Reinhart-Rogoff data-set, made public by Herndon et al. (2013), to a formal econometric test to identify public debt thresholds endogenously. We show that the nonlinear relation between debt and growth is not robust. Taken with a pinch of salt, our results suggest, however, that a negative association between central government debt and growth may set in at debt levels as low as 20% of GDP. Further (and greater) thresholds may exist, but their magnitude is uncertain. For general government debt, the threshold is considerably higher at about 50%. Country-specific estimates reveal a large amount of cross-country heterogeneity. For some countries including the United States, a nonlinear negative link can be detected at about 30% of GDP. For others, no nonlinearities can be established. Our results are a formal econometric confirmation that the 90% public debt threshold is not in the Reinhart-Rogoff data. But our results also seem to suggest that public debt be associated with poor economic performance at fairly moderate public debt levels. The absence of threshold effects or low estimated thresholds may not preclude the emergence of further threshold effects, especially as public debt levels are rising to unprecedentedly high levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3756-3770 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1021463 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1021463 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:34-35:p:3756-3770 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pascal Seppecher Author-X-Name-First: Pascal Author-X-Name-Last: Seppecher Author-Name: Isabelle Salle Author-X-Name-First: Isabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Salle Title: Deleveraging crises and deep recessions: a behavioural approach Abstract: Macroeconomic dynamics are characterized by alternating patterns of periods of relative stability and large swings. Standard microfounded macroeconomic models account for these patterns through exogenous and persistent shocks. In this article, we develop a fully decentralized and microfounded macroeconomic agent-based model, augmented with an opinion model, which produces endogenous waves of pessimism and optimism that feed back into firms' leverage and households' precautionary saving behaviour. A major emergent property of our model is precisely the complex successions of stable and unstable macroeconomic regimes. The model is further able to account for a wide spectrum of macro and micro empirical regularities. Within this framework, we analyse a series of macroeconomic phenomena of key relevance in the current macroeconomic debate, especially the occurrence of deleveraging crises and Fisherian debt-deflation recessions. Our analysis suggests that the relative dynamics of prices and wages and the resulting income distribution along a deflationary path are critical determinants of the severity of the recession and the chances of recovery. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3771-3790 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1021456 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1021456 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:34-35:p:3771-3790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Filippo Ferroni Author-X-Name-First: Filippo Author-X-Name-Last: Ferroni Author-Name: Benjamin Klaus Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Klaus Title: Euro Area business cycles in turbulent times: convergence or decoupling? Abstract: We study the business cycle properties of the four largest European economies in the wake of the recent recession episodes. The analysis is based on the factors estimated from a multi-country and multi-sector data-rich environment. We measure alikeness of business cycles by studying the synchronization of up and down phases, the convergence properties of country fluctuations towards the Euro Area (EA) cycles and the contribution of the EA factor to national GDP volatilities. While the economic fluctuations of the four EA member states were similar before the global financial turmoil, we gather compelling evidence of an asymmetric behaviour of Spanish fluctuations relative to the EA one. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3791-3815 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1021458 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1021458 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:34-35:p:3791-3815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shu Chun Chang Author-X-Name-First: Shu Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Ching-Horng Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Title: The adoption of new technology by the farmers in Taiwan Abstract: This study addresses the technologies the farmers adopted, their reasons for adopting these technologies and the result of adopting these technologies. The design and strategy used to collect the data needed are both qualitative and quantitative. Farmers who practised traditional farming methods and those who adopted the new technologies were both given survey questionnaires and were interviewed.The result of the study shows that the technologies applied by the farmers are the use of tractors in tilling the ground, the use of machinery in planting, the practice of irrigation and the use of a combination of organic and commercial fertilizers. The reasons for the adoption of the latter are the availability of chemicals and the convenience of their use, and this is used to enhance the growth of plants. The results of the new technology adoption are high yields of produce, production of hybrid crops, and the saving of labour, thus increasing the income of the farmers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3817-3824 Issue: 36 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1019035 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1019035 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:36:p:3817-3824 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcus Dittrich Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Dittrich Title: Gender differences in trust and reciprocity: evidence from a large-scale experiment with heterogeneous subjects Abstract: This article examines gender differences in an experimental trust game. Recent studies have shown that men trust more and that women are more reciprocal in laboratory experiments. Participants in these studies, however, are typically university students who may not be representative of the entire population. In this study, we use data from a large-scale experiment with heterogeneous subjects who are representative of the German population. We find that men exhibit not only more trusting behaviour, but also more reciprocating behaviour than women. Moreover, our results are indicative of age-dependent gender differences. For men, we find an inverse U-shaped relationship between age, on the one hand, and both trust and reciprocity, on the other; however, we do not find age effects for women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3825-3838 Issue: 36 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1019036 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1019036 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:36:p:3825-3838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Muller Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Muller Author-Name: Lionel Page Author-X-Name-First: Lionel Author-X-Name-Last: Page Title: A new approach to measure tactical voting: evidence from the British elections Abstract: Although tactical voting attracts a great deal of attention, it is very hard to measure as it requires knowledge of both individuals' voting choices as well as their unobserved preferences. In this article, we present a simple empirical strategy to nonparametrically identify tactical voting patterns directly from balloting results. This approach allows us to study the magnitude and direction of strategic voting as well as to verify which information voters and parties take into account to determine marginal constituencies. We show that tactical voting played a significant role in the 2010 election, mainly for Liberal-Democratic voters supporting Labour. Moreover, our results suggest that voters seem to form their expectations based on a national swing in vote shares rather than newspaper guides published in the main media outlets or previous election outcomes. We also present some evidence that suggests that campaign spending is not driving tactical voting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3839-3858 Issue: 36 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1019037 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1019037 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:36:p:3839-3858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lijuan Huo Author-X-Name-First: Lijuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huo Author-Name: Tae-Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Tae-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Yunmi Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yunmi Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Revisiting growth empirics based on IV panel quantile regression Abstract: We analyse the well-known issue of economic growth convergence using quantile regression. Most previous studies have used a least squares (LS) method or variation, which focuses on the issue only at the mean of the growth rate. Therefore, such results cannot provide a satisfactory answer to what can happen if the growth rate is far from the conditional mean level. For example, we consider the following question: do we still have economic growth convergence or is the convergence speed changed in a low growth period such as the 'Great Recession,' that started in 2008? We propose using instrumental variable panel quantile regression to answer this question. Our empirical findings demonstrate that economic growth convergence occurs at all quantiles over the entire conditional distribution, but that the convergence speed does depend on quantiles; the convergence speed is much higher when the GDP growth rate is at either high or low quantiles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3859-3873 Issue: 36 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1019038 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1019038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:36:p:3859-3873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vasilios Plakandaras Author-X-Name-First: Vasilios Author-X-Name-Last: Plakandaras Author-Name: Periklis Gogas Author-X-Name-First: Periklis Author-X-Name-Last: Gogas Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Theophilos Papadimitriou Author-X-Name-First: Theophilos Author-X-Name-Last: Papadimitriou Title: US inflation dynamics on long-range data Abstract: In this article, we evaluate inflation persistence in the United States using long-range monthly and annual data. The importance of inflation persistence is crucial to policy authorities and market participants, since the level of inflation persistence provides an indication on the susceptibility of the economy to exogenous shocks. Departing from classic econometric approaches found in the relevant literature, we evaluate inflation persistence through the nonparametric Hurst exponent within both a global and a rolling window framework. Moreover, we expand our analysis to detect the potential existence of chaos in the data generating process, in order to enhance the robustness of our conclusions. Overall, we find that inflation persistence is high from 1775 to 2013 for the annual data-set and from February 1876 to May 2014 in monthly frequency, respectively. Especially from the monthly data-set, the rolling window approach allows us to derive that inflation persistence has reached to historically high levels in the post-Bretton Woods period and remained there ever since. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3874-3890 Issue: 36 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1019039 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1019039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:36:p:3874-3890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcus Alexander Ong Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Ong Title: An information theoretic analysis of stock returns, volatility and trading volumes Abstract: Information theory is used to examine the dynamic relationships between stock returns, volatility and trading volumes for S&P500 stocks. This provides an alternative approach to traditional Granger causality tests when dealing with nonlinear relationships. The article highlights the dominant role played by trading volumes in all of these relationships - even in the return-volatility relation - and finds evidence of a market level feedback effect from index returns to the return-volatility relation at the stock level. The article also produces a number of stylized facts from an information theoretic perspective. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3891-3906 Issue: 36 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1019040 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1019040 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:36:p:3891-3906 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petra Maresova Author-X-Name-First: Petra Author-X-Name-Last: Maresova Author-Name: Blanka Klimova Author-X-Name-First: Blanka Author-X-Name-Last: Klimova Title: Investment evaluation of cloud computing in the European business sector Abstract: The importance of cloud computing is acknowledged both at national and entrepreneurial level. Its potential in business has been already described in many studies (Dillon et al., 2010; Bayrak et al., 2011; Nuseibeh, 2011; Repschlaeger et al., 2013). However, many European countries do not exploit it much in spite of many positive responses made by respected consulting companies. The reasons for this are a very low level of changes in companies, ignorance of opportunities of the given technology and, consequently, an inability to count the return of investment. Therefore, the aim of this article is to introduce a tool for the investment evaluation of cloud computing, which corresponds to the needs of the European business environment and to the properties of this technology. Furthermore, the cost Benefit Analysis (CBA) method is explored. This method is adjusted for cloud computing on the basis of companies' requirements, which were collected from quantitative and qualitative surveys and from the interviews with experts in cloud computing from academic and business environments. In addition, individual stages of the CBA method used in cloud computing are described. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3907-3920 Issue: 36 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1019041 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1019041 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:36:p:3907-3920 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vera Ogeh Fiador Author-X-Name-First: Vera Ogeh Author-X-Name-Last: Fiador Author-Name: Nicholas Biekpe Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Biekpe Title: Monetary policy and exchange market pressure-evidence from sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: The purpose of this study was to assess the impact of monetary policy on foreign exchange market pressure (EMP) in developing country contexts for some selected countries in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and to measure the ability of monetary policy to significantly address currency pressures that arise from trading on the global market. This study was motivated by the fact that most of the SSA countries are developing economies that have negative net export positions and stand to lose significantly from consistently deteriorating foreign exchange position. The study, therefore, employs a dynamic panel model to test the hypothesis that a tighter monetary policy stance lends strength to a currency and vice versa, using 20 SSA economies for the period from 1991 to 2010. This study finds a negative and significant relationship between monetary policy and EMP, implying an easing of EMP in the face of contractionary monetary policy. The findings also point to significant relations between aggregate output, levels of public debt, the current account balance, terms of trade and EMP. Findings of this study have important implications as regards the policy direction on exchange rate and currency management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3921-3937 Issue: 37 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1023937 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1023937 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:37:p:3921-3937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Marcelo Florensa Author-X-Name-First: Luis Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Florensa Author-Name: Laura MᲱuez-Ramos Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: MᲱuez-Ramos Author-Name: Inmaculada Mart󹑺-Zarzoso Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Mart󹑺-Zarzoso Author-Name: Mar𨁌uisa Recalde Author-X-Name-First: Mar𨁌uisa Author-X-Name-Last: Recalde Title: Regional versus global production networks: where does Latin America stand? Abstract: This article quantifies the effects of the Latin American Integration Association (LAIA) and the Southern Common Market (Mercosur) on the trade of intermediate goods and also on the trade of final goods. It is the first article to investigate whether increasing imports of intermediate goods from different regions to Latin America have led to higher exports of final and intermediate goods. The article uses sectoral data for trade in goods between 11 LAIA members over the period 1991-2008. The main results indicate evidence of increasing regional production networks, which have strengthened in the 2000s. Moreover, the findings show evidence of the emergence of global production networks, especially with respect to intermediate imports from China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3938-3956 Issue: 37 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1023938 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1023938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:37:p:3938-3956 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuko Mori Author-X-Name-First: Yuko Author-X-Name-Last: Mori Title: Voter turnout and the principle of 'one person, one vote': empirical evidence from the constituency freeze in India Abstract: This article uses panel data from national and state elections in India during the period 1977-2007 to examine the effect of inequality in constituency population size on voter turnout. During this period, constituency boundaries in India remained fixed. As a result, differences in population size between constituencies increased, thus changing the value of a single vote. Using this large variation in population size and informative data, this article carefully distinguishes the effect of population size from other factors. We find that an increase of one million electorates decreases voter turnout by 12-27%. In addition, we find that the share of votes gained by national political parties is greater in small-population constituencies. This suggests that political parties direct their efforts in electoral campaigns preferentially to less populous constituencies; as a result, voters in small constituencies are more likely to participate in elections. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3957-3970 Issue: 37 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1023939 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1023939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:37:p:3957-3970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ant󮩯 Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Ant󮩯 Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Christophe Rault Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Rault Title: Short- and long-run behaviour of long-term sovereign bond yields Abstract: We assess the short- and long-run behaviour of long-term sovereign bond yields in OECD countries using a dynamic panel approach to reflect financial and economic integration. Given the existence of cross-country dependence regarding sovereign yields and its determinants, we resort to simulation and bootstrap methods. Results based on the Common Correlated Effect estimator of Pesaran and on Panel Error Correction Models to sort out short- and long-run fiscal developments show that in addition to common movements in sovereign yields, investors also consider country differences arising from specific factors (inflation, budgetary and current account imbalances, real effective exchange rates, and liquidity). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3971-3993 Issue: 37 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1023940 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1023940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:37:p:3971-3993 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mª Jesús Alonso-Nuez Author-X-Name-First: Mª Jesús Author-X-Name-Last: Alonso-Nuez Author-Name: M󮩣a Flores-Garc𨀍 Author-X-Name-First: M󮩣a Author-X-Name-Last: Flores-Garc𨀍 Author-Name: Antonio Mu񯺭Porcar Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Mu񯺭Porcar Title: Construction industry in Spain, is it guilty of the current crisis? Abstract: This article presents an analysis of the construction sector in Spain over the last decade. Several indicators are constructed based on Input-Output tables that demonstrate that the importance attributed to this sector does not correspond to its true role in the overall Spanish economy. Although it is true that the construction industry is important for other sectors of the economy, it is also true that the sector shows indicators that are average for the Spanish economy and lower than those of the industrial sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3994-4006 Issue: 37 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1023941 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1023941 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:37:p:3994-4006 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zuzana Janko Author-X-Name-First: Zuzana Author-X-Name-Last: Janko Author-Name: Gurleen Popli Author-X-Name-First: Gurleen Author-X-Name-Last: Popli Title: Examining the link between crime and unemployment: a time-series analysis for Canada Abstract: We use national and regional Canadian data to analyse the relationship between economic activity (as reflected by the unemployment rate) and crime rates. Given potential aggregation bias, we disaggregate the crime data and look at the relationship between six different types of crimes rates and unemployment rate; we also disaggregate the data by region. We employ an error correction model in our analysis to test for short-run and long-run dynamics. We find no evidence of long-run relationship between crime and unemployment, when we look at both disaggregation by type of crime and disaggregation by region. Lack of evidence of a long-run relationship indicates we have no evidence of the motivation hypothesis. For selected types of property crimes, we find some evidence of a significant negative short-run relationship between crime and unemployment, lending support to the opportunity hypothesis. Inclusion of control variables in the panel analysis does not alter the findings, qualitatively or quantitatively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4007-4019 Issue: 37 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1023942 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1023942 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:37:p:4007-4019 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xian Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Xian Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Expectation, volatility and liquidity in the housing market Abstract: Measuring housing price volatility is fundamental to understanding the dynamics of housing price risk. This article aims to explore whether a liquidity factor plays a role in explaining the second moment (i.e. the volatility) of housing prices. Housing price volatility is measured as the conditional variance of a Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model under the Adaptive Expectations framework. The empirical evidence reveals that volatility transmits from smaller housing units to larger housing units, which indirectly supports the trade-up effect discussed in the literature. In addition, less liquid housing classes are more sensitive to unexpected liquidity shocks, and the starter housing class is extraordinarily sensitive to negative liquidity shocks. Consistent with friction search theory, pricing errors are alleviated as the trading volume increases, because the valuation price tends to be more accurate as more information is available. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4020-4035 Issue: 37 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1023943 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1023943 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:37:p:4020-4035 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joscha Beckmann Author-X-Name-First: Joscha Author-X-Name-Last: Beckmann Author-Name: Ansgar Belke Author-X-Name-First: Ansgar Author-X-Name-Last: Belke Author-Name: Michael Kühl Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Kühl Title: Foreign exchange market interventions and the $-¥ exchange rate in the long run Abstract: This article examines whether foreign exchange market interventions conducted by the Bank of Japan are important for the dollar-yen exchange rate in the long run. We rely on a re-examination of the empirical performance of a monetary exchange rate model. This is basically not a new topic; however, we focus on two new questions. First, does the consideration of periods of massive interventions in the foreign exchange market uncover a potential long-run relationship between the exchange rate and its fundamentals? Second, do Forex interventions support the adjustment towards a long-run equilibrium value? Our results suggest that taking periods of interventions into account within a monetary model does improve the goodness of fit of an identified long-run relationship to a significant degree. Furthermore, Forex interventions increase the speed of adjustment towards long-run equilibrium in some periods, particularly in periods of coordinated forex interventions. Our results indicate that only coordinated interventions seem to stabilize the dollar-yen exchange rate in a long-run perspective. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4037-4055 Issue: 38 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1013621 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1013621 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:38:p:4037-4055 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory A. Gilpin Author-X-Name-First: Gregory A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gilpin Author-Name: Luke A. Pennig Author-X-Name-First: Luke A. Author-X-Name-Last: Pennig Title: Compulsory schooling laws and school crime Abstract: Extensive literature demonstrates that compulsory schooling laws improve educational attainment, well-being, civic involvement, and labour market outcomes. However, at-risk youth incapacitated to schools may impact the learning environment and school safety. The purpose of this article is to study whether raising the minimum dropout age (MDA) requirement above 16 increases crime committed within US public high schools. A difference-in-difference estimation exploits changes in state-level MDA laws over time and indicates that schools in states that raise their MDA requirement to 18 incur more overall crime relative to schools in states that do not, while no effect on overall crime is identified when the MDA requirement is raised to 17. Furthermore, these effects persist for 4 years after passage and more intensely in metropolitan areas. Coupling this research with existing literature suggests that when the MDA requirement is raised to 18, only a small portion of the observed reduction in juvenile crime is displaced to schools. Analysis by category of crime reveals schools incur more physical attacks, no change in illegal drug and property crimes, and fewer violent crimes in states that raise their MDA requirement to 18, while illegal drug crimes increase in states that raise their MDA requirement to 17. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4056-4073 Issue: 38 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1023944 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1023944 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:38:p:4056-4073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean Louis Combes Author-X-Name-First: Jean Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Combes Author-Name: Christian Ebeke Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Ebeke Author-Name: Mathilde Maurel Author-X-Name-First: Mathilde Author-X-Name-Last: Maurel Title: The effect of remittances prior to an election Abstract: The objective of the article is to assess whether remittances have an influence on political manipulation, which may occur prior to an election, through an increase in the government consumption-to-GDP ratio. We combine data from the National Elections across Democracy and Autocracy data set compiled and discussed in Hyde and Marinov (2012) and the World Development Indicators data set. We focus on 70 developing countries over the period 1990-2010. It appears that the political budget cycle is reduced up to the point where it is fully cancelled out at a remittance threshold of 10.7% of GDP. Those findings are robust to different robustness checks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4074-4089 Issue: 38 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1023945 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1023945 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:38:p:4074-4089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Gius Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Gius Title: The effects of state and federal background checks on state-level gun-related murder rates Abstract: The purpose of the present study was to determine whether firearm background checks are significantly related to gun-related murder rates. The present study differs from prior research in several ways. First, a large longitudinal data-set is used; data for 50 states for the period 1980-2011 are examined. Second, the effects of both federal and state background checks, including state-mandated private sales background checks, are estimated. Finally, a fixed effects model that controls for both state-level and year-specific effects is used. Results suggest that states that require dealer background checks have lower gun-related murder rates than other states. In addition, after implementation of the Brady Act, gun-related murder rates fell. However, the results also suggest that, for the entire period in question, states with private sales background checks had higher gun-related murder rates than states with no such background checks. If one only looks the Brady Act period, however, then the private sales background check variable is insignificant. These results for private sales background checks are novel and contrary to the results of much prior research in this area. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4090-4101 Issue: 38 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1023946 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1023946 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:38:p:4090-4101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno Karoubi Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Karoubi Author-Name: R駩s Chenavaz Author-X-Name-First: R駩s Author-X-Name-Last: Chenavaz Title: Prices for cash and cash for prices? Theory and evidence on convenient pricing Abstract: A transaction between a seller and a buyer incurs a payment cost. The payment cost is borne by the seller, depending on the payment instrument the buyer chooses, cash or card. Card payment is more costly than cash payment, so the seller prefers that the buyer pays cash. In this article, we study the strategy of the seller setting a convenient price, which simplifies transactions and pushes the buyer to pay cash. The theoretical analysis, which models both the seller and the buyer in a game setting, derives two propositions: (1) the seller is more likely to set a more convenient price and (2) the buyer is more likely to pay cash a more convenient price. The empirical analysis supports both propositions. Thus, sellers adopt a convenience pricing strategy - prices for cash - and this strategy pushes buyers to pay cash - cash for prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4102-4115 Issue: 38 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1023947 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1023947 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:38:p:4102-4115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Philippe Boussemart Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Philippe Author-X-Name-Last: Boussemart Author-Name: Herv頌eleu Author-X-Name-First: Herv頍 Author-X-Name-Last: Leleu Author-Name: Vivian Valdmanis Author-X-Name-First: Vivian Author-X-Name-Last: Valdmanis Title: A two-stage translog marginal cost pricing approach for Floridian hospital outputs Abstract: Since the passage of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) of 2010, issues still remain regarding the mandated purchase of insurance to ensure more universal coverage. One such issue is the pricing of these insurance packages and whether or not the reimbursements will cover necessary services. Therefore, policy concerns exist that increasing the number of insured individuals may not curtail costs. Conversely, providers may not wish to treat patients covered by excessively frugal plans such as Medicaid; hence the trade-offs between access and cost control. In this article, we present findings from a cost function and a productivity approach to determine the marginal cost of providing inpatient hospital care for hospitals operating in Florida during 2005. Using these methodological approaches, we are able to use the marginal rate of transformation to determine the relative marginal costs while controlling for hospital technical and allocative inefficiency. Our work differs from earlier articles as we avoid the Greene problem for cross-sectional models through a two-step approach. By including both reimbursement rates under conditions of hospital efficiency, we can ascertain payment schemes that should, at least in theory, cover necessary costs for patient care without leading to excessive input usage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4116-4127 Issue: 38 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1023948 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1023948 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:38:p:4116-4127 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tim Pawlowski Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Pawlowski Author-Name: Georgios Nalbantis Author-X-Name-First: Georgios Author-X-Name-Last: Nalbantis Title: Competition format, championship uncertainty and stadium attendance in European football - a small league perspective Abstract: To increase the number of regular season games, small football leagues are often organized as quadruple round robin tournaments with teams playing each other four times. Theoretically, however, the more games played, the less uncertain is the championship race, reducing fan interest in the league. This article uses data from Austria and Switzerland to study the relationship between competition format, championship uncertainty and attendance demand empirically. Results suggest that a team still in contention to win the championship positively affects attendance, while it is not the specificity of the competition format that per se contributes to less championship uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4128-4139 Issue: 38 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1023949 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1023949 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:38:p:4128-4139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hossein Hassani Author-X-Name-First: Hossein Author-X-Name-Last: Hassani Author-Name: Emmanuel Sirimal Silva Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Sirimal Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Mawuli K. Segnon Author-X-Name-First: Mawuli K. Author-X-Name-Last: Segnon Title: Forecasting the price of gold Abstract: This article seeks to evaluate the appropriateness of a variety of existing forecasting techniques (17 methods) at providing accurate and statistically significant forecasts for gold price. We report the results from the nine most competitive techniques. Special consideration is given to the ability of these techniques to provide forecasts which outperforms the random walk (RW) as we noticed that certain multivariate models (which included prices of silver, platinum, palladium and rhodium, besides gold) were also unable to outperform the RW in this case. Interestingly, the results show that none of the forecasting techniques are able to outperform the RW at horizons of 1 and 9 steps ahead, and on average, the exponential smoothing model is seen providing the best forecasts in terms of the lowest root mean squared error over the 24-month forecasting horizons. Moreover, we find that the univariate models used in this article are able to outperform the Bayesian autoregression and Bayesian vector autoregressive models, with exponential smoothing reporting statistically significant results in comparison with the former models, and classical autoregressive and the vector autoregressive models in most cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4141-4152 Issue: 39 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1026580 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1026580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:39:p:4141-4152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ju-Chin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ju-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Min Qiang Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Min Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Model selection and misspecification in discrete choice welfare analysis Abstract: This study extends the work by Herriges and Kling (1997) to further evaluate the impact of discrete choice modelling techniques on welfare measures. Particularly, we evaluate the performance of the increasingly popular mixed logit model and the computational strategy for deriving discrete choice welfare measures. Our simulation results show that model misspecification can have profound effects on welfare measures. In general, the flexible mixed logit model performs relatively well in the presence of misspecification. However, when the nesting structure can be appropriately identified (via statistical tests and a priori knowledge/experience), the nested logit model provides more reliable welfare measures than the mixed logit model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4153-4167 Issue: 39 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1026581 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1026581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:39:p:4153-4167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jesús A. Mu񯺭Sepúlveda Author-X-Name-First: Jesús A. Author-X-Name-Last: Mu񯺭Sepúlveda Author-Name: Diego Rodr򍑥z Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Rodr򍑥z Title: Geographical and industrial spillovers in entry decisions across export markets Abstract: This article addresses sequential entry decisions in export markets. It focuses on externalities derived from previous export activity in countries close to those for which a potential entry decision is made (geographical spillovers) and externalities derived from previous presence of other firms in the same industry (industrial spillovers). The empirical analysis uses Spanish microdata for the period 2000-2010 in a firm decision model that also integrates country and industry characteristics. The results suggest that these two types of spillovers have a positive effect in explaining entry decisions in new export markets, though both are smaller in magnitude than the effects coming from previous presence in the same specific destination. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4168-4183 Issue: 39 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1026582 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1026582 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:39:p:4168-4183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hala El-Said Author-X-Name-First: Hala Author-X-Name-Last: El-Said Author-Name: Mahmoud Al-Said Author-X-Name-First: Mahmoud Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Said Author-Name: Chahir Zaki Author-X-Name-First: Chahir Author-X-Name-Last: Zaki Title: Trade and access to finance of SMEs: is there a nexus? Abstract: Limited resources and barriers to entry are critically higher for small and medium enterprises (SMEs) than for large companies. One of the reasons explaining why the resources of SMEs are scarce is their limited access to financial services. This in turn reduces the likelihood of exporting. For this reason, using the census of SMEs done by the Central Bank of Egypt and the Egyptian Banking Institute, we try to examine the impact of access to finance on their export performance. We measure the latter by the extensive margin that means the probability of becoming an exporter and the probability of serving several markets. We found a significant and positive impact of dealing with banks and having banking facilities on the probability of exporting and that of exporting to more than one destination. Thus, wider and more efficient financial services are likely to increase the number of exporters and boost exports' diversification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4184-4199 Issue: 39 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1026583 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1026583 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:39:p:4184-4199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shan-Ying Chu Author-X-Name-First: Shan-Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Hau Chyi Author-X-Name-First: Hau Author-X-Name-Last: Chyi Title: Welfare use and children's longer-term achievement Abstract: We investigate the effects of mothers' welfare use on children's longer-term performance. To address issues of improper comparison groups and the endogenous nature of welfare participation, we focus on less-educated single mothers and adopt a correction function approach. Data are drawn from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979 - Children and Young Adult from 1994 to 2010. Estimation results confirm the positive longer-term effects of mothers' welfare use. On average, a child whose mother used welfare in all 20 quarters after childbirth experiences a 0.56-point increase in their yearly high school grade point average, is 12% more likely to graduate from high school and earns $1112.76 more in the first-observed income than a child whose mother does not. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4200-4207 Issue: 39 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1026584 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1026584 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:39:p:4200-4207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luc Arrondel Author-X-Name-First: Luc Author-X-Name-Last: Arrondel Author-Name: Fr餩rique Savignac Author-X-Name-First: Fr餩rique Author-X-Name-Last: Savignac Title: Risk management, housing and stockholding Abstract: This article investigates the possible explanations of the stockholding puzzle by focusing on housing and other uninsurable risks (associated with income, health and business). Taking the French household wealth survey (Patrimoine 2004, French National Statistical Institute), we find that the share of financial wealth invested in stocks depends on transaction and information costs, risk aversion, exposure to real estate risk and, to a lesser extent, labour market risk. These results are obtained by controlling for endogenous home ownership status. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4208-4227 Issue: 39 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1026585 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1026585 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:39:p:4208-4227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan A. Batten Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Batten Author-Name: Peter G. Szilagyi Author-X-Name-First: Peter G. Author-X-Name-Last: Szilagyi Author-Name: Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Should emerging market investors buy commodities? Abstract: One reason that investors hold commodities is to receive diversification benefits. However, while an extensive set of existing studies demonstrate diversification benefits when investors hold international stocks or bonds, they are generally silent on the implications of holding commodities. Using an asset pricing framework, we investigate the benefits to investors from holding commodities, both individually and in portfolios. Generally, commodity and stock markets are integrated, although there are time-varying benefits to investors that are subject to sample period selection and investment horizon. We show that Asian investors receive positive risk adjusted returns in gold and rice markets but not in any of the other commodity markets investigated. The risk adjusted returns are time-varying: during the Asian financial crisis risk adjusted returns were negative - a penalty for investing in commodities - whereas during the global financial crisis the reverse was true and investors earned positive excess returns. The time-varying nature of the benefits that arise from diversification in commodities and their breakdown during periods of crisis, highlight the problems that investors may face when using commodities for long-term investment in addition to traditional holdings of stocks and bonds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4228-4246 Issue: 39 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1026586 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1026586 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:39:p:4228-4246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eike Emrich Author-X-Name-First: Eike Author-X-Name-Last: Emrich Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Title: Testing economic models of volunteer labour supply: some empirical evidence for the German Red Cross Abstract: We use a new data set collected by means of a questionnaire study of volunteers of the German Red Cross to test predictions of three competing economic models of volunteer labour supply: the public-goods model, the private-consumption model and the human-capital model. The three competing economic models make different predictions regarding the response of a volunteer's labour supply to a change in the perceived labour supply of other volunteers. Our empirical results lend support to the public-goods model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4247-4259 Issue: 40 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1026587 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1026587 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:40:p:4247-4259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Thomas M. Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Thomas M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Title: Evidence from Mexico on social status and violence against women Abstract: This study investigates the impact of relative social status on violence against women in Mexico using state-level panel data. Relatively higher female social status, measured by educational, economic and political standings, is associated with lower homicide rates for women and lower intimate partner violence rates. More importantly, different status variables affect violence against women through different channels, depending on the victim-offender relationship. The results are robust to different specifications and different control variables. This study may provide helpful guidelines to policy-makers attempting to identify more effective means for deterring violence against women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4260-4274 Issue: 40 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1026588 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1026588 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:40:p:4260-4274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harry X. Wu Author-X-Name-First: Harry X. Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Esther Y. P. Shea Author-X-Name-First: Esther Y. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Shea Author-Name: Alice Shiu Author-X-Name-First: Alice Author-X-Name-Last: Shiu Title: Has China's fast industrial growth been efficient? An industry-level investigation with a newly constructed data set Abstract: We adopt contemporaneous, nonradial and variable returns to scale assumptions in a data envelopment analysis (DEA) exercise to address the inefficiency problem in Chinese industries in different policy regimes using a newly constructed data set for 24 Chinese manufacturing industries in 1952-2008. While confirming that the central planning period was indeed a 'graveyard' for productivity that entailed severe technical regress and efficiency losses, we do not find a steady improvement in efficiency during the reform period despite strong technical progress. We argue that the resurgent prominence of the government and the state sector since the late 1990s, especially following China's World Trade Organization accession, has obstructed the efficiency improvement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4275-4298 Issue: 40 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1026589 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1026589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:40:p:4275-4298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir Author-X-Name-First: Zeynel Abidin Author-X-Name-Last: Ozdemir Author-Name: Emre Aksoy Author-X-Name-First: Emre Author-X-Name-Last: Aksoy Title: Are real exchanges rate series really persistent?: evidence from three commonwealth of independent states countries Abstract: This article sets out to examine the degree of persistence in the real exchange rates of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Russia, and tests the validity of Purchasing power parity (PPP) using monthly data covering 1995:01-2013:12 period. The sum of autoregressive (AR) coefficients is used in order to examine persistence of the real exchange rate series and grid-bootstrap method is employed for the confidence intervals. The tests performed suggest two results: (1) Covering the full sample and sub-sample periods, excluding Kyrgyzstan in 1995:01-1998:07 and Russia in 2008:09-2013:12 periods, disregarding the structural breaks in the data generating process, there is high persistency in real exchange rates; (2) there is evidence in support of PPP covering the full sample for every country except for Kyrgyzstan in 1995:01-1998:07 and Russia in 2008:09-2013:12 periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4299-4309 Issue: 40 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1026590 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1026590 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:40:p:4299-4309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios J. Dimitriou Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dimitriou Author-Name: John C. Mourmouris Author-X-Name-First: John C. Author-X-Name-Last: Mourmouris Author-Name: Maria F. Sartzetaki Author-X-Name-First: Maria F. Author-X-Name-Last: Sartzetaki Title: Economic impact assessment of mega infrastructure pipeline projects Abstract: The economic development features for the decades after the Second World War provide evidence that investments to new infrastructures are a key driver in strengthening the national economy and enhancing nation's productivity, as it creates economic benefits and additional income. However, the decision for fund allocation and investments in mega infrastructure pipeline projects often must be made in conditions that are much more fraught with uncertainty. The key question in such decisions is if the economic impact caused by the new project could be able to essentially boost the economy by creating new jobs and generating new income on one hand; and which are the business sectors expected to archive the benefits of this investment. This article deals with the estimation of the mega infrastructure pipeline project economic effects in economy. The methodological framework is based on input-output approach providing quantitative estimations about the economic impact of the project in terms of new income and jobs. The numerical application deals with the assessment of a cross-border crude oil pipeline project, connecting the ports of Burgas (Bulgaria) and Alexandroupolis (Greece), establishing a new transportation corridor for the crude oil from Black Sea to Southeast Mediterranean. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4310-4322 Issue: 40 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1026591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1026591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:40:p:4310-4322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Revisiting Purchasing Power Parity in OECD Abstract: This study revisits Purchasing Power Parity theory (PPP) in the 34 OECD countries during January 1994-August 2013. We use a new panel stationary test with both sharp breaks and smooth shifts, a novel approach to panel unit-root testing, proposed by Bahmani-Oskooee et al. (2014). The results indicate that the PPP holds in half of the 34 OECD countries. These results indicate the importance of proper modelling of both sharp breaks and smooth shifts in real effective exchange rate series of OECD countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4323-4334 Issue: 40 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1026592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1026592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:40:p:4323-4334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nathan P. Hendricks Author-X-Name-First: Nathan P. Author-X-Name-Last: Hendricks Author-Name: Aaron Smith Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Grouped coefficients to reduce bias in heterogeneous dynamic panel models with small T Abstract: We propose the grouped coefficients estimator to reduce bias in dynamic panels with small T that have a multilevel structure to the coefficient and factor loading heterogeneity. If groups are chosen such that the within-group heterogeneity is small, then the grouped coefficients estimator can lead to substantial bias reduction compared to pooled GMM dynamic panel estimators. We also propose using a Wald test that can be used to assess whether pooled estimators suffer from heterogeneity bias. We illustrate the usefulness of grouped coefficients with an application to labour demand in which the coefficients are grouped by sub-sector. Our results suggest that the standard pooled estimates are substantially biased. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4335-4348 Issue: 40 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1029112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1029112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:40:p:4335-4348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. W. Lampe Author-X-Name-First: H. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Lampe Author-Name: D. Hilgers Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Hilgers Author-Name: C. Ihl Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Ihl Title: Does accrual accounting improve municipalities' efficiency? Evidence from Germany Abstract: The stressed financial situation in the public sector and the continuous aspiration for austerity in western governments and public bodies is omnipresent. As one core element in the New Public Management shift, Germany, like many other countries, has experienced significant reforms in public sector accounting and reporting in the last decade. We analyse the effect of new accounting and budgeting regimes. We therefore analyse the cost efficiency of German local governments in the state of North Rhine-Westphalia over 3 years using a stochastic frontier approach. This study presents evidence for increased efficiency amongst municipalities due to the adoption of accrual accounting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4349-4363 Issue: 41 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1030562 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1030562 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:41:p:4349-4363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. Kropfh䵦szlig;er Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Kropfh䵦szlig;er Author-Name: M. Sunder Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Sunder Title: A weighty issue revisited: the dynamic effect of body weight on earnings and satisfaction in Germany Abstract: We estimate the relationship between changes in the body mass index (bmi) and wages or satisfaction, respectively, in a panel of German employees. In contrast to previous findings, our dynamic models indicate an inverse u-shaped association between bmi and wages. As the implied maximum occurs in the 'overweight' category, the positive trend in weight may not yet constitute a major limitation to productivity. Further investigation points out a stronger association among young workers and workers with jobs that are less protected. Work satisfaction of young workers is associated with bmi beyond the effect of earnings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4364-4376 Issue: 41 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1030563 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1030563 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:41:p:4364-4376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shang Wu Author-X-Name-First: Shang Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Jacob R. Fooks Author-X-Name-First: Jacob R. Author-X-Name-Last: Fooks Author-Name: Kent D. Messer Author-X-Name-First: Kent D. Author-X-Name-Last: Messer Author-Name: Deborah Delaney Author-X-Name-First: Deborah Author-X-Name-Last: Delaney Title: Consumer demand for local honey Abstract: How to best target and attract niche market consumers is an important marketing problem for producers of specialty agricultural products. It is particularly an issue in the honey market where consumers increasingly face media messages regarding threats to honey bee health, honey adulteration and health benefits of locally produced honey. Using auction experiments, this research evaluates consumer behaviour related to informational messages about honey that is produced locally, domestically and internationally. Results from 115 adult consumers show that consumers' demand for honey varies significantly based on the geographic location of the honey's production, product packaging and the information they have about the product. Consumers demonstrate greater demand for locally produced honey, especially when provided information about negative aspects of internationally produced honey that include adulteration. This shows that such negative media attention on specialty products offers small producers an opportunity to increase profitability by marketing themselves as a specialized niche alternative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4377-4394 Issue: 41 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1030564 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1030564 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:41:p:4377-4394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phuong Anh Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Phuong Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Michel Simioni Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Simioni Title: Productivity and efficiency of Vietnamese banking system: new evidence using F䲥-Primont index analysis Abstract: This article aims to provide a clearer view on the recent evolutions of the Vietnamese banking system that can be useful to public authority when taking restructuring decisions. This article focuses on the evolution of productivity of Vietnamese banks over the period 2008 to 2012, and on the evolution of the different components of this productivity: technical change, pure technical efficiency and mix and scale efficiency. The methodology draws from very recent developments in index theory in the design of multiplicative-complete economically ideal indexes, using F䲥-Primont productivity indexes to measure productivity. This methodology is applied to a balanced panel of Vietnamese banks. The results complement observations usually made on the recent development of the Vietnamese banking system. They show that the State Bank of Vietnam's restructuring policy cannot focus only on either the insufficient size of banks or a better management of these banks in terms of the mix of outputs. Both must be considered simultaneously, not only through bank mergers but also in setting management criteria in line with criteria defined internationally. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4395-4407 Issue: 41 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1030565 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1030565 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:41:p:4395-4407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rania Jammazi Author-X-Name-First: Rania Author-X-Name-Last: Jammazi Author-Name: Duc Khuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc Khuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Responses of international stock markets to oil price surges: a regime-switching perspective Abstract: We propose an enhanced regime-switching model to investigate the relationships between oil price surges and stock market cycles in five oil-dependent countries. Our model accounts for the joint effects of the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent oil markets and simultaneously captures asymmetry, volatility persistence and regime shifts contained in the underlying financial data. We find that stock market returns strongly exhibit a regime-switching behaviour, but they react differently to the increases in the price of oil. More precisely, the conditional volatility of studied stock markets during the bear market phases is found to be less affected by oil price surges than during the bull market phases. Whether the effects of oil shocks are positive or negative depends greatly on the degree of reliance on imported oil, the share of the cost of oil in the national income and the degree of improvement in energy efficiency of a given country. Finally, the relatively opposite effects of the WTI and Brent oil markets suggest the potential of substitution between them as well as the necessity of a diversification strategy of oil supply sources. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4408-4422 Issue: 41 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1030566 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1030566 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:41:p:4408-4422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos頌uis Lima Author-X-Name-First: Jos頌uis Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Author-Name: Javier Nú񥺠 Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Nú񥺠 Title: Does self-regulation work? Experimental evidence of the reputational incentives of Self-Regulatory Organizations Abstract: Self-regulation (SR) is a common way of enforcing quality in markets (such as banking, financial services and several professions) and in a variety of public and private organizations. We provide experimental evidence of the reputational incentives of self-regulatory organizations (SROs) to publicly disclose versus cover-up fraud in an incomplete information environment. We find that observed behaviour is generally consistent with Bayesian equilibrium when subjects are informed about the relative likelihood of fraud detection by a 'vigilant' versus a 'lax' SRO type. In particular, a fraud disclosure equilibrium is supported when subjects are informed that the 'vigilant' SRO is more likely to detect fraud; otherwise, a cover-up equilibrium is supported. However, when subjects are not informed about the relative likelihood of fraud detection by the SRO types (as expected in real SR situations), no equilibrium is strongly supported. Our results suggest that in practice, the reputation-based incentives for effective SR may be inherently ambiguous and weak. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4423-4441 Issue: 41 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1030567 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1030567 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:41:p:4423-4441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maurizio La Rocca Author-X-Name-First: Maurizio Author-X-Name-Last: La Rocca Author-Name: Raffaele Staglianò Author-X-Name-First: Raffaele Author-X-Name-Last: Staglianò Author-Name: Tiziana La Rocca Author-X-Name-First: Tiziana Author-X-Name-Last: La Rocca Author-Name: Alfio Cariola Author-X-Name-First: Alfio Author-X-Name-Last: Cariola Title: Investment cash flow sensitivity and financial constraint: a cluster analysis approach Abstract: This article sheds light on the mixed empirical evidence concerning financial constraint and investment sensitivity to cash flow. The literature suggests that measuring financial constraint is far from straightforward, and we therefore propose a cluster analysis procedure to identify unambiguous groups of constrained firms. We found the investment results to be highly sensitive to cash flow for financial constraint firms. Moreover, in line with previous research, our results showed that the traditional criteria used to identify financially constrained firms led to ambiguous interpretations. Overall, our results propose that the cluster analysis can be used to encompass the various single-criterion approaches, thereby providing a finer measurement of the financial constraint construct and deeper insight into the relationship between investment sensitivity to cash flow and financial constraint. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4442-4457 Issue: 41 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1030568 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1030568 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:41:p:4442-4457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeng-Yan Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Jeng-Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Shi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: How does equity capital cost affect bank performance during a financial crisis? Abstract: This article theoretically examines how equity capital cost affects return performance and safety of a bank and how this effect varies across a financial crisis comparing to a normal time when the bank manager's performance reveals the like of higher equity return and the dislike of higher equity risk. We derive two main results. First, an increase in the bank's equity capital cost from an increase of the interest rate of the Federal funds results in a reduced loan risk-taking at an increased optimal bank interest margin, implying better bank performance. Second, by ignoring the dislike, we find that the better performance is reinforced during a financial crisis but is reduced during a normal time. Financial crises and the dislike preference as such contribute a relatively low return and the stability of banking activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4459-4474 Issue: 42 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1030569 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1030569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:42:p:4459-4474 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Horst Gischer Author-X-Name-First: Horst Author-X-Name-Last: Gischer Author-Name: Holger Müller Author-X-Name-First: Holger Author-X-Name-Last: Müller Author-Name: Toni Richter Author-X-Name-First: Toni Author-X-Name-Last: Richter Title: How to measure the market power of banks in the lending business accurately: a segment-based adjustment of the Lerner Index Abstract: Numerous empirical studies use the price-cost-margin-based Lerner Index (LI) to assess the general market power of banks. A common procedure within those LI applications is to approximate the market price required for the LI measurement as the ratio of a bank's total revenues to total assets. We discuss the major flaws of this aggregated procedure and propose an adjusted (i.e. business segment-orientated) LI approach, which is then applied to assess the market power of banks in the specific lending business at the country level. Our empirical study is based on an original data set containing all interest-related categories (weighted by the respective loan as well as deposit volumes) in the countries of the European Monetary Union zone (EMU) from 2003 to 2013. Our results reveal that the country-specific market power of banks in the lending business has been substantially underestimated in previous studies based on aggregated outputs. For example, averaged across the five most important economies in the EMU, we detect a calibration factor of four. Our findings corroborate the economic notion that the interest-bearing lending business is a more locally separated, and thus profitable, segment in which competition is attenuated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4475-4483 Issue: 42 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1030570 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1030570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:42:p:4475-4483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Sagarika Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Sagarika Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Seema Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Seema Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Title: New empirical evidence on the bid-ask spread Abstract: In this article, we model the determinants of spread for 734 firms listed on the NYSE over the period 1 January 1998 to 31 December 2008. We propose a panel data model of the determinants of spread. There are four main messages emerging from our work. We find a statistically significant effect of volume on spread inconsistent with the work of Johnson (2008). On price, we find mixed results, consistent with the literature. On the effect of price volatility on spread, our results are completely the opposite of the cross-sectional literature but sides with the relatively recent work of Chordia et al. (2001). We allow for persistence of spread as a determinant of spread and find significant evidence of spread persistence across all 16 sectors. Finally, we examine size effects and find statistically strong evidence of size effects based on the relationship between price and spread, persistence and spread, and volatility and spread. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4484-4500 Issue: 42 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1031870 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1031870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:42:p:4484-4500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yensen Ni Author-X-Name-First: Yensen Author-X-Name-Last: Ni Author-Name: Paoyu Huang Author-X-Name-First: Paoyu Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Convertible bonds issued in the bear market period: evidence from Taiwan Abstract: We argue that the behaviour of enterprises might be modified or even changed completely after black swan events occur. We explore why high-tech firms preferred to issue convertible bonds in 2001-2003, the bear market period after the tech bubble in Taiwan. We show that firms issuing convertible bonds are those with low directors' holding ratio and high debt ratio. Results also reveal that corporate governance was worse in the firms that issued convertible bonds, as revealed by the finding that the directors' holding ratio of these issuing firms declined considerably. This finding also implies that corporate governance issues become more serious after black swan events. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4501-4510 Issue: 42 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1031871 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1031871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:42:p:4501-4510 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James Peery Cover Author-X-Name-First: James Peery Author-X-Name-Last: Cover Author-Name: Hye-Jin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hye-Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Do market prices aggregate information about macroeconomic uncertainty (or risk)? Abstract: This article examines several economic variables that represent either confidence in future economic conditions or the degree of risk/uncertainty about future conditions in order to determine which contain more information about future employment and output. Some of these variables are prices, while others are from surveys. Causality tests, historical decompositions within a VAR and out-of-sample forecasts are among the tools used. This article concludes that monthly stock returns contain much more information about future economic conditions than the other variables. The spread between Moody's BAA and AAA bonds, the spread between the constant maturity 10-year government bond and the federal funds rate, as well as uncertainty in future economic conditions as measured by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Business Outlook Survey also provide information about future economic conditions. Notably, this article finds that monthly stock returns contain more information about future economic conditions than does the vix and that variables based on market prices provide more information than survey data. This result provides some support for the notion that market prices aggregate information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4511-4534 Issue: 42 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1031872 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1031872 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:42:p:4511-4534 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wencong Lu Author-X-Name-First: Wencong Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Jianfeng Huang Author-X-Name-First: Jianfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Oliver Musshoff Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Musshoff Title: Climate threshold, financial hoarding and economic growth Abstract: We use an iterative finite difference method to establish theoretical models that reflect the relationships among climate threshold, financial hoarding and economic growth. We build a simultaneous equations model to conduct an empirical analysis based on China's statistical data from 1979 to 2012. Our study yields the following results: China's climate threshold has shown a zigzag-shaped rising trend since 1979; the main reasons for the rapid expansion of financial hoarding were high savings rate, savings leakage, higher marginal efficiency of financial hoarding compared to capital efficiency or higher internal creativity of the financial sector; there were positive cumulative effects between financial hoarding and economic growth, which were significantly inhibited by climate threshold; the climate threshold had discrepant influences on different industries. To achieve a balanced economy, more money should be invested in the real sector to appropriately reduce the rate of savings leakage; the financial sector should move from scale expansion to service efficiency improvements to increase its marginal contribution to the economy and to enhance capital efficiency; the real sector should improve technological innovation and speed up the adaptive adjustment in climate-sensitive industries to move from economic growth to advanced development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4535-4548 Issue: 42 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1031873 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1031873 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:42:p:4535-4548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richhild Moessner Author-X-Name-First: Richhild Author-X-Name-Last: Moessner Title: International spillovers from US forward guidance to equity markets Abstract: We quantify the international spillovers of explicit Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy rate guidance used as an unconventional monetary policy tool at the zero lower bound of the policy rate on international equity markets, considering equity indices of both advanced and emerging economies. We find that stimulatory explicit FOMC policy rate guidance announcements at the zero lower bound led to higher equity prices in a number of advanced and emerging economies. Moreover, we find that equity indices of economies with lower sovereign ratings rose by more, consistent with the risk-taking channel of monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4549-4560 Issue: 42 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1031874 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1031874 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:42:p:4549-4560 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kavita Sirichand Author-X-Name-First: Kavita Author-X-Name-Last: Sirichand Author-Name: Simeon Coleman Author-X-Name-First: Simeon Author-X-Name-Last: Coleman Title: International yield curve comovements: impact of the recent financial crisis Abstract: Empirical evidence on international yield comovement is sparse and lacks consensus. Employing a dynamic correlation approach, we show that during the recent global financial crisis, euro area yields have ceased to comove with the yields of the other international markets - Canada, UK and US. Some implications of our results are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4561-4573 Issue: 43 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1031875 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1031875 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:43:p:4561-4573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James S. Fackler Author-X-Name-First: James S. Author-X-Name-Last: Fackler Author-Name: W. Douglas McMillin Author-X-Name-First: W. Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: McMillin Title: Bernanke versus Taylor: a post mortem Abstract: Our analysis sheds light on the issue of whether the monetary policy contributed to the recent housing boom and bust. We have estimated and analysed a model that allows a comparison between the actual policy and several alternative Taylor rules. When the Taylor rule path was computed using revised data and the deflator for the GDP, we found a notable impact on key housing market variables, supporting Taylor's critique of the Fed policy. However, the bulk of our evidence suggests that the policy as it would have been conducted under our real-time Taylor rules would not have had any significant impact on the housing market variables. This conclusion is robust with regard to the price index used as well as the relative weights used on the inflation and output gaps. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4574-4589 Issue: 43 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1031876 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1031876 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:43:p:4574-4589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elisabetta Magnani Author-X-Name-First: Elisabetta Author-X-Name-Last: Magnani Author-Name: Rong Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Social mobility and inequality in urban China: understanding the role of intergenerational transmission of education Abstract: China's rapid economic growth since the late 1980s has been accompanied by great economic and social transformations, which have resulted in a sharp increase in income inequality. This article contributes to the literature of social mobility in China by examining the impact of parental education on the education of their children. Using the 1990 and 2000 Chinese Population Censuses, we employ nonparametric estimation strategies to provide a systematic investigation of intergenerational transmission of education in urban China. We find evidence of increasing parents-children educational correlations. Our results raise concerns regarding economic inequality in urban China as high intergenerational persistence of education is expected to be a barrier to equal opportunities in children's education attainments and their future labour market outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4590-4606 Issue: 43 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1031877 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1031877 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:43:p:4590-4606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Din 祲 Afat Author-X-Name-First: Din 祲 Author-X-Name-Last: Afat Author-Name: Marta G󭥺-Puig Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: G󭥺-Puig Author-Name: Sim󮠓osvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Sim󮠍 Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: The failure of the monetary model of exchange rate determination Abstract: In this article, we test three popular versions of the monetary model (flexible price, forward-looking and real interest differential models) for the OECD member countries by applying Johansen cointegration technique. Based on country-by-country analysis, we conclude that monetary models do not provide the expected results. We reveal several shortcomings of the models and examine the building blocks of the fundamental version. Although researchers always blame the deviations from purchasing power parity as the reason for the failure of the monetary model, our analysis indicates that invalidity of Keynesian money demand function is also responsible for unfavourable results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4607-4629 Issue: 43 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1031878 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1031878 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:43:p:4607-4629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chia-Chien Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Chien Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Te-Chung Hu Author-X-Name-First: Te-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Chiu-Fen Kao Author-X-Name-First: Chiu-Fen Author-X-Name-Last: Kao Author-Name: Ya-Chi Chang Author-X-Name-First: Ya-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Early warning signals using AVaRs of infinitely divisible GARCH models -- evidence from stock index markets Abstract: Classical time series models have failed to properly assess the risks that are associated with large adverse stock price behaviour. This article contributes to autoregressive moving average model-GARCH (ARMA-GARCH) models with standard infinitely divisible innovations and assesses the performance of these models by comparing them with other time series models that have normal innovation. We discuss the limitations of value at risk (VaR) and aim to develop early warning signal models using average value at risk (AVaRs) based on the ARMA-GARCH model with standard infinitely divisible innovations. Empirical results for the daily Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, the England Financial Times Stock Exchange 100 Index and the Japan Nikkei 225 Index reveal that estimating AVaRs for the ARMA-GARCH model with standard infinitely divisible innovations offers an improvement over prevailing models for evaluating stock market risk exposure during periods of distress in financial markets and provides a suitable early warning signal in both extreme events and highly volatile markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4630-4652 Issue: 43 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1032209 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1032209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:43:p:4630-4652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meng-Hsi Chou Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Hsi Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Gee San Author-X-Name-First: Gee Author-X-Name-Last: San Title: Labour quality in Taiwan: measurement and contribution to economic growth Abstract: This article compiles labour input indices that capture both employment changes and quality improvement of labour in Taiwan, from 1994 to 2011. Up to 77.19% of average annual labour input growth is from quality improvement. Further decomposition reveals that the most important source of growth is educational attainment, followed by age structure. Moreover, we find that Taiwan's average annual GDP growth rate does not result from capital investment but from the contribution of a stable labour input to economic growth. Taiwan is a newly industrialized country, but because of the diminishing returns to capital, the catch-up effect has been slower than hoped. Additional capital investment has a relatively small effect on productivity, and the main source of the continuous economic growth rate is from labour quality, especially from highly skilled human capital. Making good use of these human resources creates a stable source of sustained economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4653-4669 Issue: 43 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1034837 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1034837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:43:p:4653-4669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsung-Yu Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Title: Information disclosure and price manipulation during the pre-closing session: evidence from an order-driven market Abstract: On 20 February 2012, the Taiwan Stock Exchange Corporation launched an order-matching simulation mechanism for five minutes during the start of the pre-closing session, in order to increase information disclosure during this period (13:25-13:30). Pre-closing information disclosure significantly reduces both trading costs and closing-price volatility, as well as price manipulation. The decrease in price manipulation found in this work is due to pre-closing information disclosure, not the behaviour of investors shifting to an earlier time. Further, if a stock price rises or falls by more than 3.5% in the simulation in the last minute during the closing session, trading of the stock will be suspended for two minutes from 13:31 to reduce volatility. However, this trading mechanism (suspended-closing) does not seem to have achieved the intended goals of the authorities, as it has not been able to significantly reduce closing-price volatility and price manipulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4670-4684 Issue: 43 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1051656 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1051656 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:43:p:4670-4684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alejandro C. Garc𫑃intado Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro C. Author-X-Name-Last: Garc𫑃intado Author-Name: Diego Romero-Ávila Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Ávila Author-Name: Carlos Usabiaga Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Usabiaga Title: A PANIC analysis on regional and sectoral inflation: the Spanish case Abstract: This article studies the stochastic properties of several inflation rates for the Spanish economy using the consumer price index (CPI) for the 17 regions and 12 groups of goods and services, and the producer price index (PPI) for 26 industrial sectors. To this end, we employ the panel analysis of nonstationarity in idiosyncratic and common components (PANIC) approach proposed by Bai and Ng (2004, 2010). This methodology enables us to decompose the observed inflation rate series into a common and an idiosyncratic component, thus allowing us to identify the exact source of nonstationarity. Our analysis provides strong evidence of the presence of a common stochastic trend driving the observed series forming the panel of CPI-based inflation rates for the regions. This, coupled with the presence of a jointly stationary idiosyncratic component, implies the existence of pairwise cointegration across the regional CPI-based inflation rates, which show a clear pattern of convergence over time. This gives an indication of increased geographical homogeneity in consumption patterns. The evidence for the panels of CPI-based inflation of groups of goods and services and PPI-based inflation of industrial sectors indicates the existence of four independent common stochastic trends. This, combined with jointly stationary idiosyncratic series, provides much weaker evidence of cross-cointegration for these two panels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4685-4713 Issue: 44 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1034838 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1034838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:44:p:4685-4713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Maderitsch Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Maderitsch Title: Spillovers from the USA to stock markets in Asia: a quantile regression approach Abstract: This article analyses return spillovers from the USA to stock markets in Asia by means of quantile regressions. Traditional studies consider spillovers as effects of the conditional means of foreign returns onto the conditional means of chronologically succeeding domestic markets' returns. We, by contrast, study the full range of quantiles of the conditional distribution of the domestic markets' returns. This enables us to document the detailed structure of spillovers across return quantiles. Generally, we find spillovers from the USA to Asia to be negative. Specifically, however, we reveal an asymmetric structure of spillovers with an increasing negative magnitude from lower to upper return quantiles. Theoretically, this pattern is consistent with an asymmetric overreaction of traders in Asia to news from the US market. Extensions from the baseline model further suggest the presence of contagion throughout the financial crisis of 2007-2008 as well as of calm-down effects over weekends. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4714-4727 Issue: 44 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1034839 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1034839 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:44:p:4714-4727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: O. Poldin Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Poldin Author-Name: D. Valeeva Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Valeeva Author-Name: M. Yudkevich Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Yudkevich Title: Choice of specialization: do peers matter? Abstract: Social influence is an important factor in learning and decision-making. We estimate peer influence on student choice of specialization using data on undergraduate students of a Russian university. Information about individual social ties has been gathered from a questionnaire survey. We show that specialization choice is significantly influenced by friends as well as by study partners. The strongest effect is produced by friends who are study partners and those who have similar academic achievements. Reciprocal friendship ties have a stronger influence on the choice than nonreciprocal ones. Also, the decision is affected by classmates with similar academic achievement. The results allow us to better understand the mechanisms of peer effects in the specialization choice. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4728-4740 Issue: 44 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1034840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1034840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:44:p:4728-4740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. L󰥺-Andi󮠍 Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: L󰥺-Andi󮠍 Author-Name: A. Iglesias-Casal Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Iglesias-Casal Author-Name: M. C. L󰥺-Penabad Author-X-Name-First: M. C. Author-X-Name-Last: L󰥺-Penabad Author-Name: J. M. Maside-Sanfiz Author-X-Name-First: J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Maside-Sanfiz Title: The solvency of financial institutions in Spain: lessons from securitization Abstract: On analysing a sample of Spanish banks, we find that securitization has a slightly negative impact on the soundness of the issuing entity. An unbalanced dynamic panel model was estimated using the forward orthogonal deviations GMM method and used to analyse 537 traditional securitizations issued by 61 banks between 1998 and 2012. The analysis revealed that the entities' soundness became weaker immediately prior to the crisis, but this effect became insignificant after 2007. Securitization has facilitated a process of regulatory capital arbitrage leading to lower capital requirements while, at the same time, giving rise to a slight worsening of the quality of the originators' portfolios. It was found that profitability, liquidity and inflation positively affect solvency, while changes in short-term interest rates affect it negatively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4741-4753 Issue: 44 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1034841 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1034841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:44:p:4741-4753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Omer Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Omer Author-Name: Jakob De Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Author-Name: Bert Scholtens Author-X-Name-First: Bert Author-X-Name-Last: Scholtens Title: An empirical analysis of excess interbank liquidity: a case study of Pakistan Abstract: We investigate the drivers of excess interbank liquidity in Pakistan, using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach on weekly data for December 2005 to July 2011. We find that the financing of the government budget deficit by the central bank and nonbanks leads to persistence in excess liquidity. Moreover, we identify a structural shift in the interbank market in June 2008. Before June 2008, low credit demand was driving the excess liquidity holdings by banks. After June 2008, banks' precautionary investments in risk-free securities drive excess liquidity holdings. Monetary policy is less effective if banks hold excess liquidity for precautionary reasons. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4754-4776 Issue: 44 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1034842 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1034842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:44:p:4754-4776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vikash Ramiah Author-X-Name-First: Vikash Author-X-Name-Last: Ramiah Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Huy Nguyen Anh Pham Author-X-Name-First: Huy Nguyen Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Author-Name: Anthony Scundi Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Scundi Author-Name: Wai Han Teoh Author-X-Name-First: Wai Han Author-X-Name-Last: Teoh Title: The effects of multilateral trading systems on risk and return in equity markets Abstract: The event study methodology of Brown and Warner (1985) is adopted and augmented to evaluate the effect of the launch of multilateral trading systems on risk and return in equity markets. The methodology is supplemented with various techniques, such as the nonparametric ranking test and kernel regression, to find out if announcements about the introduction of Chi-X Australia generated abnormal returns (ARs). Asset pricing models are fitted with interaction variables, while GARCH, threshold ARCH (TARCH), exponential GARCH (EGARCH) and power-ARCH (PARCH) are used to determine changes in systematic risk. We find evidence in favour of Fisher's separation theorem and detect a new market anomaly, which we call the 'Fisher market anomaly'. Our results show that Chi-X system testings affect ARs. Consistent with the adaptive expectations theory, we confirm that the first announcement about the launch of Chi-X affected systematic risk the most. In addition, we identify industry and firm effects in risk analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4777-4792 Issue: 44 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1034843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1034843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:44:p:4777-4792 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. P. Barros Author-X-Name-First: C. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Investment and saving in Angola and the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle Abstract: This article analyses the relationship between investment and savings for Angola using the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle, with monthly data from January 2000 to December 2013. Integer and fractional integration and cointegration techniques are employed to investigate the relationship between investment and savings. Several regression specifications are employed, concluding that the Feldstein-Horioka puzzle is not validated for the Angolan economy. Policy implications are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4793-4800 Issue: 44 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1034844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1034844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:44:p:4793-4800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. D. Hall Author-X-Name-First: A. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Author-Name: S. E. Satchell Author-X-Name-First: S. E. Author-X-Name-Last: Satchell Author-Name: P. J. Spence Author-X-Name-First: P. J. Author-X-Name-Last: Spence Title: Evaluating the impact of inequality constraints and parameter uncertainty on optimal portfolio choice Abstract: We present new analytical results for the impact of portfolio weight constraints on an investor's optimal portfolio when parameter uncertainty is taken into account. While it is well known that parameter uncertainty and imposing weight constraints results in reduced certainty equivalent returns, in the general case, there are no analytical results. In a special case, commonly used in the funds management literature, we derive analytical expression for the certainty equivalent loss that does not depend on the risk aversion parameter. We illustrate our theoretical results using hedge fund data, from the perspective of a fund-of-fund manager. Our contribution is to formalize the framework to investigate this problem, as well as providing tractable analytical solutions that can be implemented using either simulated or asset manager returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4801-4813 Issue: 45 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1034845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1034845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:45:p:4801-4813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos頄aniel Buend𨁁zor󸀍 Author-X-Name-First: Jos頄aniel Author-X-Name-Last: Buend𨁁zor󸀍 Author-Name: Mar𨁤el Mar Sᮣhez de la Vega Author-X-Name-First: Mar𨁤el Mar Author-X-Name-Last: Sᮣhez de la Vega Title: Human capital effects on labour productivity in EU regions Abstract: Recent years have seen a wealth of articles on spatial effects in empirical growth specifications. Endogenous growth models, together with the arguments of the new economic geography, have led to spatial dependence being identified with the existence of externalities which cross regional borders. This article continues in this line of research and offers new empirical evidence on the contribution of human capital and agglomeration economies to the differences in productivity in European Union regions. The article uses the spatial Durbin model with different weight matrices to explain the relation between human capital variables and labour productivity, with the advantage that it allows the effects of spatial externalities associated to human capital and agglomeration economies to be quantified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4814-4828 Issue: 45 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1037434 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1037434 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:45:p:4814-4828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdul Munasib Author-X-Name-First: Abdul Author-X-Name-Last: Munasib Author-Name: Xi Tian Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Title: Impact of institutions on social network formation: communist party membership and social network investment in China Abstract: Using the 2003 wave of China General Social Survey (2003CGSS), we study the influence of the communist party on individual's social networks in urban China and, thereby, present a case of socio-political institutions being an important ingredient in social network formation. We adopt a counterfactual framework and estimate the effect of communist party membership on social network investment as an average treatment effect. We find the treatment to be significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4829-4846 Issue: 45 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1037435 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1037435 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:45:p:4829-4846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ajay Kumar Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ajay Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Thomas H. McInish Author-X-Name-First: Thomas H. Author-X-Name-Last: McInish Author-Name: Trilochan Tripathy Author-X-Name-First: Trilochan Author-X-Name-Last: Tripathy Title: Price movement and trade size on the National Stock Exchange of India Abstract: Using data for the National Stock Exchange of India, we examine three hypotheses about which trades move prices. The Stealth Trading Hypothesis proposes that cumulative price changes (CPCs) are concentrated in particular trade sizes due to the strategic trading of informed traders. We find that depending on market conditions, from 60% to 80% of the CPC is concentrated in small trade sizes, with almost all of the remaining price change concentrated in medium trade sizes. These results support the Stealth Trading Hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4847-4854 Issue: 45 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1037436 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1037436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:45:p:4847-4854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheng Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Yu Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Factors affecting the demand for insurance in China Abstract: China, the largest developing country in the world, has achieved rapid development of insurance market since the reform and opening up, and the demand for insurance has significantly increased in recent years. Using the provincial data between 2000 and 2012, this article attempts to examine the factors that affect the demand for overall insurance, life insurance and nonlife insurance in China. Empirical results indicate that level of income, development of insurance market and level of marketization are the common factors; level of education, development of social security pension, children dependency ratio and elderly dependency ratio mainly affect the demand for life insurance; and inflation mainly affects the demand for nonlife insurance. Furthermore, we particularly investigate the regional differences in the effects of affecting factors between Eastern China, Central China and Western China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4855-4867 Issue: 45 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1037437 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1037437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:45:p:4855-4867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aurora Garc𫑇allego Author-X-Name-First: Aurora Author-X-Name-Last: Garc𫑇allego Author-Name: Nikolaos Georgantz񈀍 Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Georgantz񈀍 Author-Name: Joan Mart󻑍ontaner Author-X-Name-First: Joan Author-X-Name-Last: Mart󻑍ontaner Author-Name: Teodosio P鲥z-Amaral Author-X-Name-First: Teodosio Author-X-Name-Last: P鲥z-Amaral Title: (How) Do research and administrative duties affect university professors' teaching? Abstract: We analyse the interaction between university professors' teaching quality and their research and administrative activities. Our sample is a high-quality individual panel data set from a medium-size public Spanish university that allows us to avoid several types of biases frequently encountered in the literature. Although researchers teach roughly 20% more than nonresearchers, their teaching quality is also 20% higher. Instructors with no research are 5 times more likely than the rest to be among the worst teachers. Over much of the relevant range, we find a nonlinear and positive relationship between research output and teaching quantity on teaching quality. Our conclusions may be useful for decision-makers in universities and governments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4868-4883 Issue: 45 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1037438 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1037438 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:45:p:4868-4883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alex YiHou Huang Author-X-Name-First: Alex YiHou Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Value at risk estimation by threshold stochastic volatility model Abstract: This article proposes a threshold stochastic volatility model that generates volatility forecasts specifically designed for value at risk (VaR) estimation. The method incorporates extreme downside shocks by modelling left-tail returns separately from other returns. Left-tail returns are generated with a t-distributional process based on the historically observed conditional excess kurtosis. This specification allows VaR estimates to be generated with extreme downside impacts, yet remains empirically widely applicable. This article applies the model to daily returns of seven major stock indices over a 22-year period and compares its forecasts to those of several other forecasting methods. Based on back-testing outcomes and likelihood ratio tests, the new model provides reliable estimates and outperforms others. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4884-4900 Issue: 45 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1037439 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1037439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:45:p:4884-4900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Andrea Mervar Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Mervar Author-Name: Payne Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Measuring persistence in Croatian tourism: evidence from the Adriatic region Abstract: This study examines the degree of persistence in foreign tourist arrivals and overnight stays for seven Croatian coastal counties over the period January 1998 to December 2013 using fractional integration techniques. Our findings reveal that the respective regional tourism indicators exhibit seasonal unit roots which require seasonal first differences to render the respective time series stationary. With respect to the long-run evolution of the respective time series, both the parametric and semi-parametric fractional integration approaches show the degree of persistence is greater than zero, but significantly less than one for the majority of the coastal counties. Impulse response analysis reveals indeed shocks to the deseasonalized time series, either foreign tourist arrivals or foreign tourist overnight stays, appear short-lived with the exception of Istria and Primorje-Gorski kotar counties. Policy implications of the results are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4901-4917 Issue: 46 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1037440 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1037440 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:46:p:4901-4917 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faustino Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Faustino Author-Name: Matos Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Matos Title: Exports, productivity and innovation: new firm level empirical evidence Abstract: This article examines the determinants of Portuguese exports, applying data from 277 manufacturing firms for the period 2006-2010. In 2010, these firms accounted for about 47% of total Portugal's exports. Both the static and dynamic results of the estimated models confirm the positive influence of productivity on variations in exports. The dynamic estimations also suggest that exports in the previous period hold a positive effect on contemporaneous exports, confirming the Roberts and Tybout (1997) sunk cost hypothesis for exports. In the dynamic analysis, the labour costs and the size of the firm do not have a statistically significant effect on Portuguese exports with the findings also pointing to increased expenditure on research and development (R&D) generating no statistically significant effect on exports. The lagged R&D expenditure was also insignificant in explaining the change of Portuguese exports. Thus, these results suggest that applying a product or process innovation measure returns better results than indirect measures such as R&D expenditure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4918-4933 Issue: 46 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1039700 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1039700 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:46:p:4918-4933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarlok Singh Author-X-Name-First: Tarlok Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Sustainability of current account deficits in India: an intertemporal perspective Abstract: This study examines the sustainability of current account deficits (CADs) and the validity of intertemporal budget constraint (IBC) in India. The long-run model is estimated on annual data for the period 1950-1951 to 2009-2010. The optimal single-equation and maximum-likelihood (ML) system estimates of the model provide a consistent support for the long-run relationship between imports and exports. The OLSGH estimates provide no support and that ML system estimates a consistent support for cointegration in both the models estimated with one and two structural breaks in level. The new cointegration breakdown tests generally suggest that the cointegration prevails from 1951 to 2010. The evidence supporting the cointegration between imports and exports overwhelms the evidence providing a mixed or no support for cointegration. The estimates of slope parameter above zero and the dominant support for cointegration between imports and exports vindicate the validity of IBC and the sustainability of CADs. The short-term management strategies need to be accompanied by long-term improvements in productivity to reduce inflation, lever up the competitiveness of exports and ensure the sustainability of the external value of domestic currency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4934-4951 Issue: 46 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1039701 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1039701 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:46:p:4934-4951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vassilios Babalos Author-X-Name-First: Vassilios Author-X-Name-Last: Babalos Author-Name: Stavros Stavroyiannis Author-X-Name-First: Stavros Author-X-Name-Last: Stavroyiannis Title: Herding, anti-herding behaviour in metal commodities futures: a novel portfolio-based approach Abstract: The purpose of this article is twofold. Motivated by the heated debate on the financialization of commodities, we examine the existence of herding behaviour in metal commodities futures. In order to identify any time-dependent properties reflected in time-varying parameters, we employ the overlapping rolling window regression technique. The empirical evidence confirms a time-varying anti-herding behaviour before the global financial crisis and the absence of herding or anti-herding behaviour during the crisis. Next we attempt to formally establish the link between the documented anti-herding behaviour and portfolio management with the use of dynamic conditional correlations via the DCC-GARCH family multivariate modelling. After specifying the correlations, an in-sample recursive dynamic Markowitz portfolio is constructed and monitored. By doing so, we attribute the anti-herding behaviour to different portfolio positioning and rebalancing. On the other hand, in the absence of herding or anti-herding behaviour, we document a shift in the correlations and covariances of the commodity futures especially during the crisis, resulting in a decrease of the portfolio weights together with a substantial cash flow towards the risk-free asset. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4952-4966 Issue: 46 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1039702 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1039702 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:46:p:4952-4966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weng Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Weng Author-Name: Woo Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Woo Author-Name: Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: T. Ho Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: I. Horowitz Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Horowitz Title: Public trust and corruption perception: disaster relief Abstract: Public trust in government and nongovernment organizations is essential to the public's willingness to donate and to support those organizations. We measure public trust in disaster aid using people's perception of these organizations' effectiveness in delivering aid relief to the victims of two recent major earthquakes in China. Based on the survey data collected in 2013 from about 2100 residents in Hong Kong, we document the vulnerability of these residents' trust perceptions in aid delivery. We find that the sharp decline in trust perception is highly negatively correlated with their perception of corruption of local governments in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4967-4981 Issue: 46 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1039703 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1039703 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:46:p:4967-4981 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alam Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Alam Author-Name: Shahina Amin Author-X-Name-First: Shahina Author-X-Name-Last: Amin Author-Name: Rives Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Rives Title: Occupational choices of working children in Bangladesh Abstract: The article looks into the determinants of occupational choices of working children in Bangladesh. Using data from 6668 Bangladeshi working children aged 5 through 14, the article estimates several binary and multinomial logit regressions, separately for boys and girls. The article confirms that most children work in the informal sector where formal sector's jurisdiction and regulations are absent. Specifically, the article finds that children are least likely to work in the service occupation and are more likely to work in the textile sector. The findings highlight the diversity in the occupational distribution of child workers by gender and show how their individual and family characteristics influence occupational choices. The service sector, which comprises of mostly maids, is a hidden sector. This sector makes children vulnerable to abuse. Thus, it is suggested that policy makers need to come up with effective legislations that would protect the children who work in the 'hidden informal' sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4982-4995 Issue: 46 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1039704 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1039704 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:46:p:4982-4995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saban Nazlioglu Author-X-Name-First: Saban Author-X-Name-Last: Nazlioglu Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Volatility transmission between Islamic and conventional equity markets: evidence from causality-in-variance test Abstract: This study examines whether a volatility/risk transmission exists between the Dow Jones Islamic stock and three conventional stock markets for the United States, Europe and Asia during the pre- and the in- and post-2008 crisis periods. It also explores the volatility spillover dynamics between those markets and US Monetary policy, oil prices, global financial risk and uncertainty factors. The recently developed Hafner and Herwartz (2006)'s causality-in-variance test provides evidence of risk transfers between these seemingly different equity markets, indicating a contagion between them during the full sample and the subperiods. The volatility structure of these markets is dominated by short-run volatility in the first period and by high long-run volatility in the second period. The volatility impulse response analysis indicates a similar volatility transmission pattern although it is characterized by a more volatile and short-lived structure in the second period. It also appears that the Islamic equity market responds to shocks from the risk factors and not from the oil price and the US economic policy uncertainty index during both periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4996-5011 Issue: 46 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1039705 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1039705 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:46:p:4996-5011 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sofiane Aboura Author-X-Name-First: Sofiane Author-X-Name-Last: Aboura Author-Name: Julien Chevallier Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Chevallier Title: Realized EquiCorrelation: a bird's-eye view of financial stress on equity markets Abstract: This article addresses the issue of measuring the level of aggregate financial stress on stock markets, which is a central issue for investors and policy-makers. To this end, Realized EquiCorrelation (REC) is obtained by plugging realized volatility as an input into the Dynamic EquiCorrelation (DECO) model where both the continuous and jump components of realized volatility are considered. An application is provided for the 20 major stock markets over January 2000-May 2014 using intra-day data. The results remarkably pick up financial stress periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5013-5033 Issue: 47 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1042139 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1042139 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:47:p:5013-5033 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minjung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minjung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The effect of strategic alliances on firm productivity in South Korea Abstract: Using a rich firm-level data set from South Korea, this article analyses the impact of strategic alliances on firm performance, focusing on how firm productivity is affected by alliance types such as joint venture, joint technical development, technical alliance, joint marketing and coproduction as well as alliance structures such as intra- and inter-industry alliances. Total factor productivity (TFP) is estimated through the semi-parametric method suggested by Levinsohn and Petrin (2003). In addition, a two-stage least-squares (2SLS) method is applied to reduce the potential endogenous problem between productivity and strategic alliance choices. The empirical results found in this article indicate that the engagement in joint ventures positively affects firm productivity and that the formation of international intra-industry alliances has a positive impact on firm productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5034-5044 Issue: 47 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1042140 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1042140 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:47:p:5034-5044 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Suphat Suphachalasai Author-X-Name-First: Suphat Author-X-Name-Last: Suphachalasai Author-Name: Thanet Makjamroen Author-X-Name-First: Thanet Author-X-Name-Last: Makjamroen Title: Residential demand estimation for bundled fixed-line and wireless mobile broadband services Abstract: This article is the first investigation of residential Internet markets in Thailand, in particular Bangkok. Bangkok is an interesting market to study as it is Thailand's most populous province, and supports an advanced economy. The study offers a comprehensive discussion of the process to obtain cross-price elasticity estimates when Internet services are bundled. Interestingly, the empirical results reveal positive cross-price effects, i.e. Internet alternatives are viewed as substitutes by respondents in this market. This finding is plausible as the services differ essentially in their model of delivery. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5045-5056 Issue: 47 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1042141 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1042141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:47:p:5045-5056 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yun Xu Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Ouyang Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Ouyang Title: China wage inequality: the role of trade and technology Abstract: This article empirically investigates the impact of international trade and technical change on skill premia for a panel of 28 manufacturing sectors in China over the period 2002-2011. The results find that the effect of changes of the share of SOEs is twofold. First, the contraction of SOEs promoted productivity growth, and the promoting effect was skill-biased, which tended to increase the skill premia in China. Second, the drop of product prices resulting from falling SOEs share was more magnificent in skill-intensive industries, which helped to mitigate wage inequality through product prices. The accounted-for portion of price changes by productivity growth was skill-biased, significantly raising skill premia through product prices. However, the portion of price changes accounted for by foreign price was unskill-biased, and world price competition diminished the growing income disparity in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5057-5071 Issue: 47 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1042142 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1042142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:47:p:5057-5071 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steve Cook Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Author-Name: Tom Winfield Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Winfield Title: The urban-rural divide, regional disaggregation and the convergence of crime Abstract: Potential regional variation in crime rates has been recognized as an issue of clear importance given its implications for the development and evaluation of theories of criminal activity, determining the appropriate level of disaggregation at which to undertake empirical analyses of crime and whether crime fighting policies should be constructed at a national or local level. Consequently, a literature has evolved examining the similarities in US regional crime rates and whether a national trend exists or is emerging. The present article extends the recent research into the emergence of a national trend by considering convergence in alternative classifications of crime using a data set subject to a higher degree of disaggregation than considered hitherto. The results obtained overturn previous findings obtained using more highly aggregated data, indicating the detection of convergence to be dependent upon the level of disaggregation considered. In addition, the extent of convergence detected is shown to vary across classifications of criminal activity and reflect anecdotally noted changes in the evolution of crime at a national level. The implications of the observed regional variation in crime for the urban-rural divide and theoretical, empirical and policy analyses are noted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5072-5087 Issue: 47 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1042143 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1042143 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:47:p:5072-5087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Fung Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Fung Author-Name: Hu Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Interest rate deregulation and banks' off-balance-sheet activities: a Hong Kong perspective Abstract: Through the interest rate deregulation and banks' off-balance-sheet activities (OBSAs) in Hong Kong, this study investigates the debate over the impact of banking deregulation on banks' risk-taking behaviour. On the one hand, the Arrow effect implies that increased competition caused by the interest rate deregulation motivates Hong Kong banks to speed up their development of OBSAs as an additional but riskier income source. On the other hand, the Schumpeterian effect implies that the deregulation may reduce the banks' financial capability in developing new products and thus downscale their OBSA adoption. Our findings show that, while the negative scale effect is statistically insignificant, the interest rate deregulation has a positive and significant impact on the adoption rate for all OBSA categories. We therefore conclude that the interest rate deregulation unambiguously leads to riskier bank behaviour in terms of higher OBSA adoption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5088-5102 Issue: 47 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1042144 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1042144 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:47:p:5088-5102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Wanke Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Wanke Author-Name: Barros Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Title: Slacks determinants in Brazilian railways: a distance friction minimization approach with fixed factors Abstract: This study investigates the drivers for output-increasing/input-saving potentials in the Brazilian railway industry, which has undergone significant transformations since its privatization in the mid-1990s. The main research objective is to determine whether or not different types of cargoes and geographic regions serviced present a significant impact on railway slacks by applying a distance friction minimization (DFM) approach with fixed factors. Based on a balanced panel model, secondary data from the period 2004 to 2012 were collected and analysed. Results support anecdotal evidence regarding a heterogeneous impact of types of cargo and geographic location on input-reducing and output-increasing potentials, besides network length and average speed. Policy implications for railway authorities are also addressed by focusing on the specifics of each railway operator. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5103-5120 Issue: 47 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1042145 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1042145 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:47:p:5103-5120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Author-Name: E. Pallarez Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Pallarez Author-Name: Walke Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Walke Title: Downtown parking meter demand in a border metropolitan economy Abstract: Prior research establishes that the price of parking in the city centre often impacts the decision to travel downtown and the mode of transportation utilized. Other factors that influence the decision to drive and park downtown have received less attention. This study uses time series data to analyse the demand for metered parking spaces in El Paso, Texas, USA. In addition to meter rates, the determinants of demand include personal income, gasoline prices and the price of a substitute good, parking garage spaces. Because international bridges connect downtown El Paso to neighbouring Ciudad JuᲥz, Chihuahua, Mexico, the impacts of trans-boundary traffic flows, bridge tolls and other cross-border economic variables are also included as potential determinants of metered parking demand. Results indicate that parking meter rates, other transportation-related costs, and economic conditions in both countries affect meter use. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5121-5130 Issue: 48 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1042146 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1042146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:48:p:5121-5130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Valeria Bernardo Author-X-Name-First: Valeria Author-X-Name-Last: Bernardo Author-Name: Xavier Fageda Author-X-Name-First: Xavier Author-X-Name-Last: Fageda Author-Name: Montserrat Termes Author-X-Name-First: Montserrat Author-X-Name-Last: Termes Title: Do droughts have long-term effects on water consumption? Evidence from the urban area of Barcelona Abstract: This article examines the long-term effects of droughts on water consumption using data of municipalities of the urban area of Barcelona. Two important characteristics of the sample of municipalities are the relatively low water consumption in the pre-drought period and the fact that indoor uses are clearly predominant. Controlling for prices, income and various socio-demographic factors, we find a reduction in water consumption not only during the drought episode but also in subsequent periods. These permanent reductions in water use may be explained by household behavioural changes, technological changes or structural water policy changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5131-5146 Issue: 48 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1042147 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1042147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:48:p:5131-5146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jimmie Goode Author-X-Name-First: Jimmie Author-X-Name-Last: Goode Author-Name: Kim Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Fabozzi Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Fabozzi Title: Full versus quasi MLE for ARMA-GARCH models with infinitely divisible innovations Abstract: We compare the backtesting performance of ARMA-GARCH models with the most common types of infinitely divisible innovations, fit with both full maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and quasi maximum likelihood estimation (QMLE). The innovation types considered are the Gaussian, Student's t, α-stable, classical tempered stable (CTS), normal tempered stable (NTS) and generalized hyperbolic (GH) distributions. In calm periods of decreasing volatility, MLE and QMLE produce near identical performance in forecasting value-at-risk (VaR) and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). In more volatile periods, QMLE can actually produce superior performance for CTS, NTS and α-stable innovations. While the t-ARMA-GARCH model has the fewest number of VaR violations, rejections by the Kupeic and Berkowitz tests suggest excessively large forecasted losses. The α-stable, CTS and NTS innovations compare favourably, with the latter two also allowing for option pricing under a single market model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5147-5158 Issue: 48 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1042203 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1042203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:48:p:5147-5158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiaoju Ge Author-X-Name-First: Jiaoju Author-X-Name-Last: Ge Author-Name: Alfonso Flores-Lagunes Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Flores-Lagunes Author-Name: Kilmer Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Kilmer Title: An analysis of bargaining power for milk cooperatives and milk processors in Florida Abstract: The Florida dairy market has a few fluid milk processors and many dairy farmers. The dairy farmers are represented in negotiation with the processors by a cooperative. This research builds a theoretical model of bargaining between the processors and a cooperative. The model is applied to the Florida dairy market to examine price negotiations between Florida milk processors and a dairy cooperative. An expectation maximization (EM) algorithm along with maximum likelihood estimation is used to estimate the econometric disequilibrium model with time series data for the period of October 1998 to May 2009. The results show that the class I price set by the Federal Milk Marketing Order is the major factor influencing the cooperative's supply reservation price. Negotiated quantity and production seasonality affect the processors' demand reservation price. The processors appear to be more patient and have higher average bargaining power (0.8804) than the cooperative (0.1196). The highest (lowest) bargaining power for the cooperative (processors) occurred in 2008 and the lowest (highest) bargaining power for the cooperative (processors) occurred in 2001. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5159-5168 Issue: 48 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1044645 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1044645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:48:p:5159-5168 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tng Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Tng Author-Name: Kwek Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Kwek Title: Financial stress, economic activity and monetary policy in the ASEAN-5 economies Abstract: This article uses a structural vector autoregression approach to analyse the impact of financial stress on the economy and the relationship between monetary policy and financial stress in the ASEAN-5 economies (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand). We find that an increase in financial stress leads to tighter credit conditions and lower economic activity in all five countries. The estimated impact on the real economy displays an initial rapid decline followed by a gradual dissipation. In Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand, the central banks tend to reduce policy interest rates (IRs) when financial stress increases, although there is substantial cross-country variation in the magnitude and time dynamics. The lower policy IRs are found to have little significant effects in lowering financial stress, but are still effective in stimulating economic activity through other channels. These findings imply that easing monetary policy is likely necessary but insufficient to address growth slowdowns associated with financial stress. Monetary easing should instead be complemented with other policy measures which are targeted at restoring financial stress to normal levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5169-5185 Issue: 48 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1044646 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1044646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:48:p:5169-5185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alam Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Alam Author-Name: Paramati Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Paramati Title: Do oil consumption and economic growth intensify environmental degradation? Evidence from developing economies Abstract: The purpose of this article is to empirically investigate the impact of economic growth, oil consumption, financial development, industrialization and trade openness on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, particularly in relation to major oil-consuming developing economies. This study utilizes annual data from 1980 to 2012 on a panel of 18 developing countries. Our empirical analysis employs robust panel cointegration tests and a vector error correction model (VECM) framework. The empirical results of three panel cointegration models suggest that there is a significant long-run equilibrium relationship among economic growth, oil consumption, financial development, industrialization, trade openness and CO2 emissions. Similarly, results from VECMs show that economic growth, oil consumption and industrialization have a short-run dynamic bidirectional feedback relationship with CO2 emissions. Long-run (error-correction term) bidirectional causalities are found among CO2 emissions, economic growth, oil consumption, financial development and trade openness. Our results confirm that economic growth and oil consumption have a significant impact on the CO2 emissions in developing economies. Hence, the findings of this study have important policy implications for mitigating CO2 emissions and offering sustainable economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5186-5203 Issue: 48 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1044647 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1044647 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:48:p:5186-5203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Anandamayee Majumdar Author-X-Name-First: Anandamayee Author-X-Name-Last: Majumdar Title: Forecasting US real house price returns over 1831-2013: evidence from copula models Abstract: Given the existence of nonnormality and nonlinearity in the data generating process of real house price returns over the period of 1831-2013, this article compares the ability of various univariate copula models, relative to standard benchmarks (naive and autoregressive models) in forecasting real US house price over the annual out-of-sample period of 1874-2013, based on an in-sample of 1831-1873. Overall, our results provide overwhelming evidence in favour of the copula models (Normal, Student's t, Clayton, Frank, Gumbel, Joe and Ali-Mikhail-Huq) relative to linear benchmarks, and especially for the Student's t-copula, which outperforms all other models both in terms of in-sample and out-of-sample predictability results. Our results highlight the importance of accounting for nonnormality and nonlinearity in the data generating process of real house price returns for the US economy for nearly two centuries of data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5204-5213 Issue: 48 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1044648 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1044648 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:48:p:5204-5213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vicente German-Soto Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: German-Soto Author-Name: Chapa Cantú Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Chapa Cantú Title: Cointegration with structural changes between per capita product and income inequality in Mexico Abstract: The long-run relationship between per capita product and income inequality in Mexico is assessed for the period 1963-2010. The methodology consists of stochastic unit root techniques with structural changes. The integration and cointegration tests suggest that it is not possible to understand this link if the possibility of structural changes is not taken into account. Causality, running from per capita product to income inequality, and a negative and significant overall effect are estimated. However, after the regime shifts - mainly estimated to occur in the 1980s - the connection is no longer meaningful. This result seems to be linked to the slow growth of the Mexican economy after these structural breaks, affecting, in turn, the reductions in income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5215-5228 Issue: 49 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1044649 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1044649 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:49:p:5215-5228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mourão Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Mourão Author-Name: Teixeira Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Teixeira Title: Gini playing soccer Abstract: The level of income inequality in a European country influences the competitive balance of its major soccer leagues. We test this hypothesis using cointegration techniques for seven male professional soccer leagues (the Dutch, English, French, German, Italian, Spanish and Ukrainian soccer leagues) from the 1980/1981 season to the 2011/2012 season. Controlling for the level of income inequality using variables such as real GDP per capita, trade openness and the emigration rate, we conclude that income inequality (measured by the Gini index) causes changes in the measures of competitive balance that we employ (the Hirschman-Herfindahl index and the SD) concerning the final number of points scored by the various teams. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5229-5246 Issue: 49 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1044650 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1044650 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:49:p:5229-5246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mei Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Mei Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Pinfold Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Pinfold Author-Name: Rose Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Rose Title: A currency preferential approach to international equity investment Abstract: We propose a Timex strategy for reducing the foreign exchange risk associated with international equity investment, pertaining to countries with currencies correctly or undervalued by the standard of PPP. The performance of Timex is examined from the perspectives of eight developed nations with long histories of free-floating currencies. Based on the data from 1986:Q1 to 2014:Q4, we find unambiguous evidence for the superior performance of Timex in the foreign exchange market. Compared with the passive diversification strategy and the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World index, Timex offers higher total returns and risk-adjusted total returns when rebalanced every 6 or 12 months for investors based in all eight countries under study. When rebalanced at a 3-year interval, Timex outperforms the passive diversification and the MSCI World index for five and all eight countries, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5247-5261 Issue: 49 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1044651 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1044651 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:49:p:5247-5261 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yared Seid Author-X-Name-First: Yared Author-X-Name-Last: Seid Author-Name: Shiferaw Gurmu Author-X-Name-First: Shiferaw Author-X-Name-Last: Gurmu Title: The role of birth order in child labour and schooling Abstract: Does when a child was born relative to his or her siblings affect whether the child attends school or participates in child labour? We investigate this question by estimating the causal effect of birth order on the probabilities of school attendance and child labour participation. To address the potential endogeneity of family size, we use instrumental variable approach where the proportion of boys in the family is used to instrument family size. Using a longitudinal household survey data from Ethiopia, we estimate unobserved effects bivariate probit instrumental variable model of school attendance and child labour choices. The results suggest that the probability of child labour participation decreases with birth order, but we find no evidence that suggests birth order affects the probability of school attendance. However, among children who are going to school, hours spent studying increases with birth order. Results from complementary time-use analysis reveal that there is no birth order effect on hours spent on household chore. However, hours spent on school increases with birth order, where the increase in hours spent on school seems to come from a decrease in hours spent on market work. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5262-5281 Issue: 49 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1047086 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1047086 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:49:p:5262-5281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leonard Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Leonard Title: Choice of Ontario high schools and student sorting by ability Abstract: To what extent can offering more choice in schooling lead to 'cream skimming,' or the sorting of students by ability? I study whether increased choice leads to student sorting by ability into high schools in the Greater Toronto Area. On average, 41% of students 'opt out' of the high school to which they would normally be assigned based on their residence. Students are more likely to opt out in areas where accessibility to other schools is greatest due to population density and explicit 'open enrolment' policies. While students of higher ability are generally more likely to opt out, an interaction term between school choice and ability is insignificant, suggesting that increased choice does not have differential impacts by student ability. Findings are robust to changes in assumptions about instrument exogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5282-5302 Issue: 49 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1047087 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1047087 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:49:p:5282-5302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paramati Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Paramati Author-Name: Rakesh Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rakesh Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Title: Stock market interdependence between Australia and its trading partners: does trade intensity matter? Abstract: We investigate the extent and manner of stock market interdependence between Australia and its trading partners and examine whether this is affected by trade intensity. Based on trade intensity, we classify Australia's trading partners into major, medium and minor partners. We hypothesize that markets with greater (lower) trade intensity will be more (less) interdependent with Australia. We perform correlation (unconditional and conditional) analyses between Australia and its trading partners. Our results indicate that most of the markets that are highly correlated with Australia are its major trading partners. We conduct panel regression analysis to investigate whether trade intensity has any impact on the stock market correlations between Australia and its trading partners. The results show that trade intensity significantly and positively affect the correlations of Australia with its major trading partners. Thus, the results confirm our hypothesis that trade intensity drives stock market interdependence between Australia and its trading partners. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5303-5319 Issue: 49 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1047088 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1047088 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:49:p:5303-5319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Agyenim Boateng Author-X-Name-First: Agyenim Author-X-Name-Last: Boateng Author-Name: Wei Huang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Kufuor Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Kufuor Title: Commercial bank ownership and performance in China Abstract: This study examines the determinants of bank performance based on proxy variables that assess the quality of assets, profitability, liquidity and overall performance. Using a sample of 111 Chinese commercial banks over the period of 2000-2012, we find that foreign banks appear to have better asset quality and overall performance although lower profitability compared to domestic banks. In contrast, the state-owned banks tend to be more profitable and have better liquidity position compared with other domestic banks and foreign banks. At bank level, equity/liability ratio exerts significant influence on overall bank performance, while at the macroeconomic level, per capital GDP, GDP growth, inflation and unemployment rates appear to have a bearing on bank performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5320-5336 Issue: 49 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1047089 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1047089 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:49:p:5320-5336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qianqian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qianqian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Choi Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Co-movement of the Chinese and U.S. aggregate stock returns Abstract: This article studies the co-movement of the levels, as well as of the volatilities, of the Chinese and U.S. aggregate stock returns in 1995-2014, focusing on the impact of the liberalization of Chinese stock market from 2005. The volatilities of the two returns appear to have started to co-move in 2006. To understand the co-movement, we use the GARCH BEKK method. The result suggests that before 2006, the evolution of the U.S. returns had a tendency to affect the Chinese returns in level and volatility. However, after 2006, the two returns affected each other in a more complex way. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5337-5353 Issue: 50 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1047090 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1047090 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:50:p:5337-5353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marie-Claude Beaulieu Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Claude Author-X-Name-Last: Beaulieu Author-Name: Habiba Mrissa Bouden Author-X-Name-First: Habiba Author-X-Name-Last: Mrissa Bouden Title: Firm-specific risk and IPO market cycles Abstract: This article characterizes the role of risk in the initial public offering (IPO) cycle. While most of the previous literature uses the volatility of IPO initial returns to measure risk, we focus on different risk measures, namely firm-level systematic and idiosyncratic volatilities and the market-wide implied volatility index (VIX), to assess their role in the IPO cycle. Our results shed new light on (1) which risk measure is important in the determination of IPO cycles, (2) the temporal pattern of each risk component across issuing firms and (3) the relationship between market-wide uncertainty and IPO risk. Our findings reveal a lead-lag relationship between IPO waves, VIX and the IPO systematic risk measure. We also highlight the fact that market-level uncertainty predicts IPO activity and the level of idiosyncratic risk of the next-period-issuing firms. Issuing firms' systematic risk can only be predicted by the systematic risk of firms now proceeding to their offering. The main implication resulting from our study is that one can better anticipate 'hot-issue' markets, as well as the specific risk components of future new issues. This will help improve upon the regulatory environment, IPO investment decisions and IPO timing given market receptivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5354-5377 Issue: 50 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1047091 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1047091 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:50:p:5354-5377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P䲠Sjölander Author-X-Name-First: P䲠 Author-X-Name-Last: Sjölander Author-Name: Ghazi Shukur Author-X-Name-First: Ghazi Author-X-Name-Last: Shukur Author-Name: Kristofer M害son Author-X-Name-First: Kristofer Author-X-Name-Last: M害son Author-Name: Orsa Kekezi Author-X-Name-First: Orsa Author-X-Name-Last: Kekezi Title: The efficiency of the Scandinavian banking sector - a wavelet quantile regression analysis Abstract: In this article, the Scandinavian housing financing market is analysed in order to determine whether the interest rate price-discovery processes of Denmark, Norway and Sweden are efficient. Based on wavelet quantile regression analysis, we find systematic positive asymmetric price transmission (APT) inefficiencies. We conclude that there is a very high propensity for mortgage lenders to directly increase its customers' mortgage interest rates subsequently to an increase in its borrowing costs. However, after a corresponding borrowing cost decrease, the same mortgage lenders are very slow to decrease its customers' mortgage rates. These positive coefficients for so-called APT effects are found in all Scandinavian countries, even if the coefficients for Norway were not statistically significant. Wavelet quantile regression analysis, with a focus on the relevant higher percentiles, is easily motivated since the mortgage rates are adjusted very infrequently. Moreover, wavelet decomposition allows a robust analysis at different time frequency scales, while simultaneously controlling for nonstationary trends, autocorrelation and structural breaks. Except for the still positive but yet insignificant and inconclusive coefficients for Norway, the result is very clear-cut. Regardless of which wavelet scaling decomposition or quantile coefficient that is studied - positive APT effects are clearly identified and confirmed on the Scandinavian mortgage market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5378-5389 Issue: 50 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1047092 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1047092 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:50:p:5378-5389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Beatriz Tovar Author-X-Name-First: Beatriz Author-X-Name-Last: Tovar Author-Name: Ramos-Real Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Ramos-Real Author-Name: Fagundes de Almeida Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Fagundes de Almeida Title: Efficiency and performance in gas distribution. Evidence from Brazil Abstract: This article analyses the current state of the gas distribution industry in Brazil, by identifying the main factors that determine its efficiency. In order to test the performance of the industry, we have calculated the firms' technical efficiency during the period 2001-2009. We analyse whether some economic and technological factors as consumer density, load factor or regulation, among others, have affected the performance of this industry. We show that companies serving markets with different customer characteristics (diversification) have reached higher levels of efficiency and evolved faster. Moreover, the private ownership and price cap regulation are more efficient in relation to public ownership and cost of service regulation. These findings are important to support the improvement of the regulation of gas distribution in the Brazilian states. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5390-5406 Issue: 50 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1047093 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1047093 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:50:p:5390-5406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Hua Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Hua Author-Name: Bilel Sanhaji Author-X-Name-First: Bilel Author-X-Name-Last: Sanhaji Title: Volatility spillovers across daytime and overnight information between China and world equity markets Abstract: This article explores the transmission of daytime and overnight information in terms of returns and volatility between Chinese and Asian, European and North American main stock markets. We propose a bivariate analysis with China as benchmark. By testing the constancy of the conditional correlations, we use an extended constant or dynamic conditional correlation GARCH model. The empirical findings show that across the daytime information transmissions, the relationships between China and Asian markets are closer than China and non-Asian markets, whereas through the overnight information transmissions these relationships are inverse. The analysis provides, before the crisis, that the overnight volatility spillover effects are from China to the United States and the United Kingdom. During the crisis, China affects the United Kingdom in terms of daytime volatility spillovers, whereas in terms of overnight volatility spillovers China affects the United States and is influenced by Japan. After the crisis, daytime volatility spillovers are from Taiwan to China, whereas the overnight volatility spillover effects are from China to the United States and the United Kingdom. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5407-5431 Issue: 50 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1049335 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1049335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:50:p:5407-5431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cardon Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Cardon Author-Name: Showalter Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Showalter Title: The effects of direct-to-consumer advertising of pharmaceuticals on adherence Abstract: We evaluate the effect of direct-to-consumer (DTC) advertising on adherence to the standard drug regimen for treating high cholesterol (statins). We use a rich panel data set from an insurance firm that includes all prescription drug purchases and insurance claims from 1997 to 2002.The data include the relevant demographic variables, including income. We match this data with unique data from Nielsen Monitor Plus on monthly DTC advertising expenditures by therapeutic category for all media types.The research strategy identifies individuals who have been diagnosed with specific chronic conditions and tracks whether adherence, as measured by purchases of specific prescription drugs within designated therapeutic classes, can be explained in part by the level and type of DTC advertising to which the individual was potentially exposed. Income has a positive effect on adherence. We find that advertising has a small negative effect on the average level of adherence. We find some suggestive evidence that this is because advertising induces less compliant individuals to start treatment. This result is consistent with research in marketing which finds higher sensitivity to advertising among consumers with less persistent purchasing patterns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5432-5444 Issue: 50 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1049336 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1049336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:50:p:5432-5444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mukesh K. Chaudhry Author-X-Name-First: Mukesh K. Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhry Author-Name: Robert J. Boldin Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Boldin Author-Name: Ibrahim Affaneh Author-X-Name-First: Ibrahim Author-X-Name-Last: Affaneh Author-Name: Geoffrey Tickell Author-X-Name-First: Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Tickell Title: Dividend policy and earnings: a study of short- and long-term causality Abstract: This research examines whether earnings per share (EPS) and dividends per share (DPS) exhibit a short and long causality. The data employed in this study consist of quarterly EPS and DPS for 28 of the DJIA companies obtained from Bloomberg over a recent 10-year period. The companies under investigation all have EPS and DPS data available over the period studied. Dividends are generally paid out of earnings. The amount and timing of the dividend paid is a function of the respective company's dividend policy. Therefore, the EPS t can be expressed in terms of the DPS t as follows: EPS t  = αDPS t where α is a nonnegative constant. The equation suggests that there is a linear relationship between the EPS t and the DPS t . The results of this study indicate that bi-directional causality exists for some of the companies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5445-5459 Issue: 50 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1049337 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1049337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:50:p:5445-5459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rachid Belhachemi Author-X-Name-First: Rachid Author-X-Name-Last: Belhachemi Author-Name: Pierre Rostan Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Rostan Author-Name: Fran 篩s-Éric Racicot Author-X-Name-First: Fran 篩s-Éric Author-X-Name-Last: Racicot Title: Modelling conditional moments and correlation with the continuous hidden-threshold-skew-normal distribution Abstract: A key issue in modelling conditional densities of returns of financial assets is the time-variation of conditional volatility. The classic econometric approach models volatility of returns with the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models where the conditional mean and the conditional volatility depend only on historical prices. We propose a new family of distributions in which the conditional distribution depends on a latent continuous factor with a continuum of states. The distribution has an interpretation in terms of a mixture distribution with time-varying mixing probabilities. The distribution parameters have economic interpretations in terms of conditional volatilities and correlations of the returns with the hidden continuous state. We show empirically that this distribution outperforms its main competitor, the mixed normal conditional distribution, in terms of capturing the stylized facts known for stock returns, namely, volatility clustering, leverage effect, skewness, kurtosis and regime dependence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5461-5475 Issue: 51 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1049338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1049338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:51:p:5461-5475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ching-Ping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Hung-Hsi Huang Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Hsi Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Cheng-Yu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Does past performance affect mutual fund tracking error in Taiwan? Abstract: This study examines the relationship between fund past performance and manager choice of portfolio risk in Taiwan. Employing the exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity and linear regression models, the results demonstrate that historically poor average performance does not increase mutual fund tracking error (TE) or portfolio risk. Additionally, yearly tournament behaviour, namely mid-year losers increasing their last-half year TEs, only appears in funds with higher management fees. This implies that managers of high management fee funds actively increase TE in response to poor historical performance, to enable them to beat the market during future months or the second half of the year. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5476-5490 Issue: 51 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1051653 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1051653 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:51:p:5476-5490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Getu Hailu Author-X-Name-First: Getu Author-X-Name-Last: Hailu Author-Name: Alex Maynard Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Maynard Author-Name: Alfons Weersink Author-X-Name-First: Alfons Author-X-Name-Last: Weersink Title: Empirical analysis of corn and soybean basis in Canada Abstract: The article examines the factors affecting the basis for corn and soybeans using several time-series techniques to account for potential structural breaks, seasonality, residual serial correlation and structural breaks, as well as potential endogeneity and nonstationarity. The spatio-temporal empirical framework is based on storage and trade theories which assume the relationship between nondelivery location's spot price and futures price of a storable commodity depends on opportunity cost of capital, warehousing costs, a convenience yield and shipping costs. The interest rate effect is strong for both crops with shipping costs also affecting soybean basis and own inventory levels positively correlated with corn basis. The effect of the wedge between the price of carrying physical grain and the maximum storage rate on basis is positive for both crops. The empirical results, which are robust to multiple estimators, provide stronger evidence of a structural break for the soybean basis than for the corn basis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5491-5509 Issue: 51 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1051654 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1051654 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:51:p:5491-5509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Issouf Soumar頍 Author-X-Name-First: Issouf Author-X-Name-Last: Soumar頍 Title: Does FDI improve economic development in North African countries? Abstract: This article examines the relationship between FDI inflows and welfare improvement in North African countries. Using net per capita FDI inflows and the United Nations Development Program's Human Development Index as the principal variables, our analyses confirm the positive and strongly significant relationship between net FDI inflows and welfare improvement in North Africa, although we do find significant differences among the countries in the region. This relationship holds even after we control for government size, country indebtedness, macroeconomic instability, infrastructural development, institutional quality, political risk, openness to trade, education and financial market development. Hence, at the aggregate level, FDI contributes to economic growth in North Africa, in turn generating additional revenues for governments and populations in the region through fiscal policies and jobs creation. We also found that FDI received by countries in the region are mainly concentrated in very few industries (particularly extractive petroleum, services and tourism, construction and utilities); relatively fewer of these investments are directed towards the nonextractive primary industries, which are pro-poor sectors and highly labour intensive, or the manufacturing sector, with a high potential for spillover effects in the economy. This lack of diversification of FDI received in the region's economies in part explains the differences observed in the link between FDI and welfare in these countries. It is therefore essential for governments in the region to continue investing in social infrastructures while improving the quality of their institutions and their governance; doing so will probably help avoid the type of unrest we have witnessed recently. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5510-5533 Issue: 51 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1051655 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1051655 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:51:p:5510-5533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Belayet Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Belayet Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Title: Women empowerment and infant mortality in Bangladesh Abstract: This study attempts to investigate the effects of women empowerment on infant mortality in Bangladesh. Four indicators have been considered to measure four dimensions of women empowerment: the level of education, participation in household (HH) decisions, autonomy in movements and employment status. The rotated factor analysis technique is used to construct the last three dimensions. The Weibull parametric survival model has been specified and estimated using the Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey (BDHS) data of 2011. The results show that three measures of empowerment (the level of education, participation in HH decisions and autonomy in movements) contribute significantly to the reduction of infant mortality. But women employment is associated with increased mortality for infants. The findings of this study have a number of policy implications on this issue for a developing country like Bangladesh. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5534-5547 Issue: 51 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1051657 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1051657 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:51:p:5534-5547 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Kempa Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Kempa Author-Name: Khan Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Title: On the size of government spending multipliers in Europe Abstract: This article compares the size of government spending multipliers in Europe by applying a panel structural vector autoregression analysis on 11 eurozone and 8 non-eurozone countries using quarterly data from 1991Q1 to 2012Q4. We find that (i) spending multipliers are smaller in eurozone compared to non-eurozone countries, (ii) across the euro area the impact of government spending on GDP has been higher before than after the introduction of the euro, (iii) spending multipliers are larger in the eurozone periphery than in the core countries and (iv) since the beginning of the recent financial crisis, spending multipliers have become larger both for eurozone and for non-eurozone countries. We relate these results to an emerging theoretical literature linking the size of fiscal multipliers to the monetary policy stance. We also discuss the implications of our findings for the effectiveness of fiscal policy in Europe. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5548-5558 Issue: 51 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1054067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1054067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:51:p:5548-5558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emanuel Bagna Author-X-Name-First: Emanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Bagna Author-Name: Giuseppe Di Martino Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Di Martino Author-Name: Davide Rossi Author-X-Name-First: Davide Author-X-Name-Last: Rossi Title: No more discount under enhanced fair value hierarchy Abstract: We use an integrated approach to analyse the reasons behind the discount on the balance-sheet fair value of illiquid financial instruments held by European banks and classified into the Level 3 Fair Value hierarchy under IFRS 7. We believe that the potential sources of misalignment are (1) the lack of disclosure, (2) earnings management, and (3) the lack of liquidity. We show that the discount implicit in market values is linked to the lack of mandatory additional disclosure required by IFRS 7 and that this result supports the strong enforcement activity made by national authorities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5559-5582 Issue: 51 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1054068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1054068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:51:p:5559-5582 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Era Dabla-Norris Author-X-Name-First: Era Author-X-Name-Last: Dabla-Norris Author-Name: Raphael Espinoza Author-X-Name-First: Raphael Author-X-Name-Last: Espinoza Author-Name: Sarwat Jahan Author-X-Name-First: Sarwat Author-X-Name-Last: Jahan Title: Spillovers to low-income countries: importance of systemic emerging markets Abstract: This article documents the expanding economic linkages between low-income countries (LICs) and a narrow group of 'Emerging Market (EM) leaders' that have become major players in international trade and financial flows. VAR models show that these linkages have increased the share of growth volatility that can be attributed to foreign shocks in LICs. Dynamic panel models further analyse the impact of LIC trade orientation and production structure on the sensitivity to foreign shocks. The empirical results demonstrate that the elasticity of growth to trading partners' growth is high for LICs in three out of the five regions: Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean, and Europe and Central Asia. However, for commodity-exporting LICs in Sub-Saharan Africa and the Middle East, terms of trade shocks and demand from the EM leaders are the main channels of transmission of foreign shocks Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5707-5725 Issue: 53 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1058903 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1058903 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:53:p:5707-5725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sebastian Fossati Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Fossati Title: Forecasting US recessions with macro factors Abstract: Dynamic factors estimated from panels of macroeconomic indicators are used to predict future recessions using probit models. Three factors are considered: a bond and exchange rates factor, a stock market factor and a real activity factor. Three results emerge. First, models that use only financial indicators exhibit a large deterioration in fit after 2005. Second, models that use factors yield better fit than models that use indicators directly. Out-of-sample forecasting exercises confirm these results for 3-, 6- and 12-month horizons using both ex-post revised data and real-time data. Third, results show evidence that data revisions affect factors less than individual indicators. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5726-5738 Issue: 53 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1058904 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1058904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:53:p:5726-5738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Esmaeil Ebadi Author-X-Name-First: Esmaeil Author-X-Name-Last: Ebadi Title: Impulse response analysis and Orcutt's hypothesis in trade: evidence from developing countries Abstract: Orcutt's hypothesis in international economics implies that trade flows respond to exchange rate changes faster than to changes in relative prices. Most previous studies used import and export demand models and tested the hypothesis by imposing and comparing lag lengths on the exchange rate and relative prices. One recent study, however, employed impulse response of trade flows to one SD shock to the nominal exchange rate and one SD shock to relative prices and tested the Orcutt's hypothesis for several industrial countries. In this article we follow this study and test the hypothesis for six developing countries using impulse response analysis. Like the other study for industrial countries, we do not find much support for the hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5739-5747 Issue: 53 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1058905 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1058905 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:53:p:5739-5747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Riphahn Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Riphahn Author-Name: Caroline Schwientek Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Schwientek Title: What drives the reversal of the gender education gap? Evidence from Germany Abstract: We study the mechanisms that are associated with the gender education gap and its reversal in Germany. We focus on three outcomes, graduation from upper secondary school, any tertiary education and tertiary degree. Neither individual and family background nor labour market characteristics appear to be strongly associated with the gender education gap. There is some evidence that the gender gap in upper secondary education reflects the rising share of single parent households which impacts boys' attainment more than girls'. The gender education gap in tertiary education is correlated with the development of class sizes and social norms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5748-5775 Issue: 53 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1058906 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1058906 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:53:p:5748-5775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R駩s Chenavaz Author-X-Name-First: R駩s Author-X-Name-Last: Chenavaz Author-Name: Octavio Escobar Author-X-Name-First: Octavio Author-X-Name-Last: Escobar Title: Population distribution, effective area and economic growth Abstract: The usual measure for the factor land is the total area. But total area is a flawed measure because land is of unequal quality. To account for land quality, we use an alternative measure called effective area. Effective area is based on spatial population distribution which captures both natural conditions and human activity. Theoretically, effective area explains economic growth better than total area that biases the measure of total factor productivity (TFP) growth. Empirically on the basis of 40 years of panel data for the United States, an increase of 10% in effective area is associated with an economic growth of 5%, and the omission of effective area undervalues the growth of TFP by 8.1%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5776-5790 Issue: 53 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1058907 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1058907 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:53:p:5776-5790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Hsiu Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Hsiu Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Len-Kuo Hu Author-X-Name-First: Len-Kuo Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: The cyclicality of bank regulation in a general economic framework Abstract: This article utilizes a representative agent model to address how the regulation policies for banks should respond to the general economic condition. With the consideration of a self-fulfilling deposit insurance facility with sufficient bank reserve to meet the expected need of liquidity shock, our model suggests a counter-cyclical capital adequacy requirement in a competitive loan market. The exception might occur when the moral hazard problem becomes very unwieldy and the representative individual is rather risk averse. With regard to the closure policy, we find that it is closely related to the individual's degree of risk aversion. A counter-cyclical closure policy is recommended when the individual is highly risk averse. Otherwise, a pro-cyclical closure policy is preferred. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5791-5804 Issue: 53 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1058908 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1058908 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:53:p:5791-5804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasushi Nakamura Author-X-Name-First: Yasushi Author-X-Name-Last: Nakamura Title: Productivity versus elasticity: a normalized constant elasticity of substitution production function applied to historical Soviet data Abstract: This study tests the extensive growth hypothesis, which would attribute the Soviet economic slowdown to low elasticity of substitution and over-investment rather than deteriorating productivity growth. To circumvent the low availability of data, widely applicable new methods for estimating productivity and elasticity of substitution were developed based on the normalized constant elasticity of substitution (CES) production function. One is an extended version of the Solow residual calculation, and the other is a direct estimation of the time-varying parameter normalized CES production function. The application of the methods to the Soviet data showed a decreasing trend in productivity growth and a low elasticity of substitution of approximately 0.25. The results neither reject nor support the extensive growth hypothesis because of uncertainty in the interpretation of the low elasticity of substitution. The results suggest that it is reasonable to assert that both deteriorating productivity growth and low elasticity of substitution caused the Soviet economic slowdown. Further empirical studies on productivity and elasticity of substitution in the Soviet and other economies are necessary to fully understand relations between productivity growth, elasticity of substitution and economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5805-5823 Issue: 53 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1058909 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1058909 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:53:p:5805-5823 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hassan Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Author-Name: Eliza Wu Author-X-Name-First: Eliza Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Sovereign credit ratings, growth volatility and the global financial crisis Abstract: Using monthly data from January 1996 to May 2010 for a panel of 76 developed and emerging economies and adopting an instrumental variable (IV) estimation technique by correcting for both heterogeneity and endogeneity with the generalized two-stage least squares (G2SLS, EC2SLS) procedure method suggested by Balestra and Varadharajan-Krishnakumar (1987) and Baltagi and Li (1995), this article provides empirical evidence that volatility of per capita GDP growth is reduced when there are positive changes in credit ratings; in other words when sovereign credit risk improves. To deal with potential simultaneity between sovereign credit ratings and output volatility, a system (3SLS) approach is undertaken, and our findings remain robust. By weakening the volatility dampening effects of ratings changes, it is found that the global financial crisis (GFC) has enhanced macroeconomic volatility. One of the channels via which sovereign rating changes affect growth volatility is the financial markets' repricing of sovereign default risk that is reflected in sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads and its volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5825-5840 Issue: 54 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1058910 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1058910 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:54:p:5825-5840 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Y. Tsuchiya Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuchiya Author-Name: T. Kato Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Kato Title: Asymmetric loss and herding behaviour of exchange rate forecasters: evidence from South Africa Abstract: This study examines the asymmetry of the loss function for private forecasters in exchange rate forecasts of the South African rand. It tests rationality under the possibility of an asymmetric loss function. The results indicate less evidence of asymmetry for a horizon of 1 month but considerable evidence of asymmetry for a horizon of 3 months. However, the shapes of the distributions formed by estimated asymmetry parameters of sub-samples for each forecaster are symmetric, regardless of the forecast horizons, which implies that these forecasters do not herd or antiherd. In fact, the results of our empirical herding test show that forecasters neither herd nor antiherd, which is in sharp contrast to recent findings on antiherding for foreign exchange rates in emerging market economies. Our findings provide consistent evidence for a recent suggestion that antiherding might result in the rejection of rationality, even under asymmetric loss functions. Our findings also suggest that central bank transparency might be associated with herding behaviours. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5841-5852 Issue: 54 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1058911 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1058911 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:54:p:5841-5852 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy Jackson Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Jackson Author-Name: Art Carden Author-X-Name-First: Art Author-X-Name-Last: Carden Author-Name: Compton Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Compton Title: Economic freedom and social capital Abstract: This article brings together two growing literatures, social capital and economic freedom, to examine whether economic freedom contributes to social capital. More specifically, using US state-level data from 1986 to 2004 and both OLS and System GMM dynamic panel estimation, we find that there is no clear trade-off between economic freedom and either the level or growth of social capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5853-5867 Issue: 54 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1058912 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1058912 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:54:p:5853-5867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chulwoo Han Author-X-Name-First: Chulwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Soosung Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Soosung Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: Market overreaction and investment strategies Abstract: We investigated the overreaction of the Korean market in response to shocks in the US stock market, and analysed the dynamic relationship between these two markets since 1996. We found that the KOSPI 200 index futures overreacted to the S&P 500 index returns during the period from 2000 to 2009 when the Korean market was in its growth stage. As the Korean market matured and the KOSPI 200 overnight futures were introduced in 2009, the overreaction disappeared. When investors employed the Kelly model or Value-at-Risk to exploit the overreaction, their trading strategies produced significant profits during the growth stage even after considering transaction costs and risk, but the profits attenuated once the overnight futures market was launched in 2009. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5868-5885 Issue: 54 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1058913 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1058913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:54:p:5868-5885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yanyan Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yanyan Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Tong Shu Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Shu Author-Name: Shouyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shouyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shou Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shou Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Lai Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Lu Gan Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Gan Title: Demand disruption and coordination of supply chain via effort and revenue sharing Abstract: This article explores the equilibrium behaviour of a basic supplier-retailer distribution channel under demand disruption via effort and revenue sharing contract. This differs from the traditional supply chain coordination model. Firstly, demand is simultaneously affected by retail price and nonprice marketing effort from manufacturers and retailers. Secondly, when the demand is disrupted, this article considers disruptions in the market scale and price sensitivity coefficient. Thirdly, the supply chain coordination model is proposed via effort and revenue sharing contract. In this way, the manufacturer reduces the wholesale price as an incentive for the retailer to share revenue. Finally, the total supply chain profit is greater with contract than no contract. This also constitutes another incentive for the players to follow the effort and revenue sharing contract. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5886-5901 Issue: 54 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1058914 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1058914 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:54:p:5886-5901 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franses Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Author-Name: Madesta Lede Author-X-Name-First: Madesta Author-X-Name-Last: Lede Title: Cultural norms and values and purchases of counterfeits Abstract: We conjecture that an important driver of individual purchases of counterfeit products is cultural norms and values. To put this conjecture to an empirical test, we make use of the unique situation of Surinamese people who live in Suriname and in the Netherlands and who might share the same norms and values but certainly not their respective income levels and demographics. Holding newly collected data from surveys amongst Surinamese individuals in the Netherlands and in Suriname against a control group of Dutch individuals in the Netherlands, we present evidence that cultural norms are indeed a key driver for purchases of counterfeit products. Implications for policy are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5902-5916 Issue: 54 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1058915 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1058915 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:54:p:5902-5916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stuart McChlery Author-X-Name-First: Stuart Author-X-Name-Last: McChlery Author-Name: Reza Kouhy Author-X-Name-First: Reza Author-X-Name-Last: Kouhy Author-Name: Catriona Paisey Author-X-Name-First: Catriona Author-X-Name-Last: Paisey Author-Name: Khaled Hussainey Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Hussainey Title: An empirical study of the determinants of UK oil and gas voluntary disclosures Abstract: Significant oil and gas firm market value is derived from their physical reserve quantum, assets which are not recorded on their statements of financial position. This article provides empirical evidence regarding voluntary disclosure of such reserves in line with the previously unresearched UK sector with regard to its unique reporting guidelines. The study considers both the reporting of the reserve quantum and the quality of that reporting. This article seeks to inform the International Accounting Standards Board's (IASB's) on-going consideration of mineral resource reporting. Listed companies are considered to evidence forms of reserve disclosure with a logistical regression approach applied to measure determinants of reporting. The risk associated with mineral reporting reserves is hypothesized as the key disclosure driver whilst controlling other relevant variables. The majority of firms disclosed reserve quantities in some form but only a minority disclosed in line with recommended practice, disclosure quality being more variable between companies. The findings indicate that a voluntary disclosure approach is ineffective, partially explained by agency related behaviour. Risk, proxied by the stage of production, drives reserve disclosure showing that producer firms are more likely to disclose reserve quantum balances and of a significantly higher quality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5917-5931 Issue: 54 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1061641 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1061641 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:54:p:5917-5931 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Schiersch Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Schiersch Author-Name: Heike Belitz Author-X-Name-First: Heike Author-X-Name-Last: Belitz Author-Name: Martin Gornig Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Gornig Title: Why is TFP growth sectorally concentrated? Abstract: Research shows that total factor productivity (TFP) growth is weak in European countries. This is inter alia attributed to the fact that substantial TFP growth is limited to a few industries. Because TFP growth is typically understood as technological progress, it is concluded that technology diffusion between sectors in Europe is hampered. We use EU KLEMS data sets to decompose sectoral TFP for nine European countries by means of a Malmquist approach in order to identify potential sources besides technical progress. Applying Harberger diagrams, we describe the sectoral distribution of TFP growth, efficiency gains and losses, economies of scale and technological progress. The analysis reveals that technological progress is quite evenly distributed across sectors in most European countries. The wide scattering of TFP growth is explained by deviating efficiency developments and the unused economies of scale. We conclude that the technology transfer between sectors in most European countries seems to work. Therefore, Europe in general does not need a new technology policy, but a further integration of the markets and a reduction of national market entry barriers. This requires further unification of pan-European standards in fields like trade and crafts codes or consumer protection policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5933-5944 Issue: 55 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1061642 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1061642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:55:p:5933-5944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D󮡬 Palcic Author-X-Name-First: D󮡬 Author-X-Name-Last: Palcic Author-Name: Eoin Reeves Author-X-Name-First: Eoin Author-X-Name-Last: Reeves Title: Privatization and the economic performance of Irish Sugar/Greencore Abstract: As one of Ireland's largest agribusiness companies, the Irish Sugar company played a key role in the country's economic development in the twentieth century. The company was privatized in 1991 (under the new name Greencore) and has since transformed from a largely commodity-based agribusiness into an international convenience food company. This article analyses the financial and economic performance of the company in the 10 years before and after privatization. It finds that the change from public to private ownership was not strongly associated with improved financial performance and productivity as the company had experienced rapid growth and improvement in the pre-privatization period. These findings run counter to perspectives such as public choice theory that suggest a positive relationship between privatization and company performance. Performance in the post-privatization period was strongly influenced by greater exposure to market forces in the company's expanding food division; however, it is surprising that this greater competition did not translate into improved overall performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5945-5961 Issue: 55 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1061643 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1061643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:55:p:5945-5961 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magda Kandil Author-X-Name-First: Magda Author-X-Name-Last: Kandil Author-Name: Boaz Nandwa Author-X-Name-First: Boaz Author-X-Name-Last: Nandwa Title: Oil dependency and exchange rate regimes in Arab oil economies: time to rethink the paradigm Abstract: This study examines implications of the current exchange rate regimes on the macroeconomic and growth performance of five Arab oil-producing countries: Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Sudan, Algeria and Yemen. The study evaluates alternative exchange rate regime policy options towards exploring an optimal exit strategy to ensure successful transition to more sustainable exchange rate regime, especially in the fixed regime economies of Saudi Arabia and the UAE. This study proposes the adoption of a transparent broad basket, band and crawl (BBC) regime by the Arab oil economies in order to provide a better alternative to the existing fixed pegs or dirty floats. However, it is imperative to note that, the timing of the exit from the current regime and the extent of institutional development and market sophistications are very critical to successful transition to more sustainable regime that would provide a larger scope for counter-cyclical policies and diversification in these economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5962-5995 Issue: 55 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1061644 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1061644 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:55:p:5962-5995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fran 篩s-Charles Wolff Author-X-Name-First: Fran 篩s-Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Title: Does price dispersion increase with quality? Evidence from the online diamond market Abstract: This article empirically investigates the relationship between price dispersion and price level. Searches seem more valuable for products of high quality, but buyers may have little incentive to search since such products are less frequently purchased. The extent of price dispersion is examined using a sample of around 160 000 diamonds offered for sale online. Estimates from a two-stage econometric strategy show that price dispersion increases significantly with quality. An explanation is that buyers of high-quality gemstones pay little attention to the price of these diamonds and even more so if they perceive high prices as signals of quality and rarity of the diamonds they intend to purchase. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5996-6009 Issue: 55 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1061645 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1061645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:55:p:5996-6009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramaprasad Bhar Author-X-Name-First: Ramaprasad Author-X-Name-Last: Bhar Author-Name: Malliaris Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Malliaris Author-Name: Mary Malliaris Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Malliaris Title: The impact of large-scale asset purchases on the S&P 500 index, long-term interest rates and unemployment Abstract: After the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 and the financial panic that ensued, the Federal Reserve moved rapidly to reduce the federal funds rate to .25%. It was quickly judged that additional measures were needed to stabilize the US economy. Beginning in December 2008, the Federal Reserve Bank initiated three rounds of unconventional monetary policies known as quantitative easing (QE). These policies were intended to reduce long-term interest rates when the short-term federal funds rates had reached the zero lower bound and could not become negative. It was argued that the lowering of longer-term interest rates would help the stock market and thus the wealth of consumers. This article carefully investigates three hypotheses: QE impacting long-term interest rates, QE impacting the stock market and QE impacting unemployment using a Markov regime switching methodology. We conclude that QE has contributed significantly to increases in the stock market but less significantly to long-term interest rate and unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6010-6018 Issue: 55 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1061646 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1061646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:55:p:6010-6018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Driessen Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Driessen Author-Name: A. Razzaque Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Razzaque Author-Name: D. Walker Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Author-Name: D. Canning Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Canning Title: The effect of childhood measles vaccination on school enrolment in Matlab, Bangladesh Abstract: There is increasing evidence that early childhood health interventions have long-term effects on cognitive development, educational achievement and adult productivity. We examine the effect of measles vaccination on the school enrolment of children in Matlab, Bangladesh. An intensive measles vaccination programme was introduced in one area in 1982, and extended to another in 1985, while a third area acted as a control. Using this staggered roll-out as an instrument, we find that age-appropriate vaccination raises the probability that a boy has enrolled in school by 7.4 percentage points but appears to have no effect on girls' enrolment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6019-6040 Issue: 55 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1061647 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1061647 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:55:p:6019-6040 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. Beaudin Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Beaudin Author-Name: J. Skaza Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Skaza Title: Measuring the total impact of demographic and behavioural factors on the risk of obesity accounting for the depression status: a structural model approach using new BMI Abstract: Building upon previous studies that highlight considerable overlap in the influential factors of both obesity and depression, we employ a structural model to investigate the direct and indirect impacts of behavioural and demographic factors on obesity. We use new body mass index (BMI) to calculate the obesity status and find a significant relationship between an individual's depression status and his/her obesity status. The results and simulations imply that demographic and behavioural factors can significantly influence the obesity status both directly and indirectly through their impact on depression. Therefore, this study suggests that models which do not account for these various pathways of influence are most likely misrepresenting the impact of these factors on obesity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6041-6053 Issue: 55 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1061648 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1061648 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:55:p:6041-6053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huiming Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Huiming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Yawei Guo Author-X-Name-First: Yawei Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Wanhai You Author-X-Name-First: Wanhai Author-X-Name-Last: You Title: An empirical research of crude oil price changes and stock market in China: evidence from the structural breaks and quantile regression Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between real crude oil price changes and the Chinese real stock market at the industry level. Our study uses monthly data over the period 1994:03 to 2013:12. Based on input-output (IO) tables, this article will explore more details for the driving factors of sensitivity to oil price changes. We divide these driving factors into cost- and demand-side dependence. Empirical results reveal that sensitivity varies across different industries and periods based on structural breaks and asymmetric effects of oil price changes. Furthermore, some industries seemingly not directly affected by oil are sensitive to the real oil price changes. Finally, using a penalized quantile regression for panel data, we find that these two factors significantly affect lower, but not upper, quantile of sensitivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6055-6074 Issue: 56 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1064076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1064076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:56:p:6055-6074 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Afsin Sahin Author-X-Name-First: Afsin Author-X-Name-Last: Sahin Author-Name: Burak Dogan Author-X-Name-First: Burak Author-X-Name-Last: Dogan Author-Name: Berument Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Title: Effectiveness of the reserve option mechanism as a macroeconomic prudential tool: evidence from Turkey Abstract: This article assesses the effectiveness of a novel macroprudential tool - the reserve option mechanism (ROM) - which Turkey's central bank developed during the post-2008 period and has employed to control the risk associated with excessive capital flows. We assess how capital flows have affected economic variable changes since the introduction and usage of the ROM. Empirical evidence gathered from Turkey suggests that the tool decreases the effect of capital flow on capital flow (positive shock to capital flow dies out faster or becomes less persistent) and diminishes the effects of capital flow shocks on exchange and interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6075-6087 Issue: 56 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1064077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1064077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:56:p:6075-6087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hanxiong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hanxiong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Robert Hudson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Author-Name: Hugh Metcalf Author-X-Name-First: Hugh Author-X-Name-Last: Metcalf Author-Name: Viktor Manahov Author-X-Name-First: Viktor Author-X-Name-Last: Manahov Title: Identification of house price bubbles using user cost in a state space model Abstract: This article studies how much variation in house prices results from nonfundamental factors. We propose a relative valuation approach to quantifying a bubble in housing by incorporating the housing User Cost into a state space model. We find that UK house prices were undervalued from January 1995 to May 2001 and subsequently moved into a bubble over the period to October 2012. Our results support the bounded rationality hypothesis in the long run. However, we also find that the irrational and the rational expectation hypotheses can coexist in the short run when explosive bubbles are driven by price dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6088-6101 Issue: 56 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1064078 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1064078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:56:p:6088-6101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Karel Hrazdil Author-X-Name-First: Karel Author-X-Name-Last: Hrazdil Title: The impact of trading floor closure on market efficiency: evidence from the Toronto Stock Exchange Abstract: On 23 April 1997, the Toronto Stock Exchange closed its trading floor, making it at that time the second-largest stock exchange in North America to choose a purely electronic trading environment for its equities. Exploiting this natural experiment, we find that the move to electronic trading resulted in a higher cost of immediacy (bid-ask spreads), increased information asymmetry and an overall deterioration of short-horizon return predictability from past order flows, reducing the efficiency of price discovery. Our results suggest that the human element plays an important role in order execution and complements automated electronic trading by improving the efficiency of incorporating new information into prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6102-6119 Issue: 56 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1064079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1064079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:56:p:6102-6119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Yi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Are there bubbles in Chinese RMB-dollar exchange rate? Evidence from generalized sup ADF tests Abstract: This article uses recently developed generalized sup ADF (GSADF) unit root tests into the analysis of nominal RMB-dollar exchange rates bubbles. Based on the results from the GSADF tests, we find strong evidence of explosive behaviour in the nominal exchange rate and investigate two bubbles there. The first bubble is during 2005-2006 which is determined neither by the relative prices of traded goods nor the relative price of nontraded goods. The second bubble busts in 2008 during subprime crisis period, and which is determined by the relative prices of traded goods but not the relative price of nontraded goods. There is no bubble before 2005 as the exchange rate is under fixed regime. As for this result, some expansionary monetary and fiscal policies are required in China since these are the most efficient and effective under a bubble burst scenario. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6120-6135 Issue: 56 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1064080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1064080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:56:p:6120-6135 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Berdiev Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Berdiev Author-Name: Cullen Pasquesi-Hill Author-X-Name-First: Cullen Author-X-Name-Last: Pasquesi-Hill Author-Name: Saunoris Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Saunoris Title: Exploring the dynamics of the shadow economy across US states Abstract: This article examines the dynamics of the shadow economy using data for 50 US states over the period 1998-2008. Using a panel VAR model, we analyse the impulse response of the shadow economy to an orthogonal shock in capital tax rates, educational attainment, union participation and gross state product. We find evidence of significant dynamics underlying the relationship between the shadow economy and its determinants. The results remain robust to alternate measures of the determinants of the shadow economy, alternate causal ordering of the variables in the system and conditioning on the level of income in each state. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6136-6147 Issue: 56 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1064081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1064081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:56:p:6136-6147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rati Ram Author-X-Name-First: Rati Author-X-Name-Last: Ram Title: International income inequality, 2005-2011: what a difference 6 years can make Abstract: While much attention has recently been given to the rising inequality in high-income countries, particularly the US, inequality across countries has received less attention. Based on reports of the International Comparison Program, which provide the most accurate measures of PPP income at the country level, this study computes three highly recommended measures of intercountry income inequality for the years 2005 and 2011. A dramatic, and perhaps unprecedented, fall in intercountry inequality over the relatively short period of 6 years is noted. As a correlate of the fall in intercountry inequality, aggregate PPP GDP for six major high-income countries is compared with that for three large developing countries, and the dramatic increase over the 6-year period in the ratio of the total GDP of the three developing countries to that for the six high-income countries is noted, thus extending, from the most accurate data, the theme of the 'rise of the South' articulated in Human Development Report 2013. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6148-6154 Issue: 56 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1064082 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1064082 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:56:p:6148-6154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petra Maresova Author-X-Name-First: Petra Author-X-Name-Last: Maresova Author-Name: Blanka Klimova Author-X-Name-First: Blanka Author-X-Name-Last: Klimova Author-Name: Vojtěch Tuček Author-X-Name-First: Vojtěch Author-X-Name-Last: Tuček Title: Use of social networks in banking: a study in the Czech Republic Abstract: Social networks are becoming more and more important nowadays. Apart from regular users of the Internet, companies have started to use them in their business. Their potential is that a great number of people, future clients of big companies, use them on a daily basis. Thus, the aim of this article is to analyse the use of social networks in the banking sector of the Czech Republic, particularly with respect to customer support. The methods of this study include common data analysis and professional analysis. Common data analysis consists of the evaluation of public data from social networks and web pages of the selected bank institutions. The professional analysis is conducted by paid professional analytical tools that provide more detailed statistics. The findings of the study show that social networks are now well-established tools for the Czech banks to attract both their current and potential clients. The Czech banks seem to care about their clients by trying to meet their needs. Customer care and services provided, however, differ with type of bank. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6155-6169 Issue: 57 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1064083 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1064083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:57:p:6155-6169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Dengler Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Dengler Title: Effectiveness of sequences of One-Euro-Jobs for welfare recipients in Germany Abstract: Empirical evidence reveals that German welfare recipients often participate in multiple active labour market programmes (ALMPs). However, evidence on the effectiveness of ALMPs exists mostly for single ALMP participations so far. This article evaluates the sequential participation in ALMPs for welfare recipients in Germany based on comprehensive administrative data to control for dynamic selection that arises in the evaluation of sequences. Using a dynamic causal model and an inflow sample of welfare recipients, the article analyses the effects of sequences of a public employment programme called One-Euro-Jobs on labour market outcomes. For female participants in One-Euro-Jobs in the first period, especially in West Germany, the results imply that participating in two consecutive One-Euro-Jobs compared with receiving only welfare benefits for two consecutive periods better facilitates integration into regular employment. Moreover, taking part in a One-Euro-Job directly after entry into welfare receipt is also more effective for participants in One-Euro-Jobs in the first period than taking part in a One-Euro-Job in a later period, especially for East German men (although not for West German women). However, I also find evidence of so-called programme careers and stepwise integration into regular employment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6170-6190 Issue: 57 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1066488 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1066488 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:57:p:6170-6190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: John Vaz Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Vaz Title: Directional accuracy, forecasting error and the profitability of currency trading: model-based evidence Abstract: Three models (the flexible-price monetary model, PPP and a univariate ARIMA model) are estimated for 45 currency pairs to find out if the profitability of forecasting-based currency trading is more related to the ability of the underlying model to predict the direction of change than the magnitude of the forecasting error. Theoretical considerations show that a correct prediction of the direction of change is neither a necessary nor a sufficient condition for a profitable trade. The results of the exercise indicate that profitability is more strongly correlated with directional accuracy than with the magnitude of the error. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6191-6199 Issue: 57 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1068917 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1068917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:57:p:6191-6199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zied Ftiti Author-X-Name-First: Zied Author-X-Name-Last: Ftiti Author-Name: Khaled Guesmi Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Guesmi Author-Name: Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Fr餩ric Teulon Author-X-Name-First: Fr餩ric Author-X-Name-Last: Teulon Title: Modelling inflation shifts and persistence in Tunisia: perspectives from an evolutionary spectral approach Abstract: This article examines the dynamic characteristics of the inflation rate in Tunisia over the last two decades, and particularly following the onset of the Arab Spring in 2010 which causes distortions in this country's monetary policy. We focus on the two specific dimensions of the Tunisian inflation rate: inflation regimes and persistence. We tackle this issue by adopting an evolutionary spectral approach, initially proposed by Priestley and Tong (1973). Our main findings indicate a stable inflation regime in the last 10 years, with an average inflation rate of around 5.5%. It is also found that the Tunisian inflation experienced a high degree of inertia which reflects its gradual responses to shocks. We also discuss the policy implications of these results, which typically require policy-makers to implement sound institutional reforms to reduce inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6200-6210 Issue: 57 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1068918 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1068918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:57:p:6200-6210 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriele Marconi Author-X-Name-First: Gabriele Author-X-Name-Last: Marconi Author-Name: Jo Ritzen Author-X-Name-First: Jo Author-X-Name-Last: Ritzen Title: Determinants of international university rankings scores Abstract: This article analyses the relationship between a university's score in international university rankings, its expenditure per student and other factors such as university mission, size and productive inefficiency. We develop an economic model of rankings and universities and estimate this model with data on universities classified in the top 200 by the Times Higher Education Supplement ranking of 2007. We find that the elasticity of a university's ranking score for the expenditure per student is between 4% and 9%, and that there are no clear signs of inefficiency in production among the top 200 universities. University mission and size are also significant predictors of ranking score. These results are especially interesting given the relevance attributed to rankings by government officials, university directors and students. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6211-6227 Issue: 57 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1068921 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1068921 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:57:p:6211-6227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Silvia Palombi Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Palombi Author-Name: Roger Perman Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Perman Author-Name: Christophe Tav鲡 Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Tav鲡 Title: Regional growth and unemployment in the medium run: asymmetric cointegrated Okun's Law for UK regions Abstract: This article tests for the presence of a medium-run asymmetric Okun's Law relationship between regional output and regional unemployment rate in UK regions. The test is performed with a panel data version of the hidden cointegration technique suggested by Granger and Yoon. A novelty of the article is to combine the method of hidden cointegration with a panel data method of removing cross-sectional dependence. The medium-run Okun relationship for regions in the UK appears to confirm results found elsewhere in the literature on countries as a whole, although the coefficients tend to be smaller. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6228-6238 Issue: 57 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1068922 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1068922 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:57:p:6228-6238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Huck Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Huck Title: Pairs trading: does volatility timing matter? Abstract: Pairs trading is a dollar-neutral trading strategy. Using the components of two major stock indices, the S&P 500 and the Nikkei 225, this article deals with the performance of a pairs trading system based on various pairs selection methods (distance, stationarity, cointegration) over a 10-year period. On both markets, using a classical framework, cointegration appears superior and effective. On the U.S. market and also in Japan to a lower extent, pairs trading strategies exhibited an impressive performance during the 2008 financial crisis. Bearish periods are associated with a high level of the VIX index: the 'investor fear gauge'. Using a modified trading system, this article examines the link between pairs trading performance and volatility/VIX timing. It is shown that for the best selection technique (cointegration), timing volatility has no economic value in a pairs trading context. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6239-6256 Issue: 57 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1068923 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1068923 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:57:p:6239-6256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andr鳠Navarro-Galera Author-X-Name-First: Andr鳠 Author-X-Name-Last: Navarro-Galera Author-Name: Salvador Rayo-Cant󮠍 Author-X-Name-First: Salvador Author-X-Name-Last: Rayo-Cant󮠍 Author-Name: Juan Lara-Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Lara-Rubio Author-Name: Dionisio Buend𫑃arrillo Author-X-Name-First: Dionisio Author-X-Name-Last: Buend𫑃arrillo Title: Loan price modelling for local governments using risk premium analysis Abstract: Previous studies have highlighted the question of government loan interest as one of great current importance. Government borrowing levels are high, and reducing interest payments would generate savings to meet other spending needs and/or to lower taxation, thus supporting the sustainability of public finances. However, no previous study has presented a method for a local government to calculate its own credit risk and thus be in a position to negotiate lower interest rates on its borrowing. This article defines a financial model that enables local governments to estimate the interest rate payable on a bank loan, based on their credit risk premium, in accordance with the Basel II rules and the findings of our empirical study of large local governments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6257-6276 Issue: 58 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1068924 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1068924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:58:p:6257-6276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Pizzutilo Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Pizzutilo Title: Isolating the systematic and unsystematic components of a single stock's (or portfolio's) standard deviation: a comment Abstract: In an article that recently appeared in this journal, Marshall (2015) argued that the systematic component of the SD of a stock or of a portfolio of stocks is its beta scaled by the SD of the market returns. She also contended that the beta mispredicts the actual systematic risk of a stock or of a portfolio of stocks. In this article, I dispute this conclusion, showing that it has been induced by an imperfection in the construction of the empirical application and by some misinterpretations of the results. A corrected replication of the empirical study of Marshall (2015) is provided, along with some comments. I conclude that both the beta and the systematic component in Marshall (2015) are effective measures of systematic risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6277-6283 Issue: 58 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1068925 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1068925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:58:p:6277-6283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Razzak Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Razzak Title: Wage, productivity and unemployment: microeconomics theory and macroeconomics data Abstract: We confront microeconomics theory with macroeconomics data. Unemployment results from two main micro-level decisions of workers and firms. Most of the efficiency wage and bargaining theories predict that over the business cycle, unemployment falls below its natural rate when the worker's real wage exceeds the reservation wage. However, these theories have weak empirical support. Firm's decision predicts that when the worker's real wage exceeds the marginal product of labour (MPL), unemployment increases above its natural rate. Accounting for this microeconomic decision helps explain almost all the fluctuations of US unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6284-6300 Issue: 58 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1068926 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1068926 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:58:p:6284-6300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Otero-Gonzᬥz Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Otero-Gonzᬥz Author-Name: Miguel Ezcurra-P鲥z Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Ezcurra-P鲥z Author-Name: Rub鮠Lado-Sestayo Author-X-Name-First: Rub鮠 Author-X-Name-Last: Lado-Sestayo Author-Name: Pablo DurᮭSantomil Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: DurᮭSantomil Title: The main determinants of subprime securitization in the Spanish RMBS securities Abstract: This article is a model to identify the determinants of subprime securitizations. In several countries, there is no classification of the underlying assets. Consequently, investors have fewer tools to identify which securitizations are subprime. Using a sample of mortgage securitization transactions issued in Spain from 1998 until the first half of 2009, we analyse the effects of a great securitization expansion. According to previous literature, we identify main determinants of residential mortgage-backed security default rate and construct a prediction model of default rate. By means of different probit models, our results show the importance of loan to value and seasoning, among other determinants, as predictive indicators of default rates. The results obtained point to more relaxed lending standards due to higher securitization levels. Our findings help to gain a more accurate perspective of the true effects of the mortgage securitization process and reinforce the role of certain determinants as default predictors in a context without a classification of underlying assets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6301-6316 Issue: 58 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1071468 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1071468 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:58:p:6301-6316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Turki Abalala Author-X-Name-First: Turki Author-X-Name-Last: Abalala Author-Name: Robert Sollis Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Sollis Title: The Saturday effect: an interesting anomaly in the Saudi stock market Abstract: The vast majority of empirical research on calendar anomalies has studied financial markets in countries where the Western calendar is used. This article investigates day of the week effects in Saudi Arabia's stock market, where an Islamic calendar is used and where Saturday is the first working day of the week over the sample period considered. The Saudi stock market is the largest in the Gulf region, and we consider both total market data (the TASI index) and data for 15 sector indices. Our investigation reveals the existence of a positive Saturday effect, which contrasts with the results on first day of the week effects that are typically obtained for Western calendar markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6317-6330 Issue: 58 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1071469 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1071469 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:58:p:6317-6330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Galina Besstremyannaya Author-X-Name-First: Galina Author-X-Name-Last: Besstremyannaya Title: Heterogeneous effect of coinsurance rate on healthcare expenditure: generalized finite mixtures and matching estimators Abstract: The article proposes a combination of finite mixture models and matching estimators to account for heterogeneous and nonlinear effects of the coinsurance rate on healthcare expenditure. The analysis with panel data for adult Japanese consumers in 2008-2010 and for female consumers in 2000-2010 demonstrates the presence of subpopulations with high, medium and low healthcare expenditure, and subpopulation membership is explained by lifestyle variables. Generalized finite mixtures provide adequate fit compared to loglinear model. Conditional average treatment effect estimations reveal the existence of nonlinear effects of the coinsurance rate in the subpopulation with high expenditure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6331-6361 Issue: 58 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1071470 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1071470 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:58:p:6331-6361 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brent Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: Valuing the prevention of elder abuse Abstract: We develop a framework for valuing cases of serious elder abuse. We use the preferences of the elderly who are abused, the victims, to help identify: what offenses are of concern, the seriousness of any particular offense and the value of preventing any particular offense. The variable revealing the valuations is the victim's willingness to prosecute in New York City police complaint reports. Using our framework we found that it took a loss of $38 462 in order to be classed as a serious financial offense. With this monetary magnitude as a benchmark we were able to value nonfinancial serious offenses at up to $50 000 per offense. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6362-6373 Issue: 58 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1071471 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1071471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:58:p:6362-6373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Musumba Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Musumba Author-Name: Mjelde Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Mjelde Author-Name: Adusumilli Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Adusumilli Title: Remittance receipts and allocation: a study of three African countries Abstract: Remittances may influence household expenditures, poverty rates, development and investments in the receiving country. Using World Bank survey data from Ethiopia, Uganda and Kenya, the influence of remitters' and recipients' characteristics on remittance amounts and allocation is examined. Effects of the remitter-receiver characteristics on remittance amounts are generally similar between countries. Such similarities imply a potential similar effect of policies in these countries. Age, household income, frequency of communication, family relations with remitter and country the recipient resided in influence remittance allocation. Recipients in Ethiopia and Uganda are more likely to allocate remittance towards savings than those in Kenya. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6375-6389 Issue: 59 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1071472 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1071472 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:59:p:6375-6389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Title: Exogenous tax changes and interest rates: testing for Ricardian equivalence using an efficient markets model Abstract: This article tests the Ricardian theory (i.e., Barro 1974) using Mishkin's (1981, 1982) efficient markets model of interest rates. Employing Romer and Romer's (2010) measure exogenous tax changes, I am able to test whether the U.S. bond market reacts in a Keynesian or Ricardian manner to exogenous tax policy changes. This helps avoid the endogeneity problems associated with measuring the interest rate effects of deficits and provides a cleaner test of the pure Ricardian thought experiment. I find a significant negative relationship between tax changes and interest rates which is inconsistent with the Ricardian model and support the Keynesian crowding out framework. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6390-6394 Issue: 59 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1071473 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1071473 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:59:p:6390-6394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Baharumshah Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Baharumshah Author-Name: Siew-Voon Soon Author-X-Name-First: Siew-Voon Author-X-Name-Last: Soon Author-Name: Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: Parity reversion in the Asian real exchange rates: new evidence from the local-persistent model Abstract: This article investigates the time-series properties of 13 Asian real exchange rates (RERs) vis-୶is the US dollar. The half-life point estimates drawn from the local-persistent model are all less than 2 years, with a finite upper bound. There is no evidence to indicate that the Asian financial crisis has altered the speed of the purchasing power parity (PPP) adjustments. We find that the persistence of RERs over the last three decades remains unchanged in majority of the cases. Given the fairly rapid speed of adjustments and their corresponding confidence intervals, we conclude that the PPP puzzle does not exist in these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6395-6408 Issue: 59 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1071474 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1071474 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:59:p:6395-6408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristian Barra Author-X-Name-First: Cristian Author-X-Name-Last: Barra Author-Name: Giovanna Bimonte Author-X-Name-First: Giovanna Author-X-Name-Last: Bimonte Author-Name: Pietro Spennati Author-X-Name-First: Pietro Author-X-Name-Last: Spennati Title: Did fiscal institutions affect Wagner's law in Italy during 1951-2009 period? An empirical analysis Abstract: In this article, we test Wagner's assumption of the one-sided directional flow moving from economic growth to public spending in Italy for the 1951-2009 period. We pay particular attention to the impact of certain regime shifts related to changes in Italian budget regulations and procedures and the relevance of fiscal institutions to the fiscal performance equation, i.e. the public spending-national income nexus. The Error Correction Model is estimated to measure short-run dynamic effects and the long-run equilibrium between the two time series. The empirical evidence suggests that Wagner's law is supported. In regard to policy implications, we find that public spending reacted less to positive changes in economic growth when the strengthening of the Ministry of Finance occurred in 1997 (Ciampi's reform). Some sensitivity analyses confirm our empirical evidence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6409-6424 Issue: 59 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1071475 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1071475 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:59:p:6409-6424 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alhashel Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Alhashel Author-Name: Alojayan Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Alojayan Title: Drivers of price reaction to rights issue announcements in the Kuwait Stock Exchange Abstract: This study examines the drivers behind stock price reactions to announcements of rights issues by firms listed on the Kuwaiti Stock Exchange for the period 2003-2013. We find higher cumulative abnormal returns for firms that undertake larger issues, with the issue size reflecting the availability of favourable investment opportunities and their potential positive impact on firms' earnings. We also document a positive price reaction in firms that are affiliated with a family group. We interpret this as evidence that the proceeds of the rights offering would be employed effectively when the firm is controlled by a family firm. No evidence was found for the price pressure and pricing effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6425-6437 Issue: 59 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1071476 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1071476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:59:p:6425-6437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li Dai Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Patrick Minford Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Minford Author-Name: Peng Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: A DSGE model of China Abstract: We use available methods for testing macro models to evaluate a model of China over the period from Deng Xiaoping's reforms up until the crisis period. Bayesian ranking methods are heavily influenced by controversial priors on the degree of price/wage rigidity. When the overall models are tested by Likelihood or Indirect Inference methods, the New Keynesian model is rejected in favour of one with a fair-sized competitive product market sector. This model behaves quite a lot more 'flexibly' than the New Keynesian. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6438-6460 Issue: 59 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1071477 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1071477 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:59:p:6438-6460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Beckman Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Beckman Author-Name: Gregory DeAngelo Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: DeAngelo Author-Name: Smith Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Dictator monopolies and essential goods: experimental evidence Abstract: Monopolists set prices and if the good is unessential this may place the consumer in an uncomfortable position. But if the good is essential the consumer faces a pay-to-live or -die choice. Dictator and ultimatum games are superficially similar in that one game offers the right of refusal, while the other does not. The dictator monopoly is, however, not a game, and behaviour could be radically different in the market environment versus game environment. We recast the dictator game as a dictator monopoly experiment and find that the fairness characteristic of the game evaporates quickly as rounds progress. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6461-6478 Issue: 59 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1071478 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1071478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:59:p:6461-6478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simeon Coleman Author-X-Name-First: Simeon Author-X-Name-Last: Coleman Author-Name: Vitor Leone Author-X-Name-First: Vitor Author-X-Name-Last: Leone Title: An investigation of regime shifts in UK commercial property returns: a time series analysis Abstract: The random-walk hypothesis, vis-୶is asset price, suggests that prices traded in a market cannot be predicted based on historical information. Employing unsecuritized UK commercial property returns, we analyse this hypothesis by investigating regime shifts or multiple changes in persistence in the series. Our results uncover regime shifts in both the aggregate and sector-specific data. Specifically, the shifts are less frequent in the Industrial sector, compared to the Office, Retail and Aggregate returns data. We highlight some implications for academics, practitioners and regulators. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6479-6492 Issue: 60 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1080805 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1080805 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:60:p:6479-6492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Soodabeh Sarafrazi Author-X-Name-First: Soodabeh Author-X-Name-Last: Sarafrazi Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Author-Name: Mehmet Balcilar Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Balcilar Title: Interactions between real economic and financial sides of the US economy in a regime-switching environment Abstract: This objective of this study is to examine the linkages between real (economic) and financial variables in the United States in a regime-switching environment that accounts explicitly for high volatility in the stock market and high stress in financial markets. Since the linearity test shows that the linear model should be rejected, we employ the Markov-switching VECM to examine the same objective using the Bayesian Markov-chain Monte Carlo method. The regime-dependent impulse response function (RDIRF) highlights the increasing importance of the financial sector of the economy during stress periods. The responses and their fluctuations are significantly greater in the high-volatility regime than in the low-volatility regime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6493-6518 Issue: 60 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1080806 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1080806 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:60:p:6493-6518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Zanella Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Zanella Author-Name: Peter Oyelere Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Oyelere Author-Name: Shahadut Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Shahadut Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Title: Are costs really sticky? Evidence from publicly listed companies in the UAE Abstract: This article measures the degree of adjustment between operating revenues and costs for publicly listed companies in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Traditional cost models assume that variable costs change proportionally in response to an upward or downward fluctuation in demand. However, in recent years, such an assumption has been questioned by a variety of papers from the economics and accounting fields. Typically, cost stickiness is defined as costs decreasing by less than 1% when sales decrease by 1%, while reacting closer to the proportion of change when sales increase. This study, unlike the vast majority of the literature, did not find cost stickiness in the UAE after using panel data regression analysis. The main explanation is that UAE has mostly expatriate labour force that does not have the typical benefits of employment protection legislation (EPL) available in other national jurisdictions. EPL is a main reason that costs adjustments during decreasing sales is curbed due to the associated costs of firing employees. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6519-6528 Issue: 60 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1080807 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1080807 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:60:p:6519-6528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marlies Kornfeld Author-X-Name-First: Marlies Author-X-Name-Last: Kornfeld Author-Name: Carsten Ochsen Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Ochsen Title: Teachers' versus parental choice and the tracking distribution of students: a natural experiment Abstract: This article studies the secondary school track choice and considers to what extent parents' and teachers' assessment of students diverge. We take advantage of a reform in the German state of North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW) in 2006. The reform replaced parents' choice about their children's secondary school type by a binding teacher recommendation. Our data comprise class-level information on all public primary schools in the state. We find that teachers tend to recommend higher school types than parents. However, more precise analysis shows that this effect can be limited to districts with above average proportion of immigrants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6529-6542 Issue: 60 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1080808 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1080808 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:60:p:6529-6542 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ghassen El-Montasser Author-X-Name-First: Ghassen Author-X-Name-Last: El-Montasser Author-Name: Roula Inglesi-Lotz Author-X-Name-First: Roula Author-X-Name-Last: Inglesi-Lotz Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Convergence of greenhouse gas emissions among G7 countries Abstract: The convergence of air pollutants is a major concern for policymakers since all the countries pursue the goal of allocating the emissions equally internationally in the future. Hence, the examination of the existence of convergence is important for the climate change protection of the earth. In this article, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions convergence among the G7 countries for the period between 1990 and 2011 is examined using the pairwise testing technique proposed by that aims to analyse probabilistic convergence across a large number of cross-sectional units. Next, we proceed with multivariate tests for stability and the existence of unit roots. Finally, the analysis is complemented by the use of the panel stationarity test accounting for structural changes as proposed by Carrion-i-Silvestre et al. (2005) test. Overall, the results do not confirm the hypothesis of convergence for the countries in question, although, more recently, the countries have shown a small decline in their GHG emissions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6543-6552 Issue: 60 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1080809 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1080809 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:60:p:6543-6552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hauge Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Hauge Author-Name: Prieger Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Prieger Title: Evaluating the impact of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act's BTOP on broadband adoption Abstract: The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act's Broadband Technology Opportunities Program (BTOP) spent $4.7 billion during 2009-2013 to, inter alia, increase broadband adoption in underserved communities. We characterize the BTOP grants and examine the impact of the awards on broadband adoption. Econometric specifications controlling for award endogeneity related to observed and unobserved county-level factors find that spending is apparently associated with increased broadband adoption. Further investigation, however, reveals that the impacts of spending are nonlinear and even nonmonotonic over the range of county-level BTOP spending in the data. Controlling for trends to reduce the potential for spurious correlation between spending and outcomes removes most of the significance of the results. We conclude with three lessons for policymakers derived from the uncertain outcomes of BTOP spending found in our exploration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6553-6579 Issue: 60 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1080810 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1080810 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:60:p:6553-6579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Alan Tidwell Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Tidwell Title: Inflation-hedging properties of regional Chinese real estate market: evidence from 35 cities in China Abstract: The housing markets in China have been gaining considerable interest from investors, but the inflation-hedging characteristics of housing remain ambiguous. Based on Chinese city-level data, this study evaluates different inflation-hedging properties in eastern, middle and western real estate markets using panel vector autoregressive (PVAR) models. Findings suggest middle real estate markets afford the best hedging opportunities for expected inflation, which is robust considering housing market heterogeneity, financial crisis and the 2010 purchase restriction order. Moreover, hedging efficacy of anticipated inflation differs between markets with low and high supply-demand ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6580-6598 Issue: 60 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1080811 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1080811 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:60:p:6580-6598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Author-Name: Oliveira Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Oliveira Title: Portfolio efficiency analysis with SFA: the case of PSI-20 companies Abstract: This study aimed to assess the technical efficiency (TE) of individual companies and their respective sectors that are traded on the Portuguese stock market. We accomplished this by combining the internal input variables (e.g., 'market value and return') with exogenous variables (e.g., 'interest income', 'depreciation', 'cost of goods', 'employees' and 'net sales') into a Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA) model. The TE of the PSI-20 (Portuguese Stock Index) was estimated using factors that affect efficiency variability. The main advantage of using the SFA approach is its potential to discriminate between measurement error and systematic inefficiencies in the estimation process. The results demonstrated that TE is higher for enterprises in the industrial, construction and distribution sectors, whereas the commercial banking sector has the lowest TE scores. The 'employees' and 'depreciation' are the variables which most contribute to stock market inefficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-6 Issue: 1 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1073837 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1073837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:1:p:1-6 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung-ki Min Author-X-Name-First: Chung-ki Author-X-Name-Last: Min Author-Name: Taek-seon Roh Author-X-Name-First: Taek-seon Author-X-Name-Last: Roh Author-Name: Sangmee Bak Author-X-Name-First: Sangmee Author-X-Name-Last: Bak Title: Growth effects of leisure tourism and the level of economic development Abstract: This study examines (1) whether leisure tourism can contribute to economic growth and (2) if it does, whether its growth effects are constant across levels of economic development. Leisure tourism differs from business tourism in the causal relation with economic growth. In addition, the natural and heritage-related resources for leisure tourism are limited and not reproducible. This notion has a significant implication for the relationship between the growth effects of leisure tourism and the level of economic development. Thus, the current study focuses on leisure tourism and controls for the effects of business tourism. As an economy grows, the growth effects of leisure tourism are expected to diminish due to a lack of continued productivity improvement in the tourism industry. The empirical findings in this research reveal that leisure tourism contributes to economic growth at an early stage of economic development, but its contribution becomes weaker as the economy develops. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 7-17 Issue: 1 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1073838 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1073838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:1:p:7-17 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Devadoss Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Devadoss Author-Name: Jeff Luckstead Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Luckstead Title: Can a corrupt ruling party win a re-election through vote buying? Abstract: In many developing countries, it is common for electoral candidates to use embezzled money to buy votes. We develop a dynamic model to analyse the trade-off between economic performance and free handouts resulting from corruption on an incumbent party's chances of being re-elected. The results show, because voters anticipate handouts from the politicians, politicians engage in corrupt behaviour early in the election cycle while minimizing unemployment and maximizing vote buying at the end of the election cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 18-23 Issue: 1 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1073839 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1073839 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:1:p:18-23 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satria Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Satria Author-Name: Harun Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Harun Author-Name: Taruna Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Taruna Title: The Macro-prudential aspects of loan-to-deposit-ratio-linked reserve requirement Abstract: Micro-prudential regulation is sometimes more focused on the health of the financial institutions and pays less attention to the objective of sustainable intermediation and financial stability in the long run. A macro-prudential policy is formulated to reduce this myopic tendency. This article shows analytically how Loan-to-Deposit-Ratio (LDR)-linked Reserve Requirement (RR) can be used to apply counter-cyclical measures in banking industry by providing disincentive mechanism when a bank operates outside the preferred operational corridor. At the lower limit of LDR, a requirement of higher RR can push banks to extent more loans in order to support economic development in a period of economic bust. At the upper limit of LDR, a requirement of higher RR and/or capital can also provide disincentive to slow down its investment activities in an economic booming period and manage liquidity risk better. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 24-34 Issue: 1 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1073840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1073840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:1:p:24-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Drescher Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Drescher Author-Name: Bernhard Herz Author-X-Name-First: Bernhard Author-X-Name-Last: Herz Title: What determines simultaneous asset bubbles? An empirical analysis Abstract: The recent global financial crisis demonstrated that the simultaneous collapse of asset bubbles in different countries is a major challenge for monetary policy. In order to evaluate determinants of these simultaneous asset bubbles, we detect rational asset bubbles in corporate equity and real estate markets worldwide using forward recursive right-sided ADF tests. Then we create dummy variables for simultaneous asset bubbles and analyse potential determinants using gravity models and spatial economics. Our empirical analysis suggests that simultaneous asset bubbles depend positively upon potential asset demand, capital account openness, monetary conditions, cultural similarities and negatively upon informational frictions and exchange rate flexibility. These findings imply that monetary policy can impede the probability of simultaneous asset bubbles by ensuring sound monetary conditions and choosing a flexible exchange regime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 35-51 Issue: 1 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1073841 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1073841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:1:p:35-51 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Per-Olof Bjuggren Author-X-Name-First: Per-Olof Author-X-Name-Last: Bjuggren Title: Marginal q revisited Abstract: Two measures of firm investment behaviour used in the empirical research are Tobin´s q (average q) and marginal q. The marginal q is a more recently introduced measure than Tobin´s q and is not as well known. This article aims to demonstrate the advantages of using marginal q as a performance measure and is a response to an earlier critical article (Berglund, 2011) claiming an elusiveness bias. The pro arguments made in response are that the claimed elusiveness is not a problem. Furthermore, many of the evaluation problems inherent in the empirical use of Tobin´s q, like estimation of replacement cost of assets, can be avoided. From a pure theoretical standpoint, it has long been recognized that marginal q is superior to an average measure of investment behaviour such as Tobin´s q. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 52-58 Issue: 1 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1073842 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1073842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:1:p:52-58 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. Withey Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Withey Author-Name: Lantz Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Lantz Author-Name: Ochuodho Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Ochuodho Title: Economic costs and impacts of climate-induced sea-level rise and storm surge in Canadian coastal provinces: a CGE approach Abstract: We estimated the economic costs and impacts of future sea-level rise (SLR) and storm surge due to climate change in Canada's coastal provinces using regional, dynamic computable general equilibrium models that track provincial welfare, GDP, trade, prices and inputs over the 2009-2054 period. We also assessed the economic costs of coastal adaptation investments, to determine whether such investments can be justified on economic grounds. Results indicated that SLR and storm surge could cost Canada in the range of $4.6-$25.5 billion in present value welfare, and between $53.7 and $108.7 billion in present value GDP. We found significant variation in costs and impacts across coastal provinces, with some provinces such as Newfoundland and Labrador experiencing only marginal costs/impacts, and others such as British Columbia experiencing costs as high as $21 billion in welfare over the period. Coastal adaptation investments were supported on economics grounds. Overall, this study provides the first (and preliminary) provincial economic impact estimates of climate-induced SLR and storm surge, as well as adaptation investments, in Canada. Additional research is needed to refine the analysis in order to produce reliable estimates that can be used to guide coastal adaptation policies in Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 59-71 Issue: 1 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1073843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1073843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:1:p:59-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Nithin Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Nithin Author-Name: Rathin Roy Author-X-Name-First: Rathin Author-X-Name-Last: Roy Title: Finance commission of India's assessments: a political economy contention between expectations and outcomes Abstract: We explore the normative fiscal assessments of the Finance Commission (FC) of India, and realisation of fiscal policy with regard to Central Finances over the period 1990-2012. We employ the Theil's inequality coefficient to investigate the magnitude of assessment errors and its partitioning in to bias, slope and random components. Furthermore, this article also evaluates the efficiency, biasedness and persistence of forecast errors. The robustness of the efficiency results are confirmed with the application of maximum entropy bootstrap. The objective of this study is to examine the structural basis on which FCs make their awards rather than examining the predictability of the forecasts. The story of FC's assessments reflects an interesting political economy theatre of contention between aspirations and outcomes. Our key findings are as follows: First, source of errors for assessments of tax revenue, nontax revenue, interest payments, defence revenue expenditure, plan revenue expenditure and fiscal deficit is principally due to random component. However, the errors in the remaining economic parameters originate due to systematic components i.e. mean and slope errors. Second, the expenditure side predictability is lower than the revenue side predictability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 73-88 Issue: 2 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1073844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1073844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:2:p:73-88 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Law Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Law Author-Name: Desmond Yuen Author-X-Name-First: Desmond Author-X-Name-Last: Yuen Title: Professional scepticism in two economies with cultural differences and the public interest: evidence from China and the United States Abstract: Auditors' professional scepticism is a topical concern for the audit profession and public interest. This study examines professional scepticism among fraud auditors in the forensic accounting profession in China (CN) and the United States (US). Data are collected from 373 and 401 CN and US auditors, respectively, in two economies with cultural differences. The multinomial logistic regression results indicate that both CN and US fraud auditors have higher levels of professional scepticism than general auditors do. There are no significant differences in traits between CN and US fraud auditors. High-ranking fraud auditors have higher levels of professional scepticism than junior-ranking fraud auditors for both CN and US auditors. The results of our sensitivity analysis validate the main results and indicate the findings' robustness. Results support the normative pillar of the institutional theory (Scott 1995) that asserts actors (fraud auditors) of institutions would share common norms and beliefs in a social system because they are rooted in professional affiliations (accounting bodies) (DiMaggio and Powell 1983). Our findings contribute to the literature in the arena of the interests of the public and the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 89-106 Issue: 2 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1073845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1073845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:2:p:89-106 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M Niaz Asadullah Author-X-Name-First: M Niaz Author-X-Name-Last: Asadullah Author-Name: Jinnat Ara Author-X-Name-First: Jinnat Author-X-Name-Last: Ara Title: Evaluating the long-run impact of an innovative anti-poverty programme: evidence using household panel data Abstract: Using a four-round panel data set from the first phase of the Challenging the Frontiers of Poverty Reduction - Targeting the Ultra Poor (CFPR - TUP) programme of BRAC, we investigate whether a one-off transfer of livestock assets improves well-being of the very poor women in Bangladesh. Programme impact is assessed on a wide range of monetary and nonmonetary measures of well-being using difference-in-difference (DD) as well as matching methods. We find significant positive long-term impact on food security, household savings, assets and participation in microfinance. Participant women are less likely to be in distress occupation and more into self-employment. However, the long-term effect is much smaller for most outcomes when compared to short- and medium-run impacts. We conclude by discussing the significance of the institutional and regional context for the observed time path of estimated programme effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 107-120 Issue: 2 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1073846 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1073846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:2:p:107-120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sascha Kolaric Author-X-Name-First: Sascha Author-X-Name-Last: Kolaric Author-Name: Florian Kiesel Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Kiesel Author-Name: Dirk Schiereck Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Schiereck Title: Return patterns of South Korean stocks following large price shocks Abstract: This study tests the market efficiency of the South Korean stock market by examining returns on stocks of the constituents of the KOSPI 50 from 2000 to 2014 following large 1-month price decreases and increases. An exponential GARCH (EGARCH) event study framework is used to analyse the stock returns. The results show that large price shocks, positive and negative, are likely to be followed by positive market returns. Moreover, the results show an increase in the beta of stocks in the years following a large price shock. The overall results therefore support the Uncertain Information Hypothesis. However, beginning in 2008, return patterns more closely reflect those hypothesised by the Efficient Market Hypothesis, possibly due to increased participation by international investors. The observed returns following large price increases and decreases can be partially explained by changes in the Korean won to US dollar exchange rate and the trading behaviour of foreign investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 121-132 Issue: 2 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1076144 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1076144 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:2:p:121-132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lynch Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Lynch Author-Name: John Curtis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Curtis Title: The effects of wind generation capacity on electricity prices and generation costs: a Monte Carlo analysis Abstract: We use Monte Carlo analysis to examine the potential of increased renewable generation to provide a hedge against variability in energy prices and costs. Fuel costs, electricity demand and wind generation are allowed to vary and a unit commitment and economic dispatch algorithm is employed to produce cost-minimizing generation schedules under different levels of installed wind capacity. Increased wind capacity reduces the mean and the variance of production costs but only the variance of electricity prices. Wind generators see their market revenues increase while consumer payments and fossil generator profits do not considerably vary as wind capacity increases. Risk aversion is captured by considering the conditional value-at-risk for both consumers and producers. The optimal level of wind generation increases as risk aversion increases due to the potential of wind to act as a hedge against very high electricity prices in high fuel price scenarios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 133-151 Issue: 2 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1076145 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1076145 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:2:p:133-151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azhar Mohamad Author-X-Name-First: Azhar Author-X-Name-Last: Mohamad Author-Name: Aziz Jaafar Author-X-Name-First: Aziz Author-X-Name-Last: Jaafar Author-Name: John Goddard Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Goddard Title: Short selling and exchange-traded funds returns: evidence from the London Stock Exchange Abstract: An exchange-traded fund (ETF) is a security that tracks a basket of stocks. An ETF investor gains immediate exposure to the basket, by taking either a long or short position on this instrument. Both hedgers and speculators can short ETFs, making the informational content of increases in ETF short interest difficult to interpret. Using high-frequency (daily) short-interest data for ETFs traded on the London Stock Exchange between June 2006 and April 2010, we examine the price impact on ETFs of increases in short interest. Contrary to most of the previous empirical evidence for individual stocks, we find that large increases in ETF short interest are associated with subsequent over-performance relative to a benchmark index and this pattern is most pronounced during pre-financial crisis period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 152-164 Issue: 2 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1076146 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1076146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:2:p:152-164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L. Kermiche Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Kermiche Author-Name: N. Vuillermet Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Vuillermet Title: Weather derivatives structuring and pricing: a sustainable agricultural approach in Africa Abstract: The objective of this article is to calculate the price of weather derivatives for different African countries with payout depending on temperature. A new approach for computing degree day contracts is shown and gives another scale to the numerical relevance and practical implementation of the findings. With historical data for each country, a stochastic process based on continuous time with mean reversion representing the evolution of the temperature is determined. Focusing on the Monte Carlo simulation method, the price of each contract and the potential implications to solve several aspects of the threatened African economy are presented. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 165-177 Issue: 2 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1076147 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1076147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:2:p:165-177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minhua Yang Author-X-Name-First: Minhua Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Hui Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 178-178 Issue: 2 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1073877 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1073877 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:2:p:178-178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Koichi Yamaura Author-X-Name-First: Koichi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamaura Author-Name: Allen M. Featherstone Author-X-Name-First: Allen M. Author-X-Name-Last: Featherstone Title: Estimating the effect of monopsony power on elasticity estimates Abstract: Love and Shumway (1994) developed a nonparametric deterministic test for monopsony market power using a normalized quadratic restricted cost function with one input for which the firm has potential market power. This research examines monopsony power using Lau's Hessian identity relationships based on the empirical properties of duality theory. Lau's Hessian identity shows the Hessian matrices are equal under pure competition using an unrestricted profit function, restricted profit function and production function approach. We examine how market power changes in the monopsony case using Lau's Hessian identity relationships. Results show that there is a difference between the unrestricted and restricted profit function results under monopsony power. The important implication is that if an input or output is potentially in a market subject to market power, that input or output should be modelled as a fixed input or output to correctly recover the underlying technology. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 179-189 Issue: 3 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1076148 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1076148 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:3:p:179-189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cassandra R. Cole Author-X-Name-First: Cassandra R. Author-X-Name-Last: Cole Author-Name: J. Bradley Karl Author-X-Name-First: J. Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Karl Title: The effect of product diversification strategies on the performance of health insurance conglomerates Abstract: The conglomerate organizational structure of health insurers suggests two distinct methods of product diversification - the first is firm-level diversification, or diversification within individual affiliates, and the second is conglomerate-level diversification, or diversification across affiliates of the conglomerate. We hypothesize that using both firm- and conglomerate-level diversification may magnify the costs or benefits of diversification on the financial performance of the conglomerate. Our results confirm this hypothesis and suggest a positive relation between health insurer financial performance and the use of both product line diversification methods. Our results not only contribute to the body of literature related to corporate diversification but are also important to policymakers and all health insurance market participants as portions of the Affordable Care Act continue to be implemented. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 190-202 Issue: 3 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1076149 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1076149 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:3:p:190-202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jørgen Laake Author-X-Name-First: Jørgen Author-X-Name-Last: Laake Author-Name: Abraham Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Abraham Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Joint optimization of strategic fleet planning and contract analysis in tramp shipping Abstract: Maritime transportation is one of the most capital-intensive industries. Fleet planning is vital but challenging to shipowners because the industry is extremely volatile. Relatively few papers have studied strategic fleet planning in tramp shipping, which is intertwined with contract analysis and different from that in industrial or liner shipping. This article develops a mixed-integer programming model, and it is the first of its kind that jointly optimizes strategic fleet planning and the selections of long-term and spot contracts in tramp shipping. The model can be used to determine the best mix of long-term and spot contracts for a given fleet and/or to find the optimal fleet size and mix for a set of contracts. It can be used as a basis for a fleet renewal programme, informing decisions on when to sell, whether to buy old or new ships, and when to charter in or out vessels. A numerical example is given to illustrate how to use the model to evaluate different operations strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 203-211 Issue: 3 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1076151 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1076151 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:3:p:203-211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liang Song Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Harry M. Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: An economic evaluation of market development programmes for US dairy products Abstract: 'This study measured the effectiveness of US dairy export promotion programmes on increasing foreign demand and enhancing producers' revenues. An import demand equation based on panel data was used to test whether export promotion has a positive and significant impact on US dairy exports. The effects of various promotion scenarios on the dairy market were then simulated, and benefit-cost ratios (BCRs) for these programmes were estimated. There were three key findings. First, the combined effort of public and private dairy export promotion expenditures had a positive and statistically significant impact on demand for US dairy products in the world market. The findings indicated that export promotion stimulated total dairy exports by 4.14 billion pounds, on average, per year, which represented 55.8% of total exports. Second, US dairy export promotion has been highly profitable for the nation's dairy farmers. The calculated BCRs, based on assumed elasticity of supply, ranged from a low of 8.54 for the most elastic assumption to a high of 30.12. Third, from an optimality standpoint, dairy farmers are underinvesting in export promotion. The marginal BCRs ranged from a low of 3.79 to a high of 15.22, which means that, at the margin, increasing export promotion expenditures would be profitable for dairy farmers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 212-221 Issue: 3 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1076152 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1076152 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:3:p:212-221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Sato Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Sato Title: Favouritism towards the poor and a discontinuous tax structure Abstract: This article aims to theoretically clarify two points. First, even though the government shows favouritism to the poor and wants to exempt low-income taxpayers and to secure the necessary income tax revenue by taxing only high-income taxpayers, the government nevertheless ends up taxing the poor. This is in opposition to favouritism and arises because of the government's inability to observe the individual taxpayer's income levels. Second, even without observing each taxpayer's income level, if favouritism is sufficiently strong, then the government can discontinuously resolve such unintentional taxation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 222-226 Issue: 3 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1076153 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1076153 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:3:p:222-226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aviral K. Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral K. Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Claudiu T. Albulescu Author-X-Name-First: Claudiu T. Author-X-Name-Last: Albulescu Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Time-frequency relationship between US output with commodity and asset prices Abstract: Commodity and asset prices have a well-documented effect on economic growth as manifested through various channels. At the same time, the business cycle influences the commodity and asset prices. Whereas empirical evidence on the effect of commodity and asset prices on the long-run economic growth is ambiguous, most of the previous researches highlight a positive correlation in the short run. The aim of this article is to disentangle the short- and long-run co-movements between US historical business cycles and commodity and asset prices over the period 1859-2013. For this purpose, we use a time-frequency approach and we test the historical influence of oil, gold, housing and stock prices over the output growth. In contrast to other studies, we control for the effect of other prices and monetary conditions, using the wavelet partial coherency. In line with the previous works, we discover that co-movements between economic growth and commodity and assets prices manifest especially in the short run. We also find that stock returns and housing prices have a more powerful effect on the US economic growth rate than the oil and gold prices. The long-run co-movements are documented especially around the World War II. Finally, when controlling for the influence of the interest rate, inflation and other commodity and asset prices, co-movements become weaker in the short run. In general, the oil and housing prices lead the GDP growth, the US output leads the gold prices, while there is no clear causality direction between business cycle and stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 227-242 Issue: 3 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1076154 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1076154 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:3:p:227-242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabrizio Casalin Author-X-Name-First: Fabrizio Author-X-Name-Last: Casalin Author-Name: Enzo Dia Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Dia Title: The dynamic interrelation between external finance and bank credit Abstract: This article studies the interrelation among the volumes of bonds and stocks issued by non-financial firms, and levels of industrial loans outstanding in the United States. These aggregates are co-integrated and characterized by asymmetric volatility. Their co-movements are driven by financial indicators such as the yield spread, size of loan market and market volatility. Bond and stock issuance are positively correlated, and even more so during the expansionary phase of the cycle. Loans outstanding and bond issuance are negatively correlated, and their substitutability increases in periods of economic downturn, highlighting the importance of bond markets to mitigate credit crunches. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 243-259 Issue: 3 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1078442 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1078442 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:3:p:243-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Arthur Luo Author-X-Name-First: H. Arthur Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Jen-Chi Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Chu-Ping C. Vijverberg Author-X-Name-First: Chu-Ping C. Author-X-Name-Last: Vijverberg Title: Monetary shocks, equity returns and volatility: a firm-level panel data analysis Abstract: This article studies the impact of monetary policy shocks on equity returns and their volatility among nine industries and their affiliated firms in the United States. We use an extension of the traditional CAPM as the analytical framework and approximate policy shocks with the unexpected component of the federal funds rate. Data on the characteristics of firms and industries are obtained from Compustat and the Center for Research in Security Prices, covering a sample period from 1987 to 2009. Our results clearly show that responses to policy shocks vary by industry and across firms. Furthermore, credit availability matters in certain industries, and small, financially constrained, and bank-dependent firms are found to be more vulnerable to unexpected federal funds rate shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 261-275 Issue: 4 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1078443 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1078443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:4:p:261-275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Khang Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Khang Author-Name: Tao-Hsien Dolly King Author-X-Name-First: Tao-Hsien Dolly Author-X-Name-Last: King Author-Name: Hung Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: What determines outstanding corporate debt mix? Evidence from fractional multinomial logit estimation Abstract: This study employs the fractional multinomial logit setting proposed by Papke and Wooldridge (1996) to examine factors driving the choice among nonbank private (144A) debt, bank loans and public debt made by 988 nonfinancial firms during 1993-2007. We document that the majority of firm-level factors have persistent effects on corporate outstanding debt mix across economic conditions. We also highlight the importance of macroeconomic variables on firms' borrowing decisions as predicted by Diamond (1991). Finally, we document a substitution effect among debt financing sources due to credit rating downgrades, which is inconsistent with Rauh and Sufi (2010). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 276-291 Issue: 4 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1078445 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1078445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:4:p:276-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Duane W. Rockerbie Author-X-Name-First: Duane W. Author-X-Name-Last: Rockerbie Title: Fighting as a profit maximizing strategy in the National Hockey League: more evidence Abstract: This article estimates the effect of fighting in hockey games on attendance in the National Hockey League (NHL) over the 1997-1998 through 2009-2010 seasons. After estimating a system of equations developed from a model of a profit-maximizing club owner, it was found that fighting had a small negative effect on attendance implying that encouraging fighting on the ice is not a profit-maximizing strategy. The results are quite robust when incorporating capacity constraints on attendance and exogenous ticket pricing. Other factors that determine club performance and market size were found to significantly affect attendance. The empirical results also suggest that NHL club owners are maximizing profit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 292-299 Issue: 4 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1078446 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1078446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:4:p:292-299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Beatriz Cu鬬ar-Fernᮤez Author-X-Name-First: Beatriz Author-X-Name-Last: Cu鬬ar-Fernᮤez Author-Name: Yolanda Fuertes-Call鮠 Author-X-Name-First: Yolanda Author-X-Name-Last: Fuertes-Call鮠 Author-Name: Carlos Serrano-Cinca Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Serrano-Cinca Author-Name: Bego񡠇uti鲲ez-Nieto Author-X-Name-First: Bego񡠍 Author-X-Name-Last: Guti鲲ez-Nieto Title: Determinants of margin in microfinance institutions Abstract: Microfinance institutions (MFIs) lend to the poor. However, microfinance clients suffer from high interest rates, a type of poverty penalty. This article analyses the margin determinants in MFIs. A banking model has been adapted to microfinance. This model has been tested using 9-year panel data. Some factors explaining bank margin also explain MFI margin, with operating costs being the most important factor. Specific microfinance factors are donations and legal status, as regulated MFIs can collect deposits. It has also been found that MFIs operating in countries with a high level of financial inclusion have low margins. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 300-311 Issue: 4 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1078447 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1078447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:4:p:300-311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harry M. Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: An economic analysis of the Cattlemen's Beef Promotion and Research Board demand-enhancing programmes Abstract: The research reported here addressed two objectives. The first objective was to measure the overall impact of the Cattlemen's Beef Board as well as eight-specific advertising, promotion and research activities on US beef demand. The second objective was to compute marginal benefit-cost ratios (BCRs) for the eight individual checkoff activities and for the overall programme. The results indicated that Cattlemen's Beef Board's Promotion activities increased total domestic beef demand by 15.7 billion pounds in total, or 2.1 billion pounds per year between 2006 and 2014. Collectively, the overall marginal BCR for all Cattlemen's Beef Board activities was $11.20. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 312-320 Issue: 4 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1078448 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1078448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:4:p:312-320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tobias Hiller Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Hiller Title: Excluded coalitions and the distribution of power in parliaments Abstract: In this article, we introduce a new value for cooperative games. This value is based on the Shapley (1953) value and takes into account that players exclude coalitions with other players. One example of such exclusions are the coalition statements of parliamentary parties. A case study demonstrates the application of the new value for these situations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 321-330 Issue: 4 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1078449 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1078449 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:4:p:321-330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rudra P. Pradhan Author-X-Name-First: Rudra P. Author-X-Name-Last: Pradhan Author-Name: Mak B. Arvin Author-X-Name-First: Mak B. Author-X-Name-Last: Arvin Author-Name: Neville R. Norman Author-X-Name-First: Neville R. Author-X-Name-Last: Norman Author-Name: Sara E. Bennett Author-X-Name-First: Sara E. Author-X-Name-Last: Bennett Title: Financial depth, internet penetration rates and economic growth: country-panel evidence Abstract: The article investigates causal relationships between internet penetration rates, financial depth and per capita economic growth in the Next-11 countries. Using panel vector autoregressive (VAR) approaches, our empirical results show that these variables are cointegrated. Moreover, we find bidirectional causality between internet penetration rates and economic growth, and between financial depth and economic growth in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 331-343 Issue: 4 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1078450 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1078450 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:4:p:331-343 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faik Bilgili Author-X-Name-First: Faik Author-X-Name-Last: Bilgili Author-Name: Nadide S. Tülüce Author-X-Name-First: Nadide S. Author-X-Name-Last: Tülüce Author-Name: Ibrahim Doğan Author-X-Name-First: Ibrahim Author-X-Name-Last: Doğan Author-Name: H. Hilal Bağlıtas Author-X-Name-First: H. Hilal Author-X-Name-Last: Bağlıtas Title: The causality between FDI and sector-specific production in Turkey: evidence from threshold cointegration with regime shifts Abstract: This article considers bidirectional nonlinear cointegration relation between FDI and industrial output in Turkey. The data cover the monthly period 2005:1-2013:10 for the time series of total industrial production, 36 sub-industrial sectors' production and FDI. Following nonlinear threshold cointegration and VECMs, the article yields that (i) total industrial production and nine sub-industrial productions have positive long-run impact on FDI with significant error corrections, (ii) six sub-industrial productions have short-term influence on FDI, (iii) FDI has long-run positive impulse on total industrial production and nine sub-industrial productions with some significant error corrections and (iv) FDI affects four sub-industrial productions in the short run as well as in the long run. The results of VECMs from (i) also reveal that the all short-term adjustment parameters are found significant and powerful in 10 typical regimes (Regime-1s) and in 5 extreme regimes (Regime-2s). Finally, the outcome of VECMs from (iii) yields that short-term adjustment parameters are found significant and powerful in two typical regimes and in four extreme regimes. Eventually, considering FDI's positive impact in the short and long run, this article suggests that policymakers promote specifically the FDI inflows to the sectors of intermediate goods, manufacture of beverages, manufacture of rubber and plastic and manufacture of other nonmetallic mineral products. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 345-360 Issue: 5 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1078451 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1078451 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:5:p:345-360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marie Bessec Author-X-Name-First: Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Bessec Author-Name: Julien Fouquau Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Fouquau Author-Name: Sophie Meritet Author-X-Name-First: Sophie Author-X-Name-Last: Meritet Title: Forecasting electricity spot prices using time-series models with a double temporal segmentation Abstract: The French wholesale market is set to expand in the next few years under European pressure and national decisions. In this article, we assess the forecasting ability of several classes of time-series models for electricity wholesale spot prices at a day-ahead horizon in France. Electricity spot prices display a strong seasonal pattern, particularly in France, given the high share of electric heating in housing during winter time. To deal with this pattern, we implement a double temporal segmentation of the data. For each trading period and season, we use a large number of specifications based on market fundamentals: linear regressions, Markov-switching (MS) models and threshold models with a smooth transition. An extensive evaluation on French data shows that modelling each season independently leads to better results. Among nonlinear models, MS models designed to capture the sudden and fast-reverting spikes in the price dynamics yield more accurate forecasts. Finally, pooling forecasts give more reliable results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 361-378 Issue: 5 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1080801 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1080801 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:5:p:361-378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tanveer Ahsan Author-X-Name-First: Tanveer Author-X-Name-Last: Ahsan Author-Name: Wang Man Author-X-Name-First: Wang Author-X-Name-Last: Man Author-Name: Muhammad Azeem Qureshi Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Azeem Author-X-Name-Last: Qureshi Title: Mean reverting financial leverage: theory and evidence from Pakistan Abstract: Grounding concepts of the two competing theories of capital structure (trade-off theory, pecking order theory) are quite opposite to each other. Trade-off theory claims that there is an optimal (target) capital structure and firms try to achieve that optimal (target) point. Whereas pecking order theory argues that there is no optimal (target) capital structure but the firms follow a specific pattern of financing. Using the two competing theoretic frameworks, this study applies Fisher-type panel unit root test to an unbalanced panel data of 13 115 firm-year observations of nonfinancial firms listed on Karachi Stock Exchange Pakistan spread over 38 years (1973-2010). Overall panel test results, for short-term, long-term, as well as total leverage support trade-off financing behaviour while individual firm results do not. Individual firm results show that only 16% of the firms have short-term target, 25% of the firms have long-term target and 12% of the firms have total target leverage ratio. Further, industry results explain that most of the industries do have target leverage ratios and classification of data into profitable and lossmaking firm-year observations explains that profitable firms clearly follow trade-off financing behaviour while the results for lossmaking firms do not support trade-off financing behaviour. Our study indicates that it is important for the government to ensure policies to develop well-balanced financial markets and to improve accountability systems. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 379-388 Issue: 5 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1080802 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1080802 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:5:p:379-388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Meyer Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Meyer Author-Name: Guanyi Yang Author-X-Name-First: Guanyi Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: How much versus who: which social norms information is more effective? Abstract: We conduct an experiment to investigate how different types of information about social norms affect individuals' stated contributions to a specific pro-environment program, a student 'green fee', in the context of a referendum. Compared to students that receive no information about peer contributions, on average, students that receive information about the dollar value range of contributions at peer institutions contribute less while students that learn about the high percentage of students voting 'yes' on green fee programs at peer institutions contribute more. The results are economically significant as the absolute values of both effects represent approximately 25% of average contributions. These results suggest that information about participation rates can be more effective than information about dollar amounts in encouraging contributions to environmental initiatives. Of interest to stated preference researchers, we find that results do not change when controlling for self-selection into survey completion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 389-401 Issue: 5 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1080803 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1080803 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:5:p:389-401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed Sultan Bin-Sariman Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Sultan Author-X-Name-Last: Bin-Sariman Author-Name: Azwadi Ali Author-X-Name-First: Azwadi Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Author-Name: Mohd Nazli Mohd Nor Author-X-Name-First: Mohd Nazli Mohd Author-X-Name-Last: Nor Title: Board of directors' quality and firms' debt financing: the moderating effect of insider ownership - evidence from Omani firms Abstract: This study aims to examine the direct effects of board of directors' quality and insider ownership on firms' capital structure and the moderating effect of insider ownership on the relationship between board of directors' quality and firms' capital structure. The sample of this study consists of the time period 2005-2011. The final sample consists of 535 firm-year observations of public nonfinancial firms listed on the Muscat Securities Market (MSM). The hypotheses are tested using a random effects model. The results reveal that the coefficient sign on the board of directors' quality is as predicted, but the coefficient sign is insignificant. Further, the results show that insider ownership is positively associated with leverage at the significant level of 10%, suggesting that the inside substantial shareholders employ higher leverage. With regard to the moderating effect of insider ownership, the findings show that the effect of the board of directors' quality-leverage relationship becomes negative and stronger with increasing insider ownership. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 402-410 Issue: 5 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1080804 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1080804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:5:p:402-410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emilio Congregado Author-X-Name-First: Emilio Author-X-Name-Last: Congregado Author-Name: Jesús Iglesias Author-X-Name-First: Jesús Author-X-Name-Last: Iglesias Author-Name: Jos頍ar𨁍illᮠ Author-X-Name-First: Jos頍ar𨀍 Author-X-Name-Last: Millᮠ Author-Name: Concepci󮠒omᮠ Author-X-Name-First: Concepci󮠍 Author-X-Name-Last: Romᮠ Title: Incidence, effects, dynamics and routes out of overqualification in Europe: a comprehensive analysis distinguishing by employment status Abstract: This study aims to improve our understanding of overqualification by incorporating distinctions in employment status (i.e. self-employed workers, private employees and public employees) in the analysis of the incidence, effects, dynamics and routes out of overqualification. To this end, we apply discrete choice - ordered and nonordered - and count models to the data obtained from the European Community Household Panel for the EU-15. Our results indicate that the incidence of overqualification varies by employment status, where self-employed workers report the lowest occurrence. Furthermore, this analysis suggests that overqualification is a permanent phenomenon and demonstrates that successful pathways out of overqualification differ by employment status. The implications of these results for education and labour market policies are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 411-445 Issue: 5 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1083080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:5:p:411-445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: E.A. Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: E.A. Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: Saad Albalawi Author-X-Name-First: Saad Author-X-Name-Last: Albalawi Author-Name: Moazzem Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Moazzem Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Title: Meat and fish consumption patterns in Saudi Arabia Abstract: This study analyses the demand for meat (beef, chicken and lamb) and fish in Saudi Arabia in a system-wide framework using data for the period 1985-2010. A preliminary data analysis reveals that, in Saudi Arabia, the relative consumption of beef, chicken and fish has a positive growth, while lamb has a negative growth. The average relative price growth rates of beef, chicken and fish are negative, while that of lamb is positive. The expenditure shares of beef, chicken and fish have increased while that of lamb has fallen. The estimation results of the demand system reveal that there is an autonomous trend out of lamb into beef, chicken and fish. The implied income elasticities indicate that beef, lamb and fish are considered to be luxuries, while chicken is a necessity. The demand for all meat products and fish are price inelastic. These elasticities are key inputs for policy analysts in terms of devising policies in relation to meat production, meat imports, taxation and food security issues in Saudi Arabia. The usefulness of the implied elasticities is demonstrated by simulating the consumption of beef, chicken, lamb and fish under various policy scenarios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 446-460 Issue: 5 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1083081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:5:p:446-460 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saeed Ghavidelfar Author-X-Name-First: Saeed Author-X-Name-Last: Ghavidelfar Author-Name: Asaad Y. Shamseldin Author-X-Name-First: Asaad Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Shamseldin Author-Name: Bruce W. Melville Author-X-Name-First: Bruce W. Author-X-Name-Last: Melville Title: Estimation of the effects of price on apartment water demand using cointegration and error correction techniques Abstract: Water price is a key instrument in regulating water demand in the residential sector. Many empirical studies have assessed the effects of price through quantifying the price elasticity of water demand. However, most of these studies have mainly focused on the single-family housing rather the multifamily housing. An in-depth understanding of the price elasticity of multifamily housing water demand is paramount for water planners in order to properly manage water use in the fast growing intensive housing developments in urban areas. This study investigates both the long-term and short-term price elasticities of water demand in the residential apartments in Auckland central city. Using 6 years of monthly time series data, the price elasticities were estimated through cointegration and error correction methods. The results showed that the price elasticities of water demand were - 0.14 and - 0.12 in the short term and the long term, respectively. The price is inelastic yet negative and statistically significant, thus it can play a role in demand management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 461-470 Issue: 6 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083082 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1083082 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:6:p:461-470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Li Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Peipei Mao Author-X-Name-First: Peipei Author-X-Name-Last: Mao Author-Name: Yanming Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yanming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Empirical research on the different innovation engine between China and US manufacturing using an improved method Abstract: Most studies arrive at controversial conclusions about the relationship between firm size and technological innovation. Industrial differences and subjective model design are generally considered the primary cause. In static comparisons across industries, dynamic industrial changes are ignored, but this might lead to differing results when attempting to identify the driving forces of evolutionary change in an industrial environment. This study applies nonparametric regression methods with an expansive industry grouping to overcome the industry-difference interference and empirical model error, typifying traditional studies. First, a comparative analysis of the forces driving US and Chinese manufacturing is performed. Results indicate that US and Chinese manufacturing are in different industrial growth stages. Chinese manufacturing takes the traditional elements and R&D input as its main driving factors, which require objectively, expansive scale of enterprise, therefore showing characteristic Schumpeterian innovation. US manufacturing is driven by both R&D and non-R&D inputs; so it can maintain continuous innovation through cooperative networks under conditions of constant or contracting firm size. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 471-482 Issue: 6 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083083 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1083083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:6:p:471-482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Callum Jones Author-X-Name-First: Callum Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Author-Name: Mariano Kulish Author-X-Name-First: Mariano Author-X-Name-Last: Kulish Title: A graphical representation of an estimated DSGE model Abstract: We write a New Keynesian model as an aggregate demand curve and an aggregate supply curve, relating inflation to output growth. The graphical representation shows how structural shocks move aggregate demand and supply simultaneously. We estimate the curves on US data from 1948 to 2010 and study two recessions: the 2001 recession and the Great Recession of 2008-2009. The Great Recession is explained by a collapse of aggregate demand driven by adverse preference and permanent technology shocks, and expectations of low inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 483-489 Issue: 6 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083084 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1083084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:6:p:483-489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Winston Moore Author-X-Name-First: Winston Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Author-Name: Adrian Glean Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Glean Title: Foreign exchange reserve adequacy and exogenous shocks Abstract: One of the traditional benchmarks in international macroeconomics is that a country should maintain reserves that can cover at least 12 weeks of imports. The notion of reserve adequacy, however, is not static and is intimately associated with the occurrence of financial crises as well as exogenous shocks, with many observers using the reduction in reserves below this benchmark as a sign of fragility. This article provides a benefit-cost type approach to evaluating reserve adequacy. The benefits of holding reserves are evaluated using a dynamic random effects probit model of financial crises while the cost of reserve holdings (output loss due to an over-investment in reserves) is obtained from a panel growth equation. Using the methodology outlined above, the study finds that in small states, the optimal holding of foreign exchange reserves is approximately 25 weeks of imports, approximately 13 weeks higher than the international rule-of-thumb. This estimate of optimal reserve holdings is interrelated with the economic characteristics of the country, particularly its fiscal stance. Indeed, this article finds that countries with a prudent public expenditure management framework in place are able to hold a smaller stock of reserves without necessarily impacting the expected growth for the country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 490-501 Issue: 6 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083085 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1083085 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:6:p:490-501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Prateek Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Prateek Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Vipul Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Vipul Title: Economic benefits of using realized covariance forecasts in risk-based portfolios Abstract: This article examines the economic benefit of using the realized covariance matrix forecasts, for constructing the risk-based portfolios. We use the two-scale realized covariance estimator (TSC), the jump robust two-scale realized covariance estimator (RTSC) and the realized bipower covariance estimator (BPC), to forecast the daily realized covariance matrix. Using these covariance matrix forecasts, we implement three risk-based portfolios: the global minimum variance portfolio, the equal risk contribution portfolio and the most diversified portfolio. There is evidence that the portfolio performance improves by using TSC or RTSC estimators as compared to the daily-returns-based estimator. The performance gains are robust to the choice of risk-based portfolio strategy, the degree of investor's relative risk-aversion, the market conditions and the choice of time intervals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 502-516 Issue: 6 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083086 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1083086 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:6:p:502-516 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc K. Chan Author-X-Name-First: Marc K. Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: Simon S. Kwok Author-X-Name-First: Simon S. Author-X-Name-Last: Kwok Title: Capital account liberalization and dynamic price discovery: evidence from Chinese cross-listed stocks Abstract: We analyse the effects of a recent financial reform (Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect) that enables cross-market investment between Hong Kong and Shanghai stock exchanges. Using a VECM, we find that the reform announcement considerably narrows the equilibrium level of price disparity and strengthens the price comovement of shares that are cross-listed in both markets. The estimated equilibrium relationship is in support of the relative law of one price. We find that both markets adjust in response to a disequilibrium in price disparity, leading to a sizeable error correction activity. The Shanghai market contributes to approximately two-thirds of the price discovery process. Competition and informativeness of trading affect the relative role of price discovery in each market. Finally, the reform implementation reinforces the long-run cointegration relationship and strengthens the short-run price comovements of cross-listed stocks despite the widening price disparity during the period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 517-535 Issue: 6 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083087 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1083087 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:6:p:517-535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harumi Ohmi Author-X-Name-First: Harumi Author-X-Name-Last: Ohmi Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Okimoto Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Okimoto Title: Trends in stock-bond correlations Abstract: Previous studies document the existence of long-run trends in comovements in the stock and bond markets. Following these findings, this article examines possible trends in stock-bond return correlations. To this end, we introduce a trend component into a smooth transition regression (STR) model including the multiple transition variables of Aslanidis and Christiansen (2012). The results indicate the existence of significant decreasing trends in stock-bond correlations for many advanced safer countries. In addition, although stock market volatility continues to be an important factor in stock-bond correlations, the short rate and yield spread become only marginally significant once we introduce the trend component. Our out-of-sample analysis also demonstrates that the STR model, including the volatility index and time trend as the transition variables, dominates other models. Furthermore, we find a significant increase in stock-bond correlations for riskier euro countries around the beginning of the euro crisis. Our findings of decreasing and increasing trends in stock-bond correlations can be considered a consequence of the decreasing effects of diversification and more intensive flight-to-quality behaviour that have taken place in recent years and after the euro crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 536-552 Issue: 6 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083088 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1083088 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:6:p:536-552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamad Khattar Awad Author-X-Name-First: Mohamad Khattar Author-X-Name-Last: Awad Author-Name: Bashar Zogheib Author-X-Name-First: Bashar Author-X-Name-Last: Zogheib Author-Name: Hamed M.K. Alazemi Author-X-Name-First: Hamed M.K. Author-X-Name-Last: Alazemi Title: On the optimality of escalating penalties for repeat offences against the academic honour code Abstract: Although academic dishonesty has a long history in academia, its pervasiveness has recently reached an alarming level. Academic dishonesty not only undermines the purpose of education and the assessment process but also threatens the creditability of academic records. We propose a framework for analysing students' behaviour with respect to academic policies and honour codes. We draw an analogy between law enforcement and academic integrity enforcement and highlight similarities and differences. The proposed framework captures major determinants of academic dishonesty reported in the literature, namely detection probability, punishment severity, class average and record of academic deviance. The framework models both students' development of nonacademic skills to improve their grades and teaching assistants' development of detection skills, which both affect the detection probability. Our analysis demonstrates that the optimality of escalating penalties is conditional on the offenders and academic policy enforcers learning. Use-case scenarios are presented to facilitate the implementation of our results in classrooms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 553-562 Issue: 7 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1078444 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1078444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:7:p:553-562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria E. de Boyrie Author-X-Name-First: Maria E. Author-X-Name-Last: de Boyrie Author-Name: Ivelina Pavlova Author-X-Name-First: Ivelina Author-X-Name-Last: Pavlova Title: Dynamic interdependence of sovereign credit default swaps in BRICS and MIST countries Abstract: This article examines the interactions of emerging markets sovereign credit default swaps (CDS). Using a generalized vector autoregressive framework and principal component analysis, we find significant spillover effects within the two groups of emerging markets under study. Using the principal component analysis, we show that global financial market factors are important drivers of BRICS and MIST sovereign CDS spreads variability. Focusing on the forecast error variance decomposition, most of the spillover effects are documented among the emerging markets CDS. Brazil and Mexico contribute the largest net directional spillovers to the other emerging markets studied.Highlights: There exist significant CDS spillover effects for MIST and BRICS countries.Mexico dominates the spillover effects within the MIST group while Brazil dominates the spillover effects within the BRICS group.As determined by principal component analysis, global financial market factors are important drivers of BRICS and MIST sovereign CDS spreads variability.There exists a relatively small net directional spillover from global financial market factors to the countries under study; however, the total spillover is time-varying.A large proportion of the forecast error variance in the markets studied comes from spillovers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 563-575 Issue: 7 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083089 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1083089 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:7:p:563-575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Am鬩e Charles Author-X-Name-First: Am鬩e Author-X-Name-Last: Charles Author-Name: Olivier Darn頍 Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Darn頍 Author-Name: Jae H. Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jae H. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Etienne Redor Author-X-Name-First: Etienne Author-X-Name-Last: Redor Title: Stock exchange mergers and market efficiency Abstract: The aim of this article is to examine the impact of stock exchange mergers on the degree of informational efficiency. For this purpose, we apply the generalized spectral shape test for the martingale difference hypothesis to the stock returns before and after the 31 domestic and cross-border mergers completed from 1997 to 2011. The test is conducted with moving subsample windows, allowing us to detect the periods of (in)efficiency, and thus to conduct a comparative analysis for pre-merger and post-merger periods. We find that higher levels of efficiency are less frequent than lower levels of efficiency after a stock exchange merger. We also find that the impact on the level of efficiency depends on a range of merger characteristics such as the level of development, size, geographical diversification and industrial diversification of stock exchange. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 576-589 Issue: 7 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083090 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1083090 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:7:p:576-589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. C. Montes Author-X-Name-First: G. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Montes Author-Name: L. V. Oliveira Author-X-Name-First: L. V. Author-X-Name-Last: Oliveira Author-Name: A. Curi Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Curi Author-Name: R. T. F. Nicolay Author-X-Name-First: R. T. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Nicolay Title: Effects of transparency, monetary policy signalling and clarity of central bank communication on disagreement about inflation expectations Abstract: The literature on transparency and central bank communication and the literature on disagreement about expectations are evolving; however, both have been evolving separately. Despite the advances in the literature, several key issues remain open and there are gaps to be filled. Therefore, this study analyses the effects of monetary policy signalling and clarity of central bank communication on disagreement about inflation expectations. It also investigates whether greater transparency coincides with lower levels of disagreement in inflation expectations in Brazil. The findings suggest that transparency is important to reduce disagreement about inflation expectations. Moreover, our estimates indicate that central bank communication and clarity affect disagreement about inflation expectations in Brazil. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 590-607 Issue: 7 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083091 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1083091 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:7:p:590-607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. Qushim Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Qushim Author-Name: J. Gillespie Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Gillespie Author-Name: K. Paudel Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Paudel Author-Name: K. Mcmillin Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Mcmillin Title: Technical and scale efficiencies of meat goat farms in the USA Abstract: This study determines i) scale and technical efficiencies, ii) marginal productive contributions for inputs and outputs and iii) efficiency drivers of meat goat farms in the USA. We estimate an input distance function (IDF) using a stochastic production frontier (SPF) technique. The average technical efficiency (TE) for the USA meat goat whole farm was 0.74. The operator education level, percentage of annual net farm income from the goat operation, regional differences and holding of an off farm job are the efficiency drivers of USA meat goat farms. We find increasing returns to scale (RTS) for USA meat goat farms. Our results suggest that USA meat goat farms can be scale efficient if their optimal size of operation is greater than approximately 64 goats or greater than 40 breeding does. Empirical Monte Carlo (MC) simulation techniques show the consistency of finite-sample properties for the input distance function. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 608-620 Issue: 7 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083531 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1083531 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:7:p:608-620 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mikio Ito Author-X-Name-First: Mikio Author-X-Name-Last: Ito Author-Name: Akihiko Noda Author-X-Name-First: Akihiko Author-X-Name-Last: Noda Author-Name: Tatsuma Wada Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuma Author-X-Name-Last: Wada Title: The evolution of stock market efficiency in the US: a non-Bayesian time-varying model approach Abstract: A non-Bayesian time-varying model is developed by introducing the concept of the degree of market efficiency that varies over time. This model may be seen as a reflection of the idea that continuous technological progress alters the trading environment over time. With new methodologies and a new measure of the degree of market efficiency, we examine whether the US stock market evolves over time. In particular, a time-varying autoregressive (TV-AR) model is employed. Our main findings are: (i) the US stock market has evolved over time and the degree of market efficiency has cyclical fluctuations with a considerably long periodicity, from 30 to 40 years; and (ii) the US stock market has been efficient with the exception of four times in our sample period: during the long recession of 1873-1879; the recession of 1902-1904; the New Deal era; and the recession of 1957-1958 and soon after it. It is then shown that our results are partly consistent with the view of behavioural finance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 621-635 Issue: 7 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1083532 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1083532 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:7:p:621-635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Wells Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Wells Author-Name: Roger Ham Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Ham Author-Name: P. N. (Raja) Junankar Author-X-Name-First: P. N. (Raja) Author-X-Name-Last: Junankar Title: An examination of personality in occupational outcomes: antagonistic managers, careless workers and extraverted salespeople Abstract: This article investigates the role of personality in the sorting of individuals between a number of occupations, allowing for an extensive array of conditioning variables. The focus is an examination of the relationship between occupational outcomes and personality using the 'five-factor model'. We estimate a multinomial logit model using a panel data set from the Household Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) survey. Human capital variables are found to exhibit strong credentialism effects and there is evidence for some small dynasty hysteresis. Personality effects are found to be significant, relatively large and persistent across all occupations. The personality effects are strong enough to rival that of various education credentials. These personality effects include but are not limited to managers being less agreeable and more antagonistic; labourers being less conscientiousness; and salespeople being more extraverted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 636-651 Issue: 7 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1085636 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1085636 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:7:p:636-651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bijou Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bijou Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: David Lester Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Lester Title: Personality traits and economic activity Abstract: Following Lynn's (1991) studying showing that the scores of undergraduate students in 43 countries on variables such as work ethic and achievement motivation predicted per capita income and economic growth rates in those countries, the present study explored whether the average scores of residents of the 50 states in the United States were associated with the gross state product. States whose residents scored higher on openness had higher gross state products while those whose residents scored higher in openness and lower on neuroticism had higher gross state products per capita. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 653-657 Issue: 8 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1085638 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1085638 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:8:p:653-657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhuwei Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhuwei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yucheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yucheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Lijie Yu Author-X-Name-First: Lijie Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Hui An Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: An Title: Relationship between initiative risk management and firm value: evidence from Chinese financial listed companies Abstract: This study considers 189 Chinese financial listed companies between 2009 and 2013 as research samples to establish indicators for evaluating the initiative risk management behaviour of financial enterprises. This work further examines the relationship between initiative risk management and firm value. Results show that financial enterprises could effectively increase firm value by taking initiative risk management measures, such as setting up departments or positions that specialize in risk management, using financial derivative instruments or engaging popular international accounting firms as audit institutions. Moreover, results reveal that the permeability of initiative risk management has an unstable effect on firm value, that is, a nonlinear relationship exists between the permeability of initiative risk management and firm value. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 658-668 Issue: 8 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1085639 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1085639 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:8:p:658-668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muthucattu Thomas Paul Author-X-Name-First: Muthucattu Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: James D. Kimata Author-X-Name-First: James D. Author-X-Name-Last: Kimata Title: The linkages, persistence, asymmetry in the volatility, the price discovery and efficiency, and the effect of the US subprime mortgage financial crisis on the spot and the futures market's returns: the case of India Abstract: This article examines the effects of persistence, asymmetry and the US subprime mortgage crisis on the volatility of the returns and also the price discovery, efficiency and the linkages and causality between the spot and futures volatility by using various classes of the ARCH and GARCH models, and through the Granger's causality. We have used two indices: one for spot and the other for futures, for the daily data from 12 June 2000 to 30 September 2013 from Nifty stock indices. We have then tested for ARCH effects, and subsequently employed various models of the ARCH and GARCH conditional volatility. The GARCH(1,1) model is found to be significant, and it implies that the returns are not autocorrelated and have 'short memory'. It supports the hypothesis of the efficiency of the markets. The negative 'news' has more significant effect on volatility, corroborating the 'leverage impact' in finance on market volatility. We have also tested the volatility spillover effects. The two methods we employed support the spillover effects and the causality is bidirectional. We also have used the dummy variable for the US subprime mortgage financial crisis and found that they are statistically significant. Indian stock market is thus integrated to the world stock markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 669-683 Issue: 8 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1085641 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1085641 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:8:p:669-683 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Author-Name: Zheng Fang Author-X-Name-First: Zheng Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: Returns to schooling for urban and migrant workers in China: a detailed investigation Abstract: We use a new data set, the 2009 Rural Urban Migration in China (RUMiC) to estimate returns to schooling in China using instrumental variable (IV) estimation. After identifying a set of instruments, we conduct comprehensive validity and relevance testing of different combinations of instruments as well as robustness analysis of our estimates for rural-to-urban migrants and urban residents in China. We find that our point estimates are in the 6-9% range for urban workers compared to 7-8% for migrant workers. Returns for men (at 8-9%) are slightly higher than for women (at 6-7%). Thus, private returns to education in urban China in 2009 were not as high as other transition and developing countries, but substantial and have increased over time. Comparing OLS and IV estimates, we also find that the attenuation bias due to measurement error is generally large and more important in the migrant sample compared to the urban sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 684-700 Issue: 8 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1085642 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1085642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:8:p:684-700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Author-Name: Rodrigo Zeidan Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Zeidan Title: Tacit collusion with imperfect monitoring in the Canadian manufacturing industry: an empirical study Abstract: This article undertakes a cross-sectoral analysis of a salient empirical implication of the model of tacit collusion advanced by Abreu, Pearce, and Stachetti (1986). Specifically, we assess the prevalence of a first-order Markovian process for alternating between price wars and collusive periods through nonparametric tests. The analysis focuses on 30 different industries in Canada. The evidence provides weak support for optimal collusion in one industry, which is consistent with the idea that such kind of collusive arrangements is unusual, or, if collusion is all too common, that price wars as deviations from collusion are rare. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 701-711 Issue: 8 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1085643 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1085643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:8:p:701-711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Constant I. Tra Author-X-Name-First: Constant I. Author-X-Name-Last: Tra Author-Name: Charles A. Towe Author-X-Name-First: Charles A. Author-X-Name-Last: Towe Title: The implications of the US renewable fuel standard programme for farm structure Abstract: We investigate the impact of the 2005 Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) on farm structure, particularly farm size. We rely on the salience of a new ethanol plant in a farmers' local neighbourhood to identify the impact of the RFS mandate on these spatially advantaged farms. To control for the nonrandom selection of ethanol production facilities, we utilize a propensity score matching estimator, and to remove impact of farm-level or market shifting unobservables resulting from shifts in commodity prices we employ a difference-in-difference (DD) matching approach. We estimate the treatment effect of an ethanol production facility on farm size prior to the RFS mandate and after the RFS programme. The effect of the RFS policy on farm size is obtained as the difference between these two DD matching estimators. Overall, our results suggest that the RFS programme raised the probability of farm size increase by roughly 12-18%, on average, for farms located within a 30-mile radius of new ethanol plants. In addition, the programme contributed to a net increase in farm size of 25-32%, on average, for those spatially advantaged farms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 712-722 Issue: 8 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1085644 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1085644 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:8:p:712-722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ya Yu Author-X-Name-First: Ya Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: C. Nicholas Mckinney Author-X-Name-First: C. Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Mckinney Author-Name: Steven B. Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven B. Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Athletic contests and individual robberies: an analysis based on hourly crime data Abstract: Using hourly data on individual robberies, this article employs a novel approach to investigate the relationship between athletic contests and individual robberies in Memphis, Tennessee, a well-known entertainment destination, with its iconic Beale Street locale, in the US. Empirical results indicate that home basketball games hosted by the NBA's Memphis Grizzlies and those hosted by the University of Memphis Tigers are associated with increases in individual robberies, while away games are not associated with such an increase. This finding is consistent with the hot spot theory of crime, as large numbers of individuals travel to the games, thus providing additional opportunities for crime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 723-730 Issue: 8 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1085645 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1085645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:8:p:723-730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yizheng Jin Author-X-Name-First: Yizheng Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Bin Li Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Author-Name: Victor Wong Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: Water as an investment: liquid yet illiquid! Abstract: The water industry is in great need of further large investments to address existing severe water shortages worldwide which requires the participation of private sector investors. This industry is heavily infrastructure based and is therefore saddled with fixed assets-in-place or illiquid assets. This exposes the industry to what is termed as 'illiquidity risk', and hence, investors in this industry should be compensated for bearing this risk with an appropriate return premium (i.e. extra return). In this study, we provide evidence as to whether illiquidity risk indeed significantly affects returns in this industry. We examine the case of all 76 firms that compose the five major global water indices. After controlling for other factors that impact on returns, our results suggest that asset illiquidity is positively associated with stock returns. Specifically, water firms with a larger proportion of illiquid assets-in-place are observed to have greater stock returns than those with a smaller proportion of illiquid assets. Our results have important implications for the financing of water-related projects particularly those which involve the participation of investors from the private sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 731-745 Issue: 9 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1085646 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1085646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:9:p:731-745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudia Schwirplies Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Schwirplies Author-Name: Andreas Ziegler Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Ziegler Title: Offset carbon emissions or pay a price premium for avoiding them? A cross-country analysis of motives for climate protection activities Abstract: This article contributes to the economic literature on pure and impure public goods by considering two alternatives for contributing to the public good climate protection: offsetting carbon emissions from conventional consumption or paying higher prices for climate-friendly products. We empirically examine a wide range of motives and their impact on individuals' choice in favour of these two alternatives relying on data from representative international surveys. Our results indicate that environmental awareness, warm glow motives and the desire to set a good example have the most robust effects on both climate protection activities in Germany and the United States. However, some motives differ considerably between both alternatives and the two countries. A green identity enhances the willingness to pay a price premium for climate-friendly goods or services in Germany, while social norms seem to be of much higher relevance in the United States. Our results further suggest that the choice of climate protection activities, especially of carbon offsetting, entails a high degree of uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 746-758 Issue: 9 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1085647 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1085647 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:9:p:746-758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Schaffer Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Schaffer Author-Name: Mark Wheeler Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Wheeler Title: The impact of housing market disturbances on the US financial system: a pre-crisis analysis Abstract: A common critique of the Federal Reserve over the past crisis is that it should have better anticipated the impact of the run-up in home mortgage debt and the subsequent housing market crash on the financial system. As a result, the Federal Reserve should have moved much more quickly to shore up financial markets. Our article tests the hypothesis that the impact of the housing market crash on the financial system could have been anticipated. Using a VAR model along with impulse response functions and variance decompositions, we examine the link between housing market mortgage debt shocks and the financial intermediaries' credit market behaviour. We find important connections between key macroeconomic variables and the credit behaviour of these financial institutions. However, using the pre-crisis data, we find that housing market debt shocks fail to have an impact on the credit markets accessed by these firms. These results support the notion that the impact of this crisis on the financial system could not have been anticipated given the information available at the time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 759-771 Issue: 9 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1088138 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1088138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:9:p:759-771 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hubert Dichtl Author-X-Name-First: Hubert Author-X-Name-Last: Dichtl Author-Name: Wolfgang Drobetz Author-X-Name-First: Wolfgang Author-X-Name-Last: Drobetz Author-Name: Martin Wambach Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Wambach Title: Testing rebalancing strategies for stock-bond portfolios across different asset allocations Abstract: We compare the risk-adjusted performance of stock-bond portfolios between rebalancing and buy-and-hold across different asset allocations by reporting statistical significance levels. Our investigation is based on a 30-year dataset and incorporates the financial markets of the United States, the United Kingdom and Germany. To draw useful recommendations to investment management, we implement a history-based simulation approach which enables us to mimic realistic market conditions. Even if the portfolio weight of stocks is very low, our empirical results show that a frequent rebalancing significantly enhances risk-adjusted portfolio performance for all analysed countries and all risk-adjusted performance measures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 772-788 Issue: 9 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1088139 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1088139 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:9:p:772-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jianhua Mi Author-X-Name-First: Jianhua Author-X-Name-Last: Mi Author-Name: Hong Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Author-Name: Cassandra Elrod Author-X-Name-First: Cassandra Author-X-Name-Last: Elrod Title: Financing, reputation and information disclosure quality in the Chinese market Abstract: In this article, we propose a theoretical model based on the reputation theory and hypothesize a positive relation between the information disclosure quality and the company's refinancing decision. We collected data from the listed companies, which refinances in Shenzhen main board and SME board during 2006-2012, as a panel sample, and tested the hypothesis empirically. The results indicate that there exists a significant positive correction short-term relation between refinancing decision and the information disclosure quality, but in the long term the relationship between the information disclosure quality and refinancing decision is not significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 789-798 Issue: 9 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1088140 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1088140 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:9:p:789-798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Pino Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Pino Author-Name: J. D. Tena Author-X-Name-First: J. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Tena Author-Name: Antoni Espasa Author-X-Name-First: Antoni Author-X-Name-Last: Espasa Title: Geographical disaggregation of sectoral inflation. Econometric modelling of the Euro area and Spanish economies Abstract: This article studies the performance of different modelling strategies for 969 and 600 monthly price indexes disaggregated by sectors and geographical areas in Spain, regions and in the Euro Area 12 (EA12) countries. We also provide, by means of spatial bi-dimensional vector equilibrium correction models for all pairs of prices between neighbours, a description of spatial cointegration restrictions that could be useful for understanding price setting within an economy. We study the relevance of the regional disaggregation by using the proposed models to forecast the corresponding headline inflation and testing whether it is more accurate than alternative forecasts based on aggregated models. The results for Spain show that this is the case. Country disaggregation forecasts are also reliable for the EA12, but only because derived headline inflation forecasting is not significantly worse than alternative forecasts. The models in this article can be used for competitive analysis and other macro and regional analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 799-815 Issue: 9 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1088141 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1088141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:9:p:799-815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carla Fernandes Author-X-Name-First: Carla Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandes Author-Name: Paulo M. Gama Author-X-Name-First: Paulo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gama Author-Name: Elisabete Vieira Author-X-Name-First: Elisabete Author-X-Name-Last: Vieira Title: Does local and Euro area sentiment matter for sovereign debt markets? Evidence from a bailout country Abstract: Does sentiment impact the sovereign debt markets? This article investigates whether lagged domestic and Euro area irrational sentiment (optimism or pessimism unwarranted by fundamentals) predicts future sovereign bond spreads, in Portugal, between January 2000 and December 2013. We find that domestic and Euro area sentiment negatively forecasts total return spreads and that this effect is stronger during the bailout period. Also, we find that the business sentiment is even most noticed. Therefore, Portuguese sovereign debt market is prone to the influence of investors' sentiment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 816-834 Issue: 9 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1088142 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1088142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:9:p:816-834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariya Gubareva Author-X-Name-First: Mariya Author-X-Name-Last: Gubareva Author-Name: Maria Rosa Borges Author-X-Name-First: Maria Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Borges Title: Typology for flight-to-quality episodes and downside risk measurement Abstract: We propose a total return-based framework to measure downside risk associated with phenomenon of capital outflows from riskier to safer financial markets. The proposed method consists of three elements: (i) the general definition of the flight-to-quality (FtQ) phenomenon, (ii) the typological classification of the flight-to-quality occurrences for associating them with the phases of the business cycle and (iii) the automated technique to diagnose the time frames and to measure the impact of flight-to-quality on financial instruments. The proposed framework is applied to analyse the global-scale capital inflows/outflows from emerging markets public debt to the US Treasuries and vice versa. The results show that different phases of business cycles and GDP growth rates, including turning points, could be associated with flights-to-quality of different types and causality origins. Addressing downside risk crystallizations in flight-to-quality occurrences, new perspectives of integrated interest rate risk and credit risk management are discussed. For strengthening financial stability, we suggest the use of flight-to-quality windows as scenarios for stress testing, both for banks and financial institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 835-853 Issue: 10 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1088143 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1088143 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:10:p:835-853 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Young Bin Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Young Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Author-Name: Yoichi Tsuchiya Author-X-Name-First: Yoichi Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuchiya Title: Directional analysis of consumers’ forecasts of inflation in a small open economy: evidence from South Korea Abstract: We evaluate the directional accuracy of consumers’ forecasts of inflation in predicting the movement of the actual CPI in a small open economy. In order to do so, we use a method developed by Pesaran and Timmermann (2009), based on South Korean data. By illustrating an application of the new market-timing test, we show that consumers’ expectations of inflation are not a useful predictor of the CPI in South Korea. Our findings suggest that the directional accuracy of consumers’ 1-year-ahead forecasts of inflation is not affected by the inflation targeting of the Bank of Korea. Our findings also suggest that consumers’ 1-year-ahead forecasts of inflation are scattered away from the Bank of Korea’s inflation target. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 854-864 Issue: 10 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1088144 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1088144 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:10:p:854-864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Ana Venâncio Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Venâncio Title: The relevance of commuting zones for regional spending efficiency Abstract: We use data envelopment analysis (DEA) efficiency scores to show that clustering municipalities into encompassing regional clusters improves spending efficiency of single stand-alone municipalities. We propose a new geographic aggregation based on municipalities-to-municipalities commuting flows, defined using hierarchical cluster analysis. Our example for Portugal shows that from an output-oriented perspective between 83% and 98% of municipalities would increase their efficiency scores, while from an input-oriented perspective between 86% and 98% of municipalities would also be better off in terms of efficiency. Then using a linear regression model, we find that population increases positively affects the efficient scores (via scale economies). Also, increases in the share of high-educated and poorer residents leads to higher efficiency scores. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 865-877 Issue: 10 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1088145 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1088145 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:10:p:865-877 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pan Tang Author-X-Name-First: Pan Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Belal E. Baaquie Author-X-Name-First: Belal E. Author-X-Name-Last: Baaquie Author-Name: Xin Du Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Ying Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Linearized Hamiltonian of the LIBOR market model: analytical and empirical results Abstract: The linearized Hamiltonian model is proposed to extend the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) Market Model (LMM). Firstly, we studied the Hamiltonian of LMM in the framework of quantum finance, and the nontrivial upper triangle form of LIBOR drift is derived. The linearized Hamiltonian is derived to improve the explanatory capability of the model for market data. Our approach uses one more parameter to explain the initial condition and the model can be used to calibrate LIBORs with extremely high accuracy. Furthermore, the market time index is required for applying the model to multi-LIBOR, and the results imply that the LIBOR future time lattice becomes shorter as one goes from near future to distant future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 878-891 Issue: 10 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1090546 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1090546 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:10:p:878-891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaewoon Koo Author-X-Name-First: Jaewoon Author-X-Name-Last: Koo Author-Name: Yunxing Song Author-X-Name-First: Yunxing Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: The relationship between income inequality and aggregate saving: an empirical analysis using cross-country panel data Abstract: If the rich save more than the poor, an increase in income inequality raises aggregate saving. We investigate whether income inequality is positively related to aggregate saving ratio by estimating a fixed-effect model based on a panel data of 48 countries for the period 1991--2010. We find evidence that aggregate saving ratio increases with income inequality using various inequality measures. In particular, the effect of income distribution on saving is greater and statistically more significant with in financially developed, rich and OECD countries. It suggests that the rich save much more than the poor under advanced financial system and in a rich country. We also find that the relationship between income inequality and saving ratio is closer in the 2000s than the 1990s. This finding may result from financial development and the high income level in the 2000s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 892-901 Issue: 10 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1090548 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1090548 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:10:p:892-901 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James J. Kung Author-X-Name-First: James J. Author-X-Name-Last: Kung Title: A nonparametric kernel regression approach for pricing options on stock market index Abstract: Previous options studies typically assume that the dynamics of the underlying asset price follow a geometric Brownian motion (GBM) when pricing options on stocks, stock indices, currencies or futures. However, there is mounting empirical evidence that the volatility of asset price or return is far from constant. This article, in contrast to studies that use parametric approach for option pricing, employs nonparametric kernel regression to deal with changing volatility and, accordingly, prices options on stock index. Specifically, we first estimate nonparametrically the volatility of asset return in the GBM based on the Nadaraya--Watson (N--W) kernel estimator. Then, based on the N--W estimates for the volatility, we use Monte Carlo simulation to compute option prices under different settings. Finally, we compare the index option prices under our nonparametric model with those under the Black--Scholes model and the Stein--Stein model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 902-913 Issue: 10 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1090549 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1090549 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:10:p:902-913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thai-Ha Le Author-X-Name-First: Thai-Ha Author-X-Name-Last: Le Title: Dynamics between energy, output, openness and financial development in sub-Saharan African countries Abstract: This study aims to establish the connection between energy use, economic output, financial development and trade, based on the panel data of 15 sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries during the period from 1983 to 2010. One full main panel and two subpanels were created by incorporating low-income and middle-income countries. The panel cointegration test results indicate a long-run relationship between the variables. The mean group (MG) estimators show that energy consumption, financial development, capital and international trade have significant impacts on economic output. In the case of middle-income countries, the Granger causality analysis reveals that rising economic output leads to higher energy consumption, but this is not true vice versa. This means that energy conservation measures are unlikely to have adverse impacts upon economic output. On the other hand, there is a complementary relationship between financial development and energy consumption. In this case, energy conservation measures should be critically analysed and implemented, so as not to have an unfavourable impact on financial development. In regard to low-income economies, there is no relationship between energy use and any of the other variables mentioned. Thus, a reduction in energy consumption has little or no significant impact on output, financial development, capital and trade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 914-933 Issue: 10 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1090550 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1090550 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:10:p:914-933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Svetlana Fedoseeva Author-X-Name-First: Svetlana Author-X-Name-Last: Fedoseeva Title: Same currency, different strategies? The (asymmetric) role of the exchange rate in shaping European agri-food exports Abstract: AbstractThis article uses a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NADRL) model introduced by Shin, Yu, and Greenwood-Nimmo (2014) to assess the role that the exchange rate plays in shaping European agri-food exports after the introduction of the Euro. Although the 10 countries of this study share the same currency (and thus a single nominal exchange rate with the US), cross-country discrepancies of exports’ reactions to exchange rate changes are evident. Moreover, I find that exchange rate changes influence exports asymmetrically in the long run. Euro appreciations are harmful to a lesser extent than Euro depreciations are beneficial for European agri-food exports. The magnitude of this effect is country-specific and varies considerably between individual exporting countries. Exported quantities are less affected by exchange rate fluctuations than export values, which is in line with local currency price stabilization strategies of the exporters. This finding is interpreted as a sign of an incomplete exchange rate pass-through due to strategic (asymmetric) markup adjustments by firms with heterogeneous productivity. Besides that, the outcomes suggest that nonprice competition might be in play in some cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1005-1017 Issue: 11 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1090557 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1090557 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:11:p:1005-1017 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ficawoyi Donou-Adonsou Author-X-Name-First: Ficawoyi Author-X-Name-Last: Donou-Adonsou Author-Name: Sokchea Lim Author-X-Name-First: Sokchea Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: An empirical analysis of remittance flows into West African Economic and Monetary Union: a panel time-series approach Abstract: ABSTRACTThe article empirically analyses the motivations and long-run economic outcomes of remittance inflows into the West African Economic and Monetary Union. Using Westerlund’s (2007) ECM for panel time series and data spanning 1975--2011, the results show that there is no evidence of a long-run impact of remittances on income per capita in the region. The inflows seem to be motivated by investment, but the money may be used to promote consumption instead. This phenomenon could be characterized by information asymmetry between migrants and the recipients. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1018-1029 Issue: 11 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1093080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1093080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:11:p:1018-1029 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meltem Ucal Author-X-Name-First: Meltem Author-X-Name-Last: Ucal Author-Name: Alfred Albert Haug Author-X-Name-First: Alfred Albert Author-X-Name-Last: Haug Author-Name: Mehmet Hüseyin Bilgin Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Hüseyin Author-X-Name-Last: Bilgin Title: Income inequality and FDI: evidence with Turkish data Abstract: ABSTRACTThis article explores how foreign direct investment (FDI) and other determinants impact income inequality in Turkey in the short- and long-run. We apply the nonlinear auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) modelling approach, which is suitable for small samples. The data for the study cover the years from 1970 to 2008. The empirical results indicate the existence of a co-integration relationship among the variables with asymmetric adjustment of the income distribution in the short- and long-run. The negative impact of FDI on the Gini coefficient, decreasing income inequality, is statistically significant in the short- and long-run, though with a quantitatively small impact in both cases. In the short run, GDP growth increases inequality initially, an effect that is reversed in the next period, increases in domestic gross capital formation decreases inequality, and increases in the literacy rate have very minor adverse effects on income equality. However, in the long run these variables have no statistically significant effects on the Gini coefficient. A reduction in the population growth rate reduces inequality in the short run but has no effect in the long run, whereas an increase in the rate reduces inequality in the long run but has no effect in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1030-1045 Issue: 11 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1093081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1093081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:11:p:1030-1045 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Navina Lucke Author-X-Name-First: Navina Author-X-Name-Last: Lucke Author-Name: Stefan Eichler Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Eichler Title: Foreign direct investment: the role of institutional and cultural determinants Abstract: ABSTRACTUsing panel data for 29 source and 65 host countries in the period 1995--2009, we examine the determinants of bilateral FDI stocks, focusing on institutional and cultural factors. The results reveal that institutional and cultural distance is important and that FDI has a predominantly regional aspect. FDI to developing countries is positively affected by better institutions in the host country, while foreign investors prefer to invest in developed countries that are more corrupt and politically unstable compared to home. The results indicate that foreign investors prefer to invest in countries with less diverse societies than their own. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 935-956 Issue: 11 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1090551 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1090551 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:11:p:935-956 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Javed Iqbal Author-X-Name-First: Javed Author-X-Name-Last: Iqbal Author-Name: Misbah Nosheen Author-X-Name-First: Misbah Author-X-Name-Last: Nosheen Title: Commodity trade between Pakistan and the US: is there evidence of the J-curve? Abstract: ABSTRACTA few studies that have attempted to estimate the short-run (J-curve) and long-run impact of exchange rate depreciation on Pakistan’s trade balance are either based on aggregate trade data between Pakistan and the rest of the world or between Pakistan and her bilateral trading partners. The findings are mixed at best. Considering the trade balance between Pakistan and the US, as one of its major partners, no significant effects have been discovered. Suspecting that the trade flows between the two countries could suffer from another aggregation bias, we disaggregate their trade flows by commodity and consider the trade balance of 45 industries that trade between the two countries. We find significant short-run effects of currency depreciation on the trade balance of 17 industries. The short-run effects last into the long run in 15 cases. The largest industry that account for more than 10% of the trade seems to benefit from real depreciation in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 957-965 Issue: 11 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1090552 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1090552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:11:p:957-965 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cécile Couharde Author-X-Name-First: Cécile Author-X-Name-Last: Couharde Author-Name: Serge Rey Author-X-Name-First: Serge Author-X-Name-Last: Rey Author-Name: Audrey Sallenave Author-X-Name-First: Audrey Author-X-Name-Last: Sallenave Title: External debt and real exchange rates’ adjustment in the euro area: new evidence from a nonlinear NATREX model Abstract: ABSTRACTIn this article, we revisit medium- to long-run real exchange rate determination within the euro area, focusing on the role of external debt. Accordingly, we rely on the NATural Real EXchange rate (NATREX) approach which provides an explicit framework of the external debt--real exchange rates nexus. In particular, given the indebtedness levels reached by the euro area economies, we investigate potential nonlinearity in real exchange rates dynamics, according to the level of the external debt. Our results evidence that during the monetary union, gross and net external debt positions of the euro area countries have exerted pressures on real exchange rate dynamics within the area. Moreover, we find that, beyond a threshold reached by the external debt, euro area countries are found to be in a vulnerable position, leading to an unavoidable adjustment process. Nevertheless, the adjustment process, while effective, is found to be low and occurs slowly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 966-986 Issue: 11 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1090554 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1090554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:11:p:966-986 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yonghong An Author-X-Name-First: Yonghong Author-X-Name-Last: An Author-Name: Kai Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Rong Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Health spending and public pension: evidence from panel data Abstract: ABSTRACTThis article empirically investigates the determinants of aggregate health expenditure in a panel of OECD countries from 1980 to 2005. We differ from most existing studies by testing some new determinants motivated by recent theoretical advances in the literature. We find that a one percentage increase in public pension payments per elderly person leads to approximately a one third percentage increase in aggregate health spending, and this effect is significant and robust across a variety of model specifications. A back of the envelope calculation based on this estimate suggests that the expansion of the public pension programme on average accounts for approximately over one fifth of the rise in aggregate health expenditure as a share of GDP in the set of OECD countries during 1980--2005. In addition, we find that the estimated effect of GDP per capita in our model ranges from 0.66 to 0.80, which is consistent with the results from some recent studies, and thus further reinforces the finding in the literature that health care is not a luxury good. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 987-1004 Issue: 11 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1090556 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1090556 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:11:p:987-1004 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Kesternich Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Kesternich Title: Minimum participation rules in international environmental agreements: empirical evidence from a survey among delegates in international climate negotiations Abstract: Recent contributions to the theoretical and experimental literature suggest that minimum participation rules (MPRs) are able to reduce free-riding incentives and may facilitate cooperation (or at least coordination) at the extensive margin of international environmental agreements. Based on a data set from a worldwide survey among delegates in international climate negotiations, this article assesses preferences for different MPRs for a future climate treaty among key players. The empirical findings provide evidence that small countries with low bargaining power rather opt for large minimum membership requirements while industrialized countries push forward the idea of a small carbon club of the largest emitters only. In contrast, delegates from countries in transition try to keep emission thresholds rather low which would allow a future agreement to come into force without their signature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1047-1065 Issue: 12 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1093082 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1093082 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:12:p:1047-1065 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: João Paulo Vieito Author-X-Name-First: João Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Vieito Author-Name: Wing-Keung Wong Author-X-Name-First: Wing-Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Author-Name: Zhen-Zhen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhen-Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Could the global financial crisis improve the performance of the G7 stocks markets? Abstract: Financial crises are normally associated with negative effects on financial markets. In this article, we investigate whether the most recent global financial crisis (GFC) had any positive impact on the G7 (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States) indices. To conduct the analysis we employ the mean--variance (MV) analysis, CAPM statistics, Hurst exponent, runs test, multiple variation ratio test and stochastic dominance (SD) tests. Our MV and CAPM results conclude that most of the G7 stock indices are significantly less volatile. The results from Hurst exponent, run tests and multiple variation ratio confirm that efficiency improved in the post-GFC period. Finally, our SD results conclude that there is no arbitrage opportunity and the markets are efficient due to the GFC, and, in general, investors prefer investing in the indices after the GFC. Overall, we conclude that the GFC led to markets that are more efficient and mature, confirming that crises can also have positive impacts on stock markets. These findings provide important information for investors and market regulators. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1066-1080 Issue: 12 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1093083 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1093083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:12:p:1066-1080 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manuel Ventura-Marco Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Ventura-Marco Author-Name: Carlos Vidal-Meliá Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Vidal-Meliá Title: Integrating retirement and permanent disability in NDC pension schemes Abstract: In this article, we develop a theoretical basis for integrating retirement and permanent disability using a generic nonfinancial defined contribution framework. The methodology we use relies on a multistate overlapping generations model that includes the so-called survivor dividend. Currently, this feature can only be found in the Swedish defined contribution (DC) scheme. The results achieved in the numerical example we present endorse the fact that the model works well. Special attention is given to the assumptions made about mortality rates for disabled people and disability incidence rates, which largely determine the contribution rate assigned to disability. The model could be of interest to policymakers because, after some adaptations, it could be implemented without too much difficulty and would uncover the real cost of disability and minimize the risk of disability insurance being used as a vote-buying mechanism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1081-1102 Issue: 12 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1093084 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1093084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:12:p:1081-1102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Iselin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Iselin Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Title: Using newspapers for tracking the business cycle: a comparative study for Germany and Switzerland Abstract: The use of news-based data for tracking the real economy has gained popularity recently as newspapers archives have become accessible and the need for timely information has soared. In this article, on the basis of keyword searches in newspaper articles we construct several versions of the so-called Recession-word Index (RWI) for Germany and Switzerland and exploit its use for forecasting. Our main findings are the following. First, we show that augmenting benchmark autoregressive models with the RWI leads to improvement in accuracy of one-step-ahead forecasts of GDP growth compared with those obtained by benchmark models. Second, the accuracy of out-of-sample forecasts obtained with models augmented with the RWI is comparable to that of models augmented with established economic indicators, such as the Ifo Business Climate Index and the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany, and the KOF Economic Barometer and the Purchasing Managers Index in manufacturing for Switzerland. Our results are robust to changes in estimation/forecast samples, the use of rolling versus expanding estimation windows and the inclusion of a web-based recession indicator from Google Trends. As our indices are timely and simple to construct, they could be replicated in countries or regions where no reliable economic indicators exist or their provision is very costly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1103-1118 Issue: 12 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1093085 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1093085 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:12:p:1103-1118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Author-Name: Vicente Mendoza Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Mendoza Title: QARMA-Beta-t-EGARCH versus ARMA-GARCH: an application to S&P 500 Abstract: Statistical performance and out-of-sample forecast precision of ARMA-GARCH and QARMA-Beta-t-EGARCH are compared. We study daily returns on the Standard and Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) index and a random sample of 50 stocks from the S&P 500 for period May 2006 to July 2010. Competing models are estimated for periods before and during the US financial crisis of 2008. Out-of-sample point and density forecasts are performed for periods during and after the US financial crisis. The results provide evidence of the superior in-sample statistical and out-of-sample predictive performance of QARMA-Beta-t-EGARCH. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1119-1129 Issue: 12 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1093086 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1093086 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:12:p:1119-1129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Author-Name: Takuji Kinkyo Author-X-Name-First: Takuji Author-X-Name-Last: Kinkyo Title: Financial development and financial openness nexus: the precondition of banking competition Abstract: We examine the dynamic relationship between financial development and financial openness using the pooled mean group estimator developed by Pesaran et al. (1999). Our results show that financial openness has a positive effect on financial development in the long run, but may have a negative effect in the short run. Using estimates of country-specific short-run coefficients, we also find that the adverse short-run effects of financial openness are associated with a lower degree of banking competition. The system GMM estimator also supports these findings, suggesting that the financial development and financial openness nexus is contingent on the degree of banking competition. A key policy implication is that a higher degree of banking competition is a precondition for financial openness to promote financial development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1130-1139 Issue: 12 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1093087 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1093087 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:12:p:1130-1139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Geertsema Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Geertsema Author-Name: Christoph Rainer Schumacher Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Rainer Author-X-Name-Last: Schumacher Title: Parimutuel contests with strategic risk-sensitive bettors Abstract: Existing models in the parimutuel betting literature typically explain betting data by either assuming a single, representative bettor with certain risk preferences or by assuming that a number of risk neutral bettors compete strategically within a game theoretic framework. We construct a theoretical framework of parimutuel markets in which we model both strategic interaction and individual bettor risk preferences, distinguishing between sophisticated insiders and recreational outsiders. We solve this model analytically for the optimal insider betting amount in a static symmetric Nash equilibrium. A new data set of 126 million individual horse race bets in New Zealand from 2006 to 2014 allows us to calibrate the model. We find that insiders (those betting $100 or more) outperform outsiders by 7.5% in terms of realized returns. The best fit of the model to the data is obtained when insiders are assumed to be risk neutral and to have an information advantage of 0.08 in probability terms. This finding provides empirical support for the common assumption of risk neutrality in strategic interaction models of parimutuel betting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1140-1158 Issue: 12 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1093088 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1093088 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:12:p:1140-1158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Bello Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Bello Author-Name: Awudu Abdulai Author-X-Name-First: Awudu Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulai Title: Measuring heterogeneity, survey engagement and response quality in preferences for organic products in Nigeria Abstract: The identification of the market potentials of organic products is important in the drive towards a sustainable agricultural development in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). However, available evidence shows that valuing attributes of credence goods (such as organic products) while using stated preference methods faces additional obstacles compared to other normal goods. In this study, we examine consumers’ preferences and willingness-to-pay (WTP) for health and environmental attributes of organic products in Nigeria. We employ an approach that allows us to adequately capture the value of organic products by linking part of the heterogeneity across respondents to differences in scale, while making use of indicators of survey engagement, without risks of endogeneity bias and measurement error that arise from the deterministic methods. The empirical results show that market for organic products exists in Nigeria, with reduction in pesticide residues attribute attracting the highest value, followed by the certification programme. Furthermore, we observe that increases in the latent engagement variable lead to a greater probability of agreement with statements relating to survey understanding and realism, and hence more substantive output. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1159-1171 Issue: 13 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1093089 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1093089 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:13:p:1159-1171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Shuai Gao Author-X-Name-First: Shuai Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Fei Yang Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Impact of split share structure reform on capital structures: empirical evidence from China’s listed companies Abstract: An econometric model based on a natural experiment and the difference-in-differences method is introduced to empirically investigate the impact of split share structure reform on capital structures. A total of 1026 listed companies in Chinese A-share during 2001--2011 are used as the sample for the research and interest-bearing debt ratios (BDRs) are taken as a representative indicator for capital structures. The theoretical and empirical analysis indicates that both market expansion effect and corporate governance effect caused by the split share structure reform are associated with an increase in BDR. As far as the timeliness is concerned, the effects of split share structure reform on capital structures will last 3--4 years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1172-1181 Issue: 13 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1096000 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1096000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:13:p:1172-1181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shabbir Ahmad Author-X-Name-First: Shabbir Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad Author-Name: Abid A. Burki Author-X-Name-First: Abid A. Author-X-Name-Last: Burki Title: Banking deregulation and allocative efficiency in Pakistan Abstract: This article examines the impact of deregulation policies on allocative efficiency of banks in Pakistan. It investigates whether deregulation has impacted the pattern of allocative efficiency of banks and explores which bank ownership segment has been more responsive. It uses data from 1991 to 2005 and explicitly models allocative inefficiency by using the translog shadow cost-share system. Empirical results show that overregulation and imperfect market structure hampers the ability of banks to make competitive decisions. We find evidence of allocative inefficiency leading to over-utilization of labour and deposits vis-à-vis operating cost. Empirical results for time-varying allocative efficiency show declining levels of allocative inefficiency for state-owned and private banks in post-reform period. Deregulation policies induce state-owned banks to decrease over-utilization of labour relative to deposits and operating cost while private banks succeed in using operating cost closer to optimal levels. Hence, policymakers have latitude to introduce more reforms without jeopardizing allocative efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1182-1196 Issue: 13 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1096001 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1096001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:13:p:1182-1196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syouching Lai Author-X-Name-First: Syouching Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Hungchih Li Author-X-Name-First: Hungchih Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Bin Li Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Does corporate governance still affect firm performance after controlling the distress factor? Abstract: We explore the impact of corporate governance on firm performance. We first identify whether corporate governance can still be an influential factor or has been largely captured by the traditional Fama-French three-factor model. More importantly, our study adds a financial distress factor to the Fama-French three-factor model to form a four-factor pricing model (labelled as the ‘financial distress four-factor model’). We find that for the US Russell 1000 firms, the financial distress four-factor model is the better model of the two models considered. We further find that the financial distress four-factor model has a higher explanatory power in capturing the return variation. We find that the differences between the return of firms with good (weak) corporate governance and the expected return are insignificantly different from zero for most portfolios in all the two models. The financial distress four-factor model, however, has the fewer portfolios with return difference being significantly different from zero, implying that corporate governance has been better priced in the financial distress factor. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1197-1209 Issue: 13 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1096003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1096003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:13:p:1197-1209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimos S. Kambouroudis Author-X-Name-First: Dimos S. Author-X-Name-Last: Kambouroudis Author-Name: David G. McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David G. Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Title: Does VIX or volume improve GARCH volatility forecasts? Abstract: This article considers whether the inclusion of two additional variables can improve volatility forecasts over a standard GARCH-based model. We consider three alternative ways of incorporating the volatility index (VIX) and trading volume as exogenous variables within a selection of GARCH models. We are particularly interested in whether these variables have additional incremental forecast power over and above the baseline GARCH specification. Our results suggest that both the VIX and volume do provide some additional forecast power, and this is generally improved when considering both of these series jointly in the model. However, while the results may be statistically significant the gain is marginal and the coefficient values small. Moreover, in a horse race exercise VIX does not outperform the GARCH approach. In answering the question of whether VIX produces better forecasts than the GARCH model, then the answer is no, but the informational content of VIX cannot be ignored and should be incorporated into forecast regressions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1210-1228 Issue: 13 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1096004 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1096004 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:13:p:1210-1228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Füsun Yenilmez Author-X-Name-First: Füsun Author-X-Name-Last: Yenilmez Author-Name: Nuray Girginer Author-X-Name-First: Nuray Author-X-Name-Last: Girginer Title: Comparison of indicators of women’s labour between Turkey and EU member states by employing multidimensional scaling analysis and clustering analysis Abstract: At present, because of social, cultural and economic changes, women support the economies of their countries by their status as workers. In this research, we aim at comparing the status of Turkey in terms of indicators of women in the labour force with that of EU countries, thereby revealing the similarities and differences. The variables indicating women in the labour forces of the 28 EU countries and Turkey were analysed utilizing multidimensional scaling analysis (MDSA) and clustering analysis (CA).According to the MDSA, the countries form three different groups in two-dimensional space. The clusters formed by the CA are congruent with the groups formed according to the MDSA. When compared with EU members, Turkey has very low values, particularly in terms of the ratio of working women, the ratio of jobless females who are primary or secondary school graduates and the ratio of women who are senior high school graduates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1229-1239 Issue: 13 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1096005 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1096005 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:13:p:1229-1239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hu Mei Author-X-Name-First: Hu Author-X-Name-Last: Mei Author-Name: Zehui Zhan Author-X-Name-First: Zehui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhan Author-Name: Fong Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Fong Author-Name: Ting Liang Author-X-Name-First: Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Zicheng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Zicheng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Planned behaviour of tourism students’ entrepreneurial intentions in China Abstract: This research aims to investigate the influence of planned behaviour and personal variables on entrepreneurial intention in order to explain and improve low entrepreneurial intention among tourism students in China. A total of 109 tourism students were surveyed to find the key factors affecting their entrepreneurial intention by factor analysis. The six hypotheses were then tested in a sample of 267 Chinese tourism students. According to structural equation modelling (SEM), it was found that there are statistically significant relationships between personal attitude, subjective norm, perceived behavioural control and entrepreneurial intention. Multi-group analysis further showed that there are differences between personal attitude, subjective norm and perceived behavioural control according to different personal variables. The results highlight the importance of taking a subdividing approach when researching the factors that influence entrepreneurial intention. Thus, we believe a number of implications about the most effective role of creating entrepreneurial atmosphere from universities, enhancing tourism students’ self-efficacy, and setting student-centred policies in promoting and developing entrepreneurial intention. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1240-1254 Issue: 13 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1096006 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1096006 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:13:p:1240-1254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Belén González-Díaz Author-X-Name-First: Belén Author-X-Name-Last: González-Díaz Author-Name: Rosario Gandoy Author-X-Name-First: Rosario Author-X-Name-Last: Gandoy Title: Offshoring and employment structure in the EU periphery: the case of Spain Abstract: The effects of offshoring of production have received a great deal of interest due to their implications on labour markets. However, the main theoretical predictions related to this issue are not always fulfilled in the empirical analysis; according to the Stolper--Samuelson theorem, there seems to be unanimous support for its effects in advanced countries whose production is relocated but not at all for recipient economies of the same. Additionally, there is a lack of empirical evidence in countries specialized in unskilled-labour tasks which are, at the same time, economies with higher relative wages in a global framework such as the Spanish economy. In this sense, the aim of this article is to analyse the effects of material offshoring in the relative composition of employment in the Spanish manufacturing industry during the period 1990--2007. Furthermore, we investigate the effects of immigrant labour and the temporary employment rate due to its increasing relevance in the Spanish economy during the period analysed. Using a generalized methods of moments (GMM) approach, our results suggest that, as opposed to most developed countries, offshoring in Spain has favoured the demand for blue-collar workers. In addition, we confirm that the increase in immigration and the increasing use of temporary contracts have enlarged the share of low-skilled workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1255-1270 Issue: 14 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1096007 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1096007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:14:p:1255-1270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Barbi Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Barbi Author-Name: Silvia Romagnoli Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Romagnoli Title: Optimal hedge ratio under a subjective re-weighting of the original measure Abstract: In this article we study a risk-minimizing hedge ratio with futures contracts, where the risk of the hedged portfolio is measured through a spectral risk measure (SRM), thus incorporating the degree of agent’s risk aversion. We empirically estimate the optimal hedge ratio (OHR) using a long time series of UK and US equity indices, the EURUSD and EURGBP exchange rates and four liquid commodities (Brent crude oil, corn, gold and copper), to represent different asset classes. Comparing the results with common OHRs (such as the minimum variance and the minimum expected shortfall), we find that the agent’s risk aversion has a material impact, and should not be ignored in risk management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1271-1280 Issue: 14 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1096008 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1096008 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:14:p:1271-1280 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frederick Dongchuhl Oh Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Dongchuhl Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Kyung Suh Park Author-X-Name-First: Kyung Suh Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Corporate governance structure and product market competition Abstract: This article assesses the effects of the competitive structure of a product market on a firm’s corporate governance structure. Our model demonstrates that shareholders strategically determine the corporate governance structure, including the manager’s stock ownership and his controlling power over the firm, in order to maximize their utility in the product market competition. We find that the manager’s stock ownership is lower and his controlling power over the firm is higher when the firm’s product is more profitable or when competition within the product market is more severe. The inefficiency of the wealth transfer from shareholders to the manager also affects the corporate governance structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1281-1292 Issue: 14 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1096009 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1096009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:14:p:1281-1292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marizah Minhat Author-X-Name-First: Marizah Author-X-Name-Last: Minhat Author-Name: Nazam Dzolkarnaini Author-X-Name-First: Nazam Author-X-Name-Last: Dzolkarnaini Title: Is executive compensation a substitute governance mechanism to debt financing and leasing? Abstract: This study examines whether and how CEO equity incentives relate to financing choices (i.e., debt and leases). Using manually collected CEO compensation and lease data for a sample of large UK firms, we found evidence of a negative relationship between CEO equity incentives and firm leverage. We also found that CEO equity incentives and leases are negatively related. The results are consistent with the theory introduced in this study on the substitutability of executive compensation and firm’s debt/lease financing. Our findings represent fresh empirical evidence and renewed interpretation regarding the relationship between executive equity-based incentives and firm’s financing choices. The substitutability theory we introduced here suggests that firms with greater use of debt and/or leases will implement less equity-based compensation in mitigating the agency cost of equity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1293-1302 Issue: 14 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1100247 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1100247 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:14:p:1293-1302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steffen Otterbach Author-X-Name-First: Steffen Author-X-Name-Last: Otterbach Author-Name: Alfonso Sousa-Poza Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa-Poza Title: Job insecurity, employability and health: an analysis for Germany across generations Abstract: In this article, we use 12 waves of the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP) to examine the relationship between job insecurity, employability and health-related well-being. Our results indicate that being unemployed has a strong negative effect on life satisfaction and health. They also, however, highlight the fact that this effect is most prominent among individuals over the age of 40. A second observation is that job insecurity is also associated with lower levels of life satisfaction and health, and this association is quite strong. This negative effect of job insecurity is, in many cases, exacerbated by poor employability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1303-1316 Issue: 14 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1100248 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1100248 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:14:p:1303-1316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bruno Karoubi Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Karoubi Author-Name: Régis Chenavaz Author-X-Name-First: Régis Author-X-Name-Last: Chenavaz Author-Name: Corina Paraschiv Author-X-Name-First: Corina Author-X-Name-Last: Paraschiv Title: Consumers’ perceived risk and hold and use of payment instruments Abstract: Consumer decisions regarding retail payment instruments entail private and social costs. Due to these social costs, policymakers are increasingly trying to understand the determinants of consumer payment choices as documented by the European Central Bank’s regular publications. This article contributes to this understanding by investigating the role of perceived risk. Based on an original survey of French consumers, we measure the effects of perceived risk on the decisions to hold and use the main retail payment instruments: cash, card and cheque. We point to the sequential dependence of the decisions to hold and use a payment instrument, and study jointly both decisions. The bivariate analysis based on risk factors shows that unavailability risk and time risk have the greatest transverse influence on holding and using payment instruments. Our results, robust to controlling for consumer characteristics, confirm their propensity for a quick-to-use and constantly available payment instrument. We discuss the relevance of our results for policy making purposes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1317-1329 Issue: 14 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1100249 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1100249 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:14:p:1317-1329 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Carvalho Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Carvalho Author-Name: Rabindra Nepal Author-X-Name-First: Rabindra Author-X-Name-Last: Nepal Author-Name: Tooraj Jamasb Author-X-Name-First: Tooraj Author-X-Name-Last: Jamasb Title: Economic reforms and human development: evidence from transition economies Abstract: Do market-oriented economic reforms result in higher levels of human well-being? This article studies the impact of macro-level institutional and infrastructure reforms on the economic, educational and health dimensions of human well-being among 25 transition economies. We use panel data econometrics based on the LSDVC technique to analyse the effects of market-oriented reforms on the human development index (HDI), as a measure of human well-being, from 1992 to 2007. The results show the complexity of reform impacts in transition countries. They show that institutional and economic reforms led to positive economic effect and significant impacts on other dimensions of human development. We find some positive economic impacts from infrastructure sectors reforms. However, not every reform measure appears to generate positive impacts. Large-scale privatizations show negative effects in health and economic outcomes. The overall results show the importance of the interaction among different reform measures and the combined effect of these on human development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1330-1347 Issue: 14 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1100251 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1100251 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:14:p:1330-1347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Author-Name: Ilker Kaya Author-X-Name-First: Ilker Author-X-Name-Last: Kaya Title: Do financial indicators have directional predictability for US home sales? Abstract: This study investigates the directional predictability of financial indicators for home sales across tranquil (1984--2005) and volatile (1972--1983 and 2006--2013) periods. We find that the mortgage rate has directional predictability for both existing and newly built home sales for up to 2005. The federal funds rate generally has directional predictability for existing (newly built) home sales in 1984--2005 (1972--1983). The term spread has directional predictability for home sales in 1972--1983 but generally not in the tranquil period of 1984--2005. Further, unlike mortgage and federal funds rates, the term spread has directional predictability for home sales in 2006--2013 and thus can help the Fed with useful information (assuming that this trend continues). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1349-1360 Issue: 15 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1100253 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1100253 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:15:p:1349-1360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jungwoo Shin Author-X-Name-First: Jungwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Author-Name: Yeunjoong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yeunjoong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Heekoo Nam Author-X-Name-First: Heekoo Author-X-Name-Last: Nam Author-Name: Youngsang Cho Author-X-Name-First: Youngsang Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: Economic evaluation of healthcare technology improving the quality of social life: the case of assistive technology for the disabled and elderly Abstract: Public investments in healthcare technology for the disabled and elderly to improve the quality of social life have been vigorous, but the economic evaluation of the assistive technology is still lacking. Under this circumstance, the purpose of this study is to analyse the socio-economic value of developing assistive technologies with the potential to improve the quality of social life, especially for disabled and elderly individuals. Based on a survey of 400 respondents, the spike model, a special form of the contingent valuation method (CVM) is applied to assess the value of assistive technologies. In Korea, a household’s willingness-to-pay (WTP) for the development of assistive technologies is US$4.26 per year, on average, in the form of a government-levied tax; although many people express zero WTP for the development of these technologies, people with higher household savings, higher levels of education and higher levels of charity donations have a higher WTP for the development of assistive technology. We conclude that although assistive technologies have considerable economic value many people express zero WTP for the development of these technologies. Therefore, political and social educational efforts are necessary to reach social consensus on the government investment in such technologies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1361-1371 Issue: 15 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1100254 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1100254 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:15:p:1361-1371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Lucia Florez-Jimenez Author-X-Name-First: Maria Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Florez-Jimenez Author-Name: Julian A. Parra-Polania Author-X-Name-First: Julian A. Author-X-Name-Last: Parra-Polania Title: Forward guidance with an escape clause: when half a promise is better than a full one Abstract: Using a three-equation New Keynesian model we find that incorporating an escape clause (EC) into forward guidance (FG) is welfare improving as it allows the monetary authority to avoid cases in which the cost of reduced flexibility is too high. The EC provides the central bank with another instrument (additional to the promised policy rate), the announced threshold. The greater the size of the recessionary shock the lower the optimal promised rate and the higher the optimal threshold (i.e. the higher the probability of delivering the promised rate). While FG with an EC is better than discretion for facing any zero-lower bound (ZLB) situation, unconditional FG performs better than discretion only in the most extreme of ZLB events. Furthermore, even for very large recessionary shocks it is not optimal to make unconditional promises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1372-1381 Issue: 15 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1100256 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1100256 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:15:p:1372-1381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeungbo Shim Author-X-Name-First: Jeungbo Author-X-Name-Last: Shim Author-Name: Eun-Joo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Eun-Joo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seung-Hwan Lee Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: A new test procedure for the choice of dependence structure in risk measurement: application to the US and UK stock market indices Abstract: The choice of an appropriate dependence structure in modelling multivariate risks is an important issue because different tail structure embedded in copula leads to a different capital requirement for the institution. We present how to select a well-specified dependence structure to given application data. Using a simple simulation technique, we develop a statistical test to assess the adequacy of a specific dependence structure. We examine the sensitivity of risk estimates to the choice of copulas using the S&P 500 and FTSE 100 stock indices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1382-1389 Issue: 15 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1100257 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1100257 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:15:p:1382-1389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barbara Dluhosch Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Dluhosch Author-Name: Thorsten Hens Author-X-Name-First: Thorsten Author-X-Name-Last: Hens Title: A rigorous approach to business services offshoring and North--North trade Abstract: Advances in information and communication technologies (ICTs) have gained economy-wide importance and raised concerns that even within North--North trade neither services nor high-skilled labour may be sheltered from international competition. Rather, both may be increasingly susceptible to offshoring. We present a novel theoretical framework for analysing offshoring with a focus on skilled labour in managing value-added chains. Thoroughly modelling demand and supply allows to explicitly track cause and effects. Accordingly, effects of business service offshoring are completely different and more diverse than those of material offshoring, with the effects inter alia depending on whether triggered by trade integration or ICT. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1390-1401 Issue: 15 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1100259 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1100259 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:15:p:1390-1401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anton Bekkerman Author-X-Name-First: Anton Author-X-Name-Last: Bekkerman Author-Name: Gregory Gilpin Author-X-Name-First: Gregory Author-X-Name-Last: Gilpin Title: Crime and punishment: the role of student body characteristics in schools’ disciplinary behaviours Abstract: Discretion in schools’ discipline choices can provide an efficient and effective misconduct management structure, but could lead to discipline based on unrelated factors. Consequently, schools’ disciplinary decisions can significantly limit students’ access to education by removing students from familiar learning environments. We investigate schools’ disciplinary decisions for serious misconducts and show that punishments are more severe in schools that do not report misconducts to local law enforcement agencies. Moreover, we show that schools that report fewer misconducts to law enforcement impose more severe punishments when the student body is characterized as having a higher proportion of minority students, lower socioeconomic status students and a higher proportion of students who are below the 15th percentile of standardized test scores. These results suggest that between-school punishment differentials are associated with student body traits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1402-1415 Issue: 15 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1100260 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1100260 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:15:p:1402-1415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daisuke Tsuruta Author-X-Name-First: Daisuke Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuruta Title: Natural or unnatural selection? The end of lending relationships for small businesses Abstract: We investigate the situation where small business borrowers and banks end their lending relationships. If credit allocation is efficient, banks terminate their relationships with risky borrowers. Alternatively, small business borrowers are more likely to end their relationships when they have poor investment opportunities and do not require borrowed funds. However, if the soft budget constraints of banks or credit crunches are a significant problem, banks are likely to continue their relationships with risky firms or end their relationships with nonrisky firms, which is representative of an unnatural credit allocation. Using Japanese firm-level data, we show empirically that these relationships end naturally, with natural credit allocation supported even during the recent global financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1416-1428 Issue: 15 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1100262 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1100262 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:15:p:1416-1428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Ping Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: GenFu Feng Author-X-Name-First: GenFu Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Shao-Lin Ning Author-X-Name-First: Shao-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Ning Title: Does higher government debt link to higher social expenditure? New method, new evidence Abstract: Scholars believe that higher social expenditures are usually linked with higher government debts, whereas higher debts reduce social expenditures. However, it is reasonable to speculate that higher government debt may contribute to higher social spending, while fiscal deficits occur during a recession, which commonly creates greater demand for social expenditure. For a deeper investigation, this paper revisits the dynamic relationship between social spending and public debts in the time-frequency domain, using the novel wavelet-coherency analysis as well as the phase-difference technique to derive the co-moved and causal relationships between social spending and public debts in 13 OECD countries. The evidence identifies a dynamic relationship between variables. While higher social expenditures increase government debts, the shocks from government debts to social expenditures are conversely uncertain. We discover that higher government debt does reduce social expenditures, but it may be linked to higher social spending. The robustness of partial coherency and phase-difference discovers the role of a political party in the decision over social welfare programmes in the sample countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1429-1451 Issue: 16 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1044745 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1044745 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:16:p:1429-1451 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Scott W. Hegerty Author-X-Name-First: Scott W. Author-X-Name-Last: Hegerty Author-Name: Dan Xi Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Xi Title: Third-country exchange rate volatility and Japanese--US trade: evidence from industry-level data Abstract: As an important economic power globally as well as within Asia, Japan is susceptible to fluctuations in the yen versus both the dollar and its neighbours’ currencies. The resulting risk, from both sources, might, therefore, have important effects on Japanese trade. This study incorporates third-country exchange rate volatility (both yen-renminbi and dollar-renminbi) into a reduced form trade model for industry trade between the US and Japan. As was the case with a previous study that did not include these effects, our cointegration analysis finds that most industries are unaffected by risk. Third-country effects are, however, significant in a number of cases. Interestingly, a large share of US industries find that exports increase due to third-country risk, suggesting that this volatility is encouraging traders to reorient their trade markets by substitution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1452-1462 Issue: 16 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1100264 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1100264 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:16:p:1452-1462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ignacio Cazcarro Author-X-Name-First: Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Cazcarro Author-Name: Rosa Duarte Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Duarte Author-Name: Julio Sánchez Chóliz Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Sánchez Chóliz Author-Name: Cristina Sarasa Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Sarasa Author-Name: Ana Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Serrano Title: Modelling regional policy scenarios in the agri-food sector: a case study of a Spanish region Abstract: The agri-food industry has several features of great importance for sustainable economic growth in rural areas. The objective of this work is to evaluate the effects associated with different scenarios of growth, and changes in the regional agri-food industry. These scenarios simulate changes in exports and imports, changes in technology and changes in the level of industrial integration. We develop a computable general equilibrium model calibrated for the region. Our results indicate that policies trying to improve the competitiveness and dynamism of strategic sectors as the agro-industrial complex in this regional economy exert positive effects on its growth and income, having notable impacts on local job markets but also in other sectors and activities linked through the whole production chain. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1463-1480 Issue: 16 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1102842 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1102842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:16:p:1463-1480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ankinée Kirakozian Author-X-Name-First: Ankinée Author-X-Name-Last: Kirakozian Title: The determinants of household recycling: social influence, public policies and environmental preferences Abstract: Our article aims at understanding the determinants of households’ selective waste-sorting behaviours, based on data from an original survey of 694 individuals in the French Provence--Alpes--Côte d’Azur region. The applied literature focuses mainly on countries with high recycling rates. We focus on a region with the lowest recycling rate in France, a country that recycles less than the European country average. We first apply polychoric principal components analysis to reduce the number of explanatory variables to a set of six factors. In a second step, we use a probit model to estimate the probability of waste sorting as a function of these factors. This model tests several hypotheses emerging from the recent literature on behavioural economics applied to households’ selective sorting. This literature pays particular attention to the social influence on recycling behaviour, which has been studied mostly by sociologists and psychologists. The results of our empirical analysis confirm some of the findings in the literature. However, they also highlight some unique features, such as social influences having a negative impact on recycling. This finding contrasts with most of the literature, which finds a positive relationship of social influence on pro-environmental behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1481-1503 Issue: 16 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1102843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1102843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:16:p:1481-1503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ann Veiderpass Author-X-Name-First: Ann Author-X-Name-Last: Veiderpass Author-Name: Maureen McKelvey Author-X-Name-First: Maureen Author-X-Name-Last: McKelvey Title: Evaluating the performance of higher education institutions in Europe: a nonparametric efficiency analysis of 944 institutions Abstract: Although a long tradition exists of studying the economics of education, performance comparisons of different kinds have traditionally been difficult to undertake. An important impediment has been the lack of comparable data. To a large extent, this study remedies the shortcomings of earlier studies. Our contribution is twofold. First, the current higher education policy of contraction and economizing, common to most European countries, make knowledge of potential efficiency gains crucial. Second, a unique database allows us to study a broad diversity of organizations as well as organizations located in a number of different European countries. The study suggests evaluating higher education institution (HEI) performance in a production theory context, applying the well-known data envelopment analysis (DEA) method to a cross section of 944 HEIs in 17 European countries. The DEA approach is particularly suitable in this context where little is known about production technologies and economic behaviour of the HEIs. On average, provision of education is found to be most efficient in the Slovak Republic followed by Belgium and Latvia, while Denmark and Norway display the lowest efficiency. The study also indicates a positive relation between efficiency and HEI size and efficiency and research intensity. Furthermore, the study points to the importance of continued data collection. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1504-1514 Issue: 16 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1102844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1102844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:16:p:1504-1514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuhuan Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Yuhuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Song Wang Author-X-Name-First: Song Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jiaqin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jiaqin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Zhonghua Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhonghua Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Ya Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ya Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Input-output analysis of carbon emissions embodied in China-Japan trade Abstract: Energy-related CO2 emissions embodied in international trade have been widely studied by researchers all over the world. By using the bilateral trade input--output (BTIO) approach, this study investigates the CO2 emissions embodied in China--Japan trade during 1995--2009 and attempts to identify the driving forces for the change in CO2 emissions embodied in China’s exports to Japan during that period by using structural decomposition analysis (SDA). Result shows that CO2 emissions embodied in China’s exports increased by about 100% from 1995 to 2009, whereas those embodied in China’s imports increased by about 500% during the same period. Result of this research also reveals that the scale effect had a large influence on the increase in CO2 emissions embodied in China--Japan trade. The technical effect greatly decreased CO2 emissions embodied in China’s exports to Japan, but obviously increased those embodied in imports. The influence of the structural effect was relatively small and insignificant in the change of CO2 emissions embodied in China’s exports to Japan, but was notable in the change of emissions embodied in imports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1515-1529 Issue: 16 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1102845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1102845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:16:p:1515-1529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Łukasz Goczek Author-X-Name-First: Łukasz Author-X-Name-Last: Goczek Author-Name: Bartosz Witkowski Author-X-Name-First: Bartosz Author-X-Name-Last: Witkowski Title: Determinants of card payments Abstract: Although the development of the card payment system allows for lowering the costs of money circulation and thereby leads to significant economic gains, relatively small amount of research has been dedicated to the analysis of the determinants of this development. Therefore, the aim of the article is to seek cross-country determinants of retail card payments focusing on trust in the system. The article concentrates on two econometric models. One is constructed with the use of representative population survey data for Poland, the other is based on panel data from the EU countries in the years 2000--2012. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1530-1543 Issue: 16 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1102846 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1102846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:16:p:1530-1543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yener Kandogan Author-X-Name-First: Yener Author-X-Name-Last: Kandogan Title: Economic development, cultural differences and FDI Abstract: The literature has long analysed the effects of national cultural distance on the volume of cross-border FDIs. Considering the increase in significance of FDI originating from developing countries, this study compares the effect of cultural differences on the stock of FDI from and to countries of various levels of economic development to explain how economic development affects the impact of cultural distance on FDI. Results suggest that the cultural differences tend to be bigger barriers for multinationals from developing countries, but they also learn quickly how to deal with such differences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1545-1559 Issue: 17 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1102847 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1102847 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:17:p:1545-1559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheng Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Does simplifying divorce and marriage registration matter? Evidence from China Abstract: This article evaluates the marital consequences of easier access to divorce and marriage by exploiting a major policy change in China that simplifies both. I first use a regression discontinuity design to examine the short-run effect and find that simplified registration immediately triggered more and faster divorces and marriages. In estimating the long-run effect, I adopt a difference-in-differences strategy that further exploits cross-sectional variation in urbanization rate. Results indicate that the positive effect on marital outcomes, especially on marriage rate, persisted in the medium run for 4 years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1560-1572 Issue: 17 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1102848 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1102848 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:17:p:1560-1572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hojin Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hojin Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Li Qin Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Title: Linear time-varying regression with a DCC-GARCH model for volatility Abstract: This article provides a new linear state space model with time-varying parameters for forecasting financial volatility. The volatility estimates obtained from the model by using the US stock market data almost exactly match the realized volatility. We further compare our model with traditional volatility models in the ex post volatility forecast evaluations. In particular, we use the superior predictive ability and the reality check for data snooping. Evidence can be found supporting that our simple but powerful regression model provides superior forecasts for volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1573-1582 Issue: 17 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1102853 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1102853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:17:p:1573-1582 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miroslav Verbič Author-X-Name-First: Miroslav Author-X-Name-Last: Verbič Author-Name: Marko Ogorevc Author-X-Name-First: Marko Author-X-Name-Last: Ogorevc Title: Ownership and corporate wage policy: the signal and its strength Abstract: We argue that identification and proper specification of ownership links among firms is an important factor and is affecting firm performance on different dimensions. We focus on the corporate wage policy, where we show that firms with same stockholders have similar average labour costs after controlling for standard factors of the wage equation. Moreover, we propose new measures of stockholders’ ability to influence firms’ decision; signal and its strength. The signal measures stockholder’s preferences over a given corporate policy, while the strength function describes stockholder’s ability to influence a firms’ corporate policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1583-1590 Issue: 17 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1103037 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1103037 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:17:p:1583-1590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syed Hasanat Shah Author-X-Name-First: Syed Hasanat Author-X-Name-Last: Shah Author-Name: Mohsin Hasnain Ahmad Author-X-Name-First: Mohsin Hasnain Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad Author-Name: Qazi Masood Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Qazi Masood Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: The nexus between sectoral FDI and institutional quality: empirical evidence from Pakistan Abstract: This study investigates short- and long-run bidirectional causality between institutional quality and sectoral-level FDI in Pakistan by using the ARDL technique. The results confirm that long-run bidirectional causality exists between institutional quality and aggregate FDI. The in-depth sectoral-level FDI analysis substantiates the presence of long-run bidirectional causality between institutional quality and FDI in services and manufacturing sectors, while no long-run causality is observed between institutional quality and FDI inflows in primary sector. Furthermore, the results in the study reveal short-run bidirectional causality only between institutional quality and manufacturing FDI and report insignificant short-run causal link between institutional quality and FDI in primary and services sectors. The overall findings of the study suggest that in the long-run institutional quality attract FDI and FDI inflows, particularly to manufacturing and services sectors, significantly enhance the quality of institutions in Pakistan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1591-1601 Issue: 17 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1103039 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1103039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:17:p:1591-1601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hestia Jacomina Stoffberg Author-X-Name-First: Hestia Jacomina Author-X-Name-Last: Stoffberg Author-Name: Gary van Vuuren Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: van Vuuren Title: Asset correlations in single factor credit risk models: an empirical investigation Abstract: The internal ratings--based (IRB) approach (based on a single risk factor model) was designed by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) to determine banks’ regulatory credit risk capital. Key inputs of the model -- asset correlations -- are prescribed by the regulator; relevant banks must use them for capital determination. To ascertain whether these correlations are too onerous or too lenient, empirical asset correlations embedded in loss data spanning different loss milieu were backed out of the regulatory model. Static and rolling correlations over a period of time were compared with the prescribed correlations for developed and developing economies and found to be significantly more conservative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1602-1617 Issue: 17 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1103040 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1103040 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:17:p:1602-1617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Divya Srivastava Author-X-Name-First: Divya Author-X-Name-Last: Srivastava Author-Name: Alistair McGuire Author-X-Name-First: Alistair Author-X-Name-Last: McGuire Title: The determinants of access to health care and medicines in India Abstract: This article explores the issue of demand for health care and medicines in India where household share of total health expenditure is one of the highest among high- and low-income countries. Previous work found that important determinants include health status, socio-demographics, income and demand for care was inelastic. Compared with previous studies, this article uses large household data sets including data on medicine expenditure to explore health-seeking behaviour. Count models find that determinants include health status, socio-demographic information, health insurance, household expenditure and government regulation. Elasticities range from −0.13 to 0.03 and are generally consistent with literature findings. For inpatient care, conditional on having at least one hospitalization, the expected number of hospitalizations increases with being male and household expenditure. Medicine expenditure accounts for a large share of household health expenditure. Low-income individuals could experience problems and raises important policy implications on the demand and supply side to improve access to health care and medicines for patients in India. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1618-1632 Issue: 17 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1105921 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1105921 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:17:p:1618-1632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gerald Granderson Author-X-Name-First: Gerald Author-X-Name-Last: Granderson Author-Name: Helen Tauchen Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Tauchen Title: The impacts of membership in multi-hospital systems on cost, productivity growth and technical change Abstract: We examine whether affiliation in a multi-hospital system contributes to higher rates of total factor productivity (TFP) growth, technological progress and cost efficiency. With a 1996 to 1999 panel of 248 US hospitals (some are private nonprofit (church-related and other nonprofit) and the remaining are public (government, nonfederal)), empirical results indicate that urban system member hospitals experienced higher rates of both TFP growth and technical progress than the rates of TFP growth and technical progress experienced by urban nonsystem hospitals. Rural system member hospitals experienced smaller rates of both TFP decline and technical regress than the rates of TFP decline and technical regress experienced by rural nonsystem hospitals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1633-1646 Issue: 18 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1105922 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1105922 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:18:p:1633-1646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre Nguimkeu Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Nguimkeu Title: Some effects of business environment on retail firms Abstract: This paper empirically tests how formal retail entrepreneurs’ perception about the business environment in Cameroon affects the performance of the retail sector. I use business owners’ responses from the 2009 Enterprise Survey to estimate an econometric model that corrects for heteroscedasticity. The results show that regulation costs, corruption, credit constraints, and lack of infrastructure negatively affect the gross margins of firms. In contrast, the competition of the informal sector -- perceived by many formal entrepreneurs as a major constraint -- is positively associated with the gross margins of formal firms. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1647-1654 Issue: 18 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1105923 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1105923 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:18:p:1647-1654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Lopatta Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopatta Author-Name: M. Tchikov Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Tchikov Title: Do microfinance institutions fulfil their promise? Evidence from cross-country data Abstract: The concept of microfinance promises poverty reduction and economic growth. We empirically challenge this economic and social promise in an attempt to prove its fulfilment. Our multivariate regressions of economic development variables such as per capita gross national income based on PPP converted to international dollars (GNI per capita PPP), GDP growth, as well as gross capital formation and labour participation rate against specific microfinance institutions’ (MFI) variables show that the success and performance of MFIs significantly influence economic development. Microfinance directly influences economic growth through the value that MFI performance adds to purchasing power. An indirect impact comes from an improvement in capital accumulation and employment rates. These insights are valuable as the interdependencies between microfinance and economic development that this article verifies offer new and progressive insights into purposeful action that can be taken to stimulate economic development and growth. Targeted development programmes as well as socially responsible investments can be applied in developing economies in order to strengthen their growth and alleviate poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1655-1677 Issue: 18 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1105924 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1105924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:18:p:1655-1677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samar K. Guharay Author-X-Name-First: Samar K. Author-X-Name-Last: Guharay Author-Name: Gaurav S. Thakur Author-X-Name-First: Gaurav S. Author-X-Name-Last: Thakur Author-Name: Fred J. Goodman Author-X-Name-First: Fred J. Author-X-Name-Last: Goodman Author-Name: Scott L. Rosen Author-X-Name-First: Scott L. Author-X-Name-Last: Rosen Author-Name: Daniel Houser Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Houser Title: Integrated data-driven analytics to identify instability signatures in nonstationary financial time series Abstract: With the objective of identifying instability signatures of the financial system, this article integrates two classes of data-driven techniques. The first class of techniques is utilized to investigate macroeconomic behaviour by aggregating an ensemble of heterogeneous nonstationary time-series data and the second class of techniques examines the local dynamics of the microstructures in each time series. Moving window principal component analysis (PCA) and functional PCA (fPCA) are shown to extract collective signatures of the financial system for understanding macroeconomic behaviour, and the Synchrosqueezing and Markov switching techniques are used to study local dynamics within each individual time series. The integrated data analytics successfully identifies the diverse events from 1986 to 2012. All events, both major and minor, have been identified by fPCA. The major economic events, especially the 2008 Great Recession, along with several minor events, showed a strong leading indicator in the density index derived from Synchrosqueezing. The capability of this integrated analytics suite is demonstrated in this article, and it motivates further studies encompassing data sets from broader sectors. As a complement to existing model-driven approach, this would lead to achieving a robust and reliable method that can help in taking measures to avoid catastrophic collapse in the constantly evolving financial system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1678-1694 Issue: 18 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1105925 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1105925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:18:p:1678-1694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Gausden Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Gausden Author-Name: Mohammad S. Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad S. Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Title: Would information on consumer confidence have helped to predict UK household expenditure during the recent economic crisis? Abstract: The objective is to investigate whether access to data on consumer confidence would have aided forecasts of the growth of UK household consumption expenditure over the recent period of economic crisis. A disaggregated study is performed on the basis that consideration is given not only to household spending in total but also to expenditure on each of durable goods, semi-durable goods, nondurable goods and services. The empirical analysis demonstrates how modifications which are made to the harmonized indicator of the European Commission are able to enhance predictive accuracy. However, the benefit which is derived from consulting consumer survey data does not extend to an earlier interval over which the behaviour of consumer sentiment was far less volatile. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1695-1709 Issue: 18 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1105926 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1105926 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:18:p:1695-1709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ryan Haley Author-X-Name-First: M. Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Haley Title: A ranking of journals for the aspiring health economist Abstract: This article identifies and ranks 104 journals that might logically serve as the core for the interdisciplinary field of Health Economics. These journals are identified by analysing approximately 15 000 articles contained in the current CVs of 100 top health economists. Of the nearly 1200 journals spanned by these CVs, 104 journals were outlets for more than five of these top health economists. The 104 journals are ranked using eigenfactor and article influence scores as well as the percentile rank for each journal within its Institute for Scientific Information category. The primary intention is to create a broad-based journal list that exposes possible research outlets for aspiring health economists and to report the relative rankings of such outlets using established metrics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1710-1718 Issue: 18 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1105927 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1105927 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:18:p:1710-1718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. P. Chakravarty Author-X-Name-First: S. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Chakravarty Author-Name: D. D. Thomakos Author-X-Name-First: D. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Thomakos Author-Name: K. I. Nikolopoulos Author-X-Name-First: K. I. Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolopoulos Title: Growth, deregulation and rent seeking in post-war British economy Abstract: Post-war political consensus about the need for government action to rectify market failure began to unravel in the 1970s, and even the need for prudential control of banking and finance began to be challenged by the start of the 1980s. Regulatory oversight was relaxed in the belief that emerging techniques in financial engineering would render irrelevant fears of sharp periodic downturns that have historically been the consequence of lightly regulated finance. The outcome of this new policy, embracing the idea of unregulated markets to deliver greater prosperity, is disappointing. We find that the average growth rate of UK GDP and output per person employed for three decades from the start of liberalization was no greater than that in the previous three post-war decades. Cyclical fluctuations were deeper. A remarkable feature of the second period is the sharp rise in income inequality in favour of the very top earners. An illusion of greater prosperity for a wider segment may have been created in the second period due to asset price bubbles and housing inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1719-1729 Issue: 18 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1105928 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1105928 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:18:p:1719-1729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anthony J. Makin Author-X-Name-First: Anthony J. Author-X-Name-Last: Makin Author-Name: Nicholas Rohde Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Rohde Title: Macroeconomic effects of terms of trade fluctuations in commodity exporting advanced economies Abstract: The paper examines the impact of world commodity prices on national output and trade balances in Australia, Canada, New Zealand, and Norway, OECD economies that, unlike other advanced economies, are heavily dependent on commodity exports. Contrary to Dutch disease theory based on real exchange rate adjustment, it highlights the relative price effects of terms of trade (ToT) changes on gross domestic product and net exports with reference to the experience of this unique set of OECD countries. The econometric analysis verifies key predictions of this alternative perspective that ToT fluctuations should (i) have no significant short-run impact on GDP and that (ii) due to relative price effects a strong positive relationship between the ToT and net exports is unlikely. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1731-1742 Issue: 19 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1105929 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1105929 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:19:p:1731-1742 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bedassa Tadesse Author-X-Name-First: Bedassa Author-X-Name-Last: Tadesse Author-Name: Roger White Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: White Title: Do immigrants affect the profile of U.S. exporters? Abstract: We highlight that an increase in the stock of immigrants corresponds with greater numbers of U.S. firms that engage in exporting to foreign markets. Our results are obtained from the estimation of a multi-level mixed effects model. Overall, the effect of immigrants is relatively larger among small- and medium-sized enterprises and is smaller among large-sized enterprises. There are, however, considerable differences, both in the magnitude and in nature of the observed effects of immigrants on manufactured and non-manufactured goods exporters of comparable size categories. Similarly, heterogeneity is found in the effects of immigrants on the numbers of small-, medium-, and large-sized exporters across home country cohorts that are grouped by World Bank income classifications and by broad regional classifications of destination markets. These findings imply that immigration has the potential to alter the profile of domestic firms involved in exporting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1743-1758 Issue: 19 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1105930 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1105930 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:19:p:1743-1758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Grobys Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Grobys Title: Another look at momentum crashes: momentum in the European Monetary Union Abstract: This article studies the profitability of a selection of prominent momentum-based strategies in the European Monetary Union (EMU). In contrast to past examples documenting the lack of profitability of unconditional price momentum in the most recent decade, the current research finds that unconditional price momentum yielded significant positive payoffs. There is evidence of option-like behaviour for strategies based on intermediate past performance. Surprisingly, there is no such evidence for the momentum strategy based on recent past performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1759-1766 Issue: 19 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1105931 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1105931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:19:p:1759-1766 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Da Fonseca Author-X-Name-First: José Author-X-Name-Last: Da Fonseca Author-Name: Peiming Wang Author-X-Name-First: Peiming Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: A joint analysis of market indexes in credit default swap, volatility and stock markets Abstract: This paper analyses the joint dynamics of the CDS, volatility and stock markets using both VAR and Markov regime-switching VAR models with market index data. It shows that the joint behaviour of the three markets is better characterized by the Markov model with two regimes corresponding to low- and high-volatile market conditions. The relationship between changes in the market indexes under a regime is consistent with theory and persistent; the information transmission process of shocks to the markets is similar for the two regimes with a more important role for CDS shock; and the volatility in the money market is an important determinant of regime-switching. The findings have practical implications, particularly for hedging strategies with market indexes under different market conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1767-1784 Issue: 19 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1109036 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1109036 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:19:p:1767-1784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Selena Totić Author-X-Name-First: Selena Author-X-Name-Last: Totić Author-Name: Miloš Božović Author-X-Name-First: Miloš Author-X-Name-Last: Božović Title: Tail risk in emerging markets of Southeastern Europe Abstract: This article examines the left-tail behaviour of returns on stocks in Southeastern Europe (SEE). We apply conditional extreme value theory (EVT) approach on daily returns of six stock market indices from SEE between 2004 and 2013. Predictive performance of value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) based on EVT is compared against several alternatives, such as historical simulation and analytical approach based on GARCH with a single conditional distribution. Model backtesting with daily returns shows that EVT-based models provide more reliable VaR and ES forecasts than the alternative models in all six markets. Unlike the alternatives, the EVT-based models cannot be rejected as VaR confidence level is increased. This emphasizes the importance of extreme events in SEE markets and indicates that the ability of a model to capture volatility clustering accurately is not sufficient for a correct assessment of risk in these markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1785-1798 Issue: 19 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1109037 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1109037 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:19:p:1785-1798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pavel Ciaian Author-X-Name-First: Pavel Author-X-Name-Last: Ciaian Author-Name: Miroslava Rajcaniova Author-X-Name-First: Miroslava Author-X-Name-Last: Rajcaniova Author-Name: d’Artis Kancs Author-X-Name-First: d’Artis Author-X-Name-Last: Kancs Title: The economics of BitCoin price formation Abstract: This is the first article that studies BitCoin price formation by considering both the traditional determinants of currency price, e.g., market forces of supply and demand, and digital currencies specific factors, e.g., BitCoin attractiveness for investors and users. The conceptual framework is based on the Barro (1979) model, from which we derive testable hypotheses. Using daily data for five years (2009--2015) and applying time-series analytical mechanisms, we find that market forces and BitCoin attractiveness for investors and users have a significant impact on BitCoin price but with variation over time. Our estimates do not support previous findings that macro-financial developments are driving BitCoin price in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1799-1815 Issue: 19 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1109038 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1109038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:19:p:1799-1815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Ong Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Ong Title: Education and income attraction: an online dating field experiment Abstract: Prior studies have found a robust correlation in the education of dating and married couples. However, there is little evidence to suggest that such correlations are causal, that is, for the sake of relationship public goods such as the pleasures of the enlightened conversations that only a common high level of education might support. Being empirical studies, they cannot rule out couples matching on other characteristics like income, height or health, which are correlated with education, from driving results. We contribute to this literature by randomly assigning high and low education and income levels to 388 artificial male and female profiles on a large online dating website in China. We then counted thousands of ‘visits’ -- clicks on abbreviated profiles, which included education and income information, from search engine results. We found that men’s visits to female profiles were unaffected by the profile’s assigned education level, while women’s visits to male profiles increase with the profile’s education. However, that increase was not increasing on the women’s own level of education, though their visits to the higher income male profiles was increasing on their own education. Our findings suggest that the relationship public goods that stem from a common level of high education are not at the forefront of either men’s or women’s minds before their first dates, when one might expect such goods to play a critical role in the decision to develop the relationship further. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1816-1830 Issue: 19 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1109039 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1109039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:19:p:1816-1830 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khalid M. Kisswani Author-X-Name-First: Khalid M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kisswani Title: Does oil price variability affect ASEAN exchange rates? Evidence from panel cointegration test Abstract: Using panel data, this article investigates the long-run relationship between real oil prices and real exchange rates for selected ASEAN countries by utilizing quarterly data from 1973:Q1 to 2013:Q4. The modelling implementation starts with the determination of the stationarity condition of the variables which are found to be integrated of order one. Using Maddala and Wu’s (1999) panel cointegration test, the article finds evidence of cointegration among the variables. The fully modified OLS (FMOLS) and dynamic OLS (DOLS) are then used to estimate the long-run relationship between the variables, followed by applying Toda--Yamamoto causality test. The findings exhibit bidirectional causality between real oil prices and real exchange rates in the long run, where it is highly significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1831-1839 Issue: 20 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1109040 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1109040 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:20:p:1831-1839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mejda Mahmoudi Akrout Author-X-Name-First: Mejda Mahmoudi Author-X-Name-Last: Akrout Author-Name: Hakim Ben Othman Author-X-Name-First: Hakim Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Othman Title: Environmental disclosure and stock market liquidity: evidence from Arab MENA emerging markets Abstract: The objective of this study is to examine the impact of environmental disclosure levels on the stock market liquidity of Arab Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) companies. For that, a self-constructed disclosure index was applied to the annual reports for the years 2010, 2011 and 2012 and the bid-ask spread was used as a proxy for stock market liquidity. Results indicate that levels of environmental disclosure in MENA companies are quite low. In addition, using a sample of 276 firm-year observations, multivariate analysis shows that the higher the level of environmental disclosure provided in the annual reports, the lower the spread between the market bid and ask prices, thereby indicating an increase in stock market liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1840-1851 Issue: 20 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1109041 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1109041 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:20:p:1840-1851 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hildegunn Kyvik Nordås Author-X-Name-First: Hildegunn Kyvik Author-X-Name-Last: Nordås Title: Does mutual recognition of qualifications stimulate services trade? The case of the European Union Abstract: This article analyses the services trade impact of recognition of professional qualifications using a unique database compiled by the European Commission. It observes that there is large variation in the number of regulated professions across the EU. The number of recognitions is small relative to total employment in regulated professions. Nevertheless, a robust positive relationship between services trade and recognition of qualifications is found. Recognition stimulates two-way trade between the source and the host country, suggesting that arms-length exports as well as cross-border outsourcing take place. Recognitions in health and education professions are most strongly related to services trade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1852-1865 Issue: 20 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1109042 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1109042 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:20:p:1852-1865 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Russell Kashian Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Kashian Author-Name: Robert Drago Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Drago Title: Fee or free checking? Noninterest checking account fees, competition and multimarket banking Abstract: This article analyses noninterest checking (NIC) account fees using a unique data set covering 11 875 observations on 1880 banks from 2008 to 2012. These data identify whether the bank has free or fee checking on NIC accounts and, where relevant, the fee and minimum balance to avoid the fee. Appealing to shrouded equilibrium theory, we hypothesize that banks, and particularly small banks, will avoid drawing the attention of myopic, low-income types by having stable policies, or will attempt to confuse depositors with contradictory policy shifts in the fee and minimum balance requirements. Competition and small bank size should favour consumers, but the meaning of ‘favour’ is complicated by large depositors and the banks subsidizing small depositors with NIC accounts.The results support the avoid attention hypothesis, particularly for single-market banks, and weakly support the confuse depositors hypothesis. The largest banks, including three too big to fail banks, are most responsive to competition, with single-market banks far less responsive. Competition may be responsible for a dramatic decline in free checking among the largest banks, and substantial increases in minimum balances for those banks, since these effectively reduced subsidies. Simultaneously, single-market banks became more likely to offer free checking. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1866-1880 Issue: 20 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1109043 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1109043 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:20:p:1866-1880 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristiana Donati Author-X-Name-First: Cristiana Author-X-Name-Last: Donati Title: Firm growth and liquidity constraints: evidence from the manufacturing and service sectors in Italy Abstract: We use a large firm-level panel data set to analyse the relevance of liquidity constraints on firm growth in Italy. In most European countries, mainstream financial institutions are scantly able to provide affordable credit facilities to small firms. Thus, these firms are forced to finance their growth almost exclusively through retained earnings. We estimate a dynamic version of Gibrat-law, incorporating cash flow as a measure of financial constraints, for two different size classes within small and medium size enterprises and for several industries in manufacturing and service sectors. The findings show that, in general, small manufacturing firms have higher growth-cash flow sensitivities with respect to medium firms. Conversely, our results highlight, for the services, a significant heterogeneity in the impact of liquidity constraints on firm growth. In particular, the sensitivity of growth rates to the cash flow appears relatively high for small firms belonging to Knowledge Intensive Business Services. Validation of Gibrat-law in the services suggests that an important group of industries, with a superior capacity of encouraging firm’s competitiveness, need more financial resources to promote their growth and that of the manufacturing sectors with whom they are connected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1881-1892 Issue: 20 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1109044 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1109044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:20:p:1881-1892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong Hee Suh Author-X-Name-First: Dong Hee Author-X-Name-Last: Suh Author-Name: Charles B. Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles B. Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Title: Dynamic interfeed substitution: implications for incorporating ethanol byproducts into feedlot rations Abstract: This study examines interfeed substitution with a focus on the relationship between distiller’s dried grain with solubles (DDGS) and traditional feed grains. The dynamic linear logit model is used for the empirical analysis of interfeed substitution. The estimation results reveal that an increase in livestock and poultry outputs reduces the relative shares of corn and soybean meal to DDGS. The estimated adjustment rate indicates that the demand for feed grains is responsive in the short run with about 37% of the long-run response. This study also finds that the demand for corn and soybean meal remains inelastic even in the long run, showing the possibilities that livestock and poultry producers face high feed costs in response to an increase in the prices of corn and soybean meal. The pressures on feed costs can be alleviated by the substitutable relationship between DDGS and corn, but the substitution of DDGS for corn has a potential to provide livestock and poultry with different nutritional contents. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1893-1901 Issue: 20 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1109046 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1109046 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:20:p:1893-1901 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takuya Hasebe Author-X-Name-First: Takuya Author-X-Name-Last: Hasebe Title: Estimating the variance of decomposition effects Abstract: We derive the asymptotic variance of the Blinder--Oaxaca decomposition effects. We show that the delta method approach that builds on the assumption of fixed regressors understates true variability of the decomposition effects when regressors are stochastic. Our proposed variance estimator takes randomness of regressors into consideration. Our approach is applicable to both the linear and nonlinear decompositions. Previously, only a bootstrap method has been a valid option for nonlinear decompositions. As our derivation follows the general framework of m-estimation, it is straightforward to extend our variance estimator to a cluster-robust variance estimator. We demonstrate the finite-sample performance of our variance estimator with a Monte Carlo study and present a real-data application. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1902-1913 Issue: 20 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1109047 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1109047 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:20:p:1902-1913 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaojun Chu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojun Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Chongfeng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chongfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Jianying Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Jianying Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Title: A nonlinear Granger causality test between stock returns and investor sentiment for Chinese stock market: a wavelet-based approach Abstract: In this article, we re-examine the causality between the stock returns and investor sentiment in China. The number of net added accounts is used as a proxy for investor sentiment. To mimic the different investment horizons of market participants, we use the wavelet method to decompose stock returns and investor sentiment into time series with different frequencies. Additionally, we test for nonlinear causal relationships based on Taylor series approximation. Our results indicate that there is a one-directional linear causality from stock returns to investor sentiment on the original series, while there is a strong bi-directional nonlinear causality between stock returns and investor sentiment at different timescales. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1915-1924 Issue: 21 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1109048 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1109048 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:21:p:1915-1924 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernard Bollen Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Bollen Author-Name: Philip Gharghori Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Gharghori Title: How is β related to asset returns? Abstract: Existing empirical evidence for the relevance of the β in modelling asset returns is mixed. Drawing on conditional tests of β first proposed by Pettengill, Sundaram and Mathur (1995) and extended by Bollen (2010), empirical evidence employing monthly data is presented that indicates that β is highly related to variability of asset returns but not to the level of asset returns. This result is consistent with the predictions of the market model but not with the predictions of the CAPM. It is concluded that β remains a useful construct in financial economics but may have a differing role in financial economics than the conventional wisdom asserts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1925-1935 Issue: 21 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1111985 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1111985 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:21:p:1925-1935 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petra Maresova Author-X-Name-First: Petra Author-X-Name-Last: Maresova Author-Name: Hana Mohelska Author-X-Name-First: Hana Author-X-Name-Last: Mohelska Author-Name: Kamil Kuca Author-X-Name-First: Kamil Author-X-Name-Last: Kuca Title: Social and family load of Alzheimer’s disease Abstract: As the World Health Organization reports, mental illnesses have a serious impact on more than 25% of all population people worldwide at some time during their lives. Mental illnesses are universal; they affect people of any age, both women and men, the rich and the poor, no matter from which urban and rural environment they come from. Mental illnesses have an enormous economic effect on societies and on the quality of people’s life, including their families. The purpose of this study is to describe social and economic aspects of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) with respect to the early diagnosis. The authors provide an analysis of costs of treatment and care in the selected countries where the data from the available studies are recalculated into comparable quantities. Furthermore, the authors analyse aspects and possibilities of care for patients with AD in the informal (home) environment in compliance with individual phases of this disease. In the article, the method of research of available sources focusing on social and economic issues of AD is used. In order to compare costs of treatment and care of the AD patients, the Qualitative Comparative Analysis Method is exploited. The analyses have shown that the metric systems for monitoring the direct and indirect costs for the individual phases of AD are different. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1936-1948 Issue: 21 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1111986 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1111986 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:21:p:1936-1948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hoda El-Enbaby Author-X-Name-First: Hoda Author-X-Name-Last: El-Enbaby Author-Name: Rana Hendy Author-X-Name-First: Rana Author-X-Name-Last: Hendy Author-Name: Chahir Zaki Author-X-Name-First: Chahir Author-X-Name-Last: Zaki Title: Do SPS measures matter for margins of trade? Evidence from firm-level data Abstract: According to the World Trade Organization (WTO) standards, countries are allowed to adapt regulations under the Sanitary and phyto-sanitary (SPS) and technical barriers to trade (TBT) agreements in order to protect human, animal and plant health, as well as environment and human safety. Yet, these measures can become an impediment in international trade, especially for developing countries. Therefore, using an Egyptian firm-level data set and a new database on specific trade concerns raised in the TBT and SPS committees at the WTO, we analyse the effects of product standards on two related aspects: first, the probability to export (firm-product extensive margin), and second, the value exported (firm-product intensive margin). We merge this data set with a new database on specific trade concerns raised in the TBT and SPS committees at the WTO. Our main findings show that SPS measures imposed on Egyptian exporters have a negative impact on the probability of exporting a new product to a new destination. By contrast, the intensive margin of exports is not significantly affected by such measures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1949-1964 Issue: 21 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1111987 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1111987 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:21:p:1949-1964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michelle S. Segovia Author-X-Name-First: Michelle S. Author-X-Name-Last: Segovia Author-Name: Marco A. Palma Author-X-Name-First: Marco A. Author-X-Name-Last: Palma Title: Buying your way into a healthier lifestyle: a latent class analysis of healthy food purchases Abstract: A nonhypothetical second-price Vickrey auction was conducted to elicit consumer preferences and willingness-to-pay (WTP) for vegetable attributes, including production technique, origin, taste and health benefits. Using a latent class analysis (LCA) we segmented participants based on health-driven motivations, WTP estimates and socio-economic characteristics. Two latent classes were found and characterized as: ‘Health Conscious’ and ‘Health Redeemers’. In particular, the ‘Health Conscious’ consumers presented healthy lifestyle habits, expressed price premiums for domestic and local-specialty food products after a blind tasting treatment, but they did not have price premiums for health benefits of the products. On the contrary, the ‘Health Redeemers’ presented unhealthy lifestyles but they were willing to pay more for healthy food products, perhaps in an attempt to make up for their unhealthy habits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1965-1977 Issue: 21 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1111988 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1111988 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:21:p:1965-1977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Pedraja-Chaparro Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Pedraja-Chaparro Author-Name: Daniel Santín Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Santín Author-Name: Rosa Simancas Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Simancas Title: The impact of immigrant concentration in schools on grade retention in Spain: a difference-in-differences approach Abstract: Since the late 1990s, Spain has played host to a sizeable flow of immigrants who have been absorbed into the compulsory stage of the education system. In this article, our aim is to assess the impact of that exogenous increase in the number of immigrant students from 2003 to 2009 on grade retention using Spanish data from PISA 2003 and 2009. For this purpose, we use the difference-in-differences method as a dose treatment capable of detecting whether the immigrant concentration has had a significant effect on student performance. Our results evidenced that their arrival does not on average decrease school promotion rates with respect to 2003 and is even beneficial to native students. However, although the concentration of immigrant students at the same school does have a negative impact on immigrant students generating more grade retention, native students are unaffected until concentrations of immigrant students is above 15%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1978-1990 Issue: 21 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1111989 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1111989 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:21:p:1978-1990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahfuz Kabir Author-X-Name-First: Mahfuz Author-X-Name-Last: Kabir Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Title: Is trade in electrical and electronic products sensitive to IPR protection? Evidence from China’s exports Abstract: This article attempts to provide the first empirical evidence on the effect of intellectual property rights (IPRs) on China’s export of electrical and electronic products. It adopts a gravity model for unbalanced panel data of China’s 146 important trading partners over the period of 2002--2012. To eliminate the effects of FDI in determining the linkage between IPR and exports, the panel excludes the destination countries and territories that invest in China. The results reveal that the level of IPR protection in destination countries has a positive impact on China’s flow of exports. Further analysis on data disaggregated by IPR score demonstrates that a higher level of IPR protection in destination countries and territories is positively linked with China’s exports of these items in each of the IPR protection clusters and indicates a strong market power effect by the interplay between R&D expenditure and IPR in the destinations. Finally, both market power and market expansion effects are found to be prevalent in the destinations, as implied by the coefficient of IPR protection disaggregated by income level of China’s export destinations. The results generally resemble those in the literature that describe the linkage between IPR protection and trade flows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1991-2005 Issue: 21 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1111990 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1111990 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:21:p:1991-2005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panagiotis Anagnostidis Author-X-Name-First: Panagiotis Author-X-Name-Last: Anagnostidis Author-Name: George Papachristou Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Papachristou Author-Name: Nikos S. Thomaidis Author-X-Name-First: Nikos S. Author-X-Name-Last: Thomaidis Title: Liquidity commonality in order-driven trading: evidence from the Athens Stock Exchange Abstract: We examine the presence of liquidity commonality in the order-driven Athens Stock Exchange (ASE). Unlike the majority of liquidity commonality studies that focus on the bid--ask spread, our analysis extends deeper in the Limit Order Book, providing insight on the price impact of both small and large trades. We utilize a 6-month FTSE/ATHEX-20 intraday data set to estimate the liquidity factor model of Chordia et al. (2000). To this end, we conduct single-equation analysis as well as panel data analysis with the use of two-way clustered errors, correcting for simultaneous firm and time correlations. Moreover, we apply standard principal component analysis on stock liquidities to extract the marketwide liquidity component. We find that liquidity commonality is low at the bid--ask spread, whereas it increases deeper in the book; consequently, large traders face liquidity risks associated with both individual stock and marketwide illiquidity. Moreover, our empirical evidence hints that liquidity commonality is asynchronous, suggesting that the ASE trading process includes various levels of information speed. Our analysis contributes to the understanding of liquidity commonality in order-driven trading, especially in emerging markets like the ASE where trading activity is limited and information speed is low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2007-2021 Issue: 22 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1111991 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1111991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:22:p:2007-2021 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elina De Simone Author-X-Name-First: Elina Author-X-Name-Last: De Simone Author-Name: Paulo Reis Mourao Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Mourao Title: Rhetoric on the economy: have European parties changed their economic messages? Abstract: This study analyses the determinants of dispersion of economic issue mentions in European party manifestos. We examined three main economic domains (governmental control of the economy, free market capitalism and support for the welfare state) as consequences of globalization forces, economic conditions, partisanship and electoral turnout. Employing aggregate-level Comparative Manifesto Project (CMP) data from legislative elections in 15 European countries from 1970 to 2010, we confirm that parties hold a common view of the salience of economic control of the state as a consequence of globalization pressure and economic growth levels. Partisanship of the cabinets (regardless of the political orientation) counteracted issue salience concentration in the welfare domain. Government size favoured dispersion in the free market realm. Our results do not indicate clear homogenization of parties’ economic messages in elections over the last 40 years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2022-2036 Issue: 22 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1111992 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1111992 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:22:p:2022-2036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Štefan Lyócsa Author-X-Name-First: Štefan Author-X-Name-Last: Lyócsa Author-Name: Igor Fedorko Author-X-Name-First: Igor Author-X-Name-Last: Fedorko Title: What drives intermediation costs? A case of tennis betting market Abstract: We demonstrate that there is a considerable variation in bookmaker margins across matches, time and bookmakers. Our results imply that using match, tournament and players’ characteristics explains the variations in margins hence, they can be helpful in managing intermediation cost in a market of state-contingent assets: fixed-odds betting markets. We also provide evidence that bookmakers protect themselves by increasing odds on the favourite player, thus attracting more bettors to the favourite player, while deterring bettors from betting on the underdog by reducing the odds. By that process, bookmakers are possibly sacrificing a portion of their margin. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2037-2053 Issue: 22 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1111993 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1111993 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:22:p:2037-2053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruwan Jayathilaka Author-X-Name-First: Ruwan Author-X-Name-Last: Jayathilaka Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: Jayatilleke S. Bandaralage Author-X-Name-First: Jayatilleke S. Author-X-Name-Last: Bandaralage Title: Is there a link between alcohol consumption and the level of poverty? Abstract: In many developing countries, in addition to household income, there are a number of other socio-economic determinants of poverty. One such hidden socio-economic factor is alcohol consumption and some studies argue that there is a link between alcohol consumption and poverty. The main aim of this study is to measure the effects of alcohol consumption on the level of poverty in a systematic way. Using Sri Lanka as a case study, this article demonstrates that the consumption of various types of alcoholic beverages, particularly, the illegal beverages, has a significant positive association with the level of poverty. The findings of this study suggest that, in Sri Lanka, the consumption of illegal alcoholic beverages increases the likelihood of being in a poor household by 2--3%. The results of this study also find that households who are characterized as nonpoor but are just above the poverty line behave more like the poor rather than the nonpoor in terms of alcohol consumption. Some of the conclusions from this Sri Lankan case study can be applied to other developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2054-2063 Issue: 22 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1114574 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1114574 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:22:p:2054-2063 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marina Barboza Camargo Author-X-Name-First: Marina Barboza Author-X-Name-Last: Camargo Author-Name: Carlos Roberto Azzoni Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Azzoni Title: Deciding on large scale investments Abstract: This study analyses the importance of investment factors across investment sizes and the frequency of large investment decisions within the firms. We use data from 1442 investment decisions made by 226 Brazilian firms between 1997 and 2010. The results indicate that the influence of investment factors is different for investments of different sizes. The results also indicate that the increase in the frequency of large-scale investment decisions made by the firm influences especially the role of cash flow, diminishing its importance as an investment factor. This result allows one to argue that, probably, firms more experienced in large-scale decisions could be bolder in their decision-making process, relying less on the accumulation of funds through cash flow. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2064-2077 Issue: 22 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1114575 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1114575 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:22:p:2064-2077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Lesur-Irichabeau Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Lesur-Irichabeau Author-Name: O. Guyader Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Guyader Author-Name: M. Frésard Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Frésard Author-Name: C. Leroy Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Leroy Author-Name: K. Latouche Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Latouche Author-Name: L. Le Grel Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Le Grel Title: Information on sellers and buyers characteristics: added value to explain price formation at primary fish markets in managed French scallop fisheries Abstract: The aim of this article is to explore, through a hedonic approach, the factors that might explain the price variability for the French-managed fishery of scallop at primary fish markets. In addition to factors classically identified in the current literature like intrinsic product characteristics or markets situation, the characteristics of operators are tested. The relationships of loyalty between sellers and buyers, and market assiduity are notably considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2078-2092 Issue: 22 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1114576 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1114576 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:22:p:2078-2092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephan Marette Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: Marette Author-Name: Jayson L. Lusk Author-X-Name-First: Jayson L. Author-X-Name-Last: Lusk Author-Name: F. Bailey Norwood Author-X-Name-First: F. Bailey Author-X-Name-Last: Norwood Title: Choosing for others Abstract: Experiments conducted in the US and France were used to study how individuals make trade-offs between health and taste for themselves and others. When someone receives a choice made for them that differs from their preference, they experience a welfare loss; at least in the short-term. We measure the empirical magnitude of this loss, and suggest it play a role in assessing the desirability of paternalistic policies motivated by behavioural economics. We show that the welfare loss changes with the provision of new information and the impact of this information differs for the two countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2093-2111 Issue: 22 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1114577 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1114577 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:22:p:2093-2111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin M. Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Kevin M. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Short sale constraints and information-driven short selling: evidence on NASDAQ Abstract: This article examines the impact of the NASDAQ’s bid test rule on the information content of short sales surrounding the U.S. Security Exchange Commission introduction of the pilot programme in 2005. It shows that abnormal short selling prior to analyst recommendation changes were very informative when stocks were restricted by the bid test rule. Such informativeness of short selling disappears when the bid test rule was temporarily suspended for pilot stocks. The results are robust after controlling for various factors that may contribute to this anomaly. Both the shorting efficiency hypothesis and the regulatory concern hypothesis are developed to provide explanations for this anomaly. Additional tests show that the regulatory concern is more consistent with the data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2113-2124 Issue: 23 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1114578 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1114578 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:23:p:2113-2124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hojin Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hojin Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Renegotiation on incomplete procurement contracts Abstract: This article examines the impact of incomplete contracts on procurement costs in road construction auctions. Ex ante contracts in these auctions often fail to specify all of the potential construction contingencies, and consequently, changes in scope are necessary after construction begins. Using Vermont road construction contract data, this study finds evidence that there is a statistically significant difference in costs of firms between auctions with and without extra work adjustments. Substantial adaptation costs are responsible for the higher procurement outlays in incomplete contract. I also find that bidders inflate their bids to incorporate risk premiums in incomplete contracts; however, my estimates suggest that this bidding behaviour does not affect their profit margins. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2125-2138 Issue: 23 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1114579 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1114579 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:23:p:2125-2138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: María Lorena Marí Del Cristo Author-X-Name-First: María Lorena Author-X-Name-Last: Marí Del Cristo Author-Name: Marta Gómez-Puig Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Puig Title: Fiscal sustainability and dollarization: the case of Ecuador Abstract: This article tries to disentangle the dynamic relationships between fiscal variables and economic activity in a small emerging economy characterized by full dollarization, namely, Ecuador. We find that fiscal policy in Ecuador seems to be sustainable, explained by its policy of debt payment through oil revenues, rather than by a fiscal discipline that dollarization is supposed to encourage. The non-oil tax revenues variable is a purely adjusting variable. This result suggests that in a dollarized country that cannot benefit from the ‘seignorage’ revenues, the reliance on volatile oil revenues and on smoothing tax revenues leaves the economy’s fiscal sustainability vulnerable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2139-2155 Issue: 23 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1114580 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1114580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:23:p:2139-2155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amalia Morales-Zumaquero Author-X-Name-First: Amalia Author-X-Name-Last: Morales-Zumaquero Author-Name: Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simón Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: A contribution to the empirics of convergence in real GDP growth: the role of financial crises and exchange-rate regimes Abstract: This paper investigates the convergence in real gross domestic product growth focusing on the impact of financial crises (i.e. banking crises, currency crises and debt crises) and nominal exchange-rate regimes (i.e. fixed, intermediate and flexible) on convergence. To that end, we compute four convergence indicators (σ-convergence, γ-convergence, absolute β-convergence and conditional β-convergence) for 163 countries classified into four income groups during the period 1970--2011. The results suggest that (i) there is evidence in favour of σ-convergence and γ-convergence only for high-income countries; (ii) absolute and conditional β-convergence are present in each of the four income groups of the countries under study; (iii) exchange-rate regimes seem to play some role in upper-middle and lower-middle-income countries; and (iv) financial crises have a negative and significant impact on GDP growth independently of the income level of the countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2156-2169 Issue: 23 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1114581 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1114581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:23:p:2156-2169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lila J. Truett Author-X-Name-First: Lila J. Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Author-Name: Dale B. Truett Author-X-Name-First: Dale B. Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Title: The motor vehicle industry in an emerging nation: the case of Brazil Abstract: As in other emerging nations, in Brazil, the motor vehicle industry is considered to be strategically important for economic development because of its backward and forward linkages and possibilities for export-led growth. This study analyses prospects for the industry by estimating an industry-level cost function that includes output of both vehicles and component parts with capital, labour and intermediate goods as inputs. The cost elasticity of output (an indicator of scale properties) and the elasticity relationships among inputs are explored. One unexpected outcome of the work that appears to be robust is that during early years of the study period, the industry had constant returns or even diseconomies of scale. However, during later years, when output was greater, there were economies of scale. This finding is likely the result of some combination of the entry of new firms, the development of new models or technological change. The study concludes that if firm output can be increased, economies of scale can be expected to strengthen the position of the Brazilian industry in the international marketplace. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2170-2182 Issue: 23 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1114582 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1114582 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:23:p:2170-2182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enzo Weber Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Author-Name: Gerd Zika Author-X-Name-First: Gerd Author-X-Name-Last: Zika Title: Labour market forecasting in Germany: is disaggregation useful? Abstract: This paper examines whether labour market forecasts can be improved by using disaggregated information. We construct vector-autoregressive models for employment by sector in order to produce out-of-sample forecasts of aggregate employment. Forecast accuracy is compared to univariate models by using Clark/West tests. In an application to German data, it is evident that disaggregation significantly improves the employment forecast. Moreover, using fluctuation-window tests we find that disaggregation yields superior results especially in phases with strong and sustained employment changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2183-2198 Issue: 23 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1117044 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1117044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:23:p:2183-2198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyeongwoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyeongwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Wen Shi Author-X-Name-First: Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Kwang-Myoung Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Kwang-Myoung Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Title: Estimating interest rate setting behaviour in Korea: a constrained ordered choices model approach Abstract: We study the Bank of Korea’s interest rate setting behaviour using an array of constrained ordered choices models, where the Monetary Policy Committee revises the target policy interest rate only when the current market interest rate deviates from the optimal rate by more than certain threshold values. Our models explain changes in the monetary policy stance well for the monthly frequency Korean data since January 2000. We find important roles for the output gap and the foreign exchange rate in understanding the Bank of Korea’s rate decision-making process. We also implement out-of-sample forecast exercises with September 2008 (Lehman Brothers Bankruptcy) for a split point. We demonstrate that out-of-sample predictability improves greatly for the rate cut and the rate hike decisions using SE-adjusted inaction bands. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2199-2214 Issue: 23 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1117045 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1117045 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:23:p:2199-2214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hing Lin Chan Author-X-Name-First: Hing Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: Kai-Yin Woo Author-X-Name-First: Kai-Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Woo Title: An investigation into the dynamic relationship between international and China’s crude oil prices Abstract: This article studies the dynamic relationship between international (WTI, Brent and Dubai) and domestic (Da Qing) crude oil prices in China using threshold cointegration method. We find evidence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between each pair of international and Da Qing oil prices, favouring the market integration hypothesis. We also estimate asymmetric adjustments under the momentum threshold autoregressive (M-TAR) specification in a TVECM, and the results show that adjustments to eliminate disequilibrium happen faster when oil price spread increases than when it decreases. The long-run and short-run Granger causality tests support the notion that China has influence on the international oil markets. The results imply that China should open up its domestic and imported oil markets, and also establish a well-functioning crude oil futures market, as they are essential for arbitrage and hedging strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2215-2224 Issue: 24 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1117046 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1117046 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:24:p:2215-2224 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhihua Ding Author-X-Name-First: Zhihua Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Author-Name: Lingyun He Author-X-Name-First: Lingyun Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Caicai Feng Author-X-Name-First: Caicai Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Wenbo Li Author-X-Name-First: Wenbo Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The impact of coal price fluctuations on China’s economic output Abstract: Due to the important role of coal in China’s macroeconomic growth, the price of coal significantly influences its economic output. Employing a VAR model, a cointegration test and a state-space model of time-varying variables, this article analyses the influence of coal price fluctuations on the volume and structure of China’s economic output, including both the strength and the time delay of such influence. This article further explores the corresponding relationships between coal price fluctuations and variations in the effects of these fluctuations to analyse the asymmetric influence of coal price fluctuations on China’s macroeconomy. Coal price fluctuations exerted significant long-term positive effects and short-term negative effects on China’s output variables, with an average delay of 11 months; they had positive effects on investment and consumption over the long term and an increasingly negative effect on imports and exports. The average delays were 9 months for investment, 6.5 months for consumption and 10 months for imports and exports. There was an asymmetric correlation between coal price fluctuations and the time-varying elasticity of their impact on GDP. The results in this study are consistent with the actual operating circumstances of the Chinese economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2225-2237 Issue: 24 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1117047 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1117047 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:24:p:2225-2237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inmaculada C. Álvarez Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada C. Author-X-Name-Last: Álvarez Author-Name: Javier Barbero Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Barbero Title: The public sector and convergence with spatial interdependence: empirical evidence from Spain Abstract: We propose a framework to analyse convergence between regions, incorporating the public sector and technological knowledge spillovers in the context of a Neoclassical Growth Model. Second, we apply novel estimation methods pertaining to the spatial econometrics literature introducing a spatial Durbin panel data model based on instrumental variables and maximum-likelihood estimation. Our model makes it possible to analyse, in terms of convergence, the results obtained in Spanish regions with the policies implemented during the period 1980--2011. The results support the idea that education and fiscal policies have a positive effect on regional development and cohesion. Therefore, we can conclude that it is possible to obtain better results for regional convergence with higher rates of public investment in education and tax revenues. We also obtain interesting results that confirm the existence of spillover effects in economic growth and public policies, identifying their magnitude and significance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2238-2252 Issue: 24 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1117048 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1117048 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:24:p:2238-2252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Attavanich Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Attavanich Title: Did the Thai rice-pledging programme improve the economic performance and viability of rice farming? Abstract: This article evaluates impacts of the rice-pledging programme on the economic performance and viability of rice farming in Thailand. It also investigates whether the effects of the programme are heterogeneous across different farm types using the propensity score matching technique to address the self-selection bias in the farm-level data set. We found that the programme enhanced the economic performance less than hoped for. Overall, the programme was estimated to improve the net direct farm income for participating farms by $175.12--$194.82 per hectare. Taking into account the heterogeneous effects of the programme across farm types, we calculated that the greatest effects may be realized by farmers within the small farms subsample, at $404.41--$439.85 per hectare, but only $139.80--$213.36 per hectare for midsize farms, and $138.82--$173.34 per hectare for large farms. With regard to the economic viability of the programme, we discovered that it had an insignificant effect on farm modernization investment initiatives. Thus, future strategies incorporated into the programme that better control increases in production costs, improve small farmers’ access to the programme and require participating farms to spend a portion of the money received on farm modernization may improve long-run benefits of the programme. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2253-2265 Issue: 24 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1117049 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1117049 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:24:p:2253-2265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricardo Bebczuk Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Bebczuk Author-Name: Eduardo Cavallo Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Cavallo Title: Is business saving really none of our business? Abstract: This paper revisits the role of business saving in the economy by critically scrutinizing the existing macroeoconomic and corporate finance literatures. We assemble and exploit a broad international, unbalanced panel of 47 countries over 1995--2013 on saving and investment by institutional sector to shed new light on the relevance of business saving for private saving and investment around the world. We show that businesses contribute on average more than 50% of national saving around the world. Using this unique dataset, we find evidence of partial piercing of the corporate veil: a $1 increase in business saving gives rise to a decrease of approximately $0.40 in household saving--thereby raising private saving by as much as $0.60. We also find that a $1 increase in business saving increases private investment by as much as $0.20 in countries where limited financing is a binding constraint on firms’ investment. The evidence suggests that business saving and external financing are complementary sources of financing for investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2266-2284 Issue: 24 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1117050 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1117050 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:24:p:2266-2284 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chune Young Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chune Young Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: State-dependent risk and M&A Abstract: During economic contractions, the asset and capital structures of firms are more likely to deviate from their optimal levels. Target firms, in particular, are more susceptible to such deviations. I study how such deviations affect the bidding firms’ acquisition decision. I find that bidders abstain from taking over targets when the debts and growth options of the targets are over their optimal levels. Further, I show that bidders are more likely to pay a low premium for such targets. Both results are pronounced when the aggregate economy has had a bad shock; these results are associated with higher risks because of the excessive levels of debts and growth options. Overall, these results uncover the impact of the targets’ abnormal debts and growth options on the bidders’ acquisitions, contingent on the state of the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2285-2300 Issue: 24 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1117051 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1117051 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:24:p:2285-2300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Ahdi N. Ajmi Author-X-Name-First: Ahdi N. Author-X-Name-Last: Ajmi Author-Name: Ghassen El Montasser Author-X-Name-First: Ghassen Author-X-Name-Last: El Montasser Author-Name: Roula Inglesi-Lotz Author-X-Name-First: Roula Author-X-Name-Last: Inglesi-Lotz Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Research output and economic growth in G7 countries: new evidence from asymmetric panel causality testing Abstract: Recent studies have shown increasing interest on the relationship between research output and economic growth. The study of such a relationship is not only of theoretical interest, but it can also influence specific policies to improve the quality, and probably the quantity of research output. This article has studied this relationship in G7 countries using the asymmetric panel causality test of Hatemi-J (2011). Our results show that only the UK shows a causal relationship from the output of research to real GDP. However, when the signs of variations are taken into account, there is an asymmetric causality running from negative research output shocks to negative real GDP shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2301-2308 Issue: 24 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1117052 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1117052 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:24:p:2301-2308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rabindra Nepal Author-X-Name-First: Rabindra Author-X-Name-Last: Nepal Author-Name: Antonio Carvalho Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Carvalho Author-Name: John Foster Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Foster Title: Revisiting electricity liberalization and quality of service: empirical evidence from New Zealand Abstract: What effect does the firm structure have on the quality of service delivered by networks and infrastructure industries? We answer this question by empirically assessing the impacts of complete vertical separation, such as ownership unbundling, on the quality of service delivered by a liberalized network industry. Electricity distribution utilities in New Zealand are considered for this purpose and are analysed using panel-data econometrics. The results show robust evidence that ownership unbundling contributed to a fall in the duration and frequency of supply interruptions in electricity distribution. However, the results also show that unbundling has no effect on reducing distribution network losses. These results, overall, highlight the nonsimple impacts of ownership unbundling on the quality of electricity distribution. We suggest that the quality of service may largely improve when considered in the economic regulation of electricity networks than completely relying on specific reform measures such as ownership unbundling. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2309-2320 Issue: 25 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1119789 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1119789 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:25:p:2309-2320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peiwen Bai Author-X-Name-First: Peiwen Author-X-Name-Last: Bai Author-Name: Wenli Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Wenli Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Labour misallocation in China: 1980--2010 Abstract: This article measures labour misallocation in Chinese provinces over the period 1980--2010 and investigates possible causal factors of the misallocation. It finds that: (1) labour misallocation fell substantially in the first half of 1980s, but there was no monotonic trend of improvement since then. (2) Wage differentials cross primary, secondary and tertiary sectors accounted for a substantial portion of measured overall labour misallocation; the secondary sector’s wage deviations from value of the marginal product of labour (VMPL) also contributed to labour misallocation. (3) There was persistence in labour misallocation, but a higher level of urbanization, the development of the tertiary sector, increasing trade openness and the growth of the nonstate sector appear to have contributed to more efficient labour allocation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2321-2332 Issue: 25 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1119790 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1119790 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:25:p:2321-2332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. Aevskiy Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Aevskiy Author-Name: V. Chetverikov Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Chetverikov Title: A discrete time model of convergence for the term structure of interest rates in the case of entering a monetary union Abstract: This paper presents a method for constructing the term structure of interest rate spreads for two currencies in the context of a country’s entry into a monetary union. We propose a special type of process that ensures the convergence of the short-term interest rate spread to zero by a fixed moment in time, which we call the discrete-time Brownian bridge process. Using this process and the conventional pricing kernel framework, we derive double recursive formulas for computing the affine coefficients for the term structure of interest rate spread. The estimated model counterpart, which is based on the pre-EMU interest rate spread data for the interest rates of the German mark and Italian lira, fits the data reasonably well and captures the stylized empirical facts. Namely, spreads for all maturities have downward trends, and the longer the maturity is, the less spread there is. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2333-2340 Issue: 25 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1119791 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1119791 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:25:p:2333-2340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. D. Parra Author-X-Name-First: M. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Parra Author-Name: I. Martinez-Zarzoso Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez-Zarzoso Author-Name: C. Suárez-Burguet Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Suárez-Burguet Title: The impact of FTAs on MENA trade in agricultural and industrial products Abstract: This article analyses the impact of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) on Middle East and North African Countries (MENA) trade for the period 1994--2010. The analysis distinguishes between industrial and agricultural trade to take into account the different liberalization schedules. An augmented gravity model is estimated using up-to-date panel data techniques to control for all time-invariant bilateral factors that influence bilateral trade as well as for the so-called multilateral resistance factors. We also control for the endogeneity of the agreements and test for self-selection bias due to the presence of zero trade in our sample. The main findings indicate that North--South-FTAs and South--South-FTAs have a differential impact in terms of increasing trade in MENA countries, with the former being more beneficial in terms of exports for MENA countries, but both showing greater global market integration. We also find that FTAs that include agricultural products, in which MENA countries have a clear comparative advantage, have more favourable effects for these countries than those only including industrial products. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2341-2353 Issue: 25 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1119792 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1119792 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:25:p:2341-2353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Arnade Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Arnade Author-Name: Fred Kuchler Author-X-Name-First: Fred Author-X-Name-Last: Kuchler Author-Name: Linda Calvin Author-X-Name-First: Linda Author-X-Name-Last: Calvin Title: The changing role of consumers and suppliers in a food safety event: the 2006 foodborne illness outbreak linked to spinach Abstract: This article provides a means for testing whether buyers or sellers are responsible for a drop in sales following a market shock. We show that suppliers’ responses dominated the market reaction to the 2006 US Food and Drug Administration warning to avoid fresh spinach contaminated with potentially deadly bacteria Escherichia coli O157:H7. A modified Durbin-Wu-Hausman test for temporary price endogeneity is developed and used in a leafy green vegetable demand model. Test results indicate the price of bagged spinach was exogenous before the announcement but endogenous for approximately 12 weeks afterward. We show these results are consistent with the notion that suppliers temporarily limited the availability of spinach to consumers. Instead of consumers choosing the quantity purchased given exogenous prices, it was suppliers who limited the quantity marketed and consumers’ choices established the market price. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2354-2366 Issue: 25 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1119793 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1119793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:25:p:2354-2366 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Nielsen Rotta Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Nielsen Author-X-Name-Last: Rotta Author-Name: Pedro L. Valls Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Pedro L. Author-X-Name-Last: Valls Pereira Title: Analysis of contagion from the dynamic conditional correlation model with Markov Regime switching Abstract: Over the last decades, the transmissions of international financial events have been the subject of many academic studies focused on multivariate volatility models. This study evaluates the financial contagion between stock market returns. The econometric model employed, regime switching dynamic correlation (RSDC). A modification was made in the original RSDC model, the introduction of the GJR-GARCH-N and also GJR-GARCH-t models, on the equation of conditional univariate variances, thus allowing us to capture the asymmetric effects in volatility and also heavy tails. A database was built using series of indices in the United States (S&P500), the United Kingdom (FTSE100), Brazil (IBOVESPA) and South Korea (KOSPI) from 1 February 2003 to 20 September 2012. Throughout this study the methodology is compared with those frequently found in literature, and the model RSDC with two regimes was defined as the most appropriate for the selected sample with t-Student distribution in the disturbances. The adapted RSDC model used in this article can be used to detect contagion -- considering the definition of financial contagion from the World Bank called very restrictive -- with the help of the empirical exercise. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2367-2382 Issue: 25 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1119794 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1119794 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:25:p:2367-2382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyein Shim Author-X-Name-First: Hyein Author-X-Name-Last: Shim Author-Name: Hyeyoen Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyeyoen Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Sunghyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sunghyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: Testing the relative purchasing power parity hypothesis: the case of Korea Abstract: This study examines the relative purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis using the data from the Korean won--US dollar and the Korean won--Japanese yen foreign exchange markets. We extract proxies for inflation from stock market returns of Korea, the United States and Japan based on the method used by Chowdhry, Roll and Xia in 2005. We explicitly test the relative PPP hypothesis in light of the short-run price volatility using monthly, bimonthly and quarterly data from 1 January 1998 to 31 December 2012. Our findings suggest that the empirical test results from the entire sample period do not support the relative PPP hypothesis. However, the results from the sample period excluding the Asian Financial Crisis period show that the relative PPP hypothesis holds for the Korean won--US dollar market with a moderate magnitude of inflation impact, but not for the Korean won--Japanese yen market. Abrupt changes in exchange rates during the crisis period may have affected the relationship between inflation and exchange rates. This result also suggests that factors other than inflation might have affected the Korean won--Japanese yen exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2383-2395 Issue: 25 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1119795 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1119795 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:25:p:2383-2395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriel Pino Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Pino Author-Name: Dilara Tas Author-X-Name-First: Dilara Author-X-Name-Last: Tas Author-Name: Subhash C. Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Subhash C. Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: An investigation of the effects of exchange rate volatility on exports in East Asia Abstract: This study investigates the effects of the exchange rate volatility on the export flows of Indonesia, Malaysia, Republic of Korea, Singapore, Thailand, and the Philippines during 1974--2011. Towards this goal a trade weighted real effective (rather than the bilateral) exchange rate and three different measures of volatility, i.e. obtained from an ARCH model, a GARCH model and a moving-average standard deviation measure are used in this study. Specifically, the export flows between six Asian countries and the rest of the world are investigated rather than focusing on trade with only one country. Our findings reveal that the exchange rate volatility has a significant impact on export flows in the short run as well as in the long run for all the countries in the sample. The impact in the long run is predominantly negative with the exception of Singapore, but in the short run the impact varies across countries. Moreover, our results are robust to the alternative measures of volatility used and most of the findings in the long run and short run are also robust to the crisis period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2397-2411 Issue: 26 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1122730 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1122730 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:26:p:2397-2411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick T. Kanda Author-X-Name-First: Patrick T. Author-X-Name-Last: Kanda Author-Name: Mehmet Balcilar Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Balcilar Author-Name: Pejman Bahramian Author-X-Name-First: Pejman Author-X-Name-Last: Bahramian Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Forecasting South African inflation using non-linearmodels: a weighted loss-based evaluation Abstract: The conduct of inflation targeting is heavily dependent on accurate inflation forecasts. Non-linear models have increasingly featured, along with linear counterparts, in the forecasting literature. In this study, we focus on forecasting South African inflation by means of non-linear models and using a long historical dataset of seasonally adjusted monthly inflation rates spanning from 1921:02 to 2013:01. For an emerging market economy such as South Africa, non-linearities can be a salient feature of such long data, hence the relevance of evaluating non-linear models’ forecast performance. In the same vein, given the fact that 1969:10 marks the beginning of a protracted rising trend in South African inflation data, we estimate the models for an in-sample period of 1921:02--1966:09 and evaluate 1, 4, 12, and 24 step-ahead forecasts over an out-of-sample period of 1966:10--2013:01. In addition, using a weighted loss function specification, we evaluate the forecast performance of different non-linear models across various extreme economic environments and forecast horizons. In general, we find that no competing model consistently and significantly beats the LoLiMoT’s performance in forecasting South African inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2412-2427 Issue: 26 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1122731 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1122731 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:26:p:2412-2427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lorna Katusiime Author-X-Name-First: Lorna Author-X-Name-Last: Katusiime Author-Name: Frank W. Agbola Author-X-Name-First: Frank W. Author-X-Name-Last: Agbola Author-Name: Abul Shamsuddin Author-X-Name-First: Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Shamsuddin Title: Exchange rate volatility--economic growth nexus in Uganda Abstract: The global financial crisis has disrupted trade and capital flows in most developing economies, resulting in an increased volatility of exchange rates. We develop an autoregressive distributed lag model to investigate the effect of exchange rate volatility on economic growth in Uganda. Using data spanning the period 1960--2011, we find that exchange rate volatility positively affects economic growth in Uganda in both the short run and the long run. However, in the short run, political instability negatively moderates the exchange rate volatility--economic growth nexus. These results are robust to alternative specifications of the economic growth model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2428-2442 Issue: 26 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1122732 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1122732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:26:p:2428-2442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sizhong Sun Author-X-Name-First: Sizhong Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Sajid Anwar Author-X-Name-First: Sajid Author-X-Name-Last: Anwar Title: Interrelationship among foreign presence, domestic sales and export intensity in Chinese manufacturing industries Abstract: Using panel data on six Chinese manufacturing industries over the period 2005--2007, this article explores the interrelationship among foreign presence, domestic sales and export intensity of local firms. We find that the domestic sales and exports are complementary for local firms in China’s pharmaceutical industry, whereas in the case of the textile, transportation equipment, beverage, communication equipment and general equipment manufacturing industries, domestic sales and exports are substitutes. An increase in the average domestic sales increases foreign presence in all industries. The same applies to an increase in the average export intensity. An increase in the level of competition in China’s textile industry increases the export intensity as well as domestic sales of local textile firms. However, an increase in the level of competition in the pharmaceutical industry leads to a very large decrease in export intensity of local pharmaceutical firms. In the case of China’s transportation equipment manufacturing industry, an increase in the level of competition decreases domestic sales of local firms. Furthermore, an increase in the firm size increases domestic sales of Chinese firms in all six manufacturing industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2443-2453 Issue: 26 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1122733 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1122733 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:26:p:2443-2453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ronald A. Babula Author-X-Name-First: Ronald A. Author-X-Name-Last: Babula Author-Name: Dragan Miljkovic Author-X-Name-First: Dragan Author-X-Name-Last: Miljkovic Title: Assessing the role of futures position substitutability in a monthly slaughtered pork factor demand by US processors: a cointegrated VAR model approach Abstract: This article combines cointegrated VAR modelling with basic neoclassical production microeconomics in a new way that tests for, and illuminates the empirical nature of, the monthly US pork processing sector’s factor demand for slaughtered pork. Statistical evidence strongly suggests that the US pork processing sector has a Hicksian Cobb--Douglas slaughtered pork demand that arises from applying Shephard’s lemma to the sector’s cost function and that US pork processors treat slaughtered pork and related futures positions as close factor substitutes. In the wake of major and ongoing futures market events and trends, this study establishes and statistically tests a theoretical link between futures price movements and impacts on the underlying slaughtered pork market through monthly formation of US pork processors’ factor demand for slaughtered pork. Evidence suggests that demand agents shift between demands for the two substitutes based on movements in the slaughter/futures price ratio that results in a market-stabilizing cushion against sharp pork price movements such as those observed in the late-1990s. Statistical and diagnostic evidence suggests that our modelled non-experimental data and estimated Hicksian demand that arose from the cointegrated VAR model’s cointegration space met Haavelmo’s setting of passive variables and associated ceteris paribus conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2454-2468 Issue: 26 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1122734 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1122734 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:26:p:2454-2468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Jareño Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Jareño Author-Name: Román Ferrer Author-X-Name-First: Román Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrer Author-Name: Stanislava Miroslavova Author-X-Name-First: Stanislava Author-X-Name-Last: Miroslavova Title: US stock market sensitivity to interest and inflation rates: a quantile regression approach Abstract: This article studies the sensitivity of the US stock market to nominal and real interest rates and inflation during the 2003--2013 period using quantile regression (QR). The empirical results show that the stock market has a significant sensitivity to changes in interest rates and inflation and finds differences across sectors and over time. Moreover, the effect of changes in both interest rates and inflation tends to be more pronounced during extreme market conditions, thus distinguishing expansion periods from recession periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2469-2481 Issue: 26 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1122735 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1122735 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:26:p:2469-2481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott Beaulier Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Beaulier Author-Name: Robert Elder Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Elder Author-Name: Cheryl Han Author-X-Name-First: Cheryl Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Joshua C. Hall Author-X-Name-First: Joshua C. Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Title: An ordinal ranking of economic institutions Abstract: We provide the first ranking of countries’ economic institutions using an ordinal methodology. Using the five areas of the Fraser Institute’s Economic Freedom of the World (EFW) index, we find that final rankings of a country’s institutions are sensitive to the importance-ordering of Area 1 (Size of Government). When Areas 2--5 are in the most important position, we find that there is no significant difference between the EFW rankings and our rankings. When Area 1 is placed in the most important position, however, a number of European countries with large welfare states but good governance do poorly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2482-2490 Issue: 26 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1122736 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1122736 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:26:p:2482-2490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: P. M. Korale Gedara Author-X-Name-First: P. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Korale Gedara Author-Name: S. Ratnasiri Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Ratnasiri Author-Name: J. S. Bandara Author-X-Name-First: J. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Bandara Title: Does asymmetry in price transmission exist in the rice market in Sri Lanka? Abstract: This study analyses asymmetry in price transmission between wholesale and retail rice markets in Sri Lanka, using the threshold autoregressive model. We found that the wholesale and the retail rice markets in Sri Lanka are integrated, with price changes moving from the wholesale to the retail market. However, the price transmission process is asymmetric. In particular, price increases at the wholesale market transmit immediately to the retail market while price decreases transmit more slowly. Parameter stability test and follow-up analysis indicated that the price transmission process is asymmetric only during periods of price surges, suggesting that the rice market is not efficient during these periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2491-2505 Issue: 27 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1125427 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1125427 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:27:p:2491-2505 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tomomi Miyazaki Author-X-Name-First: Tomomi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyazaki Title: Fiscal stimulus effectiveness in Japan: evidence from recent policies Abstract: This article examines the effects of Japanese fiscal policy after the 2008 global financial crisis using a mixed vector autoregression/event study approach. We focus on the effects of stimulus packages with environmental benefits. The empirical results show that a tax break and subsidy programme designed to promote the adoption of eco-friendly cars helped stimulate automobile production, while a similar programme intended to promote the purchase of energy-efficient appliances had no effect on appliance production. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2506-2515 Issue: 27 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1125428 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1125428 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:27:p:2506-2515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José F. Baños Author-X-Name-First: José F. Author-X-Name-Last: Baños Author-Name: Ana Rodríguez-Álvarez Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Rodríguez-Álvarez Title: Estimating technology in the postal sector: a Bayesian approach Abstract: The aim of this article is to study the technology of the sector represented by the Spanish national post-office and telegraph service, Sociedad Estatal Correos y Telégrafos, S.A. trading as Correos, and denominated as such hereafter. Concretely, we analyse economic efficiency (technical and allocative) and scale economies of the production units (cost centres) of Correos. To do this, we employ a methodology based on an input distance function which is the dual of the cost function. Moreover, and applying duality theory, we develop an economic model to assess the effect of postal infrastructures on the operators’ costs. In order to carry out the empirical model, Bayesian econometrics is applied to estimate the parameters in the input distance function and the technical and allocative efficiency terms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2516-2529 Issue: 27 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1125429 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1125429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:27:p:2516-2529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liang Guo Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Ya Dai Author-X-Name-First: Ya Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Donald Lien Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Title: The effects of China’s split-share reform on firms’ capital structure choice Abstract: China’s split-share structure reform in 2005--2006 mitigates agency conflicts between controlling shareholders and minority shareholders and thus may bring substantial changes to corporate financing behaviour. This article examines the impact of that reform on the capital structure decisions of firms by applying a variety of trade-off and pecking-order models. Using data from 1176 non-financial Chinese listed firms during the period 2000--2012, we present empirical evidence indicating that equity tracks the financing deficit better than debt in Chinese firms, a finding which is not consistent with pecking-order theory. This phenomenon is more prominent after 2006 as share reform increases trading activity in the secondary stock market and improves the transparency of financial markets. In addition, Chinese firms have an optimal leverage ratio and they adjust below-target leverage ratios faster than above-target leverage ratios after the implementation of share structure reform, although they make symmetric adjustments towards the target leverage ratio before 2007. Finally, recent share reform has prompted Chinese firms to more quickly address the divergence of actual leverage ratios from long-term target levels, but has slowed their response to short-term target leverage divergence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2530-2549 Issue: 27 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1125430 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1125430 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:27:p:2530-2549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong Hee Suh Author-X-Name-First: Dong Hee Author-X-Name-Last: Suh Author-Name: Hayk Khachatryan Author-X-Name-First: Hayk Author-X-Name-Last: Khachatryan Author-Name: Zhengfei Guan Author-X-Name-First: Zhengfei Author-X-Name-Last: Guan Title: Why do we adopt environmentally friendly lawn care? Evidence from do-it-yourself consumers Abstract: This study identifies the factors determining the purchase frequencies of organic/natural fertilizers (ONFs) with a focus on do-it-yourself (DIY) consumers’ perceptions and motives. The estimation results of the generalized ordered logit model provide statistical evidence that environmental perceptions are critical factors in directing DIY consumers to purchase ONFs frequently. The results imply that educational programmes, informational campaigns, or advertisements to improve their perceptions on the potential negative impacts of fertilization on the environment may increase the purchase frequencies of ONFs. In addition, the results show that DIY consumers perceive that it is worth using ONFs despite their higher prices than chemical fertilizers. Their purchase frequencies will increase if they positively perceive the values of ONFs and are willing to pay a premium for ONFs. Moreover, the purchasing behaviour of DIY consumers is associated with their perceptions of neighbourhood landscaping. If neighbours or homeowner associations encourage landscaping improvements in their community, DIY consumers may increase their purchase frequencies of ONFs accordingly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2550-2561 Issue: 27 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1125431 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1125431 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:27:p:2550-2561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petra Maresova Author-X-Name-First: Petra Author-X-Name-Last: Maresova Author-Name: Blanka Klimova Author-X-Name-First: Blanka Author-X-Name-Last: Klimova Author-Name: Kamil Kuca Author-X-Name-First: Kamil Author-X-Name-Last: Kuca Title: Financial and legislative aspects of drug development of orphan diseases on the European market -- a systematic review Abstract: According to the European Commission, medical products for orphan diseases are those which affect fewer than five persons out of every 10 000. Producers are reluctant to develop these drugs under the common market conditions because the demand for these drugs does not guarantee return on investments into research and development of such products. Patients with orphan diseases, however, have the same rights for treatment as any other patient. To stimulate the research and development of drugs for orphan diseases, the governmental offices introduce various incentives for health and biotechnological industry. This started in the USA already in 1983 by passing a special law. Japan introduced this law in 1993 and Australia in 1997. Europe followed in 1999 by introducing common policy for all member states.The aim of this article is to specify current economic and legislative conditions in European countries and compare them with the legislation and approaches of the countries which started this initiative, i.e. USA, Japan, Australia or Singapore. In addition, the treatment costs of orphan diseases are specified and prospects of this field are evaluated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2562-2570 Issue: 27 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1125433 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1125433 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:27:p:2562-2570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ioannis Chatziantoniou Author-X-Name-First: Ioannis Author-X-Name-Last: Chatziantoniou Author-Name: Stavros Degiannakis Author-X-Name-First: Stavros Author-X-Name-Last: Degiannakis Author-Name: Bruno Eeckels Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Eeckels Author-Name: George Filis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Filis Title: Forecasting tourist arrivals using origin country macroeconomics Abstract: This study utilizes both disaggregated data and macroeconomic indicators in order to examine the importance of the macroeconomic environment of origin countries for analysing destinations’ tourist arrivals. In particular, it is the first study to present strong empirical evidence that both of these features in tandem provide statistically significant information of tourist arrivals in Greece. The forecasting exercises presented in our analysis show that macroeconomic indicators conducive to better forecasts are mainly origin country-specific, thus highlighting the importance of considering the apparent sharp national contrasts among origin countries when investigating domestic tourist arrivals. Given the extent of the dependency of the Greek economy on tourism income and also the perishable nature of the tourist product itself, results have important implications for policymakers in Greece. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2571-2585 Issue: 27 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1125434 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1125434 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:27:p:2571-2585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haitao Yin Author-X-Name-First: Haitao Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Hui Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Kai Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Long- and short-run elasticities of residential electricity consumption in China: a partial adjustment model with panel data Abstract: While it has stabilized in developed world, the per capita residential electricity consumption (REC) in developing countries such as China is growing very rapidly and this trend is very likely to continue. Built upon a provincial level panel data, we employ a partial adjustment model to investigate the future trend of REC in China and factors that affect it. We estimate the income and price short-term and long-term elasticities for urban and rural China, respectively and compare the results with REC studies in other countries or regions. The findings provide useful information to understand how the REC would grow in China as household income increases and how effective that price could be as an intervention tool. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2587-2599 Issue: 28 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1125436 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1125436 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:28:p:2587-2599 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmet Sensoy Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Author-X-Name-Last: Sensoy Title: Impact of sovereign rating changes on stock market co-movements: the case of Latin America Abstract: We aim to determine if long-term foreign currency sovereign rating assessments (from S&P, Moody’s and Fitch) for the advanced emerging Latin American countries (Brazil, Mexico and Chile) have any significant effect on the correlation between their stock market returns in the last decade. With that purpose in mind, we obtain the time-varying correlation by cDCC modeling using ARX-APARCH filtered returns. The analysis shows that the rating changes do not have a significant effect on the correlations in general. After testing for robustness, we reveal that an upgrade to an investment grade level for a country is more likely to positively diversify it from others in the region instead of creating a common positive regional investment environment. Results have important implications for investors and policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2600-2610 Issue: 28 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1125437 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1125437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:28:p:2600-2610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Jacob Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Jacob Title: Cross-base tax elasticity of capital gains Abstract: This paper studies the cross-base tax elasticity of capital gains realizations to labour income taxes when capital gains are taxed at a separate proportional tax rate. Using a longitudinal panel of over 265 000 individuals in Sweden, this paper shows in a regression kink design that labour income taxes affect capital gains realizations in two ways. An increase in the marginal labour income tax rate increases the likelihood of realizing capital gains and the amount of realized capital gains. One implication of this result is that labour income taxes have a lock-out effect but that the magnitude of this effect is smaller than the lock-in effect of the actual capital gains tax. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2611-2624 Issue: 28 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1125438 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1125438 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:28:p:2611-2624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarron Khemraj Author-X-Name-First: Tarron Author-X-Name-Last: Khemraj Author-Name: Sherry Yu Author-X-Name-First: Sherry Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: The effectiveness of quantitative easing: new evidence on private investment Abstract: This paper examines the effect of Federal Reserve’s large-scale purchases of securities on private investment. We find tentative evidence that quantitative easing (QE) stimulated the level of aggregate investment through the interest rate channel by narrowing corporate bond spread. In particular, the Fed’s purchases of mortgage-backed securities were found to have a statistically significant effect on aggregate private investment. Moreover, using a GARCH model, we find that QE has led to a reduction in the volatility of private investment. This finding remains robust with a QE dummy variable as an alternative measure of the unconventional monetary policy. The study also indicates how different aspects of QE influence private investment and its volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2625-2635 Issue: 28 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1125439 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1125439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:28:p:2625-2635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nadeem A. Burney Author-X-Name-First: Nadeem A. Author-X-Name-Last: Burney Author-Name: Mohammad Alenezi Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Alenezi Author-Name: Nadia Al-Musallam Author-X-Name-First: Nadia Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Musallam Author-Name: Ahmed Al-Khayat Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Khayat Title: The demand for medical care services: evidence from Kuwait based on households’ out-of-pocket expenses Abstract: This article used a data set containing information on 1267 households from Kuwait to investigate the determinants of demand for medical care services by examining households’ out-of-pocket expenses. To deal with the problems associated with households’ health expenditure data, a two-part model (TPM) was estimated. Given Kuwait’s demographic composition, the model was estimated for full sample, nationals only and expatriates only. Prior to estimating the model, tests were conducted to select a transformation that reduces problems associated with heteroscedasticity and non-normality of the errors. In addition, tests were performed to determine if differences in the estimated coefficients across population groups were statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2636-2650 Issue: 28 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1128073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1128073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:28:p:2636-2650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Title: The elusive character of fiscal sustainability Abstract: We assess the sustainability of public finances in OECD countries using unit root and cointegration analysis, controlling for endogenous breaks. Results deem fiscal sustainability as rather elusive since we find lack of cointegration -- absence of sustainability -- between government revenues and expenditures (except for Austria, Canada, France, Germany, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden and UK); improvements of the primary balance after worsening debt ratios only for Australia, Belgium, Germany, Ireland, Netherlands and the UK; and Granger causality from government debt to primary balances for 12 countries (suggesting Ricardian regimes). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2651-2664 Issue: 28 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1128074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1128074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:28:p:2651-2664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Stefano Di Colli Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Di Colli Author-Name: Roberto Di Salvo Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Di Salvo Author-Name: Juan Sergio Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Juan Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Title: Local banking and local economic growth in Italy: some panel evidence Abstract: This article provides new evidence on the contribution of local banking to local economic growth (i.e. at county level -- the Italian ‘province’) in Italy. A comprehensive data set is used, which includes control variables for social capital and human capital as well as indicators of the quality of local infrastructures and the production structure of the local economy. A linear within-estimator technique with fixed effects is applied to a modified version of the so-called Barro regression in order to address the well-known econometric issues of reverse causality and estimation bias resulting from unobserved district-specific influences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2665-2674 Issue: 28 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1128075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1128075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:28:p:2665-2674 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Astrid Ayala Author-X-Name-First: Astrid Author-X-Name-Last: Ayala Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Author-Name: Juncal Cuñado Author-X-Name-First: Juncal Author-X-Name-Last: Cuñado Author-Name: Luis Albériko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Albériko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Regime-switching purchasing power parity in Latin America: Monte Carlo unit root tests with dynamic conditional score Abstract: We suggest a Monte Carlo simulation-based unit root test of the purchasing power parity theory for Latin American countries. Under the null hypothesis, we use a Markov regime-switching (MS) model with unit root in the conditional location and MS volatility dynamics. Under the alternative hypothesis, the proposed test incorporates Markov regime-switching autoregressive moving average (MS-ARMA) plus MS volatility dynamics. Under both the null and alternative hypotheses, one of the volatility models estimated is Beta-t-EGARCH, which is a recent dynamic conditional score volatility model. We use data on real effective exchange rate time series for 14 Latin American countries. For each country, we estimate by Monte Carlo simulation the critical values of the unit root test. We provide an economic discussion of the unit root test results and also study the robustness of MS-ARMA plus MS volatility with respect to smooth transition autoregressive models with Fourier function. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2675-2696 Issue: 29 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1128076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1128076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:29:p:2675-2696 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lili Li Author-X-Name-First: Lili Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jun Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Xin Zou Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Title: A study of credit risk of Chinese listed companies: ZPP versus KMV Abstract: The Zero-Price Probability (ZPP) model is applied to evaluate the credit risk of listed companies in China and its performance is compared to that of the Kealhofer-McQuown-Vasicek (KMV) model. The sample includes 34 financially distressed companies and a comparison group of 34 financially healthy companies. The performances of ZPP and KMV models are compared using various descriptive statistics and statistical tests. The empirical analyses show that the ZPP model is superior to the KMV model in terms of discriminatory power. Compared to the KMV model, the ZPP model performs much better in distinguishing between financially challenged and healthy firms. Among different specifications of the ZPP model, the naïve constant variance zero-price probability model outperforms those with generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity specifications. This article is among the very first studies that provide evidence on the performance of the ZPP model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2697-2710 Issue: 29 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1128077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1128077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:29:p:2697-2710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. P. Barros Author-X-Name-First: C. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: O. H. dos S. Figueiredo Author-X-Name-First: O. H. dos S. Author-X-Name-Last: Figueiredo Author-Name: Silvestre Dumbo Author-X-Name-First: Silvestre Author-X-Name-Last: Dumbo Title: A performance assessment of the Angolan soccer league Abstract: This article analyses the technical efficiency of the Angolan soccer league from 2008 to 2014, using a translog distance stochastic frontier model. The Greene stochastic frontier model, presented in 2005, and Kumbhakar stochastic frontier model, presented in 1990, are adopted, and the covariates used include Luanda location, funding by the oil company Sonangol, club supported by rich fans and club relegated during the period. Policy implications are then derived. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2711-2720 Issue: 29 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1128078 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1128078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:29:p:2711-2720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Ceballos Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Ceballos Author-Name: Alberto Naudon Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Naudon Author-Name: Damián Romero Author-X-Name-First: Damián Author-X-Name-Last: Romero Title: Nominal term structure and term premia: evidence from Chile Abstract: The downwards trend exhibited in Chile’s nominal term structure since 2003 has been a common pattern shared by other developed and developing economies. To understand the behaviour of the nominal yield curve in Chile, we rely on an affine dynamic term structure model which allows the term structure to decompose into the expected short-term interest rate (related to the monetary policy expectation) and the term premium. We show that most of the fall of long-term interest rates as well as its dynamics are related to the term premium rather than the expected short-term interest rate. Moreover, we find evidence that term premium is driven primarily by the US term premium and domestic nominal uncertainty derived from expected inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2721-2735 Issue: 29 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1128079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1128079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:29:p:2721-2735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carmen Bachmann Author-X-Name-First: Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Bachmann Author-Name: Martin Baumann Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Baumann Title: The repatriation incentive of the foreign dividend exemption system Abstract: Due to the high taxation of domestic corporate income, Japanese multinational enterprises have avoided to repatriate foreign profits to Japan for quite some time. As a consequence, the Japanese government introduced a new taxation system in 2009 -- the so called dividend exemption system -- which was aimed at reducing the effective tax burden of foreign dividends of Japanese multinational companies in order to increase tax revenue and stimulate economic growth. Applying a theoretical framework which allows comparing the repatriation incentive of the old and new Japanese tax systems, we find that in the long-run the tax regime change fails to incentivize foreign subsidiaries to repatriate foreign profits. Especially subsidiaries with high leverage located in countries with low corporate taxes and low dividend taxes might reinvest rather than distribute their earnings in the dividend exemption method. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2736-2755 Issue: 29 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1128080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1128080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:29:p:2736-2755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nirosha Hewa Wellalage Author-X-Name-First: Nirosha Hewa Author-X-Name-Last: Wellalage Author-Name: Stuart Locke Author-X-Name-First: Stuart Author-X-Name-Last: Locke Title: Informality and credit constraints: evidence from Sub-Saharan African MSEs Abstract: The attributes of micro and small enterprises (MSEs) influencing access to credit, in particular the level and role of firm informality, are analysed in the article. The puzzle is the push for MSEs to join the formal sector and the tug to avoid the extra burden it places on the firm. It is important to know more clearly what forces are at work and the sources of the causal effects. This study uses data from the World Bank Enterprise Surveys for five low-income countries (LICs) in Sub-Saharan Africa. The method is empirical and as we find informality to be endogenous to credit constraints, an instrumental variable approach is estimated. Further, to address the possibility of reverse causality, an instrument for the informality variable is required; not registered with Inland Revenue (tax office) is the chosen instrument variable. The findings reveal that as the probability of a firm operating in the formal sector increases, there is greater access to external credit. The causality relationships are tested providing a strong platform for the formalization of polices to reduce the informality of the MSE sector. These are discussed in the context of the research findings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2756-2770 Issue: 29 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1128081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1128081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:29:p:2756-2770 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mevlude Akbulut-Yuksel Author-X-Name-First: Mevlude Author-X-Name-Last: Akbulut-Yuksel Author-Name: Melanie Khamis Author-X-Name-First: Melanie Author-X-Name-Last: Khamis Author-Name: Mutlu Yuksel Author-X-Name-First: Mutlu Author-X-Name-Last: Yuksel Title: For better or for worse: the long-term effects of postwar mobilization on family formation Abstract: This article estimates the long-term legacies of female labour force mobilization on women’s family formation outcomes such as marriage, age at first marriage and divorce. We identify the long-term marriage effects of female labour force mobilization by exploring postwar mandatory employment in Germany. Using difference-in-differences analysis, we find that participation in postwar reconstruction efforts increased women’s probability of being currently married, ever married and marrying at younger ages. We also find that postwar employment had no differential effect on divorce rates of the affected cohorts of women. These results persist after accounting for the potential changes in the composition of the population, demand for female labour, war relief payments and postwar state-specific policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2771-2784 Issue: 29 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1128082 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1128082 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:29:p:2771-2784 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Zorro Mendes Author-X-Name-First: Zorro Author-X-Name-Last: Mendes Title: Assessing the competition in Angola’s banking industry Abstract: This article analyses the level of competition in Angola’s banking industry using the Panzar--Rosse model with data from 2005 to 2014. Competition is a vital aspect of the banking market and therefore it is central to policy-making. The results reveal that Angola banking competition is monopolist and therefore lower competition is found in Angola banks. Policy implication is derived. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2785-2791 Issue: 30 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1128083 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1128083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:30:p:2785-2791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akhand Akhtar Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Akhand Akhtar Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Author-Name: Popkarn Arwatchanakarn Author-X-Name-First: Popkarn Author-X-Name-Last: Arwatchanakarn Title: Inflation and inflation volatility in Thailand Abstract: Quarterly data for Thailand are used in this article for the period 1965q3--2013q4 to investigate both the relationship between inflation and inflation volatility, and the impact of inflation volatility on economic growth. Inflation volatility is estimated by deploying the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GARCH) technique. A Granger causality test is then conducted to examine the causality between inflation and inflation volatility. The empirical results obtained are consistent with a number of theoretical propositions. First, the results are consistent with the Friedman--Ball proposition, which states that a rise in inflation raises inflation volatility. Second, there is evidence supporting the Holland proposition that inflation volatility lowers the rate of inflation. This is consistent with the view that central banks attempt to stabilize inflation with the rise in inflation volatility. Third, empirical results obtained by asymmetric GARCH models suggest that inflation shocks have an asymmetric impact on inflation volatility (i.e. a positive inflation shock has a larger impact on inflation volatility -- as measured by the logarithm of the conditional variance of inflation -- than a negative inflation shock). Fourth, inflation volatility has an adverse impact on economic growth. Finally, given the fixed/pegged or managed float exchange rate system, US inflation has been found to have a positive impact on inflation and its volatility in Thailand. This article discusses the implications of empirical findings on the design and enactment of monetary policy for price stability in Thailand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2792-2806 Issue: 30 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1130215 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1130215 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:30:p:2792-2806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Collet Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Collet Author-Name: D. Legros Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Legros Title: Dynamics of female labour force participation in France Abstract: This article formulates and estimates a structural intertemporal model of labour force participation. Relying on theoretical characterizations derived from an economic model of lifetime behaviour, we estimate a dynamic probit model with correlated random effects using longitudinal data to allow for a dynamic structure. The model is applied to a panel of married women drawn from the 1997--2002 French Labour Force surveys in order to represent their participation behaviour. It is estimated by maximum simulated likelihood. Our results show that women’s decisions to go out to work are characterized by significant state dependence, unobserved heterogeneity and negative serial correlation in the transitory error component. In addition, we find that the presence of young children in a woman’s household reduces her labour participation, but unequally according to their age and number. As expected, educational level has a positive impact on women’s participation. Last, a rise in the husband’s wage is found to raise female participation initially and to lower it subsequently. This empirical finding suggests that leisure may not systematically be a normal good, contrary to what is frequently assumed in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2807-2821 Issue: 30 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1130787 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1130787 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:30:p:2807-2821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thanh Pham Thien Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Thanh Pham Thien Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Son Hong Nghiem Author-X-Name-First: Son Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Nghiem Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Author-Name: Parmendra Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Parmendra Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: Bank reforms and efficiency in Vietnamese banks: evidence based on SFA and DEA Abstract: This study examines the cost efficiency of Vietnamese banks from 2000 to 2014 in the first stage, and the selection and dynamic effects of two governance reforms, foreign partial acquisition and listing on the stock exchange, on the efficiency in the second stage. Empirical results from the two-stage Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA) are highly consistent with those from the two-stage Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) . Specifically, the first-stage efficiency estimation indicates that the cost efficiency shows a slightly upward trend over the period 2000--2014, with the cost efficiency score being 0.93 and state-owned banks outperforming joint-stock banks (JSBs). The mixed process seemingly unrelated regression estimator which controls the potential endogeneity of public listing and foreign acquisition in the second stage shows that selection effects occur in the Vietnamese banking system: banks selected by the strategic foreign investors for partial acquisition and banks selected for public listing are more cost-efficient than those not selected. The short-term and long-term dynamic effects of foreign partial acquisition are documented: the cost efficiency of the Vietnamese banks post-partial acquisition is lower than prior-partial acquisition, and it experiences a decreasing trend since partial acquisition. However, the short-term and long-term dynamic effects of public listing are not evidenced: the cost efficiency of the banks after public listing is not statistically different from that before public listing, and it also reveals an unclear trend since public listing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2822-2835 Issue: 30 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1130788 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1130788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:30:p:2822-2835 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. A. Korthals Author-X-Name-First: R. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Korthals Author-Name: J. Dronkers Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dronkers Title: Selection on performance and tracking Abstract: Tracking is widely used in secondary schools around the world. Some countries put more emphasis on the use of performance to place students into tracks (e.g. the Netherlands), while in other countries parents have more influence on the track their child will go to (e.g. Germany). This article examines whether selection into tracks based on performance has an effect on the relation between tracking and student performance and educational opportunities. Using data from the Programme for International Student Assessment for around 185 000 students in 31 countries, different estimation models are compared. The results indicate that a highly differentiated system is best for performance when schools always consider prior performance when deciding on student acceptance. In systems with a few tracks, there is no such impact. Equality of opportunity is best provided for in a system with many tracks when schools always consider prior performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2836-2851 Issue: 30 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1130789 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1130789 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:30:p:2836-2851 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos E. da Costa Author-X-Name-First: Carlos E. Author-X-Name-Last: da Costa Author-Name: Jaime de Jesus Filho Author-X-Name-First: Jaime de Author-X-Name-Last: Jesus Filho Author-Name: Paulo Matos Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Matos Title: Forward-premium puzzle: is it time to abandon the usual regression? Abstract: The forward premium puzzle is usually evidenced by the rejection of the null hypothesis in the uncovered interest parity (UIP) regression. Because this parity need only hold in a risk-neutral world, a risk adjustment term is missing from the equation if speculation in foreign exchange markets is risky. We deal with this issue following the literature which assumes that discounted returns on foreign government bonds are log-normal, so we can linearize the Euler pricing equations (in level) and obtain a modified UIP system for which the risk adjustment term is obtained by applying to the pricing kernel-based relations a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity-in-mean model. However, here we innovate by adopting a methodology which differs from all these related works. We construct and use a stochastic discount factor that does not depend on a specific model, by residing in the space of returns which we extract from the data by simply imposing the orthogonality restrictions represented by the Euler equations. So, we devise a purely statistical pricing kernel that performs well in in-sample level equations. Somewhat disappointingly, the risk premium inclusion in the conventional regression changes neither the significance nor the magnitude of the forecasting power of the forward premium for most currencies we study. The contrasting performance of the tests in level and in logs suggests that linearization may be to blame. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2852-2867 Issue: 30 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1130790 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1130790 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:30:p:2852-2867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Araujo Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Araujo Author-Name: Vladimir Ponczek Author-X-Name-First: Vladimir Author-X-Name-Last: Ponczek Author-Name: André Portela Souza Author-X-Name-First: André Portela Author-X-Name-Last: Souza Title: Informality in an economy with active labour courts Abstract: Job regulations and the justice branch interfere on several aspects of labour contracts. We build a model which explores the role of labour courts on the wage distribution in both formal and informal sectors. We obtain that the presence of active labour courts produces a negative relation between the wage gap and the productivity of the worker, a regularity documented in the empirical literature. Active labour courts also reduce informality of unskilled workers but do not have an impact on informality of skilled workers. Some elements and implications of our model are tested using Brazilian data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2868-2882 Issue: 30 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1130791 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1130791 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:30:p:2868-2882 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Kevin McGee Author-X-Name-First: M. Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: McGee Title: Two universal, probabilistic measures of competitive imbalance Abstract: I propose two universal measures of competitive imbalance. The first is, like those in the existing literature, based on team season win--loss records. The second is based solely on the outcomes of the various series of individual matchups during a season. Both measures will on average equal (2p − 1)-super-2, where p is the ‘typical’ probability that the stronger team will win any particular game. Both measures will average zero when a league is competitively balanced and will converge to 1 as the league approaches perfect imbalance. In addition, both measures are universal, in that they are on average independent of the number of teams in the league and the number of games played during the season. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2883-2894 Issue: 31 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1130792 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1130792 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:31:p:2883-2894 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stelios Bekiros Author-X-Name-First: Stelios Author-X-Name-Last: Bekiros Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Clement Kyei Author-X-Name-First: Clement Author-X-Name-Last: Kyei Title: A non-linear approach for predicting stock returns and volatility with the use of investor sentiment indices Abstract: The popular sentiment-based investor index S-super-BW introduced by Baker and Wurgler (2006, 2007) is shown to have no predictive ability for stock returns. However, Huang et al. (2015) developed a new investor sentiment index, S-super-PLS, which can predict monthly stock returns based on a linear framework. However, the linear model may lead to misspecification and lack of robustness. We provide statistical evidence that the relationship between stock returns, S-super-BW and S-super-PLS is characterized by structural instability and inherent nonlinearity. Given this, using a nonparametric causality approach, we show that neither S-super-BW nor S-super-PLS predicts stock market returns or even its volatility, as opposed to previous empirical evidence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2895-2898 Issue: 31 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1130793 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1130793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:31:p:2895-2898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Omid Ranjbar Author-X-Name-First: Omid Author-X-Name-Last: Ranjbar Title: Quantile unit root test and PPP: evidence from 23 OECD countries Abstract: Application of six different univariate unit root tests to real effective exchange rates of 23 OECD countries supports their stationarity or Purchasing Power Parity theory (PPP) only in five countries, a result consistent with previous research that is known as PPP puzzle. However, descriptive statistics of each effective rate reveals a clear sign of non-normal distribution. To account for this, we use quantile unit root test which allows impact of different shocks to be realized at different quantiles. When we applied this new test to the same rates, number of countries in which PPP is supported increased to 16. Apparently, incorporating effects of shocks improves testing efficiency and provides more support for the PPP and reduces the severity of the puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2899-2911 Issue: 31 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1130794 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1130794 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:31:p:2899-2911 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Seyed Hesam Ghodsi Author-X-Name-First: Seyed Hesam Author-X-Name-Last: Ghodsi Title: Do changes in the fundamentals have symmetric or asymmetric effects on house prices? Evidence from 52 states of the United States of America Abstract: Time-series studies that have tried to establish the long-run relationship between house prices and economic fundamentals have been criticized due to low power of their cointegration tests. On the other hand, those who have used panel data and panel tests to increase the power have found mixed results. Both groups have assumed that changes in the fundamentals have symmetric effects on house prices. In this article, we use nonlinear ARDL approach to cointegration and error-correction modelling and quarterly data from each of the states in the US to show that changes in the fundamentals have asymmetric effects on house prices, in the short run as well as in the long run. Cointegration between house prices and fundamentals is established in 30 states and in District of Columbia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2912-2936 Issue: 31 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1130795 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1130795 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:31:p:2912-2936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sekou Keita Author-X-Name-First: Sekou Author-X-Name-Last: Keita Title: Bilateral real exchange rates and migration Abstract: Migrants who move across borders are, to a large extent, motivated by the prospect of earning higher incomes at destination, which can be partly transferred back to their countries of origin via remittances. This suggests that the real exchange rate can influence the incentives to migrate, as it determines the purchasing power of expected income in terms of the currency of the origin country. This article investigates empirically how bilateral real exchange rate fluctuations influence international migration flows. To do so, we build a dataset of 30 OECD destination countries and 165 origin countries over the period 1980--2011 and estimate an equation derived from a micro-founded random utility maximization model that allows for unobserved heterogeneity between migrants and non-migrants. Our results show that migration flows are highly responsive to bilateral real exchange rates: A 10% real appreciation of the currency of the destination country is associated with an 18.2--19.4% increase in migration flows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2937-2951 Issue: 31 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1133893 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1133893 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:31:p:2937-2951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yankun Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yankun Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Jinghong Shu Author-X-Name-First: Jinghong Author-X-Name-Last: Shu Author-Name: Jin E. Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jin E. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Investor sentiment, variance risk premium and delta-hedged gains Abstract: Delta-hedged gains are supposed to be negative and represent a volatility risk premium. Using a sample of Standard & Poor 500 index options from 2006 to 2009, this study documents two anomalies that cannot be explained by the volatility risk premium. First, delta-hedged gains are more negative for out-of-money options than for at-the-money options. Second, delta-hedged gains are significantly positive during financial crisis period. We propose a behavioural explanation in which both option prices and stock prices are affected by investor’s sentiment, but pessimistic sentiment has a greater impact on stock market than option market. This asymmetric response to pessimistic mood in turn affects the relative expensiveness of option prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2952-2964 Issue: 31 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1133894 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1133894 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:31:p:2952-2964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. P. Barros Author-X-Name-First: C. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Dércio Mandlaze Author-X-Name-First: Dércio Author-X-Name-Last: Mandlaze Author-Name: Scott Tainsky Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Tainsky Title: The efficiency of Mozambique soccer league: the Moçambola Abstract: This paper analyses the technical efficiency of the Mozambique football league from 2008 to 2014 using a Bayesian stochastic frontier model with exponential specification. Covariates include contextual characteristics such as location, identification as a Muslim club, and sporting performance. The results uncover that Mozambique sports clubs display varying efficiency, revealing distinct managerial incentives in the Mozambique football league. Policy implications are derived, including efficiency scores deemed to be acceptable to the league and reconsideration of the rationale for national investment in all league’s clubs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2965-2971 Issue: 31 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1133895 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1133895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:31:p:2965-2971 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: R&D intensity, economic growth and firm-size growth: theory and practice Abstract: This article proposes a theoretical knowledge-driven horizontal research and development (R&D) endogenous-growth model to explain, for 10 innovative countries, the co-movement of the respective R&D intensity, economic growth and firm-size growth, by exploring short-medium-run and long-run growth effects. Bearing in mind some recent literature, we improve the R&D technology, by considering that R&D is more labour intensive through time as complexity increases, that the diffusion of designs is affected by coordination, organizational and transportation costs, and that a potential entrant will come up with the right idea is reduced because of the presence of a larger number of entrants. We show that when the economy is not initially in a steady state, it can take a saddle path towards the unique and locally saddle-path stable interior steady state. Both transitional-dynamics and steady-state behaviours of our theoretical model are then consistent with, respectively, the time-series and the cross-sectional evidence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2973-2993 Issue: 32 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1133896 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1133896 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:32:p:2973-2993 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chunyang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Chunyang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Xiao Qin Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Author-Name: Xundi Diao Author-X-Name-First: Xundi Author-X-Name-Last: Diao Author-Name: Yingchen He Author-X-Name-First: Yingchen Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Estimating multi-period Value at Risk of oil futures prices Abstract: In this study, we estimate the multi-period Value at Risk (VaR) of oil future prices under a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with a skewed- residuals (GARCH-ST) model, which is developed to account for the stylized facts of oil futures returns, such as serial correlation, volatility clustering, asymmetry and heavy tails. An efficient approximation algorithm based on the moment calibration method is developed to compute the multi-period VaR, and the numerical experiments show that the algorithm can yield good approximation quality. In the empirical analysis, we find that the GARCH-ST model can yield superior out-of-sample performance to a GARCH-normal model or a GARCH- model, especially when measuring the extreme tail risk. Meanwhile, the square root of time rule (SRTR) tends to underestimate the multi-period tail risk, and cannot produce a better performance than the GARCH family models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2994-3004 Issue: 32 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1133897 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1133897 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:32:p:2994-3004 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric C. Y. Ng Author-X-Name-First: Eric C. Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Ng Author-Name: Ying Chu Ng Author-X-Name-First: Ying Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Ng Title: What explains the total factor productivity gap between OECD economies and the U.S.? Abstract: Since 2000, the total factor productivity (TFP) in most of the OECD economies relative to the United States has been declining. This article develops an empirical model to study the linkages between relative differences in TFP gap and relative differences in fundamental factors (factor gaps). Using panel data for 33 OECD countries, it finds that the machinery and equipment investment gap, the gap in information and communication technology penetration related to mobile phone subscriptions, the economic globalization gap and the institutional quality gap explain significantly the TFP gap between the OECD economies and the United States during 2000--2011. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3005-3019 Issue: 32 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1133898 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1133898 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:32:p:3005-3019 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian M. Mills Author-X-Name-First: Brian M. Author-X-Name-Last: Mills Author-Name: Michael Mondello Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Mondello Author-Name: Scott Tainsky Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Tainsky Title: Competition in shared markets and Major League Baseball broadcast viewership Abstract: This work evaluates the cross-quality elasticity of related products in the context of local market Nielsen Local People Meter ratings of Major League Baseball (MLB) regular season broadcasts from 2010 through 2013 from six teams in three shared markets. We employ a fixed effects panel regression with multi-way error clustering, finding that fans exhibit nuanced behaviour related to the absolute quality and relative quality of the two local teams. Our estimates imply quality-related competition for viewership between teams in the face of large disparities in quality. However, when both teams are of high quality, viewership increased beyond what own-team success would predict alone for the competing team. The competitive effects are largely dominated by the spillover effects. These findings point to complementary effects of team success beyond own-team interest, and bring about an important nuance in the literature on market definition, competition and substitution in sport. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3020-3032 Issue: 32 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1133899 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1133899 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:32:p:3020-3032 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruyi Shi Author-X-Name-First: Ruyi Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Shengbao Ji Author-X-Name-First: Shengbao Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Author-Name: Xiaozhen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaozhen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Fan Li Author-X-Name-First: Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Impacts of star-rated hotel expansion on inbound tourism development: evidence from China Abstract: This article applies heterogeneous firm trade theory, developed for the manufacturing sector, to the hotel and tourism industry to detect expansion among star-rated hotels in the context of inbound tourism development at the macro level. This article adopts both a traditional ordinary least squares (OLS) panel model and a threshold panel model using data from 31 administrative regions (provinces) in China during the 2004--2013 period. The results reveal remarkable and significant nonlinear relationships between star-rated hotel expansion and inbound tourism development, thereby offering sound evidence supporting the research hypotheses. Star-rated hotel expansion in most provinces clusters in the standardized threshold between 0.48 and 0.83, while only a few hotels have realized ‘leapfrog development’ thus far. In addition, as in the particular case of star-rated hotels, inbound tourism development should be promoted through investments in human resources rather than through the exploitation of natural tourism resource endowments. The implications of our results are that rational development plans can be made according to different expansion levels of star-rated hotels in corresponding regions, when both hotel labour productivity and macro tourism environment are considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3033-3048 Issue: 32 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1133900 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1133900 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:32:p:3033-3048 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hooi Hooi Lean Author-X-Name-First: Hooi Author-X-Name-Last: Hooi Lean Author-Name: Vinod Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Vinod Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Conditional convergence in US disaggregated petroleum consumption at the sector level Abstract: We test for convergence in disaggregated petroleum consumption at the sector level for the United States using the recently proposed GARCH unit root test, suitable for high frequency data. We find evidence of convergence for just over half of the series, including total petroleum consumption in each sector and approximately three quarters of the disaggregated petroleum consumption series in transportation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3049-3061 Issue: 32 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1133901 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1133901 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:32:p:3049-3061 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Kilic Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Kilic Author-Name: S. Cankaya Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Cankaya Title: Consumer confidence and economic activity: a factor augmented VAR approach Abstract: This study aims to analyse the effects of the consumer confidence on economic activity for the US market. We use the empirical factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) method, which enables us to incorporate a wide range of economic activity factors into the analysis. The consumer confidence index (CCI) is chosen as the principal variable that is presumed to represent the degree of optimism on the state of economic activity. The results show that consumer confidence and economic activity are strongly correlated for manufacturing-related factors, such as industrial production and inventories. We also observe strong relation among CCI and personal consumption expenditures, as well as housing market variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3062-3080 Issue: 32 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1133902 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1133902 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:32:p:3062-3080 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruzhao Gao Author-X-Name-First: Ruzhao Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Bing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: How does economic policy uncertainty drive gold--stock correlations? Evidence from the UK Abstract: In this article, we investigate the effects of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on correlations between the UK stock market and gold market. We find that less certain economic policies result in lower correlations, while more certain economic policies result in higher correlations. The correlations are symmetric and show no structural breaks caused by the recent financial crisis. The recent financial crisis has not changed EPU effects on the correlations. The effects of one positive one-standard-deviation shock of the logarithmic change rate of the EPU on the correlations last approximately 19 months. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3081-3087 Issue: 33 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1133903 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1133903 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:33:p:3081-3087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George Clarke Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Clarke Author-Name: Yue Li Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Lixin Colin Xu Author-X-Name-First: Lixin Colin Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Business environment, economic agglomeration and job creation around the world Abstract: This article looks at how economic agglomeration and the business environment affect job creation. The results suggest that economic agglomeration is strongly linked to job growth. Modern telecommunications, access to export markets, concentration of economic activity in large cities and capacity agglomeration, in particular, are important. In contrast, many areas of the business environment, including corruption, macroeconomic stability and infrastructure are not robustly linked to job growth. The main exception to this is that areas of the business environment directly related to labour markets are more consistently linked to job growth than other areas of the business environment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3088-3103 Issue: 33 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1136392 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1136392 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:33:p:3088-3103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Young Hoon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Young Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Hayley Jang Author-X-Name-First: Hayley Author-X-Name-Last: Jang Author-Name: Rodney Fort Author-X-Name-First: Rodney Author-X-Name-Last: Fort Title: Just looking for a good game: competitive balance in the Korean Professional Baseball League Abstract: Rottenberg’s uncertainty of outcome hypothesis is about preferences that can vary across fans and sports. We provide the first evidence of the empirical power of the hypothesis in the Korean Professional Baseball League (KPBL). In a panel data set, team-level aggregation over years shows that fans of this league attend in ways consistent with the hypothesis at the level of game uncertainty and consecutive season uncertainty, but only the first is statistically significant. KPBL fans appear to just be looking for a good game. This is consistent with the nearly complete concentration of post-season participation among a very few teams outside of the major population centre in Seoul and a lack of local team identification among KPBL fans. Our work adds to the diversity of league structures in the competitive balance literature since talent levels in KPBL are the result of parent company advertising choices rather than geographic identification. There are research questions and a policy implication. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3104-3115 Issue: 33 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1136393 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1136393 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:33:p:3104-3115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wang Pu Author-X-Name-First: Wang Author-X-Name-Last: Pu Author-Name: Yixiang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yixiang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Feng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Forecasting the realized volatility in the Chinese stock market: further evidence Abstract: In this study, the impact of noise and jump on the forecasting ability of volatility models with high-frequency data is investigated. A signed jump variation is added as an additional explanatory variable in the volatility equation according to the sign of return. These forecasting performances of models with jumps are compared with those without jumps. Being applied to the Chinese stock market, we find that the jump variation has a significant in-sample predictive power to volatility and the predictive power of the negative one is greater than the positive one. Furthermore, out-of-sample evidence based on the fresh model confidence set (MCS) test indicates that the incorporation of singed jumps in volatility models can significantly improve their forecasting ability. In particular, among the realized variance (RV)-based volatility models and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) class models, the heterogeneous autoregressive model of realized volatility (HAR-RV) model with the jump test and a decomposed signed jump variation have better out-of-sample forecasting performance. Finally, the use of the decomposed signed jump variations in predictive regressions can improve the economic value of realized volatility forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3116-3130 Issue: 33 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1136394 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1136394 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:33:p:3116-3130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. Tsanana Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Tsanana Author-Name: X. Chapsa Author-X-Name-First: X. Author-X-Name-Last: Chapsa Author-Name: C. Katrakilidis Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Katrakilidis Title: Is growth corrupted or bureaucratic? Panel evidence from the enlarged EU Abstract: This article aims at analysing the issue of conditional convergence in the new enlarged European Union (EU) over the period 1995--2012 by means of panel data techniques. We examined the issue of conditional convergence in the enlarged EU giving particular attention to the effects of corruption and bureaucracy on growth controlling for a widely used set of explanatory variables such as investment (domestic and foreign), human capital formation, inflation, general government final consumption and trade openness. Furthermore, we examine if growth responds differently to corruption and bureaucracy in the new EU members by means of two group-specific interaction variables to capture possible different responses to corruption and bureaucracy. The analysis reveals evidence of conditional convergence in the enlarged EU, with investment share, foreign direct investment, human capital, and country openness appearing as robust growth drivers. In contrast, inflation and government consumption rather hamper growth. Furthermore, the effects of corruption and bureaucracy on growth seem to differ across old and new EU members. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3131-3147 Issue: 33 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1136395 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1136395 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:33:p:3131-3147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michele Raitano Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Raitano Author-Name: Francesco Vona Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Vona Title: Assessing students’ equality of opportunity in OECD countries: the role of national- and school-level policies Abstract: This article analyses the relationship between equality of opportunity and the characteristics of the educational system, jointly considering country- and school-level policies. Because school social environment represents a fundamental channel in shaping educational opportunities, we consider all policies, recorded in PISA 2012 dataset, that affect the sorting of students to schools. We show that including sorting policies enriches the explanation of the socio-economic gradient, that is, the association between students’ performances and parental background, with respect to previous studies including only country-level features. The negative impact of early tracking on equality of opportunity is overvalued without including other sorting policies, while grouping students’ within-school by ability increases the socio-economic gradient and a greater students’ heterogeneity in the school reduces the gradient. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3148-3163 Issue: 33 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1136396 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1136396 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:33:p:3148-3163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. D. Pitts Author-X-Name-First: J. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Pitts Author-Name: B. Evans Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Title: The role of conference externalities and other factors in determining the annual recruiting rankings of football bowl subdivision (FBS) teams Abstract: In this article, we analyse the impact of school, head coach and conference characteristics on a college football team’s annual recruiting ranking. Utilizing panel data collected from various sources covering 2002--2014, we find that measures of recent school success such as having winning seasons and finishing seasons ranked in the Associated Press (AP) top 25 poll have a positive impact on a team’s recruiting ranking. Similarly, schools with more successful head coaches tend to earn better recruiting classes, while schools facing bowl bans, scholarship restrictions and probation tend to earn worse recruiting classes. Various measures of conference achievement indicate that conference externalities in recruiting may indeed be positive as is often suggested; however, there is much potential for a negative externality as well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3164-3174 Issue: 33 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1136397 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1136397 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:33:p:3164-3174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jakob B. Madsen Author-X-Name-First: Jakob B. Author-X-Name-Last: Madsen Author-Name: Iqtiar Mamun Author-X-Name-First: Iqtiar Author-X-Name-Last: Mamun Title: Has the capital accumulation in the Asian miracle economies been fuelled by growth? Abstract: The Asian growth miracle is often attributed to factor accumulation under the implicit assumption that savings, broadly defined, have been high and increasing due to exogenous forces. Using data for India, Indonesia, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan over the period 1870--2011 this article examines the causal relationship between growth and saving. The response of growth to savings is first estimated using instruments to generate exogenous variation in savings rates. The residual variation in growth that is not driven by savings is then used as an instrument to estimate the effect of growth on savings. The estimates show that the spectacular saving rates in the Asian miracle economies have been fuelled by growth, and not the other way around. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3175-3194 Issue: 34 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1136398 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1136398 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:34:p:3175-3194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanja Samirana Pattnayak Author-X-Name-First: Sanja Samirana Author-X-Name-Last: Pattnayak Author-Name: Alka Chadha Author-X-Name-First: Alka Author-X-Name-Last: Chadha Title: Is health care a luxury? The debate revisited with new evidence from emerging economies Abstract: This paper studies the long-run relationship between health care expenditure and income using a panel data set of emerging economies over the period 1995--2012. The results show that expenditure on health care and income are non-stationary and cointegrated. After controlling for cross-sectional dependence and unobserved heterogeneity among different countries, we find that the income elasticity of health care is less than 1, indicating that health care is a necessity and not a luxury. Government expenditure and out-of-pocket expenditure turn out to be important determinants of health care expenditure. Among non-monetary factors, results show that old age dependency and female education seem to have significant bearings on health care expenditures. Policy recommendations suggest that government should increase spending on health care in emerging economies since higher incomes may not automatically translate into higher health care spending by the people of these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3195-3207 Issue: 34 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1136399 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1136399 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:34:p:3195-3207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tong Shu Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Shu Author-Name: Huaisi Liao Author-X-Name-First: Huaisi Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: Shou Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shou Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shouyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shouyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Kin Keung Lai Author-X-Name-First: Kin Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Lu Gan Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Gan Title: Analysing remanufacturing decisions of supply chain members in uncertainty of consumer preferences Abstract: This article formulates a gaming model of the closed-loop supply chain with manufacturers (as the leader), sellers and consumers where consumers may or may not be willing to pay remunerative price for remanufactured products vis-à-vis new products. In the model, manufacturers produce new as well as remanufactured products, whereas sellers distribute them. In stable circumstances, this article presents the functional formula of the optimal manufacturing pricing decisions. The results show that when the cost of new products is significantly lower than that of remanufactured ones, manufacturers choose to produce new products only. When the difference between cost of new and remanufactured products is moderate, manufacturers tend to produce both new and remanufactured products, and in some regions, production of new and remanufactured products is proportional to each other. When the difference between cost of new and remanufactured products is enormous, their production and sale tend to stop. Also, this article analyses the effects of varying cost of new and remanufactured products and the recycling rate on pricing decisions of supply chain members. This article contributes to the management of manufacturers’ and sellers’ remanufacturing decisions and also provides advice on how governments can guide consumer preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3208-3227 Issue: 34 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1136400 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1136400 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:34:p:3208-3227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anshul Jain Author-X-Name-First: Anshul Author-X-Name-Last: Jain Author-Name: Pratap Chandra Biswal Author-X-Name-First: Pratap Chandra Author-X-Name-Last: Biswal Author-Name: Sajal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Sajal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Volatility--volume causality across single stock spot--futures markets in India Abstract: This study examines the causal relationships between volatility and volume across spot and futures market for the 50 constituent stocks of the CNX NIFTY Index. Granger non-causality tests implemented using vector autoregression (VAR) and asymmetric VAR models indicate the presence of significant causal relations from both the spot and futures volume to both the spot and futures volatility. Bidirectional causal relationships between spot and futures volume were observed for almost all stocks but few stocks displayed a similar relationship between volatilities. The results highlight the importance of volume in absorbing information and its behaviour as the conduit of information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3228-3243 Issue: 34 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1136401 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1136401 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:34:p:3228-3243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Fernando Perez de Gracia Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Perez de Gracia Title: Persistence, mean reversion and non-linearities in the US housing prices over 1830--2013 Abstract: The objective of this study is to provide a direct estimate of the degree of persistence of measures of nominal and real house prices for the US economy, covering the longest possible annual sample of data, namely 1830--2013. The estimation of the degree of persistence accommodates for non-linear (deterministic) trends using Chebyshev polynomials in time. In general, the results show a high degree of persistence in the series along with a component of non-linear behaviour. In general, if we assume uncorrelated errors, non-linearities are observed in both nominal and real prices, but this hypothesis is rejected in favour of linear models for the log-transformation of the data. However, if autocorrelated errors are permitted, non-linearities are observed in all cases, and mean reversion is found in the case of logged prices, though given the wide confidence intervals, the unit root null hypothesis cannot be rejected in these cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3244-3252 Issue: 34 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1136402 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1136402 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:34:p:3244-3252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Celia Bilbao Author-X-Name-First: Celia Author-X-Name-Last: Bilbao Author-Name: Luis Valdés Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Valdés Title: Evaluation of the profitability of quality labels in rural tourism accommodation: a hedonic approach using propensity score matching Abstract: In recent years, quality labels for the Spanish tourism sector have been developed as part of a competitive strategy focused on the differentiation of the product. Given this development, it is interesting to analyse the profitability of quality labels for the accommodation owners and managers. In particular, this article calculates the profitability of a rural tourism quality label. Through the use of the hedonic price approach, the market valuation of the quality label for rural self-catering cottages is obtained. This valuation is subsequently compared with the expenses incurred by establishments in achieving the quality label. In order to address the usual methodological problems associated with the endogeneity, prior to application of the hedonic approach, the propensity score matching is used. The results indicate that possessing a quality label has a positive impact on the profitability of rural tourism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3253-3263 Issue: 34 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1137546 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1137546 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:34:p:3253-3263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Filomena Pietrovito Author-X-Name-First: Filomena Author-X-Name-Last: Pietrovito Title: Do price-earnings ratios explain investment decisions better than Tobin’s q? Evidence from German firm-level data Abstract: This article tests the additional information content of price-earnings ratios, with respect to Tobin’s q, in explaining firms’ investment behaviour. While Tobin’s q describes the expected future earnings related to those projected by the book value, the price-earnings ratio compares future growth of earnings based on the projection of current earnings. In other words, a high price-earnings ratio might indicate that investors are willing to rely on future earnings growth, even though current earnings are low. By using an unbalanced panel of about 500 listed firms from Germany over the period 1987--2007, we find that including the price-earnings ratio in the investment equation does not change the explanatory power of Tobin’s q. Most notably, the price-earnings ratio exerts a positive and significant impact on investment. These results are robust to the inclusion of a measure of the firm’s internal funds and of fixed effects and also to the use of different estimators. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3264-3276 Issue: 34 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1137547 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1137547 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:34:p:3264-3276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chenghu Ma Author-X-Name-First: Chenghu Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Risk aversion, fanning preference and volatility smirk on S&P 500 index options Abstract: This article proposes a novel way of pricing S&P 500 index options in the presence of jump risk. Our analysis is built upon an equilibrium option pricing rule for a representative agent economy. In particular, we use the weighted utility’s certainty equivalent to specify agent’s risk preference, which displays a fanning-out characteristic. We find that the fanning effect captures a remarkably large portion of the total market risk premium implicit in options. As a result, the model with fanning effect generates pronounced volatility smirks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3277-3292 Issue: 35 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1137548 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1137548 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:35:p:3277-3292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John E. Ataguba Author-X-Name-First: John E. Author-X-Name-Last: Ataguba Title: Assessing equitable health financing for universal health coverage: a case study of South Africa Abstract: This article argues that an assessment of progressivity over time can provide an indication of progress towards a ‘more’ progressive or a ‘less’ regressive health financing system and can be useful to policymakers. It introduces a framework to characterize ‘shifts’ in progressivity in health financing between two time periods using the popularly known Kakwani index of progressivity and other associated indices. It also decomposes the ‘shifts’ in progressivity into the relative contributions of the changes in income distribution and the changes in the distribution of health payments. Further, it proposes graphics that statistically analyses how the ‘shifts’ in progressivity vary along the distribution of income. A pro-poor (pro-rich) shift implies that the health financing mechanism is becoming more (less) progressive or less (more) regressive between two time periods. A proportional shift means that progressivity is constant between the two periods. This framework is applied to nationally representative household data from South Africa. It emerged that such characterization is a very useful tool for policy in assessing progress towards equitable health financing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3293-3306 Issue: 35 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1137549 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1137549 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:35:p:3293-3306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sylvi Rzepka Author-X-Name-First: Sylvi Author-X-Name-Last: Rzepka Author-Name: Marcus Tamm Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Tamm Title: Local employer competition and training of workers Abstract: The new training literature suggests that in a monopsonistic market employers will not only pay for firm-specific training but also pay for general training if the risk of poaching is limited. This implies that training should decrease with more competition for employees among firms. Using worker-level data for Germany on training participation and on training duration, the authors find empirical support for this hypothesis. Specifically, the authors find that employees are significantly less likely to participate in training if the local density of firms in a sector is high and they have shorter training durations when the local sector concentration is low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3307-3321 Issue: 35 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1137550 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1137550 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:35:p:3307-3321 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. Geronikolaou Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Geronikolaou Author-Name: G. Papachristou Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Papachristou Title: Lottery pricing and price elasticity dispersion in the UK and Canada Abstract: We estimate effective price elasticities for different quantiles of the demand distribution of the UK National Lottery and the Canadian Lotto 649. We show that price elasticities vary significantly from draw to draw and have a tendency to increase with lottery participation and jackpot size. Our findings indicate that setting lottery rules on the basis of mean effective price elasticities should be faced with caution because expected profits are negatively related to the evident variation of elasticities among lottery draws. We also simulate alternative active rollover distributions and show that limiting the rollover accumulation by withholding portions and ploughing them back in future nonrollover draws is potentially profitable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3322-3328 Issue: 35 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1137551 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1137551 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:35:p:3322-3328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Searat Ali Author-X-Name-First: Searat Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Author-Name: Benjamin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jen Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: What determines stock liquidity in Australia? Abstract: Using an index of corporate governance quality (CGQ), we provide the first robust evidence of the determinants of stock liquidity in Australia. We assume that CGQ affects stock liquidity because effective governance decreases information asymmetries between insiders (e.g. managers) and outsiders (e.g. investors), as well as among outsiders, by improving information transparency of a firm. Consistent with agency theory, this study, using 435 large capitalization firms over the period from 2001 to 2008, finds a significant positive relationship between CGQ and stock liquidity, suggesting that better governed firms have a higher level of stock liquidity. These findings are robust to alternative proxies of CGQ, stock liquidity and endogeneity bias. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3329-3344 Issue: 35 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1137552 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1137552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:35:p:3329-3344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsung-Hsun Lu Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Hsun Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Yung-Ming Shiu Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Shiu Title: Can 1-day candlestick patterns be profitable on the 30 component stocks of the DJIA? Abstract: We set out in this study to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the profitability of every possible 1-day candlestick pattern using data on the 30 component stocks of the Dow Jones Industrial Average index. Our study involves a very lengthy sample period running from January 1974 to December 2009, with the results revealing a noticeable increase in the predictive power of 1-day candlestick patterns from 1992 onwards. Our evidence shows that several of the patterns may well prove to be profitable for the Dow Jones Industrial Average stocks. The robustness of our results is subsequently confirmed based upon a bootstrap analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3345-3354 Issue: 35 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1137553 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1137553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:35:p:3345-3354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Manuel Cordero Author-X-Name-First: José Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cordero Author-Name: Manuel Muñiz Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Muñiz Author-Name: Cristina Polo Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Polo Title: The determinants of cognitive and non-cognitive educational outcomes: empirical evidence in Spain using a Bayesian approach Abstract: This article aims to extend the literature about the role played by socio-economic and family background in educational outcomes by comparing the determinants of two different dimensions of educational output: academic achievement and non-cognitive traits. To do this, we explore the information provided by a self-report survey developed specifically for the purpose of this research. This will provide us with an innovative measure of non-cognitive performance based on particular personal traits, such as responsibility, effort, motivation and critical capacity, as well as a common measure of cognitive proficiency. We use a Bayesian approach to estimate the potential influence of multiple individual and family variables on both dimensions of educational output. From our results, we find that, despite some similarities, there are several important divergences with regard to some socio-economic variables that have been traditionally considered to be the most influential determinants of academic achievement which do not appear to have a significant impact on non-cognitive outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3355-3372 Issue: 35 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1137554 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1137554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:35:p:3355-3372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinpeng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Jinpeng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Max Tang Author-X-Name-First: Max Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Yuming Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yuming Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Value of hedge and expected returns Abstract: We demonstrate how it is possible to generate value for an investor with a hedge attached to the buy-and-hold strategy of an S&P 500 index fund. We study the S&P 500 index portfolio (not including dividends) and the value-weighted S&P 500 index portfolio (including dividends) of the Center for Research in Securities Prices for 1967:01--2011:12, using the capacity utilization and the unemployment rates in real time to determine if a hedge position should be initiated or closed. A hedge is initiated if the capacity utilization, the unemployment rate or a combination of the two signals a contraction in the real economy. The hedge position is closed if it signals otherwise an expansion. We use utility gains (Campbell and Thompson 2008), the manipulation-proof performance measure (MPPM) statistics (Ingersoll et al. 2007) and the P-Sharpe ratio (Bailey and López de Prado 2012) to evaluate the performance of a particular hedge strategy. The empirical results show that there are infinitely many hedges that can generate positive utility gains, higher MPPM statistics and higher P-Sharpe ratios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3373-3398 Issue: 36 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1139675 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1139675 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:36:p:3373-3398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amar I. Anwar Author-X-Name-First: Amar I. Author-X-Name-Last: Anwar Author-Name: Mazhar Y. Mughal Author-X-Name-First: Mazhar Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Mughal Title: Migrant remittances and fertility Abstract: This study examines the role of migrants’ remittances in developing countries’ fertility transition. Employing an unbalanced panel of South Asian countries and controlling for various economic and socio-demographic factors, we find that remittances are significantly associated with a lower number of children born to women of childbearing age. This suggests the remittances’ substitution effect to be at play rather than the income effect, and may result from decreased need for children for financing the household’s future needs as well as from better access to healthcare and contraceptive methods available to migrant households. Remittances’ association with fertility appears to be more important than the transfer of fertility norms from migrants’ host countries. The monetary aspects of international migration may therefore be more important for the region’s demographic transition than social remittances. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3399-3415 Issue: 36 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1139676 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1139676 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:36:p:3399-3415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Xie Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: O. Isengildina-Massa Author-X-Name-First: O. Author-X-Name-Last: Isengildina-Massa Author-Name: G. P. Dwyer Author-X-Name-First: G. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Dwyer Author-Name: J. L. Sharp Author-X-Name-First: J. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Sharp Title: The impact of public and semi-public information on cotton futures market Abstract: This study estimated the impact of all major public and semi-public reports on the cotton futures market from 1995 through 2012. The estimation was based on the event study approach with the events measured by the release of five major reports: Export Sales, Crop Progress, World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) and Prospective Plantings (public reports from US Department of Agriculture) and Cotton This Month (semi-public report from International Cotton Advisory Committee). The best-fitting IGARCH(1,1)-t model that accounted for the day-of-week, seasonality and stock levels was used to measure the report effects on daily nearby cotton close-to-close futures returns. Prospective Plantings and WASDE reports appeared to be the most important sources of information in the cotton markets moving the conditional standard deviation of returns by an average of 14.4 and 9.6 percentage points, respectively. However, significant market reaction was not found for the other three reports. Our analysis revealed that, in the presence of clustering, ignoring the impact of other reports would have resulted in about 18% overestimation of WASDE impact. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3416-3431 Issue: 36 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1139677 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1139677 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:36:p:3416-3431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Title: The franc shock and Swiss GDP: how long does it take to start feeling the pain? Abstract: The article addresses the question on what is the typical time horizon over which a full transmission of movements in the real exchange rate takes place into real economy. We base our analysis on the mixed-frequency small-scale dynamic factor model (DFM) proposed by Siliverstovs in 2012 fitted to the Swiss data. In this article, we augment the benchmark model with the real exchange rate of the Swiss franc vis-a-vis currencies of its 24 trading partners, while keeping the rest of model specification intact. We are interested in investigating the relationship between the common latent factor, representing the Swiss business cycle, and the real exchange rate. We explore the temporal relationship between these two variables by varying the time lag with which the real exchange rate enters the factor model by recording the magnitude and statistical significance of the factor loading coefficient in the equation pertaining to the real exchange rate variable. Our main conclusion is that the fluctuations in the exchange rate start influencing real economy after 1 month and their effect is practically over after 13 months. The largest effect is recorded at the time horizon of about 6 to 9 months. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3432-3441 Issue: 36 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1139678 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1139678 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:36:p:3432-3441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Q. Li Author-X-Name-First: Q. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: C.H. Peng Author-X-Name-First: C.H. Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Title: The stock market effect of air pollution: evidence from China Abstract: In financial studies, environmental stimuli such as sunshine, temperature, and daylight are often used as proxies for people’s collective mood swings to test their effects on the stock market. China has experienced serious air pollution problems in recent years, and Chinese public awareness of air pollution has soared. In this paper, we use China as a natural experiment to investigate the effect on stock returns of depressed moods induced by air pollution. Daily air-pollution data from 2005 to 2014 are analysed and the results obtained from the empirical research show that a contemporaneous negative and a two-day lagged positive relationship exists between air pollution levels and stock returns over this time period. The relationship is mediated by the influence of air pollution on investment decisions. The results also indicate that the effect is weakened for companies that protect air quality, but no stronger effect is detected for polluting companies. The findings imply that air pollution is a behavioural factor with some connection to stock returns in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3442-3461 Issue: 36 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1139679 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1139679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:36:p:3442-3461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raul Ibarra Author-X-Name-First: Raul Author-X-Name-Last: Ibarra Title: How important is the credit channel in the transmission of monetary policy in Mexico? Abstract: This article empirically examines the importance of the credit channel of monetary policy in Mexico for the period 2004--2013. We estimate a vector autoregressive (VAR) model to analyse the effects of a monetary policy shock on real output, and we also use a threshold VAR model to investigate asymmetric effects of contractionary and expansionary policies. The empirical results suggest that a contractionary monetary policy results in a fall in the supply of loans together with an increase in the spread between the lending and deposit rate. To the extent that some borrowers are dependent on bank loans for credit, the reduced supply of loans amplifies the effects of monetary policy on output associated with the traditional interest rate channel. Our results also suggest that the importance of the credit channel is larger for contractionary shocks than for expansionary shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3462-3484 Issue: 36 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1139680 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1139680 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:36:p:3462-3484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. R. Chen Author-X-Name-First: G. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Dynamic Model for Market Competition and Price Rigidity Abstract: This article presents a price floor model in which durability, unit costs and production period are factors in explaining price rigidity. This article elaborates that cost structure plays an essential role in resolving the inconclusive relationship between market concentration and price rigidity. When the industry is characterized by decreasing returns of scale, the degree of price flexibility decreases as market competition intensifies. The reverse is true when the industry exhibits increasing returns of scale. The factors that cause price rigidity also foster price adjustment asymmetry and price adjustment lag. During times of recession, the model exhibits upward price flexibility as costs increase, but downward price rigidity as costs decrease. Even under forward-looking expectations, the way in which firms adjust prices could look as though they have adaptive expectations. If price stickiness is a characteristic of market competition, then public policies determined by price level could be too drastic for firms in competitive markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3485-3496 Issue: 36 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1139681 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1139681 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:36:p:3485-3496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Volkan Recai Cetin Author-X-Name-First: Volkan Recai Author-X-Name-Last: Cetin Author-Name: Serdal Bahce Author-X-Name-First: Serdal Author-X-Name-Last: Bahce Title: Measuring the efficiency of health systems of OECD countries by data envelopment analysis Abstract: This study aims to assess the efficiency of health sectors of 34 OECD countries by employing input-oriented data envelopment analysis (DEA) method both under constant and variable returns to scale assumptions. In the analysis, the number of doctors, number of patient beds and health expenditure per capita were used as input variables and life expectancy at birth and infant mortality rate were used as outputs. At the first stage, DEA analysis was performed for 34 countries, and at the second stage outlier 8 countries were eliminated to form a more homogeneous group and to achieve more accurate results. 11 of the 26 countries were found to have efficient health systems, and there is room for efficiency improvements in health sector in the remaining 15 countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3497-3507 Issue: 37 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1139682 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1139682 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:37:p:3497-3507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Jeng-Yan Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Jeng-Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Rosemary Jou Author-X-Name-First: Rosemary Author-X-Name-Last: Jou Title: Equities of scope as merger incentives under capital regulation: narrow versus synergy banking valuation Abstract: The call options theory of corporate security valuation is applied to narrow-banking contingent claims of one bank, while the cap options theory is applied to synergy-banking contingent claims of another bank. This article investigates efficiency gains specified as equities of scope associated with the likelihood of the two banks involved in merger under capital regulation. We find that merger incentives are encouraged when the narrowing banking is conducted by the consolidated bank, whereas discouraged when the synergy banking is conducted. Raising bank capital requirement leads to an increased interest margin of the consolidated bank with the narrow banking valuation; however, to a decreased margin of the consolidated bank with the synergy banking valuation. An increase in the capital regulation reduces the merger incentives in the narrow banking valuation whereas increases the merger disincentive in the synergy banking valuation. These findings are consistent with the organizational theory that predicts a comparative advantage of narrow banking proposals in bank mergers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3508-3525 Issue: 37 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1139683 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1139683 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:37:p:3508-3525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Yang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Are contributions of time and money substitutes or complements? Abstract: This article empirically investigates the relationship between donations of time and money using Canadian tax policy reforms that changed the tax price of charitable donations. The 1988 reform where a charitable tax deduction was converted to a credit and the 2000 reform in provincial income taxes provide tax price variations plausibly exogenous to individuals’ unobserved heterogeneity. Our estimates on cross-price effects imply that individuals make more time donations as the tax price of charitable donations increases and hence money and time donations are substitutes, as some theories would imply. This contrasts with earlier findings using cross-sectional data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3526-3537 Issue: 37 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1139684 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1139684 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:37:p:3526-3537 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adelina Gschwandtner Author-X-Name-First: Adelina Author-X-Name-Last: Gschwandtner Author-Name: Michael Hauser Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Hauser Title: Profit persistence and stock returns Abstract: This article attempts to assemble further empirical evidence on the relationship between the product and the financial market. Drawing back on work in industrial organization, we analyse the relationship between profit persistence and factor-adjusted stock returns looking at about 2000 listed US firms over the last 34 years. While the relationship between (current, lagged and unexpected) profits/earnings and returns has been extensively analysed before, to our knowledge this is the first study to look at the relationship between stock returns and profit persistence. We interpret profit persistence as a result of market competition and innovation of the firm. It is shown that firm-specific long-run profit persistence after correction for other additional economic fundamentals of the firm has a positive impact on four-factor adjusted returns and a negative impact on their volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3538-3549 Issue: 37 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1142652 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1142652 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:37:p:3538-3549 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hung-Cheng Lai Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Tseng-Chan Tseng Author-X-Name-First: Tseng-Chan Author-X-Name-Last: Tseng Author-Name: Sz-Chi Huang Author-X-Name-First: Sz-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Combining value averaging and Bollinger Band for an ETF trading strategy Abstract: The decision-making of investors is highly influenced by their feelings. According to behavioural finance, investor greed and fear would form irrational behaviour and affect their portfolio allocation. Although well-known mechanical investment strategy of dollar cost averaging (DCA) and value averaging (VA) could eliminate the problems of when to purchase, there are still some disadvantages to consider. For example, using a DCA strategy may be able to decrease volatility in portfolio so as to not effect investment decision, but it gives no rule for selling and may increase the opportunity cost of time if investors start deducted at peak prices. On the other hand, VA gives more aggressive sell signals to control the value of the portfolio to the level desired, but the investor may not have enough money purchase of a large number of shares in sharp decline period. Therefore, we use VA as main strategy and Bollinger Band as assist indicator for check for volatility for entry or exit. Through analysis and simulation, the new strategy we design does improve the performance during both bull and bear market periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3550-3557 Issue: 37 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1142653 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1142653 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:37:p:3550-3557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W.D. Chen Author-X-Name-First: W.D. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Detecting multiple factors in panel data: an application on the growth of local regions in China Abstract: Due to unbalanced growth in China’s local regions, we construct a panel data model with multiple common factors to examine the differences among the growth factors in these areas. This article shows the various impacts from the supply and demand sides on economic growth. Different from the demand side, the supply-side impacts have permanent influences. This article focuses on these deep and profound impacts to explain the reasons behind China’s fast economic growing. By using data on 27 regions from 1958 to 2013, we summarize the main permanent influences along three lines. The first comes from the coastal regions, which have learned modern technology and systems from foreign companies, such as in Guangdong, Zhejiang, Fujian and Liaoning. The second comes from big cities, such as Beijing and Shanghai, in which a huge migration has given the companies opportunities to recruit excellent workers, making the resource allocation specialized and more efficient. The third is from the government’s major public works, which have improved areas’ infrastructure and assisted long-run economic growth, such as for Sichuan, Guangxi and Yunnan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3558-3568 Issue: 37 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1142654 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1142654 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:37:p:3558-3568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilbert Cette Author-X-Name-First: Gilbert Author-X-Name-Last: Cette Author-Name: Rémy Lecat Author-X-Name-First: Rémy Author-X-Name-Last: Lecat Author-Name: Ahmed Ould Ahmed Jiddou Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Ould Ahmed Jiddou Title: Margin rate and the cycle: the role of trade openness Abstract: Using three datasets of French manufacturing firms, this article studies the role of trade openness, in relation with the cycle, as a determinant of company margin rate. Margin rates increase as capacity utilization tightens (and vice versa), reflecting the procyclicality of margin rates. However, high import rates are limiting this procyclicality: when capacities are tight, domestic producers may not be able to serve demand, but foreign producers may substitute for them if they are already present on the market as reflected by the level of import rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3569-3575 Issue: 37 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1142655 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1142655 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:37:p:3569-3575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Wanke Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Wanke Author-Name: Vincent Blackburn Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: Blackburn Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Title: Cost and learning efficiency drivers in Australian schools: a two-stage network DEA approach Abstract: This article explore performance issues in Australian public schools, using a two-stage DEA network model, which accounts simultaneously for both cost and learning efficiency levels. In the cost efficiency stage, different types of expenses and investments are employed to support a given number of students, teachers and administrative staff. In the learning efficiency stage, these groups of individuals help to produce important outputs related to performance in student tests and school rankings. Results indicate that Australian public schools are heterogeneous. Policy implications are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3577-3604 Issue: 38 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1142656 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1142656 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:38:p:3577-3604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matteo F. Ghilardi Author-X-Name-First: Matteo F. Author-X-Name-Last: Ghilardi Author-Name: Sergio Sola Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Sola Title: Investment scaling up and the role of government Abstract: This article studies the fiscal and welfare implications of a scaling up of public investment when the government is subject to inefficiencies on the spending and on the tax collection side. In our simulations, the scaling up of public investments results in higher long-run output and consumption levels but requires a fiscal stabilization package in order to preserve fiscal sustainability. The effects on consumers’ welfare after the fiscal adjustment are nontrivial. Our welfare analysis shows that consumers’ welfare is increased when the government smooths the fiscal adjustment via higher borrowing and not through an increase in taxation. Moreover, the comparison between several stabilization packages via tax adjustment shows that higher welfare is achieved when the government relies mostly on taxation of capital as this allows higher levels of consumption. Lower fiscal costs that do not undermine fiscal sustainability can however be achieved if the government manages to reduce inefficiency in tax collection. Finally, we consider a change in the trade regime that causes a decline in revenues. We find that the higher fiscal burden required to preserve fiscal sustainability would completely wipe out the welfare gain of higher public investments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3605-3625 Issue: 38 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1142657 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1142657 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:38:p:3605-3625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Charles Cullinan Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Cullinan Author-Name: Junrui Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Junrui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Fangjun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Fangjun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Loan guarantees and the cost of debt: evidence from China Abstract: In this article, we examine the potential influence of loan guarantees and the nature of ownership on a company’s cost of debt. Using data on Chinese A-share listed companies from 2007 to 2014, we find that guaranteeing another entity’s debt significantly increases the guarantor’s cost of its own debt. Regarding the nature of ownership, our results indicate that the cost of debt for state-owned enterprises (SOEs) is lower than that for non-SOEs. Among SOEs, firms controlled by the central government have lower cost of debt than firms controlled by local governments. We also find some evidence that local government ownership mitigates the effects of loan guarantees on the cost of a guarantor’s own debt. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3626-3643 Issue: 38 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1142658 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1142658 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:38:p:3626-3643 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyunbae Chun Author-X-Name-First: Hyunbae Author-X-Name-Last: Chun Author-Name: Jung-Wook Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jung-Wook Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Randall Morck Author-X-Name-First: Randall Author-X-Name-Last: Morck Title: Productivity growth and stock returns: firm- and aggregate-level analyses Abstract: A firm’s stock return is affected not only by its own productivity growth rate, but also by other firms’ productivity growth rates. We show that this spillover effect is significant and time-varying, and underlies a fallacy of composition observed in late 20th century U.S. data: stock returns and productivity growth are correlated positively in firm-level data but negatively in aggregate data. This seeming fallacy of composition reflects Schumpeterian creative destruction: a few technology winners’ stocks rise with their rising productivity while many technology losers’ stocks fall with their declining productivity. Thus, most individual firms’ stock returns correlate negatively with aggregate productivity growth. This implies that technological innovation need not be a blessing for all firms and as a result, for investors holding the market. Our findings also provide a firm-level technology innovation-based explanation of prior findings that the market return correlates negatively with aggregate earnings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3644-3664 Issue: 38 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1142659 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1142659 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:38:p:3644-3664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesca Di Iorio Author-X-Name-First: Francesca Author-X-Name-Last: Di Iorio Author-Name: Stefano Fachin Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Fachin Author-Name: Riccardo Lucchetti Author-X-Name-First: Riccardo Author-X-Name-Last: Lucchetti Title: Can you do the wrong thing and still be right? Hypothesis testing in I(2) and near-I(2) cointegrated VARs Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the small-sample performance of LR tests on long-run coefficients in the I(2) model; we focus on a comparison between I(2) and near-I(2) data, i.e. I(1) data with a second root very close to unity, and report the results of some Monte Carlo experiments. With near-I(2) data, the finite-sample properties of the tests are (i) similar to those found with genuine I(2) data, (ii) systematically superior to those of the analogous tests constructed in the I(1) model, even if the latter is, in principle, correctly specified and the former is not. Therefore, there seems to be strong support to the idea that, in practice, modelling near-I(2) data using the I(2) model may be a good idea, despite the inherent misspecification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3665-3678 Issue: 38 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1142660 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1142660 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:38:p:3665-3678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Yong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Frank Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xu Wei Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Li Li Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Investors’ heterogeneity and tranching Abstract: The article presents a theoretic model of tranching in asset securitization. When potential buyers are heterogeneous in the constraint on their portfolios, we find that senior tranche, which is less risky and created by tranching, will introduce more investors and thus reduce risk exposure to investors. Thus, tranching helps improve the sale’s revenue. We also find that the portfolio constraints of investors are always binding at optimum, which is called marginal rating. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3679-3684 Issue: 38 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1142661 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1142661 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:38:p:3679-3684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khondker Aktaruzzaman Author-X-Name-First: Khondker Author-X-Name-Last: Aktaruzzaman Author-Name: Omar Farooq Author-X-Name-First: Omar Author-X-Name-Last: Farooq Title: Impact of microcredit on borrowers’ expenditures: a fuzzy regression discontinuity design approach Abstract: This article uses the data from 69 villages in Bangladesh to estimate the effect of participation in microcredit programmes on household expenditures. A regression discontinuity design (RDD) is used to identify the credit effect. Our results show heterogeneous treatment effect on different types of expenditures. We show that access to credit reduces per capita expenditure on durable goods such as kitchen equipment, furniture, repair and maintenance of house and increases the expenditure on per school-going child. We also show insignificant impact of access to credit on non-durable goods and health care, recreation and gifts. Interestingly, our results indicate a positive impact of microcredit on village-level expenditures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3685-3694 Issue: 38 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1142662 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1142662 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:38:p:3685-3694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria João Jorge Author-X-Name-First: Maria João Author-X-Name-Last: Jorge Author-Name: Mário Gomes Augusto Author-X-Name-First: Mário Gomes Author-X-Name-Last: Augusto Title: Is hedging successful at reducing financial risk exposure? Abstract: This article analyses whether firms use risk management instruments for hedging or speculative purposes. First, by analysing the relationship between the firm’s stock returns and financial risks in 567 Euronext firms, we measure the firm’s exposure to risk. Next, we investigate the effect of hedging in such exposures, addressing simultaneously the endogeneity of hedging decision through a treatment effect methodology. We have found that firms in our sample display higher percentages of exposure, when weighed against preceding studies, and confirmed that hedging reduces the level of the underlying financial exposure, concluding that firms use risk management instruments with hedging purposes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3695-3713 Issue: 39 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1142663 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1142663 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:39:p:3695-3713 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Desu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Desu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Bivariate risk attitudes, informal care and saving Abstract: The article examines choices of saving and caregiving for informal caregivers who will face uncertainty in health status of elderly parents. The caregivers have a general form of utility with two attributes: wealth and parental health. Informal care will substitute for future need of formal care when parents are in good health. The article first studies the optimal levels of saving and of caregiving and the link between them. Comparative statics results depending on partial risk aversion or correlation attitude are then presented. These results concern the effects of changes in the opportunity cost of caregiving, the share of expected bequest, the health status and the interest rate. The analysis is also extended to investigate the role of cross-prudence/imprudence in wealth when a background health risk is introduced. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3714-3722 Issue: 39 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1142664 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1142664 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:39:p:3714-3722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ewelina Sokołowska Author-X-Name-First: Ewelina Author-X-Name-Last: Sokołowska Title: Forecasts of the managed futures market -- an empirical analysis Abstract: Alternative investments, including managed futures, are primarily intended for institutional investors and for very wealthy individual investors. It therefore seems logical to assume, that the increase of wealth on a global scale can be a factor impacting the value of transactions in individual segments of the alternative-investment market. The purpose of this article is to indicate the factors affecting growth of managed futures transactions. Another research goal is to answer the question: Does the increase of wealth on a global scale affect the value of the managed futures transactions? The article will also present short-term forecasts of the transactions on the managed futures market for the years 2015--2017. The forecasts which will be constructed are meant to present possible scenarios of the market’s further development. Evolution of the alternative investment segment leads to development of those categories, which fulfil the expectations of market participants and meet the requirement and expiration of the remaining investments which do not attract investors and are no longer accepted by them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3723-3733 Issue: 39 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1142665 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1142665 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:39:p:3723-3733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammed M. Elgammal Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed M. Author-X-Name-Last: Elgammal Author-Name: Tugba Bas Author-X-Name-First: Tugba Author-X-Name-Last: Bas Author-Name: Orla Gough Author-X-Name-First: Orla Author-X-Name-Last: Gough Author-Name: Neeta Shah Author-X-Name-First: Neeta Author-X-Name-Last: Shah Author-Name: Stefan van Dellen Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: van Dellen Title: Do financial distress and liquidity crises affect value and size premiums? Abstract: This study investigates the impact of liquidity crises on the relationship between stock (value and size) premiums and default risk in the US market. It first examines whether financial distress can explain value and size premiums, and then, subsequently, aims to determine whether liquidity crises increase the risk of value and size premium investment strategies. The study employs a time-varying approach and a sample of US stock returns for the period between January 1982 and March 2011, a period which includes the current liquidity crisis, so as to examine the relationship between default risk, liquidity crises and value and size premiums. The findings indicate that the default premium has explanatory power for value and size premiums, which affect firms with different characteristics. We also find that liquidity crises may actually increase the risks related to size and value premium strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3734-3751 Issue: 39 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1145345 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1145345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:39:p:3734-3751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Niklas Jakobsson Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Jakobsson Author-Name: Mikael Svensson Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Svensson Title: The effect of copayments on primary care utilization: results from a quasi-experiment Abstract: This article analyses how health-care utilization is affected by copayments in a tax-financed health-care system. The article utilizes a natural experiment in which a health-care region in Sweden changed the price of healthcare in such a way that primary care general physician prices increased by 33%. We use daily visit data in the treatment region and a neighbouring control region where no price change took place and analyse the effect using differences-in-differences as well as differences-in-differences-in-differences models. The results from the preferred models indicate no effect on health-care utilization due to the price change, a result that also holds across different socio-economic subregions in the treatment region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3752-3762 Issue: 39 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1145346 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1145346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:39:p:3752-3762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vipin Arora Author-X-Name-First: Vipin Author-X-Name-Last: Arora Author-Name: Shuping Shi Author-X-Name-First: Shuping Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: Energy consumption and economic growth in the United States Abstract: We study the relationship between energy consumption and real GDP in the USA using a multivariate time-varying model [1973Q1--2014Q1]. We show that the combination of disaggregation into specific fuels and time variation gives more nuanced results than the alternatives for the USA. Specifically, we find that the Granger causal relationship between total energy and real US GDP is bi-directional through much of the 1990s, but unidirectional running from real US GDP to energy consumption in the 2000s. As for each fuel, similar patterns of change were observed in the causal relationship between coal consumption and real US GDP. Oil consumption largely shows a bi-directional relationship between consumption and US GDP, especially after 2009. And natural gas consumption shows a brief period in the early-to-mid 2000s where US GDP predicts energy consumption, but primarily shows that natural gas consumption and economic growth are independent. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3763-3773 Issue: 39 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1145347 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1145347 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:39:p:3763-3773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Christian M. Dippon Author-X-Name-First: Christian M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dippon Author-Name: Hiroaki Suenaga Author-X-Name-First: Hiroaki Author-X-Name-Last: Suenaga Title: Do economic, institutional or political variables explain regulated wholesale unbundled local loop rate setting? Abstract: This study examines OECD fully unbundled and line-sharing monthly wholesale prices for 2002--2008. Although both series are well explained by the models, the principal contribution of the research is that economic, institutional and political factors explain mandated wholesale rate settings. The study finds evidence of both regulatory capture (to benefit incumbents) and retail margin setting to encourage entry (to benefit entrants). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3774-3788 Issue: 39 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1145348 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1145348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:39:p:3774-3788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiao Jing Cai Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Shuairu Tian Author-X-Name-First: Shuairu Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Author-Name: Shigeyuki Hamori Author-X-Name-First: Shigeyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Dynamic correlation and equicorrelation analysis of global financial turmoil: evidence from emerging East Asian stock markets Abstract: This study investigates the dynamic conditional correlations (DCCs) between eight emerging East Asian stock markets and the US stock market and analyses the dynamic equicorrelation among these nine stock markets. We find a significant increase in the conditional correlations and equicorrelation in the first phase of the global financial crisis. We refer to this finding as contagion from the US stock market to the emerging East Asian markets. We also find an additional significant process of increasing correlations and equicorrelation (herding) in the second phase of the global financial crisis. Further, we employ two new models, namely DCCX-MGARCH (a DCC Multivariate GARCH model with exogenous variables) and DECOX-MGARCH (a dynamic equicorrelation multivariate GARCH model with exogenous variables), to identify the channels of contagion. We find that an increase in the VIX Index increases the conditional correlations and equicorrelation, while increases in TED spreads decrease the conditional correlations of six emerging East Asian countries with the USA. We compare the accuracy of the conditional correlation estimates of the DCC and DCCX models (or DECO and DECOX models) by constructing a loss function. We find that the DCCX (DECOX) model provides more accurate conditional correlation estimates than the DCC (DECO) model by extracting additional information from exogenous variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3789-3803 Issue: 40 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1145349 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1145349 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:40:p:3789-3803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Qi Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Qi Author-Name: Y. A. Xie Author-X-Name-First: Y. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Title: Cost of capital: spot rate or forward rate? Abstract: In this study, we intend to reveal some problems with the classic valuation method -- the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) method. We first address a fundamental question about WACC, that is, should WACC be interpreted as a spot rate, a forward rate or any kind of average of either of them? We show that the nature of WACC is the expected forward rate. We next demonstrate that without understanding this nature, we may misinterpret the famous MM formula and MM Proposition II, as well as develop incorrect valuation framework. Our findings provide insightful implications to academia and practitioners for the proper interpretation and implementation of the WACC method. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3804-3811 Issue: 40 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1145350 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1145350 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:40:p:3804-3811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wankeun Oh Author-X-Name-First: Wankeun Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Eun G. Park Author-X-Name-First: Eun G. Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Adoption of digital repositories for CO2 emissions reduction: the case of Korea Abstract: This study aims to estimate the potential economic benefits, energy and CO2 emissions reductions when using trusted third-party digital repository (TTPR) services in one individual bank, and within the banking industry in Korea. First, the cost, benefit and net benefit of using TTPR services in the banking industry are estimated. Second, the net induced output effect is estimated. Third, based on an environmentally extended input--output analysis, CO2 emissions reduction was estimated as 1924.32 tons in 2009 and the energy consumption reduction as 640.70 TOE. Fourth, the total economic benefit, which is the sum of the net induced output effect and economic value of CO2 emissions reductions, is approximately $11.04 million. The findings demonstrate that energy consumption and CO2 emissions reductions are meaningful enough to result in significant economic benefits. Therefore, the Korean government should promote the use of TTPR services in the entire industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3812-3825 Issue: 40 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1145351 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1145351 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:40:p:3812-3825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Víctor M. Adame Author-X-Name-First: Víctor M. Author-X-Name-Last: Adame Author-Name: Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Rodríguez Author-Name: Simon Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Portfolios in the Ibex 35 before and after the Global Financial Crisis Abstract: In this article, we present an analysis of the effectiveness of various portfolio optimization strategies applied to the stocks included in the Spanish Ibex 35 index, for a period of 14 years, from 2001 until 2014. The period under study includes episodes of volatility and instability in financial markets, incorporating the Global Financial Crisis and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis. This implies a challenge in portfolio optimization strategies since the methodologies are restricted to the assignment of positive weights. We have taken for asset allocation the daily returns with an estimation window equal to 1 year and we hold portfolio assets for another year. This article attempts to influence the discussion over whether the naive diversification proves to be an effective strategy as opposed to portfolio optimization models. For that, we evaluate the out-of-sample performance of 15 strategies for asset allocation in the Ibex 35, before and after of the Global Financial Crisis. Our results suggest that a large number of strategies outperform to the 1/N rule and to the Ibex 35 index in terms of return, Sharpe ratio and lower VaR and CVaR. The mean-variance portfolio of Markowitz with short-sale constraints is the only strategy that renders a Sharpe ratio statistically different from Ibex 35 index in the 2001--2007 and 2008--2014 time periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3826-3847 Issue: 40 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1145352 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1145352 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:40:p:3826-3847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sofia Izquierdo Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Sofia Author-X-Name-Last: Izquierdo Sanchez Author-Name: Caroline Elliott Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Elliott Author-Name: Robert Simmons Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Simmons Title: Substitution between leisure activities: a quasi-natural experiment using sports viewing and cinema attendance Abstract: The allocation of time between leisure activities and work has been extensively analysed in academic literature. However, leisure time is limited and there may not be sufficient time to enjoy all the leisure activities desired. Hence, this article considers the allocation of time between substitute leisure activities. International football tournaments provide an opportunity to consider consumers’ preferences for watching football and films in a quasi-natural experimental setting. A trade-off between these leisure activities is identified using a difference-in-difference methodology. Using an original, four-country data set, a large and robust negative effect of mega sports events on cinema admissions is identified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3848-3860 Issue: 40 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1145353 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1145353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:40:p:3848-3860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Léonard Moulin Author-X-Name-First: Léonard Author-X-Name-Last: Moulin Author-Name: David Flacher Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Flacher Author-Name: Hugo Harari-Kermadec Author-X-Name-First: Hugo Author-X-Name-Last: Harari-Kermadec Title: Tuition fees and social segregation: lessons from a natural experiment at the University of Paris 9-Dauphine Abstract: Using a natural experiment, a sharp rise in tuition fees in some of the programmes at the University of Paris 9-Dauphine, we study the impact of tuition fees on students’ pathways, and outcomes. We apply an optimal matching method to the national database of students’ registrations (SISE) to define a typology of pathways. We then use a nonordered multinomial logit model to evaluate the impact of the rise in tuition fees on the types of pathways selected by the university. We show that there is a significant impact on these pathways. The increase in tuition fees reduces geographic and social mobility, thereby accentuating the phenomena of social segregation. Furthermore, contrary to what some of the studies assert, the rise does not appear to encourage greater effort: we find no impact on the graduation success rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3861-3876 Issue: 40 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1148253 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1148253 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:40:p:3861-3876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. Traoré Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Traoré Author-Name: F. Badolo Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Badolo Title: On the co-movement between coffee and cocoa prices in international markets Abstract: In this article, we study the movement between cocoa and coffee prices, two close substitute commodities. Using the ARDL approach developed by Pesaran et al. (2001), we found that the two prices are cointegrated. The long-run elasticity of coffee price with respect to the cocoa one is estimated at 0.88. Also, using the lag-augmented VAR approach of Toda and Yamamoto (1995), which is valid whatever the order of integration of the data, the cocoa price is found to granger cause the coffee price and not vice versa. This finding suggests that models aiming at forecasting coffee prices should incorporate cocoa prices as well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3877-3886 Issue: 40 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1148254 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1148254 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:40:p:3877-3886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Léa Bouhakkou Author-X-Name-First: Léa Author-X-Name-Last: Bouhakkou Author-Name: Alain Coën Author-X-Name-First: Alain Author-X-Name-Last: Coën Author-Name: Didier Folus Author-X-Name-First: Didier Author-X-Name-Last: Folus Title: A portfolio approach to the optimal mix of funded and unfunded pensions Abstract: In this paper, we address the optimal funding of pensions by means of portfolio choice approach. Considering the unfunded (Paygo) pension system as a ‘quasi-asset’ with hedging and diversification properties, we derive the optimal portfolio mix of funded and Paygo systems within a mean variance and Bell linear exponential models. Our analysis involves both analytical computations and empirical estimations of optimal values using real long-term data for equity, bonds and the Paygo asset for several OECD countries and several time periods covering the time span 1897–2016. We find that in most cases a mix of both systems is desirable with a larger magnitude of Paygo system in the case of the Bell framework as we capture attitudes towards asymmetry and tail risks that are typical to equity markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1733-1744 Issue: 16 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1678728 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1678728 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:16:p:1733-1744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iordanis Angelos Kalaitzoglou Author-X-Name-First: Iordanis Angelos Author-X-Name-Last: Kalaitzoglou Author-Name: Boulis Maher Ibrahim Author-X-Name-First: Boulis Maher Author-X-Name-Last: Ibrahim Title: OTC trades and liquidity in the European carbon market more than meets the eye Abstract: This study investigates whether the previously reported price impact of OTC trades in the EU ETS can be attributed to their distinctively larger size (liquidity related) or to their discretionary feature (information related). The findings suggest that OTC trades induce volatility shocks that are higher in magnitude and faster resolved than those of solely high trading-intensity trades, which appears to be driven mainly by their presence, rather than by their size. An analysis of intraday price premia reveals that they are strategically placed by interacting with the organized market whenever their price and volatility impact is lower. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1745-1762 Issue: 16 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1678729 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1678729 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:16:p:1745-1762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: TsingZai C. Wu Author-X-Name-First: TsingZai C. Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Chaur-Shiuh Young Author-X-Name-First: Chaur-Shiuh Author-X-Name-Last: Young Author-Name: Chun-Chan Yu Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Chan Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Hsiao-Tang Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Hsiao-Tang Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: Are governmental expenditures also sticky? Evidence from the operating expenditures of public schools Abstract: Existing research on cost stickiness focuses primarily on for-profit companies. This study investigates cost behaviour in the public sector, a new setting that deserves more research attention. Using unique data from public schools in Taiwan, we find that operating expenditures of public schools are sticky. Moreover, the stickiness is more prominent for schools whose principals facing higher enrolment pressure. These results support the public choice theory, suggesting that bureaucratic power may serve as a key driver leading to a sticky cost behaviour for governmental organizations. The government auditors and congressional representatives monitoring governmental budgets should thus notice that bureaucrats might keep the level of expenditures just for their self-interests when demand declines, a manifestation of distortion in allocation of social resources. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1763-1776 Issue: 16 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1678731 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1678731 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:16:p:1763-1776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sefa Awaworyi Churchill Author-X-Name-First: Sefa Awaworyi Author-X-Name-Last: Churchill Author-Name: Vijaya Bhaskar Marisetty Author-X-Name-First: Vijaya Bhaskar Author-X-Name-Last: Marisetty Title: Financial inclusion and poverty: a tale of forty-five thousand households Abstract: Using a new nationally representative survey data covering approximately 45,000 Indian households, we examine the effects of financial inclusion on poverty. We construct a multidimensional indicator of financial inclusion and examine the effects of financial inclusion on multiple measures of poverty including the household Poverty Probability Index (PPI), household deprivation scores, and poverty line. We find that financial inclusion has a strong poverty-reducing effect. This finding is consistent across the different measures of poverty used, and alternative ways of measures financial inclusion. These results underpin the importance of financial inclusion and the need for its promotion across countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1777-1788 Issue: 16 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1678732 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1678732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:16:p:1777-1788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Douglas Mugabe Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Mugabe Author-Name: Levan Elbakidze Author-X-Name-First: Levan Author-X-Name-Last: Elbakidze Author-Name: Gulnara Zaynutdinova Author-X-Name-First: Gulnara Author-X-Name-Last: Zaynutdinova Title: Elasticity of substitution and technical efficiency: evidence from the US electricity generation Abstract: The implications of national or regional energy policies for technical efficiency and environmental outcomes in electricity generation depend on fossil fuel input substitution. This study uses state level data to examine fossil fuel (coal and natural gas) substitution in electricity generation under increased availability of natural gas in the United States. We observe that changes in elasticities of substitution from pre-2009 to post-2009 differ across states suggesting that the effects of increased availability of inexpensive natural gas on electricity generation have been spatially heterogeneous. We rely on the observed heterogeneity to assess the effects of fossil fuel input substitution on technical efficiency and CO2 emissions. The results reveal that state level elasticity of substitution between natural gas and coal has a positive effect on technical efficiency and a negative effect on CO2 emissions. Therefore, future policy design and analyses should reflect the implications for regional elasticities of fossil fuel substitution and associated environmental outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1789-1805 Issue: 16 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1678733 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1678733 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:16:p:1789-1805 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marija Petrović-Ranđelović Author-X-Name-First: Marija Author-X-Name-Last: Petrović-Ranđelović Author-Name: Petar Mitić Author-X-Name-First: Petar Author-X-Name-Last: Mitić Author-Name: Aleksandar Zdravković Author-X-Name-First: Aleksandar Author-X-Name-Last: Zdravković Author-Name: Dušan Cvetanović Author-X-Name-First: Dušan Author-X-Name-Last: Cvetanović Author-Name: Slobodan Cvetanović Author-X-Name-First: Slobodan Author-X-Name-Last: Cvetanović Title: Economic growth and carbon emissions: evidence from CIVETS countries Abstract: This paper examines whether a long-run relationship exists between CO2 emissions and selected variables: real gross domestic product per capita, inward stock of foreign direct investments, gross fixed capital formation, industry, value added and energy use per capita for Colombia, Indonesia, Viet Nam, Egypt, Turkey and South Africa countries in the period of 1989–2016. We used panel unit root testing, followed by panel cointegration tests and panel causality. The results clearly prove the existence of a bidirectional long-run causal relationship between all the variables except between CO2 emissions and GDP and CO2 emissions and GFCF. Major finding of the short-run causality analysis is that CO2 emission in the short run does not result in changes of other variables. On the other hand, all variables except foreign direct investments (FDI) cause the changes in the CO2 emissions, and there is a positive bidirectional causal relationship between GDP and FDI, between GFCF and FDI, and between GFCF and IVA. Finally, positive unidirectional causal relationship also exists, running from GDP to IVA, GDP to ENUSE, IVA to FDI and ENUSE to FDI. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1806-1815 Issue: 16 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1679343 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1679343 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:16:p:1806-1815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sefa Awaworyi Churchill Author-X-Name-First: Sefa Awaworyi Author-X-Name-Last: Churchill Author-Name: Samuelson Appau Author-X-Name-First: Samuelson Author-X-Name-Last: Appau Title: Microfinance in Latin America and the Caribbean: the curse and blessing of ethnic diversity Abstract: Latin America is one of the most ethnically diverse regions in the world, and is also characterized by high levels of poverty. As a poverty alleviation tool, microfinance emerged in the region and has significantly evolved over the years. However, the implications of the region’s high diversity on the performance of microfinance institutions (MFIs) are however not known. We attempt to fill this gap by providing evidence on the association between MFI performance and indices of ethnic and linguistic fractionalization. Our findings suggest that fractionalization promotes MFI financial performance but is detrimental to outreach depth. These results are robust to various sensitivity tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1816-1830 Issue: 16 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1679344 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1679344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:16:p:1816-1830 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Bolli Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Bolli Author-Name: Florian Seliger Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Seliger Author-Name: Martin Woerter Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Woerter Title: Technological diversity, uncertainty and innovation performance Abstract: We analyse the impact of technological diversity on innovation performance in the discovery stage, measured by R&D intensity and patent applications, and in the commercialization stage, measured by the sales share generated by innovations, using Swiss firm-level data. While we do not find any impact of diversity on R&D intensity, we confirm a positive impact of diversity on patent applications as suggested by literature. Extending the analysis to the commercialization stage reveals that technological diversity decreases the share of sales generated by innovative products. We argue that this pattern emerges because knowledge spillovers matter relatively more in the discovery stage while coordination costs matter relatively more in the commercialization stage. Technological uncertainty further increases coordination costs (in both stages) and thus negatively moderates the effect of diversity on innovation performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1831-1844 Issue: 17 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1679345 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1679345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:17:p:1831-1844 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashwin Madhou Author-X-Name-First: Ashwin Author-X-Name-Last: Madhou Author-Name: Tayushma Sewak Author-X-Name-First: Tayushma Author-X-Name-Last: Sewak Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Vikash Ramiah Author-X-Name-First: Vikash Author-X-Name-Last: Ramiah Title: Forecasting the GDP of a small open developing economy: an application of FAVAR models Abstract: GDP forecasting remains a challenge for a small open developing economy. Faced with insufficient and low-frequency data, central bank forecasters cannot project GDP reliably for the purpose of monetary policy decision-making. An attempt is made to forecast GDP using a factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) model for a small open developing economy. The forecasting accuracy of the FAVAR model is examined through sequential forecasts and benchmarked against a Bayesian vector autoregressive (BVAR) model. The main finding of this study is that a FAVAR model can generate consistent GDP projections for a small open developing economy despite data inadequacy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1845-1856 Issue: 17 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1679346 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1679346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:17:p:1845-1856 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rozina Shaheen Author-X-Name-First: Rozina Author-X-Name-Last: Shaheen Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Title: Fiscal multipliers and the level of economic activity: a structural threshold VAR model for the UK Abstract: This article examines the impact of fiscal policy shocks in the UK economy using a nonlinear structural threshold vector autoregression (TVAR) model which links Gross Domestic Product (GDP), government expenditure and tax receipts. The model is structural in the sense that the contemporaneous linkages between the variables are determined by economic theory and by our assumptions about the institutional structure of the tax and transfer system. This structure is also influenced by the state of the economy as measured by the deviation of GDP from the Hodrick-Prescott trend. We find that the state of the economy is important, with fiscal policy having very different multiplier effects during ‘boom’ periods relative to ‘normal’ periods. However, we find low values for the government expenditure multiplier in all regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1857-1865 Issue: 17 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1679347 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1679347 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:17:p:1857-1865 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhuo Huang Author-X-Name-First: Zhuo Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Chen Tong Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Tong Author-Name: Tianyi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Tianyi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Which volatility model for option valuation in China? Empirical evidence from SSE 50 ETF options Abstract: In early 2015, China launched its first exchange-traded option, the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) 50 ETF option, to meet the increasing demand for financial derivatives. In this article, we provide an intensive empirical investigation of popular discrete-time volatility models in terms of their pricing performance when applied to SSE 50 ETF options. We find that the newly developed models with realized measures significantly outperform conventional GARCH-type models based on daily returns only. In contrast with the U.S. market, our empirical results suggest that the leverage effect is very weak in the Chinese option market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1866-1880 Issue: 17 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1679348 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1679348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:17:p:1866-1880 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Author-Name: Vicente Cardoso Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Cardoso Title: Labour market participation in Brazil: a discrete game approach Abstract: The article aims at investigating labour market participation of couples in Brazil in 2013. The observed endogenous variables portraying participation are assumed to be the outcome of a static discrete game between the partners. Different solution concepts are considered (Nash, Stackelberg and imposed Pareto optimality). The evidence, in comparison with previous evidence for more developed and homogeneous countries, display qualitative similarities in terms of own wage, cross wage and age effects and a stronger inhibiting role of the number of small children in the case of the female partner. In particular, cross-wage effects also indicated gender-asymmetry. Additionally, one identifies a slightly better fit in the case of the Stackelberg male leader model that could be suggestive in terms of the relevance of cultural aspects on labour market participation, but the differences among the different models are not striking. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1881-1890 Issue: 17 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1680792 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1680792 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:17:p:1881-1890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kit Pasula Author-X-Name-First: Kit Author-X-Name-Last: Pasula Title: Reserve flows and monetary autonomy under a fixed exchange rate: the British experience under Bretton Woods Abstract: This paper uses a stochastic intertemporal model to analyse reserve flows and monetary autonomy under a fixed exchange rate, and applies the model to a study of the British experience under Bretton Woods. Even if international capital mobility is imperfect, monetary autonomy may be negligible in the model. The reduced form for reserve flows is estimated, generating an estimate of the offset coefficient. The results are consistent with the hypothesis that the Bank of England had zero monetary independence. While these results conflict with the prevailing view in the literature, they are consistent with some results in other recent studies using different approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1891-1904 Issue: 17 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1680793 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1680793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:17:p:1891-1904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Gradín Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Gradín Title: Segregation of women into low-paying occupations in the United States Abstract: We extend the conventional framework for measuring segregation to consider the stratification of occupations by gender, i.e. when either women or men are predominantly segregated into low-paying jobs. We propose the use of the concentration curve to analyse first-order stochastic dominance, and concentration indices to obtain complete orderings and to quantify the phenomenon. With this approach, well-rooted in the literature of economic inequality, we show that the decline in gender segregation of occupations in the US over time was accompanied by a deeper and longer reduction in their stratification. The distinctive characteristics of men and women cannot account for segregation or stratification levels. The profound changes in the composition of the workforce over time by education or marital status, however, did help to substantially explain their trends. The level of stratification was farther reduced by gender-biased changes in the earnings structure, while changes in conditional occupational distributions only contributed to these declines before 1990. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1905-1920 Issue: 17 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1682113 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1682113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:17:p:1905-1920 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdullahi D. Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Abdullahi D. Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: Rui Huo Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Huo Title: Linkages among energy price, exchange rates and stock markets: Evidence from emerging African economies Abstract: This study examines the dynamic links among oil prices, foreign exchange rates and stock markets in emerging Africa using recent 10 years data and VAR-BEKK-GARCH forecasting framework. We find evidence of significant return and volatility interactions in oil return, exchange rates and stock markets. The non-existence of long-term cointegration equilibrium implies potential diversification benefit in the long run. Autoregressive characteristics for most African foreign currencies and stock markets indicate markets’ own predictability. We see that high oil return leads to an appreciation of Botswana pula, Nigerian dollar and Zambian kwacha, depreciation of Egyptian pound and boost the stock markets of Egypt, Kenya, Nigeria and Tunisia. From the conditional variance equation, we observe significant statistical evidence of local spillover effects from oil to financial markets. Strong bi-directional shock and volatility spillovers between oil and most African exchange rates are reported. Significant shock and volatility spillovers between oil and stock markets are found in some of the African countries. We conduct portfolio optimization analyses as part of the financial risk management and risk mitigation strategies. Policy wise, leaders should promote the development of financial derivative instruments since foreign exchange rates are used as a tool to absorb oil and other external shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1921-1935 Issue: 18 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1726861 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1726861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:18:p:1921-1935 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ozcan Ozturk Author-X-Name-First: Ozcan Author-X-Name-Last: Ozturk Title: Market integration and spatial price transmission in grain markets of Turkey Abstract: This paper examines whether the grain market of Turkey is cointegrated with the world grain market. Using an error correction model, we analyse the response of producer prices of wheat, barley, maize, soybean and rice to changes in world market prices. Results show that the rice market of Turkey is not cointegrated with the world rice market, while the other commodity markets are weakly cointegrated. Results also show that pass-through of changes in the world prices to the domestic prices is relatively low both in the short run and in the long run, and that adjustment to the new equilibrium following a shock is slow. Government intervention policies both at the border and as domestic price supports seem to be underlying causes of the weak cointegration. Fewer protectionist policies and lower levels of government intervention are necessary to increase the domestic grain market integration with the international grain market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1936-1948 Issue: 18 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1726862 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1726862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:18:p:1936-1948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mojmir Hampl Author-X-Name-First: Mojmir Author-X-Name-Last: Hampl Author-Name: Tomas Havranek Author-X-Name-First: Tomas Author-X-Name-Last: Havranek Author-Name: Zuzana Irsova Author-X-Name-First: Zuzana Author-X-Name-Last: Irsova Title: Foreign capital and domestic productivity in the Czech Republic: a meta-regression analysis Abstract: We provide a quantitative synthesis of the literature studying the effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) on the productivity of locally owned firms in the Czech Republic. To this end, we collect 332 previously reported estimates and use Bayesian model averaging to address model uncertainty. We find no evidence of publication bias, i.e. no sign of selective reporting of estimates that are statistically significant and show an intuitive sign. Our results suggest that more advanced techniques yield substantially larger positive effects (FDI spillovers). When placing more weight on estimates that solve important identification problems in the literature (such as using data on existing linkages between firms instead of approximations based on input-output tables), we find that, as of 2018, a 10-percentage-point increase in foreign presence is likely to lift the productivity of domestic firms by 11%. The effect is even larger for joint ventures, reaching 19%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1949-1958 Issue: 18 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1726864 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1726864 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:18:p:1949-1958 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Gearhart Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Gearhart Author-Name: Nyakundi Michieka Author-X-Name-First: Nyakundi Author-X-Name-Last: Michieka Title: Efficiency of American states after implementation of the patient protection and affordable care act (PPACA) from 2014 to 2017 Abstract: We assess the impact of healthcare efficiency among U.S. states after implementation of the PPACA. A Malmquist Index decomposes productivity changes of state healthcare systems since 2014. Results indicate productivity regression of 0.14-percentage points from 2014 to 2017. In 2017 the average state is 4.9-percentage points inefficient. Using the conditional order-m estimator and nonparametrically regressing the ratio of conditional to unconditional order-m efficiency scores on secondary environmental variables, we find that behavioural, socioeconomic, and healthcare utilization factors play a role in explaining state inefficiency. The average state becomes nearly fully efficient after controlling for behaviour (efficiency improves by 3.7-percentage points), socioeconomic (4.1-percentage points), and healthcare utilization (3.2-percentage points) variables. Using a second-stage regression framework, we find that higher levels of obesity, adult smoking, and diabetes lead to lower healthcare efficiency. Likewise, we see that low and high levels of unemployment are associated with improved healthcare efficiency, which is in line with contradictory studies. We also find further support for the link between income and health outcomes, through the vehicle of improved health efficiency. Lastly, we find that ensuring that low-cost populations engaging in health treatments have improved health outcomes, as they prevent high-cost morbidities in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1959-1972 Issue: 18 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1730758 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1730758 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:18:p:1959-1972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard C. K. Burdekin Author-X-Name-First: Richard C. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Burdekin Author-Name: Ran Tao Author-X-Name-First: Ran Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Title: Chinese liquidity effects on the Australian macroeconomy, 2002–2017 Abstract: China’s growing importance to the Australian economy has been well recognized in policy circles but remained relatively untested in formal empirical analysis. This paper examines the reactions of Australian macroeconomic variables to Chinese money growth and inflation over the post-2002 period using VAR estimation, historical decompositions and long-run cointegration models. The consistent impact of Chinese money growth on Australian inflation and on the exchange rate seen in the VAR analysis is supplemented by evidence of cointegrating relationships between the Australian variables and both Chinese money growth and Chinese inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1973-1985 Issue: 18 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1730759 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1730759 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:18:p:1973-1985 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shuhei Kaneko Author-X-Name-First: Shuhei Author-X-Name-Last: Kaneko Author-Name: Haruko Noguchi Author-X-Name-First: Haruko Author-X-Name-Last: Noguchi Title: Does traditional price policy work for achieving low smoking rate? –Empirical and theoretical evaluation based on the United States aggregate data Abstract: In the United States, smoking has been strictly restricted by both federal and state governments. Almost all the policies have imposed high tax on cigarettes for decreasing the number of smokers. In fact, the smoking rate has fallen in the past few decades among the population. The main objective of this study is to evaluate whether the ‘traditional’ policy still remains effective by applying the dynamic panel strategy to state-level aggregated data in the United States. Our result shows that the remaining smokers up to today are less sensitive to the price hikes than past smokers and that they are likely to ‘attenuate’ the cost of smoking by stockpiling in advance of the policy enactment when they expect the increase of future price. The empirical results suggest that an increase in the cost may no longer be so valid as it was in past decades. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1986-1997 Issue: 18 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1728226 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1728226 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:18:p:1986-1997 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Scicchitano Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Scicchitano Author-Name: Marco Biagetti Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Biagetti Author-Name: Antonio Chirumbolo Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Chirumbolo Title: More insecure and less paid? The effect of perceived job insecurity on wage distribution Abstract: This article employs a Counterfactual Decomposition Analysis (CDA) using both a semi-parametric and a non-parametric method to examine the pay gap due to perceived job insecurity over the entire wage distribution of dependent workforce in Italy. Using the 2015 INAPP Survey on Quality of Work, our results exhibit a mirror J-shaped pattern in the pay gap between secure and insecure workers, with a significant sticky floor effect, i.e. a greater effect of job insecurity at the lowest quantiles. This pattern is mainly due to the characteristics effect, while the relative incidence of the coefficient component accounts roughly for 22% up to 36% of the total difference, being more relevant at the bottom of the wage distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1998-2013 Issue: 18 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1734526 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1734526 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:18:p:1998-2013 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kadija Charni Author-X-Name-First: Kadija Author-X-Name-Last: Charni Title: Do the French pension reforms increase re-employment of older unemployed workers? Abstract: The sustainability of Social Security financing has pushed authorities to reform their policy to increase the labour market participation of older workers. While most of the studies have focused on the consequences of pension reform on retirement decisions, we analyse the effects of two French pension reforms, which increased the period of contribution and the minimum retirement age, on transitions out of unemployment and into employment with a difference-in-differences approach. We find that both retirement reforms have positive effects on the re-employment of older unemployed workers. The pension reforms are also accompanied by an increase of the transitions into inactivity. The results suggest that the reforms have delivered significant effects by reducing the unemployment of older workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2015-2043 Issue: 19 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1682114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1682114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:19:p:2015-2043 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bo Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Wei Dai Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Mark Weder Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Weder Title: A Bayesian evaluation of an efficiency-wage model with indeterminacy Abstract: This paper provides a quantitative assessment of a general equilibrium economy with non-Walrasian labour markets. Indeterminacy in the economy does not require production externalities or increasing returns but it rests on replacing the labour supply curve by a no-shirking condition on the efficiency-wage labour markets. The model is estimated on U.S. data via full information Bayesian methods. The shirking model is capable of matching several stylized facts of the aggregate economy and the labour market. Data favour a version of the artificial economy that is characterized by determinacy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2044-2055 Issue: 19 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1682115 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1682115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:19:p:2044-2055 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haoqi Qian Author-X-Name-First: Haoqi Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Author-Name: Libo Wu Author-X-Name-First: Libo Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Avoiding Mis-estimation of the CES Function: Unit Matters Abstract: We demonstrate that unit errors of measurement will lead to significant biases in estimating the constant elasticity of substitution (CES) function. Monte-Carlo simulations show that estimation results tend to reach Cobb–Douglas (CD) functions or extreme values if units of input variables are incorrectly used. To avoid this problem, we suggest adding an overall efficiency parameter and a unit correction parameter which is similar to biased technological change parameter when estimating CES functions. Any unit error of measurement can be captured by these two parameters while allowing researchers to get unbiased estimation results of other parameters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2056-2062 Issue: 19 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1682116 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1682116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:19:p:2056-2062 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuelian Li Author-X-Name-First: Xuelian Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jianming Dong Author-X-Name-First: Jianming Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Life insurer performance under the bailout of distressed asset purchases Abstract: The paper develops a structure-break contingent claim model to examine how government bailout affects a life insurer’s performance (policyholder protection and insurer survival). The distressed assets purchased by the government enhance the optimal insurer interest margin, and policyholder protection. Bailout as such helps the life insurer, implying a higher likelihood of survival in particular when a financial crisis deteriorates seriously, thereby contributing to the stability of the insurance system. In addition, we suggest that low participation of the profit-sharing policy increases insurer survival. This strategic participation effect becomes more significant when the economic state of structural break volatility is increased, and thus, enhancing insurer survival and solving financial problems. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2063-2078 Issue: 19 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1682117 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1682117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:19:p:2063-2078 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Damiano Fiorillo Author-X-Name-First: Damiano Author-X-Name-Last: Fiorillo Author-Name: Giuseppe Lubrano Lavadera Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Lubrano Lavadera Author-Name: Nunzia Nappo Author-X-Name-First: Nunzia Author-X-Name-Last: Nappo Title: Structural social capital and mental health: a panel study Abstract: The link between social relations and psychological wellbeing is well established in sociological and mental health studies. Since the beginning of the 2000s, this link has been garnering new attention and interest in economic and public health studies. Almost twenty years of empirical studies testing this relationship have established contrasting results for two main reasons. First, the majority of the studies are based on cross-sectional data, leaving out endogeneity and heterogeneity problems; second, mental health measurements are often discordant from each other. This study investigates the relationship between structural social capital and individual self-rated mental health using five waves of the British Household Panel Survey from 1991 to 1995 (unbalanced panel N = 44,684). We take into account the heterogeneity and endogeneity issues and implement fixed effects and lag-dependent variable estimations. Moreover, we used different methodologies to measure mental health as a robustness check. Our findings show the existence of a negative relationship between being both a member of and active in an organization and worse mental health. In addition, being active within an organization in the previous year has a negative effect on worse mental health in the following year. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2079-2095 Issue: 19 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1682508 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1682508 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:19:p:2079-2095 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Rodríguez Author-Name: Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simón Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Volatility transmission between stock and foreign exchange markets: a connectedness analysis Abstract: This paper empirically investigates volatility transmission among stock and foreign exchange markets in seven major world economies during the period July 1988 to May 2018. To this end, we first perform a static and dynamic analysis to measure the total volatility connectedness in the entire period (the system-wide approach). Second, we make use of a dynamic analysis to evaluate the net directional connectedness for each market. To gain further insights, we examine the time-varying behaviour of net pair-wise directional connectedness during the financial turmoil periods experienced in the sample period Our results suggest that slightly more than half of the total variance of the forecast errors is explained by shocks across markets rather than by idiosyncratic shocks. Furthermore, we find that volatility connectedness varies over time, with a surge during periods of increasing economic and financial instability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2096-2108 Issue: 19 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1683143 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1683143 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:19:p:2096-2108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tom Pierse Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Pierse Author-Name: John McHale Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: McHale Title: Unemployment durations and local labour market conditions Abstract: Unemployment durations vary across local authority districts in the UK. We explore the extent to which this variation is explained by differences in local labour demand as opposed to composition, business cycle and regional effects. We use seventeen waves of the British Household Panel Survey to identify the determinants of the duration of unemployment spells. Once we adjust for individual-level, business cycle and regional controls, we do not find evidence that living in a local authority district with relatively high unemployment is associated with longer spells of unemployment. This indicates that differences in labour demand operate at larger geographic scales, such as between large regions. Our findings have implications for the design of policies to help high unemployment districts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2109-2122 Issue: 19 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1683144 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1683144 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:19:p:2109-2122 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashwin Madhou Author-X-Name-First: Ashwin Author-X-Name-Last: Madhou Author-Name: Tayushma Sewak Author-X-Name-First: Tayushma Author-X-Name-Last: Sewak Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Vikash Ramiah Author-X-Name-First: Vikash Author-X-Name-Last: Ramiah Title: Forecasting inflation in a small open developing economy Abstract: The transition to a model-based forecasting environment is encountered by hurdles in a small open developing economy. An attempt is made to validate the benefits of model-based inflation forecasting for central banks in small open developing economies. Despite data limitations, two distinct VARs are designed to project near-term inflation. Batteries of tests (such as sequential forecasts, out-of-sample forecasting errors, equal-weight forecasting errors and decomposition) are performed on the two models to assess their predictive ability. The main finding is that model-based forecasts are reliable for use by central banks in small open developing economies, as substantiated by the relatively low forecasting errors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2123-2134 Issue: 20 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1683145 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1683145 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:20:p:2123-2134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leiju Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Leiju Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Dongmei Guo Author-X-Name-First: Dongmei Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Xuankai Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xuankai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Wenzhan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wenzhan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The value of school in urban China: a spatial quantile regression with housing transactions in Beijing Abstract: This study adopts microdata of individual housing transactions in Beijing to explore the value that households place on high-quality schools. It is among the first to match exactly the housing unit with its corresponding school in studies on Chinese housing markets. We find a significant school premium of 21.1% in Beijing’s housing market after controlling the unobservable neighbourhood effects using regressions with a spatial lag. We have further discovered different school premiums across quantiles with a spatial quantile regression. The result finding a larger school premium in the lower-priced housing units suggests that low-income households prefer high-quality schools over housing consumption. Our results indicate that public education influences households’ residential location choice and housing consumption decisions, which thus have important policy implications in public goods provision, housing development and urban planning. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2135-2146 Issue: 20 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1683146 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1683146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:20:p:2135-2146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maoyong Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Maoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Caoyuan Ma Author-X-Name-First: Caoyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Hongyan Geng Author-X-Name-First: Hongyan Author-X-Name-Last: Geng Title: The effects of business models on bank risk before, during and after financial crisis: evidence from China Abstract: Using Chinese data from 2004 to 2016, we investigate the effects of business models on bank risk before, during and after financial crisis. Three main results emerge. First, insolvency risk and ROA volatility significantly increase if banks increase their share of non-interest income, and this relationship mainly appears during and after financial crisis. Second, a higher non-deposit funding share results in lower capital risk and credit risk and higher asset quality. However, these effects disappear after financial crisis. Finally, further analyses show that the effects of non-interest income on bank risk are mainly from assets-based non-interest income, and the effects of non-deposit funding on bank risk come primarily from money-market and short-term funding. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2147-2164 Issue: 20 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1683148 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1683148 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:20:p:2147-2164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Margareta Dackehag Author-X-Name-First: Margareta Author-X-Name-Last: Dackehag Author-Name: Lina Maria Ellegård Author-X-Name-First: Lina Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Ellegård Author-Name: Ulf-G. Gerdtham Author-X-Name-First: Ulf-G. Author-X-Name-Last: Gerdtham Author-Name: Therese Nilsson Author-X-Name-First: Therese Author-X-Name-Last: Nilsson Title: Social assistance and mental health: evidence from longitudinal administrative data on pharmaceutical consumption Abstract: This paper adds to the small literature on the role of welfare benefits and mental health by studying the relationship between uptake of Social Assistance Benefit (SAB) and objective mental health measures. We use rich longitudinal administrative data on income, unemployment benefits and psychopharmaceutic prescriptions (antidepressants, anxiolytics, and hypnotics) for more than 140,000 Swedes in 2006–2012. Relative to earlier studies focusing on subjective mental health, an advantage of our approach is that we use longitudinal administrative data that do not suffer from non-response, under-reporting and self-justification biases. While we document a strong positive association between SAB and psychopharmaca consumption in ordinary least squares models, fixed effects estimates indicate that most of the association is due to unobserved individual-specific predisposition. Insofar as a relationship remains in the fixed effect models, it is driven by highly educated men. This result is consistent with earlier quantitative studies using survey data and with qualitative research suggesting that SAB uptake may be particularly stigmatizing for individuals with a higher initial socioeconomic position. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2165-2177 Issue: 20 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1683149 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1683149 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:20:p:2165-2177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryan Larsen Author-X-Name-First: Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Larsen Author-Name: R. Garth Taylor Author-X-Name-First: R. Garth Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Author-Name: John R. McKean Author-X-Name-First: John R. Author-X-Name-Last: McKean Author-Name: Donn M. Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Donn M. Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Title: Willingness-to-pay for snowmobile recreation: travel cost method models with and without post-season resurvey of trip count Abstract: Annual willingness-to-pay (WTP) for snowmobile recreation in Idaho is estimated using the travel cost method (TCM). On-site snow conditions are important and erratic, thus we collect two measures of the annual trip count, an in-season survey of the expected count, and a post-season survey of the actual count. Two variants of the TCM model are estimated. Using the post-season actual trip count data and the ‘traditional’ TCM model, WTP increases from $41 to $91 per person per trip as the fraction of the wage rate that is used to value the opportunity cost of travel time is increased from 1/4 to one. Using the preferred short-run decision TCM model, WTP increases from $53 to $194 as the snowmobiler ratings of off-trail snow conditions vary from worst to best. WTP estimates using the in-season expected trip count data and the traditional TCM model are much higher (triple) than those found using the post-season actual trip count data, and the confidence intervals are much larger. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2178-2190 Issue: 20 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1686112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1686112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:20:p:2178-2190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lilia Cavallari Author-X-Name-First: Lilia Author-X-Name-Last: Cavallari Author-Name: Stefano D’Addona Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: D’Addona Title: Export margins and world shocks: an empirical investigation in fixed and floating regimes Abstract: We use 4-digit data to document the role of world shocks for intensive and extensive margin of exports. We estimate a VAR model, where the endogenous bloc comprises bilateral export margins and relative GDP, and the exogenous bloc comprises disaggregated measures of world price shocks. We find that world shocks have a significant impact on both the average export volume and export diversification. Impulse responses display considerable heterogeneity depending on the shock considered, the exchange rate regime and the great trade collapse. The evidence in the paper has remarkable consequences for trade and exchange rate policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2191-2207 Issue: 20 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1686113 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1686113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:20:p:2191-2207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: András Takács Author-X-Name-First: András Author-X-Name-Last: Takács Author-Name: József Ulbert Author-X-Name-First: József Author-X-Name-Last: Ulbert Author-Name: Andrew Fodor Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Fodor Title: Have investors learned from the crisis? An analysis of post-crisis pricing errors and market corrections in US stock markets based on the reverse DCF model Abstract: The traditional discounted cash flow (DCF) model is generally used to estimate the present value of an enterprise or its equity based on expected future parameters such as cash flows, growth rate and discount rate. In the last decade, the reverse DCF model has gained popularity. With this approach, the valuer uses the current market capitalization as a fixed input and seeks those ‘critical’ values of individual valuation parameters, which – assuming all other parameters remain unchanged – result in a value equal to current market value. This provides a point of comparison for the company’s realized performance and may provide insights regarding over or undervaluation. In this study, we develop a novel DCF model and conduct empirical analysis using data of 1001 US manufacturing, service, retail and financial companies. We examine pricing errors and market corrections in the post-crisis era based on the critical cash flow ratio defined in our reverse model. We find evidence of a general undervaluation in US stock markets with different pricing error patterns across industries. Our results confirm market correction mechanisms have worked properly in the post-crisis era with an average reaction time of 2 years, suggesting investors have learned from the crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2208-2218 Issue: 20 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1686114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1686114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:20:p:2208-2218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernanda Mazzotta Author-X-Name-First: Fernanda Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzotta Author-Name: Francesca Bettio Author-X-Name-First: Francesca Author-X-Name-Last: Bettio Author-Name: Valentina Zigante Author-X-Name-First: Valentina Author-X-Name-Last: Zigante Title: Eldercare hours, work hours and perceived filial obligations Abstract: In this paper, we take a fresh look at the magnitude of the trade-off between caring informally for a parent and paid work. We adopt a simultaneous approach with a primary focus on how hours of care are influenced by hours of work rather than the other way round. We also investigate the role that filial obligations play in choices of caring versus working. Using the SHARE data (2004 and 2006) we find that the elasticity of informal care hours in response to working hours is between −0.17 in the caregivers sample and −0.19 in the women-only caregivers sample; small but not negligible. Moreover, we find that a 10%increase in the index measuring the strength of filial obligations increases weekly hours of care by about two and a half hours. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2219-2238 Issue: 21 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1687839 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1687839 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:21:p:2219-2238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Terhi Maczulskij Author-X-Name-First: Terhi Author-X-Name-Last: Maczulskij Author-Name: Jukka Nyblom Author-X-Name-First: Jukka Author-X-Name-Last: Nyblom Title: Measuring the gender wage gap—a methodological note Abstract: We propose to estimate the Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition by a single-equation model augmented with interactions between the group membership and other predictors. The relative importance of predictors on the discriminatory wage gap is examined by the interaction coefficients, which may lead to very different conclusions than the usual percentage calculations using the detailed decomposition method. Comparisons are made between the traditional interpretations and those suggested here using wage data from Finland. The decomposition analysis suggests that the discriminatory male-female wage gap is largely related to work experience, while our preferred model points to the importance of family gap and working industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2239-2249 Issue: 21 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1687840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1687840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:21:p:2239-2249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehdi Mohebi Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Mohebi Author-Name: Fakhri Mirshojaee Author-X-Name-First: Fakhri Author-X-Name-Last: Mirshojaee Title: Microdata analysis of the consequences of free trade port policy: the case of Iran free zones Abstract: Creating free trade zones as a policy to motivate new investment and improve the local economic indicators might be of some benefits. Following of this policy in Iranian major port, however, resulted vice versa by aggravating the current account balance that is higher imports and the same horizon diminished export sums. We derive the micro data of trade for the Iranian major Imam port according to code arrangements of harmonic system (HS), which permits the clustering of different goods categories. Then we extracted the sums of survey data for the years before and after Imam port became free trade zone and applied fixed effect difference in difference (DID) method to capture the heterogeneity of unobserved variables. Our control port of analysis was Rajaee port the policy did not implemented. Results show that just as Imam free port’s Current Account Balance deteriorated by increasing import and dampening of export sums. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2250-2260 Issue: 21 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1687841 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1687841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:21:p:2250-2260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muzaffarjon Ahunov Author-X-Name-First: Muzaffarjon Author-X-Name-Last: Ahunov Author-Name: Leo Van Hove Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: Van Hove Title: National culture and financial literacy: international evidence Abstract: We examine to what extent (aspects of) national culture can explain cross-country variations in financial literacy. Our results, for a sample of 92 countries, show that Hofstede’s dimensions of power distance and individualism explain, respectively, over 40 and 60 per cent – which is substantially more than national cognitive scores and standard economic variables. In particular, we find that financial literacy is lower in countries where power distance is high, and that the opposite is true for individualism. Uncertainty avoidance would seem be negatively related with financial literacy, but the evidence is not so strong. For masculinity, indulgence, and long-term orientation we find no significant impact. Overall, our results highlight the need for additional (interdisciplinary) theories that can improve our understanding of the determinants of financial literacy and better guide policies in this area. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2261-2279 Issue: 21 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1688241 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1688241 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:21:p:2261-2279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deiyalí A. Carpio Author-X-Name-First: Deiyalí A. Author-X-Name-Last: Carpio Author-Name: Alberta Fernandez Author-X-Name-First: Alberta Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez Author-Name: Beatriz Urbano Author-X-Name-First: Beatriz Author-X-Name-Last: Urbano Title: How to gain image and positioning on social media: Spanish agribusiness firm image and position on social media Abstract: The aim of this article is to obtain insights into how agribusiness firms can gain image recognition and positioning on SM and, in doing so, determine the images that can increase or diminish their positions on SM and predict the frequency of an image’s visibility on SM. This article uses data collected from a large number of Spanish agribusiness firms of the agrarian, agrifood and wine subsectors, located in rural peripheral areas or urban cores, to identify their images and positioning on social media. We use the Tagxedo digital tool to show the distinctive images of agribusiness firms on SM. Using the Howsociable digital tool and observing the SM key performance indicators (KPI), we measure the traffic and visibility of agribusiness firms on social media, and we find that a lot of agribusiness firms leave the potential of SM unused. The agribusiness firms upstream in the value chain and located in rural peripheral areas could take more advantages of SM visibility. We then create a model of image and positioning on SM using a binary logistic regression. We predict that more than two messages of sales per week on SM can diminish the visibility of agribusiness firm on SM. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2280-2291 Issue: 21 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1688242 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1688242 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:21:p:2280-2291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huiming Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Huiming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Rui Huang Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Ningli Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ningli Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Liya Hau Author-X-Name-First: Liya Author-X-Name-Last: Hau Title: Does economic policy uncertainty matter for commodity market in China? Evidence from quantile regression Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on China’s agricultural and metal commodity futures returns across quantiles. We address this issue using the panel quantile regression approach, which allows for a more complete analysis of various conditions in the commodity market (i.e. bearish, normal, and bullish markets). Our empirical results reveal that domestic EPU shocks have a significantly negative effect on agricultural futures returns in bearish markets and a significantly positive effect on metal futures returns in bullish markets. The impacts of both domestic and U.S. EPU shocks on commodity markets are heterogeneous across quantiles and are sector specific. Additionally, by isolating positive and negative EPU shocks, the regression and test results indicate an asymmetric response of commodity futures prices in bullish markets. Moreover, our findings indicate that the metal futures market has a higher financialisation level than the agricultural futures market. The findings can be utilized by policymakers and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2292-2308 Issue: 21 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1688243 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1688243 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:21:p:2292-2308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhifeng Dai Author-X-Name-First: Zhifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Huan Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Huan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Forecasting stock market returns by combining sum-of-the-parts and ensemble empirical mode decomposition Abstract: In this article, we combine the sum-of-the-parts (SOP) method with Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) to forecast stock market returns. We obtain very significant stock return predictability both in statistical and economic terms. Interestingly, the strongest performance is achieved by the extended SOPEEMD method to forecast stock market returns when the price-earnings multiple growth is forecasted using the dividend yield as predictor ($$R_{oos}^2$$Roos2of 21.25%) with monthly data and the book-to-market ratio as predictor achieves $$R_{oos}^2$$Roos2 of 20.05% with monthly data. The highest monthly CER gains for the extended SOPEEMD method are for book-to-market ratio reach 14.11%. Furthermore, the evidence based on robust check supports the feasibility of our forecasting strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2309-2323 Issue: 21 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1688244 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1688244 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:21:p:2309-2323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leo Sleuwaegen Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: Sleuwaegen Author-Name: Sander Ramboer Author-X-Name-First: Sander Author-X-Name-Last: Ramboer Title: Regional competitiveness and high growth firms in the EU: the creativity premium Abstract: The finding that the economic performance of regions is driven by a small set of productive firms calls for a granular analysis of regional growth and competitiveness. Among the productive firms, a significant contribution is made by so-called high-growth firms (HGFs), which also account for the bulk of new jobs created in the region. In this paper, we examine the variation in the incidence of HGFs across a wide set of EU regions in relation to the regional entrepreneurial ecosystem. Looking through the lens of the experimentally oriented economy, we conceptualize the essential role that the creative class plays in the formation of collaborative innovation blocs from which dynamic entrepreneurship and high-growth firms emerge. We present original evidence showing that, for the human capital present in the region, employment in creative occupations has the strongest impact on the occurrence of high-growth firms. Our evidence also points to the stimulating role played by the quality of market-supporting institutions, agglomeration, and infrastructure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2325-2338 Issue: 22 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1686454 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1686454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:22:p:2325-2338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Boateng Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Boateng Author-Name: Gloria Claudio-Quiroga Author-X-Name-First: Gloria Author-X-Name-Last: Claudio-Quiroga Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Exchange rate dynamics in South Africa Abstract: The structure of the nominal exchange rates in South Africa is examined by using fractional integration. We investigate the levels and the volatilities against the US dollar, the British pound, the Euro, the Japanese yen, the Chinese yuan, the Australian dollar, and the Botswanan pula. The results indicate that most series are unit root, I(1) and though there is some evidence of mean reversion, the orders of integration are close to 1, implying high levels of persistence. However, there is evidence of mean reversion for Bostwana Pula in various subsamples. For the volatilities, the stationary long memory is observed in all cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2339-2352 Issue: 22 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1688245 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1688245 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:22:p:2339-2352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdelaziz Hakimi Author-X-Name-First: Abdelaziz Author-X-Name-Last: Hakimi Author-Name: Roula Inglesi-Lotz Author-X-Name-First: Roula Author-X-Name-Last: Inglesi-Lotz Title: Examining the differences in the impact of climate change on innovation between developed and developing countries: evidence from a panel system GMM analysis Abstract: This article aims to explore the dynamic relationship between innovation and climate changes for a sample of 60 countries. We performed an aggregated analysis in which we use the whole sample (60 countries) and a disaggregated analysis in which we split the sample in developed (36 countries) and developing (24 countries). We estimate a balance panel dynamic System Generalized Method of Moment approach for the period 2008–2014. Findings of the aggregated analysis indicate that for the whole sample, there is a positive response from climate change to innovation. Recent climate changes have a positive impact on the innovation process. The disaggregate analysis shows that for developed countries, there is a positive response from climate changes to innovation only for total CO2 emission and CO2 emission from natural gas. However, there is a negative response from the other CO2 emission towards innovation. For the developing countries, the overall results indicate that there is no significant effect from climate change to innovation. Furthermore, findings indicate also, that the level of growth and research and development expenditure exert a positive effect on innovation process for both aggregate and disaggregate analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2353-2365 Issue: 22 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1690126 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1690126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:22:p:2353-2365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xianli Kong Author-X-Name-First: Xianli Author-X-Name-Last: Kong Author-Name: Kangyin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Kangyin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Lei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Characteristics and determinants of asymmetric phase shifts in China’s manufacturing industrial production cycles Abstract: Employing a panel of 30 Chinese manufacturing industries from January 2003 through May 2017 (2003M01-2017M05), this study is the first attempt to investigate the characteristics and determinants of asymmetric phase shifts in China’s manufacturing industrial production cycles. The empirical results suggest that China’s manufacturing industries and aggregate industry have experienced similar frequent phase shifts, but remarkable differences exist in the phase shifts across manufacturing industries. Furthermore, China’s manufacturing industries tend to comove between cyclical phases in sync with the aggregate industrial cycle, but the comovement is asymmetric. In addition, the estimation results of the panel logit model indicate that both the spillovers through input-output linkages and some macroeconomic shocks (i.e. monetary policy and financial policy shocks) are significant determinants of China’s manufacturing industrial phase shifts; however, their effects are asymmetric. Finally, suggestions are offered to Chinese policymakers not only to weaken the economic effect of cyclical fluctuations, but also to promote growth in the manufacturing industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2366-2376 Issue: 22 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1690627 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1690627 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:22:p:2366-2376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raphaël Murswieck Author-X-Name-First: Raphaël Author-X-Name-Last: Murswieck Author-Name: Mihaela Drăgan Author-X-Name-First: Mihaela Author-X-Name-Last: Drăgan Author-Name: Mihaela Maftei Author-X-Name-First: Mihaela Author-X-Name-Last: Maftei Author-Name: Diana Ivana Author-X-Name-First: Diana Author-X-Name-Last: Ivana Author-Name: Astrid Fortmüller Author-X-Name-First: Astrid Author-X-Name-Last: Fortmüller Title: A study on the relationship between cultural dimensions and innovation performance in the European Union countries Abstract: The aim of this article is to analyse the relationship between cultural dimensions and innovation performance within the EU28 countries in order to identify if cultural dimensions influence the innovation performance. The authors performed a data analysis based on an empirical study using open data of Summary Innovation Index–European Innovation Scoreboard (SII-EIS) and Hofstede cultural dimensions in order to identify innovation performance influencing factors in terms of enablers and blockers. Cultural-conditioned blockers within the innovation phases can be the reason why innovation is working more or less successfully and why certain countries are more or less performing in innovation. An essential finding of the present study was that indulgence as a cultural dimension seems to leverage more than the classic reasons the innovation performance on a nations’ level. Being aware of cultural dimensions, the present article findings can support companies to improve their innovation performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2377-2391 Issue: 22 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1690628 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1690628 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:22:p:2377-2391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wensheng Kang Author-X-Name-First: Wensheng Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Ronald A. Ratti Author-X-Name-First: Ronald A. Author-X-Name-Last: Ratti Author-Name: Joaquin Vespignani Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Vespignani Title: Impact of global uncertainty on the global economy and large developed and developing economies Abstract: Global uncertainty shocks are associated with a sharp decline in global inflation, growth and interest rate. Global uncertainty shocks have more protracted, statistically significant and substantial effects on global growth, inflation and interest rate than U.S. uncertainty shocks. When controlling for domestic uncertainty, the decline in output following a rise in global uncertainty is statistically significant in each large country, except for the decline for China. For most economies, a positive shock to global uncertainty has a depressing effect on prices and official interest rates – exceptions are Brazil, Mexico and Russia, which are economies with large capital outflows during financial crises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2392-2407 Issue: 22 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1690629 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1690629 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:22:p:2392-2407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sen Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Sen Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Author-Name: Satoru Shimokawa Author-X-Name-First: Satoru Author-X-Name-Last: Shimokawa Title: The effect of health information on smoking intensity: does addiction matter? Abstract: We investigate how health information, such as a notification of hypertension, influences smoking intensity differently among smokers with different levels of addiction. To circumvent the endogeneity of health information, we employ a sharp regression discontinuity design that exploits the discontinuity around the cut-off point for a hypertension diagnosis. The addiction levels are conjectured by the age of smoking initiation. Using individual-level data from China, our results demonstrate that a hypertension notification reduces daily cigarette smoking by 8.01 cigarettes among less-addicted smokers in the short term, while the influence is insignificant among more-addicted smokers; the observed difference is better explained by addiction levels than by health attitudes. The long-term effects of a hypertension notification are insignificant, regardless of addiction levels. Our results may provide new support for the importance of preventing youth smoking and providing regular medical check-ups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2408-2426 Issue: 22 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1691141 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1691141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:22:p:2408-2426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuseppe Croce Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Croce Author-Name: Emanuela Ghignoni Author-X-Name-First: Emanuela Author-X-Name-Last: Ghignoni Title: The evolution of wage gaps between STEM and non-STEM graduates in a technological following economy Abstract: Based on the assumption that the set of skills characterizing different fields of study do not match the new technologies in the same way, we focus on the evolution of wage gaps between university graduates in STEM disciplines and other subjects. An Oaxaca decomposition technique is applied to early wages of Italian graduates after taking into account both the selection into employment and the endogeneity of major’s choice. Our results can hardly be reconciled with the hypothesis of a technological change favouring STEM graduates in Italy, and are more consistent with the worsening in the relative demand for STEM graduates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2427-2442 Issue: 23 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1691142 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1691142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:23:p:2427-2442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imane El Ouadghiri Author-X-Name-First: Imane Author-X-Name-Last: El Ouadghiri Author-Name: Remzi Uctum Author-X-Name-First: Remzi Author-X-Name-Last: Uctum Title: Macroeconomic expectations and time varying heterogeneity:evidence from individual survey data Abstract: The goal of this paper is to investigate forecast heterogeneity and time variability in the formation of expectations using disaggregated monthly survey data on macroeconomic indicators provided by Bloomberg from June 1998 to August 2017. We show that our panel of forecasters are not rational and are moderately heterogeneous and thus confirm that previously well-established results on asset prices hold for macroeconomic indicators. We propose a flexible hybrid forecast model defined at any time as a combination of the extrapolative, regressive, adaptive and interactive heuristics. Controlling for endogenous structural breaks, we find that experts adjust their forecast behaviour at any time with some inertia in extrapolative and adaptive profiles. Changes in the formation of expectations are triggered mostly by financial shocks, and uncertainty is dealt with by using complex processes in which the fundamentalist component overweighs chartist activity. Forecasters whose models combine different relevant rules and display high temporal flexibility provide the most accurate forecasts. Authorities can then stabilize the domestic markets by encouraging fundamentalists’ forecasts through increased transparency policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2443-2459 Issue: 23 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1691713 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1691713 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:23:p:2443-2459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ranajoy Bhattacharyya Author-X-Name-First: Ranajoy Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharyya Author-Name: Sayani Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Sayani Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Effect of the global financial meltdown on India’s aggregate export volumes Abstract: This paper sets up a demand-supply model to analyse India’s export performance (in terms of volumes rather than values) between 2000Q1–2014Q4. The main objective is to determine the impact of the financial meltdown of 2008 on India’s export performance. During the meltdown period, decline in price by India’s competitors in the international market resulted in (1) loss of competitiveness of India’s export goods and (2) a complete breakdown of the price mechanism affecting India’s export demand. Though export supply was not significantly affected by the meltdown episode we find evidence that exporting firms turned towards the domestic market to cope with the loss in export. The meltdown episode began to significantly affect India’s export demand and supply equations from 2009Q3. The demand and supply equations after that period became so unstable that ‘nothing worked’ for India’s exporters as they tried to counter the decline in export. Hence there was ample reason for them to panic and seek the government’s help. Government policies aimed at boosting export demand did have a positive impact on India’s export performance. Government policies to boost export supply had no impact except being palliative for the exporters at their moment of crisis Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2460-2471 Issue: 23 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1691714 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1691714 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:23:p:2460-2471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ilyes Abid Author-X-Name-First: Ilyes Author-X-Name-Last: Abid Author-Name: Abderrazak Dhaoui Author-X-Name-First: Abderrazak Author-X-Name-Last: Dhaoui Author-Name: Stéphane Goutte Author-X-Name-First: Stéphane Author-X-Name-Last: Goutte Author-Name: Khaled Guesmi Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Guesmi Title: Hedging and diversification across commodity assets Abstract: We investigate the conditional cross effects and volatility spillover between equity markets and commodity markets (oil and gold), Fama and French HML and SMB factors, volatility index (VIX) and bonds using different multivariate GARCH specifications considering the potential asymmetry and persistence behaviours. We analyse the dynamic conditional correlation between the US equity market and a set of commodity prices and risk factors to forecast the transmission of shock to the equity market firstly, and to determine and compare the optimal hedge ratios from the different models based on the hedging effectiveness of each model. Our findings suggest that all models confirm the significant returns and volatility spillovers. More importantly, we find that GO-GARCH is the best-fit model for modelling the joint dynamics of different financial variables. The results of the current study have implications for investors: (i) the equity market displays inverted dynamics with the volatility index suggesting strong evidence of diversification benefit; (ii) of the hedging assets gold appears the best hedge for the US equity market as it has a higher hedge effectiveness than oil and bonds over time; and (iii) despite these important results, a better hedge may be obtained by using well-selected firm sized and profitability-based portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2472-2492 Issue: 23 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1693016 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1693016 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:23:p:2472-2492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gaofeng Zou Author-X-Name-First: Gaofeng Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Author-Name: Qiyuan Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Qiyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Weijie Chen Author-X-Name-First: Weijie Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: J. Ginger Meng Author-X-Name-First: J. Ginger Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Title: What causes the IPO underpricing? New evidence from China’s SME market Abstract: We study 10-year IPO initial returns in China’s small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) board between 2006 and 2016, including 755 IPO samples. At the same time, we test how policy changes of IPO pricing and trading mechanism affect first-day initial returns. Our article adopts the stochastic frontier approach to estimate the fair value of IPOs and decompose the components of deliberate underpricing and mis-valuation factors, then using linear regressions investigate correlation between first-day initial returns and deliberate underpricing or mis-valuation factors. We find it is mis-valuation factors, especially, the irrational behaviour of individual investors that mainly cause the IPO underpricing in China’s SME market rather than deliberate underpricing. Besides, influenced by IPO pricing policies, the characteristic of IPO pricing varies from period to period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2493-2507 Issue: 23 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1693017 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1693017 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:23:p:2493-2507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Dithmer Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Dithmer Author-Name: Awudu Abdulai Author-X-Name-First: Awudu Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulai Title: Trade openness and child health: a heterogeneous panel cointegration analysis Abstract: In this paper, we examine the impact of trade openness on child health, based on a cross-country panel data set covering 66 countries for the period 1960–2013. To account for the time-series properties of the data and potential cross-country heterogeneity in the impact of trade openness, the study employs heterogeneous panel cointegration techniques that are robust to omitted variables and endogeneity problems. The results reveal that trade openness and child health are cointegrated, and that trade works to reduce the child mortality rate significantly in the long-run. The results are robust to the methodology and trade openness and child health indicators employed, as well as to the presence of cross-sectional dependence and changes in the sample composition. The findings also suggest that the impact of trade on child health tends to be stronger in countries with better institutional quality, lower corruption, good governance, political stability, and sound policies that promote private sector development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2508-2525 Issue: 23 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1693018 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1693018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:23:p:2508-2525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weihan Cui Author-X-Name-First: Weihan Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Title: Is debt conservatism the solution to financial constraints? An empirical analysis of Japanese firms Abstract: This paper investigates why firms choose the conservative financing strategy known as non-positive net debt policy, which is a more recent prevalent trend among Japanese firms. The analysis reveals that Japanese firms are more likely to be financially conservative if they are smaller, older and more profitable and have fewer growth opportunities and tangibility. The survival analysis further investigates the duration of conservative debt policy and ordinary debt policy. The evidence shows that firms adopt/abandon the conservative policy with different motivations and preferences over debt conservatism. In particular, we argue that the more financially constrained firms abandon the conservative debt policy sooner than their counterparts, while less financially constrained firms abandon the ordinary (less conservative) debt policy sooner than their counterparts. The results suggest that a firm uses a conservative debt policy in terms of net leverage as a temporary buffer to mitigate financial constraints. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2526-2543 Issue: 23 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1693019 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1693019 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:23:p:2526-2543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Balcilar Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Balcilar Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Charl Jooste Author-X-Name-First: Charl Author-X-Name-Last: Jooste Title: Long memory, economic policy uncertainty and forecasting US inflation: a Bayesian VARFIMA approach Abstract: We compare inflation forecasts of a vector autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (VARFIMA) model against standard forecasting models. U.S. inflation forecasts improve when controlling for persistence and economic policy uncertainty (EPU). Importantly, the VARFIMA model, comprising of inflation and EPU, outperforms commonly used inflation forecast models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1047-1054 Issue: 11 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1210777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1210777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:11:p:1047-1054 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li Nie Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Title: Macroeconomic impacts of China’s foreign exchange reserve accumulation: a vector autoregression analysis using pure-sign-restriction approach Abstract: This study employs pure-sign-restriction approach analysing the macroeconomic impacts of foreign reserve accumulation and discusses the foreign exchange sterilization behaviour of the People’s Bank of China (PBoC). Sign restriction analysis shows that the effects of reserve accumulation shock are initially ambiguous on all variables, but later a positive influence only on base money can be observed. With regard to sterilization intervention, the effect is significant even though it degrades gradually over time. In China, the monetary authority actively undertakes sterilization intervention in order to remove the influence of passive release of base money caused by foreign reserve accumulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1055-1070 Issue: 11 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1210778 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1210778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:11:p:1055-1070 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eoin Reeves Author-X-Name-First: Eoin Author-X-Name-Last: Reeves Author-Name: Dónal Palcic Author-X-Name-First: Dónal Author-X-Name-Last: Palcic Author-Name: Darragh Flannery Author-X-Name-First: Darragh Author-X-Name-Last: Flannery Author-Name: R. Richard Geddes Author-X-Name-First: R. Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Geddes Title: The determinants of tendering periods for PPP procurement in the UK: an empirical analysis Abstract: The procurement of infrastructure projects via public–private partnerships (PPPs) is rising globally. PPPs are, however, often characterized by lengthy tendering periods, defined as the difference between contract notice and financial close. Tendering periods are important because they account for a significant proportion of overall project delivery time. Slow tendering deters bidders and thus reduces competition for contracts. We source data on 670 PPP projects in the United Kingdom and use a duration analysis model to empirically examine factors that impact tendering period duration. Our results reveal significant sectoral variation with projects in the health and housing sectors taking significantly longer to reach financial close. We also show that, after controlling for other factors, projects with higher capital values and projects that overlap with the timing of general elections are associated with significantly longer tendering periods. We further examine the impact of the competitive dialogue procurement method and find evidence that tendering periods have increased since 2006; the year competitive dialogue was introduced. We do, however, observe a significant reduction in the time between appointment of preferred bidder and financial close post-2006. This suggests that competitive dialogue is effective in reducing the scope for negotiations by preferred bidders holding quasi-monopoly advantages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1071-1082 Issue: 11 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1210779 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1210779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:11:p:1071-1082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael E. O’Hara Author-X-Name-First: Michael E. Author-X-Name-Last: O’Hara Author-Name: Philip Sirianni Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Sirianni Title: Carbon efficiency of US colleges and universities: a nonparametric assessment Abstract: Under the American College and University Presidents’ Climate Commitment (ACUPCC), institutes of higher education have pledged to pursue a goal of carbon neutrality. We utilize emissions reported under the ACUPCC agreement and a nonparametric data envelopment analysis approach in order to evaluate the relative performance of signatories to the agreement in terms of producing teaching and research with the least greenhouse gas emissions. We find that while many signatory institutions are now producing their desirable outputs relatively efficiently in terms of carbon emissions, there still exists considerable variation in efficiency and potential for improvement. Results of a second stage efficiency change analysis shows evidence of both movement towards the efficiency frontier since signing, and some movement of the frontier itself, though this evidence comes primarily from teaching-focused institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1083-1097 Issue: 11 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1210780 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1210780 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:11:p:1083-1097 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yingying Xu Author-X-Name-First: Yingying Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Zhi-Xin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhi-Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Hsu-Ling Chang Author-X-Name-First: Hsu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Adelina Dumitrescu Peculea Author-X-Name-First: Adelina Dumitrescu Author-X-Name-Last: Peculea Author-Name: Chi-Wei Su Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Does self-fulfilment of the inflation expectation exist? Abstract: This study examines the causal relationship between the actual and expected inflation in the U.S., using the bootstrap Granger full-sample causality test and sub-sample rolling-window estimation test to illustrate the self-fulfilment of inflation expectations. The full-sample result indicates that there is a bidirectional causality between the actual and expected inflation, showing the possibility of self-fulfilment of inflation expectations which illustrates that inflation is driven by inflation expectation. However, considering structural changes in two series, we find that the short-run causal nexus between the actual and expected inflation using full-sample data are fraudulent. By adopting a time-varying rolling-window approach to revisiting the dynamic causal relationships, this article identifies that the actual inflation has both positive and negative impacts on the expected inflation in distinct sub-periods. Nevertheless, inflation expectation exerts only negative effects on the actual inflation. The results point out that the self-fulfilment of inflation expectations does not exist. Given the bidirectional nexus between the actual and expected inflation, keeping a low and stable inflation is critical to price stability and anchoring of inflation expectation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1098-1113 Issue: 11 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1210781 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1210781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:11:p:1098-1113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamza Bennani Author-X-Name-First: Hamza Author-X-Name-Last: Bennani Author-Name: Matthias Neuenkirch Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Neuenkirch Title: The (home) bias of European central bankers: new evidence based on speeches Abstract: Speeches are an important vehicle for central bankers to convey individual views on the preferred policy stance. In this article, we employ an automated text linguistic approach to create an indicator that measures the tone of the 1,618 speeches delivered by members of the Governing Council (GC) during the period 1999M1–2014M4. We then relate this variable to euro area and national macroeconomic forecasts. Our key findings are as follows. First, inflation and growth expectations have a positive and significant impact on the hawkishness of a speech. Second, different growth expectations across the euro area and different preferences significantly explain discrepancies across speakers. Third, the voiced preferences of presidents of the national central banks (NCBs) largely coincide with the level of independence their central banks had at the time of the Maastricht Treaty. However, in general, there are not much differences between members of the Executive Board and the NCB presidents. Fourth, we find some evidence that central bankers adjust the gist of their speeches depending on whether they talk at home or abroad and before or after a GC meeting. Finally, differences in central banker preferences are the key source of variation in their speeches before the financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1114-1131 Issue: 11 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1210782 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1210782 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:11:p:1114-1131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Henry W. Chappell Author-X-Name-First: Henry W. Author-X-Name-Last: Chappell Author-Name: Rob Roy McGregor Author-X-Name-First: Rob Roy Author-X-Name-Last: McGregor Title: The lower bound and the causes of monetary policy inertia: evidence from Sweden Abstract: In 2009, in the midst of a global recession, Sweden’s Riksbank approached a lower bound on nominal interest rates. This encounter with the lower bound provides a natural experiment for investigating the causes of monetary policy inertia. To exploit this experiment, we estimate Taylor rules with Tobit specifications that permit both interest rate smoothing and persistent shocks (serial correlation) as explanations for inertia. The interest rate smoothing hypothesis leads to a specification in which lagged actual values of the dependent variable appear on the right-hand side of the Taylor rule, while the persistent shocks hypothesis leads to a specification in which lagged values of an unobserved latent dependent variable appear on the right-hand side of the Taylor rule. The divergence of actual and latent dependent variables that occurs at the lower bound provides leverage in distinguishing the two hypotheses. For a conventional Taylor rule, we find evidence of both sources of inertia. For a modified Taylor rule that includes a measure of financial stress, our evidence suggests that interest rate smoothing is the principal source of monetary policy inertia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1132-1146 Issue: 11 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1213360 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1213360 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:11:p:1132-1146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Chu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Tse-Yu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Tse-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Guang-Zhuang Yu Author-X-Name-First: Guang-Zhuang Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Using AHP, DEA and MPI for governmental research institution performance evaluation Abstract: Under situations of limited resources, soft powers such as technology development and innovation become critical capabilities for a nation’s continuous growth and sustainability. Therefore, we used analytical hierarchy process (AHP), data envelopment analysis (DEA), and Malmquist productivity index (MPI) to evaluate the performance of research projects in 6 main fields of study managed by the Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST) in Taiwan from 2002 to 2012. Among the 6 fields of study, Agriculture and Humanities were two research fields as efficiency; and the sequence of inefficiency 4 fields were sociology, medicine, science, and engineering. Although the field of sociology was inefficiency, it was the only field show continuous growth in result of MPI analysis. Taking the fields as a whole, the result of the analysis of total factor productivity showed recession. However, as seen from the growth in technical change and in scale efficiency change, the MOST was effective to a certain extent during the period. However, the recession in technical efficiency change showed that further improvement in the planning and distribution of manpower and funds is needed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 983-994 Issue: 10 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524131 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524131 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:10:p:983-994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xianyan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xianyan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Lihong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Lihong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: State-enterprise relation, local economic priority, and corporate environmental responsibility Abstract: This paper empirically investigates how the state-enterprise relation and local government’s economic priority affect corporate environmental responsibility in a sample of Chinese polluting enterprises during 2009–2013. We find that firms appointing politically connected directors fail to fulfil their obligations in environmental responsibility, characterized by a poor enforcement of discharge fees. Besides, firms contributing a large share of industrial output to the local economy are with a smaller magnitude of discharge levies. In addition, the enforcement of discharge fees is poorer in the most polluted regions, while tourism activity and the local government’s incentive to disclose environmental information increase discharge fees. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 995-1009 Issue: 10 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524568 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524568 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:10:p:995-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Le Wen Author-X-Name-First: Le Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Sholeh A. Maani Author-X-Name-First: Sholeh A. Author-X-Name-Last: Maani Title: Job mismatches and career mobility Abstract: Does over-education assist or hinder occupational advancement? Career mobility theory hypothesizes that over-education leads to a higher level of occupational advancement and wage growth over time, with mixed international empirical evidence. This paper re-tests career mobility theory directly using a rich Australian longitudinal data set. A dynamic random effects probit model is employed to examine upward occupational mobility, considering two-digit occupational rank advancement and wage growth over three-year intervals. The ‘Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia’ data across nine years are employed, and a Mundlak correction model is adopted to adjust for unobserved heterogeneity effects and potential endogeneity, both of which are important to over-education analysis. Contrary to career theory, the results point to job mismatch as an economic concern rather than a passing phase, regardless of whether or not workers are skill-matched. Results further show the importance of adjusting for endogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1010-1024 Issue: 10 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524569 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:10:p:1010-1024 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: GwanSeon Kim Author-X-Name-First: GwanSeon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jun Ho Seok Author-X-Name-First: Jun Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Seok Author-Name: Tyler B. Mark Author-X-Name-First: Tyler B. Author-X-Name-Last: Mark Author-Name: Michael R. Reed Author-X-Name-First: Michael R. Author-X-Name-Last: Reed Title: The price relationship between organic and non-organic vegetables in the U.S.: evidence from Nielsen scanner data Abstract: This study investigates price relationships between organic and conventional carrots, tomatoes, and lettuce in the U.S. utilizing Nielsen scanner data from 2006–2015. We employ a threshold vector error correction model (TVECM), threshold vector autoregressive model (TVAR), and threshold cointegration test to test whether market integration exists between organic and conventional vegetables as well as the existence of asymmetric price transmission. The results find positive long-run relationships between organic and conventional prices of carrots and tomatoes and show the existence of asymmetric price transmission in price pairs of lettuce and tomatoes. Our findings suggest that the price relationship between organic and conventional vegetables varies by characteristics, such as shelf life, volatility in the price premium, and substitutability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1025-1039 Issue: 10 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524570 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:10:p:1025-1039 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chuantian He Author-X-Name-First: Chuantian Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Chunding Li Author-X-Name-First: Chunding Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chuangwei Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chuangwei Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Trade imbalance and the endogenous optimal tariff Abstract: Endogenous tariff literatures reveal empirically that trade imbalance is negatively related with import tariff, this article gives a theoretical evidence and explanation to support this finding with the methodology of multi-country numerical general equilibrium modelling and simulation. We explore how optimal tariff changes after trade imbalance is introduced, and find that optimal tariffs decrease substantially, either for surplus or deficit countries, when imbalance is considered. Specifically, when the imbalance is modelled in endogenous monetary and inside-money structures, the optimal tariffs decrease by 26% globally on average. Our results suggest that the deepening trade imbalance is beneficial to the global trade liberalization due to its driving tariffs down. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1040-1051 Issue: 10 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524974 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524974 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:10:p:1040-1051 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mary Arends-Kuenning Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Arends-Kuenning Author-Name: Kathy Baylis Author-X-Name-First: Kathy Author-X-Name-Last: Baylis Author-Name: Rafael Garduño-Rivera Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Garduño-Rivera Title: The effect of NAFTA on internal migration in Mexico: a regional economic analysis Abstract: Trade facilitates growth in some regions of a country while shrinking others, and therefore to benefit from trade, labour may need to be able to migrate. This mobility is particularly crucial in a developing country with high income inequality like Mexico. We seek to answer the following questions: What characteristics facilitate or hinder that internal migration? Has trade liberalization changed the pattern of internal migration in Mexico? We first predict regional economic growth resulting from changes in Mexico-US tariffs by sector. We find that trade liberalization appears to have largely benefited the manufacturing sector. Next, using a spatial gravity model of migration, we find that while economic growth from trade openness drew workers to urban regions in the northern Border States of Mexico, much of the trade-driven migration occurred before NAFTA. Second, contrary to popular belief, migration from largely rural states appears to have decreased since NAFTA. We also find evidence that migration to the United States increased after NAFTA. Last, we find that income disparity in both the destination and origin region deters migration and that this effect increases after NAFTA. Thus, we see evidence that within-region income disparity can hinder migration, potentially exacerbating income disparity among regions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1052-1068 Issue: 10 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524976 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524976 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:10:p:1052-1068 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John A. Karikari Author-X-Name-First: John A. Author-X-Name-Last: Karikari Author-Name: Hashem Dezhbakhsh Author-X-Name-First: Hashem Author-X-Name-Last: Dezhbakhsh Title: The United States’ higher education antitrust exemption and college enrollment Abstract: This study examines the effect of the higher education antitrust exemption on enrollment of financial aid applicants at highly selective private colleges. The antitrust exemption, used since 2002, was extended to 2022 by the U.S. Congress in 2015, allowing colleges with need-blind admission policy to use common standards without discussing or comparing individual awards. Our findings, which are contrary to earlier studies, suggest that the likelihood of enrollment at the colleges implementing the antitrust exemption increased compared to those that did not. Concerns about the adverse effect of the exemption on enrollment, therefore, seems to be unwarranted. Moreover, the common standards used by need-blind colleges do not seem to increase college access for low income students. These findings can be useful to policy makers who soon have to consider extending the exception beyond 2022. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1069-1080 Issue: 10 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524978 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524978 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:10:p:1069-1080 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johannes Sauer Author-X-Name-First: Johannes Author-X-Name-Last: Sauer Author-Name: Hans Vrolijk Author-X-Name-First: Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Vrolijk Title: Innovation and performance – evidence at micro level Abstract: This empirical study aims to shed light on the link between innovation and economic performance at micro level. Based on a comprehensive survey among dairy and crop farms in the Netherlands we estimate a structural multi-stage model to deliver evidence on the effect of engagement and investment in innovation on the production of product, process and organizational or marketing innovations as well as on the effect of such innovations on farm level productivity. The results suggest various market and farm behaviour related factors to stimulate an increase in innovation engagement and production. Furthermore, the study reveals that indeed a greater innovation investment per unit (innovation input) leads to a higher probability of producing at least one successful product, process and/or organizational or marketing innovation (innovation output). The production of process and organizational or marketing related innovation leads to significant productivity gains. Various recommendations towards a more effective and efficient innovation policy are finally given. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4673-4699 Issue: 43 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1597252 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1597252 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:43:p:4673-4699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shyama Ratnasiri Author-X-Name-First: Shyama Author-X-Name-Last: Ratnasiri Author-Name: Ranjika Walisinghe Author-X-Name-First: Ranjika Author-X-Name-Last: Walisinghe Author-Name: Nicholas Rohde Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Rohde Author-Name: Ross Guest Author-X-Name-First: Ross Author-X-Name-Last: Guest Title: The effects of climatic variation on rice production in Sri Lanka Abstract: We study the responsiveness of rice production to climatic variation using a recent pseudo-panel data set from Sri Lanka. Output per farm is modelled as a non-linear function of temperature and rainfall (and other standard controls) using fixed effects regressions. We find that both climatic variables have concave, non-monotonic effects upon production, and that output is close to maximized at current climatic values. This implies that variations in growing conditions are likely to have negative effects upon production. Random simulations are used to model these impacts under various climate change scenarios, and we find that increasing temperatures will adversely affect rice production much more than varying rainfall, although the effects of a small ceteris paribus rise in temperature are positive. As rice production is a key component in economic output for Sri Lanka and other developing countries, our results have implications for food policy and poverty management in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4700-4710 Issue: 43 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1597253 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1597253 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:43:p:4700-4710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edouard Wemy Author-X-Name-First: Edouard Author-X-Name-Last: Wemy Title: The labour income share and the relative price of investment in the US: an empirical investigation Abstract: Several studies argue that the recent decline in the secular trend of the labour income share is mostly driven by capital-embodied technological progress which is typically identified with trend reductions in the relative price of investment. In this paper, I use data from the United States to assess the nature of the relationship between trends in the labour share and the relative price of investment. Results from co-integration tests reveal that the share and the relative price of investment are most likely not co-integrated. However, co-variation tests indicate that both time series share a common stochastic component, and additional tests of structural breaks point at the presence of a common change in the mean or trend of both series. These results suggest that capital-embodied or investment-specific technological progress may have played an important role in the decline of the secular trend of the labour share. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4711-4725 Issue: 43 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1597254 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1597254 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:43:p:4711-4725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Borghesi Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Borghesi Author-Name: Kiyoung Chang Author-X-Name-First: Kiyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Ying Li Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Firm value in commonly uncertain times: the divergent effects of corporate governance and CSR Abstract: Economic uncertainty disrupts firms’ ability to create value. Most related literature examines how various organizational characteristics affect value under extreme conditions – the global financial crisis. However, recent work in quantifying economic uncertainty now makes it possible to take a more nuanced approach in investigating the conditions under which this value reduction can be mitigated during more ‘commonly uncertain’ periods. In this paper we analyze the effects of corporate governance mechanisms and social responsibility investments on Tobin’s q across 13 years and 40 countries. Evidence suggests that shareholder-centric corporate governance policies restrict board and executive flexibility during uncertain times, and therefore stifle their ability to react effectively to adverse macroeconomic changes. We also find that CSR initiatives serve as insurance in that they preserve value under uncertainty by acting as a reservoir of social capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4726-4741 Issue: 43 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1597255 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1597255 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:43:p:4726-4741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ganghua Mei Author-X-Name-First: Ganghua Author-X-Name-Last: Mei Author-Name: Robert McNown Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: McNown Title: Dynamic causality between the U.S. stock market, the Chinese stock market and the global gold market: implications for individual investors’ diversification strategies Abstract: This paper proposes a generalization of the prior VAR and EGARCH model to explore the linkage between returns and volatility transmissions in the U.S. stock market, the Chinese stock market, and the global gold market from 10 July 1996 to 20 July 2018. We found that past returns of the U.S. stock market can predict the current returns of the other two markets, and that significant reciprocal volatility transmission existed within and across all three markets. We further implemented average out-of-sample (OOS) forecasting to show that a risk-adjusted portfolio, such as mean-variance with sample estimator, does not outperform an equal-weighted portfolio. This provides insights for individual investors and helps to explain the ongoing disagreement in the portfolio literature concerning the effectiveness of risk-adjusted portfolios and equal-weighted portfolios when the number of assets is small. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4742-4756 Issue: 43 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1601156 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1601156 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:43:p:4742-4756 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio Méndez Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Méndez Title: Training opportunities in monopsonistic labour markets Abstract: This paper studies the empirical relationship between the extent of monopsonistic power observed in occupational labour markets and the training opportunities available to workers in those markets; using data from the American National Longitudinal Survey of Youth of 1979. The results reveal a positive and significant association between monopsony power and training availability. The estimated association is found to be stronger for individuals with a college degree, with longer tenure in their jobs, and higher wages. These results are consistent across several econometric specifications that control for time, occupation, and individual fixed effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4757-4768 Issue: 43 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1602707 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1602707 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:43:p:4757-4768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wanglin Ma Author-X-Name-First: Wanglin Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Alan Renwick Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Renwick Author-Name: Bruce Greig Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Author-X-Name-Last: Greig Title: Modelling the heterogeneous effects of stocking rate on dairy production: an application of unconditional quantile regression with fixed effects Abstract: This article analyses the effects of stocking rate on dairy production, using New Zealand dairy farm business data for the period 2005–2014. Unlike previous studies that assume a homogenous relationship between stocking rate and dairy production, we contribute to the literature by investigating the heterogeneous effects of stocking rate on milksolids production and applying an unconditional quantile regression model with fixed effects to control for unobserved farm-specific traits that are time invariant. The empirical results show that stocking rate exerts significant heterogeneous effects on milksolids production at different quantiles. In particular, we find that an additional increase in stocking rate (i.e. one cow/ha increase) increases milksolids production per hectare by between 17% and 25% but decreases milksolids production per cow by between 5% and 12%. In addition, we find that milking interval, dairy breed, farm labour, access to irrigation and farm location are important factors that increase milksolids production. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4769-4780 Issue: 43 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1602710 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1602710 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:43:p:4769-4780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikeel Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Nikeel Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Ronald Ravinesh Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Ravinesh Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Arvind Patel Author-X-Name-First: Arvind Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Author-Name: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Syed Jawad Author-X-Name-Last: Hussain Shahzad Author-Name: Peter Josef Stauvermann Author-X-Name-First: Peter Josef Author-X-Name-Last: Stauvermann Title: Modelling inbound international tourism demand in small Pacific Island countries Abstract: In this study, we estimate inbound international tourism demand models at the individual source market-destination and overall destination levels for Fiji, Cook Islands, Tonga and Vanuatu from 2002Q1 to 2016Q2 and Samoa from 2002Q4 to 2015Q3. Tourism demand is measured by visitor arrivals, tourism prices, the source country’s real GDP, tourism prices in substitute destinations, seasonality and structural breaks, all of which are considered plausible determinants. The models are estimated using the ARDL-bounds approach, structural breaks are identified using the Bai and Perron break test, and seasonality is tested using the US Census Bureau’s X-13 ARIMA-SEATS methodology. The study is important because it presents new evidence on price, income, and substitute price sensitivity, word of mouth, seasonality, and structural-breaks effects in Pacific island destinations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1031-1047 Issue: 10 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646887 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:10:p:1031-1047 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thi-Ngoc Anh Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Thi-Ngoc Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Kiyotaka Sato Author-X-Name-First: Kiyotaka Author-X-Name-Last: Sato Title: Invoice currency choice, nonlinearities and exchange rate pass-through Abstract: Estimating time-varying thresholds as a proxy for exporter’s predicted exchange rates, this study proposes a new approach to analyse possible asymmetric behaviour of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) or pricing-to-market (PTM) in Japanese exports between yen appreciation and depreciation periods. Constructing the industry-specific nominal effective exchange rate on a contract (invoice) currency basis, we perform the multivariate threshold near-vector autoregressive (near-MTVAR) estimation and reveal a strong tendency of symmetric ERPT in the short-run, between yen appreciation and depreciation periods. From the 2000s, however, Japanese machinery exporters increased the degree of PTM even in the long-run, while other industries raised the degree of long-run ERPT, reflecting the difference of product differentiation across industries. This evidence has significant implications for the recent unresponsiveness of the Japanese trade balance to the large depreciation of the yen. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1048-1069 Issue: 10 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1650884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1650884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:10:p:1048-1069 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giorgio Canarella Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Author-X-Name-Last: Canarella Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Stephen M. Miller Author-X-Name-First: Stephen M. Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Author-Name: Tolga Omay Author-X-Name-First: Tolga Author-X-Name-Last: Omay Title: Does real U.K. GDP have a unit root? Evidence from a multi-century perspective Abstract: We employ linear and nonlinear unit-root tests to examine the stationarity of five multi-century historical U.K. series of real output compiled by the Bank of England. Three series span 1270 to 2016 and two series span 1700 to 2016. These datasets represent the longest span of historical real output data available and, thus, provide the environment for which unit-root tests are most powerful. A key feature of our test is its simultaneous allowance for two types of nonlinearity: time-dependent (structural breaks) nonlinearity and state-dependent (asymmetric adjustment) nonlinearity. The key finding of the test, contrary to what other more popular nonlinear unit-root tests suggest, provides strong evidence that the main structure of the five series is a stationary process characterized by an asymmetric nonlinear adjustment and a permanent break affecting both the intercept and the trend. A major policy implication of this finding is fiscal and/or monetary stabilization policies have only temporary effects on the output levels of the United Kingdom. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1070-1087 Issue: 10 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1655138 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1655138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:10:p:1070-1087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Gausden Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Gausden Author-Name: Mohammad S. Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad S. Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Title: Comparative performances of measures of consumer and economic sentiment in forecasting consumption: a multi-country analysis Abstract: This paper seeks to compare the capabilities of assorted measures of consumer and economic sentiment in predicting the growth of household expenditure. An analysis of quarterly data on five European countries shows that for none of these can the model which incorporates the EU’s headline consumer confidence indicator be deemed to be significantly inferior to any of its seven rivals. However, the rankings of the sentiment variables are seen to be influenced by: the proportion of total spending by households that is devoted to durable goods; and the nature of the behaviour of consumption over the forecast interval. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1088-1104 Issue: 10 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659489 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659489 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:10:p:1088-1104 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mary J. Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Mary J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Sita Slavov Author-X-Name-First: Sita Author-X-Name-Last: Slavov Title: Do immigrants delay retirement and social security claiming? Abstract: We use data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) to examine how immigrants’ retirement and Social Security claiming patterns compare to those of natives. We find that immigrants retire and claim Social Security at older ages than natives, an effect that is similar across immigrant ethnic groups and more pronounced among immigrants who arrived in the U.S. after age 40. We discuss and explore possible mechanisms for these differences. Hazard models suggests that these differences arise because immigrants have lower retirement and claiming hazard rates in their early 60s. We do not find evidence of an increase in the rate at which immigrants move abroad or exit the survey, compared to U.S. natives, in their late 50s through 60s, a finding that is consistent with immigrants retiring in the U.S. rather than abroad. These results are important given the rising share of older immigrants living in the U.S., and they have implications for the impact of immigration on government finances as well as the retirement security of an important subgroup of the population. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1105-1123 Issue: 10 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659492 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:10:p:1105-1123 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiangcai Meng Author-X-Name-First: Xiangcai Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Title: The time-frequency dependence of unemployment on real input prices: a wavelet coherency and partial coherency approach Abstract: While the dependence of unemployment on real oil price and real interest rate is an important issue that has been addressed only in the time dimension, little is known about the movements of real input prices and their impact on unemployment in the time-frequency space. With a continuous wavelet coherency and partial coherency approach and monthly data of Japan and US from January 1960 to May 2017, this paper contributes to the literature by examining the characteristics of the dependence of unemployment on real input prices across frequencies and over time. The empirical results indicate that: First, a rise in real oil price leads to productivity growth slowdown and unemployment increase at the scale of 16–64 months after 1990 for Japan and 8–24 months after 2005 for US. Second, an increase in real interest rate results in higher unemployment at the 16–32-month scale before 1974 for Japan and 8–64-month scale before 2000 for US. Third, the degree of integration between labour market and energy market in US is higher than that in Japan. This study provides time-frequency evidence to the supply side hypothesis about the relationships between input prices and unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1124-1140 Issue: 10 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659495 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:10:p:1124-1140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Komivi Afawubo Author-X-Name-First: Komivi Author-X-Name-Last: Afawubo Author-Name: Mawuli K. Couchoro Author-X-Name-First: Mawuli K. Author-X-Name-Last: Couchoro Author-Name: Messan Agbaglah Author-X-Name-First: Messan Author-X-Name-Last: Agbaglah Author-Name: Tchapo Gbandi Author-X-Name-First: Tchapo Author-X-Name-Last: Gbandi Title: Mobile money adoption and households’ vulnerability to shocks: Evidence from Togo Abstract: We investigate the determinants of mobile money adoption process and whether its use helps households in Togo to be resilient to predictable and unpredictable life events. Using ordered logit and sequential logit models, our results show that in the adoption process, households benefit from weak ties of social groups such as religious group and informal saving group for the adoption of mobile money. We equally find that being client of banks or microfinance institutions act as powerful channels from one step to another in the process. Besides, our findings reveal that households whoever use mobile money seem to be more resilient to climatic shocks such as drought, irregular rain, soil degradation, erosion and fertility reduction and to shock that affect households’ assets (non-climatic: high prices of agricultural inputs). However, the picture is more contrasted when the individuals are classified by disadvantaged groups such as rural people, women, less educated and people with low incomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1141-1162 Issue: 10 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659496 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659496 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:10:p:1141-1162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas M. Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Thomas M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Author-Name: Elías D. Saenz-Rojo Author-X-Name-First: Elías D. Author-X-Name-Last: Saenz-Rojo Author-Name: Adam G. Walke Author-X-Name-First: Adam G. Author-X-Name-Last: Walke Title: Yield spreads, currency movements, and recession predictability for southern border economies in the United States Abstract: Prior research establishes that the spread between long- and short-term bond yields often provides valuable information for predicting business cycle downturns. This study examines the predictive capacity of the yield spread for the United States metropolitan economies situated along the border with Mexico. Because of the location of these urban economies and various economic ties linking them with twin cities across the border, the Mexico yield spread, and the real dollar/peso exchange rate are also employed as potential recession predictors. Results suggest that a flattening of the yield curve for either country tends to increase the probability of recessions in border economies. Furthermore, declines in the real value of the peso, which are typically associated with greater cross-border manufacturing activity, are found to reduce recession likelihoods in the metropolitan economies examined on the north side of the international boundary. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2910-2921 Issue: 30 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1251556 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1251556 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:30:p:2910-2921 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Author-Name: Holger Strulik Author-X-Name-First: Holger Author-X-Name-Last: Strulik Title: Religiosity and income: a panel cointegration and causality analysis Abstract: In this article, we examine the long-run relationship between religiosity and income using retrospective data on church attendance rates for a panel of countries from 1930 to 1990. We employ panel cointegration and causality techniques to control for omitted variable and endogeneity bias and test for the direction of causality. We show that there exists a negative long-run relationship between the level of religiosity, measured by church attendance, and the level of income, measured by the log of GDP per capita. The result is robust to alternative estimation methods, potential outliers, different samples, different measures of church attendance and alternative specifications of the income variable. Long-run causality runs in both directions, higher income leads to declining religiosity and declining religiosity leads to higher income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2922-2938 Issue: 30 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1251562 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1251562 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:30:p:2922-2938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Najibullah Hassanzoy Author-X-Name-First: Najibullah Author-X-Name-Last: Hassanzoy Author-Name: Shoichi Ito Author-X-Name-First: Shoichi Author-X-Name-Last: Ito Author-Name: Hiroshi Isoda Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Isoda Author-Name: Yuichiro Amekawa Author-X-Name-First: Yuichiro Author-X-Name-Last: Amekawa Title: Cointegration and spatial price transmission among wheat and wheat-flour markets in Afghanistan Abstract: This article examines cointegration and spatial price transmission among Afghan wheat and flour markets as well as their linkages with those of supplier countries and global markets. Unit root tests, consistent momentum threshold autoregressive (M-TAR) models and vector error correction models (asymmetric and symmetric) are employed to achieve research objectives. The results suggest that provincial wheat and flour markets may have a long-run relationship with principal market of Kabul. Afghan wheat and flour markets may also be cointegrated with their respective global, Kazakh and Pakistani markets. While provincial wheat markets might adjust to divergence from their long-run equilibrium with Kabul wheat market, some of the provincial flour markets may not respond to deviation from their long-run equilibrium with Kabul flour market. The speed of adjustment towards the long-run Afghan–Pakistani and Afghan–Kazakh equilibrium may be faster for Afghan flour than wheat markets. The equilibrium adjustment coefficients are generally small and market imperfections may exist, however. A shock in Kabul wheat and flour markets may have long-lasting effect on the respective provincial markets whereas a shock in global wheat and Pakistani, and Kazakh wheat and flour markets might have transitory effect on the corresponding Afghan markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2939-2955 Issue: 30 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1251563 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1251563 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:30:p:2939-2955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Beaudin Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Beaudin Title: Marriage equality and interstate migration Abstract: This study examines the impact of state imposed, marriage equality laws on interstate migration prior to the 26 June 2015 U.S. Supreme Court ruling to legalize same-sex marriage in all states. Results of the estimation of a series of probit models suggest that all head of households are more likely to leave states without marriage equality. This estimated impact is significantly larger for household heads in same-sex relationships. When examining the migration choices separately by both sex and relationship type, this result remains significant for female heads of households in different-sex relationships and male heads of households in same-sex relationships. Simulations, using the results of the probit estimations, the analysis of regional trends, and recent rebellions against the Supreme Court ruling indicate that state level, marriage equality laws may be aggravating the imbalanced distribution of same- and different-sex couple households across the country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2956-2973 Issue: 30 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1251565 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1251565 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:30:p:2956-2973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Author-Name: Amir Arjomandi Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Arjomandi Author-Name: K. Hervé Dakpo Author-X-Name-First: K. Hervé Author-X-Name-Last: Dakpo Title: Banks’ efficiency and credit risk analysis using by-production approach: the case of Iranian banks Abstract: This article uses a by-production approach that integrates credit risk to monitor bank efficiency. The method overcomes the possible misspecification issues of the commonly assumed weak disposability (WDA) of undesirable outputs. In addition, our measure extends the classic by-production approach by including statistical aspects through subsampling techniques. We have also provided an algorithm to correct related infeasibilities. Using this approach, we investigate the performance of Iranian banks and credit risk management in the sector for the period 1998–2012. Non-performing loans (NPLs) have been used as an undesirable output and proxy for credit risk in our models. Based on our empirical results, although the banks generally exhibited efficiency improvements over time, their credit risk performance deteriorated considerably after the regulatory changes introduced in 2005. These findings confirm that credit quality can be monitored more actively across Iranian banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2974-2988 Issue: 30 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1251567 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1251567 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:30:p:2974-2988 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carin van der Cruijsen Author-X-Name-First: Carin Author-X-Name-Last: van der Cruijsen Author-Name: Lola Hernandez Author-X-Name-First: Lola Author-X-Name-Last: Hernandez Author-Name: Nicole Jonker Author-X-Name-First: Nicole Author-X-Name-Last: Jonker Title: In love with the debit card but still married to cash Abstract: Using shopping diary survey data, we show that changing payment patterns is a challenging task; even when consumers have fallen in love with a new payment instrument, they find it hard to divorce from their old payment instrument. We find a discrepancy between how consumers prefer to pay and how they actually pay. Half of the consumers who prefer the debit card to cash don’t use the debit card to pay a majority of their point-of-sale transactions. Our regression results show that the habit of paying cash plays a significant role explaining the presence of a gap. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2989-3004 Issue: 30 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1251568 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1251568 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:30:p:2989-3004 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher S. Brunt Author-X-Name-First: Christopher S. Author-X-Name-Last: Brunt Author-Name: John R. Bowblis Author-X-Name-First: John R. Author-X-Name-Last: Bowblis Title: Health insurer market power and employer size: an empirical evaluation of insurer concentration and wages through compensating differentials Abstract: This article explores the differentiated effects of health insurer market concentration on net compensation of employees across distinct firm sizes. Consistent with the existing literature evaluating insurer market concentration and the theory of compensating differentials, we find evidence of higher premiums and reduced net compensation for employees in markets with more concentrated insurers. Furthermore, we find evidence that the magnitude of these effects is distinctly smaller for large employers. This implies that mergers of large health insurance companies may have a significant impact on small businesses but that the effect is mitigated for larger employers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3005-3015 Issue: 30 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1251569 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1251569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:30:p:3005-3015 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Coady Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Coady Author-Name: Allan Dizioli Author-X-Name-First: Allan Author-X-Name-Last: Dizioli Title: Income inequality and education revisited: persistence, endogeneity and heterogeneity Abstract: This article presents new results on the relationship between income inequality and education expansion – that is, increasing average years of schooling and reducing inequality of schooling. When dynamic panel estimation techniques are used to address issues of persistence and endogeneity, we find a large, positive, statistically significant and stable relationship between inequality of schooling and income inequality, especially in emerging and developing economies and among older-age cohorts. The relationship between income inequality and average years of schooling is positive, consistent with constant or increasing returns to additional years of schooling. While this positive relationship is small and not always statistically significant, we find a statistically significant negative relationship with years of schooling of younger cohorts. Statistical tests indicate that our dynamic estimators are consistent and that our identifying instruments are valid. Policy simulations suggest that education expansion will continue to be inequality reducing. This role will diminish as countries develop, but it could be enhanced through a stronger focus on reducing inequality in the quality of education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2747-2761 Issue: 25 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1406659 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1406659 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:25:p:2747-2761 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W.D. Chen Author-X-Name-First: W.D. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Detecting policy effects with wage rigidity and instability – evidence on the Taiwan labour market Abstract: With stagnant wages and growing productivity, a widening gap is becoming prevalent in global labour markets. The relationship between wages and productivity has become indeterminate, especially after the 2008 financial crisis. This article presents the phenomenon for why salary rarely follows up with productivity after an economy recovers. By using the GMM method, this study shows the interaction among wage, productivity and tightness, in which we illustrate the Taiwan labour market as an example to show how hiring system changes press wages away from an efficient allocation, causing instability and market failure. Surveying 35 labour markets for different industries, we reveal that the situation in the labour markets has drastically changed since 2008. We find that this resulted in a severe problem when the Taiwan firms got used to policies like ‘22K’, ‘fix-term contract’ and ‘unpaid leave’ programmes. These plans negatively impacted the economy and raised market failure with instability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2762-2776 Issue: 25 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1409416 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1409416 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:25:p:2762-2776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuseppe Di Liddo Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Di Liddo Author-Name: Cosimo Magazzino Author-X-Name-First: Cosimo Author-X-Name-Last: Magazzino Author-Name: Francesco Porcelli Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Porcelli Title: Government size, decentralization and growth: empirical evidence from Italian regions Abstract: The aim of this study is to empirically assess the relationship among government size, decentralization and economic growth in Italian ordinary regions. The empirical analysis, based on a panel dataset on Italian regions, provides evidence in support of the existence of an inverted U-shaped relationship between public expenditure and economic growth, that depends on the degree of fiscal decentralization. In particular, according to our estimates on the specific Italian case, the optimal degree of decentralization is around 32%, while the optimal government size value is approximately 52%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2777-2791 Issue: 25 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1409417 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1409417 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:25:p:2777-2791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong-Hyeon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dong-Hyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Yu-Bo Suen Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Suen Author-Name: Shu-Chin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Joyce Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Joyce Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Title: Government size, government debt and globalization Abstract: This article empirically investigates the effect of globalization on government size and debt. Using panel heterogeneous cointegration techniques to a panel of developing and developed countries, it finds that globalization reduces government size and debt. In terms of components of globalization, government size is found to increase with trade openness but decreases with financial, social and political globalization. On the other hand, government debt increases with financial and trade openness but decreases with social and political globalization. The evidence is robust to different estimation methods and different samples. Our data also indicate unidirectional causality running from globalization measures to government size and debt. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2792-2803 Issue: 25 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1409418 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1409418 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:25:p:2792-2803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yingdan Mei Author-X-Name-First: Yingdan Author-X-Name-Last: Mei Author-Name: Diane Hite Author-X-Name-First: Diane Author-X-Name-Last: Hite Author-Name: Brent Sohngen Author-X-Name-First: Brent Author-X-Name-Last: Sohngen Title: Estimation of house price differential of urban tree cover: an application of sample selection approach Abstract: Hedonic valuation of urban forest amenities tends to assume that these attributes are exogenous to sample selection, which might render the estimated results misleading. This article intends to estimate the house price differential of urban tree cover by considering the sample selection issue. The main hypothesis is that houses with high tree cover generates higher utility to consumers, and thus leads to higher house price, ceteris paribus. It may attribute to the fact that consumers self-select into purchasing houses with high- or low-density tree cover based on some unobserved systematically different characteristics. As a result, estimates from sample selection models confirm the hypothesis that purchasing a house with high-density tree cover leads to a positive price differential compared with the low-density tree cover in Napa, Los Angeles, and that buying a low-density tree cover house results in negative price differential in Napa, Los Angeles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2804-2811 Issue: 25 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1409419 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1409419 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:25:p:2804-2811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert J. Brent Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: The value of a year’s general education for reducing the symptoms of dementia Abstract: We present a method for estimating the benefits of years of education for reducing dementia symptoms based on the cost savings that would accrue from continuing independent living rather than relying on formal or informal carers. Our method for estimating the benefits of education involves three steps: first taking a year of education and seeing how much this lowers dementia, second using this dementia reduction and estimating how much independent living is affected and third applying the change in caregiving costs associated with the independent living change. We apply our method for estimating education benefits to a National Alzheimer’s Coordinating Center sample of 17,239 participants at 32 US Alzheimer’s disease centres over the period September 2005 and May 2015. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2812-2823 Issue: 25 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1409420 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1409420 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:25:p:2812-2823 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Bingsheng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Bingsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yinghua Shen Author-X-Name-First: Yinghua Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Xueqing Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xueqing Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Spatial analysis of change trend and influencing factors of total factor productivity in China’s regional construction industry Abstract: Total factor productivity (TFP) is a measure of long-term economic growth and a comprehensive industry-level productivity measure. There are large gaps in China’s regional construction industry development due to unbalanced regional economy. Based on TFP measurement, this article puts forward a two-hierarchical analysis framework with coefficient of variation, Moran scatterplot and coefficient of convergence to analyse change trend of the construction industry TFP in three major regions in terms of spatial diversity, correlation and convergence. Then, the geographically weighted regression model is utilized to explore the influencing mechanism on the TFP. The results indicate the differences of the regional construction industry TFP are enlarging. There is obvious spatial correlation and heterogeneity in the regional TFP without a relatively stable space pattern. The TFP also exhibits convergence effects among three major regions. The construction industry productivity in all regions is significantly affected by economic environment, industrial organization structure and technological level. Industrial organization structure exerts the various influences on the productivity in different regions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2824-2843 Issue: 25 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1409421 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1409421 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:25:p:2824-2843 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jérôme Creel Author-X-Name-First: Jérôme Author-X-Name-Last: Creel Author-Name: Paul Hubert Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Hubert Author-Name: Mathilde Viennot Author-X-Name-First: Mathilde Author-X-Name-Last: Viennot Title: The effect of ECB monetary policies on interest rates and volumes Abstract: This article assesses the transmission of ECB monetary policies, conventional and unconventional, to both interest rates and lending volumes or bond issuance for three types of different economic agents through five different markets: sovereign bonds at 6-month, 5-year and 10-year horizons, loans to nonfinancial corporations and housing loans to households, during the financial crisis, and for the four largest economies of the euro area. We look at three different unconventional tools: excess liquidity, longer-term refinancing operations and securities held for monetary policy purposes following the decomposition of the ECB’s Weekly Financial Statements. We first identify series of ECB policy shocks at the euro area aggregate level by removing the systematic component of each series and controlling for announcement effects. We second include these exogenous shocks in country-specific structural VAR, in which we control for credit demand. The main result is that only the pass-through from the ECB rate to interest rates has been effective. Unconventional policies have had uneven effects and primarily on interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4477-4501 Issue: 47 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1158923 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1158923 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:47:p:4477-4501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hana Mohelska Author-X-Name-First: Hana Author-X-Name-Last: Mohelska Author-Name: Marcela Sokolova Author-X-Name-First: Marcela Author-X-Name-Last: Sokolova Title: Smart, connected products change a company’s business strategy orientation Abstract: Smart, connected products have the potential to shift rivalries, opening up numerous new avenues for differentiation and value-added services. New entrants in a smart, connected world face significant new obstacles, starting with the high fixed costs of a more complex product design, embedded technology and multiple layers of new IT infrastructure. As smart, connected products expand an industry’s scope and the boundaries of competition, many companies will need to rethink their corporate purpose. As products continue to communicate and collaborate in networks, which are continuously expanding both in number and diversity, many companies will have to re-examine their core mission and value proposition. The authors present an analysis of changes that were initiated by applying new of smart and connected product technologies during creative discussions about disruptive innovation development. The objective of the article is to seek answers to the following research questions: Q 1: What is the role and significance of the new concept of products obtained as a result of substantial innovations? Q 2: How does the new concept of products impact the entrepreneurial strategy of organizations? Q 3: Does this concept trigger a change to the rules of competition? Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4502-4509 Issue: 47 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1158924 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1158924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:47:p:4502-4509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erik Mäkelä Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Mäkelä Title: The price of the euro: evidence from sovereign debt markets Abstract: The objective of this article is to ascertain how the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) in Europe has affected its members’ long-term government bond yields. In order to estimate the effect, this article utilizes a synthetic control approach. The main finding is that the majority of the member countries did not receive economic gains from the EMU in sovereign debt markets. Synthetic counterfactual analysis finds strong evidence that Austria, Belgium, Finland, France and the Netherlands have paid a positive and substantial euro-premium in their 10-year government bonds since the adoption of the single currency. After the most recent financial crisis, government bond yields have been higher in all member countries compared to the situation that would have occurred without the monetary unification. This article concludes that from the viewpoint of sovereign borrowing, it would be beneficial for a country to maintain its own currency and monetary policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4510-4525 Issue: 47 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1161714 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1161714 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:47:p:4510-4525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xun Li Author-X-Name-First: Xun Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Rigoberto A. Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Rigoberto A. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Title: Food environment and weight outcomes: a stochastic frontier approach Abstract: Food environment includes supermarkets, restaurants, warehouse clubs and supercentres and other food outlets. As such, it can affect weight outcomes through healthy food-access cost and availability, which in turn shape eating styles and habits. This article evaluates the impact of food environment on weight outcomes through a stochastic frontier approach (SFA) that comprehensively includes various components of the food environment. The model is estimated using body mass indexes (BMIs) as the dependent variable and demographics and food environment data from New England counties as explanatory variables. Empirical results indicate that supercentres and limited service restaurants are positively associated with weight gain, while full service restaurants are negatively associated with BMIs. In metropolitan counties, the presence of full and limited service restaurants has a significant impact on BMIs; in non-metropolitan counties, these establishments do not, except in those adjacent to metropolitan areas. Empirical results also validate SFA is a more appropriate specification than the standard linear model. In addition, SFA allows us to rank counties and identify targets for effective policy interventions. An ordered logit model of weight status is estimated with the same explanatory variables, confirming that the directions of the effects of the food environment components are similar. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4526-4537 Issue: 47 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1161715 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1161715 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:47:p:4526-4537 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuelian Bai Author-X-Name-First: Xuelian Author-X-Name-Last: Bai Author-Name: Fangjun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Fangjun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Junrui Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Junrui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Analyst coverage and stock return synchronicity: evidence from regulation changes in China’s IPO market Abstract: This article investigates the relation between analyst coverage and stock return synchronicity in the IPO market. Using a unique data set in China from 2005 to 2012, we find a significantly different effect of analyst coverage on synchronicity before and after the implementation of important 2009 IPO regulation changes in China. Specifically, we document that analyst coverage reduces synchronicity but that this effect is significant only after 2009. In addition, we extend this research to further distinguish the information production role of underwriter and independent analysts. We find that prior to 2009, underwriter analysts’ coverage decreases synchronicity but independent analysts’ coverage does not. However, in the post-2009 period, both types of analyst coverage are significantly and inversely associated with synchronicity. Overall, our results support analysts’ role as producers of firm-specific information in an emerging IPO market and shows that this role depends on the institutional environment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4538-4557 Issue: 47 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1161716 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1161716 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:47:p:4538-4557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seung-Whan Choi Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Whan Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Patrick James Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: James Author-Name: Yitan Li Author-X-Name-First: Yitan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Eric Olson Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Olson Title: Presidential approval and macroeconomic conditions: evidence from a nonlinear model Abstract: Contrary to previous empirical studies that find a linear link between economic conditions and presidential approval, this study argues for and finds a nonlinear relationship. A threshold regression is used to assess potential nonlinear relationships between macroeconomic variables and presidential popularity. A quarterly data analysis for the 1960Q1–2012Q2 time period reveals that domestic factors prevail in shaping presidential approval. Most compelling is evidence of a threshold relationship involving economic conditions: When unemployment is slightly over 7%, its decline impacts significantly and favourably on presidential approval, an effect that virtually disappears below the threshold value. Change in consumer sentiment affects presidential approval in a limited way, while inflation shows no association at all. These results combine to encourage further investigation of nonlinear processes in the nexus of economics and politics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4558-4572 Issue: 47 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1161718 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1161718 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:47:p:4558-4572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rochelle Holm Author-X-Name-First: Rochelle Author-X-Name-Last: Holm Author-Name: Wales Singini Author-X-Name-First: Wales Author-X-Name-Last: Singini Author-Name: Simeon Gwayi Author-X-Name-First: Simeon Author-X-Name-Last: Gwayi Title: Comparative evaluation of the cost of water in northern Malawi: from rural water wells to science education Abstract: Worldwide, improved sources of drinking water are still lacking for 663 million people. With Malawi as a case study, we aim to address the scarcity of data available to understand the full cost and options of drinking water at a regional level covering both urban and rural areas. We studied options in the northern region of Malawi under the following thematic areas: urban piped water, water wells, handpump spare part supply networks, household point-of-use water treatment, the cost of entering a water business and capacity building in science education. Primary locally sourced data were collected as well as secondary publically available data. Additionally, local markets were surveyed for spare part networks. This research has shown that when looking at water resource economics in northern Malawi, it is not a monopoly and options are available at a range of costs. The data challenge policy-makers to reach the last 10% of the population still lacking improved drinking water. This will require a combination of expansion of urban piped water infrastructure, new boreholes in rural areas, increased handpump functionality rates, scale-up of household drinking water point-of-use treatment and growth of local universities to train local experts within the sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4573-4583 Issue: 47 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1161719 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1161719 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:47:p:4573-4583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Alan Bowman Author-X-Name-First: R. Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Bowman Author-Name: James Lambrinos Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Lambrinos Author-Name: Thomas Ashman Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Ashman Title: Prospective measures of competitive balance application to money lines in the national hockey league Abstract: The authors have previously introduced the concept of utilizing point spreads to measure competitive balance in professional sports and a methodology for doing so. They assessed competitive balance in the National Football League and the National Basketball Association. This methodology was extended to measuring competitive balance utilizing money lines in major league baseball. This study starts by applying the same model to the money lines for the 2005–2015 seasons to measure competitive balance in the National Hockey League. It then statistically adjusts the money lines under various scenarios to estimate the effects of overtime rules and shootouts on competitive balance. Similar analyses of overtime effects on competitive balance of other sports are also completed for comparison purposes. The results indicate that competitive balance in the National Hockey League increased rather substantially during this period and that overtime rules and shootouts have had a much larger positive impact on competitive balance in the NHL than overtime approaches have had on the competitive balance of any of the other sports examined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4925-4936 Issue: 46 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1444262 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1444262 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:46:p:4925-4936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angela S. Bergantino Author-X-Name-First: Angela S. Author-X-Name-Last: Bergantino Author-Name: Claudia Capozza Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Capozza Author-Name: Mauro Capurso Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Capurso Title: Pricing strategies: who leads and who follows in the air and rail passenger markets in Italy Abstract: In this paper, we aim at empirically uncovering the existence of price leadership in the passenger transport market, whose oligopolistic structure facilitates the strategic interaction among companies, with price being one of the principal elements of competition. The strategic interaction is particularly favoured by the fact that prices are easily observable online by all competitors. The analysis focuses on selected Italian city-pair markets that differ from one another with respect to the degree of inter- and intra-modal competition and to the characteristics of the transport services provided. We exploit this heterogeneity to study transport operators’ strategic interactions in different competitive environments. We find evidence of the existence of price leadership, even though results differ across city-pair markets. In particular, it emerges that the incumbent operator, in either the air or the rail sector, always holds the role of leader. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4937-4953 Issue: 46 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1459039 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1459039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:46:p:4937-4953 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leiju Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Leiju Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Daxuan Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Daxuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Information and housing search: theory and evidence from China market Abstract: Asymmetric market information plays a role in households’ housing choice. To study this role, we theoretically and empirically examine the varied behaviours between better-informed and less-informed households in a housing market. The housing search model theoretically predicts that better-informed households are more likely to secure a better deal. With the data from Tianjin in China, hedonic models are calibrated to quantify the impacts of asymmetric information on housing search outcomes. The results show that the less-informed homebuyers need to pay around 1~2.3% more than those better-informed homebuyers after controlling the heterogeneity of housing units, which are consistent with the theoretical predictions. It suggests that policies and institutions to alleviate asymmetric information in housing market could improve the welfare of households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4954-4967 Issue: 46 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1464644 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1464644 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:46:p:4954-4967 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Youngho Kang Author-X-Name-First: Youngho Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Byung-Yeon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Byung-Yeon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Immigration and economic growth: do origin and destination matter? Abstract: This article assesses the heterogeneous effects of immigration on economic growth depending on both the origin and the destination countries. Following the development of a growth model augmented by human capital of immigrants, we estimate it in a dynamic panel setup using the system-GMM estimator. We find that the growth-enhancing effect of immigration is significantly larger when immigration flows from developed to developing economies than when it does to those that include both developed and developing economies. We interpret these results as evidence of immigrants from developed countries bringing with them their advanced knowledge into the developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4968-4984 Issue: 46 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1466987 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1466987 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:46:p:4968-4984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong Xie Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Investigating stationarity in tourist arrivals to India using panel KPSS with sharp drifts and smooth breaks Abstract: In the study, we applied panel-based stationary test that incorporates sharp as well as smooth breaks to investigate the non-stationarity of long-run tourists’ arrivals to India from major tourists’ source countries for the period 1981–2012. Results from the overall panel data provided significant evidence to support the stationarity hypothesis. However, when tourist arrivals from major source countries are considered, results indicate that tourist arrivals in India from the UK, Canada, Australia, Singapore, and Nepal were non-stationary, suggesting that tourists from these countries are all affected by economic conditions with the greatest extent. The results of the study have important policy implication for the tourist authority of India as well as business sectors in the hospitality industry for understanding and predicting market condition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4985-4998 Issue: 46 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1466988 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1466988 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:46:p:4985-4998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chunhua Tang Author-X-Name-First: Chunhua Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Honglin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Honglin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Erbao Cao Author-X-Name-First: Erbao Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Kin Keung Lai Author-X-Name-First: Kin Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: Channel competition and coordination of a dual-channel supply chain with demand and cost disruptions Abstract: The impacts of simultaneous disruption of demand and cost on pricing, production and coordination of a dual-channel supply chain with one manufacturer and one retailer are examined. First, coordination of the dual-channel supply chain without disruption is proposed, by using a revenue sharing contract. Furthermore, the effects of simultaneous disruption of demand and cost on pricing, production and profit are examined from the perspective of partners and the whole supply chain. Optimal prices and quantum of production in the event of disruptions occurring are derived. Suitable changes and improvements in revenue sharing contracts can help coordinate the dual-channel supply chain with disruptions. Finally, the proposed models are further analysed through numerical examples. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4999-5016 Issue: 46 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1466989 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1466989 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:46:p:4999-5016 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rébecca Stekelorum Author-X-Name-First: Rébecca Author-X-Name-Last: Stekelorum Author-Name: Issam Laguir Author-X-Name-First: Issam Author-X-Name-Last: Laguir Author-Name: Jamal Elbaz Author-X-Name-First: Jamal Author-X-Name-Last: Elbaz Title: CSR disclosure and sustainable supplier management: a small to medium-sized enterprises perspective Abstract: The respective literatures on corporate social responsibility (CSR) disclosure and sustainable supplier management have grown in recent years, but little scholarly attention has been paid to the link between the two. Within a framework that incorporates legitimacy and neo-institutional theories, this study investigates how CSR disclosure in small to medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) influences CSR requirements and capacity building with suppliers. Based on an empirical data set of 146 000 SMEs, we test our hypotheses using multiple mediation analysis. Our results indicate that SME CSR disclosure has a positive direct effect on capacity building. When the mediating role of CSR requirements is taken into account, the study reveals that the more SMEs disclose their CSR activities, the more they require CSR from their suppliers, which in turn leads to an increase in capacity building with them. The study also suggests that the SMEs that limit their CSR requirements to the application step are more likely to build capacity with their suppliers than the SMEs that impose CSR verification. Overall, this article provides unique insights for practitioners seeking to determine the circumstances in which the SME practices of sustainable supplier management unfold in practice. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5017-5030 Issue: 46 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1466990 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1466990 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:46:p:5017-5030 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosa Duarte Author-X-Name-First: Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Duarte Author-Name: Alfredo J. Mainar-Causapé Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo J. Author-X-Name-Last: Mainar-Causapé Author-Name: Julio Sánchez Chóliz Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Sánchez Chóliz Title: Domestic GHG emissions and the responsibility of households in Spain: looking for regional differences Abstract: The aim of this article is to analyze the responsibilities of Spanish households, as final consumers, for the generation of domestic greenhouse gases emissions (GHG), by region of residence, distinguishing between NUTS 1 and NUTS 2 (autonomous regions). The motivation is the process of convergence experimented by Spanish regions based on the strong economic growth experienced by the country until 2008, which could results in different emissions responsibilities because of different lifestyles and production structures. We examine in depth the relationships between a representative household in each region and its patterns of consumption. Although we do find a relationship between per capita income and regional responsibility for pollution generation, it is based on a demand scale effect, which overlaps the effects of the regional consumption patterns. Thus, in the richest regions (Madrid, Northeast, East), despite their having a less polluting pattern than other regions, the level of per capita embodied emissions is higher, due to their higher level of consumption. This scale effect, and the linkages between regional responsibilities for emissions and household consumption patterns are analyzed using linear models based on Social Accounting Matrices. The basis of the estimations is the regional emission intensity (average emission per euro spent by each type of regional home). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5397-5411 Issue: 53 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1307933 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1307933 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:53:p:5397-5411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lu Fang Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: David A. Bessler Author-X-Name-First: David A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bessler Title: Stock returns and interest rates in China: the prequential approach Abstract: This article aims to study whether interest rates help to forecast stock returns in China using the prequential approach. A bivariate VAR model and a univariate autoregressive model are examined. Out-of-sample probability forecasts, generated based on both a bootstrap-like simulation method and a nonparametric kernel-based simulation method, are evaluated from both calibration (reliability) and sorting (resolution) perspectives. The results from calibration test indicate that including interest rates in the model improves the model’s ability to issue realistic probability forecasts of stock returns (be well-calibrated). Considering stock returns also enhances the prediction of interest rates with respect to calibration. Assessment through Brier score and Yates partition suggests that the model performs better in distinguishing stock returns that actually occur and stock returns that do not occur after incorporating the influence of interest rates. Overall, interest rates help in forecasting stock returns in China in terms of both calibration and sorting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5412-5425 Issue: 53 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1307934 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1307934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:53:p:5412-5425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Author-Name: Luis Antonio Monteros Author-X-Name-First: Luis Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Monteros Title: Dynamic conditional score models of degrees of freedom: filtering with score-driven heavy tails Abstract: This article extends the quasi-autoregressive (QAR) plus Beta-t-EGARCH (exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) dynamic conditional score (DCS) model. For the new DCS model, the degrees of freedom parameter is time varying and tail thickness of the error term is updated by the conditional score. We compare the performance of QAR plus Beta-t-EGARCH with constant degrees of freedom (benchmark model) and QAR plus Beta-t-EGARCH with time-varying degrees of freedom (extended model). We use data from the Standard and Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) index, and a random sample of its 150 components that are from different industries of the United States (US) economy. For the S&P 500, all likelihood-based model selection criteria support the extended model, which identifies extreme events with significant impact on the US stock market. We find that for 59% of the 150 firms, the extended model has a superior statistical performance. The results suggest that the extended model is superior for those industries, which produce products that people usually are unwilling to cut out of their budgets, regardless of their financial situation. We perform an application to compare the density forecast performance of both DCS models. We perform an application to Monte Carlo value-at-risk for both DCS models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5426-5440 Issue: 53 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1307935 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1307935 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:53:p:5426-5440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiangling Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiangling Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Glenn Otto Author-X-Name-First: Glenn Author-X-Name-Last: Otto Title: Housing supply elasticity in local government areas of Sydney Abstract: We report supply elasticity estimates of residential property (houses and apartments) for local government areas (LGAs) in metropolitan Sydney. Using annual data for 1991–2012, the average supply elasticity estimate across all LGAs is 0.2 for houses and 0.8 for apartments. The supply of houses is inelastic in all 43 LGAs; in contrast, apartment supply is elastic – greater than unity – in about one-third of LGAs. We develop theoretical and empirical models to explain the cross-section variation in supply elasticity across LGAs. For houses, supply elasticity is negatively related to an LGA’s population density, the time taken by a local council to process a development application and to different measures of the amount of land in an LGA that is unavailable for new housing development. In contrast to houses, variation in supply elasticity for apartments across LGAs is unrelated to any of the available regressors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5441-5461 Issue: 53 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1307936 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1307936 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:53:p:5441-5461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nazım Ekren Author-X-Name-First: Nazım Author-X-Name-Last: Ekren Author-Name: Elçin Aykaç Alp Author-X-Name-First: Elçin Author-X-Name-Last: Aykaç Alp Author-Name: Mete Han Yağmur Author-X-Name-First: Mete Han Author-X-Name-Last: Yağmur Title: Macroeconomic performance index: a new approach to calculation of economic wellbeing Abstract: Since the rise of the global financial crisis, there has been revival of interest in performance indexes that measure the overall stance of the economy and the wellbeing of households. Such indexes typically consist of inflation, growth, employment and long-term interest rates. We develop such an index by appending exchange rate and weighting each variable by the inverse of its variance in order to prevent the more volatile variable to dominate the index. We call this macroeconomic performance index (MPI) and argue that such an index better explains the overall economic stance especially in emerging economies. We generate the index using data from three emerging economies, namely Turkey, Brazil and Poland. Our analysis indicates that the index has a nonlinear structure and hence we analyse its behaviour using threshold autoregressive (TAR) model. It is observed that MPI captures the economic stance and main economic incidents quite successfully in each subject country. To further see the relevance of the MPI, we run TAR cointegration analysis with consumer confidence indexes (CCIs) for the subject countries with TAR cointegration test. The results indicate long-term relationship between the MPI and CCI in all three countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5462-5476 Issue: 53 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1310996 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1310996 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:53:p:5462-5476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernd Hayo Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Hayo Author-Name: Matthias Uhl Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Uhl Title: Taxation and consumption: evidence from a representative survey of the German population Abstract: Using a representative survey of the German population, this article studies self-reported individual consumption responses to a recent exogenous payroll tax reduction. About 55% of the respondents report that they spend the extra money, indicating considerable potential for tax changes to affect consumption and economic activity. Our analysis of the socio-demographic and economic covariates of consumption responses suggests, among other effects, that interest rates are related to consumption responses to tax changes, and that households with higher income have a higher propensity to consume. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5477-5490 Issue: 53 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1310997 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1310997 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:53:p:5477-5490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arif Billah Dar Author-X-Name-First: Arif Billah Author-X-Name-Last: Dar Author-Name: Debasish Maitra Author-X-Name-First: Debasish Author-X-Name-Last: Maitra Title: Is gold a weak or strong hedge and safe haven against stocks? Robust evidences from three major gold-consuming countries Abstract: In this article, we test nexus between gold and stocks for the three major gold consumers by using the range of methodologies. First, we assess if there is any time-varying correlation between the two assets. We fail to find any significant time-varying correlation between gold and stock returns in India and the United States. Second, we attempted to investigate the safe-haven property of gold by analysing the decile-wise conditional correlation between stock returns and gold returns at different deciles of stock returns. Third, in order to test the robustness of the results drawn from the decile-wise correlation, we employ wavelet coherence in continuous wavelet framework to test the time and frequency varying nexus between the pair of assets. The range of methodologies employed seems to indicate the weak hedge and safe haven-property of gold for stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5491-5503 Issue: 53 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1310998 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1310998 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:53:p:5491-5503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: i-i Issue: 53 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1347382 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1347382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:53:p:i-i Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Erratum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3230-3230 Issue: 29 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1417960 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1417960 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:29:p:3230-3230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiago Lopes Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Tiago Lopes Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: António Cardoso Marques Author-X-Name-First: António Cardoso Author-X-Name-Last: Marques Author-Name: José Alberto Fuinhas Author-X-Name-First: José Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Fuinhas Author-Name: e Marco Mano Saldanha Author-X-Name-First: e Marco Mano Author-X-Name-Last: Saldanha Title: Interactions between electricity generation sources and economic activity in two Nord Pool systems. Evidence from Estonia and Sweden Abstract: The interactions between electricity sources and industrial production in Estonia and Sweden are analysed based on monthly data. The availability of data defines the time spans from January 2010 to September 2015 for Sweden and from April 2010 to December 2014 for Estonia. These countries are particularly interesting to study because of their dissimilar generation mix. Estonia’s generation mix is based on oil shale, while Sweden’s is based on nuclear plants and hydroelectricity. In short, both countries’ energy mixes are based on endogenous natural resources. The ARDL model was applied, allowing the long-run and short-run effects to be captured. The results prove that economic growth is sustained by natural endogenous resources. Estonia should continue to improve the usage of renewable energies, using fossil sources in support, in order to reduce emissions and to meet international environmental commitments. Sweden should promote the efficient usage of various renewable sources. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3115-3127 Issue: 29 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1418074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1418074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:29:p:3115-3127 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Pierre Allegret Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Allegret Author-Name: Audrey Allegret Author-X-Name-First: Audrey Author-X-Name-Last: Allegret Title: The role of international reserves holding in buffering external shocks Abstract: An extended literature analyses the accumulation foreign exchange holding observed in many developing and emerging countries since the 2000s. Empirical studies on the self-insurance motive suggest that high-reserves economies are more resilient to financial crises and to international capital inflows volatility. They show also that pre-crisis foreign reserve accumulation explains post-crisis growth. However, some papers suggest that the relationship between international reserves holding and reduced vulnerability is nonlinear, meaning that reserve holding is subject to diminishing returns. This article devotes more attention to the potential nonlinear relationship between the foreign reserves holding and macroeconomic resilience to shocks. For a sample of nine emerging economies, we assess to what extent the accumulation of international reserves allows to mitigate negative impacts of external shocks on the output gap. While a major part of the literature focuses on the global financial crisis, we investigate this question by considering two sub-periods: 1995–2003 and 2004–2013. We implement threshold VAR model in which the structure is allow to change if the threshold variable crosses a certain estimated threshold. We find that the effectiveness of reserve holding to improve the resilience of domestic economies to shocks has increased over time. Hence, the diminishing returns of foreign reserve holding stressed in the previous literature must be qualified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3128-3147 Issue: 29 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1418075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1418075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:29:p:3128-3147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Laura Sauci Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Sauci Title: Long memory and mean reversion in real exchange rates in Latin America Abstract: This article examines the long-run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) hypothesis for 12 Latin American Real Effective Exchange Rates (REERs) using fractional integration techniques. The empirical results, applying parametric approaches, provide evidence of mean reversion in the REERs in the cases of Nicaragua, Belize, Costa Rica, Guyana and Paraguay and lack of it for the remaining seven countries. Employing semiparametric methods, the evidence of mean reversion covers the following countries: Belize, the Dominican Republic, Ecuador and Mexico. Thus, only for Belize and Guyana do we obtain consistent evidence of mean reversion in the real exchange rates. At the other extreme, lack of mean reversion, and thus, lack of PPP, is obtained with both methods in Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia and Venezuela. For the remaining six countries, the results are ambiguous. The results for the PPP theory in Belize and Guyana may show the importance of promoting policies based on exchange rate flexibility and economic liberalization to reach a long-run stability scenario that leads to greater international competitiveness and lower external vulnerability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3148-3155 Issue: 29 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1418076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1418076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:29:p:3148-3155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Shi Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Chuhui Li Author-X-Name-First: Chuhui Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Does weight status affect academic performance? Evidence from Australian children Abstract: This article investigates the impact of children’s weight status on their academic performance using the Longitudinal Survey of Australian Children. Considering the endogeneity of the weight status variable (obesity or overweight), to obtain consistent estimates of its impact, we use the body mass index of biological parents as instrumental variables. The two-stage least square estimation shows that obesity or overweight has a significant negative impact on academic performance. Furthermore, the effect of child weight status is different across grade levels. Overweight has a larger negative impact on academic performance for senior year students, especially on numeracy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3156-3170 Issue: 29 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1418077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1418077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:29:p:3156-3170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Su Chi-Wei Author-X-Name-First: Su Author-X-Name-Last: Chi-Wei Author-Name: Xiao-Cui Yin Author-X-Name-First: Xiao-Cui Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Ran Tao Author-X-Name-First: Ran Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Author-Name: Haigang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Haigang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Are housing prices improving GDP or vice versa? A cross-regional study of China Abstract: This study applies the bootstrap panel Granger causality test to examine the relationship between housing prices (HPs) and GDP across provinces in China. Empirical results show that HPs Granger cause GDP in the eastern region and in most provinces of the central region. Rapid industrialization and urbanization in the eastern region and the low-cost advantages of the central region promote housing investment and significantly affect GDP. However, GDP has no influence on HPs in the eastern region due to insufficient land supply, housing speculation and HPs deviating from the economic fundamentals. HPs do not Granger cause GDP in the western region because it is less attractive for housing investment. Also, GDP Granger causes HPs in the central and western regions that the economy can influence HPs. These findings could help the government formulate reasonable regional policies for the development of the housing market and economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3171-3184 Issue: 29 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1418078 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1418078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:29:p:3171-3184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheng Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Greek membership and academic performance: evidence from student-level data Abstract: Compared to other inputs of the ‘education production function’, less is known about the effect of social and non-classroom choices. This study examines whether joining fraternities and sororities improves academic performance. In order to account for the self-selection bias of Greek membership, I exploit plausibly exogenous cross-class variation in Greek student composition at the course-instructor level. My estimate shows that a 10 percentage point increase in Greek student composition translates to a 0.02 standard deviation increase in course grade for Greek students relative to non-Greek students. I further find that this effect is driven largely by low-achieving and middle-achieving white Greek members. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3185-3195 Issue: 29 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1418079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1418079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:29:p:3185-3195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Les Oxley Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Oxley Title: Bubbles in US regional house prices: evidence from house price–income ratios at the State level Abstract: We investigate the presence of bubbles in the US house price-income ratio at the State level by applying the recent time series-based econometric test to data from January 1975 to December 2014. We find evidence of bubbles in several States in the 1980s (i.e. California, Hawaii, Massachusetts, New York, etc.), which coincides with some existing studies that investigate housing bubbles or booms and busts using a range of alternative approaches. Our results show the existence of a housing bubble that originates in the early 2000s and collapses in the mid-2000s in more than 20 States and the District of Columbia concluding that the bubbles of the 2000s were more widespread than the 1980s, which is of special interest and importance. Our results seem to be in agreement with the talk given by Alan Greenspan in 2005, who suggest no sign of a nationwide housing bubble but a lot of local bubbles. We also study the importance of the regression model specification with/without an intercept and the regression model with an intercept could lead to false-positive identification of bubbles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3196-3229 Issue: 29 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1418080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1418080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:29:p:3196-3229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vikash Ramiah Author-X-Name-First: Vikash Author-X-Name-Last: Ramiah Author-Name: Huy N. A. Pham Author-X-Name-First: Huy N. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: The sectoral effects of Brexit on the British economy: early evidence from the reaction of the stock market Abstract: We investigate the impact of the outcome of the EU referendum (Brexit) on various sectors of the British economy over the period June–July 2016. Using the event study methodology, we assess the effects of Brexit, relative to what had been anticipated, as measured by abnormal returns (ARs). The results show that the banking and travel and leisure sectors were affected negatively, with a cumulative AR of −15.37% for the banking sector. We observe that Brexit has a mixed effect on ARs with apparent sector-by-sector differences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2508-2514 Issue: 26 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1240352 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1240352 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:26:p:2508-2514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raquel Fonseca Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Fonseca Author-Name: Natalia Utrero Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Author-X-Name-Last: Utrero Title: Financial markets and firm size: The role of employment protection laws and barriers to entrepreneurship Abstract: This article provides evidence on the institutional determinants of firm size for the period 1980–1998. Using a comprehensive longitudinal database across 29 industrial sectors in 15 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries, we study how labour regulations and barriers to entrepreneurship (BE) affect industrial organization in the presence of capital market frictions. We show that strict employment protection laws (EPL) and high BE negatively affect firm size in sectors that are more dependent on external funds. Our findings demonstrate that the interaction between market regulations and financial market imperfections help to explain some of the differences in firm structure across countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2515-2531 Issue: 26 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1243209 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1243209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:26:p:2515-2531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Madhu S. Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Madhu S. Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Author-Name: Aria Golestani Author-X-Name-First: Aria Author-X-Name-Last: Golestani Title: How is the worker’s weekly hour related to wage over the life cycle? The U.S. evidence Abstract: The current study estimates the relationship between weekly hours and weekly wage over the life cycle of a representative sample of workers. Recognizing the endogeneity of these two variables, the study estimates both equations in a simultaneous equations framework and demonstrates that the relationship between weekly hours and weekly wage is not uniform over the worker’s life cycle. These two variables are negatively related when the workers are young and have a positive relationship when they are matured adults. This conclusion remains valid for both men and women. Our robustness check further confirms that workers respond to wage increases differently at different stages of their working career. This has interesting policy implications. Any policy to influence the worker’s hours decision through wage incentive must consider the stage of his/her working career. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2532-2544 Issue: 26 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1243210 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1243210 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:26:p:2532-2544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Bredemeier Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Bredemeier Author-Name: Roland Winkler Author-X-Name-First: Roland Author-X-Name-Last: Winkler Title: The employment dynamics of different population groups over the business cycle Abstract: We examine differences in employment dynamics across population groups using Bayesian vector autoregressions. We document that groups who are particularly strongly affected by business-cycle fluctuations (males, young people, non-whites, the less educated, and workers in blue-collar occupations) also tend to be affected early in the build-up of a boom or bust. We further identify the drivers of the different cyclicalities across population groups. Supply shocks seem to be most important for the heterogeneous employment fluctuations and particularly for the early effects of recessions and booms on the most affected groups. Dynamics in sectoral activity and in hiring rates can help to understand our findings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2545-2562 Issue: 26 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1243211 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1243211 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:26:p:2545-2562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dmitri Romanov Author-X-Name-First: Dmitri Author-X-Name-Last: Romanov Author-Name: Aviad Tur-Sinai Author-X-Name-First: Aviad Author-X-Name-Last: Tur-Sinai Author-Name: Galit Eizman Author-X-Name-First: Galit Author-X-Name-Last: Eizman Title: Overeducation, job mobility and earnings mobility among holders of first degrees Abstract: Overeducation has been researched extensively for nearly three decades, but some major issues in regard to it are still topics of ongoing debate. By using a panel data, that combines a survey of two cohorts of Israeli first-degree holders and data from administrative sources on jobs and wages, we examine the contribution of job turnover, cognitive abilities and continuing graduate studies to the likelihood of overeducation and wage dynamics. The study produces four main findings. First, rapid job-switching makes a negative contribution to the increase in employee’s wage and there is a negative correlation between two variables – an employee’s tenure and the number of past employers in the years after the completion of degree studies – and the probability of being overeducated. Second, the contribution of the individual’s cognitive abilities and quantitative reasoning skills to the likelihood of becoming overeducated is negative. Third, the wages of overeducated employees are some 11% lower and rise more slowly than the wages of those whose level of schooling corresponds to their jobs; this outcome may be interpreted as indicating that the ‘scars’ of being overeducated tend to be long-lasting. Fourth, the overeducated workers have lower propensity to continue to advanced academic studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2563-2578 Issue: 26 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1243213 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1243213 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:26:p:2563-2578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ye Li Author-X-Name-First: Ye Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Pierre Perron Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Perron Author-Name: Jiawen Xu Author-X-Name-First: Jiawen Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Modelling exchange rate volatility with random level shifts Abstract: Recent literature has shown that the volatility of exchange rate returns displays long memory features. It has also been shown that if a short memory process is contaminated by level shifts, the estimate of the long memory parameter tends to be upward biased. In this article, we directly estimate a random level shift model to the logarithm of the absolute returns of five exchange rates series, in order to assess whether random level shifts (RLSs) can explain this long memory property. Our results show that there are few level shifts for the five series, but once they are taken into account the long memory property of the series disappears. We also provide out-of-sample forecasting comparisons, which show that, in most cases, the RLS model outperforms popular models in forecasting volatility. We further support our results using a variety of robustness checks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2579-2589 Issue: 26 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1243214 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1243214 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:26:p:2579-2589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Forecasting REIT volatility with high-frequency data: a comparison of alternative methods Abstract: Volatility is a crucial input for many financial applications, including asset allocation, risk management and option pricing. Over the last two decades the use of high-frequency data has greatly advanced the research on volatility modelling. This article makes the first attempt in the real estate literature to employ intraday data for volatility forecasting. We examine a wide range of commonly used methods and apply them to several major global REIT markets. Our findings suggest that the group of reduced form methods deliver the most accurate one-step-ahead forecast for daily REIT volatility. They outperform their GARCH-model-based counterparts and two methods using low-frequency data. We also show that exploiting intraday information through GARCH does not necessarily yield incremental precision for forecasting REIT volatility. Our results are relatively robust to the choice of realized measure of volatility and the length of evaluation period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2590-2605 Issue: 26 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1243215 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1243215 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:26:p:2590-2605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad A. Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: The econometrics of the environmental Kuznets curve: an illustration using Australian CO2 emissions Abstract: Four econometric issues associated with the estimation and testing of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) are considered: (i) model specification with respect to the order of the polynomial, (ii) model specification with respect to the use of linear or log-linear specifications, (iii) integration and cointegration considerations, and (iv) missing variables and time trends. These issues are examined in reference to Australian data on four measures of CO2 emissions and three measures of per capita income. While evidence is provided for an inverted U-shaped EKC, the results cannot be generalized. It is concluded that without the use of sensitivity analysis, the results are typically fragile. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4927-4945 Issue: 49 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1296552 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1296552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:49:p:4927-4945 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabio C. Bagliano Author-X-Name-First: Fabio C. Author-X-Name-Last: Bagliano Author-Name: Claudio Morana Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Morana Title: It ain’t over till it’s over: A global perspective on the Great Moderation-Great Recession interconnection Abstract: A large-scale Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) model of the global economy is used to investigate the determinants of the Great Moderation and the transition to the Great Recession (1986–2010). Beside the global-economy perspective, the model presents the novel feature of a broad range of included financial variables and risk factor measures. The results point to various mechanisms related to the global monetary policy stance (Great Deviation), financial institutions’ risk-taking behaviour (Great Leveraging) and global imbalances (savings glut), determining aggregate fluctuations. Finally, an out-of-sample forecasting exercise provides evidence against the ‘end of the Great Moderation’ view, showing that the timing, though not the dimension of the Great Recession episode (2008–2010), was predictable on the basis of the same macroeconomic mechanisms at work over the two previous decades. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4946-4969 Issue: 49 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1296553 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1296553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:49:p:4946-4969 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seon-Woong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Seon-Woong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Title: Forecasting urea prices Abstract: Managing urea price risk is a concern of firms in the urea supply chain due to high price volatility and relatively slow transportation. This study develops urea price forecasting models as a way to reduce price risk. The forecasting models are evaluated based on multiple accuracy measures and compared to Fertilizer Week, a commercial forecast. An autoregressive model with exogenous variables (ARX) using a window size of 48 months outperforms the other models. No statistical difference exists between our best model and Fertilizer Week. Encompassing tests show that a combination model using the two models outperforms using Fertilizer Week forecasts alone. A combined model using 66.8% of $$ Fertilzer\, Week $$FertilzerWeek and 33.2% of the ARX brings about the minimum forecast error. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4970-4981 Issue: 49 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1296554 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1296554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:49:p:4970-4981 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eskil Heinesen Author-X-Name-First: Eskil Author-X-Name-Last: Heinesen Author-Name: Christophe Kolodziejczyk Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Kolodziejczyk Author-Name: Jacob Ladenburg Author-X-Name-First: Jacob Author-X-Name-Last: Ladenburg Author-Name: Ingelise Andersen Author-X-Name-First: Ingelise Author-X-Name-Last: Andersen Author-Name: Karsten Thielen Author-X-Name-First: Karsten Author-X-Name-Last: Thielen Title: Return to work after cancer and pre-cancer job dissatisfaction Abstract: We investigate the association between pre-cancer job dissatisfaction and return-to-work probability 3 years after a cancer diagnosis. We use a Danish data set combining administrative data and a survey to breast and colon cancer survivors. We find that the return-to-work probability has a negative correlation with pre-cancer job dissatisfaction with mental demands (where the correlation is driven by the high-educated) and with physical demands and the superior (where the correlation is driven by the low-educated). Educational gradients in the probability of returning to work after cancer are not significantly affected by controlling for pre-cancer job dissatisfaction and pre-cancer ability to work. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4982-4998 Issue: 49 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1296555 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1296555 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:49:p:4982-4998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laetitia Lepetit Author-X-Name-First: Laetitia Author-X-Name-Last: Lepetit Author-Name: Celine Meslier Author-X-Name-First: Celine Author-X-Name-Last: Meslier Author-Name: Leo Indra Wardhana Author-X-Name-First: Leo Indra Author-X-Name-Last: Wardhana Title: Reducing agency conflicts through bank dividend payout decisions: the role of opacity and ownership structure Abstract: We empirically examine whether banks’ dividend decisions are influenced by their degree of opacity and ownership structure. We find that banks with concentrated ownership structure pay lower dividends when they have high degrees of opacity, in line with the hypothesis that majority shareholders pay lower dividends to extract higher levels of private benefits. We do not observe such expropriation behaviour from managers in widely held banks. Further analysis shows that higher levels of shareholder protection and stronger supervisory regimes help to constrain opportunistic behaviour of majority shareholders. Our findings have critical policy implications for the Basel 3 implementation of restrictions on dividend payouts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4999-5026 Issue: 49 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1296556 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1296556 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:49:p:4999-5026 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karthik Raju Author-X-Name-First: Karthik Author-X-Name-Last: Raju Author-Name: Saravanan Rangaswamy Author-X-Name-First: Saravanan Author-X-Name-Last: Rangaswamy Title: Forecasting volatility in the Indian equity market using return and range-based models Abstract: In this article, we assess the time-varying volatility of the National Stock Exchange in the Indian equity market using unconditional estimators and asymmetric conditional econometric models. The volatility estimate and forecast is computed from the interday return and intraday range-based data of the exchange’s flagship index, CNX NIFTY, for the time period spanning 1 January 2009 through 31 December 2013. These are our findings: First, we determine that the time-varying volatility of the index is asymmetric with qualities of stationarity and leptokurtic distribution. Second, the one-step-ahead volatility forecast derived from the univariate time series parameters through the GJR-GARCH ​​​​​process indicates that the model evaluation criteria of the autoregressive process tends towards range-based models vis-à-vis a return-based model. The validity of this methodology is further analysed with the superior predictive ability test, the outcome of which supports the use of range-based conditional models. Finally, among the evaluated range-based model variants, the model confidence set procedure favours the Yang–Zhang estimator as being better suited to forecast the exchange’s volatility than the ones by Parkinson, Garman–Klass and Rogers–Satchell. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5027-5039 Issue: 49 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1299099 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1299099 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:49:p:5027-5039 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael R. Strain Author-X-Name-First: Michael R. Author-X-Name-Last: Strain Author-Name: Douglas A. Webber Author-X-Name-First: Douglas A. Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Title: High school experiences, the gender wage gap, and the selection of occupation Abstract: Using within-high-school variation and controlling for a measure of cognitive ability, this article finds that high-school leadership experiences explain a significant portion of the residual gender wage gap and selection into management occupations. Our results imply that high-school leadership could build non-cognitive, productive skills that are rewarded years later in the labour market and that explain a portion of the systematic difference in pay between men and women. Alternatively, high-school leadership could be a proxy variable for personality characteristics that differ between men and women and that drive higher pay and becoming a manager. Because high-school leadership experiences are exogenous to direct labour market experiences, our results leave less room for direct labour market discrimination as a driver of the gender wage gap and occupation selection. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5040-5049 Issue: 49 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1299100 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1299100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:49:p:5040-5049 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hildegunn Kyvik Nordås Author-X-Name-First: Hildegunn Kyvik Author-X-Name-Last: Nordås Title: What drives trade in services? Lessons from the Nordics Abstract: This article makes an empirical assessment of the relative importance of non-actionable institutional and cultural factors and actionable policy measures for services market integration, using the Nordic countries as a case study. The Nordics are an ideal case as they are perceived to be a cluster of similar countries, but they have chosen different relations to the European Union (EU) and the rest of the world. First, comparing actionable and non-actionable determinants of services trade, I find that policy-determined free trade agreements (FTAs) boost services trade by 75% and a single market by an additional 45%, while the accumulated effect of all standard non-actionable shared geographical, institutional and cultural features (sharing a land border, language, colonial past and legal origin) almost triples services trade. Having controlled for all these determinants, intra-Nordic trade in services is more than three times the predicted value. An unexplained Nordic bias of this magnitude indicates that full integration of services markets may rely on deeper institutional and cultural factors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3532-3545 Issue: 33 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430334 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430334 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:33:p:3532-3545 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph McCormack Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: McCormack Author-Name: Yaniv Reingewertz Author-X-Name-First: Yaniv Author-X-Name-Last: Reingewertz Title: Politics, partisanship and the power to veto: does gubernatorial line-item veto power affect state budgets? Abstract: How does line-item veto (LIV) power affect a governor’s ability to structure the state budget? Is LIV power only relevant as a partisan tool? Is it still relevant when the state legislature can override the veto? We use a rich disaggregated data set to test the effect of the gubernatorial LIV on state budgets, controlling for political factors such as party affiliation of the governor and legislature, minority status of the governor, and the legislature’s ability to override a LIV. Our results suggest that LIV power has very weak influence, if any, on governors’ ability to influence state budgets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3546-3559 Issue: 33 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430335 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:33:p:3546-3559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nusrate Aziz Author-X-Name-First: Nusrate Author-X-Name-Last: Aziz Author-Name: Belayet Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Belayet Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Author-Name: Irfan Mowlah Author-X-Name-First: Irfan Author-X-Name-Last: Mowlah Title: Does the quality of political institutions affect intra-industry trade within trade blocs? The ASEAN perspective Abstract: There has been a renewed resolve for deeper integration and cooperation within ASEAN. Intra-industry trade (IIT) is often viewed as a way of achieving economic as well as political integration. This article tests for the effect that political regime and governance may have on the intensity of IIT. We particularly examine if quality of political institutions which includes corruption and democracy indices as well as economic factors comprising corporate tax rate, regional FDI flow, flexibility of exchange rate regime, size of the market, economic distance affect the intensity of horizontal and vertical IIT. The study finds that control of corruption and good governance both increase the vertical IIT but not the horizontal IIT. The study further finds that intra-economy FDI flow, stable exchange rate regime, market size and proximity positively affect IIT within the trade bloc. However the negative effect of corporate tax rate suggests that if countries were to coordinate their tax policies, they could avoid harmful tax competition and promote IIT across their borders. The findings regarding the effect those economic and political factors have on the intensity of IIT certainly warrants the attention of policy makers and researchers alike. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3560-3574 Issue: 33 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430336 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:33:p:3560-3574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger White Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: White Author-Name: David Buehler Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Buehler Title: A closer look at the determinants of international migration: decomposing cultural distance Abstract: Using a modified gravity model and three measures of cultural distance, we employ the zero-inflated negative binomial estimation technique to examine the impact of cultural distance on international migration flows. We confirm the finding of prior studies that there exists a negative relationship between composite measures of cultural distance and immigrant flows. Extending the literature, we decompose our composite cultural distance measures into their component dimensions to examine potential variability in the influences of individual dimensions on international migration. We find the cultural dimensions that reflect individualism, uncertainty avoidance, and perceived gender roles are typically more influential in determining immigrant flows than are other cultural dimensions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3575-3595 Issue: 33 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430337 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:33:p:3575-3595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian-qing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jian-qing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Tingting Chen Author-X-Name-First: Tingting Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Fei Fan Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Song Wang Author-X-Name-First: Song Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Empirical research on time-varying characteristics and efficiency of the Chinese economy and monetary policy: evidence from the MI-TVP-VAR model Abstract: Based on the general time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model and data mining technology, this study proposes a new extension mixed innovation time-varying parameter stochastic volatility vector autoregressive model and investigates time-varying characteristics and efficiencies of different shock effects on China’s monetary policy towards inflation and GDP. Using sample monthly data for 1979–2014, we utilize typical time points to illustrate the mechanisms between different economic variables via the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method and impulse response function. The empirical results show that the monetary transmission mechanism in China can be effective in the real economy, but with delay and efficiency leakage. The average delay and maximum efficiency can be measured through the MI model, which can capture accurate information of economic variables, effectively improving the precision of macroeconomic regulation and control. Meanwhile, the difference between the impacts of different channels is obvious; while the impact of interest rates is not significant, the impact of stock market is significant. The action mechanism between GDP and the inflation rate undergoes a gradual structural change, evidently displaying time-varying characteristics and a gradually weakening impact over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3596-3613 Issue: 33 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:33:p:3596-3613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ulrich Gunter Author-X-Name-First: Ulrich Author-X-Name-Last: Gunter Author-Name: M. Graziano Ceddia Author-X-Name-First: M. Graziano Author-X-Name-Last: Ceddia Author-Name: David Leonard Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Leonard Author-Name: Bernhard Tröster Author-X-Name-First: Bernhard Author-X-Name-Last: Tröster Title: Contribution of international ecotourism to comprehensive economic development and convergence in the Central American and Caribbean region Abstract: Drawing on the positive experience from Costa Rica, the study examines whether international ecotourism makes a significant contribution to comprehensive economic development for the Central American and Caribbean region and contributes to comprehensive economic convergence. Following a standard empirical growth model, a dynamic panel regression model is estimated using time-series data from 1995 until 2012 for a cross section of seven countries. The interaction of international tourism and various established sustainability indicators is employed allowing ecotourism to be consistently quantified across countries, while numerous country-specific structural characteristics are controlled for. The estimation results show that international ecotourism has a statistically significant positive effect on both traditional economic development (real GDP per capita) and comprehensive economic development (adjusted net savings; ANS per capita), which is a measure of a society’s potential future well-being, thus providing evidence in support of the tourism-led growth hypothesis and pointing towards an important role for ecotourism in driving comprehensive economic convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3614-3629 Issue: 33 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430339 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430339 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:33:p:3614-3629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leonardo Becchetti Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Author-X-Name-Last: Becchetti Author-Name: Francesco Salustri Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Salustri Author-Name: Vittorio Pelligra Author-X-Name-First: Vittorio Author-X-Name-Last: Pelligra Author-Name: Alejandra Vásquez Author-X-Name-First: Alejandra Author-X-Name-Last: Vásquez Title: Gender differences in socially responsible consumption. An experimental investigation Abstract: We report on a simple experimental study designed to investigate the different gender attitudes towards socially responsible consumption. We use the Vote-with-the-Wallet Game, (VWG), a version of a repeated multiplayer prisoner’s dilemma that mimics the characteristics of the choice between a conventional and a socially responsible product. More precisely we test the effect of three factors: two different frames and an ex-post redistribution mechanism that transfers resources from purely self-interested consumers to responsible ones. We find that women remain significantly more cooperative (choosing more often the responsible good) when the redistribution mechanism is interrupted and are significantly less satisfied about the behaviour of the other players in that treatment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3630-3643 Issue: 33 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430341 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430341 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:33:p:3630-3643 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tolga Omay Author-X-Name-First: Tolga Author-X-Name-Last: Omay Author-Name: Furkan Emirmahmutoglu Author-X-Name-First: Furkan Author-X-Name-Last: Emirmahmutoglu Author-Name: Mubariz Hasanov Author-X-Name-First: Mubariz Author-X-Name-Last: Hasanov Title: Structural break, nonlinearity and asymmetry: a re-examination of PPP proposition Abstract: In this study, we examine the validity of the PPP proposition for 28 European countries. For this purpose, we propose a new unit root test procedure that allows for both gradual structural breaks and asymmetric nonlinear adjustment towards the equilibrium level. Small-sample properties of the new tests are examined through Monte-Carlo simulations. The simulation results suggest that the new tests have satisfactory size and power properties. We then apply these new tests along with other unit root tests to examine stationarity properties of real exchange rate series of the sample countries. Our tests reject the null of unit root in more cases when compared to alternative tests. Overall, we find that the PPP proposition holds in majority of the European countries examined in this article. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1289-1308 Issue: 12 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1361005 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1361005 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:12:p:1289-1308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Man Gao Author-X-Name-First: Man Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Title: The impact of education expansion on wage inequality Abstract: The findings on education expansion and income inequality have important implications for policymakers to implement effective policies to reduce income inequality. This study attempts to explain how education expansion affects income inequality by education distribution and the rate of return to education. We decompose the effect of education expansion on wage gaps into price effect and structure effect. We compare the income inequality from 2002 to 2013 using the Chinese Household Income Project (CHIP) 2002 and CHIP2013 survey data and employ FFL decomposition method. Our findings suggest that income inequality increased in 2013 and that income inequality among the high-income groups increased even more significantly. The structure effect of education expansion on income inequality is negative, when average education increases one year, the income gap between 80th and 20th will decrease 1.2%, in other words, education expansion decreases income inequality by allowing a wide range of individuals to attend college. However, this effect is offset by the price effect, which is positive and much more significant in magnitude. One extra year of average education will increase income gap by 29% which means that the demand for high-skilled labour is increasing faster than the supply and thus lead to the increasing premium for higher education return. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1309-1323 Issue: 12 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1361008 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1361008 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:12:p:1309-1323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dirk Czarnitzki Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Czarnitzki Author-Name: Katrin Hussinger Author-X-Name-First: Katrin Author-X-Name-Last: Hussinger Title: Input and output additionality of R&D subsidies Abstract: This article analyses the effects of public R&D subsidies on R&D input and output of German firms. We distinguish between the direct impact of subsidies on R&D investment and the indirect effect on innovation output measured by patent applications. We disentangle the productivity of purely privately financed R&D and additional R&D investment induced by the public incentive scheme. For this, a treatment-effect analysis is conducted in a first step. The results are implemented into the estimation of a patent production function in a second step. It turns out that both purely privately financed R&D and publicly induced R&D show a positive effect on patent outcome. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1324-1341 Issue: 12 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1361010 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1361010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:12:p:1324-1341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yun-Yeong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yun-Yeong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Does monetary policy affect the long-run expectations of non-stationary real interest rates? Abstract: In this article, we analyse whether the monetary policy affects the long-run expectation of the non-stationary real interest rate. The analysis is conducted through Beveridge–Nelson trend decomposition within a cointegrated vector autoregressive model based on the New Keynesian framework. We suggest an augmented test of the conventional co-integration test on the non-stationarity of the real interest rate, which checks whether the co-integration coefficient of inflation is one and the output gap affects the co-integration equilibrium of the nominal interest rate. We further suggest decomposing the long-run expectation of the non-stationary real interest rate into three trends: the interest rate shock (including the monetary shock), inflation shock and output gap shock. According to empirical analyses using monthly US data after the Korean War, the long-run expectation of the non-stationary real interest rate contains an interest rate shock trend and the impulse of the federal fund target rate induces a significant response of the interest rate shock trend. However, the interest rate shock trend has a very small portion of the long-run expectation of the non-stationary real interest rate, which may explain why the monetary policy was not particularly effective in the economic recovery after the global financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1342-1361 Issue: 12 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1361012 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1361012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:12:p:1342-1361 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leonardo Becchetti Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Author-X-Name-Last: Becchetti Author-Name: Pierluigi Conzo Author-X-Name-First: Pierluigi Author-X-Name-Last: Conzo Author-Name: Fabio Pisani Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Pisani Title: Education and health in Europe Abstract: The productive and allocative theories predict that education has positive impact on health: the more educated adopt healthier life styles and use more efficiently health inputs, and this explains why they live longer. We find partial support for these theories with an econometric analysis on a large sample of Europeans aged above 50 documenting a significant and positive correlation among education years, life styles, health outputs and functionalities. We however find confirmation for an anomaly already observed in the United States, namely the more educated are more likely to contract cancer. Our results are robust when controlling for endogeneity and reverse causality in IV estimates with instrumental variables related to quarter of birth and neighbours’ cultural norms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1362-1377 Issue: 12 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1361013 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1361013 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:12:p:1362-1377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Erratum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1412-1412 Issue: 12 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1361227 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1361227 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:12:p:1412-1412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Spyridon Stavropoulos Author-X-Name-First: Spyridon Author-X-Name-Last: Stavropoulos Author-Name: Ronald Wall Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Wall Author-Name: Yuanze Xu Author-X-Name-First: Yuanze Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Environmental regulations and industrial competitiveness: evidence from China Abstract: Economic activities are closely related to real-world environmental issues. Currently, more attention is paid to the association between environmental regulations and industrial competitiveness (IC) because of pressures on economic development and environmental protection. In this study, we identify and explain the association between environmental regulations and IC in China. As the largest developing country in the world, China has the unavoidable responsibility of protecting the environment and promoting global economic development. We analyse the mechanisms behind environmental regulations and industrial competiveness at the provincial level and conclude that the impact of environmental regulations upon IC is not a simple linear one, but a U-shaped relationship. It is argued that the crucial intervention to activate the U-shaped relationship, or Porter’s Hypothesis, is innovation, which can be triggered by stringent regulations and well-designed policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1378-1394 Issue: 12 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1363858 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1363858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:12:p:1378-1394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Gausden Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Gausden Author-Name: Mohammad S. Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad S. Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Title: An assessment of the contribution of consumer confidence towards household spending decisions using UK data Abstract: The European Commission’s consumer confidence indicator (CCI) is assembled from responses to four questions about individual and general economic prospects which form part of the EU’s Consumer Survey. However, concerns may be raised about whether the four components should be constrained to exerting the same influence in a forecasting model of household consumption. Also, in this context, it would seem to be appropriate to permit a role to other information that is obtained from the EU survey. Consequently, in this article, different regression functions are specified in order to assess whether there is any gain to be achieved in predictive accuracy from adopting a more flexible approach towards using the data from the EU questionnaire. With an emphasis upon parsimony, an econometric analysis is performed in conjunction with UK quarterly data on household consumption expenditure. For two categories of spending, it is discovered that the quality of forecasts benefits from having undertaken disaggregation involving survey data beyond those which contribute towards the calculation of the CCI. Indeed, the respective consumption variables (relating to non-durable goods and durable goods excluding vehicles) are seen to be associated with relatively volatile behaviour over the forecast interval, 2008–2013. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1395-1411 Issue: 12 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1363859 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1363859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:12:p:1395-1411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katsushi Suzuki Author-X-Name-First: Katsushi Author-X-Name-Last: Suzuki Author-Name: Nakako Zushi Author-X-Name-First: Nakako Author-X-Name-Last: Zushi Title: Labour unions and leverage: evidence from firm-level union data Abstract: Using firm-level labour union data from Japan, this paper investigates the effect of labour unions on firm leverage. We find that as union coverage increases, both the level of and extent of change in leverage decreases. These relations remain robust when a firm falls into deficit. We also find that firms with higher union coverage have a higher interest coverage ratio. In addition, we find that firms with higher union coverage are less likely to choose issuing debt compared to issuing equity when they face financial distress. Our results imply that significant employee influence enhanced by labour unions increases fixed costs, crowds out the firm’s debt capacity and consequently reduces the firm’s leverage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2882-2894 Issue: 27 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1683150 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1683150 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:27:p:2882-2894 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Marc Montaud Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Montaud Author-Name: Jorge Dávalos Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Dávalos Author-Name: Nicolas Pécastaing Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Pécastaing Title: Potential effects of scaling-up infrastructure in Peru: a general equilibrium model-based analysis Abstract: This study assesses and compares the potential economic impacts of different investment plans dedicated to filling infrastructure gaps in Peru. Using a national database at the firm level, we start by estimating empirically the positive externalities of Peruvian infrastructure, such as energy, telecommunications, and transportation facilities, on the output of private activities. In the second step, these estimates are introduced in a dynamic computable general equilibrium model used to conduct counterfactual simulations of various investment plans in infrastructure over a 15-year period. These simulations show first to what extent scaling-up infrastructure could be a worthwhile strategy to achieve economic growth in Peru; however, they also show that these benefits depend on the choice of funding schemes related to such public spending. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2895-2912 Issue: 27 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1696940 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1696940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:27:p:2895-2912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qi Ge Author-X-Name-First: Qi Author-X-Name-Last: Ge Author-Name: Eun Jung Jordan Author-X-Name-First: Eun Jung Author-X-Name-Last: Jordan Author-Name: Myongjin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myongjin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Leilei Shen Author-X-Name-First: Leilei Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Returns to job satisfaction in the presence of horizontal mismatch Abstract: In this paper, we study the relationship among horizontal mismatch, job satisfaction and wages using data from the 2013 Scientists and Engineers Statistical Data System (SESTAT). Estimates from 2SLS indicate that 1) field-occupation match in the highest degree has a positive effect on job satisfaction and wages; and 2) controlling for field-occupation matches, job satisfaction has a positive but diminishing effect on wages with a large heterogeneity across different age groups. In addition, we also distinguish between job satisfaction arising from benefits and job satisfaction that is productivity enhancing and find both to have a positive but nonlinear effect on wages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2913-2930 Issue: 27 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1696941 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1696941 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:27:p:2913-2930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mingxi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mingxi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yi Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Chuangyin Dang Author-X-Name-First: Chuangyin Author-X-Name-Last: Dang Author-Name: Shouyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shouyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: A non-expected utility model and its application in practical auctions Abstract: This article presents a non-expected utility decision model which is nonlinear in the winning probabilities. The model not only explicitly expresses bidders’ attitudes to risk, but also addresses their preference over the bidding criteria. To demonstrate how to apply the model in the practical auction design, the first- and second-price auctions with both commission rate and reserve price are examined, respectively. For nonrisk-neutral bidders, the equilibrium bidding strategies are characterized, in which the commission rate has a significant influence on the bidding strategy through the critical valuation. However, the existence of the optimal commission rate is uncertain, but once it exists, it depends on the information rent of the highest or second highest order valuation in terms of the inverse hazard rate. With risk-aversion bidders, the only difference to the optimal reserve price is a constant between the first- and second-price auctions. The revenue comparisons show that the classical Revenue Equivalence Theorem fails in practical auctions with the commission rate. This article extends the application of the decision-making model in the auction design in theory and provides some guidance for the auction house and the seller to make their decisions in reality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2931-2944 Issue: 27 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1696942 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1696942 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:27:p:2931-2944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chao Liang Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Yu Wei Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Xiafei Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiafei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xuhui Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xuhui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yifeng Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Uncertainty and crude oil market volatility: new evidence Abstract: The main goal of this paper is to investigate the predictability of five economic uncertainty indices for oil price volatility in a changing world. We employ the standard predictive regression framework, several model combination approaches, as well as two prevailing model shrinkage methods to evaluate the performances of the uncertainty indices. The empirical results based on simple autoregression models including only one index suggest that global economic policy uncertainty (GEPU) and US equity market volatility (EMV) indices have significant predictive power for crude oil market volatility. In addition, the model combination approaches adopted in this paper can improve slightly the performances of individual autoregressive models. Lastly, the two model shrinkage methods, namely Elastin net and Lasso, outperform other individual AR-type model and combination models in most forecasting cases. Other empirical results based on alternative forecasting methods, estimation window sizes, high/low volatility and economic expansion/recession time periods further make sure the robustness of our major conclusions. The findings in this paper also have several important economic implications for oil investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2945-2959 Issue: 27 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1696943 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1696943 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:27:p:2945-2959 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariusz Jarmuzek Author-X-Name-First: Mariusz Author-X-Name-Last: Jarmuzek Author-Name: Tonny Lybek Author-X-Name-First: Tonny Author-X-Name-Last: Lybek Title: Can good governance lower bank intermediation costs? Abstract: This paper argues that better governance practices can reduce the costs, risks and uncertainty of financial intermediation. Our sample covers 100 high-, middle- and low-income countries during 1996 to 2015. Using panel regressions accounting for endogeneity and cross-sectional dependance, we find that net interest margins of banks are lower if various governance indicators are better. Governance indicators range from comprehensive indices on the rule of law to more narrow indicators like ethics of private firms. The global financial crisis seems not to have had a strong impact except via credit risk. Finally, we estimate that potential annual savings from lower net interest margins could average almost 0,3 percent of GDP, had the governance indicators been at the top decile. These simulations lend credence to the intuition that better governance practices should reduce costs, risks and uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2960-2976 Issue: 27 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1697421 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1697421 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:27:p:2960-2976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Author-Name: Kamrul Hassan Author-X-Name-First: Kamrul Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Author-Name: Sanzidur Rahman Author-X-Name-First: Sanzidur Author-X-Name-Last: Rahman Title: Impact of R&D expenditures, rainfall and temperature variations in agricultural productivity: empirical evidence from Bangladesh Abstract: This study aims to investigate dynamic relationships between research and development (R&D) expenditure, climate change (measured by annual rainfall and temperature variations), human capital (proxied by literacy) and total factor productivity (TFP) growth in Bangladesh agriculture. Pesaran’s Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimator is used to a unique panel data of 17 regions of Bangladesh covering a 61-year period (1948–2008). In addition, the panel vector autoregression (PVAR) model is also applied to trace the responsiveness of TFP from a shock to R&D, extension services, and literacy rate. Results reveal that R&D has an insignificant impact on TFP in the short-run, while it has a significant positive impact in the long-run. The contributions of climate variables (i.e., rainfall and temperature variations) are highly significant and negative in the long run. The literacy rate is found to have a significant positive impact on TFP as expected. These results suggest that agricultural R&D investment and human capital could play an important role to ameliorate the adverse effects of climate change in the agricultural sector of Bangladesh. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2977-2990 Issue: 27 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1697422 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1697422 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:27:p:2977-2990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julia Paxton Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Paxton Title: Economics training and hyperbolic discounting: training versus selection effects Abstract: This paper contributes to the literature on the effects of economics training on behavior by examining the link between hyperbolic discounting and the number of economics classes taken by a sample of 1310 college graduates at Ohio University. A strong negative correlation is found between economics training and hyperbolic discounting behavior. Regression analysis shows that dynamic consistency is a determinant of taking economics classes. Once the endogeneity of these variables is accounted for, economics training is no longer a statistically significant determinant of hyperbolic discounting. Thus, the selection effect of studying economics outweighs the training effect. Behavioral variables are found to be more important in explaining hyperbolic discounting than demographic variables. The study suggests the importance of controlling for both the selection effect and the training effect for all studies that examine the role of economic training on behavior. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5891-5899 Issue: 55 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1631439 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1631439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:55:p:5891-5899 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chao Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Effects of corporate governance on the decision to voluntarily disclose corporate social responsibility reports: evidence from China Abstract: This article investigates effects of corporate governance on the decision to voluntarily disclose corporate social responsibility (CSR) reports. By using a unique longitude data set of Chinese publicly traded manufacturing firms from 2010 to 2016, this study finds that ownership structure and board characteristics are significantly associated with firms’ decisions to voluntarily disclose CSR reports. In particular, our study finds that state ownership, institutional ownership, managerial ownership and board size are positively and significantly associated with the decision to voluntarily disclose CSR reports. However, board independence is not related to the decision. We also find CEO duality is negatively and significantly related to the decision. Our findings highlight the role of corporate governance in firms’ transparency by influencing the voluntary disclosure of additional information on firms’ CSR activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5900-5910 Issue: 55 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1631440 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1631440 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:55:p:5900-5910 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Powell Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Author-Name: Duc H. Vo Author-X-Name-First: Duc H. Author-X-Name-Last: Vo Author-Name: Thach N. Pham Author-X-Name-First: Thach N. Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Title: Cattle as a consistently resilient agricultural commodity Abstract: This study compares a range of agricultural commodities over periods of varying economic circumstances. These commodities are examined over three categories, including returns, risk, and contribution to portfolio optimisation. Consistency in these categories is determined over four equal three-year stages which comprise pre-GFC (Global Financial Crisis), GFC, post-GFC and post-post GFC. To demonstrate resilience in the most extreme circumstances, the study uses Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR), which measures extreme risk in the tail of a distribution, as the risk measure and risk-return optimiser. The study thus provides a unique and comprehensive extreme-risk based focus which identifies and ranks the consistency of performance of agricultural commodities over a range of criteria and conditions. Cattle commodities consistently demonstrate the strongest overall performance in the categories examined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5911-5922 Issue: 55 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1631441 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1631441 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:55:p:5911-5922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabor Molnar Author-X-Name-First: Gabor Author-X-Name-Last: Molnar Author-Name: Scott J. Savage Author-X-Name-First: Scott J. Author-X-Name-Last: Savage Author-Name: Douglas C. Sicker Author-X-Name-First: Douglas C. Author-X-Name-Last: Sicker Title: High-speed Internet access and housing values Abstract: A hedonic model is estimated that relates house values to high-speed Internet access while controlling for the potential endogeneity of Internet access. Results show that single-family homes with access to a 25 Mbps broadband connection have a price that is about $5,977, or 3%, more than similar homes in neighborhoods with 1 Mbps. The rural premium is lower at $5,099. A cost-benefit exercise on the viability of rural broadband shows that demand will generally not support private investment, but that the revenue gap from upgrading legacy networks could be readily covered by the Universal Service Fund and other public subsidies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5923-5936 Issue: 55 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1631443 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1631443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:55:p:5923-5936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonia Grohmann Author-X-Name-First: Antonia Author-X-Name-Last: Grohmann Author-Name: Sahra Sakha Author-X-Name-First: Sahra Author-X-Name-Last: Sakha Title: The effect of peer observation on consumption choices: evidence from a lab-in-field experiment Abstract: We investigate the impact of peer observation on consumption decisions using a lab-in-field experiment. Respondents make consumption decisions either alone or under peer observation. We find evidence for peer effects. We are able to study these further by looking into the mechanism and performing detailed heterogeneity analysis. Concerning the mechanisms, we find evidence for an information channel. Further, we show that the consumption choice is influenced by how many people made the same decision previously, but not by who those people are, hence finding evidence of a psychological channel. Respondents with higher cognitive ability are less susceptible to peer effects, while people living in small villages are more susceptible. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5937-5951 Issue: 55 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1638499 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1638499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:55:p:5937-5951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yingdan Mei Author-X-Name-First: Yingdan Author-X-Name-Last: Mei Author-Name: Li Gao Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Peiyuan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Peiyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Residential property price differentials of waste plants: evidence from Beijing, China Abstract: As a primary source of urban pollution, waste plants release toxic gases and polluted waste water that can cause great harm to human health and contaminate water resources. The adverse impact of waste plants on environmental threaten the quality of life of surrounding residents which will be reflected in residential property values. In this study, we develop a hedonic price model to estimate the environmental externalities of waste plants based on a panel dataset for real-estate transactions in Beijing from 2011 to 2015. We apply fixed effects and a Heckman selection model to control for omitted variable bias and sample selection bias and then construct price counterfactuals for properties. The price differentials between expected and counterfactual prices are then calculated. Our empirical results suggest that waste plants negatively influence residential property prices. Additionally, the influences of other factors, such as school district, traffic convenience, and average housing area, on property prices are consistent with common sense, though they are weakened for properties within three kilometers of waste plants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5952-5960 Issue: 55 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1640858 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1640858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:55:p:5952-5960 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felipe González Author-X-Name-First: Felipe Author-X-Name-Last: González Author-Name: Vicente Valdivieso Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: Valdivieso Author-Name: Louis De Grange Author-X-Name-First: Louis Author-X-Name-Last: De Grange Author-Name: Rodrigo Troncoso Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Troncoso Title: Impact of the dedicated infrastructure on bus service quality: an empirical analysis Abstract: An econometric analysis is conducted to quantify the impact of different variables on the service quality of the Santiago, Chile bus system. The indicators tested as measures of service quality are the average bus speed, the bus trip time coefficient of variation and the bus headway coefficient of variation. The analysis uses peak hour data obtained for all the routes served by the system’s various concessionaire operators. A separate multiple linear regression model is estimated for each indicator, with the latter as the explained variable. The main explanatory variables are a series of design factors representing different types of dedicated route infrastructure and the incorporation in some routes of segments of urban motorway. The results of the models show that the existence of dedicated bus route infrastructure positively impacts all three service quality indicators. The use of motorway segments in particular has a major positive effect on average speed. The model estimates also reveal that the main explanatory factor in headway variability at the end of a route is the headway variability at the start of it, the latter factor determined by operator management decisions regarding bus despatches. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5961-5971 Issue: 55 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1644441 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1644441 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:55:p:5961-5971 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuta Ogane Author-X-Name-First: Yuta Author-X-Name-Last: Ogane Title: Effects of main bank switching on new business bankruptcy Abstract: This paper examines the effects of main bank switching on the probability of bankruptcy of new small businesses using a propensity score matching estimation approach. We use a unique firm-level dataset of approximately 1,000 small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) incorporated in Japan; these SMEs are young and unlisted just after incorporation. We find that switching main bank relationships increases the probability of firm bankruptcy. In addition, the result holds only when the relationship between the firm and its main bank is terminated. Specifically, the probability of bankruptcy increases when firms switch their main banks to financial institutions with which they have not previously transacted, and when the ex-post main banks are not affiliated financial institutions of their ex-ante main banks. These results may be because such switching worsens the financial condition of client firms, and thus, it leads to bankruptcy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6286-6308 Issue: 59 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1616067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1616067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:59:p:6286-6308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ibrahim Filiz Author-X-Name-First: Ibrahim Author-X-Name-Last: Filiz Author-Name: Thomas Nahmer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Nahmer Author-Name: Markus Spiwoks Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Spiwoks Author-Name: Kilian Bizer Author-X-Name-First: Kilian Author-X-Name-Last: Bizer Title: The accuracy of interest rate forecasts in the Asia-Pacific region: opportunities for portfolio management Abstract: We analysed interest rate forecasts from Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. We assessed 532 forecast time series with a total of 85,264 individual interest rate forecasts. To do so, we carried out a comparison to naïve forecasts and investigated the forecast time series for topically orientated trend adjustments. In addition, we deployed the sign accuracy test and the unbiasedness test. The results are very sobering in part: 95.9% of all forecast time series are characterized by the phenomenon of topically orientated trend adjustments, and 99.4% of all forecast time series proved to be biased. Only a small proportion of the forecast time series (3.6%) reflected the future interest rate trend significantly more precisely than a naïve forecast. However, at the same time some of the results of the study are surprisingly positive. The sign accuracy test revealed that 48.3% of all forecast time series predict the interest rate trend significantly better than a random walk forecast. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6309-6332 Issue: 59 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1616073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1616073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:59:p:6309-6332 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Syed Jawad Author-X-Name-Last: Hussain Shahzad Author-Name: Elie Bouri Author-X-Name-First: Elie Author-X-Name-Last: Bouri Author-Name: Jose Arreola-Hernandez Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Arreola-Hernandez Author-Name: David Roubaud Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Roubaud Author-Name: Stelios Bekiros Author-X-Name-First: Stelios Author-X-Name-Last: Bekiros Title: Spillover across Eurozone credit market sectors and determinants Abstract: We examine spillover and its determinants among Eurozone sector level credit markets using time and frequency domain spillover approaches. Based on network theory and connectedness analysis, we identify the sectors that are major transmitters and receivers of spillover during normal and crisis periods. The rolling window analysis shows that short-run spillover among credit market sectors intensifies during global and Eurozone crisis periods. Further, using Bayesian model averaging, we find that overall financial conditions and stock market volatility are the main drivers of total and sector-level spillover. Our findings have important implications for policymakers and investors interested in Euro-area credit risk at the sector level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6333-6349 Issue: 59 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1619014 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1619014 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:59:p:6333-6349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Armanda Cetrulo Author-X-Name-First: Armanda Author-X-Name-Last: Cetrulo Author-Name: Valeria Cirillo Author-X-Name-First: Valeria Author-X-Name-Last: Cirillo Author-Name: Dario Guarascio Author-X-Name-First: Dario Author-X-Name-Last: Guarascio Title: Weaker jobs, weaker innovation. Exploring the effects of temporary employment on new products Abstract: This work explores the relationship between temporary employment and product innovation focusing on five major European economies (France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the Netherlands) observed between 1998 and 2012. The analysis distinguishes sectors according to their technological characteristics and regimes finding that industries using temporary employment tend to have a weaker product innovation propensity. The negative correlation between temporary employment and innovation turns out to be stronger in those sectors where tacit firm’s specific knowledge is crucial to the development of innovations. These sectors are identified using both the ‘Cumulativeness’ proxy stemming from Peneder’s classification as well as distinguishing between different Schumpeterian regimes – Schumpeter Mark I vs. II – of knowledge accumulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6350-6375 Issue: 59 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1619015 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1619015 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:59:p:6350-6375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maneka Jayasinghe Author-X-Name-First: Maneka Author-X-Name-Last: Jayasinghe Author-Name: Eliyathamby A. Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Eliyathamby A. Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: An intertemporal analysis of expenditure elasticities under three expenditure specifications for Sri Lanka Abstract: Household income has been identified as one of the major determinants of demand for household goods. In addition, other household characteristics, such as household size and composition are also found to be important factors that influence household consumption decisions. This study, using four waves (2006/07, 2009/10, 2012/13 and 2016) of Sri Lankan Household Income and Expenditure Survey data, estimates three different specifications (namely, household expenditure, per-capita expenditure and expenditure per equivalent adult) of a complete system of Box-Cox Engel curves to incorporate household size and compositional differences into the model specification. A comparison of elasticity estimates across the three specifications indicates that amongst the three, the best performing model is the one utilizing household expenditure. An intertemporal analysis of expenditure elasticities indicates that although the magnitude of expenditure elasticities has changed, the necessity or luxury classification of household commodities has mostly remained unchanged for the period 2006 − 2016 in Sri Lanka. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6376-6392 Issue: 59 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1619020 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1619020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:59:p:6376-6392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Łukasz Goczek Author-X-Name-First: Łukasz Author-X-Name-Last: Goczek Author-Name: Ivan Skliarov Author-X-Name-First: Ivan Author-X-Name-Last: Skliarov Title: What drives the Bitcoin price? A factor augmented error correction mechanism investigation Abstract: This article aims to determine what drives the price of Bitcoin. To achieve this aim, a large set of data is analysed using VEC models augmented by factors representing unobservable economic forces. They have been obtained by means of principal component analysis. This method enables us to contribute to the existing literature on Bitcoin in two ways. First, we employ the dimension reduction technique to combine variables from several papers. Second, we estimate several unobservable economic concepts instead of utilizing proxy variables as is usually done. We find that the main factor driving the Bitcoin price is its popularity. Hence, our result not only confirms some previous findings but reinforces them by providing a better definition of popularity. Finally, we conclude that the Bitcoin price is not affected by supply and demand factors in the way that is natural for conventional currencies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6393-6410 Issue: 59 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1619021 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1619021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:59:p:6393-6410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fenghua Wen Author-X-Name-First: Fenghua Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Yupei Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Yupei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Minzhi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Minzhi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Chunyan Hu Author-X-Name-First: Chunyan Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Forecasting realized volatility of crude oil futures with equity market uncertainty Abstract: This paper examines whether the equity market uncertainty (EMU) index contains incremental information for forecasting the realized volatility of crude oil futures. We use 5-min high-frequency transaction data for WTI crude oil futures and develop six heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) models based on classical HAR-type models. The empirical results suggest that EMU contains more incremental information than the economic policy uncertainty (EPU) for forecasting the realized volatility of crude oil futures. More importantly, we argue that EMU is a non negligible additional predictive variable that can significantly improve the 1-day ahead predictive accuracy of all six HAR-type models, and improve the 1-week ahead forecasting performance of the HAR-RV, HAR-RV-J, HAR-RSV, HAR-RV-SJ models. These findings highlight a strong short-term and a weak mid-term predictive ability of EMU in the crude oil futures market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6411-6427 Issue: 59 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1619023 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1619023 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:59:p:6411-6427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jingwen Yu Author-X-Name-First: Jingwen Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Yongzhao Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yongzhao Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Cheng Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Are cadre offspring in the fast lane? Evidence from the labour market for college graduates in China Abstract: This paper studies the impact of having a cadre parent on the labour market performance and channels of the intergenerational transference. Using a recent data set, we find that college graduates with a cadre parent earn a wage premium of 4.46% more than those who do not. They also demonstrate advantages in obtaining a household registration (hukou), entering high-level occupations, and achieving job satisfaction. In the discussion on channels, we first show that aggressive self-investment serves as one potential channel but can only explain limited amount of the premiums. To test the other channel – interpersonal network (guanxi), we provide evidence that cadre offspring demonstrate more extensive family network resource and information advantage when searching for jobs. This channel is also supported by the finding that working closer to parents geographically or institutionally would enhance the effect of having a cadre parent. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3920-3946 Issue: 36 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584375 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584375 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:36:p:3920-3946 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Justin Kurland Author-X-Name-First: Justin Author-X-Name-Last: Kurland Title: Arena-based events and crime: an analysis of hourly robbery data Abstract: This article makes use of hourly crime counts to model the relationship between events that take place at the Prudential Center in Newark, NJ and robberies, an arena that has caused local controversy regarding the costs and benefits of hosting such an entertainment venue. Results from the econometric model suggest that the NHL’s New Jersey Devils ice hockey games, concerts, and Disney-themed events are all associated with increases in robbery, while various other event categories such as the NBA basketball games played by the Nets and boxing, and mixed martial arts (MMA) matches are not associated with an increase. These findings support two complementary ecological theories of crime that focus on how events provide additional opportunities for crime by increasing the associated benefits while simultaneously decreasing the cost for economically motivated offenders to take advantage of. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3947-3957 Issue: 36 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1587590 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1587590 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:36:p:3947-3957 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyunwoong Pyun Author-X-Name-First: Hyunwoong Author-X-Name-Last: Pyun Author-Name: Joshua C. Hall Author-X-Name-First: Joshua C. Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Title: Does the presence of professional football cause crime in a city? Evidence from Pontiac, Michigan Abstract: Using daily panel data from Detroit, we empirically explore the relationship between the National Football League (NFL) and crime in a city. We exploit the natural experiment of the Detroit Lions’ move from Pontiac, Michigan, to downtown Detroit in 2002. Pontiac is used as the treatment city and non-game day crime, other suburban cities, and other cities outside Detroit MSA are used as the comparison groups. Employing a difference-in-difference approach, we find decreases in assaults and vandalism on home game days in Pontiac relative to the control cities after the Lions’ move. We find weak evidence of a net decrease in larceny and vandalism in Pontiac on home game days following the loss of professional football. No changes in assaults and auto theft are reported. While not conclusive, our results suggest that professional football leads to additional larceny and vandalism incidents but no effects on assaults and auto theft. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3958-3970 Issue: 36 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1588942 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1588942 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:36:p:3958-3970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minh Son Le Author-X-Name-First: Minh Son Author-X-Name-Last: Le Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Jeremy Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Trade liberalisation, poverty, and inequality in Vietnam: a quantile regression approach Abstract: This study examines the effects of trade liberalisation on rural household welfare, poverty, and inequality in Vietnam, with the use of multiple estimation strategies, including the panel quantile regression approach based on Canay's two-step estimator. Taking account of the multi-faceted nature of trade liberalisation, we consider a set of household-level trade-related variables, including employment in export, import-competing, and manufacturing sectors. A unique panel data set is constructed from the Vietnam Household Living Standards Surveys conducted in 2002, 2004 and 2006. We find that employment in trade-related sectors contributes significantly to rural household welfare. Moreover, the effects of trade-related employment on welfare are heterogeneous across the welfare/income distribution, in that trade-related employment sectors have different influences on different groups/quantiles of households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3971-3981 Issue: 36 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1588943 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1588943 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:36:p:3971-3981 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Martinez Cillero Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez Cillero Author-Name: Fiona Thorne Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Thorne Title: Sources of productivity growth using the Färe-Primont decomposition. An empirical application to the Irish beef sector Abstract: Several competing methodologies for TFP estimation have been developed in the past decades. A popular approach in the literature is index number computation. The most widely implemented TFP indices face however several important limitations. For example, Fisher, Tornqvist or Malmquist TFP indices do not satisfy the transitivity test, precluding reliable direct inter-temporal comparisons. The recently developed Färe-Primont TFP index satisfies this property, and therefore it is applied to analyse the evolution of TFP in the Irish beef sector between 2010 and 2016. Moreover, this index is multiplicatively complete, allowing a consistent decomposition of TFP growth in different sources. The sample of Irish beef farms used in the analysis is clustered to account for differences in production technology in the sector. The cluster-specific TFP changes computed were found to present important differences across the seven clusters identified. Significant TFP growth was identified in five of the classes, while TFP declined for the other two. Dispersion and mobility of the TFP levels indicate a lack of structural changes in the sector regardless of the cluster considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3982-3994 Issue: 36 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1588944 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1588944 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:36:p:3982-3994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bill Hu Author-X-Name-First: Bill Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Christine Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Thomas McInish Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: McInish Author-Name: Yixi Ning Author-X-Name-First: Yixi Author-X-Name-Last: Ning Title: Price Clustering of Chinese IPOs: The Impact of Regulation, Cultural Factors, and Negotiation Abstract: During June 2009–May 2012, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) suspended window guidance that limits issue prices. Using this regime change as a natural experiment, we test the combined effects of regulation, culture, and negotiation on price clustering of Chinese IPOs. The proportion of IPOs priced on round number 0 increases from 42.58% during sample periods with window guidance to 79.81% during sample period without window guidance, a level similar to that reported in developed markets . Moreover, we document a connection between whole CNY pricing of Chinese IPOs and several uncertainty measures including a unique uncertainty proxy defined as the time gap between the IPO date and the listing date. Second to the round number 0, issuing firms favour number 8 that associates with fortune, particularly during sample periods with window guidance. Our findings that price restrictions limit the power of negotiations but not the influence of cultural factors contributing to the understanding of price formation process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3995-4007 Issue: 36 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1588946 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1588946 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:36:p:3995-4007 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Author-Name: Shuddhasattwa Rafiq Author-X-Name-First: Shuddhasattwa Author-X-Name-Last: Rafiq Author-Name: Sahar Shafiei Author-X-Name-First: Sahar Author-X-Name-Last: Shafiei Author-Name: Yao Yao Author-X-Name-First: Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Does urbanization increase pollutant emission and energy intensity? evidence from some Asian developing economies Abstract: This paper aims to investigate the effects of urbanization on pollutant emissions and energy intensity in selected Asian developing countries after controlling for the effects of disaggregated (renewable and non-renewable) energy consumption, trade liberalization, and economic growth. We use both linear and nonlinear panel data econometric techniques and employ recently introduced mean group estimation methods, allowing for heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence. However, to check the robustness of our panel results, we also apply the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL)-bound testing approach to country-level data. In addition, the relationship between affluence and CO2 emissions is examined in the context of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis. The estimation results identify the population, affluence, and non-renewable energy consumption as major factors in pollutant emissions in Asian countries. However, the results of the EKC hypothesis show that when countries achieve a certain level of economic growth, their emissions tend to decline. Whereas nonlinear results show that renewable energy, urbanization, and trade liberalization reduce emissions, linear estimations do not confirm these outcomes. Thus, substitution of non-renewable for renewable energy consumption, cautious and planned urbanization programs and more liberal trading regimes may be viable options for sustainable growth of these developing Asian economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4008-4024 Issue: 36 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1588947 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1588947 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:36:p:4008-4024 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashim Kumar Kar Author-X-Name-First: Ashim Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Kar Author-Name: Ranjula Bali Swain Author-X-Name-First: Ranjula Author-X-Name-Last: Bali Swain Title: Are microfinance markets monopolistic? Abstract: Do microfinance institutions (MFIs) operate in a monopoly, monopolistic competition environment or are their revenues derived under perfect competition markets? We employ the Panzar–Rosse revenue test on a global panel data to assess the competitive environment in which MFIs of five selected countries operate: Ecuador, India, Indonesia, Peru and Philippines, over the period 2005–2009. We estimate the static and the dynamic revenue tests, with analyses of the interest rate and the return on assets. We control for microfinance-specific variables such as capital-assets-ratio, loans-assets and the size of the MFI. The analyses also account for the endogeneity problem by employing the fixed-effects two-stage least squares and the fixed-effects system generalized method of moments. Our results suggest that MFIs in Peru and India operate in a monopolistic environment. We also find weak evidence that the microfinance industry in Ecuador, Indonesia and Philippines may operate under perfect competition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-14 Issue: 1 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1310999 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1310999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:1:p:1-14 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefano Lucarelli Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Lucarelli Author-Name: Filippo Umberto Andrini Author-X-Name-First: Filippo Umberto Author-X-Name-Last: Andrini Author-Name: Annamaria Bianchi Author-X-Name-First: Annamaria Author-X-Name-Last: Bianchi Title: Euro depreciation and trade asymmetries between Germany and Italy versus the US: industry-level estimates Abstract: Since April 2014 to March 2015, the European Central Bank expansionary monetary policy instigates a huge depreciation of the euro in terms of dollar. According to the mainstream monetary theory, these dynamics should make the exports cheaper and at the same time make the imports more expensive. Has real depreciation of the euro helped in the improvement of European countries’ trade balances? Following the main methodologies in the recent literature, our study analyses the effects of this depreciation both for Italy and Germany towards the US. We use industry-level data at monthly frequency. The results are different from each bilateral relationship. We find that 11 industries register a long-run improvement (8 for Italy and 3 for Germany). The J-curve effect is proven just in six cases, always for Italy. The inverted J-curve effect is proven in eight cases, four for Germany, and four for Italy. These results seem to be an indirect demonstration of the structural asymmetries between German and Italian economies: German economic system is more able to be competitive with a strong currency, than Italy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 15-34 Issue: 1 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1311000 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1311000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:1:p:15-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. M. Khalid Author-X-Name-First: A. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Khalid Author-Name: G. Rajaguru Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Rajaguru Title: Investigating the determinants of domestic bonds: the role of socio-economic and institutional factors Abstract: This article investigates the determinants of the size of domestic bond market using economic, social and institutional factors. We expand the body of existing literature by suggesting that economic and social environment as well as institutional settings vary between developed and emerging economies. The article uses recent data from a wide range of countries, incorporates a variety of macroeconomic variables, social indicators and institutional factors to reassess the determinant of domestic bond markets. Robustness of the empirical analysis is established through both two-stage least squares and generalized method of movements techniques. The results of this article show that the size of the economy, breadth and depth of the banking system, the monetary policy stance, the degree of openness, the level of corruption, the degree of civil liberty and status of market access to investors, all play a crucial role in the determination of the size of the domestic bond market. We also find differences across developed and emerging market samples. The results are robust to different specifications and the corresponding estimation techniques. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 35-50 Issue: 1 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1313951 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1313951 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:1:p:35-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zihan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zihan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Ju’e Guo Author-X-Name-First: Ju’e Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Shubin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shubin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Hongtao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hongtao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Government incentive strategies and private capital participation in China’s Shale gas development Abstract: Shale gas development investments are uncertain and irreversible in the initial stage in China. Flexible incentive strategy is needed for governments to guide private capital participation at different development stages. This study aims to provide analysis governments can use to encourage private investment in shale gas projects according to its plans in an extended real options framework. A social benefits variable is introduced to determine the threshold of social benefits that determine whether the government will choose a deferred or instant incentives strategy. By considering the efficiency factor, we show the optimal arrangements of two kinds of incentives: tax cuts and production subsidies, to implement incentive targets. The results indicate that current market demand and social benefits are the key factors that affect the government’s choice of incentive strategy. We also find that the optimal level of incentives, either tax cuts or production subsidies, are independent of current market demand and future market uncertainty under the delayed incentive strategy, but which affect the optimal level of incentives under the instant motivation strategy, and ignoring the negative influence of unpredictable random events on future market demand might lead to insufficient government incentives in this case. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 51-64 Issue: 1 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1313953 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1313953 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:1:p:51-64 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. David Allen Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Title: Self-protection against crime: what do schools do? Abstract: Most economic research about self-protection against crime concentrates on self-protection by individuals, households, and stores – private economic agents. We know much less about self-protection in public economic settings, such as by schools; this article takes a step towards learning more. An economic agent who self-protects benefits by reducing vulnerability to crime but incurs self-protection costs whether a victimization occurs or not; should a crime occur, the agent further bears the cost of the victimization itself. The agent, a school administrator in this application, must determine the optimal level of self-protection within this environment. Empirical results obtained using data from the 2004 and 2006 School Survey on Crime and Safety (SSOCS) show that schools self-protect (use professional security personnel) much in line with theoretical predictions. Among other findings, schools located in larger cities and that have a larger and older student body self-protect more prevalently than other schools, while schools with more academically able students self-protect less than schools with less productive student inputs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 65-78 Issue: 1 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1313955 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1313955 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:1:p:65-78 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raquel Campos Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Campos Author-Name: María Arrazola Author-X-Name-First: María Author-X-Name-Last: Arrazola Author-Name: José de Hevia Author-X-Name-First: José Author-X-Name-Last: de Hevia Title: Finding the right employee online: determinants of internet recruitment in Spanish firms Abstract: This paper analyses the variation of recruitment strategies in Spanish firms, with special emphasis on the Internet. Using data from the Spanish Labour Trends Survey for the period 2001–2011, we study the factors influencing the decision to use online recruitment and explore the differences between Internet and eight traditional recruitment channels. Our results show that the adoption of the Internet monotonically increases over the sample period, when Internet becomes more universal and even in periods with excess of applicants. Large firms operating in information-intensive activities, and located in regions more developed and with better infrastructures are more likely to search for new employees online. We also find that Internet and traditional recruitment methods follow different patterns, especially when using personal referrals and public employment services. Our results suggest the presence of network externalities derived from the increase number of compatible online job seekers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 79-93 Issue: 1 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1319560 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1319560 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:1:p:79-93 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy F. Harris Author-X-Name-First: Timothy F. Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Author-Name: Aaron Yelowitz Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Yelowitz Title: Racial disparities in life insurance coverage Abstract: We evaluate the extent to which there are racial disparities in life insurance coverage using multiple years of the Survey of Income and Program Participation between 2001 and 2010. We find that African Americans hold significantly more life insurance – especially whole life insurance – after controlling for other factors. We demonstrate that our findings diverge from prior work because we examine all households instead of focusing exclusively on married and cohabitating households. Although earning shocks due to mortality likely contribute to racial disparities in wealth, the influence is mitigated by the racial composition of life insurance holdings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 94-107 Issue: 1 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1319562 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1319562 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:1:p:94-107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yanzhen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yanzhen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xiumin Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiumin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Dong Huang Author-X-Name-First: Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Aihua Wang Author-X-Name-First: Aihua Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Is there evidence of “fear of appreciation” in China’s foreign exchange market intervention? Abstract: Using the data after the exchange rate regime reform in July 2005, this paper systematically studied the issue whether China has conducted ‘fear of appreciation’ asymmetric intervention. The results show that China’s intervention is discontinuous and asymmetric, rather than oversimplified ‘fear of appreciation’. China has a target range with respect to exchange rate deviation, and most observations are concentrated in this range, in which the exchange rate deviation can be tolerated. Outside the target range, the width of the range suggests that the tolerance level for appreciation is much higher than that for depreciation, whereas the estimated coefficients show that the monetary authority responds more vigorously to substantial appreciation than to depreciation. In addition, it can be expected that with the marketization of RMB exchange rate, China’s intervention degree will further decline. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 537-551 Issue: 6 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646878 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646878 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:6:p:537-551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy Fitzgerald Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Fitzgerald Author-Name: Forrest F. Aven Author-X-Name-First: Forrest F. Author-X-Name-Last: Aven Title: Paying for procurement: analysis of landman compensation surveys Abstract: Utilizing a unique time series of cross-sectional surveys, we analyse the labour market for professional landman services to establish the factors affecting compensation during a recent period that substantially increased demand. Land services are an important subsector of the energy industry, especially for oil and gas exploration and production, which has been stimulated by technological improvements that facilitate economic extraction of unconventional resources. That led to an increase in oil and gas leasing activity and a resultant increase in demand for land services. We assess factors affecting compensation across several relevant margins. An influx of entrants into the profession has disrupted historic compensation patterns; entry appears to have been greatest in regions of the United States most affected by unconventional resource development. Some landmen are independent contractors while others are company employees. We find mixed results for professional certifications across contract types and gender, using instrumental variables to account for contractual choice.Abbreviation: AAPL: American Association of Professional Landmen; RPL: registered professional landman; CPL: certified professional landman; PLM: professional land manager Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 552-567 Issue: 6 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646879 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646879 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:6:p:552-567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Larissa da Silva Marioni Author-X-Name-First: Larissa da Silva Author-X-Name-Last: Marioni Author-Name: Ricardo Da Silva Freguglia Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Da Silva Author-X-Name-Last: Freguglia Author-Name: Naercio A Menezes-Filho Author-X-Name-First: Naercio A Author-X-Name-Last: Menezes-Filho Title: The impacts of teacher working conditions and human capital on student achievement: evidence from brazilian longitudinal data Abstract: We use a new longitudinal matched student-teacher data from Brazil to examine the impacts of teacher human capital and working conditions on student learning controlling for student, teacher, and student-teacher match fixed effects. We find that teacher working conditions impact students outcomes. Teachers employed in more than one school negatively affect student test scores, while those working more hours in the same school positively impact students outcomes. Additionally, teacher education, experience, and family income affect student outcomes in Portuguese but not in Mathematics. Students who change from a low to a high value-added teacher experience a significant increase in proficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 568-582 Issue: 6 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1650885 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1650885 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:6:p:568-582 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Farid Ullah Author-X-Name-First: Farid Author-X-Name-Last: Ullah Author-Name: Ping Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Yasir Shahab Author-X-Name-First: Yasir Author-X-Name-Last: Shahab Author-Name: Hai-Xia Li Author-X-Name-First: Hai-Xia Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Lei Xu Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Block ownership and CEO compensation: does board gender diversity matter? Abstract: This study investigates the effect of block ownership (institutions and state) on CEO compensation and the extent to which gender diversity in the corporate board moderates this nexus during the period from 2008 to 2016 in all Chinese A-share listed firms. The empirical findings of our study are twofold. First, our results indicate that institutional ownership has a positive and significant impact on CEO compensation, while state ownership has a negative and significant impact on CEO compensation. Second, by analysing the moderating role of gender diversity, our results show that gender diversity negatively (positively) moderates the relationship between institutional (state) ownership and CEO compensation. These findings are robust with the use of an alternative measure of CEO compensation and estimation techniques. Overall, our study supports the resource dependence perspective of the moderating role of board gender diversity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 583-597 Issue: 6 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659490 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659490 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:6:p:583-597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfonso Mendoza-Velázquez Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Mendoza-Velázquez Author-Name: Vicente German-Soto Author-X-Name-First: Vicente Author-X-Name-Last: German-Soto Author-Name: Mercedes Monfort Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Monfort Author-Name: Javier Ordóñez Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Ordóñez Title: Club convergence and inter-regional inequality in Mexico, 1940-2015 Abstract: In this paper, we analyse the convergence patterns in inter-regional inequality and income per capita for the Mexican states over the period 1940–2015. To that end, we apply a time-series approach considering temporal and transitional heterogeneity. Results indicate that Mexican states do not converge to the same long-run equilibrium. Instead of overall convergence, we find club convergence for both regional inequality and income per capita. The existence of clubs means that measures aimed at reducing income inequality and promoting regional growth should consider the specific characteristics revealed in the convergence analyses. Furthermore, pro-growth regional policies in Mexico may not necessarily reduce inter-regional income inequality. Income disparities thus need to be specifically addressed through pro-poor regional policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 598-608 Issue: 6 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659491 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659491 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:6:p:598-608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carin van der Cruijsen Author-X-Name-First: Carin Author-X-Name-Last: van der Cruijsen Title: Payments data: do consumers want banks to keep them in a safe or turn them into gold? Abstract: For policymakers seeking to protect financial stability and financial institutions, it is key to know consumers’ attitudes towards payments data usage. This article provides detailed insight into these attitudes based on unique surveys held among Dutch consumers. Attitudes towards payments data usage by banks and the related factors depend on the purpose of the data use. For example, most people do not mind if their payments data are being used to enhance security but do not want these data to be shared with restaurants to get special offers. The selling of payments data by banks to other companies would result in a significant decline of trust in banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 609-622 Issue: 6 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659493 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659493 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:6:p:609-622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joana Passinhas Author-X-Name-First: Joana Author-X-Name-Last: Passinhas Author-Name: Isabel Proença Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Proença Title: Measuring the gender disparities in unemployment dynamics during the recession: evidence from Portugal Abstract: This article researches gender differences in the incidence and persistence of unemployment during the debt crisis and recession in Portugal through estimating a dynamic random effects probit model to control for unobserved individual heterogeneity and for the ‘initial conditions’ problem. The estimation applies data from four waves of ICOR – the Survey on Income and Living Conditions between 2010 and 2013. We find strong evidence of persistence in unemployment alongside indications that men are more prone to enduring negative implications from previous periods of unemployment. Simultaneously, we find evidence of a greater likelihood of unemployment for women through a fixed effect designed to capture gender discrimination in unstable labour markets. Our results suggest that policies to boost employment should accommodate a gender dimension and also place a special emphasis on the long-term unemployed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 623-636 Issue: 6 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:6:p:623-636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liyan Han Author-X-Name-First: Liyan Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Mengchao Qi Author-X-Name-First: Mengchao Author-X-Name-Last: Qi Author-Name: Libo Yin Author-X-Name-First: Libo Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Title: Macroeconomic policy uncertainty shocks on the Chinese economy: a GVAR analysis Abstract: This article studies the spillovers of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) from developed economies to China in terms of the source, extent and persistence by estimating a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model with both financial and trade variables acting as the transmission channels. Our findings confirm the existence of international transmissions of policy uncertainty, while the patterns differ markedly. The US EPU appears to be the most significant cause of the fall of export, industrial production, equity price and exchange rate, meanwhile, the EU EPU is also to be blamed for the depreciation of RMB. In contrast to industrial production, which shows the largest negative impact, Chinese inflation increases to a relatively smaller extent with the EPU shocks ranking as the US, Japanese and the EU. Regardless of the minor impact on a long-term interest rate, the short-term interest rate in China reacts positively to the European and US EPU shocks. Despite the independent national monetary policies, EPUs from the EU, Japan and the UK can decrease the Chinese monetary aggregate. In summary, the Chinese economy responds the most to the US EPU, especially to its inflation expectation disagreement component, whereas it responds the least to the UK EPU. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4907-4921 Issue: 51 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1167828 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1167828 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:51:p:4907-4921 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William W. Chow Author-X-Name-First: William W. Author-X-Name-Last: Chow Author-Name: Michael K. Fung Author-X-Name-First: Michael K. Author-X-Name-Last: Fung Author-Name: Arnold C. S. Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Arnold C. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Convergence and spillover of house prices in Chinese cities Abstract: The issue of house price convergence in 34 Chinese cities is investigated. We augmented the convergence model with contemporaneous spatial dependence in house prices and found that price convergence and positive spatial spillover are both present. We explicitly addressed the endogeneity problem by introducing a Bayesian instrumental variable setup, which was estimated with particle filtering techniques. From a growth poles perspective, the empirical evidence indicates that the spread effect in regional house prices outweighs the backwash effect. The identified positive spatial spillover has two effects on the growth of house prices in Chinese cities. First, the spillover elevates the trajectories of the steady-state growth paths of house prices. Second, the spillover narrows the gaps between the growth paths of house prices in neighbouring cities. Shocks to the socio-economic variables of a city generate their own effects on domestic house prices that dominate the effects arising from cross-city price feedbacks, thus mitigating the prospect of level convergence. Our findings also suggest a collaborating role between time and spatial dependence parameters. The identification of inter-city spillover, which is a conditioning factor for regional house price convergence, offers implications to policies that are most likely to be effective in reducing regional disparity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4922-4941 Issue: 51 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1167829 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1167829 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:51:p:4922-4941 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lee A. Smales Author-X-Name-First: Lee A. Author-X-Name-Last: Smales Title: Time-varying relationship of news sentiment, implied volatility and stock returns Abstract: I examine the relationship between aggregate news sentiment, S&P 500 index (SPX) returns, and changes in the implied volatility index (VIX). I find a significant negative contemporaneous relationship between changes in VIX and both news sentiment and stock returns. This relationship is asymmetric whereby changes in VIX are larger following negative news and/or stock market declines. Vector autoregression (VAR) analysis of the dynamics and cross-dependencies between variables reveals a strong positive relationship between previous and current period changes in implied volatility and stock returns, while current period and lagged news sentiment has a significant positive (negative) relationship with stock returns (changes in VIX). I develop a simple trading strategy whereby high (low) levels of implied volatility signal attractive opportunities to take short (long) positions in the underlying index, while extremely negative (positive) news sentiment signals opportunities to enter short (long) index positions. The investor fear gauge (VIX) appears to perform better than news sentiment measures in forecasting future returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4942-4960 Issue: 51 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1167830 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1167830 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:51:p:4942-4960 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hai Yue Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hai Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Ivan Deseatnicov Author-X-Name-First: Ivan Author-X-Name-Last: Deseatnicov Title: Exchange rate and Chinese outward FDI Abstract: Did the exchange rate (ER) regime change that was announced by the Chinese government in 2005 lead to an increased sensitivity of Chinese multinational companies (MNCs) to ER fluctuations? To answer this question our article considers the effect of ER level, volatility and expectation on the Chinese outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) activities in 119 countries for a period of 2003–2013. We find striking evidence that Chinese Renminbi appreciation has a negative impact on Chinese outward FDI flows, and both higher ER volatility and expected depreciation encourage Chinese outward FDI flows. We introduce two complementary effects that explain these findings: repatriation effect and mercantilist effect. In view of the recent debate about the growing importance of Chinese Renminbi in the international transactions we believe that our research results shed light on the possible impact of ER policies on Chinese MNCs behaviour and global FDI distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4961-4976 Issue: 51 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1167831 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1167831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:51:p:4961-4976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Molnár Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Molnár Title: High-low range in GARCH models of stock return volatility Abstract: We suggest a simple and general way to improve the GARCH volatility models using the intraday range between the highest and the lowest price to proxy volatility. We illustrate the method by modifying a GARCH(1,1) model to a range-GARCH(1,1) model. Our empirical analysis conducted on stocks, stock indices and simulated data shows that the range-GARCH(1,1) model performs significantly better than the standard GARCH(1,1) model both in terms of in-sample fit and out-of-sample forecasting ability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4977-4991 Issue: 51 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1170929 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1170929 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:51:p:4977-4991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ying Fan Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Yin-Peng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yin-Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jian-Feng Guo Author-X-Name-First: Jian-Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: How to explain carbon price using market micro-behaviour? Abstract: In this article, we analyse the micro-behaviours of the emitting companies and financial intermediaries in the European Union emissions trading scheme (EU-ETS) and their influence on carbon prices. Based on the full-sample community independent transaction log (CITL), the micro-behaviours can be observed in a closed system. The micro-behaviours of the emitting companies are divided into ‘compliance trading’ and ‘non-compliance trading’ based on the emitting companies’ trading motivations. The micro-behaviours of the financial intermediaries are measured by their influence on the total supply and demand in the market. Then, an AR-GARCH model is established to examine the dynamic relationships between carbon prices and the micro-behaviours of the emitting companies and financial intermediaries. The estimation results suggest that the prices–behaviours relationship is significant. Other important findings are as follows: (1) the mean value of carbon prices positively depends on the compliance trading of the emitting companies and the micro-behaviours of the financial intermediaries; (2) non-compliance buying increases the volatility of carbon prices, while the non-compliance selling stabilizes it and (3) the micro-behaviours of the emitting companies in the lower 50% in terms of emission levels have no significant influence on the mean carbon price, but their non-compliance buying stabilizes the carbon price. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4992-5007 Issue: 51 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1170930 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1170930 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:51:p:4992-5007 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pablo A. Garcia-Fuentes Author-X-Name-First: Pablo A. Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-Fuentes Author-Name: P. Lynn Kennedy Author-X-Name-First: P. Lynn Author-X-Name-Last: Kennedy Author-Name: Gustavo F. C. Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Gustavo F. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Title: U.S. foreign direct investment in Latin America and the Caribbean: a case of remittances and market size Abstract: This article investigates the effect of remittances on U.S. foreign direct investment (FDI) flows to Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). It covers 26 countries for the period 1983–2010. The results show a positive and significant impact of remittances on U.S. FDI flows. However, this effect depends upon the level of gross domestic product (GDP) per capita of the host country. On average, the results show that increasing remittances by one standard deviation increases U.S. FDI flows by 0.44 percent a year. Also, host country demand positively affects U.S. FDI flows, which supports the market size hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5008-5021 Issue: 51 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1170931 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1170931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:51:p:5008-5021 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Toni Mora Author-X-Name-First: Toni Author-X-Name-Last: Mora Author-Name: Francesc Prior Author-X-Name-First: Francesc Author-X-Name-Last: Prior Title: The impact of mobile financial services’ usage on microfinance delinquency Abstract: This paper studies the impact of Mobile Financial Systems’ usage on microcredit delinquency ratios in Tunisia by using either a two-part model or matching econometric procedures. Our large dataset contains all of the administrative registers that belong to the six branches of Enda, the incumbent Institution leader in Tunisia. We find a significant reduction of 4.92 days of late repayment for an average user of MFS in an environment where 15% of loans have been paid late at least once. We foresee a tremendous opportunity to improve the MFIs’ repayment ratios and, consequently, provide microcredit customers with more financing for income generating activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5354-5365 Issue: 50 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486990 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486990 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:50:p:5354-5365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kendrick Morales Author-X-Name-First: Kendrick Author-X-Name-Last: Morales Author-Name: Prosper Raynold Author-X-Name-First: Prosper Author-X-Name-Last: Raynold Author-Name: Jing Li Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The empirical relationship between commitment enhancement devices and terrorism Abstract: An extant theoretical literature attributes the high lethality of violent extremist religious sects (VERSs) to their comparative advantage in assembling coalitions of highly committed operatives and identifies sacrifice and stigma (S&S) and social service provision (SSP) as the primary commitment enhancement devices VERSs employ. However, lack of direct measures of the VERSs’ deployment of these devices has impeded efforts to test the hypothesized effects of S&S and SSP on terrorism. This article exploits the relationship between exogenous variation in the marginal productivities of S&S and SSP as inputs in the production of commitment and variation in VERSs’ employment of these inputs to identify proxies for S&S and SSP. Using data from 158 countries, our cross-sectional estimates of the effects of S&S and SSP on the impact of terrorism are significant and larger than the effects of geographic and political variables that are consistently reported to be both significant and substantial. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5366-5380 Issue: 50 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486991 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:50:p:5366-5380 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bright Gershion Godigbe Author-X-Name-First: Bright Gershion Author-X-Name-Last: Godigbe Author-Name: Chin Man Chui Author-X-Name-First: Chin Man Author-X-Name-Last: Chui Author-Name: Chih-Liang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Directors network centrality and earnings quality Abstract: This study examines whether firms with network central boards of directors behave differently from other firms in terms of financial reporting quality. We find that earnings quality among firms is low when board networks are channels of incorrect information transmission (including earnings management information) and for firms whose directors are awarded equity-based compensation have connections through boardroom networks, but earnings quality is better for firms with good performance in spite of their networks. These results are robust to controlling for firm information environment, growth, size, age, leverage, performance, volatility in firm operations, and corporate governance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5381-5400 Issue: 50 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486992 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486992 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:50:p:5381-5400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chaoqun Ma Author-X-Name-First: Chaoqun Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Shisong Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Shisong Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Zonggang Ma Author-X-Name-First: Zonggang Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Investor sentiment and the prediction of stock returns: a quantile regression approach Abstract: We employ quantile regression to provide a detailed picture of the stock return forecasting ability of investor sentiment. We find that investor sentiment predicts aggregate stock returns at lower quantiles. However, the forecasting power is lost at upper quantiles. The results are robust after controlling for a comprehensive set of macroeconomic and financial predictors and for characteristic portfolios. We also show that investor sentiment consists mainly of cash flow news and contains little information about discount rate news. The ability to forecast cash flows increases gradually from the lower quantiles to upper quantiles. Our results do not support that the ability of investor sentiment to predict stock returns comes from a rational forecast of future cash flows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5401-5415 Issue: 50 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486993 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486993 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:50:p:5401-5415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Fackler Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Fackler Author-Name: Steffen Müller Author-X-Name-First: Steffen Author-X-Name-Last: Müller Author-Name: Jens Stegmaier Author-X-Name-First: Jens Author-X-Name-Last: Stegmaier Title: Plant-level employment development before collective displacements: comparing mass layoffs, plant closures and bankruptcies Abstract: This article analyzes the development of employment levels and worker flows before bankruptcies, plant closure without bankruptcies and mass layoffs. Utilizing administrative plant-level data for Germany, we find no systematic employment reductions prior to mass layoffs, a strong and long-lasting reduction prior to closures, and a much shorter shadow of death preceding bankruptcies. Employment reductions in closing plants, in contrast to bankruptcies and mass layoffs, do not come along with increased worker flows. These patterns point to an intended and controlled shrinking strategy for closures without bankruptcy and to an unintended collapse for bankruptcies and mass layoffs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5416-5435 Issue: 50 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486994 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:50:p:5416-5435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chen Ma Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Hui Du Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Junrui Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Junrui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Chinese accounting restatement and the timeliness of annual report Abstract: Chinese accounting restatements are mainly disclosed in companies’ annual reports due to unique Chinese institutional background and regulatory setting. China provides the scheduled disclosure system for annual report, which is seldom found in any other countries. The difference between actual filing date and scheduled date as timeliness proxy can better depict how annual report is delayed by sudden events such as restatements. Using manually collected data of accounting restatements from 2004 to 2014, we study the association between Chinese accounting restatement and the timeliness of annual report. The results indicate that with an accounting restatement, a company takes longer to file annual reports than scheduled, suggesting a negative association between Chinese accounting restatements and timeliness of annual reports. We also find that this result is not altered whether CEO/chairman or auditor is the same between misstatement period and restatement period. The results are robust when other timeliness measures are used. When further examining the association between various restatement characteristics and timeliness of annual reports, we find an overall negative association between restatement severity and the timeliness of annual reports. We contribute to the existing accounting restatement literature from international perspective with evidence that restatements delay the timeliness of financial reporting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5436-5453 Issue: 50 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486995 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:50:p:5436-5453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brenda Gannon Author-X-Name-First: Brenda Author-X-Name-Last: Gannon Author-Name: James Banks Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Banks Author-Name: James Nazroo Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Nazroo Author-Name: Luke Munford Author-X-Name-First: Luke Author-X-Name-Last: Munford Title: An econometric analysis of cognitive impairment and healthcare utilization in the ageing population Abstract: The ageing population is a major concern for policy makers, with the ever-increasing strains placed on health budgets. One overlooked area of research is the impact that cognitive impairment (an early marker of potential dementia onset) has on the healthcare utilization of an ageing population. Based on the theoretical micro-economic foundations of healthcare demand, we study the relationship between cognitive functioning and impairment, measured by word recall and changes thereof, and healthcare utilization among over 50s in nine European countries. The contribution of this article is to produce estimates for cognitive functioning and impairment, as opposed to full dementia, in the context of healthcare utilization.We apply regression models to healthcare utilization data from Waves 1, 2 and 4 of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe and find that recalling one additional word is associated with a reduction in visits to a medical doctor of 0.32, per year (p<0.01). Even after controlling for self-assessed health, this association is strong at just over 0.1 visits – this is the additional impact, over and above the average number of visits for similar individuals without cognitive impairment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5454-5463 Issue: 50 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486996 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486996 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:50:p:5454-5463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stavros Degiannakis Author-X-Name-First: Stavros Author-X-Name-Last: Degiannakis Author-Name: George Filis Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Filis Author-Name: George Palaiodimos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Palaiodimos Title: Investments and uncertainty revisited: the case of the US economy Abstract: This article examines the relationship between investments and uncertainty for the US economy, as the latter is approximated by consumer sentiment, purchasing managers’ prospects and economic policy uncertainty. Contrary to the existing literature, we provide evidence that this relationship is time varying. The time variation is attributed to the observed temporal replacement effect between private and public investments. Furthermore, we show that there are two distinct correlation regimes in this relationship and unless we concentrate on them, we cannot fully unravel the real link between uncertainty and investments. Finally, we examine whether the use of the two correlation regimes provides better forecasts for investments compared to the use of the uncertainty indices alone. The forecasting exercise reveals that the use of correlation regimes provides statistically superior out-of-sample forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4521-4529 Issue: 45 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1284995 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1284995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:45:p:4521-4529 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Author-Name: Luis Antonio Monteros Author-X-Name-First: Luis Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Monteros Title: Event-study analysis by using dynamic conditional score models Abstract: This article considers the most important information technology (IT) products in order to perform an event-study analysis of the out-of-sample predictability of IT stock returns. We define two subperiods, the estimation and forecast windows, for each IT product that are separated by the product release date. We investigate whether post-release-date returns can be predicted by using data on pre-release-date returns. We use static one-step-ahead density forecasting. We compare the forecast performance of autoregressive moving average (ARMA) plus generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) and quasi-ARMA (QARMA) plus Beta-$$t$$t -EGARCH (exponential-GARCH). QARMA plus Beta-$$t$$t -EGARCH belongs to the family of dynamic conditional score (DCS) models. We find that the in-sample statistical performance of DCS is superior to that of ARMA plus GARCH for most of the IT stocks. We also find that the out-of-sample density predictive performance of ARMA plus GARCH is never significantly superior to that of DCS. However, the predictive performance of DCS significantly dominates that of ARMA plus GARCH for several IT products. We undertake a Monte Carlo value-at-risk (VaR) application of our results to Windows 95 of Microsoft. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4530-4541 Issue: 45 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1284996 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1284996 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:45:p:4530-4541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David L. Anderson Author-X-Name-First: David L. Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Author-Name: John Tressler Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Tressler Title: Researcher rank stability across alternative output measurement schemes in the context of a time limited research evaluation: the New Zealand case Abstract: This article focuses on the stability of rankings of academics by research productivity in the context of short-term decision-making. In particular, the growing use of national research assessment exercises (NRAE) has increased interest in identifying the contributions of individual researchers to an assessment unit’s output and ranking. The article concentrates on the assessment of individuals using plausible journal ranking schemes. We find that despite statistical evidence of a high degree of stability across journal ranking schemes as indicated by rank correlation coefficients, the particular ranking scheme used is of great importance to individual researchers. This applies with particular force to academics working within a NRAE environment based on individual assessment such as New Zealand’s PBRF. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4542-4553 Issue: 45 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1284997 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1284997 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:45:p:4542-4553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mardi Dungey Author-X-Name-First: Mardi Author-X-Name-Last: Dungey Author-Name: Jan P.A.M. Jacobs Author-X-Name-First: Jan P.A.M. Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobs Author-Name: Jing Tian Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Title: Forecasting output gaps in the G-7 countries: the role of correlated innovations and structural breaks Abstract: Trend GDP and output gaps play an important role in fiscal and monetary policy formulation, often including the need for forecasts. In this article, we focus on forecasting trend GDP and output gaps with Beveridge-Nelson trend-cycle decompositions trend-cycle decompositions and investigate how these are affected by assumptions concerning correlated innovations and structural breaks. We evaluate expanding window, one-step-ahead forecasts indirectly for the G-7 countries on the basis of real GDP growth rate forecasts. We find that correlated innovations affect real GDP growth rate forecasts positively, while allowing for structural breaks works for some countries but not for all. In the face of uncertainty, the evidence supports that in making forecasts of trends and output gap policy-makers should focus on allowing for the correlation of shocks as an order of priority higher than unknown structural breaks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4554-4566 Issue: 45 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1284998 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1284998 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:45:p:4554-4566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Trond Bjørndal Author-X-Name-First: Trond Author-X-Name-Last: Bjørndal Author-Name: Jordi Guillen Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Guillen Title: Market integration between wild and farmed seabream and seabass in Spain Abstract: Gilthead seabream (Sparus aurata) and European seabass (Dicentrarchus labrax) production from aquaculture has been increasing since the 1990s. Nowadays, about 95% of their production comes from aquaculture. In this study, we analyse if the rapid growth in the aquaculture production of both species has affected the capture fisheries prices of both species. In other words, we investigate if there is market integration between wild and farmed gilthead seabream and European seabass. In order to do this analysis, we use data from the main gilthead seabream and European seabass markets in Spain. The results show that there is no market integration between wild and farmed gilthead seabream and European seabass. This implies that capture fisheries are not affected by increases in the aquaculture production of both species. But gilthead seabream and European seabass aquaculture producers face a smaller demand that explains the difficulties this aquaculture segment is facing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4567-4578 Issue: 45 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1287856 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1287856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:45:p:4567-4578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Carlos Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Dercio Mandlaze Author-X-Name-First: Dercio Author-X-Name-Last: Mandlaze Title: A performance assessment of Mozambique banks: a Bayesian stochastic frontier Abstract: This article analyses the technical efficiency of Mozambican banks from 2005 to 2014 with a Bayesian stochastic frontier model. The intermediate approach is adopted and the results reveal that efficiency varies amongst the banks analysed. Foreign ownership of Mozambican banks is also analysed, as is public ownership, the role of mergers and acquisitions, big banks and active dividend policy within the context of bank costs. Policy implications are then derived. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4579-4587 Issue: 45 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1287857 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1287857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:45:p:4579-4587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abhay K. Singh Author-X-Name-First: Abhay K. Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: David E. Allen Author-X-Name-First: David E. Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: Robert J. Powell Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Title: Tail dependence analysis of stock markets using extreme value theory Abstract: Financial risk modelling frequently uses the assumption of a normal distribution when considering the return series which is inefficient if the data is not normally distributed or if it exhibits extreme tails. Estimation of tail dependence between financial assets plays a vital role in various aspects of financial risk modelling including portfolio theory and hedging amongst applications. Extreme Value Theory (EVT) provides well established methods for considering univariate and multivariate tail distributions which are useful for forecasting financial risk or modelling the tail dependence of risky assets. The empirical analysis in this article uses nonparametric measures based on bivariate EVT to investigate asymptotic dependence and estimate the degree of tail dependence of the ASX-All Ordinaries daily returns with four other international markets, viz., the S&P-500, Nikkei-225, DAX-30 and Heng-Seng for both extreme right and left tails of the return distribution. It is investigated whether the asymptotic dependence between these markets is related to the heteroscedasticity present in the logarithmic return series using GARCH filters. The empirical evidence shows that the asymptotic extreme tail dependence between stock markets does not necessarily exist and rather can be associated with the heteroscedasticity present in the financial time series of the various stock markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4588-4599 Issue: 45 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1287858 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1287858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:45:p:4588-4599 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edmond Berisha Author-X-Name-First: Edmond Author-X-Name-Last: Berisha Author-Name: John Meszaros Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Meszaros Author-Name: Zaman Zamanian Author-X-Name-First: Zaman Author-X-Name-Last: Zamanian Title: Quantitative easing and median income: a state-level analysis Abstract: Due to the Great Recession, the Federal Reserve engaged in unconventional monetary policy (QE) to fight the effects of the economic downturn. Literature asserts that QE did have impacts on economic growth and helped alleviate the effects of the recession. Recently, critics have asserted that the benefits of QE may not have been equally distributed across households. In this paper, we build a state-level dataset to investigate the dynamics of QE measures and median income across the U.S states. The findings indicate that, for the period 2008 to 2014, there is statistical evidence that increases in the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet correspond with higher nominal median income. However, once we adjust for inflation, the results become statistically insignificant and the impact of QE on median income becomes almost zero. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4564-4575 Issue: 42 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1564118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1564118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:42:p:4564-4575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elyas Elyasiani Author-X-Name-First: Elyas Author-X-Name-Last: Elyasiani Author-Name: Jingyi Jia Author-X-Name-First: Jingyi Author-X-Name-Last: Jia Author-Name: Hadi Movaghari Author-X-Name-First: Hadi Author-X-Name-Last: Movaghari Title: Determinants of dividend payout and dividend propensity in an emerging market, Iran: an application of the LASSO Abstract: Accurate prediction of dividends is important for market participants such as investors, firm managers, and monitoring authorities, as they can, respectively, invest, manage dividend decisions, and monitor dividend policies more effectively. We identify the most relevant variables for predicting the dividend payout of the firms in an emerging market, Iran, using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). The advantages of the LASSO include: enhancing the prediction accuracy of the dividend model, improving interpretation of the results, and applicability to high-dimensional data. We obtain several results. First, some fundamental determinants of dividends in the industrialized economies such as market-to-book ratio and current ratio, do not play a role in deciding dividends in Iran. Second, LASSO-selected variables outperform the variables commonly used in the literature in terms of model fit and prediction accuracy. Third, business risk, leverage, return on assets and effective tax rate are the most important predictors of dividend propensity of the Iranian firms. Fourth, if the support vector machine algorithm, an often-used classification method, is combined with LASSO-selected variables, it can better discriminate between dividend-paying and dividend non-paying firms than other methods such as logistic regression and linear discriminant analysis.Abbreviations: LASSO: Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator; TSE: Tehran Stock Exchange; RMSE: Root Mean Squared Errors; MAE: Mean Absolute Errors; ROC: Receiver Operating Characteristics; GMM: Generalized Method of Moments; MENA: Middle East and North Africa region; AIC: Akaike Information Criterion; BIC: Bayesian Information Criterion; LARS: Least Angel Regression; OLS: Ordinary Least Squares; AUC: Area Under Curve; BS: Brier Score ; OA: Overall Accuracy; LDA: Linear Discriminant Analysis; SVM: Support Vector Machine algorithm; LR: Logistic Regression. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4576-4596 Issue: 42 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1593315 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1593315 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:42:p:4576-4596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abidin Alhassan Author-X-Name-First: Abidin Author-X-Name-Last: Alhassan Author-Name: Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Krishna Reddy Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Reddy Author-Name: Geeta Duppati Author-X-Name-First: Geeta Author-X-Name-Last: Duppati Title: The impact of formal financial inclusion on informal financial intermediation and cash preference: evidence from Africa Abstract: This paper examines the effect of formal financial intermediation (inclusion) on informal financial intermediation and the use of cash for economic activities. Using data from the Global Findex 2014, we examine whether the use of formal financial intermediaries reduces cash preference and the use of informal financial intermediaries. Our empirical results show that informal financial intermediation is positively associated with formal financial inclusion. This indicates that the relationship between informal and formal financial intermediation is complementary rather than a trade-off, which demonstrates the importance of informal finance plays in the financial system of Africa. Moreover, the use of formal financial intermediaries significantly reduces the preference for holding cash, implying that a robust financial system infrastructure has the potential of mobilizing excess liquidity in the informal economy of Africa for growth and development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4597-4614 Issue: 42 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1593316 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1593316 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:42:p:4597-4614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruoye Yang Author-X-Name-First: Ruoye Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Kellie Curry Raper Author-X-Name-First: Kellie Curry Author-X-Name-Last: Raper Author-Name: J. Ross Pruitt Author-X-Name-First: J. Ross Author-X-Name-Last: Pruitt Title: The influence of recession and income strata on consumer demand for protein sources Abstract: Though meat products are considered the primary sources of protein in the U.S., people consume a variety of protein sources including meat, fish, eggs, dairy products and beans. This study expands the typical meat demand study by including alternate protein sources. We implement state-space modelling and Bai-Perron tests to examine structural change in U.S. expenditure patterns on protein sources across pre- and post-recessionary periods. Results are integrated into a Time-Varying Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) including beef, pork, poultry, fish and seafood, eggs, dairy products, dried beans, and an ‘other meat’ composite. Expenditure elasticities generally become relatively more elastic post-recession for protein sources across all income quintiles, with the largest changes in beef and pork. The lowest income group exhibits the least change in own-price and in expenditure elasticities, likely an indication of already limited flexibility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4615-4628 Issue: 42 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1593940 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1593940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:42:p:4615-4628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dakshina G. De Silva Author-X-Name-First: Dakshina G. Author-X-Name-Last: De Silva Author-Name: Inkoo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Inkoo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Soon-Cheul Lee Author-X-Name-First: Soon-Cheul Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Explaining time variation in geographic price dispersion Abstract: The pattern of price dispersion significantly varies over time and across locations. Using a detailed dataset with product-level retail prices, we examine the role of time-varying factors in shaping the time variation of price dispersion. We find that price dispersion variation in an integrated region is mainly driven by oil prices, while the variation in a segmented region is attributed to dispersion in real income. We also find that dispersion in value-added tax rates explains a significant portion of price dispersion fluctuations in both geographic dimensions. This paper offers new evindence on the trade-off that exists for the role of time-varying factors as contributors to price dispersion variation by highlighting their relative importance across different dimensions of economic geography. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4629-4641 Issue: 42 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1593941 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1593941 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:42:p:4629-4641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rébecca Stekelorum Author-X-Name-First: Rébecca Author-X-Name-Last: Stekelorum Author-Name: Issam Laguir Author-X-Name-First: Issam Author-X-Name-Last: Laguir Author-Name: Jamal Elbaz Author-X-Name-First: Jamal Author-X-Name-Last: Elbaz Title: Transmission of CSR requirements in supply chains: investigating the multiple mediating effects of CSR activities in SMEs Abstract: In recent years, scholars have increasingly turned their attention to the separate areas of corporate social responsibility (CSR) and supply chain management (SCM). However, little scholarly attention has been paid to the transmission of CSR requirements from a small to medium-sized enterprises (SME) perspective. Drawing on institutional and innovation diffusion theories, this paper investigates to what extent the CSR requirements of customers influence the CSR activities of SMEs and their CSR requirements toward their own suppliers. Multiple mediation analysis was performed on data from a sample of 146,060 French SMEs. The findings indicate that the CSR requirements of customers have a direct negative effect on SMEs’ CSR requirements toward suppliers. However, the relationship becomes positive when we take into account the mediating role of the SMEs’ own CSR activities (i.e. economic, social and environmental activities). Furthermore, the study reveals that the indirect effect through economic CSR activities is the greatest, followed by social and then environmental CSR activities. Our main contribution is that implementing CSR activities within SMEs is a necessary step so that SMEs can be brokers in the transmission of CSR requirements in the supply chain. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4642-4657 Issue: 42 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1593942 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1593942 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:42:p:4642-4657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wen-Wen Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Basil Sharp Author-X-Name-First: Basil Author-X-Name-Last: Sharp Author-Name: Shi-Chun Xu Author-X-Name-First: Shi-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Does economic growth and energy consumption drive environmental degradation in China’s 31 provinces? New evidence from a spatial econometric perspective Abstract: The panel data analysis points to economic and social factors contributing to NOx, PM2.5, PM10, SO2, and VOCs in China’s 31 provinces. The spatial correlation analysis using Global and Local Moran’s I values indicates the existence of a significant and positive spatial autocorrelation with respect to environment, economy and energy, and the high spatial correlation is evident in the eastern region, covering the northern part of Yangtze River Delta, Huaihai Economic Zone, and the lower reaches of the Yellow River Economic Belt. The empirical estimation is performed through spatial lag and spatial Durbin models. All emitted air pollutants in 31 provinces have significant spatial dependence and strong spillover effects. There is an inverted U-shaped relationship between emitted air pollutants (NOx, PM10, VOCs, and PM2.5) and per capita GDP, which follows the EKC hypothesis. The relationship between SO2 and per capita GDP does not follow the EKC hypothesis. There is a positive relationship between pollutant emissions and coal consumption, which is consistent with current studies for various countries like Canada, Denmark, UK and US and regions like New York State. However, the effects of science and technology investment on air pollutants are mostly positive, which is not as policy expected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4658-4671 Issue: 42 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1593943 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1593943 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:42:p:4658-4671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maxime Clémenceau Author-X-Name-First: Maxime Author-X-Name-Last: Clémenceau Author-Name: Nils Soguel Author-X-Name-First: Nils Author-X-Name-Last: Soguel Title: Does personal background influence a finance minister to cook the books? An investigation of creative accounting in Swiss cantons Abstract: This article aims to identify the factors influencing the use of creative accounting in the public sector. Its distinctive feature is that it sheds light on creative accounting when used, not to hide public deficits, but to conceal surpluses. It especially explores the impact of the finance minister’s (FM)’s background on the phenomenon. We take advantage of the quasi-experimental settings of the Swiss cantons in which the financial management act sets out the possibility of implementing certain accounting gimmicks, including mainly additional ‘depreciation’ charges. These charges, which are depreciations in name only, enable the FM to artificially inflate expenses, thus increasing the deficit or reducing the surplus. Our panel data set of the 26 cantons over the period 1980–2012 includes a new data set of creative accounting and of 116 cantonal FMs. Our results indicate that the FMs cook the books irrespective of their personal or ideological background with the exception that trained economists tend to apply creative accounting more. Additionally, stringent fiscal rules urge FMs towards more surplus-hiding accounting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 941-953 Issue: 10 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1208360 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1208360 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:10:p:941-953 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro de Araujo Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: de Araujo Author-Name: Kirby I. Leyshon Author-X-Name-First: Kirby I. Author-X-Name-Last: Leyshon Title: The impact of international information disclosure requirements on market discipline Abstract: Financial regulators are challenged with finding the most efficient and effective ways to monitor banks given an expanding and complex international financial system. Market discipline has grown in importance as a way to discourage banks from taking on unnecessary risk. One of the main drivers of market discipline is information disclosure. While the literature on market discipline is expansive, there are no known studies on the impact of individual information disclosure requirements on market discipline. Our study investigates which specific disclosure requirements influence financial investors to discipline banks and which do not. We find that information disclosure requirements primarily reduce or have no impact on market discipline practices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 954-971 Issue: 10 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1208361 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1208361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:10:p:954-971 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Matesanz Gomez Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Matesanz Gomez Author-Name: Hernan J. Ferrari Author-X-Name-First: Hernan J. Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrari Author-Name: Benno Torgler Author-X-Name-First: Benno Author-X-Name-Last: Torgler Author-Name: Guillermo J. Ortega Author-X-Name-First: Guillermo J. Author-X-Name-Last: Ortega Title: Synchronization and diversity in business cycles: a network analysis of the European Union Abstract: In this article, we use a correlation matrix and its internal networks to analyse business cycle synchronization across Europe since 2000. This methodology allows us to summarize individual country interactions and co-movements while also capturing the existing heterogeneity of connectivity within the European economic system. Our results indicate that synchronization of the euro zone countries remained stable from 1999 until the current financial crisis, after which co-movements increased sharply and synchronization rose to the highest in the time sample. By endogenously identifying clusters of countries with close connections in their business cycle, we also refute the commonly accepted notion of identifiable core and peripheral euro zone countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 972-986 Issue: 10 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1210765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1210765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:10:p:972-986 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Bünnings Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Bünnings Title: Does new health information affect health behaviour? The effect of health events on smoking cessation Abstract: This article empirically assesses the role of new health information in the decision to quit smoking. Using individual level data from the Swiss Household Panel, health information is proxied by three different types of health events: physical health problems, mental disorders, and accidents. Exploiting retrospectively reported information on smoking behaviour, smoking cessation is modelled using a discrete time hazard model that also accounts for estimation problems arising from almost quasi-complete separation in the data. The empirical results yield robust evidence that general health problems increase the probability of instantaneous smoking cessation. Differentiating between the type of health event reveals that the overall effect is mainly driven by physical health events. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 987-1000 Issue: 10 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1210766 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1210766 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:10:p:987-1000 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung Choe Author-X-Name-First: Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Choe Author-Name: Marjorie L. Baldwin Author-X-Name-First: Marjorie L. Author-X-Name-Last: Baldwin Title: Duration of disability, job mismatch and employment outcomes Abstract: Workers with disabilities have functional limitations that affect their productivity in some, but not necessarily all, jobs. Workers who find a job that is a good match for their functional limitations (i.e. a job where their limitations have little or no impact on important job functions) should expect better employment outcomes (e.g. higher wages, longer job tenure) than workers with similar disabilities who are mismatched in their jobs. Merging data from the Survey of Income and Program Participation with O*Net data on job demands, we construct two continuous measures of job mismatch for workers with physical disabilities. We then extend the literature on disability and employment by exploring relationships between duration of disability, job mismatch, wages and hours worked. The results indicate that workers with long durations of disability are employed in jobs that are a better match to their physical limitations than are similar workers with shorter durations of disability. And, workers who are mismatched earn lower wages and work fewer hours than their counterparts whose jobs are a better match. Overall, the findings suggest that disability employment policies should include systematic efforts to help workers with disabilities find good job matches. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1001-1015 Issue: 10 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1210767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1210767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:10:p:1001-1015 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seongjin Park Author-X-Name-First: Seongjin Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Chanjin Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chanjin Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Kellie Curry Raper Author-X-Name-First: Kellie Curry Author-X-Name-Last: Raper Title: Modelling upstream and downstream market power in bilateral oligopoly Abstract: This article develops a general model that estimates market power exertion in a bilateral market relationship for processors and retailers where each may also have market power in their primary input market and output markets, respectively. Monte Carlo experiments are used to generate industry data for market structures such as perfect competition, monopoly, monopsony, bilateral imperfect competition with an integrated processor/retailer, bilateral imperfect competition with separate processor and retailer, and bilateral imperfect competition with four adjacent upstream and downstream markets. Then, new empirical industrial organization models are estimated using the data with models that match the market structure under which the data were generated (true) and with models that reflect alternative market structures (alternative). The general model is derived using the production function approach without imposing the fixed proportion assumption. Monte Carlo simulation results indicate that the general model is preferred to alternative models that presume competitive behaviour by processors in primary input procurement and by retailers in the output market. Results indicate that less flexible models lead to biased market power estimates in the presence of market power in the corresponding input and output markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1016-1031 Issue: 10 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1210768 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1210768 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:10:p:1016-1031 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaolin Lu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolin Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Kun Guo Author-X-Name-First: Kun Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Zhi Dong Author-X-Name-First: Zhi Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Xuan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Financial development and relationship evolvement among money supply, economic growth and inflation: a comparative study from the U.S. and China Abstract: With the rapid development of financial markets, economic financialization degree can no longer be ignored for its influence on the relationship among money supply, economic growth and inflation. Combined with the horizontal comparison of China, this article concentrates on the financial development and evolution from the period of industrialization to economic financialization in the U.S., systematic and comprehensive analysis is first done on the variation of overall economic operation. Then impulse response function based on VAR model is applied to study the dynamic influence of economic financialization degree on the relationship evolvement. The empirical results show that economic financialization makes good explanation of the deviating phenomenon among money supply, economic growth and inflation, and the interactive relationship between fictitious economy and real economy is becoming closer and closer. Furthermore, compared to the U.S., China still belongs to the process of transforming from the period of industrialization to economic financialization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1032-1045 Issue: 10 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1210776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1210776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:10:p:1032-1045 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins Author-X-Name-First: Jaqueline Terra Moura Author-X-Name-Last: Marins Author-Name: Gustavo Silva Araujo Author-X-Name-First: Gustavo Silva Author-X-Name-Last: Araujo Author-Name: José Valentim Machado Vicente Author-X-Name-First: José Valentim Machado Author-X-Name-Last: Vicente Title: Do central bank foreign exchange interventions affect market expectations? Abstract: The aim of this article is to study the impact of the Brazilian central bank swap interventions on the FX market from 2006 to 2013. In this period, these nontraditional interventions were the main FX instrument of the Brazilian Government. Since the central bank operates through a sequence of daily interventions in most of the period, we employ the event study method, which is appropriate to investigate cumulative impact of intervention episodes. We analyse the effects on the risk neutral distribution of BRL-USD exchange rate, which incorporates economic valuation besides the likelihoods. We investigate both changes in level and in the dynamics of the moments. Our tests indicate that interventions have little effects on the exchange rate distribution. We only find evidences of some impact on the dynamics of the mean, volatility and skewness over long horizons when the central bank takes short positions on the exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3017-3031 Issue: 31 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1248283 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1248283 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:31:p:3017-3031 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: James W. Saunoris Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Saunoris Title: The nexus of white collar crimes: shadow economy, corruption and uninsured motorists Abstract: This article empirically examines the nexus of three white collar crimes: shadow economy, corruption and uninsured motorists. Whereas the shadow economy–corruption linkage has been studied, the linkages with uninsured motorists have not been formally studied. Results, based on US data and accounting for possible bidirectional causalities, show complementarity between shadow economy and corruption and between uninsured motorists and the shadow economy. The magnitude of the impact of uninsured motorists on the shadow economy is greater than that of corruption. In other findings, shadow economy was lower in most prosperous states and in states that did not impose a sales tax. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3032-3044 Issue: 31 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1251570 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1251570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:31:p:3032-3044 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nolan Kopkin Author-X-Name-First: Nolan Author-X-Name-Last: Kopkin Title: Does racial prejudice affect black entrepreneurship?: evidence exploiting spatial differences in prejudicial attitudes Abstract: This article explores the relationship between racial prejudice towards blacks and the black-white self-employment rate gap and provides the first direct empirical evidence that racial prejudice negatively impacts black self-employment, particularly in high start-up cost industries. To perform this analysis, I construct a measure of prejudicial attitudes using responses from the General Social Survey and estimate the relationship between self-employment and this index using the American Community Survey. I find that an amount of prejudice equal to the difference in least and most prejudiced census divisions increases the black-white self-employment rate gap in high start-up cost industries by 10.4–16.8%, depending upon whether parental self-employment is controlled for, and represents the entire impact of racial prejudice on the black-white self-employment rate gap. Additionally, racial prejudice widens the black-white self-employment income gap by between 6.4% and 8.2% in my full specification, dependent upon how income is measured. Evidence indicates that racial prejudice is causing blacks difficulty in financing their businesses. The results presented are robust to various modelling and data assumptions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3045-3066 Issue: 31 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1254336 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1254336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:31:p:3045-3066 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kulabutr Komenkul Author-X-Name-First: Kulabutr Author-X-Name-Last: Komenkul Author-Name: Mohamed Sherif Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Sherif Author-Name: Bing Xu Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: IPOs’ signalling effects for speculative stock detection: evidence from the Stock Exchange of Thailand Abstract: Using a unique data set from the Thai stock market about the so-called, ‘Turnover List (TOL)’ of speculative stocks spanning the period 2004–2012, we investigate and provide new evidence on the relationship between IPOs’ pricing effects and subsequent classification as speculative investments. To be more specific, we examine the signalling effects for the detection of speculative stocks in relation to the degree of their prior IPOs underpricing. We also employ the market-feedback hypothesis to investigate this signalling process. Our results reveal a significant positive relationship between the magnitudes of the IPO underpricing and the probability of an IPO firm being classified officially as speculative on the TOL. Furthermore, we find that a 6-month abnormal return after going public increases the probability of speculative dealing in the IPOs. Next, we consider all listed firms in the Thai stock market and highlight the role of both abnormal return and trading volume in the transmission of probability for appearing on the TOL. In addition, we find that IPOs and non-dividend paying companies further increase the risk of being on the TOL. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3067-3085 Issue: 31 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1254338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1254338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:31:p:3067-3085 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wolfgang Maennig Author-X-Name-First: Wolfgang Author-X-Name-Last: Maennig Author-Name: Christopher Vierhaus Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Vierhaus Title: Winning the Olympic host city election: key success factors Abstract: This article examines 147 variables’ potential to discriminate successful from unsuccessful Olympic bids. Our stepwise, rank-ordered logistic regression model includes 10 determinants supporting the contention that economic, political and sports/Olympic factors are important for winning the host city election. IOC members favour cities if more than 2/3 of the population support the bid, but disfavour bidding cities of fewer than 2.5 million inhabitants and bids lacking a sufficient number of existing stadiums. Hosts are characterized by larger markets and higher medium-term growth economies. Olympic bids that follow a political liberalization are rewarded with additional votes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3086-3099 Issue: 31 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1254339 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1254339 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:31:p:3086-3099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Prabal K. De Author-X-Name-First: Prabal K. Author-X-Name-Last: De Author-Name: Priya Nagaraj Author-X-Name-First: Priya Author-X-Name-Last: Nagaraj Title: Effects of foreign equity participation on recipient firm exports Abstract: We offer new evidence on the role of foreign investment in domestic firms’ export decisions, both at intensive and extensive margins, using balance sheet data from a panel of manufacturing firms in India. In contrast to the existing literature, we analyse the effect of foreign investment at different levels, where the levels correspond to percentages of foreign equity. We use a selection procedure to control for the potential self-selection of firms into export participation. Though we do find that foreign investment increases a domestic firm’s likelihood to export, firms with majority foreign equity are found to serve domestic market more, once the self-selection is accounted for. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3100-3113 Issue: 31 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1254340 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1254340 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:31:p:3100-3113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anh Tuan Bui Author-X-Name-First: Anh Tuan Author-X-Name-Last: Bui Author-Name: Cuong Viet Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Cuong Viet Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Thu Phuong Pham Author-X-Name-First: Thu Phuong Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Title: Poverty among ethnic minorities: the transition process, inequality and economic growth Abstract: This article investigates the process of reducing poverty in ethnic minority households. Using two recent Vietnam household surveys, we find that ethnic minority households are more likely to be persistently poor and less likely to be persistently non-poor than ethnic majority households. The within-group component generated by the variation in income within each ethnicity group explains more than 90% of the change in total inequality. Income redistribution plays an important role in decreasing the poverty gap and decreasing poverty severity. Different ethnic groups have different poverty patterns, which should be noted when designing policies to alleviate poverty and inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3114-3128 Issue: 31 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1254341 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1254341 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:31:p:3114-3128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Libo Yin Author-X-Name-First: Libo Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Xiyuan Ma Author-X-Name-First: Xiyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Oil shocks and stock volatility: new evidence via a Bayesian, graph-based VAR approach Abstract: This article examines the temporal dependence between three oil shocks and realized volatility in the stock markets of G20 countries between 1994 and 2019. By applying a novel, graphical, Bayesian VAR (BGVAR) model, we calculate unidirectional linkages of oil and stock volatility with a full and segmented sample. The results suggest an overall causality from stock volatility to oil shocks. For certain short, specific periods, the causal direction reverses. Depending on the country and the source of an oil shock, the magnitude and type of the effect can vary considerably. Specific oil-market shocks occur most often in our full sample. In a time-varying structure, oil supply shocks’ impact on stock volatility is more prominent, and net oil-importing countries’ responses to these shocks are greater than for oil-exporting countries. In addition, we find that relationship dynamics can capture market information, such as global economic growth during the 2008–2009 financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1163-1180 Issue: 11 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659497 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659497 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:11:p:1163-1180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Author-Name: Adrian Licht Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Licht Title: Dynamic conditional score models: a review of their applications Abstract: In this paper, applications of dynamic conditional score (DCS) models are reviewed and those models are discussed in relation to classical time series models from the literature. DCS models are robust to outliers, which improves their statistical performance compared to classical models. Three applications are presented in order to compare the statistical performances of DCS and classical models in three very different contexts: (i) The QAR (quasi-autoregressive) plus Beta-t-EGARCH (exponential autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) model is presented, which is a score-driven expected return plus volatility model. This model is used for daily returns on the DAX (Deutscher Aktienindex) equity index for the period of January 1988 to December 2017. (ii) The score-driven local level and seasonality plus Beta-t-EGARCH model is presented, which is used for daily AFN/USD (Afghan Afghani/United States Dollar) currency exchange rates for the period of March 2007 to July 2017. (iii) The Seasonal-t-QVAR (quasi-vector autoregressive) model is presented, which is a score-driven multivariate dynamic model of location. For this model, monthly US inflation rate and US unemployment rate are used for the period of January 1948 to December 2017. For all applications, the statistical performance of each DCS model is superior to that of a corresponding classical alternative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1181-1199 Issue: 11 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659498 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659498 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:11:p:1181-1199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bo Wang Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Haoran Li Author-X-Name-First: Haoran Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The time-varying characteristics of the Chinese financial cycle and impact from the United States Abstract: Although there have been many empirical studies about the financial cycle since the financial crisis of 2008, few have analysed the structural changes in the Chinese financial cycle over time. The Chinese financial development process is short, and it is difficult to obtain accurate results on the measurement of the financial cycle. Based on wavelet analysis, this paper analyzes the time-varying characteristics of the Chinese financial cycle and the relationship between the financial and business cycles. In addition, we measure the impact from the United States. This paper draws three conclusions. Firstly, in terms of the characteristics of cycles, the existence of Chinese business cycle and financial cycle is proved, while the credit cycle, leverage cycle, stock market cycle and property cycle are quite different. Specifically, China has a 5.8-year credit cycle, an 8-year stock market cycle, 3.4-year and 12-year business cycles and a 15-year leverage cycle. Secondly, the financial cycles can serve as leading indicators of the business cycle, though the relationships between them are change overtime. Finally, the United States has a significant impact on the Chinese financial cycle with a ‘decoupling-recoupling’ effect, which is mainly reflected in the leverage cycle and the stock market cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1200-1218 Issue: 11 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659500 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659500 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:11:p:1200-1218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liu Haiyue Author-X-Name-First: Liu Author-X-Name-Last: Haiyue Author-Name: Aqsa Manzoor Author-X-Name-First: Aqsa Author-X-Name-Last: Manzoor Title: The impact of OFDI on the performance of Chinese firms along the ‘Belt and Road’ Abstract: Using feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) and ordinary least square (OLS) estimations on a dataset of 1208 outward Foreign Direct Investment (OFDI) events by Chinese-listed firms from 2004 to 2015, this paper investigated the impact of OFDI on the performance of Chinese firms, from which it was found that Chinese firms that had invested in Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries were more productive than those that had invested in non-BRI countries. However, OFDI by both state-owned enterprises (SOE) and non-SOE were on average found to be negatively related to productivity and profitability, with state-owned enterprises (SOEs) having worse performance in terms of total factor productivity (TFP) than non-SOEs. A further subsample analysis found that Chinese firms that were investing in developing economies were performing better than those that had invested in developed ones; firms investing in sub-regions like Middle East and South Africa, East Asia and the Pacific, Latin America and the Caribbean experienced a positive post-OFDI TFP but investment in other regions had either insignificant or negatively significant coefficients, indicating that firms in general had poor post-OFDI performances. The findings in this paper are informative for developing going-global strategies for both firms and government authorities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1219-1239 Issue: 11 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659501 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659501 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:11:p:1219-1239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manthos D. Delis Author-X-Name-First: Manthos D. Author-X-Name-Last: Delis Author-Name: Iftekhar Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Iftekhar Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Author-Name: Nikolaos Mylonidis Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Mylonidis Title: Foreign bank ownership and income inequality: empirical evidence Abstract: Using country-level panel data over 1995–2013 on within-country income inequality and foreign bank presence, this paper establishes a positive relation between the two, running from higher foreign bank presence to income inequality. Given that foreign bank participation increased by 62% over the period 1995 to 2013, our baseline results imply a 5.8% increase in the Gini coefficient on average over this period, ceteris paribus. These results are robust to the inclusion of country and year fixed effects and to the use of restrictions on foreign bank entry in the host countries as an instrumental variable. We show that this positive effect is channelled through the lack of greenfield entry and the associated lower levels of competition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1240-1258 Issue: 11 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659931 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:11:p:1240-1258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Goblan Al Gahtani Author-X-Name-First: Goblan Author-X-Name-Last: Al Gahtani Author-Name: Carlo Andrea Bollino Author-X-Name-First: Carlo Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Bollino Author-Name: Simona Bigerna Author-X-Name-First: Simona Author-X-Name-Last: Bigerna Author-Name: Axel Pierru Author-X-Name-First: Axel Author-X-Name-Last: Pierru Title: Estimating the household consumption function in Saudi Arabia: an error correction approach Abstract: We estimate a micro-founded life-cycle consumption model for Saudi Arabia over the period 1970–2017 using error correction model procedures. Dynamic adjustments are significant, and both income and wealth are found to have significant effects, with a long-run marginal propensity to consume out of the income of 0.95 and out of the wealth of 0.06. The sensitivity of consumption to income and wealth, as well as the estimated short-term effects of price and real interest rate, are consistent with the rapidly growing Saudi economy. By capturing the key determinants of the life-cycle model, our approach is useful for the design of macroeconomic policy. We estimate the impact of the recent VAT reform. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1259-1271 Issue: 11 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659933 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659933 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:11:p:1259-1271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Billio Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Billio Author-Name: M. Donadelli Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Donadelli Author-Name: G. Livieri Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Livieri Author-Name: A. Paradiso Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Paradiso Title: On the role of domestic and international financial cyclical factors in driving economic growth Abstract: We investigate the effects of (domestic and international) financial cyclical factors on the US business cycle over the period 1890–2013 using an augmented stochastic version of the neoclassical growth model. In our setting, financial factors enter as determinants of the total factor productivity cyclical pattern. By means of static and dynamic estimations we find that (i) the inclusion of financial cyclical factors improves the model’s performance; (ii) the sensitivity of economic growth to financial factors is time-varying; (iii) domestic financial factors have a key role in explaining short-run output fluctuations only in the first half of the 20th century; (iv) US business cycle fluctuations have been mainly driven by global financial factors (i.e., financial integration) over the last three decades.JEL CODES: O40, E32, C32 Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1272-1297 Issue: 11 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659934 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:11:p:1272-1297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sebastian Gechert Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Gechert Author-Name: Rafael Mentges Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Mentges Title: Financial cycles and fiscal multipliers Abstract: We show that fiscal multiplier estimations may be biased by movements in asset and credit markets, as they facilitate spurious correlations of changes in cyclically adjusted revenues and spending with output growth via an identification bias and an omitted variable bias, thus overstating episodes of expansionary consolidations and downplaying contractionary consolidations. When controlling for asset and credit market movements in otherwise standard approaches to identification, we find multipliers to increase on average by 0.3–1 units. Fiscal consolidations are thus more likely to be contractionary and more harmful to growth than expected by some strands of the existing literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2635-2651 Issue: 24 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1403563 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1403563 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:24:p:2635-2651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Carlsson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Carlsson Author-Name: Luca Fumarco Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Fumarco Author-Name: Dan-Olof Rooth Author-X-Name-First: Dan-Olof Author-X-Name-Last: Rooth Title: Ethnic discrimination in hiring, labour market tightness and the business cycle - evidence from field experiments Abstract: Several studies using observational data suggest that ethnic discrimination increases in downturns of the economy. We investigate whether ethnic discrimination depends on labour market tightness using data from correspondence studies. We utilize three correspondence studies of the Swedish labour market and two different measures of labour market tightness. These two measures produce qualitatively similar results, and, opposite to the observational studies, suggest that ethnic discrimination in hiring decreases in downturns of the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2652-2663 Issue: 24 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1406653 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1406653 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:24:p:2652-2663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Long Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Long Title: Does longer incarceration deter or incapacitate crime? Evidence from Truth-in-Sentencing reform Abstract: This article evaluates how Truth-in-Sentencing (TIS) laws impact both violent and property crimes through mandating violent offenders to serve a substantial proportion of sentenced terms before being eligible to release to community supervision. Focusing on states with effective TIS laws, I utilize the difference-in-differences design to investigate the treatment effect of TIS on crime. I observe statistically significant decline in both violent and property crimes in TIS states. A series of placebo tests confirm the robustness of the estimates and inferences. The dynamic impact of TIS is heterogeneous among the seven categories of violent and property crimes in TIS states: murder and robbery rates decline almost immediately after TIS, while property crime takes longer time to exhibit significant decline. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2664-2676 Issue: 24 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1406654 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1406654 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:24:p:2664-2676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Shahbaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Shahbaz Author-Name: Román Ferrer Author-X-Name-First: Román Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrer Author-Name: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Syed Jawad Hussain Author-X-Name-Last: Shahzad Author-Name: Ilham Haouas Author-X-Name-First: Ilham Author-X-Name-Last: Haouas Title: Is the tourism–economic growth nexus time-varying? Bootstrap rolling-window causality analysis for the top 10 tourist destinations Abstract: This article explores the time-varying causal nexus between tourism development and economic growth for the top 10 tourist destinations in the world, namely China, France, Germany, Italy, Mexico, the Russian Federation, Spain, Turkey, the UK and the United States of America, over the period 1990–2015. To that end, a bootstrap rolling window Granger causality approach based on the modified Granger causality test is used. A new index for tourism activity which combines via principal component analysis the commonly used tourism indicators is also employed. The results of the bootstrap rolling window causality tests reveal that the causal relations between tourism and economic growth vary substantially over time and across countries in terms of both magnitude and direction. It is shown that the causal linkages tend to be more pronounced for a large group of countries following the global financial crisis of 2008. Additionally, Germany, France and China clearly stand out as the countries with the weakest causal nexus, while the UK, Italy and Mexico emerge as the countries that have the strongest causal links. These results have particularly important implications for policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2677-2697 Issue: 24 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1406655 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1406655 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:24:p:2677-2697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura M. Crispin Author-X-Name-First: Laura M. Author-X-Name-Last: Crispin Author-Name: Dimitrios Nikolaou Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolaou Title: Work and play take school time away? The impact of extracurricular and work time on educational time for live-at-home college students Abstract: We use data from the 2003–2014 American Time Use Survey to estimate the effects of time allocated to work and extracurriculars on time spent in educational activities (class and homework) for live-at-home college students, who make up a large share of the college population. Our instrumental variables strategy indicates that students are more likely to substitute time away from homework than from class, and that the effects are generally stronger for work than for extracurriculars. These findings, which remain even after correcting for selection on unobservables through non-parametric matching methods, show that work leads to decreases in the amount of time spent in class by 47 min and on homework by 56 min, whereas extracurriculars lead to a loss of 22 min of homework time. Thus, while after-school activities (extracurriculars and work) may be beneficial with respect to human capital development, they may also have a counteracting, unintended effect due to students’ substitution away from educational pursuits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2698-2718 Issue: 24 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1406656 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1406656 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:24:p:2698-2718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Markum Reed Author-X-Name-First: Markum Author-X-Name-Last: Reed Author-Name: Alison Watts Author-X-Name-First: Alison Author-X-Name-Last: Watts Title: Product quality and competition: evidence from the broadband industry Abstract: Access to high-quality broadband internet is important in many different respects such as in communication, education, commerce and information acquisition. We investigate the relationship between the number of broadband providers in an area and the quality of broadband service provided where download speed is used as a proxy for quality. We find that increased competition in an area positively affects the access to fast download speeds. This finding is robust to three different top download speeds tested. Additionally, a theoretical model is provided which shows that competition can decrease the profits associated with offering slow speeds; this gives an incentive for providers to offer higher speeds as a way to increase profits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2719-2732 Issue: 24 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1406657 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1406657 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:24:p:2719-2732 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lara Gardner Author-X-Name-First: Lara Author-X-Name-Last: Gardner Author-Name: Sharmila Vishwasrao Author-X-Name-First: Sharmila Author-X-Name-Last: Vishwasrao Title: Physicians’ use of medical technology: an analysis of the introduction and subsequent failure of drug-eluting stents Abstract: Using data on cardiac patients in Florida hospitals from 2003 to 2007, we analyse the adoption and deadoption of a major new medical technology, drug-eluting stents (DESs). The Food and Drug Administration approved DESs in April 2003 and physicians rapidly adopted the new technology. In March 2006, a presentation was made at the American Cardiology Conference which showed that patients receiving DES in real-world settings suffered higher rates of mortality and myocardial infarction than those receiving stents without drugs. We examine the utilization of DES from April 2003 to the end of 2007. Using a hospital fixed-effects model, we find that board-certified and top-trained physicians were initially quicker to adopt DES. Over time, this effect dissipated and top-trained physicians were less likely to use DES by the time new clinical trials indicated they could be problematic. After the news, board-certified and top-ranked physicians were less likely to change their behaviour. Physicians’ own experience also contributes to the use of technology and the effects are stronger for non-board-certified physicians. We conclude that even within hospitals, physician training and experience play an important role in explaining differences in rates of technology use. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2733-2745 Issue: 24 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1406658 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1406658 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:24:p:2733-2745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stelios Bekiros Author-X-Name-First: Stelios Author-X-Name-Last: Bekiros Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Author-Name: Rania Jammazi Author-X-Name-First: Rania Author-X-Name-Last: Jammazi Author-Name: Duc Khuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc Khuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Sovereign bond market dependencies and crisis transmission around the eurozone debt crisis: a dynamic copula approach Abstract: We examine the dependency between the European government bond markets around the recent sovereign debt crisis. A dynamic copula approach is used to model the time-varying dependence structure of those government bond markets, evaluate the nature and strength of their dependencies over time, and gauge the transmission of the crisis shocks. Our results can be summarized as follows: i) the eurozone sovereign bond markets under consideration have a significant and positive dependence with the Greek and the EMU benchmark sovereign bond markets; ii) the dynamic-BB7 copula function best describes the dependence structure between these sovereign bond markets and provides evidence of asymmetric tail dependence; iii) the conditional probability of crisis transmission from Greece to other eurozone countries is higher than the other way around; and iv) Greece is the most vulnerable country when the eurozone entered into the sovereign debt crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5031-5049 Issue: 47 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1470313 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1470313 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:47:p:5031-5049 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Santín Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Santín Author-Name: Gabriela Sicilia Author-X-Name-First: Gabriela Author-X-Name-Last: Sicilia Title: Does preschool education attendance matter? Evidence from a natural experiment in Spain Abstract: The non-compulsory and non-free of charge character of preschool education level before 3 years old in Spain raises some doubts about the exogenous nature of this variable. This article provides new evidence about the impact of preschool years on educational outcomes by exploiting a peculiar Spanish database that supplies information on two classrooms at fourth grade in primary schools where students were randomly allocated into each group. Using an identification strategy that reproduces a natural experiment, we find that belonging to the group with more average years of preschool education significantly and positively impacts on fourth-grade students’ average outcomes. Particularly, an increase of one standard deviation in the difference in years of preschool attendance results in an increase of 0.16 (0.13) standard deviations in the group achievement for mathematics (reading). In view of the importance of preschool education and considering that preschool attendance before 3 years old is related with socio-economic variables, we conclude that extending free preschool education to the 2-year-old age group in Spain should be considered especially for students in families with less favourable backgrounds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5050-5063 Issue: 47 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1470314 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1470314 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:47:p:5050-5063 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petr Parshakov Author-X-Name-First: Petr Author-X-Name-Last: Parshakov Author-Name: Dennis Coates Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Coates Author-Name: Marina Zavertiaeva Author-X-Name-First: Marina Author-X-Name-Last: Zavertiaeva Title: Is diversity good or bad? Evidence from eSports teams analysis Abstract: We use eSports data to construct an empirical model to measure the effect of diversity on team performance. Different kinds of diversities are considered, diversity of culture, diversity of language and diversity of skill. Our main results are that cultural diversity is beneficial for team performance: the absence of diversity reduces performance by 30%. However, language and experience diversity negatively affect results. Taking the difference in the results into account, we conclude that firms should not thoughtlessly maximize team diversity: different kinds of diversity have different integration and communication costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5064-5075 Issue: 47 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1470315 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1470315 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:47:p:5064-5075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Farid Khan Author-X-Name-First: Farid Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Author-Name: Kai Sun Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Does R&D spur productivity growth in Australia’s broadacre agriculture? A semi-parametric smooth coefficient approach Abstract: This article analyses the role of research and development (R&D) in Australia’s broadacre farming by using the semi-parametric smooth coefficient model. While the conventional production function approach only captures the direct effects of R&D, this methodology captures both the direct impact of a change in R&D on output and the indirect impact through changes in efficiency of use of factor inputs in the production process. Moreover, technical inefficiency is introduced in the model allowing it as a function of R&D. Using a unique state-level dataset covering the period 1995–2007, this empirical study finds that once both the direct and indirect effects are taken into consideration, R&D investments significantly increase outputs. The results also show that there are substantial variations in the effects of R&D on output across the state-level average farm through technology parameters as well as through technical inefficiency. Such variations need to be taken into account when designing policies for investing public R&D in agriculture. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5076-5093 Issue: 47 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1470316 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1470316 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:47:p:5076-5093 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Osama Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Osama Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: Vertical price transmission in the Egyptian tomato sector after the Arab Spring Abstract: This study assesses price transmission along the Egyptian tomato food marketing chain in the period that followed the Arab Spring, which accentuated economic precariousness in Egypt. Static and time-varying copula methods are used for this purpose. Results suggest a positive link between producer, wholesaler and retailer tomato prices. Such positive dependence is characterized by asymmetries during extreme market events that lead price increases to be transferred more completely along the supply chain than price declines. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5094-5109 Issue: 47 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1472739 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1472739 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:47:p:5094-5109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Bazen Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Bazen Author-Name: Jean-Marie Cardebat Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Marie Author-X-Name-Last: Cardebat Title: Forecasting Bordeaux wine prices using state-space methods Abstract: Generic Bordeaux red wine (basic claret) can be regarded as being similar to an agricultural commodity. Production volumes are substantial, they are traded at high frequency and the quality of the product is relatively homogeneous. Unlike other commodities and the top-end wines (which represent only 3% of the traded volume), there is no futures market for generic Bordeaux wine. Reliable forecasts of prices can to large extent replace this information deficiency and improve the functioning of the market. We use state-space methods with monthly data to obtain a univariate forecasting model for the average price. The estimates highlight the stochastic trend and the seasonality present in the evolution of the price over the period 1999 to 2016. The model predicts the path of wine prices out of sample reasonably well, suggesting that this approach is useful for making reasonably accurate forecasts of future price movements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5110-5121 Issue: 47 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1472740 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1472740 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:47:p:5110-5121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shuddhasattwa Rafiq Author-X-Name-First: Shuddhasattwa Author-X-Name-Last: Rafiq Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Author-Name: Pasquale M Sgro Author-X-Name-First: Pasquale M Author-X-Name-Last: Sgro Title: Energy, unemployment and trade Abstract: This article investigates the dynamic relationships among sectoral economic activities, macro expenditure patterns, renewable and non-renewable energy consumption and unemployment in 41 countries from 1980 to 2014. The state of the art econometric techniques, both linear and non-linear panel and time series estimation techniques are used. The results show that industrialization, services sector, government expenditure and trade openness play a positive role in reducing unemployment, while agriculture and renewable energy consumption increase unemployment. This might be, in part, due to recent technological advancements and large capital intensive investments in agriculture and renewable energy sectors. Therefore, dedicated social and labour market policies need to be adopted to complement greening economic policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5122-5134 Issue: 47 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1472741 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1472741 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:47:p:5122-5134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emilio Colombo Author-X-Name-First: Emilio Author-X-Name-Last: Colombo Author-Name: Valentina Rotondi Author-X-Name-First: Valentina Author-X-Name-Last: Rotondi Author-Name: Luca Stanca Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Stanca Title: Macroeconomic conditions and well-being: do social interactions matter? Abstract: We investigate the role played by social interactions in the transmission of the effects of macroeconomic conditions on well-being. Using survey data for a representative sample of Italian individuals, we find that social interactions play a dual role. On the one hand, the well-being of people who spend more time with their friends or go out more often is less sensitive to macroeconomic fluctuations. On the other hand, social interactions are negatively affected by worsening macroeconomic conditions, thus playing a relevant role in the transmission of macroeconomic shocks to subjective well-being. More specifically, the negative impact of downturns on the frequency of going out and active participation in associations significantly contributes to the adverse effects of recessions on satisfaction with life and with individual life domains. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3029-3038 Issue: 28 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1414935 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1414935 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:28:p:3029-3038 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bo Chen Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Sayed Saghaian Author-X-Name-First: Sayed Author-X-Name-Last: Saghaian Author-Name: Yuqing Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yuqing Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Organic labelling, private label, and U.S. household demand for fluid milk Abstract: The U.S. fluid milk market has been experiencing two trends in the recent decade: the fast growth of private label milk and organic milk. Using the data from Nielsen Homescan Panel, we estimate a censored demand system to study the demand relations among types of milk differentiated by brand types and organic status. We find that sociodemographic factors still play important roles in household choice of milk types, and fluid milk, as a whole, is an inferior good. Moreover, as income increases, households are more likely to shift from buying conventional milk to organic milk and from private label conventional milk to branded conventional milk, as indicated by the asymmetric cross price elasticities. Corresponding implications for milk producers and marketers are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3039-3050 Issue: 28 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1414936 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1414936 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:28:p:3039-3050 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giorgia Giovannetti Author-X-Name-First: Giorgia Author-X-Name-Last: Giovannetti Author-Name: Marco Sanfilippo Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Sanfilippo Author-Name: Margherita Velucchi Author-X-Name-First: Margherita Author-X-Name-Last: Velucchi Title: Diverse twins: analysing China’s impact on Italian and German exports using a multilevel quantile regressions approach Abstract: Germany and Italy are the largest manufacturing producers in Europe and export over 70% of their products to OECD countries. While they share many characteristics, they are also diverse in term of specialization and destination markets. Italy has a productive structure largely based on labour intensive sectors, while Germany is mainly specialized in high-tech goods. We study whether these characteristics make the two countries vulnerable in different ways to the competitive pressure by emerging economies, especially China, which experienced the strongest increase in export market share during the last decades. We discuss the impact of China on the export performance of Italy and Germany on OECD markets. Using data for the period 1995–2009, we implement a novel model to account for two important data characteristics: their hierarchical hidden structure (captured by a multilevel model) and the heterogeneity of the export shares (captured by a quantile approach). Results show that Chinese competition on Italy’s and Germany’s market shares differ by sectors, but, on average, Italy is not more vulnerable than Germany. These results are relevant for policy implications and for an ex-post analysis of the ‘best response’ to the Chinese competition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3051-3065 Issue: 28 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1414937 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1414937 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:28:p:3051-3065 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christer Thrane Author-X-Name-First: Christer Author-X-Name-Last: Thrane Title: Do expert reviews affect the decision to see motion pictures in movie theatres? An experimental approach Abstract: The positive correlation between favourable expert reviews and the economic success of motion pictures suggests that potential moviegoers are encouraged to see a particular movie by the good reviews it has received. Yet experimental evidence on actual consumers is mixed as to whether or not this is the case. Against this background, we examine the relationship between movie critics’ reviews and the decision to see motion pictures in movie theatres. Based on an experimental approach using four treatments – no review, a poor/OK minus review, an OK/OK plus review and a very good review – movie-seeing decisions for seven movie genres are examined. What we find is at odds with experimental studies, yielding as they do mixed results for the association between favourable reviews and movie preference. Seemingly unrelated regressions consistently show that the better the expert review of a movie, the more likely it is that people will see it. Yet the magnitude of the effects of expert reviews appears both somewhat genre specific and gender specific. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3066-3075 Issue: 28 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1414938 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1414938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:28:p:3066-3075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dragan Miljkovic Author-X-Name-First: Dragan Author-X-Name-Last: Miljkovic Author-Name: Silvia H. G. de Miranda Author-X-Name-First: Silvia H. G. Author-X-Name-Last: de Miranda Author-Name: Ana L. Kassouf Author-X-Name-First: Ana L. Author-X-Name-Last: Kassouf Author-Name: Fabíola C. R. Oliveira Author-X-Name-First: Fabíola C. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Oliveira Title: Determinants of obesity in Brazil: the effects of trade liberalization and socio-economic variables Abstract: This article aims to evaluate a possible relation between increased Brazilian trade openness and increasing observed rates of overweight and obesity during the last 25 years. We develop an economic model where formal trade barriers are eliminated, and resulting sociocultural outcomes such as the adoption of westernized lifestyle in traditional non-western countries prevails, which could imply a health externality. In order to empirically analyse the influence of trade flows on overweight and obesity in Brazil, a balanced fixed-effects panel model has been estimated. Data for the 26 Brazilian states plus the Federal District are run for 1988/1989, 2002 and 2008. We found that an increase in trade openness leads to an increase in overweight and obesity ratios in Brazil. Hence results seem to point that there is a health externality in Brazil due to trade liberalization. However, more consistent evidence may be necessary to convince politicians and policymakers that any interference will be necessary to correct this externality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3076-3088 Issue: 28 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1414939 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1414939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:28:p:3076-3088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian Chadi Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Chadi Author-Name: Marco de Pinto Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: de Pinto Title: Selecting successful students? Undergraduate grades as an admission criterion Abstract: In Europe’s reformed education system, universities may be forced by law to consider undergraduate grade point average (UGPA) as the primary admission criterion in the selection of graduate students. In this article, we investigate whether UGPA predicts graduate student performance in order to discuss its usefulness as an admission criterion. In our theoretical framework, we show that undergraduate students may choose slower study progress in favour of receiving higher grades and conclude that UGPA is a relatively good (weak) predictor for graduate grade point average (study progress). Having data from a cohort of students whose selection was in clear conflict with the legal requirement, we empirically confirm our theoretical predictions by exploiting a unique opportunity for assessing educational policies. Discussion of our findings leads to some important conclusions concerning the Bologna reforms and the lawmakers’ idea of giving some independence to universities, but not too much of it. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3089-3105 Issue: 28 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1418072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1418072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:28:p:3089-3105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. A. Razzak Author-X-Name-First: W. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Razzak Author-Name: Imad A. Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Monetary policy, corporate profit and house prices Abstract: By using portfolio theory, we explain the highly observed correlation between the seemingly unrelated corporate profit and house prices in the United States. We test the predictions of the underlying model using a vector autoregression representation and find the data to be supportive of the theory. Monetary impulses explain high correlation as both corporate profit and house prices exhibit similar dynamics in response to a monetary impulse. Robustness checks are presented by using the federal funds rate instead of the monetary base as a measure of the stance of monetary policy and by using other model variations. In all cases, the results are robust. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3106-3114 Issue: 28 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1418073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1418073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:28:p:3106-3114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pamela Wicker Author-X-Name-First: Pamela Author-X-Name-Last: Wicker Author-Name: John C. Whitehead Author-X-Name-First: John C. Author-X-Name-Last: Whitehead Author-Name: Bruce K. Johnson Author-X-Name-First: Bruce K. Author-X-Name-Last: Johnson Author-Name: Daniel S. Mason Author-X-Name-First: Daniel S. Author-X-Name-Last: Mason Title: The effect of sporting success and management failure on attendance demand in the Bundesliga: a revealed and stated preference travel cost approach Abstract: This study examines the private consumption benefits of sports attendance using revealed and stated preference data from 28 Football Bundesliga teams across three divisions. Survey respondents were presented with positive (sporting success) and negative (management failure) scenarios and asked for the number of game trips if each scenario occurred. The results of a pooled random effects Poisson model show that travel costs and ticket price have a significant negative effect on the number of home game trips. The weighted consumer surplus per game trip including travel costs and ticket prices is €345. Consumer surplus per game trip was found to change by €41 (first division) and €98 (second and third division) if the positive scenario occurred and by €39 if the negative scenario occurred. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5287-5295 Issue: 52 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1305090 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1305090 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:52:p:5287-5295 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiao Ze-Lei Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Ze-Lei Author-Name: Du Xin-ya Author-X-Name-First: Du Author-X-Name-Last: Xin-ya Author-Name: Fan Fei Author-X-Name-First: Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Fei Title: Convergence in China’s high-tech industry development performance: a spatial panel model Abstract: At present, there exist both regional-scale and regional performance differences in China’s high-tech industry development. Performance differences will inevitably affect resource allocation in regional high-tech industry and in the upgrading of industrial structure. Thus, this article conducts a systematic study of convergence issues in China’s high-tech industry development performance by adopting the spatial panel econometric method and related approaches.First, to measure the comprehensive performance of China’s high-tech industry development, the study applies the Malmquist index and efficacy coefficient method from the perspective of R&D efficiency and economic efficiency; then, by adopting a spatial autoregressive (SAR) panel data model, it studies the absolute $$\beta $$β convergence and convergence mechanism of China’s provincial high-tech industry development performance from 2001 to 2013. The results indicate the existence of distinct absolute $$\beta $$β convergence in China’s high-tech industry development performance since the 21st century, which is mainly due to technology diffusion. The convergence rate of central China is notably faster than that of other regions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5296-5308 Issue: 52 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1305091 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1305091 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:52:p:5296-5308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Colin O’hare Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: O’hare Author-Name: Youwei Li Author-X-Name-First: Youwei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Models of mortality rates – analysing the residuals Abstract: The area of mortality modelling has received significant attention over the last 25 years owing to the need to quantify and forecast improving mortality rates. This need is driven primarily by the concern of governments, insurance and actuarial professionals and individuals to be able to fund their old age. In particular, to quantify the costs of increasing longevity we need suitable model of mortality rates that capture the dynamics of the data and forecast them with sufficient accuracy to make them useful. In this article, we test several of the leading time series models by considering the fitting quality and in particular, testing the residuals of those models for normality properties. In a wide ranging study considering 30 countries we find that almost exclusively the residuals do not demonstrate normality. Further, in Hurst tests of the residuals we find evidence that structure remains that is not captured by the models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5309-5323 Issue: 52 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1305092 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1305092 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:52:p:5309-5323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aylin Ege Author-X-Name-First: Aylin Author-X-Name-Last: Ege Author-Name: A. Yavuz Ege Author-X-Name-First: A. Yavuz Author-X-Name-Last: Ege Title: Is there an innovation effect on current account? A case for European countries Abstract: The aim of this article is to find out whether there is an innovation effect on the current account, and if there is one then to determine its significance. The study is carried out for the current accounts of European countries. Innovation is tested together with some other factors as control variables in order to estimate and compare its role in the determination process of the current account. The results indicate that innovation has quite a significant influence on the current accounts of European countries, and the form of the relationship between innovation and current account is non-linear. Moreover, the impact of innovation is stronger for countries at higher levels of innovation, but the growth rate of its average marginal effect diminishes through its increasing levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5324-5336 Issue: 52 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1305093 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1305093 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:52:p:5324-5336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Shahbaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Shahbaz Author-Name: Mita Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Mita Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: Mantu Kumar Mahalik Author-X-Name-First: Mantu Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mahalik Title: Finance and income inequality in Kazakhstan: evidence since transition with policy suggestions Abstract: Kazakhstan gained independence in 1990 and has undergone significant changes in economic, social and trade conditions since then. We analyse the effects of financial development on income inequality in Kazakhstan, incorporating economic growth, foreign investment, education and the role of democracy as the drivers. We establish that income inequality in Kazakhstan is impaired by financial development. In summary, we send three messages for policy purposes. First, strengthening financial sector is necessary to close the gap between ‘haves and have-nots’. Second, attracting FDI beyond the hydrocarbon sector is necessary to alleviate inequality. Finally, adaptation of education system to the new social and economic environment would help in improving income distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5337-5351 Issue: 52 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1305095 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1305095 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:52:p:5337-5351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Krauss Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Krauss Author-Name: Johannes Stübinger Author-X-Name-First: Johannes Author-X-Name-Last: Stübinger Title: Non-linear dependence modelling with bivariate copulas: statistical arbitrage pairs trading on the S&P 100 Abstract: We develop a copula-based pairs trading framework and apply it to the S&P 100 index constituents from 1990 to 2014. We propose an integrated approach, relying on copulas for pairs selection and trading. Essentially, we fit t-copulas to all possible combinations of pairs in a formation period. Next, we trade these pairs in-sample to assess the profitability of mispricing signals derived from t-copulas. The top pairs are transferred to an out-of-sample trading period, and traded with individualized exit thresholds. In particular, we differentiate between pairs exhibiting mean-reversion and momentum effects and apply idiosyncratic take-profit and stop-loss rules. For the top 5 mean-reversion pairs, we find out-of-sample returns of 7.98% per year; the top 5 momentum pairs yield 7.22% per year. Standard deviations are low, leading to annualized Sharpe ratios of 1.52 (top 5 mean-reversion) and 1.33 (top 5 momentum), respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5352-5369 Issue: 52 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1305097 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1305097 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:52:p:5352-5369 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huanan Xu Author-X-Name-First: Huanan Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Kenneth A. Couch Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth A. Author-X-Name-Last: Couch Title: The business cycle, labor market transitions by age, and the great recession Abstract: Using matched monthly CPS data, this article studies differences in labour force transitions across age groups focusing on periods prior to and after the start of the Great Recession. Monthly transitions between employment, unemployment, and nonparticipation of 25–55-year-old males are examined from 1996 through 2013. Prior to the Great Recession (1996–2007), younger groups of workers are more likely to move from employment to unemployment and face an increased risk beyond that of other workers of making this transition as the economy worsens; however, this differential responsiveness no longer appears after the start of the Great Recession. Before and after the start of the Great Recession, younger groups of workers are more likely to move from unemployment to employment; however, there is no extra responsiveness among younger workers to the business cycle. Transitions into and out of the labour force nuance these findings; however, there is no evidence of differential responsiveness among younger workers since the start of the Great Recession. These findings challenge interpretation of the movements of unemployment rates by age group over the business cycle as being driven by differential hiring and firing particularly since the start of the Great Recession. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5370-5396 Issue: 52 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1307932 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1307932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:52:p:5370-5396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Soosung Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Soosung Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Youngha Cho Author-X-Name-First: Youngha Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Jinho Shin Author-X-Name-First: Jinho Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Title: Does illiquidity matter in residential properties? Abstract: No, it does not, despite the general perception that illiquidity matters in real estate. As expected, our evidence shows that the illiquidity costs for the U.S. residential properties are large. The costs are equivalent to 12% of the total property returns on average, ranging from 9.5% to 29.5% of property prices depending on the illiquidity level and market conditions. However, when amortized by holding periods, monthly illiquidity costs are on average 0.08%, and illiquidity risk does not appear to be priced in residential properties; illiquid properties do not show higher returns than liquid properties. On the contrary, we find evidence of flight-to-quality in bull markets, that is, high-quality illiquid properties are preferred to low-quality liquid properties in buoyant markets. These results are in sharp contrast with those in equities and bonds where flight-to-liquidity has been reported when markets are in stress. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-20 Issue: 1 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1189506 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1189506 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:1:p:1-20 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Aniruddha Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Aniruddha Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Author-Name: Paul N. Rappoport Author-X-Name-First: Paul N. Author-X-Name-Last: Rappoport Author-Name: Hiroaki Suenaga Author-X-Name-First: Hiroaki Author-X-Name-Last: Suenaga Title: E-commerce transactions, the installed base of credit cards, and the potential mobile E-commerce adoption Abstract: Mobile e-commerce (m-commerce) relaxes consumers’ temporal and geographic purchasing constraints and encourage the establishment of omnichannel markets. It is often argued that rapid increase in smartphone penetration is the primary driver of m-commerce adoption, whereas others contend that early adoption of m-commerce applications are mostly by “relatively heavy” Internet commerce users. Brynjolfsson et al. (2013) argue that rapid increase in smartphone penetration is the primary driver of m-commerce adoption, whereas Einav et al. (2014) contend that early adoption of m-commerce applications are mostly by ‘relatively heavy’ Internet commerce users. This article explores strength of the influences within a nested multiple-service framework, where the reduced-form econometric analysis allows for interdependency between m-commerce and e-commerce services, and the installed base of credit cards. The results reveal a complex situation in which credit cards facilitate e-commerce services, whereas m-commerce adoptions are driven by prior e-commerce and online transaction activity. Also, higher respondent incomes are negatively associated with proposed m-commerce adoption. Surprisingly, privacy concerns do not affect proposed adoption independently; however, an interaction term suggests privacy remains an adoption barrier for the older persons. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 21-32 Issue: 1 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1189507 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1189507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:1:p:21-32 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Author-Name: Barry O’Mahony Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: O’Mahony Title: Asymmetric causality between Australian inbound and outbound tourism flows Abstract: We employ the asymmetric version of the Granger causality test to assess how Australian inbound and outbound tourism flows across 49 markets (countries) are driven by the sign-dependent variations in departure series or vice versa. A multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (MGARCH) model is also estimated to study the time-varying co-volatility between inbound and outbound tourism growth rates. We find that rising co-volatility spillovers between inbound and outbound tourism are statistically significant for a number of markets. The six markets that are most susceptible to global shocks are China, Hong Kong, Papua New Guinea, Singapore, South Africa and the United Kingdom. China is by far the largest of these markets and, except for the United Kingdom, both arrivals and departures for each of these countries represent growing markets for Australia. We present recommendations for policymakers and destination management organizations (DMOs) to assist in developing customized strategies targeting resilient inbound markets in order to optimize tourism performance and reduce potential losses in times of crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 33-50 Issue: 1 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1189508 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1189508 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:1:p:33-50 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew C. Chang Author-X-Name-First: Andrew C. Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Banking consolidation and small firm financing for research and development Abstract: This article examines the effect of increased market concentration of the banking industry caused by the Riegle–Neal Interstate Banking and Branching Efficiency Act (IBBEA) on the availability of finance for small firms engaged in research and development (R&D). I measure the financing decisions of these small firms using a balanced panel of Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) applications. Using difference-in-differences, I find IBBEA decreased the supply of finance for small R&D firms. This effect is larger for late adopters of IBBEA, which tended to be states with stronger small banking sectors pre-IBBEA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 51-65 Issue: 1 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1192271 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1192271 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:1:p:51-65 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Serhat Asci Author-X-Name-First: Serhat Author-X-Name-Last: Asci Author-Name: Tatiana Borisova Author-X-Name-First: Tatiana Author-X-Name-Last: Borisova Author-Name: Michael Dukes Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dukes Title: Are price strategies effective in managing demand of high residential water users? Abstract: Encouraging water use efficiency and water conservation is one of the primary goals of water utility companies nationwide. This study estimates price elasticity of residential water demand to measure the responsiveness of water use to price changes, particularly for high water users. Household-level water use data for high residential water users from Central Florida were analysed using 3-stage least square (3SLS). Estimated price elasticity ranges between −0.07 and −0.14. This price elasticity estimate is below most of the estimates reported in the literature (in absolute value). The results imply that for price strategies to be effective in managing water demand of high residential water users, a significant price increase would be needed. Overall, this study highlights the importance of designing water conservation policies tailored to specific groups of customers, and the importance of using these strategies effectively and fairly for different customer groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 66-77 Issue: 1 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1192272 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1192272 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:1:p:66-77 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Damien S. Eldridge Author-X-Name-First: Damien S. Author-X-Name-Last: Eldridge Author-Name: Ilke Onur Author-X-Name-First: Ilke Author-X-Name-Last: Onur Author-Name: Malathi Velamuri Author-X-Name-First: Malathi Author-X-Name-Last: Velamuri Title: The impact of private hospital insurance on the utilization of hospital care in Australia Abstract: We use the Australian National Health Survey to estimate the impact of private hospital insurance on the propensity for hospitalization as a private patient. We account for the potential endogeneity of supplementary private hospital insurance purchases and calculate moral hazard based on a difference-of-means estimator. We decompose the moral hazard estimate into a diversion component that is due to an insurance-induced substitution away from public patient care towards private patient care, and an expansion component that measures a pure insurance-induced increase in the propensity to seek private patient care. Our results suggest that on average, private hospital insurance causes a sizable and significant increase in the likelihood of hospital admission as a private patient. However, there is little evidence of an expansion effect; the treatment effect of private hospital insurance on private patient care is driven almost entirely by the substitution away from public patient care towards private patient care. We discuss the implications for policies that aim to expand supplementary private insurance coverage for the purpose of reducing excess demand on the public healthcare system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 78-95 Issue: 1 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1192273 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1192273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:1:p:78-95 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sophie Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Sophie Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Author-Name: Kristine Jones Author-X-Name-First: Kristine Author-X-Name-Last: Jones Title: The impact of recent mental health changes on employment: new evidence from longitudinal data Abstract: This study uses longitudinal data and four different measures of mental health to tease out the impact of psychiatric disorder onsets and recoveries on employment outcomes. Results suggest that developing a mental health problem leads to a significant increase in the probability of transitioning to non-employment, while a recovery increases the probability of return to work among the not employed with a mental health problem. No consistent effect was found on hours worked and earnings. Research and policy attention is needed with respect to early interventions such as job retention programmes to help workers with mental health problems remain employed as well as interventions that may lead to recovery and return to work. More research is needed especially with data and models that can differentiate between the effects of mental health onsets and recoveries on employment exit and return to work transitions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 96-109 Issue: 1 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1192274 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1192274 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:1:p:96-109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Feng Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: James Rude Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Rude Title: Extreme dependence in price transmission analysis Abstract: We propose a generalized procedure that combines conventional price transmission analysis with copula-based dynamic tail dependence, to examine price relationships under extreme conditions. This approach is used to examine Ukrainian wheat markets where export restrictions combined with price surges, 2006–2008 and 2010–2012, have contributed to a turbulent market. The results indicate that domestic prices were effectively insulated from world price shocks, but that a ‘rocket and feathers’ price relation held between domestic flour and wheat prices. These asymmetric price co-movements changed with the degree of restrictiveness of the export prohibitions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4379-4392 Issue: 46 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1158916 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1158916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:46:p:4379-4392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Louis Combes Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Combes Author-Name: Alexandru Minea Author-X-Name-First: Alexandru Author-X-Name-Last: Minea Author-Name: Moussé Sow Author-X-Name-First: Moussé Author-X-Name-Last: Sow Title: Crises and exchange rate regimes: time to break down the bipolar view? Abstract: We revisit the link between crises and exchange rate regimes (ERR). Using a wide panel of 90 developed and developing countries over the period 1980–2009, we find that corner ERR are not more prone to crises compared to intermediate ERR. This finding holds for different types of crises (banking, currency and debt), and is robust to a wide set of alternative specifications. Consequently, we clearly break down the traditional bipolar view: countries that aim at preventing crisis episodes should focus less on the choice of the ERR, and instead implement sound structural macroeconomic policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4393-4409 Issue: 46 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1158917 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1158917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:46:p:4393-4409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Bellando Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Bellando Author-Name: Z. Ben Braham Author-X-Name-First: Z. Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Braham Author-Name: S. Galanti Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Galanti Title: The profitability of financial analysts’ recommendations: evidence from an emerging market Abstract: This article aims at measuring recommendation value on the Tunisian market and uses a hand-collected database of 6646 recommendations (2005–2009). We apply the methodology of calendar–time portfolio analysis. This consists of simulating a portfolio that would include stocks depending on the recommendations issued by financial analysts. In order to measure abnormal (or ‘excess’) returns, the raw return of the portfolio is then compared to the evolution of the stock index and to the prediction of the Capital Asset-Pricing Model. Some of the portfolios we build earn a positive significant excess risk-adjusted return of 1.19% per month. Beyond the results that are in line with the literature, we provide two original results. First, ‘sell’ signals are informative, whereas ‘buy’ signals are not. We suggest that it is related to large (small) firms having more ‘buy’ (‘sell’) recommendations and to the direction of the market trend over the period. Second, the fact that recommendation levels have more impact than recommendation changes is explained by the specific informational context on that market, which is that recommendations are systematically disclosed each month, whereas on other markets, recommendations are produced only when the analyst has some new information to disclose. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4410-4418 Issue: 46 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1158918 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1158918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:46:p:4410-4418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Miyazaki Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Miyazaki Author-Name: S. Hamori Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Hamori Title: Asymmetric correlations in gold and other financial markets Abstract: In this article, we implement a recently developed statistical method to test asymmetries in cross-asset correlations, focusing in particular on the gold market. Our empirical results provide evidence that gold exhibits asymmetric correlations with stocks and the U.S. dollar, but not with bonds. Furthermore, splitting the sample into three characteristic periods, we find that exceedance correlations exhibit substantial time variation even in similar market tensions for same pairs of assets. Our findings imply that investors and fund managers should take into account the asymmetric dependence structure, which depends on the upside or downside of the market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4419-4425 Issue: 46 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1158919 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1158919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:46:p:4419-4425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Louis Combes Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Combes Author-Name: Rasmane Ouedraogo Author-X-Name-First: Rasmane Author-X-Name-Last: Ouedraogo Author-Name: Sampawende J.-A. Tapsoba Author-X-Name-First: Sampawende J.-A. Author-X-Name-Last: Tapsoba Title: Structural shifts in aid dependency and fiscal policy in developing countries Abstract: Foreign aid is a sizable source of government financing for several developing countries and its allocation matters for the conduct of fiscal policy. This article revisits the fiscal effects of shifts in aid dependency in 59 developing countries from 1960 to 2010. It identifies structural shifts in aid dependency and uses treatment effect methods to assess the fiscal effects of aid. It finds that shifts in aid dependency are frequent and have significant fiscal effects in developing countries. In addition to the traditional evidences of tax and investment displacement and ‘aid illusion,’ we show that upward shifts and downward shifts in aid dependency have asymmetric effects on fiscal accounts in developing countries. Large aid inflows undermine tax capacity and public investment while large reductions in aid inflows tend to keep recipients’ fiscal behaviour intact. Moreover, the tax displacement effect tends to be temporary while the impacts on expenditure items tend to last. Finally, we find that the undesirable fiscal effects of aid are more pronounced in countries with low governance score and low absorptive capacity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4426-4446 Issue: 46 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1158920 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1158920 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:46:p:4426-4446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kai Liu Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Structural fiscal balances of the UK: a state-space DSGE approach Abstract: This article proposes a new framework to estimate and analyse structural fiscal balances of the UK, by combining the state-space modelling with the Bayesian DSGE modelling. In this way, trends and cycles of aggregate variables can be extracted from data consistently with the macroeconomic theory. A setting of an integrated random walk for the underlying stochastic trends fits the data best. An expansion in government spending can increase nominal fiscal revenue to a certain degree, but the effect is not persistent due to two kinds of crowd-out effects: it crowds out domestic investment; and it pushes up the price of domestic goods and simultaneously crowds out the foreign demand. The shocks to the nominal interest rate, foreign output and the government spending are the three major contributors to the variation of the fiscal revenue cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4447-4461 Issue: 46 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1158921 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1158921 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:46:p:4447-4461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcos Álvarez-Díaz Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Álvarez-Díaz Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Forecasting US consumer price index: does nonlinearity matter? Abstract: The objective of this article is to predict, both in sample and out of sample, the consumer price index (CPI) of the US economy based on monthly data covering the period of 1980:1–2013:12, using a variety of linear (random walk (RW), autoregressive (AR) and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA)) and nonlinear (artificial neural network (ANN) and genetic programming (GP)) univariate models. Our results show that, while the SARIMA model is superior relative to other linear and nonlinear models, as it tends to produce smaller forecast errors; statistically, these forecasting gains are not significant relative to higher-order AR and nonlinear models, though simple benchmarks like the RW and AR(1) models are statistically outperformed. Overall, we show that in terms of forecasting the US CPI, accounting for nonlinearity does not necessarily provide us with any statistical gains. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4462-4475 Issue: 46 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1158922 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1158922 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:46:p:4462-4475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinghua Xie Author-X-Name-First: Jinghua Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Dengjun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Dengjun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Shipping the good fish out? An empirical study on the EU seafood imports under the EU’s Generalized System of Preferences Abstract: The impact of the EU (European Union) Generalized System of Preference (GSP) on the relative EU’s demand for seafood quality was evaluated in the study. We first explored the theoretical Alchian–Allen result of change in ad valorem tariffs in an n–good world, and then tested this result in the empirical study. The theoretical analysis suggests that whether a reduced ad valorem tariff in an n–good case raises the relative demand for high-value goods depends not only on the substitutability between high-value and low-value goods but also on the substitutability between these similar goods with their weak substitutes. In the empirical sections, we first estimated the elasticities of the substitutions and then used these elasticities to evaluate the quality composition of the EU’s seafood imports from the beneficiary countries. The empirical results in general confirm the occurrence of ‘shipping the good fish out’ due to the reduced tariff rates under the EU’s GSP arrangements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2606-2617 Issue: 27 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1243216 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1243216 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:27:p:2606-2617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shiying Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shiying Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Effects of attending preschool on adolescents’ outcomes: evidence from China Abstract: This study examines whether attending preschool enhances the cognitive abilities, health and socialization of junior high school students in China. Using propensity score matching to control for a rich data set of student, family and school characteristics, I find that attending preschool enhances cognition among seventh graders but those gains fade among ninth graders. The greatest benefits from preschool accrue to both seventh and ninth graders from economically disadvantaged families. Results for non-cognitive categories are mixed, and no evidence suggests superior health outcomes. Evidence also shows cognitive benefits among adolescents – especially those economically disadvantaged – who entered preschool earlier. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2618-2629 Issue: 27 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1243217 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1243217 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:27:p:2618-2629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Xi Tian Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Author-Name: Zhengyi Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Zhengyi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: The effects of environmental provisions in RTAs on PM2.5 air pollution Abstract: This article examines the effect of regional trade agreements (RTAs) with and without environmental provisions on the concentration of PM2.5 (fine particulate matter $$ \le 2.5\,{\rm{\mu m}}$$≤2.5μm in diameter), which is one of the most significant air pollutants. Using panel data for 136 countries from 2001 to 2010, we estimate the effect of trade liberalization under RTAs and the effect of environmental regulations under RTAs with environmental provisions. Moreover, paired countries are used to examine the effect of RTAs with environmental provisions on the convergence of PM2.5 concentrations. Human behaviours and natural characteristics are added as control variables, and the potential endogeneity and environmental provisions of RTAs as well as the gross domestic product and openness of specific regions are addressed using instrumental variables or difference-in-differences after propensity score matching. The main results indicate that RTAs without environmental provision terms lead to worse air quality in terms of PM2.5 concentrations, whereas RTAs with environmental provision terms are likely to be associated with a lower level of PM2.5 concentrations. In addition, RTAs with environmental provisions, especially environmental cooperation provisions, facilitate the convergence of PM2.5 concentrations between contracting countries, which can be explained by the late-mover advantage after distinguishing North–South, South–South and North–North trade forms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2630-2641 Issue: 27 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1243218 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1243218 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:27:p:2630-2641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petrit Gashi Author-X-Name-First: Petrit Author-X-Name-Last: Gashi Author-Name: Mehtap Hisarciklilar Author-X-Name-First: Mehtap Author-X-Name-Last: Hisarciklilar Author-Name: Geoffrey Pugh Author-X-Name-First: Geoffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Pugh Title: Kosovo – EU trade relations: a dynamic panel poisson approach Abstract: To inform policymaking following trade liberalization between Kosovo and the EU within the framework of the Stabilisation and Association Agreement (SAA), we specify a gravity model to investigate Kosovo’s trade in goods with 28 EU countries over the period 2005–2013. We reconcile competing methodological requirements by using a dynamic Poisson approach to estimation. Together, persistent trade patterns and an unfavourable combination of demand and supply elasticities suggest that trade liberalization in isolation is not sufficient to promote exports but may need to be incorporated within a wider policy and institutional framework. In addition, our findings suggest that trade costs should be a particular focus for policy: distance has a big negative influence on Kosovo’s exports to EU countries; while diaspora communities promote Kosovo’s exports to EU markets, most likely because they offset trade costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2642-2654 Issue: 27 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1245836 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1245836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:27:p:2642-2654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gaowen Kong Author-X-Name-First: Gaowen Author-X-Name-Last: Kong Author-Name: Dongmin Kong Author-X-Name-First: Dongmin Author-X-Name-Last: Kong Title: Corporate governance, human capital, and productivity: evidence from Chinese non-listed firms Abstract: This article analyses the effects of corporate governance (CG) and human capital on productivity by using the 1999–2006 data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBSC). The findings of this study are twofold. First, CG and human capital generate significant positive effects on the productivity of both state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and non-SOEs. Second, CG has significantly different moderate and mediate effects on the relationship between human capital and productivity. Our results are robust to different specifications and alternative measures. This study provides clear policy implications by suggesting that the firms in emerging markets, especially SOEs, must improve their CG and their allocation of human capital for them to enhance their productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2655-2668 Issue: 27 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1245837 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1245837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:27:p:2655-2668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yao-Tung Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yao-Tung Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Ker-Tah Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Ker-Tah Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Ming-Sung Kao Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Sung Author-X-Name-Last: Kao Author-Name: Yuh-Yao Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yuh-Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: The choice between civil service and entrepreneurship in the presence of credit rationing Abstract: This article examines the role of opportunities to be civil servants in determining both an individual’s ability to borrow to be an entrepreneur and his career choices that are related to the endowment of wealth. It is assumed that the civil servants are hired to produce the public goods or services that benefit all the entrepreneurs hiring workers to produce private goods. In considering the case where the position of a civil servant is randomly up for grabs without rent-seeking, it is known that the effect of a rise in the number of civil servants to be hired on an individual’s ability to borrow is mainly based on the improved efficiency and a rise in the wage due to an increase in the demand for workers. When the position of a civil servant is secured through rent-seeking, it is found that an improvement in the financial environment will lower the cost of rent-seeking if the welfare of the civil servant is not too high. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2669-2678 Issue: 27 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1245839 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1245839 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:27:p:2669-2678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dorel N. Manitiu Author-X-Name-First: Dorel N. Author-X-Name-Last: Manitiu Author-Name: Giulio Pedrini Author-X-Name-First: Giulio Author-X-Name-Last: Pedrini Title: The countercyclical role of Italian local banks during the financial crisis Abstract: The article analyses the role of local banks in Italy during the 2008–2009 crisis from the perspective of the relationship lending model. During the crisis, the risk of cascading failures of financial organizations has dramatically increased, thus causing a return of attention to local banking as a possible source of countercyclical behaviours in the financial markets thanks to their ability to establish fiduciary long-term relationships with small businesses.The purpose of this article is to test this hypothesis and to disentangle the response of local banks during the financial turmoil according to their governance structure and location. Our results show that non-independent local banks and, to a limited extent, cooperative banks located in the rural area actually played a significant countercyclical role across the crisis. Policy implications suggest that prudential supervision should rethink the indicators of systemic risk in order to differentiate banks according to their capability of mitigating it. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2679-2696 Issue: 27 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1245840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1245840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:27:p:2679-2696 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Erratum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: i-i Issue: 27 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1282088 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1282088 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:27:p:i-i Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabian Kreutzer Author-X-Name-First: Fabian Author-X-Name-Last: Kreutzer Author-Name: Wolfram Berger Author-X-Name-First: Wolfram Author-X-Name-Last: Berger Title: The labour market effects of offshoring of small and medium-sized firms: micro-level evidence for Germany Abstract: Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are the economic powerhouse of many OECD countries (perhaps most prominently so in Germany). Yet, the labour market dynamics caused by the internationalization of their production activities are largely unexplored. We use survey-based micro-level data for Germany to explore the employment effects of offshoring of SMEs, relying on propensity score matching and difference-in-difference analysis. We find evidence for a downsizing effect in the immediate aftermath of offshoring whereas, initially, job creation is not spurred. In the medium run, we find evidence for a slowing down of employment dynamics of offshoring firms (that tend to belong to the better performing SMEs in Germany) relative to non-offshoring firms. Even though our results do not point to a net employment loss in the medium run, our evidence suggests that offshoring may lead to less jobs being created. This conclusion cannot be confirmed for large companies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3416-3431 Issue: 32 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420900 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1420900 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:32:p:3416-3431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: María Concepción Pérez-Cárceles Author-X-Name-First: María Concepción Author-X-Name-Last: Pérez-Cárceles Author-Name: Juan Cándido Gómez-Gallego Author-X-Name-First: Juan Cándido Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Gallego Author-Name: María Gómez-Gallego Author-X-Name-First: María Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Gallego Title: Environmental factors affecting European and Central Asian health-systems’ bias-corrected efficiency Abstract: Health expenditures comprise a large part of national incomes, which explains the growing interest of government agencies in establishing efficient control and management policies in the current context of economic difficulties. One of the main problems in efficiency analysis is to determine the environmental variables that have an impact on the production process. In particular, employing data on the European and Central Asian health systems, the article demonstrates that bias corrected Data Envelopment Analysis is most appropriate measuring efficiency than traditional Data Envelopment Analysis. Bias correction, implies a higher potential resources reduction, affects the ranking of health systems and allows variables influencing efficiency which would be undiscovered with non-corrected estimation. The second stage determines that lifestyle factors, policy organization and location of countries affect the efficiency results and cause differences among the countries. The contribution of these results is particularly useful facing the decision making by governments. Their strategies should be oriented to implementing active policies to struggle against smoking and promoting health policies aimed at increasing the level of immunization in order to be more effective improving management efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3432-3440 Issue: 32 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420901 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1420901 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:32:p:3432-3440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Mesly Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Mesly Author-Name: François-Éric Racicot Author-X-Name-First: François-Éric Author-X-Name-Last: Racicot Title: Heteroscedasticity of deviations in market bubble moments – how the goods and bads lead to the ugly Abstract: We conjecture that market bubbles may be the results of the interplay of Goods and Bads (toxic products) which develop through three interlocking moments – herding, swarming and stampeding, with deviations marked by heteroscedasticity. We use our stylized model of financial predation, the Consolidated Model of Financial Predation, and data we have accumulated through in-the-field eight-year research and the study of 30 years of U.S. market history in order to explore the foundations of market crises. We find that blind trust (or the positivity bias) and of the fear to miss out on an opportunity to enter/exit a market impacts the investors’ decisions to invest or retract. We show how markets are driven towards a make-or-break predatory dynamic that creates winners and losers due in part to weak regulations and identify a constant k that permeates market behaviours. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3441-3463 Issue: 32 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420902 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1420902 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:32:p:3441-3463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edward Oczkowski Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Oczkowski Title: Modelling prices and the reputation of individual named wines Abstract: This article develops empirical models to assess the relation between the reputation of an individual named wine and its price. Unrestricted and polynomial distributed lag models are used to assess the impact of past expert quality ratings on the prices of Australian premium wines. Results point to the practical unimportance of current wine quality scores impacting prices and suggest that quality score lag effects up to six years may be important. The largest individual lagged impact of quality on price is estimated to occur at approximately two years, and prices are estimated to increase by more than 10% over six years for a one-point quality score increase. A procedure for identifying potential wine price bargains based on a comparison of price predictions from estimated wine reputation and current quality measures is illustrated. The implications of the findings for wine producers are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3464-3476 Issue: 32 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1422599 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1422599 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:32:p:3464-3476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryan S Sullivan Author-X-Name-First: Ryan S Author-X-Name-Last: Sullivan Author-Name: Alissa Dubnicki Author-X-Name-First: Alissa Author-X-Name-Last: Dubnicki Author-Name: Donald H Dutkowsky Author-X-Name-First: Donald H Author-X-Name-Last: Dutkowsky Title: Research, teaching, and ‘other’: what determines job placement of economics Ph.D.s? Abstract: This article examines job placement for Economics Ph.D.s seeking junior-level positions using a data set constructed from job candidate vitas, public websites, and queries to programme directors. Based upon multinomial logit estimation, being from highly ranked graduate institutions and having high quality publications has a significantly positive effect on placement at a top 20 academic institution or Doctoral-level institution. Teaching experience – as a teaching assistant (TA) or independent instructor – has a significantly positive effect on placement, but only for institutions ranked below the top 60, Masters and Baccalaureate institutions, and non-tenure track academic positions. We find little evidence on the effect of teaching in tenure track hires for departments with Doctoral programmes or mid-tier prestige. Moreover, teaching experience has a significantly negative effect on placement in the top group of academic institutions in Economics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3477-3492 Issue: 32 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430331 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:32:p:3477-3492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Agata Wierzbowska Author-X-Name-First: Agata Author-X-Name-Last: Wierzbowska Author-Name: Masahiko Shibamoto Author-X-Name-First: Masahiko Author-X-Name-Last: Shibamoto Title: Cross-country evidence on determinants of fiscal policy effectiveness: the role of trade and capital flows Abstract: This article studies the determinants of size differentials between fiscal multipliers in countries around the world, both advanced and developing economies. We introduce variables not considered before for explaining multiplier size differentials, such as capital flows and the openness of capital markets, while controlling for domestic conditions and exchange rate regimes. We also disaggregate GDP into its main components in order to identify the channels through which external and internal factors can influence GDP after a change in fiscal policy. Our results point to the existence of a new channel through which fiscal policy effectiveness is affected. Capital flows, especially FDI flows, play an important role in determining the sizes of fiscal multipliers, and a country’s external conditions largely explain GDP changes after fiscal expenditure shocks. Our results also point towards a strong link between a country’s international position and its real economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3493-3514 Issue: 32 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430332 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:32:p:3493-3514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaofei Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaofei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Brady Brewer Author-X-Name-First: Brady Author-X-Name-Last: Brewer Author-Name: Cesar Escalante Author-X-Name-First: Cesar Author-X-Name-Last: Escalante Title: Pre-recession efficiencies and input allocation decisions of agricultural and critically insolvent banks Abstract: The late 2000s’ economic recession is considered the longest economic downturn since the 1930s Great Depression. Declining real estate values ignited an increase in loan defaults and mortgage foreclosures that led to a surge of bank failures at a rate not experienced by the U.S. banking industry since the 1980s. A total of 509 bank failures were recorded by the FDIC from January 2007–December 2014, with nearly 60% of these failures occurring in 2009 and 2010. In contrast, there were only 24 bank failures in the U.S. during the 7-year period prior to 2007. This study analyzed certain components of operating decisions made by banks that either survived or became critically insolvent during the late 2000s financial crisis using an Input Distance Stochastic Frontier function to estimate the technical efficiency (TE) and allocative efficiency (AE) between agricultural banks and non-agricultural banks. This efficiency analysis was applied to a 7-year pre-recession period and is designed to final out any early warning signals that decrease the efficiency level of banks. Results suggest that survival banks were more technically efficient than critically insolvent banks, and banks’ tendency to utilize cheaper inputs were more likely to stand the economic crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3515-3531 Issue: 32 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430333 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430333 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:32:p:3515-3531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nermeen Shehata Author-X-Name-First: Nermeen Author-X-Name-Last: Shehata Author-Name: Ahmed Salhin Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Salhin Author-Name: Moataz El-Helaly Author-X-Name-First: Moataz Author-X-Name-Last: El-Helaly Title: Board diversity and firm performance: evidence from the U.K. SMEs Abstract: This study examines the relationship between board diversity and firm performance in small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the U.K. In particular, we investigate the role of gender and age as two dimensions of diversity. Using a large sample of SMEs (34,798 firms) located in the U.K. and focusing on the period from 2005 to 2013, our results show a significant negative association between each of gender diversity and age diversity, and firm performance. Our evidence yields important insights on the association between board diversity and firm performance, and calls suggestions for increased board diversity into question. A possible explanation for our findings could be due to the fact that our sampled firms are SMEs, whereas those in previous studies have been large enterprises. This research provides insights to entrepreneurs on how to enhance their performance, and to governments and policymakers on the development of rules that would achieve better performance in the SME sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4817-4832 Issue: 48 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1293796 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1293796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:48:p:4817-4832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ju Ryum Chung Author-X-Name-First: Ju Ryum Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Eun Jung Cho Author-X-Name-First: Eun Jung Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Ho-Young Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ho-Young Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Myungsoo Son Author-X-Name-First: Myungsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Son Title: The impact of labour unions on external auditor selection and audit scope: evidence from the Korean market Abstract: We examine whether labour unions influence external auditor selection and audit scope. As a major user group of financial information, labour unions likely demand financial information of high quality and thus high-quality audits. As a union’s request for wage increases is likely strong when a firm is performing well, management facing wage negotiations with the labour union has incentives to manipulate earnings downward and may therefore prefer auditors who allow more discretion. Using union data unique to Korea during 2005–2008, we find that firms with a stronger labour union tend to choose higher-quality auditors (i.e. Big N or industry specialist auditors). We also find that unionization is negatively (positively) associated with positive (negative) abnormal audit fees and audit hours, and the effects are more pronounced when the union is stronger and more active. Given that departures from normal audit fees and audit hours in either direction arguably impair audit quality, this finding is consistent with our prediction of unions’ demand for high-quality audits. Overall, our findings suggest that labour unions play an important role in determining audit quality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4833-4850 Issue: 48 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1296546 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1296546 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:48:p:4833-4850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhen Xu Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Jianbai Huang Author-X-Name-First: Jianbai Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Feitao Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Feitao Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Subsidy competition, industrial land price distortions and overinvestment: empirical evidence from China’s manufacturing enterprises Abstract: In China, offering inexpensive industrial land is a major means for local governments to participate in interregional subsidy competition, which caused regional industrial land price distortions. This article examines the effect of regional industrial land price distortions on the overinvestment of Chinese manufacturing enterprises. Chinese industrial enterprises data and land price monitoring data of 49 major cities in China between 1998 and 2007 are employed. This article has found that industrial land price distortions will significantly stimulate the overinvestment of manufacturing enterprises. Such a promoting effect varies among manufacturing enterprises of different ownership and industry attributes. Industrial land price distortions have the most significant promoting effect on the overinvestment of foreign-invested firms, followed by private firms, while state-owned enterprises are the least affected. Compared with private heavy-industry firms, industrial land price distortions have a more significant effect on the overinvestment of private light-industry firms. Compared with foreign-invested heavy-industry firms, industrial land price distortions have a more significant effect on the overinvestment of foreign-invested light-industry firms. This study represents a positive exploration and supplement to the existing studies on the effects of subsidy competition on corporate investment behaviours and the studies on Chinese-style subsidy competition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4851-4870 Issue: 48 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1296547 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1296547 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:48:p:4851-4870 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Brechot Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Brechot Author-Name: Stephan Nüesch Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: Nüesch Author-Name: Egon Franck Author-X-Name-First: Egon Author-X-Name-Last: Franck Title: Does sports activity improve health? Representative evidence using local density of sports facilities as an instrument Abstract: Using representative and geocoded data from the Swiss Household Panel and the Swiss Business Census, we estimate the effect of sports activity on health. OLS models show that sports activity significantly decreases overweight, sleeping problems, headaches, back problems, and perceived health impediments in everyday activities and significantly increases health satisfaction. Because sports activity is likely to be misreported and correlated with unobserved determinants of health, we use the number of sports facilities within 6 miles of the individual’s residence as an instrument for sports activity. Although the instrument is powerful in explaining sports activity, the second-stage effects on health are mostly statistically insignificant due to the high SEs of the IV estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4871-4884 Issue: 48 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1296548 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1296548 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:48:p:4871-4884 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Mangani Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Mangani Title: Social networking websites: who survives? Abstract: This article studies the relationship between the characteristics of social networking sites (SNSs) and their probability of survival. The data sample includes 224 SNSs launched throughout the world from 1995 to 2015 and that can be described by focus strategy, business financing methods and interactions with external companies, such as partnerships, mergers and acquisitions. Three factors are systematically associated with closure hazard rates. First, compared with SNSs that address a specialized audience, generalist SNSs have a three times higher probability of closing. Second, being the target of a merger or acquisition more than doubles the probability of closure. Third, new entrants have higher probability to survive if compared with SNSs with experience in the industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4885-4896 Issue: 48 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1296549 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1296549 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:48:p:4885-4896 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kelly Burns Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Burns Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Demystifying the Meese–Rogoff puzzle: structural breaks or measures of forecasting accuracy? Abstract: Structural breaks have been suggested by several economists as a possible explanation for the Meese–Rogoff puzzle, in the sense that an exchange rate model can outperform the random walk in terms of the out-of-sample forecasting error if the period under investigation is free of structural breaks. The results indicate that structural breaks cannot explain the inability of the flexible price monetary model to outperform the random walk. The only plausible explanation for the Meese–Rogoff puzzle is that forecasting accuracy is traditionally assessed by magnitude-only measures. When forecasting accuracy is assessed by alternative measures that do not rely exclusively on the magnitude of error, the monetary model can outperform the random walk regardless of the presence or otherwise of structural breaks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4897-4910 Issue: 48 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1296550 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1296550 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:48:p:4897-4910 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Meehan Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Meehan Author-Name: Bruce L. Benson Author-X-Name-First: Bruce L. Author-X-Name-Last: Benson Title: Does private security affect crime?: a test using state regulations as instruments Abstract: Private security is employed to deter criminals from attacking specific targets, presumably not to produce general deterrence. Indeed, private security generates negative spillovers as criminals substitute non-protected targets for protected targets. Specific deterrence efforts may generate positive spillovers too, however, by raising the expected cost of committing crimes, thereby reducing crime in an area. The hypothesis that private security deters crime at the state level is tested. The demand for private security in an area is expected to be simultaneously dependent on the level of crime; so, an instrumental variables approach is employed in a panel-data fixed-effect model using state-level data from 1998 to 2010. Instruments for the amount of private security are state-wide licensing regulations for firms specializing in providing security, since these regulations should influence entry. Some state-level measures of violent and property crime are shown to be negatively and significantly related to increases in private security, suggesting that private security generates a general deterrence effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4911-4924 Issue: 48 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1296551 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1296551 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:48:p:4911-4924 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4925-4926 Issue: 48 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1335975 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1335975 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:48:p:4925-4926 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johanna Garnitz Author-X-Name-First: Johanna Author-X-Name-Last: Garnitz Author-Name: Robert Lehmann Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lehmann Author-Name: Klaus Wohlrabe Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Wohlrabe Title: Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data Abstract: Comprehensive and international comparable leading indicators across countries and continents are rare. In this paper, we use a free and instantaneous available source of leading indicators, the ifo World Economic Survey (WES), to forecast growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 44 countries and three country aggregates separately. We come up with three major results. First, for more than three-fourths of the countries or country-aggregates in our sample, a model containing one of the major WES indicators produces on average lower forecast errors compared to a benchmark model. Second, the most important WES indicators are either the economic climate or the expectations on future economic development for the next six months. And third, adding the WES indicators of the main trading partners leads to a further increase in forecast accuracy in more than 50% of the countries. It seems therefore reasonable to incorporate economic signals from the domestic economy’s main trading partners. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5802-5816 Issue: 54 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1624915 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1624915 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:54:p:5802-5816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinook Jeong Author-X-Name-First: Jinook Author-X-Name-Last: Jeong Author-Name: Jee Young Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jee Young Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Yoon Jae Ro Author-X-Name-First: Yoon Jae Author-X-Name-Last: Ro Title: On the efficiency of racetrack betting market: a new test for the favourite-longshot bias Abstract: A number of empirical studies on the efficiency of racetrack betting market have shown the ‘favourite-longshot bias,’ which means longshots are overbet while favourites are underbet. Asian markets such as Hong Kong and Japan, however, have produced some contradictory empirical evidence to the bias. One critical element in the efficiency test procedure is how to assess the unobservable objective winning probability of a horse in a race. This paper proposes a new test framework with a more general evaluation of the objective probability of winning than the traditional method. Unlike the traditional method, our model allows the heterogeneity of the horses and the races. We apply the new empirical method to test whether the favourite-longshot bias is present in racetrack betting market of Korea. We found that the favourite-longshot bias exists in the racetrack market of Korea and the result distinguishes Korean racetrack market from other Asian markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5817-5828 Issue: 54 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1624918 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1624918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:54:p:5817-5828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thao Pham Author-X-Name-First: Thao Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Title: Do German renewable energy resources affect prices and mitigate market power in the French electricity market ? Abstract: Several empirical studies show that renewable energy sources such as wind and solar power, typically supplied at low marginal cost, can cause electricity market prices to fall. Recent theoretical research and simulations also highlight the link between the integration of renewable energy and market performance in an oligopolistic energy market. This article looks at these dynamics in the context of cross-border effects between two highly interconnected electricity markets, France and Germany. Using a rich panel dataset for hourly data from November 2009 to July 2015, I estimate the impact of German wind and solar power production on both prices and market power in the French wholesale market. The findings highlight the importance of coordinating energy policies via joint renewable energy support schemes among interconnected European electricity markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5829-5842 Issue: 54 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1624919 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1624919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:54:p:5829-5842 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Insook Lee Author-X-Name-First: Insook Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The effect of death tax on the labour supply of donors: evidence from TRA97 Abstract: Exploiting estate tax cuts from the Taxpayer Relief Act of 1997 (TRA97), this paper estimates the effect of death tax on the labour supply of living potential donors. To this end, difference-in-difference with multiple imputation approach is applied to micro-level panel data. This paper finds that the estate tax cuts makes no difference in labour force participation or working hours of potential donors in a statistically meaningful way, although the TRA97 reduces marginal estate tax rates by 37.51% on average. This finding suggests that the death tax causes no meaningful distortion of living potential-donors’ labour supplies at either extensive or intensive margin. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5843-5855 Issue: 54 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1626344 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1626344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:54:p:5843-5855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikos Benos Author-X-Name-First: Nikos Author-X-Name-Last: Benos Author-Name: Sotiris Karkalakos Author-X-Name-First: Sotiris Author-X-Name-Last: Karkalakos Author-Name: Stefania Zotou Author-X-Name-First: Stefania Author-X-Name-Last: Zotou Title: Spatial and economic patterns in life expectancy among US States Abstract: This study investigates the determinants of gender-specific life expectancy across US states over the period 1995–2007. We employ a production function specification where life expectancy depends on health expenditure, income, education and lifestyle variables, allowing for spatial effects. Empirical results suggest that education attainment and health expenditure are the main factors behind improving longevity, whereas smoking bears a strong negative influence. For robustness purposes, we also use health spending as well as education criteria, apart from geographical ones to model interstate spillovers. In the former case, states with similar health expenditure are ‘neighbors’ and affect positively the life expectancy process. If education is applied instead of health spending together with geographic proximity, the spatial correlation is insignificant, i.e. education ‘neighbors’ do not affect life expectancy. Our findings do not imply significant gender differences regarding health production. The results suggest that health care policy will have to focus on wider economic and social considerations, like education and lifestyle changes, except medical care provision in order to exploit the full potential for life expectancy improvements of the US population. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5856-5869 Issue: 54 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1630706 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1630706 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:54:p:5856-5869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Austin F. Eggers Author-X-Name-First: Austin F. Author-X-Name-Last: Eggers Author-Name: Peter A Groothuis Author-X-Name-First: Peter A Author-X-Name-Last: Groothuis Author-Name: Parker Redding Author-X-Name-First: Parker Author-X-Name-Last: Redding Author-Name: Kurt W. Rotthoff Author-X-Name-First: Kurt W. Author-X-Name-Last: Rotthoff Author-Name: Michael Solimini Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Solimini Title: The negative effect of NCAA football bowl bans on university enrolment and applications Abstract: Universities provide consumption amenities to students in addition to their educational services. Collegiate sports programs have been characterized as one of these consumption amenities. Previous research has shown that athletic success has a positive impact on both the quantity and quality of students attending a university. Alternatively, we analyse if athletic malfeasance, as measured by NCAA postseason bans of football programs, negatively affects either the quantity or quality of student applications or enrolment. Our findings suggest that athletic malfeasance that results in a postseason football bowl ban lowers the quantity of applications, admittances and enrolment to a university. In addition, we find that universities respond to decreased application numbers by increasing their admission rates, while students who are admitted to the school enrol at the same rate as before the ban. Thus, the reduced enrolment is the result of a smaller applicant pool and not the result of a lower rate of enrolment. Lastly, we do not detect any reduction in student quality at the sanctioned university. Our results demonstrate that impropriety by an athletics program directly impacts a university’s non-athlete student enrolment by influencing the amenity mix provided by the university. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5870-5877 Issue: 54 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1630708 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1630708 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:54:p:5870-5877 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nour Kattih Author-X-Name-First: Nour Author-X-Name-Last: Kattih Author-Name: Fady Mansour Author-X-Name-First: Fady Author-X-Name-Last: Mansour Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Small firms, bigger changes: health insurance coverage take-up rates in small firms after the ACA Abstract: Measuring the impact of the Affordable Care Act of 2010 (ACA) on employer-sponsored health insurance is essential in an era of constant changes to health policy. Using data from the Kaiser Family Foundation Employer Survey, we focus on firms with fewer than 50 employees in order to isolate the effect of the ACA on small firms. We utilize a differences‐in‐differences approach with a time fixed effect structure to provide analysis for a treatment group of small firms and a control group of large firms. After excluding firms with grandfathered plans, we find that the ACA provisions reduced health insurance coverage take-up rates in small firms by 1.96 to 2.67 percentage points (compared to large firms). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5878-5889 Issue: 54 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1630710 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1630710 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:54:p:5878-5889 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Demetris Christodoulou Author-X-Name-First: Demetris Author-X-Name-Last: Christodoulou Title: The accounting identity trap: identification under stock-and-flow rank deficiency Abstract: Empirical research relying on inputs from published company financial statements ignore the fact that the observed accounting data matrix has been purposefully designed to be rank deficient by means of articulation between stocks and flows. This inherent feature of the data-generating process suggests structural non-identification when both stocks and flows appear in the design matrix and a constraint is required to identify parameters. Much financial research has fallen into this ‘accounting identity trap’ and routinely employs implicit constraints to enable estimation, albeit without acknowledgement of the constraints hence the misleading inferences. This article elucidates the problem of parameter identification under stock-and-flow rank deficiency using existing applications on equity pricing. The focus is on the interpretation of slope coefficients that must be anchored on economically defensible parameter constraints. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1413-1427 Issue: 13 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1363860 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1363860 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:13:p:1413-1427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linlan Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Linlan Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Vigdis Boasson Author-X-Name-First: Vigdis Author-X-Name-Last: Boasson Author-Name: Sergey Shishlenin Author-X-Name-First: Sergey Author-X-Name-Last: Shishlenin Author-Name: Victoria Makushina Author-X-Name-First: Victoria Author-X-Name-Last: Makushina Title: Volatility forecasting: combinations of realized volatility measures and forecasting models Abstract: This article examines financial time series volatility forecasting performance. Different from other studies which either focus on combining individual realized measures or combining forecasting models, we consider both. Specifically, we construct nine important individual realized measures and consider combinations including the mean, the median and the geometric means as well as an optimal combination. We also apply a simple AR(1) model, an SV model with contemporaneous dependence, an HAR model and three linear combinations of these models. Using the robust forecasting evaluation measures including RMSE and QLIKE, our empirical evidence from both equity market indices and exchange rates suggests that combinations of both volatility measures and forecasting models improve the forecast performance significantly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1428-1441 Issue: 13 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1363863 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1363863 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:13:p:1428-1441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehdi Rhaiem Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Rhaiem Author-Name: Lutz Bornmann Author-X-Name-First: Lutz Author-X-Name-Last: Bornmann Title: Reference Publication Year Spectroscopy (RPYS) with publications in the area of academic efficiency studies: what are the historical roots of this research topic? Abstract: In this study, we explore the historical roots of the relatively new topic in scientometrics of academic efficiency assessments. We are interested in the contributions of researchers from the past which have been revealed as important for the topic in the long run. The technique of Reference Publication Year Spectroscopy (RPYS) has been recently introduced which is based on the analysis of the frequency with which references are cited in the publications of a specific research field (here: academic efficiency assessments). The study is based on papers conducted for a systematic review of empirical articles on technical efficiency in academic research production: 60 papers (published between 1992 and 2012) and 1314 cited references. Results indicated that 5 peaks are clearly identifiable until 2000. They correspond, respectively, to the years 1957 (The founding article of Farrell), 1978 (Proposition of a new promising approach: the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) by Charnes et al.), 1988 (Research-teaching multi-output model and integration of quality indicators), 1990 (DEA in the service of Research Assessment Exercise) and 1997 (Introduction of weight restrictions in DEA). The peaks are described with the underlying publications and recent developments (since 2000) in the area of academic efficiency studies are outlined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1442-1453 Issue: 13 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1363865 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1363865 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:13:p:1442-1453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Bruns Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Bruns Author-Name: Tigran Poghosyan Author-X-Name-First: Tigran Author-X-Name-Last: Poghosyan Title: Leading indicators of fiscal distress: evidence from extreme bounds analysis Abstract: Early warning systems (EWSs) are widely used to assess a country’s vulnerability to fiscal distress. A fiscal distress episode is identified as a period when government experiences extreme funding difficulties. Most EWSs employ a specific set of only fiscal leading indicators predetermined by the researchers, which casts doubt on their robustness. We revisit this issue using extreme bounds analysis, which allows identifying robust leading indicators of fiscal distress from a large set. A robust leading indicator’s effect does not strongly depend on the model specification. Consistent with the theoretical predictions of latest generation crisis models, we find that both fiscal and non-fiscal leading indicators are robust. In addition, we find that a fiscal vulnerability indicator based on fiscal and non-fiscal leading indicators offers a 29% gain in predictive power compared to a traditional one based only on fiscal leading indicators. This suggests that both fiscal and non-fiscal leading indicators should be taken into account when assessing country’s vulnerability to fiscal distress. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1454-1478 Issue: 13 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1366639 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1366639 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:13:p:1454-1478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Shahbaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Shahbaz Author-Name: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Syed Jawad Hussain Author-X-Name-Last: Shahzad Author-Name: Mantu Kumar Mahalik Author-X-Name-First: Mantu Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mahalik Author-Name: Perry Sadorsky Author-X-Name-First: Perry Author-X-Name-Last: Sadorsky Title: How strong is the causal relationship between globalization and energy consumption in developed economies? A country-specific time-series and panel analysis Abstract: We examine the causal relationship between globalization, economic growth and energy consumption for 25 developed economies using both time series and panel data techniques for the period 1970–2014. Due to the presence of cross-sectional dependence in the panel (countries from Asia, North America, Western Europe and Oceania), we employ the cross-sectional augmented IPS test to ascertain unit root properties. The cointegration test results indicate the presence of a long-run association between globalization, economic growth and energy consumption. Long-run heterogeneous panel elasticities are estimated through the common correlated effects mean group estimator and the augmented mean group estimator. The empirical results reveal that, for most countries, globalization increases energy consumption. In the USA and UK, globalization is negatively correlated with energy consumption. The causality analysis indicates the presence of the globalization-driven energy consumption hypothesis. This empirical analysis suggests insightful policy guidelines for policy makers using globalization as an economic tool to utilize energy efficiently for sustainable economic development in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1479-1494 Issue: 13 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1366640 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1366640 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:13:p:1479-1494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rafael González-Val Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: González-Val Author-Name: Miriam Marcén Author-X-Name-First: Miriam Author-X-Name-Last: Marcén Title: Unemployment, marriage and divorce Abstract: In this article, we examine whether the business cycle plays a role in marriage and divorce. We use data on Spain, since the differences between recession and expansion periods across regions are quite pronounced in that country. We find that the unemployment rate is negatively associated with the marriage rate, pointing to a pro-cyclical evolution of marriage; however, the response of the divorce rate to the business cycle is mixed. Results show the existence of different patterns, depending on geography: divorce rates in coastal regions are pro-cyclical, while in inland regions divorces react to unemployment in a counter-cyclical way. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1495-1508 Issue: 13 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1366642 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1366642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:13:p:1495-1508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert McNown Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: McNown Author-Name: Chung Yan Sam Author-X-Name-First: Chung Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Sam Author-Name: Soo Khoon Goh Author-X-Name-First: Soo Khoon Author-X-Name-Last: Goh Title: Bootstrapping the autoregressive distributed lag test for cointegration Abstract: We propose a bootstrap autoregressive-distributed lag (ARDL) test. By applying the appropriate bootstrap method, some weaknesses underlying the Pesaran, Shin and Smith ARDL bounds test are addressed including size and power properties and the elimination of inconclusive inferences. In addition, inferences based solely on the significance of the F-test and single t-test from the ARDL bounds test are not sufficient to avoid degenerate cases. The bootstrap ARDL test provides an additional test on the significance of coefficients on lagged levels of the regressors, which provides a better insight into the cointegration status of the model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1509-1521 Issue: 13 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1366643 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1366643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:13:p:1509-1521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Martin Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: Cong S. Pham Author-X-Name-First: Cong S. Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Title: Estimating the gravity model when zero trade flows are frequent and economically determined Abstract: Since the 1950s, we have known that the presence of zero-valued dependent variables can seriously bias econometric estimates whether the zeros are included or excluded. Yet the widely-used gravity model is frequently estimated on samples that include large fractions of zeros. An influential paper by Santos Silva and Tenreyro – based on simulations that include no economically-determined zeros – concludes that the bias problems resulting from zeros and those resulting from heteroscedasticity and nonlinearity can be solved using the Poisson Pseudo-Maximum-Likelihood (PPML) model including the zero values. This paper begins by adapting the Santos Silva and Tenreyro experimental design to include economically-determined zeros to see whether this conclusion continues to hold. With this design, it finds that alternative estimators have lower bias than PPML. Changing to a Monte Carlo design that replicates the much-higher real-world frequency of predicted values near zero restores the finding of lower bias with the PPML estimator. The results highlight the need for very careful design of Monte Carlo experiments when evaluating alternative estimators of the gravity model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2766-2779 Issue: 26 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1687838 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1687838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:26:p:2766-2779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adalgiso Amendola Author-X-Name-First: Adalgiso Author-X-Name-Last: Amendola Author-Name: Roberto Dell’Anno Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Dell’Anno Author-Name: Lavinia Parisi Author-X-Name-First: Lavinia Author-X-Name-Last: Parisi Title: How did the Great Recession Affect Gender Disparity in Europe? An Analysis by a Multidimensional Deprivation Approach Abstract: This paper analyses how the Great Recession affected the gender disparity in material and social deprivation in Europe. We propose multidimensional non-monetary indexes of absolute and relative (i.e. using peer comparisons) deprivations estimated on data from the European Quality of Life Survey for the waves 2007 and 2011. We find that the Great Recession decreased gender disparity over all the dimensions of deprivations. By applying a Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition, we estimate that this decline of gender gap has depended on a reduction of the difference in characteristics between genders that has more than offset an increase of gender discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2780-2794 Issue: 26 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1696934 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1696934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:26:p:2780-2794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter Holzschuh Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Holzschuh Author-Name: Ankita Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ankita Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Jayant Misra Author-X-Name-First: Jayant Author-X-Name-Last: Misra Author-Name: Imad A. Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Shyam Nath Author-X-Name-First: Shyam Author-X-Name-Last: Nath Author-Name: George B. Tawadros Author-X-Name-First: George B. Author-X-Name-Last: Tawadros Title: An augmented P-star model of Indian inflation Abstract: An augmented P-Star model is estimated and tested to identify the drivers of inflation in India. The model includes monetary and non-monetary factors, demand-pull and cost-push factors, and domestic as well as foreign factors. The results show that inflation in India is driven by a combination of monetary factors and non-monetary factors, some of which affect inflation on the supply side while others operate on the demand side. It turns out, however, that inflation in India is determined more by domestic rather than foreign factors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2795-2806 Issue: 26 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1696935 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1696935 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:26:p:2795-2806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahsen Maqsoom Author-X-Name-First: Ahsen Author-X-Name-Last: Maqsoom Author-Name: Abdul Mughees Author-X-Name-First: Abdul Author-X-Name-Last: Mughees Author-Name: Hafiz Zahoor Author-X-Name-First: Hafiz Author-X-Name-Last: Zahoor Author-Name: Adnan Nawaz Author-X-Name-First: Adnan Author-X-Name-Last: Nawaz Author-Name: Khwaja Mateen Mazher Author-X-Name-First: Khwaja Mateen Author-X-Name-Last: Mazher Title: Extrinsic psychosocial stressors and workers’ productivity: impact of employee age and industry experience Abstract: This paper aims to explore the impact of employee age and industrial experience on extrinsic psychosocial stressors that may influence the productivity of workers. Using an integrated theoretical approach, this study examines four extrinsic psychosocial stressors, i.e. work environment, infrastructure, economy and country environment. The data were collected from Pakistani construction industry through a questionnaire survey approach. The study’s findings show that workers having diverse ages did not agree over several work environments and economy-related psychosocial stressors, whereas workers having diverse industrial experiences were in disagreement over numerous country environment and economy-related psychosocial stressors. The study concludes that firms need to mitigate the work environment related psychosocial stressors in young workers, such as, over congestion and inaccessibility to different tools, high temperature and workspace atmosphere. Moreover, organizational and governmental support are direly needed to overcome the country environment-related psychosocial stressors of less experienced workers who are more susceptible to these stressors due to the complex organizational culture, occurrence of natural disasters and unfavourable economic and political state of the country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2807-2820 Issue: 26 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1696936 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1696936 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:26:p:2807-2820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles-Olivier Amédée-Manesme Author-X-Name-First: Charles-Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Amédée-Manesme Author-Name: Benoit Faye Author-X-Name-First: Benoit Author-X-Name-Last: Faye Author-Name: Eric Le Fur Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Le Fur Title: Heterogeneity and fine wine prices: application of the quantile regression approach Abstract: This study addresses the price heterogeneity of the five first growths of Bordeaux. We apply the quantile regression (QR) approach with market segmentation based on wine bottle price quantiles. We compute the hedonic price of wine attributes for various price segments in the market. This approach is applied to a major dataset comprising approximately 50,000 transactions over the 2003–2017 period. The findings indicate that the relative hedonic prices of several wine attributes differ significantly among deciles. The implications of our results are manifold. Vintage and Parker grades have a strong impact on the variation in wine prices, and there is a hierarchy among the five first growths of Bordeaux. There is also a premium commanded by the reputation and experience of an auction house. Since the financial crisis of 2012–2013, investors have considered that the five first growths are overrated, save for the most expensive wines; for those most expensive ones, investors prefer scarcity to liquidity. These results are of import to several actors in the fine wine market: investors, for example, could use the findings herein to better diversify their wine portfolio, while auction houses could better anticipate their future sales based on consumers’ expectation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2821-2840 Issue: 26 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1696937 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1696937 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:26:p:2821-2840 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Barbi Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Barbi Author-Name: Hélyette Geman Author-X-Name-First: Hélyette Author-X-Name-Last: Geman Author-Name: Silvia Romagnoli Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Romagnoli Title: Diamonds and precious metals for reduction of portfolio tail risk Abstract: We study the performance of diamonds compared to gold and other precious metals in mitigating the tail risk of a diversified equity market portfolio over the period June 2007 to October 2018. Our results display a diversification benefit of some diamond indices, which also improve the portfolio reward-to-risk ratio. To corroborate this evidence, we study the dependence structure and tail dependence of diamonds and a broad equity market portfolio and compare it to the dependence obtained with gold and other precious metals. Results from fitting a bivariate copula show that the average left tail dependence reaches its minimum when diamonds are used. We also show that using shares of diamond-mining companies does not provide the same benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2841-2861 Issue: 26 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1696938 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1696938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:26:p:2841-2861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amar Bhidé Author-X-Name-First: Amar Author-X-Name-Last: Bhidé Title: Making economics more useful: how technological eclecticism could help Abstract: Keynes thought it would be ‘splendid’ if economists became more like dentists. Disciplinary economics has instead become more like physics in focusing on concise, universal propositions verified through decisive tests. This focus, I argue, limits the practical utility of the discipline because universal propositions form only a part of new policy recipes. I further suggest that, as in engineering and medicine, developing economic recipes requires eclectic combinations of suggestive tests and judgement. Additionally, I offer a detailed example of how a simulation model can help evaluate new policy combinations that affect the screening of loan applications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2862-2881 Issue: 26 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1696939 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1696939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:26:p:2862-2881 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriele Angori Author-X-Name-First: Gabriele Author-X-Name-Last: Angori Author-Name: David Aristei Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Aristei Author-Name: Manuela Gallo Author-X-Name-First: Manuela Author-X-Name-Last: Gallo Title: Lending technologies, banking relationships, and firms’ access to credit in Italy: the role of firm size Abstract: This paper analyses the role of lending technologies and banking relationships on firms’ credit access in Italy. Using EFIGE firm-level data, we show that the depth and strength of firm–bank relationships have heterogeneous effects on credit demand and rationing probabilities depending on the size of the borrower. Multiple banking relationships alleviate financial constraints for small firms, while borrowing from a large number of lenders hinders access to credit for large companies. Small and medium-sized enterprises with a higher share of debt with the main bank have a lower probability of being credit denied, as debt concentration contributes to overcome the opacity problems typical of the SMEs. Long-lasting relationships, by reducing information asymmetries, significantly improve access to credit for small and large firms. Conversely, we find that medium-sized enterprises are more exposed to financing constraints as relationship duration increases, due to possible lock-in effects. Finally, firms maintaining banking relationships based on transactional technologies are more likely to be credit denied, while the use of relationship lending technologies improves credit availability for both small and large enterprises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6139-6170 Issue: 58 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1613503 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1613503 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:58:p:6139-6170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maarten van Rooij Author-X-Name-First: Maarten van Author-X-Name-Last: Rooij Author-Name: Jakob de Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: de Haan Title: Would helicopter money be spent? New evidence for the Netherlands Abstract: According to some economists, central banks should use ‘helicopter money’ to boost inflation (expectations). Based on a survey among Dutch households, we examine whether respondents would spend the money received via such a transfer. Our results show that respondents expect to spend about 30% of the transfer and that helicopter money would hardly affect inflation expectations. Furthermore, whether transfers come from the central bank or the government makes no difference. Finally, our results suggest that the effect of helicopter money on public trust in the ECB is ambiguous. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6171-6189 Issue: 58 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1613504 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1613504 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:58:p:6171-6189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nga Lê Author-X-Name-First: Nga Author-X-Name-Last: Lê Author-Name: Wim Groot Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Groot Author-Name: Sonila M. Tomini Author-X-Name-First: Sonila M. Author-X-Name-Last: Tomini Author-Name: Florian Tomini Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Tomini Title: Effects of health insurance on labour supply: evidence from the health care fund for the poor in Vietnam Abstract: The expansion of health insurance in emerging countries raises concerns about the unintended negative effects of health insurance on labour supply. This article examines the labour supply effects of the Health Care Fund for the Poor (HCFP) in Vietnam in terms of the number of work hours per month and labour force participation (the probability of employment). Employing various matching methods combined with a Difference-in-Differences approach on the Vietnam Household Living Standard Surveys 2002–2006, we show that the HCFP, which aims to provide poor people and disadvantaged minority groups with free health insurance, has a negative effect on labour supply. This is manifested in both the average number of hours worked per month and the probability of employment, suggesting the income effect of the HCFP. Interestingly, the effects are mainly driven by the non-poor recipients living in rural areas, raising the question of the targeting strategy of the programme. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6190-6212 Issue: 58 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1613509 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1613509 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:58:p:6190-6212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheng Yao Author-X-Name-First: Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Wei-Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Chen-Miao Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Firm location and corporate dividend policy: evidence from China Abstract: We investigate the relation between a firm’s geographic location and its dividend policy. We find that firms headquartered in the National Central Cities, cities with high-speed rail (HSR), and with shorter distance to the nearest National Central City pay higher dividends. We find evidence that attributes the higher dividends to an increase in the number of analysts’ site visits, greater information transparency, and a reduction in financial constraints. Finally, the observed increases in dividends tend to be stronger for firms that benefit the most from improvements in the information environment after the arrival of HSR, such as firms located in regions without regional airports, firms located in areas with a lower regional gross domestic product, firms located a greater distance to the closest National Central City, and firms that are smaller, state-owned, have a shorter listing history in the exchanges, and have a more concentrated ownership. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6213-6234 Issue: 58 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1613511 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1613511 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:58:p:6213-6234 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elliot Boateng Author-X-Name-First: Elliot Author-X-Name-Last: Boateng Author-Name: Frank W. Agbola Author-X-Name-First: Frank W. Author-X-Name-Last: Agbola Author-Name: Amir Mahmood Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Mahmood Title: Does the quality of institutions enhance savings? The case of Sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: Over the last three decades, there has been increasing disparity in savings across regions and income groupings globally. In this paper, we investigate whether the quality of institutions explains the saving disparities in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Utilizing comprehensive panel data and spanning the period 1980–2015, we estimate a savings model using the two-step instrumental variable generalized method of moment (2SIV-GMM) estimator. Our results show that the impact of institutions on savings behaviour differs across regions and income groupings, and in SSA, in aggregate. We find that the level and growth of per capita income and terms of trade enhance savings whereas government consumption expenditure, financial sector development and the elderly dependency rate are savings impeding. The findings are robust to alternative model specification and highlight the importance of institutions in influencing savings behaviour in SSA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6235-6263 Issue: 58 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1616066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1616066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:58:p:6235-6263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ji Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ji Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Eze Peter Chimezie Author-X-Name-First: Eze Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Chimezie Author-Name: Gilbert V. Nartea Author-X-Name-First: Gilbert V. Author-X-Name-Last: Nartea Author-Name: Jing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Extreme returns and the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle: African evidence Abstract: We examine the cross-sectional relationship between the expected stock return and both the maximum daily return (MAX) and the idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) in the five largest emerging African stock markets over the period from 2001 to 2015. First, we find that there is a robust and significantly negative MAX effect in the pooled African stock markets. Second, though we initially document a negative IVOL effect, it disappears after controlling for MAX. Finally, the negative MAX effect is only significant in the small-SIZE, high-illiquidity and high-skewness portfolios. Our results suggest risk-seeking behaviour among African investors similar to that in other parts of the world. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6264-6279 Issue: 58 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1631442 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1631442 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:58:p:6264-6279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiang Feng Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Jing Feng Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Ming Li Author-X-Name-First: Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yang Li Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Are contingent instructors better teachers: evidence from a Chinese university Abstract: This paper evaluates the effects of contingent instructors on education outcomes in the context of higher education in developing countries. Exploiting the features of Chinese higher education system, we are able to exclude the confounding effects of student selection and heterogeneous marking standards. Although students of contingent instructors appear to perform as well as their fellow students taught by full-time instructors, we find the evidence that contingent instructors utilize lower marking standards, resulting an inflation of the scores of their students, which masks the negative impacts of their teaching. Our results suggest that contingent instructors have a significantly negative impact on education outcomes. While exposure to contingent instructors may affect the probability of students taking more challenging courses in the following term, the longer-term impacts on education outcomes are negligible. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6280-6285 Issue: 58 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1667476 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1667476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:58:p:6280-6285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Syed Jawad Hussain Author-X-Name-Last: Shahzad Author-Name: Chaker Aloui Author-X-Name-First: Chaker Author-X-Name-Last: Aloui Author-Name: Rania Jammazi Author-X-Name-First: Rania Author-X-Name-Last: Jammazi Author-Name: Muhammad Shahbaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Shahbaz Title: Are Islamic bonds a good safe haven for stocks? Implications for portfolio management in a time-varying regime-switching copula framework Abstract: We examine the portfolio implications of adding the Islamic bond index (Sukuk) to a benchmark portfolio of Islamic stocks. The daily data of the Islamic bond index; the Islamic stock markets of the world, Canada, Japan, USA, UK and Islamic financial stocks are used for the period of 1 October 2005 through 30 April 2015. We examine the presence of structural breaks via the Iterated Cumulative Sum of Square (ICSS) algorithm, which clearly indicate that Islamic stock-bond returns have several structural breaks over the sample period; hence, the dependence among the markets may have a regime-switching pattern. We rely on the flexible properties of the ARMA-FIGARCH models with the skew-t distribution to model the marginal distributions of the series. Next, a set of static, time-varying and regime-switching time-varying copula models are applied to encircle the dependence dynamics. Finally, using different portfolio strategies, we access the portfolio implications of a multi-asset portfolio. Overall, the results provide evidence that the Islamic bond index can be included as a potential hedge/safe haven in benchmark stock portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 219-238 Issue: 3 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494376 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494376 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:3:p:219-238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: James W. Saunoris Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Saunoris Title: Does variability in crimes affect other crimes? The case of international corruption and shadow economy Abstract: Using data on more than 125 countries, this article attempts to add to the research linking corruption and the shadow economy by examining the effect of variability (uncertainty) in one white-collar crime on the prevalence of the other. Measuring variability alternately via a 3-year and a 5-year moving SD, the following main points emerge from the econometric analysis that accounts for bi-directional causality. First, with shadow economy as the dependent variable, shadow economy and corruption are substitutes, and greater variability in corruption increases the shadow economy. Second, the effect of corruption variability is stronger in the short run than the long run. Third, with corruption as the dependent variable, corruption and shadow economy again turn out to be substitutes. Fourth, the effect of shadow economy variability has no statistically significant influence on corruption. Fifth, the findings are somewhat sensitive to an alternate measure of the shadow economy that covers a longer period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 239-258 Issue: 3 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494378 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494378 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:3:p:239-258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sujay Mukhoti Author-X-Name-First: Sujay Author-X-Name-Last: Mukhoti Author-Name: Pritam Ranjan Author-X-Name-First: Pritam Author-X-Name-Last: Ranjan Title: A new class of discrete-time stochastic volatility model with correlated errors Abstract: Returns of risky assets and their time-dependent volatility are often jointly modelled by stochastic volatility models (SVMs). Over the last few decades, several SVMs have been proposed to adequately capture the features of the relationship between the return and its volatility. The earliest SVM considers a hierarchical model, with current return as a function of the current latent volatility, which is further modelled as an auto-regressive process. In an attempt to make SVM more appropriate for complex realistic market behaviour, leverage parameter was introduced, which however led to violation of martingale difference property of the risky part of return (a necessary mean-zero condition that prevents arbitrage opportunities under mild regularity conditions). Subsequently, alternative SVMs had been developed and are currently in use. In this article, we propose mean-corrections for several generalizations of SVM with leverage that capture the complex market behaviour as well as satisfy martingale difference property of returns. We also establish a few theoretical results to characterize the key desirable features of these models, and present comparison with other popular competitors. Furthermore, three real-life examples (CITI bank stock price, euro–USD rate and S&P 500 index returns) have been used to demonstrate the performance of this new class of SVMs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 259-277 Issue: 3 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494804 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:3:p:259-277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Woon Wong Author-X-Name-First: Woon Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Author-Name: Iris Biefang-Frisancho Mariscal Author-X-Name-First: Iris Biefang-Frisancho Author-X-Name-Last: Mariscal Author-Name: Peter Howells Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Howells Title: Liquidity and credit risks in the UK’s financial crisis: how ‘quantitative easing’ changed the relationship Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between credit and liquidity risk components in the UK interbank spread during the recent financial crisis and sheds light on the transmission mechanism of the quantitative easing (QE) carried out by the Bank of England (BoE) on short-term interest rates. Specifically, we find that prior to the bank’s intervention counterparty risk was a major factor in the widening of the spread and also caused a rise in liquidity risk. However, this relationship was reversed during the period when QE was implemented. Using the accumulated value of asset purchases as a proxy for the central bank’s liquidity provisions, we provide evidence that the QE operations were successful in reducing liquidity premia and ultimately, and indirectly, credit risk. We also find evidence that suggests liquidity schemes provided by other central banks and international market sentiment contributed to the reduction of interbank spread. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 278-287 Issue: 3 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494814 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494814 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:3:p:278-287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Di Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Di Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Author-Name: Michael R. Thomsen Author-X-Name-First: Michael R. Author-X-Name-Last: Thomsen Author-Name: Rodolfo M. Nayga Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nayga Author-Name: Heather L. Rouse Author-X-Name-First: Heather L. Author-X-Name-Last: Rouse Title: Neighbourhood convenience stores and childhood weight outcomes: an instrumental variable approach Abstract: The association between the commercial food environment and childhood obesity is increasingly assessed in the literature, but little is known about the role of convenience stores, an important food retail format worldwide. This study helps bridge the gap using individual-level data containing measured body mass index (BMI) for public schoolchildren and geo-coded residence and store locations in Arkansas, United States. The distance from residence to the nearest highway is employed to instrument neighbourhood convenience store exposure, while controlling for possible confounding effects of other food stores. We find that exposure to at least one convenience store exposure is associated with a BMI z-score increase of 0.162 SD, and exposure to each additional convenience store is associated with a BMI increase of 0.071 SD. There is no evidence for a larger association among children from low-income families or those with limited access to healthy foods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 288-302 Issue: 3 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1495819 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1495819 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:3:p:288-302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabíola Zambom-Ferraresi Author-X-Name-First: Fabíola Author-X-Name-Last: Zambom-Ferraresi Author-Name: Belén Iráizoz Author-X-Name-First: Belén Author-X-Name-Last: Iráizoz Author-Name: Fernando Lera-López Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Lera-López Title: Are football managers as efficient as coaches? Performance analysis with and inputs in the Premier league Abstract: There is a controversy on sport performance literature about what type of inputs might explain more deeply the performance of sports clubs (inputs specification controversy). By one side, several papers have analysed sports teams’ performance using the match-related statistics or wages as inputs, well-known as ex post inputs. By other side, some authors have criticized the use of these ex post inputs, and recommend the use of ex ante inputs, as the market value of the players. We have analysed the performance of football teams estimating technical efficiency with three different inputs specification. The methodologies employed were data envelopment analysis (DEA) and a bootstrapped DEA. Our sample is composed by English Premier League football clubs, during three seasons (2012/13–2014/15). The DEA results indicate that the correlation between the three models is positive and significant. The DEA-bootstrapped results help to restate the robustness of the estimations and endorsed the inputs choices. The correlations of the estimations with market value and match-related statistics are the most striking (90% and 94%, DEA and bootstrapped DEA), which indicate that the existent discussion related to the use of match-related statistics as input is unjustified, because it does not affect significantly the efficiency estimations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 303-314 Issue: 3 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1495821 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1495821 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:3:p:303-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Fitzgerald Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Fitzgerald Author-Name: J. Ryan Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Title: The impact of firm characteristics on speed of adjustment to target leverage: a UK study Abstract: Responding to the need to investigate heterogeneity in the speed of adjustment (SOA) to target leverage in a manner that reflects the fractional nature of leverage, we estimate SOA across sub-samples of UK firms using the Dynamic Panel Fractional (DPF) estimator. Using firm characteristics to identify firms subject to varying costs of deviation from and adjustment to target leverage, we find significant evidence of heterogeneity in the speeds at which UK firms adjust to target leverage. Our results show that small, high growth and low dividend paying firms adjust to target leverage faster than their large, low growth and high dividend paying counterparts. We also find some evidence to suggest openly held firms adjust faster than closely held firms, though our results are not robust to the categorizing criterion employed or target leverage specification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 315-327 Issue: 3 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1495822 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1495822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:3:p:315-327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed M. Khalid Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed M. Author-X-Name-Last: Khalid Author-Name: Antonio Marasco Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Marasco Title: Do channels of financial integration matter for FDI’s impact on growth? Empirical evidence using a panel Abstract: This paper adds to the debate on the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth which suggest that the link between FDI and economic growth is rather the consequence of both FDI and growth responding endogenously to economic integration. We investigate if the impact of FDI on growth is dependent on the channel of integration used to attract FDI. We use four different indexes of economic integration including Trade Openness, Chinn-Ito, and KOF and our newly constructed index of financial integration. We employ these four indexes to investigate the role played by economic integration in linking FDI and growth. We use a panel consisting of 134 developing countries and data spanning the period 1989-2017 estimated using the generalized method of moments (GMM) technique. The results show that FDI is an important determinant of growth. The results also suggest that at least some of the integration variables do matter and work as channels to attract FDI leading to growth. However, after stratifying countries by income level, we also find that integration matters mainly for high income countries. Integration variables for other income groups do not show much significance. These are interesting results and may have important policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4025-4045 Issue: 37 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1588945 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1588945 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:37:p:4025-4045 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Parvaneh Shahnoori Author-X-Name-First: Parvaneh Author-X-Name-Last: Shahnoori Author-Name: Glenn P. Jenkins Author-X-Name-First: Glenn P. Author-X-Name-Last: Jenkins Title: The value of online banking to small and medium-sized enterprises: evidence from firms operating in the uae free trade zones Abstract: This study estimates the willingness to pay of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) for a business online banking services. The estimation utilizes a contingent valuation method employing data from 400 SMEs in the United Arab Emirates free zones. An interval regression model is used to identify company characteristics affecting WTP. The results indicate an average WTP for online banking of $518.50 per month. Firms engaging in international trade value these services at least 10% more than those with only domestic operations. Other variables that significantly affect WTP include number of employees and the transportation cost of using traditional branch banking. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4046-4055 Issue: 37 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1588948 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1588948 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:37:p:4046-4055 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shashika D. Rathnayaka Author-X-Name-First: Shashika D. Author-X-Name-Last: Rathnayaka Author-Name: E. A. Selva Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: E. A. Selva Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: Consumption patterns in Sri Lanka: a decomposition analysis Abstract: Knowing consumer reaction to changes in prices and income is important in formulating microeconomic policies, such as public utility prices and commodity taxation. This paper analyses the consumption patterns of consumer goods grouped into eight broad commodities in Sri Lanka during the period 1975–2016, using a system-wide framework. The analysis indicates that Sri Lankan consumers allocate more than half of their income to food and nearly four fifths of their income to food, housing, and transport combined. The estimated income and own-price elasticities reveal that food, housing, medical care, and transport are necessities; clothing, durables and recreation are luxuries; and demand for all commodities is price inelastic except for recreation. To investigate the consumption growth pattern, we decomposed the growth in consumption and change in budget shares of the eight commodities into income, relative price, and change in taste. We also simulated per capita consumption expenditure of the eight commodities under various policy scenarios and found that income growth has played a significant role in Sri Lankan consumption patterns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4056-4072 Issue: 37 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1588950 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1588950 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:37:p:4056-4072 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Satish Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Satish Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Rajesh Pathak Author-X-Name-First: Rajesh Author-X-Name-Last: Pathak Title: Modelling the dynamics of Bitcoin and Litecoin: GARCH versus stochastic volatility models Abstract: We examine and compare a large number of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (GARCH) and stochastic volatility (SV) models using series of Bitcoin and Litecoin price returns to assess the model fit for dynamics of these cryptocurrency price returns series. The various models examined include the standard GARCH(1,1) and SV with an AR(1) log-volatility process, as well as more flexible models with jumps, volatility in mean, leverage effects, t-distributed and moving average innovations. We report that the best model for Bitcoin is SV-t while it is GARCH-t for Litecoin. Overall, the t-class of models performs better than other classes for both cryptocurrencies. For Bitcoin, the SV models consistently outperform the GARCH models and the same holds true for Litecoin in most cases. Finally, the comparison of GARCH models with GARCH-GJR models reveals that the leverage effect is not significant for cryptocurrencies, suggesting that these do not behave like stock prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4073-4082 Issue: 37 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1588951 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1588951 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:37:p:4073-4082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Astrid Ayala Author-X-Name-First: Astrid Author-X-Name-Last: Ayala Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Title: Score-driven models of stochastic seasonality in location and scale: an application case study of the Indian rupee to USD exchange rate Abstract: We estimate the stochastic seasonality of the Indian rupee (INR) to United States dollar (USD) exchange rate by using new dynamic conditional score (DCS) specifications. We use the DCS-Skew-Gen-$$t$$t (DCS-skewed generalized t distribution) and DCS-NIG (DCS-normal-inverse Gaussian distribution) models, which are alternatives to the DCS-$$t$$t (DCS-Student’s $$t$$t -distribution) and DCS-EGB2 (DCS-exponential generalized beta distribution of the second kind) models from the literature. DCS models are robust to outliers, and such models effectively disentangle the local level, seasonality and irregular components. For the latter, we apply DCS-EGARCH (DCS-exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) scale dynamics, and we use new DCS models with seasonal volatility. We use INR/USD data for the period of 1 January 1982 to 7 July 2017. We find that the DCS-Skew-Gen-$$t$$t and DCS-NIG models are superior to the DCS-$$t$$t and DCS-EGB2 models, respectively. The amplitude of the INR/USD seasonality is relatively high during the last decade of the sample. We explain this by using the currency movements that are related to increased seasonal exports and imports of India. We show the robustness of our results for different exchange rate regimes: (i) pegged exchange rate regime period (until February 1993); (ii) liberalized exchange rate management system period (since March 1993). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4083-4103 Issue: 37 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1588952 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1588952 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:37:p:4083-4103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hussein Ali Abdoh Author-X-Name-First: Hussein Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Abdoh Title: Product market competition and productivity shocks Abstract: I investigate the interaction effects of competition and productivity shocks on stocks’ earnings and returns. I find that the sensitivities of earnings and returns to productivity shocks are negatively associated with competition intensity. I also find that the excess returns of productivity shocks-sorted portfolios are lower when competition intensity is high, even after controlling for known return predictors. Overall, the empirical evidence shows firms are less exposed to productivity shocks when competition is high. As such, this study provides a possible mechanism through which the structure of product markets affects stock returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4104-4115 Issue: 37 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1588953 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1588953 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:37:p:4104-4115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jani Bekő Author-X-Name-First: Jani Author-X-Name-Last: Bekő Author-Name: Timotej Jagrič Author-X-Name-First: Timotej Author-X-Name-Last: Jagrič Author-Name: Dušan Fister Author-X-Name-First: Dušan Author-X-Name-Last: Fister Author-Name: Christine Brown Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Peter Beznec Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Beznec Author-Name: Hans Kluge Author-X-Name-First: Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Kluge Author-Name: Tammy Boyce Author-X-Name-First: Tammy Author-X-Name-Last: Boyce Title: The economic effects of health care systems on national economies: an input-output analysis of Slovenia Abstract: This paper estimates the size of the economic impact generated by the Slovenian health care sector on the national economy in the 2009–2014 period. The study separately calculates output, income, employment, value-added and import multipliers for the Slovenian health care sector based on input-output analysis covering 49 sectors. Initially, values of simple output multipliers for all years are estimated. When the re-circulation of final demand through households is added to the direct and indirect economic effects, the values of total output multipliers considerably exceeds 2. The results suggest that an additional million EUR of final demand in the health care sector will, based on different scenarios, increase the total employment by 20 to 30 units. Moreover, the type II employment multipliers imply that under the best-case scenario one employee in the health care sector creates an additional 0.7 unit of employment in remaining structures of the observed economy. Stability evaluation of the derived multipliers suggests that the domestic health care sector may reduce volatilities in production, income and employment and consequently act as an important shock absorber in the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4116-4126 Issue: 37 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1588955 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1588955 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:37:p:4116-4126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyo-Jin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyo-Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hye-Jeong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hye-Jeong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Public willingness to pay for endocrine disrupting chemicals-free labelling policy in Korea Abstract: As public interest in health and safety grows, endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDC) have become an inevitable problem in society. One way to reduce the social cost of exposure to EDC is to grant a label certification to eco-friendly products that do not release EDC. The Korean government is considering introducing an EDC-free labelling policy. Therefore, our article tries to examine the public willingness to pay (WTP) for implementing the EDC-free labelling policy in Korea. For this purpose, a contingent valuation survey of 1000 Korean consumers was conducted in 2016. We used a one-and-one-half-bounded dichotomous choice question to elicit the WTP responses from the respondents. The mean of household WTP for the EDC-free labelling policy implementation is estimated to be KRW 2266 (USD 2.05) per year. When we expand the value to the whole country, it amounts to KRW 42.9 billion (USD 38.8 million) per year. These values are statistically meaningful at the 1% level and imply that the EDC-free labelling policy contributes to households’ utility and should be implemented immediately. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 131-140 Issue: 2 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494803 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494803 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:2:p:131-140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Berthold Burth Author-X-Name-First: Berthold Author-X-Name-Last: Burth Author-Name: Solveig Reißig-Thust Author-X-Name-First: Solveig Author-X-Name-Last: Reißig-Thust Title: Private equity deal success and pre-acquisition determinants – empirical evidence from Germany Abstract: Shortly after a fall-back linked to recent financial crises, private equity investing has been undergoing a strong revival, especially in Germany. In a country known for the large number of small- and medium-sized companies, private equity investors can profit from a large choice of potential targets. Researchers have been broadly studying the field of private equity for many years, especially exploring post-investment value creation. But most articles missed to address the importance of pre-acquisition determinants such as target characteristics. Under these circumstances, this study focuses on exploring the relationship between pre-acquisition target characteristics and deal performance by analysing a sample of 125 transactions in Germany using an ordinal logistic regression analysis.The findings suggest that asset lightness, management experience and the healthcare industry are positively linked to the deal success by increasing the likelihood of achieving a higher return category.This implies that private equity investors active in Germany could outperform if they set according to investment preferences. Similarly, investors are likely to get a higher return from general partners who invest in companies presenting such characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 141-154 Issue: 2 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494806 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494806 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:2:p:141-154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xili Ma Author-X-Name-First: Xili Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Huiqing Wang Author-X-Name-First: Huiqing Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Weixian Wei Author-X-Name-First: Weixian Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: The role of emissions trading mechanisms and technological progress in achieving China’s regional clean air target: a CGE analysis Abstract: In this article, a multi-regional dynamic computable general equilibrium model is built to study the impacts of $${\rm{S}}{O_2}$$SO2 emissions trading and technological progress on the economy under the premise of achieving the targeted air pollution control objectives. The results show that, if air quality in the South and the Pearl River Delta reaches the national standard of level I, and other regions reach Level II by 2030 via implementing an emissions trading mechanism, the industry structure will be improved and $${\rm{C}}{O_2}$$CO2 emissions will drop 30–40% nationwide compared to the baseline scenario. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 155-169 Issue: 2 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494807 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494807 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:2:p:155-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isaac Ahimbisibwe Author-X-Name-First: Isaac Author-X-Name-Last: Ahimbisibwe Author-Name: Rati Ram Author-X-Name-First: Rati Author-X-Name-Last: Ram Title: The contribution of millennium development goals towards improvement in major development indicators, 1990–2015 Abstract: This study explores the contribution of Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) towards improvement in seven major development indicators during 1990-2015. The improvement in each indicator is decomposed into two parts. The first is the improvement that is likely to have occurred without the MDGs and is calculated by extrapolating to the entire period 1990-2015 the pre-MDG trend of 1990-2000. The second part is the improvement that may be attributed to the MDGs and is calculated as the actual improvement during 1990-2015 minus the part based on pre-MDG factors. The contributions are estimated for the world and six geographical regions. Apart from the huge diversity across the indicators and the regions, the exercise indicates two main points. First, MDGs did make a positive contribution to the improvement in almost all cases and it is not true that the MDGs contributed little. Second, however, the improvement attributable to the pre-MDG factors dominates contribution of the MDGs. Relative to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), the study indicates that attainment of the SDG targets for access to safe water and under-5 mortality at the global level appears likely, but attainment of the targets for poverty rate, maternal mortality, and access to sanitation seems unlikely.Abbreviation EAP: East Asia & Pacific; ECA: Europe & Central Asia; LAC: Latin America & Caribbean; MENA: Middle East & North Africa; SA: South Asia; SSA: Sub-Saharan Africa; ICP: International Comparison Program; MDGs: Millennium Development Goals; SDGs: Sustainable Development Goals; UN: United Nations; UNICEF: United Nations Children’s Fund; WDI: World Development Indicators Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 170-180 Issue: 2 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494808 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494808 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:2:p:170-180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joanie Buckley Author-X-Name-First: Joanie Author-X-Name-Last: Buckley Author-Name: Russell Kashian Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Kashian Title: Ownership effects among Native American banks, 2001-2016 Abstract: Minority Depository Institutions (MDIs), including Native American Banks (NatBs), play an integral role in providing financial services to the under-served. NatBs are split between those that are Tribal owned and those owned by individual Native Americans as private banks. This research explores differences between the two, other MDIs and comparable mainstream banks, using data from 2001 to 2016. Tribal NatBs are hypothesized to emphasize community development for the under-served over profit maximization, and to take on high levels of risk. Testing uses comparisons of population means and regressions, and the overall pattern of results and limited regression findings support those possibilities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 181-195 Issue: 2 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494810 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494810 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:2:p:181-195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cuixia Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Cuixia Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Xiaoyi Ding Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyi Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Author-Name: Qifa Xu Author-X-Name-First: Qifa Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Xi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yezheng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yezheng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Portfolio selection based on predictive joint return distribution Abstract: A predictive joint return distribution can provide more useful information than moment-based risk measures in portfolio selection. This article develops a D-vine copula-CAViaR method to estimate and predict the joint probability distribution of multiple financial returns. Furthermore, we construct a portfolio model via the generalized Omega ratio inferred from the predicted joint return distribution. The superiority of our method is illustrated through an empirical application on five international stock market indices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 196-206 Issue: 2 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494812 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494812 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:2:p:196-206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Raschke Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Raschke Title: Unexpected windfalls, education, and mental health: evidence from lottery winners in Germany Abstract: This paper investigates the causal impact of large unexpected windfalls on individual mental health, physical health, as well as health behaviors. I use a large individual-level panel data set of lottery winners from Germany between the years 2000 and 2011 and observe lottery winners before and after winning a large lottery prize. Mental health declines immediately after winning a large lottery prize for individuals with low education and low levels of financial literacy. While these individuals report being happier after winning the lottery, evidence from commonly used SF-12 measures of mental health indicates that winners with low education experience increased role limitations due to emotional problems, are more anxious, and have less energy after their win. The impact on various measures of mental health is highly robust, statistically significant, economically significant, and persists for up to two years after the win. Unexpected windfalls have no impact on the mental health of individuals with high education or high financial literacy. Winning the lottery has no impact on individuals’ health behaviors such as smoking or alcohol consumption, and it has no impact on doctor visits, hospital stays, or illness-related work absences regardless of education level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 207-218 Issue: 2 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494813 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:2:p:207-218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammed Benlemlih Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Benlemlih Author-Name: Jamil Jaballah Author-X-Name-First: Jamil Author-X-Name-Last: Jaballah Author-Name: Jonathan Peillex Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Peillex Title: Does it really pay to do better? Exploring the financial effects of changes in CSR ratings Abstract: Previous literature on the link between corporate social responsibility (CSR) and financial performance has focused mainly on the financial implications of a firm’s level of CSR without considering the potential effects on financial performance of variations in CSR rating. We try to fill this gap by studying whether variations in a firm’s CSR rating affect systematic risk, firm value, and portfolio performance. First, our results show that an increase in firms’ CSR efforts, as reflected by an increase in their CSR ratings, significantly reduces systematic risk. Second, a positive variation in CSR ratings significantly improves firm value. Finally, from a portfolio perspective, a strategy that consists of buying stocks that have experienced a CSR ratings increase and selling stocks that have experienced a CSR ratings decrease (or remain stable) leads to lower financial performance. Taken together, our findings provide new evidence and financial implications for firms and portfolio managers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5464-5482 Issue: 51 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486997 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486997 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:51:p:5464-5482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: María del Mar Miralles-Quiros Author-X-Name-First: María del Mar Author-X-Name-Last: Miralles-Quiros Author-Name: José Luis Miralles-Quiros Author-X-Name-First: José Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Miralles-Quiros Author-Name: Julio Daza-Izquierdo Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Daza-Izquierdo Title: Growth, profits and foreign ownership in the Brazilian banking industry Abstract: The deregulation of the financial markets and their progressive globalization has favoured the internationalization of banking. Moreover, during the international financial crisis, the presence of foreign banks has increased in countries experiencing faster economic growth, such as Brazil. In this context, the aim of this study is to analyze the growth and profitability of the financial institutions in Brazil, taking into account the possible non-linearity of the relationship, the differences between Brazilian and foreign institutions and the effect of the crisis. Our results indicate that the entry of foreign institutions has a direct effect on the Brazilian banking industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5483-5494 Issue: 51 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486998 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486998 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:51:p:5483-5494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Natividad Blasco Author-X-Name-First: Natividad Author-X-Name-Last: Blasco Author-Name: Pilar Corredor Author-X-Name-First: Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Corredor Author-Name: Elena Ferrer Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrer Title: Analysts herding: when does sentiment matter? Abstract: Herding among analysts emerges when analysts give priority to their peers’ opinions instead of their own beliefs or information. Some circumstances may enhance or restrain this type of behaviour. We postulate that market sentiment is one of them. This article analyses the effect that investor sentiment may have on analysts’ herding behaviour in the U.K. Our results suggest that ‘easy situations’ such as analysing easy-to-value securities and releasing optimistic information at times of high market sentiment clearly reduce herding practices, whereas herding clearly increases in difficult situations when analysts have to release negative information at moments of high investor sentiment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5495-5509 Issue: 51 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486999 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:51:p:5495-5509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Reed Bergmann Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Reed Author-X-Name-Last: Bergmann Author-Name: Jose Roberto Ferreira Savoia Author-X-Name-First: Jose Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Savoia Author-Name: Claudio Felisoni de Angelo Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Felisoni de Angelo Author-Name: Eduardo Augusto do Rosário Contani Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Augusto do Rosário Author-X-Name-Last: Contani Author-Name: Fabiana Lopes da Silva Author-X-Name-First: Fabiana Lopes da Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Title: Portfolio management with tail dependence Abstract: Many publications, that treated with Portfolio Management, were devastating for all asset allocation models in the context of portfolios. The elimination of extreme events (asymmetric or tail dependence) during the portfolio construction process can reduce the skills of asset managers to reduce risk through diversification. The copula theory allows us to calculate an alternative to measure the dependence of extreme events in assets through the index lower tail dependence. We check that the strategies with tail dependence overcame Talmud rule, the Markowitz model and the model of Tu and Zhou by simulating 1,000 portfolios with 3, 5, 10 and 20 randomly selected assets from DJIA for the period 03/1990 until 12/2016. We conclude that models of tail dependence and Markowitz had more performance ex-ante than Talmud and the Tu and Zhou model for portfolios with 3, 5, 10 and 20 assets. Tail dependence models overcome Markowitz, in terms of cumulative return, in over 60% of months considered in the analysis. The results indicate that the Talmud rule should be discarded in a context of constructing portfolios with individual stocks ahead strategies with tail dependence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5510-5520 Issue: 51 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1487000 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1487000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:51:p:5510-5520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simone Salotti Author-X-Name-First: Simone Author-X-Name-Last: Salotti Author-Name: Carmine Trecroci Author-X-Name-First: Carmine Author-X-Name-Last: Trecroci Title: Cross-country evidence on the distributional impact of fiscal policy Abstract: This article provides new evidence on the distributional effects of fiscal policy using data on a panel of OECD economies over the last four decades. We study how four measures of income inequality and poverty respond to several stock and flow variables accounting for fiscal actions. We find that increases in government debt and expenditure promote a less unequal distribution of income. We detect a significant distributional impact of education and social spending as well as of government consumption expenditure. We also investigate potential redistributive implications of large fiscal expansion and consolidation episodes finding no evidence of additional effects beyond those associated with conventional fiscal variables.Abbreviations: OECD: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development; GDP: Gross Domestic Product; G20: Group of 20 economies (forum of 19 dvanced and emerging countries plus the European Union); CGE: Computational General Equilibrium models; DSGE: Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium models; UN-WIDER: United Nations World Institute for Development Economics Research; SWIID: Standardized World Income Inequality Database; WDI: World Development Indicators; PPP: Purchasing-Power Parity; LIS: Luxembourg Income Database; GMM: Generalized Method of Moments; FE: Fixed Effects; RE: Random Effects; SE: Standard Errors; CPI: Consumer Price Index Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5521-5542 Issue: 51 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1487001 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1487001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:51:p:5521-5542 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. F. M. De Jong Author-X-Name-First: J. F. M. Author-X-Name-Last: De Jong Author-Name: M. Ferdinandusse Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ferdinandusse Author-Name: J. Funda Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Funda Title: Public capital in the 21st century: as productive as ever? Abstract: The global financial crisis and the euro area sovereign debt crisis that followed induced a rapid deterioration in the fiscal positions of countries across the globe. In the ensuing fiscal adjustment process, public investments were severely reduced in many countries. How harmful is this for growth perspectives? Our main objective is to find out whether the importance of public capital for long run output growth has changed in recent years. To this end, we expand time series on public capital stocks for 20 OECD countries and estimate country-specific recursive vector autoregressive (VAR) models. Results show that the effect of public capital shocks on economic growth has not increased in general, although results differ widely between countries. This suggests that the current level of public investments generally does not pose an immediate threat to potential output. Of course, this could change if low investment levels are sustained for a long time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5543-5560 Issue: 51 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1487002 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1487002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:51:p:5543-5560 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rüdiger Wapler Author-X-Name-First: Rüdiger Author-X-Name-Last: Wapler Author-Name: Daniel Werner Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Werner Author-Name: Katja Wolf Author-X-Name-First: Katja Author-X-Name-Last: Wolf Title: Active labour market policies in Germany: do regional labour markets benefit? Abstract: This article examines on a regional level whether active labour market policies (ALMP) improve the matching process. To take the fact of heterogeneous search effectiveness during programme participation into account, we distinguish between current and former programme participants. Our findings based on a regional augmented matching function show that higher search effectiveness due to ALMP is not outweighed by indirect effects on nonparticipants. The total number of matches in a region increases with a higher share of former programme participants among the jobseekers. However, these effects largely differ between programme types.Abbreviation OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development)ALMP (active labour market policy) Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5561-5578 Issue: 51 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1487526 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1487526 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:51:p:5561-5578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nguyen Ba Trung Author-X-Name-First: Nguyen Author-X-Name-Last: Ba Trung Author-Name: Taise Kaizoji Author-X-Name-First: Taise Author-X-Name-Last: Kaizoji Title: Investment climate and firm productivity: an application to Vietnamese manufacturing firms Abstract: The fundamental aspect of a national competitive advantage is a good investment climate. Understanding the role of the investment climate in generating firm productivity has received extensive attention by policymakers and economists in many countries. The article studies the effect of different dimensions of the investment climate on firm productivity. Using a large dataset of Vietnamese manufacturing firms, the article finds that deficiencies in the investment climate are prejudicial to firm productivity and competition. Furthermore, in examining the effect of corruption in association with the quality of the business environment, the study also investigates the possibility that corruption may compensate firms for a bad investment climate or at least may neutralize the negative impact of inefficient government regulations. In other words, corruption acts as ‘speed money’ to improve the efficacy of the provision of public services or provides leeway for entrepreneurs to bypass the inefficient regulations. This situation, however, is extremely harmful to the economy in the long run because it distorts the market and erodes the incentives for productive investments. Developing countries therefore need to put much more effort into institutional reforms, especially fighting corruption and efficiency in the provision of public goods and services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4394-4409 Issue: 44 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1282148 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1282148 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:44:p:4394-4409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xinxin Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Xinxin Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Stanley Peterburgsky Author-X-Name-First: Stanley Author-X-Name-Last: Peterburgsky Title: Investment performance of shorted leveraged ETF pairs Abstract: We analyze investment strategies involving triple-leveraged and inverse triple-leveraged ETF pairs by simulating daily returns over a 48-year period. Our results show that many such strategies significantly outperform the S&P 500 on a risk-adjusted basis. For example, when shorting the bear triple-leveraged ETF and the bull triple-leveraged ETF in a 2:1 proportion (while going long Treasuries), we find that the average annual Sharpe ratio is more than four times higher than for the S&P 500 and that the strategy outperforms the S&P 500 in 43 of the 48 years. Our results are robust to variations in bear/bull proportions, rebalance thresholds, and underlying parameters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4410-4427 Issue: 44 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1282149 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1282149 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:44:p:4410-4427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernadetta Dwi Suatmi Author-X-Name-First: Bernadetta Dwi Author-X-Name-Last: Suatmi Author-Name: Harry Bloch Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Bloch Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Title: Trade liberalization and technical efficiency in the Indonesian chemicals industry Abstract: This article examines the impact of trade reform on technical efficiency on the Indonesian chemicals industry using firm-level panel data. The effects of trade reform on technical efficiency are analysed using a stochastic frontier approach. Two variables represent trade reform in this model: effective rate of protection (ERP) and import ratio (IMP). The findings of the present study suggest that both trade reform variables have significant effects on technical efficiency. The coefficient of ERP has a positive sign and is statistically significant, which means that an increase in ERP increases the inefficiency (or decreases the technical efficiency) of firms in the chemicals industry. The coefficient of IMP is negative and statistically significant, which represents the negative impact of IMP on technical inefficiency (or positive on technical efficiency). Thus, trade reform, a reduction in ERP or an increase in IMP, has an unambiguously positive effect on technical efficiency in the Indonesian chemicals industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4428-4439 Issue: 44 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1282150 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1282150 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:44:p:4428-4439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nada Ben Elhadj Author-X-Name-First: Nada Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Elhadj Author-Name: Didier Laussel Author-X-Name-First: Didier Author-X-Name-Last: Laussel Title: Low prices cum selective distribution versus high prices: how best to signal quality? Abstract: We investigate the best signalling strategy for a monopoly introducing a new product with unobservable quality when second-period sales are linked to first-period ones and the firm may tailor its distribution network to exclude some consumers. When producing a high quality product rather than a low quality one is relatively costly with respect to the increase in quality, optimal signalling is by price alone. But when the cost differential is lower, it will be optimal to set a low first-period price, not to serve all would-be consumers at this price (selective distribution) and raise the price afterwards. Paradoxically, this strategy allows a larger customer base to be reached than in the case of pure price signalling. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4440-4459 Issue: 44 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1284988 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1284988 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:44:p:4440-4459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios P. Louzis Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios P. Author-X-Name-Last: Louzis Author-Name: Angelos T. Vouldis Author-X-Name-First: Angelos T. Author-X-Name-Last: Vouldis Title: Profit strategy of Greek banks: cross-subsidization and diversification versus complementarity Abstract: This study analyses the profit strategy employed by banks in Greece using dynamic panel data techniques and a data set which includes proprietary supervisory data covering the whole Greek commercial banking system from 2004 to 2011. We provide evidence that banks use interest- and non-interest income (non-II) as substitutes rather than complements, with non-II representing an indirect competition instrument by the more efficient banks used in place of direct competition with their peers through prices on loans and deposits. This behaviour is explained by further decomposing the non-II into the relatively stable fees component and the volatile trading income. Moreover, we provide evidence that the net-interest income is primarily affected by the banks’ market power and their operating costs, while more efficient banks exploit their core deposit base to lever their non-II. Finally, macroeconomic developments affect both income components, which are found to be procyclical with respect to economic activity. In particular, the two income components are affected differently from inflation implying that non-II provides a natural hedge against adverse effects from deflation on interest income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4460-4481 Issue: 44 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1284989 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1284989 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:44:p:4460-4481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tung Lam Dang Author-X-Name-First: Tung Lam Author-X-Name-Last: Dang Author-Name: Thi Hong Hanh Huynh Author-X-Name-First: Thi Hong Hanh Author-X-Name-Last: Huynh Author-Name: Manh Toan Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Manh Toan Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Thi Minh Hue Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Thi Minh Hue Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: The firm information environment and capital structure: international evidence Abstract: This article investigates the effect of the firm information environment, characterized by the analyst characteristics, on firms’ capital structure choices and whether this effect varies according to country-level institutional environments. Using a comprehensive international data set that covers 19 939 firms across 41 countries between 2000 and 2010, we document two key findings. First, firms with lower analyst coverage, higher forecast dispersion and higher forecast errors have higher leverage. Second, the effect of the firm information environment on corporate leverage is attenuated in countries with stronger governance mechanism and better information transparency. This result suggests that a firm’s information environment is an important factor influencing its capital structure decision and that country-level institutional environments matter to this effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4482-4500 Issue: 44 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1284991 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1284991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:44:p:4482-4500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Soon Suk Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Soon Suk Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Author-Name: Hyo Jin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyo Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hongbok Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hongbok Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Doug Waggle Author-X-Name-First: Doug Author-X-Name-Last: Waggle Title: Financing preferences: evidence from the Korean market Abstract: We investigate the financing decisions of Korean firms during the period of 1996–2015. Korean firms follow a matching strategy for funding their cash needs. Cash inflows from investing activities are the primary source of funding for capital expenditures, and cash inflows from financing activities are the major means of covering cash outflows from financing activities. We also find that Korean firms’ financing practice of handling cash deficits can be described by the pecking order model modified and augmented by cash flow variables. Cash inflows from investing activities account for the major portion of financing to make up for cash deficits, followed by short- and long-term debt, and then equity financing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4501-4520 Issue: 44 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1284993 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1284993 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:44:p:4501-4520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Bastianin Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Bastianin Title: Robust measures of skewness and kurtosis for macroeconomic and financial time series Abstract: The sample skewness and kurtosis of macroeconomic and financial time series are routinely scrutinized in the early stages of model-building and are often the central topic of studies in economics and finance. Notwithstanding the availability of several robust estimators, most scholars in economics rely on method-of-moments estimation that is known to be very sensitive to outliers. We carry out an extensive Monte Carlo analysis to evaluate the bias and root mean squared error of 12 different estimators of skewness and kurtosis. We consider nine statistical distributions that approximate the range of data generating processes of many macroeconomic and financial time series. Both in independently and identically distributed samples and in data generating processes featuring serial correlation L-moments and trimmed L-moments estimators are particularly resistant to outliers and deliver improvements over standard as well as alternative robust estimators of skewness and kurtosis. The application to 128 macroeconomic and financial time series sourced from a large, monthly frequency, database (i.e. the FRED-MD of McCracken and Ng, 2016) confirms the findings of the simulation study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 637-670 Issue: 7 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1640862 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1640862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:7:p:637-670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ernest Gyapong Author-X-Name-First: Ernest Author-X-Name-Last: Gyapong Author-Name: Maithm M. R. Khaghaany Author-X-Name-First: Maithm M. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Khaghaany Author-Name: Ammad Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Ammad Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: The asymmetric role of corporate governance in CEO pay determination: evidence from South Africa Abstract: Previous studies suggest that CEOs may be incentivised to pursue actions aimed at restoring equity when pay deviates from the predicted CEO labour market compensation rate. This study investigates the effect of corporate governance (CG) quality on CEO pay deviation in an emerging economy characterised by weaker external corporate regulatory environment. Using a unique hand-collected data of 185 South African listed firms over a six-year period, We document that whereas CG quality impacts negatively on total CEO pay deviation, this is only conspicuous when the CEO is overpaid. CG quality has no effect on CEO compensation when the CEO is underpaid. We find that CEO underpayment reduces firm value in poorly-governed firms. In contrast, CEO overpayment has no effect on firm value irrespective of the level of CG quality. The findings imply that recent CEO pay level agitations have resulted in the design of CG mechanisms that reduces the tendency of CEO pay to adjust upwards. The results are robust to alternative econometric techniques and endogeneity concerns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 671-693 Issue: 7 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1645280 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1645280 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:7:p:671-693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yosef Bonaparte Author-X-Name-First: Yosef Author-X-Name-Last: Bonaparte Author-Name: Frank J. Fabozzi Author-X-Name-First: Frank J. Author-X-Name-Last: Fabozzi Author-Name: David Koslowsky Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Koslowsky Title: Birth order and portfolio choice Abstract: This paper examines the impact of birth order on financial decision-making. In lieu of explanations such as dissimilar parental style across children with different birth orders (due to learning and experience) or the existence of sibling externalities commonly offered in the literature to explain the impact of birth order on financial decision-making, our key conjecture is that birth order influences a host of personality traits, including risk-taking behaviour, and thus financial decisions. Indeed, we find that only born males tolerate greater financial risks and exhibit higher propensity to participate in the stock market. Irrespective of their birth order, only born individuals are 4.7–13.7% more likely to participate in the stock market. Furthermore, we also find that only born males demonstrate more activity in the financial market (higher tendencies to trade assets). Collectively, our stylized results suggest that birth order can be used as a predictor of portfolio choice decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 694-709 Issue: 7 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646886 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:7:p:694-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco M. Pedraja Author-X-Name-First: Francisco M. Author-X-Name-Last: Pedraja Author-Name: Cristina Polo Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Polo Author-Name: Javier Suárez-Pandiello Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Suárez-Pandiello Title: Evaluating fiscal effort in heterogeneous contexts using a conditional nonparametric frontier approach Abstract: The aim of this paper is the estimation of a measure of the fiscal effort made by certain countries taking into account the heterogeneous contexts in which they operate over a ten-year period (2002–2011). To do this, we adopt a conditional efficiency approach that allows for accounting for those different environments in the estimation efficiency measures that we interpret as relative measures of fiscal effort. The results show that many countries labelled as inefficient in an initial analysis without considering their context become efficient when contextual variables are taken into account. There is a rather pronounced upward trend in the evolution of the conditional efficiency scores over time, especially during the later years of the analysed period. Among contextual variables considered in our evaluation, the transparency index, the income equality index and the importance of taxable income derived from natural resources are the main factors affecting fiscal effort of countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 710-725 Issue: 7 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1647332 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1647332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:7:p:710-725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Minford Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Minford Author-Name: Yi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Peng Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Resolving the public-sector wage premium puzzle by indirect inference Abstract: This paper investigates the public-sector wage premium (PSWP) in the UK using a microfounded economic model and indirect inference (II). To answer the question whether there is public-sector wage premium, we ask an equivalent question – whether a model assuming perfect competition can explain the data. The neoclassical labour economic model is tested and estimated without introducing any ad hoc gap between the theoretical and empirical models. Popular econometric models are used as auxiliary models to summarise the data features, based on which we evaluate the distance between the observed data and the model-simulated data. We show that it is not the non-market factors, but the total costs and benefits of working in different sectors and so simple market forces, that create the public-sector wage premium. In other words, there is no inefficiency or unfairness in the labour market to justify government intervention. In addition, selection bias test can be incorporated into the indirect inference procedures in a straightforward way, and we find no evidence for it in the data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 726-741 Issue: 7 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1648748 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1648748 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:7:p:726-741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Rosas Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Rosas Author-Name: Santiago Acerenza Author-X-Name-First: Santiago Author-X-Name-Last: Acerenza Author-Name: Peter F. Orazem Author-X-Name-First: Peter F. Author-X-Name-Last: Orazem Title: Optimal pricing strategies for a cluster of goods: own- and cross-price effects with correlated tastes Abstract: Contingent valuation methods are used to identify observed and unobserved preferences of goods and services. We apply these methods, in the context of multivariate probit analysis, to compute willingness to pay for each product of a cluster of goods conditional on having purchased another offered good of the cluster. We also provide a derivation of compensated cross-price elasticities based on unobservable factors, proving to be convenient in situations where cross-prices are not part of the demand equations. As goods belonging to a cluster typically embed correlated taste, their pricing strategy should consider all offered goods simultaneously rather than individually. Therefore, we solve for the set of optimal prices of a social planner whose objective function weights both the producer’s revenues and the consumer’s joint latent utility. We show an application to collegiate sports events, but these methods can be extended in a straightforward fashion to other goods and services. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.Abbreviations: C30, Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models, General; C35, Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; C40, Special Topics of Econometric and Statistical Methods; D12, Empirical Analysis of Consumer Economics; D40, Market Structure, Pricing, and Design; D60, Welfare Economics; Z20, Sport Economics Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 742-755 Issue: 7 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659502 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659502 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:7:p:742-755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Su-Yin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Su-Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Han Hou Author-X-Name-First: Han Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Title: Do non-intermediation services tell us more in the finance–growth nexus?: causality evidence from eight OECD countries Abstract: This paper provides new evidence on a traditional finance–growth nexus through dividing financial services into financial intermediation and non-intermediation services and examining their relationships with economic growth. Applying time-series cointegration techniques and Granger causality tests for eight Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries, reveals several results. First, there is a long-run equilibrium relationship among economic growth, intermediation activities, and non-intermediation activities in Austria, France, and Korea. Second, non-intermediation services impede long-run economic growth in Austria and France, whereas non-intermediation business and financial intermediation services accelerate Korea’s long-term growth. Third, weak exogeneity tests support long-run bi-directional causality and the supply-leading hypothesis in terms of the relationship between financial services and economic growth. Finally, the influences of intermediation and non-intermediation activities on economic growth vary across countries, financial services, and time periods, indicating that countries should adopt different financial services to enhance long- or short-term economic growth. This paper emphasizes the importance of non-intermediation activities in the growth process and in the development of intermediation services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 756-768 Issue: 7 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659928 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659928 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:7:p:756-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dror Parnes Author-X-Name-First: Dror Author-X-Name-Last: Parnes Author-Name: Sagi Akron Author-X-Name-First: Sagi Author-X-Name-Last: Akron Title: Rating the credit rating agencies Abstract: We offer herein several policy tools that can assist the new Office of Credit Ratings within the Securities and Exchange Commission in assessing the quality of past credit ratings and thus measuring the inclusive competency of credit rating agencies. We propose to weigh the degrees of accuracy, consistency and total synchronization between a tested sample of past ratings and a benchmark array of flawless ratings. We also discuss various techniques to handle major discrepancies between these two arrays of credit ratings. We further explain and demonstrate the importance of different sample sizes. In addition, we present a simple approach to estimate the probability of convergence between the two matched sets of ratings under specified governing thresholds. Lastly, we illustrate the bulk of the theory with a concise empirical investigation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4799-4812 Issue: 50 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1164826 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1164826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:50:p:4799-4812 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Son Nghiem Author-X-Name-First: Son Author-X-Name-Last: Nghiem Author-Name: Rasheda Khanam Author-X-Name-First: Rasheda Author-X-Name-Last: Khanam Title: Childhood obesity and the income gradient: evidence from Australia Abstract: This article examines the dynamic nature of human capital formation in the context of childhood obesity and the association of household income and childhood obesity in Australia using the first five waves of the Longitudinal Study of Australian Children. Our results show a strong evidence of dynamic nature of child obesity: the lag obesity is a significant and robust predictor of obesity in the current period. We also found that the main channel for childhood obesity is inter-generational trait: the probability of obesity in children born to an obese mother or father is 15% higher than that of other children. Other important determinants are lifestyle factors, including the consumption of drinks with a high sugar content and the amount of time watching TV. Income becomes an insignificant determinant of childhood obesity once we control for unobserved individual heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4813-4822 Issue: 50 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1164827 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1164827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:50:p:4813-4822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Misbah Tanveer Choudhry Author-X-Name-First: Misbah Tanveer Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Author-Name: Enrico Marelli Author-X-Name-First: Enrico Author-X-Name-Last: Marelli Author-Name: Marcello Signorelli Author-X-Name-First: Marcello Author-X-Name-Last: Signorelli Title: Age dependency and labour productivity divergence Abstract: This study finds strong empirical evidence in favour of the hypothesis that the age composition of population matters for labour productivity growth. We applied the fixed effects panel model using data on a large number of countries over the period 1980–2010. Our results suggest that higher age dependency not only directly impacts negatively on labour productivity but also modifies the impact of other determinants of labour productivity. Child dependency has a more adverse effect on labour productivity than old age dependency. We specifically find that the marginal effects of gross capital formation, information and communication improvement, and labour market reforms are significant at lower levels of age dependency. However, the marginal effect of savings on labour productivity is high at a high level of age dependency. The impact of age dependency varies between developed and developing economies. Diversity in the size and nature of age dependency across regions and different income groups help to explain the labour productivity differential across them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4823-4845 Issue: 50 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1167823 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1167823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:50:p:4823-4845 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thiago Carlomagno Carlo Author-X-Name-First: Thiago Carlomagno Author-X-Name-Last: Carlo Author-Name: Emerson Fernandes Marçal Author-X-Name-First: Emerson Fernandes Author-X-Name-Last: Marçal Title: Forecasting Brazilian inflation by its aggregate and disaggregated data: a test of predictive power by forecast horizon Abstract: This work aims to compare the forecast efficiency of different types of methodologies applied to Brazilian consumer inflation (Índice de Preços ao Consumidor Amplo; IPCA). We will compare forecasting models using disaggregated and aggregated data from IPCA over 12 months ahead. We used IPCA in a monthly basis, over the period between January 1996 and March 2012. Out-of-sample analysis will be made through the period of January 2008 to March 2012. The disaggregated models were estimated by Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and will have different levels of disaggregation from IPCA as groups and items, as well as disaggregation with more economic sense used by Brazilian Central Bank as: (1) services, monitored prices, food and industrials and (2) durables, non-durables, semi-durables, services and monitored prices. Aggregated models will be estimated by time series techniques as SARIMA, state-space structural models and Markov-switching. The forecasting accuracy among models will be made by the selection model procedure known as Model Confidence Set developed by Peter Hansen, Asger Lunde and James Nason. We were able to find evidence of forecast accuracy gains in models using more disaggregated rather than aggregate data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4846-4860 Issue: 50 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1167824 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1167824 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:50:p:4846-4860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Md. Al Mamun Author-X-Name-First: Md. Author-X-Name-Last: Al Mamun Author-Name: Kazi Sohag Author-X-Name-First: Kazi Author-X-Name-Last: Sohag Author-Name: Nahla Samargandi Author-X-Name-First: Nahla Author-X-Name-Last: Samargandi Author-Name: Farida Yasmeen Author-X-Name-First: Farida Author-X-Name-Last: Yasmeen Title: Does remittance fuel labour productivity in Bangladesh? The application of an asymmetric non-linear ARDL approach Abstract: Bangladesh, a labour-abundant country, is finally learning to reap gains from her labour abundance. The historical under-optimized capital–labour ratio of Bangladesh is slowly moving towards its optimum as the migration of its labour force and consequent inflow of remittance strategically converts its abundant labour into capital. Though the fear that remittance as an alternative source of earning may result in Dutch disease for existing family members; annual data for 1982–2013 and through applying standard testing methodologies, our empirical findings suggest that such a fear is not valid since remittance flow significantly improves domestic labour productivity in Bangladesh in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4861-4877 Issue: 50 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1167825 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1167825 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:50:p:4861-4877 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott Deacle Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Deacle Author-Name: Elyas Elyasiani Author-X-Name-First: Elyas Author-X-Name-Last: Elyasiani Title: Cost of debt and federal home loan bank funding at U.S. bank and thrift holding companies Abstract: We investigate the relationship between the cost of debt issued by bank holding companies (BHCs) and thrift holding companies (THCs) and their use of Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) advances. Cost of debt is used as a measure of bank riskiness for the first time in a FHLB study. A two-equation model of FHLB advances and cost of debt is estimated. Three main results are obtained. First, greater reliance on advances by BHCs and THCs is associated with lower cost of debt in the pre-crisis period, and more strongly so during the crisis, because granting of advances sends a positive signal to the market about FHLB’s support. Second, greater holding company (HC) cost of debt, as an explanatory variable, is associated with smaller advances as FHLBs restrict advances to riskier HCs. Third, we find no separate effect on the cost of debt from FHLB membership. Our results are robust to 3SLS estimation, used to address endogeneity, and to alternative model specifications. The negative association between cost of debt and advances suggests that BHCs and THCs do not use advances to make riskier loans and that FHLB policies and services have some risk-reducing effects which more than offset the effect of potential moral hazards. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4878-4893 Issue: 50 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1167826 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1167826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:50:p:4878-4893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Rosário da Barrosa Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Rosário Author-X-Name-Last: da Barrosa Author-Name: Arthur Valle Salles Author-X-Name-First: Arthur Valle Author-X-Name-Last: Salles Author-Name: Celma de Oliveira Ribeiro Author-X-Name-First: Celma de Oliveira Author-X-Name-Last: Ribeiro Title: Portfolio optimization through Kriging methods Abstract: This article presents a new methodology for optimizing financial asset portfolios. The proposed methodology, based on the Kriging method, allows for approximating the risk surface – and thus the optimal solution to the problem – in a generalized fashion, relaxing every restrictive hypothesis inherent to the available methods and with the ability to estimate the error in the risk surface approximation. Illustratively, the proposed methodology is applied to the portfolio problem with the Variance, VaR and CVaR as objective functions. The results are compared to those obtained using the Khun–Tucker technique, for the former, and the Rockafellar method, for the latter. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4894-4905 Issue: 50 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1167827 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1167827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:50:p:4894-4905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Walter Briec Author-X-Name-First: Walter Author-X-Name-Last: Briec Author-Name: Kristiaan Kerstens Author-X-Name-First: Kristiaan Author-X-Name-Last: Kerstens Author-Name: Ignace Van de Woestyne Author-X-Name-First: Ignace Author-X-Name-Last: Van de Woestyne Title: Hypercongestion in production correspondences: an empirical exploration Abstract: This empirical contribution reviews the rather limited existing literature measuring congestion in production. It first compares current ways to measure congestion using nonparametric specifications of technologies. In particular, it focuses on the magnitude and incidence of the congestion detected in empirical studies using traditional radial efficiency measures. Thereafter, it shows the limitations of this radial measurement and how alternative measurement schemes may reveal higher amounts of congestion. Then, the new, more general methodology of measuring S-congestion is presented. In particular, we first present a numerical example to illustrate the way the S-disposable technologies allow to capture more extreme forms of congestion by setting empirically determined upper bounds to the wasting of inputs. Then, an empirical illustration is presented based on an existing sample of data. A final section concludes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2938-2956 Issue: 27 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1412080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1412080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:27:p:2938-2956 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J.D. Pitts Author-X-Name-First: J.D. Author-X-Name-Last: Pitts Author-Name: B. Evans Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Title: Evidence on the importance of cognitive ability tests for NFL quarterbacks: what are the relationships among Wonderlic scores, draft positions and NFL performance outcomes? Abstract: Employing data on National Football League (NFL) quarterbacks drafted between 2002 and 2012, the authors consider whether factors correlated with a quarterback being more productive in the NFL are the same factors that correlate with an improved draft position. In particular, the authors consider the relevance of scores on the Wonderlic test. Contrary to all prior literature on the subject, the authors find that performance on the Wonderlic test is positively correlated with NFL performance. However, the authors find no clear evidence that Wonderlic scores are correlated with draft position. Beyond this primary finding, the authors reveal many other interesting results that should help researchers better understand a quarterback’s progression from college to the NFL. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2957-2966 Issue: 27 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1412081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1412081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:27:p:2957-2966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: María L. Gallén Author-X-Name-First: María L. Author-X-Name-Last: Gallén Author-Name: Carlos Peraita Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Peraita Title: The effects of national culture on corporate social responsibility disclosure: a cross-country comparison Abstract: This article presents a cross-country analysis of the influence of national culture on corporate social responsibility (CSR) disclosure. We analyse the relationship between the Hofstede’s cultural dimensions and the sustainability disclosure with the GDP per capita (GDPPC) of 44 countries, using panel data with information based on the Global Reporting Initiative guidelines. The governance effectiveness and the foreign direct investment are also included in the analysis. The results show that in countries with higher GDPPC, the CSR disclosure is negatively related to individualism and masculinity and positively related to uncertainty avoidance and indulgence. When focusing in countries with lower GDPPC, the results suggest that CSR disclosure is negatively related to power distance and positively related to uncertainty avoidance. Moreover, five of the six Hofstede’s cultural dimensions negatively affect sustainability disclosure in countries with middle GDPPC. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2967-2979 Issue: 27 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1412082 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1412082 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:27:p:2967-2979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sophie Clot Author-X-Name-First: Sophie Author-X-Name-Last: Clot Author-Name: Gilles Grolleau Author-X-Name-First: Gilles Author-X-Name-Last: Grolleau Author-Name: Lisette Ibanez Author-X-Name-First: Lisette Author-X-Name-Last: Ibanez Title: Moral self-licencing and social dilemmas: an experimental analysis from a taking game in Madagascar Abstract: This article explores whether previous good deeds may license antisocial behaviour, such as appropriating a social surplus for private benefits, in a developing country context, namely Madagascar. We design a two-step framed experiment, with one control treatment (a neutral task) and three test treatments (tasks enabling subjects to earn moral credits in three different ways), followed by a taking game in which subjects are given the opportunity to take an amount from a fund allocated to their University. On average, we find that participants in the three licencing conditions appropriate more than those in the control group and that further differences emerge according to the way the moral credits have been earned. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2980-2991 Issue: 27 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1412083 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1412083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:27:p:2980-2991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sara Helms McCarty Author-X-Name-First: Sara Helms Author-X-Name-Last: McCarty Author-Name: Erik Angner Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Angner Author-Name: Brian Scott Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Scott Author-Name: Sarah Culver Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Culver Title: Mandated volunteering: an experimental approach Abstract: This study employs a novel experimental paradigm to examine crowdout effects in volunteering. Using a framework modelled upon money donation experiments, we examine the impact of ‘forced’ volunteering on the amount of time volunteered. We find that subjects exposed to forced volunteering on the mean voluntarily donate less time than subjects in the control condition. Among religious subjects, the crowdout is 52.8%, suggesting warm-glow giving. Among non-religious subjects, the crowdout is 138%, implying altruistic giving. Thus, policies mandating volunteer activity may be associated with sizeable crowdout effects and might have heterogeneous effects across subpopulations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2992-3006 Issue: 27 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1414931 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1414931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:27:p:2992-3006 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark J. Gibson Author-X-Name-First: Mark J. Author-X-Name-Last: Gibson Author-Name: Qianqian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qianqian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Sanitary and phytosanitary measures in Chinese agricultural exports: the role of trade intermediaries Abstract: We study the effect of sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) measures on Chinese agricultural exports and the role of trade intermediaries in this process following China’s accession to the World Trade Organization. While both agricultural exports and SPS regulations have grown, the use of trade intermediaries has declined sharply. We develop a model of heterogeneous producer-level decisions about choice of export mode that is consistent with this trend. In our econometric analysis, we analyse the effects of SPS measures and trade intermediaries on Chinese fruit and vegetable exports using transaction-level customs data. In contrast to much of the literature, we find some evidence of positive relationships among SPS measures, trade intermediaries and exports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3007-3015 Issue: 27 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1414932 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1414932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:27:p:3007-3015 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryan M. McKenna Author-X-Name-First: Ryan M. Author-X-Name-Last: McKenna Author-Name: Debra Dwyer Author-X-Name-First: Debra Author-X-Name-Last: Dwyer Author-Name: John A. Rizzo Author-X-Name-First: John A. Author-X-Name-Last: Rizzo Title: Is HIT a hit? The impact of health information technology on inpatient hospital outcomes Abstract: In an effort to eliminate inefficiencies in the US health care sector, policymakers have made a concerted effort to encourage hospitals and physicians to adopt health information technology (HIT) systems. Using a unique data set on HIT adoption and health outcomes in New York State, we conduct a hospital-level analysis identifying the impact of adopting HIT on inpatient outcomes (rates of adverse drug events and severity-adjusted mortality). Unlike previous studies, the patient population is not restricted to Medicare patients, but covers all ages and insurance types. After controlling for unobserved hospital quality and endogenous HIT adoption, our results suggest that a hospital’s severity-adjusted mortality decreases by 0.3 percentage points. When restricted to the Medicare patients, we find HIT adoption lowers a hospital’s severity-adjusted mortality rate by 0.5 percentage points. We find HIT to have no significant effect on the rate of ADEs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3016-3028 Issue: 27 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1414934 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1414934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:27:p:3016-3028 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: Hiroaki Suenaga Author-X-Name-First: Hiroaki Author-X-Name-Last: Suenaga Title: The determinants of price in 3G spectrum auctions Abstract: This article examined the empirical relationship between prices paid for national 3G wireless licenses when spectrums were sold by auction. The reduced-form modelling approach was based on the premise that auction design features can, and do, affect both final (revenue) and intermediate (viz., auction competitiveness and license assignment) auction outcomes. Importantly, the analysis recognizes, and explicitly allows for, the endogeneity of bidder entry and sample selection arising from an absence of bidding. Generally, these key features have only received attention in isolation. In particular, the study addressed the principal question of: which regulator chosen auction design variables determine prices paid in spectrum auctions? The analysis showed that flexible-package formats increased prices paid, and that higher reserve prices had a dampening effect. The article also showed that longer license terms and more competitive auctions (as measured by the bidders-to-licenses ratio) enhance prices paid. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3129-3140 Issue: 32 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1254342 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1254342 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:32:p:3129-3140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elias Oikarinen Author-X-Name-First: Elias Author-X-Name-Last: Oikarinen Author-Name: Heidi Falkenbach Author-X-Name-First: Heidi Author-X-Name-Last: Falkenbach Title: Foreign investors’ influence on the real estate market capitalization rate – evidence from a small open economy Abstract: This article adds to the scarce literature on the influence of international investment flows on local real estate values. We hypothesize that a greater foreign-investor presence in a real estate market results in a lower capitalization rate and examine whether this holds true in the Helsinki CBD office market in Finland. This market provides an interesting case study by being part of a small open economy, in which the presence of foreign investors has substantially varied over time. The Dynamic OLS estimations using data for the period 1990–2015 provide support for the hypothesis. The baseline results show a highly statistically significant negative impact of foreign-investor participation on the capitalization rate, the point estimates indicating that a 10% point growth in the share of foreign buyers of the total transaction volume decreases the cap rate by approximately 30 basis points. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3141-3155 Issue: 32 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1254343 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1254343 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:32:p:3141-3155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Régis Chenavaz Author-X-Name-First: Régis Author-X-Name-Last: Chenavaz Title: Dynamic quality policies with reference quality effects Abstract: Dynamic pricing policies with reference-price demand have been intensely analysed. Less studied are dynamic quality policies with reference-quality demand. This article studies the dynamic quality policy of a firm whose consumers use a reference point in their decision-making, in line with the principles of behavioural economics. More specifically, I consider reference quality formation in an optimal control setting. By solving on the basis of Pontryagin’s maximum principle, I obtain analytical solutions to the optimal quality policy. The managerial implications of quality reference for dynamic quality policy are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3156-3162 Issue: 32 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1254345 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1254345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:32:p:3156-3162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: G. C. Montes Author-X-Name-First: G. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Montes Author-Name: R. T. F. Nicolay Author-X-Name-First: R. T. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Nicolay Title: Does clarity of central bank communication affect credibility? Evidences considering governor-specific effects Abstract: Central banks have made great efforts to increase transparency and accountability to the public. Since then, studies seek empirical evidences about the effects of monetary policy communication over agent’s expectations. The recent literature on central bank communication draws attention to the importance of clarity of central bank communication. However, researches on this theme are still scarce, and there are few empirical studies with conclusive findings. Our study seeks empirical evidences on the relation between clarity of central bank communication and credibility of monetary policy. Estimates through different methods aim to identify whether clarity of central bank communication improves credibility. The study is the first to provide empirical evidence that a clearer communication can improve credibility. We also consider the differences between the two governors who ruled the Central Bank of Brazil in the period under analysis. The results indicate that a clear communication can improve credibility, but it depends on the commitment of the central banker with the goal of inflation control. Furthermore, estimates based on quantile regression indicate that the benefit brought by the clarity to the credibility depends on the commitment of the monetary authority with the goal guiding inflation expectations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3163-3180 Issue: 32 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1254346 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1254346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:32:p:3163-3180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Q. Marin Author-X-Name-First: Q. Author-X-Name-Last: Marin Author-Name: A. B. Hernández-Lara Author-X-Name-First: A. B. Author-X-Name-Last: Hernández-Lara Author-Name: F. Campa-Planas Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Campa-Planas Author-Name: M. V. Sánchez-Rebull Author-X-Name-First: M. V. Author-X-Name-Last: Sánchez-Rebull Title: Which factors improve the performance of the internationalization process? Focus on family firms Abstract: This study aimed to analyse the impact that the financial features and characteristics of the ownership structures of international companies exert on the performance of their internationalization process, as perceived by managers, and attempted to detect differences between family firms (FF) and nonfamily firms (non-FF). In addition, the impact of these characteristics and others related to FF, such as family ownership and generation, on the perceived performance of their internationalization is analysed. Based on a sample of Spanish companies with direct investment in China, the results indicated that, from the managers’ perspective, being an FF and having lower financial leverage exerted a positive effect on the performance of the internationalization process. Moreover, the study proved that this performance was strongly and positively related to the financial results of the company, and this positive effect was even stronger in the case of FF. Finally, the findings also showed that FF with a higher involvement of the family in their ownership recognized a better performance of their internationalization process. These results will be useful for companies that are considering the value of internationalization as a strategy to improve or maintain their financial results, and they also highlight certain differences between FF and non-FF. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3181-3194 Issue: 32 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1257103 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1257103 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:32:p:3181-3194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charilaos Mertzanis Author-X-Name-First: Charilaos Author-X-Name-Last: Mertzanis Title: Ownership structure and access to finance in developing countries Abstract: Microsurvey data are used to explore the impact of ownership structure and other firm-specific characteristics on firms’ access to finance in 136 developing countries. The analysis uses a consistent and large data set from the World Bank’s Enterprise Surveys (ESs). The results show that ownership structure is a significant predictor of firms’ access to finance but with qualifications. Specifically, private and foreign ownership are more robust predictors of firms financing constraints in developing countries, whilst government ownership and large owners appear significant in accordance with the controlling conditions and mostly in low-income countries. The predictive power and direction of firms’ ownership structure is mitigated by both the specific characteristics of firms and the manner in which country-level factors affect the level of economic and financial activity in a country as well as the individual and social behaviour towards financial contracting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3195-3213 Issue: 32 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1257106 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1257106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:32:p:3195-3213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sofiane Aboura Author-X-Name-First: Sofiane Author-X-Name-Last: Aboura Author-Name: Y. Eser Arisoy Author-X-Name-First: Y. Eser Author-X-Name-Last: Arisoy Title: Does aggregate uncertainty explain size and value anomalies? Abstract: This paper examines the impact of aggregate uncertainty on return dynamics of size and book-to-market ratio sorted portfolios. Using VVIX as a proxy for aggregate uncertainty, and controlling for market risk, volatility risk, correlation risk and the variance risk premium, we document significant portfolio return exposures to aggregate uncertainty. In particular, portfolios that contain small and value stocks have significant and negative uncertainty betas, whereas portfolios of large and growth stocks exhibit positive and significant uncertainty betas. Using a quasi-natural experimental setting around the financial crisis, we confirm the differential sensitivity of small versus big and value versus growth portfolios to aggregate uncertainty. We posit that due to their negative uncertainty betas, uncertainty-averse investors demand extra compensation to hold small and value stocks. Our results offer an uncertainty-based explanation to size and value anomalies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3214-3230 Issue: 32 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1257107 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1257107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:32:p:3214-3230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dakshina G. De Silva Author-X-Name-First: Dakshina G. Author-X-Name-Last: De Silva Author-Name: Hojin Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hojin Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Georgia Kosmopoulou Author-X-Name-First: Georgia Author-X-Name-Last: Kosmopoulou Title: The impact of regional competition on the health care industry Abstract: We investigate factors that determine firm markups by employing data on prices and quantities of various medical procedures at major hospitals in the United States. We focus on the impact of hospital quality, rival competition and the number of medical procedures upon the health care demand. Our analysis covers health-care markets across the United States with the market definition based upon the hospital referral regions. Our findings highlight potential implications of the relationship between hospital markups and market structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5135-5141 Issue: 48 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1467551 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1467551 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:48:p:5135-5141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abu Reza Mohammad Islam Author-X-Name-First: Abu Reza Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Author-Name: Robin Hang Luo Author-X-Name-First: Robin Hang Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Financing constraints and investment efficiency: evidence from a panel of Canadian forest firms Abstract: This article examines the financial constraint of 18 listed Canadian forest firms between 2000 and 2014 following the stochastic frontier approach. Empirical results support the observation that Canadian forest firms have a strong dependence of using both equity financing and debt financing as the coefficients of both equity and debt financing mean functions are significant at 1% level. The distribution of investment efficiency index (IEI) of all 18 firms demonstrates a loss of around 40% of the rate of investment due to financing constraints. Regional analysis demonstrates that the time-varying patters of IEI of three provinces are significantly different. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5142-5154 Issue: 48 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1478387 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1478387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:48:p:5142-5154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuan Tang Author-X-Name-First: Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Xiaona Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Xiaona Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Optimal pricing when rational consumers anticipate monitoring cost Abstract: This article considers a monopolistic firm’s optimal pricing decision over two periods among dynamic pricing, preannounced pricing and single pricing. In the models, consumers rationally determine whether to exhibit strategic waiting by weighing their costs against prospectively lower price. Our analysis yields three main results. First, single pricing that completely eliminates strategic waiting surely would be dominated by intertemporal pricing when facing rational consumers. Second, preannounced pricing may actually yield lower revenue than dynamic pricing when considering its effect on the reduction of consumer monitoring cost. Only when monitoring costs under dynamic pricing and under preannounced pricing are equal, is firm revenue weakly greater under preannounced pricing than under dynamic pricing. Third, in dynamic pricing equilibrium, increasing monitoring cost may increase firm revenue, consumer surplus and social welfare simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5155-5163 Issue: 48 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486010 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:48:p:5155-5163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gosse A.G. Alserda Author-X-Name-First: Gosse A.G. Author-X-Name-Last: Alserda Author-Name: Jacob A. Bikker Author-X-Name-First: Jacob A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bikker Author-Name: Fieke S.G. Van Der Lecq Author-X-Name-First: Fieke S.G. Author-X-Name-Last: Van Der Lecq Title: X-efficiency and economies of scale in pension fund administration and investment Abstract: Pension funds’ operating costs impair pension benefits, so it is crucial for pension funds to operate at the lowest cost possible. In practice, we observe substantial differences in costs per member for Dutch pension funds, both across and within pension fund size classes. This article presents new estimates of scale economies of pension funds and is the first that also measures pension fund X-inefficiency. We use a unique supervisory data set which distinguishes between administrative and investment costs and apply various approaches and models. Our estimates show large economies of scale for pension fund administrations, but modest diseconomies of scale for investment activities. We also found that many pension funds have substantial X-inefficiencies for both administrative and investment activities. The two kinds of inefficiency differ across types of pension funds. Therefore, most pension funds should be able to improve their cost performance, and hence increase pension benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5164-5188 Issue: 48 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486011 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486011 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:48:p:5164-5188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew J Cassey Author-X-Name-First: Andrew J Author-X-Name-Last: Cassey Author-Name: Ben O Smith Author-X-Name-First: Ben O Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Title: Estimating state-industry employment, with an application to industrial localization Abstract: We describe a method to construct an industry-by-state repeated cross-section of employment at the most disaggregated level publicly available, covering 1963–2012. Nondisclosed data are estimated with a procedure using the hierarchical information structure. To illustrate the usefulness of the procedure, the resulting estimated data are tested to determine if industrial localization of the processed food sector has changed over the last 50 years in the United States. Our findings suggest it has not changed systemically despite variation in levels of localization within industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5189-5203 Issue: 48 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486012 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:48:p:5189-5203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Falko Fecht Author-X-Name-First: Falko Author-X-Name-Last: Fecht Author-Name: Stefan Reitz Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Reitz Title: Dealer behaviour in the Euro money market during times of crisis Abstract: This article shows how the recent money market disruptions with elevated counterparty risks and uncertainty about the fundamental value of liquidity influenced the trading behaviour of a key dealer in the Euro money market. The complete trading record in the unsecured segment of the money market for 2007 and 2008 is used to estimate a stylized pricing model, which explicitly accounts for the over-the-counter structure. The empirical results suggest that the market maker learns from order flow, but this information aggregation was increasingly hampered as the crisis unfolded. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5204-5219 Issue: 48 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486014 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486014 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:48:p:5204-5219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Blaise Gnimassoun Author-X-Name-First: Blaise Author-X-Name-Last: Gnimassoun Author-Name: Désiré Avom Author-X-Name-First: Désiré Author-X-Name-Last: Avom Author-Name: Joseph Keneck Massil Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Keneck Massil Title: Is regional integration in the CFA zone sustainable? Abstract: This article aims to study the long-term sustainability of regional integration in the (Communauté Financière Africaine) CFA zone, based on the theory of the endogeneity of monetary zones. To this end, we consider trade and intra-CFA migration as the two quantitative vectors of regional integration. Using robust estimation techniques to overcome the endogeneity bias, our results show that integration in the CFA zone is moderately sustainable. More precisely, while the monetary unions of the CFA zone, in particular that of the WAEMU, contribute to reinforcing the intra-regional mobility of goods and people, they fail to induce strong synchronization of the macroeconomic cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5220-5237 Issue: 48 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486015 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486015 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:48:p:5220-5237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lydie Ancelot Author-X-Name-First: Lydie Author-X-Name-Last: Ancelot Author-Name: Liliane Bonnal Author-X-Name-First: Liliane Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnal Author-Name: Marc-Hubert Depret Author-X-Name-First: Marc-Hubert Author-X-Name-Last: Depret Author-Name: Pascal Favard Author-X-Name-First: Pascal Author-X-Name-Last: Favard Author-Name: Dănuţ-Vasile Jemna Author-X-Name-First: Dănuţ-Vasile Author-X-Name-Last: Jemna Author-Name: Christiana Brigitte Sandu Author-X-Name-First: Christiana Brigitte Author-X-Name-Last: Sandu Title: Unmet need for health care during pregnancy: A French – Romanian comparison Abstract: Health inequalities emerge from birth, the early neonatal mortality and infant mortality rates being different between countries. These differences may be related to inequalities in use of health care during pregnancy. The aim of this research is to identify and compare the profiles of women who do not follow pregnancy health care recommendations in two European countries with different health systems and indicators: namely France and Romania. However, health care recommendations for pregnant women are free in the two countries. Firstly, unmet need for health care during pregnancy is observed. Secondly, our results reveal that there is a relationship between perinatal health care abandonment and several forms of inequalities (social, informational and psychological). Thirdly, the much higher probability of forgoing perinatal health care for Romanian women could be associated with financial or informational problems which seems counterintuitive because perinatal health care recommendations are free. Free coverage is too insufficient to ensure the efficiency of the perinatal health care system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1298-1310 Issue: 12 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1660301 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1660301 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:12:p:1298-1310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Yan Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Bo Wen Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Title: Income inequality, corruption and subjective well-being Abstract: Based on the data of CGSS2013, we analyse the relationship between income inequality, corruption and subjective well being using an Ordered Probit model. Our results indicate that income inequality and corruption significantly reduces the subjective well-being of our country’s residents. Furthermore, corruption is an important channel for the negative effect of income inequality on subjective well-being, the impact of income inequality on subjective well-being is mainly achieved by the role of corruption. Specifically, the impacts vary according to hukou. Higher degree of income inequality indeed reduces the subjective well-being of urban residents, while it has a positive effect on subjective well-being of rural residents. Corruption has a significant negative impact on the subjective well-being of urban and rural residents. There is heterogeneity in the influence of different income levels in rural areas. The study in this paper shows that anti-corruption and narrowing the income gap are the two major grippers to improve the well-being of the residents. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1311-1326 Issue: 12 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1661953 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1661953 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:12:p:1311-1326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peijingran Yu Author-X-Name-First: Peijingran Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Kenneth A. Couch Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth A. Author-X-Name-Last: Couch Title: Work-limiting health, earnings, and employment: an analysis with SIPP data Abstract: This study examines the role of work-limiting health conditions on employed people’s earnings, employment status, and working hours, and distinguishes between the different degree and severity of predictable shocks. Using data from the 2004 Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP), we evaluate the impact of any work-limiting health condition as well as a subset of health conditions that appear to arrive largely exogenously on post-onset earnings, employment, and working hours. We find that people who report being employed and later experience the onset of any work-limiting health condition tend to have lower subsequent earnings, a reduced probability of being employed, and fewer working hours per month compared to those who remain healthy. The adverse impact is even greater for people with health conditions that arrive less predictably. We use a difference-in-differences regression model with person and year fixed effects as the primary estimation method. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1327-1348 Issue: 12 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1661954 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1661954 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:12:p:1327-1348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amit Prakash Jha Author-X-Name-First: Amit Prakash Author-X-Name-Last: Jha Author-Name: Sanjay Kumar Singh Author-X-Name-First: Sanjay Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Does diversity matter? A fresh inquiry into the energy, economy and environment nexus Abstract: The article extends the literature on the nexus among economy, environment and energy by incorporating an index of electricity generation diversity in production and emission functions. The index is mathematically equivalent to Herfindahl–Hirschman index. The index captures substantial information regarding the ongoing energy transition at the global level. The results obtained through pooled mean group estimation, on a dataset of fairly diversified group of countries, indicate that if diversity index increases by a percentage point, per capita income increases by 2.4% and per capita emissions are reduced by 0.71%. This is against the conventional wisdom in favour of specialization. The study has found some interesting long-run causal pathways. Firstly, the causality runs from diversification to income. Secondly, there is a causality running from electricity consumption to specialization. Thirdly, bi-directional causality runs between emissions and specialization. The results have interesting policy implications. The study supports the growth hypothesis that the electricity consumption drives the economy. As this inevitably increases emissions, a better pathway is through diversification. The fossil fuel intensive pathway may have been the preferred choice in the past for countries with low electricity consumption; the diversified portfolio appears to be prudent in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1349-1362 Issue: 12 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1666205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1666205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:12:p:1349-1362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wael Hemrit Author-X-Name-First: Wael Author-X-Name-Last: Hemrit Author-Name: Noureddine Benlagha Author-X-Name-First: Noureddine Author-X-Name-Last: Benlagha Title: Asymmetric impacts of insurance premiums on the non-oil GDP: some new empirical evidence Abstract: In this paper, we study the influence of insurance premium on the non-oil gross domestic product in Saudi Arabia. We implement the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lags. The results show that the relationships between insurance premiums and non-oil gross domestic product manifest a nonlinear behaviour. In other words, insurance premiums via positive and negative shocks lead to an increase of growth in the non-oil sector in the long term, whereas the lagged level shocks negatively affect the non-oil GDP in the short run. In addition, the examination of the multiplier effect suggests that positive cumulative changes in insurance premiums and inflation can effect much larger changes in non-oil GDP, while shocks in government spending have a symmetric effect on non-oil GDP growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1363-1376 Issue: 12 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1673300 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1673300 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:12:p:1363-1376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Jacobs Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobs Author-Name: Kazuo Ogawa Author-X-Name-First: Kazuo Author-X-Name-Last: Ogawa Author-Name: Elmer Sterken Author-X-Name-First: Elmer Author-X-Name-Last: Sterken Author-Name: Ichiro Tokutsu Author-X-Name-First: Ichiro Author-X-Name-Last: Tokutsu Title: Public Debt, Economic Growth and the Real Interest Rate: A Panel VAR Approach to EU and OECD Countries Abstract: We investigate the causal relationship between public debt ratios and economic growth rates for 31 EU and OECD countries. We estimate a panel VAR model that incorporates the long-term real interest rate on government bonds as a vehicle to transmit shocks in both the public debt to GDP ratio and the economic growth rate. We find no causal link from public debt to growth, irrespective of the levels of the public debt ratio. Rather, we find a causal relationship from growth to public debt. In high-debt countries, the direct negative impact of growth on public debt is enhanced by an increase in the long-term real interest rate, which in its turn decreases interest-sensitive demand and leads to a further increase in the public debt ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1377-1394 Issue: 12 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1673301 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1673301 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:12:p:1377-1394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George B. Tawadros Author-X-Name-First: George B. Author-X-Name-Last: Tawadros Title: Does the Reserve Bank of Australia follow a forward-looking nonlinear monetary policy rule? Abstract: The conventional monetary policy rule describes a simple linear relationship between the domestic interest rate, inflation rate and output gap. An important extension to this rule is to incorporate the forward-looking behaviour of central banks, where it is assumed that they target an expected level of inflation instead of its current realised value. Using quarterly observations for the period 1993:1-2018:2, this paper investigates whether the conduct of monetary policy in Australia can be described by a forward-looking linear monetary policy rule, or by a nonlinear forward-looking monetary policy rule. In particular, the nonlinear forward-looking monetary policy rule is analysed in a regime-switching framework using a smooth logistic transition regression model. While the results show that the conventional forward-looking linear monetary policy rule describes the application of monetary policy in Australia reasonably well, the interest rate setting behaviour of the RBA is best described by a nonlinear forward-looking monetary policy rule. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1395-1408 Issue: 12 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1673302 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1673302 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:12:p:1395-1408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Brunori Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Brunori Author-Name: Flaviana Palmisano Author-X-Name-First: Flaviana Author-X-Name-Last: Palmisano Author-Name: Vitorocco Peragine Author-X-Name-First: Vitorocco Author-X-Name-Last: Peragine Title: Inequality of opportunity in sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: Inequality of opportunity is defined as the difference in individuals’ outcome systematically correlated with morally irrelevant pre-determined circumstances, such as ethnicity, socio-economic background, area of birth. This definition has been extensively studied by economists on the assumption that, in addition to being normatively undesirable, it can be related to low potentials for growth. However, empirical estimations of inequality of opportunity require accessing rich data sources, rarely available in poorer countries. In this paper, we exploit 13 consumption household surveys to evaluate inequality of opportunity in 10 Sub-Saharan African countries. According to our results, the portion of total inequality that can be attributed to exogenous circumstances is between 40% and 56% for the generality of countries. Our estimates are significantly higher than what has been found by previous studies. We detect a positive association between total consumption inequality and inequality of opportunity, and we study the different sources of unequal opportunities. The place of birth and the education of the father appear to exert the most relevant role in shaping inequality of opportunity in the region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6428-6458 Issue: 60 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1619018 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1619018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:60:p:6428-6458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tariro Makwasha Author-X-Name-First: Tariro Author-X-Name-Last: Makwasha Author-Name: Jill Wright Author-X-Name-First: Jill Author-X-Name-Last: Wright Author-Name: Param Silvapulle Author-X-Name-First: Param Author-X-Name-Last: Silvapulle Title: Panel data analysis of multi-factor capital asset pricing models Abstract: In this article, we propose MFCAPM panel models with fixed effects and test theories associated with risk exposures and anomalies postulated by Fama and French, and we assess their out-of-sample predictive performances. Based on the portfolios formed by French, we construct 10 panel models, each consisting of 10 portfolios grouped by size deciles, and another 10 panels by value deciles. In the presence of cross-section dependence, the MFCAPM panel model is estimated by the feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) method for the sample period 1963(1)-2018(9). The results show that the market, firm-size and value risk exposures are significant and robust across three-, five- and six-factor panel models. Significant time-fixed effects indicate that there are several portfolios resilient to dot.com bubble peak in 2000, while some others resilient to GFC in 2007. We estimate the models for the in-sample period 1963(1)–1999(12) and generate the out-of-sample portfolio returns for the period 2000(1)–2018(9). We find that portfolio returns forecasts generated by the six-factor panel model are superior to other MFCAPM panel models, mostly due to the momentum factor (investor behaviour) explaining large return variations and volatility exposures. The findings have implications for investors, security traders and portfolio risk managers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6459-6475 Issue: 60 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1619019 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1619019 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:60:p:6459-6475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francois P. Kabore Author-X-Name-First: Francois P. Author-X-Name-Last: Kabore Author-Name: Walter G. Park Author-X-Name-First: Walter G. Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Can patent family size and composition signal patent value? Abstract: Recent research has proposed a method of patent valuation based on weighting patent family size by the market size of the countries in the family. The premise is that inventors tend to seek greater international coverage for their more valuable patents. The paper presents a novel way to test the ability of market size-weighted patent families to predict patent value and compares the method against extant measures of patent valuation based on patent citations and renewal behaviour. We use forecasting techniques to show that the weighted patent family size measure outperforms other methods in terms of predicting patent life and the number of citations. An advantage of the weighted patent family size measure is that it is based on ex-ante information and is easy to construct for purposes of evaluating patent value. We demonstrate this advantage using a large, comprehensive database of international patent families. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6476-6496 Issue: 60 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1624914 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1624914 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:60:p:6476-6496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salma Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Salma Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: Mark McGillivray Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: McGillivray Title: Higher education enrolment in Bangladesh: does the wage premium matter? Abstract: This paper empirically examines the decisions of individuals to enrol in a course of tertiary education in Bangladesh, focussing on the period 1999 to 2009. Of particular interest is whether the wage premium―the gap in wage earnings between tertiary and secondary school graduates―is associated with decisions to enrol in tertiary education. The analytical framework used here is the human capital theory, which is tested through a discrete choice model. Using data from Bangladesh Labour Force Surveys, empirical results suggest that the wage premium is positively associated with decisions of males to enrol in tertiary education, while for females there appears to be no such association. A battery of robustness tests supports our results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6497-6516 Issue: 60 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1624917 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1624917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:60:p:6497-6516 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luyuan Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Luyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Yuexiang Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yuexiang Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Huaigang Long Author-X-Name-First: Huaigang Author-X-Name-Last: Long Title: Exchange rates change, asset-denominated currency difference and stock price fluctuation Abstract: This paper examines differences in the connectedness between exchange rates and stock prices for companies with different asset currencies on the Hong Kong stock market, and it seeks to explain those differences by proposing a hypothesis on asset-denominated currency difference. Under a framework of investor heterogeneity, we establish a dynamic, discrete theoretical model to analyse the connectedness between exchange rates, the stocks of local Hong Kong companies, the stocks of companies from the mainland and foreign exchange interventions. Using monthly data from January 2000 to August 2018, we adopt the time-varying parameter vector auto-regression (TVP-VAR) model to empirically study the dynamic relationships between exchange rates and the prices of both Hong Kong-based and mainland-based stocks. The results show significant differences in the ways that exchange rates and prices for the two types of stocks are linked. The exchange rates are positively correlated with mainland stocks and negatively correlated with Hong Kong stocks. Moreover, foreign exchange intervention is found to be an effective means for stabilising exchange rates, although such intervention tends to increase stock volatility.Abbreviations: TVP-VAR - time-varying parameter vector auto-regression model; MCMC - Monte Carlo-Markov Chain method. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6517-6534 Issue: 60 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1624920 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1624920 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:60:p:6517-6534 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Catherine Sofer Author-X-Name-First: Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Sofer Author-Name: Claire Thibout Author-X-Name-First: Claire Author-X-Name-Last: Thibout Title: Women’s investment in career and the household division of labour Abstract: This paper examines how partners in a couple share domestic work according to the woman’s investment in career. Investment is measured relatively to other women or to the partner. While previous studies mainly focused on the influence of wages and earnings, we extend them by considering more dimensions describing the intensity of the woman’s attachment to the labour market. We use the 2010 French Time Use survey to estimate a model of household division of labour in dual earner couples. We find that the more women are invested in career, the less domestic work they perform during weekdays, which is partly substituted by their partners but only on weekend days. The sharing of tasks is thus less unequal in those couples. However, women still spend more time than their partners on average performing domestic work, even when the woman outperforms him in career, implying no role reversal in the division of labour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6535-6557 Issue: 60 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1644440 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1644440 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:60:p:6535-6557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thierry Kirat Author-X-Name-First: Thierry Author-X-Name-Last: Kirat Author-Name: Amir Rezaee Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Rezaee Title: How stock markets react to regulatory sanctions? Evidence from France Abstract: Our study of how the stock market reacts to sanction announcements by the French financial regulator from 2004 to 2017 finds that the market reacts negatively when a sanction is announced in the press. Cross-sectional regression models show that the penalties are too low to influence market reactions. Our results suggest that after the financial crisis of 2008, a plethora of news on financial wrongdoings has desensitized markets to announcements of sanctions against large companies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6558-6566 Issue: 60 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1644443 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1644443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:60:p:6558-6566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Xu Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Adrian van Rixtel Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: van Rixtel Author-Name: Michiel van Leuvensteijn Author-X-Name-First: Michiel Author-X-Name-Last: van Leuvensteijn Title: Measuring bank competition under binding interest rate regulation: the case of China Abstract: Many empirical studies suggest that financial reform promoted bank competition in most mature and emerging economies. However, some earlier studies that adopted conventional approaches to measure competition have concluded that bank competition in China declined during the past decade, despite progressive reforms implemented since the 1980s. We show that this apparent contradiction is the result of flawed measurement. Conventional indicators such as the Lerner index and Panzar–Rosse H-statistic fail to measure competition in Chinese loan markets properly due to the system of interest rate regulation. By contrast, the profit elasticity (PE) approach does not suffer from these shortcomings. Using balance sheet information for a large sample of banks operating in China during 1996–2008, we show that competition actually increased in the past decade when the PE indicator is used. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4699-4718 Issue: 49 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1164818 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1164818 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:49:p:4699-4718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alejandro Arrieta Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Arrieta Author-Name: Ariadna García Prado Author-X-Name-First: Ariadna Author-X-Name-Last: García Prado Title: Non-elective C-sections in public hospitals: capacity constraints and doctor incentives Abstract: Using administrative records of births from the Perinatal Surveillance System of the Peruvian Social Security System (ESSALUD), we test whether high admissions of pregnant women affected non-elective caesarean section (C-section) rates in the ESSALUD public hospitals during 2005–2006. We present a basic theoretical model that considers physician preferences for leisure and hospital capacity constraints, and test the model predictions. We find that physician demand for leisure increases the probability of C-sections in small and medium-size hospitals, while hospital capacity constraints set a limit on them. We discuss the policy implications as well as the policies implemented to avoid unnecessary C-sections. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4719-4731 Issue: 49 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1164820 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1164820 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:49:p:4719-4731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin M. Blau Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin M. Author-X-Name-Last: Blau Author-Name: Devon H. Gorry Author-X-Name-First: Devon H. Author-X-Name-Last: Gorry Author-Name: Chip Wade Author-X-Name-First: Chip Author-X-Name-Last: Wade Title: Guns, laws and public shootings in the United States Abstract: Since the late 1990s, there have been increasing numbers of public shootings carried out with firearms in the United States. These tragedies continually renew the regulatory debate concerning public safety while considering civil liberties. Using a unique data set, we investigate whether laws correspond to whether an event occurs and the effects of event-specific characteristics on public shooting outcomes. In particular, we analyse how state-specific gun laws, the types of firearms, the shooting venues and the mental health of the gunman impact the outcomes of public shootings. Results show that most gun laws are unrelated to whether an event occurs. In addition, common state and federal gun laws that outlaw assault weapons are unrelated to the likelihood of an assault weapon being used during a public shooting event. Moreover, results show that the use of assault weapons is not related to more victims or fatalities than other types of guns. However, the use of hand guns, shot guns and high-capacity magazines is directly related to the number of victims and fatalities in a public shooting event. Finally, the gunman’s reported mental illness is often associated with an increase in the number of victims and fatalities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4732-4746 Issue: 49 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1164821 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1164821 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:49:p:4732-4746 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wonho Wilson Choi Author-X-Name-First: Wonho Wilson Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Jinyong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jinyong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Mingook Kim Author-X-Name-First: Mingook Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Derivatives holdings and market values of U.S. bank holding companies Abstract: We examine the impact of derivatives held by US bank holding companies on their market valuations over the period 2000 to 2010. By using bank-level data with detailed information on the notional amounts of derivative positions according to holding purposes and underlying asset types, our regression analyses provide three main findings. First, derivative instruments held for hedging rather than trading purposes contribute to enhancing market values. Second, the positive effects exhibit nonmonotonic patterns indicating that excessive amounts of derivatives holdings deteriorate market values. Third, interest rate derivatives are the main source of high valuations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4747-4757 Issue: 49 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1164822 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1164822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:49:p:4747-4757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George B. Tawadros Author-X-Name-First: George B. Author-X-Name-Last: Tawadros Title: Asymmetric monetary policy rules in Australia Abstract: In this study, the hypothesis that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) implements an asymmetric monetary policy rule is tested. We estimate both linear and asymmetric monetary policy reaction functions for the period before inflation targeting was adopted, for the period when inflation targeting was explicitly adopted and for the full sample period. The results of the linear monetary policy rules are consistent with the estimates reported from other studies that estimate linear monetary policy rules for Australia. On the other hand, the results of estimating the asymmetric monetary policy rules for the pre-inflation targeting period shows that the RBA had reacted symmetrically, suggesting that it had acted with the same aggressiveness towards both inflation and output gaps of the same magnitude, over both phases of the business cycle. However, for the inflation targeting period, the results show that the RBA had reacted asymmetrically in its policy response to the inflation gap, output gap or both. A similar result is found for the full sample period. This asymmetric response supports the view that a non-linear monetary policy rule emanated from asymmetric preferences, rather than from the existence of a non-linear Phillips curve. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4758-4772 Issue: 49 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1164823 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1164823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:49:p:4758-4772 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ali Choudhary Author-X-Name-First: M. Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhary Author-Name: Sajawal Khan Author-X-Name-First: Sajawal Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: Farooq Pasha Author-X-Name-First: Farooq Author-X-Name-Last: Pasha Author-Name: Muhammad Rehman Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Rehman Title: The dominant borrower syndrome Abstract: The financing channel of a fiscal stimulus matters for the size and the sign of the fiscal multiplier. We develop a general equilibrium model where a fiscal stimulus is partially bank-funded and the government becomes the dominant borrower from banks relative to entrepreneurs. This leads to a negative impact on credit spreads, investment and a contraction in output. We support our story with a structural vector autoregression for a sample of developing countries featuring the dominant borrower syndrome. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4773-4782 Issue: 49 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1164824 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1164824 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:49:p:4773-4782 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tilak Abeysinghe Author-X-Name-First: Tilak Author-X-Name-Last: Abeysinghe Author-Name: Jiaying Gu Author-X-Name-First: Jiaying Author-X-Name-Last: Gu Title: Estimating fundamental and affordable housing price trends: a study based on Singapore Abstract: Policy-makers often impose some cooling measures on the housing market when housing prices rise fast. Such policies yield limited success if housing prices are driven up by fundamentals. Estimating a fundamental price trend from observed price data is a challenge. We present an empirical methodology to separate housing price trends into fundamental and affordable components. Deviating from the common practice, we replace current income by a long-run income measure constructed from household incomes at different quantiles. This income measure provides a more suitable basis for constructing affordable house price levels. It also serves as a better fundamental variable, especially for segmented housing markets like that of Singapore. These price trends provide policy-makers with useful information to intervene into property markets to achieve desirable outcomes. Analysing Singapore data using this methodology shows the magnitudes of the price gaps between actual and fundamental prices and how housing affordability fluctuates over price cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4783-4798 Issue: 49 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1164825 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1164825 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:49:p:4783-4798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Erratum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: i-i Issue: 49 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1178976 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1178976 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:49:p:i-i Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Omar Belkhodja Author-X-Name-First: Omar Author-X-Name-Last: Belkhodja Author-Name: Muhammad Mohiuddin Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Mohiuddin Author-Name: Egide Karuranga Author-X-Name-First: Egide Author-X-Name-Last: Karuranga Title: The determinants of FDI location choice in China: a discrete-choice analysis Abstract: This study addresses two questions: What are the determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) location choice in China? What are the factors that determine investors’ choice between ‘Economic zones’ in China on one hand, and ‘other cities’ of China on the other hand? This study shows that FDI location choice is sensitive both on the endowment conditions in different regions/cities/economic zones in China as well as on the country of origin of the FDI. Based on a data set of 1218 observations, the results of the binary logit regressions indicate that the protection of intellectual rights, agglomeration economies, investments in education and gross regional product affect the location choice of FDI in China. This choices, however, varies depending on the origin of the FDI. Policy makers can use these findings to channel FDI to targeted regions/ cities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1241-1254 Issue: 13 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1153786 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1153786 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:13:p:1241-1254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Walid Mensi Author-X-Name-First: Walid Author-X-Name-Last: Mensi Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Author-Name: Seong-Min Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Author-Name: Mehmet Balcilar Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Balcilar Title: Impact of macroeconomic factors and country risk ratings on GCC stock markets: evidence from a dynamic panel threshold model with regime switching Abstract: This study examines the non-linear relationship between stock markets in GCC countries and their country risk ratings as well as with major macroeconomic factors. Based on a dynamic panel threshold model with two and four regimes, the results provide evidence of short-term asymmetry between first-lagged GCC stock returns and the performance of GCC stock markets. In addition, only the financial risk (FR) rating has a significant positive effect on the performance of GCC stock markets according to the prevailing regimes for the GCC lagged returns and the Brent oil market. Among the macroeconomic factors, improvements in the global stock markets, the MSCI Global Islamic Index, and the oil price increased the performance of GCC stock markets, whereas increases in the gold price, the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill rate, and the U.S. Treasury bond rate reduced the performance of the GCC stock markets. These results have important implications for investors, policymakers, and portfolio managers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1255-1272 Issue: 13 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1217305 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1217305 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:13:p:1255-1272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Shahbaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Shahbaz Author-Name: Mita Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Mita Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: Khalid Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Khalid Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: CO emissions in Australia: economic and non-economic drivers in the long-run Abstract: Australia has sustained a relatively high economic growth rate since the 1980s compared to other developed countries. Per capita CO2 emissions tend to be highest amongst OECD countries, creating new challenges to cut back emissions towards international standards. This research explores the long-run dynamics of CO2 emissions, economic and population growth along with the effects of globalization tested as contributing factors. We find economic growth is not emission-intensive in Australia, while energy consumption is emissions intensive. Second, in an environment of increasing population, our findings suggest Australia needs to be energy efficient at the household level, creating appropriate infrastructure for sustainable population growth. High population growth and open migration policy can be detrimental in reducing CO2 emissions. Finally, we establish globalized environment has been conducive in combating emissions. In this respect, we establish the beneficial effect of economic globalization compared to social and political dimensions of globalization in curbing emissions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1273-1286 Issue: 13 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1217306 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1217306 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:13:p:1273-1286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. De La Poza Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: De La Poza Author-Name: L. Jódar Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Jódar Author-Name: A. Pricop Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Pricop Title: Modelling and analysing voting behaviour: the case of the Spanish general elections Abstract: The permanent high-level public and private debt, high unsustainable youth unemployment rates, combined with the constant disclosure of establishment parties’ corruption scandals, are features of the present Spanish scenario. Lack of confidence in the government’s labour is driving a large proportion of the electoral register to support new emergent political parties. This article models and analyses Spanish citizens’ electoral behaviour in what were the last Spanish General Elections (2015). The proposed compartmental model is based on a system of six different equations. Transition coefficients are quantified according to economic, demographic, psychological and sociological factors. After obtaining the initial data from previous general elections and by sampling new voters’ intentions, the expected electoral support was computed and analysed. Our results predict the end of the two-party system in Spain and a change to a main four-party system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1287-1297 Issue: 13 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1217307 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1217307 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:13:p:1287-1297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charlene M. Kalenkoski Author-X-Name-First: Charlene M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kalenkoski Author-Name: Eakamon Oumtrakool Author-X-Name-First: Eakamon Author-X-Name-Last: Oumtrakool Title: The caregiving responsibilities of retirees: what are they and how do they affect retirees’ well-being? Abstract: Using data from the 2010 and 2012 American Time Use Surveys (ATUS) and the associated Well-being Modules (WBM), this article examines how caregiving affects the well-being of retirees who are caregivers. Different caregiving activities are examined, including caring for household adults, caring for non-household adults, and caring for children. Different aspects of well-being are examined, including how meaningful respondents find their activities and how happy, sad, tired, in pain, and stressed their activities make them. The results show that, controlling for selection into caregiving, most caregiving negatively affects the well-being of retirees. This suggests that policies that remove some of the caregiving burden from retirees would increase their well-being. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1298-1310 Issue: 13 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1217308 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1217308 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:13:p:1298-1310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Knabe Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Knabe Author-Name: Ronnie Schöb Author-X-Name-First: Ronnie Author-X-Name-Last: Schöb Author-Name: Joachim Weimann Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Weimann Title: The subjective well-being of workfare participants: insights from a day reconstruction survey Abstract: In this article, we shed more light on the subjective well-being of workfare participants and compare it to the well-being of unemployed and employed workers. We use data from a self-conducted survey among participants in workfare schemes in Germany. We examine two subdimensions of subjective well-being – life satisfaction and emotional well-being – separately to obtain a more comprehensive view of the subjective well-being of workfare participants. Our results show that the life satisfaction of people in this group is between that of employed and unemployed people. In contrast, their emotional well-being is the highest of these three groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1311-1325 Issue: 13 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1217309 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1217309 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:13:p:1311-1325 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Title: Short-term forecasting with mixed-frequency data: a MIDASSO approach Abstract: In this article, we extend the targeted-regressor approach suggested in Bai and Ng (2008) for variables sampled at the same frequency to mixed-frequency data. Our MIDASSO approach is a combination of the unrestricted MIxed-frequency DAta-Sampling approach (U-MIDAS) (see Foroni et al. 2015; Castle et al. 2009; Bec and Mogliani 2013), and the LASSO-type penalized regression used in Bai and Ng (2008), called the elastic net (Zou and Hastie 2005). We illustrate our approach by forecasting the quarterly real GDP growth rate in Switzerland. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1326-1343 Issue: 13 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1217310 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1217310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:13:p:1326-1343 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M.-A. Véganzonès-Varoudakis Author-X-Name-First: M.-A. Author-X-Name-Last: Véganzonès-Varoudakis Author-Name: P. Plane Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Plane Title: Innovation, exports, productivity and investment climate; a study based on Indian manufacturing firm-level data Abstract: In this paper, we use univariate instrumental estimations to study the interactions between firm-level innovation, exports and productivity in the Indian manufacturing sector. To differentiate incentives to innovate from the ability to innovate, we distinguish the inputs of innovation (R&D and training) from the outputs. Our findings highlight a virtuous circle between the three components of innovation, as well as between firms’ R&D, innovation and exports. The productivity of Indian manufacturing firms is benefiting from this dynamics, as exports and innovation improve firms’ TFP. With respect to the investment climate, our results suggest that differences in the environment of Indian companies contribute to their performance gaps. These results are all the more important in the context of the Make in India campaign and the weaknesses of India’s business environment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4455-4476 Issue: 41 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591606 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591606 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:41:p:4455-4476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vasilios Plakandaras Author-X-Name-First: Vasilios Author-X-Name-Last: Plakandaras Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: Persistence of economic uncertainty: a comprehensive analysis Abstract: One of the most heavily researched and cited issue in applied economics is the relationship of uncertainty indices with the financial and macroeconomic variables. While the statistical features of financial and macroeconomic variables have been thoroughly examined, virtually nothing has been done to examine uncertainty indices under the statistical perspective. In this paper, we focus on two primary characteristics of uncertainty indices: persistence and chaotic behaviour. In order to evaluate the persistence and the chaotic behaviour we analyse 72 popular uncertainty indices constructed by forecasting models, text mining from news articles and data mining from monetary variables to measure the Hurst and Lyapunov exponents in rolling windows. The examination in rolling windows provides a dynamic evaluation of the specific characteristics revealing significant variations of persistence and chaotic dynamics with time. More specifically, we find that almost all uncertainty indices are persistent, while the chaotic dynamics are detected only sporadically and for certain indices during recessions of economic turbulence. Thus, we suggest that the examination of persistence and chaos should be a prerequisite step before using uncertainty indices in economic policy models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4477-4498 Issue: 41 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591607 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591607 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:41:p:4477-4498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ken Miyajima Author-X-Name-First: Ken Author-X-Name-Last: Miyajima Author-Name: James Yetman Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Yetman Title: Assessing inflation expectations anchoring for heterogeneous agents: analysts, businesses and trade unions Abstract: Forecasts of agents who are actively involved in the setting of prices and wages are less readily available than those of professional analysts but may be more relevant for understanding inflation dynamics. Here we compare inflation expectations anchoring between analysts, businesses and trade unions for one country for which comparable forecasts are available for almost two decades: South Africa. Forecasts are modelled as monotonically diverging from an estimated long-run anchor point, or ‘implicit anchor’, towards actual inflation as the forecast horizon shortens. We find that the estimated inflation anchors of analysts lie within the 3–6 percent inflation target range of the central bank. However, those for businesses and trade unions, which our evidence suggests may be the most relevant for driving the inflation process, have remained above the top end of the official target range. Our results point to challenges for central banks seeking to gain credibility with agents whose decisions directly influence inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4499-4515 Issue: 41 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1593317 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1593317 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:41:p:4499-4515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kris Ivanovski Author-X-Name-First: Kris Author-X-Name-Last: Ivanovski Author-Name: Sefa Awaworyi Churchill Author-X-Name-First: Sefa Awaworyi Author-X-Name-Last: Churchill Title: Economic policy uncertainty and demand for money in Australia Abstract: The demand for money has received a great deal of attention in the empirical literature. This literature, however, has emphasized factors such as interest rate, income, inflation rate and exchange rate as the primary determinants of money demand. Although an emerging strand of literature examines uncertainty as a potential determinant of money demand, findings have been mixed. Using a news-based Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) index and Australian quarterly data from 1998 to 2017, we study the impact of policy uncertainty on demand for money. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) results show that the economic policy uncertainty measure has a negative short-run effect on the demand for money, suggesting the wider public hedge against future expected inflation, and positive long-run effect, whereby the broader public hold more cash to stay liquid during times of economic uncertainty. Also, introducing nonlinearity into the money demand equation, we find an asymmetric effect, more in favour of currency appreciations, supporting the expectations effect of further appreciations in exchange rate movements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4516-4526 Issue: 41 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1593936 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1593936 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:41:p:4516-4526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mário J. A. Fortuna Author-X-Name-First: Mário J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Fortuna Author-Name: Francisco J. F. Silva Author-X-Name-First: Francisco J. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Author-Name: João C. A. Teixeira Author-X-Name-First: João C. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Teixeira Title: International transatlantic trade liberalization: zooming in on regional impacts Abstract: The current study analyses the impact on a Portuguese small island regional economy of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (T-TIP) between the EU and the USA. A dynamic Computational General Equilibrium (CGE) model detailing six household categories, 45 sectors, and four trading partners is used. Previous studies used aggregate variables and, largely, were based on the structure of the national economy. For a small, integrated economy, foreign trade statistics comprise an underestimation, given that most of the trade occurs through national logistics centres. Taking into account the national integration effects, gross domestic value was estimated to be higher than in other studies. Using equivalent variation, the estimated welfare impact is positive for all six household categories. Value-added suffers mixed impacts depending on the sector. It is negative for fisheries, ambiguous for agriculture and positive for tourism and transportation. The contribution of the current study is to highlight the importance of looking beneath the trade block and national conclusions particularly when regional economic policy is relevant as is the case in Europe. Better knowledge of welfare, regional and sector impacts allows for improved development and mitigation policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4527-4538 Issue: 41 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1593937 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1593937 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:41:p:4527-4538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Angerer Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Angerer Author-Name: M. Dünser Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dünser Author-Name: L. Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: L. Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Author-Name: G. Peter Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Peter Author-Name: S. Stöckl Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Stöckl Author-Name: A. Veress Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Veress Title: What drives our Beer Consumption?---In Search of Nutrition Habits and Demographic Patterns Abstract: Conventional wisdom in Germany claims pork hocks with sauerkraut and beer. But is it really that simple? In an unbalanced cross-country panel covering 169 nations and time-series records of up to 52 years, we analyse drivers behind beer consumption. Based on data gathered from Worldbank and Faostat, we run multivariate panel regressions and test for the explanatory power of three categories of food and six macroeconomic and demographic variables. Indeed, we confirm most clichés of a typical beer drinker being a middle-aged urbanite with a strong desire for pork and potatoes, however, disliking cheese and wine. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4539-4550 Issue: 41 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1593938 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1593938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:41:p:4539-4550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daisuke Nishijima Author-X-Name-First: Daisuke Author-X-Name-Last: Nishijima Author-Name: Shigemi Kagawa Author-X-Name-First: Shigemi Author-X-Name-Last: Kagawa Author-Name: Keisuke Nansai Author-X-Name-First: Keisuke Author-X-Name-Last: Nansai Author-Name: Masahiro Oguchi Author-X-Name-First: Masahiro Author-X-Name-Last: Oguchi Title: Economic consequences of the Home Appliance Eco-Point Program in Japan: a dynamic discrete choice approach Abstract: This study combined a dynamic discrete choice model for air conditioner replacement decisions with an inter-industry model in order to evaluate the economic impact of Japan’s Home Appliance Eco-Point Program, an appliance replacement program that was in effect from May 2009 to March 2011. Focusing on air conditioners produced from 1995 to 1999 and replaced during the period from 2005 to 2013, we found that the eco-point program increased replacement probabilities by 1.5% to 1.9% in 2009. Moreover, the program produced an additional output of 31,337 million yen and a total value added of 21,259 million yen. However, the benefit–cost ratio – determined by dividing the increase in value added by the monetary value of the points awarded for appliance replacement – was only 0.68. From a cost-benefit perspective, the program can be judged not to have been an effective policy measure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4551-4563 Issue: 41 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1593939 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1593939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:41:p:4551-4563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Artur Silva Lopes Author-X-Name-First: Artur Silva Author-X-Name-Last: Lopes Author-Name: Gabriel Florin Zsurkis Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Florin Author-X-Name-Last: Zsurkis Title: Are linear models really unuseful to describe business cycle data? Abstract: We use first differenced logged quarterly series for the GDP of 29 countries and the euro area to assess the need to use non-linear models to describe business cycle dynamic behaviour. Our approach is model (estimation)-free, based on testing only. We aim to maximize power to detect non-linearities while, simultaneously, avoiding the pitfalls of data mining. The evidence we find does not support some descriptions because the presence of significant non-linearities is observed for two-thirds of the countries only. Linear models cannot be simply dismissed as they are frequently useful. Contrarily to common knowledge, non-linear business cycle variation does not seem to be a universal, undisputable and clearly dominant stylized fact. This finding is particularly surprising for the U.S. case. Some support for non-linear dynamics for some further countries is obtained indirectly, through unit root tests, but this can hardly be invoked to support non-linearity in classical business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2355-2376 Issue: 22 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1495825 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1495825 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:22:p:2355-2376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuepeng Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yuepeng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Xiaoping Shi Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoping Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Nico Heerink Author-X-Name-First: Nico Author-X-Name-Last: Heerink Author-Name: Xianlei Ma Author-X-Name-First: Xianlei Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: The effect of land tenure governance on technical efficiency: evidence from three provinces in eastern China Abstract: This study aims to identify the mechanisms through which land tenure governance affects the technical efficiency of grain production in an integrated framework and to examine the impacts of the public governance, village self-governance, and relational governance of land tenure on the technical efficiency of contracted land and rented-in land. Farm-level survey data collected from Liaoning, Jiangxi, and Jiangsu provinces covering the years of 2014 and 2015 is used for the empirical analysis. The findings indicate that (i) public governance associated with land certification significantly increases the technical efficiency of grain production; (ii) village self-governance and administrative land reallocations can serve as substitutes for the land rental market in optimizing the distribution of land resources and improving technical efficiency; and (iii) compared to multi-year transfer contracts, both annual and open-ended transfer contracts have negative impacts on technical efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2337-2354 Issue: 22 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1543941 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1543941 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:22:p:2337-2354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John W. Duffield Author-X-Name-First: John W. Author-X-Name-Last: Duffield Author-Name: Christopher J. Neher Author-X-Name-First: Christopher J. Author-X-Name-Last: Neher Author-Name: David A. Patterson Author-X-Name-First: David A. Author-X-Name-Last: Patterson Title: Natural resource valuation with a tribal perspective: a case study of the Penobscot Nation Abstract: The unique settings of tribal lands and preferences of tribal members can complicate the effective application of standard natural resource use valuation tools within these tribal settings. We present a study which utilised referendum format contingent valuation methods to value foregone tribal use of the dioxin-contaminated Penobscot River in Maine. The Penobscot Nation’s prior experience in using referendums to evaluate cash settlement offers provides a unique setting for this application. The valuation responses pass a scope test and are consistent with a priori expectations of economic theory as well as individual attitudes and beliefs. Implicit discount rates based on the valuation of two clean-up periods are plausible. The response model indicates that cultural motives are a significant basis of foregone use values. While each tribal setting presents unique characteristics and challenges, the presented application demonstrates how carefully applied standard valuation tools, when appropriately designed to account for and incorporate tribal history, settings, and perspective, can yield defensible estimates of resource valuation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2377-2389 Issue: 22 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1543942 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1543942 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:22:p:2377-2389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aleksandr V. Gevorkyan Author-X-Name-First: Aleksandr V. Author-X-Name-Last: Gevorkyan Title: Exchange market pressure and primary commodity – exporting emerging markets Abstract: This paper studies short-term sensitivity between exchange market pressure and various domestic and external factors in primary commodity-exporting emerging markets. The paper focuses on the top country-commodity groups in sugar, cereal, fuels, ores and coffee during the pre-peak and post-peak commodity price periods across floating and pegged exchange rate regimes, using the price of crude oil as a general benchmark. Employing a panel model and panel VAR analysis, the paper finds the heterogeneity of response patterns unique to country-commodity groups and exchange rate regimes. According to the results, in flexible regimes, volatility occurs via the foreign exchange market, interest rates, and domestic credit cycles, feeding into the social costs for structurally weaker economies. Hard exchange-rate pegs often result in a drain on international reserves as the terms of trade deteriorate following post-price peaks, leading to unpopular depreciation. These results accentuate concerns over uneven international trade patterns, an open economy’s short-term foreign exchange policy, and speculative capital flows. Such sensitivity has broad implications for macroeconomic balance and the sustainability of implied exchange rate targets in the presence of a foreign exchange constraint across emerging markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2390-2412 Issue: 22 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1545077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1545077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:22:p:2390-2412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Z M Dai Author-X-Name-First: Z M Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Lu Guo Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: Research on equity adjustment, agency costs and commercial bank performance: experimental evidence from China Abstract: This article studies the impact of options to adjust the performance of commercial banks from agency costs. In the shareholding structure of the adjustment process, considering changes in agency costs, only in agency costs no more than the commercial banks when new results, the company will have to adjust agent the cost of power stealth measure more just by reflecting the size of the incremental results. In addition, equity restructuring costs are the basis of agency governance and ownership structure has an important impact on agency costs. Through a few selected China 14 listed commercial banks’ 2007–2012 data, we show that the impact of performance of commercial banks on the proportion of the company’s largest shareholders is generally more significant; however, the impact of equity restriction on commercial banks was not as significant, as seen from the application of balanced panel data model analysis and the test results. However, the agency costs of commercial bank performance were significant also in a general state, indicating that equity adjustment activities of commercial banks’ cost perspective agency under the commercial bank performance significant changes are not large. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2413-2421 Issue: 22 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1545078 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1545078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:22:p:2413-2421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mathieu Bunel Author-X-Name-First: Mathieu Author-X-Name-Last: Bunel Author-Name: Elisabeth Tovar Author-X-Name-First: Elisabeth Author-X-Name-Last: Tovar Title: Does accessibility to local public employment agencies matter? Answers from a French quasi-experiment Abstract: We question whether accessibility to local public employment agencies impacts exits from unemployment. We deal with the potential endogeneity of the residential location of jobseekers by using the unanticipated creation of a new agency in the French region of Lyon as a quasi-natural experiment. We use exhaustive and geo-located individual data on jobseekers and local public employment agencies. Contrary to past evidence based on aggregated data, we find no evidence that jobseekers with improved accessibility to the local public employment services experience an improvement of their probability of exiting unemployment. We however find evidence of transitory organizational effects. These findings strongly question the costly strategy of a fine distribution of local public employment agencies across the territory while suggesting that institutional issues are key. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2422-2435 Issue: 22 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1545079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1545079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:22:p:2422-2435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhe Huang Author-X-Name-First: Zhe Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Franck Martin Author-X-Name-First: Franck Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Title: Pairs trading strategies in a cointegration framework: back-tested on CFD and optimized by profit factor Abstract: Statistical arbitrage is based on pairs trading of mean-reverting returns. We used cointegration approach and ECM-DCC-GARCH to construct 98 pairs of 152 stocks of 3 currencies. Stocks trading is done by Contract for Difference (CFD), a financial derivative product which facilitates short selling and provides a leverage up to 25 times. To measure the performance of a leveraged strategy, we introduced the profit factor which is the annualized return rate per unit risk. And the historical risk is measured by maximum drawdown. We compared three main strategies: percentage, standard deviation of cointegration long-term residuals and Bollinger Bands (dynamic standard deviation), with and without double confirmation of short-term standard deviation modelled by ECM-DCC-GARCH. Each of the three main strategies is optimized by two optimizers: absolute profit and profit factor. The optimization period goes from 2012–01-01 to 2014–12-31, and validation period is from 2015–01-01 to 2016–06-01. Our results showed that the USD Bollinger Bands strategy without double confirmation and optimized by profit factor, outperformed other strategies and provided the highest annualized return rate per unit risk; 32% of our sample pairs ended up in loss, and 94% of which are explained by a cointegration break during the testing period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2436-2452 Issue: 22 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1545080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1545080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:22:p:2436-2452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qin Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Qin Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Steven Devaney Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Devaney Title: Are mortgage lenders guilty of the housing bubble? A UK perspective Abstract: Existing theoretical models of house prices and credit rely on continuous rationality of consumers, an assumption that has been frequently questioned in recent years. Meanwhile, empirical investigations of the relationship between prices and credit are often based on national-level data, which is then tested for structural breaks and asymmetric responses, usually with subsamples. Earlier author argues that local markets are structurally different from one another and so the coefficients of any estimated housing market model should vary from region to region. We investigate differences in the price–credit relationship for 12 regions of the UK. Markov-switching is introduced to capture asymmetric market behaviours and turning points. Results show that credit abundance had a large impact on house prices in Greater London and nearby regions alongside a strong positive feedback effect from past house price movements. This impact is even larger in Greater London and the South East of England when house prices are falling, which are the only instances where the credit effect is more prominent than the positive feedback effect. A strong positive feedback effect from past lending activity is also present in the loan dynamics. Furthermore, bubble probabilities extracted using a discrete Kalman filter neatly capture market turning points. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4271-4290 Issue: 45 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1156231 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1156231 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:45:p:4271-4290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Malloch Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Malloch Author-Name: R. Philip Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Philip Author-Name: S. Satchell Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Satchell Title: Decomposing the bias in time-series estimates of CAPM betas Abstract: We identify two sources of bias arising from time-series regression used to compute beta. This bias arises due to the classical error in variables problem and a ‘mechanical interaction’ which exists when the index comprises the asset of interest. Assuming that the market is proxied by a fixed-weight index, we demonstrate that the relative weighting of an asset within the index, and/or the magnitude of its idiosyncratic risk, directly biases the beta estimate for the individual stock and also for all stocks within the index. Via simulations, we show that the problem is most pronounced for markets with a small number of highly concentrated assets. Finally, we propose a procedure to reduce this bias and apply the methods to equity data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4291-4298 Issue: 45 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1156233 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1156233 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:45:p:4291-4298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuliano Bianchi Author-X-Name-First: Giuliano Author-X-Name-Last: Bianchi Title: The effect of price targets on the composition of CEO pay Abstract: This article analyzes the impact of price targets from the IBES Detail Price History Target database on CEO compensation retained from Execucomp. The two databases are merged at fiscal year frequency and an OLS regression with fixed effect is used to analyze the impact of price target on CEO compensation. The analysis reveals that analysts’ price targets affect top executives’ compensation: when analysts predict a growth in the share price for a company, the compensation package tilts towards stock options, when analysts forecast a drop in the share price, the compensation package tilts towards cash-based compensation and restricted stocks. I argue that the result is more aligned with the managerial power model of compensation (which assumes the board of directors maximizes managers’ compensation) than with the arm’s length bargaining model (that states that managers’ compensation is set to maximize shareholders’ profit). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4299-4311 Issue: 45 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1156234 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1156234 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:45:p:4299-4311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ren Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ren Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Arnold Polanski Author-X-Name-First: Arnold Author-X-Name-Last: Polanski Title: Volatility–volume co-movements: evidence from China metal markets Abstract: This article investigates the interactional relationship between price volatility and futures trading activity for three heavily traded metal products on the Shanghai Metal Exchange and the Shanghai Futures Exchange. Using models based on vector autoregression and generalized method of moments, we show, in particular, that futures trading activity has a strong impact on both spot and futures price volatility in copper and aluminium markets. Futures trading activity leads spot market volatility in copper and aluminium markets which suggests that futures markets have a destabilizing effect. In order to disentangle the effect of different traders’ types on asset price movements, we decompose futures trading into speculators’ and hedgers’ trading and investigate their contributions to volatility. As a robustness check, we investigate the impact of endogenous structural breaks on the interactional relationship between price volatility and futures trading. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4312-4336 Issue: 45 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1156235 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1156235 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:45:p:4312-4336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Title: International aid from the recipient perspective: public or private good input assistance? Abstract: This article proposes a theoretical model from the recipient perspective that considers what type of assistance a donor country should provide: public good assistance or private good assistance. We investigate the effects of migration and free riders under both types of assistance. We empirically apply this model to the rapidly growing economies and a large official development assistance disbursement for East Asia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4337-4349 Issue: 45 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1156236 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1156236 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:45:p:4337-4349 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarcisio da Graça Author-X-Name-First: Tarcisio Author-X-Name-Last: da Graça Author-Name: Robert Masson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Masson Title: A structural event study for M&As: an application in corporate governance Abstract: We apply structural event study methodology in the context of corporate governance to account for the interaction of two merger and acquisition (M&A) effects: synergy (total value) and dominance (bargaining power). The interaction of these effects simultaneously determines the parties’ abnormal returns. We posit that M&A synergy effects correspond to changes in agency costs between target’s management and target’s shareholders, while the dominance effects correspond to the balance of power between acquirer and target during negotiations. Our structural estimates suggest that more stable or entrenched directors generate higher value during normal operations but are softer negotiators when their firm becomes an acquisition target. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4350-4365 Issue: 45 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1156237 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1156237 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:45:p:4350-4365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adusei Jumah Author-X-Name-First: Adusei Author-X-Name-Last: Jumah Author-Name: Robert M. Kunst Author-X-Name-First: Robert M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kunst Title: Optimizing time-series forecasts for inflation and interest rates using simulation and model averaging Abstract: Motivated by economic-theory concepts – the Fisher hypothesis and the theory of the term structure – we consider a small set of simple bivariate closed-loop time-series models for the prediction of price inflation and of long- and short-term interest rates. The set includes vector autoregressions (VAR) in levels and in differences, a cointegrated VAR and a non-linear VAR with threshold cointegration based on data from Germany, Japan, UK and the US. Following a traditional comparative evaluation of predictive accuracy, we subject all structures to a mutual validation using parametric bootstrapping. Ultimately, we utilize the recently developed technique of Mallows model averaging to explore the potential of improving upon the predictions through combinations. While the simulations confirm the traded wisdom that VARs in differences optimize one-step prediction and that error correction helps at larger horizons, the model-averaging experiments point at problems in allotting an adequate penalty for the complexity of candidate models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4366-4378 Issue: 45 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1158915 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1158915 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:45:p:4366-4378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julien Chevallier Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Chevallier Author-Name: Stéphane Goutte Author-X-Name-First: Stéphane Author-X-Name-Last: Goutte Title: Cross-country performance of Lévy regime-switching models for stock markets Abstract: This article compares the performance of regime-switching Lévy models across sixteen (16) international stock markets. From a cross-country perspective, the empirical application is dedicated to the study of equity markets in the Americas, Asia and Europe. The results are of interest for a financial audience in order to document the sensitivity of stock indexes to the intensity of jumps, under changing economic regimes (expansion or recession). We pick up singularities in Japan and Malaysia compared to other countries and regions of the world. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 111-137 Issue: 2 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1192275 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1192275 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:2:p:111-137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonghak Sun Author-X-Name-First: Jonghak Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: The effect of information technology on IT-facilitated coordination, IT-facilitated autonomy, and decision-makings at the individual level Abstract: The effect of information technology (IT) has been a central concern to economics of IT ever since it has been viewed as an important resource to improve firm productivity. Although significant research progress has been made on the impacts of IT use at the individual level, the mechanism of how IT use increases individual performance at work has not been fully explored. In an attempt to examine the IT effects on performance, we focus on individual work productivity gained from IT use. Following the discussion of previous works, we develop a research model, describing that the ubiquitous IT transforms the way individual employers’ work in organizations, and facilitates working processes and practices that may affect the decision-making of individual performance.As a result of testing the research model, we found not only that IT use does have a direct effect on the quality of decision-making in organizations, but that this effect is partially mediated by the extent of IT-facilitated autonomy and of IT-facilitated coordination. These findings suggest that the effects of IT use on decision-makings in an organization may be attributed, in part, to its beneficial use in coordination and tendency to foster more discretion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 138-155 Issue: 2 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1192276 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1192276 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:2:p:138-155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sophie Clot Author-X-Name-First: Sophie Author-X-Name-Last: Clot Author-Name: Charlotte Y. Stanton Author-X-Name-First: Charlotte Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Stanton Author-Name: Marc Willinger Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Willinger Title: Are impatient farmers more risk-averse? Evidence from a lab-in-the-field experiment in rural Uganda Abstract: Based on data from a field-experiment in rural Uganda, we show that impatient farmers are more risk-averse than patient farmers. We relied on a simplified version of the Convex Time Budget (CTB) method to elicit farmers’ time preferences and on an independent method for eliciting their risk-preferences. We report two important findings. First, we show that our simplified CTB method applied to farmers from Uganda replicates the key findings of Andreoni and Sprenger’s lab experiments that involved student subjects. Second, we establish the existence of a negative correlation between risk tolerance and impatience, based on two independent measures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 156-169 Issue: 2 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1192277 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1192277 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:2:p:156-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Colin O’hare Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: O’hare Author-Name: Youwei Li Author-X-Name-First: Youwei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Modelling mortality: are we heading in the right direction? Abstract: Predicting life expectancy has become of upmost importance in society. Pension providers, insurance companies, government bodies and individuals in the developed world have a vested interest in understanding how long people will live for. This desire to better understand life expectancy has resulted in an explosion of stochastic mortality models many of which identify linear trends in mortality rates by time. In making use of such models for forecasting purposes, we rely on the assumption that the direction of the linear trend (determined from the data used for fitting purposes) will not change in the future, recent literature has started to question this assumption. In this article, we carry out a comprehensive investigation of these types of models using male and female data from 30 countries and using the theory of structural breaks to identify changes in the extracted trends by time. We find that structural breaks are present in a substantial number of cases, that they are more prevalent in male data than in female data, that the introduction of additional period factors into the model reduces their presence, and that allowing for changes in the trend improves the fit and forecast substantially. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 170-187 Issue: 2 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1192278 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1192278 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:2:p:170-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Huang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: China’s secondary privatization: new evidence on controlling shareholders tunnelling Abstract: This article utilizes the 2005 split-share structure reform (SSSR) in China as a natural experiment and conducts difference-in-differences (DID) tests to analyse corporate governance changes among Chinese SOEs compared to POEs. We show that tunnelling significantly reduced in both POEs and SOEs after the SSSR. More importantly, we find a significant and positive ‘privatization effect’ on SOEs’ tunnelling activities during the post-reform period suggesting the reductions of tunnelling were smaller among SOEs than POEs following the SSSR. In contrast, excess returns around the SSSR indicate that investors expected a negative ‘privatization effect’ on SOEs’ tunnelling. These findings suggest that the quality of corporate governance did not improve among SOEs as a result of the secondary privatization as the stock market expected without fundamental changes to firm ownership and control following the SSSR. The benefits of privatization accrue to the government controlling shareholders rather than minority investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 188-201 Issue: 2 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1192279 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1192279 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:2:p:188-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Emmanuel Lukban Angeles Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Emmanuel Lukban Author-X-Name-Last: Angeles Title: Assessing impact of regulatory risk on shareholders’ wealth Abstract: Research indicates that regulatory risk increases required return on investment by investors and causes underinvestment in industries with high sunk costs. The effects of regulatory changes may be measured by estimating the abnormal returns associated with the event. The results may suggest to regulators what should be encouraged or avoided. This article utilizes a fixed effects regression to examine abnormal returns from changes in Philippine nationalization regulations. The results are consistent with extant literature. Supreme Court decisions, which increased uncertainty and regulatory risk, produced negative abnormal returns. The initial release of draft implementing rules did not produce statistically significant effects, but a succeeding draft favouring liberalization, produced positive abnormal returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 202-212 Issue: 2 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1194962 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1194962 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:2:p:202-212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean Joseph Minviel Author-X-Name-First: Jean Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Minviel Author-Name: Laure Latruffe Author-X-Name-First: Laure Author-X-Name-Last: Latruffe Title: Effect of public subsidies on farm technical efficiency: a meta-analysis of empirical results Abstract: Investigating the impact of public subsidies on farm technical efficiency is becoming a critical issue in applied agricultural policy analysis. This article presents a meta-analysis of empirical results on this issue, based on data gathered from a systematic literature review. We find that, in the empirical literature, subsidies are commonly negatively associated with farm technical efficiency. Meta-regression estimation results show that the direction (significantly negative, significantly positive or non-significant) of the observed effects is sensitive to the way subsidies are modelled in the empirical studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 213-226 Issue: 2 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1194963 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1194963 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:2:p:213-226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Erratum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: i-i Issue: 2 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1203089 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1203089 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:2:p:i-i Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ann Marsden Author-X-Name-First: Ann Author-X-Name-Last: Marsden Author-Name: Hugh Sibly Author-X-Name-First: Hugh Author-X-Name-Last: Sibly Title: Third-degree price discrimination in a short-stay accommodation industry Abstract: This article analyses the pricing in the short-stay accommodation industry in Tasmania. It utilizes a novel 2008 survey of Tasmanian short-stay accommodation firms in which business managers were asked about their perception of the elasticity of their firm’s demand in each of the market segments that their firm supplied. This direct observation of elasticity allows us to demonstrate that firms’ price across market segments act in a manner consistent with the Lerner index and the theory of third-degree price discrimination. Further we show, in line with expectations based on the literature, that increased quality of the accommodation lowers the elasticity of demand, while the elasticity of demand is higher in winter. Surprisingly, Internet sales channels do not exhibit a different elasticity of demand to other sales channels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5166-5182 Issue: 51 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1302063 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1302063 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:51:p:5166-5182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arturo Bujanda Author-X-Name-First: Arturo Author-X-Name-Last: Bujanda Author-Name: Thomas M. Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Thomas M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Title: Impacts of transportation infrastructure on single-family property values Abstract: New or long-standing public infrastructure such as highways, airports, and ports of entry (POE) can increase adjacent property values generating a value premium for private developers and adjacent property owners. States and local governments aim to determine the geographic footprint and anticipate the economic value created by transportation infrastructure proximity and accessibility since it represents an opportunity to capture some infrastructure costs. Hence, it is desirable to understand the degree of correlation between transportation infrastructure proximity and changes in real property values in a spatial context particularly when defining economic development zones where transportation investments are planned and where governments expect to recover some of the infrastructure cost from increases in real property values. This research applies geographically weighted regression (GWR) analysis to determine the geographic footprint and quantify the impacts of transportation infrastructure proximity and accessibility on real property values in El Paso, Texas using a 2013 cross-sectional data set. The presence of spatial nonstationarity and heterogeneity confirms that transportation infrastructure proximity and accessibility might generate premiums on real property values, but that such premiums are not always positive and are occasionally negative. GWR shows that benefits from a transportation facility can be capitalized by non-adjacent parcels. Finally, GWR maps can help better policy development by estimating how much value is added by infrastructure proximity and accessibility throughout particular locations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5183-5199 Issue: 51 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1302064 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1302064 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:51:p:5183-5199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre-Alexandre Mahieu Author-X-Name-First: Pierre-Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Mahieu Author-Name: François-Charles Wolff Author-X-Name-First: François-Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Author-Name: Jason Shogren Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Shogren Author-Name: Pascal Gastineau Author-X-Name-First: Pascal Author-X-Name-Last: Gastineau Title: Interval bidding in a distribution elicitation format Abstract: Interval bidding allows people to report a range of values for a non-market good. Herein, we allow people to choose their distribution over this range endogenously. We consider a multiplicative error model explaining the willingness to pay (WTP) which is estimated using a feasible generalized least squares estimator. We apply our framework to a representative sample of the French population who were asked about the valuation of a bear conservation programme. We find that most participants prefer stating their WTP as a range rather than a point, but the shape of the distribution greatly varies across people. Our results support the use of the interval bidding with endogenous distribution approach in valuation studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5200-5211 Issue: 51 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1302065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1302065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:51:p:5200-5211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Komivi Afawubo Author-X-Name-First: Komivi Author-X-Name-Last: Afawubo Author-Name: Samuel Mathey Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Mathey Title: The effectiveness of aid on savings and investment in Sub-Saharan Africa: do volatility and institutional quality matter? Abstract: The effectiveness of aid is somewhat subject to its volatility. This study investigates the impact of aid volatility, especially on savings and investment, with a particular focus on the role of institutional quality in 45 Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries over the period from 1990 to 2013. We used the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) technique combined with a measure of volatility, namely an averaged data method involving six 4-year sub-periods. Our results suggest that while aid is positively associated with savings and investment, its volatility is harmful to savings and investment. However, when higher quality institutions exist, the volatility of aid has a less negative impact on savings and investment.The policy implications are diverse; first, donors and SSA aid-dependent countries need to take into account the diversity of shocks to which aid can respond in mitigating its unpredictability. Secondly, SSA countries should be encouraged to establish the conditions for better quality institutions to mitigate the negative effects of the volatility of aid on macroeconomic aggregates such as savings and investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5212-5230 Issue: 51 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1302066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1302066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:51:p:5212-5230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna P. I. Vong Author-X-Name-First: Anna P. I. Author-X-Name-Last: Vong Author-Name: Duarte Trigueiros Author-X-Name-First: Duarte Author-X-Name-Last: Trigueiros Title: Evidence on the effect of ‘Claw-Back’ provisions on IPO share allocation and underpricing in Hong Kong Abstract: The article examines share allocation practices of over 300 initial public offerings (IPOs) in Hong Kong during the years immediately following the enacting of a ‘Claw-Back’ provision for IPO share reallocation. The examination of exhaustive micro-level data reveals that small (uninformed, retail) investors earn higher initial returns than large investors. Before the enacting of the ‘Claw-Back’ provision, small investors were unfavourably treated in relation to large investors. The pattern now prevailing in the proportion of shares allocated to small and large investors also differs from that observed previously. When attempting to isolate the determinants of IPO underpricing in Hong Kong, the article also shows that both the ‘informed demand’ hypothesis and the signalling effect of underwriters’ reputation are significant determinants of underpricing. Such result, not visible when pooled OLS regressions are used, becomes apparent through the use of a system of simultaneous equations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5231-5244 Issue: 51 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1302067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1302067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:51:p:5231-5244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Collins Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Collins Author-Name: John Curtis Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Curtis Title: Value for money in energy efficiency retrofits in Ireland: grant provider and grant recipients Abstract: The Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland (SEAI) administers the Better Energy Homes scheme to provide a financial incentive for home owners to engage in energy efficiency retrofits. This study analyses data from the scheme and Building Energy Rating data for participants to the scheme to examine the value for money achieved by households. In addition, this research identifies which retrofit combinations provide greatest value for money, in terms of energy efficiency gains, for the grant provider. We utilize an error-in-variables approach to model the variation in benefits accruing to households of varying characteristics. We find that household and grant provider surplus can be maximized in the short term by retrofitting less energy efficient and larger homes, timber or steel frame homes and houses rather and apartments. The types of retrofits leading to the greatest surplus for both household and grant provider include cavity wall insulation paired with either a boiler with heating controls or heating controls only retrofit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5245-5267 Issue: 51 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1302068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1302068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:51:p:5245-5267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ronald Bachmann Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: Bachmann Author-Name: Hanna Frings Author-X-Name-First: Hanna Author-X-Name-Last: Frings Title: Monopsonistic competition, low-wage labour markets, and minimum wages – An empirical analysis Abstract: This article investigates the degree of monopsony power of employers in different industries against the background of a statutory minimum wage introduction in Germany in January 2015. A semi-structural estimation approach is employed based on a dynamic model of monopsonistic competition. The empirical analysis relies on a linked employer–employee data set which allows to control for observed heterogeneity both on the worker and on the firm side. The results show important differences in monopsonistic competition among low-wage industries: While retailing, the hotel and restaurant industry as well as agriculture can be described as monopsonistic labour markets, this is not true for other services and manufacturing of food products. From a policy point of view, the introduction of a uniform minimum wage may therefore lead to different employment reactions in industries with a similar minimum wage bite. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5268-5286 Issue: 51 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1302069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1302069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:51:p:5268-5286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Plamen Nikolov Author-X-Name-First: Plamen Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolov Author-Name: Nusrat Jimi Author-X-Name-First: Nusrat Author-X-Name-Last: Jimi Title: What factors drive individual misperceptions of the returns to schooling in Tanzania? Some lessons for education policy Abstract: Evidence on educational returns and the factors that determine the demand for schooling in developing countries is extremely scarce. Building on previous studies that show individuals underestimating the returns to schooling, we use two surveys from Tanzania to estimate both the actual and perceived schooling returns and subsequently examine what factors drive individual misperceptions regarding actual returns. Using OLS and instrumental variable methods, we find that each additional year of schooling in Tanzania increases earnings, on average, by 9 to 11%. We find that on average individuals underestimate returns to schooling by 74 to 79% and three factors are associated with these misperceptions: income, asset, poverty and educational attainment. Shedding light on what factors relate to individual beliefs about educational returns can inform policy on how to structure effective interventions in order to correct individual misperceptions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4705-4723 Issue: 44 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1466991 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1466991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:44:p:4705-4723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoli L. Etienne Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoli L. Author-X-Name-Last: Etienne Author-Name: Scott H. Irwin Author-X-Name-First: Scott H. Author-X-Name-Last: Irwin Author-Name: Philip Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Title: Speculation and corn prices Abstract: It is commonly asserted that speculative trading activities are largely behind the high and volatile food commodity price behaviour since 2006. In this article, we revisit this hypothesis by investigating how different speculative measures affect our conclusion on the role of speculation. Four speculative measures are considered, including index trading activities, non-commercial net long positions, Working’s speculative index, and an excessive speculative volume index. These four measures imply different underlying hypotheses about the role of speculation on commodity price movements and encompass most of the measures used in the recent literature on the role of speculation in commodity markets. Using a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model, we show a mixed impact of speculative trading on corn prices depending on the measure used. While shocks to index trading activities and excess speculation as measured by Working’s T have either zero or negative impact on corn prices, a positive shock to non-commercial net positions or the Tadesse index significantly increases the price of corn. However, the magnitude of the impact is not large, at most about $0.30 per bushel in real terms. Our findings are robust to structural breaks, alternative ordering of variables, and an alternative specification of the model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4724-4744 Issue: 44 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1466992 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1466992 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:44:p:4724-4744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenjun Feng Author-X-Name-First: Wenjun Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Yiming Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yiming Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zhengjun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhengjun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Can cryptocurrencies be a safe haven: a tail risk perspective analysis Abstract: Cryptocurrencies are one of the most promising financial innovations of the last decade. Different from major stock indices and the commodities of gold and crude oil, the cryptocurrencies exhibit some characteristics of immature market assets, such as auto-correlated and non-stationary return series, higher volatility, and higher tail risks measured by conditional Value at Risk (VaR) and conditional expected shortfall (ES). Using an extreme-value-theory-based method, we evaluate the extreme characteristics of seven representative cryptocurrencies during 08 August 2015–01 August 2017. We find that during the sub-period of 01 August 2016–01 August 2017, there are finite loss boundaries for most of the selected cryptocurrencies, which are similar to the commodities, and different from the stock indices. Meanwhile, we find that left tail correlations are much stronger than right tail correlations among the cryptocurrencies, and tail correlations increased after August 2016, suggesting high and growing systematic extreme risks. We also find that cryptocurrencies to be both left tail independent, and cross tail independent with four selected stock indices, which implies part of the safe-haven function of the cryptocurrencies, indicating their ability to be a great diversifier for the stock market as gold, but not enough to be a tail hedging tool like gold. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4745-4762 Issue: 44 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1466993 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1466993 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:44:p:4745-4762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shui Ki Wan Author-X-Name-First: Shui Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Author-Name: Long Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Long Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Assessing the role of components of life satisfaction Abstract: Factors affecting subjective well-being and their gross effect measurement have been widely studied. However, how people derive utility from these factors has not been fully explored. This article provides a way to decompose the gross effect of major determinants on life satisfaction into direct and indirect effects and make inference for the latter. Because the indirect effect is nonlinear in parameters associated with different models in an equation system, it creates a problem in estimating the standard error. Besides, the categorical nature in survey data further introduces bias to the covariance estimation even asymptotically. To address these issues without knowing the form of heteroskedasticity under the null hypothesis, we propose to extend the wild bootstrap procedure in this particular context. Its robustness against various data properties is validated via several simulation experiments. Using three recent waves of World Values Survey, we find that the relative importance of life control has significantly increased recently, and endowing citizens with the right to enjoy their freedoms and liberties is a more effective policy in raising life satisfaction than promoting national income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4763-4773 Issue: 44 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1466994 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1466994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:44:p:4763-4773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Olorunfemi Akande Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Olorunfemi Author-X-Name-Last: Akande Author-Name: Farai Kwenda Author-X-Name-First: Farai Author-X-Name-Last: Kwenda Author-Name: Dimu Ehalaiye Author-X-Name-First: Dimu Author-X-Name-Last: Ehalaiye Title: Competition and commercial banks risk-taking: evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa region Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between competition and the risk-taking attitude of banks. We test how this relationship manifests in the Sub-Saharan African(SSA) region’s commercial banks in light of the competition-fragility view, using the generalized methods of moments. We studied 440 commercial banks in 37 SSA countries over the period 2006–2015. The results provide evidence that supports a positive relationship between competition and banks’ overall risk as well as their credit risk but suggests that off-balance sheet risk reduces with competition. We, therefore, conclude that the propensity to undertake higher risk in a competitive banking environment largely accounts for fragility as argued in the competition-fragility view. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4774-4787 Issue: 44 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1466995 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1466995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:44:p:4774-4787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cécile Casteuble Author-X-Name-First: Cécile Author-X-Name-Last: Casteuble Author-Name: Emmanuelle Nys Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuelle Author-X-Name-Last: Nys Author-Name: Philippe Rous Author-X-Name-First: Philippe Author-X-Name-Last: Rous Title: Do bank bondholders price banks’ ability to manage risk/return? Abstract: In this paper, we empirically investigate whether bank bondholders value risk management, measured as risk-return efficiency (RRE), when pricing bond spreads. Based on a sample of 2,452 bonds issued by 78 European listed banks, for the period 2001–2015, we find evidence that the ability of banks to manage risk affects bond spreads: banks with more capable managers obtain a lower cost of debt. In particular our results show that bank bondholders are even more sensitive to RRE during the crisis period, for relatively poorly rated bonds, for unsecured/subordinated debt, and for long maturity debt. Our findings highlight that bondholders’ monitoring of banks is effective and takes into account the efficiency of risk management during financial and economic downturns, but during sound periods bank bondholders should strengthen their monitoring of risk management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4788-4802 Issue: 44 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1467552 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1467552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:44:p:4788-4802 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Carl Chen Author-X-Name-First: Carl Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The domino effect of credit defaults: test of asymmetric default correlations using realised default data Abstract: Using the research framework of a domino effect in firms, we first make theoretical contributions by addressing several testable hypotheses regarding asymmetrical default correlations. We then employ Lucas’s method to provide empirical evidence based on realised historical default data in the United States from 1992 to 2013. Our empirical results are consistent with the following notions. First, default correlations increase with the time horizon. Second, firms with low credit quality, small size, illiquidity, and a high beta exhibit higher default correlations. Credit risk management without considering asymmetrical default correlations could underestimate portfolio risk due to default clustering. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4803-4813 Issue: 44 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1467553 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1467553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:44:p:4803-4813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anne Musson Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Musson Author-Name: Damien Rousselière Author-X-Name-First: Damien Author-X-Name-Last: Rousselière Title: Exploring the effect of crisis on cooperatives: a Bayesian performance analysis of French craftsmen cooperatives Abstract: The aim of this paper is to understand the economic performance of craftsmen cooperatives during the crisis period. These cooperatives have the distinctive feature of being supply cooperatives. We use an exhaustive dataset for the French craftsmen cooperatives (2004–2014). We estimate Bayesian Translog econometric models in order to underline the impact of the 2008 crisis on these cooperatives. On the one hand, cooperatives’ turnover and economies of scales decrease during the crisis, the effect is lower for elder cooperatives and varies across sectors. On the other hand, there is a convergence towards the mean for the various generations of cooperatives. These findings are robust to alternative econometric specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2657-2678 Issue: 25 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1693699 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1693699 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:25:p:2657-2678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Muhammad Ali Nasir Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Nasir Title: Asymmetric J-curve: evidence from industry trade between U.S. and U.K. Abstract: Previous research that assessed the impact of exchange rate changes on the trade balance between the U.S. and U.K. assumed the effects are symmetric. In this paper, we add to the literature on the asymmetric J-curve phenomenon by considering the trade balance of 68 two-digit industries that trade between the two countries. We find short-run asymmetric effects of the real dollar-pound rate in almost all industries. However, short-run asymmetric effects were translated into significant long-run asymmetric effects in 25 industries. Indeed, the asymmetric J-curve hypothesis was supported in 18 industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2679-2693 Issue: 25 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1693700 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1693700 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:25:p:2679-2693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenying Li Author-X-Name-First: Wenying Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chen Zhen Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhen Author-Name: Jeffrey H. Dorfman Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey H. Author-X-Name-Last: Dorfman Title: Modelling with flexibility through the business cycle: using a panel smooth transition model to test for the lipstick effect Abstract: Consumer spending typically declines during periods of economic distress, but observers have noted that lipstick purchases appear to increase during recessions, which is often referred to as the lipstick effect. However, the existence of such effect has remained empirically unconfirmed. Using weekly retail scanner data on lipstick sales from 2006 to 2016 in the United States, we applied a Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) demand model to test the relationship between economic distress and lipstick sales. This flexible demand specification allows regression coefficients to vary as a function of an exogenous macroeconomic variables and fluctuate asymmetrically, non-linearly, and time-varyingly across an unlimited number of regimes. Empirical results show the income elasticity of demand for lipstick decreased rapidly from 0.31 to 0.05 during the 2007–2009 recession, then slowly rebounded to 0.31 by the second quarter of 2014, thus first empirically confirming the existence of the lipstick effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2694-2704 Issue: 25 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1693701 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1693701 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:25:p:2694-2704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yusuf Ekrem Akbas Author-X-Name-First: Yusuf Ekrem Author-X-Name-Last: Akbas Title: The effects of exchange rate pass-through and cost channel on price level: The case of fragile five countries Abstract: In this study, we investigated whether the exchange rate and the interest rate had an effect on the inflation rate in the fragile five countries between the years of 1996Q4 and 2015Q4. In this context, a model was created to estimate the effect of interest rate and exchange rate on the inflation rate. The methods used in the study take into account cross-section dependence and heterogeneity. As a result of the analysis, it was determined that there was an exchange-rate and interest-rate pass-through effect in the fragile five countries. Moreover, it was found out that the cost channel and price puzzle were effective in Indonesia and South Africa but were not effective in Turkey, Brasil and India. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2705-2722 Issue: 25 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1694133 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1694133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:25:p:2705-2722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James L. Swofford Author-X-Name-First: James L. Author-X-Name-Last: Swofford Title: Uber’s early entry decisions in the US Abstract: Early entry decisions of the firm are crucial to its success. Ride-sharing businesses developed due to technology and government regulation. With the advent of the ride-sharing technology, firms like Uber, Lyft, etc. were faced with the decision of which markets to enter first. For this paper, a model is developed of a profit-maximizing firm constrained from entering all markets simultaneously. The entry decision of Uber into the 50 most populous US metropolitan statistical areas (MSA) is examined. The results suggest Uber’s entry decision was constrained and affected by both revenue potential and regulation in the local taxi industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2723-2729 Issue: 25 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1694633 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1694633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:25:p:2723-2729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Philip Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Author-Name: Scott H. Irwin Author-X-Name-First: Scott H. Author-X-Name-Last: Irwin Title: Is the corn futures market noisier? The impact of high frequency quoting Abstract: The paper pioneers research on high frequency (HF) quoting noise in electronically traded agricultural futures markets. HF quoting – quickly cancelling posted limit orders and replacing them with new ones – emerges as a strategy for liquidity-providing traders. HF quoting can generate noise in price quotes which adds uncertainty to order execution and impairs the informational value of bid and ask prices. It can also lead to the perception that markets cannot be trusted for commercial transactions. Using intraday Best Bid Offer data for 2008–2013 and wavelet-based measures of volatility, we investigate the excess variance and co-movement discrepancies in the bid and ask prices. We find excess HF quoting variance exists. It is the highest at 250-ms scale – 90% higher than the variance implied by a random walk – but declines quickly to 7% at the 32 s scale. But its economic magnitude is negligibly small. Bid and ask price co-movements show a low degree of discrepancy with average correlations at 0.67 at 250 ms and reaching 0.95 at 8 s. All measures indicate that HF quoting noise has declined through the period. Overall, HF quoting has not caused excess variance during the transition to electronic trading in the liquid corn futures market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2730-2750 Issue: 25 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1696450 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1696450 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:25:p:2730-2750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Jetté-Nantel Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Jetté-Nantel Author-Name: Wuyang Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wuyang Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Yumei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yumei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Economies of scale and mechanization in Chinese corn and wheat production Abstract: As the growth in Chinese farm productivity slowed down between 2000 and 2010, modernizing agriculture has become a priority of the Chinese government. Given the important role of mechanization and land reform policies in that context, this study investigates farm production in China with a specific emphasis on the potential role of mechanization as well as land and farm consolidation. A production function is estimated using farm household data on corn and wheat production in the Shandong and Hebei provinces. The results allowed us to explore the potential economies of scale across a range of farm size, the impact of land fragmentation, and assess the impact of machinery usage. Our findings suggest that, taken in isolation, the prospect for efficiency gains from mechanization and land reforms appears limited. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2751-2765 Issue: 25 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1696933 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1696933 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:25:p:2751-2765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuhan Xue Author-X-Name-First: Yuhan Author-X-Name-Last: Xue Title: Health returns to modern heating: evidence from China Abstract: This study analyses the health effects of modern heating, using China’s centralized home heating infrastructure as a natural experiment. The underlying health mechanism is that the recipients of modern heating do not need to rely on traditional fuels to heat their homes and thus suffer from less exposure to indoor air pollution. Furthermore, the improved quality of heating leads to health improvements. This article exploits spatial and time variation in the implementation of China’s centralized heating program, utilizing a difference-in-difference framework. Spatial variation takes the form of a discrete geographical cut-off between regions that receive centralized home heating and those that do not. Results show that areas with centralized heating have a 0.13% decrease in perinatal deaths and a decrease of 1.17% in the proportion of low-birth-weight infants. This translates into about 7000 fewer deaths and about 60,000 fewer low-birth-weight infants each year. Hence, there are enormous health benefits to the public provision of modern heat as a substitute for traditional heating methods, which are shown to be injurious to early-life health. These results strongly suggest that policymakers in developing countries should consider promoting cleaner heating methods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1059-1073 Issue: 10 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1349292 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1349292 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:10:p:1059-1073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Amid Motavallizadeh-Ardakani Author-X-Name-First: Amid Author-X-Name-Last: Motavallizadeh-Ardakani Title: Inequality and growth in the United States: is there asymmetric response at the state level? Abstract: A previous study that tried to assess the impact of economic growth on income inequality in the U.S. used state-level data and an ARDL panel model to conclude that economic growth worsens income inequality in the U.S. In this article, we use the same data set but an ARDL time-series model applied to each state in the U.S. to show that the above conclusion is only valid in 20 states. Additionally, we use a nonlinear ARDL approach to show that the effects are asymmetric in the short run as well as in the long run. Significant long-run asymmetric effects reveal that in 28 states both an increase and a decrease in real output have worsened income distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1074-1092 Issue: 10 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1349293 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1349293 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:10:p:1074-1092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amélie Charles Author-X-Name-First: Amélie Author-X-Name-Last: Charles Author-Name: Olivier Darné Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Darné Author-Name: Fabien Tripier Author-X-Name-First: Fabien Author-X-Name-Last: Tripier Title: Uncertainty and the macroeconomy: evidence from an uncertainty composite indicator Abstract: This article proposes a uncertainty composite indicator (UCI) based on three distinct sources of uncertainty (namely financial, political, and macroeconomic) for the US economy on the period 1985–2015. For that, we use a dynamic factor model, summarizing efficiently six individual uncertainty proxies, namely two macroeconomic and financial uncertainty factors based on the unpredictability, a measure of (micro)economic uncertainty, the implied volatility index, the corporate bond spreads, and an index of economic policy uncertainty. We then compare the effects of uncertainty on economic activity when the UCI is used instead of individual uncertainty proxies in structural VAR models. The interest of our UCI is to synthesize theses effects within one measure of uncertainty. Overall, the UCI was able to account for the most important dynamics of uncertainty which play an important role in business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1093-1107 Issue: 10 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1349294 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1349294 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:10:p:1093-1107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takeshi Miyazaki Author-X-Name-First: Takeshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyazaki Title: Examining the relationship between municipal consolidation and cost reduction: an instrumental variable approach Abstract: This study explores the cost-reduction effects of local government consolidation, using data from Japanese municipalities. We use municipal panel data from Japan for the years 2000, 2005 and 2010, a data set including numerous consolidation cases. Reverse causality between consolidation decisions and size of municipal expenditure is a concern in the voluntary consolidation of local governments. An instrumental variable (IV) methodology is employed to deal with possible endogeneity associated with consolidation decisions. The main finding is that municipal current expenditure per capita increases immediately after consolidation, but then gradually declines. Because consolidation seems to increase per capita expenditure in the absence of the effect of this long-term declining trend, incorporating this trend into estimation is crucial in cost-efficiency analysis of consolidation. It is also shown that conventional panel data regressions yield biased consolidation effects, suggesting the superiority of the IV approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1108-1121 Issue: 10 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1352077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1352077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:10:p:1108-1121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nathan Lassance Author-X-Name-First: Nathan Author-X-Name-Last: Lassance Author-Name: Frédéric Vrins Author-X-Name-First: Frédéric Author-X-Name-Last: Vrins Title: A comparison of pricing and hedging performances of equity derivatives models Abstract: This article investigates the pricing/hedging conundrum, i.e. the observation of a mismatch between derivatives models’ pricing and hedging performances, that has so far been under-emphasized as the literature tends to focus on increasingly complicated option pricing models, without adequately addressing hedging performance. Hence, we analyse the ability of the Black–Scholes, Practitioner Black–Scholes, Heston–Nandi and Heston models to Delta-hedge a set of call options on the S&P500 index and Apple stock. We extend earlier studies in that we consider the impact of asset dynamics, apply a stringent payoff replication strategy, look at the impact of moneyness at maturity and test for the robustness to the parameters’ calibration frequency and Delta-Vega hedging. The study shows that adding risk factors to a model, as stochastic volatility, should only be considered in light of the data dynamics. Even then, however, more complicated models generally fare poorly for hedging purposes. Hence, a better fit of a model to option prices is not a good indicator of its hedging performance, and so of its ability to describe the underlying dynamics. This can be understood for reasons of over-fitting. Those findings hint to a potentially appealing hedging-based calibration of models’ parameters, rather than the standard pricing-based one. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1122-1137 Issue: 10 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1352080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1352080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:10:p:1122-1137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tammuz H. Alraheb Author-X-Name-First: Tammuz H. Author-X-Name-Last: Alraheb Author-Name: Amine Tarazi Author-X-Name-First: Amine Author-X-Name-Last: Tarazi Title: Local versus International Crises and Bank Stability: does bank foreign expansion make a difference? Abstract: We investigate the impact of global and local crises on bank stability in the MENA region and examine the effect of owning bank subsidiaries in other countries. We consider banks that experienced both types of crises during our sample period. Our findings highlight a negative impact of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007–2008 on bank stability but, on the whole, no negative impact of the local crisis. A deeper investigation shows that owning bank subsidiaries outside the home country is a source of increased fragility during normal times, yet a source of higher stability during the local crisis but not during the international crisis. Moreover, owning foreign subsidiaries in one or two world regions is insufficient to neutralize both types of crises, while being present in three or more regions is more stabilizing during a local crisis but also more destabilizing during an international crisis. Our findings contribute to the literature examining bank stability and have several policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1138-1155 Issue: 10 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1352081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1352081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:10:p:1138-1155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fidel Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Fidel Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Author-Name: Santosh Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Santosh Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Prenatal care and birthweight in Mexico Abstract: We estimate the marginal impact of prenatal care (PNC) on birth outcomes in Mexico using nationally representative data on about 14 million births from 2009 to 2014. Given the possible self-selection into PNC, we attempt to identify the causal impact of PNC on birth outcomes by estimating an instrumental variable model. We find positive impacts of increased prenatal visits on birthweight (BW), length and apgar score of the newborn. Moreover, the impacts of PNC on birth outcomes differ by mother’s education, development level of the municipality where the mother resides and BW distribution. We also find suggestive evidence that PNC visits affect birth outcomes through the reduction in pre-term births. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1156-1170 Issue: 10 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1355540 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1355540 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:10:p:1156-1170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: ebi-ebi Issue: 10 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1365509 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1365509 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:10:p:ebi-ebi Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gianko Michailidis Author-X-Name-First: Gianko Author-X-Name-Last: Michailidis Author-Name: Concepció Patxot Author-X-Name-First: Concepció Author-X-Name-Last: Patxot Author-Name: Meritxell Solé Author-X-Name-First: Meritxell Author-X-Name-Last: Solé Title: Do pensions foster education? An empirical perspective Abstract: The paper examines the effect of population ageing on public education spending. On the one hand, ageing is expected to have a negative effect on education, as an increasing number of retirees results in ‘intergenerational conflict’ and, hence, the condemnation of education expenditure. On the other hand, ageing, in combination with pay-as-you-go pension systems, offers incentives for the working-age generation to invest in the public education of the young in order to ‘reap’ the benefits (that is, higher income tax/contributions) of their greater future productivity. Empirical evidence derived from the application of a fixed effects approach to panel data for OECD countries shows that the increasing share of elderly people has a non-linear effect on education spending. This indicates a certain degree of intergenerational conflict. Nevertheless, we find that future population ageing, which reinforces the mechanism linking public education and pensions, reflects positively on education expenditure. Furthermore, by disaggregating total education expenditure by educational levels, we observe that this effect is led by levels of non-compulsory education, probably as a reflection of the direct connection to labor productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4127-4150 Issue: 38 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1588949 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1588949 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:38:p:4127-4150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuxin Cai Author-X-Name-First: Yuxin Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Jianqiao Hong Author-X-Name-First: Jianqiao Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Title: Dynamic relationship between stock market trading volumes and investor fear gauges movements Abstract: This article applies multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) and multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DCCA) to investigate cross-correlation behaviours between two kinds of stock markets trading volumes and investor fear gauges covering the data of U.S. stock markets from 2 January 2004 to 31 July 2018. The empirical results show that the dynamic relationship between stock markets trading volume fluctuations and different kinds of investor fear gauges are multifractal and find that the dynamic relationship is strongly anti-persistent. Moreover, financial crisis in 2008 has a significant impact on the cross-correlated behaviour, suggesting that stock market trading volume fluctuations and investor fear gauges are more susceptible to each other during the financial crisis period. Through the rolling windows analysis, we also find that the stock markets trading volume fluctuations and different kinds of investor fear gauges are anti-persistent dynamic cross-correlated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4218-4232 Issue: 38 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1588954 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1588954 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:38:p:4218-4232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Feng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Xinjie Lu Author-X-Name-First: Xinjie Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Ke Yang Author-X-Name-First: Ke Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Yaojie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yaojie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Volatility forecasting: long memory, regime switching and heteroscedasticity Abstract: In this article, we account for the first time for long memory, regime switching and the conditional time-varying volatility of volatility (heteroscedasticity) to model and forecast market volatility using the heterogeneous autoregressive model of realized volatility (HAR-RV) and its extensions. We present several interesting and notable findings. First, existing models exhibit significant nonlinearity and clustering, which provide empirical evidence on the benefit of introducing regime switching and heteroscedasticity. Second, out-of-sample results indicate that combining regime switching and heteroscedasticity can substantially improve predictive power from a statistical viewpoint. More specifically, our proposed models generally exhibit higher forecasting accuracy. Third, these results are widely consistent across a variety of robustness tests such as different forecasting windows, forecasting models, realized measures, and stock markets. Consequently, this study sheds new light on forecasting future volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4151-4163 Issue: 38 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1589645 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1589645 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:38:p:4151-4163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akbar Marvasti Author-X-Name-First: Akbar Author-X-Name-Last: Marvasti Title: Effect of government regulations on the severity of injuries in fisheries Abstract: This study analyses the severity of commercial fishing accidents in the Gulf of Mexico using data from the USCG. Estimates from ordered probit models find no statistically significant effect for either the IFQGT program or the Coast Guard Authorization Act of 2010. However, the presence of an NOAA observer on fishing vessels appears to have reduced the severity of injuries during the study period, which can be partially attributed to the success of the USCG vessel safety certification program. Poor weather conditions increase the likelihood of fatality, particularly when a person falls overboard. Information from the interaction effects between poor weather conditions and vessel attributes can be used in designing new commercial fishing vessels to enhance safety. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4164-4175 Issue: 38 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1590525 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1590525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:38:p:4164-4175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sean M. Dougherty Author-X-Name-First: Sean M. Author-X-Name-Last: Dougherty Author-Name: Octavio R. Escobar Author-X-Name-First: Octavio R. Author-X-Name-Last: Escobar Title: What policies to combat labour informality? Evidence from Mexico Abstract: Informality often concerns policymakers due to its negative implications on productivity and poverty. In recent years, the extent of informal employment has diverged across Mexican states. Varying informal employment dynamics within a comparable institutional environment offers scope to identify policies that can reduce informality. This paper uses cross-state panel and individual data to examine the determinants of informal employment, exploiting the diverging outcomes across states, industries and time. The results suggest that there is no ‘silver bullet’ to combat informality, yet a package of policies promoting labour skills, encouraging foreign investment, enhancing tax enforcement and deterring corruption can reduce informal employment. Intriguingly, reducing the cost to start a business is found to have a non-linear effect on informal employment, conditional on the prevalence of microenterprises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4176-4190 Issue: 38 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591597 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591597 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:38:p:4176-4190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heather M. O’Neill Author-X-Name-First: Heather M. Author-X-Name-Last: O’Neill Author-Name: Scott Deacle Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Deacle Title: All out, all the time? Evidence of dynamic effort in major league baseball Abstract: This paper presents evidence that effort varies according to players’ positions in the contract cycle using 2007 through 2011 data on Major League Baseball (MLB) non-pitchers eligible for free agency. While controlling for time-invariant player traits, fixed-effect regression modelling produces evidence that MLB players exhibit contract-year increases in adjusted on-base-plus-slugging percentage (OPS+) in the final years of contracts and declines in OPS+ in the initial years of long-term contracts. The estimated contract-year boost is driven disproportionately by the best offensive performances, while estimated shirking effects are concentrated among the weakest. The results are not driven by the hitting performance of defensive specialists, nor do the results change when the econometric model accounts for players who change teams. OPS+ offers advantages over some other offensive statistics (such as RBI) because it depends less on teammate performance and adjusts for differences among home ball parks and the American and National Leagues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4191-4202 Issue: 38 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591598 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591598 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:38:p:4191-4202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Khan Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: Jude Eggoh Author-X-Name-First: Jude Author-X-Name-Last: Eggoh Title: Sectoral variability and the foundations of optimal inflation rate Abstract: The recent monetary search models argue that the real effects of inflation on economic activity can be gauged through relative price variability (RPV). Our study uses a large panel data of 32 developed and emerging European economies to test the relationship between inflation and RPV. We use a panel threshold model to explore the regime-specific effects of inflation on RPV. Our results confirm a non-linear profile of the relationship between inflation and RPV. Consistent with the monetary search models, our results show that the effects of inflation on the RPV are more significant in its low (below 0.792% per annum) and high (beyond 2.064% per annum) regimes. Finally, we also report a strong moderating role of central bank independence (CBI) in the inflation–RPV relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4203-4217 Issue: 38 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591599 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591599 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:38:p:4203-4217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suryanarayan Mohapatra Author-X-Name-First: Suryanarayan Author-X-Name-Last: Mohapatra Author-Name: Sangram Keshari Jena Author-X-Name-First: Sangram Keshari Author-X-Name-Last: Jena Author-Name: Amarnath Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Amarnath Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Title: Intellectual capital and firm performance: evidence from Indian banking sector Abstract: In the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis, the entire Indian banking industry was paralysed and their performance was shattered by the unfolding of enormous cases of Non-performing Assets (NPA). The study estimates the operating efficiency of 40 Indian banks for 5 years (2011–15) as a proxy of performance measure using the output-oriented DEA-BCC model. We find that nearly 62% of the state-owned banks and 47% of the private banks are inefficient indicating that the inefficient banks need to reduce their inputs or improve their output to become efficient. The study further investigates the relationship between intellectual capital (IC) and bank performance using a truncated regression model. The regression results show that out of the three components of intellectual capital, only human capital efficiency is positively and significantly associated with operational efficiency while structural capital and finance capital have a negative impact on the efficiency of banks. The study concludes that to achieve competitive edge banks should invest in their human capital. The results are robust in the case of financial variables taken as a proxy for performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6054-6067 Issue: 57 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1645283 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1645283 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:57:p:6054-6067 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huy Pham Author-X-Name-First: Huy Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Author-Name: Van Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Van Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Vikash Ramiah Author-X-Name-First: Vikash Author-X-Name-Last: Ramiah Author-Name: Kashif Saleem Author-X-Name-First: Kashif Author-X-Name-Last: Saleem Author-Name: Nisreen Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Nisreen Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: The effects of the Paris climate agreement on stock markets: evidence from the German stock market Abstract: We investigate the effects of the 2016 Paris Climate Agreement on the German stock market by considering the impact of 20 announcements pertaining to the Agreement on 17 industries. The event study methodology is used for this purpose, together with several robustness tests, such as the nonparametric rank test and non-parametric conditional distribution approach. The change in systematic risk following the announcements is captured by using various risk models. In general, we find that the Paris Climate Agreement is achieving its objectives in the short run. Our results show that the announcements affected polluting industries in terms of risk and return. Furthermore, we observe two distinct diamond risk structures when (1) Conference of the Parties (COP) 21 took place, and (2) the Agreement came into force. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6068-6075 Issue: 57 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1645284 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1645284 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:57:p:6068-6075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jamal Bouoiyour Author-X-Name-First: Jamal Author-X-Name-Last: Bouoiyour Author-Name: Refk Selmi Author-X-Name-First: Refk Author-X-Name-Last: Selmi Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: Safe havens in the face of Presidential election uncertainty: A comparison between Bitcoin, oil and precious metals Abstract: Even though the empirical literature on safe haven properties of different assets with respect to financial risks is increasing, their abilities to safeguard against political risks has not been the subject of large empirical investigations. This paper uses an Empirical Mode Decomposition-based approach to look into the time-varying role of different assets (in particular, oil, precious metals and Bitcoin) as a safe haven against U.S. stocks in times of heightened uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Our results suggest that oil can act as an effective safe haven against political risk exposure; but such property varies over time. The abilities of gold and silver to provide positive returns during downturns have been also documented in the medium-and the long-term. Bitcoin also serves as a safe haven against U.S. stock losses but in the short-term. These findings provide useful and relevant information to investors to help ensure better asset allocation in an uncertain environment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6076-6088 Issue: 57 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1645289 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1645289 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:57:p:6076-6088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Individual investor’s limited attention and IPO performance Abstract: The paper models and verifies the spread and decay of investor’s attention before listing on the stock market by using the Baidu Index as a proxy for investor attention of the frequency of searches. We find that individual investor’s attention has a significant influence on the first-day IPO return. We empirically study the allocation of investor attention among several stocks and discover that the more stocks going public on the same day, the milder and more similar their performance tends to be. This paper is the first to research IPO performance and individual attention. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6089-6099 Issue: 57 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646404 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646404 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:57:p:6089-6099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Whyte Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Whyte Author-Name: Robert C. Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Robert C. Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Benno Torgler Author-X-Name-First: Benno Author-X-Name-Last: Torgler Title: Sexual economic theory & the human mating market Abstract: In this study, we apply economic principles to the heterosexual human mating market using data on the socio-demographics, biology, attractiveness, sexual behaviour, and reproductive history of 3,261 Australian online dating participants. More specifically, by using survey participants attractiveness ratings as a proxy for market value, we are able to quantitatively explore theories of sexual economics (SET), which conceptualizes sexual access as an economic resource supplied by women in the human mating market. Our study tests this theory further by incorporating heterosexual market substitutes (namely, 953 bisexual and pansexual individuals) to more accurately integrate the relevant supply and demand forces impacting market value and the commodity of sexual access. We find not only that bisexual and pansexual women (but not men) enjoy a market premium (7.3% higher; p < 0.001) relative to their heterosexual counterparts, but that, contrary to SET, women’s market value in our sample does not diminish with age. We further find that in line with theory and evidence from evolutionary studies, men with (proxied) resources realize a higher market value (6.1% higher for every increased level of educational attainment; p < 0.001) than those without. In conclusion, SET is just one possible model that seeks to understand the complex multi-dimensionality of modern human sexuality and reproduction through an economics lens. As the internet and online dating now provide a low-cost conduit for human mating market participants, so to can it facilitate further large sample scientific studies of mating market dynamics such as this. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6100-6112 Issue: 57 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1650886 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1650886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:57:p:6100-6112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ling Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jianqing Ruan Author-X-Name-First: Jianqing Author-X-Name-Last: Ruan Title: Dialect, transaction cost and intra-national trade: evidence from China Abstract: Growing evidence emphasizes the important role of network effects on bilateral trade. This paper proposes a new factor – dialect difference, which decreases social network across regions, may increase transaction costs and thus shape interregional trade pattern. Taking China as an example, we use a gravity model considering network effects and provincial data from 1997 to 2009 to examine the effect of dialect difference on intra-national trade. We find that dialect difference has a significantly negative effect on interprovincial trade. Moreover, this paper explores the time dimension of the effect of dialect difference. We find that the negative effects of dialect difference on trade have been diminishing over time. Migration and the promotion of Mandarin have increased interregional cultural connections and thus mitigated the negative effects of dialect difference. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6113-6126 Issue: 57 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1657557 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1657557 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:57:p:6113-6126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabiano Compagnucci Author-X-Name-First: Fabiano Author-X-Name-Last: Compagnucci Author-Name: Andrea Gentili Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Gentili Author-Name: Enzo Valentini Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Valentini Author-Name: Mauro Gallegati Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Gallegati Title: Robotization and labour dislocation in the manufacturing sectors of OECD countries: a panel VAR approach Abstract: Robots are the most important innovation which has affected the production process in the last three decades. Thanks to the latest advances in technology, they have been able to perform an ever-increasing number of tasks, eventually replacing human work within the whole production process. However, because of the scarcity of suitable data, the extent of this potentially disrupting process is not fully assessed. This paper makes up for the lack of empirical evidence on the effect of robotization on labour dislocation using data collected by the International Federation of Robotics (IFR) on the number of robots installed in the different manufacturing industries of 16 OECD countries over the period 2011–2016. We show that at the industry level a 1% growth in the number of robots reduces the growth rate of worked hours by 0.16, as well as the selling prices and the real values of the compensations of employees. Moreover, we show that a given sector is more likely to be robotized when it is expanding both in terms of relative prices and employee compensations. We conclude that, at least in the selected countries, the introduction of robots plays a key role in slowing down human labour and compensation growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6127-6138 Issue: 57 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659499 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:57:p:6127-6138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yimin Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yimin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Rui Chen Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Rational expectations, difference of opinions and asset pricing Abstract: This article applies the concept of relative overconfidence (the measure of how heavily investors depend on others’ information) to combine the rational expectations equilibrium (REE) and difference of opinions (DO) models. And we discuss the effects of relative overconfidence on asset price efficiency and trading volume. We find that when investors hold assets to maturity, relative overconfidence has no effect on price efficiency and trading volume; however, when investors speculate, relative overconfidence reduces price informativeness and trading volume, because investors will reckon asset prices as more noisy and find it meaningless to speculate on capital gains based on their private information. Our results highlight the role of speculation in differentiating REE and DO models and influencing the effects of overconfidence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3331-3337 Issue: 31 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420892 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1420892 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:31:p:3331-3337 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shawn W. Ulrick Author-X-Name-First: Shawn W. Author-X-Name-Last: Ulrick Author-Name: Kevin P. Mongeon Author-X-Name-First: Kevin P. Author-X-Name-Last: Mongeon Author-Name: Michael P. Giannetto Author-X-Name-First: Michael P. Author-X-Name-Last: Giannetto Title: A continuous income-based grade gap decomposition on university course grades Abstract: The earnings premium for education, and higher education in particular, is well documented. This article examines the college achievement gap between students coming from positions of high and low socio-economic status. Other papers have also looked at this issue, often by employing, at least in part, an Oaxaca decomposition. Past papers artificially divided socio-economic status into binary groups of high and low, in order to employ the decomposition. Socio-economic status is innately a continuous variable. Therefore, we implement a continuous version of the Oaxaca decomposition. Higher socio-economic students are both slightly better prepared in terms of observable characteristics and have better returns to their characteristics than lower socio-economic students. Notable differences across results obtained from the binary and continuous decomposition methods are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3388-3404 Issue: 31 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420893 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1420893 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:31:p:3388-3404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Bartolucci Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Bartolucci Author-Name: Misbah T. Choudhry Author-X-Name-First: Misbah T. Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Author-Name: Enrico Marelli Author-X-Name-First: Enrico Author-X-Name-Last: Marelli Author-Name: Marcello Signorelli Author-X-Name-First: Marcello Author-X-Name-Last: Signorelli Title: GDP dynamics and unemployment changes in developed and developing countries Abstract: We design a new specification of Okun’s model that takes the following features into account: estimation of the relation in first differences, the possible lagged effect of GDP dynamics on unemployment changes, the persistence of unemployment rate dynamics, the possible different values of Okun coefficients under recession (with respect to periods of increases in GDP), the existence of cross-country institutional and structural differences (i.e. country-specific Okun coefficients), the additional effect on unemployment caused by large adverse shocks such as financial crises.A distinctive feature of this article is its consideration of a large set of countries for which we find differentiated Okun coefficients. Moreover, we focus in particular on the distinction between developed and developing countries, and on the additional impact of financial crises. From an econometric point of view, the model developed belongs in the family of linear mixed-effects models. The estimation method uses an expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm. Our results confirm the general validity of ‘Okun’s law’; they show the Okun coefficient differences between high- and low-income countries; and they evidence an additional impact of some types of financial crisis on the unemployment dynamics of developed economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3338-3356 Issue: 31 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420894 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1420894 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:31:p:3338-3356 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martina Hedvicakova Author-X-Name-First: Martina Author-X-Name-Last: Hedvicakova Title: Unemployment and effects of the first work experience of university graduates on their idea of a job Abstract: The financial and subsequent economic crisis caused a sharp deterioration in labour market conditions which particularly affected the youth group. Southern nations were affected the most, while e.g. Germany, Austria and the Czech Republic were less affected. 42.3% of university graduates are registered in the Czech Republic Labour Office for longer than 5 months. This article aims to analyse youth unemployment in the European Union (EU) with an emphasis on the Czech Republic, which is below the EU-28 average. Based on the questionnaire survey, employment of university graduates in the labour market was analysed and the following hypothesis was tested: With a change in the status of a future graduate to an employed graduate, their willingness to retreat from their demands to find the required job, changes’. The result of the survey discovered that after finding the first job, there is reduction in graduates’ demands on a job. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3357-3363 Issue: 31 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420895 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1420895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:31:p:3357-3363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bethany Cooper Author-X-Name-First: Bethany Author-X-Name-Last: Cooper Author-Name: Michael Burton Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Burton Author-Name: Lin Crase Author-X-Name-First: Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Crase Title: Valuing improvements in urban water security: evidence of heterogeneity derived from a latent class model for eastern Australia Abstract: In many Australian cities the response to drought has included the imposition of mandatory constraints over how water is used by households, often termed ‘water restrictions’. A similar rationing approach has been witnessed in California’s recent drought. The aim of water restrictions is to slow the depletion of water storage but restrictions have also been criticized for the costs they impose on specific water users. In order to gain insight into the potential magnitude of the cost of water restrictions, this study uses a choice experiment to investigate the non-market values for specific attributes associated with the outcomes of drought restrictions. This information was sought to understand the community’s willingness to pay for attributes related to the extent, frequency and duration of water restrictions. The article reports a latent class choice model for a major city in eastern Australia and investigates heterogeneity in preferences towards increasing water availability during drought. This study departs from the existing literature by conducting the choice experiment in a context where water supply is relatively abundant. This unique framing of the choice experiment allows for a useful comparison with existing studies and also raises challenges about the interpretation of the data for planning purposes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3364-3375 Issue: 31 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420896 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1420896 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:31:p:3364-3375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patty Duijm Author-X-Name-First: Patty Author-X-Name-Last: Duijm Author-Name: Sophie Steins Bisschop Author-X-Name-First: Sophie Author-X-Name-Last: Steins Bisschop Title: Short-termism of long-term investors? The investment behaviour of Dutch insurance companies and pension funds Abstract: Countercyclical investment strategies of large institutional investors such as insurance companies and pension funds can support financial stability, while procyclical investment behaviour is considered as destabilizing at a macro level. Yet, there is limited understanding of how insurance companies and pension funds invest during market shocks, such as the global financial crisis. Investigating the equity and fixed income portfolios of Dutch non-life insurers, life insurers and pension funds, we find evidence for procyclical behaviour by insurance companies (both life and non-life). For pension funds, we find evidence for countercyclical behaviour during market upturns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3376-3387 Issue: 31 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420898 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1420898 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:31:p:3376-3387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad A. Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Does financialization retard growth? Time series and cross-sectional evidence Abstract: Although financial development is essential for economic development, excessive financialization of the economy is believed to exert a negative effect on output growth. In this article, empirical evidence is presented on the relation between economic growth and financialization as measured by the ratio of credit to GDP and the ratio of publicly traded shares to GDP. The empirical results are based on annual time series data for six country groups as well as cross-sectional data covering a large number of countries. The model is initially specified with unobserved components and estimated in a time-varying parametric framework to account for missing variables. Thereafter, the issue of linear versus quadratic specifications is examined. The results are robust with respect to model specification, estimation method, data type and variable definition, showing in general that financialization has a negative impact on growth. Some evidence is also presented to support the notion of the financial Kuznets curve. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3405-3415 Issue: 31 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420899 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1420899 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:31:p:3405-3415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kagiso Mangadi Author-X-Name-First: Kagiso Author-X-Name-Last: Mangadi Author-Name: Jeffrey Sheen Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Sheen Title: Identifying terms of trade shocks in a developing country using a sign restrictions approach Abstract: Using annual data for Botswana from 1960 to 2012, we examine the responses of macroeconomic variables to four generalized positive terms of trade shocks – global demand, globalizing, sector-specific and global supply. A sign-restricted structural vector autoregression model with a penalty function is estimated to identify the four possible shocks. While positive global demand and globalization shocks are both expansionary, they have opposite effects on inflation. A positive commodity market specific shock dampens real GDP growth and is inflationary, suggesting a possible Dutch disease response. A negative global supply shock suppresses both output growth and inflation. All but the last shock leads to a significant declining interest rate. Monetary policy contraction is recommended for the first shock and expansion for the others. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2298-2315 Issue: 24 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1237757 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1237757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:24:p:2298-2315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Forecasting inflation in an inflation targeting economy: structural versus nonstructural models Abstract: We propose a comparison between atheoretical and theoretical models in forecasting the inflation rate for an inflation-targeting country such as South Africa. In a pseudo real-time environment, our results show that for shorter horizons, the atheoretical error correction models, with and without factors, perform better; while for longer horizons, theoretical (Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium-based) models outperform their competitors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2316-2321 Issue: 24 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1237760 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1237760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:24:p:2316-2321 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jizhou Lu Author-X-Name-First: Jizhou Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Gengzhong Feng Author-X-Name-First: Gengzhong Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Kin Keung Lai Author-X-Name-First: Kin Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Nengmin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Nengmin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The bullwhip effect on inventory: a perspective on information quality Abstract: In recent years, there has been a vast increase in the quantity of information shared across supply chain. We investigate how the timeliness and accuracy of information quality affect the value of information sharing. We use the inventory bullwhip effect (BWE) to measure the value of information sharing in a two-level supply chain consisting of one retailer and one manufacturer. The retailer faces a price-sensitive demand and the price is an AR (1) process. Our study shows if customer demand and retailer’s immediate order are delayed, using retailer’s historical order quantity to forecast can decrease manufacturer’s BWE. If information errors happen, during delivery and utilization, information sharing is not always valuable for the manufacturer. Sometimes, no information sharing can decrease much more of BWE. If information errors occur when the retailer collects demand information, value of information sharing is more significant than when there are no information errors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2322-2338 Issue: 24 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1237762 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1237762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:24:p:2322-2338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Dove Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Dove Title: Local government type and municipal bond ratings: what’s the relationship? Abstract: There is an extensive literature analysing the executive branch within local U.S. government jurisdictions. This has largely revolved around the differences between elected mayors and appointed city managers. Much of the academic work has considered the potential efficiency gains that may be associated with either form of government and comparative analyses between the two. However, the empirical literature has been divided regarding the relative efficiency of either form. This article attempts to add to that literature by considering how bond markets may perceive potential efficiencies that emerge from one executive type over the other by evaluating bond ratings for a sample of large municipal governments in the United States. Overall, the results suggest that municipalities headed by a city manager are associated with increased bond ratings (and thus lower borrowing costs), which may lend support that this form of administration is, on some margin, relatively more efficient than others. These results are robust to a number of specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2339-2351 Issue: 24 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1237763 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1237763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:24:p:2339-2351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roman Horvath Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Horvath Author-Name: Klara Voslarova Author-X-Name-First: Klara Author-X-Name-Last: Voslarova Title: International spillovers of ECB’s unconventional monetary policy: the effect on Central Europe Abstract: We examine how unconventional monetary policy of the European Central Bank (ECB) influences macroeconomic stability in three Central European economies. We estimate various panel vector autoregressions (PVARs) using monthly data from 2008 to 2014. Using the shadow policy rate and central bank assets as measures of unconventional policies, we find that output growth and inflation in Central Europe temporarily increase following an expansionary unconventional monetary policy shock by the ECB. Using both impulse responses and variance decompositions, we find that the effect of unconventional policies on output growth is much stronger than the effect on inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2352-2364 Issue: 24 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1237764 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1237764 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:24:p:2352-2364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xinhua Gu Author-X-Name-First: Xinhua Author-X-Name-Last: Gu Author-Name: Yang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xiao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: The role of financial systems for cross-country differences in the link between income and consumption inequality Abstract: This article discusses why consumption inequality stays low despite high income inequality in the U.S; but income inequality is closely followed by consumption inequality in China. We show that different financial systems can play a critical role in shaping the cross-country different links between income and consumption inequality. This phenomenon is consistent with the cross-country different relationships between income inequality and saving rates. Consumer credit expansion in the U.S. makes inequality much less serious for consumption than for income, and this result holds to an even larger extent if more domestic credit can be financed by foreign savings. But this is not the case in China, whose financial system focuses only on investment and trade while neglecting liquidity constraints on consumption. Our assertions accord well with evidence found from the U.S., China, and other related economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2365-2378 Issue: 24 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1240338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1240338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:24:p:2365-2378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Philippe Boussemart Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Philippe Author-X-Name-Last: Boussemart Author-Name: Hervé Leleu Author-X-Name-First: Hervé Author-X-Name-Last: Leleu Author-Name: Edward Mensah Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Mensah Title: Generation and distribution of the total factor productivity gains in US industries Abstract: This study estimates productivity gains and their distribution among inputs and outputs for 63 American industries over the period 1987–2012. Using the traditional surplus accounting method, the Total Factor Productivity (TFP) growth rates are divided into their price change components in order to determine the stakeholders who do or do not receive price advantages.An initial analysis showed that TFP of US industries increased at an average trend of 0.8% and established that remunerations to employees and firms’ profitability constituted 49% and 39%, respectively, of the accumulated economic surplus from the productivity gains. Suppliers of intermediate inputs retained 12.1% of the surplus. Finally, customers, equipment and structure providers were the losers in the distribution of economic surplus via, respectively, a significant growth of relative final demand prices and a substantial price decrease of these assets.A second step analysis underlined that industries with high TFP growth rates mainly benefited customers and firms via output price decreases and profitability improvements while industries with low or negative TFP changes hurt customers through significant output price increases. The sectoral level analysis also showed that employees’ remunerations depend only slightly on productivity gains produced within their industrial sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2379-2393 Issue: 24 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1240344 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1240344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:24:p:2379-2393 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sebastian A. Gehricke Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gehricke Author-Name: Jin E. Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jin E. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The implied volatility smirk in the VXX options market Abstract: The VXX option market has grown in popularity alongside the VXX ETN market in activity and size of oustanding positions, yet there is no complete VXX option pricing model. This paper is the first to document and analyze the implied volatility (IV) curves of the VXX options market, by applying the methodology of Zhang and Xiang, providing a necessary benchmark for developing a VXX option pricing model. The IV curves of the VXX options market do not exhibit the typical smirk shape, as for S&P 500 options, but rather an upward-sloping almost linear curve. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 769-788 Issue: 8 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646402 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646402 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:8:p:769-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger Bate Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Bate Author-Name: Cody Kallen Author-X-Name-First: Cody Author-X-Name-Last: Kallen Author-Name: Aparna Mathur Author-X-Name-First: Aparna Author-X-Name-Last: Mathur Title: The perverse effect of sin taxes: the rise of illicit white cigarettes Abstract: In this paper, we define illicit white cigarettes as cigarettes that are legal in the country of production, but that are illegally smuggled into other markets without the payment of applicable taxes. This paper analyzes whether taxes create a price wedge between legal and illicit cigarettes and thereby affect the availability and trade of illicit whites across markets. Through original, self-conducted point-of-sale surveys and discarded pack collections across 18 cities, we find that cigarette taxes significantly affect the market for illicit whites. Moreover, based on a smoker survey, we find that the illicit white market is supported by consumers’ willing to purchase illicit products for their reduced prices. It is beyond the scope of this paper to ascertain the optimal tax rates on cigarettes or the stringency of enforcement measures to reduce smoking rates (the desired health outcome). However, gaining a better understanding of the effects of taxes on illicit white trade and consumption is vital because our research suggests that current ‘sin taxes’ drive illicit activity and therefore reduce the effectiveness of higher taxes in curbing the use of cigarettes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 789-805 Issue: 8 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646403 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646403 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:8:p:789-805 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Houcem Smaoui Author-X-Name-First: Houcem Author-X-Name-Last: Smaoui Author-Name: Karim Mimouni Author-X-Name-First: Karim Author-X-Name-Last: Mimouni Author-Name: Akram Temimi Author-X-Name-First: Akram Author-X-Name-Last: Temimi Title: The impact of Sukuk on the insolvency risk of conventional and Islamic banks Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of Sukuk market development on bank insolvency risk using a sample comprising 72 Islamic banks (IBs) and 145 conventional banks (CBs) spanning 15 countries over the 2003–2014 period. We measure bank insolvency risk using the z-score. Using the system-GMM estimator, we find that Sukuk market development adversely affects the insolvency risk of IBs, while that of the CBs remains unchanged. Moreover, our results point to a negative and significant effect of the size on the insolvency risk of both CBs and IBs, thus confirming the well-documented Too-Big-To-Fail hypothesis. This effect is more pronounced for IBs indicating that large IBs exhibit higher insolvency risk than their conventional counterparts. Finally, we show that the 2008 global financial crisis has exacerbated the negative effect of Sukuk market development on bank insolvency risk, as expected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 806-824 Issue: 8 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646406 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646406 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:8:p:806-824 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheen Liu Author-X-Name-First: Sheen Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Howard Qi Author-X-Name-First: Howard Author-X-Name-Last: Qi Author-Name: Yan Alice Xie Author-X-Name-First: Yan Alice Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Title: Executive compensation and capital structure Abstract: We examine the relation between capital structure decision and the incentive power of executive compensation that contains both cash and equity components. Our analytical model shows that executive compensation motivates CEOs to pursue more aggressive capital structure policy. However, as firm leverage reaches a certain level, further incentive from compensation cannot motivate CEOs to borrow more. Our findings thus provide an explanation to the mixed evidence of the relation documented in the literature by showing that the relation also depends on the level of firm leverage. Our empirical analysis confirms the predictions of our model that executive compensation provides strong incentive for CEOs to choose high firm leverage. However, firms with high leverage tend to offer CEO compensation with lower incentive power. Subperiod analysis shows that the magnitude of the relation changes with time, while the nature of the relation still holds over the subsample periods. Also, the relation changes with the level of leverage. It is positive when firm leverage is high, but it becomes negative when firm leverage is low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 825-838 Issue: 8 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659927 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659927 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:8:p:825-838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Antonio Lucena Aiube Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Antonio Lucena Author-X-Name-Last: Aiube Title: On the Brazilian fuel pricing policy: a Gaussian factor model approach Abstract: In this paper we investigate the oil spot price dynamics and volatility in Brazilian Reais (the local currency). The current policy on price adjustments of refined products caused enormous turmoil in May 2018 due to a trucking strike over high diesel prices. The current price adjustments follow variations of oil prices and exchange rate. This issue opens a discussion of the price transfers of imported oil products. The classic volatility analysis is difficult to carry out because price series in local currency are based on data with non-homogeneous frequency. We use a Gaussian factor model to estimate the oil spot price and then follow two different theoretical approaches to infer the dynamics and volatility in local currency. From these approaches, one can infer how high the volatility is compared to the first future contract taken as a benchmark. Furthermore, one can also monitor the short-term price forecasts once the conditional distribution is known from the dynamics established. This analysis can be applied to any type of refined product depending on the existence of a liquid term structure of future prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 839-850 Issue: 8 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659929 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659929 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:8:p:839-850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stelios Bekiros Author-X-Name-First: Stelios Author-X-Name-Last: Bekiros Author-Name: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Syed Jawad Author-X-Name-Last: Hussain Shahzad Author-Name: Rania Jammazi Author-X-Name-First: Rania Author-X-Name-Last: Jammazi Author-Name: Chaker Aloui Author-X-Name-First: Chaker Author-X-Name-Last: Aloui Title: Spillovers across European sovereign credit markets and role of surprise and uncertainty Abstract: We identify the network structure of spillovers and time-varying spillover intensities across European sovereign credit markets proposing a novel Copula-Granger causality based structural vector auto-regressive (SVAR) approach. Via the proposed framework, we examine the topological and time-varying spillover and contagion between 13 European credit markets, which is found to be consistent with crisis events. The heterogeneity in directional impacts could be useful in revealing contagion effects across the credit markets. We also find that newly proposed surprise and uncertainty indexes, among other macro-economic variables, significantly explain the spillover dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 851-865 Issue: 8 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659930 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659930 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:8:p:851-865 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sefa Awaworyi Churchill Author-X-Name-First: Sefa Awaworyi Author-X-Name-Last: Churchill Author-Name: Kris Ivanovski Author-X-Name-First: Kris Author-X-Name-Last: Ivanovski Title: Electricity consumption and economic growth across Australian states and territories Abstract: This study investigates the long-run and short-run dynamics between electricity consumption (along with traditional inputs such as labour and capital) on economic output for a panel of seven Australian states/territories over the period 1990 to 2015. Our panel results suggest that electricity consumption is positively related to gross state product in both the long-run and short-run, and the growth effect also extend to traditional inputs such as capital and labour. However, the state/territory-specific results identify both positive and negative relationships between electricity consumption and gross state product. Furthermore, we find evidence of bi-directional causality between state economic growth and capital, labour and electricity consumption, highlighting the importance of traditional inputs as well as electricity consumption in the growth process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 866-878 Issue: 8 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1659932 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1659932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:8:p:866-878 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gyanendra Singh Sisodia Author-X-Name-First: Gyanendra Singh Author-X-Name-Last: Sisodia Author-Name: Isabel Soares Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Soares Author-Name: Paula Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Paula Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Title: The effect of sample size on European Union’s renewable energy investment drivers Abstract: Macroeconomic modelling results based on relatively varying sample sizes may lead to incoherent results. Such effects have not been adequately understood in the renewable energy literature regarding the European Union (EU). This study focuses on the comparison of results obtained for renewable energy investment drivers (for solar and wind energy investments) on different samples of EU countries, including all EU-27, former EU-15 and 11 high renewable investment EU countries. The study used a random effect panel data modelling approach over the period 1995–2011 for studying the impact of the levelized cost, regulation perception, carbon emissions and climatic condition on wind and solar investments over the three samples. The results demonstrate the importance of trustable regulation schemes to ensure that regulation will not have a significant negative effect on investment, showing also the need to further extend the model to include support schemes as fundamental drivers for investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5129-5137 Issue: 53 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1173176 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1173176 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:53:p:5129-5137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faisal Mehmood Mirza Author-X-Name-First: Faisal Mehmood Author-X-Name-Last: Mirza Author-Name: Olvar Bergland Author-X-Name-First: Olvar Author-X-Name-Last: Bergland Author-Name: Isma Khatoon Author-X-Name-First: Isma Author-X-Name-Last: Khatoon Title: Measuring the degree of competition in Pakistan’s banking industry: an empirical analysis Abstract: Pakistan’s banking industry has gone through significant transformation from being in a heavily state regulated and controlled environment to a more liberalized market structure in recent years. This liberalization of banking industry in Pakistan has raised concerns over the dominant banks’ exercise of market power on account of increase in market concentration due to mergers and acquisitions, high profitability in banking sector and increasing interest rate spread. Present study therefore explicitly tests the market conduct of banks using quarterly panel data of 30 banks from 2004 to 2012 and employing Panzar–Rosse, Bresnahan–Lau, Hall–Roeger and Boone’s approaches to study market power. Our findings suggest that Pakistan’s banking industry is working in a competitive environment and we find little evidence for the exercise of market power by the dominant banks. Our results remain robust across all these approaches to measure market power. These findings indicate that the liberalization and deregulation of Pakistan’s banking industry has been successful in improving the competitive conditions in the market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5138-5151 Issue: 53 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1173177 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1173177 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:53:p:5138-5151 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jürgen Bitzer Author-X-Name-First: Jürgen Author-X-Name-Last: Bitzer Author-Name: Erkan Gören Author-X-Name-First: Erkan Author-X-Name-Last: Gören Title: Measuring capital services by energy use: an empirical comparative study Abstract: From an engineering perspective, the service that a capital good provides is energy conversion – that is, the physical ‘work’ done by a machine. A capital good’s service can thus be measured directly by the energy consumed in production. We show important empirical advantages of this approximation over traditional measures. The empirical application reveals that this approach avoids a number of conceptual problems of the latter. Furthermore, this measure captures the utilization of the capital stock more accurately as it is more sensitive to fluctuations in economic activity. With a growth accounting exercise, it is shown that the differences between the new and the traditional measures are important for empirical work. Using the new measure yields significantly different results. Especially in times of global recession it provides higher and more feasible total factor productivity growth rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5152-5167 Issue: 53 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1173178 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1173178 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:53:p:5152-5167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shailesh Rana Author-X-Name-First: Shailesh Author-X-Name-Last: Rana Author-Name: G. Michael Phillips Author-X-Name-First: G. Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Phillips Title: Are U.S. growth and value stocks similarly integrated with the world markets? A test across business cycles Abstract: Utilizing the bivariate GARCH-in-mean methodology, this study examines the strength of global risk premia using 10 major foreign stock markets with two style-based, large-cap U.S. index funds and S&P500, for the period 1993–2014. We incorporated seven U.S. business cycles. The foreign risk premium was found to be significantly strong for both growth and value stocks, and the S&P500 index, indicating that U.S. integration within global market is strong and persistent over the past 20 years. We report distinct risk characteristics owing to global linkages, for the two style-based U.S. funds over different business cycles. The foreign risk premium for growth stocks is mostly positive and especially high during contractions; in contrast, the value stocks demand more premiums during expansions. The growth and value linkages with foreign countries also vary quite substantially over the business cycles. A possible sign of convergence is the decreasing difference between value and growth foreign risk premiums, post-2001, perhaps indicative of greater domestic and global market integration. Our results support a solid, continuing trend of U.S. integration within global markets, with an influential role of business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5168-5185 Issue: 53 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1173179 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1173179 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:53:p:5168-5185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qin Fan Author-X-Name-First: Qin Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Stephan J. Goetz Author-X-Name-First: Stephan J. Author-X-Name-Last: Goetz Author-Name: Jiaochen Liang Author-X-Name-First: Jiaochen Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Title: The interactive effects of human capital and quality of life on economic growth Abstract: To bridge the gap in the quality of life (QOL) and economic growth literature and understand the reinforcing effects of QOL and human capital on economic development, we examine the interactive effects of these two factors on wage growth from 2000 to 2007 at the county level across the United States. First, a Rosen–Roback model is employed to estimate implicit values of amenities including climate, clean air and other natural attributes, which are used to generate QOL indices. Second, QOL, human capital represented by the share of college graduates, and their interaction serve as key variables in the wage growth model. An instrumental variable approach and location fixed effects are used to address endogeneity of human capital and control for location-specific unobservable characteristics. Results suggest that human capital and QOL significantly contribute to economic growth and the growth effects are even larger in nonmetropolitan counties. Importantly, we find that the effect of human capital on growth is larger in high-QOL counties and QOL enhances the effect of human capital on growth. Our results provide empirical support for community development strategies through providing utility-enhancing amenities that improve QOL and retain human capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5186-5200 Issue: 53 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1173180 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1173180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:53:p:5186-5200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enlinson Mattos Author-X-Name-First: Enlinson Author-X-Name-Last: Mattos Author-Name: Rafael Terra Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Terra Title: Nature of transfers, income tax function and empirical estimation of elasticity of taxable income for Brazil Abstract: This article aims to estimate the elasticity of taxable income (ETI), taking into account the nature of transfers and their use as a redistribution package (involving cash and in-kind transfers) to households in Brazil. Our contributions are twofold. First, we provide a simple model with balanced-budget government that reveals the role played by cash and in-kind transfers on the labour supply (and income tax revenues thereof). Next, in order to estimate ETI in the presence of cash and in-kind transfers, Brazilian population surveys (Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios [PNAD]) are used to explore a limited tax reform that was implemented between 1997 and 1998. This reform only affected the higher income tax bracket. Our findings suggest that in-kind (cash) transfers are positively (negatively) associated with reported taxable income and precise estimation of ETI requires estimates of both types of transfers. Last, we estimate the ETI for Brazil in the range from 0.4 to 1.3 not different from those that maximize income tax revenues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5201-5220 Issue: 53 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1173181 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1173181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:53:p:5201-5220 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sajid Anwar Author-X-Name-First: Sajid Author-X-Name-Last: Anwar Author-Name: W. Robert J. Alexander Author-X-Name-First: W. Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Title: Pollution, energy use, GDP and trade: estimating the long-run relationship for Vietnam Abstract: Since the beginning of economic reform in the 1980s and, in particular, with its openness to international trade accelerating since the 1990s, the Vietnamese economy has registered significant growth. At the same time, energy consumption and the level of pollution in Vietnam has also increased. This article aims to focus on the link between openness to trade and pollution in Vietnam. Due to lack of data, very few existing studies have focused on Vietnam. Using annual data from1980 to 2011 and employing the bounds testing approach to cointegration, based on an autoregressive distributed lagged (ARDL) model, we find that there is a statistically significant long-run relationship amongst pollution, openness to trade, energy consumption and real national income in Vietnam. This conclusion continues to hold when the possibility of a structural break in the relationship is allowed for using the Gregory-Hansen approach to cointegration. Analysis of the cointegration relationship suggests that, in response to any exogenous shock to the system, adjustment back to the long-run equilibrium is very fast. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5221-5232 Issue: 53 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1173182 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1173182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:53:p:5221-5232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: El Mamoun Amrouk Author-X-Name-First: El Mamoun Author-X-Name-Last: Amrouk Author-Name: Stephanie-Carolin Grosche Author-X-Name-First: Stephanie-Carolin Author-X-Name-Last: Grosche Author-Name: Thomas Heckelei Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Heckelei Title: Interdependence between cash crop and staple food international prices across periods of varying financial market stress Abstract: This paper investigates the price dynamics between a selection of international staple food and cash crop futures prices. This price interaction is particularly relevant for developing countries that rely on cash crop export earnings to finance their staple food import requirements. We employ a multivariate Copula-DCC-GARCH model to characterize the cash crop and staple food price interaction over time and a rolling-sample volatility index to identify the direction of the volatility spillover for staple-cash commodity pairs. Results show that the intensity of interaction varies considerably over the sample time, but is, generally positive, and stronger during the period 2007–2012 associated with high commodity prices and financial market stress. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 345-360 Issue: 4 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1645281 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1645281 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:4:p:345-360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdelaziz Chazi Author-X-Name-First: Abdelaziz Author-X-Name-Last: Chazi Author-Name: Ali Mirzaei Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Mirzaei Author-Name: Zaher Zantout Author-X-Name-First: Zaher Author-X-Name-Last: Zantout Author-Name: Asm Sohel Azad Author-X-Name-First: Asm Sohel Author-X-Name-Last: Azad Title: Does the size of Islamic banking matter for industry growth: international evidence Abstract: Islamic banking, which has witnessed unprecedented growth in the last quarter of the century is hypothesized to be able to contribute to the development of the financial sector and thus to economic growth through tools inherent to this faith-based model of banking. We test the hypothesis that a higher relative presence of Islamic banking is beneficial to the growth of external finance dependent industries. Using data for 28 industries in 14 countries with dual banking systems, we find that the absolute and relative size of Islamic banking do have a positive impact on industry growth. The results are robust to controlling for the quality of finance as well as for the degree of competition in the banking industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 361-374 Issue: 4 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1645288 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1645288 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:4:p:361-374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isaac Koomson Author-X-Name-First: Isaac Author-X-Name-Last: Koomson Author-Name: Renato A. Villano Author-X-Name-First: Renato A. Author-X-Name-Last: Villano Author-Name: David Hadley Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hadley Title: Intensifying financial inclusion through the provision of financial literacy training: a gendered perspective Abstract: This study examines the impact of financial literacy training on financial inclusion and its intensity using data collected from a randomised control trial. An additive index of financial inclusion is generated from four financial inclusion indicators. After testing for baseline balance and estimating impact, our findings show that beneficiaries of financial literacy training are about 7.2 percentage points more likely to own an account while they are 8.2 percentage points more likely to save. Overall, beneficiaries of financial literacy training had a 9.5 percentage points advantage in receiving financial assistance than their non-beneficiary counterparts. While financial literacy training only showed a significant impact on account ownership for female-beneficiary households, male-beneficiary households also only experienced an impact in their savings behaviour and receipt of financial assistance. Moreover, beneficiaries of financial literacy training are more likely to intensify their financial inclusion and the intensity of inclusion is higher for male and young beneficiary households. The results highlight the need to strengthen financial literacy training in order to close the gender financial inclusion gap. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 375-387 Issue: 4 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1645943 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1645943 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:4:p:375-387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chia-Hao Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Pei-I Chou Author-X-Name-First: Pei-I Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Title: Industry competition, earnings management and leader–follower effects Abstract: This article examines the impacts of industry competition on the leader-follower effects in different earnings management activities. The empirical results show that there are the leader-follower effects in the accrual-based earnings management in industries with different extents of competition, while there is the leader-follower effect in the real earnings management activities in industries with lower degrees of industry competition. The evidence implies that the industry competition affects the leader-follower effects in the different earnings management activities, and then the different extents of industry competition have different mediation effects on the leader-follower effect. We expect the empirical results not only fill the gap of literatures, but also provide a new insight for the investors and regulators in their investment decision and regulation revision. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 388-399 Issue: 4 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646393 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646393 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:4:p:388-399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David J Hunt Author-X-Name-First: David J Author-X-Name-Last: Hunt Author-Name: Charles R. Link Author-X-Name-First: Charles R. Author-X-Name-Last: Link Title: Better outcomes at lower costs? The effect of public health expenditures on hospital efficiency Abstract: Local health departments play a critical role in the community they serve as they are the foundation of the U.S. public health system providing services such as immunizations to the less affluent and advocating for state smoking bans. Research indicates public health expenditures improve overall health of the population. Importantly, a healthier population may lead to efficiency gains for surrounding health care providers. We use a two-stage semi-parametric Data Envelopment Analysis to estimate the effects of public health spending on the technical efficiency of the surrounding hospitals. Our results indicate hospitals operating in an area with a high level of per capita public health expenditures experience gains in efficiency of approximately 1.67 percentage points relative to hospitals in low spending areas suggesting a $20 billion in annual savings due to increased hospital efficiency. We also found that the more traditional approaches using the biased estimate for technical efficiency yielded the same conclusions with less computational burdens.Abbreviation: WHO: World Health Organization; NACCHO: National Association of City and County Health Organization; DEA: Data Envelopment Analysis; CMS: Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services; FTE: Full time equivalent; AHRF: Area Health Resource Files; MSA: Metropolitan Statistical Area; AHA: American Hospital Association Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 400-414 Issue: 4 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646405 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646405 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:4:p:400-414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Ayalew Ali Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Ayalew Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Author-Name: Klaus Deininger Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Deininger Author-Name: Michael Wild Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Wild Title: Using satellite imagery to create tax maps and enhance local revenue collection Abstract: Although taxes on land and property have many desirable attributes, the challenge of ensuring completeness of tax rolls and currency of valuations preclude their effective use to support urbanization and service provision in many developing countries. The example of Kigali shows how building footprints and heights generated from high-resolution satellite imagery, together with sales prices and routine statistical data, allow to assess and improve coverage and design of property tax systems. We show that only 40% of potential land lease fee revenue (of US$ 4.9 million) was collected and that moving to 1% value-based tax would increase revenue almost 10 times while being less regressive than the current system. While this could allow reducing the tax burden for low-income groups, exemptions should be applied with caution based on careful empirical analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 415-429 Issue: 4 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646408 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646408 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:4:p:415-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Moffat Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Moffat Author-Name: Hong Il Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Hong Il Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Religion, religiosity and educational attainment: evidence from the compulsory education system in England Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of religion on the educational attainment of pupils in their final year of compulsory education in England. The results show that pupils that identify with any religion have better academic performance than other pupils, after controlling for various family, parental and neighbourhood characteristics. The outperformance is reinforced by previous attendance at religious classes but there is no similar effect from considering religion to be very important to their life. Allowing for religion-specific effects shows that Muslim pupils outperform Christian pupils although the performance of the latter group is boosted by attendance at religious classes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 430-442 Issue: 4 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646872 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646872 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:4:p:430-442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cormac O’ Keeffe Author-X-Name-First: Cormac Author-X-Name-Last: O’ Keeffe Author-Name: Liam A. Gallagher Author-X-Name-First: Liam A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gallagher Title: The winner-loser anomaly: recent evidence from Greece Abstract: This article finds evidence of significant reversals in returns over the medium term in Greek stocks. In contrast with previous research, return reversals are more pronounced for past winners, suggesting that the market overreacts to a greater extent to good news. These contrarian returns are particularly elevated when portfolios are formed using quartiles and during tranquil and bull markets. The optimum contrarian strategy involves skipping the first 6 months of the holding period and implementing the contrarian strategy for a period of 18 months, as returns exhibit continuation followed by reversal. The profitability of the contrarian investment strategy is robust to adjustments for risk and seasonalities. It is the tranquil times and not the crisis/volatile times that generates a significant and profitable contrarian strategy. The recent credit crisis and resulting stock market falls, resulted in extreme movements in some Greek stocks and testing of the contrarian strategy problematic, especially when portfolios are decile ordered. Our findings also highlight the importance of survivorship bias and also suggest that contrarian strategies that just use market beta may be ill-equipped to take into consider extreme market movements, illiquidity and short-sales constraints. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4718-4728 Issue: 47 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1293786 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1293786 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:47:p:4718-4728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shu Chun Chang Author-X-Name-First: Shu Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Railway development from the Japanese occupation period to the present – using Kaohsiung city as an example​​​​​​​​ Abstract: This study intended to discuss the interactive influence of the emergence, transformation and decline of the railway in Kaohsiung Port on urban development, the population, the activities and the economy in the region during the period of 1895–2010, from the perspectives of urban planning, railway development, population and industry. This study used the crossover analysis method, and used the factors of railway development and urban planning, within a fixed time period, to explore the chain dependence relationship among the industry, the population, the regional economy and the railway stations in Kaohsiung city. This study found that urban planning, economic development, railway development and industry have an interactive influence on the overall urban development. Urban planning promotes the rapid growth of the population, and economic development propels the growth and shaping of the regional economy, thus increasing employment opportunities. In addition, the railway development process moves forward with urban development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4729-4741 Issue: 47 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1293787 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1293787 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:47:p:4729-4741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Pauliina Sandqvist Author-X-Name-First: Anna Pauliina Author-X-Name-Last: Sandqvist Title: Dynamics of sectoral business cycle comovement Abstract: Sectoral comovement accounts for a considerable share of the variance of aggregate variables. However, little is known about its time-varying aspects by now. In this article, a multivariate DCC- GARCH framework is employed to study dynamics of sectoral comovement across manufacturing sectors both in the United States and in Germany. To account for possible nonlinearities, asymmetric effects in conditional volatilities as well as in conditional correlations are being assessed. We find that comovement across sectors is not stable but shows irregular movements. Particularly, contractions tend to be more synchronized than expansions in manufacturing sector. Moreover, we examine the role of various aggregate factors for the fluctuations in conditional correlations. Our findings reveal that both the non-constant variability of common factors and the changes in the effects of these factors play role for the fluctuations in sectoral comovement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4742-4759 Issue: 47 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1293790 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1293790 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:47:p:4742-4759 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liang Guo Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Donald Lien Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Author-Name: Maggie Hao Author-X-Name-First: Maggie Author-X-Name-Last: Hao Author-Name: Hongxian Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hongxian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Uncertainty and liquidity in corporate bond market Abstract: We examine the uncertainty–liquidity connection in the corporate bond market. Using monthly corporate bond data from 2005 to 2010, we construct proxies for parameter uncertainty by using firm-level parameters generated from a structural model of corporate debt. We find that uncertainty about firm parameters decreases trading volume but increases bid-ask spreads and price bouncing in the cross-section and across time. In addition, the panel VAR results show that parameter uncertainty has negative forecasting power for future bond liquidity, with greater uncertainty in the current month leading to lower trading volume, higher bid-ask spreads and higher price fluctuations on subsequent months. We conclude that parameter uncertainty is one of the underlying factors giving rise to the high level of illiquidity in the corporate bond market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4760-4781 Issue: 47 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1293792 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1293792 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:47:p:4760-4781 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia D. Fuentes-Saguar Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: D. Fuentes-Saguar Author-Name: Juan A. Vega-Cervera Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: A. Vega-Cervera Author-Name: Manuel Alejandro Cardenete Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Cardenete Title: Socio-economic impact of a nuclear power plant: Almaraz (Spain) Abstract: An analysis is made of the socio-economic impact in a region in which a nuclear plant is decommissioned. The average age of nuclear power plants around the world is high, so that many are close to the end of their useful life. The issue of this impact will be important in a few years for various reasons, especially because those plants tend to be drivers of the economic activity in the areas in which they are located. The focus of this communication is on these socio-economic effects. Methodologically, socio-economic analysis uses a linear Social Accounting Matrix model that improves traditional Input–Output approaches by covering the induced effects generated from the receptors of income out to other sectors of the economy. The procedure is applied to an empirical analysis of the Almaraz Nuclear Power Plant in Spain. This was purposely chosen as sharing many of the general characteristics of nuclear plants around the world. If the plant is closed down, our results suggest that there will be a clear negative impact in terms of employment and added value generation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4782-4792 Issue: 47 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1293793 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1293793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:47:p:4782-4792 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Author-Name: Han-Chiang Ho Author-X-Name-First: Han-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Title: Markov regime-switching Beta--EGARCH Abstract: We suggest a Markov regime-switching (MS) Beta-t-EGARCH (exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) model for U.S. stock returns. We compare the in-sample statistical performance of the MS Beta-t-EGARCH model with that of the single-regime Beta-t-EGARCH model. For both models we consider leverage effects for conditional volatility. We use data from the Standard Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) index and also a random sample that includes 50 components of the S&P 500. We study the outlier-discounting property of the single-regime Beta-t-EGARCH and MS Beta-t-EGARCH models. For the S&P 500, we show that for the MS Beta-t-EGARCH model extreme observations are discounted more for the low-volatility regime than for the high-volatility regime. The conditions of consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator are satisfied for both the single-regime and MS Beta-t-EGARCH models. All likelihood-based in-sample statistical performance metrics suggest that the MS Beta-t-EGARCH model is superior to the single-regime Beta-t-EGARCH model. We present an application to the out-of-sample density forecast performance of both models. The results show that the density forecast performance of the MS Beta-t-EGARCH model is superior to that of the single-regime Beta-t-EGARCH model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4793-4805 Issue: 47 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1293794 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1293794 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:47:p:4793-4805 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinfang Li Author-X-Name-First: Jinfang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chunpeng Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chunpeng Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: The cross-section and time-series effects of individual stock sentiment on stock prices Abstract: In this article, we construct an individual stock sentiment index by using the principal component analysis method. We empirically study the cross-section and time-series effects of investor sentiment on the stock prices based on the panel data model with dummy variable. The results indicate that individual stock sentiment has greater impact on small-firm stock prices than big-firm stock prices, which presents obvious cross-section effect. Moreover, individual stock sentiment leads to much sharper fluctuations of stock prices in the stock market downturn than in the stock market expansion, which shows obvious time-series effect. Specifically, the individual stock sentiment has the greatest impact on small-firm stock prices under the stock market downturn, exerting significant dual asymmetric effect. Our results are helpful to understanding the micro-mechanism of sentiment effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4806-4815 Issue: 47 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1293795 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1293795 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:47:p:4806-4815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anjum Siddiqui Author-X-Name-First: Anjum Author-X-Name-Last: Siddiqui Author-Name: Atiq ur Rehman Author-X-Name-First: Atiq ur Author-X-Name-Last: Rehman Title: The human capital and economic growth nexus: in East and South Asia Abstract: This study adopts a disaggregated regional focus to test for the human capital (HC)-growth nexus in selected nine Asian countries. It utilizes the Empirical Bayesian methodology which addresses not only the heterogeneity issue but it also utilizes the common structural priors of regional countries to yield ‘informationally’ efficient estimates of the impact of HC on the stock and levels of GDP. Various measures of HC are utilized to determine which of these produces a better explanation of economic growth in the two Asian regions. The study finds that primary and secondary education was more prominent in explaining the fluctuations of economic growth in East Asia, whereas tertiary and vocational education showed positive effects on economic growth in South Asia. Government expenditures on education were also found to positively affect economic growth in both regions. The results shed new evidence to establish that the differences in growth rates within East and South Asia are associated with differences in educational progression in the regions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2697-2710 Issue: 28 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1245841 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1245841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:28:p:2697-2710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Shin S. Ikeda Author-X-Name-First: Shin S. Author-X-Name-Last: Ikeda Title: Effects of short sale ban on financial liquidity in crisis and non-crisis periods: a propensity score-matching approach Abstract: We investigate the impact of banning the short-selling (shorting ban) on liquidity of stocks traded in the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEx) on the basis of the 20 revisions of the designated list of shortable stocks from January 2006 to December 2010. In order to avoid endogeneity due to the liquidity-adaptive implementation of the ban policy, we use the propensity score-matching of shortable and unshortable stocks and apply the double- and triple-difference methods embedded in the fixed effect panel regression for the matched data. Using two outcome variables for illiquidity, the Amihud price-impact measure, and the bid-ask spread, our results suggests that the shorting ban in this market may have a liquidity-supporting effect in terms of the price impact with no regard to market tranquility and in terms of the spread with regard to the 2008–2009 financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2711-2718 Issue: 28 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1245843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1245843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:28:p:2711-2718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Feriha Ibriyamova Author-X-Name-First: Feriha Author-X-Name-Last: Ibriyamova Author-Name: Samuel Kogan Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Kogan Author-Name: Galla Salganik-Shoshan Author-X-Name-First: Galla Author-X-Name-Last: Salganik-Shoshan Author-Name: David Stolin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Stolin Title: Using semantic fingerprinting in finance Abstract: Researchers in finance and adjacent fields have increasingly been working with textual data, a common challenge being analysing the content of a text. Traditionally, this task has been approached through labour- and computation-intensive work with lists of words. In this article we compare word list analysis with an easy-to-implement and computationally efficient alternative called semantic fingerprinting. Using the prediction of stock return correlations as an illustration, we show semantic fingerprinting to produce superior results. We argue that semantic fingerprinting significantly reduces the barrier to entry for research involving textual content analysis, and we provide guidance on implementing this technique. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2719-2735 Issue: 28 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1245844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1245844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:28:p:2719-2735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhen Huang Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Wanli Li Author-X-Name-First: Wanli Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Weiwei Gao Author-X-Name-First: Weiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Title: Why do firms choose zero-leverage policy? Evidence from China Abstract: In recent years, firms choosing zero-leverage policy have largely increased around the world. However, few studies have focused on why Chinese firms choose zero-leverage policy. In this article, we investigate the motivations for firms choosing zero-leverage policy from the perspective of financing needs. Using a sample of public firms listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock market in China from 2007 to 2014, we find that firms without external financing needs are more likely to become zero-leverage firms, and that financial constraints and financial flexibility also may be the motivations for firms choosing zero-leverage policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2736-2748 Issue: 28 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1245845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1245845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:28:p:2736-2748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Dixon Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Dixon Author-Name: G. C. Lim Author-X-Name-First: G. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Jan C. van Ours Author-X-Name-First: Jan C. Author-X-Name-Last: van Ours Title: Revisiting the Okun relationship Abstract: Our article revisits the Okun relationship between observed unemployment rates and output gaps. We include in the relationship the effect of labour market institutions as well as age and gender effects. Our empirical analysis is based on 20 OECD countries over the period 1985–2013. We find that the share of temporary workers (which includes a high and rising share of young workers) played a crucial role in explaining changes in the Okun coefficient (the impact of the output gap on the unemployment rate) over time. The Okun coefficient is not only different for young, prime-age and older workers but also it decreases with age. From a policy perspective, it follows that an increase in economic growth will not only have the desired outcome of reducing the overall unemployment rate but it will also have the distributional effect of lowering youth unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2749-2765 Issue: 28 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1245846 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1245846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:28:p:2749-2765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bill Hu Author-X-Name-First: Bill Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Christine Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Thomas McInish Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: McInish Author-Name: Haigang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Haigang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Price clustering on the Shanghai Stock Exchange Abstract: We investigate price clustering of intraday trades and negotiated block trades on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) from 2003 to 2009. Prices of traded assets tend to cluster on certain final digits, such as 0 and 5. In Chinese culture, 8 is associated with good luck and 4 with death so these numbers may be attractive or avoided. We find that price clustering on the final digit of 0 is significantly higher during the morning call auction and early in the trading day. We find no evidence of price clustering for the digit 8, but there is a significant dearth of prices ending in the inauspicious number 4. Price clustering is significantly higher for negotiated block trades, for which about 28% end with 0. Multivariate analysis shows that price clustering is lower for more liquid firms, but higher for firms with higher return volatility, a higher price level, or when the market is volatile. Our evidence supports the costly negotiation hypothesis. Our results also support the attraction hypothesis in that we document significant price clustering at round numbers and even numbers even after controlling for factors that are associated with price uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2766-2778 Issue: 28 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1248284 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1248284 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:28:p:2766-2778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Annette Alstadsæter Author-X-Name-First: Annette Author-X-Name-Last: Alstadsæter Author-Name: Martin Jacob Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Jacob Title: Who participates in tax avoidance? Evidence from Swedish microdata Abstract: This article empirically examines why not all individuals participate in tax avoidance. We use rich Swedish administrative panel data on all taxpayers, with a link between corporate and individual tax returns and document that few individuals utilize legal and observable tax avoidance opportunities. Our results show that there are several frictions in tax avoidance participation. In addition to monetary benefits from tax avoidance (incentives), the opportunity to participate in tax avoidance (access), as well as information and knowledge about these opportunities (awareness), are important factors for the individual’s tax avoidance decision. We further show that tax avoidance spreads within communities. The impact of the local network is stronger for non-commuters who live and work in the same municipality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2779-2796 Issue: 28 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1248285 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1248285 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:28:p:2779-2796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Baltas Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Baltas Author-Name: Mike G. Tsionas Author-X-Name-First: Mike G. Author-X-Name-Last: Tsionas Author-Name: Konstantinos Baltas Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Baltas Title: Foreign direct investment in OECD countries: a special focus in the case of Greece Abstract: Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is considered as an important instrument for economic development all over the world. The aim of this paper is to examine the FDI inflows determinants for 24 OECD countries.  To this end we employ annual data from 1980 to 2012 for a series of potential FDI determinants that have been identified as the most important by the relevant literature. Our empirical strategy employs both the standard fixed effects panel as well as a dynamic panel approach. The empirical findings highlight the importance of market size, trade openness, unit labor cost, schooling, taxation, gross capital formation, institutional variables, and ROA/ROE as significant FDI determinants. In the case of the dynamic panel model those FDI inflows determinants are not uniform for all country groups. Additionally, the results indicate that corporate tax rates clearly affect FDI attractiveness. This finding is robust when testing different countries subgroups. The present study has important policy implications indicating the factors that host economies should place emphasis on in order to attract FDI inflows. Policy makers should not only pay attention to the corporate tax rate level but they should also design a simple, stable and transparent taxation system that minimizes the relevant business risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5579-5591 Issue: 52 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488054 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488054 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:52:p:5579-5591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali M. Kutan Author-X-Name-First: Ali M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kutan Author-Name: Hai Lin Author-X-Name-First: Hai Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Ping-Wen Sun Author-X-Name-First: Ping-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Bin Yu Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: A reliable performance measure to differentiate China’s actively managed open-end equity mutual funds Abstract: We compare different fund performance measures to examine which performance measures can generate risk-adjusted returns between high ranked and low ranked China’s actively managed open-end equity mutual funds. Our results show that only the six-factor (five factors (market, size, b/m, profitability & Investment facotrs) plus a momentum factor) alpha as the performance measure meets the criteria. Separated by the six-factor alpha, better performing funds have a larger asset under management, a better past 6-month cumulative return, a better stock picking ability, and a higher percentage of hybrid funds. Through our sample period from July 2004 to December 2015, the highest ranked quintile funds generate a monthly risk-adjusted return of 0.24% more than the lowest ranked quintile funds and the six-factor alpha reliably selects a better fund portfolio in both bear and bull markets on the basis of both fund return and holding data. Furthermore, our results from fund trading data show that funds with the highest six-factor alpha rank demonstrate a better trading skill in bear markets, suggesting that those better performing funds exhibit their market timing and stock picking abilities when investors need them most. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5592-5603 Issue: 52 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488055 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488055 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:52:p:5592-5603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsien-Yi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Hsien-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shu-Ling Yang Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Contagion effects of sovereign credit rating revisions on the real economy: is it trade or finance? Abstract: We analyse the contagion effects of sovereign credit rating revisions on the real economy, with particular emphasis on the intensity of trade and finance channels. Our findings show that event countries that experienced rating revisions cause substantial contagion effects on the real output growth rates of nonevent countries. Nonevent countries with a high export ratio, high external debt levels, or those that are more dependent on common bank credit relative to other nonevent countries are more likely to be infected by event countries’ adverse credit shocks. The results remain after accounting for alternative real economy indicators, financial liberalization, financial crises, and economic development status. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5604-5619 Issue: 52 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488056 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:52:p:5604-5619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregmar I. Galinato Author-X-Name-First: Gregmar I. Author-X-Name-Last: Galinato Author-Name: You Zhou Author-X-Name-First: You Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: How a race to the bottom can make you fat Abstract: This article measures the effect of fiscal competition on obesity rates in the United States through education and health spending. We hypothesize that fiscal competition to attract firms results in lower business tax revenues and higher public infrastructure spending which crowds out education and health spending leading to an increase in obesity rates. We empirically test this hypothesis. We find that there is significant fiscal competition to attract firms. Next, we show that when business tax revenues are lowered and public infrastructure spending favouring businesses increased, public health and education spending declines and obesity rates significantly increase. Thus, fiscal competition significantly contributes to obesity rates through the education and health spending channel. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5620-5640 Issue: 52 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488058 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488058 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:52:p:5620-5640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Shahbaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Shahbaz Author-Name: Amatul Razzaq Chaudhary Author-X-Name-First: Amatul Razzaq Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhary Author-Name: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Syed Jawad Hussain Author-X-Name-Last: Shahzad Title: Is energy consumption sensitive to foreign capital inflows and currency devaluation in Pakistan? Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between foreign capital inflows and energy consumption by incorporating economic growth, exports and currency devaluation in energy demand function for the case of Pakistan. The long-run and short-run effects are examined via ARDL bounds testing procedure. Foreign capital inflows and currency devaluation (economic growth and exports) decrease (increase) energy consumption in long-run. The results confirm a feedback effect between foreign capital inflows and energy consumption. These findings would be helpful to policy makers in designing comprehensive economic and energy policies for utilizing foreign capital inflows as a tool for optimal use of energy sources to enhance economic development in long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5641-5658 Issue: 52 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488059 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488059 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:52:p:5641-5658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Targeted characteristics and use of socially marketed preventive health goods: evidence from condoms in sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: Social marketing is a popular method for allocating targeted publicly funded preventive health goods in poor countries. However, low demand among targeted groups may inhibit take-up relative to non-targeted groups, ownership may not result in use, and there exists little large-scale evidence on how use of socially marketed goods varies by targeted characteristics. I assemble national household survey data from 27 sub-Saharan African countries to examine how use of one of the most common socially marketed preventive health goods (i.e. male condoms) varies by the main targeted characteristics (i.e. low income, low educational attainment, and high HIV risk).The results suggest that the majority of condoms used are socially marketed condoms, engaging in transactional sex is associated with an increased likelihood of using a socially marketed condom brand, and low-income/low educational attainment are not associated with increased likelihoods of using socially marketed brands. The fact that distribution targets low socioeconomic status groups and relative use remains low suggests that weak demand for condoms among these groups inhibits use. Policymakers should consider mechanisms to increase demand and to further refine targeting efforts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5659-5671 Issue: 52 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488060 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488060 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:52:p:5659-5671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurt A. Hafner Author-X-Name-First: Kurt A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hafner Author-Name: Lennart Kampe Author-X-Name-First: Lennart Author-X-Name-Last: Kampe Title: Monetary union in Latin America: an assessment in the context of optimum currency area Abstract: The article applies the optimum currency area (OCA) theory to Latin America to assess the potential of a monetary union in Latin America and in its major existing regional trade agreements (RTAs). According to OCA criteria we find that Latin America is far from being an optimum currency area, as its countries’ exposure to asymmetric shocks is high and their capacities to adjust in response to macroeconomic disturbances are limited. Using a panel of 20 Latin American countries from 1990 to 2014, we apply the dynamic OLS estimation techniques to estimate the costs and benefits of a potential monetary union in Latin America and in its various RTAs. to estimate the costs and benefits of a potential monetary union in Latin America and in its various RTAs. We find that the costs are high, because Latin America’s economies are vulnerable to severe macroeconomic disturbances and its RTAs differ significantly in their response to negative demand shocks. Most of the monetary efficiency gains are shown to be the result of a common restrictive monetary policy which would result in higher FDI inflows and, to a more limited extent, increased GDP, both overall and per capita. Although Central American countries are shown to be most suitable for further monetary integration, we conclude that Latin American countries should head first towards greater economic and political integration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5672-5697 Issue: 52 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489116 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:52:p:5672-5697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Reis Mourao Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Mourao Title: ‘Keeping up with the (Portuguese) Joneses’—a study on the spatial dependence of municipal expenditure Abstract: Municipalities tend to replicate the size and the composition of their neighbours’ expenditures, independently of being ruled by left-wing or right-wing parties. This is one important conclusion of the study, which includes spatial dependence to explain the value of Portuguese municipalities’ direct awards. We used observations for the 308 Portuguese municipalities from 2009 to 2015. We then tested this spatial dependence for the mean value (per contract of direct award) and we controlled the results considering the demographic characteristics of each municipality, the political wing of the ruling party at the municipality, and the composition of the municipal expenditures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3689-3709 Issue: 34 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1581914 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1581914 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:34:p:3689-3709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Bartolini Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Bartolini Author-Name: Eniel Ninka Author-X-Name-First: Eniel Author-X-Name-Last: Ninka Author-Name: Raffaella Santolini Author-X-Name-First: Raffaella Author-X-Name-Last: Santolini Title: Tax decentralization, labour productivity, and employment in OECD countries Abstract: Tax decentralization should improve the efficiency of local governments and ultimately boost output growth. However, the empirical evidence is mixed. Decomposing output growth into labour productivity and employment growth, we show that the ultimate effect of fiscal decentralization on growth depends on which factor prevails, thus rendering the direct estimation of tax decentralization on growth ambiguous. Using an instrumental variable approach, with instruments based on institutional similarities and geographic distance, the empirical analysis on a sample of 20 OECD countries shows that the positive and significant effect of tax decentralization on the employment growth rate is offset by the reduction of labour productivity growth, resulting in the absence of any statistically significant effect on output growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3710-3729 Issue: 34 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584369 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:34:p:3710-3729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yujiang Bi Author-X-Name-First: Yujiang Author-X-Name-Last: Bi Author-Name: W. Robert J. Alexander Author-X-Name-First: W. Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Author-Name: Zhen Pei Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Pei Title: Factors affecting trade in services: evidence from panel data Abstract: In the course of economic development, nations have typically progressed through stages in which agriculture, then manufacturing and, finally, services predominate. Concerns around the sustainability of manufacturing and goods export-led growth raise the importance of trade in services. In the context of a panel model, controlling for the factors that determine trade in general, we examine the determinants of trade in services in a sample of 46 countries over the decade 2004–2015. We find an ambiguous pattern of effects from institutional quality but strong evidence of the importance of trade in goods for trade in services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3730-3739 Issue: 34 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:34:p:3730-3739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haizhen Mou Author-X-Name-First: Haizhen Author-X-Name-Last: Mou Author-Name: Michael M. Atkinson Author-X-Name-First: Michael M. Author-X-Name-Last: Atkinson Author-Name: Jim Marshall Author-X-Name-First: Jim Author-X-Name-Last: Marshall Title: Budgeting for efficiency? A case study of the public K-12 education systems of Canada Abstract: In spite of the declining and uneven performance of Canadian students on the OECD’s Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) tests, little attention has been paid to whether provinces are allocating their education budgets to improve academic performance. This study uses a two-stage data envelope analysis (DEA) technique to estimate the degree to which education expenditures are efficiently allocated relative to achievement scores. We find that in these terms the overall cost-efficiency of the public K-12 education systems in the 10 provinces has deteriorated and that, in general, the provinces have become less able to allocate resources efficiently and use them in the most technically productive way. However, some provinces are more efficient than others. To gauge the extent to which performance measures, such as PISA scores, factor into budgeting decisions we interviewed 28 budget managers in 10 Canadian provinces and two territories, probing the criteria used to allocate education resources. The preponderant pattern of budgeting is described as an ‘increments-based-on-formula’ approach, one that is not particularly responsive to efficiency concerns but that often takes account of equity imperatives. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3740-3757 Issue: 34 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584380 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:34:p:3740-3757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhimin Dai Author-X-Name-First: Zhimin Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Lu Guo Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Qin Luo Author-X-Name-First: Qin Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Market concentration measurement, administrative monopoly effect and efficiency improvement: empirical data from China civil aviation industry 2001-2015 Abstract: China’s civil aviation transportation industry is a natural monopoly industry field, and the effect of administrative monopoly is obviously. This paper uses absolute market concentration (CRn) and relative market concentration (HHI) to quantitatively analyze the competition and monopoly degree of Chinese civil aviation transportation in 2001–2015. It is found that although the monopoly degree of Chinese civil aviation industry has declined in the time period, it still belongs to the oligopoly monopoly market. Then, this paper calculates the production efficiency of the industry by DEA method, and makes an empirical test on the relationship between the two factors using the econometric models. With taking into account the calculated results and the HHI index. Relevant research results show that the equilibrium between the existing production efficiency and the degree of administrative monopoly in China’s civil aviation transportation industry long-term stably from the time period. In order to realize the rapid development and improve the efficiency of the industry, the Chinese civil aviation transportation industry must carry out the market-oriented reform. By realizing the separation of government and enterprises, it is necessary to promote the good competition rules in order to benefit the consumers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3758-3769 Issue: 34 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584381 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:34:p:3758-3769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Louinord Voltaire Author-X-Name-First: Louinord Author-X-Name-Last: Voltaire Author-Name: P. Wilner Jeanty Author-X-Name-First: P. Wilner Author-X-Name-Last: Jeanty Author-Name: Claudio Pirrone Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Pirrone Author-Name: Pierre-Alexandre Mahieu Author-X-Name-First: Pierre-Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Mahieu Title: A convergent validity test within the payment card format using simulation techniques Abstract: A convergent validity test is performed between two groups of versions of the payment card format. The first group, the classic payment card (CPC), asks respondents to report their willingness to pay (WTP) as a point from a list of amounts, and then treats each WTP response as an interval. The second group generates WTP data that may contain both single point and interval values. It includes the two-way-payment ladder (TWPL) (respondents have to tick amounts they would definitely pay and cross amounts they would definitely not pay), and point-interval payment card (PIPC) (respondents have to tick their WTP as either a point or an interval). The test is conducted using data from one TWPL study and two PIPC studies. For each study, we use WTP values stated to simulate 200 CPC WTP datasets, which allows controlling for any behavioral biases likely to confound the outcome of the test. The results challenge the conventional way of eliciting WTP under the CPC and the typical way of treating WTP data from this PC version. Although convergent validity holds between the TWPL/PIPC and CPC, parameter and mean WTP estimates from the TWPL and PIPC are more stable as PC intervals widths increase. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3770-3786 Issue: 34 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584382 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:34:p:3770-3786 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariusz Jarmuzek Author-X-Name-First: Mariusz Author-X-Name-Last: Jarmuzek Author-Name: Rossen Rozenov Author-X-Name-First: Rossen Author-X-Name-Last: Rozenov Title: Excessive private sector leverage and its drivers: evidence from advanced economies Abstract: The paper provides novel quantitative assessments of the gaps between actual and sustainable levels of debt for households and corporates in selected advanced economies, revealing considerable heterogeneity across sectors and countries. The accumulation of gaps is found to precede financial distress. The paper also identifies key factors that drive excessive debt, separately for households and corporates. For households, excessive leverage is found to be higher in countries with lower interest rates and higher share of working population, but importantly also in countries with rising house prices and greater uncertainty as captured by unemployment. For corporates, debt overhang is estimated to be higher in countries with lower profitability, stronger insolvency frameworks and in absence of thin capitalization rules. There is therefore scope for the use of policy to limit the build-up of household and corporate debt overhang. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3787-3803 Issue: 34 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584383 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584383 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:34:p:3787-3803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meher Manzur Author-X-Name-First: Meher Author-X-Name-Last: Manzur Title: Exchange rate economics is always and everywhere controversial Abstract: This article reviews the major developments in the recent literature on exchange rate economics. It is argued that the link between the exchange rate and economic fundamentals is breaking new ground. Evidence indicates that alternative analytical frameworks (such as the new open-economy macroeconomics) and exchange rate arrangements (such as the euro) have their theoretical and analytical elegance, but are proving empirically very difficult to implement. The role of methodological advances and alternative fundamental instruments (such as world commodity prices) is also highlighted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 216-232 Issue: 3 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1313960 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1313960 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:3:p:216-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chuang-Min Chao Author-X-Name-First: Chuang-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Chao Author-Name: Ming-Miin Yu Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Miin Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Nan-Hsing Hsiung Author-X-Name-First: Nan-Hsing Author-X-Name-Last: Hsiung Author-Name: Li-Hsueh Chen Author-X-Name-First: Li-Hsueh Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Profitability efficiency, marketability efficiency and technology gaps in Taiwan’s banking industry: meta-frontier network data envelopment analysis Abstract: The aim of this article is to measure the profitability efficiency (PE) and marketability efficiency (ME) of non-homogenous Taiwanese banks after the adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards by using the convex meta-frontier data envelopment analysis model. The model is applied to simultaneously estimate PE and ME of the banks in financial holding companies (FHCs) and the banks not in FHCs. The meta-inefficiencies in individual processes are further decomposed into group inefficiencies and technology gap inefficiencies to explore the sources of inefficiency. The empirical results indicate that the banks in FHCs can reduce more costs than the banks not in FHCs, whereas the banks not in FHCs can create greater market value than the banks in FHCs. For the banks joining and not in FHCs, technology gap inefficiency is the main source of inefficiencies in both profitability and marketability processes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 233-250 Issue: 3 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1316827 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1316827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:3:p:233-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sean Langcake Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Langcake Author-Name: Tim Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: Forecasting the Australian economy with DSGE and BVAR models Abstract: Reflecting the importance of commodities for the Australian economy, we construct a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model of the Australian economy with a commodity sector. We assess whether its forecasts can be improved by using it as a prior for an empirical Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR). We find that the forecasts from the BVAR tend to be more accurate than those from the DSGE model. Nevertheless, for output growth these forecasts do not outperform benchmark models, such as a small open economy BVAR estimated using the standard priors for forecasting. A Bayesian factor augmented vector autoregression produces the most accurate near-term inflation forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 251-267 Issue: 3 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1319558 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1319558 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:3:p:251-267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ankita Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Ankita Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Vinod Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Vinod Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: Re-examination of convergence hypothesis among Indian states in panel stationarity testing framework with structural breaks Abstract: This article examines the conditional income convergence hypothesis for 17 major states in India for the period of 1960–2012. Univariate stationarity tests without structural breaks provide evidence against the convergence hypothesis. However, when two or more structural breaks are applied in per capita income series, the incomes of around 11–13 states are found to stochastically converge to the national average. This finding supports the convergence hypothesis for the panel as a whole after accounting for two data features, cross-sectional dependence and structural breaks in incomes, using a unified panel stationarity testing framework. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 268-286 Issue: 3 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1319559 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1319559 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:3:p:268-286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ying (Jessica) Cao Author-X-Name-First: Ying (Jessica) Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: John Cranfield Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Cranfield Author-Name: Tina Widowski Author-X-Name-First: Tina Author-X-Name-Last: Widowski Title: Position-Dependent order effects on the prediction of consumer preferences in repeated choice experiments Abstract: Using stated choice data collected by experimental design with repeated choice tasks, this study developed an approach to quantify the position-dependent order effects on the prediction of preferences and marginal willingness to pay for product attributes. Results showed that repeated choice tasks allow learning to occur. Models with order effect adjustments showed significant improvements in goodness of fit. Attribute-specific polynomial trends showed the best fit among all models, which could possibly be explained by respondents’ familiarity and sensitivity to different product attributes. Repeated-choice experiments have a good potential to capture consumer preferences more accurately than the single-choice design. But order effects need to be taken into account for preferences and market prediction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 287-302 Issue: 3 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1321836 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1321836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:3:p:287-302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Mikkelsen Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Mikkelsen Title: Pairs trading: the case of Norwegian seafood companies Abstract: In this article, I investigate the performance of a pairs trading strategy on 18 seafood company stocks traded in the Norwegian consumer goods sector on the Oslo Stock Exchange. I apply both high-frequency and daily data from January 2005 to December 2014. I use two approaches – a distance approach and a cointegration approach – and compare the results. For both the distance and the cointegration approaches, nonconvergence of the pairs is high, which may indicate that more fundamental information about the companies traded should be accounted for. None of the strategies evaluated had significant profits after accounting for transaction costs. It therefore remains unclear which approach is best suited for pairs selection. Using high-frequency data yielded empirical distributions that were symmetrical and had a lower degree of leptokurtosis compared to the daily data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 303-318 Issue: 3 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1321837 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1321837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:3:p:303-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fenghua Wen Author-X-Name-First: Fenghua Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Jihong Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Jihong Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Chuangxia Huang Author-X-Name-First: Chuangxia Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Xiaohua Xia Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohua Author-X-Name-Last: Xia Title: Interaction between oil and US dollar exchange rate: nonlinear causality, time-varying influence and structural breaks in volatility Abstract: This article examines the nonlinear Granger causality and time-varying influence between crude oil prices and the US dollar (USD) exchange rate using the Hiemstra and Jones (HP) test, the Diks and Panchenko (DP) test and the time-varying parameter structural vector autoregression model. By applying the iterated cumulative sums of squares (ICSS) algorithm and the DCC-GARCH model, the effects of structural breaks in volatility of the two markets are also investigated. The empirical analysis indicates that, first, crude oil prices are the nonlinear Granger-cause of the USD exchange rate, but not vice versa. Second, the USD exchange rate exerts a stronger and more stable negative influence on crude oil prices in the short term, and the influence gradually weakens after 2012. Finally, ignoring structural breaks can increase the negative volatility correlation between the oil and USD exchange rate markets, which is particularly remarkable during the financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 319-334 Issue: 3 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1321838 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1321838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:3:p:319-334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhongjun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhongjun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Shunming Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shunming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Fangfang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Fangfang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jing Yu Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Yanyang Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Yanyang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Validity of sustainability framework for China’s mining cities – a structural equation modelling approach Abstract: Many studies developed their framework for sustainability through indicator systems, but the interactions and relationships within these indicators have not been studied yet. In this article, based on indicator systems, we use a sample of 78 mining cities in China and employ structural equation modelling (SEM) method to explore the validity of sustainability framework. Our empirical results show that resources abundance positively affects urbanization level significantly but negatively affects cleaner production level and environmental protection level significantly; economic strength positively affects urbanization level significantly; cleaner production level has a significant effect on economic strength and non-mineral resources conversion efficiency. We also find that when economic strength is low, resources abundance might weaken the positive effect of economy on urbanization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4585-4605 Issue: 48 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1161720 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1161720 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:48:p:4585-4605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Maternal employment trajectories and caring for an infant or toddler with a disability Abstract: Mothers caring for an infant or toddler continue to face barriers in returning to work after child birth. Mothers caring for an infant or toddler with a disability, however, may face even greater barriers. This article contributes to the literature by exploring the employment costs for this group of mothers using a novel Australian administrative data set. The employment patterns of mothers with and without a disabled infant or toddler are compared both before and after child birth. The data follow 7600 mothers on a bi-weekly basis for the entire period 12 months before and the 24 months after child birth and contain information on the disability status of the child, measures of employment and the intensity of employment. I find that mothers of disabled toddlers and infants suffer employment disadvantages relative to mothers of non-disabled children. The employment gaps grow from approximately 6 percentage points shortly after their children are born to 14–17 percentage points when their children are 12–24 months old. The employment gaps exist for full-time employment as well as for short part-time employment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4606-4621 Issue: 48 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1161721 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1161721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:48:p:4606-4621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Noa Srebrnik Author-X-Name-First: Noa Author-X-Name-Last: Srebrnik Author-Name: Michel Strawczynski Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Strawczynski Title: Cyclicality of taxes and external debt Abstract: In their work, Vegh and Vuletin have shown that statutory tax rates are acyclical in developed economies and procyclical in developing ones. This article extends their analysis by checking the interaction of statutory tax rates with countries’ external public debt. In general, we found that the value added tax rates are changed procyclically in both developed and developing countries (i.e. taxes are raised in bad times and reduced in good times). However, when the external debt is high, in the developing countries the procyclicality increases, while the opposite result holds for developed economies. This pattern occurs mainly in times of recession, when the need for loans is the highest. Although we found that there was a reduction in procyclicality after the 2000s, these findings pose a challenge to policy-makers, who should think of ways of dealing with lack of foreign funds in difficult times. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4622-4634 Issue: 48 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1161722 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1161722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:48:p:4622-4634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Besma Hkiri Author-X-Name-First: Besma Author-X-Name-Last: Hkiri Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Author-Name: Chaker Aloui Author-X-Name-First: Chaker Author-X-Name-Last: Aloui Title: Strength of co-movement between sector CDS indexes and relationship with major economic and financial variables over time and during investment horizons Abstract: The main purpose of this article is to analyse the co-movement in both time and frequency between financial sector CDS indexes and between these indexes and their main economic and financial control variables for the period 2004–2014. Empirically, we implement the wavelet-squared coherence methodology to analyse the co-movement through time, frequency and power. Our results unveil that the co-movement between the three financial sectors’ CDSs changes through time and investment horizons, stressing the importance of hedging portfolios in real time. Also, we uncover that the changes in co-movement to relatively higher frequencies coincide with the inception of the recent global financial crisis. This result is collaborated with the co-movement between each CDS index and other global risk factors, including crude oil prices, interest rates and equity market volatility. Finally, we compare the wavelet coherence results with those of the DCC-FIAPARCH model and find that the two different approaches provide quite similar conditional correlations over time. Our results are important for investors, debtors, creditors and other decision-makers which are interested in CDS spread co-movements at different frequencies or investment horizons. It would be useful for all market participants to resort to an appropriate frequency domain to have better understanding of the sector CDS interrelationship behaviour in this domain. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4635-4654 Issue: 48 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1161723 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1161723 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:48:p:4635-4654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nikolaos Antonakakis Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Antonakakis Author-Name: Vassilios Babalos Author-X-Name-First: Vassilios Author-X-Name-Last: Babalos Author-Name: Clement Kyei Author-X-Name-First: Clement Author-X-Name-Last: Kyei Title: Predictability of sustainable investments and the role of uncertainty: evidence from a non-parametric causality-in-quantiles test Abstract: In this article, we examine sustainable investments returns predictability based on the U.S. Dow Jones Sustainability Index (DJSI) and a wide set of uncertainty and financial distress indicators for the period 2002:01–2014:12. To this end, we employ a novel non-parametric causality-in-quantile approach that captures non-linearities in returns distribution. Based on our findings we conclude that the aggregate economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indicator and some components have predictive ability for real returns of the U.S. sustainable investments index. Moreover, if we split our sample to before and after the global financial crisis our results suggest that predictors carry causal information for real returns only in the after-crisis period. Finally, some marginal evidence of predictability from sovereign debt is also observed at the lower and upper ends of the conditional distribution of the real returns of sustainable investments. Our results might entail policy implications for investors and market authorities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4655-4665 Issue: 48 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1161724 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1161724 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:48:p:4655-4665 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kae-Yih Tzeng Author-X-Name-First: Kae-Yih Author-X-Name-Last: Tzeng Author-Name: Joseph Chang Pying Shieh Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Chang Pying Author-X-Name-Last: Shieh Title: The transmission from equity markets to commodity markets in crises periods Abstract: This article investigates the transmission from equity markets to commodity markets during two major financial crises, namely the Subprime Mortgage and the Sovereign Debt Crises. We perform an analysis on sub-stages from 3 January 2003 to 31 October 2013 to capture the price behaviour of both equity and commodity markets. Two financial crises indicators, VIX and CDS, are used to represent fear of a crisis. We find that correlations between commodity and equity markets are time-varying and highly volatile during a financial crisis. While sharing some common features, commodities cannot be considered a homogeneous asset class. Segmentation characteristics of commodity markets disappear in times of financial crises, reducing their substitutability as an investment portfolio for asset diversification purposes. Through our test for Granger causality, we find the existence of transmission during a financial crisis. Volatility spillover effect also plays a major role as transmission mechanisms. After the collapse of Lehman Brothers, commodities decoupled from the VIX rather soon, and there is an increase in correlation with the CDS. In addition, we find the decoupling effect of most commodities show insignificant correlations with the Dow Jones, VIX and CDS after the Greek debt restructuring. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4666-4689 Issue: 48 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1164816 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1164816 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:48:p:4666-4689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marion Robert Author-X-Name-First: Marion Author-X-Name-Last: Robert Author-Name: C. Jill Stowe Author-X-Name-First: C. Jill Author-X-Name-Last: Stowe Title: Ready to run: price determinants of thoroughbreds from 2 year olds in training sales Abstract: This article utilizes data from the complete set of U.S. thoroughbred 2-year-old in-training sales held in 2013 and estimates the determinants of prices for 1806 two-year-old thoroughbreds. The results reveal that the time in which these prospective racehorses run a standardized distance is the most statistically significant determinant of market price. Other individual horse characteristics, pedigree quality variables and sale quality are also found to be price determinants. An additional result of interest is the significant premium buyers are willing to pay for horses by sires of unknown quality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4690-4697 Issue: 48 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1164817 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1164817 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:48:p:4690-4697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dörte Heger Author-X-Name-First: Dörte Author-X-Name-Last: Heger Title: Decomposing differences in health and inequality using quasi-objective health indices Abstract: People in Canada and the United States often make claims regarding whose country has a better health system. Several researchers have attempted to address this question by analysing subjective health measures in the two countries, thus assuming a common definition of ‘good’ health. Using data from the Joint Canada/US Survey of Health, which provides rich and comparable health information for the two countries, I generate two quasi-objective health indices and show that Canadians and Americans define ‘good’ health differently. After controlling for cross-country reporting heterogeneity, health differences between Americans and Canadians are eliminated for intermediate health statuses, while health differences at the tails of the health distribution lead to slightly better average population health in Canada. With respect to health inequality, my results show that income and education gradients increase steeply with poor health in both countries. Hence, considering differences along the health distribution is crucial when assessing population health or health inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2844-2859 Issue: 26 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1412073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1412073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:26:p:2844-2859 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ronald Ravinesh Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Ravinesh Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Peter Josef Stauvermann Author-X-Name-First: Peter Josef Author-X-Name-Last: Stauvermann Author-Name: Nikeel N. Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Nikeel N. Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Syed Jawad Hussain Author-X-Name-Last: Shahzad Title: Revisiting the threshold effect of remittances on total factor productivity growth in South Asia: a study of Bangladesh and India Abstract: Both Bangladesh and India are among the top recipient of remittances in absolute terms. However, in relative terms – remittances as a per cent of GDP – the two countries stand at 6.1% and 2.8%, respectively, well below the levels of the top 10 recipients. In this article, we explore the effect of remittances on the total factor productivity (TFP) growth considering Bangladesh and India, as reference countries over the periods 1980–2012 and 1977–2012, respectively. We examine the presence of a long-run association between remittances and TFP using a number of tests. The results indicate that remittances have threshold effects on TFP growth in both countries. Despite the two countries receiving substantial amount of remittances, we note that Bangladesh has a U-shaped relationship whereas India has an inverted U-shaped relationship with TFP growth. For Bangladesh, a minimum threshold of remittances (% GDP) is 5.3% and for India, a tipping point of remittances (% GDP) is at 1.8%. The causality tests confirm a bidirectional effect, which implies that remittances and TFP growth are mutually reinforcing. Interestingly, while the two economies have similar remittances impact in regards to causality, the study highlights two different tipping points of remittances. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2860-2877 Issue: 26 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1412074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1412074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:26:p:2860-2877 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Narelle Gordon Author-X-Name-First: Narelle Author-X-Name-Last: Gordon Author-Name: Qiongbing Wu Author-X-Name-First: Qiongbing Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Informed trade, uninformed trade and stock price delay Abstract: The probability of informed trading (PIN), a measure of information-based trading risk,  has been broadly applied to empirical studies on asset pricing. However, it is still controversial whether PIN measures exclusively the risk of firm-specific private information or it also captures the private interpretation of market wide public information. This article examines the relevance of PIN to the delayed response of stock prices to market-wide information. We find that PIN significantly explains individual stock price delay even controlling for size, liquidity and risk, and low-PIN stock prices adjust to market information more rapidly not only because of a notably high level of informed trading but also an even much higher level of uninformed trading. Our findings support the notion that PIN also captures the private skilled interpretation of public common factor information by sophisticated investors, and provide new empirical evidence on how information-based trading affects the speed at which stock prices adjust to information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2878-2893 Issue: 26 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1412075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1412075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:26:p:2878-2893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo Cerda Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Cerda Author-Name: Álvaro Silva Author-X-Name-First: Álvaro Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Author-Name: José Tomás Valente Author-X-Name-First: José Tomás Author-X-Name-Last: Valente Title: Impact of economic uncertainty in a small open economy: the case of Chile Abstract: We construct the first news-based economic uncertainty index for Chile, which allowed us to rebuild 23 years of the history of economic uncertainty in the country and quantify its impact on the economy. We find that an increase in economic uncertainty conveys a fall in GDP, investment, and employment, even after accounting for the small open economy nature of Chile. In contrast to previous studies for big and developed economies, we do not find evidence of an overshooting effect when uncertainty dissipates; therefore, increases in economic uncertainty have negative effects on the economy, even in the long-run. Our estimates suggest that these impacts range from 10% to 20% for aggregate investment, 2.5% to 5% for GDP, and 1.3% to 4.2% for employment. Extensions suggest that economic uncertainty affects both mining and non-mining investment, with the former showing a more pronounced decline. We also find that the bulk of effect of economic uncertainty on aggregate investment is via private investment, with some short-run impacts on public investment. Moreover, compared to the GDP response, aggregate consumption responds in almost the same way to an economic uncertainty shock. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2894-2908 Issue: 26 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1412076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1412076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:26:p:2894-2908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong Hee Suh Author-X-Name-First: Dong Hee Author-X-Name-Last: Suh Author-Name: Charles B. Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles B. Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Title: Examining crop price effects on production decision and resource allocation: an ex-ante approach Abstract: This article examines the output price effects on the US crop production, employing an ex-ante approach to the differential systems of input demand and output supply. The estimation results of the differential input demand show that the expansion of crop production leads to an increase in acreage (i.e. extensive margin) and a proportional rise in input usage improving yield per acre (i.e. intensive margin). The substitutable relationship between fertilizer and land supports that crop producers have an option to choose either intensive or extensive margin in response to changes in their relative prices. In addition, the estimation results of the differential output supply highlight that the composition of crop supply can be altered by changes in ex-ante crop prices. The estimation results suggest that crop producers substitute corn supply for the supply of cotton, wheat and soybeans or vice versa. Based on the estimated elasticities, the decompositions of profit-maximizing input demand are conducted, which reveals that a change in ex-ante crop prices is associated closely with resource reallocation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2909-2919 Issue: 26 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1412077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1412077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:26:p:2909-2919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martina Lawless Author-X-Name-First: Martina Author-X-Name-Last: Lawless Author-Name: Daire McCoy Author-X-Name-First: Daire Author-X-Name-Last: McCoy Author-Name: Edgar L. W. Morgenroth Author-X-Name-First: Edgar L. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Morgenroth Author-Name: Conor M. O”Toole Author-X-Name-First: Conor M. Author-X-Name-Last: O”Toole Title: Corporate tax and location choice for multinational firms Abstract: This article examines the effects of corporate tax on these location decisions of newly established multinational subsidiaries across 26 European countries over an 8-year period. We contribute to the existing literature by examining the effects of a non-linear response of firm location decisions to changes in the tax rate. We also show that there are large variations in the sensitivity to tax rates across sectors and firm size groups. In particular, financial sector firms are more than twice as sensitive to changes in corporation tax rates relative to other sectors. Our baseline result is a finding that a 1% increase in the statutory or policy rate of corporation tax would lead to a reduction in the conditional location probability of 0.68%. Using the effective average tax rate, the marginal effect implies a reduction in the location probability of 1.15% following a 1% increase in the tax rate. Although overall tax has the expected negative effect on location probability, the marginal effect of an increase is lower at higher rates of tax. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2920-2931 Issue: 26 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1412078 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1412078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:26:p:2920-2931 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Honghai Yu Author-X-Name-First: Honghai Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Libing Fang Author-X-Name-First: Libing Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Sunqi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Sunqi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Donglei Du Author-X-Name-First: Donglei Author-X-Name-Last: Du Title: The role of the political cycle in the relationship between economic policy uncertainty and the long-run volatility of industry-level stock returns in the United States Abstract: In this study, we investigate how US economic policy uncertainty (EPU) drives the long-run components of volatilities in industry-level stock markets. We use a modified specification of GARCH-MIDAS and find that EPU increases the long-run volatility of the industrials and materials industries and decreases it in 4 of the 10 industries considered here: consumer staples, healthcare, information technology and materials. In addition, we add a dummy variable for the political cycle (PLC) to study whether the relationship between EPU and the volatility of industry returns is significantly different under different political regimes. The results imply that a Republican presidency dampens the effects of EPU on the long-run volatility of the consumer staples, healthcare and information technology industries. We also decompose the aggregated EPU into 11 category-specific EPUs to explore the detailed relationship between category-specific EPU and long-run volatility driven by aggregate EPU. The results for the category-specific EPU are consistent with the findings for the aggregate EPU. In particular, the weakened effect of PLC on the relationship between EPU and the long-run volatility of industry-level returns is also confirmed by MIDAS regression with beta weight scheme. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2932-2937 Issue: 26 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1412079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1412079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:26:p:2932-2937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julio Mancuso Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: Mancuso Author-Name: Christis G. Tombazos Author-X-Name-First: Christis G. Author-X-Name-Last: Tombazos Title: Export sensitivity to time delays and the pattern of international trade Abstract: A growing body of literature in the field of international trade highlights the increasing importance of the time delays associated with transporting goods over long distances and the differing effect that such delays have on traded goods that exhibit diverse degrees of time-sensitivity. This literature also canvasses the likely changes in the pattern of trade in time-sensitive goods that are likely to have accompanied recent advances in transportation and information and communication technologies. However, the empirical research on these patterns has so far been exploratory and incomplete. We use U.S. import data, on both the intensive and the extensive margin of 70, five-digit level End-Use categories of goods, from 121 countries, during 1991–2017, in an effort to investigate how the pattern of trade in time-sensitive goods has changed in recent years. We identify three distinct features of such changes: (i) trade in time-sensitive goods has expanded dramatically in recent decades, (ii) the production of such goods agglomerates in close proximity to the demand centre, and (iii) regardless of proximity to the demand centre, developed countries have comparative advantage in time-sensitive exportables. These results shed light on a topic of considerable academic interest and have important policy relevant implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1409-1426 Issue: 13 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1675862 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1675862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:13:p:1409-1426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacob Ladenburg Author-X-Name-First: Jacob Author-X-Name-Last: Ladenburg Author-Name: Ole Bonnichsen Author-X-Name-First: Ole Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnichsen Author-Name: Jürgen Meyerhoff Author-X-Name-First: Jürgen Author-X-Name-Last: Meyerhoff Title: Trading off positive and negative service changes in childcare: a choice experiment using a latent class modelling approach Abstract: Theoretically, the choice of childcare mode should be influenced by the quality of the childcare attributes. However, such preference relations have been difficult to identify in past studies. One reason lies in the properties of the data collected, such as insufficient variation or strong correlation in the childcare qualities. To make a formal test of parent preferences for childcare qualities, we apply a choice experiment framework, construct a hypothetical market for childcare and ask 1,324 parents to act on the market. The results indicate that parents react positively and negatively to better and poorer childcare qualities, respectively. The results also indicate that the preferences are subject to substantial heterogeneity and that costs of losses in qualities are perceived as being far greater than the corresponding benefits of improvements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1427-1445 Issue: 13 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1675863 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1675863 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:13:p:1427-1445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Tiniç Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Tiniç Author-Name: Aslıhan Salih Author-X-Name-First: Aslıhan Author-X-Name-Last: Salih Title: Informed trading, order flow shocks and the cross section of expected returns in Borsa Istanbul Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between information asymmetry and stock returns in Borsa Istanbul. For all stocks that are traded in Borsa Istanbul between March 2005 and April 2017, we estimate the probability of informed trading (PIN) to proxy for information asymmetry.  Firm-level cross-sectional regressions indicate a statistically insignificant relationship between PIN estimates and future returns. Moreover, univariate and multivariate portfolio analyses assert that investors that hold stocks that have high information asymmetry do not obtain significant future returns. Consequently, our results suggest that information asymmetry proxied by PIN is a firm-specific risk and can be eliminated with portfolio diversification. Findings are robust to different factorizations in estimating PIN and free of any bias due to trade classification algorithms, boundary solutions, floating-point exceptions and symmetric order flow shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1446-1459 Issue: 13 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1676386 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1676386 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:13:p:1446-1459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Octavio Fernández-Amador Author-X-Name-First: Octavio Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Amador Author-Name: Joseph F. Francois Author-X-Name-First: Joseph F. Author-X-Name-Last: Francois Author-Name: Doris A. Oberdabernig Author-X-Name-First: Doris A. Author-X-Name-Last: Oberdabernig Author-Name: Patrick Tomberger Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Tomberger Title: Economic growth, sectoral structures, and environmental methane footprints Abstract: We analyze the impacts of economic growth on methane emissions per capita at the sectoral level for the period 1997–2014. We cover three stages of the supply chain, distinguishing between emissions embodied in production, final production, and consumption. We investigate the effects of economic growth on two components of methane emissions per capita, namely methane emissions per unit of value added and value added per capita. We uncover substantial heterogeneity across sectors. Economic growth led to expansions of economic activity in all sectors but reduced the methane intensity of sectoral value added in some sectors. In sectors that experienced pronounced reductions in methane intensity, economic growth did not strongly affect emissions per capita. However, in the absence of large methane-intensity gains, economic growth raised emission per capita substantially. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1460-1475 Issue: 13 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1676387 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1676387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:13:p:1460-1475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chiou-Fa Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chiou-Fa Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Cheng-Huei Chiao Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Huei Author-X-Name-Last: Chiao Title: Widening price limit effects: evidence from an emerging stock market Abstract: This study investigates the impact of the widening of price limits on the Taiwan Stock Exchange, from 7% to 10%, by comparing the differences in performance with the different price limit levels. The empirical results show that after the event: (1) the quoted and effective spreads increased, including the components of realized spread and information asymmetry; (2) the trade-related and quote-related standard deviations and the price discovery became larger. Our outcomes indicate that the widening of price limits was disadvantageous to liquidity, but helpful for price discovery. These results imply that wider price limits are not necessarily always better than narrow price limits in every respect, but that the optimal level of price limits should be based upon the regulators’ intended goals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1476-1486 Issue: 13 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1676388 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1676388 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:13:p:1476-1486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jamal Ali Al-Khasawneh Author-X-Name-First: Jamal Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Khasawneh Author-Name: Kameleddine Benameur Author-X-Name-First: Kameleddine Author-X-Name-Last: Benameur Author-Name: Mohammed Z Shariff Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed Z Author-X-Name-Last: Shariff Author-Name: Khiyar Abduallah Khiyar Author-X-Name-First: Khiyar Abduallah Author-X-Name-Last: Khiyar Title: Methods of payment in US banks’ acquisition: efficiency perspectives Abstract: Does the efficiency classification of acquirers have any effect on the method of payment they select for their acquisition, and does the selected method of payment have any future efficiency consequences? These two questions have never been answered. The objective of this article is to examine the effect of the medium of exchange that US banks use on the consequent cost, revenue, and profit efficiencies of mergers and acquisitions for the period from 1992 to 2003. The results indicate that highly efficient acquirers lose less efficiency when using stocks in financing their acquisitions, while the least efficient acquirers only gain efficiency when mixing stocks with cash in financing their acquisitions. The distributional dynamics in the results of the acquirers’ post-merger profit efficiency show no changes in profit efficiency over time when banks use stock financing but trends towards efficiency loss when using pure cash financing and loses the most when mixing stocks with cash. The contribution of this article is a guideline on the characteristics of efficiency to decision-makers for selecting the medium of exchange in friendly acquisitions given the consequent changes in strategic efficiency after acquisitions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1487-1501 Issue: 13 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1676389 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1676389 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:13:p:1487-1501 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas H.W. Ziesemer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas H.W. Author-X-Name-Last: Ziesemer Title: Can we have growth when population is stagnant? Testing linear growth rate formulas of non-scale endogenous growth models Abstract: We sub-divide scale-invariant fully or semi-endogenous growth models into six sub-categories for formulas relating steady-state growth rates of income per capita and the growth rate of the population depending on the properties of slopes and intercepts. We capture their steady-state relation by a long-term relation in panel vector-error-correction models for 16 countries and estimate the 16 models simultaneously allowing successively for more heterogeneity. Under slope homogeneity, the slope and intercepts of the growth equations are positive in this setting. However, allowing for heterogeneity there are two main groups of countries: those with non-positive slopes and positive intercepts are a large majority supporting fully endogenous growth; those with positive slopes and zero intercepts are a smaller group supporting semi-endogenous growth. Results therefore favour fully over semi-endogenous growth with and without slope homogeneity and allow for growth rate policies. The more frequent case is that long-run growth can remain positive if population stops growing. Analysis of cross-unit cointegration suggests that long-run results are internationally connected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1502-1516 Issue: 13 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1676391 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1676391 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:13:p:1502-1516 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Hirsch Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Hirsch Author-Name: Giulia Tiboldo Author-X-Name-First: Giulia Author-X-Name-Last: Tiboldo Author-Name: Rigoberto A. Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Rigoberto A. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Title: A tale of two Italian cities: brand-level milk demand and price competition Abstract: We apply the BLP random coefficient logit model demand model to fluid milk sales data from two north-south Italian cities: Turin and Naples. By virtue of their location and socioeconomic differences, these cities provide a natural experiment for contrasting consumer choices and retail market power related to milk physical and marketing characteristics. Results reveal that, regardless of location, consumers negatively value price increases, fat content and ultra-high temperature (UHT) treatment. However, location matters with respect to brand and type of milk purchased. While in Turin (the higher-income region) demand for the leading manufacturers’ brands is the most price inelastic, in Naples consumers have the lowest price elasticities in case of cheaper milk, often small manufacturer or private label brands. Unlike previous studies, we do not find price elasticities for private labels to be consistently lower (or markups to be higher) compared to manufacturer brands, indicating that private labels have reached maturity in these markets. Further, while demand for fresh milk is more price inelastic in Turin, it is more inelastic for UHT milk in Naples. Likewise, markups and Lerner indexes are higher for fresh milk in Turin and for UHT in Naples corresponding to the more inelastic demands under Bertrand price competition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5239-5252 Issue: 49 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486016 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486016 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:49:p:5239-5252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simona Ferraro Author-X-Name-First: Simona Author-X-Name-Last: Ferraro Author-Name: Jaanika Meriküll Author-X-Name-First: Jaanika Author-X-Name-Last: Meriküll Author-Name: Karsten Staehr Author-X-Name-First: Karsten Author-X-Name-Last: Staehr Title: Minimum wages and the wage distribution in Estonia Abstract: Abstract: This article studies how changes in the statutory minimum wage have affected the wage distribution in Estonia, a post-transition country with little collective bargaining and relatively large wage inequality. The analyses show that the minimum wage has had substantial spillover effects on wages in the lower tail of the distribution; the effects are most pronounced up to the twentieth percentile and then decline markedly. The minimum wage has contributed to lower wage inequality and this has particularly benefitted low-wage segments of the labour market such as women and the elderly. Interestingly, the importance of the minimum wage for the wage distribution was smaller during the global financial crisis than before or after the crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5253-5268 Issue: 49 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486017 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486017 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:49:p:5253-5268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth W. Clements Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth W. Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: Haiyan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Haiyan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yashar Tarverdi Author-X-Name-First: Yashar Author-X-Name-Last: Tarverdi Title: Alcohol consumption, censorship and misjudgement Abstract: In the study of the economic determinants of alcohol consumption, there is an under-appreciated issue of sample selectivity as consumption is often not fully observed. Sample selectivity involves ignoring consumption below a censorship cut-off level. This article estimates a demand system for beer, wine and spirits with and without allowance for selectivity. Then using a simulation approach, it examines the impact of misjudgement in the censorship level on the estimated demand parameters. A mean squared error (MSE) criterion is suggested for determining the appropriate censorship level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5269-5276 Issue: 49 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486025 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486025 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:49:p:5269-5276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Syed Jawad Hussain Author-X-Name-Last: Shahzad Author-Name: Román Ferrer Author-X-Name-First: Román Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrer Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Author-Name: Rania Jammazi Author-X-Name-First: Rania Author-X-Name-Last: Jammazi Title: Industry-level determinants of the linkage between credit and stock markets Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between US credit default swaps (CDS) and stock returns on an industry-wide basis across a number of investment horizons, with particular focus on the major determinants of such a relationship. Wavelet analysis is first applied to extract the CDS–stock wavelet correlation for each US industry. Then, Bayesian Model Averaging is employed to identify the key driving factors of the industry CDS–stock wavelet correlations at short- and long-term horizons. The empirical results indicate that the wavelet correlations between the industry CDS and stock returns are primarily negative over time and across time scales. Moreover, the CDS–stock correlation at longer horizons exhibits a much more stable pattern than its counterpart at shorter time frames. The results also demonstrate that the volatility of US Treasury and stock markets, as measured by the MOVE and VIX indices, respectively, the volatility of volatility, as captured by the VVIX index, and US economic policy uncertainty, as measured by the EPU index, are the most robust determinants of the correlation between CDS and stock returns at shorter and longer horizons for most US industries. In contrast, the Fama–French systematic equity factors exhibit a practically negligible explanatory power on the CDS–stock link. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5277-5301 Issue: 49 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486986 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486986 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:49:p:5277-5301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Asadul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Asadul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Author-Name: Steven Stillman Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Stillman Author-Name: Christopher Worswick Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Worswick Title: Can immigrants insure against shocks as well as the native-born? Abstract: We examine the impact of job displacement and serious health problems on multiple measures of individual and household well-being using longitudinal data. We extend the previous literature by examining whether these shocks have differential effects for the native-born and immigrants and whether shock mitigation strategies and their effectiveness differ by immigration status. Our results suggest that both immigrants and native-born individuals have access to similar institutional and other formal and informal risk-sharing arrangements such that they are able to mitigate shocks against job loss or illness almost equally. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5302-5315 Issue: 49 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486987 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486987 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:49:p:5302-5315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamidreza Ghorbani Dastgerdi Author-X-Name-First: Hamidreza Author-X-Name-Last: Ghorbani Dastgerdi Author-Name: Zarinah Binti Yusof Author-X-Name-First: Zarinah Binti Author-X-Name-Last: Yusof Author-Name: Muhammad Shahbaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Shahbaz Title: Nexus between economic sanctions and inflation: a case study in Iran Abstract: Conventional studies have applied dummy variables to analyse the relationship between economic sanctions and inflation while we construct an index which is called Trade-Financial Sanctions (TF index). TF Index is a liner combination of indices which includes trade openness and foreign investment by applying the principal component model. Through the TF index and market exchange rate the impact of economic sanctions on inflation is analysed in the three phases of sanctions; free sanctions, heavy sanctions, and light sanctions. The results illustrate that the TF index decreases inflation when the Iran’s economy experiences free sanctions or light sanctions relative to when the economy is in heavy sanctions. Heavy sanctions create instability in the market exchange rates and widening the gap between the market and the official exchange rates. Furthermore, economic sanctions increase expected inflation among the people and drive higher inflation. Therefore, these results suggest that the government should work more seriously to solve the main obstacles of trade and investment inflows imposed by the economic sanctions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5316-5334 Issue: 49 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486988 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486988 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:49:p:5316-5334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Imran Chaudhry Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Imran Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhry Author-Name: Abdoul G. Sam Author-X-Name-First: Abdoul G. Author-X-Name-Last: Sam Title: Herding behaviour and the declining value relevance of accounting information: evidence from an emerging stock market Abstract: This article sheds light on the underlying mechanisms behind the changes in the value relevance of accounting information in the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) during the 1999–2010 period. We find that neither changes in earnings quality nor the earnings lack of timeliness hypothesis can explain the decline in the value relevance of accounting information in the KSE. Based on the stylized facts associated with the growth of the KSE and the broader economics literature, we argue that the reduction in the explanatory power of accounting information vis-à-vis stock returns was caused by herding behaviour. Empirical estimates from state-space model of herding behaviour confirm the existence of herding, and we find that the value relevance of accounting information is significantly lower in periods characterized by herding behaviour. This article is also amongst the first attempts to empirically demonstrate that an expansionary monetary policy and increases in foreign portfolio investment lead to increased levels of herding. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5335-5353 Issue: 49 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486989 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486989 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:49:p:5335-5353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satish Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Satish Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Rajesh Pathak Author-X-Name-First: Rajesh Author-X-Name-Last: Pathak Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Seong-Min Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Are exchange rates interdependent? Evidence using wavelet analysis Abstract: We examine the co-movement in daily returns of USD–INR, EUR–INR, GBP–INR, and JPY–INR currency pair futures contracts traded on the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE) using the wavelet cohesion approach. This study contributes to the literature by examining the scantly studied area of co-movement in exchange rates and using the wavelet approach, which allows us to analyse time–frequency-wise co-movement of the time series. The empirical results indicate that the currency futures markets are nearly perfectly integrated in the long run (monthly, quarterly and biannual scales) offering little potential gains from international portfolio diversification. The discrepancies between currency futures markets are small and almost fade away within 3–6 months. Moreover, international currency diversification might offer relatively higher potential gains at intraweek, weekly, and fortnightly time horizons owing to lower correlations among the currencies under consideration. Finally, our multiple-wavelet correlation and cross-correlation analysis shows that GBP acts as a potential leader/follower across scales. The results of our analysis indicate the dynamic pattern of co-movement among the major currency futures contracts, which provides several implications for portfolio managers and international investors participating in the Indian market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3231-3245 Issue: 33 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1257108 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1257108 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:33:p:3231-3245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David E. Allen Author-X-Name-First: David E. Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: Michael McAleer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McAleer Author-Name: Robert Powell Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Powell Author-Name: Abhay K. Singh Author-X-Name-First: Abhay K. Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Volatility spillover and multivariate volatility impulse response analysis of GFC news events Abstract: This article applies two measures to assess spillovers across markets: the Diebold and Yilmaz’s (2012) spillover index and the Hafner and Herwartz’s (2006) analysis of multivariate GARCH models using volatility impulse response analysis. We use two sets of data, daily realized volatility (RV) estimates taken from the Oxford-Man RV library, for the S&P500 and the FTSE, plus 10 years of daily returns series for the New York Stock Exchange Index and the FTSE 100 index. Both data sets capture both the global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the subsequent European Sovereign Debt Crisis (ESDC). The spillover index captures the transmission of volatility to and from markets, plus net spillovers. The Volatility Impulse Responses (VIRF) have to be calibrated to conditional volatility estimated at a particular point in time. We explore the impact of three different shocks, the onset of the GFC, the height of the GFC, and the impact of the ESDC. Our modelling includes leverage and asymmetric effects applying a multivariate GARCH model, and further analysis using both BEKK and diagonal BEKK (DBEKK) models. We find the impact of negative shocks is larger, but shorter in duration, in this case a difference between 3 and 6 months. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3246-3262 Issue: 33 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1257210 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1257210 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:33:p:3246-3262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amar I. Anwar Author-X-Name-First: Amar I. Author-X-Name-Last: Anwar Author-Name: Mazhar Y. Mughal Author-X-Name-First: Mazhar Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Mughal Title: Out of Africa? Locational determinants of South African cross-border mergers and acquisitions Abstract: South Africa is the Africa’s biggest source of outward foreign direct investment. This study examines the principal locational motives of cross-border mergers and acquisitions CBMA by South African firms for the 1990–2014 period. The role of inter-country cultural and economic linkages is also studied. Firm-level data of South African merger and acquisition activities in 74 host countries are used to estimate a number of model specifications that control for host-country economic, geographical, cultural and institutional characteristics. Estimations are carried out using random-effects negative binomial panel model. Capturing the host-economy market and enhancing efficiency are found to be the two major motives driving South African corporations’ CBMA activities. Natural resources acquisition seems a less important motive, while strategic assets such as patents and technology do not appear to be attractive. The role of cultural and economic linkages between the home and the host country is found to be substantial. South African firms prefer investing in Africa, particularly in countries bordering South Africa. In light of the study’s findings, South African CBMA activities can be compared with those from other emerging economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3263-3279 Issue: 33 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1257211 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1257211 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:33:p:3263-3279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Axel Grossmann Author-X-Name-First: Axel Author-X-Name-Last: Grossmann Author-Name: Chris Paul Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: Marc W. Simpson Author-X-Name-First: Marc W. Author-X-Name-Last: Simpson Title: An evaluation of the equilibrium value of the euro, its predecessors and their constituent currencies based on economic fundamentals Abstract: This study presents constructed equilibrium exchange rates (EERs) of the euro and its predecessors the European Unit of Account and the European Currency Unit, as well as the euro’s member states using a relative version of purchasing power parity (PPP) equilibrium. The revealed patterns of over- and undervaluation demonstrate how well suited the northern member states, in contrast to the southern states, were for the monetary union. Moreover, a relative persistent overvaluation for Greece and Portugal suggests that their ambition to join the euro reduced their competitiveness. The constructed EERs of the euro suggest the European Commission was able to set the initial value of the euro with a high degree of accuracy. Furthermore, the EERs indicate a successive strengthening of the fundamental value of the euro versus the U.S. dollar from 1999 to 2015. The analysis shows a close correlation between the deviations from equilibrium and the events of Greece’s sovereign debt crisis. In addition, the presented graphs show strong support for the PPP hypothesis. The results are robust to different constructed EERs and offer a guide to international market participants interested in the general equilibrium path of the euro and its predecessors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3280-3312 Issue: 33 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1259747 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1259747 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:33:p:3280-3312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felisitas Defung Author-X-Name-First: Felisitas Author-X-Name-Last: Defung Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Author-Name: Harry Bloch Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Bloch Title: Economic liberalization and sources of productivity growth in Indonesian Banks: is it efficiency improvement or technological progress? Abstract: This article investigates the sources of productivity growth in the Indonesian banking sector during 23 years period from 1993 to 2015. The industry has gone through several episodes of policy reforms, starting from the radical deregulation in the late 1980s, the restructuring period following the 1997 Asian financial crisis, the consolidation period in the mid-2000s to the economic expansion in the 2010s. Using panel data of 98 commercial banks, we explore productivity growth using Malmquist indices complemented with bootstrapping technique to provide measures of the statistical precision of the results. The Malmquist index measures total factor productivity, efficiency change and technological change. Results show that productivity improves moderately and appears to be less volatile towards the end of the period. Furthermore, efficiency change tends to be the main source of productivity improvement rather than technological change. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3313-3327 Issue: 33 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1259748 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1259748 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:33:p:3313-3327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aviad Tur-Sinai Author-X-Name-First: Aviad Author-X-Name-Last: Tur-Sinai Author-Name: Dmitri Romanov Author-X-Name-First: Dmitri Author-X-Name-Last: Romanov Author-Name: Noam Zussman Author-X-Name-First: Noam Author-X-Name-Last: Zussman Title: The true effect of students’ employment on the duration of studies Abstract: We examine the effect of the first-degree students’ employment on the prolongation of their studies. When employing a popular instrumental variable, the regional unemployment rate, we find a negative impact of students’ employment on duration of studies. Then, adding a predetermined IV – the individual’s employment prior to the beginning of academic studies – turns the estimate positive. Furthermore, we find that the relationship between the extent of students’ employment and duration of their studies depends on their age: among the younger students (aged 22–26), the extent of employment has no effect on the duration of studies, while among the older students, the effect is positive and statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3328-3340 Issue: 33 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1259749 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1259749 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:33:p:3328-3340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy M. Diette Author-X-Name-First: Timothy M. Author-X-Name-Last: Diette Author-Name: Manu Raghav Author-X-Name-First: Manu Author-X-Name-Last: Raghav Title: Does early bird catch the worm or a lower GPA? Evidence from a liberal arts college Abstract: Research in psychology has shown that early morning classes are not conducive to learning because of the peculiar sleep cycles of adolescents and young adults that cause them to be especially groggy in the morning. Our study examines the relationship between the times that classes are offered and the grades that students in these classes earn at a highly selective liberal arts college. Our main findings are that morning classes are harmful for student achievement. Grades are especially lower for classes that were scheduled at 8 am and 9 am. Moreover, while students of both genders are adversely affected by early morning courses, the effects are particularly pronounced for male students. This institution assigns students randomly to different sections of the same course, thus creating a quasi-natural experiment and enabling us to control for unobserved characteristics of students. In addition, we include student and faculty fixed effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3341-3350 Issue: 33 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1259750 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1259750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:33:p:3341-3350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bassem Kamar Author-X-Name-First: Bassem Author-X-Name-Last: Kamar Author-Name: Damyana Bakardzhieva Author-X-Name-First: Damyana Author-X-Name-Last: Bakardzhieva Author-Name: Mohamed Goaied Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Goaied Title: Effects of pro-growth policies on employment: evidence of regional disparities Abstract: The main objective of our research is to study the direct impact of pro-growth economic policies on employment creation globally and regionally, as evidence has countered policy-makers’ expectation that output growth leads automatically to job creation. We innovate by using the ratio of employment to the population above 25 years as dependent variable instead of the customary employment elasticity. We apply generalized methods of moments’ econometrics on dynamic panel data models and find that growth stimulates employment creation on average across 76 countries. The policies promoting private sector credit, investments, openness, services, education spending, tertiary enrollment, and a fixed exchange rate are the ones that create employment. Larger government size undermines job creation, while policies promoting FDI and industrial development fail to stimulate employment. However, we establish that the effect of pro-growth policies on employment varies significantly across regions, with evidence of weaker links between economic policies and employment in Sub-Saharan Africa and the Middle East. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4337-4367 Issue: 40 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591596 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591596 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:40:p:4337-4367 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Magee Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Magee Author-Name: Hongshik Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hongshik Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Junyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Junyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Evidence and explanation for the Tariff-lobbying paradox: endogenous Tariffs fall as protectionist lobbying rises Abstract: Recent empirical evidence suggests that U.S. protectionist lobbying expenditures rose while U.S. trade barrier fell. We find that the same result holds in our panel data sample from 28 countries between 1995 and 2011. We find two economic drivers cause the paradox between increasing protectionist lobbying and decreasing trade barrier. First, trade barriers decline as country capital-labour ratio endowments rise because of the rising political and economic power of capital that lobbies for free-trade. Second, factor intensities in production become more similar as factor-intensity convergence. This flattens the production possibility curve between exportable and import-competing production so that changes increased magnification in both factor rewards. In our panel, the magnification parameters are twice as high for capital as for labour (8.6 vs. 5.1). And, the elasticity of the capital return with respect to country capital-labour factor endowment ratios (.59) is nearly twice those of labour (.22). Increased magnification causes thus labour’s increased lobbying for protection to be more than offset by increased capital lobbying against protection. In short, while an increasing labour lobbies for protection as countries advance, combined tariff and non-tariff protection (OTRI) decline significantly as advanced countries get richer. This explains the tariff-protectionist-lobbying paradox. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4368-4384 Issue: 40 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591604 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591604 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:40:p:4368-4384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin M. Blau Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin M. Author-X-Name-Last: Blau Author-Name: Todd G. Griffith Author-X-Name-First: Todd G. Author-X-Name-Last: Griffith Author-Name: Ryan J. Whitby Author-X-Name-First: Ryan J. Author-X-Name-Last: Whitby Title: Information in stock prices: the case of the 2016 U.S. presidential election Abstract: On the day before the 2016 U.S. presidential election, the odds of Hillary Clinton winning the presidency, according to political prediction markets, were above 90%. Surprisingly, Donald Trump won the Electoral College handily. In this study, we examine how movements in specific stock prices foreshadowed the eventual outcome. Specifically, we conduct a series of standard event-study tests focused on pharmaceutical companies, which became a focal point during the presidential campaign. Results show that while stocks of pharmaceutical companies significantly underperformed the market prior to the election, prices substantially increased beginning three days before the election outcome. This increase is both statistically significant and economically meaningful and robust to various event-study methodologies. These results suggest that some sectors of the stock market seemed to anticipate the election outcome. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4385-4396 Issue: 40 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591608 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591608 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:40:p:4385-4396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuebing Yang Author-X-Name-First: Xuebing Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Lili Chen Author-X-Name-First: Lili Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Physical productivity of new firms: it is not as high as it appears Abstract: This paper argues that the physical productivity of new firms is not as high as it is measured with conventional approaches. The overestimation is due to two reasons, both of which are related to the underestimation of production inputs of new firms. On the extensive margin, while conventional approaches implicitly assume the share of production costs in the total costs is the same for all firms, new firms spend a larger share of their costs on production. On the intensive margin, conventional approaches usually use capital stock as the proxy for capital input and tacitly assume a constant ratio between capital service and capital stock, whereas new firms tend to use their capital more intensively. Failure to incorporate the two facts leads to economically significant inflation in the measured physical productivity of new firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4397-4410 Issue: 40 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591609 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591609 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:40:p:4397-4410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Camilo Galvis Ciro Author-X-Name-First: Juan Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Galvis Ciro Author-Name: Juan Camilo Anzoátegui Zapata Author-X-Name-First: Juan Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Anzoátegui Zapata Title: Disagreement in inflation expectations: empirical evidence for Colombia Abstract: The literature on expectation disagreements in emerging economies is scarce. This paper examines the disagreements in inflation expectations for the Colombian economy during the 2010–2017 period. We combine empirical tests with an analysis of a monthly survey of expectations of financial analysts in Colombia to obtain valuable evidence to formulate guidelines on the expectations modelling in developing economies. The findings indicate that disagreements present inertia and that inflation volatility increases disagreements. However, the central bank’s stance, as established through a press release, can reduce disagreement. Moreover, if central bank communication is clear and there is a credible inflation target, there tend to be fewer disagreements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4411-4424 Issue: 40 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591610 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591610 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:40:p:4411-4424 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Madurika Nanayakkara Author-X-Name-First: Madurika Author-X-Name-Last: Nanayakkara Author-Name: Sisira Colombage Author-X-Name-First: Sisira Author-X-Name-Last: Colombage Title: Do investors in Green Bond market pay a premium? Global evidence Abstract: We examine the pricing difference of Green Bonds (GB) and conventional bonds (CBs) in capital markets worldwide. Credit spread is used to observe whether investors would like to pay a premium for GBs over CBs. This study uses panel data regression with hybrid model to analyse daily observations over the period 2016 to 2017. We employ Option-Adjusted spread (OAS) to measure the credit spreads of bonds while controlling for bond specific, macroeconomic and global factors that influence the spread. With the hybrid model used in the panel data analysis, we were able to capture the fixed-effects of variables in a random effect model. We find that GBs are traded at a premium of 63 basis points (BPS), compared with a comparable corporate bond issue. We find that the green label provides issuers an incentive to raise funds through issuing GBs while providing investors an opportunity to diversify their investments returns. Our findings provide several implications to the major stakeholders driving the GB market to scale up the market to finance the required level of global green investment needs. We stress an urgent need to support the growth of the GB market to achieve sustainable development through mitigating climate change challenges.Abbreviation GB: Green Bond; CB: Conventional Bond; YS: Yield Spread; BPS: Basis Points; OAS: Option-Adjusted Spread; PCSE: Panels Corrected Standard Errors; CPI: Consumer Price Index; GBPs: Green Bond Principles; CBS: Climate Bond Standard Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4425-4437 Issue: 40 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591611 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591611 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:40:p:4425-4437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ran Tao Author-X-Name-First: Ran Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Title: Fundraising under two-dimensional asymmetric information: the case of mindless donations Abstract: The paper develops a model of charity’s choice of fundraising method under two dimensions of asymmetric information, quality and purpose. The main implication from this model is a separating equilibrium where the higher-quality charity uses a traditional fundraising method, while the lower-quality one exploits a low-stakes, take-it- or leave-it, ‘mindless’ method. Empirical results support the hypothesis that charities of lower quality are more likely to adopt the mindless fundraising method. Even so, consumers still choose to give in the equilibrium, due to the small requested amount of mindless donations, which disincentivizes serious thinking by consumers. The mindless method, along with purpose uncertainty, has the potential to alleviate the free-riding problem that is characteristic of public good provision and is, therefore, welfare improving. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4438-4454 Issue: 40 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1593314 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1593314 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:40:p:4438-4454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Hussey Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Hussey Author-Name: Michael Jetter Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Jetter Title: Long term trends in fair and unfair inequality in the United States Abstract: This article analyses the microeconomic sources of wage inequality in the United States from 1967–2012. Decomposing inequality into factors categorized by degree of personal responsibility, education explains over twice as much of inequality today as 45 years ago. However, neither hours worked nor education, industry, marital status, or geographical location can explain the rise in income inequality. In fact, ‘unfair’ inequality (income disparity derived from non-responsibility factors) has risen faster than ‘fair’ inequality (income disparity derived from responsibility factors), regardless of the set of variables chosen as fair sources of inequality. We further examine income inequalities within gender and racial groups, finding substantial heterogeneity. Overall, using micro data to understand the sources of inequality and how these changes over time can provide better information for policymakers motivated to combat rising inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1147-1163 Issue: 12 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1213362 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1213362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:12:p:1147-1163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel J. Henderson Author-X-Name-First: Daniel J. Author-X-Name-Last: Henderson Author-Name: Léopold Simar Author-X-Name-First: Léopold Author-X-Name-Last: Simar Author-Name: Le Wang Author-X-Name-First: Le Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The three s of public schools: irrelevant inputs, insufficient resources and inefficiency Abstract: We examine the educational production function and efficiency of public school districts in Illinois. Using non-parametric kernel methods, we find that most traditional schooling inputs are irrelevant in determining test scores (even in a very general setting). Property tax caps are the only relevant factor that is related to districts’ financial constraints and have predominantly negative associations with test scores. Therefore, insufficient resources may be partially responsible for the lack of growth in test scores. For most other relevant inputs, we find substantial heterogeneity in the returns, which helps reconcile some of the puzzling results in the literature. We further find that there exist inefficiencies in school districts. Moreover, the level of test scores, commonly used as a measure of school effectiveness, (while related) differs substantially from our efficiency scores, and standard parametric approaches drastically underestimate school efficiency. We discuss the policy implications of our results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1164-1184 Issue: 12 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1213363 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1213363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:12:p:1164-1184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Joshua C. Hall Author-X-Name-First: Joshua C. Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Author-Name: Maria Y. Tackett Author-X-Name-First: Maria Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Tackett Title: Non-public competition and public school performance: evidence from West Virginia Abstract: In this study, we investigate whether non-public school enrolment affects the performance of public school districts. If homeschooling and private schools act as competition, public school districts test scores should be positively associated with non-public enrolment. Using data on West Virginia county school districts, and controlling for endogeneity with an instrumental variables approach, we find that a one standard deviation increase in relative non-public enrolment in a county is associated with statistically significant improvements in public school district test scores. Our findings thus confirm that non-public enrolment and the competition it provides act to improve, rather than impede, public school performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1185-1193 Issue: 12 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1213364 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1213364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:12:p:1185-1193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong-Yop Oh Author-X-Name-First: Dong-Yop Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Hyejin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hyejin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: LM cointegration tests allowing for an unknown number of breaks: implications for the forward rate unbiasedness hypothesis Abstract: This article extends the Lagrange multiplier (LM) cointegration test proposed by Westerlund and Edgerton (WE 2007) by allowing for an unknown number of breaks. Monte Carlo simulations provide two main results. First, a loss of power in the LM cointegration tests is detected when potential multiple breaks are ignored. Second, the modified testing procedures do not affect the asymptotic distribution and major properties of the tests of WE under the null, but noticeably increase their testing power in presence of multiple breaks. We also provide empirical applications of the proposed tests for the forward rate unbiasedness hypothesis (FRUH). The results reveal that the FRUH does hold when the effects of the multiple structural breaks are taken into account. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1194-1203 Issue: 12 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1213366 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1213366 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:12:p:1194-1203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Justin L. Davis Author-X-Name-First: Justin L. Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Author-Name: Kevin Krieger Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Krieger Title: Preseason bias in the NFL and NBA betting markets Abstract: This study extends research in the sports gaming literature by examining the efficiency of betting markets related to preseason professional sporting events. Using NFL (1995–2014) and NBA (2005–2014) data from preseason games, we examine the pricing efficiency of point spreads in these markets and consider evidence of systematic mispricing. Findings suggest point spreads are too large in these situations, providing a profitable betting opportunity for those willing to systematically wager on underdogs. Similar findings are not seen within the context of NFL or NBA regular seasons. These findings are more pronounced as preseason point spreads become larger. Further stratification by week of the NFL preseason demonstrates that underdogs discontinue their superior performance for the one week (Week 3) in which clubs tend to expel a higher level of effort. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1204-1212 Issue: 12 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1213367 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1213367 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:12:p:1204-1212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoonsuk Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yoonsuk Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Title: Permanent shocks and forecasting with moving averages Abstract: Moving averages are a common method of forecasting futures basis. We argue that the optimal lengths of moving averages depend on the frequency of structural breaks. A new stochastic time-series process including structural breaks is modelled by discrete probability distributions that capture the frequency and size of structural breaks. A permanent shock (means structural breaks in this article) is captured by a Poisson-jump or a Bernoulli-jump process, and a temporary shock is represented by a white noise process. Futures basis data are used to estimate the frequency of permanent shocks as well as the size of both shocks. Most shocks are permanent shocks. Since most shocks are permanent, the most recent year provides the best forecast and the optimal length of the moving average is one. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1213-1225 Issue: 12 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1213368 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1213368 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:12:p:1213-1225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philipp Grunau Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Grunau Author-Name: Marco Pecoraro Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Pecoraro Title: Educational mismatch and promotions to managerial positions: a test of the career mobility theory Abstract: Career mobility theory suggests that given a certain occupation, schooling improves upward mobility in terms of promotion and wage growth. We are the first to test the implications of this theory for over- and undereducation by means of direct information about promotions to managerial positions. Using German administrative data entailing an employer-reported – and hence objective – measure of educational requirements, we show that overeducated workers are indeed more likely to be promoted and that this career mobility advantage is more pronounced in the early stages of their working lives. By contrast, undereducated workers are less likely to be promoted to managerial positions. Moreover, in terms of wage growth, while overeducated workers benefit more, undereducated workers benefit less from promotions than their well-matched educational peers. Altogether, these findings strongly support the career mobility theory. Furthermore, by differentiating between internal and external promotions, we provide evidence that promotions are more likely for overeducated workers within the establishment, whereas the opposite applies for undereducated workers. This finding indicates the relevance of both over- and undereducation as signals of true ability to other employers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1226-1240 Issue: 12 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1213369 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1213369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:12:p:1226-1240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edina I. Findrik Author-X-Name-First: Edina I. Author-X-Name-Last: Findrik Author-Name: Ulrich B. Morawetz Author-X-Name-First: Ulrich B. Author-X-Name-Last: Morawetz Title: Who would pay more for a fragrance-free laundry detergent? How health information affects valuation Abstract: Fragrance allergy is a lifelong condition, and the probability of being affected increases with frequent exposure to fragrance. Currently, fragrance-free laundry detergents are not common in supermarkets. We used a contingent valuation among Austrian consumers in a within-respondent treatment to estimate how willingness to pay is influenced by health information. We found that higher income groups have a higher willingness to pay for fragrance-free detergents. Informing consumers about health impacts substantially increases this difference. Our simulation shows that lower-income groups benefit from health information only if low-priced fragrance-free detergents are available on the market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2453-2467 Issue: 23 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1545081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1545081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:23:p:2453-2467 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steffen Hundt Author-X-Name-First: Steffen Author-X-Name-Last: Hundt Author-Name: Andreas Horsch Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Horsch Title: Sponsorship of the FIFA world cup, shareholder wealth, and the impact of corruption Abstract: The Fédération Internationale de Football Association's World Cup (FIFA WC) is one of the most popular sporting events in the world in general and Europe in particular, and famous for the extraordinary amount of sponsorship fees it attracts. To create value for the stockholders of FIFA’s respective commercial affiliates, these sponsorship expenses should be exceeded by (discounted) future cash flows in order to make this investment profitable. This study analyses return effects for stockholders of FIFA WC Commercial Affiliates, while distinguishing between several image scenarios pertaining to FIFA and applying several models for calculating abnormal returns. We find weak evidence for significant positive abnormal returns of announced FIFA sponsorships in case of a stable FIFA image across different return models. In contrast, we find negative abnormal returns when the latest corruption scandals around FIFA became public. We also detect negative price effects when Gianni Infantino was announced as new FIFA president. The image-related price effects become less pronounced for FIFA Partners and initially closed sponsorship contracts. Finally, we do not find any image-related spillover effects for main competitors of firms sponsoring FIFA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2468-2491 Issue: 23 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1545082 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1545082 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:23:p:2468-2491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaewoon Koo Author-X-Name-First: Jaewoon Author-X-Name-Last: Koo Author-Name: Kyunghee Maeng Author-X-Name-First: Kyunghee Author-X-Name-Last: Maeng Title: Investment opportunities and cash holdings of firms: an empirical study on Korean firms Abstract: We find that the cash flow sensitivity of cash holdings of firms whose investment opportunities are lower is significantly higher by examining a panel data of 898 Korean firms for 1999–2014. The cash flow sensitivity of investment is also found to be lower in case of low investment opportunity. Both findings suggest that firms decide to hold cash in response to an increase in cash flow when they do not have a good investment opportunity. Precautionary motive because of financial constraints and uncertainty, and agency problems, however, are not associated with the cash flow sensitivity of cash holdings. These findings imply that it is necessary to develop new investment opportunities to encourage firms to spend more cash in Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2492-2500 Issue: 23 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1545083 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1545083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:23:p:2492-2500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Byrne Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Byrne Author-Name: Robert Kelly Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Kelly Title: Bank asset quality & monetary policy pass-through Abstract: The funding mix of European firms is weighted heavily towards bank credit, which underscores the importance of efficient pass-through of monetary policy actions to lending rates faced by firms. Euro area pass-through has shifted from being relatively homogenous to being fragmented and incomplete since the financial crisis. Distressed loan books are a crisis hangover with direct implications for profitability, hampering banks ability to supply credit and lower loan pricing in response to reductions in the policy rate. This paper presents a parsimonious model to decompose the cost of lending and highlight the role of asset quality in diminishing pass-through. Using bank-level data over the period 2008–2014, we empirically test the implications of the model. We show that a one percentage point increase in the impairment ratio lowering short run pass-through by 3%. We find that banks with severely impaired balance sheets do not adjust their loan pricing in response to changes in the policy rate at all. We derive a measure of the hidden bad loan problem, the NPL gap, which we define as the excess of non-performing loans over impaired loans. We show that it played a significant role in the fragmentation of euro area pass-through post-crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2501-2521 Issue: 23 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1546953 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1546953 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:23:p:2501-2521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aviad Tur-Sinai Author-X-Name-First: Aviad Author-X-Name-Last: Tur-Sinai Author-Name: Efrat Averbach Author-X-Name-First: Efrat Author-X-Name-Last: Averbach Title: The visible and the hidden behind migrants’ human capital Abstract: The paper explores differences in human capital between the Israel-born and immigrants within the Jorgenson and Fraumeni model. Using a unique ‘imputed education’ method, the study answers whether the immigrants’ level of education, in fact, reflects their human capital. The results show that immigrants during their first years do not work in an occupation that fits their education; this holds their estimated human capital below that of the Israel-born. Over the years, the gap between immigrants and non-immigrants in per-capita human capital contracted from 30 percent to 14 percent on average, or, using the imputation method, from 23 percent to 9 percent. In addition, the gaps between the immigrants and nonimmigrants and those between original education and imputed education contract at higher education levels. Some immigrants were able to find an occupation that matched their education and to integrate into the local job market, and the per-capita human capital of immigrants and nonimmigrants converged. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2522-2533 Issue: 23 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1546954 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1546954 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:23:p:2522-2533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dmitriy V. Chulkov Author-X-Name-First: Dmitriy V. Author-X-Name-Last: Chulkov Author-Name: John M. Barron Author-X-Name-First: John M. Author-X-Name-Last: Barron Title: Turnover in top management and de-escalation of commitment Abstract: We explore how de-escalation of commitment is linked to top management turnover and economic changes at the firm. Escalation of commitment occurs when managers continue investment in a project after receiving negative information. A major determinant of escalation is the personal responsibility effect in that managers are more likely to escalate commitment to a failing project if they were responsible for the original investments. Prior studies suggest that a change in top management facilitates de-escalation of commitment as incoming managers who do not have such commitment are able to stop investments that are discovered to be failing. Our empirical analysis based on a sample of over 3,300 firms for the period from 1992 to 2016 demonstrates the link between specific top management turnover types and economic changes at the firm consistent with the de-escalation of commitment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2534-2551 Issue: 23 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1546955 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1546955 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:23:p:2534-2551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Radosław Kurach Author-X-Name-First: Radosław Author-X-Name-Last: Kurach Author-Name: Paweł Kuśmierczyk Author-X-Name-First: Paweł Author-X-Name-Last: Kuśmierczyk Author-Name: Daniel Papla Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Papla Title: The optimal portfolio for the two-pillar mandatory pension system: the case of Poland Abstract: In the recent decade, there has been observed across the Central and Eastern European states the regulatory trend towards the increase of the non-financial (first) pension pillar size at the expense of the financial (second) pillar. It tends to question the consequences of this shift for the future retirement benefits. Applying the portfolio approach we address this issue by running a series of simulations to find out how to allocate pension contributions between both pillars in an optimal way. Our study contributes to the existing literature as follows. First, we do not perform the assessment of the predetermined regulatory solutions, but we look for an optimal one. Moreover, we allow our optimal rule to be time-varying, if necessary, which would be a true novelty in this research area. Second, we do not base our estimates on historical trends; rather, we apply the long-term economy’s projection to account for the society’s ageing impact, which is a crucially important factor for the solvency of the pension system. Adapting some of the simulation assumptions to fit the Polish case, our results confirm that current regulations underestimate the role of the capital pillar and the optimal allocation between both pillars should be time-varying. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2552-2565 Issue: 23 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1556773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1556773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:23:p:2552-2565 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Díaz Dapena Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Díaz Dapena Author-Name: Fernando Rubiera Morollón Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Rubiera Morollón Author-Name: Mônica de Moura Pires Author-X-Name-First: Mônica de Moura Author-X-Name-Last: Pires Author-Name: Andréa da Silva Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Andréa da Silva Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Title: Convergence in Brazil: new evidence using a multilevel approach Abstract: Empirical analysis of regional convergence does not focus its attention on the spatial level of the data. Most of the time, the analysis is made at the aggregated level, by large regions or states, where there are more data available. However, when there is a wide intra-regional heterogeneity, it is possible to have regional convergence coexisting with local processes of divergence. This is our hypothesis for the case of Brazil, where there are relevant different intra-state behaviours. To capture these behaviours in this article, an adaptation of multilevel techniques to the $${\rm{\beta }}$$β -Convergence analysis is proposed using data of Brazilian states and municipalities taken from the Economic Census (1991 to 2010). With this data, we confirm the existence of convergence at the national level, but we can observe that this general trend coexists with different intra-state behaviours across Brazilian geography. The most industrialized or urbanized states of the Southeast usually present internal divergence, while the less developed inland states normally show convergence, which agrees with what we expect from the central/periphery models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5050-5062 Issue: 50 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1299101 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1299101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:50:p:5050-5062 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elie Bouri Author-X-Name-First: Elie Author-X-Name-Last: Bouri Author-Name: Naji Jalkh Author-X-Name-First: Naji Author-X-Name-Last: Jalkh Author-Name: Peter Molnár Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Molnár Author-Name: David Roubaud Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Roubaud Title: Bitcoin for energy commodities before and after the December 2013 crash: diversifier, hedge or safe haven? Abstract: We study the relationship between Bitcoin and commodities by assessing the ability of Bitcoin to act as a diversifier, hedge, or safe haven against daily movements in commodities in general, and energy commodities in particular. We focus on energy commodities because energy, in the form of electricity, is an essential input in the Bitcoin production. For the entire period, results show that Bitcoin is a strong hedge and a safe-haven against movements in both commodity indices. We further examine whether that ability is also present for non-energy commodities and our analysis show insignificant results when energy commodities are excluded from the general commodity index. We also account for the December 2013 Bitcoin price crash and our results reveal that Bitcoin hedge and safe-haven properties against commodities and energy commodities are only present in the pre-crash period, whereas in the post-crash period Bitcoin is no more than a diversifier. In addition to uncovering the time-varying role of Bitcoin, we highlight the dissimilarity in the dynamic correlations between the extreme downward and extreme upward movements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5063-5073 Issue: 50 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1299102 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1299102 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:50:p:5063-5073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: César Alonso-Borrego Author-X-Name-First: César Author-X-Name-Last: Alonso-Borrego Author-Name: Raquel Carrasco Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Carrasco Title: Employment and the risk of domestic violence: does the breadwinner’s gender matter? Abstract: This article studies the effect on the risk of female victimization of the employment status of the woman and her partner. We use individual-level data from the violence against women surveys for Spain, which also provide information on income and a rich set of sociodemographic characteristics. To address the potential endogeneity of the binary employment indicators, we exploit exogenous geographical information on the employment and unemployment rates by gender and age, within a multivariate probit framework. Our estimation results show that male partner employment plays a major role in the risk of physical violence, while female employment only lowers it when her partner is employed too. The lowest risk appears for more egalitarian couples in which both partners are employed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5074-5091 Issue: 50 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1299103 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1299103 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:50:p:5074-5091 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I-Cheng Yeh Author-X-Name-First: I-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Author-Name: Che-hui Lien Author-X-Name-First: Che-hui Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Title: Growth and value hybrid valuation model based on mean reversion Abstract: This article proposes a novel valuation model, growth and value hybrid model, to estimate the stock price. This proposed model combines the essence of the asset-based approach, the income-based approach, and the principle of mean reversion to develop the theoretical closed-form formula consisting of three coefficients: value coefficient, value support coefficient and growth coefficient. Regression analysis is employed to fit market data to determine these coefficients. Moreover, this study proposes the double sorting method to build the quantile regression models of the formula to estimate the stock price at a specific quantile. The results show that the predictive capability of the hybrid valuation model is superior to the model without using value support coefficient, which supports the assumption that the PBR is not associated with the ROE when the ROE is less than a threshold. In different time periods of the stock market, no significant difference exists on the value support coefficient. However, the variations of the value coefficient and the growth coefficient are significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5092-5116 Issue: 50 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1299104 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1299104 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:50:p:5092-5116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deborah Gefang Author-X-Name-First: Deborah Author-X-Name-Last: Gefang Author-Name: Geraint Johnes Author-X-Name-First: Geraint Author-X-Name-Last: Johnes Title: Asymmetric volatility spillovers between the U.K. regional worker flows and vacancies Abstract: This article investigates volatility spillovers between the U.K. regional job finding, job separation and vacancy rates. Employing a large Bayesian logistic smooth transition vector autoregression model, we find high volatility spillovers between the U.K. regional labour markets. Analyses of net spillovers show that, in general, shocks to job separation rates tend to spread into job finding and vacancy rates, while vacancy rates are usually at the receiving end of shocks transmitted from the job separations and job findings. To shed further light on the shock propagation mechanism, we also look into more detailed matters such as the differences in spillovers between regions within the same regime, and that of the same region but in different regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5117-5133 Issue: 50 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1299105 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1299105 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:50:p:5117-5133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Author-Name: Kenichi Suzuki Author-X-Name-First: Kenichi Author-X-Name-Last: Suzuki Title: Why do only the G7+2 countries among United Nations members discuss about international public goods? A simulation study Abstract: This article investigates why only the Group of 7 plus China and Russia (G7 + 2 countries) among 194 United Nations members discuss about international public goods? By simulating the heterogeneity of income, prices and preference parameters on the total provisions and the number of free riders, we find that the number of contributors for international public goods is 15 under the 194 member countries, while the others are free riders. In addition, the contributors are the top 15 powerful countries with largest dropout value over the world. Then, the discussion with only 15 countries for public goods is meaningful. As large as the heterogeneity of parameters is, the number of contributors becomes closer to G7 + 2. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5134-5143 Issue: 50 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1299106 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1299106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:50:p:5134-5143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Eriksson Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Eriksson Author-Name: Karolina Stadin Author-X-Name-First: Karolina Author-X-Name-Last: Stadin Title: What are the determinants of hiring? The importance of product market demand and search frictions Abstract: In this article, we study the importance of product market demand and search frictions for hiring. We use a search-matching model with imperfect competition in the product market to derive an equation for total hiring in a local labour market, and estimate it on Swedish panel data. If product markets are imperfectly competitive, product demand shocks should have a direct effect on employment for given levels of prices and wages. Our main finding is that product demand has such a direct effect on hiring. This highlights the importance of taking imperfect competition in the product market into account in studies of employment dynamics and hiring. We also find that, for given levels of prices, wages, and product demand, the number of unemployed workers in a local labour market has a positive effect on hiring, suggesting that search frictions matter. Quantitatively, product demand shocks seem to be more important for understanding the variation in hiring than shocks to the number of unemployed workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5144-5165 Issue: 50 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1302058 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1302058 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:50:p:5144-5165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bhavesh Garg Author-X-Name-First: Bhavesh Author-X-Name-Last: Garg Author-Name: K.P. Prabheesh Author-X-Name-First: K.P. Author-X-Name-Last: Prabheesh Title: External shocks, consumption-smoothing and capital mobility in India: evidence from an intertemporal optimization approach Abstract: We examine the solvency of India’s current account (CA) in the post-liberalization period using intertemporal optimization approach to the CA. Using quarterly data ranging from 1996Q1 to 2014Q2, we estimate a benchmark consumption-smoothing model and an extended model that incorporates external shocks. Overall, we find that the predicted optimal CA in both the models can track the actual CA movements and the extended model performs better over the benchmark model. Further, we also find that the optimal CA is more volatile than the actual CA which implies that the capital flows have been less than optimal and thus makes an interesting case for further liberalization of the capital account. Our findings suggest that policies aimed at further liberalization of capital flows will allow larger CA deficits to achieve higher economic growth since it will help agents to further smoothen their consumption without worrying about risks associated with insolvency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4814-4829 Issue: 45 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1467554 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1467554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:45:p:4814-4829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shiyu Bo Author-X-Name-First: Shiyu Author-X-Name-Last: Bo Title: Son preference, children’s gender and parents’ time allocation: evidence from China Abstract: This article investigates the effect of children’s gender on parents’ time allocation in developing countries due to the long-existing tradition of son preference. A collective model generates predictions concerning the impact of the birth of sons on family behaviour when son preference is treated as a premium in the father’s utility function. Using data from China, I show that, with more sons instead of daughters, the time spent by both men and women on housework rises, while men have to increase their work time in the labour market and women can reduce theirs. The results are consistent with theoretical predictions and are robust for use in further tests. For the possible endogeneity of children’s gender, I use the law forbidding the use of ultrasound-B to reveal the gender of a foetus as instrumental variables as the identification strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4830-4846 Issue: 45 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1467555 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1467555 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:45:p:4830-4846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C. Jeffrey Waddoups Author-X-Name-First: C. Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Waddoups Title: Has the large firm training advantage declined during the 2000s? Abstract: The study examines data from the Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) and finds a falling incidence of job training in the United States during the period between 2001 and 2009. It also reveals that the firm size-training advantage in which larger firms are more likely to provide employer-paid training than their smaller counterparts has diminished. For the workforce overall, 34.5 percent (for males) to 25.4 percent (for females) of the difference in training between 2001 and 2009 is attributable to a decline in the large firm training advantage. For younger prime-age workers, the falling firm size-training effect is an even larger part of the overall decline in training, amounting to 51.8 percent of the difference in training between 2001 and 2009 for males and 33.9 percent for females. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4847-4865 Issue: 45 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1468552 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1468552 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:45:p:4847-4865 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junchao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Junchao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The impact of 9-year compulsory education: quasi-experimental evidence from Taiwan Abstract: Using a regression discontinuity design, this article investigates the causal impacts of 9 year compulsory education on students’ educational attainment and dropout rate by Taiwan Population and Housing Census. The results show that the policy reduces approximately 4 percentage points of the dropout likelihood by age 15 and 2 percentage points of the dropout likelihood by age 18, also increases years of schooling by 0.22. Furthermore, heterogeneous effects are observed across gender and ethnic groups. The policy has larger effects on males and local Taiwanese people than on females and Mainlanders. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4866-4878 Issue: 45 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1468553 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1468553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:45:p:4866-4878 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeff Chan Author-X-Name-First: Jeff Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Title: Market access and occupational upgrading: evidence from the 19th century American transportation network Abstract: This article investigates the extent to which county-level market access affects workers’ occupational upgrading and industrial sorting by exploiting the substantial spatial variation and rapid expansion of the United States’ transportation network coverage from 1870 to 1880. First, I find that individuals who enjoyed greater market access in 1880 were more likely to work in higher-paying occupations. Importantly, this result holds across all sectors of employment, for younger and older workers, and for migrants and non-migrants, suggesting that any market size effects on occupational upgrading were not specific to any one group. I also provide results showing that workers were more likely to switch industries within agriculture, but are less likely to do so from manufacturing or services. Finally, I find some evidence of changes to sectoral reallocation, principally away from agriculture, being associated with higher market access. My findings suggest that the expansion of the transportation network in played an important role in determining the type of work Americans performed in the nineteenth century. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4879-4900 Issue: 45 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1468554 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1468554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:45:p:4879-4900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yao Li Author-X-Name-First: Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jianqing Ruan Author-X-Name-First: Jianqing Author-X-Name-Last: Ruan Author-Name: Chunhui Ye Author-X-Name-First: Chunhui Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Title: How natural disasters affect the evolution of grain markets: evidence from 18th-century China Abstract: Market is the foundation of modern society. However, how did market evolve? Previous research has explored the impacts of spatial distance and transportation conditions on market integration. This article argues that natural disasters also played a crucial role in the evolution of market integration in China, particularly in the grain market. When natural disasters occur, governments’ relief measures and merchants’ arbitrage activities will gradually promote interconnectivity among local grain markets. In this article, China’s major grain monthly price data set from 1746 to 1795 and the Chinese historical disaster records dataset from 1696 to 1795 are used to analyse the impact of natural disasters on grain market integration. The empirical results show that natural disasters have a significantly positive effect on the integration of the grain market. The findings continue to hold after controlling the traffic conditions, grain varieties and lag effect. This study proposes a new perspective for understanding the evolution of the grain market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4901-4911 Issue: 45 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1468555 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1468555 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:45:p:4901-4911 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Inglesi-Lotz Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Inglesi-Lotz Author-Name: A. Hakimi Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hakimi Author-Name: A. Pouris Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Pouris Title: Patents vs publications and R&D: three sides of the same coin? Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) for OECD and BRICS countries Abstract: The paper aims to define the optimal thresholds of publications and Research and Development (R&D) expenditure and to investigate their impacts on patenting in OECD and BRICS countries. To do so, we use a dataset of 25 countries divided into two country sub-samples for the period 1996–2013, employing the Panel Smooth Transition Regression (PSTR) model. The results indicate that the threshold of publications after which patenting activity is promoted is 8417 publications for the OECD countries and 20,848 for the BRICS countries, while the share of R&D in % of GDP should not exceed 1.683% for the OECD countries and 0.975% for the BRICS countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4912-4923 Issue: 45 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1468556 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1468556 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:45:p:4912-4923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Issam Laguir Author-X-Name-First: Issam Author-X-Name-Last: Laguir Author-Name: Matthijs Den Besten Author-X-Name-First: Matthijs Author-X-Name-Last: Den Besten Title: The influence of entrepreneur’s personal characteristics on MSEs growth through innovation Abstract: Research in the separate areas of innovation and growth has considerably intensified in recent years. However, little scholarly attention has been paid to the entrepreneurs’ personal characteristics that might explain the growth of micro and small enterprises (MSEs) through innovation. This study examines the key entrepreneurs’ personal characteristics affecting micro and small enterprises (MSEs) upgrading, defined here as substantial growth through innovation. Six major determining types of entrepreneurs’ characteristics were identified from the innovation and the growth literature: education, work experience, gender, motivations, nationality and age. The empirical results which are based on t-tests of the differences between upgraders and non-upgraders, the linear probability model and the logit model, all suggest that work experience and motivations are cornerstones in the likelihood that an MSE will upgrade. The policy implications of this study on promoting MSEs upgrading are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4183-4200 Issue: 44 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1153792 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1153792 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:44:p:4183-4200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad A. Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: John J. Vaz Author-X-Name-First: John J. Author-X-Name-Last: Vaz Title: Cointegration as an explanation for the Meese–Rogoff puzzle Abstract: Some economists suggest that the failure of exchange-rate models to outperform the random walk in exchange rate forecasting out of sample can be attributed to failure to take into account cointegration when it is present. We attempt to find out if cointegration matters for forecasting accuracy by examining the relation between the stationarity and size of the forecasting error. Results based on three macroeconomic models of exchange rates do not provide strong support for the proposition that cointegration matters for forecasting accuracy. The simulation results show that while stationary errors tend to be smaller than non-stationary errors, this is not a universal rule. Irrespective of the presence or absence of cointegration, none of the three models can outperform the random walk in out-of-sample forecasting, which means that cointegration cannot solve the Meese–Rogoff puzzle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4201-4209 Issue: 44 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1153793 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1153793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:44:p:4201-4209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sudharshan Reddy Paramati Author-X-Name-First: Sudharshan Reddy Author-X-Name-Last: Paramati Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Author-Name: Rakesh Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rakesh Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: Economic integration and stock market dynamic linkages: evidence in the context of Australia and Asia Abstract: Countries are becoming economically integrated and it is contended that this will also lead to their financial markets becoming integrated. This contention is important since international financial market integration diminishes portfolio diversification benefits and creates contagion risk. We test this contention in this article in the context of the Australasian region. Australia and Asia have experienced very significant economic integration through a rapid growth in their bilateral trade. We utilize a battery of econometric techniques – cointegration, asymmetric generalized dynamic conditional correlations and panel regression models. As expected, we find that trade intensity significantly drives the interdependence between their stock markets in both the short run and the long run. Thus, given the ever increasing economic integration in this region, this finding implies that their stock markets face the risk of contagion, and that investors in these markets would also be confronted with the prospect of lower diversification benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4210-4226 Issue: 44 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1153794 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1153794 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:44:p:4210-4226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Lampach Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Lampach Author-Name: Ulrich B. Morawetz Author-X-Name-First: Ulrich B. Author-X-Name-Last: Morawetz Title: Credibility of propensity score matching estimates. An example from Fair Trade certification of coffee producers Abstract: Propensity score matching (PSM) is an increasingly popular method for evaluation studies in agricultural and development economics. However, statisticians and econometricians have stressed that results rely on untestable assumptions, and therefore, guidelines for researchers on how to improve credibility have been developed. We follow one of these guidelines with a data set analysed by other authors to evaluate the impact of Fair Trade certification on the income of coffee producers. We provide thereby a best practice example of how to evaluate the credibility of PSM estimates. We find that a thorough assessment of the assumptions made renders the data we use not suitable for a credible PSM estimation of the effects of treatment. We conclude that the debate about the impact of Fair Trade certification would greatly benefit from a detailed reporting of credibility checking. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4227-4237 Issue: 44 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1153795 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1153795 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:44:p:4227-4237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Feuerriegel Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Feuerriegel Author-Name: Georg Wolff Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Author-Name: Dirk Neumann Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Neumann Title: News sentiment and overshooting of exchange rates Abstract: In a globalized world, the volume of international trade is based on both import and export prices, thereby making a country’s economy highly dependent on exchange rates. In order to study exchange rate movements, one frequently exploits the so-called Dornbusch overshooting model. However, the model is controversial from a theoretical point of view: it explains exchange rate movements by a number of fundamental variables but ignores how novel information in the form of news can enter the market. As a remedy, this article adjusts for information dissemination by performing a multivariate analysis to compare the classical overshooting model with an extended variant that includes news sentiment. Our results show that news sentiment has a substantial explanatory power of 11% of the exchange rate forecasting error variance. In addition, we also find statistical evidence that a shock in news sentiment may lead to overshooting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4238-4250 Issue: 44 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1153796 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1153796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:44:p:4238-4250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tomoyuki Yagi Author-X-Name-First: Tomoyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Yagi Author-Name: Masako Takahashi Author-X-Name-First: Masako Author-X-Name-Last: Takahashi Title: Business cycle turning points based on DEA-discriminant analysis Abstract: Recently, the turning points of business cycle are decided with wide viewpoints after passing a couple of years from the points. This study tries to develop a model for judging the turning points in real-time by using a non-parametric approach, DEA-discriminant analysis, because we have sometimes faced sudden changes of economy and non-parametric approaches are useful for covering these movements. The constructed model succeeds to separate periods in Japanese economic expanding and recession terms, and the model would be helpful for the real-time judgments of the turning points of business cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4251-4256 Issue: 44 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1156227 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1156227 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:44:p:4251-4256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Makiko Omura Author-X-Name-First: Makiko Author-X-Name-Last: Omura Title: An analysis of wine and food consumption dynamics in Japan using a vector error correction model Abstract: This article provides an analysis of long-term equilibrium relationships between wine and food-related consumptions in Japan through the vector error correction model. Utilizing longitudinal data from 1970 to 2009, the analysis suggests that wine consumptions and food-related consumptions are co-integrated. The investigation of orthogonal impulse response functions suggests that food-related items, such as bread, vegetables and eating out are positive factors for wine consumptions. With the expansion of wine consumption and diversification of food consumption patterns, wine is deemed to have gained its place in Japanese ordinary life, regardless of the general state of economy. The estimated results also provide a supporting evidence for previous cross-sectional study findings by others that wine consumers tend to have healthier diet. Despite the downward forecasts for economic performance and some food items, wine consumption is predicted to grow continuously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4257-4269 Issue: 44 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1156230 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1156230 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:44:p:4257-4269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Author-Name: Polly Palmer Author-X-Name-First: Polly Author-X-Name-Last: Palmer Title: On the dynamics of U.S. consumer sentiment and economic policy assessment Abstract: We utilize the Michigan Surveys of Consumers data to first investigate the dynamic relationship between consumers’ assessment of current and future economic conditions (Index of Current Economic Conditions (ICC) and Index of Consumer Expectations (ICE)), and then examine how these assessments are influenced by deterioration/improvement in consumers’ appraisal of economic policies of the government (GP). We further assess how deterioration/improvement in ICC and ICE influences GP. For 1978–2015, our findings first indicate that ICC and ICE are cointegrated and both respond to disequilibrium to restore the long-run equilibrium relationship. Second, deterioration in GP results in deterioration in both ICC and ICE. Improvement in GP, however, results in improvement in ICE with no impact on ICC. Third, deterioration in both ICC and ICE results in deterioration in GP. Improvement in ICE results in improvement in GP, but improvement in ICC has no impact on GP. The observed asymmetries are in line with ‘negativity bias’, whereby people tend to give more weight to negative events than to positive ones. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 227-237 Issue: 3 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1194964 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1194964 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:3:p:227-237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco A. Palma Author-X-Name-First: Marco A. Author-X-Name-Last: Palma Author-Name: Meghan L. Ness Author-X-Name-First: Meghan L. Author-X-Name-Last: Ness Author-Name: David P. Anderson Author-X-Name-First: David P. Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Title: Fashionable food: a latent class analysis of social status in food purchases Abstract: A framed field experiment combined with a latent class econometric approach was used to investigate how prestige-seeking behaviour influences food choices. We propose a theoretical framework to test conspicuous consumption of specialty food products. We test the hypothesis empirically by categorizing individuals into unobserved latent classes according to their general prestige-seeking behaviour. We find evidence of food consumption driven by prestige to the point of becoming a symbol of social status. The prestige-seeking behaviour seems to be motivated by invidious comparison or higher-class individuals seeking to differentiate themselves from lower-class individuals; and pecuniary emulation, or lower-class individuals buying prestigious goods in order to be perceived as members of a higher class. Findings from this study revealed that the effects of differentiating labelling attributes had a higher impact for individuals classified into classes with prestige-seeking behaviour to attain an elevated social status. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 238-250 Issue: 3 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1194965 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1194965 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:3:p:238-250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheng Yao Author-X-Name-First: Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Haotian Liang Author-X-Name-First: Haotian Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Title: Firm location, political geography and environmental information disclosure Abstract: As the subjective and objective factors that influence corporate behaviours, political region and firm location are of great importance to environmental information disclosure (EID). With spatial and political geography as a research perspective, this article makes a study by using the samples of manufacturing listed companies from 2009 to 2011. As a result, we determine that regulatory distance and political geography had negative effects on EID, while political geography weakens regulatory distance’s function. After considering an enterprise’s administrative rank, we determined that when the rank is higher, regulatory distance has negative effects on EID; when the rank is lower, the effects are the opposite. Regarding political geography, it always weakened the regulatory distance’s function. Moreover, the effects are significant only when the enterprises had low governmental regulation. The study shows the effects that firm location and political geography have made on EID. At the same time, this study also gives theoretical and empirical evidence to the necessity of raising governmental regulatory effectiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 251-262 Issue: 3 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1194966 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1194966 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:3:p:251-262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Scott Tainsky Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Tainsky Author-Name: Jie Xu Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Qian Yang Author-X-Name-First: Qian Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Competitive balance and the participation–spectatorship gap in Chinese table tennis Abstract: Excessive competitive imbalance holds the potential to render teams and, by extension, leagues inviable. The China Table Tennis Super League has languished in its attempt to catch on as a popular spectator sport in spite of the sport’s popularity as recreational activity. One of the primary reasons for the participation–spectatorship gap cited by officials is competitive imbalance. This research estimates a number of within-season balance measures, including the standard deviation of winning, concentration ratio, and Herfindahl–Hirschman Index. The results show that both the men’s and women’s leagues have been relatively balanced over time. Implications regarding competitive balance and other league policy considerations are explored. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 263-272 Issue: 3 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1197363 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1197363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:3:p:263-272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabrizio Carmignani Author-X-Name-First: Fabrizio Author-X-Name-Last: Carmignani Author-Name: Parvinder Kler Author-X-Name-First: Parvinder Author-X-Name-Last: Kler Title: The spillover of war in time and space: exploring some open issues Abstract: In spite of a voluminous empirical literature, the diffusion of civil war in time and space is still not fully understood and several issues remain open for debate. This article sheds new light on some of these issues. First, we assess the robustness of results to changes in the definition of neighbourhood (spatial dimension) and in the lag structure (temporal dimension). Second, we investigate the factors that determine the strength of civil war diffusion, focusing in particular on (i) the type of war (e.g. its intensity and scope), (ii) the quality of domestic polity, and (iii) interaction opportunities (e.g. ethnic ties and refugee flows). Third, we look at how the occurrence of war in a neighbouring country affects the duration (and not just the onset) of domestic civil war. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 273-288 Issue: 3 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1197364 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1197364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:3:p:273-288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Iqbal Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: M. Iqbal Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: Steven P. Cassou Author-X-Name-First: Steven P. Author-X-Name-Last: Cassou Title: Threshold cointegration between inflation and US capacity utilization Abstract: An analogue to the Phillips curve shows a positive relationship between inflation and capacity utilization. Some recent empirical work has shown that this relationship has broken down when using data after the mid-1980s. We empirically investigate this issue using several threshold error correction models. We find, in the long run, a 1% increase in the rate of inflation leads to approximately a 0.0046% increase in capacity utilization. The asymmetric error correction structure shows that changes in capacity utilization show significant corrective measures only during booms while changes in inflation correct during both phases of the business cycle with the corrections being stronger during recessions. We also find that, in the short run, changes in the inflation rate do Granger cause capacity utilization while changes in capacity utilization do not Granger cause inflation. The Granger causality from inflation to capacity utilization can be interpreted as supporting recent calls made in the popular press by some economists that it may be desirable for the Federal Reserve Bank to try to induce some inflation. However, it is also possible to interpret these Granger causality results as arising because both variables respond to some more fundamental set of variables with the inflation rate simply responding sooner. The lack of Granger causality from capacity utilization to inflation casts doubt on the older view that capacity utilization could be a leading indicator for future inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 289-302 Issue: 3 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1197365 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1197365 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:3:p:289-302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dennis L. Weisman Author-X-Name-First: Dennis L. Author-X-Name-Last: Weisman Author-Name: Dong Li Author-X-Name-First: Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Weeds in the Ivy: college admissions under preference constraints Abstract: In a series of cases spanning more than three decades, the courts have attempted to establish boundaries on the permissible use of racial preferences in college admissions. Proponents of these policies believe that race-based preferences are needed to create a diverse student body that facilitates effective learning and social inclusion. Opponents of such policies contend that racial preferences are inherently discriminatory and eliminating them would yield a more able student body. Whereas race-based preferences have garnered the most attention, elite colleges regularly employ other types of preferences, including those for alumni and talented athletes. To inform this important policy debate, we develop a simple model comprised of a rational college administrator that maximizes a linear combination of student body ability and the college endowment through the choice of race, legacy and merit admission shares. We find that relaxing the racial-preferences constraint can produce a ‘less-able’ student body even when the college administrator places greater weight on student body ability than she does on the college endowment. The change in admissions policy may serve only to increase the number of admissions that can be ‘sold’ to wealthy alumni through legacy preferences and thereby foster the growth of weeds in the Ivy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 303-312 Issue: 3 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1197366 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1197366 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:3:p:303-312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bedassa Tadesse Author-X-Name-First: Bedassa Author-X-Name-Last: Tadesse Author-Name: Elias Shukralla Author-X-Name-First: Elias Author-X-Name-Last: Shukralla Author-Name: Bichaka Fayissa Author-X-Name-First: Bichaka Author-X-Name-Last: Fayissa Title: Institutional quality and the effectiveness of aid for trade Abstract: Trade policy barriers and high transaction costs hinder developing countries from taking the full advantages of the global trading system. In order to help developing countries overcome the problem, the World Trade Organization (WTO) launched the Aid for Trade (AFT) initiatives in its Ministerial Conference held in Hong Kong in 2005. We examine the effects of AFT inflows on bilateral trade costs facing 133 developing countries while accounting for differences in their location on the contours of various measures of institutional quality. Our results from the estimation of a mixed effects (random-intercept and random-coefficient) model indicate that institutional quality significantly affects the extent to which AFT reduces bilateral trade costs. An important policy implication of our findings is that an economically robust and sustainable reduction in bilateral trade costs facing developing countries requires the presence of both promulgated and effectively functioning institutions such as regulatory power and the rule of law. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4233-4254 Issue: 39 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1589644 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1589644 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:39:p:4233-4254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Mita Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Mita Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: John Inekwe Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Inekwe Title: Prediction of financial distress for multinational corporations: Panel estimations across countries Abstract: This research predicts ex-ante financial distress and analyses the link between financial distress, performance, employment, `and research and development (R&D) investment in the case of multinational companies (MNCs). The conditional logit and hazard models are employed to predict financial distress, while a conditional mixed process model is employed to obtain consistent and efficient estimates. Financial distress generates contractions in performance, employment, and R&D investment. Hedging against risk mitigates the effect of financial distress on R&D. Our findings vary across countries, for example, we find MNCs in Canada, Israel and the U.S. benefit from hedging against risk. The findings also indicate that ex-ante financial distress is detrimental to employment for Canada, the U.K., the Netherlands and the U.S. The findings indicate the MNCs play different roles across countries in contributing jobs, investment in R&D during the distress period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4255-4269 Issue: 39 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1589646 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1589646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:39:p:4255-4269 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bongseok Choi Author-X-Name-First: Bongseok Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Donghun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Donghun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hong Chong Cho Author-X-Name-First: Hong Chong Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: Price response, information, and asymmetry of price dispersion Abstract: In this study, we examine how differently gasoline prices in 25 regions of Seoul, Korea respond to asymmetric information between retailers and consumers. We estimate the region-specific likelihood that retailers engage in price undercutting under asymmetric information and investigate inter-regional differences. We find that in response to increases in wholesale price, regions with a high likelihood of price undercutting experience intensified gas station price competition while dispersions of price and markups tend to decrease more in response to cost shocks. Understanding the geographical dispersion of retailers’ price responses to information frictions and search intensity is crucial to lowering information barriers across regions and redistributing profit among market participants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4270-4281 Issue: 39 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591600 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591600 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:39:p:4270-4281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiro Hodoshima Author-X-Name-First: Jiro Author-X-Name-Last: Hodoshima Author-Name: Nana Otsuki Author-X-Name-First: Nana Author-X-Name-Last: Otsuki Title: Evaluation by the Aumann and Serrano performance index and Sharpe ratio: Bitcoin performance Abstract: We compare Bitcoin performance based on the Aumann and Serrano performance index and Sharpe ratio assuming that asset returns follow the class of discrete normal mixture distributions. The Aumann and Serrano performance index can take into account higher moments of the underlying distribution of assets and is relevant for risk-averse investors. We evaluate Bitcoin performance based on the Aumann and Serrano index relative to the performance of other assets. Our evaluation shows that Bitcoin is rated highly by the Sharpe ratio but rated very poorly by the Aumann and Serrano index. We also find some stock assets can beat Bitcoin by the Sharpe ratio when an investment horizon is monthly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4282-4298 Issue: 39 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591601 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591601 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:39:p:4282-4298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongkil Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Yongkil Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Title: Distress cost and corporate financing policy: evidence from the equity options market Abstract: This study examines the link between distress cost and corporate financing policy through the lens of the equity options market. Four features stand out. First, the cost of distress is comparable to the tax shield from debt financing. Second, the results provide evidence that ordinary least-squares estimates understate the impact of market leverage on default risk. Third, consistent with the information models of debt maturity, firms with higher default probability use more long-term debt. Finally, more distressed firms rely on secured debt to a greater extent. Overall, the results support the trade-off theory of capital structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4299-4312 Issue: 39 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591602 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591602 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:39:p:4299-4312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rudra P. Pradhan Author-X-Name-First: Rudra P. Author-X-Name-Last: Pradhan Author-Name: Mak B. Arvin Author-X-Name-First: Mak B. Author-X-Name-Last: Arvin Author-Name: Mahendhiran Nair Author-X-Name-First: Mahendhiran Author-X-Name-Last: Nair Author-Name: Sara E. Bennett Author-X-Name-First: Sara E. Author-X-Name-Last: Bennett Title: Inter-linkages between competition and stabilisation policies in the banking sector and stock market development in Europe Abstract: The banking sector and the stock market in Europe have been adversely impacted by a series of global financial crises over the last two decades. Major financial reforms were implemented to enhance the stability and competition within the banking sector. Measures were also implemented to create a vibrant stock market in Europe to stimulate economic growth in Europe. This study examines the interactions between stock market development, banking competition, and banking stability in European countries from 1996 to 2016. The purpose of the study is to understand the inter-linkages between these variables to ascertain the spillover impact of policy reforms in the banking sector on the stock market and vice-versa. Using a vector error-correction model, the study finds long-run and short-run inter-linkages between banking competition, banking stability, and stock market development in European countries. The study’s most robust result is that banking competition and banking stability stimulate stock market development in the long run. There is also some evidence that healthy competition in the banking sector and stock market development instils greater stability in the banking sector. The results suggest that policy measures put in place to create a vibrant stock market must include elevating banking competition and banking stability, with policymakers being cognizant that causality may be bidirectional. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4313-4324 Issue: 39 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591603 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591603 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:39:p:4313-4324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Madhu Sehrawat Author-X-Name-First: Madhu Author-X-Name-Last: Sehrawat Author-Name: Sanjay Kumar Singh Author-X-Name-First: Sanjay Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Human capital and income inequality in India: is there a non-linear and asymmetric relationship? Abstract: The article attempts to provide empirical evidence on the relationship between human capital and income inequality in India in a non-linear and asymmetric framework. To capture both long-run and short-run asymmetries, we have employed the non-linear autoregressive distributed lag approach using the relevant data from 1970 to 2016. Findings of the article suggest that education expansion acts as a major factor in reducing prevailing high income inequality, that is an increase in average years of schooling results in more equal distribution of income. In contrast, high economic growth, inflation and trade openness create unequal distribution of income. The asymmetric causality test results indicate that there is unidirectional causality running from female human capital, economic growth and inflation to income inequality. From a policy perspective, we suggest that education expansion should be used as a powerful tool to mitigate income inequality by emphasizing the quality of education. At the same time, policies geared towards social benefits, inclusive education, training for unskilled workers and price stability should be encouraged to attain fair income distribution in India. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4325-4336 Issue: 39 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1591605 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1591605 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:39:p:4325-4336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anca M. Grecu Author-X-Name-First: Anca M. Author-X-Name-Last: Grecu Author-Name: Ghanshyam Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Ghanshyam Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: The effect of telehealth insurance mandates on health-care utilization and outcomes Abstract: This paper uses panel data techniques to investigate the impact of state mandates to cover telehealth services on private insurance premiums and enrollment, health-care utilization, and health outcomes. There is evidence that telehealth insurance mandates are associated with an increase in primary care, but no significant changes in overall health outcomes. However, there is evidence of a reduction of secondary care and improvement in health outcomes in non-metropolitan areas. The results provide useful information regarding the potential of telehealth to reduce health-care costs as well as to reduce disparities in access to health care and in health outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5972-5985 Issue: 56 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1644448 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1644448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:56:p:5972-5985 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yunwei Gai Author-X-Name-First: Yunwei Author-X-Name-Last: Gai Title: Does state-mandated reporting work? The case of surgical site infection in CABG patients Abstract: This paper is the first empirical study to explore the relationship between the state-mandated reporting of surgical site infections (SSIs) and changes in infection rates, length of stay and costs among coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) patients. This paper uses generalized difference-in-difference (DID) methods to analyze patient discharge data from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) from January 2004 to December 2011 merged with state-level data on mandatory reporting status. After controlling patient and hospital characteristics, and state and year fixed effects, we do not find empirical evidence that state-mandated reporting leads to lower odds of SSIs in CABG procedure. Although it is associated with shorter length of stay and lower costs, the effect is not significant. These results suggest that merely requiring hospitals to report outcomes may not lead to significant changes at least in the case of SSIs among CABG patients. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5986-5998 Issue: 56 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1645282 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1645282 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:56:p:5986-5998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivana Kravčáková Vozárová Author-X-Name-First: Ivana Author-X-Name-Last: Kravčáková Vozárová Author-Name: Rastislav Kotulič Author-X-Name-First: Rastislav Author-X-Name-Last: Kotulič Author-Name: Roman Vavrek Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Vavrek Title: Disparities in the financial performance of agricultural entities according to the legal form: the case of Slovakia Abstract: Financial management in agricultural enterprises is affected by a range of factors that are not present in other sectors. One of the factors that affect the performance of enterprises is the legal or organizational form of the business. In Slovakia, the specific structure of farms is different from that of almost any other member state of the European Union. The aim of this paper is to evaluate the disparities in the financial performance of agricultural enterprises according to the legal form. We analysed and compared two groups of agricultural entities, agricultural cooperatives and business companies, for the period from 2005 to 2014. Based on an analysis of the differences using mathematical and statistical methods, we can conclude that the legal forms are distinguished in all monitored parameters and our hypothesis on the differences in economic performance of agricultural entities according to legal form was confirmed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5999-6008 Issue: 56 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1645285 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1645285 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:56:p:5999-6008 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Gesualdo Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Gesualdo Author-Name: James A. Giesecke Author-X-Name-First: James A. Author-X-Name-Last: Giesecke Author-Name: Nhi H. Tran Author-X-Name-First: Nhi H. Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Author-Name: Francesco Felici Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Felici Title: Building a computable general equilibrium tax model for Italy Abstract: In this paper, we develop a multi-sectoral computable general equilibrium tax model for Italy allowing for a number of fiscal tools. We illustrate the methodology for modelling and accommodating the full range of direct and indirect taxes into the national general equilibrium model. In particular, we build a commodity tax matrix by commodity, source, user and tax type; and a production tax matrix by industry and tax type. We also put a special emphasis on the institutional sector accounts, incorporating a detailed system of equations. Our model provides a powerful tool for acquiring new insights in fiscal policy analysis, through the assessment of tailored tax reforms, which can consist of either changes in tax rates and tax bases for indirect and direct taxes. Finally, to validate the model we perform an equalizing Value-Added-Tax rates reform. We find that a budget-neutral uniform tax rate reform would be GDP and welfare improving. However, results across agents and sectors vary. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6009-6020 Issue: 56 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646875 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646875 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:56:p:6009-6020 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Gender difference in promotions: new evidence from the internal labor market in China Abstract: Gender differences in the labor market have attracted significant attention from economists, who focus on gender differences not only in wages but also in promotions. However, the research on gender differences in promotions within the internal labor market is scant, especially in China. By taking advantage of rare personnel administration data from a large firm in China, this paper explores different aspects of the gender promotion gap, and then further discusses the contribution of several individual and organizational variables in accounting for gender differences in each aspect of promotions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6021-6033 Issue: 56 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646882 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646882 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:56:p:6021-6033 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William J. Crowder Author-X-Name-First: William J. Author-X-Name-Last: Crowder Author-Name: Aaron Smallwood Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Smallwood Title: Volatility in productivity and the impact on unemployment Abstract: Volatility, and the uncertainty it creates, has long been recognized as a factor in economic decision making. Since hiring occurs before shocks to productivity are realized, firms’ investment in new labour is inherently risky. How large a role uncertainty in productivity has on aggregate unemployment is an empirical question that we attempt to answer. In this paper we measure the impact of higher volatility in labour productivity on the unemployment rate in the U.S. economy using a SVAR-GARCH-M model. Using the conditional standard deviation of productivity innovations from a multivariate GARCH model to measure uncertainty, we provide compelling evidence that unemployment increases with volatility. This estimated relative effect is actually larger for positive productivity shocks leading to unemployment declines only 60% as large as would have occurred using models that exclude uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6034-6039 Issue: 56 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1654079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1654079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:56:p:6034-6039 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: María Arrazola Author-X-Name-First: María Author-X-Name-Last: Arrazola Author-Name: José de Hevia Author-X-Name-First: José de Author-X-Name-Last: Hevia Author-Name: José Félix Sanz-Sanz Author-X-Name-First: José Félix Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz-Sanz Title: Assessing tax reforms through the elasticity of reported income: an empirical analysis for Spain Abstract: This paper demonstrates the usefulness of the elasticity of reported income to assess tax reforms from the perspectives of tax revenue and well-being. Employing different identification strategies, evidence is provided of the value of the elasticity of gross reported income in Spain and, based on this elasticity, a detailed assessment is made of the impact of the increase in marginal tax rates which the Spanish government approved in 2012. We use microdata from the Taxpayers Panel of the Institute for Fiscal Studies. The mean value of this elasticity for Spain is 0,363 with considerable heterogeneity depending on taxpayers’ characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6040-6053 Issue: 56 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1654081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1654081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:56:p:6040-6053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lindon J. Robison Author-X-Name-First: Lindon J. Author-X-Name-Last: Robison Author-Name: Trey Malone Author-X-Name-First: Trey Author-X-Name-Last: Malone Author-Name: Jeffrey O. Oliver Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey O. Author-X-Name-Last: Oliver Author-Name: Richard E. Winder Author-X-Name-First: Richard E. Author-X-Name-Last: Winder Author-Name: James W. Ogilvie Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Ogilvie Title: How social capital influences medical choices: a study of colonoscopy decision-making Abstract: While many studies have focused on the aggregate effect of social relationships on economic outcomes, this study identifies how social relationships are likely to motivate individual decision-making as it relates to health care choices. Focusing on surveys collected about colonoscopies, we show that a key determining factor in the decision to undergo the procedure is the relational nature of the patient's health. That is, patients who consider how their health influences other people in their lives are more likely to get a colonoscopy. These results suggest that encouraging patients to consider their social relationships is likely to increase the likelihood that they undergo beneficial procedures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2544-2555 Issue: 24 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1693020 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1693020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:24:p:2544-2555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zigen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zigen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xu Xin Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Xin Author-Name: Kang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Kang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Qingcheng Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Qingcheng Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Title: A location model for the departure port tax rebate policy Abstract: In this paper, a bi-level programming model is established to solve the decision problem of the departure port tax rebate policy (DPTRP). Based on the theory of user equilibrium, the model can optimize the selection of inland port (or domestic trade port) to implement the DPTRP with the goal of maximizing total generalized transportation cost under the constraint of the existing total construction investment. Based on genetic algorithm, a new algorithm is developed to solve the model, and numerical experiments are carried out using north-eastern China as the research object. The results show that the implementation of the DPTRP will reduce the tax refund time and cost of north-eastern China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2556-2568 Issue: 24 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1693021 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1693021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:24:p:2556-2568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin-Hyuk Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jin-Hyuk Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Benjamin Mitra-Kahn Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra-Kahn Title: The unintended consequences of crowdsourcing prior art search Abstract: A pilot programme run by the United States Patent and Trademark Office sought to crowdsource prior art search to help patent examiners examine patent applications in emerging technology areas. By comparing participating patent applications to a control group and using a differential awareness of the programme between domestic and foreign applicants as an instrument, we show that the programme did not have a significant effect on allowance rate, led to more requests for continued examination and boosted forward citations substantially. The programme also increased the patent examiner’s search effort both in terms of the number of search reports filed by the examiners and the number of references added by the examiners after the first office action. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2569-2579 Issue: 24 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1693022 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1693022 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:24:p:2569-2579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Trucíos Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Trucíos Author-Name: Aviral K. Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral K. Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Faisal Alqahtani Author-X-Name-First: Faisal Author-X-Name-Last: Alqahtani Title: Value-at-risk and expected shortfall in cryptocurrencies’ portfolio: a vine copula–based approach Abstract: Risk management is an important and helpful process for investors, hedge funds, traders and market makers. One of its key points is the appropriate estimation of risk measures which can improve the investment decisions and trading strategies. The high volatility of cryptocurrencies turns them a really risky investment and consequently, appropriate risk measures estimation is extremely necessary. In this article, we deal with the estimation of two widely used risk measures such as Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall in a cryptocurrency context. To face the presence of outliers and the correlation between cryptocurrencies, we propose a methodology based on vine copulas and robust volatility models. Our procedure is illustrated in a seven-dimensional equal-weight cryptocurrency portfolio and displays good performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2580-2593 Issue: 24 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1693023 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1693023 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:24:p:2580-2593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tanweer Akram Author-X-Name-First: Tanweer Author-X-Name-Last: Akram Author-Name: Huiqing Li Author-X-Name-First: Huiqing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: An inquiry concerning long-term U.S. interest rates using monthly data Abstract: This paper undertakes an empirical inquiry concerning the determinants of the long-term interest rate on U.S. Treasury securities. It applies the bounds testing procedure to cointegration and error correction models within the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) framework, using monthly data and estimating a wide range of Keynesian models of long-term interest rates. While previous studies have mainly relied on quarterly data, the use of monthly data substantially expands the number of observations. This in turn enables the calibration of a wide range of models to test various hypotheses. The short-term interest rate is the key determinant of the long-term interest rate, while the rate of core inflation and the pace of economic activity also influence the long-term interest rate. A rise in the ratio of the federal fiscal balance (government net lending/borrowing as a share of nominal GDP) lowers the long-term interest rate on Treasury securities. The short- and long-run effects of short-term interest rates, the rate of inflation, the pace of economic activity, and the fiscal balance ratio on the long-term interest rate are estimated. The findings reinforce Keynes’s prescient insights on the determinants of government bond yields. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2594-2621 Issue: 24 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1693696 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1693696 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:24:p:2594-2621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aaron Gilbert Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Gilbert Author-Name: Alireza Tourani-Rad Author-X-Name-First: Alireza Author-X-Name-Last: Tourani-Rad Title: Do penalties matter? The impact of the introduction of financial penalties in the United Kingdom for insider trading Abstract: Insider trading is widely thought to be rampant, resulting in considerable harm to financial markets despite efforts to deter insiders. The main tools to deter insider trading are the sanctions imposed by legislators, of which financial penalties are one type. Civil financial penalties come with a lower burden of proof, which may increase deterrence given the circumstantial nature of insider trading. However, financial penalties have been largely overlooked globally. We test the deterrence of civil financial penalties around the introduction of unlimited financial sanctions for insider trading in the UK in December 2001. We employ three measures of informed trading and two measures of price efficiency for 412 UK listed companies around 12 months either side of the enactment of the financial penalties. We observe evidence that financial penalties have generally increased the deterrence of insiders in the UK market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2622-2635 Issue: 24 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1693697 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1693697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:24:p:2622-2635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth W Clements Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth W Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: Jiawei Si Author-X-Name-First: Jiawei Author-X-Name-Last: Si Author-Name: Eliyathamby A. Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Eliyathamby A. Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: Demand elasticities for 9 goods in 37 countries Abstract: In most OECD countries, consumption absorbs more than three fourths of their country’s GDP. Therefore, the study of their consumption patterns is important. This paper gives up-to-date estimates of income and price elasticities for 9 commodities in each of 37 countries that are members (or affiliates) of the OECD. In addition, the paper presents a detailed analysis of OECD consumption patterns in the form of investigating empirical regularities and testing demand theory hypotheses. Using differential demand equations, we find that the hypothesis of homogeneity hypothesis is supported in all countries; there is some evidence that symmetry is problematic, although we cannot be sure about this; and preference independence (whereby the marginal utility of each good depends only on its consumption) is not rejected in 90% of the countries. The study also finds that income elasticities of rich countries are generally lower than those of poorer countries, and, in general, there is a negative linear relationship between own-price elasticities and income. These elasticities can be used as key inputs in economic policy modelling such as CGE modelling and GST estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2636-2655 Issue: 24 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1693698 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1693698 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:24:p:2636-2655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shruti Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Shruti Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: Heterogeneity of imported intermediate inputs and labour: evidence from India’s input tariff liberalization Abstract: This article explores whether the nature of imports matters when examining the effects of trade on plant-level labour outcomes. Previous literature that examines this question mainly considers imported intermediate inputs as a homogenous group and is unable to reach a consensus on the effects of input tariff liberalization on employment and wages of skilled and unskilled workers. Exploiting detailed product-level information available on intermediate inputs from plant-level data for the Indian manufacturing sector, I distinguish between plants that import mainly for quality considerations as opposed to plants that seek imports as cheaper alternatives to domestic inputs. I find that strong complementarities exist between skilled workers and imported inputs for plants importing high-quality inputs. For plants importing intermediate inputs mainly as a cost-cutting strategy, input tariff liberalization leads to an increase in employment of both skilled and unskilled workers, but a decline in skill composition. This can best be explained as a strategy that achieves economies of scale. On average, as input tariffs liberalize, importing plants employ more workers and pay higher wages than non-importing plants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1171-1187 Issue: 11 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1355541 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1355541 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:11:p:1171-1187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kishore Joseph Author-X-Name-First: Kishore Author-X-Name-Last: Joseph Author-Name: Philip Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Title: Intraday market effects in electronic soybean futures market during non-trading and trading hour announcements Abstract: This article investigates market reactions to major United States Department of Agriculture announcements during non-trading and trading hours in the soybean futures market using microstructure data. Following report release, volume increases and remains elevated for up to 15 to 20 minutes. The volume spikes for the non-trading releases relative to the trading releases, but are identical after the first reaction. Report releases during non-trading hours cause a large spike in volatility at the onset of trading which subsides quickly. In contrast, releases during trading hours result in a smaller volatility spike, which extends for 5–6 min at a higher magnitude. Adjusting volatility by normal trading volatility indicates that volatility in trading hour release is higher in both immediate response and persistence. Return correlations provide little evidence to support systematic under- or overreaction in prices regardless of when the report is released reflecting the efficiency of the market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1188-1202 Issue: 11 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1355542 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1355542 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:11:p:1188-1202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Crowley Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Crowley Author-Name: Philip McCann Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: McCann Title: Firm innovation and productivity in Europe: evidence from innovation-driven and transition-driven economies Abstract: This article examines the links between firm innovation and firm productivity performance across a range of European economies, and in particular, we explore the differences between countries which are in transition from efficiency-driven to innovation-driven with those which are primarily innovation-driven economies. We employ an endogenous-switching technique to explore micro-economic survey-based data from both innovating and noninnovating firms. The model allows us to construct counterfactual scenarios which overcome problems of self-selection in the data. Some of the findings provide support for the traditional patterns previously found in the innovation literature, in which innovation efforts and investments in physical and human capital are found to be important for product and process innovations in manufacturing and service firms and across economy types. Our counterfactual analysis also allows us to outline a rationale for policy intervention towards noninnovating firms as well as innovating firms depending on where the transitional heterogeneity effects are greatest. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1203-1221 Issue: 11 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1355543 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1355543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:11:p:1203-1221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weibo Xing Author-X-Name-First: Weibo Author-X-Name-Last: Xing Author-Name: Qinghua Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Qinghua Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The effects of vertical and horizontal incentives on local tax efforts: evidence from China Abstract: Tax effort is a measure of a government’s effort to collect taxes. This study explores what impacts both vertical and horizontal incentives have on local governments’ tax efforts in China. For consistency with the literature, we first include typical economic and institutional factors in our analysis. We find that the effects of economic factors on local tax efforts are significant, but the effects of institutional factors tend to be weak. Fiscal decentralization, as a vertical incentive, has a significantly positive effect on tax efforts at the provincial level. Meanwhile, fiscal interaction, as a horizontal incentive, is also taken into account in a spatial specification to explain tax competition among local governments. The results show that local tax effort in China also depends on the horizontal incentive. Hence, to improve local tax effort, the central government should let the locals have more autonomy in collecting taxes and evaluate local tax effort by referring to tax collection in adjacent provinces simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1222-1237 Issue: 11 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1355546 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1355546 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:11:p:1222-1237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ho Seoung Na Author-X-Name-First: Ho Seoung Author-X-Name-Last: Na Author-Name: Daeho Lee Author-X-Name-First: Daeho Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Junseok Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Junseok Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Changjun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Changjun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Research on the mutual relations between ISP and ASP efficiency changes for the sustainable growth of the Internet industry Abstract: Innovations in Internet networks and applications are equally important. However, there is controversy in the literature regarding whether it is network or application innovation that leads to the development and innovation of Internet industries. In this study, the mutual relations of Internet service providers’ (ISP) and application service providers’ efficiency changes are analysed empirically using a Granger causality test. Over the entire period of 1998–2011, efficiency changes of web service companies positively Granger-cause those of ISPs and vice versa. In the case of VoIP and streaming services, however, efficiency changes of VoIP and streaming services Granger-cause those of ISPs during the former half period, whereas those of ISPs negatively Granger-cause efficiency changes of streaming services during the latter half. As services that require heavy data traffic and QoS guarantees are launched, a policy that promotes virtuous circulation between ISPs and application service providers (ASPs) is necessary for the development of all Internet-related industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1238-1253 Issue: 11 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1358443 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1358443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:11:p:1238-1253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Sébastien Pentecote Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Sébastien Author-X-Name-Last: Pentecote Author-Name: Fabien Rondeau Author-X-Name-First: Fabien Author-X-Name-Last: Rondeau Title: Withstanding financial crises: would trade partners help or hurt? Abstract: This article provides new empirical evidence on the losses of real activity caused by various financial shocks. Spillover effects due to foreign trade linkages deserve special attention. To this end, we estimate a modify auto-regressive process and a Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations estimator is used to account for the dependency of one’s country growth on its trade-weighted partners growth. We run estimations on a set of currency collapses, banking crises and sovereign defaults in 49 advanced and developing countries from 1978 to 2011. The trade-weighted foreign demand effect mitigated the economic downturn following a banking or a sovereign debt crisis in all countries, while only the advanced ones benefited from it after a currency collapse. Trade-based spillover effects make banking crises more costly in the developing countries, in those that liberalize their financial account. It contrasts with what is observed during currency or sovereign debt crises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1254-1267 Issue: 11 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1358444 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1358444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:11:p:1254-1267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luuk Elkhuizen Author-X-Name-First: Luuk Author-X-Name-Last: Elkhuizen Author-Name: Niels Hermes Author-X-Name-First: Niels Author-X-Name-Last: Hermes Author-Name: Jan Jacobs Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobs Author-Name: Aljar Meesters Author-X-Name-First: Aljar Author-X-Name-Last: Meesters Title: Financial development, financial liberalization and social capital Abstract: The relationship between financial liberalization policies and financial development is controversial. The impact of these policies differs greatly across countries. In the literature, the quality of formal institutions has been identified as an important source of this heterogeneity, as countries with a weak institutional environment generally fail to benefit from financial liberalization. Using panel data covering 82 countries for the period 1973–2008, we find evidence that social capital may substitute for formal institutions as a prerequisite for effective financial liberalization policies. In particular, we find that during the post Washington-consensus period countries with a high prevailing level of social capital can ensure that financial liberalization positively influences financial development, despite the poor quality of their formal institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1268-1288 Issue: 11 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1358446 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1358446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:11:p:1268-1288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barbara Pertold-Gebicka Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Pertold-Gebicka Title: Parental leave length and mothers’ careers: what can be inferred from occupational allocation? Abstract: This paper shows that the time spent on parental leave affects mothers’ careers several years after childbirth. It also shows that policy-relevant conclusions can be drawn from occupational allocation data even in the absence of individual wage or earnings information. I take advantage of a legislative reform that changed the duration of parental benefit payments effective in the Czech Republic in 2008. Introducing the possibility of the flexible timing of benefit collection over the period of 2–4 years, as opposed to the only option of 4 years before, the reform significantly increased the share of mothers returning to work before their youngest child turns four. This further translates to increased representation of employed mothers in high-skilled occupations and increases the average occupation wage of the affected mothers 6 to 8 years after childbirth. These findings indicate that shorter leaves are beneficial for mothers’ careers, at least in the medium run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 879-904 Issue: 9 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646870 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:9:p:879-904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo Cerda Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Cerda Author-Name: Rodrigo Fuentes Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Fuentes Author-Name: Gonzalo García Author-X-Name-First: Gonzalo Author-X-Name-Last: García Author-Name: José I. Llodrá Author-X-Name-First: José I. Author-X-Name-Last: Llodrá Title: Understanding domestic savings: an empirical approach Abstract: There are two unusual and important features in the evolution of the savings rate in Chile. First, the economy increased the average savings rate by 11 percentage points in the period 1985–2013 compared to 1960–1984, mainly due to a large change in private savings rate (10 percentage points), and an additional 1 percentage point from the public sector. The second feature is related to the change in the composition of private savings. After several years of nearly no corporate savings, this component became an important part of total savings reaching an average of almost 10% of Gross National Disposable Income (GNDI) during the period 1986–2012. Our results show that the 1984 tax reform, the boost in the marginal productivity of capital and the deepening of the financial market were the main drivers that explain the dramatic increase in corporate savings. We also found that the reduction in personal income tax after the tax reform and the higher income per capita growth helped to explain the increase in household savings, while the structural balance rule helped to explain the increase in public savings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 905-928 Issue: 9 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646871 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:9:p:905-928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nirosha Hewa Wellalage Author-X-Name-First: Nirosha Hewa Author-X-Name-Last: Wellalage Author-Name: Stuart Locke Author-X-Name-First: Stuart Author-X-Name-Last: Locke Title: Remittance and financial inclusion in refugee migrants: inverse probability of treatment weighting using the propensity score Abstract: This paper investigates the impact on remittances on financial inclusion of refugee migrants. While financial inclusion is gaining traction in the humanitarian and development literature, the linkage with the potential to improve the wellbeing of refugees, who are part of an upward spiral in numbers, has not been tackled. We examine World Bank survey data of 1041 Syrian refugees, using the inverse probability of treatment weighting propensity score analysis (IPTW). The method minimises the influence of outliers and addresses unobservable and missing data biases, which can plague survey based data. We observe that common indicators of financial inclusion when applied to refugees, given their limited access to formal financial services, may introduce a bias as the informal financial sector and excluded formal financial sector services do contribute to inclusiveness. We adopt a broader protocol for our data, measuring financial inclusion through six metrics stemming from G20 proposals. Overall, there is an opportunity to deepen financial inclusion for refugees who receive or send remittances. The possibility of expanding the financial inclusion options, and for this to percolate through to greater social inclusion, proffers practical commercial steps and policy enabling actions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 929-950 Issue: 9 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646876 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646876 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:9:p:929-950 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qiao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: A nonparametric analysis of insufficient wage incentives in the Chinese health industry Abstract: This study provides empirical results on the insufficient wage incentives in the Chinese health industry, which may result in the poor productivity of high-ability medical personnel. We first propose a signaling game by capturing the progressive wage incentive in this industry. Then, we show that the model primitives are nonparametrically identified and estimable using recently developed methodologies related to measurement errors. Adopting a dataset from the China Household Income Project, we provide empirical evidence of the negative influence of insufficient wage incentives on the productivity of high-ability workers, especially those in higher job positions. As the number of high-ability workers in higher job positions is high, it is important to improve wage incentives in the Chinese health industry, especially for workers in higher job positions, to promote the productivity of high-ability medical workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 951-969 Issue: 9 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646877 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646877 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:9:p:951-969 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric W. Chan Author-X-Name-First: Eric W. Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Title: Preschool for all? Enrollment and maternal labour supply implications of a bilingual preschool policy Abstract: Previous research supports the effectiveness of preschool in various contexts, yet there is limited evidence whether universal-type preschool policies induce changes in enrollment. While certain states have enacted universal preschool policies, some have also considered bilingual preschool mandates, either as a supplementary or stand-alone policy, requiring schools to open up bilingual classrooms for children from non-English speaking families. The question of whether bilingual preschool policies can induce enrollment and close achievement gaps between English learners and English speakers is particularly important today for urban cities and states with large immigrant populations. In this study, I exploit exogenous variation from the first bilingual prekindergarten mandate in Illinois to estimate the causal effects on preschool enrollment and maternal labour supply of recently immigrated and Hispanic families. Utilizing a difference-in-differences strategy, estimates suggest significant effects on preschool enrollment between 18% and 20% and no effects of increasing maternal labour supply in Illinois. Estimates are robust to various specifications, control groups, and timeframes. I use the analysis to further discuss whether universal preschool policies are designed sufficiently for access and inclusion of various student types, and contribute to our understanding on the effectiveness of using childcare subsidies to increase the welfare of low-income families. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 970-986 Issue: 9 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646881 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646881 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:9:p:970-986 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristian Barra Author-X-Name-First: Cristian Author-X-Name-Last: Barra Author-Name: Nazzareno Ruggiero Author-X-Name-First: Nazzareno Author-X-Name-Last: Ruggiero Author-Name: Roberto Zotti Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Zotti Title: Short- and long-term relation between economic development and government spending: the role of quality of institutions Abstract: This paper tests the Wagner’s assumption of the one-sided directional flow moving from economic growth to public spending considering an international database over the 1996–2012 period. By using indicators on the level of country control of corruption, government effectiveness, political stability, rule of law, regulatory quality and voice and accountability, the paper analyses the economic performance-public spending nexus controlling for the quality of the institutions. The empirical evidence supports the existence of the Wagner’s law, showing that, in the short-run, public spending positively reacts to a positive shock in national income, with a lower magnitude for democratic countries. In the long run, the error-correction model shows the convergence between public spending and national output occurring less quickly for non-democratic, low-income and to a smaller extent for non-OECD countries. Institutional quality, such as effort in controlling corruption and the presence of regulations that permit and promote private sector development, may help reducing the amount of per capita public spending and making it more productive. Higher expenses in compositional amenities such as public services for the elderly may explain why public spending per capita will increase the most in economies with a higher share of the population that need healthcare facilities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 987-1009 Issue: 9 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:9:p:987-1009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kassoum Ayouba Author-X-Name-First: Kassoum Author-X-Name-Last: Ayouba Author-Name: Julie Le Gallo Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Le Gallo Author-Name: Andrés Vallone Author-X-Name-First: Andrés Author-X-Name-Last: Vallone Title: Beyond GDP: an analysis of the socio-economic diversity of European regions Abstract: This paper aims to analyze the socioeconomic diversity of the European Union (EU-28) regions from a dynamic perspective. For that purpose, we combine a series of exploratory space-time analysis approaches to multiple Factor Analysis (MFA) applied to a large range of indicators collected at the NUTS-2 level for the period 2000–2015 for the EU-28. First, we find that the first factor of MFA, interpreted as economic development (ECO-DEV), is spatially clustered and that a moderate convergence process is at work between European regions from 2000 to 2015. Second, when comparing these results with those obtained for Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, we show that the convergence pattern detected with GDP per capita is more pronounced: ECO-DEV adjusts slower over time compared to GDP per capita. Third, pictures provided by the remaining interesting factors, capturing educational attainment, population dynamics and employment, are very different. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1010-1029 Issue: 9 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646885 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646885 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:9:p:1010-1029 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ioanna Konstantakopoulou Author-X-Name-First: Ioanna Author-X-Name-Last: Konstantakopoulou Title: The effects of government expenditure on imports in the Eurozone reconsidered: evidence from panel data Abstract: This study examines the impact of government expenditure on imports. The empirical analysis is based on annual data of the euro area countries for the period 1995–2015. We employ econometric methods that mitigate heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence. We provide empirical indications that the components of expenditure have different impact on imports demand. The findings of this study indicate that the import context of government expenditure is lower than the import context of others expenditure components. Finally, we find that an increase in government expenditure leads to an increase in imports; this implies that, ceteris paribus that it can lead to a deterioration of the trade balance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3231-3239 Issue: 30 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1418081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1418081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:30:p:3231-3239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Deutscher Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Deutscher Author-Name: Bernd Frick Author-X-Name-First: Bernd Author-X-Name-Last: Frick Author-Name: Marius Ötting Author-X-Name-First: Marius Author-X-Name-Last: Ötting Title: Betting market inefficiencies are short-lived in German professional football Abstract: In this article, we argue that potential inefficiencies on betting markets are more likely to exist at the very beginning of a season, when the available information on the teams’ playing strength is difficult to evaluate. This lack of reliable information should be particularly large in the case of recently promoted teams that have typically undergone major changes in the composition of their roster following their promotion. Without any information on the latter teams’ potential performance, they are particularly difficult to evaluate, which may eventually lead to inefficiencies and positive returns on investment in the betting market. We analyse odds from German first division Bundesliga soccer for the seasons from 2002/03 to 2015/16 to find betting market inefficiencies at the start of the season. As expected, betting on recently promoted team wins generates temporarily positive returns, especially for away games. These results suggest bookmakers to underestimate promoted teams’ ability to familiarize with the conditions in the new league, such as having to play in front of larger, often hostile crowds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3240-3246 Issue: 30 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1418082 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1418082 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:30:p:3240-3246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Rougieux Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Rougieux Author-Name: Olivier Damette Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Damette Title: Reassessing forest products demand functions in Europe using a panel cointegration approach Abstract: In a panel of European countries, we analyse paper products, sawnwood and wood panels consumption data. With this object, we use a classical demand model where national consumption depends on real GDP and real prices. In contrast to previous panel estimations in the literature, we highlight non-stationarity time series which can lead to spurious regressions. We explicitly take into account the issue by using recent panel cointegration techniques. Cointegration is present for printing paper and fibreboard, though less clear cut for other products. Then we estimate demand elasticities and find that GDP elasticities are significantly lower than estimates from the literature. Finally, we simulate the implications of modified demand elasticities by using a partial equilibrium model of the forest sector. For most products, changes in elasticities would lead to lower projected demand and lower prices over a 20-year time horizon. Lower demand for solid wood and wood fibre would lead to less tensions with fuel wood- and wood-based chemical markets. In a context of rising interest for renewable bio-based products, updated long-term demand models contribute to the analysis of the forest sector’s sustainability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3247-3270 Issue: 30 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420887 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1420887 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:30:p:3247-3270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin Young Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jin Young Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The upward trend in women’s college-going: the role of teenagers’ anticipated future labour force attachment Abstract: This article focuses on the role of teenagers’ anticipated labour force participation in explaining the upward trend in U.S. women’s college-going. A simple conceptual model implies that individuals with more anticipated lifetime hours of work are more likely to invest in college education. My analysis using data from three National Longitudinal Surveys supports the theoretical implication. This finding, combined with the trend towards higher work expectations of young women across birth cohorts, may account in part for the upward trends in women’s college attendance and completion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3271-3284 Issue: 30 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420888 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1420888 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:30:p:3271-3284 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qian Long Kweh Author-X-Name-First: Qian Long Author-X-Name-Last: Kweh Author-Name: Wen-Min Lu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Mohammad Nourani Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Nourani Author-Name: Mohd Hisyam Ghazali @ Mohd Zain Author-X-Name-First: Mohd Hisyam Author-X-Name-Last: Ghazali @ Mohd Zain Title: Risk management and dynamic network performance: an illustration using a dual banking system Abstract: This study applies dynamic network data envelopment analysis to compare a dual banking system, namely conventional and Islamic banks, with emphasis on risk measures. Non-oriented, variable return-to-scale dynamic network slacks-based measure is used to model the banking performance for the period 2008–2012. Under the consideration of risk measures, the findings highlight that Islamic banks excel in managerial efficiency while conventional banks surpass in profitability efficiency. Furthermore, the regression results find that the number of directors on the risk management committee has a positive impact on banking performance. Meanwhile, the high number of independent directors improves the profitability efficiency but worsens the managerial efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3285-3299 Issue: 30 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420889 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1420889 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:30:p:3285-3299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian-Xin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jian-Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Ling-Yun He Author-X-Name-First: Ling-Yun Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Urban–rural gap and poverty traps in China: A prefecture level analysis Abstract: Urban–rural gap and regional inequality are long-standing problems in China and result in considerable number of studies. This article examines the dynamic behaviours of incomes for both urban and rural areas with a prefectural data set. The analysis is conducted by using a distribution dynamics approach, which have advantages in examination on persistence, polarization and convergence clubs. The results show that persistence and immobility are the dominant characteristics in the income distribution dynamics. The prefectural urban and rural areas converge into their own steady states differentiated in income levels. This pattern of urban–rural gap also exists in three regional groups, namely the eastern, central and western regions. Examination on the dynamics of the poorest areas shows that geographical poverty traps exist in both urban and rural prefectural areas. Our results indicate that more policy interventions are required to narrow down the urban–rural gap and to eliminate the poverty traps in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3300-3314 Issue: 30 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420890 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1420890 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:30:p:3300-3314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheng Yao Author-X-Name-First: Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Shiyi Li Author-X-Name-First: Shiyi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Soft or hard information? A trade-off selection of environmental disclosures by way of peer imitation and geographical distance Abstract: With the public pressure  increasing, increasingly more number of studies explore how managers respond to outer pressures by using the environmental disclosure tool. However, previous studies ignore systematic research on the condition, duplicity and consequences of environmental disclosures. This article studies how geographical distance and peer imitation influence managers’ selection of soft and hard environmental disclosures and their economic consequences based on cost-benefit trade-off models and empirical data. The results indicate that when public pressure increases sharply, geographical distance has a negative influence on hard environmental disclosures, and peer imitation has a positive influence on soft environmental disclosures. Under the joint effect  of two factors, managers tend to disclose soft environmental information more than hard environmental information, which cannot only mitigate potential risks but also ensure good economic consequences. To restrict managers’ opportunistic disclosure behaviour and improve the disclosing level and quality of environmental information, detailed standard norms and heavy punishment measures should be established, and regulating departments should regulate the disclosure behaviour of distanced firms and check the redundancy of soft environmental information to ensure whether the same information is repeatedly disclosed in the annual reports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3315-3330 Issue: 30 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1420891 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1420891 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:30:p:3315-3330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Ben Hassine Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Hassine Author-Name: F. Boudier Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Boudier Author-Name: C. Mathieu Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Mathieu Title: The two ways of FDI R&D spillovers: evidence from the French manufacturing industry Abstract: Using French firm-level panel data, this study investigates R&D spillovers from inward foreign direct investment (FDI) with respect to both horizontal and vertical linkages (backward and forward). Using a Crepon, Duguet and Mairesse (CDM) model, we estimate an R&D-augmented Cobb–Douglas production function to assess the impact of R&D spillovers on firm performance. The results emphasize that international spillovers (from foreign affiliates to local firms) have a greater effect on firm performance than reverse spillovers (from local firms to foreign affiliates) and are more likely to be backward than forward. Moreover, the effect of backward spillovers depends on a firm’s absorptive capacity and is amplified in the case of outsourcing relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2395-2408 Issue: 25 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1240345 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1240345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:25:p:2395-2408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Arreola Hernandez Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Arreola Hernandez Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Author-Name: Duc Khuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc Khuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Mazin A. M. Al Janabi Author-X-Name-First: Mazin A. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Al Janabi Author-Name: Juan Carlos Reboredo Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Reboredo Title: Global financial crisis and dependence risk analysis of sector portfolios: a vine copula approach Abstract: We use regular vine (r-vine), canonical vine (c-vine) and drawable vine (d-vine) copulas to examine the dependence risk characteristics of three 20-stock portfolios from the retail, manufacturing and gold-mining equity sectors of the Australian market in periods before, during and after the 2008–2009 global financial crisis (GFC). Our results indicate that the retail portfolio is less risky than the manufacturing counterpart in the crisis period, while the gold-mining portfolio is less risky than both the retail and manufacturing sector portfolios. Both the retail and gold stocks display a higher propensity to yield positively skewed returns in the crisis periods, contrary to the manufacturing stocks. The r-vine is found to best capture the multivariate dependence structure of the stocks in the retail and gold-mining portfolios, while the d-vine does it for the manufacturing stock portfolio. These findings could be used to develop dependence risk- and investment risk-adjusted strategies for investment, rebalancing and hedging which more adequately account for the downside risk in various market conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2409-2427 Issue: 25 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1240346 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1240346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:25:p:2409-2427 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bi-Huei Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Bi-Huei Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Title: Predicting the competitive relationships of industrial production between Taiwan and China using Lotka–Volterra model Abstract: This work is the first to apply Lotka–Volterra model combined with genetic algorithm (GA) to predict the production relationships of high-tech industry among different areas. Previous studies analysed the trade interdependency among various countries, but few studies have highlighted the quantitative evidence of production relationships. Thus, this study utilizes motherboard shipment volumes to predict the competitive relationships of industrial production on both sides of the Taiwan Strait. Specifically, this work uses simultaneous non-linear least square regression in combination with GAs for numerical parameter optimization of the proposed Lotka–Volterra model. The results of parameter estimation reveal that shipment growth in China substantially promotes that in Taiwan, whereas the shipment growth in Taiwan curtails that in China. The standard deviation of the estimated parameters from the 3000 iterated simulations is small, confirming the reliability and stability of our parameter estimations. According to equilibrium analysis, the results of Lyapunov function prove that the shipments of China and Taiwan will reach a stable long-term equilibrium. The potential production from China will ultimately be nearly 16 times as large as that from Taiwan. Finally, the analytical results of forecast accuracy confirm that Lotka–Volterra model performs better than conventional S-curve diffusion model in predicting motherboard shipments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2428-2442 Issue: 25 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1240347 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1240347 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:25:p:2428-2442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei-Kang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Kang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Wen-Min Lu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Qian Long Kweh Author-X-Name-First: Qian Long Author-X-Name-Last: Kweh Author-Name: Yu-Li Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Li Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Decentralized and concentrated investments in China and the performance of Taiwanese listed electronic companies Abstract: Ever since China surpassed Taiwan to become the largest exporter of electronic products, dependence between the two sides has deepened, which prompts Taiwanese companies to go public in China. This study conducted the data envelopment analysis (DEA) and regression analysis to analyse the impacts of the depth and breadth of investments in China on the performance of Taiwanese listed electronic companies. The empirical results show that, the breath of the investments in China has a positive correlation with the performance of Taiwanese companies; while the depth of investments in China has a negative and significant effect on the performances due to the companies’ lack of know-how, which leads to a high-learning cost. In summary, companies should strategize their decentralized and concentrated investments in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2443-2455 Issue: 25 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1240348 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1240348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:25:p:2443-2455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Walid Mensi Author-X-Name-First: Walid Author-X-Name-Last: Mensi Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Author-Name: Ahmet Sensoy Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Author-X-Name-Last: Sensoy Author-Name: Seong-Min Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Analysing dynamic linkages and hedging strategies between Islamic and conventional sector equity indexes Abstract: This study analyses the dynamic spillovers across 10 Dow Jones Islamic and conventional sector index pairs. Using various multivariate GARCH models, the results show significant time-varying conditional correlations for all the pairs. Moreover, there is evidence that the conditional correlations for all the sector pairs, except those of the Telecommunication and Utilities sectors, increase after the onset of the global financial crisis (GFC), suggesting non-subsiding risks, contagion effects and gradual greater financial linkages. The Islamic sectors’ risk exposure can be effectively hedged over time in diversified portfolios containing conventional sector stocks. These results provide several practical implications for portfolio managers and policymakers in regard to optimal asset allocations, portfolio risk management and the diversification benefits among these markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2456-2479 Issue: 25 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1240349 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1240349 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:25:p:2456-2479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shahriar Kibriya Author-X-Name-First: Shahriar Author-X-Name-Last: Kibriya Author-Name: Zhicheng Phil Xu Author-X-Name-First: Zhicheng Phil Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Yu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The negative consequences of school bullying on academic performance and mitigation through female teacher participation: evidence from Ghana Abstract: Exploiting data from Ghanaian schools’ eighth grade students collected in 2011, we estimate the causal effects of school bullying on academic achievement and gender-based mitigating approaches by using propensity score matching (PSM) and doubly robust (DR) estimator approach. We find that students victimized by bullying score at least 0.22 standard deviation lower than their peers in a standardized mathematics examination. Meanwhile, we document that the effect of bullying is significantly attenuated in the presence of female teachers in the classroom. These results hold through a set of robustness checks including placebo regressions and matching quality test. We explain the results through gender difference in teaching paradigm and conclude that a feminine management approach in class is required to reduce the effect of bullying. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2480-2490 Issue: 25 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1240350 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1240350 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:25:p:2480-2490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huiming Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Huiming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Xianfang Su Author-X-Name-First: Xianfang Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Wanhai You Author-X-Name-First: Wanhai Author-X-Name-Last: You Author-Name: Yinghua Ren Author-X-Name-First: Yinghua Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Title: Asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on stock returns: evidence from a two-stage Markov regime-switching approach Abstract: The asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on stock returns have attracted the attention of many researchers in the past several decades. Most of these researchers’ studies, however, do not separate out the sources of oil price shocks when examining the asymmetric effects. In this article, we address this limitation using a two-stage Markov regime-switching approach. Our results indicate that oil supply and demand shocks have a null or minimal impact on stock returns in a low-volatility regime and a statistically significant impact in a high-volatility regime. We observe that oil demand shocks affect stock returns significantly more than oil supply shocks. A positive aggregate demand shock significantly increases stock returns, whereas a positive oil-specific demand shock markedly decreases stock returns. These results have important implications for policymakers and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2491-2507 Issue: 25 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1240351 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1240351 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:25:p:2491-2507 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iljoong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Iljoong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jaewook Byeon Author-X-Name-First: Jaewook Author-X-Name-Last: Byeon Author-Name: Dongwon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Dongwon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Violent crime and female victimization: evidence from metropolitan regions in South Korea Abstract: In the economics of crime literature, victimization by crime has received less attention than the supply side of crime. This article investigates the relationship between violent crime and female victimization. We show that violent crime increases with both the overall female exposure and female proportion in the victim-target group. Potential interactions between these female characteristics and income inequality are also shown to influence the incidence of violent crime. Empirically, we introduce proxies for female characteristics that better reflect our hypotheses – for example, young unmarried female-headed households (for exposure to crime) and new job gains among females (for economic status). Using a panel of South Korean metropolitan regions, 2000–2011, we find that a certain limited change in these female characteristics could account for as much as 16% of violent crime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4601-4616 Issue: 46 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1287860 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1287860 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:46:p:4601-4616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marie-Laure Breuillé Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Laure Author-X-Name-Last: Breuillé Author-Name: Julie Le Gallo Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Le Gallo Title: Spatial fiscal interactions among French municipalities within inter-municipal groups Abstract: Based on a unique data set of French municipalities and a large number of budgetary variables, we estimate the extent of spatial fiscal interaction among the 33,484 French municipalities in 2008 by accounting for inter-municipal cooperation. Using a spatial autoregressive model with inter-municipal group fixed effects, we show that spatial interactions among French municipalities are inflated by correlated effects that affect similarly municipalities that cooperate together. Removing these confounding effects leads to considerably smaller positive spatial interactions for tax decisions and even negative ones for capital expenditures. In addition, we observe a clear distinction between complementary choices on current budget items and substitutable choices on capital budget items. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4617-4637 Issue: 46 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1287861 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1287861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:46:p:4617-4637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lila J. Truett Author-X-Name-First: Lila J. Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Author-Name: Dale B. Truett Author-X-Name-First: Dale B. Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Title: Cost relationships and globalization in the Australian clothing industry Abstract: Australia developed a substantial clothing industry with protectionist international trade policies, including prohibitively high tariffs, quotas, and subsidies. The industry became an important source of jobs, with over 6.5 per cent of total manufacturing employment at the close of the 1960s. As Australia has moved towards freer trade, employment in clothing production has fallen substantially. The question of whether the clothing industry can remain viable in its new environment became an important issue. Here, we examine two crucial economic considerations relating to that question: economies of scale and relations (substitute/complementary) between the various inputs, both domestic and outsourced foreign. The findings strongly indicate the presence of economies of scale and that the industry has reduced its unit costs over the period of study. The results also suggest that most of the inputs are substitutes for one another, although only the estimated cross price elasticities between capital and labour are highly statistically significant in both models utilized in the study. To be successful in the future, the Australian clothing industry will likely need to find market niches where it can offer superior products and/or service as well as further reduce its unit costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4638-4656 Issue: 46 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1287864 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1287864 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:46:p:4638-4656 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Borghesi Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Borghesi Title: Pay for play: the financial value of NCAA football players Abstract: We explore the financial value of National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) football recruits and establish a wage schedule based on the star ratings assigned to high school athletes by an independent talent evaluation agency. Evidence suggests that the contribution of higher-ranking recruits to team wins significantly increases revenues. While the NCAA currently prohibits universities from paying student-athletes, we estimate that if amateurism rules were rescinded and college football players were compensated according to their revenue-generating abilities then five-, four-, three-, and low-star players would be entitled to annual salaries of $799,000, $361,000, $29,000, and $21,000, respectively, in addition to athletic scholarships covering tuition, books, and room and board. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4657-4667 Issue: 46 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1287865 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1287865 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:46:p:4657-4667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Tatchawan Kanitpong Author-X-Name-First: Tatchawan Author-X-Name-Last: Kanitpong Title: Do exchange rate changes have symmetric or asymmetric effects on the trade balances of Asian countries? Abstract: Recently the linear ARDL approach was modified and a non-linear version of the same approach that is used mostly to assess asymmetric effects of some exogenous variables on the dependent variable was introduced. The non-linear model was recently used by one study to show that indeed exchange rate changes have asymmetric effects on the trade balance of a few advanced countries. The same was demonstrated for transition economies by another study. In this article, we provide additional asymmetric effects from seven Asian economies by showing that in most cases we find evidence of short-run and long-run asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes on the trade balance. Like other studies, our findings are country specific. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4668-4678 Issue: 46 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1287867 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1287867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:46:p:4668-4678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leo de Haan Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: de Haan Author-Name: Jan Willem van den End Author-X-Name-First: Jan Willem Author-X-Name-Last: van den End Author-Name: Philip Vermeulen Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Vermeulen Title: Lenders on the storm of wholesale funding shocks: saved by the central bank? Abstract: We provide empirical evidence on banks’ responses to shocks in the wholesale funding market, using data of 181 euro area banks over the period from August 2007 to June 2013. Responses to funding liquidity shocks for both banks’ lending volumes and loan rates, to households and corporates, are analysed in a panel VAR framework. We thereby distinguish banks by country, extent of Eurosystem borrowing, bank size and capitalization. The results show that shocks in the securities and interbank markets have significant effects on loan rates and credit supply, particularly of banks in stressed countries of the periphery. The results also suggest that central bank liquidity has mitigated this effect on lending volumes. Lending to nonfinancial corporations is more sensitive to wholesale funding shocks than lending to households. Lending volumes of large banks that are typically more dependent on wholesale funding and banks with large exposure to sovereign bonds show stronger responses to wholesale funding shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4679-4703 Issue: 46 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1287868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1287868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:46:p:4679-4703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vasiliki Chatzikonstanti Author-X-Name-First: Vasiliki Author-X-Name-Last: Chatzikonstanti Title: Breaks and outliers when modelling the volatility of the U.S. stock market Abstract: This study analyses volatility persistence of the U.S. stock market, after taking into account the role of breaks and outliers. By employing a wavelet-based algorithm, it identifies several outliers which are comfortably associated with major events such as the ‘Black Monday’ and the Asian crisis. There is also evidence of clustering of breaks and a substantial variation in the properties of the identified segments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4704-4717 Issue: 46 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1293785 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1293785 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:46:p:4704-4717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Beaumais Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Beaumais Author-Name: Sauveur Giannoni Author-X-Name-First: Sauveur Author-X-Name-Last: Giannoni Title: Insiders vs. outsiders in the hotel sector Abstract: We investigate whether entering an official hotel classification system is as lucrative as suggested in the tourism management literature. Indeed, in countries in which the official hotel classification system is voluntary, a substantial fraction of hotels choose not to enter the system, and are outsiders. Considering that being classified (being insider) as a predictor of the rate structure may raise an endogeneity issue, we apply the recursive semi-ordered probit model to control for endogeneity and appropriately assess the effect of being classified on price rates. Using a sample of 357 hotels of Corsica, we show that, in contrast to previous research, classification does not provide any rate premium. We also fully derive conditional probabilities and partial effects on differences in conditional probabilities within the recursive semi-ordered probit model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5698-5711 Issue: 53 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488061 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:53:p:5698-5711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Balcilar Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Balcilar Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Duc Khuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc Khuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: Causal effects of the United States and Japan on Pacific-Rim stock markets: nonparametric quantile causality approach Abstract: This article adopts a nonparametric quantile causality approach to examine the causal effects of the U.S. and Japan stock markets on the stock markets of the Pacific-Rim region. This approach allows us to detect not only nonlinear causalities in conditional return (mean) and conditional volatility (variance) but also the asymmetries of causalities under extreme market conditions (bullish vs. bearish states). Our results provide significant evidence of causality in return and volatility at different points of the conditional distributions of returns, with the greater effects from the U.S. than from Japan. Asymmetric quantile causality patterns are particularly pronounced in the case of Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5712-5727 Issue: 53 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488062 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488062 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:53:p:5712-5727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jens-Peter Loy Author-X-Name-First: Jens-Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Loy Author-Name: Carsten Steinhagen Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Steinhagen Author-Name: Christoph Weiss Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Weiss Author-Name: Birgit Koch Author-X-Name-First: Birgit Author-X-Name-Last: Koch Title: Price transmission and local market power: empirical evidence from the Austrian gasoline market Abstract: We analyse the impact of local market power on price margins and different dimensions of price adjustment dynamics (speed and asymmetry of price transmission) using data for a large number of individual gasoline stations in Austria. Specific attention is paid to threshold effects in price adjustment. Our results clearly suggest that the speed of price transmission between the Brent crude oil index and retail diesel prices is higher in a more competitive environment. While evidence on the relationship between local market power and asymmetries in the speed of price adjustment is mixed, our findings regarding asymmetries in price thresholds are clear: in regions where competition from neighbouring rivals is weak and/or consumers’ price elasticity of demand is low (stations located on the highway), positive thresholds significantly exceed negative ones, which corresponds to the ‘rockets and feathers phenomenon’. As expected, we observe that prices are lower in more competitive local markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5728-5746 Issue: 53 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488063 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488063 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:53:p:5728-5746 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David C. Vitt Author-X-Name-First: David C. Author-X-Name-Last: Vitt Author-Name: Alexander F. McQuoid Author-X-Name-First: Alexander F. Author-X-Name-Last: McQuoid Author-Name: Charles Moore Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Author-Name: Stephen Sawyer Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Sawyer Title: Trigger warning: the causal impact of gun ownership on suicide Abstract: With a growing debate over tighter firearm regulations, we consider an important social consequence of increased firearm access: increased firearm suicides. Using data from the federal criminal background check system, we consider the impact of firearm ownership on firearm suicide rates. To deal with concerns of identification, we instrument for firearm background checks with state-year-level Google search intensity for phrases that reflect fear of future gun shortages and learning about the constitutional rights of firearm owners. We find that an increase in firearm ownership has a sizable and statistically significant impact on firearm suicide rates. A 10% increase in firearm ownership increases firearm suicide rates by approximately 3%, which is five times larger than non-instrumented estimates. Furthermore, we find no effect of gun ownership on non-firearm suicide rates, suggesting our findings are not simply capturing a suicide method substitution effect. The results are consistent with a variety of validity and robustness tests. Our results make clear the link between firearm ownership and firearm suicide rates, which have increased dramatically over the last decade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5747-5765 Issue: 53 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488064 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488064 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:53:p:5747-5765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M.A. Véganzonès-Varoudakis Author-X-Name-First: M.A. Author-X-Name-Last: Véganzonès-Varoudakis Author-Name: H. T. M. Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: H. T. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Investment climate, outward orientation and manufacturing firm productivity: new empirical evidence Abstract: Drawing on the World Bank Enterprise Surveys, we revisit the link between firm-level investment climate and productive performance for a panel of enterprises surveyed twice in time in 70 developing countries and 11 manufacturing industries. We take advantage of the time dimension available for an increasing number of countries to tackle the endogeneity issue stressed in previous studies. We also use pertinent econometric techniques to address other biases inherent in the data (e.g.measurement errors, missing observations and multicollinearity). Our results reinforce previous findings by validating, with a larger than usual sample of countries and industries, the importance of a larger set of environment variables. We show that infrastructure quality, information & communication technologies, skills and experience of the labour force, cost of and access to financing, security and political stability, competition and government relation contribute to firms’ and countries’ performances gap. The empirical analysis also illustrates that firms which choose an outward orientation have higher productivity level. Nevertheless, outward oriented enterprises are more sensitive to investment climate limitations. These findings have important policy implications by showing which dimensions of the business environment, in which industry, could help manufacturing firms to be more competitive in the present context of increasing globalization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5766-5794 Issue: 53 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:53:p:5766-5794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Cipollini Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Cipollini Author-Name: Fabio Parla Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Parla Title: Credit demand and supply shocks in Italy during the Great Recession Abstract: In this article, we use Structural VAR analysis to disentangle credit demand and supply shocks and their effect on real economic activity in Italy during the 2008 to 2014 crisis period. The three endogenous variables considered are the loan interest rate, the loans growth rate and the employment to population ratio. The data are observed at annual frequency for each of 103 Italian provinces. The empirical evidence suggests that the variance of the shocks varies across four Italian macro-regions: North, Centre, South and Islands, and hece heteroscedasticity is used to identify (ex ante) the structural shocks. Sign restrictions are used to interpret shocks ex post. The empirical findings suggest a prominent role of credit supply shock in shaping real activity dynamics and also that credit crunch hits the North of Italy less than the remaining macro-regions, especially the South of Italy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5795-5813 Issue: 53 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:53:p:5795-5813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Berangere Legendre Author-X-Name-First: Berangere Author-X-Name-Last: Legendre Author-Name: Annaig-C. Pedrant Author-X-Name-First: Annaig-C. Author-X-Name-Last: Pedrant Author-Name: Mareva Sabatier Author-X-Name-First: Mareva Author-X-Name-Last: Sabatier Title: Should I stay or should I go? An econometric analysis of retirement decisions by couples Abstract: This article analyses retirement decisions from a household perspective, treating the retirement timing of spouses as potentially interdependent choices. To identify the determinants of retirement decisions by couples and the effects of spousal retirement, this research estimates bivariate probit models in a multi-country setting. The results show a significant joint retirement trend: both men and women are more likely to retire if their spouse already has retired. Strong asymmetric behaviours arise by gender though, with high crosscountry heterogeneity, reflecting institutional differences in both pension and public health systems. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5814-5829 Issue: 53 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:53:p:5814-5829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaofen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xiaofen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Globalization and household saving: is there a link? Abstract: This article proposes that globalization can affect household saving in the long run in a number of ways. Social interactions between different cultures can induce value changes, which can result in shifts in consumption and saving behaviour. International trade allows consumers to have easier access to status goods, stimulating consumption and dampening saving. Extending from Veblen’s conspicuous consumption theory, saving may also decrease when globalization leads to greater population mobility and fosters urbanization, thus enhancing the importance of consumption as a way to display wealth. In addition, financial globalization reduces credit constraints and allows households to save less. Using cross-country data from the United Nations (UN), the OECD, and other sources, this article finds evidence that household saving declines as globalization deepens, especially in the social and cultural dimensions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2797-2816 Issue: 29 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1248355 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1248355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:29:p:2797-2816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Adrian (Wai-Kong) Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Adrian (Wai-Kong) Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Title: Quantile serial dependence in crude oil markets: evidence from improved quantilogram analysis with quantile wild bootstrapping Abstract: We examine the quantile serial dependence in crude oil prices based on the Linton and Whang’s quantile-based portmanteau test which we improved by means of quantile wild bootstrapping (QWB). Through Monte Carlo simulation, we find that the quantile wild bootstrap-based portmanteau test performs better than the bound testing procedure suggested by Linton and Whang. We apply the improved test to examine the efficiency of two crude oil markets – WTI and Brent. We also examine if the dependence is stable via rolling sample tests. Our results show that both WTI and Brent are serially dependent in all, except the median quantiles. These findings suggest that it may be misleading to examine the efficiency of crude oil markets in terms of mean (or median) returns only. These crude oil markets are relatively more serially dependent in non-median ranges. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2817-2828 Issue: 29 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1248356 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1248356 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:29:p:2817-2828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sascha L. Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Sascha L. Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Author-Name: Benno Torgler Author-X-Name-First: Benno Author-X-Name-Last: Torgler Author-Name: Verena Jung Author-X-Name-First: Verena Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Perceived trade-off between education and sports career: evidence from professional football Abstract: To explore the attitudes towards risky career choices of young people in highly competitive environments, we surveyed almost 1000 football players in the youth academies of German professional clubs (Bundesliga), who must generally decide early in their careers whether or not to risk quitting school to focus solely on a professional football career. Based on the survey responses, we empirically analysed which factors influence these youths’ tendencies to choose a high-risk career option over a lower risk one. Our results seem to indicate that such risk taking in competitive environments can be explained by potential benefits expected from this decision, as well as judgments about the likelihood of achieving the desired career. Risk attitudes towards career choices vary by differences in individuals’ estimates of the potential benefits and in particular, in their own assessments of the likelihood of success, which is an important driver of risk acceptance. We also found that opportunity cost considerations influence risk acceptance: the better the low-risk option, the less willing the individual to give it up for a high-risk alternative. In addition, both national origin and level of cultural integration play a role in attitudes towards risky career choices, with reductions in the latter increasing the risk premium of quitting school. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2829-2850 Issue: 29 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1248357 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1248357 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:29:p:2829-2850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Grigorian Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Grigorian Author-Name: Vlad Manole Author-X-Name-First: Vlad Author-X-Name-Last: Manole Title: Sovereign risk and deposit dynamics: evidence from Europe Abstract: The unprecedented expansion of sovereign balance sheets since the beginning of the global crisis has given a new meaning to the term sovereign risk. Developments in Europe since early 2010 revealed new challenges for the functioning of private banks in an environment of heightened sovereign risk and may have contributed to deleveraging. The article uses an innovative way of measuring the perception of sovereign risk and its impact. Using an extension of a common market discipline framework, it shows that exposure to sovereign risk may have limited the ability of banks in Europe to collect deposits. Potential identification issues between deposits and bank efficiency are controlled by using data envelopment analysis (DEA). The results are robust to inclusion of conventional measures of bank performance and the sector-wide holdings of foreign sovereign debt. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2851-2860 Issue: 29 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1248358 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1248358 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:29:p:2851-2860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Genevieve Knight Author-X-Name-First: Genevieve Author-X-Name-Last: Knight Author-Name: Michael White Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: White Title: Training and employee mobility in the British private and public sectors Abstract: The realization of the value of training for employees can take time as the training contributes dynamically to an extended development process. This research examines the empirical returns to training in three post-training situations: when the employee remains in the same job and with the same employer; when the employee transfers to a different job but remains with the same employer (internal mobility); and when the employee moves to a different employer (external mobility). Panel data and fixed effects (FE) methodology are used to quantify the joint effects of in-job training and mobility, while minimizing the potentially biasing effect of unobserved ability. In a period when public sector employment in Britain was contracting sharply, the short-term returns to training are nonetheless greater in the public sector, while the medium-term returns for both public sector and private sector employees depend on remaining within sector. The general/specific training mix, institutional influences, adverse selection, and the concept of ‘transferable’ training, all contribute to interpretation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2861-2874 Issue: 29 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1248359 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1248359 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:29:p:2861-2874 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Sakellariou Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Sakellariou Title: Private or public school advantage? Evidence from 40 countries using PISA 2012-Mathematics Abstract: It is known that in most countries, private school students outperform students in public schools in international assessments. However, the empirical literature recognizes that assessing the true effect of private school attendance requires addressing selection and sorting issues on both observabland unobservables. The existing empirical evidence on the private school effect mostly covers OECD and Latin American countries, with little evidence on other parts of the world. There is recent emerging country-specific evidence doubting the existence of a private school advantage. I use PISA 2012 data for Mathematics and two different methodologies to derive baseline and bias-corrected estimates of the private-dependent and independent school effect for 40 countries. A robust private school advantage is found only in a handful of countries. Public schools generally perform as well as private subsidized schools and outperform independent schools. Accounting for both peer effects and selection is necessary when evaluating school effectiveness, especially in the case of independent schools. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2875-2892 Issue: 29 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1248361 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1248361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:29:p:2875-2892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Confidence and the transmission of macroeconomic uncertainty in U.S. recessions Abstract: This article studies the role of confidence in the transmission of uncertainty shocks during U.S. recessions. I use smooth-transition vector-autoregression (ST-VAR) to examine the regime-dependent effect of uncertainty shocks, and a counterfactual decomposition to isolate the role of confidence when the economy is in different regimes, recessions and non-recessions. I find that shutting down the confidence channel leads to greatly dampened and less persistent effects of uncertainty shocks, especially during recessions. I also find that the cross-regime difference in the role of confidence can largely explain the cross-regime short-run difference in the effects of uncertainty shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2893-2909 Issue: 29 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1251554 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1251554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:29:p:2893-2909 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erika Raquel Badillo Author-X-Name-First: Erika Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Badillo Author-Name: Rosina Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Rosina Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno Title: What drives the choice of the type of partner in R&D cooperation? Evidence for Spanish manufactures and services Abstract: We analyse the heterogeneity in firms’ decisions to engage in R&D cooperation, taking into account the type of partner (competitors, suppliers or customers, and research institutions) and the sector to which the firm belongs (manufactures or services). We use information from the Technological Innovation Panel (PITEC) for Spanish firms and estimate multivariate probit models corrected for endogeneity which explicitly consider the interrelations between the different R&D cooperation strategies. We find that placing a higher importance to publicly available information (incoming spillovers), receiving public funding and firm size increase the probability of cooperation with all kind of partners but the role is much stronger in the case of cooperative agreements with research institutions and universities. Our results also suggest that R&D intensity and the importance attributed to the lack of qualified personnel as a factor hampering innovation are key factors influencing positively R&D cooperation activities in the service sector but not in manufactures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5023-5044 Issue: 52 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1170932 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1170932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:52:p:5023-5044 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lawrence Brunner Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence Author-X-Name-Last: Brunner Author-Name: Joseph Pate Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Pate Title: Promoting entry of high-quality workers through US immigration policy Abstract: We examine how US immigrants would be affected by applying a simple point system for admission, as Canada does. Since US immigration policy emphasizes family reunification, immigrants have lower education and earnings than natives, with unauthorized immigrants’ education below legal ones. Using American Community Survey data, and Center for Migration Studies data, which allows us to distinguish legal from unauthorized immigrants, we examine the effects of requiring immigrants to meet 2 of 3 conditions: (1) a high school or college degree, (2) being less than 40 years old and (3) working in a professional occupation, while admitting the same numbers of immigrants. This policy changes the source countries of immigrants and there are large positive effects on immigrant earnings. Immigrants’ use of government transfer programs is reduced to below natives and income inequality falls. Finally, with existing policy, immigrant earnings growth is not enough to overtake natives given immigrants’ entering earnings disadvantage. With this point system, immigrants start at a higher level and surpass natives relatively quickly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5045-5059 Issue: 52 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1170933 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1170933 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:52:p:5045-5059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felisitas Defung Author-X-Name-First: Felisitas Author-X-Name-Last: Defung Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Author-Name: Harry Bloch Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Bloch Title: Has regulatory reform had any impact on bank efficiency in Indonesia? A two-stage analysis Abstract: More than a decade following the severe economic crisis 1997, Indonesia has undergone major regulatory changes in its banking industry. This article examines the impact of these regulatory changes on the relative technical efficiency (TE) of the Indonesian banking industry employing data envelopment analysis (DEA) and censored Tobit regression model. Additionally, the bootstrap approach of Simar and Wilson is employed to provide statistical properties to the DEA efficiency score. The findings show that the industry on average is inefficient over the period of analysis. Also, state-owned and foreign-owned banks are found to be more efficient than any other group of banks. Finally, the impact of regulatory reforms is generally positive and statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5060-5074 Issue: 52 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1170934 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1170934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:52:p:5060-5074 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yigit Atilgan Author-X-Name-First: Yigit Author-X-Name-Last: Atilgan Author-Name: K. Ozgur Demirtas Author-X-Name-First: K. Ozgur Author-X-Name-Last: Demirtas Author-Name: A. Doruk Gunaydin Author-X-Name-First: A. Doruk Author-X-Name-Last: Gunaydin Title: Liquidity and equity returns in Borsa Istanbul Abstract: We investigate the relationship between expected returns and liquidity measures in Borsa Istanbul. To do so, we gather a wide range of illiquidity measures that can be applied to the market. Firm-level cross-sectional regressions indicate that there is a positive relationship between various illiquidity measures and one- to six-month ahead stock returns. Findings of the article are robust after using different sample periods and controlling for well-known priced factors, such as market beta, size, book-to-market ratio and momentum. The portfolio analysis reveals that stocks that are in the highest illiquidity quintile earn 7.2%–19.2% higher risk-adjusted annual returns than those in the lowest illiquidity quintile. The illiquidity premium is stronger for small stocks and stocks with higher return volatility and it increases (decreases) during periods of extremely low (high) market returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5075-5092 Issue: 52 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1170935 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1170935 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:52:p:5075-5092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandra Cavaco Author-X-Name-First: Sandra Author-X-Name-Last: Cavaco Author-Name: Edouard Challe Author-X-Name-First: Edouard Author-X-Name-Last: Challe Author-Name: Patricia Crifo Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Crifo Author-Name: Antoine Rebérioux Author-X-Name-First: Antoine Author-X-Name-Last: Rebérioux Author-Name: Gwenaël Roudaut Author-X-Name-First: Gwenaël Author-X-Name-Last: Roudaut Title: Board independence and operating performance: analysis on (French) company and individual data Abstract: This article studies the relationship between board independence and firm operating performance in French listed companies. We take advantage of an original database, with a time-series dimension that can be used to mitigate heterogeneity and dynamic endogeneity issues. In addition, this database can be disaggregated at the individual (director) level. This design enables us to introduce firm fixed effects and individual fixed effects in firm performance equations, thereby controlling for heterogeneity at the firm and individual levels. Our main result is to document a significant negative relationship between independence and accounting performance. This result suggests that, in the French context, the costs of independence (i.e. the informational gap supported by independent directors compared to insiders and affiliated directors) outweigh the benefits of independence (i.e. the reduction in agency costs). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5093-5105 Issue: 52 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1170936 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1170936 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:52:p:5093-5105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chyan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chyan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Tung-Pao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Tung-Pao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Productivity comparison of European airlines: bootstrapping Malmquist indices Abstract: The study explored the operating efficiency and variability of productivity estimates of European airlines. We applied Malmquist productivity indices (MPI) with a bootstrap method to assess the productivities of European airlines in four regions in Europe. The productivity of small-sized airlines lagged further behind that of large-sized airlines because of their inferior technological change (TC) effects derived from inefficient resource allocation to sustain a competitive advantage. This study also indicated that the Western European airlines were more efficient on average than those in other areas of Europe. The applications of Malmquist productivity techniques in assessing the performance of European airlines are highlighted in their effective resource allocation, sustained competitive advantage and optimized operating performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5106-5116 Issue: 52 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1170937 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1170937 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:52:p:5106-5116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Srinidhi Kanuri Author-X-Name-First: Srinidhi Author-X-Name-Last: Kanuri Author-Name: Robert W. McLeod Author-X-Name-First: Robert W. Author-X-Name-Last: McLeod Title: Sustainable competitive advantage and stock performance: the case for wide moat stocks Abstract: ‘In business, I look for economic castles protected by unbreachable “Moats”’. Warren Buffett Companies that have sustainable competitive advantages should be able to create a barrier (Moat) to prevent or lessen competition from other firms. The wider the Moat the greater the barrier and the more secure the company’s profitability. Using the Morningstar classification of ‘Wide Moat’ stocks, we construct annually rebalanced equal- and value-weighted portfolios to analyse their performance in order to determine if they deliver superior performance relative to standard benchmark portfolios. The period for our analysis extends from June 2002 through May 2014. We find that the ‘Wide Moat’ portfolios outperform both the S&P 500 and Russell 3000 indices generating higher average monthly and annualized returns, Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, Treynor Ratio, Omega Ratio, Upside Potential Ratio, M2, M2 Alpha, and cumulative returns. When we compute alpha using Carhart four-factor and Fama–French five-factor models, we find that ‘Wide Moat’ portfolios had significantly positive risk-adjusted alphas with both the models. ‘Wide Moat’ portfolios also lost less value during the 2007–2009 financial crisis compared to both S&P 500 and Russell 3000. In conclusion, we find that ‘Wide Moat’ stocks have created significant value for their investors over the course of our study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5117-5127 Issue: 52 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1170938 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1170938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:52:p:5117-5127 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tullio Gregori Author-X-Name-First: Tullio Author-X-Name-Last: Gregori Author-Name: Marco Giansoldati Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Giansoldati Title: Import demand in heterogeneous panel data with cross-sectional dependence Abstract: We investigate the long-run income and price elasticity of import demand functions with a heterogeneous unbalanced panel of 34 countries over the period 1985:q1-2018:q3. To estimate world elasticities the model is tested with the activity variables derived from the theoretical and empirical literature: GDP, GDP minus exports, Private Demand, Aggregate Domestic Demand, National Cash Flow, and Import intensity-Adjusted Demand (IAD). First, we evaluate time series properties using second generation panel unit root and cointegration tests. Second, we rely on the dynamic common correlated effects mean groups (CCEMG) estimator to deal with cross-sectional dependence (CSD). We find that the IAD, whose world elasticity is close to one, is the best performing specification. Our results confirm that the most appropriate activity variable to assess import demand should encompass intermediate goods as suggested by the recent literature on global supply chains. Moreover, we partially solve the puzzle of the recent trade slowdown since, taking stock of the role of intermediates, the time needed to resort to the long run equilibrium in the aftermath of a global turmoil is greater than that predicted by previous studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 443-458 Issue: 5 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1645944 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1645944 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:5:p:443-458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis A. Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Marinko Skare Author-X-Name-First: Marinko Author-X-Name-Last: Skare Author-Name: Sanja Blazevic Buric Author-X-Name-First: Sanja Blazevic Author-X-Name-Last: Buric Title: Testing Okun’s law. Theoretical and empirical considerations using fractional integration Abstract: Full employment remains at the center of any economic policy. Following Okun’s conclusion regarding the trade-off relation between unemployment and real gross national product growth, new studies on different aspects of variable and methodological issues have brought new light to the theory. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the unemployment/GDP relationship, i.e. Okun’s Law, in order to test the basic Okun’s assumption taking into account modern economic circumstances and new methodological specifications. This study analyzes the series for 24 selected countries using fractionally integrated methods. Using these techniques, the results substantially change across countries and also depending on the specification of the error term. Unemployment and output growth rates series show some degree of long memory behavior for most countries while the stability of Okun’s coefficient is also challenged since it changes drastically. Estimated gaps are quite high, not only for −0.30 standard coefficient values but also when compared with other studies’ results. Policy makers can be assisted with these techniques in their efforts to design optimal economic policy to achieve full employment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 459-474 Issue: 5 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646407 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646407 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:5:p:459-474 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Fink Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Fink Title: German income taxation and the timing of marriage Abstract: I investigate how the German income tax code affects the timing of marriages. The German income tax code allows married couples to benefit from full income splitting relative to unmarried couples. If their individual incomes differ, legally married couples may benefit from jointly filing their income taxes and thus fully splitting their incomes because of increasing marginal tax rates. The gain from joint taxation for married couples arises every year including the year in which they marry, independent of the month of the marriage. I use data from the German Socio-Economic Panel to test whether couples with larger gains from joint taxation are more likely to marry late in one year instead of early in the subsequent year. The results provide support for the hypothesis that pecuniary gains from joint taxation incentivize couples to prepone their marriages to the last quarter of a year, especially to December. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 475-489 Issue: 5 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646873 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646873 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:5:p:475-489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rui Guo Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Wei Sun Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Jianqiu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jianqiu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Gang Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Gang Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Title: Why do retired workers claim their social security benefits so early? A potential explanation based on the cumulative prospect theory Abstract: Social Security provides longevity insurance for older Americans. According to expected utility theory models, rational households who are not liquidity constrained should delay claiming their Social Security benefits to insure consumption in late life. However, data shows that most retired workers claim soon after becoming eligible. This paper explains the early claiming behaviors using the cumulative prospect theory. We show that when making claiming decisions, individuals consider benefit gains and losses from delaying claiming relative to claiming immediately. Fear of receiving less lifetime benefits in the event of early death induces them to claim immediately. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 490-505 Issue: 5 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646874 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646874 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:5:p:490-505 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sefa Awaworyi Churchill Author-X-Name-First: Sefa Author-X-Name-Last: Awaworyi Churchill Author-Name: Yeti Nisha Madhoo Author-X-Name-First: Yeti Nisha Author-X-Name-Last: Madhoo Author-Name: Shyam Nath Author-X-Name-First: Shyam Author-X-Name-Last: Nath Title: Ethnic diversity and human capital development in India: A disaggregated analysis at the state and district levels Abstract: This study contributes to the development literature by providing a new perspective on understanding factors that influence human capital development in India. We examine the effects of ethnic, linguistic and religious diversity on various measures of human capital at the state and district levels. Based on indices of ethnic diversity calculated for 30 Indian States and 557 districts, we examine the direct effects of ethnic diversity on indicators such as infant mortality, education and health. Our findings suggest that, on average, ethnic diversity contributes to some elements of development. Specifically, we find evidence to support development-enhancing effects of diversity on education and health. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 506-518 Issue: 5 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646880 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646880 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:5:p:506-518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Demetris Christodoulou Author-X-Name-First: Demetris Author-X-Name-Last: Christodoulou Author-Name: Doron Samuell Author-X-Name-First: Doron Author-X-Name-Last: Samuell Title: The adviser effect on insurance disclosures Abstract: An examination of personal and medical disclosures made by retail customers to a commercial life insurer reveals that customers screened for insurance with the assistance of a financial adviser considerably under-disclose by comparison to when screened by the insurer. The pattern of under-disclosure is consistent across all areas. We also find that adviser-screened customers are far more likely to be offered standard terms especially for smokers, whereas insurer-screened customers are more likely to be offered modified terms or be declined insurance. We argue that the adviser, who receives a commission when a contract is accepted, may be motivated to influence disclosures in order to increase the chance of an accepted contract in affordable terms and therefore maximize own returns. By doing so, the adviser exposes the customer to legal remedies whereby the insurance company may cancel the contract or refuse a claim. Our results support the findings of various enquiries that call for an end to commission-based sales. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 519-527 Issue: 5 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1646883 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1646883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:5:p:519-527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oğuzhan Çepni Author-X-Name-First: Oğuzhan Author-X-Name-Last: Çepni Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: The role of real estate uncertainty in predicting US home sales growth: evidence from a quantiles-based Bayesian model averaging approach Abstract: This paper investigates the role of real estate-specific uncertainty in predicting the conditional distribution of US home sales growth over the monthly period of 1970:07 to 2017:12, based on Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) to account for model uncertainty. After controlling for standard predictors of home sales (housing price, mortgage rate, personal disposable income, unemployment rate, building permits, and housing starts), and macroeconomic and financial uncertainties, our results from the quantile BMA (QBMA) model show that real estate uncertainty has predictive content for the lower and upper quantiles of the conditional distribution of home sales growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 528-536 Issue: 5 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1654082 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1654082 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:5:p:528-536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uwe Jirjahn Author-X-Name-First: Uwe Author-X-Name-Last: Jirjahn Title: The adoption and termination of profit sharing for employees: does management’s attitude play a role? Abstract: Examinations on the determinants of profit sharing usually focus on objective firm characteristics. Using data from manufacturing firms in Germany, this study shows that managers’ subjective attitudes towards profit sharing also play an important role in the adoption and termination of this payment scheme. Positive management attitudes are associated with an increased likelihood of adopting profit sharing. While to some extent this entails failed experimentation, positive managerial attitudes also substantially contribute to a sustained use of profit sharing. The pattern of results holds even when controlling for a variety of objective firm characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 108-127 Issue: 2 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1311001 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1311001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:2:p:108-127 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yau Man Ze-To Samuel Author-X-Name-First: Yau Man Ze-To Author-X-Name-Last: Samuel Title: Option implied beta and option return Abstract: We study the information content of option-implied betas for future equity option returns, using data on the S&P 500 index options and all of the component stock options. We find a significantly strong relation between option-implied betas and option returns cross-sectional. The paper presents evidence that call (put) option returns increase (decrease) with the option-implied betas of the underlying stock. A trading strategy of buying high (low) implied beta call (put) option portfolio and selling low (high) implied beta call (put) option portfolio generates a statistically and economically significant return. Our results are robustly persistent even after controlling for various cross-sectional effects and are not explained by the risk factors in asset pricing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 128-142 Issue: 2 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1313958 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1313958 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:2:p:128-142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thibault Brodaty Author-X-Name-First: Thibault Author-X-Name-Last: Brodaty Title: Is the ladder sticky? Measuring semi-parametrically state dependence in earnings mobility Abstract: Employing the U.S. data for the 1990’s, we disentangle state dependence from unobserved heterogeneity in earnings mobility. The fixed effects dynamic multinomial logit utilized to model earnings quintiles dynamics fits the data very well, much more so than the autocorrelated dynamic ordered probit. Unordered models should thus be preferred to study earnings mobility. State dependence is found to be significant. It has a protective (anti-fall) effect at the top of the distribution and a detrimental (anti-rise) effect at the bottom. Consequently, the difficulty of climbing the ladder is not exclusively a question of individual characteristics. Public policies could thus be implemented to improve information about individuals’ ability and job offers, and to design more efficient wage-setting institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 143-156 Issue: 2 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1316478 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1316478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:2:p:143-156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed M. Elnahas Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed M. Author-X-Name-Last: Elnahas Author-Name: Pankaj K. Jain Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj K. Author-X-Name-Last: Jain Author-Name: Thomas H. McInish Author-X-Name-First: Thomas H. Author-X-Name-Last: McInish Title: Exploring the manipulation toolkit: the failure of Doral Financial Corporation Abstract: The 2015 bankruptcy of Doral Financial Corporation, once ‘the best’ U.S. bank according to U.S. Banker, is the largest since April 2010. The bankruptcy concludes years of management manipulation and efforts to recover. SEC investigation revealed fraud related to Doral’s valuation of interest only strips (IOs). We show that Doral management’s misconduct also includes reckless hiring, over investing, insiders trading, and opportunistic stock splits. Investigating the full range of Doral management’s misconduct reveals new tactics that managers use to pool with good firms and aids our understanding of the economic impact of managerial misconduct. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 157-171 Issue: 2 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1319563 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1319563 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:2:p:157-171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven P. Clark Author-X-Name-First: Steven P. Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Author-Name: T. Daniel Coggin Author-X-Name-First: T. Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Coggin Title: A study of fractionally integrated time series using descriptive methods Abstract: We demonstrate the use of some descriptive methods for nonstationary time series to better understand the sample path behaviours of fractionally integrated processes for a range of different fractional orders of integration. We are particularly interested in better understanding the behaviours of $$I(d)$$I(d) series when $$d \in [1/2,1)$$d∈[1/2,1) . In fact, we will point out that there is considerable disagreement in the literature when it comes to describing such processes, and we show that descriptive methods can be useful tools for better understanding their sample path properties. We also present an empirical example to compare conclusions from some of the descriptive methods and inference from two state-of-the-art estimators for fractional orders of integration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 172-186 Issue: 2 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1321839 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1321839 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:2:p:172-186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oliviero A. Carboni Author-X-Name-First: Oliviero A. Author-X-Name-Last: Carboni Author-Name: Giuseppe Medda Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Medda Title: R&D, export and investment decision: evidence from European firms Abstract: This article provides an empirical investigation of the mechanism through which R&D influences export and tangible investment decisions. The analysis is based on a large representative and cross-country comparative sample of manufacturing firms across seven European countries. The novelty of this work lies in the three aspects. First, we expand the results on the R&D–export and R&D–investment relationships to a wide sample of cross-European firms. This differentiates from previous works based on single-country samples. Second, to the best of our knowledge, this study is the first in years which assess empirically the relationship between R&D and tangible investment at the micro level. Third, we control for endogeneity of R&D and simultaneity in firms’ decision whether to export and carry out tangible investment. The results of the analysis suggest that R&D positively affects export propensity and tangible investment. The results also reveal that neglecting endogeneity and simultaneity issues leads to underestimate the effect of R&D to both export and investment propensities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 187-201 Issue: 2 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1332747 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1332747 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:2:p:187-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julien Jacqmin Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Jacqmin Title: The role of market-oriented institutions in the deployment of renewable energies: evidences from Europe Abstract: Focusing on European countries, this article investigates the link between market-oriented institutions, as measured by the Economic Freedom Index, and the production of energy from renewable sources. A dynamic panel approach shows that this correlation is positive and significant while the subcomponents of the Economic Freedom Index reveal that not all market-oriented institutions have a similar impact. Indeed, long-term price stability and freedom to trade boost the reliance on renewable energies whereas the importance given to markets rather than governments has no significant impact. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 202-215 Issue: 2 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1332749 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1332749 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:2:p:202-215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dina Tasneem Author-X-Name-First: Dina Author-X-Name-Last: Tasneem Author-Name: Jim Engle-Warnick Author-X-Name-First: Jim Author-X-Name-Last: Engle-Warnick Author-Name: Hassan Benchekroun Author-X-Name-First: Hassan Author-X-Name-Last: Benchekroun Title: Sustainable management of renewable resources: an experimental investigation in continuous time Abstract: This study addresses one of the most basic questions in renewable resource management: the ability of economic agents to exploit a renewable resource in an efficient and sustainable manner. In a laboratory experiment, subjects are presented with renewable resource extraction problems, where optimal management will lead to a stable steady state. A test of sustainability of the extraction practices shows that extraction behaviour results in steady states only 56% of the time. The mode of the steady state distribution coincides with the optimal steady state extraction. The trade-off between accruing a higher payoff in the present and sustaining the resource for future exploitation leads to suboptimal behaviours such as initial overextraction of the resource compared to the optimal extraction policy, costly downward adjustment of the extraction later in time, and settling down for lower long-run resource and extraction. The suboptimal behaviours lead to 17% loss in efficiency on average in terms of the accumulated payoff. We further look at extraction behaviour in terms of the degree of impatience it projects and find, based on their extraction decisions, that most of our subjects seem more impatient in managing their resource than is justified by the decision-making problem presented to them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3804-3833 Issue: 35 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584370 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:35:p:3804-3833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Noor Ulain Rizvi Author-X-Name-First: Noor Ulain Author-X-Name-Last: Rizvi Author-Name: Smita Kashiramka Author-X-Name-First: Smita Author-X-Name-Last: Kashiramka Author-Name: Shveta Singh Author-X-Name-First: Shveta Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: Sushil Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Sushil Title: A hierarchical model of the determinants of non-performing assets in banks: an ISM and MICMAC approach Abstract: The banking systems of emerging economies in general and India in particular are facing sustained impairment due to mounting non-performing assets (NPAs). In the absence of stringent policies and their implementation, the results will be detrimental and may eventually lead to an economic crisis. Thus, it is imperative to unearth the causal factors and mitigate the risks involved with rising NPAs. The study attempts to identify the determinants of NPAs from the existing literature and subsequently, explore the interlinkages between the identified factors. A model of these factors is developed using Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM) and MICMAC approach. Key managerial insights were obtained by the suggested model, specific to the Indian context. The hierarchical model provides a clearer perspective about the relationship between the factors and suggests that economic conditions and political factors are the key drivers which impact the ownership pattern and adherence to the regulatory framework; these further impact the internal factors related to the banks and borrowers’ capacity to repay. The study will act as a scaffolding for policymakers and bankers. Based on these findings, better instruments and mechanisms for recovery/management of NPAs can be put in place. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3834-3854 Issue: 35 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584377 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584377 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:35:p:3834-3854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yimiao Gu Author-X-Name-First: Yimiao Author-X-Name-Last: Gu Author-Name: Zhenxi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zhenxi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Donald Lien Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Title: Baltic Dry Index and iron ore spot market: dynamics and interactions Abstract: Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is often included in the iron ore spot price. Iron ore market experienced a transition in pricing mechanism from the annual negotiated price to the one based on spot market price in 2008/2009. This paper investigates the dynamics of and the interactions between BDI and iron ore spot price in the regime of the new pricing mechanism. In addition to controlled variables, we find significant spillover interactions between BDI and the iron ore market. We also detect mean-reversion movement in the iron ore market, signalling certain inefficiency in the market pricing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3855-3863 Issue: 35 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584384 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584384 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:35:p:3855-3863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lifang Hu Author-X-Name-First: Lifang Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Rigoberto A. Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Rigoberto A. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Yinchu Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Yinchu Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Title: The impact of credit constraints on the performance of Chinese agricultural wholesalers Abstract: This article evaluates the impact of credit constraints on the performance of Chinese agricultural wholesalers. We estimate a stochastic frontier function using transaction and credit data of agricultural wholesalers from across China to estimate the efficiency and productivity impacts of credit constraints on sales of affected agricultural wholesalers. Empirical results show that micro- and smaller wholesalers are disproportionally impacted by credit constraints and that eliminating these constraints would increase the sales of affected agricultural wholesalers by approximately 15%. Thus, policies aimed at providing credit access for these wholesalers would significantly boost the performance of smaller agricultural wholesalers while improving the overall performance of the Chinese food supply chain without requiring additional non-credit inputs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3864-3875 Issue: 35 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584385 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584385 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:35:p:3864-3875 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Bunduchi Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Bunduchi Author-Name: Valentina Vasile Author-X-Name-First: Valentina Author-X-Name-Last: Vasile Author-Name: Calin-Adrian Comes Author-X-Name-First: Calin-Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Comes Author-Name: Daniel Stefan Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Stefan Title: Macroeconomic determinants of remittances: evidence from Romania Abstract: Given the globalization of the labour market and the promotion of free movement for work, young people are looking for employment opportunities from at least two perspectives – professional careers and socio-economic benefits from employment. In developing countries, such as Romania, the labour market is less attractive, which has led to profound, numerical and structural imbalances, due to external mobility for work. Both new generations of graduates and young people aged up to 40 years, decide to work abroad as a more beneficial individual solution, i.e. remittances. The purpose of this paper is to examine the macroeconomic determinants of remittances to Romania, in order to substantiate public policies on diaspora, to adjust employment policy on the national labour market by promoting incentives to create decent, youth-friendly jobs. Using panel data model we selected several variables with potential influence on remittances level. The results demonstrate that traditional influence’s factors as distance, migration routes diaspora concentration or unemployment rate are, at present, less important than wage gap or tax rate at least for developing origin countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3876-3889 Issue: 35 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584386 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584386 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:35:p:3876-3889 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chen-Yu Li Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: An-Chi Lai Author-X-Name-First: An-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Zhan-Ao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhan-Ao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yi-Chung Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: The preliminary effectiveness of bilateral trade in China’s belt and road initiatives: a structural break approach Abstract: This study aims to investigate the initial effectiveness of the international trade in the Belt and Road Initiatives (BRI), which encompasses 64 countries along the Belt and Road as part of China’s political and economic network for the years beginning with 2013. To determine the initial effectiveness in the international trade associated with the BRI, we adopt the traditional augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test and the one-time structural breakpoint in the bilateral trade data between China and these 64 countries along the Belt and Road from 2010 to 2017. The results show that, for 46 (72%) countries, the trade flows with unit roots and the shocks of trade flows appear to occur more frequently following the announcements of the initiatives among these countries. As for the remaining countries, the trade flows exhibit stationary time series over the 2010–2017 period. Both the 21st century maritime silk road and the silk road economic belt initiatives have affected the bilateral trade volumes of these countries along with the belt and road initiatives, and bilateral commerce mechanisms are able to serve as a stabilizing force in accelerating the economic integration of countries along the route. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3890-3905 Issue: 35 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584387 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:35:p:3890-3905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haitao Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Haitao Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Jie Hu Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Shanshan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shanshan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Huiwen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Huiwen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Examining the influencing factors of CO2 emissions at city level via panel quantile regression: evidence from 102 Chinese cities Abstract: Ascertaining the influencing factors of carbon dioxide emissions in Chinese cities is an important issue for policy-makers. This paper investigates the effect of several determinants on carbon emissions per capita in Chinese cities. Non-normally distributed and heterogeneous features of carbon emissions per capita in Chinese cities are considerably important. The empirical results demonstrate that GDP per capita has an increasingly positive impact on carbon emissions per capita due to the growth in household consumption. Urbanization has a slightly decreasing positive effect on carbon emissions per capita with a quantile increase resulting from continuous highway construction. Industrialization has a decreasing positive effect with carbon emission per capita quantile increases because of increasing energy efficiency and lower costs related to carbon reductions. The population has a decreasing negative effect on carbon emissions because of people’s increasing demand for environmental safety. The distributions of emissions per capita conditional on the 10th and 90th quantiles of independent variables also vary considerably. Specific policy implications are provided based on these results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3906-3919 Issue: 35 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584659 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584659 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:35:p:3906-3919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katharina Dengler Author-X-Name-First: Katharina Author-X-Name-Last: Dengler Title: Effectiveness of sequences of classroom training for welfare recipients: what works best in West Germany? Abstract: Sequences of active labour market programmes (ALMPs) may be part of an intensified activation strategy targeting hard-to-place unemployed individuals. Such sequences are very common among welfare recipients in Germany, but most studies only evaluate either single ALMPs or unemployed individuals’ first ALMP. I analyse the effects of different sequences of classroom training for West German men and women on different labour market outcomes. Using rich administrative data and a dynamic causal model, I can control for dynamic selection problems that occur during a sequence. The results show that two classroom trainings are more effective than two periods of welfare receipt in helping welfare recipients find regular employment, especially among West German women. Moreover, immediately assigning individuals to classroom training is more effective than waiting and assigning them to classroom training in the second period. However, in some cases, avoiding participation in multiple programmes is preferable.Abbreviations: ALMP, active labour market programme; CIA, Conditional Independence Assumption; CSR, Common Support Requirement; DATET, dynamic average treatment effect on the treated; IEB, Integrated Employment Biographies; IPW, inverse probability weighting; LHG, UBII-Receipt History (Leistungshistorik Grundsicherung); MSB, mean standardized absolute bias; SUTVA, Stable Unit Treatment Value Assumption; UBII, unemployment benefit II; UBI, unemployment benefit I; WDCIA, Weak Dynamic Conditional Independence Assumption Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-46 Issue: 1 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:1:p:1-46 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Alessandra Antonelli Author-X-Name-First: Maria Alessandra Author-X-Name-Last: Antonelli Author-Name: Valeria De Bonis Author-X-Name-First: Valeria Author-X-Name-Last: De Bonis Title: The efficiency of social public expenditure in European countries: a two-stage analysis Abstract: Do European countries differ in the efficiency of their welfare policies? And which factors can account for such variability? To address these questions, we perform a two-stage efficiency analysis. First, based on a composite output indicator for social protection expenditure, we measure efficiency by means of the Free Disposable Hull and Data Envelopment Analysis techniques. Second, we perform an econometric analysis to identify the factors that can be associated to cross-country differences. We find that countries scoring higher efficiency have higher education and GDP levels, a smaller population size, a lower degree of selectivity of their welfare systems and a lower corruption level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 47-60 Issue: 1 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489522 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489522 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:1:p:47-60 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Asresu Yitayew Author-X-Name-First: Asresu Author-X-Name-Last: Yitayew Author-Name: Yigezu A. Yigezu Author-X-Name-First: Yigezu A. Author-X-Name-Last: Yigezu Author-Name: Girma T. Kassie Author-X-Name-First: Girma T. Author-X-Name-Last: Kassie Author-Name: Tilaye T. Deneke Author-X-Name-First: Tilaye T. Author-X-Name-Last: Deneke Author-Name: Aynalem Haile Author-X-Name-First: Aynalem Author-X-Name-Last: Haile Author-Name: Halima Hassen Author-X-Name-First: Halima Author-X-Name-Last: Hassen Author-Name: Barbara Rischkowsky Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Rischkowsky Title: Identification of strategies to improve goat marketing in the lowlands of Ethiopia: a hedonic price analysis Abstract: This article aims at identifying factors that determine market prices of goats and analyse potential mechanisms by which smallholder goat producers could maximize their benefits. Data on 357 farm households and 2103 goat transactions were collected in three major goat markets in the lowlands of Ethiopia. Hedonic price models adjusted for heteroscedasticity were employed to analyse the observed price data. Model results showed the relative importance of different factors in determining goat prices. Animal attributes including age, sex, live weight, body condition and presence of horn as well as types of buyer and market outlet targeted and time of selling were found to be important. Particularly, goats marketed during festive periods where demand for meat increases (e.g. Ethiopian New Year) command higher prices. These results imply that interventions such as systematic selection schemes targeting traits demanded by the market, improved linkages to markets, easy access to market information systems and creating conducive environment including incentive mechanisms can enhance smallholder farmers’ and pastoralists’ ability to take advantage of seasonal and spatial price changes and become market responsive with effective marketing strategies. Such changes can be potent in improving the livelihoods of smallholder farmers and pastoralists. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 61-75 Issue: 1 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1490693 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1490693 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:1:p:61-75 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António S. Ribeiro Author-X-Name-First: António S. Author-X-Name-Last: Ribeiro Author-Name: Francisco Lima Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Title: Football players’ career and wage profiles Abstract: The objective of this article is to look over football players’ career path, from lower leagues to the first league, and the associated wage profile. The information comes from a Portuguese longitudinal matched employer–employee data set defining several career events according to players’ movement across football clubs and across professional and semi-professional leagues. Our identifying strategy relies on coach changes to reduce the potential bias resulting from players’ moves between clubs. The estimated first-difference wage equations indicate that players can expect a wage premium when they get transferred to new clubs in higher leagues or a wage penalty when moving to lower leagues. Players who stay in the same club after the club being relegated can also expect a wage penalty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 76-87 Issue: 1 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494375 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494375 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:1:p:76-87 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Feriha Ibriyamova Author-X-Name-First: Feriha Author-X-Name-Last: Ibriyamova Author-Name: Samuel Kogan Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Kogan Author-Name: Galla Salganik-Shoshan Author-X-Name-First: Galla Author-X-Name-Last: Salganik-Shoshan Author-Name: David Stolin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Stolin Title: Predicting stock return correlations with brief company descriptions Abstract: A series of influential papers by Hoberg and Phillips measure the similarity of pairs of companies based on a textual analysis of their business descriptions and show these measures to be useful in a variety of research contexts in finance. Hoberg and Phillips derive the similarity measures from a comparison of word lists extracted from extensive business descriptions contained in US companies’ electronic 10-K filings. Unfortunately, this method is of little use in non-US settings, where lengthy English-language company self-descriptions are not available on a consistent basis. Instead, we use semantic fingerprinting to extract such similarity measures from much shorter but globally available third-party company descriptions. We show that our approach significantly predicts stock return correlations even after controlling for past correlations and for membership in the same industry. Remarkably, company similarity measures based on brief third-party company descriptions predict stock return correlations significantly better than those based on much longer company self-descriptions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 88-102 Issue: 1 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494377 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494377 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:1:p:88-102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Schleich Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Schleich Author-Name: Corinne Faure Author-X-Name-First: Corinne Author-X-Name-Last: Faure Author-Name: Xavier Gassmann Author-X-Name-First: Xavier Author-X-Name-Last: Gassmann Title: Household internal and external electricity contract switching in EU countries Abstract: Using a representative sample of more than 13,000 households from eight countries in the European Union (EU), this article empirically studies the factors related to household electricity contract switching by distinguishing between internal switchers (households that switched contracts but stayed with the same supplier) from external switchers (households that switched to a new supplier). The econometric analysis includes individual preferences, household structural factors and socio-demographic characteristics, as well as electricity market characteristics. The study explicitly explores the role of risk and time preferences on switching behaviours, with risk and time preferences elicited through incentivized experiments as well as self-assessment scales. The main results suggest that internal and external switching are not related to the same factors, that risk and time preferences affect switching behaviours, and that renters are less likely to switch than homeowners; further, electricity market characteristics are found to affect household electricity contract switching. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 103-116 Issue: 1 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:1:p:103-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vera Gurtovaya Author-X-Name-First: Vera Author-X-Name-Last: Gurtovaya Author-Name: Sergio Nisticò Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Nisticò Title: Does the NDC scheme mimic the French point system? Abstract: After the implementation of the notional defined contribution (NDC) pension scheme in Italy and Sweden in the ‘90s, some authors argued that its design merely replicates the functioning of the points-based pension schemes already in place in France and Germany. The aim of this article is to assess the soundness of this proposition by comparing the properties of the French points-based pension system (FPS) with those of the NDC scheme, which refrains from intra-cohort redistributions by ensuring substantial uniformity of individual rates of return. In order to assess to what extent the FPS also avoids intra-cohort redistributions, we run several simulations for different career patterns. The results of the simulations show that the discretionary adjustments embedded in the FPS are responsible for random, regressive redistributions. Finally, the article identifies the theoretical ‘equivalence condition’ showing that full correspondence between the two schemes would require replacing the discretionary mechanisms of the FPS with an automatic adjustment of point values. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 117-130 Issue: 1 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494805 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494805 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:1:p:117-130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Yilmazkuday Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Yilmazkuday Title: Geographical dispersion of consumer search behaviour Abstract: This article investigates whether consumer search behaviour differs across zip codes within the U.S. As an application, daily gasoline price data covering virtually all gas stations within the U.S. are employed to estimate the distribution of search costs in each zip code. The results show that there are significant differences across zip codes regarding the expected number of searches achieved before consumers purchase gasoline. In order to have a systematic explanation, such differences are further connected to geographic, demographic, and economic conditions of the zip codes in a secondary analysis. The corresponding results imply several strategies for gas stations in order to maximize profits/markups; suggestions follow for policy makers and regulators to reduce redistributive effects of information barriers across locations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5740-5752 Issue: 57 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1340575 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1340575 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:57:p:5740-5752 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Intra-good trade in Germany: a first look at the evidence Abstract: This article contributes to the literature by using newly released comprehensive transaction-level data on all exports and imports to document facts about the amount of intra-good trade – the simultaneous export and import of identical goods by one firm – in Germany. Combined data for trade transactions and for characteristics of a representative large sample of trading firms are then used to report differences between firms that export and import different goods only (inter-good traders) and firms that engage in the simultaneous export and import of identical goods (intra-good traders). We find that the share of intra-good trade in total trade was some 17% in Germany in 2012. Intra-good trade matters. This share differs widely between broadly defined groups of goods and between industries. Controlling for detailed industry affiliation, intra-good traders differ significantly from inter-good traders – they are larger, more human capital intensive, more productive, have a higher R&D intensity and are more profitable. The data, however, are not rich enough to reveal the direction of causality between intra-good trade and firm performance and to investigate empirically the reasons why some firms engage in intra-good trade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5753-5761 Issue: 57 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1340576 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1340576 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:57:p:5753-5761 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Machiel van Dijk Author-X-Name-First: Machiel Author-X-Name-Last: van Dijk Title: Estimating the weight of opportunity costs in housing consumption Abstract: Behavioural economics suggests that people tend to neglect or underweight opportunity costs. However, strong empirical evidence for the size of the underweighting appears to be largely absent from the literature. What are the weights people attach to opportunity costs relative to out-of-pocket costs? In this article, I estimate the weight of opportunity costs in probably the largest economic decision that households make: buying a house. I show that homeowners attach approximately twice as much weight to out-of-pocket costs of their housing consumption than to the opportunity costs associated with this. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5762-5770 Issue: 57 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1340579 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1340579 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:57:p:5762-5770 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tatsuyoshi Miyakoshi Author-X-Name-First: Tatsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyakoshi Author-Name: Laixun Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Laixun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Multinational public goods provision under multilateral income transfers and productivity differences Abstract: This article examines multinational public goods provision under multilateral income transfers and productivity differences across countries. Under a planner who uses linear approximation for utility maximization, we show that (1) a country is an income receiver if it has a higher productivity than the average in producing public goods, enabling it to provide more public goods; (2) the amount of transfers can be pinned down for all countries with an adjustment cost; (3) each country obtains an identical utility increment; and (4) the country with the lowest adjustment cost is the best candidate for the planner country. All results are derived based on well-known information regarding the cost of producing the public goods and income levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5771-5779 Issue: 57 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1340580 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1340580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:57:p:5771-5779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Acosta-Ballesteros Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Acosta-Ballesteros Author-Name: M. Pilar Osorno-Del Rosal Author-X-Name-First: M. Pilar Author-X-Name-Last: Osorno-Del Rosal Author-Name: Olga María Rodríguez-Rodríguez Author-X-Name-First: Olga María Author-X-Name-Last: Rodríguez-Rodríguez Title: Gender differences in the quality of the school-to-work transition in Spain Abstract: This article analyses to what extent gender affects the quality of the school-to-work transition in Spain, paying special attention to workers’ educational attainment. We estimate a four-equation system that explains the main obstacles young people face in their insertion process: part-time work, overeducation, fixed-term contracts and long unemployment spells; the model also considers the impact of the latter variable on the other three. Moreover, a synthetic indicator of transition quality based on the estimation of this model is developed. We conclude that men experience a better insertion process than women at every level of education (except for higher vocational training), although the gender gap is greater for long-cycle university programmes. Furthermore, when field of study is considered, men from most specializations enjoy a smoother transition than their female counterparts; nevertheless, women have the advantage in some female-dominated fields. A further analysis of gender differences reveals that they are due to the fact of being male or female to a great extent. The results also highlight that school-leavers from work-oriented programmes and those specialized in fields that provide them with more specific skills are more likely to succeed in the transition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5780-5791 Issue: 57 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1343445 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1343445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:57:p:5780-5791 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helga Kristjánsdóttir Author-X-Name-First: Helga Author-X-Name-Last: Kristjánsdóttir Author-Name: Þórhallur Örn Guðlaugsson Author-X-Name-First: Þórhallur Örn Author-X-Name-Last: Guðlaugsson Author-Name: Svala Guðmundsdóttir Author-X-Name-First: Svala Author-X-Name-Last: Guðmundsdóttir Author-Name: Gylfi Dalmann Aðalsteinsson Author-X-Name-First: Gylfi Dalmann Author-X-Name-Last: Aðalsteinsson Title: Hofstede national culture and international trade Abstract: The objective is to analyse if international trade is affected by different national cultures. International trade of 21 World Bank listed countries is estimated as function of the Hofstede cultural dimensions, gross domestic product and population. First, we estimate the combined Hofstede culture dimensions and find significant positive effects on countries’ international trade. Secondly, we decompose the Hofstede culture dimensions and estimate the effects of each separate dimension on international trade, finding only the MAS dimension to significantly affect international trade. We estimate additional equation versions to account for occasional trade restrictions with no international trade, as well as estimating how international trade varies between years. These additional estimations further support our original findings, and therefore act as robustness check. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5792-5801 Issue: 57 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1343446 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1343446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:57:p:5792-5801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Grazia Cecere Author-X-Name-First: Grazia Author-X-Name-Last: Cecere Author-Name: Fabrice Le Guel Author-X-Name-First: Fabrice Author-X-Name-Last: Le Guel Author-Name: Fabrice Rochelandet Author-X-Name-First: Fabrice Author-X-Name-Last: Rochelandet Title: Crowdfunding and social influence: an empirical investigation Abstract: The literature so far provides no in-depth investigation of the determinants of decisions to contribute to crowdfunding platforms. The present article draws on work measuring the decisions and prosocial behaviours of individuals in relation to public goods, and uses survey data on crowdfunding behaviour. We surveyed an original sample of individuals in France to explore individual decisions and amounts of funding chosen to support a creative project. We show that in non-equity crowdfunding contributing money is associated with altruism. Our findings suggest that the ‘warm glow’ effect influences the level of the contribution; we show also those monetary incentives could ‘crowd out’ the decisions to contribute of crowdfunders. Our study has some implications for business strategy since understanding why people contribute adds to our knowledge about the incentives that might encourage them to increase their contributions, and allows predictions about how changes to how crowdfunding platforms are managed might affect individual incentives to give. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5802-5813 Issue: 57 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1343450 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1343450 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:57:p:5802-5813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ergun Dogan Author-X-Name-First: Ergun Author-X-Name-Last: Dogan Author-Name: M. Qamarul Islam Author-X-Name-First: M. Qamarul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Author-Name: Mehmet Yazici Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Yazici Title: Real exchange rates and job flows: evidence from Turkey Abstract: This study investigates the effects of the real exchange rate on job flows in Turkish manufacturing industries between 2006 and 2015 using data at the four-digit NACE Revision 2 level. Using dynamic panel data models, we find that a real appreciation increases gross and net job creation rates, and that the effect of appreciation is magnified as the exposure to international competitiveness of industries increases. We think that this is because Turkish manufacturing firms import a greater share of their inputs compared to the firms in developed countries. Hence, an appreciation creates more jobs because lower imported input costs enable firms to outcompete foreign producers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4489-4499 Issue: 42 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1458190 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1458190 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:42:p:4489-4499 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Author-Name: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Syed Jawad Hussain Author-X-Name-Last: Shahzad Author-Name: Román Ferrer Author-X-Name-First: Román Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrer Author-Name: Francisco Jareño Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Jareño Title: Does Shariah compliance make interest rate sensitivity of Islamic equities lower? An industry level analysis under different market states Abstract: This paper examines the sensitivity of the Dow Jones Islamic market index and its corresponding industry equity indices to changes in the level, slope and curvature of the U.S. term structure of interest rates over the period 1996–2015 using the quantile regression approach. The empirical results reveal that the Islamic stock market has a considerable negative exposure to interest rate risk, although a declining time pattern of interest rate sensitivity is observed. The unexpected changes in the level factor of the U.S. yield curve, closely linked to long-term interest rates, are identified as the most important interest rate factor in explaining the variability of Islamic equity returns. Furthermore, the interest rate exposure tends to be stronger during extreme bearish conditions in the stock market, possibly due to the greater pessimism and risk aversion under these market circumstances. It is also shown that Islamic equities are not different from their mainstream counterparts in terms of interest rate sensitivity, indicating that the Islamic stock market does not provide a cushion against interest rate risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4500-4521 Issue: 42 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1458191 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1458191 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:42:p:4500-4521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroyuki Aman Author-X-Name-First: Hiroyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Aman Author-Name: Norihiro Kasuga Author-X-Name-First: Norihiro Author-X-Name-Last: Kasuga Author-Name: Hiroshi Moriyasu Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Moriyasu Title: Mass media effects on trading activities: television broadcasting evidence from Japan Abstract: This study examines how information broadcasting through television (TV) media influences stock market activities. Consistent with the effect of TV information to attract investor attention, we find that increased information flow through TV is significantly associated with greater trading volume and larger price change. For information type, hard news from business-oriented programmes and earnings-related news strongly contributes to the attention effect, while the effect of soft news is weaker. Bid–ask spread widens for more TV information flows, suggesting that new information arrival in the market expands information asymmetry. Finally, the impact of TV is more influential for stocks with more individual shareholders than those with institutional shareholders. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4522-4539 Issue: 42 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1458192 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1458192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:42:p:4522-4539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simón Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Author-Name: María del Carmen Ramos-Herrera Author-X-Name-First: María del Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Ramos-Herrera Title: Inflation, real economic growth and unemployment expectations: an empirical analysis based on the ECB survey of professional forecasters Abstract: Expectations are at the centre of modern macroeconomic theory and policymakers. In this article, we examine the predictive ability and the consistency properties of macroeconomic expectations using data of the European Central Bank (ECB) Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF). In particular, we provide evidence on the properties of forecasts for three key macroeconomic variables: the inflation rate, the growth rate of real gross domestic product and the unemployment rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4540-4555 Issue: 42 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1458193 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1458193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:42:p:4540-4555 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangkon Park Author-X-Name-First: Sangkon Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Cheolsung Park Author-X-Name-First: Cheolsung Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Changhui Kang Author-X-Name-First: Changhui Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: Effects of a holiday trip on health and quality of life: evidence from a natural experiment in South Korea Abstract: We examine whether having a holiday trip affects an individual’s well-being, namely quality of life, health status, stress level and health behaviours. We use the two-stage estimation method to control for endogeneity of a travel experience, exploiting a natural experiment of distributing Travel Vouchers at random among qualified applicants in South Korea in 2012. We find that, for applicants whose decision to travel is influenced by receiving a voucher, a travel experience has no significant effects on the traveller’s well-being measured 3–12 months later. We also find that the OLS estimates overstate benefits of a travel. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4556-4569 Issue: 42 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1458194 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1458194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:42:p:4556-4569 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoyong Dai Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Liwei Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Liwei Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: The impact of product innovation on firm-level markup and productivity: evidence from China Abstract: This article empirically evaluates the impact of product innovation on firms’ markup and productivity. Based on a large sample of Chinese manufacturing firms, we estimate firm-level markup using the wedge between output elasticities of intermediate input and its cost share in total revenue. Firm productivity is measured as revenue productivity and adjusted with the estimated markup. The results suggest that product innovation increases firm-level markup and revenue productivity. However, the effect of product innovation on the adjusted productivity is mostly negative or insignificant. The observed relationships also vary in response to market structures. Our results indicate that the positive impact of product innovation on revenue productivity is mainly driven by price-cost markup changes rather than physical productivity improvements. Our study suggests the widely observed positive relationship between product innovation and revenue productivity should be interpreted with caution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4570-4581 Issue: 42 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1458195 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1458195 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:42:p:4570-4581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jana Hilsenroth Author-X-Name-First: Jana Author-X-Name-Last: Hilsenroth Author-Name: Sherry L. Larkin Author-X-Name-First: Sherry L. Author-X-Name-Last: Larkin Author-Name: Thomas K. Frazer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas K. Author-X-Name-Last: Frazer Title: The price of pretty: characteristics of black Tahitian pearls and their implicit values Abstract: French Polynesia’s economy is largely dependent on the black pearl industry and associated export revenues. Accordingly, there is a need to understand fully the factors that influence quality and price of pearls – and threats to future sustainability. Focus, thus far, has been on production practices that affect pearl characteristics and quality. Although there is a generally accepted hierarchy in the characteristics of black pearls that determine quality and price, the contributory value of specific characteristics and their interdependence has not been assessed. We used information from two retailers that supply distinct markets to estimate the implicit value of black pearl characteristics, i.e. grade, shape and size. Calculated premiums and discounts revealed key similarities between retailers including that a more preferred shape demanded larger premiums than an improved grade. Results of this analysis will help direct research aimed at modifying production methods to increase the yield of higher value pearls. This is especially important given that climate change will, in fact, affect many environmental parameters that influence pearl quality. If ignored, such changes have the potential to negatively impact the quality of produced pearls with profound socio-economic consequences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4582-4591 Issue: 42 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1458196 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1458196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:42:p:4582-4591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theodoros V. Stamatopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Theodoros V. Author-X-Name-Last: Stamatopoulos Author-Name: Stavros E. Arvanitis Author-X-Name-First: Stavros E. Author-X-Name-Last: Arvanitis Author-Name: Dimitris M. Terzakis Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris M. Author-X-Name-Last: Terzakis Title: The risk of the sovereign debt default: the Eurozone crisis 2008–2013 Abstract: We investigate the relationship of the market pricing of sovereign risk to default, through credit default swap (CDS) spreads for 16 Eurozone countries during 2008q1–2013q3. We take into account, through appropriate non-linear generalized method of moments (GMM) estimations the endogeneity problem. We focus on ‘fiscal space’ (DEBT or FISCAL), and the downgrade announcements (DOWN). We find DEBT (FISCAL) to have significant (insignificant) effects on the CDS concave function, as well as, DOWN in a linear one. It has also been confirmed significant pricing discrimination between South and West Euro Area Periphery (SWEAP) and the core Eurozone, highlighting asymmetries discovered either by the respective size of estimated DEBT coefficients or by the significant effects of DOWN that have only on CDS of SWEAP countries. The current account balance or the inflation rate, as well as, relevant interaction terms seem not to affect the spreads of the EMU. These findings, together with the estimated structural change on CDS pattern in early 2011, coinciding with significant either the DOWN in the pre-crisis period (2008–2010) or the DEBT in the post-crisis one (2011–2013) on the CDS, seem to be consistent with self-fulfilling crises literature and the inherent vulnerability of EMU, on other words, the ‘fragility hypothesis of the Eurozone’. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3782-3796 Issue: 38 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1267851 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1267851 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:38:p:3782-3796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Youn Kim Author-X-Name-First: H. Youn Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Junsoo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Junsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Intertemporal production and intertemporal substitution in output supply and input demand Abstract: This article presents an intertemporal model of production with multiple inputs to investigate substitution opportunities facing firms over time. The firm’s intertemporal profit maximization problem is characterized with the familiar cost function, and various intertemporal substitution elasticities are delineated for output supply and input demand. The absence of intertemporal substitution in production can imply production smoothing, and allowance for intertemporal substitution in labour demand reinforces the prediction of the real business cycle model. For aggregate US manufacturing, we find substantial substitution in output supply and labour demand over time due to intertemporal changes in output price and wage rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3797-3814 Issue: 38 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1267852 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1267852 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:38:p:3797-3814 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujin Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Shujin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Renyu Li Author-X-Name-First: Renyu Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Economic complexity, human capital and economic growth: empirical research based on cross-country panel data Abstract: Economic complexity reflects a country’s production capabilities and plays an important role in economic growth. This article measures the economic complexity of 210 countries using the method of reflections, and investigates the impact of economic complexity and human capital on economic growth. The measurement results show that there are significant differences regarding the level of complexity among countries. High-income economies have higher complexity than low- and middle-income economies. The empirical findings demonstrate that economic complexity and different levels of human capital have positive effects on long- and short-term growth. A positive interaction effect on economic growth exists between economic complexity and human capital. In addition, secondary education as a proxy for human capital has a relatively greater positive direct effect and a much stronger interactive effect with complexity on economic growth. In addition, the magnitude of the interaction effect between economic complexity and human capital on long- and short-term growth increases as the revealed comparative advantage threshold grows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3815-3828 Issue: 38 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1270413 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1270413 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:38:p:3815-3828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takehiro Usui Author-X-Name-First: Takehiro Author-X-Name-Last: Usui Author-Name: Mitsuko Chikasada Author-X-Name-First: Mitsuko Author-X-Name-Last: Chikasada Author-Name: Kazuhiko Kakamu Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Kakamu Title: Does garbage pricing increase the immoral disposal of household waste? Abstract: Some empirical studies have attempted to clarify the mechanism of illegal dumping by examining the degree to which per-bag pricing plays a role. However, previous research on the behaviour of avoiding paying a charge for waste collection has tended to neglect so-called ‘immoral disposal,’ which is less risky than illegal dumping because there is no legal penalty. In this study, we define immoral disposal as the dumping of waste in a manner that is immoral but not illegal. To detect the existence of immoral disposal, we apply a spatial econometric approach, namely an extended panel spatial Durbin model, to identify the actual spillover effect of garbage pricing in neighbouring municipalities on immoral disposal from the total waste. A major finding of this study is that immoral disposal exists in unit-based pricing, two-tiered pricing, and fixed pricing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3829-3840 Issue: 38 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1270414 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1270414 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:38:p:3829-3840 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Vosseler Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Vosseler Author-Name: Enzo Weber Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Bayesian analysis of periodic unit roots in the presence of a break Abstract: A Bayesian testing approach for a periodic unit root in quarterly and monthly data is presented. Further a Bayesian test is introduced to test for unit roots at (non)seasonal spectral frequencies. All procedures admit one structural break in the periodic trend function, where the occurrence of a break and the associated timing are treated as additional model parameters. A Bayesian model averaging (BMA) approach is proposed and power functions of the tests are computed. Overall the results indicate that the BMA periodic unit root test exhibits favourable test properties even in small samples. In an empirical application the presented testing procedures are used to test for (non)seasonal forms of unemployment persistence among OECD countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3841-3862 Issue: 38 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1270415 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1270415 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:38:p:3841-3862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian Fernandez-Perez Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Perez Author-Name: Bart Frijns Author-X-Name-First: Bart Author-X-Name-Last: Frijns Author-Name: Alireza Tourani-Rad Author-X-Name-First: Alireza Author-X-Name-Last: Tourani-Rad Title: Precious metals, oil and the exchange rate: contemporaneous spillovers Abstract: We investigate the contemporaneous spillovers among precious metals, crude oil and the US$ exchange rate. We contend that conventional reduced-form vector autoregressive (VAR) models based on lead/lag relations do not fully capture the interactions among these series as these models ignore the contemporaneous effects. Using a Structural VAR model, we identify these contemporaneous spillovers, which are shown to be strong and asymmetric. We further show that not taking into consideration the contemporaneous interactions among these assets leads to inaccurate findings and inevitably to inaccurate interpretations of the causal relations among them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3863-3879 Issue: 38 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1270416 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1270416 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:38:p:3863-3879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ashwin Madhou Author-X-Name-First: Ashwin Author-X-Name-Last: Madhou Author-Name: Tayushma Sewak Author-X-Name-First: Tayushma Author-X-Name-Last: Sewak Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Vikash Ramiah Author-X-Name-First: Vikash Author-X-Name-Last: Ramiah Title: GDP nowcasting: application and constraints in a small open developing economy Abstract: Despite data limitations, an attempt is made to find out if a GDP nowcasting model can provide reliable forecasts for a small open economy. Two competing Bayesian vector autoregressive models are tested rigorously to obtain the optimal model by minimizing in-sample forecasting errors. The main finding of this study is that GDP nowcasting can produce reliable results for a small open economy despite the unavailability of sufficient data sets and the lack of high frequency indicators. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3880-3890 Issue: 38 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1270417 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1270417 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:38:p:3880-3890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ning Meng Author-X-Name-First: Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Author-Name: Chris Milner Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Milner Author-Name: Huasheng Song Author-X-Name-First: Huasheng Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Differences in the determinants and targeting of antidumping: China and India compared Abstract: Despite both being developing countries, China and India have markedly contrasting patterns in their use and targeting of antidumping (AD) measures. We explore the factors driving AD use by these two countries, considering in turn macroeconomic, strategic and other determinants. We find more regular or systematic features of AD use by China, while India displays a less systematic pattern of AD use. Economic growth, AD club effect and free trade agreement participation are shown to constrain AD use by China. Compared to India, AD use by China is also more sensitive across industries. Furthermore, China targets developed countries more than developing countries, while India is less discriminating with respect to the country type it targets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4083-4097 Issue: 43 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1150954 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1150954 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:43:p:4083-4097 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Malathy Duraisamy Author-X-Name-First: Malathy Author-X-Name-Last: Duraisamy Author-Name: P. Duraisamy Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Duraisamy Title: Gender wage gap across the wage distribution in different segments of the Indian labour market, 1983–2012: exploring the glass ceiling or sticky floor phenomenon Abstract: Women’s participation in the Indian labour market is not only low but they are also engaged in low-productivity and low-paying jobs. Further, the labour market is segmented by gender, type of employment, sector and location of residence. This study makes an important contribution by examining gender wage gap in India across different segments of the labour market over the wage distribution using national-level representative data spanning the period 1983 to 2012. The empirical results suggest that (i) the male–female raw wage gap has declined over time across the wage distribution, (ii) the gender wage gap attributable to differing returns to characteristics has increased over time and there is evidence of convergence of productive characteristics of men and women, (iii) sticky floor rather than glass ceiling phenomenon is observed in all segments of the labour market and (iv) the adjusted wage gap suggests that women at the bottom of the distribution face higher discrimination than those at the top and this has increased over the years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4098-4111 Issue: 43 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1150955 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1150955 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:43:p:4098-4111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sucharita Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Sucharita Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: C. Lockwood Reynolds Author-X-Name-First: C. Lockwood Author-X-Name-Last: Reynolds Author-Name: Shawn M. Rohlin Author-X-Name-First: Shawn M. Author-X-Name-Last: Rohlin Title: The spillover effects of United States foreign trade zones Abstract: This article empirically tests the geographic and economic spillover effects of foreign trade zones (FTZs) in the United States by utilizing propensity score matching and the geographic rules of the programme. While these FTZ sites are designed to support manufacturing, we find that ZIP codes that receive FTZ sites experience growth in new and existing non-manufacturing establishments. Our results also show that FTZs spillover into nearby ZIP codes. We find that ZIP codes that border FTZ ZIP codes also experience positive effects on non-manufacturing establishments and these spillovers are strongest within a 5-mile radius of an FTZ. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4112-4130 Issue: 43 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1153787 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1153787 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:43:p:4112-4130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Kelly Burns Author-X-Name-First: Kelly Author-X-Name-Last: Burns Title: The random walk as a forecasting benchmark: drift or no drift? Abstract: We examine the proposition that the random walk without drift is more powerful in predicting exchange rates than the random walk with drift. It is demonstrated that there is no theoretical reason why the random walk without drift always outperforms the random walk with drift and that this is an empirical issue. The results show that while the random walk without drift can outperform the random walk with drift in terms of the RMSE, it fails to do so in terms of the ability to predict the direction of change, measures that take into account magnitude and direction, and in terms of profitability. If the drift factor is allowed to change over time by estimating the model in time-varying parameter terms, the random walk with drift performs even better. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4131-4142 Issue: 43 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1153788 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1153788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:43:p:4131-4142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Antonio Campos-Soria Author-X-Name-First: Juan Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Campos-Soria Author-Name: Miguel Angel Ropero-García Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Angel Author-X-Name-Last: Ropero-García Title: Gender segregation and earnings differences in the Spanish labour market Abstract: This article analyses the effects of different types of gender segregation on the gender wage differential for the Spanish labour market. Matched employer–employee data from a sample of 226,535 workers are used. These workers are employed in 61 occupations within 26,492 establishments in 51 different industries. Workers belonging to the same industry, establishment or job share common factors which cannot be observed and these factors affect wages. If these unobservable variables are correlated with the explanatory variables, their estimated effects will be biased. For this reason, we estimate the effects of each type of gender segregation on the wage gap using a robust specification to these possible correlations. We obtain that industrial segregation by gender explains a lower part of the wage gap between men and women than previous researches found using standard regressions, while the contributions of establishment segregation and occupational segregation within each establishment are greater. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4143-4155 Issue: 43 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1153789 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1153789 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:43:p:4143-4155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Yin Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Kent Matthews Author-X-Name-First: Kent Author-X-Name-Last: Matthews Title: The determinants and profitability of switching costs in Chinese banking Abstract: This article models the determinants of bank switching costs in China in terms of bank characteristics and non-bank variables. It also determines the contribution of switching costs to banks’ profits. Using a sample of 151 banks over the period 2003–2013 it reports a positive relationship between bank profitability and switching costs. The main result is that bank size measured by total assets has a complex relationship with switching costs. Competition between small banks creates the incentive for lock-in and increased switching costs whereas very large banks are less exercised by lock-in and switching costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4156-4166 Issue: 43 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1153790 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1153790 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:43:p:4156-4166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marina-Selini Katsaiti Author-X-Name-First: Marina-Selini Author-X-Name-Last: Katsaiti Author-Name: Mrittika Shamsuddin Author-X-Name-First: Mrittika Author-X-Name-Last: Shamsuddin Title: Weight discrimination in the German labour market Abstract: We explore the effects of higher body mass index (BMI) or obesity on different labour market outcomes. We extend the present literature by investigating the effect of obesity on (i) promotion likelihood and (ii) unemployment duration, in addition to the effect on (iii) wages and (iv) probability of being employed. We find an obesity penalty on wages, employment likelihood, promotion likelihood and unemployment duration among females in Germany taking into account of endogeneity of BMI and sample selection. We are also able to identify an unexplained effect of obesity on wages, employment and promotion likelihood for females using decomposition techniques that can be attributed to weight discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4167-4182 Issue: 43 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1153791 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1153791 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:43:p:4167-4182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Mei-Ping Chen Author-X-Name-First: Mei-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Erh-Yin Sun Author-X-Name-First: Erh-Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Member states’ pact and industry co-movements in the BRICS markets Abstract: Through the existence of supply chain relationships among BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa), we explore the industry return co-movements of the BRICS markets and the impacts of BRICS-related events on the time-varying conditional correlation and volatility. We find that BRICS-related events have increased industry co-movements and substantially reduced volatility. An asymmetry in industry return co-movements shows a strong response to good news. The first formal BRICS summit in 2009 is the most dominant event influencing BRICS industry co-movements, while there is a significant decline in correlations during the 2013 BRICS event. The financial industries of BRICS have the highest co-movements among sampled industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 313-334 Issue: 4 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1197367 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1197367 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:4:p:313-334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Lechner Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Lechner Author-Name: Paul Downward Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Downward Title: Heterogeneous sports participation and labour market outcomes in England Abstract: Based on a unique composite dataset measuring heterogeneous sports participation, labour market outcomes and local facilities provision, this article examines for the first time the association between different types of sports participation and employment and earnings in England. Clear associations between labour market outcomes and sports participation are established through matching estimation while controlling for some important confounding factors. The results, which are supplemented and supported by a formal sensitivity analysis, suggest a link between different types of sports participation to initial access to employment and then higher income opportunities with ageing. However, these vary between the genders and across sports. Specifically, the results suggest that team sports contribute most to employability, but that this varies by age across genders and that outdoor activities contribute most towards higher incomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 335-348 Issue: 4 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1197369 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1197369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:4:p:335-348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Larry Li Author-X-Name-First: Larry Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The mystery of the Chinese exchange rate regime: basket or no basket? Abstract: Economists have taken for granted the claim made by the Chinese government that the policy shift introduced in July 2005 constituted a change in the exchange rate regime from a fixed peg to a basket peg. We demonstrate that neither the stylized facts nor the empirical evidence support the proposition of a basket peg and suggest several reasons as to why China has not adopted this regime. The results could prove useful for identifying the Chinese exchange rate regime in the aftermath of the perceived policy shift following the August 2015 devaluation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 349-360 Issue: 4 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1197370 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1197370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:4:p:349-360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Megan Gu Author-X-Name-First: Megan Author-X-Name-Last: Gu Author-Name: Meliyanni Johar Author-X-Name-First: Meliyanni Author-X-Name-Last: Johar Title: Profiling hospital utilization in a mixed public–private system Abstract: While there is an extensive body of literature on the demand for hospital services, little is known about the interaction between public and private hospitals in a mixed system. In this article, we (1) apply latent class analysis to identify distinct subgroups of patients who use the hospital market differently, (2) characterize each patient type by their personal characteristics and (3) link the patient type to future hospital admissions. We apply our analysis to individual-level longitudinal patient data from Australia, focusing on three popular procedures that are performed in both public and private hospitals. We find 4–5 patient types. The most common types use either a public or a private hospital almost exclusively and absorb a moderate level of hospital resources. The severe types represent 13–17% of patients. The type which uses both sectors makes up 10–20% and tends to have private health insurance coverage. The patient types are predictive of prospective utilizations as we find that patients tend to be admitted to the sector they have used in the past. By revealing how patients use coexisting public and private hospitals, our results have direct implications on health resource financing and allocations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 361-375 Issue: 4 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1197371 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1197371 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:4:p:361-375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Y. Mathä Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Mathä Author-Name: Allison Shwachman Kaminaga Author-X-Name-First: Allison Author-X-Name-Last: Shwachman Kaminaga Title: Regional wages and market potential in the enlarged EU: an empirical investigation Abstract: This article empirically analyses the link between market potential and regional wages in the enlarged EU. We contribute to the existing literature in several ways: (1) we analyse the link between market potential and wages for the EU27 and (2) deconstruct total market potential into several geographical components and analyse their respective contributions to explaining the geographical wage structure. We correct for existing spatial autocorrelation and endogeneity by using an instrumental variable generalized spatial two-stage least squares (IV GS2SLS). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 376-385 Issue: 4 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1197372 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1197372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:4:p:376-385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Author-Name: Rianne Legerstee Author-X-Name-First: Rianne Author-X-Name-Last: Legerstee Author-Name: Richard Paap Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Paap Title: Estimating loss functions of experts Abstract: We propose a new and simple methodology to estimate the loss function associated with experts’ forecasts. Under the assumption of conditional normality of the data and the forecast distribution, the asymmetry parameter of the lin–lin and linex loss function can easily be estimated using a linear regression. This regression also provides an estimate for potential systematic bias in the forecasts of the experts. The residuals of the regression are the input for a test for the validity of the normality assumption. We apply our approach to a large data set of SKU-level sales forecasts made by experts, and we compare the outcomes with those for statistical model-based forecasts of the same sales data. We find substantial evidence for asymmetry in the loss functions of the experts, with underprediction penalized more than overprediction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 386-396 Issue: 4 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1197373 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1197373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:4:p:386-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Turner Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Turner Author-Name: Justine Wood Author-X-Name-First: Justine Author-X-Name-Last: Wood Title: Nonlinear exchange rate pass-through in industrial economies Abstract: This article presents theoretical arguments for a nonlinear pass-through relationship for import and export prices and investigates the relationship empirically. The theoretical argument is based on the menu-cost approach in which small absolute changes in exchange rates may not prompt price changes because the costs of doing so exceed the extra profits generated for firms involved in international trade. This relationship is investigated empirically using quarterly data for the period 1979q1-2015q1 for a sample of 17 countries. In the case of import prices, evidence is found of nonlinear adjustment consistent with the theoretical model in 4 out of 17 cases. In the case of export prices, such a relationship is only evident for two economies in the sample. However, for both the import and export price cases, a significant positive nonlinear relationship is found for the two largest economies in the sample, i.e. the United States and Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 397-402 Issue: 4 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1197374 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1197374 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:4:p:397-402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leslie J. Verteramo Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Leslie J. Author-X-Name-Last: Verteramo Chiu Author-Name: Jura Liaukonyte Author-X-Name-First: Jura Author-X-Name-Last: Liaukonyte Author-Name: Miguel I. Gómez Author-X-Name-First: Miguel I. Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez Author-Name: Harry M. Kaiser Author-X-Name-First: Harry M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kaiser Title: Socially responsible products: what motivates consumers to pay a premium? Abstract: The motivation to pay a premium for socially responsible products is partly an expression of consumer concern for the well-being of those involved in the production process. Buying a product with a socially responsible label, and donating to a charity are similarly motivated actions. While there is an extensive literature on the economics of charitable giving that examines motivations to donate as well as on the impacts of labelling on consumer demand, there is little overlap between the two literatures. We bridge these two literatures by investigating whether consumers have heterogeneous motivations for paying a premium. Through a laboratory experiment that auctions coffee with hypothetical socially responsible labels that put different weights on in-kind versus cash transfers, we find that those consumers who prefer an in-kind transfer (paternalistic altruists) are willing to pay a 52.5% price premium over standard coffee. Those who prefer that most of the premium is paid as cash (strong altruists) are willing to pay a 42.5% premium. Finally, those who are indifferent to how the premium is spent by the recipient (warm-glow givers) are willing to pay only a 19.2% premium. We discuss the implications of our results and future research directions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1833-1846 Issue: 19 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1226494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1226494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:19:p:1833-1846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tom Kennedy Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Kennedy Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Author-Name: George Chen Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Refitting the Kuznets curve using a gender-specific threshold model Abstract: Previous studies have reached mixed conclusions regarding the relationship between inequality and per capita income. These studies, however, fail to consider gender differences in income inequality and how these may impact on the relationship between income inequality and per capita income. Using Australian taxation statistics, we derive three sets of Gini coefficients (i.e. female, male and total) for the period 1950–2013. We then examine the relationship between inequality and real per capita income and find that a gender-specific threshold panel regression outperforms three other conventional models. Our findings suggest that ‘one set of coefficients does not fit all’ in that the use of aggregate and constant coefficients may mask variations within, and between, gender inequality over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1847-1854 Issue: 19 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1226495 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1226495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:19:p:1847-1854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Md. Akhtaruzzaman Author-X-Name-First: Md. Author-X-Name-Last: Akhtaruzzaman Author-Name: Abul Shamsuddin Author-X-Name-First: Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Shamsuddin Title: Australian financial firms’ exposures to the level, slope, and curvature of the interest rate term structure Abstract: This study examines the risk exposure of Australian financial firms to changes in the term structure of interest rates. Non-linearity in the interest rate term structure is captured by the three-factor model of interest rate level, slope, and curvature. We observe that financial firms have negative exposures to the interest rate level, while non-financial firms have positive exposures. This finding suggests that financial firms need to hedge against rising interest rates, while non-financial firms need to hedge against falling interest rates. Small banks and insurance companies have a positive risk exposure to the slope factor, while real estate firms have a negative risk exposure to the curvature factor. Though the interest rate level is the most important factor, ignoring the slope and curvature factors could lead to underestimating a financial firm’s overall interest rate risk exposure. These findings are robust to controlling for the orthogonalized market return, time-varying equity risk premium, and the global financial crisis. This study offers practical tools to regulators, such as the Reserve Bank of Australia and Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority for assessing interest rate risk exposures of the financial and non-financial sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1855-1874 Issue: 19 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1229411 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1229411 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:19:p:1855-1874 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Index arbitrage and dynamics between REIT index futures and spot prices Abstract: This article contributes to the real estate literature by investigating the pricing relationship between REIT index futures and spot. Based on the cost-of-carry model, we first show that there exist three arbitrage regimes in Australia’s REIT spot-futures price dynamics. Further analysis indicates that the two thresholds, which separate the regimes, are largely consistent with the level dictated by transaction costs. We then estimate a threshold vector error correction model (TVECM). The results show that mean reversion of the mispricing error only takes place in the two outer regimes. Furthermore, we find evidence that REIT spot market is more informationally efficient than the futures market. Given its short history, it will take time for REIT index futures market to mature. Finally, we find that we can enhance hedging performance by accommodating the feature of threshold cointegration displayed by the data. As the futures-spot relationship differs across regimes, we can develop a hedging strategy by adjusting the hedge ratio based on arbitrage regimes. It leads to a greater variance reduction for the hedged portfolio than some conventional methods examined in the existing real estate literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1875-1885 Issue: 19 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1229413 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1229413 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:19:p:1875-1885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Begoña Giner Author-X-Name-First: Begoña Author-X-Name-Last: Giner Author-Name: Francisca Pardo Author-X-Name-First: Francisca Author-X-Name-Last: Pardo Title: Operating lease decision and the impact of capitalization in a bank-oriented country Abstract: This article explores the reasons why firms engage in operating leases and examines the potential impact of a change in the related accounting rules. We focus on the accounting advantage of off-balance financing, which does not affect the typical accounting-based covenants especially important in bank-oriented countries. However, we also consider other economically based arguments. Using manually collected operating lease data for Spanish listed firms, we use the constructive capitalization method to measure as-if liabilities. The results confirm that not only size and industry affect the decision but that firms closer to breaching their covenants are also more inclined to choose operating leases. Consequently, it is argued that such firms will be more affected by the accounting change; indeed, the inclusion of liabilities in the balance sheet might tighten financial covenants in loan agreements as evidenced in the paper. Not surprisingly, firms are strongly opposed to the accounting change. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1886-1900 Issue: 19 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1229416 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1229416 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:19:p:1886-1900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Burcak Polat Author-X-Name-First: Burcak Author-X-Name-Last: Polat Title: Financial components of FDI and choice of capital structure: an analysis for 30 OECD countries Abstract: Even though the choice of capital structure depends on the three different financial components of foreign direct investment (FDI), previous research has regarded FDI as unidimensional rather than multidimensional. This study addresses new findings in the FDI area and investigates the relevant determinants of capital structure in 30 OECD countries from 2006 to 2014 within the framework of a simultaneous equation model. Our primary findings reveal that each component has its own deterministic features driven by relevant policy variables and risks in the market. While an increase or decrease in equity capital shows the ability of the host country to attract new investments, the subsequent components are mostly used to adjust the equity capital investment exposure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1901-1912 Issue: 19 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1229418 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1229418 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:19:p:1901-1912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Tsung-Hsien Chen Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Han-Wen Tzeng Author-X-Name-First: Han-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Tzeng Title: Quantile unit root test and the PPP in Africa Abstract: In this study, we apply the Quantile unit root test and revisit the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) in 20 African countries using real effective exchange rates over the period 1971Q1 to 2012Q4. While traditional unit root tests fail to reject unit root hypothesis in most of the countries, results from Quantile unit root test reject unit root null hypothesis in Ghana, Mauritius, Niger, South Africa, and Togo, providing support for the PPP at least in these five countries. We further estimate the half-life based on Quantile autoregressive (QAR) model to be about 4.57–7.96 quarters (1–2 year). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1913-1921 Issue: 19 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1229423 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1229423 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:19:p:1913-1921 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lei Pan Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Svetlana Maslyuk-Escobedo Author-X-Name-First: Svetlana Author-X-Name-Last: Maslyuk-Escobedo Title: Stochastic convergence in per capita energy consumption and its catch-up rate: evidence from 26 African countries Abstract: Using annual data from 1971 to 2014, we examine stochastic conditional convergence in per capita energy consumption for 26 low income, lower middle-income and upper-middle-income African countries. To do so, we use panel unit root tests that allow for cross-sectional dependence and structural breaks as well as the recently developed univariate Residual Augmented Least Squares-Lagrange multiplier (RALS-LM) unit root test with structural breaks. Although for most countries our evidence suggests stochastic conditional convergence, we find divergence for four countries including DR Congo, Senegal, Egypt and Botswana. Consistent with the neoclassical growth models we also examine the catch-up rate between energy consumption levels of African economies and that one of China and investigate its convergence properties. As African economies continue to grow, regional energy consumption disparity narrows, African energy consumption levels will catch up to the ones in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2566-2590 Issue: 24 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1549793 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1549793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:24:p:2566-2590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Justin Choe Author-X-Name-First: Justin Author-X-Name-Last: Choe Author-Name: Jun Sung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jun Sung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Minimax after money-max: why major league baseball players do not follow optimal strategies Abstract: Using real-life sports data of Major League Baseball, this paper investigates whether professional players follow the minimax theorem in their strategies. Our empirical results using the 2010 regular-season data show that baseball players do not optimize their strategies: there is a significant difference in their payoffs across strategies, and the sequence of their strategy choices is predictable from their previous actions. Further analysis using individual salaries and key contract variables indicates that a higher salary has a positive impact on following minimax strategies in the regular season. By contrast, a longer contract decreases a player’s incentive to pursue optimal strategies in the postseason. These results have important implications for compensation practices in various fields. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2591-2605 Issue: 24 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558346 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:24:p:2591-2605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emma Persson Author-X-Name-First: Emma Author-X-Name-Last: Persson Author-Name: Sofie Persson Author-X-Name-First: Sofie Author-X-Name-Last: Persson Author-Name: Ulf-G. Gerdtham Author-X-Name-First: Ulf-G. Author-X-Name-Last: Gerdtham Author-Name: Katarina Steen Carlsson Author-X-Name-First: Katarina Author-X-Name-Last: Steen Carlsson Author-Name: Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Title: Effect of type 1 diabetes on school performance in a dynamic world: new analysis exploring Swedish register data Abstract: This paper investigates if the effect of type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM) on school performance, documented in prior research, has changed in more recent birth cohorts of children using national Swedish population register data. The issue is of interest because management and treatment of the disease have improved over the last decades and, furthermore, because of changes in the educational grading system. Despite these changes, data indicate a persistent negative effect of T1DM on compulsory and upper secondary school grades with a standardized effect size of −0.109 and −0.070, respectively, and the results appear only marginally smaller compared to earlier findings in cohorts completing school under the previous grading system. Moreover, the results are consistent for alternative model specifications and econometric estimation strategies. Whereas access to new treatment technologies and improved diabetes management strategies has reduced the burden of diabetes in daily life, the results from this study indicate that continued efforts are needed to improve the situation in school for children with T1DM to prevent potential long-term socio-economic consequences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2606-2622 Issue: 24 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558347 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558347 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:24:p:2606-2622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandro Ghio Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Ghio Author-Name: Massimo Ruberti Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Ruberti Author-Name: Roberto Verona Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Verona Title: Financial constraints on sport organizations’ cost efficiency: the impact of financial fair play on Italian soccer clubs Abstract: We analyze the effect of the introduction of stricter financial constraints on the trade-off between sporting and economic results. We apply a stochastic Cobb-Douglas production frontier model to a sample of Italian Serie A teams, i.e. first division, over the period 2005–2015 to evaluate the variation in soccer clubs’ cost efficiency following the application of the UEFA Financial Fair Play (FFP) principles in 2010. FFP imposes stricter financial regulation as a requirement for a club to be admitted to Union of European Football Associations (UEFA) tournaments. Firstly, we find that FFP does not improve the average efficiency of the Italian first division teams. Secondly, we show that FFP has contributed to leveling the playing field, reducing the gap in terms of efficiency between top teams and lower-tier teams.Abbreviations: FFP: Financial Fair Play; UEFA: Union of European Football Associations; DEA: Data Envelopment Analysis; SFA: Stochastic Frontier Analysis Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2623-2638 Issue: 24 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558348 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:24:p:2623-2638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amélie Charles Author-X-Name-First: Amélie Author-X-Name-Last: Charles Author-Name: Olivier Darné Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Darné Author-Name: Jean-François Hoarau Author-X-Name-First: Jean-François Author-X-Name-Last: Hoarau Title: How resilient is La Réunion in terms of international tourism attractiveness: an assessment from unit root tests with structural breaks from 1981-2015 Abstract: Even if local policymakers increasingly claim that tourism is one of the key factors of future economic development for the French small island La Réunion, international tourist arrivals are observed to be locked in a stagnation phase since the beginning of the 2000s. Starting from this stylized fact, this article aims to study if this phenomenon results from major external events hurting this economy regularly. Next, by using univariate unit root procedures with structural breaks, we test for evidence of permanent or transitory effects of external shocks on international tourist inflows (total, by source markets, and by category) over the period 1981–2015. Finally, the empirical analysis allows us to reject the null of a unit root. Then, stagnation of tourism arrivals to La Réunion is not due to exogenous shocks but probably results from endogenous impediments within the domestic tourism industry and unsuitable public policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2639-2653 Issue: 24 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558349 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558349 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:24:p:2639-2653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seyed Ali Madanizadeh Author-X-Name-First: Seyed Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Madanizadeh Author-Name: Hanifa Pilvar Author-X-Name-First: Hanifa Author-X-Name-Last: Pilvar Title: The impact of trade openness on labour force participation rate Abstract: In this article, we investigate the impact of trade openness on labour force participation rate. We use tariff rate as the main indicator of trade openness and we employ the number of regional trade agreements and the average tariff rate in the neighbours’ countries as instrumental variables to diminish the endogeneity problem of the tariff rate. We find that trade openness increases the participation rate which is economically and statistically significant. The results show that this correlation is robust under controlling for different variables and using various specifications. We find that 10 percentage point increase in tariff rate lowers the participation rate by 4–6 percentage point and this relationship is more severe in the long run. Finally, we show that changes in labour force population accounts for about 27% of changes in the unemployment rate following a trade liberalization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2654-2668 Issue: 24 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558350 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558350 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:24:p:2654-2668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jayasuriya Mahapatabendige Ruwani Fernando Author-X-Name-First: Jayasuriya Mahapatabendige Ruwani Author-X-Name-Last: Fernando Author-Name: Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yang (Greg) Hou Author-X-Name-First: Yang (Greg) Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Title: Corporate governance and default prediction: a reality test Abstract: Default prediction has commanded the attention of researchers for at least 50 years. This paper addresses several testable hypotheses regarding the relations between corporate governance and default prediction. We employ the conventional logistic regression to provide empirical evidence from U.S. default data over the period of 2000 to 2015. Empirical results are consistent with the following notions: First, default firms are associated with high ownership concentration, low shareholder rights, low financial transparency and disclosures, and less board effectiveness. Second, in-sample and out-of-sample tests support the incremental contribution of corporate governance information on default prediction, when compared with the models involving just financial information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2669-2686 Issue: 24 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558351 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558351 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:24:p:2669-2686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diego Winkelried Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Winkelried Author-Name: Javier Torres Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Torres Title: Economic mobility along the business cycle. The case of Peru Abstract: The performance of Latin American countries in reducing poverty and expanding the middle class has been remarkable. By taking a close look at the Peruvian experience, we examine how this aggregate behavior relates to business cycle conditions and whether different population groups share this behavior. We find that social mobility is cyclical; it decreases in recessions but increases with strong economic growth. The reduction in poverty in Peru appears to be the result of a sustained increase in the poverty exit rate together with a prolonged decrease in the poverty entry rate. These results hold among heterogeneous groups and are particularly marked for households regarded as initially disadvantaged. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1894-1906 Issue: 18 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1529401 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1529401 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:18:p:1894-1906 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yann Braouezec Author-X-Name-First: Yann Author-X-Name-Last: Braouezec Title: Public versus private insurance system with (and without) transaction costs: optimal segmentation policy of an informed monopolist Abstract: Computer-mediated transactions allow insurance companies to customize their contracts, while transaction costs limit this tendency toward customization. To capture this phenomenon, we develop a complete-information framework in which it is costly to design a new market segment when the segmentation policy (number and design of segments) is endogenously chosen. Both the case of a private and a public insurer are considered. Without transaction costs, these two insurance systems are equivalent in terms of social welfare and participation. With transaction costs, this equivalence is no longer present, and the analysis of this difference is the subject of this article. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1907-1928 Issue: 18 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1529402 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1529402 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:18:p:1907-1928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdelwahed Omri Author-X-Name-First: Abdelwahed Author-X-Name-Last: Omri Author-Name: Karim Soussou Author-X-Name-First: Karim Author-X-Name-Last: Soussou Author-Name: Nadia Ben Sedrine Goucha Author-X-Name-First: Nadia Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Sedrine Goucha Title: On the post-financial crisis performance of Islamic mutual funds: the case of Riyad funds Abstract: Using Riyad Capital mutual funds as a proxy for Saudi Arabian mutual funds, this paper empirically compares the risk-adjusted performance and investment style of Islamic mutual funds with that of conventional funds in the wake of the recent global financial crisis of 2009–2014. Absolute and relative risk-adjusted measures with single factor (Jensen) and multifactor (Carhart) models are applied. Our findings suggest that Islamic funds outperformed conventional funds domestically, given similar risk exposure, and produced comparable results under lower market risk globally. The results show that Islamic funds are a relatively big cap from the strong statistical significance registered on the global side as evidenced by the difference portfolio outcomes. In addition, the difference portfolios provide statistical evidence that Islamic funds are more value-oriented compared to conventional funds on both fronts. Furthermore, Islamic funds tend to slightly favour a contrarian trading investment strategy as suggested by statistically significant local portfolio value and global difference portfolios results. The results of home bias test show stronger ties by local Islamic funds to local market relative to the global proxy suggesting that domestic investors and managers favour Islamic funds over conventional funds, thus confirming a local preference for Shari’ah-compliant investments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1929-1946 Issue: 18 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1529403 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1529403 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:18:p:1929-1946 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Mazza Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Mazza Author-Name: Mikael Petitjean Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Petitjean Title: Testing the effect of technical analysis on market quality and order book dynamics Abstract: We find empirical support for the theoretical finding in agent-based models of limit order book markets that the effect of technical trading on market quality is not positive. When signals occur, technical traders lower liquidity as proxied by the relative spread, the effective spread, the realized spread, the dispersion and the slope in the order book. Technical trading is also found to be accompanied by rising volatility. There is overall strong empirical support against the hypothesis that technical trading has no effect on order book dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1947-1976 Issue: 18 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1529404 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1529404 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:18:p:1947-1976 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas M. Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Thomas M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Author-Name: Adam G. Walke Author-X-Name-First: Adam G. Author-X-Name-Last: Walke Title: Empirical evidence regarding electricity consumption and urban economic growth Abstract: Links between electricity consumption and economic growth are fairly well documented for national economies, but less so for urban economies. The analysis of such relationships at the sub-national level of aggregation can potentially offer a useful complement to national-level research. This study examines the electricity-growth nexus in El Paso, Texas, while also considering the roles of capital stocks and employment. Testing suggests the presence of cointegrating relationships and a vector error correction model is estimated. Granger causality tests reveal the absence of causality between electricity consumption and personal income, implying that energy conservation efforts will have a neutral effect on economic growth. Furthermore, the results indicate that causality runs from the capital stock and employment to both personal income and electricity consumption. This echoes previous research regarding the importance of accounting for capital and labour factors of production in studies of aggregate electricity utilization and economic performance. The methodology used in this analysis to develop a broad synthetic measure of the urban capital stock, including various categories of public infrastructure, can also be applied to other regions and urban economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1977-1988 Issue: 18 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1529405 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1529405 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:18:p:1977-1988 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinsub Choi Author-X-Name-First: Jinsub Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: The effect of school capital investments on local housing markets and household sorting in California Abstract: In this paper, I investigate what effect school capital investments have on housing values and household location choice in the context of the Tiebout model. This research identifies an exogenous variation in school capital investments by exploiting the lottery allocation of entitlement to an interest-free construction bond among districts in California. Although the lottery is exogenous, additional non-lottery allocation complicates identification. This paper develops an empirical model based on sample selection methods in order to create a counterfactual state in which additional non-lottery allocation would not have existed. I find that receiving the interest-free construction bond increases school capital expenditure and housing values at the district level. I view the increase in housing values as the capitalization of school capital investments. I find little evidence for the effect of the interest-free construction bond on household sorting and student’s academic outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1989-2000 Issue: 18 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1537475 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1537475 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:18:p:1989-2000 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Viet-Ngu Hoang Author-X-Name-First: Viet-Ngu Author-X-Name-Last: Hoang Author-Name: Son Nghiem Author-X-Name-First: Son Author-X-Name-Last: Nghiem Author-Name: Xuan-Binh Vu Author-X-Name-First: Xuan-Binh Author-X-Name-Last: Vu Title: Stunting and academic achievement among Vietnamese children: new evidence from the young lives survey Abstract: Most of the empirical literature on the relationship between the health condition and skill development of school children are based on a static relationship between health and skill development. This article contributes to the literature by examining the dynamic relationship between stunting and school achievement using data from the first three waves of the Young Lives Survey in Vietnam. Using both structural equation and hybrid estimators, empirical results show that past school performance is the most significant predictor of the academic performance. Stunting has a significant negative effect on school performance, and its effect in the long run is as twice as much its effect in the short run. The empirical evidence also shows that the age of the child, mothers’ literacy, access to electricity and household consumption significantly affect school performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2001-2009 Issue: 18 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1537476 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1537476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:18:p:2001-2009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iftekhar Robin Author-X-Name-First: Iftekhar Author-X-Name-Last: Robin Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Author-Name: Harry Bloch Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Bloch Title: Financial deregulation and productivity growth in banking sector: empirical evidence from Bangladesh Abstract: This article examines the effects of regulatory reform on productivity growth in the Bangladesh banking industry. We use a unique balanced panel dataset comprising bank-level annual data from the early deregulation year (1984) to the most recent available period (2012) from major commercial banks in Bangladesh. Applying the Färe-Primont index, the paper provides estimates of productivity growth and identifies sources of total factor productivity (TFP) change. Empirical results show the sample banks have experienced positive TFP change after the financial deregulation. On average, TFP growth is higher in private banks than their public sector counterparts in the post-reform period. In addition, the decomposition analysis shows technological progress is the main driver of productivity change. Similar results are obtained by using the stochastic frontier analysis (SFA). Thus, empirical results remain robust irrespective of the methodology used. The regression analysis finds a positive technical change in the first stage of the reform program, i.e. during the transition period, as leading banks employ advanced technology to compete with potential new entrants. The result also shows that the banking industry still remains concentrated within the state-owned banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5104-5121 Issue: 47 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1607244 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1607244 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:47:p:5104-5121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre-Jean Messe Author-X-Name-First: Pierre-Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Messe Author-Name: François-Charles Wolff Author-X-Name-First: François-Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Title: Healthier when retiring earlier? Evidence from France Abstract: This paper contributes to the literature on the health-retirement relationship by looking at the effect of retiring before legal age on health in later life in France. To account for the endogeneity of the early retirement decision, our identification strategy relies on eligibility rules to a long-career early retirement scheme introduced in France in 2004 that substantially increased the proportion of older workers leaving their last job before the legal age of 60 years. We find a positive correlation between early retirement and health problems among male retirees. However, we fail to find any significant causal effect of early retirement on poor health once we account for the endogeneity of the decision to retire before the legal age. Controlling for working conditions does not influence the effect of retirement and occupying a demanding job is harmful to health after retirement regardless of the retirement date. Similar results are found for female retirees. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5122-5143 Issue: 47 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1610710 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1610710 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:47:p:5122-5143 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dominique Meurs Author-X-Name-First: Dominique Author-X-Name-Last: Meurs Author-Name: Emmanuel Valat Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Valat Title: A better job thanks to personal networks? An evaluation for migrants who arrived in France before age 18 Abstract: It is more difficult for migrants than natives to find a job in their host country, so many of them have to accept, at least temporarily, a job that is below their level of qualification. This represents a waste of human capital for society and can undermine social cohesion. Relying on social relationships might help them to bypass some of the obstacles that prevent them from finding a job that matches their skillset. We focus on migrants who arrived in France before the age of 18 years, who were educated entirely or partially in France. We use the rich French Trajectories and Origins dataset for 2009 to study the impact of personal contacts on the quality of the current employment. We measure the job quality using an indicator based on the educational requirement for a given occupation. To address the endogeneity between our dependent variable (holding a suitable job or not) and the variable of interest (employment found through a personal contact or not), we use the variable ‘sibling(s) in France’ as an instrument: this variable influences an individual’s probability of finding a job through contacts but does not influence directly the quality of the employment. Our results indicate that for these migrants, finding a job through personal contacts strongly and positively impacts the occupational status attained: it raises both women’s and men’s probability of holding a suitable job by more than 0.40 points. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5144-5159 Issue: 47 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1610711 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1610711 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:47:p:5144-5159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carl Magnus Bjuggren Author-X-Name-First: Carl Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Bjuggren Author-Name: Niklas Elert Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Elert Title: Gender differences in optimism Abstract: This article examines gender differences in optimism about the economy. We measure optimism using Swedish survey data in which respondents stated their beliefs about the country’s future economic situation. We argue that this measure of optimism is preferable to common measurements in the literature since it avoids confounding individuals’ economic situation with their perception of the future and it can be compared to economic indicators. In line with previous research, we find that men are more optimistic than women; however, men are also more prone to be wrong in their beliefs about the future economic situation. Furthermore, in sharp economic downturns, the gender differences in optimism disappear. This convergence in beliefs can be explained by the amount of available information on the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5160-5173 Issue: 47 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1610714 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1610714 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:47:p:5160-5173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anne Sophie Oxholm Author-X-Name-First: Anne Sophie Author-X-Name-Last: Oxholm Author-Name: Sibilla Di Guida Author-X-Name-First: Sibilla Author-X-Name-Last: Di Guida Author-Name: Dorte Gyrd-Hansen Author-X-Name-First: Dorte Author-X-Name-Last: Gyrd-Hansen Author-Name: Kim Rose Olsen Author-X-Name-First: Kim Rose Author-X-Name-Last: Olsen Title: Taking care of high-need patients in capitation-based payment schemes – an experimental investigation into the importance of market conditions Abstract: Many health-care systems use provider payment as an instrument to ensure an efficient and equitable delivery of care. Capitation-based payment schemes are popular because they contain costs. However, they are known to lead to underprovision of care, especially to high-need patients. Using a laboratory experiment, we test whether the availability of resources affects providers’ response to a capitation-based scheme. We find that the relative underprovision of care to high-need patients exists both when providers are resource abundant and constrained. Next, we introduce two different versions of the scheme and test whether they incentivize providers to take better care of high-need patients. One scheme ring-fences part of the capitation payment to a fixed physician salary, whilst the other scheme differentiates payments based on patients’ expected need of care. We find that high-need patients gain the most from a fixed provider salary under resource abundance, but find no difference in gains between patient types under resource constraint. Our results also show that differentiation of capitation makes providers take relatively better care of patients linked to an above average payment compared to a below average payment, regardless of resource constraints. Our findings suggest that both the design of the scheme and the market condition affect providers’ patient prioritization under capitation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5174-5184 Issue: 47 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1610715 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1610715 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:47:p:5174-5184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ronald A. Ratti Author-X-Name-First: Ronald A. Author-X-Name-Last: Ratti Author-Name: Joaquin L. Vespignani Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin L. Author-X-Name-Last: Vespignani Title: What drives the global official/policy interest rate? Abstract: We construct a GFAVAR model with newly released global data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas to investigate the drivers of global official/policy interest rate. We find that 66% of movement in global official/policy interest rates is attributed to changes in global monetary aggregates (23%), oil prices (19%), global output (16%) and global prices (8%). Global official/policy interest rates respond significantly to increases in global output, inflation and oil prices. Increases in global policy interest rates are associated with reductions in global prices and global output. The response in official/policy interest rate for the emerging countries is more to global inflation, for the advanced countries (excluding the U.S.) is more to global output, and for the U.S. is to both global output and inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5185-5190 Issue: 47 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1610716 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1610716 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:47:p:5185-5190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Issam Laguir Author-X-Name-First: Issam Author-X-Name-Last: Laguir Author-Name: Rébecca Stekelorum Author-X-Name-First: Rébecca Author-X-Name-Last: Stekelorum Author-Name: Jamal Elbaz Author-X-Name-First: Jamal Author-X-Name-Last: Elbaz Author-Name: David Duchamp Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Duchamp Title: Getting into the energy efficiency scene: does corporate social responsibility matter for energy efficiency in SMEs? Abstract: A growing body of literature argues that improving energy efficiency is an essential step that firms must take to mitigate climate change issues. It is assumed that corporate social responsibility (CSR) in general plays a prominent role in firms’ policies, and this paper specifically investigates the effects of the individual CSR dimensions on SMEs’ energy efficiency improvement. Based on data from a sample of 146 thousand SMEs, and using logit model, and fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis, the study reveals that high activities in social, environmental and economic CSR dimensions are associated with high energy efficiency. Specifically, the environmental CSR dimension has the highest contribution to improving energy efficiency. Furthermore, this study indicates that energy efficiency improvement can be achieved by large SMEs provided they have developed simultaneously the environmental, social, and economic CSR dimensions. In doing so, this study answers to recent calls for more research on CSR-energy efficiency relationship and addresses with greater precision why it matters to relate the role of the CSR dimensions and energy efficiency. Furthermore, this study can be of value to policymakers who are called to promote CSR practices of SMEs in order to foster their energy efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5191-5204 Issue: 47 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1610719 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1610719 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:47:p:5191-5204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heesun Jang Author-X-Name-First: Heesun Author-X-Name-Last: Jang Author-Name: Xiaodong Du Author-X-Name-First: Xiaodong Author-X-Name-Last: Du Title: Evolving techniques in production function identification illustrated in the case of the US dairy Abstract: We estimate production technologies of major dairy producing regions in the U.S. The simultaneity and sample selection biases are carefully corrected following the recent development in the literature. The commonly applied control function approaches are found to be misleading in correcting for biases of coefficient estimates on flexible and quasi-fixed input variables. We show that the emerging dairy regions have relatively higher aggregate productivity than traditional regions. Dynamic decomposition results indicate that surviving farms play a more important role in regional productivity growth than entering and exiting farms. Farm- and regional-level driving forces of farm productivity are also examined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1463-1477 Issue: 14 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527457 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527457 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:14:p:1463-1477 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Teresa Balaguer-Coll Author-X-Name-First: Maria Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Balaguer-Coll Author-Name: Maria Isabel Brun-Martos Author-X-Name-First: Maria Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Brun-Martos Author-Name: Laura Márquez-Ramos Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Márquez-Ramos Author-Name: Diego Prior Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Prior Title: Local government efficiency: determinants and spatial interdependence Abstract: We analyse the determinants of local government efficiency taking into account the presence of spatial interactions among neighbouring municipalities. To do so, first we estimate an efficiency index using the robust order-m methodology in Valencian municipalities (Spain). Second, we examine the socio-economic, political and budgetary factors that might influence efficiency levels. Finally, we analyse the spatial interactions present in our data. The results of estimating a spatial autoregressive model show that government efficiency in neighbouring municipalities positively affects the local government’s own efficiency. This highlights the importance of considering spatial dependence structures in studies on efficiency in the public sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1478-1494 Issue: 14 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527458 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527458 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:14:p:1478-1494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ikerne del Valle Author-X-Name-First: Ikerne Author-X-Name-Last: del Valle Author-Name: Kepa Astorkiza Author-X-Name-First: Kepa Author-X-Name-Last: Astorkiza Title: Bioeconomic diversity dynamics of a marine ecosystem Abstract: This paper models the bio-economic diversity dynamics of a marine ecosystem made up by its entire commercial fish species and, from the fitted model, obtains a quantitative measure of its resilience to disturbance in terms of recovery time after a shock. Such shocks might be produced by both, downturns in catches and/or prices related to changing regulatory and environmental conditions. To that end, monthly time series of bio-economic diversity indices will be used and the framework of a mixed cyclical ARFIMA joint with a GARCH type heteroscedaticity model will be explored to analyse the dynamic properties of such indices and, based on the estimated impulse response functions (IRF) to measure the effects and duration of a unitary random shock or disturbance. One of our findings is that bio-economic diversity is a mean-reverting process with an estimated recovery time between 7 and 10 years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1495-1513 Issue: 14 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527459 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527459 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:14:p:1495-1513 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samir Huseynov Author-X-Name-First: Samir Author-X-Name-Last: Huseynov Author-Name: Bachir Kassas Author-X-Name-First: Bachir Author-X-Name-Last: Kassas Author-Name: Michelle S. Segovia Author-X-Name-First: Michelle S. Author-X-Name-Last: Segovia Author-Name: Marco A. Palma Author-X-Name-First: Marco A. Author-X-Name-Last: Palma Title: Incorporating biometric data in models of consumer choice Abstract: The use of neuro-physiological data in models of consumer choice is gaining popularity. This article presents some of the benefits of using psycho-physiological data in analyzing consumer valuation and choice. Eye-tracking, facial expressions, and electroencephalography (EEG) data were used to construct three non-conventional choice models, namely, eye-tracking, emotion and brain model. The predictive performance of the non-conventional models was compared to a baseline model, which was based entirely on conventional data. While the emotion and brain models proved to be as good as conventional data in explaining and predicting consumer choice, the eye-tracking model generated superior predictions. Moreover, we document a significant increase in predictive power when biometric data from different sources were combined into a mixed model. Finally, we utilize a machine learning technique to sparse the data and enhance out-of-sample prediction, thus showcasing the compatibility of biometric data with well-established statistical and econometric methods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1514-1531 Issue: 14 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527460 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527460 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:14:p:1514-1531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Clinton L. Neill Author-X-Name-First: Clinton L. Author-X-Name-Last: Neill Author-Name: Rodney B. Holcomb Author-X-Name-First: Rodney B. Author-X-Name-Last: Holcomb Author-Name: Kellie Curry Raper Author-X-Name-First: Kellie Curry Author-X-Name-Last: Raper Author-Name: Brian E. Whitacre Author-X-Name-First: Brian E. Author-X-Name-Last: Whitacre Title: Effects of spatial density on veterinarian income: where are all of the veterinarians? Abstract: With increased numbers of veterinarians in the market, it is critical to understand how this increased competition affects income potential at multiple levels. This study presents an empirical approach that incorporates local and nonlocalised spatial competition of firms into one model. By analysing the market for veterinarians using a spatial weight matrix approach, we are able to quantify localized and nonlocalised competition which assists in defining relevant market areas for veterinarians. Specifically, increased density within their county and surrounding counties decreases veterinarian income. Thus, the potential market area for veterinarians is larger than the local/county market in which they practice. This is important for veterinarians when choosing a location to practice, as they must consider the competition and demand in local and non-local areas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1532-1540 Issue: 14 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527461 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527461 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:14:p:1532-1540 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Satchell Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Satchell Author-Name: Susan Thorp Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Thorp Author-Name: Oliver Williams Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: Reversing disbursement rates to estimate stationary wealth processes for endowments with recursive preferences Abstract: Endowments have been accused of hoarding their wealth. However, the theoretically ideal spending plan remains unclear and, in practice, endowments follow a range of rules. Here we derive and estimate the optimal spending plans of an infinitely lived charity or endowment with an Epstein-Zin-Weil utility function, given general Markovian returns to wealth. We analyse two special cases: first, where spending is a power function of last period’s wealth; and second where the endowment uses ‘payout smoothing’. Via non-linear least squares, we estimate the optimal spending rate and the elasticity of inter-temporal substitution for an endowment with a typical diversified portfolio and for a portfolio of hedge funds. In a new approach, we use maximum entropy methods to characterize the returns distribution of an endowment whose spending plan conforms with the optimality condition. We confirm that the estimated returns distribution is largely consistent with the optimal spending plan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1541-1557 Issue: 14 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527462 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:14:p:1541-1557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kejo Starosta Author-X-Name-First: Kejo Author-X-Name-Last: Starosta Author-Name: Sonia Budz Author-X-Name-First: Sonia Author-X-Name-Last: Budz Author-Name: Michael Krutwig Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Krutwig Title: The impact of German-speaking online media on tourist arrivals in popular tourist destinations for Europeans Abstract: This empirical study analyzes the relationship between the sentiments in online media with regard to travel destinations and corresponding tourist arrivals. We expect the media reports on political and economic instability and turmoil to enhance tourist arrival nowcasts and forecasts, as they can probably complement them with information on disruptions and shocks. Therefore, we believe this research will help to build better models for tourism demand nowcasting and forecasting. We use the sentiment in the German-speaking online media because the German-speaking region is the most populated in Europe and has the largest group of travelers visiting destinations in and around Europe.An artificial neural network is used to analyze the mood of the media. The software classifies news items regarding potential tourist destinations with either positive or negative labels. The number of positive and negative news items is used to build sentiment indices for popular tourist destinations for Europeans.Our results show strong correlations between the mood concerning tourist destinations and tourist arrivals in these countries. Indeed, disruptions and shocks prevalent in the news are reflected in similar ratios in both tourist arrivals and sentiment indices. These results can be used as a new explanatory variable for tourism demand modelling. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1558-1573 Issue: 14 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527463 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527463 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:14:p:1558-1573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Huang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Agyenim Boateng Author-X-Name-First: Agyenim Author-X-Name-Last: Boateng Title: Executive shareholding, compensation, and analyst forecast of Chinese firms Abstract: We examine the impact of executive and leadership shareholding and cash compensation on analyst forecast error and dispersion as proxies for information asymmetry. We find that firms pay higher compensation (or excess compensation) to executives and directors are associated with higher information asymmetry. The positive association is stronger where executives’ and directors’ shareholdings are higher. Shareholding appears to facilitate managerial entrenchment and gives highly paid executives/leadership stronger structural power which adversely affects information disclosure leading to larger forecast error and dispersion. These results are robust to different measures of compensation and alternative models controlling for the predictability of firm-level earnings. Our findings indicate that executive/director shareholding and compensation do not provide sufficient incentives for information disclosure by Chinese firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1459-1472 Issue: 15 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1218432 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1218432 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:15:p:1459-1472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daye Li Author-X-Name-First: Daye Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Rongrong Li Author-X-Name-First: Rongrong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Qiankun Sun Author-X-Name-First: Qiankun Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: How the heterogeneity in investment horizons affects market trends Abstract: To investigate the relationship between the liquidity and the divergent degree of heterogeneous investors with different investment horizons, we propose an agent-based model based on the assumptions of the fractal market hypothesis. A laboratory market is used to investigate the impact of the divergent degree on the stability of the financial market. Simulation results indicate that the market becomes more stable as investors become increasingly divergent and are more likely to absorb the orders of the other side and maintain a narrow trade gap. Moreover, with highly heterogeneous investors, the market is more efficient, less liable to crash and less volatile. The simulation, based on the agent-based model, demonstrates that the interactions and herding behaviours of investors lead to a market crash when the divergent structure shrinks and only limited investment horizons are available. The result also suggests an alternate explanation of the anomaly of efficient market hypothesis, which shows why the momentum and contrarian strategies can earn excess returns in the short term and the long term, respectively. It also verifies the hypothesis that heterogeneous investors with different investment horizons provide market liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1473-1482 Issue: 15 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1218433 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1218433 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:15:p:1473-1482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad A. Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: Blaming suicide on NASA and divorce on margarine: the hazard of using cointegration to derive inference on spurious correlation Abstract: Contrary to common belief, cointegration testing may not distinguish between spurious relations and genuine ones. It is demonstrated that highly correlated series appear as cointegrated, even though common sense tells us that the underlying relation does not make sense. Empirical testing using simulated data, data from daily life and historical data on interest rates shows that cointegration may fail not only to detect spurious correlation but also to capture cointegration in a genuine relation. Cointegration testing to reveal spurious correlation can only be used in conjunction with theory, common sense and intuition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1483-1490 Issue: 15 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1218434 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1218434 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:15:p:1483-1490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katja Ignatieva Author-X-Name-First: Katja Author-X-Name-Last: Ignatieva Author-Name: Natalia Ponomareva Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Author-X-Name-Last: Ponomareva Title: Commodity currencies and commodity prices: modelling static and time-varying dependence Abstract: This article employs the copula approach to study the relationship between exchange rates and commodity prices for large commodity exporters. Using data for the nominal exchange rates of four commodity currencies (Australian, Canadian and New Zealand dollars, and Norwegian krone) against the US dollar and the relevant country-specific commodity price indices, constructed on a daily basis, we find (1) a positive dependence between the values of commodity currencies and commodity indices, i.e. a commodity index increases when a respective currency appreciates and provides several explanations for this finding; (2) no major asymmetries in the tail dependence for most pairs of exchange rates and commodity indices and (3) a pronounced increase in the time-varying tail dependence following the global financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1491-1512 Issue: 15 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1221038 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1221038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:15:p:1491-1512 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: How do great shocks influence the correlation between oil and international stock markets? Abstract: We investigate the impacts of great shocks (2003 Iraq War and 2008 Financial Crisis) on the correlations between oil and US/China stock markets, utilizing a novel MADCC (mixed asymmetry dynamic conditional correlation) model. This model successfully captures the coexistence of opposite signed asymmetries. We find that great shocks indeed increased the correlations. Further, results from the news impact surfaces indicate that correlations between oil and stock markets are higher to joint negative shocks; however, correlation between stock markets has stronger response to joint positive shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1513-1526 Issue: 15 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1221040 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1221040 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:15:p:1513-1526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu Author-X-Name-First: Claudiu Tiberiu Author-X-Name-Last: Albulescu Author-Name: Cornel Oros Author-X-Name-First: Cornel Author-X-Name-Last: Oros Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Title: Oil price–inflation pass-through in Romania during the inflation targeting regime Abstract: In the wake of the inflation-targeting strategy in Romania, we estimate the impact of international oil prices upon the consumer price index (CPI) and core inflation. The inflation target was systematically missed by the monetary authorities who explain this failure by exogenous factors. Using a frequency domain framework, we show that the oil price–inflation pass-through can be observed only for those components of inflation which include volatile prices and only in the medium run. Our results put forward that the constant missing of the target cannot be explained by the oil price–inflation pass-through and the credibility of the strategy is put into question. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1527-1542 Issue: 15 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1221041 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1221041 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:15:p:1527-1542 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darold Barnum Author-X-Name-First: Darold Author-X-Name-Last: Barnum Author-Name: Jason Coupet Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Coupet Author-Name: John Gleason Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Gleason Author-Name: Abagail McWilliams Author-X-Name-First: Abagail Author-X-Name-Last: McWilliams Author-Name: Annaleena Parhankangas Author-X-Name-First: Annaleena Author-X-Name-Last: Parhankangas Title: Impact of input substitution and output transformation on data envelopment analysis decisions Abstract: Data envelopment analysis (DEA) can aid managerial decision-making because it offers an opportunity to measure organizational performance in a holistic manner, aggregating data from partial indicators into a single comprehensive measure. However, there are some methodological hazards associated with the use of DEA that are especially relevant to managerial decisions, but which have been largely ignored in the literature. Herein, we identify and show the impact of a ubiquitous methodological hazard in DEA modelling – the economic assumptions regarding input substitutions and output transformations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1543-1556 Issue: 15 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1221042 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1221042 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:15:p:1543-1556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daeyong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Daeyong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Dividend taxation and household dividend portfolio decisions: evidence from the U.S. Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2003 Abstract: This study examines the dividend clientele hypothesis by focusing on the preferential tax treatment of qualified dividends provided by the 2003 Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act (JGTRRA) in the United States. Using the Public Use Tax File data, the author finds that the ratios of dividends to long-term capital gains before the 2003 tax act significantly declined with household tax rate differentials between dividends and long-term capital gains, but such a negative tax effect on the ratios disappears afterwards. This seemingly tax-inefficient composition of dividends and long-term capital gains after the tax act arises from households’ ability to reduce their tax burdens on stocks by exploiting the new preferential tax treatments on qualified dividends under JGTRRA. That is, households in the upper tax bracket hold significantly greater shares of qualified dividends relative to ordinary dividends after the tax act. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 723-737 Issue: 8 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1205722 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1205722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:8:p:723-737 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Kent Baker Author-X-Name-First: H. Kent Author-X-Name-Last: Baker Author-Name: Imed Chkir Author-X-Name-First: Imed Author-X-Name-Last: Chkir Author-Name: Samir Saadi Author-X-Name-First: Samir Author-X-Name-Last: Saadi Author-Name: Ligang Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Ligang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Title: What drives the high moments of hedge fund returns? Abstract: We study the high-moment distribution of hedge fund returns and identify factors that drive high-moment risk. Using hedge fund monthly returns, we find a strong correlation between the first four moments of returns (i.e. mean, standard deviation (SD), skewness, and kurtosis) and different characteristics of the funds such as leverage, liquidity, incentives, and strategy-related factors. We find that after controlling for other factors, incentives-related factors and a hedge fund’s specific strategy have the greatest impact on the distribution of fund returns. Our evidence also suggests investors allocate across hedge fund characteristics while placing greater emphasis on fund strategies and incentive factors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 738-755 Issue: 8 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1205723 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1205723 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:8:p:738-755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ewelina Sokołowska Author-X-Name-First: Ewelina Author-X-Name-Last: Sokołowska Title: Does growing wealth influence hedge funds’ development? An empirical analysis Abstract: Alternative investments, such as hedge funds, have, in last years, become an integral part of the investment portfolios of the wealthy. The article’s goal is also to answer the following research question: Does the global wealth of the world have impact on the global value of the hedge funds’ assets? We also try to forecast the value of the hedge funds’ assets for the next years 2015–2017. The results from this study would also be valuable to investors and other stakeholders, such as the regulators and the creditors of the hedge funds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 756-768 Issue: 8 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1205724 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1205724 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:8:p:756-768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajibur Reza Author-X-Name-First: Rajibur Author-X-Name-Last: Reza Author-Name: Gurudeo Anand Tularam Author-X-Name-First: Gurudeo Anand Author-X-Name-Last: Tularam Author-Name: Bin Li Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: An investigation into the interdependence of global water indices: a VAR analysis Abstract: We investigate the extent and manner of equity price interdependence among four water indices – World Water Index, S-Network Global Water index (S-Net), S&P Global Water Index (S&P) and MSCI ACWI Water Utilities Index (MSCI ACWI) using the vector autoregression (VAR) framework for the period 2004–2014. We also employ methods of Granger causalities, variance decomposition and impulse responses. We find Granger causality significance between S-Net and MSCI ACWI and S-Net and S&P indices at the 1% level of significance, suggesting that the indices are significantly linked. Further, S-Net is the most influential index amongst them in the forecast variance that can be accounted by S-Net at level of 55.75%. Our study indicates that the four water indices are interdependent and related, so the water indices are influenced by movements in the other water indices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 769-796 Issue: 8 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1205725 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1205725 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:8:p:769-796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meliyanni Johar Author-X-Name-First: Meliyanni Author-X-Name-Last: Johar Author-Name: Shiko Maruyama Author-X-Name-First: Shiko Author-X-Name-Last: Maruyama Author-Name: Jeffrey Truong Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Truong Title: The contribution of Western fast food to fast-growing body mass in China Abstract: The westernization of Asian countries has led to the rapid expansion of Western-style fast-food restaurants, which are believed to be fueling an unprecedented rise in body mass in these countries. This study tests this belief using longitudinal data from China. Exploiting the opening of a Western-style fast-food restaurant in a particular community, we conduct a transition analysis to make a more convincing causal interpretation than the standard cross-sectional or fixed-effects approach. Considering several measures of fatness, we find no robust evidence of Western fast food having a substantial effect overall, but there is some indication of effect heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 797-811 Issue: 8 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1205726 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1205726 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:8:p:797-811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin M. Blau Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin M. Author-X-Name-Last: Blau Title: Skewness preferences, asset prices and investor sentiment Abstract: Prior research has found that investors have strong preferences for stocks with positive skewness. These preferences have been shown to lead to price premiums and subsequent underperformance. This study extends this growing body of literature by testing whether the underperformance of stocks with positive skewness is driven by periods of high investor sentiment. The motivation for these tests is based on a broad literature in Psychology that an individual’s mood can directly affect the individual’s subjective probability assessments. In the framework of our tests, more optimism among investors may strengthen investors’ skewness preferences. The empirical results in this study support this idea as the underperformance of positively skewed stocks is shown to be primarily driven by periods of high investor sentiment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 812-822 Issue: 8 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1205727 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1205727 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:8:p:812-822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Grégory Levieuge Author-X-Name-First: Grégory Author-X-Name-Last: Levieuge Title: Explaining and forecasting bank loans. Good times and crisis Abstract: This article aims to develop a parsimonious model to explain and forecast bank loans to nonfinancial companies during calm periods as well as in situations of financial turmoil. It focuses on the French context, over a period including financial, banking and sovereign debt crises. Theoretical views and intuitions led us to gauge the marginal informational content of a large set of leading indicators in VAR and VECM models, and to investigate potential nonlinearity in credit dynamics. In accordance with firms and banks’ balance sheet effects, the growth rate of equity prices appears to be one of the most interesting leading indicator as well as a significant threshold variable for explaining regime switching. However, it appears difficult to accurately predict the right credit dynamics regimes. A simple VAR model finally performs better. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 823-843 Issue: 8 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1208350 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1208350 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:8:p:823-843 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Posso Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Posso Author-Name: Prema-chandra Athukorala Author-X-Name-First: Prema-chandra Author-X-Name-Last: Athukorala Title: Microfinance and child mortality Abstract: Microfinance institutions (MFIs) offer targeted opportunities for the poor to generate additional income with a range of financial services including credit, insurance, savings accounts and money transfers. Aside from reducing poverty, microfinance can potentially improve health because it is the poor who are usually more constrained from health investments due to limited budgets. Furthermore, microfinancing specifically targets women, who are more likely to spend additional income on children’s well-being. Finally, several MFIs have also begun to offer health-related services, such as health education, health-care financing, clinical care, training community health workers, health micro-insurance and linkages to public and private health providers. Using a new data set, this article conducts the first multi-country study of the effect of microfinance on child mortality, the health outcome, which is most sensitive to the effects of absolute deprivation. Our findings confirm that an increase in the proportion of MFI clients in a country is significantly associated with lower under-five and infant mortality rates. We conclude that if MFIs’ educational and health services have indeed caused improvements in health outcomes at the community level, then it may be important for governments to complement these activities with similar campaigns, particularly in remote areas where MFI penetration is low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2313-2324 Issue: 21 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1394976 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1394976 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:21:p:2313-2324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minhua Yang Author-X-Name-First: Minhua Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Vikash Ramiah Author-X-Name-First: Vikash Author-X-Name-Last: Ramiah Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Yu He Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Narcissism, political tenure, financial indicators and the effectiveness of environmental regulation Abstract: This article explores the factors that determine the effectiveness of environmental regulation in the United States and Australia. Unlike prior literature, in which lagging performance measures (such as carbon emissions) are used, we use financial data to develop effectiveness scores and identify the determinants of effectiveness, including narcissistic behaviour, tenure of political leaders and financial indicators. Consistent with the emerging literature on environmental finance, we find that abnormal returns are associated with environmental regulation and that effectiveness is adversely affected when narcissistic leaders are in power. Our results remain robust when we control for various event windows and models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2325-2338 Issue: 21 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1394977 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1394977 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:21:p:2325-2338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ting Hu Author-X-Name-First: Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Cynthia M. Gong Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gong Title: Does reference point matter in the leverage–return relationship? Evidence from the US stock market Abstract: The leverage–return relationship is supported by inconclusive empirical evidence in terms of its sign and significance. In this study, we argue that such a puzzling relationship can be understood by extending the traditional theoretical framework in a way that captures the reference dependence characteristics of prospect theory. We postulate that a firm’s leverage position relative to its reference point (i.e. target leverage) combined with market conditions places firms in either a gain or a loss domain, thereby resulting in different leverage–return relationships. Leverage and expected equity returns generally exhibit positive and negative relationships in gain and loss domains, respectively. Three hypotheses are derived and tested using 1998–2013 empirical data from the US stock market. This article contributes to the existing literature by confirming the applicability of prospect theory in explaining expected returns in the stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2339-2355 Issue: 21 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1394978 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1394978 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:21:p:2339-2355 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Moizer Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Moizer Author-Name: Sue Farrar Author-X-Name-First: Sue Author-X-Name-Last: Farrar Author-Name: Mark Hyde Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Hyde Title: UK state pension deferral incentives and sustainability Abstract: Pay-as-you-go state pension schemes such as that operated in the United Kingdom face growing pressures from the rising old-age dependency ratio and improvements to life expectancies. Alongside compulsory increases in the statutory retirement age, governments have used incentives to encourage workers to postpone voluntarily their exit from employment, deferring their Basic State Pension in exchange for the additional financial reward of an enhanced pension at a later point in time. The impact of pension deferral upon the sustainability of the state pension system is dependent on the interplay of short-term savings from payment delay and increased subsequent longer-term payments to pension recipients. This article presents a model that simulates the financial effect of deferral uptake on the National Insurance Fund over a 40-year projection under alternative scenarios, including current and revised post-2016 deferral incentives. The findings indicate that the recent change in enhancement rate from 10.4 per cent to 5.8 per cent will significantly impact on state pension sustainability while still providing an incentive to defer. We estimate that any reduction below 4 per cent would result in zero uptake of the deferral option, based on a rational financial choice. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2356-2368 Issue: 21 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1397850 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1397850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:21:p:2356-2368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Flávia Chein Author-X-Name-First: Flávia Author-X-Name-Last: Chein Author-Name: Cristine Pinto Author-X-Name-First: Cristine Author-X-Name-Last: Pinto Title: Credit constraint and human capital investment: an empirical analysis using Brazilian household budget survey Abstract: This article is a first step towards understanding the relationship between credit market imperfections and inequality of opportunity in skill formation. The main goal is to investigate the effects of the credit constraint on the optimal human capital decision, in terms of degree of schooling, taking into account the household preferences for education. Our starting point is a theoretical model of human capital investment decision with credit constraint. Following a previous model in the literature, we propose a reduced-form approach that estimates the relation between education decision and initial wealth in Brazil. Our empirical analysis is conducted using data from a Brazilian Household Budget Survey (Pesquisa de Orçamentos Familiares), for years 2002–2003 and 2008–2009. Our results point out that education decision is in fact credit constrained. The empirical results show a strong and highly significant effect of wealth on educational level of children, teenagers and adults, even controlling by education expenditures. But we find no evidence of credit constraint on high level education decision, like undergraduate and graduate levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2369-2385 Issue: 21 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1397851 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1397851 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:21:p:2369-2385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Lensink Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Lensink Author-Name: Roy Mersland Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Mersland Author-Name: Nhung Thi Hong Vu Author-X-Name-First: Nhung Thi Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Vu Author-Name: Stephen Zamore Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Zamore Title: Do microfinance institutions benefit from integrating financial and nonfinancial services? Abstract: This article examines the impact of microfinance ‘plus’ (i.e. coordinated combination of financial and nonfinancial services) on the performance of microfinance institutions (MFIs). Using a global data set of MFIs in 77 countries, we find that the provision of nonfinancial services does not harm nor improve MFIs’ financial sustainability and efficiency. The results however suggest that the provision of social services is associated with improved loan quality and greater depth of outreach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2386-2401 Issue: 21 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1397852 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1397852 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:21:p:2386-2401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad M. Habibpour Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad M. Author-X-Name-Last: Habibpour Author-Name: Mathieu Peiffer Author-X-Name-First: Mathieu Author-X-Name-Last: Peiffer Author-Name: Roland Pepermans Author-X-Name-First: Roland Author-X-Name-Last: Pepermans Author-Name: Marc Jegers Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Jegers Title: How giving affects giving: a long-term analysis of donations Abstract: Social preferences theories suggest that at least some people show altruistic behaviour. However, this philanthropic behaviour ranges from pure altruistic preferences to reluctant altruists. The fact that a subset of contributors has impure preferences raises questions regarding the stability of prosocial contributions. Assuming differences in other regarding preferences, we examine whether at an aggregated level monetary contributions are stable or fragile over time. We study the aggregated donations in the US from 1973 to 2013 using ARIMA and ARMAX models. The significant autoregressive and moving average coefficients in our estimations suggest that aggregated donations are highly autocorrelated. Our estimated impulse response functions indicate that aggregated donations converge to their historic mean quickly after an exogenous shock, which shows the stickiness of the inclination to donate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2402-2413 Issue: 21 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1397853 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1397853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:21:p:2402-2413 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chong-Uk Kim Author-X-Name-First: Chong-Uk Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Gieyoung Lim Author-X-Name-First: Gieyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Immigration and domestic wage: an empirical study on competition among immigrants Abstract: While studies on the wage effects of immigration focus on native workers, there is significantly less information on the wage effects of immigration on domestic foreign-born workers. In addition to analysing the impact of immigration on wages of native workers, in this article, we estimate the internal competition among foreign-born workers in the United States. Firstly, using data from the Current Population Survey, we find no empirical evidence supporting the substitutability of native workers for immigrants. Secondly, there is no statistical difference between skilled and unskilled immigrants on the influence of the domestic labour market outcomes. Finally, there is no internal competition among immigrants. The income of non-citizen workers mainly depends on state and national levels of economic situations, not the number of non-citizen workers available in the labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3351-3358 Issue: 34 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1259751 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1259751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:34:p:3351-3358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura M. Crispin Author-X-Name-First: Laura M. Author-X-Name-Last: Crispin Author-Name: Dimitrios Nikolaou Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolaou Author-Name: Zheng (Muriel) Fang Author-X-Name-First: Zheng (Muriel) Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: Extracurricular participation and risky behaviours during high school Abstract: Extracurriculars may reduce risky behaviours (smoking, alcohol, marijuana use) through human and health capital accumulation, crowding out and positive peer influences but may also increase them through peer pressure. Using data from the National Education Longitudinal Study, we estimate the contemporaneous and longer term effects of extracurricular participation on 10th and 12th grade risky behaviours. Joint estimation of the participation and risky behaviour decisions, which corrects for selection into extracurriculars, shows that extracurricular activities lead to substantial reductions in the likelihood of engagement in risky behaviours, particularly for smoking and marijuana, but these effects are not persistent in the longer run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3359-3371 Issue: 34 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1259752 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1259752 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:34:p:3359-3371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giovanni S. F. Bruno Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni S. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Bruno Author-Name: Misbah Choudhry Tanveer Author-X-Name-First: Misbah Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhry Tanveer Author-Name: Enrico Marelli Author-X-Name-First: Enrico Author-X-Name-Last: Marelli Author-Name: Marcello Signorelli Author-X-Name-First: Marcello Author-X-Name-Last: Signorelli Title: The short- and long-run impacts of financial crises on youth unemployment in OECD countries Abstract: The impact of financial crises on the youth unemployment rate (YUR), compared to the total unemployment rate (UR), is estimated for a panel of OECD countries over the period 1981–2009, using bias-corrected dynamic panel data estimators of short- and long-run coefficients. Both YUR and UR are found highly persistent. Also, short- and long-run effects of financial crises on YUR are significantly large, respectively, some 1.9 and 1.5–1.7 times higher than the short- and long-run effects on UR. Similar results are found for the unemployment impacts of GDP growth lagged 1 year and institutional variables. These results are robust to various dynamic specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3372-3394 Issue: 34 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1259753 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1259753 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:34:p:3372-3394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: L.A. Smales Author-X-Name-First: L.A. Author-X-Name-Last: Smales Title: The importance of fear: investor sentiment and stock market returns Abstract: The presence of investor sentiment pushes asset prices away from the equilibrium level justified by underlying fundamentals. While sentiment is not directly observable, identifying appropriate proxies and, quantifying the impact of sentiment on asset prices is an important topic. Asset prices that do not appropriately reflect fundamental values may result in inefficient allocation of capital – impacting portfolio allocation decisions and the cost of capital. Utilizing a number of sentiment proxies, over the period 1990–2015, we demonstrate a strong relationship between investor sentiment and stock returns that is consistent with theoretical explanations of sentiment. We determine that implied volatility index (VIX) is the preferred measure of sentiment in terms of improving model fit and adding explanatory power. Causality tests suggest that investor fear (VIX) drives returns across firm-size and value, and also across industry. We also illustrate that firms that are more subjective to value, or face limits to arbitrage, such as small-cap stocks, or those in the business equipment (technology) or telecoms industry, are most responsive to changes investor sentiment. Finally, we demonstrate that sentiment has a greater influence on market returns during recession, when sentiment is at its lowest ebb, and this is particularly true for those stocks most susceptible to speculative demand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3395-3421 Issue: 34 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1259754 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1259754 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:34:p:3395-3421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger C. Y. Chen Author-X-Name-First: Roger C. Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chen-Hsun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Hsun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The influence of CSR on firm value: an application of panel smooth transition regression on Taiwan Abstract: Previous studies on the relationship between corporate social responsibility (CSR) and firm value generally belong to one of the two opposing schools of thought: the social impact hypothesis and the shift of focus hypothesis. This study, however, proposes that the relationship between CSR and company value is non-linear and neither wholly positive nor negative. We employed the corporate social responsibility index (CRSI) to test this hypothesis. The panel smooth transition regression (PSTR) model was used to analyse listed Taiwanese firms from 2010 to 2012 and calculate the value transition threshold of CSR, using CSRI as the transition variable. We then applied PSTR to determine whether CSRI shows a two-regime, non-linear relationship, as inferred by our model. Empirical findings show that the threshold value of CSRI is 13.082, thus, we concluded that investment in CSR does not contribute to enhancing company value until it exceeds the value transition threshold. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3422-3434 Issue: 34 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1262516 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1262516 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:34:p:3422-3434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huayun Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Huayun Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Neda Todorova Author-X-Name-First: Neda Author-X-Name-Last: Todorova Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Dynamics of volatility transmission between the U.S. and the Chinese agricultural futures markets Abstract: The U.S. and China are two of the biggest players in the world agricultural market. The literature documents that volatility in the U.S. agricultural futures market spills over significantly to that of China. This article provides further insights into the spillovers from China to the U.S. as well as the time horizon and dynamics of the bidirectional spillovers through the application of a multivariate extension of the heterogeneous autoregressive model, in relation to four commodities – soybean, wheat, corn and sugar. The results confirm the existence of significant spillovers from the U.S. to China for four commodities, which are primarily generated by the shorter-term volatility components in the U.S., and provide evidence for the increasing pricing power of the Chinese market. The findings are robust against various specifications and have important investment and policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3435-3452 Issue: 34 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1262517 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1262517 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:34:p:3435-3452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marat Ibragimov Author-X-Name-First: Marat Author-X-Name-Last: Ibragimov Author-Name: Rustam Ibragimov Author-X-Name-First: Rustam Author-X-Name-Last: Ibragimov Title: Unemployment and output dynamics in CIS countries: Okun’s law revisited Abstract: Okun’s law is a well-known relationship between the change in the unemployment rate and output growth. The main objective of this article is to provide a rigorous econometric analysis of Okun’s law for several CIS countries using different models and theoretically justified econometric methods. The traditional approach to Okun’s law estimation using OLS regressions does not account for possible endogeneity of regressors and the implied inconsistency of the estimates obtained. These problems point out to incorrectness of applications of the standard OLS estimation techniques. Our study addresses these issues by using econometrically justified instrumental variable regression methods. The article provides the results and discussions on practical use of Okun’s relationships for evaluation of average effects of economic growth on the unemployment rate, and vice versa; importance of accounting for confidence intervals in applications of Okun’s models to economic development analysis and cross-country comparisons and evaluation of effects of crises and other structural shocks on the economies considered. We also discuss in detail the results of formal econometric tests and economic motivation for validity of instrumental variables used in the study. The formal econometric tests, together with economic arguments, allow us to determine the most appropriate Okun-type models for each of the CIS countries under consideration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3453-3479 Issue: 34 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1262519 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1262519 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:34:p:3453-3479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Moulaye Bamba Author-X-Name-First: Moulaye Author-X-Name-Last: Bamba Author-Name: Jean-Louis Combes Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Combes Author-Name: Alexandru Minea Author-X-Name-First: Alexandru Author-X-Name-Last: Minea Title: The effects of fiscal consolidations on the composition of government spending Abstract: In response to increasing debt paths, governments often implement fiscal consolidation programs. This paper studies the impact of these programs on the composition of government spending. System-GMM estimations performed on a sample of 53 developed and emerging countries over 1980–2011 reveal that fiscal consolidations significantly reduce the government investment-to-consumption ratio, i.e. a composition effect. Robust to a wide set of tests, including when using the narrative approach to identify fiscal consolidations, this significantly stronger contraction of government investment with respect to government consumption is at work particularly when debt is high and in the low phase of the economic cycle. Therefore, in such contexts, fiscal consolidations aimed at short-run stabilization may hurt the economy in the long-run through their detrimental effect on public investment, calling for a reflection upon how they could be re-designed to allow avoiding such undesirable consequences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1517-1532 Issue: 14 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1676392 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1676392 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:14:p:1517-1532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tomasz Brodzicki Author-X-Name-First: Tomasz Author-X-Name-Last: Brodzicki Author-Name: Tomasz Jurkiewicz Author-X-Name-First: Tomasz Author-X-Name-Last: Jurkiewicz Author-Name: Laura Márquez-Ramos Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Márquez-Ramos Author-Name: Stanisław Umiński Author-X-Name-First: Stanisław Author-X-Name-Last: Umiński Title: Patterns and determinants of the horizontal and vertical intra-industry trade of regions: panel analysis for Spain & Poland Abstract: Most of the empirical studies in the literature on intra-industry trade are conducted at the country level. Countries, however, differ in terms of granularity and internal heterogeneity. In the present study we empirically identify the determinants of the overall IIT as well as its horizontal and vertical components in the trade of Spanish and Polish NUTS-2 regions with all existing trade partners over the period 2005–2014. In order to obtain unbiased results, we utilize a semi-mixed effect model, estimated with the PPML method. We estimate the models jointly for all Spanish and Polish regions and then disjointly in a comparative manner – in order to identify incongruities of reaction to the various factors investigated. These include both traditional factors and a number of unorthodox factors such as regional path dependence, quality of regional institutions, the core or peripheral status of the reporting region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1533-1552 Issue: 14 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1676871 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1676871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:14:p:1533-1552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geeta Duppati Author-X-Name-First: Geeta Author-X-Name-Last: Duppati Author-Name: Narendar V. Rao Author-X-Name-First: Narendar V. Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Neha Matlani Author-X-Name-First: Neha Author-X-Name-Last: Matlani Author-Name: Frank Scrimgeour Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Scrimgeour Author-Name: Debasis Patnaik Author-X-Name-First: Debasis Author-X-Name-Last: Patnaik Title: Gender diversity and firm performance: evidence from India and Singapore Abstract: This study investigates if gender diversity on boards is an effective driver of financial performance. For this purpose, this study choses two countries, one of which has the soft law approach (Singapore) while the other has mandatory requirements (India) on corporate boards gender diversity. By doing so, it examines if there is a comparability between the listed firms of the two countries. Our results suggest that the gender diversity has a positive and significant effect on the financial performance of the firms of both the countries. Although, the gender diversity of the two countries does not seem to affect the growth opportunities of both the countries. Further, our results indicate that the board characteristics affect the performance positively and significantly when the sample is divided into five quantiles for the firms in these two countries. These findings have implications to the managerial decision making and relevance to stewardship theory and resource dependency theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1553-1565 Issue: 14 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1676872 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1676872 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:14:p:1553-1565 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Belayet Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Belayet Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Title: Maternal empowerment and child malnutrition in Bangladesh Abstract: The study examines the importance of maternal empowerment in reducing the prevalence of child malnutrition in Bangladesh. Maternal empowerment is measured by a composite index based on four proxy variables that promote maternal empowerment. Factor analysis technique is used in constructing empowerment index. Ordered probit models are specified and estimated using national-level household survey data. Maternal empowerment is found to be the third-most important predictor of child malnutrition in Bangladesh, preceded by maternal endowment and child characteristics. Household characteristics such as partner’s level of education and household income are also associated with child malnutrition. The study has a number of policy implications to address maternal empowerment and child malnutrition. Public policy should focus on factors of maternal empowerment and investment in maternal health in order to improve the health of the next generation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1566-1581 Issue: 14 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1676873 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1676873 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:14:p:1566-1581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sean Balliew Author-X-Name-First: Sean Author-X-Name-Last: Balliew Author-Name: Timothy Mathews Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Mathews Author-Name: Joshua C. Hall Author-X-Name-First: Joshua C. Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Title: Measuring economic freedom: an alternative functional specification and subsequent ranking Abstract: The widely cited Economic Freedom of the World index is an aggregate measure of economic freedom calculated by using a simple arithmetic mean of scores over five sub-dimensions: (1) size of government, (2) legal structure and security of property rights, (3) access to sound money, (4) freedom to trade internationally and (5) regulation of credit, labour and business. The use of a simple arithmetic mean implicitly assumes that the different sub-dimensions are ‘perfect substitutes’. To explore the implications of this assumption, we compute an aggregate economic freedom score and ordinal ranking of countries, by taking a geometric mean of the five sub-dimensions. For this alternative specification, the marginal impact of each sub-dimension on the aggregate score is no longer independent of the other sub-dimension scores. Consequently, countries with inconsistent levels of economic freedom across sub-dimensions are ‘punished’ to a greater degree than are countries with less variability across sub-dimensions. Our alternative specification results in considerable movement in terms of country rankings. The geometric mean measure does not appear to explain economic growth as well as the arithmetic mean measure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1582-1591 Issue: 14 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1676874 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1676874 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:14:p:1582-1591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacqueline Craig Author-X-Name-First: Jacqueline Author-X-Name-Last: Craig Author-Name: Charles C. Moul Author-X-Name-First: Charles C. Author-X-Name-Last: Moul Author-Name: Gregory T. Niemesh Author-X-Name-First: Gregory T. Author-X-Name-Last: Niemesh Title: Do menu-labelling laws translate into results? The disparate impacts on population obesity and diabetes Abstract: Despite their joint importance to health care costs, the nature of the relationship between obesity and diabetes is contested within the medical literature. We leverage California’s 2008 law mandating menu-labelling at restaurants to confirm that the law reduced obesity compared to the experience of counties not subject to such regulation. Despite this reduction in obesity, we find no California-specific reduction in the prevalence of diabetes and we find a significantly positive impact on the likelihood of new diabetes diagnoses. We evaluate a range of potential hypotheses that rationalize the divergent findings on obesity and diabetes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1592-1605 Issue: 14 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1676875 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1676875 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:14:p:1592-1605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: J.R. Clark Author-X-Name-First: J.R. Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Title: The tax-rate induced bond substitution hypothesis and the traditional textbook treatment of the relationship between tax-free and taxable bond yields Abstract: This empirical study posits and tests the ‘tax-rate induced bond substitution hypothesis,’ wherein the propensity for bond buyers to substitute tax-exempt municipal bonds for taxable bonds in their portfolios is hypothesized to be an increasing function of the maximum federal personal income tax rate. This substitution acts to elevate the real interest rate yield on taxable bonds while diminishing it on tax-exempt bonds, ceteris paribus. Two measures of real interest rates are included in the present analysis, ex post real interest rate and ex ante real interest rate. Empirical estimations for the 1981–2018 period provide strong support for the hypothesis. They reveal that the real interest rate yield on high-grade tax-exempt municipal bonds is a decreasing function of the maximum marginal federal personal income tax, whereas the real interest rate yield on taxable ten-year Treasury notes is an increasing function of that same tax rate. We examine the implications of this study and the information underlying it for the traditional formulaic textbook treatment of the relationship between yields on bonds whose interest rate payments are taxable versus those whose interest rate payments are tax exempt and find it is not as dependable as the textbooks would have us believe. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1606-1616 Issue: 14 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1676876 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1676876 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:14:p:1606-1616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Akhtaruzzaman Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Akhtaruzzaman Author-Name: Christopher Hajzler Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Hajzler Author-Name: P. Dorian Owen Author-X-Name-First: P. Dorian Author-X-Name-Last: Owen Title: Does institutional quality resolve the Lucas Paradox? Abstract: The Lucas Paradox observes that capital flows predominantly to relatively rich countries, contradicting the neoclassical prediction that it should flow to poorer capital-scarce countries. In an influential study, Alfaro, Kalemli-Ozcan, and Volosovych (AKV) argue that cross-country variation in institutional quality can fully explain the Paradox, contending that if institutional quality is included in regression models explaining international capital inflows, a country’s level of economic development is no longer statistically significant. We replicate AKV’s results using their cross-sectional IFS capital flow data. Motivated by the importance of conducting inference in statistically adequate models, we focus on misspecification testing of alternative functional forms of their empirical model of capital flows. We show that their resolution of the Paradox relies on inference in a misspecified model. In models that do not fail basic misspecification tests, even though institutional quality is a significant determinant of capital inflows, a country’s level of economic development also remains a significant predictor. The same conclusions are reached using an extended dataset covering more recent IFS international capital flow data, first-differenced capital stock data and additional controls. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 455-474 Issue: 5 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1321840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1321840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:5:p:455-474 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chunzhou Mu Author-X-Name-First: Chunzhou Author-X-Name-Last: Mu Author-Name: Richard De Abreu Lourenco Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: De Abreu Lourenco Author-Name: Kees van Gool Author-X-Name-First: Kees Author-X-Name-Last: van Gool Author-Name: Jane Hall Author-X-Name-First: Jane Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Title: Is low-priced primary care bad for quality? Evidence from Australian general practice Abstract: We examine whether patients’ perceptions of general practitioner (GP) care varies by the price paid for consultations. Australian consumer survey data from 2275 individuals were used to analyse the relationship between price and patient experience of GP care. Using both standard models for count data and a latent class model that distinguishes between patients with high- and low-quality experiences, we find no evidence that lower prices have a negative impact on patients’ perceptions of GP quality. Nevertheless, some patient characteristics such as age, gender and health status play a significant role in quality-of-care perceptions. The results show that Australian patients have not had to compromise GP quality, as expressed in terms of patient experience, when seeking low-priced care. This supports the view that there are sufficient checks and balances on the GP sector in Australia to ensure positive patient experiences even for low-cost GP consultations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 475-491 Issue: 5 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1324610 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1324610 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:5:p:475-491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan-Leung Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Yan-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: Yin Dang Author-X-Name-First: Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Dang Author-Name: Ping Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Tong Lu Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Weiqiang Tan Author-X-Name-First: Weiqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: Does the market care about investor protection practices in China? Abstract: This study develops a scorecard with which to measure the investor protection practices of major listed firms in China during 2007–2010. We use time-series data to examine the relationship between the change in firm investor protection practices and market performance. Our results show that firms exhibiting improvements in investor protection practices manifest a subsequent increase in buy-and-hold abnormal returns. The results further indicate that the changes in the sub-index have different effects on a firm’s future performance. Shareholder rights to be rewarded seem to have the most significant and positive effect on a firm’s future performance for both local and international investors. Moreover, international investors pay attention to their rights to information. Our results provide evidence in support of the notion that the market does care about firm’s investor protection practices. The findings are robust to other measures of firm performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 492-509 Issue: 5 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1324612 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1324612 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:5:p:492-509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anirban Sanyal Author-X-Name-First: Anirban Author-X-Name-Last: Sanyal Author-Name: Abhiman Das Author-X-Name-First: Abhiman Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: Nowcasting sales growth of manufacturing companies in India Abstract: The performance of private corporate sector is used as an important demand indicator for monetary policy making. As these data are received with a lag, assessing and monitoring of corporate sales on a real-time basis poses a significant challenge to policy makers in India. In this context, this article attempts to nowcast quarterly sales growth of Indian manufacturing companies and GDP growth of India using dynamic factor modelling framework. A multiple-level framework through turning point analysis and elastic net structure is used to overcome the overfitting problem during variable selection. Empirical results show improvement in forecast accuracy for one quarter ahead nowcast using 3-factor and 4-factor models over the benchmark model. However, absolute dominance of 3-factor models over 4-factor models was not established. As such, the article has proposed a forecast combination technique to nowcast sales growth of manufacturing companies in India. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 510-526 Issue: 5 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1324613 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1324613 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:5:p:510-526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sasiwimon Warunsiri Paweenawat Author-X-Name-First: Sasiwimon Warunsiri Author-X-Name-Last: Paweenawat Author-Name: Robert McNown Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: McNown Title: A synthetic cohort analysis of female labour supply: the case of Thailand Abstract: This study analyzes trends and patterns in employment, hours worked, and women’s wages for Thai women, and relations among these variables in models of female labour supply. Labour supply behaviour of Thai women is investigated with synthetic cohort data defined by age, year of birth, and level of educational attainment, constructed from annual labour force surveys from 1985 to 2004. According to pseudo-panel estimates, wage increases lead to a reduction in hours worked, but also an increase in the employment/population ratio, with elasticity estimates that are robust across a variety of specifications. Estimates based on disaggregation by marital status show that marriage provides protection against wage decreases, allowing married women greater choice between hours of work and other household activities. Alternative disaggregations find that younger cohorts of women and those with the highest education show the greatest (positive) response of the employment rate to wage changes, leading to a future Thai labour force with more women and higher educational attainment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 527-544 Issue: 5 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1324614 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1324614 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:5:p:527-544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrea Baldin Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Baldin Author-Name: Trine Bille Author-X-Name-First: Trine Author-X-Name-Last: Bille Title: Modelling preference heterogeneity for theatre tickets: a discrete choice modelling approach on Royal Danish Theatre booking data Abstract: This article analyses the behavioural choice for theatre tickets using a rich data set for 2010–2013 from the sale system of the Royal Danish National Theatre. A consumer who decides to attend a theatre production faces multiple sources of price variation that involves a choice by the consumer among different ticket alternatives. Three modelling approaches are proposed in order to model ticket purchases: conditional logit with socio-demographic characteristics, nested logit and latent class. These models allow us explicitly to take into account consumers’ preference heterogeneity with respect to the attributes associated with each ticket alternative (quality of the seat and day of the performance). In addition, the willingness to pay of choice attributes is estimated. Final results suggest that customers’ characteristics in terms of age and frequency of theatre attendance characterize different patterns of behaviour in the choice of theatre ticket. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 545-558 Issue: 5 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1335386 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1335386 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:5:p:545-558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hela Namouri Author-X-Name-First: Hela Author-X-Name-Last: Namouri Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Zied Ftiti Author-X-Name-First: Zied Author-X-Name-Last: Ftiti Author-Name: Néjib Hachicha Author-X-Name-First: Néjib Author-X-Name-Last: Hachicha Title: Threshold effect in the relationship between investor sentiment and stock market returns: a PSTR specification Abstract: This article verifies whether the hypothesis of heterogeneous agent modelling and the behavioural heterogeneity framework can reproduce recent stylized facts regarding stock markets (e.g. the 1987 crash, internet bubble, and subprime crisis). To this end, we investigate the relationship between investor sentiment and stock market returns for the G7 countries from June 1987 to February 2014. We propose an empirical non-linear panel data specification based on the panel switching transition model to capture the investor sentiment-stock return relationship, while enabling investor sentiment to act asymmetrically, non-linearly, and time varyingly according to the market state and investor attitude towards risk. Our findings are twofold. First, we show that the hypotheses of efficiency, rationality, and representative agent do not hold in reproducing stock market dynamics. Second, investor sentiment affects stock returns significantly and non-linearly, but its effects vary with the market conditions. Indeed, the market appears predominated by fundamental investors in the first regime. In the second regime, investor sentiment effect is positively activated, increasing stock returns; however, when their overconfidence sentiment exceeds some threshold, this effect becomes inverse in the third regime for a high threshold level of market confidence and investor over-optimism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 559-573 Issue: 5 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1335387 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1335387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:5:p:559-573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean Pierre Fraichot Author-X-Name-First: Jean Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Fraichot Title: Study of the effect of a Financial Transaction Tax on the corporate cost of capital Abstract: We study the impact of a Financial Transaction Tax (FTT or Tobin Tax) on the corporate cost of capital. We consider the results on the impact of transaction costs on implied volatility and then use the utility maximization of a market-maker and its asymptotic solution. The FTT impact on volatility, in highly liquid equity option markets, is within two decimals (‘the tick value’) and is insignificant. The volatility impact is considerable for illiquid option markets especially long-dated equity options, used for the hedging of credit default swaps (CDS). The credit spread increase is computed using a structural model, and amounts between 30 and 60 basis points (b.p). per annum, for 5–20 year maturities, and a volatility level of 30%. The impact decreases with the corporation leverage ratio. We calibrate from the CDS market the implied volatility for six European corporations and find an increase in spreads by up to 60%. For a corporation with a 343 b.p. 5-year CDS spread, the increase amounts to 174 b.p. On the basis of this sample, the impact we find is between 5 and 20 times higher than the one computed in the study of Lendvai et al. which has been used by European Union authorities to assess the impact on the cost of capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5951-5961 Issue: 60 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1363864 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1363864 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:60:p:5951-5961 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diego Víctor de Mingo-López Author-X-Name-First: Diego Víctor Author-X-Name-Last: de Mingo-López Author-Name: Juan Carlos Matallín-Sáez Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Matallín-Sáez Title: Investing in mutual funds: the determinants of implied and actual net cash flows Abstract: Estimating the fund investors’ demand plays an important role in the mutual fund management. In this line, mutual fund demand can be measured as the total net cash flows experienced by the fund during a period. Due to a lack of the data for inflows and outflows in some countries and databases, many authors estimate the net cash flows using fund size and return information. This rough measure, although being a good approximation, implicitly assumes an error in its calculation. For a sample of 2985 US open-end funds, we find evidence that estimating this implied fund flows, the error generated is higher for smaller funds, funds with higher returns, and for those experiencing higher levels of inflows or outflows. This lack of precision leads to a distortion in the estimation of the effect of some determinants on the mutual fund demand, especially when longer periods are considered when constructing the net cash flows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5962-5970 Issue: 60 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1366641 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1366641 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:60:p:5962-5970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johann Fuchs Author-X-Name-First: Johann Author-X-Name-Last: Fuchs Author-Name: Enzo Weber Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Long-term unemployment and labour force participation: a decomposition of unemployment to test for the discouragement and added worker hypotheses Abstract: We sharpen tests for ‘discouragement’ and ‘added worker’ effects by splitting the explanatory variable – the unemployment rate – into a short-term component and a long-term component. While short-term unemployment (STU) might not result in additional workers on a large scale, long-term unemployment (LTU) reduces household income more, increasing the need for additional income. On the other hand, it may discourage older workers for psychological and sociological reasons. Applying our model to the German labour market, these hypotheses could be confirmed. Even for men, about whom only a few empirical studies on this issue are available, distinguishing between STU and LTU reveals added worker as well as discouragement effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5971-5982 Issue: 60 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1368991 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1368991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:60:p:5971-5982 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gaetano Lisi Author-X-Name-First: Gaetano Author-X-Name-Last: Lisi Title: Homeownership and new entrepreneurs: first empirical evidence of a bidirectional interaction Abstract: Literature linking housing and professional choices focuses on the supply side of the labour market (the search for a job as employee), thus considering the unemployment rate as the only measure of labour market outcomes. Indeed, the usually neglected link between homeownership and entrepreneurship is equally important for assessing labour market performance. This empirical article represents one of the first attempts to test the interplay between homeownership and (new) entrepreneurs. Effectively, using a panel data analysis in Italy, we find a first empirical evidence of a positive and bidirectional interaction between homeownership and new entrepreneurs (precisely, small businesses and the self-employed). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5983-5991 Issue: 60 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1368996 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1368996 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:60:p:5983-5991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramzi Ben-Abdallah Author-X-Name-First: Ramzi Author-X-Name-Last: Ben-Abdallah Author-Name: Michèle Breton Author-X-Name-First: Michèle Author-X-Name-Last: Breton Title: An ex-post analysis of the CME Group’s solution to the 5-year gap issue Abstract: In early 2001, the US Department of the Treasury suspended the issuance of 30-year bonds, and then resumed issuing its long paper in early 2006. As a result, there was a 5-year gap in the baskets deliverable into US T-Bond futures contracts expiring before 2016. In 2013, the CME Group raised the issue that grades contending for cheapest-to-deliver status were becoming significantly isolated from the rest of the basket because of this maturity gap. The aim of this article is to provide an ex-post assessment of the approach chosen by the CME Group to address this so-called ‘5-year gap issue’ and to compare its efficiency with that of an alternative solution that was not considered at the time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5992-6002 Issue: 60 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1368997 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1368997 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:60:p:5992-6002 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Ventosa-Santaulària Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Ventosa-Santaulària Author-Name: Manuel Gómez-Zaldívar Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Zaldívar Author-Name: Pedro Chávez Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Chávez Title: On the persistence of prices in Mexico: a fractional integration approach Abstract: A relevant yet often overlooked characteristic of the inflation rate is its mean-reverting property. If a series has this feature, shocks eventually dissipate, whereas if it does not, they have a permanent effect on the series. The usual I(1) versus I(0) dichotomy in time-series econometrics goes only so far towards disentangling this issue. By employing a methodology that estimates the persistence of inflation by allowing (i) fractional integration and (ii) persistence and level shifts in the series, we aim to define whether it is stationary and/or mean reverting and, if so, during which periods. The results of our analysis for the period 1987–2015 are threefold: firstly, inflation in the eighties and nineties should be seen as a highly persistent yet mean-reverting process (not a random walk); secondly, inflation remained mean reverting, though became a short-memory (less persistent) process around the date of the implementation of the inflation-targeting framework of 2001; thirdly, during the later phase, the level of inflation also decreased and is now within the inflation target range set by Banco de México, namely 3 per cent with an interval of ±1 percentage point. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6014-6023 Issue: 60 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1371841 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1371841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:60:p:6014-6023 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deniz Dilan Karaman Örsal Author-X-Name-First: Deniz Dilan Author-X-Name-Last: Karaman Örsal Title: Analysing money demand relation for OECD countries using common factors Abstract: This article investigates the existence of a long-run money demand relation for a panel data consisting of 13 OECD countries. The analysis is based on the most recent data. The existence of a long-run money demand relation is tested with two new meta-analytic panel cointegrating rank tests which are robust to cross-sectional dependence. Cross-sectional dependency in the data generating process is modelled by unobserved common factors. The observed data are decomposed into idiosyncratic and common components, and these two components are analysed separately to find out the driving forces of the long-run stationary relationship. The evidence shows that the long-run money demand relation is driven by the cross-unit cointegration. Finally, the long-run relation is estimated by taking the common factors into account. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6003-6013 Issue: 60 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1371842 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1371842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:60:p:6003-6013 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Editorial Board Journal: Applied Economics Pages: ebi-ebi Issue: 60 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1385986 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1385986 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:60:p:ebi-ebi Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Woo-Sik Sohn Author-X-Name-First: Woo-Sik Author-X-Name-Last: Sohn Title: Discount rate and the social cost of carbon dioxide: a Korean forecast Abstract: This paper is to forecast the Korean long-term social discount rate of carbon dioxide (SDRC) and the social cost of carbon dioxide (SCC). It is estimated using the Ramsey function, savings behavior, socio-economic standard, exponential function, expected value and so on. Our findings are as follows. First, the economics of future climate change can be determined using the SDRC. Second, the SDRC declines over time. Finally, forecast shows that the Korean SDRC declines over time and the Korean SCC increases over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3436-3450 Issue: 32 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1581907 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1581907 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:32:p:3436-3450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kayuna Nakajima Author-X-Name-First: Kayuna Author-X-Name-Last: Nakajima Title: Homesickness and repeated migration Abstract: This paper presents a dynamic structural model of migration that is designed to help explain the migration behaviour of undocumented Mexican immigrants in the US. Its key feature – which I call ‘homesickness’ – is a duration-dependent disutility from living abroad that keeps increasing while a migrant stays abroad and can be reset to zero only by returning to their home country. I estimate the model using data primarily from the Mexican Migration Project Survey and find that the model is capable of explaining, among other things, the fact that: (i) a non-negligible number of Mexican immigrants in the US return home after earning very little; (ii) these ‘unsuccessful’ immigrants are more likely to re-enter the US at a later date; and (iii) such ‘unsuccessful’ returns are more prevalent among immigrants who left their wives behind in Mexico. These facts are not easily reconciled with existing models of migration that do not feature homesickness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3451-3464 Issue: 32 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1581908 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1581908 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:32:p:3451-3464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shujie Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shujie Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Fan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Feng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jinghua Ou Author-X-Name-First: Jinghua Author-X-Name-Last: Ou Title: Regional economic growth and the role of high-speed rail in China Abstract: Rapid development of High-speed railways (HSR) in China has attracted serious research interest. This paper proposes an endogenous economic growth model to explain how and why HSR may lead to faster economic growth and regional convergence in China using data from 285 cities in 2010–2014. TSLS estimation suggests that HSR has a powerful impact on urban economic growth and regional convergence. It suggests that HSR was a potent driver responsible for the sustainable and steady economic expansion of the Chinese regions in the aftermath of the world financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3465-3479 Issue: 32 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1581910 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1581910 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:32:p:3465-3479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giuseppe Croce Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Croce Author-Name: Andrea Ricci Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Ricci Author-Name: Giuliana Tesauro Author-X-Name-First: Giuliana Author-X-Name-Last: Tesauro Title: Pensions reforms, workforce ageing and firm-provided welfare Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of an exogenous increase in the legal retirement age on the firms’ propensity to provide welfare services voluntarily to their employees. To this purpose we exploit a unique information derived from the Rilevazione su Imprese e Lavoro (RIL), a survey conducted in 2015 on a large and representative sample of Italian firms. Applying different regression models we show that firms which were forced to give up previously planned hirings because of the Law 201/2011 (the so-called ‘Fornero pension reform’), increased the probability of providing welfare services at workplace. By referring to the sociological, human resource management and economic literature we then argue that a sudden increase in the legal retirement age may motivate the employers to establish welfare schemes as a way to cope with an ageing workforce. Our findings also hold when propensity score matching methods are used in order to control for sample selection issues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3480-3497 Issue: 32 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1581911 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1581911 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:32:p:3480-3497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mary Doidge Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: Doidge Author-Name: Hongli Feng Author-X-Name-First: Hongli Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: David A. Hennessy Author-X-Name-First: David A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hennessy Title: Rationality of weather predictions and insurance purchases: testing the gambler’s and hot hand fallacies Abstract: Deviations from the rational behaviour assumed in many economic models have been found in a variety of settings. Two such deviations, the gambler’s and hot hand fallacies have been found in lab settings, as well as in consequential real-world decisions. Previous economic experiments have shown that the behaviour of professionals can differ from that of the general population. In this paper, we use data from two experiments conducted with a particular group of professionals who make yearly high-stakes decisions in the face of uncertain weather and market conditions: agricultural producers. In the experiments, participants were asked to make predictions about the coming year’s weather and market conditions and make decisions in a familiar decision context. Results indicate evidence of the gambler’s fallacy, such that participants were less likely to predict a good outcome if the previous outcome(s) were good. We also observe that participants were more likely to gamble if a previous gamble was successful, but find no impact on two successful gambles. These combined results indicate that even professionals with many years of experience can exhibit behaviours that deviate from those assumed by classical models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3498-3515 Issue: 32 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1581913 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1581913 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:32:p:3498-3515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chunyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chunyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Haiyang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Haiyang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Liping Lu Author-X-Name-First: Liping Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Xirui Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xirui Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Ziyu Song Author-X-Name-First: Ziyu Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Pollution and corporate valuation: evidence from China Abstract: Environmental pollution brings severe challenges in the context of a high growing economy of China. Pollution events bring serious ecological cost to the environment, direct costs from sanction, and reputational damage to the listed firms. We study the market reaction to 145 pollution events in China during Jan 2008 and Feb 2015. We find that the 2-day cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) of pollution events are significantly negative, which shows the disciplining effect of the stock market on the listed firms. In addition, pollution events with sanctions have lower CARs than otherwise, which are heterogeneous among different sanction types such as shutting down, fines and rectification. Finally, water pollution has lower CARs than other pollution types. We find that direct economic loss is an important reason for the negative market reactions to pollution events. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3516-3530 Issue: 32 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1581915 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1581915 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:32:p:3516-3530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pirmin Fessler Author-X-Name-First: Pirmin Author-X-Name-Last: Fessler Author-Name: Alyssa Schneebaum Author-X-Name-First: Alyssa Author-X-Name-Last: Schneebaum Title: The educational and labor market returns to preschool attendance in Austria Abstract: Preschool attendance is widely recognized as a key ingredient for later socioeconomic success, mothers’ labor market participation, and leveling the playing field for children from disadvantaged backgrounds. However, the empirical evidence for these claims is still relatively scarce, particularly in Europe. Using data from the 2011 Austrian European Union Statistics of Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC), we contribute to this literature by studying the effects of having attended preschool for the adult Austrian population. We find strong and positive effects of preschool attendance on later educational attainment, the probability of working full time, hourly wages, and the probability that the mother is in the labor market. Full time workers at the bottom and the top of the distribution benefit less than those in the middle. Women in particular benefit more in terms of years of schooling and the probability of working full time. Other disadvantaged groups (second generation migrants; people with less educated parents) also often benefit more in terms of education and work. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3531-3550 Issue: 32 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584368 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584368 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:32:p:3531-3550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pu-yan Nie Author-X-Name-First: Pu-yan Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Author-Name: Chan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: An analysis of cost-reduction innovation under capacity constrained inputs Abstract: This article focuses on duopoly cost-reduction innovation with the upstream input subjected to capacity constraints. By two-stage duopoly model, some interesting conclusions are achieved. Firstly, the higher efficiency firms invest the less in cost-reduction innovation and require the fewer resources under capacity constraints. Therefore, lower efficiency firms launch the lower price strategies. To our surprise, lower efficiency firms seem to be more aggressive both in innovation and in outputs. Secondly, symmetric firms’ innovation decreases with the total resources while asymmetric firms’ innovation increases with the total capacity. Finally, innovation gap decreases with both the total capacity and the degree of substitutability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 564-576 Issue: 6 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1497850 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1497850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:6:p:564-576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yared Seid Author-X-Name-First: Yared Author-X-Name-Last: Seid Title: The impact of learning first in mother tongue: evidence from a natural experiment in Ethiopia Abstract: This study explores the impact of mother-tongue instruction in early grades on the performance of students later after they switch to English instruction. Students in Ethiopia switch to English-instruction classrooms either in grade 5, 7, or 9 depending on the state in which they attend school. Typically, this switch is from mother-tongue to English instruction for language-majority students and from second-language to English instruction for language-minority students. As a result, the intensity of the impact of the switch to English instruction varies by language group. Exploiting these two plausibly exogenous sources of variations across states and language groups and using data from a school survey, we estimate triple-differences model. The estimate from our preferred specification suggests that learning first in mother tongue (in grades $$1 - 4$$1−4) improves mathematics tests scores later (in grade 5) by 0.159 standard deviations, suggesting students taught first in their mother tongue learn in English better after they switch to English-instruction classrooms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 577-593 Issue: 6 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1497852 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1497852 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:6:p:577-593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Larcher Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Larcher Author-Name: Jaebeom Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jaebeom Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Youngju Kim Author-X-Name-First: Youngju Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Uncertainty shocks and asymmetric dynamics in Korea: a non-linear approach Abstract: This study investigates the impact of uncertainty shocks on macroeconomic activity in Korea. For this purpose, a Smooth Transition VAR model is employed to document the state-dependent dynamics of two distinct types of uncertainty shocks, namely, financial market based and news-based. When non-linearity is allowed to play a role in our model, quantitatively very different asymmetric dynamics are observed. Following inflation targeting, the responses tend to be smoother and less pronounced. Our empirical results support the view that the link between uncertainty and macroeconomic activity is clear over both recessions and expansions. Furthermore, the impact of uncertainty shocks is more pronounced when economic activity is depressed especially after shocks originate from the financial market, and not from news-based policy uncertainty in Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 594-610 Issue: 6 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1502869 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1502869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:6:p:594-610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Denis Yongmin Joe Author-X-Name-First: Denis Yongmin Author-X-Name-Last: Joe Author-Name: Dukhee Jung Author-X-Name-First: Dukhee Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Frederick Dongchuhl Oh Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Dongchuhl Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: Owner-managers and firm performance during the asian and global financial crises: evidence from Korea Abstract: We examine the performance of the Korean owner-managers during the 1997−1998 Asian financial crisis and the 2008−2009 global financial crisis to establish whether they overcome the unexpected exterior shocks better than employed managers. We find that the owner-managers record a significantly greater performance during the crises, and especially during the latter period. Moreover, our results suggest that such a tendency comes from the owner-managers’ superior investment decisions. Our paper thus highlights the role of owner-managers by studying their performance during the Korean economic crisis periods. (JEL G01, G32, G34) Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 611-623 Issue: 6 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1502870 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1502870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:6:p:611-623 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Uche Eseosa Ekhator-Mobayode Author-X-Name-First: Uche Eseosa Author-X-Name-Last: Ekhator-Mobayode Author-Name: Abraham Abebe Asfaw Author-X-Name-First: Abraham Author-X-Name-Last: Abebe Asfaw Title: The child health effects of terrorism: evidence from the Boko Haram Insurgency in Nigeria Abstract: This study examines the effect of terrorism on height-for-age z-scores, weight-for-age z-scores, weight-for-height z-scores, stunting, and wasting. Using the Boko Haram Insurgency, it compares outcomes in Boko Haram high-active and low-active areas. A difference-in-difference and regression model identifies the extensive and intensive margin effects respectively. The study uses data from the Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey and the Global Terrorism Database. The results suggest that the Boko Haram Insurgency reduces weight-for-age and weight-for-height z-scores and increases the probability of wasting. The evidence suggests that policies targeting healthcare services may mitigate the long-term impacts of the Boko Haram Insurgency on human capital production. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 624-638 Issue: 6 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1502871 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1502871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:6:p:624-638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul McNamee Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: McNamee Author-Name: Silvia Mendolia Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Mendolia Title: Changes in health-related quality of life: a compensating income variation approach Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between negative changes in health and life satisfaction, using a sample from the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics of Australia Survey. We use panel data models and estimate the life satisfaction impact of several different changes in health status to calculate the Compensating Income Variation (CIV) of them. Our work innovates with respect to the existing literature by using a more robust CIV method that takes account of the potential measurement error in income. Further, we produce the first set of monetary values for health losses using SF-6D utility values, one of the main measures used to estimate and value health change for economic evaluation. We show that negative changes in SF-6D are significantly associated with a reduction in life satisfaction, and the starting point matters: a drop of 0.1 in SF-6D score is associated with a decrease of 0.12 points in life satisfaction if the starting utility value is 0.8, but the effect is 100% higher if the SF-6D starting point is 0.7. More generally, we find that a 0.1 deterioration in SF-6D has a strong association with life satisfaction and that the CIV value is substantial (over US$ 120,000). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 639-650 Issue: 6 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1504160 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1504160 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:6:p:639-650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcello Miccoli Author-X-Name-First: Marcello Author-X-Name-Last: Miccoli Author-Name: Stefano Neri Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Neri Title: Inflation surprises and inflation expectations in the Euro area Abstract: In the second half of 2012, euro area inflation started declining and reached historical lows at the end of 2014. Market-based measures of inflation expectations also declined to unprecedented levels. During this disinflationary period, inflation releases have often surprised analysts on the downside. We provide evidence that inflation ‘surprises’ have significant effects on inflation expectations. The sensitivity of inflation expectations to the surprises, which has varied over time, disappeared after the introduction of the Asset Purchase Programme by the European Central Bank. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 651-662 Issue: 6 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1506085 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1506085 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:6:p:651-662 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Khang Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Khang Author-Name: Steven Byers Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Byers Title: The effect of lender and loan type on a borrowing firm’s equity return Abstract: Past empirical studies appear to support the idea that banks and finance companies do not differ in their ability to resolve adverse selection problems associated with issuing new debt. In this article, we find there is a difference. More specifically, using an event study we find larger abnormal returns for secured loan disclosures to lower quality borrowers when the lender is a finance company versus a bank. This suggests the market views finance companies as more effective than banks in evaluating/monitoring lower quality borrowers obtaining secured loans. We posit this is due to finance companies’ greater expertise in this type of lending, resulting from specialization. Our findings extend the literature on how lender identity can influence signals about firm value from loan disclosures. Our results also support recent findings that positive abnormal returns to borrowing firms may not be a general feature across the loan population, but may be restricted to smaller, lower quality borrowers. Finally, we are the first to provide evidence that the market takes loan type into account, not just lender and borrower type, when considering the information embedded in loan disclosures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4099-4115 Issue: 41 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1276272 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1276272 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:41:p:4099-4115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Islam Hassouneh Author-X-Name-First: Islam Author-X-Name-Last: Hassouneh Author-Name: Teresa Serra Author-X-Name-First: Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Serra Author-Name: Štefan Bojnec Author-X-Name-First: Štefan Author-X-Name-Last: Bojnec Author-Name: José M. Gil Author-X-Name-First: José M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Title: Modelling price transmission and volatility spillover in the Slovenian wheat market Abstract: Interdependence between first and second moments of producer and consumer wheat prices in Slovenia is assessed, in light of the recent major historical events that the country has undergone, as well as the recent rumours of cartel agreements between millers causing a decline in farm-gate prices, while leaving consumer prices untouched. A threshold vector error correction and multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model with exogenous variables is applied. Results indicate that price-level adjustments mainly favour retailers by increasing their marketing margins. Important second-moment interactions are also identified. Increases in international wheat stocks reduce producer prices, while higher interest rates increase their instability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4116-4126 Issue: 41 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1276273 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1276273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:41:p:4116-4126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Cook Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Estimating the portion of technical analysts in a market Abstract: This article presents structural estimates of the portion of technical analysts in six markets. I find that the portion of technical analysts in the U.S. equity market has been decreasing since the 1970s. A simple asset pricing model predicts that both risk and return are increasing in the portion of technical analysts. This prediction is confirmed across stock market indexes for six countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4127-4137 Issue: 41 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1276274 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1276274 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:41:p:4127-4137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Devon Gorry Author-X-Name-First: Devon Author-X-Name-Last: Gorry Author-Name: Diana W. Thomas Author-X-Name-First: Diana W. Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Title: Regulation and the cost of childcare Abstract: Female labour market choices depend on the availability, affordability and quality of childcare. In this article, we evaluate different regulatory measures and their effect on both the quality and the cost of childcare. First, we analyse data on regulations and costs to estimate the effect of regulatory measures on the cost of childcare. Next, we summarize the existing literature on the effect of regulation on childcare quality. We find that regulation intended to improve quality often focuses on easily observable measures of the care environment that do not necessarily affect the quality of care but that do increase the cost. Thus, we find that the regulatory environment could be improved by eliminating costly measures that do not affect quality of care. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4138-4147 Issue: 41 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1276275 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1276275 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:41:p:4138-4147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tanveer Ahsan Author-X-Name-First: Tanveer Author-X-Name-Last: Ahsan Author-Name: Muhammad Azeem Qureshi Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Azeem Author-X-Name-Last: Qureshi Title: The impact of financial liberalization on capital structure adjustment in Pakistan: a doubly censored modelling Abstract: The purpose of the study is to explain adjustment rate towards target capital structure of Pakistani nonfinancial listed firms and to investigate the impact of financial liberalization (FL) on capital structure adjustment rate. We control for the unobserved heterogeneity and the fractional nature of adjustment rate by applying an unbiased dynamic panel fractional estimator on an unbalanced panel data of Pakistani nonfinancial firms listed during 1972–2010. We find that these firms adjust at an annual rate of 24–51% to reach their capital structure targets. We argue that in order to optimize the benefits of FL the government should strengthen financial as well as judicial institutions to enforce the creditors’ rights that will enable access to more options to Pakistani firms to raise cheaper external financing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4148-4160 Issue: 41 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1276276 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1276276 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:41:p:4148-4160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernardino Benito Author-X-Name-First: Bernardino Author-X-Name-Last: Benito Author-Name: María-Dolores Guillamón Author-X-Name-First: María-Dolores Author-X-Name-Last: Guillamón Author-Name: Ana-María Ríos Author-X-Name-First: Ana-María Author-X-Name-Last: Ríos Title: The electoral budget cycle on municipal waste collection expenditure Abstract: This article analyses the determinants of municipal waste collection expenditure, specifically the effects of electoral cycles on municipal waste collection expenditure. We use a database with information on Spanish municipalities with more than 1000 inhabitants for the period 2002–2011. Our results reveal that incumbents adopt an opportunistic behaviour, increasing spending on waste in the preelection year and reducing it in the election and post-election years. Therefore, we confirm an electoral budget cycle on waste collection expenditures in Spain. Additionally, we find that the levels of income, unemployment and upper-level governments’ transfers have a positive impact on waste collection spending. Finally, population density, level of urbanization, average age of the population of the municipality and less fragmented governments negatively influence waste collection spending. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4161-4179 Issue: 41 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1276278 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1276278 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:41:p:4161-4179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dooyeon Cho Author-X-Name-First: Dooyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Dong-Eun Rhee Author-X-Name-First: Dong-Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Rhee Title: Non-linear adjustments on the excess sensitivity of consumption with liquidity constraints Abstract: This article investigates the role of domestic credit markets in explaining the excess sensitivity of private consumption to disposable income using heterogeneous panel data of 19 OECD countries over the last two decades. We find that the degree of the excess sensitivity has decreased as the liquidity constraints of households have been alleviated: the estimated time-varying coefficients for the marginal propensity to consume vary between 0.16 for the countries with low liquidity constraints and 0.38 for those with high liquidity constraints. We also provide evidence that the excess sensitivity has been more prominent after the global financial crisis in some advanced countries, such as Japan, Spain, and the United States, where sharp deleveraging of households has been ongoing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4180-4187 Issue: 41 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1276279 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1276279 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:41:p:4180-4187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad A. Cheema Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Cheema Author-Name: Gilbert V. Nartea Author-X-Name-First: Gilbert V. Author-X-Name-Last: Nartea Title: Cross-sectional and time-series momentum returns: are Islamic stocks different? Abstract: We search for differences in both unconditional and conditional momentum returns of Islamic and Non-Islamic stocks and test implications of competing behavioural theories that aim to explain momentum returns. Our results show that there is no significant difference in momentum returns between Islamic versus Non-Islamic stocks with respect to both cross-sectional (CS) and time-series (TS) momentum strategies even when we condition momentum returns on market dynamics, information uncertainty and idiosyncratic volatility. We also find that the TS strategy outperforms (underperforms) the CS strategy in market continuations (transitions) consistent with the recent evidence in the U.S. market.Furthermore, we find that CS and TS strategies of both Islamic and Non-Islamic stocks are profitable only when the market continues in the same state consistent with overconfidence driving momentum returns of both Islamic and Non-Islamic stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5830-5845 Issue: 54 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:54:p:5830-5845 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Maxwell Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Maxwell Author-Name: Michael Daly Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Daly Author-Name: Daniel Thomson Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Thomson Author-Name: Gary van Vuuren Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: van Vuuren Title: Optimizing tracking error-constrained portfolios Abstract: Active portfolios subject to tracking error (TE) constraints are the typical setup for active managers tasked with outperforming a benchmark. The risk and return relationship of such constrained portfolios is described by an ellipse in traditional mean-variance space and the ellipse’s flat shape suggests an additional constraint which improves the performance of the active portfolio. Although subsequent work isolated and explored different portfolios subject to these constraints, absolute portfolio risk has been consistently ignored. A different restriction – maximization of the traditional Sharpe ratio on the constant TE frontier in absolute risk/return space – is added here to the existing constraint set, and a method to generate this portfolio is explained. The resultant portfolio has a lower volatility and higher return than the benchmark, it satisfies the TE constraint and the ratio of excess absolute return to risk is maximized (i.e. maximum Sharpe ratio in absolute space). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5846-5858 Issue: 54 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:54:p:5846-5858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dusanee Kesavayuth Author-X-Name-First: Dusanee Author-X-Name-Last: Kesavayuth Author-Name: Robert E. Rosenman Author-X-Name-First: Robert E. Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenman Author-Name: Vasileios Zikos Author-X-Name-First: Vasileios Author-X-Name-Last: Zikos Title: Retirement and health behaviour Abstract: This article investigates whether and to what extent retirement changes health behaviour. For identification we use an instrumental variable approach that exploits exogenous variations in the early and normal retirement ages within and across 10 European countries. Our results reveal that among those who abstained from alcohol and vigorous or moderate exercise at baseline, retirement increased those activities. Non-smokers did not increase smoking upon retirement. Retirement led to less smoking for those who smoked before retiring. It also brought about an increase in vigorous exercise for those who had the behaviour at baseline. These results further vary by a person’s job type, but less so with respect to gender or geographic region. Overall, our findings provide new empirical evidence on the causal link between retirement and health behaviours and how such link relates to four sources of individual heterogeneity: gender, European geographic region, job type and baseline health behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5859-5876 Issue: 54 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:54:p:5859-5876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chih-Liang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yi-Mien Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Mien Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Do mispricing and financial constraints matter for investment decisions? Abstract: This study investigates how mispricing and financing constraints affect firms’ future capital investments. We find that when the financing constraints are high, overpriced (underpriced) firms invest more (less) subsequently under previous non-optimal investments. The overpriced (underpriced) firms with precautionary motives invest significantly less subsequently when they are financially constrained. The overall evidence suggests that share mispricing, financial constraints and precautionary motives play a critical role that enables investors to less effectively monitor managers’ real decisions, thus limiting firms’ capital investments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5877-5892 Issue: 54 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:54:p:5877-5892 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sheng Yao Author-X-Name-First: Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Shiyi Li Author-X-Name-First: Shiyi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Distance and government resource allocation: from the perspective of environmental information disclosure policy change Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between environmental information and government resources and focuses on the moderate effect of distance. The results show that (1) the promulgation and implementation of the Measures for the Disclosure of Environmental Information (MDEI) can improve the level and quality of environmental information and then increase resource allocation and (2), after the MDEI are issued, distance has a significant negative moderate effect on the positive impact of MDEI, and the negative moderate effect of distance is more significant in low GDP and marketization regions, high-polluting industries and firms audited by the non-Big 4 accounting firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5893-5902 Issue: 54 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:54:p:5893-5902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sefa Awaworyi Churchill Author-X-Name-First: Sefa Awaworyi Author-X-Name-Last: Churchill Author-Name: Vinod Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Vinod Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: Returns to education in China: a meta-analysis Abstract: Within labour economics, returns to education is an area of focused research. Moreover, amongst studies looking at emerging economies, China is the most widely studied economy. While there is a general consensus that returns to education are positive, studies use various datasets and methodologies and consequently present varying estimates of returns to education. We perform a meta-analysis of these estimates of the returns to education in China, addressing issues of heterogeneity in the existing literature and examining whether variations in reported estimates can be explained by study characteristics such as dataset and estimation methods, among others. The meta-regression results show that variations in reported estimates can be accounted for by study characteristics such as data source, estimation method and sample period, among others. The results support the college premium hypothesis and reveal that the returns to education for college graduates are higher than those for other (lower) levels of education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5903-5919 Issue: 54 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:54:p:5903-5919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yihong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Yihong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Jing Yan Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Feng Yu Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Multi-product firms, heterogeneous quality and exporting behaviour: product-level evidence from the movie industry Abstract: This article examines how quality affects heterogeneous multiple-product firms’ exporting behaviours. We develop a structural model of the global movie market, including both consumers’ movie demand choices and firms’ exporting decisions. A movie studio is a multi-product firm that releases many movies within a year. We model movie quality as a combination of firm-level appeal and product-level attractiveness. We find that both studio-level and movie-level heterogeneity affect demand for movie, and movie-level heterogeneity is relatively more important. We also explore the counterfactual effects of quality improvement and trade liberalization on trade. Our results show that improvement of quality increases both intensive margin and extensive margin of trade. By elimination of quota, we find that trade liberalization increases movie exports to a foreign market by 19%. The results of our study can also help improve understanding of trade in the service industry. For instance, we do not find a positive correlation between the foreign entry costs and the geographic distance, as in the case of manufacture goods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5920-5934 Issue: 54 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489506 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489506 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:54:p:5920-5934 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramaprasad Bhar Author-X-Name-First: Ramaprasad Author-X-Name-Last: Bhar Author-Name: A. G. Malliaris Author-X-Name-First: A. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Malliaris Title: Asset price momentum and monetary policy: time-varying parameter estimation of Taylor Rules Abstract: In this article, we consider two new independent variables as inputs to the Taylor Rule. These are the equity and housing momentum variables and are introduced to investigate the potential usefulness of these two variables in guiding the Fed to lean against potential bubbles. Such effectiveness cannot adequately be evaluated if the Taylor Rule estimation follows the standard regression methodology that has been criticized in the literature to be econometrically incorrect. Using a time-varying parameter estimation methodology, we find that equity momentum as an input in the Taylor Rule does not contribute to changes in Fed Funds. However, the housing momentum plays an important role econometrically and can be a useful tool in setting Fed Funds rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5329-5339 Issue: 55 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1176117 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1176117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:55:p:5329-5339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. F. Li Author-X-Name-First: J. F. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Z. X. Lin Author-X-Name-First: Z. X. Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Social benefit expenditures and stagflation: evidence from the United States Abstract: Stagflation refers to the terrible economic malaise associated with declining growth, hyperinflation and high unemployment. Unlike previous cost-push explanations such as an overheated labour market and oil prices, this article suggests that social benefit expenditures are a potential cause of stagflation. We investigate the impact of social benefit expenditures on stagflation in the U.S. over the 1950–2014 period by employing an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach to cointegration, which was developed by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith. The influence of social benefit expenditures on economic growth and inflation and unemployment rates is estimated. The empirical results from the U.S. suggest that economic growth responds negatively to social benefit expenditures, while inflation and unemployment rates are both positively associated with social benefit expenditures. Thus, government-led rigid welfare could contribute to stagflation in the U.S. Instead of increasing people’s happiness, the over-burdened welfare system could push people into economic malaise. This stagflation risk shouldn’t be ignored. These results are important for U.S. policymakers and can inform other governments characterized by high levels of well-being. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5340-5347 Issue: 55 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1176118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1176118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:55:p:5340-5347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Bradley Karl Author-X-Name-First: J. Bradley Author-X-Name-Last: Karl Author-Name: Patricia H. Born Author-X-Name-First: Patricia H. Author-X-Name-Last: Born Author-Name: W. Kip Viscusi Author-X-Name-First: W. Kip Author-X-Name-Last: Viscusi Title: The relationship between the markets for health insurance and medical malpractice insurance Abstract: This article evaluates the interdependence of medical malpractice insurance markets and health insurance markets. Prior research has addressed the performance of these markets, individually, without specifically quantifying the extent to which they are linked. Increasing levels of health insurance losses could increase the scale of potential malpractice claims, boosting medical malpractice losses, or could embody an improvement in medical care quality, which will reduce malpractice losses. Our results for a state panel data set from 2002 to 2009 demonstrate that health insurance losses are negatively related to medical malpractice insurance losses. An additional dollar of health insurance losses is associated with a $0.01–$0.05 reduction in medical malpractice losses. These findings have potentially important implications for assessments of the net cost of health insurance policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5348-5363 Issue: 55 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1176119 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1176119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:55:p:5348-5363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdul Nafeo Abdulai Author-X-Name-First: Abdul Nafeo Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulai Author-Name: Awudu Abdulai Author-X-Name-First: Awudu Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulai Title: Allocative and scale efficiency among maize farmers in Zambia: a zero efficiency stochastic frontier approach Abstract: The commonly used stochastic frontier model assumes that all firms are inefficient. In this specification, inefficiency is non-negative, and the probability of inefficiency being exactly zero is also zero. To the extent that efficiency varies widely across farms in under-developed economies, it is important to employ techniques that account for both inefficiency and full efficiency to ensure unbiased efficiency estimates. In this study, we employ a zero-inefficiency stochastic frontier model to examine allocative efficiency and scale economies, as well as key determinants of efficiency among Zambian maize farmers. The results show that, unlike the stochastic frontier model, the zero-inefficiency stochastic frontier model successfully allows for both fully efficient and inefficient firms to be accounted for in the estimation procedure. The estimates also reveal the presence of scale economies, with the zero-inefficiency stochastic frontier model better predicting scale efficiency compared to the stochastic frontier model. The findings also show that inefficiency is explained by the level of education, access to extension services, distance to markets and access to credit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5364-5378 Issue: 55 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1176120 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1176120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:55:p:5364-5378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shangqin Hong Author-X-Name-First: Shangqin Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Les Oxley Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Oxley Author-Name: Philip McCann Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: McCann Author-Name: Trinh Le Author-X-Name-First: Trinh Author-X-Name-Last: Le Title: Why firm size matters: investigating the drivers of innovation and economic performance in New Zealand using the Abstract: The performance of the New Zealand (NZ) economy is something of an enigma. Although ranked one (of 144 countries) for four important ‘growth fundamentals’ NZ is ‘middle of the pack’ when it comes to economic growth, productivity and process innovation. Using four iterations (2005, 2007, 2009 and 2011) of the Business Operations Survey, this research seeks to shed some new light on this conundrum by using a multivariate probit regression (mvprobit) approach applied to pooled samples in excess of 22,000 unit record observations of NZ firms. The results suggest that factors including firm size, high perceived quality, investment/research and development (R&D) capability, major technology change, application of formal IP protection and new export markets are systematically and positively related to innovation; while many external issues, such as those related to geography, market structure, business environment, have little influence. At the firm level, innovations in NZ are highly dependent on the firms’ internal ability to develop new technologies and market demand. The (very small) size of firms does matter in NZ, which lacks a major ‘home market’ or a major trade block on its doorstep, such that ultimately, government may need to be involved to maintain a viable scale for domestic R&D. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5379-5395 Issue: 55 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1178843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1178843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:55:p:5379-5395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicoleta Iliescu Author-X-Name-First: Nicoleta Author-X-Name-Last: Iliescu Author-Name: Satyaki Dutta Author-X-Name-First: Satyaki Author-X-Name-Last: Dutta Title: The information content of implied volatility in developed versus developing FX markets Abstract: This article predicts the daily movement of monthly foreign exchange (FX) rate volatility using a linear combination of a time-series model and implied volatilities from options. The focus is on analysing the FX volatilities in three developing economies (the Brazilian real (BRL), the Indian rupee (INR) and the Russian ruble (RUB)) against the US dollar (USD). The empirical exercise utilizes two time-series models, mixed data sampling (MIDAS) and GARCH. The analysis indicates that for both developed and developing economies the predictive power of MIDAS and that of GARCH is comparable. Further on in this article, we will ascertain whether the relationship between realized and implied volatility is fundamentally different in the case of developing economies from that among developed economies. Thus, we compare the pairs USD/BRL, USD/INR and USD/RUB against EURO/USD and USD/Japanese yen to determine the information content and predictive power of implied volatilities. Plots of the MIDAS coefficients show that the volatility is more persistent in developing economies than in developed economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5396-5404 Issue: 55 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1178844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1178844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:55:p:5396-5404 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chiara Guerello Author-X-Name-First: Chiara Author-X-Name-Last: Guerello Author-Name: Marco Tronzano Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Tronzano Title: The expectations hypothesis of the term structure of interest rates and monetary policy: some evidence from Asian countries Abstract: This article outlines a panel data approach to modelling the term structure of interest rates in the short and in the long run. We find robust evidence supporting the expectations hypothesis of the term structure (EHTS) for a small sample of Asian emerging markets. Furthermore, we detect some relevant differences in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy, and the existence of a McCallum (2005) rule (no exogeneity of monetary policy to the yield curve) in some countries. Finally, we document the influence of an international global factor (i.e. a time-varying global risk premium) on the yield curve, while local country-specific factors are not statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5405-5420 Issue: 55 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1178845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1178845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:55:p:5405-5420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-1 Issue: 55 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1216679 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1216679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:55:p:1-1 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Botta Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Botta Author-Name: Luca Colombo Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Colombo Title: Seasoned equity offering announcements and the returns on European bank stocks and bonds Abstract: We analyse, by means of appropriate event studies, the returns following seasoned equity offering announcements made by western European banks between 2008 and 2014. Consistently with the pertinent literature on non-financial companies, we find that shareholders experience negative returns. We highlight that the same occurs for bondholders, although not surprisingly to a smaller extent. Overall, our results show that seasoned equity offering announcements play an important signalling role also in the banking industry, despite the tight regulation and supervision by banking authorities, which should in principle reduce the impact on pricing of the information asymmetries about banks’ financial conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1339-1359 Issue: 13 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527450 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527450 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:13:p:1339-1359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sebastian Rohloff Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Rohloff Title: Commodity prices and the AUD-Yen exchange rate: a real-time forecasting analysis Abstract: I study the impact of the GSCI commodity price indices on the Australian dollar-Japanese yen nominal exchange rate using a modified version of the classic monetary approach of exchange rate determination. I use a broad range of model-selection and model-averaging criteria. I find some evidence for a short-lived relationship as far as inclusions in the optimal forecasting models are concerned. In general, though, results of the Diebold-Mariano and Clark-West test show that results are not stable over the whole sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1360-1382 Issue: 13 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527451 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527451 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:13:p:1360-1382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kay H. Hofmann Author-X-Name-First: Kay H. Author-X-Name-Last: Hofmann Author-Name: Christian Opitz Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Opitz Title: Talent and publicity as determinants of superstar incomes: empirical evidence from the motion picture industry Abstract: By drawing on the two prevailing economic stardom theories, the paper investigates the sources of superstardom in the US movie industry. For the econometric analysis, we use income and popularity data of screen actresses and actors from the annual Celebrity 100 lists as published by Forbes Magazine. The empirical findings indicate that Hollywood, in contrast to other professional settings, supports two different types of stars. While ‘talent stars’ exploit acting merit, it is media exposure that drives the income of ‘publicity stars’. Apparently, in the motion picture industry both underlying resources are equally important and equally valued. Based on these insights we develop concrete recommendations for the career management of artists and the management of film projects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1383-1395 Issue: 13 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527452 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527452 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:13:p:1383-1395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Baldini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Baldini Author-Name: Carlo Mazzaferro Author-X-Name-First: Carlo Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzaferro Author-Name: Paolo Onofri Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Onofri Title: Pension expectations, reforms and macroeconomic downturn in Italy. What can microdata tell us? Abstract: We use different years of the Bank of Italy’s Survey on Household Income and Wealth (SHIW) to explore how Italian workers’ expectations regarding their future level of pension benefits and retirement age changed from 2000 to 2014. Comparing expected and statutory values for future pension benefits and retirement ages, we find that knowledge of the pension system and its rules are not evenly distributed among workers. Some sections of the population, in particular, younger workers, women and the self-employed, are less precise in estimating their future pension benefits. As for retirement age, a large share of the working population still has not completely assimilated the implications of the linkage with the evolution of lifetime expectations at 65. Expectations in the final part of the period observed are dominated by increasing pessimism, which may be related to the macroeconomic crisis of the Italian economy and to the approval of a severe pension reform in 2011. Checking whether a household’s total wealth is consistent with lifetime consumption, we find that households where the head overestimates the future value of the pension benefit accumulate fewer resources than the remaining part of the population. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1396-1410 Issue: 13 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527453 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:13:p:1396-1410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Plum Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Plum Title: The British low-wage sector and the employment prospects of the unemployed Abstract: Are low wages a way for the unemployed to switch to higher-paying jobs? Using data from the British Household Panel Survey, the labour market dynamics of unemployed, low-paid and higher-paid employed men are analysed. Moreover, the respective (un)employment duration and occupational skill level are accounted for. Results show that in general low wages significantly reduce the risk of future unemployment and increase the chances of ascending the salary ladder, especially in the case of long-term unemployment (>360 days). Furthermore, the occupational skill level has a substantial influence on the upward mobility of low-paid jobs: individuals working in the initial period in a low-paid and higher-skilled occupation have on average an 11 percentage points higher probability of entering higher pay compared to when working in a low-paid and low-skilled occupation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1411-1432 Issue: 13 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527454 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:13:p:1411-1432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miaochen Lv Author-X-Name-First: Miaochen Author-X-Name-Last: Lv Author-Name: Manying Bai Author-X-Name-First: Manying Author-X-Name-Last: Bai Title: Political uncertainty and corporate debt financing: empirical evidence from China Abstract: We examine the influence of political uncertainty on corporate debt financing under the Chinese highly specialized political system. A new reasonable and effective alternative indicator, official turnover reason, is constructed to measure different political uncertainty level. Robust results suggest that listed companies will keep low debt financing level and smooth debt financing volatility under political uncertainty, which will be weakened during the global financial crisis. We also find that the listed company will raise equity financing level while overall financing is significantly reduced. In addition, SOEs are more sensitive to political uncertainty than non-SOEs, as they have stronger political connections with government officials. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1433-1449 Issue: 13 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527455 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:13:p:1433-1449 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilberto Oliveira Boaretto Author-X-Name-First: Gilberto Oliveira Author-X-Name-Last: Boaretto Author-Name: Cleomar Gomes Da Silva Author-X-Name-First: Cleomar Gomes Author-X-Name-Last: Da Silva Title: Services inflation dynamics and persistence puzzle in Brazil: a time-varying parameter approach Abstract: This article analyses services inflation dynamics in Brazil, focusing on the Services Inflation Persistence Puzzle, for monthly data from January 2004 to February 2016. We apply a time-varying parameter (TVP) approach, via a Kalman filter, to estimate hybrid Phillips curves and compare inflation inertia for tradable goods and services inflation. Aggregate Brazilian Extended Consumer Price Index inflation serves as a benchmark. To justify the TVP analysis, parameter instability and structural change tests are implemented, based on OLS and Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) frameworks. The main results are as follows: (i) the TVP approach is relevant due to observed instability in some parameters estimated; (ii) inflation expectation coefficients are higher than lagged inflation in all calculations, but inflation inertia is not negligible at all; (iii) services inflation persistence ranges from 27 to 36%, whereas tradable goods inflation persistence ranges from 36 to 47%, providing evidence of the Services Inflation Persistence Puzzle in Brazil; (iv) from 2009 onwards an increase in one percentage point in real wages raises monthly services inflation rate by 0.02 to 0.03 percentage point; (v) there is evidence that cost-push pressures, due to wage increases in the service sector, are more important to explain services inflation than demand pressures from early 2009 to mid-2014. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1450-1462 Issue: 13 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527456 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527456 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:13:p:1450-1462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Christl Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Christl Author-Name: Monika Köppl–Turyna Author-X-Name-First: Monika Author-X-Name-Last: Köppl–Turyna Title: Gender wage gap and the role of skills and tasks: evidence from the Austrian PIAAC data set Abstract: We analyze the gender differences in skills, tasks and skill matching of workers, and the impact of these factors on the gender wage gap, using the Survey of Adult Skills, a product of the OECD Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies (PIAAC). We show that data on these characteristics, not available in traditional data sets, explain a substantial part of the gender wage gap. Based on up-to-date econometric methodology, the unexplained part of the gender wage gap is reduced by six to nine percentage points across the whole wage distribution when we add skill and occupational task variables and control for sample selection. We show that this result stems from gender differences in returns on tasks and skills, and gender differences in skill endowments and occupational tasks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 113-134 Issue: 2 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1630707 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1630707 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:2:p:113-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thaddée Badibanga Author-X-Name-First: Thaddée Author-X-Name-Last: Badibanga Author-Name: John Ulimwengu Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Ulimwengu Title: Optimal investment for agricultural growth and poverty reduction in the democratic republic of congo a two-sector economic growth model Abstract: We propose a two-sector economic growth model and solve it numerically using the relaxation algorithm to determine the optimal levels of investment for sustainable agricultural growth and poverty reduction. Overall, our findings suggest that past dismal growth performance and poverty trends in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) are due to sub-optimal investment in agricultural sector. Our results suggest that optimal level of agricultural investment paves the way to achieving both growth and poverty goals faster than it would have been possible otherwise. Over the period 2002-2012, agricultural investment represents only 45% of its optimal levels. Under the optimal investment scenario, agricultural GDP grows faster. However, agricultural GDP growth rate falls significantly behind that of non-agricultural GDP, and thus delay the achievement of growth and poverty goals. Simulation results suggest that additional agricultural investment coupled with improved agricultural inputs productivity will speed up the country’s pace toward achieving growth and poverty reduction targets: a 10% increase in labour productivity combined with a 10% increase in land productivity reduces by 18 years the amount of time within which the CAADP growth goal will be reached and increases the pace of poverty reduction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 135-155 Issue: 2 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1630709 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1630709 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:2:p:135-155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas W. Zuehlke Author-X-Name-First: Thomas W. Author-X-Name-Last: Zuehlke Title: Estimation of a Two-Limit Tobit model with generalized Box–Cox transformation and unknown censoring thresholds Abstract: This article considers estimation of a Two-Limit Tobit model with generalized Box–Cox transformation and unknown censoring thresholds. The maximum likelihood estimates of the censoring thresholds are the smallest and largest elements of the order statistic of the transformed dependent variable for the uncensored subsample. Conditional on the estimated censoring thresholds and the parameter of the generalized Box–Cox transformation, the model is a standard Tobit model. If the dependent variable is scaled by the geometric mean of its absolute values for the uncensored subsample, then currently available software for estimation of Tobit models may be used in conjunction with a grid search over the Box–Cox parameter to determine the globalmaximum likelihood estimates. The advantage of the models proposed in this article is that: 1) use of estimated censoring thresholds serve to directly eliminate the understatement of tail probabilities that can result from use of fixed thresholds, and 2) use of the generalized Box–Cox transformation allows greater flexibility in the shape of the distribution used to model quantitative variation in the uncensored subsample, as well as greater flexibility in the tail probabilities of the censored subsample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 156-174 Issue: 2 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1638498 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1638498 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:2:p:156-174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Estévez Schwarz Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Estévez Schwarz Author-Name: E. Sommer Author-X-Name-First: E. Author-X-Name-Last: Sommer Title: Feasible smooth income tax schedules: benefits and distributional implications Abstract: Existing tax schedules are often overly complex and characterized by discontinuities in the marginal tax burden. In this paper, we propose a class of progressive smooth functions to replace personal income tax schedules. These functions depend only on three meaningful parameters, and avoid the drawbacks associated with defining tax schedules through various tax brackets. Based on representative micro data, we derive revenue-neutral parameters for four different types of tax regimes (Austria, Germany, Hungary and Spain). We then analyze the possible implications of a hypothetical switch to smoother income tax tariffs. It turns that smooth tax functions are convenient to eliminate bracket creep, while aggregate income inequality is uniformly reduced to a small extent. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 175-194 Issue: 2 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1638500 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1638500 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:2:p:175-194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyoung Y. Na Author-X-Name-First: Kyoung Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Na Author-Name: Dong H. Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dong H. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Byoung G. Park Author-X-Name-First: Byoung G. Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Sang W. Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Sang W. Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Author-Name: Chang-Ho Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Chang-Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: ICT and transport infrastructure development: an empirical analysis of complementarity Abstract: This paper provides an empirical framework to assess the nonlinear complementary linkage effects that arise from the interaction between motorway capital and information and communications technology (ICT) capital in developed economies. Using panel data from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) member countries and controlling for endogeneity, the paper finds that there exists a critical mass for ICT capital such that if the capital grows beyond the critical mass, the marginal contribution of motorway capital to productivity growth increases as the motorway is extended. This empirical result explains variations in the productivity contributions of transport infrastructure across countries that differ in their ICT infrastructure and has implications for setting the investment priorities of key components of infrastructure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 195-211 Issue: 2 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1640860 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1640860 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:2:p:195-211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Yasfir Ibraimo Author-X-Name-First: Yasfir Author-X-Name-Last: Ibraimo Title: The macroeconomic effects of public debt: an empirical analysis of Mozambique Abstract: We assess empirically the macroeconomic effects of public debt for the case of Mozambique over the period of 2000Q1-2016Q4. We use a Vector Autoregression model to assess these effects through impulse response functions and variance decomposition. We conclude that debt service variables have more negative economic effects than debt variables. Debt variables over the period of this study had no significant impact on the real output and the debt service component depressed the real output, increased the general price level and accounted for the depreciation on the domestic currency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 212-226 Issue: 2 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1644445 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1644445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:2:p:212-226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Longyao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Longyao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Wenli Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Wenli Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Enjiang Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Enjiang Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Bi Wu Author-X-Name-First: Bi Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Does land titling improve credit access? Quasi-experimental evidence from rural China Abstract: Based on official surveys conducted in 2010 and 2015, we study how the Chinese land titling reform beginning in 2009 affected rural households’ access to credit. We find that the reform had differential credit effects across households. For households with above-average economic status (measured by the area of cultivated land, level of income, and convenience of bank visits), access to formal credit improved as a result of the reform. For households with below-average economics status, reliance on informal credit lessened. We show that the availability of land as collateral might have enhanced access to formal credit. Another channel of the credit effects was income and wealth. We find that land titling had a positive impact on average household income, which would reduce their need for informal credit. For those households with above-average area of cultivated land, land titling increased their wealth and might have expanded their operations, which would increase both their credit demand and their ability to access formal credit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 227-241 Issue: 2 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1644446 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1644446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:2:p:227-241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan A. Mañez Author-X-Name-First: Juan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Mañez Author-Name: Rafael Moner Colonques Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Moner Colonques Author-Name: Jose J. Sempere-Monerris Author-X-Name-First: Jose J. Author-X-Name-Last: Sempere-Monerris Author-Name: Amparo Urbano Author-X-Name-First: Amparo Author-X-Name-Last: Urbano Title: Brand price differentials in retail distribution: product quality and service quality Abstract: A theoretical model is proposed to disentangle the contribution of brand quality and retailer service quality in explaining brand price differentials across retailers. Two testable hypotheses emerge: (i) for each brand type, price differences across retailers are independent of brand quality differentials and (ii) at a given retailer, price differences between different brand qualities are independent of service quality differentials. Our empirical analysis, for a sample of the U.K. grocery retailer prices, discloses that retailers that offer higher service quality sell same quality brands at higher prices. In particular, service quality premia amount to 6% for national brands and are in the range of 9–15% for low-quality store brands. Besides, at a given retailer, the price premia paid for the national brand are very large: around 150% between national brands and low-quality store brands, and around 40% between national brands and high-quality store brands. Also, the price differential between the national brand and the low-quality store brand does not increase with service quality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5749-5760 Issue: 59 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1184377 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1184377 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:59:p:5749-5760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pablo Emilio Escamilla García Author-X-Name-First: Pablo Emilio Author-X-Name-Last: Escamilla García Author-Name: María Elena Tavera Cortés Author-X-Name-First: María Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Tavera Cortés Author-Name: Raúl Junior Sandoval Gómez Author-X-Name-First: Raúl Junior Author-X-Name-Last: Sandoval Gómez Author-Name: Edmar Salinas Callejas Author-X-Name-First: Edmar Author-X-Name-Last: Salinas Callejas Author-Name: Horacio Eliseo Alvarado Raya Author-X-Name-First: Horacio Eliseo Author-X-Name-Last: Alvarado Raya Title: Economic feasibility analysis for electrical generation from biogas in waste disposal sites in Mexico City Abstract: This article highlights the main aspects related to energy generation from biogas in a controlled landfill of Mexico City in order to determine profits and environmental benefits. The designed structures and public policies to provide waste management services in Mexico City have been exceeded. A significant increase in demand has led the government of Mexico City to base public services on rudimentary techniques using obsolete equipment. The modernization of waste disposal facilities and the diversification of services linked to waste treatment can offer several business opportunities to optimize energy generation from solid wastes. The use of landfills to dispose large amounts of waste enables the energy generation from biogas. The energy generated can diversify the electricity market and provide economic benefits to landfills managers to cover operational costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5761-5771 Issue: 59 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1184378 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1184378 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:59:p:5761-5771 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Title: BRIC and GIPS – who drives who? Evidence from newly developed asymmetric causality tests Abstract: We investigate the asymmetric causal interaction between the stock markets of the GIPS (Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain) and those of the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) based on a newly developed asymmetric causality test by Hatemi-J (2012) [Hatemi-J, A. 2012. “Asymmetric Causality Tests with an Application.” Empirical Economics 43: 447–456. doi:10.1007/s00181-011-0484-x]. We confirm a significant stock market interaction between the two blocs in which the BRIC drives the GIPS but not vice versa. Thus, the BRIC seems to be more influential on the GIPS than the GIPS on the BRIC. However, this interaction occurs only during downmarket conditions but not during upmarket times. The BRIC pulls down the GIPS during bad times but does not pull them up during good times. These results have significant implications for international policymakers and provide further evidence on the existence of asymmetric causal interactions between financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5772-5778 Issue: 59 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1184379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1184379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:59:p:5772-5778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhimin Dai Author-X-Name-First: Zhimin Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Lu Guo Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Zhengyi Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Zhengyi Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Study on the industrial Eco-Efficiency in East China based on the Super Efficiency DEA Model: an example of the 2003–2013 panel data Abstract: The article uses the panel data of six provinces and one chartered city in East China from 2003 to 2013 as an example, constructs the input–output indicators system of Eco-Efficiency, calculates each region’s industrial Eco-Efficiencies throughout the 11 years by the Super Efficiency DEA Model, carries out dynamic studies on the efficiencies by using the Malmquist Index and analyses the factors influencing the efficiencies by the Tobit model. The empirical studies suggest the following: the regions in East China have relatively high industrial Eco-Efficiencies, and the efficiencies turn out a downward then upward trend; there are disparities among the regions as Shanghai, Zhejiang and Jiangsu are regions of relatively high industrial Eco-Efficiencies; the region all have Tfpch (productivity changes) greater than 1, of which the average is 7.2%, and the industrial Eco-Efficiencies are mainly driven by technology advancement; research and development, foreign capital and industrial structure each has a positive relationship with the industrial Eco-Efficiencies, and research and development has a significant influence, while industrial structure has an insignificant influence, and environment governance has a negative and significant influence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5779-5785 Issue: 59 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1184380 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1184380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:59:p:5779-5785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michel Dumont Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Dumont Author-Name: Glenn Rayp Author-X-Name-First: Glenn Author-X-Name-Last: Rayp Author-Name: Marijn Verschelde Author-X-Name-First: Marijn Author-X-Name-Last: Verschelde Author-Name: Bruno Merlevede Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Merlevede Title: The contribution of start-ups and young firms to industry-level efficiency growth Abstract: This article examines the impact of start-ups (active for 1 up to 5 years) and young firms (active for 6 up to 10 years) on industry-level efficiency growth in six EU countries, covering the period 2002–2009. Using semi-parametric estimates of meta-frontier efficiency, it is found that surviving entrants gradually raise their efficiency level in all countries considered. Firm-level efficiency growth decreases with firm age, whereas reallocation towards efficient firms contributes more to industry-level growth as firms mature. The relative contribution of start-ups appears to have been important as they actually contributed positively to overall efficiency growth which, over the period under consideration, was negative in most countries, even before the ‘Great Recession’. There are indications of ‘cleansing’, due to the exit of less efficient firms, during the ‘Great Recession’. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5786-5801 Issue: 59 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1184381 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1184381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:59:p:5786-5801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Renée Fry-Mckibbin Author-X-Name-First: Renée Author-X-Name-Last: Fry-Mckibbin Author-Name: Jasmine Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Jasmine Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Effects of the US monetary policy shocks during financial crises – a threshold vector autoregression approach Abstract: This article analyzes the impact of monetary policy during periods of low and high financial stress in the US economy using a threshold vector autoregression model. There is evidence that expansionary monetary policy is effective during periods of high financial stress with larger responses having a higher proportionate effect on output. The existence of a cost channel effect during periods of high financial stress implies the existence of a short run output-inflation trade off during financial crises. Large expansionary monetary shocks also increase the likelihood of moving the economy out of a high financial stress regime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5802-5823 Issue: 59 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1186792 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1186792 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:59:p:5802-5823 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liping Lu Author-X-Name-First: Liping Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Chunyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chunyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Investing against the wind: contagion during the recent financial crisis Abstract: This article examines the effect of Warren Buffett’s investment in Goldman Sachs on 24 September 2008, during the subprime mortgage crisis. Although this event is arguably perceived to be the biggest expression of confidence in the financial market during the crisis, by conducting event studies, we do not find the major counterparties of Goldman Sachs displayed positive abnormal returns. Moreover, the abnormal return is not significantly related to the counterparty connection. We have similar findings on these financial institutions’ default probabilities using credit default swap. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5824-5833 Issue: 59 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1186793 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1186793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:59:p:5824-5833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: i-i Issue: 59 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1196045 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1196045 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:59:p:i-i Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Erratum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: ii-ii Issue: 59 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1208919 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1208919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:59:p:ii-ii Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matt E. Ryan Author-X-Name-First: Matt E. Author-X-Name-Last: Ryan Author-Name: Jackson Celestin Author-X-Name-First: Jackson Author-X-Name-Last: Celestin Title: Game over? Assessing the impact of the emergence of a profitable wagering strategy in major league baseball wagering markets Abstract: Testing the impact of profitable investment strategies is often hampered by the practical difficulties of determining who knew what, and when. This study examines the impact of the publication of a profitable wagering strategy on the Major League Baseball wagering market. While standard measures of market efficiency characterized the Major League Baseball win–loss moneyline market to be efficient, previous works shows that wagering on underdogs early in the season can generate persistent profits. Though the overall efficiency of the baseball wagering market remained after publication, these profitable opportunities dissipated. Bettor behaviour is found to play varying roles across different wagering strategies; up to half of the drop in returns can be attributed to wagering market participant behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3979-3991 Issue: 37 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430349 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430349 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:37:p:3979-3991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tian-Tian Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Tian-Tian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Yue-Jun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yue-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Ke Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ke Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The allocation of PhD enrolment quotas in China’s research-oriented universities based on equity and efficiency principles Abstract: PhD enrolment quota allocation proves the key concern for China’s universities to promote institutional reform and improve research level, and it is often characterized by the zero sum game among schools within a university. Therefore, this article develops a new indicator system for PhD enrolment quota allocation and efficiency evaluation in China, and then it reallocates the quotas considering the preferences of decision-makers and the efficiency based on the historical data during 2011–2015 in a research-oriented university in China. The results indicate that, first, the preferences of decision-makers in the university for article publications and research funds may significantly affect the allocation of PhD enrolment quotas among schools. Second, when the linear combination weighting method is used, the overall efficiency for PhD enrolment allocation proves the highest, among various weighting methods concerned. Finally, to improve the overall efficiency of the 19 schools, five social science schools and four engineering schools have to cut their PhD enrolment quotas; among them, three engineering schools should reduce the largest redundant quotas sharply. The methods and results in this article are conducive to the allocation of education resources which have the zero sum feature and are often accompanied with undesirable outputs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3992-4004 Issue: 37 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1438585 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1438585 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:37:p:3992-4004 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Astrid Ayala Author-X-Name-First: Astrid Author-X-Name-Last: Ayala Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Title: Equity market neutral hedge funds and the stock market: an application of score-driven copula models Abstract: In this article, we study the time-varying market neutrality of equity market neutral hedge funds. We use data from the Hedge Fund Research™ Equity Market Neutral Index (HFRX EH), which represents the performance of a portfolio of individual equity market neutral hedge funds. For each day, we measure different levels of association of the Standard and Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) index and the HFRX EH. We use non-linear dynamic conditional score models of location, scale and copula that, to the best of our knowledge, have not yet been applied in the body of literature on hedge funds. We study whether the neutrality of the HFRX EH that is evidenced in the body of literature for the period of April 1993–April 2003 also holds for the following decade, for the period of May 2003–December 2016. We estimate different average levels of association for the pre-, during- and post-periods of the US financial crisis of 2008. We find that the association of the S&P 500 and the HFRX EH, on average, is significantly positive for the pre- and post-periods of the financial crisis, and it is significantly negative for the period during the financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4005-4023 Issue: 37 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1440062 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1440062 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:37:p:4005-4023 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregmar I. Galinato Author-X-Name-First: Gregmar I. Author-X-Name-Last: Galinato Author-Name: Pitchayaporn Tantihkarnchana Author-X-Name-First: Pitchayaporn Author-X-Name-Last: Tantihkarnchana Title: The amenity value of climate change across different regions in the United States Abstract: This article estimates the effect of climatic variables on house prices near ski resorts in different regions in the United States. We find that among the climate variables we test, average winter temperature has the most significant and robust effect where an increase in this climate variable increases house prices near ski resorts at a decreasing rate. At the mean average winter temperature levels, an increase in average winter temperature reduces housing prices for all regions except the Northeast. The consumer surplus from projected average winter temperature changes is negative across all regions and the largest negative effects are in the Midwest and Mountain regions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4024-4039 Issue: 37 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441507 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:37:p:4024-4039 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bei Yang Author-X-Name-First: Bei Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Charles P. Cullinan Author-X-Name-First: Charles P. Author-X-Name-Last: Cullinan Author-Name: Hui Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Analyst following and pay-performance sensitivity: evidence from China Abstract: We examine whether analyst following is associated with pay-performance sensitivity in China. Based on our analyses of 17,020 Chinese firm-years from 2007 to 2015, we find that pay-performance sensitivity is higher when companies are followed by financial analysts. We also find that the analyst following/pay-performance sensitivity relationship is stronger for non-state-owned enterprises (SOEs) than for SOEs. Overall, our results indicate that companies followed by financial analysts exhibit more pay-performance-sensitivity, which is consistent the notion that financial analysts can serve an external monitoring role. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4040-4053 Issue: 37 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441508 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441508 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:37:p:4040-4053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samique March-Dallas Author-X-Name-First: Samique Author-X-Name-Last: March-Dallas Author-Name: Robert Daigler Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Daigler Author-Name: Suchi Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Suchi Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Arun Prakash Author-X-Name-First: Arun Author-X-Name-Last: Prakash Title: Exchange traded funds: leverage and liquidity Abstract: This paper examines the differences between leveraged and unleveraged Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), particularly for liquidity and volatility characteristics. The impact of leverage on intraday liquidity (spread and depth) is analysed in two periods – one of normal volatility and the other of abnormal/high volatility. There is a significant difference in spread and depth of leveraged and unleveraged ETFs in periods of both normal volatility and high volatility; however, this difference is more pronounced in higher volatility periods. In high volatility periods, liquidity typically diminishes in all ETFs, and this is even more so for the leveraged ETFs. When leveraged ETFs are segregated into multiples based on their power to replicate the underlying benchmark (i.e. multiples of −3, −2, −1, 2, 3), the difference in spreads between normal and high volatility periods is typically larger. The double-leveraged ETF has the most significant difference between the positive and negative counter parts. However, the relationship in the progression of the multiples does not change linearly to correspond with the level of volatility. This may be due to the nonlinear relation between volume and volatility. We shed light on the magnification effect of financial leverage on microstructure of the ETFs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4054-4073 Issue: 37 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441510 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441510 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:37:p:4054-4073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panagiotis Mantalos Author-X-Name-First: Panagiotis Author-X-Name-Last: Mantalos Author-Name: Lars Hultkrantz Author-X-Name-First: Lars Author-X-Name-Last: Hultkrantz Title: Estimating ‘gamma’ for tail-hedge discount rates when project returns are cointegrated with GDP Abstract: Martin Weitzman has suggested a method for calculating social discount rates for long-term investments when project returns are covariant with consumption or other macroeconomic variables, so-called ‘tail-hedge discounting’. This method relies on a parameter called ‘real project gamma’ that measures the proportion of project returns that is covariant with the macroeconomic variable. We compare two approaches for estimation of this gamma when the project returns and the macroeconomic variable are cointegrated. First, we use Weitzman’s own approach, and second a simple data transformation that keeps gamma within the zero to one interval. In a Monte-Carlo study, we show that the method of using a standardized series is better and robust under different data-generating processes. Both approaches are examined in a Monte-Carlo experiment and applied to Swedish time-series data from 1950–2011 for annual time-series data for rail freight (a measure of returns from rail investments) and GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4074-4085 Issue: 37 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441511 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441511 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:37:p:4074-4085 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hidefumi Kasuga Author-X-Name-First: Hidefumi Author-X-Name-Last: Kasuga Author-Name: Yuichi Morita Author-X-Name-First: Yuichi Author-X-Name-Last: Morita Title: Does aid affect inequality? Abstract: We show that there was a negative correlation between pro-poor aid and inequality in the period before the mid-2000s. This article provides an explanation for this observed relationship. Using panel data on 34 countries for the period 1996–2014, we test the hypothesis that pro-poor aid has an inequality-reducing effect. To demonstrate that the negative correlation is not spurious, we use dynamic panel techniques with alternative specifications. We show that the share of pro-poor aid has a negative effect on inequality. In addition, we show that the interaction term between the poverty rate and the change in pro-poor aid has a significant effect. These empirical results are consistent with our theoretical predictions. The results imply that aid can reduce inequality by altering the allocation of aid, rather than by increasing the amount of aid. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6249-6262 Issue: 58 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489512 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489512 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:58:p:6249-6262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bakr Al-Gamrh Author-X-Name-First: Bakr Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Gamrh Author-Name: Ku Nor Izah Ku Ismail Author-X-Name-First: Ku Nor Izah Author-X-Name-Last: Ku Ismail Author-Name: Redhwan Al-Dhamari Author-X-Name-First: Redhwan Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Dhamari Title: The role of corporate governance strength in crisis and non-crisis times Abstract: This study evaluates corporate governance practices of listed firms in the United Arab Emirates and investigates whether corporate governance mitigates/exacerbates the impact of leverage and risk on firm performance during crisis and non-crisis times. The study constructs a corporate governance index not only to examine the dispute of the role of corporate governance during the crisis but also its influence on other factors that fuelled the crisis. A firm-level panel data is used that spans the period 2008–2012 of all listed firms on Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX) and Dubai Financial Market (DFM). The study finds a positive influence of corporate governance strength on the accounting performance, but a negative influence on the firms’ economic performance. In normal times, corporate governance mitigates the negative influence of leverage and risk on the accounting and economic firm performance. However, this synergy effect varies across performance indicators during crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6263-6284 Issue: 58 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489513 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489513 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:58:p:6263-6284 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frédéric Vrins Author-X-Name-First: Frédéric Author-X-Name-Last: Vrins Author-Name: Mikael Petitjean Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Petitjean Title: Extreme events and the cumulative distribution of net gains in gambling and structured products Abstract: We argue that ethical principles in advertising and market communication cannot be properly discovered and applied to gambling without a deep understanding of its probabilistic implications, in particular when extreme events are influential. We carry out a probabilistic analysis of lottery games with lifetime prizes in order to derive sound recommendations about the pertinent information that should be communicated to nudge gamblers. We propose to focus on the cumulative distribution of net gains, for which there is currently no information available to gamblers. This holds true for structured products in which extreme events matter as well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6285-6300 Issue: 58 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489514 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489514 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:58:p:6285-6300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sangho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sangho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Firm heterogeneity in sources of total factor productivity growth for Japanese manufacturing firms Abstract: We investigate firm heterogeneity in productivity sources across technology sectors for Japanese manufacturers. Firm heterogeneity in productivity sources conveys more information about firm-specific differences in productivity. In this regard, large firms are more productive, largely because they are more innovative, despite being slow to catch up during booms or operating at a less-than-efficient scale. We find that the beneficial impact of exports on productivity is most evident when firms become exporters, and intrafirm trade causes enough inefficiency to offset the salutary effects of trade after a certain threshold. Notably, firm heterogeneity in productivity varies considerably across the technology sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6301-6315 Issue: 58 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489515 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489515 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:58:p:6301-6315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsuyoshi Nihonsugi Author-X-Name-First: Tsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Nihonsugi Author-Name: Hiroshi Nakano Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Nakano Author-Name: Katsuhiko Nishizaki Author-X-Name-First: Katsuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Nishizaki Author-Name: Takafumi Yamakawa Author-X-Name-First: Takafumi Author-X-Name-Last: Yamakawa Title: Contributions in linear public goods experiments with stranger matching: two motivations Abstract: We investigated why subjects contribute to the public good in a linear public goods game with stranger matching. In this experiment, subjects were asked to determine their contributions to the public good and also their beliefs about their partners’ contributions. Additionally, the subjects were asked to note the reason for their decisions in real time. We used the subjects’ descriptions for a coding analysis, which is a classification method of the motivations. Integrating this coding methodology and behavioural data revealed that full contributions are the result of two motives. One is the conditional cooperation motive to achieve the socially optimal outcome. The other is the motive to lead the other group member to contribute all of their endowment in the following periods by signalling one’s own act (i.e. a teaching motive). The study further reveals that the two identified motives play a key role in driving cooperative behaviour, and that other motives (such as confusion and altruism) play a minor role. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6316-6326 Issue: 58 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489517 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489517 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:58:p:6316-6326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert J. Brent Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: Estimating the monetary benefits of medicare eligibility for reducing the symptoms of dementia Abstract: We adopt a three-component method based on the idea of cost-saving for estimating the monetary benefits of Medicare eligibility for reducing dementia symptoms. The method involves Medicare eligibility lowering dementia symptoms, which reduces the need for dependent living, which in turn lowers caregiving costs. We use the Regression Discontinuity approach to establish a causal link between Medicare eligibility and dementia. The novel aspect of the study comes from using a quality-of-life proxy measure for the utility function to derive the marginal rate of substitution between dementia symptoms reduction and dependent living arrangements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6327-6340 Issue: 58 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489519 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489519 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:58:p:6327-6340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fritz Schiltz Author-X-Name-First: Fritz Author-X-Name-Last: Schiltz Author-Name: Chiara Masci Author-X-Name-First: Chiara Author-X-Name-Last: Masci Author-Name: Tommaso Agasisti Author-X-Name-First: Tommaso Author-X-Name-Last: Agasisti Author-Name: Daniel Horn Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Horn Title: Using regression tree ensembles to model interaction effects: a graphical approach Abstract: Multiplicative interaction terms are widely used in economics to identify heterogeneous effects and to tailor policy recommendations. The execution of these models is often flawed due to specification and interpretation errors. This article introduces regression trees and regression tree ensembles to model and visualize interaction effects. Tree-based methods include interactions by construction and in a nonlinear manner. Visualizing nonlinear interaction effects in a way that can be easily read overcomes common interpretation errors. We apply the proposed approach to two different datasets to illustrate its usefulness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6341-6354 Issue: 58 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489520 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489520 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:58:p:6341-6354 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: E. M. de Oliveira Author-X-Name-First: E. M. Author-X-Name-Last: de Oliveira Author-Name: F. A. F. S. Cunha Author-X-Name-First: F. A. F. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Cunha Author-Name: F. L. Cyrino Oliveira Author-X-Name-First: F. L. Author-X-Name-Last: Cyrino Oliveira Author-Name: C. P. Samanez Author-X-Name-First: C. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Samanez Title: Dynamic relationships between crude oil prices and socially responsible investing in Brazil: evidence for linear and non-linear causality Abstract: Recent years have witnessed an increasing interest in socially responsible investing (SRI), reflecting investors’ growing awareness of social, environmental, ethical and corporate governance issues. At the same time, the effect of oil price shocks on stock price returns has become a prominent issue due to surges in energy prices. Using the Brazilian corporate sustainability index (ISE) as a benchmark for socially responsible investments in the Brazilian stock market, the present study extends the understandings on the impact of oil prices on stock price behaviour, focusing on a new class of assets: those from socially responsible firms. To this end, apart from conventional linear causality approaches, we apply a nonparametric test by Diks and Panchenko (DP) on daily data spanning from January 2008 to December 2015 to test for non-linear causality, before and after controlling for conditional heteroscedasticity. Our findings show that, in spite of their efforts to become more socially responsible, firms that have adhered to the ISE in recent years are influenced by crude oil spot prices, especially the WTI crude. In line with previous studies, we also provide consistent evidence that the Brazilian stock market, as a whole, is associated with the international crude oil market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2125-2140 Issue: 22 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1234695 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1234695 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:22:p:2125-2140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gustavo Canavire-Bacarreza Author-X-Name-First: Gustavo Author-X-Name-Last: Canavire-Bacarreza Author-Name: Marcos Robles Author-X-Name-First: Marcos Author-X-Name-Last: Robles Title: Non-parametric analysis of poverty duration using repeated cross section: an application for Peru Abstract: Using repeated cross-section annual data for Peru spanning 2002–2011 and non-parametric duration analysis, our estimates support the hypothesis that both stay in and exit from poverty (non-poverty) depends on the duration and sequence of poverty (non-poverty) spells. We find that longer periods in poverty reduce the probability of leaving poverty and, conversely, longer periods spent out of poverty reduce the chance of falling back into poverty. Also, we show that, at least in the last decade (of high economic growth), the probability of staying in poverty was lower than staying in non-poverty and the probability of re-entering in poverty was higher than re-entering in non-poverty, being both differences growing with the number of accumulated spells. Past experiences of poverty and non-poverty seem to be essential to predict the future status of poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2141-2152 Issue: 22 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1234696 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1234696 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:22:p:2141-2152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mizuki Komura Author-X-Name-First: Mizuki Author-X-Name-Last: Komura Author-Name: Hikaru Ogawa Author-X-Name-First: Hikaru Author-X-Name-Last: Ogawa Title: The prodigal son: does the younger brother always care for his parentsin old age? Abstract: Studies have shown that the older sibling often chooses to live away from his elderly parents intending to free ride on the care provided by the younger child. In the presented model, we incorporate income effects and depict a different pattern frequently observed in Eastern countries; that is, the older sibling lives near his or her parents and takes care of them in old age. By generalizing the existing model, we show three cases of elderly parents being looked after by (i) the older sibling, (ii) the younger sibling, and (iii) both siblings, depending on the relative magnitude of the income effect and the strategic incentive for one sibling to free ride on the other. Our study also investigates the effect of changes in relative income on the level of total care received by parents. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2153-2165 Issue: 22 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1234697 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1234697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:22:p:2153-2165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuhiko Kobori Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Kobori Author-Name: Robert Hutchinson Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hutchinson Author-Name: Ping-Chang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ping-Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yao-Chuan Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Yao-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Tsing-Zai C. Wu Author-X-Name-First: Tsing-Zai C. Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Main banks’ influence on financial reporting quality in Japan Abstract: This study investigated main banks’ influence on the quality of accounting firms’ audits and corporate firms’ earnings, focusing on companies on Japan’s Nikkei 500 index. We posed three questions in this research study about main banks’ influence on corporate clients’ earnings management. First, does a weakened main bank relationship influence corporate clients’ financial reporting quality? Second, does Japan’s firewall deregulation influence firms’ earnings quality? Finally, does the relationship between accounting firms and main banks affect client firms’ earnings quality? Our main findings were that main banks are not related to client firms’ earnings management; however, main banks mitigate client firms’ earnings management after firewall deregulation. On the other hand, firewall deregulation does motivate firms to manipulate their earnings management. Finally, using Pong and Kita’s (2006) study as a framework, we found that main banks and client firms using the same accounting firms had no influence on earnings management. Based on these evidences presented, our findings suggest that the quality of corporate clients’ financial reporting changes before and after firewall deregulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2166-2178 Issue: 22 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1234698 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1234698 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:22:p:2166-2178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Author-Name: María Rosalía Vicente Author-X-Name-First: María Rosalía Author-X-Name-Last: Vicente Author-Name: Paul Rappoport Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Rappoport Author-Name: Andy Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Andy Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Title: A contribution on the nature and treatment of missing data in large market surveys Abstract: Nonresponse (or missing data) is often encountered in large-scale surveys. To enable the behavioural analysis of these data sets, statistical treatments are commonly applied to complete or remove these data. However, the correctness of such procedures critically depends on the nature of the underlying missingness generation process. Clearly, the efficacy of applying either case deletion or imputation procedures rests on the unknown missingness generation mechanism. The contribution of this article is twofold. The study is the first to propose a simple sequential method to attempt to identify the form of missingness. Second, the effectiveness of the tests is assessed by generating (experimentally) nine missing data sets by imposed missing completely at random, missing at random and not missing at random processes, with data removed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2179-2187 Issue: 22 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1234699 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1234699 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:22:p:2179-2187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mamit Deme Author-X-Name-First: Mamit Author-X-Name-Last: Deme Author-Name: Estrella R. Ndrianasy Author-X-Name-First: Estrella R. Author-X-Name-Last: Ndrianasy Title: Trade-creation and trade-diversion effects of regional trade arrangements: low-income countries Abstract: Although the number of regional trade arrangements (RTAs) among the lowest-income developing countries is surging, the literature on their welfare effects is still scarce, and the few that exist fail to provide conclusive results. Furthermore, these RTAs are dominated by countries with a small share of total exports destined for intraregional trade flows. Our study focuses on the welfare effects of RTAs (pertaining to trade creation and trade diversion) among this group of countries. We use a theoretically justified gravity model to estimate welfare effects, focusing on trade creation and trade diversion and deviating from the norm in related studies, accounting for heterogeneity in third countries. Using ECOWAS as a sample, we estimate welfare effects on 1992–2012 annual bilateral imports for 14 countries from 169 countries. Contrary to conventional expectations in the literature, we find that economic integration among small and relatively low-income countries that have a small share of total trade with each other is welfare-improving for the members as a group, for the majority of the individual member countries, and for some third countries. Accounting for heterogeneity in third countries reveals that an RTA among low-income countries has a particularly robust trade-creation effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2188-2202 Issue: 22 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1234700 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1234700 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:22:p:2188-2202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eunhee Lee Author-X-Name-First: Eunhee Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Doo Bong Han Author-X-Name-First: Doo Bong Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Rodolfo M. Nayga Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Nayga Title: A common factor of stochastic volatilities between oil and commodity prices Abstract: This article analyses the multivariate stochastic volatilities (SVs) with a common factor influencing volatilities in the prices of crude oil and agricultural commodities, used for both biofuel and nonbiofuel purposes. Modelling the volatility is crucial because the volatility is an important variable for asset allocation, risk management and derivative pricing. We develop a SV model comprising a latent common volatility factor with two asymptotic regimes with a smooth transition between them. In contrast to conventional volatility models, SVs are generated by the logistic transformation of latent factors, which comprise two components: the common volatility factor and an idiosyncratic component. We present a SV model with a common factor for oil, corn and wheat from 8 August 2005 to 10 October 2014, using a Markov chain Monte Carlo method to estimate the SVs and extract the common volatility factor. We find that the volatilities of oil and grain markets are persistent. According to the estimated common volatility factor, high volatility periods match the 2007–2009 recession and the 2007–2008 financial crisis quite well. Finally, the extracted common volatility factor exhibits a distinct pattern. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2203-2215 Issue: 22 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1234701 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1234701 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:22:p:2203-2215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karim Badr Author-X-Name-First: Karim Author-X-Name-Last: Badr Author-Name: Reham Rizk Author-X-Name-First: Reham Author-X-Name-Last: Rizk Author-Name: Chahir Zaki Author-X-Name-First: Chahir Author-X-Name-Last: Zaki Title: Firm productivity and agglomeration economies: evidence from Egyptian data Abstract: This paper attempts to shed the light on the nexus between firms’ productivity and economies of agglomeration in Egypt. Using a large dataset of firms in 342 firms’ four-digit activities in 27 regions (62,108 firms), we introduce three measures of agglomeration which are urbanization or firm diversification measured by the number of firms by governorate, localization and specialization measured by the average productivity by governorate and sector (generating externalities and knowledge spillovers) and finally competition measured by the number of firm operating in the same governorate and the same sector. We find strong evidence for the existence of agglomeration in Egypt after controlling for firm age, location, economic activity and legal status. In the Egyptian context, productivity spillovers gained from agglomeration measures outweighed the negative effects of competition implied by congestion. The latter is chiefly due to the lack of good infrastructure. When regressions are run by firm size, location and activity, our main findings show first that micro and small firms are more likely to benefit from localization and diversification compared to medium and large firms. Service firms benefit more from high level of diversification while manufacturing firms gain more benefits from knowledge spillovers and specialization in Egypt. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5528-5544 Issue: 51 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1613506 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1613506 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:51:p:5528-5544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin Schalembier Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Schalembier Author-Name: Brent Bleys Author-X-Name-First: Brent Author-X-Name-Last: Bleys Author-Name: Luc Van Ootegem Author-X-Name-First: Luc Author-X-Name-Last: Van Ootegem Author-Name: Elsy Verhofstadt Author-X-Name-First: Elsy Author-X-Name-Last: Verhofstadt Title: How relative income affects work hours preferences Abstract: In this article, we look at explanations for why people want to change their working hours. We focus on the role of income and differentiate between the effect of household income, personal income and self-perceived relative income. Using Flemish data on 1435 workers, we perform binary logistic regressions in which we compare those who are over- or underemployed with those who are currently working their preferred number of hours. Our results show that the desire to work fewer hours is mostly related to a bad work–life balance, while the wish to increase working hours is associated with relative income rather than absolute income. Based on our findings we recommend governments to not only focus on increasing flexibility at the individual level but to also consider these positional effects by taking measures (e.g. decreasing the duration of the standard working week) at the population level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5545-5558 Issue: 51 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1613512 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1613512 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:51:p:5545-5558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Richard O. Olayeni Author-X-Name-First: Richard O. Author-X-Name-Last: Olayeni Author-Name: Sodik Adejonwo Olofin Author-X-Name-First: Sodik Adejonwo Author-X-Name-Last: Olofin Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: The Indian inflation–growth relationship revisited: robust evidence from time–frequency analysis Abstract: This article re-visits the inflation–growth nexus in India using the tools of wavelet, i.e. wavelet correlation, wavelet cross-correlation and scale by scale Granger causality test. Wavelet cross-correlation analysis shows that at the shortest scales inflation and economic growth were independent; at medium scales, there exists feedback effect; and at higher scales, only economic growth is leading to inflation. Furthermore, we find: (a) high and increasing dependence between inflation and economic growth, particularly after mid-2002; (b) high-frequency components of economic growth Granger-cause low-frequency component of CPI-based inflation and vice-versa, and at all scales economic growth Granger-cause inflation at scales of 4–6 and no evidence of causality was detected from WPI-based inflation to economic growth; (c) results indicate that there is no long-run causal link between inflation and economic growth. This study presents new insights for policymakers to sustain economic development by using inflation as an economic tool in India. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5559-5576 Issue: 51 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1616065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1616065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:51:p:5559-5576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Frederico Silva Leal Author-X-Name-First: Frederico Silva Author-X-Name-Last: Leal Title: Fiscal multipliers in the Eurozone: an SVAR analysis Abstract: We compute the value of fiscal multipliers (for government primary expenditure, Income and wealth taxes and for Production and import taxes) in the Eurozone countries since the creation of the currency union (2000Q1-2016Q4), in order to understand how the values can vary according to the public debt level, the pace of economic growth, and the output gap. Imposing quarterly fiscal shocks, the results showed that government expenditure had a positive effect on output, with an annual accumulated multiplier of 0.44, whereas tax multipliers presented negative signs: the Income and wealth and the Production and import taxes stood at −0.11 and −0.55, respectively. Furthermore, the spending multiplier showed a higher value for countries with lower levels of public debt, during recessions, and in countries with negative output gaps. On the other hand, tax shocks seemed to be recessive in highly indebted countries and those facing positive output gaps. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5577-5593 Issue: 51 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1616068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1616068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:51:p:5577-5593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dae-Yong Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Dae-Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Title: How store format choices and market structure affect agglomeration economies and competition among chain stores in the US supermarket industry Abstract: This article studies how store format choices and market concentration affect agglomeration economies and competition among chain stores. Using data on supermarket chains in Arizona, Georgia and Illinois, we decompose a store’s sales into parts stemming from local market conditions, such as demographics, and parts stemming from competition measures, which can be of its own chain’s stores or of other chains’ stores. Our results show that local market conditions are still a key factor in generating store sales. In more concentrated markets of Georgia and Illinois, a supermarket chain suffers from business-stealing among its own stores – agglomeration economies not sufficient to offset competition among its stores – but ironically tolerates the presence of other chains’ stores. Can a retail chain favourably tip the balance of agglomeration economies and competition? We find the answer by looking at the two big corporations in Arizona – Bashas Markets Inc. and Kroger Co. – which own two and three store formats, respectively, catering to distinct consumer segments, and thus promoting agglomeration economies while minimizing competition among their own stores. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5594-5608 Issue: 51 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1616069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1616069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:51:p:5594-5608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasemin Ozturk Author-X-Name-First: Yasemin Author-X-Name-Last: Ozturk Author-Name: Tekin Kose Author-X-Name-First: Tekin Author-X-Name-Last: Kose Title: Health, time allocation and work: empirical evidence from Turkey Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between health status and time allocation decisions of individuals. Although many studies address impacts of health on labour supply, few studies explore associations of health status with non-market work activities. Using a nationally representative sample from a recent Turkish Time Use Survey, this article employs Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) framework to estimate multiple equations of various time use categories. Consistent with literature, empirical results indicate that higher levels of self-reported health status (SRHS) are associated with more time spent in market work. However, better health level is negatively correlated with time spent in leisure and sleep. There is mixed evidence between self-reported health status (SRHS) and time spent on non-market work. There is a negative weak association between health and time devoted to personal care. Finally, demographics such as gender, age, education and marital status display correlations with time allocation of Turkish individuals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5609-5622 Issue: 51 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1616070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1616070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:51:p:5609-5622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed Hanoma Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Hanoma Author-Name: Dieter Nautz Author-X-Name-First: Dieter Author-X-Name-Last: Nautz Title: The information content of market-based measures for the long-term inflation expectations of professionals: evidence from a midas analysis Abstract: Long-term inflation expectations taken from the Survey of Professional Forecasters are a major source of information for monetary policy. Unfortunately, they are published only on a quarterly basis. This article investigates the daily information content of market-based measures, such as inflation-linked swaps and breakeven inflation rates, for the next survey outcome. Using a mixed data sampling approach, we find that professionals account for the daily dynamics of market-based measures when they submit their long-term inflation expectations. We propose a daily indicator of professionals’ inflation expectations that outperforms alternative indicators that ignore the high-frequency dynamics of market-based measures. To illustrate the usefulness of the new indicator, we provide new evidence on the (re-)anchoring of U.S. inflation expectations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5623-5636 Issue: 51 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1616071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1616071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:51:p:5623-5636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanket Mohapatra Author-X-Name-First: Sanket Author-X-Name-Last: Mohapatra Author-Name: Manabu Nose Author-X-Name-First: Manabu Author-X-Name-Last: Nose Author-Name: Dilip Ratha Author-X-Name-First: Dilip Author-X-Name-Last: Ratha Title: Determinants of the distance between sovereign credit ratings and sub-sovereign bond ratings: Evidence from emerging markets and developing economies Abstract: This article explores factors that affect the distance between sovereign credit ratings and the ratings assigned to new foreign-currency bonds issued by sub-sovereign entities (such as private non-financial corporations, financial firms, and public sector enterprises) in 47 emerging markets and developing economies. Censored and double-hurdle regression models are used to estimate the relative contributions of bond-level, issuer-level, and macroeconomic factors that determine this distance, separately for those rated at or below the sovereign rating and those rated above. For the three quarters or more of sub-sovereign bond ratings that are constrained by the sovereign rating ceiling, a Tobit regression model shows a smaller distance – suggesting stronger sovereign–corporate linkages – for public sector enterprises and financial firms relative to other firms. Riskier global financial conditions are also associated with sub-sovereign bonds being rated closer to the sovereign rating. For the small number of sub-sovereign bonds rated higher than the sovereign rating, a double-hurdle model shows that certain debt features – such as bonds backed by future-flow receivables or other collateral or structured as Special Purpose Vehicles (SPV) – significantly raise the likelihood of piercing the sovereign rating ceiling and also increase the distance above the sovereign ceiling. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 934-956 Issue: 9 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1346364 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1346364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:9:p:934-956 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel J. Tulloch Author-X-Name-First: Daniel J. Author-X-Name-Last: Tulloch Author-Name: Ivan Diaz-Rainey Author-X-Name-First: Ivan Author-X-Name-Last: Diaz-Rainey Author-Name: I.M Premachandra Author-X-Name-First: I.M Author-X-Name-Last: Premachandra Title: The impact of regulatory change on EU energy utility returns: the three liberalization packages Abstract: The European Union’s (EU) energy sector is changing due to major policy reforms. In this article, we examine the impact of major legislative changes which were designed to induce competition in the energy sector: the three liberalization packages. Competition was expected to benefit the industry by phasing out inefficient firms. EU citizens were also expected to benefit as competition was likely to promote a more efficient energy sector and more consumer choice of energy products and services. However, this legislative change occurred during a period of extreme market turmoil. We examine the impact of all these changes on the risk profile of the sector. Our results show that the liberalization legislation significantly increased systematic risk exposure of the sector, reducing its role as a defensive investment asset. We also show that commodities had relatively little impact on sector returns, but this was expected as utilities can offset commodity risk in hedging markets. We compare our results to those obtained in neighbouring EU sectors and find the impacts are isolated to the energy sector. This article makes a major contribution to energy policy by empirically showing the change in risk as a result of sector liberalization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 957-972 Issue: 9 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1346366 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1346366 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:9:p:957-972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kerry B Hudson Author-X-Name-First: Kerry B Author-X-Name-Last: Hudson Author-Name: Joaquin Vespignani Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Vespignani Title: Understanding the deviation of Australian policy rate from the Taylor rule Abstract: This investigation aims to explain and quantify the deviations of the Australian policy rate (set by Reserve Bank of Australia) from the Taylor Rule. A three-step econometric procedure designed to reflect the data-rich environment in which central banks operate is proposed using information for 229 macroeconomic series. This procedure can be applied to data for any economy with inflation targeting monetary rule. Our application with Australian data shows that approximately 65% of Australia’s policy rate deviation from the Taylor Rule can be explained systematically, with international factors and a domestic factor accounting for 41.9% and 22.5%, respectively, of the total variation in deviation from the rule. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 973-989 Issue: 9 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1346367 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1346367 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:9:p:973-989 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sena Durguner Author-X-Name-First: Sena Author-X-Name-Last: Durguner Title: Variations in farm consumption and their relationship to income: an empirical investigation of Illinois farm households Abstract: Empirical tests of household consumption have yielded mixed results regarding the validity of the life cycle/permanent income (LCPI) hypothesis. A significant problem with such studies is the difficulty in finding sufficient micro-level data on household expenditures. By using the recent rich quantity of such data in the Farm Business Farm Management (FBFM) data for Illinois farms from 1995 to 2009, the study reported here for farm households should provide more consistent results regarding the LCPI hypothesis. Applying an empirical model based on the LCPI hypothesis, this article identifies the determinants of farm consumption and the relationship to income. This study provides evidence that current income changes are not significant in explaining the consumption changes of farm households, thus supporting the LCPI hypothesis for farm households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 990-1005 Issue: 9 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1349286 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1349286 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:9:p:990-1005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary D. Ferrier Author-X-Name-First: Gary D. Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrier Author-Name: Hervé Leleu Author-X-Name-First: Hervé Author-X-Name-Last: Leleu Author-Name: Vivian G. Valdmanis Author-X-Name-First: Vivian G. Author-X-Name-Last: Valdmanis Author-Name: Michael Vardanyan Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Vardanyan Title: A directional distance function approach for identifying the input/output status of medical residents Abstract: Previous empirical studies examining the impact medical residents have on hospital productivity have made a priori assumptions about whether medical residents are inputs (labour providing patient care) or outputs (students receiving mandatory training under the supervision of an attending physician) when specifying their estimating equations. We shed light on the role medical residents play in hospital production by using a data-driven parametric approach based on the directional technology distance function. Our primary goal is to assess the extent to which one of the two roles of medical residents empirically dominates the other and to see whether the role varies across different types of hospital. Using the American Hospital Association data from 1994 to 2010, we find that residents are inputs in all rural and public non-teaching hospitals, but they are outputs in urban-area not-for-profit teaching hospitals. We also demonstrate that the status of residents is related to the case-mix index and can vary with hospital size. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1006-1021 Issue: 9 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1349287 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1349287 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:9:p:1006-1021 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zijun Luo Author-X-Name-First: Zijun Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Xu Tian Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Title: Can China’s meat imports be sustainable? A case study of mad cow disease Abstract: Rising demand and constrained domestic production have challenged the meat consumption in China. To fill the gap between domestic demand and supply, China imports an increasing volume of meat products from the international market. However, outbreaks of animal diseases can jeopardize China’s ability to meet its need for consumable meat. This article investigates the impact of animal disease outbreaks on the sustainability of China’s meat imports by using the episode of bovine spongiform encephalopathy in the United States in 2003 as a case study. Our results show that China’s meat imports are becoming more diversified and sustainable. The outbreak did have significant negative impacts on beef imports from the United States. During the epidemic, not only was China able to increase beef imports from other major exporters, but it also increased imports of other animal products such as edible offal and pork. Our findings indicate that international trade can serve as a reliable source to meet China’s soaring meat consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1022-1042 Issue: 9 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1349288 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1349288 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:9:p:1022-1042 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Thomson Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Thomson Author-Name: Gary van Vuuren Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: van Vuuren Title: Attribution of hedge fund returns using a Kalman filter Abstract: Hedge funds offer attractive investment possibilities because they engage in investment styles and opportunity sets which – because they are different from traditional asset class funds – generate different risk exposures. Conventional wisdom holds that hedge funds add value and provide unique investment opportunities because of their ability to invest in disparate risk exposures, and via the manager’s skill in selecting stocks and timing the market. In this article, a Kalman filter is used to decompose the time series of hedge fund returns into market timing and stock selection factors to establish whether fund managers really do generate statistically significant abnormal profits. Compelling evidence supports an alternative interpretation for the market timing return constituent. This work represents the first time the Kalman filter has been used to extract a time series of the capital asset pricing model’s dynamic variables for determining return component magnitudes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1043-1058 Issue: 9 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1349290 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1349290 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:9:p:1043-1058 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maneka Jayasinghe Author-X-Name-First: Maneka Author-X-Name-Last: Jayasinghe Author-Name: Shyama Ratnasiri Author-X-Name-First: Shyama Author-X-Name-Last: Ratnasiri Author-Name: Christine Smith Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: Smith Author-Name: Andreas Chai Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Chai Title: Domestic technology, consumption economies of scale and poverty: evidence from Sri Lanka Abstract: While it is well known that new technologies enhance consumer welfare, the manner in which these technologies impact the ability to realize economies of scale in consumption is not well understood. We use Sri Lankan household data to examine how the adoption of new technologies by households positively impacts their ability to achieve household economies of scale. This suggests that new technologies not only deliver a greater variety of consumption goods to consumers, but they may also play an important role in enabling large households to escape poverty by lowering the per-capita costs of maintaining a given standard of living. Given the importance of consumption economies of scale in the measurement of poverty, this study provides some insights on the extent to which the number of poor households changes when food consumption scale economies due to technology adoption in the domestic sphere are incorporated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1777-1789 Issue: 16 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1374540 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1374540 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:16:p:1777-1789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jason Hecht Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Hecht Title: Research and development and labour productivity: do high-tech firms exhibit labour- or capital-saving technical change? Abstract: Employment and output in the advanced technology sectors have generally exhibited above-average growth for more than two decades. While this industry accounts for a relatively small share of total employment, the majority of private sector research and development (R&D) expenditures in the US is concentrated within seven sub-sectors. However, little attention has been paid as to whether high-tech productivity exhibits Hicksian capital or labour ‘savings’ bias or tendency to displace either factor input over time. Biased technical change can occur as economies transition between growth regimes. An augmented production function is employed to analyse the additional impact of R&D activity on firm-level labour productivity. A panel data set comprised of high-tech firms located across the advanced economies, China and India from 1990 to 2013 is used in the analysis. Labour-saving technical change was present across the advanced technology sectors and most countries. The expanded models of labour productivity that used fixed effects with lagged regressors confirmed the prior results as well as finding that R&D per employee, relative R&D intensity and firm market share contribute to firm-level labour productivity growth across countries and sectors. Additional support was found for diminishing returns to scale but not for R&D spillover effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1790-1811 Issue: 16 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1374541 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1374541 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:16:p:1790-1811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jochen Lüdering Author-X-Name-First: Jochen Author-X-Name-Last: Lüdering Title: Standing and ‘survival’ in the adult film industry Abstract: It is conventional wisdom that knowing the right people is essential for one’s career. This claim is supported in the literature on social capital. However, the empirical evidence in this field remains ambiguous. While the literature recognizes that ‘connections’ help finding any job at all, it remains unclear if long-term benefits exist. In contrast to other industries, collaborations between performers in adult films are easily observed. Consequently, a collaborative network can be constructed which serves as an input in order to estimate the effect of a person’s centrality on individual success. Unfortunately, success is not easily observed either. Hence, in this manuscript, the survival in the industry is used as a proxy for professional success. This assumption is justified by the economic argument that, in the absence of lock-in effects, performers will remain in the industry as long as it remains profitable. The profitability does not only depend on monetary aspects but also includes costs from social stigma and adverse effects on health and mental well-being. Using a combination of network analysis and duration models, the results indicate that there is a strong correlation between network centrality and survival in the adult film industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1812-1823 Issue: 16 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1374542 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1374542 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:16:p:1812-1823 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jerrod Penn Author-X-Name-First: Jerrod Author-X-Name-Last: Penn Author-Name: Wuyang Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wuyang Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Euthanizing value of a statistical life: monetizing differences in public perception and alternatives Abstract: There is some controversy associated with the language describing monetary values for changes in health or mortality risks, especially the term ‘value of a statistical life’ (VSL). We investigate if the general public distinguishes differences in language describing the concept of VSL using four different descriptive treatments. Based on a survey of willingness to accept (WTA) in which individuals receive payment to participate in a future study, results show that the general public does not perceive a difference in the language used to describe changes in risks. This suggests that public objections to the VSL may not be caused by the specific description used nor can be ameliorated by refinement. Further, the results alleviate concern that language chosen may affect respondent participation and welfare estimates. Because of its apparent absence in the literature, we also adapt and demonstrate a non-parametric conservative estimate of WTA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1824-1836 Issue: 16 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1374543 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1374543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:16:p:1824-1836 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samantha Bielen Author-X-Name-First: Samantha Author-X-Name-Last: Bielen Author-Name: Wim Marneffe Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Marneffe Title: Testing the lawyer-induced litigation hypothesis in Europe Abstract: Utilizing a European panel dataset, we contribute to the scant empirical literature on the lawyer-induced litigation hypothesis. To address endogeneity problems that arise when estimating the effect of the number of lawyers on civil litigation rates, we use two strategies. We first estimate our model by means of the 2SLS procedure. Second, we exploit the instrumental variable approach based on the linear GMM estimator of Arellano and Bond. The estimations result in a positive and significant effect of lawyers that is robust across the different model specifications and estimation methods in which we address endogeneity. In criminal litigation, where lawyers cannot induce demand, we find no such positive relation between lawyers and litigation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1837-1851 Issue: 16 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1374544 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1374544 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:16:p:1837-1851 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huy Nguyen Anh Pham Author-X-Name-First: Huy Nguyen Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Author-Name: Vikash Ramiah Author-X-Name-First: Vikash Author-X-Name-Last: Ramiah Author-Name: Imad Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Leslie Moyan Author-X-Name-First: Leslie Author-X-Name-Last: Moyan Title: The wealth effect and diamond risk structure of financial regulation Abstract: The objective of this article was to evaluate the effect of announcements of financial regulation on risk and return in the Vietnamese equity market. The techniques used for the purpose of analysing risk and return include event study and non-parametric tests, as well as asset pricing models supplemented with interaction variables and a variety of ARCH-like specifications such as GARCH, TARCH, EGARCH and PARCH. We find evidence for the wealth effect, the presence of delayed response and a risk shifting behaviour in the form of diamond risk structure. Our results show that abnormal returns are present around the announcements of operating rules and other stock market regulations. Abnormal returns can also be obtained after considering legal documents such as circulars and decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1852-1865 Issue: 16 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1380287 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1380287 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:16:p:1852-1865 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Siranova Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Siranova Author-Name: M. Workie Tiruneh Author-X-Name-First: M. Workie Author-X-Name-Last: Tiruneh Title: Exploding net errors and omissions as a capital flight phenomenon: the case of Slovakia Abstract: This article empirically explores determinants of net errors and omissions (NEO) of Slovakia during the 1997–2014 period, with emphasis on the 2008–2014 sub-period when a distinct downturn in the NEO time series is observed. Given the statistically significant link between the evolution of foreign direct investments and NEO, we cannot rule out possible prevalence of tax optimization as a part of capital flight phenomenon in developed countries. Our findings also suggest that services sector plays a pivotal role in determining the adverse NEO development in the post-2008 period. However, given the absence of detailed bidirectional data for trade with services, role of misinvoicing practices in the Slovak balance of payments statistics might not be further investigated. Our results further strengthen the call for a deeper understanding of forces driving the NEO evolution in other developed and developing countries suffering from capital flight phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1866-1884 Issue: 16 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1380288 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1380288 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:16:p:1866-1884 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nathan Mauck Author-X-Name-First: Nathan Author-X-Name-Last: Mauck Author-Name: Stephen W. Pruitt Author-X-Name-First: Stephen W. Author-X-Name-Last: Pruitt Title: The valuation of patents using third-party data: the Ocean Tomo 300 Patent Index Abstract: This study is the first investigation of the ability of the financial marketplace to value patent assets via exploiting the informational content of a widely quoted stock market patent index known as the Ocean Tomo 300 Patent Index (OT 300). The results suggest that the OT 300 ‘works,’ in the sense that the index generates buy-and-hold returns economically and statistically in excess of those of the market as a whole as well as a specially created 300-firm benchmark portfolio composed of other very liquid patent-holding firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3995-3998 Issue: 42 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1150947 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1150947 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:42:p:3995-3998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lumengo Bonga-Bonga Author-X-Name-First: Lumengo Author-X-Name-Last: Bonga-Bonga Author-Name: Ekerete Umoetok Author-X-Name-First: Ekerete Author-X-Name-Last: Umoetok Title: The effectiveness of index futures hedging in emerging markets during the crisis period of 2008-2010: Evidence from South Africa Abstract: This article provides an assessment of the comparative effectiveness of four econometric methods in estimating the optimal hedge ratio in an emerging equity market, particularly the South African equity and futures markets. The article bases the effectiveness of hedging on volatility reduction and minimization of the coefficient of variation of hedged returns as well as risk-aversion-based utility maximization. The empirical analysis shows that the vector error-correction method and multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity methods are most effective over relatively long horizon, weekly and monthly hedging periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3999-4018 Issue: 42 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1150948 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1150948 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:42:p:3999-4018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Jim M. Mariano Author-X-Name-First: Marc Jim M. Author-X-Name-Last: Mariano Author-Name: James A. Giesecke Author-X-Name-First: James A. Author-X-Name-Last: Giesecke Title: Forecasting development outcomes under alternative surplus labour assumptions Abstract: Economic forecasts are useful to policymakers both as aids to planning, and as baselines against which counterfactual scenarios can be compared. However, policy makers should be aware that assumptions relating to model structure can influence forecast results. We explore the sensitivity of forecasts to one aspect of model structure important in modelling developing economies: surplus agricultural labour. We outline a framework for modelling surplus agricultural labour that relies on average product remuneration. We embed this within a model of a developing economy (the Philippines) characterized by surplus agricultural labour. We compare the results of two forecasts that differ in their treatment of the agricultural labour market. In the first, the surplus labour theory is activated, establishing average product remuneration in agriculture. In the second, the surplus labour theory is not activated, creating a failure to recognize average product remuneration in agriculture. By comparing the two simulations, we show that failure to model the presence of average product remuneration, when it would be appropriate to do so, has an impact that would be material to economic planners, leading them to: under-estimate agricultural employment; over-estimate GDP growth; and, over-estimate important policy variables (like tax revenue) that are related to GDP growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4019-4032 Issue: 42 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1150949 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1150949 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:42:p:4019-4032 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Youssef El-Khatib Author-X-Name-First: Youssef Author-X-Name-Last: El-Khatib Title: An extension of the asymmetric causality tests for dealing with deterministic trend components Abstract: This article extends the asymmetric causality tests, as developed by Hatemi-J (2012), for dealing with deterministic trend parts. It is shown how integrated variables up to three degrees with deterministic trend parts can be transformed into positive and negative cumulative partial components. These cumulative components can be used for implementing the asymmetric causality tests based on a Wald test statistic that is shown to follow a chi-square distribution asymptotically. Each solution is expressed as a proposition and a mathematic proof is provided for each underlying proposition. This issue is important because most economic or financial variables seem to be characterized by both stochastic as well as deterministic trend parts. An empirical application is provided in order to show how the oil prices and the exchange rates as integrated variables with drift and trend can be transformed into cumulative partial sums of positive and negative components. The conducted causality tests reveal that allowing for asymmetry has important repercussions for the underlying causal inference between these two variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4033-4041 Issue: 42 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1150950 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1150950 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:42:p:4033-4041 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Félix Sanz-Sanz Author-X-Name-First: José Félix Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz-Sanz Author-Name: Juan Manuel Castañer-Carrasco Author-X-Name-First: Juan Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Castañer-Carrasco Author-Name: Desiderio Romero-Jordán Author-X-Name-First: Desiderio Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Jordán Title: Consumption tax revenue and personal income tax: analytical elasticities under non-standard tax structures Abstract: This article models the elasticity of consumption taxation faced with changes in disposable income. Its calculation makes clear the importance of the design of the personal income tax and of the changes caused to the consumption of taxpayers. The modelling is performed for both individual taxpayers and the population as a whole. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4042-4050 Issue: 42 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1150951 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1150951 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:42:p:4042-4050 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabel Feito-Ruiz Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Feito-Ruiz Author-Name: Clara Cardone-Riportella Author-X-Name-First: Clara Author-X-Name-Last: Cardone-Riportella Author-Name: Susana Menéndez-Requejo Author-X-Name-First: Susana Author-X-Name-Last: Menéndez-Requejo Title: Reverse takeover: the moderating role of family ownership Abstract: The aim of this study was to analyse the determinants of reverse takeovers, examining the influence of target firm shareholders’ type in the agreement. We examine reverse takeovers implemented in the Alternative Investment Market between 1999 and 2012, paying special attention to the differences between family and non-family target firms, as well as the impact of the financial crisis.We propose that family firms have a lower probability of accepting a reverse takeover (‘shell’ firm), to avoid both diluting the ownership structure (loss of control) and new shareholders entering their firm. Our main findings show that the higher the percentage of ownership held by family holders, the lower the probability of their being the target firm in a reverse takeover. This effect is maintained during the crisis period, in accordance with the expectation that family firms will have fewer financial constraints. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4051-4065 Issue: 42 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1150952 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1150952 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:42:p:4051-4065 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. Heynderickx Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Heynderickx Author-Name: J. Cariboni Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cariboni Author-Name: W. Schoutens Author-X-Name-First: W. Author-X-Name-Last: Schoutens Author-Name: B. Smits Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Smits Title: The relationship between risk-neutral and actual default probabilities: the credit risk premium Abstract: The study investigates empirically the relationship between the risk-neutral measure Q and the real-world measure P. We study the ratio between the risk-neutral and actual default intensities, which we call the coverage ratio or the relative credit risk premium. Actual default intensities are derived from rating agencies annual transition matrices, while risk-neutral default intensities are bootstrapped from CDS quotes of European corporates. We quantify the average risk premium and its changes over time. Compared to related literature, special attention is given to the effects of the recent financial and European sovereign crises. We find that average credit risk premia rose substantially and that post-crisis levels are still higher than those observed before the financial crisis. This observation is especially true for high-quality debt and if it persists, it will have an impact on corporates funding costs. The quantification and revision of risk premia contributes to the discussion of the credit spread puzzle and could give extra insights in valuation models that start from real-world estimates. Our work is furthermore important in the context of state aid assessment. The real economic value (REV) methodology, applied by the European Commission to evaluate impaired portfolios, is based on a long-term average risk premium. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4066-4081 Issue: 42 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1150953 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1150953 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:42:p:4066-4081 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Regan Deonanan Author-X-Name-First: Regan Author-X-Name-Last: Deonanan Author-Name: Kevin Williams Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: The effect of remittances on democratic institutions Abstract: Do remittances promote stronger democratic institutions in developing countries? We study the effect of workers’ remittances on the quality of democracy in developing countries, and examine how government spending mediates the effect of workers’ remittances on the quality of democratic institutions. Using a dynamic panel estimator on data from 133 developing countries over 1972–2012, we find that workers’ remittances improve the quality of democratic institutions. We also find that workers’ remittances are more effective in promoting democratic institutions in developing countries with low government spending. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 403-416 Issue: 5 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1200180 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1200180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:5:p:403-416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: César Alonso-Borrego Author-X-Name-First: César Author-X-Name-Last: Alonso-Borrego Author-Name: Antonio Romero-Medina Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Medina Author-Name: Rocío Sánchez-Mangas Author-X-Name-First: Rocío Author-X-Name-Last: Sánchez-Mangas Title: The impact of public research contracts on scientific productivity Abstract: We analyse a competitive research-oriented public programme established in Spain, the Ramon y Cajal Programme, intended to offer contracts in public research centres to high-quality researchers. We study the effects of the programme on the ex post scientific productivity of its recipients, relative to non-granted applicants with comparable curricula at the time of application. The full sample results demonstrate that the programme has a positive and significant effect on the scientific productivity of the recipients, as measured both by the amount of published contribution and by the impact of their publications. Consequently, receiving a contract affects the quantity, but also increases the quality, of the contract recipients’ publications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 417-432 Issue: 5 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1200181 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1200181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:5:p:417-432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrei Shynkevich Author-X-Name-First: Andrei Author-X-Name-Last: Shynkevich Title: Return predictability in emerging equity market sectors Abstract: This article investigates the predictive power of technical trading rules in the emerging equity market sector portfolios and finds that trading strategies based on technical indicators significantly outperform the buy-and-hold benchmark. Combination of data snooping bias, data measurement errors in the form of non-synchronicity bias and fluctuations in currency exchange rates is unable to explain the observed outperformance. The introduction of transaction costs tempers the results but technical analysis still possesses significant predictive power for a number of sectors. The performance of technical analysis in the emerging equity market sectors does not conform to historical trends observed in the developed equity markets as well as in the emerging equity markets when broadly diversified portfolios are considered, where predictive power of technical trading rules has been shown to decline over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 433-445 Issue: 5 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1200182 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1200182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:5:p:433-445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chune Young Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chune Young Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Chang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Institutional investors and opportunistic seasoned equity offerings in the Korean stock market Abstract: This study examines the impact of institutional monitoring on opportunistic seasoned equity offerings (SEOs) in the Korean stock market. With a firm’s accrual quality as a measurement for the degree of information asymmetry between managers and investors, we hypothesize that the managers of firms with poor accrual quality are likely to engage in opportunistic SEOs, but such opportunistic activity is weak in firms strongly monitored by institutional investors. The empirical findings indicate that opportunistic SEOs tend to be deterred by institutional monitoring. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 446-455 Issue: 5 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1200183 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1200183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:5:p:446-455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Golam Sarwar Author-X-Name-First: Golam Author-X-Name-Last: Sarwar Author-Name: Cesario Mateus Author-X-Name-First: Cesario Author-X-Name-Last: Mateus Author-Name: Natasa Todorovic Author-X-Name-First: Natasa Author-X-Name-Last: Todorovic Title: A tale of two states: asymmetries in the UK small, value and momentum premiums Abstract: This article performs comparative analysis of the asymmetries in size, value and momentum premium and their macroeconomic determinants over the UK economic cycles, using Markov switching approach. We associate Markov switching regime 1 with economic upturn and regime 2 with economic downturn. We find clear evidence of cyclical variations in the three premiums, most notable being that in the size premium, which changes from positive in expansions to negative in recessions. Macroeconomic indicators prompting such cyclicality the most are variables that proxy credit market conditions, namely the interest rates, term structure and credit spread. Overall, macro factors tend to have more significant impact on the three premiums during economic downturns. The results are robust to the choice of information variable used in modelling transition probabilities of the two-stage Markov switching model. We show that exploiting cyclicality in premiums proves particularly profitable for portfolios featuring small cap stocks in recessions at a feasible level of transaction costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 456-476 Issue: 5 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1200184 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1200184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:5:p:456-476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert J. Brent Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: Using the travel cost method to value visits and stigma in connection with ARV adherence in Uganda Abstract: This article uses the travel cost method to value both client visits to collect antiretroviral therapy (ARV) and stigma, which prevents ARV adherence. Using a representative sample for Uganda initiated specifically for this study, we found a willingness to pay (WTP) valuation for visits made in the range of US$14–US$17 and a willingness to accept (WTA) valuation of US$25 for visits missed. The valuations for stigma based on a novel measure of stigma using a new estimation method were close to the valuations for visits. These valuations can be used to estimate the benefits to carry out cost–benefit analyses (CBAs) of interventions aimed at increasing ARV coverage and adherence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 477-497 Issue: 5 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1200185 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1200185 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:5:p:477-497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chun-Ping Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yu Hao Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hao Title: Environmental performance, corruption and economic growth: global evidence using a new data set Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between environmental performance, corruption and economic growth using panel data of 87 countries covering the period from 2002 to 2012. The Environmental Performance Index is used for the first time to evaluate the environmental quality on economic growth. By employing both ‘static’ and ‘dynamic’ panel models, we find that environmental performance is positively related to economic growth and is more significant in non-Organization for Economic Cooperation Development (OECD) countries. Moreover, when corruption is incorporated, the empirical estimation results indicate that although lower corruption helps economic growth in non-OECD countries, the negative coefficients of the three interactive terms show that the positive effect of environment performance on economic growth will drop, while greater environmental performance combined with natural resource abundance inevitably leads to inefficient bureaucracies and hence disadvantageous economic growth. As a result, policymakers in non-OECD countries should carefully ensure better government quality when they exhibit strong environmental performance so as to avoid any disadvantageous impact upon economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 498-514 Issue: 5 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1200186 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1200186 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:5:p:498-514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Erratum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: i-i Issue: 5 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1226062 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1226062 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:5:p:i-i Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luca Vincenzo Ballestra Author-X-Name-First: Luca Vincenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Ballestra Author-Name: Graziella Pacelli Author-X-Name-First: Graziella Author-X-Name-Last: Pacelli Author-Name: Davide Radi Author-X-Name-First: Davide Author-X-Name-Last: Radi Title: Valuing investment projects under interest rate risk: empirical evidence from European firms Abstract: In this article, we perform an empirical investigation of the effect of the interest rate uncertainty on the valuation of investment projects. The analysis is carried out by employing a real option approach and by considering a set of firms that operate in various production sectors in the euro area. In particular, the revenues generated by the investment projects are modelled using a geometric Brownian motion, whereas the interest rate is specified as a stochastic process of Vasicek type. Moreover, using the volatility of the equity return as a proxy, the volatility of the revenues is calibrated to real firm data, while the parameters of the interest rate model are estimated by fitting the Euribor time series. To this aim, an ad hoc calibration procedure is developed which is based on the maximum likelihood principle and thus has the merit of being simple, fast and suitable for practical purposes. Our study reveals that the interest rate uncertainty reduces the valuation of investment projects. However, stochastic interest rates do not provide a substantial improvement with respect to constant interest rates, or at least the differences are not statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5662-5672 Issue: 56 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1327120 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1327120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:56:p:5662-5672 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: B. C. Dealy Author-X-Name-First: B. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Dealy Author-Name: B. P. Horn Author-X-Name-First: B. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Horn Author-Name: A. K. Bohara Author-X-Name-First: A. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Bohara Author-Name: R. P. Berrens Author-X-Name-First: R. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Berrens Author-Name: A. D. Bryan Author-X-Name-First: A. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Bryan Title: The impact of behavioural risk-reduction interventions on willingness to pay to avoid sexually transmitted infections: a stated preference study of justice-involved youth Abstract: Risky health behaviours, such as smoking, drinking and risky sex, are substantial contributors to the U.S. morbidity rates and healthcare costs. While economic models typically regard preferences as stable, a growing literature suggests that information, including how it interacts with intentions and attitudes, plays an important role in unhealthy behaviours. Relatedly, a large health literature demonstrates that theory-based behavioural interventions can successfully change risky behaviour. This study uses the contingent valuation (CV) survey method to investigate the impact of behavioural interventions on a novel outcome measure: the willingness to pay (WTP) to avoid the consequences associated with risky behaviour. Using novel pre- and post-intervention data from Project MARS (Motivating Adolescents to Reduce Sexual Risk), this study estimates the impact of the intervention on elicited WTP to avoid sexually transmitted infections (STIs). It is found that after the intervention, participants’ elicited WTP to avoid STIs were significantly higher, and more sensitive to differences in infection severity. These results suggest that the intervention may affect risky sexual behaviour by changing the perceived value of avoiding the consequences of risky sexual behaviour. Additionally, these findings contribute to an ongoing debate regarding the construct validity of CV studies in health economics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5673-5685 Issue: 56 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1332744 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1332744 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:56:p:5673-5685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven C. Deller Author-X-Name-First: Steven C. Author-X-Name-Last: Deller Author-Name: Tessa Conroy Author-X-Name-First: Tessa Author-X-Name-Last: Conroy Author-Name: Philip Watson Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: Women business owners: a source of stability during the great recession? Abstract: During the period of the Great Recession, previous research has found that women-owned firms were less likely to lay-off workers than were firms owned by men. Given that the individual firm behaviour has a cumulative effect on regional economic performance, we expect greater stability across those regions with a larger share of women-owned and managed businesses. We test this hypothesis using US county data during the period from 2007 to 2013 at the US county level. Consistent with the findings of Matsa and Miller, our results suggest that regional economic stability increases with the share of women-owned and managed establishments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5686-5697 Issue: 56 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1332745 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1332745 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:56:p:5686-5697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carl Sherwood Author-X-Name-First: Carl Author-X-Name-Last: Sherwood Author-Name: Do Won Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Do Won Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Title: New insights into an old problem – enhancing student learning outcomes in an introductory statistics course Abstract: Many students enrolled in first year introductory statistics courses believe learning statistics is a waste of time and fear they will fail. In this study, we explored the impacts on learning outcomes for students in an introductory statistics course by allowing students to arbitrarily choose their own sequence of learning from three key learning activities, namely tutorials, Peer-Assisted Study Sessions and Computer-Managed Learning quizzes. Unlike the old regime where the learning activities followed a strict, rigid sequence, a new regime allowed students to freely choose when, where and how they engaged with the course learning activities. This allowed increased opportunities for students to receive relevant and timely feedback. Using a total of 1187 students enrolled in semester 2 of 2011, 2012 and 2013, data were collected on students’ scores from 7 assessment tasks. Our experimental design ensured as many course features as possible remained constant between the control cohorts (of 2011 and 2012) and the experimental cohort (2013), thereby avoiding potential sample selection problems. The findings showed student learning outcomes in the new regime improved significantly. Interestingly, the effects were found to be greatest in the lower percentile of the score distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5698-5708 Issue: 56 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1332750 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1332750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:56:p:5698-5708 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chih-Ching Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Ching Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Local resource reallocation considering practical feasibility: a centralized data envelopment analysis approach Abstract: Many studies have addressed resource allocation issues by using centralized data envelopment analysis models. However, few of them provided a local resource reallocation plan which may be carried out more easily. This article proposes two models to get such plans. The first one considers an acceptable percentage of changes in resources to ensure practical feasibility. The second one further considers a situation where resources can only be allowed to shift within specific units. The proposed models are applied to an empirical study based on a hospital system in Taiwan. To demonstrate the practical feasibility of the suggested plans, we compare our reallocation suggestions to a plan that can make the whole system be perfectly efficient. The main conclusion is that the plans derived from our models are more practically feasible than that with perfect efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5709-5721 Issue: 56 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1332754 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1332754 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:56:p:5709-5721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul A. Raschky Author-X-Name-First: Paul A. Author-X-Name-Last: Raschky Author-Name: Liang Choon Wang Author-X-Name-First: Liang Choon Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Reproductive behaviour at the end of the world: the effect of the Cuban Missile Crisis on U.S. fertility Abstract: We exploit the timing of the Cuban Missile Crisis and the geographical variation in mortality risks individuals faced across states to analyse reproduction decisions during the crisis. The results of a difference-in-differences approach show evidence that fertility decreased in states that are farther from Cuba and increased in states with more military installations. Our findings suggest that individuals are more likely to engage in reproductive activities when facing high mortality risks, but reduce fertility when facing a high probability of enduring the aftermath of a catastrophe. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5722-5727 Issue: 56 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1340571 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1340571 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:56:p:5722-5727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bo Liu Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Qing Xu Author-X-Name-First: Qing Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Jinqiang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jinqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Shunchen Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shunchen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Liquidity default, liquidity management and smooth dividends policy Abstract: Our article models liquidity financing constraints with the real options framework. By conducting a comprehensive investigation of the effects of shocks to liquidity constraints on the firm’s optimal investment, financing and dividend policies, our model highlights the importance of liquidity management and extends the liquidity management approach to hedge liquidity default risk. We find that being concerned about liquidity default risk will significantly change a firm’s behaviours, including those related to investment and the optimal capital structure. A firm that is concerned about its liquidity default risk will become more cautious: it will choose to delay investment and have higher leverage when internal liquidity is very low, but choose earlier investment and lower leverage when liquidity is high enough. The dividends policy can alleviate risks from both the external market and internal project volatility and provides an alternative explanation for the ‘smooth dividends policy puzzle’ commonly reported in empirical research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5728-5739 Issue: 56 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1361006 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1361006 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:56:p:5728-5739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Haupenthal Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Haupenthal Author-Name: Matthias Neuenkirch Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Neuenkirch Title: Grexit news and stock returns Abstract: During the first 8 months of 2015, there was an ongoing debate about whether or not Greece should remain in the euro area. Using an event study approach, we quantify the effects of Grexit-related statements made by six important euro area politicians (Merkel, Schaeuble, Tsipras, Varoufakis, Juncker, and Schulz) on intraday stock returns in Germany, Greece, and the euro area during the period of 1 January 2015–19 August 2015. We show that positive statements indicating that a Grexit is less likely lead to higher returns, and negative statements to lower returns. The overall impact of negative statements is more pronounced. The cumulative absolute effects on stock returns are sizeable as the statements contribute to a variation of up to 58 percentage points in the ATHEX. These large effects are of particular relevance as our study only captures an 8-month snapshot of the Greek Government debt crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3891-3898 Issue: 39 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1270418 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1270418 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:39:p:3891-3898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ozan Eksi Author-X-Name-First: Ozan Author-X-Name-Last: Eksi Author-Name: Neslihan Kaya Eksi Author-X-Name-First: Neslihan Author-X-Name-Last: Kaya Eksi Author-Name: Umit Ozlale Author-X-Name-First: Umit Author-X-Name-Last: Ozlale Title: A comparison of optimal policy rules prior to and during inflation targeting: empirical evidence from Bank of Canada Abstract: We examine policy rules that are consistent with inflation targeting (IT) framework in a small macroeconomic model of the Canadian economy. We set up an optimal linear regulator problem and derive policy rules to compare the dynamics of pre-IT and IT eras. We find that while the optimal monetary policy rule in the pre-IT period is best described with a loss function that attaches equal weight to price stability, financial stability and output stability; the IT era is dominated by the price stability objective followed by the financial stability and output stability, consecutively. Moreover, we do not find an explicit role for exchange rate stability in the objective function of the Bank of Canada for both monetary policy eras. We, then, compare the properties of the derived optimal rules with those of an ad hoc Taylor rule for the IT period. In response to inflationary shocks, Taylor rule brings down inflation rates more quickly compared to the derived policy rules, but at the cost of a higher sacrifice ratio and more volatile interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3899-3911 Issue: 39 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1273488 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1273488 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:39:p:3899-3911 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javier García-Enríquez Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: García-Enríquez Author-Name: Josu Arteche Author-X-Name-First: Josu Author-X-Name-Last: Arteche Author-Name: Arantza Murillas-Maza Author-X-Name-First: Arantza Author-X-Name-Last: Murillas-Maza Title: Testing for substitutability in the mackerel market: a new method using fractional cointegration Abstract: This article seeks to extend knowledge of the mackerel (Scomber scombrus) market in the Basque Country (a region in Spain) by analysing possible relationships between this and other species with similar characteristics such as the sardine (Sardina pilchardus), the horse mackerel (Trachurus trachurus) and the Atlantic chub mackerel (Scomber colias), all of them landed at the ports of the Basque Country. Specifically, the goal is to learn whether these other species can be considered as mackerel substitutes. To that end, a fractional cointegration analysis of different series of historical prices is performed using a novel method never before used in studies of this type. The results indicate that mackerel have no substitutes, and thus form a mono-species regional market. This implies, among other things, that their price is not influenced by the prices of other species, and this should be taken into account by managers when designing management measures and policies to improve the sustainability of the fishing of this species. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3912-3926 Issue: 39 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1273490 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1273490 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:39:p:3912-3926 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daehoon Nahm Author-X-Name-First: Daehoon Author-X-Name-Last: Nahm Author-Name: Michael Dobbie Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dobbie Author-Name: Craig MacMillan Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: MacMillan Title: Union wage effects in Australia: an endogenous switching approach Abstract: Using data from the Household and Labour Income Dynamics Australia (HILDA), an endogenous switching model is employed to analyse union wage effects in Australia between 2001 and 2013. An advantage of this approach is that the decision to join a union is treated as potentially endogenous, a function of the wage differential between union and non-union workers, rather than exogenous as is the case in virtually all previous Australian studies. The article finds that the decision to join a union is highly sensitive to the wage differential between union and non-union workers. The article also finds that male (female) union workers with average union characteristics earn 12% (18%) more than male (female) non-union workers with average non-union characteristics. However, a decomposition analysis finds that this difference is due to union workers having better human capital endowments than their non-union counterparts. In addition, they also receive a lower return for those endowments. These decomposition results suggest that union wage effects in Australia may be negative, rather than the small positive effects typically found in the Australian literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3927-3942 Issue: 39 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1273492 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1273492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:39:p:3927-3942 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Youyu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Youyu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Tong Shu Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Shu Author-Name: Shou Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shou Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shouyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shouyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Kin Keung Lai Author-X-Name-First: Kin Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Lu Gan Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Gan Title: Strong–weak collaborative management in coping supply chain disruption risk transmission based on scale-free networks Abstract: Supply chain disruption causes tremendous loss to supply chains and global businesses. Organizational structure and operational features of supply chain networks, therefore, constitute a major portion of research for coping with supply chain disruption risk. This article first discusses the theoretical foundation, analyses the strength theory of strong and weak ties and the collaborative theory of strong and weak ties. Also, research methods are explicated; the scale-free networks and the theory of strong ties are integrated; the features of supply chain networks are considered from single statistical parameters and comprehensive analyses. Next, we provide numeric simulation of the properties of supply chain networks, verifying the accuracy of parameter analyses of single statistics and comprehensive analyses. Ultimately, when coping with supply chain disruption risk, each node enterprise of supply chain network is supposed to deploy the characteristics of scale-free networks to systematically manage existing weak ties, weak ties newly introduced, existing strong ties and strong ties newly introduced. This study is conducive to node enterprises of supply chains to recognize and apply the scale-free networks and the strength theory of ties to analyze the properties of supply chain networks, and to improve the capacity to cope with disruption risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3943-3958 Issue: 39 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1273494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1273494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:39:p:3943-3958 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Slah Bahloul Author-X-Name-First: Slah Author-X-Name-Last: Bahloul Author-Name: Mourad Mroua Author-X-Name-First: Mourad Author-X-Name-Last: Mroua Author-Name: Nader Naifar Author-X-Name-First: Nader Author-X-Name-Last: Naifar Title: Further evidence on international Islamic and conventional portfolios diversification under regime switching Abstract: This article investigates the comparative performance of International Islamic and conventional portfolio diversification across different financial market regimes and provides an optimal choice from an American investor’s viewpoint during the period 2002–2014. Using a bootstrap-based stochastic dominance (SD) test and monthly MSCI prices of Islamic stock market indices and their conventional counterparts in 38 countries from North and Latin America, Europe and Asia-Pacific regions, we find that SD relationships between Islamic and conventional optimal-diversified portfolios change systematically according to investment region and market regime. Essentially, for all regimes, US investors are indifferent between Islamic diversification and its conventional counterpart, which implies that arbitrage diversification opportunities are rare and short lived in all regions. However, across all regions, especially in a crisis regime, Islamic portfolio diversification can be a good substitute for conventional diversification. Islamic portfolio diversification in North and Latin America, Europe and Global regions is an optimal choice for the risk-averse American investors. Finally, results imply that portfolio diversification among Islamic market indices can be a good hedge, offering investors superior investment alternatives during any financial meltdown or economic slowdown due to the conservative nature of Sharia-compliant investments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3959-3978 Issue: 39 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1273496 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1273496 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:39:p:3959-3978 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salvatore Ercolano Author-X-Name-First: Salvatore Author-X-Name-Last: Ercolano Author-Name: Giuseppe Lucio Gaeta Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Lucio Author-X-Name-Last: Gaeta Author-Name: Massimo Guarino Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Guarino Title: Anti-poverty competences in a multilevel government: an empirical analysis of citizens’ preferences in Europe Abstract: This article aims to investigate individuals’ perceptions about institutions that should be primarily responsible for reducing or preventing poverty, which is a dramatic phenomenon that became a crucial issue in European countries over recent years. We propose an empirical analysis based on European survey data and investigate some citizens’-level and country-level variables that potentially affect individuals’ attitudes. Our results suggest that country-level economic and institutional characteristics do significantly affect individual preferences for the governance of anti-poverty policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3979-3994 Issue: 39 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1273499 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1273499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:39:p:3979-3994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert M. McNab Author-X-Name-First: Robert M. Author-X-Name-Last: McNab Author-Name: Son D. Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Son D. Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Culture matters: what cultural values influence budget transparency? Abstract: This article empirically examines whether cultural values significantly influence budget transparency. We employ data for budget transparency from the Open Budget Index, and data for national culture from Hofstede’s cultural dimensions, the Global Leadership and Behavioral Effectiveness Research Project and the World Values Survey to explore this question. We find evidence that individualism positively influences budget transparency. We also find that stronger preferences for institutional collectivism, masculinity and authoritarian rule lower budget transparency. These results suggest that national culture shapes preferences for budget transparency and influences the possibility of success for attempts to improve budget transparency across countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4593-4605 Issue: 43 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1458197 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1458197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:43:p:4593-4605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kadir Atalay Author-X-Name-First: Kadir Author-X-Name-Last: Atalay Author-Name: Rong Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: The effect of a wife’s retirement on her husband’s mental health Abstract: This article examines the effect of wives’ retirement on their husband’s mental health in Australia. By exploiting the exogenous variations in women’s retirement induced by the age pension qualifying ages, we find that spousal retirement status has a positive impact on the mental health of older men. This beneficial impact is found to strengthen with wives’ time spent in retirement. We show that wife’s retirement affects the constituents of her husband’s mental well-being in different ways. We also have identified four channels for the positive linkage between older women’s retirement and the mental health of their spouse. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4606-4616 Issue: 43 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1458198 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1458198 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:43:p:4606-4616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richhild Moessner Author-X-Name-First: Richhild Author-X-Name-Last: Moessner Title: Effects of asset purchases and financial stability measures on term premia in the euro area Abstract: We study the effects of the announcements of ECB asset purchases and of financial stability measures in the euro area in the wake of the global financial crisis and the euro area sovereign debt crisis on 10-year government bond term premia in 11 euro area countries. We find that the term premia of euro area countries with higher sovereign risk, as measured by sovereign CDS spreads, decreased more in response to the announcements of asset purchases and financial stability measures. Term premia of countries with lowest sovereign risk either increased as in Germany, or were not significantly affected or fell slightly, as in the Netherlands and Finland. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4617-4631 Issue: 43 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1458199 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1458199 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:43:p:4617-4631 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miia Parnaudeau Author-X-Name-First: Miia Author-X-Name-Last: Parnaudeau Author-Name: Jean-Louis Bertrand Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Bertrand Title: The contribution of weather variability to economic sectors Abstract: Every day, people make economic decisions based on the weather, affecting sales of companies in a wide range of economic sectors. In many cases, the impact of weather on sales is not constant from one season to the next. Yet, the existing research to estimate the influence of temperature on annual sales has not analysed the relationship per season, resulting in potential washout effects and underestimated weather impacts. Drawing upon French economic sectors for empirical evidence, we break down the analysis of the relationship between weather and monthly sales by season. Our methodology provides the cumulative annual contribution of weather to sales and allows deriving the maximum potential annual impact of adverse weather. With our results, analysts and risk managers can better understand the exposure to abnormal weather and consider the potential benefits of mitigating weather risk using the weather parameters we identify to structure bespoke index-based financial instruments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4632-4649 Issue: 43 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1458200 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1458200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:43:p:4632-4649 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jihui Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jihui Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Dimitrios Nikolaou Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Nikolaou Title: The role of pregnancy health problems on maternal smoking behaviours Abstract: To explore the effects of pregnancy health problems (PHPs) on smoking behaviours during and after pregnancy (‘smoking-inducing’ effect), we estimate a two-period model that jointly determines prenatal and postnatal smoking decisions, taking into consideration the presence of PHPs. While PHPs are likely to reduce prenatal (except for heavy smokers) and postnatal smoking propensity, we still observe considerable postnatal relapse in the sample, which can be attributed to smoking addiction, as well as information asymmetries and maternal stress associated with PHPs. Thus, we advocate for smoking cessation policies and programmes throughout and beyond pregnancy to avoid potential intertemporal substitution between prenatal and postnatal cigarette consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4650-4670 Issue: 43 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1458201 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1458201 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:43:p:4650-4670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Ortobelli Lozza Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Ortobelli Lozza Author-Name: Wing-Keung Wong Author-X-Name-First: Wing-Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Author-Name: Frank J. Fabozzi Author-X-Name-First: Frank J. Author-X-Name-Last: Fabozzi Author-Name: Martin Egozcue Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Egozcue Title: Diversification versus optimality: is there really a diversification puzzle? Abstract: In this paper, we provide a general valuation of the diversification attitude of investors. First, we empirically examine the diversification of mean-variance optimal choices in the US stock market during the 11-year period 2003–2013. We then analyze the diversification problem from the perspective of risk-averse investors and risk-seeking investors. Second, we prove that investors’ optimal choices will be similar if their utility functions are not too distant, independent of their tolerance (or aversion) to risk. Finally, we discuss investors’ attitude towards diversification when the choices available to investors depend on several parameters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4671-4693 Issue: 43 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1459037 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1459037 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:43:p:4671-4693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: Mortgage product diversity: responding to consumer demand or protecting lender profit? An asymmetric panel analysis Abstract: This article explores determinants of mortgage product diversity for owner-occupied and investment loans in the Australian housing mortgage market. From 2001 to 2012, 65 lenders introduced 1220 mortgage products in Australia. We examine whether the product proliferation was a result of consumer demand or a response to pressure to lower lending rates. We find that consumer demand for mortgages does not have a significant relationship with the number of mortgage products, but that decreases in the policy interest rate are highly significant as an explanatory variable for product proliferation. Such behaviour is consistent with information obfuscation, reducing the ease with which consumers can compare lending rates. Further, the relationship between mortgage products offered and the policy interest rate is asymmetric: decreases in the cash rate are associated with increased mortgage products offered, but increases in the cash rate have a more muted effect on decreasing the number of products. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4694-4704 Issue: 43 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1459038 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1459038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:43:p:4694-4704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Md Samsul Alam Author-X-Name-First: Md Samsul Author-X-Name-Last: Alam Author-Name: E A Selva Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: E A Selva Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: Moazzem Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Moazzem Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Title: Causal relationship between apparel exports and macroeconomic factors Abstract: Apparel exports make a significant contribution to economic growth in major apparel exporting economies such as Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Vietnam. This study aims to investigate the causal relationship between apparel export growth and its determinants such as GDP growth, infrastructure, financial development, foreign direct investment (FDI) and labour productivity using panel data from 11 major apparel exporting countries for the period 1996 to 2013. The results confirm a long-run equilibrium association among the variables and reveal that GDP growth, infrastructure, financial development, FDI, and labour productivity have a significant positive influence on apparel export growth. Furthermore, the heterogeneous panel non-causality test results suggest that GDP growth, infrastructure and labour productivity contribute to apparel export growth in the short-run. These findings have several policy implications for the governments of the countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2687-2702 Issue: 25 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527447 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:25:p:2687-2702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor Pontines Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Pontines Author-Name: Reza Y. Siregar Author-X-Name-First: Reza Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Siregar Title: Non-core liabilities and interest rate pass-through: bank-level evidence from Indonesia Abstract: The policy importance of non-core liabilities (bank liabilities other than equity and retail deposits) has risen to prominence in recent years with a number of studies highlighting it as a useful indicator of financial procyclicality and vulnerability. In this paper, we look at non-core liabilities in relation to its role in the transmission of monetary policy, particularly by examining how the interest rate channel of monetary policy is affected by non-deposit liabilities. We analyse this issue in the context of an emerging economy experience of Indonesia, which in recent years, has seen an increased reliance of its banking sector on non-core funding. Our investigation employs available bank-level data on non-core liabilities and lending rates in Indonesia over the period October 2011 to July 2016. We find that including non-core liabilities in the estimation has an effect, relative to the baseline, of stronger overall and immediate pass-through, albeit with a more sluggish adjustment towards the correction of disequilibrium in the next period. The overall effect is that non-core liabilities make the duration longer for the monetary policy rate to transmit to bank lending rates in Indonesia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2703-2714 Issue: 25 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558352 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558352 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:25:p:2703-2714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chuantao Cui Author-X-Name-First: Chuantao Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Author-Name: Leona Shao-Zhi Li Author-X-Name-First: Leona Shao-Zhi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: High-speed rail and inventory reduction: firm-level evidence from China Abstract: Using a balanced panel of manufacturing firms from China between 2007 and 2013, we estimate that being connected to a high-speed rail (HSR) system leads to 9.5% reduction in local firms’ input inventory spending. The effect is stronger for downstream industries and private enterprises. A back-of-envelope calculation suggests that each dollar of HSR investment reduces input inventory stock by 12 cents, which is significantly larger than the effects found in previous studies based on highway or road investment. Declines in transportation and communication cost, as well as agglomeration effect, are identified as plausible mechanisms. Our findings reveal a micro channel through which improved transport infrastructure brings about economic gains, and contribute to the cost-benefit assessment of HSR investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2715-2730 Issue: 25 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558353 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:25:p:2715-2730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yamin Ahmad Author-X-Name-First: Yamin Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad Author-Name: Ming Chien Lo Author-X-Name-First: Ming Chien Author-X-Name-Last: Lo Author-Name: Olena Staveley-O’Carroll Author-X-Name-First: Olena Author-X-Name-Last: Staveley-O’Carroll Title: Nonlinearities in the real exchange rates: new evidence from developed and developing countries Abstract: This paper investigates nonlinearities in the dynamics of real exchange rates. We use Monte Carlo simulations to establish the size properties of the Teräsvirta-Anderson test, when the dynamics of the real exchange rate is influenced by an exogenous process. In addition, we show that a modified nonlinearity test, which includes additional right-hand-side variables, performs much better than the original in both Monte Carlo exercises and in the actual data on 1431 bilateral real exchange rate series. Finally, we investigate the dynamics of the real exchange rate for both developed and developing countries using the modified test for the recent floating period. In general, the results find a greater incidence of nonlinear dynamics for developing country real exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2731-2743 Issue: 25 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558354 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:25:p:2731-2743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alejandra Elizondo Author-X-Name-First: Alejandra Author-X-Name-Last: Elizondo Author-Name: Roy Boyd Author-X-Name-First: Roy Author-X-Name-Last: Boyd Title: CGE assumptions under scrutiny: uncertainty in the ethanol promotion policy in Mexico Abstract: Based on a CGE exercise of a subsidy to initiate ethanol production in Mexico, we use Monte Carlo simulations for consumer demand elasticities and ethanol cost estimates. The analysis provides three conclusions: when markets vary smoothly and predictably, Monte Carlo methods can then help to gauge the actual probability that a given program will achieve a desired outcome. Second, secondary markets may display little or no sensitivity to these parameter variations. Finally, a ‘razor’s edge’ outcome with no positive benefits if a critical parameter falls below some critical value, reveals that an economic policy may not be conducive to ‘fine tuning’ by marginal adjustments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2744-2753 Issue: 25 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558355 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:25:p:2744-2753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weijian Du Author-X-Name-First: Weijian Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Mengjie Li Author-X-Name-First: Mengjie Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Government support and innovation for new energy firms in China Abstract: Government support plays an important role in the Chinese economy. New energy industries, which involve innovation-driven sources and environmental protection, are also supported by the government. This paper aims to study the effects of supply-side traditional government support on firms’ innovation and development. We propose a theoretical mechanism and study the innovation reaction of firms to government support in different situations. We further use propensity score matching to verify the results in the theoretical model and conduct a robustness analysis. Our main conclusions include the following. (1) In normal years, government support can promote only the innovation output of firms that have innovated; however, support cannot promote the innovation probability of firms that have not innovated. Government support can only enhance the intensive margin of innovation and cannot enhance the extensive margin of innovation with less competition. (2) In the situation of a bad economic environment and intense competition, firms’ innovation probability rises as government support increases. Therefore, the government should provide more R&D special subsidies and implement strict financial supervision to make support policies effective, especially in normal years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2754-2763 Issue: 25 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558356 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558356 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:25:p:2754-2763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sebastian Kunsteller Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian Author-X-Name-Last: Kunsteller Author-Name: Janis Müller Author-X-Name-First: Janis Author-X-Name-Last: Müller Author-Name: Peter N. Posch Author-X-Name-First: Peter N. Author-X-Name-Last: Posch Title: Do illiquid stocks jump more frequently? Abstract: We study the influence of stock liquidity on the stock price jump frequency using intraday data of 175 US stocks during 2007–11. Grouping these stocks according to their average liquidity we find less liquid stocks to jump more often than liquid stocks. Depending on the liquidity measure the least liquid stocks exhibit on average between 10% and 34% more jumps than the most liquid stocks. Our results are robust to different definitions of liquidity and jump measures as well prevail under different time frequencies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2764-2769 Issue: 25 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558357 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558357 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:25:p:2764-2769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hojin Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hojin Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Predicting bid prices by using machine learning methods Abstract: It is well-known that empirical analysis suffers from multicollinearity and high dimensionality. In particular, this is much more severe in an empirical study of itemized bids in highway procurement auctions. To overcome this obstacle, this article employs the regularized linear regression for the estimation of a more precise interval for project winning bids. The approach is put to the test using empirical data of highway procurement auctions in Vermont. In our empirical analysis, we first choose a set of crucial tasks that determine a bidder’s bid amounts by using the random forest variable selection method. Given the selected tasks, project bid forecasting is conducted. We compare our proposed methodology with the least square linear model based on the bias and the standard root mean square error of the bid estimates. There is evidence supporting that the suggested approach provides superior forecasts for an interval of winning bids over the competing model. As far as we know, this article is the first attempt to provide reference bids of highway construction contracts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2011-2018 Issue: 19 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1537477 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1537477 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:19:p:2011-2018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yicheol Han Author-X-Name-First: Yicheol Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Stephan J. Goetz Author-X-Name-First: Stephan J. Author-X-Name-Last: Goetz Title: Predicting US county economic resilience from industry input-output accounts Abstract: Resilience is defined as a system’s ability to initially resist and then recover from a shock. Here we apply this concept to examine the performance of U.S. counties during the Great Recession. The response of local economies to manmade and natural shocks is hypothesized to depend on the centrality of local industries within the economy, or how well connected they are to the other industries. We first calculate a centrality value for each industry using the national Input-Output accounts. We then ‘step down’ these values to the county level using industry employment data. We then test empirically whether local economies containing more centralized industries were more resilient, using a resilience measure that compares the local employment rebound and decline during the Great Recession. Our results suggest that measures of economic centrality adopted from the study of complex networks provide new insights when applied to the fields of regional science and spatial analysis, and economic growth more generally. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2019-2028 Issue: 19 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1539806 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1539806 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:19:p:2019-2028 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sumiko Takaoka Author-X-Name-First: Sumiko Author-X-Name-Last: Takaoka Title: Is there a safety premium in the design of corporate bond contracts? Abstract: This study examines empirically whether there is a safety premium in the design of bond contracts by highlighting a safety attribute of general mortgage bonds in Japan, which can give especially strong protection to bondholders, who would have priority in the event of legal liquidation. The effects of a safety attribute were not prominent at first in the difference-in-differences analysis. However, the methods for analysing selectivity bias allow us to provide a safety premium in the design of bond contracts, such as lower spread, lower commission, and larger issue size. The resulting bias would depend on the reputation of the bookrunner. This study uncovers the underlying link for the connection between a safety attribute and the observed and unobserved issuer and bookrunner characteristics, to indicate that a safety premium is related to various terms of bond contracts, including the bookrunner-issuer match. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2029-2042 Issue: 19 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1539807 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1539807 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:19:p:2029-2042 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Danswasvong Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Danswasvong Author-Name: S. Suchintabandid Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Suchintabandid Title: Heterogeneity effects on the management of retirement fund Abstract: This article studies the importance of plan members’ heterogeneity to the management of defined benefit (DB) pension fund. We propose a new multi-member model of DB pension fund that allows for heterogeneity in plan members’ retirement ages, salary growths and other characteristics. We first solve analytically for optimal management strategy and show that the sponsor’s supplementary contribution and the fund’s allocation in risky assets are determined by the cross-product between the fund’s expected retirement liabilities and some heterogeneity-adjusted discount factors. We then demonstrate that the presence of heterogeneity can have a significant influence on the optimal management strategy and that a management decision made while ignoring heterogeneity will be suboptimal. The knowledge of desirable and undesirable effects of heterogeneity that we uncover in this article also provides implications to the grouping of fund members. Introducing a presence of young member whose salary is positively correlated with the risky asset and avoid stacking members with negative correlations will all help the management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2043-2060 Issue: 19 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1540844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:19:p:2043-2060 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Esteban Petruzzello Author-X-Name-First: Esteban Author-X-Name-Last: Petruzzello Title: Testing for forward-looking behaviour: evidence from the enactment of smoking restrictions Abstract: This paper develops a new test for forward-looking behaviour based on the establishment of public smoking restrictions. Given that the announcement of these restrictions effectively increases the future cost of smoking, we should expect forward-looking smokers to curb their consumption before the restriction is effective due to complementarity between present and future consumption. I perform the estimation using detailed, high-frequency household-level purchase data. The results provide evidence against the forward-looking behaviour of smokers. Households do not reduce their cigarette purchases before announced public smoking restrictions are established; they only do so once the restriction is in effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2061-2069 Issue: 19 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1540845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:19:p:2061-2069 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui-Chu Shu Author-X-Name-First: Hui-Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Shu Author-Name: Jung-Hsien Chang Author-X-Name-First: Jung-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Spillovers of volatility index: evidence from U.S., European, and Asian stock markets Abstract: We investigated the cross-market relations of volatility indexes with U.S. and non-U.S. stock market returns. We found that the pervasive VIX influence at both U.S. and non-U.S. stock markets. The VSTOXX and VKOSPI capture the major shocks to the global economy and show movements similar to the VIX. The empirical findings indicate that volatility index changes are important in explaining stock returns. We also examined spillover effects across volatility indexes. The VIX is a main transmitter, and the VKOSPI the main receiver, of these spillovers. The results point to a leading role for the VIX in the international market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2070-2083 Issue: 19 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540846 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1540846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:19:p:2070-2083 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: A model selection approach for multiple indicators multiple causes model Abstract: This study proposes a model selection approach for determining the inclusion or exclusion of a latent variable when two exogenous and two endogenous variables are provided. The models compared are the multivariate regression model without latent variables (MR model) and the multiple indicators multiple causes model (MIMIC model). The inclusion of a latent variable in the MR model yields the MIMIC model. In the proposed approach, an information criterion is used to select the best model of the two. The efficacy of the proposed approach is examined through two types of simulation studies and empirical analyses of the shadow economy and the fiscal illusion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2084-2090 Issue: 19 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540847 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1540847 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:19:p:2084-2090 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mustafa Ismihan Author-X-Name-First: Mustafa Author-X-Name-Last: Ismihan Author-Name: Burcu Dinçergök Author-X-Name-First: Burcu Author-X-Name-Last: Dinçergök Author-Name: Seyit Mümin Cilasun Author-X-Name-First: Seyit Mümin Author-X-Name-Last: Cilasun Title: Revisiting the finance–growth nexus: the Turkish case, 1980–2010 Abstract: In Turkey, the empirical results on the link between financial development and economic growth are mixed. The existing studies do not take into account the fact that Turkey has experienced endemic political and economic instabilities over extended periods. This study aims to analyse the role of macroeconomic instability and public borrowing on the finance–growth nexus in Turkey by using time series econometric techniques over the 1980–2010 period. In doing so, we attempt to extend the existing literature by taking into account the role of macroeconomic instability as well as public borrowing. Our results reveal that there are additional – albeit indirect – channels between finance and growth via the effects of macro instability and public borrowing on financial development and economic growth. After taking into account the effects of overall instability and public borrowing, we found that growth–financial development relationship is bidirectional and permanent. In other words, in Turkish case, economic growth and financial development are jointly determined. Thus, our results shed some light on the ambiguity of the evidence on the link between financial development and economic growth for Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1737-1750 Issue: 18 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1226487 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1226487 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:18:p:1737-1750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiuhua Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiuhua Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jian Guan Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Guan Title: Financial inclusion: measurement, spatial effects and influencing factors Abstract: Using the index of financial inclusion and the World Bank Global Findex database, this study measures the level of financial inclusion across countries. The results reveal a geographical spatial aggregation distribution in which developed European and North American countries enjoy higher levels of financial inclusion than the less developed countries of Africa and most of Asia. Accordingly, our spatial analysis proves our hypothesis and reveals dependence and aggregation effects among countries. Then, we employ spatial econometric research to identify those factors significantly associated with financial inclusion. The results show that an individual’s income, education and use of communications equipment are important factors that explain the level of financial inclusion, while financial depth and banking health status are the main determinants. Building an inclusive financial system is an important means for most countries to achieve the Millennium Development Goals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1751-1762 Issue: 18 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1226488 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1226488 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:18:p:1751-1762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Louis de Grange Author-X-Name-First: Louis Author-X-Name-Last: de Grange Author-Name: Rodrigo Troncoso Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Troncoso Author-Name: Nicolás Odeh Author-X-Name-First: Nicolás Author-X-Name-Last: Odeh Author-Name: Felipe González Author-X-Name-First: Felipe Author-X-Name-Last: González Title: Estimating the impact of incidents on urban controlled-access highways: an empirical analysis Abstract: An empirical analysis is developed that quantifies the impact of different types of traffic incidents on the speed and maximum flow averages of vehicles on a controlled-access highway. The incident types considered include damage to highway infrastructure, vehicle rollover, crashes (into stationary objects), collisions (with moving vehicles), rain, fog, vehicle breakdowns, pedestrians on roadway, etc. Using real-world data from Chile’s most heavily used urban motorway/freeway, estimates of incident impacts on speed are generated using a multiple linear regression model incorporating instrumental variables to correct for endogeneity. Flow results are then generated using the fundamental traffic equation relating speed, flow and density. A ranking of the impacts on highway traffic of the different incident types based on incident frequency as well as impact size demonstrates that for the real case studied, the incidents with the greatest cumulative effect are (in order of magnitude) vehicle breakdown, collisions and rain. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1763-1773 Issue: 18 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1226489 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1226489 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:18:p:1763-1773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Pierre Allegret Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Allegret Author-Name: Cécile Couharde Author-X-Name-First: Cécile Author-X-Name-Last: Couharde Author-Name: Valérie Mignon Author-X-Name-First: Valérie Author-X-Name-Last: Mignon Author-Name: Tovonony Razafindrabe Author-X-Name-First: Tovonony Author-X-Name-Last: Razafindrabe Title: Oil currencies in the face of oil shocks: what can be learned from time-varying specifications? Abstract: While the oil currency property is clearly established from a theoretical viewpoint, its existence is less clear-cut in the empirical literature. We investigate the reasons for this apparent puzzle by studying the time-varying nature of the relationship between real effective exchange rates of five oil exporters and the real price of oil in the aftermath of the oil price shocks of the last two decades. Accordingly, we rely on a time-varying parameter VAR specification, which allows the responses of real exchange rates to different oil price shocks to evolve over time. We find that the reason of the mixed results obtained in the empirical literature is that oil currencies follow different hybrid models in the sense that oil countries’ real exchange rates may be driven by one or several sources of oil price shocks that furthermore can vary over time. In addition to structural changes affecting oil countries, structural changes arising from the oil market itself through the various, time-varying sources of oil price shocks are found to be crucial. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1774-1793 Issue: 18 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1226490 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1226490 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:18:p:1774-1793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu Author-X-Name-First: Claudiu Tiberiu Author-X-Name-Last: Albulescu Author-Name: Christian Aubin Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Aubin Author-Name: Daniel Goyeau Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Goyeau Title: Stock prices, inflation and inflation uncertainty in the U.S.: testing the long-run relationship considering Dow Jones sector indexes Abstract: We test for the long-run relationship between stock prices, inflation and its uncertainty for different U.S. sector stock indexes, over the period 2002M7–2015M10. For this purpose we use a cointegration analysis with one structural break to capture the crisis effect, and we assess the inflation uncertainty based on a time-varying unobserved component model. In line with recent empirical studies we discover that in the long run, the inflation and its uncertainty negatively impact the stock prices, opposed to the well-known Fisher effect. In addition we show that for several sector stock indexes the negative effect of inflation and its uncertainty vanishes after the crisis outburst. However, in the short run the results provide evidence in favour of a negative impact of uncertainty, while the inflation has no significant influence on stock prices, except for the consumption indexes. The consideration of business cycle effects confirms our findings, which proves that the results are robust, both for long- and short-run relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1794-1807 Issue: 18 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1226491 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1226491 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:18:p:1794-1807 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. P. Cameron Author-X-Name-First: M. P. Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: S. Siameja Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Siameja Title: An experimental evaluation of a proactive pastoral care initiative within an introductory university course Abstract: Improving student retention and academic performance is a key objective for higher education institutions, and finding effective interventions for assisting with at-risk students is therefore important. In this article, we evaluate a proactive pastoral care intervention that was trialled in an introductory economics course in New Zealand. We first identified students at high risk of failure, and then randomized these students into two treatment groups and a control group. The first treatment group received an email with information about academic support, while the second treatment group received the email as well as a personal telephone call to follow-up. In evaluating the impact of the intervention trial, we found that the first intervention did not significantly improve student outcomes, but the second intervention improved outcomes in one of the two semesters evaluated. Overall, the initiative was a qualified success. It is both simple and cost-effective and should be considered for wider implementation and further evaluation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1808-1820 Issue: 18 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1226492 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1226492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:18:p:1808-1820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dooyeon Cho Author-X-Name-First: Dooyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Sungju Chun Author-X-Name-First: Sungju Author-X-Name-Last: Chun Title: Trend shifts in the forward premium and the predictability of excess returns in currency markets Abstract: This article provides evidence that the forward premium involves structural changes in the trend function, which might affect the predictability of currency excess returns to be dependent on the choice of the sample period. Accounting for the shifts in trend for the forward premium reveals that currency excess returns for the Canadian dollar, Swiss franc, euro and pound against the US dollar are significantly predictable irrespective of the sample period selected. Another advantage of detrending the forward premium is that we can obtain more consistent slope coefficient estimates in the predictive regression, which enables us to make more consistent, dependable inferences about the excess return predictability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1821-1832 Issue: 18 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1226493 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1226493 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:18:p:1821-1832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Grund Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Grund Author-Name: Maike Rubin Author-X-Name-First: Maike Author-X-Name-Last: Rubin Title: Social comparisons of wage increases and job satisfaction Abstract: We combine status quo and social comparison considerations and investigate whether relative wage increases in the sense of differences between individual wage increases and wage increases of comparable employees are related to managers’ job satisfaction. Using a panel data set of managers in the German chemical industry, we indeed find first evidence. The relation between relative wage increases and job satisfaction is relevant for managers with lower absolute wage levels in particular. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1345-1350 Issue: 14 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1217311 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1217311 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:14:p:1345-1350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad F. Bhuiyan Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad F. Author-X-Name-Last: Bhuiyan Author-Name: Radek S. Szulga Author-X-Name-First: Radek S. Author-X-Name-Last: Szulga Title: Extreme bounds of subjective well-being: economic development and micro determinants of life satisfaction Abstract: This article presents a global sensitivity analysis of micro determinants of life satisfaction (LS), a subjective well-being (SWB) measure of quality of life, as it relates to economic development. We test 53 micro variables using extreme bound analysis on a pooled cross-section data from the World Value Survey representing 98 countries between 1989 and 2014. Several standard variables frequently included in SWB regressions are controlled for. The test variables are broadly categorized as demographic, personal–economic, individual traits and values, social attitudes and collectivism, social relationships and perceptions of control. We find subjective health status, household income rank, family savings, religiosity, most perceptions of control and several social attitudes and collectivism measures to be universal LS determinants. Generally, the determinants of LS vary by a country’s level of economic development. In particular, we provide suggestive evidence that as countries develop, certain needs are satisfied and stop being important contributors to LS while others take their place. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1351-1378 Issue: 14 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1218426 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1218426 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:14:p:1351-1378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jürgen Bitzer Author-X-Name-First: Jürgen Author-X-Name-Last: Bitzer Author-Name: Ingo Geishecker Author-X-Name-First: Ingo Author-X-Name-Last: Geishecker Author-Name: Philipp J. H. Schröder Author-X-Name-First: Philipp J. H. Author-X-Name-Last: Schröder Title: Is there a wage premium for volunteer OSS engagement? – signalling, learning and noise Abstract: Volunteer-based open-source production has become a significant new model for the organization of software development. Economics often pictures this phenomenon as a case of signalling: individuals engage in the volunteer programming of open-source software (OSS) as a labour-market signal resulting in a wage premium. Yet, this explanation could so far not be empirically tested. This article fills this gap by estimating an upper-bound composite wage premium of voluntary OSS contributions and by separating the potential signalling effect of OSS engagement from other effects. Although some 70% of OSS contributors believe that OSS involvement benefits their careers, we find no actual labour-market premium for OSS engagement. The presence of other motives, such as fun of play or altruism, renders OSS contributions too noisy to function as a signal. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1379-1394 Issue: 14 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1218427 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1218427 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:14:p:1379-1394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nathan Berg Author-X-Name-First: Nathan Author-X-Name-Last: Berg Author-Name: Todd Gabel Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Gabel Title: Who was affected by new welfare reform strategies? Microdata estimates from Canada Abstract: A heterogeneous mix of aggressive welfare reforms took effect in different provinces and years starting in the 1990s. Welfare participation rates subsequently declined. Previous investigations of these declines focused on cuts in benefits and stricter eligibility requirements. This article focuses instead on work requirements, diversion, earning exemptions and time limits – referred to jointly as new welfare reform strategies – while controlling for benefit levels, eligibility requirements, province-specific labour market conditions and GDP growth, as well as individual-level socio-economic information. Province-year-specific variation in new reform strategies produce estimates implying that their presence is associated with a large decline in welfare participation of 1.3 percentage points (14% relative to the unconditional mean participation rate of 9.2%). Our coding scheme generates new measures of policy variation that distinguish reductions in benefit levels and tighter eligibility restrictions from new welfare reform strategies, helping identify how different subpopulations responded to different kinds of welfare reforms. Estimates from 46 subpopulations demonstrate that immigrants, native Canadians, single parents and disabled people were substantially more likely to be affected by aggressive new attempts to limit welfare participation than other Canadians receiving social assistance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1395-1413 Issue: 14 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1218428 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1218428 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:14:p:1395-1413 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael S. Pagano Author-X-Name-First: Michael S. Author-X-Name-Last: Pagano Title: How have global financial institutions responded to the challenges of the post-crisis era? Abstract: The study examines the largely unexplored effect of changes in the competitive landscape for large, global financial institutions on their ability to take risks, as well as deploy capital and labour in an efficient manner based on a novel measure of inefficiency. The analysis shows during 2001–2013 that inefficiency peaked during the 2008 crisis period and has fallen back to levels close to pre-crisis periods. The model also performs well in out-of-sample forecasts of the financial firms’ future market values. These results suggest that large financial firms have been adjusting to the ‘new normal’ of the post-crisis period and thus are able to use capital and labour more efficiently within the constraints of current market conditions. In addition, a non-linear pattern between inefficiency and a firm’s asset size suggests that there might be an optimal scale for such firms in the $450–650 billion range. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1414-1425 Issue: 14 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1218429 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1218429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:14:p:1414-1425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bethany Cooper Author-X-Name-First: Bethany Author-X-Name-Last: Cooper Title: What drives compliance? An application of the theory of planned behaviour to urban water restrictions using structural equation modelling Abstract: This article presents analysis of households’ intentions to comply with government constraints on the use of urban water, or so-called water restrictions. The data are drawn from Australian cities and was collected during a severe drought. Structural equation modelling is employed to operationalize constructs taken from the theory of planned behaviour and to answer important policy questions related to compliance. The modelled data support the view that attitudes, social norms and perceived behavioural control (PBC) have a positive and significant influence on intentions to comply. PBC has the strongest influence on intentions, suggesting policy directed at assisting households to meet regulatory criteria might be at least as effective as advertising expenditures aimed at shaping attitudes and norms. Importantly, intentions to comply are also shown to have a positive and significant influence on reported compliance behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1426-1439 Issue: 14 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1218430 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1218430 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:14:p:1426-1439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Augusto Cerqua Author-X-Name-First: Augusto Author-X-Name-Last: Cerqua Author-Name: Giorgio Di Pietro Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Author-X-Name-Last: Di Pietro Title: Natural disasters and university enrolment: evidence from L’Aquila earthquake Abstract: Although there are several studies looking at the effect of natural disasters on economic growth, less attention has been dedicated to their impact on educational outcomes, especially in more developed countries. We use the synthetic control method to examine how the L’Aquila earthquake affected subsequent enrolment at the local university. This issue has wide economic implications as the University of L’Aquila made a large contribution to the local economy before the earthquake. Our results indicate that the earthquake had no statistically significant effect on first-year enrolment at the University of L’Aquila in the three academic years after the disaster. This natural disaster, however, caused a compositional change in the first-year student population, with a substantial increase in the number of students aged 21 or above. This is likely to have been driven by post-disaster measures adopted in order to mitigate the expected negative effects on enrolment triggered by the earthquake. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1440-1457 Issue: 14 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1218431 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1218431 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:14:p:1440-1457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ákos Dombi Author-X-Name-First: Ákos Author-X-Name-Last: Dombi Author-Name: István Dedák Author-X-Name-First: István Author-X-Name-Last: Dedák Title: Public debt and economic growth: what do neoclassical growth models teach us? Abstract: This paper aims to quantify the crowding-out effect of public debt and the related loss in long-run output in neoclassical growth models. To accomplish this task, we incorporate the government sector into the Ramsey–Cass–Koopmans (RCK) model, the Blanchard model and the Solow model, which differ only in their assumptions concerning the consumption behaviour of households. We also introduce a general framework that is capable of gauging the burden of public debt in a neoclassical world in the case of any type of consumption behaviour. Our results are threefold. First, contrary to the RCK model, public debt reduces long-run output in the Blanchard model and the Solow model, although to a different extent: the crowding-out effect is marginal in the former, whereas it can be very large in the latter. Second, the burden of public debt is country-specific depending crucially on the saving rate and the population growth rate. Finally, in developed countries the upper limit of the output loss related to public debt is moderate at best even if distortionary taxes are taken into account. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3104-3121 Issue: 29 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1508869 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1508869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:29:p:3104-3121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zied Ftiti Author-X-Name-First: Zied Author-X-Name-Last: Ftiti Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Wael Louhichi Author-X-Name-First: Wael Author-X-Name-Last: Louhichi Author-Name: Mohamed Arbi Madani Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Arbi Author-X-Name-Last: Madani Title: On the relationship between energy returns and trading volume: a multifractal analysis Abstract: Forecasting and modelling commodities price movements and the activity of energy markets are of real interest to investors and policymakers, especially during turbulent times. This study investigates the volume–returns relationship for two major energy markets (oil and gas) during the recent global financial crisis. Unlike previous studies, we examine this relationship by applying an original fractal approach to intraday data, which has the advantage of accounting for further non-normality, nonstationarity, and fat-tailedness properties. Our study provides two interesting findings. First, we find a significant multifractal relationship between returns and volume in both markets and across all timescales, suggesting nonlinearity in the cross-correlation between returns and volume and rejecting the efficiency assumption. Second, the measure of multifractality in this relationship shows that the magnitude of the fluctuations during bearish and bullish trends affects the volume–return relationship differently, and that the oil market exhibits higher volatility than does the gas market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3122-3136 Issue: 29 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1564122 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1564122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:29:p:3122-3136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maurizio La Rocca Author-X-Name-First: Maurizio Author-X-Name-Last: La Rocca Author-Name: Tiziana La Rocca Author-X-Name-First: Tiziana Author-X-Name-Last: La Rocca Author-Name: Raffaele Staglianò Author-X-Name-First: Raffaele Author-X-Name-Last: Staglianò Author-Name: Pino Vecellio Author-X-Name-First: Pino Author-X-Name-Last: Vecellio Author-Name: Fabiola Montalto Author-X-Name-First: Fabiola Author-X-Name-Last: Montalto Title: Gender diversity, cash holdings and the role of the institutional environment: empirical evidence in Europe Abstract: While substantial evidence is emerging internationally on higher risk aversion among women than among men, there is less evidence on women’s business choices. We explore some of the reasons for the relationship between gender diversity and cash holdings. Specifically, this paper focuses on the choices involving the stock of cash held by firms in which women have executive roles and can consequently exert a crucial influence on the firms themselves. We estimate our proposed empirical models using a dataset of 12,466 observations from 18 European countries. We find a positive relationship between the presence of women with executive roles in the firm and cash holdings. Women tend to make more conservative choices probably because they are more risk averse than men are. This propensity has a relevant impact on the financial choices of firms when women play a leading role. Notably, the study demonstrates that the institutional environment and industry differences moderate our baseline relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3137-3152 Issue: 29 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1566687 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1566687 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:29:p:3137-3152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: S. Endres Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Endres Author-Name: J. Stübinger Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Stübinger Title: Optimal trading strategies for Lévy-driven Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes Abstract: This study derives an optimal pairs trading strategy based on a Lévy-driven Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process and applies it to high-frequency data of the S&P 500 constituents from 1998 to 2015. Our model provides optimal entry and exit signals by maximizing the expected return expressed in terms of the first-passage time of the spread process. An explicit representation of the strategy’s objective function allows for direct optimization without Monte Carlo methods. Categorizing the data sample into 10 economic sectors, we depict both the performance of each sector and the efficiency of the strategy in general. Results from empirical back-testing show strong support for the profitability of the model with returns after transaction costs ranging from 31.90% p.a. for the sector ‘Consumer Staples’ to 278.61% p.a. for the sector ‘Financials’. We find that the remarkable returns across all economic sectors are strongly driven by model parameters and sector size. Jump intensity decreases over time with strong outliers in times of high market turmoil. The value-add of our Lévy-based model is demonstrated by benchmarking it with quantitative strategies based on Brownian motion-driven processes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3153-3169 Issue: 29 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1566688 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1566688 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:29:p:3153-3169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lan Thanh Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Lan Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Parmendra Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Parmendra Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: SME credit constraints in Asia’s rising economic star: fresh empirical evidence from Vietnam Abstract: This study provides a fresh look at the SME sector’s economic backbone vis-à-vis credit constraint dichotomy in Vietnam—Asia’s rising economic star. The study uses data from the Survey of Manufacturing SMEs in Vietnam from 2005 to 2013 and adopts a two-step Heckman modelling strategy to single out firms with formal financing needs that are credit constrained. Results show that several characteristics—including firm size, investment, financial assets, leverage, equity, registration, gender of owner, age, and education—significantly affect the likelihood of either credit constraints or demand. The main results do not change even when the issue of endogeneity is dealt with. Particularly, we provide evidence that unobserved factors that increase the probability of debt demand also increase the probability of being constrained. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3170-3183 Issue: 29 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1569196 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1569196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:29:p:3170-3183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Pierre Gueyié Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Gueyié Author-Name: Alaa Guidara Author-X-Name-First: Alaa Author-X-Name-Last: Guidara Author-Name: Van Son Lai Author-X-Name-First: Van Son Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: Banks’ non-traditional activities under regulatory changes: impact on risk, performance and capital adequacy Abstract: Using the big six Canadian chartered banks quarterly financial statements and daily stock market data from 1982 to 2018, we examine the impact of non-interest income on Canadian banks’ risk, performance and capital under the different major regulatory changes made to the Bank Act of Canada. Our results show that Canadian banks’ expansion into non-traditional activities had slightly decreased their risks and significantly improved their performance benefitting from income diversification. Moreover, while adhering to capital adequacy regulation, reshuffling banks’ portfolio towards non-traditional activities did not reduce Canadian banks’ capital ratio. In spite of the re-regulation towards universal banking against ring-fencing, this feature buttresses the effectiveness of capital adequacy regulation in Canada in linking banks capital allocation with their risk taking. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3184-3197 Issue: 29 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1569197 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1569197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:29:p:3184-3197 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giorgio Calcagnini Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Author-X-Name-Last: Calcagnini Author-Name: Francesco Perugini Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Perugini Title: Income distribution dynamics among Italian provinces. The role of Bank Foundations Abstract: This paper investigates the convergence process and the distribution dynamics of income among Italian NUTS-3 provinces between 2003 and 2011. Findings show the existence of multiple steady-state equilibria which is consistent with the well-documented persistence in income disparities among Italian provinces. The role of grant-making activities by Bank Foundations is assessed on a conditioning scheme. Results suggest that Bank Foundations can affect the shape of the distribution of income and, in the long run, reduce polarization with a tendency for income to collapse towards a unimodal distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3198-3211 Issue: 29 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1572866 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1572866 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:29:p:3198-3211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Sznajderska Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Sznajderska Title: The role of China in the world economy: evidence from a global VAR model Abstract: Since the 1980s, China has experienced very high economic growth, and its share in global trade has increased rapidly. Currently, however, the Chinese economy is rebalancing, and its growth is slowing. This paper investigates the spillover effects on other countries of a negative demand shock and negative stock price shock in the Chinese economy. We apply a global vector autoregressive model, which enables us to model international linkages between countries. Our results show that a one per cent negative China GDP shock reduces global growth by 0.22% in the short run. We find that GDP shock affects emerging economies more strongly than advanced economies. We also show that a stock price shock affects only emerging economies and does not affect advanced economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1574-1587 Issue: 15 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527464 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:15:p:1574-1587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yasir Riaz Author-X-Name-First: Yasir Author-X-Name-Last: Riaz Author-Name: Choudhry Tanveer Shehzad Author-X-Name-First: Choudhry Tanveer Author-X-Name-Last: Shehzad Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Title: Pro-cyclical effect of sovereign rating changes on stock returns: a fact or factoid? Abstract: This article examines the effect of changes in sovereign credit ratings and their outlook on the stock market returns of European countries at different phases of business cycle. Using standard four-factor model, it records a significant average marginal effect of credit rating announcements on stock market returns. Both magnitude and significance of the effect vary with business cycle and across announcement types. However, we do not find evidence of pro-cyclical effect of sovereign rating and outlook changes on stock returns. Our results show that stock markets react more negatively to rating downgrades in recovery phases and more positively to rating upgrades in contractionary period. Both results are statistically significant and robust to various sensitivity tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1588-1601 Issue: 15 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527465 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527465 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:15:p:1588-1601 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaohui Guo Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohui Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Chad D. Meyerhoefer Author-X-Name-First: Chad D. Author-X-Name-Last: Meyerhoefer Author-Name: Lizhong Peng Author-X-Name-First: Lizhong Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Title: Participation in school-sponsored sports and academic spillovers: new evidence from the early childhood longitudinal survey Abstract: The link between participation in school-sponsored sports and academic performance has been studied extensively in the literature. Whilst previous studies tend to show positive academic spillovers, it remains unclear whether these positive associations are primarily driven by selection into sports. We investigate this issue using data on middle school children drawn from the Early Childhood Longitudinal Study, Kindergarten Class of 1998–1999. Due to the lack of credible instrumental variables for sports participation, we establish bounds for the relationship between school sports and academics using a combination of the propensity score matching method and an approach that uses selection on observed factors as a guide to selection on unobserved factors. We find that the association between participation in school-sponsored sports and academic performance as measured by standardised test scores in reading, math and science ranges from null to negative. Overall, our results suggest that failure to account for selection may result in a misleading positive correlation between sports participation and academic performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1602-1620 Issue: 15 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527466 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527466 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:15:p:1602-1620 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Moh’d Al-Azzam Author-X-Name-First: Moh’d Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Azzam Title: Financing microfinance institutions: subsidies or deposit mobilisation Abstract: According to conventional wisdom, dependence on subsidies cannot achieve the double bottom lines of microfinance institutions (MFIs): outreach and financial sustainability. The application of market-based principles to microfinancing, such as deposit mobilisation, has been long suggested as an answer to this problem. This paper documents the following findings regarding this issue. First, deposit mobilisation crowds out subsidies. Second, subsidies and deposit mobilisation reduce microcredit interest rates and allow MFIs to reach poorer borrowers. Third, subsidies and deposit mobilisation worsen financial sustainability. Fourth, subsidies reduce repayment rates, while deposit mobilisation has no impact on repayment. Overall, the results suggest that neither subsidies nor deposit mobilisation solve the traditional problem of trade-off between outreach and financial sustainability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1621-1633 Issue: 15 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527467 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527467 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:15:p:1621-1633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyeon-seung Huh Author-X-Name-First: Hyeon-seung Author-X-Name-Last: Huh Author-Name: David Kim Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Sources of fluctuations in hours worked for Canada, Germany, Japan and the U.S.: a sign restriction VAR approach Abstract: This study empirically examines the sources of fluctuations in hours worked in Canada, Germany, Japan and the U.S. It is particularly motivated by Galí’s (1999) VAR study, which demonstrates that a positive technology shock reduces hours worked, at least in the short run. However, in the present study, a technology shock is identified without recourse to Galí’s long-run restriction, which has been subject to active controversy. Furthermore, this study uncovers other important sources of fluctuations in hours worked to reflect the concern, raised by numerous studies, that technology shocks leave most variations in hours worked unexplained. Specifically, there are six shocks underlying our model, and they are identified using a set of sign restrictions. The empirical results confirm that in all four countries, a positive technology shock significantly reduces hours worked. This technology shock, along with labor supply and demand shocks, accounts for most of the short-term variations in hours worked. As the forecasting horizon increases, technology and demand shocks become less important, whereas labor supply shocks contribute to explaining the bulk of long-run variations in hours worked. Finally, the empirical relevance of Galí’s long-run identification restriction is tested and the results are related to those obtained using the sign restriction model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1634-1646 Issue: 15 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1528333 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1528333 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:15:p:1634-1646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eberhard Feess Author-X-Name-First: Eberhard Author-X-Name-Last: Feess Author-Name: Helge Müller Author-X-Name-First: Helge Author-X-Name-Last: Müller Author-Name: Ansgar Wohlschlegel Author-X-Name-First: Ansgar Author-X-Name-Last: Wohlschlegel Title: Reimbursement schemes for hospitals: the impact of case and firm characteristics Abstract: We contribute to the debate on high-powered versus low-powered incentives in regulation by studying their heterogeneous impacts on different subpopulations, using data from the introduction of a high-powered prospective payment system (PPS) for hospital reimbursement in Germany. While no overall effect on quality or cost saving is found, our results support hypotheses drawn from an incentive and selection perspective: PPS reduces the length of stay of older relative to younger patients, of more severe relative to less severe cases, and in smaller relative to larger hospitals. Hospitals which adopted PPS earlier provide higher quality under PPS as proxied by the case-specific readmission rate. Our study also contributes to the health economic literature on hospital reimbursement as our data permits us to identify the treatment effect via different timings of adoption of PPS and to use a more accurate quality measure by following patients even when readmitted to other hospitals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1647-1665 Issue: 15 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1528334 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1528334 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:15:p:1647-1665 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Celil Aydin Author-X-Name-First: Celil Author-X-Name-Last: Aydin Author-Name: Ömer Esen Author-X-Name-First: Ömer Author-X-Name-Last: Esen Title: Does too much government spending depress the economic development of transition economies? Evidences from dynamic panel threshold analysis Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between government size and economic growth and determines the optimal level of government spending to maximize economic growth. The paper applies a dynamic panel data analysis based upon a threshold model to test the threshold effect of government spending in 26 transition economies over the period spanning 1993–2016. According to the analysis results, government expenditures have a threshold effect on economic growth, and there is a non-linear relationship depicted as an Armey curve in these transition economies. The findings indicate that a government size above the threshold government spending level adversely affects economic growth, while a government size below the threshold level has a positive effect. Furthermore, there is a statistically significant relationship between the two variables above and below that optimal level, even if we divide the sample into developed and developing countries. Our findings suggest that governments in transition economies should consider optimal government size at around the estimated threshold level to support sustainable economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1666-1678 Issue: 15 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1528335 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1528335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:15:p:1666-1678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarlok Singh Author-X-Name-First: Tarlok Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: On the flow of funds accounts and inter-sectoral mobility of capital in India Abstract: This study uses the flow of funds accounts framework and undertakes an in-depth analysis of the inter-sectoral mobility of capital in India. Unlike previous studies, the FH model is estimated at the sectoral level using annual data for the period 1950–51 to 2012–13. The model estimated in one-regime setting with no structural break provides a weak and mixed support and that estimated in a sample-split setting with a single structural break provides no support for the presence of a long-run relationship between saving and investment for all the sectors. In contrast, the model estimated with multiple structural breaks provides dominant support for the presence of cointegration between saving and investment for all the sectors. The end-of-sample cointegration breakdown tests suggest the breakdowns of cointegration between saving and investment in all the sub-sample periods for the household and PCB sectors, but not for the public sector. The FOF accounts could be used to monitor the borrowing and lending operations of both financial and non-financial sectors and to identify any deformities in the system. The regulatory and supervisory policies need to be put in place promptly to resolve the identified deformities at their early stages, before they magnify and make the entire system dysfunctional. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4993-5011 Issue: 46 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584371 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584371 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:46:p:4993-5011 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tommaso Agasisti Author-X-Name-First: Tommaso Author-X-Name-Last: Agasisti Author-Name: Sabine Gralka Author-X-Name-First: Sabine Author-X-Name-Last: Gralka Title: The transient and persistent efficiency of Italian and German universities: a stochastic frontier analysis Abstract: Despite measures on the European level to increase the compatibility between the higher education sectors, the recent literature exposes variations in their efficiencies. To gain insights into these differences, we split the efficiency term according to the two management levels each university is confronted with. We separate short-term and long-term efficiency while controlling for unobserved institution-specific heterogeneity. We argue that the first term reflects the efficiency of the individual universities working within the country, while the second term echoes the influence of the overall country-specific higher education structure. The cross-country comparison displays whether efficiency differences between countries are related to the individual performance of their universities or their higher education structure. This allows more purposeful policy recommendations and expands the literature regarding the efficiency of universities in a fundamental way. Choosing Italy and Germany as two important illustrative examples, we show that the Italian higher education sector exhibits a higher overall efficiency value. With the individual universities working at the upper bound of efficiency in both countries, the remaining inefficiency and the gap between the countries are caused by persistent, structural inefficiency. Future measures should hence aim at the country-specific structure and not solely at the activities of single universities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5012-5030 Issue: 46 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1606409 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1606409 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:46:p:5012-5030 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kangyin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Kangyin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Xiucheng Dong Author-X-Name-First: Xiucheng Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Cong Dong Author-X-Name-First: Cong Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: Determinants of the global and regional CO2 emissions: What causes what and where? Abstract: Using the Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology (STIRPAT) model and an unbalanced panel dataset of 128 countries covering 1990–2014, this study aims to examine the key impact factors (KIFs) of the global and regional carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and analyse the effectiveness of non-renewable and renewable energies. Given the potential cross-sectional dependence and slope heterogeneity, a series of econometric techniques allowing for cross-sectional dependence and slope heterogeneity is applied. The overall estimations imply that the KIFs at the global level are economic growth, followed by population size, non-renewable energy, and energy intensity in order of their impacts on CO2 emissions; conversely, the KIFs at the regional level vary across different regions and estimators. The results also suggest that renewable energy can lead to a decline in CO2 emissions at the global level. At the regional level, only for two regions (i.e., S. & Cent. America and Europe & Eurasia) renewable energy has a significant and negative effect on CO2 emissions, which may be affected by the share of renewable energy consumption in the primary energy mix. Finally, the results indicate varied causality relationships among the variables across regions.Abbreviations: AMG: Augmented mean group; BP: British Petroleum; BRICS: Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa; CCEMG: Common correlated effects mean group; CD: Cross-section dependence; CIPS: Cross-sectionally augmented Im, Pesaran, and Shin; CO2: Carbon dioxide; PS: Population size; D-H: Dumitrescu-Hurlin; EI: Energy intensity; EU: European Union; EU-5: Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom; Europe & Eurasia, Europe and Eurasia; GDP: Gross domestic product; IEA: International Energy Agency; KIF: Key impact factor; LM: Lagrange multiplier; Mtoe, Million tonnes oil equivalent; NRE: Non-renewable energy; RE: Renewable energy; S. & Cent. America, South and Central America; STIRPAT: Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology; VECM: Vector error correction model; WDI: World Development Indicators Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5031-5044 Issue: 46 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1606410 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1606410 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:46:p:5031-5044 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charlotte Fontan Sers Author-X-Name-First: Charlotte Author-X-Name-Last: Fontan Sers Author-Name: Mazhar Mughal Author-X-Name-First: Mazhar Author-X-Name-Last: Mughal Title: From Maputo to Malabo: public agricultural spending and food security in Africa Abstract: Africa is the world’s biggest battleground in the fight against hunger. African governments and the international development community have increasingly focused on finding ways and means to end hunger and ensure the right and access to food for the continent’s burgeoning population. Public spending on agriculture is one such measure. This study examines the role government spending on agriculture has played in enhancing the state of Africa’s food security over the past 25 years. We examine the existing relationship between the two, whether this relationship varies over time and space, and whether it depends on the amount spent. We explore various aspects of food security and check whether spending on research and development follows the same patterns as the overall public agricultural spending. We find some evidence of significant beneficial effects of public agricultural spending on food security but only for the countries which allocate greater proportions of their budgets to agriculture. Spending on agricultural research and development also shows a positive impact on Africa’s food security. There also exists some evidence supporting the temporal effects of public spending. We consider that the Maputo Declaration commitment to allocate at least 10% of public spending to agriculture pertinent. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5045-5062 Issue: 46 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1606411 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1606411 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:46:p:5045-5062 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shu-Mei Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Mei Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Author-Name: Hung-Chun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chien-Ming Huang Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Hsin-Fu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Hsin-Fu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Transmission effects of the U.S. and China monetary policy shocks on the world Abstract: This paper applies the Markov-switching model to analyse the transition probabilities and generalized method of moments (GMM) with Newey–West heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance estimators (HAC) to examine the continuity of monetary policies in different countries when the U.S. and China change their monetary policies. Our results indicate that the euro area’s monetary authority continues to increase/decrease their money supply to stimulate/depress the economy. In Japan, long-term economic recession motivated the Japanese government to maintain a loose money supply. The continuity of Korea’s monetary policy in expansionary states lasts up to 5.1 years. Besides, the outcomes show the implementation of U.S. quantitative easing (QE), overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP), and Chinese RRP policies have significant spillover effects on other nations. Particularly, the effects on the euro area are the largest. Furthermore, although the monetary policies of China and the euro area seem to move in opposite directions, they are interdependent. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5063-5075 Issue: 46 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1610707 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1610707 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:46:p:5063-5075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Prasanna Surathkal Author-X-Name-First: Prasanna Author-X-Name-Last: Surathkal Author-Name: Chanjin Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chanjin Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Effects of packers’ inventory and market power on price adjustments in the U.S. beef industry Abstract: This study examines effects of packers’ inventory and market power on their price adjustment behaviour in the U.S. beef industry. Econometric model used in the study allows inventory and market power variables to influence the speed-of-adjustment parameters in a three-regime threshold error-correction model. Results show that the two variables have a statistically significant impact on packers’ price adjustment behaviour when price decreases but not when price increases. When price decreases, inventory tends to accelerate the adjustment process whereas packers’ market power slows down the adjustment process. The hypothesis of symmetric adjustment towards long-run equilibrium during increasing and decreasing phases of price is not rejected when the effects of inventory and market power are considered in explaining packers’ price adjustment behaviour. However, when these two effects are ignored in the model specification, the hypothesis of symmetry is rejected such that the speed of adjustment in the increasing phase of price is faster than the adjustment speed in the decreasing phase of price, i.e. ‘rockets and feathers’ effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5076-5089 Issue: 46 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1610708 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1610708 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:46:p:5076-5089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefanie R. Ramirez Author-X-Name-First: Stefanie R. Author-X-Name-Last: Ramirez Title: An examination of firm licensing behaviour after a payday-loan ban Abstract: In 2008, Ohio enacted the Short-Term Loan Law capping interest rates to 28% APR, effectively banning the industry. Previous analysis has shown that while the policy was effective in eliminating the payday lending industry, expansion occurred within the pawnbroker, small-loan and second-mortgage lending industries in effective policy periods. Extending this previous analysis, using branch-level licensing records from the Ohio Division of Financial Institutions, this study examines the firm’s decision to license at the branch-level both with a zip code and within a county. I predict the effects of the ban on the likelihood of entry in the small-loan and second-mortgage industries while also controlling for incumbent status as a payday lender. Results at the zip-code level show that the likelihood of entering the lending market as a small-loan lender increases by 35.4% and initiating a second-mortgage license increases by 6.3% after the signing the Short-Term Loan Law. At the county level, the probability of initiating a small-loan licenses increases by 15.3%, while the likelihood initiating a second-mortgage license increases by 6.3%. At the county level, branches previously operating as payday lenders are 1.1% more likely to re-license as small-loan lenders, though has no effect on licensing as a second-mortgage lender. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5090-5103 Issue: 46 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1610709 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1610709 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:46:p:5090-5103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Cowling Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Cowling Author-Name: Paul Robson Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Robson Author-Name: Ian Stone Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Stone Author-Name: Gordon Allinson Author-X-Name-First: Gordon Author-X-Name-Last: Allinson Title: Loan guarantee schemes in the UK: the natural experiment of the enterprise finance guarantee and the 5 year rule Abstract: Loan guarantee schemes have existed since 1953 (in the US) and are widely used throughout the world to provide financial support to smaller firms by guaranteeing loans from commercial banks. The UK government has been an active supporter of loan guarantees since 1981, and has a long track record of modifying its scheme to reflect changing market conditions and the financing needs of its SME sector. Arguably the two most significant changes occurred in 2008 when the 5-Year Rule on eligibility was removed and in 2009 when the long-standing Small Firms Loan Guarantee Scheme was replaced by the Enterprise Finance Guarantee Scheme. We treat the removal of the 5-Year Rule as a natural policy experiment and empirically question whether, on economic grounds, this was a sensible policy. Our findings suggest that the 5-Year Rule was a better policy choice with regard to employment but had no impact on sales growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2210-2218 Issue: 20 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1392004 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1392004 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:20:p:2210-2218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dakshina G. De Silva Author-X-Name-First: Dakshina G. Author-X-Name-Last: De Silva Author-Name: Soon-Cheul Lee Author-X-Name-First: Soon-Cheul Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Does the role of observer countries in the regional trade agreement matter for intra-regional trade ? Abstract: This article investigates the effects of trade by observed economies on the intra-regional trade by South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) members using Poison pseudo maximum likelihood estimator (PPML) gravity models with panel data over the period 2008–2014. Eight SAARC members and eight observed countries, including the EU, are analysed in capturing the trade effect of observed economies on intra-regional trade in SAARC. This article provides an empirical measure of observers’ trade, FDI and Official development assistance (ODA) with SAARC if the exports and imports of observers to/from SAARC have positive or negative signs for intra-regional exports and imports. The results show that the exports and imports of observers to SAARC members have positive effects on bilateral exports among the members. The FDI of observers reduces the bilateral intra-imports in SAARC and ODA also has a negative effect on bilateral exports among the members. These results imply that the imports by SAARC members from observer countries increase intra-regional trade in the region. The FDI and ODA increase and decrease intra-regional trade in SAARC, respectively, implying that the policies for both FDI inflow from observers and efficient aid management are needed to increase regional welfare. The study also recommends that trade between SAARC members and its observers help to increase intra-regional trade in SAARC. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2219-2228 Issue: 20 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1392005 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1392005 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:20:p:2219-2228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin M Blau Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin M Author-X-Name-Last: Blau Author-Name: Ryan J Whitby Author-X-Name-First: Ryan J Author-X-Name-Last: Whitby Title: Skewness, short interest and the efficiency of stock prices Abstract: We examine the association between return skewness, short interest and the efficiency of stock prices. Since preferences for skewness have been shown to impact asset prices, we examine how skewness relates to market efficiency. We find that stocks with positive skewness are less efficient, which might be explained by investor preferences for positive skewness. Next, we document that short interest reduces both total skewness and idiosyncratic skewness. Finally, while research has shown that short selling can improve the efficiency of markets generally, we show that short interest’s ability to improve market efficiency is strongest in stocks with the highest skewness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2229-2242 Issue: 20 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1394971 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1394971 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:20:p:2229-2242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Senol Oztekin Author-X-Name-First: A. Senol Author-X-Name-Last: Oztekin Author-Name: Krishnan Dandapani Author-X-Name-First: Krishnan Author-X-Name-Last: Dandapani Author-Name: Suchismita Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Suchismita Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Name: Sascha Strobl Author-X-Name-First: Sascha Author-X-Name-Last: Strobl Title: Understanding spread in the electronic futures markets: financial crisis perspective Abstract: This article analyses bid–ask spreads in U.S. electronic futures markets around the recent financial crisis. We decompose the bid–ask spread into three components – order processing, inventory holding and adverse selection costs – and show that adverse selection costs increased the most during the crisis while order processing costs are the largest cost component. Volume significantly affects inventory holding and order processing costs, whereas volatility only influences inventory holding costs. The crisis period had a significant effect on these relations. This study extends the existing literature on liquidity in equity to futures markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2243-2250 Issue: 20 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1394972 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1394972 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:20:p:2243-2250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Štefan Lyócsa Author-X-Name-First: Štefan Author-X-Name-Last: Lyócsa Author-Name: Tomáš Výrost Author-X-Name-First: Tomáš Author-X-Name-Last: Výrost Title: To bet or not to bet: a reality check for tennis betting market efficiency Abstract: We present evidence that the tennis betting market appears to be much more efficient than suggested by previous studies. More specifically, we study the market efficiency by studying the forecasting performance of a diversified set of 40 betting rules in two ways: by searching for the existence of a return differential between betting rules and by analysing the profitability of betting rules. Even though individual tests provide evidence that, within our universe of betting rules, positive returns can be achieved, when data-snooping bias is taken into account, the evidence diminishes. Subsequently, we also find very little evidence of return differentials between betting rules. These results cast doubts on previous research as they suggest that when the potential detrimental effects of data-dreading are taken into account, betting markets in general might not, ultimately, be so inefficient. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2251-2272 Issue: 20 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1394973 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1394973 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:20:p:2251-2272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marek A. Dąbrowski Author-X-Name-First: Marek A. Author-X-Name-Last: Dąbrowski Author-Name: Monika Papież Author-X-Name-First: Monika Author-X-Name-Last: Papież Author-Name: Sławomir Śmiech Author-X-Name-First: Sławomir Author-X-Name-Last: Śmiech Title: Uncovering the link between a flexible exchange rate and fundamentals: the case of Central and Eastern European economies Abstract: This article examines the link between a nominal exchange rate and macrofundamentals in Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. We use the model based on the monetary policy rule as a theoretical framework that explains the relations between the exchange rate and price level, risk premium, output gap, and expected inflation. It allows for endogeneity of the monetary policy – the issue ignored in the widely used monetary model. The sample covers the period January 2000 – December 2014, so the data are not plagued by high-inflation differentials characteristic for the early transition period and include countries with relatively flexible exchange rates. Our empirical strategy employs the panel error correction model that allows for cross-sectional dependence and a series of panel causality tests. The main finding is that the nominal exchange rates in CEE countries are not disconnected from macrofundamentals implied by the Taylor rule-based model. More specifically, we find that there is a strong cross-sectional dependence among CEE countries, exchange rates Granger-cause macrofundamentals and tend to revert to the long-run relation, and that the results are robust to the ‘extraordinary circumstances’ argument, i.e. do not rest on the dynamics during the global financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2273-2296 Issue: 20 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1394974 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1394974 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:20:p:2273-2296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Clements Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: Yihui Lan Author-X-Name-First: Yihui Author-X-Name-Last: Lan Author-Name: Jiawei Si Author-X-Name-First: Jiawei Author-X-Name-Last: Si Title: Uncertainty in currency mispricing Abstract: Declaring a currency to be mispriced is fraught with uncertainties. In this article, these uncertainties are explicitly recognized in a model of pricing a homogeneous commodity around the world. This allows for a common driver of prices, due to a base-currency effect, and country-specific factors that lead to departures from absolute PPP on account of income differences, local taxes and charges, etc. This approach leads to estimates of currency mispricing whose significance can be tested in the usual way. Using Big Mac prices, we show that the approach has advantages over the popular Big Mac Index to currency valuation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2297-2312 Issue: 20 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1394975 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1394975 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:20:p:2297-2312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xin Geng Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Geng Author-Name: Manuel A. Hernandez Author-X-Name-First: Manuel A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hernandez Title: Aid, policies and growth: a nonlinear reassessment Abstract: The association between foreign aid and growth has been controversial for decades and the evidence is quite mixed with results sensitive to data samples and modelling approaches. We reassess the relationship between aid, policy and growth implementing a novel semiparametric estimation method that allows for nonlinearities and controls for endogeneity. The results show that the aid-policy-growth relationship is complex. Aid inflows do not seem growth-enhancing, except at very high levels (above 7% of Aid/GDP), whereas the effect may arrive with a lag at lower levels. Policy improvements are positively correlated with growth at high policy levels (above the median value) but better policies do not increase aid effectiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1617-1633 Issue: 15 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1677847 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1677847 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:15:p:1617-1633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph A. Mauro Author-X-Name-First: Joseph A. Author-X-Name-Last: Mauro Author-Name: Sophie Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Sophie Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: Youth idleness in Eastern Europe and Central Asia before and after the 2009 crisis Abstract: Youth idleness is a significant problem in many countries, including in Eastern Europe and Central Asia (ECA) where it has rarely been studied. Labour market and education policies need to be based on a strong knowledge base on the Not in Employment, Education or Training (NEET) population. This paper uses micro-level data from the early 2000s through 2011 to fill knowledge gaps. NEET rates for different age intervals, gender and educational attainment are investigated for the ECA region and countries within. We find that the NEET rate in ECA was declining prior to the 2009 crisis and increased afterwards, with a more pronounced impact on males. Our findings reveal considerable heterogeneity across countries likely due to varying demographics, labour market conditions and education policies. Policies on idle youths in this region need to be tailored to varying national situations. This paper also suggests pathways for future research.Abbreviations: NEET: Not in Employment, Education or Training; ECA: Eastern Europe and Central Asia Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1634-1655 Issue: 15 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1677848 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1677848 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:15:p:1634-1655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tinna Laufey Ásgeirsdóttir Author-X-Name-First: Tinna Laufey Author-X-Name-Last: Ásgeirsdóttir Author-Name: Kristín Helga Birgisdóttir Author-X-Name-First: Kristín Helga Author-X-Name-Last: Birgisdóttir Author-Name: Hanna Björg Henrysdóttir Author-X-Name-First: Hanna Björg Author-X-Name-Last: Henrysdóttir Author-Name: Thorhildur Ólafsdóttir Author-X-Name-First: Thorhildur Author-X-Name-Last: Ólafsdóttir Title: Health-related quality of life and compensating income variation for 18 health conditions in Iceland Abstract: Using data from an Icelandic health and well-being survey, carried out in 2007, 2009, and 2012, we estimate the value of health-related suffering in two different ways. Our primary aim is to obtain the monetary compensation needed to maintain the same level of well-being with and without 18 health conditions using the compensating-income-variation approach. This method employs individual well-being measures with no hypothetical situations involved, thus offering a solution to biases of frequently used methods to value non-marketed goods. We also use zero-one normalization of regression coefficients to estimate health-related quality-of-life weights. Results from monetary valuations indicate that 1,685,594 USD are needed per year to compensate for the presence of melancholy, 206,273 USD for frequent headaches, 153,396 USD for severely low vision, and 80,824 USD for severe monthly menstrual cramps. This research adds to the literature by employing two rarely used methods to a range of health conditions. By valuing several different conditions with the same sample and methodology this research provides a ranking between the conditions, aiding policy makers in prioritizing scarce resources. We do however advise against using the normalization method for policy purposes at this point, due to the deviation of results from the general literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1656-1670 Issue: 15 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1677849 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1677849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:15:p:1656-1670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darja Peljhan Author-X-Name-First: Darja Author-X-Name-Last: Peljhan Author-Name: Katja Zajc Kejžar Author-X-Name-First: Katja Author-X-Name-Last: Zajc Kejžar Author-Name: Nina Ponikvar Author-X-Name-First: Nina Author-X-Name-Last: Ponikvar Title: OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE AND FIRM EXIT ROUTES Abstract: Our study presents empirical evidence about the role of ownership structure for firm exit probability by explicitly differentiating between distinct exit routes (bankruptcy and forced liquidation, voluntary liquidation, mergers and acquisitions – M&A, and removal from the court register). Based on the population of Slovenian firms in the 2006–2012 period and using multinomial probit, our findings support the predictions of agency theory. Ownership concentration, share of the largest owner, and the difference in shares between two largest owners all decrease the likelihood of exit for all studied exit routes but M&A. The magnitude of their impact is largest for exits, in which owners play a decisive role, i.e. voluntary liquidation and removal. The link between the number of primary owners and exit likelihood is U-shaped with the lowest exit probability for firms with around two owners. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1671-1686 Issue: 15 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1677850 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1677850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:15:p:1671-1686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jessica Merkle Author-X-Name-First: Jessica Author-X-Name-Last: Merkle Author-Name: Michelle Phillips Author-X-Name-First: Michelle Author-X-Name-Last: Phillips Title: A tale of two unions: divergent platforms and their constituencies Abstract: The median voter theorem has regularly been used in economics to represent the behaviour of teachers unions. Little empirical work, however, tests whether this framework is a good fit for teachers unions. We examine voting behaviour in union representative elections between the National Education Association and the American Federation of Teachers and find evidence of divergent constituencies. We investigate whether the median voter explains the outcomes of elections in 1977–1979. If both teachers unions select the platform desired by the median voter, there should be no systematic differences in voter preferences for unions. We find that these unions were fundamentally different and attracted distinct voting coalitions. The main implication of this study is that researchers should consider these two unions, and their effect on districts, as distinct. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1687-1703 Issue: 15 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1677851 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1677851 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:15:p:1687-1703 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandro Avenali Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Avenali Author-Name: Andrea Boitani Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Boitani Author-Name: Giuseppe Catalano Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Catalano Author-Name: Giorgio Matteucci Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Author-X-Name-Last: Matteucci Author-Name: Andrea Monticini Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Monticini Title: Standard costs of regional public rail passenger transport: evidence from Italy Abstract: The paper estimates the standard cost in Italian regional public rail passenger transport services (LPTR), depending on service characteristics. The results highlight the crucial role of: number of seats per ride, commercial speed, service size and length of rail tracks. The model also shows the positive link between investment in rolling stock and the unit cost of the service. Finally, based on the empirical evidence, we propose regulatory adjustments to accomplish policy targets regarding the fair allocation of public LPTR funds to Regions and Local Authorities and a more efficient use of (scarce) local and national public resources. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1704-1717 Issue: 15 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1677852 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1677852 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:15:p:1704-1717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Identifying uncertainty shocks using world diffusion index Abstract: In this study, a world diffusion index is developed to measure how uncertainty shocks have diffused among 179 economies and caused contractions in the world growth cycles. This index is simply defined as the percentage share of the number of expanding countries. It identifies four uncertainty shocks: the oil crisis of 1973; the bursting of the information technology bubble in 2000; the credit crunch of 2007; and the European debt crisis of 2010. To overcome the problem of data unavailability in emerging market economies, the annual GDP values of 179 economies are transformed through temporal disaggregation, and the dating of quarterly growth cycles is implemented as per the OECD method. The empirical findings indicate that each of the uncertainty shocks caused severe contractions in the advanced economies but that the emerging market economies experienced such contractions only during the credit crunch of 2007. Policy implications are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1718-1732 Issue: 15 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1677853 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1677853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:15:p:1718-1732 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frederick Dongchuhl Oh Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Dongchuhl Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Junghum Park Author-X-Name-First: Junghum Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Credit ratings and corporate disclosure behaviour: evidence from regulation fair disclosure in Korea Abstract: This article provides evidence that firms with high market expectations disclose more information to investors, utilizing the fair disclosure regulation in Korea to proxy for their disclosure choices. This finding is consistent with the argument that in order to retain their dominant positions, highly evaluated firms are more concerned about the market’s perception of them as providers of timely and detailed disclosure. We also find that the impact of market expectations on disclosure is more pronounced for chaebol firms. Combined with prior research on the relationship between firm performance and voluntary disclosure, we provide important implications for the determinants of corporate disclosure Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3481-3494 Issue: 35 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1262521 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1262521 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:35:p:3481-3494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: María del Carmen Ramos-Herrera Author-X-Name-First: María del Carmen Author-X-Name-Last: Ramos-Herrera Author-Name: Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simón Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: An empirical characterization of the effects of public debt on economic growth Abstract: Based on a data set of 115 economies, this article empirically investigates the relation between public debt and economic growth. Using the World Bank’s classification for income groups, we initially find that those countries that present the lowest public debt are characterized by the highest economic growth, while the smallest growth rates are associated with the highest public debt. Nevertheless, this conclusion is tempered when we analyse the countries by income level: low-income countries have a different behaviour with respect to lower-middle, upper-middle and high-income countries. When using the IMF’s country classification, the results do not suggest a clear pattern in the public debt–economic growth nexus across different countries, but indicate a heterogeneous relationship between such key macroeconomic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3495-3508 Issue: 35 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1262522 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1262522 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:35:p:3495-3508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julie L. Hotchkiss Author-X-Name-First: Julie L. Author-X-Name-Last: Hotchkiss Author-Name: M. Melinda Pitts Author-X-Name-First: M. Melinda Author-X-Name-Last: Pitts Author-Name: Mary Beth Walker Author-X-Name-First: Mary Beth Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Title: Impact of first birth career interruption on earnings: evidence from administrative data Abstract: This article makes use of unique administrative data to expand the understanding of the role women’s intermittency decisions play in the determination of her wages. We demonstrate that treating intermittency as exogenous significantly overstates its impact. The intermittency penalty also increases in the education level of the woman. The penalty for women with a high school degree with an average amount of intermittency during 6 years after giving birth to her first child is roughly half the penalty for college graduates. We also demonstrate the value of making use of an index to capture multiple dimension of the intermittency experience, and illustrate the importance of firm dynamics in the determination of a woman’s wage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3509-3522 Issue: 35 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1262523 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1262523 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:35:p:3509-3522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Idries M. Al-Jarrah Author-X-Name-First: Idries M. Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Jarrah Author-Name: Khalid S. Al-Abdulqader Author-X-Name-First: Khalid S. Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Abdulqader Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Title: Cost-efficiency and financial and geographical characteristics of banking sectors in the MENA countries Abstract: We utilize the translog stochastic frontier model to estimate the cost-efficiency levels for conventional and Islamic, Cooperation Council (GCC) and non-GCC banks in the Middle East and North African (MENA) countries. The estimated cost-efficiency averages around 77% for those MENA banks, but with slight changes in this score for the individual countries. The results also show that the banks in the GCC countries are the most efficient in the region and the efficiency scores for the conventional and Islamic banks are similar. Finally, the recent financial crisis seems to have a slight impact on the observed efficiency scores of those banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3523-3537 Issue: 35 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1262524 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1262524 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:35:p:3523-3537 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuchen Lin Author-X-Name-First: Xuchen Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Xiaolong Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhong Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Zhong Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Evaluating borrower’s default risk in peer-to-peer lending: evidence from a lending platform in China Abstract: Recent years have witnessed the popularity of online peer-to-peer lending, which allows individuals to borrow from and lend to each other on an Internet-based platform. Using data from a large P2P platform in China, this article explores the factors that determine the default risk based on the demographic characteristics of borrowers. Moreover, we propose a credit risk evaluation model, which can quantify the default risk of each P2P loan. Empirical results reveal that gender, age, marital status, educational level, working years, company size, monthly payment, loan amount, debt to income ratio and delinquency history play a significant role in loan defaults. Finally, we analyse the relationship between default risk and these contributory variables, and the possible causes are also discussed in this study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3538-3545 Issue: 35 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1262526 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1262526 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:35:p:3538-3545 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nejat Anbarci Author-X-Name-First: Nejat Author-X-Name-Last: Anbarci Author-Name: K. Peren Arin Author-X-Name-First: K. Peren Author-X-Name-Last: Arin Author-Name: Cagla Okten Author-X-Name-First: Cagla Author-X-Name-Last: Okten Author-Name: Christina Zenker Author-X-Name-First: Christina Author-X-Name-Last: Zenker Title: Is Roger Federer more loss averse than Serena Williams? Abstract: Using data from the high-stakes 2013 Dubai professional tennis tournament, we find that, compared with a tied score, (i) male players have a higher serve speed and thus exhibit more effort when behind in score, and their serve speeds get less sensitive to losses or gains when score difference gets too large, and (ii) female players do not change their serve speed when behind, while serving slower when ahead. Thus, male players comply more with Prospect Theory exhibiting more loss aversion and reflection effect. Our results are robust to controlling for player fixed effects and characteristics with player random effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3546-3559 Issue: 35 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1262527 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1262527 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:35:p:3546-3559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabian Gogolin Author-X-Name-First: Fabian Author-X-Name-Last: Gogolin Author-Name: Michael Dowling Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dowling Author-Name: Mark Cummins Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Cummins Title: Individual values and household finances Abstract: We create individual cultural values measures for households and show that this is an important determinant of their financial behaviour. To date, personal cultural values have only been indirectly measured through religion and trust. But these are, at best, an approximation of true cultural values. Applying a holistic framework from the World Values Survey (WVS), we create individual measures of cultural values, and show that the self-expression values of this framework are positively associated with households’ financial decisions. Examining the individual cultural values that make up the WVS model, we further show that happiness, trust, and playing an active role in society, are individually important determinants of household financial decision-making. Our study shows that cultural values can be brought from a generalized national level to the individual level in order to improve our understanding of household financial decision-making. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3560-3578 Issue: 35 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1262528 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1262528 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:35:p:3560-3578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yashar Tarverdi Author-X-Name-First: Yashar Author-X-Name-Last: Tarverdi Author-Name: Anu Rammohan Author-X-Name-First: Anu Author-X-Name-Last: Rammohan Title: On the role of governance and health aid on child mortality: a cross-country analysis Abstract: Globally, child mortality rates continue to be unacceptably high despite improvement in child health outcomes. The role of macro level indicators, such as governance and health aid on child mortality, remains under-researched. The aim of this article is to analyse the influence of governance and health aid on child mortality using cross-country data. A negative association between governance and the mortality rate of children less than 5 years of age was found using System Generalised Method of Moments Dynamic Panel, the linkage also exists in the results of quantile and semi-parametric regression. However, as in other literature, the role of health aid on child mortality remains ambiguous. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 845-859 Issue: 9 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1208351 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1208351 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:9:p:845-859 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Antonio Lucena Aiube Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Antonio Lucena Author-X-Name-Last: Aiube Author-Name: Carlos Patricio Samanez Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Patricio Author-X-Name-Last: Samanez Author-Name: Tara Keshar Nanda Baidya Author-X-Name-First: Tara Keshar Nanda Author-X-Name-Last: Baidya Author-Name: Larissa de Oliveira Resende Author-X-Name-First: Larissa de Oliveira Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Title: Evaluating the risk premium in the U.S.A. natural gas market: evidence from low-price regime Abstract: In recent years, the U.S.A. natural gas market has seen enormous changes. The expectations of abundant supply of shale gas and the slow U.S.A. economic recovery have pushed gas prices below US$ 4 MMBtu. Although shale gas is a new promising source of unconventional energy, investors face uncertain investment plans. In this study, we investigate the risk premium by comparing behaviour before and after the change point in agents risk perception. Unlike traditional empirical research on risk premium, we use the parametric, two-factor model of Schwartz and Smith (2000) to evaluate the implied risk premium term structure from futures prices traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX). We compare our findings with other empirical results and find that the change point lies at the beginning of the low-price regime. When we compare periods before and after the change point, we observe that the risk premium changed, not only in sign, but also in magnitude. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 860-871 Issue: 9 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1208353 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1208353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:9:p:860-871 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wai-Mun Chia Author-X-Name-First: Wai-Mun Author-X-Name-Last: Chia Author-Name: Mengling Li Author-X-Name-First: Mengling Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Huanhuan Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Huanhuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Behavioral heterogeneity in the Australian housing market Abstract: We propose a heterogeneous agent model (HAM) of four groups of investors with Markov chain regime-dependent beliefs for the housing market. Within the Markov switching framework, we take into account how heterogeneous investors shift their trading behaviour in response to changes in housing market conditions. The model is estimated and compared with the benchmark rational expectation models using the Australian housing market data from 1982Q1 to 2013Q2. We find evidence of within- and between-group heterogeneity in the Australian housing market. We show that HAM with Markov switching beliefs provides a better in-sample estimation efficiency and outperforms the conventional rational expectation models in terms of out-of-sample prediction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 872-885 Issue: 9 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1208355 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1208355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:9:p:872-885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huiming Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Huiming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Yueli Tang Author-X-Name-First: Yueli Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Peng Guo Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: Asymmetric spillover effects between the Shanghai and Hong Kong stock markets: evidence from quantile lagged regression Abstract: This article surveys the asymmetric spillover effects between the mainland China-based Shanghai Composite Index (SCI) and the Hong Kong based Hang Seng Index (HSI) using a quantile lagged regression model. Compared to previous studies, this article, based on data before and after the 2008 global financial crisis, presents a more detailed analysis, as we investigate the spillovers in terms of returns, volatilities and exchange rates between the renminbi (RMB) and the Hong Kong dollar (HKD) throughout the entire conditional return distribution, including the central quantiles, which are closely related to the normal circumstances, and the extreme quantiles, which correspond to the bear and bull markets. First, we find that the return spillovers from its lagged returns or from the other index not only vary across time but also depend on stock state. Second, while return volatility may boost the stock market in a bull market, it accelerates the decline in a bear market. Third, the depreciation of the RMB relative to the HKD does not significantly affect current returns for the HSI, while it negatively affects current returns for the SCI in a bad state after the crisis. The findings presented in this article will facilitate investors’ understanding of the two stock markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 886-902 Issue: 9 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1208356 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1208356 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:9:p:886-902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Falk Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Falk Author-Name: Federico Biagi Author-X-Name-First: Federico Author-X-Name-Last: Biagi Title: Relative demand for highly skilled workers and use of different ICT technologies Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between several indicators of ICT usage and digitalization and the relative demand for highly skilled workers. The data are based on two-digit industry-level information on seven European countries for the period 2001–2010. For manufacturing industries, static fixed-effects models show that the share of employees with internet broadband access, the diffusion of mobile internet access and the use of enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems and automatic data exchange combined with electronic invoicing are all significantly and positively related to skill intensity in the industries observed. For service industries, only mobile internet usage intensity is significant. Specifically for manufacturing, a 10-point increase in the percentage of firms using ERP systems is associated with an increase in the share of highly skilled workers by 0.4 percentage points. These estimates indicate that the increase in ERP system usage during the period studied accounted for 30% of the increase in the share of workers with a tertiary degree across manufacturing industries and countries. The results are robust with respect to the estimation method and the potential endogeneity of ICT. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 903-914 Issue: 9 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1208357 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1208357 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:9:p:903-914 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Mesly Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Mesly Author-Name: François-Éric Racicot Author-X-Name-First: François-Éric Author-X-Name-Last: Racicot Title: A stylized model of home buyers’ and bankers’ behaviours during the 2007-2009 US subprime mortgage crisis: a predatory perspective Abstract: We examine the behaviour of market agents during the years leading to the 2008 US subprime mortgage crisis using a stylized capital asset pricing model model. In our study, an average investor eager to make money by flipping houses meets a banker who offers him subprime mortgage deals. We refer to recent research that shows the mechanics of the psychological and behavioural components of these two market agents. In particular, much in line with the famous Stanford experiment, it is assumed that investors adopt a predator or a prey position. Our analysis shows that, given a historical tendency towards financial predatory acts on the part of market agents (including buyers), government regulations should be adapted and strengthened to face this dooming reality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 915-928 Issue: 9 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1208358 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1208358 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:9:p:915-928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhi-Fu Mi Author-X-Name-First: Zhi-Fu Author-X-Name-Last: Mi Author-Name: Yi-Ming Wei Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Bao-Jun Tang Author-X-Name-First: Bao-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Rong-Gang Cong Author-X-Name-First: Rong-Gang Author-X-Name-Last: Cong Author-Name: Hao Yu Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Hong Cao Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Dabo Guan Author-X-Name-First: Dabo Author-X-Name-Last: Guan Title: Risk assessment of oil price from static and dynamic modelling approaches Abstract: The price gap between West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent crude oil markets has been completely changed in the past several years. The price of WTI was always a little larger than that of Brent for a long time. However, the price of WTI has been surpassed by that of Brent since 2011. The new market circumstances and volatility of oil price require a comprehensive re-estimation of risk. Therefore, this study aims to explore an integrated approach to assess the price risk in the two crude oil markets through the value at risk (VaR) model. The VaR is estimated by the extreme value theory (EVT) and GARCH model on the basis of generalized error distribution (GED). The results show that EVT is a powerful approach to capture the risk in the oil markets. On the contrary, the traditional variance–covariance (VC) and Monte Carlo (MC) approaches tend to overestimate risk when the confidence level is 95%, but underestimate risk at the confidence level of 99%. The VaR of WTI returns is larger than that of Brent returns at identical confidence levels. Moreover, the GED-GARCH model can estimate the downside dynamic VaR accurately for WTI and Brent oil returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 929-939 Issue: 9 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1208359 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1208359 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:9:p:929-939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vikkram Singh Author-X-Name-First: Vikkram Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: Bin Li Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Title: Global and regional linkages across market cycles: evidence from partial correlations in a network framework Abstract: Using a novel approach, partial correlations within a complex network framework, we examine the degree of globalization and regionalization of stock market linkages and how these linkages vary across different economic or market cycles. Our results show that geography influences network linkages differently across economic cycles. During normal times, regional factors shape market linkages; however, during periods of turbulence, global rather than regional factors drive the linkages. The network traffic also increases during times of turmoil, but contrary to previous results, we do not find a consistent or overwhelming increase in positive linkages between markets. Also, contrary to expectations, financial centres such as the US, China, Japan, and the UK command a greater regional rather than global influence. Our findings have implications for asset pricing and policy decision making. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3551-3582 Issue: 33 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1578851 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1578851 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:33:p:3551-3582 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oladipo Olalekan David Author-X-Name-First: Oladipo Olalekan Author-X-Name-Last: David Title: Powering economic growth and development in Africa: telecommunication operations Abstract: This study investigates the effect of telecommunication operations on economic growth and development in selected African countries. The analysis considers a panel of 46 African countries from 2000 to 2015. To measure economic growth, real gross domestic product serves as the proxy, while economic development is measured by the Human Development Index, and telecommunication operations by a composite index of telecommunication computed from mobile line, fixed/CDM line and Internet access penetration via principal component analysis. The physical capital stock is measured by gross fixed capital formation, level of employment by the employment to population ratio, human capital development by enrolment in secondary education for both sexes and technology transfer by net inflows of foreign direct investment in Africa. The empirical results suggest that telecommunication operations promote economic growth and development in Africa. These results imply that for every positive expansion in telecommunication operations and physical capital stock, aggregate output and standard of living will adjust positively in Africa. Thus, an appropriate policy to improve overall investment in Africa and most especially in the telecommunication sector since the spillover effect cut across other sectors and the general economic performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3583-3607 Issue: 33 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1578852 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1578852 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:33:p:3583-3607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonella Bellino Author-X-Name-First: Antonella Author-X-Name-Last: Bellino Author-Name: Giuseppe Celi Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Celi Title: Disentangling the migration-trade nexus: the pro-trade effects of immigrants and emigrants in the presence of vertical and horizontal product differentiation Abstract: This paper presents an exploration of the migration-trade nexus taking the case of Italy by crossing the two dimensions of migration (immigration and emigration) and the two dimensions of intra-industry trade (vertical and horizontal). This empirical strategy proves useful in refining interpretation of econometric results. In general, we find that both immigration and emigration are positively and significantly related to intra-industry trade. However, the magnitude and the statistical significance of the impact of migration on trade vary, depending on the type of trade flows considered (vertical or horizontal), the direction of migration (immigration or emigration) and the partner countries considered (OECD or non-OECD). In particular, we find that immigrants from non-OECD countries have a positive and significant impact on both ‘variety trade’ and ‘quality trade’, while immigrants from OECD countries significantly affect ‘variety trade’ only. Emigrants to non-OECD countries have positive effect only on ‘variety trade’. These findings are largely consistent with predictions deriving from theoretical models of intra-industry trade and from the literature on migration-trade nexus. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3665-3688 Issue: 33 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1581912 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1581912 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:33:p:3665-3688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ping Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Henry W. Kinnucan Author-X-Name-First: Henry W. Author-X-Name-Last: Kinnucan Author-Name: Patricia A. Duffy Author-X-Name-First: Patricia A. Author-X-Name-Last: Duffy Title: The effects of rising labour costs on global supply chains: the case of China’s cotton yarn industry Abstract: Rapid economic growth in China and India has resulted in rapidly rising labour costs in those countries. In this study a Muth-type model is used to assess the potential effects of this development on global supply chains using China’s cotton yarn industry as a case study. The model considers i) product differentiation at the yarn level; ii) imperfect competition in the markets for cotton yarn and raw cotton fibre, iii) input substitution between raw cotton fibre, labour, and capital; and iv) offsetting increases in the demand for cotton yarn caused by rising consumer income. Results suggest the effects of rising labour costs on the supply chain are modest, and easily swamped or obscured by the effects of rising income. Increases in industry market power (both oligopoly and oligopsony) have the same effect on the supply chain as increases in labour costs, raising prices to consumers of cotton yarn, and lowering prices to input suppliers, including foreign suppliers of raw cotton fibre. The combined effects of increases in labour costs and income have increased the factor shares for labour and to a lesser extent capital at the expense of raw cotton fibre. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3608-3623 Issue: 33 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584372 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:33:p:3608-3623 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Goodness C. Aye Author-X-Name-First: Goodness C. Author-X-Name-Last: Aye Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Chi Keung Marco Lau Author-X-Name-First: Chi Keung Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Author-Name: Xin Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Title: Is there a role for uncertainty in forecasting output growth in OECD countries? Evidence from a time-varying parameter-panel vector autoregressive model Abstract: This paper uses a time-varying parameter-panel vector autoregressive (TVP-PVAR) model to analyze the role played by domestic and US news-based measures of uncertainty in forecasting the growth of industrial production of 12 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. Based on a monthly out-of-sample period of 2009:06 to 2017:05, given an in-sample of 2003:03 to 2009:05, there are only 46% of cases where domestic uncertainty can improve the forecast of output growth relative to a baseline monetary TVP-PVAR model, which includes inflation, interest rate and nominal exchange rate growth, besides output growth. Moreover, including US uncertainty does not necessarily improve the forecasting performance of output growth from the TVP-PVAR model which includes only the domestic uncertainty along with the baseline variables. So, in general, while uncertainty is important in predicting the future path of output growth in the 12 advanced economies considered, a forecaster can do better in majority of the instances by just considering the information from standard macroeconomic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3624-3631 Issue: 33 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584373 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:33:p:3624-3631 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juliana Gonçalves Taveira Author-X-Name-First: Juliana Gonçalves Author-X-Name-Last: Taveira Author-Name: Eduardo Gonçalves Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Gonçalves Author-Name: Ricardo Da Silva Freguglia Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Da Silva Author-X-Name-Last: Freguglia Title: The missing link between innovation and performance in Brazilian firms: a panel data approach Abstract: This study aims to verify if there is a positive relationship between innovation and productivity and/or profit in Brazil using a recursive model in line with the Crépon, Duguet and Mairesse (CDM) model. Using a rich combination of three databases, this paper considers a sample of more than 10,000 Brazilian industrial firms and the period 2001–2008. Besides using R&D expenditure as a measure of innovation input, this study also tests the technical-scientific personnel stock as a more appropriate measure of innovative effort in emerging countries. This variable considers the tacit knowledge intrinsic to the worker and corrects a possible measurement error bias in the R&D expenditure variable. The empirical strategy uses a reduced form of the CDM model in a panel data structure to provide consistent estimates as it controls for selectivity, simultaneity and endogeneity due to unobserved firm effects. There are still few studies that apply the CDM model for panel data, especially regarding developing countries. The main results suggest that technical-scientific workers positively affect the firms’ probability to innovate while R&D expenditure has no effect. The results also highlight the absence of the effect of innovation on productivity and profit, suggesting a missing link between innovative efforts and Brazilian firms’ performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3632-3649 Issue: 33 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584374 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584374 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:33:p:3632-3649 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sara Ayllón Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Ayllón Author-Name: Dragana Radicic Author-X-Name-First: Dragana Author-X-Name-Last: Radicic Title: Product innovation, process innovation and export propensity: persistence, complementarities and feedback effects in Spanish firms Abstract: Drawing on a longitudinal data of Spanish manufacturing firms, this study explores the persistence of technological innovation and exports, their potential complementary relations and feedback effects. Empirical results suggest the presence of both true and spurious state dependence in all three activities. True state dependence in technical innovation and exports implies intertemporal spillovers relevant to the evaluation of innovation and export policy measures. However, given that results also suggest spurious state dependence, firm-specific characteristics should be taken into account in promoting technological innovations and exports. In addition, we find a strong complementarity between product and process innovation both through a contemporaneous effect and via unobserved firm characteristics. However, concerning complementarity between innovation and exports, results suggests complementarity only through contemporaneous effects. Finally, we find no support for the causal link from past product and process innovations to current export activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3650-3664 Issue: 33 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1584376 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1584376 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:33:p:3650-3664 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nadia Fiorino Author-X-Name-First: Nadia Author-X-Name-Last: Fiorino Author-Name: Emma Galli Author-X-Name-First: Emma Author-X-Name-Last: Galli Author-Name: Rajeev K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Dimensions of civic activism and their effectiveness in exposing corruption: evidence from Italy Abstract: This article studies the influence of civic activism in exposing corruption across Italian regions. Using different dimensions of civic activism (including local and national newspapers, the internet, blood donors, and voter turnout), we make the distinction between active (media, internet, voters) and passive (blood donors) activism. Results show interesting different impacts of civic activism on corruption. In particular, voter turnout, blood donors, and national newspaper diffusion consistently increased exposure of corruption, while the internet and local newspapers showed opposite effects. Thus, local newspapers and the internet point to the possibility of media capture (influence) with regard to corruption exposure. The main findings hold following the substantial reforms in the nineties (called Mani Pulite). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 663-675 Issue: 7 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1506086 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1506086 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:7:p:663-675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junyi Wan Author-X-Name-First: Junyi Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Author-Name: Lijun Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Lijun Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Author-Name: Jiazhuo Ao Author-X-Name-First: Jiazhuo Author-X-Name-Last: Ao Title: Specific investment, relational governance and cooperation risk: from the perspective of farmers in China’s “Company+Farmers” alliance Abstract: The ‘Company+ Farmers’ alliance is the main organization for China’s agricultural industrialization management. Based on the survey data of farmers cooperating with companies in Guangdong and Jiangxi Provinces, this article explores the relationship among farmers’ specific investment, the relational governance of the alliance and farmers’ cooperation risk. The results show that the relational governance of the alliance can be divided into cognitive relational governance and coordinated relational governance. Among these types, cognitive relational governance can significantly promote farmers’ specific investment. However, with the increase in farmers’ specific investment, farmers’ cooperation risk is significantly improved, and the coordinated relational governance can significantly enhance the role of farmers’ material-specific investment in promoting cooperation risk. Therefore, agricultural enterprises can use cognitive relational governance to encourage farmers’ specific investment, and the specific investment of farmers must rely on a contract governance mechanism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 676-686 Issue: 7 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1508868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1508868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:7:p:676-686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Honghua Chen Author-X-Name-First: Honghua Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Zhihong Tian Author-X-Name-First: Zhihong Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Author-Name: Fen Xu Author-X-Name-First: Fen Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: What are cost changes for produce implementing traceability systems in China? Evidence from enterprise A Abstract: Based on the survey data and information, this paper conducts analysis on the extra cost of traceability systems for agro-product enterprises in China. Calculation on concrete pricing of traceable products is conducted with Enterprise A as an example by using break-even pricing. The price that consumers are willing to pay for 10 traceable products in Enterprise A was measured by collecting 576 valid questionnaires in three cities in China. The benefit–cost ratio, contribution margin ration and profit growth rate are figured before and after implementing the traceability system to illustrate if Enterprise A is profitable after implementing the traceability system. The results show that extra cost incurred by the traceability system of Enterprise A is not high in China; it is not the main reason for the high price of traceable products. Enterprise A increases its operating efficiency and profit growth rate after implementing the traceability system. The pricing of traceable product should consider target consumers’ willingness to pay rather than setting prices blindingly. Government support and education to consumers are important to promote the construction of traceability system at the early stage of establishment of traceability system in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 687-697 Issue: 7 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1510470 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1510470 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:7:p:687-697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco Triguero Ruiz Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Triguero Ruiz Author-Name: Antonio Avila-Cano Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Avila-Cano Title: The distance to competitive balance: a cardinal measure Abstract: Competitive balance is a key variable in the analysis of sports competitions. There are several indexes that measure competitive balance but, either they are not a mathematical metric or they do not have the unit interval as a range. Therefore, these indexes do not indicate the magnitude of the differences, and the measurements cannot be interpreted as percentages. We characterize the space of all admissible configurations of the results of a competition. Then, we construct a new index, based on the concept of distance, whose range is the unit interval, and define it as a function in a metric space. So, it solves issues linked to the limited cardinality of most existing indexes, and we can answer this question: What is the meaning of the differences between the levels of competitive balance? We applied this index to the major European soccer leagues over the last twenty seasons. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 698-710 Issue: 7 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1512743 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1512743 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:7:p:698-710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenchao Xu Author-X-Name-First: Wenchao Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Man Li Author-X-Name-First: Man Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Andrew Reid Bell Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Reid Author-X-Name-Last: Bell Title: Water Security and Irrigation Investment: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Rural Pakistan Abstract: This study examines the relationship between water security features and irrigation investment using data from a field survey with a choice experiment conducted in rural Pakistan. Our results generally support Besley’s framework on the link between property right and investment incentive with an application to irrigation, although not all aspects of water security features can significantly affect farmers’ investment in irrigation. Investment increases significantly with groundwater share, but there is insufficient evidence to support that farmers’ investment is significantly and positively affected by surface water reliability. Farmers who own land or who are located further down the watercourse tend to invest more than their peers do. Existing conditions on surface water reliability significantly affect this relationship. Overall, groundwater use dominates the decision-making of investment and the role of surface water source in securing irrigation water is relatively weak from a farmer’s perspective. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 711-721 Issue: 7 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1513634 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1513634 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:7:p:711-721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcus Asplund Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Asplund Author-Name: David Jinkins Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Jinkins Author-Name: Chandler Lutz Author-X-Name-First: Chandler Author-X-Name-Last: Lutz Author-Name: Gyorgy Paizs Author-X-Name-First: Gyorgy Author-X-Name-Last: Paizs Title: Winners and losers from an announced durable tax hike: Tesla in Denmark Abstract: We study the consumer response and tax revenue implications of the early announcement of a durable good tax. In 2015, the Danish government announced a tax hike on electric vehicles several months before its implementation. There was a dramatic surge in sales of Tesla Model S vehicles just before the tax came into effect, and a dramatic ebb in the months following. We find that the government lost 169 million DKK (23 million Euro) in tax revenue on luxury vehicles by announcing the tax change before its implementation. We further find that speculation played at most a limited role in the Tesla sales surge. In total, final consumers of Teslas gained from the roll-out of the law change by avoiding the new tax. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 722-730 Issue: 7 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1520963 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1520963 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:7:p:722-730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yilmaz Yildiz Author-X-Name-First: Yilmaz Author-X-Name-Last: Yildiz Author-Name: Mehmet Baha Karan Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Baha Author-X-Name-Last: Karan Title: Momentum or market? Determinants of large stock price changes in an emerging market Abstract: The aim of this study is to investigate the determinants of large price changes in Turkey. We also provide additional evidence on determinants of large price changes in different macroeconomic environments, specifically on the pre-crisis and post-crisis periods. Using recurrent event analysis with stratified observations and frailty effects, our findings suggest that momentum has a significant impact on large price changes during both pre-crisis and post-crisis periods. However, the impact of market is more significant on the estimation of large price declines in the pre-crisis period and of large price increases in the post-crisis period. Additional findings suggest that liquidity and market-to-book ratio have positive, firm size has a negative impact on likelihood of large price changes regardless of the direction of the stock price change and macroeconomic environment. Findings of this study provide new insights into the understanding of large price changes in an emerging market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 731-742 Issue: 7 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:7:p:731-742 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oliviero A. Carboni Author-X-Name-First: Oliviero A. Author-X-Name-Last: Carboni Author-Name: Paolo Russu Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Russu Title: Measuring and forecasting regional environmental and economic efficiency in Italy Abstract: Environmental and economic efficiency has being receiving growing attention among researchers. In general terms, this concept is related to the capability of the economic systems to employ natural resources efficiently, so as to increase economic and human wealth. This clearly implies that both the economic and ecological aspects of decisions ought to be considered. Bearing this in mind, this article considers economic and ecological performance together, by applying data envelopment analysis and the Malmquist productivity index to investigate the efficiency of the 20 Italian regions from 2004 to 2011. The results reveal that the northern regions have been more efficient than the southern ones, highlighting the strong geographical differences between the two. Furthermore, this article uses the grey system theory to forecast regional, economic and environmental efficiency. The results of the forecasting analysis show that the north–south duality remains strong and will possibly increase since the regions in the south get worse in term of environmental and economic efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 335-353 Issue: 4 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1313954 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1313954 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:4:p:335-353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yimin Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yimin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Liyan Han Author-X-Name-First: Liyan Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Libo Yin Author-X-Name-First: Libo Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Title: Is the relationship between gold and the U.S. dollar always negative? The role of macroeconomic uncertainty Abstract: The main work of this article is to access the role of macroeconomic uncertainty in effecting the correlation between gold and the dollar. The empirical analysis is divided into two parts. Firstly, we examine the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on short and long correlation between gold and the dollar. Secondly, we analyse the explanatory power of economic uncertainty for the abnormal market relation between gold and the dollar with a threshold model. In particular, we investigate impacts of economic uncertainty sourced from different economies. The empirical results indicate that economic uncertainty generates direct impacts on the correlation between gold and the dollar. Moreover, our results emphasize that uncertainty sourced from different economies have different impacts on the dynamics between gold and the dollar. This article also presents the relative contribution of gold and the dollar shocks to the likelihood of being in the high-uncertainty regime. These results have implications for risk management, international asset allocation and hedging strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 354-370 Issue: 4 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1313956 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1313956 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:4:p:354-370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Cavalcanti Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Cavalcanti Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Author-Name: Guido Penido Guimarães Author-X-Name-First: Guido Penido Author-X-Name-Last: Guimarães Title: The impact of heterogeneity of discount factors and asset returns on inequality Abstract: We investigate the effect of differential access to financial markets, discount factor and wealth endowment on poverty and inequality. We construct a model of educational and savings choice with heterogeneous agents. Motivated by empirical evidence, in this economy the return on savings is a non-decreasing function of the amount saved. As expected, more patient households tend to become wealthier and more educated. The heterogeneity on portfolio returns is shown to be key to our main result: the model closely fits the data on income and wealth inequalities, being able to explain the existing Brazil’s inequality patterns. The model was also calibrated to the US, with similar fit. We then evaluate two types of public policies based on cash transfer schemes (CTSs), that aim to reduce poverty and inequality. We find that the CTS version in which receiving the benefit is conditional on educating the household’s youngster outperforms its unconditional version in almost all dimensions analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 371-388 Issue: 4 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1316825 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1316825 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:4:p:371-388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Baomin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Baomin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Weixian Wei Author-X-Name-First: Weixian Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Xili Ma Author-X-Name-First: Xili Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Peng Li Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: On the impacts of carbon tax and technological progress on China Abstract: Using a dynamic national computable general equilibrium model, we investigate the impact of carbon tax and energy efficiency improvement on the economy and environment of China. The Chinese social account matrix is presented based upon the latest input–output table (2012 IO table) and other data. The business as usual (BAU) scenario is designed according to several forecasts about China by 2030, followed by six policy scenarios, including different levels of carbon tax and technological progress as well as their combinations. The results show that carbon tax will frustrate the overall economic growth slightly. The CO2 emission will be 13.81% lower in 2030 compared to BAU case if the carbon tax scheme is carried out at a rate of 200 RMB/ton of CO2. Technological progress will stimulate the economic growth, enrich the household and government income, increase total investment and make most sectors prosperous with the exception of energy industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 389-406 Issue: 4 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1316826 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1316826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:4:p:389-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xiaoxing Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoxing Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jianqin Hang Author-X-Name-First: Jianqin Author-X-Name-Last: Hang Author-Name: Dengbao Yao Author-X-Name-First: Dengbao Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: The dynamic causality between commodity prices, inflation and output in China: a bootstrap rolling window approach Abstract: In this article, we empirically study the time-varying bilateral causality between commodity prices, inflation and output in China. We first perform a series of parameter stability tests and find strong evidence of instability in the parameters estimated for Granger causality tests. We then use the bootstrap rolling window approach to test the causality and find that the causality from commodity prices to both inflation and output is time-varying in the entire sample period and asymmetric in different phases of the business cycle. We also find evidence of the causality from both inflation and output to commodity prices in certain sub-periods. Further discussion on the cost-price mechanism through which the economy fluctuates cyclically suggests that the dynamic causality between commodity prices and inflation contributes to understanding the nature of economic fluctuations and to forecasting economic crises. Overall, our results provide a new perspective to disentangle economic fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 407-425 Issue: 4 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1321835 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1321835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:4:p:407-425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shan Li Author-X-Name-First: Shan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Investment and interruption: effects of the US experience on the earnings of return migrants in Mexico Abstract: Migration is widely viewed as an investment in human capital. However, due to the imperfect transferability of skills and knowledge across countries, migration trips are also career interruptions, especially for return migrants who may meanwhile experience depreciation of home country-specific skills. This article demonstrates that migration experience increases return migrants’ earnings in the home country on the condition that the migration stay is sufficiently long and mostly uninterrupted. Employing the revised human capital earnings function, the empirical study shows that only a barely interrupted US experience longer than five years, regardless of the legal status of the migration trips, predicts higher earnings of male return migrants in Mexico than comparable non-migrants. Robust findings emerge controlling for unobserved individual \]acteristics or using instrumental variables to deal with the self-selection and endogeneity. Short migration stays in the US and frequent traveling provide return migrants no wage premium in Mexico. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 426-440 Issue: 4 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1324616 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1324616 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:4:p:426-440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Zahra (Mila) Elmi Author-X-Name-First: Zahra (Mila) Author-X-Name-Last: Elmi Author-Name: Omid Ranjbar Author-X-Name-First: Omid Author-X-Name-Last: Ranjbar Title: Re-testing Prebisch–Singer hypothesis: new evidence using Fourier quantile unit root test Abstract: The Prebisch–Singer hypothesis in economics asserts that over time the relative price of primary goods relative to manufactured goods should experience a downward trend. To test the hypothesis, we must first establish the unit root properties of the relative price term and then regress the stationary series on a trend term. We use the quantile unit root test which allows for both smooth unknown numbers and the form of breaks in the trend function through a Fourier function to show that the relative price of 23 out of 24 primary goods is stationary. However, the Prebisch–Singer hypothesis is supported only in half of the primary commodities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 441-454 Issue: 4 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1332751 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1332751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:4:p:441-454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panos Fousekis Author-X-Name-First: Panos Author-X-Name-Last: Fousekis Author-Name: Emmanouil Trachanas Author-X-Name-First: Emmanouil Author-X-Name-Last: Trachanas Title: Price transmission in the international skim milk powder markets Abstract: This article investigates the strength and the pattern of spatial price linkages in skimmed milk powder markets using monthly wholesale price data from three major producers and exporters (the U.S.A., the E.U., and Oceania) and the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model. The results suggest that prices in the three regions considered are linked with stable long-run relationships. The law of one price, however, does not hold. The dominant pattern of transmission in the long run is asymmetric involving positive price stocks to be transmitted with higher intensity compared to negative prices shocks; asymmetries in price transmission exist in the short run as well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5233-5245 Issue: 54 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1173183 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1173183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:54:p:5233-5245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Jun Li Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Population and lifestyle trend changes in China: implications for environmental quality Abstract: Demographic changes have considerable impacts on a country’s long-term growth trajectory through the savings, consumption and labour market channels. Population changes, including ageing, migration and urbanization, as well as lifestyle shifts may affect growth for fast-growing countries like China. Rural population migrating to cities consumes more energy services and produces larger emissions since urban lifestyles are generally more energy- and carbon-intensive. Household structures also keep changing across the majority of Chinese cities. Migration and urbanization together drive China’s energy consumption, CO2 emissions upwards and environmental quality downwards if the current trend continues over time. It is, thus, necessary for China to draw useful lessons from experiences in other countries by reconciling population development and environmental changes. This study provides insights into the challenge of environmental sustainability, resulting jointly from population and lifestyle changes in China over the period 1978–2012. The empirical analysis generates empirical findings documenting that population changes and consumption behavioural changes contributed significantly to increased carbon emissions over the last three decades. The modelling results are highly relevant for policymakers who seek to adopt new policies to mitigate lifestyle change-driven environmental challenges that China has to cope with in the foreseeable future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5246-5256 Issue: 54 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1173184 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1173184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:54:p:5246-5256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miguel Vargas Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Author-X-Name-Last: Vargas Title: Tacit collusion in housing markets: the case of Santiago, Chile Abstract: In this article, using a detailed micro-database from Santiago, Chile, the potential existence of tacit collusion in housing markets is investigated. In order to perform the test, Santiago’s housing market is split into four different submarkets using hedonic price analysis and household’s socioeconomics characteristics. Then, using a GMM panel data model, regressions are run for each submarket, correlating industry’s markups with the aggregate level of activity. The main finding is that low and middle income submarkets present higher average markups and a pro-cyclical behaviour. This finding is consistent with a market where participants do not face capacity constraints and behave strategically to sustain tacit collusion during increasing demand periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5257-5275 Issue: 54 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1176111 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1176111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:54:p:5257-5275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Michael L. Polemis Author-X-Name-First: Michael L. Author-X-Name-Last: Polemis Title: Competition and efficiency in the MENA banking region: a non-structural DEA approach Abstract: The goal of this article is to empirically assess the relationship between competition and efficiency in the banking sector of Middle East and North African (MENA) countries spanning the period 1997–2011. To measure the level of competition, the article estimates the non-structural indicator known as the H-statistic, while the level of bank efficiency is estimated through the nonparametric methodology of the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and the Bootstrap Data Envelopment Analysis (BDEA), respectively. The empirical results are robust under six econometric methodologies, providing sufficient evidence for the presence of a one-way (negative) Granger causality, running from efficiency to competition. The empirical findings lead to the rejection of the ‘Efficient Structure Hypothesis’, implying that increases in competition do not precede increases in cost efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5276-5291 Issue: 54 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1176112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1176112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:54:p:5276-5291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masatomo Akita Author-X-Name-First: Masatomo Author-X-Name-Last: Akita Author-Name: Yusuke Osaki Author-X-Name-First: Yusuke Author-X-Name-Last: Osaki Title: Optimal penalty and accounting policy Abstract: This study considers risky investment projects under adverse selection and examines optimal penalties for erroneous auditing reports to maximize social welfare. These penalties give firms an incentive to choose accounting policies that maximize social welfare. We characterize the optimal penalties such that efficient firms choose an aggressive accounting policy and inefficient firms choose a conservative accounting policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5292-5299 Issue: 54 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1176113 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1176113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:54:p:5292-5299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luciano Rodrigues Author-X-Name-First: Luciano Author-X-Name-Last: Rodrigues Author-Name: Mirian Rumenos Piedade Bacchi Author-X-Name-First: Mirian Rumenos Piedade Author-X-Name-Last: Bacchi Title: Light fuel demand and public policies in Brazil, 2003–2013 Abstract: The main objective of this article is to evaluate determinants of demand for light fuels in Brazil between 2003 and 2013. Through a vector autoregression analysis, an effort was made to identify and quantify the impact of different economic variables and public policy measures adopted during this period on the surprising increase in energy consumption by Brazil’s light-vehicle fleet. The results suggest that demand for energy by the light-vehicle fleet was influenced by an increase in income, by a decrease in fuel prices associated with a policy designed to prevent increases in the price of gasoline from pushing the inflation rate up, by a higher availability of credit for buying vehicles, and by a drop in the real price of those goods, with emphasis on countercyclical measures to waive the tax on industrialized products levied on new vehicles during economic downturns in the automotive industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5300-5313 Issue: 54 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1176115 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1176115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:54:p:5300-5313 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Katja Görlitz Author-X-Name-First: Katja Author-X-Name-Last: Görlitz Author-Name: Christina Gravert Author-X-Name-First: Christina Author-X-Name-Last: Gravert Title: The effects of the high school curriculum on school dropout Abstract: High school dropouts and their lower employment prospects are a major concern for developed countries. This article answers the question whether the high school curriculum has the potential to affect students’ dropout decision. Focusing on the curriculum is also motivated by the manifold curriculum reforms or reform initiatives worldwide. Using a quasi-experimental evaluation design, we identify the effects of a curriculum reform on students’ probability to drop out of high school in the short run, i.e. for the first three cohorts graduating under the new curriculum requirements. The reform increased the curriculum requirements in high school, for instance, by reducing the freedom of choice in course selection. The results show that high school dropout rates increased for males and females alike. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5314-5328 Issue: 54 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1176116 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1176116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:54:p:5314-5328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jui-Cheng Hung Author-X-Name-First: Jui-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Author-Name: Jung-Bin Su Author-X-Name-First: Jung-Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Matthew C. Chang Author-X-Name-First: Matthew C. Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yi-Hsien Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The impact of liquidity on portfolio value-at-risk forecasts Abstract: Historical crisis events have highlighted the insufficiency of Value-at-Risk (VaR) as a measure of market risk because such metric does not take liquidity into account. Unlike previous studies analyzing with only a single asset, we examine the impact of liquidity on computing VaR forecasts from a portfolio level. To this end, we use multivariate GARCH-t and GJR-GARCH-t models, as compared with univariate models, to seize the liquidity property embedded in individual stock returns and evaluate their accuracy and efficiency in computing VaR forecasts for portfolios with different liquidity levels.The empirical results indicate that computing portfolio VaR forecasts with multivariate models outperform the univariate models for full and subsample periods in terms of accuracy and efficiency evaluations, in particular for less-liquid portfolios. These results suggest the importance of liquidity in computing portfolio VaR forecasts. Ignorance of the impact of liquidity in computing portfolio VaR forecasts might result in inadequate coverage and insufficient market risk capital requirements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 242-259 Issue: 3 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1644442 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1644442 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:3:p:242-259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiago Neves Sequeira Author-X-Name-First: Tiago Neves Author-X-Name-Last: Sequeira Author-Name: Pedro Cunha Neves Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Cunha Author-X-Name-Last: Neves Title: Stepping on toes in the production of knowledge: a meta-regression analysis Abstract: Decreasing returns to scale in physical resources in the knowledge production function have been widely considered in the economic growth literature. However, given the heterogeneity of empirical results, it is difficult to assess its magnitude. We provide a meta-analysis of the value of the decreasing returns to physical resources in the knowledge production function (stepping-on-toes effect). This has important policy implications regarding the subsidization of R&D activities and policy measures to enable the diffusion of knowledge. We conclude that there is some evidence of publication bias. Moreover, the average effect size is quite small, around 0.2, which implies a high stepping-on-toes effect. This value tends to be higher when variables related to international linkages are present, resources allocated to R&D are measured by labour, the knowledge pool is proxied by population, and instrumental variable estimation techniques are employed. On the contrary, the average returns to scale estimate decreases when resources allocated to R&D are measured by population and when only rich countries are included in the sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 260-274 Issue: 3 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1644447 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1644447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:3:p:260-274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ameet Kumar Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Ameet Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Author-Name: H. K. Pradhan Author-X-Name-First: H. K. Author-X-Name-Last: Pradhan Author-Name: Trilochan Tripathy Author-X-Name-First: Trilochan Author-X-Name-Last: Tripathy Author-Name: A. Kanagaraj Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kanagaraj Title: Macroeconomic news surprises, volume and volatility relationship in index futures market Abstract: This paper examines the role of macroeconomic news surprises on returns volatility of Indian Index futures market. Empirical literature posits that news arrivals have an influential impact on asset returns and returns volatility. Consistent with this proposition, we have undertaken a comprehensive examination to understand the relationship between macroeconomic news releases, trading volume, and returns volatility in an emerging financial market like India. Using high-frequency data sampled at 1-minute interval along with a broader class of macroeconomic news, we found that macroeconomic news surprises significantly affect both returns volatility and trading volume and that the response of Index futures contract to macroeconomic news surprise is rather swift and significant. Further, there is evidence that several macroeconomic news surprises seemingly exhibit asymmetric impact on the Index futures contract. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 275-287 Issue: 3 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1645277 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1645277 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:3:p:275-287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ngoc Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Ngoc Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Charles Harvie Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Harvie Author-Name: Sandy Suardi Author-X-Name-First: Sandy Author-X-Name-Last: Suardi Title: ASEAN income gap and the optimal exchange Rate Regime Abstract: This article investigates the optimal exchange rate regime in a group of ASEAN countries, which minimizes the adverse effects of foreign demand shocks on real output, the real exchange rate, price level and between-country income gap. Using a panel structural vector autoregressive model for small open economies, we show that the extent by which foreign demand shocks influences the between-country income gap depends on the exchange rate regime and the transmission channels through output, the price level and the real exchange rate. Our results show that a fixed exchange rate is better in insulating output and real exchange rates against adverse foreign demand shocks. Nevertheless, a flexible exchange rate regime achieves lower inflation and narrows the income gap across countries. Further, foreign demand shocks explain a larger portion of the forecast error variance of macroeconomic variables under a fixed than under a flexible exchange rate regime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 288-304 Issue: 3 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1645278 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1645278 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:3:p:288-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Junwei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Junwei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zhicheng Liang Author-X-Name-First: Zhicheng Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Kin Keung Lai Author-X-Name-First: Kin Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Title: Deviations between China’s and international gold price: role of fundamentals, contagion and financial shocks Abstract: China has been the world’s largest gold producer since 2007 and the world’s largest gold consumer since 2013. However, despite it being the second largest exchange-traded market in the world, gold price shows persistent volatility and deviations from the international gold price. This study explores the impact of fundamentals, global contagion and financial shocks on the gap between international and domestic gold price using an extended GARCH model. The empirical study shows that the exchange rate of renminbi plays an important role in moving the price gap. The global contagion factors associate more with the level of the price gap, not with the volatility; policy shocks do not present expected significant influence on the price gap. For black swan events, their impact on both level and volatility of the price gap is discernible. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 305-316 Issue: 3 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1645279 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1645279 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:3:p:305-316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ziming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ziming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Lan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jens Rommel Author-X-Name-First: Jens Author-X-Name-Last: Rommel Author-Name: Shuyi Feng Author-X-Name-First: Shuyi Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Title: Do land markets improve land-use efficiency? evidence from Jiangsu, China Abstract: Inefficient use of scarce and fragmented land challenges the sustainability of agriculture. Land markets may improve land-use efficiency. In recent years, China has employed various instruments to promote land markets. This paper investigates whether land markets affect households’ land-use efficiency, based on data from 1,202 farm households in Jiangsu Province. The measure of land-use efficiency was derived from a stochastic frontier production function, and a control function approach was employed to correct for selection bias. The results indicated that many households are using land inefficiently. While renting in land increases land-use efficiency, it is not affected by renting out land, implying that households are not giving up land for efficiency gains. We also provide suggestive evidence that the positive effect of renting in land results from abundant agricultural labour due to labour market failure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 317-330 Issue: 3 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1645286 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1645286 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:3:p:317-330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saeid Karimi Author-X-Name-First: Saeid Author-X-Name-Last: Karimi Title: The role of entrepreneurial passion in the formation of students’ entrepreneurial intentions Abstract: Entrepreneurial passion has been suggested as an entrepreneur’s central characteristic, theorized to affect a host of entrepreneurial behaviours. Considering the theory of planned behaviour (TPB), a conceptual model was developed and tested which integrated both cognitive (namely, subjective norms, attitudes toward perceived behavioural control and entrepreneurship) and emotional (namely, entrepreneurial passion) factors to determine their contributions to entrepreneurial intentions. This is a quantitative study using a self-report survey for data collection. The hypotheses were examined with 250 university students sample applying the partial least squares method. The results indicate a significant indirect relationship between entrepreneurial passion and entrepreneurial intentions via their cognitive antecedents (attitudes toward entrepreneurship and perceived behavioural control). The study contributes to the emerging research of entrepreneurial passion in the entrepreneurship field and heightens its role as a factor that should be taken into account to improve entrepreneurship education programs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 331-344 Issue: 3 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1645287 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1645287 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:3:p:331-344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carin van der Cruijsen Author-X-Name-First: Carin Author-X-Name-Last: van der Cruijsen Author-Name: Nicole Jonker Author-X-Name-First: Nicole Author-X-Name-Last: Jonker Title: Pension profile preferences: the influence of trust and expected expenses Abstract: This paper studies the influence of people’s expectations about expenses during retirement and trust in pension funds on preferences for different pension arrangements. Although most workers prefer a flat-rate annuity, many workers want to deviate from it. The most popular option is a high/low, annuity-based profile, followed by a partial lump sum payment. Workers who expect declining expenses during retirement are more likely to opt for a high/low annuity-based pension and/or a lump sum payment at retirement. Furthermore, workers and pensioners who do not trust their pension fund are more likely to prefer a lump sum over annuity-based arrangements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1212-1231 Issue: 12 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527010 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:12:p:1212-1231 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan Duncan Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Duncan Author-Name: Astghik Mavisakalyan Author-X-Name-First: Astghik Author-X-Name-Last: Mavisakalyan Author-Name: Yashar Tarverdi Author-X-Name-First: Yashar Author-X-Name-Last: Tarverdi Title: Self-assessed vs. statistical evidence of racial discrimination: the case of indigenous Australians Abstract: This paper provides new insights on the labour market discrimination faced by indigenous Australians one of the most disadvantaged indigenous populations in developed countries. Combining two large, nationally representative datasets, we decompose the employment gap between indigenous and non-indigenous populations as of 2014–2015, and show that differences in characteristics between the two groups account for only 43% of the employment gap for females, and 23% of the gap for males. We then demonstrate that statistical measures are positively related to discrimination reports of females and negatively related to discrimination reports of males. Our findings underscore the importance of improving transparency in employment processes for addressing the issue of disadvantage of racial minorities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1232-1247 Issue: 12 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527442 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527442 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:12:p:1232-1247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klenio Barbosa Author-X-Name-First: Klenio Author-X-Name-Last: Barbosa Author-Name: Seiji Fetter Author-X-Name-First: Seiji Author-X-Name-Last: Fetter Author-Name: Bruno de Paula Rocha Author-X-Name-First: Bruno de Paula Author-X-Name-Last: Rocha Title: An empirical procedure to evaluate monetary management under exogenous changes in the money supply Abstract: This article proposes an empirical procedure to evaluate central banks’ monetary management in a presence of exogenous changes in the money supply. Monetary shocks deviate the market interest rate from the target, and the monetary authority decides its optimal intervention in the money market, bearing in mind the benefits and costs of re-establishing its target interest rate. According to monetary management theory, typically a central bank will allow for variation in the interest rate within a range around the target interest rate, thereby intervening in the money market when the interest rate trends toward a point outside that range. In this context, we develop an empirical strategy to analyse central bank’s reactions to exogenous money changes by making a statistical comparison of the actual and the estimated intraday shift in the money supply. We also employ our method to test the reactions of the Brazilian Central Bank to liquidity shifts caused by changes in the Treasury Single Account (TSA) balance. Using different metrics of analysis, the applications of our procedure confirms the predictions of the optimal monetary management theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1248-1267 Issue: 12 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527443 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:12:p:1248-1267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Bergholz Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Bergholz Author-Name: Ivo Bischoff Author-X-Name-First: Ivo Author-X-Name-Last: Bischoff Title: Citizens’ support for inter-municipal cooperation: evidence from a survey in the German state of Hesse Abstract: Inter-municipal cooperation (IMC) is often proposed as a politically feasible way by which rural municipalities can cope with intensified interregional competition and demographic change. We provide first evidence on citizens’ support for IMC using survey data from rural Germany. We find little evidence that citizens are more willing to support IMC in munici-palities that can – by the logic of economic theory – expect higher net benefits from IMC. Citizens’ support for IMC is primarily shaped by individual-level factors like the level of education, trust in local politicians and the degree of emotional attachment to the home mu-nicipality. Citizens’ beliefs regarding the economic and political consequences of IMC are found to have the largest marginal effect by far. Regressions predicting interpersonal differ-ences in these beliefs show that these beliefs have to be considered independent drivers of policy preferences. This result suggests that more research is needed to better understand the factors shaping citizens’ understanding of how economic policy works. This lack of under-standing applies to virtually all fields of economic policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1268-1283 Issue: 12 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527444 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:12:p:1268-1283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francesco Renna Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Renna Author-Name: Amanda Weinstein Author-X-Name-First: Amanda Author-X-Name-Last: Weinstein Title: The veteran wage differential Abstract: There is debate in the literature as to whether military service is rewarded in the economy and the extent to which veterans receive either a wage premium or penalty. In this paper, we take a new approach to this question by conducting a wage decomposition of the veteran wage differential and decomposing the wage distribution of veterans and civilians instead of focusing only on the standard wage gap analysis at the averages. We find the veteran wage differential is driven by observable factors such as education, occupation, and industry, but also by location choice, a factor that has been previously overlooked in the literature. At the average, we find white men experience a veteran penalty whereas black men and women experience a veteran premium consistent with the bridging hypothesis. Additionally, we find that as we move along the wage distribution for all demographic groups, the veteran premium tends to become a veteran penalty, even after accounting for selection into military service. However, once we account for selection, we find that the premium for veteran black men disappears. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1284-1302 Issue: 12 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527445 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:12:p:1284-1302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yajuan Li Author-X-Name-First: Yajuan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Marco A. Palma Author-X-Name-First: Marco A. Author-X-Name-Last: Palma Author-Name: Charles R. Hall Author-X-Name-First: Charles R. Author-X-Name-Last: Hall Author-Name: Hayk Khachatryan Author-X-Name-First: Hayk Author-X-Name-Last: Khachatryan Author-Name: Oral Capps Author-X-Name-First: Oral Author-X-Name-Last: Capps Title: Measuring the effects of advertising on green industry sales: a generalized propensity score approach Abstract: This article estimates the effects of advertising expenditures on annual gross sales of green industry firms using a quasi-experimental framework. In order to account for potential selection bias, a generalized propensity score and a dose-response function are used to estimate advertising treatment effects. The method used allows us to investigate the relationship between the dose (advertising expenditures) and the response (firm sales). We use data from the National Green Industry Surveys of 2009 and 2014 to conduct the analysis. To further investigate potential heterogeneous advertising effects of the size of the firms, we separate the sample into small firms and large firms, according to their annual gross sales. The results indicate that the magnitude and shape of the response function depend on the size of the firm. For small firms, increasing advertising spending yields to higher sales within a range of advertising spending. Beyond this range, advertising spending increases do not impact sales any more. Thus, small firms’ management should carefully monitor advertising input. For large firms, on the other hand, the current evidence does not support a positive relationship between advertising spending and sales since the marginal treatment effect is insignificant almost over the entire range of adverting spending. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1303-1318 Issue: 12 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527448 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:12:p:1303-1318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Title: The long-run effect of aid on health: evidence from panel cointegration analysis Abstract: Although a major objective of aid donors is to improve health outcomes in recipient countries, there is relatively little research on whether aid to the health sector leads to improved health outcomes, and even less on the impact of total aid. This paper examines the relationship between total aid and population health using panel cointegration and causality techniques designed to deal with problems afflicting previous aid-health studies: spurious regressions, omitted variables, endogeneity, cross-sectional dependence, and parameter heterogeneity. The main results are: (i) aid has, on average, a small but negative long-run effect on health, (ii) while the long-run (or trend) effect of aid on health is negative, the short-run (temporary) effect of aid on health is positive, (iii) causality runs in only one direction, from aid to health, and (iv) aid worsens health mainly in sub-Saharan countries, but has a positive, albeit statistically insignificant, long-run impact on health in Latin American and Caribbean countries and in countries with negative values of net ODA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1319-1338 Issue: 12 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527449 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527449 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:12:p:1319-1338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liangliang He Author-X-Name-First: Liangliang Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Lei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Frank Hong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Frank Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Banking reforms, performance and risk in China Abstract: We investigate the impact of the banking reform started from 2005 on ownership structures in China on commercial banks’ profitability, efficiency and risk over the period 2000–2012, providing comprehensive evidence on the impact of banking reform in China. We find that banks on average tend to have higher profitability, lower risk and lower efficiency after the reforms, and the results are robust with our difference-in-difference approach. Our results also show that the Big 5 state-owned banks (SOCB) underperform banks with other types of ownership when risk is measured by non-performing loans (NPLs) over the entire study period but tend to have fewer NPLs than other banks during the post-reform period. Our results provide some supporting evidence on the ongoing banking reforms in China, suggesting that attracting strategic foreign investors and listing SOCBs on stock exchanges appear to be effective ways to help SOCBs deal with the problem of NPLs and manage their risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3995-4012 Issue: 40 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1273501 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1273501 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:40:p:3995-4012 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: V. Vandenberghe Author-X-Name-First: V. Author-X-Name-Last: Vandenberghe Title: The productivity challenge. What to expect from better-quality labour and capital inputs? Abstract: The aim of this article is to develop and implement an analytical framework assessing whether better-quality inputs, via a rise of TFP, could compensate an ageing-induced slowing of economic growth. Here ‘better-quality’ means more educated and older/more experienced workforces; and also better-quality capital proxied by its ICT content. Economic theory predicts that these trends should raise TFP. To assess these predictions, we use EU-KLEMS data, with information on the age/education mix of the workforce, as well as the importance on ICT in total capital, for 34 industries within 16 OECD countries, between 1970 and 2005. We generalize the Hellerstein–Neumark labour-quality index method to simultaneously capture workers’ age/experience or education contribution to TFP growth, alongside that of ICT. The conclusion of the article is that the quality of inputs matters for TFP. We find robust microeconometric evidence that better-educated and older/more experienced workers are more productive than their less-educated and younger/less-experienced peers. Also, ICT capital turns out to be more productive than other forms of capital. And when used in a growth accounting exercise covering the 1995–2005 period, these estimates suggest that up to 40% of the recorded TFP growth could be ascribed to the rising quality of inputs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4013-4025 Issue: 40 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1273504 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1273504 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:40:p:4013-4025 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Fajardo Author-X-Name-First: José Author-X-Name-Last: Fajardo Title: A new factor to explain implied volatility smirk Abstract: In this article, we find empirical evidence of a new smirk factor, obtained from the jump structure of the risk neutral distribution of the underlying Lévy process. As an application we show how to price a barrier style contract. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4026-4034 Issue: 40 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1273505 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1273505 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:40:p:4026-4034 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raphaël Homayoun Boroumand Author-X-Name-First: Raphaël Homayoun Author-X-Name-Last: Boroumand Author-Name: Stéphane Goutte Author-X-Name-First: Stéphane Author-X-Name-Last: Goutte Author-Name: Simon Porcher Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Porcher Author-Name: Thomas Porcher Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Porcher Title: Jumps and volatility dynamics in agricultural commodity spot prices Abstract: The spot commodities market exhibits both extreme volatility and price spikes, which lead to heavy-tailed distributions of price change and autocorrelation. This article uses various Lévy jump models to capture these features in a panel of agricultural commodities observed between January 1990 and February 2014. The results show that Levy jump models outperform the continuous Gaussian model. Our results prove that assuming a constant volatility or even a deterministic volatility and drift structure of agricultural commodity spot prices is not realistic and is less efficient than the stochastic assumption. The findings demonstrate an interesting correlation between volatility and jumps for a given commodity i, but no relationship between the volatility of commodity i and the probability of jumps of commodity j. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4035-4054 Issue: 40 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1273507 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1273507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:40:p:4035-4054 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José M. Belbute Author-X-Name-First: José M. Author-X-Name-Last: Belbute Author-Name: Alfredo M. Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Title: Do global CO emissions from fossil-fuel consumption exhibit long memory? a fractional-integration analysis Abstract: In this article we use an autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average approach to measure the degree of fractional integration of aggregate world CO2 emissions and its five components – coal, oil, gas, cement, and gas flaring. We find that all variables are stationary and mean reverting, but exhibit long-term memory. Our results suggest that both coal and oil combustion emissions have the weakest degree of long-range dependence, while emissions from gas and gas flaring have the strongest. With evidence of long memory, we conclude that transitory policy shocks are likely to have long-lasting effects, but not permanent effects. Accordingly, permanent effects on CO2 emissions require a more permanent policy stance. In this context, if one were to rely only on testing for stationarity and non-stationarity, one would likely conclude in favour of non-stationarity, and therefore that even transitory policy shocks have permanent effects. Our fractional-integration analysis highlights that this is not the case. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4055-4070 Issue: 40 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1273508 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1273508 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:40:p:4055-4070 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shang Wu Author-X-Name-First: Shang Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Jenna Toussaint Author-X-Name-First: Jenna Author-X-Name-Last: Toussaint Author-Name: Kent D. Messer Author-X-Name-First: Kent D. Author-X-Name-Last: Messer Title: Maximizing benefits in project selection: a hybrid approach Abstract: Charitable foundations and government programmes should endeavour to allocate their limited resources to best serve their constituents. Yet, mathematical programming techniques are rarely used despite overwhelming evidence of their superiority in selecting projects that yield higher levels of total benefits. We present a novel ‘hybrid selection model’ that combines binary linear programming and heuristic rank-based models applied to two case studies. The first case focuses on providing services to women and shows a hybrid model would have selected the top three ‘signature’ projects and maintained an above-average overall project benefit while securing a 180% improvement in the number of projects funded, a 66% improvement in the number of women served and a 132% improvement in the total benefit achieved. In the second case, we apply the hybrid approach to data from the US government’s largest forest preservation programme and demonstrate that the hybrid approach could allow the programme to select up to 11 top-scoring projects while still achieving a 97% gain in the total overall benefit compared to their traditional method. These case studies show that the hybrid approach has the potential to be applied in a variety of settings and improve how foundations and programmes achieve their goals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4071-4082 Issue: 40 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1276267 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1276267 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:40:p:4071-4082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Duc Khuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc Khuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Benoît Sévi Author-X-Name-First: Benoît Author-X-Name-Last: Sévi Author-Name: Bo Sjö Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Sjö Author-Name: Gazi Salah Uddin Author-X-Name-First: Gazi Salah Author-X-Name-Last: Uddin Title: The role of trade openness and investment in examining the energy-growth-pollution nexus: empirical evidence for China and India Abstract: Most of the existing literature dealing with the relationship between carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth either suffers from ignoring relevant variables such as trade openness or investment, or suffers from using econometric methods that are unable to distinguish between short- and long-term causality and are not robust to the degree of integration of time series used for the analysis. This article suggests using the autoregressive distributed lag approach along with additional explanatory variables such as measures of trade and investment to shed a new light on the link between emissions, energy consumption and income in the two largest and energy-intensive developing economies: China and India. Our results, over the 1971–2009 period, provide evidence that investment plays a major role in shaping the relationship between carbon emissions, energy consumption and income in China while this is not the case in India. Furthermore, trade openness is found to play a key function in the short term in China but does not contribute to the emissions-energy-growth scenario in India. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4083-4098 Issue: 40 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1276268 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1276268 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:40:p:4083-4098 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elie Bouri Author-X-Name-First: Elie Author-X-Name-Last: Bouri Author-Name: Mahamitra Das Author-X-Name-First: Mahamitra Author-X-Name-Last: Das Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: David Roubaud Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Roubaud Title: Spillovers between Bitcoin and other assets during bear and bull markets Abstract: This article contributes to the embryonic literature on the relations between Bitcoin and conventional investments by studying return and volatility spillovers between this largest cryptocurrency and four asset classes (equities, stocks, commodities, currencies and bonds) in bear and bull market conditions. We conducted empirical analyses based on a smooth transition VAR GARCH-in-mean model covering daily data from 19 July 2010 to 31 October 2017. We found significant evidence that Bitcoin returns are related quite closely to those of most of the other assets studies, particularly commodities, and therefore, the Bitcoin market is not isolated completely. The significance and sign of the spillovers exhibited some differences in the two market conditions and in the direction of the spillovers, with greater evidence that Bitcoin receives more volatility than it transmits. Our findings have implications for investors and fund managers who are considering Bitcoin as part of their investment strategies and for policymakers concerned about the vulnerability that Bitcoin represents to the stability of the global financial system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5935-5949 Issue: 55 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:55:p:5935-5949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Pengfei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Pengfei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xiao Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Dehua Shen Author-X-Name-First: Dehua Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Some stylized facts of the cryptocurrency market Abstract: We examine the stylized facts of eight forms of cryptocurrencies representing almost 70% of cryptocurrency market capitalization. In particular, the empirical results show that (1) there exists heavy tails for all the returns of cryptocurrencies; (2) the autocorrelations for returns decay quickly, while the autocorrelations for absolute returns decay slowly; (3) returns of cryptocurrencies display strong volatility clustering and leverage effects; (4) Hurst exponent for volatility is more volatile than that of the returns, while they all suggest the long-range dependence phenomena; and (5) there exists power-law correlation between price and volume. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5950-5965 Issue: 55 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:55:p:5950-5965 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Renato A. Villano Author-X-Name-First: Renato A. Author-X-Name-Last: Villano Author-Name: Carolyn-Dung T. T. Tran Author-X-Name-First: Carolyn-Dung T. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: Performance of private higher education institutions in Vietnam: evidence using DEA-based bootstrap directional distance approach with quasi-fixed inputs Abstract: Vietnam’s higher education has witnessed substantial improvements since the implementation of the Doi Moi (renovation) policy. One of the significant developments is the promotion of establishment and enhancement of the role of private institutions in national education systems. However, the quest to improve the overall performance of the private higher education institutions remains a big challenge for many stakeholders. We assess the performance of Vietnamese private universities using a data envelopment analysis–based bootstrap directional distance approach with quasi-fixed inputs. The results show that there was a large variation in the efficiency levels of private universities within and between academic years and between metropolitan and other private universities. Our empirical findings provide more insights for educational leaders and policy makers on the performance of private higher education institutions and the implications of privatization of the national higher education system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5966-5978 Issue: 55 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:55:p:5966-5978 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Paula Macedo de Avellar Author-X-Name-First: Ana Paula Macedo de Author-X-Name-Last: Avellar Author-Name: Marisa dos Reis Azevedo Botelho Author-X-Name-First: Marisa dos Reis Azevedo Author-X-Name-Last: Botelho Title: Impact of innovation policies on small, medium and large Brazilian firms Abstract: This study comprises a comparative examination of the effects of innovation support programmes’ spend on innovative activities in small, medium and large Brazilian firms. The econometric methodology propensity score matching is used to assess the impacts of tax and financial incentives based on. Results show that innovation support programmes stimulate expenditure on innovative activities, especially financial incentives for the acquisition of machinery and equipment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5979-5995 Issue: 55 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489109 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:55:p:5979-5995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Gugler Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Gugler Author-Name: Evgeni Peev Author-X-Name-First: Evgeni Author-X-Name-Last: Peev Title: The persistence of profits in banking: an international comparison Abstract: This article examines the dynamics of bank profitability in the USA, Germany, Great Britain, France, Italy and Switzerland over the period 1993–2014. We find long-run bank profit persistence in all six countries in the period before the financial crisis in 2008. Banks with large capital ratios are persistently more profitable, and there is little evidence of a link between bank size and the persistence of bank profits. Commercial (saving) banks are persistently more (less) profitable in four of the six countries. The effects of the financial crisis in 2008 differed dramatically across countries as well as across ownership types. While US banks experienced dramatic declines in the immediate aftermath of the crisis, they recovered much faster than their European counterparts and essentially retain their long run profit potential by the year 2014. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5996-6009 Issue: 55 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489111 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:55:p:5996-6009 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suraj Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Suraj Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Krishna Prasanna Author-X-Name-First: Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Prasanna Title: Liquidity in Asian markets: Intensity of Regional and global linkages Abstract: This study investigates cross-market linkages and the intensity of liquidity spillovers across nine Asian markets and five developed markets during 2006 to 2016. Further, the study examines the contagion caused by recent global financial crisis and its impact on the market liquidity. The direction and intensity of spillovers has been measured using forecast error variance decomposition method as suggested by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012). Among the developed markets, the United States, Germany and the United Kingdom significantly affect liquidity changes in Asian countries like India, China, Singapore and Japan. The results revels that on average, each Asian market receives 7% spillover from the global markets and 16% from regional markets. During the financial crisis, the average regional spillover increased to 20% and the global spillover increased to 11%. Thus, in Asia, the regional spillover is higher than the global spillover. Our results support the demand side hypothesis and suggest that it is the trade and portfolio investments that drive the liquidity spillovers. Our findings have potential implications for international investors, policy makers and market regulators. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6010-6023 Issue: 55 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:55:p:6010-6023 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lixin Cai Author-X-Name-First: Lixin Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Yong Jin Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Qiulin Qi Author-X-Name-First: Qiulin Author-X-Name-Last: Qi Author-Name: Xin Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: A comprehensive study on smart beta strategies in the A-share market Abstract: In this article, we explore how smart beta strategies are applied in the Chinese A-share market. Specifically, we empirically examine several popular smart beta strategies, including mean-variance optimization, minimum-variance portfolio, equal weighting, risk parity strategy, and fundamental indexation, and we do so using the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) 50 index and SSE sector indices as our comparison benchmarks. We find that all smart beta strategies outperform these benchmarks from year 2006 to year 2015, and that all smart beta strategies outperform the SSE 50 index by an average of 2.57% per year. In turn, these strategies improve the Sharpe Ratio by 46.2% on average. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6024-6033 Issue: 55 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489113 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:55:p:6024-6033 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Vallejo-Torres Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Vallejo-Torres Author-Name: Stephen Morris Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Morris Author-Name: Beatriz G. Lopez-Valcarcel Author-X-Name-First: Beatriz G. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez-Valcarcel Title: Obesity and perceived work discrimination in Spain Abstract: Obesity is increasingly becoming a source of discrimination in many domains of living, including at the workplace. In this study, we estimate obesity-related discrimination in work settings in Spain and explore its potential sources. We use data from the European Health Interview Survey conducted in 2009–2010. Our models control for a comprehensive set of demographic, socioeconomic, health, and work-related sickness characteristics. We run separate models for women and men, and stratify by type of occupation and by area obesity prevalence. Our results indicate that weight-related discrimination in work settings in Spain is concentrated among women with morbid obesity, particularly among those working in customer-facing jobs and living in areas with low-obesity prevalence. These findings emphasize the persistence of the gendered nature of obesity-related discrimination, and provide evidence of a form of induced statistical discrimination. Employers’ expectations of lower returns from obese workers in customer facing jobs might be driven by customers’ preferences caused by social stigma. Furthermore, the role of area-obesity prevalence highlights the impact of cultural social norms even within the same country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3870-3884 Issue: 36 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1400654 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1400654 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:36:p:3870-3884 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Le Pape Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Le Pape Author-Name: Yongying Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yongying Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Stakeholders’ relationships and product market competition Abstract: In this article, we study the relationships between main stakeholders (shareholders, consumers and employees) when firms are consumer oriented (CO) in the sense of caring about consumers’ interests in the objective function. We let these firms first bargain with labour union over their employees’ wages and then compete either in the quantity space (Cournot competition) or in the price space (Bertrand competition). Our model shows that taking care of the consumers’ interests when determining product market strategies may reverse the traditional ranking between Cournot and Bertrand equilibria. This implies that if shareholders in a CO firm can choose either a quantity or a price strategy, they will surprisingly choose the latter. Moreover, we show that the conflicting interests between main stakeholders are attenuated under Bertrand competition compared to Cournot competition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3885-3898 Issue: 36 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430342 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430342 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:36:p:3885-3898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nafeesa Yunus Author-X-Name-First: Nafeesa Author-X-Name-Last: Yunus Title: Transmission of shocks across global real estate and equity markets: An examination of the 2007–2008 housing crisis Abstract: This study analyses the impact of the 2007–2008 U.S. financial crisis on the structure of interdependence among several major global real estate and equity markets. Moreover, it performs a step-by-step comparative analysis to evaluate similarities and differences in the convergence patterns of global real estate markets vis-à-vis global equity markets. Long-run results indicate that global real estate markets were less integrated than global equity markets prior to the crisis. Since the crisis, however, both global real estate and global equity markets have become highly integrated with the U.S. real estate and equity markets, respectively, and have fully converged. Short-run analyses indicate that during the pre-crisis period, global real estate markets were highly exogenous and independent. In contrast, global equity markets were comparatively more interdependent with one another and more endogenous. After the crisis, however, both global real estate and equity markets reacted strongly to shocks emanating from the U.S. markets, although the impact of the U.S. real estate market on the global real estate market is more pronounced than the effect of the U.S. equity market on the global equity markets. Finally, the study shows that U.S. real estate and equity markets are the channels of transmission or the sources of trends that drive global markets over the long-run and the short-run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3899-3922 Issue: 36 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430343 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430343 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:36:p:3899-3922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Da Fonseca Author-X-Name-First: José Author-X-Name-Last: Da Fonseca Author-Name: Katja Ignatieva Author-X-Name-First: Katja Author-X-Name-Last: Ignatieva Title: Volatility spillovers and connectedness among credit default swap sector indexes Abstract: This article studies volatility spill-over effects and market connectedness using daily data of credit default swap spreads for U.S. companies over a period from 2007 to 2012. We quantify volatility spillovers by means of an unconditional analysis performed using the entire sample, and a conditional analysis which estimates the model using a rolling window. As our database contains the global financial crisis (GFC), we are able to determine how volatility spillovers spread in the economy during the recent market turmoil. Our unconditional results confirm that the Financials sector was a main contributor to the overall market volatility along with the Consumer Goods, Consumer Services and Basic Materials sectors. The conditional analysis clearly identifies that the Financials was the major feeding sector of volatility spill-over effects, and that the market volatility was successively driven by Technology and Basic Materials over a rather short period of time, followed by Consumer Goods and Consumer Services over a prolonged period of time. Our results illustrate indirect linkages between the sectors that conveyed shocks during the GFC. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3923-3936 Issue: 36 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430344 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:36:p:3923-3936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lester Lusher Author-X-Name-First: Lester Author-X-Name-Last: Lusher Author-Name: Chuan He Author-X-Name-First: Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Stephen Fick Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Fick Title: Are professional basketball players reference-dependent? Abstract: Models with reference-dependent preferences suggest that agents exert considerable effort to avoid falling below a reference point and ‘losing’. We provide visual and statistical evidence that player performances in the National Basketball Association (NBA) bunch at salient, normatively extraneous round numbers. Using data on nearly three million shot attempts with precise ($$x$$x , $$y$$y ) coordinates, we find that players improve free throw accuracy and attempt shots closer to the hoop when shooting for a round number. The results are strongest for players on home teams, suggesting that the reference-dependent enters preferences through an external, social evaluation channel. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3937-3948 Issue: 36 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430345 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:36:p:3937-3948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Alexakis Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Alexakis Author-Name: Mark Cummins Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Cummins Author-Name: Michael Dowling Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dowling Author-Name: Vasileios Pappas Author-X-Name-First: Vasileios Author-X-Name-Last: Pappas Title: A high-frequency analysis of price resolution and pricing barriers in equities on the adoption of a new currency Abstract: We use ultra high frequency (trade by trade) data to demonstrate that equity price clustering and pricing predictability around psychologically important prices in Greece switches away from drachma-focused with the introduction of the euro, but does not immediately switch to euro-clustering. The change in trader price focus around the euro introduction addresses an open debate in the clustering literature on whether the presence of clustering is a bias related to the current prices or anchoring to past prices. Our findings of a decline in drachma clustering, but lack of switch to euro effects supports the case for clustering being a trading feature that is slow to transfer to new pricing regimes. A key advantage of the ultra high frequency dataset is we are also able to demonstrate the presence of psychological pricing barriers related to each currency that are not detectable in daily data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3949-3965 Issue: 36 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430347 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430347 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:36:p:3949-3965 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Álvaro Escribano Author-X-Name-First: Álvaro Author-X-Name-Last: Escribano Author-Name: M. Teresa Santos-Martín Author-X-Name-First: M. Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Santos-Martín Author-Name: Ana E. Sipols Author-X-Name-First: Ana E. Author-X-Name-Last: Sipols Title: A new Cramer-Von Misses cointegration test with application to environmental Kuznets curve Abstract: This article introduces a new Cramer-Von Misses (CVM) cointegration test robust to nonlinearities. We characterize nonlinear cointegration in terms of a nonlinear moving-average filter (high pass filter) of a matrix based on permutation matrices on the discrepancy of empirical distributions. A Cramer-Von Misses (CVM) test statistic is proposed for testing the null hypothesis of two independent random walks against a broad range of cointegrating alternatives with monotonic nonlinearities and level shifts in the cointegration relationship. We derive the asymptotic distribution of this induced-order Cramer-Von Misses (CVM) cointegration test. This new non-parametric test statistic has two important properties: the invariance to monotonic transformations of the series and the robustness for the presence of several parameter shifts or structural changes. We analyse the small sample properties of this test by Monte Carlo simulations and evaluate the power of the test. Finally, this CVM test is applied to the analysis of long run environmental Kuznets curve which relates economic growth and pollution. In particular, we consider a nonlinear cointegration between gross domestic product (GDP) and CO2 emissions. Our new CVM test is able to find evidence of cointegration while classical single equation cointegration tests are not. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3966-3978 Issue: 36 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1430348 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1430348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:36:p:3966-3978 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iryna Topolyan Author-X-Name-First: Iryna Author-X-Name-Last: Topolyan Author-Name: Xu Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Differential effects of mother’s and child’s postnatal WIC participation on breastfeeding Abstract: We evaluate the effect of postnatal participation in the Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) programme on breastfeeding decisions using the data from the IFPS II. We find that the infant’s WIC participation positively affects the hazard of discontinuing breastfeeding, both partial and exclusive (and is thus associated with abbreviated breastfeeding duration). No significant association is found between the mother’s participation and the hazards of stopping exclusive or partial breastfeeding. Such differential effects might be a result of the programme’s policy, according to which the infant, but not the mother needs to be enrolled to receive free formula. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2216-2225 Issue: 23 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1234702 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1234702 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:23:p:2216-2225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yihao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yihao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yu Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Yongji Guo Author-X-Name-First: Yongji Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: The effects of haze pollution on stock performances: evidence from China Abstract: Haze pollution has become the most important environmental issue in China in recent years. Using the data of PM2.5 concentration and stocks of listed companies located in Beijing between 2010 and 2014, this article investigates the effects of haze pollution on stock performances. Empirical results indicate that haze pollution has significant negative effects on stock returns and significant positive effects on stock volatilities, through the channel of investors’ mood. Furthermore, the effects of haze pollution on stock returns emerge gradually and the effects of haze pollution on stock volatilities weaken gradually over time during a trading day. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2226-2237 Issue: 23 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1234703 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1234703 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:23:p:2226-2237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaodong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xiaodong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Patrick Minford Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Minford Author-Name: Kun Tian Author-X-Name-First: Kun Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Author-Name: Peng Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Who provides the capital for Chinese growth: the public or the private sector? Abstract: We focus on the role of the government in the provision of investment in China, through the medium of a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model of the economy in which the form of the production function reflects this governmental role. Using indirect inference, we estimate and test for the elasticity of substitution between government and nongovernment capital in both Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES) and Cobb–Douglas technologies. The results underscore the strong substitution relationship between government and nongovernment capital from 1949, supporting CES rather than the Cobb–Douglas technology. They also show that the orientation of public investment changed after the start of the ‘Socialist Market Economy’ in 1992: government capital became more complementary to nongovernment capital as it focused more on infrastructure and withdrew from industrial production, intervening only in times of crisis, for stabilization purposes, indirectly via the state banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2238-2252 Issue: 23 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1234704 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1234704 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:23:p:2238-2252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Majed Barjas G. Alotaibi Author-X-Name-First: Majed Barjas G. Author-X-Name-Last: Alotaibi Author-Name: Yabin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yabin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The relationship between export market orientation and export performance: an empirical study Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between export market orientation and export performance in Saudi export firms. Questionnaire method was used to collect the data from managers of export firms with the mediating role of export strategy. The data were analysed using structural equation modelling (SEM) implemented using AMOS software. Results of SEM analysis showed that export market orientation has impact on export performance. The mediator variable export strategy was found to have partial mediation role in the relationship. This article joins the literature of international trade by adding the perspective of Saudi export firms. Managers of export firms can employ the study to support their firm towards the effect of market orientation on their performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2253-2258 Issue: 23 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1237743 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1237743 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:23:p:2253-2258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hojin Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hojin Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Li Qin Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Title: A new generalized volatility proxy via the stochastic volatility model Abstract: This article proposes power transformation of absolute returns as a new proxy of latent volatility in the stochastic model. We generalize absolute returns as a proxy for volatility in that we place no restriction on the power of absolute returns. An empirical investigation on the bias, mean square error and relative bias is carried out for the proposed proxy. Simulation results show that the new estimator exhibiting negligible bias appears to be more efficient than the unbiased estimator with high variance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2259-2268 Issue: 23 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1237751 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1237751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:23:p:2259-2268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xinpeng Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xinpeng Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Jan P. Voon Author-X-Name-First: Jan P. Author-X-Name-Last: Voon Author-Name: Yan Shang Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Shang Title: Unbundling institutional determinants of multinational investments Abstract: Previous studies often examined how a broad-based institution affects foreign direct investment (FDI) flows across countries. However, analysis of differential impacts of two or more constituent institutions within a broad-based institution appears to be more useful for policy decision-making. There is a paucity of studies on how constituent institutions within a broad measure of institution affect FDI across countries. Our article constitutes the first attempt in bridging this gap. In this article, we examine the relative effects of property rights institution (PI) and contracting institution (CI) on investment flows. Our results show that PI is much more important than CI in determining the cross-border flows of FDI and affiliate sales. Moreover, PI is found to be more important for FDI than for affiliate sales, indicating that final goods are less of a concern for being expropriated by governments and powerful elites than capital goods. Through unbundling a broad-based institution and examining how the constituent institutions affect investments flows, our article provides practical location decisions for investments in FDI, mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and affiliate sales. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2269-2285 Issue: 23 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1237754 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1237754 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:23:p:2269-2285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ramzi Benkraiem Author-X-Name-First: Ramzi Author-X-Name-Last: Benkraiem Author-Name: Mondher Bouattour Author-X-Name-First: Mondher Author-X-Name-Last: Bouattour Author-Name: Anthony Miloudi Author-X-Name-First: Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Miloudi Author-Name: Ludovic Vigneron Author-X-Name-First: Ludovic Author-X-Name-Last: Vigneron Title: Corporate leverage and the terms of employment: evidence from French small businesses before and during the global crisis Abstract: Despite the particular importance of corporate leverage and human capital for small businesses, little is surprisingly known about the relationship between these two factors for this category of firms. Accordingly, this article tries to fill this gap by investigating the relationship between leverage and human capital examined through the investment in employee-related expenditure. The analysis focuses on a sample of French listed small businesses before and during the recent global crisis. The empirical findings show that leverage serves as a monitoring mechanism of corporate managers prone to over or underinvest in employee-related expenditure to obtain private benefits. Due notably to the availability of debt, this monitoring is more effective before the crisis period, especially for low growth firms. Overall, these results provide support to the theory that leverage has a disciplining role. Simultaneously, they lead to moderate the strength of this role according to the global crisis. Thus, they should provide useful insights for academics, regulators, managers and credit institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2286-2297 Issue: 23 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1237755 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1237755 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:23:p:2286-2297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Nabila Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Nabila Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Abdoulkarim Idi Cheffou Author-X-Name-First: Abdoulkarim Idi Author-X-Name-Last: Cheffou Title: Toward a new deal for Saudi Arabia: oil or Islamic stock market investment? Abstract: Amid the ongoing national development programme of Saudi Arabia, Saudi Vision 2030, a large trade openness plan to reduce Saudi Arabia’s dependence on oil and to diversify its economy is announced. This study investigates whether or not the related diversification option through openness towards the Islamic stock market would benefit Saudi Arabia’s economy. To this end, we consider data on oil price and Islamic stock investment, evaluate their interactions through vector autoregressive modelling and estimate the impulse response functions. Further, we perform portfolio simulations and measure further diversification benefits. First, we find that the risk of the economy’s dependency on the crude oil industry is not rejected, given the recent strong deterioration of oil returns. Second, the portfolio simulations highlight that the consideration of investment in Islamic stock shares not only generates diversification benefits but also provides a portfolio with the highest returns and lowest financial risk, for which we compute the optimal composition. Third, the analysis of the impulse response functions shows that the investment in the Islamic stock market in Saudi Arabia implies positive effects on the oil industry, which is a priori favourable to the recent challenge of undertaking the national development programme, Saudi Vision 2030. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6355-6363 Issue: 59 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486018 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:59:p:6355-6363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jamel Saadaoui Author-X-Name-First: Jamel Author-X-Name-Last: Saadaoui Title: Internal Devaluations and Equilibrium Exchange Rates: new evidences and perspectives for the EMU Abstract: From the onset of the euro crisis to the Brexit vote, we have witnessed impressive reductions of current account imbalances in peripheral countries of the euro area. These reductions can be the result of either a compression of internal demand or an improvement in external competitiveness. In this paper, we compute exchange rate misalignments within the euro area to assess whether peripheral countries have managed to improve their external competitiveness. After controlling for the reduction of business cycle synchronization within the EMU, we find that peripheral countries have managed to reduce their exchange rate misalignments thanks to internal devaluations. To some extent, these favourable evolutions reflect improvements in external competitiveness. Nevertheless, these gains could only be temporary if peripheral countries do not improve their non-price competitiveness, their trade structures and their international specializations in the long run.Abbreviations: EMU, European Monetary Union; FEER, Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rate; SMIM, Symmetric Matrix Inversion Method; BEER, Behavioural Equilibrium Exchange Rate; PPP, Purchasing Parity Power; OCI, Own Country Included; IMF, International Monetary Fund; OECD, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development; NIESR, National Institute of Economic and Social Research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6364-6381 Issue: 59 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486019 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486019 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:59:p:6364-6381 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcelo Zeuli Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Zeuli Author-Name: André Carvalhal Author-X-Name-First: André Author-X-Name-Last: Carvalhal Title: Backtesting Basel III: evaluating the market risk of past crises through the current regulation Abstract: Are the recommendations from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) effective to a broad set of financial crises? We submitted two of the main Basel III recommendations for market risk to a back test: the capital requirements and the Value at Risk (VaR) methodology that includes the BIS’s Stressed VaR. We tested the main Brazilian currency exchange (U.S. Dollar to Brazilian Reais) and currency exchange swaps contracts through volatility-based VaR methodologies in the period that comprises the so-called Brazilian confidence crisis, which occurred in the second half of 2002.While the Stressed VaR revealed inapplicable, due to historical data shortage, the capital requirements level appeared innocuous, due to the high levels of daily volatility – daily oscillation limits may have a significant role on crisis mitigation. To circumvent the lack of either historical information or optimal window for stress patterns, we suggest to calibrate the Stressed VaR or the recently announced Expected Shortfall with a historical VIX (Volatility Index, Chicago Board Options Exchange), working as a volatility scale. We suggest modelling with other densities, apart from the BIS recommended standard normal. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6382-6396 Issue: 59 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486020 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:59:p:6382-6396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Attila Ceffer Author-X-Name-First: Attila Author-X-Name-Last: Ceffer Author-Name: Norbert Fogarasi Author-X-Name-First: Norbert Author-X-Name-Last: Fogarasi Author-Name: Janos Levendovszky Author-X-Name-First: Janos Author-X-Name-Last: Levendovszky Title: Trading by estimating the quantized forward distribution Abstract: In this article, a novel algorithm is developed for electronic trading on financial time series. The new method uses quantization and volatility information together with feedforward neural networks for achieving high-frequency trading (HFT). The proposed procedures are based on estimating the Forward Conditional Probability Distribution (FCPD) of the quantized return values. From past samples, the conditional expected value can be learned, from which FCPD can be obtained by using a special encoding scheme. Based on this estimation, a trading signal is triggered if the probability of price change becomes significant as measured by a quadratic criterion. Due to the encoding scheme and quantization, the complexity of learning and estimation has been reduced for HFT. Extensive numerical analysis has been performed on financial time series and the new method has proven to be profitable on mid-prices. In order to beat the secondary effects, we focus on the most liquid assets, on which we managed to achieve positive profits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6397-6405 Issue: 59 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486021 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:59:p:6397-6405 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilles Dufrénot Author-X-Name-First: Gilles Author-X-Name-Last: Dufrénot Author-Name: Anne-Charlotte Paret Author-X-Name-First: Anne-Charlotte Author-X-Name-Last: Paret Title: Sovereign debt in emerging market countries: not all of them are serial defaulters Abstract: Avoiding to assign emerging market countries a ‘typical’ behaviour, this article considers the heterogeneity across them and through time to predict their sovereign default episodes. Moreover, it focuses on the imbalance between defaulted debt and GDP. For the first time, we use a panel nonlinear regime-switching model whose explanatory factors have a different impact on sovereign default, depending on the regime the country belongs to. We mitigate some common views of the literature (in particular the ‘serial default’ theory) and identify countries deserving to be monitored carefully, because of a higher exposure to sovereign default risk.Abbreviation: CRAG : Credit Rating Assessment Group; EMBI: Emerging Market Bond Index; FSI: Financial Stress Index; GDP: Gross Domestic Product; GFC: Global Financial Cycle; GTD: Gonzalez, Teräsvirta, and V. Dijk; IMF: International Monetary Fund; LM: Lagrange Multiplier; PSTR: Panel Smooth Transition Regression; PTR: Panel Threshold Regression; STAR: Smooth Transition Auto Regressive model; US: United States; VIX: Volatility Index Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6406-6443 Issue: 59 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486022 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486022 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:59:p:6406-6443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Asem Alhomaidi Author-X-Name-First: Asem Author-X-Name-Last: Alhomaidi Author-Name: M. Kabir Hassan Author-X-Name-First: M. Kabir Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Author-Name: Duygu Zirek Author-X-Name-First: Duygu Author-X-Name-Last: Zirek Author-Name: Abdulrahman Alhassan Author-X-Name-First: Abdulrahman Author-X-Name-Last: Alhassan Title: Does an Islamic label cause stock price comovements and commonality in liquidity? Abstract: In this article, we examine the effects of shared beliefs and the personal preferences of individual investors on their trading and investment decisions. We expect that the process of classifying stocks into Sharia-compliant (Islamic) and non-Sharia-compliant (conventional) has an effect on the investibility and acceptance of the stocks especially by unsophisticated or individual investors. The wider acceptance of Islamic stocks among individual investors promotes and facilitates the circulation of firm-specific information among certain groups of investors. Our results indicate that stock classification has an effect on stock price comovements through increased stock trading correlation among the groups of Islamic investors. The commonality in preferences among holders of Islamic stocks generates commonality in trading activity and in stock liquidity. We find that classifying a stock as an Islamic stock increases its price comovement with other Islamic stocks and also increases its commonality in liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6444-6457 Issue: 59 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486023 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486023 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:59:p:6444-6457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georges Prat Author-X-Name-First: Georges Author-X-Name-Last: Prat Author-Name: Remzi Uctum Author-X-Name-First: Remzi Author-X-Name-Last: Uctum Title: Do markets learn to rationally expect US interest rates? An anchoring approach Abstract: We propose an augmented and dynamic forecast anchoring model to examine whether a group of rational forecasters coexists with or emerges besides a group of forecasters employing heuristic rules. This model is consistent with the economically rational expectations theory. Using experts’ 3-month and 10-year Treasury bill rate survey expectations at short and long horizons, we find that aggregate expectations fail to exhibit a learning process towards rationality. While forecasters essentially anchor their judgements to heuristics, a small proportion of agents rationally forecast the short-term interest rate, possibly due to Federal Reserve’s transparency practice in the conduct of monetary policy and forward guidance at the zero lower bound. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6458-6480 Issue: 59 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486024 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486024 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:59:p:6458-6480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evangelos Salachas Author-X-Name-First: Evangelos Author-X-Name-Last: Salachas Author-Name: Nikiforos T. Laopodis Author-X-Name-First: Nikiforos T. Author-X-Name-Last: Laopodis Author-Name: Georgios P. Kouretas Author-X-Name-First: Georgios P. Author-X-Name-Last: Kouretas Title: Assessing monetary policies in the Eurozone, U.S., U.K. and Japan: new evidence from the post-crisis period Abstract: The global financial crisis of 2007 changed the way central banks implement monetary policies. This article examines the transmission of both conventional and unconventional monetary policies for the Eurozone, the U.S., the U.K. and Japan. We additionally study the impact of quantitative easing on financial stability and real economic activity. Our results suggest that conventional monetary policy pass-through channels were distorted significantly in the post-crisis period. We further argue that quantitative easing reduced the long-term rates and averted a further downturn in economic activity. Specifically, the series of central banks quantitative easing contributed to the stimulation of economic activity and restored the traditional financial markets’ function. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6481-6500 Issue: 59 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1486026 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1486026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:59:p:6481-6500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tam Trinh Author-X-Name-First: Tam Author-X-Name-Last: Trinh Author-Name: Xuan Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Pasquale Sgro Author-X-Name-First: Pasquale Author-X-Name-Last: Sgro Title: Determinants of non-life insurance expenditure in developed and developing countries: an empirical investigation Abstract: The determinants of non-life insurance expenditure in a panel data set covering 36 developed countries and 31 developing countries for the period 2000–2011 are analysed. Results of our instrumental variable analysis indicate that economic freedom, income, bank development, urbanization, culture and law systems are the key drivers of the non-life insurance expenditure across countries. However, their impacts differ significantly between the groups of developed and developing countries, suggesting that the heterogeneity among countries in terms of the level of development plays an important role. The global financial crisis is also found to influence the direction of those effects, especially in developed countries. The article yields useful policy and economic implications for governments and multinational non-life insurance companies with regard to the development of the non-life insurance sector, an important engine for economic growth and prosperity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5639-5653 Issue: 58 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1181834 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1181834 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:58:p:5639-5653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vadim Kaushanskiy Author-X-Name-First: Vadim Author-X-Name-Last: Kaushanskiy Author-Name: Victor Lapshin Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Lapshin Title: A nonparametric method for term structure fitting with automatic smoothing Abstract: We present a nonparametric method for fitting the term structure of interest rates from bond prices. Our method is a variant of the smoothing spline approach, but within our framework we are able to determine the smoothing coefficient automatically from data using the generalized cross-validation or maximum likelihood estimates. We present an effective numerical algorithm to simultaneously find the term structure and the optimal smoothing coefficient. Finally, we compare the proposed nonparametric fitting method with other parametric and nonparametric methods to find its superior performance. We find that existing term structure fitting methods perform well in liquid markets while illiquid markets present new challenges, which we address in this article. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5654-5666 Issue: 58 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1181835 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1181835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:58:p:5654-5666 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Byung S. Min Author-X-Name-First: Byung S. Author-X-Name-Last: Min Author-Name: Russell Smyth Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Smyth Title: How does leverage affect R&D intensity and how does R&D intensity impact on firm value in South Korea? Abstract: We examine how leverage affects corporate research and development (R&D) intensity, as well as examine the impact of R&D on firm value in South Korea, a country in which corporate-funded R&D intensity is one of the highest in the world. Among our main results, we find that growth opportunities have a positive effect on R&D intensity, while leverage has a negative effect on R&D intensity. When leverage is at an extremely high level, the relationship between growth opportunities and R&D intensity turns from positive to negative. Using instrumental variables, we find that R&D generates an increase in firm value. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5667-5675 Issue: 58 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1181836 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1181836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:58:p:5667-5675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maoyong Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Maoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Hong Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Mingming Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Mingming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: The effects of foreign strategic investors on business models in China’s commercial banks: does ownership structure matter? Abstract: Introducing foreign strategic investors (FSIs) is a vital step in the ownership reforms of China’s banking industry. Using China’s data from 1995 to 2014, we employ propensity score matching and difference-in-differences approaches to investigate the effects of FSIs on the business models of Chinese banks, including income structure and funding structure. We find that FSIs significantly influence income structure. The bank’s non-interest income (NII) share significantly rises after introducing FSIs. The higher ownership shares of FSIs are associated with the higher NII share. And the NII share has been increased when FSIs assign directors or senior managers to Chinese banks. We also report that the effects of FSIs on income structure are weaker in state-owned banks than those in other banks, and ownership concentration weakens the links between FSIs and income structure. Finally, this article shows that FSIs have no significant influence on funding structure. These findings will be informative and relevant to both policymakers and practitioners. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5676-5698 Issue: 58 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1184373 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1184373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:58:p:5676-5698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ricky Kanabar Author-X-Name-First: Ricky Author-X-Name-Last: Kanabar Author-Name: Peter Simmons Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Simmons Title: To defer or not defer? UK state pension and work decisions in a lifecycle model Abstract: The UK state pension (which depends only on age) includes an option to defer take up which yields either a subsequent lump sum or higher weekly pension. We analyse the joint decisions on pension deferral and intertemporal labour supply/participation in a lifecycle setting. We show that deferral is purely a financial decision, but the impact of deferral on work decisions depends on preferences, wage rates, non-labour income and initial wealth. To exactly characterize this, we use a quasilinear utility function and provide calibrated simulations. We also discuss the choice between a lump sum or increased weekly pension. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5699-5716 Issue: 58 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1184374 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1184374 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:58:p:5699-5716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karen Maguire Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Maguire Title: What’s powering wind? The effect of the U.S. state renewable energy policies on wind capacity (1994–2012) Abstract: As of 2012, 29 states had enacted a Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS), while 37 states had at least one utility offering Green Power Purchasing (GPP) to their customers. The goal of both policies is to promote the adoption of clean, renewable energy. This article examines the influence of these polices on wind capacity across the United States from 1994–2012, a period of significant expansion of the wind generation market. The analysis focuses on wind because as compared with other modern renewable energy sources, wind is the only renewable energy source to make significant inroads into the U.S. electricity generation market. My findings indicate that while there have been significant increases in commercial scale wind generation capacity, neither RPS nor GPP programmes had a significant influence on within state wind capacity additions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5717-5730 Issue: 58 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1184375 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1184375 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:58:p:5717-5730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aram Balagyozyan Author-X-Name-First: Aram Author-X-Name-Last: Balagyozyan Author-Name: Esin Cakan Author-X-Name-First: Esin Author-X-Name-Last: Cakan Title: Did large institutional investors flock into the technology herd? An empirical investigation using a vector Markov-switching model Abstract: This article investigates whether large non-bank institutional investors herded during the dot-com bubble of the 1990s. We use the vector Markov-switching model of Hamilton and Lin (1996) to analyse the technology stockholdings of 115 large institutional investors from 1980 to 2012. By imposing different restrictions on the elements of the transition probability matrix, we are able to test for various lead/lag scenarios that might have existed between the technology stockholding of each investor and that of the residual market. We find that only 17.4% of the investors in our sample herded during the dot-com bubble. Thus, during the dot-com bubble, herding among large institutional investors was not an especially widespread phenomenon. Among those investors that herded, 80% herded during the run-up, 10% during the collapse and 10% during both phases of the dot-com bubble. About 23% of all investors in our sample exited from the technology sector before the bubble collapsed. These results seem to support Abreu and Brunnermeier’s (2003) theory of bubbles and crashes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5731-5747 Issue: 58 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1184376 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1184376 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:58:p:5731-5747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ki-Dong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ki-Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seo-Hyeong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Seo-Hyeong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Jong-Il Choe Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Il Author-X-Name-Last: Choe Title: State dependence, individual heterogeneity, and the choice of employment status: evidence from Korea Abstract: Focusing on the individual heterogeneity, this article examines the causes of an individual’s employment status choice and the extent of state dependence in the Korean labour market. We estimate a dynamic multinomial logit model using the panel data drawn from the first to fifteenth wave of the Korean Labour and Income Panel Study. The results suggest the presence of state dependence. Individual characteristics and growth background have a significant effect on the choice of employment status. Gender is still an important employment factor; males are more likely to be employed and this gender effect is highest for regular employment (RE). One’s educational attainment and age operate in opposite directions. That is, educational attainment (age) has a positive (negative) impact on the choice of a regular job and a negative (positive) impact on the choice of a non-regular job. Contrary to our expectations, a wealthy family background reduces the probability of individuals being wage workers, and raises the probability of them being unemployed. The barriers to RE are greater than for non-regular employment. These findings are of great importance for designing policies to effectively address unemployment and labour informality problems in Korea. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 824-837 Issue: 8 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1343447 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1343447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:8:p:824-837 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angelo Castaldo Author-X-Name-First: Angelo Author-X-Name-Last: Castaldo Author-Name: Alessandro Fiorini Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Fiorini Author-Name: Bernardo Maggi Author-X-Name-First: Bernardo Author-X-Name-Last: Maggi Title: Measuring (in a time of crisis) the impact of broadband connections on economic growth: an OECD panel analysis Abstract: Technological innovation has always been considered a major stimulus for economic growth. High-speed internet access via broadband infrastructure has undergone rapid development since the end of the 1990s, thanks to the deployment of both fixed and mobile technologies. The present study investigates the impact of fixed broadband diffusion as a technological determinant of economic growth on the basis of a panel of 23 OECD countries over 15 years (1996–2010). The time horizon chosen is suitable for verification of the causal effect on growth of the transition from traditional copper to partially fibre networks. Through implementation of a dynamic panel by using the generalized method of moments (GMM) combined with an instrumental variable (IV) two-stage approach, we found a positive correlation between broadband diffusion and economic growth, even after controlling for countries initial endowment of information and communication technologies (ICT) and for the years of economic crisis. Our main finding provides evidence, through a continuous time interpretation of our estimations, of a quantitatively relevant relationship between broadband diffusion and economic dynamics in the short, medium and long runs. Our findings may be useful to policy makers in that they permit forecasting of the benefits of further transition from broadband to ultra-wide broadband networks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 838-854 Issue: 8 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1343448 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1343448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:8:p:838-854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Bilson Darku Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Bilson Author-X-Name-Last: Darku Author-Name: Richard Yeboah Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Yeboah Title: Economic openness and income growth in developing countries: a regional comparative analysis Abstract: This article examines and compares the openness–growth relationship between the high-performing Asian economies (HPAEs) and the rest of the developing world (Sub-Saharan Africa-SSA, South East Asia-SEA and Latin America and Caribbean-LAC). We applied the SYS-GMM estimator to a dynamic standard endogenous growth model which relates economic openness to real per capita income growth. A few key findings emerged from this study. First, economic openness led to increase in real per capita GDP growth in HPAEs and SSA, but not in LAC and SEA. Second, openness to trade accelerated income convergence among countries in SSA, SEA, and HPAEs, however, whereas foreign direct investment inflows accelerated income convergence only in SSA, it rather de-accelerated income convergence in HPAEs. Thirdly, the HPAEs recorded higher positive effect of openness on real per capita GDP growth than any of the other developing regions because they created sufficient stock of human capital that enhanced their absorptive capacity of imported advanced technology. They also created a more stable macroeconomic environment which consolidated the income growth gains from openness. The results of this study highlight the importance of the implementation of policies that are complementary to economic openness in promoting economic growth in the developing world. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 855-869 Issue: 8 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1343449 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1343449 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:8:p:855-869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timo Mitze Author-X-Name-First: Timo Author-X-Name-Last: Mitze Author-Name: Torben Dall Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Torben Dall Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Author-Name: Daniel Rauhut Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Rauhut Author-Name: Aki Kangasharju Author-X-Name-First: Aki Author-X-Name-Last: Kangasharju Title: Ageing shocks and short-run regional labour market dynamics in a spatial panel VAR approach Abstract: Using a flexible spatial panel VAR model for a small-scale labour market system, we investigate the dynamic interdependences between changes in the demographic structure and the labour market performance of a regional economy. With a particular focus on ageing shocks, we describe an increase in the share of elderly in regional population due to exogenous changes in the institutional context, such as pension reforms. The regional labour market implications of an ageing shock are then tested with regard to the effects on employment growth, unemployment and labour participation rate. Our results based on a sample of 71 Scandinavian regions point to negative regional labour market effects of an ageing shock implying a reduction in employment growth and a temporarily declining labour participation rate, while the unemployment rate increases. Importantly, spatial spillovers amplify these negative impacts through a marginalization of macro-regional labour markets. As a robustness check, we reverse the causal ordering and analyze the responses to a positive macroeconomic shock which initially increases employment growth. We find direct and spatially indirect adjustment patterns characterized by a reduction of the unemployment rate, an increase in the labour participation rate and a decrease in the share of elderly in the population. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 870-890 Issue: 8 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1346360 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1346360 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:8:p:870-890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iftekhar Robin Author-X-Name-First: Iftekhar Author-X-Name-Last: Robin Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Author-Name: Harry Bloch Author-X-Name-First: Harry Author-X-Name-Last: Bloch Title: Cost efficiency in Bangladesh banking: does financial reform matter? Abstract: This article estimates the cost efficiency of the commercial banks of Bangladesh in the context of financial reform. Employing the single-stage stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) model, the study uses a unique balanced panel data set comprising bank-level annual data from the dominant commercial banks in Bangladesh for the period 1983–2012. The results show that bank cost has fallen due to financial deregulation. Our results from the data envelopment analysis do not vary significantly that we obtained from the SFA. In addition, the presence of politically linked directors on the bank board has an adverse effect on efficiency. These findings suggest that further reforms aiming at removing all sorts of political influence should continue to ensure competitive environment in order to achieve cost efficiency in the financial sector of the country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 891-904 Issue: 8 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1346361 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1346361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:8:p:891-904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jianhua Yin Author-X-Name-First: Jianhua Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Sen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Sen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The effects of corporate environmental disclosure on environmental innovation from stakeholder perspectives Abstract: Based on legitimacy theory and resource dependence theory, using 111 listed companies among China’s typically high pollution-emitting listed corporations, research into the effects of environmental disclosure on environmental innovation is undertaken. From the perspective of stakeholders, we analyse the moderating effects of different proportions of institutional investor holdings and types of enterprises on the relationship between environmental disclosure and environmental innovation. The results indicate that corporate environmental disclosure has a positive role in promoting environmental innovation; the proportion of institutional investor holdings has a positive moderating effect between environmental disclosure and environmental innovation. However, there is no significant difference between state-owned enterprises and private enterprises in terms of the effect of the environmental disclosure on environmental innovation, which possibly arises because both types of enterprises make full use of their own advantages to instigate environmental innovation through environmental disclosure. The conclusions may help enterprise decision-makers implementing environmental innovation and government policy makers formulating scientific policies to promote the clean production in enterprises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 905-919 Issue: 8 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1346362 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1346362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:8:p:905-919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xingnan Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Xingnan Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Operational risk and its impact on North American and British banks Abstract: This study examines the financial impact of operational risk and its loss announcements on the value of publicly traded banks in United States, UK and Canada. There are three main findings: (1) on average, the market reacts more negatively to a loss’s initial announcement than its settlement news; (2) operational loss events cause strong reputational damage to the announcing banks and (3) the market is particularly sensitive to the announcement of losses caused by internal fraud, of a large magnitude, resulted in the order of restitution, and that are the rulings of a regulatory investigation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 920-933 Issue: 8 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1346363 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1346363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:8:p:920-933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven B. Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven B. Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Shannon Hourican Author-X-Name-First: Shannon Author-X-Name-Last: Hourican Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Does college football impact the size of university applicant pools and the quality of entering students? Abstract: The role played by collegiate athletics in furthering the mission of institutions of higher education has been one of the more active research streams in the economics literature. Two areas of emphasis in this particular genre concern the relationship between athletics success and the size of a university’s applicant pool, and the relationship between athletics success and the quality of a university’s incoming class. This study extends both lines of research above by employing a unique panel data set consisting of 10 institutions that either added or eliminated college football between 1997 and 2015 in order to examine the impact of the presence of college football programme on both the size of university applicant pools and the quality of the students chosen for admission. Results from a panel data estimator presented here suggest that the size of their applicant pool shrinks the year following discontinuation of a college football programme. In the case of ACT scores, the results are similar, indicating that the ACT scores of incoming freshmen decrease after discontinuation of football. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1885-1890 Issue: 17 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1380289 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1380289 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:17:p:1885-1890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Balcilar Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Balcilar Author-Name: Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir Author-X-Name-First: Zeynel Abidin Author-X-Name-Last: Ozdemir Author-Name: Muhammad Shahbaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Shahbaz Author-Name: Serkan Gunes Author-X-Name-First: Serkan Author-X-Name-Last: Gunes Title: Does inflation cause gold market price changes? evidence on the G7 countries from the tests of nonparametric quantile causality in mean and variance Abstract: This article utilizes the newly proposed nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test to examine the predictability of mean and variance of changes in gold prices based on inflation for G7 countries. The causality-in-quantiles approach permits us to test for not only causality in mean but also causality in variance. We start our investigation by utilizing tests for nonlinearity. These tests identify nonlinearity, showing that the linear Granger causality tests are subject to misspecification error. Unlike tests of misspecified linear models, our nonparametric causality-in-quantiles tests find causality in mean and variance from inflation to gold market price changes between the 0.20 quantile and the 0.70 quantile, implying that very low- and high-price changes in gold markets are not related to inflation. These changes should be related to other sources, such as financial shocks and exchange market shocks. We find support that gold serves as a hedge against inflation, but only in the mid-quantile ranges, i.e. quantiles from 0.20 to 0.70. Our results show that gold does not serve as a hedge against inflation during periods when gold market price changes are very low or very high, which are respectively quiet and highly volatile periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1891-1909 Issue: 17 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1380290 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1380290 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:17:p:1891-1909 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vahagn Galstyan Author-X-Name-First: Vahagn Author-X-Name-Last: Galstyan Title: LIML estimation of import demand and export supply elasticities Abstract: I apply limited-information maximum likelihood (LIML) to estimate import demand and export supply elasticities for a range of eurozone countries. The results highlight inconsistencies in the parameters estimated by LIML relative to an estimator that is robust to heteroskedasticity. The nature of the structural equations reveals complications generated by the limiting behavior of the parameters that can be replicated in finite samples. The results of simulations underscore improvements in parameter estimates in a three-dimensional panel, suggesting that the problem of limiting behaviour can be overcome in larger dataset/panels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1910-1918 Issue: 17 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1380291 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1380291 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:17:p:1910-1918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew G Interis Author-X-Name-First: Matthew G Author-X-Name-Last: Interis Author-Name: Jon Rezek Author-X-Name-First: Jon Author-X-Name-Last: Rezek Author-Name: Kristen Bloom Author-X-Name-First: Kristen Author-X-Name-Last: Bloom Author-Name: Annika Campbell Author-X-Name-First: Annika Author-X-Name-Last: Campbell Title: Assessing the value of short-term study abroad programmes to students Abstract: For many universities, students participating in short-term faculty-led programmes make up a large portion of the total study abroad population. In this article, we report the results of a unique choice experiment in which 1255 students were asked about their personal characteristics and their preferences for study abroad programme attributes. Using a random parameters logistic regression model, we find that students attitudes towards risk, their experience with international travel and their beliefs about whether study abroad would help them professionally were major determinants of whether a student expressed interest in studying abroad. We also estimate students’ willingness to pay for various programme attributes, including destination, programme duration, course type and the number of experiential learning activities. We find that the highest value programmes give students credit towards their major rather than towards the university core or as an elective and that they are 3–4 weeks in length rather than 2 or 6 weeks. Also, while students value more experiential learning activities per week, each additional trip adds less value with no additional value beyond four activities. Results are useful for practitioners interested in maximizing student participation while effectively managing study abroad budgets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1919-1933 Issue: 17 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1380292 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1380292 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:17:p:1919-1933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiangnan Meng Author-X-Name-First: Xiangnan Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Author-Name: Tony Cavoli Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Cavoli Author-Name: Xin Deng Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Title: Determinants of income diversification: evidence from Chinese banks Abstract: This article presents an analysis of the determinants of Chinese commercial banks’ income diversification decisions. Using a panel dataset comprising 88 Chinese domestic banks from 2003 to 2010, we find that bank diversification reflects a variety of managerial abilities: insolvency risks, cost, capital position, asset scale and ownership structure. A larger ratio of banking assets to gross domestic product and lower interest spread lead to a higher level of diversification. Moreover, national banks and regional banks have different strategic responses to the macroeconomic, and indeed, regulatory environment. Resisting shocks from the banking sector and the macro economy, and supplementing liquidity shortages from intermediation business seem to be the driving forces of national banks to operate in non-banking sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1934-1951 Issue: 17 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1383594 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1383594 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:17:p:1934-1951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Shahbaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Shahbaz Author-Name: Mita Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Mita Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: Mantu Kumar Mahalik Author-X-Name-First: Mantu Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mahalik Title: Financial development, industrialization, the role of institutions and government: a comparative analysis between India and China Abstract: This research is the first comparative attempt incorporating the role of economic, demographic, sectoral contribution, government and trade in explaining financial development for India and China. Using time-series estimations, we establish that institutional quality and government size impede financial development, whereas urbanization, industrialization and service sector growth help in financial development for both countries. Trade openness also enhances Indian financial development but hinders Chinese financial development. We suggest that the policy advisers should not underestimate the role of urbanization, industrialization and service sector growth in implementing financial development. Finally, we find that the institutions and governments will play a key role for both economies in enhancing finance and growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1952-1977 Issue: 17 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1383595 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1383595 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:17:p:1952-1977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daye Li Author-X-Name-First: Daye Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhizhong Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhizhong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Rongrong Li Author-X-Name-First: Rongrong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Automate the identification of technical patterns: a K-nearest-neighbour model approach Abstract: To explore profitable patterns in historical stock prices, ordinarily a promising pattern is selected by rule of thumb, and then its performance is verified by comparing the conditional return of the pattern with the unconditional benchmark return. We adopt an alternative philosophy: without any pre-selected pattern, the proposed method explores the entire graphic space to automate the identification of technical patterns. Derived from the K-nearest-neighbour (KNN) forecast, our method calculates the graphic similarity of patterns by the distance of the price vectors, and then classifies patterns according to the graphic similarity, and finally identifies patterns which contain predictive powers of the future market movement. KNN provides an excellent tool for probing the entire graphic space formed by price patterns to obtain an overall perspective of the effectiveness of technical patterns. Not only the well-known patterns but also the unnoticed and potentially informative patterns can be probed. To evaluate the performance, our method is compared with classic KNN forecast and technical trading rules. Results indicate that the stock market is relatively efficient and technical analysis is still effective to explore excess returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1978-1991 Issue: 17 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1383596 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1383596 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:17:p:1978-1991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyunseok Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyunseok Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Ju Hyun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ju Hyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Voluntary zero-dividend paying firms: characteristics and performance Abstract: We investigate the characteristics of ‘voluntary zero dividend paying’ firms and their subsequent performance. We define NDR_HP (no dividends or repurchases, with high profitability) firms as those with profits above the industry median and yet pay out zero dividends (including share repurchases). Signalling, agency, residual dividend, and life cycle theories explain firm characteristics and dividend payouts, to which we add the novel variables CEO overconfidence and market competition. We discover that growth opportunity, capital expenditure, and CEO overconfidence are positively related to NDR_HP. In addition, we find that the NDR_HP group outperforms all other groups in terms of future performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5420-5446 Issue: 50 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1610713 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1610713 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:50:p:5420-5446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Apurba Shee Author-X-Name-First: Apurba Author-X-Name-Last: Shee Author-Name: Calum G. Turvey Author-X-Name-First: Calum G. Author-X-Name-Last: Turvey Author-Name: Liangzhi You Author-X-Name-First: Liangzhi Author-X-Name-Last: You Title: Design and rating of risk-contingent credit for balancing business and financial risks for Kenyan farmers Abstract: Weather-related agricultural risks and limited access to credit are serious impediments to agricultural productivity and growth in developing countries. This paper describes a novel insurance linked credit model piloted in Kenya, where insurance markets are effectively absent, and farmers do not borrow because of the risk of losing their collateral. One of the challenges in deigning bundled credit products, in the absence of traded securities, is the actuarial pricing and risk rating of the insurance and the loan product. We develop a rainfall linked risk-contingent credit that transfers drought risk related perils from borrower to lender via insurance mechanism that provide a balance between business and credit risks for smallholder farmers. We describe the methodology used to design and rating of a risk-contingent structured operating agricultural credit instrument using CHIRPS rainfall data from 1981–2016 in Kenya. We illustrate the use of Monte Carlo methods to risk modelling that can be integrated within the general insurance and credit rating framework. The innovative design and methodology presented in this paper are as important as the product delivery mechanism and will be of interest to specialists in development economics and agricultural finance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5447-5465 Issue: 50 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1613502 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1613502 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:50:p:5447-5465 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guojin Chen Author-X-Name-First: Guojin Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Jie Ding Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Author-Name: Xiangqin Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xiangqin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: A lottery-preference-based explanation of realized kurtosis puzzle in Chinese stock market Abstract: High kurtosis corresponds to fat tails on both sides and under risk-aversion assumption investors’ dislike of left-tail loss outweighs their preference for right-tail gain. Therefore, high kurtosis characteristic of stock should predict high expected returns. However, the high-frequency-data-based empirical results on Chinese stock market are just the opposite, which we refer to as the ‘realized kurtosis puzzle’. Using the double sorts and firm-level cross-sectional regression methods, we further demonstrate investors’ preference for lottery-like stocks or lottery preference is key to solve the puzzle. Our further empirical research verifies stocks with higher retail investors’ shareholding proportion and unavailable for short show stronger ‘realized kurtosis puzzle’. In addition, the puzzle is particularly significant in high lottery preference periods while less apparent in low lottery preference times. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5466-5481 Issue: 50 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1613510 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1613510 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:50:p:5466-5481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olushina Olawale Awe Author-X-Name-First: Olushina Olawale Author-X-Name-Last: Awe Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Time series analysis of economic growth rate series in Nigeria: structural breaks, non-linearities and reasons behind the recent recession Abstract: This article deals with the modelling of growth rate time series in Nigeria with a view of detecting its statistical properties, structural breaks and non-linearities. We employ both fractional integration and structural break time series techniques in modelling the annual growth rate series of the Nigerian GDP growth rate for about 55 years. The data span between 1960 and 2017. The results show that Nigerian growth rate is unstable with non-linearities and long-range dependence structures. We also investigate what might explain these features and conclude that erratic political institutions, associated with poor economic management and insecurity in Nigeria, among others, in the decades after independence are the root causes of non-linearities observed, which have also led to the subsequent recent economic recession in Nigeria. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5482-5489 Issue: 50 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1613513 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1613513 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:50:p:5482-5489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung Baek Author-X-Name-First: Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Title: How are gold returns related to stock or bond returns in the U.S. market? Evidence from the past 10-year gold market Abstract: Although the gold market over the past decade has been soaring relative to its prior history, there have been few studies on the relationship between the gold market and other major financial markets based on the past decade of data. To re-investigate how the gold market interacts with the stock market and the bond market, we re-visit economic and financial characteristics of gold using the past 10-year data in terms of co-integration, causality, predictive power, and extreme returns. We find that while gold returns are not co-integrated with stock returns and bond returns, gold returns have a unidirectional causality with both of them. Also, we discover that gold returns have some predictive power on subsequent short-term stock returns. Under extreme market scenarios, it turns out that gold returns tend to deteriorate more simultaneously with bond returns than stock returns. This means that gold can better serve as a safe haven for stock in a relative sense during temporary market downturns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5490-5497 Issue: 50 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1616062 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1616062 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:50:p:5490-5497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ben Van Vliet Author-X-Name-First: Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Van Vliet Author-Name: Apostolos Xanthopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Xanthopoulos Title: Iso-risk: an analysis of risk-taking in fixed income markets Abstract: We test the hypothesis that portfolio managers trade-off variance and kurtosis in asset returns. We find empirical evidence that supports the iso-risk hypothesis using fixed income mutual fund data. Managers appear to systematically ‘swing for the fences’ when the probability of outperformance is low. This resolves previous enigmas of preference reversals and adheres to both Prospect Theory and tournament effects. The methodology developed enables reconciliation of active return metrics and managers’ total return behaviour. As the data set includes the great recession, we provide an economic interpretation of the results in light of the trade-off hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5498-5514 Issue: 50 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1616063 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1616063 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:50:p:5498-5514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Díaz-Dapena Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Díaz-Dapena Author-Name: Esteban Fernández-Vázquez Author-X-Name-First: Esteban Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Vázquez Author-Name: Rafael Garduño-Rivera Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Garduño-Rivera Author-Name: Fernando Rubiera-Morollon Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Rubiera-Morollon Title: Economic integration and regional convergence: effects of NAFTA on local convergence in Mexico, 1980–2008 Abstract: Continental integration processes can alter traditional development axes. Paelinck and Polèse´s work in 1999 explains that in the case of Mexico there is a tension between the U.S. border and the rest of the country: Mexico´s integration in the NAFTA should have reduced the U.S. border attraction, extending the growth to territories located between this border and Mexico City. To test this hypothesis, we propose a spatial conditional β-convergence model that uses as regressors both the distances to the U.S. border and to Mexico City, together with other control variables. This model is applied to the period from 1980 to 2008 using GVA at the municipality level. Working with municipal-level data allows to observe convergence patterns across space and identify the effects of location. The time-span studied distinguishes between before and after NAFTA. Estimates based on Mundlak´s approach were obtained for time-invariant regressors. Results show that during the pre-NAFTA period there was a general process of convergence, but it is mainly explained by the faster growth of municipalities located near to the U.S. border. However, post-NAFTA, convergence in municipalities disappeared and the effect of distance to the U.S. border reversed its sign, as predicted in Paelinck and Polèse´s model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5515-5527 Issue: 50 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1616064 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1616064 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:50:p:5515-5527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dao Thi Hong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Dao Thi Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Sizhong Sun Author-X-Name-First: Sizhong Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: A. B. M. Rabiul Alam Beg Author-X-Name-First: A. B. M. Rabiul Alam Author-X-Name-Last: Beg Title: How does FDI affect domestic firms’ wages? theory and evidence from Vietnam Abstract: This paper explores the role of inward foreign direct investment (FDI) as a determinant of domestic firms’ wages, namely wage spillovers. We first construct a theoretical model to demonstrate that the presence of FDI firms affects domestic firms’ expected average wages via productivity spillovers and a cut-off capability. We then estimate FDI-induced wage spillovers by employing IV-GMM estimator with a five-year panel dataset of a growing service industry in Vietnam. Despite FDI firms on average pay 2.25 times that of domestic firms, they put a downward pressure on domestic firms’ wages. A one percent increase in FDI presence causes domestic firms to cut average wages by 2.03 percent. The estimations also find that firm-specific features are attributable to significant differences in their wages as well as FDI-linked wage spillovers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5311-5327 Issue: 49 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1610717 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1610717 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:49:p:5311-5327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. K. G. Wong Author-X-Name-First: K. K. G. Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Author-Name: Lin Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Vinh Q. T. Dang Author-X-Name-First: Vinh Q. T. Author-X-Name-Last: Dang Title: Effects of income distribution in an inverse demand system: evidence from Chinese household survey data Abstract: This study provides an empirical analysis of the impact of changes in income distribution on food demand in China using data from China Health and Nutrition Survey. A new parametric form of an inverse demand system is introduced and estimated taking into account reported zero consumption. This new form is a natural extension of recent works that accommodate the incorporation of income distribution into the system and imposition of global regularity conditions in estimation. Our results generally indicate that the distribution of households across income groups is important in determining food demand in China and that a movement towards a more equal income distribution in China will stimulate the demand for vegetable, fruit, fish and eggs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5328-5344 Issue: 49 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1610720 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1610720 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:49:p:5328-5344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andreas Behr Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Behr Author-Name: Christoph Schiwy Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Schiwy Author-Name: Jurij Weinblat Author-X-Name-First: Jurij Author-X-Name-Last: Weinblat Title: Investment, default propensity score and cash flow sensitivity in six EU member states: evidence based on firm-level panel data Abstract: Using a panel data set covering six European countries and $$119700$$119700 firms ($$582153$$582153 observations) over the period $$2008$$2008–$$2013$$2013, we analyse the cash flow sensitivity of investment spending. As most of the firms are not listed at stock exchanges, a balance sheet-based approximation on Tobin’s Q is used to indicate investment opportunities. We analyse internal and external liquidity constraints and their effect on investment decisions. In the literature, external constraints are most often indicated by simple accounting-based items/ratios. As the adequacy of the a priori indicator, reflecting the external constraints, is crucial, we contribute in proposing a more sophisticated approach. We estimate propensities to default using adapted random forests. In our descriptive analysis, we find strong evidence for the u-shape of the investment curve. However, after controlling for investment opportunities we find no increased cash flow sensitivity of investment, neither for a priori externally nor for internally constrained firms. Hence, our results hint for the absence of liquidity constraints. We attribute these towards the rather expansionary monetary policy since the financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5345-5368 Issue: 49 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1613499 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1613499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:49:p:5345-5368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dorothée Charlier Author-X-Name-First: Dorothée Author-X-Name-Last: Charlier Author-Name: Berangère Legendre Author-X-Name-First: Berangère Author-X-Name-Last: Legendre Author-Name: Anna Risch Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Risch Title: Fuel poverty in residential housing: providing financial support versus combatting substandard housing Abstract: Between 50 and 125 million Europeans are unable to afford the energy needed for adequate heating, cooking, light and use of appliances in the home. Tackling fuel poverty has thus become a public policy challenge. In this article, we assess the effectiveness of social energy subsidies and social housing to reduce fuel poverty. The literature reports that rising fuel prices, low incomes and energy-inefficient housing are the main causes of fuel poverty. Existing public policies focus mainly on price- and income-based measures to reduce fuel poverty, such as social energy subsidies. This type of policy is palliative as it does not permit to sustainably eradicate fuel poverty. Other policies aim to encourage renovation in order to improve energy efficiency. Those policies are curative as they sustainably reduce one cause of fuel poverty: energy inefficiency. In this article, we focus on another public policy to tackle fuel poverty: social housing. We believe that this policy could be preventive, as the literature reports the better energy efficiency of social housing. We use matching methods and find that living in social housing decreases fuel poverty by 5.4% to 9.1%. On the contrary, social energy subsidies have no effect on fuel poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5369-5387 Issue: 49 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1613501 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1613501 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:49:p:5369-5387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam Zaremba Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Zaremba Author-Name: Alina Maydybura Author-X-Name-First: Alina Author-X-Name-Last: Maydybura Title: Idiosyncratic volatility and the cross-section of anomaly returns: is risk your Ally? Abstract: Due to arbitrage risk asymmetries, the relationship between idiosyncratic risk and expected returns is positive (negative) among overpriced (underpriced) stocks. We offer a new active anomaly-selection strategy that capitalizes on this effect. To this end, we consider 11 equity anomalies in the U.S. market for years 1963–2016. Buying (selling) long (short) legs of the anomaly portfolios with the highest idiosyncratic volatility produces monthly abnormal returns ranging from 0.97% to 1.14% per month, outperforming a naive benchmark that equally weights all the anomalies by 45–70%. The effect cannot be subsumed by any other established anomaly-return predictor, such as momentum or seasonality. The results are robust to many considerations, including different numbers of anomalies in the portfolios, subperiod analysis, as well as estimation of idiosyncratic risk from the alternative models and throughout different periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5388-5397 Issue: 49 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1613505 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1613505 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:49:p:5388-5397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Li Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Feng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Yaojie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yaojie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Zuoping Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Zuoping Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Title: Economic policy uncertainty and the Chinese stock market volatility: new evidence Abstract: This study investigates the impacts of the economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indexes of China and the G7 countries on Chinese stock market volatility and further constructs a new diffusion index based on these indexes using principal component analysis (PCA) to achieve enhanced predictive ability. The in-sample results indicate that the EPU indexes of China and some of the G7 countries show a significantly negative impact on future volatility. Moreover, our constructed diffusion index also has a significantly negative impact. Furthermore, the out-of-sample results show that this diffusion index exhibits a significantly higher forecast accuracy than the EPU itself and combination forecasts. Finally, various robustness checks are consistent with our main conclusions. Overall, we construct a new and useful indicator that can substantially increase forecast accuracy with respect to the Chinese stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5398-5410 Issue: 49 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1613507 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1613507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:49:p:5398-5410 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Xiaoming Liao Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoming Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Title: Corruption governance and its dynamic stability based on a three-party evolutionary game with the government, the public, and public officials Abstract: The current state of corruption in China is still worrisome. Corruption among public officials depends not only on their subjective will, but also on the success rate of government investigations and public whistleblowing. Based on the evolutionary game theory, this study constructs an evolutionary game model with the government, the people, and public officials and solves the dynamic model. The authors also provide a numerical simulation of the proposed model to confirm theoretical predictions. The results reveal that when the government’s success rate reaches a certain threshold, public officials will trend to a strategy of no bribery, and at this threshold, raising the cost of bribing public officials can quickly prevent them from corruption. At the equilibrium, the public will trend toward a strategy of no whistleblowing. The findings of this study are of great significance to the current anti-corruption debate in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5411-5419 Issue: 49 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1613508 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1613508 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:49:p:5411-5419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed S. Alanazi Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed S. Author-X-Name-Last: Alanazi Author-Name: Benjamin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Haitham A. Al-Zoubi Author-X-Name-First: Haitham A. Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Zoubi Title: IPO underpricing in supply and demand framework: evidence from a market of retailers Abstract: How do supply, demand and allocation of shares on the underpricing of initial public offerings (IPOs) affect the shape and steepness of supply and demand curves? Theoretical studies posit that subscribers ‘flip’ in IPOs immediately on the listing day to capture instantaneous profits. Consistent with this hypothesis, we find that both curves of the market listing day of IPOs are significantly negatively sloped with the supply curve being much steeper and above the demand curve. The excess demand that occurs during the subscription period becomes excess supply once the shares start to float on the listing day. Overall, we establish a strong empirical link between the underpricing puzzle and the aftermarket interaction of IPOs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5835-5849 Issue: 60 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1186794 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1186794 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:60:p:5835-5849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Witsanu Attavanich Author-X-Name-First: Witsanu Author-X-Name-Last: Attavanich Author-Name: Brian J. Schilling Author-X-Name-First: Brian J. Author-X-Name-Last: Schilling Author-Name: Kevin P. Sullivan Author-X-Name-First: Kevin P. Author-X-Name-Last: Sullivan Title: Measuring the effects of preservation on farm profits in a continuous treatment setting Abstract: Despite billions of dollars of public appropriations to state purchase of development rights (PDR) programmes, there has been limited evaluation of the effects of these investments on the economic performance of preserved farms. This article estimates dose-response functions to evaluate the effects of enrolment in New Jersey’s PDR programme on farm profitability. The generalized propensity score method in a continuous treatment setting is used to address selection bias arising from voluntary programme participation. Treatment effects are measured across treatment levels to determine whether farm profitability is affected differently across levels of programme participation. Our findings reveal that, relative to unpreserved farms, profit per acre tends to increase along lower treatment levels. The profit per acre of preserved farms in the 1–40% treatment range is, on average, $407 higher than that of unpreserved farms in the full sample. Positive profit differentials averaging between $317 and $472 per acre are also observed in the 1–20%, 1–40% and 1–60% treatment quintiles in the farming occupation sample. We do not observe statistically significant profitability differentials when treatment effects are averaged across all positive treatment values. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5850-5865 Issue: 60 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1186795 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1186795 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:60:p:5850-5865 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tomas Havranek Author-X-Name-First: Tomas Author-X-Name-Last: Havranek Author-Name: Zuzana Irsova Author-X-Name-First: Zuzana Author-X-Name-Last: Irsova Author-Name: Jiri Schwarz Author-X-Name-First: Jiri Author-X-Name-Last: Schwarz Title: Dynamic elasticities of tax revenue: evidence from the Czech Republic Abstract: Tax revenue elasticities with respect to tax bases are key parameters for the modeling of public finances. Yet the existing studies estimating these elasticities for emerging countries disregard the effects of tax reforms on tax revenue, which renders their estimates inconsistent. We introduce a framework for estimating both short- and long-run tax revenue elasticities using quarterly data adjusted for the effects of reforms. Our results suggest that the long-run elasticities in the Czech Republic are 1.4 for wage tax, 0.9 for value added tax, 1.7 for profit tax and 1 for social security contributions. The adjustment process for value added tax and social security contributions is fast, but for the remaining two categories, it is important to distinguish between the short- and long-run elasticities: the initial response of revenue to changes in the bases is weak. In the case of wage tax it takes half a year for the elasticity to surpass unity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5866-5881 Issue: 60 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1186796 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1186796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:60:p:5866-5881 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xinhua Gu Author-X-Name-First: Xinhua Author-X-Name-Last: Gu Author-Name: Yang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xiaolin Qian Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolin Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Author-Name: Haizhen Guo Author-X-Name-First: Haizhen Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: The suspension of borrowing: an implicit penalty for loan default under imperfect information Abstract: A credit seeker may be suspended from borrowing for a period of time due to a previous default. Such suspension is widely used in bank lending through credit check. Our work analyses the effects of suspension on the investment choice of borrowers under uncertainty and on the lending policy of banks facing asymmetric information. We show that suspension should be tightened at low loan rates, but loosened otherwise, to improve the repayment performance of borrowers. We also show that although credit rationing may not be completely removed due to imperfect information, the excess demand for credit or transitive waiting in the market can actually be attenuated by such efficient use of suspension. Our theoretical predictions are consistent with observed cyclical patterns of changes in lendingrates and suspension severity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5882-5896 Issue: 60 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1186797 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1186797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:60:p:5882-5896 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akash Issar Author-X-Name-First: Akash Author-X-Name-Last: Issar Author-Name: Poornima Varma Author-X-Name-First: Poornima Author-X-Name-Last: Varma Title: Are Indian rice exporters able to price discriminate? Empirical evidence for basmati and non-basmati rice Abstract: The role of exchange rate fluctuations on the pricing behaviour of Indian rice exporters in their major destination markets is examined using the pricing-to-market (PTM) model. The analysis was undertaken in a context where India has emerged as a leading exporter of rice in the world market. The study distinguishes between basmati and non-basmati rice in the analysis as the destination markets differ across these two varieties. One of the key contributions of this study is that it undertakes an analysis under 3 exchange rate models, they are: nominal, real and commodity-specific exchange rates. The results from our analysis indicated the presence of non-competitive pricing behaviour of India’s rice exporters in majority of destination markets due to both the market-specific characteristics as well as exchange rate-induced effects. The amplification of exchange rate effects was more prominent in commodity-specific exchange rate model whereas local currency stabilization was more prominent under nominal and real exchange rate models. Furthermore, the analysis showed that the commodity-specific exchange rate better predicts the PTM behaviour of rice exporters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5897-5908 Issue: 60 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1186798 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1186798 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:60:p:5897-5908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fida Karam Author-X-Name-First: Fida Author-X-Name-Last: Karam Author-Name: Chahir Zaki Author-X-Name-First: Chahir Author-X-Name-Last: Zaki Title: How did wars dampen trade in the MENA region? Abstract: The article investigates the impact of wars on trade in the Middle East and North African region. Using an augmented gravity model that controls for the endogeneity problem in our estimation, we introduce a war variable and distinguish between different types of conflicts. The results show that wars have a significantly negative impact on exports, imports and trade. Civil conflicts hinder exports, imports and trade significantly. The disaggregated version of the gravity model shows that non-state conflicts have a detrimental effect on bilateral trade flows in manufacturing, and that none of the conflicts do affect trade in services. We also find that, on average, a conflict is equivalent to a tariff of 5% of the value of trade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5909-5930 Issue: 60 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1186799 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1186799 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:60:p:5909-5930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Reed Olsen Author-X-Name-First: Reed Author-X-Name-Last: Olsen Author-Name: Hui-Kuan Tseng Author-X-Name-First: Hui-Kuan Author-X-Name-Last: Tseng Title: The U.S. health care expenditure: evidence from 2001 to 2009 Abstract: This study utilizes state-level data from 2001 to 2009 to estimate the impact of the 2007 financial crisis upon health care expenditures. Higher death rates are consistently found to have a positive and statistically significant impact on health expenditures. While mental health and COPD are not generally found to impact expenditures, increases in the percentage of the population diagnosed with cholesterol and obesity tend to increase health expenditures. Increases in health expenditures slowed considerably after the financial crisis. Even though recessions (high unemployment rates) are generally found to have a positive impact on health expenditures, the post-financial crisis time period is estimated to have much lower health expenditures than in other time periods. Our results can be used to give insight into the conditions under which the slower rate of increase in health expenditures can be expected to increase. More research will be needed to be able to more completely explore not only the reasons for these changes in health expenditures but also whether they are likely to continue into the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5931-5940 Issue: 60 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1189505 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1189505 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:60:p:5931-5940 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Erratum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: i-i Issue: 60 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1196037 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1196037 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:60:p:i-i Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Editorial Board Journal: Applied Economics Pages: ebi-ebi Issue: 60 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1245814 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1245814 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:60:p:ebi-ebi Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu He Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Lei Xu Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Ron P. McIver Author-X-Name-First: Ron P. Author-X-Name-Last: McIver Title: How does political connection affect firm financial distress and resolution in China? Abstract: We examine the impact of political connections on firm performance, financial distress, and its resolution in China, a country where government influence over stock markets has been demonstrated to be considerable. Our findings suggest that over 1999 to 2015, although political connections had limited impact on the emergence of financial distress, such connections assisted distressed firms in gaining increments to debt financing and contributed to a higher likelihood of recovery. This indicates that Chinese authorities follow market economy principles, and only intervene in firms’ operations after they fall into financial distress. In addition, central and local government political connections have different impacts on distress recovery. We conduct additional analyses on differences in distress outcomes for various ownership (State-owned enterprises, SOEs, and non–SOEs) and sample sub-periods (1999–2007 and 2008–2015). Our results are robust to potential endogeneity issues and to alternative measures of financial distress. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2770-2792 Issue: 26 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558358 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558358 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:26:p:2770-2792 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Damette Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Damette Author-Name: Antonio C. Marques Author-X-Name-First: Antonio C. Author-X-Name-Last: Marques Title: Renewable energy drivers: a panel cointegration approach Abstract: The expected gains from RES deployment to the reduction of carbon dioxide emissions (CO2) and the cut-off of external dependence of electricity sources could be important. However, it is crucial to understand the determinants of RES growth to help policymakers drawing effective energy polices, involving a commitment of both citizens and governments. In this paper, we use novel panel econometric tools (taking into account structural breaks and cross-section dependence) and find evidence of nonstationary issues and cointegration issues between renewable energy production and its drivers (CO2 emissions, GDP per capita, energy use and dependency). The results thus reveal that non-stationary issues should be attended, otherwise they could be biased. Using suitable estimators (DOLS, FMOLS) with two different data sets and different proxies and taking common factors into account by MG estimates, we find that there is no environmental concerns effect explaining the growth of renewables in European countries. However, national revenues, energy consumption (demand effect) and energy dependency have a positive impact on renewables deployment. Considering these results, economic assistance (subsidies) might be a mean to increase further the renewables deployment in EU countries and education about renewables deployment is needed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2793-2806 Issue: 26 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558359 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558359 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:26:p:2793-2806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yılmaz Toktaş Author-X-Name-First: Yılmaz Author-X-Name-Last: Toktaş Author-Name: Ali Altiner Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Altiner Author-Name: Eda Bozkurt Author-X-Name-First: Eda Author-X-Name-Last: Bozkurt Title: The relationship between Turkey’s foreign debt and economic growth: an asymmetric causality analysis Abstract: Tackling foreign debt that arises as a result of limited and ineffective use of resources is an item that remains on the agenda particularly for developing countries. In this study, we examine the foreign debt debates to date in terms of economic growth and using the time series for the period 2003Q1 to 2017Q1. We used unit root tests to determine the maximum integration degree of series, and we conducted causality analysis. We found a causality relationship between net foreign debt stock and economic growth in causality analyses performed for Turkey. The empirical results of this study indicate that there is a causality relationship, including both positive and negative aspects, between net foreign debt stock and economic growth. The results of our testing showed a significant causal relationship between the variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2807-2817 Issue: 26 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558360 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558360 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:26:p:2807-2817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brad R. Humphreys Author-X-Name-First: Brad R. Author-X-Name-Last: Humphreys Author-Name: Adam Nowak Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Nowak Author-Name: Yang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Superstition and real estate prices: transaction-level evidence from the US housing market Abstract: We investigate the impact of superstition on prices paid by Chinese-American home buyers. Chinese consider 8 lucky and 4 unlucky. Lacking explicit buyer ethnicity identifiers, we develop a binomial name classifier, a machine learning approach applicable to any data set containing names, that allows for falsification tests using other ethnic groups, and mitigates ambiguity from the transliteration of Chinese characters into the Latin alphabet. Chinese buyers pay 1–2% premiums for addresses including an 8 and 1% discounts for addresses including a 4. These results are unrelated to unobserved property quality; no premium exists when Chinese sell to non-Chinese. The persistence of superstitions reflects the extent of cultural assimilation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2818-2841 Issue: 26 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558361 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:26:p:2818-2841 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lila J. Truett Author-X-Name-First: Lila J. Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Author-Name: Dale B. Truett Author-X-Name-First: Dale B. Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Title: Challenges in the Portuguese textile and clothing industry: a fight for survival Abstract: The Portuguese textile and clothing industry thrived after 1960, when Portugal joined the European Free Trade Association, and it has been an important industry in Portugal in terms of value added, employment, and exports. Nevertheless, the industry has experienced significant challenges with the final integration of the apparel and textile industry into GATT on 1 January 2005, as well as the admission of relatively low-wage Bulgaria and Romania into the European Union in 2007. This paper describes recent trends in the industry between 1995 and 2016, including a substantial decrease in output after 2005 and recovery in recent years. In addition, a translog cost function is used to examine the existence of economies of scale, the relationships among inputs, and the effects of the 2005 GATT entry on the industry’s costs. The findings include strong evidence of economies of scale, consistent with the many small and mid-sized enterprises in the Portuguese textile and clothing industry. The results are also consistent with capital and labour being complementary inputs, while other input pairs are substitutes. The entry into GATT may have had a negative impact on cost, though the evidence for that effect is weak. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2842-2854 Issue: 26 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558362 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:26:p:2842-2854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoli L. Etienne Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoli L. Author-X-Name-Last: Etienne Author-Name: Giancarlo Ferrara Author-X-Name-First: Giancarlo Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrara Author-Name: Douglas Mugabe Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Mugabe Title: How efficient is maize production among smallholder farmers in Zimbabwe? A comparison of semiparametric and parametric frontier efficiency analyses Abstract: The controversial Fast Track Land Reform Programme in Zimbabwe that redistributes commercially-owned farmland to smallholder households has caused concerns about the efficiency of agricultural production in the country. In this paper, we estimate the efficiency of resource use among smallholder farmers in Zimbabwe when producing maize, the staple crop in the country. Using both a semiparametric model and a fully parametric stochastic frontier model, we find significant production shortfalls for smallholder maize production. While labor, capital, and land all significantly affect the total output, the estimated mean efficiency score for farms with less than 10 hectares of land (A1) appears to be under 0.75, and for the entire sample (A1 and A2) it ranges between 0.595 and 0.772. There clearly exists a great potential for maize farmers to improve the technical efficiency and increase the total output. Gender and age of the household head, access to extension services, and activities of other crops significantly affect the technical efficiency of smallholder maize production in Zimbabwe. We also find that all farms operate under increasing returns to scale and that the technical efficiency score tends to increase with the level of output. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2855-2871 Issue: 26 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558363 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:26:p:2855-2871 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Grobys Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Grobys Author-Name: Topi Huhta-Halkola Author-X-Name-First: Topi Author-X-Name-Last: Huhta-Halkola Title: Combining value and momentum: evidence from the Nordic equity market Abstract: This is the first article that explores the recently proposed average ranking approach for the value and momentum strategy in the Nordic equity market offering an exceptional experimental environment. Our results indicate that in the Nordic stock markets, the value anomaly offered excess returns in the 1993–2017 sample period only when small stocks were a part of the portfolio, whereas the momentum effect is strong and significant, irrespective of size. Interestingly, our findings also indicate that the negative correlation between value and momentum seems to be driven by growth stocks: Winner stocks that are value stocks generated 1.66% per month on average, whereas winner stocks that are growth stocks exhibit virtually the same average payoff. On the other hand, the spread between value and growth stocks that are loser stocks is on average 0.97% per month. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2872-2884 Issue: 26 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1558364 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1558364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:26:p:2872-2884 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pavitra Paul Author-X-Name-First: Pavitra Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Author-Name: Claudia Berlin Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Berlin Author-Name: Maud Maessen Author-X-Name-First: Maud Author-X-Name-Last: Maessen Author-Name: Hannu Valtonen Author-X-Name-First: Hannu Author-X-Name-Last: Valtonen Title: A comparison of regret-based and utility-based discrete choice modelling – an empirical illustration with hospital bed choice Abstract: There is some concern that the unobserved preference heterogeneity in random utility maximization theory-based discrete choice experiment modelling is an important source of error variability. The randomness in utility is often interpreted as interpersonal preference heterogeneity but it can also be intrapersonal random variation in preferences. We compare utility maximization and regret minimization-based choice models’ sensitivity to individual heterogeneity, examine differences between two consecrated models and validate with empirical illustrations. We use frequency of category (public, semi-private, and private) of bed chosen from Swiss cross-sectional datasets (2007–2012) to compare two approaches – utility maximization and regret minimization by applying multinomial logit (MNL) models in regard to the variances in utility (regret) function, goodness-of-fit and predicted marginal effects (pseudo-elasticity) of additional payment. We find parameters with the same sign and estimates with almost same order of magnitude in both the approaches. The statistical significance of attribute effects is consistent in all variants of utility -based MNL models while effects of different attributes are significant only in heteroskedastic extreme value (HEV) variant of regret-based MNL models. This empirical illustration suggests that HEV variant of regret-based models perform better in capturing attribute effects in choice behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4295-4305 Issue: 40 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1444260 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1444260 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:40:p:4295-4305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Catela Nunes Author-X-Name-First: Luis Catela Author-X-Name-Last: Nunes Author-Name: Ana Balcão Reis Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Balcão Reis Author-Name: Carmo Seabra Author-X-Name-First: Carmo Author-X-Name-Last: Seabra Title: Is retention beneficial to low-achieving students? Evidence from Portugal Abstract: The role of retention as an educational tool to overcome under-achievement is a hotly debated issue, especially given that the results in the literature are not consensual. The Portuguese case is particularly well suited to study this issue: all students must take standardized national exams at specific grades. Moreover, the available dataset tracks the performance of students over time. Therefore, we are able to measure the impact of students’ retention on their subsequent academic performance since we can control for each student’s initial level of ability at the moment of retention. We use a propensity score matching approach, in which retained and promoted 4th grade students are matched according to their socioeconomic characteristics and the scores obtained in national exams. To address potentially remaining endogeneity biases, we also use the culture of retention at school level as an instrumental variable. The results suggest that in some situations retentions may have on average a positive impact on future achievement. However, in the cases where statistically significant impacts are found, the estimated magnitudes are relatively small. Our results are relevant for countries with high retention rates that are considering alternative educational policies to promote students’ achievement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4306-4317 Issue: 40 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1444261 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1444261 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:40:p:4306-4317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongjae Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yongjae Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Do-Gyun Kwon Author-X-Name-First: Do-Gyun Author-X-Name-Last: Kwon Author-Name: Woo Chang Kim Author-X-Name-First: Woo Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Frank J. Fabozzi Author-X-Name-First: Frank J. Author-X-Name-Last: Fabozzi Title: An alternative approach for portfolio performance evaluation: enabling fund evaluation relative to peer group via Malkiel’s monkey Abstract: We propose an implementable portfolio performance evaluation procedure that compares a portfolio with respect to the portfolios constructed by an infinite number of Malkiel’s blindfolded monkeys, or equivalently the whole enumeration of all possible portfolios. We argue that this approach exhibits two main advantages. First, it does not require any benchmark portfolios because a portfolio is being compared to an infinite number of portfolios. Second, it is market condition invariant. Since the market conditions are already reflected in the portfolio performances of an infinite blindfolded monkeys, our measure of portfolio performances is invariant to volatile market conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4318-4327 Issue: 40 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1444263 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1444263 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:40:p:4318-4327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sefa Awaworyi Churchill Author-X-Name-First: Sefa Awaworyi Author-X-Name-Last: Churchill Author-Name: Vinod Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Vinod Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: The impact of ethnic diversity on microenterprise start-ups Abstract: Until recently, factors determining the decisions made by microfinance institutions (MFIs) to extend loans to business start-ups had not been explored. Recent evidence shows that MFI performance with regard to funds issued for small business start-ups depends on MFI-level characteristics such as profit orientation. We argue that these decisions do not only depend on MFI-specific practices or characteristics, but also on the role ethnic diversity plays. Using data on microfinance lending activities for business start-ups, we examine the impact of ethnic diversity on microenterprise start-ups. Results show that ethnic diversity negatively affects the provision of financial capital for business start-up. Furthermore, results also suggest a negative association between ethnic diversity and the share of female borrowers recorded by MFIs. We examine social networks and outreach as potential channels through which ethnic diversity affects business start-ups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4328-4342 Issue: 40 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1444264 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1444264 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:40:p:4328-4342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lila J. Truett Author-X-Name-First: Lila J. Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Author-Name: Dale B. Truett Author-X-Name-First: Dale B. Author-X-Name-Last: Truett Title: A requiem for the Australian motor vehicle industry Abstract: The last automobiles manufactured in Australia rolled off the assembly line in the fall of 2017. This article looks at some of the factors that have impacted the industry since 1968 and led to its demise, including a high value of the Australian dollar in recent years, strategic decisions on the part of parent companies and reductions in governmental support and tariff protection. We estimate a cost function for the industry with inputs of domestic capital and labour and insourced intermediate goods as well as imported intermediate goods. The findings include that the remaining firms are operating in an output range of strongly statistically significant economies of scale, and that all of the input pairs are substitutes except for statistically significant complementary relationships between capital and domestic intermediate goods and labour and foreign intermediate goods. Unexpected results are that an increase in output per assembly plant appears to have a positive effect on total cost, while an increase in the effective tariff and an increase in the number of models appears to have a negative effect. One explanation for these robust but unexpected findings may be that total profit contribution is a part of total cost, and, therefore, factors that increase total profit contribution will also increase total cost. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4343-4359 Issue: 40 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1444265 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1444265 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:40:p:4343-4359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ørjan Mydland Author-X-Name-First: Ørjan Author-X-Name-Last: Mydland Author-Name: Erik Haugom Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Haugom Author-Name: Gudbrand Lien Author-X-Name-First: Gudbrand Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Title: Economies of scale in Norwegian electricity distribution: a quantile regression approach Abstract: In this article, we investigate scale economies in Norwegian electricity distribution companies using a quantile regression approach. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first attempt to apply this estimation technique when analysing scale economies. We estimate the cost elasticities of the two output components: network length and number of customers, to calculate returns to scale. Our results show large potential of scale economies, particularly for the smallest companies. We also find that returns to scale is increasing over time. These findings have important implications for policymakers when they are deciding the structure of the industry in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4360-4372 Issue: 40 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1450481 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1450481 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:40:p:4360-4372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lorna Katusiime Author-X-Name-First: Lorna Author-X-Name-Last: Katusiime Author-Name: Frank W. Agbola Author-X-Name-First: Frank W. Author-X-Name-Last: Agbola Title: Modelling the impact of central bank intervention on exchange rate volatility under inflation targeting Abstract: This article empirically investigates the effect of central bank’s foreign exchange interventions on the level and volatility of the Uganda shilling/US dollar exchange rate (UGX/USD) under an inflation-targeting regime. Utilizing daily data spanning the period 1 September 2005, to 31 December 2015, we estimate a foreign exchange intervention model within a GARCH theoretic framework. Empirical results indicate that foreign exchange interventions have had mixed impact on the volatility of the exchange rate. We find that inflation targeting is capable of curbing temporary exchange rate shocks. Empirical results indicate that while order flow is capable of reducing exchange rate volatility, an increase in the operating target rate, the 7-day interbank rate tends to exacerbate exchange rate volatility. Our empirical results are robust to alternative model specifications. We argue that inflation targeting is an effective monetary policy tool for curbing exchange rate volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4373-4386 Issue: 40 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1450482 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1450482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:40:p:4373-4386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phuc Van Phan Author-X-Name-First: Phuc Van Author-X-Name-Last: Phan Author-Name: Martin O’brien Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: O’brien Author-Name: Silvia Mendolia Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Mendolia Author-Name: Alfredo Paloyo Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo Author-X-Name-Last: Paloyo Title: National pro-poor spending programmes and their effect on income inequality and poverty: Evidence from Vietnam Abstract: This article examines the causal effects of the national (pro-poor) targeted programmes (NTPs) on both poverty incidence and inequality in Vietnam over the period 2002–2010. While the links between NTPs and poverty alleviation and income inequality have previously been analysed independently, this study is the first to offer a comprehensive analysis of NTPs expenditure on poverty and inequality simultaneously. Applying the system generalized method of moments estimator to a panel of Vietnamese regional data, we are unable to establish that NTPs have significantly mitigated poverty incidence. However, we estimate that NTPs have significantly increased inequality. We offer possible explanations why the NTPs have resulted in these unintended outcomes and discuss potential policies which can reduce both poverty and inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5579-5590 Issue: 55 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1313957 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1313957 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:55:p:5579-5590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kai-yin Woo Author-X-Name-First: Kai-yin Author-X-Name-Last: Woo Author-Name: Shu-kam Lee Author-X-Name-First: Shu-kam Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Paul Shum Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Shum Title: Analysis of threshold cointegration with asymmetric adjustments in the Hong Kong grocery industry Abstract: High market concentration in the Hong Kong grocery industry has been prevalent over many years with the domination of a few large supermarket chains. However, no research has been conducted on the price dynamics between the supermarket and non-supermarket sectors to investigate whether the non-supermarket sector can impose competitive discipline on the dominating supermarket chains. We argue that standard cointegration tests cannot allow for transaction costs and distinguish whether the price co-movement is attributable to price competition or collusion. Our study therefore fills this research gap by adopting the threshold cointegration tests in a three-regime threshold vector error-correction model to account for the asymmetric price adjustment dynamics between supermarket and non-supermarket sectors of Hong Kong and evaluate the market power of the supermarket sectors in the presence of transaction costs. Our results favour the presence of cointegration between the supermarket and non-supermarket price indices with asymmetric adjustment dynamics. We interpret the results of statistically significant downward price adjustments in the outer-band regimes as the evidence of mutual price competition. Nevertheless, the supermarket sector has stronger market power than the non-supermarket sector, and therefore can sustain higher price level without inducing substantial competition pressures inside the neutral band. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5591-5600 Issue: 55 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1313959 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1313959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:55:p:5591-5600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jian Xu Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Jae Woo Sim Author-X-Name-First: Jae Woo Author-X-Name-Last: Sim Title: Are costs really sticky and biased? Evidence from manufacturing listed companies in China Abstract: Recent studies on cost behaviour have proved that cost increase caused by business expansion is larger than cost decrease caused by business downsizing. This cost stickiness behaviour contradicts the traditional theoretic assumption that cost level and business size change in a linear way. This article investigates the existence or non-existence of cost stickiness using a sample of China’s manufacturing listed companies during the period 2010–2014. First, our findings show that cost stickiness is a pervasive phenomenon and overestimated in the manufacturing industry. Second, we find that cost stickiness varies greatly across industries and in different regions. Finally, we find that cost stickiness is affected by the economic growth. Specifically, cost stickiness increases with the macroeconomic growth. Our results from China’s manufacturing listed companies provide evidence on asymmetric cost behaviour and contain important implications for both cost accounting research and financial accounting research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5601-5613 Issue: 55 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1316823 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1316823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:55:p:5601-5613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurt A. Hafner Author-X-Name-First: Kurt A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hafner Author-Name: Bernardí Cabrer Borrás Author-X-Name-First: Bernardí Author-X-Name-Last: Cabrer Borrás Title: Technology spillover effects within Spanish communities Abstract: The article uses panel data for the period 1990–2010 to estimate technology spillover effects on 17 Spanish communities. Accounting for nonstationarity and cointegration, we use the dynamic OLS estimator to estimate the impact of domestic and non-domestic R&D capital stock on labour productivity of Spanish communities, taking into account trade-, migration- and foreign direct investment (FDI)-related technology diffusion channels. We find significant trade-related spillover effects within Spanish communities and from EU countries. On average, an increase in the non-domestic R&D stock of 1% increases their labour productivity between 0.02% and 0.12% if related to bilateral trade pattern. Moreover, migration within Spanish communities has a negative impact ranging between −0.07% and −0.16% on labour productivity as the impact of inward migration is dominated by outward migration. There is no robust impact from FDI inflows of OECD countries in general or EU countries in particular. Finally, the domestic R&D stock, physical capital and human capital are shown to be significant drivers for labour productivity in Spain no matter if non-domestic (local or foreign) spillover effects are trade-, migration- or FDI-related. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5614-5626 Issue: 55 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1316824 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1316824 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:55:p:5614-5626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taoufik Bouraoui Author-X-Name-First: Taoufik Author-X-Name-Last: Bouraoui Author-Name: Helmi Hammami Author-X-Name-First: Helmi Author-X-Name-Last: Hammami Title: Does political instability affect exchange rates in Arab Spring countries? Abstract: This article investigates the dynamic relationship between political instability and exchange rates in five Arab Spring countries over the period 1992Q1–2016Q4. We include macroeconomic fundamentals to identify the transmission channels through which political instability may affect exchange rates. Based on VAR and ARDL models, our results report that political instability is associated with a significant drop in the value of domestic currencies of these countries. Economic growth is found to be the key mechanism channel. We find also that the dependence between variables is more emphasized in the short run than in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5627-5637 Issue: 55 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1319561 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1319561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:55:p:5627-5637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyuk Chung Author-X-Name-First: Hyuk Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: R&D investment, cash holdings and the financial crisis: evidence from Korean corporate data Abstract: This article examines the real effects of the financial crisis in 2008 on corporate R&D investment by analyzing firm-level panel data from 2005 to 2011 obtained from KIS-VALUE, a Korean corporate finance database. I estimate a dynamic panel model of R&D investment that includes an after-crisis dummy to reflect the effects of the external finance supply shock after the financial crisis, an interaction term of the dummy and cash holdings to measure the marginal effect of cash holdings after the crisis, investment opportunities (sales and the q ratio) and financial positions as the debt-equity ratio. The estimation implies a negative yet relatively small impact of the credit supply shock from the financial crisis on R&D investment and the mitigation of the negative impacts by cash holdings after the onset of the financial crisis, whereas the data show decreasing R&D investment and sales for the whole period. Based on the data and the estimation, I find that firms were able to lessen the pressure from diminishing market demand before the crisis using external finance, but they had to use internal financial sources after the crisis smooth R&D investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5638-5650 Issue: 55 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1319564 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1319564 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:55:p:5638-5650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mark Andor Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Andor Author-Name: Christopher Parmeter Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Parmeter Title: Pseudolikelihood estimation of the stochastic frontier model Abstract: Stochastic frontier analysis is a popular tool to assess firm performance. Almost universally it has been applied using maximum likelihood (ML) estimation. An alternative approach, pseudolikelihood (PL) estimation, which decouples estimation of the error component structure and the production frontier, has been adopted in both the non-parametric and panel data settings. To date, no formal comparison has yet to be conducted comparing these methods in a standard, parametric cross-sectional framework. We produce a comparison of these two competing methods using Monte Carlo simulations. Our results indicate that PL estimation enjoys almost identical performance to ML estimation across a range of scenarios and performance metrics, and for certain metrics, outperforms ML estimation when the distribution of inefficiency is incorrectly specified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5651-5661 Issue: 55 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1324611 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1324611 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:55:p:5651-5661 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xu Wei Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: How does the diversity of investors’ beliefs affect stock price informativeness? Abstract: A growing number of studies have investigated the role of stock prices in aggregating private information and guiding resource reallocation. However, this article may be the first attempt to study how the diversity of beliefs affects stock price informativeness. The framework of the noisy rational expectations model shows that stock informativeness is determined by both the precision and use of private information in trading. If private beliefs about the value are highly diverse, the aggregate average opinion revealed in a stock’s price will be more accurate and, thus, more informative. As the price becomes more informative, however, individual investors will rely less on their private information. When this occurs, less private information will be absorbed in price, which, in turn, reduces price informativeness. Our model shows that the relationship between belief diversity and price informativeness is U-shaped in equilibrium. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 515-520 Issue: 6 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1200187 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1200187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:6:p:515-520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petra Maresova Author-X-Name-First: Petra Author-X-Name-Last: Maresova Author-Name: Vladimir Sobeslav Author-X-Name-First: Vladimir Author-X-Name-Last: Sobeslav Author-Name: Ondrej Krejcar Author-X-Name-First: Ondrej Author-X-Name-Last: Krejcar Title: Cost–benefit analysis – evaluation model of cloud computing deployment for use in companies Abstract: The use of cloud computing services appears to offer significant cost advantages. The most frequently mentioned advantages include investment and operating costs saving, high elasticity of services as well as increased flexibility of certain business processes. On the other hand, the adoption of cloud computing in enterprise environments is non-trivial. Understanding the organizational benefits and drawbacks is far from straightforward. The adoption of cloud computing results in a considerable amount of organizational change that will affect employees. The aim of this contribution is to conduct and describe the evaluation model of cloud computing that would be applicable in business practice for evaluating the effectiveness of such investments. The target users of this model are primarily people in companies with decision-making power in the investment field. The appropriate starting point based on the multi-criteria evaluation was the cost–benefit analysis (CBA) approach for cloud computing (CC). A multi-method approach (systematic literature review, analysis of real cloud computing services, expert interview, case study) was applied in order to develop and evaluate the formal model. We found that our model fits the practical requirements and supports decision-making in cloud computing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 521-533 Issue: 6 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1200188 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1200188 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:6:p:521-533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hasan A. Faruq Author-X-Name-First: Hasan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Faruq Title: Corruption, product complexity and African exporters Abstract: Several studies have shown that African manufacturers perform poorly, especially in comparison to their counterparts from other developing countries. We build on these studies by (a) examining the decision to stop exporting among African manufacturers and (b) investigating whether these decisions can be linked to institutional dimensions (such as corruption). Consistent with previous studies, we observe that a significant fraction of African firms stop exporting every year. Using product complexity as a measure of an industry’s ‘sensitivity’ to corruption, we find that firms in more ‘corruption-sensitive’ industries are more likely to stop exporting if there is an increase in overall corruption in the exporting country. Firm characteristics (such as size and productivity) also seem to influence the decision to stop exporting. Our finding about the relationship between corruption and the decision to stop exporting supports the conventional wisdom that corruption is detrimental to economic performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 534-546 Issue: 6 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1203058 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1203058 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:6:p:534-546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Law Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Law Title: A cross-cultural study of and auditor independence in two economies: evidence from China and the United States Abstract: This study examines the impact of guanxi on auditor independence in China and the U.S. Using panel data from 2012–2015 surveys, fixed-effects regression models are used to analyse survey data with observations drawn from a total of 1076 Big 4 and 1044 non-Big 4 auditor-years for Chinese auditors, and 1168 Big 4 and 1140 non-Big 4 auditor-years for the U.S. auditors. The results indicate that ‘guanxi with clients’ has a negative influence on perceptions of auditor independence for Chinese auditors, but not for the U.S. auditors. According to our findings, both groups agree that imposing regulations/code has a positive influence on perceptions of auditor independence. Gender has no influence on the perceived independence of either group. After controlling for social desirability bias, our results remain robust. Sensitivity analysis further increases the robustness of the findings. Our results provide empirical support for public interest theory and pose implications for Western multinational companies contemplating doing business in the Chinese economy. This investigation is particularly relevant in the wake of the rise of China as a global power. Regulators should consider the implications of this study when setting auditing guidelines and codes of ethics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 547-572 Issue: 6 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1203059 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1203059 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:6:p:547-572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Melser Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Melser Author-Name: Iqbal A. Syed Author-X-Name-First: Iqbal A. Author-X-Name-Last: Syed Title: The product life cycle and sample representativity bias in price indexes Abstract: Official price indexes are usually calculated using matched samples of products. If products exhibit systematic price trends at different points in their life cycle then matched sample methods may introduce bias if the life cycle movement in the sample does not adequately reflect that in the population. This article explores the extent of these life cycle pricing effects and then examines the bias it can introduce in measured inflation. A large US supermarket scanner data set for six cities and six products over 12 years is used. Using hedonic methods we find that the life cycle component of price change is important across a range of products and cities. To explore the bias introduced by these movements, we use simulations that construct indexes with different sample update frequency. For indexes that are never completely resampled, we find an annual absolute bias of 0.88 and 0.59 percentage points depending upon whether we use the actual prices or prices imputed from our hedonic model. This compares with absolute biases of 0.34 and 0.10 percentage points for the corresponding cases for samples, which are re-selected annually. Thus our results provide strong support for more frequently updating index samples. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 573-586 Issue: 6 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1203060 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1203060 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:6:p:573-586 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Giuliano Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Giuliano Author-Name: B. Mahy Author-X-Name-First: B. Author-X-Name-Last: Mahy Author-Name: F. Rycx Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Rycx Author-Name: G. Vermeylen Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Vermeylen Title: Does corporate social responsibility make over-educated workers more productive? Abstract: This article provides first evidence on whether corporate social responsibility (CSR) influences the productivity effects of over-education. By relying on detailed Belgian-linked employer–employee panel data covering the period 1999–2010, our empirical results exhibit a positive and significant impact of over-education on firm productivity. Moreover, they suggest that the effect of over-education is positively enhanced when the firm implements a CSR process, especially when it aims to have: (i) a good match between job requirements and workers’ educational level, (ii) a diverse workforce in terms of gender and age, and (iii) a long-term relationship with its workers. When focussing on required education and over-education, the results suggest that CSR, besides representing an innovative and proactive approach for the firms’ stakeholders, may also be beneficial for the firm itself through a bigger increase in productivity for each additional year of required education or over-education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 587-605 Issue: 6 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1203061 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1203061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:6:p:587-605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhaohua Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhaohua Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Junwei Sun Author-X-Name-First: Junwei Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Analysis of interregional industry linkage and economic distance in China: evidence from the mining industry Abstract: The mining industry is an important sector of the national economy, which provides essential support for energy and other resources for economic development. Industrial linkage and economic distance are two different concepts in measuring the correlationship of different industries, in this article, we apply the model that combines both of them to analyse the industries significantly influence the mining industry. We find that electricity and heating industry, and the mining industry itself from forward linkages have greatly influenced the mining industry, and the industries from backward linkages affect mining industry are changing with industrial economic transformation. We also find resources can flow across several regions only after 2007, which means the role of geographical factors limiting long-range transportation of resources is weakening after 2007. And we explain how resources flow among various regions during 1997 ~ 2007. Based on the findings above, policy implications from the empirical results obtained are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 606-617 Issue: 6 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1203062 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1203062 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:6:p:606-617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qi-an Chen Author-X-Name-First: Qi-an Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Fangzhou Du Author-X-Name-First: Fangzhou Author-X-Name-Last: Du Title: Financial innovation, systematic risk and commercial banks’ stability in China: theory and evidence Abstract: We are dedicated to revealing the impacts of financial innovation and systematic risk on commercial banks’ stability in China, both theoretically and empirically. We established a theoretical model and derived a theoretical mechanism from this model revealing two distinctive patterns of the impacts determined by the profitability of financial derivatives: the impacts of financial innovation and systematic risk on banks’ stability in China are linear under the circumstances of a positive expected risk premium of financial derivatives; conversely, the impacts can be linear, U-shaped or cubic when the expected risk premium is negative. We make three propositions to analyse the patterns and conditions of these impacts in detail. In the empirical analysis, we do not focus only on the banking industry but also on individual commercial banks. The empirical results demonstrate that the impact of financial innovation on both the banking industry’s and most individual commercial banks’ stability are U-shaped, and the impact of systematic risk on the banking industry’s and on only one commercial bank’s stability are significantly linear, which confirms certain conditions mentioned in the theoretical propositions. Finally, the study’s conclusions are presented, and the contributions of the article to future study are also mentioned. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3887-3898 Issue: 41 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1148255 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1148255 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:41:p:3887-3898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qigang Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Qigang Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Yanping Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Yanping Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Hui Shang Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Shang Author-Name: Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Title: Financing constraints on the size distribution of industrial firms: the Chinese experience Abstract: We investigate whether financing constraints affect the size distribution of Chinese industrial firms from 1998 to 2007. Although the firm size distribution does not follow Zipf distribution in China, it is approaching Zipf distribution over time. In general, financing constraints have a robustly negative effect on the size distribution of firms. Furthermore, firms in Western China grow significantly more equally after controlling for financing constraints. However, the effect of financing constraints in Central China is significantly negative, and the effect of financing constraints on firm size distribution in Eastern China is insignificant. We thus expect a non-linear relationship between financing constraints and firm size distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3899-3911 Issue: 41 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1148256 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1148256 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:41:p:3899-3911 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristian Barra Author-X-Name-First: Cristian Author-X-Name-Last: Barra Author-Name: Giovanna Bimonte Author-X-Name-First: Giovanna Author-X-Name-Last: Bimonte Author-Name: Roberto Zotti Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Zotti Title: On the relationship among efficiency, capitalization and risk: does management matter in local banking market? Abstract: By employing a Granger causality methodology in a panel data framework, this article explores the relationship among efficiency, capitalization and credit risk within the local Italian banking system. Focusing the attention on cooperative banks, we specifically test whether managers take more risks in highly concentrated markets (i.e. monopoly) than in partially competitive markets (i.e. duopoly). The evidence shows that in more concentrated markets, management efficiency generates a decrease in risk-taking (rejecting the bad management hypothesis) with respect to the partially competitive markets. Results are consistent with the idea that banks with less local competition are able to increase their profits by indulging more freely in rent-seeking behaviour, minimizing their risk-taking and, consequently, improving the quality of their assets through additional screening processes. The financial crisis does not seem to affect the conduct of management in terms of bank investment decisions and risk-taking. A series of robustness tests generally confirms our findings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3912-3934 Issue: 41 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1148257 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1148257 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:41:p:3912-3934 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dou Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Dou Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Inflation and inflation uncertainty in China Abstract: The study examines the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in China using Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity model. Particularly, this link is investigated in China’s urban and rural sectors, motivated by the substantial urban–rural divide. The results provide strong statistical supportive evidence that higher inflation raises inflation uncertainty. On the other hand, evidence on the effect of inflation uncertainty on inflation is mixed depending on the sample periods and areas examined. The understanding of inflation-uncertainty nexus in China could provide implications to policymakers in the adoption of monetary policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3935-3943 Issue: 41 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1148258 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1148258 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:41:p:3935-3943 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dengjun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Dengjun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yuqing Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yuqing Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: The role of price risk in China’s agricultural and fisheries exports to the US Abstract: This article explores the effect of price risk on the US importers’ optimal allocation of agriculture imports between the major supplier, China, and other competing countries. We first modify a demand system to account for the impacts of own-price risk and cross-price risk, and then apply the model to 16 agricultural and fisheries commodities exported to the US. The estimation results show that importers are sensitive to price risks of 14 Chinese commodities. Comparisons between price risk–trade relations of agricultural and fisheries products and between trade effects of cross-price risk on Chinese goods and substitutes provide strong evidence for explaining the observed trade patterns. Our study highlights the importance of price stability in promoting international trade, especially from developing countries to developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3944-3960 Issue: 41 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1148259 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1148259 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:41:p:3944-3960 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrés Navarro-Galera Author-X-Name-First: Andrés Author-X-Name-Last: Navarro-Galera Author-Name: Manuel Pedro Rodríguez-Bolívar Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Rodríguez-Bolívar Author-Name: Laura Alcaide-Muñoz Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Alcaide-Muñoz Author-Name: María Deseada López-Subires Author-X-Name-First: María Deseada Author-X-Name-Last: López-Subires Title: Measuring the financial sustainability and its influential factors in local governments Abstract: The economic crisis has led international organizations and previous research to point out the need for measuring and controlling financial sustainability in governments. Based on the main international pronouncements, this article seeks to contribute to the measurement and management of the financial sustainability, analysing the income statement evolution and identifying its influential factors. An empirical study of Spanish municipalities is then undertaken to test the relationship between the measure of the financial sustainability and three dimensions proposed by International Federation of Accountants (IFAC) (revenues, debt and services). Our findings indicate that the income statement is a good approach for the financial sustainability assessment, because it reveals relevant information about its three dimensions, allowing to identify the specific factors which could provoke sustainability problems on public services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3961-3975 Issue: 41 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1148260 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1148260 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:41:p:3961-3975 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicoletta Berardi Author-X-Name-First: Nicoletta Author-X-Name-Last: Berardi Author-Name: Patrick Sevestre Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Sevestre Author-Name: Marine Tépaut Author-X-Name-First: Marine Author-X-Name-Last: Tépaut Author-Name: Alexandre Vigneron Author-X-Name-First: Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Vigneron Title: The impact of a ‘soda tax’ on prices: evidence from French micro data Abstract: Based on an original data set of more than 500,000 non-alcoholic beverage price records, we evaluate the impact on consumer prices of the ‘soda tax’, an excise on drinks with added sugar or sweetener, introduced in France in January 2012. We adopt a difference in differences approach and find that the tax was gradually passed through to the prices of the taxed beverages. After 6 months of its introduction, it was fully shifted to soda prices and almost fully shifted to the prices of fruit drinks, while the pass-through for flavoured waters was incomplete. We also find that the pass-through was heterogeneous across brands and retail groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3976-3994 Issue: 41 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1150946 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1150946 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:41:p:3976-3994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarlok Singh Author-X-Name-First: Tarlok Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Ricardian equivalence and the public and private saving nexus in India Abstract: This study tests the Ricardian equivalence theorem (RET) and examines the responsiveness of private saving to public saving in India. Most estimators do not provide support for the empirical validity of RET and long-run cointegration between public and private saving. The increases in household saving (HHS) seem to have been engendered by the provision of saving incentives, institution of saving schemes, self-driven motivation to save, and the precautionary accumulations induced by uncovered uncertainties in incomes, rather than by Ricardian behaviour of households. The self-imposed aversion to debt and debt bequest, borrowing and liquidity constraints, and the intertemporal smoothing of consumption have been the added catalysts that contributed to the increases in HHS. The households with binding borrowing constraints, inadequate or no insurance and uncovered uncertainties in incomes seem to have been saving more to pay for higher inflation-tax. The fiscal consolidation and generation of public saving are essential to reduce the tax burden (both explicit through fiscal taxes and implicit through inflation-tax), minimize the likelihoods of economic and financial crises, and maintain the internal and external value of domestic currency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3579-3598 Issue: 36 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1265072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1265072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:36:p:3579-3598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martina Hedvicakova Author-X-Name-First: Martina Author-X-Name-Last: Hedvicakova Title: Key study of bank accounts for young people with using multi-criteria optimization and fuzzy analysis Abstract: Using multi-criteria optimization and fuzzy analysis this article aims to select the most suitable bank account for young people. Two scientific questions are asked: Is the same type of student account suitable for an active as well as an inactive client? Are there any free of charge student accounts?The first part focuses on the introduction to the topic, a summary of the advantages and disadvantages of student accounts and modelling of two target groups. The second part describes the methodology of decision-making by using a fuzzy set theory. Selection of the optimum student account will be made by the transformation matrix. Subsequently, the retransformation matrix is set. The most suitable student accounts are again selected for each profile and the results are compared with the analysis in the first part. To complete the solution, the last part of the article focuses on decision-making with the uncertainty of input information. Due to ignorance of their own monthly needs and the number of payments, fuzzy sets are used. In addition to the active and passive client, a third profile will be newly created and can be identified with some of the profiles to a certain extent. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3599-3610 Issue: 36 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1265073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1265073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:36:p:3599-3610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alessandra Cepparulo Author-X-Name-First: Alessandra Author-X-Name-Last: Cepparulo Author-Name: Juan Carlos Cuestas Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Cuestas Author-Name: Maurizio Intartaglia Author-X-Name-First: Maurizio Author-X-Name-Last: Intartaglia Title: Financial development, institutions, and poverty alleviation: an empirical analysis Abstract: The aim of this article is to analyse empirically whether the level of institutional quality influences how financial development affects poverty for a sample of developing countries covering the period from 1984 to 2012. Using an interaction term constructed as a product between financial development and institutional quality we find that the pro-poor impact of financial development decreases as the quality of institutions rises. Such a differential effect can be ascribed to the capacity of banks to provide functions that mimic those performed by an institutional framework that works well. The results of this article can be used for policy management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3611-3622 Issue: 36 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1265074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1265074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:36:p:3611-3622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masahiro Kodama Author-X-Name-First: Masahiro Author-X-Name-Last: Kodama Title: How strongly can industrial structural transformation affect GDP? Abstract: It is well known that when a country develops, its leading industry shifts from agriculture to non-agriculture. This industrial structural transformation has recently attracted considerable attention from scholars. Then, how strongly can this industrial structural transformation affect a country’s income? In this study, we shed light on this research question. More specifically, we measure magnitudes of the industrial structural transformation’s influence on GDP, by examining the following counterfactual GDP. We calculate a country’s counterfactual GDP when the country specializes in agriculture. If the counterfactual GDP is considerably small without the non-agricultural sector, this suggests that the industrial structural transformation from agriculture to non-agriculture is considerably important, in terms of GDP. We use Japan as our sample economy. Consequently, we find that the counterfactual GDP is surprisingly small, which suggests that the industrial structural transformation’s influence on GDP is surprisingly large. We also find that one of the main factors responsible for the surprisingly small counterfactual GDP is land, which has not been deeply examined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3623-3633 Issue: 36 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1265075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1265075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:36:p:3623-3633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Charles B. Moss Author-X-Name-First: Charles B. Author-X-Name-Last: Moss Author-Name: Alexandre Lyambabaje Author-X-Name-First: Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Lyambabaje Author-Name: James F. Oehmke Author-X-Name-First: James F. Author-X-Name-Last: Oehmke Title: An economic evaluation of SPREAD on Rwanda’s rural population Abstract: Sustainable Partnerships to Enhance Rural Enterprises and Agricultural Development (SPREAD) was a programme to enhance the value chain for commodities in Rwanda including coffee. The implicit concept was that improving the value chain would increase the incomes for smallholders and, hence, reduce the poverty rate. The results indicate that Rwanda coffee prices increased relative to an index price for traded coffee with the implementation of SPREAD. In addition, the results indicate that participation in the coffee market at this time was associated with higher household income and lower rates of poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3634-3644 Issue: 36 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1265076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1265076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:36:p:3634-3644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George B. Tawadros Author-X-Name-First: George B. Author-X-Name-Last: Tawadros Title: Revisiting the exchange rate disconnect puzzle Abstract: One of the major anomalies in International Macroeconomics is the persistent finding that the exchange rate has no empirical relationship with a variety of macroeconomic fundamentals. Dubbed the ‘exchange rate disconnect puzzle’, this article examines this issue for five Australian dollar bilateral exchange rates, using quarterly data for the period 1984:1–2015:4. A novel feature of this article is that it departs from the extant literature by using a different approach to testing for cointegration. The results show that the exchange rates and fundamentals move together in the long run. Furthermore, the results show that fundamentals Granger cause exchange rates, both in the short run and the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3645-3668 Issue: 36 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1265077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1265077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:36:p:3645-3668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donald Lien Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Author-Name: Feng Yao Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Fan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Confucius Institute’s effects on international travel to China: do cultural difference or institutional quality matter? Abstract: This article uses a panel data of China’s inbound tourist flows from 2005 to 2015 to investigate Confucius Institute (CI)’s influence on China’s tourism. We find that CI, as a comprehensive platform for China’s foreign cultural exchange, has a significant positive effect on China’s tourist flows. The effects of CI on China’s inbound tourism are transmitted through bridging cultural gaps and promoting Chinese language, which reduces psychic distance and transaction costs. CI also stimulates China’s inbound tourist flows via reducing information asymmetry caused by different levels of institutional quality. Interestingly, we find that the heterogeneous effects of CI on China’s inbound tourism depend on institutional quality, and the effects of CI to boost China’s tourists are more prominent in departure countries with larger cultural difference. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3669-3683 Issue: 36 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1265078 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1265078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:36:p:3669-3683 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Karaivanov Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Karaivanov Title: Non-grant microfinance, incentives and efficiency Abstract: I show that charging interest on funds provided by donors or investors to microfinance institutions (MFIs) can increase efficiency, the total number of loans and borrower welfare, compared to grant or concessionary funding. In a setting in which MFIs supply costly non-contractible effort, putting a price or raising the price of loanable funds strengthens the MFIs’ incentives to put effort in credit administration or monitoring, to extend more loans, and/or reduce overhead costs. This theoretical result is robust to several variations of the benchmark model allowing for an endogenous lending rate, motivated MFIs and endogenous overhead costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2509-2524 Issue: 23 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1400655 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1400655 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:23:p:2509-2524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liyan Han Author-X-Name-First: Liyan Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: You Wu Author-X-Name-First: You Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Libo Yin Author-X-Name-First: Libo Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Title: Investor attention and currency performance: international evidence Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between investor attention measured by Google search volume index and the performance of several currencies. We find that currency performance is remarkably responsive to changes in investor attention. These impacts, generated rapidly, are present over the relatively long term, especially for emerging currencies, and are intensified during periods of high uncertainty. We also demonstrate that there is a prominent asymmetric effect for the impact of attention, as past currency performance also influences attention. Typically, past currency performance can determine the magnitude of the impact on current currency performance. Moreover, we confirm that investor attention has a predictive power for forecasting emerging currency performance in the out-of-sample analysis. Further, these forecasts generate substantial economic value in the framework of asset allocation. By contrast, statistical predictability and economic value do not exist in the currencies from developed markets. These results indicate that investor attention can alter currency performance and its predictability. More broadly, our study emphasizes the potential of employing investor attention for emerging currency performance forecasting applications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2525-2551 Issue: 23 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1403556 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1403556 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:23:p:2525-2551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pratap Chandra Pati Author-X-Name-First: Pratap Chandra Author-X-Name-Last: Pati Author-Name: Parama Barai Author-X-Name-First: Parama Author-X-Name-Last: Barai Author-Name: Prabina Rajib Author-X-Name-First: Prabina Author-X-Name-Last: Rajib Title: Forecasting stock market volatility and information content of implied volatility index Abstract: This study investigates the incremental information content of implied volatility index relative to the GARCH family models in forecasting volatility of the three Asia-Pacific stock markets, namely India, Australia and Hong Kong. To examine the in-sample information content, the conditional variance equations of GARCH family models are augmented by incorporating implied volatility index as an explanatory variable. The return-based realized variance and the range-based realized variance constructed from 5-min data are used as proxy for latent volatility. To assess the out-of-sample forecast performance, we generate one-day-ahead rolling forecasts and employ the Mincer–Zarnowitz regression and encompassing regression. We find that the inclusion of implied volatility index in the conditional variance equation of GARCH family model reduces volatility persistence and improves model fitness. The significant and positive coefficient of implied volatility index in the augmented GARCH family models suggests that it contains relevant information in describing the volatility process. The study finds that volatility index is a biased forecast but possesses relevant information in explaining future realized volatility. The results of encompassing regression suggest that implied volatility index contains additional information relevant for forecasting stock market volatility beyond the information contained in the GARCH family model forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2552-2568 Issue: 23 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1403557 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1403557 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:23:p:2552-2568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bana Abuzayed Author-X-Name-First: Bana Author-X-Name-Last: Abuzayed Author-Name: Nedal Al-Fayoumi Author-X-Name-First: Nedal Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Fayoumi Author-Name: Lanouar Charfeddine Author-X-Name-First: Lanouar Author-X-Name-Last: Charfeddine Title: Long range dependence in an emerging stock market’s sectors: volatility modelling and VaR forecasting Abstract: This study evaluates the sector risk of the Qatar Stock Exchange (QSE), a recently upgraded emerging stock market, using value-at-risk models for the 7 January 2007–18 October 2015 period. After providing evidence for true long memory in volatility using the log-likelihood profile test of Qu and splitting the sample and dth differentiation tests of Shimotsu, we compare the FIGARCH, HYGARCH and FIAPARCH models under normal, Student-t and skewed-t innovation distributions based on in and out-of-sample VaR forecasts. The empirical results show that the skewed Student-t FIGARCH model generates the most accurate prediction of one-day-VaR forecasts. The policy implications for portfolio managers are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2569-2599 Issue: 23 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1403559 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1403559 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:23:p:2569-2599 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad A. Cheema Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Cheema Author-Name: Gilbert V. Nartea Author-X-Name-First: Gilbert V. Author-X-Name-Last: Nartea Author-Name: Kenneth R. Szulczyk Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth R. Author-X-Name-Last: Szulczyk Title: Cross-sectional and time-series momentum returns and market dynamics: evidence from Japan Abstract: We test the behavioural theories of overconfidence and underreaction on cross-sectional (CS) and time-series (TS) momentum returns in the Japanese stock markets. Both CS and TS momentum returns are large and significant when the market continues in the same state and turns into losses when the market transitions to another state, consistent with the overconfidence but not the underreaction model. We find that TS conditional momentum returns exceed conditional CS momentum returns because of its active position since TS takes a net long (short) position following UP (DN) markets while CS is a zero-cost strategy irrespective of the market state. Finally, we find no relation between idiosyncratic volatility (IV) and momentum returns which is not supportive of either the overconfidence or underreaction model but implies that IV is not a significant limit to arbitrage in Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2600-2612 Issue: 23 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1403560 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1403560 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:23:p:2600-2612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Duane W. Rockerbie Author-X-Name-First: Duane W. Author-X-Name-Last: Rockerbie Title: The invariance principle in baseball: new evidence Abstract: This article considers the change in revenue sharing in Major League Baseball that occurred prior to the 2007 season and its effects on parity via its effects on marginal revenues. Based on the results from an empirical specification for team revenue, we find evidence that the reduction in revenue sharing increased marginal revenue by more for large market clubs than for small market clubs, despite holding constant other differences in how small and large market club revenues are determined. The upshot of this result is that the modest reduction in revenue sharing could have worsened league parity by 11 to 17 points in winning percentage between small and large market clubs, although other factors affect parity as well. The well-known invariance principle in the economics of sport literature does not appear to hold; however, the current consensus of theoretical models is not confirmed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2613-2621 Issue: 23 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1403561 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1403561 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:23:p:2613-2621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Tsung-Pao Wu Author-X-Name-First: Tsung-Pao Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: PPP in the 34 OECD countries: evidence from quantile-based unit root tests with both smooth and sharp breaks Abstract: Conventional unit root tests have mostly failed to validate the PPP. Quantile-based unit root tests by previous research have provided some support for the PPP. In this article, we take an additional step and incorporate sharp shifts and smooth breaks into the quantile-based unit root test and re-examine the PPP in each of the 34 OECD countries over the period 1994:01–2016:03. We find support for the PPP in 18 countries of Austria, Chile, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Korea, Mexico, Netherlands, New Zealand, Poland, Portugal, Slovenia, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey and the United Kingdom. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2622-2634 Issue: 23 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1403562 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1403562 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:23:p:2622-2634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emmanuel Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: The role of rare earth prices for consumer prices: an ignored factor? Abstract: The article explores the role of a new determinant that accounts for driving consumer prices, i.e. rare earth prices. Rare earths are used for many advanced manufacturing and military technologies. Performing a number of panel methodological approaches, panel cointegration findings support the initial insight of the authors and illustrate a positive effect on consumer prices across all rare earths. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5890-5894 Issue: 59 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1355544 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1355544 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:59:p:5890-5894 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Graham Bird Author-X-Name-First: Graham Author-X-Name-Last: Bird Author-Name: Wenti Du Author-X-Name-First: Wenti Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Eric Pentecost Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Pentecost Author-Name: Thomas Willett Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Willett Title: Safe haven or contagion? The disparate effects of Euro-zone crises on non-Euro-zone neighbours Abstract: While there have been many studies that examine contagion within the Euro-zone, this article investigates the potential contagion from changes in the Greek sovereign risk premium over 2009–2016, as measured by the yield on 10-year government bonds, to six European countries outside of the Euro-zone all of which operated a managed float against the Euro. We find evidence of contagion to potential Euro-zone ascendants (Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland), but ‘flight to safety’ (or safe haven) effects for the United Kingdom, Sweden and Switzerland. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5895-5904 Issue: 59 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1358445 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1358445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:59:p:5895-5904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio M. Friedman-Soza Author-X-Name-First: Antonio M. Author-X-Name-Last: Friedman-Soza Author-Name: Jorge R. Friedman Author-X-Name-First: Jorge R. Author-X-Name-Last: Friedman Author-Name: Tomas A. Galvez-Silva Author-X-Name-First: Tomas A. Author-X-Name-Last: Galvez-Silva Author-Name: Carlos F. Yevenes Author-X-Name-First: Carlos F. Author-X-Name-Last: Yevenes Title: Sport event attendance as a function of education: evidence from the UK Abstract: This article studies the role of education in the decision to attend sporting events. The overall objective is to verify whether more educated individuals are more likely to go to sports events than their less educated counterparts. If education socializes persons to focus on sports, it would then partially offset negative alternatives such as alcohol, drug abuse and unlawful behaviours, creating a positive externality. Sport events consumption is extensive, highlighting the potential economic importance of the sports-education externality. To establish the role of education in sport attendance, this article applies a probabilistic linear regression model to data from the UK. The econometric formulation associates sport event attendance in the left hand side with education in the right hand side, while controlling for the socioeconomic variables that are known to affect a consumer’s decision to go to a sport event: gender, age, income, employment status, children, marital status, and geographical location, among others. These findings add to a somewhat limited literature on both the effect of education on sports attendance and secondarily, on the impact of other socioeconomic variables on attendance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5905-5915 Issue: 59 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1361007 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1361007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:59:p:5905-5915 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kamal P. Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal P. Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Author-Name: Dharmendra Dhakal Author-X-Name-First: Dharmendra Author-X-Name-Last: Dhakal Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Housing prices, stock prices and the US economy Abstract: This paper studies the relationship between housing prices, stock prices, interest rates and aggregate output in the US using monthly data from 1993 to 2014. Evidence from causality tests and a variance decomposition procedure suggest that stock prices have a much larger effect on aggregate output in the US economy than do either housing prices or interest rates. Instead, the wealth effect created by changes in stock prices has a relatively large impact on US aggregate output. Separate estimations and variance decompositions for the sample periods 1993–2001, 2002–2008 and 2009–2014 show that the impact of housing prices relative to stock prices has been waning over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5916-5922 Issue: 59 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1361009 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1361009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:59:p:5916-5922 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Craig A. Depken Author-X-Name-First: Craig A. Author-X-Name-Last: Depken Author-Name: Johnny Ducking Author-X-Name-First: Johnny Author-X-Name-Last: Ducking Author-Name: Peter A. Groothuis Author-X-Name-First: Peter A. Author-X-Name-Last: Groothuis Title: Career duration in the NHL: pushing and pulling on Europeans? Abstract: Using a panel of National Hockey League players from 2000 through 2013, we analyse the determinants of career length in the league. In our analysis, we include both performance variables and nationality of origin to determine their importance in determining career length. We find that European-born players have shorter careers than North American-born players holding performance constant and Russian-born players have even shorter careers than other Europeans. We further find that Russian-born players have even shorter careers than other players after the 2005 lockout. These shorter careers are consistent with both exit discrimination against European and Russian players who are pushed out of the league as well as voluntary exit by European and Russian players who are pulled out of the league due to opportunities in their home countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5923-5934 Issue: 59 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1361011 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1361011 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:59:p:5923-5934 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mustafa U. Karakaplan Author-X-Name-First: Mustafa U. Author-X-Name-Last: Karakaplan Author-Name: Levent Kutlu Author-X-Name-First: Levent Author-X-Name-Last: Kutlu Title: Endogeneity in panel stochastic frontier models: an application to the Japanese cotton spinning industry Abstract: We present a panel stochastic frontier model that handles the endogeneity problem. This model can treat the endogeneity of both frontier and inefficiency variables. We apply our method to examine the technical efficiency of Japanese cotton spinning industry. Our results indicate that market concentration is endogenous, and when its endogeneity is properly handled, it has a larger negative impact on the technical efficiency of cotton spinning plants. We find that the exogenous model substantially overestimates efficiency in concentrated markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5935-5939 Issue: 59 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1363861 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1363861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:59:p:5935-5939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yosef Bonaparte Author-X-Name-First: Yosef Author-X-Name-Last: Bonaparte Author-Name: Frank J Fabozzi Author-X-Name-First: Frank J Author-X-Name-Last: Fabozzi Title: A flexible approach to estimate the equity premium Abstract: In this article, we estimate the risk aversion for households accounting for their lifetime consumption risk. Households take into account the overall lifetime uninsured consumption risk when optimizing their resources, which based on micro data varies across households. Thus, representing households’ consumption by merging cross-sectional micro data into the single Euler equation (the common approach for estimating risk aversion based on consumption-based asset pricing theory) may be too rough an approximation, leading to biased results with respect to risk aversion. Our results suggest that consumption-based asset pricing models that were rejected in several studies do in fact fit the data when we account for households’ lifetime consumption risk. This finding also has implications for long-run aggregate consumption-based asset pricing models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5940-5950 Issue: 59 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1363862 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1363862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:59:p:5940-5950 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dominik Schreyer Author-X-Name-First: Dominik Author-X-Name-Last: Schreyer Title: Football spectator no-show behaviour in the German Bundesliga Abstract: Despite an extensive literature on stadium attendance demand, our understanding of those factors shaping spectator no-show behaviour is rudimentary at best. Here, we explore such behaviour by using a comprehensive two-step approach: First, we examine the determinants of no-show behaviour in the German Bundesliga between the four seasons 2014–15 and 2017–18; Second, because our initial results imply that spectator no-show behaviour is more prominent among season ticket holders (STHs), we exploit additional survey data to understand individual STH no-show appearances better. Our results suggest that club managers interested in reducing the no-show rate should rethink existing season ticket strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4882-4901 Issue: 45 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1602709 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1602709 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:45:p:4882-4901 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gaoxiu Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Gaoxiu Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Author-Name: Pengfei Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Pengfei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Weiping Li Author-X-Name-First: Weiping Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Time varying price discovery of the New Third Board market in China: does the market-making system help? Abstract: This paper examines whether the market-making system helps to improve the price discovery ability of New Third Board (NTB) market in China. We first estimate the time-varying coefficients error correction models, then apply common factor weight method to quantify the time-varying price discovery contributions, and finally explore the impacts of trading volume and volatility to price discovery contributions. Empirical results show that both markets have time-varying characteristic in terms of the magnitudes and directions of the equilibrium price adjustment due to error correction term. The Shanghai Composite Index, SZSE Component Index, and SME Index are found to lead in price discovery, while NTB exhibits the leadership on the GEM Index. Volume and volatility have significant influence on the price discovery contribution. The NTB contribution is positively related to its own trading activity, negatively related to the trading activity of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, while negatively correlated with the volatility of both markets. In comparison, trading activity of SZSE Component Index and volatility of GEM Index have the greatest negative impacts on the contribution of NTB market. As an important part of China’s multi-level capital market, the pricing mechanism of the NTB market needs further to be improved. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4902-4919 Issue: 45 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1602711 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1602711 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:45:p:4902-4919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lior Cohen Author-X-Name-First: Lior Author-X-Name-Last: Cohen Author-Name: Marta Gómez-Puig Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Gómez-Puig Author-Name: Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simón Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Has the ECB’s monetary policy prompted companies to invest, or pay dividends? Abstract: This paper focuses on the influence of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policies on non-financial firms. It sheds light on non-financial firms’ decisions regarding leverage, and on how the ECB’s conventional and unconventional policies may have affected them. The paper also examines how these policies influenced non-financial firms’ decisions on capital allocation – primarily capital spending and shareholder distribution (for example, dividends and share repurchases). We use an exhaustive and unique dataset comprised of income statements and balance sheets of leading non-financial firms operating in the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). The main results suggest that ECB’s monetary policies have encouraged firms to raise their debt burden, especially after the global recession of 2008. Finally, the ECB’s policies, especially after 2011, also seem to have led non-financial firms to allocate more resources not just to capital spending but to shareholder distribution as well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4920-4938 Issue: 45 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1602715 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1602715 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:45:p:4920-4938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang-Chao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jui-Jung Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Jui-Jung Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Lanxin Lu Author-X-Name-First: Lanxin Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: The impact of Chinese monetary policy on co-movements between money and capital markets Abstract: From 2010 to 2017, with interest rate liberalization and capital market development in China, the impact of monetary policies on China’s financial markets underwent continuous evolution. Using the DCC-GARCH model, this study investigates the transmission process of monetary policies from the money market to capital markets (stock and bond markets). The results show that in the early stage the instability of the money and stock markets and the downturn in the bond market are primarily caused by the block of monetary policy transmission and the paucity of fund sources in the capital markets. Subsequently, the outbreak of the 2013 money shortage and the 2015 stock market crash are also closely related to monetary policies. In the later periods, the money and stock markets maintain a low degree of correlation for a long time, reducing the impact of destabilizing factors on the stock market. By contrast, with the advancement of interest rate reform and the optimization of bond market structure, the bond market is highly relevant to the money market. The central bank regulates the bond market more effectively using both traditional and innovative monetary policy tools. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4939-4955 Issue: 45 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1606407 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1606407 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:45:p:4939-4955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Poornima Varma Author-X-Name-First: Poornima Author-X-Name-Last: Varma Title: Adoption and the impact of system of rice intensification on rice yields and household income: an analysis for India Abstract: This paper examines the determinants and impacts of the adoption of five mutually exclusive practices System of Rice Intensification (SRI) on yields and household incomes using a multinomial endogenous treatment effects model. Farm household survey data is collected from selected districts of three States of India. Results suggest that the decision to adopt SRI is a function of experience in terms of age, farm assets, irrigation facility and information about SRI. The analysis showed that small and marginal farmers are more likely to adopt SRI as compared to large farmers. The National Food Security Mission (NFSM) came out to be significant and positive only in the case of few practices in some States. The welfare outcome results showed that the adoption increased the yield and income of three out of four practices-plant plus water, plant plus soil and plant plus water plus soil management. Briefly, the results show that the adoption of SRI especially full adoption of SRI has greater impact on the yield and income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4956-4972 Issue: 45 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1606408 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1606408 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:45:p:4956-4972 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Schleich Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Schleich Author-Name: Thomas Hillenbrand Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Hillenbrand Title: Residential water demand responds asymmetrically to rising and falling prices Abstract: This paper econometrically estimates residential water consumption in Germany between 2007 and 2013 based on a panel of almost 3000 supply areas. In particular, the analysis distinguishes periods of rising and falling water and sewage water prices. The short-run (long-run) price elasticity is estimated at around 4.2% (13%), but water demand appears to respond asymmetrically to rising and falling prices. When prices are rising, the short-run (long-run) price elasticity is around 6.5% (17%). When prices are falling, the short-run price elasticity is not statistically different from zero, and the long-run price elasticity is estimated at around 12%. Additional results illustrate that employing average prices instead of marginal prices results in substantially overestimating the price elasticity. These findings are particularly relevant for utilities and regulators planning to alter the tariff structure towards a higher fixed fee and a lower volumetric fee. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4973-4981 Issue: 45 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1606412 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1606412 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:45:p:4973-4981 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Author-Name: Jeremy Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Reza Hajargasht Author-X-Name-First: Reza Author-X-Name-Last: Hajargasht Title: Incorporating daily market uncertainty data into a conventional short-run dynamic model: the case of the black-market exchange rate in Iran Abstract: The effect of market uncertainty on a country’s currency, while widely recognized, is either omitted from mainstream models or addressed using low-frequency series, which are typically subject to aggregation bias and substantial lags. In this article, we propose a new mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) modelling framework that enables us to incorporate the asymmetric daily effects of market uncertainty in a conventional monthly error correction model. We achieve this by proxying market uncertainty via the value of a ‘safe haven’ asset (gold) that investors reallocate towards in the face of heightened market risk. We apply the model to the Iranian black-market exchange rate, using a mix of the daily price of gold (28 June 2010–19 August 2018) and monthly data (July 2010-July 2018) on relative prices. Our results indicate that purchasing power parity (PPP) holds despite the recent unprecedented depreciations in the Iranian currency arising from several rounds of international sanctions. We also find that increased uncertainty can lead to instantaneous and substantial depreciations, whereas stabilization back towards the PPP path is much more sluggish. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4982-4991 Issue: 45 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1607245 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1607245 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:45:p:4982-4991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Manuel Cordero Author-X-Name-First: José Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cordero Author-Name: Francisco Pedraja Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Pedraja Title: The effect of financial education training on the financial literacy of Spanish students in PISA Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyze the effect of financial education training on Spanish secondary students. To do this, we rely on data from PISA 2012. This included an assessment of students’ financial literacy for the first time. In order to identify the causal effect of financial education courses, we employ a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach to compare the outcomes of students receiving and not receiving education on financial concepts for two different subjects (financial literacy and reading comprehension). Our results suggest that financial education programs only have an impact if they are taught as part of other subjects, i.e. by means of a cross-curricular approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1679-1693 Issue: 16 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1528336 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1528336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:16:p:1679-1693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gabriela Best Author-X-Name-First: Gabriela Author-X-Name-Last: Best Author-Name: Pavel Kapinos Author-X-Name-First: Pavel Author-X-Name-Last: Kapinos Title: Is the Fed’s news perception different from the private sector’s? Abstract: The recent literature on monetary policy has dedicated considerable attention to modelling agents’ processing of information about the future in real time. This paper contributes to this growing strand by investigating the implied differences in the so-called news shocks estimated from the standard New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model using the real-time data sets from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) and the Federal Reserve’s Greenbook (GB) forecasts. Alternative specifications with either the SPF or GB forecasts aim to delineate the differences in the private sector’s and the Fed’s expectations of future macroeconomic outcomes and identify the differences in their perception of news shocks. Our results indicate that while the demand news shocks have very similar distributions in the two datasets, the monetary and cost-push news shocks from the models estimated on the GB data tend to be larger than those from the SPF. These findings suggest that the Federal Reserve’s forecasting methods allow for more variation in future outcomes than the SPF’s. These findings mesh well with the extant literature on the superiority of the Fed’s forecasts relative to the private sector’s and provide a structural explanation for the source of this superiority. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1694-1710 Issue: 16 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1528337 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1528337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:16:p:1694-1710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Debkumar Chakrabarti Author-X-Name-First: Debkumar Author-X-Name-Last: Chakrabarti Author-Name: Pradeepta Sethi Author-X-Name-First: Pradeepta Author-X-Name-Last: Sethi Author-Name: Sankalpa Bhattacharjee Author-X-Name-First: Sankalpa Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharjee Title: Directed credit, financial development and financial structure: theory and evidence Abstract: The recent initiative of the RBI in reviving the policy of directed credit allocation in a period dominated by the neoliberal philosophy necessitates reconsideration of the role of policy-directed credit allocation process on financial development and financial structure of firms. Introducing certain policy parameters, the paper attempts to model how financial development-financial structure interlinkage is influenced by the liberalization policies of the government. The theoretical construct is empirically verified using both aggregated and disaggregated (firm-level) data comprising a panel of 932 Indian manufacturing firms. Findings reveal that following the liberalization measures in the early 1990s, there has been a structural shift in the debt–equity ratio of firms, with equity market activities assuming prominence over time. As regards financial development, it has been observed that the withdrawal of DFIs specialized in term-lending activities in the early 2000s led to a significant increase in the degree of financing constraints faced by the manufacturing firms. This contradicts the basic premise of financial liberalization. The paper argues that under certain conditions, government intervention in the form of directed credit programmes would not only act as an effective instrument in ushering financial development, but also provide important guidelines in ensuring sustainability of institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1711-1729 Issue: 16 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1528338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1528338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:16:p:1711-1729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mario Bossler Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Bossler Author-Name: Jakob Wegmann Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: Wegmann Title: The German generation internship and the minimum wage introduction: evidence from big data Abstract: The new German minimum wage applies a specific exemption clause for internships, where internships that last up to three months are exempted while internships that exceed three months are due to the minimum wage. Negative minimum wage effects on internships are heavily debated as internships are mostly non-productive. Difference-in-difference analyses that exploit establishment and regional variation in the bite of the minimum wage do not show a reduction in the number of internships. In addition, we pursue an innovative approach by using Google search data to analyse how the search intensity for internships changed in course of the minimum wage introduction. Difference-in-difference comparisons with other countries in Europe do not reveal an effect on the search for internship positions in general, but we observe a significant reduction in Google search for ‘generation internship’. This suggests that the underlying societal phenomenon of a generation entering internships without a perspective for regular jobs has lost in relevance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1730-1747 Issue: 16 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1528339 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1528339 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:16:p:1730-1747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuelson Appau Author-X-Name-First: Samuelson Author-X-Name-Last: Appau Author-Name: Sefa Awaworyi Churchill Author-X-Name-First: Sefa Awaworyi Author-X-Name-Last: Churchill Author-Name: Lisa Farrell Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Farrell Title: Social integration and subjective wellbeing Abstract: Using data from the UK Community Life Survey, we examine the relationship between social integration and subjective wellbeing. We measure social integration along various dimensions, including frequency of interaction with one’s neighbors, perceived strength of belonging to one’s immediate neighborhood and country, length of residence in a neighborhood, and trust in neighbors. Overall, we find that social integration is associated with higher levels of subjective wellbeing. Specifically, our results suggest that an increase in the frequency of interaction with one’s neighbors is associated with an increase in subjective wellbeing. Similarly, an increase in respondent’s perceived strength of belonging to their immediate neighborhood (and country) is associated with an increase in subjective wellbeing. We further discover that an increase in the length of residence in a neighborhood is associated with an increase in subjective wellbeing, and this is also the case for an increase in the level of trust in one’s neighbour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1748-1761 Issue: 16 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1528340 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1528340 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:16:p:1748-1761 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Djeneba Doumbia Author-X-Name-First: Djeneba Author-X-Name-Last: Doumbia Title: The quest for pro-poor and inclusive growth: the role of governance Abstract: This paper analyses the role of good governance in fostering pro-poor and inclusive growth. Using a sample of 112 countries over 1975–2012, it shows that growth is generally pro-poor. However, growth has not been inclusive, as illustrated by a decline in the bottom 20 percent of the income distribution. While all features of good governance support income growth and reduce poverty, only government effectiveness and the rule of law are found to enhance inclusive growth. The investigation of the determinants of pro-poor and inclusive growth highlights that education, infrastructure improvement, and financial development are the key factors in poverty reduction and inclusive growth. Relying on the panel smooth transition regression (PSTR) model, the paper identifies a nonlinear relationship between governance and pro-poor growth, while the impact of governance on inclusive growth appears to be linear. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1762-1783 Issue: 16 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1529392 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1529392 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:16:p:1762-1783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Masahiro Hori Author-X-Name-First: Masahiro Author-X-Name-Last: Hori Author-Name: Keiko Murata Author-X-Name-First: Keiko Author-X-Name-Last: Murata Title: Is there a retirement consumption puzzle in Japan? Evidence from a household panel dataset spanning several years Abstract: Using a unique long-run panel of Japanese households, this paper examines the changes in consumption at retirement (‘the retirement-consumption puzzle’). Our analysis shows that households’ expenditure does decline after the retirement of the household head and that changes in household composition at retirement cannot fully account for this decline. Changes in life-style/preferences after retirement also do not appear to explain a salient feature of the expenditure decline, namely, the strong correlation between the magnitudes of the expenditure decline and the income decline upon retirement. On the other hand, our finding that the expenditure decline is larger for households with smaller savings and/or that experienced a large unexpected income decline is broadly consistent with the standard LC/PIH augmented with unexpected shocks, while it does not rule out the possibility that there is a relatively small subset of households that are myopic and lack sufficient saving discipline. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1784-1798 Issue: 16 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1529393 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1529393 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:16:p:1784-1798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jiao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Qingcheng Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Qingcheng Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Title: Modelling the volatility of the tanker freight market based on improved empirical mode decomposition Abstract: In this article, a method based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and BEKK–Multivariate GARCH (MVGARCH) is developed to analyse the volatility of the tanker freight market. First, the initial time series of tanker freight rates is decomposed into several independent intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). Next, the IMFs are composed as three components by an improved EMD: the long-term trend time series that represents the benchmark freight rates of the tanker freight market, the high-frequency time series that reflects the short-term supply–demand relation and the low-frequency time series caused by extreme events. Based on the results of EMD, the volatility spillover effects between the freight rates of Aframax, Suezmax and Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) markets are tested by the BEKK–MVGARCH model. The results indicate that there are volatility spillover effects between the reconstructed components, although the volatility spillover effects between the original freight series are not significant. The improved EMD method contributes to the retention of the economic characteristics of the original time series, thereby providing a vital approach for tanker freight market analysis. Furthermore, the potential volatility spillover among different sub-markets can be investigated through the integration of EMD and the BEKK–MVGARCH. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1655-1667 Issue: 17 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1223823 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1223823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:17:p:1655-1667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Rohde Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Rohde Author-Name: KK Tang Author-X-Name-First: KK Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Lars Osberg Author-X-Name-First: Lars Author-X-Name-Last: Osberg Title: The self-reinforcing dynamics of economic insecurity and obesity Abstract: This article models the dynamic effects of economic insecurity on body weight. Using Australian panel data, we infer an individual’s level of economic insecurity as a function of exposure to various financial risks and employ regression equations to explore its effect upon current period body mass index (BMI) scores. Estimates reveal that a sustained standard deviation increase in economic insecurity raises an individual’s BMI at a rate of approximately 0.35 units per year. Quantile regressions are then used to estimate the sensitivity of body weight to insecurity at different percentiles of the distribution and we find that persons who are overweight and obese are much more seriously affected. This implies that shocks that make individuals more financially vulnerable can generate harmful self-sustaining cycles of risk and weight gain. We also model the dynamics of insecurity and show that it is a persistent phenomenon for persons with high levels of exposure and lower incomes. This finding indicates that persons of lower socio-economic status are more likely to encounter vicious cycles of increasing insecurity and obesity, which partially explains why weight-related health problems are unusually highly concentrated amongst these individuals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1668-1678 Issue: 17 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1223826 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1223826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:17:p:1668-1678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro Garcia-del-Barrio Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia-del-Barrio Author-Name: Hugo Zarco Author-X-Name-First: Hugo Author-X-Name-Last: Zarco Title: Do movie contents influence box-office revenues? Abstract: This article studies the determinants of box-office revenues in the motion picture industry. We first adopt an approach that takes into account quality signals (e.g. talent concentration, movie budget and Oscar awards, among others) to analyse the empirical relationship between category-specific parenthood ratings (R-ratings) and box-office revenues. Then, by matching movie contents with economic performance records, our original approach reveals that offensive contents like profanity or nudity may be a hindrance to achieve economic returns, while violent contents seems to enhance box-office revenues. Further research is needed to clarify the interaction in this regard between production budget and movie contents. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1679-1688 Issue: 17 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1223828 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1223828 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:17:p:1679-1688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Enrique Pedauga Author-X-Name-First: Luis Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Pedauga Author-Name: Lucien David Pedauga Author-X-Name-First: Lucien David Author-X-Name-Last: Pedauga Author-Name: Blanca L. Delgado-Márquez Author-X-Name-First: Blanca L. Author-X-Name-Last: Delgado-Márquez Title: Relationships between corruption, political orientation, and income inequality: evidence from Latin America Abstract: This research sheds light on the analysis of the impact of corruption and political orientation on income distribution in Latin America. Although it has been theoretically demonstrated that corruption worsens the income distribution, the empirical evidence has yielded ambiguous results based on biased estimates not considering a measurement error in the estimation of inequality. This article fills this gap by correcting the previous measurement error bias in the fixed-effects estimation. Additionally, political orientation and its relationship with income inequality are also investigated. The sample covers 18 Latin American countries between 1996 and 2012. Results reveal that corruption increases income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1689-1705 Issue: 17 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1223830 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1223830 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:17:p:1689-1705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas W. Zuehlke Author-X-Name-First: Thomas W. Author-X-Name-Last: Zuehlke Title: Use of quadratic terms in Type 2 Tobit models Abstract: A Type 2 Tobit model with a common set of regressors in the selection and regression equations is identified by the nonlinearity of the distribution function. The estimates are relatively less precise than in cases where there are at least some distinct regressors in the two equations. In an attempt to overcome this problem, some authors introduce quadratic terms into one or both equations. As this does not add any new statistical information, just a deterministic function of an existing regressor, the sceptic would question how this could improve the reliability of the estimates. This article shows that arbitrary use of quadratics is not without consequence. It increases the chances of getting either multiple roots, no root or a local root where a global does not exist. The nature of this problem is illustrated with Monte Carlo methods as well as several examples from the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1706-1714 Issue: 17 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1223831 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1223831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:17:p:1706-1714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gary van Vuuren Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: van Vuuren Author-Name: Riaan de Jongh Author-X-Name-First: Riaan Author-X-Name-Last: de Jongh Title: A comparison of risk aggregation estimates using copulas and Fleishman distributions Abstract: Determining banks’ expected losses (EL) is straightforward because they are calculated using a linear combination of credit risk-related measures. Non-linear metrics, like economic capital (EC), pose considerable implementation challenges including computation complexity and a lack of adequate risk aggregation and attribution techniques when multiple portfolios and/or product segmentations are involved. Copulas have been used to overcome these problems, but the Fleishman procedure, which uses a polynomial transformation to generate non-normal data, may provide a more tractable alternative. In this article, EC simulation estimates using the extended (multivariate) Fleishman method and the Gumbel copula are compared. The Fleishman approach is found to be easier to implement than the Gumbel approach and provides comparable results when the correlation and concordance between losses are low. The Fleishman method preserves the first four moments and two measures of dependence (Pearson’s $$\rho $$ρ and Kendal’s $$\tau $$τ ); the copula approach preserves only the first two moments of the empirical loss distributions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1715-1731 Issue: 17 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1223832 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1223832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:17:p:1715-1731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Chletsos Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Chletsos Author-Name: Stelios Roupakias Author-X-Name-First: Stelios Author-X-Name-Last: Roupakias Title: Native-immigrant wage differentials in Greece: discrimination and assimilation Abstract: This article applies the Blinder–Oaxaca methodology in order to dissect the average earnings differentials between Greek workers and three different groups of immigrants into a part attributed to differences in characteristics and a part due to discrimination. It also seeks to identify the effect of assimilation (i.e. postmigration human capital) on immigrants’ earnings. We use information about 8429 individuals, of which 1185 are immigrants. The data are drawn from the Greek Labour Force Survey (2009). Our results suggest that discrimination is significantly higher for immigrants originating from non-EU countries than it is for EU foreigners, while it is negative for those who terminated education in Greece. Also, there is evidence that (i) post-migration human capital is a significant determinant of immigrants earnings, (ii) there is limited transferability of skills between sending countries and Greece and (iii) education is the main determinant of the wage gap between natives and immigrants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1732-1736 Issue: 17 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1223833 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1223833 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:17:p:1732-1736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sharif Mozumder Author-X-Name-First: Sharif Author-X-Name-Last: Mozumder Author-Name: M. Humayun Kabir Author-X-Name-First: M. Humayun Author-X-Name-Last: Kabir Author-Name: Michael Dempsey Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dempsey Title: Pricing and hedging options with GARCH-stable proxy volatilities Abstract: This article considers modelling nonnormality in return with stable Paretian (SP) innovations in generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH), exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (EGARCH)  and Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GJR-GARCH) volatility dynamics. The forecasted volatilities from these dynamics have been used as a proxy to the volatility parameter of the Black–Scholes (BS) model. The performance of these proxy-BS models has been compared with the performance of the BS model of constant volatility. Using a cross section of S&P500 options data, we find that EGARCH volatility forecast with SP innovations is an excellent proxy to BS constant volatility in terms of pricing. We find improved performance of hedging for an illustrative option portfolio. We also find better performance of spectral risk measure (SRM) than value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) in estimating option portfolio risk in case of the proxy-BS models under SP innovations.Abbreviation: generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH), exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) and Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GJR-GARCH) Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6034-6046 Issue: 56 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488057 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488057 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:56:p:6034-6046 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Author-Name: Han-Chiang Ho Author-X-Name-First: Han-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Su-Ping Liu Author-X-Name-First: Su-Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Score-driven Markov-switching EGARCH models: an application to systematic risk analysis Abstract: We introduce new Markov-switching (MS) dynamic conditional score (DCS) exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (EGARCH) models, to be used by practitioners for forecasting value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) in systematic risk analysis. We use daily log-return data from the Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) index for the period 1950–2016. The analysis of the S&P 500 is useful, for example, for investors of (i) well-diversified US equity portfolios; (ii) S&P 500 futures and options traded at Chicago Mercantile Exchange Globex; (iii) exchange traded funds (ETFs) related to the S&P 500. The new MS DCS-EGARCH models are alternatives to of the recent MS Beta-t-EGARCH model that uses the symmetric Student’s t distribution for the error term. For the new models, we use more flexible asymmetric probability distributions for the error term: Skew-Gen-t (skewed generalized t), EGB2 (exponential generalized beta of the second kind) and NIG (normal-inverse Gaussian) distributions. For all MS DCS-EGARCH models, we identify high- and low-volatility periods for the S&P 500. We find that the statistical performance of the new MS DCS-EGARCH models is superior to that of the MS Beta-t-EGARCH model. As a practical application, we perform systematic risk analysis by forecasting VaR and ES.Abbreviation Single regime (SR); Markov-switching (MS); dynamic conditional score (DCS); exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (EGARCH); value-at-risk (VaR); expected shortfall (ES); Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500); exchange traded funds (ETFs); Skew-Gen-t (skewed generalized t); EGB2 (exponential generalized beta of the second kind); NIG (normal-inverse Gaussian); log-likelihood (LL); standard deviation (SD); partial autocorrelation function (PACF); likelihood-ratio (LR); ordinary least squares (OLS); heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC); Akaike information criterion (AIC); Bayesian information criterion (BIC); Hannan-Quinn criterion (HQC). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6047-6060 Issue: 56 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:56:p:6047-6060 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazumine Kondo Author-X-Name-First: Kazumine Author-X-Name-Last: Kondo Title: Does branch network size influence positively the management performance of Japanese regional banks? Abstract: This article investigates whether branch network expansions by Japanese regional banks influence their management performances positively at a time when management environments surrounding regional financial institutions have become increasingly severe due to the population decreases and shrinkage of regional economies. Specifically, the effects of numbers of regional bank branches on their credit businesses and profits are empirically examined. The results indicated that regional banks with more branches can increase their loans and bills discounted as well as their small and mid-sized enterprises loans and bills discounted. Thus, establishing more branches is effective in increasing the total sum of loans and bills discounted by each bank because regional banks with many branches can make contact with more customers. On the other hand, return on assets and return on equity of regional banks with more branches were found to be lower. Therefore, regarding the cost performance of regional banks, establishing too many branches and maintaining branch networks that are too large can have negative effects on regional banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6061-6072 Issue: 56 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:56:p:6061-6072 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: George S. Ford Author-X-Name-First: George S. Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Title: Regulation and investment in the U.S. telecommunications industry Abstract: Reversing a two-decade deregulatory trend of telecommunications services, in 2010 U.S. regulators embarked on an aggressive regulatory agenda including, but not limited to, the regulation of high-speed Internet services under the auspices of net neutrality using utility-style regulations codified in the 1930s. Firms, regulators, and analysts feared a reduction in capital spending, contradicting established policy goals of expanding Internet availability and adoption. In this article, a difference-in-differences regression model augmented with randomization inference is applied to government data on capital spending in telecommunications. Large negative effects on investment are found. The estimated effects are robust across changes in estimation periods and model specifications, and multiple tests of the model’s assumptions lend credibility to the findings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6073-6084 Issue: 56 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489115 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:56:p:6073-6084 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huei-Wen Lin Author-X-Name-First: Huei-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Huei-Fu Lu Author-X-Name-First: Huei-Fu Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: A longitudinal assessment on the economic effects of hosting major sporting events Abstract: Hosting major sporting events (MSEs) has become a globalized strategy for many countries. This paper is to incorporate event study and dynamic panel data analysis with annual secondary data to examine and clarify the long-term economic effects of host countries that had hosted the Asian Games and the Olympic Games from 1950 to 2014. The results indicate that hosting MSEs to create positive economic effects like the real economic growth rate, investment, employment and international trade may be a myth even for developing countries. The evidences can provide the sport management or authority with longitudinal and comprehensive elaboration for biding or hosting MSEs in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6085-6099 Issue: 56 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489117 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:56:p:6085-6099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zheng Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Zheng Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Author-Name: Ken Y. Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ken Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shengmin Hung Author-X-Name-First: Shengmin Author-X-Name-Last: Hung Title: Professionals inside the board room: accounting expertise of directors and dividend policy Abstract: Directors’ personal attributes have significant impacts on governance effectiveness. We study whether directors’ accounting expertise affects corporate financial policy and investigate dividend in specific. We construct a dataset of audit committee directors’ accounting expertise for Standard & Poor 500 firms from 2005 to 2012. We first verify directors’ monitoring roles by showing that firms with accounting expert sitting on their audit committees demonstrate stronger accounting conservatism. In our main tests, we find that these firms maintain lower dividend payment level, which are less sensitive to earnings volatility. This suggests directors’ advisory roles in financial policy. We further show that our accounting expertise cannot be subsumed by management ability. In additional test, we further examine the baseline results conditional on analyst forecast error. Our findings highlight the importance of directors’ professional expertise in fulfilling their governance roles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6100-6111 Issue: 56 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489501 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489501 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:56:p:6100-6111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Asche Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Asche Author-Name: Kristin H. Roll Author-X-Name-First: Kristin H. Author-X-Name-Last: Roll Title: Economic inefficiency in a revenue setting: the Norwegian whitefish fishery Abstract: The main focus in the inefficiency literature is on suboptimal input use and how this causes increased costs, due to technical and allocative inefficiency. Production or cost functions are then typically used to describe the underlying technology of the firm. The possible revenue loss, due to lower than maximum production levels and suboptimal output mix, has received substantially less attention. By using a revenue function to measure inefficiency, the focus, model and estimation technique presented in this article differ from those of previous studies. A shadow revenue model is used to decompose revenue inefficiency into its technical and allocative components, in which the allocative inefficiency is due to a suboptimal output mix. The approach is illustrated using panel data of Norwegian whitefish trawlers. The results reveal large inefficiencies, with respect to output levels as well as output mix, indicating that this can be an important part of the picture when investigating economic inefficiency. To identify the determinants of revenue inefficiency, we conduct a second-step regression, in which technical and allocative inefficiency is regressed upon a set of explanatory variables. The inefficiencies are partly explained by the management system and fleet structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6112-6127 Issue: 56 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489502 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489502 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:56:p:6112-6127 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Myriam Ramzy Author-X-Name-First: Myriam Author-X-Name-Last: Ramzy Author-Name: Chahir Zaki Author-X-Name-First: Chahir Author-X-Name-Last: Zaki Title: Do environment regulations matter for EU-MENA trade? Abstract: This study examines the impact of environmental regulations stringency on agricultural trade between European Union (EU) and Middle East and North Africa (MENA countries). Using a gravity model and applying the zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) model, we estimate the impact of environmental regulations stringency on bilateral agricultural exports between 28 EU and 20 MENA countries during the period 2001–2014. The results have showed that environmental regulations do matter for agricultural trade between both regions because in the presence of excessive zero trade observations, they act as significant fixed export costs that affect the probability of trade. More stringent environmental regulations stimulate innovative efforts in cost-saving green technologies, which increase productivity and positively affect agricultural exports. The results have favoured the revisionist Porter hypothesis (PH), according to which environmental regulations may stimulate innovative efforts, which mitigate the negative effects of higher fixed abatement costs and enhance trade competitiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4197-4221 Issue: 39 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441519 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441519 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:39:p:4197-4221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khandokar Istiak Author-X-Name-First: Khandokar Author-X-Name-Last: Istiak Author-Name: Apostolos Serletis Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Serletis Title: Economic policy uncertainty and real output: evidence from the G7 countries Abstract: We use economic policy uncertainty index, and impulse response based test to assess the impact of economic policy-related uncertainty on real economic activity. We use monthly data, over the period from 1985:1 to 2015:3, and impulse response functions to investigate how the economies of the G7 countries respond to positive and negative economic policy uncertainty shocks of different magnitudes. We find that economic policy uncertainty is countercyclical, that the effects of uncertainty shocks increase with size and that the responses of real output to positive and negative economic policy uncertainty shocks are country specific. Our research is important for policymaking and in favour of policies that remove economic uncertainty and its negative effects on the economy. We argue that some control over yellow journalism, a transparent tax system and a set of predictable fiscal and monetary policies can minimize the social costs of economic policy uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4222-4233 Issue: 39 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441520 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441520 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:39:p:4222-4233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julián Andrada-Félix Author-X-Name-First: Julián Author-X-Name-Last: Andrada-Félix Author-Name: Adrian Fernandez-Perez Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Perez Author-Name: Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Author-X-Name-First: Simón Author-X-Name-Last: Sosvilla-Rivero Title: Fear connectedness among asset classes Abstract: This study investigates the interconnection between five implied volatility indices representative of different financial markets during the period 1 August 2008–29 December 2017. To this end, we first perform a static and dynamic analysis to measure the total volatility connectedness in the entire period (the system-wide approach) using a framework recently proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz. Second, we make use of a dynamic analysis to evaluate both the net directional connectedness for each market and all net pairwise directional connectedness. Our results suggest that a 38.99%, of the total variance of the forecast errors is explained by shocks across markets, indicating that the remainder 61.01% of the variation is due to idiosyncratic shocks. Furthermore, we find that volatility connectedness varies over time, with a surge during periods of increasing economic and financial instability. Finally, we also document frequently switch between a net volatility transmitter and a net volatility receiver role in the five markets under study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4234-4249 Issue: 39 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441521 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441521 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:39:p:4234-4249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tongzhe Li Author-X-Name-First: Tongzhe Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Maik Kecinski Author-X-Name-First: Maik Author-X-Name-Last: Kecinski Author-Name: Kent D. Messer Author-X-Name-First: Kent D. Author-X-Name-Last: Messer Title: Behavioural responses to science-based eco-labelling: gold, silver, or bronze Abstract: This study uses unique data collected from field experiments to investigate consumer willingness to pay (WTP) for otherwise homogeneous commodities that provide different levels of environmental services. On average, individuals are willing to pay more for products that provide a higher level of ecosystem services. This effect is larger when the label contains symbols that explicitly differentiate the levels. The effect magnitude is further amplified when it contains brief information on the scientific basis for the levels. However, our results also suggest that the WTP premium for the superior product is smaller than the discount in WTP for the inferior product. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4250-4263 Issue: 39 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441522 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441522 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:39:p:4250-4263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paolo Mazza Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Mazza Author-Name: Mikael Petitjean Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Petitjean Title: Implicit transaction cost management using intraday price dynamics Abstract: Using the Exchange Liquidity Measure, we show that implicit transaction costs exhibit intraday regularities around specific price change signals for a sample of European blue chips publicly quoted on Euronext. Not only transaction costs follow a reverse J-shape throughout the day but they also decrease significantly around specific patterns of price dynamics. By focusing on these signals during the trading day, liquidity traders may detect intraday windows of opportunities during which implicit transaction costs are lower. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4264-4274 Issue: 39 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441523 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441523 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:39:p:4264-4274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Veysel Avsar Author-X-Name-First: Veysel Author-X-Name-Last: Avsar Title: R&D intensity, financing cost and antidumping Abstract: Existing studies have established a stylized fact that worldwide antidumping (AD) activity is concentrated in R&D intensive industries. We build on this issue and analyse the effect of the interaction between financing costs and R&D intensity on AD practices using cross-country cross-industry data. Our findings suggest that R&D intensive industries file disproportionately more AD investigations when financing cost is high. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4275-4285 Issue: 39 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441524 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441524 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:39:p:4275-4285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Nabila Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Nabila Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Abdoukarim Idi Cheffou Author-X-Name-First: Abdoukarim Idi Author-X-Name-Last: Cheffou Title: Uncertainty assessment in socially responsible and Islamic stock markets in the short and long terms: an ARDL approach Abstract: This study measures financial uncertainty for two classes of alternative financial assets (Dow Jones Islamic and Dow Jones Sustainability Indexes) and the conventional US stock market (Dow Jones Industrial Index) for the period of 1999–2017, using an asymmetric exponential GARCH model. Using an ARDL model, we propose an intertemporal dynamic analysis of uncertainty for Islamic and socially responsible stock markets. Our findings show that, first, conventional and ethical investments present high comparable levels of uncertainty for which the dynamics is time-varying. Second, uncertainty in the conventional US stock market has a significant and positive effect on the uncertainty in alternative stock markets. Thus, uncertainty characterizes conventional and ethical stock markets both in the short and long terms. In particular, while the short-term uncertainty of ethical markets might be associated with their characteristics, the long-term aspect of uncertainty for ethical funds is rather associated with the effect of the conventional stock market environment. Although these findings show mean-reversion and uncertainty spillovers from the alternative stock markets to the conventional US one, they suggest lack of safety and certainty for investments in ethic markets, which remain fragile and closely dependent on the conventional market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4286-4294 Issue: 39 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441525 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:39:p:4286-4294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael R. Strain Author-X-Name-First: Michael R. Author-X-Name-Last: Strain Title: Do volatile firms pay volatile earnings? Evidence from linked worker-firm data Abstract: Despite the importance of earnings instability, little is known about its correlates or causes. This article seeks to better understand earnings instability by studying whether volatile firms pay volatile earnings and is the first to directly test the relationship using US linked employer–employee data. The article finds a positive and statistically significant relationship using within-firm variation. In addition, this article finds that lower earning workers are passed significantly more volatility from their employing firms than are higher earning workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4299-4309 Issue: 43 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1279273 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1279273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:43:p:4299-4309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satis C. Devkota Author-X-Name-First: Satis C. Author-X-Name-Last: Devkota Author-Name: Bishwa Koirala Author-X-Name-First: Bishwa Author-X-Name-Last: Koirala Author-Name: Kamal P. Upadhyaya Author-X-Name-First: Kamal P. Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyaya Title: Calculation and decomposition of income inequality in low- and middle-income countries: a survey data analysis Abstract: This article estimates income inequality in a sample of four low- and middle-income (LMI) countries namely; Albania, Nepal, Tajikistan and Tanzania using the household survey data – Nepal Living Standard Measurement Survey Second. First, we estimate the income generation function for each country and calculate the income inequality using Gini index (GI). Second, we decompose the income Gini into the determinants of income generation functions. Based on the decomposition result, socio-economic factors are the most important determinants of income inequality followed by geographic factors. Demographic factors have the least effect on income inequality in all four countries. Third, we propose a new method to quantify the effect of change in each covariate of income generation function on income Gini. That allows us to quantify the effects of change in specific policy such as increase in investment in schooling or public health to specific group of the population in society on income inequality. A carefully chosen, integrated policy can significantly reduce inequality in all four countries under study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4310-4320 Issue: 43 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1282141 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1282141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:43:p:4310-4320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nawel Ayadi Author-X-Name-First: Nawel Author-X-Name-Last: Ayadi Author-Name: Corina Paraschiv Author-X-Name-First: Corina Author-X-Name-Last: Paraschiv Author-Name: Eric Vernette Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Vernette Title: Increasing consumer well-being: risk as potential driver of happiness Abstract: This article investigates the relation between risk and individual well-being. We propose a theoretical model of happiness that makes a distinction between ex ante evaluations of happiness and ex post assessments. The main assumptions of the model are tested through three studies based on anchoring vignettes. We show that, even if, ex ante, consumers fear high risk and do not associate it to a high level of happiness, their ex post evaluation of well-being is generally higher when identical consequences result from a high-risk situation than from a low-risk situation. Control over risk-taking reinforces the gap between ex ante and ex post measures of happiness. Thus, our article provides empirical evidence about a positive relation between risk and individual well-being, suggesting that risky experiences have the potential to increase consumer well-being. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4321-4335 Issue: 43 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1282142 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1282142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:43:p:4321-4335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lakshman Alles Author-X-Name-First: Lakshman Author-X-Name-Last: Alles Author-Name: Louis Murray Author-X-Name-First: Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Murray Title: Asset pricing and downside risk in the Australian share market Abstract: As downside risk has been identified as a separate risk exposure to investors, we investigate whether downside beta and co-skewness exposure impact on the return to investors in Australian equities. Although considered as a developed market, the Australian Securities Exchange merits separate investigation, as it is small and concentrated on some sectors, when compared with the major developed markets. As realized returns are a proxy for expected returns, we separately examine conditional returns in upturn and downturn periods. We find that both downside risks are separately priced by investors, and that our results are unaffected by the inclusion of a range of company characteristics. We subsequently confirm that returns to each downside risk are not related. In robustness tests, we conclude that the return to downside risk cannot be explained by a size, a value, or a momentum premium. Although it also has explanatory power, the inclusion of a leverage factor also does not reduce the explanatory power of downside risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4336-4350 Issue: 43 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1282143 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1282143 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:43:p:4336-4350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vo Phuong Mai Le Author-X-Name-First: Vo Phuong Mai Author-X-Name-Last: Le Author-Name: David Meenagh Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Meenagh Author-Name: Patrick Minford Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Minford Title: Tracing the causes of the banking crisis Abstract: We add the Bernanke–Gertler–Gilchrist model to a modified version of the Smets–Wouters model of the U.S. in order to explore the causes of the banking crisis. The innovation of this article is estimating the model using unfiltered data allowing for non-stationary shocks in order to replicate how the model predicts the crisis. We find that ‘traditional shocks’ account for most of the fluctuations in macroeconomic variables; the non-stationarity of the productivity shock plays a key role. Crises occur when there is a ‘run’ of bad shocks; based on this sample they occur on average once every 64 years and when they occur around 10% are accompanied by financial crisis. Financial shocks on their own, even when extreme, do not cause crises – provided the government acts swiftly to counteract such a shock as happened in this sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4351-4362 Issue: 43 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1282145 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1282145 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:43:p:4351-4362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liqiu Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Liqiu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Xianguo Yao Author-X-Name-First: Xianguo Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Does local social capital deter labour migration? Evidence from rural China Abstract: This article empirically investigates the effect of local social capital on job-related migration in rural China. A household’s social ties in the region of origin, which we refer to as local social capital, may deter migration, because local social capital is location specific and an individual cannot benefit from it if s/he migrates. In view of Chinese gift-giving culture, we use household expenses on wedding gifts for family members outside household, relatives and friends as a proxy for local social networks. Based on the data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey, we find that in rural China local social networks have a significantly negative effect on migration. The IV results suggest that a 10% increase in wedding gifts expenses results in roughly a 1.1 percentage points decrease in migration probability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4363-4377 Issue: 43 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1282146 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1282146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:43:p:4363-4377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Valentina Peruzzi Author-X-Name-First: Valentina Author-X-Name-Last: Peruzzi Title: Does family ownership structure affect investment-cash flow sensitivity? Evidence from Italian SMEs Abstract: The aim of this article is to investigate whether family control, family management and family ownership concentration affect the investment-cash flow sensitivity of small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). By analysing a sample of Italian SMEs for the period 2004–2013, I find that family-owned businesses are significantly associated with higher investment-cash flow dependence. This relation, however, is found to be driven by two distinct factors: (i) the presence of a highly concentrated family ownership (ownership concentration channel) and (ii) the active involvement of the family in the business (family management channel). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4378-4393 Issue: 43 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1282147 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1282147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:43:p:4378-4393 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Florian Fizaine Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Fizaine Author-Name: Sondès Kahouli Author-X-Name-First: Sondès Author-X-Name-Last: Kahouli Title: On the power of indicators: how the choice of fuel poverty indicator affects the identification of the target population Abstract: In light of the creation of the EU Energy Poverty Observatory (EPOV) in January 2018 and the increase in debates on how fuel poverty is measured, we propose a critical analysis of fuel poverty indicators and demonstrate that choosing a given indicator is central to the identification of the fuel-poorpopulation.First, we conducted an inter-indicator analysis to show how profiles of fuel-poor households vary depending on the indicator selected. We designed a multidimensional approach based on a multiple correspondence analysis and a hierarchical and partitioning clustering analysis to study characteristics of fuel-poor households. We highlight the difficulty of identifying a fuel-poor ‘typical profile’ and show that the composition of the population depends on the choice of the indicator.Second, we applied an intra-indicator analysis using two objective expenditure-based indicators with thresholds. In particular, we conducted a sensitivity analysis based on a logit model including variables describing household and dwelling characteristics. We show that the profiles of fuel-poor households as well as the drivers of fuel poverty vary considerably with the chosen threshold level.Given these findings, we stress the need to review how we currently rely on conventional fuel poverty indicators to identify target groups and give some recommendations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1081-1110 Issue: 11 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524975 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524975 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:11:p:1081-1110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pascal L. Ghazalian Author-X-Name-First: Pascal L. Author-X-Name-Last: Ghazalian Author-Name: Frederick Amponsem Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Author-X-Name-Last: Amponsem Title: The effects of economic freedom on FDI inflows: an empirical analysis Abstract: There is a regular emphasis on the significant role of inward Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in promoting economic growth. This favourable relationship has induced many governments to adopt policies intended to increase FDI inflows and, thereby, to create conducive business and economic conditions for Multinational Enterprises (MNEs). This paper examines the effects of Economic Freedom (EF) and its sub-components reflecting the Quality of Institutions (QIs) on FDI inflows, using indices derived from the Fraser Institute and from the Heritage Foundation. The empirical analysis is carried out for a panel dataset using different econometric methodologies and empirical specifications. The results underline positive effects of EF on FDI inflows. They reveal that EF sub-components have varying impacts on FDI inflows, where rule of law, market openness, and less-restrictive regulatory environment stand out as the major FDI-promoting institutional factors. Also, there is an empirical evidence that the effects of EF sub-components on FDI inflows exhibit variations through the economic characteristics of the host countries and across geo-economic regions. The results suggest that governments should pursue EF-improving policies, which should be tailored according to the economic and geo-economic characteristics of the host countries, to increase FDI inflows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1111-1132 Issue: 11 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524979 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524979 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:11:p:1111-1132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jingze Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Jingze Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: T. Randall Fortenbery Author-X-Name-First: T. Randall Author-X-Name-Last: Fortenbery Title: El Niño and La Niña induced volatility spillover effects in the U.S. soybean and water equity markets Abstract: This paper examined links between U.S. soybean prices and the Dow Jones U.S. Water Index (DJUSWU). We particularly studied the impact of El Niño and La Niña events on price risk spillovers. Results showed that La Niña significantly increases the linkages between soybean and water equity markets. Based on this, we identified a new soybean hedge strategy that would be possible if a futures contract for the DJUSWU existed. This new strategy improves on the effectiveness of both a conventional naïve soybean market hedge, and a traditional time-varying hedge. The findings can be used to assist soybean agents in managing increased market risks associated with extreme weather events. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1133-1150 Issue: 11 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524980 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524980 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:11:p:1133-1150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernard Poirine Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Author-X-Name-Last: Poirine Author-Name: Vincent Dropsy Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: Dropsy Title: Diaspora growth and aggregate remittances: an inverted-U relationship? Abstract: This paper presents a model in which remittances stem from a decision made jointly by a family coalition of multiple migrants and non-migrants, allowing two alternative interpretations: migrants’ altruism or bargaining power. The model predicts that aggregate remittances first increase, reach a maximum, and then decrease as the emigration ratio (migrants/non-migrants) increases. An alternative model of loan repayment arrangement between each migrant and her parents, predicts that aggregate remittances grow monotonously with the emigration ratio. Testing both predictions on a macroeconomic bilateral dataset we find evidence in favour of the first model and an inverted-U relationship between aggregate remittances and the emigration ratio, with a maximum reached at a value of 0.5. Since many small ‘MIRAB’ island nations are close to or even above this threshold value, this finding is highly relevant for them since they may experience declining aggregate remittances as the diaspora grows further. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1151-1165 Issue: 11 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524981 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524981 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:11:p:1151-1165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: K. Hervé Dakpo Author-X-Name-First: K. Hervé Author-X-Name-Last: Dakpo Author-Name: Yann Desjeux Author-X-Name-First: Yann Author-X-Name-Last: Desjeux Author-Name: Philippe Jeanneaux Author-X-Name-First: Philippe Author-X-Name-Last: Jeanneaux Author-Name: Laure Latruffe Author-X-Name-First: Laure Author-X-Name-Last: Latruffe Title: Productivity, technical efficiency and technological change in French agriculture during 2002-2015: a Färe-Primont index decomposition using group frontiers and meta-frontier Abstract: The objective of the article is to assess productivity change in French agriculture during 2002–2015; namely, total factor productivity (TFP) change and its components – technological change and efficiency change. For this, we use the Färe-Primont index which verifies the multiplicatively completeness property and is also transitive, allowing for multi-temporal and -lateral comparisons. We investigate the extent of heterogeneity within each type of farming sub-sample in terms of TFP change, with the help of the Herfindahl-Hirschman index (HHI). In addition, to compare the technologies among the five types of farming considered, we extend our analysis to the meta-frontier framework. Results indicate that during 2002–2015, all farms experienced TFP progress. The smallest average increase was experienced by the dairy farms and the largest by the field crop farms and the beef farms. The latter had the strongest technological progress but a deterioration in efficiency, while the opposite was found for field crop farms. The analysis of HHI reveals that sheep or goat farms are the most homogenous in terms of the direction of TFP change experienced over the period 2002–2015. The meta-frontier analysis shows that field crop farms’ technology is the most productive of all the types of farming. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1166-1182 Issue: 11 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524982 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524982 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:11:p:1166-1182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eva Barteková Author-X-Name-First: Eva Author-X-Name-Last: Barteková Author-Name: Thomas H. W Ziesemer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas H. W Author-X-Name-Last: Ziesemer Title: The impact of electricity prices on foreign direct investment: evidence from the European Union Abstract: We examine the impact of electricity price variation on net FDI (%GDP) inflows in countries of the European Union. We use panel data of 27 EU countries for a period of 2003 – 2013. We show that electricity prices of south-western and north-eastern EU countries did not converge to one price until now. Dynamic panel data analysis using system GMM shows that besides unit labour costs, tax rates and competitive disadvantage in secondary education, also higher electricity prices reduce countries’ ability to attract FDI. The immediate effects are statistically significant across both sub-regions analysed: in the short run, a 10% increase in electricity prices leads to a decrease in net FDI inflows as a share of GDP by 0.4 percentage points for the south-western and 0.33 for the north-eastern region. In the long run, the response is 0.60 percentage points for south-western and 0.48 for north-eastern regions. Policies should aim at reducing electricity market price differences on the European level through investment in transborder transmission capacity; reductions in FDI, when environmental policy increases after-tax electricity prices, should be countered by other tax reductions as well as harmonization of property rights, absence of corruption and labour market regulations at best-practice level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1183-1198 Issue: 11 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524983 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524983 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:11:p:1183-1198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joyce Hsieh Author-X-Name-First: Joyce Author-X-Name-Last: Hsieh Author-Name: Ting-Cih Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ting-Cih Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shu-Chin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Credit constraints and growth gains from governance Abstract: This paper contributes to the governance literature by analyzing the specific mechanisms through which governance affects economic growth: The credit channel. Specifically, it investigates the growth impact of governance on industries with different levels of dependence on external finance. Better governance mitigates credit market imperfections by increasing transparency and accountability and reducing government-policy distortions, promoting productive investment and entrepreneurship development, with a disproportionate impact on sectors that depend on external finance. This paper indeed finds that countries with well-functioning governments are better at providing growth and investment environments for the expansion of industries that rely heavily on external finance and the formation of new establishments in these industries, when controlling for financial development. These results are robust to possible reverse causality, different specifications, subsamples and outliers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1199-1211 Issue: 11 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1527009 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1527009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:11:p:1199-1211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Mark J. Holmes Author-X-Name-First: Mark J. Author-X-Name-Last: Holmes Author-Name: Bong Soo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Bong Soo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The asymmetric relationship between executive earnings management and compensation: a panel threshold regression approach Abstract: Prior research shows that chief executive officers (CEOs) are rewarded for their earnings management. We re-examine this issue using a panel threshold regression approach, which allows the effect of earnings management on the CEO compensation to change across the level of earnings management and CEO compensation. Our results show that the effect of CEOs’ discretionary accounting choices on their compensation is not homogeneous across various degrees of earnings management and compensation. In particular, for firms with moderate (inordinate) levels of earnings management and CEO compensation, earnings management is rewarded (penalized). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5525-5545 Issue: 57 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1181707 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1181707 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:57:p:5525-5545 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandra Hanslin Grossmann Author-X-Name-First: Sandra Author-X-Name-Last: Hanslin Grossmann Author-Name: Sarah M. Lein Author-X-Name-First: Sarah M. Author-X-Name-Last: Lein Author-Name: Caroline Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: Exchange rate and foreign GDP elasticities of Swiss exports across sectors and destination countries Abstract: This article uses a detailed breakdown of Swiss trade flows to identify how the impact of the two main determinants of Switzerland’s exports – foreign demand and the real exchange rate – varies across sectors and export destinations. Our main findings are that (i) both foreign demand and exchange rate elasticities vary substantially across both export sectors and export destinations. (ii) Foreign demand trends are more important for structural considerations than the exchange rate. This is due to the fact that exports of the two largest export sectors are relatively sensitive to long-run foreign demand developments while they are relatively insensitive to changes in the exchange rate. (iii) The sectoral structure of Switzerland’s exports has shifted towards goods that have a lower short-run demand elasticity and a higher long-run demand elasticity. Goods exports are thus less influenced by business cycle fluctuations while they benefit more from long-term growth trends. (iv) The export share of sectors with a relatively low exchange rate elasticity has increased. However, this result is mainly driven by the strong rise in exports of chemicals and pharmaceuticals as well as precision instruments and watches, which are also the two important sectors responsible for the Swiss trade surplus. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5546-5562 Issue: 57 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1181828 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1181828 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:57:p:5546-5562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean Bonnet Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnet Author-Name: Sylvie Cieply Author-X-Name-First: Sylvie Author-X-Name-Last: Cieply Author-Name: Marcus Dejardin Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Dejardin Title: Credit rationing or overlending? An exploration into financing imperfection Abstract: Small and new firms are deemed to be unable to obtain sufficient bank loans. This idea finds a strong theoretical support in credit rationing theory. However, this is vigorously challenged by De Meza and Webb (1987, 2000) suggesting that firms can benefit from an excess of credit, i.e. overlending. Credit rationing or overlending? The contribution of this empirical article is twofold: to our knowledge, it is the first to make an attempt in measuring the relative importance of these two types of financing imperfection and to explore factors leading to one or the other. We exploit a rich panel data set on the access to bank credit for new French businesses during the mid-1990s. Our results show that credit rationing was not highly spread among French new firms. The story told by De Meza and Webb (1987) appears to be a much more realistic model. In addition, we identify factors, linked to the starter, the project or the industry, that are closely associated with credit rationing and/or overlending. Most factors enter into a consistent relation: when they are positively (negatively) associated with credit rationing, they are negatively (positively) associated with overlending. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5563-5580 Issue: 57 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1181829 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1181829 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:57:p:5563-5580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: H. Lasram Author-X-Name-First: H. Author-X-Name-Last: Lasram Author-Name: Didier G. Laussel Author-X-Name-First: Didier G. Author-X-Name-Last: Laussel Title: Is firm-sponsored training a palliative? A common agency approach Abstract: We analyse the issue of firm-sponsored training under product market imperfections. In this setting, qualification becomes a public good for firms when their profits are increasing in the stock of skilled workers but remains a private good to students/workers. Students have to pay a tuition fee but at the same time firms sponsor education: universities sell training to both. We prove that the proportion of skilled workers is larger in more competitive economies/industries while the share of firms in the financing of training is a monotonically decreasing function of the degree of competition. An increase of the latter indeed increases the equilibrium skilled wage while reducing its sensitivity to an increase of the supply of skilled workers. The firms’ aggregate expenditures on training per worker are nevertheless a nonmonotonic function of the competitiveness of the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5581-5592 Issue: 57 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1181830 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1181830 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:57:p:5581-5592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shahnaz Abdullah Author-X-Name-First: Shahnaz Author-X-Name-Last: Abdullah Author-Name: Shakil Quayes Author-X-Name-First: Shakil Author-X-Name-Last: Quayes Title: Do women borrowers augment financial performance of MFIs? Abstract: There is some consensus that depth of outreach and financial performance of Microfinance Institutions (MFI) are positively correlated. A majority of microcredit borrowers are women and since the prevalence of female borrowers is even greater among the very poor, there should be a positive correlation between female borrowers and financial performance. Most of the MFIs target women as preferred borrowers. However, no study to date has investigated the relationship between targeting women and MFI’s sustainability with respect to profitability and yield. Utilizing a panel of 892 MFIs over a period of 10 years, this study shows that increased proportion of women borrowers has a statistically significant positive impact on yield and financial performance of MFIs. Consequently, this article also analyses the implication as to whether female borrowers have better repayment rate than male borrowers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5593-5604 Issue: 57 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1181831 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1181831 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:57:p:5593-5604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akihiro Omura Author-X-Name-First: Akihiro Author-X-Name-Last: Omura Author-Name: Richard Chung Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Neda Todorova Author-X-Name-First: Neda Author-X-Name-Last: Todorova Author-Name: Bin Li Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Relative scarcity and convenience yield: evidence from non-ferrous metals Abstract: We study the relationship between convenience yield and relative scarcity in the non-ferrous metal market for the period January 2000–March 2015. We identify various sets of economic relationships for six major base metals, namely, aluminium, copper, lead, nickel, tin and zinc. Our bivariate and multivariate VARs and associated Granger-causality test results generally support the existence of a positive relationship between convenience yields of base metals and our relative scarcity measure. Furthermore, the time-varying characteristics observed in the results, especially during contango and backwardation periods, provide useful information to market players in developing inventory strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5605-5624 Issue: 57 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1181832 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1181832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:57:p:5605-5624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roman Horvath Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Horvath Author-Name: Dominika Katuscakova Author-X-Name-First: Dominika Author-X-Name-Last: Katuscakova Title: Transparency and trust: the case of the European Central Bank Abstract: We examine how the transparency of the European Central Bank’s monetary policy affects the amount of trust that the citizens of the European Union have in this institution. We use nearly half a million individual responses from the European Commission’s Eurobarometer survey from 2000 to 2011 and estimate probit regressions with sample selection. We find that transparency exerts a non-linear effect on trust. Transparency increases trust, but only up to a certain point; too much transparency harms trust. This result is robust to controlling for a number of macroeconomic conditions, financial stability transparency measures, and economic and socio-demographic characteristics of respondents, including examining respondents in European Union countries that do not use the euro and addressing clustering issues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5625-5638 Issue: 57 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1181833 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1181833 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:57:p:5625-5638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sandrine Kablan Author-X-Name-First: Sandrine Author-X-Name-Last: Kablan Author-Name: Olfa Kaabia Author-X-Name-First: Olfa Author-X-Name-Last: Kaabia Title: Transmission channels of international financial crises to African stock markets: the case of the euro sovereign debt crisis Abstract: This article investigates the effects of the European sovereign debt crisis on African stock markets within a Bayesian shrinkage VAR framework. This method allows us to consider both North African and Sub-Saharan African stock markets, and provides a flexible parsimonious specification. The results reveal varying reactions of the impulse response functions. The most exposed African stock markets are those of Egypt, South Africa and Mauritius, while the least affected stock market is, surprisingly, that of Ivory Coast. Our analysis shows that, in addition to direct transmission, several macroeconomic and market channels, such as commodities, exports, and exchange rates, are relevant. Specifically, countries with strong commercial links to European countries will be most impacted by the crisis. The severity of transmission also depends on the country’s dependence on commodities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1992-2011 Issue: 18 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1383597 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1383597 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:18:p:1992-2011 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Fayyaz Sheikh Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Fayyaz Author-X-Name-Last: Sheikh Author-Name: Syed Zulfiqar Ali Shah Author-X-Name-First: Syed Zulfiqar Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Shah Author-Name: Saeed Akbar Author-X-Name-First: Saeed Author-X-Name-Last: Akbar Title: Firm performance, corporate governance and executive compensation in Pakistan Abstract: This study examines the effects of firm performance and corporate governance on chief executive officer (CEO) compensation in an emerging market, Pakistan. Using a more robust Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation approach for a sample of non-financial firms listed at Karachi Stock Exchange over the period 2005–2012, we find that both current- and previous-year accounting performances has positive influence on CEO compensation. However, stock market performance does not appear to have a positive impact on executive compensation. We further find that ownership concentration is positively related with CEO compensation, indicating some kind of collusion between management and largest shareholder to get personal benefits. Inconsistent with agency theory, CEO duality appears to have a negative influence, while board size and board independence have no convincing relationship with CEO compensation, indicating board ineffectiveness in reducing CEO entrenchment. The results of dynamic GMM model suggest that CEO pay is highly persistent and takes time to adjust to long-run equilibrium. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2012-2027 Issue: 18 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1386277 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1386277 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:18:p:2012-2027 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bradley J. Rickard Author-X-Name-First: Bradley J. Author-X-Name-Last: Rickard Author-Name: Olivier Gergaud Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Gergaud Author-Name: Shuay-Tsyr Ho Author-X-Name-First: Shuay-Tsyr Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Florine Livat Author-X-Name-First: Florine Author-X-Name-Last: Livat Title: Trade liberalization in the presence of domestic regulations: public policies applied to EU and U.S. wine markets Abstract: Wine is the highest valued product in the agricultural, food, and beverage sector traded between the United States and the European Union (EU) and wine faces a range of tariffs that are differentiated by country and product category. In addition, the production of wine grapes is heavily regulated within the EU and there are complicated state-level policies in the United States designed to limit the retail availability of wine. There continues to be economic and political pressure for reform to the tariffs between the United States and the EU, and to the domestic regulations in each region. We carefully develop parameters to characterize the effects of tariffs and domestic regulations that affect production and consumption of wine in the two regions. Simulation results show that reductions in tariffs would have relatively small effects in EU and U.S. wine markets, whereas reductions in EU domestic policies that affect wine grape production would have much larger trade and welfare implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2028-2047 Issue: 18 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1386278 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1386278 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:18:p:2028-2047 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Considine Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Considine Author-Name: Liam Gallagher Author-X-Name-First: Liam Author-X-Name-Last: Gallagher Title: Competitive balance in a quasi-double knockout tournament Abstract: In 2001, the All-Ireland Gaelic Football competition changed from being a singleknockout tournament to a quasi-double knockout competition. Similar natural experiments in economics and operational research theory suggest such a change should reduce the competitive balance in the competition. Using a Hirschmann–Herfindahl Index measure of concentration and a bootstrapping approach, we confirm that the new structure leads to a less competitive outcome and, importantly, this outcome is less uncertain. Our bootstrapped results show that in the long run, with larger samples, there is less competitive balance in the new competition structure than in the older structure competition structure. Finally, we also consider a stochastic dominance approach to evaluating the change in tournament structure, but the low power due to the presence of ties in our small sample leads to an inconclusive outcome. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2048-2055 Issue: 18 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1386279 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1386279 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:18:p:2048-2055 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Carles Maixé-Altés Author-X-Name-First: J. Carles Author-X-Name-Last: Maixé-Altés Author-Name: Emma M. Iglesias Author-X-Name-First: Emma M. Author-X-Name-Last: Iglesias Title: Banking, currency, stock market and debt crises in Spain, 1850–1995 Abstract: What type of crisis is generated when debt increases? We extend the literature by framework by introducing currency and stock market crises in the analysis. We apply our proposal to the case of Spain, since this is a country that has experienced a very important amount of financial crises from the nineteenth century onwards. We find the same results as the previous literature for the determinants of banking and debt crises but substituting external and public debt with perpetual debt and where perpetual debt has a less important role than crises in the private sector. Moreover, we find evidence in favour of the hypothesis that currency crises depend strongly and positively on financial centre crises and negatively and mildly on perpetual debt. We justify the negative relalionship due to an inflation tax. We also find evidence in favour of the hypothesis that stock market crises depend only positively and strongly on financial centre crises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2056-2069 Issue: 18 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1386280 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1386280 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:18:p:2056-2069 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gulcan Onel Author-X-Name-First: Gulcan Author-X-Name-Last: Onel Title: Adjustment costs and threshold effects in factor demand relationships Abstract: It has been recently argued that producers may not respond to every input price change in the way that a linear factor demand model would predict. This lumpy response is due to adjustment costs that are inherent in the act of adjusting the mix of inputs applied in the underlying production technologies. This study aims to provide a solid conceptual framework for these nonlinearities in factor demand relationships. Industry-specific implications of convex and non-convex adjustment costs for the linearity of the factor demand relationships as well as price and substitution elasticities are explored. A two-regime threshold system of factor demand equations is estimated for several manufacturing industries in the United States. Empirical results suggest significant threshold effects in the factor demand relationships in most nondurable goods sectors. The size and the nature of thresholds depend upon industry characteristics, including input composition and (non)convexity of underlying adjustment costs. Complete matrices of price and substitution elasticities for each industry are derived using estimates of threshold factor demand systems. Discussion of two contrasting cases in greater detail sheds light on how the effect of price shocks on factor demand relationships varies across industries with different adjustment cost structures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2070-2086 Issue: 18 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1388908 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1388908 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:18:p:2070-2086 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Feng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: M. I. M. Wahab Author-X-Name-First: M. I. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Wahab Author-Name: Jing Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Li Liu Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Is economic policy uncertainty important to forecast the realized volatility of crude oil futures? Abstract: In this research, we first investigate whether economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index can increase the HAR-RV-type models’ forecast accuracy. In addition, we explore how EPU index can be effectively used to gain larger economic values in the oil futures market. To this end, this research provides a new perspective on setting thresholds for EPU and examines whether these thresholds can help improve both the forecast accuracy and economic values. Empirical results suggest that the HAR-RV-type models including EPU can generate more accurate forecasts and economic values. The HAR-RV-type models including above-threshold EPU can further improve the forecast accuracy and yield higher economic values by setting specific thresholds for a range of horizons. The findings highlight the importance of EPU and effective way of using EPU in risk management and portfolio strategies that is crucial for investors and policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2087-2101 Issue: 18 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1388909 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1388909 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:18:p:2087-2101 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul André Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: André Author-Name: Dionysia Dionysiou Author-X-Name-First: Dionysia Author-X-Name-Last: Dionysiou Author-Name: Ioannis Tsalavoutas Author-X-Name-First: Ioannis Author-X-Name-Last: Tsalavoutas Title: Mandated disclosures under IAS 36 Impairment of Assets and IAS 38 Intangible Assets: value relevance and impact on analysts’ forecasts Abstract: Drawing on a large sample of European firms, we examine whether variant compliance levels with mandated disclosures under IAS 36 Impairment of Assets and IAS 38 Intangible Assets are value relevant and affect analysts’ forecasts. Our results indicate a mean (median) compliance level of about 84% (86%) but high variation among firms and disclosure levels regarding IAS 36 being much lower than those regarding IAS 38. In depth, analysis reveals that non-compliance relates mostly to proprietary information and information that reveals managers’ judgment and expectations. Furthermore, we find a positive (negative) relationship between average disclosure levels and market values (analysts’ forecast dispersion). Results, however, hold more specifically for disclosures related to IAS 36, and these also improve analysts’ forecast accuracy. Our findings add knowledge regarding the economic consequences of mandatory disclosures, have an appeal to regulators and financial statement preparers and reflect on the IASB’s concerns to increase the guidance and principles on presentation and disclosure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 707-725 Issue: 7 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1340570 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1340570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:7:p:707-725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yolanda Ubago Martínez Author-X-Name-First: Yolanda Author-X-Name-Last: Ubago Martínez Author-Name: Pedro Pascual Arzoz Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Pascual Author-X-Name-Last: Arzoz Author-Name: Belén Iráizoz Apezteguía Author-X-Name-First: Belén Iráizoz Author-X-Name-Last: Apezteguía Title: Does decentralization contribute to efficiency? Evidence from OECD countries Abstract: This article provides evidence on the relationship between fiscal decentralization and technical efficiency. We begin the first stage of this study with a data envelopment analysis to obtain technical efficiency estimates for a sample of 23 OECD countries over the period 1992–2009. In a second stage, we explore the effects of fiscal decentralization and other control variables on technical efficiency. The results including all the control variables reveal a statistically significant negative relationship between fiscal decentralization of public expenditure and technical efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 726-742 Issue: 7 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1340572 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1340572 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:7:p:726-742 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evangelia Kasimati Author-X-Name-First: Evangelia Author-X-Name-Last: Kasimati Author-Name: Nikolaos Veraros Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Veraros Title: Accuracy of forward freight agreements in forecasting future freight rates Abstract: Participants in the maritime industry place much interest in the Forward Freight Agreements (FFA/FFAs), being an indispensable tool for hedging shipping freight risk. Our article innovates by directly comparing the FFA predictions with their actual future settlement prices as well as by examining contracts going forward as far as next calendar year. We combine straightforward comparison measurements with cointegration analysis to test for the accuracy and efficiency of the FFA projections. We find that FFAs display limited usefulness in predicting future freights, only slightly superior than simple naïve models. The shorter the contract period and the smaller the vessel the better the forecast. We also find FFAs being relatively good predictors of future market direction but missing the turning points of the market cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 743-756 Issue: 7 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1340573 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1340573 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:7:p:743-756 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eunsun Yang Author-X-Name-First: Eunsun Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Sunghyun Henry Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sunghyun Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Maria H Kim Author-X-Name-First: Maria H Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: Macroeconomic shocks and stock market returns: the case of Korea Abstract: This study examines the effects of macroeconomic shocks on key macro variables, including stock market returns in Korea, using the structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model. We suggest a three-variable SVAR model incorporating inflation, output growth and stock returns. We adopt a nonzero z-ratio restriction for the long-run identifying assumption to allow for economically meaningful relationships among variables. While our results support the negative (positive) relation of demand (supply) shocks to stock returns, we also find that demand shocks influence stock market variance more significantly than supply shocks do. The sub-period analysis finds that global market fluctuations during the global financial crisis have relatively little effect on Korean stock market performance. We also examine a generalized five-variable model that includes the foreign exchange rate and interest rate, confirming the results from the three-variable case. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 757-773 Issue: 7 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1340574 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1340574 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:7:p:757-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan-leung Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Yan-leung Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: Yunhao Dai Author-X-Name-First: Yunhao Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Zhiwei Ouyang Author-X-Name-First: Zhiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Ouyang Author-Name: Weiqiang Tan Author-X-Name-First: Weiqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: Who leaves money on the table? The role of founder identity in Hong Kong Abstract: This study investigates the effect of corporate governance factors on the underpricing of initial public offerings (IPOs) in Hong Kong, and the results show that this effect is significant. IPOs are categorized into four subgroups based on the role of the founder: (1) no-founder firms (companies with no specific founder), (2) pure-founder firms (companies whose founder is neither the company’s chairman of the board nor its CEO), (3) founder-chairman/CEO firms (companies whose founder is either the company’s chairman of the board or its CEO) and (4) founder-chairman-CEO firms (companies whose founder is the chairman and CEO). The results demonstrate a significant descending pattern for the underpricing level of the four subgroups, which can be explained by the varying incentive and behaviour mechanisms that result from the various founder identities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 774-788 Issue: 7 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1340577 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1340577 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:7:p:774-788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liang Ding Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Author-Name: Qianyi Yang Author-X-Name-First: Qianyi Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Asymmetric impact of monetary surprises on exchange rate Abstract: This paper examines the asymmetric response of exchange rate to monetary surprises. After controlling the type, direction and origin of the news as well as business cycle phase, a new asymmetry is found in the response of the exchange rate to news surprises. In specific, the US Dollar depreciates against major currencies as the response to the negative monetary surprises in the 2001 recession, while the Dollar appreciates responding to similar negative monetary surprises during the 2008 recession. The paper further explores possible causes and finds that time-varying status of the currency with higher financial returns may contribute to the new asymmetry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 789-803 Issue: 7 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1340578 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1340578 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:7:p:789-803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David E. Allen Author-X-Name-First: David E. Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: Chialin Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chialin Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Michael McAleer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McAleer Author-Name: Abhay K Singh Author-X-Name-First: Abhay K Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: A cointegration analysis of agricultural, energy and bio-fuel spot, and futures prices Abstract: This article features an analysis of the cointegration relationships among agricultural commodity, ethanol and Cushing crude oil spot, and future prices. The use of grains for the creation of bio-fuels has sparked fears that these demands are inflating food prices. We analyse approximately 10 years of daily spot and futures prices for corn, wheat, sugar ethanol, and oil prices from Datastream for the period 19 July 2006 to 2 July 2015. The analysis features Engle-Granger pairwise cointegration and partial cointegration. Pairs of series, that are cointegrated, are analysed using Markov-switching VECM and Impulse Response Analysis, which confirms that these markets have significant linkages that vary according to whether they are in low or high volatility regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 804-823 Issue: 7 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1340581 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1340581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:7:p:804-823 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marinela Adriana Finta Author-X-Name-First: Marinela Adriana Author-X-Name-Last: Finta Author-Name: Bart Frijns Author-X-Name-First: Bart Author-X-Name-Last: Frijns Author-Name: Alireza Tourani-Rad Author-X-Name-First: Alireza Author-X-Name-Last: Tourani-Rad Title: Volatility spillovers among oil and stock markets in the US and Saudi Arabia Abstract: In this article, we use high frequency data and an identification via changes in volatility approach to assess the volatility spillovers among oil and the US and Saudi Arabian stock markets. We document the existence of asymmetry in contemporaneous spillover effects. Particularly, during the times when oil’s trading hours overlap with the US and Saudi Arabian stock markets, the volatility spillover from oil to the stock markets is higher than the other way around. We highlight the importance of taking into consideration the information present during continuous trading hours of oil, especially during simultaneous trading hours with the stock markets. We compare our findings based on our structural VAR with those of a traditional reduced-form VAR, and observe that contemporaneous and intraday effects are necessary to be taken into account since the indirect transmission of volatility occurs through them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 329-345 Issue: 4 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494811 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494811 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:4:p:329-345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuelian Bai Author-X-Name-First: Xuelian Author-X-Name-Last: Bai Author-Name: Yi Dong Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Nan Hu Author-X-Name-First: Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Financial report readability and stock return synchronicity Abstract: In this study, we investigate the impact of firm-specific information-processing cost, proxied by annual report readability, on investors’ firm-specific information usage, proxied by firm stock return synchronicity. We expect that more readable financial reports would reduce firm-specific information-processing costs and, therefore, reduce stock return synchronicity. We propose a new readability measure and demonstrate that, as the readability of annual reports increases, the firm’s future stock return synchronicity decreases. Furthermore, the effect of report readability on stock return synchronicity is more concentrated on firms with low analyst coverage or institutional ownership. Finally, the impact of readability on stock synchronicity is more concentrated on firms with high information asymmetry, such as firms small in size, with high R&D spending, or with high growth. The benefit of incorporating more firm-specific information (e.g. from a more readable financial report) into stock price is consistent with the SECs continuous attempt to make public company reports easier to comprehend. Managers of publicly listed firms should be aware of such a benefit and make their financial reports more readable by incorporating more tables, especially when their firms face high information asymmetry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 346-363 Issue: 4 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1495824 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1495824 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:4:p:346-363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zongxin Li Author-X-Name-First: Zongxin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhiping Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zhiping Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Yongchang Hui Author-X-Name-First: Yongchang Author-X-Name-Last: Hui Title: Portfolio selection through Maslow’s need hierarchy theory Abstract: Inspired by Maslow’s need hierarchy theory, we construct a new portfolio selection framework using the bi-level optimization technique in which the lower-level need relates to safety (low risk) while the upper-level need is concerned with self-actualization (high payoff). Specially, we consider a bi-level portfolio selection model using variance and conditional value-at-risk associated with the lower-level need and upper-level need, respectively. Accordingly, we propose a procedure to solve this bi-level optimization problem without the normal distribution assumption. Empirical study on the American stock market and U.K. stock market shows that our new model can determine optimal portfolios with moderate diversification. Out of sample performance also confirms that in our framework investors can obtain higher returns in a safe way compared to models in the traditional framework. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 364-372 Issue: 4 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1496223 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1496223 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:4:p:364-372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yue Yu Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: A preliminary exploration on stochastic dynamic asset allocation models under a continuous-time sticky-price general equilibrium Abstract: This article studies asset allocation problems under endogenous macroeconomic dynamics and monetary policy rules, by merging a continuous-time sticky-price general equilibrium model based on the New Keynesian framework with a stochastic dynamic portfolio selection model. Under optimal allocation strategies, the inverse of the Arrow–Pratt relative risk aversion function of investors decreases monotonically with a rising risk-free nominal interest rate, and exhibits a U shape with respect to inflation. This shows that, under the premise of an inflation-targeting monetary policy rule, the investors’ relative inclination for risky assets grows when inflation deviates from its steady state, in expectation for a countervailing nominal policy rate. The article also uses the model to discuss the macro-prudential problem of the feedback effects of the investors’ intertemporal utility-maximizing behaviour on the economy. Preliminary results show that the existence of risky assets in the economy can have an effect similar to that of the financial accelerator. This gives another possible explanation for the wedge effect beyond the traditional incentive theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 373-386 Issue: 4 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1497851 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1497851 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:4:p:373-386 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahdi Majbouri Author-X-Name-First: Mahdi Author-X-Name-Last: Majbouri Title: Twins, family size and female labour force participation in Iran Abstract: Despite the remarkable increase in women’s education levels and the rapid fall of their fertility rate in Iran, female labour force participation (FLFP) has remained low. Using the instrumental variable method, this article estimates the causal impact of number of children on mothers’ participation in the labour market. It finds that having an extra (unplanned) child would only reduce female participation rate for low-educated mothers and mothers with young children, thus having no causal impact on most mothers’ participation. This result explains why the rapid decline in fertility rates did not increase female participation; rather, other factors should be at play. It hence moves us a step forward in explaining the puzzle of FLFP in Iran. Policy implications are discussed.Abbreviation: FLFP: Female Labour Force Participation; LFP: Labour Force Participation Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 387-397 Issue: 4 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1497853 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1497853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:4:p:387-397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sefa Awaworyi Churchill Author-X-Name-First: Sefa Awaworyi Author-X-Name-Last: Churchill Author-Name: Kris Ivanovski Author-X-Name-First: Kris Author-X-Name-Last: Ivanovski Author-Name: Mita Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Mita Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Title: The role of ethnic diversity in sustainable environmental growth: new evidence across different income regions Abstract: We examine the relationship between ethnic diversity and environmental quality, proxied by carbon dioxide ($${\rm C{O_2}}$$CO2) emissions. Ethnic diversity is captured using indices of ethnic fractionalization. Adopting a supply-demand framework which introduces a model for economic growth, we find that ethnic fractionalization reduces $${\rm C{O_2}}$$CO2 emissions. The negative effect of ethnic diversity on $${\rm C{O_2}}$$CO2 emissions is also consistent across middle and low-income countries as well as high-income countries. However, results suggest that ethnic diversity has a negative effect on growth in middle and low-income countries, but a positive effect on growth in high-income countries. Our findings prove robust to alternative estimation methods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 398-408 Issue: 4 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1497854 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1497854 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:4:p:398-408 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Habtamu Alem Author-X-Name-First: Habtamu Author-X-Name-Last: Alem Author-Name: Gudbrand Lien Author-X-Name-First: Gudbrand Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Author-Name: J. Brian Hardaker Author-X-Name-First: J. Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Hardaker Author-Name: Atle Guttormsen Author-X-Name-First: Atle Author-X-Name-Last: Guttormsen Title: Regional differences in technical efficiency and technological gap of Norwegian dairy farms: a stochastic meta-frontier model Abstract: This paper compares technical efficiencies (TEs) and technological gap ratios (TGRs) for dairy farms in regions of Norway, accounting for differences in working environments. We used the state-of-the-art stochastic meta-frontier approach to estimate TEs and TGRs to account for regional heterogeneity, and the ‘true’ random-effect model to account for farm effects. The dataset used was farm-level balanced panel data for 24 years (1992–2014), with 5442 observations from 731 dairy farms. The results of the analysis provide empirical evidence of small regional differences in TEs, TGRs, and input use. Furthermore, the results may provide support for the more regionally specific agricultural policy, in terms of support schemes and structural regulations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 409-421 Issue: 4 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1502867 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1502867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:4:p:409-421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David E. Allen Author-X-Name-First: David E. Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: Michael McAleer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McAleer Author-Name: Abhay K. Singh Author-X-Name-First: Abhay K. Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Daily market news sentiment and stock prices Abstract: In recent years there has been a tremendous growth in readily available news related to traded assets in international financial markets. This financial news is now available through real-time online sources such as Internet news and social media sources. The increase in the availability of financial news and investor’s ease of access to it has a potentially significant impact on market stock price movement as these news items are swiftly transformed into investors sentiment which in turn drives prices. In this study, we use the Thomson Reuters News Analytics (TRNA) data set to construct a series of daily sentiment scores for Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) stock index constituents. We use these daily DJIA market sentiment scores to study the influence of financial news sentiment scores on the stock returns of these constituents using a multi-factor model. We augment the Fama–French three-factor model with the day’s sentiment score along with lagged scores to evaluate the additional effects of financial news sentiment on stock prices in the context of this model using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Quantile Regression (QR) to analyse the effect around the tail of the return distribution. We also conduct the analysis using the seven-day simple moving average (SMA) of the scores to account for news released on non-trading days. Our results suggest that even when market factors are taken into account, sentiment scores have a significant effect on Dow Jones constituent returns and that lagged daily sentiment scores are often significant, suggesting that information compounded in these scores is not immediately reflected in security prices and related return series. The results also indicate that the SMA measure does not have a significant effect on the returns. The analysis using Quantile Regression provides evidence that the news has more impact on left tail compared to the right tail of the returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3212-3235 Issue: 30 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1564115 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1564115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:30:p:3212-3235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian Fernandez-Perez Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Perez Author-Name: Bart Frijns Author-X-Name-First: Bart Author-X-Name-Last: Frijns Author-Name: Alireza Tourani-Rad Author-X-Name-First: Alireza Author-X-Name-Last: Tourani-Rad Author-Name: Jean-Philippe Weisskopf Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Philippe Author-X-Name-Last: Weisskopf Title: Behavioural heterogeneity in wine investments Abstract: We introduce a heterogeneous agent model to explain the dynamics of fine wine investments. Our results show evidence of the existence of both fundamentalists – those who trade on mean-reversion towards a fair value – and chartists – those who extrapolate recently observed price trends – in the wine market. Moreover, we document that market participants switch between the two trading strategies, allocating more weight to the strategy that has been the most accurate in forecasting wine index values in the recent past. This switching behaviour can explain the large variations in index values (bubbles and crashes) that are observed in the fine wine market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3236-3255 Issue: 30 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1566686 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1566686 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:30:p:3236-3255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Howard Qi Author-X-Name-First: Howard Author-X-Name-Last: Qi Author-Name: Jian Shi Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Yan Alice Xie Author-X-Name-First: Yan Alice Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Title: Default correlation: rating, industry ripple effect, and business cycle Abstract: For a well-diversified bond portfolio, default risk over the investment horizon is known as the major risk and the risk is largely from correlated defaults. While plenty of theoretical work about default correlation has been developed, empirical studies on default correlation have not made much progress in the past two decades. In this paper, we fill this void in the literature by thoroughly investigating how default correlation changes across different bond ratings, over different time horizons, and across different industries over the sample period of 1970 to 2014. In particular, we examine how rating-based default correlations change before, during, and after recessions. More importantly, we reveal the ‘industry ripple effect’ that default correlations are low within upstream industries but become higher within downstream industries along the structure of the supply chain. Also, default correlations are relatively high between upstream industries and downstream industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3256-3273 Issue: 30 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1566689 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1566689 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:30:p:3256-3273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Catalina Hurwitz Author-X-Name-First: Catalina Author-X-Name-Last: Hurwitz Author-Name: Wen-Hsiu Chou Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Hsiu Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Chun-Hao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Chun-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Arun Prakash Author-X-Name-First: Arun Author-X-Name-Last: Prakash Title: The determinants of firms’ global diversification decisions Abstract: Why do some firms choose to be ‘born global’ and become early internationalizing firms (EIFs) while others choose to be ‘born-again global’ and develop into late internationalizing firms (LIFs)? What are the main factors impacting a firm’s decision on the timing of global diversification? Based on the theories of diversification, this study examines the role of peer influence and desire for growth on the timing of a firm’s globalization decision. We further study the idiosyncratic risk and the adoption of technological innovation hypotheses on global diversification. Our results document that innovation efficiency strongly enhances EIFs’ propensity to global diversification. On the other hand, peer pressure and idiosyncratic risk level significantly influence EIFs not to globalize. In contrast, LIFs are positively influenced by their industry peers, showing how young and mature companies respond to the market competition in a different manner. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3274-3292 Issue: 30 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1566690 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1566690 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:30:p:3274-3292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabien Candau Author-X-Name-First: Fabien Author-X-Name-Last: Candau Author-Name: Geoffroy Guepie Author-X-Name-First: Geoffroy Author-X-Name-Last: Guepie Author-Name: Julie Schlick Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Schlick Title: Moving to autarky, trade creation and home market effect: an exhaustive analysis of regional trade agreements in Africa Abstract: This article analyses the effects of Regional Trade Agreements (RTAs) on bilateral trade in Africa. A structural gravity equation is estimated over the period 1955–2014. The overall effect of RTAs on African trade is strong, but depending on the nature of the RTAs, there is a decreasing impact over time. While Economic Integration Agreements (EIAs) still favour trade in Africa, there was no trade creation coming from Free Trade Agreements between 1990 and 2014. However, the provisions of RTAs do not have a negative impact on trade: agreements that include behind-the-border policies do not significantly deter bilateral trade. To explain the declining impact of RTAs, we look at their redistributive impact between members states. There is no evidence that large countries disproportionally export diversified goods due to RTAs (no ‘home effect’). Countries with a good international network (‘hub effect’) benefited more than other countries of RTAs between 1955 and 1990 but this is however less true on the most recent period (1990–2014). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3293-3309 Issue: 30 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1566691 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1566691 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:30:p:3293-3309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei-Han Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Han Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: An empirical re-examination of extreme tail behavior: testing the assumptions of the power laws and the generalized Pareto distribution on the financial series Abstract: This study investigates whether the power laws and the associated generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) exist in the extreme tail behavior of financial return series. We include 10 series of five major financial categories over the period 1971–2018 for empirical analysis. For the former assumption, we test three representative power-law distributions. For the latter, we employ an innovative bootstrap goodness-of-fit test of GPD modeling. We also discuss the relationship between both assumptions. The empirical outcomes indicate that both assumptions do not necessarily hold for all tail series due to the outlying observations. The rejection of the power laws assumption leads to the rejection of the GPD assumption. This rejection does not promise the non-rejection of power laws either. However, the non-rejection of either assumption does not imply non-rejection of the other assumption. Power-law distribution and exponential distribution outperform log-normal distribution in tail fitting. GPD fits better at the 1% quantile level than at the 5% level. Overall, we need to acknowledge the considerable gap between the goodness-of-fit testing outcomes of both the power laws and GPD assumptions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3310-3324 Issue: 30 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1574968 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1574968 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:30:p:3310-3324 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luigino Bruni Author-X-Name-First: Luigino Author-X-Name-Last: Bruni Author-Name: Dalila De Rosa Author-X-Name-First: Dalila Author-X-Name-Last: De Rosa Author-Name: Giovanni Ferri Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Ferri Title: Cooperatives and happiness. Cross-country evidence on the role of relational capital Abstract: Why is the share of happy people higher in some countries than in their equally developed neighbours? We conjecture that the apparent contradiction might depend on a country’s endowment of relational capital, which we proxy empirically with the extent of cooperativeness. In particular, within the black box of social capital, we consider relational capital as the outcome of the civil economy paradigm and use cooperativeness as the macro and objective proxy of long term face-to-face interaction. Compiling an index of the importance of the cooperative sector, we test whether more cooperativeness associates with more happiness controlling for countries’ HDI and other control variables. Checking for endogeneity, using various country samples, and through different regression methods we find support for our hypothesis. This suggests that, indeed, an institutionalized cooperative culture can promote happiness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3325-3343 Issue: 30 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1575944 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1575944 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:30:p:3325-3343 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ningjing Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ningjing Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Weixian Wei Author-X-Name-First: Weixian Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: China’s regional rebound effect based on modelling multi-regional CGE Abstract: Improving energy efficiency has been regarded as an important measure to reduce energy consumption, yet the rebound effect has greatly shrunken the energy saving consequences of this measure. To investigate regional rebound effect in China, a multi-region computed general equilibrium (CGE) model is established in this paper. The results show that there are obvious regional differences in the rebound effect in China. The primary energy rebound effects are positive, whereas the production-side power rebounds are below zero in most regions. We also simulated the energy subsidy reform scenarios, which indicates that reducing or even eliminating coal and oil subsidies will increase the production-side rebounds. Finally, feasible policy recommendations are put forward based on the results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5712-5726 Issue: 53 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1616076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1616076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:53:p:5712-5726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cinthia Cabral Da Costa Author-X-Name-First: Cinthia Cabral Da Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Author-Name: Heloisa Lee Burnquist Author-X-Name-First: Heloisa Lee Author-X-Name-Last: Burnquist Author-Name: Joaquim José Martins Guilhoto Author-X-Name-First: Joaquim José Martins Author-X-Name-Last: Guilhoto Author-Name: Kennya B. Siqueira Author-X-Name-First: Kennya B. Author-X-Name-Last: Siqueira Title: Should special agricultural safeguard be ignored? An evaluation for dairy trade Abstract: This study measured the impact of special agricultural safeguards (SSG) on dairy products imports by the US and Japan. It was observed that dairy products have been the most affected by this protectionist measures, and that these countries are relevant importers that impose SSG. The tariff lines subject to SSG were selected, and the period of analysis was from 1995 to 2015. The results showed that the impact of SSG applied by the US was much higher than for Japan. The overall estimated value of imports that did not happen due to the application of SSGs was approximately USD 2 billion. Specifically for the Brazilian economy, the condensed milk not exported to the US due to SSG applied cost the country BRL 345 million in GDP value and almost 4.5 thousand jobs. These results might be underestimating these effects, since the SSG tariff was not subject to calculation in several years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5727-5740 Issue: 53 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1619016 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1619016 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:53:p:5727-5740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tingting Tong Author-X-Name-First: Tingting Author-X-Name-Last: Tong Author-Name: Haizheng Li Author-X-Name-First: Haizheng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Samuel Greiff Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Greiff Title: Human capital and leadership: the impact of cognitive and noncognitive abilities Abstract: We conduct an economic analysis about the impact of human capital on an individual’s potential of becoming a leader based on data from the Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies Survey (PIAAC). Our human capital indicators include not only traditional measures such as education and experience, but also various measures of cognitive and noncognitive ability. Our cognitive ability measures include numeracy, literacy, and problem solving abilities, and noncognitive ability measures include perseverance, motivation to learn, and social trust. We specifically investigate the effect of measurement error and reverse causality on the estimation results. We find that problem-solving ability is the most important in affecting leadership among cognitive ability measures, and perseverance shows the strongest impact among noncognitive ability measures. As a leader supervises more employees, the role of cognitive and noncognitive ability becomes more critical. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5741-5752 Issue: 53 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1619022 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1619022 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:53:p:5741-5752 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Eleonora Pierucci Author-X-Name-First: Eleonora Author-X-Name-Last: Pierucci Author-Name: Frank Fu Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Title: Risk sharing role of foreign aid in developing countries Abstract: The effects of foreign aid on economic growth have been extensively investigated over the past 40 years. However, even though foreign aid can be a significant source of insurance against domestic output shocks for developing countries, its risk-sharing role has not been well explored. Using a sample of 22 developing countries over the period 2003–2013, we estimate the degree of income smoothing generated by foreign aid serving as an effective channel of international income smoothing. In particular, for the period 2003–2008, we estimate that foreign aid offset about 4% of the domestic output shocks. Furthermore, we investigate the determinants of the extent of risk sharing via foreign aid, recognizing the diversification of the originating countries as a key factor. Surprisingly, humanitarian aid seems to have a negative effect, which might be explained by its predominant role in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5753-5766 Issue: 53 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1619024 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1619024 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:53:p:5753-5766 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fengyun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Fengyun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Honghao Ren Author-X-Name-First: Honghao Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Chuanzhe Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chuanzhe Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Housing price fluctuations and financial risk transmission: a spatial economic model Abstract: Financial risk derived from housing price fluctuations in China garnered much public concern recently. Based on the theoretical analyses of the transmission of financial risk from housing price fluctuations, this paper establishes panel spatial Durbin models to empirically analyse housing price fluctuations and financial risks transmission from a spatial economic perspective. Employing the panel provincial data from 1999–2015, we conduct an analysis on the 30 provinces in China as well as a comparison among the Eastern, Middle and Western regions of China. The results indicate that: (1) The soaring housing prices driven by bank credit, real estate developers’ heavy investment, local governments’ land revenue and individuals and households demands leads to financial risk in various sectors; (2) due to the ‘substitution effect’, the capital agglomeration in metropolis from bank credits, real estate developers, and individuals and households furthers the amassment of financial risks; (3) housing prices have a significant spatial contagion effect throughout the country, and financial risk could directly transmit across provinces through housing price fluctuations; (4) financial risks could indirectly transmit across provinces via the ‘imitative behaviour’ or ‘driving effect’ of different sectors for different regions of China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5767-5780 Issue: 53 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1619025 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1619025 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:53:p:5767-5780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Author-Name: Jeremy Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Martin O’Brien Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: O’Brien Title: Asymmetric responses of house prices to changes in the mortgage interest rate: evidence from the Australian capital cities Abstract: We examine the dynamic and asymmetric responses of house prices to changes in mortgage interest rates in Australia from January 1995 to November 2017. We propose a threshold intervention model to distinguish between the effects of positive versus negative changes in the standard variable interest rate. The results indicate that rising interest rates decrease house prices more than falling interest rates increase them. For example, a 1% decrease in interest rates increases Sydney’s house prices by 0.7%, whereas a 1% increase leads to a 1.5% fall. The findings also support the view that when interest rates are on the rise, house prices in larger capital cities such as Sydney and Melbourne fall faster than in their smaller counterparts. Our findings imply that a rise in interest rates may thus lead to sharp, fast and significant falls in house prices, a phenomenon which will not simply be a symmetric unwinding of earlier price increases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5781-5792 Issue: 53 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1619026 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1619026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:53:p:5781-5792 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William E. Maples Author-X-Name-First: William E. Author-X-Name-Last: Maples Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Author-Name: Xiaoli L. Etienne Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoli L. Author-X-Name-Last: Etienne Title: Hedging effectiveness of fertilizer swaps Abstract: The fertilizer swaps market is a potential tool to protect against fertilizer price risk. The swaps evaluated here are cash settled using The Fertilizer Index. Hedge ratios and hedging effectiveness are calculated for urea and DAP diammonium phosphate (DAP)) swaps. Urea and DAP swaps perform poorly as a hedging tool over a one-week horizon. As the hedging horizon increases, the hedging effectiveness of swaps improves. The swaps are more effective in mitigating risk across ocean freight routes than across inland routes. The limited hedging effectiveness is due to high spatial basis risk in fertilizer markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5793-5801 Issue: 53 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1624916 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1624916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:53:p:5793-5801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Syed Abul Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Syed Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Title: Price hike of staple food, nutritional impact and consumption adjustment: evidence from the 2005–2010 rice price increase in rural Bangladesh Abstract: This paper studies the nutritional impact of the rice price increase between 2005 and 2010 on households in rural Bangladesh and their resulting adjustment in consumption of rice, non-rice food and non-food items. We compare net rice buyers, who suffer from a negative income effect, with self-sufficient households that do not suffer from any such effect. Our findings indicate that rural households in Bangladesh cope well with the surge in the domestic rice price as indicated by the absence of any effect on their calorie intake and dietary diversity. In fact, both types of households similarly change their consumption of rice, non-rice grain, pulses, protein, fruits and other items. Furthermore, we do not find any evidence of buyers’ switching towards low-quality items in a food group. In a separate analysis, we compare net rice sellers with self-sufficient households and arrive at a similar conclusion. In both cases, income plays a crucial role in the consumption of non-rice food and non-food items, indicating the importance of effective income support programs at the time of price shocks in staple food items. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 743-761 Issue: 8 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1508870 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1508870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:8:p:743-761 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amarakoon Bandara Author-X-Name-First: Amarakoon Author-X-Name-Last: Bandara Title: Youth labor market expectations and job matching in sub-Saharan Africa: evidence from school-to-work transition surveys Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the factors that influence youth labour market expectations and outcomes. We also perform a job matching exercise to understand youth labour market dynamics in Sub-Saharan Africa. Our results show that youth education is an influential factor of youth employment expectations and employment, ceteris paribus. Higher educational attainments have a great impact on expecting and securing better jobs, particularly in the technical and professional fields. Youth with low educational attainments, particularly primary education and lower, have a higher tendency to expect to be employed in occupations with low job complexity. Our results indicate a severe job-skill mismatch in all occupational categories, both before and after the youth’s transition into the labour market. Using education as the only selection criterion, we found that less than 10 per cent of employment expectations match with skills required while 55 per cent and 34 per cent are under or over-educated for the jobs expected, respectively. Over and under education is a notable feature in youth labour markets in Sub-Saharan Africa. About 47 per cent of employed youth in the sample are overqualified for their respective jobs while 28 per cent are under qualified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 762-780 Issue: 8 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1512742 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1512742 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:8:p:762-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sefa Awaworyi Churchill Author-X-Name-First: Sefa Author-X-Name-Last: Awaworyi Churchill Author-Name: Ahmed Salim Nuhu Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Salim Author-X-Name-Last: Nuhu Author-Name: Karely Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Karely Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Title: Persistence of gender inequality: the role of ethnic divisions Abstract: Gender inequality remains a fundamental challenge for global policymakers given that it has detrimental implications for growth and human capital formation. However, studies examining the roots of gender inequality, and what determines the level of inequality are relatively scant. In this study, we seek to contribute to the literature that examines the roots of gender inequality and thus, our objective is to examine the impact of ethnic diversity on gender inequality. We argue that the level of ethnic diversity within a country plays a role in either deepening or bridging gender gaps. Using indices of ethnic fractionalization, we examine the effects of ethnic diversity on measures of gender inequality such as the gender inequality index, and its associated dimensions of empowerment, educational attainment and labour market outcomes. Our evidence suggests that ethnic diversity widens existing gender gaps. We discuss several mechanisms through which ethnic diversity may lead to the increase of existing gender gaps, and lay out various policy approaches to address gender inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 781-796 Issue: 8 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1513635 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1513635 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:8:p:781-796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linyue Li Author-X-Name-First: Linyue Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhixian Sun Author-X-Name-First: Zhixian Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Xiang Long Author-X-Name-First: Xiang Author-X-Name-Last: Long Title: An empirical analysis of night-time light data based on the gravity model Abstract: This article aims to explore the feasibility of applying night-time light data to the study of trade. Based on 61 countries’ panel data from 1995 to 2012, this research used night-time light data, as the substitute for GDP, to study trade development based on the traditional gravity model. The method of ordinary least squares, Poisson pseudo-maximum-likelihood and two-stage least squares were used. The results show that geographical distance, country borders and regional agreements have a significant effect on China’s trade with other Belt and Road countries, which verifies the validity of trade research based on night-time light data analysis. Additionally, comparisons reveal the trade trends predicted by night-time light data from 1996 to 2012, were highly consistent with the actual data. This article stands as the first study to apply night-time light data to the gravity model in the research on trade between China and other Belt and Road countries. Breaking new ground, this research uses night-time light data as an economic indicator to study trade, in combination with micro foundations and the latest findings of the gravity model. Thus, this article deepens the understanding of trade analysis and contributing to the field of related researches. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 797-814 Issue: 8 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1523612 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1523612 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:8:p:797-814 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jun Sung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jun Sung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Bin Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Chuhui Li Author-X-Name-First: Chuhui Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Hee-Seung Yang Author-X-Name-First: Hee-Seung Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Returns to women’s education using optimal IV selection Abstract: This paper investigates returns to women’s education by applying an optimal IV selection approach, post-Lasso IV estimation, which improves the first-stage predictive relationship between an endogenous regressor and instruments. Using the 2010 American Community Survey, we find that an extra year of education increases married women’s own income by $4,480 and spouse income by $8,822. Our findings indicate that 53% of the increase in women’s consumption by education is attributed to the marriage market, and thus, we conclude that the marriage market is the primary channel through which education improves women’s well-being. The results demonstrate the advantages of the post-Lasso approach: The resulting two-stage least squares estimator maintains efficiency without increasing finite sample bias and is less subject to the inconsistency problem when some instruments are invalid; This differs from the results using the instrument of birth quarters only, which is mostly applied in studies on returns to education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 815-830 Issue: 8 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524126 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:8:p:815-830 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thierno Amadou Barry Author-X-Name-First: Thierno Amadou Author-X-Name-Last: Barry Author-Name: Amine Tarazi Author-X-Name-First: Amine Author-X-Name-Last: Tarazi Author-Name: Paul Wachtel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Wachtel Title: Falling under the control of a different type of owner:risk-taking implications for banks Abstract: European banks have experienced significant changes in the type of entity that owns them (another bank, an individual or a family, a non-financial company, an institutional investor, a government, a foreign entity, a domestic entity…). In this paper, we look at the influence of ownership type changes on risk and profitability. Working with a panel of commercial banks from 17 European countries, we find that although banks that experience a change in ownership type do not exhibit lower or higher risk or profitability than other banks, their risk and profitability is significantly affected after the change takes place. The type of the acquirer plays a significant role in explaining the observed changes. When the acquirer is a non-financial company, the state or an institutional investor, the level of risk increases after the change while the level of profitability remains unchanged. Conversely, when the acquirer is a bank, we find that the level of risk-adjusted profitability decreases. Banks acquired by a different type of owner during the global financial crisis do not perform better or worse than they did before. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 831-847 Issue: 8 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524127 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524127 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:8:p:831-847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam Zaremba Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Zaremba Author-Name: George Kambouris Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Kambouris Title: The sources of momentum in international government bond returns Abstract: This study aims to offer a new explanation for the momentum effect in international government bonds. Using cross-sectional and time-series tests, we examine a sample of bonds from 22 countries for the years 1980 through 2018. We document significant momentum profits that are not attributable to bond-specific risk factors, such as volatility or credit risk. The global bond momentum is driven by the returns on underlying foreign exchange rates. Controlling for currency movements fully explains the abnormal returns on momentum strategies in international government bonds. The results are robust to many considerations including alternative sorting periods, portfolio construction methods, as well as subperiod and subsample analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 848-857 Issue: 8 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524132 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524132 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:8:p:848-857 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu-Sheng Kao Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Kao Author-Name: Hao-Yang Sun Author-X-Name-First: Hao-Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Chien-Chung Nieh Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Nieh Author-Name: Kai Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Does microtherm boost pharmaceutical companies’ market capitalization returns? Abstract: The purpose of this study was to survey the relationship between the temperature factors and market capitalization returns of pharmaceutical companies by analysing both the daily and weekly frequency data in Taiwan. The threshold regression model with the GJR-GARCH process was applied for examination in this study; we found that pharmaceutical companies’ market capitalization returns could be boosted after exposure to extremely low temperatures for a period of time. Besides, the delayed effect of cold weather is demonstrated to exist. This phenomenon can be illustrated by epidemiological evidence-related mental factors, not by traditional behavioural finance. Moreover, lower weekly average temperatures are beneficial for investors to gain weekly pharmaceutical companies’ market capitalization returns. We are of the opinion that our findings offer an insightful suggestion for investors to buy pharmaceutical stocks at an opportune moment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1522-1535 Issue: 14 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1368988 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1368988 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:14:p:1522-1535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: N. Arfaoui Author-X-Name-First: N. Author-X-Name-Last: Arfaoui Title: Eco-innovation and regulatory push/pull effect in the case of REACH regulation: empirical evidence based on survey data Abstract: Numerous theoretical and empirical studies provide evidence of a positive correlation between eco-innovation and environmental regulation. However, few analyses explain how environmental policies drive eco-innovation. This article studies eco-innovation-friendly mechanisms in the design of European REACH (Registration, Evaluation, Authorization of Chemicals) regulation. The aim of REACH, which became effective in 2007, is ‘to ensure a high level of protection of human health and the environment while improving competitiveness and innovation’ which makes it appropriate and original for analysing the relationship between environmental regulation and eco-innovation. The primary contribution of this article is to provide a new theoretical and empirical perspective on eco-innovation by showing how design regulation is able to push and pull the environment innovation, based on an original survey related to REACH regulation. The econometric model shows that (1) regulatory-push mechanisms seem to be more important drivers than regulatory-pull mechanisms; (2) the process of authorization and the obligation to transmit information throughout the supply chain play an important role in ‘pushing’ eco-innovation, suggesting that policymakers should promote new ‘green knowledge’ to encourage eco-innovation; (3) extending obligations has a significantly positive effect on ‘pulling’ eco-innovation and (4) only well-designed instruments, appropriate for the techno-industrial and institutional contexts in which they are to be applied, lead to innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1536-1554 Issue: 14 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1368989 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1368989 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:14:p:1536-1554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tania Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Tania Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Adalbert Winkler Author-X-Name-First: Adalbert Author-X-Name-Last: Winkler Title: The challenge of rural financial inclusion – evidence from microfinance Abstract: Financial inclusion is said to foster development and growth. However, progress in financial inclusion has been slow in rural areas where poverty is most pronounced. This is often attributed to higher transaction costs, higher risks and a more unfavourable contracting environment which makes it more difficult for financial institutions to achieve and maintain sustainability in rural compared to urban areas. Based on data covering 772 microfinance institutions (MFIs) over the period 2008–2013, we test whether rural financial inclusion, notably lending to rural borrowers, is hampered by stronger sustainability challenges than inclusion in urban markets. Our results suggest that a higher share of rural borrowers has no direct effect on MFI sustainability. However, we find that MFIs with a higher share of rural borrowers are less able to exploit economies of scale and productivity effects. Thus, our results provide support for the view that sustainability challenges make it more difficult to achieve progress in financial inclusion in rural than in urban areas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1555-1577 Issue: 14 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1368990 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1368990 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:14:p:1555-1577 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Kruppe Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Kruppe Author-Name: Julia Lang Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Lang Title: Labour market effects of retraining for the unemployed: the role of occupations Abstract: We analyse the impact of retraining for unemployed low-skilled job-seekers in Germany. This extensive training programme leads to a formal vocational degree, which is often required to access certain professions. Applying statistical matching methods, we find that on average, after a period with large lock-in effects, retraining strongly increases the employment probability of participants, especially women. We add to the literature by estimating the employment effects for different occupations for which participants are trained. Our results show that there are substantial differences depending on the occupation. As the composition of trained occupations differs for men and women, segregation could be a driver of higher employment effects for women. However, comparisons of men and women trained for the same occupations reveal that even after controlling for segregation, women profit more from retraining. While caseworkers are instructed to choose professions with high labour demand, other aspects, such as working conditions, preferences and aptitudes of participants, should be crucial in the choice of a suitable occupation. An individual assessment of the suitability of an occupation could therefore improve the overall effectiveness of the programme. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1578-1600 Issue: 14 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1368992 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1368992 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:14:p:1578-1600 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haileslasie Tadele Author-X-Name-First: Haileslasie Author-X-Name-Last: Tadele Author-Name: Helen Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Author-Name: Rosalind H. Whiting Author-X-Name-First: Rosalind H. Author-X-Name-Last: Whiting Title: Microfinance institutions’ transparency in Sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: This study analyses the impact of the ownership structure and macro-level factors on Microfinance institutions’ (MFIs) transparency in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Using cross-sectional data from 223 MFIs in 11 countries, we find that MFI transparency in SSA is low and highly variable. Our results indicate that larger MFIs and non-governmental organizations (NGOs) are associated with greater transparency. Greater transparency of NGOs is consistent with the need to sustain and attract donor funding. Country-level resources, such as the level of financial sector development, also impact MFI transparency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1601-1616 Issue: 14 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1368993 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1368993 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:14:p:1601-1616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tom Lähner Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Lähner Title: Inconsistent voting behaviour in the FOMC Abstract: This article uses transcript data to examine determinants of inconsistent voting behaviour in the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in the period 1989–2008. Inconsistent voting behaviour occurs if a member shows disagreement on the interest rate proposed by the chairman in the policy go-around, but this member agrees in the formal vote. Results show that after the 1993’s increase in central bank transparency, the probability of casting inconsistent votes decreases significantly, on average by 3.3 percentage points. FOMC members with longer tenure on the committee have a lower probability of casting inconsistent votes. Further results suggest that board members and bank presidents differ significantly, with bank presidents casting inconsistent votes more often than board members do. This relation holds true for gender as well, with female members casting more inconsistent votes than males. In addition, political aspects and career backgrounds also contribute to explaining inconsistent voting behaviour in the FOMC. Conditional effects reveal that after the change in transparency, differences between board members and bank presidents remain, whereas differences between male and female members have diminished. What is more, FOMC members with a career in the government sector have been strongly affected by the regime shift in transparency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1617-1643 Issue: 14 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1368994 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1368994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:14:p:1617-1643 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sun-Young Park Author-X-Name-First: Sun-Young Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: The public value of improving a weather forecasting system in Korea: a choice experiment study Abstract: The Korean government plans to improve the quality of its weather forecasting system in order to increase its public utility. The benefits arising from the implementation of this plan should be measured. To this end, this study applies a choice experiment to four attributes: the update frequency of both short- and medium-range forecasts, and the accuracy of both. A survey of 1000 randomly selected households was undertaken in Korea. In the study results, the marginal willingness-to-pays, respectively, for one more update of the short-range forecast per day, for a 1% increase in the accuracy of the short-range forecast, for changing the update frequency of the medium-range forecast from once a day (reference level) to twice a day, and for a 1% increase in the accuracy of the medium-range forecast as a result of improving the weather forecast service were estimated to be KRW 499.3 (USD 0.45), 108.3 (0.10), 346.5 (0.31), and 80.9 (0.07) per household per month. The findings can provide policy-makers with useful information for both evaluating and planning improvements in the weather forecasting system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1644-1658 Issue: 14 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1368995 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1368995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:14:p:1644-1658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Frank Jensen Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Jensen Author-Name: Christian Elleby Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Elleby Author-Name: Katell G. Hamon Author-X-Name-First: Katell G. Author-X-Name-Last: Hamon Author-Name: Jos op de Weegh Author-X-Name-First: Jos op de Author-X-Name-Last: Weegh Title: Testing theoretical explanations for investment behaviour in the Dutch beam trawler fishery in the North Sea Abstract: In this study, we investigate whether the neoclassical economic theory, capital market frictions or preference-based theory can explain investment behaviour in the Dutch beam trawler fishery in the North Sea. By presenting a number of estimations, we show that vessels conducting pulse fishing invest substantially more than similar vessels undertaking conventional fishing, even after controlling for differences in such variables as capital stock, prices, profits and quotas. One possible explanation for this result is that vessel owners may obtain a separate benefit from investing in pulse fishing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2233-2248 Issue: 21 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1540855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:21:p:2233-2248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Madhu S. Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Madhu S. Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Title: Step-by-step computation of corrected asymptotic variance-covariance matrices of two-stage estimators in a simultaneous equations model with a mixture of four continuous and binary dependent variables Abstract: The current study presents easily computable formulas for asymptotic variance-covariance matrices of the two-stage estimators in a simultaneous equation model with a mixture of four continuous and binary dependent variables. For the sake of econometrics practitioners, the study uses an illustrative example from the current literature and demonstrates step-by-step computation of these variance-covariance matrices by using the matrix routine of a popular econometric software. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2249-2265 Issue: 21 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540856 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1540856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:21:p:2249-2265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sefa Awaworyi Churchill Author-X-Name-First: Sefa Author-X-Name-Last: Awaworyi Churchill Title: The macroeconomy and microfinance outreach: a panel data analysis Abstract: This study examines the effects of macroeconomic and institutional factors on microfinance institution (MFI) outreach. To capture the performance of the macroeconomy, we include proxies for institutional quality, economic growth, FDI inflow, unemployment rate, inflation and the prevalence of wage-earning jobs. Further, we examine effects on outreach along the dimensions of outreach depth and outreach breadth. Using data on 1526 MFIs from 99 countries over the period 2000 to 2015, our results suggest that environments characterised by high levels of economic performance and good institutions tend to hinder outreach performance. These results suggest that MFIs depend on a poor economy to thrive given the informal nature of microfinance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2266-2274 Issue: 21 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540857 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1540857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:21:p:2266-2274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Lloyd-Smith Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Lloyd-Smith Author-Name: Henry An Author-X-Name-First: Henry Author-X-Name-Last: An Title: Are corporate social responsibility and advertising complements or substitutes in producing firm reputation? Abstract: A firm’s reputation is one of the critical drivers of success, and two of the key levers firms use to influence their perceived reputation are corporate social responsibility (CSR) and advertising. The relationship between CSR and advertising is important because whether they are complements or substitutes has different implications for how firms use these activities. Using a unique panel dataset of US-listed companies between 2005 and 2014, we estimate flexible production functions to identify whether CSR and advertising act as complements or substitutes in the production of firm reputation. A secondary motivation of this paper is to examine whether the use of different stakeholder ratings of firm reputation matters. We find evidence consistent with advertising and CSR being substitutes toward the production of firm reputation. Our results also show that advertising, own-firm CSR activities, and industry-level CSR spillovers contribute positively to firm reputation. Lastly, we find that the effects of CSR and advertising vary across the stakeholder groups (general public, business executives, or CSR experts) used in the analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2275-2288 Issue: 21 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540858 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1540858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:21:p:2275-2288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin Moran Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Moran Author-Name: Simplice Aimé Nono Author-X-Name-First: Simplice Aimé Author-X-Name-Last: Nono Author-Name: Imad Rherrad Author-X-Name-First: Imad Author-X-Name-Last: Rherrad Title: Does confidence data help forecast business cycles? New evidence from Canada Abstract: This paper assesses the contribution of confidence – or sentiment – data for predicting Canadian economic slowdowns. A probit framework is applied to an indicator of the status of the Canadian business cycle produced by the OECD. Explanatory variables include all available Canadian data on sentiment (from four distinct surveys) as well as macroeconomic and financial data. Sentiment data are introduced either as individual variables, as simple averages (such as confidence indices) and as confidence factors extracted from larger datasets containing all available sentiment data. Results indicate that the full potential of confidence data for forecasting Canadian business cycles obtains when factor models are used and all confidence data are utilized. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2289-2312 Issue: 21 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1542119 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1542119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:21:p:2289-2312 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Deni Mazrekaj Author-X-Name-First: Deni Author-X-Name-Last: Mazrekaj Author-Name: Kristof De Witte Author-X-Name-First: Kristof Author-X-Name-Last: De Witte Author-Name: Sarah Vansteenkiste Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Vansteenkiste Title: Labour market consequences of a high school diploma Abstract: This article compares the labour market outcomes of high school dropouts to high school graduates who did not enrol into higher education, but immediately entered the labour market. Using parental educational background as an instrument on a rich administrative dataset in the Flemish Region of Belgium, we find no returns to a high school diploma on average. However, these results hide considerable heterogeneity by gender and educational track. While females and individuals in vocational education may benefit from a diploma, male graduates and students holding a general education diploma may even be worse off on the labour market than dropouts. We show that sectoral heterogeneity acts as an underlying mechanism in the returns to a high school diploma. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2313-2325 Issue: 21 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1543939 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1543939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:21:p:2313-2325 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmad Yaghoubi Farani Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Author-X-Name-Last: Yaghoubi Farani Author-Name: Saeid Karimi Author-X-Name-First: Saeid Author-X-Name-Last: Karimi Author-Name: Nasim Izadi Author-X-Name-First: Nasim Author-X-Name-Last: Izadi Author-Name: Pouria Ataei Author-X-Name-First: Pouria Author-X-Name-Last: Ataei Title: Effect of virtual social networks on entrepreneurial behaviour of agriculture students in Iran Abstract: The main purpose of this research was to investigate those factors influencing the entrepreneurial behaviour of agriculture students who were members of entrepreneurship learning and training groups in virtual ‎communication networks. In doing this, a conceptual model was developed to examine the effects of characteristics of entrepreneurship virtual social networks and the degree of participation in these networks through entrepreneurial thinking and decision on entrepreneurial behaviour. The study population of ‎this descriptive-correlational research was made up of 180 members of virtual social groups exchanging knowledge of entrepreneurship in ‎WhatsApp and Viber networks. A total of 126 usable questionnaires were collected. Results indicated that participation in virtual social networks ‎had both direct and indirect effects – through ‎entrepreneurial thinking and decisions – on entrepreneurial behaviour. ‎However, characteristics of ‎‎entrepreneurship ‎virtual networks had only indirect effect on entrepreneurial ‎behaviour ‎via entrepreneurial thinking. The study highlights certain implications for policymakers, (potential) entrepreneurs, entrepreneurship support organizations, researchers and underlines the potential of virtual social networking for promoting entrepreneurship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2326-2335 Issue: 21 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1543940 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1543940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:21:p:2326-2335 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ping Gao Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Junyi Shen Author-X-Name-First: Junyi Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: An empirical analysis on the determinants of overweight and obesity in China Abstract: Overweight and obesity in adult populations is considered to be a growing epidemic worldwide, and appears to be rapidly increasing in China. From 1992 to 2002, the incidence of overweight in adults increased by 39.0%, while that of obesity doubled. To identify the determinants of adult overweight and obesity in China, micro-level data from a questionnaire survey entitled the ‘Preference Parameters Study,’ which was conducted by the Global Centers of Excellence programme at Osaka University, were analysed. In addition to the entire sample, data from urban and rural subsamples were also analysed in order to investigate whether the determinants of overweight and obesity differed. The results suggested that body mass index (BMI) is correlated with subjective well-being, gender, age, labour intensity and drinking and eating habits among urban respondents, and with age, monthly income, number of siblings and eating habits among rural respondents. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1923-1936 Issue: 20 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1229426 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1229426 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:20:p:1923-1936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yueming (Lucy) Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Yueming (Lucy) Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Xin Su Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Yi David Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yi David Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Factors influencing commercial buildings to obtain green certificates Abstract: Identifying the key factors that influence commercial buildings’ decision to obtain voluntary green certificates is essential to building sustainability enhancement. Using commercial buildings in the state of New York, multinomial logit and nested logit models demonstrate that there is a significant correlation between the characteristics of commercial buildings (such as square footage, lot size, and years built) and green certification. More interestingly, if a commercial building is occupied by its owner, likelihood of green certification is actually smaller. This finding not only confirms that ongoing energy savings are heavily discounted when deciding whether to incur the upfront cost of green certification, but also suggests that the rental premium enjoyed by green buildings is likely greater in terms of present value than the expected operating cost savings. Another explanation could be that investor owners must operate in a competitive market for tenants while owner-occupiers do not operate in that competitive market, so they do not need to obtain green certificates to attract tenants. Consequently for policymakers, building owners that plan to rent out their commercial property space should be the early targets to promote green certification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1937-1949 Issue: 20 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1229434 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1229434 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:20:p:1937-1949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Clements Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: Liang Li Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Understanding resource investments Abstract: The Millennium Boom of 2003–2011 made the resources industry highly profitable and led to a surge in new projects around the world. This had major implications for the Australian economy: Resource investment accounted for almost half of all business investment at the peak and the buoyancy of the sector helped Australia to avoid the worst of the global financial crisis. Using the event-study approach, this article examines the wealth-creating effects of new resource projects at the individual company level. The results indicate substantial increases in shareholder returns occur around the time of announcements of government approval for projects, the finalization of feasibility studies and changes in the status of projects such as when a company decides to finally commit to invest in a project. Government approval is the most important milestone in the life cycle of a project, where abnormal returns around 4% are realized on announcement day. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1950-1962 Issue: 20 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1229437 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1229437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:20:p:1950-1962 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chia-Nan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Hsien-Pin Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Hsien-Pin Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Yen-Hui Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Thi-Thu-Huyen Pham Author-X-Name-First: Thi-Thu-Huyen Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Title: Performance assessment for electronic manufacturing service providers using two-stage super-efficiency SBM model Abstract: Manufacturing Service providers (EMSs) offer services to Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs). However, increasing challenges require an EMS to be more capable, adaptable and responsive. For survival, an EMS manager has to understand its relative efficiency in the industry. In addition, an investor also requires such information for investments. In this research, we propose a novel approach, which combines GM(1,1) with a two-stage super-efficiency slacks-based measure (SBM) model, to forecast and assess the efficiencies of 18 EMSs. The GM(1,1) was first used to forecast future data of EMSs, and then the two-stage super-efficiency SBM model was used to measure the marketability and profitability efficiencies for an EMU in two stages. The results build a ‘past-current-future’ view on the two efficiencies for each EMS. In addition, the profitability efficiency can help justify the reasonability of marketability efficiency. Our results showed that Hon Hai tops the rankings in both profitability and marketability efficiencies. These results also provided information about relative efficiencies of these EMSs, which helps EMS managers and investors to make better decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1963-1980 Issue: 20 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1229446 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1229446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:20:p:1963-1980 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zied Ftiti Author-X-Name-First: Zied Author-X-Name-Last: Ftiti Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Waël Louhichi Author-X-Name-First: Waël Author-X-Name-Last: Louhichi Title: Modelling the relationship between future energy intraday volatility and trading volume with wavelet Abstract: Although the energy and stock markets are both characterized by volatility and liquidity, and there has been substantial research to explore the relationship between volatility and trading volume (TV) in stock markets, few researchers have investigated this relationship in energy markets. Moreover, studies that have explored this association within energy markets did not describe its nature or impetus. To redress this oversight, we investigate this relationship using intraday data from the oil and gas markets – the most liquid energy markets in the world. In this way, the current article extends the previous studies through the use of a frequency approach to propose an original analysis of the relationship between volume and volatility. More specifically, we employ a continuous wavelet transform to identify the lead–lag phase between volatility and volume. This framework supplants usual time series modelling, as it uses a measure of coherence for different frequencies and time-scales to capture further changes and time variation in the volume–volatility relationship. Our results provide supportive evidence for the well-known positive relationship between realized volatility and TV, thereby supporting the mixture distribution hypothesis. In particular, our results show that volume causes volatility only during ‘turbulent times’, while volatility causes volume during ‘good times’. Furthermore, there is no relationship between volume and volatility in the long term, due to the absence of noise traders and liquidity traders in the long run. These findings are helpful for investors and policymakers as they contribute to better forecast the TV and price volatility during turbulent and calm periods and over several investment horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1981-1993 Issue: 20 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1229453 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1229453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:20:p:1981-1993 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Youxing Huang Author-X-Name-First: Youxing Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Yan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Wage, foreign-owned firms, and productivity spillovers via labour turnover: a non-linear analysis based on Chinese firm-level data Abstract: Using firm-level panel data from Chinese manufacturing firms over the period 2004–2007, this article investigates the impact of the wage gap between local and foreign-owned firms on foreign direct investment (FDI) spillovers in terms of total factor productivity (TFP). We find a non-linear threshold effect that: a low-level wage gap threshold exists, below which FDI spillovers are significantly negative. This is because FDI spillovers via labour turnover are blocked due to the low wages of local firms, which jeopardizes the flow of skilled workers from foreign firms to local firms. In contrast, when the wage gap reaches a high-level threshold, local firms can get benefits from FDI spillovers. The reason is that high wages of local firms attract skilled employees to leave foreign firms, which yields a large magnitude of worker mobility from foreign firms to local firms. Our article provides evidence that labour turnover as the channel of FDI spillovers only works when the wage gap is beyond some threshold. Also, these thresholds vary across regions and firm ownerships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1994-2010 Issue: 20 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1231899 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1231899 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:20:p:1994-2010 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas Y. Mathä Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Mathä Author-Name: Alessandro Porpiglia Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Porpiglia Author-Name: Michael Ziegelmeyer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Ziegelmeyer Title: Cross-border commuting and consuming: an empirical investigation Abstract: This article contributes to our understanding of cross-border activity in general and the determinants of cross-border trade in particular by focusing on the part of cross-border sales that arise due to work-related cross-border crossings of households. We analyse empirically how cross-border consumption expenditures vary across product and services categories as well as household characteristics using representative household survey data of cross-border commuters to Luxembourg. In total, these households spend an estimated 17% of their gross annual income across the border, contributing about 10% to the total household final consumption expenditure (HFCE) in Luxembourg. Cross-border expenditure is linked to individual- and household-related characteristics and to distance between home and work. Cross-border commuters systematically exploit arbitrage opportunities that arise because of existing price level (index) differences between the country of work and the country of residence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2011-2026 Issue: 20 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1231902 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1231902 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:20:p:2011-2026 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura López-Torres Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: López-Torres Author-Name: Diego Prior Author-X-Name-First: Diego Author-X-Name-Last: Prior Author-Name: Daniel Santín Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Santín Title: Assessing the effect of educational programs on public schools’ performance Abstract: This paper provides evidence on the effectiveness in the implementation of an educational program which offered public schools in Catalonia (Spain) the opportunity to improve the quality of educational provision. We employ a difference-in-differences approach on rich balanced panel data of public schools. The results confirm that the program did effectively improve students’ achievement and reduce absenteeism, albeit not for all modules and school types or across all years. Our results highlight that it is important to condition the delivery of resources upon specific academic goals depending on the characteristics of the treated population. Additionally, program results suggest the need to enhance educational program design in order to get better evaluation feedback.Abbreviations: DoE: Department of Education; EU: European Union; PMQCE: Projecte per a la Millora de la Qualitat dels Centres Educatius; DiD: Differences-in-Differences; SFDC: Schools Facing Disadvantaged Conditions; OECD: Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development; REA: Regional Educational Authority Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5205-5226 Issue: 48 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1610712 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1610712 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:48:p:5205-5226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steve Briand Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Briand Title: Time inconsistency and delayed retirement decision: the French pension bonus Abstract: With the increase in life expectancy and demographic shocks, several public policies in the last decades aim to encourage individuals to postpone retirement. One of them, the pension bonus, gives an increased pension if individuals retire beyond their Full Retirement Age. Previous ex post analyses found that the responsiveness to this type of financial incentives, which encourage to postpone retirement, is heterogeneous among agents and that the global effect is rather limited. Deriving from previous research in Behavioural Economics, this article analyses the impact of time inconsistency in the decision to delay retirement to get the bonus. Using public national survey data, short-term and long-term impatience are measured with questions on retiring motivations. After controlling for the endogeneity of the bonus knowledge, econometric results show that time-inconsistent agents are less likely to retire with the bonus. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5227-5242 Issue: 48 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1610718 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1610718 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:48:p:5227-5242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjiang Ma Author-X-Name-First: Benjiang Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Zhongmin Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Zhongmin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Xiaohong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Financing difficulties for SMEs and credit rationing – an expanded model of mortgage loans with asymmetric information Abstract: This article presents a new model of mortgage loans under reasonable assumptions. A several key variables that affects the success of a project, such as project risk, total investment, lending rate,mortgage, and self-financing are jointly considered in the model. The model takes the participation constraints and the incentive compatibility constraints into account for enterprises and banks on project investment actions respectively. Our model can explain the coexistence scenario of small medium enterprises’ (SMEs) financing difficulties and credit rationing in credit markets with asymmetric information. It reveals that higher enterprise self-financing for the project is a “credible factor” to the bank. Banks put forward strict requirements on mortgage for the SMEs with low proportion of project self-financing, which will lead to two scenarios:one is that some SMEs would not get loans due to insufficient mortgage assets; other is that some SMEs will voluntarily give up loans because of loan requirements, even if they have enough mortgage assets. Rationing is implemented both to large enterprises and SMEs, but the degree of rationing is gradually strengthened with the reduction of self-financing scale for the project. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5243-5257 Issue: 48 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1610721 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1610721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:48:p:5243-5257 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vinh Huy Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Vinh Huy Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Richard Holowczak Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Holowczak Author-Name: Suchismita Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Suchismita Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: Intermarket sweep order trade size clustering around corporate announcements Abstract: Investors have different trade size preferences depending on their information advantage. Using intermarket sweep orders (ISOs), we find that investors appear to prefer using small, round lot trades around corporate events with higher announcement frequency and more predictable timing, such as earnings announcements. Around these corporate events, information is revealed, and analyst estimates are confirmed or rejected. Conversely, share repurchase announcements happen less frequently and the timing of these announcements are unpredictable. Relative to earnings announcements, share repurchase announcements create more uncertainty than they resolve. We find that when investors have less information, they tend to use costlier, larger trade size multiples. We further support the extant finding that trade sizes are smaller with the advent of high-frequency trading. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5258-5267 Issue: 48 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1612029 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1612029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:48:p:5258-5267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurmaş Akdoğan Author-X-Name-First: Kurmaş Author-X-Name-Last: Akdoğan Title: Size and sign asymmetries in house price adjustments Abstract: Long-run mean-reversion in real house prices is determined by the relative strength of fundamental factors against the short-run influences. This article suggests that the adjustment towards the long-run trend in house prices could display non-linear behaviour due to some intrinsic characteristics of the housing market. Accordingly, sign and size asymmetries as well as possible structural breaks are taken into account in a unit root testing exercise for twenty-nine countries. Our results suggest that mean-reversion exists for seventy percent of the countries in our sample. Moreover, the out-of-sample forecasting performance of our non-linear models in predicting house prices is better than a simple auto-regressive benchmark for some countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5268-5281 Issue: 48 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1612030 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1612030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:48:p:5268-5281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alfred A. Haug Author-X-Name-First: Alfred A. Author-X-Name-Last: Haug Author-Name: Syed Abul Basher Author-X-Name-First: Syed Abul Author-X-Name-Last: Basher Title: Exchange rates of oil exporting countries and global oil price shocks: a nonlinear smooth-transition approach Abstract: This paper models logistic and exponential smooth transition adjustments of real exchange rates for six major oil-exporting countries in response to different shocks affecting oil prices. The logistic form captures asymmetric and the exponential form symmetric adjustments in regards to positive and negative oil price shocks. We chose oil-exporting countries that do not peg their exchange rates. For most countries, we detect no statistically significant non-linearities for the adjustment process of real exchange rate returns, be they asymmetric or symmetric, in response to oil supply shocks, idiosyncratic oil-market-specific shocks, and speculative oil-market shocks. Exceptions are oil supply shocks in the UK and possibly Brazil, where exchange rates respond nonlinearly, though the effects are symmetric for both countries. On the other hand, global aggregate demand shocks, which are shocks not originating directly in the oil market, have nonlinear asymmetric effects on real exchange rate returns for Canada, Mexico, Norway and Russia, and nonlinear symmetric effects for Brazil and the UK. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5282-5296 Issue: 48 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1612031 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1612031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:48:p:5282-5296 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luisa Alamá-Sabater Author-X-Name-First: Luisa Author-X-Name-Last: Alamá-Sabater Author-Name: Manuel Cantavella Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cantavella Title: Spatial income and public capital: a case of a Spanish region Abstract: The objective of this paper is to analyse major determinants of disposable per capita income at a local municipality level for a territory of Spain: the Valencian region. A cross-sectional spatial study for an averaged period (2010–2013) will allow us to control for intraregional correlation, paying special attention to the role of real public investment and its possible effects on disposable personal income. A reference framework for economic and social policymakers will be provided by the specification of the model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5297-5309 Issue: 48 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1613500 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1613500 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:48:p:5297-5309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiong Gong Author-X-Name-First: Jiong Author-X-Name-Last: Gong Author-Name: Ping Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Shu Tian Author-X-Name-First: Shu Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Title: Fund flows and performance: understanding distribution channel Abstract: This paper investigates the relevance and working mechanisms of fund distribution channels to subsequent fund inflows. Using a comprehensive dataset in China from 2004 to 2010, we find that more brokerage distribution but less commercial bank distribution significantly increases subsequent fund inflows. Further evidence indicates that the flow effect of fund distribution channels is more consistent with the limited attention hypothesis rather than the signal hypothesis. In particular, more brokerage distribution increases fund holdings by less sophisticated individual investors. Moreover, distribution channels affect the flow-performance relationship. Finally, the flow effect of fund distributional channels is sensitive to changes in regulations of fund distribution practices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2885-2900 Issue: 27 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1563669 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1563669 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:27:p:2885-2900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiayi Balasuriya Author-X-Name-First: Jiayi Author-X-Name-Last: Balasuriya Author-Name: Yu Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: The role of personality traits in pension decisions: findings and policy recommendations Abstract: Many countries need to stimulate pension participation and contribution to ensure their citizens are prepared adequately for retirement. Identifying at-risk groups with tendencies of not joining pension plans will help governments target strategies to improve pension awareness and participation. This study investigates the role of personality traits in pension decision making using data from the UK Household Longitudinal Study. Our results demonstrate that Extraversion significantly correlates with non-participation in private pensions, including both employer run and personal pensions. Individuals who are high in Conscientiousness are more likely to participate and pay more into personal pensions. Openness to experience is negatively correlated with saving via personal pensions. Agreeableness and Extraversion correlate inversely with the amount contributed to personal plans. This paper discusses our findings in detail and offers policy implications which may help promote pension participation and ease the problem of old age poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2901-2920 Issue: 27 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1563670 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1563670 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:27:p:2901-2920 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Florin Medeleanu Author-X-Name-First: Florin Author-X-Name-Last: Medeleanu Author-Name: Ciprian Răcuciu Author-X-Name-First: Ciprian Author-X-Name-Last: Răcuciu Author-Name: Madlena Nen Author-X-Name-First: Madlena Author-X-Name-Last: Nen Author-Name: Zieduna Liepe Author-X-Name-First: Zieduna Author-X-Name-Last: Liepe Author-Name: Narcis Florentin Antonie Author-X-Name-First: Narcis Florentin Author-X-Name-Last: Antonie Title: Fair e-lottery system proposal based on anonymous signatures Abstract: The games in which large amount of money is involved are always called into question about the existence of the possibility to manipulate the game for an immediate benefit. Lottery system is not an exception in this regard; moreover, it is a subject of rumours that the game is not as fair as it is pretended to be. After studying the advantages and drawbacks of conventional lottery systems, the authors are proposing an e-lottery system based on anonymous signatures. Even though the proposal is using electronic signatures, which imply complex calculus and the possession of digital certificates for each player, the proposed system compensates these drawbacks by increasing trust and confidence of both the players and the lottery organizer. This will lead to more players participating in the lottery, which translates to more revenue for the lottery and larger prizes for the players. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2921-2933 Issue: 27 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1563671 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1563671 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:27:p:2921-2933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregory M. Foggitt Author-X-Name-First: Gregory M. Author-X-Name-Last: Foggitt Author-Name: André Heymans Author-X-Name-First: André Author-X-Name-Last: Heymans Author-Name: Gary Van Vuuren Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Van Vuuren Title: Measuring the systemic risk transfer from the United States to the South African financial sector Abstract: The sub-prime crisis in 2008 illustrated how systemic risk in the financial sector of one country could spread to the financial sectors in other countries, and subsequently result in a global financial crisis. This direct transfer of systemic risk was made possible by phenomena such as contagion and common shocks. The way in which these elements of interconnectedness can magnify seemingly small levels of systemic risk, and subsequently transfer between financial sectors illustrate the necessity for a more in-depth analysis. This measurement is done using three approaches. A dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model is used to investigate contagion. To analyse the volatility spillover effect from the US to SA, an exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (EGARCH) model is employed. Finally, a new contribution is made where a marginal expected shortfall (MES) model is used to set the FTSE/JSE All-Share Index (ALSI) as a hypothetical bank in the financial sector of the S&P 500. All approaches show weak evidence for a direct systemic risk transfer and therefore indicate that any systemic risk transfer is more likely to take an indirect form through changes in capital flows or interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2934-2944 Issue: 27 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1564014 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1564014 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:27:p:2934-2944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julia Meyer Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Meyer Title: Outreach and performance of microfinance institutions: the importance of portfolio yield Abstract: In this paper, we examine the interaction between social outreach and financial return in microfinance. Running multivariate regression models and using 1,805 observations of microfinance institutions between 2004 and 2013, we find strong evidence suggesting that institutions with more social engagement – in terms of outreach to the poor – earn higher portfolio yields. We also find that measures of outreach are associated with increased operating expenses. As return figures are influenced by both costs and yield, and because both increase to a similar degree with the depth of outreach, these two effects lead to a zero sum result on return measures. This finding could explain why existing studies assessing the interaction between social outreach and different measures of financial performance in microfinance (such as return on assets/equity, operating expenses, operational self-sufficiency) have not produced consistent results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2945-2962 Issue: 27 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1564016 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1564016 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:27:p:2945-2962 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ning Jia Author-X-Name-First: Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Jia Title: Heterogeneous effects of merit scholarships: do program features matter? Abstract: This paper examines the role of program features in determining the effectiveness of merit scholarships on educational outcomes using data from the 2009 to 2014 American Community Survey. Exploiting the variation in the timing of program adoption as well as program features across states, I find that leniency of academic requirements for initial eligibility largely contributes to program effects on associate’s degree completion, whereas generosity of scholarship amount significantly increases college attendance and bachelor’s degree completion. The estimates also indicate that lower requirements for scholarship renewal appear to positively affect the likelihood of completing a degree in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics fields (STEM). The findings suggest that leniency and generosity are important determinants of program effectiveness on educational outcomes. It is thus relevant to take program features into account when designing merit scholarships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2963-2979 Issue: 27 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1564017 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1564017 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:27:p:2963-2979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Melanie Krause Author-X-Name-First: Melanie Author-X-Name-Last: Krause Author-Name: Stefan Szymanski Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Szymanski Title: Convergence versus the middle-income trap: the case of global soccer Abstract: Unconditional convergence across countries worldwide is typically rejected in terms of GDP per capita. But when focusing on a specific internationally competitive industry, such as manufacturing, rather than the overall economy, unconditional convergence has been found to hold. As the epitome of competition and globalization, this paper uses the performance of national soccer teams as a further test case. We rely on data of more than 25,000 games between 1950 and 2014 and find clear evidence of unconditional $$\beta $$β - and $$\sigma $$σ -convergence in national team performance, as measured either by win percentages or goal difference. We argue that transfer of technologies, skills and best practices fosters this catch-up process. But there are limits: we show that good teams from Africa and Asia are failing to close the gap with top European or South American teams for reasons that are analogous to the 'middle income trap'. Lessons for other sectors include the virtues of internationally transferable human capital as well as the mixed blessings of regional integration for worldwide convergence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2980-2999 Issue: 27 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1564018 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1564018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:27:p:2980-2999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Clinton L. Neill Author-X-Name-First: Clinton L. Author-X-Name-Last: Neill Author-Name: Rodney B. Holcomb Author-X-Name-First: Rodney B. Author-X-Name-Last: Holcomb Author-Name: B. Wade Brorsen Author-X-Name-First: B. Wade Author-X-Name-Last: Brorsen Title: Current market conditions for veterinary services in the U.S Abstract: The veterinary industry has been plagued by low growth in income, yet flourished in growth of new veterinarians. By using a labour-/work-hour approach that allows for proper matching of the data, we develop a supply and demand model of companion animal services in the veterinary medicine profession. We use data from two unique sources that allow demand estimation by companion animal type and lets supply vary by practice type. The results here suggest that low income growth, relative to doctors and dentists, may be from allowing supply to outpace demand for veterinary services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6501-6511 Issue: 60 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489518 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489518 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:60:p:6501-6511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tolina Fufa Author-X-Name-First: Tolina Author-X-Name-Last: Fufa Author-Name: Jaebeom Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jaebeom Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Financial development, economic growth and convergence clubs Abstract: To study the role of financial development in economic growth, we apply an array of convergence tests designed to capture nonlinear transitional dynamics to real outputs per capita. Strong evidence of multiple convergence clubs is observed, implying that the clubs are formed based on the initial level of real output per capita and average growth rate. Our empirical results show that the stage of economic growth of each country plays an important role for the composition of the convergence clubs. Furthermore, financial development emerges to be a significant determinant, albeit plays differently in the economic growth of each convergence club. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6512-6528 Issue: 60 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489521 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489521 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:60:p:6512-6528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adam Zaremba Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Zaremba Author-Name: Mehmet Umutlu Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Umutlu Title: Strategies can be expensive too! The value spread and asset allocation in global equity markets Abstract: Is the value spread useful for forecasting returns on quantitative equity strategies for country selection? To test this, we examine a sample of 120 country-level equity strategies replicated within 72 stock markets for the years 1996–2017. The value spread is a powerful and robust predictor of strategy returns in the cross-section, subsuming other methods based on momentum, reversal, or seasonality. Going long (short) the strategies with the broadest (narrowest) value spread produces significant four-factor model alphas, markedly outperforming an equal-weighted benchmark of all of the strategies. The results are robust to many considerations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6529-6546 Issue: 60 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489523 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489523 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:60:p:6529-6546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Baptiste Combes Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Baptiste Author-X-Name-Last: Combes Author-Name: Robert Francis Elliott Author-X-Name-First: Robert Francis Author-X-Name-Last: Elliott Author-Name: Diane Skåtun Author-X-Name-First: Diane Author-X-Name-Last: Skåtun Title: Hospital staff shortage: the role of the competitiveness of pay of different groups of nursing staff on staff shortage Abstract: Shortages of nursing staff in OECD countries have been a preoccupation for policy makers. Shortages of staff may be the consequence of uncompetitive pay. In the private sector, employers in different regions can offer different pay rates to reflect local amenities and cost of living. Hospitals in the UK however cannot set the pay for their employees, and as a result they might therefore incur staff shortages. Moreover, occupational groups do not operate in isolation. Shortages of staff may also be the consequence of the competitiveness of pay of an alternative group of staff. This is investigated using two distinct groups of nursing staff: assistant nurses (ANs) and registered nurses (RNs) working in English hospitals in 2003–2005 using national-level data sets. We find that an increase by 10% of the pay competitiveness of RNs decreases the shortage of both the RNs and of ANs by 0.6% and 0.4%, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6547-6552 Issue: 60 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1490000 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1490000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:60:p:6547-6552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroaki Suenaga Author-X-Name-First: Hiroaki Author-X-Name-Last: Suenaga Author-Name: Gary Madden Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Madden Title: Understanding the equilibrium dynamics of European broadband diffusion Abstract: This study examines the equilibrium dynamics of European broadband markets within a simultaneous demand and supply model. Unlike alternative reduced-form approaches, our model explicitly incorporates key features of the demand for network services: a bell-shaped distribution of heterogeneous consumers and presence of network effects. Our empirical analysis of European countries reveals that although the demand for broadband services exhibits strong network effects they are not ‘strong enough’ to archive critical mass in these markets. Furthermore, the systems equilibrium dynamics show that even though the technology is introduced at very high prices initially, the expansion of suppliers’ infrastructure investment reduces the equilibrium prices rapidly in the first few years. This price reduction, combined with strong network effects, stimulates expansion of the subscription base until consumers at the peak of the distribution enter the market. Convergence to the steady state happens at around 8 years for service price and 15 years for subscription. Comparative static analysis illustrates that steady state equilibrium subscription relates positively to national population density, inter-platform concentration, and the share of unbundled local loop, while the equilibrium price relates inversely to these factors. Other supply and demand factors (viz. intra-platform concentration, income and education) have minimal impact on the steady state equilibrium. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6553-6568 Issue: 60 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1490002 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1490002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:60:p:6553-6568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Dagpunar Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Dagpunar Title: A critique of the paper by Kanabar, R. and Simmons, P. (2016), ‘To defer or not to defer? UK state pension and work decisions in a lifecycle model’, Applied Economics, 48, 58, 5699-5716 Abstract: We suggest corrections to the paper by Kanabar and Simmons and provide analyses for deriving the internal rate of return arising from a UK state pension deferral decision and for an actuarially fair deferral scheme. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6569-6575 Issue: 60 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1490003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1490003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:60:p:6569-6575 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edmond Baranes Author-X-Name-First: Edmond Author-X-Name-Last: Baranes Author-Name: Scott J. Savage Author-X-Name-First: Scott J. Author-X-Name-Last: Savage Title: Access prices, unbundling and product variety in European Internet markets Abstract: A fundamental policy in European broadband regulation is unbundled access to the local loop of the incumbent telephone company. We present comparative static results that show as the access price decreases, the retail price decreases, the variety of plans offered by Internet service providers increases and the quantity of each variety increases when a threshold condition is met. Using data from 18 European countries from 2006 to 2012, we find empirical support for these results when Internet product variety is measured by variation in download speeds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6576-6587 Issue: 60 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1493187 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1493187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:60:p:6576-6587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yoshito Funashima Author-X-Name-First: Yoshito Author-X-Name-Last: Funashima Title: Wagner’s law versus displacement effect Abstract: The public sector has grown dramatically over the past few centuries in many developed countries. In this article, we use wavelet methods to distinguish between two leading explanations for this growth – Wagner’s law and the displacement effect. In doing so, we use the long-term data of 10 OECD countries for a maximum time span of 1800–2009. We find that the validity of Wagner’s law is likely to vary strongly over time for each country. A roughly similar feature in most of the countries is that the law is less valid in the earliest stage of economic development as well as in the advanced stages, with the validity tending to follow an inverted U-shaped pattern with economic development. Further, our results indicate that the long-run growth of government size cannot be adequately explained by Wagner’s law. On the other hand, the displacement effect appears to account for the bulk of the growth in most of the countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 619-634 Issue: 7 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1203063 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1203063 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:7:p:619-634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Md. Samsul Alam Author-X-Name-First: Md. Samsul Author-X-Name-Last: Alam Author-Name: Sudharshan Reddy Paramati Author-X-Name-First: Sudharshan Reddy Author-X-Name-Last: Paramati Author-Name: Muhammad Shahbaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Shahbaz Author-Name: Mita Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Mita Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Title: Natural gas, trade and sustainable growth: empirical evidence from the top gas consumers of the developing world Abstract: Natural gas is the key non-renewable source of energy for a low-carbon economy. The research applies heterogeneous panel techniques to investigate the impact of natural gas consumption on economic growth across a panel of top 15 natural gas consumers of the developing world. We establish long-run dynamics with cross-sectional dependence and heterogeneity across the sample countries. The long-run output elasticities suggest that the natural gas consumption and trade variables have significant positive effect on the output in a panel of developing economies. Further, we establish feedback relationship among gas consumption, output and trade in the short-run. Given the significance of natural gas as the low-emission source of energy, we suggest governments and policy advisers of these major natural gas consumers to focus on developing pipeline infrastructure for adequate supply, reforming natural gas sector with a competitive price structure to combat excess demand in individual natural gas market. With trade integration, majority of these countries need to incorporate these initiatives to improve the technologies such as combined cycle power plant technology and value-added chemical production technology to achieve sustainable economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 635-649 Issue: 7 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1203064 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1203064 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:7:p:635-649 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kannika Duangnate Author-X-Name-First: Kannika Author-X-Name-Last: Duangnate Author-Name: James W. Mjelde Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Mjelde Title: Effects of the structural change on transaction costs between North America natural gas spot markets Abstract: Threshold cointegration between market pairs before and after the potential structural break associated with the shale gas revolution is examined. Pairwise transaction costs differ between the pre- and post-break periods. During the post-break period, five of seven pairwise transaction costs decrease, while the remaining two pair-wise transaction costs increase relative to the pre-break period. Alterations in natural gas flows as the result of the shale gas revolution partially explain the changes in transaction costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 650-663 Issue: 7 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1203065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1203065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:7:p:650-663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rama Malladi Author-X-Name-First: Rama Author-X-Name-Last: Malladi Author-Name: Frank J. Fabozzi Author-X-Name-First: Frank J. Author-X-Name-Last: Fabozzi Title: Skillful hiding: evaluating hedge fund managers’ performance based on what they hide Abstract: Mandatory disclosure of hedge fund portfolios has been a hotly debated topic. This article studies asset returns of ‘confidential holdings’ (confidentiality treatment [CT]) or those assets that were not voluntarily disclosed by US-based hedge funds in their original 13F filings to the Securities and Exchange Commission. After analysing returns from 1999 to 2013, we find that in aggregate, the CT position size, ownership share and returns are statistically different to non-CT positions. We provide a mechanism for regulators and investors to rank fund managers based on what they hide in positions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 664-676 Issue: 7 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1203066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1203066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:7:p:664-676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David E Allen Author-X-Name-First: David E Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: Michael McAleer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McAleer Author-Name: Abhay K Singh Author-X-Name-First: Abhay K Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: An entropy-based analysis of the relationship between the DOW JONES Index and the TRNA Sentiment series Abstract: This article features an analysis of the relationship between the DOW JONES Industrial Average (DJIA) Index and a sentiment news series using daily data obtained from the Thomson Reuters News Analytics (TRNA) provided by SIRCA (The Securities Industry Research Centre of the Asia Pacific). The recent growth in the availability of on-line financial news sources, such as internet news and social media sources provides instantaneous access to financial news. Various commercial agencies have started developing their own filtered financial news feeds which are used by investors and traders to support their algorithmic trading strategies. TRNA is one such data set. In this study, we use the TRNA data set to construct a series of daily sentiment scores for DJIA stock index component companies. We use these daily DJIA market sentiment scores to study the relationship between financial news sentiment scores and the stock prices of these companies using entropy measures. The entropy and mutual information (MI) statistics permit an analysis of the amount of information within the sentiment series, its relationship to the DJIA and an indication of how the relationship changes over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 677-692 Issue: 7 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1203067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1203067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:7:p:677-692 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ye Xue Author-X-Name-First: Ye Author-X-Name-Last: Xue Author-Name: Yiting Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yiting Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Study on the price co-movement among the Asia Pacific, European and Chinese coal markets – based on the empirical analysis of MS-VEC model Abstract: In this article, based on weekly data of the three major coal markets (the Asia Pacific, Europe and China) from March 2008 to November 2014, an empirical research on their mutual influence and price co-movement effect among the three major coal markets is conducted by using the Co-integration Theory, Granger Causality Test and markov switching-Vector Error Correction (MS-VEC) model. The conclusions are as follows. (1) There exists a long-term cointegration relationship and bidirectional causality relationship between coal prices at home and abroad, and the influences of foreign coal markets on the domestic coal markets are stronger than the influences of domestic coal markets on foreign coal markets, and thus the interaction between the two markets leads to asymmetric linkage effects. (2) Compared with the VEC model, the MS-VEC model can reflect the nonlinear feature of price co-movement effects. (3) There exists an inherent adjustment mechanism between domestic and foreign coal markets, i.e. the coal prices will be self-revised continuously until a long-term equilibrium state is achieved when a deviation from the equilibrium state occurs. (4) There exists a co-movement effect which varies with the change of regime among the three coal prices, and the self-maintenance is strong and the status transfer phenomenon is clear in different regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 693-701 Issue: 7 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1205720 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1205720 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:7:p:693-701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anping Chen Author-X-Name-First: Anping Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Nicolaas Groenewold Author-X-Name-First: Nicolaas Author-X-Name-Last: Groenewold Title: An increase in the retirement age in China: the regional economic effects Abstract: China’s pension system is in need of comprehensive reform. One measure on which we focus is to increase the retirement age. It is likely that a change in retirement age will have significantly different effects across China’s regions. Interregional disparities are already very substantial in China and it will be important to know how changes in pension arrangements will affect disparities. We consider four policies to increase the retirement age from 60 to 61. They differ according the use made of the extra revenue generated by the policy. All four policies increase welfare and reduce the interregional welfare gap. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 702-721 Issue: 7 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1205721 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1205721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:7:p:702-721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Erratum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: ebi-ebi Issue: 7 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1213580 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1213580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:7:p:ebi-ebi Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yimin Xu Author-X-Name-First: Yimin Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Jakob de Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: de Haan Title: The time-varying relationship between credit spreads and employment growth Abstract: After the global financial crisis, several central banks introduced unconventional monetary policies, such as quantitative easing (QE). If QE increases asset prices, but does not boost the real economy to the same extent, the relationship between credit spreads and employment growth will weaken. This study investigates this issue for the U.S. in a moving-windows framework. Our results suggest that the link between credit spreads and employment growth is lower during bubbles and recessions. We also find that the relationship weakened after the Fed introduced QE. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4387-4401 Issue: 41 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1450483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1450483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:41:p:4387-4401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuan Shen Author-X-Name-First: Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Valentina Hartarska Author-X-Name-First: Valentina Author-X-Name-Last: Hartarska Title: Winners and losers from financial derivatives use: evidence from community banks Abstract: This article provides empirical evidence on how profitability of small community banks was affected by derivatives use before and after the 2008 crisis. We use an endogenous switching regressions model to estimate the sensitivity of bank profitability to risks and control for the endogenous choice to use or not to use derivatives. We then compute counterfactual effects and show how profitability would have looked without derivatives use for banks that used derivatives and how it would have looked with derivatives for banks that did not use derivatives. The results show that derivatives helped reduce the sensitivity of profitability to credit risks and improved profitability for most specialists. However, for the largest number of banks which are non-user non-specialists, devivates use would have resulted in lower return on assets had they used derivatives post 2008. Therefore, our evidence suggests that implementation of the Volcker Rule, imposing high compliance costs on community banks and, thus, discouraging hedging, may have a negative impact on profits of specialists banks but, overall, a neutral effect on profits in the community banks industry as a whole. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4402-4417 Issue: 41 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1450484 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1450484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:41:p:4402-4417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hojin Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hojin Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Directional time-varying partial correlation with the Gaussian copula–DCC–GARCH model Abstract: This article suggests a directional time-varying partial correlation based on the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) method. A recent study proposed the copula DCC based on the vine structure. Due to the arbitrary variable selection, their method can produce unnecessary dependence in the multivariate structure, with extra economic and computational burdens. To overcome this limitation, we incorporate directional dependence by copula to track the causal relationship among multiple variables and then extend the copula bivariate DCC method to a directional time varying partial correlation in the multivariate structure. Our proposed method provides a reasonable and efficient conditional dependence structure, without the trial and error process. We offer an application of our method to the U.S. stock market as an illustrated example. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4418-4426 Issue: 41 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1450485 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1450485 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:41:p:4418-4426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoqing (Maggie) Fu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoqing (Maggie) Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Yongjia (Rebecca) Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yongjia (Rebecca) Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Philip Molyneux Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Molyneux Title: The quality and quantity of bank intermediation and economic growth: evidence from Asia Pacific Abstract: We investigate the impact of the quantity and quality of bank intermediation on economic growth across 14 Asia-Pacific economies over 2003–2015. Measures of bank shareholder value efficiency as well as profit and cost efficiency are used as indicators of intermediation quality. We also employ measures of liquidity creation (fat and nonfat) as a proxy for the quantity of bank intermediation. Our main finding is that the quality of bank intermediation (enhanced credit allocation) is a driver of economic growth in developed Asia-Pacific economies, whereas it is the quantity of bank intermediation (capital accumulation) that positively influences growth in developing nations. From a policy perspective, our findings suggest that policymakers in developed nations should concentrate their efforts on reforms that enhance bank efficiency. Second, reforms that stimulate capital accumulation should be encouraged in developing economies because this is the main channel that spurs economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4427-4446 Issue: 41 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1450486 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1450486 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:41:p:4427-4446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Erratum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4488-4488 Issue: 41 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1452419 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1452419 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:41:p:4488-4488 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nola Agha Author-X-Name-First: Nola Author-X-Name-Last: Agha Author-Name: Thomas Rhoads Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Rhoads Title: Reputation and the league standing effect: the case of a split season in minor league baseball Abstract: Split season league design resets standings at the midpoint of the season, thus allowing for two periods in which a team can potentially achieve success in a single season. This context allows us to test both the reputation of the first half winner and the league standing effect on demand. Examination of game-level data from the 2010 Southern League reveals fans are unaffected by measures of both team quality and league standing in the second half of the season. On the other hand, the first half winners saw an 11% increase in attendance as a percent of stadium capacity, suggesting that in the second half of the season winners matter more than winning. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4447-4455 Issue: 41 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1456646 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1456646 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:41:p:4447-4455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan R. Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jan R. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Keunsuk Chung Author-X-Name-First: Keunsuk Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Putting the present value model into practice: a comparison of two alternative approaches Abstract: A key issue around putting the present-value model into practice is how to construct the unobserved future expectations of the fundamental variables related to an asset. One approach is to fit a vector autoregression (VAR) for the fundamental variables and deduce their future expectations from the estimated VAR. An alternative is to directly specify the future expectations as unobserved components (UC) and use the Kalman filter to extract their estimates from the realized data. This article examines whether the predictions of the present-value model are consistent across the two approaches. Constructing the VAR and UC versions of the standard present-value model, we examine how the two versions compare in identifying the main driver of the US and UK housing markets. For the UK, the two approaches consistently attribute most variations in the price–rent ratio to the expected future risk premium for housing investment. For the US, however, the two approaches deliver considerably different results: the VAR version marks the expected risk-free rate of return, whereas the UC version singles out the expected risk premium as the main driver of the ratio. We conclude that the choice between the VAR and UC approaches is not a trivial issue related to utilizing the present-value model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4456-4469 Issue: 41 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1456647 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1456647 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:41:p:4456-4469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jane Du Author-X-Name-First: Jane Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Cheng King Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: King Title: China’s government finance and food security nexus: a regime switching analysis Abstract: This paper is an empirical assessment of the government finance and food security nexus in China from 1978 to 2016. Using autoregressive distributed lag for linear and threshold cointegration, the results suggest that China’s government finance and food security have reinforced each other throughout the reform era when a structural break was allowed in the model. However, the strength of cointegration and Granger causality in the government-led food security link is stronger, hence supporting the state interventionist view that a strong state has played a dominant role in fulfilling national food security in China. China’s government finance and food security changes indicate food sector reform probabilities under fiscal constraint, as regime-switching indicators have delineated the Chinese government’s difficult fiscal periods and the main reforms in the food sector. In practice, this result implies that further policy reforms can be effective for China’s future food security. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4470-4487 Issue: 41 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1456648 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1456648 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:41:p:4470-4487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Author-Name: Paul Williams Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: Does customer satisfaction have directional predictability for U.S. discretionary spending? Abstract: Research indicates that past growth in customer satisfaction is an important factor in explaining the in-sample behaviour of growth in discretionary spending. Motivated by such evidence, we take an out-of-sample forecasting approach to examine whether customer satisfaction has directional predictability for two types of discretionary spending. These include spending on motor vehicles and spending on recreation services, which display frequent negative growth for the period 1995–2015. Our results indicate that customer satisfaction accurately predicts the direction of change in both types of spending under symmetric loss. To augment, we further show that the widely reported consumer sentiment has no directional predictability for either types of discretionary spending. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5504-5511 Issue: 54 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1311002 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1311002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:54:p:5504-5511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Prasanna Surathkal Author-X-Name-First: Prasanna Author-X-Name-Last: Surathkal Author-Name: Chanjin Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chanjin Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Title: Retail price responses to changes in wholesale prices in the US beef industry: differences among quality grades and primal cuts Abstract: This study examines the transmission of wholesale prices to retail prices for differentiated beef products. Specifically, we study vertical price movement for products differentiated by quality grades and primal cuts in the US beef industry. Our study considers two quality grades– United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) Choice and USDA Select, and three primal cuts– chuck, round and sirloin. Using threshold-based autoregressive and error correction models, and non-linear impulse response functions, we explore if characteristics of price adjustment differ by quality attributes of the products. Results show that there exists the ‘rocket and feather’ effect in the adjustment of retail prices of most beef grades and cuts in response to changes in wholesale prices, and such asymmetric adjustment effect is more pronounced for higher quality grade (Choice) than lower quality grade (Select). Evidence of similar price adjustment is found from the high-quality cut (sirloin). Our results underscore the differences in price adjustment by product quality in the US beef industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5512-5522 Issue: 54 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1311003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1311003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:54:p:5512-5522 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lauren Calimeris Author-X-Name-First: Lauren Author-X-Name-Last: Calimeris Author-Name: Christina Peters Author-X-Name-First: Christina Author-X-Name-Last: Peters Title: Food for thought: the birth-order effect and resource allocation in Indonesia Abstract: Despite the large literature linking birth order to socio-economic outcomes, research uncovering the mechanisms that drive these effects has been rare. We construct a unique measure of nutritional variety to examine whether differential resource allocation among siblings explains the birth-order effect on cognitive ability. We document birth-order differences among children and young adults, showing that second and third borns perform worse on cognitive assessments compared to their firstborn siblings. We find further evidence suggesting that second- and third-born children frequently eat a smaller variety of food than their first-born counterparts. However, this differentiation in food allocation does not appear to drive the differences in cognitive ability in our sample. To our knowledge, this article is the first both to confirm the presence of a birth-order effect on cognition in a developing country and to test empirically whether a difference in food allocation contributes to this effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5523-5534 Issue: 54 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1311005 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1311005 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:54:p:5523-5534 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karoline Krätschell Author-X-Name-First: Karoline Author-X-Name-Last: Krätschell Author-Name: Torsten Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Torsten Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Title: Long-run waves or short-run fluctuations – what establishes the correlation between oil and food prices? Abstract: The strong correlation between food prices and energy prices has gained much attention in the public debate. In this article, we focus on the so-called excess co-movement, which is the correlation between crude oil price and the prices of food commodities after controlling for economic activity. We use a frequency domain Granger causality test to analyse short-run and long-run relationships between crude oil prices and prices of food commodities. For important biofuel inputs like maize, soybeans, rapeseed and EU sugar, we find evidence for long-run Granger causality in particular for the period after 2007. This supports the hypothesis that the increasing biofuel production creates the link between the prices of crude oil and food commodities. However, we also find short-run Granger causality for various food commodities. This result is more in line with herd behaviour or speculation in commodity markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5535-5546 Issue: 54 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1313948 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1313948 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:54:p:5535-5546 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger C. Y. Chen Author-X-Name-First: Roger C. Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chen-Hsun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Hsun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Assessing whether corporate social responsibility influence corporate value Abstract: This study used the corporate social responsibility (CSR) index to gauge the corporate value and social responsibility performance of corporations in Taiwan. We investigated whether CSR influences corporate value and whether the extent of that influence varies with corporate value or time. The results indicate that the influence of CSR on corporate value does not change with time. CSR exerts a positive influence on company value, and this influence does not change over time. However, the extent of the influence significantly varies with corporate value. When the corporate value of a company is not high, investing in CSR would only increase costs and fail to effectively increase corporate value. In contrast, if the corporate value of the company is high, investments in CSR in this circumstance would instead promote the effective increase of corporate value. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5547-5557 Issue: 54 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1313949 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1313949 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:54:p:5547-5557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lixiong Yang Author-X-Name-First: Lixiong Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: An assessment on the quality of China’s preliminary data of quarterly GDP announcements Abstract: This article examines the quality of China’s preliminary announcements of the quarterly GDP. We modify the tests for unbiasedness and efficiency by incorporating the Fourier approximation to capture the effect of the state of the economy, and employing the Kiefer, Vogelsang and Bunzel (KVB) approach, developed by KVB in 2000 to reconstruct the tests to improve the finite sample properties. The results show that: (1) there is no enough evidence to support that the preliminary and first revised data are unbiased and efficient; (2) there exist systematic errors related to the state of the economy, and hence information about the state of the economy was not incorporated into the GDP data. Furthermore, we find that there is a possibility that these systematic errors associated with the stages of the business cycle may offset each other, and there is also a possibility that there exist offsetting errors in the underlying components of GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5558-5569 Issue: 54 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1313950 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1313950 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:54:p:5558-5569 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Harold Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Harold Author-Name: J. Cullinan Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cullinan Author-Name: S. Lyons Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Lyons Title: The income elasticity of household energy demand: a quantile regression analysis Abstract: This article examines variation in the income elasticity of household energy demand across the energy expenditure distribution using expenditure data from the five most recent Household Budget Surveys (HBSs) in Ireland: the 1987, 1994/1995, 1999/2000, 2004/2005 and 2009/2010 HBS. The analysis uses a two-stage instrumental variable quantile regression approach and is based on each HBS cross section, as well as the overall pooled observations. The estimated elasticities are compared across low- and high-energy-consumption scenarios and to a benchmark elasticity estimated using two-stage least squares. The results provide evidence that there is significant variation in the income elasticities across the energy expenditure distribution and that care must be taken when using the constant mean elasticity for policy purposes. More specifically, any examination of the future impact of a change in income support policy measures on energy consumption should recognize the substantial context-dependent variation in the income elasticity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5570-5578 Issue: 54 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1313952 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1313952 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:54:p:5570-5578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aleida Cobas-Valdés Author-X-Name-First: Aleida Author-X-Name-Last: Cobas-Valdés Author-Name: Javier Fernández-Macho Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Macho Author-Name: Ana Fernández-Sainz Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Sainz Title: Earnings distribution of Cuban immigrants in the USA: evidence from quantile regression with sample selection Abstract: This article analyses the conditional earnings distribution for Cuban immigrants in the USA considering Buchinsky sample selection in a quantile regression model. The test proposed by Huber and Melly to test the independence between error terms and regressors (conditional on the selection probability) is also considered. This is the first attempt in the migration literature to use quantile regression with sample selection. The data used come from the US American Community Survey. The results show that the hypothesis of conditional independence is not rejected, and increments in earnings associated with the usual socioeconomic characteristics in labour studies vary between the cohorts considered. The main conclusions are that a decline in returns from education may be a sign that a high level of education no longer provides a competitive advantage and that being a black person is associated with substantially lower earnings regardless of the individuals’ position in the earnings distribution. This may explain why, historically, comparatively fewer black Cubans have made the decision to emigrate to the USA because of a lack of economic incentives. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3685-3700 Issue: 37 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1265079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1265079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:37:p:3685-3700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Doris Oberdabernig Author-X-Name-First: Doris Author-X-Name-Last: Oberdabernig Author-Name: Alyssa Schneebaum Author-X-Name-First: Alyssa Author-X-Name-Last: Schneebaum Title: Catching up? The educational mobility of migrants’ and natives’ children in Europe Abstract: Migrants into European countries are often less educated than European natives. We analyse whether migrants’ children are more or less likely than natives’ children to achieve upward educational mobility across generations, and study differences in the factors, which contribute to differences in mobility for the two groups. We find that migrants’ descendants are more often upwardly mobile (and less often downwardly mobile) than their native peers in the majority of countries studied, and show that the main factor contributing to these patterns is the education level of parents. Although a lower parental education means that their children are less likely to access the same amount of human, social and financial capital as children of more highly educated parents, migrants’ descendants over the last two generations were able to make significant progress in reducing education gaps with natives. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3701-3728 Issue: 37 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1267843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1267843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:37:p:3701-3728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: I. Mauleón Author-X-Name-First: I. Author-X-Name-Last: Mauleón Author-Name: J. Sardà Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Sardà Title: Unemployment and the shadow economy Abstract: Current research links the shadow economy (SE) and the unemployment rate either indirectly or by means of a preliminary estimate. This article establishes and empirically implements a methodology for estimating the size of the SE as a direct function of the tax and unemployment rates. This link is found to be extremely relevant in countries with high unemployment rates (such as Greece and Spain) and less relevant in countries with moderate unemployment rates (such as Germany and Italy). Unemployment’s contribution to the SE is shown to be significant, especially in the years following the economic downturn of 2008. The calculation of the variance and distribution of these estimates is another significant contribution. The common criticism that SE estimates are unreliable is addressed by calculating the variance and the distribution of the estimates, and the large size of the SE in Greece and Spain is once again confirmed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3729-3740 Issue: 37 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1267844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1267844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:37:p:3729-3740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Malikane Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Malikane Title: The labour share and the dynamics of output Abstract: We derive a new Keynesian IS curve that is augmented to capture the direct effects of the labour share on output. Our derivation shows that the direct effect of the labour share on output is ambiguous. Furthermore, theory suggests that the expected labour share negatively affects output. Empirically, we find that the labour share plays a significant role in driving output dynamics. However contrary to theoretical expectation, the expected labour share positively affects output in some cases, a finding we call the ‘labour share puzzle’. We also find that over time, there seems to be a general shift in aggregate demand dynamics towards being profit-led, i.e. rising labour share decreases output. We conclude that policymakers should not ignore the labour share in their decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3741-3750 Issue: 37 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1267845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1267845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:37:p:3741-3750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liam J. A. Lenten Author-X-Name-First: Liam J. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Lenten Title: Racial discrimination in umpire voting: an (arguably) unexpected result Abstract: Using data from an official most valuable player award in professional sport, we test for the presence of discrimination by match officials (umpires), who are responsible for ranking the top three players within each match. These umpires are found to award significantly more votes to (and have a higher probability of voting for) players identified as (Australian) Indigenous, after controlling for within-match production. The result offers further evidence on racial discrimination, and runs counter to numerous analogous studies both in sport, as well as in labour and other socio-economic outcomes in general. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3751-3757 Issue: 37 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1267848 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1267848 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:37:p:3751-3757 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mouyad Alsamara Author-X-Name-First: Mouyad Author-X-Name-Last: Alsamara Author-Name: Zouhair Mrabet Author-X-Name-First: Zouhair Author-X-Name-Last: Mrabet Author-Name: Michel Dombrecht Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Dombrecht Author-Name: Karim Barkat Author-X-Name-First: Karim Author-X-Name-Last: Barkat Title: Asymmetric responses of money demand to oil price shocks in Saudi Arabia: a non-linear ARDL approach Abstract: Saudi Arabia is an open oil-based economy with fixed exchange rates; therefore, it has limited monetary policy autonomy. Using non-linear autoregressive distributed lag approach, this article investigates the asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on the demand of money in Saudi Arabia over the period 1990:Q1–2014:Q4. The empirical results show evidence of positive long run but asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on the money demand. In particular, we find that the positive oil price shocks are more important than negative shocks. Therefore, two policy responses can be considered: either sustaining the fixed exchange rate regime and following an economic diversification policy or switching towards a flexible exchange rate regime to achieve price stability. In that case, the existence of a stable money demand function in Saudi Arabia is a necessary precondition for adopting a monetary policy strategy targeted to price stability using instruments like money targeting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3758-3769 Issue: 37 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1267849 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1267849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:37:p:3758-3769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iñigo Fernández Author-X-Name-First: Iñigo Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández Author-Name: Víctor M. González Author-X-Name-First: Víctor M. Author-X-Name-Last: González Title: Corporate valuation and social capital: a cross-country analysis Abstract: This article analyses the influence of social capital on corporate valuation for a sample of 55 countries over the period 1995–2012. The results suggest that social capital is an important determinant of corporate valuation. Interpersonal trust and civic cooperation enhance corporate valuation, even though other institutional and legal characteristics are considered. Furthermore, our results reveal that corporate valuation increases with the GDP annual growth rate, legal enforcement and the protection of shareholders’ rights, but that it is negatively affected by corruption and protection of creditors’ rights. We also obtain some evidence suggesting that civic cooperation has a greater influence over corporate valuation in poorer countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3770-3781 Issue: 37 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1267850 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1267850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:37:p:3770-3781 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rogiene Batista dos Santos Author-X-Name-First: Rogiene Batista Author-X-Name-Last: dos Santos Author-Name: Fabiano Guasti Lima Author-X-Name-First: Fabiano Guasti Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Author-Name: Rafael Confetti Gatsios Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Confetti Author-X-Name-Last: Gatsios Author-Name: Rodrigo Borges de Almeida Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Borges Author-X-Name-Last: de Almeida Title: Risk management and value creation: new evidence for Brazilian non-financial companies Abstract: The practice of financial risk management with derivatives has received attention both from the academia and the market. In Brazil, there is a growing use of these instruments by companies, in line with the growth of such market in the global economy. This article aims to investigate the relationship between the financial risk management and the value creation to the shareholder for non-financial Brazilian companies. The sample was made up of 1794 firm-year observations from 2006 to 2014. Results obtained via panel data, including the GMM, point out that companies which used derivatives did not add value during the period analysed. An explanation for this result is that most of the companies use derivatives in order to manage the cash flow and not to add value. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5815-5827 Issue: 58 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1343451 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1343451 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:58:p:5815-5827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: James W. Saunoris Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Saunoris Title: Unemployment and international shadow economy: gender differences Abstract: Adding to the body of research on cross-country determinants of the informal economy, this article studies how unemployment differences across gender drive the propensities to work in the informal sector. Results, accounting for possible simultaneity between unemployment and the shadow economy, show that unemployed males, rather than unemployed females, were more likely to operate underground. These findings about greater male propensities are generally robust to alternative considerations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5828-5840 Issue: 58 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1343452 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1343452 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:58:p:5828-5840 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Su-Ling Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Su-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: Kai-yin Allison Haga Author-X-Name-First: Kai-yin Allison Author-X-Name-Last: Haga Title: Uncovering the interrelationship between the U.S. stock and housing markets: a bootstrap rolling window Granger causality approach Abstract: The purpose of this study is to investigate the time-varying interrelationship between the housing market and the stock market in the U.S. during the period of 1890–2013, by employing a rolling window subsample with a bootstrap Granger causality test. The rolling window allows for structural changes in the economy over time. Whereas previous studies have not identified a causal relationship between the U.S. housing price index and the SP500 stock price index, this new analysis is the first to identify certain periods wherein either the wealth effect or the investment effect can be observed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5841-5848 Issue: 58 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1346365 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1346365 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:58:p:5841-5848 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong-Hyuk Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dong-Hyuk Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Yong Song Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Huaxin Xu Author-X-Name-First: Huaxin Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: A fast estimation procedure for discrete choice random coefficients demand model Abstract: We document speed-up gains of graphical processing unit (GPU) computing over central processing unit (CPU) for the estimation of discrete choice random coefficient demand model. When we use a moderate-sized GPU, the computation is six to twenty times faster, where the smallest speed-up factor, six, is obtained from a comparison with the parallel computing over sixteen CPU cores. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5849-5855 Issue: 58 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1349289 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1349289 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:58:p:5849-5855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hanae Tamechika Author-X-Name-First: Hanae Author-X-Name-Last: Tamechika Author-Name: Shin’ya Okuda Author-X-Name-First: Shin’ya Author-X-Name-Last: Okuda Title: Stock price responses to the eco-points programme for electrical household appliances: evidence from Japan Abstract: This article examines the Japanese government’s ‘Project for Green Consumer Electronics to Promote Business through the Use of Eco-points’ and its economic impact on consumer electronics firms’ stock prices. There has been little research on the economic effect of this project. In order to achieve our aim, we employ event study methodology. Our results show that stock prices responded positively to programme adoption, thereby indicating that the programme had positive effects on the related firms’ performance. The results also show that the programme’s economic effects gradually decreased over each subsequent programme extension. This probably occurred because the programme targeted durable goods, which consumers do not replace frequently. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5856-5864 Issue: 58 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1352076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1352076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:58:p:5856-5864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emanuel Bagna Author-X-Name-First: Emanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Bagna Author-Name: Grazia Dicuonzo Author-X-Name-First: Grazia Author-X-Name-Last: Dicuonzo Author-Name: Andrea Perrone Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Perrone Author-Name: Vittorio Dell’Atti Author-X-Name-First: Vittorio Author-X-Name-Last: Dell’Atti Title: The value relevance of brand valuation Abstract: The reports published by independent parties are often used to provide an estimation of brands due to the lack of literature and best practices regarding which brand valuation method is more value relevant and reliable than another. Over the last several years, brand valuation debate is growing in importance because of the need to provide a value of intangibles for different purposes. The purpose of this study is two-fold. First, we aim to understand whether brand valuation related to listed companies provided by three independent agencies is value relevant and therefore whether these brand valuations are taken into consideration by investors in their decision-making process. Second, we assess which of the three methods reflects the stock markets in a better way. We analyse a sample of 71 brands valuated by Interbrand, Brand Finance and BrandZ from 2013 to 2015. The results show that brand valuation provided by the independent agencies is value relevant; in addition, they reveal that the Brand Finance method, based on the royalty relief approach, is more value relevant than the others. This study contributes to the extant literature on value relevance by providing evidence on the impact of stock prices of brand agencies’ valuation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5865-5876 Issue: 58 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1352078 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1352078 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:58:p:5865-5876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kristina Brščić Author-X-Name-First: Kristina Author-X-Name-Last: Brščić Author-Name: Tina Šugar Author-X-Name-First: Tina Author-X-Name-Last: Šugar Author-Name: Danijela Poljuha Author-X-Name-First: Danijela Author-X-Name-Last: Poljuha Title: An empirical examination of consumer preferences for honey in Croatia Abstract: In past years, beekeeping as an agricultural sector has become more organized, but there is still a gap in knowledge in considering consumer preferences for honey. The aim of the research was to determine consumer preferences for honey and their attitudes towards the Protected Designation of Origin (PDO) label. Also, in the article is presented the current situation regarding the honey market and legislation of the PDO label at the EU and national levels. The result of the empirical research carried out on a sample of 1008 respondents showed that they mostly prefer a mild flavour and brighter colour of honey. According to the type, most of the respondents prefer acacia rather than floral and meadow honeys or other types of honey. The most common method of honey purchase is directly from the producers (75%). The results of the Principle Component Analysis (PCA) showed that the most important attributes are the intrinsic attributes of the honey and that the most common reasons for purchasing and consuming honey are for its health and medical benefits. The obtained results fill the gap in knowledge regarding consumer preferences for honey in the Croatian market and can be useful for the creation of new honey-marketing strategies for local beekeepers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5877-5889 Issue: 58 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1352079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1352079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:58:p:5877-5889 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthew Philip Makofske Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Makofske Title: Are you hiring Johnny Football or Johnny Doe? Uncertain labour quality and the measurement of monopsony in college football Abstract: I assess monopsony in the college football labour market as it relates to both typical and elite performers, while also accounting for the uncertain performance quality of prospective players who are in this labour market. Existing studies suggest that the marginal revenue product (MRP) of elite collegiate players later drafted into the National Football League (NFL), significantly exceeds their compensation. These comparisons overstate monopsony rents because schools don’t know ex ante which prospects will become these elite performers. Using financial data spanning 2004–2011 from 114 major schools, I estimate the MRP of players sorted into three ex post quality tiers, and find that while eventual NFL draftees generate revenue that significantly exceeds their compensation, a majority of scholarship players do not. Then, using Rivals.com talent ratings of 6,604 prospective players recruited from 2002–2008, I estimate the probability that prospects will reach each ex post quality tier given their ex ante ratings. MRP estimates are adjusted by these conditional probability estimates to reflect the expected MRP of prospects, which allows more appropriate assessment of monopsony rents. I find that schools possess substantially less monopsony power than unadjusted MRP estimates suggest. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2415-2430 Issue: 22 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1397854 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1397854 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:22:p:2415-2430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. A. Peel Author-X-Name-First: D. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Peel Title: An explanation of each-way wagers in three models of risky choice Abstract: Punters may engage in betting on both a selection in an event to finish first or in one of the number of places, e.g. second, third or fourth. When the amounts staked with bookmakers at fixed odds on the win and place are equal, it is called an each-way bet. Each-way bets are apparently popular with punters but inconsistent with prominent models of wagering which assume gamblers are everywhere risk-seeking. In this note, we derive the conditions for win and place bets to be optimal in these three models of risky choice. The mathematical conditions for the each-way wager to be optimal, as opposed to a win and place wager with different stakes, are complicated and appear likely to occur rarely in practice. However, bettors obviously see the attraction in giving themselves two ways to bet on the one horse or two ways to win and betting each way. We suggest part of the ‘each-way’ betting attraction is that they are quick and easy to compute – a heuristic – to solve an otherwise complex betting strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2431-2438 Issue: 22 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1397855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1397855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:22:p:2431-2438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Don U.A. Galagedera Author-X-Name-First: Don U.A. Author-X-Name-Last: Galagedera Title: Modelling superannuation fund management function as a two-stage process for overall and stage-level performance appraisal Abstract: We assess superannuation fund performance in a multi-dimensional framework by conceptualizing its management function as a serially linked two sub-process; operational management (OM) and portfolio management (PM). The procedure that we adopt is data envelopment analysis (DEA). We express overall efficiency as a weighted average of the two sub-process efficiencies and assess overall efficiency conditional on their relative importance. We demonstrate application of our model using a sample of Australian superannuation funds. By appraising performance in two sample periods; crisis (2008) and relatively non-crisis (2014), we show that some findings of previous studies may be explained further through the proposed multi-stage framework. The best overall performer in 2008 is public sector funds and in 2014 it is corporate funds. Decomposition of overall efficiency reveals that public sector funds, on average, outperform all other fund categories in OM. However, no specific fund category dominates PM performance in both assessment periods. The driving force behind the observed inverse association between superannuation fund size and performance appears to be PM performance. Number of investment options offered is not associated with overall, OM and PM performance. Here, we demonstrate that performance appraisal from different aspects of management provide insightful information to superannuation fund managers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2439-2458 Issue: 22 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1400649 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1400649 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:22:p:2439-2458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Meneu Gaya Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Meneu Gaya Author-Name: José-Enrique Devesa Carpio Author-X-Name-First: José-Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Devesa Carpio Author-Name: Inmaculada Domínguez Fabián Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Domínguez Fabián Author-Name: Borja Encinas Goenechea Author-X-Name-First: Borja Author-X-Name-Last: Encinas Goenechea Author-Name: Juan-José Alonso Fernández Author-X-Name-First: Juan-José Author-X-Name-Last: Alonso Fernández Title: The effects of recent Spanish pension reforms on sustainability and pension adequacy Abstract: The Spanish pension system has been recently reformed as a response to the demographic challenge and with the objective of ensuring the sustainability of the pension system in the long-term. The overall reforms include changes in the majority of the system parameters, a new indexation rule and a sustainability factor that links life expectancy and the first pension amount. The aim of this work is to analyse how these reforms affect two important features of a pension system: fiscal sustainability and adequacy. For this purpose, the real internal rate of return (IRR) of the lifetime contributions and benefits and the prospective gross theoretical replacement rate (TRR), both before and after the reforms, have been computed. The calculations are case-study based, for a few hypothetical workers who are sufficiently representative of the earnings and retirement patterns in Spain. The results show that the real IRR is 0.7 p.p. lower and the prospective gross TRR is 18 p.p. lower after the reform process for the base case of a man with an uninterrupted career of 40 years with average earnings and a retirement age of 65. In addition, pension reform process in Spain has different effects among the individuals depending on the gender, level of earnings, retirement age and career length. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2459-2468 Issue: 22 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1400650 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1400650 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:22:p:2459-2468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kuniyoshi Saito Author-X-Name-First: Kuniyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Saito Author-Name: Daisuke Tsuruta Author-X-Name-First: Daisuke Author-X-Name-Last: Tsuruta Title: Information asymmetry in small and medium enterprise credit guarantee schemes: evidence from Japan Abstract: In this article, we investigate whether there is adverse selection and/or moral hazard in credit guarantee schemes for small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in Japan. As credit guarantee corporations cannot distinguish low risk from risky borrowers, credit guarantee schemes typically attract a larger proportion of risky borrowers, which results in inefficient resource allocation. Using bank-level data, we analyse whether the default rate is positively associated with the ratio of guaranteed loans to total loans, and find that the data are consistent with an adverse selection and/or moral hazard hypothesis. Further analysis shows that the relationship is stronger for 100% coverage than for 80% coverage, indicating that the ‘20% self-payment’ requirement somewhat mitigates the problem, but not enough to eliminate it altogether. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2469-2485 Issue: 22 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1400651 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1400651 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:22:p:2469-2485 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hojin Jung Author-X-Name-First: Hojin Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Title: Relationship between oil price and exchange rate by FDA and copula Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between daily crude oil prices and exchange rates. Functional data analysis is used to show the clustering pattern of exchange rates and oil prices over the time period through high dimensional visualizations. We select exchange rates for important currencies related to crude oil prices by using the objective Bayesian variable selection method. The selected sample data exhibits non-normal distribution with fat tails and skewness. Under the non-normality of the return series, we use copula functions that do not require to assume the bivariate normality to consider marginal distribution. In particular, our study applies the popular and powerful statistical methods such as Gaussian copula partial correlations and Gaussian copula marginal regression. We find evidence of significant dependence for all considered pairs, except for the Mexican peso-Brent. Our empirical results also show that the rise in the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price returns is associated with a depreciation of the US dollar. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2486-2499 Issue: 22 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1400652 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1400652 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:22:p:2486-2499 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sediq Sameem Author-X-Name-First: Sediq Author-X-Name-Last: Sameem Author-Name: Kevin Sylwester Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Author-X-Name-Last: Sylwester Title: Crime during the business cycle: urban–rural differences Abstract: Despite the abundant literature on how crime evolves over the business cycle, no consensus has arisen whether crime increases or decreases during recessions. The literature provides both positive and negative associations between the crime rate and the unemployment rate, a commonly used proxy for the business cycle. This study revisits this issue and uses county-level data from 1990 to 2013. It allows for differences as to how unemployment relates to both property crime and violent crime depending on the size of the counties. We find evidence of a positive association between unemployment and property crime that strengthens with county size. The results show the same pattern for violent crime but are statistically weaker. Our findings suggest that the positive association between property crime and unemployment that others have found is largely driven by more populous areas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2500-2508 Issue: 22 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1400653 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1400653 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:22:p:2500-2508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Omar Farooq Author-X-Name-First: Omar Author-X-Name-Last: Farooq Title: What determines the value of recommendation change? A preliminary analysis Abstract: This article determines the condition under which recommendation changes relative to consensus recommendation and recommendation changes relative to analyst’s previous recommendation are valuable. We show that recommendation upgrades (downgrades) relative to consensus recommendation are followed by significantly positive (negative) short-term returns whenever consensus recommendation represents convergence of analysts’ opinions. We also show that as the standard deviation associated with consensus recommendation increase, the value of recommendation changes reduce significantly. This article also shows that recommendation upgrades (downgrades) relative to analyst’s previous recommendation are followed by significantly positive (negative) short-term returns whenever interval between two consecutive recommendations is relatively short. We also show that, as the interval between two consecutive recommendations increase, the value of recommendation changes reduce significantly. Our results are robust across various subsamples based on size and region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1557-1570 Issue: 16 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1221043 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1221043 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:16:p:1557-1570 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anne Briand Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Briand Author-Name: Amandine Loyal Laré-Dondarini Author-X-Name-First: Amandine Loyal Author-X-Name-Last: Laré-Dondarini Title: Impact of improved water services in informal neighbourhoods in Ouagadougou Abstract: This article examines the impact of a project to improve water services in underserved neighbourhoods in Ouagadougou on household water access conditions. We used the propensity-score matching method to analyse data from a survey carried out in 2011, and found that the improvement project cut the cost of water neighbourhood-wide by 94 CFA francs per cubic meter, reduced the portion of this expense by 1% of the average household budget, and cut the daily time to collect water by 10–13 min. The results that we obtained through the propensity-score matching method differ from those obtained by simply comparing the averages of the neighbourhoods participating in the project to those that did not participate. This indicates that the propensity-score matching method of impact evaluation is valuable in supplying decision makers with nonbiased estimates of the link between ease of access to water and poverty reduction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1571-1583 Issue: 16 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1221044 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1221044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:16:p:1571-1583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdulnasser Hatemi-J Author-X-Name-First: Abdulnasser Author-X-Name-Last: Hatemi-J Author-Name: Abdulrahman Al Shayeb Author-X-Name-First: Abdulrahman Author-X-Name-Last: Al Shayeb Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Title: The effect of oil prices on stock prices: fresh evidence from asymmetric causality tests Abstract: This article investigates the causal impact of oil prices on stock prices in each G7 market as well as in the world market. An asymmetric causality test developed by Hatemi-J is used for this purpose. Since the underlying data appears to be non-normal with time-varying volatility, we use bootstrap simulations with leverage adjustments in order to produce more reliable critical values than the asymptotic ones. Based on symmetric causality tests, we find no causal effect of oil prices on the stock prices of the world market or any of the G7 countries. However, when we apply an asymmetric causality test, we find that increasing oil prices cause stock prices to rise in the world, the U.S. and Japan while decreasing oil prices cause stock prices to fall in Germany. This may imply that the world, the U.S. and Japanese stock markets consider increases in oil prices as an indicator of good news as this may mean that there is an increase in oil demand due to an expected growth in the economy while the German stock market treats decreasing oil prices as a signal of an expected contraction in the economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1584-1592 Issue: 16 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1221045 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1221045 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:16:p:1584-1592 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Louinord Voltaire Author-X-Name-First: Louinord Author-X-Name-Last: Voltaire Author-Name: Loic Lévi Author-X-Name-First: Loic Author-X-Name-Last: Lévi Author-Name: Frédérique Alban Author-X-Name-First: Frédérique Author-X-Name-Last: Alban Author-Name: Jean Boncoeur Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Boncoeur Title: Valuing cultural world heritage sites: an application of the travel cost method to Mont-Saint-Michel Abstract: This article, using the zonal version of the travel cost method (ZTCM), provides the first economic valuation of recreational trips to Mont-Saint-Michel (MSM). The MSM was designated as United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization World Heritage Site in 1979, and is the most visited coastal site in France. The potential effects on consumer surplus (CS) estimates of some aspects of the ZTCM are considered, namely the treatment of the multiple purpose/destination (MP/D) trips, the inclusion of the opportunity cost of time (OCT) in the recreation demand model and the heterogeneity in the preferences. The heterogeneity in the preferences is examined through a random parameters Poisson model (RPPM). The RPPM generalizes the standard Poisson model (SPM) by allowing coefficients of explanatory variables to vary randomly across geographical units rather than being fixed. Our results show that (1) substantial CS values are associated with the MSM; (2) excluding/ignoring MP/D trips result in biased CS estimates; (3) omitting OCT does not substantially bias CS estimates; (4) the RPPM provides richer information about the impact of explanatory variables on the demand for trips than the SPM, but (5) leads to statistically similar CS estimates than the SPM. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1593-1605 Issue: 16 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1221046 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1221046 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:16:p:1593-1605 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Cerqueira Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Cerqueira Author-Name: Claudia Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Title: Accruals quality, managers’ incentives and stock market reaction: evidence from Europe Abstract: We investigate if accruals quality is a valuable indicator of earnings quality for stock market investors. Our particular focus is on the incremental informative value of taking into account managers’ incentives for using accruals. We propose a market-based approach for assessing the usefulness of this indicator to improve investors’ decisions. Specifically, we examine the association between accruals quality and information asymmetry among stock market participants. Our empirical study uses data on European firms and our results are consistent with a positive association between poor earnings quality and high information asymmetry. However, given some previous studies suggesting that accruals-based measures may be noisy indicators of earnings quality, we develop a method to increase the informational content of the accruals quality measure. Based on our results, we find that combining accruals quality with the dispersion in analysts’ forecasts provides a better indicator of earnings quality rather than only accruals quality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1606-1626 Issue: 16 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1221047 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1221047 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:16:p:1606-1626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elizabeth A. Yeager Author-X-Name-First: Elizabeth A. Author-X-Name-Last: Yeager Author-Name: Michael R. Langemeier Author-X-Name-First: Michael R. Author-X-Name-Last: Langemeier Title: Economic efficiency adjusted for risk preferences Abstract: This study investigates the impact of risk preferences on cost and revenue efficiency for a sample of farms. Risk preference scores were used to measure risk aversion. Cost and revenue efficiency were estimated using traditional input and output measures, and then re-estimated including each farm’s risk preference score. Comparisons were made between farms with and without a change in efficiency when each farm’s risk preference was included in the analysis. As expected, risk preference plays an important role in explaining farm inefficiency. Failure to account for risk preferences overstates inefficiency, particularly for slightly risk averse and risk neutral farms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1627-1636 Issue: 16 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1223819 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1223819 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:16:p:1627-1636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isidro Frías-Pinedo Author-X-Name-First: Isidro Author-X-Name-Last: Frías-Pinedo Author-Name: Rosario Díaz-Vázquez Author-X-Name-First: Rosario Author-X-Name-Last: Díaz-Vázquez Author-Name: Ana Iglesias-Casal Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Iglesias-Casal Title: Oil prices and economic downturns: the case of Spain Abstract: We address the macroeconomic effects of an oil price shock in Spain. We apply a vector autoregression model (VAR) analysis to quarterly data for the Spanish economy since 1986, to elucidate the effects of variations in the oil price on the economy, considering the three main causes of disruptions in the oil markets: oil supply shocks, oil demand shocks and oil-specific (precautionary) demand shocks. We conclude that the effects in Spain strongly depend on the type of shock: the consumer price index (CPI) has mainly been influenced by oil demand shocks; output has only reacted to oil supply shocks; and monetary policy has mainly reacted after precautionary shocks. Second-round effects caused by the behaviour of nominal wages have not been found. Additionally, we discuss two facts: the ability of firms to increase markups in a context of rising demand and the procyclical role of monetary policy when faced with oil demand shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1637-1654 Issue: 16 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1223822 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1223822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:16:p:1637-1654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saten Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Saten Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Pengfei Jia Author-X-Name-First: Pengfei Author-X-Name-Last: Jia Title: Financial crisis and persistence: evidence from sticky expectations consumption growth model Abstract: We estimate the degree of stickiness in aggregate consumption growth for the U.S. considering the effects of the Great Recession. The behavior of stickiness estimate in the crisis is somewhat as the U-shaped pattern. Our findings imply that during the crisis consumers’ attentiveness to aggregate information has slightly increased, thereby reducing the persistence of aggregate consumption growth. However, the reduction in persistence is transitory. Since 1980, the U.S. faced five recessions and in most of them the degree of stickiness declined, albeit temporarily. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1799-1807 Issue: 17 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1529394 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1529394 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:17:p:1799-1807 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Fernández-Herraiz Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Herraiz Author-Name: Antonio Javier Prado-Domínguez Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Prado-Domínguez Author-Name: Carlos Pateiro-Rodríguez Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Pateiro-Rodríguez Author-Name: Jesús M. García-Iglesias Author-X-Name-First: Jesús M. Author-X-Name-Last: García-Iglesias Title: The role of the enhanced carry to risk on currency policy: the Mexican Peso Abstract: One of the most common measures of carry trade attractiveness is the carry-to-risk ratio. On analysing the speculative activity, this ratio presents two issues: First, emerging market currencies could merit a legitimate risk premium in a carry trade strategy due to the sovereign risks involved. In order to correct the measure, we include the credit risk in the measure using credit default swaps. Second, we gather more information about potential volatility asymmetries including a directional speculation indicator known as the risk reversal. We prove that the enhanced measure for the Mexican peso (MXN) is well represented by an ARIMA model with appropriate features since 2009. Due to the output of the analysis, we deduce that the Bank of Mexico might use this measure or a similar indicator, not only to understand the attractiveness of the carry trade strategy but to curb destabilizing carry trade activities. The case is compelling for the Mexican peso due to its dual role as emerging market currency and full convertible currency. We conclude that this institution may effectively manage the enhanced carry-to-risk measures in order to achieve financial stability and proper exchange credibility, and recognize its potential utility for other central banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1808-1816 Issue: 17 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1529395 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1529395 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:17:p:1808-1816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sulaiman A. Al-Jassar Author-X-Name-First: Sulaiman A. Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Jassar Author-Name: Imad A. Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: The effect of quantitative easing on stock prices: a structural time series approach Abstract: A structural time series model is estimated and tested to examine the effect of quantitative easing (QE) on US stock prices. The model is estimated by maximum likelihood in a Time-varying parametric (TVP) framework, using the S&P 500 index as the dependent variable and the Fed’s balance as an explanatory variable in addition to the unobserved components accounting for the behaviour of variables that do not appear explicitly in the equation. The results show that QE had a sizeable, but not exclusive, effect on stock prices and that stock prices were also affected by other missing variables and cyclical movements. Several explanations are presented for the rise of the US stock market in the post-QE period, particularly since the election of Donald Trump. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1817-1827 Issue: 17 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1529396 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1529396 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:17:p:1817-1827 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mingming Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Mingming Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: John Shideler Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Shideler Author-Name: Yun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Factor substitution and labor market friction in the United States: 1948–2010 Abstract: We re-estimate the capital-labor elasticity of substitution and the biased factor-augmenting technological progress using a system approach for the aggregate U.S. economy from 1948 to 2010. Due to (i) the significant impacts of labor market dynamics on economic growth and (ii) the fundamental tension between the short-run data that are available and the long-run parameter that is required in the estimation process, we incorporate labor market friction into a supply-side system to re-estimate these important growth parameters and to explore their sensitivity to the incorporation of labor market friction. Our estimation obtains a significantly smaller-than-unity elasticity of substitution. This result is consistent with labor input measured along the extensive and intensive margin, and in both competitive and imperfect labor markets. Technological progress tends to be purely labor-augmenting, with the average growth rate around 2% per year. These findings are robust to alternatively constructed data sets and different estimation strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1828-1840 Issue: 17 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1529397 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1529397 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:17:p:1828-1840 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Temesgen Kifle Author-X-Name-First: Temesgen Author-X-Name-Last: Kifle Author-Name: Parvinder Kler Author-X-Name-First: Parvinder Author-X-Name-Last: Kler Author-Name: Christopher M. Fleming Author-X-Name-First: Christopher M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fleming Title: The assimilation of Australian immigrants: does occupation matter? Abstract: This paper utilises the occupational attainment approach to investigate immigrant labour market assimilation, complementing other assimilation approaches such as employability, earnings, skills-match and job satisfaction. Our results show that all immigrant groups suffer from initial occupational attainment disadvantage. Worryingly, no ‘catch-up’ over time is evident – even when disaggregated to reflect different cultures and backgrounds. Nor is there much evidence that the occupational status of younger arrivals matches those of Australian born residents, despite being immersed in local mores and institutions while undertaking schooling in Australia. Newer cohorts of immigrants (those who arrived between 2000 and 2014) are also more prone to suffering an occupational penalty. We recommend policymakers subsidise bridging courses to aid recognition of overseas-obtained qualifications and encourage immigrants to obtain local qualifications that can complement their overseas-obtained work experience. This will increase their ‘Australian-ready’ skill-set and occupational attainment in their new host country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1841-1854 Issue: 17 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1529398 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1529398 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:17:p:1841-1854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khalid M. Kisswani Author-X-Name-First: Khalid M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kisswani Author-Name: Arezou Harraf Author-X-Name-First: Arezou Author-X-Name-Last: Harraf Author-Name: Amjad M. Kisswani Author-X-Name-First: Amjad M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kisswani Title: Revisiting the environmental kuznets curve hypothesis: evidence from the ASEAN-5 countries with structural breaks Abstract: This paper tests if the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis exists for ASEAN-5 countries in an annual sample data that covers 1971–2013, by utilizing Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) methodology. The empirical findings give support for the EKC hypothesis for Thailand only, after considering the structural breaks. Furthermore, the paper tests the EKC hypothesis for a panel data of the ASEAN-5 by adopting the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) methodology. The results show that the long-run estimates provide no evidence for the EKC hypothesis. Finally, the paper examines the causality between the CO2 emissions and GDP. For individual countries, bidirectional causality was found in the case of Thailand and Malaysia, plus unidirectional causality running from GDP and squared GDP to CO2 emissions was found for Indonesia, but a unidirectional causality running from CO2 emissions to GDP and squared GDP was found for the Philippines, however, no causality effect was found for Singapore. Furthermore, the pairwise Dumitrescu and Hurlin Panel Causality test show a bidirectional effect between CO2 emissions and both GDP in addition to squared GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1855-1868 Issue: 17 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1529399 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1529399 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:17:p:1855-1868 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahir Binici Author-X-Name-First: Mahir Author-X-Name-Last: Binici Author-Name: Hakan Kara Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Kara Author-Name: Pınar Özlü Author-X-Name-First: Pınar Author-X-Name-Last: Özlü Title: Monetary transmission with multiple policy rates: evidence from Turkey Abstract: Quantitative easing policies have led to persistent divergence between officially announced policy rates and short-term money market rates in many economies, making it challenging to assess the stance of monetary policy in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. Lack of data variation in short-term interest rates across time dimension has made it difficult to identify the monetary transmission mechanisms. In order to shed some light on this topic, we make advantage of a specific period from Turkey during which the central bank deliberately allowed the policy rates to diverge frequently from the interbank rates due to capital flow management purposes. Using bank-level flow data from this episode, we investigate the relationship between various short-term interest rate measures and bank loan/deposit rates through panel estimation methods. Our findings suggest that interbank rates are more relevant than central bank’s officially announced rates for the transmission of monetary policy when the two diverge from each other persistently. Interbank rates particularly play a key role in the pricing of loans and deposits. These findings provide helpful guidance for evaluating the monetary stance under unconventional policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1869-1893 Issue: 17 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1529400 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1529400 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:17:p:1869-1893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Moiz Bhai Author-X-Name-First: Moiz Author-X-Name-Last: Bhai Author-Name: Irina Horoi Author-X-Name-First: Irina Author-X-Name-Last: Horoi Title: Teacher characteristics and academic achievement Abstract: Identifying the impact of teacher characteristics on academic achievement has been a salient and reoccurring topic in education. We employ a twin-by-year identification strategy using matched teacher-student data from North Carolina to credibly estimate the impact of teacher characteristics such as experience, certification, and advanced degrees on academic achievement in math and reading. By using within-family variation the estimates from our model improve upon on earlier work by for time varying unobservable family shocks to non-schooling inputs. Our findings reveal that teacher experience and National Board certification have positive and significant effects on achievement in reading and math; however, we find inconclusive effects for advanced degrees. Notably, we show that teacher experience has the largest effects on student achievement, but our effects are smaller than the standard estimates in the literature. Overall, our estimates provide lower upper bounds for these key teacher characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4781-4799 Issue: 44 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1597963 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1597963 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:44:p:4781-4799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thi Mai Lan Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Thi Mai Lan Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Elissaios Papyrakis Author-X-Name-First: Elissaios Author-X-Name-Last: Papyrakis Author-Name: Peter A.G Van Bergeijk Author-X-Name-First: Peter A.G Author-X-Name-Last: Van Bergeijk Title: Assessing the price and output effects of monetary policy in Vietnam: evidence from a VAR analysis Abstract: Using monthly data, we perform a vector-autoregressive analysis to measure the effects of monetary policy on the Vietnamese economy. We concentrate our attention on the period following the introduction of the Law on Central Bank in January 1998 (which brought the national monetary policy and its objectives in line with international practices). Contrary to previous studies on Vietnam, we find evidence suggesting that monetary policy (through the manipulation of interest rates) is an effective policy tool in stabilizing prices. However, credit growth tends to induce inflationary pressures. In addition, we find that an expansion of broad money supply leads to an increase in industrial production. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4800-4819 Issue: 44 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1602708 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1602708 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:44:p:4800-4819 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Nahvi Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Nahvi Author-Name: Yang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Ali Arabzadeh Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Arabzadeh Author-Name: Sharif Y. Gushgari Author-X-Name-First: Sharif Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Gushgari Author-Name: Halil Ceylan Author-X-Name-First: Halil Author-X-Name-Last: Ceylan Author-Name: Charles T. Jahren Author-X-Name-First: Charles T. Author-X-Name-Last: Jahren Author-Name: Douglas D. Gransberg Author-X-Name-First: Douglas D. Author-X-Name-Last: Gransberg Author-Name: Sunghwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sunghwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Economics of upgrading gravel roads to Otta seal surface Abstract: Maintenance of low volume roads especially gravel roads is costly, and millions of funding annually are spent for aggregate replacement alone. Otta seal, compared to other bituminous surface treatments (BSTs) for low volume roads that require high-quality materials and specialized expertise, can be constructed using cheaper local aggregates and accessible equipment. However, only three states have reported Otta seal constructions and performance in the US. In this study, an economic analysis was conducted to compare the cost of maintaining a gravel road to the cost of upgrading an existing gravel road to a double Otta seal surface. This analysis was conducted at three levels: deterministic life-cycle cost analysis (LCCA), a stochastic Monte Carlo simulation-based LCCA, and a traffic based economic analysis. A generic one-mile rural road in Midwest was considered as a case study location. Although, according to the analysis conducted in this paper, an upgrade to Otta seal investment might be justified by maintenance savings, resorting to only such justification cannot warrant investment in most cases. The upgrade from gravel road to Otta seal, or any other BSTs, might be justified in terms of enhancing safety for road users and also encouraging economic development beneficial to local areas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4820-4832 Issue: 44 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1602712 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1602712 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:44:p:4820-4832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daye Li Author-X-Name-First: Daye Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xinmin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xinmin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: How time horizons and arbitrage cost influence the turnover premium? Abstract: There are multiple theories for the causal relation between stock turnover and expected return. The risk theory argues that stocks with high turnover generally have high information uncertainty, and thus high subsequent returns are required to compensate for the increased risk. By contrast, the theory of heterogeneous beliefs considers that high-turnover stocks have high speculative values and tend to be overpriced. We find that the information contained in stock turnover is multidimensional and controlling time horizons and arbitrage cost contributes to the reconciliation of the theories of risk compensation and heterogeneous beliefs. Our result shows that expected return is positively correlated with short-term turnover, and negatively correlated with long-term one. The premium on short-term turnover is consistent with the explanations based on transaction cost and liquidity risk. The premium on long-term turnover is much more pronounced among stocks with high arbitrage cost and can be largely explained by the mispricing theory and heterogeneous beliefs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4833-4848 Issue: 44 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1602713 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1602713 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:44:p:4833-4848 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jying-Nan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jying-Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Hung-Chun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Shu-Mei Chiang Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Mei Author-X-Name-Last: Chiang Author-Name: Yuan-Teng Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Yuan-Teng Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: On the predictive power of ARJI volatility forecasts for Bitcoin Abstract: Motivated by the recent literature on cryptocurrency volatility dynamics, this paper adopts the ARJI, GARCH, EGARCH, and CGARCH models to explore their capabilities to make out-of-sample volatility forecasts for Bitcoin returns over a daily horizon from 2013 to 2018. The empirical results indicate that the ARJI jump model can cope with the extreme price movements of Bitcoin, showing comparatively superior in-sample goodness-of-fit, as well as out-of-sample predictive performance. However, due to the excessive volatility swings on the cryptocurrency market, the realized volatility of Bitcoin prices is only marginally explained by the GARCH genre of employed models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4849-4855 Issue: 44 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1602714 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1602714 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:44:p:4849-4855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Arreola Hernandez Author-X-Name-First: Jose Arreola Author-X-Name-Last: Hernandez Author-Name: Khamis Hamed Al-Yahyaee Author-X-Name-First: Khamis Hamed Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Yahyaee Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Author-Name: Walid Mensi Author-X-Name-First: Walid Author-X-Name-Last: Mensi Title: Tail dependence risk exposure and diversification potential of Islamic and conventional banks Abstract: This paper undertakes a rolling window comparative analysis of risks for portfolios consisting of GCC Islamic and conventional bank indices. We draw our empirical results by employing canonical, drawable and regular vine copula models, as well as by implementing a portfolio optimization method with a conditional Value-at-Risk constraint. We find evidence of higher riskiness in the group of Islamic banks relative to the group of conventional banks across each of the financial rolling window scenarios under consideration. Specifically, a greater negative (nonlinear) tail asymmetric dependence is observed in the pairs of Islamic banks’ relationships. The results also show that the optimal portfolio model supports a clear preference towards the group of conventional banks in regard to risk minimization and diversification benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4856-4869 Issue: 44 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1602716 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1602716 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:44:p:4856-4869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huaigang Long Author-X-Name-First: Huaigang Author-X-Name-Last: Long Author-Name: Adam Zaremba Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Zaremba Author-Name: Yuexiang Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yuexiang Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Beware of the crash risk: Tail beta and the cross-section of stock returns in China Abstract: We investigate the pricing of systematic tail risk measured by tail beta in the Chinese equity market. Using an array of tests, we examine the performance of more than 3,300 stocks for the years 1999 through 2018. Contrary to evidence from developed markets, we demonstrate a strong negative relationship between the tail beta and future returns. The effect is robust to many considerations and cannot be explained by established pricing factors or alternative risk or illiquidity measures. We link our findings to specific characteristics of the Chinese stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4870-4881 Issue: 44 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1602717 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1602717 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:44:p:4870-4881 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Tao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Trade credit in economic fluctuations and its impact on corporate performance: a panel data analysis from China Abstract: Trade credit is an important auxiliary measure to complete transactions in supply chains, and it is also an important source of short-term financing for companies. This paper uses panel data for Chinese listed companies from 2002 to 2016 to study the impact of Tobin’s Q and bargaining power on trade credit under different economic conditions, and we ultimately study how trade credit affects companies’ performance during economic fluctuations. We find that companies with higher Tobin’s Q values tend to reduce the use of trade credit demand, which increases during the economic expansion period and weakens during the economic downturn. Second, companies with lower bargaining power tend to increase their use of trade credit expansion as a competitive tool; however, this effect will weaken during the economic expansion period and will increase during the economic downturn. We also find that the amounts of trade credit demand and expansion are negatively correlated with corporate performance and that this effect weakens during the economic expansion period and increases during the economic downturn. The cycle of trade credit expansion is positively related to corporate performance. This relationship weakens during the economic expansion and strengthens during the economic downturn. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1621982 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1621982 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:1:p:1-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fida Karam Author-X-Name-First: Fida Author-X-Name-Last: Karam Author-Name: Chahir Zaki Author-X-Name-First: Chahir Author-X-Name-Last: Zaki Title: A new dawn for MENA firms: service trade liberalization for more competitive exports Abstract: While micro-level empirical evidence has emerged to highlight the positive effect of services deregulation on the productivity and exports of manufacturing firms in developing countries, the MENA region has been neglected in the literature. The current paper fills the gap by exploring the effect of service protection on the extensive and intensive trade margins of manufacturing and services firms in selected MENA countries for 2013. The service protection variable is constructed using two different measures: the service trade restrictiveness index and the tariff equivalent of services, weighted by the input-output technical coefficient of service sectors. Our results show that service protection is a fixed export cost, exerting a negative and significant effect on the extensive margin, without having a significant effect on the intensive margin of the firm. We also find that the burden of service barriers falls on small firms that struggle to enter international markets, and on firms operating in high value-added sectors such as ‘motor vehicles’. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 19-35 Issue: 1 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1624921 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1624921 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:1:p:19-35 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Beatriz Hernández-Lara Author-X-Name-First: Ana Beatriz Author-X-Name-Last: Hernández-Lara Author-Name: Juan Pablo Gonzales-Bustos Author-X-Name-First: Juan Pablo Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzales-Bustos Title: The influence of family businesses and women directors on innovation Abstract: This work seeks to contribute to the debate about whether or not family businesses are more innovative than other kind of companies, and explore the specific effects women on boards have on innovation, comparing family and non-family businesses. Data collected from Spanish listed companies belonging to innovative sectors between 2003 and 2017 confirm that being a family business impacts positively on the number of registered patents and the proportion of women on boards exert a positive influence on R&D and patents. Moreover, the proportion of women on boards influences innovation in a different way when family and non-family businesses are compared, and depending on whether female directors belong or not to the family of control. Therefore, the results obtained suggest some relevant recommendations for research and practitioners, providing new insights into the debate on the benefits of family companies for innovation and of gender diversity of their boards. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 36-51 Issue: 1 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1638496 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1638496 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:1:p:36-51 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steffen Brenner Author-X-Name-First: Steffen Author-X-Name-Last: Brenner Author-Name: Sezen Aksin Sivrikaya Author-X-Name-First: Sezen Author-X-Name-Last: Aksin Sivrikaya Author-Name: Joachim Schwalbach Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Schwalbach Title: Who is on LinkedIn? Self-selection into professional online networks Abstract: We analyze a large data set of fully employed individuals gathered through incentive-compatible surveys to study who joins professional social network sites (SNS) such as LinkedIn. We test the conflicting predictions that a) individuals who are unsatisfied with their career status adversely select into professional SNS in order to reap marginal online network benefits vs. b) high status individuals positively select into these networks because they are more likely to receive invitations to join. Our tests support b) and reject a). Similar estimations for private SNS (e.g., Facebook) reveal that the observed effects are specific to professional SNS and hence not driven by unobserved differences in social capital or the affinity to use social media. We also detect that environments conducive of professional social interactions increase the likelihood to use professional SNS. Controlling for sample selection bias does not qualitatively change the results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 52-67 Issue: 1 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1638497 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1638497 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:1:p:52-67 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vaibhav Lalwani Author-X-Name-First: Vaibhav Author-X-Name-Last: Lalwani Author-Name: Madhumita Chakraborty Author-X-Name-First: Madhumita Author-X-Name-Last: Chakraborty Title: Aggregate earnings and gross domestic product: International evidence Abstract: Recent studies in macro accounting suggest that changes in aggregate accounting earnings can predict quarterly GDP growth in the USA. Our objective in this study is to test the robustness of the association between aggregate earnings and real GDP growth across multiple countries and for different definitions of aggregate earnings. We test whether aggregate earnings changes predict future economic growth in eight countries – Australia, Canada, China, India, Japan, South Korea, the UK, and the USA. We find positive evidence regarding the generalisability of the aggregate earnings – real GDP relation in an international context. In additional tests, we find that economic forecasters appear to underreact to aggregate earnings information. Our results show that aggregate earnings lead economic growth and forecasts of real GDP growth can be improved by incorporating aggregate earnings information. Further, we also test if negative earnings changes contain more information than positive earnings changes and find only modest evidence in favour of this hypothesis. The results are robust to alternative statistical methodology and the removal of the USA data from the sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 68-84 Issue: 1 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1640859 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1640859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:1:p:68-84 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gaoxiu Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Gaoxiu Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Author-Name: Yuxin Teng Author-X-Name-First: Yuxin Author-X-Name-Last: Teng Author-Name: Yanyan Xu Author-X-Name-First: Yanyan Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Lu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The cross-market dynamic effects of liquidity on volatility: evidence from Chinese stock index and futures markets Abstract: This article investigates the cross-market asymmetric dynamic effects of liquidity on realized volatility and its intersection with jump volatility between Chinese stock index and futures market. The influence of index liquidity on futures market volatility is negative significantly after controlling for the long memory feature of realized volatility, and becomes much stronger for the after-crisis period. Liquidity of the futures market has a relative weak positive impact on stock volatility, and becomes insignificant after crisis. Our study reveals different influence mechanisms from the commonly known information transmission that new information is reflected in futures prices and volatility more quickly. The cross-market dynamic effects are time-varying and not influenced after controlling for jump volatility. Especially, index liquidity impacts positive jumps of both markets, while there is no impact of futures liquidity to index jump volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 85-99 Issue: 1 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1640861 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1640861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:1:p:85-99 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gideon Danso-Abbeam Author-X-Name-First: Gideon Author-X-Name-Last: Danso-Abbeam Author-Name: Lloyd J. S. Baiyegunhi Author-X-Name-First: Lloyd J. S. Author-X-Name-Last: Baiyegunhi Title: Technical efficiency and technology gap in Ghana’s cocoa industry: accounting for farm heterogeneity Abstract: This study employs a stochastic metafrontier framework to examine the performance of smallholder cocoa farmers using cross-country survey from Ghana. The results indicate that the output of farmers from all the regions lags behind their potential with the mean technical efficiency of 0.65, 0.76, 0.60 and 0.74 for Western, Brong-Ahafo, Ashanti and Eastern regions, respectively. Each region faces a technology gap when their performances are compared with the technology available in the industry as a whole. The study identified sources of farmers’ technical inefficiency emanating from a combined effects of socioeconomic and farm-specific factors although effects of some variables were not significant. However, farmers in all the regions have the potential to overcome technological constraints and achieve the highest attainable productivity levels. It is, therefore, important that Ghana cocoa board strengthened its strategies to the latter to improve farmers’ technical and managerial skills on the efficient use of resources. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 100-112 Issue: 1 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1644439 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1644439 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:1:p:100-112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Youssouf Kiendrebeogo Author-X-Name-First: Youssouf Author-X-Name-Last: Kiendrebeogo Author-Name: Alexandru Minea Author-X-Name-First: Alexandru Author-X-Name-Last: Minea Title: Financial development and poverty: evidence from the CFA Franc Zone Abstract: The financial liberalization in the 1980s and early 1990s led the CFA Franc Zone countries to deepen reforms in their financial systems. These reforms fostered financial development, which in turn may have reduced income poverty, as emphasized by several theoretical arguments in the literature. This study aims at estimating the contribution of financial development to poverty alleviation in the CFA Franc Zone. Results based on a panel of CFA Franc Zone countries show that financial development is associated with a drop in the proportion of poor population. Next, financial development reduces the extent to which the income of individuals falls below the poverty line. Moreover, in some cases, the effect of financial development on poverty may be subject to nonlinearities. Finally, financial instability or unstable financial development leading to crises may mitigate the favourable effect of financial development on poverty reduction. These findings are robust to the use of alternative measures of financial development and hold after controlling for a potential simultaneity and a small sample biases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5421-5436 Issue: 56 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1176114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1176114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:56:p:5421-5436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sekyung Oh Author-X-Name-First: Sekyung Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Woo Sung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Woo Sung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Growth opportunities and trade credit: evidence from Chinese listed firms Abstract: Private firms in China have led the explosive growth of the country’s economy, but with restricted or no access to formal financing. It is puzzling that these firms use relatively less trade credit than their counterparts in developed countries. We argue that firms with more growth opportunities should rely mainly on internal financing owing to high asymmetric information, especially in a financial market environment biased towards state-owned enterprises (SOEs) such as China. To explore growth opportunities, these firms may reduce their level of trade credit in the trade-off they face in deciding where to invest. Using panel data of Chinese non-financial listed firms for the period 2003–2013, we find that the relationship between growth opportunities and trade credit (both accounts receivable and payable) is significantly negative and is more pronounced in private firms than in SOEs. Furthermore, we also find that subsequent to the new receivable pledge policy being introduced, Chinese firms with more growth opportunities have higher accounts receivable, but similar levels of accounts payable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5437-5447 Issue: 56 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1178846 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1178846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:56:p:5437-5447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yangyan Shi Author-X-Name-First: Yangyan Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Tiru Arthanari Author-X-Name-First: Tiru Author-X-Name-Last: Arthanari Author-Name: Lincoln C. Wood Author-X-Name-First: Lincoln C. Author-X-Name-Last: Wood Title: An empirical study of third-party purchase: New Zealand users’ perspective Abstract: This article investigates the potential for third-party purchase (3PP) services offered by third-party logistics (3PL) providers, from the perspective of 3PL users, based on transaction cost analysis. We conducted a survey of New Zealand 3PL users and received 163 usable responses. Structural equation modelling was used to test the conceptual model. We found that 3PL users are more likely to adopt 3PP service when there is greater uncertainty. Asset specificity, frequency and transaction size do not have a significant relationship with 3PP service adoption. However, 3PP service is significantly related to the value-to-client and benefit-to-3PL provider. This study is pioneering research on 3PP service as a value-added service offered by 3PL providers from the perspective of 3PL users. The findings suggest that offering 3PP service will provide mutual benefits and value for both 3PL users and their 3PL providers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5448-5461 Issue: 56 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1178847 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1178847 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:56:p:5448-5461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Min Bai Author-X-Name-First: Min Author-X-Name-Last: Bai Author-Name: Xiao-Ming Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiao-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yafeng Qin Author-X-Name-First: Yafeng Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Title: Short-selling constraints and stock-valuation pattern: a regime–event analysis Abstract: Employing a novel approach of integrating regime analysis with event analysis, we examine the overall valuation pattern of stocks that traverse the short-sale-ban and the no-ban regime, employing data from the Hong Kong market. Switching from the ban to the no-ban regime, stocks initially undergo net cumulative undervaluation and then revert to fundamental valuation. Switching from the no-ban to the ban regime, stocks initially experience net cumulative excessive overvaluation and then revert to permanent overvaluation. The amount of net cumulative undervaluation is greater than the amount of net cumulative excessive overvaluation. This documented overall pattern offers a broad perspective on short-sale constraints and stock valuation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5462-5484 Issue: 56 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1178848 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1178848 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:56:p:5462-5484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Florian Szücs Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Szücs Title: The triggers and clustering properties of merger waves Abstract: This article studies the triggers and the agglomeration of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity within clusters constituted by time, market and industry. Based on almost 500,000 individual transactions, we find that industry factors play a significant role in triggering activity and that M&A agglomerates strongly across related industries. While clustering in time turns out to be insignificant, stock market effects can be either an attracting or a repelling force, depending on the type of deal examined. This supports the view that merger waves are largely driven by industry shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5485-5496 Issue: 56 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1178849 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1178849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:56:p:5485-5496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sergio Giaccaria Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Giaccaria Author-Name: Vito Frontuto Author-X-Name-First: Vito Author-X-Name-Last: Frontuto Author-Name: Silvana Dalmazzone Author-X-Name-First: Silvana Author-X-Name-Last: Dalmazzone Title: Valuing externalities from energy infrastructures through stated preferences: a geographically stratified sampling approach Abstract: The externalities produced by high-voltage transmission lines are multidimensional, may strongly depend on the local context, and are thus difficult to capture through standard environmental valuation exercises. We experiment a GIS approach to design a geographically stratified contingent valuation sample of the population resident in infrastructure corridors in a whole region. We estimate, by means of a binary choice logit model, the perceived marginal damage from impacts of power lines on human health, the landscape and the environment. Specific treatment is given to qualitatively different forms of impact, namely real estate depreciation versus diffused perception of damage, arising at different distances from the lines. The set of GIS-based variables (proximity to power lines, presence of other infrastructure, endowment of natural and built heritage and other local context variables) prove to be significant predictors in the utility function of resident households. Finally, we compute simulated values that combine information on individual’s willingness to pay, population density and the dimension of the considered corridor around the infrastructure, so as to generalize the outcomes of case-specific studies for use in policy choices such as infrastructure localization, undergrounding and negotiation of compensations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5497-5512 Issue: 56 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1178850 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1178850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:56:p:5497-5512 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Reis Mourao Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Mourao Title: Soccer transfers, team efficiency and the sports cycle in the most valued European soccer leagues – have European soccer teams been efficient in trading players? Abstract: The sale of soccer players is a serious issue for the sustainability of professional teams. This article discusses the efficiency of the values that 183 European soccer teams have received for the sales of their players since 2007. We estimated stochastic frontiers for these soccer teams using stochastic frontier analysis. We found that teams with higher numbers of titles, with huge past acquisitions of players, and achieving good rankings in the previous season tend to receive more transfer inflows. The efficiency of these inflows can be significantly influenced if the team exhibits a long sports history or if the team participates in the Champions League or in the Europa League. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5513-5524 Issue: 56 Volume: 48 Year: 2016 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1178851 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1178851 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:56:p:5513-5524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michiel Bijlsma Author-X-Name-First: Michiel Author-X-Name-Last: Bijlsma Author-Name: Clemens Kool Author-X-Name-First: Clemens Author-X-Name-Last: Kool Author-Name: Marielle Non Author-X-Name-First: Marielle Author-X-Name-Last: Non Title: The effect of financial development on economic growth: a meta-analysis Abstract: In this article, we contribute to the current debate on the sign and size of the finance–growth relation. To this purpose, we use a meta-analysis with 551 estimates from 68 empirical studies that take private credit to GDP as a measure for financial development. We distinguish between linear and logarithmic specifications. First, we find evidence of significantly positive publication bias in both the linear and log-linear specifications. It suggests the literature has exaggerated the size of the finance–growth effect in the past. Second, we find suggestive evidence that the logarithmic specification is superior to the linear specification. In the logarithmic specification when accounting for publication bias, a 10% increase in credit to the private sector increases economic growth with 0.09 percentage points. For the linear estimates, no significant effect of credit to the private sector on economic growth is found on average. Overall, the evidence points to a positive but decreasing effect of financial development on growth and supports the ‘too much’ finance hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6128-6148 Issue: 57 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489503 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489503 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:57:p:6128-6148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Darlington Sabasi Author-X-Name-First: Darlington Author-X-Name-Last: Sabasi Author-Name: C. Richard Shumway Author-X-Name-First: C. Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Shumway Title: Climate change, health care access and regional influence on components of U.S. agricultural productivity Abstract: This article examines factors driving three components of total factor productivity change (TFPC) in U.S. agriculture – technical change (TC), technical efficiency change (TEC), and scale and mix efficiency change (SMEC). We also examine TFPC and contrast implications derived from the component models with those from a directly estimated TFPC model. Our results show that TC and SMEC are both significantly impacted by innovation through public research and improved human capital through education and health care access. TEC and SMEC are significantly affected by farm size, and the latter is significantly affected by public policy. The ratio of family-to-total labour, terms of trade and precipitation have significant impacts on all three components, but extension has no significant impact on any component. Climate change variables are the most impactful factors on each component as well as on TFPC. While the impact of climate change is heterogeneous across regions and components, its estimated historical impact is most often positive. Nearly all TFPC elasticities estimated directly are qualitatively the same as those calculated from the component models and quantitatively similar. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6149-6164 Issue: 57 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489504 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489504 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:57:p:6149-6164 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alan T. Wang Author-X-Name-First: Alan T. Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: A reexamination on the effect of bank competition on bank non-performing loans Abstract: This article examines whether competition in the deposit and loan markets results in a more stable or fragile banking industry. Following the assumption that deposit and loan competitions are not separable, a simple equilibrium model is developed. Then, using the aggregate time-series data of Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC)-insured financial institutions, we estimate the generalized VAR model of deposit rate (DR), interest margin between the loan and DRs, and non-performing loan ratio. Our results support the competition–fragility hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6165-6173 Issue: 57 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489505 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489505 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:57:p:6165-6173 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Grzegorz Wesoƚowski Author-X-Name-First: Grzegorz Author-X-Name-Last: Wesoƚowski Title: Do long-term interest rates drive GDP and inflation in small open economies? Evidence from Poland Abstract: This article investigates the impact of long-term interest rates on macroeconomic variables in a small open economy. It shows that the time-varying term premium stabilizes GDP without affecting significantly inflation volatility in Poland – a typical open economy with flexible exchange rate. This conclusion is drawn from an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model in which segmented asset markets and imperfect asset substitutability give rise to the time-varying term premium in the long-term interest rate. Furthermore, the impulse response analysis of the model reveals that the term premium stabilizes GDP when the small economy is hit by shocks that are absent in closed economy models (country risk premium and export preference) which points to the different impact of the term premium on relatively close (large) and open (small) economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6174-6192 Issue: 57 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489507 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:57:p:6174-6192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Royal Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Royal Author-Name: Galib Rustamov Author-X-Name-First: Galib Author-X-Name-Last: Rustamov Title: Do small pecuniary incentives motivate residential peak energy reductions? Experimental evidence Abstract: This article evaluates demand-side interventions aimed at reducing residential consumption during the peak energy periods. The interventions were applied to a sample of high-income households and included a set of text message reminders advising participants to reduce electricity use during peak hours. One group of participants received accompanying intra-day increases in peak-hour kWh rates, while another group of participants did not receive any price incentives. We find that intra-day price increases, though small in absolute magnitude, produced significant reductions in peak energy use. Reductions in use, as compared to a control group, were significantly higher among the pricing group compared to the group only receiving text messages, suggesting that pricing played a central role in influencing behaviour. Our results contribute to ongoing policy discussion about the effect of dynamic pricing on consumer energy demand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6193-6202 Issue: 57 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489508 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489508 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:57:p:6193-6202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steven P. Cassou Author-X-Name-First: Steven P. Author-X-Name-Last: Cassou Author-Name: C. Patrick Scott Author-X-Name-First: C. Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Scott Author-Name: Jesús Vázquez Author-X-Name-First: Jesús Author-X-Name-Last: Vázquez Title: Optimal monetary policy revisited: does considering US real-time data change things? Abstract: The primary goal of this article is to investigate whether properly modelling real-time data and optimal real-time decision-making of a monetary planner provides new insights into monetary policy behaviour and outcomes. This article extends a variant of the asymmetric preference model suggested by Ruge-Murcia to investigate the use of real-time data available to policymakers when making their decisions and revised data which more accurately measure economic performance, but is only available much later. In our extended model, the central banker targets a weighted average of revised and real-time inflation together with a weighted average of revised and real-time output. Moreover, we allow for an asymmetric central bank response to real-time data depending on whether the unemployment rate is high or low. Our model identifies several new potential sources of inflation bias due to data revisions. Our empirical results suggest that the Federal Reserve Bank focuses on targeting revised inflation during low unemployment periods, but it weighs heavily real-time inflation during high unemployment periods. The inflation bias due to data revisions is comparable in magnitude to the bias from asymmetric central banker preferences with the bias being somewhat larger during high unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6203-6219 Issue: 57 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489511 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489511 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:57:p:6203-6219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert G. Snigaroff Author-X-Name-First: Robert G. Author-X-Name-Last: Snigaroff Author-Name: David Wroblewski Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Wroblewski Title: An earnings, liquidity, and market model Abstract: We combine the market with earnings, liquidity and their respective growth, with motivation via a simple pricing equation, to model the cross-section with three, four and five factors. As first-order variables in widespread investor use for over a hundred years, earnings and liquidity have ready connection to investor preferences. They obtain as good a cross-sectional description of security prices as other factor models without redundancy. We weight portfolios on volume, relying on a direct SDF representation of investor’s preference for liquidity, demonstrating its additional dimension. Recent research arguing for the demise of liquidity is premature; indeed, its importance has grown. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6220-6248 Issue: 57 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1495826 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1495826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:57:p:6220-6248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chuanhua Wei Author-X-Name-First: Chuanhua Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Chao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Fengyun Gui Author-X-Name-First: Fengyun Author-X-Name-Last: Gui Title: Geographically weight seemingly unrelated regression (GWSUR): a method for exploring spatio-temporal heterogeneity Abstract: Geographically weight seemingly unrelated regression is a useful technique to explore the temporal and spatial heterogeneity simultaneously in space-time data analysis. In this article, a local linear-based estimating approach is developed to estimate the unknown coefficient functions. Some simulations are conducted to examine the performance of our proposed method and the results are satisfactory. Finally, a real data example is considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4189-4195 Issue: 42 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1279266 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1279266 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:42:p:4189-4195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Jose Perez Villadoniga Author-X-Name-First: Maria Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Villadoniga Author-Name: Ana Rodríguez-Alvarez Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Rodríguez-Alvarez Title: Analysing wage differentials when workers maximize the return to human capital investment Abstract: The analysis of the determinants of differences in wages across workers has traditionally relied on the estimation of average earnings functions. In this article, we propose a new theoretical model where it is the workers who decide the amount they wish to invest in human capital, taking into account the costs of acquiring those skills, for the purpose of maximizing earnings. In this model, both human capital and marginal productivity are likely to be influenced by the individual’s (unobserved) characteristics such as ability or motivation, potentially giving rise to endogeneity problems. In this context, the empirical implementation of our theoretical model allows us, under certain assumptions, to obtain consistent estimates even under the assumption of endogeneity. We present an empirical application to the education sector using data from the Spanish Structure of Earnings Survey 2010. Our results show that females and workers in the private education sector face more difficulties in achieving their maximum potential wage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4196-4208 Issue: 42 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1279267 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1279267 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:42:p:4196-4208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vikkram Singh Author-X-Name-First: Vikkram Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: Bin Li Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Eduardo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Title: How pervasive is the effect of culture on stock market linkages? Evidence across regions and economic cycles Abstract: We conduct a comprehensive study on the effect of culture on stock market linkages. With data on 25 national stock markets, a quantile regression model is used to estimate the determinants of market linkages using culture variable/s such as language, religion and Hofstede’s cultural dimensions while controlling for distance, economic and legal variables. Further, we test whether these effects hold across regions and if changes are detected during periods of market crisis. We also test if market liquidity, an indicator of market efficiency, diminishes the impact of culture on market linkages. The main conclusion is that culture preferences shape investor choices, which affects integration between stock markets. The equity markets with similar cultural traits tend to increase market linkages; however, we observe differences across regions. Furthermore, liquidity and economic uncertainty fail to have an impact on the significance of culture variable/s as determinants of market linkages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4209-4230 Issue: 42 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1279268 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1279268 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:42:p:4209-4230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Dreger Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Dreger Author-Name: Yun Schüler-Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Schüler-Zhou Author-Name: Margot Schüller Author-X-Name-First: Margot Author-X-Name-Last: Schüller Title: Determinants of Chinese direct investments in the European Union Abstract: This article analyses the determinants of Chinese foreign direct investment (FDI) activities in the European Union (EU). Evidence is based on panel Poisson models drawing on two investment monitors at the individual project level. Greenfield investments (GI) and mergers and acquisitions (M&A) are distinguished. The findings indicate that market size and bilateral trade are the main factors for Chinese investment in the EU. In contrast, business-friendly institutions do not foster FDI. Probably, Chinese investors are risk averse, and prefer regions with less competitive markets. The striking difference between GIs and M&As is related to unit labour costs. Higher costs make the host country less attractive for the establishment of new firms, but do not affect the involvement in existing firms. The sectoral dispersion of Chinese FDI in the EU did not change much since the global financial crisis. Most relevant shifts have occurred in research and development (R&D), where low-income EU countries have become increasingly attractive. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4231-4240 Issue: 42 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1279269 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1279269 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:42:p:4231-4240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lisa Chever Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Chever Author-Name: Stéphane Saussier Author-X-Name-First: Stéphane Author-X-Name-Last: Saussier Author-Name: Anne Yvrande-Billon Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: Yvrande-Billon Title: The law of small numbers: investigating the benefits of restricted auctions for public procurement Abstract: A commonly accepted view in the academic literature is that dispensing with competition may only be beneficial when tendering complex contracts. However, restricted auctions are frequently used among EU member states to procure small contracts. In this article, we investigate this paradox. Using an original data set of 180 contracts used by a local public buyer of social housing between 2006 and 2009, we show that limiting competition may enable economies to be made on transaction costs while the most efficient bidders still come forward, and that abuses such as corruption or favouritism do not result. To our knowledge, this article is the first to shed light on the advantages of using restricted auctions when tendering small simple contracts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4241-4260 Issue: 42 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1279270 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1279270 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:42:p:4241-4260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Ferda Halicioglu Author-X-Name-First: Ferda Author-X-Name-Last: Halicioglu Author-Name: Sahar Bahmani Author-X-Name-First: Sahar Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani Title: Do exchange rate changes have symmetric or asymmetric effects on the demand for money in Turkey? Abstract: As a result of the research conducted by Nobel Laureate Robert Mundell (1963), most studies estimating the demand for money today do include the exchange rate in their specification to account for currency substitution. Previous studies that did this for the Turkish demand for money assumed that exchange rate changes do have symmetric effects on the demand for money in Turkey. In this article, we question this assumption. By using the nonlinear ARDL approach, we show that indeed exchange rate changes do have short-run and long-run asymmetric effects on the M1 demand for money. Introducing nonlinearity also yields a stable money demand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4261-4270 Issue: 42 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1279271 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1279271 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:42:p:4261-4270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantin A. Kholodilin Author-X-Name-First: Konstantin A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kholodilin Author-Name: Boriss Siliverstovs Author-X-Name-First: Boriss Author-X-Name-Last: Siliverstovs Title: Think national, forecast local: a case study of 71 German urban housing markets Abstract: In this article, we examine whether the local indicators are able to predict the city-level housing prices and rents better than national indicators. For this purpose, we assess the forecasting ability of 126 indicators and 21 types of forecast combinations using a sample of 71 large German cities. There are several predictors that are especially useful, namely price-to-rent ratios, national-level business confidence, and consumer surveys. We also find that combinations of individual forecasts are among the top forecasting models. On average, the forecast improvements attain about 20%, measured by a reduction in root mean square error, compared to the naive models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4271-4297 Issue: 42 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 9 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1279272 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1279272 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:42:p:4271-4297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huiming Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Huiming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Zheng Li Author-X-Name-First: Zheng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Peng Guo Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: The impact of income, economic openness and interest rates on housing prices in China: evidence from dynamic panel quantile regression Abstract: The rapid growth of housing prices has attracted the attention of the whole of society in China. This article adopts the dynamic panel quantile regression to investigate the impact of income, economic openness and interest rates on housing prices in China, based on the panel data of 35 major cities from 2002 to 2012. Compared with previous studies, we can more precisely and reasonably discuss the impact of these variables on different levels of housing prices. The empirical results indicate that the impact of independent variables on housing prices is heterogeneous across quantiles. Specifically, the impact of income is positive and significant across quantiles, and the impact becomes greater at the 90th and 95th quantiles. Economic openness has a positive and significant effect at the 5th–80th quantiles, which support the Balassa–Samuelson effect, but it is insignificant at the 90th and 95th quantiles. The impact of interest rates is positive and significant at low quantiles, but the impact is negative and insignificant at high quantiles. Furthermore, we also find that the coefficients of interest rates at various quantiles are smaller. In addition, the population has a significant positive effect across quantiles. Finally, we provide important policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4086-4098 Issue: 38 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441512 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441512 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:38:p:4086-4098 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mita Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Mita Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: John Inekwe Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Inekwe Author-Name: Sudharshan Reddy Paramati Author-X-Name-First: Sudharshan Reddy Author-X-Name-Last: Paramati Title: Remittances and financial development: empirical evidence from heterogeneous panel of countries Abstract: Remittances are the second largest source of external finance after foreign direct investment in the developing economies. In this study, we analyse the role of incoming remittances on financial development for 57 highest remittance recipient economies. A long run equilibrium relationship is established between remittances and three alternative indicators of financial development. Estimates from the dynamic system-generalized method of moments reflect lower elasticity values for developing countries compared to the developed ones. Our findings are robust across countries, and highlight the necessity for strengthening institutional set-ups to increase the inflow of remittances, which will enhance financial development across countries. The role of foreign direct investment is found to be significant in most cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4099-4112 Issue: 38 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441513 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441513 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:38:p:4099-4112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David A. Walker Author-X-Name-First: David A. Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Title: How they lost the presidency Abstract: For the second time in this century and the fifth time in US history, the 2016 presidential popular vote winner was not elected president. One day before the election, the author predicted (https://finpolicy.georgetown.edu) Secretary Hillary Clinton would receive between 50.49 and 51.78 percent of the two-party popular vote. She received 51.11 percent. The difference between the popular vote winner and Electoral College outcome inspired the author, ex ante, to develop a state-by-state, cross-section probit model to understand Donald Trump’s Electoral College victory, based on economic, racial and educational characteristics. Trump won the US presidency by winning some of the largest states (Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin with 17 percent of the necessary electoral votes) by small margins, particularly states with modest per capita incomes and economic growth, and losing the minority vote by less than expected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4113-4121 Issue: 38 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441514 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441514 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:38:p:4113-4121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sakiru Adebola Solarin Author-X-Name-First: Sakiru Adebola Author-X-Name-Last: Solarin Author-Name: Muhammad Shahbaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Shahbaz Author-Name: Chris Stewart Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Stewart Title: Is the consumption-income ratio stationary in African countries? Evidence from new time series tests that allow for structural breaks Abstract: This article examines whether the consumption-income ratio is stationary in 50 African countries. We use the residual augmented least squares (RALS-LM) unit root test that allows for structural breaks. The empirical evidence shows that the consumption income ratio is stationary around structural breaks in most (44 out of 50) African countries. This is consistent with the predictions of most economic theories. The general finding of mean reversion implies that (policy) shocks are likely to have only temporary effects on the consumption-income ratio in most African countries . Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4122-4136 Issue: 38 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441515 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441515 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:38:p:4122-4136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barry Watson Author-X-Name-First: Barry Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Author-Name: Lars Osberg Author-X-Name-First: Lars Author-X-Name-Last: Osberg Title: Job insecurity and mental health in Canada Abstract: Using six cycles of Canada’s longitudinal National Population Health Survey data (2000–2001 to 2010–2011), this article examines the relationship between job insecurity and mental health. Job insecurity is evaluated in both subjective (perception of job insecurity) and objective (probability of joblessness) terms while mental health is measured using a standardized psychological distress index. Applying a person-specific fixed-effects estimator, results indicate that for males and females age 25–64, job insecurity, regardless of how it is measured, is associated with an increase in psychological distress. Results regarding unemployment are not as conclusive, suggesting that it is not so much the actual occurrence of job loss but the threat of unemployment that is associated with higher psychological distress. Estimates of the relationship between job insecurity and psychological distress using pooled ordinary least squares are much larger, implying that much of the psychological distress/job insecurity correlation may be due to unobservable fixed characteristics. All results are robust to the inclusion and exclusion of a host of other potential determinants including income-related variables, education, and various health measures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4137-4152 Issue: 38 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441516 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441516 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:38:p:4137-4152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Etienne Farvaque Author-X-Name-First: Etienne Author-X-Name-Last: Farvaque Author-Name: Florence Huart Author-X-Name-First: Florence Author-X-Name-Last: Huart Title: Drowned by numbers? Stabilization properties of an EU-wide unemployment insurance system Abstract: The recent crisis has given rise to proposals for the creation of a European unemployment insurance system. We simulate an EU-wide mechanism under various scenarios, varying methods of financing (common or country-specific contribution rates) and triggers for pay-outs (all time or contingent clauses). We analyse the impact of the system using different measures of stabilization under different fiscal multipliers. A system operating during bad times (periods where the increase in unemployment is large) would reduce GDP growth variability but also growth correlation among member countries. Hence, there is a trade-off between stabilization and synchronization of national business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4153-4181 Issue: 38 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441517 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441517 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:38:p:4153-4181 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Youba Ndiaye Author-X-Name-First: Youba Author-X-Name-Last: Ndiaye Title: Road tax interactions among local governments: a spatial panel data analysis of the French case over the period 1984–2000 Abstract: This article contributes to the literature on local tax interactions. Its novelty lies in its focus on the interactions of local governments via an indirect local tax on vehicles such as the road tax sticker and its analysis of interactions between direct and indirect local taxation. The main purpose of this article is to provide an empirical analysis of the reaction of road tax policy in a given French ‘department’ to changes in road tax policy in other ‘departments’. The analysis uses a novel panel data set covering the 96 French metropolitan ‘departments’ for the period from 1984 to 2000. First, the results confirm the presence of significant spatial interactions between French ‘departments’ due to the road tax sticker. Second, the estimation results also show that the business tax rate and/or the property tax rate on developed land are complements to the road tax sticker, whereas the residence tax rate and/or the property tax rate on undeveloped land are substitutes to the road tax instrument. Finally, I find that ‘departments’ with a larger, younger and older population set higher rates for the road tax sticker. The results are robust regarding alternative weight matrices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4182-4196 Issue: 38 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1441518 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1441518 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:38:p:4182-4196 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiawen Luo Author-X-Name-First: Jiawen Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Langnan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Langnan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Weiguo Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Weiguo Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Covariance breakdowns and connectedness of crude oil futures markets with non-synchronous data Abstract: This article identifies the breakdowns in the covariance of three benchmark crude oil futures markets (WTI, Brent and Dubai) and investigates the changes of market connectedness across the breakdown periods. As the crude oil futures are traded in different regions, this article eliminates the non-synchronous trading data by employing the Vector Moving Average structure and the Bayesian data augmentation approach, which keeps the integrity of original data without changing its properties. The results show that there are significant breaks in the covariance structure of crude oil futures markets. The breakdown periods are consistent with the periods when the market volatilities are at high level and the returns are volatile. The changes of market connectedness are independent of the covariance states, which supports the globalization hypothesis for the crude oil market. The results also suggest that there is more information flow out of the WTI than to the WTI during the sample period, particularly during the breakdown periods in 2008–2009. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 422-443 Issue: 5 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489510 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489510 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:5:p:422-443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Piyadasa Edirisuriya Author-X-Name-First: Piyadasa Author-X-Name-Last: Edirisuriya Author-Name: Abeyratna Gunasekarage Author-X-Name-First: Abeyratna Author-X-Name-Last: Gunasekarage Author-Name: Shrimal Perera Author-X-Name-First: Shrimal Author-X-Name-Last: Perera Title: Product diversification and bank risk: evidence from South Asian banking institutions Abstract: We investigate whether the product diversification activities of South Asian banking institutions have led to an increase or decrease in their solvency and profit risks. Using the data of five countries – India, Bangladesh, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka – for the period 2000–2016, we analyse the effect of both income and assets diversification activities on the Z-score and SDs of ROA (Return on Assets) and ROE Return on Equity). Among income diversification activities, securities trading income has a significant positive influence on bank risk while other categories have no influence. With respect to assets diversification, non-interest-bearing assets and loans given to government were found to have a significant positive influence on bank risk, while mortgage loans and non-classified loans have opposite influences. However, the impacts of securities trading income and loans given to the government are mainly confined to private sector banks and state-owned banks, respectively. We also uncover some country-specific diversification influences on the above relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 444-464 Issue: 5 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489516 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489516 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:5:p:444-464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tobias Haepp Author-X-Name-First: Tobias Author-X-Name-Last: Haepp Author-Name: Mei Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Mei Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: Educational inequalities between children of marriage migrants and those of local-born parents – quantile regression results from Taiwan Abstract: This article studies educational inequalities between children of marriage migrants and those of local-born parents using student test scores from Taiwan. We first find an average raw score gap of 9.5% for children of foreign parents. We then employ quantile regression methodology and find that, after introducing our extensive list of covariates, score gaps vanish for children with a mother from mainland China in all quantiles and for children with a Southeast Asian mother in the highest quantiles. In contrast, we identify large residual score gaps for children with a parent from a culturally more distant country in all quantiles. Different from previous studies which found the largest impact for language usage and parent education, we find that the physical home environment has the highest explanatory power in our analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 465-487 Issue: 5 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1490001 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1490001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:5:p:465-487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chao Li Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zongyi Hu Author-X-Name-First: Zongyi Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Liwei Tang Author-X-Name-First: Liwei Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Re-examining the Chinese A-share herding behaviour with a Fama-French augmented seven-factor model Abstract: In view of the contradicting results in existing research, this article proposes a new weighted cross-sectional variance (WCSV) model to re-examine the level of herding behaviour in the Chinese A-share market. Motivated by the original WCSV model, we utilize a Fama-French augmented seven-factor model as the underlying Arbitrage Pricing Theory model, which introduces the trading volume and turnover rate factors to the Fama-French five-factor model. The regression results show the superiority of our new model compared to the WCSV model based on Fama-French three- and five-factor models, which implies that the empirical findings of herding with our WCSV model are more reliable in relative terms. In the empirical aspect, in addition to testing the herding level yearly and integrally, to provide further insight on the relationship between market stress and herding, we apply our model to the Chinese A-share herding behaviour within each of three well-known crisis periods. In addition, we also split the sub-samples into pre-crisis and post-crisis periods to detect the existence of asymmetric herding behaviour for different market directions. Our findings suggest that Chinese A-share herding behaviour is more prevalent during large market turmoil, especially under condition of down market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 488-508 Issue: 5 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494809 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494809 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:5:p:488-508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abhilash S. Nair Author-X-Name-First: Abhilash S. Author-X-Name-Last: Nair Author-Name: R Vinod Author-X-Name-First: R Author-X-Name-Last: Vinod Title: Determinants of the allocative, cost and scope efficiencies of Indian banks Abstract: This study aims to investigate the impact of competition on determinants of allocative, scope and cost efficiencies of Indian scheduled commercial banks (SCBs). Specifically, the study, analyzes the impact of the second round of licensing on the efficiency of Indian SCBs. This is the first paper to measure scope efficiency of Indian banks and analyze its determinants. A two-stage analysis is performed on a balanced panel dataset of Indian SCBs for the period 1999–2016. In the first stage, the allocative, cost and scope efficiencies for each bank are estimated following the data envelopment analysis approach. In the second stage, internal determinants of the stated efficiency measures are estimated following the system of the generalized method of moments approach. The findings suggest that competition has not resulted in enhancing the efficiency of Indian SCBs. Among factors that can influence efficiency, it is seen that size does matter. Larger banks can enhance the efficiency of SCBs. It is also seen that having more foreign banks improves the overall efficiency of SCBs. However, before embarking on further rounds of licensing, the study posits that market-driven correction to succeed, it is imperative to address sunspots in the form of investor or borrower repression. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 509-527 Issue: 5 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494815 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494815 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:5:p:509-527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tong Qu Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Qu Author-Name: Richard Harris Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Harris Title: Does support from government help firms survive? Evidence on financial and political assistance in China, 1998–2007 Abstract: Using the National Bureau of Statistics data set over the period 1998–2007, this article examines the dual roles of financial assistance and strong political links on firm survival in China by applying a semi-parametric duration model. We find that generally either financial assistance or strong political links had a positive effect on the likelihood of firm survival. Furthermore, if firms received both types of support from government, their survival rate was around two times as high compared to only receiving a single support. The likelihood of survival depended on the amount of assistance a firm received. We also find firm ownership impacts on its survival pattern. Lastly, China joining the World Trade Organisation (WTO) coincided with (cet. par.) higher firm failure, especially with regard to state-owned firms; however, this period also saw the authorities targeting political and financial help on the ‘better’ firms (especially SOEs) with characteristics likely to increase their chance of survival. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 528-541 Issue: 5 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1494816 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1494816 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:5:p:528-541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claude Diebolt Author-X-Name-First: Claude Author-X-Name-Last: Diebolt Author-Name: Ralph Hippe Author-X-Name-First: Ralph Author-X-Name-Last: Hippe Title: The long-run impact of human capital on innovation and economic development in the regions of Europe Abstract: Human capital is supposed to be an important factor for innovation and economic development. However, the long-run impact of human capital on current innovation and economic development is still a black box, in particular at the regional level. Therefore, this paper makes the link between the past and the present. Using a large new dataset on regional human capital and other factors in the 19th and 20th century, we find that past regional human capital is a key factor explaining current regional disparities in innovation and economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 542-563 Issue: 5 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1495820 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1495820 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:5:p:542-563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimiliano Caporin Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Caporin Author-Name: Michele Costola Author-X-Name-First: Michele Author-X-Name-Last: Costola Title: Asymmetry and leverage in GARCH models: a News Impact Curve perspective Abstract: Models for conditional heteroskedasticity belonging to the GARCH class are now common tools in many economics and finance applications. Among the many possible competing univariate GARCH models, one of the most interesting groups allows for the presence of the so-called asymmetry or leverage effect. In our view, asymmetry and leverage are two distinct phenomena, both inspired by the seminal work of Black in 1976. We propose definitions of leverage and asymmetry that build on the News Impact Curve, allowing to easily and coherently verify if they are both present. We show that several GARCH models are asymmetric but none is allowing for a proper leverage effect. Finally, we extend the leverage definition to a local leverage effect and show that the AGARCH model is coherent with the presence of local leverage. An empirical analysis completes the paper. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3345-3364 Issue: 31 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1578853 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1578853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:31:p:3345-3364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Abera Gelan Author-X-Name-First: Abera Author-X-Name-Last: Gelan Title: Asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes on the demand for money in Africa Abstract: In order to account for currency substitution, the exchange rate is included in the demand for money. More recent studies have demonstrated that exchange rate changes could have asymmetric effects on the demand for money or domestic currency. In this paper, we consider the experiences of 18 African countries and show that in most countries, indeed exchange rate changes have short-run asymmetric effects on the demand for money. However, short-run effects translate to long-run asymmetric effects only in a limited number of African countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3365-3375 Issue: 31 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1578854 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1578854 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:31:p:3365-3375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suduan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Suduan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: An effective going concern prediction model for the sustainability of enterprises and capital market development Abstract: The purpose of this study is to construct a two-stage effective and innovative going concern prediction model to predict going concern doubt for the sustainability of enterprises and capital market development. Samples of this study are the companies listed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange or the Taipei Exchange, totalling 196 companies and including 49 companies with going concern doubt and 147 normal companies (with no going concern doubt). The data are taken from the Taiwan Economic Journal (TEJ) and the Market Observation Post System during the period from 2001 to 2016 (totalling 16 years). This study adopts a two-stage way to construct the going concern prediction models. In Stage I, the traditional statistical method of stepwise regression (SR) and the data mining technique artificial neural network (ANN) are applied to select the important variables. In Stage II, two decision tree algorithms (data mining techniques): classification and regression tree (CART) and C5.0 are used to establish the prediction models. The results show that the SR + CART model has the highest going concern prediction accuracy, with an overall accuracy of 87.42%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3376-3388 Issue: 31 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1578855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1578855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:31:p:3376-3388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Acedański Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Acedański Author-Name: Jacek Pietrucha Author-X-Name-First: Jacek Author-X-Name-Last: Pietrucha Title: Level and dynamics of financial depth: consequences for volatility of GDP Abstract: The existing literature documents positive but potentially non-linear relationship between financial depth measured as private credit to GDP ratio and volatility of GDP. In this paper, we extend the analysis by considering also the role of financial depth dynamics. We use dynamic spatial panel models to address the issue of cross-sectional dependence of errors obtained from the standard dynamic panel models. We confirm the non-linear impact of the financial depth level but also find that higher growth rates of financial depth are significantly associated with higher volatility of output. The role of the latter factor is considerably more important in terms of explained variance compared to the impact of the private credit level. These results are robust to changes in the sample range, specification of the model, and measurement of the key variables. We also document considerable differences between the estimates obtained from the standard GMM and the spatial models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3389-3400 Issue: 31 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1578857 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1578857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:31:p:3389-3400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luciana D. Costa Author-X-Name-First: Luciana D. Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Author-Name: Teresa D. Harrison Author-X-Name-First: Teresa D. Author-X-Name-Last: Harrison Title: Hospital competition, spillovers and provision of uncompensated care Abstract: Using data for California from 2005 until 2010, we investigate to what extent market competition and the presence of non-profits in the area may play a role in equilibrium uncompensated care (UC) levels, allowing those effects to differ according to the hospital’s ownership type. Previous studies have not explored the potential spillover effects from non-profit hospitals into the hospital decision of UC provision. We find evidence that regions with more non-profits experienced larger increases in UC levels, and even more in less concentrated markets. Our results also indicate that UC provision by for-profit hospitals decreases the larger the presence of non-profits in the region, and this effect is magnified when competition is more intense. We, therefore, find no positive spillover effects of non-profits into the hospital decision of UC provision, which may help us to understand the recent trends in UC levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3401-3412 Issue: 31 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1581905 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1581905 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:31:p:3401-3412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong Hee Suh Author-X-Name-First: Dong Hee Author-X-Name-Last: Suh Title: Interfuel substitution effects of biofuel use on carbon dioxide emissions: evidence from the transportation sector Abstract: This study examines the interfuel substitution effects of biofuel use on carbon dioxide emissions in the U.S. transportation sector. First, the dynamic linear logit model is used to examine substitution possibilities between biofuels and non-biofuels. The results reveal that petroleum demand is the most inelastic with respect to changes in petroleum prices since the transportation sector depends heavily on the use of petroleum. In addition, ethanol serves as a substitute for petroleum, showing that the use of ethanol can reduce the dependence on petroleum when petroleum prices increase. The results also indicate that ethanol is a complement for natural gas, while natural gas is a substitute for petroleum. Second, the coefficients for carbon dioxide emissions are used to compute the potential amount of carbon dioxide associated with interfuel substitution. The results represent that price-induced interfuel substitution is a critical factor to predict biofuel-related carbon dioxide emissions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3413-3422 Issue: 31 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1581906 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1581906 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:31:p:3413-3422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pei-Fen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Fen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Jhih-Hong Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Jhih-Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Title: Economic policy uncertainty and firm investment: evidence from the U.S. market Abstract: This paper examines the impact of economic policy uncertainty on firm-level capital investment, by not only delving into the long-term investment-uncertainty relation like previous studies, but also analyzing the short-term investment-uncertainty relation for the U.S. market. The empirical investigations show that firms decrease short-term, long-term, and total firm investments when encountering higher economic policy uncertainties. The research also explores the non-linear investment-uncertainty relation based on various theories. Our findings present a U-shaped relationship between short-term, long-term, and total investments and uncertainties. Policy implications are provided from our empirical results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3423-3435 Issue: 31 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1581909 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1581909 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:31:p:3423-3435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aleš Kocourek Author-X-Name-First: Aleš Author-X-Name-Last: Kocourek Author-Name: Iva Nedomlelová Author-X-Name-First: Iva Author-X-Name-Last: Nedomlelová Title: Three levels of education and the economic growth Abstract: The aim of this article is to solve the question how the three main stages of education contribute to the labour productivity growth in selected 125 countries in the period 1999–2014. The model is based on the neoclassical production function enhanced with human capital. The authors draw on the Penn World Tables 9.0 and UNESCO databases. The key benefit of this article is that human capital is characterized according to the returns to education from average number of years of formal schooling at the primary, secondary and tertiary level. Based on the panel data analysis, the contributions of capital and of the three levels of education to the growth of labour productivity are estimated. At the same time, the model allows to estimate the contribution of total factor productivity. The results of the analysis show that tertiary education has the strongest impact on labour productivity across the considered economies. At the same time, the breakdown of aggregate human capital by level of education leads to better clarification of the effects of human capital and physical capital on labour productivity. The conclusions also indicate a tendency towards rising returns to scale induced by the secondary and tertiary education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2103-2116 Issue: 19 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1388910 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1388910 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:19:p:2103-2116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Borghesi Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Borghesi Title: Employee political affiliation as a driver of corporate social responsibility intensity Abstract: This article explores the connection between corporate social responsibility (CSR) intensity and the political affiliation of elite management and lower-level personnel and offers evidence that CSR initiatives are frequently driven from the bottom-up by employees actively expressing their sociopolitical views. While directors and CEOs play an important role within certain CSR dimensions, results suggest that employees are significantly more influential overall. A one-standard-deviation shift to the political left for directors, CEOs and elite executives yields gains in CSR of 5%, 9% and 3%, respectively, while a one-standard-deviation left-shift for employees produces a 33% increase. Findings may help to explain why similar firms engaging in comparable social initiatives can experience heterogeneous returns to CSR outlays and suggest that a corporate culture approach may be warranted in future studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2117-2132 Issue: 19 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1388911 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1388911 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:19:p:2117-2132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Md Zakir Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Md Zakir Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Author-Name: Md Atiqur Rahman Khan Author-X-Name-First: Md Atiqur Rahman Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: M. Shibley Sadique Author-X-Name-First: M. Shibley Author-X-Name-Last: Sadique Title: Basel III and perceived resilience of banks in the BRICS economies Abstract: This study investigates how the additional capital and liquidity requirements of Basel III would increase the resilience of banks. In particular, using panel data from 2007 to 2014, we examine the resilience of banks in the BRICS economies. Our results suggest that a 10% increase in capital adequacy ratio (CAR), Tier 1 capital ratio (TRA), and leverage ratio (LEV), the resilience (as measured by Z-Score of banks) increases by about 2.18, 0.89 and 1.31%, respectively. Similarly, for a 100% increase in liquidity coverage ratio (LCR), the resilience of banks increases by 0.51%, 1.10% and 1.19%, respectively, in the models associated with CAR, TRA, and LEV. Hence, our findings suggest that the CAR is robust to increase the resilience of banks. Our study also reveals that the LCR and LEV are the most effective to increase the resilience of banks if implemented simultaneously. We also find that the stage of economic development does not matter in formulating policies for the BRICS economies, and finally, we provide empirical evidence that economy-wide risk, such as a financial crisis, does not affect the resilience of banks and it influences the resilience of banks in the BRICS economies in the same way before and after the crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2133-2146 Issue: 19 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1391999 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1391999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:19:p:2133-2146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patricia Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno Author-Name: Juan Rodriguez-Poo Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez-Poo Author-Name: David Cantarero Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero Title: A new approach to understanding labour supply of disabled people Abstract: The main interest of this article is to propose an individual utility maximization model to explain the low participation of disabled people. We account for heterogeneity of preferences and furthermore time of self-caring for disabled individuals is considered as an argument in the utility function. The hours of work decided by disabled individuals are neither homogeneous (they depend on unknown characteristics) nor continuous (discrete choice sets). We use data of 4790 households from the Spanish Survey of Disability, Personal Autonomy and Dependency and find association between time of informal care and labour participation and, consequently, the choice between jobs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2147-2155 Issue: 19 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1392000 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1392000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:19:p:2147-2155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Santo Milasi Author-X-Name-First: Santo Author-X-Name-Last: Milasi Author-Name: Robert J. Waldmann Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Waldmann Title: Top marginal taxation and economic growth Abstract: The article explores the relationship between top marginal tax rates on personal income and economic growth. Using a data set of consistently measured top marginal tax rates for a panel of 18 OECD countries over the period 1965–2009, this article finds evidence in favour of a quadratic top tax–growth relationship. This represents the first reported evidence of a nonmonotonic significant relationship between top marginal income tax rates and economic growth. The point estimates of the regressions suggest that the marginal effect of higher top tax rates becomes negative above a growth-maximizing tax rate in the order of 60%. As top marginal tax rates observed after 1980 are below the estimated growth-maximizing level in most of the countries considered, a positive linear relationship between top marginal tax rates and GDP growth is found over the sub-period 1980–2009. Overall, results show that raising top marginal tax rates which are below their growth maximizing has the largest positive impact on growth when the related additional revenues are used to finance productive public expenditure, reduce budget deficits or reduce some other form of distortionary taxation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2156-2170 Issue: 19 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1392001 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1392001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:19:p:2156-2170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jerome Geyer-Klingeberg Author-X-Name-First: Jerome Author-X-Name-Last: Geyer-Klingeberg Author-Name: Markus Hang Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Hang Author-Name: Matthias Walter Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Walter Author-Name: Andreas Rathgeber Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Rathgeber Title: Do stock markets react to soccer games? A meta-regression analysis Abstract: This study applies meta-regression analysis to aggregate a sample of 1126 empirical estimates of the stock market reaction to soccer matches collected from 37 primary studies. Our results indicate that winning a match is not associated with significant return effects for both national teams and individual clubs. In the case of lost matches, we find strong evidence for publication bias, i.e. negative returns are systematically overrepresented causing a biased picture of the true soccer match effect. After correcting for this bias, the mean return after losses by national teams becomes statistically insignificant and accounts for only $$ - 5$$−5 basis points. In the case of individual clubs, the corrected impact of a loss is a significant $$ - 39$$−39 basis points effect. In a further analysis, we identify various aspects of study design like regional differences, time period under examination and the design of empirical analysis to be responsible for the wide variation in previous study outcomes. Overall, our findings provide evidence against the hypothesis that stock markets are driven by sports sentiment in the case of national teams. Due to the existence of strong asymmetry in the returns after wins and losses of individual clubs, behavioural explanations cannot be fully ruled out. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2171-2189 Issue: 19 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1392002 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1392002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:19:p:2171-2189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tony Beatton Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Beatton Author-Name: Benno Torgler Author-X-Name-First: Benno Author-X-Name-Last: Torgler Title: Volunteering and life or financial shocks: does income and wealth matter? Abstract: Volunteering is a dominant social force that signals a healthy state. However, although the literature on volunteering is extensive, knowledge on how life’s discontinuities (life and financial shocks) affect volunteering is limited because most studies work with static (cross-sectional) data. To reduce this shortcoming, we use longitudinal data from Australia (HILDA) that track the same individuals over time to assess how individuals from different income and wealth groups respond to life and financial shocks with respect to volunteering. Although both income and wealth can act as buffers against life shocks by providing stability and reducing vulnerability – which decreases the need to actually change behaviour patterns – we observe more heterogeneity than expected and also stickiness at the lowest income levels. Response delays in post-shock volunteering also suggest that volunteering habits may be driven and influenced by strong commitment and motivation that are not shattered by life or financial shocks. In fact, the amount of time spent volunteering tends to increase after negative income shocks and decrease after positive income shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2190-2209 Issue: 19 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1392003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1392003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:19:p:2190-2209 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Shahbaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Shahbaz Author-Name: Hrushikesh Mallick Author-X-Name-First: Hrushikesh Author-X-Name-Last: Mallick Author-Name: Mantu Kumar Mahalik Author-X-Name-First: Mantu Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mahalik Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Title: Is globalization detrimental to financial development? Further evidence from a very large emerging economy with significant orientation towards policies Abstract: This study attempts to explore the relationship between globalization and financial development by endogenizing economic growth, population density, inflation and institutional quality for India during the period from 1971–2013. Using the more conclusivecombined cointegration method, the study provides evidence of cointegration among these variables. The long-run and short-run estimates from the ARDL model and causality tests, respectively, suggest that globalization in its all forms (political, social and economic) and its overall measure as well as inflation are detrimental to financial development, while economic growth and population density both promote financial development. Furthermore, the results also point out that institutional quality is not conducive to financial development in India, and there exists a feedback effect between financial development and inflation. Moreover, financial development is influenced by economic growth, institutional quality and population density. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 574-595 Issue: 6 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1324615 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1324615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:6:p:574-595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Stafylas Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Stafylas Author-Name: Keith Anderson Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Author-Name: Moshfique Uddin Author-X-Name-First: Moshfique Author-X-Name-Last: Uddin Title: Hedge fund index-engineering methodologies: a comparison and demonstration Abstract: We examine hedge fund (HF) index construction methodologies, by describing and analysing case studies from two well-known database vendors and evaluating them using numerical examples on the same dataset. Despite the fact that they follow a similar due diligence process, there are great differences in the index engineering practices arising from different quantitative techniques, even for indices in the same HF category. However, those quantitative techniques provide similar results. The differences are rather due to the use of different HF universes and different inclusion criteria. This article is the first to use actual numerical case studies to illustrate and compare how HF index engineering works. Having read it, the reader will have a good understanding of how HF indices are formed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 596-612 Issue: 6 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1332746 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1332746 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:6:p:596-612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Ana Maria Bandeira Author-X-Name-First: Ana Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Bandeira Author-Name: Manuela Magalhães Author-X-Name-First: Manuela Author-X-Name-Last: Magalhães Title: Labour-market institutions, (un)employment, wages, and growth: theory and data Abstract: We analyse the implications of labour-market institutions on wage inequality in favour of skilled labour, on relative unemployment of unskilled labour, and on the economic growth rate in two clusters resulting from 27 OECD countries: Cluster 1, closely related with the Anglo-Saxon model, and Cluster 2, dominated by the Continental-European model. By linking the unskilled wage to the skilled one in Cluster 2, due to the indexation of social benefits to per-capita income, we accommodate the observed paths of the three variables in both clusters between 1991 and 2008: Cluster 1 presents a higher wage inequality in favour of skilled labour, a lower unemployment of the unskilled labour, and a better economic growth rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 613-633 Issue: 6 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1332748 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1332748 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:6:p:613-633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eléazar Zerbo Author-X-Name-First: Eléazar Author-X-Name-Last: Zerbo Author-Name: Olivier Darné Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Darné Title: Unit root and trend breaks in per capita output: evidence from sub-Saharan African countries Abstract: This article examines the nonstationary properties of per capita real output in 28 sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries, covering the period 1960–2014. The sequential testing approach proposed by Kejriwal and Lopez (2013, Econometric Reviews 32(8), 892–927) is used to categorize SSA countries into growth shift, level shift and linear trend hypotheses based on the presence or not of breaks in slope and/or level of the trend function. The break dates are associated to major historical or economic events such as sociopolitical crisis, commodity price fluctuations on international market, the discovery and the exploitation of mineral deposits or unfavourable environmental and climatic conditions. The empirical evidences of appropriate unit root tests fail to reject the unit root hypothesis in all the countries, suggesting that a shock would have a permanent effect on growth process, and stabilization policies may be implemented in dealing with income fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 634-658 Issue: 6 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1332752 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1332752 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:6:p:634-658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lutz Bornmann Author-X-Name-First: Lutz Author-X-Name-Last: Bornmann Author-Name: Alexander Butz Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Butz Author-Name: Klaus Wohlrabe Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Wohlrabe Title: What are the top five journals in economics? A new meta-ranking Abstract: We construct a meta-ranking of 277 economics journals based on 22 different rankings. The ranking incorporates bibliometric indicators from four different databases (Web of Science, Scopus, Google Scholar, and RePEc). We account for the different scaling of the bibliometric indicators by standardizing each ranking score. We run a principal component analysis to assign weights to each ranking. In our meta-ranking, the top five journals are given by: Quarterly Journal of Economics, Journal of Financial Economics, Journal of Economic Literature (JEL), Journal of Finance, and Econometrica. Additionally, leaving out the JEL as a survey journal and the finance journals in our top 10 list we confirm the perceived top five journals in the economics profession. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 659-675 Issue: 6 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1332753 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1332753 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:6:p:659-675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Steffen Rapp Author-X-Name-First: Marc Steffen Author-X-Name-Last: Rapp Author-Name: Iuliia A. Udoieva Author-X-Name-First: Iuliia A. Author-X-Name-Last: Udoieva Title: What matters in the finance–growth nexus of advanced economies? Evidence from OECD countries Abstract: Over the last decades, a large strand of finance and growth literature has provided ample evidence on the importance of financial deepening for economic development. Yet, recently, the focus of public debate has shifted towards the role of the financial system structure, an area in which empirical research remains relatively sparse and exploratory in nature. With this article, we aim to contribute to that debate by analysing the role the financial system structure plays in economic growth and risk. Focusing on stock markets and studying OECD economies over 1994–2013, we find that, ceteris paribus, financial systems with relatively larger stock markets facilitate economic growth and dampen economic risk. Our findings remain robust under application of instrumental variable and system generalized method of moments estimators, as well as when we use an alternative definition of stock market development, estimate median regressions, examine relatively high-frequency annual data, control for systemic banking crises or apply quadratic specifications. We find no such effect for private bond markets or private credit volume. Overall, our results suggest that financial system structure matters for the economic development of advanced economies and highlight the importance of a debate about the optimal structure of an economy’s financial system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 676-690 Issue: 6 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1337867 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1337867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:6:p:676-690 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Yunong Li Author-X-Name-First: Yunong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Impact of government intervention in the housing market: evidence from the housing purchase restriction policy in China Abstract: In 2010, a housing purchase restriction policy was announced by China’s central government and implemented gradually by several prefecture governments. In this article, we empirically investigate this policy’s effect on the housing market. Using a difference-in-difference framework, we show that the housing purchase restriction policy reduces housing prices and transaction amounts but does not influence the housing investment or construction markets. Moreover, upstream industry suffers more than downstream industry. The results are robust to a battery of robustness checks. Heterogeneity exists across cities. We find that first- and second-tier cities as well as highly urbanized cities experience great declines in housing prices after the policy’s implementation, especially cites that had high housing prices in 2010 and cities with high real estate investment as a proportion of fixed asset investment. However, the housing policy is less effective in curbing speculative demand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 691-705 Issue: 6 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1340569 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1340569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:6:p:691-705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tara McIndoe-Calder Author-X-Name-First: Tara Author-X-Name-Last: McIndoe-Calder Title: Hyperinflation in Zimbabwe: money demand, seigniorage and aid shocks Abstract: Zimbabwe experienced record hyperinflation of 80 billion per cent per month in 2008. This article uses new data from Zimbabwe to investigate money demand under hyperinflation using an autoregressive distributed-lag model for the period 1980–2008. The results produce plausible convergence rates and long-run elasticities, indicating that real-money balances are cointegrated with the inflation rate and signifying an equilibrium relationship between the two series. Evidence is also presented suggesting prices were driven by increases in the money supply rather than by changes in price setting behaviour. The article uses the estimated elasticity on the inflation variable to calculate the maximum level of seigniorage revenue that could be raised in the economy. Actual seigniorage levels increased dramatically after 2000, with inflation eventually exceeding the rate required to maximize this revenue stream. This is discussed in relation to international financing constraints and the collapse of the domestic tax base. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1659-1675 Issue: 15 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1371840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1371840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:15:p:1659-1675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nobuya Fukugawa Author-X-Name-First: Nobuya Author-X-Name-Last: Fukugawa Title: The contingent effect of social capital on performance of professional athletes: life cycle stages and changes in regulation as moderators Abstract: Motorboat racing is a sport organized as public gambling in Japan. As well as physical strength and driving technique, skills to adjust equipment are critical for racers to win a race. Based on the contingency theory of social capital, this study analysed comprehensive panel data of motorboat racers and revealed that bonding and bridging social capital had different impacts on performance according to life cycle stages of racers and changes in regulation. First, bonding social capital has a positive impact on performance when racers are less experienced and most need psychological aid stemming from strong ties. Second, bridging social capital has a positive impact on performance when racers are more experienced and have accumulated absorptive capacity to learn efficiently from diverse sources of knowledge. Third, both bonding and bridging social capital lose their explanatory power after the changes in regulation that shifted ownership of propellers from racers to the authority, which could mitigate the significance of the formation of small groups among racers to share cost and knowledge regarding the improvement in propellers. Research and managerial implications of the findings are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1676-1693 Issue: 15 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1371843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1371843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:15:p:1676-1693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Lábaj Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Lábaj Author-Name: Karol Morvay Author-X-Name-First: Karol Author-X-Name-Last: Morvay Author-Name: Peter Silanič Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Silanič Author-Name: Christoph Weiss Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Weiss Author-Name: Biliana Yontcheva Author-X-Name-First: Biliana Author-X-Name-Last: Yontcheva Title: Market structure and competition in transition: results from a spatial analysis Abstract: The present article provides first microlevel (indirect) empirical evidence on changes in entry barriers, the determinants of firm profitability as well as the nature of competition for a transition economy. We estimate size thresholds required to support different numbers of firms for several retail and professional service industries in a large number of geographic markets in Slovakia. The 3 time periods in the analysis (1995, 2001 and 2010) characterize different stages of the transition process. Specific emphasis is given to spatial spill-over effects between local markets. Estimation results obtained from a spatial ordered probit model suggest that entry barriers have declined considerably (except for restaurants) and that the intensity of competition has increased on average. We further find that demand spill-overs and/or the effects associated with a positive correlation in unobservable explanatory variables seem to outweigh negative spill-over effects caused by competitive forces between neighbouring cities and villages. The importance of these spatial spill-over effects differs across industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1694-1715 Issue: 15 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1374535 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1374535 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:15:p:1694-1715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gustavo Cabrera Author-X-Name-First: Gustavo Author-X-Name-Last: Cabrera Author-Name: Semei Coronado Author-X-Name-First: Semei Author-X-Name-Last: Coronado Author-Name: Omar Rojas Author-X-Name-First: Omar Author-X-Name-Last: Rojas Author-Name: Rafael Romero-Meza Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Meza Title: A Bayesian approach to model changes in volatility in the Mexican stock exchange index Abstract: We model the changes in volatility in the Mexican Stock Exchange Index using a Bayesian approach. We study the time series with a wide set of models characterized by a Markov switching heterogeneity. The advantage of this approach is that it allows for a broader spectrum of possible models since the estimation of the moments of the parameters is done using the finite mixture distribution MCMC method, without relying on assumptions about large sampling and mathematical optimization. This is particularly relevant for emerging markets’ financial data because of its special characteristics, like being more susceptible to jumps and changes in volatility caused by exchange rate swings, financial crises and oil and commodity prices. For model comparison, we use the marginal likelihood approach and the bridge sampling technique. The best representation of the data is given by a switching model with three states rather than any other autoregressive linear or non-linear model. The periods of volatility found by the model coincide with different financial crisis. Whereas other studies of volatility for the same market impose the Markovian model that captures changes in volatility, we let our model to be defined in an endogenous way. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1716-1724 Issue: 15 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1374536 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1374536 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:15:p:1716-1724 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Neel Rao Author-X-Name-First: Neel Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Twisha Chatterjee Author-X-Name-First: Twisha Author-X-Name-Last: Chatterjee Title: Sibling gender and wage differences Abstract: Family influences on economic performance are investigated. In particular, sibship sex composition is related to hourly wages using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979. The wages of men are increasing in the proportion of siblings who are brothers, but the wages of women are insensitive to sibling gender. Nonwage outcomes are generally unaffected. Contrasts by age structure and demographic group are also presented. The analysis addresses econometric challenges like the endogeneity of fertility and selection into the workforce. In addition, mechanisms such as labour market interactions, human capital investment and role model effects are documented. A questionnaire on job search indicates a same-gender bias in the use of brothers and sisters in obtaining employment. Developmental and psychological assessments suggest that brothers may be associated with worse childhood home environments and more traditional family attitudes among women. The findings are policy relevant and contribute to an understanding of gender differences and earnings inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1725-1745 Issue: 15 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1374537 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1374537 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:15:p:1725-1745 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carsten Colombier Author-X-Name-First: Carsten Author-X-Name-Last: Colombier Title: Population ageing in healthcare – a minor issue? Evidence from Switzerland Abstract: Our study shows that population ageing is a relevant determinant of healthcare expenditure (HCE). This conclusion supports the popular, but recently strongly contested, view that the coming population ageing will threaten the fiscal sustainability of health systems. We contribute to this debate, first by estimating the determinants of Swiss HCE with outlier-robust dynamic regressions, and second, by projecting Swiss HCE based on the estimates produced and new population scenarios. Medical advances and GDP per capita also play a decisive role. Governments can mitigate HCE growth by improving the health status of the population and by stimulating cost-effective and productive medical advances. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1746-1760 Issue: 15 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1374538 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1374538 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:15:p:1746-1760 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenchao Xu Author-X-Name-First: Wenchao Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Scott E. Lowe Author-X-Name-First: Scott E. Author-X-Name-Last: Lowe Title: An integrated analysis of the effects of local water institutions on irrigated agriculture outcomes in the arid western United States Abstract: Irrigation water rights and their governance structures constitute the foundation of local water institutions and profoundly influence water resource allocations, irrigated agricultural productivity and other consumptive water uses in the arid climate zones. This article explores the regional structures of irrigation water rights and water governance and empirically analyses the priority effects of water rights on irrigated agriculture at the micro level in Idaho, an arid and semiarid state in the western United States. We integrate a unique data set of water rights and water supplies with agricultural features and environmental characteristics into our empirical analysis. Results indicate that seniority in water resources allocation has significant, positive effects on both the average crop revenue and crop water use efficiency. Local water rights structures differ significantly in seniority and water sources from region to region. In response to the heterogeneity in local water rights structures, the aforementioned effect of allocative priority of water rights on average crop revenue per hectare and crop water productivity varies significantly, reaching up to an 87% difference, when measured across regions. In addition, the priority effects of water rights are nonlinear, which reflects the influence of historical patterns of water rights establishment on water institutions to date. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1761-1776 Issue: 15 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 3 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1374539 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2017.1374539 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:15:p:1761-1776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Thiem Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Thiem Title: Oil price uncertainty and the business cycle: Accounting for the influences of global supply and demand within a VAR GARCH-in-mean framework Abstract: This article reinvestigates the influence of oil price uncertainty on real economic activity in the United States using a four-variable VAR GARCH-in-mean asymmetric BEKK model. In contrast to previous studies in this area, the analysis focuses on business cycle fluctuations and we control for global supply and demand factors that might affect the real price of oil, its volatility as well as the US economy. We find that – even after accounting for these factors – oil price uncertainty still has a highly significant negative influence on the US business cycle. Our computations show that the effect is economically important during several periods, mostly after a significant variance shift in the mid-1980s. We simultaneously estimate the effect on the global business cycle but find that it is comparatively weak. Finally, significant spillover effects in the GARCH model suggest that oil price volatility is a gauge and channel of transmission of more general macroeconomic shocks and uncertainty. These linkages are particularly strong in case of unexpected bad news. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3735-3751 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436142 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3735-3751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joscha Beckmann Author-X-Name-First: Joscha Author-X-Name-Last: Beckmann Author-Name: Keith Cuthbertson Author-X-Name-First: Keith Author-X-Name-Last: Cuthbertson Title: Special issue of applied economics on ‘Finance and the real economy’ Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3645-3646 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436143 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436143 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3645-3646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alin Marius Andrieș Author-X-Name-First: Alin Marius Author-X-Name-Last: Andrieș Author-Name: Bogdan Căpraru Author-X-Name-First: Bogdan Author-X-Name-Last: Căpraru Author-Name: Simona Nistor Author-X-Name-First: Simona Author-X-Name-Last: Nistor Title: Corporate governance and efficiency in banking: evidence from emerging economies Abstract: This article investigates the impact of corporate governance on bank efficiency across a sample of 139 commercial banks from 17 countries of Central and Eastern Europe during the period 2005–2012. Data on governance characteristics are hand-collected from banks’ reports. The empirical findings indicate that implementing rigorous corporate governance structures is associated with higher costs for banks and a lower level of efficiency. However, during the crisis, a tight governance mechanism significantly increases banks’ cost and technical efficiencies. We also show that prudent risk management is associated with both higher cost and technical efficiency for more capitalized banks, while rigid supervisory boards are linked with greater technical efficiency for more capitalized banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3812-3832 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436144 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436144 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3812-3832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fotini Economou Author-X-Name-First: Fotini Author-X-Name-Last: Economou Author-Name: Christis Hassapis Author-X-Name-First: Christis Author-X-Name-Last: Hassapis Author-Name: Nikolaos Philippas Author-X-Name-First: Nikolaos Author-X-Name-Last: Philippas Title: Investors’ fear and herding in the stock market Abstract: In this article, we examine herding in three developed stock markets testing for the impact of investors’ ‘fear’ on herding estimations. To this end, we employ daily data of all listed stocks from USA, UK and Germany from January 2004 to July 2014. We examine herd behaviour applying the cross-sectional dispersion approach. Moreover, we investigate the asymmetric herding behaviour under different market states and sub-periods. The stock markets under examination provide comparable implied volatility indices which are used as a proxy for fear. As a result, apart from the standard herding estimations within and across markets, we also augment the benchmark model with the fear indicator. Our empirical results document the statistically significant impact of fear on herding estimations. Moreover, there is evidence of cross market herding as well as evidence of herding in the UK during specific sub-periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3654-3663 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436145 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436145 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3654-3663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Kühl Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Kühl Title: Excess comovements between the euro/US dollar and pound sterling/US dollar exchange rates Abstract: The aim of this article is to discuss excess comovements of the euro/US dollar and pound sterling/US dollar exchange rates, i.e. we look for comovements of exchange rates which are stronger than implied by the fundamentals. The results of the empirical analysis provide evidence that excess comovements exist for the two exchange rates. A long-run analysis of correlations can verify that a link exists between the correlation dynamics of exchange rates, relative inflation rates, long-term interest rates, economic sentiments and money supply. We find that common movements of money supply, prices and economic sentiments each play a major role in comovements of the exchange rates. From the investigation of the two exchange rates, we conclude that macroeconomic fundamentals can account for the comovement but that common non-fundamental factors also have major significance for the exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3664-3685 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436146 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3664-3685 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Ademmer Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Ademmer Author-Name: Nils Jannsen Author-X-Name-First: Nils Author-X-Name-Last: Jannsen Title: Post-crisis business investment in the euro area and the role of monetary policy Abstract: Business investment in the euro area strongly declined during the Global Financial Crisis and the Sovereign Debt Crisis. It has not yet rebounded to its pre-crisis trend despite the very expansionary monetary policy measures of the ECB. We analyse the sluggish recovery in business investment in the euro area and the role of monetary policy in three steps. We investigate the main factors that have impeded business investment since the Global Financial Crisis. We empirically analyse how business investment has developed compared to typical patterns during other financial crises. Based on these results, we then discuss how effective monetary policy has been in stimulating business investment since the Global Financial Crisis. We conclude that business investment in the euro area has developed broadly in line with typical post-crisis patterns. Monetary policy significantly contributed to stabilize business investment at the beginning of the crises. In the aftermath of the crises, however, there seems to be little scope for monetary policy to further stimulate investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3787-3797 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436147 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3787-3797 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunčica Vujić Author-X-Name-First: Sunčica Author-X-Name-Last: Vujić Author-Name: Xiaoyu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Does Twitter chatter matter? Online reviews and box office revenues Abstract: With a rapid rise of text-based social media and online Word-of-Mouth (WOM) activity, millions of people express their thoughts and opinions on a variety of topics. Considering that nowadays WOM is a most influential source of information when guiding consumers’ choice and purchase decisions, in this paper we look at the relationship between Twitter messages (tweets) and cinema box office revenues. Using static and dynamic panel data regression approaches, we show that the frequency, sentiment and timing of tweets posted about a film are correlated to different extent with the movie’s box office revenues, with negative tweets being particularly damaging to the box office revenues. From a managerial perspective, this is important to know, such that film production companies and distributors can adjust their strategy accordingly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3702-3717 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436148 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436148 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3702-3717 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simona Nistor Author-X-Name-First: Simona Author-X-Name-Last: Nistor Author-Name: Valentina-Ioana Mera Author-X-Name-First: Valentina-Ioana Author-X-Name-Last: Mera Author-Name: Monica Ioana Pop Silaghi Author-X-Name-First: Monica Ioana Author-X-Name-Last: Pop Silaghi Title: Is education important in assessing the impact of institutions on economic growth in emerging economies? Abstract: In this article, we empirically revise the hypothesis that institutions cause economic growth for emerging countries starting from a theoretical model. Our sample consists of 21 countries covering different zones: European Emerging, Asia Pacific Emerging, Latin America, Middle-East and Africa while the status advanced versus secondary emerging countries based on FTSE (Financial Times Stock Exchange) classification is accounted for. The period analysed is 1995–2014. The methodology is based on System GMM estimator of Arellano-Bover and Blundell-Bond for dynamic panel data. Empirical findings suggest that only variables such as voice and accountability and government effectiveness have a significant positive impact on economic growth rates of the analysed countries. In the presence of control variables, i.e. trade and government final consumption, results are robust. Results remain robust for countries that have a high level of government expenditure on tertiary education which proves the role of education in assessing the impact of institutions on economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3840-3854 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436149 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436149 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3840-3854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anastassios A. Drakos Author-X-Name-First: Anastassios A. Author-X-Name-Last: Drakos Author-Name: Georgios P. Kouretas Author-X-Name-First: Georgios P. Author-X-Name-Last: Kouretas Author-Name: Prodromos Vlamis Author-X-Name-First: Prodromos Author-X-Name-Last: Vlamis Title: Saving, investment and capital mobility in EU member countries: a panel data analysis of the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle Abstract: In this paper, we reexamine the long-standing and puzzling correlation between national saving and investment in 14 European Union (EU) countries. We employ a panel data set for the period 1970–2015 and we apply recently developed maximum likelihood panel cointegration methodologies. We find that there exists a long-run relationship between savings and investment for this panel of EU member countries, with the savings retention coefficient being low in magnitude but statistically different than zero. Therefore, we argue that there is weak evidence in favour of the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle and that the long-run international solvency condition is maintained in most of these countries. This evidence implies a moderate degree of capital mobility which is consistent with the macroeconomic experience of these countries during the period under investigation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3798-3811 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436150 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436150 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3798-3811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pui Sun Tam Author-X-Name-First: Pui Sun Author-X-Name-Last: Tam Title: Global trade flows and economic policy uncertainty Abstract: This article investigates the impacts of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on global trade flows in gauging international trade developments. We employ a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) trade model, augmented with value-added bilateral trade linkages, that allows for quantifying the effects of economy-specific uncertainty shocks on exports and imports of individual economies. We find substantial spatial propagation in the temporal dynamics of international transmission of shocks amidst the manifestations of cross-border global value chains (GVCs) with China’s accession into the WTO. We provide evidence for the significance of EPU of China and the United States, particularly the latter, in influencing global trade flows. Our results show that while the US impacts can largely be attributed to its indirect trade linkages with other economies, the impacts of China can be relegated more to its direct GVC linkages. The findings have implications on trade protectionist inclinations of the current-term US government and the ongoing efforts of China’s policymakers in steering macroeconomic rebalancing for sustainable growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3718-3734 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436151 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436151 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3718-3734 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ansgar Belke Author-X-Name-First: Ansgar Author-X-Name-Last: Belke Author-Name: Irina Dubova Author-X-Name-First: Irina Author-X-Name-Last: Dubova Author-Name: Thomas Osowski Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Osowski Title: Policy uncertainty and international financial markets: the case of Brexit Abstract: This study assesses the impact of the Brexit probability on both the UK and on international financial markets, for the first and the second statistical moments. As financial markets are by nature highly interlinked, one might expect that the uncertainty engendered by Brexit also has an impact on financial markets in several other countries. We first estimate the time-varying interactions between UK policy uncertainty, which to a large extent is attributed to uncertainty about Brexit and UK financial market volatilities. Second, we use two other measures of the perceived probability of Brexit before the referendum, namely daily data released by Betfair and results of polls published by Bloomberg. Based on these data sets, and using both panel and single-country SUR estimation methods, we analyse the Brexit effect on levels of stock returns, sovereign CDS, 10-year interest rates in 19 predominantly European countries, and those of the British pound and the euro. We show that Brexit-induced policy uncertainty will continue to cause instability in key financial markets and has the potential to damage the real economy in both the UK and other European countries. The main losers outside the UK are the ‘GIIPS’ economies: Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3752-3770 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436152 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436152 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3752-3770 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonia Reinecke Author-X-Name-First: Antonia Author-X-Name-Last: Reinecke Author-Name: Hans-Jörg Schmerer Author-X-Name-First: Hans-Jörg Author-X-Name-Last: Schmerer Title: Redistribution, trade and corruption: an empirical assessment Abstract: This article explores the role of institutional quality in the trade and inequality nexus. Does corruption shape the relationship between trade and inequality through its impact on redistribution? Our answer to this question builds on the hypothesis that trade raises inequality and that governments may want to intervene through appropriate redistribution schemes that aim at taxing the gains from trade in a way that offsets the negative effects of trade on inequality. Moreover, we argue that this mechanism may be distorted by corruption and bad institutions in general. Quite to the contrary to common wisdom, we find that trade reduces inequality in countries with high institutional standards by means of a low level of corruption but increases inequality in countries with low levels of institutional quality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3855-3869 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436153 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436153 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3855-3869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco G. Ercolani Author-X-Name-First: Marco G. Author-X-Name-Last: Ercolani Author-Name: William Pouliot Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Pouliot Author-Name: Joanne S. Ercolani Author-X-Name-First: Joanne S. Author-X-Name-Last: Ercolani Title: Luck versus skill over time: time-varying performance in the cross-section of mutual fund returns Abstract: Using returns histories spanning January 1984 to October 2014 of 5785 actively managed US closed-end equity mutual funds, we address the ‘thorny problems’ highlighted by Fama and French (The Journal of Finance, 2010, vol. 65, p. 1925) that arise due to their resampling procedure. This prevents them from capturing time variation in the parameters of equilibrium asset pricing models. These problems are addressed by combining innovative procedures which allow for testing of multiple break dates on fund-specific parameters along with cross-section bootstraps that remain valid in the presence of time-varying parameters. We find that substantial proportion – 8% – of the estimated versions of the asset pricing model have significant changes in their parameters. The effects of this time variation on the cross-section distribution of the risk-adjusted performance measure are significant and substantially increase centiles of the right tail of this distribution when compared to those produced without time-varying parameters. Our evidence regarding the lack of actively managed US equity mutual funds that generate excess returns is significantly weaker than those of Fama and French but our results do not overturn their pessimistic conclusion regarding the lack of skilled managers. We do find, unlike Fama and French, that managers generating negative returns are just unlucky but have no skill. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3686-3701 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436154 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436154 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3686-3701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Georgios Bampinas Author-X-Name-First: Georgios Author-X-Name-Last: Bampinas Author-Name: Konstantinos Ladopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Ladopoulos Author-Name: Theodore Panagiotidis Author-X-Name-First: Theodore Author-X-Name-Last: Panagiotidis Title: A note on the estimated GARCH coefficients from the S&P1500 universe Abstract: We employ 1440 stocks listed in the S&P Composite 1500 Index of the NYSE. Three benchmark GARCH models are estimated for the returns of each individual stock under three alternative distributions (Normal, t and GED). We provide summary statistics for all the GARCH coefficients derived from 11,520 regressions. The EGARCH model with GED errors emerges as the preferred choice for the individual stocks in the S&P 1500 universe when non-negativity and stationarity constraints in the conditional variance are imposed. 57% of the constraint’s violations are taking place in the S&P small cap stocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3647-3653 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436155 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436155 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3647-3653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hanno Dihle Author-X-Name-First: Hanno Author-X-Name-Last: Dihle Author-Name: Rafael Mentges Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Mentges Title: Real options or disaster risk? Distinguishing uncertainty effects on investment Abstract: Motivated by the fact that uncertainty shocks are a countercyclical phenomenon, this article takes a deeper look at the nature of uncertainty shocks in times of crisis and its effect on the real economy. We distinguish between volatility and disaster risk shocks and specify the consequences of these shock specifications on investment decisions. We first analyse the different impact of both shocks within a real options framework. Our theoretical results show that the effects of the two shocks are different, especially concerning disinvestment and the mid-term investment response. Second, we perform structural vector autoregression (SVAR) estimations on different country data sets. The SVAR estimations confirm our theoretical hypothesis: countries more prone to states of disaster do not show the usual real option pattern of investment to an uncertainty shock. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3771-3786 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436156 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436156 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3771-3786 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dariya Mykhayliv Author-X-Name-First: Dariya Author-X-Name-Last: Mykhayliv Author-Name: Klaus G Zauner Author-X-Name-First: Klaus G Author-X-Name-Last: Zauner Title: The financial and economic performance of social banks Abstract: The financial crisis of 2008 provides evidence for the instability of the conventional banking system. Social banks may present a viable alternative for conventional banks. This article analyses the performance of social banks related to the bank business model, economic efficiency, asset quality, and stability by comparing social banks with banks where the difference is likely to be large, namely with the 30 global systemically important banks (G-SIBs) of the Financial Stability Board over the period 2000–2014. We also analyse the relative impact of the global financial crisis on the bank performance. The performance of social banks and G-SIBs is surprisingly similar. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3833-3839 Issue: 34-35 Volume: 50 Year: 2018 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1436157 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436157 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2018:i:34-35:p:3833-3839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Caitlin Cremin Author-X-Name-First: Caitlin Author-X-Name-Last: Cremin Author-Name: Benjamin C. Anderson Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin C. Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Title: Commitment and satisfaction in the classroom and on the field: evidence from a Division I liberal arts college Abstract: Within higher education, there has been a persistent concern that student-athlete commitments to their athletic activities are detrimental to their academic studies. We collect data on student-athletes from a selective liberal arts university with Division I athletics where the expectations and levels of commitment to academics and athletics can be substantial. We fail to find any relationship between athletic experiences and time allocations to athletics or academics, but we do observe that individuals who exhibit greater levels of commitment in general, and to academics in particular, devote more time per week to academics and perform better as measured by grade point average. The only evidence of a trade-off between athletics and academics arises for individuals who report difficulty in managing and fulfilling their obligations who devote fewer hours to academics and perform worse academically. We also find that satisfaction with athletic experiences is correlated with interpersonal relationships and the athlete’s role on his/her team whereas satisfaction with academics depends upon the influence that he/she has over training. However, this flexibility does not translate into improved academic performance. The results suggest that universities concerned with adverse impacts of athletics upon academic performance should focus on policies that promote time and task management skills. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 858-880 Issue: 9 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1497848 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1497848 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:9:p:858-880 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Jung Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Stephan Nüesch Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: Nüesch Title: The more others care, the more you share? – Social contagion as a stardom trigger of social media superstars – Abstract: Emerging superstars on social media platforms reshape the media landscape. This research analyses social contagion as a stardom trigger of social media superstars (SMS). We argue that in addition to serving as a quality indicator, the number of observed consumers of SMS performances also indicates the suitability of discussing the SMS performances with others. We experimentally manipulated the number of previous views of a YouTube video and find that a high number of previous views significantly increases the perceived quality and the video’s discussion suitability even when holding all objective video characteristics constant. We discuss implications for aspiring SMS and (online) marketers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 881-888 Issue: 9 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1497849 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1497849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:9:p:881-888 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuan Cao Author-X-Name-First: Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Title: Fertility and labor supply: evidence from the One-Child Policy in China Abstract: This study provides new evidence on on the causal effect of fertility on maternal labor supply in rural China, using the fact that in some parts of rural China couples are allowed to have a second child if their firstborn is female. Estimates show that a second child reduces maternal labor force participation by 4.6 percentage points, labor supply intensity (hours worked conditional on employment) by 1.4 h per week and monthly income by 54.5 Chinese Yuan (18.7 percent). Further, the labor supply of mothers whose husbands are rural-to-urban migrants is the most sensitive to having an additional child, likely because they have more difficulty balancing farming and childcare. Conversely, labor supply is not reduced by fertility for mothers living in three-generation families, most likely because grandparents can provide both time and money to help with childcare. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 889-910 Issue: 9 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1502868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1502868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:9:p:889-910 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jessica Scheld Author-X-Name-First: Jessica Author-X-Name-Last: Scheld Title: Education decisions and labour market outcomes Abstract: The financial return to a college degree is an increasing concern amid rising tuition costs and stagnant wages. Using the Education Longitudinal Study of 2002 (ELS:2002), I analyse the effect of post-secondary choices on wages for individuals entering the labour force between 2004 and 2012. Matching methods provide evidence of strong returns to earning a bachelor’s degree for both genders, similar to previous literature. Relative to high school graduates, women see wage benefits of 8–21% for some college attendance. However, men see negative effects of between 6%–13% from some college relative to high school graduates. The returns to a sub-baccalaureate degree as compared to earning some two-year credits is between 8%–25% for women and 8–14% for men. Further, the wage returns to a sub-baccalaureate degree as compared to earning some four-year credits is between 9%–17% for women and 9–20% for men. This translates into an additional $2,500-$4,700 per year for women and an additional $2,900-$6,400 per year for men. Since the average respondent with some four-year college experience has 2.3 years of earned post-secondary credits, shifting some into sub-baccalaureate programs may substantially decrease both the financial and time commitments of post-secondary education while increasing the returns after degree attainment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 911-940 Issue: 9 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1512741 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1512741 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:9:p:911-940 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Strydom Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Strydom Author-Name: Amale Scally Author-X-Name-First: Amale Author-X-Name-Last: Scally Author-Name: John Watson Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: Impact of mood and gender on individual investors’ reactions to retractions and corrections of earnings forecasts Abstract: Whilst individual investors’ reactions to earnings forecasts have been widely documented, the impact that retractions and/or corrections have on investors’ decisions has received little attention. Further, the role that either/both mood and gender of investors play has not been investigated within this context. This is especially important as failure by individual investors to adjust correctly to retractions/corrections of earnings may have adverse investment outcomes. Our study thus investigates whether mood and gender differences influence the way in which individual investors react to retractions and corrections of management earnings forecasts. In this paper, we show that individual investors do not adjust correctly to retractions and corrections of previously disclosed information. We also find that both mood and gender play a significant role in individual investors’ reactions to such announcements. Awareness of the differences in investors’ reactions to retractions and corrections of earnings according to their mood and/or gender can provide further insights on whether their investment decisions are rational and are hence consistent with traditional models of assumed rational investment behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 941-955 Issue: 9 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:9:p:941-955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Sugar daddy u: human capital investment and the university-based supply of ‘romantic arrangements’ Abstract: To deal with the financial hardships associated with rising college tuition, many female college students in the U.S. are turning to risqué forms of financing human capital investments, such as agreeing to potentially lucrative ‘romantic arrangements’ with older males, referred to as ‘sugar daddies,’ through the largest Internet-based club in the industry. Yet despite this recent trend, there is a relative paucity of published academic research on the economics of such behaviour. Using data from the more than 220 nationally ranked (by U.S. News & World Report’s America’s Best Colleges) colleges and universities in the U.S., presents results from both Poisson and scaled Poisson estimation suggesting that large, high-cost universities that are located in larger cities or where unemployment rates are higher lead the nation in the number of female students choosing such romantic arrangements in order to fund higher education. Moreover, those institutions that are chosen by more physically attractive female students, and those that enrol a higher percentage of female students, are also generating greater numbers of female student entrants into the sugar daddy industry. Each of these findings has implications for the human capital literature and the growing body of academic literature on the economics of beauty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 956-971 Issue: 9 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524129 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:9:p:956-971 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinglu Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Jinglu Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Xin Xia Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Xia Author-Name: Jinqiang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jinqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Investment-based optimal capital structure Abstract: This paper extends the classical capital structure model by introducing the output of firm with ‘AK’ production technology dynamically depends on the endogenous investment decision and capital accumulation. Based on our calibration, it shows that the flexibility of dynamic investment and capital accumulation induces the firm to take the lower leverage at financing time and makes the leverage estimate closer to empirically observed leverage ratios, which provides an effective explanation for the ‘under-leverage puzzle’. In addition, this model predicts that the market leverage behaves in a U-shaped manner with capital liquidity, which provides a novel empirical test. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 972-981 Issue: 9 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1524130 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1524130 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:9:p:972-981 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Brian Gendreau Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Gendreau Author-Name: Yong Jin Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Mahendrarajah Nimalendran Author-X-Name-First: Mahendrarajah Author-X-Name-Last: Nimalendran Author-Name: Xiaolong Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Title: CVaR-LASSO Enhanced Index Replication (CLEIR): outperforming by minimizing downside risk Abstract: Index-funds are one of the most popular investment vehicles among investors, with total assets indexed to the S&P500 exceeding $8.7 trillion at-the-end of 2016. Recently, enhanced-index-funds, which seek to outperform an index while maintaining a similar risk-profile, have grown in popularity. We propose an enhanced-index-tracking method that uses the linear absolute shrinkage selection operator (LASSO) method to minimize the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) of the tracking error. This minimizes the large downside tracking-error while keeping the upside. Using historical and simulated data, our CLEIR method outperformed the benchmark with a tracking error of $$ \sim 1\% $$∼1%. The effect is more pronounced when the number of the constituents is large. Using 50–80 large stocks in the S&P 500 index, our method closely tracked the benchmark with an alpha $$2.55\% $$2.55%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5637-5651 Issue: 52 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1616072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1616072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:52:p:5637-5651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kashif Munir Author-X-Name-First: Kashif Author-X-Name-Last: Munir Author-Name: Nimra Riaz Author-X-Name-First: Nimra Author-X-Name-Last: Riaz Title: Macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy in Pakistan: a disaggregate analysis Abstract: This study analyzes the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy on macroeconomic variables in Pakistan. The study utilizes VAR framework and uses quarterly data of Pakistan from 1976Q1 to 2017Q4. The results showed that after an increase in government expenditures, private consumption and prices take three quarters to increase, while private investment follows the declining trend. Private consumption and interest rate are negatively related with taxes, while private investment and prices are positively related with taxes. Real GDP, private consumption and interest rate respond positively with an increase in developmental expenditure, public consumption and public investment. Private investment is negatively related with development expenditure, public consumption and public investment. An increase in direct tax as well as indirect tax leads to an increase in real GDP, private investment and interest rate, while private consumption takes three to five quarters to responds. Private investment and prices are positively related with non-tax revenue, while real GDP, private consumption and interest rate are negatively related. These results support the Keynesian view that government expenditure and taxes are useful tools to stimulate the economic activity, while crowding-out hypothesis holds in Pakistan as well. An active and efficient role of government is required for macroeconomic stability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5652-5662 Issue: 52 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1616074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1616074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:52:p:5652-5662 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Glenn P. Jenkins Author-X-Name-First: Glenn P. Author-X-Name-Last: Jenkins Author-Name: Hope Amala Anyabolu Author-X-Name-First: Hope Author-X-Name-Last: Amala Anyabolu Author-Name: Pejman Bahramian Author-X-Name-First: Pejman Author-X-Name-Last: Bahramian Title: Family decision-making for educational expenditure: new evidence from survey data for Nigeria Abstract: This study examines the determinants of educational expenditures by households in Nigeria. Data from the Nigerian General Household Survey, Panel 2012/2013, Wave 2 was used and a double-hurdle model was employed for the analysis. The results suggest household income, the age, education, gender of the household heads and urban versus rural residence have a significant impact on the decision to spend on education. Such expenditures are income elastic overall, but are very different in magnitude for low income compared to higher income families. It is found that the income elasticity of education expenditures are approximately four times greater for households in the bottom two-thirds of the income distribution than for those on the top one-third of the income distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5663-5673 Issue: 52 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1616075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1616075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:52:p:5663-5673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Veysel Avsar Author-X-Name-First: Veysel Author-X-Name-Last: Avsar Author-Name: Nurgul Sevinc Author-X-Name-First: Nurgul Author-X-Name-Last: Sevinc Title: Does antidumping cause investment and R&D?: Evidence from Turkey Abstract: This article employs Turkish firm-level data and analyses the effect of antidumping protection on capital spending and Research and Development (R&D). Using matching techniques and alternative control groups and applying difference-in-difference methodology, we find that antidumping duties imposed by the Turkish government significantly increase fixed investment and R&D expenditures. We also show that antidumping duties are effective in terms of increasing the domestic sales. To our knowledge, our article represents the first attempt to analyse the effect of antidumping policy in Turkey, a very active user of temporary trade barriers, using firm-level data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5674-5682 Issue: 52 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1617397 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1617397 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:52:p:5674-5682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Régis Chenavaz Author-X-Name-First: Régis Author-X-Name-Last: Chenavaz Author-Name: Octavio Escobar Author-X-Name-First: Octavio Author-X-Name-Last: Escobar Author-Name: Xavier Rousset Author-X-Name-First: Xavier Author-X-Name-Last: Rousset Title: An analytical framework for retailer price and advertising decisions for products with temperature-sensitive demand Abstract: The demand for weather-sensitive products, such as beverages, ice creams, or chocolate varies with changes in temperature. Yet, retailers lack a framework to adapt the marketing mix elements, such as price and advertising, in line with such changes. We provide a theoretical framework to fill this gap by developing an analytical model to derive the optimal marketing mix when product demand depends on temperature. The model prescribes how price and advertising for different demand characteristics should be set following a temperature change. Integrating the temperature element in the marketing mix offers an original profit-enhancing strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5683-5693 Issue: 52 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1617398 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1617398 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:52:p:5683-5693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher M. Duquette Author-X-Name-First: Christopher M. Author-X-Name-Last: Duquette Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Major league baseball’s Moneyball at age 15: a re-appraisal Abstract: In the 15 years since publication of the book Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game in 2003, major-league baseball (MLB) has seen the embrace of analytics by both fans and teams. Using 45 seasons of MLB data, since the introduction of the designated-hitter in the American League in 1973, the present study validates the central premise in Moneyball regarding the importance of certain performance metrics, such as on-base percentage (OBP). The terms in our empirical model are constructed such that our results permit a straightforward comparison of the relative contribution of each factor towards MLB teams’ success in winning games. We also provide evidence indicating that MLB teams have moved to align their payrolls with Moneyball analytics in the years following the book’s publication. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5694-5700 Issue: 52 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1617399 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1617399 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:52:p:5694-5700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco José Callado-Muñoz Author-X-Name-First: Francisco José Author-X-Name-Last: Callado-Muñoz Author-Name: Elena Del Rey Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Del Rey Author-Name: Natalia Utrero-González Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Author-X-Name-Last: Utrero-González Title: Income-contingent loan with personal insurance policy: an empirical assessment using Spanish data Abstract: We propose an Income Contingent Loan that defers the payment of university fees and charges a fixed proportion of gross income for 30 years or until the debt is written off. Under these conditions, some participants in the scheme will have insufficient income to fully repay their loan balances. The deficit will be covered by the taxpayer, who ultimately bears the risk of investing in higher education. We then propose to transfer this risk to the student by adding a mandatory personal insurance policy to the individual loan. We calculate the premium required for the system to break even in Spain when everybody pays the insurance cost. Alternatively, the payment of the premium can be deferred, adding it to total debt. Then, some participants in the scheme will have insufficient income to even pay the insurance cost, and the premium needs to be increased to maintain the sustainability of the program. Although these mechanisms imply redistribution towards borrowers who end up being low earners, we show that middle-income individuals contribute a higher proportion of their incomes to covering for those unable to repay. To provide the system with more internal progressivity, we propose to impose a minimum period of repayment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5701-5711 Issue: 52 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1619017 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1619017 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:52:p:5701-5711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Meghan Millea Author-X-Name-First: Meghan Author-X-Name-Last: Millea Author-Name: Sandra Orozco-Aleman Author-X-Name-First: Sandra Author-X-Name-Last: Orozco-Aleman Title: Estimating tuition elasticities of resident and non-resident enrolments at south-eastern public universities Abstract: Due to increased reliance on tuition revenue, universities must be cognizant of the impacts tuition changes have on enrolment. In economics, the law of demand indicates that price increases (tuition) cause quantity demanded (enrolments) to decrease. The impacts of tuition increases on revenue depend on the magnitude of these two changes. The contribution of this article is the methodology used to control for competitor pricing in enrolment elasticity models. For resident enrolment, we included other in-state, 4-year public universities. For non-resident enrolment, we used weighting schemes based on enrolment patterns by school and by state to incorporate competitors’ tuition rates and relevant economic and demographic information. We applied these methodologies to universities in the south-eastern U.S. from 2003 to 2010. We found that tuition elasticities of both resident and non-resident enrolments at 4-year public universities varied from inelastic resident enrolments to elastic non-resident enrolments at the state level. In some cases, competitor pricing significantly impacted enrolments; in other cases, it did not. Across the full sample, 1% increase in resident tuition rates decreased enrolments by 0.3%. The techniques developed in this article can be used by individual universities or university systems to inform their strategies in setting tuition rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2027-2040 Issue: 21 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1231904 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1231904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:21:p:2027-2040 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kui-Wai Li Author-X-Name-First: Kui-Wai Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Is there an ‘interest rate – speculation’ relationship? Evidence from G7 in the pre- and post-2008 crisis Abstract: The article revisits the IS-LM macroeconomic model by incorporating speculation into the investment function. The discussion is supported empirically by using data from the G7 countries to examine the different interest rate regimes in the pre- and post-2008 financial crisis. The estimation of an ‘anchor’ interest rate provides a reference rate for the G7 countries. The empirical study is extended to examine if the three quantitative easing (QE) episodes in the U.S. are growth promoting. The article concludes that the maintenance of a high and stable interest rate policy is needed for sustainable growth in the G7 countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2041-2059 Issue: 21 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1231905 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1231905 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:21:p:2041-2059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Veysel Eraslan Author-X-Name-First: Veysel Author-X-Name-Last: Eraslan Title: Do sovereign rating announcements affect emerging market exchange rate correlations? A multivariate DCC-GARCH approach Abstract: This article investigates the effects of sovereign credit rating announcements on time-varying exchange rate return correlations for a sample of 11 emerging market countries over the period 2002–2015. The data set covers daily exchange rates and long-term foreign currency sovereign ratings, outlooks and watch list. The pairwise time-varying correlations are derived by corrected Dynamic Conditional Correlation (cDCC) modelling which is a member of multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models family. Furthermore, to capture the global factor effect, a dynamic-weighted index is created by using dynamic principal component (DPC) analysis. Findings suggest that some of the emerging market exchange rate co-movements are affected by rating announcements. Upgrades of Moody’s and downgrades of Fitch lead to spillovers. Main source of these spillovers are sovereign credit rating changes of European countries, especially Czech Republic and Turkey. Countries with high amount of external debt, large current account deficit and speculative grade are more prone to be influenced by announcements on a foreign country’s long-term sovereign rating. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2060-2082 Issue: 21 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1231906 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1231906 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:21:p:2060-2082 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steffen Merkel Author-X-Name-First: Steffen Author-X-Name-Last: Merkel Author-Name: Sascha L. Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Sascha L. Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Author-Name: Benno Torgler Author-X-Name-First: Benno Author-X-Name-Last: Torgler Title: The effect of individual uncertainty on the specificity of human capital: empirical evidence from career developments in professional soccer Abstract: This study looks at careers in professional soccer to investigate the determinants of human capital (HC) specificity. Inspired by labour market research, we formulate three hypotheses on how uncertainty about the usefulness of individuals’ (more productive) specific skills affects their investment in (more flexible) general skills. The empirical analysis is based on unique panel data on school grades, soccer evaluations, and sociodemographic characteristics of 90 elite players from the youth academy of a German Bundesliga club. We find that senior and long-serving players, who are comparably certain that their (soccer) specific capital will be sufficient to pursue a lucrative professional career, invest less in general HC at school. Expected soccer performance, in contrast, has a counterintuitive positive effect. Our results expand knowledge on the factors influencing HC specificity from the macro to the subject level and highlight practical implications for institutions that train gifted individuals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2083-2095 Issue: 21 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1231907 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1231907 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:21:p:2083-2095 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: A. Almasri Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Almasri Author-Name: K. Månsson Author-X-Name-First: K. Author-X-Name-Last: Månsson Author-Name: P. Sjölander Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Sjölander Author-Name: G. Shukur Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Shukur Title: A wavelet-based panel unit-root test in the presence of an unknown structural break and cross-sectional dependency, with an application of purchasing power parity theory in developing countries Abstract: This article introduces two different non-parametric wavelet-based panel unit-root tests in the presence of unknown structural breaks and cross-sectional dependencies in the data. These tests are compared with a previously suggested non-parametric wavelet test, the parameteric Im-Pesaran and Shin (IPS) test and a Wald type of test. The results from the Monte Carlo simulations clearly show that the new wavelet-ratio tests are superior to the traditional tests both in terms of size and power in panel unit-root tests because of its robustness to cross-section dependency and structural breaks. Based on an empirical Central American panel application, we can, in contrast to previous research (where bias due to structural breaks is simply disregarded), find strong, clear-cut support for purchasing power parity (PPP) in this developing region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2096-2105 Issue: 21 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1231908 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1231908 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:21:p:2096-2105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chatura Ariyadasa Author-X-Name-First: Chatura Author-X-Name-Last: Ariyadasa Author-Name: E. A. Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: E. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: M. A. B. Siddique Author-X-Name-First: M. A. B. Author-X-Name-Last: Siddique Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: On the profitability of commercial banks: the Sri Lankan case Abstract: This study determines the factors affecting the profitability of licensed commercial banks (LCBs) in Sri Lanka, including the effect of the prolonged conflict which ended in 2009. Using an error correction model together with data for the period 2006–2014 of 10 major LCBs, the results reveal that, in the short run, capital and liquidity have a positive effect on bank profitability and default loans, interest margin (IM), operating cost, and interest rates (IRs) have a negative effect. In the long run, bank profitability is significantly impacted by default loans, IM, real GDP, inflation, IRs, capital, operating cost, and conflict. The ending of the prolonged conflict has significantly contributed to improved bank performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2106-2116 Issue: 21 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1231909 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1231909 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:21:p:2106-2116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas E. Conine Author-X-Name-First: Thomas E. Author-X-Name-Last: Conine Author-Name: Michael B. McDonald Author-X-Name-First: Michael B. Author-X-Name-Last: McDonald Author-Name: Maurry Tamarkin Author-X-Name-First: Maurry Author-X-Name-Last: Tamarkin Title: Estimation of relative risk aversion across time Abstract: This article examines relative risk aversion in the framework of a three-moment asset pricing model that accounts for skewness. Accounting for skewness in calculating risk aversion gives a more accurate series of estimates of risk aversion and helps to reconcile the wide disparity in risk coefficients found in past literature. Risk aversion coefficients are calculated from 1926 to 2014 using stock market returns. This procedure results in a time series of data that can be related to other variables such as real interest rates and changes in demand for various asset classes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2117-2124 Issue: 21 Volume: 49 Year: 2017 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2016.1231910 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2016.1231910 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:21:p:2117-2124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nilanjana Chakraborty Author-X-Name-First: Nilanjana Author-X-Name-Last: Chakraborty Author-Name: Mohammed M Elgammal Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed M Author-X-Name-Last: Elgammal Author-Name: David McMillan Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: McMillan Title: Rational functions: an alternative approach to asset pricing Abstract: This paper shows that asset prices are linear polynomials of various underlying explanatory factors and asset returns being ratios of these polynomials, are rational functions that do not add linearly when averaging. Hence, average returns should be modeled based on stock prices. However, continuous returns may be treated as approximately linear across time and modeled directly. Our new Rational Function (RF) models, empirically outperform the traditional asset pricing models like the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Fama–French three and five-factor models for both average and continuous returns. Moreover, the RF theory also provides a model to estimate the asset volumes. The average change in asset volumes together with average returns provide the estimates for average change in market values of assets. Thus, the RF model approach can be used to select assets that provide either highest returns for profit maximization or highest change in market values for wealth maximization for given levels of risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2091-2119 Issue: 20 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540848 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1540848 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:20:p:2091-2119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heather L.R. Tierney Author-X-Name-First: Heather L.R. Author-X-Name-Last: Tierney Title: Tracking real-time data revisions in inflation persistence Abstract: Regarding the forecasting of real-time data, it is assumed that the third quarter release produces the best forecasts since it includes data from new and revised sources, which this paper finds is not necessarily the case. There seems to be a benchmark effect when estimating the local nonparametric regressions and the forecasts of real-time PCE and core PCE when examining the four benchmark periods beginning in 1996:Q1, 1999:Q4, 2003:Q4, and 2009:Q3. There is a benchmark effect with respect to the estimated local nonparametric slopes with the demarcation being at the 2003:Q4 benchmark, which is also the demarcation for the forecasting results. For the benchmark revisions periods of 1996:Q1 and 1999:Q4, the second quarter real-time data releases produce the smaller RMSE and for the benchmark revisions of 2003:Q4 and 2009:Q3, the third quarter real-time data releases produce forecasts with smaller RMSE approximately 58% and 60% of the time, respectively.Abbreviations: PCE, Personal Consumption Expenditures; KWLS, Kernel Weighted Least Squares; "V_" as a prefix stand for vintage, i.e. V_2003:Q4 is vintage 2003:Q4, which means that the data sample ends in 2003: Q3; IRSC, integrated residual squares criterion; NPISH, Non-Profit Institutions Serving Households; SNA, System of Accounts; RMSE, Root Mean Square Error; MAE, Mean Absolute Error; NAICS, North American Industry Classification System; SIC, Standard Industrial Classification; ARSC, Average Residual Squares Criterion; I-O, Input – Output; EIA, Energy Information Administration; ATM, Automated Teller Machines; BEA, Bureau of Economic Analysis; SNA, System of Accounts Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2120-2142 Issue: 20 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540849 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1540849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:20:p:2120-2142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmet Tiryaki Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Author-X-Name-Last: Tiryaki Author-Name: Reşat Ceylan Author-X-Name-First: Reşat Author-X-Name-Last: Ceylan Author-Name: Levent Erdoğan Author-X-Name-First: Levent Author-X-Name-Last: Erdoğan Title: Asymmetric effects of industrial production, money supply and exchange rate changes on stock returns in Turkey Abstract: The aim of this article is twofold: First, it examines the asymmetric effects of industrial production, money supply and RER on stock returns in Turkey by using the non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model over the periods of 1994:01–2017:05 and 2002:01–2017:05. Second, it tries to determine whether there is a change of these macroeconomic variables’ effects on stock returns after the 2001 financial crisis since after 2002 period represents a structural break from the past in terms of economic, political and macroeconomic policy approaches. The study finds that the effects of the changes in industrial production, money supply and RER on stock returns are asymmetric, and the asymmetries are larger after the 2002 subsample compared to the full sample period. The empirical results further suggest that tight monetary policies appear to retard the stock returns more than easy monetary policies that stimulate them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2143-2154 Issue: 20 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540850 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1540850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:20:p:2143-2154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhongyuan Geng Author-X-Name-First: Zhongyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Geng Author-Name: Xuan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Optimal input trade policy under economic uncertainties in a small open economy Abstract: This article theoretically analyses optimal input trade policy under economic uncertainties in a small open economy. The benchmark model explains both key business cycle moments and asset prices of a representative emerging economy, and the corresponding deterministic version of the model finds no gain by deviating from the free input trade policy. The main findings are as follows: (1) it is optimal for the government to subsidize imported intermediate inputs in the benchmark model and (2) the result is robust to various shocks, various key structural parameters and various preference specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2155-2171 Issue: 20 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540851 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1540851 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:20:p:2155-2171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Wang Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yanyi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yanyi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shunming Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shunming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Numerical simulation on property tax reform: evidence from China Abstract: This article analyses the property tax reform in China in a computable general equilibrium model that recognizes the interaction between and among housing markets in different provinces and macroeconomic development. Using real data in 2010, we present the benchmark equilibrium for reference property and income tax rates. Then, we examine different property and income tax policies and make a comparison of their production, consumption, welfare and national income. We find that the implementation of property tax would decrease the house production at the expense of welfare in taxed area. The expansion of the taxed regions may increase the total social welfare and national income. Even though property tax policy may not be able to change the income distribution in China, increasing income tax rate could narrow the income disparity. Finally, this article shows the reliability of the conclusions when sensitivity analysis on optimal condition of equilibrium computation is performed under varied property tax policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2172-2194 Issue: 20 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540852 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1540852 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:20:p:2172-2194 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tong Shu Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Shu Author-Name: Yongjian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yongjian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shou Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shou Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shouyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shouyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Kin Keung Lai Author-X-Name-First: Kin Keung Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Yan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Analysis of evolutionary game in structural formation of market power in remanufacturing supply chains Abstract: It is normal for enterprises to engage in remanufacturing nowadays. Nevertheless, the concern of enterprises and researchers is whether remanufacturers should compete for leadership in supply chains. Considering the WTP for new and remanufactured products differs, this article the evolutionary game theory model in three structures of leadership in supply chains. It investigates the processes of market evolution and choices of strategies when manufacturers and retailers compete or do not compete for leadership in the market. It has been shown in the case of market evolution, according to the 12 conditions formed from different prices that manufacturer and retailer have to pay for competing for leadership, there are five types of ultimate evolutionary stability about the choices of strategies. Further analyses show that these five different evolutionary stability results include nine different evolutionary paths. Analyses of examples further show the evolutionary processes and results in distinct circumstances. This article extends the application of the evolutionary game in remanufacturing supply chains in theory and provides some guidance for enterprises to make decisions when they consider whether they compete for leaders in remanufacturing supply chains in reality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2195-2220 Issue: 20 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540853 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1540853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:20:p:2195-2220 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Enrique Moral-Benito Author-X-Name-First: Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Moral-Benito Author-Name: Paul Allison Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Allison Author-Name: Richard Williams Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: Dynamic panel data modelling using maximum likelihood: an alternative to Arellano-Bond Abstract: The Arellano-Bond estimator is widely used among applied researchers when estimating dynamic panels with fixed effects and predetermined regressors. This estimator might behave poorly in finite samples when the cross-section dimension of the data is small (i.e. small $$N$$N), especially if the variables under analysis are persistent over time. This paper discusses a maximum likelihood estimator that is asymptotically equivalent to Arellano and Bond (1991) but presents better finite sample behaviour. The estimator is based on an alternative parametrization of the likelihood function introduced in Moral-Benito (2013). Moreover, it is easy to implement in Stata using the xtdpdml command as described in a companion paper published in the Stata Journal, which also discusses further advantages of the proposed estimator for practitioners. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2221-2232 Issue: 20 Volume: 51 Year: 2019 Month: 4 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540854 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1540854 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:20:p:2221-2232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hélène Bouscasse Author-X-Name-First: Hélène Author-X-Name-Last: Bouscasse Author-Name: Matthieu de Lapparent Author-X-Name-First: Matthieu Author-X-Name-Last: de Lapparent Title: A rank-dependent utility approach to model intra- and inter-individual heterogeneity in risky choice behaviours Abstract: Using a stated preferences survey, the objective of this paper is to investigate the intra- and inter-individual heterogeneity of mode choice, when travel time is subject to variability. By‘inter-individual heterogeneity’ is meant that people are different in terms of attitude to risk and have different utility functions. By ‘intra-individual heterogeneity’ is meant that the behaviour may be different even when performed by the same individual when faced with a different mode of transport. Based on Rank-Dependent Utility Theory, the paper shows that the occurrence of delays associated with train trips is overestimated whereas they are underestimated for car trips. A latent-class logit model offers a somewhat different perspective: if, overall, car users are more likely to perceive possible delays for train trips than for car trips, train users tend to consider the objective occurrence of delays as they are presented in the survey and adopt a risk neutral choice behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3337-3353 Issue: 31 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1710453 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1710453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:31:p:3337-3353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ji Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ji Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Jing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Shiyu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shiyu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Liping Zou Author-X-Name-First: Liping Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Title: The economic policy uncertainty and firm investment in Australia Abstract: This paper examines the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the Australian firm investment activity. We find a significant positive relationship between the EPU and the firm investment over 2002 to 2017 period. Our main results remain unchanged after several endogeneity tests. Further analysis reveals that this relationship becomes pronounced for firms if their headquarters located in small states, firms with more tangible assets, higher operating cash flows and cash holdings, higher profits and leverage, but firms with fewer dividend payouts. Our paper sheds lights on the unique attribute of the impact of the EPU on the Australian firm investment activity and offers important policy and managerial implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3354-3378 Issue: 31 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1710454 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1710454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:31:p:3354-3378 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simona Rasciute Author-X-Name-First: Simona Author-X-Name-Last: Rasciute Author-Name: Paul Downward Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Downward Author-Name: Nick Simmons Author-X-Name-First: Nick Author-X-Name-Last: Simmons Title: Intrinsic versus instrumental benefits of higher education: the challenge from self-funded higher education Abstract: UK policy concern about the value and funding of Higher Education has focussed on the intrinsic and instrumental impacts of education. Typically, returns to education are identified by narrow economic metrics, like earnings. However, policy makers recognize the need for wider measures of welfare. Consequently, contemporaneous relationships with subjective well-being (SWB) have been explored. In this paper the effects of higher education on SWB are mapped through time. The results show positive effects in the first year at university that dissipate afterwards. Intrinsic benefits from education remain but get eroded implying increased stress from loan financed education with transition to a more instrumental perspective on education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3379-3390 Issue: 31 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1710455 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1710455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:31:p:3379-3390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Reis Mourao Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Mourao Title: On the different survival rates of Portuguese microbusinesses – the case of projects supported by microcredit Abstract: In spite of their importance to the micro-entrepreneur’s life, Portuguese microbusinesses exhibit a short duration in activity. However, until now there has been scarce attention about the determinants characterizing the microbusiness and/or the micro-entrepreneur. This paper is based on a very comprehensive survey distributed to the microcredit borrowers in Portugal. The main empirical findings suggest that more mature entrepreneurs, with family support, a permanent set of customers, and an awareness of the quality of their goods and services exhibit lower hazard rates of finishing the business. Conversely, high-fixed costs, bad business locations, and periods of economic crisis significantly reduce the duration of the business. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3391-3405 Issue: 31 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1710456 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1710456 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:31:p:3391-3405 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheng-Huei Chiao Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Huei Author-X-Name-Last: Chiao Author-Name: Bill Hu Author-X-Name-First: Bill Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Ying Huang Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Jim Washam Author-X-Name-First: Jim Author-X-Name-Last: Washam Title: Priced on the note: the case of Japanese IPOs Abstract: This article examines the pricing of Japanese IPOs: 54.26% are priced in 1,000 Japanese yen increments (The Japanese yen (JPY) has denominations of banknotes and coins. Banknotes are in 1,000, 2,000, 5,000, and 10,000-yen. Coins are in 1, 5, 10, 50, 100, and 500-yen. One thousand banknotes are similar to US $10 dollars. Coins are considered as changes in Japan.) (note-ending IPOs), an economically large increment on a per-share basis that is equivalent to 10 US dollar increments assuming an exchange rate of 1 US dollar to 100 Japanese yen. The number of note-ending IPOs increases with price levels and pricing uncertainty, supporting the negotiation hypothesis. Note-ending IPOs are associated with higher volatility, higher underwriters’ fees, wider filing price range, smaller deal size, shorter firm age, and lower underwriter reputation. Price clustering contributes to IPO underpricing. The initial returns are 60.44% higher for note-ending relative to coin-ending IPOs. These results shed light on the pricing of Japanese IPOs due to negotiations and on investment opportunities with note-ending IPOs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3406-3417 Issue: 31 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1711507 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1711507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:31:p:3406-3417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Geiger Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Geiger Author-Name: Eric Mayer Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Mayer Author-Name: Johann Scharler Author-X-Name-First: Johann Author-X-Name-Last: Scharler Title: Inequality and the business cycle: evidence from U.S. survey data Abstract: We study the effects of macroeconomic shocks on measures of economic inequality obtained from U.S. survey data. To identify aggregate supply, aggregate demand, and monetary policy shocks, we estimate vector autoregressions and impose sign and zero restrictions on impulse response functions. We find that the effects of the macroeconomic shocks on inequality depend on the type of shock as well as on the measure of inequality considered. Contractionary monetary policy shocks increase expenditure and consumption inequality, whereas income and earnings inequality are less affected. Adverse aggregate supply and demand shocks increase income and earnings inequality, but reduce expenditure and consumption inequality. Our results suggest that different channels dominate in the transmission of the shocks. The earnings heterogeneity channel is consistent with the inequality dynamics after monetary policy shocks, but it appears to be less crucial when the economy is hit by either aggregate supply or aggregate demand shocks. Using variance decompositions, we find that although the macroeconomic shocks account for large shares of the variation in the macroeconomic variables, their contributions to the dynamics of the inequality measures are limited. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3418-3435 Issue: 31 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1711508 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1711508 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:31:p:3418-3435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Magnus Blomkvist Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Blomkvist Author-Name: Karl Felixson Author-X-Name-First: Karl Author-X-Name-Last: Felixson Author-Name: Anders Löflund Author-X-Name-First: Anders Author-X-Name-Last: Löflund Title: Third-party certification and post-IPO acquisitions Abstract: We explore the link between third-party certification (venture capital backing, analyst following and having a top underwriter), and post-IPO acquisition activity through the reduction in valuation uncertainty channel. In a sample of 2,424 U.S. IPOs, we find that third-party certification facilitates post-IPO acquisitions. The certified firms are both more likely and conduct acquisitions sooner after the IPO. Our results support the notion that third-party certification reduces post-IPO valuation uncertainty and thereby facilitates a more efficient acquisition strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3436-3447 Issue: 31 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1711509 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1711509 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:31:p:3436-3447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Davide Contu Author-X-Name-First: Davide Author-X-Name-Last: Contu Author-Name: Susana Mourato Author-X-Name-First: Susana Author-X-Name-Last: Mourato Author-Name: Ozgur Kaya Author-X-Name-First: Ozgur Author-X-Name-Last: Kaya Title: Individual preferences towards nuclear energy: the transient residency effect Abstract: Nuclear energy is an energy source that is usually unfavourable among the public due to its inherent risks. However, it presents a number of benefits, including the possibility to reduce emissions and the contribution to tackle climate change. Among the countries adopting nuclear energy, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) is unusual in that a large share of its residents consists of expatriates who live only part of their lives in the country with no (or highly unlikely) access to citizenship. This distinctive population structure offers the opportunity to investigate the effect of transient residency on acceptance and preferences towards nuclear energy. We conducted this investigation by designing a stated preferences-based survey, targeting an online nationwide sample. The survey collected information on socio-economic characteristics and attitudes, including views on perceived risks and benefits of nuclear energy, views towards different energy sources and life satisfaction. Results indicate that transient individuals, especially those who are more satisfied with their lives in the UAE, are significantly less likely to oppose the construction of new nuclear plants. These individuals are characterized by a more positive perception of benefits over risks arising from nuclear energy. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3219-3237 Issue: 30 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1707766 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1707766 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:30:p:3219-3237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sabine Klinger Author-X-Name-First: Sabine Author-X-Name-Last: Klinger Author-Name: Enzo Weber Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Secondary job holding in Germany Abstract: Since 2003, the number and ratio of multiple jobholders has more than doubled, although the German labour market has been experiencing a strong and sustained upswing. This study analyses multiple jobholding from a time series as well as a cross section perspective. We use rich register data and multinomial logit estimations. The microeconometric findings are linked to macroeconomic trends. Workers hold multiple jobs primarily because of earnings´ or hours´ constraints in the main job. Towards the upper end of the earnings distribution, the probability to have another job does not rise again. Thus, we do not find evidence that another job shall enrich the job portfolio as such. Moreover, female workers, migrants, workers in West Germany as well as in service sectors have a higher than average probability of multiple jobholding. However, the individual factors explain the rise of multiple jobholding over time to a very small extent. Hence, we argue that the far-reaching exemption of second marginal jobs from social security contributions and taxes sets wrong incentives. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3238-3256 Issue: 30 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1707767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1707767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:30:p:3238-3256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdallah Othman Author-X-Name-First: Abdallah Author-X-Name-Last: Othman Author-Name: Glenn P. Jenkins Author-X-Name-First: Glenn P. Author-X-Name-Last: Jenkins Title: Estimation of the rate of return to capital in the East African Community (EAC) Countries Abstract: The real rate of return to capital plays a vital part in the economy in evaluating the contribution of capital investment to the economic growth. As it is also a key variable in estimating the economic opportunity cost of capital for use as the economic discount rate in investment decision-making. The objective of this study is to estimate the economic real rates of return to reproducible and remunerative capital of the EAC economies. The results indicate that the real rates of return to reproducible capital over the period 1999–2016 have averaged 10.70% in Kenya and Rwanda, while it averaged 12.05% and 9.86% in Tanzania and Uganda, respectively. With regard to the marginal rates of return to remunerative capital, the results suggest that EAC countries have averaged 16.28%, 16.21%, 15.07% and 14.49% in Tanzania, Rwanda, Kenya and Uganda, respectively, over the same period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3257-3273 Issue: 30 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1708255 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1708255 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:30:p:3257-3273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nafeesa Yunus Author-X-Name-First: Nafeesa Author-X-Name-Last: Yunus Title: Commonalities across commercial real estate indexes Abstract: This study analyzes the long-run relationships and short-run dynamics of four commercial real estate indexes (NAREIT, NCREIF, CoStar and Green Street Advisors) to evaluate whether evidence of commonalities can be found across these indexes or whether they exhibit divergent behaviour over time. Evaluating a period beginning January 1998 and ending in December 2016, the findings indicate that each CRE index can be characterized as stochastic data generating processes. Further, evidence of statistically significant structural break is observed within each series, approximately towards the latter part of 2008. Multivariate analyses indicate that each index is integrated with one another and with economic indicators over the long-run. Next, macroeconomic shocks are imposed on each CRE index before and after the 2007–2009 housing crisis to analyse their behaviour over the short-run. Results indicate the reaction of each index from shocks to key economic indicators is similar although the NAREIT index reacts most vigorously while the NCREIF index responds least intensely. Finally, CRE shocks are imposed on each of the macro-economic indicators to evaluate whether the CRE indexes have a reciprocal impact. The findings suggest that each of the CRE indexes has a more pronounced effect on the economic indicators with the NAREIT index inducing the strongest response. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3274-3290 Issue: 30 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1708256 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1708256 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:30:p:3274-3290 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus S. Beckmann Author-X-Name-First: Klaus S. Author-X-Name-Last: Beckmann Author-Name: Daniel Huerta-Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Huerta-Sanchez Author-Name: Thanh N. Ngo Author-X-Name-First: Thanh N. Author-X-Name-Last: Ngo Title: REIT industry liquidity, valuation, and ownership reactions to ETF inceptions Abstract: We examine the impact of Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) inceptions on the valuation, ownership structure, and liquidity of the U.S. REIT market. We posit that the relative homogeneity and concentration of the REIT industry creates a strong interconnection among REITs, especially for events that involve a significant number of firms in the industry. Initial perusal of the data suggests that the scarce supply of REITs forces new funds to include, on average, 60% of all existing REITs in their portfolios thus shocking the industry as a result of fund creations. We find that REITs experience a significant increase in institutional ownership and in stock turnover upon ETF inceptions. Small REITs experience a positive valuation effect, a significant increase in number of shareholders, and a significant reduction in shadow cost, while large capitalization REITs experience a significant negative valuation effect. We attribute this result to portfolio rebalancing effects driven by the increased visibility and coverage of small REIT stocks as a consequence of fund inceptions. We additionally find that buy-and-hold abnormal returns are positive and significant for all REITs, suggesting a permanent impact of ETF inceptions on REIT valuations. Finally, we find that REIT ETF inceptions create permanent increases in volatility in the REIT industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3291-3307 Issue: 30 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1708859 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1708859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:30:p:3291-3307 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kevin S. Nell Author-X-Name-First: Kevin S. Author-X-Name-Last: Nell Title: Evaluating the conditional convergence hypothesis in the post-1989 globalization period Abstract: This paper finds that conditional convergence in per capita incomes, as a robust empirical regularity across countries, is absent in the post-1989 globalization era. The results show that conditional convergence is subject to some initial, returns-adjusted level of education, implying that it has become more challenging for developing countries to industrialize via technology catch-up from abroad. The lack of conditional convergence, together with the increasing importance of education, complements another strand of literature that provides evidence of growth-reducing structural change, a growing technology gap due to the skill-intensive nature of manufacturing, and their link to the premature deindustrialization phenomenon observed in many developing countries since 1990. To draw an explicit link between the lack of conditional convergence in the post-1989 period and the literature on premature deindustrialization, the analysis augments a Barro-type regression with the employment shares of manufacturing, agriculture and services. The results show that raising the employment share of manufacturing relative to agriculture and, especially, services, is the most effective way to induce conditional convergence and generate faster growth in per capita income. One implication of the lack of conditional convergence is that the growth accelerations observed in many developing economies since the late-1990s may not be sustainable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3308-3326 Issue: 30 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1710451 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1710451 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:30:p:3308-3326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Artatrana Ratha Author-X-Name-First: Artatrana Author-X-Name-Last: Ratha Author-Name: Masoud Moghaddam Author-X-Name-First: Masoud Author-X-Name-Last: Moghaddam Title: Remittances and the Dutch disease phenomenon: evidence from the bounds error correction modelling and a panel space Abstract: Remittances have grown in size and importance. They are also among the most stable inflows of scarce foreign exchange for the developing world. While such inflows can boost economic growth, they can also appreciate domestic currency and thus, hurt exports – an unintended side effect commonly referred to as ‘the Dutch-disease phenomenon (DDP).’ This paper adds to this growing literature by applying the bounds-testing approach to co-integration/error correction, as well as the panel modelling. The DDP has been explored using a reduced form model linking remittance inflows to the real exchange rate of major remittance destinations in the world during the past three decades. While the bounds-testing approach using country-specific data, point at the paucity of the DDP generally, in the utilized panel co-integrated space, its short-run presence is mixed, though its long-run evidence is quite apparent. Indeed, using the preferred random effect model, the findings tend to suggest that a 10% increase in the remittance/GDP ratio, significantly appreciates the real exchange rate by about 0.009 units. Such a finding is also in line with the long-run results of the bounds-testing algorithm. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3327-3336 Issue: 30 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1710452 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1710452 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:30:p:3327-3336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dain Jung Author-X-Name-First: Dain Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Do Won Kwak Author-X-Name-First: Do Won Author-X-Name-Last: Kwak Author-Name: Hye-Jin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hye-Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Minki Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minki Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: An empirical investigation on the economic impact of shared patient information among doctors Abstract: This study investigates how an increase in patient information sharing among doctors impacts healthcare costs. To this end, we explore this impact through two mechanisms – the informative role of patient health conditions and the cross-monitoring role against doctor-driven induced healthcare demands. We utilize a unique policy intervention (a drug utilization review) introduced in 2009 in Korea that enables doctors to share outpatients’ prescription histories. Using difference-in-differences, we found that, when patient information is improved, there is a reduction in pharmaceutical spending. This result is especially true for those patients who have relatively weak information-sharing capabilities. Using data on the amount of antibiotics prescribed for the common cold, we find that a cross-monitoring of prescriptions among doctors reduces the amount of unnecessary prescriptions and thus healthcare spending. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3555-3573 Issue: 33 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1713984 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1713984 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:33:p:3555-3573 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leo H. Kahane Author-X-Name-First: Leo H. Author-X-Name-Last: Kahane Title: Determinants of County-Level Voting Patterns In the 2012 and 2016 Presidential Elections Abstract: County-level data are used to estimate the incumbent-party share of the two-party vote in the 2012 and the 2016 U.S. Presidential elections. Using a ‘seemingly unrelated estimation’ procedure the regression results for the two elections show that there were some clear differences in the size of marginal effects for several key covariates. For example, income inequality, the size of the black male and black female populations, the size of the Hispanic male population and percent of the population with a college degree all had significantly larger coefficients in 2016 than in 2012, producing a larger marginal effect in favour of the Democratic candidate’s vote share. On the other hand, counties with increased poverty rates and counties located on the periphery of urban centres had a significantly larger marginal effect favouring the Republican’s vote share in 2016 compared to 2012. Finally, the regression results show that the effects of third-party vote shares, though not statistically different across the two elections, had a positive impact on the Democratic vote share in both elections. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3574-3587 Issue: 33 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1713985 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1713985 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:33:p:3574-3587 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaebeom Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jaebeom Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jung-Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jung-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Stock returns and mutual fund flows in the korean financial markets: a system approach Abstract: This paper investigates dynamic and causal relations between stock returns and mutual fund flows in Korea using a system method that utilizes information from the stock, bond, and money markets. For this purpose, we employ the Dynamic Seemingly Unrelated Regression, the Seemingly Unrelated Regression Error Correction Model, and two causality tests in a system method to account for cross-equation correlations among markets that have a close relationship with one another. Furthermore, we use the information in the variance-covariance matrix of residual to improve the efficiency of the statistical estimates. The empirical evidence from the system method indicates that fund flows do not respond to eliminate deviations from long-run equilibrium, and stock prices cause net fund flows in the Korean market, implying that investors move their money to the securities that yield higher returns to rebalance their investment portfolios in the short-run. Thus, our findings do not support the popular notion of mutual fund flows as the driving force behind rallies in the Korean financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3588-3599 Issue: 33 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1713986 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1713986 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:33:p:3588-3599 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Pei-Chi Lii Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Lii Author-Name: Fu-Wei Huang Author-X-Name-First: Fu-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Shi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The linkage between life insurer spread behaviour and credit swap transaction: policyholder protection analysis Abstract: The paper develops a contingent claim model to evaluate the equity of a life insurer when the insurer could act as a protection buyer or a protection seller in a credit swap transaction market. The investment market and the life insurance market faced by the insurer are assumed to be imperfectly competitive in order to capture the insurer’s asset-leading or liability-reducing spread behaviour. This paper complements the insurance literature by analysing how the effects of credit swap transactions on insurer spread behaviour and policyholder protection, and how they might differ across various degrees of capital regulation, premature default risk, and profit-sharing participation. Our findings offer some useful insights for achieving the stability of the insurance system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3600-3613 Issue: 33 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1715337 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1715337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:33:p:3600-3613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chenxin Leng Author-X-Name-First: Chenxin Author-X-Name-Last: Leng Author-Name: Wanglin Ma Author-X-Name-First: Wanglin Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Jianjun Tang Author-X-Name-First: Jianjun Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Zhongkun Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhongkun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: ICT adoption and income diversification among rural households in China Abstract: Although the determinants of income diversification have been widely examined in the literature, little is known about whether and how information and communication technology (ICT) adoption affects household income diversification. To fill in this gap, this paper examines the impact of ICT adoption on income diversification among rural households in China, utilizing open-access data collected through the China Labour-force Dynamics Survey project. We employ a two-stage treatment effects model to address the potential selection bias issue associated with ICT adoption. The empirical results show that ICT adoption exerts a positive and statistically significant impact on income diversification. Further analyses reveal that ICT adoption is more beneficial to low-income rural households and those residing in eastern and central parts of China when it plays a role in diversifying rural income. Our findings suggest that improving rural education and infrastructure such as roads and broadband facilities can help enhance ICT adoption among rural households, which subsequently increases income diversification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3614-3628 Issue: 33 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1715338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1715338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:33:p:3614-3628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Fehim Cebeci Author-X-Name-First: Ali Fehim Author-X-Name-Last: Cebeci Author-Name: Huseyin Ince Author-X-Name-First: Huseyin Author-X-Name-Last: Ince Author-Name: Murat Anil Mercan Author-X-Name-First: Murat Anil Author-X-Name-Last: Mercan Title: The intrinsic fallacy of market mechanism and private property rights in alleviating the tragedy of the commons Abstract: Economists’ solution to the tragedy of the commons relies on well-defined property rights and competitive market mechanism for limiting individuals’ self-serving, short-sighted actions that result in a dramatic depletion of the common resources. However, this solution implicates a serious threat in terms of sustainability. Recently, deterioration of genetic diversity reached alarming levels, mainly attributed to escalating economic pressure that obliges farmers to shift from local breeds towards more profitable and more productive industrial breeds. This study empirically examines the efficiency of the free market mechanism as a solution to the tragedy of the commons through a unique natural experiment in which a huge demand shock arises regarding sheep. Results robustly show that the free market mechanism can cope with even a very challenging demand shock through the adjustment of prices without any shortage of the commodity. However, this finding does not guarantee that such an outcome is sustainable over the very long term. Analysis of the growth rate of the local sheep breeds population and cross-breed sheep population shows that the trend is overwhelmingly in favour of cross-breeds, thus supporting concerns for a free market mechanism, intrinsically driving the extinction of local sheep breeds, an invaluable genetic resource. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3629-3636 Issue: 33 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1716938 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1716938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:33:p:3629-3636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabel Abinzano Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Abinzano Author-Name: Luis Muga Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Muga Author-Name: Rafael Santamaria Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Santamaria Title: The role of small bettors in price formation in betting exchanges Abstract: The presence of small bettors in betting exchanges generates mispricing, which can lead to exploitation by informed traders or result in permanent price deviations. This paper shows that mispricing from this source is also dependent upon variables of established relevance such as tournament round, the level of attention to the event, the volume of the betting, and bet type, further confirming these findings by means of cumulative accuracy profile (CAP) curves. It also offers evidence of the relevant role played by the type of device used to place the bet, whereby higher mispricing is observed in live bets placed via a mobile device, which appears to be associated with impulsive betting. This last finding could have practical implications for the regulation of the use of mobile devices to access gambling platforms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3637-3650 Issue: 33 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1717427 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1717427 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:33:p:3637-3650 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yacine Hammami Author-X-Name-First: Yacine Author-X-Name-Last: Hammami Title: Asset pricing in an Islamic economy Abstract: We define an Islamic economy as one with borrowing restrictions, no leverage, and no risk-free asset. We derive a consumption-based asset pricing model for this economy under standard preferences. We demonstrate that news to consumption growth is the main driver of Islamic financial markets, but the degree of borrowing constraints also affects the pricing of Islamic assets. Using Saudi Arabian data, simulations show that our model does a good job in matching the observed equity premium as well as the volatility of the market return. Our model implies that the price-dividend ratio predicts dividend growth, and as a result that prices are driven mainly by cash-flow news rather than by discount rate news. Empirical tests show that our model is consistent with the data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3106-3122 Issue: 29 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1706715 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1706715 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:29:p:3106-3122 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong Min Chun Author-X-Name-First: Hong Min Author-X-Name-Last: Chun Author-Name: Grace Il-Joo Kang Author-X-Name-First: Grace Il-Joo Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Sang Ho Lee Author-X-Name-First: Sang Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yong Keun Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Keun Yoo Title: Corporate tax avoidance and cost of equity capital: international evidence Abstract: This study examines the association between firm’s tax avoidance activities and cost of equity capital across 17 countries. Consistent with the prior study based on the U.S. evidence, within strong investor protection countries, the extent of firm’s tax avoidance is negatively associated with its cost of equity capital. This result indicates that strong investor protection induces investors to perceive firm’s tax avoidance activities as the results of efficient tax planning to reduce tax liabilities. To the contrary, we find that the extent of firm’s tax avoidance is positively associated with its cost of equity capital within weak investor protection countries. This result suggests that investors impose equity risk premium on firm’s tax avoidance activities in weak investor protection countries, where agency conflicts prevail more on firm’s tax avoidance activities. As the first international study on the association between firm’s tax avoidance activities and its cost of equity capital, this study contributes to the literature by suggesting that such an association may vary across countries depending on the strength of investor protection within each country of domicile. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3123-3137 Issue: 29 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1706716 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1706716 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:29:p:3123-3137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Metin Özdemir Author-X-Name-First: Metin Author-X-Name-Last: Özdemir Title: The role of exchange rate in inflation targeting: the case of Turkey Abstract: The role of the exchange rates in emerging market economies that have adopted inflation targeting (IT) is a critical and contentious issue in the relevant literature. This article investigates whether an exchange rate-augmented Taylor rule describes the Central Bank of Republic of Turkey’s (CBRT) monetary policy. Covering the period from 2002:1 to 2017:8 it also explores possible nonlinearities in the reaction function of the CBRT by employing a Threshold Vector Autoregressive (TVAR) model. The linear estimation of the model highlighted the importance of the exchange rate in monetary policy under IT. The results of the nonlinear model indicate that the stance of monetary policy was asymmetric with respect to exchange rate movements during the conventional IT period. However, the asymmetric monetary policy stance disappeared in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis. Increasing considerations of financial stability undermined the asymmetric policy stance of the CBRT in the post-crisis period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3138-3152 Issue: 29 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1706717 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1706717 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:29:p:3138-3152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kai Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Mary O’Mahony Author-X-Name-First: Mary Author-X-Name-Last: O’Mahony Author-Name: Amir Qamar Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Qamar Title: Bridging the gap in creative economy and ICT research: a regional analysis in Europe Abstract: Following Florida’s seminal work on the ‘creative class’ there is a great deal of interest concerning whether creativity, as an input, is important for regional growth. Answering this question requires developing a production framework that can distinguish creativity from other inputs. With data from Europe, this paper integrates the concept of information and communications technology (ICT) and the creative class into a theoretical production function. Findings reveal that not only is there a positive and interactive relationship between creative workers and ICT, but the combination of creative workers and ICT leads to higher levels of GVA growth. Moreover, creative workers were found to have a larger impact on growth in comparison with traditional human capital measures (i.e. graduates). Thus, findings from this research suggest that the creative class should not only pay attention to socio-economic preferences of individuals, but it must include wider social resources, such as ICT. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3153-3166 Issue: 29 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1706718 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1706718 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:29:p:3153-3166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yinghua Ren Author-X-Name-First: Yinghua Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Qing Guo Author-X-Name-First: Qing Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Huiming Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Huiming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Wanming Ying Author-X-Name-First: Wanming Author-X-Name-Last: Ying Title: The effects of economic policy uncertainty on China’s economy: evidence from time-varying parameter FAVAR Abstract: This article explores the effects of China’s economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on its fiscal policy, monetary policy and a wide range of macro-economic variables using a time-varying parameter FAVAR model. Based on monthly data from 07/2003 to 08/2017, the time-varying structure of the model allows us to capture the time-varying characteristics of the macro-economic variables and which channel is relevant. Empirical results reveal that the reaction of monetary and fiscal policies to EPU is highly asymmetric across macro-economic circumstances. Loose monetary and fiscal policies are adopted in response to EPU shocks during the financial crisis, while policies are moderately tightened after the crisis. The China Interbank Offered Rate (Chibor) responds more sensitively and severely than M2 to EPU shocks. Additionally, EPU shocks have a significant and negative impact on economic growth, consumption, exchange rates, bonds and the stock market, but showing a positive impact on credit, real estate and fixed asset investment (which might be due to China’s special economic market environment and the high investment return). The results indicate that EPU shocks significantly affect macroeconomic fundamentals through precautionary savings and financial market channels but lose their effectiveness through a ‘real options’ effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3167-3185 Issue: 29 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1707475 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1707475 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:29:p:3167-3185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Neil Lawton Author-X-Name-First: Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Lawton Author-Name: Liam A. Gallagher Author-X-Name-First: Liam A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gallagher Title: The negative side of inflation targeting: revisiting inflation uncertainty in the EMU Abstract: This article tests the Friedman–Ball hypothesis for the European Monetary Union (EMU) countries, using a GARCH methodology. The empirical results show a positive relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty, largely supportive of the Friedman–Ball hypothesis. Furthermore, the ECB’s price stability mandate is found to have asymmetric, if not limited, effects on inflation uncertainty since 1999, with the findings different for the so-called peripheral countries when compared to the core. For the majority of the EMU countries, shifts away from the 2% target served to increase inflation uncertainty. The credibility of the ECB since the financial crisis, in attempting to meet its 2% inflation target has seen inflation uncertainty increase for some, likely driven by inflation failing to re-anchor. Furthermore, recent periods of deflation are found to generate inflation uncertainty, with short-term price variability increasing in line with observed negative price growth for the majority of the EMU countries. The results are supportive of a U-shaped relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty. Using spline techniques, we formally provide support for such a U-shaped relation where inflation uncertainty broadly increases below a certain threshold for each country’s inflation rate. Asymmetric effects across countries are found in the level of this threshold. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3186-3203 Issue: 29 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1707764 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1707764 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:29:p:3186-3203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petr Janský Author-X-Name-First: Petr Author-X-Name-Last: Janský Title: The costs of tax havens: evidence from industry-level data Abstract: Multinational enterprises make use of tax havens to avoid paying corporate income taxes and this costs 100 billion USD and more in lost government revenue worldwide according to an increasing number of recent studies. None of those studies assigns these costs to industries. I aim to shed more light on this gap by using some of the best available industry-level US data to determine to what extent the location of the MNEs’ profit is aligned with the location of their economic activities. My first finding is that the most important tax havens for US multinational enterprises are the Netherlands, Ireland and Luxembourg (all EU member states). Second, I systematically identify the specific industries in specific tax havens responsible for the costs, which should be useful information for tax authorities aiming to reduce tax avoidance. Finally, I argue that the current data are not detailed enough to provide a reliable industry breakdown of the costs, but the prospect of combining input-output tables with forthcoming country-by-country data seems more promising. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3204-3218 Issue: 29 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1707765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1707765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:29:p:3204-3218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Li Liu Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Feng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Qing Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Qing Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Author-Name: Yaojie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yaojie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Forecasting the aggregate stock market volatility in a data-rich world Abstract: In this article, we utilize the basic lasso and elastic net models to revisit the predictive performance of aggregate stock market volatility in a data-rich world. Motivated by the existing literature, we determine several candidate predictors that have 22 technical indicators and 14 macroeconomic and financial variables. Our out-of-sample results reveal several noteworthy findings. First, few macroeconomic and financial variables and most of technical indicators have superior performance relative to the benchmark model. Second, combination forecasts are able to significantly beat the benchmark and some signal predictors Third, the lasso and elastic models with all predictors can generate more accurate forecasts than the benchmark and some other predictors in both the statistical and economic sense. Fourth, the lasso and elastic models exhibit higher forecast accuracy during periods of expansions and recessions. Finally, our findings are robust to several tests, such as different forecasting windows, forecasting models, and forecasting evaluations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3448-3463 Issue: 32 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1713291 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1713291 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:32:p:3448-3463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juerg Schweri Author-X-Name-First: Juerg Author-X-Name-Last: Schweri Author-Name: Annina Eymann Author-X-Name-First: Annina Author-X-Name-Last: Eymann Author-Name: Manuel Aepli Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Aepli Title: Horizontal mismatch and vocational education Abstract: Recent literature suggests that vocational education and training (VET) provides individuals with smoother transitions into the labour market but lower wages over the lifecycle, compared to general education. A possible mechanism explaining lower wages is horizontal mismatch, defined as a mismatch between the type of qualifications acquired by individuals and those required for their current job. Some studies have found higher mismatch wage penalties when individuals’ education is more specific, suggesting higher penalties for workers with VET. Therefore, we analyse horizontal mismatch in Switzerland, the country with the highest proportion of firm-based VET in the OECD. We use two measures from the Swiss Household Panel that cover different aspects of horizontal mismatch. While we find sizable mismatch wage penalties in OLS estimations, effects are small or insignificant in fixed-effects regressions. This holds for workers with vocational and general education background alike. We conclude that VET is more transferable than often assumed. We finish with recommendations on concept and methods for future analyses of horizontal mismatch. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3464-3478 Issue: 32 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1713292 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1713292 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:32:p:3464-3478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tolga Omay Author-X-Name-First: Tolga Author-X-Name-Last: Omay Author-Name: Muhammed Shahbaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammed Author-X-Name-Last: Shahbaz Author-Name: Mubariz Hasanov Author-X-Name-First: Mubariz Author-X-Name-Last: Hasanov Title: Testing PPP hypothesis under temporary structural breaks and asymmetric dynamic adjustments Abstract: We test the empirical validity of the PPP proposition under temporary structural breaks and dynamic nonlinear adjustments. Although several testing procedures have recently been proposed in the existing literature to investigate stochastic properties of the series under gradual breaks and nonlinear adjustments, none of these tests are compatible with the PPP proposition. Therefore, we propose new testing procedures that restrict the break to be temporary while simultaneously allowing for asymmetric dynamic nonlinear adjustment towards equilibrium. Using these newly proposed tests, we test stationarity of real exchange rate of 24 OECD countries vis-à-vis USA, and find support in favour of PPP proposition in majority of the countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3479-3497 Issue: 32 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1713293 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1713293 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:32:p:3479-3497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gnel Gabrielyan Author-X-Name-First: Gnel Author-X-Name-Last: Gabrielyan Author-Name: David R. Just Author-X-Name-First: David R. Author-X-Name-Last: Just Title: Economic shocks and lottery sales: an examination of Maine State lottery sales Abstract: Most U.S. states earn significant amount of revenues from lottery sales. However, they are also criticized for promoting the lotteries because they have been seen as taking advantage of poor populations. The purpose of this study is to identify the impact of various economic factors on lottery sales by using zip-code level sales within the state of Maine. The results show that an increase of 1% in unemployment rate results in a 0.38% increase in draw lottery sales, but it has no significant impact on instant lottery sales. This highlights the importance of differentiating between two major types of lotteries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3498-3511 Issue: 32 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1713294 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1713294 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:32:p:3498-3511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roula Inglesi-Lotz Author-X-Name-First: Roula Author-X-Name-Last: Inglesi-Lotz Author-Name: Abdelaziz Hakimi Author-X-Name-First: Abdelaziz Author-X-Name-Last: Hakimi Author-Name: Majdi Karmani Author-X-Name-First: Majdi Author-X-Name-Last: Karmani Author-Name: Rim Boussaada Author-X-Name-First: Rim Author-X-Name-Last: Boussaada Title: Threshold effects in the patent-growth relationship: a PSTR approach for 60 developed and developing countries Abstract: This study analyzes whether there is a threshold effect in the innovation-growth relationship. Using data from the period 2008–2017, we perform an analysis using 60 countries in the whole sample and a split-sample analysis in which we separate developed countries (36) from developing countries (24). The results for the panel smooth transition regression (PSTR) model indicate that there is a threshold effect in the innovation-growth relationship. We find that below the threshold, the effect of innovation measured by the number of patents is not significant for developed and developing countries. However, surpassing the optimal threshold, the effect becomes positive only for the whole sample and developed countries. Furthermore, findings also indicate that research and development expenditure, domestic and foreign investments stimulate economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3512-3524 Issue: 32 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1713295 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1713295 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:32:p:3512-3524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tong Fu Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Zhongmei Wei Author-X-Name-First: Zhongmei Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Ze Jian Author-X-Name-First: Ze Author-X-Name-Last: Jian Title: The persistent institutional effect of liberal colonialism: evidence from China’s financial policies Abstract: The effect of liberal colonialism on the allocation of capital persists to this day. We exploit the colonial history of China during 1896-1911 with qualitative evidence to measure liberal colonialism. We document that liberal colonialism promotes the subsequent efficiency of financial policies on the capital allocation in 2004 through the quality of economic institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3525-3537 Issue: 32 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1713296 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1713296 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:32:p:3525-3537 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Biyan Tang Author-X-Name-First: Biyan Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Boniface Yemba Author-X-Name-First: Boniface Author-X-Name-Last: Yemba Author-Name: Dongfeng Chang Author-X-Name-First: Dongfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Divisia monetary aggregates and US GDP nowcasting Abstract: This article nowcasts US quarterly real GDP growth rate with dynamic factor model (DFM) using Divisia Monetary Aggregate Index, Divisia M1, M2, M3, and exploits information from a large, unbalanced panel data. GDP nowcasting is evaluating the current quarter GDP given the available economic data up to the point when the nowcasting is conducted. GDP data is published quarterly with a substantial lag, while many monetary and financial decisions are made at a higher frequency. Therefore, nowcasting GDP has become an increasingly important task for central banks. This article uses DFM to nowcast GDP, compares the nowcasting results from DFM with the simple sum monetary aggregate M1, M2, M3, to the Model with weighted corresponding Divisia Index, then calculates the contributions of the Divisia Monetary index to US GDP nowcasting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3538-3554 Issue: 32 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1713983 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1713983 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:32:p:3538-3554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: André Gal Mountian Author-X-Name-First: André Gal Author-X-Name-Last: Mountian Author-Name: Maria Dolores Montoya Diaz Author-X-Name-First: Maria Dolores Author-X-Name-Last: Montoya Diaz Title: Effects of retirement on the health of elderly people in São Paulo, Brazil Abstract: This article assessed the effects of retirement on the health of elderly people living in São Paulo, the most populous Brazilian city, from 2000 to 2010. In the context of population ageing, the effects of retirement on the health of elderly people must be understood. Data on elderly people from the municipality of São Paulo were retrieved from the longitudinal database Health, Wellbeing and Ageing Study (SABE). Fixed-effect and instrumental-variable fixed-effect models were estimated to consider the possible simultaneity between the decision to retire and the health status of individuals. The results showed that retirement improves overall health and mobility of men, especially of less-educated workers. This finding suggests that setting a minimum retirement age in Brazil, which will postpone retirement, may worsen the health status of older workers, thereby increasing National Health Service costs. Therefore, this subject must be incorporated into the debates on pension reform in Brazil. In addition, and more generally, this article aims to contribute to the literature by investigating this issue in a developing country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2991-3003 Issue: 28 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1697797 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1697797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:28:p:2991-3003 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franz Ruch Author-X-Name-First: Franz Author-X-Name-Last: Ruch Author-Name: Mehmet Balcilar Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Balcilar Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Mampho P. Modise Author-X-Name-First: Mampho P. Author-X-Name-Last: Modise Title: Forecasting core inflation: the case of South Africa Abstract: Underlying, or core, inflation is likely the most important variable for monetary policy. It is considered to be the optimal nominal anchor as it is stable, excludes relative price shocks, and reflects underlying trends in the behaviour of price-setters and demand conditions in the economy. Despite its importance, there is sparse literature on estimating and forecasting core inflation in South Africa, with the focus still on measuring it. This paper emphasizes predicting core inflation from time-varying parameter vector autoregressive models (TVP-VARs), factor-augmented VARs (FAVAR), and structural break models using quarterly data from 1981Q1 to 2013Q4. We use mean squared forecast errors (MSFE) and predictive likelihoods to evaluate the forecasts. In general, we find that (i) time-varying parameter models consistently outperform constant coefficient models (ii) small TVP-VARs outperform all other models; (iii) models with heteroscedastic errors do better than models with homoscedastic errors; and (iv) allowing for structural breaks does not improve the predictability of core inflation. Overall, our results imply that additional information on the growth rate of the economy and the interest rate is sufficient to forecast core inflation accurately, but the relationship between these three variables needs to be modelled in a time-varying fashion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3004-3022 Issue: 28 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1701181 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1701181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:28:p:3004-3022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manuel Jaén-García Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Jaén-García Title: Tax-spend, spend-tax, or fiscal synchronization. A wavelet analysis Abstract: In this article, we use wavelet methodology to analyse the long-term relationship between spending and taxes. Unlike the standard methodology that utilizes unit roots and cointegration with or without structural breaks, the present method makes it possible to know the long-term evolution of variables (time series) and the possible delay or advance between these variables. Although we limited ourselves to studying the most recent period of 1980–2015, the results obtained reveal various alternatives and nearly perfect synchronization, with revenues perhaps slightly leading spending, which may be the result of recent budget restrictions instated in response to the economic recession. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3023-3034 Issue: 28 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1705238 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1705238 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:28:p:3023-3034 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emily McDool Author-X-Name-First: Emily Author-X-Name-Last: McDool Title: Ability grouping and children’s non-cognitive outcomes Abstract: The value of ability grouping is often debated despite being adopted in primary and secondary schools across the UK for the past 80 years. Setting is one form of ability grouping which is widely implemented in English schools; it involves dividing pupils from the same cohort into classes according to ability in a specific subject. While the existing evidence identifies a negative effect on cognitive outcomes, especially for low-ability pupils, little research has been undertaken to understand the impact of setting on non-cognitive outcomes. This paper provides the first evidence of the effect of setting on non-cognitive outcomes when utilizing a nationally representative sample of primary-aged pupils and adopting fixed effects and instrumental variable methodologies. For boys, setting in maths negatively impacts non-cognitive outcomes, driven by a worsening of internalizing behaviours. No evidence of a significant impact of lowest set placement on non-cognitive outcomes is identified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3035-3054 Issue: 28 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1705239 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1705239 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:28:p:3035-3054 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satish Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Satish Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: I. D. Raheem Author-X-Name-First: I. D. Author-X-Name-Last: Raheem Author-Name: Qiang Ji Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Title: Dependence risk analysis in energy, agricultural and precious metals commodities: a pair vine copula approach Abstract: We apply pair vine copulas, specifically the C-vine and R-vine copulas, to examine the conditional multivariate dependence pattern/structure and R-vine copula-based value-at-risk (VaR) to assess financial portfolio risk. We examine the co-dependencies of 13 major commodity markets (which include three energy commodities, six agricultural commodities and four precious metals prices) from 2 January 2003 to 19 December 2016. Dividing our sample into three sub-periods, namely pre-GFC, GFC and post-GFC, we find that the dependencies among commodities undergo changes in a complex manner, changing in different financial conditions, and that the Student-t copula appears on the maximum number of occasions, especially during the GFC period, signifying the existence of fatter tails in the distributions of returns. We further show that the co-dependencies computed using R-vine copulas are best suited to compute the portfolio VaR during the considered time period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3055-3072 Issue: 28 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1705240 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1705240 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:28:p:3055-3072 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christoph Hanck Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Hanck Author-Name: Jan Prüser Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Prüser Title: House prices and interest rates: Bayesian evidence from Germany Abstract: This study uses a Bayesian VAR (BVAR) to demonstrate that the recent boom in German house prices can be explained by falling interest rates and that higher interest rates are likely sufficient to stop the price increase. The latter suggests a potential drawback of the current monetary policy of the ECB. The BVAR’s prior information shrinks the model parameters towards a parsimonious benchmark in order to avoid overfitting the data. We use an empirical Bayes approach to select the informativeness of the prior. To choose relevant control variables, we use a Bayesian variable selection approach. In addition to impulse responses and variance decompositions, we use a Bayesian conditional forecast to test the hypothetical effect of an interest rate increase on house prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3073-3089 Issue: 28 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1705242 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1705242 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:28:p:3073-3089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudia Cantabene Author-X-Name-First: Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Cantabene Author-Name: Iacopo Grassi Author-X-Name-First: Iacopo Author-X-Name-Last: Grassi Title: R&D cooperation in SMEs: the direct effect and the moderating role of human capital Abstract: We analyse the determinants of R&D cooperation for SMEs in Italy. We introduce in the literature human capital as one of the main determinants of R&D cooperation, concentrating on its moderating role, and specifically focusing on the high-tech sector. Using an extremely rich dataset, we improve the literature, building robust explanatory variables, and disaggregating the cooperation by partner. We find that human capital facilitates cooperation, but its moderating role depends on the type of disaggregation and/or the partner. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3090-3105 Issue: 28 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1705243 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1705243 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:28:p:3090-3105 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Baltas Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Baltas Author-Name: Mike G. Tsionas Author-X-Name-First: Mike G. Author-X-Name-Last: Tsionas Author-Name: Konstantinos Baltas Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Baltas Title: Foreign direct investment in OECD countries: a special focus in the case of Greece Abstract: Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is considered as an important instrument for economic development all over the world. The aim of this paper is to examine the FDI inflows determinants for 24 OECD countries.  To this end we employ annual data from 1980 to 2012 for a series of potential FDI determinants that have been identified as the most important by the relevant literature. Our empirical strategy employs both the standard fixed effects panel as well as a dynamic panel approach. The empirical findings highlight the importance of market size, trade openness, unit labor cost, schooling, taxation, gross capital formation, institutional variables, and ROA/ROE as significant FDI determinants. In the case of the dynamic panel model those FDI inflows determinants are not uniform for all country groups. Additionally, the results indicate that corporate tax rates clearly affect FDI attractiveness. This finding is robust when testing different countries subgroups. The present study has important policy implications indicating the factors that host economies should place emphasis on in order to attract FDI inflows. Policy makers should not only pay attention to the corporate tax rate level but they should also design a simple, stable and transparent taxation system that minimizes the relevant business risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5579-5591 Issue: 52 Volume: 50 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488054 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488054 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2020:i:52:p:5579-5591 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali M. Kutan Author-X-Name-First: Ali M. Author-X-Name-Last: Kutan Author-Name: Hai Lin Author-X-Name-First: Hai Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Ping-Wen Sun Author-X-Name-First: Ping-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Bin Yu Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: A reliable performance measure to differentiate China’s actively managed open-end equity mutual funds Abstract: We compare different fund performance measures to examine which performance measures can generate risk-adjusted returns between high ranked and low ranked China’s actively managed open-end equity mutual funds. Our results show that only the six-factor (five factors (market, size, b/m, profitability & Investment facotrs) plus a momentum factor) alpha as the performance measure meets the criteria. Separated by the six-factor alpha, better performing funds have a larger asset under management, a better past 6-month cumulative return, a better stock picking ability, and a higher percentage of hybrid funds. Through our sample period from July 2004 to December 2015, the highest ranked quintile funds generate a monthly risk-adjusted return of 0.24% more than the lowest ranked quintile funds and the six-factor alpha reliably selects a better fund portfolio in both bear and bull markets on the basis of both fund return and holding data. Furthermore, our results from fund trading data show that funds with the highest six-factor alpha rank demonstrate a better trading skill in bear markets, suggesting that those better performing funds exhibit their market timing and stock picking abilities when investors need them most. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5592-5603 Issue: 52 Volume: 50 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488055 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488055 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2020:i:52:p:5592-5603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hsien-Yi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Hsien-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shu-Ling Yang Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Contagion effects of sovereign credit rating revisions on the real economy: is it trade or finance? Abstract: We analyse the contagion effects of sovereign credit rating revisions on the real economy, with particular emphasis on the intensity of trade and finance channels. Our findings show that event countries that experienced rating revisions cause substantial contagion effects on the real output growth rates of nonevent countries. Nonevent countries with a high export ratio, high external debt levels, or those that are more dependent on common bank credit relative to other nonevent countries are more likely to be infected by event countries’ adverse credit shocks. The results remain after accounting for alternative real economy indicators, financial liberalization, financial crises, and economic development status. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5604-5619 Issue: 52 Volume: 50 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488056 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488056 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2020:i:52:p:5604-5619 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gregmar I. Galinato Author-X-Name-First: Gregmar I. Author-X-Name-Last: Galinato Author-Name: You Zhou Author-X-Name-First: You Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: How a race to the bottom can make you fat Abstract: This article measures the effect of fiscal competition on obesity rates in the United States through education and health spending. We hypothesize that fiscal competition to attract firms results in lower business tax revenues and higher public infrastructure spending which crowds out education and health spending leading to an increase in obesity rates. We empirically test this hypothesis. We find that there is significant fiscal competition to attract firms. Next, we show that when business tax revenues are lowered and public infrastructure spending favouring businesses increased, public health and education spending declines and obesity rates significantly increase. Thus, fiscal competition significantly contributes to obesity rates through the education and health spending channel. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5620-5640 Issue: 52 Volume: 50 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488058 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488058 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2020:i:52:p:5620-5640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Shahbaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Shahbaz Author-Name: Amatul Razzaq Chaudhary Author-X-Name-First: Amatul Razzaq Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhary Author-Name: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Syed Jawad Hussain Author-X-Name-Last: Shahzad Title: Is energy consumption sensitive to foreign capital inflows and currency devaluation in Pakistan? Abstract: This study investigates the relationship between foreign capital inflows and energy consumption by incorporating economic growth, exports and currency devaluation in energy demand function for the case of Pakistan. The long-run and short-run effects are examined via ARDL bounds testing procedure. Foreign capital inflows and currency devaluation (economic growth and exports) decrease (increase) energy consumption in long-run. The results confirm a feedback effect between foreign capital inflows and energy consumption. These findings would be helpful to policy makers in designing comprehensive economic and energy policies for utilizing foreign capital inflows as a tool for optimal use of energy sources to enhance economic development in long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5641-5658 Issue: 52 Volume: 50 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488059 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488059 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2020:i:52:p:5641-5658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Targeted characteristics and use of socially marketed preventive health goods: evidence from condoms in sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: Social marketing is a popular method for allocating targeted publicly funded preventive health goods in poor countries. However, low demand among targeted groups may inhibit take-up relative to non-targeted groups, ownership may not result in use, and there exists little large-scale evidence on how use of socially marketed goods varies by targeted characteristics. I assemble national household survey data from 27 sub-Saharan African countries to examine how use of one of the most common socially marketed preventive health goods (i.e. male condoms) varies by the main targeted characteristics (i.e. low income, low educational attainment, and high HIV risk).The results suggest that the majority of condoms used are socially marketed condoms, engaging in transactional sex is associated with an increased likelihood of using a socially marketed condom brand, and low-income/low educational attainment are not associated with increased likelihoods of using socially marketed brands. The fact that distribution targets low socioeconomic status groups and relative use remains low suggests that weak demand for condoms among these groups inhibits use. Policymakers should consider mechanisms to increase demand and to further refine targeting efforts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5659-5671 Issue: 52 Volume: 50 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1488060 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1488060 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2020:i:52:p:5659-5671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kurt A. Hafner Author-X-Name-First: Kurt A. Author-X-Name-Last: Hafner Author-Name: Lennart Kampe Author-X-Name-First: Lennart Author-X-Name-Last: Kampe Title: Monetary union in Latin America: an assessment in the context of optimum currency area Abstract: The article applies the optimum currency area (OCA) theory to Latin America to assess the potential of a monetary union in Latin America and in its major existing regional trade agreements (RTAs). According to OCA criteria we find that Latin America is far from being an optimum currency area, as its countries’ exposure to asymmetric shocks is high and their capacities to adjust in response to macroeconomic disturbances are limited. Using a panel of 20 Latin American countries from 1990 to 2014, we apply the dynamic OLS estimation techniques to estimate the costs and benefits of a potential monetary union in Latin America and in its various RTAs. to estimate the costs and benefits of a potential monetary union in Latin America and in its various RTAs. We find that the costs are high, because Latin America’s economies are vulnerable to severe macroeconomic disturbances and its RTAs differ significantly in their response to negative demand shocks. Most of the monetary efficiency gains are shown to be the result of a common restrictive monetary policy which would result in higher FDI inflows and, to a more limited extent, increased GDP, both overall and per capita. Although Central American countries are shown to be most suitable for further monetary integration, we conclude that Latin American countries should head first towards greater economic and political integration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5672-5697 Issue: 52 Volume: 50 Year: 2020 Month: 6 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1489116 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2018.1489116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:50:y:2020:i:52:p:5672-5697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Mabruk Billah Author-X-Name-First: Mabruk Author-X-Name-Last: Billah Author-Name: Hatice Ozer Balli Author-X-Name-First: Hatice Ozer Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Russell Gregory-Allen Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Gregory-Allen Title: Economic uncertainties, macroeconomic announcements and sukuk spreads Abstract: With the large expansion of Islamic finance in the recent years, sukuks (Islamic bonds), which are the Shariah-compliant substitute to conventional bonds, are now becoming more prominent. Although there are numerous studies that have looked at the impact of global shocks on conventional bond spreads, little attention has been paid to explore the effect of the global shocks to the sukuk spreads. This study’s objective was thus to examine the impact of factors affecting the conventional bond and sukuk markets, including financial factors, economic policy uncertainty, U.S. and EU macroeconomic news, using an ordinary least squares approach. The results indicated that for regions and countries such as the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council), Malaysia, Indonesia, Turkey, and Singapore, global shocks play a vital role in explaining sukuk spreads. Furthermore, employing a matched sample featuring firms from these regions and countries revealed that European and U.S. macroeconomic announcements and economic policy uncertainty have a significantly greater impact on sukuk spreads than on conventional bond spreads. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3748-3769 Issue: 35 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1721424 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1721424 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:35:p:3748-3769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Yu Paula Hao Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Yu Paula Author-X-Name-Last: Hao Author-Name: Jasmine Yur-Austin Author-X-Name-First: Jasmine Author-X-Name-Last: Yur-Austin Author-Name: Lu Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Credit default swaps and CEO compensation: a long-term perspective Abstract: In this paper, we examine whether the onset of credit default swaps (CDSs) affects a firm’s executive compensation. The availability of CDSs allows lenders to transfer credit risk, but not control or monitoring rights, to CDS sellers. Hence, CDS-protected lenders’ incentives to monitor borrowing firms are curtailed, which could exacerbate the managerial agency problem. To mitigate the concern about the increased agency problem, we postulate that shareholders are more likely to demand greater long-term compensation for CEOs to compensate for their reduced ability to delegate monitoring to CDS-protected lenders. Consistent with our hypothesis, we find a positive CDS-incentive horizon relationship. Moreover, the positive relationship is more pronounced for institutional investors who have stronger incentives for monitoring. This study contributes to the literature by examining the impact of CDSs on executive compensation design, which has been largely overlooked in prior research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3770-3787 Issue: 35 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1722793 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1722793 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:35:p:3770-3787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: En-Ze Wang Author-X-Name-First: En-Ze Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Dynamic spillovers and connectedness between oil returns and policy uncertainty Abstract: This article investigates the dynamic connectedness and spillover effects between category policy uncertainty and WTI crude oil returns for oil-importing countries. To overcome the shortcomings of the traditional rolling-window method and obtain rigorous results, we adopt the TVP-VAR-based connectedness approach, apply it to full samples, and then estimate the dynamic spillovers between the series. Regarding the whole sample, the results reveal that economic policy uncertainty is as a net transmitter, and by employing four categorical policy uncertainty indices we reach the same conclusions. In particular, spillovers of fiscal policy uncertainty on crude oil returns are the most dominant ones, followed by exchange rate policy uncertainty, then monetary policy uncertainty, and finally trade policy uncertainty. And it is noteworthy that the network plots are employed by our article, which provides clearer evidence for the connectedness between variables. On a final note, Brent crude oil returns are utilized to increase the robustness of our conclusion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3788-3808 Issue: 35 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1722794 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1722794 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:35:p:3788-3808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Srikant Devaraj Author-X-Name-First: Srikant Author-X-Name-Last: Devaraj Author-Name: Pankaj C. Patel Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Title: Student debt, income-based repayment, and self-employment: evidence from NLSY 1997 and NFCS 2015 Abstract: Based on the income-risk hypothesis, we test whether those with higher student debt are less likely to be self-employed. We also test if the income-based repayment programme increases the odds of self-employment. Using a longitudinal sample of 6,762 participants (1998–2011) in National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 (NLSY97) and propensity score matching, we find that having student debt decreases the odds of self-employment by 1.3 percentage points. Further, using eligibility for income-based repayment programme as an instrument driving effect of loans in NLSY97 sample or use of income-based repayment plans in National Financial Capability Study 2015 increases the odds of self-employment of about 2 percent. The effect sizes are smaller than previous studies on student loans on labour market outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3809-3829 Issue: 35 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1722795 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1722795 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:35:p:3809-3829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theodoros Makridakis Author-X-Name-First: Theodoros Author-X-Name-Last: Makridakis Author-Name: Sotiris Karkalakos Author-X-Name-First: Sotiris Author-X-Name-Last: Karkalakos Title: Spatial hedonic models for environmental hazards and health outcomes Abstract: This article examines the relationship between the total cost of services for radioprotection and the health outcomes in Greece with a spatial hedonic model using data from the period 2010 to 2016. We employ spatial analysis in a hedonic price framework to examine the impact of total service cost Nuts 1 level in Greece. We incorporate geographical as well as economic and health personnel effects in order to test for the existence and magnitude of interregional externalities including health-care expenditure, medical capital investment and examinations magnetic resonance imaging. Our findings robustly demonstrate that interregional externalities do matter for the regions of economic linkages implying strong cross-regional spillovers than geographical ones. Furthermore, we isolate the imprint of each service for radioprotection, provided by Greek Atomic Energy Commission, in order to detect the impact of each one in the total cost services. The results support that services for non-ionizing radiation have the strongest impact. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3830-3841 Issue: 35 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1722796 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1722796 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:35:p:3830-3841 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nisreen Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Nisreen Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Vikash Ramiah Author-X-Name-First: Vikash Author-X-Name-Last: Ramiah Author-Name: Huy Pham Author-X-Name-First: Huy Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Author-Name: Alastair Watson Author-X-Name-First: Alastair Author-X-Name-Last: Watson Title: The origin of the US-China trade war Abstract: The ongoing trade war (or at least dispute) between the US and China has its roots in the early 2000s when American politicians and economists started complaining about the US trade deficit with China. Accusing China of wrong-doing, as far as the US trade deficit is concerned, is based on the three propositions that the yuan is undervalued against the dollar, that the trade deficit is caused by currency undervaluation, and that Chinese trade and exchange rate policies are illegal or at least immoral, designed to promote Chinese exports and obstruct imports. These propositions are examined critically, and empirical results are produced to show that the revaluation of the yuan and the imposition of tariffs will not produce the desired results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3842-3857 Issue: 35 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1722797 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1722797 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:35:p:3842-3857 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Refk Selmi Author-X-Name-First: Refk Author-X-Name-Last: Selmi Author-Name: Jamal Bouoiyour Author-X-Name-First: Jamal Author-X-Name-Last: Bouoiyour Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Author-Name: Youssef Errami Author-X-Name-First: Youssef Author-X-Name-Last: Errami Title: Is there an effect of policy-related uncertainty on inflation? evidence from the United States under Trump Abstract: This study bridges the existing literature on the macroeconomic effects of policy-related uncertainty and the literature on inflation dynamics and provide fresh insights on the impacts of policy-related uncertainty under President Donald Trump -coming from unforeseen events and actions of decision makers- on unanticipated inflation changes. With the increasingly volatile environment, developing effective resilience plan and hedging practices against rising policy uncertainty become fundamental in designing sensible risk management strategies. This paper compares the inflation-hedging abilities of oil, renewable energy and major precious metals (gold, palladium, platinum and silver). Under Trump, both economic and monetary policy uncertainties seem important for the observed changes in inflation. In times of rising uncertainty, doubts rise about the ability and the commitment of policy makers to deliver on their promises. In other words, policy-related uncertainties distort the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy and harm its credibility. To reduce the costs of inflation surprises, an inflation-protecting asset allocation analysis is conducted. Gold and oil have proved to offer the most effective hedge against inflation under Trump and during periods of inflationary pressures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3858-3873 Issue: 35 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1723786 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1723786 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:35:p:3858-3873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chengzheng Li Author-X-Name-First: Chengzheng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yunyun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yunyun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Capital advantages: could colleges and universities located in Beijing City win more national social science fund projects? Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between the distance a college/university from Beijing city and the number of the National Social Science Fund projects it undertakes. We find that geographical location of a college/university is closely related to the number of National Social Science Fund projects it undertakes, and per hundred kilometres far away from Beijing city will result in a decrease of the number of projects by 0.24–0.50. In addition, colleges and universities located in Beijing city have significant advantages over those located in other places with more projects of 1.74–5.68. It is also shown that, for colleges and universities, especially for those top 100, the availability of high-speed railway to Beijing city significantly increases the probability of winning the National Social Science Fund projects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4135-4145 Issue: 38 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1730754 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1730754 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:38:p:4135-4145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rami Galal Author-X-Name-First: Rami Author-X-Name-Last: Galal Author-Name: Hoda El Enbaby Author-X-Name-First: Hoda Author-X-Name-Last: El Enbaby Title: Inequality of opportunity in earnings and assets in Egypt Abstract: By most available measures, the level of inequality in the MENA region, including Egypt, is considered relatively low. This regularity applies to both inequality of outcomes as well as inequality of opportunity. This paper challenges this view. It argues specifically that circumstances beyond the control of individuals account for a larger share of inequality of opportunity when asset distribution is considered rather than the distribution of earnings, essentially because earnings are subject to measurement errors and idiosyncratic shocks. The paper tests this proposition by estimating the extent to which factors related to the circumstances a person is born into contribute to inequality of opportunity in earnings as well as asset ownership. The results show that circumstances account 26–32% of inequality of asset distribution, compared with only 8–10% of inequality of opportunity in earnings. The analysis further shows that the area of birth and fathers education level are the two most important circumstance factors contributing to inequality of opportunity, for both assets and earnings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4146-4161 Issue: 38 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1731409 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1731409 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:38:p:4146-4161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Margherita Carlucci Author-X-Name-First: Margherita Author-X-Name-Last: Carlucci Author-Name: Carlotta Ferrara Author-X-Name-First: Carlotta Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrara Author-Name: Kostas Rontos Author-X-Name-First: Kostas Author-X-Name-Last: Rontos Author-Name: Ilaria Zambon Author-X-Name-First: Ilaria Author-X-Name-Last: Zambon Author-Name: Luca Salvati Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Salvati Title: The long breadth of cities: revisiting worldwide urbanization patterns, 1950–2030 Abstract: A comparative analysis of population dynamics worldwide contributes to profile distinctive demographic and economic trajectories of urban growth, discriminating processes of settlement concentration or dispersion under sequential cycles of urbanization. However, a wide-ranging characterization of urban cycles based on demographic dynamics worldwide is still missing. The present work is aimed at filling such a gap analysing long-term changes (1950–2030) in annual population growth rate of 1691 urban agglomerations with more than 300,000 inhabitants in 74 world countries. Results of this study indicate that metropolitan growth worldwide was associated with largely variable rates of population growth, highly positive before 2000 and progressively reducing over recent decades. Despite important differences at continental (and country) scale, demographic expansion of urban agglomerations showed two contrasting phases with a break point in the 1980s denoting a progressive reduction in spatial heterogeneity of population growth rates and a moderate slowdown in demographic dynamics. Intensity of urban expansion and spatial heterogeneity in population growth rates across metropolitan agglomerations evidences a trade-off between fast and slow demographic dynamics. These findings can be better understood to support theories of sequential city growth, making a suitable contribution to policy making, especially in countries where urban population is expanding more rapidly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4162-4174 Issue: 38 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1731410 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1731410 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:38:p:4162-4174 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eric Strobl Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Strobl Author-Name: Bazoumana Ouattara Author-X-Name-First: Bazoumana Author-X-Name-Last: Ouattara Author-Name: Sandrine Akassi Kablan Author-X-Name-First: Sandrine Akassi Author-X-Name-Last: Kablan Title: Impact of hurricanes strikes on international reserves in the Caribbean Abstract: In this study, we investigate the impacts of hurricane shocks on the international reserves of Caribbean countries. To this end, we use a panel VARX (Vector Auto-Regressive, with exogenous variables) with monthly data that allow us to account for external shocks (hurricane strikes). Our results show that for the whole sample, an increase in foreign reserves a month after the strike was followed by a decrease 2 months later. The increase can be explained by remittances and emergency foreign aid granted by the International Monetary Fund. Dividing the sample into middle-income and high-income countries shows that the increase is mainly due to the latter. This outcome may not be surprising given that production in Caribbean high-income countries is mainly due to manufacturing, off-shore banking and natural resources exploitation, which are all non-weather dependent sectors, while the middle-income countries are mostly dependent on weather-prone agriculture and tourism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4175-4185 Issue: 38 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1731411 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1731411 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:38:p:4175-4185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhenxi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zhenxi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Cuntong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Cuntong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Speculative trading in Chinese housing market: a panel regression method Abstract: The major Chinese cities experienced dramatic increases in their house prices in the recent years. This paper derives the fundamental value of the housing markets based on the personal disposable income of individual cities. By controlling macroeconomic variables and government intervention, we detect speculative trading based on fundamental value and historical price movements. Fundamentalists expect house prices to converge to the fundamental values while chartists hold a momentum trading expectation. Further differentiating the cities into tier-1 and non-tier-1, the non-tier-1 cities are found to be subject to a risk of plummeting arising from the interaction terms between the fundamentalists and chartists. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4186-4195 Issue: 38 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1733473 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1733473 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:38:p:4186-4195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tien-Muoi Le Author-X-Name-First: Tien-Muoi Author-X-Name-Last: Le Author-Name: Chia-Nan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Han-Khanh Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Han-Khanh Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Using the optimization algorithm to evaluate and predict the business performance of logistics companies–a case study in Vietnam Abstract: In the current market economy, it is important to evaluate and forecast the situation and business performance of enterprises to provide the necessary information for managers to plan for future use of resources. This study aims to evaluate and predict the business performance of logistics companies in Vietnam. The authors use the optimal algorithm in the data envelopment analysis (DEA) to evaluate the business efficiency of the companies in the years 2014–2017. In addition, the authors use Grey system theory to forecast business results and their future use during the period of 2018–2021. The research shows that Gemadept Corporation and Sea & Air Freight International use the their business resources effectively and as expected, and that these companies will continue to thrive in the future. This study provides a method to measure, evaluate, and forecast the business performance of the logistics companies. Managers and the government can rely on this approach for implementation and overall planning of logistics enterprises in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4196-4212 Issue: 38 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1733474 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1733474 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:38:p:4196-4212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Angela Stefania Bergantino Author-X-Name-First: Angela Stefania Author-X-Name-Last: Bergantino Author-Name: Giuseppe Di Liddo Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Di Liddo Author-Name: Francesco Porcelli Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Porcelli Title: Regression-based measure of urban sprawl for Italian municipalities using DMSP-OLS night-time light images and economic data Abstract: Night-time light can be used in order to evaluate the degree of urbanization and urban sprawl in a specific territory. In fact, at the local level, the lower the urban density, the higher the per-capita length of collector roads and the area covered by buildings and infrastructures. It follows that the lower the urban density, the higher the municipal luminosity. Urban sprawl is determinant in defining the mobility condition in a specific territory and the service and infrastructure needs. This paper uses regression analyses in order to estimate a ‘relative’ measure of urban sprawl that takes into account also demographic and economic characteristics. We apply this technique to a panel of Italian municipalities over the period 2004–2012 and compare the resulting measure to the ‘absolute’ measures provided by the Italian Institute for Environmental Protection and Research in order to evaluate the contribution of our measure to the knowledge of the sprawl phenomenon. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4213-4222 Issue: 38 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1733475 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1733475 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:38:p:4213-4222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang Song Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Wolfram Elsner Author-X-Name-First: Wolfram Author-X-Name-Last: Elsner Author-Name: Zhiyuan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhiyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Ron Berger Author-X-Name-First: Ron Author-X-Name-Last: Berger Title: Collaborative innovation and policy support: the emergence of trilateral networks Abstract: The present article models the critical factors for a successful and evolutionarily stable National System of Innovation. We simulate a model, against the background of increasingly complex technologies, in a national process of agents’ interactions with social-dilemma characteristics. In particular, the articleinvestigates the emergence of a trilateral collaborative innovation alliance among ‘enterprise’, ‘university’ and ‘government’. We apply a tripartite evolutionary game with a replication process and explore the role and options of the public policy agent to support collaboration on innovation. We find that some policy mix, in particular, a combination of (1) public rewards for cooperation, (2) public punishment for non-cooperation and (3) settings of public cost controls and tax income from innovation, can promote broad and sustainable innovation alliances. For instance, threats of strong punishment, even with low public rewards for cooperation, may promote the formation of a collaborative innovation alliance. We run some sensitivity analyses of the results through parametric variation of two critical factors of the model, knowledge spillover and output elasticity of knowledge input. We find some qualifications for the velocity of the process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3651-3668 Issue: 34 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1708254 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1708254 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:34:p:3651-3668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodrigo Alejandro Romo-Muñoz Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Romo-Muñoz Author-Name: Rodrigo Monje-Sanhueza Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Monje-Sanhueza Author-Name: Héctor Garrido-Henríquez Author-X-Name-First: Héctor Author-X-Name-Last: Garrido-Henríquez Author-Name: José M Gil Author-X-Name-First: José M Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Title: Key market values for bottled wine in an emerging market: product attributes or business strategy? Abstract: This article focuses on the emerging bottled Chilean red wine market and studies the main determinants of the consumer price of wine sold on the domestic market. A hedonic price function was estimated for a sample of 810 wines using a quantile regression (QR) model. The database contains three variable groups to explain price: objective variables (national, international and vine quality designations), subjective variables (wine score) and business strategies used by wine producers. Results show that some objective variables have a greater impact on price than the wine score (a subjective variable) and business strategies, which vary for each quartile of prices analysed. Finally, this information will allow companies to design and implement marketing strategies to inform the consumer about the importance of some variables in the price of their product. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3669-3679 Issue: 34 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1717428 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1717428 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:34:p:3669-3679 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuqin Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yuqin Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Haoran Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Haoran Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Does individual investors’ attention influence underwriters’ IPO pricing? Abstract: Using a unique Chinese IPO bidding dataset and a particular social media dataset, we examine the impact of individual investors’ attention on underwriters’ offer price adjustment, offer price revision, IPO initial returns, and long-term performance. We find that when a company receives more attention from individual investors before the underwriter finalizes the offer price, the underwriter will adjust the offer price higher. Moreover, we find that the IPO initial returns are significantly positively related to individual investors’ attention. These findings suggest that individual investors will influence underwriters’ pricing behaviour from a new perspective, – –investors’ attention. Finally, we do not find a significant relationship between individual investors’ attention and IPO long-run performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3680-3687 Issue: 34 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1720904 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1720904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:34:p:3680-3687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sungmun Choi Author-X-Name-First: Sungmun Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Do interest groups reward politicians for their votes in the legislature? Evidence from the great recession Abstract: Interest groups lobby politicians in various ways to influence their policy decisions, especially, their voting decisions in the legislature. Most, if not all, of the studies on this issue examine ”pre-vote” lobbying activities of interest groups that occur before politicians vote in the legislature. In this paper, however, I examine ”post-vote” lobbying activities of interest groups that occur after politicians vote in the legislature. By using data on the amount of monetary contributions given by interest groups to the members of the U.S. House of Representatives who have served in the 109th (2005–06) through 111th (2009–10) Congress, I find evidence that voting in favour of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act (EESA) of 2008, one of the most significant pieces of legislation and possibly the biggest government bailout in U.S. economic history, has increased the amount of monetary contributions that politicians receive from the interest groups in the financial sector after the passage of the EESA. I also discuss two reasons for such post-vote lobbying and find empirical evidence for one of them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3688-3699 Issue: 34 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1720905 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1720905 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:34:p:3688-3699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Duncan Grimson Author-X-Name-First: Duncan Author-X-Name-Last: Grimson Author-Name: Stephen Knowles Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Knowles Author-Name: Philip Stahlmann-Brown Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Stahlmann-Brown Title: How close to home does charity begin? Abstract: This paper uses a field experiment to analyse the extent to which people are more inclined to support a charity focused on people or causes in their own region, compared to regions in other parts of the country. New Zealand landowners were incentivized to take part in an online survey by being told they could choose a charity from a list of four that would receive a $10 donation if they completed the survey. Importantly, the charities are based in different regions of the country. We find evidence of a significant declining radius of altruism: not only do people prefer to support charities in their own area, the further away a charity is located, the less likely people are to support it. These findings highlight the importance of geographic distance (independent of social distance) in charitable giving. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3700-3708 Issue: 34 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1720906 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1720906 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:34:p:3700-3708 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hui Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Caiyun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Caiyun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Economic policy uncertainty, CEO characteristics and firm R&D expenditure: a Bayesian analysis Abstract: This paper applies a linear Bayesian regression model to study the effects of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and Chief Executive Officer (CEO) characteristics on firm Research and Development (R&D) expenditure. We specifically analysed data from 1,163 Chinese companies listed as A-shares from 2008–2016. EPU is believed to curtail firm investments as it causes unexpected market conditions. Yet, our findings obtained with Bayesian analysis show a positive relationship between EPU and firm R&D expenditure. Specifically, we found that some CEO attributes (e.g., age, tenure and marketing/sales experience) led to a negative relationship between EPU and firm R&D expenditure, whereas other attributes (e.g., education, overseas study/work experience, product R&D experience, and process engineering experience) lead to a positive relationship. Our findings provide nuanced insights into how different CEO characteristics influence firms’ R&D expenditure in a context of uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3709-3731 Issue: 34 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1721422 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1721422 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:34:p:3709-3731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christoph Behrens Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Behrens Title: Evaluating the joint efficiency of German trade forecasts - a nonparametric multivariate approach Abstract: I analyse the joint efficiency of export and import forecasts by leading economic research institutes for the years 1970 to 2017 for Germany in a multivariate setting. To this end, I compute, in a first step, multivariate random forests in order to model links between forecast errors and a forecaster’s information set, consisting of several trade and other macroeconomic predictor variables. I use the Mahalanobis distance as performance criterion and, in a second step, permutation tests to check whether the Mahalanobis distance between the predicted forecast errors for the trade forecasts and actual forecast errors is significantly smaller than under the null hypothesis of forecast efficiency. I find evidence for joint forecast inefficiency for two forecasters, however, for one forecaster I cannot reject joint forecast efficiency. For the other forecasters, joint forecast efficiency depends on the examined forecast horizon. I find evidence that real macroeconomic variables as opposed to trade variables are inefficiently included in the analysed trade forecasts. Finally, I compile a joint efficiency ranking of the forecasters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3732-3747 Issue: 34 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1721423 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1721423 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:34:p:3732-3747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Richard O. Olayeni Author-X-Name-First: Richard O. Author-X-Name-Last: Olayeni Author-Name: Yu-Cheng Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yu-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: The hydroelectricity consumption and economic growth in Asian countries - evidence using an asymmetric cointegration approach Abstract: This study examines the four commonly tested hypotheses in hydroelectricity consumption – economic growth literature for 12 Asian countries. Our results from a recently developed hidden cointegration technique uncover rich and significant relationships between negative and positive components of the variables under consideration. In particular, we find evidence to support the neutrality hypothesis in five countries (Bangladesh, Indonesia, Pakistan, Philippines, and Thailand), the growth hypothesis in four countries (India, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan), and both growth and conservation hypotheses in three countries (China, Malaysia, and New Zealand). These findings suggest that appropriate economic policies should be elaborated on the basis of the country’s specific hydroelectricity consumption–growth nexus. Finally, our new evidence suggests that the lack of stable relationship between hydroelectricity consumption and economic growth documented in previous studies for some of these countries could be due to the failure to properly account for the nonlinearity property in the data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3999-4017 Issue: 37 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1730755 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1730755 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:37:p:3999-4017 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rafik Abdesselam Author-X-Name-First: Rafik Author-X-Name-Last: Abdesselam Author-Name: Jean Bonnet Author-X-Name-First: Jean Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnet Author-Name: Patricia Renou-Maissant Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Renou-Maissant Title: What are the drivers of business demography and employment in the countries of the European Union? Abstract: The aim of this contribution is to establish a typology of European entrepreneurship countries with respect to variables related to entrepreneurial activity and economic development. Using a combination of multidimensional data analyses allows us to extend the concept of ‘entrepreneurial regimes’ and leads to the distinction of five such entrepreneurial regimes. Moreover, in order to better characterize these classes, a wide set of illustrative variables representative of national economic development, labour market functioning, and formal and informal institutional environments, as well as variables specific to the entrepreneurial population, are considered. Finally, discriminant analyses show that the five explanatory themes considered (Innovation, Employment, Formal Institutions, Entrepreneurship and Governance) differentiate the classes, and significantly explain the diversity of entrepreneurial regimes. These findings have important implications for the implementation of public policy, in order to promote entrepreneurial activity and reduce unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4018-4043 Issue: 37 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1730756 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1730756 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:37:p:4018-4043 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Guoqiang Li Author-X-Name-First: Guoqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xinhua Gu Author-X-Name-First: Xinhua Author-X-Name-Last: Gu Author-Name: Chunyu Lei Author-X-Name-First: Chunyu Author-X-Name-Last: Lei Title: Does the inequality-credit-crisis nexus exist? An empirical re-examination Abstract: Rajan claims that rising inequality led to financial crises through credit booms in the U.S. Kumhof and Ranciere provide a theoretical formulation for this hypothesis. However, their assertions are not supported by cross-country evidence found in the work of Bordo and Meissner. A few subsequent empirical studies, albeit inspired by this pioneering work, find new evidence not in line with its conclusion but with the Rajan hypothesis. To clarify this controversial issue, we base our study on the B-M framework, resort to different estimators, and employ more model specifications by incorporating the role of deindustrialization. We find strong evidence for the inequality-credit-crisis nexus as modelled by Kumhof et al. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4044-4057 Issue: 37 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1730757 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1730757 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:37:p:4044-4057 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Claudia Sant’Anna Author-X-Name-First: Ana Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Sant’Anna Author-Name: Ani L. Katchova Author-X-Name-First: Ani L. Author-X-Name-Last: Katchova Title: Determinants of land value volatility in the U.S. Corn Belt Abstract: Understanding land value volatility and its reaction to exogenous shocks helps land owners, investors, and lenders assess risk. Land value volatility, the variance of the unpredictable component of land value growth rates, is modelled for each of the Corn Belt states in the U.S. using EGARCH. A pooled VAR system is then estimated to capture the interactions between land value determinants and land value volatility. The variables of the pooled VAR are split into negative and positive vectors to allow for asymmetric impacts. Impulse response functions are mapped. All states exhibit land value volatility clustering. Inflation, cash rent and population growth rates granger cause land value volatility. Land value volatility responses to negative shocks are greater than those to positive shocks. Lenders and investors should expect greater swings in land values after negative shocks to land value growth rates, but not an overreaction of land values from shocks to cash rent growth rates. Positive shocks to changes in interest rates increases land value volatility, but unexpected shocks to population growth rates do not have statistically significant impact on land value volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4058-4072 Issue: 37 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1730760 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1730760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:37:p:4058-4072 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc Valentin Lenz Author-X-Name-First: Marc Valentin Author-X-Name-Last: Lenz Author-Name: Sascha L. Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Sascha L. Author-X-Name-Last: Schmidt Author-Name: Dominik Schreyer Author-X-Name-First: Dominik Author-X-Name-Last: Schreyer Title: The impact of personality traits on talents’ performance throughout development phases: empirical evidence from professional football Abstract: This paper addresses a critical gap in talent management research, i.e. the question of what determines high performance, by highlighting the importance of personality traits for the performance of talents who are trained within the strong situation of a pivotal talent pool – – the talent pool, of a German Bundesliga club. The findings illustrate the ubiquitous high level of certain personality traits among pivotal talents, their limited variance inter talent development phases as well as their significant impact on talent performance. As a complement to talents’ job-specific skill level, the personality facet of self-confidence is a consistent driver of overall performance, with resilience and job-specific creativity being essential in order to perform above peer-group level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4073-4091 Issue: 37 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1730761 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1730761 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:37:p:4073-4091 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edward I. Altman Author-X-Name-First: Edward I. Author-X-Name-Last: Altman Author-Name: Małgorzata Iwanicz-Drozdowska Author-X-Name-First: Małgorzata Author-X-Name-Last: Iwanicz-Drozdowska Author-Name: Erkki K. Laitinen Author-X-Name-First: Erkki K. Author-X-Name-Last: Laitinen Author-Name: Arto Suvas Author-X-Name-First: Arto Author-X-Name-Last: Suvas Title: A Race for Long Horizon Bankruptcy Prediction Abstract: This study compares the accuracy and efficiency of five different estimation methods for predicting financial distress of small and medium-sized enterprises. We apply different methods for a large set of financial and non-financial variables, using filter and wrapper selection, to predict bankruptcy up to 10 years before the event in an open, European economy. Our findings show that logistic regression and neural networks are superior to other approaches. We document how the cost-return ratio considerably affects the location of optimal cut-off points and attainable profit in credit decisions. Once a loan provider selects a particular prediction model, an effort should be made to find the optimal cut-off score to maximize the efficiency of the technique. Indeed, this often involves determining several cut-off levels where the portfolio of products and services exhibits different cost-return characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4092-4111 Issue: 37 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1730762 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1730762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:37:p:4092-4111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hung Quang Do Author-X-Name-First: Hung Quang Author-X-Name-Last: Do Author-Name: M. Ishaq Bhatti Author-X-Name-First: M. Ishaq Author-X-Name-Last: Bhatti Author-Name: Muhammad Shahbaz Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Shahbaz Title: Is ‘oil and gas’ industry of ASEAN5 countries integrated with the US counterpart? Abstract: This paper employs the VARMA-MGARCH-ABEKK model and Granger causality on 15 years’ daily time series data to examine investment opportunities in the oil and gas industries for ASEAN5 countries relative to the US counterpart. It shows that the latter leads the former in decomposing integration into cross-country effects on returns and conditional return volatilities. The empirical results show that investors can gain an international intra-industry diversification benefit in Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Vietnam by holding US oil and gas assets in their portfolios whereas Asian oil and gas assets may result in negative shocks due to the increase in return volatilities for Malaysia, Singapore and Vietnam. However, Thailand are insensitive to the cross-country intra-industry diversification. While making trading decisions, investors should be aware of the impulse responses of ASEAN oil and gas markets from the shocks in the US and the Asian markets and their asymmetric spill over effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4112-4134 Issue: 37 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1731408 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1731408 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:37:p:4112-4134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Tiago Sequeira Author-X-Name-First: Tiago Author-X-Name-Last: Sequeira Title: Tradable and nontradable directed technical change Abstract: We wish to reconcile the major trends in wages and the terms of trade using a directed technical change approach in which: (i) tradable and nontradable goods can be substitutes or complements; and (ii) scale effects can be present or can be partially or totally removed. With a lower skilled labour ratio and a higher relative wage in the tradable sector, the price (real exchange rate or terms of trade) mechanism is crucial in determining sectoral productivity differences and thus wage inequality. Along the balanced growth path, the real exchange rate can be negatively related with the relative productivities in horizontal innovation (the Balassa-Samuelson effect) and with the relative labour level, depending on scale effects. The wage premium increases due to an increase in the relative labour level in the nontradable sector under substitutability with scale effects or under complementarity without scale effects. A calibrated version of the model indicates that the model closely replicates the data for Germany. Moreover, while the Balassa-Samuelson effect is quantified, an increase in the relative supply of labour in the tradable sector decreases both terms of trade and inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3874-3897 Issue: 36 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1725233 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1725233 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:36:p:3874-3897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yassine Bakkar Author-X-Name-First: Yassine Author-X-Name-Last: Bakkar Author-Name: Clovis Rugemintwari Author-X-Name-First: Clovis Author-X-Name-Last: Rugemintwari Author-Name: Amine Tarazi Author-X-Name-First: Amine Author-X-Name-Last: Tarazi Title: Charter value, risk-taking and systemic risk in banking before and after the global financial crisis of 2007-2008 Abstract: We investigate how bank charter value affects risk for a sample of OECD banks by using standalone and systemic risk measures before, during, and after the global financial crisis of 2007–2008. Prior to the crisis, bank charter value is positively associated with risk-taking and systemic risk for very large ‘too-big-too-fail’ banks and large U.S. and European banks but such a relationship is inverted during and after the crisis. A deeper investigation shows that such a behaviour before the crisis is mostly relevant for very large banks and large banks with high growth strategies. Banks’ business models also influence this relationship. We find that for banks following a focus strategy, higher charter value amplifies both standalone and systemic risk for large U.S. and European banks. Our findings have important policy implications and cast doubts on the relevance of the uniform more stringent capital requirements introduced by Basel III. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3898-3918 Issue: 36 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1725234 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1725234 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:36:p:3898-3918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert A. Buckle Author-X-Name-First: Robert A. Author-X-Name-Last: Buckle Author-Name: John Creedy Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Creedy Author-Name: Norman Gemmell Author-X-Name-First: Norman Author-X-Name-Last: Gemmell Title: Is external research assessment associated with convergence or divergence of research quality across universities and disciplines? Evidence from the PBRF process in New Zealand Abstract: Performance-based research evaluations have been adopted in several countries both to measure research quality in higher education institutions and as a basis for the allocation of funding across institutions. Much attention has been given to evaluating whether such schemes have increased the quality and quantity of research. This paper examines whether the introduction of the New Zealand Performance-Based Research Fund process produced convergence or divergence in measured research quality across universities and disciplines between the 2003 and 2012 assessments. Two convergence measures are obtained. One, referred to as β-convergence, relates to the relationship between changes in average quality and the initial quality level. The second concept, referred to as σ-convergence, relates to the changes in the dispersion in average research quality over time. Average quality scores by discipline and university were obtained from individual researcher data, revealing substantial β- and σ-convergence in research quality over the period. The hypothesis of uniform rates of convergence across almost all universities and disciplines is supported. The results provide insights into the incentives created by performance-based funding schemes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3919-3932 Issue: 36 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1725235 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1725235 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:36:p:3919-3932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shoude Li Author-X-Name-First: Shoude Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Susu Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Susu Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Dongdong Li Author-X-Name-First: Dongdong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Dynamic control of a monopolist’s product and process innovation with reference quality Abstract: Our main purpose is to investigate the dynamic control problem of a monopolist’s product and process innovation under reference quality. The main features of this article are: (i) a monopolist dealing with customer behaviour in the spirit of the principle of behaviour economics determines the product price, and carries out the activities of product and process innovation; (ii) the consumers’ demand depends on price, product quality and reference quality, and adopts an additive separable demand function form. Our main results show that under the cases of the monopolist optimum and the social planner optimum, (i) there exists an unique stable, which is a saddle-point steady-state equilibrium; (ii) the change rates of the monopolist’s investments in product and process innovation are increasing with the reference quality, while the monopolist’s steady-state investments in product and process innovation are decreasing with the reference quality; (iii) as the memory parameter increases with other parameters kept constant, it is very likely that the monopolist’s investment in process innovation be greater than the investment in product innovation; and (iv) the social incentive towards both investments in product and process innovation is always larger than the private incentive characterizing the profit-seeking monopolist. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3933-3950 Issue: 36 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1725418 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1725418 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:36:p:3933-3950 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Subhasree Basu Roy Author-X-Name-First: Subhasree Author-X-Name-Last: Basu Roy Author-Name: Reed Neil Olsen Author-X-Name-First: Reed Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Olsen Author-Name: Huikuan Tseng Author-X-Name-First: Huikuan Author-X-Name-Last: Tseng Title: Do Hispanic immigrants spend less on medical care? Implications of the Hispanic health paradox Abstract: The literature of the Hispanic heath paradox has found that in the U.S. Hispanic immigrants have better health than U.S. natives, even though they tend to have lower socioeconomic status. The main objective of the current study is to investigate whether Hispanic immigrants also use less medical care goods and services. Main contributions of the article include using a data set of older Americans from the Health and Retirement Study covering the period from 1992 to 2012 as well as using three new measures of health, rather than the more common use of morbidity or mortality. We estimate the impact of relevant factors including health, race, and immigrant status upon five different measures of healthcare usage. Even though Hispanic immigrants do have lower mean levels of most measures of healthcare usage, when controlling for other factors in our regressions we find some evidence of increased healthcare usage for Hispanic immigrants. Increased health care utilization may be one explanation for the Hispanic health paradox. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3951-3964 Issue: 36 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1726863 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1726863 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:36:p:3951-3964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayhab F. Saad Author-X-Name-First: Ayhab F. Author-X-Name-Last: Saad Title: The exceptional performance of exporters and labour market outcomes: evidence from Egyptian firms Abstract: This paper examines the manufacturing export market in Egypt after the Arab Spring using a novel firm-level census dataset from 2013. Export is very rare in Egypt. The conventional export premia are very high, except for total factor productivity. Exporters have stark effects on labour market outcomes, including wages, employment, demand for skilled and female workers, wage inequality, and job security. These findings have two important implications: (1) Manufacturing exports might be monopolized by large firms, and (2) promoting exports could improve labour market outcomes, especially for skilled and female workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3965-3975 Issue: 36 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1726865 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1726865 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:36:p:3965-3975 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shabbir Ahmad Author-X-Name-First: Shabbir Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad Title: Estimating input-mix efficiency in a parametric framework: application to state-level agricultural data for the United States Abstract: This paper contributes to the productivity literature by demonstrating novel econometric methods to estimate input-mix efficiency (IME) in a parametric framework. Input-mix efficiency is defined as the potential improvement in productivity with change in input mix. Any change in input-mix (e.g., land to labou r ratio) will result in change in productivity. The advantage of this approach is that it does not require data on input prices to estimate the mix efficiency levels. A nonlinear input-aggregator function (e.g., Constant Elasticity of Substitution) is used to derive an expression for input-mix efficiency. Bayesian stochastic frontier is estimated for obtaining mix efficiency using US state-level agricultural data for the period 1960–2004. Significant variation in input-mix efficiency is noted across the states and regions, attributable to diverse topographic and geographic conditions. Furthermore, comparisons of allocative and mix efficiencies provide insightful policy implications. The production incentives such as taxes and subsidies could help farmers in adjusting their input mix in response to changes in input prices, which can affect the US agricultural productivity significantly. The proposed methodology can be extended by i) using flexible functional forms; ii) introducing various time- and region-varying input aggregators; and iii) defining more sophisticated weights for input aggregators. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3976-3997 Issue: 36 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1726866 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1726866 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:36:p:3976-3997 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qian Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Qian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Shuwen Yang Author-X-Name-First: Shuwen Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Qingcheng Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Qingcheng Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Author-Name: Ting Yu Author-X-Name-First: Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Storage pricing model of container yards under fluctuating demand Abstract: This paper discusses three types of relationship modes between a container terminal yard and a remote container yard. Considering the variability of demand, a corresponding storage pricing model based on game theory for inbound containers is developed to describe customer behaviour and pricing strategies of yards. The results of theoretical derivation and numerical study indicate that both sides will profit more in the cooperative mode, and the operational efficiency of terminals will be improved. The revenue-sharing contract designed in this paper leads to supply chain coordination. Perfect win-win coordination can be realized when the contract parameters meet specific conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4223-4235 Issue: 39 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1733476 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1733476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:39:p:4223-4235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jessica Ying Chan Author-X-Name-First: Jessica Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: Jonathan A. Cook Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Cook Title: Inferring Zambia’s HIV prevalence from a selected sample Abstract: This paper estimates HIV prevalence in Zambia from survey data that are subject to sample selection: some surveyed individuals do not consent to take an HIV test. We introduce semiparametric estimators that incorporate recent developments in machine learning. The semiparametric estimators perform well in Monte Carlo experiments and obtain narrower confidence intervals than a fully parametric estimator when the model is misspecified. Our semiparametric estimates of the HIV rate are roughly equal to the rate in the selected sample. In contrast, recent parametric estimates find a higher rate – implying that some form of sample-selection correction is warranted. Further, parametric estimates find a 14% decline in Zambia’s HIV prevalence from 2007 to 2014, whereas semiparametric estimates find that the HIV rate was relatively stable over this time period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4236-4249 Issue: 39 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1733477 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1733477 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:39:p:4236-4249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gazi Salah Uddin Author-X-Name-First: Gazi Salah Author-X-Name-Last: Uddin Author-Name: Jose Arreola Hernandez Author-X-Name-First: Jose Arreola Author-X-Name-Last: Hernandez Author-Name: Anupam Dutta Author-X-Name-First: Anupam Author-X-Name-Last: Dutta Author-Name: Sang Hoon Kang Author-X-Name-First: Sang Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Seong-Min Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Impact of food price volatility on the US restaurant sector Abstract: Although fluctuations in agricultural commodity prices appear to be a source of risk to the US restaurant sector, the effect that volatility of food price has on the performance (returns) of that sector receives little or no attention in the relevant literature. We fill this gap by modelling the price and returns of corn and wheat and the volatilities of the US restaurant equity sector through a GARCH-jump intensity model. We find evidence indicating that the US restaurant sector is sensitive to food volatility shocks. Food price volatility negatively impacts US restaurant sector equity returns, implying that increases in food price volatility undermine restaurant sector performance. Also, food price volatility is observed to influence the restaurant sector symmetrically, indicating that changes in food volatility (increases and decreases) have homogeneous effects on the US restaurant sector performance. Implications of the results are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4250-4262 Issue: 39 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1733478 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1733478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:39:p:4250-4262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Livio Di Matteo Author-X-Name-First: Livio Author-X-Name-Last: Di Matteo Author-Name: Fraser Summerfield Author-X-Name-First: Fraser Author-X-Name-Last: Summerfield Title: The shifting Scully curve: international evidence from 1871 to 2016 Abstract: Scully curves estimating growth-maximizing public-sector size are constructed using panel data covering 17 industrialized nations from 1870–2016. Results suggest that government expenditure-to-GDP ratios between 24% and 32% were historically growth maximizing. Instrumental variable estimates support the quadratic Scully curve relationship as causal over this period. We allow for a shifting Scully curve and find that the economic growth-maximizing size changed throughout history, from 11% pre-WWI to 21% post-WWII and 41% following the OPEC crisis. The Scully curve disappears after the mid-1990s suggesting a structural change in the relationship between central government expenditure and economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4263-4283 Issue: 39 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1733479 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1733479 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:39:p:4263-4283 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefano Marzioni Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Marzioni Author-Name: Alessandro Pandimiglio Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Pandimiglio Author-Name: Marco Spallone Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Spallone Title: Excise gap and price in the Italian cigarette industry Abstract: We provide evidence that tax shifts in the Italian cigarette industry are not homogeneous across price categories and are associated with differences in the excise structure. We take the gap between excise on lower and higher price categories as a proxy for unbalanced tax changes and, abstracting from strategic behaviour of manufacturers, we estimate the effect and the significance of a change in the excise gap, as long as in the tax level, on the market average price. We find that unbalanced tax increases are likely to negatively affect the average price towards the low end of the price category. As a result, the potential impact of taxation increase on price is reduced. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4284-4299 Issue: 39 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1733480 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1733480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:39:p:4284-4299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rong Li Author-X-Name-First: Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Sufang Li Author-X-Name-First: Sufang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Di Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Di Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Keming Yu Author-X-Name-First: Keming Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Does economic policy uncertainty in the U.S. influence stock markets in China and India? Time-frequency evidence Abstract: This paper uses continuous and discrete wavelet tools to evaluate the dynamic correlation and causality between the U.S. economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and stock markets in China and India from 1997 to 2018. The dynamic correlation in the time-frequency domain is obtained by continuous wavelet coherence, and the causality over time and frequencies is tested by the linear and non-linear Granger causality based on discrete wavelet transform. The results show that the interaction between EPU in the U.S. and stock returns in China and India is weak in the short term but gradually becomes stronger in the long term, especially when significant financial events occur. There is no Granger causality in the short term; however, there is unidirectional or bidirectional causality in the medium and long term. These conclusions may provide useful reference for policymakers and investors in Chinese and Indian stock markets to prevent cross-country risk contagion from the U.S. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4300-4316 Issue: 39 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1734182 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1734182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:39:p:4300-4316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Afonso Câmara Leme Author-X-Name-First: Afonso Author-X-Name-Last: Câmara Leme Author-Name: Josep-Oriol Escardíbul Author-X-Name-First: Josep-Oriol Author-X-Name-Last: Escardíbul Author-Name: Luis Catela Nunes Author-X-Name-First: Luis Catela Author-X-Name-Last: Nunes Author-Name: Ana Balcão Reis Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Balcão Reis Author-Name: Carmo Seabra Author-X-Name-First: Carmo Author-X-Name-Last: Seabra Title: The effect of a specialized versus a general upper-secondary school curriculum on students’ performance and inequality. A difference-in-differences cross-country analysis Abstract: Countries differ in their academic upper-secondary school systems whereby some require their students to choose a specialization track from a set of areas – typically natural sciences, economic sciences, or humanities – and follow that specialization for the course of their upper secondary education years whereas, by contrast, others follow a general curriculum in which students are not required to follow a single specialization and thus, may receive a more general education. Because countries follow only one system or the other, a cross-country analysis is required to estimate the possible effects on students’ achievement of these institutional differences. We measure achievement with the scores in reading and mathematics in international assessment programmes. An international difference-in-differences approach is chosen to account for country heterogeneity and unobserved factors influencing student outcomes, by using data from three different large-scale international student assessments. Results suggest that there is a negative effect from specialization tracking and that this may be greater for specific sub-groups of the student population – in particular, for students with a low socioeconomic status. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4317-4331 Issue: 39 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1734183 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1734183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:39:p:4317-4331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Botta Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Botta Title: Financial crises, debt overhang, and firm growth in transition economies Abstract: We examine the effects of the global financial crisis of 2008 and the European debt crisis of 2011 on the relationship between capital structure, investments, and performance for Eastern European companies. While the existing literature documents how firms’ investments are sensitive to the availability of internal funds and to debt holdings, we further investigate whether this investment sensitivity also translates in different levels of performance, and document that capital structure indeed has both a direct and an indirect effect, mediated by the capital expenditure channel. We show that firms with higher financial flexibility experience higher investments and returns on capital. Over-levered firms instead suffer from a debt overhang condition, forcing them to curb investments, and consequently experiencing lower performance. Overall, we provide evidence on the importance of capital structure and financial flexibility on investments and performance, showing the real consequences of the debt overhang condition on firm value creation. Firms should therefore aim at maintaining adequate financial flexibility in order to be able to pursue future profitable investment opportunities, and avoid the under-investment problem arising from a debt overhang situation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4333-4350 Issue: 40 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1734184 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1734184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:40:p:4333-4350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zuohui Zuo Author-X-Name-First: Zuohui Author-X-Name-Last: Zuo Author-Name: Yan Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Rotating group representatives and group members’ requests in repeated public goods game Abstract: This study investigated the effect of group representatives on contribution behaviour in response to group members’ requests in repeated public goods games. Data came from 135 students in 15 groups enrolled in the experiment, grouped in the following treatments: no group representatives (NR, NRG) and group representatives (R1, R2). We also tested initial requests wherein the group members’ initial requests (i.e. NRG, R2) mediated the positive relationship between individual-level contribution preferences and group contributions. We used a fixed-effects GLS regression and IV regression to analyse the effect of group representatives and group members’ requests. The results indicated the following: (a) rotating group representative/group members’ requests was related to group contributions at the session (within-members) and group (between-group) levels; (b) the reactions to members’ requests positively predicted group contributions; (c) subjects in the no group representatives treatment formed their requests by relying more on previous group contributions than subjects in the group representatives treatment, who relied more on the previous group members’ requests; and (d) the initial requests explained long-term contribution levels, which resulted in variations in group contributions observed between the NRG and R2 treatments. Our findings highlight the role of rotating group representatives in stimulating cooperation among members, while group members’ requests impel individuals to make contribution decisions at the group level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4351-4365 Issue: 40 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1735616 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1735616 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:40:p:4351-4365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ying Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Dongqi Yao Author-X-Name-First: Dongqi Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Chunguang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Chunguang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Bank loan versus financial lease: how do traditional and innovative approaches within the banking sector influence economic growth? A comparative analysis between the US and China Abstract: The argument over the effects of financial structures on economic growth remains unsettled. This study, therefore, compares the dynamic correlation and lead–lag relationship between the different financial approaches within the banking sector (that is, traditional bank loans versus innovative financial leasing) and economic growth. We employ a continuous wavelet analysis using time-series data from 1982–2017 from the US (the world’s largest developed country) and China (the world’s largest developing country). The empirical results show that (1) episodes of significant correlation usually emerge during periods of reform, crisis or policy implementation; and (2) in China, traditional banking promotes economic growth in the long term, while the real economy only imputes the evolution of banks during critical economic reforms in the short term. Meanwhile, financial leasing could only promote the development of the real economy under suitable regulation; and (3) in the US, before the crises, the irrational growth of the real economy could increase bank assets, while during the crises, the traditional banking approach harms economic growth, and after the crises, financial leases play an important role in recovery. Therefore, we suggest that policymakers should establish adequate policies and regulations to solve the situation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4366-4383 Issue: 40 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1735617 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1735617 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:40:p:4366-4383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivan Indriawan Author-X-Name-First: Ivan Author-X-Name-Last: Indriawan Author-Name: Donald Lien Author-X-Name-First: Donald Author-X-Name-Last: Lien Author-Name: Tai-Yong Roh Author-X-Name-First: Tai-Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Roh Author-Name: Yahua Xu Author-X-Name-First: Yahua Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Bad volatility is not always bad: evidence from the commodity markets Abstract: Using exchange-traded fund (ETF) options data, we examine the predictive power of variance risk premium on returns of four commodities: crude oil, natural gas, gold and silver. We also analyze the predictive power of upside and downside variance risk premiums using a decomposition model conditional on the direction of the underlying market movement. We find that both the undecomposed and decomposed variance risk premiums are able to predict commodity prices. The decomposed variance risk premiums, however, outperform the undecomposed premium. The importance of upside and downside variance risk premiums differs across markets, related to hedging demand. In energy markets, both upside and downside premiums have strong predictive power, while in precious metal markets, only the upside premium is predictive. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4384-4402 Issue: 40 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1735619 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1735619 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:40:p:4384-4402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karl-Friedrich Israel Author-X-Name-First: Karl-Friedrich Author-X-Name-Last: Israel Author-Name: Sophia Latsos Author-X-Name-First: Sophia Author-X-Name-Last: Latsos Title: The impact of (un)conventional expansionary monetary policy on income inequality – lessons from Japan Abstract: This paper analyzes the impact of conventional and unconventional monetary policy on income inequality in Japan, using hitherto unexplored data from the Japan Household Panel Survey. Empirical evidence shows that expansionary monetary policy in Japan has contributed to diminishing the gender pay gap through an increase in working time of women relative to men, but also to increasing the education pay gap. These effects may have materialized via the aggregate demand channel and the labour productivity channel. In contrast, expansionary monetary policy has had no significant impact on the development of the age pay gap. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4403-4420 Issue: 40 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1735620 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1735620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:40:p:4403-4420 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth W. Clements Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth W. Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: Yihui Lan Author-X-Name-First: Yihui Author-X-Name-Last: Lan Author-Name: Haiyan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Haiyan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Understanding alcohol consumption across countries Abstract: With unpublished data from the International Comparison Program that cover the consumption of three alcoholic beverages in over 150 countries, we analyse drinking patterns around the world with an index-number approach, by estimating a demand system, and by studying the interaction among beverages in generating utility. We consider a separate demand system for each income quartile and find that tastes are not too different across quartiles. Broadly speaking, the results are robust to rolling sub-samples of countries, an alternative demand model and sample selectivity issues. The differences in the cost of alcohol across countries are also investigated, as is its role in affecting the degree of price-sensitivity of consumption. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4421-4439 Issue: 40 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1735621 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1735621 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:40:p:4421-4439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matthias Firgo Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Firgo Author-Name: Klaus Nowotny Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Nowotny Author-Name: Alexander Braun Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Braun Title: Informal, formal, or both? Assessing the drivers of home care utilization in Austria using a simultaneous decision framework Abstract: Understanding the relationship between different modes of home care for the elderly and the determinants of mode choice is fundamental for an efficient care policy in ageing societies. However, empirical research on this issue has revealed that policy conclusions will depend on both national and methodological factors. Using data for Austria from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe, the purpose of the present paper is twofold: First, at least to our knowledge, it is the first comprehensive assessment of this kind for Austria. Second, it adds to the literature explicitly focusing on the combined use of informal and formal care in addition to the exclusive use of these services based on an econometric framework accounting for the simultaneity and interdependence between these modes. Our results provide strong evidence for a task-specific and complementary relation of formal and informal home care in Austria, with the health status and functional limitations as the main determinants of home care choice. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4440-4456 Issue: 40 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1736500 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1736500 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:40:p:4440-4456 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sonia Antil Author-X-Name-First: Sonia Author-X-Name-Last: Antil Author-Name: Mukesh Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Mukesh Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Niranjan Swain Author-X-Name-First: Niranjan Author-X-Name-Last: Swain Title: Evaluating the efficiency of regional rural banks across the Indian states during different phases of structural development Abstract: The study aims to evaluate the efficiency of regional rural banks (RRBs) across 26 major states in India during different phases of structural development (merger & acquisitions) in the post-reform period of last 15 years spanning from 2001 to 2015. The technique of data envelopment analysis (DEA) is used to evaluate the efficiency of RRBs in each state during three sub-periods to observe the effect of mergers. In-depth analysis is conducted to test the robustness of efficiency scores and evaluate the potential improvement of defined inputs and outputs of inefficient states. The finding reveals wide variations in efficiency across the states in each sub-period. On an average, there is a remarkable improvement in technical efficiency (TE) over three sub-periods resulting through the gain in both pure efficiency (PE) as well as scale efficiency (SE) and thus providing evidence of the positive impact of mergers & acquisitions in different phases of structural development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4457-4473 Issue: 41 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1735622 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1735622 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:41:p:4457-4473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aoran Wang Author-X-Name-First: Aoran Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Professors on boards and corporate innovation in China Abstract: Using a dataset of listed companies in China, this article finds strong evidence suggesting that academic independent directors on boards have statistically significant and economically substantial promotion effects on corporate innovation. On average, professor directors increase invention-type patent applications and grants by 11% and 7%, respectively. We use Heckman two-stage estimation to address selection bias, and we design two quasi-natural experiments taking advantage of China’s regulatory requirement of six-year tenure expiration for all independent directors and exploiting sudden departures of professor directors due to their personal reasons, respectively, to abate endogeneity. Our results endure these econometric treatments and a series of robustness checks. Furthermore, we document evidence that the advice, conduit, and connectivity channels all work in forming the professor director’s promotion effects on corporate innovation. Moreover, we find that other two types of independent directors, politicians and business people, have hardly any effect on the promotion of corporate innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4474-4498 Issue: 41 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1735623 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1735623 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:41:p:4474-4498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saleh Mamun Author-X-Name-First: Saleh Author-X-Name-Last: Mamun Author-Name: Xiaoxue Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoxue Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Brady P. Horn Author-X-Name-First: Brady P. Author-X-Name-Last: Horn Author-Name: Janie M. Chermak Author-X-Name-First: Janie M. Author-X-Name-Last: Chermak Title: Private vs. public prisons? A dynamic analysis of the long-term tradeoffs between cost-efficiency and recidivism in the US prison system Abstract: Compared with the rest of the world, the US prison system is characterized by high incarceration rates, high recidivism, and substantial incarceration costs. The US has increasingly turned to private prisons, resulting in a debate concerning the efficacy of these private prisons. While the private system may produce cost savings it may have also have negative consequences including increased recidivism. Although numerous studies have investigated the cost savings associated with private prisons and their effect on recidivism, to our knowledge no work has evaluated the joint impact. In this paper we evaluate these impacts jointly within a dynamic system model, utilizing cost, incarceration and recidivism estimates from the literature. Overall, considering the tradeoff between cost efficiency and recidivism rates, we find that public prisons are less costly in the long term than private prisons. Considering a 25-year time horizon, we find that total inflation-adjusted costs are approximately 1.5% higher for private prisons than public prisons. Considering a 40-year time horizon, we find that private prisons are 3% more costly than public prisons. Thus, results suggest that estimated short-term cost efficiency provided by private prisons may not be worth the long-term consequences of potential increases in recidivism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4499-4511 Issue: 41 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1736501 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1736501 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:41:p:4499-4511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Steffen Q. Mueller Author-X-Name-First: Steffen Q. Author-X-Name-Last: Mueller Title: Pre- and within-season attendance forecasting in Major League Baseball: a random forest approach Abstract: This study explores the forecasting of Major League Baseball game ticket sales and identifies important attendance predictors by means of random forests that are grown from classification and regression trees (CART) and conditional inference trees. Unlike previous studies that predict sports demand, I consider different forecasting horizons and only use information that is publicly accessible in advance of a game or season. The models are trained using data from 2013 to 2014 to make predictions for the 2015 regular season. The static within-season approach is complemented by a dynamic month-ahead forecasting strategy. Out-of-sample performance is evaluated for individual teams and tested against different least-squares dummy variable regression models and a naïve lagged attendance forecast. My empirical results show high variation in team-specific prediction accuracy with respect to both models and forecasting horizons. Linear and tree-ensemble models, on average, do not vary substantially in predictive accuracy; however, least-squares regression fails to account for various team-specific peculiarities, despite accounting for team fixed effects and censoring attendance predictions to fit to stadium capacities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4512-4528 Issue: 41 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1736502 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1736502 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:41:p:4512-4528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Konstantinos Mamais Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Mamais Author-Name: Kleanthis Karvelas Author-X-Name-First: Kleanthis Author-X-Name-Last: Karvelas Title: Feeling good, as a guide to performance: the impact of economic sentiment in financial market performance for Germany Abstract: During the financial crisis of 2007, the Economic Sentiment Indicator for Germany had already started the deepest drop in its history, reaching a new historical low in the second quarter of 2009. The drop was only temporary, as Germany became the de facto ‘safe heaven’ country and thus within 2 years the low became a sharp increase reaching a historical all-time high. The effect of ‘safe heaven’ country that Germany exhibited during the crisis and the resulting numbers for economic sentiment pose the question as to whether economic sentiment can be used to improve the positioning on the German financial market. We examine the link between sentiment and the performance of the German market, and how investors’ herd behaviour should have used such a sentiment signal to take advantage of, during the depression and beyond. We perform a careful sample-split analysis of both the characteristics of sentiment and financial market performance in various sub-periods from the 1990s until today and also use economic sentiment as a guide for timing the German stock market. In our analysis, economic sentiment acquires a leading guide role for investors in the German market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4529-4541 Issue: 41 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1736503 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1736503 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:41:p:4529-4541 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Malissa L. Davis Author-X-Name-First: Malissa L. Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Author-Name: James V. Koch Author-X-Name-First: James V. Author-X-Name-Last: Koch Author-Name: James William Saunoris Author-X-Name-First: James William Author-X-Name-Last: Saunoris Title: The relationship between entrepreneurial activity and domestic gross state in-migration patterns in the U.S Abstract: Using the Kauffman indices of entrepreneurial activity, which effectively have been entirely overlooked in the domestic migration literature to date, this study seeks to investigate the relationship between entrepreneurial activity and domestic gross in-migration in the U.S. and whether that relationship is bi-directional. The two-part hypothesis being investigated here is that: (a) greater entrepreneurial activity in a state leads to a greater domestic gross in-migration rate, ceteris paribus, and (b) a greater domestic gross in-migration rate induces an increase in entrepreneurial activity, ceteris paribus. After including a number of control variables, luding geographic cost-of-living differentials and an index of aggregate labour market freedom, the most germane of the empirical findings obtained here, based on panel VAR estimation and Granger causality tests, is that the gross state-level in-migration rate in the U.S. has positively impacted the level of entrepreneurial activity. However, there is no compelling evidence that entrepreneurial activity influenced state-level gross in-migration. These results for domestic migration appear to be compatible with previous studies of international immigration to the U.S. and entrepreneurship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4542-4556 Issue: 41 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1737314 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1737314 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:41:p:4542-4556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Genyuan Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Genyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Author-Name: Changling Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Changling Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Product and process innovation: the implication of making comparisons between uniform pricing monopolist and second-degree price discriminating monopolist Abstract: The question of simultaneous product and process innovation, price discrimination is crucial for technologically-evolving industries. In this paper, we assume that there are two different kinds of consumers, and each consumer has his own demand function. We find that both process innovation and product innovation impact the pricing policy. Depending on the number of consumers, there may exist substitutability between process innovation and product innovation. Moving from single-price regime to second-degree price discrimination, we show that allowing price discrimination will increase investment levels in product and process innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4557-4572 Issue: 41 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1737642 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1737642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:41:p:4557-4572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Kathleen Thomas Author-X-Name-First: M. Kathleen Author-X-Name-Last: Thomas Author-Name: Kristin Klopfenstein Author-X-Name-First: Kristin Author-X-Name-Last: Klopfenstein Title: Practice what you preach and be a control freak Abstract: Social science researchers focus on treatment conditions and participant behaviour when designing causal impact studies and ignore in-depth examination of control conditions, assuming dichotomy even when interventions and their comparisons are better conceived as latent variables distributed along a range of program elements. When there is overlap in the distributions of treatment and control program elements, a weak treatment-control contrast can arise even when participant behaviour is ideal and researchers understand treatment conditions. Failure to recognize and describe potential overlap between program elements in treatment and control conditions increases the probability of a null finding and thwarts research consumers attempting to make evidence-based policy decisions. Treatment differentiation requires a strong understanding of the control experience along the same dimensions used to establish treatment fidelity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4573-4576 Issue: 42 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1738325 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1738325 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:42:p:4573-4576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jungtaek Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jungtaek Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Juyeon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Juyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The role of health insurance in mental health care for young adults Abstract: This study investigates the effect of health insurance on young adults’ utilization of mental health care, by exploiting the dependent coverage expansion that was an early provision of the Affordable Care Act. Using the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) from 2011 to 2013, we utilize the regression discontinuity design to overcome the problem of endogeneity. There are two key findings. First, health insurance has increased young adults’ mental health care. Second, young adults’ physical health care has not been affected by health insurance. The results suggest that the use of mental health care might be more responsive to changes in health insurance coverage than the use of physical health care is. Furthermore, the effect of health insurance on mental health care utilization is heterogeneous across metal health statuses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4577-4593 Issue: 42 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1738326 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1738326 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:42:p:4577-4593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ioannis Skevas Author-X-Name-First: Ioannis Author-X-Name-Last: Skevas Title: Measurement of production inefficiency in a technology and inefficiency heterogeneity setting Abstract: This study shows how the estimates of production inefficiency and of the marginal effects of its determinants can be distorted if not accounting for technology and inefficiency heterogeneity. This is achieved by employing a hierarchical stochastic frontier model with random parameters both in the production frontier and in the inefficiency distribution and comparing its results with a conventional frontier model. German dairy farming is used as a case study and estimation is performed in a Bayesian framework. The results reveal significant differences in the inefficiencies and the calculated marginal effects of its determinants across the two models. Specifically, it is shown that inefficiency is overestimated when heterogeneity is not accounted for. An inflation of the means and the variances of the marginal effects is also observed, with the latter result suggesting that technology heterogeneity dominates inefficiency heterogeneity. According to Bayes factors, the employed hierarchical frontier model is favoured by the data when compared to the conventional frontier model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4594-4604 Issue: 42 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1738327 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1738327 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:42:p:4594-4604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Reis Mourao Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Mourao Author-Name: Joanna Maria Stawska Author-X-Name-First: Joanna Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Stawska Title: Governments as bankers - how European bonds have substituted bank deposits Abstract: The purpose of this article is to empirically analyse the relationship between marketable securities (government bonds and treasury bills) and bank deposits in European markets. Using a proper database and proper methodological framework, we will analyse this relationship for the last two decades observed in 32 European countries between 1990Q1 and 2018Q2. We specifically focus on the levels of issued treasury bills and government bonds, as well as on their shares in each country’s GDP. Our empirical results suggest the validation of the substitution hypothesis between bank deposits and marketable securities. This means that deposit holders tend to issue bills when they do not find the investment options from banks’ solutions or from bonds’ yields interesting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4605-4620 Issue: 42 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1738328 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1738328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:42:p:4605-4620 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: María Torrado Author-X-Name-First: María Author-X-Name-Last: Torrado Author-Name: Álvaro Escribano Author-X-Name-First: Álvaro Author-X-Name-Last: Escribano Title: European gasoline markets: price transmission asymmetries in mean and variance Abstract: The main objective of this article is to analyse the different sources of asymmetric price transmissions in the fuel market for France, Germany and Spain. During the last decades, the EU has carried out several common energy policies to achieve more efficient and competitive markets. However, given the specific characteristics of each country, the question we want to address is if fuel prices across EU members behave differently in response to different market structures. Oil operators have been targeted by competition authorities for conducting non-competitive practices. To figure out whether the common complaint that gasoline prices adjust differently to positive or negative input price changes, dynamic asymmetric models for the mean and variance are developed for each country. Several asymmetric specifications for the mean and variance are considered. The best specification combines double threshold error correction models (DT-ECM) for the mean with asymmetric EGARCH plus an asymmetric dummy variable for the conditional variance. We show that French gasoline prices behave more competitively, adjusting quicker to the long-run equilibrium and with more price volatility. This outcome is consistent with the strong presence of hypermarkets following low-cost pricing strategies in France. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4621-4638 Issue: 42 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1739224 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1739224 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:42:p:4621-4638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simone Angioloni Author-X-Name-First: Simone Author-X-Name-Last: Angioloni Author-Name: Ziping Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ziping Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Native-migrant labour substitution by industry and wage effects: evidence from the UK Abstract: Unlike previous studies, we estimate the native-migrant substitution elasticity (NME) differentiated by sector. To do so, we employ a straightforward estimation strategy that consists of adding slope-shifters to the reduced form of the labour demand equation to allow for sectoral differentiation and adjusting the restrictions on the efficiency parameters consequently. Our study contributes to the literature in three ways. First, this is the first example that estimates NME differentiated by industry. Second, previous studies assessed the effect of the past migration on wages. In contrast, we assess the impact of potential restrictions to unskilled EU labour in the UK and this can useful to design future immigration policies in the country. Third, our results contribute to understand the dynamics between migration and the domestic labour market in the UK and provide a lesson for other developed economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4639-4658 Issue: 42 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1739613 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1739613 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:42:p:4639-4658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yigit Atilgan Author-X-Name-First: Yigit Author-X-Name-Last: Atilgan Author-Name: K. Ozgur Demirtas Author-X-Name-First: K. Ozgur Author-X-Name-Last: Demirtas Author-Name: A. Doruk Gunaydin Author-X-Name-First: A. Doruk Author-X-Name-Last: Gunaydin Author-Name: Imra Kirli Author-X-Name-First: Imra Author-X-Name-Last: Kirli Title: Decomposing value globally Abstract: This paper utilizes an international context and revisits the findings which argue that the positive relation between book-to-market ratio and future equity returns is driven by historical changes in firm size in the US. After confirming these results in the US setting both in the original and a more recent sample period, we find that they do not hold in regions outside the US. In the international sample, book-to-market ratio has a significantly positive relation with future equity returns even after changes in firm size are controlled for in regression analyses. This positive relation is again visible when the orthogonal component of book-to-market ratio (which is independent of changes in firm size) is used as a sorting variable in portfolio analyses. Country-level analyses confirm the findings from regional analyses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4659-4676 Issue: 42 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1739614 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1739614 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:42:p:4659-4676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jingbo Luo Author-X-Name-First: Jingbo Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Xiaorong Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaorong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Kam C. Chan Author-X-Name-First: Kam C. Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Title: Political uncertainty and labour investment efficiency Abstract: We examine the impact of political uncertainty on the labour investment efficiency (LIE) of a firm. Using a sample of Chinese firms, we test the market discipline and managerial entrenchment hypotheses. Our findings suggest that political uncertainty adversely affects LIE. The results are consistent with the managerial entrenchment hypothesis. That is, firms hire more labour in a period of increased information asymmetry due to the political uncertainty, which deteriorates LIE. Our findings are robust to a battery of alternative measures of LIE and estimation methods. We conduct several additional analyses and document that the adverse impact of political uncertainty is stronger when the newly appointed government official is older, the firm is state-owned, the firm belongs to a politically sensitive industry or the firm operates in locations with stringent labour protection. By contrast, when the firm locates in a region with weak Chinese government intervention or after President Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption campaign, the adverse impact of political uncertainty on LIE is less pronounced. Last, we document that after hiring more labour, firms receive tangible and intangible benefits in terms of receiving more loans, collect more government subsidies, and able to re-establish some political connection but at the cost of lower performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4677-4697 Issue: 43 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1739615 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1739615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:43:p:4677-4697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phuong Thanh Le Author-X-Name-First: Phuong Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Le Author-Name: Hong-Oanh Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Hong-Oanh Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Influence of policy, operational and market conditions on seaport efficiency in newly emerging economies: the case of Vietnam Abstract: Located in Southeast Asia as one of the most dynamic economic regions in the world and close to north-south shipping routes, Vietnam’s seaports play a vital role in promoting its international trade and economic growth. And yet, most ports are small and owned by the public sector. Their performance is subject to various factors relating to government policy, operational and market conditions. Although the Government has been trying to improve the sector’s performance through corporatization, its corporatization model is unique in many ways compared with reform models in other countries. This study seeks to analyse the effects of government policy, operational and market conditions among other factors, on Vietnamese seaports’ efficiency. Double-bootstrap data envelopment analysis (DEA) and univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted using the data sample of 41 ports for years 2015 and 2016. The analysis results show that the factors of production, regional location and reform policy had a significant impact on port performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4698-4710 Issue: 43 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1740159 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1740159 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:43:p:4698-4710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yafeng Qin Author-X-Name-First: Yafeng Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Author-Name: Guoyao Pan Author-X-Name-First: Guoyao Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Min Bai Author-X-Name-First: Min Author-X-Name-Last: Bai Title: Improving market timing of time series momentum in the Chinese stock market Abstract: This paper is the first study to present firm-level evidence that the time-series momentum (TSMOM) strategies with look-back-period k of 10 to 200 days outperform the buy-and-hold strategy (BH) on individual stocks in the Chinese stock market. We document that the optimal k* generating the best performance is different across assets and varies over time. We hence propose a model to predict the asset-specific and time-dependent k*, and examine the performance of the TSMOM strategies with the predicted k*. Our analysis shows that using the time-varying predicted k* substantially improves the predictability of the TSMOM strategies. Our new model and findings shed the light on trading strategy for both academia and applied investment practitioners. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4711-4725 Issue: 43 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1740160 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1740160 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:43:p:4711-4725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leonardo Becchetti Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Author-X-Name-Last: Becchetti Author-Name: Maria Jua Bachelet Author-X-Name-First: Maria Jua Author-X-Name-Last: Bachelet Author-Name: Fabio Pisani Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Pisani Title: Eudaimonic happiness as a leading health indicator: cross-country European evidence Abstract: Eudaimonic happiness (measured in terms of sense of life) is a relatively unexplored subjective wellbeing indicator. The empirical findings presented in this paper show that it has a significant and quantitatively remarkable correlation with the future insurgence of some chronic diseases and the reduction of most functionalities in the ageing population. These results document that eudaimonic happiness is a relevant leading indicator of future health outcomes and expenditure and that its correlation is independent from that of the traditional life satisfaction measure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4726-4744 Issue: 43 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1740161 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1740161 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:43:p:4726-4744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiyong Dong Author-X-Name-First: Xiyong Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Changhong Li Author-X-Name-First: Changhong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Seong-Min Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Exogenous shocks, dynamic correlations, and portfolio risk management for the Asian emerging and other global developed and emerging stock markets Abstract: This study examines the potential influence of exogenous shocks on time-varying correlations and portfolio strategies between the Asian emerging and other global stock markets including developed and other emerging markets. Using the ARMA-cDCC-FIEGARCH model with and without exogenous shocks, our results highlight the usefulness of including other global stock assets in the traditional portfolio for Asian emerging market investors. However, investors have limited opportunities to diversify their assets during the global financial crisis. Moreover, the shocks from the U.S. stock market have a greater influence on global stock markets compared to that from U.S. economic policy. Fortunately, the model with exogenous shocks improves its accuracy, which plays the same role of controlling structural breaks in the model. More importantly, incorporating exogenous shocks in our model also provides better value-at-risk performance results and hedging effectiveness. These results have several important implications for investors, researchers, and policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4745-4764 Issue: 43 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1743814 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1743814 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:43:p:4745-4764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elizabeth Schroeder Author-X-Name-First: Elizabeth Author-X-Name-Last: Schroeder Title: The impact of microcredit borrowing on household consumption in Bangladesh Abstract: The rapid expansion of microcredit in recent years renders knowledge of its impact on poverty critical. Unfortunately, empirical investigations have been limited by endogeneity issues, and randomized controlled trials suffer from a lack of power. This article suggests a strategy for handling the endogeneity of microcredit borrowing without specifying instrumental variables, allowing for estimation using observational data. The model is identified by an assumption on the conditional second moments of the errors and estimated semiparametrically. I find that an increase in the amount borrowed from the Grameen Bank and similar institutions in Bangladesh has a positive and significant effect on per-capita household consumption. The estimated elasticity is in the range of 0.18 to 0.21. These estimates indicate that microcredit may be more effective than previously thought. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4765-4779 Issue: 43 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1743815 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1743815 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:43:p:4765-4779 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tongwei Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Tongwei Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Biliang Luo Author-X-Name-First: Biliang Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: S. T. Boris Choy Author-X-Name-First: S. T. Boris Author-X-Name-Last: Choy Author-Name: Xianlei Ma Author-X-Name-First: Xianlei Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Qinying He Author-X-Name-First: Qinying Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: The demonstration effect of transactions between strangers on those between acquaintances: evidence from land rentals in rural China Abstract: Over the last decade, introducing outer village lessees has been an important approach to increasing the marketization of land rentals in rural China. However, with large numbers of informal features among acquaintances, the effect of introducing outer village lessees is ambiguous. In this paper, data from the 2015 China Household Finance Survey are used to analyse the demonstration effect of land rentals between strangers on those between acquaintances, and land rent is used to represent the marketization of land rentals. The estimated results indicate that with the emergence of outer village lessees, lessors transacting with acquaintances are more likely to obtain high land rents and to rent out farmland for profit. Evidence shows that profit motives are the key pathway by which the presence of outer village lessees affects land rents. The analysis using the sample of lessees supports our findings. Our analysis implies that the demonstration effect exists in land rental markets, and also provides a feasible instrument for promoting market-oriented land rentals between acquaintances. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4780-4793 Issue: 43 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1751051 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1751051 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:43:p:4780-4793 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Author-Name: Michael Grimm Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Grimm Title: Does foreign aid increase private investment? Evidence from panel cointegration Abstract: This article uses panel cointegration and causality techniques to examine the long run relationship between foreign aid and private investment. Our main result is that aid has a statistically significant negative effect on private investment. This result is robust to outliers, different measures and forms of aid, sample selection and the sample period. In addition, we find that long run causality runs in both directions, suggesting that an increase in aid reduces private investment and that, in turn, higher private investment leads to lower aid inflows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2537-2550 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566183 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2537-2550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aekapol Chongvilaivan Author-X-Name-First: Aekapol Author-X-Name-Last: Chongvilaivan Title: Learning by exporting and high-tech capital deepening in Singapore manufacturing industries, 1974–2006 Abstract: A number of fundamental factors enhance the growth of industries’ productivity. Among others, the export-led and high-tech capital deepening strategies are widely adopted by developing economies. This article attempts to empirically investigate the extent to which both industrial development policies affect the Total Factor Productivity Growth (TFPG) in Singapore manufacturing industries during the period from 1974 to 2006. Using the panel data estimations, I find that both development strategies bring about TFPG via nonneutral technological growth, and the former more largely explains TFPG than does the latter. This study captures the measure of learning by exporting by the lagged export intensity and therefore contributes to the literature, in which only the case of whether or not firms are active in export markets is conventionally employed. Methodologically, my main contributions are a more detailed treatment of (nonneutral) technological changes, and an alternative measure of export intensity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2551-2568 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566184 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2551-2568 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yui Suzuki Author-X-Name-First: Yui Author-X-Name-Last: Suzuki Title: Binding constraint on economic growth under export-oriented industrialization and globalization Abstract: The two-gap model of economic growth implies that different constraints on economic growth, namely the savings and the foreign exchange availability, are binding at different times. This article estimates these varying binding constraints in 16 countries in East and Southeast Asia and Latin America, and explores their differences across countries, regions and periods. I show that the East and Southeast Asian countries, which are recognized to be successful in export-oriented industrialization, are less constrained by the foreign exchange availability with reinforced export capacity than the Latin American countries, which had carried some inertia of import substituting industrialization policy until the 1980s. In addition, the economic growth turns out to be more constrained by the domestic savings in recent years, which can be a reflection of capital account liberalization policies typically implemented in the late 1980s and 1990s, and/or a diminishing return to export-led growth. In either case, this might be a factor underlining the recent reconsideration of export-oriented development strategy to balance past excessive dependence on the external demand in several countries in East and Southeast Asia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2569-2576 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566185 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566185 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2569-2576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fiona Tregenna Author-X-Name-First: Fiona Author-X-Name-Last: Tregenna Title: What are the distributional implications of halving poverty in South Africa when growth alone is not enough? Abstract: The United Nations Millennium Declaration commits to halving extreme poverty between 2000 and 2015. The South African government has set a goal of halving poverty by 2014, although the meaning of this goal has not yet been defined. This article frames government's stated target of halving poverty by 2014 in terms of specific measures of the poverty gap and poverty headcount ratio, using income and expenditure survey microdata. With the poverty line as defined here, approximately half the South African population falls below the poverty line. Despite this, the aggregate poverty gap is surprisingly small at about 3% of gross domestic product. Projections of poverty in 2014 under various growth scenarios indicate that growth alone will be insufficient to halve poverty by then, and that any worsening of distribution will put the target of halving poverty by 2014 far beyond reach. However, projections of the effects of a range of growth and distributional scenarios on poverty, using a new method for simulating pro-poor distributional change, indicate that halving poverty appears feasible with moderate growth rates and fairly mild pro-poor distributional change. The results are indicative as to the scale of distributional changes necessary to halve poverty under various growth scenarios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2577-2596 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566186 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566186 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2577-2596 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Myeong Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myeong Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Nodir Adilov Author-X-Name-First: Nodir Author-X-Name-Last: Adilov Title: The lesser of two evils: an empirical investigation of foreign direct investment-pollution tradeoff Abstract: This article investigates the relationship between Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and pollution measured by carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. The results suggest that while lax environmental regulations might attract FDI, the foreign companies utilize less polluting technology as compared to local firms in low-income countries. Thus, FDI does not necessarily increase pollution levels in the host countries. The findings, therefore, simultaneously support the pollution haven and the pollution halo hypotheses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2597-2606 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566187 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2597-2606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge E. Araña Author-X-Name-First: Jorge E. Author-X-Name-Last: Araña Author-Name: Carmelo J. León Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo J. Author-X-Name-Last: León Title: Scale-perception bias in the valuation of environmental risks Abstract: The valuation of environmental risks is commonly approached with the utilization of stated preference methods such as contingent valuation. In these methods, money is utilized as the scale that reflects the individual's underlying utility function. However, this scale can vary across individuals due to different perceptions on what are the right or appropriate bounds for Willingness To Pay (WTP). In this article, we test for scale-perception bias and propose a correction method based on the utilization of anchoring vignettes that define different degrees of preference for the nonmarket good. The proposed method is applied to study the commonly found anomaly ‘probability neglect’, which is defined by the insensitivity to the probability levels in the valuation of environmental risks. The results show that probability neglect disappears when WTP responses are corrected for self-perception bias through the utilization of the anchoring vignettes approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2607-2617 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566188 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566188 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2607-2617 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yeşim Kuştepeli Author-X-Name-First: Yeşim Author-X-Name-Last: Kuştepeli Author-Name: Yaprak Gülcan Author-X-Name-First: Yaprak Author-X-Name-Last: Gülcan Author-Name: Sedef Akgüngör Author-X-Name-First: Sedef Author-X-Name-Last: Akgüngör Title: Transportation infrastructure investment, growth and international trade in Turkey Abstract: Investment in transportation infrastructure facilitate the movement of the goods; leading to higher standards of living for the people of the whole globe. Although infrastructure is indispensable to achieve the main development targets in developing countries, such as urbanization, industrialization and sustainable economic development (Kim, 2006), the relationship between infrastructure expenditures, economic growth and international trade is inconclusive. The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of investment on highway infrastructure on international trade and economic growth in Turkey for the period of 1970 to 2005. The empirical results from causality and cointegration analysis suggest only a very weak short run effect of share of exports in Gross National Product (GNP) on highway transportation expenditures but no long run relationships between highway infrastructure expenditures, economic growth and international trade in Turkey. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2619-2629 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566189 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2619-2629 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Ali Choudhary Author-X-Name-First: M. Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Choudhary Author-Name: Adnan Haider Author-X-Name-First: Adnan Author-X-Name-Last: Haider Title: Neural network models for inflation forecasting: an appraisal Abstract: We assess the power of diverse Artificial Neural-Network (ANN) models as forecasting tools for monthly inflation rates for 28 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. In the context of short out-of-sample forecasting horizon we find that, on average, the ANN models were a superior predictor for inflation for 45% while the Autoregressive model of order one (AR1) model performed better for 23% of the countries. Furthermore, we develop arithmetic combinations of several ANN models and find that these may also serve as credible tools for forecasting inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2631-2635 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566190 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566190 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2631-2635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jürgen Antony Author-X-Name-First: Jürgen Author-X-Name-Last: Antony Author-Name: Thomas Grebel Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Grebel Title: Technology flows between sectors and their impact on large-scale firms Abstract: In this article we highlight the importance of technology flows between sectors and their impact on the labour productivity of large-scale corporations. Based on theoretical considerations, we explore technological spillovers between the sectors of an economy. Large-scale corporations usually focus on certain sectors but make use of a wide range of technological knowledge from other sectors. Thereby, technological knowledge built up in sectors by continuous R&D activities does not spill over without bounds but is directed by firms’ absorptive capacities. We use firms’ patent portfolio to empirically calculate the sector affiliation and therewith the firms’ absorptive capacities in order to estimate the impact of technology diffusion on labour productivity. Fortune 500 firms serve as data base. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2637-2651 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566191 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566191 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2637-2651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nick Drydakis Author-X-Name-First: Nick Author-X-Name-Last: Drydakis Title: Sexual orientation and labour relations: new evidence from Athens, Greece Abstract: We use data from the 2008–2009 Athens Area Study (AAS) to provide the first evidence on the relationship between men's sexual orientation and wages in the Greek capital, Athens. Gay and bisexual men are found to receive significantly lower monthly wages than heterosexual male workers after accounting for demographic and occupational characteristics. The estimations reveal that educated gay and bisexual workers face lower wage differentials than less-educated gay and bisexual workers, which is consistent with the statistical theory of discrimination. However, wage gaps are significant at all educational attainment levels, suggesting that these workers face strong prejudices in the Athenian labour market. The same pattern holds also across all occupations and sectors. Furthermore, to better understand the determinants of the wage gaps, we compare gay/bisexual men with both married and unmarried heterosexual men. By making these comparisons, we are able to disentangle the penalty associated with being unmarried from other human-capital explanations for the wage gap. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2653-2665 Issue: 20 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566194 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2653-2665 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Hashemi Joo Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Hashemi Joo Author-Name: Yuka Nishikawa Author-X-Name-First: Yuka Author-X-Name-Last: Nishikawa Author-Name: Krishnan Dandapani Author-X-Name-First: Krishnan Author-X-Name-Last: Dandapani Title: Announcement effects in the cryptocurrency market Abstract: Cryptocurrencies have gained popularity as new economic investment assets globally in recent years. This study examines market reactions to major news events associated with cryptocurrencies. Abnormal returns as well as cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) around major news announcements, both positive and negative, are investigated for three primary cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple. High abnormal returns are observed on the event day (Day 0), and CARs typically diverge during event windows of (−3, 6) and (0, 6), indicating that the information is not fully reflected in prices immediately after the news events. The CARs that linger for six days after an event suggest that the information flow in the cryptocurrency market is visibly slow. The magnitudes of CARs are larger for negative events than for positive events, implying that the market reaction to negative events is stronger than to positive announcements. The findings of this study may have crucial implications for investors, arbitragers and practitioners as we document evidence of potential trading opportunities for investors who initiate a trading position even after announcements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4794-4808 Issue: 44 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1745747 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1745747 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:44:p:4794-4808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ayako Saiki Author-X-Name-First: Ayako Author-X-Name-Last: Saiki Author-Name: Jon Frost Author-X-Name-First: Jon Author-X-Name-Last: Frost Title: Unconventional monetary policy and inequality: is Japan unique? Abstract: Unconventional monetary policy (UMP) influences inequality through two channels that work in opposite directions – a labour market channel (more employment, higher wages) and a financial market channel (higher asset prices). In an earlier paper, covering UMP through 2014, we found that UMP in Japan had contributed to greater income inequality through its effects on asset prices. With a longer time period, a richer dataset including labour market data, and a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) we confirm that these results continue to hold, and investigate why UMP’s impact on inequality in Japan differs from some other countries. We argue that Japanese structural issues may mute the labour market channel, especially: (i) labour market rigidity; and (ii) the large share of the population that is older than 65 years old or retired. The older cohort’s capital gains and dividends are re-saved in other financial assets, instead of being consumed or used for starting businesses. At the same time, wages have not increased despite the severe labour shortage, due to the frictions in Japan’s labour market. We conclude that these factors may make the inequality created by UMP in Japan unique by international comparison. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4809-4821 Issue: 44 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1745748 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1745748 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:44:p:4809-4821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhimin Dai Author-X-Name-First: Zhimin Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Lu Guo Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: Market competition and corporate performance: empirical evidence from China listed banks with financial monopoly aspect Abstract: Theorists and policy experts generally believe that the higher degrees of financial monopoly and lower degrees of market competition can result in the higher performance level of companies especially in an imperfect competitive market. The banking industry is an excellent field for which to test market monopoly power and performance. In this study, we analysed data from up to 16 selected listed commercial banks in China from 2006 to 2015. The study utilized the improved Lerner index to elucidate their degree of monopoly power, respectively. Alongside this analysis, a balanced panel data model was utilized to calculate a least squares estimation, maximum likelihood estimation and generalized moment estimation processes. The results show that the state-owned commercial banks in China have poor competitiveness due to the limitations of their system of operation and the limitations in the banks’ ability to make decisions, as they are highly influenced by state macro-policies. Actually, China’s distorted financial monopoly has resulted in the poor performance of banks in the long-term, and indirectly resulted in the waste of national resources and limitation of financial policies. The relationship between the choice of operational model and the performance of listed commercial banks is mainly dictated by their natural monopoly position although such degree will deeply distort by unreasonable financial policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4822-4833 Issue: 44 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1745749 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1745749 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:44:p:4822-4833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nasri Harb Author-X-Name-First: Nasri Author-X-Name-Last: Harb Author-Name: Tony Rouhana Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Rouhana Title: Earnings and gender wage gap in Lebanon: the role of the human and social capital Abstract: This paper investigates the earning function and the gender wage gap in Lebanon using human and social capital covariates. The study uses a randomly collected sample from the Lebanese working population in the greater Beirut area applying the counterfactual decomposition and the generalized quantile regressions. Most of the results support previous research which concludes that the human and social capital indicators have a significant impact on earnings and that the wage gap is mainly due to structural effect. Moreover, the results show evidence of quicksand and glass ceiling effects that limit female income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4834-4849 Issue: 44 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1745750 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1745750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:44:p:4834-4849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kwangil Bae Author-X-Name-First: Kwangil Author-X-Name-Last: Bae Author-Name: Hankil Kang Author-X-Name-First: Hankil Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Jangkoo Kang Author-X-Name-First: Jangkoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: Can fat-tail create the momentum and reversal? Abstract: We suggest that fat-tail variations can cause both short-term momentum and long-term reversal simultaneously, in both the time series and cross-sectional returns of securities. The fat-tail of the distribution is known to explain many anomalies in the financial market, but not momentum. To support our argument, we adopt widely accepted models in the literature, which generate reversal only, and revise a single assumption: Each random variable follows a non-normal stable distribution rather than a normal distribution. This single difference generates additional short-term return momentum. This finding shows that 1) investor irrationality is not essential to generate both phenomena, and 2) we must be cautious not to overuse normal distributions in the models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4850-4863 Issue: 44 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1746481 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1746481 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:44:p:4850-4863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lan Thanh Archer Author-X-Name-First: Lan Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Archer Author-Name: Parmendra Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Parmendra Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Jen-Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen-Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Do credit constraints always impede innovation? Empirical evidence from Vietnamese SMEs Abstract: Intrigued by literature findings that credit constrained firms are less likely to be innovative and bearing in mind that the evidence has so far largely been from developed economies, this study ventures to explore the relationship in the case of a developing economy. Focussing on Vietnam, using a biennial survey-based dataset spanning the 2005–2013 period, with around 2,500 SMEs per round, and a mix of econometric strategies, the findings of the study shed a new light in the literature on credit constraints vis-à-vis innovation relationships: credit constraints may not always impede innovation. Implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4864-4880 Issue: 44 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1751049 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1751049 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:44:p:4864-4880 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aakrit Joshi Author-X-Name-First: Aakrit Author-X-Name-Last: Joshi Author-Name: Brady P. Horn Author-X-Name-First: Brady P. Author-X-Name-Last: Horn Author-Name: Robert P. Berrens Author-X-Name-First: Robert P. Author-X-Name-Last: Berrens Title: Major league soccer expansion and property values: do sports franchises generate amenities or disamenities? Abstract: While amenity effects generated by sports stadiums or facilities have been studied extensively for housing markets, there has been significantly less attention focused on team effects generated by sports franchises alone. The objective of this analysis is to estimate the impact of Major League Soccer (MLS) expansion on property values, using nearby condominium sales from 2003–2016 in Seattle, Washington. Econometric results from hedonic pricing method and repeat sales regression indicate that property values depreciated after the Seattle Sounders Football Club was promoted to the MLS in 2009. The distance-decaying depreciation in condominium values occurs within a mile of the facility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4881-4899 Issue: 44 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1751050 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1751050 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:44:p:4881-4899 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Rosa Borges Author-X-Name-First: Maria Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Borges Author-Name: Lauriano Ulica Author-X-Name-First: Lauriano Author-X-Name-Last: Ulica Author-Name: Mariya Gubareva Author-X-Name-First: Mariya Author-X-Name-Last: Gubareva Title: Systemic risk in the Angolan interbank payment system – a network approach Abstract: In this work, we analyse the topology of the network of interbank payment flows settled via the real-time gross settlement system (RTGS) of the Angolan payment system (APS) during the fourth quarter of 2016, with the aim of discussing the APS resilience to systemic risk, focusing on its vulnerability in case of failures in the settlement of any bank payments. We conclude that (i) the Angolan RTGS payment network is sparse, characterized by low connectivity, (ii) it is a scale-free network with five banks with high connectivity, representing the main origin and destination of the settled transactions and concentrating about 47% of the total volume and amount of payments settled, which adds to contagion risk. However (iii) the systemic risk arising from the removal of a single participant from the network is low, since the largest bank in the system, with the greatest transacted volume and amount, accounts only for about 11% of the total transacted amounts. In addition, (iv) the adequate risk-mitigating operational processes of each of the RTGS subsystems safeguard the APS from systemic risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4900-4912 Issue: 45 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1751052 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1751052 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:45:p:4900-4912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: F. Javier Sánchez-Vidal Author-X-Name-First: F. Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Sánchez-Vidal Author-Name: Myriam Hernández-Robles Author-X-Name-First: Myriam Author-X-Name-Last: Hernández-Robles Author-Name: Antonio Mínguez-Vera Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Mínguez-Vera Title: Financial conservatism fosters job creation during economic crises Abstract: This article aims to analyse the phenomenon of financial conservatism in firms’ capital structures and relate it to their employment variation for a sample of Spanish companies during the 2008–2013 period, characterized by a sharp crisis and very high unemployment rates. Financial conservatism is described as following a low-leverage/high cash no-short-term capital structure policy. We use the noisy selection model that relates growth, age, and size, to which we add a dummy indicating financial conservatism. As the growth of a company is measured as its number of employees’ variation, we are ultimately analysing how financial conservatism affects job creation. The objective of this work is to stress the advantages of a financially conservative policy as the evidence shows that such a policy at a given enterprise is a positive factor for job creation, which in Macroeconomics terms means an improvement in economy’s employment. The average conservative company more likely to foster job creation is a small company belonging to the industry or services sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4913-4926 Issue: 45 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1751053 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1751053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:45:p:4913-4926 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed Amine Boutabba Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Amine Author-X-Name-Last: Boutabba Author-Name: Diadié Diaw Author-X-Name-First: Diadié Author-X-Name-Last: Diaw Author-Name: Amandine Laré Author-X-Name-First: Amandine Author-X-Name-Last: Laré Author-Name: Albert Lessoua Author-X-Name-First: Albert Author-X-Name-Last: Lessoua Title: The impact of microfinance on energy access: a case study from peripheral districts of Lomé, Togo Abstract: This study seeks to understand the impact of microfinance on energy access in the peripheral districts of Lomé in Togo. We use descriptive statistics, multiple regression, propensity score matching and treatment effect models, involving 639 microfinance client and non-client households for the analysis. Our results show that microfinance reduces energy vulnerability, with microfinance clients having higher energy poverty indices and energy expenditures than non-client households. Based on the impact of microfinance on energy poverty reduction, we argue that it is important for policymakers to implement strategies that promote and create greater access to microfinance, as this has the potential to alleviate energy poverty and improve access to good quality, modern energy services in Togo. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4927-4951 Issue: 45 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1751800 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1751800 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:45:p:4927-4951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wongi Kim Author-X-Name-First: Wongi Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Impacts of RMB devaluation on China’s trade balances: a time-varying SVAR approach Abstract: In this article, I empirically examine time-varying effects of real renminbi (RMB) devaluation on China’s trade balances. To this end, I estimate a time-varying structural vector autoregression model with monthly data. Results demonstrated that effects of real RMB devaluation on China’s trade balances are time varying. In a few months after devaluation of RMB, trade balances worsen as predicted in J-curve theory in most sample periods. However, subsequent improvements of trade balances predicted in J-curve theory appear only in certain periods, particularly in 2000s. Finally, devaluation of RMB positively affects China’s GDP and OECD industrial production, although the size of effects varies across sample periods. Joining WTO, the global financial crisis and endogenous feedbacks induced by price effects seem to be important to understand these time-varying patterns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4952-4966 Issue: 45 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1751801 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1751801 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:45:p:4952-4966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lori Tzu Yi Yang Author-X-Name-First: Lori Tzu Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: The influence of Taiwan’s stock market on Bitcoin’s price under Taiwan’s monetary policy threshold Abstract: This study uses a smooth transition autoregressive model with exogenous variables (STARX) to investigate whether there is a nonlinear relationship between Bitcoin and Taiwan’s stock market taking into account Taiwan’s monetary policy threshold during 2 February 2012 to 31 August 2019. The statistical results show there is a threshold effect and confirm a nonlinear relationship between Taiwan’s stock market and Bitcoin, with variations over time and across Bitcoin and Taiwan’s stock market. Specifically, we find that Bitcoin responds asymmetrically to Taiwan’s stock market according to the threshold value. Furthermore, the return on the closing price of TAIEX with a lag of two periods under Taiwan’s monetary policy threshold has a nonlinear impact on the return on the closing price of Bitcoin. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4967-4975 Issue: 45 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1751802 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1751802 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:45:p:4967-4975 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Miles Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Miles Title: Regional UK house price co-movement Abstract: Cyclical synchronization of home prices has important implications for monetary (and other) policies. Regional house price divergence, even over a business cycle, can inhibit labour mobility and prevent workers from moving to where they could add most to their own wages and overall growth. We study house price co-movement across the different UK regions with a method, that, unlike previously employed techniques, allows for time-varying estimates. We find first, that the UK exhibits more home price divergence compared to previously reported results for the US. Second, regions near London exhibit the most co-movement, and those further from London the most divergence. Third, London itself is in the ‘middle of the pack’ in terms of synchronization compared to other regions. This may reflect London’s status as a ‘global city’ and being the destination for housing demand from sources abroad. Lastly, segmentation has clearly been increasing, rather than decreasing in recent years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4976-4991 Issue: 45 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1752361 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1752361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:45:p:4976-4991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Cheng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Andrew Yi-Hung Liang Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Yi-Hung Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Lori Tzu-Yi Yang Author-X-Name-First: Lori Tzu-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Chin-Mei Chou Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Mei Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Title: The non-linear impact of oil price on the oil demand Abstract: A panel smooth transition regression model was adopted to analyse the non-linear impact of oil prices on oil demand. Data for 42 countries was obtained from the International Energy Agency for the time period spanning from January 1990 to June 2017. The results indicate that a threshold value does exist. Furthermore, when the oil price was lower than this threshold value, a positive relationship between oil price and oil demand was observed. When the price of oil was higher than the threshold value, however, a negative relationship between price and demand was found. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4992-5004 Issue: 45 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1752898 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1752898 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:45:p:4992-5004 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Chieh Wen Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chieh Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Bin Li Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Lagged country returns and international stock return predictability during business cycle recession periods Abstract: This study examines stock return predictability in business cycle fluctuations across 17 developed countries and 26 developing countries over the period from January 1970 to December 2019. We uncover that lagged U.S. returns can be regarded as a reliable predictor only during recessions. The results remain robust after controlling for commonly used return predictors. Our empirical findings carry some implications for the role of leading markets, fundamental uncertainty, change in investors’ beliefs and dynamics of stock return volatility in economic downturns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5005-5019 Issue: 46 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1752899 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1752899 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:46:p:5005-5019 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pawel Dobrzanski Author-X-Name-First: Pawel Author-X-Name-Last: Dobrzanski Title: The efficiency of spending on R&D in Latin America region Abstract: Innovativeness is one of the key factors stimulating economic growth. Improving innovative capacities is especially important for developing countries. The Latin American region is characterized by a variety of innovation policies. In this article, the author attempts to answer the question of which Latin American countries most efficiently spend funds on R&D. The study presented in this article also verifies the hypothesis that increased spending on R&D does not result in a proportional increase in the intended innovative results. The main research methodology employed is data envelopment analysis (DEA), which allows for assessing input-output efficiency and indicates the efficiency frontier for the period between 2000 and 2017. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5020-5034 Issue: 46 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1752900 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1752900 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:46:p:5020-5034 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haomin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Haomin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Zhijun Lin Author-X-Name-First: Zhijun Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Ming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Kai Wang Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Customer concentration and over-investment Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of customer concentration on a supplier firm’s over-investment behaviour. Based on a large sample analysis on the US market, we find that a supplier firm with higher degree of customer concentration is likely to over-invest beyond the optimal investment level determined by investment opportunities. We also reveal that the positive association between customer concentration and over-investment weakens when the largest customer is a government entity, when the duration of supplier–customer relationship extends, and when the supplier firm captures larger market shares in its industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5035-5045 Issue: 46 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1752901 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1752901 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:46:p:5035-5045 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taewoo You Author-X-Name-First: Taewoo Author-X-Name-Last: You Title: Behavioural biases and nonlinear adjustment: evidence from the housing market Abstract: Using the threshold vector error correction model, this study finds substantial evidence for asymmetric mean-aversion in the Korean housing market, arising from behavioural biases. In order to effectively capture behavioural biases from the prospect theory, special attention is paid to the extreme tails of price deviations from long-run rationality. The major findings are highly consistent with the prospect theory predicting the risk-aversion effect after prior losses and the house money effect after prior gains. The overall speed of adjustment at losses is assessed about 7 times as high as at gains. The evidence that price changes are serially dependent, even after controlling the behavioural biases, suggests that house prices are also driven by investors’ extrapolative expectation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5046-5059 Issue: 46 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1752902 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1752902 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:46:p:5046-5059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Grobys Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Grobys Author-Name: Niranjan Sapkota Author-X-Name-First: Niranjan Author-X-Name-Last: Sapkota Title: Predicting cryptocurrency defaults Abstract: We examine all available 146 Proof-of-Work-based cryptocurrencies that started trading prior to the end of 2014 and track their performance until December 2018. We find that about 60% of those cryptocurrencies were eventually in default. The substantial sums of money involved mean those bankruptcies will have an enormous societal impact. Employing cryptocurrency-specific data, we estimate a model based on linear discriminant analysis to predict such defaults. Our model is capable of explaining 87% of cryptocurrency bankruptcies after only one month of trading and could serve as a screening tool for investors keen to boost overall portfolio performance and avoid investing in unreliable cryptocurrencies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5060-5076 Issue: 46 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1752903 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1752903 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:46:p:5060-5076 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: José L. Ruiz-Alba Author-X-Name-First: José L. Author-X-Name-Last: Ruiz-Alba Author-Name: Raquel Ayestarán Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Ayestarán Title: UK tourism arrivals and departures: seasonality, persistence and time trends Abstract: Issues such as seasonality, persistence and trends are examined in the series referring to the number of UK arrivals and departures using techniques based on fractional integration. This methodology is much more flexible than others based on integer degrees of differentiation and permits us to describe in a more general way the effects of shocks in the series. Our results indicate that the series display significant time trends; they show high persistence with orders of integration in the fractional range, thus showing long-lasting effects of shocks; seasonality is an important issue, and in removing the seasonality through seasonal differentiation, the time trends disappear though persistence remains as a relevant feature of the data. Policy implications of the results obtained are displayed at the end of the article. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5077-5087 Issue: 46 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1752904 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1752904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:46:p:5077-5087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fu-Wei Huang Author-X-Name-First: Fu-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: A simple model of financial grey rhino under insurer capital regulation Abstract: This paper develops a contingent claim model to examine how capital regulation affects an insurer’s optimal guaranteed rate and survival probability when the investment-oriented/life insurance policy-oriented financial grey rhino is complemented. The investment-oriented grey rhino effect increases the policies at an increased guaranteed rate (and thus a decreased interest margin) and further decreases the insurer’s survival probability. The policy-oriented grey rhino effect decreases the guaranteed rate and further decreases the survival probability. Stringent capital regulation enhances both the guaranteed rate and the insurer’s survival, thereby contributing to insurance stability. Both the enhanced effects become more significant when either the increased investment-oriented or policy-oriented financial grey rhino effect is considered, in particular, in a down-and-out call option framework model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5088-5097 Issue: 46 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1752905 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1752905 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:46:p:5088-5097 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philipp Grunau Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Grunau Author-Name: Julia Lang Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Lang Title: Retraining for the unemployed and the quality of the job match Abstract: In Germany, retraining is an important measure in active labour market policy, providing unemployed individuals with extensive vocational training. Using administrative data, we show that retraining participants are more likely to take up jobs that require their educational degree and are more often employed in those occupations for which they have received vocational training. Moreover, retraining leads to higher earnings. As these effects may be driven by the positive impact of retraining on employment, we additionally try to isolate the direct effect by restricting our analyses to those formerly unemployed who find employment irrespective of participation in retraining. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5098-5114 Issue: 47 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1753879 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1753879 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:47:p:5098-5114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Dávalos Author-X-Name-First: J. Author-X-Name-Last: Dávalos Author-Name: M. Claure Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Claure Author-Name: A. Leytón Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Leytón Title: The gender effects of the minimum wage under weak compliance with labour regulations: the case of Bolivia Abstract: This paper contributes to the minimum wage (MW) literature by providing new evidence on the gender effects of the MW in the context of weak compliance with labour regulations. We study Bolivia’s case, the country with the highest informal employment share in Latin America according to the International Labour Organization, during a favourable macroeconomic context characterized by a commodities boom that should have eased compliance with an active MW legislation. From a pooled cross-section of household surveys from 2005 to 2013 and a generalized difference-in-difference specification, we find evidence that the MW widened the hourly wage gender gap, and had negative effects on the formalization likelihood. Our findings stress the importance of enforcing compliance with the minimum wage legislation to reduce the gender wage gap. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5115-5128 Issue: 47 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1754328 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1754328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:47:p:5115-5128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Viktors Ajevskis Author-X-Name-First: Viktors Author-X-Name-Last: Ajevskis Title: The natural rate of interest: information derived from a shadow rate model Abstract: The study proposes an estimation method of the natural rate of interest based on the shadow rate term structure of interest rates model and using information from nominal yields data. For the purpose of comparison and robustness check, different samples for the estimation of the natural rate of interest – three for the euro area and two for the US – are considered. The estimates based on all considered samples show a downturn trend in the estimated natural rates of interest for the euro area. However, since the beginning of 2013, this downward trend has levelled off. Compared to the results obtained by affine models, the shadow rate model produces lower estimates of the natural rates of interest. In order to demonstrate the use of the natural rate of interest, we employ the estimated series of the natural rate of interest in the balance-approach version of the Taylor rule. The results imply that, at the end of the sample in July 2017, Taylor rule-suggested policy rates were in line with the actual ECB policy rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5129-5138 Issue: 47 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1757029 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1757029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:47:p:5129-5138 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dae-Yong Ahn Author-X-Name-First: Dae-Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Ahn Title: Competition and mergers in the retail market for toys Abstract: I study competition between big box retailers, K-Mart and Wal-Mart, and toy retailers, KB Toys and Toys R Us with the aim of estimating Wal-Mart’s effect on the profits of toy retailers. Using recent techniques for the moment inequality models, I estimate chains’ exit decisions in each market as arising from a Nash equilibrium of a static game of entry and exit. My results show that Wal-Mart has a significantly negative effect on the profits of KB Toys and Toys R Us, while the effects of KB Toys and Toys R Us are mostly positive on each other’s profits. I run a series of counterfactual simulations to study the effect of a merger between KB Toys and Toys R Us on post-merger market shares and concentration. Upon merging, the rate of exit drops from 52.3% to 48.6% for KB Toys and from 32.1% to 11.7% for Toys R Us. If the merging parties share distribution centres, the rate of exit drops even further to 31.1% for KB Toys or remains about the same at 12.2% for Toys R Us. Surprisingly, the merger lowers market concentration, as measured by the Herfindal–Hirschman Index. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5139-5157 Issue: 47 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1757030 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1757030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:47:p:5139-5157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bekzod Sarikov Author-X-Name-First: Bekzod Author-X-Name-Last: Sarikov Author-Name: Alexey Kuprianov Author-X-Name-First: Alexey Author-X-Name-Last: Kuprianov Title: The effect of monetary policy on corporate bankruptcies: evidence from the United States Abstract: In this article, we study the relationship between monetary policy and corporate bankruptcies in the USA. The main hypothesis is that an increase in the monetary base or a decrease in the federal funds rate reduces the probability of corporate bankruptcies. The main intuition lies in the economic mechanism through which both of these actions accelerate inflation and lower the real value of corporate debt. The results strongly support the main hypothesis of the paper. In addition, we also study the impact of other macroeconomic variables on bankruptcy rates. Our findings show that the total reserves of depositary institutions and the overall performance of the US corporate sector are negatively related to the frequency of corporate failures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5158-5168 Issue: 47 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1757612 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1757612 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:47:p:5158-5168 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ming-Miin Yu Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Miin Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Nan-Hsing Hsiung Author-X-Name-First: Nan-Hsing Author-X-Name-Last: Hsiung Author-Name: Li-Hsueh Chen Author-X-Name-First: Li-Hsueh Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Determinants of banks’ Nerlovian economic efficiency: a DEA-bootstrap approach Abstract: This study aims to evaluate the Nerlovian economic efficiency of Taiwanese commercial banks and its determinants by assuming the presence of an imperfectly competitive market using a two-stage estimation procedure: Nerlovian economic inefficiency and its components’ price, technical and allocative efficiencies computed and decomposed in the first stage, which are regressed on the explanatory variables with a bootstrapped truncated approach in the second stage. The estimation results show that in the first-stage analysis, the Nerlovian economic inefficiency of banks is primarily due to allocative inefficiency, and indicate the existence of price inefficiency in Taiwan. In the second-stage analysis, the results confirm that both the years in operation of the bank and the ratio of credit loans are the main determinants of banking profit efficiency. In addition, this study not only shows that publicly owned banks contribute to better price efficiency but also proves that loan loss reserve to total assets is negatively associated with technical efficiency. The equity ratio exerts an insignificant favourable impact on allocative efficiency. The findings of this research are essential for bank managers in Taiwan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5169-5187 Issue: 47 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1758619 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1758619 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:47:p:5169-5187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: John Nkwoma Inekwe Author-X-Name-First: John Nkwoma Author-X-Name-Last: Inekwe Title: Bank credit risk, grain production and the Indian economy Abstract: We generate measures of banking risk across Indian states and examine the relationship between banking risk and economic production in India. We find that banking risk co-moves with total grain production (TPG) and real gross domestic product (RGDP). The long-term impact of banking risk differs across Indian states. Ten states are negatively affected while one state maintains growth in RGDP. Likewise, the results show that six states are negatively affected while two states maintain growth in TPG. Banking risk is found to induce a larger decline in TPG than in RGDP at the national and state levels. Overall, banking risk shocks induce negative effects on both TPG and RGDP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5188-5202 Issue: 47 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1758620 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1758620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:47:p:5188-5202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian Fernandez-Perez Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandez-Perez Author-Name: Bart Frijns Author-X-Name-First: Bart Author-X-Name-Last: Frijns Author-Name: Ivan Indriawan Author-X-Name-First: Ivan Author-X-Name-Last: Indriawan Author-Name: Yiuman Tse Author-X-Name-First: Yiuman Author-X-Name-Last: Tse Title: Pairs trading of Chinese and international commodities Abstract: We investigate the profitability of a pairs trading strategy using Chinese and international commodity futures contracts covering the period January 2004 to February 2018. We use a time-series approach where the commodity pairs share a similar underlying. An out-of-sample test is employed to infer the performance of these pairs, allowing us to determine the optimal open and close positions for the pairs trading strategy. Applying this strategy to a portfolio of commodities yields an excess return of 2.08% per annum and a Sharpe ratio of 0.79. For a portfolio of metal futures, this strategy yields 5.32% excess returns and a Sharpe ratio of 1.47, whereas for gold-only futures, this strategy yields 7.39% excess returns and 1.95 Sharpe ratio. This performance is superior to traditional strategies based on term structure, momentum, and value portfolios. Arbitrage opportunities in these commodity pairs remain even after accounting for transaction costs and are robust to data-snooping bias. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5203-5217 Issue: 48 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1761009 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1761009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:48:p:5203-5217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert J. Brent Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: A CBA of corrective lenses, including the benefits for reducing the symptoms of dementia Abstract: We carried out a CBA of corrective lenses (CLs) that had direct benefits, and included indirect benefits working through a reduction in dementia symptoms. The benefits took the form of a reduction in mortality that was expressed in monetary terms by using the value of a statistical life (VSL) methodology. The indirect benefits consisted of CLs first lowering dementia symptoms and in this way reducing mortality. Estimation of the impact on mortality of CLs and dementia symptoms was carried out using a random effects Logit regression on a large national panel data set provided by the National Alzheimer’s Coordinating Centre. The effect of CLs on dementia symptoms was estimated by a fixed effects regression. The VSL figure came from the literature. The net-benefits overall were positive and large, and even positive just from the indirect dementia benefits alone. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5218-5229 Issue: 48 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1761533 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1761533 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:48:p:5218-5229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bakhtear Talukdar Author-X-Name-First: Bakhtear Author-X-Name-Last: Talukdar Author-Name: A. M. Parhizgari Author-X-Name-First: A. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Parhizgari Title: Market returns and risk factors for the emerging economies Abstract: This paper creates daily factors (much like Fama and French) and monthly aggregate idiosyncratic volatility measures for 15 emerging economies. Data deficiencies, including firm balance sheet data, are bypassed by constructing daily country factors through principal components. We focus on each country’s aggregate idiosyncratic volatility. We derive empirical measures for these volatilities and test them against prior known results. In addition, we examine the attributes of these measures by employing regime-switching, trend tests, and multiple structural breaks. An expository effort is also made to interpret the derived factors and examine their performance. Our findings indicate that the derived volatility series are robust and empirically valid in correctly detecting most of the exact timing of known volatility periods. The derived factors and volatility series will be posted online for free public access and are expected to be updated on a regular basis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5230-5243 Issue: 48 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1761534 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1761534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:48:p:5230-5243 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Madhusudan Karmakar Author-X-Name-First: Madhusudan Author-X-Name-Last: Karmakar Author-Name: Udayan Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Udayan Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: Measuring quantile risk hedging effectiveness: a GO-GARCH-EVT-copula approach Abstract: In this study, we propose a new GO-GARCH-EVT-copula combined approach to estimate minimum quantile risk hedge ratios. We examine the hedging effectiveness of the proposed model in comparison with three other competing models. In doing so, we consider thirty-five pairs of daily spot and futures price series data from various stock, currency, and commodity markets across the world. The evidence suggests that the proposed combined approach performs best in estimating minimum quantile risk hedge ratios. The superior performance is likely due to the combined approach’s ability to appropriately capture the statistical features of the data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5244-5262 Issue: 48 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1761535 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1761535 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:48:p:5244-5262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isabelle Cadoret Author-X-Name-First: Isabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Cadoret Author-Name: Emma Galli Author-X-Name-First: Emma Author-X-Name-Last: Galli Author-Name: Fabio Padovano Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Padovano Title: How do governments actually use environmental taxes? Abstract: This paper empirically examines how governments actually use environmental taxes, by looking to what extent their resort to this type of taxation is consistent with three alternative interpretations of environmental taxes proposed by the welfare economics theoretical literature: the strict and the broad Pigouvian and the double dividend hypotheses. We also extend our analysis to an alternative vision of politics, the Leviathan model, to verify how governments that are imperfectly accountable use environmental taxes. Each theory leads to alternative testable hypotheses, which we verify on a sample that minimizes the analysts’ discretionary evaluations, the EU-28 countries that committed themselves to reducing the greenhouse gas emissions by 2020. The estimates lend support to the strict Pigouvian hypothesis and, to a lesser extent, to a version of the double dividend hypothesis, where personal income taxes are ‘recycled’ by environmental ones. The other interpretations do not appear consistent with the data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5263-5281 Issue: 48 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1761536 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1761536 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:48:p:5263-5281 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael T. French Author-X-Name-First: Michael T. Author-X-Name-Last: French Author-Name: Ioana Popovici Author-X-Name-First: Ioana Author-X-Name-Last: Popovici Author-Name: Andrew R. Timming Author-X-Name-First: Andrew R. Author-X-Name-Last: Timming Title: Analysing the effect of commuting time on earnings among young adults Abstract: A few recent studies find a positive relationship between workplace income and commuting distance among the general population. However, young adults, with less advanced labour market skills, might be more likely to accept longer commutes even if they are not compensated with higher earnings in the short-run. We examine the relationship between commuting time and earnings in a sample of young adults from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health. We employ various statistical approaches to disentangle the effects of commuting time on earnings while controlling for numerous socio-demographic factors, occupation, irregular work schedules or part-time work, transportation mode, and other explanatory variables. Our results indicate that 10 additional minutes of one-way commuting time is associated with a 2.9% (2.8%) increase in annual income for young adult men (women). These findings have implications for employers, young employees, workplace advocates, and policymakers as commuting is a prominent component of work–life balance for most individuals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5282-5297 Issue: 48 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1761537 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1761537 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:48:p:5282-5297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liang Wu Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Shujuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shujuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Long memory and efficiency of Bitcoin under heavy tails Abstract: The long memory is usually defined via auto-covariances which further connect with Hurst exponent. The heavy tails in Bitcoin returns can cause infinite auto-covariances which make the analysis of long memory and market efficiency in Bitcoin based on estimation of Hurst exponent inappropriate. Few literatures focus on this problem. We provide two approaches based on shuffling method and rank-ordered technique to this problem, and further combine them to analyse the time-varying efficiency and long memory in Bitcoin using sliding window. Results show that the inefficiency and long memory exist in Bitcoin before 2014 and after mid-2017. Especially, the latest data reveal a recent new change that the Bitcoin market has become inefficient and exhibited long memory behaviour since mid-2017, but is turning back to efficiency recently. This change may be due to the frequent key events of Bitcoin in 2017 and 2018, which can break the weak efficiency of Bitcoin. The heavy negative tails with $$\alpha \lt 2$$α<2 before September 2016 validate the necessity of our analysis under heavy tails. Besides, the change trend and exact sub-periods of efficiency and long memory are first obtained via empirical mode decomposition of Hurst exponent estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5298-5309 Issue: 48 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1761942 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1761942 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:48:p:5298-5309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Waqas Hanif Author-X-Name-First: Waqas Author-X-Name-Last: Hanif Author-Name: Jose Arreola-Hernandez Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Arreola-Hernandez Author-Name: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Syed Jawad Author-X-Name-Last: Hussain Shahzad Author-Name: Thi Hong Van Hoang Author-X-Name-First: Thi Hong Van Author-X-Name-Last: Hoang Author-Name: Seong-Min Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Regional and copula estimation effects on EU and US energy equity portfolios Abstract: The aim of this paper is to investigate the regional interdependence structure of energy equities in the US and in the EU. Based on weekly stock prices of 28 big energy firms in the two regions from 2008 to 2019, we compare the efficiency of using bivariate or multivariate copulas to describe the dependence structure of energy equities. Furthermore, we investigate the impact of the choice between these two methods on the performance of energy equity portfolios. Our empirical results show that multivariate copulas, such as C-Vine, allow to better describe the dependence structure of energy equities. We also find that there is a stronger and more complex dependence structure among EU energy equities than among US energy equities. Our scenario analysis also shows that the dependence structure is stronger during the GFC while being weaker during the ESDC. More importantly, the correlation matrix obtained from the multivariate copula method allows to obtain optimal mean-CVaR portfolios with a higher performance than that from the bivariate copula method. More importantly, optimal portfolios constituted with multivariate copulas allow to reduce the portfolio’s sensitivity to oil prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5311-5342 Issue: 49 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1763244 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1763244 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:49:p:5311-5342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simon Alfano Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Alfano Author-Name: Stefan Feuerriegel Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Feuerriegel Author-Name: Dirk Neumann Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Neumann Title: Language sentiment in fundamental and noise trading: evidence from crude oil Abstract: Recent research has found the language sentiment in financial news to be a substantial driver of prices in financial markets, though there are two diametrically opposed interpretations for this: either markets perceive news sentiment as fundamental information (thus leading to changes in the valuation of assets) or news sentiment conveys a noise signal (thus contributing to the stochastic component of prices). The opposite roles are resolved in the context of crude oil prices by decomposing price movements into two components referring to fundamental and noise trading. Contrary to theoretical arguments in prior literature, we find empirical results supporting both interpretations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5343-5363 Issue: 49 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1763245 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1763245 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:49:p:5343-5363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jos L.T. Blank Author-X-Name-First: Jos L.T. Author-X-Name-Last: Blank Title: The use of the scaling property in a frontier analysis of a system of equations Abstract: This article presents a one-stage efficiency frontier analysis based on the scaling property. This type of analysis is a not very often applied in empirical work in spite of its nice features. Due to the scaling property the influence of exogenous (managerial) variables on efficiency can be modelled and estimated in one stage. It also opens the possibility of estimating a system of equations, consisting of a cost function and the corresponding cost share equations. The model is applied to a unique data set of Dutch secondary education school boards in the period 2007–10, not only consisting of regular data on cost, inputs and outputs, but also of specific data on operational management. The model provides reliable and plausible estimates for the cost efficiency, scale elasticity, and technical change. Average cost efficiency is about 96%. Economies of scale prevail for school boards with size less than 0.8 times average size, whereas annual productivity growth is 2.2% on average. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5364-5374 Issue: 49 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1763246 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1763246 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:49:p:5364-5374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoqi Huang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoqi Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Wei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yuzhao Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yuzhao Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Currency internationalization and valuation effects: based on the threshold model Abstract: Based on the three functions of currency internationalization, including exchange medium, pricing currency and foreign reserve, this paper explores how the degree of currency internationalization affects the impact of the exchange rate and the asset price on valuation effects. Using samples of 161 countries or regions from 2001 to 2016 and the threshold regression method, we find that, firstly, there is a threshold effect of the exchange rate on valuation effects due to currency internationalization. The higher the comprehensive level of currency internationalization is, the greater the positive impact of the exchange rate on valuation effects will be. Secondly, the threshold effect of the asset price on valuation effects due to currency internationalization is not significant because of the high stickiness of asset price. Besides, compared with developed countries, currency internationalization is more important to increase valuation effects through exchange rate channel and asset price channel in developing countries or regions. Finally, there are some differences in the three types of currency internationalization functions. The promotion of exchange medium function will lead to a greater positive impact of the exchange rate on valuation effects, as well as pricing currency function. However, the foreign reserve function has no such effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5375-5398 Issue: 49 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1763907 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1763907 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:49:p:5375-5398 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Jebaraj Benjamin Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Jebaraj Author-X-Name-Last: Benjamin Author-Name: Dereje Getachew Regasa Author-X-Name-First: Dereje Getachew Author-X-Name-Last: Regasa Author-Name: Nirosha Hewa Wellalage Author-X-Name-First: Nirosha Hewa Author-X-Name-Last: Wellalage Author-Name: M Srikamalaladevi M Marathamuthu Author-X-Name-First: M Srikamalaladevi Author-X-Name-Last: M Marathamuthu Title: Waste disclosure and corporate cash holdings Abstract: In this paper, we address an important and emerging question: Can firms’ voluntary waste disclosure affect corporate cash holdings? Using a sample of S&P 500 firms, we find strong evidence for a positive relationship between waste disclosure and the cash holding policy of firms. Furthermore, we find that waste disclosure significantly increases cash holdings only for firms with strong corporate governance quality. We also find that the significant relationship between waste disclosure and cash holdings remains unchanged only for firms that operate in environmentally sensitive industries. Our paper provides novel evidence on the role of voluntary waste disclosure as an environmental dimension that influences the cash policy of firms and highlights the little-known issue of waste disclosure as a significant research topic. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5399-5412 Issue: 49 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1764480 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1764480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:49:p:5399-5412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas M. Fullerton Author-X-Name-First: Thomas M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fullerton Author-Name: Esmeralda P. Muñiz Author-X-Name-First: Esmeralda P. Author-X-Name-Last: Muñiz Title: Credit union loan rate determinants in the United States Abstract: Credit union participation in the consumer lending market continues to grow as an increasing number of consumers and small businesses become members and open accounts. This study investigates the determinants of credit union loan rates during a period of economic expansion in the United States using fourth quarter 2015 data for 5,942 credit unions. Five different interest rate categories are analysed using nine potential loan rate determinants. Results indicate that loan rates tend to be lower as credit union size increases, while high ratios for net charge-offs and operating costs cause interest rates to increase. Opposite to what is expected, loan rates are positively correlated with regional unemployment rates. A possible explanation for this outcome is that weak labour markets are associated with elevated loan delinquency rates and, therefore, greater default risks resulting in higher interest rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5413-5425 Issue: 49 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1764481 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1764481 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:49:p:5413-5425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Debdatta Pal Author-X-Name-First: Debdatta Author-X-Name-Last: Pal Author-Name: Subrata Kumar Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Subrata Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Title: Time-frequency dynamics of return spillover from crude oil to agricultural commodities Abstract: We explore return spillover from crude oil to ethanol, corn, soybean and wheat on daily data during 17 May 2005–27 June 2018. This study is unique in capturing the time-frequency dynamics of return spillover. We use the frequency-dependent spillover measure that jointly captures information from time and frequency domain. We also identify two endogenous break dates that segregate the study period in three sub-periods. Our results indicate that return spillover from crude oil to ethanol, major feed stocks (i.e. corn and soybean) and food crop (i.e. wheat) is pronounced only in lower frequency band or long-term (more than 1 month). We find that return spillover is stronger only during 2005–2010, i.e. the period of energy and food crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5426-5445 Issue: 49 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1764482 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1764482 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:49:p:5426-5445 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: María Candelaria Barrios González Author-X-Name-First: María Candelaria Barrios Author-X-Name-Last: González Author-Name: Heather L. R. Tierney Author-X-Name-First: Heather L. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Tierney Author-Name: Zafar Nazarov Author-X-Name-First: Zafar Author-X-Name-Last: Nazarov Author-Name: Myeong Hwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Myeong Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Divided: the two Americas-examining club convergence in the U.S. Abstract: This paper finds club convergence within the 50 U.S. states using the Phillips and Sul regression-based convergence test with per capita real state domestic product from 1997 to 2017. Two clubs with diverging transition paths are found. Clubs 1 and 2 mimics the divide that is seen in the flow of funds from the federal government to the states. Hence, the Phillips and Sul logt test is telling the tale of there being two Americas if all factors remain the same, but this need not be the case with the proper policy prescription. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5783-5796 Issue: 53 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1776832 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1776832 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:53:p:5783-5796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arne Feddersen Author-X-Name-First: Arne Author-X-Name-Last: Feddersen Author-Name: Brad R. Humphreys Author-X-Name-First: Brad R. Author-X-Name-Last: Humphreys Author-Name: Brian P. Soebbing Author-X-Name-First: Brian P. Author-X-Name-Last: Soebbing Title: Casual bettors and sentiment bias in NBA and NFL betting Abstract: Sentiment bias, defined as investment decisions made for reasons unrelated to fundamentals and related to popularity, represents a common research topic in finance and economics. Empirical research on sentiment bias frequently uses data from sports betting markets. While research generally finds evidence of sentiment bias, in particular, due to team popularity, the prevalence of this bias among fans and bettors in many sports remains unclear and identification of markets with relatively larger numbers of bettors with sentiment bias poses empirical challenges. We analyse outcomes in betting markets for games played in two North American team sports leagues, the National Basketball Association (NBA) and National Football League (NFL) from the 2012–13 to 2016–17 seasons and investigate how game timing, in terms of games played on weekdays and weekends, may affect the presence of bettors with popularity-based sentiment bias. Probit model estimates explaining the probability that a bet on a team wins indicate patterns consistent with the presence of bettors with sentiment bias in the markets for betting on games in the NFL but not in the NBA, and the presence of more such bettors for NFL games played on weekends. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5797-5806 Issue: 53 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1776833 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1776833 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:53:p:5797-5806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ficawoyi Donou-Adonsou Author-X-Name-First: Ficawoyi Author-X-Name-Last: Donou-Adonsou Author-Name: Gyan Pradhan Author-X-Name-First: Gyan Author-X-Name-Last: Pradhan Author-Name: Hem C. Basnet Author-X-Name-First: Hem C. Author-X-Name-Last: Basnet Title: Remittance inflows and financial development: evidence from the top recipient countries in Sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: This paper utilizes a panel cointegration approach to investigate the relationship between remittances and financial development in the top remittance recipient countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. Our results point to a significant and positive long-run relationship. More specifically, the pooled-mean group estimates indicate that a one-percentage point increase in remittance inflows promotes financial development by more than one percentage point. In addition, the results support the existence of bidirectional causality between remittances and financial development in the long-run. We also find some evidence that remittance pricing has a negative impact on the long-run relationship between remittances and financial development. While the results suggest that remittance inflows promote financial development, migrant workers may be timing the foreign exchange market to remit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5807-5820 Issue: 53 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1776834 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1776834 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:53:p:5807-5820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matteo M. Marini Author-X-Name-First: Matteo M. Author-X-Name-Last: Marini Author-Name: Aurora García-Gallego Author-X-Name-First: Aurora Author-X-Name-Last: García-Gallego Author-Name: Luca Corazzini Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Corazzini Title: Communication in a threshold public goods game under ambiguity Abstract: This paper offers evidence on the impact of communication on the provision of public goods whose quality is uncertain, such as investment in prevention or fundraising in favour of non-governmental organizations (NGO). We run a laboratory experiment with two treatments, where the control variable is pre-play communication via unrestricted text chat. A binary threshold public goods game with four-person groups, threshold of three contributors and provision mechanism with elements of ambiguity is at the core of the design. A private signal linked to the real value of the public good supports the contribution decision. We find that unexpected low-valued public goods can undermine future willingness to contribute, although the benefits of communication still prevail in the form of higher public good provision. We also detect unprecedented inefficiency coming from overcontribution, given that subjects tend to neglect the free-rider problem. Chat analysis reveals that players favour the minimization of ambiguity over the maximization of the group earnings, so that we finally speculate that under uncertainty satisficing is more salient than optimizing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5821-5842 Issue: 53 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1776835 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1776835 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:53:p:5821-5842 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arnar Buason Author-X-Name-First: Arnar Author-X-Name-Last: Buason Author-Name: Dadi Kristofersson Author-X-Name-First: Dadi Author-X-Name-Last: Kristofersson Author-Name: Kyrre Rickertsen Author-X-Name-First: Kyrre Author-X-Name-Last: Rickertsen Title: Demand systems and frequency of purchase models Abstract: Understanding the frequencies of purchase and the average purchased quantities is important for marketing strategies such as the loss-leader pricing strategy. We develop a framework for analysing a demand system incorporating both these dimensions and show how the results can be used to formulate profitable marketing strategies for large food retailers. In our microeconomic model, total purchases are determined by two demand systems; one for frequencies and one for average quantities purchased conditional on positive purchase frequencies. An econometric model was developed to estimate the two systems by a Bayesian estimation method, which allows for an unrestricted covariance structure within each system. We estimated the systems using French scanner data for purchases of fresh salmon, fresh white fish and other fresh fish. The own-price elasticities for total quantities purchased were very similar in magnitude, whereas the own-price elasticities for purchase frequencies and average quantities purchased varied more. This variation can be used to determine good loss-leader products for a large retailer. In our case, it involves lowering the price of salmon and increasing the price of white fish. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5843-5858 Issue: 53 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1776836 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1776836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:53:p:5843-5858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: HaiYue Liu Author-X-Name-First: HaiYue Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yile Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yile Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Dongmei He Author-X-Name-First: Dongmei Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Cangyu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Cangyu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Short term response of Chinese stock markets to the outbreak of COVID-19 Abstract: China’s economy and the Asian stock markets have been severely impacted by the COVID-19 outbreak. This article used an event study method to calculate the abnormal returns (AR) in the 10 trading days following the outbreak, from which it was found that both the Chinese and Asian stock markets had significantly declined, with the cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) remaining negative in all the examined event window periods. This article also analysed the different industry index responses to the epidemic, from which it was found that the pharmaceutical manufacturing, software and IT services both had positive CAR, while transportation, lodging and catering had negative CAR during the event window. These results reflected the investors’ expectations for the different industries and the economy as a whole under the outbreak of the contagious coronavirus. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5859-5872 Issue: 53 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1776837 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1776837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:53:p:5859-5872 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tanweer Akram Author-X-Name-First: Tanweer Author-X-Name-Last: Akram Author-Name: Huiqing Li Author-X-Name-First: Huiqing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: JGBs’ chronically low nominal yields: a VEC approach Abstract: Low short-term interest rates, induced by the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) accommodative monetary policy, is mainly responsible for keeping long-term Japanese government bonds’ (JGBs) nominal yields exceptionally low for a protracted period. Elevated government debt and deficit ratios do not exert upward pressure on JGBs’ nominal yields. This paper provides an empirical investigation of chronically low nominal yields of JGBs from a Keynesian perspective. It deploys a Vector Error Correction (VEC) approach to model long-term government bond yields. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5873-5893 Issue: 53 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1776838 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1776838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:53:p:5873-5893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aaron Grau Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Grau Author-Name: Martin Odening Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Odening Author-Name: Matthias Ritter Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Ritter Title: Land price diffusion across borders – the case of Germany Abstract: Land market regulations are often justified by the assumption that activities of foreign and non-agricultural investors drive up prices in domestic land markets. However, empirical knowledge about the dynamics of agricultural land prices across borders is sparse. Using the German reunification as a natural experiment, we study the effect of the former inner German border on the dynamics of agricultural land prices in East and West Germany. We apply a land price diffusion model with an error correction specification to analyse spatial agricultural land markets. A novel feature of our model is its ability to distinguish price diffusion within states and across state borders. We provide evidence for a persistent border effect given that the fraction of spatially integrated counties is larger within states than across the former border. Moreover, we observe non-significant error correction terms for many counties along the former border. From a policy perspective, it is striking to realize that even 25 years after German reunification, pronounced land price differences persist. It is quite likely that price diffusion through existing borders within the EU would take even more time given language barriers, different institutional frameworks, and information asymmetries between domestic and foreign market participants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5446-5463 Issue: 50 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1673299 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1673299 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:50:p:5446-5463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luigi Aldieri Author-X-Name-First: Luigi Author-X-Name-Last: Aldieri Author-Name: Cristian Barra Author-X-Name-First: Cristian Author-X-Name-Last: Barra Author-Name: Nazzareno Ruggiero Author-X-Name-First: Nazzareno Author-X-Name-Last: Ruggiero Author-Name: Concetto Paolo Vinci Author-X-Name-First: Concetto Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Vinci Title: Innovative performance effects of institutional quality: an empirical investigation from the Triad Abstract: Using data for a set of 823 R&D-intense manufacturing firms within the Triad and the Quality of Government (QoG) dataset over the 2002–2010 period, this article investigates the effects of institutional quality upon firms’ inefficiency, through the application of a Stochastic Frontier Approach (SFA). Empirical evidence, which is robust to alternative specifications of the technology employed and different lag structures in R&D activities, reveals that improvements in the quality of institutions significantly reduce firms’ inefficiency and suggests that, among the set of relevant institutional factors considered, a pre-eminent role is found for the rule of law. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5464-5476 Issue: 50 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1764483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1764483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:50:p:5464-5476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kaili Peng Author-X-Name-First: Kaili Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Chen Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Yao Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Land transfer in rural China: incentives, influencing factors and income effects Abstract: Land transfer incentives and their effect on farmers’ income in developing countries have been widely examined in the literate, but little is known about the driving mechanism of rural household income effect during land transfer. To fill in this gap, this paper explains the incentives of land transfer, analyses the influencing factors of farmers’ decision on land transfer, then measures the income effects of land transfer and identifies the main sources of income effects, utilizing open-access data collected through the China Family Panel Studies. The empirical results show that land flow out or in is beneficial to raise farmers’ income, indicating that the income effects have a positive feedback to farmers’ decision on land transfer. Further analyses reveal that land flow-out farmers and land flow-in farmers have different main sources of income growth. Our finding suggest that optimizing the incentive role of China’s existing rural land property system can help orderly flow of rural land resources, which subsequently increases rural household income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5477-5490 Issue: 50 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1764484 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1764484 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:50:p:5477-5490 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Douglas Kai Tim Wong Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Kai Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Title: A re-examination of the impacts of macroeconomic and financial shocks on real exchange rate fluctuation: evidence from G7 and Asian countries Abstract: This paper aims to investigate the sources of real exchange rate fluctuation by utilizing sign restrictions in structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) method. Under an agnostic identification scheme, the empirical results show that the delayed overshooting puzzle still exists in response to monetary shock even if price puzzle is ruled out by construction. In contrast, all countries experience a significant initial real depreciation, and then gradually appreciate in response to currency risk premium (CRP) shock. This finding is consistent with Dornbusch’s overshooting model. In addition, I examine the importance of investors’ expectations in determining the short-term variations in the real exchange rate. The results indicate that the CRP and expectation shocks obviously outperformed the demand, supply and monetary shocks in terms of explaining the real exchange rate fluctuation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5491-5515 Issue: 50 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1765962 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1765962 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:50:p:5491-5515 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Cameron Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Cameron Author-Name: Hendrik Sonnabend Author-X-Name-First: Hendrik Author-X-Name-Last: Sonnabend Title: Pricing the Groove: hedonic equation estimates for rare vinyl records Abstract: This contribution adds to the economic literature on the market value of rarity in markets for cultural collectible goods by studying the price of rare audio recordings (chiefly vinyl) sold on the online marketplace Discogs. Community-based variables serve as proxies for (inverse) rarity and (potential) demand. Results show that the elasticity of price with respect to our measure of inverse rarity (demand) ranges between −0.120 and −0.140 (0.150 and 0.160). In addition, effects of hedonic characteristics such as the popularity or collectibility of an artist can be identified. Finally, the study provides evidence for premia for rarity at the top end of the distribution of prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5516-5530 Issue: 50 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1765963 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1765963 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:50:p:5516-5530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Corinna Hentschker Author-X-Name-First: Corinna Author-X-Name-Last: Hentschker Author-Name: Ansgar Wübker Author-X-Name-First: Ansgar Author-X-Name-Last: Wübker Title: Quasi-experimental evidence on the effectiveness of heart attack treatment in Germany Abstract: Medical technological progress has been shown to be the main driver of health care costs. A key policy question is whether new treatment options are worth the additional costs. In this analysis we assess the causal effect of percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA), a major new heart attack treatment, on mortality. We use a full sample of administrative hospital data from Germany for the years 2005 to 2007. To account for non-random treatment assignment of PTCA, instrumental variable approaches are implemented that aim to randomize patients into getting PTCA independent of heart attack severity. Instruments include differential distances to PTCA hospitals and regional PTCA rates. Our results suggest a 4.5 absolute percentage point mortality reduction for patients who have access to PTCA compared to patients receiving only conservative treatment. We relate mortality reduction to the additional costs for this treatment and conclude that PTCA treatment is cost-effective in lowering mortality for AMI patients at reasonable cost-effectiveness thresholds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5531-5545 Issue: 50 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1765964 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1765964 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:50:p:5531-5545 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: María José Quinteros Author-X-Name-First: María José Author-X-Name-Last: Quinteros Author-Name: Rafael Sánchez Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Sánchez Author-Name: Mauricio G. Villena Author-X-Name-First: Mauricio G. Author-X-Name-Last: Villena Title: How do business schools compete in Latin America? Stability and best predictors of success for the AmericaEconomia MBA Ranking Abstract: The main aim of this paper is to present a longitudinal analysis of the AmericaEconomia MBA Ranking for the period 2005–2014. AmericaEconomia was the first international ranking specifically devoted to Latin American business schools, and with data gathered from this publication, we build a panel to study its stability and the main determinants of a school‘s position in such ranking. We examine the reliability of the ranking, that is whether changes in the relative positions are not just due to white noise, and compare its stability with those of the US and other global rankings. We also empirically determine which are the key quality variables this ranking is promoting for Latin America Business Schools and the evolution of these business schools during the period under study. Unlike previous literature that usually considers dynamic Tobit models for ranking analysis, we put forwards an alternative methodology based on a system GMM estimator with first-differenced instruments. We argue that dynamic Tobit models are appropriate only if you have truncated data about the ranking variable but full data on Business Schools variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5546-5563 Issue: 50 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1765965 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1765965 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:50:p:5546-5563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Nordström Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Nordström Title: Consumption and the interest rate – A changing dynamic? Abstract: This article addresses the question of whether the relation between the short interest rate and consumption growth has been stable over the financial crisis and the ensuing period of unconventional monetary policy. The question is addressed by assessing models using constant or drifting parameters as well as models with or without stochastic volatility in a Bayesian VAR framework, based on data from the USA and Sweden. According to the results, the response of interest rates to shocks in consumption growth has decreased for both countries, which could be because the central banks were constrained by the zero lower bound. When shadow rates are used to study the impact of unconventional monetary policy the results suggest that the Federal Reserve successfully maintained an active monetary policy in spite of the zero lower bound. The responsiveness of the Riksbank, on the other hand, decreases in face of the zero lower bound even when unconventional monetary policy is considered. The response of consumption growth to short interest rates is best modelled as constant over the period. Finally, results support the inclusion of stochastic volatility throughout estimations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5564-5578 Issue: 51 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1765966 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1765966 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:51:p:5564-5578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fumin Deng Author-X-Name-First: Fumin Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Author-Name: Yaqi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yaqi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zhi Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xuedong Liang Author-X-Name-First: Xuedong Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Title: China’s Technology Spillover Effects in the Countries along the Belt and Road — Evidence from 49 BRI Countries Abstract: China ’s aims for the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) are to improve the trade and investment conditions along the BRI routes and develop a value-sharing platform with countries along the route to promote mutual benefits. Studies have found it’s possible that international trade and investment could lead to technological progress in the host countries. However, over the past 7 years, the effects of the BRI have not been fully evaluated and therefore, there is no clear evidence as to whether China, as an emerging economy, has had the ability to promote technology development in the BRI countries, or as to whether the BRI countries have the ability to effectively absorb imported technology. Therefore, to clarify the gains of the BRI and provide future guarantees for political mutual trust and deepening economic integration, this paper examined the technological progress in 49 BRI countries from 2003 to 2017. It was found that China had dual-channel technology spillover effects from trade and investment with the evaluated BRI countries; with the introduction of the BRI, the trade channel technology spillover effects had an increasing trend and the investment impacts were more persistent. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5579-5594 Issue: 51 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1767282 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1767282 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:51:p:5579-5594 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Gill Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Gill Author-Name: Kristin J. Kleinjans Author-X-Name-First: Kristin J. Author-X-Name-Last: Kleinjans Title: The effect of the fall of the Berlin Wall on children’s noncognitive skills Abstract: The noncognitive skill of conscientiousness has been linked to favourable labour market and health outcomes. But how is conscientiousness affected by events that happen in childhood? We investigate the effects of negative parental selection and economic and social upheaval on conscientiousness in adulthood using data from the German Socioeconomic Panel (SOEP). Our identification strategy exploits the steep drop in fertility that occurred in the former East Germany following the fall of the Berlin Wall and the collapse of the socialist regime. Using an event study analysis and a difference-in-differences estimator with the former West Germany as a control group, we find that women conceived in East Germany in the three-year period following the fall the Berlin Wall are less conscientious as adults than women born after this period and before the fall of the Berlin Wall. We interpret our findings as evidence of a detrimental effect of negative parental selection on women’s conscientiousness. In contrast, we find no effects of negative parental selection on the conscientiousness of men. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5595-5612 Issue: 51 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1770189 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1770189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:51:p:5595-5612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xian Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xian Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Barrett E. Kirwan Author-X-Name-First: Barrett E. Author-X-Name-Last: Kirwan Title: Political influence in the distribution of agricultural disaster payments Abstract: This paper examines the impact of committee membership and electoral votes on the distribution of ad hoc agricultural disaster payments across U.S. counties. Our results show that both House oversight committees and political parties determine the allocation of payments. We find a positive and significant committee membership effect for both the Agriculture committee and the Appropriations committee, although the effect of the latter is due mainly to its majority members and the Agriculture subcommittee. Our results also show that parties target benefits to their core constituents, supporting the core voter models. Areas where the majority party have higher levels of electoral support tend to receive larger shares of payments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5613-5628 Issue: 51 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1770190 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1770190 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:51:p:5613-5628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rodney Fort Author-X-Name-First: Rodney Author-X-Name-Last: Fort Author-Name: Young H. Lee Author-X-Name-First: Young H. Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Transition to an unbalanced Sports League schedule: adding the analysis of outcome uncertainty Abstract: We extend the literature on unbiased estimators of sports league outcomes to include outcome uncertainty. While competitive balance and outcome uncertainty are related, generally, they are not the same thing. We show that an extant unbiased estimator of competitive balance, and our new unbiased estimator of outcome uncertainty, bear this out. The impacts on both competitive balance and outcome uncertainty, moving from a balanced to an unbalanced schedule, are demonstrated via numerical analysis. Finally, the unbiased estimators are employed to test the implications of our numerical analysis on the move by the Scottish Professional Football League to an unbalanced schedule. Results conform to our simulations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5629-5638 Issue: 51 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1770191 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1770191 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:51:p:5629-5638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhaobin Fan Author-X-Name-First: Zhaobin Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Yongli Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Yongli Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Sajid Anwar Author-X-Name-First: Sajid Author-X-Name-Last: Anwar Title: Macroeconomic uncertainty, cultural traits and entrepreneurship Abstract: The relationship between macroeconomic uncertainty and entrepreneurial activities has been the subject of intense debate among researchers. However, existing empirical studies report mixed findings. By examining the mediating role of cultural traits, we attempt to reconcile the conflicting results concerning the direction of the relationship between macroeconomic uncertainty and entrepreneurial activities. Specifically, we argue that the effect of macroeconomic uncertainty on entrepreneurial activities varies across the cultural trait of uncertainty avoidance. In countries where the prevailing culture is overwhelmingly characterized by low uncertainty avoidance, macroeconomic uncertainty is positively associated with entrepreneurial activities. By contrast, in countries where the prevailing culture is overwhelmingly characterized by high uncertainty avoidance, macroeconomic uncertainty is negatively related to entrepreneurial activities. Using data on 36 countries over the 2006–2016 period and employing the negative binomial regression technique, we find empirical support for our hypotheses. A series of robustness tests confirm the reliability of our empirical results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5639-5652 Issue: 51 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1770192 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1770192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:51:p:5639-5652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suyun Chen Author-X-Name-First: Suyun Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Yiping Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yiping Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Xinyi Shi Author-X-Name-First: Xinyi Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Hengyun Ma Author-X-Name-First: Hengyun Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Ruifeng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ruifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Why do many a-share listed companies eagerly disclose food safety information in China?—from the perspective of financing constraints Abstract: Recently, many listed food companies have started to eagerly disclose their food safety information; the question is, why? This study empirically tests the impacts of food safety information disclosure (FSID) on corporate financing constraints using a panel dataset. The results show that FSID is negatively correlated with equity financing constraint, while its degree is negatively correlated with debt financing constraint. FSID has a larger influence on the financing constraints of state-owned enterprises. Therefore, the standardized FSID is conducive to establishing a mechanism connecting an enterprise with government supervision, and to forming a bottom-up information transmission path in food safety production. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5653-5666 Issue: 51 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1770193 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1770193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:51:p:5653-5666 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Geng Peng Author-X-Name-First: Geng Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Xiaodan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaodan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Fang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Wenyi Lu Author-X-Name-First: Wenyi Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Yongxing Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yongxing Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Qiang Yin Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Title: On the relationship between financial literacy and choice behaviours under different risk elicitation methods in surveys Abstract: A few pieces of literature based primarily on experiments have proved that the risk elicitation instrument can affect the measurement of subject’s risk preferences. Using the China Household Finance Survey data, we focus on the risk choice behaviours of respondents when they choose between two different elicitation methods that have different complexities and a different number of options, respectively. Specifically, one is simpler but with more options, and another is more complex but with fewer options. Moreover, we further discuss the impact of two methods on the relationship between financial literacy and risk attitude. The theoretical and empirical studies indicate that the respondents will be more risk-loving in the elicitation method with simpler and more options because of computation avoiding and noisy behaviours. Also, this paper finds that financial literacy has a positive relation with risk preferences, and low-literacy respondents have more irrational drift behaviours of risk choice. Our results suggest that it is vital to tradeoff the complexity and number of options for risk elicitation methods in surveys. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6090-6099 Issue: 56 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1784385 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1784385 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:56:p:6090-6099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chunpeng Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chunpeng Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Xiaoyi Hu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyi Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Order imbalance beta and stock returns Abstract: This paper studies the impact of order imbalance beta on cross-sectional stock returns in the Chinese stock market. We measure the daily order imbalance beta, which is defined as the sensitivity of stock returns to changes in stock order imbalance, and show at the individual stock level that stocks with higher order imbalance betas contemporaneously have higher average returns. Furthermore, we find that higher order imbalance beta stocks tend to be smaller, and have lower trading volumes, lower prices and lower turnover rates. Moreover, we find that the long-horizon (1-, 3-, 6- and 12-month) effect of order imbalance beta on stock returns is consistent with the previous daily effect. Finally, we prove that the positive relationship between order imbalance beta and stock returns is robust in different stock markets in China and when using different minimum day limits (30, 45 and 60 days) to estimate order imbalance beta. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6100-6113 Issue: 56 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1784386 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1784386 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:56:p:6100-6113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yanan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yanan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Kyle A. Kelly Author-X-Name-First: Kyle A. Author-X-Name-Last: Kelly Title: Rate of return to schooling and business cycles Abstract: This paper examines the effects of the economic conditions – unemployment rate and unemployment change – on the rate of returns to schooling, as well as the effects on the gender difference in the returns to schooling during business cycles. Data from American Community Survey 2000–2017 shows that economic conditions have significant effects on the rate of return to schooling for both men and women, and the gender difference exists. Unemployment has positive effects on the rate of return to schooling for both men and women. The returns to schooling are expected to increase in recessions and decrease in expansions for both men and women. In addition, the effects are greater for men than for women. The female-male difference in the rate of return to schooling is expected to be smaller as unemployment rate goes up and greater as unemployment rate goes down. We also find men’s returns to schooling are more sensitively responded to the economic conditions change than women’s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6114-6122 Issue: 56 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1784387 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1784387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:56:p:6114-6122 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Florian Kiesel Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Kiesel Author-Name: Florian Manz Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Manz Author-Name: Dirk Schiereck Author-X-Name-First: Dirk Author-X-Name-Last: Schiereck Title: The conditional stock market response to banks’ distressed asset sales on CDS availability Abstract: This paper analyzes the stock market feedback on bank announcements of non-performing loan (NPL) sales, conditional on whether credit default swaps (CDS) are traded on the vendor bank’s debt or not. Using a sample of 259 NPL sale announcements from 2012–2018, we find that NPL sales are related to positive abnormal stock returns if there is no CDS trading on the vendor bank’s debt. In contrast, if a CDS on the bank’s debt is outstanding, we find a negative stock market reaction. Similarly, we provide evidence that the positive market reaction is muted for banks that are considered too-big-to-fail. While the regulator currently strengthens NPL sales, our results provide evidence that CDS trading reassigns banks’ risk exposure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6123-6135 Issue: 56 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1784388 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1784388 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:56:p:6123-6135 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tânia Gonçalves Author-X-Name-First: Tânia Author-X-Name-Last: Gonçalves Author-Name: Lina Lourenço-Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Lina Author-X-Name-Last: Lourenço-Gomes Author-Name: Lígia Pinto Author-X-Name-First: Lígia Author-X-Name-Last: Pinto Title: Modelling consumer preferences heterogeneity in emerging wine markets: a latent class analysis Abstract: The purpose of this study is to explore the Russian and Chinese emerging markets for imported wines, by assessing Beijing and Moscow consumer demand for different attributes. This study employs the Discrete Choice Experiments technique to evaluate consumer preferences and willingness-to-pay for the selected wine attributes (medals, alcohol level, landscape certification, country of origin, grape variety and price). Results from Latent Class models provide evidence of preference heterogeneity and suggest the existence of two distinct consumer segments in China, and three segments in Russia. In both samples, the wine medals and country of origin are the top selected characteristics. Conspicuous consumption tendencies were found in some segments, with price having a positive impact on utility, probably signalling quality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6136-6144 Issue: 56 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1784389 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1784389 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:56:p:6136-6144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Thi Thu Ha Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Thi Thu Ha Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Hatice Ozer Balli Author-X-Name-First: Hatice Ozer Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Iqbal Syed Author-X-Name-First: Iqbal Author-X-Name-Last: Syed Title: Consumption smoothing and housing capital gains: evidence from Australia, Canada, and New Zealand Abstract: Using regional level panel data of three developed countries, comprising Australia, Canada, and New Zealand, the study investigates the response of consumption smoothing to housing capital gains. The consumption smoothing model first revisits the theory of perfect risk sharing. After rejecting a full consumption smoothing hypothesis, the results strongly indicate that the appreciation of house values smooths consumption further. For the sake of comparison, analysing three developed economies reveals the diversification in the response of consumption to long-run output shocks. Canadian residents appear to be more sensitive to permanent domestic output shocks while Australian’s consumption pattern remains unchanged. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6145-6161 Issue: 56 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1784390 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1784390 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:56:p:6145-6161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Heng-Yu Chang Author-X-Name-First: Heng-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Wu-Yueh Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wu-Yueh Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Hui-Hsuan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hui-Hsuan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Huei-Cheng Sue Author-X-Name-First: Huei-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Sue Title: Does women on board affect the socially responsible firms’ effectiveness of internal control? Abstract: This study examines the relationship between corporate social responsibility (CSR) and the auditor’s commitment to internal control which strengthens the internal control system and reduces fraud. We further investigate the moderating role of gender diversity to validate the effectiveness of internal control in socially responsible firms. The logit model is employed based on 15,511 firm-year observations during 2004–2013. The findings suggest that the internal control effectiveness is positively associated with corporate conducts in social responsibility, and gender diversity strengthens the relationship between CSR and internal control effectiveness, validating that women on board indeed increases corporate transparency and board accountability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6162-6170 Issue: 56 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1784836 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1784836 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:56:p:6162-6170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Robert Mudida Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Mudida Author-Name: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Author-X-Name-Last: Abakah Title: Are central bank policy rates in Africa cointegrated? Evidence from a fractional cointegration approach Abstract: We analyse bilateral linkages between Central Bank Policy Rates in Africa and the US, the UK, Japan, Canada, China and the Eurozone using fractional integration and cointegration. Univariate analysis documents evidence of higher than 1 integration for the African countries. For the developed countries, the orders of integration are also above 1 in all markets except for Japan. On bivariate relationships among the countries, we find evidence of cointegration in a number of cases. The article reinforces the view that it will be difficult for many African countries to pursue independent monetary policies that do not consider global policy rate developments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6171-6182 Issue: 57 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1785619 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1785619 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:57:p:6171-6182 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mingming Pan Author-X-Name-First: Mingming Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Brian Chi-ang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Brian Chi-ang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: An econometric analysis of Hispanic migration in the United States Abstract: This paper investigates the spatial redistribution pattern of Hispanics driven by internal migration tendencies in the United States, using American Community Survey (ACS) Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) data. We formulate three econometric models to study the internal migratory behaviour of Hispanics. More importantly, to uncover potential congestion and spillover effects, we introduce a novel variable into migration research, namely, the Neighbouring Hispanic Community. Our findings indicate that domestic migration of Hispanics leads to agglomeration of Hispanics, with the strongest agglomeration occurring in the states bordering the most concentrated states. While the congestion effect tends to weaken the agglomeration in the most concentrated states, the Hispanic-sparse states do not tend to receive Hispanics. The underlying force of potential dispersion is congestion and spillover from the highly concentrated states to their nearby states. Incorporating personal attributes into the analysis has provided some support for the spatial assimilation theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6183-6198 Issue: 57 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1786493 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1786493 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:57:p:6183-6198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lafang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Lafang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Bin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Rui Xie Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Bin Su Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: The drivers of export value-added in China’s provinces: a multi-regional input–output model Abstract: It is vital to calculate Chinese provinces’ exports in domestic and global value chains from the perspective of value-added to address the problem of double counting. In this study, we calculated the direct and indirect domestic value-added in exports of 30 Chinese provinces using cross-border and cross-regional input–output tables in 2007 and 2012. We analysed the drivers of export value-added based on structural decomposition analysis. The results show that there is a value-added spatial imbalance in trade development. The export value-added of eastern provinces is significantly higher than that of central and western provinces, but this imbalance is gradually improving. The domestic value chain is the main channel for each province to realize export value-added, and the province production channels account for the highest proportion in this chain. The export value-added through international production channels is relatively small but growing in importance. The structural analysis shows that the increase of Chinese provinces’ export value-added is mainly caused by an increase of export scale and the provincial multiplier effect, while the value-added ratio of Chinese provinces has the main restraining effect. The spillover effect from industrial cooperation between provinces and other economies also increases the domestic value-added of exports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6199-6214 Issue: 57 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1787322 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1787322 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:57:p:6199-6214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iacopo Odoardi Author-X-Name-First: Iacopo Author-X-Name-Last: Odoardi Author-Name: Dario D’Ingiullo Author-X-Name-First: Dario Author-X-Name-Last: D’Ingiullo Author-Name: Donatella Furia Author-X-Name-First: Donatella Author-X-Name-Last: Furia Title: Human capital and the reduction of inequalities: an intra-national analysis in Italy Abstract: Human capital is a fundamental economic resource in the knowledge economy era, and improvements in education are usually associated with both economic development and the reduction of inequality. In Italy, these relationships are empirically controversial due to structural weaknesses (e.g., low improvements in labour productivity) and a poor capacity to leverage the returns from education. At the same time, the strong North-South dualism in the country suggests that there are inequalities in human capital endowment that may be exacerbated by the different responses of the regions to common problems. We test the effect of labour force human capital in Italy (observed through worker education level) on income inequality in the 2004–2016 period using regional data. The results suggest that the hypothesized mechanism works as expected in the more developed Centre-North, while structural difficulties hamper the reduction of inequality in the South, where, however, social capital plays a positive role in reducing the income inequalities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6215-6228 Issue: 57 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1788708 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1788708 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:57:p:6215-6228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoshi Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Wanglin Ma Author-X-Name-First: Wanglin Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Alan Renwick Author-X-Name-First: Alan Author-X-Name-Last: Renwick Author-Name: Gucheng Li Author-X-Name-First: Gucheng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Off-farm work decisions of farm couples and land transfer choices in rural China Abstract: Although previous studies have widely examined the association between off-farm work participation and land use behaviours of rural households, little attention has been paid to the effects of the joint off-farm work decisions of farm couples on land transfer choices. This study investigates the determinants of farm couples’ off-farm work participation, using a seemingly unrelated bivariate probit regression model and survey data collected from rural China. We also estimate the impact of the joint off-farm work decisions of farm couples on land transfer choices by employing a multinomial logit model and controlling for the endogeneity issues of off-farm work variables. The empirical results show that farm couples are jointly making decisions to work off the farm, but their decisions affect household land transfer choices differently. In particular, we show that the husbands participating in the off-farm work are more likely to rent in land, while their wives are less likely to do so. Both the husbands and wives are more likely to rent out land if they work off the farm. Our findings highlight the importance of farm couples’ off-farm work decisions in stimulating the development of rural land rental markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6229-6247 Issue: 57 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1788709 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1788709 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:57:p:6229-6247 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mamit Deme Author-X-Name-First: Mamit Author-X-Name-Last: Deme Author-Name: Ali M. A. Mahmoud Author-X-Name-First: Ali M. A. Author-X-Name-Last: Mahmoud Title: Effect of quantity and quality of education on per capita real-GDP growth: evidence from low- and middle-income African countries Abstract: Although several empirical studies have investigated the growth impact of the quantity of schooling in African countries, research on the impact of schooling quality (the degree to which schooling nurtures professional and cognitive skills) is rare. To fill this research gap, this study examines the effects of the quantity and quality of education on per capita real-GDP growth in low-income and a combination of low- and middle-income African countries using dynamic generalized method of moment estimation on panel data from 2003 to 2016. The results suggest the quantities of primary and secondary education have a positive and statistically significant impact on per capita real-GDP growth; however, the correlation between the quality of education and economic growth is weak and not robust. Furthermore, standardized coefficients indicate the quantity of primary education has a stronger impact on growth than the quantity of secondary education and quality of education, and the quantity of secondary education has a stronger impact on growth than the quality of education. Overall, these results suggest policy authorities should target both the quantity and quality of education to achieve per capita real-GDP growth, with a particular focus on ensuring universal primary education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6248-6264 Issue: 57 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1789058 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1789058 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:57:p:6248-6264 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Nabila Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Nabila Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Pinar Sener Author-X-Name-First: Pinar Author-X-Name-Last: Sener Title: The convergence of ethical investment business models and their reliance on the conventional US investment market Abstract: This study investigates the extent of convergence of the two key types of ethical investment business models: Islamic Finance (IF) investment and Socially Responsible Investment (SRI) and the level to which these ethical business models are disconnected from the conventional investment market. We undertake an empirical assessment using three key US stock indexes: the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the Dow Jones Islamic Market, and the Dow Jones Sustainable Index. We find that IF and SRI indexes show significant similarities, suggesting that the ethical investment models share common moral and societal values and react similarly to market forces indicating convergence. We also find that the ethical investment models appear to be closely dependent on the conventional US stock market, suggesting inefficiency in the ethical investment model and, therefore, a dominant effect of conventional finance market on ethical investments. These findings are relevant as they allow us to better clarify the perceived convergence/divergence of values in IF and SRIs and to measure the degree of efficiency and credibility of ethical investment models to determine whether they are capable of successfully managing investments, in consideration of social, environmental, and economic factors, with fair, sustainable, and responsible outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6265-6276 Issue: 57 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1789059 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1789059 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:57:p:6265-6276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Correction Journal: Applied Economics Pages: i-i Issue: 57 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1809179 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1809179 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:57:p:i-i Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liangcheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Liangcheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yining Dai Author-X-Name-First: Yining Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Yifan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yifan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yuye Ding Author-X-Name-First: Yuye Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Title: Auditor gender and stock price crash risk: evidence from China Abstract: Stock price crash risk is attributed to agency problems and information asymmetry. Auditors generally play a more important governance function in countries with weak legal institutions. Previous studies document that audit judgements and information processing differ by auditor gender, which ultimately impacts the quality of audited financial reporting and the governance role. This study examines the relationship between auditor gender and stock price crash risk, particularly whether female auditors may reduce stock price crash risk because of their risk aversion and ethics. Using a large sample in China with weak legal institutions, this study finds that female auditors play a governance role in curbing stock price crash risk, and the effect is dominant in the firms with high agency costs. Also, these findings are robust to a battery of tests. Finally, this study conducts two sets of cross-sectional analyses, indicating that the effect of auditor gender mostly concentrates on non-state-owned enterprises with high agency costs, and on firms with non-busy auditors that are deemed to have sufficient time to properly engage their audits. This study extends the literature on determinants of crash risk and has implications for firms, stakeholders and monitors over reducing crash risk to keep sustainable growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5995-6008 Issue: 55 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808576 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808576 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:55:p:5995-6008 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rae Yule Kim Author-X-Name-First: Rae Yule Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: An unforeseen story of alpha-woman: breadwinner women are more likely to quit the job in work-family conflicts Abstract: Extensive research studied the effect of work-family conflicts on employee turnover, however, limited studies explored how work-family conflicts might influence the turnover decision. This paper utilizes role congruity theory and predicts that the employee vulnerability to work-family conflicts might be enhanced when their perceived and actual parental roles are incongruent. This study examines the life history of 8,616 working parents in the U.S. National Longitudinal Surveys and finds that there is a gender difference in how employees respond to increasing family demands. Ironically, the results of this study indicate that growing family demands influence women to quit the job when they are the dominant financial provider to the family. Family demands did not have a significant effect on employee turnover for non-breadwinner women. Men are more likely to stay in the job as the family demand increases. The findings suggest that role-incongruity might be a substantial influence on how employees handle work-family conflicts. We also discus sthe policy implications from this study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6009-6021 Issue: 55 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1781775 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1781775 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:55:p:6009-6021 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Burcu Kapar Author-X-Name-First: Burcu Author-X-Name-Last: Kapar Author-Name: Steven Buigut Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Buigut Title: Effect of Qatar diplomatic and economic isolation on Qatar stock market volatility: an event study approach Abstract: In this study we assess the impact of the political and economic blockade of Qatar, as well as four other events related to the blockade on Qatar’s stock market volatility. One of these events occurred before the June 5 2017 blockade while the others occurred after. We use volatility event-study  approach to test the abnormal unsystematic volatility in stock returns. We reveal that stock market volatility has reacted significantly to the blockade as well as to other related events that happened before and after the blockade. Our findings highlight the importance of continuing, and even bolstering, the ongoing mediation efforts to reduce the risk of a resurgence of hostilities. As there is no resolution yet, there is still a risk of future market volatility and thus changes in portfolio allocation and investment decisions not only in Qatar but also in the GCC. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6022-6030 Issue: 55 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1781776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1781776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:55:p:6022-6030 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Asad Dossani Author-X-Name-First: Asad Author-X-Name-Last: Dossani Author-Name: John Elder Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Elder Title: Uncertainty and energy extraction Abstract: We examine the effects of uncertainty by investigating the effects of oil price uncertainty on employment in domestic oil and gas extraction. This industry is interesting to examine for two reasons. First, employment in this industry should be closely linked to oil prices, facilitating identification of more subtle economic relations related to uncertainty. For example, recent research finds that uncertainty about oil prices tends to diminish drilling activity in a small sample of drilling rigs in Texas. Second, the response of this industry to negative shocks to the supply of oil, for example, should be opposite that of aggregate employment. We characterize the univariate properties of the time series with a two-state Markov switching model, and we then estimate a vector autoregression with conditionally heteroskedastic errors, in which the conditional variance is permitted to interact with the conditional mean. We find that employment in oil and gas extraction cycles through episodes of boom and bust that are tightly linked to oil prices, in contrast to aggregate employment. We also find that uncertainty about oil prices has a negative and quantitatively large effect on employment in this sector. Our analysis is robust to different measures of uncertainty, including stochastic volatility and implied volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6031-6044 Issue: 55 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1782337 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1782337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:55:p:6031-6044 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Author-Name: Bassam M. AbuAl-Foul Author-X-Name-First: Bassam M. Author-X-Name-Last: AbuAl-Foul Title: Oil prices and experts’ forecasts of seven exchange rates Abstract: Research indicates that survey-based forecasts of exchange rates fail to be rational. In addition, the literature points to oil prices as a key factor in determining/predicting exchange rates. We investigate these two research topics by focusing on Blue Chip multi-month forecasts of seven exchange rates for 1999–2015. Our investigation utilizes the recent forecast evaluation method that allows for the possibility of asymmetric loss. We show that Blue Chip forecasts, while free of systematic bias, cannot beat the random walk benchmark, and, at some forecast horizons, the errors fail to be orthogonal to changes in oil prices. We further show that, for four out of seven exchange rates, the change in oil prices explains the information content difference between the Blue Chip and random walk forecasts. Put together, our findings suggest that the inaccuracy of Blue Chip forecasts may be in part due to an inefficient use of oil price information available at the time of the forecast and, thus, forecasters should pay special attention to oil price movements when forecasting exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6045-6056 Issue: 55 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1782338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1782338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:55:p:6045-6056 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elyas Elyasiani Author-X-Name-First: Elyas Author-X-Name-Last: Elyasiani Author-Name: Luca Gambarelli Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Gambarelli Author-Name: Silvia Muzzioli Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Muzzioli Title: The use of option prices to assess the skewness risk premium Abstract: The aims of this study are twofold. First, to determine the sign and magnitude of the skewness risk premium (SRP) in the Italian index option market using two procedures: (i) skewness swap contracts, (ii) option trading strategies consisting of positions in options and their underlying assets. Second, to investigate the term structure of the SRP for 30, 60 and 90-day maturities to provide investors with a proper time horizon for profitable skewness trading strategies. Several results are obtained. First, the SRP, defined as the difference between the physical and the risk-neutral skewness, is positive and statistically and economically significant. These findings indicate that the SRP does exist, it is positive in sign, and it can be quantified. Second, the SRP is higher in magnitude for short-term maturity (€35 for the 30-day maturity) and lower for 60-day and 90-day maturities (both about €27). Third, skewness trading strategies confirm our finding of a positive and economically significant SRP. Fourth, a strategy that sells out-of-the-money puts is more profitable for medium-term maturities compared to short-term maturities. A strategy that takes a long position on out-of-the-money calls, and a short position on out-of-the-money puts, yields a higher return, if near-term options are used. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6057-6074 Issue: 55 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1783430 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1783430 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:55:p:6057-6074 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bülent Güloğlu Author-X-Name-First: Bülent Author-X-Name-Last: Güloğlu Author-Name: Güzin Bayar Author-X-Name-First: Güzin Author-X-Name-Last: Bayar Author-Name: Selman Tokpunar Author-X-Name-First: Selman Author-X-Name-Last: Tokpunar Title: Effect of foreign trade on industrial employment: the case of Turkey Abstract: This study aims to define the main determinants of employment in Turkish manufacturing industry and to analyse foreign trade-employment relationship. Turkey’s employment equation is estimated using panel data covering quarterly data for the period 2005–2015 and NACE Rev. 2. three digit manufacturing industry sectors. For this purpose Augmented Mean Group method is modified using instrumental variable techniques. Augmented Mean Group (AMG) method is a newly developed panel estimation method that takes into consideration cross-sectional dependency and parameter heterogeneity. However, the method does not take into consideration endogeneities. We offer a new estimation method ‘Instrumental Variables Augmented Mean Group (IV-AMG)’ to extent AMG to account for endogeneities and compare the results obtained by the two estimators. Regression analyses show that, when there are endogeneities, AMG method gives implausible results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6075-6089 Issue: 55 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1784384 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1784384 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:55:p:6075-6089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jan Fidrmuc Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Fidrmuc Author-Name: Qi Luo Author-X-Name-First: Qi Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Mingzhong Luo Author-X-Name-First: Mingzhong Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Exploring the determinants of on-farm transitions: Evidence from rural China Abstract: To shed light on the sustainable development of rural areas, we study the determinants of transitions from subsistence farming into either formal agricultural employment or agricultural entrepreneurship based on a recent nationally representative survey dataset. We pay particular attention to the roles of different capital endowments broadly including human, financial, natural, social and political capital. Our results show that human, natural, social and political capital are all important determinants of rural households’ transitions to on-farm employment and entrepreneurship while financial capital plays a limited role. These findings are robust to fully controlling for off-farm transitions as part of the household occupational strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5667-5686 Issue: 52 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1770194 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1770194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:52:p:5667-5686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xinjian Cui Author-X-Name-First: Xinjian Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Author-Name: Xuhui Peng Author-X-Name-First: Xuhui Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Jia Jia Author-X-Name-First: Jia Author-X-Name-Last: Jia Author-Name: Dongxiao Wu Author-X-Name-First: Dongxiao Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Does board independence affect environmental disclosures by multinational corporations? Moderating effects of national culture Abstract: Over the past two decades, corporate social responsibility has become an important topic in business practice research. In this study, we investigate the relationship between board independence and environmental disclosures made by multinational corporations (MNCs) and the moderating effects of national culture on that relationship. We empirically test these objectives with a data set of 151 MNCs based in China, Japan, the UK, and the USA, using content analysis and a new method for measuring environmental disclosures of MNCs. Results indicate (1) a significantly positive relationship between board independence and environmental disclosures for MNCs and (2) that masculinity and uncertainty avoidance negatively moderate this relationship, demonstrating the important role of culture in corporate disclosures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5687-5705 Issue: 52 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1770681 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1770681 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:52:p:5687-5705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dinghai Xu Author-X-Name-First: Dinghai Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Modelling asset returns under price limits with mixture of truncated Gaussian distribution Abstract: In this paper, we propose to use the mixture of truncated Gaussian distribution in modelling the financial asset return distribution under price limits. Theoretically, while retaining many convenient statistical properties of the Gaussian distribution, the proposed model assumes a flexible structure accommodating some important special features of the return data under price restrictions, such as the clusters near the bounds (due to the ‘bound effect’) and peaked shape around zero (due to the minimum-tick size effect). It can also allow for a wide range of variances and kurtosis even with a bounded domain. These are the salient features that the conventional models (such as the Normal, Truncated Normal and Censored Normal) do not have. For empirical illustration, we apply our proposed model to stocks under different price restrictions. Some common interesting features have been found. Furthermore, in our Value-at-Risk analysis, we find that ignoring the bound cluster in the tail of the distribution could lead to a significant overestimation of the number of violations and produce unreliable Value-at-Risk measures. In addition, we also find that the proposed model has a better empirical performance when the data are highly asymmetric and heavy-tailed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5706-5725 Issue: 52 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1770682 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1770682 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:52:p:5706-5725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jordi Moreno-Gené Author-X-Name-First: Jordi Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno-Gené Author-Name: Natalia Daries Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Author-X-Name-Last: Daries Author-Name: Eduard Cristóbal-Fransi Author-X-Name-First: Eduard Author-X-Name-Last: Cristóbal-Fransi Author-Name: Laura Sánchez-Pulido Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Sánchez-Pulido Title: Snow tourism and economic sustainability: the financial situation of ski resorts in Spain Abstract: The aim of this article is to analyse the profitability of ski resorts in Spain and identify its associated determining factors in order to verify whether these are economically sustainable taking into account the internal and external aspects affecting them. To this end, the article first addresses the importance of snow tourism in Spain, before going on to analyse the influence that climate change is having on this type of tourism. A series of economic and structural ratios are then applied to the financial statements of ski resorts in Spain with the aim of establishing a base diagnosis for their situation. Finally, a regression model is estimated, the results of which reveal the more profitable ski resorts at the economic level to be those with the largest stations, a direct relationship being observed between profitability and size. The results also confirm the negative consequences of high indebtedness and the non-significant effects of using snowmaking systems. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5726-5744 Issue: 52 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1770683 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1770683 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:52:p:5726-5744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dongwoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dongwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Investor churn analysis in a P2P lending market Abstract: This study aims to determine why investors leave a peer-to-peer (P2P) lending market, and the pathways through which several factors affect investor churn. To this end, this study performed Cox proportional hazard and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses, as well as a linear regression analysis of data from Moneyauction, Korea’s first, but recently failed, P2P platform. The results show that investors’ investment patterns (i.e., investment frequency, amount, and method) affect churn directly or indirectly via investment profitability. This result supplements the findings in the stock market that the higher the trading frequency and volume are, the lower the returns are in the P2P lending market. Furthermore, this study is the first to cover the issue of investor churn in P2P lending markets and to reveal the detailed pathways of investors’ investment patterns in both the P2P and traditional financial markets in terms of profitability and churn. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5745-5755 Issue: 52 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1770684 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1770684 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:52:p:5745-5755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiang Yan Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Fangyu Ye Author-X-Name-First: Fangyu Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Title: Financing equilibrium in a three-echelon supply chain: the impact of a limited bank loan Abstract: This paper studies a three-echelon supply chain consisting of a commercial bank, a supplier and a capital constrained retailer. The newsvendor-like retailer may not borrow up to what she needs from the bank due to low credit rating, and the remaining part may resort to the upstream supplier. Under the hybrid financing scheme under combination of bank credit and trade credit (BT), we characterize the optimal loan ratio for the commercial bank, the optimal wholesale price for the supplier and the optimal order quantity for the retailer, respectively. We investigate the impact of the bank loan ratio on the participants’ optimal decisions and profits. Comparing with the cases of no financing (NF) and bank credit financing only (BF), we determine financing preferences of the supplier and the retailer. Furthermore, we find that there exists a Pareto improvement region, where both the supplier and the retailer tend to accept BF or BT so that both participants can be better off in contrast to NF. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5756-5769 Issue: 52 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1772457 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1772457 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:52:p:5756-5769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu Author-X-Name-First: Claudiu Tiberiu Author-X-Name-Last: Albulescu Author-Name: Cornel Oros Author-X-Name-First: Cornel Author-X-Name-Last: Oros Title: Inflation, uncertainty, and labour market conditions in the US Abstract: Recent inflation dynamics in the United States (US) questioned the role of driving forces of inflation in the long run. Although the US recorded one of the longest economic recovery periods and the labour market conditions improved after the Global crisis from 2008 to 2009, the inflation level remained relatively low. Starting from this evidence, the purpose of our paper is to shed light to the influence of inflation uncertainty and labour market conditions on the US inflation level. To this end, we use two bounded measures of inflation uncertainty, and we compare a linear with an asymmetric Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) framework. We show that both inflation uncertainty and labour market conditions explain the long-run US inflation. However, these results are sensitive to the way the inflation uncertainty is computed. Moreover, contrary to the recent affirmations regarding the vanishing role of labour market in explaining the US inflation in the long run, we show that the labour market influence is stronger in the post-crisis, compared with the pre-crisis period. Therefore, the monetary policymakers cannot make abstraction of labour market developments in anticipating the US inflation level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5770-5782 Issue: 52 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1772458 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1772458 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:52:p:5770-5782 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jingyi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jingyi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xiucheng Dong Author-X-Name-First: Xiucheng Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Hui Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Author-Name: Kangyin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Kangyin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: Impact assessment of agriculture, energy and water on CO2 emissions in China: untangling the differences between major and non-major grain-producing areas Abstract: Due to the use of abundant fossil and non-fossil fuels, the agricultural sector has contributed to large amounts of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in China. Meanwhile, the agricultural sector is the largest consumer of water in China. To investigate the effects of agricultural output, energy consumption and water use on CO2 emissions in China, a panel of 30 provinces for 2004–2017 is utilized. Also, to control the potential endogeneity, the orthogonal-difference Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) is used as the benchmark estimation method. Moreover, the Dumitrescu and Hurlin (D-H) panel causality test is employed to discover the causal relations among all the variables. Considering the differences in various agricultural areas in China, the 30 provinces are further divided into major and non-major grain-producing areas. The empirical results indicate that CO2 emission is responsive to economic growth, energy consumption, agricultural output and water use with positive elasticities in China. However, at the regional level, agricultural output only has significant impact on CO2 emissions in major grain-producing areas. Also, major and non-major grain-producing areas provide mixed directionality of causality among the variables. Finally, several policy implications are highlighted for the Chinese government with respect to mitigating CO2 emissions and promoting growth in the agricultural sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6482-6497 Issue: 60 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1796920 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1796920 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:60:p:6482-6497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Graziella Bonanno Author-X-Name-First: Graziella Author-X-Name-Last: Bonanno Author-Name: Nadia Fiorino Author-X-Name-First: Nadia Author-X-Name-Last: Fiorino Author-Name: Giampaolo Garzarelli Author-X-Name-First: Giampaolo Author-X-Name-Last: Garzarelli Author-Name: Stefania Patrizia Sonia Rossi Author-X-Name-First: Stefania Patrizia Sonia Author-X-Name-Last: Rossi Title: Public guarantee schemes, corruption and gender: a European SME-level analysis Abstract: Does a corrupt politico-institutional environment affect the demand of public subsidies for credit access – so-called public guarantee schemes – by small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) helmed by female entrepreneurs? The paper tackles this question by using a large sample of European SMEs over 2010–2014 while also carefully addressing possible endogeneity issues. It provides robust evidence that, compared to their male counterparts, female entrepreneurs: (a) tend to demand more public subsidies, and (b) are more sensitive to the quality of the politico-institutional environment. The upshot is that a corrupt environment is not gender neutral: in light of ‘essential gender features,’ corruption negatively influences SMEs helmed by female entrepreneurs more than male ones. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6498-6513 Issue: 60 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1798342 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1798342 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:60:p:6498-6513 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marc A. Poitras Author-X-Name-First: Marc A. Author-X-Name-Last: Poitras Author-Name: Daniel Sutter Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Sutter Title: Property rights and resource use: evidence from MLB starting pitchers Abstract: We conduct a unique test of the efficiency of property rights in major league baseball. The rights to the services of players are resources that can be possessed by the clubs or by the players themselves. This right was effectively reassigned from the club to the individual player when free agency was introduced in 1976. Players, however, only qualify for free agency after 6 years of service, and until that time a temporary property right is possessed by the club. In the absence of efficient bargaining, clubs that possess only a temporary right do not bear the full risk of injury or disability associated with using pitchers. Clubs in this situation can therefore have an incentive to overuse star pitchers. This theoretical prediction is supported by the statistical inferences of our econometric models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6514-6524 Issue: 60 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1803486 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1803486 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:60:p:6514-6524 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehdi Khazaei Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Khazaei Author-Name: Mohammad Azizi Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Azizi Title: How financial performance of world’s top companies are related to business environment? Abstract: Businesses need an environment in which business conditions in features such as starting a business, registering property, getting credit, paying taxes, trading across borders and enforcing contract be simple. Every year, the world bank publishes a report on the business environment of different countries around the world with the aim of improving doing business environmental conditions. The purpose of the present study is to investigate the relationship between the financial performance of world’s top companies and the business environment indicators. For this purpose, 176 top companies in the world from 2013 to 2018 that were profitable were selected as the statistical population. Doing business annual reports, and Fortune site were used to collect the data. Also the data analysis was done according to the panel data method using Eviews10 software. The results shows that there is a positive relationship between business environment Indicator and financial performance of world’s top companies. On the other hand, the per capita income of the countries in which the top companies belonged was considered as a control variable and the results show that the per capita income has a positive and significant relationship with the financial performance of the top companies in the world. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6525-6539 Issue: 60 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1803487 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1803487 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:60:p:6525-6539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian R. Fleissig Author-X-Name-First: Adrian R. Author-X-Name-Last: Fleissig Author-Name: James L. Swofford Author-X-Name-First: James L. Author-X-Name-Last: Swofford Title: The demand for assets through a low-interest rate environment Abstract: Asset demand is important in many areas of economics. To investigate this, we estimate a globally flexible dynamic Fourier asset demand specification and calculate Morishima elasticities of substitution for six asset categories for the U.S. This specification produces negative own price (user cost) elasticities. The Morishima elasticities show that each of the six asset groups is substitutes. These results suggest that monetary policy efficacy increases in recessions and support the Barnett Critique that central banks should not ignore substitution effects and portfolio adjustments among financial assets and Friedman and Schwartz’s view that saving deposit assets should be included in money. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6540-6551 Issue: 60 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1803489 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1803489 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:60:p:6540-6551 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emre Kuvvet Author-X-Name-First: Emre Author-X-Name-Last: Kuvvet Title: When a journalist is assassinated, do financial markets care? The market’s reaction to journalist murders Abstract: Using comprehensive data on journalist assassinations around the world, we study the effect of journalist killings on stock returns. Our event study results show an average price drop of −0.46% following the murder of a journalist for companies headquartered in the country where the killing occurs. We find that killing a journalist who is an editor, lives locally, or works in television causes the most negative market reaction. In addition, when journalists are killed by military officials or tortured first, the stock prices of firms headquartered in that country declines by 4.63% and 3.01%, respectively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6552-6561 Issue: 60 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1803490 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1803490 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:60:p:6552-6561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kirti Saxena Author-X-Name-First: Kirti Author-X-Name-Last: Saxena Author-Name: Madhumita Chakraborty Author-X-Name-First: Madhumita Author-X-Name-Last: Chakraborty Title: Should we pay attention to investor attention in forex futures market? Abstract: We investigate whether forex futures dynamics is responsive to change in investor attention. The currencies used in the study are the AUD (Australian Dollar), CAD (Canadian Dollar), EUR (Euro), GBP (Great Britain Pound) and JPY (Japanese Yen), all in terms of USD. The Google Search Volume Index (SVI) serves as the investor attention proxy. Our results determine the multiplicate relationships of forex futures return and trading volume with SVI (investor attention). Lagged SVI impacts current forex futures return and trading volume. However, there is no nonlinear relationship between forex futures and SVI. Financial contagion among forex futures has also been analysed through the channel of investor attention (SVI). There seems to be hardly any evidence that attention to other currency markets gives rise to the contagion effect. The findings of the study are barely affected by the inclusion of control variables such as currency spot rate and fundamental variables of uncertainty, suggesting that investor attention has an influencing role in the forex futures market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6562-6572 Issue: 60 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1804050 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1804050 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:60:p:6562-6572 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhepeng Hu Author-X-Name-First: Zhepeng Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Teresa Serra Author-X-Name-First: Teresa Author-X-Name-Last: Serra Author-Name: Philip Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Garcia Title: Algorithmic quoting, trading, and market quality in agricultural commodity futures markets Abstract: This paper investigates the effect of algorithmic trading activity, as measured by quoting, on the corn, soybean, and live cattle commodity futures market quality. Using the CME’s limit-order-book data and a heteroscedasticity-based identification approach, we find more intensive algorithmic quoting (AQ) is beneficial to multiple dimensions of market quality. AQ improves pricing efficiency and mitigates short-term volatility, but its effects on liquidity costs are somewhat mixed. Increased AQ significantly narrows effective spreads in the corn and soybean markets, but not in the less traded live cattle futures market. The narrowing in effective spreads emerges from a reduction in adverse selection costs as more informed traders lose their market advantage. There also is evidence that liquidity provider revenues increase with heightened AQ activity in the corn futures market, albeit the effect is not statistically significant in the soybean and live cattle futures markets. The increased revenue points to a tradeoff between the dimensions of market quality, and the need for continued assessment and monitoring of algorithmic trading activity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6277-6291 Issue: 58 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1789060 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1789060 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:58:p:6277-6291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad A. Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Title: The effectiveness of social distancing in containing Covid-19 Abstract: A statistical measure of the containment of Covid-19 is proposed to describe seven possible outcomes ranging from the worst outcome of ‘beyond control’ and the best outcome of ‘under control with rapid progress towards zero infections’. This measure is used to examine the performance of 10 countries with emphasis on the role of government-imposed measures of social distancing (lockdown, etc.). The results show that social distancing is effective, even though it is difficult to separate the effect of government measures from that of social distancing triggered by personal initiatives. The experience of Sweden shows that social distancing as a personal initiative is inadequate for the purpose of containing the virus. The experience of Brazil shows that taking the virus lightly brings about serious consequences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6292-6305 Issue: 58 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1789061 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1789061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:58:p:6292-6305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emmanuel Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Weiwei Young Author-X-Name-First: Weiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Young Title: Investigating the impact of auto loans on unemployment: the US experience Abstract: This paper explores the impact of automobile loan debt on US unemployment. Individuals with heterogeneous economic positions deem automobiles as important durable goods for unemployment exit and expected wage increases. The methodological approach makes use of an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bound Testing modelling approach to document a negative and significant relationship between auto loans and unemployment. The results survive certain robustness tests, while they seem to confirm certain theoretical arguments posed in the literature, such as that the credit mechanism that dominates the transmission mechanism of monetary policy (credit shocks have a profound significant link with unemployment), while they seem to mitigate the role of alternative theories (where levered households suffer from a ‘debt overhang’ problem that distorts their preferences, making them demand high wages, and the ‘vacancy-posting’ effect) which imply that loans lead to high unemployment. The findings seem to provide significant recommendations to monetary policy makers on strengthening the banking services industry, providing an alternative to monetary policy for labour market intervention. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6306-6319 Issue: 58 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1789548 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1789548 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:58:p:6306-6319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jun Deng Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Author-Name: Huifeng Pan Author-X-Name-First: Huifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Shuyu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shuyu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Bin Zou Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Title: Minimum-variance hedging of Bitcoin inverse futures Abstract: We formulate an optimal hedging problem of Bitcoin inverse futures under the minimum-variance framework. We obtain the optimal hedging strategy in closed forms for both short and long hedges and compute hedging effectiveness under the optimal strategy. Our empirical analyses show that the optimal hedging strategy achieves superior effectiveness in reducing risk and outperforms the naïve hedge in all scenarios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6320-6337 Issue: 58 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1789549 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1789549 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:58:p:6320-6337 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanjeev Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Sanjeev Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Michela Schena Author-X-Name-First: Michela Author-X-Name-Last: Schena Author-Name: Seyed Reza Yousefi Author-X-Name-First: Seyed Reza Author-X-Name-Last: Yousefi Title: Revisiting IMF expenditure conditionality Abstract: We study the long-run relationship between expenditure conditionality in IMF programmes and the composition of public spending. We compile a granular dataset on government expenditure conditions in 115 countries during 1992–2016 and find that it is structural conditionality which delivers lasting benefits. Structural public financial management conditionality has proven effective in boosting long-term levels of education, health, and investment expenditures. We further find that non-structural conditionality (such as spending floors) for raising specific spending categories may come at the expense of other expenditures, such as health. Finally, successful implementation and not mere existence of the conditionality is crucial for improved outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6338-6359 Issue: 58 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1790494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1790494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:58:p:6338-6359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yiyang Luo Author-X-Name-First: Yiyang Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Zheng Pan Author-X-Name-First: Zheng Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: Peer effects on student weight: randomization evidence from China Abstract: This paper investigates peer effects on student weight. Taking advantage of a national survey of middle schools in China, we exploit the BMI variation in randomly assigned classrooms. We find that having heavier peer classmates significantly increases a student’s body weight. The results are consistent across various robustness checks based on a standardized measurement of BMI, alternative peer measures, a spurious correlation with height, and the validity of the instruments. Peer effects are more pronounced among female students, nonlocal students, rural students, and students with longer exposure to classmates. The quantile analysis suggests that the peer effect is stronger at the lower end of the BMI distribution. These findings confirm the presence of social multiplier effects in middle schools, which is helpful in establishing health policies for reducing student overweight. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6360-6371 Issue: 58 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1791312 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1791312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:58:p:6360-6371 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emma Galli Author-X-Name-First: Emma Author-X-Name-Last: Galli Author-Name: Ilde Rizzo Author-X-Name-First: Ilde Author-X-Name-Last: Rizzo Author-Name: Carla Scaglioni Author-X-Name-First: Carla Author-X-Name-Last: Scaglioni Title: Is transparency spatially determined? An empirical test for Italian municipalities Abstract: In this article, we aim to assess whether transparency is characterized by a spatial dimension. To this end, we use a new composite indicator (CTI) for a large sample of Italian municipalities and control for several factors (socio-economic, fiscal, and politico-institutional), which, according to the literature, affect transparency. Our results suggest that there is a statistically significant transparency clustering across the Italian municipalities which follows a dichotomic pattern, i.e. either very low or very high. Moreover, the empirical analysis shows that spatial dependence matters and ‘transparency mimicking’ takes place among neighbouring municipalities. This behaviour mainly occurs among small municipalities where citizens’ political participation is likely to be greater and the single-ballot electoral system strengthens the incentives for government accountability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6372-6385 Issue: 58 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1795068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1795068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:58:p:6372-6385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chenlu Dang Author-X-Name-First: Chenlu Author-X-Name-Last: Dang Author-Name: Bingquan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Bingquan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Weiya Hao Author-X-Name-First: Weiya Author-X-Name-Last: Hao Title: An optimal banking structure from the perspective of enterprise technological innovation ------- empirical evidence from Chinese industrial enterprises Abstract: This paper applies the incomplete contracts model to study an optimal banking structure corresponding to different levels of technological development from the perspective of technological innovation. The findings indicate that, with the development of technology, there exists an optimal banking structure that matches the real economy and has a dynamic evolution in different stages of economic development. At the same time, an optimal banking structure depends on the level of technological development, which seems to render invalid the argument that one structure is absolutely better than the other. Finally, the paper empirically analyzes the impact of banking structure on technological innovation using the data of China’s industrial enterprises from 2005 to 2009 . The empirical results show firstly that, with economic development and technological progress, an optimal banking structure that promotes technological innovation is biased towards a monopoly structure. Secondly, from the perspective of the sub-regional level of technological progress, a competitive banking structure is more conductive to technological innovation in low-tech areas but, in medium- and high-tech areas, a monopolistic banking structure will further promote technological innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6386-6399 Issue: 59 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1795069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1795069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:59:p:6386-6399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Dixon Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Dixon Author-Name: G. C. Lim Author-X-Name-First: G. C. Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Is the decline in labour’s share in the US driven by changes in technology and/or market power? An empirical analysis Abstract: In this paper, we provide a perspective on the explanations suggested for the decline in labour’s share in the Nonfinancial Corporations sector of US economy since 1947. The literature identifies two broad groups of explanations for marked variations in the labour share – drivers associated with production technology (e.g. increasing automation or factor augmentation) and drivers that reflect non-technology factors (e.g. increasing market power). We provide a theoretical and empirical framework to understand and estimate the contribution of technology and/or non-technology factors. The key findings are that there was a ‘decoupling’ of wage growth and productivity growth in the US Nonfinancial Corporations sector in the early 2000s, and that there is not a single explanation for the decline in labour’s share in that sector over the period 2001–2013. Changes in production technology and in market power have both contributed to the decline. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6400-6415 Issue: 59 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1795072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1795072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:59:p:6400-6415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Óscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Óscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Pedro G. Lima Author-X-Name-First: Pedro G. Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Title: A non-scale-directed technical change model with endogenous labor share Abstract: We extend a directed technical change (DTC) model without scale effects that allows labour share to vary over time. By decomposing the labour share by sectors, skilled and unskilled, and, in line with the empirical evidence, by considering a lower value in the skilled sector, we show that: (i) both the technological-knowledge bias per worker, the skill premium and the relative importance of the skilled sector continue to increase over time until the steady state, as in the baseline model; (ii) the labour share falls over time due to a combination of an increased importance and a lower labour share in the skilled sector; (iii) by considering endogenous labour supply, a relative increase in skilled labour also decreases the labour share during the transitional dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6416-6431 Issue: 59 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1795073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1795073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:59:p:6416-6431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabian Koenings Author-X-Name-First: Fabian Author-X-Name-Last: Koenings Author-Name: Giovanni Di Meo Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Di Meo Author-Name: Silke Uebelmesser Author-X-Name-First: Silke Author-X-Name-Last: Uebelmesser Title: University rankings as information source: do they play a different role for domestic and international students? Abstract: So far, the effect of rankings on university choice has mostly been explored for Anglo-Saxon countries with a focus on domestic students. Using data from a medium-sized German university, we study the importance of rankings for domestic and international students. Results from an exploratory factor analysis suggest that the university position in rankings is highly relevant for both groups. Differences show up when comparing rankings and other sources of information: domestic students complement advice from classmates and alumni with rankings, while international students do this – if at all – for advice from family and friends. Interestingly, advice from authorities like teachers is substituted for rankings by international students. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6432-6447 Issue: 59 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1795075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1795075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:59:p:6432-6447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Nabila Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Nabila Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Abdoulkarim Idi Cheffou Author-X-Name-First: Abdoulkarim Author-X-Name-Last: Idi Cheffou Title: Does investor attention to Islamic finance create spillover? Abstract: This paper examines whether investor attention to Islamic finance creates spillover or not. The answer to this question is relevant to understanding whether the recent growth in Islamic Finance is due to an increase in fundamentals or is more to do with a market attention shock. We examine this question for three developed countries (France, the United Kingdom (the UK) and the United States of America (the USA)), four emerging countries (Saudi Arabia (SA)), the United Arab Emirates (the UAE), Pakistan and India), and the whole world. Our findings show that while the US and the UK lead investor attention to Islamic finance and spillover across the globe, India and Pakistan have experienced the greatest spillover from investor attention for both emerging and developed countries. Saudi Arabia and the UAE, on the other hand, play a somewhat minor role. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6448-6452 Issue: 59 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1796912 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1796912 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:59:p:6448-6452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linyue Li Author-X-Name-First: Linyue Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Dongzhou Mei Author-X-Name-First: Dongzhou Author-X-Name-Last: Mei Author-Name: Rou Li Author-X-Name-First: Rou Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The impact of RMB swap agreements on foreign exchange reserve demand Abstract: This paper constructs panel data of 150 economies from 2001 to 2017 to study the impact of RMB (Renminbi) swap agreements on foreign exchange reserve demand. The empirical results show that the swap agreements can significantly reduce the foreign reserve demand of non-OECD economies that have relatively insufficient liquidity. From the perspective of specific country classification, economies neighbouring China have higher RMB demand, Latin American and African economies hold less reserve, and commodity exporters are stuck in liquidity-nervous situations, in which RMB swap agreements are able to improve liquidity so that their reserve demand decreases. Regarding the channels of influence, swap agreements impose different impacts on the reserve demand mainly through bilateral trade and more impacts on economies that import more from China. On the contrary, the RMB swap agreements will not affect the OECD economies’ foreign exchange reserve demand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6453-6467 Issue: 59 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1796916 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1796916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:59:p:6453-6467 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harsha Paranavithana Author-X-Name-First: Harsha Author-X-Name-Last: Paranavithana Author-Name: Leandro Magnusson Author-X-Name-First: Leandro Author-X-Name-Last: Magnusson Author-Name: Rod Tyers Author-X-Name-First: Rod Author-X-Name-Last: Tyers Title: Transitions to inflation targeting: panel evidence Abstract: From panel estimates of an extended version of the Taylor-rule reaction function that adds lagged inflation, output gaps and exchange rates, we confirm that inflation is more central to the setting of policy interest rate when emerging market economies’ (EMEs) central banks follow inflation targeting (IT), while the exchange rate carries more weight for non-IT EMEs. Moreover, lagged output gaps are also play important roles in setting policy interest rates in IT EMEs. Employing a volatility measurement approach, our analysis also confirms that IT does moderate the volatility of inflation and exacerbate that of nominal exchange rates. Yet IT appears less effective in controlling the volatility of real variables, including output volumes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6468-6481 Issue: 59 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1796919 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1796919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:59:p:6468-6481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yupeng Li Author-X-Name-First: Yupeng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: John A. Rizzo Author-X-Name-First: John A. Author-X-Name-Last: Rizzo Title: Timing and payoff of patent purchases: the role of firm size and composition Abstract: While large pharmaceutical companies continue to dominate drug development and patent acquisition, their timing of drug patent acquisition and subsequent payoffs remain poorly understood. We analysed the effects of firm characteristics on the timing of patent purchases, with a unique data set constructed using publicly available data provided by the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO). We focused on the role of firm size and composition in affecting the timing of patent purchases and the subsequent payoff; particularly, how firms’ R&D intensity and overall scale affect purchasing decisions and commercial success of the drugs. The quantitative results show that, on average, firms with larger scale and stronger R&D departments are more likely to purchase drug patents later; furthermore, a strong R&D department contributes positively to drug sales and market shares through a better selection process of patents. The economics intuition is that firms with a larger scale and greater emphasis on R&D investment have advantages in producing in-house innovation, so they tend to be more selective when buying from outsources. This results in buying patents later and better subsequent commercial performance on the drugs that firms purchased. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5894-5908 Issue: 54 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1778159 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1778159 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:54:p:5894-5908 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyun-Bock Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hyun-Bock Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Cheol-Ho Park Author-X-Name-First: Cheol-Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Spillover effects in the global copper futures markets: asymmetric multivariate GARCH approaches Abstract: This study investigates changes in return and volatility spillovers between the LME/COMEX and the SHFE copper futures markets before and after the global financial crisis and after the introduction of the night trading session (NTS) to the SHFE using asymmetric multivariate GARCH models. The results show that the SHFE has not been stronger to the LME/COMEX in information spillover effects, even though it has grown substantially in terms of trading volume after the crisis. Furthermore, the SHFE does not seem to have a significant influence on international copper futures prices although the Chinese government allowed the NTS to the SHFE. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5909-5920 Issue: 54 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1781769 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1781769 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:54:p:5909-5920 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dusanee Kesavayuth Author-X-Name-First: Dusanee Author-X-Name-Last: Kesavayuth Author-Name: Robert E. Rosenman Author-X-Name-First: Robert E. Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenman Author-Name: Vasileios Zikos Author-X-Name-First: Vasileios Author-X-Name-Last: Zikos Title: The dynamic effects of retirement on well-being Abstract: In this paper we examine whether and to what extent people anticipate their retirement and adapt to it over time. For identification we use an instrumental variable approach that exploits the eligibility ages for state pension as a source of exogenous variation in retirement status. We show that retirement increases satisfaction with the amount of leisure time up to two years prior to retiring. Upon retirement, individuals reported higher satisfaction with their income and leisure. For leisure the well-being boost did not dissipate over time, but for income satisfaction adaptation was complete. These findings provide new empirical evidence on the causal link between retirement and well-being and suggest that such link may be better understood as a three-stage process occurring before, during and after retirement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5921-5935 Issue: 54 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1781770 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1781770 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:54:p:5921-5935 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wunhong Su Author-X-Name-First: Wunhong Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Xiaobao Song Author-X-Name-First: Xiaobao Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Chun Guo Author-X-Name-First: Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: Research and development investment and operational performance of listed small and medium-sized enterprises in China Abstract: This study aims to investigate the impact of research and development (R&D) investment on the operational performance of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) from 2013 to 2017. The findings show that there is a significant negative relation between R&D investment and the operational performance of SMEs in China. This negative effect lasts for three years subsequent to R&D investment. In addition, there is no positive relation between R&D investment and the operational performance of SMEs. The relation between R&D investment and operational performance appears significantly negative for non-state-owned enterprises (non-SOEs) and SMEs with an R&D investment intensity of more than 5%. However, it is non-significant for state-owned SMEs (SOEs) and SMEs with an R&D investment intensity of less than 5%. The two-stage method of the Heckman test and propensity score matching (PSM) are employed in this study to exclude problems of endogeneity, and the results remain robust. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5936-5948 Issue: 54 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1781771 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1781771 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:54:p:5936-5948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria E. de Boyrie Author-X-Name-First: Maria E. Author-X-Name-Last: de Boyrie Author-Name: Ivelina Pavlova Author-X-Name-First: Ivelina Author-X-Name-Last: Pavlova Title: Analysing the link between environmental performance and sovereign credit risk Abstract: This study investigates the effects of a country’s environmental performance on sovereign credit risk. We use sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads for a large panel of countries to analyse whether the relationship between environmental performance and credit risk varies by the maturity of the credit instrument and by the level of fiscal performance. Using a dynamic panel generalized method of moments model, we document a negative association between environmental performance and credit risk. This relationship does not exhibit substantial variation by CDS maturity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5949-5966 Issue: 54 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1781772 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1781772 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:54:p:5949-5966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Petr Janský Author-X-Name-First: Petr Author-X-Name-Last: Janský Title: European banks and tax havens: evidence from country-by-country reporting Abstract: Banks in the European Union have recently started publicly reporting data on profit, employee numbers, turnover and tax on a country-by-country basis; this new data source is capable of indicating to what extent banks’ profits are geographically aligned with their activities. I introduce one of the largest, hand-collected, publicly available data sets of its kind, which covers almost 50 banks for up to 5 years between 2013 and 2017. Using the data set, I identify the main locations of European bank’s profits, which include major European economies as well as countries often considered tax havens. I find that some of the tax havens have maintained high shares of profits in contrast with their much lower shares of employees or, to a lesser extent, turnover. These results indicate that while banks are likely shifting their profits to tax havens, even more detailed data would need to be published by banks to facilitate a direct observation of profit shifting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5967-5985 Issue: 54 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1781773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1781773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:54:p:5967-5985 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Young Han Bae Author-X-Name-First: Young Han Author-X-Name-Last: Bae Author-Name: Thomas S. Gruca Author-X-Name-First: Thomas S. Author-X-Name-Last: Gruca Author-Name: Hyunwoo Lim Author-X-Name-First: Hyunwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: Gary J. Russell Author-X-Name-First: Gary J. Author-X-Name-Last: Russell Title: The size-rank relationship for market shares of consumer packaged goods Abstract: This study examines the relationship between market share and its rank for a comprehensive set of product categories and subcategories in the U.S consumer packaged goods industry. Based on prior research, we expect that the slope of the market share-rank relationship will be more consistent with the Zipf distribution at the higher levels of aggregation (category-level versus subcategory-level shares). Two alternative model formulations were examined: the size-rank power law and an exponential alternative used in prior research. Model parameters were estimated across categories (and subcategories) using random coefficients for both the slopes and intercepts. The overall slopes for both samples were significantly higher than −1, the slope consistent with the Zipf distribution. However, as expected, we also found that the slope associated with data from the higher level of aggregation (category level) is flatter than that from the lower level of aggregation (subcategory level). We discuss implications of these results for future research on the size-rank relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5986-5994 Issue: 54 Volume: 52 Year: 2020 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1781774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1781774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:52:y:2020:i:54:p:5986-5994 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuta Ogane Author-X-Name-First: Yuta Author-X-Name-Last: Ogane Title: Who is a good advisor for entrepreneurs? Abstract: This paper examines the effects of external advice on entrepreneurs’ fundraising and business performance while distinguishing the sources of advice, by using a survey in Japan that includes 3,011 new firms. We find that advice from managers in the same industries contributes to solving entrepreneurs’ fundraising problems not only before startup but also immediately after startup. Their advice also helps increase the amount of external funding which entrepreneurs obtain at the time of startup. We also find that advice from accountants contributes to enhancing new firms’ performance immediately after startup. Their advice also contributes to enhancing their performance after the screening of projects, suggesting that such advice also serves as value-added in terms of the enhancement of new firms’ business performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-34 Issue: 1 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1745746 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1745746 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:1:p:1-34 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuna Heo Author-X-Name-First: Yuna Author-X-Name-Last: Heo Author-Name: Fangfang Hou Author-X-Name-First: Fangfang Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Author-Name: Seongkyu Gilbert Park Author-X-Name-First: Seongkyu Gilbert Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Does corruption grease or sand the wheels of investment or innovation? Different effects in advanced and emerging economies Abstract: We assess different effects of corruption on corporate activities depending on whether a firm operates in an advanced or emerging economy. In emerging economies, greater corruption is related to greater capital expenditures. In advanced economies, greater corruption is positively related to innovation. Further, we find the relationship between corruption and capital exp20enditure (innovation) is moderated by diversification. Our findings suggest that corruption leads firms to take more action in the areas that the economy has a competitive edge in. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 35-60 Issue: 1 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1791313 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1791313 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:1:p:35-60 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Valentine Jacobs Author-X-Name-First: Valentine Author-X-Name-Last: Jacobs Author-Name: Benoît Mahy Author-X-Name-First: Benoît Author-X-Name-Last: Mahy Author-Name: François Rycx Author-X-Name-First: François Author-X-Name-Last: Rycx Author-Name: Mélanie Volral Author-X-Name-First: Mélanie Author-X-Name-Last: Volral Title: Over-education among immigrants: the role of demographics, time, and firm characteristics Abstract: This paper puts the nexus between immigration and over-education to an updated test, capitalizing on the authors’ access to rich Belgian matched employer-employee data for the period 1999–2010. These data enable the authors to i) measure over-education with higher precision, ii) examine the heterogeneous effects of workers’ birth countries, and iii) test the role of key moderators. Using ordered probit estimates, the authors highlight that workers born in developing countries (especially in Asia and North Africa) are much more likely to be over-educated than their opposite numbers born in developed countries. However, the results also show that this gap in over-education is entirely driven by tertiary-educated workers. Gender-based differences in immigrants’ penalties, in contrast, are found to be quite modest overall. In line with statistical discrimination, results further show that tenure has a moderating effect on the likelihood for immigrants born in developing countries to be over-educated and that citizenship acquisition is also associated with improved job matches for those immigrants. Finally, regarding the role of firm characteristics, the authors find that the likelihood for immigrants from developing countries to be over-educated is significantly smaller in bigger firms and when working conditions are collectively renegotiated at the firm level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 61-78 Issue: 1 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1795070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1795070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:1:p:61-78 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stéphane Blancard Author-X-Name-First: Stéphane Author-X-Name-Last: Blancard Author-Name: Maximin Bonnet Author-X-Name-First: Maximin Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnet Author-Name: Jean-François Hoarau Author-X-Name-First: Jean-François Author-X-Name-Last: Hoarau Title: The influence of agriculture on the structural economic vulnerability of small island spaces: Assessment using DEA based composite indicators Abstract: Small island spaces are confronted with significant disadvantages that ultimately result in strong economic vulnerability. The conventional literature emphasizes the main role of agriculture in generating structural vulnerability. Specifically, the higher the weight of agriculture compared to other sectors is, the more structurally vulnerable an economy is. However, the recent food crises revealed that the economic dependence on agriculture is not a problem on its own, but the issue is rather the efficiency of this sector along with the orientation of domestic production towards diversification and food self-sufficiency. In this paper, we thus propose a new structural economic vulnerability indicator based on the assumption that promoting the local agriculture could boost development. We insert the share of the agriculture sector in the GDP proxied by imported food dependency into the ‘official’ economic vulnerability index. Moreover, for robustness, the proposed indicator is obtained based on an endogenous weighting system derived from data envelopment analysis. Finally, our simulations for a sample of 131 developing economies point out that considering food dependency reduces dramatically the exposure of small island economies to structural vulnerability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 79-97 Issue: 1 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1795071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1795071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:1:p:79-97 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Josephine Dufitinema Author-X-Name-First: Josephine Author-X-Name-Last: Dufitinema Title: Stochastic volatility forecasting of the Finnish housing market Abstract: The purpose of the article is to assess the in-sample fit and the out-of-sample forecasting performances of four stochastic volatility (SV) models in the Finnish housing market. The competing models are the vanilla SV, the SV model where the latent volatility follows a stationary AR(2) process, the heavy-tailed SV and the SV with leverage effects. The models are estimated using Bayesian technique, and the results reveal that the SV with leverage effects is the best model for modelling the Finnish house price volatility. The heavy-tailed SV model provides accurate out-of-sample volatility forecasts in most of the studied regions. Additionally, the models’ performances are noted to vary across almost all cities and sub-areas, and by apartment types. Moreover, the AR(2) component substantially improves the in-sample fit of the standard SV, but it is unimportant for the out-of-sample forecasting performance. The study outcomes have crucial implications, such as portfolio management and investment decision-making. To establish suitable time-series volatility forecasting models of this housing market, these study outcomes will be compared to the performances of their GARCH models counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 98-114 Issue: 1 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1795074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1795074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:1:p:98-114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amirah El-Haddad Author-X-Name-First: Amirah Author-X-Name-Last: El-Haddad Author-Name: May Mokhtar Gadallah Author-X-Name-First: May Mokhtar Author-X-Name-Last: Gadallah Title: The informalization of the Egyptian economy (1998–2012): a driver of growing wage inequality Abstract: We run recentered influence function (RIF) regressions, using Firpo et al. (2007) distributional approach to identify each control variable’s contribution on the decomposition of wage changes. Using the Egyptian Labour Market Surveys 1998–2012 for waged men we find that wage changes between 1998 and 2012 mainly resulted in increased inequality. The richer percentiles have persistently enjoyed disproportionately larger positive changes in real hourly wages. Whilst increasing in all three wage gaps, inequality increased the most between the top and bottom deciles (90–10 gap), i.e. between the lowest and highest wage earners. This increase in inequality is primarily driven by the unexplained wage structure effect. The distinct labour market segments are foremost responsible for the increased inequality trend. Private sector informality is the largest contributor to increased inequality. The sector does not adhere to a minimum wage, and being unregulated it has responded dramatically to the severe competitive pressures caused by the departing middle classes of the public sector. It suppressed mid and low-end wages resulting in sharp wage gaps at the tails. Public sector wage setting dynamics and the direction of labour movements since liberalization cause the sector to contribute more to wage inequality than does its formal private counterpart. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 115-144 Issue: 1 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1796917 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1796917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:1:p:115-144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinyong Zhan Author-X-Name-First: Jinyong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhan Author-Name: Jingci Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Jingci Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: The effects of state ownership on innovation: evidence from the state-owned enterprises reform in China Abstract: With the quasi-natural experiment of state-owned enterprises reform in China, this paper analyzes the relationship between state ownership and innovation. Utilizing difference-in-differences method, this paper estimates the effects of privatization on innovation in terms of R&D expenditure (innovation input), the number of patents, patents for invention (innovation output) and expenditure per patent (innovation efficiency) with Annual Survey of Industrial Enterprises in China over the period of 1998 and 2007. This paper finds that the privatization of state ownership does not significantly raise the R&D expenditure but does increase the innovation output by 2.5% as well as innovation efficiency by 50%. The results are robust to controlling for other types of ownership change and the industry-time disturbances. We also find that state ownership mainly influences firm innovation performance through the channels of increasing wages and financial constraints. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 145-163 Issue: 1 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1796918 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1796918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:1:p:145-163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zied Ftiti Author-X-Name-First: Zied Author-X-Name-Last: Ftiti Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Wael Louhichi Author-X-Name-First: Wael Author-X-Name-Last: Louhichi Author-Name: Mohamed El Arbi Madani Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed El Arbi Author-X-Name-Last: Madani Title: Are oil and gas futures markets efficient? A multifractal analysis Abstract: Energy futures markets have shown high volatility, giving rise to challenges regarding their pricing and efficiency. This study investigates the weak-form efficiency hypothesis for two major energy futures markets (gas and oil) over both calm and crisis periods, using a multifractal approach and intraday data to deal with the flexible econometric framework and rich information. Our results are threefold. First, we show that multifractality in lower frequency might be more biased than in intraday data, which motivates the use of the fractal approach when testing the intraday efficiency. Second, we highlight that high frequency data are characterized by a true long memory with a higher degree of persistence during the post-crisis period for the oil market. However, for lower frequencies, the long memory becomes spurious for both markets. Finally, our forecasting results show that, for the oil market, the proposed multifractal approach outperforms conventional methodologies, especially during turmoil periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 164-184 Issue: 2 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1801984 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1801984 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:2:p:164-184 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tommaso Agasisti Author-X-Name-First: Tommaso Author-X-Name-Last: Agasisti Author-Name: Aleksei Egorov Author-X-Name-First: Aleksei Author-X-Name-Last: Egorov Author-Name: Margarita Maximova Author-X-Name-First: Margarita Author-X-Name-Last: Maximova Title: Do merger policies increase universities’ efficiency? Evidence from a fuzzy regression discontinuity design Abstract: This paper focuses on the effect of merger policies in Russia on universities’ efficiency. We consider one particular policy of non-voluntary mergers conducted by the Ministry of education based on universities’ performance indicators. In a first stage, efficiency scores of universities are estimated using a bootstrapped DEA non-parametric technique. The efficiency scores were evaluated for universities that were merged and for an appropriate control group formed through a propensity score matching approach before and after implemented policy. Then, a fuzzy regression discontinuity design is implemented in order to reveal the causal impact of mergers on efficiency level. We find positive, statistically significant effect of merger policy on universities’ efficiency. The results of the analysis suggest that merged universities experienced greater efficiency gains (smaller efficiency declines) after the merger was implemented. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 185-204 Issue: 2 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1803488 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1803488 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:2:p:185-204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisco A. Gallego Author-X-Name-First: Francisco A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gallego Author-Name: Cesar Huaroto Author-X-Name-First: Cesar Author-X-Name-Last: Huaroto Author-Name: Cristóbal Otero Author-X-Name-First: Cristóbal Author-X-Name-Last: Otero Author-Name: Alejandro Sáenz Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Sáenz Title: National institutions and regional development at borders: evidence from the Americas Abstract: This paper explores how discontinuities created by national borders can influence development across the Americas. We exploit the discontinuous nature of borders jointly with exogenous variation at the national level to identify discontinuous effects on proxies for economic development at the regional and pixel levels. We separate the effects of national institutions from local historical conditions. Our analysis yields three main findings. First, we find important discontinuities in development across national borders for the Americas. Second, we also show that they are, for the most part, caused by institutional differences at the national level and not for differences at the regional level in geography, climate, endowments, and pre-colonization conditions. Third, we also present evidence that differences in national institutions affect human capital at the regional level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 205-220 Issue: 2 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1804048 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1804048 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:2:p:205-220 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ping Zou Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Title: Too little or too much? The dynamic adjustment of corporate philanthropy Abstract: Previous studies in corporate philanthropy have not found conclusive evidence of specific decision-making processes applied by firms to establish a target level of charitable giving. Using panel data of Chinese firms listed on the Shenzhen and Shanghai stock exchanges between 2009 and 2016,we find that the level of corporate charitable giving and financial performance has an inverted U-type relationship, which implies that maintaining an appropriate level of charitable giving can contribute to maximizing financial performance. This result is robust to the inclusion of various control variables, and control for endogeneity and reverse causality using two-stage least squares. Based on this premise, using partial adjustment model, we find that firms dynamically adjust their charitable giving to a set optimal level. Furthermore, we find that the actual and optimal levels of charitable giving change due to the dynamic nature of the business environment and the costs associated with the adjustment to change. Further analysis shows that privately owned firms can adjust their level of charitable giving faster than state-owned firms. Our study contributes to research by applying a unique method that provides a new perspective on the process of corporate philanthropy decision-making and guides firms in philanthropy engagement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 221-234 Issue: 2 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1804049 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1804049 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:2:p:221-234 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thai-Ha Le Author-X-Name-First: Thai-Ha Author-X-Name-Last: Le Author-Name: Canh Phuc Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Canh Phuc Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: The impact of tourism on carbon dioxide emissions: insights from 95 countries Abstract: Tourism development seems to have mixed effects on the level of CO2 emissions across the globe. This study thus provides international evidence on the impacts of tourism on carbon dioxide emissions in countries of arrival. We employ alarge panel of 95 countries, consisting of three subsamples of countries classified by income level over the period 1998–2014. The theoretical framework of this study is built based on an extended version of STIRPAT model combined with the EKC. The empirical results are following: (i) tourism (receipts and number of arrivals) reduces total CO2 emissions and CO2 emission from electricity and heat production in the countries of arrival; (ii) tourism increases CO2 emissions from transport, while the number of tourist arrivals increases CO2 emissions per capita; and (iii) The effects of tourism on emissions vary across different income levels. At the global level, tourism appears to increase CO2 emissions from transportation, suggesting that special attention should be paid to supporting green transportation infrastructure technologies and practices in the tourism industry. Overall, there is room for improvement in tourism management in countries of all income levels to promote the development of low-carbon tourism products and services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 235-261 Issue: 2 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1804051 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1804051 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:2:p:235-261 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilles Dufrénot Author-X-Name-First: Gilles Author-X-Name-Last: Dufrénot Author-Name: Jean-Baptiste Gossé Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Baptiste Author-X-Name-Last: Gossé Author-Name: Caroline Clerc Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Clerc Title: Risk sharing in Europe: new empirical evidence on the capital markets channel Abstract: This paper assesses the effectiveness of risk sharing mechanisms in Europe by breaking down the factor income components into their sub-components, and aims to further examine whether financial integration and international portfolio diversification boosts or dampens risk sharing. Using a panel of European countries, we compare the years before and after the 2008 financial crisis. We extend the literature by properly taking into account the heterogeneity (in both country and time dimensions) in the panel through new econometric models. Our results show that financial income has become a major channel of risk sharing in recent years and that a higher integration in the bond and equity markets significantly improves risk sharing in the long term. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 262-276 Issue: 2 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1804052 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1804052 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:2:p:262-276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elena Sochirca Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Sochirca Author-Name: Francisco José Veiga Author-X-Name-First: Francisco José Author-X-Name-Last: Veiga Title: Key determinants of elite rivalry: theoretical insights and empirical evidence Abstract: The purpose of this study is to empirically examine the key determinants of elite rivalry and identify their main channels of transmission, contributing to the sparse literature on the topic. Our results show that income level, human capital and the system of checks and balances are strong positive determinants of elite rivalry, while natural resources rents and colonization experience are strong negative determinants. This implies that higher education and income per capita levels and a more efficient separation of powers contribute to reduce elite rivalry, while past colonization experience and higher natural resources rents contribute to aggravate it. As regards transmission channels, about 60% of the determining factors’ overall effect on elite rivalry is transmitted through the legal system and property rights and the political risk channels. Our empirical findings indicate that more efficient institutional models and specific historical and economic factors, can in fact determine the level of elite rivalry in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 277-291 Issue: 2 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1805099 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1805099 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:2:p:277-291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Francisca Pacheco Author-X-Name-First: Francisca Author-X-Name-Last: Pacheco Author-Name: Rafael Sánchez Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Sánchez Author-Name: Mauricio G. Villena Author-X-Name-First: Mauricio G. Author-X-Name-Last: Villena Title: Estimating local government efficiency using a panel data parametric approach: the case of Chilean municipalities Abstract: Previous empirical evidence on municipal efficiency mostly uses cross-sectional data which makes it impossible to separate unobserved heterogeneity from inefficiency. Furthermore, they also typically use a two-stage approach which has been widely criticized as the assumptions in the first stage are violated in the second stage, generating biased results. We contribute to the literature by putting forward a one stage approach with parametric models and panel data to estimate municipal efficiency of 324 Chilean municipalities for the period 2008–2018. We take into account observed and unobserved heterogeneity, incorporating them both into the frontier and jointly estimating efficiency of all the municipalities in the sample. Our results suggest that Chilean municipalities have a relevant degree of inefficiency as they could achieve the same provision of services with 53% −61% less resources, depending on the specification, and that there is large heterogeneity in their level of efficiency. Finally, we also find that municipalities with a high dependency on the Municipal Common Fund are less efficient supporting the notion of local governments fiscal laziness present in the literature … Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 292-314 Issue: 3 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808171 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:3:p:292-314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jerrod Penn Author-X-Name-First: Jerrod Author-X-Name-Last: Penn Author-Name: Wuyang Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wuyang Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Mitigating hypothetical bias by defaulting to opt-out in an online choice Abstract: Hypothetical Bias (HB) is an ongoing concern for welfare estimates generated from stated preference approaches. Employing a default option has been shown to affect decision-making and outcomes in a variety of settings. We implement a split-sample design to study the effect of setting the opt-out alternative as a default choice in a Choice Experiment. Our results show that making the opt-out a default significantly decreases the willingness to pay for attributes, indicative of the presence and mitigation of potential HB. Defaulting to the opt-out alternative also causes considerable shifts in the rank of value among the attributes. This study is conducted in the context of proactive protection against bed bugs, an understudied but vexing issue to resource and recreation management as well as to the broader hospitality industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 315-328 Issue: 3 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808172 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:3:p:315-328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yurong Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Yurong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Yingying Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yingying Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Weixian Wei Author-X-Name-First: Weixian Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Quantifying international oil price shocks on renewable energy development in China Abstract: It is a common belief that renewable energy is an effective alternative to traditional fossil energy, namely, oil; thus, an international oil price shock is a significant factor affecting renewable energy development. This paper builds a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model to explore the effects of rise and fall in international oil price on the investment and outputs of renewable energy industry, as well as the macroeconomy and environment in China. In addition, the role of renewable energy policy is verified through simulating the combination scenario of oil price fluctuation and renewable energy policy. The results reveal that an increasing international oil price can advance the outputs and investment of renewable energy, decrease China’s real GDP and exports, and improve the atmosphere environment, and the influence of a decreasing international oil price is the opposite. Furthermore, renewable energy policy can attenuate the negative effect of a decreasing oil price on renewable energy development and the environment, and strengthen its contribution to GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 329-344 Issue: 3 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808173 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808173 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:3:p:329-344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Noha Emara Author-X-Name-First: Noha Author-X-Name-Last: Emara Author-Name: Hicran Kasa Author-X-Name-First: Hicran Author-X-Name-Last: Kasa Title: The non-linear relationship between financial access and domestic savings: the case of emerging markets Abstract: This paper examines the impact of financial access on the accumulation of domestic savings in emerging markets (EMs) covering countries from Latin America, Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA), and Asia as classified by the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) index. We use the System Generalized Method of Moments panel estimation methodology on annual data spanning the period 1980-2018. Principal component analysis allows us to create a financial access index as a linear combination of two variables measured per 100,000 adults: number of bank branches per and number of ATMs.The results of the paper reveal a statistically significant nonlinear relationship between the improvement in financial access measures and the accumulation of domestic savings with a definite threshold level. More specifically, our results for the full sample indicate that improvement in financial access may initially increase the savings rateleading to an increase in savings. Nevertheless, once the financial access index reaches its threshold level further improvement in financial access tends decrease households’ precautionary savings and to give rise to a decline in savings. Thus, the duality of the pattern highlights the non-linearity of financial access and domestic savings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 345-363 Issue: 3 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808174 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808174 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:3:p:345-363 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kaustav Misra Author-X-Name-First: Kaustav Author-X-Name-Last: Misra Author-Name: Paul W. Grimes Author-X-Name-First: Paul W. Author-X-Name-Last: Grimes Author-Name: Kevin E. Rogers Author-X-Name-First: Kevin E. Author-X-Name-Last: Rogers Title: Private competition and market characteristics: evidence from public school efficiency Abstract: The traditional market structure paradigm does not fully identify all components that determine the true degree and complexity of a market’s existing competition. Recently, researchers have redefined market structures and market competition using geographic spatial tools We follow this approach in developing a school competition index (SCI) for the state of Mississippi to define the K-12 market and to measure the competition public schools face from private schools. We separate religious private schools from non-religious private schools as an important market characteristic and create two variables to capture the degree of competition each public school faces from peer religious and non-religious private schools spatially located within their local market area. Results from two-stage stochastic frontier analysis indicate that private schools with a religious affiliation significantly increase public schools’ performance. The results also suggest that students’ race and their socio-economic standard significantly reduce public school efficiency. We conclude that policymakers should consider competition-based school reform policies to increase public school outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 364-379 Issue: 3 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808175 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808175 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:3:p:364-379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fadia Al Hajj Author-X-Name-First: Fadia Author-X-Name-Last: Al Hajj Author-Name: Gilles Dufrénot Author-X-Name-First: Gilles Author-X-Name-Last: Dufrénot Author-Name: Benjamin Keddad Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Keddad Title: Exchange rate policy and external vulnerabilities in Sub-Saharan Africa: nominal, real or mixed targeting? Abstract: This paper discusses the theoretical choice of exchange rate regimes in Sub-Saharan African countries that are facing external vulnerabilities. To reduce instability, policymakers choose among promoting external competitiveness using a real anchor, lowering the burden of foreign debt using a nominal anchor or using a policy mix of both anchors. We observe that these countries tend to adopt mixed anchor policies. We solve a state space model to explain the determinants of and the strategy behind this policy. We find that the mixed targeting policy is a two-step strategy: First, monetary authorities choose the degree of nominal exchange rate flexibility according to the velocity of money, trade openness, foreign debt, degree of exchange rate pass-through and exchange rate target zone. Second, authorities seek to stabilize the real exchange rate depending on the degree of competition in the domestic goods market and the degree of foreign exchange intervention. We conclude with regime-switching estimations to provide empirical evidence of how these economic fundamentals influence exchange rate policy in Sub-Saharan Africa. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 380-399 Issue: 3 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808176 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808176 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:3:p:380-399 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carla Fernandes Author-X-Name-First: Carla Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandes Author-Name: Maria Rosa Borges Author-X-Name-First: Maria Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Borges Author-Name: Jorge Caiado Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Caiado Title: The contribution of digital financial services to financial inclusion in Mozambique: an ARDL model approach Abstract: This paper analyses the contribution of digital financial services to financial inclusion in Mozambique, based on the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, for the period from January 2011 to September 2019. We study two models to analyse the contribution of digital financial services to financial inclusion (measured by the number of bank accounts) in Mozambique. The first model uses traditional digital means of payments as independent variables, such as the volume of financial transactions through automated teller machines (ATMs), point-of-sales (POSs), electronic transfers of inter and intrabank funds, direct debit, and domestic and cross-border remittances. The second model considers innovative digital means of payments, such as internet banking, mobile banking and electronic money. We conclude that, excluding domestic remittances and direct debit, which present low levels of penetration in the country, and internet banking transactions, the remaining variables contribute to financial inclusion. Our results confirm the crucial role that digital financial services play in financial inclusion, particularly in improving access to and the use of services by the under-served population. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 400-409 Issue: 3 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808177 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808177 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:3:p:400-409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seyyed Ali Zeytoon Nejad Moosavian Author-X-Name-First: Seyyed Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Zeytoon Nejad Moosavian Author-Name: Barry K. Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Barry K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Title: Flexible modelling of multivariate risks in pricing margin protection insurance: modelling portfolio risks with mixtures of mixtures Abstract: Margin Protection Programs (MPPs) are relatively new insurance plans, introduced by USDA’s Risk Management Agency (RMA). The attractiveness of these risk management instruments lies in the fact that the financial stability of agricultural production and farming operations is more dependent on margins than solely revenues, which neglect production costs, as is the case for Revenue Protection Programs (RPPs). This article examines the structure and rating of margin protection insurance policies by considering a broad class of high-dimensional copula models that parameterize the dependence among multivariate sources of risks. A variety of copula methods, including Archimedean Copulas (ACs), Mixture Copulas (MCs), and Vine Copulas (VCs) are used to analyse the dependence structure between revenues and input costs. In terms of methodology, flexible mixtures of parametric distributions are applied to characterize marginal densities, and likewise flexible mixtures of alternative copulas are used to model dependence. This article also argues that the rating methodology that accounts for irregular and anomalous features of dependence such as asymmetry, non-linearity, non-ellipticity, and tail dependence between input prices and output prices can result in more accurate premiums, and therefore, can increase the hedging effectiveness of the MPPs and the market efficiency in the US crop insurance market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 411-440 Issue: 4 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808170 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808170 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:4:p:411-440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tanveer Ahsan Author-X-Name-First: Tanveer Author-X-Name-Last: Ahsan Author-Name: Muhammad Azeem Qureshi Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Azeem Author-X-Name-Last: Qureshi Title: The nexus between policy uncertainty, sustainability disclosure and firm performance Abstract: Policy uncertainty (PU), and sustainability disclosure, influence the performance of the firms. We use European data to extend the nascent literature on sustainability disclosure, and economic policy uncertainty by investigating the moderating impact of sustainability disclosure on the relationship between economic policy uncertainty and firm performance. We find overwhelming evidence that policy uncertainty reduces firm performance; however, sustainability disclosure moderates this destructing impact of policy uncertainty on firm performance. Our results show that environmental and social disclosure by the European firms enhances their reputation and help these firms in reducing the policy-induced uncertainty. A higher governance disclosure representing efficient corporate governance also help European firms to moderate the negative effect of policy uncertainty on their performance. Our results are robust to alternate proxies of firm performance as well as endogeneity issues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 441-453 Issue: 4 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808178 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808178 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:4:p:441-453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shih-Hsien Chuang Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Hsien Author-X-Name-Last: Chuang Title: Aviation taxation and tax incidence Abstract: This paper investigates tax incidence resulting from the ‘combined unit tax’ levied on domestic air travel. Using a panel dataset and estimating with first-differences, I find that domestic aviation taxes are over-shifted to passengers by 30–70 cents per dollar tax. A potential nonlinear relationship between tax and fare changes is detected. The results are essential to future studies on tax salience. Seasonal effects are the most pronounced in periods with high demand. I extend the literature by providing fresh evidence of tax incidence in the airline industry and complementing the over-shifting results found in other industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 454-468 Issue: 4 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808179 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808179 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:4:p:454-468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sok Chul Hong Author-X-Name-First: Sok Chul Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Dongyoung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dongyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Eutteum Lee Author-X-Name-First: Eutteum Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The long-term human toll of natural disasters: a study of fetal exposure to the 1974 Tornado super outbreak Abstract: This study investigates the long-term effect of fetal exposure to the 1974 Tornado Super Outbreak. Using the 2008–2017 American Community Survey and a difference-in-differences framework, we estimate the adverse effects of this stressful in-utero shock on health and socioeconomic outcomes in adulthood. The effects explain 7% of the average probability of having at least one physical/cognitive difficulty and are robust to selection and migration issues. We find weaker effects on adulthood socioeconomic status and birth outcomes. The weaker effects on adulthood socioeconomic outcomes are because of complementing parental behaviours. We suggest maternal stress and fear as a key mechanism. Our estimate implies that the annual earned income loss from disaster-driven health problems was $72 million in 2017. Our findings suggest that the adverse impacts on late outcomes might be largely caused by maternal stress due to the unpredictability of the Tornado Super Outbreak. (JEL I15, O10, Q54) Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 469-481 Issue: 4 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808181 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:4:p:469-481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yen-Chen Chiu Author-X-Name-First: Yen-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Chiu Author-Name: I-Yuan Chuang Author-X-Name-First: I-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chuang Title: Unconditional density vs conditional density functions in estimating value-at-risk Abstract: This research compares the performance of 10 Value-at-Risk (VaR) models, including pure density models (student’s t, mixture of normal, double gamma, kernel, and GPD) and conditional density models (GARCH-student’s t, GARCH-mixture of normal, GARCH-double gamma, GARCH-kernel, and GARCH-GPD). We employ these models and test their performance in Asian markets, including over the 2008 financial crisis period. Findings show that the density functions used in conjunction with the GARCH models are capable of capturing the high peak, fat-tails, and volatility clustering of returns and can improve the accuracy of VaR forecasts. Furthermore, the proposed GARCH-double gamma provides the best fit for all tested Asian markets, both developed and emerging markets, and for foreign exchange rates markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 482-494 Issue: 4 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808182 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:4:p:482-494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuelian Li Author-X-Name-First: Xuelian Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yuxin Xie Author-X-Name-First: Yuxin Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: COVID-19 outbreak, government capital injections, and shadow banking efficiency Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak and government capital injections on the bank’s optimal interest margin and the efficiency gain/loss from the shadow banking operations. The down-and-out call option approach is adapted to model the structural break in volatility to capture the COVID-19 outbreak. Results show that the COVID-19 outbreak reduces the optimal bank interest margin, government capital injections enhance the margin, and both the outbreak and capital injections harm the efficiency gain from shadow banking. COVID-19, as such, makes the bank more prone to risk-taking, thereby adversely affecting banking stability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 495-505 Issue: 4 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808183 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:4:p:495-505 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jong-Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Sun Young Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Sun Young Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Title: Functional ARCH directional dependence via copula for intraday volatility from high-frequency financial time series Abstract: This paper proposes a copula directional dependence by using a bivariate Gaussian copula beta regression with the functional ARCH(1) (fARCH) model to suit high-frequency time series that account for intraday volatilities. With simulated high-frequency data, we show how the copula fARCH directional dependence of intraday volatility can be useful in terms of graphical displays for tick-by-tick price changes in a day. We can perform a test of significance of the copula fARCH directional dependence of intraday volatility by the permutation test, p-value, and bootstrapping confidence interval. To validate our proposed method with real data, we use the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) and the Hyundai-Motor (HD-Motor) company stock data with one minute high-frequency. We show that copula fARCH directional dependence of intraday volatility by B-spline basis function is superior to that by Fourier basis function in terms of the per cent relative efficiency of bias and mean squared error. This research shows that the copula functional ARCH directional dependence of intraday volatility can be an important statistical method to illustrate the directional dependence of intraday volatility in the financial market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 506-520 Issue: 4 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808184 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:4:p:506-520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonella Biscione Author-X-Name-First: Antonella Author-X-Name-Last: Biscione Author-Name: Raul Caruso Author-X-Name-First: Raul Author-X-Name-Last: Caruso Author-Name: Annunziata de Felice Author-X-Name-First: Annunziata Author-X-Name-Last: de Felice Title: Environmental innovation in European transition countries Abstract: The aim of this paper is to highlight the determinants of environmental innovation of manufacturing firms in European Transition countries. Following an established literature, the analysis relies upon data drawn from the Community Innovation Survey - CIS14 . The data are cross-section covering the period between 2012 and 2014. We employ a multivariate probit model to observe the effect of several drivers on eco-innovation, captured by: (i) eco-product; (ii) eco-process; (iii) eco-organization. Findings highlight that regulation influences all measures of eco-innovation. The results are confirmed also when we perform alternative estimations. It is worth noting that – after interacting expected regulation and turnover – expected regulation has an impact on the current decision on eco-innovation if and only if the firms have a large turnover. Another interaction term between turnover and tax rates is positively associated with eco-innovation, so suggesting that when tax rate appears to be too high, firms prefer to invest in environmental innovation rather than being taxed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 521-535 Issue: 5 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808185 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808185 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:5:p:521-535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sun-Ki Choi Author-X-Name-First: Sun-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: John Garen Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Garen Title: The federal-private wage differential: how has it evolved? Abstract: This paper is the first to document and analyse the variation of the federal-private pay differential over time. We estimate the evolution of the federal-private pay differential from 1995 to 2017 using Current Population Survey data, enabling us to examine the current pay gap and how it has changed. To do so, wage regressions are estimated by year and used to calculate the yearly federal-private wage differential. To deal with unobserved heterogeneity, we adopt control function methods. We also estimate the probability of receiving employer-provided health insurance and a pension plan each year for each sector. The findings imply that the federal pay differential is invariably positive, but has varied substantially. We examine the reasons for this variation and find that the most robust result is the positive effect of federal spending as a share of GDP, ipromplying that a 1 percentage point increase in federal spending as a share of GDP raises the federal pay differential by 1.3 to 1.75 percentage points. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 536-554 Issue: 5 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808572 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808572 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:5:p:536-554 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simona Bigerna Author-X-Name-First: Simona Author-X-Name-Last: Bigerna Author-Name: Carlo Andrea Bollino Author-X-Name-First: Carlo Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Bollino Author-Name: Philipp Galkin Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Galkin Title: Balancing energy security priorities: portfolio optimization approach to oil imports Abstract: The notion of energy security in most interpretations includes the physical supply and price affordability components, making financial risks a crucial part of energy security strategies. Mainstream analysis has focussed on the notion of the physical supply. This paper introduces a novel approach, considering simultaneously the quantity of oil imports and the risk associated with this quantity. This approach applies the financial portfolio theory to explore these issues from the perspective of four major Asian energy importers: China, Japan, Korea and Taiwan, by estimating efficient frontiers for corresponding oil import portfolios. Results show that the composition of oil import portfolios determines varying risk levels for given oil import growth rates and average import prices. Scenario analysis suggests that increasing the Saudi Arabia share of oil imports improves the portfolio performance of China and that the impact of the Iranian oil export embargo would increase portfolio risk of the economies in focus within a 3–15% range. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 555-574 Issue: 5 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808573 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808573 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:5:p:555-574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Keehwan Park Author-X-Name-First: Keehwan Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Zhongzheng Fang Author-X-Name-First: Zhongzheng Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: Fractional non-diversifiable risk and stock market returns Abstract: This article introduces a new risk metric of stock returns. It measures the fraction of the non-diversifiable risk relative to the individual risk of a typical stock in the stock market and is shown to be closely related to average correlation between individual stocks. Using the Korean stock market data, we show that the fractional non-diversifiable risk varies over time, and in particular, sharply rises during the financial crisis periods. We find that the relation between risk and return at the aggregate level is negative contemporaneously, but positive with a time lag. As a robustness check, we extend our analysis to the U.S. and the U.K. markets. Our results shed light on resolving the conflicting risk and return relations reported in the literature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 575-594 Issue: 5 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808574 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808574 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:5:p:575-594 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang Jiao Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Jiao Author-Name: Yixuan Li Author-X-Name-First: Yixuan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Mengdi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Mengdi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Widening the Gap? Temperature and Time Allocation between Men and Women Abstract: Gender differences in time use have been documented in the literature, but knowledge about the nature of such gender gaps remains limited. This study aims to examine whether changes in temperature, affect gender differentials in time allocation and the potential mechanisms through which the responses might operate. Based on the time use survey data, we find that, relative to men, women decrease their labour supply by approximately one hour during days with extremely high temperatures, despite having fewer working hours than men over the entire distribution of temperature. However, gender differentials in the time allocated to housework and leisure change little with temperature. Our further investigation indicates a substantial part of the gender gap can be explained by gender disparity in family responsibilities due to marriage and parenthood. The gender gap in supply to the market work is more pronounced for those with young children. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 595-627 Issue: 5 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808575 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808575 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:5:p:595-627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiawen Luo Author-X-Name-First: Jiawen Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Qun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Qun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Risk contagions between global oil markets and China’s agricultural commodity markets under structural breaks Abstract: This article investigates the linear and non-linear dependence structures of risk contagions between global crude oil futures markets and China’s agricultural futures markets based on a regime switching skew-normal (RSSN) model. We examine the oil-agriculture relationships and identify the contagion channels under the calm and turbulent oil market conditions. The directions of contagions are further identified with the directed acyclic graph (DAG) from the linear non-Gaussian acyclic models algorithm. The empirical results of contagions tests show the significance of correlation and covariance contagions across the oil and agriculture futures returns, especially under the turbulent oil market condition. The breaks in the variances through the moment-based break tests are found to be most significant, followed by the mean and skewness breaks. In addition, the DAG results support the volatility contagions from world oil future markets to China’s agricultural commodity futures markets. Our empirical results have important policy implications for the government to take effective measures to stabilize China’s commodity market and promote the development of alternative energy in China, as well as for market participants to best manage the market risks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 628-649 Issue: 5 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808577 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808577 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:5:p:628-649 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shahina Amin Author-X-Name-First: Shahina Author-X-Name-Last: Amin Author-Name: Bulent Uyar Author-X-Name-First: Bulent Author-X-Name-Last: Uyar Title: Pay gap between foreign-born and native-born doctors in the United States Abstract: Foreign-born doctors are an integral part of the U.S. labour market for doctors. About 29% of physicians, 24% of dentists, 16% of optometrists and 11% of podiatrists are not born in the United States. This study investigates whether, on average, there is a difference between the earnings of foreign-born doctors and their native-born counterparts, all else equal. The American Community Survey Data from 2006 to 2017 and two measures of doctors’ earnings: wage (and salary) income and total income (includes wages/salaries, business, investment income, etc.) are used. The results indicate that all else constant, all foreign-born doctors earn significantly (p < 0.01) less wage than native-born doctors for the first 5 years of their stay in the U.S. The wage gap decreases with their length of stay in the U.S. After 10 years of stay, foreign-born male doctors start to earn significantly more than their native-born counterparts (p < 0.05). However, when total income is considered, all foreign-born doctors earn significantly (p < 0.01) less than their native-born counterparts for up to 20 years of stay in the U.S. The magnitude of the total income gap is larger than that of the wage gap. All results remain robust even after ability is controlled for. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 650-662 Issue: 5 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808578 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808578 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:5:p:650-662 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jung K. Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jung K. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Yumi Koh Author-X-Name-First: Yumi Author-X-Name-Last: Koh Title: Pretrial justice reform and property crime: evidence from New Jersey Abstract: Several states and localities have begun to implement various forms of pretrial justice reforms aimed at reducing the size of pretrial detainee population. However, empirical investigation of the effect of such reforms on crimes more broadly (other than recidivism) is limited. We analyse the effect of the 2017 New Jersey Criminal Justice Reform on property crimes. We find that property crime per 100,000 population increased by 22.5% within the first two years. Our findings suggest that reducing the likelihood of pretrial detention for less violent crimes can have substantial impact on behavioural incentives for offenders of such crimes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 663-675 Issue: 6 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808579 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808579 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:6:p:663-675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lu Guo Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: WeiYa Long Author-X-Name-First: WeiYa Author-X-Name-Last: Long Author-Name: Zhimin Dai Author-X-Name-First: Zhimin Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Title: Manufacturing R&D investment efficiency and financing constraints: evidence from China Abstract: Enhancing the level of Research and Development (R&D) investment by China’s manufacturing enterprises and thus improving their independent innovation capabilities are the core to enhance the country’s industrial competitiveness. This research thus explores the threshold effect of financing constraints on manufacturing R&D investment from the perspective of financing constraints which impact such investment. We first define the related concepts of financing constraints and R&D investment and then discuss the theoretical basis for forming those constraints. The research data sample covers 68 A-share listed manufacturing companies from 2007 to 2016, and we apply the panel threshold model to conduct empirical research. The results show that financing constraints have a negative impact on the R&D investment of listed manufacturing companies, and that there is a non-linear relationship between threshold effects. When the asset-liability ratio is less than or equal to 0.4142, the financing constraint has a small negative impact on the R&D investment of these firms; when the asset-liability ratio is greater than 0.4142, the financing constraint has a greater negative impact on their R&D investment. Based on the findings, we propose relevant policy recommendations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 676-687 Issue: 6 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808580 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:6:p:676-687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Beibei Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Beibei Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Title: The relationship between trade credit and bank loans under economic fluctuations - based on the perspective of the supply chain Abstract: Bank loans and trade credit (B&T) are the most important short-term loan sources for enterprises. Therefore, it is important to study the relationship between them and whether this relationship is affected by some factors. This paper uses the panel data of all A-share listed companies in China from 2000 to 2018 to study the relationship between B&T, as well as the impact of economic fluctuations, profits, status and ownership on this relationship. Several findings are noted. First, there is a complementary relationship and this relationship is affected by economic fluctuations, profits, status and ownership. Second, economic fluctuations, profit, status and ownership have a negative impact on the relationship between B&T. The complementary effects will weaken under the image of economic fluctuations, profit, status, and ownership. Finally, economic fluctuations, profit, status and ownership have a greater impact on the relationship between bank loans and accounts payable than on bank loans and accounts receivable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 688-702 Issue: 6 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1809632 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1809632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:6:p:688-702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Marmora Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Marmora Author-Name: Brenden J. Mason Author-X-Name-First: Brenden J. Author-X-Name-Last: Mason Title: Does the shadow economy mitigate the effect of cashless payment technology on currency demand? dynamic panel evidence Abstract: Recent government attempts at reducing currency demand by promoting cashless payment technology, e.g., subsidies for point-of-sale terminals, have met with mixed success. In this paper, we argue that one reason is the shadow economy: as the size of the unrecorded economy grows, cashless payment technology has a weaker effect on the demand for cash. To test this hypothesis, we analyse a panel of 37 countries over the years 2004–2014 including data on point-of-sale terminals, financial cards in circulation, and the value of total card payments. Using the first principal component of these variables as a proxy for cashless payment technology, we find that a 1% increase in underground activity lowers the impact of cashless technology on the velocity of currency in circulation by 0.3%. This decrease is large enough that the average marginal effect of cashless technology on currency velocity is statistically insignificant for several high-shadow countries over the sample period. Overall, our results suggest that government subsidization of digital payment infrastructure will be ineffective when shadow markets are prevalent. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 703-718 Issue: 6 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1813246 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1813246 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:6:p:703-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis Enrique Escalante Author-X-Name-First: Luis Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Escalante Author-Name: Hélène Maisonnave Author-X-Name-First: Hélène Author-X-Name-Last: Maisonnave Author-Name: Margaret Raviro Chitiga Author-X-Name-First: Margaret Raviro Author-X-Name-Last: Chitiga Title: Do South African fiscal reforms benefit women? Abstract: Economic reforms affect men and women differently. In South Africa, gender and racial disparities still exist in the labour market, with women being highly vulnerable. The South African economy is in a depressed situation, with high levels of debt and public deficit. To improve the financial situation of the country, the government has implemented two new fiscal reforms: increase Value-added tax (VAT) for all commodities by 1%, excluding food, and reduce public spending by 5%. This paper evaluates the impacts of both reforms on women from all population groups in terms of employment and poverty levels, by using a Computable General Equilibrium model with micro-simulations. The simulations reveal that both policies have negative impacts on agents, particularly households and firms and poverty levels among women of all population groups. The hike in VAT increases the number of poor households, with women more affected than men. The drop in public spending shows negative impacts for all agents, however, it has lower impacts on poverty levels than those occurring from increasing VAT. The results reveal that South African women, of all population groups, are more vulnerable to the negative impacts of both reforms than men. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 719-729 Issue: 6 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1813247 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1813247 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:6:p:719-729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Barbara Blake-Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Barbara Author-X-Name-Last: Blake-Gonzalez Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: James V. Koch Author-X-Name-First: James V. Author-X-Name-Last: Koch Title: Drug-overdose death rates: the economic misery explanation and its alternatives Abstract: ‘Deaths of despair’ is the most commonly cited explanation for the 151% increase in drug-overdose deaths that occurred in the USA between 2010 and 2018. We use panel data describing 84 Virginia cities and counties to assess the validity of the deaths of despair hypothesis and alternate explanations that focus on disability rates, travel time to work, urban vs. rural location, educational attainment, racial and ethnic characteristics, the influence of other health conditions such as obesity, and supply-side factors that include pill availability and pharmacy market shares. We find deaths of despair to be only a partial explanation for the upsurge in drug-overdose deaths and conclude that a much broader view of the causes of drug-overdose deaths is merited. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 730-741 Issue: 6 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1813248 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1813248 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:6:p:730-741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hany Fahmy Author-X-Name-First: Hany Author-X-Name-Last: Fahmy Title: How technological emergence, saturation, and rejuvenation are re-shaping the e-commerce landscape and disrupting consumption? A time series analysis Abstract: Technological advancements in the ICT sector have enabled the development of online platforms that have drastically transformed the e-commerce landscape. The rise of the sharing economy is a key in point. Academics claim that this change is causing a noticeable shift in consumers’ habits from traditional towards collaborative and sharing activities due to environmental, social, and economic motives. In this article, we test the empirical validity of this hypothesis; namely, we test whether or not the recent change in e-commerce landscape is causing a permanent transition in US consumption over the last two decades by fitting a nonlinear smooth transition regression model to the cycle of US consumption with a constructed exogenous regime-driving variable that captures the various aspects of digital technology. The econometric analysis confirms the existence of a non-permanent regime switch in consumption. In particular, we show that the emergence, saturation, and rejuvenation of digital technology are causing consumption to switch between two stationary regimes. Consumption oscillates smoothly, but frequently, between both regimes in the early period (2000-2006) due to the emergence of new technologies and in the recent period (2017-2019) due to technological rejuvenation. It persists, however, in the mid period (2007-2016) due technological saturation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 742-759 Issue: 6 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1813249 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1813249 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:6:p:742-759 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tolga Omay Author-X-Name-First: Tolga Author-X-Name-Last: Omay Author-Name: Furkan Emirmahmutoglu Author-X-Name-First: Furkan Author-X-Name-Last: Emirmahmutoglu Author-Name: Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Syed Jawad Author-X-Name-Last: Hussain Shahzad Title: Comparison of optimization algorithms for selecting the fractional frequency in Fourier form unit root tests Abstract: We compare the performance of unit root tests which include flexible Fourier trends in their testing processes. The algorithms considered are those of Broyden, Fletcher, Goldfarb and Shanno (BFGS), Berndt, Hall, Hall and Hausman (BHHH), Simplex, Genetic and grid search (GS). The simulation results indicate that derivative-free methods, such as Genetic and Simplex, have advantages over hill-climbing methods, such as BFGS and BHHH in providing accurate fractional frequencies for fractional frequency flexible Fourier form (FFFFF) unit root test. When the parameters are estimated under the alternative hypothesis of the FFFFF type of unit root test, the grid search and derivative-free methods provide unbiased and efficient estimations. We also provide the asymptotic distribution of the FFFFF unit root test. We extend the FFFFF unit root test to a panel version in order to increase the power of the test. Finally, the empirical analyses of Covid19 unit root test show that derivative-free methods, are better than other methods. However, for big data and accurate estimation of the frequency parameters, the Simplex methodology using the bootstrap process is preferred. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 761-780 Issue: 7 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1814945 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1814945 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:7:p:761-780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donghua Wang Author-X-Name-First: Donghua Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jin Ding Author-X-Name-First: Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Author-Name: Guoqing Chu Author-X-Name-First: Guoqing Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Dinghai Xu Author-X-Name-First: Dinghai Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Tony S. Wirjanto Author-X-Name-First: Tony S. Author-X-Name-Last: Wirjanto Title: Modelling asset returns in the presence of price limits with Markov-switching mixture of truncated normal GARCH distribution: evidence from China Abstract: This article proposes a general framework of a Markov Switching GARCH model with a mixture of truncated Gaussian to model asset returns with price limits in China. Theoretically, while retaining many convenient statistical properties of the Gaussian distribution, the proposed model also assumes a flexible time-varying volatility structure to accommodate the feature of the return data under price restrictions in China, such as the clusters near the bounds (due to the ‘bound effect’). Empirically, we apply the model to eight representative stocks from Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets in China. Lastly, we find that our proposed model dominates the conventional volatility models in terms of Value-at-Risk measures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 781-804 Issue: 7 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1814946 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1814946 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:7:p:781-804 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Murat Genç Author-X-Name-First: Murat Author-X-Name-Last: Genç Author-Name: Stephen Knowles Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Knowles Author-Name: Trudy Sullivan Author-X-Name-First: Trudy Author-X-Name-Last: Sullivan Title: In search of effective altruists Abstract: The effective altruism movement argues that people wanting to do the most good they can should donate to charities fighting poverty in poor countries overseas, rather than to charities helping people in need in wealthy countries. This is because there is greater need in the developing world meaning it is possible to save lives or improve living conditions at reasonably low cost. However, most people living in developed countries prefer to donate to charities helping people in need in their own country, rather than charities helping people in need in the developing world. This paper analyses why this might be. We conduct a discrete choice experiment to determine the relative importance people place on the effectiveness of a donation, the need of recipients, and whether the donation will be spent at home or overseas. We find that many people place more weight on where the donation will be spent than on how effective it will be. We also find that a significant number of people are not aware, or do not believe, a donation will be more effective in the developing world. In addition, many people’s donation decisions are guided by emotion or intuition, rather than rational calculation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 805-819 Issue: 7 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1814947 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1814947 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:7:p:805-819 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minjung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minjung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Firm’s globalization and wage elasticity of labour demand in South Korea Abstract: This study investigates the effects of exports and overseas investments on the wage elasticity of labour demand for both foreign multinational corporations (MNCs) and Korean MNCs using a 2006–2015 firm-level unbalanced panel dataset from South Korea. I employ the system generalized method of moments to estimate a dynamic labour demand function to solve the problem of reverse causality due to potential endogeneity. The results suggest that exports play a critical role in increasing wage elasticity among foreign MNCs, whereas overseas investments render labour demand more elastic among both foreign MNCs and Korean MNCs. Particularly, these effects of globalization on increasing wage elasticity became strengthened among foreign MNCs during the post-financial crisis period. Moreover, the intra-firm and inter-firm exports of foreign MNCs from OECD nations, which reflect the vertical integration of foreign MNCs with their affiliated firms, increase the wage elasticity of labour demand. Since overseas investments induce higher wage elasticity of labour demand, overseas investment substitutes for local production activity. These empirical results imply that the rapid pace of globalization exacerbates the instability of the local labour market, and the aggravation of employment vulnerability during the post-crisis period is driven by foreign MNC activity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 820-829 Issue: 7 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1814948 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1814948 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:7:p:820-829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongshan Ai Author-X-Name-First: Hongshan Author-X-Name-Last: Ai Author-Name: Yang Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Ke Li Author-X-Name-First: Ke Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Impacts of environmental regulation on firm productivity: evidence from China’s Top 1000 Energy-Consuming Enterprises Program Abstract: Regulatory environmental policy is crucial for energy conservation and emission reduction. However, no consensus is available on its impact on enterprises’ total factor productivity (TFP). This study took 6631 chemical enterprises as examples to investigate the impacts of the Top 1000 Energy-Consuming Enterprises Program (T1000P) on enterprises’ productivity. The empirical results from the difference-in-differences method indicate that the T1000P hinders TFP improvement. Specifically, the TFP change rate of enterprises affected by the T1000P decreased by 0.9230% annually. Mechanism analysis shows that the impact of T1000P includes increasing business costs, and reducing the profits of regulated companies. By checking the ‘compensation effect’ and ‘crowding out effect’ of the T1000P on enterprises’ technological progress, we prove that the T1000P had negative impacts on technological innovation and reduced the enterprises’ productivity. Therefore, the environmental regulations should be implemented based on industry characteristics and develop differentiated strategies to avoid excessive interference with the enterprises’ production decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 830-844 Issue: 7 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1815642 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1815642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:7:p:830-844 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rose Cunningham Author-X-Name-First: Rose Author-X-Name-Last: Cunningham Author-Name: Eden Hatzvi Author-X-Name-First: Eden Author-X-Name-Last: Hatzvi Author-Name: Kun Mo Author-X-Name-First: Kun Author-X-Name-Last: Mo Title: The size and destination of China’s portfolio outflows Abstract: China’s large financial system is relatively closed, raising concerns that liberalization of China’s capital account could have disruptive effects on the global financial system. We estimate a portfolio allocation model to estimate an economy’s foreign portfolio investment, using panel data for 39 economies. We estimate the model separately for equity and debt securities holdings. We find that portfolio allocation to a foreign economy depends on the destination economy’s market size, gravity variables, governance indicators and capital controls in source and destination economies. We then construct a counterfactual scenario of China’s overseas portfolio investment allocations in 2015 if China had liberalized capital outflows. The analysis indicates that China’s holdings of overseas portfolio assets would have been large at 13% to 29% of Chinese GDP, or 5 to 12 times its actual levels. These asset holdings would have been predominantly from the world’s deepest financial markets: the United States, euro area and Japan. Emerging-market economies would have received relatively little additional portfolio inflows from China, suggesting that liberalization of China’s portfolio outflows may not prove disruptive to the global financial system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 845-867 Issue: 7 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1817307 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1817307 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:7:p:845-867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lifang Xu Author-X-Name-First: Lifang Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: A Model of Nominal Wage Stickiness Abstract: This paper builds a parsimonious model of nominal wage stickiness based on wage dispersion induced by search frictions. The paper shows that this model can explain those salient features of wage adjustment in the data, including the average frequency of wage adjustment, the average duration of a wage, and the size distribution of wage changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 868-879 Issue: 7 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1820441 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1820441 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:7:p:868-879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yunyun Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yunyun Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Haitao Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Haitao Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Ran Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ran Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The effect of institutional ownership on listed companies’ tax avoidance strategies Abstract: The percentage of institutional ownership in China has increased gradually. Does this characteristic of Chinese institutional investors affect their participation in corporate governance, which in turn, affects corporate tax avoidance activities? We take 1108 listed Chinese companies from 2009 to 2017 to study this issue. The paper uses average daily total market capitalization as an instrumental variable to test the endogeneity problems. We run a quantile regression (QR) at the median level as robustness testing to overcome the fat tail of financial data. Then, the shareholding ratio of majority shareholders is introduced to verify that ownership concentration is one of the mechanisms through which institutional shareholders influence corporate tax avoidance decisions. The findings are as follows: The proportion of institutional investors’ shareholdings is positively related to the degree of enterprise tax avoidance. The increase in institutional investors’ shareholdings is likely to promote corporate tax avoidance. When the level of ownership concentration is low, the increase in institutional ownership can play a greater role in promoting tax avoidance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 880-896 Issue: 8 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1817308 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1817308 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:8:p:880-896 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chandan Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Chandan Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Debdatta Pal Author-X-Name-First: Debdatta Author-X-Name-Last: Pal Title: Revisiting resource curse puzzle: new evidence from heterogeneous panel analysis Abstract: This study examines the natural resource curse hypothesize on a panel of 111 countries over the period 1996–2015. Using a range of heterogeneous panel cointegration techniques, it tests the resource curse hypothesis while allowing for cross-section heterogeneity. Specifically, it employs common correlated effects mean group, cross-sectionally augmented autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL), and cross-sectionally augmented distributed lag (CS-DL) techniques. It begins the analysis with a conventional method in which the average value of variables is considered. The conventional approach fails to provide any clear evidence. The CCEMG estimator yields limited evidence supporting the resource curse in the long-run. However, CS-DL and CS-ARDL results show strong evidence for resources as a curse in the short-run, however, the evidence is weak in suggesting any long-run influence of resource-dependence on economic growth. Furthermore, CS-ARDL-based results also show that the effects work with a lag. Overall, we find support for the resource curse hypothesis, suggesting that resource-rich economies tend to grow at a slower rate in comparison to the resource-deprived ones. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 897-912 Issue: 8 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1817309 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1817309 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:8:p:897-912 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed Osman Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Osman Title: Persistence, mean reversion, and non-linearities in inflation rates in the GCC countries: an eclectic approach Abstract: The inflation rate is a key variable in many macroeconomic models that are used to guide policy analysts and lead to effective decisions. However, achieving this outcome depends, to a large extent, upon the validity of these macroeconomic models whose successes, in turn, critically depend on whether inflation is stationary or not. In this paper, we investigate the dynamics of inflation in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries using both linear and non-linear tests. To add an extra layer of robustness to our results, we avoid the pitfalls of the econometrics of stationarity by applying the MS-ADF and Fourier ADF tests. After using a battery of tests, the analysis provides more reliable inferences on the question of whether the inflation rates of these countries are I(0) or I(1). The findings convincingly support the view that not only are the inflation rates of these countries non-linear, but they are also characterized by mean-reversion behaviour. The policy implication of our findings is that random shocks will not have permanent effects and that active monetary policies are not needed, as these effects will eventually disappear in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 913-923 Issue: 8 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1819950 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1819950 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:8:p:913-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Diana Becerra-Peña Author-X-Name-First: Diana Author-X-Name-Last: Becerra-Peña Author-Name: Daniel Santin Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Santin Title: Measuring public primary education productivity across Mexican states using a Hicks-Moorsteen index Abstract: Despite the importance of analysing how an educational system works across regions, there is a lack of research benchmarking regions’ performance over time. The aim of this research is to measure total factor productivity changes (TFPC) in the primary education sector across 30 Mexican states over eight academic years from 2006–07 to 2013–14. To do this, we calculate the Hicks-Moorsteen total factor productivity index (HMTFP) using information on third-grade primary education students attending publicly funded schools. We also explore the main environmental factors behind these differences in productivity. Estimates for the analysed period show an average positive TFPC of 1.91%, driven by technological progress. We also find a significant positive effect on productivity when the policy party governing at the federal and the state levels coincide. The paper concludes by pointing out the need to use school-level data to monitor and evaluate the education systems as an indispensable element for delivering efficient and effective public administration services to citizens. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 924-939 Issue: 8 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1819951 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1819951 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:8:p:924-939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pankaj C. Patel Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Author-Name: Igor Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Igor Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Title: The relationship between terrorist attacks and cryptocurrency returns Abstract: Complementing increasing concerns that cryptocurrency could be used to finance terror networks, in this paper we investigate the effect of monthly terrorist attacks outcomes – success, injuries, and fatalities – on monthly returns of 1,178 cryptocurrencies representing 18,016 cryptocurrency-year-months between 2014 and 2018. The monthly percentage of successful terror attacks Granger causes the monthly cryptocurrency returns and lowers the monthly cryptocurrency returns. Increasing success in terror attacks is negatively associated with cryptocurrency returns, the count of wounded is negatively associated with cryptocurrency returns, however, the count of dead is positively associated with cryptocurrency returns. The success in terror attacks has the largest effect on returns, relative to the count of wounded and dead. The estimates are consistent when controlling for cross-sectional correlation among major cryptocurrencies, and cryptocurrencies could be a weak hedge against successful terrorist attacks. The findings are robust to cryptocurrencies in the top three quartiles of the market capitalization and the mediation analysis shows that terror attacks lower returns through the decline in the short-term macroeconomic cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 940-961 Issue: 8 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1819952 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1819952 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:8:p:940-961 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Renatas Kizys Author-X-Name-First: Renatas Author-X-Name-Last: Kizys Author-Name: Christos Floros Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Floros Author-Name: Konstantinos Gkillas Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Gkillas Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: Testing for rational bubbles in the UK housing market Abstract: Over the past decade, the UK has witnessed significant booms in the real estate market, and housing prices have experienced increases. Since 1997, the housing price has almost tripled, which is far beyond the long-term trend. To identify the existence of housing bubbles is a crucial issue for any country to prevent possible damage to economies and outbreaks of financial crises. The objective of this paper is to examine the existence of a housing price bubble in the UK through employing a co-explosive vector autoregression (VAR) model, originally applied to stock markets. The results demonstrate that both housing price and rental price show explosive behaviour during their growth, which provides little evidence to support the presence of real estate bubbles in the UK. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 962-975 Issue: 8 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1820440 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1820440 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:8:p:962-975 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jianxin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jianxin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Yanrui Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yanrui Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Tsun Se Cheong Author-X-Name-First: Tsun Se Author-X-Name-Last: Cheong Title: New evidence on the convergence and regional clusters in China: a weighted continuous distribution dynamics approach Abstract: This paper examines income convergence by using a continuous distribution dynamics approach which takes both population and economic size into consideration. The study is based on a panel dataset of 31 Chinese provinces from 1952 to 2013. The impacts of geographical location, capital accumulation, trade openness and industrial structure are also evaluated by conditional analysis. This paper provides a new angle for examining the spatial distribution dynamics of China’s provincial income. The results show that the ergodic distribution of the pre-reform period is multimodal, while the ergodic distribution of the post-reform period is bimodal. However, the ergodic distribution of the more recent period 2000–2013 is found to be unimodal. All three ergodic distributions are right-skewed. The weighted analysis shows that by neglecting population and economic size, the economic performance in the pre-reform period may be overestimated, while the poverty reduction effect in the post-reform period may be underestimated. The results suggest that relocating people and economic activities to high-income provinces is an important approach to reduce relative poverty. Conditional analysis results indicate that geographical location, capital accumulation, trade openness and industrial structure have a significant influence on the distribution dynamics of per capita GDP. However, the observed bimodality cannot be explained by one of the four factors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 976-995 Issue: 8 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1820443 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1820443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:8:p:976-995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hideaki Sakawa Author-X-Name-First: Hideaki Author-X-Name-Last: Sakawa Author-Name: Naoki Watanabel Author-X-Name-First: Naoki Author-X-Name-Last: Watanabel Title: Main bank relationships and risk taking in Japanese listed firms Abstract: Bank–firm relationships play a role in the degree of corporate risk taking that guides financing decisions. As such, we study whether the magnitude of corporate risk taking is associated with close bank–firm ties in Japan. To this end, we use data on publicly listed firms from 2007 to 2016 following the bank mergers that occurred in the wake of Japanese financial deregulation, and select risk variables such as idiosyncratic and total risk as proxies for corporate risk taking. The empirical evidence suggests that close bank ties can drive firms to take fewer risks. The results remain unchanged even after controlling for endogeneity. Finally, we observe that smaller firms with higher growth opportunities tend to reduce the degree of corporate risk taking when they form close bank ties. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 996-1012 Issue: 9 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1820444 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1820444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:9:p:996-1012 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Faisal Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Faisal Author-X-Name-Last: Shahzad Author-Name: Awudu Abdulai Author-X-Name-First: Awudu Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulai Title: The heterogeneous effects of adoption of climate-smart agriculture on household welfare in Pakistan Abstract: In this study, we analyse the heterogeneity in the impacts of adoption of climate-smart agricultural (CSA) practices on welfare indicators such as food and nutrition security and poverty reduction in Pakistan. We employ the marginal treatment effects (MTE) approach to estimate the treatment effects heterogeneity and policy-relevant treatment effects (PRTE). The findings show substantial heterogeneity in benefits from adoption of CSA with respect to both observed and unobserved household characteristics. In particular, the estimates show that households with higher unobserved benefits are more likely to adopt CSA practices. The empirical results show that adoption of CSA practices significantly reduces household food insecurity and increases household dietary diversity but reduces the poverty headcount and severity of poverty of the households at the lower level of unobserved resistance to adoption. The PRTE indicate that sources of climate change information and climate-resilient trainings could help to reduce rural poverty and improve food and nutrition security in Pakistan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1013-1038 Issue: 9 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1820445 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1820445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:9:p:1013-1038 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Max Resende Author-X-Name-First: Max Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Author-Name: Francis Petterini Author-X-Name-First: Francis Author-X-Name-Last: Petterini Title: Simulating the effects of automatic promotion on early dropouts for both poor and rich students: an application to Brazilian data Abstract: The debate regarding the relative effects of automatic grade promotion versus grade retention has long concerned education policymakers and researchers. This work applies a random-effects probit model to assess the probability of early dropout in Brazilian public schools based on a unique administrative database which permits to infer household income at the student level for more than 60 thousand pupils enrolled in 273 schools. The results suggest evidence that decisions to drop out early are significantly influenced by whether approval has taken place and age-grade distortion. Moreover, simulation exercises have suggested that automatic grade promotion policy could reduce up to 35% the probability of a low-income student dropout from secondary school, while 24% for their rich peers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1039-1051 Issue: 9 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1822510 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1822510 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:9:p:1039-1051 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Blaise Gnimassoun Author-X-Name-First: Blaise Author-X-Name-Last: Gnimassoun Author-Name: Isabelle Do Santos Author-X-Name-First: Isabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Do Santos Title: Robust structural determinants of public deficits in developing countries Abstract: Many macroeconomic, institutional, demographic, social and political variables have been proposed by previous studies as significant determinants of public deficits in developing countries. This paper asks whether their estimated impact on public deficits is robust under thousands of possible alternative specifications. We deal with model uncertainty using Sala-i-Martin’s Extreme Bound Analysis. Our results clearly show that external shocks, the debt ratio, financial development, the level of democracy and government control over expenditures are robustly associated with fiscal deficits. Public deficits are lower in countries which provide better stability of public expenditure in the face of revenue instability and which are less exposed to negative external shocks. In contrast, fiscal deficits increase with the debt ratio, financial development and the level of democracy. The relative importance of external shocks in all the regressions argues in favour of greater economic diversification in order to mitigate the impact of negative shocks on public finances. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1052-1076 Issue: 9 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1824063 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1824063 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:9:p:1052-1076 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ateeb Akhter Shah Syed Author-X-Name-First: Ateeb Akhter Shah Author-X-Name-Last: Syed Author-Name: Kevin Haeseung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kevin Haeseung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Macroeconomic forecasting for Pakistan in a data-rich environment Abstract: This article forecasts the CPI inflation, GDP growth and the weighted average overnight repurchase rate in Pakistan using 161 predictors covering a period from July 2007 to July 2017. We use the naïve mean model and the autoregressive model as benchmark models and compare their forecasting performance against the dynamic factor model (DFM) and sophisticated machine learning methods such as the Ridge regression, the LASSO, the Elastic net and a few variants of Bagging. The main purpose of the article is to determine, how well the commonly used DFM which has been used for time series forecasting for a long time, performs against the recently developed penalized regression methods in forecasting key macroeconomic variables in Pakistan. We forecast the variables of interest over 12 months forecast horizon. The forecast evaluation criteria used to compare the forecast performance of these models is the RMSE and MASE. For each variable of interest, we find that, for majority of the cases considered, one of the competing approaches outperform the benchmark models and other competing approaches at majority of forecast horizons. Our results show that, on the balance, the machine learning approaches perform better than the benchmark, the autoregressive and the DFM. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1077-1091 Issue: 9 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1826399 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1826399 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:9:p:1077-1091 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mauricio Varas Author-X-Name-First: Mauricio Author-X-Name-Last: Varas Author-Name: Franco Basso Author-X-Name-First: Franco Author-X-Name-Last: Basso Author-Name: Sergio Maturana Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Maturana Author-Name: Raúl Pezoa Author-X-Name-First: Raúl Author-X-Name-Last: Pezoa Author-Name: Marcelo Weyler Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Weyler Title: Measuring efficiency in the Chilean wine industry: a robust DEA approach Abstract: The Chilean wine industry has been quite innovative in terms of winemaking and trading. Yet, to survive in this competitive industry, wine managers should be aware of the relevance of monitoring their performance. In this paper, we assess how the five wineries listed on the Santiago Stock Exchange of Chile are efficient while using their critical resources for making profits. Particularly, we apply data envelopment analysis (DEA) to benchmark and rank these wineries’ technical efficiency based on four inputs and one output. We use data gathered from consolidated financial statements that are prepared using estimates, judgements, and assumptions. To account for some level of ex-post adjustments in data, we evaluate these wineries’ relative efficiency using a robust DEA model, which deals with ambiguous, imprecise, and uncertain input-output parameters. We analyse several levels of variability suitable for this data source, and we evaluate how changing the conservatism level affects technical efficiency and the rankings of the wineries. We also conduct a comparison between the five Chilean wineries and nine others from the New World. As the main conclusion, we found that Chilean wineries keep their efficiency level when including international firms in the analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1092-1111 Issue: 9 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1826400 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1826400 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:9:p:1092-1111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bern Caudill Dealy Author-X-Name-First: Bern Caudill Author-X-Name-Last: Dealy Author-Name: Aaron Kearsley Author-X-Name-First: Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Kearsley Author-Name: Carolyn Wolff Author-X-Name-First: Carolyn Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Author-Name: Elizabeth Botkins Author-X-Name-First: Elizabeth Author-X-Name-Last: Botkins Author-Name: Nellie Lew Author-X-Name-First: Nellie Author-X-Name-Last: Lew Author-Name: Clark Nardinelli Author-X-Name-First: Clark Author-X-Name-Last: Nardinelli Title: Willingness to pay to standardize patient medication information Abstract: Pharmacists dispense prescription drugs with leaflets containing information about the specific medication a patient receives. These leaflets vary in format, length, content, and readability for the same prescription drug at different pharmacies; they also vary for different prescription drugs at the same pharmacy. Previous research has found that most patients prefer standardization of these leaflets; however, standardization is costly, and there are no published studies that estimate the value of such standardization to consumers. We use a contingent valuation survey to investigate consumer willingness to pay for standardized informational leaflets in the retail pharmacy setting. We present results of analyses based on contingent valuation responses of 510 federal government employees. The survey design was a double-bounded advisory referendum elicitation format where respondents were presented with examples of standardized and non-standardized prescription drug information formats. The study found the willingness to pay for standardized informational leaflets was approximately $1.37 per household per month. The estimated willingness to pay is sensitive to alternative econometric specifications, evidence of possible survey response bias; however, across all models, the estimates are statistically and economically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1112-1126 Issue: 9 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1826401 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1826401 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:9:p:1112-1126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuhuang Shang Author-X-Name-First: Yuhuang Author-X-Name-Last: Shang Author-Name: Qingma Dong Author-X-Name-First: Qingma Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: Oil volatility forecasting and risk allocation: evidence from an extended mixed-frequency volatility model Abstract: This paper proposes a novel GARCH-MIDAS-SK (G-M-SK) model that improves the basic GARCH-MIDAS (G-M) model by incorporating time-varying skewness and kurtosis. We employ our model with data concerning macroeconomic fundamentals to investigate in-sample fit and out-of-sample prediction of volatility in crude oil prices. Empirical results suggest that G-M-SK models produce the better in-sample fit than basic G-M models do. This result is also robust for the subsample of the oil market. It is equally noteworthy that modelling low-frequency macroeconomic variables better reveals the long-term volatility from time-varying skewness and kurtosis. More importantly, G-M-SK model significantly and robustly improves accuracy in predicting oil volatility. In particular, we find that data regarding macroeconomic fundamentals contribute more to forecasting volatility in oil prices than their variance does. Finally, our G-M-SK model more precisely calculates the utility incident to minimizing risk and allocating portfolios. Its results are consistent with out-of-sample forecasting results. These results are beneficial to the decision-making of the crude oil investors and policymakers alike. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1127-1142 Issue: 10 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1826402 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1826402 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:10:p:1127-1142 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chih-Wei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chi Yin Author-X-Name-First: Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Min-Rui Choo Author-X-Name-First: Min-Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Choo Title: Bank competition and firms’ dependence: evidence from firms’ role Abstract: This research provides empirical evidence on bank-firm relationships from firms’ role in discussing their dependence on banks from the perspectives of bank competition. Using a rich dataset of loans, we find that firms reduce their dependence on banks when banks operate in a more competitive environment. These effects are more pronounced when firms are financially distressed and constrained. Moreover, firms with active family control exhibit less dependence on lenders in a competitive environment. Our evidence provides specific strategies and self-consideration of borrowers and lenders. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1143-1162 Issue: 10 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1827134 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1827134 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:10:p:1143-1162 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexandre Frondizi Author-X-Name-First: Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Frondizi Author-Name: Simon Porcher Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Porcher Title: The economics of street-level prostitution in Paris during the ‘Belle Epoque’ (1870-1914) Abstract: How can districts become completely embedded in informal economies despite harsh state regulation? In this paper, we use qualitative and quantitative data to explain the increasing number of ‘clandestine’ street-level prostitutes in a district of Paris during the Belle Epoque (1870–1914). Using an original dataset on street-level prostitutes, we describe the economics of street-level prostitution at the time: street prostitutes were young, unskilled and relatively well paid; they tended to work with pimps who were from the same area and clustered in neighbourhoods where they could compete with regulated brothels. Street prostitutes generated profits not only for themselves but also for a whole range of actors, thereby switching the whole local economy to this industry at the expense of the formal economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1163-1177 Issue: 10 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1827135 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1827135 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:10:p:1163-1177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richhild Moessner Author-X-Name-First: Richhild Author-X-Name-Last: Moessner Author-Name: William A. Allen Author-X-Name-First: William A. Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Title: Effects of the Fed’s enhanced swap line with the ECB on CIP deviations Abstract: In this paper we study the effects of the enhancement of the Fed’s swap line with the ECB during the coronavirus epidemic on dollar cross-currency basis swap spreads against the euro, which had widened during the coronavirus crisis, reflecting greater deviations from covered interest parity (CIP). We find that the enhanced swap line contributed to making the three-month dollar cross-currency basis swap spreads against the euro less negative, i.e. narrowing the CIP deviations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1178-1183 Issue: 10 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1827137 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1827137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:10:p:1178-1183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ripon Kumar Mondal Author-X-Name-First: Ripon Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mondal Author-Name: Eliyathamby A Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Eliyathamby A Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Title: Nexus between rural nonfarm income and agricultural production in Bangladesh Abstract: Evidence from the rural livelihood literature shows that farm households in developing countries engage in nonfarm employment to supplement their household income. This raises the question of whether nonfarm income complements or competes with agricultural production due to a possible shift in farm household labour to nonfarm employment. Using survey data, this study examines the impact of rural nonfarm income on farm households’ agricultural production in Bangladesh. Applying the instrumental variable Tobit model, we find a nonlinear relationship between nonfarm income and total production expenditure as well as expenditures on major purchased inputs (equipment, seed, fertilizer, purchased labour). This indicates that when nonfarm income rises, production expenditure increases but at a decreasing rate. Furthermore, the endogenous stochastic frontier production model indicates that technical inefficiency in agricultural production decreases at an increasing rate when nonfarm income rises. Overall, the findings of this study suggest that nonfarm income exerts an income effect on agricultural production by reducing the liquidity constraint and intensifying major purchased inputs. Thus, introducing policies that would increase rural nonfarm income opportunities to rural households complements agricultural production. This would also lead to raised food production, ultimately leading to an increase in food availability as well as food security. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1184-1199 Issue: 10 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1827138 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1827138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:10:p:1184-1199 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christoph Breuer Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Breuer Author-Name: Sören Dallmeyer Author-X-Name-First: Sören Author-X-Name-Last: Dallmeyer Author-Name: Christopher Rumpf Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Rumpf Author-Name: Johannes Orlowski Author-X-Name-First: Johannes Author-X-Name-Last: Orlowski Title: The effect of sponsorship portfolio size on brand choice: an experimental approach Abstract: Profound knowledge of the behavioural response to sponsorship messages is sparse. In an effort to provide a better understanding of the relationship between sponsorship investments and the consumer’s brand choice, an online experiment was conducted focusing on the role of the sponsorship portfolio size. In the context of sponsorship activities in the English Premier League, the study investigates how brand decision making can be influenced by the number of sponsored players wearing a particular footwear brand. Based on a microeconomic perspective, additional factors influencing the brand decision-making process, such as the overall brand status and prior brand experience, are considered. Logit regression models reveal that brand-choice behaviour is sensitive to the extent of sponsorship portfolio size, however, in a non-linear way. The results can be regarded as a next step in predicting the behavioural outcomes from sponsorship activities as the basis to estimate the economic efficiency of sponsorship investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1200-1211 Issue: 10 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1834500 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1834500 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:10:p:1200-1211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Yu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Price dynamics of China’s housing market and government intervention Abstract: China’s housing sector offers an interesting case study of relationship between government interventions and price dynamics. Frequent and intensive government interventions create a highly fluctuant housing market in China. This paper applies a structural break model to investigate the dynamics in the evolution of China’s housing price between 1998 and 2016. Results show that the development of China’s real estate market exhibits much richer characteristics of structural changes rather than simple switching between boom and burst. Further studies indicate that government interventions is the most important source of structural changes in the dynamics of China’s housing market because of the inherent conflict between policy aims of market stability and rapid economic development mainly backed up by the housing sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1212-1224 Issue: 10 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1838432 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1838432 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:10:p:1212-1224 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imad A. Moosa Author-X-Name-First: Imad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Moosa Author-Name: Ibrahim N. Khatatbeh Author-X-Name-First: Ibrahim N. Author-X-Name-Last: Khatatbeh Title: Robust and fragile determinants of the infection and case fatality rates of Covid-19: international cross-sectional evidence Abstract: An attempt is made to identify the factors that can explain inter-country differences in the severity of Covid-19, measured by the infection and case fatality rates. To circumvent the problem of the sensitivity of the results with respect to the selected set of explanatory variables, extreme bounds analysis (EBA) is applied to a cross-sectional sample of 154 countries. The results show that the infection and fatality rates depend on different factors, except for the number of tests, which is a robust determinant of both. An interesting result is that the infection rate depends on urban population rather than the overall population density. Another interesting result is that the fatality rate depends on the age structure of the population and population density but not on the percentage of urban population. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1225-1234 Issue: 11 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1827139 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1827139 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:11:p:1225-1234 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chih-Yuan Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Heng-Chih Chou Author-X-Name-First: Heng-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Chou Author-Name: Chiung-Lin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chiung-Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Fear index and freight rates in dry-bulk shipping markets Abstract: This study constructs a fear index for the dry-bulk shipping market. Principal component analysis and min-max scaling are employed to extract the fear sentiment of the four dry-bulk vessel sectors. The main findings are as follows: (1) the fear index could play as a contrarian predictor of the freight rate; (2) the fear index spiked sharply responding to the major financial risk events; (3) ship operators are less risk-averse than investors in financial markets, so the asymmetric effect of the fear index on the freight-rate return is unique; and (4) the fright-rate volatility is positively affected by the fear index, and the asymmetry varies by the vessel sizes. These findings demonstrate that the fear index increases the predictability of freight rate, and helps investors to measure the level of risk or stress in the market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1235-1248 Issue: 11 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1827140 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1827140 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:11:p:1235-1248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chaohua He Author-X-Name-First: Chaohua Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Guangchen Li Author-X-Name-First: Guangchen Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Hai Fan Author-X-Name-First: Hai Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Weixian Wei Author-X-Name-First: Weixian Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Correlation between Shanghai crude oil futures, stock, foreign exchange, and gold markets: a GARCH-vine-copula method Abstract: The relationship between markets has always been a topic of heated debate among scholars from various countries. One of the most important concerns is the need to model the relationships between the crude oil market and other markets. Based on daily return observations from 2018 to 2019, we apply a GARCH-vine-copula approach to probe the linkage between Shanghai crude oil futures, stock, foreign exchange, and gold markets. We find that obvious tail dependencies do exist between these markets. And the crude oil futures market occupies a dominant position. Moreover, when the Shanghai crude oil futures market is taken as the known condition, the links between different markets reduce to some extent. Finally, value at risk results denote that the risk of the Shanghai crude oil futures market is relatively high, but portfolio investment can effectively reduce the risk. Moreover, the model fitting results at different confidence levels have passed the Kupiec backtest, indicating that the model in this paper fits the relationship between these markets well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1249-1263 Issue: 11 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1828566 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1828566 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:11:p:1249-1263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyoyoung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyoyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jinkwon Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jinkwon Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Distributive fairness and the social responsibility of the representative of a group Abstract: Using an ultimatum game experiment where a representative makes a decision on behalf of the group members and equally shares the outcomes with them, we investigate whether the representative’s social responsibility exists and has a systematic relationship with his or her individual distributive fairness. The experimental results show that the representative of a respondent group tends to change his or her individual willingness to accept due to social responsibility. More importantly, we find that the minimum fairness of other members in the group tends to be the representative’s group standard for aggregating fairness, and that representatives whose individual fairness is higher [lower] than the minimum fairness of other members has a strong [negligible] tendency to incorporate their group members’ fairness preferences. According to our conceptual framework, this tendency can be only consistent with a positive correlation between the representative’s social responsibility and his or her individual distributive fairness. The results suggest that an incentive mechanism for a representative making a public decision would need to consider such a positive correlation between his or her social responsibility and distributive fairness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1264-1279 Issue: 11 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1828805 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1828805 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:11:p:1264-1279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: El Mostafa Bentour Author-X-Name-First: El Mostafa Author-X-Name-Last: Bentour Title: On the public debt and growth threshold: one size does not necessarily fit all Abstract: In a time of high debt and sluggish economic growth, the Reinhart and Rogoff (2010) conjecture of a common 90% debt threshold for advanced economies triggered a controversial debate among economists and policy-makers. We analyse the relationship between public debt and economic growth for a sample of 20 advanced economies over the period of 1880–2010, using a regression kink model with an unknown threshold proposed by Hansen (2017). We show that the relationship between public debt and economic growth is time-varying and state-dependent. Particularly, the public debt and economic growth relationship is instable for each country in the sample across the whole period of 1880–2010, and the postwar period of 1950–2010, and subject to data and country heterogeneities. These findings reject the existence of any common threshold fitting all countries and call for more theory-based models that take into account fundamentals that vary between countries and impact debt–growth interactions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1280-1299 Issue: 11 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1828806 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1828806 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:11:p:1280-1299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luigi Aldieri Author-X-Name-First: Luigi Author-X-Name-Last: Aldieri Author-Name: Bruna Bruno Author-X-Name-First: Bruna Author-X-Name-Last: Bruno Author-Name: Concetto Paolo Vinci Author-X-Name-First: Concetto Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Vinci Title: A multi-dimensional approach to happiness and innovation Abstract: In this paper, we start to address the lack of research into the relationship between innovation and subjective wellbeing (SWB). We focus on four channels by which innovation may influence SWB, namely income, use of ICT technologies, inequality and unemployment, synthesizing them into a conceptual framework. This framework constitutes the foundation for our theoretical model and empirical investigation of the relationship between innovation and SWB. As previous literature shows, the impact of innovation on SWB through these four channels is mostly negative. Analysis of panel data from eight European countries over the period 1980–201$ on the effects of technological innovation, measured in terms of patents, on population wellbeing confirms the negative impact of innovation on SWB. The analysis has policy implications, because it provides improved estimates of the contribution of innovation to collective wellbeing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1300-1310 Issue: 11 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1828807 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1828807 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:11:p:1300-1310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dayong Dong Author-X-Name-First: Dayong Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Giray Gozgor Author-X-Name-First: Giray Author-X-Name-Last: Gozgor Author-Name: Zhou Lu Author-X-Name-First: Zhou Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Cheng Yan Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Title: Personal consumption in the United States during the COVID-19 crisis Abstract: Using daily credit/debit card spending data for personal consumption expenditures for the period from 24 January 2020 to 10 June 2020, this paper shows that personal consumption expenditures in the United States have been significantly affected by the economic shocks in the COVID-19 era. The evidence is valid when we consider the data both at the national and state levels. The evidence is also valid when we use the data for consumers at different income levels and consumption within different sectors. The only exception is consumption in grocery and food stores since the effect is dampened at the national level and in 31 of 51 states. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1311-1316 Issue: 11 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1828808 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1828808 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:11:p:1311-1316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Havrlant Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Havrlant Author-Name: Abdulelah Darandary Author-X-Name-First: Abdulelah Author-X-Name-Last: Darandary Author-Name: Abdelrahman Muhsen Author-X-Name-First: Abdelrahman Author-X-Name-Last: Muhsen Title: Early estimates of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on GDP: a case study of Saudi Arabia Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic has affected economic sectors in a very heterogeneous way. In the early stages of the economic lockdown, only limited economic data, if any, related to the event were available. With the government’s discretionary measures to contain the infection, it became obvious that some sectors will suffer more than others. We have used this information within the input-output framework to calibrate demand shocks to individual sectors and to obtain early estimates of the impact on sectoral and overall GDP. Given the high level of uncertainty, we designed three scenarios, reflecting the severity of the shock, its sectoral distribution, and the time needed for recovery, and applied to the Saudi economy. The negative impact on headline GDP in 2020 is estimated to range from −4.8% to −9.8% compared to the baseline level, while the government’s fiscal countermeasures result in a positive effect of some 2.5% in real GDP. The study also shows how to accommodate a qualitative shift in economic conditions given the still-evolving pandemic. We consider the potential situation of a second wave of the infection that would enforce a protracted lockdown and imply second-round effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1317-1325 Issue: 12 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1828809 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1828809 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:12:p:1317-1325 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Arreola Hernandez Author-X-Name-First: Jose Arreola Author-X-Name-Last: Hernandez Author-Name: Sang Hoon Kang Author-X-Name-First: Sang Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Seong-Min Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Spillovers and portfolio optimization of agricultural commodity and global equity markets Abstract: We investigate the portfolio allocation and risk contribution characteristics of agricultural commodities, and the volatility spillovers between agricultural commodities and global and regional equity markets. We draw our results by applying a directional spillover index and a nonlinear portfolio optimization method. We find that the largest transmission and reception of spillovers occur among wheat, corn and soybeans, and between sugar cane and sugar beets. All global and regional stock market indices considered most largely spillover on cotton and cocoa. The global and Americas stock market indices are most largely spillovered by corn and soybeans. Also, while the European stock market index is most largely spillovered by cotton, the Asia Pacific stock market index is most largely spillovered by wheat and coffee. The portfolio optimization shows that sugar cane, followed by wheat and corn, are the largest risk contributors to total portfolio risk, whereas, cocoa, followed by lumber and cotton, are the lowest risk contributors to total portfolio risk. Cocoa and lumber are the most desirable for investment. Implications of the results are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1326-1341 Issue: 12 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1830937 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1830937 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:12:p:1326-1341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marina Ehab Author-X-Name-First: Marina Author-X-Name-Last: Ehab Author-Name: Chahir R. Zaki Author-X-Name-First: Chahir R. Author-X-Name-Last: Zaki Title: Global value chains and service liberalization: do they matter for skill-upgrading? Abstract: This study attempts to assess the effect of Global Value Chains (GVCs) and service liberalization on skill-upgrading. It provides a bridge between two active literatures on GVCs and service liberalization. Using comprehensive firm-level data from the World Bank Enterprise Survey, the contribution of this paper is twofold. First, it focuses on the effect of GVC integration on skill-upgrading in the presence of service restrictions. Second, it uses firm-level data on 141 developing economies. Our main findings suggest that integration in GVC results in skill-upgrading whilst service trade restrictions are associated with skill-downgrading. We argue that more restricted services weaken the channels by which GVC stimulates the process of skill-upgrading. Therefore, skill-upgrading resulting from GVC participation is more pronounced when services are liberalized. Our results remain robust to any change in the measure of service protection, the measure of skill-upgrading and when we control for the endogeneity of GVCs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1342-1360 Issue: 12 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1830938 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1830938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:12:p:1342-1360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suqin Ge Author-X-Name-First: Suqin Author-X-Name-Last: Ge Author-Name: Andrea Moro Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Moro Author-Name: Beibei Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Beibei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Testing for asymmetric employer learning and statistical discrimination Abstract: We test if firms statistically discriminate workers based on race when employer learning is asymmetric. Using data from the NLSY79, we find evidence of asymmetric employer learning. In addition, employers statistically discriminate against non-college-educated black workers at time of hiring. We also find that employers directly observe most of the productivity of college graduates at hiring and learn very little over time about these workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1361-1377 Issue: 12 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1830939 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1830939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:12:p:1361-1377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stefan Thiem Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Thiem Title: Spillover Effects in Contests with Heterogeneous Players - Evidence from European Football Abstract: This paper analyzes spillover effects from previous matches against the future champion of a league. Using data from 78,264 European football games, the empirical results from a matching method show that favourites in the current match gain significantly fewer points after a match against the future league champion. By contrast, underdogs benefit from such a match, as they gain significantly more points. By considering shadow effects in the analysis, these results suggest that favourites put more effort into the match against the future champion and lower their effort level in the next match, which explains the negative spillover effects. As there are no significant shadow effects for underdogs, the positive spillover effects might be caused by positive ‘learning-by-doing’ effects. A subsequent logit regression using betting odds as control variables confirms the existence of the observed spillover effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1378-1394 Issue: 12 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1830940 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1830940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:12:p:1378-1394 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salah A. Nusair Author-X-Name-First: Salah A. Author-X-Name-Last: Nusair Author-Name: Dennis O. Olson Author-X-Name-First: Dennis O. Author-X-Name-Last: Olson Title: Testing Wagner’s law versus the Keynesian hypothesis for GCC countries Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between real GDP and government spending for the six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. Linear Granger causality tests in the time and frequency domains provide moderate support for Wagner’s law in four countries and weak support for the Keynesian model in two countries. In contrast, asymmetric nonlinear causality tests in the frequency domain support Wagner’s law in five countries, while some form of the Keynesian hypothesis is valid in all six GCC countries. Our results illustrate the importance of using nonlinear, asymmetric models to examine causal relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1395-1417 Issue: 12 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1832196 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1832196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:12:p:1395-1417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giovanni Cerulli Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Cerulli Author-Name: Marco Ventura Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Ventura Title: A dose–response approach to evaluate the effects of different levels of partial credit guarantees Abstract: Credit Guarantee Schemes (CGSs) issue partial guarantees to cope with financial instability and moral hazard problems on the part of the borrowing firms. Our paper focuses on the magnitude of partial coverage ratios, proposing and applying a dose–response model to identify both the minimum (below which guarantees are not effective) and optimal (the one maximizing the guarantees effectiveness) magnitude. Consistently with theoretical prescriptions, an inverted U-shaped relationship is found for a sample of Italian firms, with the maximum of the effectiveness around 70% and no effects below 55% and above 80%. Our approach and findings seem useful to support policy makers in fine-tuning CGS policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1418-1434 Issue: 12 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1834499 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1834499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:12:p:1418-1434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yann Braouezec Author-X-Name-First: Yann Author-X-Name-Last: Braouezec Author-Name: Keyvan Kiani Author-X-Name-First: Keyvan Author-X-Name-Last: Kiani Title: Target capital ratio and optimal channel(s) of adjustment: a simple model with empirical applications to European banks Abstract: Why do banks decide to reach their target capital ratio by selling assets and/or issuing new shares? To answer this question, we offer a simple framework in which each channel of adjustment is costly; underwriting and dilution costs for equity issuance, profit reduction and price impact for asset sale. We make the assumption that the aim of the bank is to minimize the total adjustment cost subject to the target’s constraint and we derive its optimal strategy. The solution is formulated in terms of two critical thresholds for which we give an explicit formula. We then compare our model’s predictions to the decisions taken by two European systemic banks (Deutsche Bank and UniCredit) to issue new shares in 2017 and for which the target ratio was publicly disclosed. We show that the predictions of the model are consistent with the observed decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1435-1462 Issue: 13 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1820442 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1820442 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:13:p:1435-1462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alin Marius Andrieș Author-X-Name-First: Alin Marius Author-X-Name-Last: Andrieș Author-Name: Nicu Sprincean Author-X-Name-First: Nicu Author-X-Name-Last: Sprincean Title: Cyclical behaviour of systemic risk in the banking sector Abstract: This paper examines cyclical behaviour of banks’ systemic risk contribution and exposure. Using a panel of 787 banks from country members of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development and the European Union covering the period 2000–2017, we document that both systemic risk contribution and exposure are positively related to business cycle. Systemic risk starts to accumulate in the financial sector during periods of boom when the output gap is positive. Furthermore, during periods of robust economic growth, the level of credit tends to increase dramatically, going hand in hand with asset and property prices developments. We also find that contribution and exposure to system-wide distress move procyclically during credit and house cycles, meaning that during upturns in credit and house cycles bank interconnectedness increases, but tend to fall during the downturns. However, individual risk of the banks evolves countercyclically during business and financial cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1463-1497 Issue: 13 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1822511 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1822511 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:13:p:1463-1497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Pilipiec Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Pilipiec Author-Name: Wim Groot Author-X-Name-First: Wim Author-X-Name-Last: Groot Author-Name: Milena Pavlova Author-X-Name-First: Milena Author-X-Name-Last: Pavlova Title: The causal influence of increasing the statutory retirement age on job satisfaction among older workers in the Netherlands Abstract: Since 2013, the Netherlands has gradually increased the statutory retirement age. We use a regression discontinuity design to analyse the effect of the increase in retirement age on overall job satisfaction and satisfaction with the organisation’s personnel policy. Date of birth was used as a sharp cut-off to assign workers to the intervention or comparison group. The increase had no effect on overall job satisfaction. An effect was only observed for satisfaction with the personnel policy in one of the groups analysed. Further, there was only a significant effect if the statutory retirement age was increased by seven months, but this relation was no longer significant when controlling for the difference in days between the date of birth and the cut-off. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1498-1527 Issue: 13 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1827136 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1827136 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:13:p:1498-1527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Refk Selmi Author-X-Name-First: Refk Author-X-Name-Last: Selmi Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Author-Name: Youssef Errami Author-X-Name-First: Youssef Author-X-Name-Last: Errami Author-Name: Mark E. Wohar Author-X-Name-First: Mark E. Author-X-Name-Last: Wohar Title: Is COVID-19 Related Anxiety an Accelerator for Responsible and Sustainable Investing ? A Sentiment Analysis Abstract: The excessive volatility generated by the COVID-19 pandemic highlights that environmental and social issues are potential elements that businesses and governments must manage effectively and swiftly. This study seeks to test whether the rising anxiety over this pandemic has affected the attitudes and choices towards environmentally and socially responsible investing. To this end, we first use machine learning tools to examine tweets related to this unprecedented and wild shock. Second, we compare the impact of these sentiments on the stock performance of companies from the S&P500 that meet environmental and social sustainability criteria for three COVID-19 phases with varying levels of anxiety, which we label incubation, fever and the increasing risk of second wave pandemic (in the absence of vaccine). Our findings reveal that the increasing uncertainty and worries over COVID-19 and its consequences has not distracted investors’ attention away from environmental and social issues, but companies with responsible strategies on environmental issues that specifically address climate responsibility are likely to be more responsive to sentiments at the current situation of emergency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1528-1539 Issue: 13 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1834501 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1834501 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:13:p:1528-1539 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanna Huikari Author-X-Name-First: Sanna Author-X-Name-Last: Huikari Author-Name: Marko Korhonen Author-X-Name-First: Marko Author-X-Name-Last: Korhonen Title: Unemployment, global economic crises and suicides: evidence from 21 OECD countries Abstract: This study explores age- and gender-specific suicide mortality due to unemployment and economic crises, for 21 OECD countries over the period 1960 to 2011. The findings indicate that a higher unemployment rate leads to an increase in suicides in almost all age groups. Further, using dataset on economic/financial crisis events, results show that, in general, these crises increase suicide rates. However, the evidence also shows that economic crises have no effect on those in the 45 to 64 years age group in terms of suicides. Further, we assessed whether suicide mortality can be attributed to a ‘crisis effect’ beyond that of unemployment. For males, we found a significant joint effect between crises and unemployment. Finally, we investigated the possible nonlinear threshold response of suicides to unemployment. We found that suicides among young males (<45 years) are due to marked increases in unemployment in association with global economic crises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1540-1550 Issue: 13 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1838430 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1838430 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:13:p:1540-1550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Valentine Fays Author-X-Name-First: Valentine Author-X-Name-Last: Fays Author-Name: Benoît Mahy Author-X-Name-First: Benoît Author-X-Name-Last: Mahy Author-Name: François Rycx Author-X-Name-First: François Author-X-Name-Last: Rycx Author-Name: Mélanie Volral Author-X-Name-First: Mélanie Author-X-Name-Last: Volral Title: Wage discrimination based on the country of birth: do tenure and product market competition matter? Abstract: Using a merged employer-employee panel dataset of more than 13,000 firms relative to the Belgian private sector for the 1999–2010 period, this paper aims to quantify wage discrimination against migrant workers based on their countries of birth, with workers’ tenure and firm product market competition as moderating variables. To do so, we specify a wage-setting equation that includes a direct measure of worker productivity. We control for a wide range of worker and firm characteristics, as well as time-invariant unobserved heterogeneity in firms and potential endogeneity in the composition of the workforce. Our results show large disparities in wage discrimination against foreign-born migrants depending on their countries of birth. They also suggest that wage discrimination against migrants vanishes as their firm-specific labour market experience (i.e. tenure) increases and tends to disappear in highly competitive product market situations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1551-1571 Issue: 13 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1838431 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1838431 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:13:p:1551-1571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miguel Angel Martin-Valmayor Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Angel Author-X-Name-Last: Martin-Valmayor Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Manuel Monge Moreno Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Monge Moreno Author-Name: Luis Madariaga Becerra Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Madariaga Becerra Title: Mean reversion in monetary aggregates in Chile Abstract: In this paper we examine the statistical properties of the monetary aggregates in Chile in order to know if the time series display mean reverting behaviour. For this purpose, we use techniques based on fractional integration. Monthly data of various Chilean monetary aggregates from January 1986 until August 2019 are used, and the results indicate very weak evidence of mean reversion. In fact, this property is only found in the case of the currency on circulation and M1 for some of the series examined; however, for M2 and M3 the results clearly show high persistence with orders of integration substantially higher than 1. Thus, shocks are expected to have a permanent nature in these cases. Another remarkable feature observed in the results is that the level of persistence in the series seems to grow with the amount of the monetary aggregate. In a multivariate context, performing a FCVAR model, evidence of cointegration is found among the monetary aggregates, finding a long run equilibrium relationship between them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1572-1584 Issue: 13 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1838433 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1838433 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:13:p:1572-1584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: C Waddoups Author-X-Name-First: C Author-X-Name-Last: Waddoups Title: The gap in employer-paid job training between non-Hispanic and Hispanic white workers Abstract: The study assesses the size and nature of the gap in incidence of employer-paid job training between Hispanic and non-Hispanic white workers. Using data on employer-paid training from the Survey of Income and Program Participation, Oaxaca/Blinder decompositions are estimated and analysed. The study finds that non-Hispanic white workers are more likely to engage in training than their Hispanic white counterparts, and that about half the difference in training incidence can be explained by average differences in educational attainment between the two groups. Besides educational attainment, being foreign born is another strong predictor of low training probabilities. The inability to explain a substantial part of the training gap suggests an economy-wide problem with human capital discrimination that leads to less job training among Hispanic whites compared to their non-Hispanic white counterparts. Policy efforts to increase formal education and reduce discriminatory behaviour both are consistent with the empirical findings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1585-1597 Issue: 14 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1840506 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1840506 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:14:p:1585-1597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Andrew Foote Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Foote Author-Name: Mark J. Kutzbach Author-X-Name-First: Mark J. Author-X-Name-Last: Kutzbach Author-Name: Lars Vilhuber Author-X-Name-First: Lars Author-X-Name-Last: Vilhuber Title: Recalculating ... : How Uncertainty in Local Labour Market Definitions Affects Empirical Findings Abstract: This paper evaluates the use of commuting zones as a local labour market definition. We revisit the seminal paper by Tolbert and Sizer and demonstrate the sensitivity of definitions to two features of the methodology: a cluster dissimilarity cut-off, or the count of clusters, and uncertainty in the input data. We show how these features impact empirical estimates using a standard application of commuting zones and an example from related literature. We conclude with advice to researchers on how to demonstrate the robustness of empirical findings to uncertainty in the definition of commuting zones. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1598-1612 Issue: 14 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1841083 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1841083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:14:p:1598-1612 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiyoung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jiyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Satoshi Nakano Author-X-Name-First: Satoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Nakano Author-Name: Kazuhiko Nishimura Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Nishimura Title: The role of ICT productivity in Korea-Japan multifactor CES productions and trades Abstract: In this paper, we examine the economic impact of information and communication technology (ICT) innovation, within a general equilibrium framework of empirically estimated constant-elasticity-of-substitution (CES) production frontiers. Such innovation generates not only productivity growth and price changes, but it also triggers changes in the economic structure of production and trade patterns. This process ostensibly increases the social welfare. To study the impact of ICT innovation, we construct a bilateral general-equilibrium model that spans 350 commodities and sectors of trade between Japan and the Republic of Korea. We estimate all CES parameters from published statistics, including linked input–output tables and Comtrade databases. A small exogenous productivity shock in the ICT is examined in terms of potential price reductions of all commodities in both countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1613-1627 Issue: 14 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1841084 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1841084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:14:p:1613-1627 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julien Cadot Author-X-Name-First: Julien Author-X-Name-Last: Cadot Author-Name: Amir Rezaee Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Rezaee Author-Name: Rebecca Benaïs Chemama Author-X-Name-First: Rebecca Author-X-Name-Last: Benaïs Chemama Title: Earnings management and derivatives reporting: evidence from the adoption of IFRS standards in Europe Abstract: Although the new IFRS standards are considered an improvement for financial transparency, derivatives reporting remains subject to criticism by professional observers due to its complexity. Indeed, derivatives reporting could easily be used for earnings management. In this article, we analyse half a dozen earnings management proxies before and after the mandatory adoption of a battery of IFRS standards in 2013 and 2014 by European firms. Among others, IFRS 13 and IFRS 11 featured impactful requirements for the financial reporting of listed companies. Our results show that following the adoption of these standards, earnings management has faded except for firms using derivatives. These results suggest that the 2013–2014 IFRS standards package has improved the accounting quality of European-listed firms but that the flexibility and lack of guidance in the new standards regarding derivatives reporting are used by managers to manage earnings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1628-1637 Issue: 14 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1841085 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1841085 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:14:p:1628-1637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Harry Anthony Patrinos Author-X-Name-First: Harry Anthony Author-X-Name-Last: Patrinos Author-Name: George Psacharopoulos Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Psacharopoulos Author-Name: Aysit Tansel Author-X-Name-First: Aysit Author-X-Name-Last: Tansel Title: Private and Social Returns to Investment in Education: the Case of Turkey with Alternative Methods Abstract: This paper estimates private and social returns to investment in education in Turkey, using the 2017 Household Labour Force Survey (latest available at the time of writing) and alternative methodologies. The analysis uses the 1997 education reform of increasing compulsory education by three years as an instrument. This results in a private rate of return on the order of 16% for higher education and a social return of 10%. Using the number of children younger than age 15 in the household as an exclusion restriction, sample selection correction is applied, and it shows that the returns to education for females are higher than those for males. Contrary to many findings in other countries, private returns to those working in the public sector are higher than those in the private sector, and private returns to those who followed the vocational track in secondary education are higher than those in the general academic track. The paper discusses the policy implications of the findings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1638-1658 Issue: 14 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1841086 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1841086 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:14:p:1638-1658 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Cellini Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Cellini Author-Name: Tiziana Cuccia Author-X-Name-First: Tiziana Author-X-Name-Last: Cuccia Title: Female workforce participation and household expenditure for culture and recreation: macroeconomic evidence from the Italian regions Abstract: This study evaluates the effects of labour force participation on the share of private expenditure for cultural and recreational goods and services. We consider a panel of macroeconomic data, coming from the 20 Italian regions observed over the period 1995–2015. We document that female participation rate positively and significantly affects the share of household consumption devoted to culture and entertainment. The effect of male labour participation rate appears to be less clear-cut. We propose some theoretical and empirical considerations, to investigate the bases and the policy implications of such gender asymmetry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1659-1671 Issue: 14 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1841087 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1841087 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:14:p:1659-1671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiao-Li Gong Author-X-Name-First: Xiao-Li Author-X-Name-Last: Gong Author-Name: Xiong Xiong Author-X-Name-First: Xiong Author-X-Name-Last: Xiong Author-Name: Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Shadow banking, monetary policy and systemic risk Abstract: This article aims to analyse the dissimilation effect of shadow banking on monetary policy and to judge the cyclical characteristics of shadow banking. Further, we analyse the dynamic response of shadow banking to financial risk shocks and regulatory shocks, and examine the influence of shadow banking on the transmission path of systemic risks, so as to provide theoretical bases for financial supply-side structural reforms in the context of high-quality development. To this end, this article constructs the multi-sector DSGE model that includes the shadow banking sector and the commercial banking sector that subjects to multiple credit regulatory constraints. And then the five-variable VAR model is used to conduct empirical tests. Empirical research has found that Chinese-style shadow banking exhibits countercyclical characteristics, and the existence of shadow banking reduces the transmission effectiveness of credit channel. Numerical simulation analysis finds that positive interest rate shocks would trigger the expansion of shadow banks and increase leverage, while reducing the credit leverage of commercial banks. Technological impacts such as financial technology have reduced loan premiums and have played a role in multi-channel evacuation of risk accumulation from the perspective of inclusive finance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1672-1693 Issue: 14 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1841088 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1841088 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:14:p:1672-1693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qiao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The non-parametric analysis of wage distortion based on ability in the Chinese labour market Abstract: This study analyzes wage distortion based on ability in the Chinese labour market using a non-parametric approach. We first propose a signalling model by adding regressive wage incentives to describe the non-competitive Chinese labour market. Then, we show that the model primitives are non-parametrically identified and estimable using recently proposed measurement-error methodologies. Using a dataset from the China Health and Nutrition Survey, we provide empirical evidence that wages are mainly lower for a large number of workers compared with their ability levels, especially for female workers with medium ability levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1694-1715 Issue: 15 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1841883 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1841883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:15:p:1694-1715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sean Eric Mulholland Author-X-Name-First: Sean Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Mulholland Title: Covid-19 prevalence and empty college seats Abstract: Using the National Association for College Admission Counselling’s annual list of colleges with open seats and Covid-19 cases and deaths at the county level, this paper provides a first look at how Covid-19 has altered enrolment at four-year colleges. I find that a one standard deviation increase in deaths per 100,000 is associated with a 61% increase in the probability that a school reports available seats, housing, and aid for first-year students. For a one standard deviation increase in cases per 100,000, schools are 53% more likely to report openings. For a one standard deviation increase in the growth rate of deaths and cases, schools are 45 and 56%, respectively, more likely to report openings. These openings are not driven by the fact that many Covid-19 hot spots in March and April of 2020 are also home to schools with higher tuition and fees, a high share of out-of-state or international students, and more progressive political leanings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1716-1728 Issue: 15 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1841884 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1841884 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:15:p:1716-1728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peng Li Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xiangrong Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiangrong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Gonglin Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Gonglin Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Maojun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Maojun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: A numerical optimization pesudo-algorithm for two-player zero-sum stochastic games Abstract: A two-player, zero-sum stochastic game with two variables $$(z,v)$$(z,v) can be transformed into the coupled control PDEs by a transition probability matrix of the Markov chain. There exist two control variables $${\varsigma _i}$$ςi and two tensity rates $${\mu _i}$$μi ($$i = 1,2$$i=1,2) after the transformation that should be solved for. Yuan and Li (Computational Economics, 2018) give a numerical algorithm by the first-order necessary condition, which overcomes several drawbacks of the normal algorithm and describe several numerical experiments demonstrating the performance of their method. However, their method exhibits at least one shortcoming, which is that the final value of the control variables $${\varsigma _i}$$ςi ($$i = 1,2$$i=1,2) may exceed the definition domain. This situation means that the $${\varsigma _i}$$ςi ($$i = 1,2$$i=1,2) is infeasible and unacceptable. This paper presents a new technique to avoid that situation, and an optimization pseudo-algorithm is designed using the following steps: (i) starting from the given initial points $$(\varsigma _i^0,\mu _i^0),$$(ςi0,μi0), an active-set algorithm is proposed; (ii) the limited memory update technique is used in the algorithm to obtain fast convergence and low storage; (iii) global convergence is established under suitable conditions; and (iv) numerical results are reported to demonstrate that the new algorithm is competitive with the normal algorithm. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1729-1742 Issue: 15 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1845294 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1845294 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:15:p:1729-1742 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiaochen Liang Author-X-Name-First: Jiaochen Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Qin Fan Author-X-Name-First: Qin Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Yong Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Dynamic relationships between commodity prices and local housing market: evidence for linear and nonlinear causality Abstract: This research examines the relationship between agricultural commodity prices and the local housing market. Previous literature focuses on the unidirectional impacts from commodity prices to the local economy, but we propose that in some cases local asset markets can also influence commodity prices due to the agglomeration of commodity productions and the linkages of financial markets, and thus the causalities between them can be bilateral. In addition, according to a new regional economic model that we develop about local asset market and commodity price shocks, we further predict the causalities between the commodity prices and the local house price are nonlinear. We test these hypotheses using data of the major agricultural commodities of an agriculturally focused region – California Central Valley area. The results are consistent with our expectations: there is no evidence for linear causalities between the price returns of these agricultural commodities and the local housing market, but the nonlinear Granger causalities between them are significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1743-1755 Issue: 15 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1845295 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1845295 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:15:p:1743-1755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vikkram Singh Author-X-Name-First: Vikkram Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: Eduardo Dacillo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Dacillo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Title: Weathering financial crisis in China: the role of global market integration Abstract: We test the hypothesis that the integration of China into the global financial system, as a consequence of domestic market reforms, reduced the effectiveness of intervention efforts during the stock market crises. Using an event study methodology in tandem with the DCC GARCH and Markov Regime Switching models, we investigate whether the interventions were able to address the decline in market returns and volatility during the 2008 and 2015 stock market collapses. Results show that the 2015 measures were ineffective compared to the 2008 ones and that the increasing global integration of the Chinese market played a significant role in their failure. This study is the first of its kind and the results have important implications for policymakers, given the vital position of China in the international economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1756-1776 Issue: 15 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1849535 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1849535 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:15:p:1756-1776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Malissa Davis Author-X-Name-First: Malissa Author-X-Name-Last: Davis Author-Name: Richard Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Robert Boylan Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Boylan Title: A Further Inquiry into Factors that Influence Federal Personal Income Tax Evasion in the U.S. Abstract: This study identifies factors that may have influenced the degree of aggregate federal personal income tax evasion in the U.S. An established tax evasion model is updated to include the most recent data available and augmented with the addition of heretofore neglected or overlooked explanatory variables. To measure the degree of aggregate tax evasion behaviour, we adopt the percentage of personal taxable income that was unreported to the IRS by using official time series data for the years 1980 through 2016. We incorporate previously resilient variables such as the federal tax rate, the unemployment rate, the audit rate of filed returns by IRS personnel, the penalty interest rate on detected tax evasion, and a measure of real income growth into our study. Each has a statistically significant impact on the degree of aggregate federal personal income tax evasion, consistent with prior literature. As an extension of the literature, we find compelling evidence that age, gender, the average effective state income tax rate, and the percentages of federal personal income tax returns that include Schedule C and/or Schedule A are additional variables that have been largely ignored in previous related studies but appear to have impacted tax evasion behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1777-1787 Issue: 15 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1851648 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1851648 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:15:p:1777-1787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leo de Haan Author-X-Name-First: Leo Author-X-Name-Last: de Haan Author-Name: Sarah Holton Author-X-Name-First: Sarah Author-X-Name-Last: Holton Author-Name: Jan Willem van den End Author-X-Name-First: Jan Willem Author-X-Name-Last: van den End Title: The impact of central bank liquidity support on banks’ sovereign exposures Abstract: We empirically analyse the relationship between longer term central bank liquidity support and banks’ exposures to governments, using difference-in-differences panel regressions and propensity score matching on a large sample of banks in the euro area. The research question is whether the liquidity operations, which were introduced to prevent disorderly deleveraging, can also be linked to unintended changes in banks’ asset allocations, in particular to carry trades in government bonds. The results show that unconditional and conditional refinancing operations have a different effect on banks’ government exposures. Unconditional longer-term refinancing operations went together with more carry trades in stressed countries, i.e. banks borrowing more while increasing their holdings of government bonds. In contrast, refinancing operations that were conditional on banks’ lending were not associated with such carry trades, highlighting the benefits of conditionality attached to long-term refinancing operations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1788-1806 Issue: 15 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1853667 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1853667 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:15:p:1788-1806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaana Rahko Author-X-Name-First: Jaana Author-X-Name-Last: Rahko Title: R&D internationalization and firm productivity. Does the host country matter? Abstract: The prior literature has established that the internationalization of corporate R&D is motivated by access to new markets and technological knowledge. However, the empirical literature has overlooked whether the market and technological characteristics of R&D host countries influence the firm-level productivity gains from international R&D. This study empirically examines whether international R&D activities affect the productivity of European multinational firms. Estimating an R&D augmented production function shows that the output elasticity of R&D depends positively on the share of international R&D activities. The analysis further shows that the improvements are associated only with offshore R&D in host countries that have experienced fast economic growth or that are technologically stronger than firms’ home country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1807-1825 Issue: 16 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1853668 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1853668 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:16:p:1807-1825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Veikkopekka Silvasti Author-X-Name-First: Veikkopekka Author-X-Name-Last: Silvasti Author-Name: Klaus Grobys Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Grobys Author-Name: Janne Äijö Author-X-Name-First: Janne Author-X-Name-Last: Äijö Title: Is smart beta investing profitable? evidence from the Nordic stock market Abstract: This study examines the profitability of the mixing and integrating approach for constructing multi-factor smart beta portfolios. While most studies explore this issue in a U.S. market setting, this is the first study that exclusively focus on the Nordic equity market, which exhibits some unique and stylized features as recently highlighted in the literature. Our findings indicate first strong evidence for return variations for sorting stocks on value-, momentum-, and ex-ante beta-signals. Surprisingly, variations in payoffs are not only small stock phenomena in the Nordic equity markets. While the current literature does not yet agree on a consensus, our study supports the literature documenting the superiority of the integrating approach. Our results challenge the efficient market hypothesis in a market environment offering a high-level of information-flow-efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1826-1839 Issue: 16 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1853669 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1853669 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:16:p:1826-1839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: J. Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: J. Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Marcel-Cristian Voia Author-X-Name-First: Marcel-Cristian Author-X-Name-Last: Voia Title: Elections, economic outcomes and policy choices in Canada: 1870 – 2015 Abstract: In this paper we examine the relationship between economic and electoral outcomes in Canada since Confederation (1867) and the role that economic policy has played in influencing this relationship. The results are consistent with voter concern for the overall performance of the economy in the incumbent’s governing term – the average growth rate of per capita GDP and average unemployment rate – while rejecting the presence of a political business cycle. Evidence of an effect of performance on the stability of the political party system (as measured by party vote volatility) is even stronger. The results also suggest that economic policy has only indirect effects on election outcomes, the most direct being the destabilizing influence of tax increases on party structure. The data also are consistent with the use of policy for countercyclical stability (primarily through spending and deficits), fiscal response to voter turnout, the growth of both spending and deficits under larger governing majorities and compliant monetary response to fiscal deficits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1840-1855 Issue: 16 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1853670 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1853670 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:16:p:1840-1855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajeev K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Unkind roll of the dice: drivers of lottery crimes in the United States Abstract: Using data on U.S. states, this paper studies the factors driving lottery-related crimes, focusing on spillovers from other gambling and corruption. Although state-sponsored lotteries have become quite popular in the United States in recent years, formal research on their causes is rather limited. Results show corruption to increase lottery-related crimes, while higher lottery prize money and greater economic prosperity have the opposite effect. We find crowding out from electronic gaming machines. However, competition from Native American casinos or casino gambling crimes does not significantly impact lottery crimes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1856-1866 Issue: 16 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1854446 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1854446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:16:p:1856-1866 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felipe Garcia Ribeiro Author-X-Name-First: Felipe Garcia Author-X-Name-Last: Ribeiro Author-Name: André Portela Souza Author-X-Name-First: André Portela Author-X-Name-Last: Souza Author-Name: André Carraro Author-X-Name-First: André Author-X-Name-Last: Carraro Title: Rural electrification and agricultural family time allocation decisions Abstract: This article investigates the effects of electricity on time allocation in labour market and subsistence activities among adults, adolescents and children living in households in Brazilian rural areas. It explores the eligibility rule of a large-scale public policy programme on access to electricity in rural areas as an instrumental variable. Using the microdata from 2000 to 2010 Demographic Census, it finds that the access to electricity increases the time devoted to subsistence and decreases the time spent in the labour market among all members of agricultural families. These effects are stronger among female individuals. Also, it shows an increase in school attendance among children and male adolescents. There is no schooling effect among female adolescents. Finally, placebo exercises for urban areas suggest that instrumental variable is indeed capturing the effect of the program. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1867-1885 Issue: 16 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1854447 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1854447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:16:p:1867-1885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lisa Farrell Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Farrell Author-Name: Jane M. Fry Author-X-Name-First: Jane M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fry Author-Name: Tim R.L. Fry Author-X-Name-First: Tim R.L. Author-X-Name-Last: Fry Title: Who trusts the bank of England and high street banks in Britain? Abstract: Following the global financial crisis (GFC) of 2008 there was recognition that client trust in financial institutions had been damaged. While institutional trust has become an accepted barometer, less is known about who trusts the banking and finance sector. This paper investigates the individual characteristics associated with trust for the Bank of England (BoE) and high street banks in Britain. Importantly, we consider this question in the context of a point in time, namely 2014. This is an important case study as it is some years after the initial impact of the GFC yet prior to the referendum vote for Britain to exit the European Union (Brexit) and coincides with the Scottish referendum. Our results suggest that the characteristics associated with trust in the BoE differ from those associated with trust in high street banks and other financial institutions. Specifically, older people, more educated people and people residing in London show higher levels of trust in the BoE. In terms of trust in the sector overall, we also find that positive perceptions on the availability of credit are correlated with higher levels of trust. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1886-1898 Issue: 16 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1854448 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1854448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:16:p:1886-1898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hideaki Sakawa Author-X-Name-First: Hideaki Author-X-Name-Last: Sakawa Author-Name: Naoki Watanabel Author-X-Name-First: Naoki Author-X-Name-Last: Watanabel Author-Name: Geeta Duppati Author-X-Name-First: Geeta Author-X-Name-Last: Duppati Author-Name: Robert Faff Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Faff Title: Institutional ownership and corporate risk-taking in Japanese listed firms Abstract: Agency theory predicts that institutional ownership plays an important role in monitoring corporate risk-taking. This study examines this ownership-risk taking linkage in Japan over the period 2007 and 2019. We proxy risk through measures of idiosyncratic risk, total risk, and market beta. We show that (relational) foreign institutional shareholdings (do not) induce corporate risk-taking, thereby mitigating (preserving) the managerial ‘quiet life’ in Japanese corporations. Using 2SLS analysis, the roles of institutional shareholders are robust to endogeneity concerns. Finally, we also confirm robustness using alternative accounting-based risk proxies such as the standard deviation of Tobin’s Q and ROA. Our study implies that the monitoring of institutional shareholders is important in Japanese corporations whose top executives might be prone to seek a ‘quiet life’. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1899-1914 Issue: 16 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1854450 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1854450 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:16:p:1899-1914 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saejoon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Saejoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Deep time series forecasting for enhanced index tracking Abstract: We consider the problem of enhanced index tracking whose objective is to construct a portfolio that maximizes the excess return and minimizes the tracking error between the returns of the tracking portfolio and a benchmark index. This problem is of considerable importance in the field of asset management as beating the market is known to be a notoriously difficult problem. We first identify the shortcomings inherent in the existing approaches to the problem, and then propose a general methodology to enhanced index tracking portfolio construction that moderates the degree of the shortcomings. Then, we present explicit construction schemes that utilize the latest advancements of the deep learning technology, and in particular, of long short-term memory networks that are designed to be efficacious for time series forecasting. Our proposed enhanced index tracking portfolios are empirically compared and contrasted with those of previously known proficient enhanced index tracking schemes over the benchmark of S&P 500. It is presented that our proposed portfolios outperform all other portfolios considered in this paper, and in particular, can beat the benchmark index substantially for a variety of cardinality constraint values tested. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1916-1934 Issue: 17 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1854451 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1854451 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:17:p:1916-1934 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shailendra Kumar Rai Author-X-Name-First: Shailendra Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Rai Author-Name: Imlak Shaikh Author-X-Name-First: Imlak Author-X-Name-Last: Shaikh Title: Does the performance of private investment in public equity firms behave differently in different life cycles? Abstract: Private investment in public equity firms (PIPE) is growing exponentially across the globe, and most of the theoretical and empirical works are accessible for the U.S. and European settings. There is a lack of studies in emerging markets like India. Our empirical research consists of 810 public equity (PE) transactions, out of which 761 are PIPE deals for the period 1998–2016. The study aims to investigate whether PIPE deals show different performance in different life cycles as distinct stages and operating targets. Under the hypothesis of information asymmetry and financial distress, we find that PIPE issuance significantly impacts sales growth, returns on equity, and operating performance. It is evident that the growth stage shows an adverse impact on future sales growth and profitability while it's encouraging for return on equity. Our findings based on the firm's life cycle show that maturity and stagnant stage reveal pronounced effects. Moreover, investor type and investment flow either from Indian-dedicated, foreign, and co-investment show a favourable impact on future profitability. One of the study's essential findings is that a firm in the growth stage needs more investment in the form of PIPE issuance, and it shows a significant impact on profitability and liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1935-1951 Issue: 17 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1854666 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1854666 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:17:p:1935-1951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas W. Zuehlke Author-X-Name-First: Thomas W. Author-X-Name-Last: Zuehlke Title: Estimation of a type 2 Tobit model with generalized Box-Cox transformation Abstract: This article considers estimation of a Type 2 Tobit model with Bickel-Doksum transformation of the dependent variable of the regression equation. The basic idea is that while the transformed dependent variable is assumed to be normally distributed prior to any censoring, the inverse Bickel-Doksum transformation allows the underlying dependent variable to follow a wide variety of distributions having differing degrees of skewness and kurtosis. This adds flexibility to the shape of the distribution used to model quantitative variation in the dependent variable for the observed subsample. The log-likelihood function of this Generalized Type 2 Tobit model is globally concave conditional on the parameter of the Bickel-Doksum transformation and the correlation coefficient of the errors. A bivariate grid search over the space of these parameters may be used to find the neighbourhood of the global maximum to the log-likelihood function, provided one exists. The grid search process is important because: 1) the log-likelihood function of the Type 2 Tobit model, even with fixed functional form, often exhibits distinct local and global maxima and 2) use of consistent estimates as starting values is not sufficient to insure convergence to the global Maximum Likelihood Estimator. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1952-1975 Issue: 17 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1854667 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1854667 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:17:p:1952-1975 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seungho Baek Author-X-Name-First: Seungho Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Author-Name: Kwan Yong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kwan Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The risk transmission of COVID-19 in the US stock market Abstract: This paper studies volatility transmission effects between the US stock market and the COVID-19. Using BEKK-multivariate GARCH model, we find the US stock market volatility depends both its own past shocks and past COVID-19 shocks. Further, we find the US stock market volatility is positively affected by the death rate (bad news) while the recovered rate (good news) has a negative impact on the US stock market volatility. In addition, we find there is an asymmetric volatility impact of COVID-19 on the US stock market: the bad news affects the current US stock market much more than the good news. Our fixed effect panel regression results support the volatility spillover effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1976-1990 Issue: 17 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1854668 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1854668 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:17:p:1976-1990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tak Kuen Siu Author-X-Name-First: Tak Kuen Author-X-Name-Last: Siu Title: The risks of cryptocurrencies with long memory in volatility, non-normality and behavioural insights Abstract: This paper aims to study the impacts of long memory in conditional volatility and conditional non-normality on market risks in Bitcoin and some other cryptocurrencies using an Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated GARCH model with non-normal innovations. Two tail-based risk metrics, namely Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES), are adopted to study the tail behaviour of market risks in Bitcoin and some other cryptocurrencies. Empirical investigations for the tail behaviour based on real exchange rate data of cryptocurrencies are conducted. An extreme-value-theory-based approach is used to study potential improvements in the estimation for the risk metrics under GARCH-type models. The possibility of explosive regimes in cryptocurrencies’ volatilities is examined using Markov-switching GARCH models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1991-2014 Issue: 17 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1854669 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1854669 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:17:p:1991-2014 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liangcheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Liangcheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yifan Liao Author-X-Name-First: Yifan Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: Yuye Ding Author-X-Name-First: Yuye Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Author-Name: Tao Peng Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Title: The effect of customer concentration on supplier sustainable growth: evidence from China Abstract: Due to the worldwide pandemic and ‘Stay at Home’ order, many firms have experienced challenges for supply chain management. As the key parts of supply chain management, customer concentration may have a detrimental or beneficial effect on supplier sustainable growth. Using a large sample of listed firms in China, we explore the effect of customer concentration on supplier sustainable growth. This study documents that customer concentration is negatively related to supplier sustainable growth and the adverse effect is salient when a supplier is not under government protection. Further analyses demonstrate that the results are robust to alternative measures and controlling for endogeneity problems. Finally, the path analysis shows that the adverse effect is partially driven by lowering innovation and increasing administration costs in supplier firms, suggesting that innovation and administration costs play a mediating role in the relationship between customer concentration and supplier sustainable growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2015-2025 Issue: 17 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1854670 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1854670 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:17:p:2015-2025 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akanksha Jalan Author-X-Name-First: Akanksha Author-X-Name-Last: Jalan Author-Name: Roman Matkovskyy Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Matkovskyy Author-Name: Saqib Aziz Author-X-Name-First: Saqib Author-X-Name-Last: Aziz Title: The Bitcoin options market: A first look at pricing and risk Abstract: This paper offers the first-ever look at Bitcoin options by investigating the wedge between optimum Bitcoin option prices based on classical option valuation models (Black-Scholes-Merton and the Heston-Nandi GARCH (1,1)) and actual premiums at which these options are trading. For this purpose, we use near-the-money call and put options traded on Deribit platform as on 27.01.2020, with the maturities ranging from January 31 to 25 September 2020. In addition, we analyse the risk inherent in Bitcoin options by calculating their Greeks and comparing them to those of traditional commodity options. Pricing results suggest slight overpricing and underpricing for Bitcoin call options with the strike $8,000 maturing on 30.01.2020 and 28.02.2020, respectively. We also find that the Bitcoin options provide much stable deltas over time compared to the other commodity options. This result implies higher insulation from undue price rises with the passage of time for investors in Bitcoin options. Our results are useful to regulators, investors and market managers in better understanding the nuances of the Bitcoin options market in addition to making more informed investment choices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2026-2041 Issue: 17 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1854671 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1854671 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:17:p:2026-2041 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elisabeth Paulet Author-X-Name-First: Elisabeth Author-X-Name-Last: Paulet Author-Name: Hareesh Mavoori Author-X-Name-First: Hareesh Author-X-Name-Last: Mavoori Title: Cross-regional analysis of banking efficiency drivers Abstract: The banking industry plays a crucial role in any economy by providing diverse services aimed at enhancing economic growth. In recent decades, this sector has been transformed due to financial liberalization and new regulatory rules. Therefore, measuring the efficiency of banking institutions is critically important to identify the evolution of efficiency drivers for banks. Based on a sample of 90 individual banks from four different world regions (Europe, US, China, and India), this paper conducts data envelopment, stochastic frontier and anova analyses to measure cost efficiency over a 15-year period (2002–2016). While the overall liberalization of financial markets seems to induce a convergence among efficiency strategies privileging cost minimization to improve efficiency, the existence of state intervention in China and India nuances our results. State owned banks base their efficiency more on maximization of their potential revenue than on controlling costs. On the contrary, their private peers are more similar to Western peers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2042-2065 Issue: 18 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1855312 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1855312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:18:p:2042-2065 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Grabowski Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Grabowski Author-Name: Sharmistha Self Author-X-Name-First: Sharmistha Author-X-Name-Last: Self Title: Determinants of governance institutional quality in sub-saharan africa Abstract: The paper hypothesizes that the quality of institutions tends to evolve slowly and in a piecemeal nature over time. In this process policy is seen to be a mechanism through which this evolutionary process takes place. Policy influences intermediary variables, which in turn create opportunities for institutional innovation. There are two hypotheses derived from this analysis and tested empirically in the paper. It is hypothesized that improvements in institutional quality lead to increases in economic development (using two different measures). It is also hypothesized that changes in intermediary variables resulting from policy changes lead to improvements in institutional quality. These two hypotheses are tested using a panel data set made up of twenty-five countries in Africa. The results indicate that improvements in the quality of governance institutions do lead to improvements in economic development and that policies aimed at influencing intermediary variables lead to improvements in governance institutional quality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2066-2079 Issue: 18 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1855314 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1855314 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:18:p:2066-2079 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tongwei Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Tongwei Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Qinying He Author-X-Name-First: Qinying Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Biliang Luo Author-X-Name-First: Biliang Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Does land renting-out increase farmers’ subjective well-being? Evidence from rural China Abstract: Although the literature finds that renting out farmland can increase farmer’s income, whether lessors’ subjective well-being (SWB) increases or not has been under-analysed. We use data from the 2015 China Household Finance Survey to investigate the relationship between land rental transaction and farmers’ SWB. The results indicate that renting-out farmland does not increase farmers’ SWB if ignoring the types of transaction partners. Further analysis shows that lessors transacting with acquaintances have higher SWB than those transacting with non-acquaintances, and there is no difference in SWB between lessors transacting with non-acquaintances and farmers without land renting-out. This is because although lessors transacting with non-acquaintances obtain higher land rents, they lose the farmland that is the channel of investing in social capitals, which leads to less helps from kin, friends or neighbours when they encounter difficulties. Our analysis implies that lessors’ subjective welfare does not increase even if rural economy and rural residents are commonly regarded to be beneficial from land transfers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2080-2092 Issue: 18 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1855315 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1855315 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:18:p:2080-2092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Duan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Duan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Zixin Li Author-X-Name-First: Zixin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Shou Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shou Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The dynamic evolution of Chinese firms’ cash holdings and R&D: external financing facilitation channels Abstract: We study the dynamic evolution of Chinese firms’ cash holdings and their relationship with R&D investment using a sample of companies listed in the Chinese A-share market. After introducing the exogenous events of the 2008 financial crisis and China’s ‘four trillion yuan’ monetary stimulus plan (2008–2010), we analyse the dynamic evolution of the relationship between firms’ cash holdings and R&D investment in the development of external financing facilitation channel effects from the perspective of two typical financing facilitation channels, namely bank relationship and equity state-ownership. The main findings are as follows: (1) Firms with higher R&D investments tend to hold more cash reserves. This positive correlation is affected by the economic and monetary conditions, which are changing constantly. The sensitivity of cash holdings to R&D investment plays a crucial role in explaining the dynamic evolution of Chinese firms’ cash holdings. (2) During the 2008 financial crisis, bank relationship and equity state-ownership significantly mitigated the positive relationship between firms’ cash holdings and R&D investments, which means that external financing facilitation channels had greater and more significant effects. Moreover, those effects decreased after the completion of the ‘four trillion yuan’ monetary stimulus plan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2093-2107 Issue: 18 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1855316 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1855316 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:18:p:2093-2107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haifeng Guo Author-X-Name-First: Haifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Tenkir Seifu Legesse Author-X-Name-First: Tenkir Seifu Author-X-Name-Last: Legesse Author-Name: Jiqiang Tang Author-X-Name-First: Jiqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Zhen Wu Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Financial leverage and firm efficiency: the mediating role of cash holding Abstract: Agency cost theory suggests that a firm’s financial leverage is important to improve organizational efficiency. Using data of industrial companies of three biggest economies, this study analyzes how debt-financing decision affects firm efficiency and the mediating role of cash holding. We find inverted U-shape relationship between the level of financial leverage and firm efficiency. This implies that firms with optimum capital structure achieve high efficiency. The cash-holding level of the companies negatively relates to the efficiency. We also document that the firms’ that apply more financial leverage are less likely to hold excess cash balances and that the cash holding partially mediates the relationship between the financial leverage and the firms’ efficiency. This suggests that the use of debt financing has the potential to enhance firm efficiency by effectively tapping the free cash flow that would have been misused by the management. The results have important implications for corporate finance since it highlights how financial decisions determine corporate productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2108-2124 Issue: 18 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1855317 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1855317 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:18:p:2108-2124 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jianhua Tan Author-X-Name-First: Jianhua Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Author-Name: Zhidong Tan Author-X-Name-First: Zhidong Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Author-Name: Kam C. Chan Author-X-Name-First: Kam C. Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Title: The impact of a tournament approach on environmental performance: the case of air quality disclosure in China Abstract: We examine the effect of air quality tournament over the 2012–2016 period on city – and firm-level environmental performance in China. We document that government officials and firm managers of tournament cities change their behavior and make more environmental investments (EIs) than those of non-tournament cities. Additional analysis suggests that the increase in EIs is primarily driven by cities that have previously been ranked last in the tournament. Hence, government official and manager behavior become more pro-environment after the implementation of the air quality tournament. Furthermore, when there is a large grassroots participation, local media reporting, or when the official is motivated to promotion, the impact of tournament participation on EIs is magnified, implying pro-environment behavior changes become more salient when there are outside pressure or strong official incentives. Most importantly, we find the tournament cities experience better air quality than non-tournament cities. Policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2125-2140 Issue: 18 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1855318 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1855318 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:18:p:2125-2140 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Author-Name: Yasir Riaz Author-X-Name-First: Yasir Author-X-Name-Last: Riaz Author-Name: Adam Zaremba Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Zaremba Title: Spillover and risk transmission in the components of the term structure of eurozone yield curve Abstract: The components of term structure of interest rate are an important element of the asset pricing models. This article studies the connectedness of the component of the sovereign yield curve across eleven earliest members of the Eurozone comprising six core countries (Germany, Netherlands, Finland, Austria, Belgium, France) and five peripheral countries (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain) thus enabling us to analyse the short-, medium- and long-term yield curve dynamics of these eurozone economies. We document three distinct phases of connectedness described by the early eurozone period, global financial crisis and the European sovereign debt crises, and the period afterwards. We find a higher level of connectedness between the countries before the global financial crisis, which decreased to its lowest levels during the European debt crisis and is now rising back to higher levels following the European debt crisis. We find that, in general, the core countries are net transmitter of spillover, whereas, the peripheral countries are net receivers of spillover for the three components of the yield curve. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2141-2157 Issue: 18 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1856322 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1856322 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:18:p:2141-2157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Dai Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Bo Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Endogenous business cycles with financial frictions Abstract: This paper uncovers a series of belief shocks that drive the U.S. economy from both financial markets data and a financial accelerator model with self-fulfiling prophecies. Indeterminacy in the economy does not require externalities or increasing returns in production but it arises from an endogenous and countercyclical markup channel. The computed belief shocks are well identified and resemble the observable proxy in the real world. The model-driven solely by belief shocks performs well on replicating major U.S. business cycle facts. The belief-driven model contains a strong internal propagation mechanism and has more forecasting ability than a standard real business cycle model disturbed by technology shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2159-2169 Issue: 19 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1856323 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1856323 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:19:p:2159-2169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lan Thanh Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Lan Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Hung T. Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Hung T. Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Mia Hang Pham Author-X-Name-First: Mia Hang Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Title: Bribe or die: gender differences in entrepreneurship in emerging markets Abstract: This paper examines the relation between gender differences in entrepreneurship and firm-level bribery, one of the most impactful business obstacles to private sector growth. Using data from a comprehensive survey covering 16,560 enterprises in 32 emerging economies, we find that female-led firms account for 19.2% of all enterprises, which is approximately 4 times lower than the share of male-led firms, and that female entrepreneurs experience a higher level of bribery than their peers. The impact of gender on bribery is more pronounced among firms located in countries that are more corruption-prone and becomes weaker among countries with a higher female graduation ratio at the tertiary level. In addition, female-run firms have a lower likelihood of obtaining a construction permit, securing a government contract, or holding an operating licence. Overall, the results suggest that a bribe-to-survive motive is a possible explanation for the higher level of bribery among female-led firms in emerging markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2170-2191 Issue: 19 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1856325 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1856325 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:19:p:2170-2191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gaoxun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Gaoxun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Gaoxiu Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Gaoxiu Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Title: Out-of-sample realized volatility forecasting: does the support vector regression compete combination methods Abstract: This article investigates whether the nonlinear support vector regression method under the Heterogeneous Auto-Regressive model (SVR-HAR) can compete for combination methods in terms of out-of-sample realized volatility forecasting. Empirical analyses are conducted based on the CSI 300 index high-frequency data, two new combination methods are employed and compared with the forecasting ability of the SVR method. The empirical results show that SVR-HAR models outperform individual models and all the combination methods, although the new combination methods are superior to other combination strategies. Specifically, HAR models with realized semi-variances as regressors obtains the lowest forecasting errors, confirming the strong forecasting ability of nonlinear SVR method and the realized semi-variances. The portfolio performance further confirms the highest economic value for models employing realized semi-variances and nonlinear SVR method in terms of volatility forecasting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2192-2205 Issue: 19 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1856326 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1856326 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:19:p:2192-2205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Olivier Beaumais Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Beaumais Author-Name: Sauveur Giannoni Author-X-Name-First: Sauveur Author-X-Name-Last: Giannoni Author-Name: Caroline Tafani Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Tafani Title: Local buyers’ exclusion through price on the farmland market: a potential outcome approach Abstract: The influx of non-local buyers into the land market is commonly held responsible for the exclusion of local buyers through price. We study the seaside farmland market in Corsica. A massive price gap between non-local and local buyers is observed. To explore this gap, we rely on a treatment effect approach. We first estimate hedonic price models, while controlling for omitted variable bias using an innovative method. We go further and estimate a general potential outcome model which allows capturing observable and unobservable preference heterogeneity between buyers. We find that the price gap indeed reflects preference heterogeneity, suggesting market segmentation at work. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2206-2217 Issue: 19 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1856767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1856767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:19:p:2206-2217 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wolfgang Drobetz Author-X-Name-First: Wolfgang Author-X-Name-Last: Drobetz Author-Name: Konstantinos Gavriilidis Author-X-Name-First: Konstantinos Author-X-Name-Last: Gavriilidis Author-Name: Styliani-Iris Krokida Author-X-Name-First: Styliani-Iris Author-X-Name-Last: Krokida Author-Name: Dimitris Tsouknidis Author-X-Name-First: Dimitris Author-X-Name-Last: Tsouknidis Title: The effects of geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty on dry bulk shipping freight rates Abstract: We examine the effects of geopolitical risk (GPR) and economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on shipping freight rates using a Bayesian VAR model. A positive shock to global GPR has an immediate positive, but gradually diminishing, effect on dry bulk shipping freight rates. This effect is driven by global rather than country-specific GPR shocks. Positive shocks to EPU indices for the U.S., Brazil, and China trigger a negative response of dry bulk shipping freight rates that builds gradually over several months. Historical cumulative effects of both GPR and EPU shocks on freight rates can be large and of different signs during different subperiods. Our results are important for both shipowners and charterers when fixing chartering strategies and prioritizing investments in newbuilding or second-hand vessels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2218-2229 Issue: 19 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1857329 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1857329 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:19:p:2218-2229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Furkan Emirmahmutoglu Author-X-Name-First: Furkan Author-X-Name-Last: Emirmahmutoglu Author-Name: Zulal Denaux Author-X-Name-First: Zulal Author-X-Name-Last: Denaux Author-Name: Tolga Omay Author-X-Name-First: Tolga Author-X-Name-Last: Omay Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Title: Regime dependent causality relationship between energy consumption and GDP growth: evidence from OECD countries Abstract: This study empirically investigates the energy consumption-GDP growth nexus for the period from 1971 to 2016 for 26 OECD countries. The prevailing studies in the literature use limited econometric methodologies, which may wrongly model the underlying relationship and lead to misleading policy conclusions. Our study utilizes the newest econometric methods to reveal the nonlinear relationships in the long-run. Furthermore, to capture the asymmetric behaviour of regime changes, four residual-based nonlinear cointegration tests are implemented. Finally, a two-regime TAR type of panel threshold VECM model (PTVAR) is estimated for testing the presence of nonlinear short- and long-run causality. Our findings indicate a state-dependent causality between energy consumption and GDP growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2230-2241 Issue: 19 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1857330 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1857330 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:19:p:2230-2241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José M. Pastor Author-X-Name-First: José M. Author-X-Name-Last: Pastor Author-Name: Carlos Peraita Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Peraita Author-Name: Ángel Soler Author-X-Name-First: Ángel Author-X-Name-Last: Soler Title: Gender differences in the intergenerational transmission of education in Spain: the role of parents’ employment status and education Abstract: This article examines the influence of parents’ education and employment status on the attained educational level of their children with special reference to gender differences. Our study analysed what determined the probability of Spanish young people completing university education. The study used a sample of 132,421 observations of people under the age of 28 not in any type of training or education selected using anonymized microdata from the most recent national population and housing census. An ordered probit model was used to capture the effect of various socioeconomic, environmental and cultural variables on the advancement and attainment of educational level according to gender. The results show that the most important variable in academic progress is the parents’ educational level and that the mother’s education level has a greater influence. Additionally, parental employment instability was found to be what most inhibits a child’s academic progress. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2242-2255 Issue: 19 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1859449 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1859449 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:19:p:2242-2255 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raymond Duch Author-X-Name-First: Raymond Author-X-Name-Last: Duch Author-Name: Paulina Granados Author-X-Name-First: Paulina Author-X-Name-Last: Granados Author-Name: Denise Laroze Author-X-Name-First: Denise Author-X-Name-Last: Laroze Author-Name: Mauricio López Author-X-Name-First: Mauricio Author-X-Name-Last: López Author-Name: Marian Ormeño Author-X-Name-First: Marian Author-X-Name-Last: Ormeño Author-Name: Ximena Quintanilla Author-X-Name-First: Ximena Author-X-Name-Last: Quintanilla Title: Choice architecture improves pension selection Abstract: Consumers in Chile of private and semi-private pension systems are not selecting the pension providers that give them the largest Net Present Value. Regulators present retirees with a comparison report of pension plan offerings ranked by the amount offered and the risk classification of the provider. A field experiment implemented in Chile explores alternative presentations of provider performance. We treat respondents by modifying the status quo information ‘package’ (that exactly replicate what is currently provided by the regulator). Two design choices clearly enhanced consumer welfare in this experiment: Reducing the amount of information improved choice – specifically eliminating the risk profiles of providers leads to better decisions by our respondents. Second, adopting a loss frame also resulted in respondents selecting providers that generated higher returns. These gains from modifying information presentation were considerably higher for those with lower levels of financial literacy. This study is conducted in association with the Superintendencia de Pensiones (SP) and the Comisión para el Mercado Financiero (CMF), two of the public offices that oversee the pensions market in Chile. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2256-2274 Issue: 20 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1817845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1817845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:20:p:2256-2274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean Joseph Minviel Author-X-Name-First: Jean Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Minviel Author-Name: Patrick Veysset Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Veysset Title: Are there economies of inputs in mixed crop-livestock farming systems? A cross-frontier approach applied to French dairy-grain farms Abstract: In this study, we test the hypothesis that mixed crop-livestock farms realize economies of inputs. To do so, we use the standard cross-frontier model to evaluate overall input efficiencies and develop a slacks-based (SB) cross-frontier model to evaluate input-specific efficiencies of mixed farms related to the best practice production frontier of specialized farms. These models are applied to an unbalanced panel with 825 observations on 247 French farms from 1991 to 2011. Regarding the standard cross-frontier framework, we find that 72% of the mixed farms exhibit diseconomies of inputs. This suggests that the mixed production technology is largely dominated by the specialized one in terms of input savings. Under the SB cross-frontier model, we find that the mixed farms exhibit, on average, diseconomies of inputs for each of their production factors. We also find that almost a quarter of the mixed farms realizes economies of inputs on the use of labour, fertilizers, and pesticides. Finally, regression results indicate that public subsidies and farm size are negatively associated with the probability of observing input economies. This suggests that, for our sample, the concept of mixed crop-livestock farming faces structural and socio-economic realities, mainly regarding farm size and public subsidies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2275-2291 Issue: 20 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1856324 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1856324 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:20:p:2275-2291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tinna Laufey Ásgeirsdóttir Author-X-Name-First: Tinna Laufey Author-X-Name-Last: Ásgeirsdóttir Author-Name: Arnar Buason Author-X-Name-First: Arnar Author-X-Name-Last: Buason Author-Name: Brynja Jonbjarnardottir Author-X-Name-First: Brynja Author-X-Name-Last: Jonbjarnardottir Author-Name: Thorhildur Ólafsdóttir Author-X-Name-First: Thorhildur Author-X-Name-Last: Ólafsdóttir Title: The value of normal body weight: evidence from Iceland Abstract: Calculations of societal costs of underweight, overweight and obesity have generally failed to include the value of the utility reductions, associated with deviations from normal weight. To remedy this, the monetary compensation needed to offset the welfare loss associated with being underweight, overweight, or obese, according to World Health Organizations standards, is estimated. For this purpose, the compensating income variation (CIV) method is applied to individual-level data from an Icelandic health and lifestyle survey carried out in 2007, 2009, 2012, and 2017. The results show that both males and females would on average be willing to pay a positive amount to move from obesity to normal weight, albeit a varying amount by income group. The CIV for moving from obesity to normal weight among males for the low-, medium-, and high-income groups are $18,022, $25,768, and $632,002 per year. In comparison the same results for females are $9,191, $16,239, and $95,494. However, only females show a positive willingness to pay for not being overweight. The CIV for overweight females for the three income groups is $3,608, $6,375, and $37,488 per year. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2292-2304 Issue: 20 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1859450 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1859450 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:20:p:2292-2304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joshua Lawson Author-X-Name-First: Joshua Author-X-Name-Last: Lawson Author-Name: Rafayet Alam Author-X-Name-First: Rafayet Author-X-Name-Last: Alam Author-Name: Xiaoli Etienne Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoli Author-X-Name-Last: Etienne Title: Speculation and food-grain prices Abstract: The impact of speculative activities in financial markets on food-grain prices is a topical but debated issue. We consider four major food-grain commodities and several speculation measures–which represent different underlying definitions of speculation–in structural vector autoregression models to examine this issue empirically. Results show that the impact of speculation depends on the commodity in question (rice and wheat are generally less sensitive than corn and soybean) and the measure of speculation used. Further analysis shows that traders’ behaviour in the futures market is different for wheat and rice, around 80% of which are directly used for human consumption, compared to corn and soybean, only around 15% of which are directly used as human food. We also show that the heterogeneous effect of different speculative measures is mostly due to their construction. Results are robust to various modifications of the models. From a policy perspective, we think a blanket regulation for all the commodities may not be optimal. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2305-2321 Issue: 20 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1859451 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1859451 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:20:p:2305-2321 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Insook Lee Author-X-Name-First: Insook Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Does outlawing mandatory retirement reduce public-pension benefit claim? Abstract: Exploiting the 2011 abolishment of the mandatory-retirement provision that had allowed employers to force retirement of their 65-or-older employees in the UK, this paper estimates the effect of outlawing mandatory retirement on public-pension benefit claim behaviour of the elderly through changing their employment and retirement rates. Abolishing mandatory retirement raises public-pension claim rate of non-household-head benefit-eligible individuals by making them retire more, while it lowers public-pension claim rate of household-head benefit-eligible individuals by lowering their retirement rate. On the other hand, the abolishment raises full-time employment rate of the elderly, regardless of household-head status or gender. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2322-2336 Issue: 20 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1859452 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1859452 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:20:p:2322-2336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amélie Barbier-Gauchard Author-X-Name-First: Amélie Author-X-Name-Last: Barbier-Gauchard Author-Name: Kea Baret Author-X-Name-First: Kea Author-X-Name-Last: Baret Author-Name: Alexandru Minea Author-X-Name-First: Alexandru Author-X-Name-Last: Minea Title: National fiscal rules and fiscal discipline in the European Union Abstract: Motivated by the fiscal imbalances in the EU countries in the recent period, this paper analyzes the effect of national fiscal rules on fiscal discipline. Using a careful definition of national fiscal rules combined with a novel measure of fiscal discipline (the Global Financial Performance Index – GFPI), propensity score matching estimations that account for potential endogeneity reveal that fiscal rules significantly improve the GFPI. However, this favourable effect dramatically depends upon the type of fiscal rule and different structural factors. These two features, together with alternative measures of fiscal discipline, are found to be key ingredients that should be taken into account when assessing the effects of fiscal rules on fiscal discipline. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2337-2359 Issue: 20 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1859453 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1859453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:20:p:2337-2359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pankaj C. Patel Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Title: Does greater bank competition increase third-party guarantee loan default rates? evidence from U.S. interstate branching deregulation Abstract: Exploiting the interstate branching restrictiveness law that allowed states to erect barriers to branch expansion, we test whether increased interbank competition increases risk-bearing, proxied by higher loan default, for third-party loan guarantors. We find that Small Business Administration (SBA) loans from states with higher restrictiveness (lower competition) are less likely to default, by at least four percent. The findings are robust to a variety of falsification tests. Confirming increased risk transfer to SBA, banks in less restrictive states facing increased competition: increased both SBA loan amount and duration of the loan and the learning-by-loaning (cumulative loan volume before the current loan) did not affect the likelihood of default of the current loan. Counterfactually, loans of higher approval amount and longer duration were less likely to default in more restrictive states. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2360-2383 Issue: 20 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1859454 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1859454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:20:p:2360-2383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chew Lian Chua Author-X-Name-First: Chew Lian Author-X-Name-Last: Chua Author-Name: Nelson Perera Author-X-Name-First: Nelson Author-X-Name-Last: Perera Author-Name: Sandy Suardi Author-X-Name-First: Sandy Author-X-Name-Last: Suardi Title: Fiscal regimes and fiscal sustainability in Sri Lanka Abstract: This paper employs the regime-switching model-based fiscal sustainability test which relaxes the linear fiscal reaction function approach. There is evidence of a regime-switching fiscal rule in Sri Lanka for the period 1961–2017. Non-sustainable fiscal regime is identified only in two periods – 1978-1983 and 1986-1990 – while the other periods are defined by sustainable regimes. By considering the regime-specific feedback coefficients of the fiscal policy rule and the average durations of fiscal regimes, we find that Sri Lanka’s fiscal policy satisfies the No-Ponzi game condition. Nevertheless, the country’s long-term fiscal sustainability is in question given that the stricter debt-stabilizing condition is violated. Our results pose concerns for the credibility of adopting an inflation targeting framework in the absence of long-term fiscal sustainability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2384-2397 Issue: 21 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1859456 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1859456 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:21:p:2384-2397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Zhao Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Large cryptocurrency-portfolios: efficient sorting with leverage constraints Abstract: Using daily data of the 100 largest cryptocurrencies, we construct the efficient sorting portfolios and the quantile-based sorting portfolios based on ten factors. We find two price factors that can well predict cryptocurrency returns. The efficient sorting portfolios outperform the traditional quantile-based portfolios and the naive $$1/N$$1/N portfolios. The outperformance is largely due to the use of DCC-NL estimator, which captures the dynamic of covariance matrix and meanwhile addresses the curse of dimensionality. In addition, leverage constraints are important for cryptocurrency portfolios to control their risks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2398-2411 Issue: 21 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1859457 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1859457 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:21:p:2398-2411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yun Pu Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Pu Title: A recursive algorithm for student selection of schools in a constrained serial dictatorship mechanism Abstract: The constrained serial dictatorship mechanism is a popular method used in school admissions. However, due to the number of combinations possible, simulating the behaviour of students in their selection of schools and computing the best strategy for them to select a limited number of schools is currently a highly complex and time-consuming endeavour. The purpose of this study is to propose a recursive algorithm to significantly reduce this computational time and to provide an empirical application by employing this algorithm. To do this, I studied how the behaviours and utilities of students will change if provided with more choices for college admissions in Guangxi in China. The results indicate that neither the behaviours nor the utilities change significantly with the provision of more choices, which implies that increasing the available choices of schools for students in Guangxi would be a waste of resources. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2412-2415 Issue: 21 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1861204 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1861204 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:21:p:2412-2415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacob Kjær Eskildsen Author-X-Name-First: Jacob Kjær Author-X-Name-Last: Eskildsen Author-Name: Anders Frederiksen Author-X-Name-First: Anders Author-X-Name-Last: Frederiksen Author-Name: Ann-Kristina Løkke Møller Author-X-Name-First: Ann-Kristina Author-X-Name-Last: Løkke Møller Title: Employee absence in public and private organizations Abstract: We study employee absence in Danish public and private organizations. Using data from four private and four public organizations we establish sector differences and that absence is predominantly an individualized phenomenon. Because the within-group variation in absence clearly dominates the between-group variation, we conclude that organizations need to invoke individualized policies to reduce employee absence, and we establish that incentives related to promotions and dismissals can be useful tools, as absence behaviour interacts with such incentives. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2416-2432 Issue: 21 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1861206 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1861206 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:21:p:2416-2432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Phu Nguyen-Van Author-X-Name-First: Phu Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen-Van Author-Name: Isabelle Terraz Author-X-Name-First: Isabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Terraz Title: When union’s activity matters: the impact of union centralization on economic growth in OECD countries Abstract: It is nowadays accepted that labour market institutions matter in economic development. However, empirical studies on unions’ effect are not univocal. We provide new insight into the impact of unions on the long-run performance of industrialized economies using an indicator of union centralization. Relying on a recent panel dataset of OECD countries, we estimate a growth equation and show that a high degree of union centralization can be harmful to growth. This effect is not driven by economic channels (such as private investment, human capital and research and development) but appears to be related to a direct effect of unions on the growth process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2433-2446 Issue: 21 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1861207 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1861207 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:21:p:2433-2446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexandre Mayol Author-X-Name-First: Alexandre Author-X-Name-Last: Mayol Author-Name: Stéphane Saussier Author-X-Name-First: Stéphane Author-X-Name-Last: Saussier Title: Contract renewals, prices and deprivatizations: The case of water in France Abstract: In this paper, we studied the influence of contract renewals on water prices in France. When studying French water contracts in force between 2008 and 2018, we found that contract renewals have little influence on the prices paid by consumers. However, at contract renewal times, the share of the price that goes to the firms decreases. This price decrease is compensated by an increase in the share of the price that is retained by the municipalities. We interpret this result as a willingness by municipalities to retake control of water services. In addition, we show that the higher the municipalities’ shares are, the higher the probability of switching to direct public management at contract renewal times. This suggests that local authorities increasing their responsibilities in providing water services (i.e., increasing their price shares) may switch later to direct public management more easily. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2447-2456 Issue: 21 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1861208 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1861208 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:21:p:2447-2456 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuelian Li Author-X-Name-First: Xuelian Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zehe Song Author-X-Name-First: Zehe Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Soft information in insurer lending and reinsurance under capital regulation Abstract: The paper develops a capped call option framework, explicitly integrating the borrowing-firm credit risk. Moreover, modelling the structural breaks in assets and volatility captures soft information about the insurer’s borrowing firm. We show that favourable soft information increases the optimal guaranteed rate and thus enhances policyholder protection. The negative effect of the reinsurance on the optimal guaranteed rate is more significant when obtaining negative soft information than when getting favourable soft information. The positive impact of stringent capital regulation on the optimal guaranteed rate in the negative soft information is less significant than that in the favourable soft information. Stringent capital regulation increases policyholder protection and the market-to-book equity value when the strict capital regulation is high, thereby contributing to insurance stability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2457-2466 Issue: 21 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1861210 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1861210 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:21:p:2457-2466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elke Hahn Author-X-Name-First: Elke Author-X-Name-Last: Hahn Title: How are wage developments passed through to prices in the euro area? Evidence from a BVAR model Abstract: This paper explores the transmission mechanism between wages and prices in the euro area. While labour costs account for notable parts of companies’ costs and should, hence, be of relevance for the developments in inflation, the empirical literature suggests only a loose link between the variables. From a theoretical perspective there are at least two broad categories of channels of how labour costs and prices can be linked, namely the supply-side channel of cost push inflation and the demand-side channel of demand pull inflation. This paper develops a BVAR model for the wage-price pass-through in the euro area and analyses how supply and demand shocks that trigger these two types of inflation are transmitted between wages and prices along the cost side of the economy. The main results can be summarized as follows: First, the wage-price pass-through in the euro area is shock-dependent. Second, the pass-through of wages to prices appears to have undergone some changes over time. Third, the pass-through appears to differ across HICP components. Finally, historical decompositions show that the identified shocks are of relevance for the movements of wages and prices in the euro area. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2467-2485 Issue: 22 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2019.1676390 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2019.1676390 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:22:p:2467-2485 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammed Ismail Alhussam Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed Ismail Author-X-Name-Last: Alhussam Author-Name: Hongxing Yao Author-X-Name-First: Hongxing Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Omar Abu Risha Author-X-Name-First: Omar Author-X-Name-Last: Abu Risha Title: The impact of scholarship inflows on achieving food security: what can Bayesian networks tell us? Abstract: This study uses Bayesian networks besides the regression model to analyse the relationship between scholarship inflows and food security in 46 of Belt and Road Initiative countries. Our main contributions are: 1 – Analysing the relationship between scholarship inflows and food security. 2 – Using Bayesian networks to analyse this relationship. 3 – Comparing Bayesian networks results with regression model results. The regression model resulted that scholarship inflows have a significant positive effect on food security with small coefficient value. On the other hand, Bayesian networks showed that food security conditionally depends on scholarship inflows given the percentage of agricultural value add of GDP. In addition, Bayesian networks had higher prediction accuracy than the regression model. Whereas the constraint-based approach of network structure learning showed the highest prediction power, the information theory measures of network quality, including Entropy and Mutual Information, revealed better performance than Bayesian measures. Finally, we concluded that using Bayesian networks beside linear models could enhance our results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2486-2499 Issue: 22 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1778160 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1778160 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:22:p:2486-2499 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Min Liu Author-X-Name-First: Min Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Wei-Chong Choo Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Chong Author-X-Name-Last: Choo Title: The role of high-frequency data in volatility forecasting: evidence from the China stock market Abstract: This research investigates the role of high-frequency data in volatility forecasting of the China stock market by particularly feeding different frequency return series directly into a large number of GARCH versions. The contributions of this research are as follows. 1) We provide clear evidence to support that the superiority of traditional time series models in volatility forecasting remains by taking advantage of high-frequency data. 2) We incorporate different distribution assumptions in GARCH models to capture the stylized facts of high-frequency data. The result shows that: 1) data frequency in GARCH application substantially influence the accuracy of volatility forecasting, as the higher the frequency is of the return series, the better are the forecasts provided; 2) non-normal distributions such as skewed student-t and generalized error distribution are more capable at reproducing the stylized facts of both intraday and daily return series than normal distribution; and 3) GARCH estimated by 5-min returns not only outperforms other GARCH alternatives, but also considerably beats RV-based models such as HAR and ARFIMA at volatility forecasting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2500-2526 Issue: 22 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1862747 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1862747 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:22:p:2500-2526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jungho Baek Author-X-Name-First: Jungho Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Title: Crude oil prices and macroeconomic activities: a structural VAR approach to Indonesia Abstract: The effects of oil price fluctuations on growth, inflation, and exchange rates for Indonesia are investigated in the framework of the structural vector autoregressive (SVAR). To identify linking oil prices to the macroeconomic activities accurately, the entire sample period is separated into two sub-samples such as the era of net oil exporter (1998:M1-2003:M12) and the era of net oil importer (2004:M1-2019:M4). In the era of net oil exporter, we discover that a surge in oil prices promotes growth and contributes to appreciating the Indonesian currency. In the era of net oil importer, by contrast, an upsurge in oil prices reduces growth and causes a depreciation of the exchange rate. However, there is little evidence that an upswing in oil prices in both eras has a significantly detrimental effect on inflation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2527-2538 Issue: 22 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1862750 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1862750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:22:p:2527-2538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahsen Maqsoom Author-X-Name-First: Ahsen Author-X-Name-Last: Maqsoom Author-Name: Imran Arif Author-X-Name-First: Imran Author-X-Name-Last: Arif Author-Name: Khuram Shafi Author-X-Name-First: Khuram Author-X-Name-Last: Shafi Author-Name: Muhammad Umer Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Umer Author-Name: Tahira Nazir Author-X-Name-First: Tahira Author-X-Name-Last: Nazir Author-Name: Samina Nawab Author-X-Name-First: Samina Author-X-Name-Last: Nawab Title: Motives and competitive assets for internationalization: a comparison between emerging and developed economy international construction contracting firms Abstract: This study aims to evaluate the differences in the internationalization of emerging and developed economies firms. Using an integrated theoretical approach, this paper examines the motives and competitive assets (firm and home country-specific) that enabled the international expansion of Pakistani and British international construction contracting firms (ICCFs) into Middle East markets. The data for the current study were collected through questionnaire-based survey. Further, the statistical analysis of the collected data was accomplished by applying the Man Whitney-U test, using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS). Findings show that Pakistani ICCFs have a reactive approach for their internationalization as compared to British ICCFs. In order to get the recognition of global players, Pakistani ICCFs need to enhance their firm-specific competitive assets, specifically international reputation, quality of services, internationally experienced management and financing capital. Further, the results also revealed that the home country support in the form of good image, economic development, government encouragement, and availability of funding from local banks has contributed significantly towards British ICCFs expansion. Pakistani ICCFs have an advantage in terms of supportive industries and multicultural workforce availability. However, local governmental encouragement and friendly business policies are needed to enhance their competitiveness in international markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2539-2553 Issue: 22 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1863321 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1863321 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:22:p:2539-2553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Randolph Beard Author-X-Name-First: T. Randolph Author-X-Name-Last: Beard Author-Name: George Ford Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Ford Author-Name: Lawrence J. Spiwak Author-X-Name-First: Lawrence J. Author-X-Name-Last: Spiwak Title: Spatial competition in automobile retailing Abstract: Despite a rich literature on the determinants of automobile pricing, there is relatively little formal evidence regarding the effects of spatial intrabrand competition in auto retailing. Using an extremely large sample of tax registrations in Texas (USA) for 19 of the most popular sedans, we examine how the closeness of a dealer selling the same make and model of vehicle affected the final price. We find very strong evidence that the proximity of a same-brand dealer reduces prices significantly, though we find smaller effects for the lowest priced vehicles, a result consistent with the view that such vehicles are sold essentially at cost in order to satisfy Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards and related fleet characteristic regulations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2554-2566 Issue: 22 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1863322 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1863322 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:22:p:2554-2566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ping Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Lu Miao Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Miao Title: Impacts of social networks on floating population wages under different marketization levels: empirical analysis of China’s 2016 national floating population dynamic monitoring data Abstract: This paper establishes a measurement model to examine the impacts of social network heterogeneity on the wages of the floating population, and the different impacts under different levels of marketization. The main findings are: (1) Social network heterogeneity can increase the wages of the floating population, which is particularly significant for urban-urban migrants with non-agricultural registration; (2) The effect of social network heterogeneity on the wages of the floating population is due to the different levels of marketization of the destination market of inflows. The levels of marketization vary from place to place: in cities with low marketization levels, the homogeneous social networks can increase the wages more than the heterogeneous social networks. With marketization levels increase, social networks can increase the employment wages of migrants through three stages: the stage of the homogeneous social network is stronger than heterogeneous social network; the stage of no significant difference between homogeneous social network and heterogeneous social network; the stage of heterogeneous social network is stronger than homogeneous social network. In general, for the wages of rural-urban migrants with agricultural hukou, homogeneous social networks and marketization levels have a substitutional relationship, while heterogeneous social networks and marketization levels have a complementary relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2567-2583 Issue: 22 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1863323 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1863323 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:22:p:2567-2583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehdi Khazaei Author-X-Name-First: Mehdi Author-X-Name-Last: Khazaei Title: Relationship of profitability of world’s top companies with entrepreneurship, competitiveness, and business environment indicators Abstract: Identifying the factors affecting profitability is important from the perspective of market players. One of the most important benchmarks of firm performance is accounting profit and effective factors analysis so that users of accounting information analyse the factors affecting profit, firm performance and various aspects of its performance and according to estimates Done, make your own decision on how to allocate resources.The main purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of some factors of competitiveness, entrepreneurship and business environment indicators on the profitability of the world’s top companies. For this purpose, 176 top companies in the world from 2013 to 2018 that were profitable among the top 200 companies each year were selected as the statistical population. World Bank annual reports, Global Competitiveness Index, Global Entrepreneurship Monitor, and Fortune site were used to collect the data. Also the data analysis was done according to the data panel method using Eviews10 software. The results show that in general, there is a positive relationship between competitiveness, entrepreneurship and business environment indicators with financial performance of top companies in the world. On the other hand, the per capita income of the countries in which the top companies belonged was considered as a control variable and the results show that the per capita income has a positive and significant relationship with the financial performance of the top companies in the world. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2584-2597 Issue: 23 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1859455 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1859455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:23:p:2584-2597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Koffi Sodokin Author-X-Name-First: Koffi Author-X-Name-Last: Sodokin Title: Comparative analysis, cash transfers, household investment and inequality reduction in Togo Abstract: This paper explores the impact of domestic and international cash transfers on poverty and household resilience in Togo from a comparative perspective. The paper uses data from two household surveys (The Unified Questionnaire of Basic Well-being Indicators) conducted by the National Institute of Statistics Economic and Demographic Studies of Togo in 2011 and 2015. The analysis uses the propensity score matching method and the quantile instrumental regression. The first category of results shows that migrants’ external and internal remittances positively affect poverty and inequality and improve households’ investments in Togo. The second category of results allows concluding on the implications for public policy in a time of pandemic shock, such as the Sars-Cov-2 one.JEL: O12; O38; O55 Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2598-2614 Issue: 23 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1863324 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1863324 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:23:p:2598-2614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Ali Raza Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Raza Author-Name: Hongguang Sui Author-X-Name-First: Hongguang Author-X-Name-Last: Sui Title: Infrastructure investment and economic growth quality: empirical analysis of China’s regional development Abstract: The study aims to systematically examine the role of infrastructure investment on the quality of economic growth by using the regional panel data of 29 Chinese provinces. A comprehensive index is developed using the principal component analysis (PCA) to observe the economic growth quality. Regression results show that China’s infrastructure investment has not exceeded the threshold, and the quality of economic growth has improved significantly. The results were robust using the regional average investment level and infrastructure stock as instrumental variables for 2SLS and system GMM testing. Further, the mediation analysis confirms that infrastructure investment improves economic growth through the physical and material circulation of resources, market integration, and knowledge capital evolution. Overall the results provide more profound policy enlightenment with regards to infrastructure investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2615-2630 Issue: 23 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1863325 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1863325 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:23:p:2615-2630 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tiago Neves Sequeira Author-X-Name-First: Tiago Neves Author-X-Name-Last: Sequeira Author-Name: Pedro Mazeda Gil Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Mazeda Author-X-Name-Last: Gil Author-Name: Óscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Óscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Title: Inflation, complexity and endogenous growth Abstract: In this article, we argue that inflation increases complexity pertaining to knowledge production (or R&D). Then, we expand a recently developed complexity index based on entropy to include the effect of inflation. As a result of this new mechanism in an endogenous growth model, inflation is no longer superneutral. In the model, inflation can decrease economic growth in a non-linear way, a sudden upward shock on inflation can severely hurt economic growth and an inflation cut can be responsible for a take-off. These effects are illustrated quantitatively. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2631-2646 Issue: 23 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1864274 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1864274 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:23:p:2631-2646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ting Yao Author-X-Name-First: Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Liangrong Song Author-X-Name-First: Liangrong Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Examining the differences in the impact of Fintech on the economic capital of commercial banks’ market risk: evidence from a panel system GMM analysis Abstract: This article aims to explore the dynamic relationship between Fintech (financial technology) and EC(the economic capital of commercial banks market risk) changes for a sample of 16 listed commercial banks in China. We estimate a balance panel dynamic system Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) approach for the period of January 2011 to September 2019.The article finds that during the sample period, Fintech has reduced the cost of information on both sides of the transaction, increased the transparency of market information, and reduced the EC. It also finds Fintech can provide a large amount of data for commercial banks to conduct market analysis, which makes the procyclicality of commercial banks less than before. Further tests reveal commercial banks have profit-driven preferences, while banks with strong profitability and high asset scale have higher risk tolerance. The impact of Fintech on the EC of different asset sizes commercial banks market risk is different. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2647-2660 Issue: 23 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1864275 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1864275 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:23:p:2647-2660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Heng Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Heng Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Lori Tzu-Yi Yang Author-X-Name-First: Lori Tzu-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Corporate social responsibility and financial performance: a case study based in Taiwan Abstract: This study investigates whether the impact of a firm’s CFP differs depending on the level of CSR performance and the amount of annual operating expenditure. The ‘Excellence in Corporate Social Responsibility TOP 50’ award results serve as the CSR performance indicator, and corporate annual financial performance data from 2013 to 2017 serve as empirical data. This study uses the panel smooth transition regression model. The findings reveal that the relationship between a firm’s operating expenditures and its profitability is non-linear, and with certain threshold values of CSR scores, operating spend has a more significant and negative effect on profitability. Firms that implemented more CSR measures experienced greater negative effects on profitability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2661-2670 Issue: 23 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1866158 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1866158 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:23:p:2661-2670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Guo Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Sebastian A. Gehricke Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gehricke Author-Name: Xinfeng Ruan Author-X-Name-First: Xinfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Ruan Author-Name: Jin E. Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jin E. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The implied volatility smirk in SPY options Abstract: We provide a comprehensive study of the implied volatility (IV) smirk in the SPDR S&P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund (SPY ETF) option market. In general, the IV curves are downward sloping with little curvature, exhibiting an almost straight line. However, the shape of the IV curves becomes more curved during the global financial crisis (GFC) period, indicating that the commonly accepted IV smirk shape is driven by the GFC. In addition, based on in-sample, out-of-sample tests and asset allocation analysis, we show that the first difference of the slope factor can predict the next month’s SPY excess returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2671-2692 Issue: 23 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1866159 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1866159 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:23:p:2671-2692 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mario Eboli Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Eboli Author-Name: Andrea Toto Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Toto Author-Name: Andrea Ziruolo Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Ziruolo Title: Mafia infiltrations in Italian municipalities: two statistical indicators Abstract: We study the administrative behaviour of a sample of Italian municipalities dismissed by the Government because of mafia infiltrations, looking at their balance-sheet data. Using linear discriminant analysis and logistic regressions, we put forward two statistical indicators of the probability that a mafia infiltrated a city council. Our results characterize the administrative profile of infiltrated municipalities. We obtain non-obvious results concerning their i) high levels of arrears, both of tax collections and payments; ii) low levels of indebtness; and iii) low levels of capital expenditures, especially for public works. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2693-2712 Issue: 24 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1866157 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1866157 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:24:p:2693-2712 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giulia Tiboldo Author-X-Name-First: Giulia Author-X-Name-Last: Tiboldo Author-Name: Alessandro Bonanno Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Bonanno Author-Name: Rigoberto A. Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Rigoberto A. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Author-Name: Elena Castellari Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Castellari Title: Competitive and welfare effects of private label presence in differentiated food markets Abstract: Private labels (PLs), originally introduced by food retailers as low-priced alternatives to national brands, have expanded in recent years in premium market segments. This article examines how the presence of different types of PLs affect prices, competition, and overall welfare. Using estimates from a random coefficients logit demand model and retail scanner data of yogurt sales from 17 regions in Italy, we simulate counterfactual scenarios where different types of PLs – namely 1) horizontally differentiated; 2) vertically differentiated; and 3) both types – are no longer in the market. The empirical results show that PLs are social-welfare enhancing, playing a pro-competitive role that benefits consumers. Also, in both a relative and an absolute sense, the welfare-increasing effect of PLs presence is more significant for horizontally differentiated PLs than for vertically differentiated ones. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2713-2726 Issue: 24 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1866160 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1866160 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:24:p:2713-2726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuan Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Author-Name: Zhenguo Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhenguo Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yabin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yabin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: China’s functional upgrading in global value chains and its drivers: a multi-country chaining structural decomposition analysis Abstract: The functional activities, such as management, marketing, R&D and fabrication, carried out by a country or industry is of great importance for its governance and upgrading on the global value chains (GVCs). This paper provides a long-term macro-economic analysis on China’s functional upgrading in GVCs and its drivers between 1999 and 2011. We combine the world input-output database with the newly compiled labour occupations database to measure China’s functional income growth in internationally fragmented production networks, and then incorporate the concept into the chaining structural decomposition analysis (SDA) to explore its drivers. We find that China has achieved functional upgrading to some degree, reflected in the growth of China’s domestic value added in headquarter activities, such as R&D, at the aggregate and industrial levels. However, fabrication activity still stands out, indicating that China still has a long way to go on upgrading in GVCs. Finally, through the chaining SDA, we find that among the GVC production, technology and consumption effects, the consumption level (consumer demand) is the main factor driving the growth of China’s functional upgrading. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2727-2742 Issue: 24 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1866161 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1866161 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:24:p:2727-2742 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bent Egberg Mikkelsen Author-X-Name-First: Bent Egberg Author-X-Name-Last: Mikkelsen Author-Name: Dana Strachotová Author-X-Name-First: Dana Author-X-Name-Last: Strachotová Author-Name: Annette Quinto Romani Author-X-Name-First: Annette Author-X-Name-Last: Quinto Romani Title: Does removal of value added tax on fruit and vegetables increase sale – case of a Danish retailer Abstract: Pricing strategies are considered to be one of the important options in changing consumer food behaviour. As a result, there is a growing interest in studying the effects of interventions that promotes the healthy choice through price interventions. This paper aims to examine the effect of a pricing intervention on fruit & vegetables (F&V) in supermarkets. The intervention consisted of a removal of the 20% VAT Data on F&V sale and retailer – revenue was collected pre- and post-intervention in all chain-supermarkets. Users of ecological and conventional fruit and vegetables constituting our intervention group and the control group is users of ecological and conventional dairy products. We found a beneficial impact of the intervention on the sale and revenue related to fruit and vegetable products. The revenue and sale of fruit and vegetables increased by 354 952.60 DKK (24.92%) and 65 065.16 units (32.92%) respectively. Results suggest a beneficial impact on the sale and revenue related to fruit and vegetable products. Results show that the subsidy also had unintended impacts on the sale and revenue related to non-intervention products. That included adverse impact of the subsidy on unsubsidized healthy complementary products. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2743-2751 Issue: 24 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1866743 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1866743 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:24:p:2743-2751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Omid Ranjbar Author-X-Name-First: Omid Author-X-Name-Last: Ranjbar Author-Name: Chi-Chuan Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Analyzing the hysteresis properties and growth stability of renewable energy production of the U.S Abstract: By applying the non-linear quantile unit-root test and Fourier quantile unit-root test, this research investigates the hysteresis properties and growth stability of total and disaggregated renewable energy productions in the U.S. from 1973:01 to 2019:08. Unlike traditional unit-root tests that fail to reject the unit-root hypothesis, our results indicate that all renewable energy production series are stationary, but the degrees of persistence for positive and negative shocks are energy source-specific. In most cases, the negative shocks have more long-lasting effects than positive shocks. Evidence also shows that the growth rates in total biomass, hydroelectric power, wind, and biofuel energies have experienced a slowdown/meltdown, while other types of renewable energies have exhibited increasing growth rates in the current decade. Knowledge of these hysteresis/stability properties can help prevent governments from initiating a ‘one-size-fits-all’ policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2752-2770 Issue: 24 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1869168 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1869168 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:24:p:2752-2770 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sholeh A. Maani Author-X-Name-First: Sholeh A. Author-X-Name-Last: Maani Author-Name: Le Wen Author-X-Name-First: Le Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Title: Over-education and immigrant earnings: a penalized quantile panel regression analysis Abstract: Despite evidence that immigrants experience a higher incidence of over-education, relatively few studies have considered the labour market outcomes of over-education for immigrants. Using longitudinal data and penalized quantile panel regression, we inspect the earnings effects of job mismatches for immigrants in Australia. This first application of the method to this question addresses both individual and distributional heterogeneity. Results confirm divergent effects across the earnings distribution. Immigrants from non-English speaking countries experience lower earnings returns and a substantial earnings penalty of up to 25% from educational mismatched employment. However, in contrast to conventional findings of a penalty based on regression at the mean, at the highest earnings quantile, both Australian-born and immigrants from non-English speaking countries with a host country qualification receive earnings premiums of 2.7 and 11%, respectively, from years of over-education. We discuss the policy implications of this new result. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2771-2790 Issue: 24 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1869169 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1869169 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:24:p:2771-2790 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leah Meissner Author-X-Name-First: Leah Author-X-Name-Last: Meissner Author-Name: Aishwarya Rai Author-X-Name-First: Aishwarya Author-X-Name-Last: Rai Author-Name: Kurt William Rotthoff Author-X-Name-First: Kurt William Author-X-Name-Last: Rotthoff Title: The superstar effect in gymnastics Abstract: Tournament structures provide a unique opportunity to assess the factors that affect an agent’s decision-making. In this paper, we seek to determine the peer-effects of Simone Biles’ ‘superstar’ presence on her fellow competitors, both before and after her rise to dominance in 2013. Specifically, with our unique data, we can utilize both meet-level and athlete-level fixed effects on the athletes’ performances. We find that the gymnasts attempted more difficult routines in Biles’ weakest events. There is also evidence of support for the idea that risk taking changes when a superstar is present, showing how athletes change their approach to big events changes with and without a superstar. Lastly, we find that the standard for perfection in the sport has changed over time, which could be related to forms of judging bias. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2791-2798 Issue: 24 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1869170 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1869170 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:24:p:2791-2798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sang Cheol Lee Author-X-Name-First: Sang Cheol Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Jaemin Lim Author-X-Name-First: Jaemin Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Title: Effects of CEO characteristics on the relationship between excess cash holdings and audit effort Abstract: This study examines not only the relationship between a firm’s excess cash holdings and audit effort but also the moderating effects of CEO characteristics on the relationship. Using a sample of non-financial listed Korean companies for 2000–2014, we find that excess cash holdings have a significant positive effect on the external audit effort in terms of audit fees and audit hours. In addition, we find that the effect of excess cash holdings on audit effort is stronger when: (1) the CEO is a non-owner manager, (2) the company belongs to a conglomerate business group and (3) the CEO is in the earlier years of her or his tenure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2905-2929 Issue: 25 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1870653 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1870653 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:25:p:2905-2929 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Prasenjit Chakrabarti Author-X-Name-First: Prasenjit Author-X-Name-Last: Chakrabarti Author-Name: Mohammad Shameem Jawed Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Shameem Author-X-Name-Last: Jawed Author-Name: Manish Sarkhel Author-X-Name-First: Manish Author-X-Name-Last: Sarkhel Title: COVID-19 pandemic and global financial market interlinkages: a dynamic temporal network analysis Abstract: The present study investigates the changes in G20 stock market dynamics and their interlinkages in the aftermath of COVID-19. It utilizes the Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis (DCCA) along with the network and complexity theories for detecting the contagion effect of the pandemic on the stock markets. We find that both advanced and emerging stock markets, departing from their pre-crisis structures, form a tightly coupled close community after the disease outbreak – except for China that distanced itself from the rest of the cohort. This indicates that COVID-19 has caused contagion in the global equity market, which has increased the risk to international portfolio diversification benefits. The adoption of the Network theory for contagion detection technique augments the detailed understanding of the structural changes and their interlinkages among the stock markets in a more comprehensive way. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2930-2945 Issue: 25 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1870654 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1870654 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:25:p:2930-2945 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peijingran Yu Author-X-Name-First: Peijingran Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Kenneth A. Couch Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth A. Author-X-Name-Last: Couch Title: Work limiting health and divorce behaviour: a retrospective analysis with SIPP data Abstract: This study examines the influence of six work-limiting health conditions that appear to arrive largely unexpectedly for married men and women – cancer, carpal tunnel syndrome, deafness or serious trouble hearing, paralysis, thyroid trouble and tumour cyst or growth – on subsequent divorce. Using information contained in the 2004 Survey of Income and Program Participation, we select men and women who are once married and had no health conditions prior to the first marriage into the sample. We find that divorce behaviour is not explained by the onset of unexpected health conditions while it is closely related to the onset of the more predictable set of all health conditions. The patterns of response vary by race and ethnicity. The article contributes to the literature by providing a more detailed comparison between the effects of less predictable health conditions on subsequent divorce behaviour versus the average effect of any work-limiting health problem. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2799-2831 Issue: 25 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1869166 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1869166 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:25:p:2799-2831 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yu He Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Yue-Jun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yue-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Chang-Xiong Qin Author-X-Name-First: Chang-Xiong Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Title: The life cycle environmental rebound effect of battery electric vehicles in China: a provincial level analysis Abstract: In China, the promotion of electric vehicles is now in full swing, which is useful for carbon emission reduction. However, the rebound effect has a negative impact on the emissions reduction. In this regarding, through employing the three-stage linear approximation of the almost ideal demand system (LA-AIDS) model, well-to-wheel (WTW) method and input-output analysis (IOA) method, this article investigates the life cycle environment rebound effect (REC) of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) for 30 China’s provinces in three years, namely 2010, 2012 and 2015. The change of the REC to the variation of the cost of BEVs and the consumption expenditure is discussed as well. The estimation results indicate that the direct REC of BEVs in China ranges from 3% to 107%, while the indirect REC mainly fluctuates between −227% and 155%. Also, there are tremendous interprovincial differences in the REC of BEVs. The significant backfire effect can be found in these provinces, including Xinjiang, Qinghai, Jilin, Heilongjiang, Gansu, and Ningxia, while some provinces show super conservation effects. As for sensitivity analysis, this article indicates that the direct REC is negatively correlated with the total cost and positively related with the consumption expenditure, while the indirect REC shows the converse result. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2888-2904 Issue: 25 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1870652 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1870652 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:25:p:2888-2904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yuanyuan Gu Author-X-Name-First: Yuanyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Gu Author-Name: Jhorland Ayala Garcia Author-X-Name-First: Jhorland Author-X-Name-Last: Ayala Garcia Title: Educational expenditure efficiency in China: the role of the governor’s characteristics Abstract: This article studies educational efficiency in Chinese provinces following a two-step approach. Specifically, we take advantage of the selecting pattern of local officials in China to investigate the relationship between governors’ characteristics and local government educational efficiency, which has been previously ignored in the literature. First, we use a robust order-m partial frontier approach to evaluate the efficiency of the Chinese provinces in the provision of education, which represents the main sector of expenditure for local governments. Second, we estimate the relationship between efficiency and the provinces’ observable characteristics, with a special focus on the governor’s characteristics. We consider economic, institutional, and demographic variables as non-discretionary inputs. Finally, we use the Spatial Lag of X (SLX) and Spatial Durbin Model (SDM) to evaluate the possible spatial interdependence in the educational efficiency between Chinese provinces. The results show that East region provinces are the most efficient in the provision of education, while the provinces in the West region are the least efficient. Moreover, the governor’s observable characteristics, such as age, education, and experience abroad, have a significant effect on educational efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2832-2847 Issue: 25 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1869171 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1869171 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:25:p:2832-2847 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christoph Meier Author-X-Name-First: Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Meier Author-Name: Lurion De Mello Author-X-Name-First: Lurion Author-X-Name-Last: De Mello Author-Name: Fabian Kukla Author-X-Name-First: Fabian Author-X-Name-Last: Kukla Title: Aggregate investor confidence, price momentum and asset pricing Abstract: This article applies a new measure of aggregate investor confidence to explain the well-established factors driving stock returns in the asset pricing literature and on momentum returns. The aggregate measure extracts feedback impulses from stock market data that affect aggregate investor confidence. We find that aggregate investor confidence is positively associated with the profitability of momentum strategies and Fama–French’s small minus big (SMB) factor, providing empirical evidence in line with prominent behavioural models. Using a sample of data for the United States from 1927 to 2019, aggregate investor confidence requires around 3 months to notably affect momentum returns and remains statisticallct 3y significant for up to 16 months. Additionally, investors trade more and tilt their preference towards small market capitalization and growth stocks when confidence is high. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2848-2864 Issue: 25 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1870650 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1870650 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:25:p:2848-2864 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bertrand Candelon Author-X-Name-First: Bertrand Author-X-Name-Last: Candelon Author-Name: Laurent Ferrara Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrara Author-Name: Marc Joëts Author-X-Name-First: Marc Author-X-Name-Last: Joëts Title: Global financial interconnectedness: a non-linear assessment of the uncertainty channel Abstract: The role of uncertainty in the global economy is now widely recognized by policy-makers but its specific effects on the international financial system are less understood. In this paper, we assess the impact of uncertainty fluctuations on the interconnectedness within the international system of equity prices. In this respect, we extend the measure of connectedness put forward by Diebold and Yilmaz by allowing for non-linear effects through the estimation of a non-linear Threshold VAR model whose regimes depend on the level on uncertainty. Results show that high uncertainty tends to generate more connectedness among equity indexes of a set of advanced and emerging countries. From an economic policy point of view, this result suggests that in the presence of high uncertainty, an adverse financial shock in a specific country is likely to propagate more widely and more strongly to the whole financial system. This result advocates for a close real-time monitoring of uncertainty measures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2865-2887 Issue: 25 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1870651 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1870651 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:25:p:2865-2887 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rafael Flores de Frutos Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Flores de Frutos Author-Name: Manuel León Navarro Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: León Navarro Author-Name: Sofía Tirado Sarti Author-X-Name-First: Sofía Author-X-Name-Last: Tirado Sarti Title: ‘Will the Spanish regions converge in a near future?’ Abstract: GDP and Employment of small Spanish regions seem to be I(1) variables, while their corresponding Capital Stocks seem to be I(2) variables. This contrasts with the statistical properties of the same variables for the Spanish big regions, all being I(2). The paper relates these properties with the problems of convergence shown by many Spanish regions. Also, it highlights important implications for economic policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3043-3053 Issue: 26 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1871585 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1871585 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:26:p:3043-3053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tongyu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Tongyu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shangmei Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Shangmei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Guangxiang Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Guangxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Haitao Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Haitao Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: A machine learning-based early warning system for systemic banking crises Abstract: Econometricians construct panel logit-based early warning systems (EWSs) as the primary predictive tool to prevent incoming systemic banking crises. Considering the actual scenario of systemic banking crises, we argue that changes in economic indicators under the crisis may impact the information extraction of EWSs based on logistic regression. According to the potential limitations of the conventional EWS and properties of the machine learning algorithm, we assume that an ‘experts voting EWS’ framework can better fit characteristics of data of systemic banking crisis. Indeed, among other machine learning classifiers tested in this paper, random forest classifier simulating experts voting process is the most efficient classifier showing relatively high generalization above 80% area under the receiver operating characteristic curve on constructing the EWS. In contrast to the conventional system, an image of evidence shows that the experts voting EWS synthesizing multivariate information may be suitable for providing systemic banking systemic crises alerts in varied contexts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2974-2992 Issue: 26 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1870657 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1870657 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:26:p:2974-2992 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Idriss Fontaine Author-X-Name-First: Idriss Author-X-Name-Last: Fontaine Title: Does wife’s labour supply influence labour force participation of her elderly husband? Lessons from France Abstract: Since the mid-1990s, the labour force participation of older men and women increased substantially in France. In this paper, we investigate the effect of having a participating wife on the labour market behaviour of her elderly husband. Working with data from the French Labour Force Survey and using the cohort-specific participation rate of women at age 40 as an instrument for their current participation, we find that the magnitude of the causal relationship is strong. The likelihood of husbands’ participation increases of about 19 points when their wives are currently active in the labour market. Such findings support the view that some complementarities in leisure exist so that French married men attribute a higher value to leisure when it is shared with their wife. It also suggests that policy makers should take into account both direct and indirect effects when they implement a change in the economic environment of elderly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2946-2961 Issue: 26 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1870655 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1870655 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:26:p:2946-2961 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Winkelmann Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Winkelmann Author-Name: Christian Deutscher Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Deutscher Author-Name: Marius Ötting Author-X-Name-First: Marius Author-X-Name-Last: Ötting Title: Bookmakers’ mispricing of the disappeared home advantage in the German Bundesliga after the COVID-19 break Abstract: The outbreak of COVID-19 in March 2020 led to a shutdown of economic activities in Europe. This included the sports sector since public gatherings were prohibited. The German Bundesliga was among the first sport leagues realizing a restart without spectators. Several recent studies suggest that the home advantage of teams eroded for the remaining matches. Our paper analyses the reaction by bookmakers to the disappearance of such home advantage. We show that bookmakers had problems to adjust the betting odds in accordance with the disappeared home advantage, opening opportunities for profitable betting strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3054-3064 Issue: 26 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1873234 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1873234 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:26:p:3054-3064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tongwei Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Tongwei Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Biliang Luo Author-X-Name-First: Biliang Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Do small farms prefer agricultural mechanization services? Evidence from wheat production in China Abstract: Developing agricultural mechanization services has been an important approach to pushing smallholder farmers engaging modern agricultural production in China. However, whether smallholder farmers prefer adopting agricultural mechanization services is still under-analysed. In this paper, we use data covering 3,440 wheat farmers collected from Henan province in China to investigate the links between farm size and the adoption of agricultural mechanization services. The results indicate that an inverted U-shaped relationship between farm size and the adoption of agricultural mechanization services exists. We also find that small farms can input more family labour, and large farms tend to invest in self-owned machinery assets. Our analysis implies that the development of agricultural mechanization services is not inevitable to attract farmers with alternative elements, and smallholder farmers may not be the major groups involved in the market of social services in agriculture in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2962-2973 Issue: 26 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1870656 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1870656 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:26:p:2962-2973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Hoesli Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Hoesli Author-Name: Elias Oikarinen Author-X-Name-First: Elias Author-X-Name-Last: Oikarinen Title: Does listed real estate behave like direct real estate? Updated and broader evidence Abstract: This study investigates a question relevant to many investors: do the broad Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) return characteristics reflect those of the broad direct real estate markets. The paper makes several contributions to the literature in addition to using more recent data: (1) we use data for six countries (Australia, France, Germany, Netherlands, the U.K., and the U.S.); (2) we estimate both country-specific and panel models to increase the reliability and generalizability of the analysis; (3) we estimate a structural vector autoregressive model to be able to better and more reliably interpret the various shocks in the system; and (4) we investigate the effects of global liquidity shocks, among other shocks. Our results indicate that over the mid to long horizon, broad REIT and direct returns have similar characteristics and are highly correlated at the panel level. Also, the two types of exposure to real estate exhibit similar reactions to economic shocks. Thus, the paper makes a case that investors do not necessarily need to worry much about compositional effects when aiming to track broad international direct market performance by investing in listed real estate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3023-3042 Issue: 26 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1870921 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1870921 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:26:p:3023-3042 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bing Tong Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Tong Author-Name: Guang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Guang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Interest rate fixation, excessive fluctuations and exchange rate management in China Abstract: This article proves in a New Keynesian model that interest rate fixation can explain ChinaŠs excessive business cycle fluctuations. The fixed nominal interest rate changes the propagation of external shocks, magnifies volatility of endogenous variables, and leads to economic instability. We then extend the model to a small open economy featuring capital controls, sterilized interventions and a managed exchange rate to capture the main characteristics of the Chinese economy. We prove that the magnifying effect of interest rate fixation holds in such an environment, but this effect diminishes with a more strictly managed exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2993-3022 Issue: 26 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1870920 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1870920 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:26:p:2993-3022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Mabruk Billah Author-X-Name-First: Mabruk Author-X-Name-Last: Billah Author-Name: Hatice Ozer Balli Author-X-Name-First: Hatice Ozer Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Anne De Bruin Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: De Bruin Title: Spillovers to sectoral equity returns: do liquidity and financial positions matter? Abstract: In this paper, we investigate spillovers from regional and global equity markets to sectoral equity indices for several different regions/countries. First, we investigate the connectedness of sectoral equity return spillovers and explore the different patterns and magnitudes of spillovers. Next, we look for the determinants of sectoral equity return spillovers. We find the regional and global markets spillovers on sector equity indices are highly dispersed across different markets. Novel to the literature, we examine the liquidity and financial positions of the sectors and find that sector positions are highly influential in explaining the extent of the spillovers. Particularly, our exploration evidence that regional and global spillovers to specific sector equity markets jump significantly when a sector has higher debt and lower interest expense coverage. Similarly, higher profit margins of the sector make it less vulnerable to global and regional shocks. We also find market capitalization of the sectors inversely affects the extent of the spillovers originating from global and regional markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3097-3130 Issue: 27 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1875120 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1875120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:27:p:3097-3130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Iwanthika Rajakaruna Author-X-Name-First: Iwanthika Author-X-Name-Last: Rajakaruna Author-Name: Sandy Suardi Author-X-Name-First: Sandy Author-X-Name-Last: Suardi Author-Name: Nelson Perera Author-X-Name-First: Nelson Author-X-Name-Last: Perera Title: On public debt and twin imbalances in the South Asian region Abstract: This paper studies the impact of a country’s public debt on its twin deficits. Using panel data of five South Asian countries characterized by acute twin deficits and a high debt-to-GDP ratio for 1980–2018, we find no evidence that the budget balance wields a statistically significant impact on the current account. When the relationship between fiscal and current account deficits is conditioned on public debt levels, we find a statistically significant non-linear twin deficits relationship. For low-to-moderate debt countries with debt ratios between 46.21% and 65.80% of GDP a fiscal deficit, increase leads to a lower current account deficit. For high debt countries (i.e. debt-to-GDP ratio is above 65.80%), a rising fiscal deficit results in a larger current account deficit. Maintaining a sustainable debt-to-GDP ratio of 65.80% or lower is crucial for reducing both fiscal deficits and current account imbalances. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3080-3096 Issue: 27 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1875119 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1875119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:27:p:3080-3096 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vincent Fromentin Author-X-Name-First: Vincent Author-X-Name-Last: Fromentin Title: Cross-border workers in the Greater Region of Luxembourg and financial instability: a non-linear approach Abstract: This article aims to study the interactions between cross-border workers from the Greater Region of Luxembourg (compared to resident workers) and financial instability. Luxembourg, located in the heart of the Greater Region, is a major international financial centre, one of the most significant aspects of which is the phenomenon of cross-border or commuting work. Interrelationships between financial fluctuations, the real economy and employment seem to operate especially in times of crisis or post-crisis, and to affect more particularly cross-border workers, whose recruitment is facilitated by service and financial intermediation companies. We propose to evaluate these interrelationships with an asymmetric non-linear ARDL (Auto Regressive Distributive Lags) staggered delay autoregressive model, which validates the predictive power of financial indicators to explain fluctuations in cross-border and resident workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3171-3192 Issue: 27 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1877251 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1877251 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:27:p:3171-3192 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qiao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Is the moral hazard in the Chinese labour market serious? Empirical evidence from a semi-parametric analysis Abstract: In this study, we extend the principal-agent model of moral hazard by incorporating different percentage effort choices made by the manager. Applying the semi-parametric estimation method, we estimate an extended principal-agent model of moral hazard using longitudinal data on firms and managerial compensation collected from the China Center for Economic Research database. The estimated compensation contracts confirm the non-neglected conflicts between management and shareholders, especially for managers in non-CEO or lower positions and in medium or large firms. Moral hazard is serious in large firms in the natural resources and manufacturing, as well as commercial product industries. Most managers’ compensation in these firms can not induce more than $$60\% $$60% effort. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3131-3170 Issue: 27 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1875121 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1875121 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:27:p:3131-3170 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Author-Name: Mariya Gubareva Author-X-Name-First: Mariya Author-X-Name-Last: Gubareva Title: The relationship between the Covid-19 media coverage and the Environmental, Social and Governance leaders equity volatility: a time-frequency wavelet analysis Abstract: We apply wavelet analyses to study how the social media coverage of the Covid-19 pandemic influenced the volatility of ESG (Environmental, Social and Governance) leaders indices encompassing World, USA, Europe, China, and Emerging Markets. We document intervals of low, medium, and high coherence between the Media Coverage Index and the price moves of the ESG Leaders indices. The low coherence intervals indicate the diversification potential of ESG investments during a systemic pandemic such as Covid-19. We document differences in the pattern exhibited by various geographical indices evidencing their potential role for designing cross-geography hedge strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3193-3206 Issue: 27 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1877252 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1877252 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:27:p:3193-3206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tianheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Tianheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The effect of female education on child mortality: evidence from Indonesia Abstract: This paper examines the effect of female education on child mortality in Indonesia by exploiting a one-time change in the length of the 1978 school year as a source of exogenous variation in education. The results show that the education reform increases women’s educational attainment by 0.76 years and that one additional year of female education leads to a decrease in neonatal mortality by 0.5 percentage points. Mechanism analysis suggests that higher female education postpones the timing of marriage and of first birth, leads to higher quality of spouse and higher household wealth and increases the use of prenatal health care and mass media. However, I do not find significant impacts of female education on women’s empowerment in the household. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3207-3222 Issue: 27 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1877253 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1877253 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:27:p:3207-3222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lu Huang Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Lihua Wang Author-X-Name-First: Lihua Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zhusheng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhusheng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yujie Li Author-X-Name-First: Yujie Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Evolutionary game analysis of green industry development in the age of sharing economy Abstract: Sharing economy is also a kind of green economy in essence, which brings opportunities for the development of resource-sharing green industry. By constructing a general evolutionary game model of green industry, the evolutionary stability strategy of green industry system is obtained, and the internal mechanism of the spontaneous evolution of green industry is explained. Furthermore, by comparing the evolutionary game model and numerical simulation results of two green industry development models of factor input and resource sharing in the era of sharing economy, it is found that compared with the factor input development model, the resource-sharing development model is easier to realize the evolutionary game equilibrium between enterprises and consumers. Enriching government subsidies and strengthening consumer guide will help promote the development of resource-sharing green industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3065-3079 Issue: 27 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1874609 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1874609 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:27:p:3065-3079 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ludivine Martin Author-X-Name-First: Ludivine Author-X-Name-Last: Martin Author-Name: Uyen T. Nguyen-Thi Author-X-Name-First: Uyen T. Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen-Thi Author-Name: Caroline Mothe Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Mothe Title: Human resource practices, perceived employability and turnover intention: does age matter? Abstract: This paper investigates the age specificities in the link between employee’s perceived external employability and turnover intention and how the use of human resource practices moderates this relationship. Results show that the use of motivation-enhancing HR practices induces a larger retention effect for younger and middle-aged employees than for older ones, whereas the turnover intention effects of flexibility-enhancing HR practices are stronger for the middle-age and older groups than for the younger groups. Moreover, the use of HR practices that stimulate employees’ motivation, such as training, participation, voice and teamwork, plays a stronger role in retaining highly employable younger employees, while the use of HR practices that offer flexibility, such as flexible working time, teleworking and work-life balance, enables retaining highly employable older employees. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3306-3320 Issue: 28 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1886238 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1886238 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:28:p:3306-3320 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dietrich Earnhart Author-X-Name-First: Dietrich Author-X-Name-Last: Earnhart Author-Name: Donna Ramirez Harrington Author-X-Name-First: Donna Ramirez Author-X-Name-Last: Harrington Title: Effects of audit frequency, audit quality, and facility age on environmental compliance Abstract: This study explores the effect of environmental self-audits (‘audits’), which represent an important type of environmental management system practice, on the extent of facilities’ compliance with wastewater discharge limits. Previous studies of environmental audits explore either the presence or frequency of audits only, while ignoring the quality of audits and heterogeneous effects across facility types. Our study contributes to the economic literature by examining the role of audit quality, as measured by the comprehensiveness of the audit protocol, and the influence of facility age on the effectiveness of more frequent auditing. These two features prove important especially in combination. Our study empirically examines the U.S. chemical manufacturing sector using survey and publicly available EPA data. Empirical results reveal that more frequent audits improve the extent of compliance but only for older facilities and only when these facilities conduct high quality audits. In contrast, for newer facilities, more frequent high quality audits fail to improve compliance; worse yet, more frequent low quality audits sadly undermine compliance. Both sets of results are consistent with our hypotheses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3234-3252 Issue: 28 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1854449 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1854449 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:28:p:3234-3252 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kazuaki Okamura Author-X-Name-First: Kazuaki Author-X-Name-Last: Okamura Author-Name: Nizamul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Nizamul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Effects of the timing of childbirth on female labor supply: an analysis using the sequential matching approach Abstract: This study estimates the effects of childbirth on female labour supply using Japanese data. The original contributions of our study are twofold. First, we include the preference for having children as a time-varying confounding variable in the effects of childbirth on female labour supply. Second, we apply a dynamic version of the sequential matching approach to analyse the causal effects of childbirth on female labour market outcomes. The results show that childbirth decreases current employment outcomes (participation as regular and non-regular workers) and that this decrease is more pronounced among regular workers than non-regular workers. At the time of childbirth, while the negative effects of childbirth on choosing regular work increase when childbirth age is delayed, the negative effects on choosing non-regular work are slightly decreased by delaying the age of childbirth. Regarding future employment outcomes, childbirth does not affect the probability of choosing non-regular work in the next period, regardless of childbirth age. In contrast, delayed childbirth decreases the probability of choosing regular work in the next period significantly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3253-3266 Issue: 28 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1855320 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1855320 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:28:p:3253-3266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chia-Nan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Min-Chun Yu Author-X-Name-First: Min-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Nguyen-Nhu-Y Ho Author-X-Name-First: Nguyen-Nhu-Y Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Thi-Nham Le Author-X-Name-First: Thi-Nham Author-X-Name-Last: Le Title: An integrated forecasting model for the coffee bean supply chain Abstract: Coffee is the most traded commodity after petroleum. The Vietnamese coffee bean industry has raised concerns lately over an inefficient coffee value chain; bets on coffee price uncertainty are increasing worldwide in the current. Accurate optimization of coffee bean prices helps manufacturers to control an unpredictable market and upgrade cooperativeness in sustainable agriculture. The authors proposed a forecasting method to deal with demand volatility and uncertainty in volumes and coffee bean prices. In this paper, we applied the forecasting nonlinear grey Bernoulli model (NGBM) (1,1). NGBM (1,1), which is based on the parameter optimization algorithm, can increase the precision of predictions. NGBM (1,1) was integrated with Fourier residual modification model to forecast coffee bean price, which was a crucial factor in the Vietnamese coffee bean supply chain. The price of coffee beans was calculated using a differential equation in an uncertain system, along with actual data collected over the past six years. The results of this study demonstrate that an integrated forecasting model is an effective forecasting method. This research can help companies to control risks that come with uncertain coffee prices and reduce risks in the sustainable agriculture supply chain. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3321-3333 Issue: 28 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1887447 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1887447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:28:p:3321-3333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huiming Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Huiming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Zhongqingyang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhongqingyang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yuan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Weifang Mao Author-X-Name-First: Weifang Author-X-Name-Last: Mao Title: Quantile heterogeneous impact of R&D on firm growth in Chinese manufacture: how ownership, firm size and sectors matter? Abstract: This paper explores the heterogeneous impact of R&D on firm growth in Chinese manufacturing industry during the periods 2012–2017. We divide the full sample into sub-samples according to different ownership, firm size and sectors, respectively, which help comprehensive observe the impact of R&D on firm growth. The results indicate that R&D has a significant positive impact on firm growth, and that R&D of private enterprises has a greater impact on firm growth than that of state-owned enterprises across all quantiles. Moreover, we find the R&D effectiveness of non-small and medium-sized enterprises is significantly greater than that of SMEs. Additionally, persuasive evidence proves the existence of an inverted-U relationship between R&D and firm growth, except for higher-growth state-owned SMEs. The results also indicate that R&D plays a more significantly positive role in high-tech industries. Our finding suggests that policymakers should encourage R&D investment in manufacturing industry to promote firm growth. But policymaker must classify firms, observe R&D intensity turning points of firms with different types, formulate meticulous R&D strategies, and maximize R&D utility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3267-3287 Issue: 28 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1873235 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1873235 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:28:p:3267-3287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhengxun Tan Author-X-Name-First: Zhengxun Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Author-Name: Juan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Peng Chen Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The trend and cycle components of China’s housing prices: a new decomposition method Abstract: The paper proposes a novel hybrid method that extends previous work incorporating the fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive and the permanent-transitory decomposition model. Using the hybrid method, we investigate whether the rapid rise in China’s housing prices is a trend or cyclical fluctuation as well as whether there exists a housing price bubble. The findings indicate there exists a fractional cointegration relationship between housing prices and macroeconomic fundamentals in China, and that the fundamental value of housing prices is determined by macroeconomic factors. In particular, the upward trend in China’s housing prices has shifted and decelerated since 2012, in line with GDP and money supply. Moreover, we provide evidence of the existence of a housing price bubble in China since 2012, particularly during the 2015–2018 period. We demonstrate that the hybrid model has a superior forecasting performance and decomposes the trend and cycle components more accurately than the conventional methods when estimating a system of possibly fractional cointegration relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3288-3305 Issue: 28 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1877254 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1877254 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:28:p:3288-3305 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jying-Nan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jying-Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Hung-Chun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Shuang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shuang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yuan-Teng Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Yuan-Teng Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Title: How does the informed trading impact Bitcoin returns and volatility? Abstract: This study employed an augmented AR-GJRGARCH model that incorporates an intraday-based buy-sell order size imbalance measure to explore how informed trading behaviour/activity impacted Bitcoin returns and volatility from January 2014 to February 2019. Our results show that the informed trading behaviour dominated by sell-order significantly led to decreased concurrent Bitcoin returns for alternative sample periods. However, the informed trading behaviour dominated by buy-order related positively to Bitcoin returns only for the full sample period. Moreover, the informed trading activity helped to reduce Bitcoin’s volatility, which is consistent with expectations based on dispersion of beliefs models. Finally, we uncovered a positive (inverted) asymmetric volatility effect for both the full and the rising sample periods, indicating the presence of the ‘fear of missing out’ psychological effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3223-3233 Issue: 28 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1814944 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1814944 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:28:p:3223-3233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexander Kalb Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Kalb Author-Name: Benny Geys Author-X-Name-First: Benny Author-X-Name-Last: Geys Author-Name: Friedrich Heinemann Author-X-Name-First: Friedrich Author-X-Name-Last: Heinemann Title: Value for money? German local government efficiency in a comparative perspective Abstract: In this article, we investigate the cost efficiency of German local governments in the state of Baden-Württemberg in 2004 using a stochastic frontier approach. Besides being the first study on German data, we add two elements to the literature. First, we provide a comparative perspective, allowing us to embed our results in the broader literature. Second, unlike most previous studies, we explicitly account for exogenous or nondiscretionary influences when estimating municipal efficiency scores. The results suggest that disregarding such exogenous factors can lead to significant and systematic bias in the estimated inefficiency levels. Particularly, underestimation of efficiency occurs for municipalities with high tourist activity, while the reverse is true for municipalities with high unemployment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 201-218 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.502110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.502110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:2:p:201-218 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José Cuesta Author-X-Name-First: José Author-X-Name-Last: Cuesta Author-Name: Camilo Bohórquez Author-X-Name-First: Camilo Author-X-Name-Last: Bohórquez Title: Soccer and national culture: estimating the impact of violence on 22 lads after a ball Abstract: Sports have been recently conceptualized as an effective tool for development. Questioning that argument, recent evidence suggests that the practice of soccer reveals national cultures of violence prevailing in players’ countries of origin. We model violent behaviour in the soccer pitch as a function of game specific controls as well as socioeconomic, political, cultural and conflict variables characterizing players’ home countries. We construct a database for the Latin American 2008 Libertadores Cup Competition and find that across multiple specifications and estimating techniques, only game specific variables determine sanctions to violent actions. There are three compatible explanations for this result: highly skilled soccer players may not be representative average citizens; violent conflicts may not necessarily cause a violent culture affecting all corners of society; and even when violent cultures are transmitted to individual players, those values do not condition significantly their behaviour during games. After all, sports may not be a pernicious activity that intrinsically transmits violent values to youths. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 147-161 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.500275 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.500275 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:2:p:147-161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luis E. Arango Author-X-Name-First: Luis E. Author-X-Name-Last: Arango Author-Name: Fernando Arias Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Arias Author-Name: Adriana Flórez Author-X-Name-First: Adriana Author-X-Name-Last: Flórez Title: Determinants of commodity prices Abstract: A panel of annual information between 1960 and 2006 for approximately 50 different commodity prices and some other variables and sources is used to tests the determinants of commodity prices. According to the evidence, interest rates seem to maintain a negative relationship with commodity prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 135-145 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.500273 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.500273 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:2:p:135-145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonios Georgopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Antonios Author-X-Name-Last: Georgopoulos Author-Name: Kostas Karamanis Author-X-Name-First: Kostas Author-X-Name-Last: Karamanis Title: The implications of the liberalization in telecommunication markets for market structure and price policy: evidence from a small open economy Abstract: This study analyses the impact of liberalization on market structure and pricing in the Greek telecommunication market from 1992 to 2005. The data refers to 44 of the most prominent companies of fixed telephony, mobile telephony and internet services and was compiled by means of interviews with the help of a questionnaire. Our descriptive analysis concluded that liberalization of the telecommunication market reduced its concentration degree, increased competition and induced price cuts. This conclusion is supported by other research studies concerning other countries of the EU, since Greece as an EU member country has also implemented the respective European policy in the specific industry. As far as the econometric level is concerned, we used panel Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS). FGLS is an appropriate tool for samples such as our own, composed by intersectoral data that extend to more than one time periods, and without correlation between the unobserved effects and the interpretative variables. Our econometric research showed that both private ownership and specialized personnel in the commercial and technical sector seem to positively influence the companies' market share. In turn, a large market share offers companies more freedom to cut down prices in their services. However, there is still considerable need for econometric research in this field. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 253-263 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.505556 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.505556 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:2:p:253-263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ki-Dong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Ki-Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seok-Joon Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Seok-Joon Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Min-hwan Lee Author-X-Name-First: Min-hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Agglomeration economies and location choice of Korean manufacturers within the United States Abstract: Employing the micro data for 1997–2004, we investigate the location decision of Korean-affiliated manufacturing investments in the United States. The conditional logit estimates confirm that although industry-specific Korean agglomeration and domestic agglomeration play an important role, the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) location is more sensitively affected by the interstate difference in endowment conditions than by the same nationality agglomeration. Both business service and intermediate good agglomeration are main determinants of FDI location. Furthermore, estimation results show substantial change in the location pattern after recovery from the Asian financial crisis. We find quite different patterns of location decision across industry groups; dispersion forces work greater than the agglomeration force in the consumer goods industry, forward linkages with US upstream firms can be seen in the assembly and processing industry, and typical follow-the-leader pattern mixed with market potential effect by Korean immigrants is seen in the basic material manufacturing industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 189-200 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.502109 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.502109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:2:p:189-200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bernhard Michel Author-X-Name-First: Bernhard Author-X-Name-Last: Michel Author-Name: François Rycx Author-X-Name-First: François Author-X-Name-Last: Rycx Title: Does offshoring of materials and business services affect employment? Evidence from a small open economy Abstract: The fear of massive job losses has prompted a fast-growing literature on offshoring and its impact on employment in advanced economies. This article examines the situation for Belgium. It improves the offshoring intensity measure by computing a volume measure of the share of imported intermediates in output, and it is among the first to address both materials and business services offshoring to high wage and low wage countries. Estimations of static and dynamic industry-level labour demand equations augmented by offshoring intensities do not reveal a significant impact of either materials or business services offshoring on total employment for Belgium between 1995 and 2003. This result holds for both the manufacturing sector and the service sector and it proves robust to splitting the manufacturing sector into high technology and low technology industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 229-251 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.503932 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.503932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:2:p:229-251 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Stephan Popp Author-X-Name-First: Stephan Author-X-Name-Last: Popp Title: A nonlinear approach to testing the unit root null hypothesis: an application to international health expenditures Abstract: In this article, we examine the unit root null hypothesis for per capita total Health Expenditures (HEs), per capita private HEs and per capita public HEs for 29 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. The novelty of our work is that we use a new nonlinear unit root test that allows for one structural break in the data series. We find that for around 45% of the countries, we are able to reject the unit root hypothesis for each of the three HE series. Moreover, using Monte Carlo simulations, we show that our proposed unit root model has better size and power properties than the widely used Augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) and Lagrange Multiplier (LM) type tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 163-175 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.500276 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.500276 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:2:p:163-175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roger Bowles Author-X-Name-First: Roger Author-X-Name-Last: Bowles Author-Name: Chrisostomos Florackis Author-X-Name-First: Chrisostomos Author-X-Name-Last: Florackis Title: Impatience, reputation and offending Abstract: Reconviction rates for offenders are high despite sentence severity increasing with the number of convictions. The standard one-shot model of crime provides little scope for exploring ‘persistence effects’, although recent papers by Emons and others have sought to put offending decisions into a more dynamic setting. This article develops a simple two-period model of offending in which criminal convictions act as an adverse signal in labour markets. Ordinary and multinomial logistic regression modelling is used to test the predictions of the theoritical model and explore the link between unemployment and convictions. The empirical results, which are based on longitudinal data from the National Child Development Study (NCDS) in the UK, strongly support the view that, ceteris paribus, individuals with previous convictions are at higher risk of being unemployed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 177-187 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.500277 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.500277 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:2:p:177-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert Rosenman Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenman Author-Name: Scott Goates Author-X-Name-First: Scott Author-X-Name-Last: Goates Author-Name: Laura Hill Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Hill Title: Participation in universal prevention programmes Abstract: We analyse family decisions to participate in community-based universal substance-abuse prevention programmes through the framework of expected utility theory. Family functioning, which has been shown to be a good indicator of child risk for substance abuse, provides a useful reference point for family decision making. Our results show that well-functioning families (with children at low risk for substance use) should have the lowest incentive to participate, but that high-risk families may also opt out of prevention programmes. For programmes that are most effective for high-risk youth, this could be a problem. Using data from the Strengthening Families Programme (SFP) and the Washington Healthy Youth Survey (HYS), we empirically test the implications of our model and find that at least for one measure of family functioning those families with children most likely to be at risk for substance use are opting out of the programme. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 219-228 Issue: 2 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.502111 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.502111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:2:p:219-228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: María Belén Lozano Author-X-Name-First: María Belén Author-X-Name-Last: Lozano Title: Analysing the effect of excess cash accumulation on financial decisions Abstract: In this current moment of crisis it is very important for firms to hold a suitable amount of cash. But it is also very important to analyse how this amount of cash affects firm value. Here an in-depth study is made of the determination of firm value centring our attention on the problem of excess cash accumulation. This article adds important value to the existing literature since, employing the panel data methodology in the sample of Spanish nonfinancial firms, it identifies whether excess cash holding affects firm value in general, and investment, financing and dividend decisions in particular. The results show how asymmetric information among the economic agents of the firm affects the cash reserves. In particular, shareholders could penalize the investment made by these firms and consider the positive effect that the debt in particular and the dividend policies exert on the firm. Moreover, the results reveal the importance of financial flexibility as opposed to the arguments provided by agency theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2687-2698 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566195 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566195 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2687-2698 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaobo Wu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaobo Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Yanbin Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yanbin Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Sectoral role change in transition China: a network analysis from 1990 to 2005 Abstract: In this article, by using the data collected from input–output table, we conduct a detailed investigation on the evolution pattern during economy development of China from 1990 to 2005. By using network analysis at national, cluster and individual level, we find some interesting insights, also in order to identify the difference between cluster levels, we proposed a cluster centralization method to analyse the role of the cluster in the network. This study shows that during the transition process of China, there exist some similarity and differences in each selected time. Each period studied have some similar distributions of key sectors, including the cores, i.e. chemical industry, nonmetallic mineral products, construction, business. However, significant differences also exists, for example, the 2005 system is characterized as higher degrees of systemic connection and hierarchy, while the 1990s system has looser density and less centralization. Additionally, the high tech clusters (i.e. electronics and instruments) including high tech industry (i.e. electronics and telecommunications equipment manufacturers) has played a much more important role in 2005 than that in early 1990s. Also the high tech cluster and service cluster have contributed a lot to the transition and development of the whole country, the results also confirm that some theory concluded from developed country can also applied to developing economies such as China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2699-2715 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566196 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2699-2715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oluyemisi Kuku Author-X-Name-First: Oluyemisi Author-X-Name-Last: Kuku Author-Name: Steven Garasky Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Garasky Author-Name: Craig Gundersen Author-X-Name-First: Craig Author-X-Name-Last: Gundersen Title: The relationship between childhood obesity and food insecurity: a nonparametric analysis Abstract: Childhood obesity and food insecurity are major public health concerns in the United States and other developed countries. Research on the relationship between the two has provided mixed results across a variety of data sets and empirical methods. Common throughout this research, however, is the use of parametric frameworks for empirical analyses. This study moves beyond parametric methods by examining the relationship between childhood obesity and food insecurity among low-income children with nonparametric regression techniques. We examine data from the Child Development Supplement (CDS) of the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID), a nationally representative data set from the US. Consistent with recent work, our parametric analyses indicate that there is no statistically significant relationship between childhood obesity and food insecurity. In contrast, our nonparametric results indicate that the probability of being obese varies markedly with the level of food insecurity being experienced by the child. Moreover, this relationship differs across relevant subgroups including those defined by gender, race/ethnicity and income. Fully understanding the relationship between childhood obesity and food insecurity has significant policy implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2667-2677 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566192 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2667-2677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Christoph Ruelke Author-X-Name-First: Jan Christoph Author-X-Name-Last: Ruelke Author-Name: Christian Pierdzioch Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Pierdzioch Author-Name: Georg Stadtmann Author-X-Name-First: Georg Author-X-Name-Last: Stadtmann Title: On the internal consistency of short-term, medium-term and long-term oil price forecasts Abstract: We derive internal consistency restrictions on short-, medium- and long-term oil price forecasts. We then analyse whether oil price forecasts extracted from the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) conducted by the European Central Bank (ECB) satisfy these internal consistency restrictions. We find that neither short-term forecasts are consistent with medium-term forecasts nor that medium-term forecasts are consistent with long-term forecasts. Using a more complex expectation formation structure featuring a distributed lag structure, however, we find stronger evidence of internal consistency of medium-term forecasts with long-term forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2757-2765 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566201 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566201 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2757-2765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kishor Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Kishor Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Pemasiri J. Gunawardana Author-X-Name-First: Pemasiri J. Author-X-Name-Last: Gunawardana Title: The role of price and nonprice factors in predicting Australia's trade performance Abstract: This article investigates the role of price and nonprice factors in predicting Australia's trade performance. Results broadly suggest that Australia's trade performance is largely explained by the nonprice factors namely, R&D, reliability of domestic supply, aggregate world demand and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows in long run. Price factors such as, relative price of Australian exports and domestic prices are also important predictors of trade competitiveness. The policy implications of these findings are that there are dividends in terms of improved trade performance by encouraging R&D expenditure, attracting FDI, improving domestic supply and implementing appropriate policies to improve price competitiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2679-2686 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566193 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2679-2686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Piracha Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Piracha Author-Name: Y. Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Precautionary savings by natives and immigrants in Germany Abstract: This article analyses the savings behaviour of natives and immigrants in Germany. It is argued that uncertainty about future income and legal status (in case of immigrants) is a key component in the determination of the level of precautionary savings. Using the German dataset, we exploit a natural experiment arising from a change in the nationality law in Germany to estimate the importance of precautionary savings. Using a Difference-in-Differences (DiD) approach, we find a significant reduction in savings and remittances for immigrants after the easing of citizenship requirements, compared to the pre-reform period. Our parametric specification shows that introduction of the new nationality law reduces the gap in marginal propensity to save between natives and immigrants by up to 80%. These findings suggest that many of the differences in terms of the savings behaviour between natives and immigrants are driven by the savings arising from the uncertainties about future income and legal status rather than cultural differences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2767-2776 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566202 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566202 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2767-2776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong-wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hong-wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Wei-guo Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wei-guo Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Jie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Urban–rural income disparities and development in a panel data set of China for the period from 1978 to 2006 Abstract: We examine the relationship between urban–rural income disparities and development in a panel data set of 30 provinces and regional subsets of China during the period of 1978 to 2006. There is an inverted-U relationship between the urban–rural income gap and per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Financial development by scale widens the urban–rural income gap in all regional samples, while financial sector efficiency and rural bank loans may reduce it in some regions. Government spending raises the urban–rural income gap as well. We also examine the effects of urbanization, openness and education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2717-2728 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566197 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2717-2728 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David E. Bloom Author-X-Name-First: David E. Author-X-Name-Last: Bloom Author-Name: David Canning Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Canning Author-Name: Erica S. Shenoy Author-X-Name-First: Erica S. Author-X-Name-Last: Shenoy Title: The effect of vaccination on children's physical and cognitive development in the Philippines Abstract: We use data from the Cebu Longitudinal Health and Nutrition Survey (CLHNS) in the Philippines to link vaccination in the first 2 years of life with later physical and cognitive development in children. We use propensity score matching to estimate the causal effect of vaccination on child development. We find no effect of vaccination on later height or weight, but full childhood vaccination for measles, polio, Tuberculosis (TB), Diphtheria, Pertussis and Tetanus (DPT) significantly increases cognitive test scores relative to matched children who received no vaccinations. The size of the effect is large, raising test scores, on average, by about half an SD. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2777-2783 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566203 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566203 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2777-2783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Engelbert Stockhammer Author-X-Name-First: Engelbert Author-X-Name-Last: Stockhammer Author-Name: Simon Sturn Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Sturn Title: The impact of monetary policy on unemployment hysteresis Abstract: This article investigates the hypothesis that the extent to which hysteresis occurs in the aftermath of recessions depends on monetary policy reactions. The degree of hysteresis is explained econometrically by the extent of monetary easing during a recession and by standard variables for labour market institutions in a pooled cross country analysis using quarterly data. The sample includes 40 recessions in 19 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries for which the required data is available. The time period lasts for the period from 1980 to 2007. This article builds on Ball (1999) and extends the sample of countries, the time period under investigation and the set of control variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2743-2756 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566199 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566199 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2743-2756 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Themis Kokolakakis Author-X-Name-First: Themis Author-X-Name-Last: Kokolakakis Author-Name: Fernando Lera-López Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Lera-López Author-Name: Thanos Panagouleas Author-X-Name-First: Thanos Author-X-Name-Last: Panagouleas Title: Analysis of the determinants of sports participation in Spain and England Abstract: This article investigates the role of sociodemographic characteristics, educational and economic variables on sports participation in a comparative way in two European countries: Spain and England. Adopting a broad concept of sport, as in the common European approach, we analyse the determinants of sports participation in 40 different professional and nonprofessional sports and recreational activities in both countries. The research involves a comparative analysis between the data of England and Spain based on two logistic regressions. The regression equation of every country tests the effect of 17 binary explanatory variables on a dependent binary variable for participation. Higher education level, professional occupation, younger age and being male are all factors associated with more sports participation. Although there is no difference in the direction of the factor effects on participation between England and Spain, there is considerable variation in their relative strength, which has sport policy implications in the two nations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2785-2798 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566204 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566204 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2785-2798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Yau Man Ze-To Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Yau Man Author-X-Name-Last: Ze-To Title: Estimating value-at-risk under a Heath–Jarrow–Morton framework with jump Abstract: This article proposes a new methodology for measuring Value-at-Risk (hereafter VaR) using a model that incorporates both volatility and jumps. Heath–Jarrow–Morton (HJM) model has been used for the valuation of interest rate derivatives. This study extends the use of HJM model to the estimation VaR. This article specifically uses a two-factor HJM jump-diffusion model for the computation. The study models the Eurodollar futures prices using its derivatives. In addition, this article uses a new volatility specification of Ze-To (2002) to construct the HJM dynamics. The result indicates that the VaR model using HJM jump-diffusion framework performs well in capturing the nonnormality and in providing accurate VaR forecasts in the in-sample and out-sample tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2729-2741 Issue: 21 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 7 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566198 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.566198 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:21:p:2729-2741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nadia Ayari Author-X-Name-First: Nadia Author-X-Name-Last: Ayari Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Author-Name: Pedro Mendi Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Mendi Title: Renewable energy innovations in Europe: a dynamic panel data approach Abstract: We investigate the determinants of renewable energy R&D intensity and the impact of renewable energy innovations on firm performance, using several dynamic panel data models. We estimate these models using a large data set of European firms from 19 different countries, with some patenting activity in areas related to renewable energies during the 1987 to 2007 period. Our results confirm our priors on the determinants of the rapid development of renewable energy R&D intensity during the past decades. Additionally, we find evidence that renewable patent intensity has a significant dynamic impact on the stock market value of firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3135-3147 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570720 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570720 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3135-3147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohamed A. Marouani Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed A. Author-X-Name-Last: Marouani Author-Name: David A. Robalino Author-X-Name-First: David A. Author-X-Name-Last: Robalino Title: Assessing interactions among education, social insurance and labour market policies in Morocco Abstract: This article develops a general equilibrium model to assess the impact that integrated reforms of macroeconomic, education and social protection policies can have on employment. The model presents three innovations. First, it formalizes the production of skills in the economy by following sex–age cohorts through the various levels of the education and training systems, given dropout and repetition rates. Second, it incorporates a module that projects social insurance expenditures as a function of the demographic structure of the country and the rules of the pension system. Finally, it develops a very detailed description of the labour market, where informality reflects strategic decisions by workers and not necessarily exclusion. The model is applied to Morocco. The results of various simulations illustrate the importance of coordinating macro, education and social protection policies in order to achieve meaningful effects on employment levels. In particular, we show that isolated interventions to improve the internal efficiency of the education system can aggravate the unemployment problem; that subsidies to investments are more efficient in sectors intensive in skilled labour; and that not controlling the growth of pension expenditures and the tax-wedge can depress employment in the formal sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3149-3167 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570721 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3149-3167 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jaba Ghonghadze Author-X-Name-First: Jaba Author-X-Name-Last: Ghonghadze Author-Name: Thomas Lux Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Lux Title: Modelling the dynamics of EU economic sentiment indicators: an interaction-based approach Abstract: This article estimates a simple univariate model of expectation or opinion formation in continuous time adapting a ‘canonical’ stochastic model of collective opinion dynamics (Weidlich and Haag, 1983; Lux, 1995, 2009a). This framework is applied to a selected data set on survey-based expectations from the rich EU business and consumer survey database for 12 European countries. The model parameters are estimated through Maximum Likelihood (ML) and numerical solution of the transient probability density functions for the resulting stochastic process. The model's success is assessed with respect to its out-of-sample forecasting performance relative to univariate Time Series (TS) models of the Autoregressive Moving Average model, ARMA(p, q) and Autoregressive Fractionally Integrated Moving Average, ARFIMA(p, d, q) varieties. These tests speak for a slight superiority of the canonical opinion dynamics model over the alternatives in the majority of cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3065-3088 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570716 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570716 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3065-3088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Avi Herbon Author-X-Name-First: Avi Author-X-Name-Last: Herbon Author-Name: Uriel Spiegel Author-X-Name-First: Uriel Author-X-Name-Last: Spiegel Author-Name: Joseph Templeman Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Templeman Title: Simulation study of the price differentiation effect in a stochastic deteriorating inventory with heterogeneous consumers – freshness sensitivity Abstract: A fixed price policy regardless of expiration date may result in unsold inventory and sales loss. Price reduction over time as the expiration date approaches motivates customers to purchase all items, including the ones that are left with only a short interval until their expiration. We conduct a discrete event simulation that captures the main characteristics of this phenomenon. Results show that a moderate differentiation of price increases profits by 6%, a larger differentiation reduces profits. Profits are the highest for freshness-oriented customers. A fixed price policy is preferred in an environment of large variance and expected near term expirations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3101-3119 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570718 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570718 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3101-3119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jenifer Piesse Author-X-Name-First: Jenifer Author-X-Name-Last: Piesse Author-Name: Bruce Allen Hearn Author-X-Name-First: Bruce Allen Author-X-Name-Last: Hearn Title: The law of one price: an examination of price integration between Europe and regional markets in Africa Abstract: This study examines the degree of price-integration of equity indices between the major markets of Africa, namely Morocco, Tunisia, Egypt, Kenya, Nigeria, Namibia and South Africa with the European markets of London and Paris. Vector Autoregressive and Autoregressive Distributed Lag methods reveal that African markets are largely price-segmented. The only markets that are price-integrated have shared economic and financial institutions, such as Namibia and South Africa, and Egypt, Tunisia and France. The evidence suggests that development policy should be focussed on enhancing existing institutions rather than embarking prematurely on regional integration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3169-3193 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570722 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3169-3193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cheng-Feng Lee Author-X-Name-First: Cheng-Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Ching-Chuan Tsong Author-X-Name-First: Ching-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Tsong Title: A revisit on real interest rate parity hypothesis – simulation evidence from efficient unit root tests Abstract: A set of unit root tests are applied to test the existence of long-run real interest rate parity among the G-10 countries over the period 1971M1 to 2007M2. Rather than trusting the asymptotic distributions, this article uses simulation techniques to establish the small sample distributions of these tests, conditional on the stationary and nonstationary processes. The empirical results indicate that the tests have stable finite-sample sizes and higher size-adjusted powers such that the two estimated processes can be distinguished from each other. Thus, for six of the nine countries, their series are more likely to come from the estimated Autoregressive (AR) stationary process than from the nonstationary process. Noticeably, the testing results are rather different from those using the asymptotic distributions, in which only three countries support the real interest rate parity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3089-3099 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570717 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570717 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3089-3099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Salvatore Capasso Author-X-Name-First: Salvatore Author-X-Name-Last: Capasso Author-Name: Oreste Napolitano Author-X-Name-First: Oreste Author-X-Name-Last: Napolitano Title: Testing for the stability of money demand in Italy: has the Euro influenced the monetary transmission mechanism? Abstract: Stability of money demand is a crucial issue for the efficacy of monetary policy. This is particularly true in the presence of significant exogenous shocks to the monetary system. By implementing the most recent econometric testing procedures, this article intends to investigate the consistency of the stability of money demand in Italy, one of the larger European Monetary Union (EMU) countries, before and after the EMU. Among others, the objective is, indeed, to ascertain the effect of a change in the currency regime on the monetary aggregates and to provide a valid empirical model which is a viable tool for policy performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3121-3133 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570719 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570719 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3121-3133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bahar Bayraktar Saglam Author-X-Name-First: Bahar Bayraktar Author-X-Name-Last: Saglam Author-Name: Burak Gunalp Author-X-Name-First: Burak Author-X-Name-Last: Gunalp Title: The Beveridge curve and labour market dynamics in Turkey Abstract: This article investigates the dynamics of unemployment and vacancy rates in Turkey during the period 1951 to 2008 by means of a Beveridge Curve (BC). The time-series analysis of unemployment and vacancies as well as two other relevant labour market variables, real wages and real labour productivity, strongly suggests inefficiency in the Turkish labour market. A stable long-run relationship between unemployment rate and vacancy rate is found for Turkey, that is, the existence of a negatively sloped BC is verified. The estimated Turkish BC reflects the structural problems and lack of flexibility in the labour market. The modified BC with real wages and labour productivity reveals that labour productivity has no significant effect on unemployment rate whereas wages have positive and significant effects on the same variable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3195-3202 Issue: 24 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.570725 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.570725 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:24:p:3195-3202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Víctor M. González Author-X-Name-First: Víctor M. Author-X-Name-Last: González Author-Name: Francisco González Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: González Title: Firm size and capital structure: evidence using dynamic panel data Abstract: This article suggests that the validity of the Trade-Off Theory (TOT) and Pecking-Order Theory (POT) to explain financing decisions varies among small, medium-sized and large firms. Using dynamic panel data tests on a sample of 3439 Spanish firms over the period 1995–2003, results are partially consistent with both explanations but suggest a greater validity of pecking-order predictions for small firms. In small firms, the negative influence of profitability and the positive influence of investment opportunities and of intangible assets on firm debt predicted by the POT are heightened. However, no differences are observed between small and large firms in their speed of adjustment to the target leverage as suggested by the TOT. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4745-4754 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.595690 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.595690 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4745-4754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jonathan Cowie Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Cowie Title: Contestability in bus markets – evidence from the British de-regulated market Abstract: Following the 1985 Transport Act in Great Britain, reforms in the provision of bus services continue across Europe and other parts of the world to this day. The British experience, however, remains a key point of study in informing these continuing developments. This article looks at the issue of contestability in bus markets, and tests for the existence of the contestable market in Britain through an examination of fare levels, profit margins and technical efficiencies in 90 identifiable bus markets. The main conclusion is that there is evidence of the contestable market in Britain, however it can hardly be described as widespread, only found to be present in 15 of the 90 markets identified in the sample. The real issue however, particularly with regard to continuing reforms elsewhere in Europe, is the ability of regulatory authorities to maintain competitive and contestable (free) markets and the research suggests that in the face of market forces this is simply not possible. The only conclusion therefore is that contestability in the free market is not sustainable, and thus can only be introduced directly through franchising. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4777-4785 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564146 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4777-4785 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Feng-Yuan Moh Author-X-Name-First: Feng-Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Moh Author-Name: Hsi-Peng Lu Author-X-Name-First: Hsi-Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Bing-Huei Lin Author-X-Name-First: Bing-Huei Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Contributions to financial crisis research: an assessment of the literature in Social Science Citation Index journals from 1990 to 2008 Abstract: Research in the field of financial crisis has generated a considerable amount of literature in the past, yet there has neither been any study to assess the contributions to the literature made by individuals or institutions, nor any to measure the impact of the articles and researchers. This study represents an attempt to: (1) investigate the major journals in publishing financial crisis research, (2) assess the contributions of individual researchers and institutions using the credited contribution approach and (3) measure the impact of individual publications and individual researchers on the financial crisis literature through citation analysis, based on the publications in Social Science Citation Index (SSCI) journals from 1990 to 2008. The findings provide a useful benchmark for assessing individual and institutional research productivity, and trends for future research and venues for publications are identified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4689-4700 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.528370 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.528370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4689-4700 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: D. Maltritz Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Maltritz Author-Name: A. Bühn Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bühn Author-Name: S. Eichler Author-X-Name-First: S. Author-X-Name-Last: Eichler Title: Modelling country default risk as a latent variable: a multiple indicators multiple causes approach Abstract: We study the determinants of country default risk by applying a Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes (MIMIC) model. This accounts for the fact that country default risk is an unobservable variable. Whereas existing (regression-based) approaches typically use only one of several possible country default risk indicators as the dependent variable, the MIMIC model enables us to consider several indicators at once. The simultaneous consideration of sovereign yield spreads and Standard and Poor (S&P) ratings may help to improve the identification of the latent country default risk. Our results confirm most of the literature's main findings regarding important determinants of country default risk, refute others and provide new evidence to controversial questions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4679-4688 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.528369 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.528369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4679-4688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gaurav Nayyar Author-X-Name-First: Gaurav Author-X-Name-Last: Nayyar Title: The quality of employment in India's services sector: exploring the heterogeneity Abstract: For some observers, the dramatic growth of the services sector in India reflects rapid strides made by educated professionals. Some others see it as the expansion of an employer of last resort. Given this heterogeneity, the object of this article is to analyse the quality of employment being created in different sub-sectors of services, relative to the industrial sector, where quality is defined to include wages, job security and social protection. Analysing household survey data from India in 1993–94 and 2004–05, we find the following. First, sub-sectors of services are generally either 'good' or 'bad' employers – higher wages do not compensate for less job security or less job protection. Second, the classification of most service sub-sectors as 'good' or 'bad' employers in 2004–05 is the same as that in 1993–94. Third, employment expansion during the 10-year period under consideration is more in service sub-sectors where quality of employment is low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4701-4719 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589816 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589816 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4701-4719 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: R. Kumazawa Author-X-Name-First: R. Author-X-Name-Last: Kumazawa Author-Name: P. Gomis-Porqueras Author-X-Name-First: P. Author-X-Name-Last: Gomis-Porqueras Title: An empirical analysis of patents flows and R&D flows around the world Abstract: In this article, we empirically investigate the effect of Research and Development (R&D) flows on patent flows around the world. We do this using an unbalanced panel consisting primarily of Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries that have both patent and R&D expenditure information broken down by domestic and foreign sources. Our analysis shows that even among a fairly homogeneous group of countries, the sources of patents and R&D differ substantially. Using a dynamic panel framework, we find that domestic R&D per capita increases domestic patents per capita only for the European Patent Convention (EPC) countries that already have a decentralized approach to innovation. Foreign R&D per capita increases foreign patents per capita in all countries even though foreign R&D constitutes a very small fraction of total R&D. We find that some of these differences can be attributed to the locations of the patent applications, including those to the European Patent Office (EPO), United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) and triadic patent applications to the EPO, USPTO and Japan Patent Office (JPO) simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4755-4763 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2010.528375 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2010.528375 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4755-4763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Agiakloglou Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Agiakloglou Author-Name: Apostolos Tsimpanos Author-X-Name-First: Apostolos Author-X-Name-Last: Tsimpanos Title: An alternative approach for testing for linear association for two independent stationary AR(1) processes Abstract: Spurious correlations occur when two independent time series are found to be correlated according to the typical statistical procedure for testing the null hypothesis of zero correlation in the population. Using a Monte Carlo analysis, this study examines the spurious correlation phenomenon for two independent stationary AR(1) processes and it finds that if an alternative testing procedure is applied, spurious behaviour is eliminated using the variance of the sample correlation coefficient of these two series, suggested by Bartlett (1935). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4799-4803 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.595695 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.595695 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4799-4803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roberto Pedace Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Pedace Author-Name: Christine DuBois Author-X-Name-First: Christine Author-X-Name-Last: DuBois Title: Immigration policy and employment assimilation in the United States Abstract: We examine the impact of immigration policy on the employment propensity and assimilation of immigrants using a pooled cross-section of the 1994–2004 Current Population Surveys (CPS). The results are generally consistent with positive immigrant employment assimilation. A Blinder–Oaxaca style decomposition shows that the foreign-born obtain more employment primarily through human capital acquisition and changes in labour market conditions rather than higher returns to observable skills, as sometimes seen in wage studies. In addition, our analysis suggests that immigration policies may influence both labour demand and supply incentives and are associated with structural shifts in the labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4721-4730 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.589817 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.589817 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4721-4730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Loreto Lira Author-X-Name-First: Loreto Author-X-Name-Last: Lira Author-Name: Magdalena Ugarte Author-X-Name-First: Magdalena Author-X-Name-Last: Ugarte Author-Name: Rodrigo Vergara Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Vergara Title: Prices and market structure: an empirical analysis of the supermarket industry in Chile Abstract: This article investigates empirically the relationship between market structure and consumer prices in the supermarket industry in Chile. A panel of monthly data from 16 cities in the period January 1998–September 2006 is used. We find that, the more concentrated the industry in a city, the higher the prices, while the participation of major national chains in cities tends to lower prices. In terms of magnitude, this latter effect prevails over the former. Moreover, the dominant local chain is found to behave differently depending on whether or not one of the national chains is present in the city. Finally, we find that prices rise when a national chain acquires another chain and both were previously in a city (inmerge) while if only one of the two was present (outmerge), prices fall. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4731-4744 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.595689 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.595689 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4731-4744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: M. Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Zulal Denaux Author-X-Name-First: Zulal Author-X-Name-Last: Denaux Author-Name: Yeliz Yalcin Author-X-Name-First: Yeliz Author-X-Name-Last: Yalcin Title: Turkish monetary policy and components of aggregate demand: a VAR analysis with sign restrictions model Abstract: This article estimates the effects of monetary policy on components of aggregate demand using quarterly data on Turkish economy from 1987–2008 by means of structural Vector Autoregression (VAR) methodology. This study adopts Uhlig's (2005) sign restrictions on the impulse responses of main macroeconomic variables to identify monetary shock. This study finds that expansionary monetary policy stimulates output through consumption and investment in the short-run. However, expansionary monetary policy is ineffective in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4787-4798 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.564151 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.564151 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4787-4798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pedro de Faria Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: de Faria Author-Name: Francisco Lima Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Lima Title: Interdependence and spillovers: is firm performance affected by others’ innovation activities? Abstract: The creation of new knowledge is a case in which agents' behaviour can affect the performance of other actors positively, given that new knowledge creates positive externalities in the market. In this context, we investigate the existence of performance spillovers associated with innovation activities by quantifying the innovation produced in surrounding firms and controlling for the fact that a firm is itself an innovation producer. We use data from the Third Community Innovation Survey (CIS III) that measures innovation in a broad way, not reducing it to R&D and patents, which departs from previous literature on spillovers. Furthermore, to tackle the endogeneity of the innovation variables on the firm production decision, we resort to the firm intellectual property protection methods as an instrument. We found a positive spillover of innovation on firm value added. The results also show that process innovation spillovers are more prevalent than product innovation spillovers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4765-4775 Issue: 36 Volume: 44 Year: 2012 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.560108 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.560108 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:36:p:4765-4775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso Author-X-Name-First: Inmaculada Author-X-Name-Last: Martínez-Zarzoso Title: The log of gravity revisited Abstract: This article evaluates the performance of alternative estimation methods for gravity models with heteroscedasticity and zero trade values. Both problematic issues, recently addressed by Santos Silva and Tenreyro in an influential paper, are re-examined here. We use Monte Carlo simulations to compare the Pseudo Poisson Maximum Likelihood (PPML) estimator recommended by Santos Silva and Tenreyro, a Gamma Pseudo-Maximum-Likelihood (GPML), a Nonlinear Least Squares (NLS) estimator and a Feasible Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) estimator with more traditional techniques. Additionally, estimates of the gravity equation are obtained for three different data sets with the abovementioned methods. The results of the simulation study indicate that, although the PPML estimator is less affected by heteroscedasticity than others are, its performance is similar, in terms of bias and SEs, to the FGLS estimator performance, in particular for small samples. GPML presents however the lowest bias and SEs in the simulations without zero values. The results of the empirical estimations, using three different samples containing real data, indicate that the choice of estimator has to be made for each specific dataset. It is highly recommended to follow a model selection approach using a number of tests to select the more appropriate estimator for any application. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 311-327 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.599786 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.599786 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:3:p:311-327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alexis Direr Author-X-Name-First: Alexis Author-X-Name-Last: Direr Title: Are betting markets efficient? Evidence from European Football Championships Abstract: This article investigates the degree of efficiency of the European Football online betting market by using odds quoted by 12 bookmakers on 21 European championships over 11 years. We show that systematically picking out odds inferior to a threshold delivers a rate of return of 4.45% if best odds are selected across bookmakers and 2.78% if mean odds are used. This amounts to backing overwhelmingly favourites whose probability of winning exceeds 90%. Our results only exploit information contained in odds, are robust to the use of real-time data and different sample periods and hold under risk neutrality and expected utility preferences for realistic degrees of risk aversion. Transaction costs reduce profitability but only for small stake bets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 343-356 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.602010 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.602010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:3:p:343-356 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suyanto Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Suyanto Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Title: Foreign direct investment spillovers and technical efficiency in the Indonesian pharmaceutical sector: firm level evidence Abstract: The spillovers of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on domestic firms’ performances have been highly debated for many years. This article contributes to this debate by analysing spillovers effects on technical efficiency of Indonesian pharmaceutical sector using a unique unbalanced panel of highly disaggregated (at five-digit International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC)) 210 firms over the period 1990–1995 (1001 observations). The Stochastic Production Frontier (SPF) and the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) based on Malmquist Productivity Indices (MPI) have been used to test the spillovers effects of FDI on technical efficiency. The empirical results from the SPF show that foreign firms are more efficient than domestic competitors, and the presence of the former increases the inefficiency of the latter. Similarly the results from the MPI demonstrate that FDI has a negative and significant impact on technical efficiency changes in domestic competitors, but generate positive spillovers to domestic suppliers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 383-395 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.605554 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.605554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:3:p:383-395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christian Grund Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Grund Author-Name: Andreas Schmitt Author-X-Name-First: Andreas Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitt Title: Works councils, wages and job satisfaction Abstract: We investigate the effects of works councils on employees' wages and job satisfaction in general and for subgroups with respect to sex and occupational status. Making use of a German representative sample of employees, we find that employees, who move to a firm with a works council, report increases in job satisfaction, but do not receive particular wage increases. Especially the job satisfaction of female employees is affected by a change in works council status. However, we do not find support for the hypothesis that the introduction of a works council itself increases wages or job satisfaction for the employees staying at the firm. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 299-310 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597735 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597735 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:3:p:299-310 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeroen Klomp Author-X-Name-First: Jeroen Author-X-Name-Last: Klomp Author-Name: Jakob De Haan Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: De Haan Title: Do political budget cycles really exist? Abstract: Most recent cross-country studies on election-motivated fiscal policy assume that the data can be pooled. As various tests suggest that our data for some 70 democratic countries for the period 1970–2007 cannot be pooled, we use the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) estimator to test whether Political Budget Cycles (PBCs) exist in our sample. We find that fiscal policy is only affected by upcoming elections in the short run. Our results suggest that the occurrence of a PBC is conditional on the level of development and democracy, government transparency, the country's political system, its membership of a monetary union and its degree of political polarization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 329-341 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.599787 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.599787 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:3:p:329-341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph M. Santos Author-X-Name-First: Joseph M. Author-X-Name-Last: Santos Title: Trading grain now and then: the relative performance of early grain-futures markets Abstract: Popular hostilities toward futures trading in the United States date to the nineteenth century, when many Americans perceived then-nascent grain exchanges as little more than gaming parlours that existed to serve the illegitimate aspirations of gamblers–a depiction that, if anything, compromises the legitimacy of modern futures exchanges. Yet, agricultural historians have largely praised the performance of these early markets, which they contend were shaped by commercial interests who sought successfully to mitigate price risk. In any case, our understanding of how early futures markets performed is fragmented, and so such claims remain largely unsubstantiated in a quantifiable sense. Even so, futures-price data are available for the late-nineteenth century, thanks to the Chicago Board of Trade (CBT), which pioneered grain-futures trading in the 1860s. In this article, I test and compare the performance of wheat, corn, and oats futures prices on the CBT from 1880 to 1890 and from 1997 to 2007. My results indicate that grain-futures markets in both periods are efficient in the long run. Short-run performance is mixed, and inefficiency is more evident in the nineteenth century. On balance, my results support the notion that early grain-futures exchanges benefited commercial interests and the grain trade more generally. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 287-298 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597732 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597732 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:3:p:287-298 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peter H. van der Meer Author-X-Name-First: Peter H. Author-X-Name-Last: van der Meer Author-Name: Rudi Wielers Author-X-Name-First: Rudi Author-X-Name-Last: Wielers Title: What makes workers happy? Abstract: This article answers the question what makes workers happy? It does so by combining insights from micro-economics, sociology and psychology. Basis is the standard utility function of a worker that includes income and hours of work and is elaborated with job characteristics. In this way it is possible to answer whether part-time workers are happier than full-time workers. The utility function is estimated on basis of the European Social Survey 2004 which contains all necessary information. The results show that workers optimize income and hours of work as predicted by micro-economics, but also that part-time workers are happier than full-time workers. Challenging work with a high level of autonomy makes the workers happy, work pressure makes workers unhappy. Higher educated workers are unhappier than lower educated workers, we find a negative effect of education, but this is compensated by the type of jobs these higher educated hold. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 357-368 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.602011 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.602011 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:3:p:357-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Travis Ng Author-X-Name-First: Travis Author-X-Name-Last: Ng Author-Name: Terence Tai-Leung Chong Author-X-Name-First: Terence Tai-Leung Author-X-Name-Last: Chong Author-Name: Man-Tat Siu Author-X-Name-First: Man-Tat Author-X-Name-Last: Siu Author-Name: Benjamin Everard Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Everard Title: What determines the price of a racing horse? Abstract: This article uses the data of 10 auctions from the two largest Australian auction houses to study how a racing horse is priced. We ask whether bloodline is indeed a determining factor. We find that the track record of its parents and siblings are important factors in determining the price of a yearling. Moreover, more mature horses and those purchased by foreign buyers are generally more expensive. We also show that racing horses sold in the flagship auctions are associated with a significant premium. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 369-382 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.605553 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.605553 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:3:p:369-382 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daehwan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Daehwan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jung Inn Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jung Inn Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Taeyoon Sung Author-X-Name-First: Taeyoon Author-X-Name-Last: Sung Title: Stock market liberalization and price response: gradualism versus cold turkey Abstract: We present a simple analytical framework that illustrates the impact of two types of market liberalization on stock prices: cold turkey versus gradual liberalization. Using this theoretical framework, we show that gradual stock market liberalization can have a negative impact on stock prices when such gradual liberalization increases uncertainty about future stock prices. We examine the liberalization experience of the Korean stock market, and find that our analysis could be relevant in that case. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 273-285 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.597731 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.597731 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:3:p:273-285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan Erik Askildsen Author-X-Name-First: Jan Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Askildsen Author-Name: Tor Helge Holmås Author-X-Name-First: Tor Helge Author-X-Name-Last: Holmås Title: Wages and work conditions as determinants for physicians' work decisions Abstract: It is not uncommon that publicly employed physicians also have income from work outside the hospital, sometimes termed moonlighting. There is little empirical evidence of such activity. In this article, we investigate which factors that may influence physicians' choice of work between the public hospital sector and elsewhere. An exceptionally high wage increase in 1996 for one group of hospital physicians (physician assistants) serves as a natural experiment, and we analyse whether wages in general and this reform in particular have affected physicians' external earnings. For physician assistants we find that higher wages at public hospitals affect negatively both the decisions to earn income externally, and level of income once active. For chief physicians, on the other hand, there was no such response to the wage increase. Several hospital specific factors representing job specific work characteristics also matter for physicians' decisions to earn income externally. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 397-406 Issue: 3 Volume: 45 Year: 2013 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.605756 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2011.605756 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:45:y:2013:i:3:p:397-406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yize Xie Author-X-Name-First: Yize Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Junyi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Junyi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Zhusong Yang Author-X-Name-First: Zhusong Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Globalization, state capacity and the third wave of democratization: an empirical study Abstract: Instead of looking at the relationship between globalization and democratization from a social and institutional perspective, this article focuses on the moderating role of state capacities, which are divided into two sub-categories: state coercive capacity and state administrative capacity. Using panel data from 129 countries for 1974–2018, we arrive at two conclusions. First, globalization is positively correlated with democratization, but this relationship weakens with stronger state administrative capacity. Second, while state coercive capacity has an inverse relationship with democratization, state administrative capacity is positively associated with democratization, and this positive effect wanes with greater degrees of globalization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3377-3390 Issue: 29 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1878094 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1878094 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:29:p:3377-3390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyungsub Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kyungsub Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Byoung Ki Seo Author-X-Name-First: Byoung Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Seo Title: Analytic formula for option margin with liquidity costs under dynamic delta hedging Abstract: This study derives the expected liquidity cost when performing the delta hedging process of a European option. This cost is represented by an integration formula that includes European option prices and a certain function depending on the delta process. We first define a unit liquidity cost and then show that the liquidity cost is a multiplication of the unit liquidity cost, stock price, supply curve parameter, and the square of the number of options. Using this formula, the expected liquidity cost before hedging can be calculated much faster than when using a Monte Carlo simulation. Numerically computed distributions of liquidity costs in special cases are also provided. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3391-3407 Issue: 29 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1881430 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1881430 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:29:p:3391-3407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Isaac Koomson Author-X-Name-First: Isaac Author-X-Name-Last: Koomson Author-Name: Renato Andrin Villano Author-X-Name-First: Renato Andrin Author-X-Name-Last: Villano Author-Name: David Hadley Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Hadley Title: Accelerating the impact of financial literacy training programmes on household consumption by empowering women Abstract: This study examines the impact of a joint financial literacy and women’s empowerment training programme on household consumption as a welfare indicator. Using data collected from a randomized controlled trial implemented in Ghana, we tested for baseline balance and applied ordinary least squares to estimate endline impact. Our findings revealed that the impact of financial literacy on household consumption is influenced by the design and delivery of the programme. A weaker impact is achieved when financial literacy training is offered alone. The ensuing stronger short-term impact of financial literacy training on household consumption is achieved through the inclusion of a women’s empowerment module. The joint delivery of the programme significantly improved household consumption for female-beneficiary and younger households. We advocate the inclusion of women’s empowerment training in financial literacy training programmes to accelerate its impact on household welfare through increased household consumption Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3359-3376 Issue: 29 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1878093 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1878093 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:29:p:3359-3376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Rosenbaum Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Rosenbaum Title: Pregnancy or motherhood cost? A comparison of the child penalty for adopting and biological parents Abstract: This study investigates whether the high labour market costs of having children for women can be explained by the associated biological costs. Estimating the significance of biological factors requires separating the effects of having a child from the effects of giving birth to a child. This separation is estimated by comparing child penalties between biological and adopting families. Adopting mothers neither go through pregnancy nor nursing, thus lessening the burden of the sex-specific costs of having children. I apply an event study by following parents over 16 years and find large and significant child penalties for all mothers although the penalties are slightly smaller for adopting mothers than those for biological mothers. Neither adopting nor biological fathers experience any child penalties. The results suggest that child penalties have some biological components, but the burden is on women regardless of whether they carry the biological costs related to pregnancy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3408-3422 Issue: 29 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1881431 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1881431 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:29:p:3408-3422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong Xu Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Xin Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Xiaoxiao Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoxiao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Ling Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Title: Financial Structure and Capital Allocation Efficiency: An Empirical Analysis of China from 2005–2018 Abstract: In this study, we explore the relationship between financial structure and the efficiency of capital allocation to determine a scientific and effective approach to transform and upgrade China’s financial sector. Using China’s provincial data from 2005 to 2018, we detected the threshold effect of financial structure on capital allocation efficiency. We found that financial structure, when using its three agency indicators (credit scale, insurance scale, and stock market size) as threshold variables, and capital allocation efficiency show an inverted ‘U’ relationship. Moreover, the relationship between financial efficiency, insurance scale, and capital allocation efficiency changes from negative to positive, and the relationship between foreign trade scale and capital allocation efficiency shows a significant negative correlation. This research improves the understanding of the relationship between China’s financial structure and the efficiency of capital allocation. Our results show that by optimizing the financial structure through expanding the stock market and the scale of bank credit and appropriately expanding the scale of insurance, more loanable funds will flow into the production sector, and providing certain guarantees can greatly promote improved capital allocation efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3347-3358 Issue: 29 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1877256 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1877256 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:29:p:3347-3358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan Song Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Noncognitive skills and gender gap in test scores Abstract: This article studies gender gap patterns in language and math during primary school periods in China, and investigates candidate theories to explain the observed patterns. Using an administrative test dataset, we find that girls on average outperform boys in language and have advantage in math in primary school. The gaps for language in all quantiles widen consistently over time. Female’s advantages in math in most quantiles, except the lowest, shrink over time. Using a survey on students in primary schools, we find that noncognitive skills can effectively reduce the gender gap in both Chinese and math. This effect is most pronounced for students in the bottom quantile group. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3423-3437 Issue: 29 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1883189 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1883189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:29:p:3423-3437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eun Kang Author-X-Name-First: Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Ryumi Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ryumi Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Product market competition, reputation, and dividend policy Abstract: This paper examines the effect of product market competition on the dividend policy of firms. Previous studies report different relationships between product market competition and dividend payout policies. This paper aims to clarify the relationship between product market competition and dividend payout policies by dividing dividend-paying firms into two groups, high dividend firms and low dividend firms, based on the level of dividends. We hypothesize that when the product market is more competitive, high dividend firms pay more dividends, but low dividend firms pay less dividends. According to our test using all firms listed on the NYSE, AMEX, and NASDAQ stock exchanges from the CRSP, the results support our hypothesis. This paper also emphasizes the importance of the dividend reputation in the analysis of dividend-related matters. Firms with dividend reputation pay higher dividends than firms with no reputation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3334-3346 Issue: 29 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1877255 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1877255 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:29:p:3334-3346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chengyuan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chengyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Qiong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qiong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shanshan Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Shanshan Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Liang Wan Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Author-Name: Jun Li Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jia’Ning Zang Author-X-Name-First: Jia’Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Zang Title: Peer effects of bank loan portfolio on systemic insolvency risk: evidence from China Abstract: By empirically analysing the panel data of Chinese commercial banks, we find that regional city commercial banks significantly mimic their peers in multiple lending parts of loan portfolio, while large nationwide commercial banks behave oppositely to their peers. In addition, by using a Euclidean distance way to measure bank interconnectedness, we reveal that the overlap of loan portfolios between banks is significantly correlated to the similarity of insolvency risk between them. It implies that peer effects of bank loan portfolio are likely to be sources of systemic insolvency risk in the bank system. These results help deepen the understanding of peer effects of bank activities, and provide insights into the correlation between peer effects and systemic risk in banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3457-3473 Issue: 30 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1883527 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1883527 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:30:p:3457-3473 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jing Li Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Sarina Sangal Author-X-Name-First: Sarina Author-X-Name-Last: Sangal Author-Name: Ling Shao Author-X-Name-First: Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Shao Title: Assessing economic impact of sovereignty transfer over Hong Kong: a synthetic control approach Abstract: This article compares the trajectory of Hong Kong’s purchasing power parity–adjusted GDP per capita before and after the 1997 handover with the trajectory of a weighted combination of similar economies, using weights determined endogenously by data. The synthetic Hong Kong is constructed to provide the counterfactual of what would have happened to Hong Kong economy in the absence of transfer of sovereignty. We find that Hong Kong economy is negatively affected, and the gap between actual and synthetic Hong Kong from 1997 to 2001 on average is 7% of the 1996 level if Japan receives the greatest weight. The average negative effect becomes 9% if Singapore receives the greatest weight. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3499-3514 Issue: 30 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1883529 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1883529 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:30:p:3499-3514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrian R. Fleissig Author-X-Name-First: Adrian R. Author-X-Name-Last: Fleissig Title: Estimating elasticities of substitution for sin goods Abstract: Own-price and cross-price elasticities of substitution are estimated for the six ‘sin’ goods of spirits, beer, wine, casino gambling and lotteries using aggregate U.S. quarterly national data. The own-price and cross-price elasticities of substitution are not constrained to be constant over the sample and are estimated using the Fourier flexible form. There is evidence of much variation in substitution over the sample, including during the recessions. All ‘sin’ goods, except lotteries, have inelastic demands. Beer and tobacco have the most inelastic demands which are consistent with the evidence that beer is the most popular type of spirit while tobacco products are often considered addictive commodities. The three types of alcohol of spirits, beer, and wine are Morishima cross-price substitutes. Casino gambling and lotteries are Morishima cross-price substitutes having an elastic response to price changes in casino gambling but have and inelastic response for price changes of lotteries. Estimates show that the remaining ‘sin’ goods are complements in use. Policy makers must consider how a tax on a ‘sin’ good will impact demand for the good partially based on its own-price elasticity of demand as well as the cross-price elasticity of substitution or complementarity relationships with other ‘sin’ goods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3549-3561 Issue: 30 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1883539 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1883539 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:30:p:3549-3561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jianlei Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jianlei Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Chunpeng Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chunpeng Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Does economic policy uncertainty impact the mean–variance relation? Evidence from China Abstract: This study shows the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the mean–variance relation. Using the news-based EPU index of China, we discover the significant effect of EPU on the mean–variance relation of the Chinese stock market. Besides, our empirical findings reveal that the influence of EPU on the market’s mean–variance relation is time-varying. During the low-EPU periods, the stock market’s excess return is positively related to conditional variance; during the high-EPU periods, the stock market’s excess return is negatively related to conditional variance. Furthermore, our results are robust across different conditional variance models as well as controlling for Fama–French three factors of the Chinese stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3438-3456 Issue: 30 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1883526 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1883526 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:30:p:3438-3456 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imtithal A. Althumairi Author-X-Name-First: Imtithal A. Author-X-Name-Last: Althumairi Title: Constructing a social accounting matrix for Saudi Arabia: sources and methods Abstract: Even though Saudi Arabia is the largest country in the Middle East, and despite the magnitude of its economy, there have been no attempts to build a social accounting matrix (SAM) for Saudi Arabia based on the country’s real, official data. Thus, this study documents the construction procedures of the 2017 SAM for Saudi Arabia using high-quality official statistics. The procedures can be divided into two main steps. First, a highly aggregated macro-SAM is constructed. Second, the macro-SAM is disaggregated into a micro-SAM with the macro-SAM entries serving as control totals for sub-matrices of the micro-SAM. The results exhibit consistency and balance, which comprises a decent level of disaggregation for sectors via 54 accounts that are relevant for policy evaluation: 18 production activities, 18 commodities accounts, 4 factors of production, 10 institutions, and 4 other accounts. The resulting SAM is useful because it provides a consistent framework for socio-economic accounting of the Saudi economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3474-3498 Issue: 30 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1883528 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1883528 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:30:p:3474-3498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shi Li Author-X-Name-First: Shi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Long Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Long Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Hao Shen Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Foreign direct investment and institutional environment: the impact of bilateral investment treaties Abstract: Institutional factors are a critical driving force for the rapid growth of outward foreign direct investment (FDI) in developing countries. This article attempts to explain how developing countries can take advantage of bilateral investment treaties (BITs) to reduce investment uncertainties caused by informal institutional distance and help domestic companies invest abroad. The results confirm that the cultural difference between China and a host country is negatively associated with the likelihood of FDI entry into the host country. BITs function as a substitute for the host country’s institutional environment by reducing investment uncertainties caused by cultural distance. Moreover, state-owned enterprises are less responsive to BITs in host countries than private enterprises, suggesting that private firms rely more on BITs to reduce their investment risks abroad. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3535-3548 Issue: 30 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1883535 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1883535 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:30:p:3535-3548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Meenagh Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Meenagh Author-Name: Patrick Minford Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Minford Title: A structural model of coronavirus behaviour for testing on data behaviour Abstract: We fit the logistic function, the reduced form of epidemic behaviour, to the data for deaths from Covid-19, for a wide variety of countries, with a view to estimating a causal model of the Covid virus’ progression. We then set up a structural model of the Covid virus behaviour based on evolutionary biology and social household behaviour; we estimated and tested this by indirect inference, matching its simulated logistic behaviour to that found in the data. In our model, the virus’ progression depends on the interaction of strategies by household agents, the government and the virus itself as programmed by evolution. Within these interactions, it turns out that there is substitution between government topdown direction (such as lockdown) and social reaction to available information on the virus’ behaviour. We also looked at the experience of second waves, where we found that countries successfully limited second waves when they had had longer first waves and followed policies of localized reaction in the second. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3515-3534 Issue: 30 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1883531 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1883531 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:30:p:3515-3534 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elyas Elyasiani Author-X-Name-First: Elyas Author-X-Name-Last: Elyasiani Author-Name: Luca Gambarelli Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Gambarelli Author-Name: Silvia Muzzioli Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Muzzioli Title: The skewness index: uncovering the relationship with volatility and market returns Abstract: The SKEW index of the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), launched in February 2011, measures the tail risk not fully captured by the VIX index. In this paper we introduce, for the first time, a skewness index for the Italian stock market (ITSKEW) and investigate the pairwise and trilateral relations of this index with volatility and market returns. The results are compared with those of the US market. Data for the period 3 January 2011 to 29 December 2017 are used and three main results are found. First, in both the US and the Italian markets, the skewness index acts as a measure of market greed, as opposed to market fear, in the sense that it captures investor excitement to a larger extent than investor fear. Second, increases in the skewness index are related to returns with high significance in the Granger causality test, while the reverse is not the case. Last, volatility and skewness may give conflicting signals. When skewness and volatility indices move in the same direction, investors should rely on volatility because it has a stronger influence on market returns. The implications for investors and policy-makers are outlined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3619-3635 Issue: 31 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1884837 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1884837 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:31:p:3619-3635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mara-José Gutiérrez Author-X-Name-First: Mara-José Author-X-Name-Last: Gutiérrez Author-Name: Belén Inguanzo Author-X-Name-First: Belén Author-X-Name-Last: Inguanzo Author-Name: Susan Orbe Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Orbe Title: Distributional impact of COVID-19: regional inequalities in cases and deaths in Spain during the first wave Abstract: Spain is being hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic. During the first wave, from mid-March to early June 2020, the disease caused nearly 30,000 deaths in a population of 47 million. This article quantifies the unevenness in the distribution of epidemiological variables across the Spanish territory. The study is relevant because Spain is divided into regions that hold devolved authority for providing health care services to their citizens. Using inequality metrics, the study shows: i) By mid-April inequality in the epidemiological variables reached a stationary value that changed little with the incorporation of new cases and deaths. At the end of the outbreak, cumulative cases and deaths were fairly unevenly distributed across Spanish provinces; ii) Inequality shows a monotonic downward trend throughout the outbreak showing a decrease from the onset to the end ranging from 22% to 49% in cases and between 17% and 42% in deaths; iii) Over 90% of the inequality observed can be attributed to differences between regions, while less than 10% is due to the differences across provinces within regions. Awareness of the existence and nature of the inequality observed in the epidemiological variables is needed to develop successful policies to improve health services in Spain. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3636-3657 Issue: 31 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1884838 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1884838 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:31:p:3636-3657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jan C. van Ours Author-X-Name-First: Jan C. Author-X-Name-Last: van Ours Title: What a drag it is getting old? Mental health and loneliness beyond age 50 Abstract: This paper studies mental health and loneliness in the Netherlands for individuals beyond age 50. The analysis is based on panel data over the period 2008 to 2018 and focuses on the effects of life events and ageing. It appears that mental health gets worse and loneliness increases if individuals lose their partner (through divorce or death) or become unemployed. On average, the mental health of males and high educated females improves at retirement. With respect to ageing, the main conclusions are that mental health improves while loneliness goes down at least up to the high 70s. From the perspective of mental health and loneliness, it does not seem to be a drag getting old. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3563-3576 Issue: 31 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1883540 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1883540 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:31:p:3563-3576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Arnar Buason Author-X-Name-First: Arnar Author-X-Name-Last: Buason Author-Name: Dadi Kristofersson Author-X-Name-First: Dadi Author-X-Name-Last: Kristofersson Author-Name: Kyrre Rickertsen Author-X-Name-First: Kyrre Author-X-Name-Last: Rickertsen Title: Habits in frequency of purchase models: the case of fish in France Abstract: The quantity purchased in a period is the result of two decisions: the frequency of purchase and the average purchase on each occasion. We introduce habit formation into demand systems modelling each of these decisions. An econometric model is estimated by Bayesian methods. The data generating processes of the frequency and quantity decisions are assumed to follow, respectively, a multivariate Poisson log-normal distribution and a multivariate gamma log-normal distribution. We estimate the systems using French scanner data for purchases of fish. The results suggest that habits in purchase frequencies are important, while habits in average purchased quantities are less important. Furthermore, we find that price changes are important for explaining average quantities purchased but have only minor effects on purchase frequencies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3577-3589 Issue: 31 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1883541 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1883541 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:31:p:3577-3589 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kangyin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Kangyin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Xiucheng Dong Author-X-Name-First: Xiucheng Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Qingzhe Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Qingzhe Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Jun Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Valuing the greenhouse effect of political risks: the global case Abstract: To empirically verify whether political risks affect global carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, this study investigates the effect of political risks on countries’ CO2 emissions by employing a panel dataset of 66 countries over the period 2003–2018. Furthermore, this study also separately tests three major effects (i.e., scale effect, technique effect, and structure effect) of political risks on countries’ CO2 emissions. Considering regional heterogeneity, this study conducts an asymmetric analysis of the impact of political risks on CO2 emissions. The results show that the total effect of political risks on CO2 emissions is negative for the global panel. Although political risks increase countries’ CO2 emissions by promoting secondary industry (structure effect) for the global panel, the scale and technique effects of political risks can alleviate the greenhouse effect. Furthermore, the impacts of the influencing factors on countries’ CO2 emissions are significantly heterogeneous and asymmetric across different quantiles. Based on the above findings, this study provides several targeted policy suggestions for mitigating countries’ CO2 emissions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3604-3618 Issue: 31 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1883543 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1883543 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:31:p:3604-3618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Umar Farooq Author-X-Name-First: Umar Author-X-Name-Last: Farooq Author-Name: Adeel Nasir Author-X-Name-First: Adeel Author-X-Name-Last: Nasir Author-Name: Bilal Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Bilal Author-Name: Muhammad Umer Quddoos Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Umer Author-X-Name-Last: Quddoos Title: The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on abnormal returns of insurance firms: a cross-country evidence Abstract: This research investigates the abnormal returns of 958 insurance companies from Australia, Canada, Germany, USA, UK, Brazil, India, and Indonesia under the COVID-19 scenario. This study deploys the event study methodology to analyse the effects of COVID-19 on stock returns both in the short and long terms. Results reveal that, overall, COVID-19 negatively affected the stock returns, particularly in the case of insurance firms operating in developing countries. This research also explores firm-specific determinants distinguishing the most affected insurance firms. It is found that firm size, systematic risk, price-earnings ratio, profitability, and dividend yield affect the intensity of abnormal returns in response to COVID-19 but in different event windows. The investors and policymakers should consider these factors in connection with the risk mitigating strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3658-3678 Issue: 31 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1884839 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1884839 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:31:p:3658-3678 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoyong Dai Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Zhiqi Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Zhiqi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Behavioural additionality of China’s business-tax-to-VAT reform on firms’ internal and external R&D investment Abstract: This paper investigates the unintended effect of the business-tax-to-VAT (B2V) reform in China on manufacturing firms’ internal and external R&D behaviour. The B2V reform was implemented in the service sectors to replace business tax with value-added tax. It creates tax incentives for downstream manufacturing firms to increase external R&D outsourcing, as purchasing R&D and technology services becomes tax-deductible after the reform. Using a large administrative firm-level dataset, we found that downstream manufacturing firms that were previously more closely linked to upstream R&D and technology services are more affected by the B2V reform, and tend to increase external R&D outsourcing and reduce internal R&D expenditures. The unintended behavioural additionality is mainly driven by small and medium-sized firms and firms with low R&D capabilities which usually bear high costs of conducting internal R&D and rely more on external R&D services. Our study implies the possibility of leveraging tax incentive measures to encourage firms to seek external knowledge and technologies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3590-3603 Issue: 31 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1883542 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1883542 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:31:p:3590-3603 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oveis Madadian Author-X-Name-First: Oveis Author-X-Name-Last: Madadian Author-Name: Walter Aerts Author-X-Name-First: Walter Author-X-Name-Last: Aerts Author-Name: Tom Van Caneghem Author-X-Name-First: Tom Author-X-Name-Last: Van Caneghem Title: Value relevance of peer-based benchmarking of discretionary expenses and business strategy Abstract: Research on value relevance of reported selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) generally employs historical SG&A as reference point for assessment. This practice tends to ignore the interpretational ambiguity that surrounds the economics of SG&A expenditure and what it means for future profitability and firm value. Organizational theories stress the importance of peer-based benchmarking as an aid for assessment, especially when assessment uncertainty is high, and argue that similarity to peers holds information by lending sensibility, appropriateness and technical value to observed behaviour, thereby reducing assessment uncertainty. Using a sample of listed US firms, we investigate whether SG&A similarity to an industry-specific peer-based benchmark conveys value-relevant information, reducing information asymmetry between firms and investors. We find that only for firms with SG&A exceeding the peer-based benchmark in the previous period, SG&A similarity is associated with higher future financial performance and reduces information asymmetry between firms and investors. We also find that both contemporaneous stock returns and future firm value impound this uncertainty-reducing information conveyed by SG&A similarity. Results further show that the value-relevance of SG&A similarity mainly holds for firms with a Defender-type business strategy and firms from peer groups where business strategies are more similar. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3694-3714 Issue: 32 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1885610 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1885610 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:32:p:3694-3714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rui Xie Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Meng Niu Author-X-Name-First: Meng Author-X-Name-Last: Niu Author-Name: Bin Su Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Jiali Ge Author-X-Name-First: Jiali Author-X-Name-Last: Ge Title: Are global value chains merely global? The case of Chinese Provinces in global value chains Abstract: We extend the measure of the global value chain (GVC) decomposition framework to the sub-national regional level based on a new Trans-national Inter-regional Input-Output (TIIO) table , which covers 30 Chinese provinces for 2007 and 2012. We answer the question whether fragmentation of GVCs is mainly national, regional or merely global by deriving the geographical distribution by province and the trends related to the production chain of a particular final good. Depending on whether the intermediate inputs cross borders for production or not, we further divide these production activities into GVC or non-GVC activities and identify the changing mechanism from the perspective of simple and complex GVC activities. We find that coastal provinces show a higher decline in nationalization compared to inland provinces. The degree of regionalization weakening of each province is generally the same, which is more evident in coastal provinces. Additionally, coastal provinces show a more significant decline of globalization compared to inland provinces. Regarding border crossing production-sharing activities, complex GVC embeddedness is the main mode of Chinese provinces. They, however, show signs of gradual weakening over time. This is more pronounced in the dynamic evolution of regionalization and globalization in coastal provinces. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3778-3794 Issue: 32 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1886236 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1886236 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:32:p:3778-3794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liangyong Wan Author-X-Name-First: Liangyong Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Author-Name: Jianyou Ou Author-X-Name-First: Jianyou Author-X-Name-Last: Ou Author-Name: Bingxuan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Bingxuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Does religion affect cost stickiness? Evidence from China Abstract: Using Chinese A-share listed industrial firms between 2009 and 2016, we find that greater religious influence is negatively associated with firm cost stickiness. This negative association is more significant for firms displaying higher agency costs, lower risk aversion, and a higher probability of corruption. Our findings highlight the importance of informal institutions such as religion on corporate behaviours such as cost stickiness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3730-3743 Issue: 32 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1885612 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1885612 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:32:p:3730-3743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Title: Forecasts of growth in US residential investment: accuracy gains from consumer home-buying attitudes and expectations Abstract: This study focuses on the Federal Reserve and private forecasts of growth in real residential investment. The aim is to improve predictive accuracy by first evaluating these forecasts. The results for 1984–2015 reveal that the Federal Reserve and private forecasts are generally free of systematic bias, superior to the naïve benchmark, and predict directional change with high accuracy rates. However, these forecasts do not contain detailed information in consumer home-buying attitudes and expectations. Using a subset of such information and real-time data on residential investment, a knowledge model (KM) is constructed to produce comparable forecasts. The test results indicate that the KM forecasts of growth in residential investment contain distinct and useful predictive information, and the combined Federal Reserve, private, and KM forecasts show reductions in forecast errors that are more significant at longer horizons. As such, we conclude that consumer survey responses help improve forecast accuracy. Given that accurate forecasts contribute to the success of policy, more transparency in Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions is encouraged. With more transparency and clear communication, consumers are able to provide more informative responses, which can then be employed to produce more accurate forecasts of growth in residential investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3744-3758 Issue: 32 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1885613 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1885613 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:32:p:3744-3758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carla Ferreira Author-X-Name-First: Carla Author-X-Name-Last: Ferreira Author-Name: Lígia M. Costa Pinto Author-X-Name-First: Lígia M. Author-X-Name-Last: Costa Pinto Author-Name: Lina Lourenço-Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Lina Author-X-Name-Last: Lourenço-Gomes Title: Effect of region of origin on willingness to pay for wine: an experimental auction Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of the region of origin on wine consumers’ preferences and willingness to pay for wine together with other determinants, using an incentive compatible tool. Data were collected through an experimental auction mechanism in different Portuguese wine regions. Consumers’ willingness to pay for wines from three regions of origin was elicited under two information scenarios: i) blind tasting followed by extrinsic information regarding the region of origin and ii) full information provided at once. Wine consumers characteristics were also collected from a sample of 168 wine consumers. Results reveal that, the region of origin influences the hedonic evaluation of consumers.Consumers are willing to pay higher prices in full information condition, on average. Purchase frequency and less self-reported wine knowledge have a negative effect on the willingness to pay, while taste has a positive effect. Controlling for organoleptic attributes, and the importance of extrinsic cues, the region of origin has a significant influence on willingness to pay, as well as on the hedonic rating, and purchase frequency. This study offers important insights for policy makers regarding the existence of significant preference heterogeneity and the role of the region of origin. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3715-3729 Issue: 32 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1885611 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1885611 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:32:p:3715-3729 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dimitrios Kourouklis Author-X-Name-First: Dimitrios Author-X-Name-Last: Kourouklis Title: Public subsidies for R&D and public sector pharmaceutical innovation Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between public subsidies for research and development (R&D) and public sector drug development. For the analyses, a novel dataset based on the European clinical trial registry was created, and panel data between 2007 and 2015 originating from twenty-four countries in the European Union were incorporated. For the econometric analysis, I exploit an exogenous shock coming from the Lisbon strategy on innovation policy in Europe to deal with potential endogeneity issues. Two-stage least squares (2SLS) estimates suggest that an increase in public subsidies causes an increase in Phase I clinical trials for non-orphan drugs and also stimulates basic research and Phases I and II of orphan medicinal product clinical trials. These effects are robust, when different time lags and measures of innovation apply, and they are also robust to heteroscedasticity-based instrument estimations. Overall, the results imply that government funding is an important determinant of the pharmaceutical innovation process across different stages and products. Moreover, foreign sources of government funding have a negative impact on the European clinical trials across the examined phases and innovations, while at the same time, the importance of the potential market-size is low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3759-3777 Issue: 32 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1885614 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1885614 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:32:p:3759-3777 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Shi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Fu-Wei Huang Author-X-Name-First: Fu-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Insurer acquisition in a narrow-synergy structure and policyholder protection under capital regulation Abstract: The article examines the effect of capital regulation on life insurance policyholder protection. The acquisition consists of a standard-call narrow insurance proposal for the acquirer and a barrier-cap synergy insurance proposal for the acquiree. Developing a contingent claim model integrating these features, we conclude that the acquisition creates value for consolidation. We show that the policyholder protection is enhanced under a stringent capital regulation when the consolidated insurer’s leverage is high. The favourable regulatory effect is significant when the premature default risk of the acquiree is high. Our results also suggest that a stringent capital regulation by decreasing the acquirer’s leverage decreases the acquisition incentive while decreasing the acquiree’s leverage increases the motivation. This article discusses the capital regulation effect on insurer acquisition strategies, which depends on both the acquirer’s and acquiree’s management structures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3679-3693 Issue: 32 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1885609 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1885609 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:32:p:3679-3693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Neugart Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Neugart Title: The legacy effect of socialism on risky savings Abstract: The riskiness of individuals’ saving behaviour affects their old-age wealth and has wider-ranging implications for macroeconomic development and stability. To which extent individuals take financial risks depends on their preferences, which may be moulded by the economic system they live in. I analyse households’ financial risk taking after the collapse of the German Democratic Republic. Conditional on their income and financial wealth positions, East German households were more prone to financial risk taking than West German households after reunification. The differences in risk taking were quantitatively relevant shortly after reunification and gradually vanished until 2008. Risk taking of households who were exposed to the socialist system longer was higher. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3810-3831 Issue: 33 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1887448 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1887448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:33:p:3810-3831 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wasseem Mina Author-X-Name-First: Wasseem Author-X-Name-Last: Mina Title: Do Labor Market Flexibility and Efficiency Increase Government Social Protection Expenditures? Abstract: This article examines the relationship between labour market flexibility and efficiency and social protection expenditures. Building on the theories of government expenditures and the empirical literature on the determinants of social protection, the article examines empirically the relationship between flexible labour market and social protection expenditures. The empirical model explains social protection mainly in terms of the demand and supply of social protection, modernization theory and political institutions, namely democracy. Labour market flexibility and efficiency indicators include hiring and firing policies, labour-employer cooperation, wage determination flexibility, redundancy costs, linking pay to productivity, reliance on professional management, and the ratio of women in the labour force. We use a sample of 44 developed and emerging economies for the period 2007–2014 and adopt instrumental variables and two-step generalized method of moments estimation methodologies to account for endogeneity. Estimates show that linking pay to productivity, wage flexibility, and redundancy costs reduce social protection expenditures, while the ease of hiring and firing increases them. The article draws attention to the positive impact that flexible and efficient labour markets and organization-level human-resource policies have on reducing social protection expenditures and increasing fiscal space. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3871-3887 Issue: 33 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1888861 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1888861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:33:p:3871-3887 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel L Thornton Author-X-Name-First: Daniel L Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: The financial crisis: what caused it and when and why it ended Abstract: The financial crisis was the second worst in U.S. history. There are a variety of explanations for what caused it, but no consensus. Moreover, there is little agreement about when or why it ended. This paper investigates when and why the financial crisis began and when and why it ended. The analysis shows that the financial crisis was caused by a large reduction in mortgage lending standards which was primarily due to Congresses’ mandate to increase homeownership. The paper provides evidence that the financial crisis was abating by January 2009 and ended when the recession ended in June 2009. The paper argues that neither deliberate monetary nor fiscal policy actions ended it. Rather, it was brought to an end by the unprecedented increase in the monetary base caused by the Fed’s lending to banks and other financial institutions immediately following Lehman Bros. bankruptcy announcement on 15 September 2008. The increase was not a deliberate policy action but an unintended consequence of the fact that the Fed was no longer able to sterilize its lending after Lehman’s bankruptcy announcement. The financial crisis ended because the Fed inadvertently followed Walter Bagehot’s recommendation that during a crisis the central bank should lend freely. The Fed followed Bagehot’s advice in spite of Bernanke’s effort to sterilize the Fed’s lending. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3854-3870 Issue: 33 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1887806 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1887806 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:33:p:3854-3870 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ju-Hee Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ju-Hee Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Kyung-Ran Choi Author-X-Name-First: Kyung-Ran Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Seung-Hoon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Seung-Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Evaluating the South Korean public perceptions and acceptance of offshore wind farming: evidence from a choice experiment study Abstract: The South Korean government is attempting to expand the capacity of offshore wind farming (OWF) from 1.2GW in 2017 to 16.5GW in 2030. Accordingly, the environmental impacts of OWF have become a social issue, and the government needs information about the public acceptance of OWF. This paper seeks to evaluate the public acceptance of OWF in South Korea through a choice experiment (CE). The five attributes chosen are the distance from land to the offshore wind farm (Distance), the number of generators in the offshore wind farm (Number), the height of the generators to be seen above sea level (Height), a decrease in marine life (Life), and the location of the offshore wind farm (Location). The price attribute is an increase in yearly household income tax. A mixed logit model is applied to estimating a utility function from the gathered CE data. All the coefficients for the attributes in the utility are estimated with statistical significance. The sign of the coefficient for Distance is positive, but the signs of all other coefficients are negative. The results of estimating the utility function can be useful in evaluating the environmental impacts of an OWF project from a monetary standpoint. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3889-3899 Issue: 33 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1888862 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1888862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:33:p:3889-3899 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qian Li Author-X-Name-First: Qian Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Toshiyuki Fujita Author-X-Name-First: Toshiyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Fujita Title: Transfers in international environmental agreements under heterogeneity Abstract: This paper analytically compares the effectiveness of internal and external transfers in encouraging participants in international environmental agreements (IEAs). We divide countries into two homogeneous groups: developed and developing countries. Further, we assume that strong asymmetries exist in their abatement benefits and costs. Using the non-cooperative game model of coalition formation, our result shows that both types of transfers can enlarge the size of self-enforcing coalitions, and the external transfers are always preferred. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3899-3910 Issue: 33 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1861209 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1861209 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:33:p:3899-3910 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hakan Berument Author-X-Name-First: Hakan Author-X-Name-Last: Berument Author-Name: Richard T. Froyen Author-X-Name-First: Richard T. Author-X-Name-Last: Froyen Title: The Fisher effect on long-term U.K. interest rates in alternative monetary regimes: 1844-2018 Abstract: The Fisher Effect is one of the most widely studied relationships in monetary economics. Previous studies have found little evidence of a Fisher effect in pre-World War I data for the United Kingdom. An explanation for this is the near white noise property of the inflation rate under the Classical Gold Standard. There is more evidence of a Fisher effect in the post-World War II years when the inflation rate showed more persistence. This paper studies the evidence on the Fisher effect over the time period 1844-2018. This period covers several distinct monetary regimes. The monetary regime is an important factor determining the time series behavior of the inflation rate which, in turn, has been shown to be crucial to the strength of the Fisher effect. Distinctive features of the study are the focus on the long-term interest rate and coverage of the current inflation targeting regime in the United Kingdom. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3795-3809 Issue: 33 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1886239 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1886239 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:33:p:3795-3809 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaochen Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaochen Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Jim Huangnan Shen Author-X-Name-First: Jim Huangnan Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Toward an empirical investigation of the long-term debt and financing deficit nexus: evidence from Chinese-listed firms Abstract: As the literature has studied the financing method of Chinese-listed firms for a long time, but with inconclusive indications, this research thus adopts non-financial Chinese-listed firms’ data from 2003 to 2015 to investigate the relationship between long-term debt financing and financing deficit. We pay particular attention to three channels (ownership concentration, market timing, and state ownership) that potentially affect the adoption of long-term debt financing when there is a financing deficit. The empirical analysis documents a positive relationship between financing deficit and changes in the long-term debt ratio in our sampled firms for both static and dynamic panel models. Moreover, among the three channels we show that state ownership has the strongest positive impact on the adoption of long-term debt financing, followed by ownership concentration, while the weakest channel is the market timing’s negative effect. In general, our empirical analysis finds that the important external financing method of long-term debt is most likely to be impacted by the state ownership aspect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3832-3853 Issue: 33 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1887805 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1887805 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:33:p:3832-3853 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chengyun Sun Author-X-Name-First: Chengyun Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Don U.A. Galagedera Author-X-Name-First: Don U.A. Author-X-Name-Last: Galagedera Title: Do superannuation funds manage disbursements and risk efficiently in generating returns? New evidence Abstract: Superannuation funds (SFs) offer pension programmes in Australia. Generally, employers must pay money in to an SF account in the name of their employees and employees have the freedom to select an SF of their choice. In this paper, we determine how efficiently SFs manage disbursements (costs, fees and expenses) and risk in generating returns to investors from 2017 to 2019. We introduce two measures (disbursement utilization and risk utilization) under the data envelopment analysis (DEA) methodological framework to compare disbursements and risk management performance in relation to overall management performance. The average disbursements utilization is 0.26 and risk utilization is 0.94. On average, more than 80% reduction in disbursements is required to gain disbursement efficiency whereas the average risk reduction required to gain risk-efficiency is less than 20%. No individual SF is disbursement efficient in all five sampled years. Generally, SFs manage disbursements poorly compared to risk in return generation. Variation in fees charged by managed funds is an industry-wide concern. Therefore, how funds manage disbursements is an important consideration for investors. The evidence highlights SF managers the need to pay attention to disbursements management in their pursuit of excellence in overall fund management performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3931-3947 Issue: 34 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1888863 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1888863 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:34:p:3931-3947 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean Donovan Rasamoelison Author-X-Name-First: Jean Donovan Author-X-Name-Last: Rasamoelison Author-Name: Susan Averett Author-X-Name-First: Susan Author-X-Name-Last: Averett Author-Name: David Stifel Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Stifel Title: International student-migrant flows and growth in low- and middle-income countries: brain gain or brain drain? Abstract: The number of students flowing from low-income countries to high-income countries has grown over the past several decades but is likely to fall substantially in the coming years due to the coronavirus pandemic. To gauge the potential impact of the coronavirus-induced reduction in the international flow of student migrants, we estimate the pre-pandemic effects of student migration from 122 low- and middle-income countries to French- and English-speaking high-income countries on the economic growth of the sending countries. Using region fixed-effects and instrumental-variables estimators to address the potential endogeneity of student-migrant flows, we find positive and statistically significant effects of student migration on per capita GDP in sending countries. These findings are robust to different time lags, and are increasing over time. Our results indicate that student migrants have a modest but meaningful impact on the short-run economic growth of their home countries. In terms of the mechanisms through which student-migrant flows can affect growth of the home countries, we find evidence of ‘incentive effects’ for students going to English-speaking countries, and evidence of student-migrant flows affecting interest in politics and democratic political systems in the sending countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3913-3930 Issue: 34 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1886237 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1886237 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:34:p:3913-3930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rati Ram Author-X-Name-First: Rati Author-X-Name-Last: Ram Title: International convergence in population happiness: evidence from recent data Abstract: In the immense literature on convergence of income and many other variables, this is the first study to consider cross-country convergence in population happiness from large international samples based on data from World Happiness Report (WHR). Three main points stand out. First, WHR data yield significant evidence that is supportive of unconditional beta-convergence in happiness across countries. Second, the evidence is also consistent with sigma-convergence in terms of coefficient of variation. Third, the implied speed of beta-convergence is close to the ‘iron law’ of about 2% per year. Information from World Database of Happiness, which is for earlier years and covers a shorter period, also indicates sigma-convergence in terms of both standard deviation of logarithms and coefficient of variation. It indicates beta-convergence too, but at a slower pace. These findings seem important and reassuring in the context of the frequent worries about lack of income convergence in broad groups of developed and developing countries and the implied possible increase in inequality across countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3984-3991 Issue: 34 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1891195 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1891195 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:34:p:3984-3991 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julian Inchauspe Author-X-Name-First: Julian Author-X-Name-Last: Inchauspe Title: Fiscal policy dynamics under a consolidation constraint: evidence from a sign-restricted SVAR with orthogonalized business cycle and monetary policy for Australia Abstract: In this study, I employ a SVAR method that filters out the business cycle and monetary policy to produce conservative but realistic estimates of fiscal responses and multipliers for Australia that are unavailable in the literature. The expenditure and tax multipliers reach a maximum of 0.73 and 0.54, respectively, but their comparison alternates depending on the time horizon. Using a linear combination of fiscal shocks, I construct conjectural variations to analyse the data dynamics and inform policymaking on ways of restoring economic activity post-Covid-19. Importantly, it is demonstrated that a policy that simultaneously increases expenditure and taxes can serve as both a fiscal stimulus and a debt reduction instrument in the medium run, with dynamics subject to a transitory reverse overshooting. This finding is particularly relevant for policymakers that are adverse to increasing public debt with discretionary fiscal measures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3992-4016 Issue: 34 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1893894 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1893894 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:34:p:3992-4016 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sy-Hoa Ho Author-X-Name-First: Sy-Hoa Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Jamel Saadaoui Author-X-Name-First: Jamel Author-X-Name-Last: Saadaoui Title: Symmetric and asymmetric effects of exchange rates on money demand: empirical evidence from Vietnam Abstract: This empirical investigation aims at exploring the determinants of money demand in Vietnam by using both linear and nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag models over the period spanning from the third quarter of 2000 to the first quarter of 2018. Our findings can be summarized as follows: firstly, when the shock is symmetric (i.e. a permanent nominal appreciation of 1%), the money demand increases by 3.7% in the long term. Secondly, when the shock is asymmetric, for a permanent nominal appreciation of 1%, we observe an increase of 15.6% in the money demand. Whereas for a permanent nominal depreciation of 1%, we observe a decrease of 7.4% in the money demand. These results are consistent with symmetry tests and lead us to think that asymmetries occur mainly in the short run and are transmitted to the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3948-3961 Issue: 34 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1888864 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1888864 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:34:p:3948-3961 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bianca Biagi Author-X-Name-First: Bianca Author-X-Name-Last: Biagi Author-Name: Steven B. Caudill Author-X-Name-First: Steven B. Author-X-Name-Last: Caudill Author-Name: Laura Ciucci Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Ciucci Author-Name: Claudio Detotto Author-X-Name-First: Claudio Author-X-Name-Last: Detotto Author-Name: Franklin Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Relative bargaining power of residential home traders and real estate investors Abstract: This study uses a bargaining power model to examine the relative bargaining power of those who self-identify as being either residential home traders or investors, both in the Corsican housing market. In doing so, ours is the first study to measure investment advantages (disadvantages) related to property location and size. Results indicate that investors pay, on average, 6.5–10.5% more and sell, on average, for 6.5–10.5% less than those in the market for primary residences. Findings also show a significant and negative demand effect for investors. Investors are shown to gain more bargaining power as the property size increases and the distance from the sea is longer. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3962-3971 Issue: 34 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1890685 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1890685 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:34:p:3962-3971 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabienne Femenia Author-X-Name-First: Fabienne Author-X-Name-Last: Femenia Author-Name: Laure Latruffe Author-X-Name-First: Laure Author-X-Name-Last: Latruffe Author-Name: Jean-Paul Chavas Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Chavas Title: Responsiveness of farm investment to price changes: evidence from the French crop sector Abstract: In this article, we investigate the investment behaviour of French crop farmers between 2002 and 2014, with a focus on their adjustments to investment prices and farm output prices, which became more volatile after 2007. We estimate an econometric model of farm investment accounting for farm heterogeneity and allowing for change in behavioural parameters after 2007. Our results show evidence of a significant behavioural change in large investments over time, related to a change in farmers’ preferences towards risk, which can explain the relative stability of farm investment over the period, despite the strong increase in crop price levels and in crop price volatility after 2007. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3972-3983 Issue: 34 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1890686 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1890686 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:34:p:3972-3983 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adrián Cabrera Author-X-Name-First: Adrián Author-X-Name-Last: Cabrera Author-Name: Carmelo García-Pérez Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo Author-X-Name-Last: García-Pérez Title: Deprivation levels among people living homeless: a comparative study of Spain and France Abstract: This work analyses the deprivation levels of people living homeless in Spain and France before and during the Great Recession. The study uses a multidimensional perspective considering economic, social, and health aspects. To accomplish this, we obtain several indicators using the counting approach methodology and stochastic dominance techniques with statistical inference. Finally, the main factors that influence the probability of being multidimensionally deprived are analysed. The results of the study show that, although health and social dimensions have a particular relevance, indicators related to social assistance and housing instability have a greater influence on their situation. These results are intended to contribute better knowledge of an understudied group and to guide the design of future public policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4118-4133 Issue: 35 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1897074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1897074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:35:p:4118-4133 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge M. Uribe Author-X-Name-First: Jorge M. Author-X-Name-Last: Uribe Author-Name: Helena Chuliá Author-X-Name-First: Helena Author-X-Name-Last: Chuliá Title: Asymmetric volatility spillovers and consumption risk-sharing Abstract: Recent studies show that international financial integration facilitates cross-country consumption risk-sharing. We extend this line of research and demonstrate that breaking financial integration down into good and bad integration is important. We also propose new measures of capital market integration, based on good and bad volatility shocks, as well as country-specific indices of consumption risk-sharing. We document a decoupling of individual consumption growth from global risk-sharing after episodes of bad volatility cross-spillovers, and a recoupling after good spillovers. Our results support current views in the literature that advocate an asymmetric treatment of good and bad volatility shocks, in order to assess the macroeconomic dynamics that follow risk episodes. They also challenge previous views that present capital market integration (without differentiating between good and bad shocks) as a prerequisite for higher international consumption risk-sharing. Overall, our outcomes cast some doubt on the actual scope for consumption risk-sharing across global financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4100-4117 Issue: 35 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1897073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1897073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:35:p:4100-4117 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaokang Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xiaokang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Guanghe Ran Author-X-Name-First: Guanghe Author-X-Name-Last: Ran Author-Name: Bing Shen Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Xiaolong Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Do ETFs Improve the pricing efficiency of the A-share market—examining ETF holdings of individual stocks Abstract: Given the efficiency loss regarding the Chinese capital market, it is necessary to examine ways to improve pricing efficiency. Thus, this study considers A-share market listed companies (2005–2019) and adopts the proxy variable of pricing efficiency from the price adjustment speed to examine the effect of exchange traded funds (ETFs) holding shares on stock pricing efficiency. It also examines the effect of ETFs’ entry and exit regarding the underlying stocks on the stock pricing efficiency relative to traditional mutual funds. Accordingly, the pricing efficiency of ETF-holding stocks is significantly higher than that of stocks not held by ETFs. Pricing efficiency is significantly improved after ETFs enter the underlying stocks. Contrarily, there is a significant decline in pricing efficiency when ETFs exit the underlying stocks. Moreover, whereas ETFs can help improve the pricing efficiency of the Chinese stock market, traditional mutual funds have somewhat harmed market pricing efficiency. Further, mediating effect model tests showed that ETF improves the stock pricing efficiency mainly via a trading rather than a governance channel. Thus, this study provides a new theoretical basis for improving the pricing efficiency of China’s capital market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4134-4147 Issue: 35 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1897075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1897075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:35:p:4134-4147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth W. Clements Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth W. Author-X-Name-Last: Clements Author-Name: Marc Jim M. Mariano Author-X-Name-First: Marc Jim M. Author-X-Name-Last: Mariano Author-Name: George Verikios Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Verikios Title: Foreign-domestic substitution, import penetration and CGE modelling Abstract: Foreign-domestic substitution elasticities (the so-called ‘Armington elasticities’) determine the degree of competitiveness in demand between similar products produced in different countries and are key parameters in a variety of numerical models of international trade. Armington elasticities are part of the explanation of the large increases in market shares of foreign products relative to locally produced ones in Australia, for example. The existing literature provides only limited evidence on these elasticities for Australia with the most disaggregated produced some time ago in 1977 by Alaouze and colleagues.This paper provides up-to-date parametric estimates of Armington elasticities for Australia with a reasonable degree of sectoral disaggregation. We use 22-years of data for 20 types of merchandise commodities, using OLS, panel and restricted-panel approaches. Our estimates range from 0.30 to 2.26, with higher elasticities for Transport and Equipment products and lower ones for Energy and Minerals. We illustrate the use of our elasticities with a trade-policy simulation using a computable generable equilibrium model of the Australian economy. We analyse the sensitivity of the results to the Armington elasticities by also using the previous estimates of Alaouze and colleagues. We find an overestimation of economic effects when using the old Armington values. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4080-4099 Issue: 35 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1897072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1897072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:35:p:4080-4099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simona Ferraro Author-X-Name-First: Simona Author-X-Name-Last: Ferraro Author-Name: Tommaso Agasisti Author-X-Name-First: Tommaso Author-X-Name-Last: Agasisti Author-Name: Francesco Porcelli Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Porcelli Author-Name: Mara Soncin Author-X-Name-First: Mara Author-X-Name-Last: Soncin Title: Local governments’ efficiency and educational results: empirical evidence from Italian primary schools Abstract: In Italy, the provision of educational ancillary services (like meals and school transportation) is in charge of the municipalities. We investigate whether municipalities differ in their efficiency when providing these services and whether such heterogeneity explains some portion of the variability observed in pupils’ test scores. This paper is the first application of a non-parametric order-$${\rm{m}}$$m model and a two-stage multilevel regression model to a unique administrative dataset, made up of the entire population of Italian pupils tested in reading and mathematics at grade 5 (academic years 2012/2013 and 2014/2015). Results demonstrate that local governments have different efficiency levels in providing services to schools. The test scores’ variability among pupils is not explained by different efficiency levels of local government in producing ancillary services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4017-4039 Issue: 35 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1896672 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1896672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:35:p:4017-4039 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael T. French Author-X-Name-First: Michael T. Author-X-Name-Last: French Author-Name: Karoline Mortensen Author-X-Name-First: Karoline Author-X-Name-Last: Mortensen Author-Name: Andrew R. Timming Author-X-Name-First: Andrew R. Author-X-Name-Last: Timming Title: A multivariate analysis of workplace mentoring and socializing in the wake of #MeToo Abstract: This paper examines workplace mentoring and socializing behaviours in the wake of #MeToo and whether these practices might be associated with women’s career trajectories. To address this important and timely topic, we fielded two surveys, one to managers (n = 203) and the other to female employees (n = 1,847), asking several questions about mentoring and male/female work interactions. Descriptive statistics show that 32% of the female employee sample report that their views on male/female work interactions are different today than they were 1–2 years ago. Multivariate analyses of the manager sample indicate that male managers are significantly less likely than female managers to mentor or interact one-on-one with female employees. The implication of these findings is that female employees may face a mentoring disadvantage in the wake of #MeToo. The adverse effects for career growth and advancement for female employees could be profound. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4040-4058 Issue: 35 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1896673 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1896673 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:35:p:4040-4058 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mouyad Alsamara Author-X-Name-First: Mouyad Author-X-Name-Last: Alsamara Author-Name: Karim Mimouni Author-X-Name-First: Karim Author-X-Name-Last: Mimouni Author-Name: Zouhair Mrabet Author-X-Name-First: Zouhair Author-X-Name-Last: Mrabet Author-Name: Akram Temimi Author-X-Name-First: Akram Author-X-Name-Last: Temimi Title: Do economic downturns affect air pollution? Evidence from the global financial crisis Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of the 2008 global financial crisis on CO2 emissions within the Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis framework. Using a sample of 68 countries for the period 1960 to 2014, we unveil novel findings according to which the crisis had permanent effects on CO2 emissions. These effects vary by countries’ income level. Our findings reveal that the 2008 crisis decreased the turning point for high-income countries and increased the turning points for middle- and low-income countries. Furthermore, we find that the magnitudes in the shifts of the turning points depend on the severity of the crisis. Our results are robust to the inclusion of trade and financial development as additional explanatory variables and to the choice of the crisis inflection year. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4059-4079 Issue: 35 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1897071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1897071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:35:p:4059-4079 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiao Yu Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Xiangbin Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Xiangbin Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Kuo Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Kuo Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jipeng Pei Author-X-Name-First: Jipeng Author-X-Name-Last: Pei Author-Name: Karlis Rokpelnis Author-X-Name-First: Karlis Author-X-Name-Last: Rokpelnis Title: Finding trustworthy common ground: analysis of Chinese trust in Americans (2012–2018) Abstract: Using four waves of CFPS data from 2012 to 2018, we focused on the degree of Chinese individuals’ trust in Americans, and found that the Chinese interviewees were ‘very distrustful’ Americans. We employed the random-effects ordered probit method to estimate the model, and made the following key conclusions: in terms of individual characteristics, (1) gender factors affect Chinese trust in Americans, the degree of trust among males is higher than that among females; (2) the Chinese individuals’ trust in Americans gradually decreases with the advance of age; (3) the level of education has a positive correlation with international trust. Meanwhile, socioeconomic factors play an important role in explaining the degree of Chinese individuals’ trust in Americans. Chinese individuals with higher social status and relative income are more likely to trust Americans. Moreover, the attitude and evaluation of individuals towards the government are also worthy of attention. Importantly, in contrast to earlier published findings, we found that Chinese Communist Party members were more likely to trust Americans, while military veterans, however, have a low degree of trust in American people, which might be highly correlated with the China–US political relations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4229-4244 Issue: 36 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1897735 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1897735 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:36:p:4229-4244 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bhushan Praveen Jangam Author-X-Name-First: Bhushan Praveen Author-X-Name-Last: Jangam Author-Name: Badri Narayan Rath Author-X-Name-First: Badri Narayan Author-X-Name-Last: Rath Title: Do global value chains enhance or slog economic growth? Abstract: This paper examines the link between trade and economic growth by emphasizing on recent progress of global value chains (GVCs) for a sample of 58 countries over the period 2005–2015. The findings show that trade and in particular trade linked to GVCs spurs economic growth. However, the impact of GVC engagement on economic growth is diverse as we broaden our analysis to sectoral level. The study also notes that the benefits associated with regional value chains are higher. Furthermore, functional specialization in trade also plays a key role in improving growth. Therefore, policies to promote the GVC engagement and strengthening the domestic fundamentals should be the aim for countries to further benefit from trade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4148-4165 Issue: 36 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1897076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1897076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:36:p:4148-4165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zucheng Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Zucheng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Charles Sutcliffe Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Sutcliffe Title: What determines the asset allocation of defined benefit pension funds? Abstract: The asset allocation decision is one of the most important decisions made by defined benefit pension schemes, with a major effect on the scheme contribution rate, funding ratio and financial position of the sponsoring company. We investigate the determinants of the equity allocation of UK pension funds using a panel of 1,304 observations on 125 companies that were members of the FTSE 100 over the 2003–2019 period. We find that seven variables have a significant effect on the allocation between equities and bonds – maturity (as measured by the effective duration of scheme liabilities), default risk, leverage of the sponsor, size of the sponsor (or the scheme), whether the scheme is closed to future contributions, whether the scheme has significant overseas liabilities, and a time trend. Our sensitivity analysis finds that the biggest effects on the asset allocation come from scheme maturity, the scheme’s funding ratio and a time trend. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4178-4191 Issue: 36 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1897512 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1897512 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:36:p:4178-4191 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ronny Freier Author-X-Name-First: Ronny Author-X-Name-Last: Freier Author-Name: Michal Myck Author-X-Name-First: Michal Author-X-Name-Last: Myck Author-Name: Mateusz Najsztub Author-X-Name-First: Mateusz Author-X-Name-Last: Najsztub Title: Lights along the frontier: convergence of economic activity in the proximity of the Polish-German border, 1992–2012 Abstract: This paper studies regional economic development on the municipality-level in Poland and Germany along the Oder–Neisse border. We use high-quality satellite night-time light intensity data as an innovative and comparable measure to proxy for overall economic activity on both sides of the border consistently over a long period of time (1992–2012). We use descriptive heat maps as well as regression analysis to investigate two aspects: first, how far is the economic convergence along the Polish-German border? Second, what effect does the distance to the border have on economic activity as measured with light emissions? Our findings suggest that convergence in overall activity across the border has been complete. Polish municipalities that used to be economically much weaker have caught up with those on the German side of the Oder and the Neisse rivers. As regards the importance of distance, we highlight different results for Germany and Poland. While distance to the border never mattered significantly for German regions, Polish municipalities closer to the border used to be substantially worse off in the early 1990s but caught up with regions further to the east by the end of the period of our analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4245-4262 Issue: 36 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1898534 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1898534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:36:p:4245-4262 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Daniel Huerta-Sanchez Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Huerta-Sanchez Author-Name: Thanh N. Ngo Author-X-Name-First: Thanh N. Author-X-Name-Last: Ngo Author-Name: Mark K. Pyles Author-X-Name-First: Mark K. Author-X-Name-Last: Pyles Title: Institutional ownership and REIT acquisitions Abstract: We examine the relationship between institutional ownership and Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) acquisitions. We find that REITs with relatively higher levels of pre-event institutional ownership are more likely to partake in acquisitions. We additionally find that levels of institutional ownership significantly increase post-acquisitions even after controlling for other relevant factors. This increase is driven by longer-term and passive institutional investors. Further, we find positive influences from the increase in institutional ownership on both market and accounting performance, however, this is driven by increases in short-term and active institutional investor levels. Collectively, our results suggest a significant influence by institutional investment on REIT acquisition decisions that has a significant effect on shareholder wealth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4207-4228 Issue: 36 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1897514 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1897514 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:36:p:4207-4228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongyun Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Hongyun Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Wanglin Ma Author-X-Name-First: Wanglin Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Click it and buy happiness: does online shopping improve subjective well-being of rural residents in China? Abstract: There is a growing trend for rural residents to shop online, but little is known about how online shopping is associated with their subjective well-being. To fill this gap, in this study, we estimate the impact of online shopping on the subjective well-being of rural residents, using survey data collected from China. An endogenous ordered probit (EOP) model is employed to address the selection bias associated with online shopping. The empirical results reveal that online shopping significantly increases rural residents’ happiness and life satisfaction. The more rural residents spend on online shopping, the happier they are. Disaggregated analysis indicates that online shopping has greater positive impacts on the subjective well-being of lower-income residents (at household income tertile 1), relative to their higher-income counterparts (at household income tertiles 2–3). Our findings suggest that developing rural-targeted online shopping markets can improve the subjective well-being of rural residents and boost rural consumption upgrading. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4192-4206 Issue: 36 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1897513 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1897513 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:36:p:4192-4206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jyh-Horng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Jyh-Horng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Shi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Fu-Wei Huang Author-X-Name-First: Fu-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: A contingent claim model of life insurer-bank swap default pricing: strategic substitutes and complements Abstract: This paper develops a contingent claim framework to examine swap transactions between a life insurer and a bank that bilaterally price default risks. We show that the insurer (the protection buyer in the swap transaction market) regards the optimal bank loan rate as a strategic complement. In contrast, the bank (the protection seller) considers the optimal insurer guaranteed rate as a strategic substitute. Hedging conducted by the insurer enhances profits but hurts policyholder protection. Bank capital regulation harms policyholder protection. Insurer capital regulation leads to bank risk-taking. Capital regulations, as such, would jeopardize insurer-bank performance from a financial stability standpoint. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4166-4177 Issue: 36 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1897077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1897077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:36:p:4166-4177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Na Liu Author-X-Name-First: Na Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Zuoliang Ye Author-X-Name-First: Zuoliang Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Title: Empirical research on the blockchain adoption – based on TAM Abstract: Among the modern digital technologies that are reshaping many aspects of our society, blockchain is one of the most innovative, and this cutting-edge technology has drawn a great deal of public attention. However, little research is available on the actual effect of trust, which is a key core attraction for the blockchain technology. Furthermore, few studies have investigated the relationship between trust and user acceptance. In this paper, we develop a research model based on the technology acceptance model (TAM) and the core features of blockchain technology, and we conduct an empirical study. We collect 254 questionnaires about blockchain applications and analyse the responses with SmartPLS3.0. The results show that constructs such as trust and information quality have positive effects on the users’ behavioural intentions, except in terms of output quality. The findings have both theoretical significance and empirical insights, which will be helpful for the further development of blockchain theory while guiding the operation of relevant enterprises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4263-4275 Issue: 37 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1898535 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1898535 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:37:p:4263-4275 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhenlong Miao Author-X-Name-First: Zhenlong Author-X-Name-Last: Miao Title: Digital economy value chain: concept, model structure, and mechanism Abstract: The paper breaks through the existing research on digital economy and value chain, puts forward to digital economy value chain (DEVC) for the first time, discusses the connotation, value activity composition, and value chain characteristics of the digital economy value chain. Digital Economy Value Chain is the innovation of the value chain driven by digital elements (data, digital technology, digital mode, etc.) and the integration of the digital economy and value chain. Its foothold in the digital elements and its essence is the chain organization of value creation activities of the digital economy. Every value-added link of the digital economy value chain can realize value creations. The flow direction of the value chain is the process of value creation and value transfer. At the same time, this study attempts to analyse the operation mechanism of the digital economy value chain. This paper analyzes the formation mechanism, transmission mechanism, and the working mechanism of the digital economy value chain, reveals the operation mechanism of the digital economy value chain, and constructs a complete theoretical framework of the digital economic value chain. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4342-4357 Issue: 37 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1899121 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1899121 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:37:p:4342-4357 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tianyang Li Author-X-Name-First: Tianyang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Daye Li Author-X-Name-First: Daye Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Ming Men Author-X-Name-First: Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Men Title: Size effect in China Abstract: This study seeks to explain the size effect in China. Our empirical results indicate that, after eliminating the smallest 30% of firms, the size premium is largely explained by the risk exposures of small firms to market and value factors, that cannot produce a unique alpha. Moreover, we find that the size premium is largest among high-quality and low-turnover stocks but becomes negligible after controlling for liquidity; the size effect is affected by how firm size is measured, and the price-based measure yields a more significant size premium than those yielded by fundamental-based measures; and strict IPO constraints result in shell values making up a large proportion of stock capitalization among small listed firms, and the shell value falsifies the measure of the size effect. Given that the registration system has been steadily promoted in the new STAR market, our results suggest that the shell values among stocks will decrease significantly, which has a long-term influence on the size effect in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4358-4370 Issue: 37 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1899122 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1899122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:37:p:4358-4370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaolei Sun Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolei Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Qianqian Feng Author-X-Name-First: Qianqian Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Jianping Li Author-X-Name-First: Jianping Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Understanding country risk assessment: a historical review Abstract: Country risk reflects a country’s overall risk status, and it has an extremely important impact on global investment and trade between countries. This study is conducted to examine country risk analysis and assessment models. The historical stages of country risk assessment are characterized, and the development and application of country risk analysis and assessment techniques are reviewed. Country risk assessment modelling techniques developed in two major frameworks: Multi-criteria decision-making framework based on macroeconomic fundamentals and asset pricing framework based on market information. Based on our analysis, we identify current trends and research gaps, as well as relevant future research directions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4329-4341 Issue: 37 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1899120 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1899120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:37:p:4329-4341 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaojun Shi Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojun Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Changyun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Changyun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Teng Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Teng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Title: Can public medical insurance promote rural entrepreneurship? Evidence from China Abstract: Using China’s National Cooperative Medical Scheme (NCMS), a heavily subsided public medical insurance (PMI) scheme, aiming at covering all rural populations in China, as a quasi-natural experiment, we find that PMI unleashes entrepreneurship in the rural economy. This finding provides supporting evidence for Arrow’s risk-shifting theory and enriches the literature on the effect of PMI that has focused mainly on health impact and consumption smoothing. We also demonstrate that PMI increases entrepreneurial investments primarily through the channel of wealth effect resulting from reduced out-of-pocket medical expenses. Besides, the entrepreneurship cultivation effect of PMI is more pronounced among rural households that are wealthier, have fuller insurance coverage, or have younger heads. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4292-4309 Issue: 37 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1899118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1899118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:37:p:4292-4309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: W. David Allen Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Title: Crime, Universities and Campus Police Abstract: Crime motivates self-protection, such as undertaken quite visibly by individuals, households, and businesses. But we know much less about self-protection by public institutions, including schools, especially from an economic perspective. This paper examines how universities use campus police for that purpose. Conceptually, self-protection reduces vulnerability to crime but incurs costs whether a victimization happens or not; an actual crime further imposes a victimization cost. The agent (university administration) determines the equilibrium level of self-protection within this analytical environment. Empirical analysis of a two-year panel of U.S. universities reveals increased campus police use given larger external and internal crime threats and in the presence of better students and faculty. Larceny appears particularly influential, but the violent crimes of rape and aggravated assault do not. Extended analysis reveals that schools plagued by burglary and vehicle theft on campus utilize significantly more ancillary, procedural protections such as night-time police escorts. Larger-acreage, larger-enrolment, and religious-affiliated universities exhibit the most ongoing vulnerability to crime, showing significantly lesser campus police use even when facing higher internal crime threats. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4276-4291 Issue: 37 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1899117 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1899117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:37:p:4276-4291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmet Sensoy Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Author-X-Name-Last: Sensoy Author-Name: Thiago Christiano Silva Author-X-Name-First: Thiago Christiano Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Author-Name: Shaen Corbet Author-X-Name-First: Shaen Author-X-Name-Last: Corbet Author-Name: Benjamin Miranda Tabak Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Miranda Author-X-Name-Last: Tabak Title: High-frequency return and volatility spillovers among cryptocurrencies Abstract: We examine the high-frequency return and volatility of major cryptocurrencies and reveal that spillovers among them exist. Our analysis shows that return and volatility clustering structures are distinct among different cryptocurrencies, suggesting that return and volatility might have different spillover patterns. Further investigation via minimal spanning trees points out that BTC, LTC and ETH are the most relevant cryptocurrencies in general, serving as connection hubs for linking many other cryptocurrencies. However, their role is challenged lately, potentially due to the increased usage of other cryptocurrencies in time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4310-4328 Issue: 37 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1899119 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1899119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:37:p:4310-4328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benjamin M. Blau Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin M. Author-X-Name-Last: Blau Author-Name: Todd G. Griffith Author-X-Name-First: Todd G. Author-X-Name-Last: Griffith Author-Name: Ryan J. Whitby Author-X-Name-First: Ryan J. Author-X-Name-Last: Whitby Title: Income inequality and the volatility of stock prices Abstract: We examine the link between income inequality and the price volatility of American Depository Receipts (ADRs). Using a large sample of ADRs across 37 countries, we find that income inequality is negatively associated with ADR volatility. To draw stronger causal inferences, we use the implementation of the French ‘Millionaire Tax’ as a negative shock to the perceived level of income inequality in France. In difference-in-difference tests, we find that volatility for French ADRs vis-à-vis non-French ADRs increased by at least 4.85 percentage points after the tax change. Therefore, instead of creating political and social uncertainty, income inequality has a stabilizing influence on the volatility of stock prices, which we argue is a result of higher-skilled human capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4404-4416 Issue: 38 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:38:p:4404-4416 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yaniv Reingewertz Author-X-Name-First: Yaniv Author-X-Name-Last: Reingewertz Author-Name: Adi Shany Author-X-Name-First: Adi Author-X-Name-Last: Shany Title: Education resources and student performance: evidence from Arab municipalities in Israel Abstract: This paper is offering a new identification strategy in order to estimate the effect of education resources on students’ achievements at the municipal level. We use the appointment of an external accountant to financially distressed municipalities in Israel as an instrumental variable for independent education expenditures, and control for selection bias. We find that the decline in independent education expenditures per capita in Arab municipalities did not affect the share of matriculation certification recipients. This result suggests that changes in municipal education resources might not affect students’ achievements, at least in less-developed municipalities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4386-4403 Issue: 38 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904109 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:38:p:4386-4403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luigi Oddo Author-X-Name-First: Luigi Author-X-Name-Last: Oddo Author-Name: Mile Bosnjak Author-X-Name-First: Mile Author-X-Name-Last: Bosnjak Title: A comparative analysis of the monetary policy transmission channels in the U.S: a wavelet-based approach Abstract: This paper evaluates competing approaches to assess the effectiveness of transmission channels for the U.S. monetary policy from 1°Q 1995 to 3°Q 2019. While evaluating the competing approaches, the paper follows wavelet coherence approach providing results in time and frequency domain. The results show how money and credit channels work quite well during low volatile periods generally, whereas they suggest that these channels are less effective during periods of financial turmoil and very low interest rate. However, investment-based channels and the bank-lending channel revisited version show some effects also during periods of instability. In more detail, investment-based channels and the bank-lending channel revisited appear to be the most effective monetary policy transmission mechanisms, while the traditional banking-lending channel seems effective only in low volatile periods. Finally, the results for consumption-based channels and international trade-based channels show the least effectiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4448-4463 Issue: 38 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904113 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:38:p:4448-4463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Javier Scavia Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Scavia Author-Name: Pedro Fernández De La Reguera Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández De La Reguera Author-Name: Josephine E. Olson Author-X-Name-First: Josephine E. Author-X-Name-Last: Olson Author-Name: Nahuel Pezoa Author-X-Name-First: Nahuel Author-X-Name-Last: Pezoa Author-Name: Werner Kristjanpoller Author-X-Name-First: Werner Author-X-Name-Last: Kristjanpoller Title: The impact of cultural trade on economic growth Abstract: The relationship between international trade and economic growth has been an area of interest to many researchers in recent years. Although the literature is broad with respect to this topic, few studies have focused on the particular effect of cultural exports and imports on economic growth. This study addresses the relationship between trade in cultural goods and economic growth for 31 countries in Europe for the period 2004–2017, through a vector error correction model (VECM). A panel Granger causality test and a system generalized method of moments (GMM) are also utilized in this study. Cultural trade is characterized by exports and imports of cultural goods. The results indicate there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between gross domestic product, total exports, capital formation and labour force. Cultural exports and imports have a positive effect on GDP in the long run. In the short run, there is Granger causality of cultural imports on economic growth, total exports, total imports and capital formation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4436-4447 Issue: 38 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:38:p:4436-4447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ranpati Dewage Thilini Sumudu Kumari Author-X-Name-First: Ranpati Dewage Thilini Sumudu Author-X-Name-Last: Kumari Author-Name: Sam Hak Kan Tang Author-X-Name-First: Sam Hak Kan Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Shawn Xiaoguang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shawn Xiaoguang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Bei Li Author-X-Name-First: Bei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Misallocation and productivity slowdown over two decades: evidence from Sri Lanka Abstract: We investigate the effect of misallocation induced by firm-specific distortions on aggregate productivity and long-run TFP growth. Using a new firm-level dataset from Sri Lanka’s manufacturing surveys spanning over two decades and a standard model of misallocation, we show that when misallocation is eliminated, the aggregate manufacturing productivity could be boosted by 102% during 1994–2015. In addition, we find that the allocative efficiency exhibits a declining trend over time, and this rising misallocation could explain 55% of the manufacturing TFP growth slowdown in Sri Lanka. We further explore the underlying causes of the rising misallocation by quantitatively analysing the contributions of different types of firms and distortions in different markets. In the end, we qualitatively discuss potential fundamental sources in institutions and policies. Our results reveal that misallocation can be a mechanism underlying the growth slowdown of many emerging economies a decade after the liberalization reform since the late 1970s. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4417-4435 Issue: 38 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904111 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:38:p:4417-4435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xin Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: He Xiao Author-X-Name-First: He Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Yifei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yifei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: To what extent did independent directors help firms’ recovery during the COVID-19 pandemic? Evidence from China Abstract: To what extent did independent directors help firms’ recovery during the COVID-19 pandemic? In this paper, we answer this question by investigating whether independent directors contribute to Chinese listed firms’ operation income growth during the first and second quarters of the year 2020. By employing a triple difference-in-differences (DDD) estimation strategy, we show that firms located in more pandemic-affected regions experienced a more pronounced operating recovery if they receive more independent directors’ opinions and have fewer female and busy directors. The possible reason is that those female and busy directors were likely to be distracted during the pandemic outbreak. We also provide evidence that firms paying higher remunerations to independent directors tend to recover quicker. Moreover, independent directors’ age and education level positively contribute to firms’ recovery. Our work is among the first to study independent directors’ role in shaping firms’ operation performance under the COVID-19. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4464-4480 Issue: 38 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:38:p:4464-4480 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei-Han Liu Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Han Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jow-Ran Chang Author-X-Name-First: Jow-Ran Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Revisiting and refining the comparison of conventional and islamic markets’ performance Abstract: With a refined version of almost stochastic dominance (ASD), we explore the performance-comparison issues between traditional markets and Islamic markets in terms of industry and business condition. The empirical outcomes indicate that Shariah compliance makes both the consumer services and finance industries in Islamic markets outshine other industries and outperform the corresponding industries in traditional markets. Except for the period before the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2008, Islamic markets prevail over traditional markets in bearish (2007–2012) and persistently bullish (2013–2017) periods. These contrasts indicate that Islamic markets have emerged as a superior investment alternative since the GFC. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4371-4385 Issue: 38 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1900533 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1900533 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:38:p:4371-4385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Louinord Voltaire Author-X-Name-First: Louinord Author-X-Name-Last: Voltaire Title: Respondent direct experience and contingent willingness to pay for new commodities: a switching endogenous interval regression analysis Abstract: Most environmental economists argue that direct experience with the good being valuated, or with similar goods, is a precondition for providing valid willingness to pay (WTP) responses to contingent valuation questions. Two questions are posed in this article. The first is whether previous use experience of a resource (Séné nature reserve) similar to that being valuated (future nature reserves) and located in the same geographical area (Gulf of Morbihan) impacts on WTP. The second is whether accounting for the endogeneity of direct experience matters in the estimation of WTP. We find that respondents who have not experienced the Séné nature reserve provide value estimates that are statistically comparable to that of respondents who have experienced it. Our assumption is that respondents have acquired sufficient and adequate experience of future nature reserves from the questionnaire that experience obtained by experiencing the Séné nature reserve was not necessary for making a valid value formulation. Hence, aggregation of WTP estimates to obtain a total valuation of the future nature reserves is reasonable over the full target population. In addition, our results show that direct experience is endogenously determined; but controlling for the endogeneity has a marginal effect on WTP estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2235-2249 Issue: 22 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1002890 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.1002890 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:22:p:2235-2249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lik Fong Author-X-Name-First: Lik Author-X-Name-Last: Fong Author-Name: Chulwoo Han Author-X-Name-First: Chulwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Impacts of derivative markets on spot market volatility and their persistence Abstract: In this article, we investigate the impacts of futures and options markets on the volatility of the underlying market. Unlike earlier studies, the focus is on their persistence over time. Tests on the Hang Seng index yield several interesting results that often contrast with previous findings. Empirical results suggest that the quality of new information generated by derivative trading determines the impacts on the spot market volatility. The futures market provides new, material information reducing spot market volatility. The Options market, on the other hand, generates noisy information and distorts price, which is followed by an increase in volatility and a decrease in its sensitivity to price change. While the impact of futures persists, that of options mostly disappears as the market matures. Our conjecture is that the futures market is mainly driven by informed, experienced participants, while the options market attracts new, inexperienced investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2250-2258 Issue: 22 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005813 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:22:p:2250-2258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Balcilar Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Balcilar Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Stephen M. Miller Author-X-Name-First: Stephen M. Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: The out-of-sample forecasting performance of nonlinear models of regional housing prices in the US Abstract: This article provides out-of-sample forecasts of linear and nonlinear models of US and four Census subregions’ housing prices. The forecasts include the traditional point forecasts, but also include interval and density forecasts, of the housing price distributions. The nonlinear smooth-transition autoregressive model outperforms the linear autoregressive model in point forecasts at longer horizons, but the linear autoregressive and nonlinear smooth-transition autoregressive models perform equally at short horizons. In addition, we generally do not find major differences in performance for the interval and density forecasts between the linear and nonlinear models. Finally, in a dynamic 25-step ex-ante and interval forecasting design, we, once again, do not find major differences between the linear and nonlinear models. In sum, we conclude that when forecasting regional housing prices in the United States, generally the additional costs associated with nonlinear forecasts outweigh the benefits for forecasts only a few months into the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2259-2277 Issue: 22 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005814 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005814 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:22:p:2259-2277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aniruddha Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Aniruddha Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Author-Name: James T. Bang Author-X-Name-First: James T. Author-X-Name-Last: Bang Author-Name: Arnab Biswas Author-X-Name-First: Arnab Author-X-Name-Last: Biswas Title: Media freedom and gender equality: a cross-national instrumental variable quantile analysis Abstract: We investigate the impact of media freedom on gender equality in education for a sample of 63 countries taken over the period 1995–2004. Our analysis is motivated by the idea that the impact of media freedom on gender equality may differ over the conditional distribution of the response variable. Using instrumental variable quantile regression to control for endogeneity in per capita income, we find that greater freedom of the media improves gender equality only in the 0.25 and 0.50 quantiles of the conditional distribution. Countries with the greatest disparities in gender outcomes experience no significant impact of media freedom. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2278-2292 Issue: 22 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005822 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:22:p:2278-2292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gow-Cheng Huang Author-X-Name-First: Gow-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Kartono Liano Author-X-Name-First: Kartono Author-X-Name-Last: Liano Author-Name: Ming-Shiun Pan Author-X-Name-First: Ming-Shiun Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: Investor opinion divergence and post-repurchase announcement stock price drift Abstract: This study examines whether investor opinion divergence is a significant determinant of post-repurchase abnormal returns. We examine the effect using abnormal trading turnover (ATO) ratio as a proxy for investor opinion divergence. While the OLS regression results show that investor opinion divergence is not related to post-repurchase performance, the quantile regression results show that the effect of investor opinion divergence on post-repurchase performance is not homogeneous across various quantile levels of post-repurchase performance. We find a positive relation between ATO ratio and post-repurchase performance for firms with lower-to-middle performance groups. For firms with middle-to-higher post-repurchase performance, pre-repurchase stock undervaluation is a key determinant of the post-repurchase performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2293-2306 Issue: 22 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005823 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:22:p:2293-2306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satoshi Shimizutani Author-X-Name-First: Satoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Shimizutani Author-Name: Hiroyuki Yamada Author-X-Name-First: Hiroyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Yamada Author-Name: Haruko Noguchi Author-X-Name-First: Haruko Author-X-Name-Last: Noguchi Author-Name: Yuichiro Masuda Author-X-Name-First: Yuichiro Author-X-Name-Last: Masuda Author-Name: Masafumi Kuzuya Author-X-Name-First: Masafumi Author-X-Name-Last: Kuzuya Title: Exploring the causal relationship between hospital length of stay and re-hospitalization among Japanese AMI patients Abstract: We explore the causal relationship between hospital length of stay (LOS) and re-hospitalization for Acute Myocardial Infarction (AMI) patients in Japan, where the average LOS is the longest among OECD countries. Using chart-based data, we address the endogeneity between LOS and re-hospitalization probability by using an exogenous variation based on Rokuyo (the six basic labels allocated to each day), which is found to be irrelevant to admission day but relevant to discharge day. While we do find a significant and positive association between LOS and re-hospitalization probability in the OLS estimation, we do not find a significant relationship once LOS is instrumented by Rokuyo in various instrumental variable estimations. This implies that additional stay that was induced owing to patient’s choice of preferred Rokuyo at discharge has no effect on re-hospitalization probability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2307-2325 Issue: 22 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005824 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005824 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:22:p:2307-2325 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Louis de Grange Author-X-Name-First: Louis Author-X-Name-Last: de Grange Author-Name: Felipe González Author-X-Name-First: Felipe Author-X-Name-Last: González Author-Name: Rodrigo Troncoso Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Troncoso Title: Estimates of price elasticity of demand for urban freeway use with high-frequency control variables: the case of Santiago, Chile Abstract: Estimates are presented of toll and fuel price elasticities of demand for urban freeway use in Santiago, Chile. High-frequency toll and vehicle data were collected from four urban freeways for different route segments and times of day. Estimation was performed using log-linear regression models whose explanatory variables were tolls, fuel prices, city traffic levels and sets of dichotomous variables to control for daily, weekly and monthly seasonality. City traffic is a high frequency control of the activity level of the city. The elasticities to changes in tolls and fuel were all low in absolute value. The toll elasticities were below 0.05 for two freeways and 0.16 for the third, while for the fourth, which had more alternative routes, it was 0.47. The fuel price elasticities were also heterogeneous, with values of approximately 0.45 for two freeways and 0.21 for the third whereas for the fourth, which had the fewest alternatives, it was 0.07. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2326-2337 Issue: 22 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 5 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1005825 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1005825 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:22:p:2326-2337 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 318-318 Issue: 3 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.982953 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.982953 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:3:p:318-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: i-i Issue: 38 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 8 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1040259 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1040259 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:38:p:i-i Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Erratum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 408-413 Issue: 4 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.987479 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.987479 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:4:p:408-413 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: ii-ii Issue: 4 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.984483 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.984483 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:4:p:ii-ii Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Erratum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: iii-iii Issue: 4 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 1 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.987525 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.987525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:4:p:iii-iii Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Corrigendum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-1 Issue: 50 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1061233 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1061233 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:50:p:1-1 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: M. M. Fonseka Author-X-Name-First: M. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fonseka Author-Name: Xing Yang Author-X-Name-First: Xing Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Gao-Liang Tian Author-X-Name-First: Gao-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Author-Name: Sisira R. N. Colombage Author-X-Name-First: Sisira R. N. Author-X-Name-Last: Colombage Title: Political connections, ownership structure and private-equity placement decision: evidence from Chinese listed firms Abstract: In contrast with many other countries, Chinese listed firms must obtain approval to make private-equity placements (PEPs) from the Chinese Security Regulatory Commission (CSRC), a state bureau that regulates capital market financing. We analyse the role of political connection (PC) and ownership structures when accessing private equity (PE) market, while investigating the mechanisms through which political ties operate within the regulatory process of PEPs. The findings suggest that PCs do not contribute to the firm’s decision to apply for PEPs, but firms with state-ownership demonstrate a higher propensity to apply for PEPs. PC and state-ownership appear to help firms to obtain approval from the CSRC, and these firms are treated more favourably than their rivals without such connections. Politically connected firms spend less time in managing bureaucracy, but PC and state-ownership negatively affect proceeds from the PE market in China. Firms with politically connected directors with professional business backgrounds tend to spend less time managing the CSRC, and these professionals positively affect proceeds from the PE market in China. This study provides important insights for policy-makers, investors, PE issuing firms and security market regulators. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5648-5666 Issue: 52 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1054073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1054073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:52:p:5648-5666 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Satis Devkota Author-X-Name-First: Satis Author-X-Name-Last: Devkota Author-Name: Mukti Upadhyay Author-X-Name-First: Mukti Author-X-Name-Last: Upadhyay Title: How do income and education affect health inequality: evidence from four developing countries Abstract: Using household survey data from four countries ‒ Albania, Nepal, Tajikistan and Tanzania ‒ this article calculates income-related inequality in health care utilization. We measure health disparity separately for generally and chronically ill individuals by constructing two models: one for the probability of a visit to a physician and another for the number of visits. Following model-based measurements, we decompose inequality into two major parts: one accounted for by identity-related factors and another by socioeconomic and other factors such as education, geography and distance to a clinic. We propose a new method to quantify the effect of changes in income and education on health disparity. One of our important findings suggests that health disparity is pro-rich in all our sample countries. The pro-rich disparity is prevalent among generally ill as well as chronically ill patients, in both visit probability and visit frequency models. Health inequality seems primarily driven by income differences followed by nonidentity factors. Further, the principle of equal treatment for equal need is not fulfilled in any of our countries. Among policy implications, increasing average income and education in a way that also reduces disparity in income and education, respectively, will substantially shrink inequality in health care utilization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5583-5599 Issue: 52 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1054069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1054069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:52:p:5583-5599 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yanjie Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Yanjie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Xiaojing Ren Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojing Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Les Oxley Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Oxley Author-Name: Hengyun Ma Author-X-Name-First: Hengyun Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Why is there controversy regarding China’s staple grain food market integration? Evidence and implication from price convergent club analysis Abstract: There remains ongoing controversy regarding the degree to which Chinese food markets are integrated. Some economists conclude that China’s grain economy is well integrated, while others argue that China’s gradual reforms have led to fragmented domestic markets while others conclude that previous studies have produced mixed results. To reconcile the debate, this article models and analyses the behaviour of China’s food grain retail markets by testing for the existence of the convergent price clustering clubs using appropriate econometric methods and price data over 1997–2010. The article finds evidence as to why the controversy remains by identifying a number of small divergent price clustering clubs where it is hard to conclude that China’s food grain markets are fully integrated. However, given that large convergent clustering clubs were also identified, it can be concluded that the degree to which Chinese grain food retail markets are integrated is ‘high’. This finding is important for those who plan to investigate the economic behaviour of grain production under the assumption of a pure, fully integrated, food market economy in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5634-5647 Issue: 52 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1054072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1054072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:52:p:5634-5647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Title: Renewable energy consumption and unemployment: evidence from a sample of 80 countries and nonlinear estimates Abstract: This article contributes to the discussion on the dynamic nexus of renewable energy consumption and unemployment by incorporating nonlinear cointegration and causality analysis. Using a sample of 80 countries spanning the period 1990–2013 and the advanced generation of unit root, cointegration and nonlinear Granger causality methodological approaches in panel data, we obtain mixed results about the impact of renewable energy consumption on unemployment. Although the total findings document a positive impact of renewable energy consumption on unemployment, disaggregated data across specific regions, such as Asia and Latin America, highlight the favourable effect on unemployment, implying that the effect of renewable energy consumption on jobs creation depends on the cost of adopting renewable energy technologies and energy efficiencies that seem to vary across the regions under investigation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5614-5633 Issue: 52 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1054071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1054071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:52:p:5614-5633 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akhand Akhtar Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Akhand Akhtar Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Title: Inflation volatility, economic growth and monetary policy in Bangladesh Abstract: This article provides an overview of the trends and movements of CPI-inflation in Bangladesh since the early 1950s and examines the key issues in rule-based monetary policy for price stability, implying low and stable inflation, in this country. Under a fixed exchange rate system, inflation in Bangladesh was moderately high and volatile during the 1950s and 1960s. Since the country’s independence from Pakistan in 1971, inflation in Bangladesh has remained moderately high on average and highly volatile and persistent under a fixed-pegged exchange rate system or under a managed floating system since 2003. Using data from the early 1970s or earlier depending on data availability, the article undertakes both Granger-causality and the structural vector autoregression (SVAR) analysis with two models. The first model is comprised of such variables as inflation, the real interest rate, the real exchange rate and output growth, and the second model is comprised of the volatilities of money growth, real output growth and inflation. Then, based on the empirical findings, the article concludes that a rule-based monetary policy, namely monetary targeting or inflation targeting, remains appropriate for Bangladesh provided that it adopts a more flexible, if not freely floating, exchange rate system. The article suggests that the use of monetary policy to achieve multiple objectives under a fixed-pegged exchange rate system creates a time-inconsistency problem, reduces monetary policy credibility and makes it (monetary policy) ineffective in lowering inflation and its volatility. Low credibility of monetary policy in particular raises inflation persistence. Within the present monetary-policy framework in Bangladesh, the article illustrates how the fixed-pegged exchange rate system has generated money growth volatility in the presence of large-scale inflows of overseas workers’ remittances and readymade garments export earnings. This does not seem to be a concern of the central bank of Bangladesh (Bangladesh Bank); rather, it (Bangladesh Bank) pursues monetary-base targeting to keep inflation low and stable after considering economic growth. The consequent diminishing credibility of monetary policy has kept inflation volatile and persistent, which has adversely affected economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5667-5688 Issue: 52 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1054074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1054074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:52:p:5667-5688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James E. Payne Author-X-Name-First: James E. Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Author-Name: Stephanie Anderson Author-X-Name-First: Stephanie Author-X-Name-Last: Anderson Author-Name: Junsoo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Junsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Myeong Hyeon Cho Author-X-Name-First: Myeong Hyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: Do per capita health care expenditures converge among OECD countries? Evidence from unit root tests with level and trend-shifts Abstract: This study examines the stochastic conditional convergence of per capita health care expenditures (PCHCE) among 19 OECD countries over the period 1972–2008. Specifically, newly developed LM and RALS-LM unit root tests with allowance for two endogenously determined structural breaks are employed. The results indicate support for PCHCE convergence among most OECD countries. The results are stronger in more general tests that control for two breaks and nonnormal errors. Panel unit root tests provide additional support for the stochastic convergence of PCHCE. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5600-5613 Issue: 52 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1054070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1054070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:52:p:5600-5613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinghua Lei Author-X-Name-First: Jinghua Author-X-Name-Last: Lei Author-Name: Kai Liu Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: US money supply and global business cycles: 1979–2009 Abstract: This article investigates the effects of the US money supply shock on global business cycles by employing a global vector autoregressive model containing 26 economies over the period from 1979Q2 to 2009Q4. The US money supply is incorporated as an endogenous variable for the US and a global factor for other economies. When a positive US money supply shock hits the global economy, developed economies (such as the US, Euro area and the UK) will have neither real output decline nor inflation pressure, while China and some other developing countries are going to have a significant decline of real GDP. The international spillover of the liquidity effect exists. The global effects of quantitative easing are discussed as well. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5689-5705 Issue: 52 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1054075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1054075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:52:p:5689-5705 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Editorial Board Journal: Applied Economics Pages: ebi-ebi Issue: 60 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1109950 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2015.1109950 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:60:p:ebi-ebi Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Olaolu Richard Olayeni Author-X-Name-First: Olaolu Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Olayeni Title: Renewable and nonrenewable energy production and economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa: a hidden cointegration analysis Abstract: The objective of this article is to investigate the hypothesis of asymmetric effects between economic growth and renewable and nonrenewable energy production. To this end, both the linear cointegration and the hidden cointegration methodology are employed, with the latter allowing a straightforward delimitation of the data in an economically sensible way. We test for the presence of hidden cointegration across 12 sub-Saharan African countries spanning the period 1971–2011. The empirical results confirm the growth hypothesis for a subset of countries, suggesting that their growth could be adversely affected by conservation policies, while for a second subgroup of countries they confirm the conservation hypothesis, indicating that conservation policies could enhance the growth process in these countries. The differentiation of the results could be captured entirely by the linear approach, indicating that the lack of cointegration between renewable energy production and economic growth found in previous studies may be due to failures to properly delimit the nonlinearity property in the data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 861-882 Issue: 9 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.982855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.982855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:9:p:861-882 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johanna Catherine Maclean Author-X-Name-First: Johanna Catherine Author-X-Name-Last: Maclean Author-Name: Douglas Webber Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Webber Author-Name: Michael T. French Author-X-Name-First: Michael T. Author-X-Name-Last: French Title: Workplace problems, mental health and substance use Abstract: Little is known about how workplace problems may influence diagnosable mental health and substance use (MHSU) disorders. We examine the associations between three common workplace problems (experiencing problems with co-workers, job changes and perceived financial strain) and three MHSU disorders (mood, anxiety and substance abuse/dependence). The analysis utilizes longitudinal data on a sample of working-age adults from the National Epidemiological Survey on Alcohol and Related Conditions. These data are well suited for our research objective as the survey was specifically designed to study MHSU disorders. Results show that experiencing these workplace problems is associated with an increased risk for mental health disorders, but not substance use disorders. Importantly, various robustness checks and sensitivity analyses demonstrate that our findings cannot be not fully explained by omitted variables, reverse causality or sample attrition. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 883-905 Issue: 9 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.982856 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.982856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:9:p:883-905 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carlos Pestana Barros Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Pestana Author-X-Name-Last: Barros Author-Name: Peter Wanke Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Wanke Author-Name: Otávio Figueiredo Author-X-Name-First: Otávio Author-X-Name-Last: Figueiredo Title: The Brazilian Soccer Championship: an efficiency analysis Abstract: This article analyses the top Brazilian football league from 2003 to 2011 by estimating a cost function and using a stochastic frontier model. Among the covariates, the number of fans per club and club remoteness is taken into account. The Brazilian clubs are then ranked according to their technical efficiency during the 2000–2011 period. Based on the results, the policy implication is presented, and the economic implications arising from the study are also considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 906-915 Issue: 9 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.982857 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.982857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:9:p:906-915 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulo Sérgio Vasconcelos Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Sérgio Author-X-Name-Last: Vasconcelos Author-Name: Lucio Guido Tapia Carpio Author-X-Name-First: Lucio Guido Tapia Author-X-Name-Last: Carpio Title: Estimating the economic costs of electricity deficit using input–output analysis: the case of Brazil Abstract: The objective of this article is to present a methodology to estimate the marginal cost of electric energy deficit in the long-term using input–output (I–O) analysis. We obtain a deficit marginal cost (DMC) curve that is not limited to a small number of levels, such as the curve used currently in Brazil, which is limited to four levels. The marginal cost of deficit is an important exogenous parameter used in the model’s chain to calculate the operation’s marginal cost and short-term market pricing. The electric energy deficit is a temporary lack of continuity in meeting demand, which is usually predictable and involves prior notice to the consumer. The cause of this deficit may be a lack of investment and/or low water inflows that impact the production of hydroelectric power plants. In this study, the marginal cost of the deficit is obtained from restrictions on the provision of electricity for productive sectors and by calculating the corresponding impact on the gross domestic product. The proposed methodology can be used with data from the I–O matrix of any country to estimate its marginal cost of electric energy deficit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 916-927 Issue: 9 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.982858 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.982858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:9:p:916-927 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stephen Norman Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Norman Author-Name: Douglas Wills Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Author-X-Name-Last: Wills Title: Nonlinear integration of London and Amsterdam stock markets in the 1700s Abstract: The financial markets in London and Amsterdam were some of the first to develop. Using threshold autoregressive models, we use data on two commonly traded stocks in these cities to show that the joint behaviour of the prices is consistent with the theory of arbitrage in the presence of transportation costs. The results suggest that prices converged more quickly as the price difference between the two markets increased. We also show that the threshold estimates are consistent between assets and across time. These results provide some of the earliest evidence of nonlinear mean reversion in asset prices in geographically separate financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 928-939 Issue: 9 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.985369 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.985369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:9:p:928-939 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin Suk Park Author-X-Name-First: Jin Suk Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: The duration analysis of structural breaks: is stability destabilizing? Abstract: This article investigates how the duration of a regime (i.e., the length of stability) affects the likelihood of a permanent structural break by devising the duration dependence in structural break method, which combines a structural break test and a duration dependence test. First, the locations of structural breaks are identified by Bai and Perron’s (1998) method. Then, it is estimated how a hazard rate changes in duration between structural breaks by parametric duration analysis using the Weibull and the log-logistic hazard functions.This study reveals the evidence of positive duration dependence, that is, stability is destabilizing, in 13 out of 27 international stock indices and the pooled data. In other words, as one regime continues over time with unchanged parameter values, a new structural break is more likely to occur. This method discloses a lower degree of duration dependence than the duration-dependence Markov-switching model (Durland and McCurdy, 1994) that considers temporary switches between a limited number of regimes. Also, some new patterns are emerged, e.g., more predominant positive duration dependence in bear markets, the secondary stock exchanges of a country and developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 940-954 Issue: 9 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.985370 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.985370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:9:p:940-954 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Qingcheng Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Qingcheng Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Title: A study of the relationships between the time charter and spot freight rates Abstract: A time charter contract is a shipping contract that allows for freight rate risk avoidance and hedging. Defining the relationship between time charter and spot freight rates will illuminate the fluctuation mechanism of the spot freight market. In this article, three types of dry bulk ships – Capsize, Panamax and Supramax – are chosen to investigate the relationship between time charter and spot freight rates and to analyse the price discovery function of time charter contracts. A vector error correction model is developed, and an impulse response function is used to analyse the influence of time charter rates on spot freight rates. Empirical studies indicate that there are two-way lead–lag relationships between the time charter and spot freight rates and that a time charter contract has a price discovery function. Smaller ship sizes and longer durations lead to a stronger price discovery function. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 955-965 Issue: 9 Volume: 47 Year: 2015 Month: 2 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.985371 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2014.985371 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:9:p:955-965 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yue Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Working capital management, the market environment and corporate performance: evidence from China Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to study the impact of working capital management (WCM) and the market environment (ME) on corporate performance in the context of China’s economy with firms classified by size. All A-share listed nonfinancial enterprises from 2008 to 2019 are included in the sample, and a two-way fixed effects regression model is applied. WCM is measured by the cash conversion cycle (CCC), and profitability is measured by ROA. ME is measured by the government-market relationship (GF) and the development of the non-state-owned economy (Non-SE). First, the research finds that CCC is negatively correlated with corporate performance and that firm size has a regulatory impact on this relationship. Second, the positive relationship between Non-SE and profitability is significant for large firms but not for SMEs. Third, GF is negatively correlated with profitability for enterprises of all sizes, which is contrary to the expected results.This paper is the first to combine the three factors of firm size, WCM and ME to discuss their impact on corporate performance. The results offer important implications for enterprise managers to improve WCM and to seize opportunities in the development of non-state-owned economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4505-4516 Issue: 39 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904120 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904120 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:39:p:4505-4516 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matěj Bělín Author-X-Name-First: Matěj Author-X-Name-Last: Bělín Author-Name: Jan Hanousek Author-X-Name-First: Jan Author-X-Name-Last: Hanousek Title: SFA robustness to violated distributional assumptions: theory, simulations and empirical evidence Abstract: The well-known biases caused by taking the logarithm of a heteroskedastic dependent variable are a potential threat in stochastic frontier analyses (SFA), which are often estimated in log-linear form. This paper shows that while these biases can indeed be substantial, they do not affect the identification of best and worst performing firms, which is often more important than parameters of the frontier function. The efficiency ranks remain correctly identified except for special cases which are easily detectable. Furthermore, we document that the popular normal-truncated-normal SFA model with time-invariant efficiency shows a notable robustness to the mis-specification of the distribution of efficiency terms. The reason for this property is the model’s similarity to Gaussian pseudo-maximum likelihood estimator. Simulations are used to illustrate these properties and to show that the recovery of the correct productivity ranks is feasible even with very short panels. Empirical exercises show that using short panels is practicable in real datasets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4544-4559 Issue: 39 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904124 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904124 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:39:p:4544-4559 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gamze Ozturk Danisman Author-X-Name-First: Gamze Ozturk Author-X-Name-Last: Danisman Author-Name: Ender Demir Author-X-Name-First: Ender Author-X-Name-Last: Demir Author-Name: Adam Zaremba Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Zaremba Title: FINANCIAL RESILIENCE TO THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC: THE ROLE OF BANKING MARKET STRUCTURE Abstract: This article examines whether differences in banking market structures across countries influence the local stock market resilience to the COVID-19 pandemic. Using a sample of 66 countries for the period January 2020 to July 2020, our findings demonstrate that countries with more concentrated banking systems, with a higher presence of foreign banks, and a higher share of Islamic banks are more resilient to the pandemic. Considering the banking regulatory differences between countries, we observe that equity markets of countries with stricter regulatory requirements on capital and liquidity are more resilient to the COVID-19. Finally, regarding banking sector performance indicators, our findings show that while stock reactions of countries with more stable banking systems are more resilient to the pandemic; countries with more credit to deposit ratio, overhead costs, high provisions and nonperforming loans are more vulnerable. Our findings provide important implications for policymakers, regulatory bodies and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4481-4504 Issue: 39 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:39:p:4481-4504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuehui Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xuehui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jianhua Tan Author-X-Name-First: Jianhua Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Author-Name: Kam C. Chan Author-X-Name-First: Kam C. Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Title: Air pollution and initial public offering underpricing Abstract: We examine the impact of air pollution in a city in which an initial public offering (IPO) firm is located to its IPO underpricing. Our findings suggest that when air pollution is severe, the IPO underpricing is high. The results are robust to alternative metrics of air pollution and IPO underpricing, an instrumental variable approach, and a difference-in-differences research design. Additional analyses suggest that (1) seasoned firms located in severe air pollution cities have high crash risk, (2) seasoned firms located in severe air pollution cities have tightened financial constraints and makes more environmental investment, (3) IPO firms in severe air pollution cities have less analyst and institutional investor site visits. These findings support the underlying logic that air pollution worsens a firm’s information environment and financial constraint. We also find that the effect is more salient for IPOs with low analyst following, low institutional investor site visits, and high earnings management, corroborating the information asymmetry explanation of underpricing. Therefore, addressing environmental issues is important to public health as well as to capital formation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4582-4595 Issue: 39 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904123 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904123 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:39:p:4582-4595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hiroshi Fujiki Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Fujiki Title: Crypto asset ownership, financial literacy, and investment experience Abstract: This study compares the key characteristics of Japanese crypto asset owners with those of nonowners. After confirming that average crypto asset owners are likely to be young and male as compared to average crypto asset nonowners, we find that average crypto asset owners tend to have a higher level of financial literacy and are more likely to use cashless payment methods and hoard cash, as compared to average crypto asset nonowners. This study also determined novel heterogeneities among crypto asset owners according to their investment experience with conventional risky financial assets in terms of cash hoarding and financial literacy. Crypto asset owners without investment experience with conventional risky financial assets do not hoard cash and their level of financial literacy is lower than that of both crypto asset owners and nonowners with investment experience with conventional risky financial assets. The results suggest that financial regulators should not treat crypto asset owners as a homogenous group of financially literate investors who are inherently good at internet transactions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4560-4581 Issue: 39 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:39:p:4560-4581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rosaria Rita Canale Author-X-Name-First: Rosaria Rita Author-X-Name-Last: Canale Author-Name: Giorgio Liotti Author-X-Name-First: Giorgio Author-X-Name-Last: Liotti Title: Controversial effects of public debt on wage share: the case of the eurozone Abstract: The aim of the paper is to estimate the effects of increasing debt burden on the wage share of national income in the eurozone from 1999 to 2019 in an attempt to verify, through a dynamic panel data cointegrating technique, whether an increase in debt implies a redistribution of resources from workers to non-wage incomes. To deepen this analysis, the empirical investigation also distinguishes between change in primary public balance and interest payments to evaluate separately the effects of the two components of public debt on wages. The outcomes are consistent with a negative relationship between public debt as a whole and the wage share. However, when accounting for the two debt components, opposite results are registered as the debt service is negatively connected, while change in primary public deficit is positively connected with the wage share of national GDP. These results allow reflecting on the interaction between the monetary policy strategy and the national fiscal policies in the eurozone. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4533-4543 Issue: 39 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904122 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904122 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:39:p:4533-4543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Hürtgen Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Hürtgen Title: Fiscal space in the COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: The ‘Great Lockdown’ in response to the COVID-19 pandemic has led to a severe world-wide economic crisis. In the euro area countries sovereign debt-to-GDP ratios are on the rise and reductions in expected fiscal surpluses raise sustainability concerns amongst investors. This paper provides novel estimates of non-linear state-dependent fiscal limits for the five largest euro area countries. Within the DSGE model I build a COVID-19 scenario calibrated to match the decline in real GDP growth forecasts between February and April 2020 and the fiscal stimulus packages announced until the end of March 2020. On average, fiscal space contracts by 58.4% of national GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4517-4532 Issue: 39 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904121 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904121 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:39:p:4517-4532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Z M Dai Author-X-Name-First: Z M Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Xiuheng Shen Author-X-Name-First: Xiuheng Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Lu Guo Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: Technological innovation on economic growth from the perspective of investment-oriented environmental regulations: considering the threshold effect of China human capital Abstract: An investment-oriented environment and its regulations are the inevitable background when major economies face investment-driven economic development. While technological innovation helps form a compensatory or cost-based development path for economic growth, human capital plays a regulatory role in this development path as the largest dynamic and unstable variable. This research thus conducts a regulatory framework with an empirical study of the threshold effect from different levels of human capital investment on technological innovation and economic growth in four industries. The main conclusions are as follows: 1)We divide technological innovation caused by investment-based environmental regulation into active technological innovation.Passive technological innovation and subsequently identify the quantitative change effect of technological innovation on economic growth under investment-based environmental regulation. 2)Taking the human capital of different industries as threshold variables, we examine the threshold effect of investment-based environmental regulations and confirm the threshold value of different industries. 3)Through lagging second-order stability analysis, we basically solve the endogenous problem of investment-based environmental regulations, in which the relevant estimation conclusions appear more robust. Lastly, this research offers corresponding policy recommendations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4632-4645 Issue: 40 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:40:p:4632-4645 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Taylan Mavruk Author-X-Name-First: Taylan Author-X-Name-Last: Mavruk Author-Name: Stefan Sjögren Author-X-Name-First: Stefan Author-X-Name-Last: Sjögren Title: Capital structure and monitoring by local owners Abstract: We examine how owners’ portfolio diversification influences their firms’ financial decision-making and performance. We find that firms with high local ownership use less leverage, but firms with local ownership by locally biased owners use higher debt levels relative to firms with diversified local owners. Firms with high local ownership in urban regions use higher debt levels. In rural regions, firms with high locally biased ownership use higher debt levels relative to firms with diversified local ownership. Finally, although we find weak evidence that firms with high local ownership underperform the market, the underperformance is smaller in firms with high locally biased ownership. Thus, locally biased owners, not local owners with diversified portfolios, have an informed monitoring role in firms, and this effect seems to mitigate negative liquidity consequences. The separation of local owners into those with locally biased and those with diversified portfolios determines when and how local ownership can be used as a good proxy for informed investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4614-4631 Issue: 40 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904127 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904127 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:40:p:4614-4631 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hao Shen Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Jiang Xin Author-X-Name-First: Jiang Author-X-Name-Last: Xin Author-Name: Xiaoyong Dai Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Chuan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The contingent value of managerial ties for new ventures during China’s anti-corruption campaign Abstract: The tie-based non-market strategy has been widely adopted by new ventures to gain a competitive advantage in China. However, the recent anti-corruption campaign may have profound influences on business practices, particularly on the utilization or leveraging of managerial ties for improving firm performance. This study explored the critically important but fairly underexplored research question of whether managerial ties continue to create value for new ventures under China’s anti-corruption campaign. Based on a sample of Chinese listed firms consisting of new ventures, this study found that business ties and political ties have produced divergent effects on the performance of new ventures since China’s anti-corruption campaign took effect. Moreover, a wider coverage or scope of anti-corruption increased the benefits of business ties and political ties, while a higher intensity of anti-corruption facilitated the role of anti-corruption scope on increasing the benefits of managerial ties for better performance of new ventures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4664-4679 Issue: 40 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1907283 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1907283 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:40:p:4664-4679 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mathieu Bunel Author-X-Name-First: Mathieu Author-X-Name-Last: Bunel Author-Name: Elisabeth Tovar Author-X-Name-First: Elisabeth Author-X-Name-Last: Tovar Title: Profit, morality and discrimination Abstract: Using an original vignette survey, we study the normative acceptability of the trade-off between immoral profit (discrimination) and costly morality (non-discrimination). We test the causal influence of three factors: i) the origin of discrimination, ii) the steepness of the morality/profit trade-off and iii) anti-discriminatory moral injunctions. Contrasting with past experimental and attitudinal studies, we find that a significant minority of respondents believe that labour market discrimination is acceptable when morality results in profit loss. We also find that the three tested factors have significant effects on normative opinions. Respondents are more likely to choose profit over morality when discrimination is taste-based than when it is caused by imperfect information. Discrimination’s acceptability rises with the cost of non discrimination. Anti-discriminatory moral injunctions sharply reduce the acceptability of profitable discrimination. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4692-4712 Issue: 40 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1907285 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1907285 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:40:p:4692-4712 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Jin Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shuai Lu Author-X-Name-First: Shuai Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Ning Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Variable investment strategies for Chinese listed military enterprises: an empirical study based on double-market network analysis Abstract: As one of the industries that have been developing fast in the last few decades, it is found that the Chinese military industry presents a rapid growth in production market, while an opposite one in stock market. It is worth investing in the Chinese listed military enterprises which are stepping at a prosperous stage. However, how to reasonably select and invest them based on the ‘poor’ stock performance? To address this issue, this paper first proposes the multiple double-market networks and further derives the sealed and the open double-market network models. The disturbance analysis is carried out taking the military expenditure as the exogenous disturbance. Furthermore, the whole military industry and the individual listed military enterprises in China are empirically investigated. After that, the efficient, the inefficient, the relatively stable and the disturbed military enterprises can be recognized based on their network efficiency values. Moreover, a time-lag effect is found. A sharp increment of military expenditure may lead to the improvement of overall performance in the next year. Based on this, we give the variable investment strategies for investors to select the network efficient listed military enterprises and help them cope with the sharp changes of military expenditure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4646-4663 Issue: 40 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1907282 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1907282 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:40:p:4646-4663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Semih Emre Çekin Author-X-Name-First: Semih Emre Author-X-Name-Last: Çekin Author-Name: Rangan Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Rangan Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Eric Olson Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Olson Title: The Taylor curve: international evidence Abstract: We use the Taylor curve to gauge deviations of monetary policy from an efficiency locus for the United Kingdom (UK) and the four largest economies of the Eurozone (Germany, France, Italy, Spain) for the period 2000–2018. For this purpose, we use shadow interest rates, which is a common metric for both conventional and unconventional monetary policies, and the newly proposed Hamilton-filter to measure output gap, which improves upon the drawbacks of the traditionally used Hodrick–Prescott filter. Our findings suggest that deviations in the UK mostly occurred amid the global financial crisis and the post-Brexit period, whereas Eurozone members experienced more volatile deviations around 2001, during the global financial crisis and the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4680-4691 Issue: 40 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1907284 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1907284 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:40:p:4680-4691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jianda Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jianda Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xiucheng Dong Author-X-Name-First: Xiucheng Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Kangyin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Kangyin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: How renewable energy reduces CO2 emissions? Decoupling and decomposition analysis for 25 countries along the Belt and Road Abstract: To explore how renewable energy reduces carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, this study decomposes the impacts of renewable energy on CO2 emissions by employing the Generalized Divisia Index Method (GDIM), based on panel data of 25 countries along the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) for the period 2005–2019. Also, we explore their decoupling relationships. The results indicate that: (1) The numbers of countries with an ideal strong decoupling state reach the highest point during 2010 and 2015. (2) The growth in renewable energy scale is the key driving force responsible for promoting CO2 emissions in most countries along the BRI, while the main factor inhibiting CO2 emissions is the carbon intensity of renewable energy. (3) The carbon mitigation effect of the increase in the proportion of renewable energy is considerably higher than that of technological improvements from renewables, and it will promote the transformation of the relationship between renewable energy and carbon emissions into a more ideal strong decoupling relationship. (4) The effect of carbon efficiency on emission is not significant at this stage, but it will be much more important in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4597-4613 Issue: 40 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904126 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:40:p:4597-4613 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zeeshan Khan Author-X-Name-First: Zeeshan Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: Muntasir Murshed Author-X-Name-First: Muntasir Author-X-Name-Last: Murshed Author-Name: Kangyin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Kangyin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Siqun Yang Author-X-Name-First: Siqun Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: The roles of export diversification and composite country risks in carbon emissions abatement: evidence from the signatories of the regional comprehensive economic partnership agreement Abstract: The ratification of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) agreement has laid the platform for the signatory nations to boost their respective economic growth rates, and also raised environmental concerns. So far, little is known regarding the roles of export diversification and the composite risk index in the abatement of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions for the RCEP countries. Accordingly, this study investigates the impacts of export diversification and composite risk index on CO2 emissions for the RCEP countries between 1987 and 2017. The empirical findings indicate that lowering the composite risk index, undertaking a transition to renewable energy, and enhancing environmentally-related technological innovations help reduce CO2 emissions in the long run. In contrast, export diversification is found to monotonically boost CO2 emission levels. The findings also authenticate the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis to certify that the economic growth of the RCEP nations will be both an initial contributor and ultimate inhibitor of CO2 emissions. In line with these findings, it is important to lower the country risk profiles of the RCEP nations, restructure the export diversification schemes, ensure technological advancement and expedite economic growth in an environmentally-friendly manner. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4769-4787 Issue: 41 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1907289 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1907289 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:41:p:4769-4787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Devika Arumugam Author-X-Name-First: Devika Author-X-Name-Last: Arumugam Author-Name: P Krishna Prasanna Author-X-Name-First: P Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Prasanna Title: A Game of Hide-and-Seek between Proprietary and Buy-Side Algorithmic Traders: Causal links with Market Quality Abstract: This paper classifies Algorithmic Traders (ATs) as Proprietary Algorithmic Traders (PATs) and Buy-side Algorithmic Traders (BATs) and examines their dynamic relationship with market quality, using data from the National Stock Exchange (NSE), India. We find that the two categories of traders cause a differential impact on market quality measures and vice versa. BATs’ order placement improves liquidity by narrowing the quoted spread, while PATs’ and BATs’ cancellation worsens liquidity by widening the quoted spread. PATs’ order placement increases the price impact but reduces the realized spread, whereas their cancellation increases the realized spread. Furthermore, when the quoted spread increases, ATs increase their order placement and cancellation. When the realized spread increases, PATs cancel less of their orders. Contrarily, when the price impact increases, PATs’ participation (both order placement and cancellation) and BATs’ cancellation increase. Besides, we provide new evidence that among the ATs, order placement of BATs crowds out that of PATs, but not vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4788-4798 Issue: 41 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1907290 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1907290 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:41:p:4788-4798 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lilia Rodríguez-Tapia Author-X-Name-First: Lilia Author-X-Name-Last: Rodríguez-Tapia Author-Name: Daniel A. Revollo-Fernández Author-X-Name-First: Daniel A. Author-X-Name-Last: Revollo-Fernández Author-Name: Jorge A. Morales-Novelo Author-X-Name-First: Jorge A. Author-X-Name-Last: Morales-Novelo Author-Name: Carolina Massiel Medina-Rivas Author-X-Name-First: Carolina Massiel Author-X-Name-Last: Medina-Rivas Title: Water in Mexican industry: an economic value study Abstract: The manufacturing industry in Mexico is concentrated in the central and northern region of the country, which is characterized by high water stress. This condition foreshadows a complicated future scenario for the industry, such as decreasing water availability in the face of dynamic economic development. The objective of this research is to estimate the economic value of water in the industry. The applied method consists of estimating the marginal productivity of water from the technical function of the production of the manufacturing industry, modelled with a translogarithmic function. The goodness of this function is that it is flexible in the values assumed by its parameters, overcoming the rigidity of the Cobb Douglas function. The information was obtained from the 2014 Industrial Economic Census, which reports data from 476,753 economic units throughout the country. The main research findings are that: i) it is estimated that a cubic metre of water used in the manufacturing industry nationwide creates an added value of 7.8 dollars, and ii) – according to the cross-elasticities estimated in the model – the industry technology is not sufficiently flexible to the possibility of substituting water for work and raw materials, and complementary with capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4799-4809 Issue: 41 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1908948 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1908948 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:41:p:4799-4809 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anna Maria Ferragina Author-X-Name-First: Anna Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Ferragina Author-Name: Stefano Iandolo Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Iandolo Author-Name: Erol Taymaz Author-X-Name-First: Erol Author-X-Name-Last: Taymaz Title: Decomposing the immigration-trade link using price and quantity margins: the role of education Abstract: This paper examines the immigration-trade links for OECD countries for the 2000–2015 period. By decomposing the overall effect of the presence of immigrants on the export of the hosting countries according to the methodology proposed by Hummels and Klenow (2005), we investigate if there is a migration-driven increase in the number of export relationships (extensive margin) and/or simply a growth of pre-existing export relationships (intensive margin) decomposed by an increase in quantity and price. We consider the country of origin of immigrants and their level(s) of education. Our results confirm the existence of a pro-export effect of immigrants attributable to the contribution of international networks regarding the reduction in information costs, which is especially strong for developed countries as sources of migration. However, when we look at the heterogeneous impact of different levels of immigrants’ education, we find that the pro-trade effect is due to the contribution of less- and more educated immigrants to the reduction of trade costs, while the medium educated do not spur bilateral trade significantly. We address the potential endogeneity problems by adopting an instrumental variable (IV) approach based on shift-share IV and pull-and-push factors that could induce international migration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4734-4749 Issue: 41 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1907287 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1907287 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:41:p:4734-4749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Golaka C. Nath Author-X-Name-First: Golaka C. Author-X-Name-Last: Nath Author-Name: Vardhana Pawaskar Author-X-Name-First: Vardhana Author-X-Name-Last: Pawaskar Author-Name: Manoj Dalvi Author-X-Name-First: Manoj Author-X-Name-Last: Dalvi Author-Name: Manoel Pacheco Author-X-Name-First: Manoel Author-X-Name-Last: Pacheco Title: Testing the expectations hypothesis and explaining the determinants of term premia: evidence from the Indian money market Abstract: The pure expectations hypothesis states that the current yields on bonds with different maturities reflect investor expectations of future interest rates. Analysing the short-term inter-bank rates in a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), the study could reject the pure as well as the general expectations theory in case of the 1 month and 3 months rates but not in case of 14 day rates. The term premia is found to be time-varying. The study attempts to quantify and decompose the term premia, inherent in the money market rates. The study uses the market spreads derived from the swap market, T-Bills, and CD markets to understand the level of decomposition of the term premia. A latent factor model was used to break down the term premia and decompose the same into credit and liquidity risk factors by using information from related money market instruments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4750-4768 Issue: 41 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1907288 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1907288 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:41:p:4750-4768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ruixue Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Ruixue Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Xiancun Hu Author-X-Name-First: Xiancun Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Vera Li Author-X-Name-First: Vera Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chunlu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chunlu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Investigating economic roles of multinational construction industries: A super-efficiency DEA approach Abstract: The economic role of the construction industries has changed across countries in the past decades with rapid economic growth. This research investigates the economic role of multinational construction industries covering 41 countries and regions over 2000–2014 through measuring their overall economic performance and their linkage performance. The efficiency indicators are innovatively measured and ranked by combining the super-efficiency data envelopment analysis (DEA) model with the World Input-Output database. The results demonstrate that the construction industries play an important role in promoting national economic development and enhancing pull effect efficiencies, particularly in less advanced economies. The impact of the construction industries in advanced economies relates mainly to push effect production efficiencies. The research results can assist policymakers and businesses to formulate policies and strategies to ensure the construction industries continue to contribute to the growth and development of the economy. The research provides a feasible pathway towards applying DEA in a multi-regional input-output analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4810-4822 Issue: 41 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1910133 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1910133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:41:p:4810-4822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Honglin Yang Author-X-Name-First: Honglin Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Zhiyuan Zhen Author-X-Name-First: Zhiyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhen Author-Name: Hong Wan Author-X-Name-First: Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Optimal portfolio financing selection in a capital-constrained supply chain with risk-averse members Abstract: We first consider a supplier-retailer supply chain in which only the capital-constrained retailer is risk-averse while the supplier and the bank both are risk-neutral. The newsvendor-like retailer may fund its business by two portfolio financing schemes to satisfy uncertain market demand: (1) bank loans and the supplier’s equity investment (BCF-SI) and (2) bank loans and the supplier’s credit guarantee (BCF-SG). Using CVaR criterion, we model the behaviour of the risk-averse retailer to analytically derive the portfolio financing equilibrium in a Stackelberg supplier-led game separately for two portfolio financing schemes. We characterize the conditions under which the supplier and the retailer reach Pareto improvement under two portfolio financing schemes compared with the non-financing benchmark. Moreover, we extend the model to the case in that the supplier and retailer both are risk-averse while only the bank is risk-neutral to further investigate the impact of risk aversion on the optimal financing scheme selection. The numerical examples verify our theoretical results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4713-4733 Issue: 41 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1907286 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1907286 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:41:p:4713-4733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Franziska Zimmert Author-X-Name-First: Franziska Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmert Author-Name: Enzo Weber Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: The creation and resolution of discrepancies between preferred and actual working hours over the life course Abstract: This article contributes to the analysis of working hour discrepancies, i.e., under- and overemployment, by exploring how they emerge and resolve with special consideration of the household context. It uses a rich longitudinal data set, the German Socio-economic Panel, for a discrete duration analysis controlling for unobserved heterogeneity. We focus on the most relevant household and job characteristics. Findings suggest that job autonomy plays a crucial role in the creation and resolution of discrepancies. We especially contribute to previous studies by also examining path dependence and find that both the creation and resolution of discrepancies are characterized by positive duration dependence but by negative occurrence dependence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4899-4916 Issue: 42 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1912279 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1912279 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:42:p:4899-4916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pankaj C. Patel Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Author-Name: Peter Dahlin Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Dahlin Title: Does voluntary auditing help ventures? Evidence from Sweden Abstract: Auditing in ventures may provide the necessary financial reporting bulwark, however, auditing also has direct and indirect costs that may be less efficacious in a venture with limited routines and capabilities, and could take an entrepreneur’s attention away from venture goals. We draw on a quasi-natural experiment in Sweden, where from 2011 small private firms meeting threshold criteria were exempt from audit. The law resulted in three groups of ventures – (i) those who were above the threshold criteria and continued with an audit, and among those who were exempt some chose to (ii) voluntarily audit or (iii) opted-out of the audit. Starting with ventures established in 2007 (about three years before the passage of the law), and drawing records of the Swedish Companies Registration Office, our results show that while opting out of audit slightly improves the odds of survival, it has detrimental effects when sales volatility or return on assets are high. Those voluntary auditing can realize a higher debt ratio, but also face a decline in sales and net profit. The findings have implications for entrepreneurs in particular and policymakers considering initiation or repealing of audit requirements for ventures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4835-4856 Issue: 42 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1910135 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1910135 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:42:p:4835-4856 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuhui Peng Author-X-Name-First: Xuhui Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Zhihan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Zhihan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Jingjing Shao Author-X-Name-First: Jingjing Author-X-Name-Last: Shao Author-Name: Xue Li Author-X-Name-First: Xue Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Board diversity and corporate social responsibility disclosure of multinational corporations Abstract: This study discovers the relationship between board diversity and corporate social responsibility (CSR) disclosure of multinational corporations (MNCs). The existing studies have shown the positive roles of board gender diversity (BGD), education background diversity (EBD), and tenure diversity (TD) in decision-making. Thus, we believe that the positive effect also exists in the strategic CSR decision-making process of the board of directors; it enhances corporate environmental disclosure (ED) and social disclosure (SD). After investigating 140 MNCs from China, Japan, the UK, and the US, the result shows that (1) BGD positively affects ED and SD of MNCs and (2) TD positively affects SD of MNCs. This study further explains the relationship between board diversity and CSR disclosure from the perspective of stakeholder and resource-based view, emphasizing the role of board diversity in stakeholder management and the effectiveness of CSR decision-making. The study helps provide policy makers with inspirations to improve CSR of MNCs by formulating policies related to board diversity. Our evidence also helps MNCs to develop the criteria for improving CSR strategy through board diversity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4884-4898 Issue: 42 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1910620 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1910620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:42:p:4884-4898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joseph Dennis Alba Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Alba Author-Name: Peiming Wang Author-X-Name-First: Peiming Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Trilemma, dilemma or 2.5-lemma in the transmission of monetary policy: evidence from a Markov-switching panel data model Abstract: We examine the spill-over effects of interest rate transmission of United States monetary policy to peripheral countries with various exchange rate regimes and capital control management policies. To do so, we propose a two-state continuous-time hidden Markov-switching panel data model using an empirical framework based on the Taylor rule. We find peripheral countries with flexible exchange rates and free capital mobility respond differently to changes in short-term US interest rates under the two regimes based on interest rate volatility. Under the high volatility regime, peripheral countries respond to decreases but not to increases in short-term US interest rate. Under the low volatility regime, peripheral countries respond more strongly to an increase than a decrease in short-term US interest rate. In addition, peripheral countries under high volatility regimes respond more strongly than countries under low volatility regimes to a decrease in short-term US interest rate. In both volatility regimes, capital controls insulate the peripheral countries from changes in the short-term US interest rate regardless their exchange rate regimes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4917-4929 Issue: 42 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1912281 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1912281 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:42:p:4917-4929 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ryadh Alkhareif Author-X-Name-First: Ryadh Author-X-Name-Last: Alkhareif Author-Name: Moayad Al-Rasasi Author-X-Name-First: Moayad Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Rasasi Title: Estimating the money demand function for Saudi Arabia using divisia monetary aggregate Abstract: This paper constructs the broader Divisia monetary aggregate (D2) for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia over the period from 1999 to 2018. Unlike the traditional money supply aggregate (M2), movements of the Divisia monetary aggregate seems to reflect the domestic economic developments and hence can be very useful when setting macroeconomic policies in the Kingdom. In addition, the paper applies the Keynesian Money Demand Theory to estimate the demand for money using the Divisia monetary aggregate. The findings confirm the stability of the money demand function for Saudi Arabia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4823-4834 Issue: 42 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1910134 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1910134 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:42:p:4823-4834 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yaxian Gong Author-X-Name-First: Yaxian Author-X-Name-Last: Gong Title: Quality disclosure with substitute and complementary goods Abstract: This paper analyzes the quality disclosure when firms simultaneously choose the quantities of products to be produced. By assuming that each firm is privately informed about the quality of its own products and makes quality disclosure decisions after observing private information, we identify the effects of the degree of substitution/complementarity on the amount of disclosed information. We find that when commodities are substitute goods, fixing the disclosure cost, the relationship between competitiveness and the amount of disclosed information is non-monotonic. Furthermore, when commodities are complementary goods, increasing the degree of complementarity will lead to more information being disclosed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4857-4867 Issue: 42 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1910618 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1910618 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:42:p:4857-4867 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: José C. Fariñas Author-X-Name-First: José C. Author-X-Name-Last: Fariñas Author-Name: Ana Martín-Marcos Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Martín-Marcos Author-Name: Francisco J. Velázquez Author-X-Name-First: Francisco J. Author-X-Name-Last: Velázquez Title: Scale of operations of MNCs and heterogeneity: a multi-country analysis Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between the productivity of parent firms and the scale of their subsidiaries in foreign markets. The empirical exam is based on a large sample of firms from 32 different countries. The average elasticity estimated for the baseline sample is 0.34; i.e. a 1% increase in labour productivity increases the scale of subsidiaries by 0.34%. For TFP, the elasticity is slightly lower, 0.23. The relationship is much stronger for manufacturing firms than for firms in the service sector. The paper also analyzes the degree of heterogeneity of elasticities estimated across countries. We find differences in the magnitude of elasticities but confirm the positive relationship between scale and parent firm productivities for a large fraction of countries. It also addresses the issue of potential endogeneity of productivity. The positive relationship between scale and productivity is confirmed when controlling for this. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4868-4883 Issue: 42 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1910619 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1910619 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:42:p:4868-4883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Zare Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Zare Author-Name: Omid Naghshineh A. Author-X-Name-First: Omid Author-X-Name-Last: Naghshineh A. Author-Name: Erfan Salavati Author-X-Name-First: Erfan Author-X-Name-Last: Salavati Author-Name: Adel Mohammadpour Author-X-Name-First: Adel Author-X-Name-Last: Mohammadpour Title: An agent-based model and detect price manipulation based on intraday transaction data with simulation Abstract: In this article, we propose an agent-based model for LOB markets, and by simulation, we estimate the model’s parameters. This model has two interesting points. First, we divide the data transaction of 1 day into six parts. Second, we detect price manipulation by using intraday transaction data. To detect price manipulation, we simulate the model once without the price manipulator and once with the price manipulator, and then by using some statistical properties such as skewness we find relations to detect price manipulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4931-4949 Issue: 43 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1912282 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1912282 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:43:p:4931-4949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yosra Ghabri Author-X-Name-First: Yosra Author-X-Name-Last: Ghabri Author-Name: Ahmed Ayadi Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Ayadi Author-Name: Khaled Guesmi Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Guesmi Title: Fossil energy and clean energy stock markets under COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: This paper analyses the dynamic impact of fossil energy shocks (crude oil and Natural gas) on renewable clean energy stock markets during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using a time-varying VAR model with stochastic volatilities, we conduct distinct analyses over the period from 10th March to 15th June 2020, while distinguishing between three sub-periods. Our key findings show a significant increase in the returns of clean energy stocks after the sharp collapse of crude oil prices. However, we find the opposite effect on renewable energy stock returns after the OPEC+ agreement. The results also indicate that the announcement of COVID-19 as a global pandemic caused the prices of both Natural gas and renewables to rise after a decrease. By contrast, after the crude oil shocks, there was no response of renewables to Natural gas shocks. Furthermore, the stochastic volatility reveals that after the OPEC-Russia agreements, the volatility of crude oil returns gets back to normal and steady fluctuation. Our results provide useful implications for policy-makers to mitigate the negative effects on renewable energy investments due the uncertainty related to the ongoing pandemic. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4962-4974 Issue: 43 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1912284 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1912284 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:43:p:4962-4974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Maria Malmierca Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Malmierca Title: Persistence in the private debt-t -GDP ratio: evidence from 43 OECD countries Abstract: This paper investigates the degree of persistence of the private debt-to-GDP ratio in 43 OECD countries by estimating the fractional integration parameter of each series. Almost all of them are found to be highly persistent, with orders of integration around or above 1. The only exception is Argentina, where the series appears to be mean-reverting. These results highlight the key importance of macroprudential policy as one of the pillars of macro policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5018-5027 Issue: 43 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1912700 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1912700 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:43:p:5018-5027 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maolin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Maolin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Huiting Lin Author-X-Name-First: Huiting Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Yehua Huang Author-X-Name-First: Yehua Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Structural holes and R&D investment: evidence from top management teams of China’s A-share listed firms Abstract: The extant literature recognize that social relations and networks strengthen corporate innovation, but the contribution of the top management teams and the channel of social status and network location in corporate innovation is not well addressed. By constructing firm-to-firm matrices by top management team members’ experience with the data set of China’s A-share listed companies, we find that higher status and better network location with more structural holes foster corporate R&D investment and the number of invention patents, although the effect on total innovation outputs is not significant. What’s more, the external and internal tunnels are further explored by testing the effect of information booming and absorptive willingness. It is confirmed that the positive impact of structural holes on corporate innovation is magnified with the penetration of high-speed rail and internet as well as high compensation incentive. This research supports the structural holes advantage theory, expands the research of the social networks, and provides reference for corporate innovation practice by taking advantages of structural holes from the top management teams. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4985-4999 Issue: 43 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1912698 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1912698 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:43:p:4985-4999 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chung Choe Author-X-Name-First: Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Choe Author-Name: Sung Hoon Kang Author-X-Name-First: Sung Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Koangsung Choi Author-X-Name-First: Koangsung Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Effects of wage-peak system on youth employment: Evidence from South Korea Abstract: After the increase in the minimum retirement age, South Korea introduced a wage-peak system to mitigate increases in firm costs due to the wage of elderly workers. In this study, we examined how the later retirement age has affected employment opportunities for younger workers. We also investigated the difference in impact of later retirement on employment between firms within and outside of the system. Using the difference-in-differences empirical method, we found that this system has increased employment opportunities for younger workers. Moreover, as the proportion of elderly workers increases, the effect of the wage-peak system on the proportion of young workers is enhanced. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4975-4984 Issue: 43 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1912697 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1912697 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:43:p:4975-4984 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabian Frick Author-X-Name-First: Fabian Author-X-Name-Last: Frick Author-Name: Corina Jantke Author-X-Name-First: Corina Author-X-Name-Last: Jantke Author-Name: Johannes Sauer Author-X-Name-First: Johannes Author-X-Name-Last: Sauer Title: Firm-level innovation and efficiency in the food sector: Insights from a literature-based innovation output indicator Abstract: Innovation activity is commonly regarded as one prerequisite for the competitiveness of food manufacturers. However, new product introductions typically face a high failure rate, which frequently deprives food manufacturers of returns on new product developments. Accordingly, existing empirical evidence on the effect of innovation activity on firm performance is not unanimous in the food sector. In this study, we explore contemporaneous and lagged effects of product and process innovation on production efficiency of dairy processors in the German market. Endogeneity of innovation variables and production inputs is accounted for by instrumentation using a System GMM approach. While we find no positive effect of patents or the number of new product launches on efficiency, we find a consistent positive effect of successful new products on the dairy processors’ technical efficiency. On the methodological side, our results confirm the relevance of the literature-based innovation output indicator as a differentiated measure of product innovation suitable for measuring the innovation effect on firm performance. Regarding innovation management in the food sector, the results highlight the challenge related to high failure rates of new products in the food sector and emphasize the importance of new product quality for business performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5000-5017 Issue: 43 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1912699 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1912699 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:43:p:5000-5017 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yacine Hammami Author-X-Name-First: Yacine Author-X-Name-Last: Hammami Author-Name: Youssef Riahi Author-X-Name-First: Youssef Author-X-Name-Last: Riahi Title: Leverage and balance-sheet size: a comparative study between Islamic and conventional banks Abstract: We carry out a comparative analysis of procyclical leverage between Islamic banks and conventional banks in the GCC countries and Malaysia. We collect an unbalanced panel data set including 57 conventional banks and 73 Islamic banks covering the period 2000–2019. First, we document strong evidence of procyclical leverage for our sample banks. Second, our results highlight that conventional banks have statistically stronger leverage procyclicality than Islamic banks, even after controlling for accounting profitability, economic conditions, bank regulations, and wholesale funding. Moreover, we document that the differential in the leverage procyclicality across Islamic banks and conventional banks has been stronger after the global financial crisis, and seems to be more pronounced in small banks compared with large banks. Our findings suggest that the differential in the leverage procyclicality across the two types of banks is related to their different business models. An implication of our results is that the low leverage procyclicality of Islamic banks is a key factor contributing to the stability of a dual banking system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4950-4961 Issue: 43 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1912283 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1912283 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:43:p:4950-4961 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Panagiota Papadimitri Author-X-Name-First: Panagiota Author-X-Name-Last: Papadimitri Author-Name: Fotios Pasiouras Author-X-Name-First: Fotios Author-X-Name-Last: Pasiouras Author-Name: Menelaos Tasiou Author-X-Name-First: Menelaos Author-X-Name-Last: Tasiou Title: Financial leverage and performance: the case of financial technology firms Abstract: Over the past years, the financial technology industry has gained considerable attention from policy makers and regulators, market participants, as well as the general public. Despite the interest of these stakeholders, academic research on the topic is scarce and we aim to extend the literature by examining the impact of financial leverage on the performance of FinTech firms. Using a sample of 146 U.S. FinTech firms operating in ten market segments over the period 2000–2016, we find that financial leverage has a negative impact on profitability and risk-adjusted performance. We also reveal that the magnitude of the influence of leverage depends on firm age. The results are robust to the use of a cross-country sample, alternative model specifications and estimation approaches. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5103-5121 Issue: 44 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1915949 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1915949 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:44:p:5103-5121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabricio Linhares Author-X-Name-First: Fabricio Author-X-Name-Last: Linhares Author-Name: Glauber Nojosa Author-X-Name-First: Glauber Author-X-Name-Last: Nojosa Author-Name: Rogerio Bezerra Author-X-Name-First: Rogerio Author-X-Name-Last: Bezerra Title: Changes in the revenue–expenditure nexus: confronting evidence with fiscal policy in Brazil Abstract: This study examines causality shifts in the revenue–expenditure nexus in Brazil during the years 1996–2019. The literature usually assumed a time-invariant causality link between government revenues and expenditures. Such assumption becomes often implausible when the sample period covers significant economic, political and policy changes, like the case of Brazil in the last two decades. Based on time-varying Granger causality tests, we found three distinct causality episodes: fiscal synchronization in 2005–2008, spend-and-tax in 2010–2013, and a tax-and-spend in 2015–2018. These episodes are intercalated with periods of no causality that coincides with economic crisis, political turmoil and major shifts in fiscal policy. The findings suggest that the interplay between fiscal policy orientation and primary surplus targeting is an important factor in the revenue–expenditure nexus. The most recent causality episode suggests stronger effects running from revenues to expenditures in the Brazilian primary budget dynamics. In this context, according to the tax-and-spend hypothesis, cutting spending seems to be the right course of action to restore fiscal balance in Brazil. A tax increase should be considered with caution because it may only incentive the government to grow its expenditures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5051-5067 Issue: 44 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1915463 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1915463 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:44:p:5051-5067 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pankaj C. Patel Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Author-Name: Marcus T. Wolfe Author-X-Name-First: Marcus T. Author-X-Name-Last: Wolfe Author-Name: Andrew S Manikas Author-X-Name-First: Andrew S Author-X-Name-Last: Manikas Title: Talk is cheap?! The value of a ban on product simulations and renderings on a crowdfunding platform Abstract: We exploit the 20 September 2012 intervention on Kickstarter where projects in the Hardware and Project Design categories, but not in other categories, were prohibited from presenting simulations and renderings in their crowdfunding campaigns. Using a partition-type analysis estimate for 110,258 projects, we find that the intervention lowered the odds of meeting the funding goal (extensive margin); however, it did not significantly increase the amount of funding received above the goal amount (intensive margin). The findings are robust to pre-trends tests. Post-intervention, based on the exploration-exploitation framework, projects in the treated categories used more exploitative (vs. explorative) language. Furthermore, projects in the treated category benefited from using narcissistic and entrepreneurial orientation rhetoric before the intervention; however, this did not hold after the intervention. Finally, projects from the control categories did not increase deceptive language after the intervention and experienced lower odds of meeting funding goals after the intervention when using ambiguous language. The findings highlight the role of centralized intervention in improving signals on noisy crowdfunding platforms and the declining role of rhetoric for both treated and control categories. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5068-5089 Issue: 44 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1915464 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1915464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:44:p:5068-5089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sumei Luo Author-X-Name-First: Sumei Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Yixiang Shi Author-X-Name-First: Yixiang Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Yongkun Sun Author-X-Name-First: Yongkun Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Zhiqi Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Zhiqi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Guangyou Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Guangyou Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Can FDI and ODI two-way flows improve the quality of economic growth? Empirical Evidence from China Abstract: Different from the existing literature which only studied the unilateral impact of the FDI or the ODI on economic growth, this paper took both the FDI and the ODI into the analysis framework of international capital flow on economic growth, and tried to introduce the mediating effect model to test the transmission mechanism and influence effect of international capital two-way flow on the economic growth. The results showed that both the FDI and the ODI can significantly improve the quality of economic growth, and the role of the FDI was stronger than that of the ODI. At the same time, the FDI and the ODI had obvious regional heterogeneity in promoting the quality of economic growth. International capital flow mainly requires three mediating effects to improve the quality of economic growth, which are the employment, the technology spillover as well as the output efficiency. The three effects of the FDI have a played significant role in promoting the quality of economic growth, while the ODI mainly plays a role through the improvement of output efficiency and technology reverse spillover. There are also significant regional differences in mediating effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5028-5050 Issue: 44 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1914318 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1914318 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:44:p:5028-5050 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Runqi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Runqi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jinlong Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Jinlong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Jingyuan Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Jingyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Effects of free trade agreements on global value chain trade----a research perspective of GVC backward linkage Abstract: Using the World Input-Output Database from 2000 to 2014 combined with the Database from the World Bank, this paper examines the export promotion effects of FTAs on member countries’ GVC trade. Empirical analysis shows that, first, the depth of free trade agreements has significant positive effects on both the total trade and exports of foreign value added (FVA) among member countries. Each additional core clause in free trade agreement will increase the FVA exports by 0.27%. Second, free trade agreements not only enhance the export levels of simple value chains and complex value chains but promote the value-added exports of all sub-items of GVC trade at different levels. Further study shows that gaps in economic development levels among FTA members and FTA structures can both lead to asymmetric and heterogeneous effects on their FVA exports. Moreover, as to FTA contents, WTO-X clauses which focus more on trade policy coordination behind the border have more important impacts on FTA members’ FVA exports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5122-5134 Issue: 44 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1917763 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1917763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:44:p:5122-5134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Liwei Guo Author-X-Name-First: Liwei Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: Sources of production growth in Chinese agriculture:empirical evidence from penal data results 2001–2018 Abstract: First of all, this article uses the regional panel data of Chinese agriculture ranging from 2001–2018 as samples, taking the relationship among the three, namely, factor allocation efficiency, biased technical progress and agricultural total factor productivity, as the entry point to systematically analyse the fluctuation of total factor productivity growth and its decomposition terms. Then, the bias index of technical progress and factor allocation are measured by relaxing the strict assumption of alternative elastic fixation and broadening the traditional hypothesis of neutral technical progress by using C-D functions, respectively. Finally, this article puts highlight on the following questions: What is the source of sustained growth of agricultural TFP at this stage? Which factor does the agricultural factor allocation efficiency depend on? Whether there are existing distortion and bias in agricultural factor allocation and if the bias of which is in step with agricultural-biased technical progress? Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5135-5157 Issue: 44 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1918626 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1918626 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:44:p:5135-5157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luigi Ventura Author-X-Name-First: Luigi Author-X-Name-Last: Ventura Author-Name: Maria Ventura Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Ventura Title: Migration, diversity and regional risk sharing Abstract: The economic consequences of migration have become the topic of many recent contributions in theoretical and applied economics. However, only a handful of papers have dealt with the implications of migration for risk sharing. We intend to fill in this gap in the literature by exploring the effects of migration and the ensuing cultural diversity on risk sharing in receiving economies, by using data on US states in the period 2000–2015. Our empirical results strongly suggest that migration enhances risk sharing in host economies, but non monotonically so. Moreover, cultural diversity is key in this risk sharing-enhancing effect of migration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5090-5102 Issue: 44 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1915465 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1915465 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:44:p:5090-5102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fakhri J. Hasanov Author-X-Name-First: Fakhri J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hasanov Author-Name: Jeyhun I. Mikayilov Author-X-Name-First: Jeyhun I. Author-X-Name-Last: Mikayilov Author-Name: Muhammad Javid Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Javid Author-Name: Moayad Al-Rasasi Author-X-Name-First: Moayad Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Rasasi Author-Name: Frederick Joutz Author-X-Name-First: Frederick Author-X-Name-Last: Joutz Author-Name: Mohammed B Alabdullah Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed B Author-X-Name-Last: Alabdullah Title: Sectoral employment analysis for Saudi Arabia Abstract: This study aims to explore the impact of output and wage on labour demand in Saudi Arabia at sectoral level. We applied cointegration and equilibrium correction methods to the time-series data of 10 sectors over 1995–2016 using the demand side framework and considering the structural breaks in the data. We found that in the long run, the employment is positively affected by the output while the impact of the wage was negative in all sectors. In the short-run, employment growth in all sectors reacted to the wage growth except for the government sector. While only some sectors responded to the output growth, we also found that employment can adjust to the desired equilibrium level in all sectors but time horizon for the adjustment processes varies across the sectors. Differences in estimated coefficients imply that policies should be sector-specific as a ‘one-fits-all’ policy would fail to consider the sectoral specificities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5267-5280 Issue: 45 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1922590 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1922590 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:45:p:5267-5280 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeffrey (Jun) Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey (Jun) Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Fariz Huseynov Author-X-Name-First: Fariz Author-X-Name-Last: Huseynov Author-Name: Bochen Li Author-X-Name-First: Bochen Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Local risk preference and corporate policies: evidence from M&A Abstract: This article examines whether and how the firms’ mergers and acquisitions (M&A) policies are influenced by the risk preference of local community where the firms’ headquarters are located. By utilizing the different preferences towards risk-taking from the county-level religiosity-based measure, we document a significantly positive relation between the local risk preference and the likelihood of firms’ M&A. Firms whose headquarters are located in the counties with a higher degree of risk tolerance are more likely to engage in takeovers or acquire riskier targets. Local risk preference also results in wealth transfer during M&A that reduces acquirers’ equity value. When interacting with firm CEOs’ career concern and financial compensation, we find that managerial risk-taking incentive can be significantly affected by the local risk preference, suggesting an important economic interplay between the social norms and financial decision-making. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5158-5176 Issue: 45 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1921688 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1921688 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:45:p:5158-5176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Gravel Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Gravel Author-Name: Edward Levavasseur Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Levavasseur Author-Name: Patrick Moyes Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Moyes Title: Evaluating education systems Abstract: This paper proposes two dominance criteria for evaluating education systems described as joint distributions of the pupils’ cognitive skill achievements and family backgrounds. The first criterion is the smallest transitive ranking of education systems compatible with three elementary principles. The first principle requires the favorable recording of any improvement in the cognitive skill of a child with a given family background . The second principle demands that any child’s cognitive skill be all the more favourably appraised as the child is coming from an unfavourable background. The third principle states that when two different skills and family backgrounds are allocated between two children, it is preferable that the high skill be given to the low background child than the other way around. Our second criterion adds to the three principles the elitist requirement that a mean-preserving spread in the skills of two children with the same background be recorded favorably. We apply our criteria to the ranking of education systems of 43 countries, where we measure cognitive skills by PISA score in mathematics and famly background by the largest of the two parents’International Socio Economic Index. Our criteria conclusively compare about 19% of all the possible pairs of countries.. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5177-5207 Issue: 45 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1922586 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1922586 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:45:p:5177-5207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yinxiao Chu Author-X-Name-First: Yinxiao Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Xiaoyu Huang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyu Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Tao Jin Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Title: Political relations and tourism: evidence from China Abstract: This paper provides empirical evidence on how political relations affect the tourism market. We use monthly data to identify the pattern of short-lived effects of political shocks in the tourism market. A political relation shock has an immediate effect on Chinese outbound tourism, and then the effect is amplified in the next month before it vanishes in the following months. Particularly, the negative political shocks, namely political disputes, are responsible for most of the effects on outbound tourism. Moreover, we investigate the specific mechanism in China through which political relation shocks affect outbound tourism. We find that government interference by issuing travel warnings plays a crucial role in the mechanism. Further analysis on tourists’ demand shows that deterioration in political relations itself has no direct effects on tourists’ demand. However, when accompanied by the issuance of travel warnings, the negative political shocks significantly reduce tourists’ willingness to travel to the opposing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5281-5302 Issue: 45 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1922591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1922591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:45:p:5281-5302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qi Cui Author-X-Name-First: Qi Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Author-Name: Bo Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Yexin Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yexin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Hao Chen Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Yuanning Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yuanning Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Will bad air quality affect the siting of foreign-invested manufacturing enterprises? The evidence from China Abstract: Albeit notably increasing studies dedicated to investigating the impact of air pollution on enterprises’ productivity and profit, few have oriented onto explicitly probing how the enterprises, particularly those foreign-invested firms, made their location choices concerning air quality. Accordingly, this study contributes to explain the impact of air pollution on the site selection of foreign-invested manufacturing enterprises with a unique firm-level dataset of China. The study also discloses the heterogeneity of air pollution effects attributable to enterprises’ various features regarding ownership property, host country, industrial classification, and investment scale. Our result justifies a statistically significant and negative impact of air pollution on the siting of foreign-invested manufacturing enterprises. The heterogeneous effects of air pollution manifest that the location choice would be remarkably more sensitive for the sole-venture enterprises, and for those headquartered in developed countries, engaged in high-technology industries, and at small and medium investment scales. The study finds that the siting of small-scale firms in high-technology sectors appears to be the most sensitive to air pollution, signifying that air pollution severity would be a pivotal factor pushing aside high-quality foreign-invested enterprises to invest in polluted areas in general. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5221-5241 Issue: 45 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1922588 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1922588 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:45:p:5221-5241 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alejandro Esteller-Moré Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Esteller-Moré Author-Name: Leonzio Rizzo Author-X-Name-First: Leonzio Author-X-Name-Last: Rizzo Author-Name: Riccardo Secomandi Author-X-Name-First: Riccardo Author-X-Name-Last: Secomandi Title: The role of tax system complexity on foreign direct investment Abstract: We present new cross-country empirical evidence that tax system complexity affects the location of international investment. The evidence comes from a database of foreign direct investment (FDI) bilateral flows for all OECD countries over the 2013–2016 period, and from the Doing Business survey, which collects several measures of tax system complexity and effective tax rates. By means of a gravity model, we consider the impact of destination and parent country characteristics on firm investment decisions. An increase in the difference between tax complexity in the home country and the destination country is related with an increase in FDI outflows from home to destination. We do not find any significant impact of tax rate differentials on FDI outflows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5208-5220 Issue: 45 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1922587 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1922587 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:45:p:5208-5220 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanket Mohapatra Author-X-Name-First: Sanket Author-X-Name-Last: Mohapatra Author-Name: Siddharth M. Purohit Author-X-Name-First: Siddharth M. Author-X-Name-Last: Purohit Title: The implications of economic uncertainty for bank loan portfolios Abstract: This paper analyzes the impact of economic uncertainty on the composition of bank credit across household and firm loans. Using bank-level data spanning 40 developed and developing countries, we find that higher economic uncertainty is associated with an increase in the relative share of household credit in the loan portfolio of banks. This change in composition of credit may result from banks’ efforts to reduce the overall riskiness of their loan portfolios, since corporate loans are generally viewed as riskier than household loans. This shift is more pronounced for weakly-capitalized banks, which may face greater risks during economic shocks, and for larger banks, which may be riskier due to complex business models and more market-based activities. The variation in our main findings by banks’ capitalization and size suggests that they partly arise from bank-specific factors in response to greater uncertainty. The baseline results hold for a range of robustness tests. Our study highlights the role of aggregate uncertainty in micro-level outcomes and is relevant for bank capital regulation and the conduct of macroprudential policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5242-5266 Issue: 45 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1922589 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1922589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:45:p:5242-5266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shuzhong Ma Author-X-Name-First: Shuzhong Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Chao Fang Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: The Effect of Online Search on International Trade Abstract: In the literature, search engines are considered as effective tools for obtaining information. However, little attention has been paid to the effect of search engines on international trade even though information (barrier) is very important in international trade. To address this issue, we analyse how online search, proxied by Google Trends Interest by Region (GTIR), affects international trade in a classic gravity model. Our results show that online search intensity between the two countries can significantly promote international trade. This finding is robust to a wide range of tests, including instrumental variable estimation, different specifications and different estimators. Mechanism analysis shows that online search is likely to increase trade by overcoming unfamiliarity and reducing trade risks. Since the role of online search is similar to that of traditional networks, we further conduct extended analysis and find that online search is likely to substitute, rather than complement, migration networks in international trade. Since many traditional networks are broken due to the pandemic, online search is promising to become increasingly important in the future. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5369-5384 Issue: 46 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1922593 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1922593 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:46:p:5369-5384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin Xu Author-X-Name-First: Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Weixian Wei Author-X-Name-First: Weixian Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: The effects of tax and fee reduction policy on mitigating shock of the COVID-19 epidemic in China Abstract: The lockdown measures taken by the Chinese government have proven to be an effective approach to prevent COVID-19, but have a major negative impact on the economy. The Chinese government quickly implemented a large-scale tax and fee reduction policy to hedge against negative shocks. In light of these facts, this article constructs a multi-regional dynamic-recursive computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to evaluate the short-term and medium-term effects of COVID-19 on the macroeconomy, energy and environment. The results show that: (1) Without adopting tax incentives, GDP, residents’ consumption, exports, and secondary and tertiary industry output will grow weakly in 2020. Leapfrogging development will occur in 2021, whereas import volume and consumer price index will drop sharply. (2) If the tax reduction policy is introduced, GDP will increase by 2.83% and 7.4% in 2020 and 2021. Imports, exports, and output of the secondary and tertiary industries will grow substantially, along with a significant rise in fossil fuels consumption and carbon emission. (3) Hubei, the worst hit by COVID-19, will quickly resume normal development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5303-5318 Issue: 46 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1904119 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1904119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:46:p:5303-5318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Caroline Wehner Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Wehner Author-Name: Trudie Schils Author-X-Name-First: Trudie Author-X-Name-Last: Schils Title: Who are the low educational achievers? An analysis in relation to gender, emotional stability and conscientiousness Abstract: Low educational qualification, i.e. reaching no or only a very basic educational degree, substantially decreases an individual’s prospects on todays labour market. Emotional stability and conscientiousness are known to be predictive of educational achievement. Nevertheless, the moderating role of these two personality traits on the outcome of low educational qualification, and the interaction with gender are far less explored. In this paper, we use rich data from the British Cohort Study 1970 to analyse the relationship between personality measured in adolescence and educational achievement in adulthood. Our results show that less emotionally stable and less conscientious females have the highest risk of reaching only a low educational qualification. In contrast, more emotionally stable and less conscientious males face an above average risk of reaching a low educational qualification. Our results suggest that neglecting gender differences in the moderating relation of these two personality traits on low educational achievement is likely misleading. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5354-5368 Issue: 46 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1922592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1922592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:46:p:5354-5368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jing Guan Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Guan Author-Name: J.D. Tena Author-X-Name-First: J.D. Author-X-Name-Last: Tena Title: Estimating the effect of physical exercise on juveniles’ health status and subjective well-being in China Abstract: Despite the increasing interest in analysing determinants of health status and subjective well-being, existing research has been mainly confined to developed countries’ adult population. This paper estimates the effect of physical exercise on the health and happiness of Chinese adolescent. Using a comprehensive database from the China Education Panel Survey (number of observations: 5975), different methodologies, including instrumental variable and propensity score matching approaches, are applied. We find that physical exercise has a significantly positive effect on health. Our results also suggest some evidence of a positive impact of exercise on well-being. This effect is robust to different econometric approaches, exercise participation measurements, and characteristics of students and schools and families. However, exercise benefits become evident even when it is practised with low frequency, i.e. one day per week. Moreover, physical exercise exerts a higher impact on students with poorer health and higher levels of unhappiness. Our results highlight the beneficial impact of political decisions aiming to incentivize physical exercise to improve adolescents’ health status in developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5385-5396 Issue: 46 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1922594 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1922594 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:46:p:5385-5396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongwoong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yongwoong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yongbok Cho Author-X-Name-First: Yongbok Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Kisung Yang Author-X-Name-First: Kisung Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Optimal look-back period for adequate and less procyclical credit capital forecasts Abstract: This study presents an approach to determining the optimal look-back period for adequate and less procyclical credit capital requirement forecast of U.S. commercial banking system under the regulatory framework. The approach conducts rolling window estimations together with back-tests and procyclicality checks for various sizes of sample windows and portfolio aggregation methods. The empirical results first show that capital requirement forecasts from shorter-term samples are more adequate but more procyclical compared to those from longer-term samples. Second, the forecasts based on stand-alone method are more adequate than those taking diversification into account. Third, tail dependence is inevitable for diversification methods to satisfy the adequacy. Finally, based on these findings, the sample of two business cycles, twice that of the Basel Committee’s minimum requirement of the historical observation period for internal rating grade, provides micro-prudentially the most adequate and macro-prudentially less procyclical credit capital forecasts in the U.S. commercial banking system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5337-5353 Issue: 46 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1914317 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1914317 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:46:p:5337-5353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maria Michela Dickson Author-X-Name-First: Maria Michela Author-X-Name-Last: Dickson Author-Name: Giuseppe Espa Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Espa Author-Name: Roberto Gabriele Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Gabriele Author-Name: Andrea Mazzitelli Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzitelli Title: Small businesses and the effects on the growth of formal collaboration agreements: additional insights and policy implications Abstract: The paper studies the impact of formal collaboration agreements (FCA) on firms’ growth in Italy. To conduct a proper evaluation exercise, we started building a novel database of Italian firms where networked firms in 2012 (treated units) are matched with firms that did not subscribe to a formal network agreement (controls units) but possess similar observable characteristics. Then we use difference-in-differences regression models in which we employ time lags in the relationships between objective variables and control ones. We show that FCAs have a positive effect and can be interpreted as a valid means to reduce the cognitive distance from the market of firms. Moreover, the effect is mainly due to a defensive strategy. The effect is stronger for those firms that do not exploit other proximity types, namely geographical and organizational. Finally, structural characteristics play a role: younger and smaller firms avoid a ‘size contraction’ signing an FCA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5397-5414 Issue: 46 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1922595 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1922595 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:46:p:5397-5414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Enck Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Enck Author-Name: Mario Beruvides Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Beruvides Author-Name: Víctor G. Tercero-Gómez Author-X-Name-First: Víctor G. Author-X-Name-Last: Tercero-Gómez Author-Name: Alvaro E. Cordero-Franco Author-X-Name-First: Alvaro E. Author-X-Name-Last: Cordero-Franco Title: Using statistical process monitoring to identify us business cycle change points and turning points Abstract: The Business Cycle paradigm of Mitchell and Burns has evolved from their original goal of understanding the entire economic process to the binary identification of growth and recessionary Turning Points. We propose a new paradigm for modelling the Business Cycle based on the Statistical Process Monitoring technique of Self-Starting Cumulative Sum (SSCUSUM) control charts. The SSCUSUM charts provide continuous characterization of aggregate economic activity through the identification of changes in the mean or standard deviation of economic indicators. A case study is conducted using real GDP % growth between 1965 and 2020 which shows that SSCUSUM charts: identify periods of steady state performance with statistically differentiable means and/or standard deviations, reliably reproduce the National Bureau of Economic Research Business Cycle Turning Points, identify patterns of economic activity leading up to and away from recessions, and identify twice the information on economic performance as the current bivariate approach. Over the study period, the SSCUSUM method identifies 42 changes in the mean or standard deviation of real GDP % growth, while the NBER TPs identify 8 peaks and 7 troughs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5319-5336 Issue: 46 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1908514 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1908514 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:46:p:5319-5336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhiyong Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Zhiyong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Jun Deng Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Author-Name: Tianyi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Tianyi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Mei Yu Author-X-Name-First: Mei Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Liquidation, leverage and optimal margin in bitcoin futures markets Abstract: Using the generalized extreme value theory to characterize tail distributions, we address liquidation, leverage and optimal margins for bitcoin long and short futures positions. The empirical analysis of perpetual bitcoin futures on BitMEX shows that (1) daily forced liquidations to outstanding futures are substantial at 3.51% and 1.89% for long and short; (2) investors got forced liquidation do trade aggressively with average leverage of 60X; and (3) exchanges should elevate current 1% margin requirement to 33% (3X leverage) for long and 20% (5X leverage) for short to reduce the daily margin call probability to 1%. Our results further suggest that normality assumption on return significantly underestimates optimal margins. Policy implications are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5415-5428 Issue: 47 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1922597 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1922597 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:47:p:5415-5428 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongyun Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Hongyun Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Wanglin Ma Author-X-Name-First: Wanglin Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Xiaoshi Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Renting-in cropland, machinery use intensity, and land productivity in rural China Abstract: This study examines the impacts of renting-in cropland on machinery use intensity, utilizing an innovative endogenous-treatment Poisson regression (ETPR) model and survey data from wheat farmers in China. We also analyse how machinery use intensity affects land productivity, reflected by wheat yields and net returns, using a two-stage residual inclusion (2SRI) model. Unlike previous studies that consider general machinery use, this study considers self-owned machinery use intensity and purchased machinery service use intensity. The ETPR model results reveal that renting-in cropland significantly increases self-owned machinery use intensity. However, it has a negative and insignificant impact on purchased machinery service use intensity. The 2SRI model estimates show that increasing self-owned machinery use intensity and purchased machinery service use intensity significantly increases wheat yields and net returns. Our findings suggest that it is essential to take stakeholders’ land transfer status into account when designing policies to promote agricultural mechanization and enhance land productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5503-5517 Issue: 47 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1923642 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1923642 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:47:p:5503-5517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fanzheng Yang Author-X-Name-First: Fanzheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Weiwei Weng Author-X-Name-First: Weiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Weng Title: Are only-children difficult team members? Abstract: The ever-increasingly complex economic activities across all industries have rendered teamwork a ubiquitous feature of the modern economy. Selecting the right employees, however, is conceived to be an ever more challenging task in the presence of an increasing number of adult only- children, who are widely perceived to be spoilt, self-centred and thus with weak team spirit. Our experimental study reassesses such negative stereotype by investigating only children’s participation willingness and their commitment to a group effort. Only children are found to contribute as much as their counterparts with siblings to the group effort although with slightly weaker willingness to join. Furthermore, the provision of peer information about relative performance is found to be significantly more effective in incentivizing only children than non-only children on both their willingness to participate in teamwork and their contribution to a group effort. Together, our findings suggest that only children can outperform their counterparts with siblings in teamwork as the uncertainty of team productivity is reduced by the introduction of feedback information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5462-5476 Issue: 47 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1923637 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1923637 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:47:p:5462-5476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanghyun Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Sanghyun Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Kadir Nagac Author-X-Name-First: Kadir Author-X-Name-Last: Nagac Title: Religiosity and Tax Compliance: Evidence from U.S. Counties Abstract: The intention of this paper is to analyse religiosity as a factor that potentially affects tax compliance. Studies in the 1990s have shown that the puzzle of tax compliance is ‘why so many individuals pay their taxes’ and not ‘why people evade taxes.’ It has been noted that compliance cannot be entirely explained by the level of enforcement. Countries set the levels of audit and penalty so low that most individuals would evade taxes if they were rational, because it is unlikely that cheaters will be caught and penalized. Nevertheless, a high degree of compliance is observed. Therefore, studies that analyse a variety of factors other than detection and punishment are need. Religiosity can play an important role in determining one’s tax compliance decision. We use religious adherence data from the American Religious Data Archive and measure tax compliance as a discrepancy in reported income between Internal Revenue Service and Census data to analyse independent effects of church adherence rates on tax compliance in the United States at the county level. To our knowledge, this paper is the first study that analyzes the effect of religiosity on actual tax compliance behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5477-5489 Issue: 47 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1923638 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1923638 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:47:p:5477-5489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Noam Tanner Author-X-Name-First: Noam Author-X-Name-Last: Tanner Author-Name: Danielle Zanzalari Author-X-Name-First: Danielle Author-X-Name-Last: Zanzalari Author-Name: Mark Manion Author-X-Name-First: Mark Author-X-Name-Last: Manion Author-Name: Eric Haavind-Berman Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Haavind-Berman Title: Demand elasticity for deposit services at U.S. retail banks in high and low rate environments Abstract: Using techniques from industrial organization, we capture the sensitivity of deposit balances to own and competitor pricing by estimating demand functions in U.S. retail deposit markets. The demand functions are used to compute elasticities of demand for bank deposits in order to study the relative importance of deposit rates over different interest rate environments. We find that the magnitudes of own- and cross-price elasticities are higher in high rate periods (when the federal funds rate is above 2%) than in low rate periods. We also compare different sized firms and find that smaller firms’ elasticities are more sensitive to the interest rate cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5448-5461 Issue: 47 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1923636 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1923636 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:47:p:5448-5461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liping Zou Author-X-Name-First: Liping Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Author-Name: Anne De Bruin Author-X-Name-First: Anne Author-X-Name-Last: De Bruin Author-Name: Ji Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ji Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Yue Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Title: Art for art’s sake? An exploration of the Chinese art market Abstract: We investigate the price impact and returns for 165,847 lots sold from 533 artists executed on Chinese painting and calligraphy over the period of 2000–2017. We document an annual return of 10.67% for our sample artworks, with certain attributes carrying greater price impacts, including authenticity, mounting, time of creation, the month of sales, and the auction houses. Our results also reveal two art market booms, with the first peak in 2005, subsequently reaching the record peak in 2011. In addition, compared with other investment assets, Chinese painting and calligraphy yield a relatively higher return compared to other investment assets. The artwork has a relatively lower correlation with other assets, suggesting potential diversification benefits. The average holding period of Chinese painting and calligraphy is about three years, in stark contrast to an average 10-year turnover of art in Western countries. This provides strong evidence that excessive speculative activities exist in the Chinese art market. Thus, art market participants in China need to be aware of the risk associated with art investments, as art is not necessarily for art’s sake. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5429-5447 Issue: 47 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1923635 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1923635 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:47:p:5429-5447 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tian-Tian Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Tian-Tian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Hua-Rong Peng Author-X-Name-First: Hua-Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Yue-Jun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yue-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jing-Yue Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jing-Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Does higher education development facilitate carbon emissions reduction in China Abstract: Based on the data of 31 provinces in China during 2004–2015 and the models of panel threshold regression and panel quantile regression, this paper investigates the impact of China’s higher education on regional carbon emissions. The results indicate that there exists threshold effect of both China’s higher education scale and quality on regional carbon emissions per capita. Specifically, in terms of higher education scale, its further progress may facilitate the positive effect on carbon emissions per capita when technology is above threshold. As for higher education quality, its further growth may moderate the positive effect on carbon emissions per capita when income exceeds threshold; it also can promote its constrained effect on carbon emissions per capita when exceeding the technology threshold; and the continuous improvement of higher education quality may help to reduce carbon emissions per capita. Besides, the positive impact of higher education scale on carbon emissions per capita appears smaller in regions with more carbon emissions per capita; meanwhile, only in the regions with larger carbon emissions per capita, may higher education quality promote carbon emissions per capita, while the curbing impact of technology level is relatively constant among different regions with various carbon emissions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5490-5502 Issue: 47 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1923641 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1923641 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:47:p:5490-5502 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chih-Wei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chi Yin Author-X-Name-First: Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Min-Rui Choo Author-X-Name-First: Min-Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Choo Title: Do firm characteristics affect debt capacity? Evidence in CEO succession Abstract: Should firms decrease or increase their debt capacity after professional CEO succession? Examining a sample of all publicly traded firms from 1991 to 2016 in Taiwan, this research finds that firms with professional CEO successors tend to raise less debt and consider the succession of professional managers to be more conservative because they are afraid of being monitored more severely. From the perspectives of firms’ characteristics, those with professional CEO successors and high cash holdings and investment levels are more likely to increase their debt capacity, while those of a larger size and higher post-succession profitability volatility decrease their ability at raising debt. Finally, we hand-collect data and develop a novel method to identify the real founders and reconfirm our empirical evidence. Our findings present financial implications for boards of directors which they can evaluate firms’ cash holdings, investment level, firm size, and profit volatility before deciding on whether to name a CEO successor to take over their firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5567-5583 Issue: 48 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1925626 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1925626 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:48:p:5567-5583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Peng Nie Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Author-Name: Qing Li Author-X-Name-First: Qing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Alan A. Cohen Author-X-Name-First: Alan A. Author-X-Name-Last: Cohen Author-Name: Alfonso Sousa-Poza Author-X-Name-First: Alfonso Author-X-Name-Last: Sousa-Poza Title: In search of China’s income-health gradient: a biomarker-based analysis Abstract: Using data from the 1991–2009 China Health and Nutrition Survey, this study investigates China’s income-health gradient by analysing the effect of both current and long-term household income on 22 blood-based biomarkers, 4 used as individual variables and all 22 assessed as a composite. We employ estimation approaches that allow for analysis ‘beyond the mean’ and accounting for individual-specific unobserved heterogeneity. After applying a two-step residual inclusion estimator, we find limited evidence of an income-health gradient irrespective of whether the income measure is current or long term. Because risky behaviour may attenuate income’s positive effects on health, we also analyse the associations between income and such health-influencing factors as alcohol consumption, smoking, diet, physical activity, and dietary knowledge. Although we find that higher incomes go hand-in-hand with some of these factors (in particular, a higher number of cigarettes smoked per day), they also promote poorer diets. However, the fact that these effects are small, dependent on income measure, and susceptible to reporting biases makes it unlikely that they are attenuating income’s potentially positive effects on health. Our findings highlight the importance of considering more accurate measures of health in assessing income-health gradients in future research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5599-5618 Issue: 48 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1927962 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1927962 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:48:p:5599-5618 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Khalid Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Khalid Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Mita Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Mita Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: Sudharshan Reddy Paramati Author-X-Name-First: Sudharshan Reddy Author-X-Name-Last: Paramati Title: Electricity consumption in Australia: the role of clean energy in reducing CO2 emissions Abstract: Electricity consumption is the primary source of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in Australia. Hence, this research study aims to analyse the role of clean energy consumption on CO2 emissions and electricity consumption in Australia by making use of yearly data, 1980–2014 and a battery of time series econometric techniques. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) method is employed to investigate the short- and long-run estimates, while the Bayer and Hanck (2013) test is used to examine the cointegration relationship among the variables. The results from the ARDL technique show that a 1% increase in clean energy consumption reduces per capita CO2 emissions and per capita electricity consumption by 5.50% and 1.19%, respectively in the long-run. The findings also confirm a significant long-run association among the variables. As such, it is emphasized that the government should take further initiatives towards a wider deployment of clean energy use, along with sustainable urbanization to reduce per capita electricity consumption and CO2 emissions in Australia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5535-5548 Issue: 48 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1925080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1925080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:48:p:5535-5548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dominik Schreyer Author-X-Name-First: Dominik Author-X-Name-Last: Schreyer Author-Name: Benno Torgler Author-X-Name-First: Benno Author-X-Name-Last: Torgler Title: Predicting season ticket holder no-show behaviour: more nuanced evidence from Switzerland Abstract: In this article, we contribute to the emerging literature on the potential determinants of football spectator no-show behaviour by analysing disaggregated data capturing season ticket holder (STH) behaviour outside the German market for the first time. Intriguingly, our empirical analysis of a unique panel dataset – containing distinct admission decisions made by 8,734 STHs of an established Swiss Super League club on 72 consecutive matchdays between 2013 and 2016 – suggests that the antecedents of such no-show behaviour might be contextual, despite some notable similarities across markets. For instance, although we observe a robust role of both a STH’s emerging no-show habits and his/her geographical distance to the stadium in predicting spectator no-show behaviour that is in line with previous research, we also note a more nuanced, i.e. non-linear, relationship between a STH’s age and the tendency to omit attendance on matchday. Here, using three-dimensional contour plots to represent potential interactions with age graphically, we also observe that STHs in the age cohort around 35 to 65 are more affected by barriers in the form of distance to the place of residence or temperature compared to people of retirement age, for whom there is a very robust pattern of habit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5549-5566 Issue: 48 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1925081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1925081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:48:p:5549-5566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wanling Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Wanling Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Author-Name: Yunjie Fu Author-X-Name-First: Yunjie Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Wei Ma Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: A Revisit on the Validity of the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity-Evidence from Time-Varying Parameter Models Abstract: This paper develops two time-varying parameter uncovered interest parity (TVP-UIP) models and studies their validity in both developed and emerging countries. Compared to the traditional models, TVP-UIP models can successfully capture dynamic relationships and help to explain the UIP puzzle. Empirical results show that the coefficients vary substantially over time and the UIP relationship can be regarded as a dynamic equilibrium process especially in emerging economies. The UIP hypothesis holds in several periods and can be significantly affected by specific major events, such as the financial crises and the recovery policies in response to it, or the US monetary policy changes. The time-varying risk premium attracts great concern in the literature but only plays a limited role in this case. Moreover, the failure of UIP in some periods can be attributable to the persistence inherent in the data, which leads to a long-lasting re-establishment of the UIP relationship after a shock. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5518-5534 Issue: 48 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1924353 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1924353 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:48:p:5518-5534 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhen Huang Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Weiwei Gao Author-X-Name-First: Weiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Title: Stock market liberalization and firm litigation risk——A quasi-natural experiment based on the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect policy Abstract: Taking the openness of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect policy as an exogenous shock, this paper examines how the stock market liberalization affects litigation risks of underlying stock firms and its influencing mechanisms. We use a difference-in-differences (DID) approach to analyse the sample of A-share firms listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, and find that the stock market liberalization can better curb litigation risk of the underlying stock firms (i.e. the firms listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange that can also be traded in the Hong Kong Stock Exchange) than that of the non-underlying stock firms. Further, we provide evidence that the corporate governance mechanism rather than information transmission is the main channel through which stock market liberalization reduces litigation risk of the underlying stock firms. This paper emphasizes the unique role and spillover effects of the stock market liberalization, contributing to the literature on law and finance and the literature on the stock market liberalization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5619-5642 Issue: 48 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1927963 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1927963 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:48:p:5619-5642 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicolas Huck Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Huck Author-Name: Régis Y. Chenavaz Author-X-Name-First: Régis Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Chenavaz Author-Name: Stanko Dimitrov Author-X-Name-First: Stanko Author-X-Name-Last: Dimitrov Title: Psychological prices at retail gasoline stations: the policies of 0-, 5-, and 9-ending prices Abstract: Psychological prices are known to impact consumer behaviour and to depend on retailers’ characteristics. Less understood is last digit pricing, especially in the context of retail gasoline stations. We study price endings in the French gasoline market with 11,471 gas stations and 4,775,300 prices for oil companies, supermarkets, and independent retailers during five years. Raw data suggest that 0-ending prices are more expensive. Yet, these last digit effects do not survive careful scrutiny focusing on the individual behaviour/distribution of each gas station. Plus, 9-, 0-, and 5-ending prices are over-represented. Our evidence better informs administrative authorities investigating market irregularities and consumers interested in better deals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5584-5598 Issue: 48 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1925627 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1925627 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:48:p:5584-5598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marta Escalonilla Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Escalonilla Author-Name: Begoña Cueto Author-X-Name-First: Begoña Author-X-Name-Last: Cueto Author-Name: Maria Jose Perez Villadóniga Author-X-Name-First: Maria Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Perez Villadóniga Title: Long-term effects on youth career of entering the labour market during the Great Recession Abstract: In this article, we analyse the long-term effects on youth professional careers of entering the Spanish labour market under adverse economic conditions, using administrative data from the Continuous Sample of Working Histories (CSWH) for the period 2007–2017. We follow a cohort approach and estimate a Weighted OLS specification. Results show that cohorts entering the labour market in a recession face long-term consequences both in terms of wages and employment. For less-educated individuals, we find that the main effect is via employment, even blocking their entry into the labour market. For high-educated individuals, instead, we obtain a long-term penalty in terms of wages as well as a reduction in the days worked. The main contribution of this paper is to provide evidence of the long run impact on youth careers of the Great Recession in a segmented labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5643-5657 Issue: 49 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1927966 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1927966 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:49:p:5643-5657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dwi Budi Santoso Author-X-Name-First: Dwi Budi Author-X-Name-Last: Santoso Title: The impact of industrial development zones designation on the convergence of economic growth in East Java Abstract: Since 2008, the strategy to concentrate industrial areas in eight regions in East Java has rapidly accelerated economic growth. However, this strategy also increases regional income disparity. Therefore in the last 2019, Indonesian government design a policy through Presidential Decree No.80/2019 to develop additional industrial centres of East Java into sixteen regions. The main objectives of the policy are to improve regional disparities and to maintain high economic growth. Based on this condition, this study aims to evaluate whether this policy can reduce regional income disparities in East Java. This study modifies the Barro-Martin convergence model to assess the new policy. The model is estimated using panel data of 38 regions in East Java from 2010–2019. There are two results in this study; first, the industrial sector can accelerate economic growth; and second, the additional industrial centres policy tends to improve regional income disparity in East Java. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5731-5737 Issue: 49 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1931002 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1931002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:49:p:5731-5737 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ana Paula Matias Gama Author-X-Name-First: Ana Paula Matias Author-X-Name-Last: Gama Author-Name: Ricardo Emanuel-Correia Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Emanuel-Correia Author-Name: Mário Augusto Author-X-Name-First: Mário Author-X-Name-Last: Augusto Author-Name: Fábio Duarte Author-X-Name-First: Fábio Author-X-Name-Last: Duarte Title: Bringing modernity to prosocial crowdfunding’s campaigns: an empirical examination of the transition to modern sectors Abstract: This study addresses the successive calls to better understand the contexts of crowdfunding as well as the interplay between social and financial factors in driving lender decisions by deploying economic development theory inspired on the two-sector model. Making recourse to the leading prosocial crowdfunding platform KIVA, this study examines the impact of the business-loan purpose (traditional vs modern) on the success of fundraising campaigns. The results indicate how modern-sector business loan campaigns lead to faster funding from crowdfunding campaigns. Furthermore, when directed towards modern sectors, large loans emerge as more appealing to lenders, indicating how large loans go to financing high-return projects. Female microentrepreneurs gain an advantage over men in both the traditional and modern sectors. However, the comparative advantage of female microentrepreneurs becomes less pronounced among modern-related loan campaigns. Overall, the findings support how the global crowdfunded microfinance ecosystem boosts the transition of poor microentrepreneurs to a modern economy and thereby avoiding development traps, and thus also providing theoretical insights into predicting prosocial lending decisions regarding sectoral choices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5677-5694 Issue: 49 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1927968 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1927968 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:49:p:5677-5694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: James William Saunoris Author-X-Name-First: James William Author-X-Name-Last: Saunoris Title: Determinants of homelessness in the U.S.: new hypotheses and evidence Abstract: This study seeks to provide new insights into factors that influence homelessness in the U.S. by empirically investigating two heretofore effectively unexplored hypotheses as they relate to homelessness. The first hypothesis is that the greater the overall degree of entrepreneurial activity in a given environment, the lower the degree of homelessness. The second hypothesis is that homelessness is a decreasing function of the overall degree of labour market freedom.Panel VAR, Granger causality, and Cholesky forecast-error variance decomposition analyses are undertaken. Overall, strong, empirical support for both hypotheses is obtained. Accordingly, the homelessness rate is found to be a decreasing function of both the overall degree of entrepreneurial activity in a given state and the overall degree of labour market freedom in that state. Hence, it is argued that policies promoting entrepreneurial activity and labour freedom potentially can be useful tools in helping to diminish the degree of homelessness in the U.S. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5695-5709 Issue: 49 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1927970 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1927970 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:49:p:5695-5709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pavel Ciaian Author-X-Name-First: Pavel Author-X-Name-Last: Ciaian Author-Name: d’Artis Kancs Author-X-Name-First: d’Artis Author-X-Name-Last: Kancs Author-Name: Miroslava Rajcaniova Author-X-Name-First: Miroslava Author-X-Name-Last: Rajcaniova Title: The economic dependency of bitcoin security Abstract: We studied the extent to which bitcoin blockchain security permanently depends on the underlying distribution of cryptocurrency market outcomes using daily blockchain and bitcoin data for 2014–2019 and employing the autoregressive-distributed lag (ARDL) approach. We tested three equilibrium hypotheses: (i) sensitivity of the bitcoin blockchain to mining reward, (ii) security outcomes of the bitcoin blockchain and the proof-of-work cost, and (iii) the speed of adjustment of the bitcoin blockchain security to deviations from the equilibrium path. Our results suggest that bitcoin price and mining rewards were intrinsically linked to bitcoin security outcomes.The bitcoin blockchain security’s dependency on mining costs was geographically differenced – it was more significant for the global mining leader China than for other world regions. Bitcoin blockchain security tended to revert relatively fast to its equilibrium security level after the input or output of price shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5738-5755 Issue: 49 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1931003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1931003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:49:p:5738-5755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elie Bouri Author-X-Name-First: Elie Author-X-Name-Last: Bouri Author-Name: Kakali Kanjilal Author-X-Name-First: Kakali Author-X-Name-Last: Kanjilal Author-Name: Sajal Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Sajal Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: David Roubaud Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Roubaud Author-Name: Tareq Saeed Author-X-Name-First: Tareq Author-X-Name-Last: Saeed Title: Rare earth and allied sectors in stock markets: extreme dependence of return and volatility Abstract: This study examines the dynamics of return and volatility connectedness between the rare earth stock index and the indexes of clean energy, consumer electronics, telecommunications, healthcare equipment, and aerospace & defence. Using daily data from 25 March 2010 to 25 August 2020, a quantile-based connectedness approach is applied to uncover both average and tail-based connectedness while considering the full sample period and the COVID-19 pandemic days. The results suggest that the interdependence among these indexes changes dramatically at the lower and upper quantiles, suggesting a strong influence of extreme market scenarios on both returns and volatility connectedness dynamics. Higher integration of sectoral indexes is observed during 2010–2012 and the COVID-19 pandemic period. Health care and telecommunication indexes have been consistent transmitters of return and volatility spillovers to other indexes during the full sample period. Consumer electronics and clean technology indexes switch their roles from a net receiver to a net transmitter during pandemic days. The rare earth remains on the recipient’s side consistently. The findings indicate that the ongoing U.S.–China trade embargo has not impacted the return and volatility dynamics of the five sectoral indexes superseding the demand-driven dynamics for rare earth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5710-5730 Issue: 49 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1927971 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1927971 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:49:p:5710-5730 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qing Li Author-X-Name-First: Qing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yanrui Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yanrui Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Organization capital, knowledge spillover and firm performance: evidence from chinese manufacturing sector Abstract: This study explores organization capital and its spillover effects among Chinese manufacturing firms. By linking patent data with China’s annual survey of industrial enterprises database, we examine technological proximity as one potential channel for organizational spillover but find weak evidence. This result is consistent with previous findings from developed countries. In contrast, organization capital is found to generate positive spillover in China when geographical proximity is considered. In other words, it is found that spillover from organization capital is likely among Chinese firms due to geographical proximity rather than technological proximity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5658-5676 Issue: 49 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1927967 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1927967 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:49:p:5658-5676 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helder Ferreira de Mendonça Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendonça Author-Name: Ytallo Brito Author-X-Name-First: Ytallo Author-X-Name-Last: Brito Title: The link between public debt and investment: an empirical assessment from emerging markets Abstract: This paper provides empirical evidence of the relationship between public debt/GDP ratio and investment. Based on panel data analysis considering 24 emerging markets from 1996 to 2018, we investigate the effect of an increase in public debt on investment at three levels: aggregate, private sector, and public sector. Moreover, we consider the possibility of the global financial crisis of 2007–2008 (GFC) has changed the relationship between public debt and investment. We also assess the effect of a public debt/GDP ratio higher than the prudential level of 60% on investment. The findings indicate that an increase in the public debt/GDP ratio has a significant harmful effect on investment. In particular, we observe that after the GFC, the adverse effect of a higher public debt/GDP ratio on investment increased considerably. Moreover, our results show that the highest adverse effect of a rise in the public debt/GDP ratio is on the public sector investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5864-5876 Issue: 50 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1931008 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1931008 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:50:p:5864-5876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyun Jin Jang Author-X-Name-First: Hyun Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Jang Author-Name: Xiao Pan Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Sumin Park Author-X-Name-First: Sumin Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Measuring systemic risk with a dynamic copula-based approach Abstract: This study examines the extent of systemic risk embedded in the credit and equity markets using a conditional value-at-risk (CoVaR) measure. We implement a copula-based CoVaR approach with different perspectives of a dependence structure based on a generalized autoregressive score model. In parallel, we select the credit default swap spread and stock price data of five companies in the financial sector – American Express, BBVA, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo – from 2001 to 2013, and include data on the global financial crisis of 2007–2008. We then divide the data into three time periods: pre-crisis, during the crisis, and post-crisis. We conduct time-varying marginal modelling, and copula parameter estimation, and then compute CoVaR values with the best-fit copula model. Comparative empirical tests provide financial implications for systemic risk management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5843-5863 Issue: 50 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1931007 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1931007 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:50:p:5843-5863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ufuk Gunes Bebek Author-X-Name-First: Ufuk Gunes Author-X-Name-Last: Bebek Author-Name: Wentao Li Author-X-Name-First: Wentao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Structural breaks, reserve currency and balance of payments constrained growth: a test of Thirlwall’s Law in the UK (1950-2017) Abstract: We apply Thirlwall’s law (Thirlwall 1979) to estimate long run growth in the UK. In particular, we develop a new test allowing for potential structural breaks based on 2SLS to remedy potential weaknesses that existed in previous methods. Our results show the UK had different balance of payments positions over different time periods, and its growth has been constrained over the past two decades. We further elaborate on the pound’s changing role as a reserve currency and how this has affected the UK’s external constraint and growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5756-5771 Issue: 50 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1927965 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1927965 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:50:p:5756-5771 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yanan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yanan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Bing Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Stock price contagion effects through investment banks Abstract: This paper investigates how stock market investors react to non-fraudulent firms that share the same investment bank with fraudulent companies. Using a Chinese sample from the period of 2003 to 2018, we find that firms penalized for IPO or M&A fraud induce stock price declines among non-fraudulent firms which share the same investment banks (non-fraudulent contagion firms). The results also show that stock price declines are more pronounced for low-quality investment banks, and investors impose larger penalties on stock prices when non-fraudulent client firms are of lower earnings quality, weaker corporate governance, and higher information asymmetry. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the non-fraudulent contagion firms are more likely to commit accounting fraud and exhibit inferior long-term post-IPO/post-M&A performance. Overall, the findings indicate an important stock price contagion effect occurring at the investment bank level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5793-5811 Issue: 50 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1931004 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1931004 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:50:p:5793-5811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Malick Fall Author-X-Name-First: Malick Author-X-Name-Last: Fall Author-Name: Waël Louhichi Author-X-Name-First: Waël Author-X-Name-Last: Louhichi Author-Name: Jean Laurent Viviani Author-X-Name-First: Jean Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Viviani Title: Forecasting the intra-day effective bid ask spread by combining density forecasts Abstract: The bid-ask spread refers to the tightness dimension of liquidity and can be used as a proxy for transaction costs. Despite the importance of the bid-ask spread in the financial literature, few studies have investigated its forecastability. We propose a new methodology to predict the bid ask spread by combining density forecasts of two types of models: Multiplicative Errors Models and ARMA-GARCH models. Our method is employed to predict the effective intra-day bid-ask spread series of all shares pertaining to the CAC40 index. Using a one-step-ahead out-of-sample framework, we resort on the Model Confidence Set procedure to classify models and we found that the proposed model appears to beat all the benchmark specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5772-5792 Issue: 50 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1929821 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1929821 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:50:p:5772-5792 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Viswa Prasad Gada Author-X-Name-First: Viswa Prasad Author-X-Name-Last: Gada Author-Name: Manish Popli Author-X-Name-First: Manish Author-X-Name-Last: Popli Author-Name: Shavin Malhotra Author-X-Name-First: Shavin Author-X-Name-Last: Malhotra Title: Time to complete the due diligence phase in mergers and acquisitions: impact of CEO psychological characteristics Abstract: The CEO is the chief decision-maker with regard to corporate strategy, and extant literature highlights how CEOs’ psychological characteristics inform firms’ risky strategic choices. In this article, we focus instead on how CEOs’ psychological characteristics might lead to risk-mitigation actions. Building on the regulatory focus theory, we investigate the impact of CEO’s prevention focus on the due diligence process in merger and acquisition (M&A) deals. Using a sample of 339 majority-stake completed M&A deals by public firms from the United Kingdom, we find that CEOs having a stronger prevention focus increases the time these firms take to complete their M&A deals. We also find that this effect is mitigated when firms acquire target firms in related industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5812-5825 Issue: 50 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1931005 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1931005 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:50:p:5812-5825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Evrim Akdogu Author-X-Name-First: Evrim Author-X-Name-Last: Akdogu Author-Name: Yigit Atilgan Author-X-Name-First: Yigit Author-X-Name-Last: Atilgan Title: The impact of debt covenants on earnings announcement returns Abstract: We study the impact of debt covenants on earnings announcement returns, using event-study methodology, by creating 10 covenant groups and a covenant index. We find that during bad news, whether it stems from a bad earnings surprise based on analyst forecasts or a negative average market reaction, both the index and most covenant groups display a significantly negative impact on announcement returns. For good news, particularly when the market reaction is positive on average, we also observe a significantly positive effect from some covenant groups, but not the index. The strongest impact on returns comes mostly from debt-related covenants such as leverage tests, cross-default clause and debt issue restrictions. Finally, we also show that regardless of firm characteristics, risk measures or exposure to information asymmetry, most covenants have a negative impact on announcement returns for all firms when the news is bad. For the full sample and the good news subsample, however, we find that small, risky firms with high information asymmetry issues are rewarded by the market and vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5826-5842 Issue: 50 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1931006 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1931006 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:50:p:5826-5842 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christophe Schalck Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Schalck Author-Name: Meryem Yankol-Schalck Author-X-Name-First: Meryem Author-X-Name-Last: Yankol-Schalck Title: Predicting French SME failures: new evidence from machine learning techniques Abstract: The aim of this study is to provide new insights into French small and medium-sized enterprises (SME) failure prediction using a unique database of French SMEs over the 2012–2018 period including both financial and nonfinancial variables. We also include text variables related to the type of activity. We compare the predictive performance of three estimation methods: a dynamic Probit model, logistic Lasso regression, and XGBoost algorithm. The results show that the XGBoost algorithm has the highest performance in predicting business failure from a broad dataset. We use SHAP values to interpret the results and identify the main factors of failure. Our analysis shows that both financial and nonfinancial variables are failure factors. Our results confirm the role of financial variables in predicting business failure, while self-employment is the factor that most strongly increases the probability of failure. The size of the SME is also a business failure factor. Our results show that a number of nonfinancial variables, such as localization and economic conditions, are drivers of SME failure. The results also show that certain activities are associated with a prediction of lower failure probability while some activities are associated with a prediction of higher failure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5948-5963 Issue: 51 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1934389 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1934389 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:51:p:5948-5963 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: James A. Giesecke Author-X-Name-First: James A. Author-X-Name-Last: Giesecke Author-Name: Christopher King Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: King Author-Name: Jason Nassios Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Nassios Author-Name: Nhi Hoang Tran Author-X-Name-First: Nhi Hoang Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: The impact of GST reform on Australia’s state and territory economies Abstract: We use a multi-regional general equilibrium model and a multi-regional microsimulation model to explore the economic consequences of a Goods and Services Tax (GST) rate rise and broadening of the GST base for Australia’s eight states and territories. We identify the states and territories adversely affected by GST change, and explain the regional structural factors responsible for differences in regional impacts. These findings have policy relevance in the context of Australia’s GST framework, which requires unanimous state and territory support for GST change. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5929-5947 Issue: 51 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1934388 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1934388 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:51:p:5929-5947 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paul Crosby Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Crosby Title: When does managerial experience matter? Evidence from Major League Baseball Abstract: In the world of professional sports, a manager’s ability to influence team success is often questioned. This study exploits a unique feature of Major League Baseball (MLB), which has different rules of play depending on what league a team is in, to examine whether managerial impact is driven by the level of responsibility they are given over in-game decision making. Using 47 seasons of MLB data, we find evidence that the development of human capital in the form of on-the-job experience and exposure to prior success is only beneficial when managers are employed in more complex decision-making environments. The results of this study have ramifications on the hiring decisions, both in terms of personnel choice and remuneration, of professional sports organizations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5877-5882 Issue: 51 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1931009 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1931009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:51:p:5877-5882 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lu Guo Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Zhimin Dai Author-X-Name-First: Zhimin Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Title: Study of total factor productivity on China’s science and technology service industry: provincial efficiency comparatively using 2010-2019 data Abstract: This research describes the industries’ development and efficiency distribution, investigates the process of industry efficiency influence of these industries’ agglomeration effect on total factor productivity (TFP) change based China’s science and technology service industries from 2010 to 2019 data. We analyse the main factors influencing TFP change and the stage effect difference of significant factors through using linear and non-linear regression equations by construct the panel regression equations. The empirical results show:1) the overall trend of science and technology service industry agglomeration in China is declining; 2) Provinces and regions exhibits a trend of respective agglomeration within the economic belt; 3) the different location entropies of the five regions lead to obvious differences in the development stages; 4) the influences of technology progress and foreign trade on TFP efficiency changes are generally significant; 5)Science and technology service industry have improved industrial efficiency in the central and western regions and made it easier for these regions to break through bottlenecks. We conclude that industrial efficiency improvements should be based on technology upgrading and expansion in infrastructure allocation, also offering more realistic solutions to promote system construction and interregional policy coordination. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5917-5928 Issue: 51 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1931658 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1931658 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:51:p:5917-5928 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jennifer Brodmann Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer Author-X-Name-Last: Brodmann Author-Name: Charles Danso Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Danso Author-Name: Surendranath Rakesh Jory Author-X-Name-First: Surendranath Rakesh Author-X-Name-Last: Jory Author-Name: Thanh Ngo Author-X-Name-First: Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Ngo Title: The value added by private equity in mergers and acquisitions by financial institutions Abstract: We compare and contrast (i) mergers and acquisitions (M&As) by financial institutions (FIs) that had the involvement of one or more private equity firms (PE) with (ii) acquisitions with no private equity involvement. We find that the M&A announcement abnormal stock returns are higher for acquisitions with- than without private equity involvement. Likewise, the post-announcement long-term annual stock returns are higher for deals with PE involvement. These deals also produce higher operating performance, and their stocks exhibit less volatility in the months following the announcement after controlling for a host of confounding variables. Our results are robust to year fixed effects, industry (i.e. business line) effects, and self-selection bias. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5898-5916 Issue: 51 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1931657 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1931657 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:51:p:5898-5916 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Babatunde Buraimo Author-X-Name-First: Babatunde Author-X-Name-Last: Buraimo Author-Name: Neil Coster Author-X-Name-First: Neil Author-X-Name-Last: Coster Author-Name: David Forrest Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Forrest Title: Spectator demand for the sport of kings Abstract: We estimate a model capturing influences on attendance in British horseracing. A fixed effects regression is employed in analysing data containing information on attendances at 23,999 race-days (2001–2018). The patterns of demand are similar to those found for other sports, for example, attendance is higher at weekends and in warmer months and is sensitive to the quality of the racing. Further, attendance falls when races have to compete with some televised sport of national significance. Controlling for a large number of characteristics, the pattern of results on year dummies implies considerable decline in public interest in attending race-days over the period. The pronounced negative trend in attendance suggests a need for modernizing the sport including attention to animal welfare issues, which might partly account for apparently growing public disillusion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5883-5897 Issue: 51 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1931010 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1931010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:51:p:5883-5897 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shiyu Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Shiyu Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: A study on the discrepancies between immigrants working in the regular and the ethnic enclave sectors in the Canadian Labor market Abstract: This paper studies performance differences between immigrants working in the regular Canadian labour market and those in the ethnic enclave sector of the economy. First, by studying the effects of education and race on the weekly wage earnings, I find that the returns to education are greater and being a visible minority carries less of a wage penalty for immigrants working in the regular sector compared with those in the enclave sector. Moreover, taking the AMEs (Average Marginal Effects) studies, I document different effects of education and race on both earnings and job segment for these two types of immigrants and propose an explanation. After this, I compute task supply and wage gaps between different types of immigrants in three census years to show differences in assimilation by immigration cohort. Finally, I use regression models to study immigrants’ task supply and weekly wages so that we can have a fuller view of the differences in performance between immigrants working in the regular and enclave sectors. I also use these models to analyse differences between immigrants and natives in Canada. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5964-5987 Issue: 51 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1934390 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1934390 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:51:p:5964-5987 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sawssen Araichi Author-X-Name-First: Sawssen Author-X-Name-Last: Araichi Author-Name: Tarifa Almulhim Author-X-Name-First: Tarifa Author-X-Name-Last: Almulhim Title: Vine copulas and fuzzy inference to evaluate the solvency capital requirement of multivariate dependent risks Abstract: A capital requirement should be established for insurance companies at a level that allows them to fulfil their engagements towards policyholders. As such, evaluating an accurate amount of reserve and capital within different lines of business is a fundamental procedure for any company. However, studying the dependence between lines of business and the uncertainty regarding this dependence has been neglected in prior actuarial research. In practice, the evaluation of a Solvency Capital Requirement may be inaccurate when the risks of different business lines are independent. Thus, the present article aims to provide an appropriate modelling approach for claim amounts by taking into account the multivariate dependence between risks. To alleviate this issue, it uses vine copula functions to capture dependence between multivariate distributions of risks for five lines of business. Moreover, the dependence structure may be uncertain which leads to determining different levels of capital. Therefore, we propose a fuzzy inference system to handle the uncertainty of dependence structure. The obtained results reveal that considering the multivariate dependence structure produces a higher amount of Solvency Capital Requirement than the independence case. Moreover, the Solvency Capital Requirement level is decided according to the degree of dependence between risks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6058-6074 Issue: 52 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1935696 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1935696 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:52:p:6058-6074 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ranjeet Singh Author-X-Name-First: Ranjeet Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: Nemiraja Jadiyappa Author-X-Name-First: Nemiraja Author-X-Name-Last: Jadiyappa Author-Name: Garima Sisodia Author-X-Name-First: Garima Author-X-Name-Last: Sisodia Title: Bankruptcy law, creditors’ rights and financing choices: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in India Abstract: In this study, we examined the impact of changes in creditors’ rights on the financial policy of Indian firms in a quasi-natural experimental set up. Using the implementation of Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) in 2016 as an exogenous policy shock, we investigated the changes in quantitative (leverage) and qualitative (debt maturity and debt heterogeneity) aspects of the financial policy. Overall, our findings indicated that the strengthening of creditors’ rights had a negative impact on debt ratio and debt heterogeneity and a positive impact on long-term debt maturity structure. These results were observed mainly in those firms that had a high probability of bankruptcy in the pre-implementation period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6036-6042 Issue: 52 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1934395 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1934395 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:52:p:6036-6042 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qiao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Is it really hard to motivate those who are not highly educated? Empirical evidence from a semi-parametric analysis Abstract: In this study, we estimate the principal-agent model of moral hazard using a semi-parametric estimation method. We estimate the principal-agent model of moral hazard using longitudinal data on firms and managerial compensation collected from the database of Beijing Juyuan Ruisi Data Technology Corporation Limited, called RESSET. The estimated primitives in the contracting model show that most managers with high school and master educations have significantly higher costs of moral hazard than managers with university and doctor educations. Managers with high school and master educations are harder to motivate because they lack the knowledge to fulfill the delegated tasks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6002-6035 Issue: 52 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1934394 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1934394 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:52:p:6002-6035 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Belton M. Fleisher Author-X-Name-First: Belton M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fleisher Author-Name: William H. McGuire Author-X-Name-First: William H. Author-X-Name-Last: McGuire Author-Name: Xiaojun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Min Qiang Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Min Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Induced innovation: evidence from China’s secondary industry Abstract: We investigate the effect of rising labour costs on induced technological change in China’s secondary industry. Building on insights developed in a rich literature, we propose a model linking changes in labour productivity to changes in labour costs and the predetermined availability of physical capital. Importantly, we derive testable hypotheses to distinguish induced innovation from standard substitution of capital for labour under fixed technology. Our empirical results support the hypothesis that rising wages have induced labour-saving innovation in China, at least in the decade of the 1990s, but less so or not at all after the middle of the next decade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6075-6093 Issue: 52 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937037 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937037 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:52:p:6075-6093 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyejin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hyejin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Mansik Hur Author-X-Name-First: Mansik Author-X-Name-Last: Hur Title: Non-normal errors or nonlinearity? performance of unit root tests Abstract: This paper investigates how unit root tests that are designed for non-normal errors perform in the presence of unknown forms of nonlinearity. This allows us to examine whether any neglected nonlinearity in an estimation procedure could be reflected, at least partly, in the form of non-normality. Our simulation study shows that in general, univariate tests that exploit the information in non-normal errors remain relatively powerful compared to well-known nonlinear unit root tests under various forms of nonlinear alternatives. We also investigate the unit root properties of the real effective exchange rates and real interest rates for 60 countries. The results support the findings in the simulation that the neglected non-normality or nonlinearity in the existing tests is captured and used in the linearized testing procedures as a source of power improvement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6094-6103 Issue: 52 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937038 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:52:p:6094-6103 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoyuan Zou Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Author-Name: Tongwei Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Tongwei Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Qundi Feng Author-X-Name-First: Qundi Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Qinying He Author-X-Name-First: Qinying Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Does family involvement increase the subjective well-being of the self-employed? Evidence from China Abstract: Using data from the China Household Finance Survey, we investigate the relationship between family involvement and the subjective well-being (SWB) of the self-employed. Instrumental variables are used to address the potential endogeneity of family involvement. We show that family involvement has a significant effect on SWB and that the effect varies depending on whether the self-employed hire employees. When there are no employees, the effect is significantly positive; when employees are present, the effect is significantly negative. Specifically, self-employed individuals who have family involvement but no employees significantly have the higher levels of SWB than all the other self-employed individuals. Mechanism analysis shows that family involvement affects the SWB of the self-employed through an increase in business income. Robustness checks, including an extended ordered probit regression model and an estimation using an alternative measure of family involvement, validate our findings. Our analysis implies that family labour is an effective source of human resources for self-employed individuals in China, especially those without employees. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6043-6057 Issue: 52 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1934396 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1934396 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:52:p:6043-6057 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonio Rodríguez Andrés Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Rodríguez Andrés Author-Name: Voxi Heinrich S. Amavilah Author-X-Name-First: Voxi Heinrich S. Author-X-Name-Last: Amavilah Author-Name: Abraham Otero Author-X-Name-First: Abraham Author-X-Name-Last: Otero Title: Evaluation of technology clubs by clustering: a cautionary note Abstract: Applications of machine learning techniques to economic problems are increasing. These are powerful techniques with great potential to extract insights from economic data. However, care must be taken to apply them correctly, or the wrong conclusions may be drawn. In the technology clubs literature, after applying a clustering algorithm, some authors train a supervised machine learning technique, such as a decision tree or a neural network, to predict the label of the clusters. Then, they use some performance metric (typically, accuracy) of that prediction as a measure of the quality of the clustering configuration they have found. This is an error with potential negative implications for policy, because obtaining a high accuracy in such a prediction does not mean that the clustering configuration found is correct. This paper explains in detail why this modus operandi is not sound from theoretical point of view and uses computer simulations to demonstrate it. We caution policy and indicate the direction for future investigations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5989-6001 Issue: 52 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1934393 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1934393 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:52:p:5989-6001 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yanchun Yi Author-X-Name-First: Yanchun Author-X-Name-Last: Yi Author-Name: Yajun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yajun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yaqin Li Author-X-Name-First: Yaqin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Ji Qi Author-X-Name-First: Ji Author-X-Name-Last: Qi Title: Impact of urban density on carbon emissions in China Abstract: Based on the panel data of 108 prefecture-level cities in China from 2003 to 2018, the carbon emission effect of urban density was studied by establishing a dynamic panel model. We found that there was a significant negative correlation between urban density and carbon emissions, and the increase in urban density reduced carbon dioxide emissions. The nonlinear estimation results of urban density and carbon emission show that urban density has different impacts on carbon emission at different urban population levels. With the increase in population size, the carbon emission reduction effect brought by urban density growth decreases. In medium-sized cities, increased urban density leads to the greatest reduction in carbon emissions, followed by large cities with populations of less than 5 million. In megacities with a population size of more than 5 million, the carbon emission reduction effect of urban density is not significant. Our conclusion supports the proposition of building compact cities and provides decision support for the ideal of ‘beautiful China’ in the process of urbanization in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6153-6165 Issue: 53 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937491 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937491 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:53:p:6153-6165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Kofi Adom Author-X-Name-First: Philip Kofi Author-X-Name-Last: Adom Author-Name: Joonho Yeo Author-X-Name-First: Joonho Author-X-Name-Last: Yeo Author-Name: Lin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Is water use sustainable and efficient in China? Evidence from a macro level analysis Abstract: This paper measures the performance and efficiency dynamics of provincial water use by differentiating the long-run persistent efficiency from the short-run transient efficiency. We combine the econometric frontier approach with panel Markov-switching and Tobit estimations to investigate the macro level data over the period 2002–2016. The results reveal evidence of significant provincial and regional disparities, with a mean efficiency of 0.42 in terms of water use. We find that a large share of inefficiency is attributed to the long-term structural component, with persistency inefficiency estimated as 55%. We also find that the probability of maintaining efficient is less sustainable (about 48.5% by the sixth year) compared with 54.3% for staying inefficient. Thus, it is relatively difficult to transition out of the less efficient state. We thus suggest policy directions for sustainable and efficient management of water resource use. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6166-6183 Issue: 53 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937496 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937496 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:53:p:6166-6183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Aparicio Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Aparicio Author-Name: Harold Fried Author-X-Name-First: Harold Author-X-Name-Last: Fried Author-Name: Jesus Pastor Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Pastor Author-Name: Loren W. Tauer Author-X-Name-First: Loren W. Author-X-Name-Last: Tauer Title: Learning to win on the PGA tour Abstract: There is variation in how long it takes a golfer to win for the first time on the PGA tour. There are also golfers who never win. We investigate the time to first win using a survival function methodology, including shots gained measures of golfing ability, number of events played, experience prior to joining the tour, the competition, as explanatory variables. We also construct and include a variable that measures the ability to perform under pressure. Our pressure construct is potentially applicable to empirical studies of performance under pressure in other sports and the workplace. The data are all golfers whose rookie year was between 2004 and 2015. We find that performance under pressure, prior experience, events played, off the tee (distance and accuracy), and putting are the top five explanations of time to first win. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6104-6119 Issue: 53 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1784391 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1784391 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:53:p:6104-6119 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mohammad Bitar Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Bitar Author-Name: Mohammed Benlemlih Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Benlemlih Author-Name: Elias Erragragui Author-X-Name-First: Elias Author-X-Name-Last: Erragragui Author-Name: Jonathan Peillex Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Peillex Title: Legal rules, information transparency and Islamic bank capital decisions Abstract: To what extent does the formal institutional environment influence Islamic bank capital decisions? We answer this question by assessing the effect of the legal rule index on a sample of 100 Islamic banks in 28 countries from 1999 to 2013. Our econometric analyses show that legal rule index positively and significantly influences capital ratios. The results can be explained by the idea that effective legal rules incentivize Islamic banks to hold higher capital ratios to signal better monitoring to depositors and regulators. In addition, we find that this positive association can be enhanced through strong information transparency channels, democratic and stable political institutions. These results provide insight into how a formal institutional environment can shape Islamic bank capital ratios. It further suggests that the formal institutional environment serves as a constraint on policymakers, as any given capital guideline may function very differently depending on the complexity of the formal institutional environment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6184-6203 Issue: 53 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937497 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937497 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:53:p:6184-6203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christos Agiakloglou Author-X-Name-First: Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Agiakloglou Author-Name: Emmanouil Deligiannakis Author-X-Name-First: Emmanouil Author-X-Name-Last: Deligiannakis Author-Name: Maria Psillaki Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Psillaki Title: Investigating the behaviour of sovereign risk for Eurozone countries Abstract: The article examines the determinants of sovereign risk for European Monetary Union countries taking into consideration the global financial crisis, which emerged as a sovereign debt crisis in Europe. Using CDS prices, as a proxy of sovereign risk, this study finds that bond yields, equity prices and exchange rate are the key drivers of CDS prices. Moreover, our findings support models with dynamic components and regional effects between core and peripheral Eurozone countries, providing evidence of major differences in risk evaluation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6204-6212 Issue: 53 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937498 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937498 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:53:p:6204-6212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minghua Dong Author-X-Name-First: Minghua Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Xiong Xiong Author-X-Name-First: Xiong Author-X-Name-Last: Xiong Author-Name: Xiao Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The role of media coverage in measuring the systemic risk of Chinese financial institutions Abstract: This paper examines the impact of media coverage on systemic risk spillover in the Chinese market based on a tail event-driven network. By calculating the nonlinear conditional value at risk (CoVaR) through a tail-event driven network of Chinese financial institutions, we find that the CoVaR that considers media coverage has more accurate validity. When media coverage is high, the overall risk of the financial sector shifts. Compared with four different sectors, other financial institutions have the highest average risk inputs and outputs while the banking sector is the most robust. To provide further evidence, we analyse the spillover channels in times of crisis. We find that increased coverage can reduce the risk exposure within the system. We also find positive media have a lower level of systemic risk than negative media coverage in the sample period. We calculated the systemic risk exposure to illustrate the Systemically Important Financial Institutions (SIFIs) based on systemic risk emitters and receivers. The results are consistent with the Global Systemically Important Financial Institutions (G-SIFIs) and are broadly consistent with the media coverage results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6138-6152 Issue: 53 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1934391 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1934391 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:53:p:6138-6152 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xu Xin Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Xin Author-Name: Xiaoli Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoli Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zigen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zigen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Kang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Kang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Coastal shuttle tanker inventory routing model with a discrete loaded quantity Abstract: This paper investigates a coastal shuttle tanker inventory routing problem. We convert the problem into a vehicle routing problem with time windows by using the discrete tanker loaded quantity and formulate this problem as an integer programming model. The model aims to minimize the total operating costs of the tanker fleet during the observation period. The composition and scheduling scheme of the fleet and loaded quantity of each tanker are collaboratively optimized. Based on the branch-and-price algorithm framework, an exact algorithm that can solve the actual-scale problem is designed. The efficiency and effectiveness of the algorithm are tested, and a sensitivity analysis is conducted for the fuel cost of the tankers. The results provide managerial insights that are expected to be beneficial for oil companies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6120-6137 Issue: 53 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1918625 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1918625 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:53:p:6120-6137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Umutlu Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Author-X-Name-Last: Umutlu Author-Name: Pelin Bengitöz Author-X-Name-First: Pelin Author-X-Name-Last: Bengitöz Author-Name: Adam Zaremba Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Zaremba Title: Decomposing the earnings-to-price ratio and the cross-section of international equity-index returns Abstract: We examine whether components of the earnings-to-price (EP) ratio can be used to extract incremental information to better estimate future returns in the cross-section of country-industry indexes. We demonstrate that the EP components, such as lagged EP, changes in earnings, short-term momentum and long-term reversal in prices increase the accuracy of return forecasts. The EP decomposition matters in developed markets but is pointless in emerging countries. The results are robust to modifications in the methodology, sub-period analyses, the use of an alternative sample and remain unchanged after controlling for net share issuance, size, and fixed country and time effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6213-6230 Issue: 54 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937499 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:54:p:6213-6230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Khan Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: Seong-Min Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Financial instability and environmental degradation: a panel data investigation Abstract: Economic theory suggests several channels through which financial instability might influence environmental quality. However, the empirical testing of this nexus comprises only few studies with conflicting outcomes on both the presence as well as the direction of this relationship. This study aims to fill this gap by analysing the relationship between pollution emissions, financial instability, output growth, trade openness, gross fixed capital formation and foreign direct investment (FDI) using a large sample of 88 developing economies for the 1980–2014 period. For our short- and long-run estimates, we use the panel vector error correction model (P-VECM) and the panel cointegration method. Our outcomes support the presence of long-run relationships between the selected variables. Moreover, the income, trade openness, investment and financial instability variables augment carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, whereas FDI reduces the latter. The vector error correction model (VECM) models show a bidirectional, short-run connection between income and environmental degradation. Our empirical findings have some important policy implications for developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6319-6331 Issue: 54 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937508 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937508 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:54:p:6319-6331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyeongwoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyeongwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Madeline H. Kim Author-X-Name-First: Madeline H. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: U.S. presidential election polls and the economic prospects of China and Mexico Abstract: Motivated by Mr. Trump’s agendas against China and Mexico, we investigate how a candidate’s probability of winning the U.S. presidential election affects the international financial markets that are related to these countries. Unexpected increases in Trump’s probability of winning the 2020 election generate significantly negative long-term effects on their home currency and the stock prices, while the default probability responds significantly positively in the long run. Similar responses, though in the short run, were observed when Mr. Biden’s probability of winning increases, which tends to dissipate quickly over time. The responses to the Biden shock resemble those to the Trump shock during the 2016 election, implying that the probability shock of the new entrant candidate creates short-run disturbances in the financial market, whereas the probability shock of the incumbent candidate such as Trump in 2020 or Clinton in 2016 helps stabilize financial markets in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6231-6248 Issue: 54 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937501 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937501 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:54:p:6231-6248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Antonella Biscione Author-X-Name-First: Antonella Author-X-Name-Last: Biscione Author-Name: Dorothée Boccanfuso Author-X-Name-First: Dorothée Author-X-Name-Last: Boccanfuso Author-Name: Annunziata De Felice Author-X-Name-First: Annunziata Author-X-Name-Last: De Felice Title: Regulations and Corporate Environmental Responsibility: evidence from a panel of firms in Transition economies Abstract: This study investigates how a set of regulations influences the pro-environmental actions of firms in a panel of 25 Transition Countries. For this purpose, we use the enterprise survey data developed by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), the European Investment Bank (EIB) and the World Bank Group (WBG). Based on a logit modelling and on the construction of different indicators characterizing the environmental actions of the firms, we find that regulation positively affects the decision of firms to implement an eco-action. Results are confirmed when we examine the different eco-action categories. Findings obtained from the interactions are also worthy of note. In particular, we find that board of directors are more prone to consider shareholder interests, and a strong network effect emerges between EU candidate countries and EU economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6286-6299 Issue: 54 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937506 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937506 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:54:p:6286-6299 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fei Fan Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Shangze Dai Author-X-Name-First: Shangze Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Keke Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Keke Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Haiqian Ke Author-X-Name-First: Haiqian Author-X-Name-Last: Ke Title: Innovation agglomeration and urban hierarchy: evidence from Chinese cities Abstract: Innovation agglomeration leads to changes in the hierarchical structure of innovation, driving regional economic development. We establish a general equilibrium framework for urban innovation, that is to say, the process of production in a city can be divided into the knowledge production sector and final goods production sector. By this we explain the positive matching relationship between innovation agglomeration and a city’s position in the urban hierarchy (herein called urban tier). Then we empirically analyse 286 prefecture level Chinese cities to evaluate the impact of urban tier on innovation agglomeration using a two-way fixed effect model. To reveal the nonlinear relationship between urban hierarchy and innovation agglomeration, panel quantile and threshold regression models were also used. The main results show that: (1) The spatial structure of innovation in Chinese cities is consistent with the urban tier, and the urban tier plays a significant role in promoting innovation agglomeration. (2) Heterogeneous spatial structures of innovation among urban tiers are reflected in the higher agglomeration of innovation resources in high-tier cities, and the impact of city scale on innovation agglomeration is nonlinear. When the city scale reaches a certain threshold value, its impact on innovation agglomeration is significantly strengthened. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6300-6318 Issue: 54 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937507 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:54:p:6300-6318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kanix Bukkavesa Author-X-Name-First: Kanix Author-X-Name-Last: Bukkavesa Author-Name: Dinorah Frutos-Bencze Author-X-Name-First: Dinorah Author-X-Name-Last: Frutos-Bencze Author-Name: Nat Kulvanich Author-X-Name-First: Nat Author-X-Name-Last: Kulvanich Title: Is growth in entrepreneurial activity truly beneficial for a prosperous and equitable economy? Abstract: This study attempts to refine and extend the understanding of how entrepreneurial activity in combination with various institutional and economic factors may increase or decrease the levels of economic inequality of a country. We use fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) methodology to obtain various configurations that arise when dimensions based on the national business systems framework are combined with entrepreneurial activity measures. We analysed configurations for two years, 2010 and 2018. Our findings suggest that there are several configurations of different types of entrepreneurial activities and institutional factors that lead to income inequality. However, there are also several configurations that promote income equality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6249-6265 Issue: 54 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937502 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937502 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:54:p:6249-6265 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Azzurra Annunziata Author-X-Name-First: Azzurra Author-X-Name-Last: Annunziata Author-Name: Massimiliano Agovino Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Agovino Author-Name: Aniello Ferraro Author-X-Name-First: Aniello Author-X-Name-Last: Ferraro Author-Name: Angela Mariani Author-X-Name-First: Angela Author-X-Name-Last: Mariani Title: Food waste as a consequence of an inefficient consumer’s choices: a microeconomic approach Abstract: This study frames the household food waste challenge in the microeconomic theory context by proposing a model that considers food waste a consequence of inefficient consumer choices. A data envelopment analysis (DEA) methodology was applied to factor consumer’s efficiency level dimension, starting from data collected through a web survey conducted in Italy with a sample of 530 individuals responsible for their households’ food-shopping. The findings confirm that food waste is a complex issue, affected by both behavioural and psychological factors, synthesized in three indices constructed with fuzzy analysis. The results show that the shopping behaviour index generates a higher average efficiency score for food waste minimization than the food waste concerns and moral attitudes indices. Furthermore, those drivers have different efficiency levels in reducing food waste with reference to gender, age, family composition, and educational level. The results have several implications for policymakers: they highlight the need to implement tailored educational and information campaigns that consider the most important targets identified, such as large families with children, young people, and men. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6266-6285 Issue: 54 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937503 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937503 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:54:p:6266-6285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dinesh Gajurel Author-X-Name-First: Dinesh Author-X-Name-Last: Gajurel Author-Name: Biplob Chowdhury Author-X-Name-First: Biplob Author-X-Name-Last: Chowdhury Title: Realized Volatility, Jump and Beta: evidence from Canadian Stock Market Abstract: Inclusion of jump component in the price process has been a long debate in finance literature. In this paper, we identify and characterize jump risks in the Canadian stock market using high-frequency data from the Toronto Stock Exchange. Our results provide a strong evidence of jump clustering – about 30% of jumps occur within first 30 minutes of trading hours, and about 25% of jumps are due to the overnight returns. While average intraday jump is negative, jumps induced by overnight returns bring a cancellation effect yielding average size of the jumps to zero. We show that the economic significance of jump component in volatility forecasting is significant but nominal. Our results further demonstrate that market jumps and overnight returns bring significant changes in systematic risk of stocks. From a cross-sectional perspective, while the average effect of market jumps on the beta is not significantly different from zero, the average effect of overnight returns is statistically significant. Overall, our results suggest that systematic risk induced by the market jumps could be hedged by combining value stocks and growth stocks in a portfolio whereas the systematic risk induced by overnight returns can not be hedged even with a well diversified portfolio. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6376-6397 Issue: 55 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1940082 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1940082 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:55:p:6376-6397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xianfang Su Author-X-Name-First: Xianfang Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Wenqiang Zhan Author-X-Name-First: Wenqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhan Author-Name: Yong Li Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Quantile dependence between investor attention and cryptocurrency returns: evidence from time and frequency domain analyses Abstract: This paper examines, in the time and frequency domains, the quantile dependence and directional predictability of investor attention to cryptocurrency returns. We find that there is significant tail dependence between investor attention and cryptocurrency returns. When market pays very high or very low attention to cryptocurrencies, there is an increased likelihood to have very large positive gains and suffer from very large negative results. Our results indicate that the quantile dependence between investor attention and cryptocurrency returns has a higher statistical significance in the long-term than medium-term and short-term. This implies that quantile dependence between investor attention and cryptocurrency returns is mainly dominated by low-frequency components. These findings have important implications for cryptocurrency investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6439-6471 Issue: 55 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1940826 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1940826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:55:p:6439-6471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rajiv Nathoo Author-X-Name-First: Rajiv Author-X-Name-Last: Nathoo Author-Name: Ruhul Salim Author-X-Name-First: Ruhul Author-X-Name-Last: Salim Author-Name: Vinaye Ancharaz Author-X-Name-First: Vinaye Author-X-Name-Last: Ancharaz Author-Name: Mahfuz Kabir Author-X-Name-First: Mahfuz Author-X-Name-Last: Kabir Title: Does aid for trade diversify sub-Saharan Africa’s exports at the intensive and extensive margins? Abstract: This article applies the flexible estimation approach to estimate an augmented gravity trade model to investigate the link between aid for trade (AfT) and export diversification along the intensive and extensive margins in 42 sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries for the period 1995 to 2019. The findings suggest that total AfT is conducive to export diversification along both margins. When analysed by the AfT category, the results reveal that AfT for trade facilitation is more effective in the short run in boosting exports at the extensive margin while AfT for productive capacity building has a bigger impact along both export margins in the longer term. AfT for economic infrastructure seems to promote exports only at the intensive margin. A key policy implication for the donor community is that providing new and additional resources to trade facilitation in African countries could deliver the highest immediate returns in terms of aid effectiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6412-6425 Issue: 55 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1940084 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1940084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:55:p:6412-6425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Bucci Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Bucci Author-Name: Lorenzo Carbonari Author-X-Name-First: Lorenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Carbonari Author-Name: Monia Ranalli Author-X-Name-First: Monia Author-X-Name-Last: Ranalli Author-Name: Giovanni Trovato Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Trovato Title: Health and economic development: evidence from non-OECD countries Abstract: This paper studies the empirical relationship between population’s health and real GDP dynamics in low- and middle-income countries. We employ a semi-parametric technique, which combines mixed panel data models and cluster analysis to account for unobserved heterogeneity, an important source of estimation bias in growth regressions. We estimate a version of the Solow growth model augmented with human capital, in the form of both education and health. Our estimates show that population s health, here proxied by the life expectancy at birth, has a positive, sizable, and statistically significant effect on both the level and the growth rate of the real per capita GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6348-6375 Issue: 55 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1939856 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1939856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:55:p:6348-6375 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huwei Wen Author-X-Name-First: Huwei Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Zhao Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: How does China’s industrial policy affect firms’ R&D investment? Evidence from ‘Made in China 2025’ Abstract: Aimed at improving innovation capacity and upgrading technology of manufacturing industry, ‘Made in China 2025’ (CM2025), which relies on selective industrial policies, has attracted great attention. This paper investigates the effects of CM2025 on firms’ R&D investment using CEM-DID, a combination method based on the coarsened exact matching and the difference-in-difference. The method can effectively identify causal relationships without suffering from selection bias. Employing a panel data of 1,440 Chinese A-share listed firms from 2012 to 2018, we find firms with core business covered by the areas of CM2025 increase their R&D investment significantly after the policy intervention. Moreover, CM2025 significantly increases government subsidies and financial loans for treated firms, and both effects are larger for SOEs. This finding supports the critique that CM2025 goes against the competitive neutrality principle. No increase in innovation output and total factor productivity is found in the short-term. Our findings are enlightening for enacting better industrial policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6333-6347 Issue: 55 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1717429 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1717429 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:55:p:6333-6347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Zhenxing Xiong Author-X-Name-First: Zhenxing Author-X-Name-Last: Xiong Title: Do stringent environmental regulations help improve the total factor carbon productivity? Empirical evidence from China’s industrial sectors Abstract: How can China fully use the limited carbon emission space to achieve the dual goal of stable economic growth and a gradual decline in carbon emissions under increasingly severe global climate change? To address this issue, this paper incorporates the carbon emission space as a production factor into the total factor analysis framework and discusses how environmental regulations affect the total factor carbon productivity. The conclusions reveal that the current environmental regulations have a direct effect on improvement in the total factor carbon productivity of industrial sectors. Environmental regulations also have an indirect effect on the total factor carbon productivity that is mainly achieved through the energy structure and technological advancement. The results of the additional analyses show that these direct and indirect effects have threshold characteristics. Increasing the total factor carbon productivity is beneficial only when the environmental regulation intensity, energy structure and technological level are within a reasonable threshold range. Therefore, the environmental regulation intensity, energy structure conditions and technological level need to be considered when environmental regulations are relied upon to improve the total factor carbon productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6398-6411 Issue: 55 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1940083 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1940083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:55:p:6398-6411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victoria Ateca-Amestoy Author-X-Name-First: Victoria Author-X-Name-Last: Ateca-Amestoy Author-Name: Arantza Ugidos Author-X-Name-First: Arantza Author-X-Name-Last: Ugidos Title: Gender differences in cultural and sports activities attendance: an intra-couple analysis Abstract: We study how education affects cultural and sports attendance of spouses using the Survey on Living Conditions 2015. With a sample of 7920 heterosexual couples, we estimate bivariate models for attendance to cinema, visits to monuments, life performances and sports events. We conduct research at the intra-household level and estimate the marginal effect of female and male characteristics over the probability of having a household where both members participate in the same type of social activity. Own and spouse’s education, income and having young children (0–3 years old) are the main drivers of both partners’ attending the same activities. Both male and female education have a positive, but not statistically different effect, on these probabilities. The probability of both spouses participating in culture and sports activities increases with income and decreases with the presence of young children. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6426-6438 Issue: 55 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1940085 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1940085 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:55:p:6426-6438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: In Kyung Kim Author-X-Name-First: In Kyung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Organizational form and performance: The cinema chain case Abstract: In this article, we explore the relationship between the organizational form of a chain-affiliated establishment and its performance. Unlike previous studies focusing on retail or small service sectors, we consider an industry that requires large investments in equipment and facilities. Using cross-sectional data on Korean movie theatres, we find evidence that performance is higher in company-owned theatres than in franchised ones. We also find that company-owned theatres maintain higher-quality equipment compared to franchised theatres while setting prices higher. These findings and the observation that the share of franchised theatres falls over time in this industry are consistent with the implications of the capital-constraint argument for franchising rather than the agency-incentives argument.* Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6472-6487 Issue: 56 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1946003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1946003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:56:p:6472-6487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wensheng Kang Author-X-Name-First: Wensheng Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Fernando Perez de Gracia Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Perez de Gracia Author-Name: Ronald A. Ratti Author-X-Name-First: Ronald A. Author-X-Name-Last: Ratti Title: Do gasoline prices respond to non-US and US oil supply shocks? Abstract: This paper extends previous literature that investigates the impact of crude oil prices on US gasoline prices using a structural vector autoregressive model of the global crude oil market. In particular, we disentangle the global oil production into non-US and US oil production and we examine whether real gasoline prices respond to non-US and US oil supply shocks using monthly data from October 1973 to February 2018. It shows that non-US (US) oil supply disruptions generate nonsignificant (significantly positive) effects on the real price of oil and real price of gasoline. The effect of non-US (US) oil supply shocks on the real price of gasoline has been declining (rising) over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6488-6496 Issue: 56 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1946473 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1946473 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:56:p:6488-6496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunil Sangwan Author-X-Name-First: Sunil Author-X-Name-Last: Sangwan Author-Name: Narayan Chandra Nayak Author-X-Name-First: Narayan Chandra Author-X-Name-Last: Nayak Author-Name: Harshita Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Harshita Author-Name: Vikas Sangwan Author-X-Name-First: Vikas Author-X-Name-Last: Sangwan Title: Borrowers’ credit risk factors, perception towards repayment interventions and moral hazard in loan delinquency: an investigation of Indian microfinance institutions Abstract: The study explores the borrowers’ credit risk factors, perception towards repayment interventions, and the problems of moral hazard affecting delinquency in uncollateralized loans issued by the Microfinance Institutions (MFI). It employs the partial least square structural equation modelling to develop a buyer-side perception-behavioural model for borrowers’ loan delinquency behaviour. The findings indicate that the borrowers’ perception towards MFI loan repayment interventions and group homogeneity significantly reduces the moral hazard problem leading to a lower delinquency rate. The household socio-economics characteristics also seem to have a significant association with the borrowers’ loan delinquency. Identification of borrowers’ credit risk factors and the interlinkage between borrower’s perception towards repayment interventions, group homogeneity, and moral hazard in loan delinquency can provide critical insights that MFIs can consider while disbursing uncollateralized loans to control the default risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6554-6569 Issue: 56 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1946478 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1946478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:56:p:6554-6569 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Munawar Ismail Author-X-Name-First: Munawar Author-X-Name-Last: Ismail Title: The direct effect of commercial banks on poverty reduction: evidence from provinces in Indonesia Abstract: Many studies at the macro-level have proved the direct influence of savings and credit on poverty reduction. This study aimed to correct this finding and employed commercial banks as the research case because most poor people had major barriers to directly access services provided by commercial banks. This study revealed that savings did not affect poverty reduction by employing panel data composed from provinces in Indonesia from 2004 to 2018. This finding indicated that the poor people did not prefer commercial banks for saving their money which functions as an instrument for their fund accumulation or emergency savings. On the contrary, this study proved that the credit of commercial banks affected regional poverty. Besides, this study revealed that poverty among regions in Indonesia was heterogeneous. The regions with more developed banking infrastructures do not automatically have a low poverty rate. Therefore, anti-regional poverty policy should focus on commercial bank reinforcement as intermediary institutions and regional aspects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6497-6509 Issue: 56 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1946474 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1946474 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:56:p:6497-6509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhengrong Yi Author-X-Name-First: Zhengrong Author-X-Name-Last: Yi Author-Name: Churen Sun Author-X-Name-First: Churen Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Import trade liberalization and individual happiness: evidence from chinese general social survey 2010-2015 Abstract: The happiness of citizens has long been the focus of all national governments. From a perspective of import trade liberalization, this paper uses 2010–2015 Chinese General Social Survey (CGSS) data to analyse whether import trade liberalization can improve national happiness and through which channels. The results show that import trade liberalization can significantly improve individual happiness and promote the happiness of citizens in the central region. When individuals are high-educated or high-income ones, trade liberalization can make them come out of the feelings of unhappiness more quickly. The trade liberalization can consolidate the happiness foundation of rural residents and improve the feelings of very happy of the urban ones. Further mechanism analysis demonstrates that import trade liberalization can improve individual happiness by enhancing individual fitness and marketization of the provinces where the individual is settled. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6535-6553 Issue: 56 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1946477 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1946477 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:56:p:6535-6553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: He Xiao Author-X-Name-First: He Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Xin Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Heyang Fang Author-X-Name-First: Heyang Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Yifei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yifei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Insider share pledging and firm value consequences under the COVID-19: evidence from China Abstract: Share pledging, the practice in which shareholders secure a loan using their shares, has become a global phenomenon in recent years. In this paper, we investigate the effect of such corporate insider actions on outsider wealth during the pandemic. Concretely, we examine how firms’ market value change when corporate insiders pledge their shareholdings during China’s COVID-19 outbreak. It is found that market investors responded adversely to share pledging announcements by firms in the high pandemic-affected regions. Besides, the state ownership and better corporate governance structures of the pledged firms could mitigate such adverse impacts. Our study highlights a specific externality generated by corporate insiders to outside shareholders during a crisis period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6522-6534 Issue: 56 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1946476 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1946476 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:56:p:6522-6534 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jungho Baek Author-X-Name-First: Jungho Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Title: A new look at the oil prices and exchange rates nexus: a quantile cointegrating regression approach to south korea Abstract: The present article contributes to the existing research by applying a quantile autoregressive distributed lag (QARLD) method to investigate whether the locational asymmetries across quantiles exist between oil prices and the real exchange rate for an oil-importer, specifically South Korea (KRW). We discover that the oil price impacts are heterogeneous across quantiles and evidence of locational asymmetry in the short run. In the long run, however, there is little evidence of significant oil price impacts across quantiles and of locational asymmetry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6510-6521 Issue: 56 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1946475 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1946475 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:56:p:6510-6521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seongkyu Gilbert Park Author-X-Name-First: Seongkyu Gilbert Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Title: Contract size changes in the options market: effects on market efficiency and investor behaviour Abstract: We study options market participants’ trading behaviour before and after the options multiplier increases. After the options multiplier increases, the options market becomes more efficient. By analysing the high-frequency microstructure dataset, we show that local retail and local institutional investors who trade in both options and futures markets trade more after the change in the multiplier. Our results imply that the increase in the market efficiency may be caused by fewer speculators. In addition, lottery stocks are traded more actively after the options multiplier increase. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6670-6682 Issue: 57 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1948962 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1948962 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:57:p:6670-6682 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hebatalla Atef Emam Author-X-Name-First: Hebatalla Atef Author-X-Name-Last: Emam Title: Interest rate setting in Egypt: a NARDL approach for estimating backward-looking monetary policy reaction function Abstract: The role of inflation versus output and exchange rate in designing monetary policy in Egypt has been subject to considerable debate in literature, even after the proclamation of price stability as the monetary policy objective in 2004 and the adoption of flexible exchange rate system in 2016. This study aims to investigate the main drivers of interest rate setting in Egypt throughout the period from 2005 to 2019. In this context, both an ARDL and NARDL econometric techniques are employed to estimate the backward-looking augmented Taylor monetary policy reaction function. The estimated equation estimates policy rate as a function in lagged inflation, lagged output gap, lagged policy rate, change in real effective exchange rate, in addition to other variables. The importance of this study arises from the lack of recent studies assessing interest rate setting in Egypt. The study concludes that monetary policy in Egypt has been accommodative to inflation and that Central Bank of Egypt responds asymmetrically to shocks in inflation, output and exchange rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6655-6669 Issue: 57 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1948961 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1948961 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:57:p:6655-6669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nighat Seema Author-X-Name-First: Nighat Author-X-Name-Last: Seema Author-Name: Fazal Jawad Seyyed Author-X-Name-First: Fazal Jawad Author-X-Name-Last: Seyyed Author-Name: Choudhry Tanveer Shehzad Author-X-Name-First: Choudhry Tanveer Author-X-Name-Last: Shehzad Title: Impact of gender on access to finance in developing countries Abstract: This paper studies the effect of female ownership on access to finance on a broad panel of developing countries. We find that female owners generally face more credit constraints compared to their male counterparts, however, such constraints are lower for women-owned firms that have an experienced senior management. We further show that with better institutional and policy environment in a country, women-owned firms face fewer credit constraints. Our findings remain robust when tested across a sample of small and medium enterprises (hereinafter SMEs) and other sensitivity tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6582-6610 Issue: 57 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1947958 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1947958 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:57:p:6582-6610 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariarosaria Comunale Author-X-Name-First: Mariarosaria Author-X-Name-Last: Comunale Author-Name: Francesco Paolo Mongelli Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Mongelli Title: Tracking growth in the euro area subject to a dimensionality problem Abstract: Which variables have supported growth in the euro area over the last 30 years? Answering is challenging due to dimensionality problems caused by a large set of potential determinants, limited data availability, and the prospect of non-stationarity of some variables. We propose an atheoretical framework starting with a set of 35 real, financial, monetary, and institutional variables for nine of the initial euro area countries covering the period between 1990Q1 and 2019Q4. Using the Weighted-Average Least Squares method, we gather clues about which variables to select. We quantify the impact of various determinants of growth in the short and long runs. Our main findings are that institutional reforms, competitiveness, monetary policy and a decrease in systemic risk play a relevant role for long-run growth in the euro area. Surprisingly, the fiscal deficit is not an important factor, and neither is credit to households. Lower debt to GDP ratios are beneficial in the short run. Credit to firms has been an important factor for growth in core countries and an increase in global GDP spillovers positively to the euro area growth in a longer horizon. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6611-6625 Issue: 57 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1947959 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1947959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:57:p:6611-6625 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yan Li Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yanjiang Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yanjiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Yaqing Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yaqing Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Qingbo Huang Author-X-Name-First: Qingbo Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: The influence of foreign direct investment and trade opening on green total factor productivity in the equipment manufacturing industry Abstract: Foreign direct investment (FDI) and import and export trade helped strengthen China’s equipment manufacturing industry, which is among the world’s top high performing industries. However, extensive economic growth in the manufacturing sector has caused massive resource consumption and serious environmental pollution. Therefore, this paper analyzes the impact of FDI and trade openness on the green total factor productivity (GTFP) of China’s equipment manufacturing industry by using panel data of the equipment manufacturing industry and 7 sub-industries in China operating from 2003 to 2015. The results indicate that FDI, export trade, human capital, and environmental regulation have asignificant positive impact on the GTFP of China’s equipment manufacturing industry, while import trade and technological innovation have asignificant negative impact. And the levels of human capital, technological innovation and environmental regulation restrict the impact of FDI and export trade on the GTFP of the equipment manufacturing industry through threshold effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6641-6654 Issue: 57 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1947961 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1947961 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:57:p:6641-6654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Minjung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minjung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Financial constraints, productivity, and the global financial crisis Abstract: This study investigates the effects of firms’ financial constraints on their productivity by considering firms’ ownership structure and characteristics using a manufacturing firm-level dataset from South Korea for the period 2006–2017. The System Generalized Method of Moments results indicate that foreign multinational corporations rarely experienced financial constraints on their productivity, whereas the effects of financial constraints on productivity were aggravated for domestic firms during the global financial crisis. Particularly, small, young, and unaffiliated domestic firms experienced more severe financial constraints, especially during the global financial crisis, than did large, old, and affiliated domestic firms. The results show that small, young, and unaffiliated domestic firms which invested in R&D activity were less financially constrained than those without R&D activity. Based on the Heckman two-step estimation results, financial factors significantly affected R&D investment; thus, severe financial constraints hindered optimal R&D investment, which is necessary for productivity enhancement. Therefore, financial market failure during the global financial crisis resulted in productivity polarization. Hence, policies that relax financial constraints for innovation activity, such as R&D subsidies and tax exemption incentives should be targeted to financially vulnerable firms, such as small, young, and unaffiliated domestic firms. These policies should be strengthened during a financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6570-6581 Issue: 57 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1922596 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1922596 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:57:p:6570-6581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Monoj Kumar Majumder Author-X-Name-First: Monoj Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Majumder Author-Name: Mala Valliammai Raghavan Author-X-Name-First: Mala Valliammai Author-X-Name-Last: Raghavan Author-Name: Joaquin L. Vespignani Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin L. Author-X-Name-Last: Vespignani Title: Impact of commodity price volatility on external debt: the role of exchange rate regimes Abstract: This study explores the impact of commodity price volatility on external debt accumulation under fixed, managed, and floating exchange rate regimes. We estimate dynamic panel data models for 97 countries from 1993 to 2016. Our empirical findings show that commodity price volatility increases external debt accumulation for commodity-exporting countries. This impact is three-times higher for countries with fixed exchange rate regimes compared to managed floating exchange rate regimes. Under floating exchange regimes, the effect of commodity price volatility on external debt is statistically insignificant. Our results suggest that the adoption of a floating exchange rate regime by commodity-exporting countries is critical to mitigate the effects of commodity price volatility on external debt accumulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6626-6640 Issue: 57 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1947960 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1947960 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:57:p:6626-6640 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emmanuel Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: The impact of COVID-19 on economic growth: evidence from a Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressive (BPVAR) model Abstract: This paper explores the impact on the macroeconomy for certain OECD economies exposed to the COVID-19 pandemic shock. The analysis employs a panel of OECD countries, spanning the period March 2020 to January 2021. It also uses two proxies for the COVID-19 shocks: i) total confirmed incidences/cases and ii) total deaths while using the Bayesian Panel Vector Autoregressive (BPVAR) method. The findings document that the COVID-19 shock exerts a strong negative effect on industrial production. Considering how such epidemic shocks affect the expectations of economic participants, the paper questions their absence in accounting for forthcoming growth-related incidences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6739-6751 Issue: 58 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1946479 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1946479 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:58:p:6739-6751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Rajesh Pathak Author-X-Name-First: Rajesh Author-X-Name-Last: Pathak Author-Name: Ranjan DasGupta Author-X-Name-First: Ranjan Author-X-Name-Last: DasGupta Author-Name: Perry Sadorsky Author-X-Name-First: Perry Author-X-Name-Last: Sadorsky Title: Modelling dependence and systemic risk between oil prices and BSE sectoral indices using stochastic copula and CoVar, ΔCoVar and MES approaches Abstract: We investigate the dependency, risk spillovers, and systemic risk between the sectoral indices returns of the Bombay stock exchange (BSE) and oil prices using recently developed empirical techniques. The dependence is modelled using the time varying Stochastic Autoregressive Copulas (SCAR). Conditional value-at-risk (CoVaR), ΔCoVaR and marginal expected shortfall (MES) measures are used to examine the systemic risk. We find rotated Gumbel and normal copulas to be the best fitting in our analysis. Sectors such as energy, power, and industrial exhibit higher persistence in dependence structure compared to other sectors. Our results reveal that the underlying forces of the dependence between oil prices with other industries vary across time, albeit not so much during stable periods, but increase remarkably during turbulent times. All sectors are affected significantly by extreme oil price movements. The average short-run MES is highest for the metals, materials, and industrials sectors. The lowest average short-run MES values are observed for the fast-moving consumer goods, auto, and carbon sectors. Our risk analysis results reveal that Indian stock sectors are not resistant to oil shocks and there exists significant systemic risk between these markets and the crude oil market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6770-6788 Issue: 58 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1949430 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1949430 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:58:p:6770-6788 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Xue Li Author-X-Name-First: Xue Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yaqin Su Author-X-Name-First: Yaqin Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: The Impacts of Education on Domestic Violence: Evidence from China Abstract: Exploiting the Compulsory Schooling Law reform in China, this paper investigates the causal impact of education on the likelihood of women experiencing domestic violence from their spouse. The local average treatment effects (LATE) obtained through the instrument variables approach indicate that one additional year of schooling lowers women’s likelihood of experiencing physical and sexual abuse from their spouse by 7.1 and 3.4 percentage points, respectively. Further, we find that the causal impacts of education are more pronounced in the subsample of women who are less educated, women in rural areas, and women in regions with relatively lower human capital endowment prior to the reform. Additionally, we explore various channels and find that change in attitudes towards gender roles may be an important channel explaining the impact of increased female education on lowering domestic violence. We also address the possible bias caused by migration of individuals, and our results remain robust. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6702-6720 Issue: 58 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937504 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937504 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:58:p:6702-6720 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Addendum Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6789-6789 Issue: 58 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1775028 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1775028 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:58:p:6789-6789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jihun Bae Author-X-Name-First: Jihun Author-X-Name-Last: Bae Author-Name: Jeong Hwan Joo Author-X-Name-First: Jeong Hwan Author-X-Name-Last: Joo Title: CEO turnover, leadership vacuum, and stock market reactions Abstract: CEO departures with a delay in successor appointment create a leadership vacuum inducing operational disruption and strategic uncertainty. Such departures also produce turnaround benefits from cutting ties with a poorly performing CEO and by allowing additional time to search for a qualified successor. Prior studies fail to disentangle these perceived costs and benefits associated with CEO dismissal. After filtering out the turnaround benefits, we find that the market reacts incrementally negatively to CEO departure announcements with a delay in successor appointment than those without such delay, capturing incremental switching costs caused by a leadership vacuum. We also find that the leadership vacuum cost is larger in a more volatile environment or with abandonment of a relay succession plan. Our findings contribute to CEO turnover literature by suggesting that a temporary leadership vacuum is an indicator of abandonment of a succession plan that has been influenced by a poorly performing CEO and that such abandonment creates an opportunity to achieve performance turnaround through a better successor. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6752-6769 Issue: 58 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1927969 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1927969 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:58:p:6752-6769 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leonardo Iania Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Author-X-Name-Last: Iania Author-Name: Marco Lyrio Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Lyrio Author-Name: Rubens Moura Author-X-Name-First: Rubens Author-X-Name-Last: Moura Title: Bond risk premia in emerging markets: evidence from Brazil, China, Mexico, and Russia Abstract: We employ an affine term structure model with no-arbitrage restrictions and unspanned risk factors to analyse the global and domestic determinants of bond risk premia in four major emerging markets (Brazil, China, Mexico, and Russia). Among the risk factors, we select national inflation and economic growth, and the country-specific nominal exchange rate against the US dollar as the variables related to the domestic economy. We include a measure of worldwide economic activity, the Market Volatility Index (VIX), and an aggregate price index of commodities in the group of global factors. Our model captures (long-term) movements of realized risk premia and indicates that global economic and financial factors play a relevant role in explaining country-specific bond risk premia dynamics. In contrast, domestic variables carry little explanatory power to rationalize risk premia developments in these four economies. We also provide evidence of heterogeneous responses of country-specific risk premia to global and domestic shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6721-6738 Issue: 58 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937505 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937505 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:58:p:6721-6738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Benan Zeki Orbay Author-X-Name-First: Benan Zeki Author-X-Name-Last: Orbay Author-Name: Yigit Aydede Author-X-Name-First: Yigit Author-X-Name-Last: Aydede Author-Name: Narod Erkol Author-X-Name-First: Narod Author-X-Name-Last: Erkol Title: Why does field of study–occupation mismatch have no effect on wages in Turkish labour markets? Abstract: The Turkish labour market has undergone remarkable changes in the last two decades. An important development is the rising number of university graduates: The aim of this study is to explore whether the Turkish economy has undergone sufficient technological progress to favour more skilled workers, by analysing the effects of skill mismatch on wages in the Turkish labour market. Using three recent Labour Force Surveys from 2014 to 2016, we show that a significant proportion of university graduates are overeducated for their jobs. This descriptive finding in itself would not necessarily indicate a fundamental education-specific mismatch problem, but a transition in labour markets following rapid structural shifts in a developing economy. However, our findings also show that the most suitable jobs for university graduates may not require specialization in any field of study in Turkey. Both findings imply that supply and demand for skilled workers may be in short-term disequilibrium leading to surpluses in different skills in Turkish labour markets consistent with the recent evidence for constant relative real wages for skilled workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6683-6701 Issue: 58 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1937500 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1937500 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:58:p:6683-6701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michèle Breton Author-X-Name-First: Michèle Author-X-Name-Last: Breton Author-Name: Bertrand Crettez Author-X-Name-First: Bertrand Author-X-Name-Last: Crettez Author-Name: Naila Hayek Author-X-Name-First: Naila Author-X-Name-Last: Hayek Title: Corporate social responsibility, profits, and welfare in a duopolistic market Abstract: We consider a two-stage game in a differentiated duopoly, where firms can pursue both a profit and a socially responsible objective. We assume that the maximum willingness-to-pay of consumers increases with the weights given by firms to their social objective, and that the social objective has a negative impact on the firms’ output. In the first stage of the game, the firms decide on the weight of their social objective and, in the second stage, firms compete à la Cournot. We show that accounting for social concerns in the firms’ objective is generally profitable, and that lower output and higher profits can be attained in equilibrium when the impact of firms’ social awareness on consumers’ willingness to pay is above a given threshold that depends on the products substitutability parameter. However, we find that the impact of firms’ social awareness on consumers’ and total welfare is ambiguous. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6897-6909 Issue: 59 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1950907 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1950907 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:59:p:6897-6909 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lucrezia Fanti Author-X-Name-First: Lucrezia Author-X-Name-Last: Fanti Author-Name: Dario Guarascio Author-X-Name-First: Dario Author-X-Name-Last: Guarascio Author-Name: Matteo Tubiana Author-X-Name-First: Matteo Author-X-Name-Last: Tubiana Title: Skill mismatch and the dynamics of Italian companies’ productivity Abstract: This work explores the relationship between labour productivity and skill (mis) match relying on a unique database integrating information at both the firm and the worker level. The analysis is based on a novel skill match indicator providing actual and qualitatively detailed information on the demand/supply of skills. Focusing on a sample of Italian limited liability companies observed during 2012, 2014 and 2017, we show that the ability to match their skills need via new hires is always positively correlated to companies’ labour productivity. This result is robust to the inclusion of variables accounting for sectoral-level training intensity, firm-level recruitment behaviour, a capillary set of firm-level controls and across size classes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6790-6803 Issue: 59 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1948963 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1948963 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:59:p:6790-6803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liming Chen Author-X-Name-First: Liming Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Zhi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Ziqing Du Author-X-Name-First: Ziqing Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Lingling Deng Author-X-Name-First: Lingling Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Title: Heterogeneous determinants of the exchange rate market in China with structural breaks Abstract: This paper identifies a structural break in exchange rate returns from July 2005 to May 2020 using the iterated cumulative sums of squares (ICSS) algorithm. Then we explore the changing effect of determinants on exchange rates based on the time-varying parameter structural Vector AutoRegression (TVP-SVAR) model. Empirically, we find a single break based on exchange rate returns and caused by regime reform. Further analysis suggests a significant change in the shocks to inflation, foreign exchange reserves, oil prices, and short-term interest rates. In addition, the domestic and international determinants of exchange rates are heterogeneous over different periods in the short and long run. In the short run, the relation between exchange rates and inflation, the interest rate, foreign exchange reserves, and oil price, is significantly negative before August 2015. However, since August 2015, the relationship between inflation and exchange rates in China has been positive. Only short-term interest rates are affected by structural changes. This study can guide policy makers in formulating the appropriate exchange rate regime to attain sustainable market efficiency over the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6839-6854 Issue: 59 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1949432 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1949432 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:59:p:6839-6854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoyu Huang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyu Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Tao Jin Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Ji Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ji Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Monetary policy, hot money and housing price growth across Chinese cities Abstract: We use a dynamic hierarchical factor model to identify the national, regional and local factors of the city-level housing price growth in China. During the zero-lower-bound (ZLB) episode in the U.S., local factors account for 78% of variations in the month-on-month city-level housing price growth. However, as the time horizon extends, the national factor gets a larger variance share, reaching 51% in a half-year horizon. This indicates that the city-level housing price growth in China is more of a national phenomenon in the long run. We then use a VAR model to investigate the driving forces of the national factor and find that monetary policy and hot money shocks affect the national housing price growth significantly. A tightening monetary policy shock has a significant negative impact on the national factor, which lasts for more than 2 years. An increase in hot money inflows causes a significant but transitory rise in the national factor. Moreover, we find that the quantitative easing measure adopted by the U.S. Fed is behind the surge of capital inflows into China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6855-6877 Issue: 59 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1949433 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1949433 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:59:p:6855-6877 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Min-Su Chung Author-X-Name-First: Min-Su Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Keunjae Lee Author-X-Name-First: Keunjae Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Women’s pre-marriage income and the division of household labour Abstract: This study investigates the effects of women’s economic resources on the division of household labour by employing pre-marriage income as a proxy for resources, rather than post-marriage income. Post-marriage income has been substantially used in the literature; however, it would be the consequence rather than the cause of spousal labour division. Since many married women reduce their working hours to focus on household tasks and their income decreases after marriage, the reverse causality could overestimate the economic power effect on housework allocation. Based on pre-marriage income data of South Korean households, the present study shows that women’s high relative income does not significantly decrease their time and share of housework. Furthermore, wives’ economic superiority after marriage over the husbands seems to increase their household labour because the wives intend to restore gender identity. In conclusion, traditional gender norms have a greater influence on the division of housework than economic efficiency. Therefore, policy efforts must encourage couples to share their housework equally, such as gender-neutral education and paternity protection system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6804-6819 Issue: 59 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1948964 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1948964 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:59:p:6804-6819 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yeonjeong Ha Author-X-Name-First: Yeonjeong Author-X-Name-Last: Ha Author-Name: Haejune Oh Author-X-Name-First: Haejune Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: Prior beliefs in market efficiency and fund cash flows Abstract: This study investigates the effect of fund investors’ prior beliefs on flow-performance relationships. Nonmonotonic inflow- and outflow-performance relationships, with a monotonic relationship in net flows, suggest that more investors exhibit return-chasing behaviour but that some investors behave in a strongly biased manner; these phenomena exist in high-risk funds with extreme performance. With regard to investors’ prior beliefs in market efficiency to the fund performance, inflows and outflows have a monotonic relationship with performance. From these findings, the nonmonotonic relationship can be explained by the biased behaviour resulting from the lack of beliefs in market efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6878-6896 Issue: 59 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1949434 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1949434 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:59:p:6878-6896 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Caoyuan Ma Author-X-Name-First: Caoyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Han Hu Author-X-Name-First: Han Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Hao Li Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Will infectious disease outbreaks cause a decline in investment of real sector firms? Evidence form 2003 SARS outbreak in China Abstract: The Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak prompts researchers and policy makers to re-evaluate the impact of infectious disease on economy. Taking SARS outbreak in 2003 as a quasi-natural experiment, we examined the impact of infectious diseases on Chinese real sector’s investment through a difference in difference (DID) approach. The empirical results show that after the outbreak of SARS, the investment of China’s real sector firms had increased significantly. This conclusion is verified by several robustness tests. The mechanism tests indicate that the SARS epidemic could increase the investment of real sector firms through two paths. First of all, the outbreak of the epidemic led to dramatic fluctuations in the capital market, then companies shifted their assets from the financial market to the relatively low-risk real sector; additionally, in response to the outbreak of SARS, companies and the government reduced operating costs and fees, resulting in a synergistic effect which also increased investment of the real sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6820-6838 Issue: 59 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1949431 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1949431 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:59:p:6820-6838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Weilin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Weilin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Qian Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Qian Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Title: Global production network, technology spillover, and shock transmission Abstract: This study presents a new method to analyse the impact of exogenous shock and its transmission mechanism within the global production network, based on scenarios of the COVID-19 pandemic. We decompose domestic and international technology spillovers and introduce them into an economic growth model to investigate the elasticities of factor inputs and knowledge spillovers through industrial linkages, and eventually estimate a model with spatial specifications. The results from the scenario simulations suggest that the global total output is projected to fall by 3.60% and 8.41% under the V-shaped and L-shaped recovery scenarios, respectively, and that the propagation through input-output linkages is an important channel that causes global economic fluctuations. Economies at the hub of the production network, that is, the United States, China, and Germany, are the most seriously affected. Structural decomposition analysis results indicate that the shortage of intermediate inputs supply is the main driver of output decline, followed by the blockage of technology diffusion, and lastly, the reduction of labour supply. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 7020-7036 Issue: 60 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1958140 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1958140 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:60:p:7020-7036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhao Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Bingyang Lv Author-X-Name-First: Bingyang Author-X-Name-Last: Lv Title: Total factor productivity of Chinese industrial firms: evidence from 2007 to 2017 Abstract: Accurately measuring industrial total factor productivity (TFP) is considered vital to a country’s economic system. However, in China, the measurement of industrial TFP has been difficult owing to a lack of firm-level data. This study is the first to measure TFP of Chinese industrial enterprises from 2007 to 2017 and makes a rich heterogeneity analysis based on the National Taxation Survey Database (NTSD). Results show that the weighted TFP rises from 3.65 in 2007 to 4.69 in 2017, with an average growth rate of 2.58%. There are obvious differences in industrial TFP among different enterprise sizes, industries, ownership types, export types, and regions, and the growth of TFP tends to have a converge trend. By assessing the ‘Productivity Paradox’ in China, we also find that Chinese exporting manufacturing enterprises are more productive than non-exporting ones. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6910-6926 Issue: 60 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1954592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1954592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:60:p:6910-6926 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sam Williams Author-X-Name-First: Sam Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Author-Name: Alasdair Crookes Author-X-Name-First: Alasdair Author-X-Name-Last: Crookes Author-Name: Karli Glass Author-X-Name-First: Karli Author-X-Name-Last: Glass Author-Name: Anthony J. Glass Author-X-Name-First: Anthony J. Author-X-Name-Last: Glass Title: COVID-19 mortalities in England and Wales and the Peltzman offsetting effect Abstract: There are two approaches to measuring COVID-19 deaths – ‘COVID associated deaths’ and ‘excess deaths’. An excess deaths framework is preferable, as there is measurement error in COVID associated deaths, due to issues relating to imperfect information about deaths that are directly attributable to COVID-19. The standard measure of excess deaths (comparison of deaths to a 5-year average) is subject to an omitted variables problem, as it attributes the entirety of the variation in mortality to COVID-19. We propose a method to estimate a refined measure of COVID-19 excess deaths in England and Wales that addresses the omitted impact of the first blanket lockdown. Using the counterfactual, we obtain a first stage estimate of excess deaths. In the second stage, this is decomposed into estimates of a refined measure of COVID-19 excess deaths and the excess mortality impact of lockdown. Our results suggest: (i) a refined estimate of mean weekly COVID-19 excess deaths that is 63% of standard excess deaths; and (ii) a positive net excess mortality impact of the lockdown. We make a case that (ii) is due to the Peltzman offsetting effect, i.e. the intended mortality impact of the lockdown was more than offset by the unintended impact. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6982-6998 Issue: 60 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1955089 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1955089 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:60:p:6982-6998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Abdoulkarim Idi Cheffou Author-X-Name-First: Abdoulkarim Author-X-Name-Last: Idi Cheffou Author-Name: Nabila Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Nabila Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Hachmi Ben Ameur Author-X-Name-First: Hachmi Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Ameur Title: Conventional and Islamic stock market liquidity and volatility during COVID 19 Abstract: The coronavirus pandemic has impacted several stock markets worldwide. Among other countries, the US has endured a significant impact of the pandemic, with over 605,000 deaths. This study investigates the effect of COVID-19 on the liquidity and volatility of the US conventional and Islamic stock indexes to assess their efficiency in a linear and nonlinear frammeworks. We use different stock market data (stock prices and trading volumes) and COVID-19 statistics. In particular, we specify liquidity and volatility differently, compute the speed of COVID-19 transmission, rely on robust linear and nonlinear regressions before and during the pandemic to determine different forms of coronavirus effects. The study finds that both liquidity and volatility (regardless of the proxy under consideration) exhibit an important time variation. Second, we find that the variation of contamination and death speeds related to the pandemic has been nonlinearly driving market trading, liquidity, and volatility, suggesting a significant reaction of stock market to exogenous news related to the coronavirus outbreak and inefficiency of these markets. Considering this dependency is crucial to improving the forecasting of stock market dynamics. Further, we find that Islamic funds are not more resilient than conventional funds towards the pandemic. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6944-6963 Issue: 60 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1954595 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1954595 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:60:p:6944-6963 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ting Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Lihong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Lihong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Do competitors benefit from the resignation of politically connected independent directors? Evidence from China Abstract: Using a sample of Chinese listed firms in the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchange during the period of 2012–2017, this paper studies the impact of losing political resources on the competitors’ value by exploiting exogenous shock from the 18th decree which forces politically connected independent directors to resign in China. Our empirical results show that competitors of Chinese listed firms with politically connected independent directors react positively to the resignations of politically connected independent directors. Moreover, when politically affiliated independent directors resign in a Chinese listed firm, its competitors exhibit an increase in accounting performance and an ease of access to government subsidies and external finance. In addition, the above relation holds for a subsample analysis of the resignation of politically connected independent directors in Chinese listed non-state-owned enterprises (non-SOEs) and their non-SOE competitors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6999-7019 Issue: 60 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1956678 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1956678 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:60:p:6999-7019 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Huayan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Huayan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yao Li Author-X-Name-First: Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jianqing Ruan Author-X-Name-First: Jianqing Author-X-Name-Last: Ruan Title: Winner or loser: urban work experience and rural labour occupational change after return migration Abstract: Recent decades have witnessed return migration of rural labour. Whether urban work experience could help return migrant rural labour engaged in non-agricultural employment and archive career development? In this article, we employ 2014 China Labor Dynamic Survey (CLDS) data set to investigate the effect of outgoing working experience on return migrated labour’s non-agricultural occupational change. This article indicates that, compared with agricultural employment, return migrated labour is more inclined to engage in waged employment than remaining village labour. What’s more, there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between outside working time and non-agricultural employment preference. Based on the above research, this article puts forward relevant policy recommendations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6964-6981 Issue: 60 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1954596 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1954596 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:60:p:6964-6981 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joyce Chigome Author-X-Name-First: Joyce Author-X-Name-Last: Chigome Author-Name: Zurika Robinson Author-X-Name-First: Zurika Author-X-Name-Last: Robinson Title: DETERMINANTS OF TAX CAPACITY AND TAX EFFORT IN SOUTHERN AFRICA: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS Abstract: Literature posits that numerous economic and institutional factors limit the amount of taxes that a country can raise. Against this background, the substantive aim of this study was to assess the determinants of tax capacity and tax effort in the SADC. A multi-step procedure was followed to estimate determinants of tax capacity and tax effort using stochastic tax function and unbalanced panel data for 13 SADC countries.11The SADC countries included Angola, Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho, Malawi, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Seychelles, South Africa, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe. The study disentangled the error term to estimate the random effects separately from tax effort to capture the time-invariant country-specific effects. Further, tax effort was classified as persistent (long-run) and transient (short-run). The study was able to estimate the determinants of tax effort and to rank each member state or country according to its tax effort. The quantitative analysis indicate that financial deepening, economic development and trade openness influence tax capacity, while corruption and inflation influence tax effort. The SADC region has low persistent tax effort, implying that improving tax administration has superseded tax policy reforms. This result is augmented by the fact that tax legislation efforts were largely successful in tax administration but rather limited given tax policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6927-6943 Issue: 60 Volume: 53 Year: 2021 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1954593 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1954593 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:53:y:2021:i:60:p:6927-6943 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gert Bijnens Author-X-Name-First: Gert Author-X-Name-Last: Bijnens Author-Name: Jozef Konings Author-X-Name-First: Jozef Author-X-Name-Last: Konings Author-Name: Stijn Vanormelingen Author-X-Name-First: Stijn Author-X-Name-Last: Vanormelingen Title: The impact of electricity prices on European manufacturing jobs Abstract: Increased investment in clean electricity in combination with a rising cost of carbon will most likely lead to higher electricity prices. We examine the impact from changing electricity prices on European manufacturing employment and find a negative elasticity for the most electricity-intensive sectors. Since these sectors are unevenly spread across countries and regions, the negative employment impact from increasing electricity prices will also be unevenly spread. Policymakers should be well aware of this and take mitigating actions to ensure a positive public sentiment towards environment-related price increases. (JEL J23, H23, Q28, Q43) Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 38-56 Issue: 1 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1951647 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1951647 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:1:p:38-56 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael T. Belongia Author-X-Name-First: Michael T. Author-X-Name-Last: Belongia Author-Name: Peter N. Ireland Author-X-Name-First: Peter N. Author-X-Name-Last: Ireland Title: Strengthening the second pillar: a greater role for money in the ECB’s strategy Abstract: Like most central banks, the European Central Bank makes and implements its monetary policy decisions by adjusting its targets for short-term interest rates in response to information gleaned from a wide range of macroeconomic indicators and projections. Unlike other central banks, however, the ECB also monitors money growth as a ‘cross check’ against the macroeconomic analysis that guides its policies of interest rate management. This paper argues that making further use of this ‘second pillar’ would help the ECB to better achieve its nominal objectives in the present environment of exceptionally low interest rates. By modifying the ‘P-star’ framework – a small-scale model with Quantity Theory foundations – the paper shows how the ECB could set a quantitative ‘reference value’ for Divisia money growth to stabilize nominal spending around a target path, even while its traditional interest rate policies are constrained by the zero lower bound. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 99-114 Issue: 1 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1959895 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1959895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:1:p:99-114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jin Xu Author-X-Name-First: Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Weixian Wei Author-X-Name-First: Weixian Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Would carbon tax be an effective policy tool to reduce carbon emission in China? Policies simulation analysis based on a CGE model Abstract: In China’s 2019 VAT reform, the VAT rate for manufacturing was adjusted from 16% to 13%. This inevitably promotes manufacturing production and triggers a substantial increase in carbon emissions. Would carbon tax be an effective policy tool to offset the negative externalities of the VAT reform on carbon emissions? We construct a multi-regional dynamic-recursive computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to evaluate this possibility and to investigate the potential impacts on the economy, energy, and environment arising from this reform. The scenarios set includes the VAT reform policy, a carbon tax, and three combined policies. The results show that while China’s VAT reform is a positive fiscal policy that can boost long-lasting macroeconomic development, it has a negative impact on environmental protection. A carbon tax can significantly curb traditional energy consumption and emissions, but it would hinder economic development. Combined policies yield ‘double dividends’, that is, a long-run increase in macroeconomy and emissions reductions will be achieved, helping China to attain its Intended Nationally Determined Contributions goal. The combination of VAT reform and a stepped carbon tax maintains a more stable economic growth while sustaining carbon emission abatement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 115-134 Issue: 1 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1961119 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1961119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:1:p:115-134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tianheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Tianheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The peer effects of preschool: evidence from China’s middle school Abstract: The paper investigates the impact of peer enrolment in preschool on students’ cognitive and noncognitive outcomes in China’s middle schools and explores the potential mechanisms through which the peer effects may operate. Using the exogenous variation in peer preschool enrolment across classes within schools, the study finds that a higher proportion of classmates who have preschool experience consistently has positive impacts on students’ academic achievement. I also find that peer preschool enrolment has spillover effects on students’ noncognitive outcomes. The mechanism analysis reveals that the peer effects may work through inter-student relationships, class and school atmosphere, and behaviours of students’ friends. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-18 Issue: 1 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1951442 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1951442 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:1:p:1-18 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Noureddine Benlagha Author-X-Name-First: Noureddine Author-X-Name-Last: Benlagha Author-Name: Salaheddine El Omari Author-X-Name-First: Salaheddine Author-X-Name-Last: El Omari Title: What determines the dependence between stock markets - crisis or financial and economic fundamentals? Abstract: This paper investigates the economic and financial fundamentals that determine the dynamic linkage between Qatar and a set of selected international stock markets. To this end, we used different dynamic copula constructions to extract the series of time-varying degrees of dependence. Then, by estimating a quantile regression, we identified several economic and financial variables that significantly contribute to explaining the dynamic patterns of dependence among the studied stock markets. These include the returns of the Qatar stock market, crude oil prices, gold prices, the volatility of the S&P 500 index, and the world economic policy uncertainty index. The results obtained show that the fluctuations in these variables significantly influence the structure of dependence between the studied stock markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 19-37 Issue: 1 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1951443 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1951443 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:1:p:19-37 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Navarat Temsumrit Author-X-Name-First: Navarat Author-X-Name-Last: Temsumrit Title: Democracy, institutional quality and fiscal policy cycle: evidence from developing countries Abstract: Economists usually prescribe countercyclical fiscal policies to stabilize economies: government spending should increase during economic downturns and decrease during booms. Yet, empirical research has documented procyclical fiscal policy in several democratic developing countries. Using an updated dataset of 63 developing countries from 1980 to 2013, this article robustly shows procyclical fiscal policy in democratic and non-democratic developing countries. The essence of this paper is controlling endogeneity issues by using the generalized method of moment (GMM) for the dynamic panel data model and investigating the interaction between democracy and the quality of democratic institutions in affecting the fiscal policy cycle. This article finds that an improvement in the quality of institutions plays a vital role in restraining procyclical fiscal policy and these effects are more prominent in democratic countries than non-democratic ones. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 75-98 Issue: 1 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1959894 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1959894 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:1:p:75-98 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dweepobotee Brahma Author-X-Name-First: Dweepobotee Author-X-Name-Last: Brahma Author-Name: Debasri Mukherjee Author-X-Name-First: Debasri Author-X-Name-Last: Mukherjee Title: Early warning signs: targeting neonatal and infant mortality using machine learning Abstract: This article uses a nation-wide household survey data from India and identifies important predictors of neonatal and infant mortality using multiple machine learning (ML) techniques. The consensus on the leading predictors from the interpretable ML algorithms (that we use) serve as early warning signs of neonatal and infant mortality. This enables us to identify a ‘high-mortality risk’ group of mothers and infants – an important goal of India’s ‘India Newborn Action Plan’. This high-risk group comprises firstborns, mothers with prior deaths or several previous births, newborns suffering from complicated deliveries, small size at birth and unvaccinated infants. We identify early newborn care, folic acid supplements and conditional cash transfer (Janani Suraksha Yojana) as the most effective policy interventions. Given the imbalanced nature of the dependent variable (‘events’ being rarer than ‘non-events’) we use additional ML methods (along with the commonly used ones) that are tailor-made for ‘rare-event’ prediction for robustness checks. We also use an evaluation measure called Area under Precision Recall Curve that is tailored for measuring prediction accuracy with imbalanced data. Our analysis sheds light on policy relevance and suggests some new policy prescriptions such as close monitoring of at-risks babies including females and those with small birth-size. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 57-74 Issue: 1 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1958141 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1958141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:1:p:57-74 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Richard Grabowski Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Grabowski Author-Name: Sharmistha Self Author-X-Name-First: Sharmistha Author-X-Name-Last: Self Title: Technology in agriculture and structural change: an Asian perspective Abstract: Structural change is important in the overall development process. This paper seeks to examine how productivity growth in agriculture influences this process. In particular, technology in agriculture is divided into two types: labour using, land saving (biochemical) and labour saving, land using (mechanical). Some have argued that only labour saving (mechanical) technology promotes the shift of labour into manufacturing, not labour using (biochemical) technology. However, estimations utilizing data from 10 Asian nations indicate that both types of technologies promote structural change. Thus, investments in such technologies will promote structural change. Additional results indicate that labour productivity growth in services is complementary to structural change. In addition, openness to trade and foreign direct investment and diversification away from natural resource abundance as well as avoiding exchange rate overvaluation also promote structural change. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 145-154 Issue: 2 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1963660 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1963660 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:2:p:145-154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhige Wu Author-X-Name-First: Zhige Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Alfons Weersink Author-X-Name-First: Alfons Author-X-Name-Last: Weersink Author-Name: Alex Maynard Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Maynard Title: Fuel-feed-livestock price linkages under structural changes Abstract: The large-scale diversion of crops into mandates-driven biofuels since early 2000s, has raised concerns about impacts of biofuel policies on food prices. This study examines crude oil-corn-livestock dynamic linkages from January 1987 until December 2019 in Ontario, Canada. A significant structural break is identified in March 2011 as biofuel policy impacts become fully implemented and splits the three-decade period into pre- and post-break sub-periods. A nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) approach is employed since it allows prices to be tied by asymmetric relationships both in the short- and long-run. The NARDL model bounds test results indicate that crude oil and corn prices have a long-run connection with livestock prices in both sub-periods. In the post-break period, corn price has an asymmetric effect on cattle price in the long-run, with negative shocks in the corn price leading to a greater intensity on the cattle price than positive shocks. The presence of short-run asymmetry is evident in the impacts of crude oil price on both cattle and hog prices. However, the above asymmetric effect is insignificant in the pre-break period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 206-223 Issue: 2 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1965082 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1965082 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:2:p:206-223 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bo Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Baoyin Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Baoyin Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Kam C. Chan Author-X-Name-First: Kam C. Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: Hongxia Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hongxia Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Does a green tax impact a heavy-polluting firm’s green investments? Abstract: By leveraging the quasi-natural experiment of the passage of the Environmental Protection Tax Law in late 2016 in China that imposed a pollution tax (green tax) on firms, we examine the impact of this tax on the green investments of heavy-polluting firms. Our difference-in-differences results show that the green tax enhances green investments of heavy-polluting firms. Specifically, firm-level green investments of heavy-polluting firms increased by approximately 38% after the green tax than before the green tax relative to an average firm. The findings are robust to a propensity score matching method, fixed-effects models, placebo tests, dynamic effect analysis, and after excluding alternative explanations. Additional analysis suggests that the positive effect of the green tax on green investments is more pronounced for large firms, state-owned firms, and firms with high analyst following. Collectively, we find a green tax policy contributes to green investments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 189-205 Issue: 2 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1963663 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1963663 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:2:p:189-205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dinkar Kuchibhotla Author-X-Name-First: Dinkar Author-X-Name-Last: Kuchibhotla Title: Multi-dimensional inequality in health: evidence from India Abstract: Estimation of multi-dimensional welfare measures are gaining popularity. Health is multi-dimensional and efforts to estimate multi-dimensional health inequality are fairly nascent. I estimate inequality in health using a normative index and decompose it into component parts. Inequality increases as health attributes become complementary. Inequalities at the state level as well as by caste and gender, are negatively associated with the level of social and economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 224-233 Issue: 2 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1965532 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1965532 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:2:p:224-233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Johanna Scholz Author-X-Name-First: Johanna Author-X-Name-Last: Scholz Author-Name: Awudu Abdulai Author-X-Name-First: Awudu Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulai Title: Using a matching decomposition to examine the gender technology gap in Tanzanian agriculture Abstract: The promotion of gender equality in access to productive resources relies on multiple valid arguments. However, whether equal resource endowment would result in equal agricultural productivity is controversial. Using panel data from Tanzania, we examine the agricultural technology levels of male and female managed plots, and find that female farmers operate on a significantly lower technology level than their male counterparts. Thus, even if female farmers used the same amount of agricultural inputs and were equally efficient as male farmers, they would probably still attain lower yields. We employ a matching and decomposition approach to analyse whether the difference in technology between male and female managed plots originates from observations outside the common support or different distributions of productive resources, household characteristics, or crop choice within the common support. We find that most plots under female and male management are well comparable and fall into the common support, but different distributions of considered characteristics cannot sufficiently explain the observed differences in levels of technology among female and male farmers. Only among the few farmers that apply inorganic fertilizer, female and male farmers work on a similar technology level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 155-169 Issue: 2 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1963661 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1963661 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:2:p:155-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Victor Lapshin Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Lapshin Title: Model-free nonparametric bounds for zero-coupon interest rates in bond markets without the no arbitrage principle Abstract: Real-world market quotes of bonds can sometimes contradict the no arbitrage principle within the discounted cash flow model. This makes some kinds of no-arbitrage-based analyses impossible, e.g., inferring the bounds for the term structure of interest rates. Instead of using a more sophisticated model to account for pricing peculiarities, we propose a replacement for the no arbitrage principle. While being theoretically plausible, it does not get contradicted by the data – thus, we can infer the same kind of term structure bounds from it, even given the contradictions with the no arbitrage principle. Using a dataset of Russian sovereign bond quotes, we show that the no arbitrage inconsistency problem arises in 10–20% of cases and that the proposed approach successfully overcomes it. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 135-144 Issue: 2 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1963659 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1963659 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:2:p:135-144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiaman Li Author-X-Name-First: Jiaman Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xiucheng Dong Author-X-Name-First: Xiucheng Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Kangyin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Kangyin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: Do pollutant discharge fees affect labor demand? evidence from china’s industrial enterprises Abstract: The tradeoff between employment and the environment has become an increasingly important topic. By employing two enterprise-level datasets and a city-level dataset in China for the period 1999–2012, this study investigates the influence of pollutant discharge fees on the labour demand in manufacturing enterprises. Besides, considering the significant differences among cities, industries, and individuals in China, we perform a series of heterogeneity analysis. The study also explores the mediation impact mechanism from the manufacturing cost perspective, i.e. labour cost effect, energy cost effect, and equipment cost effect. The estimated results show that: (1) The more stringent pollutant discharge fees can significantly reduce the labour demand of Chinese manufacturing enterprises; for each 1% increase in the price of pollutant discharge fees, labour demand decreases by approximately 0.264%; (2) labour demand for cities with a low proportion of secondary industries, industries with low pollution intensity, and domestic private-owned enterprises tend to be influenced more by pollutant discharge fees; and (3) the labour cost effect and energy cost effect are both significant mediators, while the equipment cost effect is not significant. The above findings can provide feasible policy implications for improving environmental protection taxes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 170-188 Issue: 2 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1963662 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1963662 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:2:p:170-188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hande Küçük Author-X-Name-First: Hande Author-X-Name-Last: Küçük Author-Name: Pınar Özlü Author-X-Name-First: Pınar Author-X-Name-Last: Özlü Author-Name: Çağlar Yüncüler Author-X-Name-First: Çağlar Author-X-Name-Last: Yüncüler Title: Decomposition of bank loans and economic activity in TURKEY Abstract: We examine the empirical link between loans and economic activity in Turkey with a focus on the components of loans by borrower (household/business) and by purpose of use (housing/personal) as well as currency of denomination (domestic/foreign). We estimate a separate VAR model for each type of loan and each GDP expenditure item to analyse whether different types of loans have different effects on economic activity and through what channels. According to our empirical results, credit shocks have statistically significant impact on economic activity, especially within the first two quarters. We find that shocks that expand household and TL-denominated business loans by the same rate have quite similar effects on private consumption, final domestic demand and GDP, while household loans has a much smaller impact on investment compared to business loans. While shocks to FX-denominated business loans have significant effect on total investment, they have much weaker effect on private consumption and GDP. The effect of housing loans on investment is found to be comparable to that of business loans, suggesting strong feedback between demand for housing and construction investment. We investigate the robustness of findings to alternative data samples, as well as some alternative identifying restrictions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 249-279 Issue: 3 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1950906 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1950906 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:3:p:249-279 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Donata Favaro Author-X-Name-First: Donata Author-X-Name-Last: Favaro Author-Name: Dario Sciulli Author-X-Name-First: Dario Author-X-Name-Last: Sciulli Title: Female long-term labour market outcomes: the role of early-life abilities and education Abstract: We study how early-life cognitive skills, non-cognitive abilities, and family characteristics influence educational choices and affect later employment outcomes and wages. The analysis was carried out on a cohort of UK females observed at different life stages by adopting the British National Child Development Study database. Our findings provide evidence of how early-life abilities and family characteristics affect both the educational attainment and later labour market outcomes of female workers. However, we found that educational levels interact with early-life abilities, productive characteristics in general, and other characteristics, giving rise to different employment outcomes and income prospects conditioned on educational attainment. Occupational outcomes and wages of low-educated women are more sensitive to factors that are not strictly linked to productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 340-353 Issue: 3 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1962510 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1962510 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:3:p:340-353 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Simeon Nanovsky Author-X-Name-First: Simeon Author-X-Name-Last: Nanovsky Title: A new test for optimum currency area with an application to the Central and Eastern European countries Abstract: This research introduces a new test for optimum currency area that is based on synchronization of monetary policy recommendations. The main advantage over the more traditional synchronization of business cycles is that it takes into account two known determinants of monetary policy: inflation and the output gap. As an application, the test is applied to the EU economies with a particular focus on the Central and Eastern European Countries. Some of these countries have recently joined the euro area, some are the members of ERM II, and the rest are debating whether to fulfill the convergence criteria of adopting the euro. The main findings are that within the last few years the current non-euro area members (with the exception of Bulgaria and Romania) fit the euro area as well as the core euro area countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 354-373 Issue: 3 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1962512 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1962512 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:3:p:354-373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dheeraj Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Dheeraj Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Shweta Ahalawat Author-X-Name-First: Shweta Author-X-Name-Last: Ahalawat Author-Name: Archana Patro Author-X-Name-First: Archana Author-X-Name-Last: Patro Author-Name: Patanjal Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Patanjal Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Title: Spot market and derivative segment of equity in India Abstract: The foremost objective of the manuscript is to predict the volatility and causality between spot and derivative segment of equity in India and also to determine long run relationship between the two. Monthly time-series data of 15 years have been taken, from 2003 to 2019 (pre- and post-financial crisis 2008). The unit root test, GARCH model, Granger Causality test under VECM framework have been smeared to infer the volatility and causality between the spot Nifty and Nifty futures. Johansen co-integration test and VECM have been used to determine the long and short run relationship between the two time series. Regression has been applied to determine the impact of spot market on Stock Futures. The outcomes depict that the two variables have positive impact and statistically significant in the short and long run. There exist fluctuations, volatility and lead lag relationship between the two which will help investors and policymakers to take well-formed decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 326-339 Issue: 3 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1962509 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1962509 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:3:p:326-339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Abubakr Naeem Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Abubakr Author-X-Name-Last: Naeem Author-Name: Saba Qureshi Author-X-Name-First: Saba Author-X-Name-Last: Qureshi Author-Name: Mobeen Ur Rehman Author-X-Name-First: Mobeen Ur Author-X-Name-Last: Rehman Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Title: COVID-19 and cryptocurrency market: Evidence from quantile connectedness Abstract: This study quantifies the spillover effects among seven cryptocurrencies to explore the spillover characteristics of seven cryptocurrencies, namely, Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, Litecoin, Monero, Stellar, and NEM. The connectedness networks of returns are based on standard VAR and quantile VAR spillovers. In addition, the framework focuses on intact, pre-, and post-COVID-19 crisis sub-sample periods. Our results highlight that Bitcoin, Litecoin, and Ripple are the dominant transmitters to return spillover. The strongest interconnection is found for Bitcoin/Litecoin and Ripple/Sellar pair. Interestingly, Ethereum is the unvarying recipient in the system and is influenced by most of the cryptocurrencies. Further, NEM exhibits no connection with any of the cryptocurrency in the network acting as a potential diversifier. The quantile spillovers suggest increased intensity of connectedness at right and left tails. The sub-sample analysis confirms the low network integration across the cryptocurrencies during pre-COVID period. Finally, the post-COVID period indicates tangled clusters across the cryptocurrencies. The analysis provides contrasting results as obtained in the pre-analysis phase. Implications for investors and policymakers are highlighted in the study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 280-306 Issue: 3 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1950908 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1950908 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:3:p:280-306 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chih-Wei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chen-Min Pan Author-X-Name-First: Chen-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: Do financial inclusion and R&D matter? Exploring the effect of uncertainty on economic performance Abstract: Using a dataset that includes 24 developing and developed countries for the period 1984–2017, this research adopts outstanding deposits with commercial banks to GDP ratio and research and development (R&D) expenditure to GDP ratio as main proxies of financial inclusion and R&D, respectively. The empirical results suggest that promoting financial inclusion or R&D can offset the harmful effects of uncertainty on economic performance and that the impact of R&D with uncertainty is statistically significantly greater than the impact of financial inclusion with uncertainty. Moreover, our subsample analyses indicate that the mitigating effects of financial inclusion and R&D exist in nonfinancial crisis periods, developed countries, and the European region. To address endogeneity concerns, we employ six instrumental variables in a two-stage least squares regression (IV-2SLS). Our findings have useful policy implications to government for dealing with economic policy uncertainty for the economy’s benefit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 307-325 Issue: 3 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1950909 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1950909 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:3:p:307-325 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yusuf Ömür Yılmaz Author-X-Name-First: Yusuf Ömür Author-X-Name-Last: Yılmaz Author-Name: Gul Ipek Tunc Author-X-Name-First: Gul Ipek Author-X-Name-Last: Tunc Title: The Macroeconomic Effects of Positive Trend Inflation in a Small Open Economy Abstract: The existing New Keynesian open economy literature tends to make the simplifying assumption that there is no trend inflation. In this paper, we reformulate the standard open economy model to account for positive trend inflation. We then employ the model to understand the effects of macroeconomic shocks in a small open economy when trend inflation is positive. Our main finding is that allowing for trend inflation significantly affects the dynamics of the model through real exchange rate dynamics rather than the slope of the New Keynesian Philips Curve. Specifically, higher trend inflation induces modestly more persistent real exchange rates’ responses to the shocks. Further incorporation of trend inflation in an open economy enables us to discuss the Purchasing Power Parity and Delayed Overshooting Puzzles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 234-248 Issue: 3 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1876208 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1876208 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:3:p:234-248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Davide Furceri Author-X-Name-First: Davide Author-X-Name-Last: Furceri Author-Name: Fabio Mazzola Author-X-Name-First: Fabio Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzola Author-Name: Pietro Pizzuto Author-X-Name-First: Pietro Author-X-Name-Last: Pizzuto Title: Regional inequalities, economic crises and policies: an international panel analysis Abstract: This paper examines the effects of economic downturns on regional inequalities. In a sample of 25 OECD countries for 1990–2014 period, we show that economic downturns are associated with a significant and long-lasting reduction in regional inequalities. Expansionary fiscal policy as well as higher share of the European development (cohesion) funds facilitate the response of lagging regions to negative nation-wide shocks, contributing to further stimulate the reduction in regional disparities. Additional evidence suggests that the effect of downturns tends to be larger in economies with a higher initial level of regional disparities in unemployment and human capital endowment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 484-505 Issue: 4 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1963414 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1963414 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:4:p:484-505 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nader AlKathiri Author-X-Name-First: Nader Author-X-Name-Last: AlKathiri Title: Labour productivity growth and convergence in manufacturing: A nonparametric production frontier approach Abstract: Labour productivity growth in manufacturing is decomposed into technical efficiency change (movement towards or away from the frontier), technological progress (shifts in the production frontier), and capital accumulation (movement along the frontier) using a nonparametric production frontier method. The results suggest that labour productivity growth is primarily driven by capital accumulation and to a lesser extent technological progress, while technical efficiency is deteriorating over the period 1995–2014. We find that technological progress appears to be non-neutral, as the world manufacturing production frontier expands only at higher capital intensities, benefiting highly industrialized nations. We also find evidence of unconditional convergence in labour productivity for the manufacturing sector. Capital accumulation is the main driver of the observed unconditional convergence, whereas technological change is contributing to divergence rather than convergence. The findings suggest that expanding manufacturing activities through capital accumulation is essential for developing countries to catch-up with developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 406-429 Issue: 4 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1963410 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1963410 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:4:p:406-429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiang Wu Author-X-Name-First: Xiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Liang Wu Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Shujuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shujuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Long memory and efficiency of Bitcoin during COVID-19 Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic has raised great attention to the study of its impacts on Bitcoin. We focus on the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the long memory and efficiency of Bitcoin. There exist a few studies on this topic. These studies all ignore the issues of heavy tails and extreme events during COVID-19, which are obstacles to obtaining the reliable continuous time-varying results of long memory and efficiency. After considering the two issues, we first obtain the reliable continuous time-varying results during COVID-19 via sliding window and estimation of Hurst exponent. The other four markets (Ethereum, Binance Coin, S&P 500, and gold spot) are also analysed for comparison. Bitcoin results show that the Bitcoin market keeps efficient during the pandemic and the heavy tails become weaker after the onset of the pandemic. Results of the comparison study show that Bitcoin has similar efficiency with spot gold and is more efficient than Ethereum, Binance Coin, and S&P 500 during the pandemic. This study contributes to current rare literature on the long memory and efficiency of cryptocurrency during COVID-19. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 375-389 Issue: 4 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1962513 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1962513 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:4:p:375-389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Timothy Dore Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Dore Author-Name: Traci Mach Author-X-Name-First: Traci Author-X-Name-Last: Mach Title: Marketplace lending and consumer credit outcomes: evidence from prosper Abstract: In 2005, Prosper launched the first peer-to-peer lending website in the US, allowing for consumers to apply for and receive loans entirely online. To understand the effect of this new credit source, we match application-level data from Prosper to credit bureau data. Post application, borrowers’ credit scores increase and their credit card utilization rates fall relative to non-borrowers in the short run. In the longer run, total debt levels for borrowers are higher than those of non-borrowers. Despite increased debt levels relative to non-borrowers, delinquency rates for borrowers are significantly lower. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 390-405 Issue: 4 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1962514 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1962514 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:4:p:390-405 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tongwei Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Tongwei Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: S.T. Boris Choy Author-X-Name-First: S.T. Boris Author-X-Name-Last: Choy Author-Name: Biliang Luo Author-X-Name-First: Biliang Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Is small beautiful? Links between agricultural mechanization services and the productivity of different-sized farms Abstract: Developing agricultural mechanization services is commonly regarded as an important approach to pushing smallholder farmers engaging in modern agricultural production in China. However, whether smallholder farmers can benefit more from agricultural mechanization services is ambiguous. Using household-level data collected from Henan province in China, this study investigates the effect of agricultural mechanization services on the productivity of different-sized farms. The results indicate that the productivity of medium farms benefits more from agricultural mechanization services rather than small and large farms. Further analysis shows that medium farms are more likely to adopt agricultural mechanization services and reveals a positive relationship between the adoption of agricultural mechanization services and farm productivity. The higher rate of adoption of agricultural mechanization services and the related higher productivity of medium farms can be explained by the tendency of large farms to invest in self-owned agricultural machinery and the likelihood that small farms will input more labourers in wheat production. Although Chinese governments aim to develop the social service in agriculture for smallholder farmers, it seems that they do not get positive responses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 430-442 Issue: 4 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1963411 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1963411 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:4:p:430-442 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jia Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jia Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Xuefeng Pan Author-X-Name-First: Xuefeng Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Yuanyu Qu Author-X-Name-First: Yuanyu Author-X-Name-Last: Qu Author-Name: Chenyu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chenyu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Weixing Wu Author-X-Name-First: Weixing Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Air pollution, human capital and corporate social responsibility performance: evidence from China Abstract: This study examines the impact of air pollution on a firm’s adherence to the principles of corporate social responsibility (CSR), and the role of human capital in this relationship. Basing our analysis on a sample of listed companies in China between 2014 and 2017, we employ regression discontinuity design (RDD) and the two-stage instrumental variable method (IV-2SLS) in determining that air pollution has a significant, negative impact on CSR performance. This negative relationship is more pronounced in companies that are subject to mandatory CSR disclosure requirements, compared to those required to make only voluntary disclosures. In addition, further analysis demonstrates that executives with an overseas background, or with a working experience of finance, choose to work in cities with superior air quality, enhancing their companies’ CSR credentials. Moreover, the increase in the total labour force in these cities, as a result of better air quality, motivates local companies to improve their CSR performance to retain and attract higher calibre employees. Our study provides original evidence that air pollution generates negative economic externalities, and can alter firm behaviour, through the medium of human capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 467-483 Issue: 4 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1963413 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1963413 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:4:p:467-483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-Francois Gajewski Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Francois Author-X-Name-Last: Gajewski Author-Name: Luc Meunier Author-X-Name-First: Luc Author-X-Name-Last: Meunier Author-Name: Sima Ohadi Author-X-Name-First: Sima Author-X-Name-Last: Ohadi Title: Do sources of money matter in risk-taking behaviour? Abstract: Assuming that money is fungible, income and wealth affect risk aversion. In the present study, we investigate whether the source of money affects risk-related decision-making. We use the percentage of temporary income and sources of income to capture the heterogeneity of risk-taking behaviour. The results indicate the significant and robust role of the temporary portion of income in explaining risk-taking behaviour: a 1% increase in temporary income corresponds to up to a 12.7% increase in risk-taking. Furthermore, having multiple sources of money is associated with greater risk-taking, and the origin of money matters with regards to risk-taking. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 443-466 Issue: 4 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1963412 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1963412 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:4:p:443-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abebayehu Girma Geffersa Author-X-Name-First: Abebayehu Girma Author-X-Name-Last: Geffersa Author-Name: Frank Wogbe Agbola Author-X-Name-First: Frank Wogbe Author-X-Name-Last: Agbola Author-Name: Amir Mahmood Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Mahmood Title: Modelling technical efficiency and technology gap in smallholder maize sector in Ethiopia: accounting for farm heterogeneity Abstract: This paper examines the effect of farm heterogeneity on the technical efficiency and technology gap of maize production in Ethiopia. We utilize comprehensive household-level data in 2010, 2013 and 2015 for three major maize producing regions in Ethiopia. We estimate technical efficiency using a bias-corrected stochastic meta-frontier model that accounts for technological differences and the consistent ‘true’ fixed-effects stochastic frontier model, which disentangles unobservable farm heterogeneity from inefficiency. We find that maize farmers produce below their potential output with the technology available and the prevailing environmental conditions in their regions. The results show that Oromia has the highest technical efficiency, followed by SNNP, and Benishangul-Gumuz is the least efficient in maize production. These findings generate important policy implications for achieving increased technical efficiency and reduce the technology gap in maize production. Moreover, the level of education, age of household head, family size, household wealth, and off-farm employment and extension services significantly affect technical efficiency in maize production in Ethiopia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 506-521 Issue: 5 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1963415 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1963415 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:5:p:506-521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Giovanni Bernardo Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Bernardo Author-Name: Massimo Ruberti Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Ruberti Author-Name: Roberto Verona Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Verona Title: Image is everything! Professional football players' visibility and wages: evidence from the Italian Serie A Abstract: Sport is one of the most popular forms of entertainment and its worldwide spread has turned athletes into icons who have economic impact and international visibility as global brands. In our paper we would like to show how marketing strategies in the sports industry, amplified by social networks, have put the athlete at the centre of media attention In the world of football, football players have come to play a key role, since their image is the face of their clubs, and this can affect the number of digital fans, that is, fans who are not bound to a club by constant passion but who can change team depending on the athletes that have been lined up. This could explain why the teams playing in the main football championships are offering higher and higher wages in the attempt to get hold of the best talents around. Based on a dataset with information about over 1,200 athletes who have taken part over five seasons of the Italian Serie A, we try to measure the impact of football players’ popularity on salary-setting mechanisms, in the attempt to understand the impact of such variables on football players’ athletic qualities and performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 595-614 Issue: 5 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1967863 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1967863 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:5:p:595-614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saejoon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Saejoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Time-series residual momentum strategies Abstract: We find that the conventional time-series momentum strategy can be revised in two ways to deliver enhanced excess return performance that are reminiscent of the advancements for the cross-sectional momentum strategy. First, we explore the applicability of the residual return for time-series momentum and find that it opens a door for constructing new improved time-series momentum strategies. Second, we examine the pertinence of the auto-covariance property of returns, which is the defining characteristic of time-series momentum, for asset allocation which has almost universally been identified with the equal-weighted one in the literature. We discover that consistent and persistent performance enhancements are earned by both approaches for the industry portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 580-594 Issue: 5 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1967862 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1967862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:5:p:580-594 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fernando Martínez-Santos Author-X-Name-First: Fernando Author-X-Name-Last: Martínez-Santos Author-Name: Zoraida Frias Author-X-Name-First: Zoraida Author-X-Name-Last: Frias Author-Name: Álvaro Escribano Author-X-Name-First: Álvaro Author-X-Name-Last: Escribano Title: What drives spectrum prices in multi-band spectrum markets? An empirical analysis of 4G and 5G auctions in Europe Abstract: Spectrum auctions have recently experienced increased sophistication in the allocation of multi-band frequencies, with efficiency issues becoming much more complex in such scenarios. This empirical analysis seeks to identify the drivers of auction prices associated with 4G and 5G technologies in seven European countries during the period 2008–2019. This study draws on a purpose-built dataset including auction design, spectrum frequency bands at auction, bandwidth supplied to mobile operators, and characteristics of the market structure. We use panel data techniques to identify the main determinants of European spectrum auction prices in the presence of substitutability and complementarities exhibited by the preferences in multi-band spectrum markets. In this regard, we find that mobile operators pay lower auction prices if there are alternative frequency bands used for previous mobile standards and that operators perceive as substitutes. Furthermore, auction prices are higher in more concentrated markets, when more licenses are auctioned and when the CCA format is used (possibly due to the existence of complementarities). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 536-553 Issue: 5 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1967277 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1967277 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:5:p:536-553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmet Keser Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Author-X-Name-Last: Keser Author-Name: İbrahim Çütcü Author-X-Name-First: İbrahim Author-X-Name-Last: Çütcü Author-Name: Mehmet Vahit Eren Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Vahit Author-X-Name-Last: Eren Title: Does country-level governance matter for national development? An analysis on the founding states of Turkic council Abstract: This study aims to examine if there is a long-term relationship between the participation of ‘country-level governance’ and ‘national development’ through the data of founding countries of the Cooperation Council of Turkish Speaking States (Turkic Council)? The hypothesis of there is a significant long-term relationship between country-level governance and national development was tested via the panel data analysis of four Turkic countries: Azerbaijan, Kirgizstan, Kazakhstan, and Turkey. The compounds of the ‘Worldwide Governance Indicators’ were used as the independent variable, and ‘Human Development Index’ as the dependent variable. A Panel Causation Test was conducted to investigate if there are long-term co-integration and causation between country-level governance and national development. Our results found that there is significant causation between the country-level governance indicators of ‘Voice and Accountability’ and ‘Government Effectiveness’ with the ‘national development’ process. Thus, our findings will contribute to both academics who study the effects of governance on development and to policymakers who utilize these sources for improved political and social development with the aim to prevent poverty and improve access to basic human needs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 522-535 Issue: 5 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1966373 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1966373 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:5:p:522-535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Alfaro Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Alfaro Title: Beer leaders against craft brewers: will Goliath end up defeating David in the US? Abstract: The last decade has witnessed an unprecedented rise of craft brewers in the American beer industry, with market leaders actively seeking to hamper their growth. In this paper, we set a model with craft brewers and macrobrewers, where leading firms engage in strategic moves to shape market outcomes. The framework results in leaders strategically targeting craft brewers to disadvantage them, and hence crowd them out. On the contrary, non-leading macrobrewers are neither targeted nor hurt. A calibration for the American beer industry in 2019 shows that, even though the emergence of craft brewers in the last years has hurt leaders, strategic moves have allowed them to mitigate its consequences. Specifically, these moves have respectively enabled AB InBev and Molson Coors to prevent further losses of market share of 5.1 and 2.8 points, implying that the craft brewers’ market share would have been even 7.9 points higher in absence of strategic moves. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 554-567 Issue: 5 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1967278 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1967278 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:5:p:554-567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gaurav Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Gaurav Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Title: CEO’s educational background, economic policy uncertainty and investment-cash flow sensitivity: evidence from India Abstract: This study investigates the impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) on Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivity (ICFS). Further, this study investigates whether CEO’s educational backgrounds moderate the effect of EPU on ICFS for Indian manufacturing firms from 2005 to 2019. Using the system-GMM, this study finds that EPU increases the role of cash flow for corporate investment and reduces corporate investment. Additionally, CEOs with an educational background in the finance domain (technical area) do (not) moderate the negative impact of EPU on ICFS. The finding of this study suggests that EPU considerably affects ICFS, and CEO’s educational backgrounds moderate the effect of EPU on ICFS. Overall, this study adds new insights into the research fields and the implications of this study are beneficial for economies, firms, managers, and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 568-579 Issue: 5 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1967279 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1967279 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:5:p:568-579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sudarshan Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Sudarshan Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Vineet Virmani Author-X-Name-First: Vineet Author-X-Name-Last: Virmani Title: Term structure estimation with liquidity-adjusted Affine Nelson Siegel model: A nonlinear state space approach applied to the Indian bond market Abstract: Efficient term structure estimation in emerging markets is difficult not only because of overall lack of liquidity, but also because of the concentration of liquidity in a few securities. Using the arbitrage-free Affine Nelson-Siegel model, we explicitly incorporate this phenomenon using a proxy for liquidity based on observable data in the bond pricing function and estimate the term structure for Indian Government bond markets in a nonlinear state space setting using the Unscented Kalman Filter. We find strong empirical evidence in support of the extended model with both i) a better in-sample fit to bond prices, and ii) the likelihood ratio test rejecting the restrictions assumed in the standard AFNS specification. In an alternative specification, we also model liquidity as a latent risk factor within the AFNS framework. The estimated latent liquidity factor is found to be strongly correlated with the standard market benchmarks of overall liquidity and the India VIX index. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 648-669 Issue: 6 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1967866 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1967866 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:6:p:648-669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hirokazu Mizobata Author-X-Name-First: Hirokazu Author-X-Name-Last: Mizobata Title: Financial heterogeneity and the dynamics of credit rationing in Japan Abstract: A perceptual gap between banks and firms exists in Japan, preventing the credit channel of monetary policy. Banks believe that bankable customers are scarce, while firms believe that banks do not issue loans without collateral or guarantees. To explain this gap, I focus on the dispersion in the degree of financial constraints across listed Japanese firms from FY1991 to FY2019. I construct a firm-specific and time-varying measure of financial constraints through the structural estimation, and investigate its distribution over time. The results reveal a right-skewed distribution for the index of financial constraints, indicating that many firms face minor financial constraints, while a few face severe financial constraints. The spread between the 75th and 25th percentiles of the index of financial constraints increased after the bubble burst, indicating that Japan’s financial heterogeneity has recently become outstanding. Finally, decomposing financial heterogeneity into within – and between-industry effects shows that the observed financial inequality is due to the increase in inequality among firms within narrowly defined industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 685-701 Issue: 6 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1967869 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1967869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:6:p:685-701 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Serpil Kahraman Author-X-Name-First: Serpil Author-X-Name-Last: Kahraman Author-Name: Merve Keser Author-X-Name-First: Merve Author-X-Name-Last: Keser Title: Volatility Transmission Between the Japanese Stock Market and the Western Stock Market Indices: Time & Frequency Domain Connectedness Analysis with High-Frequency Data Abstract: Stock markets are the main source of financial fragility and the spillover effect due to the high level of connectedness. This study focuses on the connectedness between the Japanese stock market and the major Western stock market indices by performing time and frequency-domain connectedness analysis for the period between 4 January 2002, and 29 September 2020. The time-domain analysis shows that there is a high connectedness among stock market indices, and the net transmitter indices are SPX and AEX while net receiver indices are AORD and N225. The frequency-based analysis highlights that the connectedness between markets in the long term contains more information in contrast to short and medium terms. Similar to time-domain results, SPX is the net transmitter and N225 is the net receiver market indices in long term. Moreover, the dynamic analysis results illustrate the turbulent times of the volatility spillover in the long term with high and short-medium run with low spillover index. Dynamically, time-domain and long-term frequency-domain frameworks’ findings give similar time variation illustrations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 670-684 Issue: 6 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1967868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1967868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:6:p:670-684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Grobys Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Grobys Author-Name: James W. Kolari Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Kolari Title: Choosing factors: the international evidence Abstract: Extending Fama and French’s U.S. study on choosing factors to international equity markets, we test nested and non-nested asset pricing models for North America, Europe, Asia excluding Japan, and Japan. For non-nested models, we propose a new simulation methodology using a blocks bootstrap approach that takes into account factor dependencies. The resultant out-of-sample Sharpe ratios across all models and countries are lower than Fama and French’s pairs bootstrap approach. While we confirm that the six-factor model with market, size, and small size spread factors for value, profitability, investment, and momentum produces the highest maximum squared Sharpe ratio in most economies, an exception is Asia excluding Japan. Additionally, spanning regressions reveal that size does not matter in any of the international equity markets, whereas value matters in Europe, Asia excluding Japan, and Japan. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 633-647 Issue: 6 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1967865 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1967865 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:6:p:633-647 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Xianming Fang Author-X-Name-First: Xianming Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: Responses of China’s shadow banking system to exogenous shocks Abstract: The rapid expansion of China’s shadow banking system in recent years has led to continuous accumulation of risks and posed threats to the security of China’s real economy. According to the specific mechanism of China’s economic operation, this paper constructs a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to analyse the responses of China’s shadow banking system to the exogenous shocks of benchmark interest rate adjustment, high-risk enterprise return rate fluctuation and shadow bank return rate fluctuation. Results indicate that (1) the shadow bank loan interest rate reacts intensively to the benchmark interest rate adjustment; (2) the shadow bank loan interest rate has immediate and short-term response to the fluctuation of high-risk enterprise return rate; (3) the fluctuation of shadow bank return rate indirectly affects the shadow bank loan interest rate. An empirical study using the time-varying VAR model provides further empirical evidence. The shadow banking risks caused by the impacts on the shadow bank loan interest would increase the fragility of China’s financial system and endanger the security of China’s real economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 615-632 Issue: 6 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1967864 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1967864 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:6:p:615-632 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaolong Feng Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolong Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Wanglin Ma Author-X-Name-First: Wanglin Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Mingyue Liu Author-X-Name-First: Mingyue Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Huanguang Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Huanguang Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Title: Impact of grassland transfer on technical efficiency of livestock production in Northern China Abstract: This paper estimates the impact of grassland transfer on the technical efficiency of livestock production, using the cross-sectional data collected from herders in Northern China. The propensity score matching approach and selectivity-corrected stochastic production frontier model are employed to address the selection bias issues. The empirical results show that, on average, the average technical efficiency score of herders with grassland transfer is significantly higher than that of herders without grassland transfer, which are 0.56 and 0.41, respectively, after addressing both observed and unobserved selection biases. The livestock revenue is positively and significantly affected by forage grass use, machinery use, stocking rate, family and hired labours use, and veterinary investment. Our findings highlight the importance of facilitating grassland transfer to increase livestock production efficiency and boost farm performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 702-718 Issue: 6 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1967870 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1967870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:6:p:702-718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed BenSaïda Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: BenSaïda Author-Name: Jose Arreola Hernandez Author-X-Name-First: Jose Arreola Author-X-Name-Last: Hernandez Author-Name: Houda Litimi Author-X-Name-First: Houda Author-X-Name-Last: Litimi Author-Name: Seong-Min Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: The influence of oil, gold and stock market index on US equity sectors Abstract: Within a Markov regime switching perspective, we examine the spillovers between the returns of the ten most representative US equity sectors and the returns of gold, oil, and S&P 500 (GOI), on the one hand, and their implied volatilities, GVZ, OVX, and VIX, on the other hand. Our objective is to check if the implied volatilities of GOI influence the US equity sectors more than GOI returns. Single regime results show that GOI volatilities affect the equity sector returns more than GOI returns, suggesting that forward-looking volatility expectations play a more significant role in determining sector returns than current and historical GOI returns. During tranquillity periods, all three implied volatilities influence equity sector returns more than GOI returns. Moreover, VIX has the strongest effect on sectoral returns. During turmoil periods, VIX influences the sectoral returns more than S&P 500 returns. However, the returns of gold and oil influence equity sector returns more than their implied volatilities. The result may be useful to portfolio and equity risk managers for improved forecasting and hedging in the US equity markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 719-732 Issue: 6 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1969001 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1969001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:6:p:719-732 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hongzhou Pei Author-X-Name-First: Hongzhou Author-X-Name-Last: Pei Author-Name: Wanglin Ma Author-X-Name-First: Wanglin Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Puneet Vatsa Author-X-Name-First: Puneet Author-X-Name-Last: Vatsa Author-Name: Zhiyong Niu Author-X-Name-First: Zhiyong Author-X-Name-Last: Niu Author-Name: Ruochen Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Ruochen Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Economic Downturns and Leisure in China Abstract: This study examines the impact of economic downturns on leisure life, using the Chinese General Social Survey data from 2010 to 2015. The results show that economic downturns significantly decrease individuals’ time allocated to leisure activities. Specifically, participation in educational activities increases during economic downturns, while participation in social interaction and entertainment does not change. We also find that economic downturns significantly reduce the average frequency of individuals’ participation in active entertainment activities (e.g. reading, participating in cultural activities, listening to music at home, participating in physical exercise, watching live sports games, and doing handwork), but do not significantly affect the average frequency of individuals’ participation in passive entertainment activities (e.g. watching TV or DVD at home, watching movies in a cinema, shopping, gathering with relatives, gathering with friends, and surfing the Internet). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 807-820 Issue: 7 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1966371 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1966371 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:7:p:807-820 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ji Seon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Ji Seon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Tae Sup Shim Author-X-Name-First: Tae Sup Author-X-Name-Last: Shim Title: Effects of changes in financial statement aggregation under IFRS on the behaviour of non-professional and professional information users Abstract: This study investigates the effects of the degree of financial statement aggregation and footnote disclosures under IFRS on the judgements of information users with different knowledge levels. A quasi-experiment is conducted with Korean MBA students and CPAs as surrogates for non-professional and professional users, respectively. The results suggest that changes in the level of aggregation of financial statements influence the judgements of non-professional but not professional information users. Neither the judgements of non-professional users nor those of professional users are affected by footnote disclosures. The findings of this study highlight the need for companies to improve the presentation format of their financial statements to better convey relevant information to users. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 733-748 Issue: 7 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1855319 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1855319 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:7:p:733-748 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nasri Harb Author-X-Name-First: Nasri Author-X-Name-Last: Harb Title: Earnings function in Lebanon: does religion matter? Abstract: This paper aims to study the wage gap among religions in Lebanon using a random sample. The advantage of using Lebanon as a case is due to its historical diversification. This case excludes any impact of culture, language and immigration. The article uses multiple regression analysis, the Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition, and the quantile distribution regressions to study the wage gap. The signs of our estimated coefficients are as expected. The results show a significant wage gap for Sunnis, and Shias compared to Maronites. Furthermore, we find that the place of work has a significant impact on earnings. The religion wage gap vanishes if a Shia worker is working in Beirut or in the Eastern suburb; or if a Sunni is working in the Eastern Suburb. Finally, the paper shows that the gap is larger in the case of males for Sunnis, but not for Shias. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 821-840 Issue: 7 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1966372 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1966372 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:7:p:821-840 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu He Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Linshan Qu Author-X-Name-First: Linshan Author-X-Name-Last: Qu Author-Name: Ran Wei Author-X-Name-First: Ran Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Xuankai Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xuankai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Media-based investor sentiment and stock returns: a textual analysis based on newspapers Abstract: This study constructs a media-based investor sentiment index based on a textual analysis of China’s leading financial newspapers. We employ both the Word2Vec technique and the dictionary method to measure the aggregate textual tone in the media news. Based on a sample of publicly listed A-share firms in China, we document that media-based sentiment is positively (negatively) related to the cross-section of stock returns over a short (long) horizon. Further analysis shows that higher information quality, measured by more analyst coverage, better audit opinions and non-governmental ownership could mitigate the effects of sentiment. Overall, our findings imply that media news contains important information for measuring the overall investor sentiment that drives the future stock price up in the short term and then down in the long term. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 774-792 Issue: 7 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1966369 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1966369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:7:p:774-792 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Akem Nina Fabinin Author-X-Name-First: Akem Nina Author-X-Name-Last: Fabinin Title: Pulse, export and staple convenience food: market analysis in West Africa Abstract: The recent expansion of trade measures across countries in sub-Saharan Africa provides market opportunities for the agri-food sector. However, price signals and changes across domestic and regional continental markets are a factor in boosting the success and performance of these markets. Examining commodity market adjustments to price shocks is essential for insights to boost trade performance. Using prominent food categories of the agricultural sector in this region, the study examines market dynamics between pulses, exports, and other staple convenience food. Spatial analysis evaluates market inter-dependencies between regional and domestic markets using a vector error correction model. The findings suggest heterogeneous market effects across commodities horizontally and vertically for value-added product forms in the food chain. In domestic intra-regional markets, price transmission is about as high for regional continental markets, while the extent for inter-regional domestic markets varies by the commodity niche on the value chain. Tailored market development policies can better the overall functioning of agri-food markets and boost the convergence of markets as well as trade integration and expansion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 764-773 Issue: 7 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1965534 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1965534 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:7:p:764-773 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guangli Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Guangli Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xianhang Qian Author-X-Name-First: Xianhang Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Title: The impact of officials’ turnover on interregional capital flows: evidence from China Abstract: Using data on the turnover of provincial Party secretary and interregional capital flows in China, this paper investigates the impact of officials’ turnover on capital flows. We find that there are fewer capitals inflowing into the province during the year with officials’ turnover, and it persists after considering selection bias and multiple robustness checks. When the outgoing officials have longer tenures or are not promoted and the new officials are non-native-born, the effect is larger. The impact of officials’ turnover is more pronounced in provinces with lower investor protection, lower corruption level or more non-state economy. Finally, officials’ turnover can decrease capital formation through reducing capital flows. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 749-763 Issue: 7 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1965533 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1965533 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:7:p:749-763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fakhri J. Hasanov Author-X-Name-First: Fakhri J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hasanov Author-Name: Nader Alkathiri Author-X-Name-First: Nader Author-X-Name-Last: Alkathiri Author-Name: Saad A. Alshahrani Author-X-Name-First: Saad A. Author-X-Name-Last: Alshahrani Author-Name: Ryan Alyamani Author-X-Name-First: Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Alyamani Title: The impact of fiscal policy on non-oil GDP in Saudi Arabia Abstract: This paper examined the impact of fiscal policy on non-oil GDP in Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest oil exporter, over the annual period 1989–2018. We employed various cointegration methods within the framework of the augmented production function and estimated that government current and capital expenditure, in addition to non-oil labour and capital, have statistically significant positive effects on non-oil GDP. We tested whether the recent oil price decline and the implemented economic reforms caused a break in the relationship that non-oil GDP establishes with the mentioned variables and found that there was no break in either the long-run or the short-run relationship. The study concluded with some policy insights that could be useful for fiscal authorities to promote non-oil economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 793-806 Issue: 7 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1966370 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1966370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:7:p:793-806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: The Editors Title: Correction Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-2 Issue: 8 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1861537 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1861537 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:8:p:1-2 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pierre Boulanger Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Boulanger Author-Name: Hasan Dudu Author-X-Name-First: Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Dudu Author-Name: Emanuele Ferrari Author-X-Name-First: Emanuele Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrari Author-Name: Alfredo J. Mainar-Causapé Author-X-Name-First: Alfredo J. Author-X-Name-Last: Mainar-Causapé Author-Name: Maria Priscila Ramos Author-X-Name-First: Maria Priscila Author-X-Name-Last: Ramos Title: Effectiveness of fertilizer policy reforms to enhance food security in Kenya: a macro–micro simulation analysis Abstract: Food security represents a key challenge in most Sub-Saharan African countries and in Kenya in particular where still a relevant share of the population lives below a minimum dietary energy consumption. Kenya addresses this concern with a noteworthy policy mix, aiming at giving to the agricultural sector a leading task in improving food security. This paper evaluates the impacts on food security of expanding fertilizer capacities in Kenya, combined with a set of additional policy changes targeting fertilizer use. In a top-down analysis, a specific Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model is linked with a microsimulation approach. Scenarios present overall positive effects on key food security aggregates. The same is true for welfare. Nevertheless, the heterogeneity of households across and within regions suggests that improving input productivity through better market access and service extension are critical to reducing possible discrepancies across farmers, households and regions. The paper concludes on the need for a sound policy mix since increasing fertilizer production alone is not enough to enhance food security evenly. Among accompanying measures, intensifying extension services are essential especially for smallholders in their acquisition of better knowledge on the use of agricultural inputs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 841-861 Issue: 8 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1808180 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1808180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:8:p:841-861 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kadija Charni Author-X-Name-First: Kadija Author-X-Name-Last: Charni Title: Do employment opportunities decrease for older workers? Abstract: Increasing the labour market participation rates of older workers is a means to secure the sustainability of public finances. However, questions about the effects of job loss of unemployed older workers and their employment prospects remain. This paper investigates why workers, aged 50 and over, have less employment opportunities. Using a competing risks model on British panel data, we examine the chances of re-employment after unemployment spells for older individuals. We find that human capital characteristics and economic incentives play an important role in their chances of getting back to work. We show that the probability of returning to employment after an unemployment spell decreases as workers get older. A decomposition analysis supports the role of age in the unemployment duration gap between ‘older’ and ‘younger’ individuals. The duration of leaving unemployment to employment of older workers would be lower if they will be treated in the same way as the younger ones, which is consistent with elderly employment barriers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 937-958 Issue: 8 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1970711 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1970711 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:8:p:937-958 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Adél Bosch Author-X-Name-First: Adél Author-X-Name-Last: Bosch Author-Name: Matthew Clance Author-X-Name-First: Matthew Author-X-Name-Last: Clance Author-Name: Steven F. Koch Author-X-Name-First: Steven F. Author-X-Name-Last: Koch Title: Household debt and consumption dynamics A non-developed world view following the financial crisis Abstract: According to recent macroeconomic evidence, the global financial crisis is still impacting the South African financial landscape more than 10 years later. In an effort to better understand the effect of the financial crisis, we examine household debt dynamics, with particular attention to deleveraging, following the financial cycle peak. Our analysis is predicated on the National Income Dynamics Study, the first wave of which was conducted adjacent to the beginning of the crisis. We apply standard regression analysis finding heterogeneity in debt and deleveraging at the household level, with both an uptick in short-term debt in the early stages of the crisis and a reduction in long-term debt, primarily mortgage debt, since. Overall, deleveraging was greatest amongst higher income households with relatively larger mortgage debt-to-income ratios, although that was partially offset in households with higher mortgage repayment costs relative to income. Long-term deleveraging was also more likely amongst households with higher vehicle debt-to-income ratios, but lower consumer debt-to-income ratios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 897-917 Issue: 8 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1969004 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1969004 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:8:p:897-917 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yunshen Long Author-X-Name-First: Yunshen Author-X-Name-Last: Long Author-Name: LinQing Zeng Author-X-Name-First: LinQing Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Author-Name: Jing Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xingchen Long Author-X-Name-First: Xingchen Author-X-Name-Last: Long Author-Name: Liang Wu Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: A gradient boosting approach to estimating tail risk interconnectedness Abstract: Interconnectedness, an important risk indicator, should be gauged when assessing the tail risk of financial institutes. Considering potential nonlinearity and interaction in the networked tail risk contagion, we propose an interpretably non-parametric measure based on Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM) to estimate interconnectedness across financial institutes. The proposed measure can be utilized to monitor tail risk spillover channels. We apply our proposed measure to investigate the tail risk interconnectedness of the listed banks in China. We find that the tail risks tend to be spilled over within the same type of banks. The empirical result also implies that the bank heavily involved with the interbank business, such as Industrial Bank, is worthy of regulators’ attention. Further analysis shows that the total connectedness of the banking system increases when the financial system is under distress. Finally, we document that state-owned banks are the main tail risk emitters during financial turbulence. Our study not only presents a flexibly data-driven way to quantify tail risk contagion but also provides useful information to policymakers for prudential supervision. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 862-879 Issue: 8 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1969002 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1969002 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:8:p:862-879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Viera Mendelová Author-X-Name-First: Viera Author-X-Name-Last: Mendelová Title: Technical efficiency decomposition in DEA: a review and improvement with an application in Slovak urban transport Abstract: The article deals with the issue of a technical efficiency (TE) decomposition of decision-making units (DMUs) using data envelopment analysis (DEA). The article summarizes two established DEA decomposition approaches and shows that although these approaches are straightforward and relatively easy to apply in empirical analyses, they are associated with certain shortcomings. As discussed in the article, these shortcomings are mainly related to the way in which the mix efficiency is measured and to the fact that they focus only on one side of efficiency (input or output). The article attempts to overcome these limitations and proposes an alternative simple decomposition method in which problems with measuring mix efficiency are eliminated and both efficiency of inputs, as well as efficiency of outputs are incorporated. The proposed method so provides a comprehensive view on the activities of the evaluated DMUs and points to specific sources of technical inefficiency in the overall input-output view. The case of urban transport companies (UTCs) in the Slovak Republic is revisited using this newly developed approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 880-896 Issue: 8 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1969003 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1969003 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:8:p:880-896 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yongsuk Yun Author-X-Name-First: Yongsuk Author-X-Name-Last: Yun Author-Name: Hyun Ah Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyun Ah Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: High investor sentiment and initial engagement discounts: evidence from Korea Abstract: This study examines whether high sentiment affects auditors’ risk assessment in a less litigious environment. Specifically, we use a Korean setting with relatively low litigation risks and investigate whether audit fees are lower when firms change auditors during high sentiment times. Lower audit fees responding to high sentiment in a weak legal environment may indicate that auditors perceive the overall audit risk including reputation risk and regulation risk as low within the given period, increasing the possibility of their failure to detect managerial opportunistic behaviour. Using 17,469 Korean public firm-year observations from 2003 to 2017, we find that initial audit fees are significantly lower when investor sentiment is high, while changing auditors has no influence on audit fees when investor sentiment is low. Furthermore, this result is maintained even when auditors are changed to Big4 or industry specialist auditors (SPEC), which are known to have high ability and risk sensitivity. We also find that Big4 and SPEC initial auditors input significantly less audit hours during high investor sentiment periods, suggesting that optimistic bias caused by high sentiment makes auditors expect that relaxed audits are tolerable regardless of the legal environment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 959-973 Issue: 8 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1971619 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1971619 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:8:p:959-973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Oudah Yobom Author-X-Name-First: Oudah Author-X-Name-Last: Yobom Author-Name: Julie Le Gallo Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Le Gallo Title: Climate and agriculture: empirical evidence for countries and agroecological zones of the Sahel Abstract: How heterogenous is the impact of climate change across space and the type of agricultural production? In this paper, we investigate the relationship between climate change and variability, measured by temperature and rainfall, and agricultural production at the country and agroecological zone levels of the Sahel. We consider a crop production index and five cereals (maize, millet, sorghum, wheat and rice). Based on an original climate database and an agricultural production function estimated for the period 1961–2016, we show that average rainfall and temperature during the growing season indeed have highly heterogeneous effects on agricultural production, depending on the specific needs and stress of each cereal and the agronomic and climatic conditions of each zone. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 918-936 Issue: 8 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1970710 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1970710 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:8:p:918-936 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fei Peng Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Ling Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Xing Shi Author-X-Name-First: Xing Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Huaqing Wu Author-X-Name-First: Huaqing Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Does value-added tax reform in services accelerate enterprise upgrading? Micro evidence from China Abstract: This study investigates the impact of the value-added tax reform in services on enterprise upgrading during China’s transition. We found that the reform significantly accelerates the process of enterprise upgrading by using data on China’s listed companies from 2009 to 2017 and a difference-in-differences approach. Heterogeneous analyses show that the impact of the reform is mainly manifested in non-state-owned enterprises. We also find that quality upgrading (value-added) plays a dominant role, while the potential of total factor productivity is not fully exploited yet. Tax reduction, investment in innovation, specialization, and factor allocation are major pathways to achieving enterprise upgrading. These findings provide implications for transitional economies in promoting enterprise upgrading through tax incentives. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1093-1109 Issue: 9 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1975029 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1975029 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:9:p:1093-1109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chao Liang Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Yi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yaojie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yaojie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Forecasting the volatility of the German stock market: New evidence Abstract: This study mainly explores whether the implied volatility indices of international stock markets and crude oil contain useful information in predicting the realized volatility (RV) of the German stock market. We use the standard predictive regression model, principal component analysis, five combination methods, and two shrinkage models to generate forecasts of DAX index volatility. First, the in-sample results indicate that almost all of the implied volatility indices considered have significant predictive power for the RV of the German DAX index. Second, the out-of-sample predictions suggest that the two shrinkage models exhibit the best out-of-sample predictions. Furthermore, a mean-variance investor can allocate portfolios through volatility predictions based on shrinkage models to achieve considerable economic gains. Finally, our conclusions are supported by numerous robustness checks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1055-1070 Issue: 9 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1975027 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1975027 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:9:p:1055-1070 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Firmin Doko Tchatoka Author-X-Name-First: Firmin Author-X-Name-Last: Doko Tchatoka Author-Name: Julia Puellbeck Author-X-Name-First: Julia Author-X-Name-Last: Puellbeck Author-Name: Virginie Masson Author-X-Name-First: Virginie Author-X-Name-Last: Masson Title: Stock returns in the time of COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: This paper investigates the dependence between COVID-19 shocks and stock market returns for seven countries: Canada, China, France, Germany, South Korea, the UK and the US. Using a quantile-on-quantile (QQ) regression analysis, we find that all stock markets responded to COVID-19 shocks mostly negatively. However, we also observe instances where an increase in the number of COVID-19 confirmed cases resulted in higher stock returns. This unexpected positive dependence captures the much debated stock market-real economy disconnect at the time of the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, although stock markets’ responses to both the global and the country-specific COVID-19 shocks are similar across countries, substantial differences also exist. In particular, stock markets in the US and China differed in their responses to the global COVID-19 shocks, with a higher degree of heterogeneity observed for the Chinese market. Finally, Asian markets reacted differently to country-specific COVID-19 shocks when compared to the US market. This finding could be explained by the fact that investors in the US stock markets may form their expectations mostly from the US COVID-19 shock, while investors in Asian countries, including China, may value more the information transmitted through the global COVID-19 shock. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1071-1092 Issue: 9 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1975028 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1975028 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:9:p:1071-1092 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Author-Name: Francisco Jareño Author-X-Name-First: Francisco Author-X-Name-Last: Jareño Author-Name: Ana Escribano Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Escribano Title: Dynamic return and volatility connectedness for dominant agricultural commodity markets during the COVID-19 pandemic era Abstract: This paper explores the dynamic return and volatility connectedness for the three most relevant agricultural and livestock commodity indexes (Softs, Grains and Livestock) and a media sentiment index as the Coronavirus Media Coverage Index (MCI). To that purpose, we apply the fresh time-varying parameter vector autoregression methodology during the sample period between 1 January 2020 and 30 April 2021, that is, covering the three waves of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis. Interesting results are found in this research. First, dynamic total return and volatility connectedness fluctuate over time, reaching a peak during both the first and the third waves of the global pandemic crisis. Second, in the dynamic connectedness TO the system, we observe significant differences between markets at the level of the return connectedness measure. However, in the dynamic volatility connectedness TO, there are very few differences between some elements of the system. The Coronavirus MCI appears as the less relevant receiver FROM the system, not only in terms of dynamic return connectedness but also in volatility. Finally, regarding the net dynamic total connectedness, the Coronavirus MCI shows the highest values in return and volatility, during most of the sample period analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1030-1054 Issue: 9 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1973949 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1973949 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:9:p:1030-1054 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Luke Ignaczak Author-X-Name-First: Luke Author-X-Name-Last: Ignaczak Author-Name: Louis Raffestin Author-X-Name-First: Louis Author-X-Name-Last: Raffestin Author-Name: Marcel Voia Author-X-Name-First: Marcel Author-X-Name-Last: Voia Title: Do the determinants of employment duration vary across employment spells? Abstract: This paper looks at employment spells beyond the first, to check if multiple employment separations improve the matching of skills between workers and firms. We investigate whether the factors that are relevant for the first spell remain relevant for later spells. The results point to a range of outcomes. Certain variables such as the unemployment rate gap or part-time employment remain strong consistent predictors of the separation hazard across spells. In contrast, the coefficients of some variables such as the education or family status of the worker change sign and significance as the number of spells increases. This pattern is explained using a theoretical model that connects the cross-spell impact of a variable to its impact on the underlying distribution of the tendency to separate across workers. Variables associated with either a very low or a very high tendency to separate have an inconsistent effect across spells, because workers with a low tendency to separate do not appear in subsequent spells. Additionally, we find that the results vary across genders and generations.Classification codes: J00, C14, C12, C41. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1011-1029 Issue: 9 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1972084 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1972084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:9:p:1011-1029 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Keisuke Kawata Author-X-Name-First: Keisuke Author-X-Name-Last: Kawata Title: Labour market and wage inequalities between permanent rural migrants and urban-born residents in China Abstract: This study provides some of the first empirical evidence on the role of the labour market in determining individual-level wages and the consequent wage inequalities. Unlike traditional earnings equations that focus on human capital factors, this study follows recent wage theory, the Nash bargaining model, and finds that not only human capital but also the labour market are important factors in determining individual-level wages. Further, this study examines wage inequalities between urban-born workers and permanent rural migrant workers, who constitute a sizable part of all rural migrants in urban China but have been ignored in previous academic studies. Different from temporary rural migrants examined in previous studies, permanent rural migrants share the same citizenship rights and social welfare as urban-born workers. However, we still find that these permanent migrants (classified as talent, land, and ‘supported’ migrants) face disadvantages in acquiring high wages. Using a developed version of the two-fold Blinder–Oaxaca decomposition based on our theoretical model, we find that the wage inequalities between permanent rural migrants and urban residents are caused by both the workers’ education and labour market tightness, as well as the father’s employment status, housing prices, and other factors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 996-1010 Issue: 9 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1925079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1925079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:9:p:996-1010 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Merton model’s prediction and empirical evidence on bond and equity prices reaction to new bond issues Abstract: I use the Merton model as a theoretical framework to assess 1) the expected impact of a new bond offering on existing bond and stock prices, and 2) how the bond and stock price reactions are conditioned on characteristics of the new and existing bonds and the planned use of the new funds. Consistent with the Merton model prediction, I find negative and significant average abnormal returns of issuers’ existing bonds over a three-day event window surrounding the announcement of new bond issues. In contrast, average abnormal stock returns of the issuing firms are positive but insignificant. Bond market announcement returns estimated using daily corporate bond data from TRACE are more negative for longer-term outstanding bonds and less negative when the new bonds are junior to existing bonds. I also find that the bond price reaction (stock price reaction) is more negative (less positive) when funds are to be used for expansion than when they are to be used to repurchase stock. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 974-995 Issue: 9 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1861205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1861205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:9:p:974-995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Md. Abdur Rahman Forhad Author-X-Name-First: Md. Abdur Rahman Author-X-Name-Last: Forhad Author-Name: Md Rafayet Alam Author-X-Name-First: Md Rafayet Author-X-Name-Last: Alam Title: Impact of oil demand and supply shocks on food-grain prices: a Markov-switching approach Abstract: This study examines the impact of structural oil demand and supply shocks on the prices of four food-grains: corn, rice, soybean and wheat. We first derive two oil demand shocks-one is due to the change in the global economic condition and the other is oil-market-specific-and an oil supply shock that reflects the change in global oil production. The structural shocks are then used in the linear, and nonlinear Markov-switching models to examine their effects on the four food-grain prices. The results show that an unanticipated oil supply shock does not affect price of any of the four food-grains significantly. An increase in the demand for oil, which is not induced by the change in global economic condition, increases only the corn price in the less volatile corn market. An improvement of global economic condition impacts wheat and corn prices in high volatility regimes. However, oil shocks that are older than one month usually do not affect the food-grain prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1199-1211 Issue: 10 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2009113 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2009113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:10:p:1199-1211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher S. Brunt Author-X-Name-First: Christopher S. Author-X-Name-Last: Brunt Title: Did the Medicaid expansion reduce service utilization among the Medicare population? Abstract: While a large and growing literature has examined the effects of the Affordable Care Act’s Medicaid expansion on newly eligible Medicaid recipients, relatively few studies have explored whether increased Medicaid service utilization has had any negative spillover effects on the Medicare population. This study uses county-level data on Medicare fee-for-service (FFS) utilization from 2007 to 2018 in conjunction with inverse probability of treatment adjusted difference-in-differences and event study models with a variety of inter-temporal controls and county-level fixed effects. It finds highly significant effects of modest magnitude providing evidence of negative spillovers on the traditional Medicare Fee-for-service (FFS) population. FFS Medicare Beneficiaries in Medicaid expansion states experienced a 1% reduction in Evaluation and Management (E&M) visits, a 2.1% reduction in testing services, collectively reducing their volume of visits across Berenson-Eggers Type of Service (BETOS) categories by 0.7%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1172-1198 Issue: 10 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2002803 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2002803 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:10:p:1172-1198 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mayumi Fukumoto Author-X-Name-First: Mayumi Author-X-Name-Last: Fukumoto Title: Global value chain and its impacts on Malaysia’s trade balance Abstract: This study attempts to improve Malaysia’s aggregate import demand functions by considering disaggregated imports using import data classified by broad economic categories (BEC). The results suggest that the deeper the country’s involvement in international production sharing, the less essential relative prices will become. Economic growth driven by the electric industry might not harm the trade balance. However, an increase in domestically produced transport equipment might negatively affect the trade balance. Thus, developing and facilitating domestic production in the automobile industry is essential, and the government is advised to design policies to promote relevant industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1162-1171 Issue: 10 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998336 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:10:p:1162-1171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lorna Syme Author-X-Name-First: Lorna Author-X-Name-Last: Syme Author-Name: Elisabeth Mueller Author-X-Name-First: Elisabeth Author-X-Name-Last: Mueller Title: Does skill balancing prepare for entrepreneurship? Testing the underlying assumption of the jack-of-all-trades view Abstract: Lazear’s jack-of-all-trades view of entrepreneurship predicts that individuals with a more balanced skill set are more likely to enter entrepreneurship. This relationship is often explained by either the investment or the endowment hypothesis. Both hypotheses describe skill balancing by those more interested in entrepreneurship per se. Previous studies which have attempted to determine the relative importance of both hypotheses have neglected the important question of whether balanced skills are actually productive in preparing an individual for entrepreneurship. We test this key underlying assumption by introducing a new measure of skill balancing that measures the breadth of skills directly and introduces exogenous skill balancing due to involuntary job changes. Results suggest that skill balancing through an external shock to an individual’s skill set also increases the probability of entering entrepreneurship. Thus, the underlying assumption of the jack-of-all-trades view that balanced skills support entrepreneurship can also be confirmed for exogenous skill balancing. We contribute to the discussion of whether entrepreneurs are born or made by suggesting that even individuals not predisposed to entrepreneurship can be productively prepared for it. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1145-1161 Issue: 10 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998322 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998322 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:10:p:1145-1161 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michael Dempsey Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dempsey Author-Name: Huy Pham Author-X-Name-First: Huy Author-X-Name-Last: Pham Author-Name: Vikash Ramiah Author-X-Name-First: Vikash Author-X-Name-Last: Ramiah Title: Investment in Cryptocurrencies: lessons for asset pricing and portfolio theory Abstract: We consider the performance of cryptocurrencies in the light of fundamental asset pricing and portfolio theory. We observe how a traditional focus on reducing asset return volatility with Markowitz diversification misses the significance of such volatility for growth. The recognition that asset growth is more likely subject to exponential or continuously compounding growth characteristics reveals that asset volatility can be exploited both across assets and across investment periods to deliver superior returns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1137-1144 Issue: 10 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998321 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998321 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:10:p:1137-1144 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mar Delgado-Téllez Author-X-Name-First: Mar Author-X-Name-Last: Delgado-Téllez Author-Name: Esther Gordo Author-X-Name-First: Esther Author-X-Name-Last: Gordo Author-Name: Iván Kataryniuk Author-X-Name-First: Iván Author-X-Name-Last: Kataryniuk Author-Name: Javier J. Pérez Author-X-Name-First: Javier J. Author-X-Name-Last: Pérez Title: The decline in public investment: ``social dominance’’ or too-rigid fiscal rules? Abstract: Public investment in advanced economies is at historical lows, following a declining trend since the 1980s. Two main hypotheses have been posed to explain this evolution: (i) the ‘social dominance hypothesis’, whereby increased public social spending has been displacing investment from government’s budgets, despite the upward trend witnessed in tax burdens and debt; (ii) fiscal rules’ frameworks, that would have forced governments to reduce investment in their quest for compliance. In this paper, we jointly test the validity of these two duelling explanations using two empirical approaches (panel data models; local projections) for a sample of advanced economies comprising data for the past six decades. We find that both factors are relevant to explain the observed downward trend in investment, with social spending acting as a structural driver, whereas fiscal rules contributed mainly when applied in fiscal consolidation episodes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1123-1136 Issue: 10 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1990841 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1990841 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:10:p:1123-1136 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sunghoon Chung Author-X-Name-First: Sunghoon Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Joonhyung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Joonhyung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: The price effect of China tire safeguard Abstract: This paper evaluates the impact on the tire price of China Tire Safeguard implemented by the US government for three years from 2009 to 2012. We find that the safeguard tariffs have been fully reflected onto the unit value of imported tires from China, which implies that tire exporters from China have not absorbed the tariff in their original export price. Interestingly, we also find that the unit value of imported tires from the Rest of the World rose during the safeguard period even though their products were not subject to tariffs. At the same time, domestic US tire producers increased the price significantly. However, such price increases were temporary: both unit values (from China and the Rest of the World) and US producers’ price gradually declined when the safeguard tariff expired. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1111-1122 Issue: 10 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1990206 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1990206 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:10:p:1111-1122 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helder Ferreira de Mendonça Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendonça Author-Name: Eduardo Schirmer Finn Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Schirmer Author-X-Name-Last: Finn Title: Can credibility offset electricity price effect on business confidence? An empirical investigation from a large emerging economy Abstract: We analyse the ‘offsetting effect’ that the central bank credibility can have in mitigating the harmful effects of the increase in electricity price on business confidence. Based on data from the Brazilian economy from 2010 to 2019, we perform several regressions with different specifications and methods, taking into account aggregate level and the eleven industrial sectors with higher electricity consumption. In general, our findings support the view that an increase in electricity price harms business confidence, but there is an ‘offsetting effect’ when central bank credibility increases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1229-1242 Issue: 11 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1975031 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1975031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:11:p:1229-1242 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aolin Leng Author-X-Name-First: Aolin Author-X-Name-Last: Leng Author-Name: Mengdi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mengdi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Hanmei Chen Author-X-Name-First: Hanmei Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Zhe Duan Author-X-Name-First: Zhe Author-X-Name-Last: Duan Title: Can loan guarantee promote innovation behaviour in firms? Evidence from Chinese listed firms Abstract: Using a loan guarantee contract for credit financing is the primary method for firms to obtain external financial resources. We examine whether obtaining loan guarantees from third parties can promote innovation behaviour, and investigate the underlying mechanism. Using the 2007–2016 data of Chinese listed firms, we find that (i) firms with loan guarantees have lower innovation input but much higher patents output in that very year, (ii) higher the guarantee coverage cannot promote R&D expenditure in that very year and the following year. The results indicate that loan guarantees can promote innovation behaviour because it can ease the financial constraints the debtor facing, rather than the risk sharing mechanism. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1318-1334 Issue: 11 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1976381 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1976381 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:11:p:1318-1334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu Hua Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hua Author-Name: Hai-yan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hai-yan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Hou-jun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hou-jun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Does pension affect labour supply? New evidence from large-scale rural pension policy reform in China Abstract: Using national longitudinal survey data, we study how the Chinese New Rural Pension Scheme (NRPS) reform affects the rural labour supply structure of individuals aged 20–70. Applying multiple regression approaches, we find NRPS does not significantly affect Chinese rural residents’ weekly working hours, labour force participation, or migration choices; only those aged 50–59 change their labour supply pattern after joining the pension system. Parental pensions motivate adult children to migrate out only when both parents receive pensions. Various factors are explored to understand our findings; the low subsidy that Chinese rural pensioners currently receive is the major factor. These results indicate that from the perspective of improving the welfare of the rural elderly and encouraging the more free flow of young rural labour force, it is necessary to increase the compensation level of NRPS. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1212-1228 Issue: 11 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1975030 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1975030 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:11:p:1212-1228 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mingming Pan Author-X-Name-First: Mingming Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: EU enlargements and U.S. FDI flows in the six core states Abstract: This paper addresses an under-researched question of whether regional integration with lower-income countries results in displacement of foreign direct investment (FDI) from high-income countries. Difference-in-differences (DID) estimations are used to, respectively, analyse the effects of the 1986 enlargement and the 2004/2007 enlargement of European Union (EU) on U.S. FDI flows into the EU core states. The results reveal a negative impact of the 1986 enlargement on EP FDI and positive effects of the 2004/2007 enlargement on EP and vertical FDI. The comparative analysis demonstrates that the impact of regional integration depends on the relative strength of a few factors determined by the circumstance. High-income countries do not necessarily lose FDI following an integration with lower-income countries. While the integration tends to divert labour-cost sensitive EP FDI away from the high-income members, as long as the high-income members adaptively go through industrial restructuring and take full advantage of the expanded production networks in response to the newly integrated regional environment, they are likely to become more resilient and competitive in the regional and global markets and reap the benefits of integration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1301-1317 Issue: 11 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1976380 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1976380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:11:p:1301-1317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaodong Song Author-X-Name-First: Xiaodong Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Saralees Nadarajah Author-X-Name-First: Saralees Author-X-Name-Last: Nadarajah Title: New models for the extramarital affairs data Abstract: The extramarital affairs data set due to Fair is a popular data in the econometric literature. We propose two new models for the data. They are shown to provide better fits than many of the known models for the data. The fits were assessed in terms of AIC, residual plots, comparison of observed and predicted counts and some formal tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1243-1256 Issue: 11 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1975632 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1975632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:11:p:1243-1256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joshua Ping Ang Author-X-Name-First: Joshua Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Ang Author-Name: Fang Dong Author-X-Name-First: Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: The Effects and Counter-Effects of Unemployment and Stringency Responses to COVID-19: An International Analysis Using Simultaneous Equations Models Abstract: By applying the data from 59 countries to simultaneous equations models with 3SLS and GMM estimations, we analyse the effects and counter-effects of stringency of movement restrictions on unemployment rate and COVID-19 infection cases. On the one hand, our results show that the unemployment rate rises when the governments impose more stringent movement restrictions. On the other hand, a higher unemployment rate leads the government to lower stringency of movement restrictions. Our findings provide evidence on the tradeoff between unemployment rates and infection cases under the government’s virus containment intervention policies. This allows the policymakers to find a balance between public health emergencies and the economy. We also find that the stringency is affected positively by infection cases, negatively by the number of hospital beds per capita and healthcare spending per capita; the number of infection cases is affected positively by urban population density and negatively by an individualism index; and the unemployment rate is affected negatively by GDP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1278-1300 Issue: 11 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1975634 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1975634 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:11:p:1278-1300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qingqing Fei Author-X-Name-First: Qingqing Author-X-Name-Last: Fei Title: Opposite effects of returnee and non-local independent directors on firm’s environmental disclosure and performance Abstract: Government programmes and policies in China have brought energy conservation and emission reduction issues into focus. Given the positive role of independent directors and media in corporate governance, the study explores the impact of independent director’s characteristics and media exposure on firm’s environmental disclosure and performance. We find that independent director’s overseas background is positively associated with environmental behaviour, whereas non-local independent director is negatively related to environmental behaviour. The split-sample analyses further support that media coverage plays a positive role both through itself directly and via its impact on independent directors. In supplementary analyses, media exposure has a more significant effect on state-owned than on non-state-owned enterprises. Additionally, non-independent director’s overseas experience also improves firm’s environmental behaviour. The findings enable us to identify a specific channel to improve environmental disclosure and corporate governance, which is through the impact of media on certain independent directors such as returnee-independent directors in state-owned enterprises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1257-1277 Issue: 11 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1975633 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1975633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:11:p:1257-1277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jung K. Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jung K. Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Yumi Koh Author-X-Name-First: Yumi Author-X-Name-Last: Koh Title: Pretrial justice reform and black–white difference in employment Abstract: While criminal justice reforms aimed at reducing the size of pretrial detainee population are being implemented across the U.S., little is known about their impact on the labour market. Using difference-in-differences approach, we find that the 2017 New Jersey Criminal Justice Reform increased the employment probability among blacks in their prime working age (i.e. 25–54) by 4.2 to 6.8 percentage points; its effect among whites is negligible. Labour force participation, full-time job status, and working hours among blacks also increased. Our findings suggest that individuals not detained pretrial are absorbed by the formal labour market and that this contributes to an overall increase in employment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1396-1414 Issue: 12 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1976387 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1976387 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:12:p:1396-1414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhenguo Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhenguo Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yabin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yabin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Chun Liao Author-X-Name-First: Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Liao Author-Name: Hongshan Ai Author-X-Name-First: Hongshan Author-X-Name-Last: Ai Author-Name: Xiangyu Yang Author-X-Name-First: Xiangyu Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: What contributes to the growth of China’s embodied CO2 emissions? Incorporating the global value chains concept Abstract: Global value chains (GVCs) not only reshape trade patterns but also influence trade-related emissions worldwide. This paper estimates China’s aggregate and industrial embodied CO2 emissions in international fragmentation production networks in 2000–2014, and further adopts the chaining structural decomposition analysis (SDA) incorporating the GVCs concept to identify the effect of production fragmentation on embodied CO2 emissions. In addition, heterogeneities in different trade patterns (i.e. pure domestic, traditional, simple, and complex trades) are also examined. The chaining SDA results show that the increase in GVCs leads to China’s embodied CO2 emissions growth, in which the relocation effect of final products is greater than that of intermediate products. Moreover, China’s embodied CO2 emissions are mainly induced by pure domestic demand, with trade-related activities accounting for less than 30%. Furthermore, the effect of traditional final demand trade activity is outstripping that of those rising from the simple and complex GVCs activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1335-1351 Issue: 12 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1976382 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1976382 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:12:p:1335-1351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fateh Belaid Author-X-Name-First: Fateh Author-X-Name-Last: Belaid Author-Name: Véronique Flambard Author-X-Name-First: Véronique Author-X-Name-Last: Flambard Author-Name: Michelle Mongo Author-X-Name-First: Michelle Author-X-Name-Last: Mongo Title: How large is the extent of COVID-19 on territorial inequality? France’s current situation and prospects Abstract: This study develops a straightforward statistical approach to explore the COVID-19 pandemic impact on inequalities. The setting of the study is the economic and social inequalities in France, as an illustration of a particular European country that has been severely affected by the current health crisis. Using rich regional data, we provide a clear picture of the COVID-19 impact on inequalities in France at the regional level. The findings show that the pandemic shocks were very asymmetrical with little correlation with the socio-demographic characteristics of a territory. The consequences of the economic losses suffered and the health distress plunged the territories into an unprecedented and multifaceted crisis. The results of this study provide some relevant policy recommendations that can be expanded beyond the French context. It provides some guidance on how to identify the impact of the health crisis on inequalities and the aggravating factors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1432-1448 Issue: 12 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1976389 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1976389 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:12:p:1432-1448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Paulin Gohoungodji Author-X-Name-First: Paulin Author-X-Name-Last: Gohoungodji Author-Name: Nabil Amara Author-X-Name-First: Nabil Author-X-Name-Last: Amara Title: Historical roots and influential publications in the area of innovation in the creative industries: A cited-references analysis using the Reference Publication Year Spectroscopy Abstract: This study explores the historical roots of the relatively new topic of innovation in the creative industries. We are interested in the contributions of researchers that have proven to be important to the topic over the long term. To do so, we used the Reference Publication Year Spectroscopy method. This method is based on the analysis of the frequency with which references are cited in publications in a specific research area, in our case, innovation in the creative industries. The study is based on a corpus of articles rigorously selected through a systematic review method of empirical articles published between 1998 and 2019. The results reveal 4585 cited references (CR) with 9 clearly identifiable peaks, the first of which is caused by the work of Schumpeter (1934) and the last by the book of Miles & Green (2008). Each of the peaks marks a major contribution to the evolution of the understanding of innovation in these industries with one or more publications, the majority of which have an economic basis. In addition, the study reveals that the three most influential publications in this field are the economically oriented books by Florida (2002), Caves (2000), and Miles & Green (2008). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1415-1431 Issue: 12 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1976388 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1976388 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:12:p:1415-1431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Youshu Li Author-X-Name-First: Youshu Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Junjie Guo Author-X-Name-First: Junjie Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: The asymmetric impacts of oil price and shocks on inflation in BRICS: a multiple threshold nonlinear ARDL model Abstract: This study investigates the asymmetric impacts of oil price and component shocks on inflation in the context of BRICS countries. We firstly decompose the oil price change into supply, demand and risk shocks and subsequently establish an empirical framework to explore asymmetric pass-through using a novel multiple threshold nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag model (MTNARDL). The extended model yields precise asymmetric estimates by splitting oil price change and disaggregated shocks into different partial sums. Our results reveal that significant asymmetries between oil price and inflation are only exhibited in China in the short run, suggests that inflationary effect is more dramatic when oil price decreases. For the supply shocks, strong asymmetries are found in Russia and China in the short term and in South Africa in the long term. Meanwhile demand shocks and risk shocks hold either nil asymmetry or weak, in most cases risk shocks have the weakest effect on inflation and the influence fading fast, demand shocks only exert impact temporarily during extreme fluctuation. Nonetheless, asymmetries are most important and significant at the highest and lowest quintiles. Considering the empirical results, this study provides some policy implications for policymakers and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1377-1395 Issue: 12 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1976386 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1976386 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:12:p:1377-1395 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vito Amendolagine Author-X-Name-First: Vito Author-X-Name-Last: Amendolagine Author-Name: Lucia Piscitello Author-X-Name-First: Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Piscitello Author-Name: Roberta Rabellotti Author-X-Name-First: Roberta Author-X-Name-Last: Rabellotti Title: The impact of OFDI in global cities on innovation by Indian multinationals Abstract: We investigate the impact of Outward Foreign Direct Investment (OFDI) on the innovation performance of Indian multinationals by analysing their choice of entry mode (cross-border acquisitions versus greenfield investments) and their international location decisions (i.e. choice to locate in a global city). We rely on an augmented fractional logit estimator for 170 foreign investments in high- and medium-high tech manufacturing sectors in the period 2003 to 2011 and find that: (i) compared to greenfield investments, acquisitions generate more technological opportunities; (ii) location in a global city has a negative impact on the Indian companies’ innovation performance; (iii) the positive effect of acquisition decreases if the investment is focused on a global city. These findings should be informative for both firms and government authorities involved in developing going-global strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1352-1365 Issue: 12 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1976383 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1976383 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:12:p:1352-1365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Theodoros Skevas Author-X-Name-First: Theodoros Author-X-Name-Last: Skevas Author-Name: Ioannis Skevas Author-X-Name-First: Ioannis Author-X-Name-Last: Skevas Author-Name: Nicholas Kalaitzandonakes Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Kalaitzandonakes Title: The role of peer effects on farmers’ decision to adopt unmanned aerial vehicles: evidence from Missouri Abstract: This paper examines the role of peer effects on farmers’ decision to adopt Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs). This relationship is analysed by means of a Bayesian spatial autoregressive probit model applied to spatially explicit data describing the awareness, attitudes, and adoption of UAVs by 809 Missouri farmers. Results show that it is not only the farmers’ characteristics, awareness, and attitudes towards UAVs that affect adoption, but also the adoption behaviour and traits of neighbouring peers. Peer effects arise both from UAV adoption of nearby farmers and from spatial spillovers of farmers’ characteristics, awareness of UAV agricultural applications, expectations of economic and environmental benefits from UAV use and perceived neighbour privacy concerns in the use of UAVs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1366-1376 Issue: 12 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1976384 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1976384 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:12:p:1366-1376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kuang-Cheng Chai Author-X-Name-First: Kuang-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Chai Author-Name: Yang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Chin-Piao Yeh Author-X-Name-First: Chin-Piao Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Author-Name: Li-Mei Liang Author-X-Name-First: Li-Mei Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Title: External profit pressure and operating efficiency: evidence from Chinese listed companies Abstract: Compared with western developed countries, the maturity and effectiveness of China’s securities market are relatively low, and investors are more likely to be swayed by analysts’ opinions. Efficiency is an important indicator to measure the competitiveness of listed companies, analysts’ earnings pressure can not only make management inclined to short-term investment behaviour, but also affect stakeholders’ views on the company, which is not conducive to the company’s efficiency and long-term development. Therefore, this study examines the impact of external profit pressure on the operating efficiency of Chinese listed companies and its internal mechanism. The technical efficiency (TE), pure technical efficiency (PTE) and scale efficiency (SE) of the samples of listed companies are calculated by data envelopment method (DEA), it is found that external profit pressure has a negative impact on TE and PTE but a positive impact on SE. The institutional investor plays an intermediary role between external profit pressure and operating efficiency, and corporate social responsibility regulates the relationship between external profit pressure and institutional investors’ shareholding. The conclusion of the research has important theoretical value and practical significance in clarifying the relationship between external profit pressure and the operating efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1449-1459 Issue: 13 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1977772 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1977772 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:13:p:1449-1459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jorge N. Valero-Gil Author-X-Name-First: Jorge N. Author-X-Name-Last: Valero-Gil Author-Name: Magali Valero Author-X-Name-First: Magali Author-X-Name-Last: Valero Title: Human capital and state income differences in Mexico Abstract: We study the relationship between differences in human capital and differences in output per worker of the federal entities of Mexico. We consider both quantity and quality of education in human capital formation. Our measure of quality of education is constructed using the OECD’s programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) maths achievement test scores. Our results are consistent with different methodologies and data sources. We find that variations in human capital explain upwards of 40% of the variations in state GDP per hour worked. Our results indicate that Mexican states should place more emphasis both in the quantity as well as quality of schooling to support economic development of the states. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1544-1561 Issue: 13 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1980197 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1980197 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:13:p:1544-1561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qiao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qiao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Explaining the gender wage gap in China’s healthcare sector: a non-parametric analysis Abstract: This study provides empirical evidence for explaining the gender wage differential in China’s healthcare sector. We first propose a signalling game by capturing the progressive wage incentive in this sector. Next, we show that the model primitives are non-parametrically identified and estimable using recently developed methodologies related to measurement errors. Adopting a dataset from the China Household Income Project (CHIP2013), we provide empirical evidence for gender inequality in job placement for labour in the private sector. Moreover, there is no unequal treatment in China’s healthcare sector. Female labour in the private sector are more likely to subjectively choose job positions with less risk and more stable returns in response to the high-powered incentives that are provided, and this leads to gender wage differential in China’s healthcare sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1507-1526 Issue: 13 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1979190 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1979190 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:13:p:1507-1526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aktham Issa Maghyereh Author-X-Name-First: Aktham Issa Author-X-Name-Last: Maghyereh Author-Name: Hussein A. Abdoh Author-X-Name-First: Hussein A. Author-X-Name-Last: Abdoh Title: COVID-19 pandemic and volatility interdependence between gold and financial assets Abstract: By using high-frequency data, we examine the volatility linkages patterns between gold and several important asset classes including foreign currency, US equity, oil, bitcoin and agriculture commodity in the period surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic. To this end, we use the cross-wavelet power transform, the cross-wavelet coherency and the dynamic frequency-domain connectedness. We find that the pandemic caused a greater positive association in volatility series between gold and each of the financial assets considered. We document clear findings of phase difference of lead-lag volatility interdependence between gold and the financial assets that varies according to timescales and periods. In general, the long-term connections are strengthened during the pandemic except the case of bitcoin and soya bean suggesting a long-term diversification ability when including them in a portfolio containing gold. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1473-1486 Issue: 13 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1977774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1977774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:13:p:1473-1486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Greg Filbeck Author-X-Name-First: Greg Author-X-Name-Last: Filbeck Author-Name: Eric Robbins Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Robbins Author-Name: Xin Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Social capital during the coronavirus pandemic: the value of corporate benevolence Abstract: In this paper, we explore market reaction to announcements of corporate donations associated with the COVID-19 crisis. Companies with larger firm size, higher leverage, higher institutional ownership, and higher ESG rankings are more likely to donate COVID relief. We observe statistically significant positive abnormal returns over the event window, driven by a subsample of community relief funds. Our results support the notion of a strategic, reputational premium for participating firms. Consistent with signalling theory, we find firms without ESG scores show positive share price responses to corporate benevolence announcements. This finding suggests the market is less likely to anticipate corporate acts of benevolence from firms with missing ESG scores. Our findings suggest that the market positively reacts to corporate philanthropy news during a crisis. The strongest stock market reaction is related to those firms with missing or less favourable ESG scores. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1460-1472 Issue: 13 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1977773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1977773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:13:p:1460-1472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dinesh Gajurel Author-X-Name-First: Dinesh Author-X-Name-Last: Gajurel Author-Name: Akhila Chawla Author-X-Name-First: Akhila Author-X-Name-Last: Chawla Title: The oil price crisis and contagion effects on the Canadian economy Abstract: Using a multifactor model, this paper investigates industry-level sensitivities to oil price changes and their spillover effects on 11 economic sectors in Canada during the 2014–2016 oil price crisis through a multisector analysis of sectoral equity indices. The three-factor model proposes a benchmark for interdependence between different sectors and examines the contagion effects transmitted via a common factor, a global oil factor, and a factor specific to the domestic oil and gas (O&G) sector during the crisis period. We provide empirical evidence of a strong and positive relationship between the global oil factor and the Canadian equity market. Results show that all sectoral equity portfolios are exposed to the global oil price. Also, though most economic sectoral portfolios experience contagion effects from the global oil market during the crisis period, some sectors show resilience. Finally, we find limited evidence on the effect of shocks originating in the O&G sector on other sectors of the Canadian economy. Our findings have implications for policy makers, managers and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1527-1543 Issue: 13 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1980196 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1980196 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:13:p:1527-1543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yosef Bonaparte Author-X-Name-First: Yosef Author-X-Name-Last: Bonaparte Author-Name: Rohan Christie-David Author-X-Name-First: Rohan Author-X-Name-Last: Christie-David Author-Name: David Koslowsky Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Koslowsky Title: Political heterogeneity, subjective optimism, and stock market outcomes Abstract: We demonstrate that political heterogeneity, proxied by the spread in subjective optimism between Democratic and Republican investors, affects stock market returns and volatility. Our intuition, drawn from the psychology literature on intergroup conflict, leads us to infer that increased political heterogeneity causes investors to become entrenched, not just in their political beliefs, but also in their economic outlook. Consequently, they become resistant to contrary news, and this behaviour is linked to lower market volatility and higher market returns. These findings are further underpinned by evidence that shows idiosyncratic volatility, which reflects the level of stock responses to firm-specific information, to decrease as political heterogeneity increases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1487-1506 Issue: 13 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1977775 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1977775 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:13:p:1487-1506 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sie Won Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sie Won Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The effects of the OPT visa extension rule on STEM business programs in the U.S. Abstract: I investigate the effects of STEM Optional Practical Training (OPT) visa extension rule on Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics (STEM) programme offerings and student degree attainment. The extension rule enables international students with STEM degrees to apply for a 17-month extension of the OPT period to work in the United States. Compared to studies on student choices, little is known about supply side responses to immigration policies. I use U.S. universities’ major code-level data from 2007 to 2018 and exploit a business major code designated as a STEM major in May 2012. Using a difference-in-differences model, I find that the OPT extension rule increases the probability of offering STEM-designated business programmes by 4 percentage points (16.2%) at the bachelor’s level and 12.2 percentage points (90.3%) at the master’s level. Event-study estimates show that the probability of offering STEM business programmes increases by 5.5 to 25.5 percentage points one to five years after the visa policy change at the master’s level. In addition, the extension of the OPT period increases the number of degrees awarded to international students by 62.2% at the master’s level in STEM business majors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1654-1671 Issue: 14 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1982131 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1982131 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:14:p:1654-1671 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vito Pipitone Author-X-Name-First: Vito Author-X-Name-Last: Pipitone Author-Name: Francesca Licari Author-X-Name-First: Francesca Author-X-Name-Last: Licari Author-Name: Roberto Foderà Author-X-Name-First: Roberto Author-X-Name-Last: Foderà Author-Name: Alessandra Faggian Author-X-Name-First: Alessandra Author-X-Name-Last: Faggian Title: Internal migration and technical efficiency: the case of Italy Abstract: The aim of the paper is to contribute to the study of the determinants of the internal mobility of people. To study the determinants of internal migration, we introduce a new explanatory variable, i.e. technical efficiency of Local Labour Market Areas. This variable is particularly relevant, as it allows us to summarize the entrepreneurial capacity connected to the cultural and social context of an area. Our results, for the case of Italy, suggest that technical efficiency contributes greatly to explaining internal migratory flows and the various patterns of migration among different groups of individuals. By looking more specifically at different groups of individuals, we also uncover important differences between natives and foreigners and among different age-groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1639-1653 Issue: 14 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1980491 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1980491 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:14:p:1639-1653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yian Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yian Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Misallocation of Talent and Innovation: evidence from China Abstract: This study examined the effects of the misallocation of talent between the government and private enterprise sectors on innovation. By using the 2005 inter-census population survey and patent database, we find a negative correlation between misallocation of talent and innovation intensity. Exploring possible mechanisms, we conclude that this negative correlation between misallocation of talent and innovation was best explained by the negative impact of such misallocation upon entrepreneurship and R&D spending. That is, misallocations of talent reduce the willingness of people to be productive Schumpeterian entrepreneurs, and the majority of companies affected by such misallocation are reluctant to increase R&D spending. Most importantly, we find that excessive talent enters government departments in prefectures worse the suppression of innovation. This result sheds new light on the important role of allocation of talent on innovation for scholars and policymakers. Our findings have important implications for how to effectively allocate talent between the government vs.enterprise sectors in order to encourage more productive, value-creating activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1598-1624 Issue: 14 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1980202 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1980202 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:14:p:1598-1624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stoyan V. Stoyanov Author-X-Name-First: Stoyan V. Author-X-Name-Last: Stoyanov Author-Name: Svetlozar T. Rachev Author-X-Name-First: Svetlozar T. Author-X-Name-Last: Rachev Author-Name: Abootaleb Shirvani Author-X-Name-First: Abootaleb Author-X-Name-Last: Shirvani Author-Name: Frank J. Fabozzi Author-X-Name-First: Frank J. Author-X-Name-Last: Fabozzi Title: Option pricing in an investment risk-return setting Abstract: In this paper, we combine modern portfolio theory and option pricing theory so that a trader taking a position in a European option contract, the underlying assets, and a risk-free bond can construct an optimal portfolio while ensuring that the option is perfectly hedged at maturity. We derive both the optimal holdings in the underlying assets for the trader’s optimal mean-variance portfolio and the amount of unhedged risk prior to maturity. Solutions assuming the price dynamics in the underlying assets follow a discrete binomial model, and continuous diffusions, stochastic volatility, volatility-of-volatility, and Merton’s jump-diffusion model are derived. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1625-1638 Issue: 14 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1980490 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1980490 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:14:p:1625-1638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Raquel Carrasco Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Carrasco Author-Name: Virginia Hernanz Author-X-Name-First: Virginia Author-X-Name-Last: Hernanz Title: Dependent self-employment across Europe: involuntariness, country’s wealth and labour market institutions Abstract: This article investigates the degree of involuntariness in the entrepreneurial activity of the dependent solo self-employed, as well as its association with the country’s wealth and labour market institutions. Using the unique information available in the 2017 European Labour Force Survey (EU-LFS) for 29 countries, we can properly identify the dependent solo self-employed and analyse to what extent they behave in accordance with an occupational choice model when making their self-employment decision. For that, we account for the reasons why they enter into self-employment (voluntarily or involuntarily either out of necessity or requested by the former employer). The results indicate that involuntary self-employment, mostly due to being required by previous employer, significantly increases the probability of being dependent solo versus non-dependent self-employed. The wealthiest countries have a lower incidence of this group of workers, mainly if they are involuntary self-employed. Moreover, labour market institutions that decrease the flexibility of paid employment tend to increase the incidence of dependent solo self-employment. These results point to this group of workers being particularly vulnerable with the degree of vulnerability significantly increasing for those self-employed with a lesser degree of occupational choice. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1568-1583 Issue: 14 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1980200 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1980200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:14:p:1568-1583 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Philip Hans Franses Author-X-Name-First: Philip Hans Author-X-Name-Last: Franses Title: Interpolation and correlation Abstract: Historical time series sometimes have missing observations. It is common practice either to ignore these missing values or otherwise to interpolate between the adjacent observations and continue with the interpolated data as true data. This paper shows that interpolation changes the autocorrelation structure of the time series. Ignoring such autocorrelation in subsequent correlation or regression analysis can lead to spurious results. A simple method is presented to prevent spurious results. A detailed illustration highlights the main issues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1562-1567 Issue: 14 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1980199 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1980199 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:14:p:1562-1567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bochuan Dai Author-X-Name-First: Bochuan Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Ben R. Marshall Author-X-Name-First: Ben R. Author-X-Name-Last: Marshall Author-Name: Nhut Hoang Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Nhut Hoang Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Nuttawat Visaltanachoti Author-X-Name-First: Nuttawat Author-X-Name-Last: Visaltanachoti Title: Do stop-loss rules add value in international equity market allocation? Abstract: We consider the performance of stop-loss rules in international equity market allocation. Diversifying internationally gives the potential of larger returns but often involved higher risks, so it is a natural setting to consider these rules. Our results indicate that stop-loss rules, which involve closing positions that decline by a pre-specified percentage, are an important determinant of asset allocation in a parametric portfolio policy setting. They generate portfolios that have superior mean and risk-adjusted returns for investors. This result holds in general but is economically stronger in declining markets. The outperformance is robust to the inclusion of transaction costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1584-1597 Issue: 14 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1980201 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1980201 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:14:p:1584-1597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abhinava Tripathi Author-X-Name-First: Abhinava Author-X-Name-Last: Tripathi Author-Name: Alok Dixit Author-X-Name-First: Alok Author-X-Name-Last: Dixit Author-Name: Vipul Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Vipul Title: Liquidity commonality in the cryptocurrency market Abstract: Motivated by the unique transaction cost structure of the cryptocurrency (CC) market11The authors thank the anonymous reviewer for the review of the manuscript and the insightful comments., this study investigates the phenomenon of liquidity commonality across a sample of 53 CCs. The study employs the google search volume index (GSVI) measure to capture the retail investor’s attention towards the CC market. Using the quantile regression method, we document the liquidity dynamics of CCs that is contrasting to other asset classes, and is ascribed to its unique transaction cost structure. In view of the relatively high liquidity commonality levels found in the CC market, this paper sounds a note of caution to retail investors on episodic non-availability of liquidity in CCs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1727-1741 Issue: 15 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1982128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1982128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:15:p:1727-1741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mehmet Serkan Tosun Author-X-Name-First: Mehmet Serkan Author-X-Name-Last: Tosun Author-Name: Serhat Yildiz Author-X-Name-First: Serhat Author-X-Name-Last: Yildiz Title: The relationship between tax uncertainty and trade credit: firm-level evidence from the United States Abstract: We examine whether firms’ tax uncertainty affect their trade credit and inventory investment policies. Using a measure of tax uncertainty based on an accounting reserve for contingent tax liability, we find that tax uncertainty is negatively associated with trade credit use and inventory investment. In terms of economic significance, the effect of tax uncertainty on trade credit use is comparable to those of the firm’s cash flow and leverage. Overall, our findings highlight a new channel through which tax planning policies affect corporate decisions and show that the firm’s tax planning policies are important determinants of its trade credit use and inventory investment. Our results are robust to different empirical specifications and tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1742-1758 Issue: 15 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1982129 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1982129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:15:p:1742-1758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Markus Zimmermann Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Zimmermann Title: Explaining gaps in educational transitions between migrant and native school leavers Abstract: This paper analyzes the reasons for the gaps in post-schooling transitions between migrant and native pupils in Germany. While differences in parental background or skills partly explain the gaps, they are not sufficient. Conditional on these factors, there is a ‘polarization’ of educational choices: migrants are more likely to attend tertiary education, less likely to attend vocational education, and more likely to end without qualified training than their background and skills would predict. This is driven by the migrants’ more academic career aspirations and expectations before leaving school. On the one hand, these higher ambitions allow high-skilled migrants to achieve tertiary education despite their less favourable background. On the other hand, low-skilled migrants who in Germany’s tracked school system do not have the option to enter tertiary education, may be diverted from vocational training as a more viable alternative. Finally, possible explanations for the different career plans are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1759-1786 Issue: 15 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1982130 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1982130 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:15:p:1759-1786 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Erick Kitenge Author-X-Name-First: Erick Author-X-Name-Last: Kitenge Author-Name: Saima Bashir Author-X-Name-First: Saima Author-X-Name-Last: Bashir Title: The effect of financial access on convergence: evidence from the US agricultural sector Abstract: We investigate the effect of financial access on convergence in the US agricultural sector. We find that financial access allows states with lower real per-capita agricultural production to catch up faster with those with higher real per-capita agricultural production. Our results are robust to various specifications and in the presence of other factors determinant of dynamics in the agricultural sector, such as the level of unemployment and competition. Therefore, this paper unveils higher opportunity costs of lower financial access in terms of welfare improvement, policy dissemination, and technological spillovers across the states. We recommend the implementations and dissemination of strategiesthat will ensure the availability, to all farmers, of innovations developed in agriculture. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1715-1726 Issue: 15 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1980495 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1980495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:15:p:1715-1726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tianyuan Luo Author-X-Name-First: Tianyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Zhengfei Guan Author-X-Name-First: Zhengfei Author-X-Name-Last: Guan Title: Public health insurance and migration of farm workers in the U.S Abstract: Labour shortages have been a major challenge for U.S. agriculture. Migrant farm workers who constitute a crucial agricultural labour force across the country have experienced a notable decline in recent years. Using the Propensity Score Matching method, this study examines how public health insurance of the Medicaid programme affects the migration of farm workers of different legal statuses. Unlike citizen farm workers, permanent-resident and undocumented farm workers decreased migration across states due to the impact of Medicaid. The findings suggest that a more suitable health insurance design that does not disrupt farm workers’ migration patterns during production seasons is needed to increase agricultural labour supply. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1672-1687 Issue: 15 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1980492 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1980492 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:15:p:1672-1687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ren Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ren Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jie Hou Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Title: Collateral versus crowding out: policy implications on China’s housing and manufacture sectors Abstract: We study the mechanisms through which macroeconomic level shocks, namely macro easing and industry curbing policies from the government and housing preference shock from the households, exert their impact on the real estate and manufacturer sectors in China. Our analysis shows that whilst the macro easing monetary policy stimulates overall investment in the two sectors, it also causes the crowding out effect, inducing the capital flow disproportionally to the real estate industry. In this sense, it resembles the positive housing preference shock by contributing to the imbalance between housing and real industry. Meanwhile, policies aimed at curbing real estate boom have a leakage effect, which can offset the crowding out effect from the housing preference and easing monetary policy shocks. Both crowding out and leakage effects stem from the heterogeneous characteristics of durable and non-durable goods produced by real estate and manufacture sectors, respectively, instead of from heterogeneous borrowing constraints. Our results add to the understanding of transmission mechanisms of different policies on production sectors and provide insights for policy makers on how to effectively apply policies to affect the economy in a macro-prudential way. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1700-1714 Issue: 15 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1980494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1980494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:15:p:1700-1714 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jean-François Outreville Author-X-Name-First: Jean-François Author-X-Name-Last: Outreville Author-Name: Lara Agnoli Author-X-Name-First: Lara Author-X-Name-Last: Agnoli Author-Name: Eric Le Fur Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Le Fur Title: Ranking journals: the Best-Worst scaling approach applied to the field of wine economics Abstract: What are the major journals for wine economists? Which ones are the most influential? Journal rankings are intended to reflect the place of a journal within its field, the relative difficulty of being published in that journal, and the prestige associated with it. Since no consensus has been reached as to the superiority of a given methodology, the objective of this paper is to present a new peer evaluation methodology based on a Best-Worst scaling approach applied to the field of research in wine economics and business. The list of relevant journals was drawn from a citation-based analysis and a two-steps survey was launched in 2020 involving academic researchers in this field. The results support the idea that the Best-Worst approach is a useful tool to rank journals through peer evaluation in new fields of research. Further, this exercise is of potential interest for the field of wine economics and those active within it. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1688-1699 Issue: 15 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1980493 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1980493 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:15:p:1688-1699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liangyong Wan Author-X-Name-First: Liangyong Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Author-Name: Rui Li Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yujiao Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yujiao Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Negative performance feedback and corporate venture capital: The moderating effect of CEO overconfidence Abstract: Corporate venture capital (CVC) has consistently proven its importance for firm innovation, growth, and other strategic goals. However, research on the antecedents of CVC is still scarce. Drawing on the behavioural theory of the firm, we examine how performance feedback affects the decision to pursue CVC. Empirical results using panel data on Chinese A-share listed firms from 2011 to 2019 indicate that there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between negative performance feedback and the probability of initiating CVC. Moreover, such an effect is moderated by CEO overconfidence in that it weakens the inverted U-shaped relationship. Further study shows that CVC aids in firm innovation and creates firm value. Our findings highlight the importance of performance feedback on corporate venture capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1829-1843 Issue: 16 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1982133 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1982133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:16:p:1829-1843 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Biewen Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Biewen Author-Name: Jakob Schwerter Author-X-Name-First: Jakob Author-X-Name-Last: Schwerter Title: Does more maths and natural sciences in high school increase the share of female STEM workers? Evidence from a curriculum reform Abstract: This paper studies the consequences of a curriculum reform of the last two years of high school in one of the German federal states on the share of male and female students who complete degrees in STEM subjects and later work in STEM occupations. The reform had two important aspects: (i) it equalized all students’ exposure to maths by making advanced maths compulsory in the last two years of high school; and (ii) increased the instruction time from three to four hours per week and increased the level of instruction in maths and the natural sciences for some 80% of students, more so for females than for males. Our results suggest that, despite its substantial nature, the reform did not change the share of men completing STEM degrees but reduced the share of women graduating from STEM programmes. Moreover, we do not find general reform effects on the share of individuals working in STEM occupations after graduation for both men and women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1889-1911 Issue: 16 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1983139 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1983139 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:16:p:1889-1911 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Edward Lawrence Author-X-Name-First: Edward Author-X-Name-Last: Lawrence Author-Name: Mehul Raithatha Author-X-Name-First: Mehul Author-X-Name-Last: Raithatha Author-Name: Robinson Reyes-Peña Author-X-Name-First: Robinson Author-X-Name-Last: Reyes-Peña Title: The differing impact of COVID-19 across Republican and Democratic states Abstract: Decision-making by governments during the COVID-19 health crisis pertains a delicate balance between physical and financial health of individuals. We compare the health and economic outcomes resulting from the respective responses adopted by Republican and Democratic states in the US. Our results show that the more restrictive measures adopted by Democratic states resulted in more severe economic shocks as proxied by lower levels of employment, lower levels of individuals’ earnings and an inferior performance in regional banking activity compared to Republican states. Although the number of infections is higher in Republican states, we find that the level of hospitalizations and mortality are not significantly different across Republican and Democratic states. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1864-1876 Issue: 16 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1983137 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1983137 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:16:p:1864-1876 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert J. Brent Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: Life expectancy in nursing homes Abstract: It is well known that life expectancy in nursing homes (NHs) is lower for older adults than those residing elsewhere. In this paper, we attempt to discover the exact extent of this loss of life expectancy, and whether it can be explained by pre-existing health state conditions, especially the seriousness of dementia. We use a parametric survival model, on a large data set spanning up to 13 years, which covers health states and types of residence for all time periods until a person dies. In the absence of health state controls, the loss of life expectancy is 47 months. Accounting for health states still leads to a 41-month loss of life. Even those with serious dementia would live longer lives if not residing in a NH. We then value the estimated loss of life years. The losses are large, equal to $1.7 million per NH resident, and $1.87 trillion for the US NH population. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1877-1888 Issue: 16 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1983138 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1983138 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:16:p:1877-1888 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vaibhav Lalwani Author-X-Name-First: Vaibhav Author-X-Name-Last: Lalwani Author-Name: Vedprakash Vasantrao Meshram Author-X-Name-First: Vedprakash Vasantrao Author-X-Name-Last: Meshram Title: The cross-section of Indian stock returns: evidence using machine learning Abstract: We test whether 35 stock characteristics can explain the cross-section of stock returns in India. We address the limitations of previous studies by using a comprehensive, survivorship bias free sample of all firms listed on the major Indian stock exchanges from 1994 to 2019. Results from Fama-Macbeth regressions show as many as 14 predictors breaching the significance threshold of t-stats greater than three. We also use machine learning methods to generate rolling one-month ahead out-of-sample forecasts of stock returns for all firms in our sample. We find substantial improvement in forecast accuracy when using machine learning compared to OLS. Further, we run additional tests for understanding the economic significance of our findings. Investment strategies based on model forecasts provide significant returns to investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1814-1828 Issue: 16 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1982132 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1982132 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:16:p:1814-1828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tanveer Ahsan Author-X-Name-First: Tanveer Author-X-Name-Last: Ahsan Author-Name: Bakr Al-Gamrh Author-X-Name-First: Bakr Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Gamrh Author-Name: Sultan Sikandar Mirza Author-X-Name-First: Sultan Sikandar Author-X-Name-Last: Mirza Title: Corporate social responsibility and firm-value: the role of sensitive industries and CEOs power in China Abstract: Using a large panel dataset of 861 listed Chinese firms, the present study investigates whether corporate social responsibility (CSR) affects firm-value. It examines the influence of five CSR dimensions on firm-value. Then, it pinpoints the moderating impact of industry-sensitivity and power concentration of the CEO. In contrast to developed economy’s evidence, the results show an overall negative impact of CSR on firm-value. Looking closer at the dimensions separately, we find a negative impact of most of the CSR dimensions and a positive impact of some other CSR dimensions on firm-value. However, we observe that CSR enhances the value of firms operating in sensitive industries. Similarly, we find that a powerful CEO can also create firm-value through CSR by aligning CSR practices with the firms’ objectives. Our results are sufficiently rigorous to alternate proxies of CSR. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1844-1863 Issue: 16 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1983136 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1983136 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:16:p:1844-1863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wenyan Zhuo Author-X-Name-First: Wenyan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhuo Author-Name: Jingru Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jingru Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jiawu Peng Author-X-Name-First: Jiawu Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Title: The interaction of retailer’s investment strategy and supplier’s entry modes into the retail market Abstract: This paper considers the interaction between the retailer’s investment strategy and the mode by which the supplier enters the market in a two-echelon supply chain. The retailer who invests in upgrading the supplier’s production technology, may face a supplier entering the market through encroachment or holding shares. Our findings indicate that supplier encroachment curbs the retailer’s incentive to invest in technology upgrades. In contrast, the supplier holding the retailer’s shares enhances the retailer’s incentive to invest in technology upgrades. In particular, if the supplier chooses to hold shares in the retailer and the percentage of the retailer’s shares held by the supplier is small, a ‘win-win’ result can be achieved. Moreover, our study also reveals that the retailer’s investment strategy can impact the supplier’s entry mode. Without the retailer’s investment, the supplier prefers to enter the market through encroachment. However, when the retailer invests in upgrading the supplier’s production technology, we confirm that the supplier would choose to hold shares in the retailer under certain conditions. Finally, we further extend two single-entry modes to a mixed-entry mode in which the supplier enters the retail market by encroachment and holding the retailer’s shares simultaneously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1787-1813 Issue: 16 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998329 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998329 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:16:p:1787-1813 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chai Bin Feng Author-X-Name-First: Chai Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Sultan Sikandar Mirza Author-X-Name-First: Sultan Sikandar Author-X-Name-Last: Mirza Author-Name: Tanveer Ahsan Author-X-Name-First: Tanveer Author-X-Name-Last: Ahsan Author-Name: Ammar Ali Gull Author-X-Name-First: Ammar Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Gull Title: The impact of financial flexibility and directors’ academic experience on corporate R&D investments: a quantile regression approach Abstract: This study investigates the impact of financial flexibility and academic experience of a firm’s board on corporate R&D investments in China. It also explores the moderating role of directors’ academic experience on the relationship between financial flexibility and R&D investments. We apply ordinary least square, fixed effects and quantile regression analysis using panel data of 2,195 A-share firms listed on Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges during the period from 2011 to 2018. We find that both financial flexibility and directors’ academic experience promote R&D investments of Chinese non-financial firms. We also observe that directors’ academic experience weakens the positive impact of financial flexibility on R&D investments for firms operating in underdeveloped financial regions, whereas it strengthens the positive impact of financial flexibility on R&D investments for firms operating in developed financial regions. Our quantile regression results suggest that academic experience has a highly significant positive moderating impact on the financial flexibility of lower R&D investment firms relative to high R&D investment firms. These results are robust to alternate proxy of financial flexibility and endogeneity issues due to reverse causality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1974-1988 Issue: 17 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1983145 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1983145 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:17:p:1974-1988 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aaron M. Gamino Author-X-Name-First: Aaron M. Author-X-Name-Last: Gamino Title: The impact of the consolidated omnibus reconciliation act of 1985 on young adult health insurance coverage Abstract: The Consolidated Omnibus Reconciliation Act of 1985 (COBRA) contained provisions granting individuals the opportunity to continue employment-based insurance coverage following qualifying events which would otherwise cause the loss of coverage. In this paper, I examine the impact of COBRA coverage on young adult health insurance coverage following the loss of dependent status, a qualifying event. I use the 1984 to 1989 panels of the Survey of Income Program Participation in a difference-in-differences framework to provide the first estimates of COBRA’s impact on young adult insurance status. I find that individuals in the affected age group were 4.5 percentage points more likely to be insured following COBRA going into effect. This increase is largely due to gains in employer sponsored insurance – particularly as a dependent – and is robust to a variety of sensitivity checks. I find considerable heterogeneity by sex; insurance gains are concentrated among young men. These findings suggest that COBRA’s access to continued employer sponsored coverage after ageing out as a dependent reduced uninsurance among young adults. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1945-1956 Issue: 17 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1983142 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1983142 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:17:p:1945-1956 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sedjro Aaron Alovokpinhou Author-X-Name-First: Sedjro Aaron Author-X-Name-Last: Alovokpinhou Author-Name: Christopher Malikane Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Malikane Author-Name: Tshepo Mokoka Author-X-Name-First: Tshepo Author-X-Name-Last: Mokoka Title: Inventory dynamics and endogenous persistence in a new Keynesian model Abstract: We show that a New Keynesian model incorporating inventory dynamics can generate a hump-shaped response of macro-variables to shocks even without habit formation. The impulse responses from the calibrated model show that, in the absence of habit formation, the macro-variables, including output and consumption gaps and the real wage, display a gradual hump-shaped response to monetary policy shocks. We calibrate seven other variants of the model without habit formation. We find that the results still hold in a flexible price model, while the presence of inventories drives the persistence of the macro-variables. Besides, the model replicates most of the empirical business cycle regularities of inventories and the inventory–sales ratio in the data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1957-1973 Issue: 17 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1983144 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1983144 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:17:p:1957-1973 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Selina Bruns Author-X-Name-First: Selina Author-X-Name-Last: Bruns Author-Name: Oliver Mußhoff Author-X-Name-First: Oliver Author-X-Name-Last: Mußhoff Title: An empirical identification of temptation goods: Perceptions of Cambodian smallholder farmers Abstract: Spending money on goods that satisfy oneself at the moment but not necessarily in the future – temptation goods – is a bothersome habit that applies to most people. However, with very low income, spending on temptation goods can potentially trap a household in chronic poverty, as such spending further minimizes the little financial resources crucially needed. Yet, although studies have included temptation goods into their household analysis, there is no empirical in-depth investigation of what exactly is perceived as a temptation good by one of the most marginalized groups: smallholder farmers residing in the Global South. Therefore, employing descriptive statistics and hierarchical cluster analysis, this paper presents an empirical definition of temptation goods provided by 277 smallholder farmers from rural Cambodia. Our findings partly differ from those found in the literature. For example, while farmers most frequently perceive alcohol, tobacco, and sweets as tempting, they also define unexpected items such as communication, recreation and entertainment, fruit, clothes, and going to the hairdresser as temptation goods. The results hold strong importance for accurate calculations and to understand the often puzzling spending behaviour of the poor, as well as coming up with custom-fit policy interventions that promote long-term welfare-increasing consumption behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1999-2012 Issue: 17 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1983147 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1983147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:17:p:1999-2012 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mahmoud Hassan Author-X-Name-First: Mahmoud Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Author-Name: Damien Rousselière Author-X-Name-First: Damien Author-X-Name-Last: Rousselière Title: Does increasing environmental policy stringency lead to accelerated environmental innovation? A research note Abstract: This research note empirically investigates the effect of stringent environmental regulations on environmentally friendly technological innovation for 27 OECD countries from 1990 to 2015, using the two-step system-GMM estimation method for a linear dynamic panel data model. We further test the robustness of the empirical results by the method of correlated random effects for dynamic panel data estimated by Maximum Likelihood, the fixed effect with Driscoll–Kraay standard errors and the mixed-effect maximum-likelihood estimator. Overall, we find that increasing environmental policy stringency leads to accelerated environmental innovation. In addition, the non-market-based environmental policy instruments are found to stimulate more environmental innovation than market -based instruments. Thus, the instruments based on command and control policies are more effective than price mechanisms in inducing eco-innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1989-1998 Issue: 17 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1983146 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1983146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:17:p:1989-1998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gilberto Hanssen Androvandi Author-X-Name-First: Gilberto Hanssen Author-X-Name-Last: Androvandi Author-Name: Carlos Enrique Carrasco-Gutierrez Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Carrasco-Gutierrez Author-Name: Benjamin Miranda Tabak Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Miranda Author-X-Name-Last: Tabak Title: Financial innovation and moral hazard: the case of time deposits with special guarantee Abstract: The macroprudential policy mechanism of Time Deposits with Special Guarantee (TDSG) was introduced in Brazil after the 2008 global financial crisis to prevent a liquidity shock in the banking sector. The TDSG is a form of deposit insurance established to avoid bank runs and protect depositors in the event of bankruptcy of financial institutions. In this paper, we study the impact of the TDSG policy on the moral hazard of small and medium-sized Brazilian banks based on data from 101 banks in the period 2007 to 2015. The empirical evaluation relies on difference-in-differences estimators with fixed effects. The results provide evidence validating the hypothesis of moral hazard associated with the TDSG policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1934-1944 Issue: 17 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2020712 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2020712 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:17:p:1934-1944 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy Clark Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Clark Author-Name: John Spraggon Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Spraggon Title: Increasing microfinance risk tolerance through revenue sharing: an experiment Abstract: Microfinance has been found to be less effective for high risk/return borrowing groups. We report a group liability microfinance lab experiment that tests a mechanism to raise repayment rates among such borrowers. The mechanism offers partial revenue sharing among groups of borrowers, agreed to before individual business outcomes are realized and loan repayment is due. Such revenue sharing makes loan repayment optimal under more outcome states, increasing the expected benefit to each borrower of repayment to qualify for future loans. We further test the effect of allowing borrowers to renege on revenue sharing agreements after learning their business outcomes, prior to loan repayment decisions. Our results illustrate the problem that exogenously higher risk/return borrowing groups achieve lower loan repayment rates than lower risk/return borrowing groups. We find evidence that optional revenue sharing significantly increases high risk borrowers’ repayment rates, but that most of this gain is lost if they can renege on revenue sharing agreements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1912-1933 Issue: 17 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1983140 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1983140 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:17:p:1912-1933 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jiali Fang Author-X-Name-First: Jiali Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Wei Hao Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Hao Author-Name: Udomsak Wongchoti Author-X-Name-First: Udomsak Author-X-Name-Last: Wongchoti Title: Time-series momentum in individual stocks: is it there and where to look? Abstract: Time series momentum (TSMOM), which is found in various asset classes, offers investors several practical advantages over traditional cross-sectional momentum. However, recent studies raise questions about its general existence and urge researchers to extensively search for optimal combinations in time horizon, asset characteristics, and market conditions in which TSMOM may be profitable. With a comprehensive study covering 2.25 million monthly returns on over 20,000 US individual stocks from 1986 to 2017, we find that TSMOM profits are more prominent among stocks and during market states characterized by inferior information dissemination. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2048-2066 Issue: 18 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1983151 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1983151 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:18:p:2048-2066 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariya Gubareva Author-X-Name-First: Mariya Author-X-Name-Last: Gubareva Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Author-Name: Tatiana Sokolova Author-X-Name-First: Tatiana Author-X-Name-Last: Sokolova Author-Name: Xuan Vinh Vo Author-X-Name-First: Xuan Vinh Author-X-Name-Last: Vo Title: Astonishing insights: emerging market debt spreads throughout the pandemic Abstract: We investigate how Covid-19 affects the emerging market (EM) bonds by analysing, on a standalone basis, investment grade (IG) and high yield (HY) debt per type of issuer. We document evidence that the option-adjusted spreads (OAS) of the IG and HY financials have recovered to the pre-Covid levels by the end of year 2020, while for the HY sovereigns and corporates the OAS remain twice as wide as before the pandemic. The weight of the liquidity component in the OAS for the IG sovereigns has climbed to astonishing 45%. Our results are potentially useful for investors, traders, risk managers and regulators. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2067-2076 Issue: 18 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1984383 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1984383 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:18:p:2067-2076 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lifei Gao Author-X-Name-First: Lifei Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Jing Guan Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Guan Author-Name: Guojun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Guojun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Does media-based health risk communication affect commercial health insurance demand? Evidence from China Abstract: In recent years, the mass media (such as TV shows and movies) plays an important role in communication with the general public. In this paper, we investigate the impact of a recent movie from China, ‘Dying to Survive’, on the demand for commercial health insurance. To explore this impact, a fixed-effect model and instrumental variable estimation are utilized, and the causal effect of movie-based health risk communication on commercial health insurance demand is studied. The result shows that the cumulative box office value of a movie has a significantly positive impact on the income from commercial health insurance premium, with a one- or two-day lag. This movie has encouraged viewers to purchase short-term commercial health insurance rather than long-term insurance. In addition, the heterogeneity of the impact exists for movie arrangement rate, average family size, urbanization rate, medical resource level, and per capita disposable income. The results show that sufficient health risk communication can improve the social ‘visibility’ of health risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2122-2134 Issue: 18 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1985071 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1985071 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:18:p:2122-2134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rafael Sánchez Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Sánchez Author-Name: Javier Finot Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Finot Author-Name: Mauricio G. Villena Author-X-Name-First: Mauricio G. Author-X-Name-Last: Villena Title: Gender wage gap and firm market power: evidence from Chile Abstract: The main aim of this work is to explain the Chilean gender wage gap using a dynamic monopsony model to estimate the labour supply elasticities at the firm level. Our results suggest that the elasticities of labour supply to firms are small, which implies that firms have labour market power. We also found that Chilean men would earn approximately 22% more than women as a result of the difference in labour supply elasticities by gender, ceteris paribus. Furthermore, we find that in the long run, the magnitude of between-firm differences in elasticities are higher than within-firm differences, which suggests that the gender wage gap is driven by structural factors that generate gender sorting to firms. Finally, since we use the same methodology and restrictions used in previous literatur for the US, we are able to empirically compare the elasticities for a high-income country (the US) are higher than those obtained for a middle-income country (Chile) for both men and women, which suggests higher labour market frictions in middle-income countries. The main difference between the US and Chile comes from the low labour supply elasticity of Chilean women, which appears to be explained from their low recruitment elasticity from non-employment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2109-2121 Issue: 18 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1985070 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1985070 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:18:p:2109-2121 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: William Jergins Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Jergins Title: The effect of marijuana on labour market outcomes:evidence from medical marijuana laws Abstract: We use the staggered roll out of medical marijuana laws (MMLs) as a plausibly exogenous shock to individuals’ marijuana used to identify the effect of marijuana on labour-market outcomes. While our analysis largely confirms that MMLs do not affect labour market outcomes, we find two results that are not seen in the prior literature. We find that MMLs increase the probability that a 30–39 year-old woman is in the labour force, and decrease the time that unemployed 20–29 year-old men spend looking for a job. While both results are imprecisely estimated, they are generally robust to a large number of robustness checks we employ. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2077-2108 Issue: 18 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1985069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1985069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:18:p:2077-2108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Faheem Aslam Author-X-Name-First: Faheem Author-X-Name-Last: Aslam Author-Name: Khurrum S. Mughal Author-X-Name-First: Khurrum S. Author-X-Name-Last: Mughal Author-Name: Saqib Aziz Author-X-Name-First: Saqib Author-X-Name-Last: Aziz Author-Name: Muhammad Farooq Ahmad Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Farooq Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad Author-Name: Dhoha Trabelsi Author-X-Name-First: Dhoha Author-X-Name-Last: Trabelsi Title: COVID-19 pandemic and the dependence structure of global stock markets Abstract: In this paper, we examine the changes in the dependence structure of global stock markets amid the outbreak of COVID-19. We divide 56 stock markets into developed, emerging, and frontier markets and study their daily price data from 15 October 2019 to 17 August 2020 using the canonical vine (C-vine) copula approach. We observed significant changes in the dependence structure, the selection of the pair copula families, and the associated parameter estimates in the tree. In developed markets, during the COVID-19, the dependence of markets shifted from the Netherlands to France while the root node position of Hungary replaced the market of Poland. The frontier markets showed strong dependence signs with Mauritius before COVID-19 and Slovenia during the outbreak. Our findings are of interest to regulators and practitioners, particularly in monitoring the value at risk of portfolios and adopting appropriate strategies in light of the varying dynamics of stock markets during extreme events, such as COVID-19. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2013-2031 Issue: 18 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1983148 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1983148 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:18:p:2013-2031 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: María Patricia Durango Author-X-Name-First: María Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Durango Author-Name: Juan Lara-Rubio Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Lara-Rubio Author-Name: Andrés Navarro Galera Author-X-Name-First: Andrés Navarro Author-X-Name-Last: Galera Author-Name: Antonio Blanco-Oliver Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Blanco-Oliver Title: The effects of pricing strategy on the efficiency and self-sustainability of microfinance institutions: a case study Abstract: To become financially self-sustainable, Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) trigger a schism in their management modes, thereby promoting efficiency and competitiveness. The increase of competition in the microfinance sector motivated by the entry of banks into this industry is another incentive for MFIs to implement advanced management systems. Pricing systems and credit-scoring models should contribute towards the efficiency of MFIs, thereby improving their competitiveness and self-sustainability in an increasingly constrained environment. However, to the best of our knowledge, no empirical evidence exists on the application of pricing strategies by MFIs. Therefore, this paper builds a microcredit-pricing system and determines the capital requirements inspired by the Basel III Internal-Rating Based (IRB) approach, which is underpinned by multilayer perceptron (MLP) credit-scoring. We find that the implementation of an IRB approach allows the analysed MFI to reduce its capital requirement and current interest rates by $200,000 and 30.12%, respectively. Moreover, this approach constitutes a relevant tool for the control of credit risk and the minimization of default losses. Consequently, the adoption of pricing and credit-scoring systems provides MFIs with a power management tool to compete against banks by reducing the interest rate, capital requirements, and credit losses, and therefore increases their financial self-sustainability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2032-2047 Issue: 18 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1983149 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1983149 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:18:p:2032-2047 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: El Mostafa Bentour Author-X-Name-First: El Mostafa Author-X-Name-Last: Bentour Title: The effects of public debt accumulation and business cycle on government spending multipliers Abstract: We examine the impact of public debt changes as well as the effects of the business cycle on the expenditure multipliers. We adopt the structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) methodology on quarterly data for a sample of 18 OECD countries. The results show that expenditure multipliers are sensitive to the fiscal position, particularly the public debt changes as well as the business cycle. In particular, fiscal multipliers recorded high size in recessions than in expansions, in line with the recent findings about fiscal multipliers. Considering the public debt, leads to larger multipliers in debt accumulation under recessions than in debt accumulation under expansions.Many studies confirmed weak fiscal multipliers in expansions than in recessions, while others confirmed lower multipliers for countries with weak fiscal position. Our paper adds to this literature by joining the two effects of the business cycle and fiscal position, showing that fiscal position acts to lower multipliers when debt is rather accumulated in times of expansion than in recessions. We conclude that in times of expansion, the accumulated public debt effects are likely transmitting through Ricardian equivalence effect and concerns from expected high long-term interest rate leading to crowding-out effect, thus, lowering fiscal multipliers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2231-2256 Issue: 19 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1985721 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1985721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:19:p:2231-2256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Suikai Gao Author-X-Name-First: Suikai Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Guillaume Bagnarosa Author-X-Name-First: Guillaume Author-X-Name-Last: Bagnarosa Author-Name: Michael Dowling Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Dowling Author-Name: Roman Matkovskyy Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Matkovskyy Author-Name: Dima Tawil Author-X-Name-First: Dima Author-X-Name-Last: Tawil Title: Price transmission in European fish markets Abstract: We investigate price transmission in European fisheries markets. To start, we identify clusters of fish species both cross-regionally and within countries. A major issue in the clustering exercise is missing data due to reporting issues and seasonality in landed fish catches. To handle this we implement k-POD clustering which unlike traditional k-means clustering is able to account for missing data in clustering. Next, we move on to our primary goal of investigating price transmission through modelling price volatility spillovers. A missing value VAR framework is applied to identify directional spillovers among fish prices within clusters. We show that the directional volatility spillover effect is more prominent within each country for different species clusters than that for species cross-regionally. This suggests price transmission within localized markets for fish, rather than cross-regional markets for individual species. Although there are some neighbour country effects and some species that appear to be priced cross-regionally. Our study is the first to explore these multiple fish pricing dynamics, particularly taking account of the important issue of missing data which is a notable feature of fish pricing data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2194-2213 Issue: 19 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1985075 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1985075 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:19:p:2194-2213 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Manisha Chakrabarty Author-X-Name-First: Manisha Author-X-Name-Last: Chakrabarty Author-Name: Subhankar Mukherjee Author-X-Name-First: Subhankar Author-X-Name-Last: Mukherjee Title: A pandemic and economic slowdown: the case of India Abstract: In this article, we use a novel dataset on new investment projects undertaken, available for states in India in quarterly frequency, to forecast economic activities in the wake of the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. Panel data estimates for the country, employing fixed effect and Generalized Method of Moments, show a drop of approximately 50% in investment count during the financial years 2019–20 to 2021–22, compared to the counterfactual projection of an increase of 38% over the same period. State-level analysis reveals similar patterns, even though with considerable heterogeneity – relatively economically well-developed states may witness higher reduction in investment compared to the less developed ones. Given that incidence of Covid cases is also relatively higher in the more developed states, our findings can help in formulating policies appropriate for each state. This study can be generalized in the following three ways: it can be extended over a longer period of time, it can be applied in future crisis periods, and it can be made more precise given more granular data is available. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2214-2230 Issue: 19 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1985077 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1985077 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:19:p:2214-2230 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julio López-Laborda Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: López-Laborda Author-Name: Guillermo Peña Author-X-Name-First: Guillermo Author-X-Name-Last: Peña Title: Financial VAT may improve trade openness Abstract: This paper theoretically and empirically analyzes how the taxation of financial services under VAT (‘financial VAT’) influences trade openness. The empirical analysis uses data from the OECD and 36 European Union countries for the period 1960–2019. Dynamic panel data techniques are used, concretely the GMM System, and an unbalanced panel is handled. The results corroborate that financial VAT, and in particular the ‘option-to-tax’ method applied by some countries in the European Union, are positively associated with a country’s trade openness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2148-2160 Issue: 19 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1985072 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1985072 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:19:p:2148-2160 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Eyup Dogan Author-X-Name-First: Eyup Author-X-Name-Last: Dogan Author-Name: Mara Madaleno Author-X-Name-First: Mara Author-X-Name-Last: Madaleno Author-Name: Dilvin Taskin Author-X-Name-First: Dilvin Author-X-Name-Last: Taskin Title: Financial inclusion and poverty: evidence from Turkish household survey data Abstract: Even though poverty is highly felt in developing economies, the lack of relevant and complete micro-level data limits understanding which households are more exposed to poverty and the role of financial inclusion in poverty in these countries. This research analyzes the effects of financial inclusion proxied by a multidimensional index on three poverty measures (the lowest-income poverty line, a lower-middle-income line, and an upper-middle-income line) by employing the recent Turkish Household Budget and Consumption Expenditure Survey data with 11,595 complete answers. In addition to the application of logistic regressions, this study addresses possible endogeneity issues by using access to the nearest bank as an instrument in a two-stage least-squares regression and employing the novel method as a robustness check. Empirical results point out that an increase in financial inclusion decreases poverty in Turkey. The adverse effect of financial inclusion on poverty is validated through a few robustness and sensitivity analyses. The outcome also indicates that health expenditure and income are essential through which poverty is influenced by financial inclusion. Thus, policies are required to enhance the financial inclusion of households to alleviate poverty. Further discussions are presented in this study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2135-2147 Issue: 19 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1985076 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1985076 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:19:p:2135-2147 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yiling Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yiling Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Guanju Chen Author-X-Name-First: Guanju Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Effectiveness of industrial policy in supporting innovation: the role of internal and external corporate governance mechanism Abstract: Focusing on supporting the new and high-tech industries, China’s high- and new-technology enterprise (HNTE) programme aims to stimulate the innovation and creativity of enterprises. Centering on China’s HNTE programme, this paper investigates the impact of industrial support policy on firm innovation, and further examines the boundary conditions of policy effectiveness from the perspective of corporate governance. The results show that industrial support policy can significantly promote firm innovation. Moreover, we find that internal governance (executive equity incentive) and external governance (product market competition) have a significant moderating effect on innovation support of industrial policy, and the role of executive equity incentive depends on the level of product market competition. And product market competition and executive equity incentive are complementary in influencing policy effectiveness only at low competition level. The tests of the boundary conditions of policy incentive effectiveness and the complementary relationship between internal and external governance hold interesting implication for research on innovation policy and corporate governance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2181-2193 Issue: 19 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1985074 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1985074 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:19:p:2181-2193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Liang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Wanli Li Author-X-Name-First: Wanli Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Kaibin Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Kaibin Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Xiaoqian Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoqian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Can informal environmental regulation promote industrial structure upgrading? Evidence from China Abstract: Using Chinese provincial data from 2000 to 2016, this paper investigates the effect of informal environmental regulation (IER) on industrial structure upgrading. We find that IER in the form of environmental media coverage acts as an external binding force and spurs the upgrading of industrial structure through increasing the dual pressure of local government supervision and public opinion. A mechanism test shows that IER can boost regional innovation, thereby promoting the upgrading of industrial structure. Moreover, the positive association between IER and industrial structure upgrading is more prominent in regions with stronger environmental law enforcement and higher public environmental awareness. We also document that IER has a significant informational spatial-diffusion effect and has characteristics of a double-threshold effect. Overall, our results highlight that it is necessary to establish a system for disclosing environmental information and to improve the mechanism whereby independent third parties such as the media participate in environmental governance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2161-2180 Issue: 19 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1985073 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1985073 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:19:p:2161-2180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaoyong Dai Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Gary Chapman Author-X-Name-First: Gary Author-X-Name-Last: Chapman Author-Name: Hao Shen Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Title: Late-stage venture capital and firm performance: evidence from small and medium-sized enterprises in China Abstract: Where venture capitalists have traditionally focused on early-stage innovative firms, increasingly venture capitalists are investing in late-stage firms, especially in Asia. The performance consequences of this novel phenomenon of late-stage venture capital remain unexplored. This paper provides novel insight into this phenomenon by examining the impact of late-stage venture capital on two key dimensions of firm performance in the venture capital literature: innovation and financial performance. We link VC investment events to financial indicators of Chinese listed firms to account for the timing of VC entry and identify the firm performance impacts. Utilizing a matching and difference-in-differences procedure to account for selection biases, our results show that late-stage venture capital improves investee firms’ financial performance but reduces their innovation performance. Our findings advance understanding about the emergence of late-stage venture capital and its performance consequences, especially in emerging economies. Our work has implications for entrepreneurs and policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2356-2372 Issue: 20 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1989370 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1989370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:20:p:2356-2372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jose Arreola Hernandez Author-X-Name-First: Jose Arreola Author-X-Name-Last: Hernandez Author-Name: Sang Hoon Kang Author-X-Name-First: Sang Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Seong-Min Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Spillovers and portfolio optimization of precious metals and global/regional equity markets Abstract: We examine the spillovers and resource allocation characteristics of a portfolio of precious metal commodities and global/regional equity markets using a directional spillover index and portfolio optimization methods. Spillover index results show that the largest spillovers among precious metals occur between gold and silver and between zinc and lead. The largest spillovers of the world, Americas, Europe and Asia Pacific equity indices are on palladium and copper. Copper and zinc most largely spillover on the world and Americas equity indices. Copper and lead most largely spillover on the Europe equity index, while copper and silver most largely spillover on the Asia Pacific equity index. Portfolio optimization results indicate that nickel and lead add the most risk to total portfolio risk, whereas gold, platinum and aluminium add the least risk to the portfolio of commodities. Gold and aluminium are the precious metals most desirable for investment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2320-2342 Issue: 20 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1988889 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1988889 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:20:p:2320-2342 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tarlok Singh Author-X-Name-First: Tarlok Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Saving-investment correlations and the financial globalization of the BRICS countries Abstract: This study examines the long-run relationship between domestic saving and investment, and assesses the financial globalization of the BRICS economies. The model estimated in one-regime setting with no structural break and in sample-split setting with single as well as multiple structural breaks provides dominant support for the presence of long-run relationship between domestic saving and investment. The slope parameter of saving and implied home-bias in the asset portfolios of investors is generally small to medium for Brazil and large for Russia, India, China, and South Africa (RICS). The small to medium slope coefficient of saving for Brazil suggests the presence of moderate to high international mobility of capital. Financial markets are characterized by financial frictions and there is imperfect integration of RICS with the global financial markets. While the slope coefficient of saving is numerically large for RICS and small to medium for Brazil, it is not strictly identical across estimators. This finding can be generalized to mimic the findings of the extant literature. The academic debates and economic controversies – which surface in almost every area of empirical research – could be ascribed, inter alia, to the use of different methodologies and test statistics across studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2257-2274 Issue: 20 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1912280 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1912280 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:20:p:2257-2274 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanjeev Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Sanjeev Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: João Tovar Jalles Author-X-Name-First: João Tovar Author-X-Name-Last: Jalles Title: Can COVID-19 induce governments to implement tax reforms in developing countries? Abstract: We estimate that the short- to medium-term fiscal impact of previous pandemics has been significant in 170 countries (including low-income countries) during the 2000–2018 period. The impact has varied, with pandemics affecting government expenditures more than revenues in advanced economies, while the converse applies to developing countries. Using a subset of 45 developing countries for which tax reform data are available, we find that past pandemics have propelled countries to implement tax reforms, particularly in corporate income taxes, excises and trade taxes. Pandemics do not drive revenue administration reforms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2288-2301 Issue: 20 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1987380 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1987380 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:20:p:2288-2301 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lei Pan Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Vinod Mishra Author-X-Name-First: Vinod Author-X-Name-Last: Mishra Title: International portfolio diversification possibilities: can BRICS become a destination for US investors? Abstract: This paper investigates the portfolio diversification possibilities between BRICS and the US stock market. Using bootstrap full-sample Granger causality and bootstrap rolling-window sub-sample Granger causality tests, we did not find evidence supporting the causal linkage between BRICS and the US stock markets; time-varying causality was observed for particular sub-samples. Our findings imply that BRICS stock markets can provide diversification possibilities for US investors most of the time; however, such opportunities become extremely limited during crisis periods. We also find that stock markets are more likely to be causally linked if they have similar business conditions, excess returns and size premiums. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2302-2319 Issue: 20 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1988045 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1988045 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:20:p:2302-2319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gang Dong Author-X-Name-First: Gang Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Jin Li Author-X-Name-First: Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Paul Tae-Woo Lee Author-X-Name-First: Paul Tae-Woo Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Vertical collusion in the shipping container transport chain over the deregulation tariff of port authority Abstract: This article investigates the impact of cost difference on vertical collusion between a container port and a liner from the perspective of a shipping container transport chain, taking the deregulation tariff of port authority into consideration. It develops a two-stage game model and then performs simultaneous and sequential games. A finding in this article is that the higher the cost difference between the two shipping container transport chains, the greater the possibility of vertical collusion between the container port and liner. Furthermore, the article found that in the case of an infinite repeated game, the stability of vertical collusion is not only subject to the cost difference but also affected by the terminal handling charge (THC) and collusive choice of counterpart. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2275-2287 Issue: 20 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1987379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1987379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:20:p:2275-2287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fousseini Traoré Author-X-Name-First: Fousseini Author-X-Name-Last: Traoré Author-Name: Suwadu Sakho Jimbira Author-X-Name-First: Suwadu Sakho Author-X-Name-Last: Jimbira Author-Name: Leysa Maty Sall Author-X-Name-First: Leysa Maty Author-X-Name-Last: Sall Title: Nonlinear price transmission in the rice market in Senegal: a model-based recursive partitioning approach Abstract: This paper analyzes the nonlinear effects in price transmission from international markets to the local rice market of Dakar (Senegal) focusing on asymmetries through threshold effects. We use recent machine learning methods (model-based recursive partitioning trees) to detect asymmetries in the price transmission mechanism. Using a model based recursive partitioning algorithm, we identify a threshold and confirm the asymmetry in the price transmission. Local retail prices are more sensitive to world price increases than to declines. Only 11.80% of positive deviations (international prices go down) are eliminated at the end of the subsequent month, while 39.50% of negative deviations (world prices go up) are eliminated after one month. These results highlight the role of transaction costs and the market power of commercial intermediaries in price transmission in the sense that margins are corrected more rapidly when they are squeezed relative to their long run level than when they are stretched. Our results are confirmed by the traditional Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2343-2355 Issue: 20 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1989369 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1989369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:20:p:2343-2355 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chen Qihui Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Qihui Title: Impacts of delayed school entry on child learning in rural northwestern China — forced delay versus voluntary delay Abstract: Most previous studies exploit the discontinuity in children’s school entry age around the enrolment cut-off to identify the effect of delayed school entry on child learning. However, the effect so identified is only relevant to children who were ‘forced’ to enter school late because of being born slightly after the enrolment cut-off. In developing countries, many children voluntarily start school late regardless of their birthdates, for whom the commonly-used discontinuity-based strategy fails to identify the effect relevant to their delayed enrolment. This study exploits community peer effects to estimate the impact of voluntary delay in school entry, using older peers’ school entry age to instrument one’s own school entry age. Analysing data on nearly 4,000 children from rural northwestern China, we found that while both types of delay in school entry raise the incidence of first-grade repetition, the effect of voluntary delay is much larger than that of forced delay. More specifically, one year of voluntary delay increases a child’s likelihood of first-grade retention by 12.4 percentage points, which is more than twice the effect of forced delay. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2453-2472 Issue: 21 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1990845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1990845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:21:p:2453-2472 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shaen Corbet Author-X-Name-First: Shaen Author-X-Name-Last: Corbet Author-Name: Yang (Greg) Hou Author-X-Name-First: Yang (Greg) Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Author-Name: Yang Hu Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Les Oxley Author-X-Name-First: Les Author-X-Name-Last: Oxley Title: Financial contagion among COVID-19 concept-related stocks in China Abstract: This paper investigates, for the first time, the presence of financial contagion among several important Chinese coronavirus concept-based stock indices during the recent COVID-19 global pandemic. We utilize a regime-switching skew-normal (RSSN) methodology to test for contagion through the correlation and coskewness channels while considering structural breaks in the different moments. Our results present evidence of contagion effects, which are robust across identified crisis and non-crisis periods, including that of the Wuhan lockdown. Our empirical results offer investors and policy-makers an additional layer of information when evaluating response mechanisms to major crises through the use of concept-based indices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2439-2452 Issue: 21 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1990844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1990844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:21:p:2439-2452 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aslı Togan Eğrican Author-X-Name-First: Aslı Author-X-Name-Last: Togan Eğrican Title: Shareholder coordination, investment horizon and hedge fund activism Abstract: I examine the role of institutional investors in hedge fund activists’ target selection. I argue that the coordination power and the investment horizon of institutional investors are important factors in explaining target selection. I find that hedge fund activism is higher in firms that institutional investors with long-term horizons invest as well as firms where coordination ability among existing shareholders is less pre-intervention. However, coordination ability increases after the intervention. Furthermore, hedge fund demands and success rates differ with the coordination ability and investment horizon of investors. Firms with investors that have long-term investment horizons and increased coordination ability are more likely to receive demands on board representation, value maximization and corporate governance improvements. Firm performance improvements are the most visible where institutional investors have a long horizon and where coordination among existing institutional investors increases. Overall, the results suggest that coordination ability and investment horizon of existing institutional shareholders are important factors in explaining target selection and strategies explored by hedge fund activists as well as their effects on firm value. The findings support the notion of coordination and collaborative monitoring role of long-term institutional investors with and hedge fund activists. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2390-2415 Issue: 21 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1990205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1990205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:21:p:2390-2415 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: David Coady Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Coady Author-Name: Devin D’Angelo Author-X-Name-First: Devin Author-X-Name-Last: D’Angelo Author-Name: Brooks Evans Author-X-Name-First: Brooks Author-X-Name-Last: Evans Title: Fiscal redistribution, social welfare and income inequality: ‘doing more’ or ‘more to do’? Abstract: This paper embeds the analysis of fiscal redistribution (FR) within the standard social welfare framework (SWF), which lends itself to a transparent and practical evaluation of the determinants of FR. Differences in FR are decomposed into differences in fiscal effort (the magnitude of redistributive transfers) and in fiscal progressivity (the distribution of net transfers across different income groups). Progressivity is further decomposed into targeting performance (the share of net transfers accruing to lower-income groups) and targeting returns (the social returns to targeting due to differences in the initial income inequality). This highlights the possibility that countries with the exact same redistributive effort (fiscal effort and targeting performance) can have very different levels of FR simply because they have very different levels of initial income inequality. High levels of FR in a country may therefore reflect that it has ‘more to do’ (high initial inequality) as opposed to it ‘doing more’. To illustrate, the paper decomposes differences in FR across 28 EU countries to isolate the importance of initial income inequality in explaining these differences. It also shows how the SWF can be straightforwardly used to test for the existence of the Paradox of Redistribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2416-2429 Issue: 21 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1990840 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1990840 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:21:p:2416-2429 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xin Han Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Yutao Han Author-X-Name-First: Yutao Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Xi Wan Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Does revenue sharing reduce regional disparity? Abstract: This article investigates the role of tax revenue sharing on regional development disparity. We show that competition in taxes and infrastructure widens the development gap among jurisdictions under both simultaneous and sequential games. Particularly, the results suggest that the development disparity increases with the degree of tax sharing under sequential game. The reason is that the fiscal transfers received by the lagging jurisdiction overcompensate for the loss of capital outflow and thus discourage the lagging from investing in public infrastructure. However, revenue sharing has no effect on the development disparity when simultaneous game is considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2430-2438 Issue: 21 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1990843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1990843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:21:p:2430-2438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdelaziz Hakimi Author-X-Name-First: Abdelaziz Author-X-Name-Last: Hakimi Author-Name: Rim Boussaada Author-X-Name-First: Rim Author-X-Name-Last: Boussaada Author-Name: Majdi Karmani Author-X-Name-First: Majdi Author-X-Name-Last: Karmani Title: Are financial inclusion and bank stability friends or enemies? Evidence from MENA banks Abstract: This study investigated the effect of financial inclusion on bank stability in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. To achieve this goal, we used a sample of MENA banks for the 2004–2017 period, and we performed system-generalized method of moments (SGMM) as an empirical approach. Overall, the empirical findings indicate that greater financial inclusion significantly increases bank stability. As bank specifics, we found that bank stability is more sensitive to an increase in the non-performing loans (NPLs) ratio and bank size. However, a sufficient level of liquidity significantly increases bank stability. Finally, the results show that bank stability could benefit from a stable macroeconomic environment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2473-2489 Issue: 21 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1992342 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1992342 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:21:p:2473-2489 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Karl-Friedrich Israel Author-X-Name-First: Karl-Friedrich Author-X-Name-Last: Israel Author-Name: Tim Florian Sepp Author-X-Name-First: Tim Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Sepp Author-Name: Nils Sonnenberg Author-X-Name-First: Nils Author-X-Name-Last: Sonnenberg Title: Japanese monetary policy and household saving Abstract: This article analyzes the impact of monetary policy on household saving in Japan between 1993 and 2017. Using annual data from the Japan Panel Survey of Consumers it is shown that monetary expansion has contributed to a widening gap in households’ net saving through an adverse effect on the volume of saving of non-academic households. In contrast, households with at least one academic tend to be able to compensate these adverse effects of monetary expansion or can even benefit from it. The article documents how inequality in terms of the ability to build up wealth has increased in Japan over the past decades. The statistical analysis controls for household size as well as potential spatial effects in the transmission mechanism of monetary policy on household saving. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2373-2389 Issue: 21 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1988890 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1988890 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:21:p:2373-2389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Author-X-Name-Last: Abakah Author-Name: Richard Adjei Dwumfour Author-X-Name-First: Richard Adjei Author-X-Name-Last: Dwumfour Author-Name: Salma Mefteh-Wali Author-X-Name-First: Salma Author-X-Name-Last: Mefteh-Wali Title: Connectedness and directional spillovers in energy sectors: international evidence Abstract: This paper provides a comparative analysis of how the energy-sector stocks of 20 regional blocs (Americas, Australasia, BRIC, Southeast Asia, Scandinavia, Southern Europe, Far East, Europe, European Union, Emerging Europe, Asia, G7, G12, Economic and Monetary Union (EMU), CCARBNS, Latin America, North America, PIIGS, Asia-Pacific and NORCS) are connected from 5 July 1994 to 21 April 2020. It uses various techniques: Diebold and Yilmaz (2014)(DY 2014, hereafter) spillover indices and TVP-VAR, LASSO-VAR. Our main results are as follows: First, the DY approach results show that the biggest net contributor of volatility is the CCARBNS region, followed by the G12 and G7 regions, while the biggest receiver of volatility is the Southeast Asia region. Second, the TVP-VAR and LASSO-VAR results reveal that Scandinavia, Far East, and America’s regions are net receivers of energy shocks, with net transmitters being CCARBNS, G7, G12 and Emerging European regions. Third, during the 2007–2008 financial crisis and recent COVID-19 outbreak, energy stock market spillovers have reached unprecedented high levels. Fourth, the world policy uncertainty greatly influenced the magnitude of volatility spillovers across regional energy stock markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2554-2569 Issue: 22 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998326 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998326 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:22:p:2554-2569 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Elyas Elyasiani Author-X-Name-First: Elyas Author-X-Name-Last: Elyasiani Author-Name: Silvia Muzzioli Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Muzzioli Title: The power of deterministic option-implied trees in pricing European options Abstract: The aims of the current article are threefold. First, to investigate the power of deterministic option-implied trees, constructed either by forward or by backward induction, in pricing European options, in order to assess the proper representation of the smile. Second, to investigate and contrast the power of deterministic option-implied trees during tranquil and volatile market conditions. Last, to assess the correctness of the representation of the smile in different parts of the risk-neutral distribution. Three main results are obtained. First, the pricing performance of the Enhanced Derman and Kani model (EDK), based on forward induction, is superior to that of the Rubinstein model, based on backward induction. Second, the EDK model produces better results (smaller errors) on the left tail of the distribution, i.e. it is better in pricing out-of-the-money put options. Third, it performs better in turmoil periods where correct pricing a challenge, and accuracy is of greater importance than in tranquil periods. Diebold and Mariano test of equal predictive accuracy confirms the superiority of the EDK model in both sub-periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2596-2609 Issue: 22 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998330 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998330 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:22:p:2596-2609 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jianchun Fang Author-X-Name-First: Jianchun Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Giray Gozgor Author-X-Name-First: Giray Author-X-Name-Last: Gozgor Author-Name: Chi Keung Marco Lau Author-X-Name-First: Chi Keung Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Lau Author-Name: Neelu Seetaram Author-X-Name-First: Neelu Author-X-Name-Last: Seetaram Title: Does policy uncertainty affect economic globalization? An empirical investigation Abstract: This paper investigates the role of policy uncertainty on indices of economic globalization from 1996 to 2016 in the panel dataset of 142 countries. For this purpose, we use the nine measures of the Revisited KOF Economic Globalization Indices and two new measures of uncertainty: The World Uncertainty Index (WUI) and the Trade Policy Uncertainty Index (TPUI). The findings indicate that both the WUI and the TPUI are negatively associated with the overall index of economic globalization. The benchmark results remain consistent under various model specifications, econometric estimation techniques, and countries at different income levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2510-2528 Issue: 22 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998324 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998324 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:22:p:2510-2528 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qin Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Qin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Qing He Author-X-Name-First: Qing Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Karen Eggleston Author-X-Name-First: Karen Author-X-Name-Last: Eggleston Author-Name: Gordon G Liu Author-X-Name-First: Gordon G Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Urban-rural health insurance integration in china: impact on health care utilization, financial risk protection, and health status Abstract: China has been making efforts to establish a universal health care coverage system through multiple social health insurance schemes. As these insurance schemes cover different populations with different financing and reimbursement levels, large disparities remain in health care access and health outcomes among people covered. The government has launched an urban-rural integration policy for social health insurance to reduce disparities in access and health outcomes. We adopt a difference-in-differences propensity score matching approach to estimate the effects of this integration policy on health care utilization, financial risk protection, and health status, using nationally representative Chinese household survey data. The results show that the integration policy has significantly improved financial risk protection and self-assessed health of rural residents in China, which could be attributed to a decline in out-of-pocket payment. The low-income rural residents benefit most from this policy. There is no evidence that it has pronounced effects among urban residents. Greater efforts to increase reimbursement rates and to expand beneficiary populations could help to mitigate remaining urban-rural disparities. The findings in this study would contribute to a better understanding of the impacts of health insurance expansion in low- and middle-income countries. JEL code: I18, I10 Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2491-2509 Issue: 22 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998323 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998323 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:22:p:2491-2509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haileslasie Tadele Author-X-Name-First: Haileslasie Author-X-Name-Last: Tadele Author-Name: Xinfeng Ruan Author-X-Name-First: Xinfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Ruan Author-Name: Weihan Li Author-X-Name-First: Weihan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Corporate governance and firm-level jump and volatility risks Abstract: Corporate governance plays a significant role in monitoring managerial behaviour, and thus in reducing firm-level risks and increasing firm value. Using a global unbalanced panel of 6,241 firm-year observations over the period of 1996–2016, we investigate the impact of internal and external governance attributes on firm risk. We address the endogeneity problem inherent in governance studies using option-based risk measures for jump and volatility risks. We use a multiple theoretical perspective to explain the relationship between governance mechanisms and firm risk. Our results indicate that board structure and entrenchment factors have a differential impact on firms’ jump and volatility risks. Our evidence reveals that firms with higher entrenchment provisions tend to increase volatility risk and that a higher proportion of outside directors increases firms’ volatility risk. Board size and CEO salary reduce volatility risk yet increase jump risk. We also find that the proportion of outside directors is negatively associated with firms’ jump risk. Overall, our results reveal interesting evidence and provide implications for future governance studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2529-2553 Issue: 22 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998325 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998325 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:22:p:2529-2553 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Michel Verlaine Author-X-Name-First: Michel Author-X-Name-Last: Verlaine Title: On the extraction of cyber risks from structured products Abstract: The aim of this paper is to develop an approach to extract information about cyber risks from structured financial products. We consider decision makers that are interested in extracting information about the uncertainty of Cyber risks. The value of information can be evaluated using recently developed entropy approaches in Finance. The underlying idea is that what we call Arrow-Debreu Cyber Risk state prices can be extracted, provided the right structured products be ‘created’. It is shown that different market-based approaches can be used to get a better idea of the shape of the loss distribution facing firms. This information is potentially of interest to evaluate the risk premiums of insurance products. Comparisons between extracted market expectations can also be informative for risk evaluation, notably the distribution of unexpected losses and the eventual shortfall calculations. Finally, recent information-theoretic approaches enable us to make the link between pricing and the value of information to investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2570-2581 Issue: 22 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998327 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998327 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:22:p:2570-2581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mariana Hatmanu Author-X-Name-First: Mariana Author-X-Name-Last: Hatmanu Author-Name: Cristina Cautisanu Author-X-Name-First: Cristina Author-X-Name-Last: Cautisanu Author-Name: Andreea Oana Iacobuta Author-X-Name-First: Andreea Oana Author-X-Name-Last: Iacobuta Title: On the relationships between CO2 emissions and their determinants in Romania and Bulgaria. An ARDL approach Abstract: Given the current context, with phenomena such as dramatic climate change, water, air, soil pollution, etc., the complex relation between environmental degradation and economic growth is intensely debated in the academia as well as in worldwide politics. This study examines the relationship between carbon dioxide emissions, gross domestic product, energy consumption, and urbanization rate in Romania and Bulgaria over 1980–2019 period. For this purpose, we have applied the ARDL bounds testing approach and, to validate the robustness of the results, we have used the VEC Granger model. The results showed that there are long term relationships between CO2 emissions per capita and the determinant factors taken into account in both countries; however, while the inverted N-shape of EKC is significant in the case of Bulgaria, this does not happen in the case of Romania although the model which includes the inverted U-shape of EKC is significant for both countries. Considering the fact that both Romania and Bulgaria are emerging economies which, despite having made significant progress, are still in search of a path towards sustainable development, such a study may constitute a good starting point and may suggest some action directions in terms of sustainable development policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2582-2595 Issue: 22 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998328 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:22:p:2582-2595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Miramir Bagirov Author-X-Name-First: Miramir Author-X-Name-Last: Bagirov Author-Name: Cesario Mateus Author-X-Name-First: Cesario Author-X-Name-Last: Mateus Title: Petroleum prices and equity sector returns in petroleum exporting and importing countries: an analysis of volatility transmissions and hedging Abstract: This paper examines the direction and magnitude of volatility transmissions between prices of petroleum and stock sector indices of the net petroleum exporter, Mexico, and the net petroleum importer, the United Kingdom. The sector indices are self-constructed utilizing daily data of 258 unique stocks listed in eight sectors from January 2005 to September 2018 that permits implementing the same methodological framework across two markets. The study applies the VAR-GARCH model that enables to study bidirectional spillover effects. The results provide evidence of volatility spillovers between petroleum prices and sector indices. The effects are more apparent in the case of the net exporter, where the bidirectional volatility transmissions were observed. The computed optimal portfolio weights and hedge ratios considerably vary among sectors of both countries. The findings emphasize the crucial role of comprehending the heterogeneity of sectors for the management of investment portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2610-2626 Issue: 23 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1990846 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1990846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:23:p:2610-2626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Guangshun Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Guangshun Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Author-Name: Shirong Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Shirong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Tradeoffs between economies of scale and specialization in efficiency for the global semiconductor industry Abstract: This paper combines the semiparametric modified ordinary least-squares approach by Simar et al. (2017) with the nonparametric shape constraint regression approach by Du et al. (2013) to evaluate the performance in the semiconductor industry. Using panel data on 470 companies in the global semiconductor industry over 1999–2018, we compare technical eficiencies between the integrated device manufacturer business model and the fabless-foundry business model. The performance differences between the vertically integrated device manufacturers and the vertically specialized fabless and foundry firms are disentangled by the intensity of labour and capital in a very flexible form. The estimation results indicate that the capital-intensive integrated device manufacturers taking advantage of the economies of scale are operating more efficiently than the niche fabless companies in the global semiconductor industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2678-2693 Issue: 23 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1994126 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1994126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:23:p:2678-2693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhixin Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Zhixin Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Author-Name: Long Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Long Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Xiaojun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Does improved transportation promote innovation? evidence from China’s cities Abstract: This paper empirically investigates the effect of improved transportation system on innovation activities in a panel of Chinese cities. We find robust evidence that there is a significant increase in a city’s capacity in invention patents due to the opening of the high-speed railway (HSR). Furthermore, increased expenditure in research and development (R&D), expanded business opportunities through trade and foreign direct investment, and intensified import competition are three plausible channels that allow the opening of HSR to spur city innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2643-2657 Issue: 23 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1992344 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1992344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:23:p:2643-2657 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yung-Ching Tseng Author-X-Name-First: Yung-Ching Author-X-Name-Last: Tseng Author-Name: I-Fan Hsiao Author-X-Name-First: I-Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Hsiao Title: Decomposing the factors influencing household debt: the case of China Abstract: This study discusses the issue of household debt in China based on the data of China household finance survey completed in 2015. The quantile regression model is adopted as the key research method, and the conclusions are derived are as follows. The increase in household debt in China is significantly correlated with several financial factors, including household assets and income, as well as the socioeconomic factors of education, age and working unit, in addition to senses of security and happiness. The assets of highly indebted households influence their debt in a positive way; the influence of income on household debt decreases as the quantile increases; the householder age has a negative effect across all household quantiles, and the debt holdings are less at older ages. The influence of household educational background dramatically increases from negative to positive following the indebtedness level, suggesting that enormous debt burdens may be generated from the cross effect of disadvantages in income and educational background. By decomposing the results of the quantile regression estimations, the evidence suggests that sufficient financial knowledge is essential in avoiding the financial distress from household debt. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2627-2642 Issue: 23 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1992343 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1992343 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:23:p:2627-2642 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maroula Khraiche Author-X-Name-First: Maroula Author-X-Name-Last: Khraiche Author-Name: Levent Kutlu Author-X-Name-First: Levent Author-X-Name-Last: Kutlu Author-Name: Xi Mao Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Mao Title: Energy efficiencies of European countries Abstract: Improving energy efficiency is essential for sustainable development; therefore, an accurate assessment of energy efficiency is needed to inform policymakers on how to set energy efficiency goals. Using a stochastic frontier model, we estimate energy efficiencies of 44 countries in Europe from 1990 to 2015. Comparing average energy efficiencies across countries among three time periods, 1990 to 1998, 1999 to 2007, and 2008 to 2015, we find the following trends: (1) countries with highest energy efficiency cluster geographically suggesting spillover effects; (2) from the first period to the second period, 67.44% of European countries’ average energy efficiency increased, while only 59.09% of European countries’ average energy efficiencies increased between the first and the third period; (3) gains in energy efficiency may be levelling off or decreasing over time; and (4) when countries face economic downturn, they experience a decrease in energy efficiency signalling possible future decreases in energy efficiency in light of the recent recessions caused by the Covid-19 pandemic. Finally, we compute potential energy savings from a counterfactual experiment in which countries realize full efficiency. The results show substantial energy savings can be obtained by Russia in particular, and less savings can be obtained by countries with smaller populations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2694-2706 Issue: 23 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1994520 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1994520 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:23:p:2694-2706 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sadick Mohammed Author-X-Name-First: Sadick Author-X-Name-Last: Mohammed Author-Name: Awudu Abdulai Author-X-Name-First: Awudu Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulai Title: Do ICT based extension services improve technology adoption and welfare? Empirical evidence from Ghana Abstract: This paper examines the impact of ICT-based extension services on farmers’ adoption of a new agricultural technology (Bradyrhizobium inoculant), knowledge gain on the new technology, yields and net returns, using recent survey data of 600 soybean farmers from Ghana. We employ a copula functions approach to account for potential selection bias and endogeneity. Standard selectivity correction models often employed in the literature rely on multivariate normality (MVN) assumption, which is easily violated, especially when there is tail dependence in the distribution of the observed data, thus making the distribution non-normal. The copula functions approach allows the modelling of selectivity based on multivariate non-normality to account for this deficit in the data, but retains the MVN as a special case. Our empirical findings reveal that farmers who participated in ICT-based extension obtained 205% knowledge scores, 151% yields and 88% farm net returns, compared to 174% knowledge scores, 148% yields and 86% farm net returns for conventional extension participants. The current study provides evidence that employing ICT-based extension delivery to farmers can help in accelerating progress towards the achievement of the Sustainable Development Goals, particularly goals two and five, which seek to achieve zero hunger and equalaccess to extension services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2707-2726 Issue: 23 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998334 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998334 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:23:p:2707-2726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thi Thu Ha Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Thi Thu Ha Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Hatice Ozer Balli Author-X-Name-First: Hatice Ozer Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Iqbal Syed Author-X-Name-First: Iqbal Author-X-Name-Last: Syed Title: Direct real estate, securitized real estate, and equity market dynamic connectedness Abstract: The paper’s objective is to scrutinize the dynamics of connectedness across returns of three markets, including direct real estate, securitized real estate, and stock markets. Through the connectedness index approach, the results indicate a significant degree of connectedness, which increases sharply during the recent global financial crisis. The net directional connectedness is volatile and time-dependent, yet the dominant shock transmitting role of the securitized real estate is pronounced during the GFC. While the direct real estate market plays as a dominant shock information receiver from the markets of securitized real estate and stocks in Australia, Canada, France, and the UK, it appears to shape other markets in the context of the US. Given the fact that the securitized real state is considered as the hybrid of the conventional real estate market and the stock market, we further note that the securitized real estate is more linked with its underlying market. Several implications for investors and policymakers are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2658-2677 Issue: 23 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1994125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1994125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:23:p:2658-2677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ki-Hong Choi Author-X-Name-First: Ki-Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Sang Hoon Kang Author-X-Name-First: Sang Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Seong-Min Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Herding behaviour in Korea’s cryptocurrency market Abstract: Herding behaviour is an interesting phenomenon that has a serious impact on the market, leading to inefficient asset prices and high volatility in periods of market turmoil. We analysed the existence of herding behaviour in the cryptocurrency market using hourly price data of eight major cryptocurrencies and the cross-sectional standard absolute deviation (CSAD) approach. Our findings showed anti-herding behaviour at shorter time intervals and herding behaviour during longer periods. The trading decisions of cryptocurrency investors mimic the behaviour of other traders over time. We further found that herding behaviour is stronger over longer time intervals in a down market. When a market is declining, it suggests that fear increases and investors are forced to act quickly in response to market movements rather than using their information. Thus, investors need to fix the situation as quickly as possible to avoid making losses, hence they need to make rational choices based on knowledge rather than emotion or fear. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2795-2809 Issue: 24 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998335 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:24:p:2795-2809 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yıldız Özkök Author-X-Name-First: Yıldız Author-X-Name-Last: Özkök Author-Name: İbrahim Çütcü Author-X-Name-First: İbrahim Author-X-Name-Last: Çütcü Title: Does fiscal federalism matter for economic growth? Evidence from the United States Abstract: Fiscal federalism can improve macroeconomic performance by increasing the efficiency and performance of the public sector. The aim of this study is to analyse the long-term relationship between fiscal federalism and economic growth during the period of 1961–2018 in the United States. In this analysis, first of all, the Hatemi-J Co-integration test was used to determine the long-term relationship between the variables, and accordingly it was determined that there is a long-term relationship between the variables at the 1% significance level. Then, the causality relationship between variables was tested using Hacker–Hatemi-J bootstrap causality analysis and no causality relationship was found among the variables. Finally, a time-varying causality test was applied, since the causality relationship between variables may lose its validity at some time points, especially in global economies. It was found that there is a causality relationship between variables when sub-periods are considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2810-2824 Issue: 24 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998337 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:24:p:2810-2824 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Insook Lee Author-X-Name-First: Insook Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Conditional effect of government debt on household debt Abstract: How does government debt affect household debt? Capitalizing on a model of life-cycle economy populated by households with no bequest motive, this article shows that effect of government debt on aggregate household debt is conditional. If residence-service benefit of house is greater than equity-accrual benefit of house investment, government debt negatively affects household debt. If not, government debt positively affects household debt. This theoretical finding is tested with panel data of 53 countries over 1991–2019. Using system Generalized Method of Moments finds supportive evidence for the conditional effect, which remains robust after adopting external instrumental variable and alternative approach to expectation formation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2759-2777 Issue: 24 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998332 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:24:p:2759-2777 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Saqib Aziz Author-X-Name-First: Saqib Author-X-Name-Last: Aziz Author-Name: Akanksha Jalan Author-X-Name-First: Akanksha Author-X-Name-Last: Jalan Author-Name: Roman Matkovskyy Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Matkovskyy Author-Name: Taoufik Bouraoui Author-X-Name-First: Taoufik Author-X-Name-Last: Bouraoui Title: Does Shariah compliance affect investor behaviour in the COVID-19 times: evidence from herding in the global energy market Abstract: This paper investigates whether the Shariah compliance matters in determining investor behaviour in herding across firms in the global energy market. Our sample comprises 2501 globally listed energy equities from 10 April 2019 to 8 April 2020 from the Refinitv Eikon database, which also flags firms as compliant or otherwise with Shariah or Islamic law. Using closing price data for the selected firms, we analyse herding behaviour across the two groups, in addition to various firm and market characteristics such as size, profitability, analyst recommendations about future performance and up and down market days. Our results suggest herding in both Shariah and non-Shariah-compliant energy firms, and on down market days in particular. Cross-sectional tests indicate higher herding in larger and more-profitable Shariah firms, and those with positive analyst forecasts for the future, which is consistent with pressure-driven behaviour to maintain performance. In particular, we find that the COVID-19 pandemic does not significantly alter herding behaviour for the sample firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2825-2836 Issue: 24 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1999384 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1999384 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:24:p:2825-2836 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laiqun Jin Author-X-Name-First: Laiqun Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Xiuyan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiuyan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Sam Hak Kan Tang Author-X-Name-First: Sam Hak Kan Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: High-technology zones, misallocation of resources among cities and aggregate productivity: evidence from China Abstract: Recent literature has been debating the performance of high-technology zones (HTZs) in developing countries. This paper contributes to this debate by examining how national HTZs in China affect allocative efficiency of resources among Chinese cities as well as China’s total factor productivity (TFP) growth. This paper finds that resource misallocation among cities reduces China’s TFP growth by 4.5% of which capital misallocation accounts for 2.4% and labour misallocation accounts for 2.1%. Moreover, we find that the establishment of national HTZs in China increases aggregate TFP by improving the allocative efficiency of capital among cities: that is, redistributing more capital from lower to higher productivity cities. In contrast, we find little evidence of TFP gain driven by technical efficiency following the establishment of HTZs. This paper thus reveals a potential positive effect of establishing HTZs in developing countries: although establishing HTZs may not improve the technical efficiency of these countries, it may nevertheless mitigate these countries’ resource misallocation and enhance their aggregate TFP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2778-2794 Issue: 24 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998333 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998333 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:24:p:2778-2794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yong-Yi Li Author-X-Name-First: Yong-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chi-Chuan Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Does CFO serving as board secretary matter for information disclosure? Evidence from China’s listed companies Abstract: This paper explores whether duality in the chief financial officer’s (CFO’s) job role (i.e. also serving as board secretary) reduces information asymmetry through higher levels of information transparency, focusing on Chinese publicly listed companies from 2001 to 2018. Our findings reveal that CFOs serving as board secretaries contribute to greater information transparency. The positive effect of CFO duality on information transparency appears to be more pronounced in state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and in firms whose CFO is female and have had a longer tenure. Knowledge of these impacts is critical to building appropriate investment strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2737-2758 Issue: 24 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1996531 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1996531 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:24:p:2737-2758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jinyang Cai Author-X-Name-First: Jinyang Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Ruifa Hu Author-X-Name-First: Ruifa Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Yu Hong Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Title: Impact of farmer field schools on agricultural technology extension—evidence from greenhouse vegetable farms in China Abstract: Agricultural extension is a key instrument to bridge the gap between new technologies and farmers. As a popular extension approach, farmer field schools (FFS) usually improve farmers’ knowledge and crop productivity. This study aims to quantify the heterogeneous impact of FFS on the cognition and adoption of multiple new agricultural technologies. In this study, we apply Tobit models to estimate the impact of FFS on technology extension regarding farmers’ cognition and adoption rates of different technologies, using data collected for 274 tomato and cucumber farm households in Beijing, China. We find that the FFS programmesignificantly increased farmers’ cognition and adoption of new agricultural technologies. We also find that the effects of FFS on extension vary in different categories of new technology. Particularly, we find that the extension of facility technologies is difficult, and new varieties are easy to disseminate but difficult to adopt by farmers. We conclude that FFS is an important channel for the extension of new agricultural technologies. At the same time, attention should be paid to the design of the FFS programme, adjusting to the attribute of different technologies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2727-2736 Issue: 24 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1996530 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1996530 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:24:p:2727-2736 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Author-Name: Giuliano Masiero Author-X-Name-First: Giuliano Author-X-Name-Last: Masiero Author-Name: Michael Santarossa Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Santarossa Title: Productivity change and efficiency in the Swiss nursing home industry Abstract: Enhancing nursing home efficiency and productivity is a challenging task for health policy makers due to population ageing trends and increasing healthcare costs. In this study, we analyse nursing home efficiency and productivity using data from the universe of Swiss nursing homes for the period 2007–2015. We estimate a translog cost frontier via generalized true random effects models, which allow to disentangle the transient and the persistent components of inefficiency. In particular, we apply the simulated maximum likelihood approach proposed recently by scholars and then improve our estimates with a Mundlak correction. We find that total factor productivity change has dropped in recent years, and both efficiency components show scope for improvement. However, the marginal gains from transient efficiency measures are potentially larger, and could provide a more valid contribution to reverse the decreasing trend in total factor productivity change. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2837-2850 Issue: 25 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1962511 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1962511 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:25:p:2837-2850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kenneth Khang Author-X-Name-First: Kenneth Author-X-Name-Last: Khang Author-Name: Thomas W. Miller Author-X-Name-First: Thomas W. Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Title: Mutual fund performance components: an application to asset allocation mutual funds Abstract: While most of the mutual fund performance literature focuses on returns only, a recent strand examines the activity level of portfolio managers and how this activity affects portfolio performance. We add to this literature in two ways. First, we examine asset allocation mutual funds, noting there are few studies examining this type of fund. We note our method of examination can be modified for any type of fund. Second, we use a weight-based method that separates fund performance into components, one of which provides a new measure of manager activity. Because this new measure is a component of fund performance, the effect of manager activity on performance is explicit. While we find the average fund does not beat a lagged-weight benchmark, we do find the components explain performance differences among funds. We also find evidence that manager activity persists, meaning funds exhibiting greater activity in the past tend to do so in the future. This is important because it predicts which funds are likely to have more extreme performance in the future. Finally, we find evidence of persistence in predictive skill, but find that skill is not strong enough to produce persistence in fund performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2933-2948 Issue: 25 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2000583 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2000583 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:25:p:2933-2948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Linlin Sun Author-X-Name-First: Linlin Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Yuefei Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yuefei Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Jue Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jue Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yunyun Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yunyun Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Macroeconomic impacts and transmission channels of an epidemic shock: evidence from the economic performance of China during the 2003 SARS epidemic Abstract: This paper uses the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) epidemic as a quasi-experiment to study the economic impact of epidemic shocks. It aims to answer the following two questions. 1) How does an epidemic affect various macroeconomic variable? 2) What are the transmission channels through which the epidemic shock affected firms? We build an epidemic shock macroeconomic model and use synthetic control method (SCM) and difference-in-differences (DID) estimator to estimate the impact of the 2003 SARS epidemic on the economic performance of China. We find that the SARS epidemic negatively affected China’s GDP growth rates and its levels of consumption, investment, and productivity. The lag time effect of SARS was very short because of the short duration of the outbreak and adequate market liquidity. We isolate and compare the effects of the SARS epidemic from the perspectives of changes in business cycles, labour supply shocks and external financing conditions on firms’ economic performance using firm-specific sensitivity estimates prior to the SARS epidemic. We find that the SARS epidemic had a larger negative impact on firms with higher sensitivity to business cycles and labour supply shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2851-2873 Issue: 25 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1999385 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1999385 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:25:p:2851-2873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felicity Addo Author-X-Name-First: Felicity Author-X-Name-Last: Addo Author-Name: Klaus Salhofer Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Salhofer Title: Transient and persistent technical efficiency and its determinants: the case of crop farms in Austria Abstract: We analyse persistent and transient technical efficiency of crop farms in Austria from 2003 to 2017 by estimating the four-component stochastic frontier model using a multi-step procedure and extend it to account for heterogeneity bias by introducing the Mundlak adjustments. Moreover, we examine the determinants of both transient and persistent technical inefficiency. Results show that farms with favourable natural conditions, a higher share of family labour, and a lower share of owned land are more persistently efficient. Farm specialization, size, and farmers’ age are positively associated with transient efficiency, while subsidies have adverse impacts. Significant technological progress coupled with, on average decreasing technical efficiency indicates a diverging sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2916-2932 Issue: 25 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2000580 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2000580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:25:p:2916-2932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nélida Díaz Sobrino Author-X-Name-First: Nélida Author-X-Name-Last: Díaz Sobrino Author-Name: Corinna Ghirelli Author-X-Name-First: Corinna Author-X-Name-Last: Ghirelli Author-Name: Samuel Hurtado Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Hurtado Author-Name: Javier J. Pérez Author-X-Name-First: Javier J. Author-X-Name-Last: Pérez Author-Name: Alberto Urtasun Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Urtasun Title: The narrative about the economy as a shadow forecast: an analysis using Bank of Spain quarterly reports Abstract: This paper constructs a text-based indicator that reflects the sentiment of the Bank of Spain economic outlook reports. Our sentiment indicator mimics very closely the first release of the GDP growth rate, which is published after the publication of the reports, and the Bank of Spain’s quarterly forecasts of the GDP growth rate. In addition, not only the narrative is consistent with the quantitative projections, but it also complements them by discussing information which is not directly reflected in the point forecasts, and may put on the table potential risks that will be included in the numerical projections of the next quarter. Thus, while the quantitative projections tend to underestimate the GDP growth rate especially during upturns, the narrative allows to outweigh this conservative bias. Overall, from a Central Bank’s communication perspective, it is the combination of quantitative forecast and narrative that provides a more precise picture of expected economic activity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2874-2887 Issue: 25 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1999386 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1999386 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:25:p:2874-2887 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Christopher Biolsi Author-X-Name-First: Christopher Author-X-Name-Last: Biolsi Author-Name: Brian Goff Author-X-Name-First: Brian Author-X-Name-Last: Goff Author-Name: Dennis Wilson Author-X-Name-First: Dennis Author-X-Name-Last: Wilson Title: Task-level match effects and worker productivity: evidence from pitchers and catchers Abstract: The match between Major League Baseball catchers and pitchers combines characteristics of a for-profit production setting with those of a more intimate, family-type environment. We estimate the importance of these matches at the task level of getting outs and for getting strikeouts using a two-way fixed-effects strategy. We find that match effects matter almost as much as pitcher fixed effects and more than catcher effects for getting an out of any kind. For strikeouts, match effects matter more than catcher effects, if not as much as pitcher effects. We also examine influences on productive matches, showing that match effects are improved when both the pitcher and the catcher are born in the same country, are both born in predominantly Spanish-speaking countries, or as the number of shared experiences increases. All of these fit within a ‘positive assortative’ category of matches. We do not find evidence that relative experience matters for match effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2888-2899 Issue: 25 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1999898 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1999898 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:25:p:2888-2899 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Borja Gambau Author-X-Name-First: Borja Author-X-Name-Last: Gambau Author-Name: Juan C. Palomino Author-X-Name-First: Juan C. Author-X-Name-Last: Palomino Author-Name: Juan G. Rodríguez Author-X-Name-First: Juan G. Author-X-Name-Last: Rodríguez Author-Name: Raquel Sebastian Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Sebastian Title: COVID-19 restrictions in the US: wage vulnerability by education, race and gender Abstract: We study economic vulnerability to the stay-at-home orders and social distancing measures imposed to prevent COVID-19 contagion in the US by education, race, gender, and state. Under 2 months of lockdown plus 10 months of partial functioning we find that, without compensating policies, wage inequality and poverty would increase in the US for all social groups and states. We estimate a national potential increase in inequality of 4.1 Gini points and of 9.7 percentage points for poverty, with uneven increases by race, gender, and education. The restrictions imposed to curb the pandemic produce a double process of divergence: both inequality within and between social groups increase, with education accounting for the largest part of the rise in inequality between groups. Education level differences also impact wage poverty risk more than differences by race or gender, making the low-educated the most vulnerable group, while workers with higher education of any race and gender are less exposed. When measuring the potential percentile rank change, most women with secondary education or higher move up, while most men without higher education suffer downward mobility. Our findings can inform public policy aiming to address the disparities in vulnerability to pandemic-related shocks across different socioeconomic groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2900-2915 Issue: 25 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1999899 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1999899 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:25:p:2900-2915 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Patrick Withey Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Withey Author-Name: Chinmay Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Chinmay Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Van Lantz Author-X-Name-First: Van Author-X-Name-Last: Lantz Author-Name: Galen McMonagle Author-X-Name-First: Galen Author-X-Name-Last: McMonagle Author-Name: Thomas O. Ochuodho Author-X-Name-First: Thomas O. Author-X-Name-Last: Ochuodho Title: Economy-wide and CO2 impacts of carbon taxes and output-based pricing in New Brunswick, Canada Abstract: Economic models suggest that greenhouse gas emission reductions are warranted on a global scale. However, more analysis is needed at a regional level to inform local governments about the economics of alternative carbon policies. To this end, we develop a dynamic computable general equilibrium model for the case-study province of New Brunswick, Canada, and consider economic impacts and costs of two carbon policy scenarios. The first, called the Federal ‘backstop’, consists of a carbon tax on small emitters and an output-based pricing system (OBPS) on large emitters. The second consists of a common carbon tax across all emitters. We also consider different carbon tax revenue recycling options under each scenario. Results show that when a carbon tax is applied to all emitters starting at $20/tonne in 2019 and increasing to $170/tonne in 2030, cumulative present value GDP would decline in the range of 0.60%–0.63% (depending on revenue recycling options), and emissions will decline by more than 32%. Under the Federal backstop scenario, GDP reduction is only 0.24–0.26%, and emissions reduction is only 13%. In all scenarios, the costs range between $21 and 50/tonne on average, and are generally lower than the global social cost of carbon estimated in other research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2998-3015 Issue: 26 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2001422 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2001422 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:26:p:2998-3015 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sanjiv Jaggia Author-X-Name-First: Sanjiv Author-X-Name-Last: Jaggia Author-Name: Satish Thosar Author-X-Name-First: Satish Author-X-Name-Last: Thosar Title: Education and risk-taking incentives: an analysis of CEO compensation contracts Abstract: We explore whether CEO educational background attributes and other demographic variables such as gender and age play a role in influencing the incentive features―pay-for-performance (delta) and pay-for-risk (vega)―embedded in their compensation contracts. We interpret these incentive features as robust proxies for idiosyncratic risk tolerance, which is an important element in diverse streams of research including but not limited to the upper echelons theory and the concomitant investigations into the drivers of strategic management choices and organizational outcomes. Using a unique and hand collected dataset, we uncover a number of interesting relationships. For instance, we find that CEOs graduating from elite schools and those with undergraduate majors in subjects like business/economics or the humanities display higher exposure to incentive pay compared to more specialized fields like engineering/science. Our study links observable demographic characteristics to the risk-taking propensities of CEOs which in our view would be of interest to hiring and compensation committees on corporate boards as they select (or renew the contracts of) senior executives. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3016-3030 Issue: 26 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2001424 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2001424 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:26:p:3016-3030 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Stavroula P. Fameliti Author-X-Name-First: Stavroula P. Author-X-Name-Last: Fameliti Author-Name: Vasiliki D. Skintzi Author-X-Name-First: Vasiliki D. Author-X-Name-Last: Skintzi Title: Statistical and economic performance of combination methods for forecasting crude oil price volatility Abstract: This article aims to investigate whether a wide variety of combination methods, ranging from simple averaging approaches to time-varying techniques based on the past performance of the single models and regression tools, improve forecasting accuracy, risk management and economic gains across different forecasting horizons in a crude oil future framework. For this purpose, we implement various combination methods in fourteen HAR-RV models including different characteristics and uncertainty factors and evaluate their performance through statistical, risk management and economic loss functions. The empirical analysis yields some important conclusions: (i) sophisticated combinations improve the forecasting accuracy in all forecasting horizons, (ii) from a risk management perspective, regression-based combinations predict better potential loss of an investment on crude oil futures compared to individual models, (iii) machine learning and non-parametric combinations lead to higher economic gains across all forecasting horizons in a portfolio exercise and (iv) combinations are considered as a better alternative to single models using various robustness checks although the best performer among the combination methods is not stable across applications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3031-3054 Issue: 26 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2001425 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2001425 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:26:p:3031-3054 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Samuel Jebaraj Benjamin Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Jebaraj Author-X-Name-Last: Benjamin Author-Name: Pallab Kumar Biswas Author-X-Name-First: Pallab Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Biswas Author-Name: M Srikamalaladevi M Marathamuthu Author-X-Name-First: M Srikamalaladevi Author-X-Name-Last: M Marathamuthu Author-Name: Murugesh Arunachalam Author-X-Name-First: Murugesh Author-X-Name-Last: Arunachalam Title: Social Media Sentiments and Firm Value Abstract: This paper examines the link between social media sentiments and firm value. Using a sample of Fortune 500 firms from 2010 to 2017, we find that positive social media sentiments increase firm value, whereas negative social media sentiments do not decrease firm value. Next, we consider the link between social media sentiments and firm value in the context of the firms’ environmental, social, and governance performance. Our main findings remain unchanged for firms with low environmental, social, and governance performance. We also find that these results are more pronounced for firms in industries with high advertising spending. Our results are supported by a series of robustness tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2983-2997 Issue: 26 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2001421 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2001421 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:26:p:2983-2997 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qian Cao Author-X-Name-First: Qian Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Bing Ma Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Yanqi Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Yanqi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Shadow banking participation and stock market crash risk: evidence from China Abstract: In this paper, we use public entrusted loan announcements and financial data on China listed A-shares to identify shadow banking participation as a new factor affecting firms’ stock market crash risks. We also provide new sets of empirical evidence to the inconclusive literature about how borrowing and lending behaviours affect investors’ perceptions and the firms. We find that both borrowing and lending of small firms reduce firms’ stock market crash risks, and lending of big firms increases firms’ crash risks. Moreover, our results on affiliated transactions suggest the existence of both risk-sharing and negative spillover effects in Chinese business groups. The results are robust to different fixed effects, different standard error clustering specifications, alternative crash risk measures and additional control variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2969-2982 Issue: 26 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2001420 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2001420 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:26:p:2969-2982 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qichuan Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Qichuan Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Xuejiao Ma Author-X-Name-First: Xuejiao Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Risk transmission between old and new energy markets from a multi-scale perspective: the role of the EU emissions trading system Abstract: The trading market of carbon emission permits is not only an effective tool for tackling climate change, but it also reinforces the connection between carbon and energy markets by risk transmission. This paper investigates the volatility spillover effects and dynamic correlation between fossil energy, clean energy and the European Union carbon markets by applying the asymmetric BEKK- and DCC-GARCH models in a time-frequency framework and designs the portfolio strategies. Empirical results display that fossil energy market has a significantly positive impact on the clean energy market at most scales, but the feedback transmission is relatively weak. Two indirect volatility spillover effects exist between the three markets, which are ‘fossil energy→carbon→clean energy’ and ‘clean energy→carbon→fossil energy’, suggesting that the carbon market plays a vital role in bridging the clean and fossil energy markets. Significant time-varying asymmetric effects are identified between the three markets, and the carbon market is confirmed to offer the least expensive hedge to an investment in oil. Our findings can provide meaningful implications for policymakers to design market mechanism and investors to adjust hedging strategies and diversify their portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2949-2968 Issue: 26 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2000931 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2000931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:26:p:2949-2968 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Celiwe Muvaraidzi Nithammer Author-X-Name-First: Celiwe Muvaraidzi Author-X-Name-Last: Nithammer Author-Name: Jugal Mahabir Author-X-Name-First: Jugal Author-X-Name-Last: Mahabir Author-Name: Johane Dikgang Author-X-Name-First: Johane Author-X-Name-Last: Dikgang Title: Efficiency of South African water utilities: a double bootstrap DEA analysis Abstract: Although the efficiency of the water sector has been studied extensively utilizing data envelopment analysis (DEA), most of the literature tends to use the conventional DEA model to compute efficiency scores. In addition, there are many studies that undertake a second stage regression of the efficiency scores against a set of covariates. However, such second-stage analyses are problematic due to potential serial correlation inherent in the estimated efficiency scores. To determine the bias-corrected efficiency scores of rural and urban water utilities in South Africa, this study uses a robust, non-parametric DEA bootstrapping model to generate them. Moreover, little is known about relative performance of the conventional DEA versus bias-corrected DEA. In addition, the truncated double-bootstrap regression results provide insights into the drivers of efficiency, including how water policies and the political and institutional contexts of water utilities can impact relative efficiencies. We found that there are significant differences between the rankings and efficiency scores generated by the conventional DEA model compared to the double-bootstrap DEA model, for both urban and rural samples. The regression model found the location and the ratio of metered to unmetered connections to be significant determinants of efficiency for both urban and rural water utilities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3055-3073 Issue: 26 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2002802 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2002802 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:26:p:3055-3073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xuechen Meng Author-X-Name-First: Xuechen Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Author-Name: Shanlang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shanlang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Gui Ren Author-X-Name-First: Gui Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Title: The effect of HSR connection on urban cluster centrality: evidence from China Abstract: In a time varying difference-in-differences setting, we empirically test the impact of high-speed rail (HSR) connections on urban clusters in China. We construct an urban cluster centrality index to reflect changes in the economic positions of counties in clusters. The results show the following: (1) The HSR connection has a positive effect on urban cluster centrality, especially for counties with higher centrality. (2) The heterogeneity effect indicates that western counties centrality has greatly increased their urban cluster centrality compared to eastern areas. (3) Mechanism estimation indicates that the different result to western and eastern counties is due to the high skill labour transfer from eastern to western counties. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3088-3102 Issue: 27 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2003288 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2003288 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:27:p:3088-3102 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ali Gokhan Yucel Author-X-Name-First: Ali Gokhan Author-X-Name-Last: Yucel Author-Name: Cihat Koksal Author-X-Name-First: Cihat Author-X-Name-Last: Koksal Author-Name: Sevil Acar Author-X-Name-First: Sevil Author-X-Name-Last: Acar Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: The impact of COVID-19 on Turkey’s tourism sector: fresh evidence from the fractional integration approach Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyze whether the profound effects of COVID-19 on Turkey’s tourism sector will be permanent or transitory. Such an investigation deserves attention during the ongoing pandemic due to the importance of Turkey in the international tourism industry. To better understand and analyze the dynamics of tourism, we examine a long period of time spanning from January 1977 to March 2021 using a fractional integration approach. The findings provide clear-cut evidence that the shocks to the tourism sector display very low degrees of persistence in the pre-pandemic period whereas degrees of persistence in the post-pandemic period are very high. We also identify the changes in the persistence of tourism month by month. Overall, the impacts of COVID-19 on Turkey’s tourism will not be transitory. Therefore, the government should be actively involved in the recovery process of the tourism sector if Turkey wants to reach the number of tourist arrivals it once used to host. Also, the methodology employed in this study could be used as a benchmark to explore the impacts of the ongoing pandemic on other sectors (JEL: C22: I15: L83: Z32). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3074-3087 Issue: 27 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2047602 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2047602 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:27:p:3074-3087 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marco Rogna Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Rogna Author-Name: Bich Diep Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Bich Diep Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Firearms law and fatal police shootings: a panel data analysis Abstract: Among industrialized countries, the U.S. holds two somewhat inglorious records: the highest rate of fatal police shootings and the highest rate of deaths related to firearms. The latter has been associated with firearms prevalence mostly due to permissive legislation in several member states. The present paper investigates the relation between firearms legislation and the number of fatal police shooting episodes using a seven–year U.S state–level panel dataset. Our results confirm the negative impact of stricter firearms regulations on deadly use of force by police officers found in previous cross–sectional studies. However, in contrast with previous findings, we show that such impact is not mediated by gun availability. We also show that regulations pertaining to gun owner accountability are most effective in reducing fatal police shooting incidence. These results suggest that, from a public health perspective, what matters most is who owns guns rather than how many guns are owned. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3121-3137 Issue: 27 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2003290 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2003290 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:27:p:3121-3137 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Wei Kuang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Kuang Title: Is hedge fund a hedge for equity markets? Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic has severely impacted financial markets, triggering a flight from risky to safe-haven assets. This paper analyzes the safe-haven properties of hedge funds. Specifically, we examine the relative change in equity portfolio risk with a proportional allocation to hedge fund. Our analysis indicates that adding a composite hedge fund index to an equity portfolio results in a risk reduction relative to holding equities alone. The result is shown to hold across a range of allocation weightings and periods. The hedging effectiveness, however, varies across hedge funds strategies, downside risk measures, and allocation weightings. The arbitrage and event-type strategies are prone to tail risks and the undesired third and fourth moment of returns attributes reduce the effectiveness of tail risk reduction. This suggests that hedge funds can be used to provide shelter from turbulence in traditional markets, but appropriate strategies need to be selected to achieve effective hedging. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3154-3179 Issue: 27 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2003748 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2003748 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:27:p:3154-3179 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: François-Charles Wolff Author-X-Name-First: François-Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Wolff Author-Name: Frédéric Salladarré Author-X-Name-First: Frédéric Author-X-Name-Last: Salladarré Title: A first-sale price index of seafood products: evidence from France 1994-2020 Abstract: Studies on price trends of seafood products in the medium run remain scarce. In this paper, we investigate changes in first-sale prices of fish sold in France over the last 25 years. Drawing on the index number literature, we construct monthly chained fish price indices which are free from seasonal fluctuations. Our empirical analysis relies on a dataset including 126 million transactions completed in all French fish markets from 1994 to 2020. We show that first-sale prices of seafood products have substantially increased in the medium run, more than the inflation rate, except during the economic crisis from 2007 to 2009 and recently in 2020 due to the Covid pandemic. However, those higher prices have not always led to an increase in sales revenue of fishermen because of the continuous decrease in fish catches. In particular, the economic situation of fisheries has substantially worsen since 2017. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3103-3120 Issue: 27 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2003289 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2003289 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:27:p:3103-3120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lingli Xu Author-X-Name-First: Lingli Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Liang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Christian Nygaard Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Nygaard Title: Locational decisions and subjective well-being: an empirical study of Chinese urban migrants Abstract: Motivated by the popularity of ‘Run away from Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou’ saying in China this paper tests the determinants of subjective well-being (SWB) of long-term migrants and the extent to which migrants make optimal locational decisions in terms of SWB. China’s cities are divided into 4 core first-tier cities, 15 new first-tier cities, and non-first-tier cities (94 in the sample) reflecting different levels of economic opportunity and amenities. Migrants can only be observed in their present location. Hence, we use a semi-parametric marginal treatment effect method to compare actual and counterfactual SWB outcomes. Results shows that migrants’ SWB is greater in non-first-tier cities than first-tier cities; the determinants of SWB differ for male and female migrants; and, female migrants with urban hukou are typically better off in the four core first-tier cities as well as other first-tier cities. Overall, there is thus a marked gender differences in migrants’ optimal locational choice. From a productivity and social cohesion perspective, these results make it imperative that public policy in China addresses the gender and spatial sorting imbalances that arises from differences in SWB determinants and optimal location as ever more educated young people join the labour force. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3180-3195 Issue: 27 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2005237 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2005237 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:27:p:3180-3195 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jeremy K. Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy K. Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Adam Karg Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Karg Author-Name: Abbas Valadkhani Author-X-Name-First: Abbas Author-X-Name-Last: Valadkhani Author-Name: Heath McDonald Author-X-Name-First: Heath Author-X-Name-Last: McDonald Title: Predicting individual event attendance with machine learning: a ‘step-forward’ approach Abstract: Accurately predicting attendance at live events has important operational and financial implications for the arts, entertainment and sport industries. Advances in machine learning offer the potential to improve these processes. Using 10 rounds of attendance data from 5,946 season ticket holders of one professional football team (i.e. 59,460 decisions), we assess the ability of four machine learning approaches to predict attendance. Our results indicate that two machine learning algorithms, XGBoost and Support Vector Machine (SVM), outperform the most commonly employed methodology for modelling individual sport attendance (i.e. logistic regression), in terms of accuracy, recall, F-score and area under the curve (AUC). Random forest and boosted aggregation (bagging) approaches are also compared. Our results suggest that adopting machine learning methodologies, and in particular, XGBoost and SVM, offers providers of live events an improved ability to understand and predict individual attendance, and insight into which consumers are most receptive to changing attendance decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3138-3153 Issue: 27 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2003747 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2003747 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:27:p:3138-3153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dong Lu Author-X-Name-First: Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Tian Xia Author-X-Name-First: Tian Author-X-Name-Last: Xia Author-Name: Hang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Hang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Foreign exchange intervention and monetary policy rules under a managed floating regime: evidence from China Abstract: This paper investigates the consequences of foreign exchange (FX) intervention in monetary policy under a managed floating regime. Focusing on China’s FX intervention, we identify periods of strong and weak FX intervention using a Markov regime switching approach. We then evaluate quantity-based monetary policy rules using both regime switching reduced-form and structural estimations. In particular, monetary policy regimes obtained from the structural estimation match well with the previously identified intervention regimes. We find that the People’s Bank of China has significant exchange rate stabilization incentives during periods of strong FX intervention, and that the monetary policy rule depends on the state of FX intervention. Furthermore, our estimations point to a trade-off between the central bank’s internal and external policy targets in that strong FX intervention leads to weak responses to domestic GDP and inflation fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3226-3245 Issue: 28 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2005767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2005767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:28:p:3226-3245 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Régis Y. Chenavaz Author-X-Name-First: Régis Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Chenavaz Author-Name: Isabelle Pignatel Author-X-Name-First: Isabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Pignatel Title: Utility foundation of a Cobb-Douglas demand function with two attributes Abstract: It is known how to derive, from a utility maximization programme, a Cobb-Douglas demand function depending on the sole product price. This article shows how to derive a Cobb-Douglas demand function, which depends on both the product price and quality. More broadly, it offers a normative foundation, with a quasi-linear utility function, to the use of a Cobb-Douglas demand function of two attributes. It also provides simple measures of consumer surplus and social welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3206-3211 Issue: 28 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2005238 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2005238 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:28:p:3206-3211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Leqi Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Leqi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Charles Harvie Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Harvie Author-Name: Amir Arjomandi Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Arjomandi Author-Name: Sandy Suardi Author-X-Name-First: Sandy Author-X-Name-Last: Suardi Title: Entrepreneurs and China’s private sector SMEs’ performance Abstract: The Chinese government adopted the ‘Mass Entrepreneurship and Innovation’ (MEI) strategy in 2015 to increase the number of entrepreneurs, the number of private small-medium enterprises (SMEs) and firm innovation. Using China’s firm-level data, we find that different entrepreneurial factors such as startup motivation, personal characteristics (age, gender), human capital (education, experience) and guanxi (political and business connections) impact the technical efficiency scores of SMEs in Eastern and non-Eastern regions differently. Our results also show that regional economic development and entrepreneurial quality disparities in China’s economy warrant entrepreneurial policies tailored to address these differences if they are to be effective in improving the technical efficiency performance of firms. Based on our findings, one may argue that the MEI strategy will not be adequate by simply focusing upon increasing the number of entrepreneurs without considering regional differences in development and entrepreneur characteristics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3279-3295 Issue: 28 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2006135 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2006135 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:28:p:3279-3295 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Touhami Abdelkhalek Author-X-Name-First: Touhami Author-X-Name-Last: Abdelkhalek Author-Name: Dorothée Boccanfuso Author-X-Name-First: Dorothée Author-X-Name-Last: Boccanfuso Title: Human Capital Index (HCI) – from uncertainty to robustness of comparisons Abstract: In order to monitor progress in human development within and between countries and over time, several simple and composite indices have been developed and are regularly used, particularly in public policy decision-making. In 2019, the World Bank adopted an index developed by Kraay (2018), the Human Capital Index (HCI).It combines demographic, education, and health dimensions on a complementary statistical and econometric basis. It is used by the World Bank in the area of human development for monitoring and comparison purposes, in time and space. Beyond the debate about the construction of the index itself in terms of weighting and aggregation, the $$HCI$$HCI is subject to statistical and econometric uncertainties that are not adequately captured by comparisons and are therefore, not robust.In this article, we propose a systematic approach taking into account these simultaneous uncertainties using a projection method. We present its practical implementation to construct confidence intervals to the $$HCI$$HCI that reflect these uncertainties. It appears that if confidence intervals overlap for two countries or for the same country over time, then comparisons would be inconclusive regardless of the point estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3246-3260 Issue: 28 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2005768 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2005768 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:28:p:3246-3260 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Désiré Avom Author-X-Name-First: Désiré Author-X-Name-Last: Avom Author-Name: Chrysost Bangake Author-X-Name-First: Chrysost Author-X-Name-Last: Bangake Author-Name: Hermann Ndoya Author-X-Name-First: Hermann Author-X-Name-Last: Ndoya Title: Does bank concentration stem from financial inclusion in Africa? Abstract: This paper provides original econometric evidence on whether banking concentration stems from financial inclusion in African countries. In applying a system generalized methods of moments (SGMM) and the panel threshold regression method to a sample of 30 African countries for 2004–2017, we find two main results. First, bank concentration negatively and significantly affects financial inclusion in Africa. Second, as far as the nonlinear relationship is concerned, we find two extreme regimes with a smooth shift characterizing the bank concentration–financial inclusion nexus, with respect to conditional variables; bank concentration effects are negative and significant under the first regime and positive and significant under the second. Furthermore, our findings show that the nonlinear relationship between bank concentration and financial inclusion depends on the levels of financial freedom, mobile phones penetration, protection of property rights, control of corruption and regulatory quality. The results are robust to alternative measures of banking market structure, such as Lerner index and Boone indicator and to the panel smooth transition regression (PSTR). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3261-3278 Issue: 28 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2006134 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2006134 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:28:p:3261-3278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xinxiang Shi Author-X-Name-First: Xinxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Mingming Zhuang Author-X-Name-First: Mingming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhuang Author-Name: Cheng King Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: King Title: Getting implicit incentives right in SOEs: research on executive perks in China’s anticorruption movement Abstract: The anticorruption movement since 2012 has a deep impact on Chinese social governance and economic development. This paper examines the effect of anticorruption rules on the performance of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and suggests that perquisite consumption of SOEs has an implicit incentive for the executives. Although anticorruption rules restrict the excess perks of SOEs and reduce financial performance, it unexpectedly boosts SOEs’ capital market value. A few mechanisms may be at work: (i) the diminishing marginal utility of executive perquisite consumption of SOEs; (ii) a refined macroeconomic environment leads to better performance in company value; and (iii) the decreased financing costs has a positive effect on the company value of SOEs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3212-3225 Issue: 28 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2005239 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2005239 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:28:p:3212-3225 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hyoungjong Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyoungjong Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: A finite sample correction for the panel Durbin–Watson test Abstract: This study shows that the panel Durbin–Watson $$d$$d test is incapable of distinguishing temporal heteroskedasticity and serial correlation with short time series. The study proposes a new finite sample correction for solving this weakness of the panel Durbin–Watson test. Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate that the corrected statistic performs better in terms of size and power than the extant panel $$d$$d tests. It leads to more accurate inferences in empirical studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3197-3205 Issue: 28 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1869172 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1869172 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:28:p:3197-3205 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chris Belmert Milindi Author-X-Name-First: Chris Belmert Author-X-Name-Last: Milindi Author-Name: Roula Inglesi-Lotz Author-X-Name-First: Roula Author-X-Name-Last: Inglesi-Lotz Title: The role of green technology on carbon emissions: does it differ across countries’ income levels? Abstract: This study examines the impact of green technology on CO2 emissions in a sample of 45 countries for 1989–2018. Renewable energy consumption and environmental-related patents are used as indicators of green technology. We consider the production of renewable energy and the development of climate-related innovation as ‘two sides of the same coin’. One needs to be complemented by the other for countries to be successful in the fight against climate change. After applying the fixed-effect method with Driscoll and Kraay standard errors, results reveal that renewable energy consumption significantly reduces CO2 emissions in the full sample and all three subsamples (High-income, Upper-middle-income, and Lower-middle income countries). However, environmental-related patents significantly lower CO2 emissions only in very high-income countries. This paper also analyses how CO2 emissions influence the development of green technology and carbon-intensive technology. A negative association is found between renewable energy and CO2 emissions in the high-income and upper-middle-income groups. Environmental-related patents respond positively to carbon emissions only in high-income countries. The results allow us to draw important conclusions for energy policies. Among the necessary measures to be adopted, developing countries should not neglect the promotion of green innovation, which is a critical condition for carbon neutrality achievement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3309-3339 Issue: 29 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1998331 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1998331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:29:p:3309-3339 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Roland Cheo Author-X-Name-First: Roland Author-X-Name-Last: Cheo Author-Name: Tingting Han Author-X-Name-First: Tingting Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Kainan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Kainan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Jingping Li Author-X-Name-First: Jingping Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Prosocial village leaders and the resettlement outcomes of land-lost farmers: evidence from Qingdao, China Abstract: This paper examines whether the prosociality of village leaders who were involved in the original implementation of a resettlement decision impact the well-being of households from seven villages four years after the displacement. In particular, we report the significant statistical correlation between the level of group cooperation of village officials as elicited from a public good game in seven rural villages and the reported levels of life satisfaction four years after the resettlement. The data comes from two sources: (i) a laboratory experiment with village officials at the time of resettlement, and (ii) follow-up telephone interviews with resettled villagers. We find that these prosocial attitudes of leaders complement other sustainable livelihood measures in promoting the well-being of resettled villagers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3353-3372 Issue: 29 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2008298 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2008298 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:29:p:3353-3372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juan Aparicio Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Aparicio Author-Name: Jose M. Cordero Author-X-Name-First: Jose M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cordero Author-Name: Lidia Ortiz Author-X-Name-First: Lidia Author-X-Name-Last: Ortiz Title: Plausible values and their use in efficiency analyses with educational data Abstract: There is extensive literature focused on the evaluation of efficiency in the education sector, both at the micro level, analyzing the performance of students or schools, and at the macro level, exploring the behavior of regions or countries. This type of studieshas been driven by exploiting data available in international large-scale assessments, where output measures are usually represented by the so-called plausible values, understood as a representation of the range of the abilities of each student. In this study, we analyze the different options available to incorporate these plausible values in applied studies focused on measuring efficiency and how the results obtained can be affected according to the selected criterion. To do this, we assess the efficiency of Spanish schools participating in PISA using the two most common methodologies in this field: data envelopment analysis and stochastic frontier analysis and considering three different proxies for the educational output: (i) a single plausible value; (ii) an aggregate measure calculated from the ten plausible values available; (iii) an average of the estimates made with the ten plausible values separately. The main conclusion derived from our results is that there are hardly any differences between in the estimates made with different strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3340-3352 Issue: 29 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2006136 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2006136 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:29:p:3340-3352 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dănuţ-Vasile Jemna Author-X-Name-First: Dănuţ-Vasile Author-X-Name-Last: Jemna Author-Name: Mihaela David Author-X-Name-First: Mihaela Author-X-Name-Last: David Title: FERTILITY DECLINE AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES AFTER 1990 Abstract: How do changes in socio-economic uncertainty affect fertility? For the Central and Eastern European11In this group of countries, there are usually included: Albania, Belarus, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Georgia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, FYR Macedonia, the Republic of Moldova, Montenegro, Poland, Romania, the Russian Federation, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Ukraine. In our study, we limit the group to the EU members, namely to 11 countries. (CEE) countries, the literature considers economic uncertainty as a determinant factor, among others, for explaining the fertility decline after the fall of the communist regime. In this paper we evaluate the theoretical framework proposed in literature and empirically analyse the relationship between socio-economic uncertainty and fertility in the CEE countries, by using several measures of uncertainty and controlling for social and demographic variables. Employing the panel methodology for national data between 1990 and 2018, we analyse the cross-country and time variation impact of female employment, unemployment, and output growth volatility upon fertility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3296-3308 Issue: 29 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1991564 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1991564 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:29:p:3296-3308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Anh-Tu Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Anh-Tu Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Sajid Anwar Author-X-Name-First: Sajid Author-X-Name-Last: Anwar Author-Name: W. Robert J. Alexander Author-X-Name-First: W. Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Alexander Author-Name: Shih-Hao Lu Author-X-Name-First: Shih-Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Title: Openness to trade, foreign direct investment, and economic growth in Vietnam Abstract: Using data over the period 1986 to 2020 and employing the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag bounds testing technique, we examine the linkages amongst economic growth, foreign direct investment (FDI), exports, and imports in Vietnam. The ARDL technique is particularly well-suited in the presence of a mixture of stationary and non-stationary variables. We find a long-run relationship indicating that FDI strongly promotes economic growth, but exports and imports do not have a statistically significant impact on growth. The robustness of these results is confirmed by a range of diagnostic tests and alternative methods of estimation. Additionally, the vector error correction model reveals that, in the short-run, both imports and exports have bidirectional Granger causality with FDI, while FDI has bidirectional Granger causality with economic growth in the long-run. Our findings suggest some policies to develop FDI to bolster economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3373-3391 Issue: 29 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2009112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2009112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:29:p:3373-3391 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shuai Chu Author-X-Name-First: Shuai Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Masanori Kuroki Author-X-Name-First: Masanori Author-X-Name-Last: Kuroki Author-Name: Xiangbo Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xiangbo Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Do research universities boost regional economic development? -A case study of University of Science and Technology of China Abstract: This study examines the interactions between the presence of research universities and regional economic development, drawing on the event of the forced relocation of the University of Science and Technology of China. We analyze the development in the treated regions compared with a set of control regions that are created using the synthetic control method and find that research universities may slow regional economic development. We then perform a series of robustness checks, and the main results carry through. By using more exogenous shocks and a more rational identification strategy, our study provides new evidence that research universities do not necessarily boost regional economic development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3392-3411 Issue: 29 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2009114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2009114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:29:p:3392-3411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qing Xu Author-X-Name-First: Qing Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Wanglin Ma Author-X-Name-First: Wanglin Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Fang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Qing Yang Author-X-Name-First: Qing Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Jin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Social pensions and risky financial asset holding in China Abstract: This study explores the impact of social pensions on risky household financial asset holding, taking the Urban and Rural Residents Pension Scheme (URRPS) in China as an example. We combine regression discontinuity with the difference-in-difference approach to analyze the 2015 and 2017 China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) data. The results show that the URRPS has significantly increased the likelihood of holding risky financial assets among Chinese households. Furthermore, the effect is larger for urban households than for rural households. Apart from social pensions, marital and health status, education, risk attitude, household size, asset value, and urban residence also affect the households’ risky financial asset holdings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3412-3425 Issue: 29 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2009758 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2009758 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:29:p:3412-3425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yue Ming Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yue Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Qin Lv Author-X-Name-First: Qin Author-X-Name-Last: Lv Author-Name: Ying Dong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ying Dong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Economic development, technological progress, and provincial carbon emissions intensity: empirical research based on the threshold panel model Abstract: To analyze the non-linear impact of technological progress on carbon emission intensity under different economic development levels, based on the adjusted STIRPAT model and threshold panel model, this study uses the IPCC inventory method and the DEA-Malmquist method to measure the carbon emissions intensity and technological progress index of 30 provinces in China from 2001 to 2016 to empirically examine the impact of technological progress on carbon emissions intensity. The results reveal that technological progress will increase carbon emissions intensity; technological progress with economic development level as the threshold variable has a single threshold effect on carbon emissions intensity, and the threshold value is 10.5656. Correspondingly, when the per capita GD is lower than 38,777.68 yuan, technological progress will increase the intensity of carbon emissions; when it is higher than 38,777.68 yuan, there will be a reduction effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3495-3504 Issue: 30 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2009760 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2009760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:30:p:3495-3504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yingying Yi Author-X-Name-First: Yingying Author-X-Name-Last: Yi Author-Name: Xiaoxiao Yu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoxiao Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Xiaotong Sun Author-X-Name-First: Xiaotong Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Will the liberalization of intermediate trade restrain corporate pollution emissions?—Empirical evidence from Chinese micro-enterprises Abstract: Based on the integrated data of the industrial pollution database, the customs database and the Chinese industrial enterprise database from 2000 to 2012, the system GMM Model is used to estimate the relationship between the liberalization of intermediate goods trade and corporate pollution emissions. Also, it is used to explore whether environmental regulations can achieve the reduction of intermediate goods trade effect. The results show that by dividing intermediate trade liberalization into importation and exportation, it aggravates the pollution emission of enterprises, while environmental regulations alleviate it. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the importation of intermediate products aggravates enterprise pollution in processing trade mode and reduces pollution in general trade mode. While exportation of intermediate products aggravates pollution in both of these two trade modes and only processing one is statistically significant. Geographically, both importing and exporting of intermediate goods aggravate enterprise emissions in the East and Midwest. More specifically, importation plays a bigger role in the Midwestern areas as exportation does in the eastern place. Furthermore, we discover that different industries differ greatly by dividing them into 11 categories. Therefore, it is necessary to optimize the trade structure of intermediate goods while considering the different development stages of different regions at the same time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3521-3536 Issue: 30 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2010644 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2010644 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:30:p:3521-3536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marcella Cartledge Author-X-Name-First: Marcella Author-X-Name-Last: Cartledge Author-Name: Luke Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Luke Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Title: Incentive pay and decision quality: evidence from NCAA football coaches Abstract: Using play-by-play American football data and panel data on head coach remuneration, we test whether a head coach’s incentive pay affects the quality of their decisions. We proceed by first estimating an ‘optimal strategy’ for first-down offensive plays, then investigate whether the gap between actual and optimal choices is affected by incentive pay. In contrast to merely looking at the outcome of an agent’s choice, our approach considers the decision environment and the resources available. We find a small, but significant, negative effect of incentive pay on decision quality. Critically, this effect is not found when looking at raw outcome measures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3505-3520 Issue: 30 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2010643 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2010643 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:30:p:3505-3520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Shoude Li Author-X-Name-First: Shoude Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Dong D. Li Author-X-Name-First: Dong D. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Quality improvement and process innovation of a firm facing reference price effects in a dynamic monopoly Abstract: In this article, we investigate a monopolist’s efforts for product innovation (or quality improvement) and process innovation (or reducing marginal production cost) with reference price effects in a dynamic setting. The significant features of our work are: (i) a monopolist deals with customer behavior according to economic principles and determines the price of the product, besides, the monopolist carries out the activities of product and process innovation; (ii) the consumers’ demand structure depends on product price, product quality and reference price, and takes a separable multiplicative way between the state variables (product quality and reference price) and the control variables (product price). Our main results suggest that (i) there exists unique saddle-point steady-state equilibrium under monopoly and social planning; (ii) as the memory parameter increases, it is very likely that the monopolist’s steady-state effort for process innovation is greater than that for product innovation; (iii) the efforts for product and process innovation under social planning are greater than that under monopoly; (iv) although the price is still determined by the monopolist under the social planning, the price under the social planning is higher than that under monopoly and (v) there is a negative price-quality relationship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3537-3556 Issue: 30 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2011105 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2011105 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:30:p:3537-3556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ziruo Li Author-X-Name-First: Ziruo Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jionghao Huang Author-X-Name-First: Jionghao Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Xiaohua Xia Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohua Author-X-Name-Last: Xia Title: ‘Border’ effects of unobserved ‘borders’ in China’s internal trade Abstract: Based on the input-output model, this article constructs a database of inter-provincial trade flows covering 26 industries and 28 provinces of China from 1992 to 2017. By heuristic search algorithm and iterative regression method, this article identifies the location of unobserved ‘borders’ in China’s internal trade. Existing in the Northeast, Northwest, and Southwest of China, the ‘borders’ reduce inter-regional trade by 36.11–39.10%, 47.85–52.43%, and 40.07–47.06% from 1992 to 2017, respectively. The results are robust against employing alternative methodology, industry-level trade flows as well as alternative measurement of transportation costs. Social networks, difference in industrial structure and their geographic structures might adjust slowly with the development of the economic and even affect the ‘border’ effects. The ‘border’ effects are neither administrative barriers nor statistical artefacts, but arise more from spatial heterogeneity related to fundamentals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3439-3481 Issue: 30 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1994519 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1994519 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:30:p:3439-3481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Alberto Barroso del Toro Author-X-Name-First: Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Barroso del Toro Author-Name: Xavier Tort-Martorell Author-X-Name-First: Xavier Author-X-Name-Last: Tort-Martorell Author-Name: Miguel Angel Canela Author-X-Name-First: Miguel Angel Author-X-Name-Last: Canela Title: How shareholders react to sustainable narratives about leading European energy companies? An event study using sentiment data from the global database for events, language and tone (GDELT) Abstract: This study aims to investigate how the shareholders of leading European energy companies value sustainability narratives. It uses news from the Global Database of Events, Location, Language, and Tone (GDELT) and analyses the cumulative average abnormal returns (CAAR) and abnormal volatilities (AV), incorporating the event study methodology. A total of 279,546 big news items were used, and 4,026 event studies were conducted. The extensive analysis of data and the segmentation of the news by tone, type of energy generation and environmental consequences helps to understand shareholders’ investment decisions. This study found that the sustainability narrative significantly impacts shareholder value; however, this narrative’s interpretation has no consensus. The sustainability news about these companies moves the stock market upwards for some shareholders, while others do the contrary. These results are observed by comparing CAAR and AV. The results found by this article are crucial for regulators to push forward an effective ecological transition. It should be legislated so that there is a common shareholders’ narrative, discouraging highly polluting investments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3482-3494 Issue: 30 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2009759 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2009759 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:30:p:3482-3494 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Youngho Kang Author-X-Name-First: Youngho Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Unjung Whang Author-X-Name-First: Unjung Author-X-Name-Last: Whang Title: Exports and firm employment: the roles of R&D and exports to affiliates Abstract: Firm-level data from the Korean manufacturing sector is used to quantify the impact of both the extensive and intensive margins of exporting on employment, emphasizing the role of both firm-level R&D intensity and exports to foreign affiliates. The employment effects of exporting by employment contract status, i.e. regular or non-regular employees, are also separately examined. Here, findings show that a firm’s entry into export markets has a positive effect on its employment of regular workers; further, this positive effect is apparent in firms that belong to the group with the highest level of R&D intensity. With regard to the intensive margin, findings show that the negative impact on regular employment of firms’ export share in total sales stands out in the case of exports to non-affiliates. This negative impact, related to the intensive margin, is apparent in firms belonging to the group with the lowest R&D intensity, which is in line with the results for the extensive margin. The heterogeneous effects of exports depending on both firm-level R&D intensity and exports to foreign affiliates seem to be associated with the uncertainty that is due to the volatility of overseas sales. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3426-3438 Issue: 30 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1990204 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1990204 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:30:p:3426-3438 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Sangram Keshari Jena Author-X-Name-First: Sangram Keshari Author-X-Name-Last: Jena Author-Name: Nader Trabelsi Author-X-Name-First: Nader Author-X-Name-Last: Trabelsi Author-Name: Shawkat Hammoudeh Author-X-Name-First: Shawkat Author-X-Name-Last: Hammoudeh Title: Conditional transmission of global shocks to emerging stock markets: evidence from the quantile connectedness network analysis Abstract: The novel quantile connectedness network method is used to investigate the vulnerability of emerging stock markets to global shocks in the normal, bear and bull markets. The size of the system-wide shock for an emerging market is doubled, while its own shock is halved in the bear and bull markets relative to the normal market and vice versa. As the size of the systemic shock increases in the bear and bull markets, which leads to an increase in the bilateral shock for emerging markets. Although the dollar index emerged as a risk factor only in the normal market, oil is not a risk factor for the emerging market bloc, irrespective of the state of the market. However, the US stock market is a major risk factor for emerging markets in all kinds of market conditions, although the degree of the shock spillover is more pronounced in the normal market than in the bear and bull markets. The robustness of the vulnerability is verified in a time-varying framework. Policy implications are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3621-3634 Issue: 31 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2014396 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2014396 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:31:p:3621-3634 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Emmanuel Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Iraklis Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Iraklis Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: A technical efficiency analysis of intra-central bank settlement mechanism in Eurozone Abstract: This work employs the stochastic frontier method to explore the efficiency of the TARGET2 (T2) balances mechanism across the Eurozone countries. An index is introduced to support the estimation strategy and derives meaningful results from better capturing the mechanism’s efficiency. The analysis spans the period 2005–2017 and documents the significant role or inefficiencies influencing the role of T2 from unemployment and labor costs. The absence of T2 would have endangered the viability of the Eurozone to promote trade. There is enormous country heterogeneity on efficiency and inefficiency of the error terms in our model, which indicate persistent structural issues and temporary issues; to ensure its uninterrupted operation, the enhancement of the export orientation of the manufacturing base of countries with the least efficiency (high unemployment and labor costs) is essential. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3635-3653 Issue: 31 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2015061 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2015061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:31:p:3635-3653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yunsheng Mi Author-X-Name-First: Yunsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Mi Author-Name: Xiaozhi Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xiaozhi Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Qinying He Author-X-Name-First: Qinying Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Evaluating the effect of China’s targeted poverty alleviation policy on credit default: a regression discontinuity approach Abstract: Although the literature has found that targeted poverty alleviation (TPA) policy has many positive effects, whether it has a negative impact on farmers’ credit has been under-analyzed. A regression discontinuity approach has been employed to estimate the TPA policy’s causal effects on credit default because the registered poor farmer was primarily determined by whether a farmer’s pre-policy income fell below a given poverty line. Using data from China Household Finance Survey in 2015 and 2017, we have found that China’s registered poor farmers have a higher probability of credit default. This is because registered poor farmers protected by TPA policy pursue higher risk economic activities, leading to a higher credit default. Further analysis has shown that credit default broadly occurs in married registered poor farmers. In contrast, it rarely occurs among those with high social capital. Our empirical results have suggested the Chinese government should improve the identification rules of registered poor farmers, such as subjective psychology, and strengthen the monitoring system of their participation in economic activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3654-3667 Issue: 31 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2016585 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2016585 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:31:p:3654-3667 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Julia E. Blasch Author-X-Name-First: Julia E. Author-X-Name-Last: Blasch Author-Name: Massimo Filippini Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Filippini Author-Name: Nilkanth Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Nilkanth Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Adan L. Martinez-Cruz Author-X-Name-First: Adan L. Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez-Cruz Title: Boosting the choice of energy-efficient home appliances: the effectiveness of two types of decision support Abstract: Consumers’ limitations in assessing the lifetime cost of household appliances may sustain the much-cited energy efficiency gap. We analyse the impact of an individual’s energy and investment literacy and two different types of decision support on the ability to identify the appliance with the lower lifetime cost in an online randomized controlled trial among two independently chosen samples of the Swiss population. In a decision task, participants choose between appliances with different lifetime cost. One treatment offers a short education programme on how to calculate the lifetime cost of an appliance – via a set of information slides. The second treatment provides access to an online lifetime-cost calculator tool. We find that pre-treatment energy and investment literacy are positively associated with the probability of identifying the appliance with the lowest lifetime cost. Evidence in this paper suggest that both decision aids boost identification of energy-efficient appliances. We discuss strategies to scale up these boosters. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3598-3620 Issue: 31 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2014395 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2014395 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:31:p:3598-3620 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Chenggang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chenggang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Huixia Wang Author-X-Name-First: Huixia Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The effects of education on health and mechanisms: evidence from China Abstract: Existing studies that explore the effects of education on health primarily focused on developed countries, and the extent to which education impacts health is still highly debated. This paper studies the causal effects of education on health in the largest developing country-China. We use 1977 Resuming College Entrance Exam Policy as an IV and find that education has little impact on health in general, while our findings suggest that people with higher education are more likely to be diagnosed with hypertension. We also test some possible mechanisms through which education might affect health, including smoking, drinking, exercise, and cognition. Majorities of these estimations provide no evidence that education would impact health behaviors or cognitive abilities. However, we find that higher-educated men are more likely to drink more and exercise less. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3582-3597 Issue: 31 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2014394 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2014394 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:31:p:3582-3597 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Matias Braun Author-X-Name-First: Matias Author-X-Name-Last: Braun Author-Name: Rodrigo A. Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo A. Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Are there pricing spillovers within ETFs? Evidence from emerging market corporate bonds Abstract: Financial theories suggest that the entry of a new security into an exchange-traded fund (ETF) could impact the price of the other constituents of that ETF. We test these various theories using data from Emerging Market corporate bonds between 2012 and 2017. We find that the inclusion of a new bond into the ETF lowers the relative price of constituent bonds that were ex-ante similar to the entrant. Additionally, we find that part of this effect tends to be transitory. These facts also hold with most alternative measures of bond similarity and proxies for returns. Moreover, the effect is stronger for less liquid bonds and when the short-run ability to absorb this entry shock is more limited. Overall, our findings suggest that part of the effect is consistent with price-pressure models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3567-3581 Issue: 31 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1855313 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1855313 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:31:p:3567-3581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cassandra Copeland Author-X-Name-First: Cassandra Author-X-Name-Last: Copeland Author-Name: Henry Thompson Author-X-Name-First: Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Thompson Title: Factor market competition including energy input in the US economy Abstract: This paper examines factor market competition in the US economy with quarterly 1973–2013 data for fixed capital assets, labour force, and energy Btu input. The translog production function is estimated directly to avoid the assumption of competitive pricing in factor share equations. Error correction estimates on yearly percentage changes for the difference stationary series are consistent with Hicks neutral technology. Capital is underpaid relative to marginal product. Energy is also underpaid and has an upward trending marginal product. In stark contrast, labour is overpaid relative to downward trending marginal product. Non-Competitive pricing due to binding quantity constraints characterize these factor markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3557-3566 Issue: 31 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1855311 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1855311 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:31:p:3557-3566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rospita Odorlina P. Situmorang Author-X-Name-First: Rospita Odorlina P. Author-X-Name-Last: Situmorang Author-Name: Ming Chin Tang Author-X-Name-First: Ming Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Shu Chun Chang Author-X-Name-First: Shu Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Purchase Intention on Sustainable products: A Case study on Free-Range Eggs in Taiwan Abstract: Increasing of awareness on healthy and friendly environmentally products such as free-range eggs has become a concern of consumers in over the world including for Taiwanese consumers. There are many motives of free-range egg purchase, but this study only discussed four aspects, i.e. health consciousness, food safety concern, animal welfare concern, and price. This study examined the importance of those aspects and examined the relationship with purchase intention. The study was conducted on 228 Taiwanese respondents through an online survey held on November 2020 and February 2021. This study found that health consciousness was the main factor for Taiwanese consumers to choose free-range eggs followed by food safety concern, price and animal welfare concern. Health consciousness, food safety concern and the concern to animal welfare positively influenced the purchase intention, while price did not significantly influence the purchase intention. Females, the higher income level, and the respondents that cook more frequently have higher intention to buy free-range eggs, while the differences in age, educational levels, and number of family members do not influence the purchase intention. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3751-3761 Issue: 32 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2001423 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2001423 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:32:p:3751-3761 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Carina Goldbach Author-X-Name-First: Carina Author-X-Name-Last: Goldbach Author-Name: Jörn Sickmann Author-X-Name-First: Jörn Author-X-Name-Last: Sickmann Author-Name: Thomas Pitz Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Pitz Title: Sequential decision bias – evidence from grading exams Abstract: Human perception is very comparative. A misperception of random sequential processes, however, can influence the outcome of important decisions in many areas of daily life, including the evaluation of exams in higher education. We investigate this effect by using an extensive dataset of more than 20,000 examination results that is analysed on whether a student’s performance in an exam has an impact on the evaluation of the one following, e.g. whether a poor performance lets the following shine in a better light, resulting in a better-than-expected grade. We conclude that there is evidence for sequential decision biases that do not necessarily occur generally, but rather after streaks of extreme events. An even greater effect size is detected when limiting the sample to exams with a low variance in grades and to exams that were evaluated later in the exam correction sequence. Therefore, there is evidence that under certain conditions, past evaluations may impact on current evaluations of student performances. This study should raise awareness of biases in grading against the background of their importance in the assessment of students’ educational performances, the admission to consecutive study programmes and as a key metric in the evaluation of job candidates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3727-3739 Issue: 32 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1976390 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1976390 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:32:p:3727-3739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aichun Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Aichun Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Chuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Yibin Ao Author-X-Name-First: Yibin Author-X-Name-Last: Ao Author-Name: Wenmei Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Wenmei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Measuring the Inclusive growth of rural areas in China Abstract: The stagnation of the development, poverty, and environmental deterioration are the three major problems of the world. China’s poverty problem is centred on rural areas. Inclusive growth was first proposed by the Asian Development Bank in 2007. Many scholars investigated the connotation and measurement of such growth. However, the attention devoted to the inclusive growth of rural areas in China is still lacking. The objective of this study is to construct an indicator system that measures the inclusive growth of these areas from 2004 to 2017 in four aspects, namely, economic growth, social equity, environmental sustainability, and infrastructure. The entropy weight and TOPSIS methods are used to evaluate the inclusive growth of rural areas in China. Results show that the inclusive growth index in rural China is steadily rising, and infrastructure has a significant effect on inclusive growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3695-3708 Issue: 32 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1923640 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1923640 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:32:p:3695-3708 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aidong Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Aidong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Jinsheng Huang Author-X-Name-First: Jinsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Huub Ploegmakers Author-X-Name-First: Huub Author-X-Name-Last: Ploegmakers Author-Name: Erwin van der Krabben Author-X-Name-First: Erwin Author-X-Name-Last: van der Krabben Author-Name: Xianlei Ma Author-X-Name-First: Xianlei Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: The impact of land price regulation on land-use intensity: evidence from Chinese minimum land price regulation policy Abstract: The minimum land price (MLP) regulation that China introduced in 2007 provides a quasi-experiment to investigate how government intervention in the land market influences the intensity with which industrial land is used, which has received limited attention in existing literature. Using a difference-in-difference strategy, our estimates show that an exogenous increase in the price of industrial land induced by the MLP regulation’s introduction significantly increased industrial land-use intensity by putting more capital on same amount of land. The findings from this paper therefore suggest that MLP regulation as an incentive-based policy instrument is effective for promoting land-use intensity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3668-3677 Issue: 32 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1971620 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1971620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:32:p:3668-3677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marialisa Mazzocchitti Author-X-Name-First: Marialisa Author-X-Name-Last: Mazzocchitti Author-Name: Chrisovalantis Malesios Author-X-Name-First: Chrisovalantis Author-X-Name-Last: Malesios Author-Name: Alessandro Sarra Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Sarra Title: Spatio-temporal modelling of municipal waste management systems’ meta-efficiency scores Abstract: This paper describes an approach to measure the intensity and the territorial dispersion of spatial proximity effects, which affect efficiency scores obtained through data envelopment analysis in the field of municipal waste management systems (MWMSs). In particular, we show that these analyses cannot be conducted by relying on efficiency scores that are not comparable over time and treated as cross-sectional data, as is done in most previous studies. Instead, the use of panel data is a key element to obtain reliable results. We used a meta-frontier approach to obtain meta-efficiency scores comparable over time and a modified conditional autoregressive (CAR) model to provide an estimation of the intensity of spatial proximity effects. This approach was applied to data on 277 MWMSs located in the Italian region of Abruzzo. Our method provides useful information for policymakers. In particular, the areas in which stagnating and suboptimal performance can be expected over time can be identified by plotting over the regional territory the posterior medians of the random effects obtained by the spatial component of the CAR model together with the highly efficient municipalities. To improve efficiency, these areas require an active intervention by levels of government higher than the municipal level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3709-3726 Issue: 32 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1939855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1939855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:32:p:3709-3726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Tianyi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Tianyi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Sicong Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Sicong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Fangsheng Yin Author-X-Name-First: Fangsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Author-Name: Mei Yu Author-X-Name-First: Mei Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Directly pricing VIX futures: the role of dynamic volatility and jump intensity Abstract: We extend the direct pricing framework and propose a new generalized model for VIX futures by adding the time-varying component volatility as well as jump intensity to the logarithm of underlying VIX series. We also switch to the normal jump component on which the simpler and faster analytical filter can be applied. Compared with the nested benchmark models, these extensions are supported by significant pricing performance improvements both in- and out-of-sample. In particular, our generalized model can reduce the pricing errors substantially in the high VIX level period and for long maturity contracts. Our research highlights the importance of those newly added features of the VIX series when pricing VIX derivatives. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3678-3694 Issue: 32 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2016592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2016592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:32:p:3678-3694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Robert J. Brent Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: The benefits of not living in a nursing home Abstract: We identify and value four categories of benefits of not living in a nursing home (NH). The four categories relate to the two components of a Quality Adjusted Life Year (QALY), which is the outcome effect for this evaluation. For each QALY component, the quality of a life year foregone and the loss of a life, NHs have a direct effect and an indirect effect as NHs increase dementia symptoms. Estimates of the QALY components are obtained from two fixed effects regression equations applied to a large national data set with quality of life and dementia symptoms as dependent variables. Valuation of the QALY effects is based on the value of a statistical life year literature. Because every category of QALY effect produces negative benefits, a fifth category of foregone benefits is the savings from not incurring expenses for a NH. The total losses are large, equal to $1.93 trillion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3740-3750 Issue: 32 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1983141 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1983141 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:32:p:3740-3750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Feipeng Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Feipeng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yun Hong Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Yanhui Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yanhui Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Jiayi Yu Author-X-Name-First: Jiayi Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Impact of national media reporting concerning COVID-19 on stock market in China: empirical evidence from a quantile regression Abstract: Using daily data from 20 January 2020 to 31 July 2020, we investigate the impact of national media crisis communication on stock market returns in China by employing the quantile regression method. By using Xinwen Lianbo (新闻联播) as a proxy for national media, we introduce two variables that can capture Xinwen Lianbo’s COVID-19 attention and tone. The results show a significant positive/negative impact of the media’s COVID-19 focus on contemporaneous stock market returns at high/low quantiles of daily returns. The impact of media’s tone toward COVID-19’s impact on contemporaneous daily stock market returns is also negative at low quantiles of daily returns. Xinwen Lianbo’s impact is mainly concentrated in the more contemporaneous overnight return rather than the intraday return. More serious cases of COVID-19 will aggravate (weaken) the impact of the national media’s tone at the lower (higher) quantile of overnight return. Finally, we explain our results by referring to psychology and cognition theory, including mood priming theory, mood as information theory and mood effects on the processing style model. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3861-3881 Issue: 33 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2016591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2016591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:33:p:3861-3881 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Aakanksha Shrawan Author-X-Name-First: Aakanksha Author-X-Name-Last: Shrawan Author-Name: Amlendu Dubey Author-X-Name-First: Amlendu Author-X-Name-Last: Dubey Title: A reassessment of the relationship between services and economic growth in low-income and lower-middle income countries: a non-linear approach Abstract: We test whether the service sector can contribute to economic growth in low-income and lower-middle income countries despite the likely presence of Baumol’s ‘cost disease’. We employ the non-linear auto-regressive distributed lag method, which investigates whether growth responds differently to a positive and negative change in the service sector’s share. By employing a sample of 62 countries from 1970–2019, we find that an increase in the sector’s share reduces short-run growth implying cost disease. In the long run, however, the results show that an increase in the sector’s share positively contributes to economic growth. Thus, the results support policy reforms that may strengthen service sector in these countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3795-3810 Issue: 33 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1990847 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1990847 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:33:p:3795-3810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kei Sakata Author-X-Name-First: Kei Author-X-Name-Last: Sakata Author-Name: Colin McKenzie Author-X-Name-First: Colin Author-X-Name-Last: McKenzie Author-Name: Shinya Kajitani Author-X-Name-First: Shinya Author-X-Name-Last: Kajitani Title: Informal care and savings Abstract: Using panel data from the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey, this paper examines to what extent informal care provided by couples and single individuals affects their household savings. This paper is one of the first attempts to examine the relationship between informal care and savings. There are both negative and positive effects of informal care on wealth accumulation, but we do not know which of these effects dominate. We estimate quantile regression models and find that informal care provision has limited negative impacts on changes in household wealth formation. There was no effect of caring on wealth formation for the lower quantile and the negative effects are limited to the mid to high quantile groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3762-3776 Issue: 33 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1980489 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1980489 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:33:p:3762-3776 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang-Ming Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Manaf Sellak Author-X-Name-First: Manaf Author-X-Name-Last: Sellak Title: A theory of competing interventions by external powers in intrastate conflicts: implications for war and armed peace Abstract: This paper presents a game-theoretic model of competing interventions in civil conflict. We analyze the conflict between an incumbent government (as defender) and its rebel group (as attacker) when the two parties receive military support from different external powers. In contrast to the traditional analysis of non-competing or biased intervention by a single third party, we first show how competition in external powers can strategically alter the outcome of the two-party conflict and then identify the conditions under which the defender launches an effective strategy to deter the attacker. We find that (i) when the stakes that the competing external powers have in their respective supported parties are equivalent, the amounts of military support endogenously offered by the external interveners are comparable. The government’s deterrence strategy is ineffective, and the fighting persists despite the warring parties’ valuations for political dominance being asymmetric. (ii) when the external power that supports the government has a higher stake than the competing external power that supports the rebel group, the government’s arming allocation can deter the rebellion. (iii) These results have implications for multi-power interventions so that the equilibrium outcome can be ‘armed peace’ or a prolonged war as observed in civil conflicts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3811-3822 Issue: 33 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2016588 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2016588 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:33:p:3811-3822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abdoul‐Akim Wandaogo Author-X-Name-First: Abdoul‐Akim Author-X-Name-Last: Wandaogo Title: Does digitalization improve government effectiveness? Evidence from developing and developed countries Abstract: This study aims to analyze the effect of digitalization on government effectiveness in developing and developed countries. It uses a panel methodology with data from 138 countries between 2006 and 2016. The results suggest that a government’s use of information and communication technologies (ICT) improves its effectiveness in both developing and developed countries. However, this effect is stronger in developed than in developing countries. Moreover, we find that the effect of aggregate ICT use by individuals, businesses, and government on overall government effectiveness is greater than that of individual use by each individually. The results are robust after several tests (reverse causality, dynamic effect, sensitivity analysis, heterogeneities, and alternative measurements). These results highlight the fact that governments could fully benefit from digitalization by adopting policies that promote access to and use of ICT at all levels of the economy, that is, the government itself, businesses, and individuals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3840-3860 Issue: 33 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2016590 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2016590 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:33:p:3840-3860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Maimouna Gaye Author-X-Name-First: Maimouna Author-X-Name-Last: Gaye Title: Job satisfaction: towards internalizing the feeling of inequality between men and women Abstract: The more pronounced job satisfaction among women is generally observed despite their less favorable work situation compared to men. However, regression analysis alone in a sample of non-comparable men and women may be subject to model misspecification. Our work uses an innovative matching procedure, Coarsened Exact Matching (CEM), to address this issue and analyze the reasons for the differential in job satisfaction between men and women with the same characteristics. Data from the Sixth European Working Conditions Survey are considered including five measures of satisfaction with career development prospects taken as a new measure. The results show that women are more satisfied with job security, while they seem less satisfied with their career development prospects. A similar level of satisfaction is observed between men and women with regard to social relations, overall satisfaction and salary. Exceptionally, the youngest women, or those with higher education, or employed at a higher hierarchical level, or working in male-dominated sectors, expressed levels of satisfaction that were the opposite of the other women. This is likely due to the fact that these women align their job expectations with those of their male counterparts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3823-3839 Issue: 33 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2016589 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2016589 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:33:p:3823-3839 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cesare A.F. Riillo Author-X-Name-First: Cesare A.F. Author-X-Name-Last: Riillo Author-Name: Ivana Mijatovic Author-X-Name-First: Ivana Author-X-Name-Last: Mijatovic Author-Name: Henk J. de Vries Author-X-Name-First: Henk J. Author-X-Name-Last: de Vries Title: Certification to compensate gender prejudice – Analysis on impact of management system certification on export Abstract: Management system certification signals that the organization meets international standards, which provides a certain confidence in the company. This confidence is in particular needed for exporting companies in developing countries. Because the business world is dominated by men, female leadership might be another reason to have less confidence in a company. Women-led companies may therefore benefit more from certification. Therefore, this study empirically tests the impact of certification on export, and the moderating effect of female leadership. We use data from enterprise surveys conducted by the World Bank in 2013 that include 4111 firms from 25 Central and Eastern European countries in transition. We implement a recursive bivariate probit model and an extensive sensitivity analysis to account for endogeneity issues. Results confirm that certification and export are positively correlated. Firms managed by females benefit more from certification based on international standards than firms managed by men, especially in the service sector. This suggests that certification compensates for the possibly negative connotations of female leadership. Female managers may consider implementing a management system and get it certified, resulting in a competitive advantage in export markets. Our findings provide food for thought for purchase managers – are they free from prejudice? Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3777-3794 Issue: 33 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1990842 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1990842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:33:p:3777-3794 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Vikkram Singh Author-X-Name-First: Vikkram Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: Eduardo Dacillo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Dacillo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Title: China’s geopolitical risk and international financial markets: evidence from Canada Abstract: Given the high level of economic and financial globalization, geopolitical tensions can disrupt international trade and negatively influence financial markets. China, a global economic power, has been at the center stage of recent geopolitical tensions with widespread economic implications. We empirically investigate the effect of China’s geopolitical risk on Canada’s equity markets. The results show a persistent impact on market returns and volatility, most prominently on the resources and energy sectors. Even though China plays a smaller role than the US as a trading partner, China’s geopolitical risk significantly affects the Canadian stock market and its component sectors. Our results, therefore, support the need for a constructive approach toward alleviating global geopolitical tensions and for the development of geopolitical risk hedging strategies such as insurance and investment in commodities at the country and investor levels. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3953-3971 Issue: 34 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2019185 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2019185 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:34:p:3953-3971 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Juhee Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Juhee Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Title: Corporate social responsibility and non-GAAP reporting Abstract: This study examines the relationship between a firm’s corporate social responsibility (CSR) performance and non-GAAP earnings disclosure. I find that firms with good CSR performance (i.e. CSR firms) are more likely to disclose non-GAAP earnings than firms with poor CSR performance (i.e. non-CSR firms). More importantly, I find that CSR firms provide more informative non-GAAP earnings than non-CSR firms. Furthermore, CSR firms’ decisions to disclose non-GAAP earnings are less affected by the incentives to meet earnings benchmarks or constraints on other earnings management tools. These findings are consistent with the notion that CSR firms communicate with stakeholders about their sustainable earnings through non-GAAP reporting. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3883-3902 Issue: 34 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2017400 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2017400 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:34:p:3883-3902 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Felipe Vasquez-Lavin Author-X-Name-First: Felipe Author-X-Name-Last: Vasquez-Lavin Author-Name: Luna Bratti Author-X-Name-First: Luna Author-X-Name-Last: Bratti Author-Name: Sergio Orrego Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Orrego Author-Name: Manuel Barrientos Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Barrientos Title: Assessing the use of pseudo-panels to estimate the value of statistical life Abstract: In this paper, we estimate the Value of Statistical Life (VSL) for Chile, Colombia, and the United States using a hedonic wage model and a pseudo-panel approach. The VSL is a major component of the cost-benefit analysis of many policies, including public health, transportation safety, and environmental regulation. Using pseudo-panels, also known as synthetic cohort data, to estimate the VSL is relevant for low- and middle-income countries because many do not have panel data but do have repeated cross-sectional information. We conclude that the pseudo-panel approach is a suitable alternative for estimating the VSL when panel data is unavailable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3972-3988 Issue: 34 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2019186 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2019186 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:34:p:3972-3988 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ahmed Ayadi Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Ayadi Title: BREXIT: equity market contagion and transmission channels Abstract: This paper investigates the transmission of shocks during the period of the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union (BREXIT) across twenty-two equity markets. We use an augmented multifactor model to detect the transmission of contagion effects from the United States and Western Europe to Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa, commonly known as ‘the BRICS’ countries, during BREXIT, i.e. the exit of Great Britain from the European Union. Our model captures the unexpected returns and disentangles the simple correlations due to fundamentals and contagion. Our results show that crisis did not have the same effects on the BRICS countries in terms of contamination. More precisely, evidence of fundamental contagion is documented between stock markets. Moreover, Russia was the most contaminated market, and China was the least affected market. Furthermore, the findings prove that the stock market contagion between these countries was transmitted by some channels that have been omitted from the theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3933-3952 Issue: 34 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2018128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2018128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:34:p:3933-3952 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Takeshi Miyazaki Author-X-Name-First: Takeshi Author-X-Name-Last: Miyazaki Title: Does ethnic diversity affect public goods provision? Evidence from boundary reform of local governments Abstract: This study explores how ethnic fractionalization affects the provision of public goods using Japanese city data, and attempts to address potential endogeneity by using boundary reforms of local governments. The results show that an increase in ethnic fractionalization has a significantly negative effect on spending on productive public goods (roads and bridges) and positive effects on spending on nonproductive public goods (sanitation and trash collection). However, ethnic fractionalization is unrelated to the provision of other local public goods such as education and welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3903-3923 Issue: 34 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2017401 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2017401 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:34:p:3903-3923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Semei Coronado Author-X-Name-First: Semei Author-X-Name-Last: Coronado Author-Name: Jose N. Martinez Author-X-Name-First: Jose N. Author-X-Name-Last: Martinez Author-Name: Rafael Romero-Meza Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Author-X-Name-Last: Romero-Meza Title: Time-varying multivariate causality among infectious disease pandemic and emerging financial markets: the case of the Latin American stock and exchange markets Abstract: The purpose of this article is to study the unidirectional causality from the Infectious Disease Equity Market Volatility Tracker (EMV-ID), towards the volatility of five of the most important Latin American stock and Exchange markets. For this, volatility is captured through the DCC-GARCH t-Copula method. In addition, the time-varying Granger multivariate causality test (TV-GC) and the classical Granger causality test (GC) are applied. It is found that, with both methodologies, EMV-ID causes both series, which highlights the importance of having this new indicator for the analysis of the different agents involved in financial markets, among them, regulators, companies and traders in particular. Our results are consistent with the evidence of other research findings about the predictive power of the EMV-ID index on oil price volatility and some European equity markets, and the positive link between EMV-ID and the time-varying of return connectedness across gold, crude oil, world equities, currencies and bonds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3924-3932 Issue: 34 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2018127 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2018127 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:34:p:3924-3932 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Hao Gao Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Jing He Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Yong Li Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Media spotlight, corporate sustainability and the cost of debt Abstract: In this study, we examine the effect of media spotlight of corporate environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance on corporate debt financing. We use the most influential media firm’s rankings of corporate ESG performance from 2009 to 2017 as a proxy of media spotlight. Positive media ESG spotlight significantly reduces firms’ cost of debt through enhancing reputation in supply chains, reducing financial risk and increasing corporate transparency. Media ESG spotlight plays a more important role for firms with poor corporate governance and firms located in provinces with more serious pollution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3989-4005 Issue: 34 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2020710 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2020710 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:34:p:3989-4005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Marta Arespa Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Arespa Author-Name: Juan González-Alegre Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: González-Alegre Title: The determinants of inflation volatility: a panel data analysis for US-product categories Abstract: Some macroeconomic dimensions like the economic business cycle, the exchange rate movements when the degree of country openness is significant, or the level of inflation are often considered to explain measured-inflation dynamics. However, inflation volatility may also be affected by statistical agencies methodological changes. This paper explores both potential explanations in a panel data for 100 United States CPI-U subcategories. Using both unconditional and conditional variances, we find that crucial changes in how agencies consider quality adjustment in products, together with the macroeconomic variables help to understand CPI volatility over time, both in the short-run and in the long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4060-4083 Issue: 35 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2020714 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2020714 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:35:p:4060-4083 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ivo J. M. Arnold Author-X-Name-First: Ivo J. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Arnold Title: Monetary overhang in times of covid: evidence from the euro area Abstract: This paper investigates the determinants of the monetary overhang in the euro area since the outbreak of covid-19. To this end, we estimate a long-run panel money demand function for 18 euro area countries over the period from 2003 to 2019. We calculate the monetary overhang since 2020 as the difference between the actual money stock and the value implied by the money demand function. Making use of cross-sectional heterogeneity and time variation in government responses to covid-19, we relate the monetary overhang to covid-19 response indicators, as well as to confidence indicators. We find that the monetary overhang is significantly related to the level of economic support, the stringency of the containment policy and the economic sentiment indicator. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4030-4042 Issue: 35 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2020711 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2020711 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:35:p:4030-4042 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Difei Ouyang Author-X-Name-First: Difei Author-X-Name-Last: Ouyang Title: State-owned banks in credit stimulus: evidence from China Abstract: This paper studies the role of the four largest, traditional, state-owned banks (Big Four SOBs) during China’s nationwide credit stimulus years (2009—10). We find that cities with a larger share of branches owned by the Big Four SOBs experienced larger local lending growth in credit stimulus. While the industrial/tradable sector was hit hardest by the global financial crisis, Big Four SOBs only fostered the expansion of the tertiary sector, which further led to temporary GDP growth. Consistently, we find that listed companies in cities with greater Big Four branch density also received more loan funding and invested more, yet their profitability showed no improvement in both the short and long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4084-4100 Issue: 35 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2021135 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2021135 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:35:p:4084-4100 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lijia Mo Author-X-Name-First: Lijia Author-X-Name-Last: Mo Author-Name: James Yae Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Yae Title: Lending Club meets Zillow: local housing prices and default risk of peer-to-peer loans Abstract: We investigate the role of local housing prices in the default of peer-to-peer (P2P) loans. From the data of Lending Club and Zillow, we find that borrowers, who reside at a ZIP code where median home price is one standard deviation higher than the cross-sectional average, show a 0.75% lower default probability, given the loan interest rate into consideration. However, this effect of ZIP-code-level home price on the default probability is three times stronger for homeowner borrowers with mortgages: the marginal probability jumps from 0.75% to 2.13%. Higher home price improves a homeowner borrower’s credit and wealth, and such an effect is highly leveraged by a mortgage, ceteris paribus. This channel is an interaction between borrower-specific and local information, which is distinct from the well-known socio-economic channel. Our empirical results provide an important implication on the reputation or feedback mechanisms in P2P loan markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4101-4112 Issue: 35 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2022089 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2022089 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:35:p:4101-4112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ernest Boffy-Ramirez Author-X-Name-First: Ernest Author-X-Name-Last: Boffy-Ramirez Title: Push or Pull? Measuring the labor supply response to the minimum wage using an individual-level panel Abstract: For individuals in low-wage labour markets, an increase in the minimum wage can theoretically pull them into or push them out of the labour force. If increases raise expected wages beyond reservation wages, marginal individuals could enter the labour force and begin searching for employment. If increases lower expected wages, marginal individuals already in the labour force could exit. Leveraging revised individual identifiers in the U.S. Current Population Survey, this research estimates the contemporaneous effects of minimum wage increases on labour force participation. The use of within-person variation, short individual panels, and flexible controls for time create an empirical strategy that mitigates potential biases from unobserved constant individual-level heterogeneity and time-varying factors. This research finds that minimum wage changes tend to impact the youngest individuals, but there is substantial heterogeneity in responses by age, race/ethnicity, and sex. There is stronger evidence of pull effects amongst young white men and Latinos, and weaker evidence amongst young Black women and older Latinas. Weak evidence of push effects is observed amongst younger white women, younger Latinos, and older Latinas. This research highlights heterogeneous labour force participation responses to further inform our understanding of search behaviour and labour market churn. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4043-4059 Issue: 35 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2020713 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2020713 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:35:p:4043-4059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: T. Agasisti Author-X-Name-First: T. Author-X-Name-Last: Agasisti Author-Name: M. Cannistrà Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Cannistrà Author-Name: M. Soncin Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Soncin Author-Name: D. Marazzina Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Marazzina Title: Financial Education during COVID-19 - Assessing the effectiveness of an online programme in a high school Abstract: Acknowledging the importance of financial literacy in modern societies, schools are implementing different activities to teach basic concepts to young pupils. This work aims at investigating the effectiveness of an intervention of financial education in an Italian high school, conducted during the period of school closure due to COVID-19. Through a rigorous experimental design based on a Randomized Controlled Trial, this study analyses the effects of attending a one-month financial education course, provided through an online classroom mode. The empirical analysis combines econometric techniques for policy evaluation and machine learning algorithms. The intervention succeeded in substantially improving students’ financial knowledge, suggesting a potential role of digital learning for scaling up financial education initiatives. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4006-4029 Issue: 35 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2016586 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2016586 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:35:p:4006-4029 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Afef Kesraoui Author-X-Name-First: Afef Author-X-Name-Last: Kesraoui Author-Name: Mohamed Lachaab Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Lachaab Author-Name: Abdelwahed Omri Author-X-Name-First: Abdelwahed Author-X-Name-Last: Omri Title: The impact of credit risk and liquidity risk on bank margins during economic fluctuations: evidence from MENA countries with a dual banking system Abstract: This study investigates the simultaneous impact of the major sources of bank default, namely credit risk and liquidity risk on price-cost margins during economic fluctuations in the MENA countries with a dual banking system. We use an annually balanced data set including 30 conventional banks and 14 Islamic banks from 9 countries covering the period 2004–2020. Our findings highlight the importance of the two risk factors on determining banks’ cost of intermediation. The most interesting result is that their effects on bank margins are sensitive to economic fluctuations. More specifically, both risk factors have more significant effect on price-cost margins during good economic times. One important implication of our findings is that the authorities and policymakers should pay more attention to liquidity and risks during booms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4113-4130 Issue: 35 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2022090 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2022090 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:35:p:4113-4130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amar Iqbal Anwar Author-X-Name-First: Amar Iqbal Author-X-Name-Last: Anwar Author-Name: Colin F. Mang Author-X-Name-First: Colin F. Author-X-Name-Last: Mang Title: Do remittances cause Dutch Disease? A meta-analytic review Abstract: This is the first meta-study to analyze the effect size of remittances on the real exchange rate (RER). Using 426 estimates from 67 studies, we found that remittances appreciate RER; however, the effect size differs across countries. Compared to global estimates, the mean effect of remittances on RER is significantly larger for East Asia and the Pacific, whereas the same nexus is found to be significantly smaller for Latin America and the Caribbean. Furthermore, the synthesized effect of remittances on RER is found to be significantly positive for lower-middle-income countries. Our empirical examination shows that publication selection bias is less likely in the literature. We found a genuine effect of remittances on RER appreciation. This study also provides policy recommendations and presents suggestions for future research in the field. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4131-4153 Issue: 36 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2022091 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2022091 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:36:p:4131-4153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Bochao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Bochao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Baizhen Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Baizhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Junpeng Di Author-X-Name-First: Junpeng Author-X-Name-Last: Di Author-Name: Qing Han Author-X-Name-First: Qing Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: The strategic behavior of Chinese enterprises using R&D subsidies: game model and empirical research Abstract: This paper constructs a game model of the strategic behavior of enterprises using R&D subsidies and government supervision and decision-making under the condition of information asymmetry. The derivation of the model shows that when a company and the government engage in a short-term single game, the more abundant the company’s own funds and the higher the rate of return of non-subsidized projects, the greater the possibility that the company will embezzle R&D subsidies with higher the embezzlement ratio. The simultaneous implementation of R&D subsidy policies and tax incentives will weaken the government’s enthusiasm for the supervision of enterprises and increase the possibility of enterprises embezzling R&D subsidies. For the empirical analysis, based on the data of industrial enterprises, the propensity score matching method is used to construct the proxy variables of corporate appropriation and non-innovative project profitability, When the research hypothesis from the theoretical part of this paper is tested, it is found that the profit rate of self-owned funds and non-innovative projects is the main factor affecting whether a company will embezzle subsidies. The results show an inverted U-shaped relationship, indicating that the greater the possibility of enterprises embezzling R&D subsidies, the more restrained the R&D investment of enterprises will be. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4187-4202 Issue: 36 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2023089 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2023089 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:36:p:4187-4202 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Laura Beaudin Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Beaudin Author-Name: Aziz N. Berdiev Author-X-Name-First: Aziz N. Author-X-Name-Last: Berdiev Title: The cost of winning: Does athletic expenditure impact the probability that teams advance to the NCAA Division I Basketball Tournament? A comparison of men’s and women’s outcomes Abstract: We estimate the relationship between Division I NCAA basketball program expenditure and team success. Results indicate that increases in expenditure are significantly associated with increases in the probability that teams advance to the end-of-season tournament. However, an increase in expenditure impacts teams differently across the division. Specifically, those teams which spend the least on their basketball programs have the most to gain. Results also suggest that increases in team expenditure impact women’s teams more than men’s teams. Given that the women’s league is less competitive, these results might imply that a more balanced expenditure could lead to a more competitive league. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4154-4169 Issue: 36 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2022092 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2022092 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:36:p:4154-4169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Haejung Na Author-X-Name-First: Haejung Author-X-Name-Last: Na Author-Name: Soonho Kim Author-X-Name-First: Soonho Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The impact of globalization and the legal system on stock market quality Abstract: This study examines how globalization affects stock market quality, whether investor protection serves as a channel in this relationship, and how the channel effect varies depending on the legal system. Our empirical analysis confirms that there is a positive causal relationship between globalization and market quality. Also, since we find that globalization induces stronger investor protection, we disentangle the component of investor protection predicted by globalization. Our analysis shows that the globalization-induced component of investor protection has a significantly positive effect on market quality, which demonstrates the role of investor protection as a channel. Finally, we show that these relationships among globalization, investor protection, and market quality are present in civil law countries but not in common law countries. This illustrates that globalization enhances financial market quality via a stronger ability to effect institutional change and investor protection in civil law countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4203-4212 Issue: 36 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2026869 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2026869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:36:p:4203-4212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiuzhen Shi Author-X-Name-First: Xiuzhen Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Zekai He Author-X-Name-First: Zekai Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Housing demolition and financial market investment: evidence from Chinese household data Abstract: This paper estimates the impact of housing demolitions on households’ investment behaviour in financial markets in China using a large microeconomic data set. This study provides new evidence on the effect of demolitions on families’ investment behaviour from a natural experiment created by housing demolition and compensation events. We find that housing demolitions significantly increase households’ participation in risky financial markets. Households’ portfolio choices in responses to demolitions vary substantially across household characteristics. The affected households in urban areas and those with cash compensation are more likely to participate in risky asset markets, while the affected low-income families decrease investment in financial markets. To understand the underlying mechanisms, we propose a framework of how housing demolitions increase households’ financial asset allocation. Our results indicate that changes in precautionary motive for savings and risk preference hold substantial importance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4213-4226 Issue: 36 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2027332 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2027332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:36:p:4213-4226 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zidong An Author-X-Name-First: Zidong Author-X-Name-Last: An Author-Name: John Bluedorn Author-X-Name-First: John Author-X-Name-Last: Bluedorn Author-Name: Gabriele Ciminelli Author-X-Name-First: Gabriele Author-X-Name-Last: Ciminelli Title: Okun’s Law, development, and demographics: differences in the cyclical sensitivities of unemployment across economy and worker groups Abstract: The negative and stable relationship between an economy’s aggregate demand conditions and overall unemployment is well-documented. We show that there is a large degree of heterogeneity in the cyclical sensitivities of unemployment across worker and economy groups. First, unemployment is more than twice as sensitive to aggregate demand in advanced as in emerging market and developing economies. Second, youth’s unemployment is twice as sensitive as that of adults’. Third, women’s unemployment is significantly less sensitive to demand than men’s in advanced economies. We also present evidence that the cyclical sensitivity of unemployment during the 2020 COVID-19 recession decreased in advanced economies, but not emerging market and developing economies. Together, these findings point to the highly unequal impacts of the business cycle across worker and economy groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4227-4239 Issue: 36 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2027333 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2027333 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:36:p:4227-4239 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ling Guo Author-X-Name-First: Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Xiaoni Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoni Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Decentralization of environmental management and enterprises’ environmental technology innovation: evidence from China Abstract: We construct an environmental decentralization index and use spatial econometric modeling to test the government’s role in promoting environmental technology innovation at the enterprise level. The results show that a moderate increase in the degree of environmental decentralization is conducive to promoting local enterprises’ environmental innovation and avoiding excessive distortions caused by externalities. Further investigation reveals that the effect is more pronounced when local tax competition is taken into account. However, administrative decentralization and supervision decentralization have different effects on enterprises’ environmental innovation. An increase in administrative decentralization has a negative impact on enterprise innovation, and environmental supervision should be more focused on the central government, which can help avoid excessive distortion caused by externalities. Our analysis is of certain reference value for understanding the influence of rational allocation of environmental protection functions among different levels of government on enterprises’ environmental innovation activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4170-4186 Issue: 36 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2022093 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2022093 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:36:p:4170-4186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gene Hyungjin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Gene Hyungjin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hyunchul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyunchul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Estimating switching costs for telecommunications services and bundles Abstract: We develop a consumer level demand model of telecommunications and broadcasting services taking into account the exhaustive set of alternatives available to consumers, including bundled services. We then estimate the switching costs associated with bundling. Previous studies are confined to choices of only one or two services, rather than addressing interrelationships among different services made possible through bundling. We find that our approach improves the accuracy of switching cost estimates compared with when the choice sets are restricted in demand models. Our results also indicate that switching costs incurred with bundling are substantial, making up approximately 65% of monthly service costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4356-4373 Issue: 37 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2030046 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2030046 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:37:p:4356-4373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Thomas H. W. Ziesemer Author-X-Name-First: Thomas H. W. Author-X-Name-Last: Ziesemer Title: Foreign R&D spillovers to the USA and strategic reactions Abstract: This paper serves three purposes, using a vector-error-correction model (VECM) to analyse the effects of permanent changes in R&D variables. First, we re-consider the traditional result of zero or negative foreign R&D spillovers to US productivity from private and public foreign R&D stocks. Both have a positive and statistically significant effect on labour-augmenting technical change (LATC) and public R&D in the USA. Moreover, US private R&D reacts positively to foreign private R&D and negatively to foreign public R&D shocks. Second, we also find new results for the effects of changes of US R&D. Foreign public and private R&D react positively to US public R&D. All the mentioned variables react positively to changes in US private R&D. Third, based on the time profile of the simulated VECM estimate, we calculate the sum of discounted net gains for (i) additional private and public US R&D, and (ii) for policies reacting to foreign private and public R&D shocks with additional domestic private and public R&D. Additional private and public US R&D expenditures have very high internal rates of return and are profitable also in reaction to shocks from foreign R&D. All LATC reactions are transitional, suggesting semi-endogenous growth for the USA. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4274-4291 Issue: 37 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2030042 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2030042 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:37:p:4274-4291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Joachim Schleich Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Schleich Author-Name: Marie-Charlotte Guetlein Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Charlotte Author-X-Name-Last: Guetlein Author-Name: Gengyang Tu Author-X-Name-First: Gengyang Author-X-Name-Last: Tu Author-Name: Corinne Faure Author-X-Name-First: Corinne Author-X-Name-Last: Faure Title: Household preferences for private versus public subsidies for new heating systems: insights from a multi-country discrete choice experiment Abstract: This paper employs demographically representative discrete choice experiments (DCEs) with owner occupiers in Poland, Sweden, and the United Kingdom (UK) to estimate the effects of subsidies, heating cost savings, installation time (reflecting ‘hassle costs’) and warranty length on owner occupiersʻ propensity to invest in a new heating system. In particular, the paper explores whether owner occupiers value subsidies received from public funding sources differently than subsidies received from private funding sources. The results from estimating mixed logit models suggest that respondents not only value subsidies for new heating systems because they decrease the net price, but they also value receiving a subsidy per se. For participants from Sweden (but not from Poland and the UK), this non-monetary value was found to be higher for subsidies offered by a public than by a private funding source. The results for heating cost savings in the three countries imply implicit discount rates between about 11 and 13%. We further find that respondents in Poland dislike longer installation times, and that respondents in all three countries value longer warranty times. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4292-4309 Issue: 37 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2030043 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2030043 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:37:p:4292-4309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fabiano Compagnucci Author-X-Name-First: Fabiano Author-X-Name-Last: Compagnucci Author-Name: Andrea Gentili Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Gentili Author-Name: Enzo Valentini Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Valentini Author-Name: Mauro Gallegati Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Gallegati Title: Asymmetric responses to shocks: the role of structural change on resilience of the Euro area regions Abstract: Building on the notion of adaptive resilience, and sourcing from the Eurostat regional database on 150 NUTS 2 EURO regions over the period 1998–2019, we show that both industrial mix and regional specialization played a key role in the asymmetric reaction of European regional labor markets to the 2008 crisis and the following 2011–12 sovereign debt crisis. Standard and spatial econometric analyses confirm that the pre-crisis structural composition of regional labor markets resulted in the speed of the post-crisis recovery. Recovery was further affected by the kind of structural change each region experienced after the crisis, depending on their different capacity to host knowledge intensive and hi-tech activities. Based on this evidence, national austerity policies may have exacerbated regional divergence within and between EU countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4324-4355 Issue: 37 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2030045 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2030045 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:37:p:4324-4355 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaotuo Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Xiaotuo Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Author-Name: Haifeng Guo Author-X-Name-First: Haifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Jun Li Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The asset growth effect in a mean-variance analysis Abstract: We study the asset growth effect in a mean-variance analysis. In the asset growth deciles, we uncover a U-shaped relation between asset growth and return volatility and hump-shaped relation between asset growth and Sharpe ratio, with the bottom of the volatility and peak of the Sharpe ratio both around stocks with zero asset growths. The pattern is robust to finer portfolio grids and portfolios sorted by the growth rates of asset components, including current and long-term asset, book equity, and debt; it also exists among stocks with different sizes, idiosyncratic volatilities, and market betas. The two-factor structure of the asset growth portfolios are shown to be crucial in understanding these patterns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4259-4273 Issue: 37 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2030041 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2030041 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:37:p:4259-4273 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Abraham Agyemang Author-X-Name-First: Abraham Author-X-Name-Last: Agyemang Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Hatice Ozer Balli Author-X-Name-First: Hatice Ozer Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Russell Gregory-Allen Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Gregory-Allen Title: Specialization in national output and international cross-listing Abstract: This study utilizes a sample of 1779 firms cross-listed across 28 OECD countries to explore how specialization in national output impacts international cross-listing decisions. We find that output specialization is an essential consideration in both the decision to cross-list and the choice of host market. Our results show that specialization in national output augments cross-listing and that firms from specialized home countries cross-list in less specialized host markets. The findings, especially at the firm level, suggest that firms seek opportunities to diversify funding sources when cross-listing, further highlighted by the choice of host market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4241-4258 Issue: 37 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2030040 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2030040 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:37:p:4241-4258 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Changlin Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Changlin Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Author-Name: Leng Yu Author-X-Name-First: Leng Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Do China’s Modern Agricultural Demonstration Zones work? Evidence from agricultural products processing companies Abstract: This paper examines the effect of place-based agricultural industry policy on firm-level development, focusing on the establishment of Modern Agricultural Demonstration Zones (MADZ) in China. Using a panel data of agricultural products processing companies from 2007 to 2013, we apply difference in difference (DID) method and find that the policy has significantly increased the employment, output and assets. The government’s selection of MADZ may not be random, leading to endogenous problems. We deal with this selection bias on site and strengthen our estimation results with a series of robustness tests. Based on the mechanism analysis, the effect of MADZ comes from tax deductions and agglomeration effects. In addition, we use the data of listed companies to verify the role of MADZ in promoting the total factor productivity (TFP) of agricultural companies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4310-4323 Issue: 37 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2030044 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2030044 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:37:p:4310-4323 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mabruk Billah Author-X-Name-First: Mabruk Author-X-Name-Last: Billah Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Hatice Ozer Balli Author-X-Name-First: Hatice Ozer Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Title: Spillovers on sectoral sukuk returns: evidence from country level analysis Abstract: Even though numerous studies have looked at the spillover effects in Shari’ah compliant equity returns, little attention has been paid to exploring global shocks’ transmission to the sukuk (Islamic Bond) returns. Our paper attempts to fill this void by quantifying spillovers from developed countries on the sukuk returns of Islamic countries. In this paper, we create sukuk indices for financial and non-financial companies on country basis and, examine the global linkages with those sukuk indices. We have found that global sukuk markets affect the sukuk indices at different levels. A clear distinction would be that global sukuk markets have a substantial impact on the spillovers of the sukuk issued by financial corporations, while sukuk issued by non-financial corporations are more affected by the overall spillover effect the sukuk markets than spillovers from the global Islamic bond markets. Sub-sample analysis during the COVID-19 pandemic yield interesting findings, show that spillover of returns on the sukuk issued by financial corporations during the COVID-19 pandemic was higher than the sukuk issued by non-financial corporations. These findings are mostly consistent for all markets included in our sample and evidently, urge portfolio holders to make clear distinctions between sukuk issued by financial and non-financial corporations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4402-4432 Issue: 38 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2030049 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2030049 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:38:p:4402-4432 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Xiaohang Ren Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohang Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Yue Dou Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Dou Author-Name: Kangyin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Kangyin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Yiying Li Author-X-Name-First: Yiying Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Information spillover and market connectedness: multi-scale quantile-on-quantile analysis of the crude oil and carbon markets Abstract: The asymmetric interdependence of carbon futures and crude oil futures prices in different market conditions remains unsettled in the literature. This study aims to quantify the crude oil price impacts on carbon price across the carbon-oil distribution in Phase III. For this purpose, we employ two novel methods, namely the quantile Granger causality test and the quantile-on-quantile regression methods. To detect the short-, medium-, and long-term impacts of the crude oil price on carbon price, we further decompose the sample series into six components using the wavelet method. Accordingly, we are able to estimate the nexus between carbon futures and crude oil futures prices in different time and frequency domains. Through a series of robustness checks, we find our results stable and robust, indicating that the crude oil impact on carbon price is asymmetric, conditional on the whole carbon and crude oil price distributions. Furthermore, the crude oil impact varies across different time scales, and shows negative signs throughout the whole carbon price distribution in the short term and basically positive signs in the medium and long term. Based on the above findings, we highlight several important policy implications to promote better market regulation and portfolio optimization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4465-4485 Issue: 38 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2030855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2030855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:38:p:4465-4485 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Javid Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Javid Author-Name: Fakhri J. Hasanov Author-X-Name-First: Fakhri J. Author-X-Name-Last: Hasanov Author-Name: Carlo Andrea Bollino Author-X-Name-First: Carlo Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Bollino Author-Name: Marzio Galeotti Author-X-Name-First: Marzio Author-X-Name-Last: Galeotti Title: Sectoral investment analysis for Saudi Arabia Abstract: This study aims to investigate the determinants of short- and long-run private investment behavior in Saudi Arabia for eight non-oil sectors. Saudi Arabia is currently proceeding with its Vision 2030 reform plan, which aims to significantly increase the private sector’s contribution to the country’s gross domestic product. Thus, analyzing private investments at the sectoral level is important for Saudi Arabia. Such an analysis can provide policymakers with a deeper understanding of potential opportunities for boosting private sector growth. This study therefore uses a cointegration and equilibrium correction approach to empirically analyze investments by sector over the period from 1989–2017. We identify a long-run relationship among investments, output and the real interest rate for all sectors except agriculture. Additionally, the real exchange rate has long-run relationships with investments in the agriculture, non-oil manufacturing and other services sectors. This finding implies that sector-specific tailored investment policies are preferable to a one-size-fits-all investment policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4486-4500 Issue: 38 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2030856 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2030856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:38:p:4486-4500 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Srikant Devaraj Author-X-Name-First: Srikant Author-X-Name-Last: Devaraj Author-Name: Pankaj C. Patel Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Author-Name: Igor Pereira Author-X-Name-First: Igor Author-X-Name-Last: Pereira Title: In-utero exposure to local COVID-19 incidence and infant birthweight in Brazil Abstract: In this article, we investigate whether in-utero exposure to municipal-level COVID-19 incidence rates in Brazil was associated with lower infant birth weight. To lower endogeneity related to conception during COVID-19, we include infants who were conceived before and born after, the first official case of COVID-19 in Brazil, 26 February 2020. Using the administrative natality data of infants, in-utero exposure to local COVID-19 incidence rate did not affect infant birth weight, and the estimates are robust to heterogeneities by mother’s demographic and socioeconomic characteristics. Findings have implications for the effect of in-utero exposure to local COVID-19 incidence rates and birth weight. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4449-4464 Issue: 38 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2030461 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2030461 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:38:p:4449-4464 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Havvanur Feyza Kaya Author-X-Name-First: Havvanur Feyza Author-X-Name-Last: Kaya Author-Name: George B. Tawadros Author-X-Name-First: George B. Author-X-Name-Last: Tawadros Title: Estimating an optimal macroeconomic uncertainty index for Australia Abstract: In this article, an optimal macroeconomic uncertainty index is constructed for the Australian economy. This index is derived from a small structural macroeconomic model. The structural model is first estimated using GMM to extract the parameter estimates, which are then used to initialize maximum likelihood techniques in order to obtain the optimal coefficient values for the relevant variables. The relevant variables are then weighted by the obtained optimal coefficients and, finally, are aggregated to produce the optimal macroeconomic uncertainty index for Australian economy. The empirical results show that the uncertainty index constructed is a good indicator of the optimal economic conditions in Australia, providing a useful tool to assist the Reserve Bank of Australia in its decision-making process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4374-4383 Issue: 38 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1862749 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1862749 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:38:p:4374-4383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Mona Said Author-X-Name-First: Mona Author-X-Name-Last: Said Author-Name: Rami Galal Author-X-Name-First: Rami Author-X-Name-Last: Galal Author-Name: Mina Sami Author-X-Name-First: Mina Author-X-Name-Last: Sami Title: Gender diversity, productivity, and wages in private Egyptian firms Abstract: Womenʻs employment is not evenly distributed across sectors and firms and this variance in gender diversity can impact firmsʻ productivity and wages in both positive and negative ways according to theory. Using new economic census data from Egypt, this paper explores the relationship between gender diversity, productivity, and wages. Our first finding is that gender diversity is positively associated with productivity and wages in the knowledge-intensive service sector. Our second finding is that there is a negative or no association between gender diversity and productivity and wages among less knowledge-intensive service and both high- and low-tech manufacturing firms. These relationships are robust across different industry classifications and measures of diversity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4433-4448 Issue: 38 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2030460 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2030460 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:38:p:4433-4448 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yu He Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Huan Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Huan Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Do environmental regulations affect firm financial distress in China? Evidence from stock markets Abstract: This study explores how environmental regulations affected firm financial distress in China from 1999 to 2018, when the national strategy experienced a major adjustment from economic development only to sustainable growth. Instead of targeting specific environmental policy, we divide environmental regulations for firms into two major types, including energy conservation and pollution reduction, and discuss the influences of the overall levels of Chinese environmental regulations in the last two decades. We find that these regulations were negatively associated with firm performance, positively related to the possibility of financial distress, and negatively associated with the length of distress time. Our additional tests also show that the two types of environmental regulations had different influences on firm financial distress for various firm characteristics, including state ownership and industries. The empirical results remain robust when alternative measures of financial distress and potential endogenous issues are controlled. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4384-4401 Issue: 38 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2030048 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2030048 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:38:p:4384-4401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jacob A. Bikker Author-X-Name-First: Jacob A. Author-X-Name-Last: Bikker Author-Name: Jeroen J. Meringa Author-X-Name-First: Jeroen J. Author-X-Name-Last: Meringa Title: Have scale effects on cost margins of pension fund investment portfolios disappeared? Abstract: Investment costs of pension funds are crucial for their returns. Consolidation in the pension fund market proceeds continuously, often with cost savings as the main argument. Unused economies of scale in pension fund investment costs, however, have declined over the years to values close to zero, except for very small pension funds. This paper investigates investment economies of scale in the Netherlands and pays special attention to the non-linear relationship between investment costs and sizes of pension funds. Furthermore, investment cost margins are disaggregated into three cost types and into six asset categories. Performance fees are in particular paid for complex asset categories held by large pension funds. They reduce the traditional-scale economy results for the entire portfolio. Cost savings by consolidation is still possible but is very limited. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4501-4518 Issue: 39 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2030857 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2030857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:39:p:4501-4518 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helder Ferreira de Mendonça Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendonça Author-Name: João Pedro Neves Maia Author-X-Name-First: João Pedro Neves Author-X-Name-Last: Maia Title: Interest rate expectations based on Taylor rule versus central bank’s survey: which performs better in a large emerging economy? Abstract: We analyzed rationality, content, and anchoring of the monetary policy interest rate expectations (for 3, 6, 9, and 12 months ahead), taking into account the Brazilian data from January 2003 to July 2020. We consider expectations based on two perspectives: expectations gathered from a Taylor rule and market expectations obtained from the survey carried out by the central bank. The findings point out that, concerning rationality and anchoring, the interest rate expectations based on a Taylor rule performed better than expectations from the Central Bank of Brazil’s (CBB) survey, even when we consider the Top 5 forecasters. Moreover, our analysis shows that the content of monetary policy interest rate expectations based on a Taylor rule and CBB’s survey (including Top 5 forecasters) is different. Thus, they may be seen as complementary sources of information on the future interest rate. Concerning anchoring of the monetary policy interest rate expectations, the CBB’s survey expectations are not anchored, while the result for the expectations based on a Taylor rule shows the opposite for horizons up to 9 months ahead. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4532-4544 Issue: 39 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2031859 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2031859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:39:p:4532-4544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fotini Economou Author-X-Name-First: Fotini Author-X-Name-Last: Economou Author-Name: Ioanna Kountouri Author-X-Name-First: Ioanna Author-X-Name-Last: Kountouri Author-Name: Yannis Panagopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Yannis Author-X-Name-Last: Panagopoulos Author-Name: Georgia Skintzi Author-X-Name-First: Georgia Author-X-Name-Last: Skintzi Author-Name: Ekaterini Tsouma Author-X-Name-First: Ekaterini Author-X-Name-Last: Tsouma Title: Estimating excise tax revenue elasticity and buoyancy for tobacco products and alcoholic beverages: evidence from Greece Abstract: The aim of this paper is to estimate excise tax revenue elasticity and buoyancy for tobacco products and alcoholic beverages in Greece, for the period 2000–2020. To this end, we employ core and more extended error correction models. Overall, our empirical results do not confirm the appropriateness of the unity assumption. Policy measures seem to affect excise tax revenues in the long run mostly through the tax-to-base relation. In most cases, excise tax revenues seem to have a larger reaction to changes in the tax base in the short run, which could be associated with different asymmetric effects, in particular the crisis/adjustment and the COVID-19 lockdown effects. Our findings indicate several differences in excise tax revenue elasticity and buoyancy between the two product categories, suggesting that individual product categories should be examined separately for a more precise estimate of tax revenue sensitivity. This implication may assist policy makers to effectively design the related tax policies, especially during abnormal periods like the COVID-19 pandemic, and derive more accurate tax revenue forecasts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4557-4576 Issue: 39 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2032581 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2032581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:39:p:4557-4576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Ionela-Cătălina Zamfir Author-X-Name-First: Ionela-Cătălina Author-X-Name-Last: Zamfir Author-Name: Ana-Maria Mihaela Iordache Author-X-Name-First: Ana-Maria Mihaela Author-X-Name-Last: Iordache Title: The influences of covid-19 pandemic on macroeconomic indexes for European countries Abstract: The Covid-19 pandemic had a major impact in the entire world, both sanitary and economic. The purpose of this study is to analyse the European countries from this point of view. The main economic indicators related to import, wages, labour productivity, consumption, taxes, gross domestic product (GDP), as well as variables related to Covid-19 pandemic measures were considered in order to estimate the impact that pandemic measures have in economy. Principal component analysis was performed in order to reduce the dataset dimensionality and to create new indicators. Selected European countries are characterized and compared using principal components analysis outputs while regression is used to identify an influence of independent variables on GDP. The main results show that, comparing European countries economic situation in 2020 with the previous 2 years and considering variables that show the adopted closure measures, the Covid-19 pandemic have influenced the GDP from European countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4519-4531 Issue: 39 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2031858 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2031858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:39:p:4519-4531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kuang-Cheng Chai Author-X-Name-First: Kuang-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Chai Author-Name: Hao-Ran Lan Author-X-Name-First: Hao-Ran Author-X-Name-Last: Lan Author-Name: Jia-Wei Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Jia-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Zhen-Xin Cui Author-X-Name-First: Zhen-Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Author-Name: Zhi-Yong Sui Author-X-Name-First: Zhi-Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Sui Title: Impacts of founder management on the operational efficiency of enterprises in different regions in China Abstract: Under the influence of the severe downturn in the global economic situation, China’s economy is currently in a difficult and long transition period. How an enterprise maintains high operational efficiency is especially important. As a key management position, the founder has a strong sense of corporate responsibility. Therefore, this study conducted an empirical analysis of the impact of founder management on the enterprises operational efficiency using data on private listed companies in China’s from 2010 to 2019. The results showed that founder management could improve the operational efficiency of enterprises compared with non-founder management. The economic gap between China’s western region and the central and eastern regions has not significantly improved, which will directly affect the development of private enterprises in the western region. We compared the enterprises in western region with non-western regions, and showed that enterprises managed by founders in the western region, compared with those in non-western regions, have reduced positive effects of founder management on their operating efficiency. In China, these conclusions have important theoretical value and practical significance for clarifying the relationship between founder management and operating efficiency because the system is different from that of western countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4577-4585 Issue: 39 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2032582 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2032582 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:39:p:4577-4585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yi-Ting Peng Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Omid Ranjbar Author-X-Name-First: Omid Author-X-Name-Last: Ranjbar Title: Re-Investigating the degree of persistence of U.S. economic policy uncertainty using the Fourier non-linear quantile unit root test Abstract: This research tests the mean reversion properties of the U.S. EPU (economic policy uncertainty) index and its 11 sub-categories using the Fourier non-linear quantile unit root test over the period 1985M1-2020M12. The results indicate the following. (1) The U.S. EPU index responds asymmetrically to shocks, in which positive shocks are more long-lasting than negative shocks. (2) Monetary, fiscal, and trade policies and also national security and regulation series behave like unit root processes in all quartiles, whereas by contrast financial regulation and sovereign debt exhibit stationary behaviour over all quantiles. (3) Government spending, health care, national security, and entitlement programmes present stationary processes in low/high quantiles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4586-4595 Issue: 39 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2032584 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2032584 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:39:p:4586-4595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Helmi Hamdi Author-X-Name-First: Helmi Author-X-Name-Last: Hamdi Author-Name: Abdelaziz Hakimi Author-X-Name-First: Abdelaziz Author-X-Name-Last: Hakimi Title: Improving the environmental quality: Should African countries locally innovate or import innovation? Abstract: Does environmental quality get benefits from local innovation or the imported one? To answer this question, we investigate a sample of African countries throughout 2009–2018, using the panel dynamic System Generalized Method of Moment (SGMM) as an econometric approach. The empirical findings indicate that local innovation significantly improves the environmental quality while the imported one has harmful effects. The robustness check confirms this conclusion and proves the positive effects of local innovation in preserving the environment quality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4545-4556 Issue: 39 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2031860 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2031860 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:39:p:4545-4556 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Pei-Ling Sheu Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Sheu Author-Name: Shu-Chun Chang Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Relationship of service quality dimensions, customer satisfaction and loyalty in e-commerce: a case study of the Shopee App Abstract: The development of information technology and mobile device functions have increased the number of online shopping applications, which has increased the competition to attract customers. Service quality has been traced as an important factor that influences consumers’ buying behaviour. This present study aimed to assess the difference of four dimensions of service quality (efficiency, fulfilment, system availability, and privacy services) and to examine the relationship of service quality dimensions towards customers’ satisfaction and loyalty on Shopee App. The data collection conducted from 03rd January to 31 January 2019 were carried out by an online survey. The data were collected from 373 samples. The data were analysed using ANOVA to evaluate the difference in service quality dimensions and regression analysis to examine the relationship among service quality, satisfaction, and loyalty. This study found that the significant difference in service quality dimensions with the highest importance to customers was efficiency, followed by fulfilment, system availability, and privacy. All service quality dimensions positively influenced the customer’s satisfaction. Furthermore, the efficiency, fulfilment, and privacy services were the significant factors of customers’ loyalty to use the Shopee App. Lastly, consumers’ satisfaction positively influenced the consumers’ loyalty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4597-4607 Issue: 40 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1980198 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1980198 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:40:p:4597-4607 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Rami Zeitun Author-X-Name-First: Rami Author-X-Name-Last: Zeitun Author-Name: Mohamed Goaied Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Goaied Title: The nexus between debt structure, firm performance, and the financial crisis: non-linear panel data evidence from Japan Abstract: This study seeks to analyze the non-linear relationship between a firm’s debt structure and performance based on evidence from Japan through the use of a panel data fixed effects model for a sample of 1,670 listed firms. This is the first study that looks at the effect of the short-term debt threshold on corporate performance, as well as the influence of the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC) on the nonlinear effect of debt structure on corporate performance. Moreover, it represents an initial endeavor that uses cross-industry comparisons to scrutinize the nonlinear effect of debt structure on the performance of Japanese companies. This study’s findings reveal the presence of a nonlinear impact of debt with short-term maturity on corporate performance. In addition, there is a U-shaped relationship between firm performance and short-term debt, suggesting that a firm’s profit decreases at lower levels of short-term debt (below 45.2%) and increases at higher levels of debt with short-term maturity. Moreover, this short-term debt threshold was affected significantly by the financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4681-4699 Issue: 40 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2033680 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2033680 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:40:p:4681-4699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Zhe Song Author-X-Name-First: Zhe Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Chen Hao Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Hao Title: Housing price and criminal crime in China: direct and indirect influence Abstract: The aim of the present work is to focus on the increased number of criminal crimes from the perspective of the rising housing price in China. Based on the theory of crime economics, the article analyzed the direct and indirect influence channel through which the housing prices may have impacts on criminal crimes. The paper collected the panel data of 27 province-level regions in China from 2004 to 2017 and verified the hypotheses by using fixed effect model, mediating effect model and spatial Dubin model. Our study offered the following conclusions: 1. The rise in housing price is a generative impetus for the frequent occurrence of the criminal offenses. 2. Consumption gap serves as the mediating variable between housing price and criminal crime. 3. There is a spatial correlation between housing price and criminal crime in China. Finally, the paper proposed relevant suggestions based on the above conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4647-4663 Issue: 40 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2033678 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2033678 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:40:p:4647-4663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Markus Brueckner Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Brueckner Author-Name: Ngo Van Long Author-X-Name-First: Ngo Author-X-Name-Last: Van Long Author-Name: Joaquin Vespignani Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Vespignani Title: Trade, education, and income inequality Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between countries’ bilateral trade with the United States that is not due to gravity (non-gravity trade) and the distribution of income within countries. In countries where only a small share of the population are educated, an increase in non-gravity trade is associated with a significant increase in income inequality. As education of the population increases the correlation between non-gravity trade and income inequality becomes smaller. Non-gravity trade has no significant effect on income inequality in countries that are world leaders in education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4608-4631 Issue: 40 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2027862 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2027862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:40:p:4608-4631 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Sónia R. Bentes Author-X-Name-First: Sónia R. Author-X-Name-Last: Bentes Author-Name: Mariya Gubareva Author-X-Name-First: Mariya Author-X-Name-Last: Gubareva Author-Name: Tamara Teplova Author-X-Name-First: Tamara Author-X-Name-Last: Teplova Title: The impact of COVID-19 on gold seasonality Abstract: This study investigates the impact of COVID-19 on the seasonality of gold returns by means of an asymmetric EGARCH model (Exponential GARCH). We find that the so-called ‘autumn effect’, or the traditional seasonal increase in gold returns in fall, vanishes and even shows a reverse pattern during the COVID-19 pandemic. We ascribe this phenomenon to the decaying demand for gold, which substantially decreased in the third quarter of 2020. In contrast, we find no evidence of seasonal effects in gold volatility, which is in line with earlier researches on this topic. Our results also confirm the positive asymmetric effect of gold volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4700-4710 Issue: 40 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2033681 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2033681 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:40:p:4700-4710 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Klaus Grobys Author-X-Name-First: Klaus Author-X-Name-Last: Grobys Author-Name: James W. Kolari Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Kolari Author-Name: Joachim Niang Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Niang Title: Man versus machine: on artificial intelligence and hedge funds performance Abstract: Employing partially hand-collected data, sample hedge funds are formed into four categories depending on their level of automation. We find that hedge funds with the highest level of automation outperform other hedge funds with more reliance on human involvement. Also, we find that a man versus machine zero-cost strategy that is long hedge funds portfolio with highest level of automation and short those with highest level of human involvement yields a highly significant spread of at least 50 basis points per month. We conclude that automation plays an important role in the profitability of the hedge fund industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4632-4646 Issue: 40 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2032585 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2032585 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:40:p:4632-4646 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Won-Sik Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Won-Sik Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Chanyoung Hong Author-X-Name-First: Chanyoung Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Author-Name: Inha Oh Author-X-Name-First: Inha Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Author-Name: Yeongjun Yeo Author-X-Name-First: Yeongjun Author-X-Name-Last: Yeo Title: Assessing the economy-wide impacts of public R&D support options based on a computable general equilibrium model: focusing on types of fiscal incentives and beneficiaries Abstract: This study conducted quantitative comparisons of various public R&D support options using a CGE model. The analysis considered four different options by varying the types of fiscal incentives and the scope of beneficiaries concerning the firm size. The findings indicate that direct subsidy is more effective in spurring private R&D investments than indirect tax incentives. In addition, selective R&D support toward small and medium enterprises is found to induce balanced growth among industries. In summary, the simulation results suggest that R&D support under the direct subsidy scheme aimed at SMEs has the potential to achieve a higher equilibrium state within the Korean economy. This study confirms that the government should carefully design the R&D promotion policy by ensuring that direct R&D inducement effects are transmitted to industrial output growth with a diversified industrial structure and higher knowledge spillover effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4664-4680 Issue: 40 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2033679 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2033679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:40:p:4664-4680 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Seungyeon Cho Author-X-Name-First: Seungyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Title: Financial literacy and its relation to lottery gambling consumption Abstract: This study uses restricted-version data from the 2018 state-by-state survey of the National Financial Capability Study to investigate the relationship between financial literacy and lottery consumption frequency. To control for the potential endogeneity of financial literacy, I employ the ordered probit model with an endogenous regressor by instrumenting the average education level of a zip-code area for financial literacy. The results indicate that an increase in financial literacy significantly reduces the lottery consumption of those who play with moderate frequency, while no marked curbing effects are found for heavy lottery players. This suggests that different policies are needed to reduce lottery consumption for those who engage with moderate frequency and those who engage with high frequency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4725-4731 Issue: 41 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2035669 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2035669 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:41:p:4725-4731 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Di Gong Author-X-Name-First: Di Author-X-Name-Last: Gong Author-Name: Zongxin Qian Author-X-Name-First: Zongxin Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Title: Inflation targeting and financial crisis Abstract: We study the average treatment effect of inflation targeting on the likelihood of financial crisis with a large panel of countries over 1980–2017. To address the self-selection problem of inflation targeting, we adopt propensity score matching. Various matching estimators show consistent evidence that inflation targeting has significantly reduced the probability of a financial crisis. When decomposing financial crisis into various types, the effects are pronounced for the banking crisis, inflation crisis, external debt crisis, and stock crash. Our results are largely unaltered to a battery of robustness checks when controlling for legal origins, governance quality, financial development, capital account openness, fiscal balance, debt-to-GDP ratio, financial regulations, and central bank independence. This paper suggests that price-stability-oriented monetary policy frameworks, such as inflation targeting, also have non-negligible ‘side effects’ on financial stability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4782-4795 Issue: 41 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2036685 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2036685 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:41:p:4782-4795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Martin Alfaro Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Alfaro Title: Assessing gains of trade in monopolistic competition under the presence of industry leaders Abstract: A recent literature has documented a widespread rise of superstar firms. This is at odds with the simplifying assumption of a continuum of firms, predominant in International Trade. In this paper, we assess its consequences by identifying the magnitude and direction in which gains of trade depart from monopolistic competition once we account for leading firms. With this goal, we extend the Melitz model by incorporating a revenue threshold such that truly negligible firms are modelled as in Melitz, while the largest ones are treated as non-negligible firms that earn positive profits. Firm-level data for several countries show that accounting for leaders entails greater gains of trade in all cases, with differences of up to 20%. The outcome is explained by an additional benefit of reallocating resources towards more productive firms, not captured by the Melitz model: increases in aggregate income through positive effects on profits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4711-4724 Issue: 41 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1994915 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1994915 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:41:p:4711-4724 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Qing (Sophie) Wang Author-X-Name-First: Qing (Sophie) Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shaojie Lai Author-X-Name-First: Shaojie Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Xiaping (Jerry) Cao Author-X-Name-First: Xiaping (Jerry) Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Shiang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Shiang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The effect of institutional investors’ site visits: evidence on corporate cash holdings Abstract: This study examines the impact of institutional investors’ site visits (SVs) on corporate cash holdings by using a unique dataset of SVs in China during the period of 2012–2019. We find that SVs significantly increase the level of cash holdings, and the result remains robust after addressing endogeneity concerns and selection bias. The positive impact of SVs on cash holding is more pronounced if a firm has a lower information quality, confirming that SVs facilitate information distribution between managers and investors and thus allowing more cash holding. Further analyses show that firms rely greatly on equity issues and internal cash flows for cash savings, and SVs increase the value of cash for shareholders. Collectively, our findings suggest a new effect of institutional investors’ site visits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4767-4781 Issue: 41 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2036321 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2036321 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:41:p:4767-4781 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Lexin Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Lexin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Qianbin Feng Author-X-Name-First: Qianbin Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Wen-Quan Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Quan Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Investment incentives and labor share: evidence from accelerated depreciation policy in China Abstract: This paper studies the impact of Chinaʻs accelerated depreciation policy (ADP) that was enacted in 2014 on labor share. We explore a firm-level dataset from Chinaʻs industrial enterprise database and estimate the policy effects using a difference-in-differences framework. We find that the ADP apparently reduces the labor share of the treated firms compared to the control firms, which is a net effect jointly driven by the capital deepening and skill structure upgrading channels. Among these two channels, the former is dominant and has negative effects on labor share, while the latter is positively related to the labor share. We also demonstrate that the firms with less financial constraints experience a more profound capital deepening process and a larger decline in labor share after policy enactment. These results suggest that the widespread use of investment tax incentives may be one of the reasons for the decline in global labor share in recent years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4751-4766 Issue: 41 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2036320 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2036320 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:41:p:4751-4766 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kyoungwon Mo Author-X-Name-First: Kyoungwon Author-X-Name-Last: Mo Author-Name: Younghyo Song Author-X-Name-First: Younghyo Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Soo Yeon Park Author-X-Name-First: Soo Yeon Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Mutual fund investment, group-affiliation, and stock price crash risk: evidence from Korea Abstract: This study examines how mutual funds affect future stock price crash risk in the capital market. Particularly, we focus on investigating the relationship between mutual funds affiliated with chaebol groups and subsequent stock price crash risk. We find that mutual funds have a significantly positive effect on future stock price crash risk. We also observe a significantly negative relationship between group-affiliated mutual funds and subsequent stock price crash risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4796-4811 Issue: 41 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2036686 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2036686 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:41:p:4796-4811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Dierk Herzer Author-X-Name-First: Dierk Author-X-Name-Last: Herzer Author-Name: Niklas Schmelmer Author-X-Name-First: Niklas Author-X-Name-Last: Schmelmer Title: The effects of greenfield foreign direct investment and cross‐border mergers and acquisitions on energy intensity in upper-middle income countries and low- and lower-middle income countries Abstract: This study examines the effects of greenfield foreign direct investment (FDI) and cross‐border mergers and acquisitions (M&As) on energy intensity for a sample of 35 upper-middle-income countries (UMICs) and a sample of 49 low- and lower-middle-income countries (LLMICs). It is the first to examine the energy intensity effects of greenfield FDI and cross‐border M&As for subgroups of developing countries with different levels of income. It is also the first study of its kind to use stationary and non-stationary panel methods. The main findings are: first, both greenfield FDI and cross-border M&As have an insignificant impact on energy intensity in LLMICs, and second, while the effect of cross-border M&As on energy intensity is insignificant in UMICs, greenfield FDI exerts a negative and significant impact on energy intensity in UMICs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4732-4750 Issue: 41 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2035670 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2035670 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:41:p:4732-4750 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imane El Ouadghiri Author-X-Name-First: Imane Author-X-Name-Last: El Ouadghiri Author-Name: Elias Erragragui Author-X-Name-First: Elias Author-X-Name-Last: Erragragui Author-Name: Jamil Jaballah Author-X-Name-First: Jamil Author-X-Name-Last: Jaballah Author-Name: Jonathan Peillex Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Peillex Title: Institutional investor attention and stock market volatility and liquidity: international evidence Abstract: In this paper, we examine the influence of the daily institutional investor attention to particular stocks on stock volatility and liquidity. The institutional investor attention is measured from the number of times that users of Bloomberg terminal, who are mostly institutional investors, search for or read articles on a specific stock. Relying on a large international dataset of approximately a million daily observations over the period 2011–2020 from nine countries (Canada, France, Germany, Japan, Russia, South Korea, Switzerland, the UK, and the US), we find that this recent measure of institutional investor attention has a strong positive effect on stock volatility and liquidity. Confirmed by a battery of robustness tests, our findings suggest that this continuous barometer of attention by institutional investors can be used by financial practitioners to predict future stock volatility and liquidity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4839-4854 Issue: 42 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2036689 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2036689 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:42:p:4839-4854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Amanjot Singh Author-X-Name-First: Amanjot Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Does trade credit financing matter for stock returns in times of crisis? Evidence from the COVID-19 stock market crisis Abstract: We examine the role of trade credit financing as a latent feature that becomes important during a crisis period, especially in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. Using a sample of 2,092 US firms, our findings support that shareholders pay additional attention to firmsʻ pre-crisis reliance on trade credit financing during a crisis period. While the prior literature document a positive relationship, we find evidence that trade credit financing is negatively related to stock market returns of US firms around the COVID-19-induced market crisis. This negative relationship is robust to several sensitivity tests and restricted to firms with: (1) financial constraints; (2) lower reliance on external financing; (3) higher short-term debt; and (4) higher labor intensity and labor adjustment costs. Trade credit financing contains information about firmsʻ possible financial constraints, external financing, short-term debt, and information asymmetry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4855-4873 Issue: 42 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2036690 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2036690 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:42:p:4855-4873 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Ghulam Mustafa Author-X-Name-First: Ghulam Author-X-Name-Last: Mustafa Author-Name: Shafaq Malik Author-X-Name-First: Shafaq Author-X-Name-Last: Malik Title: COVID-19 pandemic, stock returns, and volatility: the role of the vaccination program in Canada Abstract: This paper examines how stock returns and volatility in the Canadian stock market have been affected by both the COVID-19 pandemic and the associated vaccination program. The empirical analysis is based on the generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroskedastic model which explicitly allows the inclusion of information on the COVID-19 pandemic and the vaccination program. The analysis uses daily Canadian equity returns and volatility, spanning the period 27 January 2020, to 31 August 2021. The findings provide evidence that the COVID-19 pandemic exerts a significant negative impact on the mean of Canadian stock returns and a positive impact on their volatility. In contrast, the findings provide novel evidence that the vaccination program in Canada has reversed these detrimental effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4825-4838 Issue: 42 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2036688 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2036688 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:42:p:4825-4838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Fredj Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Fredj Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Nabila Jawadi Author-X-Name-First: Nabila Author-X-Name-Last: Jawadi Author-Name: Abdoulkarim Idi Cheffou Author-X-Name-First: Abdoulkarim Author-X-Name-Last: Idi Cheffou Title: The COVID-19 pandemic and ethical stock markets: further evidence of moral shock Abstract: The aim of this study is twofold. First, we assess the evolution of stock returns for two classes of ethical investments—Islamic and sustainable funds—from September 2001–January 2021. This is the first study of the financial performance of ethical investments in a period covering technological (the dot-com bubble in 2000), financial (the 2008 financial crisis), and healthcare shocks (the COVID-19). Second, we analyze the dynamics of the financial returns of conventional and ethical ethnic markets in the COVID-19 context and model the impact of COVID-19 news. We perform different time-varying tests to apprehend market reactions to the COVID-19 pandemic. We present two interesting results. First, the COVID-19 pandemic has had a time-varying impact on the stock market. Basically, a close to zero effect at the early stage of the pandemic, followed by a negative and significant effect during the first wave from March 2020 to June 2020, was observed. However, this has since been attenuated owing to social restriction measures, teleworking, government stimulus policies, and massive vaccine rollouts. Second, among all markets, the Islamic stock market is the most resilient and least impacted by the pandemic, suggesting evidence of a new moral shock. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4874-4885 Issue: 42 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2038366 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2038366 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:42:p:4874-4885 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jayme V. Gerring Author-X-Name-First: Jayme V. Author-X-Name-Last: Gerring Title: The Marvel effect: cinematic universes and their impact on box office receipts Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of cinematic universes in films on box office receipts using data from 250 films released between 2009 and 2019. Regarding the non-Marvel Cinematic Universes, there is a statistically significant impact on the opening weekend box office receipts, but the same is not true with respect to a filmʻs initial run. Alternatively, the Marvel Cinematic Universe has a statistically significant effect on box office receipts over opening weekend and during the filmʻs first run. In addition, female star power remains statistically significant with the inclusion of more independent variables while male and director star power become statistically insignificant regarding the opening weekend box office receipts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4886-4899 Issue: 42 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2038775 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2038775 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:42:p:4886-4899 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yifei Cai Author-X-Name-First: Yifei Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Jamel Saadaoui Author-X-Name-First: Jamel Author-X-Name-Last: Saadaoui Title: Fourier DF unit root test for R&D intensity of G7 countries Abstract: According to the Schumpeterian endogenous growth theory, the efficacy of R&D is lowered by the proliferation of products. To be consistent with empirical data, the ratio between innovative activity and product variety (also called R&D intensity) must be stationary. From this perspective, our contribution investigates whether the R&D intensity series is stationary when structural breaks are considered. Our sample of G7 countries is examined over the period spanning from 1870 to 2016. Our results indicate that traditional unit root tests (ADF, DF-GLS and KPSS) conclude that the R&D intensity series are non-stationary, in contradiction with the Schumpeterian endogenous growth theory. The conclusions of these traditional unit root tests may be misleading, as they ignore the presence of structural breaks. Indeed, we use several types of Fourier Dickey-Fuller tests to consider the presence of structural breaks. In the Fourier Dickey-Fuller unit root tests using double frequency and fractional frequency, the R&D intensity is significantly stationary at least at the 5% level for Canada, France, Germany, Italy and Japan when a deterministic trend is included in the tests. Nevertheless, the R&D intensity is non-stationary for the US, even when we consider structural breaks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4900-4914 Issue: 42 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2038776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2038776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:42:p:4900-4914 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Muhammad Abid Shahzad Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Abid Author-X-Name-Last: Shahzad Author-Name: Christian Fischer Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Fischer Title: The decline of part-time farming in Europe: an empirical analysis of trends and determinants based on Eurostat panel data Abstract: This article studies the state of part-time farming in the European Union (EU) amidst recent developments in its agricultural structure. First, an in-depth descriptive analysis of the trends in farm other gainful activities (OGA) is delineated. Second, an econometric panel regression analysis employing fractional probit model is conducted to investigate the relationship between the share of OGA and different farmer and farm characteristics. The analysis utilizes a balanced panel of 27 EU countries extracted from the Eurostat database between 2005 and 2016. The results show that OGA as main activity significantly decreased between 2005 and 2016, whereas the proportion of sole holder-managers with OGA as secondary activity slightly increased. OGA are explained by economic needs and are mostly related to farm size and farm types with lower economic farm productivity. The main OGA are mainly related to farmer characteristics (e.g. age and gender). Secondary OGA are explained by farm specialization. These trends may continue into the future which may bring an even fewer number of larger, more specialized, and more professional farms that have little time to engage in other activities than their core business of farming. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4812-4824 Issue: 42 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2036687 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2036687 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:42:p:4812-4824 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Svetlana Fedoseeva Author-X-Name-First: Svetlana Author-X-Name-Last: Fedoseeva Author-Name: Rodrigo Zeidan Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Author-X-Name-Last: Zeidan Title: The US-China trade war and the emergence of market power in commodity markets Abstract: The article explores the indirect link between the trade war between China-US and deforestation in Brazil. China imposed tariffs that have eliminated American soy exports by November 2018. Higher soybean prices usually increase deforestation in Brazil. We estimate nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag models combined with multiple breakpoint tests to analyze price transmission changes over time. We show that market power emerges in the short run, while long-run price pass-through is close to complete. Extra profits from unexpected market power should induce land clearing for expanding soy production, a problem compounded by lax regulation, and reduced budgets for combating deforestation in Brazil. Results also suggest that effects on deforestation rates should be temporary. Given that the covid19 pandemic brings about a similar shock to global food markers, particularly demand for Brazilian soy, we expect a similar pattern of emergence of market power in the short but not long-run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4952-4960 Issue: 43 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2039366 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2039366 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:43:p:4952-4960 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gene Ambrocio Author-X-Name-First: Gene Author-X-Name-Last: Ambrocio Title: Euro-area business confidence and COVID-19 Abstract: I study the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on business confidence in 11 Euro area countries and its impact on economic activity. To obtain causal effects, I instrument business confidence with domestic household confidence as well as household confidence in neighboring countries. I find evidence suggesting that the confidence channel was a sizable component to the economic transmission of COVID-19. A one standard deviation drop in business confidence leads to between 5–6 and 9% fall in economic activity in the industrial and wholesale and retail trade sectors, respectively. These results highlight the importance of managing confidence and expectations in crisis episodes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4915-4929 Issue: 43 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2038777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2038777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:43:p:4915-4929 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Gergely Csurilla Author-X-Name-First: Gergely Author-X-Name-Last: Csurilla Author-Name: Imre Fertő Author-X-Name-First: Imre Author-X-Name-Last: Fertő Title: How long does a medal win last? Survival analysis of the duration of Olympic success Abstract: The aim of this article is to examine the factors that determine the durability of Olympic success at seven consecutive Summer Games between 1996 and 2021, employing survival analysis. It is assumed that factors similar to those that influence the durability of Olympic success also influence the likelihood of winning Olympic medals. We examine the durability of Olympic success at the level of sports for all medals, and for each type of medal. Our results suggest that a country can maintain its performance in a sport for an average of 2.1 Olympic Games. The Kaplan-Meier survival function shows that about 85% of spells fail after a single Games The GDP, host country, Communist past, the number of medals in a sport and the duration of preceding medal winning period are associated with successive medal-winning. Population size and the number of previous discontinuous medal wins decrease duration of Olympic success. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5006-5020 Issue: 43 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2039370 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2039370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:43:p:5006-5020 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Jie Ma Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Xiaojun Yang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojun Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Intra-Generational upward mobility and fertility: evidence from transition countries Abstract: We examine the role of intra-generational upward mobility (hereafter upward mobility) in determining the fertility of transition countries. Upward mobility can increase fertility through a positive income effect. It can also reduce the value of children’s support during parents’ elderly years as parents expect to have more resources in the future. Transition countries have experienced large socio-economic changes since the early 1990s and have highly varied economic conditions, including upward mobility. Using data from the Life in Transition Survey, we find that upward mobility increases fertility and the effect is robust to different model specifications. This result is consistent with a dominating income effect. Our findings point out the importance of considering upward mobility to boost fertility which has significant implications for demographic policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4991-5005 Issue: 43 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2039369 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2039369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:43:p:4991-5005 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Imran Arif Author-X-Name-First: Imran Author-X-Name-Last: Arif Title: Regional club convergence: Evidence from U.S. metropolitan-level data Abstract: In this paper, we analyze income per capita absolute and club convergence of 383 metropolitan areas of the U.S. To our knowledge, we are the first to provide club convergence analysis of income per capita at the metropolitan area-level. Using data for 1969–2017 containing 18,767 observations, we employ a data-driven convergence model that also allows heterogeneity in the panel. We demonstrate evidence of the absence of absolute convergence and the presence of club convergence. Furthermore, we use the ordered logit model to analyze the economic, demographic, and several other factors influencing club membership. Our results reveal a diversity of growth experiences across the U.S. metropolitan areas by extensively accounting for heterogeneity using a novel transition dynamic modeling framework. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4979-4990 Issue: 43 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2039368 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2039368 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:43:p:4979-4990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Kun Su Author-X-Name-First: Kun Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Religion, government intervention and crash risk: lessons from China Abstract: The determinants of stock price crash risk remain unclear, especially in transitional economies. Using firm-level data of listed firms in China from 2003 to 2016, we investigate the association between religion and stock price crash risk, as well as the moderating effects of government intervention in Chinese context. Our empirical results show that religious atmosphere in a region alleviates the local firm managerʻs incentive to hide bad news, and thereby potentially reduces stock price crash risk in Chinese context. We also find that the above effect is less pronounced in regions with high government intervention. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4930-4951 Issue: 43 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2038778 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2038778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:43:p:4930-4951 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Yang-Chao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yang-Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jui-Jung Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Jui-Jung Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Author-Name: En You Author-X-Name-First: En Author-X-Name-Last: You Title: The impact of RMB internationalization on the exchange rate linkages in China and ASEAN countries Abstract: This study uses the DCC-GARCH model to analyze the impact of RMB internationalization on exchange rate linkages in China and four ASEAN countries (Malaysia, Thailand, Philippines, and Indonesia) from 2009 to 2020. The results show that China, as the largest trading partner of ASEAN, has made exchange rate transmission very close between the two economic entities. In the process of RMB internationalization, exchange rate linkages exhibit varying characteristics in distinct stages. In the early stage, the direction of RMB internationalization was unclear, and exchange rate linkages were affected by international capital flows. Afterward, the RMB internationalization, combined with the Belt and Road Initiative, was gradually clarified, promoting a unilateral increase in RMB currency value and a decrease in the linkage level. With the implementation of the initiative, the dividends gradually spread to the four ASEAN countries, bringing the linkages to a peak. Subsequently, unilateral exchange rate reforms of the RMB, such as the ‘811 exchange rate reform,ʻ reduced linkages. After 2017, the cumulative effects of the reforms in the previous period appear. The RMB internationalization has taken shape in ASEAN, and the stability of the exchange rate linkages has been greatly improved. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4961-4978 Issue: 43 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2039367 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2039367 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:43:p:4961-4978 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver1343173020271163298.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Anastasia Cozarenco Author-X-Name-First: Anastasia Author-X-Name-Last: Cozarenco Author-Name: Valentina Hartarska Author-X-Name-First: Valentina Author-X-Name-Last: Hartarska Author-Name: Ariane Szafarz Author-X-Name-First: Ariane Author-X-Name-Last: Szafarz Title: Subsidies to microfinance institutions: how do they affect cost efficiency and mission drift? Abstract: The costs and benefits of subsidized microfinance are still controversial. We utilize a cost-function estimation approach that accounts for the double bottom line (social and financial) of microfinance institutions (MFIs) to evaluate how subsidies affect both cost efficiency and risk of mission drift. We control for endogenous self-selection into the business models of credit-only versus credit-plus-deposit. Our results suggest that MFIs that both supply loans and collect deposits need no subsidies to be cost-efficient. In addition, subsidies to these MFIs are associated with an increase in deposit size, which might hurt the most disadvantaged depositors. In sum, combining subsidized funds from donors with deposits increases the risk of mission drift, and can therefore be socially undesirable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5099-5132 Issue: 44 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2041176 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2041176 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:44:p:5099-5132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver-7408340582535660073.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Yu Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Xiangyi Chang Author-X-Name-First: Xiangyi Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Yingjie Shi Author-X-Name-First: Yingjie Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: Interaction of capacity utilization and inventory efficiency: the moderating role of information sharing Abstract: This paper is aimed at verifying the existence of the systematic contradictions between inventory efficiency (IE) and capacity utilization (CU), two critical indicators of firm performance, in the manufacturing industry and the role of information sharing with supply chain partners in weakening the contradictions through empirical analysis. Raw material and finished goods inventory are studied respectively, and the underlying mechanism is established for each. With a cross-sectional dataset, we estimate systems of simultaneous equations with the three-stage least square (3SLS) method to investigate the interacting effects and further conduct the estimation on subsamples grouped by the moderator to study the moderating effects. The study confirms a significant two-way negative relationship between IE and CU and documents a significant negative moderating effect of sharing demand forecast with raw material suppliers on the interaction between raw material inventory efficiency (RMIE) and CU. The findings suggest managers keep in mind that the two operational objectives cannot be achieved at the same time dealing with supply chain uncertainty and take into account the costs and benefits of capacity and inventory when choosing strategies. They can also improve this situation by cooperating with supply chain partners to share information like demand forecast with them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5050-5072 Issue: 44 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2040727 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2040727 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:44:p:5050-5072 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver-1543061607110647264.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Ganghua Mei Author-X-Name-First: Ganghua Author-X-Name-Last: Mei Author-Name: Lei Yue Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Yue Title: Labor supply and time use: evidence from cohabiting women in the United States Abstract: The population of unmarried heterosexual cohabiting women has nearly tripled in the US over the past two decades. While previous studies have tended to ignore these women, or treat them as single/married, this paper examines the labor supply responses of cohabiting women, single women, and married women from 1996 to 2016 using March-CPS. A comparison of the three groups finds that cohabiting women have the lowest labor force participation elasticity with respect to after-tax wages. That cohabiting women would work more hours if their partners earned more annually and married women would not, points to another behavioral difference between the two groups. Results from ATUS-CPS 2003–2017 further imply that cohabiting women share some of the same characteristics of single and married women. We conclude that unmarried heterosexual cohabiting women should be classified as a separate female group. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5133-5158 Issue: 44 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2041177 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2041177 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:44:p:5133-5158 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver4069505895705775540.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Kabir Dasgupta Author-X-Name-First: Kabir Author-X-Name-Last: Dasgupta Author-Name: Keshar M. Ghimire Author-X-Name-First: Keshar M. Author-X-Name-Last: Ghimire Author-Name: Gail Pacheco Author-X-Name-First: Gail Author-X-Name-Last: Pacheco Title: How heavy is the price of smoking? Estimating the effects of prenatal smoking on child weight outcomes Abstract: Existing evidence suggests that maternal smoking during pregnancy leads to a decline in birthweight and a higher risk of obesity during early childhood years. However, the causal nature of the latter relationship is not credibly established. This study advances the literature by estimating the causal impact of motherʻs smoking during pregnancy on child bodyweight outcomes, from birth through age five. We use a nationally representative sample of children and mothers from the United States National Longitudinal Surveys. We model childrenʻs body weight as a function of motherʻs smoking during pregnancy. Our identification technique utilizes the instrumental variable strategy to exploit plausibly exogenous variation in smoking behaviour of mothers prompted by changes in federal and state-level tobacco tax rates at the time of conception. Consistent with prior literature, our instrumental variable estimates suggest children of smokers weigh significantly less at birth than children of nonsmokers (an estimated decline of 0.53 kg). However, there is no credible evidence that these children are more likely to be overweight during early childhood. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5159-5175 Issue: 44 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2041178 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2041178 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:44:p:5159-5175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver8138435640498211983.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Jagriti Srivastava Author-X-Name-First: Jagriti Author-X-Name-Last: Srivastava Author-Name: Balagopal Gopalakrishnan Author-X-Name-First: Balagopal Author-X-Name-Last: Gopalakrishnan Title: Work from home amenability and venture capital financing during COVID-19 Abstract: This paper examines the impact of COVID-19 on venture capital financing of firms. We find a significant shift in the profile of firms that obtain venture capital financing during the pandemic-induced economic crisis. Firms in industries that are more amenable to work from home obtain greater amounts of financing. Growth-stage firms operating in amenable industries are able to obtain higher financing than early-stage firms. The higher financing obtained by firms in amenable industries is driven by venture capital funds focused on the domestic market. Additionally, the higher financing is obtained from a single venture capital investor rather than a consortia of investors. Taken together, the preference of venture capital funds indicate a less risk-averse behavior in financing firms amenable to remote working. The findings of our study using monthly firm-level data provide insights on venture capital financing during the pandemic. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5073-5098 Issue: 44 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2041175 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2041175 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:44:p:5073-5098 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver7030768556793575949.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Yanfeng Wei Author-X-Name-First: Yanfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Xiaoying Guo Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoying Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: The impact of oil supply shocks on real economic activity: new evidence based on the proxy SVARs Abstract: The existing literature on the impact of oil supply shocks on real economic activity after the mid-1980s still fails to reach an agreement. This may be partly due to different identification assumptions and model specifications corresponding to the oil supply shock, and partly due to the oil supply shock identified previously is endogenous to real economic activity. In this paper, based on the proxy structural vector autoregressions (SAVRs), we identify an oil supply shock that is exogenous to real economic activity, and then study the impact of this shock on U.S. real economic activity. We find exogenous oil supply shocks have a very large and persistent impact on U.S. real economic activity after the mid-1980s. Besides, several new possible transmission channels through which exogenous oil supply shocks can influence U.S. real GDP are detected. Specifically, unfavorable exogenous oil supply shocks can lower the consumer sentiment index (CSI) and consumer confidence index (CCI), decrease real net exports of goods and services (NEGS) through the terms of trade (TOT) effect, and reduce real government consumption expenditures and gross investment of state and local (GCEGISL), thus leading to a decline in real GDP. These newly detected transmission channels are very important for policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5035-5049 Issue: 44 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2035312 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2035312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:44:p:5035-5049 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: catalog-resolver6346862861919302248.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220713T202513 git hash: 99d3863004 Author-Name: Zs. Koczan Author-X-Name-First: Zs. Author-X-Name-Last: Koczan Title: Not all in this together? Early estimates of the unequal labour market effects of Covid-19 Abstract: Recent studies have highlighted the unequal labor market effects of the Covid-19 crisis in advanced economies, while studies focusing on developing economies pointed to increases in poverty. We contribute to these literatures by drawing on a new survey of almost 40,000 adults in 14 advanced as well as emerging economies conducted in August 2020. We show that while labor market impacts are, on average, more severe in emerging markets, these are less unequally distributed than in advanced economies. We document that job losses in emerging markets are also concentrated among the young, less educated and those with lower levels of income before the pandemic. However, we find that the likelihood of job losses falls less sharply with income in emerging markets than in advanced economies. Drawing on a similar survey conducted in 2010 we show that, unlike the Global Financial Crisis, the Covid-19 crisis disproportionately hit women. Job losses also appear to be more concentrated among the young now than during the Global Financial Crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5021-5034 Issue: 44 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2035311 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2035311 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:44:p:5021-5034 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2041180_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Solikin M. Juhro Author-X-Name-First: Solikin M. Author-X-Name-Last: Juhro Author-Name: Paresh Kumar Narayan Author-X-Name-First: Paresh Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Narayan Author-Name: Bernard Njindan Iyke Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Njindan Author-X-Name-Last: Iyke Title: Understanding monetary and fiscal policy rule interactions in Indonesia Abstract: We examine the interaction of monetary and fiscal policies in Indonesia from 1974Q2 to 2019Q1. Within a standard structural vector autoregression framework, we show that the reactions of the policy rules are consistent with theoretical predictions. For instance, a contractionary monetary policy is trailed by a contractionary fiscal policy with lower government expenditure. We extend the analysis to evaluate the interaction of policy rules during active and passive regimes. We show that monetary and fiscal policies are not synchronized over the full sample period, suggesting structural and institutional rigidities, particularly in the past. Restricting the sample to a recent period, we find the policies are more harmonized. We attribute this to the recent joint policy coordination initiatives between the monetary and fiscal authorities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5190-5208 Issue: 45 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2041180 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2041180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:45:p:5190-5208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2041183_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Xingquan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Xingquan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Chunyang Lu Author-X-Name-First: Chunyang Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Zheng Yang Author-X-Name-First: Zheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Capital-Market Liberalization and Controlling Shareholders’ Tunneling—Experimental Research in the Context of “Mainland China-Hong Kong Stock Connect” Abstract: Foreign investors attracted by capital-market liberalization may either inhibit controlling shareholdersʻ tunneling due to the influence of ‘long-term value investmentʻ or exacerbate it due to the effect of ‘short-term price speculation.ʻ Therefore, it is unclear whether and how capital-market liberalization will eventually influence controlling shareholdersʻ tunneling. We take the implementation of Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect (SHHKSC) and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect (SZHKSC) in Chinaʻs capital market as a quasi-natural experiment and use a difference-in-differences (DID) model to identify the causal effect of capital-market liberalization on controlling shareholdersʻ tunneling. The results show that capital-market liberalization significantly reduces controlling shareholdersʻ tunneling. Improving the quality of information disclosure and corporate governance as the predominant channels that allow capital-market liberalization to reduce controlling shareholdersʻ tunneling. Further analysis shows that the effect is more pronounced when companies are private, when the level of external marketization is low and when product market competition is weak. This study enriches and supplements the literature that the impact of capital-market liberalization on the real economy and provides policy insights. Regulators should improve the supervision of information disclosure and corporate governance to decrease controlling shareholdersʻ tunneling. (Jel codes:D82;G34;G38) Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5241-5256 Issue: 45 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2041183 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2041183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:45:p:5241-5256 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2041184_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Luca Bettarelli Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Bettarelli Author-Name: Laura Resmini Author-X-Name-First: Laura Author-X-Name-Last: Resmini Title: The determinants of FDI: a new network-based approach Abstract: This article investigates the determinants of FDI at sub-national level. It recognizes that MNEsʻ foreign activities are organized in networks of strongly interconnected, but geographically dispersed affiliates. This implies a different approach to the analysis of the determinants of FDI, which should focus on contextual factors able to stimulate economic relations at distance. Methodologically, we use a gravity-type model and different regression techniques with a new dataset on networks of FDI involving German and Italian regions. We find evidence that technologically proximate regions sharing the same industry profile are more likely to experience positive and large networks driven by MNEs, with weaker evidence related to cultural and institutional proximities, which cannot compensate the negative impact of geographic distance. The distinctive contribution of this paper is to emphasize that local policies to attract FDI are more likely to succeed if addressed to similar regions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5257-5272 Issue: 45 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2041184 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2041184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:45:p:5257-5272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2041181_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Jared Barton Author-X-Name-First: Jared Author-X-Name-Last: Barton Author-Name: Xiaofei Pan Author-X-Name-First: Xiaofei Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: Relatively accurate but absolutely off: U.S. residents’ estimates of relative and absolute economic mobility Abstract: Using results from two treatment arms of a larger nationwide survey experiment in the United States, we add evidence on how Americans perceive social mobility. In one arm, respondents estimate both upward and downward relative economic mobility, while in the other, respondents estimate the absolute economic mobility (that is, do children out-earn their parents?) for each quintile of the parental income distribution. This latter question has been overlooked in the literature. We find respondentsʻ average estimates of relative downward mobility to be remarkably close to reality. The average estimate of relative upward mobility is also close, though both estimates underestimate relative mobility. There are small partisan differences in accuracy on relative mobility, with Republican-leaning respondents providing the most accurate estimates, but respondentsʻ perception of absolute mobility significantly underestimate (overestimate) mobility for the poorest (highest-income) children irrespective of partisan affiliation. Our results provide important insights on the implementation of redistribution policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5209-5222 Issue: 45 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2041181 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2041181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:45:p:5209-5222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2041179_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Chandan Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Chandan Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Rupika Khanna Author-X-Name-First: Rupika Author-X-Name-Last: Khanna Title: Assessing asymmetric determinants of commodity-level exports: the role of policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: This paper explores the economic consequences of non-pharmaceutical government intervention to curb disease spread on Indian commodity-level exports. This is the first study to assess the export implications of the pandemic using a panel linear as well as a novel non-linear ARDL framework. Our results show that pandemic-related stringencies have a positive effect on Indian exports in the long-run. This result holds valid for domestic as well export destination countriesʻ stringencies. However, our evidence suggests that reducing stringencies has a more dominating effect on Indian exports than tightening of stringencies. Also, stringencies and uncertainty impact exports adversely in the short-run. Furthermore, pandemic-related financial uncertainty is found to have a dampening effect on exporting. Our results also show a significant asymmetric impact of policy responses on exports, especially for agriculture and manufacturing commodities, while mineral products are relatively less impacted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5176-5189 Issue: 45 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2041179 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2041179 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:45:p:5176-5189 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2041182_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Swati Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Swati Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Author-Name: Amaresh Dubey Author-X-Name-First: Amaresh Author-X-Name-Last: Dubey Title: Like father, like son: does migration experienced during child schooling affect mobility? Abstract: Using a sample of 39,297 father-son pairs from Indian Human Development Surveys (IHDS), we examine whether migration experienced during child schooling affects the relationship between parent and child education. We relax the co-residency restriction for father-son pairs to obviate coresident sample selection bias in our mobility estimates. The panel structure of data enables us to identify children who were enrolled in school at the time when their families migrated. We find that migration experienced during schooling increases downward mobility. In particular, those children who were young at the time of migration tend to have poor educational outcomes. We show that widely cited aggregate measures of mobility provide an incomplete representation of intergenerational persistence in India, as most of the persistence originates from the tails of the educational distribution. The sons of the least educated fathers have poor prospects of upward mobility and face a glass ceiling in higher education. We use heteroscedasticity-based identification and Rosenbaumʻs sensitivity analysis to account for unobserved heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5223-5240 Issue: 45 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2041182 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2041182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:45:p:5223-5240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2042465_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Qundi Feng Author-X-Name-First: Qundi Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Qinying He Author-X-Name-First: Qinying Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Chung-Ping A. Loh Author-X-Name-First: Chung-Ping A. Author-X-Name-Last: Loh Title: The effect of childhood left‑behind experience on individual’s income: evidence from China Abstract: Childhood circumstances may have a long-term impact on individual life-cycle outcomes. Using data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey, we explore the long-term effect of childhood left-behind experience due to parental rural-to-urban migration. The extended regression model is employed to address the potential endogeneity of being left-behind children with an instrument variable. The results indicate that the left-behind experience in childhood leads to a significantly lower income in adulthood. Robustness checks using the probability of being relative poverty validate our findings. Mechanism analysis shows that parental migration would reduce household income per capita, childrenʻs health outcomes, and the probability of enrolling in post-compulsory education, which were the possible channels. Our analysis highlights the long-term consequences of childhood left-behind experience, which suggests the need for preventive intervention to improve the early development of left-behind children and throughout the life course. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5273-5286 Issue: 45 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2042465 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2042465 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:45:p:5273-5286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2042480_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Chao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Lifang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Lifang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Huasheng Song Author-X-Name-First: Huasheng Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: The impact of social security contributions on corporate innovation: evidence from the contribution collection reform in China Abstract: This paper identifies a positive causal effect of social security contributions on corporate innovation by exploiting the staggered passage of social contributions collection reforms in China. The collection of social security contributions was switched from social security institutions to tax authorities in Chinese provinces that have adopted collection reforms, which reduced employer-borne contributions. Our results indicate that a decrease in employer social security contributions induces an increase in the demand for labor by making labor less costly, subsequently discouraging labor-saving innovation. Moreover, the response of the innovation to the reforms is stronger for labor-intensive firms and non-state-owned enterprises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5320-5334 Issue: 46 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2042480 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2042480 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:46:p:5320-5334 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2044994_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Yao-Tung Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yao-Tung Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Sheng-Chang Peng Author-X-Name-First: Sheng-Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Title: Information asymmetry in medical insurance: an empirical study of one life insurance company in Taiwan Abstract: Based on the data from one anonymous but renowned life insurance company in Taiwan, this paper focuses on a big data analysis using R programming language while adhering to the requisite conditions for the validity of using regression model to test the existence of the issue of information asymmetry in medical insurance. The log-linear regression model is adopted to fit with the data set and it is shown: There is a significantly non-linear positive relationship between the compensations and the insurance coverage, indicating that the issue of information asymmetry does exist among those claimants under discussion; the older those claimants were insured, the more they claimed; women claimed more medical compensation than men; those paying premiums quarterly claimed the highest. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5351-5356 Issue: 46 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2044994 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2044994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:46:p:5351-5356 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2042479_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Luz Mariel Bustamante-Ayala Author-X-Name-First: Luz Mariel Author-X-Name-Last: Bustamante-Ayala Author-Name: Gerardo Angeles Castro Author-X-Name-First: Gerardo Author-X-Name-Last: Angeles Castro Author-Name: José Teran-Vargas Author-X-Name-First: José Author-X-Name-Last: Teran-Vargas Title: The financial sector structure and performance and its impact on the Mexican economy: a perspective from the Financial Social Accounting Matrix Abstract: The study of the financial system, within the context of a Social Accounting Matrix, to identify its potential contribution to the economy and the linkages between the financial and productive sectors, is a topic barely explored, especially in emerging economies. This paper presents the construction of a Financial Social Accounting Matrix for the case of Mexico for the year 2013, using the Top-Down approach. It also presents an analytical tool through multipliers and impact simulations to understand the interconnection of income and expenditure transactions between sectors of the economy, into the intersectoral framework of financial sector flows and funds, identifying which sectors are creditors or debtors. We find that despite encouraging strategic sectors and allocating income to financial companies, the impact generated on other productive sectors is weak. Real estate services is the subsector that generates more monetary units for each exogenous monetary unit received. The methodology can be applied to assess the effects of impact simulations for planning policy, such as knowing the strategic sectors of the economy with greater linkages, and the possibility to assign and redirect financing to promote the consumption and investment capacity of both companies and households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5305-5319 Issue: 46 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2042479 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2042479 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:46:p:5305-5319 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2042478_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Arief Rasyid Author-X-Name-First: Arief Author-X-Name-Last: Rasyid Author-Name: Jason Nassios Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Nassios Author-Name: Elizabeth L. Roos Author-X-Name-First: Elizabeth L. Author-X-Name-Last: Roos Author-Name: James A. Giesecke Author-X-Name-First: James A. Author-X-Name-Last: Giesecke Title: Assessing the economy-wide impacts of strengthened bank capital requirements in Indonesia using a financial computable general equilibrium model Abstract: After the 2008 global financial crisis, authorities across the globe stressed the importance of equity capital to absorb losses. While many countries have raised bank capital adequacy requirements (CARs), the comprehensive impact assessment of this policy for emerging economies remains largely unexplored. We use a financial computable general equilibrium (FCGE) model of Indonesia called AMELIA-F to investigate the economy-wide impact of a 100 basis points increase in the CAR of Indonesian banks. Bank balance sheets contract as they move away from holding riskier assets, aiding macroeconomic stability. However, both non-housing and housing investment contract as banks pass on higher funding costs, driving long-run real GDP below baseline. As we discuss, debt-to-equity ratios for these sectors, and the economy-wide private debt to income ratio all fall, thus aiding long-run macroeconomic stability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5287-5304 Issue: 46 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2042478 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2042478 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:46:p:5287-5304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2044995_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Sandrine Kablan Author-X-Name-First: Sandrine Author-X-Name-Last: Kablan Author-Name: Valérie Chouard Author-X-Name-First: Valérie Author-X-Name-Last: Chouard Title: Does climate aid matter for reducing CO2 emissions? The case of foreign aid for renewable energy Abstract: This article aims to investigate how climate aid devoted to renewable energy contributes to CO2 emissions in recipient countries. Indeed, since the beginning of the 2000s, international agreements between developed and developing countries have promoted the provision of financial aid to the second group of countries to help them fight global warming. We first discuss stylized facts on climate finance devoted to renewable energy and its impact on CO2 emissions. We can see that while the first variable is quickly increasing, the second variable displays a decrease from 2010. Econometric results show that climate aid for renewable energy has a slight impact on CO2 emissions reduction, especially after a threshold. However, despite this optimistic result, the impact is transitory. Indeed, this result can be explained by the fact that developing countries are more preoccupied by economic efficiency than ecological efficiency. However, in countries where a carbon tax is set, the tax contributes to reducing CO2 emissions. Finally, we show that ecological technologies imported through foreign direct investment do not yet play a significant role in reducing CO2 emissions or CO2 intensity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5357-5372 Issue: 46 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2044995 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2044995 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:46:p:5357-5372 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2044012_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Todd Gabel Author-X-Name-First: Todd Author-X-Name-Last: Gabel Title: Canadian welfare reform and the importance of entry Abstract: Since 1993, many Canadian provinces reformed their welfare systems with the twin goals of reducing costs and increasing the self-sufficiency of its participants. Different classifications of these policies are presented, and a welfare reform policy bundle is proposed. Using a novel dynamic panel model approach, which accommodates for past participation in driving future participation choices, it is found that welfare reform reduced participation rates by about 0.7% points (or about 10.3% relative to the unconditional mean rate of participation). This effect size is smaller than those reported in studies using static models, suggesting welfare reform may have previously gained additional ‘credit’ for reducing welfare caseloads by absorbing the effect of prior nonparticipation. Using a set of transition models, it is then shown that these declines in participation were achieved by reducing the probability of welfare entry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5335-5350 Issue: 46 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2044012 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2044012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:46:p:5335-5350 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2044996_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Hideaki Sakawa Author-X-Name-First: Hideaki Author-X-Name-Last: Sakawa Author-Name: Naoki Watanabel Author-X-Name-First: Naoki Author-X-Name-Last: Watanabel Title: Impact of the COVID‑19 outbreak on stock market returns: Evidence from Japanese‑listed tourism firms Abstract: This study analyzes Japanese tourism firms’ stock market response to the announcement of the COVID-19 outbreak in China. We also aim to reveal the impact of government policy response on the relationship between the effect of the COVID-19 outbreak and Japanese tourism stock returns. We adopt the event study method to analyze the negative impact of the outbreak on Japanese tourism abnormal stock returns (ARs). We found that the lockdown announcements in Wuhan were significantly negative for stock market returns in Japanese tourism and travel-related stocks. Moreover, there is a negative relationship between government response and Japanese tourism stock returns. Finally, the government response weakens the negative relationship between the COVID-19 cases and ARs in Japanese tourism and travel-related industries. Our results imply that the government response is useful in mitigating the negative impact on the relationship between the COVID-19 cases and ARs in the early stages of the outbreak. This study contributes to the design of effective government strategies for future pandemics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5373-5377 Issue: 46 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2044996 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2044996 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:46:p:5373-5377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2044997_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Raquel Langarita Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Langarita Author-Name: Ignacio Cazcarro Author-X-Name-First: Ignacio Author-X-Name-Last: Cazcarro Title: The socio-economic impact of sports tourism events in rural areas and losses from COVID19: a case study in Spain Abstract: This work evaluates the effects that several outdoor ‘popular’ sports events, held in the province of Huesca, had on production and employment in the Aragonese economy (a European region in Northeast Spain). We use data from 880 questionnaires responded to by participants of the most significant and recent sporting events held in Huesca. The data have been used to build a vector of final demand increases. For the analysis, we update the input-output table for Aragon from the last one available, from 2005 to 2010. Using the input-output methodology, the results suggest positive effects on production and employment in most sectors (estimated to be about equal to current losses from not having these events, due to COVID19) The events under examination are typically 1-day affairs and have relatively low costs (registration income surpasses costs, and typically use public unused/unsaturated spaces). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5378-5392 Issue: 47 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2044997 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2044997 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:47:p:5378-5392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2045000_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Mustafa Kamal Author-X-Name-First: Mustafa Author-X-Name-Last: Kamal Author-Name: Paul Blacklow Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Blacklow Title: Attitudes and personality in the Australian gender wage gap Abstract: This paper estimates the effects of gender role attitudes and personality traits on the gender wage gap in Australia. Applying standard decomposition techniques and controlling for a wide range of variables, the paper finds that at least 67.8% of the total gender wage gap of 17.4% in 2019 remains unexplained – a figure which is lower than previous years. The results establish gender role attitudes as a key predictor of this pay gap both in the explained and unexplained part of the wage decomposition. It also shows that the impact of personality traits depends on whether the big five traits or the sub-traits are used in the analysis. Even some of the sub-traits belonging to the same category can influence the gender pay gap in opposite directions. Overall, the estimates establish the importance of psychological variables as more important than traditional human capital and other work-related characteristics in explaining the remaining gender wage gap in Australia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5442-5459 Issue: 47 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2045000 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2045000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:47:p:5442-5459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2044999_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Joseph Goeb Author-X-Name-First: Joseph Author-X-Name-Last: Goeb Author-Name: Mywish Maredia Author-X-Name-First: Mywish Author-X-Name-Last: Maredia Author-Name: Khin Zin Win Author-X-Name-First: Khin Zin Author-X-Name-Last: Win Author-Name: Ian Masias Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Masias Author-Name: Isabel Lambrecht Author-X-Name-First: Isabel Author-X-Name-Last: Lambrecht Author-Name: Duncan Boughton Author-X-Name-First: Duncan Author-X-Name-Last: Boughton Author-Name: Bart Minten Author-X-Name-First: Bart Author-X-Name-Last: Minten Title: Urban food prices under lockdown: evidence from Myanmar’s traditional food retail sector during COVID-19 Abstract: Many governments imposed stringent lockdowns during the COVID-19 pandemic. With consumer incomes already depressed, the potential impacts of these measures on urban food prices are of particular concern, especially for poor or vulnerable households. This paper examines changes in urban food prices during lockdown using detailed food price data from family-owned retail shops – an important urban food supplier – in Myanmar’s two largest cities, Yangon and Mandalay. We find that the supply side of Myanmar’s traditional food retail sector was largely resilient to the shocks and lockdowns over the first six months of the COVID-19 pandemic. Estimates from a fixed effects difference-in-differences model reveal that food prices were 3% higher in townships under lockdown compared to those not under lockdown. Price differences were largest for raw or lightly processed commodities sourced through wholesale markets, which comprise a larger share of urban consumer’s diets. We find no evidence of price gouging as retailer margins were not significantly different under lockdown restrictions. Our results suggest that the traditional food retail sector is an asset for food security, particularly in times of crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5412-5441 Issue: 47 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2044999 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2044999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:47:p:5412-5441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2047595_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Karel Hrazdil Author-X-Name-First: Karel Author-X-Name-Last: Hrazdil Author-Name: Jeong Bon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jeong Bon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Xin Li Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: How do chief executive officers with pilot status navigate through corporate social responsibility? Abstract: We investigate whether and how managerial risk-tolerance at the individual level affects corporate social responsibility (CSR) performance at company level. We use CEO aviation training as an observable ex-ante measure of CEO risk-tolerance. Contrary to a commonly held view, we show that firms led by CEOs with pilot status exhibit lower CSR performance. This finding holds even after controlling for CEO pay–performance incentives, military experience, overconfidence and other CEO and firm characteristics that prior studies document as affecting CSR performance. In further cross-sectional tests, we show that when a firm is R&D intensive, belongs to a high-tech industry, or faces fiercer product market competition, the negative effect of CEO risk-tolerance on CSR performance is more pronounced, suggesting that CSR may act as an insurance or risk-hedging tool. Overall, we provide evidence that risk-tolerance of CEO plays a significant role in shaping CSR performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5460-5475 Issue: 47 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2047595 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2047595 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:47:p:5460-5475 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2047597_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Muhammad Ansar Majeed Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Ansar Author-X-Name-Last: Majeed Author-Name: Chao Yan Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Title: Financial statement comparability and stock liquidity: evidence from China Abstract: This study examines the effect of financial statement comparability on stock liquidity. Drawing from information asymmetry arguments, we posit that greater comparability increases financial transparency, which improves the information environment and increases stock liquidity. Our results show a positive relationship between comparability and stock liquidity. However, the effect of comparability on stock liquidity is only significant for non state-owned enterprises. Additionally, institutional ownership strengthens the impact of comparability on stock liquidity. Our findings suggest a more pronounced comparability effect on stock liquidity for firms with greater information opacity. Overall, our study indicates that higher comparability decreases information asymmetry and facilitates investors’ decision-making. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5497-5514 Issue: 47 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2047597 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2047597 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:47:p:5497-5514 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2044998_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Hassan F. Gholipour Author-X-Name-First: Hassan F. Author-X-Name-Last: Gholipour Author-Name: Amir Arjomandi Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Arjomandi Author-Name: Mohammad Reza Farzanegan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Reza Author-X-Name-Last: Farzanegan Author-Name: Sharon Yam Author-X-Name-First: Sharon Author-X-Name-Last: Yam Title: Global and local economic uncertainties and office vacancy in Australia: a sub-class analysis Abstract: Motivated by uncertainties caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, this study examines how office vacancy ratios (for premium, A, B, C and D-grade spaces) in Australia respond to shocks in global and local economic uncertainties. Using semiannual data from 1998 to 2020 and applying the vector autoregression (VAR) model, our results suggest that office vacancy ratios respond positively to economic uncertainty shocks in general, and especially to local economic uncertainty. Moreover, our sub-class analyses show that vacancy ratios in various office spaces respond differently to uncertainty shocks. The office vacancy ratio in premium-grade office responds to both shocks after one year with its responses fading out in year three. B-grade and C-grade vacancy ratios respond to both shocks within the first year and responses last for about 4 years. Additionally, sub-lease vacancy ratios in the aggregate office space show quick responses to uncertainty shocks (dying out in 2 years), while direct vacancy ratios respond after about 1 year (but fading out in 3 years). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5393-5411 Issue: 47 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2044998 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2044998 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:47:p:5393-5411 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2047596_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Yigit Atilgan Author-X-Name-First: Yigit Author-X-Name-Last: Atilgan Author-Name: K. Ozgur Demirtas Author-X-Name-First: K. Ozgur Author-X-Name-Last: Demirtas Author-Name: A. Doruk Gunaydin Author-X-Name-First: A. Doruk Author-X-Name-Last: Gunaydin Author-Name: Mustafa Oztekin Author-X-Name-First: Mustafa Author-X-Name-Last: Oztekin Title: Price discovery in emerging market ETFs Abstract: This study investigates the price discovery role of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by examining the predictive relation between the returns of emerging market ETFs traded in the US and the returns to the aggregate equity indices that they track. In a sample that covers 18 countries, we find that ETF returns can predict one-day-ahead returns of their underlying indices. This relation is robust after controlling for the non-synchronicity between markets, serial correlation in index returns, and various determinants of aggregate returns. Moreover, the predictive relation is more pronounced during periods of higher volatility and evidence for bidirectional spillover effects is weak. We also find that an out-of-sample rolling window strategy outperforms investing in the market index several-fold in the majority of the markets, especially in the high-volatility subsample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5476-5496 Issue: 47 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2047596 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2047596 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:47:p:5476-5496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2047599_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Bartholomew Bilijo Bachori Author-X-Name-First: Bartholomew Bilijo Author-X-Name-Last: Bachori Author-Name: Emmanuel Buabeng Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Buabeng Author-Name: Daniel Sakyi Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Sakyi Title: Currency hedging behavior for stock returns uncertainty in Ghana Abstract: This article investigates the dynamic interaction between stock market returns and exchange rate movement and their implication for portfolio risk management in Ghana. To do so, and considering the Covid-19 crisis, the Dynamic Conditional Correlation Multivariate GARCH estimation technique was employed on daily data for Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE) Composite Index and the Ghana Cedi to USD, Euro, and GBP exchange rates from 3 January 2012 to 26 November 2021. The results revealed that: (i) the GSE market has no significant exposure to the USD, Euro, and GBP exchange rates in the full sample and periods before the crisis but was significantly exposed to the Euro rates during the crisis, (ii) the returns on holding foreign currencies were relatively higher but riskier compared to returns on stocks for the full sample and periods before the crisis, and (iii) while the Euro rates act as the most efficient hedge currency for stock returns uncertainty the correlations between stock returns and exchange rate movement were generally low and therefore, forming a portfolio of stocks and currency pairs improved an investor’s daily returns and risk. Based on the findings, relevant policy suggestions are offered to guide investors and policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5532-5548 Issue: 48 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2047599 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2047599 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:48:p:5532-5548 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2047598_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Amat Adarov Author-X-Name-First: Amat Author-X-Name-Last: Adarov Author-Name: David Klenert Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Klenert Author-Name: Robert Marschinski Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Marschinski Author-Name: Robert Stehrer Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Stehrer Title: Productivity drivers: empirical evidence on the role of digital and intangible capital, FDI and integration Abstract: We examine the drivers of labor productivity at aggregate and sectoral levels focusing on tangible and intangible ICT capital, FDI and global value chain participation. The analysis, based on a panel dataset of 18 EU countries, the US and Japan over the period 2000–2017, reveals an important role of ICT capital, especially intangible ICT capital embodied in software and databases, in driving labor productivity growth. Furthermore, backward global value chain participation is also positively associated with productivity. Contrary to expectations, we do not find evidence of a productivity-enhancing effect of foreign direct investment when controlling for phantom FDI related to special purpose entities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5515-5531 Issue: 48 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2047598 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2047598 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:48:p:5515-5531 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2047604_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Stephen Matteo Miller Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Matteo Author-X-Name-Last: Miller Author-Name: Thandinkosi Ndhlela Author-X-Name-First: Thandinkosi Author-X-Name-Last: Ndhlela Title: “Burning money” and institutional decline during Zimbabwe’s hyperinflation Abstract: During Zimbabwe’s hyperinflation that ended in 2009, people turned to an illegal round-tripping transaction called ‘burning money’ to preserve purchasing power. The transaction involved illegally acquiring foreign currency at the official rate before converting back to domestic currency in the black market. After computing the widely used ‘Old Mutual’ parallel market rate from the ratio of prices of Old Mutual shares, which traded in London and Harare, we use the daily parallel market and official exchange rate data from 1999 to 2008 to estimate the monthly value of ‘burning money’. While arguably vital, as the transactions were optional, we value them using a single-factor call exchange option formula, which accounts for the volatility of official and parallel market exchange rates and systematic parallel market risk and compare it to changes in the parallel market premium, often used to measure non-unified exchange rates. The ‘burning money’ option values exceed changes in the parallel market premium and respond more to institutional decline, measured using the cash component of M2 equal to one minus the non-cash component of M2 known as Contract Intensive Money, and especially political risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5605-5621 Issue: 48 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2047604 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2047604 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:48:p:5605-5621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2047600_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Eli Agba Author-X-Name-First: Eli Author-X-Name-Last: Agba Author-Name: Hamza Bennani Author-X-Name-First: Hamza Author-X-Name-Last: Bennani Author-Name: Jean-Yves Gnabo Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Yves Author-X-Name-Last: Gnabo Title: Assessing the sources of heterogeneity in eurozone response to unconventional monetary policy Abstract: In this paper, we aim at explaining a specific type of heterogeneity in the euro area pertaining to the diverging responses of countries and sectors to the European Central Bank’s Unconventional Monetary Policy. Equipped with stock markets indices of 17 sectors for each euro area country, we first preform an event-study analysis to assess the reaction of the markets. Next, we regress the responses on a set of country-specific drivers. Our main findings show that variables related to the nature of banking industry (e.g. cost-to-income, return on assets), macroeconomic environment (e.g. gross debt) and macroprudential policy all contribute to observe diverging responses to ECB’s monetary policies. While some sectors and countries responded more negatively than positively to the policies, the Unconventional Monetary Policy impacts the markets positively on average. A policy implication is that the heterogeneous response calls for domestic structural reforms that should target the discrepancies in the banking and the macroeconomic environments across euro area countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5549-5574 Issue: 48 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2047600 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2047600 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:48:p:5549-5574 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2047601_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Jennifer T Lai Author-X-Name-First: Jennifer T Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Jing Xie Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Shiyun Cao Author-X-Name-First: Shiyun Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Hao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Digital financial inclusion and illegal fundraising in China Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of digital financial inclusion on illegal fundraising activities in China. From the China Judgments Online website, we extract data of criminal court cases of illegal fundraising from 2013 to 2019, during which both the illegal fundraising court cases and the development of digital finance displayed a rising trend. We then evaluate if digital financial inclusion may have worsened illegal fundraising activities. We find that digital financial inclusion has a positive effect on illegal fundraising activities. This effect remains robust under alternative measures of the intensity of illegal fundraising activities and when instrumental variable estimations are used to tackle potential endogeneity problems. Furthermore, convenient banking services are an important channel through which digital financial inclusion exerts its positive impact on illegal fundraising. Therefore, while active promotions of digital finance could benefit economic development, it is also necessary to timely improve the supervision of emerging finance to guard against financial risks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5575-5590 Issue: 48 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2047601 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2047601 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:48:p:5575-5590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2047605_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Mantu Kumar Mahalik Author-X-Name-First: Mantu Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mahalik Author-Name: John Nkwoma Inekwe Author-X-Name-First: John Nkwoma Author-X-Name-Last: Inekwe Author-Name: Kuntal Kumar Das Author-X-Name-First: Kuntal Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Das Author-Name: Umakant Dash Author-X-Name-First: Umakant Author-X-Name-Last: Dash Author-Name: Augustine C. Arize Author-X-Name-First: Augustine C. Author-X-Name-Last: Arize Title: Does the pattern of age dependency matter in the promotion of financial development in an emerging economy? Abstract: In this study, we examine the financial development effect of population aging pattern in India. We examine the period 1960 to 2017 and analyse the various types of age dependency, which includes both old and young measures. By using structural VAR and ARDL techniques, we find that changes in young age dependency have a significant impact on changes in financial development in India while dependency by the old generation does not affect it. This study suggests that government and policymakers should protect the health, longevity and working conditions of young age people for the promotion of better financial development in India. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5622-5637 Issue: 48 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2047605 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2047605 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:48:p:5622-5637 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2047603_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220804T044749 git hash: 24b08f8188 Author-Name: Jung Hwa Suh Author-X-Name-First: Jung Hwa Author-X-Name-Last: Suh Author-Name: Si-Hun Park Author-X-Name-First: Si-Hun Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Effects of business strategies on the selection of trusted taxpayers: case of South Korea Abstract: This study examines the effects of corporate business strategies on the selection of companies as trusted taxpayers in South Korea. The financial policies of companies with a prospector-type business strategy reflect inherent business uncertainties and risks, resulting in overvalued assets and profits and undervalued liabilities and expenses. By contrast, companies adopting a defender-type business strategy tend to accomplish economies of scale through various products and services, resulting in undervalued assets and profits and overvalued liabilities and expenses. Consequently, companies with a prospector-type business strategy are expected to be more likely to be selected as trusted taxpayers than companies using a defender-type business strategy. Our empirical analysis confirms that the probability of selection as a trusted taxpayer increases significantly when the company is a prospector and decreases significantly when the company is a defender. That is, prospector companies have a higher probability of selection as trusted taxpayers due to their aggressive accounting measures, whereas defender companies have a lower probability of selection as trusted taxpayers due to their conservative accounting measures. These findings have implications for tax authorities and executives by illustrating the characteristics required for companies to be selected as trusted taxpayers Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5591-5604 Issue: 48 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2047603 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2047603 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:48:p:5591-5604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2048787_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Qifan Huang Author-X-Name-First: Qifan Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Saizi Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Saizi Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Castiel Chen Zhuang Author-X-Name-First: Castiel Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhuang Title: The heterogeneous impact of COVID-19 in a two-sided market: evidence from a live-streaming platform Abstract: Two-sided digital platforms play an increasingly important role in our economy. During the COVID-19 pandemic, our involvement with these platforms increases drastically, but little is known about how the behavior of consumers and the labor market performance of workers in a two-sided market are affected by an economy-wide shock. This article uses a unique real-time dataset from a live-streaming platform to investigate how virtual gifting of fans and live e-commerce decisions and sales of anchors are influenced by COVID-19. Our general quantile regression approach suggests that the pandemic severity on the fans side instead of the anchors side increases virtual gifting to low-paying anchors, consistent with our theoretical prediction. In addition to the prices adjusted by the platform, we also find user participation and gender potential mechanisms through which COVID-19 affects virtual gifting. Due to increased popularity caused by the pandemic, low-paying anchors conduct more live e-commerce and achieve higher sales. Our results document the de-polarization of a novel and emerging labor market with flexible workforce on a digital platform and emphasize the need to take market structures into account when studying the impact of demand shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5670-5689 Issue: 49 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2048787 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2048787 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:49:p:5670-5689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2048788_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Liurui Deng Author-X-Name-First: Liurui Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Author-Name: Zilan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zilan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jie Tan Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Title: Optimal portfolio and consumption choices of retirees with uncertain lifetimes under cumulative prospect theory Abstract: In this paper, based on Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT), we focus on the optimal portfolio and consumption under uncertain lifetime. Previous work considers similar problems under Expected Utility Theory but not CPT. Our main contribution is to use CPT to more accurately model the characteristics of the retirees’ psychology and investment behavior after retirement. Moreover, we study the effect of the changes in psychology related to investment on consumption over an uncertain lifetime. We obtain explicit solutions for the optimal portfolio and consumption decisions. Furthermore, through numerical analysis, we compare our optimal consumption with that obtained by Alexander Kremer et al. In empirical analysis, we obtain the result that there is a significant inverted U-shaped relationship between the retirement age and the consumption rate. The result is consistent with one of theoretical and numerical analysis. Endogenous test and robustness test also support this result. Furthermore, we achieve the key conclusion that the effect of retirement age on consumption rate is heterogeneous. Specially, the impact of retirement age on consumption is different for different medical costs, geographic areas, gender and levels of education. But, the inverted U-shaped relationship between the retirement age and the consumption rate still exists. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5690-5716 Issue: 49 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2048788 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2048788 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:49:p:5690-5716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2047606_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Rodolfo G. Campos Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo G. Author-X-Name-Last: Campos Author-Name: Jacopo Timini Author-X-Name-First: Jacopo Author-X-Name-Last: Timini Title: Unequal trade, unequal gains: the heterogeneous impact of MERCOSUR Abstract: We estimate the impact of MERCOSUR on trade flows and on gains from trade for its member countries using a standard modern general equilibrium quantitative structural gravity model. We find a highly heterogeneous impact on bilateral trade flows and gains from trade. We estimate that gains from trade attributable to MERCOSUR are equivalent to a 4.0% increase in per-capita consumption for Argentina. For the other countries, gains from trade are smaller: 0.8% for Uruguay, 0.5% for Paraguay, and 0.3% for Brazil. We study whether Brazil would benefit from withdrawing from MERCOSUR and signing a trade agreement with a different trade bloc but conclude that net gains from such a switch would be small, if any. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5655-5669 Issue: 49 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2047606 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2047606 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:49:p:5655-5669 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2042466_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Yunrong Li Author-X-Name-First: Yunrong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Ricardo Mora Author-X-Name-First: Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Mora Title: On the use of social networking services and the ability to socialize: evidence from Chinese children aged 10 to 15 Abstract: We use longitudinal individual data from a nationally representative sample of Chinese children aged 10 to 15 to investigate whether restrictions on internet use for social interactions affect social skills among adolescents. First, we find that (i) for most children offline and online relations are complements so that online restrictions reduce their offline social relations; (ii) these negative effects are mostly invariant to the size of the online network; and (iii) for older children they are large and statistically significant even in the absence of network effects. Second, we find that offline social relations directly affect social skills while online social relations do not. These results are consistent with the view that the majority of adolescents use online technologies to intensify their offline social relations, which has a positive effect on their ability to socialize with others. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5639-5654 Issue: 49 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2042466 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2042466 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:49:p:5639-5654 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2052009_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Qinyi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Qinyi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Belton M. Fleisher Author-X-Name-First: Belton M. Author-X-Name-Last: Fleisher Title: Job tasks and cognitive skill accumulation Abstract: Individuals’ cognitive skills can be improved through learning by doing various tasks at work. We report the results of studying rich information on job tasks performed at the individual level based on three measures of job task complexity: (i) overall job complexity, (ii) analytical task intensity, and (iii) interactive task intensity. Controlling for task selection, we show that both overall job task complexity and analytical tasks can contribute to the development of a worker’s cognitive skills, while interactive tasks play a less significant role. Furthermore, we find that complex job tasks can offset the effect of aging on cognitive functioning. We show the implications of our research results for work design, cognitive interventions, and retirement policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5734-5753 Issue: 49 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2052009 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2052009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:49:p:5734-5753 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_1843332_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: The Editors Title: Correction Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5754-5754 Issue: 49 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2020.1843332 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2020.1843332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:49:p:5754-5754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2049674_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Michael A. Roach Author-X-Name-First: Michael A. Author-X-Name-Last: Roach Title: Surprise information in Major League Baseball: how teams and betting markets respond Abstract: Studies of financial markets have shown markets inefficiently underreacting to surprise information, discounting it too heavily in the short term. This paper explores this phenomenon in a new but analogous setting: Major League Baseball. I analyze how surprise information – the deviation between a team’s realized win total and the preseason expectations of betting markets – is incorporated into the teams’ personnel investments and into betting markets. Using fixed effect panel regressions, I find that higher win totals are associated with increased investment in the following season (as measured by team payroll and investment in free agents) and that, conditional on win totals, underperforming (overperforming) expectations in the prior season is associated with more (less) investment. This is consistent with teams discounting some of the surprise information. The effect is more pronounced for teams near the threshold of a playoff appearance. I find that some discounting is rational since roughly 27% of the gap between realized performance and expected performance does not persist into the following season. I find no evidence that betting markets are inefficient in their incorporation of surprise information. However, estimates suggest that teams significantly underreact to surprise information, an inefficiency analogous to those observed in financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5717-5733 Issue: 49 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2049674 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2049674 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:49:p:5717-5733 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2053653_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Mengxi He Author-X-Name-First: Mengxi Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Yaojie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yaojie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Danyan Wen Author-X-Name-First: Danyan Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Yudong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yudong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Forecasting the Chinese stock market volatility: A regression approach with a t-distributed error Abstract: In this paper, we improve the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation approach by replacing a normally distributed error with a t-distributed error. Empirically, we investigate the predictability of the Chinese stock market volatility based on this modified approach. Results show that the modified OLS method with a t-distributed error has a significantly stronger forecasting power than its counterpart with a normally distributed error. From an asset allocation perspective, the modified OLS approach can help a mean-variance investor obtain sizeable utility gains. We also conduct two extended empirical analyses and further verify the superiority of the regression approach with a t-distributed error. Our results are robust to a series of settings. Finally, we find that the regression approach with a t-distributed error shows greater tolerance for outliers by assigning smaller weights to them, thereby highlighting its superior performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5811-5826 Issue: 50 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2053653 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2053653 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:50:p:5811-5826 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2053054_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Yi Fan Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Diana M. Weinhold Author-X-Name-First: Diana M. Author-X-Name-Last: Weinhold Title: Urban noise, sleep disruption and health Abstract: Numerous studies have linked sleep disruption to a variety of poor health outcomes, but social scientists still have a very limited understanding of the overall importance of sleep for health in the general population. Limitations on both the scope and duration of laboratory studies make it difficult to establish longer-term causal links, and potential reverse causality may significantly weaken causal inference with observational data. As a result, there is little empirical evidence on the potential causal impact of commonly encountered urban noise-induced sleep disruption on health in otherwise healthy adults. Using a survey of Dutch adults, we contribute to the effort to investigate the causal relationship between self-reported sleep disruption and health by using individual-specific exposure to neighbour noise as an instrument for sleep disruption. We argue that neighbour noise is a relatively ex-ante unobservable exogenous shock, and we provide quantitative evidence that it fulfills the relevance, exogeneity, and exclusion restrictions for validity as an instrument. Consistent with theory, we find statistically and economically significant causal effects of sleep disruption on cardiovascular problems, auto-immune diseases such as arthritis and lung disease, and headache. The results survive a battery of robustness checks and highlight the importance of noise-related public policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5782-5799 Issue: 50 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2053054 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2053054 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:50:p:5782-5799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2053053_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Donseung Choi Author-X-Name-First: Donseung Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Author-Name: Kevin L. James Author-X-Name-First: Kevin L. Author-X-Name-Last: James Author-Name: Collins Emeka Okafor Author-X-Name-First: Collins Emeka Author-X-Name-Last: Okafor Author-Name: Eunho Cho Author-X-Name-First: Eunho Author-X-Name-Last: Cho Author-Name: Md Nazmul Hasan Bhuyan Author-X-Name-First: Md Nazmul Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Bhuyan Title: The effect of executives' education and compensation on firm value: evidence from China Abstract: In this study, we empirically investigate the relation between firm executives’ education and compensation levels and firm value in non-state-owned Chinese listed firms. We closely examine whether executive compensation moderates the relationship between executives’ education and firm value. Using a sample of 6,674 firm-year observations from 2005–2016, we find that firms with more educated executives have better values. Furthermore, our results show that the executive’s compensation level enhances this positive association. Our findings lend credence to similar studies that suggest that education and compensation levels can enhance firm value. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5763-5781 Issue: 50 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2053053 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2053053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:50:p:5763-5781 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2053655_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Zhiqi Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Zhiqi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: David Meenagh Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Meenagh Author-Name: Patrick Minford Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Minford Title: Should Hong Kong switch to Taylor rule?—Evidence from DSGE model Abstract: This paper studies the economy of Hong Kong through the lens of a small open economy DSGE model with a currency board exchange rate commitment. It assumes flexible prices and a banking system that provides credit to entrepreneurial household firms; the money supply is fully backed by reserves under the currency board. We estimate and evaluate the model by Indirect Inference over the sample period of 1994Q1-2018Q3; we find that it matches the data behaviour as represented by a VAR. We examined the economy’s volatility using bootstrapping of the model innovations, under both the estimated currency board model and a standard alternative regime with floating exchange rate and a Taylor rule; we found that Hong Kong welfare is higher in the currency board, which substantially reduces output volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5851-5872 Issue: 50 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2053655 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2053655 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:50:p:5851-5872 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2053654_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Jiali Fang Author-X-Name-First: Jiali Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Wei Hao Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Hao Author-Name: Michelle Reyers Author-X-Name-First: Michelle Author-X-Name-Last: Reyers Title: Financial advice, financial literacy and social interaction: what matters to retirement saving decisions? Abstract: We analyze the effect of financial advice, financial literacy and social interaction on households’ retirement saving decisions. Financial advice is the only factor that positively influences individuals’ decisions to participate in a retirement plan, while only financial literacy increases risky asset allocation. These two important factors both influence the ultimate retirement account balance. Viewed collectively, we propose that financial advice and financial literacy benefit retirement saving decisions through different channels, they complement each other and they jointly lead to a better ultimate outcome. The evidence is consistent when we further consider quality of advice and self-rated financial literacy. However, social interaction is of little help in facilitating better retirement saving decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5827-5850 Issue: 50 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2053654 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2053654 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:50:p:5827-5850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2053052_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: S. N. Spilioti Author-X-Name-First: S. N. Author-X-Name-Last: Spilioti Title: Market share-prices versus their fundamental values: the case of the New York stock exchange Abstract: The accounting valuation model suggests that the differences between predicted, and market shares-prices are considered as valuation errors while the finance valuation approach proposes that these differences are due to the sentiment of investors. In this paper, we use a new version of the residual income valuation model using American data to calculate the fundamental value of a stock and then examine whether price deviations from their fundamental values are due to macroeconomic or psychological factors. The results show that these differences are explained by important macroeconomic and psychological variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5755-5762 Issue: 50 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2053052 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2053052 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:50:p:5755-5762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2053055_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220823T191300 git hash: 39867e6e2f Author-Name: Yiming He Author-X-Name-First: Yiming Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Shaohui Gao Author-X-Name-First: Shaohui Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Title: Energy-Water Consumption and Food Yield: An Empirical Dual Sectors Dynamic Equilibrium Model Abstract: This paper develops a dual sectors dynamic equilibrium model and introduces agricultural energy consumption and agricultural water consumption in a growth model that tested by using a panel data set from 2004 to 2016 in China. It presents a theoretical prediction on the interactions between agricultural energy consumption, agricultural water consumption, and food yield. Consistent with this prediction, agricultural electricity consumption and agricultural water consumption by themselves appear to have significant effects on food yield. The fixed-effects models verify that agricultural electricity consumption, agricultural water consumption, and food yield have long-run equilibrium relationships. The results of weather-based robustness checks reveal that food yield is positively correlated with agricultural electricity consumption. Also consistent with theory, agricultural water consumption is positively associated with food yield. These results are generally stable and hold with tests of panel data unit roots, with alternative estimation strategies, and with or without controlling for covariates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5800-5810 Issue: 50 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2053055 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2053055 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:50:p:5800-5810 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2056126_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Christophe Blot Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Blot Author-Name: Fabien Labondance Author-X-Name-First: Fabien Author-X-Name-Last: Labondance Title: Beyond the interest rate pass-through: monetary policy and banks interest rates since the effective lower bound Abstract: We investigate whether ECB monetary policy influences the retail interest rates in the Euro Area when the policy rate reaches the effective lower bound. We estimate a panel Error Correction Model that accounts for potential heterogeneities in the transmission of monetary policy. The analysis disentangles alternative balance-sheet policies implemented by the ECB. We find that unconventional measures have influenced banking interest rates beyond the pass-through of the current and expected policy rate. These effects are driven by liquidity provisions and by the covered bond purchase programmes. Those policies have been effective in the core and in the peripheral countries; however, the effect of purchases of covered-bond has been stronger in the periphery. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5976-5990 Issue: 51 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2056126 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2056126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:51:p:5976-5990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2055742_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Austin F. Eggers Author-X-Name-First: Austin F. Author-X-Name-Last: Eggers Author-Name: Peter A. Groothuis Author-X-Name-First: Peter A. Author-X-Name-Last: Groothuis Title: Party on dude, but not if you’re a top academic achieving student: how being named a top party school changes the academic profile of a university Abstract: This study examines how being named the top party school in the nation by the Princeton Review effects the quality of students at a university. The results indicate that being named the top party school lowers the number of top-tier students who choose to attend the university as measured by academic test scores. The study further finds that being named a top party school has no effect on student applications; however, this designation does lower the number of students who are admitted and who chose to enroll after the institution is named the top party school. These findings suggest that the publicity of being named the top party school enhances a school’s undesired reputation, thereby influencing student enrollment decisions, particularly among top-tier students. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5932-5942 Issue: 51 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2055742 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2055742 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:51:p:5932-5942 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2054927_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Daniel Lederman Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Lederman Author-Name: Marwane Zouaidi Author-X-Name-First: Marwane Author-X-Name-Last: Zouaidi Title: Incidence of the Digital Economy and Frictional Unemployment: International Evidence Abstract: This paper is the first to quantify the relationship between the incidence of the digital economy and long-term frictional unemployment across countries. This paper contributes a novel approach to the literature that had been missing by focusing on the impact of the digital economy on unemployment across a global sample of countries . The resulting evidence indicates that there is a robust, negative partial correlation between national unemployment rates and the incidence of the digital economy, proxied by the share of the adult population that reports using the internet to pay bills. Further, the absolute values of OLS estimates of the partial correlation suggest that it might be higher for developing than high-income economies. Controlling for informal employment appears to be key for removing a positive omitted-variable bias in the estimate of the partial correlation between unemployment and the digital economy, which is due to a negative bivariate correlation between unemployment and informality, and a negative bivariate correlation between informality and the incidence of digital payment. The results from IV estimations suggest that the partial correlation between unemployment and digital payments is negative, with the absolute value of the estimates being larger than the absolute value of the OLS estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5873-5888 Issue: 51 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2054927 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2054927 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:51:p:5873-5888 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2055740_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Petra Maresova Author-X-Name-First: Petra Author-X-Name-Last: Maresova Author-Name: Ehsan Javanmardi Author-X-Name-First: Ehsan Author-X-Name-Last: Javanmardi Author-Name: Raihan Maskuriy Author-X-Name-First: Raihan Author-X-Name-Last: Maskuriy Author-Name: Ali Selamat Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Selamat Author-Name: Kamil Kuca Author-X-Name-First: Kamil Author-X-Name-Last: Kuca Title: Dynamic sustainable business modelling: exploring the dynamics of business model components considering the product development framework Abstract: Business systems are a subclass of dynamic, complex systems; the plurality of multifarious and interwoven factors affecting a business system makes prediction, modeling, and decision-making challenging for the players in such systems. This study conceptualises dynamic business modeling from a sustainability viewpoint by investigating the basic principles, requirements, and methodological limitations, as well as gaps in the business model design literature. This conceptual model combines an adapted business model canvas and system dynamics modeling using an up-to-date review. The studies used in this systematic review were retrieved from the Scopus and Web of Science databases between 2010 and 2021. The total number of publications in all databases was 422. However, following an in-depth investigation of these publications, 164 papers were selected for further review. Based on the business model canvas, the interactions between different business dimensions and the impact on environmental stakeholders were examined. Finally, a dynamic, sustainable business model canvas is conceptualised and developed. The findings suggest that the proposed system dynamics business modeling approach can frame the environmental, social, and economic drivers of value creation in a causal feedback structure and overcome the gaps and criticisms of existing business model design tools. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5904-5931 Issue: 51 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2055740 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2055740 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:51:p:5904-5931 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2055743_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Tamara Teplova Author-X-Name-First: Tamara Author-X-Name-Last: Teplova Author-Name: Sergei Gurov Author-X-Name-First: Sergei Author-X-Name-Last: Gurov Title: New evidence on the impact of implicit trading costs on asset prices in the Russian stock market Abstract: We perform a comprehensive study of different illiquidity effects in the relatively illiquid Russian stock market. Over the period 2010–2020, we apply cross-sectional and time-series regressions using two low-frequency illiquidity proxies: the Amihud ratio and the invariance-implied ratio. The evidence suggests that implicit trading costs influence only the returns of small-capitalization stocks or low size double-sorted portfolios. The Amihud ratio overestimates the illiquidity premium for small-cap stocks as predicted by the invariance theory. However, we find that the effect is economically and statistically significant only in the time-series. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5943-5955 Issue: 51 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2055743 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2055743 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:51:p:5943-5955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2056125_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu Author-X-Name-First: Claudiu Tiberiu Author-X-Name-Last: Albulescu Author-Name: Camélia Turcu Author-X-Name-First: Camélia Author-X-Name-Last: Turcu Title: Productivity, financial performance, and corporate governance: evidence from Romanian R&D firms Abstract: We study the impact of financial performance and corporate governance on the productivity of the Romanian Research and Development (R&D) sector. We draw on a dataset consisting of 116 Romanian R&D companies covering the time span from 2007 to 2016. Firm productivity is computed using several metrics of TFP (total factor productivity). We show, based on bootstrap panel quantile regressions, that size, financial profitability, and foreign ownership are key drivers of R&D companies’ productivity. Intangible assets and taxation have no significant effect on R&D firms’ productivity, while the degree of independence in decision-making and owners’ presence in firms’ management negatively impact TFP. With women on the board, state-owned applied research institutes benefit from higher productivity compared with R&D private firms, if they are in lower quantiles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5956-5975 Issue: 51 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2056125 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2056125 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:51:p:5956-5975 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2055268_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yao Yao Author-X-Name-First: Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: George S. Chen Author-X-Name-First: George S. Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Lin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Gender segregation in the causal effect of foreign direct investment on educational attainment: the Chinese experience Abstract: We examine the causal effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) on educational attainment through the lens of gender segregation in China. Using a comprehensive dataset for the 1985–2014 period and controlling for endogeneity, we find that a more prominent FDI presence causes higher educational attainment, particularly for women. Moreover, we show that this gender-segregated causal effect remains robust to different estimators, measurements and specifications. Overall, we uncover an important social externality of FDI that has never been explored systematically in the literature; namely, FDI generates positive spillovers on female educational attainment in its host country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5889-5903 Issue: 51 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2055268 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2055268 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:51:p:5889-5903 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2056128_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Mohammed Benlemlih Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Benlemlih Author-Name: Cynthia Assaf Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia Author-X-Name-Last: Assaf Author-Name: Imane El Ouadghiri Author-X-Name-First: Imane Author-X-Name-Last: El Ouadghiri Title: Do political and social factors affect carbon emissions? Evidence from international data Abstract: This study extends the literature on the determinants of carbon emissions by exploring the effects of political and social factors on pollutant emissions. We claim that political stability, corruption, and women in politics significantly influence CO2 emissions. Using the autoregressive distributed lag approach and an extensive dataset that represents more than 145 countries worldwide, we provide strong and robust evidence that low corruption practices and women’s representation in politics statistically and economically reduce carbon emissions. We also show that high political stability significantly reduces CO2 emissions in the short run, but not in the long run. Our findings highlight the importance of these factors in reducing pollution worldwide and provide incentives for international regulators and policymakers toward stronger and mandatory decisions that positively evolve less politically stable and corrupt countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6022-6035 Issue: 52 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2056128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2056128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:52:p:6022-6035 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2056130_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Massimiliano Caporin Author-X-Name-First: Massimiliano Author-X-Name-Last: Caporin Author-Name: Mikhail Stolbov Author-X-Name-First: Mikhail Author-X-Name-Last: Stolbov Author-Name: Maria Shchepeleva Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Shchepeleva Title: What drives the expansion of research on banking crises? Cross-country evidence Abstract: This article aims to identify the factors which promote research activity on banking crises in the cross-country framework during the period 2014–2020. Building on the population-adjusted country-level publication data from the Scopus and Web of Science databases and applying Bayesian model averaging (BMA) and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), we conduct an open search for such factors out of 23 candidate predictors. A higher level of bank concentration appears to be the most significant factor motivating research on banking crises. It is robust with respect to both bibliographic databases and variable selection methods used. Based only on the Scopus data, GDP per capita and the peak ratio of non-performing loans to total loans during the latest banking crisis experienced by a country also increase the number of published studies on banking crises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6054-6064 Issue: 52 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2056130 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2056130 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:52:p:6054-6064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2056570_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Bin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Qun Gao Author-X-Name-First: Qun Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Ruixue Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Ruixue Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Jide Sun Author-X-Name-First: Jide Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Chunlu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chunlu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Measuring the developing trends of international construction industries in global value chains based on value added Abstract: The construction sector is an indispensable element of social economies. The international trade activities for the local construction sectors have been stimulated by the demands of globalization, which accelerates the transfer of value added in the global value chains. This study constructs a measurement framework for the developing trends in the global value chains based on value added and picks up the international construction industries at the sectoral level. Based on the participation index, the position index, and the connection index, the developing trend is measured in order to comprehensively identify the ability of the national construction sectors due to value added in the global value chain. The study results show that the influence on the global value chain derived from technical advantage decreased with the improvement of the construction sectors in emerging economies. The international construction sectors were reallocated based on geographical distribution and competitive advantage after 2008. This paper will prove useful for policymakers by providing a clear method for identifying the precise location in the global value chain of a specific country. Governments can consider sectoral planning at regional and global levels based on a map of advantages and disadvantages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6065-6081 Issue: 52 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2056570 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2056570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:52:p:6065-6081 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2056127_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Mihoko Wakamatsu Author-X-Name-First: Mihoko Author-X-Name-Last: Wakamatsu Author-Name: Shunsuke Managi Author-X-Name-First: Shunsuke Author-X-Name-Last: Managi Title: Does spatially targeted information boost the value of ecolabeling seafood? A choice experiment in Japan Abstract: The success of ecolabelling to promote sustainable fisheries hinges on information. We explore the effects of spatially targeted knowledge on willingness to pay for ecolabels using treatments that provide consumers with knowledge about the health of worldwide, domestic, and foreign fisheries, which can have differential effects for domestic and imported seafood. Analysis of data collected using a choice experiment indicates that spatial differences in knowledge do not necessarily influence the value of ecolabels. Knowledge of the state of domestic fisheries has no greater effect on the value consumers assign to sustainable domestic products than knowledge of world fisheries. We also find that the ecolabels generate premiums and that importing discounted the value regardless of whether additional information on fisheries was provided and of the type of spatial knowledge provided. The greatest premium for ecolabelled domestic products was achieved when the world fishery information was provided, but additional knowledge about the fishery did not affect the value of ecolabelled foreign products. Additionally, consumers who received information on the domestic fishery and viewed it as positive were willing to pay as much for the labelled domestic products as those who received information on world fisheries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6008-6021 Issue: 52 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2056127 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2056127 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:52:p:6008-6021 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2061902_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Antonio Martuscelli Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Martuscelli Title: Globalization and wage inequality: evidence from Italian local labor markets Abstract: Concerns about rising inequality and its economic, social and political consequences have been gaining traction in public discourse. However, despite a substantial body of research, the factors behind the rising inequality are still widely debated. This paper analyzes the impact of Chinese import penetration on the wage distribution using Italian administrative data on the universe of private, non-agricultural sector employees between 1991 and 2016. The findings show no support for the hypothesis that increased competition from Chinese imports has contributed to increased wage inequality in Italy. However, import penetration has had a negative effect on wages at different points of the distribution, leaving overall inequality substantially unaffected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6082-6097 Issue: 52 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2061902 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2061902 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:52:p:6082-6097 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2056129_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xiaokang Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xiaokang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Guanghe Ran Author-X-Name-First: Guanghe Author-X-Name-Last: Ran Author-Name: Bing Shen Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Xiaolong Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Does ETF activity reduce stock price volatility—Evidence from the A-share market Abstract: The scale of global exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has shown an explosive growth trend; however, research on the impact of ETF activity on the stock market is still in its infancy. While ETFs increase the volatility of the U.S. stock market, there is scant literature on the impact of ETF activity on the volatility of the emerging A-share market. Owing to the large differences in the institutional and investor structure of the A-share market, will there be significant differences in the impact of ETFs on the volatility of the A-share market? This study found that ETF activity significantly reduced idiosyncratic volatility but increased systemic volatility. Since the decrease in idiosyncratic volatility was greater than the increase in systemic volatility, the overall volatility showed a downward trend. Further research on the impact mechanism showed that the idiosyncratic volatility of the A-share market was positively correlated with noise information. ETF activity reduced idiosyncratic volatility by reducing the noise information. Systematic volatility was positively correlated with faster information integration speed. ETF activity improved systematic volatility by improving information integration speed. This study elucidated the impact of ETF activity on stock price volatility under different market backgrounds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6036-6053 Issue: 52 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2056129 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2056129 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:52:p:6036-6053 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2108540_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Deniz Şükrüoğlu Author-X-Name-First: Deniz Author-X-Name-Last: Şükrüoğlu Title: Effects of Covid-19 on the BIST 100 network structure Abstract: This article investigates the effects of Covid-19 on the network structure of BIST 100 firms. Analysis are carried out with filtered daily volatilities. Even after filtering out common factors, correlation and autocorrelation heat maps of the filtered volatilities indicate that there are still some patterns. Granger and contemporaneous type volatility networks are estimated and visualized for both the pre-Covid-19 and Covid-19 periods to determine the network structure differences. The article shows that there are centrality-type structures in the Granger network and chain-type linkages in the contemporaneous network for the pre-Covid-19 periods. The degree of interconnectedness is multiplied three times in the Granger network and eight times in the contemporaneous network with Covid-19. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5991-6007 Issue: 52 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2108540 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2108540 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:52:p:5991-6007 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2057912_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Huiming Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Huiming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Hao Wu Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Yinghua Ren Author-X-Name-First: Yinghua Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Dongwei Yu Author-X-Name-First: Dongwei Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Time-frequency effect of investor sentiment, economic policy uncertainty, and crude oil on international stock markets: evidence from wavelet quantile analysis Abstract: This paper employs the wavelet-based quantile method to examine the time and frequency effect of investor sentiment, economic policy uncertainty, and crude oil on emerging and developed stock markets over the monthly sample range from September 2005 to December 2020. We first explore the relationship between various markets, and our empirical results reveal a strong long-term spillover effect of sentiment on returns from developed to emerging markets. Meanwhile, we find the negative influence of EPU gradually strengthens from the short-term towards the long-term. Further, oil shocks to stock returns are highly related to investment horizons and market circumstances. Specifically, the correlation is negative in the medium-term while positive in the short- and long-term, and more evident when stock markets are in a bearish or bullish state. In short, investors should take the structure dependence in terms of time and frequency when participating in financial markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6116-6146 Issue: 53 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2057912 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2057912 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:53:p:6116-6146 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2057911_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Insook Lee Author-X-Name-First: Insook Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Revisiting the Meltzer-Richard hypothesis of pretax income inequality and income tax rate Abstract: The Meltzer-Richard hypothesis maintains that higher pretax income inequality entails higher income tax rate chosen by majority-rule voting. However, empirical studies found evidence against the Meltzer-Richard hypothesis. This article reconsiders the Meltzer-Richard hypothesis by dropping their assumption of lump-sum transfers. It finds that the Meltzer-Richard hypothesis is not robust to relaxing the lump-sum transfer assumption. Without lump-sum transfers, the Meltzer-Richard hypothesis no longer holds, as the effect of pretax income inequality on politico-economic equilibrium income tax rate is no longer certainly positive. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6108-6115 Issue: 53 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2057911 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2057911 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:53:p:6108-6115 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2056572_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Lan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jiancheng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jiancheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yao Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Title: How do entrepreneurs’ characteristics affect R&D expenditure? Evidence from small and micro Chinese firms Abstract: Drawing on data from more than 3000 small and microChinese firms, this paper studies the determinants of R&D spending, focusing on the entrepreneurs’ attributes. The characteristics of an entrepreneur can be crucially relevant in determining investment by small and micro firms in a risky undertaking like R&D. Results show that male owners and college graduates are more likely to invest in R&D, while older owners are less likely to do so. Previous work and entrepreneurial experience contributed to the propensity to invest in R&D but work experience in the government do not matter. Regarding ownership attributes, individual owners are less likely to invest in R&D, whereas the effect of private ownership is statistically insignificant. Other than that, we find that higher firm sales spur R&D spending, with the influences of leverage and return on assets being statistically insignificant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6098-6107 Issue: 53 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2056572 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2056572 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:53:p:6098-6107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2059437_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Aliaa El Shoubaki Author-X-Name-First: Aliaa Author-X-Name-Last: El Shoubaki Author-Name: Issam Laguir Author-X-Name-First: Issam Author-X-Name-Last: Laguir Author-Name: Rébecca Stekelorum Author-X-Name-First: Rébecca Author-X-Name-Last: Stekelorum Author-Name: Jiří Hnilica Author-X-Name-First: Jiří Author-X-Name-Last: Hnilica Title: CEO satisfaction and SME innovation: unveiling the role of family involvement Abstract: Family involvement in SMEs can affect strategic decisions about innovation. The differences in the innovative behaviours between family and nonfamily SMEs are mostly attributed to socioemotional wealth, which emphasizes the noneconomic goals of family firms. The literature on how family involvement affects firm innovation remains inconclusive. In this study, we distinguish the different steps of innovation and use CEO satisfaction with business performance to show that greater family involvement is ultimately good for innovation performance. We examine how CEO satisfaction with business performance affects firm innovation and, in particular, how family involvement affects this relationship. Using a sample of 308 Czech SMEs and multiple mediation and moderated mediation analyses, we find that high levels of family involvement enhanced SMEs innovation performance by strengthening the influence of CEO satisfaction on product innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6160-6178 Issue: 53 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2059437 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2059437 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:53:p:6160-6178 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2061901_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Adian McFarlane Author-X-Name-First: Adian Author-X-Name-Last: McFarlane Author-Name: Anupam Das Author-X-Name-First: Anupam Author-X-Name-Last: Das Author-Name: Leanora Brown Author-X-Name-First: Leanora Author-X-Name-Last: Brown Author-Name: Kaycea Campbell Author-X-Name-First: Kaycea Author-X-Name-Last: Campbell Title: The remittance-food security dynamics in Jamaica Abstract: It is an unsettled question whether the impact of remittance inflows (remittances) on food security is positive, negative, or null. We examine this question for Jamaica, the first for such a high remittance-receiving country. To start, we discuss the issues related to food security and remittances. Next, buttressed by theoretical underpinnings , we measure food security as calorie consumption and empirically evaluate how it is impacted by remittances in Jamaica over the period 1976 to 2019. We employ impulse response function analysis and Granger causality testing, within a robust vector error correction modelling framework. There are two key findings. First, we find a cointegrating relationship wherein the impulse analysis indicates that remittances positively impact calorie consumption in the long run, and vice versa. Second, we find that there is bidirectional Granger causality between remittances and calorie consumption. One implication of our findings is that remittances should form part of any broad developmental poverty alleviation polices, given their impact on promoting food security. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6202-6215 Issue: 53 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2061901 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2061901 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:53:p:6202-6215 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2058696_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Valentina Demchuk Author-X-Name-First: Valentina Author-X-Name-Last: Demchuk Title: Does intra-bloc trade affect insurance companies’ performance? Evidence from North America Abstract: This paper examines the effects of intra-bloc trade on the earnings and operating expenses of insurance companies. The share of exports (imports) to other countries that are members of the trade agreement in the country’s exports (imports) of direct insurance services are used as relative measures of intra-bloc trade. We use data on insurance companies located in North America (Canada and the United States of America) from 2005 to 2018. The production function is assumed to be transcendental logarithmic. Results show that a higher share of other member countries in the exports of direct insurance services has a small impact on profits, yet it is only weakly statistically significant. It does, however, lead to lower operating expenses for non-life firms. A relatively higher import share is associated with increasing operating expenses of life insurance companies with an elasticity of 0.08% without significantly reducing profits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6147-6159 Issue: 53 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2058696 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2058696 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:53:p:6147-6159 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2059438_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Mukesh K. Chaudhry Author-X-Name-First: Mukesh K. Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhry Author-Name: Vivek Bhargava Author-X-Name-First: Vivek Author-X-Name-Last: Bhargava Author-Name: Henry Shelton Weeks Author-X-Name-First: Henry Shelton Author-X-Name-Last: Weeks Title: Impact of economic forces and fundamental variables on REIT returns Abstract: We examine the impacts of economic forces and fundamental variables on REIT returns. Our models endogenously select breakpoints to distinguish the heterogenous nature of the underlying properties with varying risk-return characteristics. Default risk premium and unanticipated inflation had an adverse effect, while GDP and federal funds rate had a positive effect on REITs. Market, size and value risk-premiums are significant for time periods that include the GFC but not for subsequent periods. Momentum is negative and significant for extreme events, and insignificant during calm periods. Higher beta values during the GFC followed by lower beta values confirm ‘leveraging’ and ‘deleveraging’ effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6179-6201 Issue: 53 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2059438 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2059438 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:53:p:6179-6201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2083068_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Duane W. Rockerbie Author-X-Name-First: Duane W. Author-X-Name-Last: Rockerbie Author-Name: Stephen T. Easton Author-X-Name-First: Stephen T. Author-X-Name-Last: Easton Title: Race to the podium: separating and conjoining the car and driver in F1 racing Abstract: This paper provides a statistical estimate of the breakdown in race outcomes in Formula One races between the two most important inputs: driver skill and car technology. Financial data and racing results from the 2012–19 F1 seasons are used to estimate a combined driver and team fixed effects FGLS regression model for each season. Treating each season uniquely allows for the exclusion of weather and track specific variables common to other statistical studies of F1 racing. Our use of financial data provides an answer to the economic question of how should F1 teams allocate their scarce financial resources. The so-called “80-20” rule distinguishing team effects and driver effects is found to be a very rough approximation to the output shares for teams and drivers. A strong complementarity exists between driver skill and car technology that distorts the rule. The return to driver salaries and team budgets are both positive in term of race outcomes, but at diminishing rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6272-6285 Issue: 54 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2083068 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2083068 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:54:p:6272-6285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2083065_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Abdullah Mohammed Almalki Author-X-Name-First: Abdullah Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Almalki Author-Name: Mehboob-ul Hassan Author-X-Name-First: Mehboob-ul Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Author-Name: Md Fouad Bin Amin Author-X-Name-First: Md Fouad Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Amin Title: The asymmetric relationship between structural oil shocks and food prices: evidence from Saudi Arabia Abstract: This paper examines the impacts of structural oil shocks, namely, the index of industrial production, world production of oil, and spot crude oil prices on the food prices in Saudi Arabia between 1986 and 2020 using nonlinear autoregressive distributed lags (NARDL) and Structural Vector Autoregressive (S-VAR) models to capture both short- and long-run asymmetries between these variables. The asymmetry between industrial production and food price in the short- and long-run was revealed and the impact of negative shocks of industrial production on the food prices was dominant. This implies that lower economic activities result in declined industrial production and food shortage which exerts a hike in food prices. With respect to Saudi Arabia, a significant relationship between negative shocks in crude oil prices and food prices was found in short- as well as long-run periods. The estimations also reveal that increases in oil supply result in a decline in food prices decrease in both periods of time. Similarly, a positive association between GDP growth and food prices was found. Finally, the oil supply shocks are found as the main factor, followed by the oil demand shocks and crude oil prices, causing the food price variation in Saudi Arabia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6216-6233 Issue: 54 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2083065 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2083065 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:54:p:6216-6233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2083067_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yared Seid Author-X-Name-First: Yared Author-X-Name-Last: Seid Title: Mother-tongue instruction and later labour market outcomes: evidence from a natural experiment in Ethiopia Abstract: This paper offers empirical evidence on the effect of mother-tongue instruction in primary school on students’ later labour market outcomes. Since Ethiopia has adopted mother-tongue instruction after the 1994 Ethiopian education reform, many students who have attended primary school after 1994 are exposed to mother tongue instruction, resulting in a variation in exposure to mother-tongue instruction by birth cohort. In Amhara state, Amharic is adopted as medium of instruction both before and after the education reform whereas other states in Ethiopia have changed the medium of instruction after the 1994 reform. The duration of students’ exposure to mother-tongue instruction, however, varies depending on the state in which they have attended primary school since states in Ethiopia mandate a switch from mother-tongue to English instruction either in grade 5, 7, or 9. Exploiting these two plausibly exogenous sources of variations (across states and birth cohorts) and using data from the 2013 Ethiopian Labour Force Survey, we estimate difference-in-differences model. Estimates from our preferred specifications suggest that mother-tongue instruction in primary school improves later labour market outcomes, but the size of its effect decreases with the number of years an individual was exposed to mother-tongue instruction in primary school. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6254-6271 Issue: 54 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2083067 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2083067 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:54:p:6254-6271 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2083069_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Mehreen Mookerjee Author-X-Name-First: Mehreen Author-X-Name-Last: Mookerjee Author-Name: Manini Ojha Author-X-Name-First: Manini Author-X-Name-Last: Ojha Author-Name: Sanket Roy Author-X-Name-First: Sanket Author-X-Name-Last: Roy Title: Fertility targets: linkages between desire for sons and sterilization in India Abstract: Sterilization is the most widely used form of family planning in India with the burden of sterilization falling almost entirely on women. The existence of a strong son preference and a male-biased sex ratio are also well known in India. In this paper, we investigate the inter-linkages between female sterilization and the desire for sons in the country. Specifically, we examine the causal impact of a woman’s fertility targets for sons being met on her sterilization decision. To measure whether her fertility target is met, we utilize information on her actual versus ideal number of sons. Exploiting exogenous variation in the sex of the firstborn as an instrument in a conditional mixed process estimation, we find that meeting her fertility target for sons increases the probability of a woman’s sterilization by 25.4% points. Moreover, once she has had her ideal number of sons, the probability of getting sterilized within 4 years of getting married increases by 9.4% points whereas delayed sterilization becomes less likely. Our estimates are robust to alternative estimation strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6286-6302 Issue: 54 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2083069 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2083069 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:54:p:6286-6302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2061904_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Anamika Anamika Author-X-Name-First: Anamika Author-X-Name-Last: Anamika Author-Name: Sowmya Subramaniam Author-X-Name-First: Sowmya Author-X-Name-Last: Subramaniam Title: Do news headlines matter in the cryptocurrency market? Abstract: The paper examines the influence of investor sentiment based on news headlines on the Cryptocurrency Market Index and ten individual cryptocurrency returns. We capture investors’ sentiment from cryptocurrency-specific news headlines. We use a lexicon-based Natural Language Processing (NLP) technique to construct a unique sentiment indicator, and the sentiment scores are generated using two financial dictionaries: Henry(2008)(HE) and Loughran and Mcdonald(2011)(LM). The findings of the study show that news sentiment has a significant impact on cryptocurrency returns. When the investors’ sentiment is optimistic or bullish, the cryptocurrency market experiences herding behaviour, leading to an increase in prices. The diverse and heterogeneous nature of the various cryptocurrencies causes each individual cryptocurrency to respond differently to sentiment. Further, we see that sentiment has a more pronounced impact on young, small, and volatile cryptocurrencies. Our study is among the few studies that use cryptocurrency-specific news headlines rather than news bodies to build a news sentiment indicator. JEL codes: E49, G14, G15 Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6322-6338 Issue: 54 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2061904 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2061904 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:54:p:6322-6338 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2083066_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Mukhriz Izraf Azman Aziz Author-X-Name-First: Mukhriz Izraf Azman Author-X-Name-Last: Aziz Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Author-Name: Mariya Gubareva Author-X-Name-First: Mariya Author-X-Name-Last: Gubareva Author-Name: Tatiana Sokolova Author-X-Name-First: Tatiana Author-X-Name-Last: Sokolova Author-Name: Xuan Vinh Vo Author-X-Name-First: Xuan Vinh Author-X-Name-Last: Vo Title: ASEAN-5 forex rates and crude oil: Markov regime-switching analysis Abstract: We investigate the influence of moves in oil prices on exchange rates of Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand (the ASEAN-5 countries). We disentangle oil shocks, representing them by three components: demand shock, supply shock and risk shock, and examine their impact on the ASEAN-5 exchange rates by employing high-/low-volatility Markov regime-switching regressions for the period 2006 to Beckmann, Czudaj, and Arora 2020. We find that demand shocks make forex rates increase for net oil-producing as well as net oil-consuming economies. The impacts of supply shocks on forex rates for most economies are rather low. The risk shocks lead to depreciating effects on the ASEAN-5 currencies, supporting the notion that the open-oriented nature of ASEAN-5 economies makes them susceptible to constant fluctuations in the global oil market. We study interactions between the price of crude oil and exchange rates of the ASEAN-5 economies.We decompose changes in oil price into demand-, supply- and risk-driven components.We show non-linear interrelations between movements in forex rates and price of oil.Demand shocks appreciate forex rates for both net oil-producer and net oil-consumer economies.Supply-driven moves in oil prices exercise a marginal influence on forex rates for most countries.Risk shocks have depreciating effects on the ASEAN-5 exchange rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6234-6253 Issue: 54 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2083066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2083066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:54:p:6234-6253 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2083568_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Kangoh Lee Author-X-Name-First: Kangoh Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Federalism and primary-income inequality Abstract: The paper studies the effects of federalism on primary-income (before taxes and transfers) inequality. A jurisdiction in a federal system chooses an economic policy for the interests of the jurisdiction, but the policy is determined uniformly at the national level in a unitary system. A jurisdiction with more resources can choose a higher level of public inputs such as productivity-enhancing investment and hence attract more businesses in a federal system, but a jurisdiction in a unitary system cannot. More business activities result in higher incomes, and income inequality is higher in a federal system than in a unitary system. The paper also provides an empirical analysis, and available evidence suggests that primary-income inequality is higher in a federal system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6303-6321 Issue: 54 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2083568 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2083568 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:54:p:6303-6321 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2063790_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Tu Van Binh Author-X-Name-First: Tu Van Author-X-Name-Last: Binh Author-Name: Abay Mulatu Author-X-Name-First: Abay Author-X-Name-Last: Mulatu Author-Name: Boying Xu Author-X-Name-First: Boying Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Corporate social responsibility & firm efficiency: evidence from endogenous cost inefficiency stochastic frontier analysis Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between firms’ performance in corporate social responsibility (CSR) and cost efficiency. We use a newly developed panel data model of stochastic frontier analysis that endogenizes cost efficiency. The dataset consists of 1,673 firms from ten provinces in Vietnam over three years: 2009, 2011 and 2013. Our results suggest that CSR can enhance cost efficiency of firms. This positive effect of CSR on efficiency can be masked if cost efficiency is treated as exogenous or endogeneity is not handled appropriately. The upshot is that our results challenge the widely held view of the existence of a trade-off between CSR and firm efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6380-6392 Issue: 55 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2063790 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2063790 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:55:p:6380-6392 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2066061_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Juan Peng Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Jinhong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jinhong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jinqiang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jinqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Pandemic options Abstract: We develop a pricing model for pandemic European call and put options, in which the underlying variable is the infected population. Interestingly, the economic predictions of the pandemic options are essentially different from the common stock option. For example, the value of pandemic call option is concave in the underlying variable and decreasing in the volatility. In addition, the maturity has ambiguous impact on the valuation of pandemic call option. We show that the basic reproduction number, the unique characteristics of pandemic, has a significant effect on the valuation of each options. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6437-6444 Issue: 55 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2066061 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2066061 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:55:p:6437-6444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2064969_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jinqiang Xu Author-X-Name-First: Jinqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Churen Sun Author-X-Name-First: Churen Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Hui Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Can China’s Aid Promotes the Value Added Exports of Recipient Countries? Abstract: This paper explores whether China’s aid is able to promote the value added exports of the recipient countries based on the fact that the gross export under the traditional accounting system can no longer reflect the current real trade gains of a country. The research results indicate that China’s aid can indeed effectively promote the value added exports of the recipient countries. Moreover, this paper used the interaction term between China’s foreign exchange reserve and the frequency of U.S. historical foreign aid as the instrumental variable to deal with the endogenous problem. In addition, the heterogeneity test shows that the geographical environment and development level of recipient countries will affect the relationship between China’s aid and the value added export of recipient countries. Finally, the mechanism test shows that improving the infrastructure conditions of recipient countries is an important channel for China’s aid to promote the value added export of recipient countries. These findings of our research provide both theoretical and empirical evidence for improving the efficiency of foreign aid. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6418-6436 Issue: 55 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2064969 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2064969 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:55:p:6418-6436 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2061905_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Dror Parnes Author-X-Name-First: Dror Author-X-Name-Last: Parnes Title: Spatial autocorrelation patterns among US commercial banks: before, during and after the subprime mortgage crisis Abstract: We study patterns of spatial autocorrelations of four customary performance measures (return on asset, return on equity, net interest margin, and loan loss reserves to total assets) among 49 commercial banks spread in the continental US from the first quarter of 2000 until the fourth quarter of 2010, before and after the subprime mortgage crisis. We use Moran’s I, Geary’s C, and Conley’s one-metric and two-metric spatial autocorrelation methodologies and discover mostly positive (negative) spatial autocorrelations before (during and after) the US subprime mortgage crisis. We also identify the unique influences of size and risk management practices in these commercial banks on the spatial autocorrelations within the two tested periods. Our findings suggest that among many US commercial banks, unifying economic features were more dominant before the crisis, but they were gradually replaced with dividing economic elements during and after this major financial calamity. Our robust evidence aim to highlight the influence of physical distances among commercial banks on their routine operations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6339-6360 Issue: 55 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2061905 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2061905 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:55:p:6339-6360 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2064419_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Mattias Boman Author-X-Name-First: Mattias Author-X-Name-Last: Boman Title: The sample median as an estimator of population mean true willingness to pay under valuation uncertainty: a synthesis and analysis of the literature Abstract: This paper reviews the contingent valuation literature on hypothetical bias and valuation uncertainty, with special emphasis on measures of central tendency suitable for applied welfare analysis. In a theoretical scenario without valuation uncertainty, sample mean willingness to pay (WTP) is an estimator of population mean true WTP, the appropriate welfare measure. It is proposed here that this may not hold under valuation uncertainty. In this case, mean true WTP should be bounded by mean hypothetical WTP and mean actual WTP (in turn, mean actual WTP should exceed mean certain WTP). Based on a theoretical model and a review of existing empirical studies, median hypothetical WTP was found to be an estimator of mean true WTP. It is therefore proposed that contingent valuation researchers should consider using the sample hypothetical median as an estimator of population mean true WTP when supporting data on the degree of valuation uncertainty are absent. This could be a straightforward approach, e.g. in a low income country context, where the possibility of financing elaborate research designs accounting for valuation uncertainty is limited. It can also prove useful to revisit existing contingent valuation studies with these findings in mind. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6393-6405 Issue: 55 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2064419 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2064419 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:55:p:6393-6405 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2061906_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yinhe Liang Author-X-Name-First: Yinhe Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Shuang Yu Author-X-Name-First: Shuang Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Does education help combat early marriage? The effect of compulsory schooling laws in China Abstract: This paper studies the relationship between education and early marriage by exploiting the 1986 Compulsory Schooling Laws in China. We find that one additional year of schooling decreases the probability of marriage before age 18 by 1.7% points and increases the age at first marriage by 0.734 years. We examine the role of labour market outcomes, marriage traditions, assortative mating, and peer marriage behaviours. We also find evidence that education decreases fertility outcomes and affects the marriage outcomes of the next generation. This suggests that policies aimed at combating early marriage could start with improving children’s educational attainment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6361-6379 Issue: 55 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2061906 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2061906 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:55:p:6361-6379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2064420_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Manu Raghav Author-X-Name-First: Manu Author-X-Name-Last: Raghav Author-Name: Timothy M. Diette Author-X-Name-First: Timothy M. Author-X-Name-Last: Diette Title: Greek myth or fact? The role of Greek houses in alcohol and drug violations on American campuses Abstract: Greek-letter student social groups, better known as fraternities and sororities, are a ubiquitous feature on many American higher education campuses. These organizations, especially fraternities, have a reputation for encouraging unruly and improper behaviour among both members and non-members. This paper investigates the effect of the degree of prevalence of these Greek organizations at a campus, as measured by the percentage of students who are members of fraternities and sororities, on the instances of liquor and drug law violations on campuses, as measured by the number of arrests for liquor and drug laws violations. Using a unique dataset, which combines data from three sources, we address any potential selection bias by including several controls associated with party culture and through the inclusion of institution-level fixed effects. We find that a larger percentage of students in fraternities (but not sororities) is associated with an increase in the number of arrests for drug law violations. A larger percentage of students in sororities (but not the percentage of students in fraternities) is associated with a larger number of arrests for liquor law violations. This result is highly significant and is robust across various specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6406-6417 Issue: 55 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2064420 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2064420 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:55:p:6406-6417 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2069671_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Siqi Li Author-X-Name-First: Siqi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yunjie Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yunjie Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Government subsidies, ownership structure and operating performance of state-owned enterprises: evidence from China Abstract: Government subsidies have been used as a policy tool by many countries. Given the importance of government subsidies in the context of Chinese economy and state-owned enterprises (SOEs), this study seeks to understand the role played by government subsidies in the operating performance of Chinese SOEs. Using panel data on Chinese SOEs to construct the fixed-effects regression models, this study examines the effects of government subsidies and explores the moderating role of ownership structure in the correlation between government subsidies and operating performance of SOEs. Government subsidies have improved the operating performance of SOEs through easing financial constraints and stimulating research investment. However, high proportion of state-owned shares is not conducive to the positive effect of subsidies. The heterogeneous analyzes show, for SOEs located in eastern China, at the local level or with a higher R&D level, an increase in state-owned shares is more detrimental to the positive effect of subsidies on their performance. Tax-based-subsidies have significantly positive effect on the operating performance of SOEs, with the state-owned shares exerting a negative moderating effect on this positive correlation. Based on the empirical findings, we propose some policy suggestions for the mixed ownership reform of Chinese SOEs and reasonable allocation of government subsidies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6480-6496 Issue: 56 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2069671 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2069671 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:56:p:6480-6496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2071829_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Michel Cândido de Souza Author-X-Name-First: Michel Cândido Author-X-Name-Last: de Souza Title: Modeling Ambiguity and Risk in Inflation Expectations: Empirical Analysis for Brazil Abstract: For developing economies, agents’ disagreement (risk) about future inflation can be tricky, mostly when the range of possibilities is not clear (ambiguity). We use the Brazilian survey of inflation forecasts to model ambiguity and risk in inflation expectations, considering 1, 6, and 12 months ahead. Our results indicate that an ambiguity inflation expectations shock (6 and 12 months time window) can negatively affect Brazilian economic cycles. On the other hand, risk shocks seem to have a moderate and significant effect only for 1 month ahead of expectations. This evidence shows that the maintenance of short and medium-run monetary policies, such as forward guidance, may depend on dynamics that go beyond first-order volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6521-6535 Issue: 56 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2071829 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2071829 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:56:p:6521-6535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2066619_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Marcelo Florensa Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Florensa Author-Name: David Giuliodori Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Giuliodori Author-Name: Alejandro Rodriguez Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez Title: The price elasticity of casino gambling: a case study in Argentina Abstract: This paper expands on the scarce literature about the demand for casino gaming, particularly on electronic gaming machines (EGM). A dynamic panel data model is proposed for estimating the price elasticity of demand for slot machines in casinos located in Argentina. As far as we know, no similar study for Argentina or any other Latin American country has been previously conducted. In our study, the estimation of the elasticity coefficients was carried out by means of a procedure that corrects the construction bias generated by the model, something that has not been applied in the literature so far. The results, unlike most of the literature, show elasticity values greater than one in absolute value. Additionally, elasticities observed for touristic regions were greater (in absolute value) than for non-tourist areas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6445-6455 Issue: 56 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2066619 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2066619 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:56:p:6445-6455 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2066620_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jaimin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Jaimin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Minjung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minjung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Internal and outsourced research and development: are they complements or substitutes? Abstract: A theoretically ambiguous relationship exists between internal and outsourced research and development (R&D). Along these lines, previous empirical studies report mixed results regarding the nexus between these two broad forms of R&D activity. Using a firm-level unbalanced panel dataset from South Korea for the period 2006–2018, this study investigates the relationship between internal and outsourced R&D while considering the sunk cost of internal R&D activity and the technology level of firms. We find that the relationship between internal and outsourced R&D depends on the level of industry technology and the size of firms. A complementarity exists between internal and external R&D for larger firms in high-technology industries, while a substitutive relationship is discovered for small and medium-sized firms in medium- and low-technology industries. The results suggest that the complementary or substitutive nature of the relationship between internal and external R&D depends on the industry’s technology level and firm size. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6456-6466 Issue: 56 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2066620 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2066620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:56:p:6456-6466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2066621_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Zhuwei Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhuwei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xuejiao Lu Author-X-Name-First: Xuejiao Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Yuan Fu Author-X-Name-First: Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Title: Interaction influence of trading rules on the quality of stock markets: the price limit rule and day trading rule from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock exchanges Abstract: The effect of each trading rule is not completely independent. From the perspective of market differentiation, we establish the linear simultaneous equation model to study the comprehensive influence of the price limit rule and the day trading rule on the quality of China’s stock market and investigate whether it is a synergistic or an anti-synergistic effect. To eliminate the influence of other factors before or after the reform of the trading rules, we establish the difference-in-difference simultaneous equation model for further testing. Results show that when the stock market is divided into the Shanghai A-share market, the Shanghai B-share market, the Shenzhen A-share market, and the Shenzhen B-share market, the simultaneous implementation of the price limit rule and T + 1 trading rule significantly reduces the liquidity and market efficiency of the stock market, significantly increases the volatility of markets, and does harm to the market quality. The interaction effect further aggravates the adverse impact of a single trading rule on the liquidity and market efficiency of the stock market, and weakens the beneficial impact of implementing a single trading rule to stabilize the market. The interaction effect has an anti-synergistic effect, and the results are robust. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6467-6479 Issue: 56 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2066621 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2066621 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:56:p:6467-6479 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2069672_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Masahito Kobayashi Author-X-Name-First: Masahito Author-X-Name-Last: Kobayashi Author-Name: Jinghui Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jinghui Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Analyzing the EU sovereign debt crisis by a new asymmetric copula with reversible correlations Abstract: It is well known that a correlation between stock and bond returns had changed in the financial crisis. This paper analyzes it using a novel asymmetric copula. The proposed test is constructed from bivariate split normal distribution and can change correlation signs of upper and lower tails of distribution independently. It is shown that the stock–bond correlation of the EU periphery countries in the capital outflow period is asymmetric, in that it is higher in the lower tail than in the upper tail. The lower tail correlation is higher when capital outflowed than in the calm period. The lower tail correlation sign in the inflow period was at odds; Ireland, Italy and Spain had negative lower tail correlation. The correlation reversion of these three countries can be explained by the change of capital movement from inflow to outflow. In contrast, Germany had negative stock–bond correlation before and after the crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6497-6509 Issue: 56 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2069672 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2069672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:56:p:6497-6509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2070594_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: George Deltas Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Deltas Author-Name: Hui Wen Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Title: Do voluntary corporate activities lead to reporting regulation? evidence from corporate social responsibility Abstract: Governments and regulators often introduce reporting standards to encourage desirable corporate activities through increasing information quality. Firms that voluntarily take socially desirable activities directly benefit from these standards by being better able to distinguish them against rivals in the product market or with respect to investors. Using a cross-country panel dataset, we find that, at an annual frequency, Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) reports increase the prevalence of voluntary CSR reporting standards, but little evidence that the converse is true. Thus, at least in the short-run, reporting standards act as an ex-post certification for firms with high CSR activity rather than as an ex-ante incentive for corporate behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6510-6520 Issue: 56 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2070594 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2070594 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:56:p:6510-6520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2073330_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Amado Peiró Author-X-Name-First: Amado Author-X-Name-Last: Peiró Title: Predicting stock returns: some European evidence Abstract: This paper examines the predictability of stock returns for different European sectors. Using monthly returns from 14 industries for the period 1988–2019, it is found that past movements in some industries do help to forecast future movements in other industries. Nevertheless, results also show that this relationship emerges in the years between 1999–2009, but disappears afterwards. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6596-6604 Issue: 57 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2073330 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2073330 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:57:p:6596-6604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2072806_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Shuai Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shuai Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Zhenzheng Meng Author-X-Name-First: Zhenzheng Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Author-Name: Chen Ji Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Author-Name: Ying Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Unintended effects of water regulation on household livelihood: evidence from China Abstract: This study examines the unintended effects of the water regulation on household livelihood in China, from the perspective of Engel coefficient. Applying county-level water regulation dataset and CFPS household dataset in a difference-in-difference-difference (DDD) specification, the research finds that the regulation increases the Engel coefficient by an additional 2.6%. Mechanism analyses show that water regulation influences the Engel coefficient through increasing household food expenditure, as it also causes local market fluctuations in meat products. Overall, this study sheds new light on the economic costs of environmental regulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6580-6595 Issue: 57 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2072806 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2072806 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:57:p:6580-6595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_1951441_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Noriyuki Kunimoto Author-X-Name-First: Noriyuki Author-X-Name-Last: Kunimoto Author-Name: Kazuhiko Kakamu Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhiko Author-X-Name-Last: Kakamu Title: Is Bitcoin really a currency? A viewpoint of a stochastic volatility model Abstract: Using an asymmetric stochastic volatility model, this study investigates the day-of-the-week and holiday effects on the returns and volatility of Bitcoin from 1 January 2013 to 31 August 2019; in this context, we also discuss the characteristics of Bitcoin as a financial asset. The results of the estimation are threefold. First, the finding shows a small day-of-the week effect in volatility on Saturday and Sunday than in the rest of the week. Second, although the holiday effects are examined in active trading countries, namely Japan, China, Germany, and the United States, the positive post-holiday effect on the returns and weak positive pre-holiday effect on the volatility are only observed in the United States. Finally, the asymmetry effect is not observed. A comparison of Bitcoin to several assets such as stock, currency, and gold shows Bitcoin’s positioning between stock, currency, and gold in relation to the week and holiday effects, its reaction to federal funds and medium of exchange characteristics, and the lack of asymmetry effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6536-6550 Issue: 57 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1951441 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1951441 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:57:p:6536-6550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2072465_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jae Ho Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Jae Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Author-Name: Katarzyna Anna Nawrot Author-X-Name-First: Katarzyna Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Nawrot Title: Impact of Brexit on G7 properties Abstract: In this article, we adopted the Full Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML) Markov-switching model of Yoon to examine the contribution of the UK housing business cycle to the common G7 housing business cycle between housing price and GDP seeking to access the impact of Brexit on G7 properties. Taking a sample of G7 countries we investigated a period of over 50 years, using quarterly data from 1970:II to 2020:IV. Our findings demonstrate that UK GDP is a significant variable contributing to the G7 GDP growth, and furthermore that the UK housing price is a significant variable to the G7 housing prices. Considering common international housing business cycle, we found that the UK is not a significant variable for determining the common international housing business cycle between housing price and the real growth of output in the G7 countries. Finally, applying a FIML Markov-switching model to the G7 countries, we found a common international housing business cycle during the oil shock periods of the 1970s, the financial crisis in 2008, and COVID-19 pandemic. These findings are the first empirical evidence of the comparison of COVID-19 pandemic and other crises in terms of common international housing business cycle, thus providing significant input for policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6551-6558 Issue: 57 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2072465 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2072465 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:57:p:6551-6558 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2073959_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Daniela Bragoli Author-X-Name-First: Daniela Author-X-Name-Last: Bragoli Author-Name: C. Burlina Author-X-Name-First: C. Author-X-Name-Last: Burlina Author-Name: F. Cortelezzi Author-X-Name-First: F. Author-X-Name-Last: Cortelezzi Author-Name: G. Marseguerra Author-X-Name-First: G. Author-X-Name-Last: Marseguerra Title: Banking proximity and firm performance. The role of small businesses, community banks and the credit cycle Abstract: This article analyses the link between banking geography and firm performance, i.e. whether the proximity within banks and between banks and borrowers has a positive impact on firms’ Returns on Assets (ROA).Using a unique dataset of Italian manufacturing firms and banks from 2006 to 2011 and an instrumental variable approach to account for endogeneity, we investigate whether this effect increases with the presence of community banks and small businesses and whether the relationship changes over the credit boom and bust, which preceded and followed the Lehman Brothers collapse.We show that geographical proximity matters for firm performance especially when the presence of community banks is high and when considering small (micro) firms. During the credit boom, both functional distance and operational proximity seem to matter, whereas, during the credit crunch, operational proximity has a more relevant role compared to functional distance in becoming an important driver to increase firm’s performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6605-6624 Issue: 57 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2073959 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2073959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:57:p:6605-6624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2078779_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Li Yang Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Zhechen Geng Author-X-Name-First: Zhechen Author-X-Name-Last: Geng Title: Impact of Digital Financial Inclusion on Optimization of Employment Structure: Evidence from China Abstract: Digital financial inclusion plays an important role in optimization of employment structure. In this article, we use panel data on 29 provinces over the period 2011 to 2018 to analyse the impact of digital financial inclusion on optimization of employment structure in China. The instrumental variables method (FE and 2SLS) is adopted to test the relationship empirically. Taking full consideration of endogeneity and verifying their robustness, our results show that digitally inclusive finance significantly drives optimization of employment structure in China, and the effect is heterogeneous. Digital financial inclusion has a significant driving effect on optimization of employment structure in eastern China. In central and western China, the driving impact is insignificant, more so in the former than the latter. We conduct further analysis, showing a positive effect of three dimensions of digital financial inclusion on employment structure optimization. From the perspective of promotion, from strong to weak, they are the depth, width and digitization of digital financial inclusion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6625-6638 Issue: 57 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2078779 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2078779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:57:p:6625-6638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2072466_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Chaofan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chaofan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Yongsheng Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yongsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Ning Lv Author-X-Name-First: Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Lv Author-Name: Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yawen Sun Author-X-Name-First: Yawen Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Can government low-carbon regulation stimulate urban green innovation? Quasi-experimental evidence from China’s low-carbon city pilot policy Abstract: Existing studies on the innovation effect of environmental regulation lack causal identification and do not distinguish between the types of innovation. This study regards China’s low-carbon city pilot policy (LCCPP) as a quasi-natural experiment and evaluates the impact of LCCPP on urban green innovation represented by green patents. We found that as a comprehensive government low-carbon regulation, LCCPP has significantly promoted urban green innovation and increased the annual average number of green invention patent applications by approximately 320, green utility model patent applications by approximately 210, and the total number of green patent applications by approximately 530. LCCPP can promote green innovation through capital allocation, structural upgrading, investment promotion, and comprehensive governance effects. Moreover, the impact of LCCPP on green innovation demonstrates heterogeneity. LCCPP has a greater positive effect on green innovation in energy conservation, waste management, and alternative energy and is more effective in stimulating green innovation in large cities, cities in developed eastern regions, and cities rich in educational resources. Our study verifies the existence of the Porter hypothesis in China on a city scale and indicates that, for developing countries, a comprehensive low-carbon regulation that combines mandatory and market-based instruments would be preferable for promoting green innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6559-6579 Issue: 57 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2072466 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2072466 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:57:p:6559-6579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2078780_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Beatrice Baaba Tawiah Author-X-Name-First: Beatrice Baaba Author-X-Name-Last: Tawiah Title: Does education have an impact on patience and risk willingness? Abstract: We analyse the causal effect of education on patience (also known as time preference) and risk willingness using the German compulsory schooling reform, which took effect in West Germany after World War II. This reform increased compulsory schooling from 8 years to 9 years. We use two-stage least squares to obtain causal effects. In line with the literature, the results show a positive effect of education on risk willingness mainly for those who were the immediate partakers of the reform. Contrary to the literature, a negative effect of education on patience is found. This effect is larger as more years around the pivotal years are considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6687-6702 Issue: 58 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2078780 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2078780 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:58:p:6687-6702 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2075823_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Farrukh Javed Author-X-Name-First: Farrukh Author-X-Name-Last: Javed Author-Name: Tamás Kiss Author-X-Name-First: Tamás Author-X-Name-Last: Kiss Author-Name: Pär Österholm Author-X-Name-First: Pär Author-X-Name-Last: Österholm Title: Performance analysis of nowcasting of GDP growth when allowing for conditional heteroscedasticity and non-Gaussianity Abstract: The nowcasting performance of autoregressive models for GDP growth are analysed in a setting where the error term is allowed to be characterized both by conditional heteroscedasticity and non-Gaussianity. Standard, publicly available, quarterly data on GDP growth from 1979 to 2019 for six countries are employed: Australia, Canada, France, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States. In-sample analysis suggests that when homoscedasticity is assumed, support is provided for non-Gaussian error terms; the estimated degrees of freedom of the t-distribution lie between two and seven for all countries. However, allowing for both conditional heteroscedasticity and t-distributed innovations, results indicate that conditional heteroscedasticity captures the fat-tailed behaviour of the data to a large extent. Results from out-of-sample analysis show that point nowcasts are hardly affected by taking conditional heteroscedasticity and/or non-Gaussianity into account. For the density nowcasts, it is found that accounting for conditional heteroscedasticity leads to improvements for Australia, Canada, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States; allowing for non-Gaussianity seems less important though. This result is robust to which measure is used for assessing density nowcasting performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6669-6686 Issue: 58 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2075823 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2075823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:58:p:6669-6686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2081662_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yusuke Fushiki Author-X-Name-First: Yusuke Author-X-Name-Last: Fushiki Author-Name: Katsuhiro Saito Author-X-Name-First: Katsuhiro Author-X-Name-Last: Saito Title: Continue or cease? A method to identify credit constraints under policy intervention and an implication for policy efficiency Abstract: In this study, we consider the problem whereby policy intervention in the financial market might hide the existence of credit constraints. We develop a theoretical model of the representative borrower utilizing credit from private banks and a governmental financial institution. Using the exogenous change in the transaction technology for borrowing from the governmental institution, we can identify the existence of credit constraints even if the policy remains in the market. Additionally, our model shows that the inefficiency of policy intervention is larger when we consider the borrower’s choice of optimal effort. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6716-6725 Issue: 58 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2081662 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2081662 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:58:p:6716-6725 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2078781_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: João Ricardo Faria Author-X-Name-First: João Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Faria Author-Name: Franklin G. Mixon Author-X-Name-First: Franklin G. Author-X-Name-Last: Mixon Title: Do professors’ wages depend on students’ earnings? Abstract: Survey data indicate that the average salary of full professors in the U.S. and the average starting salary of new college graduates in the U.S. have both grown over each of the past eight years. The positive association between these survey data is intuitively appealing in that if greater demand for education comes as a consequence of higher annual earnings accruing to individuals with more education, then an increase in the starting salaries of new college graduates should lead to an increase in the wages of college and university faculty. This paper is the first to study whether the demand for professors is derived from the demand for higher education. To do so, we model the interactions between the academic labour market and the market for college and university graduates, and we show that, in equilibrium, academic wages are independent of students’ earnings. This main characteristic of the equilibrium conditions of our formal model is supported by empirical analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6703-6715 Issue: 58 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2078781 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2078781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:58:p:6703-6715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2075539_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Tianyuan Luo Author-X-Name-First: Tianyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Genti Kostandini Author-X-Name-First: Genti Author-X-Name-Last: Kostandini Title: The wage impacts of intensified immigration enforcement on native and immigrant workers Abstract: We examine the heterogeneous wage effects of E-Verify adoption on natives and immigrants by industry and skill level using a Difference-in-Differences model. The results suggest that immigrant workers in low-skilled occupations (e.g. manual laborer, low-skill services, and craft workers) in the manual industry experience a decrease in wages after E-Verify adoption, while immigrant workers who are high school graduates and those that have clerical and sales positions in the service and retail trade industries experience a wage increase. We find insignificant changes in the wage level of native workers of all skill levels. E-Verify did not effectively improve the wage level of native workers because the impacts seem to be absorbed by immigrant workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6656-6668 Issue: 58 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2075539 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2075539 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:58:p:6656-6668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2081663_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yusui Tang Author-X-Name-First: Yusui Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Feng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: M. I. M. Wahab Author-X-Name-First: M. I. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Wahab Author-Name: Yu Wei Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Does the US stock market information matter for European equity market volatility: a multivariate perspective? Abstract: This research investigates whether the US stock volatility index (S&P 500 index) has the forecasting ability to predict the volatility of CAC index (France), DAX index (Germany), and FTSE index (the UK) by employing a multivariate heterogeneous autoregressive realized volatility jump (MHAR-RV-CJ) model. Our empirical results provide consolidated comparisons using univariate and multivariate models. The in-sample results show us the US volatility will improve the long-term volatility regression coefficient. Moreover, our proposed model, the MHAR-RV-CJ model, nearly surpasses all competing models at out-of-sample forecasting, indicating that considering the multivariate DCC-GARCH information between US-France, US-Germany, and US-UK stock markets and jump component structures can help to predict individual European stock market volatility. Unsurprisingly, several forecasting evaluation tests and further analysis (high/low volatility) confirm the robustness of our results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6726-6743 Issue: 58 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2081663 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2081663 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:58:p:6726-6743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2074361_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Sergio Destefanis Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Destefanis Author-Name: Francesco Addesa Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Addesa Author-Name: Giambattista Rossi Author-X-Name-First: Giambattista Author-X-Name-Last: Rossi Title: The impact of COVID-19 on home advantage: a conditional order-m analysis of football clubs’ efficiency in the top-5 European leagues Abstract: This study aims to contribute to the recent literature on the effects of COVID on football teams’ performance, focusing on the impact of ghost games on offensive and defensive technical efficiency. Using season-level data for the top 5 European leagues, a novelty for efficiency studies on football, the analysis compares the ten seasons played before the pandemic outbreak with the only season (2020–21) almost entirely played behind closed doors. A further novel contribution is the methodology – conditional order-m – applied to calculate efficiency scores. Our results show that in the post-COVID season both offensive and defensive efficiency significantly increased for away games, whereas for home games offensive efficiency shows a very slight increase, and defensive efficiency remains basically unchanged. These findings are valid for all the five leagues and provide evidence of a generalized reduction in the home advantage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6639-6655 Issue: 58 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2074361 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2074361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:58:p:6639-6655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2082370_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jinjie Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Jinjie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Shulin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Shulin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: An economic analysis of maximally representative allocations Abstract: Within online advertising, there has been remarkable growth in display advertising. Our study focuses on the publisher’s allocation of its targeted advertising inventory – to this end, we employ the Hotelling model and use maximally representative allocation in our calculations. We then determine the supremum and infimum prices of a guaranteed contract allocated to advertisers. Rather significantly, our model provides a hybrid channel strategy for a publisher that allows the traditional method of targeted advertising and real-time bidding to coexist. We thus demonstrate the difference in each strategy’s outcome. The study reveals that the revenue of the publisher increases when it employs a hybrid channel strategy. Further, advertisers can bid for real-time bidding impressions in pursuit of high user conversion and simultaneously purchase a guaranteed contract in advance to reduce risk under conditions of sufficient funding. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6744-6754 Issue: 59 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2082370 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2082370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:59:p:6744-6754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2083766_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Chia-Chi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Does a multi-product firm adopt environmental corporate social responsibility voluntarily? Abstract: This paper considers a vertically related market to analyse the effect of implementing environmental corporate social responsibility (ECSR) for a multi-product firm. A downstream multi-product firm that implements ECSR needs to buy a key component from an upstream monopolist. We present some interesting results. First, the effect of implementing ECSR on a firm’s profit is ambiguous. Adopting ECSR may increase the multi-product firm’s profit if the production causes mild environmental damage. In other words, a multi-product firm may benefit from implementing ECSR. Second, a multi-product firm implementing ECSR may alleviate the problem of double marginalization. Third, implementing ECSR may even bring about a triple-win (win-win-win) situation where the multi-product firm is able to simultaneously improve its total profit, environmental quality, and social welfare. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6797-6808 Issue: 59 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2083766 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2083766 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:59:p:6797-6808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2083767_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Liwei Guo Author-X-Name-First: Liwei Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Wei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Does agricultural mechanisation promote agricultural TFPG? Evidence from spatial panel data in China Abstract: Does the promotion of agricultural mechanization level have spatial driving effects on the agricultural total factor productivity growth (TFPG)? Based on spatial panel data from 2000 to 2019, we begin by measuring agricultural TFPG, then incorporating spatial econometric models as well as carrying out spatial regression to first explore the influence agricultural mechanization level has on the agricultural TFPG. Meanwhile, we also perform decomposition of the spatial regression results to further study the spatial spillover effects performed by agricultural mechanization. The study suggests that the promotion of agricultural mechanization level has exerted significant spatial spillover effects on the agricultural TFPG, especially in the eastern and northeast regions of China, demonstrating obvious radiation effects, whereas the central and western regions may not produce such intense spatial spillovers due to the pattern of agricultural development. The results could not only enhance the understanding of agricultural mechanization on the agricultural TFPG but also produce constructive implications for optimizing the spatial layout of agricultural mechanization development, promoting agricultural development according to local conditions and formulating reasonable agricultural economic development policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6809-6828 Issue: 59 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2083767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2083767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:59:p:6809-6828 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2083570_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Rohan Best Author-X-Name-First: Rohan Author-X-Name-Last: Best Author-Name: Rabindra Nepal Author-X-Name-First: Rabindra Author-X-Name-Last: Nepal Title: Saving and subsidies for solar panel adoption in Nepal Abstract: Greater use of household solar-panel systems has the potential to improve energy access and affordability while reducing the risk of climate change. This article uses a survey of 6,000 households in Nepal, a developing economy, to enhance understanding of the factors driving solar-system uptake by households. A key contribution is the breadth of analysis. We find important influences for economic, social, and locational factors. In contrast, physical dwelling aspects, such as roof material, appear to be less important. Social influences explain extra variation in solar-panel uptake, when comparing social and economic influences, although some variables could be classified in multiple categories. For example, membership in a women’s saving and credit cooperative is a socioeconomic factor that is associated with greater solar-panel adoption. Socioeconomic factors may be the most important for future policy innovations, given that existing policy already focuses on location. For instance, this article finds that solar adoption has been much higher in the most supported regions for the Renewable Energy Subsidy Policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6768-6783 Issue: 59 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2083570 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2083570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:59:p:6768-6783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2083571_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xu Wu Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Ling-Ling Li Author-X-Name-First: Ling-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Fractal characteristics analysis and fluctuation trend prediction of commercial bank funding liquidity Abstract: Funding liquidity has been considered as the lifeline of commercial banks. If there are abnormal fluctuations in funding liquidity, it may lead to bank runs, which may bring about the destruction of commercial banks and even spread to cause a financial crisis. Therefore, exploring the fluctuation characteristics and trend prediction of commercial bank funding liquidity has traditionally attracted much attention. Based on this, this paper analyzes the fluctuation characteristics of commercial bank funding liquidity by Multi-Fractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA), and innovatively uses the Moving Trend Entropy Dimension (MTED) for commercial bank funding liquidity fluctuation trend prediction. The results of the study show that the commercial bank funding liquidity is multifractal, so it has predictability; MTED can not only accurately predict the fluctuation trend of commercial bank funding liquidity, but also has robustness. Through effective monitoring of funding liquidity, commercial banks can develop their funding liquidity risk management programs and improve the effectiveness of their own funding liquidity risk control. At the same time, regulators can also achieve the goal of preventing and resolving funding liquidity risks as well as maintaining financial stability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6784-6796 Issue: 59 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2083571 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2083571 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:59:p:6784-6796 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2083569_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Zheming Yan Author-X-Name-First: Zheming Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Rui Shi Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Kerui Du Author-X-Name-First: Kerui Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Lan Yi Author-X-Name-First: Lan Author-X-Name-Last: Yi Title: The role of green production process innovation in green manufacturing: empirical evidence from OECD countries Abstract: Under the climate change background, green manufacturing is a critical path to realizing a low-carbon economy. The role of green products from manufacturing in economy-wide green transition has been discussed in the literature. In contrast, innovation in the industrial process, an important driver of climate change, has seldom been studied. This paper investigates the impact of green production process innovation on green manufacturing production using a fixed-effect SFA model. Furthermore, we discuss whether the impact of green production process innovation is conditioned on the economic development level, using a newly developed partial linear functional model. The results show that green production process innovation benefits green manufacturing, promoting sectoral carbon and energy efficiency. This paper further proposes policy implications, based on the findings that the green production process innovation’s marginal effects vary with economic development level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6755-6767 Issue: 59 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2083569 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2083569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:59:p:6755-6767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2084017_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Ruifeng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Ruifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Fei Liang Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Yefan Nian Author-X-Name-First: Yefan Author-X-Name-Last: Nian Author-Name: Hengyun Ma Author-X-Name-First: Hengyun Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: What we can learn from the interactions of food traceable attributes? a case study of Fuji apple products in China Abstract: Using a face-to-face consumer survey in six cities across China to obtain stated-preference data from a choice experiment, this paper examines consumers’ preferences and willingness-to-pay for Fuji apple products’ food traceability, certification and region of origin claims attributes. The results show that consumers are willing to pay a positive premium for food traceable attributes. The paper finds strong complementary effects between food traceable attributes. Besides, substitution and complementary effects between attributes vary over the sample cities. In addition, there is less overlap in the value of certain food attributes in some cities. These findings provide insights into the marketing management strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6829-6849 Issue: 59 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2084017 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2084017 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:59:p:6829-6849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2084024_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xianhang Qian Author-X-Name-First: Xianhang Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Author-Name: Xue Yang Author-X-Name-First: Xue Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Supervisory independence and banks’ non-performing loans: quasi-experimental evidence from China Abstract: This paper utilizes the turnover of head of local banking supervisory branches accompanied with the merger of China’s banking and insurance regulatory authorities as a quasi-experiment and analyses the impact of supervisory independence on banks’ non-performing loans. The difference-in-difference estimates indicate that in regions with heads of local supervisory branches from other geographic branches, banks’ non-performing loan ratios will decline. The impact of supervisory independence is more pronounced in regions with lower financial marketization. It further shows that supervisory independence can reduce total loan amounts, medium-and-long-term loans, and enterprise loans, and clarifies the impacting mechanisms of supervisory independence on banks’ non-performing loans. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6938-6948 Issue: 60 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2084024 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2084024 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:60:p:6938-6948 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2084018_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Juan Lin Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Ximing Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ximing Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Panye Yang Author-X-Name-First: Panye Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Dynamic dependence and risk spillovers between RMB onshore spot and offshore NDF markets Abstract: This paper investigates the dependence structure between the renminbi (RMB) onshore spot and offshore NDF markets using a GARCH-dynamic copula model. We document that the central parity reform in August 2015 marked a structural change in the dependence structure between the onshore spot and offshore NDF markets. Since the reform, the conditional correlation and tail dependence between the two markets have significantly increased and exhibited apparent time-varying patterns. We show that the difference between the central parity and spot rates and the degree of market segmentation between CNY and NDF markets are two crucial factors driving the time-varying CNY-NDF dependence. Furthermore, we find symmetric downside and upside risk spillovers between the two markets transmitted in both directions. The magnitude of spillovers has significantly increased since the reform. Our findings are particularly relevant for policy-making and portfolio risk management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6850-6862 Issue: 60 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2084018 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2084018 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:60:p:6850-6862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2084020_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Alison Watts Author-X-Name-First: Alison Author-X-Name-Last: Watts Title: Contests with gender bias: evidence from a culinary competition Abstract: Multi-round contest competition determines many important social and economic outcomes such as employment, promotion, political office, as well as singing, debate, and culinary championships. The competitors in such a contest often belong to different groups based on race, ethnicity, and gender. We examine how favouritism in beliefs about ability affects both who wins the contest and the timing of being voted out. The results are tested using novel data from the culinary competition Chopped. We find that female contestants are more likely to be voted out early, but females who survive to the second half of the contest have a good chance to win. These results support an argument of gender bias by the judges. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6875-6886 Issue: 60 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2084020 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2084020 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:60:p:6875-6886 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2084022_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yinhe Liang Author-X-Name-First: Yinhe Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Shuang Yu Author-X-Name-First: Shuang Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Are non-left-behind children really not left behind? The impact of village migration on children’s health outcomes in rural China Abstract: With rapid urbanization and industrialization, a large number of rural residents have migrated to urban areas for work, increasing the proportion of migration in rural villages. Previous studies have typically examined the direct effect of parental migration, while we provide the first evidence for the spillover effects of village migration on the health outcomes of non-left-behind children. The results from an instrumental variable analysis show a sizable adverse effect of exposure to village migration on the health outcomes of non-left-behind children. We examine the role of unhealthy peers, poor parental health behaviours, poor village healthcare infrastructure, and unbalanced human capital structure at the village level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6901-6918 Issue: 60 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2084022 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2084022 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:60:p:6901-6918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2084023_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yicheng Tang Author-X-Name-First: Yicheng Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Hongyan Fang Author-X-Name-First: Hongyan Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: Does bank shareholding affect corporate debt restructuring? Evidence from financially distressed firms in China Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of bank shareholding on corporate debt restructuring. Using a sample of financially distressed firms in China from 2007 to 2016, we find that distressed firms with bank shareholders are more likely to restructure their debt than firms without bank shareholders. Moreover, the alleviation of renegotiation friction in both distressed state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and non-state-owned enterprises (non-SOEs) and reducing information asymmetry in non-SOEs facilitate the positive impacts of bank shareholding on debt restructuring. In addition, the impact is more evident in distressed non-SOEs characterized by higher profitability prior to restructuring. Further, distressed non-SOEs with bank shareholders are more likely to recover from distress than their peers, while the results are opposite for distressed SOEs. We argue that while bank shareholding facilitates restructuring in distressed non-SOEs, it aggravates the soft budget constraint in troubled SOEs. Our results are robust after accounting for the selection bias of bank shareholding. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6919-6937 Issue: 60 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2084023 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2084023 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:60:p:6919-6937 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2084021_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Changyu Hu Author-X-Name-First: Changyu Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Yuetong Li Author-X-Name-First: Yuetong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xiaojia Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojia Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Data assets, information uses, and operational efficiency Abstract: This paper studies the impact of data assets on firms’ operational efficiency, aiming to show how data assets work in business operations and highlight their key value. Given the rich content, data assets can increase operational efficiency as it embeds firms with valuable information used to optimize resource deployment in production and improve customer relationship management. Using a sample of A-share listed firms in China from 2003 to 2019, we empirically show a consistent and significantly positive relationship between a text-based measure of data assets and operational efficiency. Moreover, the positive effect of data assets on operational efficiency is more pronounced in state-owned enterprises (SOEs), diversified firms with redundant internal information, and firms in a more complex external information environment (i.e. more volatile earnings of the industry or a larger dispersion of analysts’ forecasts). As further evidenced by higher turnover ratios of inventory and lower turnover ratios of accounts receivables in firms with data assets, we verify that data assets lead to efficient production management and flexible customer relationship management. Overall, these results suggest that data assets are valuable in the efficiency improvement of firms by facilitating information uses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6887-6900 Issue: 60 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2084021 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2084021 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:60:p:6887-6900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2084019_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yiwen Shangguan Author-X-Name-First: Yiwen Author-X-Name-Last: Shangguan Author-Name: Wenshuo Guo Author-X-Name-First: Wenshuo Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: Is FDI a high-quality investment? evidence from the changes in the Chinese FDI after HSR opening Abstract: Improving the quality of foreign direct investment (FDI) is of great importance for the Chinese economy, which has transited from high-speed growth to high-quality development. Under the background of the rapid construction of high-speed rail (HSR), this paper uses panel data from 288 prefecture-level cities in China from 2007 to 2017 and implements the time-varying difference-in-differences (DID) model to investigate the effect of the HSR opening on FDI. This study also infers the quality of FDI before HSR opening and tests whether HSR opening could improve the quality of FDI. The empirical results show that in the short period after the HSR opening, the crowding out low-quality investment caused by the opening of HSR is greater than the effect of attracting high-quality investment. Therefore, FDI decreases after the opening of HSR, indicating the FDI before HSR opening is a low-quality investment. Moreover, the opening of HSR could gradually improve the quality of FDI over time, promoting FDI to transition to a neutral investment, then to a high-quality investment. Our research suggests that the Chinese government should choose FDI with adequate evaluation, introducing the high-quality FDI to generate technology spillovers and promote the industrial upgrades. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6863-6874 Issue: 60 Volume: 54 Year: 2022 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2084019 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2084019 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:60:p:6863-6874 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2061903_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Athina Zervoyianni Author-X-Name-First: Athina Author-X-Name-Last: Zervoyianni Author-Name: Sophia Dimelis Author-X-Name-First: Sophia Author-X-Name-Last: Dimelis Author-Name: Alexandra Livada Author-X-Name-First: Alexandra Author-X-Name-Last: Livada Title: Economic Sentiment and the Covid-19 Crisis: Evidence from European Countries Abstract: This paper examines empirically the impact of Covid-19 pandemic on economic sentiment in Europe. We focus on the EU-27 countries plus the UK during the period September 2019 to November 2020, before the initiation of Covid-19 vaccination, using data from Eurostat’s Business and Consumers Surveys. Panel data estimates indicate that the pandemic has generated strongly declining sentiments among economic agents in Europe through the slowdown of the economy due to the imposed restrictions on movement and other controls. The risk of infection-induced mortality has played a separate role in generating pessimism directly from human psychology. The emergency social protection measures launched by governments have, on average, been effective in reducing market pessimism. However, we provide evidence suggesting that policymakers should focus more on targeted support to poor households and other disadvantaged groups of the population. Overall, our results suggest that certain structural features of economies, including poverty exposure, a large informal sector, and a high percentage of vulnerable employment as well as limited financial and informational openness, are factors that may intensify the severity of the adverse economic consequences of a pandemic. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 113-130 Issue: 1 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2061903 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2061903 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:1:p:113-130 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_1927964_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Ni Zhuo Author-X-Name-First: Ni Author-X-Name-Last: Zhuo Author-Name: Chunhui Ye Author-X-Name-First: Chunhui Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Author-Name: Chen Ji Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Title: Human capital matters:intergenerational occupational mobility in rural China Abstract: Intergenerational occupational mobility often indicates inequality in society, and occupational mobility in rural China reflects the labour migration from rural to urban areas. Human capital is critical to occupational mobility; however, studies on occupational mobility in rural areas spanning over three generations, from the human capital perspective, are scant. This study analyzes data of three generations from Chinese Rural Development Surveys to examine intergenerational occupational mobility of rural Chinese households. Specifically, considering that the term ‘mobility’ refers to differences in occupation of parents and their offspring, this study examines education and skills training differences between the two as independent variables to ascertain their influence on occupational mobility, rather than simply examining parents’ education and skills training. A series of descriptive analysis and regressions confirm that education and workforce skills training are the key determinants that enable farmers to move upward in occupational status. These variables also influence the direction and distance of occupational mobility for rural households. This indicates that the government should invest more in human capital, especially by supporting increased access to both education and training. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-19 Issue: 1 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1927964 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1927964 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:1:p:1-19 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2052011_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Ho Seoung Na Author-X-Name-First: Ho Seoung Author-X-Name-Last: Na Title: Analysis of mutual relationships between investments made by content providers and network operators using the VAR model Abstract: Various services and content available on the Internet have changed people’s daily lives and also changed the physical structure of the Internet network. Prominent content providers with high levels of Internet traffic by multimedia content have a significant influence on the structural changes of the Internet network. This study empirically analyzes the mutual relationships between the content providers’ infrastructure investments and the network operators’ network investments, using time-series data. It concludes that for the continuous development of Internet-related industries, it is necessary for the content providers to pay network interconnection fees to the network operators with paid peering contracts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 58-71 Issue: 1 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2052011 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2052011 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:1:p:58-71 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_1934392_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Haifa Boussada Author-X-Name-First: Haifa Author-X-Name-Last: Boussada Author-Name: Jean-Luc Prigent Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Luc Author-X-Name-Last: Prigent Author-Name: Ibrahima Soumare Author-X-Name-First: Ibrahima Author-X-Name-Last: Soumare Title: On the sovereign debt crisis: sovereign credit default swaps and their interaction with stock market indices Abstract: This paper examines the European credit default swap spreads and their relationship to other financial assets such as stock indices. This study aims at better investigating the European sovereign debt crisis from the beginning of 2010 to the end of 2013. For this purpose, using daily data covering the period from January 2004 to December 2018, first we examine the impact of the sovereign crisis on spread sovereign credit default swaps, using both an asymmetric DCC-MGARCH model and a Copula-based Multivariate GARCH model (C-MGARCH). Then, we estimate the relations between spread sovereign credit default swaps and equity indices. We analyse in particular the lead–lag relationship between these two financial indicators by using a vector autoregressive model. We note a negative correlation between the spreads and stock market indices. There is a significant unidirectional causality from CDS spread changes to stock market indices returns. Our findings show that the CDS spreads have played a leading role in most European countries during this crisis. These results are potentially important because the current pandemic is threatening the economies of European countries, especially Greece. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 20-42 Issue: 1 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1934392 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.1934392 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:1:p:20-42 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2055741_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jing Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Zhanpeng Bi Author-X-Name-First: Zhanpeng Author-X-Name-Last: Bi Author-Name: May Hu Author-X-Name-First: May Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Qingzhu Meng Author-X-Name-First: Qingzhu Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Title: Shadow banking and commercial bank: evidence from China Abstract: In China, commercial banks participate in shadow banking activities through interbank or channel businesses, which should be called bank’s shadow banking activities. Based on the co-opetition game model, we first analyse the fund flow mechanism between bank’s shadow banking and traditional credit business, which confirms that the greater the proportion of bank’s shadow banking investment, the higher the bank profit. By sampling 147 commercial banks in China during 2003 to 2019, we empirically study the impact of bank’s shadow banking on the individual risk of commercial bank by OLS regression and on the systemic risk of banks through the randomized effect model from the micro-level. The results confirm that Chinese bank’s shadow banking will increase the individual operating risk of commercial bank and its rapid development will increase the probability of banking system risk. Meanwhile, we find that global financial crisis has no significant effect on the risk of individual banks or banking systems, but the regulatory overhaul of bank’s shadow banking activities can significantly inhibit the individual bank’s operational risk, especially for listed banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 72-89 Issue: 1 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2055741 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2055741 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:1:p:72-89 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2023090_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xinsheng Cui Author-X-Name-First: Xinsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Author-Name: Longfei Guo Author-X-Name-First: Longfei Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Yuanyue Bian Author-X-Name-First: Yuanyue Author-X-Name-Last: Bian Title: Improving business environments: a new approach to promote trade openness? Abstract: Improving business environments as a kind of internally oriented institutional reform has been approved to attract Foreign Direct Investment and promote foreign trade. However, its effect on trade openness has been ignored. By introducing a dummy variable of the border into the gravity equation model, this study redefines and measures the trade openness, representing the ease of goods and service import of an economy. Then we estimate the impact of business environments on trade openness with the ease of doing business score of the World Bank’s Doing Business project. The results reveal that, although some countries tend to implement trade protectionism in the time of economic crises and the trade openness suffers temporary setbacks, the overall development trend of the world economy increasingly opens up. Besides, the level of trade openness varies significantly among economies where developed countries demonstrate more openness than developing ones. More importantly, we find the positive effect of business environments on trade openness and the countries with lower development level benefited more from the improving business environments. It highlights the importance of improving business environments in promoting trade openness in the developing world. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 43-57 Issue: 1 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.2023090 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2021.2023090 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:1:p:43-57 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2056571_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Hao Wu Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Huiming Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Huiming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Yiwen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yiwen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Fei Huang Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Time-Frequency connectedness of policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and Chinese commodity markets: evidence from rolling window analysis Abstract: This article investigates the time-frequency connectedness of categorical policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and Chinese commodity markets by applying the vector autoregression method for the period from August 2004 to March 2021. Specifically, our research employs rolling window analysis of wavelet decomposition series to uncover the dynamic properties of connectedness with a time-frequency framework. The results indicate that heterogeneity exists across time scales for policy-specific uncertainty, geopolitical risk and commodities throughout the study period. In particular, the directional connectedness shows that the commodity markets are most closely related to monetary policy uncertainty, followed by exchange rate policy uncertainty, fiscal policy uncertainty and trade policy uncertainty, and finally geopolitical risk. In addition, connectedness exhibits an obvious changing trend during the crisis period, and the spillover effects of policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk increase dramatically. Finally, the long-term connectedness between policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk and commodities are stronger than that in the short-term periods. Overall, our findings provide valuable implications that policymakers and investors should pay attention to dynamic and time-frequency features of connectedness when making decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 90-112 Issue: 1 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2056571 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2056571 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:1:p:90-112 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2074358_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Bo Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Xiaochen Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaochen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Baoyin Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Baoyin Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Jingjing Zuo Author-X-Name-First: Jingjing Author-X-Name-Last: Zuo Title: Does the ”Belt and Road” initiative impact a firm’s green investments? Abstract: Based on the quasi-natural experiment of the ‘Belt and Road’ initiative by the State Council in March 2015 in China, we use a difference-in-differences (DID) research design to examine the impact of the ‘Belt and Road’ initiative on firms’ green investments. Our DID results show that compared with firms in the control group, supported-firms significantly decreased their green investments after the ‘Belt and Road’ initiative. Specifically, firm-level green investments of supported-firms decreased by approximately 44% after the ‘Belt and Road’ initiative than before the ‘Belt and Road’ initiative relative to an average firm. After the use of placebo test, PSM test, and replacement of variables and samples test, the basic conclusion remains unchanged. Further analysis shows that the negative effect of the ‘Belt and Road’ initiative on green investments is more salient for key provinces, heavily polluting industries, weak industry competition, low management power, high media attention, and high analyst attention. Collectively, our findings systematically identify and examine the influence of the ‘Belt and Road’ initiative on green investments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 155-169 Issue: 2 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2074358 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2074358 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:2:p:155-169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2071830_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Luis Diaz-Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Diaz-Serrano Author-Name: Frank G. Sackey Author-X-Name-First: Frank G. Author-X-Name-Last: Sackey Title: Is microfinance really helping the most vulnerable? An empirical test of the effectiveness of the Ghana’s Microfinance Policy Reform Abstract: The study aims to test the effectiveness of the Ghana Microfinance Policy of 2006 set up to support women and youth through access to credit. Our results show that, after controlling for a large number of variables, female and young entrepreneurs are less likely to be rationed in the access to microcredit and that this is largely determined by the differential treatment that they receive from microfinance institutions. Our analysis using regression decomposition techniques indicates that positive discrimination in favour of women and youth exists. Surprisingly, our results show that government microfinance policy accounts for the most severe rationing behaviour towards the targeted groups by the law. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 131-145 Issue: 2 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2071830 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2071830 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:2:p:131-145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2074357_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Sylvain Bourjade Author-X-Name-First: Sylvain Author-X-Name-Last: Bourjade Author-Name: Annalisa Fraccaro Author-X-Name-First: Annalisa Author-X-Name-Last: Fraccaro Author-Name: Debrah Meloso Author-X-Name-First: Debrah Author-X-Name-Last: Meloso Author-Name: Roman Skripnik Author-X-Name-First: Roman Author-X-Name-Last: Skripnik Author-Name: David Stolin Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Stolin Title: Non-proportional thinking in IPOs Abstract: The fact that initial-to-final IPO price revision ratios are strong predictors of IPO underpricing is well known to researchers. Our study documents that the dollar amount of the price revision matters above and beyond the revision ratio, and dramatically so. Immediately following the IPO, market participants appear to see a positive signal in greater dollar amount revisions, even if holding price revision ratios equal. This extends Shue and Townsend (Journal of Finance, 2021) finding of market participants’ ‘non-proportional thinking’ to the IPO setting. It also implies that the dollar amount of price revision deserves attention from future IPO researchers, particularly when studying the determinants of IPO underpricing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 146-154 Issue: 2 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2074357 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2074357 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:2:p:146-154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2083567_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chongfeng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chongfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Are analysts effective speaking tubes? Evidence from site visits Abstract: This study examines the association between analysts’ site visits and stock price crash risk using a dataset of Chinese firms listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE) from 2012 to 2019. We find that analysts’ site visit frequency is positively associated with future stock price crash risk, and the positive association is primarily driven by the firms that analysts keep silent on. Furthermore, we confirm that analysts’ silence is associated with negative news about firms’ fundamentals. We also show that the effect of analysts’ silence on crash risk is more pronounced when analysts face conflicts of interest, when firms have poorer information transparency, and when firms have fewer alternative information channels. Overall, our findings shed light on the dark side of analysts’ site visits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 170-187 Issue: 2 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2083567 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2083567 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:2:p:170-187 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2084026_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Shaohui Gao Author-X-Name-First: Shaohui Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Yiming He Author-X-Name-First: Yiming Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: The effect of land titling policy on farm size: evidence from China Abstract: This study utilizes regression discontinuity design to examine the impact of the land titling program on farm size in China between 2009 and 2016. Results indicate that the land titling policy effect upsizes farm by around 50% and increases the transaction of management rights in farmland by around 4% points in China for 2015 national survey. Using data from the 20th century, it shows private ownership historically had lowered farm size. Today, given ownership is stable, farmland management rights provide incentive structure for farmers to participate into farmland lease market and expand their farm size. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 188-200 Issue: 2 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2084026 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2084026 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:2:p:188-200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2085870_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xudong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Xudong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Haixia Chang Author-X-Name-First: Haixia Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Wanli Li Author-X-Name-First: Wanli Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Cross-ownership and tunnelling: evidence from China Abstract: The phenomenon that firms form association through the same shareholders widely exists in the global capital market. Using the data of China’s listed firms from 2008 to 2018, we examine whether cross-ownership can restrain the tunnelling behaviour of controlling shareholder. We find that cross-ownership can significantly reduce the tunnelling behaviour of controlling shareholders. It survives a series of endogeneity tests and robustness tests. Further analysis shows that the information advantage and governance experience are the two potential mechanisms through which cross-ownership affects tunnelling. Meanwhile, cross-ownership plays the positive role in restraining tunnelling mainly by increasing shareholding ratio and appointing directors. Moreover, this effect is more pronounced in firms with lower equity concentration, less analyst coverage and worse reputation of auditors. This paper not only highlights the critical role played by cross-ownership in shaping micro-economic behaviours by providing novel evidence from emerging markets, but also has some crucial implications for capital market supervision and industry antitrust policy-making. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 223-236 Issue: 2 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2085870 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2085870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:2:p:223-236 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2085869_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Author-X-Name-Last: Abakah Author-Name: OlaOluwa Simon Yaya Author-X-Name-First: OlaOluwa Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Yaya Author-Name: Kingsley Opoku Appiah Author-X-Name-First: Kingsley Opoku Author-X-Name-Last: Appiah Title: Tail risk dependence, co-movement and predictability between green bond and green stocks Abstract: This paper examines the coherence of extreme returns between green bonds and a unique set of green stocks. We use the novel quantile cross-spectral coherence methodology of quantile spectral coherency model, cross-quantilogram correlation approach, windowed time-lagged cross-correlation, and windowed scalogram difference models as estimation techniques. The study period spans from 28 November 2008 to 23 September 2020. Our measure of green stocks comprises the constituents of the MSCI Global Environment Price Index: Alternative Energy, Green Building, Pollution Prevention or Clean Technology while our green bond market is proxied by S&P Green Bond Index. We find the dependency between Green Bonds and green stocks to be weak, and this is high during market downturn periods in the short- to medium-term dynamics. This suggests that Green Bonds do act as a hedge, diversifier, or safe-haven instrument for environment portfolio in the short-term, medium-term and long-term dynamics during bearish market conditions. We conclude that green bonds and green stocks are two distinct asset classes with a distinct risk-return profile despite their common climate-friendly nature. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 201-222 Issue: 2 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2085869 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2085869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:2:p:201-222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2087858_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Suk-Joon Byun Author-X-Name-First: Suk-Joon Author-X-Name-Last: Byun Author-Name: Byounghyun Jeon Author-X-Name-First: Byounghyun Author-X-Name-Last: Jeon Author-Name: Donghoon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Donghoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Investor sentiment and the MAX effect: evidence from Korea Abstract: Stocks with extreme positive returns underperform the market since they are overpriced due to investors’ preference towards lottery-like stocks, stocks with a low probability of an extremely high payoff. Using data from the South Korean stock market, we show that the underperformance of such stocks is pronounced following periods of low investor sentiment. This suggests that low investor sentiment coincides with economic downturn when stocks with extreme positive returns experience increased salience and attention. We provide supporting evidence that stocks with extreme positive returns experience a substantial increase in trading volume and buying pressure from individual investors when investor sentiment is low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 319-331 Issue: 3 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2087858 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2087858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:3:p:319-331 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2086683_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Isaac Koomson Author-X-Name-First: Isaac Author-X-Name-Last: Koomson Author-Name: Clifford Afoakwah Author-X-Name-First: Clifford Author-X-Name-Last: Afoakwah Title: Can financial inclusion improve children’s learning outcomes and late school enrolment in a developing country? Abstract: This study uses comprehensive household data from Ghana to examine the link between financial inclusion and children’s learning outcomes and late school enrolment. After resolving endogeneity, we find that a standard deviation increase in financial inclusion is associated with 0.7882 to 0.9504 standard deviations increase in children’s learning outcomes. It also reduces late school enrolment by 0.9493 standard deviation. Financial inclusion enhances learning and schooling outcomes more for girls and urban children. These findings are robust to different indicators of learning outcomes and alternative approaches to addressing endogeneity. Parents’ ability to spend on extra classes and on books and other school-related supplies serve as possible channels through which financial inclusion affects children’s educational outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 237-254 Issue: 3 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2086683 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2086683 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:3:p:237-254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2086963_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jeremy Philip Thornton Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Thornton Title: Fiscal shocks and non-profit employment Abstract: This paper uses novel data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) to identify the impact of countercyclical fiscal policy on non-profit wages, employment, and entry in the non-profit sector. The paper extends an existing empirical literature that uses the ‘Great Recession’ (2007–2009) as a shock to identify the responsiveness of non-profit labour markets to aggressive fiscal policy. The paper adopts an identification strategy which exploits variation in the Federal Medical Assistance Percentage (FMAP) reimbursement rates across states in the context of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009. An instrument is applied in the place of ARRA expenditures to avoid estimation bias. I find that non-profit employment and wages are less responsive to fiscal stimulus, relative to previous point estimates for all United States firms. Point estimates indicate estimated cost of $104,000 per non-profit job saved. However, there is wide variation across non-profit sub-sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 293-304 Issue: 3 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2086963 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2086963 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:3:p:293-304 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2086685_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Sonia Baños-Caballero Author-X-Name-First: Sonia Author-X-Name-Last: Baños-Caballero Author-Name: Pedro J. García-Teruel Author-X-Name-First: Pedro J. Author-X-Name-Last: García-Teruel Title: Investment in trade credit in small business start-ups: evidence from Spain during a financial crisis Abstract: This study analyses start-up firms’ investment in trade credit during the period 2011–2014. We find that new or recently created firms had greater investments in trade credit than established firms. Moreover, the results indicate that start-up firms’ investment in trade credit did not depend on their bargaining power or access to external finance. These findings suggest that the reason start-ups invested more in accounts receivable than established firms could be due to late payments or their granting credit to low-quality customers who cannot obtain credit from established firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 273-282 Issue: 3 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2086685 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2086685 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:3:p:273-282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2086684_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yunsun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yunsun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Sun-Young Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Sun-Young Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Author-Name: Jong-Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Sahm Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sahm Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Linear time-varying regression with copula–DCC–asymmetric–GARCH models for volatility: the co-movement between industrial electricity demand and financial factors Abstract: This paper examines the dependence structure of industrial electricity demand and financial indicators (the Korea Composite Stock Price Index [KOSPI], Korean Securities Dealers Automated Quotations [KOSDAQ], exchange rate, government bonds and exports) using the copula dynamic conditional correlation with symmetric and asymmetric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models to forecast volatility. We investigated symmetric and asymmetric GARCH types, such as the standard, exponential, Glosten–Jagannathan–Runkle and asymmetric power models to fit the marginal distribution. The two types of elliptical copula, Gaussian and Student’s t-distributions, were also considered to investigate the tail dependence between financial and electricity time series. We analysed the monthly log returns for January 2002 to April 2020. The empirical results reveal that the best-fit models for the Akaike information criteria are the asymmetric GARCH models, specifically the exponential-GARCH (E-GARCH). Moreover, the asymmetric GARCH model is superior to the symmetric GARCH in terms of forecast volatility. Extreme tail dependence exists for the KOSDAQ and exports indicators with the electricity demand. The KOSPI, Korea’s primary stock market, is the best-fit financial variable and presents the highest forecasting accuracy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 255-272 Issue: 3 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2086684 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2086684 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:3:p:255-272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2086964_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Sefa Awaworyi Churchill Author-X-Name-First: Sefa Awaworyi Author-X-Name-Last: Churchill Author-Name: Yifei Cai Author-X-Name-First: Yifei Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Michael Odei Erdiaw-Kwasie Author-X-Name-First: Michael Odei Author-X-Name-Last: Erdiaw-Kwasie Author-Name: Lei Pan Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: Financial development and tourism: a century of evidence from Germany Abstract: This article presents findings from the first study to examine the direct effects of financial development on tourism. Using a unique historical dataset for Germany covering 1870 to 2016, we apply an autoregressive distributional lag (ARDL) model with structural breaks. To identify the lead–lag relationship between financial development and tourism, we adopt the wavelet coherence method and the most recently developed Shi, Hurn, and Phillips (2020) time-varying causality test. The ARDL results suggest that, on average, financial development is associated with an increase in tourist arrivals. The wavelet coherence results unveil a significant positive correlation between financial development and tourism in both short- and medium-terms, and financial development leads to tourism growth in Germany. Moreover, the causality results indicate that the positive effect of financial development on tourism is most evident from 2009 onward. Our study provides important implications for policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 305-318 Issue: 3 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2086964 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2086964 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:3:p:305-318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2086686_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Author-X-Name-Last: Abakah Title: US policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic and sectoral stock indices: A fractional integration approach Abstract: This paper uses fractional integration to assess the impact of US policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic on 10 US sectoral stock indices from 1 January 2020 to 11 June 2021. The results provide evidence of mean reversion in most cases and suggest that the Effective Federal Funds Rate and monetary and fiscal announcements are the most effective policy tools. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 283-292 Issue: 3 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2086686 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2086686 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:3:p:283-292 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2096861_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Mounir Dahmani Author-X-Name-First: Mounir Author-X-Name-Last: Dahmani Author-Name: Mohamed Mabrouki Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Mabrouki Author-Name: Adel Ben Youssef Author-X-Name-First: Adel Author-X-Name-Last: Ben Youssef Title: The ICT, financial development, energy consumption and economic growth nexus in MENA countries: dynamic panel CS-ARDL evidence Abstract: This paper analyses the nexus between renewable and non-renewable energy consumption, financial development, Information and Communication Technology (ICT) diffusion and economic growth, in MENA countries, over the period 1980–2018. We use the novel Cross-Section augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lag (CS-ARDL) estimation technique which accounts for cross-sectional dependence and cross-country heterogeneity issues. We find a positive impact of renewable and non-renewable energy on economic growth, but a negative effect of financial development on economic growth. We also find a positive and statistically significant influence of ICT on Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Renewable energy and ICT diffusion can be considered important determinants of improved economic activity, job creation and better environmental quality. Pairwise Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality tests were used to examine the causal relations among the variables. The findings of this study have considerable policy implications for the selected countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1114-1128 Issue: 10 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2096861 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2096861 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:10:p:1114-1128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2095348_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Kanat Abdulla Author-X-Name-First: Kanat Author-X-Name-Last: Abdulla Title: New evidence on the role of human capital in economic development Abstract: This study provides new evidence on the role of human capital in economic development by investigating the earnings and occupational attainment of immigrants in Venezuela. The results show that immigrants are representative of the source country’s population and are more likely to use their skills in the labour market of the host country. This allows us to measure the human capital endowments of the source countries more precisely. Using the standard development accounting framework to explain the variation in output, the study finds that physical capital and human capital account for 73–79% of income differences across countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1062-1073 Issue: 10 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2095348 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2095348 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:10:p:1062-1073 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2096860_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Weidong Xu Author-X-Name-First: Weidong Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Yijie Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yijie Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xin Gao Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Yi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Business strategy and stock price crash risk: international evidence Abstract: Employing a large international sample spanning from 1985 to 2017 (i.e. 65,774 firm-year observations), this paper examines the relationship between business strategy and stock price crash risk. Empirical results suggest that prospective business strategy is significantly and positively related to stock price crash risk, in line with the ‘bad news hoarding hypothesis’. Further research shows that in companies with higher information asymmetry or more overconfident CEOs, prospective business strategy has a larger positive impact on stock price crash risk. In addition, the above positive effects are more significant in countries with higher individualism, lower power distance, and weaker uncertainty avoidance. Our results remain after a battery of robustness checks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1098-1113 Issue: 10 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2096860 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2096860 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:10:p:1098-1113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2096862_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xue Qu Author-X-Name-First: Xue Author-X-Name-Last: Qu Author-Name: Daizo Kojima Author-X-Name-First: Daizo Author-X-Name-Last: Kojima Author-Name: Laping Wu Author-X-Name-First: Laping Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Mitsuyoshi Ando Author-X-Name-First: Mitsuyoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Ando Title: Rice harvest losses caused by agency slack in China: a mediation analysis Abstract: This study built mediation analysis models to test the hypothesis that a moral hazard-measured as whether harvest operators’ work attitudes are serious-mediates the effects of mechanical harvest outsourcing on rice harvest losses based on a 1106-household survey in China. The major findings are as follows. First, the average rice harvest loss rate in 2016 in China was approximately 3.65%, equalling eight million tons of rice or one million hectares of farmland. Second, after addressing the potential endogeneity, we preliminarily found the mediation effect using the three-step method. The adjusted product of coefficients method from the Sobel test, distribution of the product test, and Markov Chain Monte Carlo test all indicated the significance of the mediation effect arising from work attitudes. Third, we observed the mediation effect through moral hazard for large-scale farmers, but not when farmers used combine harvesters. These results supported the presence of a moral hazard in mechanical harvest outsourcing and showed that combine harvesting could facilitate harvest loss reduction. Policymakers should consider regulating the principal – agent relationship in harvest outsourcing and encourage land transfers to form large-scale farms to promote combine harvesting. These are critical in achieving the sustainable development goal of halving food loss and waste worldwide. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1129-1141 Issue: 10 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2096862 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2096862 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:10:p:1129-1141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2096864_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xiaotian Sun Author-X-Name-First: Xiaotian Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Wei Fang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Xiangyun Gao Author-X-Name-First: Xiangyun Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Sufang An Author-X-Name-First: Sufang Author-X-Name-Last: An Author-Name: Tao Wu Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Shuai Ren Author-X-Name-First: Shuai Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Title: Nonlinear dynamical analysis of metal futures price fluctuations: a recurrence quantification analysis approach Abstract: Metal futures markets are complex systems which generally show nonstationary and complex behaviours. However, the characteristics behind these complex processes can be uncovered by exploring their prices fluctuations. This paper identified the deterministic states and measured the complexity of these six metal futures prices based on recurrence plots. The results show that the prices fluctuations characteristics of the five metals, except for Copper, were significantly different around April 2008. The average time for prices to maintain similar fluctuations for each metal is roughly within 15 days. We further used entropy indicator to quantify the complexity of metal prices systems and the sliding window method to identify time-varying features of complexity. After 2013, all these metal futures systems show higher complexity behaviours than before. Moreover, when the entropy indicator is at a high value, these metal prices are likely to change significantly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1142-1155 Issue: 10 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2096864 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2096864 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:10:p:1142-1155 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2096205_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Kuangchung Hsu Author-X-Name-First: Kuangchung Author-X-Name-Last: Hsu Author-Name: Zhen Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Tropical storms and the U.S. natural gas demand: how have hurricanes impacted natural gas consumption? Abstract: Studies of the impact of tropical storms on various economic activities including energy production are on the rise given higher frequencies of tropical storms and the increasingly large and negative impact in more recent years. However, we found no academic study of tropical storms on natural gas consumption. This paper provides such a study. In carrying out the empirical investigation, we created a dataset that includes the detailed path of the storms and the cities and states impacted. We estimated the storms’ impact on temperature and also the temperature’s impact on consumption to gauge the specific impact of tropical storms by state and by end use. We found significant storm impact on natural gas consumption, especially consumption of gas to produce power. However, the impact of a typical storm on gas consumption was relatively small on a monthly basis even though it could have a large impact on storm days. This study provides an important empirical result to better understand natural gas price dynamics in the presence of a tropical storm. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1074-1097 Issue: 10 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2096205 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2096205 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:10:p:1074-1097 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2095347_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Minghui Yang Author-X-Name-First: Minghui Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Shaoming Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shaoming Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Jiawen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jiawen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Corporate social responsibility and stock price crash risk: does analyst coverage matter? Abstract: The debate about whether corporate social responsibility (CSR) and analyst coverage facilitate financial transparency is still open among academics and practitioners to date. Drawing from the information asymmetry view, this paper aims to investigate the impact of CSR on stock price crash risk, and to examine the moderating effect of analyst coverage on the ‘CSR – crash risk’ nexus. Using a sample of 8037 firm-year observations from Chinese-listed firms between 2010 and 2018, we find that CSR is negatively associated with crash risk. Analyst coverage cannot catalyse the positive role of CSR in reducing financial opacity, and thereby weakens the negative association between CSR and stock price crash risk. This implies that analysts fail to sufficiently disseminate firm-specific information, which in turn aggravates the information gap between insiders and outside investors. Our results remain robust after considering potential endogeneity and alternative CSR measures. The current study advances the understanding of ‘CSR – crash risk’ relationship with the moderating effect of analyst coverage. We also provide important references for investors and policymakers to better understand abnormal stock price fluctuations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1045-1061 Issue: 10 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2095347 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2095347 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:10:p:1045-1061 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2096868_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Lu Sui Author-X-Name-First: Lu Author-X-Name-Last: Sui Author-Name: Andre V. Mollick Author-X-Name-First: Andre V. Author-X-Name-Last: Mollick Author-Name: Sibin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Sibin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Threshold effects of financial development on foreign listing: the roles of venture capital in developed and emerging countries Abstract: This paper examines financing abroad from the perspective of international financial development. We find that foreign listing activities are significantly associated with financial development indices, such as stock trading, domestic credit, soundness of banks, venture capital availability and financing by local equity markets. The spillover effect is more pronounced in emerging countries. A threshold model with a macro dynamic panel of 37 countries from 2006 to 2020 suggests that foreign listings and financial development (stock trading and venture capital availability) follow an inverted U-shaped pattern, while foreign listings and domestic credit follow a diminishing pattern. The policy and managerial implications indicate that countries face varying demands for foreign listings at different stages of financial development. When making decisions on seeking foreign capital policymakers should follow closely the changes in domestic financial development and institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1201-1216 Issue: 11 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2096868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2096868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:11:p:1201-1216 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2096866_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Tiantian Dai Author-X-Name-First: Tiantian Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Shenyi Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Shenyi Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Tao Jin Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Buyuan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Buyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Language and segregation: evidence from housing markets in the United States Abstract: It has been suggested that residential segregation has negative social and economic impacts. However, psychological and cultural benefits of such clustering have been established by research. We undertake a comprehensive analysis by estimating residential choices of minorities and identifying their willingness to pay for housing attributes and community characteristics. Recognizing that the language spoken at home adds to daily convenience, a sense of belonging, and a feeling of closeness, we widen the scope of the study to include four minority groups, defined by the languages spoken at home. We find that preferences for integrating into white, English-speaking societies are quite heterogeneous. The willingness to pay to live in a community with more own language speakers is inversely associated with the willingness to pay to live in a community with more English-speaking whites. Furthermore, any two minority groups share the same reciprocal attitudes towards each other. To assimilate more into the mainstream, a minority group might choose to reside in a community with fewer people who speak their language, but they would not necessarily be willing to lower the percentage of other minority groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1157-1183 Issue: 11 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2096866 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2096866 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:11:p:1157-1183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2096870_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Kuang-Liang Chang Author-X-Name-First: Kuang-Liang Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: The tail dependence structure between return and trading volume: an investigation on the Bitcoin market Abstract: This research assesses the diversification patterns for tail dependence between Bitcoin return and trading volume by utilizing a dynamic mixture copula approach with spillover effect and asymmetric volatility effect. There are four main empirical findings. First, the spillover effect between return and trading volume exists. Second, the leverage effect is statistically significant for return and trading volume. Third, the linkages between return and trading volume are diversified. Both positive and negative tail dependence structures are observed, and the frequency of a positive tail dependence occurring is higher. Furthermore, the asymmetric tail dependence structure exists in positive and negative dependence situations. In the positive dependence structure, a co-movement in the increasing direction is stronger than a co-movement in the decreasing direction. In the negative dependence structure, a situation of a large return with low volume occurs more often than a situation of a small return with high volume. Fourth, the volatility of trading volume positively predicts the magnitude of positive dependence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1234-1246 Issue: 11 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2096870 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2096870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:11:p:1234-1246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2096869_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Minjie Pan Author-X-Name-First: Minjie Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Weiyong Zou Author-X-Name-First: Weiyong Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Author-Name: Kangjuan Lv Author-X-Name-First: Kangjuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lv Author-Name: Xinlei Qian Author-X-Name-First: Xinlei Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Title: Can environmental protection interview policy reduce air pollution? -A spatial difference-in-differences approach Abstract: The low efficiency of environmental policy implementation is an important issue in China’s environmental governance. The Environmental Protection Interview (EPI) policy is an administrative means for the central environmental protection department to urge local governments to earnestly fulfill their environmental protection responsibilities. This paper takes China’s EPI policy as a quasi-natural experiment. We use panel data of 261 prefecture-level cities in China from 2009 to 2018 as research sample and use spatial difference-in-differences (SDID) model to investigate the effect and mechanism of EPI policy on air pollution. The results show that EPI policy can effectively improve air quality, EPI policy has obvious spatial spillover effects. Namely, the EPI policy can not only reduce the local air pollution, but also reduce the air pollution in neighbouring cities. The EPI policy reduces the air pollution in the neighbouring cities within a spatial attenuation boundary of 400 km.The results of mechanism test show that the EPI policy can improve air quality by promoting industrial structure upgrading and technical advancement. Moreover, the pollution reduction effect of EPI is more significant in resource-based cities. The research results of this paper provide important reference for China and other developing countries to improve air quality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1217-1233 Issue: 11 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2096869 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2096869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:11:p:1217-1233 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2096867_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yosuke Tomita Author-X-Name-First: Yosuke Author-X-Name-Last: Tomita Title: Effects of the rule of law and central bank independence on economic inequality and surplus value Abstract: In this study, panel data, which were obtained from 36 countries, are utilized to empirically explore the factors that affect economic inequality before redistribution through taxes and social security. Our estimations reveal that legal origin influences the resolution of the paradox in which economic inequality before redistribution is high, although redistribution is low. Simultaneously, the Gini coefficient before redistribution can be lowered by strengthening the rule of law in countries with English legal origin, which is not the case in countries with other legal origins. In countries with French legal origins, strengthening the rule of law will increase the redistribution function. Furthermore, the rule of law, as well as central bank independence, can reduce economic inequality. The rule of law exhibits a negative relationship with the rate of surplus value, and the rate of surplus value exhibits a negative association with central bank independence. Simultaneously, the rule of law and central bank independence synergistically reduce economic inequalities. Thus, a weak rule of law, coupled with the absence of central bank independence, will promote monetary easing policies, which favours politicians. Moreover, inappropriate monetary easing policies would increase the control of companies over workers and promote exploitation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1184-1200 Issue: 11 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2096867 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2096867 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:11:p:1184-1200 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2096871_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Rana Mostaghel Author-X-Name-First: Rana Author-X-Name-Last: Mostaghel Author-Name: Pejvak Oghazi Author-X-Name-First: Pejvak Author-X-Name-Last: Oghazi Author-Name: Pankaj C. Patel Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Title: Rugged individualism, economic growth, and inter-county variation in entrepreneurial activity Abstract: Does intra-country variation in individualism explain variations in intra-country entrepreneurial activity? Rugged individualism, a combination of individualism and anti-statism, is proxied by the total years of frontier experience in a US county between 1790 and 1890. We exploit this historic variation in tandem with present-day GDP growth in a county to test how the historic frontier experience interacts with changes in economic growth to explain the entrepreneurial activity. With small effect sizes, the findings demonstrate the greater (limited) value of rugged individualism in low (high) GDP growth conditions in driving entrepreneurial activity. Robust to a variety of specifications and a placebo test, the mechanism seems to operate through lower collective efficacy in counties with higher total frontier experience. The findings carry implications for within-country cultural variations and entrepreneurial activity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1247-1272 Issue: 11 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2096871 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2096871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:11:p:1247-1272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2096872_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Judit Lilla Keresztúri Author-X-Name-First: Judit Lilla Author-X-Name-Last: Keresztúri Author-Name: Edina Berlinger Author-X-Name-First: Edina Author-X-Name-Last: Berlinger Author-Name: Ágnes Lublóy Author-X-Name-First: Ágnes Author-X-Name-Last: Lublóy Title: Blowing the whistle on corporate fraud: the role of regulators and journalists in the financial vs non-financial sectors Abstract: We investigate the role of the regulatory environment and the press freedom in detecting corporate fraud. We study 1,242 internal frauds from 79 countries during the period of 2011–2019. The importance of regulation is assessed by splitting the sample into the highly regulated and monitored financial sector and the non-financial sector subject to less strict internal standards and industry-specific regulation. To examine the importance of journalists in fraud detection, we use the Word Press Freedom index and postulate that in countries with free media more internal frauds are detected. We find empirical evidence on a global sample that in the financial sector designated authorities (professional bank supervisors) play an important role in fraud detection. For the non-financial sector, we show that the media is crucial in detecting corporate fraud: the more freely journalists can write, the more events are detected. Fraud detection mechanisms differ in the financial and the non-financial sectors.In the non-financial sector, journalists are crucial in detecting corporate fraud.In the non-financial sector, the higher the press freedom, the more events are detected.In the financial sector, press freedom is less relevant in detecting fraud.In the financial sector, designated authorities play an important role in fraud detection. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1273-1284 Issue: 11 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2096872 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2096872 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:11:p:1273-1284 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2089622_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Mengyi Cao Author-X-Name-First: Mengyi Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Qing Xia Author-X-Name-First: Qing Author-X-Name-Last: Xia Title: Credit constraints and college attendance Abstract: This paper shows that housing wealth alleviates credit constraints for potential college attendees by enabling homeowners to extract equity from their property and invest it in education. Using a comprehensive U.S. individual-level survey dataset, we find that one standard deviation increases of housing prices translate into approximately 72,000 more students enrolled in college each year. Our results stay significant when we use proxies for aggregate housing demand shocks and for the topological elasticity of housing supply to generate variation in home equity that should be exogenous to the decision of going to college. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 432-446 Issue: 4 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2089622 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2089622 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:4:p:432-446 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2089344_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Valeriy Zakamulin Author-X-Name-First: Valeriy Author-X-Name-Last: Zakamulin Title: Revisiting the duration dependence in the US stock market cycles Abstract: There is a big controversy among both investment professionals and academics regarding how the termination probability of a market state depends on its age. Using more than two centuries of data on the broad US stock market index, we revisit the duration dependence in bull and bear markets. Our results suggest that the duration dependence for both bull and bear markets is a nonlinear function of the state age. It appears that the duration dependence in bear markets is strictly positive. For 93% of the bull markets, the duration dependence is also positive. Only about 7% of the bull markets, those with the longest durations, do not exhibit positive duration dependence. We also compare a few selected theoretical distributions on their ability to describe the duration dependence in bull and bear markets. Our results advocate that the gamma distribution most often provides the best fit for both the survivor and hazard functions of bull and bear markets. However, our results reveal that none of the selected distributions accurately describes the right tail of the hazard functions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 357-368 Issue: 4 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2089344 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2089344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:4:p:357-368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2089347_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Gian Paulo Soave Author-X-Name-First: Gian Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Soave Title: A panel threshold VAR with stochastic volatility-in-mean model: an application to the effects of financial and uncertainty shocks in emerging economies Abstract: This article proposes a panel threshold VAR with stochastic volatility-in-mean model. The volatility process is given by the average volatility of the structural shocks affecting some selected variables and is interpreted as a measure of macroeconomic uncertainty. The posterior is approximated using an adaptive Metropolis-Within-Gibbs algorithm. We apply the method by analysing the effects of uncertainty and financial shocks in good times and financial distress in emerging economies. In our sample, we find that, under normal financial conditions, financial shocks play a slightly more pervasive role than uncertainty shocks. However, under financial stress periods, uncertainty shocks become more important than financial shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 397-431 Issue: 4 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2089347 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2089347 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:4:p:397-431 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2089623_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jianda Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jianda Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jun Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Kangyin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Kangyin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Xiucheng Dong Author-X-Name-First: Xiucheng Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: How does the internet economy affect CO2 emissions? Evidence from China Abstract: To achieve China’s Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), the development of the Internet economy has become an important choice for emission-reduction strategies, but the relevant emission-reduction mechanisms are still unclear. Accordingly, by constructing a system-generalized method of moments (system-GMM) approach following the STIRPAT framework, we explore the effect of the Internet economy on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions through the mediating effect of traffic demand and the moderating effect of technological innovation using panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2006 to 2017. The results indicate that: (1) the Internet economy mitigates CO2 emissions in China; for example, a 1% increase in the Internet economy indexes causes a 0.135% decrease in CO2 emissions; (2) the development of the Internet economy has an indirect effect on CO2 emissions by decreasing traffic demand; (3) technological innovation is a favorable moderator that expands the direct and indirect emission-reduction effects of the Internet economy; and (4) the mitigating effect of the Internet economy on CO2 emissions is significant at the lower quantiles (i.e. 10th, 25th, and 50th), which suggests the Internet economy is a superior predictor of CO2 emissions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 447-466 Issue: 4 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2089623 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2089623 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:4:p:447-466 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2087859_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Tanvir Pavel Author-X-Name-First: Tanvir Author-X-Name-Last: Pavel Author-Name: Syed Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Syed Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Author-Name: Nafisa Halim Author-X-Name-First: Nafisa Author-X-Name-Last: Halim Author-Name: Pallab Mozumder Author-X-Name-First: Pallab Author-X-Name-Last: Mozumder Title: Impacts of transient and permanent environmental shocks on internal migration Abstract: We examined whether floods and cyclones, the shocks that are transient in nature, affect interregional migration differently compared to riverbank erosion that causes loss of lands and thus generates permanent shocks. We tracked Household Income and Expenditure Survey 2000 participants in nine coastal districts of Bangladesh and collected further information in 2015. Our analyses suggest that both transient and permanent shocks induce households to migrate, but the effect is higher for the latter category. Using a difference-in-differences setting, we find that migrants’ income and expenditure increase relative to their counterparts, indicating that facilitating migration may improve welfare in disaster-prone countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 333-356 Issue: 4 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2087859 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2087859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:4:p:333-356 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2089345_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Kosei Fukuda Author-X-Name-First: Kosei Author-X-Name-Last: Fukuda Title: Introducing new endogeneity into a simultaneous equation model: an application to corporate finance Abstract: Corporate finance data, such as cash holdings and dividend payments, are simultaneously determined. In this study, new endogeneity was introduced into a simultaneous equation model. The proposed model features a correlation between the explanatory variable in the first equation and the disturbance term in the second equation. The necessity of this endogeneity can be derived from a theoretical requirement and/or model identification requirement. Covariance structure analysis was performed to estimate this model using the maximum likelihood method. The efficacy of the proposed model is assessed by comparing it with conventional estimation methods, such as two-stage least squares. Finally, a Monte Carlo simulation was conducted to determine the bias conventional estimation methods produce in the case of this new endogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 369-379 Issue: 4 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2089345 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2089345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:4:p:369-379 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2089346_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Nhung Vu Author-X-Name-First: Nhung Author-X-Name-Last: Vu Author-Name: Chau Le Author-X-Name-First: Chau Author-X-Name-Last: Le Title: How much do cohesive and diversified networks improve financial access for small business? Abstract: This paper draws on transaction cost theory and network literature to examine how entrepreneurial network facilitates financial access for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Vietnam. We characterize four major types of entrepreneurial network and find that network effects vary significantly, depending on the network members to whom entrepreneurs connect. The cohesive network appears to have the most potent positive effect on firms’ financial access by motivating them to apply for formal and informal credit actively and increasing the likelihood of their applications being approved. The financial network benefits SMEs’ credit access from the supply side, reducing transaction costs and mitigating market frictions. The value of political network is higher in the informal credit market than the formal one. Although political and financial connections do not boost entrepreneurs’ motivation to seek funding from formal capital market due to cognitive bias, they improve firms’ chances to obtain long-term funds if requested. Lastly, the benefit of diversified network does exist, but its marginal effect on firms’ access to financial resources is too small to gauge any practical significance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 380-396 Issue: 4 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2089346 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2089346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:4:p:380-396 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2091106_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Ahmet Ozkan Author-X-Name-First: Ahmet Author-X-Name-Last: Ozkan Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Title: The predictors of intent to leave in the accounting and finance sector in Asia-Pacific countries: a cross-industrial meta-analysis study Abstract: The main aim of this study was to survey the relationships between intent to leave and its strongest antecedents in the accounting and finance industry in Asia-Pacific countries. Novel to the literature, we also aim to test the moderating effects of continent to compare the results in Asia to the ones in Oceania and to test the moderating effect of industry to make a cross-industrial comparison. This study used meta-analysis technique and reviewed the studies in Scopus, Web of Science, GoogleScholar, and ProQuest to bring together 217 suitable studies. Twenty-four of these studies providing 32 correlation values are in the accounting and finance industry and 192 studies providing 309 correlation values are in other industries. Job satisfaction, organizational commitment, and burnout are chosen as the strongest antecedents of intent to leave and 217 studıes were used. The meta-analysis results showed that all the data sets regarding the surveyed relationships were heterogeneous and none of them included publication bias. The effect size of the relationship between job satisfaction and organizational commitment was the highest in the accounting and finance industry (r = 0.631). The effect sizes of job satisfaction, organizational commitment, and burnout on intent to leave were medium in the accounting and finance industry. The moderator analysis results suggested that region as a moderator for the relationship between burnout and intent to leave and industry is a significant moderator to explore the relationships between job satisfaction and intent to leave and for the relationships between organizational commitment and intent to leave. This meta-analysis compares the accounting and finance sector to other sectors in Asia-Pacific countries and it is the only study that could make such a comparison in this region. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 467-486 Issue: 5 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2091106 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2091106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:5:p:467-486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2091107_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Gimede Gigante Author-X-Name-First: Gimede Author-X-Name-Last: Gigante Author-Name: Francesco Rubinacci Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Rubinacci Title: Explaining M&A performance: a configurational approach Abstract: Finance and management literature has witnessed numerous contributions analysing the market reaction to M&A deals and how this is affected by acquirer-, target- and deal-specific factors. However, if, on the one hand, the literature seems to agree that, generally, an M&A announcement has a negative impact on acquirer’s stock performance, scholars do not reach unanimous conclusions regarding the impact of individual variables on the acquirer’s performance. In response, the aim of this study is to demonstrate the potential of a configurational approach, in understanding M&A deals and their impact on acquirer’s stock performance. In this respect, a specific configuration of features was identified that, in contrast with the common belief of negative impact on acquirer’s stock returns associated with M&A announcements, registers a positive performance. This suggests that the focus of the literature should not be on one single factor, rather on evaluating holistically an M&A transaction, and this represents the main contribution of this study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 487-503 Issue: 5 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2091107 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2091107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:5:p:487-503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2091108_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Thomas J. Weiss Author-X-Name-First: Thomas J. Author-X-Name-Last: Weiss Author-Name: Lee A. Craig Author-X-Name-First: Lee A. Author-X-Name-Last: Craig Author-Name: Julianne Treme Author-X-Name-First: Julianne Author-X-Name-Last: Treme Title: The spy who dined well: James Bond and the real cost of fine dining Abstract: We constructed a time series of menu prices for the identifiable restaurants at which James Bond dined in France that yields one of the few international price series representing luxury services. We also compiled a time series on the salary of workers in the British Civil Service at Grade 7, like Bond, from 1953 to 2019. Our results indicate that French restaurant prices increased faster than Grade 7 salaries over the entire period and changes in the British exchange rate were not favourable for Bond. To dine weekly in France, during the 1950s and 1960s, Bond would have spent 18% of his salary; whereas over the course of the Euro era the same basket of luxury services would have required on average 26% of his salary. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 504-517 Issue: 5 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2091108 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2091108 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:5:p:504-517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2091109_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yang Li Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Variation in standard errors in event-study design: insights from empirical studies and simulations Abstract: A growing body of empirical research in applied economics exploits event-study design to show the dynamic effects of policy intervention. This article documents an interesting pattern in these empirical applications: cluster-robust standard errors (CRSE) from event study generally exhibit a decreasing trend over the pre-event periods, while standard errors (SEs) without clustering adjustment take similar values across pre-event periods. This article explores possible explanations for this recurrent issue by documenting the pervasiveness of this pattern across empirical applications and by Monte Carlo simulations. The simulation results show that CRSE generally present a decreasing pattern in pre-event periods and more so when intra-cluster correlation is high. The SEs also exhibit a decreasing trend using wild bootstrap and a more robust statistical inference in the case of few clusters. Overall, my results suggest that within-cluster correlation contributes to explaining the pattern. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 518-530 Issue: 5 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2091109 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2091109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:5:p:518-530 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2091110_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Danny Klinenberg Author-X-Name-First: Danny Author-X-Name-Last: Klinenberg Author-Name: Richard Startz Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Startz Title: Covid, colleges, and classes Abstract: At the start of the 2020 school year, some colleges chose to reopen in person while others offered primarily online classes. We find that colleges responded to financial and other incentives largely as one might expect. Larger shares of revenue attributed to in-person activities, such as dorms and dining halls, led schools to reopen in person. In general, the share of revenue due to tuition and fees had little association with reopening in-person, which is consistent with the idea that the effect of the mode of reopening on enrolment was ambiguous. However, private schools experiencing financial distress due to tuition and fees were more likely to reopen in-person while public schools were less likely. Public colleges were influenced by political pressures and the fraction of students from out of state, while private schools responded to the severity of COVID in their local community. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 531-545 Issue: 5 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2091110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2091110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:5:p:531-545 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2091745_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Joanna Maria Stawska Author-X-Name-First: Joanna Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Stawska Author-Name: Paulo Reis Mourao Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Mourao Title: Fiscal and monetary interactions in the European countries: panel data analysis Abstract: The importance of the decisions made by central banks and governments has been increasing recently, especially in the EU countries. The relationships between short-term interest rates, inflation rates, and public deficits have not been thoroughly described in the literature concerning the recent European cases. It is worth observing how the relationships between the key variables in the field of monetary and fiscal policy behave in various groups of countries, e.g. in countries with low/high General Government deficits or in countries with low high public debt. The aim of the article is to empirically analyse the relationship between interest rates, inflation rates, and public deficits in European countries in the years between 1996–2019. We studied the relationships between interest rates, inflation rates, and public deficits. We turned to dynamic panel data methods (two-step system GMM). First, interest rates and inflation rates have been related following the Taylor-rule direction across the European economies. Second, we have also found a positive relationship between inflation rates and public deficits, but reverting the postulated Sargent and Wallace (1981) hypothesis of seigniorage. Third, deficit and inflation rates have positive relations across European observations but more significantly in the cases of high deficits or with highly indebted economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 562-576 Issue: 5 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2091745 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2091745 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:5:p:562-576 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2091744_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Carmelo García-Pérez Author-X-Name-First: Carmelo Author-X-Name-Last: García-Pérez Author-Name: Mercedes Prieto Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Prieto Author-Name: Jorge Seva Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Seva Author-Name: Hipolito Simon Author-X-Name-First: Hipolito Author-X-Name-Last: Simon Author-Name: Raquel Simón-Albert Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Simón-Albert Title: A multidimensional operationalization of precarious employment with a counting approach: evidence from Spain Abstract: The article proposes a novel multidimensional operationalization of precarious employment using the Alkire-Foster dual threshold counting approach methodology. The proposal is made in a context in which, although precarious employment tends to be considered a multidimensional construct characterized by an accumulation of unfavourable features of employment quality, there is neither a standard and generally accepted definition nor operationalization of the phenomenon in the literature. The proposed methodology has the advantages that it can be easily applied to the usual content of most labour surveys, and that it allows an analysis of both the scale and the nature of precariousness. The illustrative evidence obtained for Spain reveals both a high incidence of multidimensional precariousness (affecting almost 40% of wage earners) and a high intensity (multidimensional precarious wage earners suffer from around 3 job deprivations). Moreover, it shows that employment precariousness is highly persistent over time and tends to grow over time and that there is great heterogeneity in the scope of the phenomenon according to its individual incidence and among different groups of workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 546-561 Issue: 5 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2091744 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2091744 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:5:p:546-561 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2092592_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Jisheng Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jisheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Jiaolong Li Author-X-Name-First: Jiaolong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yanjun Cao Author-X-Name-First: Yanjun Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Title: Analysis of peer effects on consumption in rural China based on social networks Abstract: This study empirically analyses peer effects on daily essential consumption and social related expenditure in rural China, where clan clustering often characterizes villages. The proportion of peer effects and autonomous behaviour in households’ consumption behaviour is estimated by quasi-maximum likelihood estimation of the spatial autoregressive model, which includes the differences in characteristics between the household and its peers. It shows that, households put more weight on peer effects in daily essentials consumption, whereas more weight is put on autonomous behaviour in social related expenditure. In addition, peer effects may be significantly overestimated, especially for clothing and human affairs expenditure, if the differences in characteristics between the household and its peers are not considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 617-635 Issue: 6 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2092592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2092592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:6:p:617-635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2092053_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Messaoud Chibane Author-X-Name-First: Messaoud Author-X-Name-Last: Chibane Title: Can COVID-19 solve the equity premium puzzle? Abstract: We propose a new approach for estimating rare disaster event models where we only use U.S. national consumption data as an alternative to the ubiquitous Barro and Ursúa’s (2008, 2012) multi-country data set. We find that the 2020 COVID crisis unambiguously reveals the presence and significance of rare disasters in consumption dynamics. Using our estimated parameters and recursive preferences, our approach is able to solve the risk-free rate and equity premium puzzles without resorting to multi-country data in estimating the model. Our analysis shows that the severity of disasters is vastly underestimated in the U.S. and that more than 400 years of consumption data would be necessary to get an accurate estimate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 603-616 Issue: 6 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2092053 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2092053 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:6:p:603-616 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2093829_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Siliang Guo Author-X-Name-First: Siliang Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Heng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Heng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Will companies take the initiative in green technology innovation? Empirical evidence from listed manufacturing companies in China Abstract: Green technology innovation (GTI) is an important driver for national green development and a strong fulcrum for the clean production of companies. This paper focuses on the impact of top management team’s (TMT’s) inherent characteristics on GTI from the perspectives of TMT heterogeneity and text tone in management discussion and analysis (MD&A), as well as the moderating role of executive compensation incentives and financial constraints. The results reveal that: a) the TMT heterogeneity has different effects on companies’ GTI; b) the tone in MD&A can significantly promote the companies’ GTI; c) both executive compensation incentives and financial constraints significantly adjust the relationship between the TMT heterogeneity or the tone in MD&A on GTI but in different directions. Moreover, the basic conclusions suitable for non-state-owned companies yet differ in state-owned companies considering the property heterogeneity. Thus, this paper constructs a new integrated framework of TMT heterogeneity, tone in MD&A, executive compensation incentives and financial constraints to stimulate the enthusiasm and initiative of companies to develop GTI, which has an important practical significance on accelerating the sustainable development of green production in developing countries. Finally, this paper offers corresponding policy recommendations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 636-652 Issue: 6 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2093829 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2093829 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:6:p:636-652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2093830_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Ruifeng Xu Author-X-Name-First: Ruifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: E Guan Author-X-Name-First: E Author-X-Name-Last: Guan Title: Can blockchain innovation promote total factor productivity? Evidence from Chinese-listed firms Abstract: Although the importance of digital economy development has gradually been attached, blockchain technology has been widely questioned in China because it originated from bitcoin, which has been abandoned in China. Can blockchain innovation promote total factor productivity? Based on the blockchain patent data of Chinese-listed firms from 2012 to 2020, we show that blockchain innovation activities can improve the total factor productivity (TFP) of enterprises and verify its robustness using instrumental variable approach, system GMM and Heckman’s two-step selection method. Results of mediation effect model show that enterprises’ blockchain innovation activities mainly improve TFP through three channels: alleviating financing constraints, reducing supply chain concentration and inefficient investment. Heterogeneity analysis shows that electronic digital data processing blockchain patents have the highest practical value, while financial blockchain innovation inhibits the improvement of TFP in China. Blockchain innovation can bring positive effects on the TFP of manufacturing enterprises and leasing and business service enterprises. The increase in TFP of leasing and business service enterprises brought by blockchain innovation is nearly 70 times that of the baseline regression. We further provide blockchain innovation development suggestions for Chinese government based on these conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 653-670 Issue: 6 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2093830 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2093830 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:6:p:653-670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2094327_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Getu Tigre Author-X-Name-First: Getu Author-X-Name-Last: Tigre Author-Name: Almas Heshmati Author-X-Name-First: Almas Author-X-Name-Last: Heshmati Title: Smallholder farmers’ crop production and input risk analysis in rural Ethiopia Abstract: Different types of risks are inherent in agricultural production. This study examines agricultural input risks faced by smallholder farmers in rural Ethiopia. It uses data from farm household surveys covering the period 1995–2015. The study uses a stochastic production function approach for estimating the mean production and risks of agricultural inputs. The mean production estimation results are consistent with the economic theory of conventional inputs. Land and labour have higher elasticities than the other inputs. The variance or risk estimation results show that fertilizers and labour are risk-decreasing inputs, while land is a risk-increasing input. Crop diversification has a risk-decreasing impact. The more farmers diversify their crops, the less is the yield variability. However, the risk variation effects of farm inputs vary across regions in the country. For example, risk-decreasing effects of fertilizers are high in the Oromia region, moderate in the Southern Nations and Nationalities and low in the Amhara regional state. Variations in regional input risks need to be considered in national agriculture risk management and food security efforts. The risk variation effects of these inputs decreased over time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 671-689 Issue: 6 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2094327 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2094327 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:6:p:671-689 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2091746_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Inna Zaytseva Author-X-Name-First: Inna Author-X-Name-Last: Zaytseva Author-Name: Daniil Shaposhnikov Author-X-Name-First: Daniil Author-X-Name-Last: Shaposhnikov Title: Moneyball in offensive versus defensive actions in football Abstract: Market inefficiencies, known as Moneyball effect, have been recently documented in different sports and their scope largely remains an empirical question. This article focuses on football, where fans and club managers seem to value forwards more than defenders. Apparently, football rules imply equally important roles for goals scored and goals conceded in a team win. Economic theory in this case suggests that marginal returns on offensive and defensive efforts should be equal. This prediction can be potentially violated, resulting in labour market inefficiency. To test this hypothesis, we use two separate data sets at team-game and player-season levels (1224 and 772 observations, respectively) from two seasons (2017/18–2018/19) of the German Bundesliga. We compare the relative contribution of the offensive and defensive actions to a team win with the same relative contribution to players’ market value and show that defensive actions are relatively underestimated by the market compared to the offensive. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 577-593 Issue: 6 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2091746 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2091746 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:6:p:577-593 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2091747_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: J. Stephen Ferris Author-X-Name-First: J. Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Ferris Author-Name: Bharatee Bhusana Dash Author-X-Name-First: Bharatee Bhusana Author-X-Name-Last: Dash Title: Does a swing voter model with voter turnout reflect the closeness of the Indian state elections: 1957 - 2018? Abstract: In the classic model of Besley, Persson and Strum voters are viewed as either committed to a political party or uncommitted, available for capture by the offer of policies that better reflect the programs they desire. Through an inter-party electoral competition for the support of such swing voters government services become aligned with those most desired by the electorate and the efficiency by which government services are provided is enhanced. In this paper, we extend the BPS model to incorporate voter turnout, develop a new method of measuring the salience of noneconomic issues and then test the model’s predictions on election data from 14 Indian States between the years 1957 and 2018. The results are broadly consistent with the predictions of the model but fit particularly well the lesser developed, so-called BIMAROU states. That is, an election is more competitive, as measured by having a smaller first versus second place vote share margin, when voter turnout is higher and both the proportion of asymmetrically adjusted safe seats and the state distribution of vote volatilities across constituencies are lower. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 594-602 Issue: 6 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2091747 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2091747 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:6:p:594-602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2094330_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Wei Fong Pok Author-X-Name-First: Wei Fong Author-X-Name-Last: Pok Author-Name: M. Humayun Kabir Author-X-Name-First: M. Humayun Author-X-Name-Last: Kabir Author-Name: Martin Young Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Young Title: Media content, sentiment and emerging market futures returns Abstract: The paper attempts to capture the sentiment derived from routine financial news and outlines the impact of the media content on the main index futures contracts of Hong Kong and Singapore. News factors are generated from routine financial news, but pessimistic market sentiment factors are more prevalent. High pessimistic news factors predict lower returns for the same day, and the returns start to reverse two days after the news for Hong Kong and Singapore markets. The finding is consistent with the sentiment theory. There is a significant reversal in returns, and the reversal in returns offsets the initial changes entirely. The bad news factor does not seem to work as a proxy for trading costs. The sub-sample results are similar to the whole sample. We also find the significant impact of U.S. news sentiment on news factors, futures return, and open interests in both markets. Trading strategies based on bad news factors generate economically significant returns when trading costs are considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 724-749 Issue: 7 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2094330 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2094330 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:7:p:724-749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2094329_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Changling Sun Author-X-Name-First: Changling Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Nian Li Author-X-Name-First: Nian Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Peng Gao Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Muhammad Asif Khan Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Asif Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: Zilan Bi Author-X-Name-First: Zilan Author-X-Name-Last: Bi Title: Can core competence help enterprises reduce the cost of debt? – empirical evidence based on text analysis Abstract: This article constructs the measurement index of core competence by text analysis method and empirically tests its impact on the cost of debt. We find that the stronger the core competence, the lower the cost of debt. The mechanism test shows that the impact of core competence on the cost of debt is mainly realized by reducing the default risk and alleviating the agency problem. In further research, after distinguishing the types of core competence, we find that core competence of resources, especially the tangible resources, is the key factor to effectively reduce the cost of debt; after distinguishing the nature of property rights, we find that the impact of core competence on the cost of debt mainly plays a role in non-state-owned enterprises with strong financing constraints. This article not only enriches the literature on the economic consequences of core competence and factors affecting the cost of debt, but also provides scientific support for the government and other relevant department to alleviate the problem of financing difficulties and financing expensive. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 710-723 Issue: 7 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2094329 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2094329 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:7:p:710-723 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2094331_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Nguyen Minh Ha Author-X-Name-First: Nguyen Minh Author-X-Name-Last: Ha Author-Name: Van Huong Le Author-X-Name-First: Van Huong Author-X-Name-Last: Le Author-Name: Cuong Tran Author-X-Name-First: Cuong Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: Difference in the role of public governance for enterprises performance of ownership types in Vietnam Abstract: This paper aims to examine the difference in role of public governance on the performance of each business ownership type in Vietnam. Using FGLS regression and Blinder – Oaxaca decomposition methods, the study finds out gaps of enterprises performance among state-owned enterprises, non-state enterprises and FDI enterprises in Vietnam in the period 2016–2019. The variation is due to business characteristics and distinction between ownership types. Besides, the decomposition results show that public governance is a factor of the enterprises performance’s differentiation in Vietnam, and state-owned enterprises are often more favoured than FDI enterprises and non-state enterprises. Incentives for state-owned enterprises are mainly presented in policies, such as information public and transparency, reducing time-cost, reducing informal charges and local fair competition promotion. Meanwhile, incentives for FDI enterprises are mainly presented in policies, such as land policy, information public and transparency, reducing time-cost, fair competition promotion, business support services, local legal frame and security. Specifically, the study implies that improving public governance in Vietnam in the period 2016–2019 has resulted in positively effect on state-owned enterprises’ performance and fairly low effect on those of FDI enterprises and non-state enterprises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 750-763 Issue: 7 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2094331 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2094331 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:7:p:750-763 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2094332_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Rohit Prasad Author-X-Name-First: Rohit Author-X-Name-Last: Prasad Author-Name: Prageet Aeron Author-X-Name-First: Prageet Author-X-Name-Last: Aeron Author-Name: Varadharajan Sridhar Author-X-Name-First: Varadharajan Author-X-Name-Last: Sridhar Title: New determinants of spectrum price in a 5G world Abstract: The theoretical models presented in the article establish the possibility that reduced congestion in unlicenced bands can reduce the profits of telecommunications operators, and consequently, depress spectrum prices. Further, certain modes of deploying licenced and unlicenced spectrum bands to provide services may render competitive dynamics uncertain, unpredictable, and unstable. Finally, the advent of Content and Application Providers (CAPs) providing substitutes or complements to traditional telecommunications services can also reduce operator profits. On the other hand, benign impacts on operator profits and spectrum prices cannot be ruled out. Given these possibilities, an empirical analysis is carried out to examine the impact of the participation of CAPs and the reduced congestion in unlicenced networks on spectrum prices. The variables of VOIP fixed-line subscribtions and mobile broadband density are used as proxies for the increased usage of unlicenced spectrum and the entry of CAPs as providers of substitutes and complements. These variables are consistently significant in our analysis indicating that there are indeed new drivers determining spectrum prices. Policy implications of the findings are enumerated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 764-782 Issue: 7 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2094332 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2094332 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:7:p:764-782 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2094879_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Oveis Madadian Author-X-Name-First: Oveis Author-X-Name-Last: Madadian Author-Name: Maud Van den Broeke Author-X-Name-First: Maud Author-X-Name-Last: Van den Broeke Title: R&D investments in response to performance feedback: moderating effects of firm risk profile and business strategy Abstract: R&D investments in response to performance feedback have been extensively studied. We show that both firm risk profile (i.e. low vs high risk) and business strategy (i.e. Prospector vs Defender), two aspects understudied in this context, have incremental moderating effects (both separate and joint) on this R&D-performance feedback relationship. Using a sample of US listed firms from 2000 to 2019, we observe that, when performance relative to aspiration level decreases (increases), without controlling for moderating effects of risk and strategy, firms tend to increase (decrease) R&D investments. However, as risk profile changes from low to high risk, responses to performance feedback tend to change from decreasing R&D or maintaining status quo to increasing R&D investments. We also find that, in response to performance deviation from aspiration level (regardless of the direction), Defenders tend to decrease R&D investments, regardless of risk profile, whereas Prospectors tend to increase R&D investments (maintain status quo) when their performance relative to aspiration level decreases (increases). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 802-822 Issue: 7 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2094879 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2094879 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:7:p:802-822 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2094328_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Weibo Yan Author-X-Name-First: Weibo Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Peng Nie Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Title: Child education-induced migration and its impact on the economic behaviors of migrated households in China Abstract: Using the 2011–2013 China Migrants Dynamic Survey, this paper utilizes the quarter of the year in which a child was born as an instrumental variable to measure child education shock and explores its impact on migrated households. We only find significant education-induced migration among boys, which we attribute to son preference in China. Due to child education-induced migration, the per capita household consumption increases by 56.7%, the savings rate decreases by 40.3%, and remittances sent home decline by about 1.3 monthly household incomes, however, there are no effects on income, food consumption, and house rent. After exploring the mechanisms underlying child education-induced migration, we find that children migrate with their parents are less likely to pursue a better education in urban areas. Because of the closure and consolidation of rural primary schools, children are forced to migrate due to their education needs. The accessibility of primary schools in urban areas is also responsible for migration decisions regarding children. This paper facilitates understanding of how Hukou influences gender inequality in China. We also provide evidence to show that the segregation of the education system through Hukou is a possible explanation for the low consumption rate of migrants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 691-709 Issue: 7 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2094328 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2094328 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:7:p:691-709 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2094333_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Faheem Ur Rehman Author-X-Name-First: Faheem Ur Author-X-Name-Last: Rehman Author-Name: Md Monirul Islam Author-X-Name-First: Md Monirul Author-X-Name-Last: Islam Title: Financial infrastructure—total factor productivity (TFP) nexus within the purview of FDI outflow, trade openness, innovation, human capital and institutional quality: Evidence from BRICS economies Abstract: BRICS countries’ contribution to the global economy has received wider attention. The critical factor behind their role is financial market reform that stimulates these economies’ productivity growth. This research contributes to constructing a comprehensive index of financial infrastructure and measuring its relationship with BRICS economies’ total factor productivity (TFP) within the purview of outward FDI, trade openness, human capital, innovation and institutional quality during 1990–2019 using the CS-ARDL technique. The findings divulge a significant and positive role of financial infrastructure in TFP both in the long and short runs, while outward FDI, trade openness, human capital, and innovation walk on the same footing in BRICS countries. Moreover, the CS-ARDL-based investigated findings remain the same across the two-way fixed effect with Driscoll and Kraay Standard Error technique. Therefore, BRICS countries’ more promotion of financial dynamics and other ancillary economic, demographic, and technological factors is critical to stepping towards the spectacular growth trajectory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 783-801 Issue: 7 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2094333 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2094333 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:7:p:783-801 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2118223_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Chan Hyeon Hur Author-X-Name-First: Chan Hyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Hur Author-Name: Kihan Kim Author-X-Name-First: Kihan Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: The anticipated legacies of mega sporting events: An econometric analysis of Olympic announcement effect on the real estate market in small communities Abstract: In this study, we examine the influence of the successful Olympic bid announcement on real estate prices for properties in host districts of the 2018 PyeongChang Olympic Winter Games. We perform a series of simple mean comparisons and hedonic spatial difference-in-differences analyses on a total of 198,048 apartment sales records for 1,059 apartment complexes collected from 2008 to 2017—3 years prior to winning the Olympic bid to 6 years after. The sales prices of the apartment complexes in the three Olympic host districts were 6.6% higher than the nonhost districts after eliminating the difference that had already existed before the announcement. Further analyses indicate a price premium for the apartments located near the main Olympic stadium. This study extends the research on the effects of Olympic bid announcements on real estate prices for small host cities with little international awareness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 823-838 Issue: 8 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2118223 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2118223 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:8:p:823-838 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2095338_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Meng-Chi Tang Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Manageable hospital service volume under global budgeting: evidence from a policy reform in Taiwan Abstract: This paper investigates whether health care providers change their behaviour in response to different payment structures. Using a policy reform in Taiwan that allowed hospitals to switch from a global budgeting system, a reweighted fee-for-service system, to an individual budgeting system, a capitation system, the results show that the individual budgeting system led to lower services volumes. This effect is significant for more discretionary care but not for less elective services like cancer care. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 894-906 Issue: 8 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2095338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2095338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:8:p:894-906 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2094881_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Cahit Guven Author-X-Name-First: Cahit Author-X-Name-Last: Guven Author-Name: Panagiotis Sotirakopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Panagiotis Author-X-Name-Last: Sotirakopoulos Author-Name: Aydogan Ulker Author-X-Name-First: Aydogan Author-X-Name-Last: Ulker Title: Individual labour market transitions of Australians during and after the National COVID-19 Lockdown Abstract: We examine the individual labour market transitions of Australians during and after the National COVID-19 Lockdown, controlling for demographic characteristics and person fixed effects across different subgroups of the population using the Longitudinal Labour Force Survey. The National COVID-19 Lockdown (which began on 21 March 2020 with the introduction of social distancing rules and the closure of non-essential services across individual states and territories and lasted until the end of June 2020) decreased the overall labour force participation by 3% and increased unemployment by 1.8%. However, the economy recovered to a certain extent after the lockdown, with labour force participation increasing by 0.051% and unemployment declining by 0.049% for each additional week after the end of the lockdown. Our conditional estimates show that the national lockdown did not affect the genders differently in terms of unemployment, while females recovered faster during the post-lockdown period. People working in transport, postal, administrative, and arts and recreation services decreased their working hours significantly during the lockdown relative to those employed in other industries, but we do not observe any significant difference in their post-lockdown recovery patterns. Our results could help policy makers better target the labour market outcomes of the most at-risk individuals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 853-868 Issue: 8 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2094881 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2094881 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:8:p:853-868 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2094880_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Imlak Shaikh Author-X-Name-First: Imlak Author-X-Name-Last: Shaikh Author-Name: Mohd Anwar Author-X-Name-First: Mohd Author-X-Name-Last: Anwar Title: Digital bank transactions and performance of the Indian banking sector Abstract: Our study examines the impact of digital bank transactions on the performance of Indian banks. The study aims to identify the digital mode of transaction parameters that influence financial and operating performance and reduce bank costs. A panel data set has been prepared for 2011 to 2020, considering 32 public and private banks. On the prima facie, the share of public sector banks has declined in the digital mode of transactions on the counterpart of private sector banks. It’s evidenced that a 1% increase in the value of Real-Time Gross Settlement (RTGS) and National Electronic Fund Transactions (NEFT) causes a rise of 0.03% and 0.08% in the business per employee, respectively. Indeed, a change in the RTGS and NEFT transaction further explains CASA to Deposit ratio (0.016% and 0.0078%). Also, a change in RTGS shows a prominent effect on the advances (0.7%). Credit card transactions at ATMs and POS have negatively impacted the cost of funds. Our study proposes two practical implications: First, acceleration in promoting RTGS-based transactions is required; consequently, it will enhance the bank’s performance. Secondly, banks should facilitate credit-based digital transactions to lessen the cost of funds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 839-852 Issue: 8 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2094880 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2094880 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:8:p:839-852 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2094883_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Amir Arjomandi Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Arjomandi Author-Name: Hassan F. Gholipour Author-X-Name-First: Hassan F. Author-X-Name-Last: Gholipour Author-Name: Reza Tajaddini Author-X-Name-First: Reza Author-X-Name-Last: Tajaddini Author-Name: Charles Harvie Author-X-Name-First: Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Harvie Title: Environmental expenditure, policy stringency and green economic growth: evidence from OECD countries Abstract: This study explores the link between environmental policy stringency and spending and the growth of environmental GDP and productivity. Using the Pooled Mean Group Autoregressive Distributed Lag model, we examine the short- and long-term effectiveness of environmental policy stringency and environmental spending on pollution-adjusted GDP and productivity growth for a sample of OECD nations. Although these policies and their outcomes differ considerably from country to country, our findings reveal that governments’ expenditure on environmental protection emerges as a significantly stimulatory factor of national output in the short-term. Our long-run results show that both tighter environmental policies and environmental expenditure can slow down ‘green’ GDP and productivity growth over time with policy stringencies having a weaker impact. Overall, our findings do not support the Porter Hypothesis, but rather confirm the widely held view that these policies may hinder economic activity and growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 869-884 Issue: 8 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2094883 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2094883 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:8:p:869-884 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2095339_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Lionel Artige Author-X-Name-First: Lionel Author-X-Name-Last: Artige Author-Name: Sousso Bignandi Author-X-Name-First: Sousso Author-X-Name-Last: Bignandi Title: The firm size distribution: evidence from Belgium Abstract: The firm size distribution (FSD) is one of the most well-known economic empirical regularity in market economies. Its functional form, postulated in macroeconomic models with heterogeneous firms, can be approximated by a parametric distribution. However, the parametric approximations proposed in the literature have long been contested due to the lack of unbiased databases and robust statistical methods. This paper addresses these shortcomings. First, a robust estimation method is proposed to test the fit of parametric distributions and to determine the one offering the best fit at different truncation thresholds. Then, by applying it to a comprehensive database of Belgian firms for the period 2006–2012, the results show that the lognormal distribution is a better approximation of the empirical FSD than the Pareto distribution. These results hold true at the aggregate, sectoral and regional levels establishing that the shape of the aggregate distribution is not an aggregation artefact arising from the potential distributional heterogeneity of sectoral or regional subsets. This empirical evidence is essential information for tracing the root causes of a plausible underlying stochastic model explaining firm dynamics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 907-923 Issue: 8 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2095339 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2095339 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:8:p:907-923 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2094886_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Kuang-Cheng Chai Author-X-Name-First: Kuang-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Chai Author-Name: Jiawei Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Jiawei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Hao-Ran Lan Author-X-Name-First: Hao-Ran Author-X-Name-Last: Lan Author-Name: Yujiao Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yujiao Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Ke-Chiun Chang Author-X-Name-First: Ke-Chiun Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: The spillover effects of corporate giving in china: effects of enterprise charitable giving and exposure on enterprise performance Abstract: Panel data from China’s listed enterprises from 2014–2019 was selected as a sample to study the relationship between enterprise charitable giving, exposure, and enterprise performance in this study. It was revealed that enterprise charitable giving has a U-shaped relationship with enterprise performance. Further research has found that philanthropic exposure plays a positive moderating role in the relationship between charitable giving and enterprise performance. This study provides information on the scale of donation from the perspective of enterprise performance, suggesting new paths for enterprises to improve their performance and help China increase funds for disaster relief and post-disaster reconstruction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 885-893 Issue: 8 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2094886 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2094886 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:8:p:885-893 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2095340_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Bastien Lextrait Author-X-Name-First: Bastien Author-X-Name-Last: Lextrait Title: Scaling up SMEs’ credit scoring scope with LightGBM Abstract: Small and Medium Size enterprises (SMEs) are critical actors in the fabric of the economy. Their growth is often limited by the difficulty in obtaining financing. Basel II accords enforced the obligation for banks to estimate the probability of default of their obligors. Currently used models are limited by the simplicity of their architecture and the available data. State of the art machine learning models are not widely used because they are often considered as black boxes that cannot be easily explained or interpreted. We propose a methodology to combine high predictive power and powerful explainability using various Gradient Boosting Decision Trees (GBDT) implementations and Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) values as post-prediction explanation model. This method is developed and tested using a nation-wide sample of French companies, and a history of past failures extracted from commercial court decisions. The performances of GBDT models are compared with traditional credit scoring algorithms. GBDT provides the best performances over the test sample, while being fast to train and economically sound. Results obtained from SHAP values analysis are consistent with previous socio-economic studies. Providing such a level of explainability to complex models may convince regulators to accept their use in automated credit scoring. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 925-943 Issue: 9 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2095340 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2095340 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:9:p:925-943 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2095346_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Keyang Li Author-X-Name-First: Keyang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yu Qin Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Qin Author-Name: Guoxu Wei Author-X-Name-First: Guoxu Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Jing Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: What drives health-care spending in China? A nationwide decomposition analysis Abstract: In this study, we explore the geographic variation in health-care spending and its driving factors in China, using a nationwide and claim-level sample of inpatients ensured under the urban basic medical insurance schemes in 2010. We show geographic variation in health-care spending is substantial in China and is significantly larger than Medicare spending in the US. The substantial geographic variation is primarily driven by the quantity variation. We also discuss the potential correlates of the quantity of health care at the city level. The findings imply possible allocation inefficiency in China’s current urban health-care system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1028-1043 Issue: 9 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2095346 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2095346 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:9:p:1028-1043 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2095345_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Marcus T. Wolfe Author-X-Name-First: Marcus T. Author-X-Name-Last: Wolfe Author-Name: Pankaj C. Patel Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Title: Does democracy make it easy? the influence of a sudden onset of democracy and entrepreneurship Abstract: Based on the Arab Spring event in Tunisia and using neighbouring countries as the control group, we test whether the onset of democracy increases entrepreneurial activity in the medium term. In Study 1, our findings show that democracy did not change the overall new business density in Tunisia. In Study 2, we do not find an effect on engagement in startups or business ownership. However, democracy improved perception of startup skills and reduced perception of fear of failure; with only males reporting higher perceived startup skills. The findings in Study 2 are also robust to five alternate measures of democracy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1012-1027 Issue: 9 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2095345 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2095345 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:9:p:1012-1027 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2095343_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Xiaoping Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoping Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chunyang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Chunyang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Wei Huang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Heterogeneous trading of option implied volatility Abstract: We investigate the equilibrium properties of the implied volatility in the option market within the framework of a dynamic heterogeneous agent model. Fundamentalists and chartists are incorporated into our heterogeneous agent model, and they can change their types based on their previous performance. We show that the stability conditions of the model mainly depend on the relationship between the mean-reverted coefficients of fundamentalists and the extrapolation coefficients of chartists. The empirical results show that the fundamentalists and chartists of volatility coexist in the option market. However, during the market panic, especially before and after the 2008 financial crisis, chartists dominate the market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 990-998 Issue: 9 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2095343 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2095343 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:9:p:990-998 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2095344_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Qian Li Author-X-Name-First: Qian Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jingyuan Yu Author-X-Name-First: Jingyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Place-based policies and regional innovation: evidence from western development in China Abstract: Innovation is the key to economic development. This study used the difference-in-difference model to examine the impact of the Chinese Western Development Strategy (WDS) implemented in 2001 on regional innovation. The results showed that the WDS has not effectively promoted regional innovation, and this effect has strengthened annually since the second year. Regions with higher regional innovation suffer more from the policy inhibiting effect, which indicates that the policies of the WDS have not been fully utilized. A heterogeneity analysis demonstrated varying effects on cities with different administrative levels. Provincial capital cities have an absorbing effect on non-provincial capital cities. The mechanism analysis shows that the WDS has aggravated local fiscal imbalances and fiscal preference in valuing investments and neglecting people’s livelihoods. Both these factors appear as chain mediation effects. Therefore, high-quality development in the western regions requires the strengthening of the regional innovation environment and a suitable institutional path to effectively enhance regional innovation capabilities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 999-1011 Issue: 9 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2095344 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2095344 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:9:p:999-1011 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2095341_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Munseob Lee Author-X-Name-First: Munseob Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Cheikh Anta Gueye Author-X-Name-First: Cheikh Anta Author-X-Name-Last: Gueye Title: Do resource windfalls improve standard of living in sub-Saharan African countries? Abstract: We examine impact of resource windfall on standard of living. We introduce annual welfare measure that combines income, inequality, and health, covering 130 countries for 45 years. We investigate the effect of resource windfalls on welfare in three groups: (i) a sample of 130 countries, (ii) 28 sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries, and (iii) 9 fragile SSA countries. We find that the short-run and long-run effect of resource windfalls are welfare enhancing in the 130-country sample. However, the effect size is small in SSA countries, and is insignificant in fragile SSA countries, which emphasizes importance of governance in natural resource management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 944-962 Issue: 9 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2095341 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2095341 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:9:p:944-962 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2095342_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Zhenhua Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhenhua Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Tingting Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Tingting Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Zhaoping Duan Author-X-Name-First: Zhaoping Author-X-Name-Last: Duan Author-Name: Shanqi Xuan Author-X-Name-First: Shanqi Author-X-Name-Last: Xuan Author-Name: Zhihua Ding Author-X-Name-First: Zhihua Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Author-Name: Shan Wu Author-X-Name-First: Shan Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Time-varying impacts of oil price shocks on China’s stock market under economic policy uncertainty Abstract: The role of economic policy uncertainty in the risk transmission between crude oil and stock market cannot be ignored. However, it is unclear whether economic policy uncertainty always amplifies the impact of oil price shocks on stock market over time. This study employs the time-varying parameter structural vector autoregression with stochastic volatility (TVP-SVAR-SV) model to examine the dynamic relationship among different types of oil price shocks, economic policy uncertainty, and China’s stock market returns at the aggregate and industry levels. The empirical results are as follows: First, different types of oil price shocks and economic policy uncertainty have significant time-varying impacts on stock market returns, which mainly occur in the short term. During periods of increased economic policy uncertainty, the stock market is more sensitive to oil price shocks. Second, economic policy uncertainty provides a transmission channel for the propagation between oil price shocks and stock markets, but how does economic policy uncertainty connect oil-stock nexus depends on the origins of oil price shocks. Third, the response patterns of stock market to oil price shocks and economic policy uncertainty are heterogeneous in different industries. Our results provide important implications for policymakers and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 963-989 Issue: 9 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2095342 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2095342 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:9:p:963-989 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097181_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Katarzyna Anna Nawrot Author-X-Name-First: Katarzyna Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Nawrot Title: Assessing the effects of trade regionalism in East Asia – evidence from augmented gravity models Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of trade regionalism in East Asia from 1995 to 2018, by applying a series of gravity models. An initial, basic gravity model is repeatedly augmented to account for a range of economic, geographical, cultural, and above all institutional factors representing free trade agreements in effect. Unlike previous studies, this investigation distinguishes between the bilateral and multilateral measures of regional trading arrangements. Two interesting findings are reported. First, the results confirm the impact of trade regionalism on the export flows between the economies of East Asia in the period under study. Second, the effects of multilateral trading agreements vary greatly depending on the agreement and on the particular country’s range of influence, in particular cases showing no sufficient economic benefits. Overall, the results point to the complementarity of bilateral and multilateral trading arrangements in the region and to the emergence of a certain distinctive model of cooperation and integration in East Asia – which has been underpinned during the COVID-19 pandemic by the conclusion of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), and which will be further verified in the post-COVID character of global trade and regional trading arrangements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1285-1297 Issue: 12 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097181 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:12:p:1285-1297 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097184_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Kichun Kang Author-X-Name-First: Kichun Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: Heterogeneous welfare gains from import variety across regions: evidence from South Korea Abstract: Globalization has differential impacts on trade patterns and welfare gains across regions within a country. Using panel data on 16 South Korean regions over the period 2000–2015, this study shows that new import varieties led to lower regional import prices, which in turn yielded positive welfare gains. However, both the uneven growth of import varieties and different degrees of product differentiation led to heterogeneous effects on import prices and welfare gains across regions. Regional differences in import prices and welfare gains are impacted more by variety growth than by product differentiation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1328-1340 Issue: 12 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097184 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:12:p:1328-1340 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097185_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Tian-Tian Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Tian-Tian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Ya-Hua Lu Author-X-Name-First: Ya-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Yue-Jun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yue-Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Evaluating the scientific and technological innovation efficiency of universities in China: evidence from the global Malmquist–Luenberger index model Abstract: The evaluation of the scientific and technological (S&T) innovation efficiency of universities is important for the ‘double first-class’ construction in China. However, related research often only considers desirable outputs while ignoring undesirable ones, which tends to produce biased evaluation results. For this reason, this study takes the ratio of unemployed graduates as undesirable output, and uses the global Malmquist – Luenberger index method to evaluate the S&T innovation efficiency of 31 relevant universities in China during 2013–2017, then develops a panel Tobit model to analyse its influencing factors. The results reveal that: first, during the sample period, the S&T innovation efficiency of those universities improved overall, and technical progress was the main driver. Second, excluding undesirable output will result in an overestimate of the S&T innovation efficiency of universities. Third, the S&T innovation efficiency of universities features regional distribution, with high efficiency in the west and low efficiency in the east. Moreover, different regions have different drivers for the improvement of S&T innovation efficiency of universities, with technical progress for the east and technical efficiency changes for the central and west. Finally, the ‘double first-class’ construction proposal in China has significantly promoted the improvement of S&T innovation efficiency in universities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1341-1355 Issue: 12 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097185 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097185 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:12:p:1341-1355 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097186_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yiming Chang Author-X-Name-First: Yiming Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Author-Name: Xiangyuan Yu Author-X-Name-First: Xiangyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Wei Shan Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Shan Author-Name: Fang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Do bank risk-taking, deposit insurance and financial heterogeneity change periodically with the financial crisis? Abstract: Financial heterogeneity generally refers to differences in the financial environment, which will affect the efficiency and risk of a country’s financial market. This paper describes financial heterogeneity from three aspects: the difference of financial market structure, the difference of financial intervention level and the degree of financial openness, and studies the relationship between financial heterogeneity, deposit insurance coverage and bank risk-taking before and after the 2008 financial crisis, using panel data of 98 market countries. The results show that the nonlinear relationship between bank risk-taking and deposit insurance coverage. This research finds that estimated coefficients’ sign and significance of some variables, such as household saving rate, bank deposit loan spread, their interactions with deposit insurance coverage, and bank credit to bank deposits show cyclical characteristics cross periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1356-1370 Issue: 12 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097186 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097186 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:12:p:1356-1370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097182_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Yun-Peng Chu Author-X-Name-First: Yun-Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Yi-Pey Ou Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Pey Author-X-Name-Last: Ou Title: Has the rise of China’s domestic supply chain contributed to its GDP increases? Abstract: This paper applies a structural decomposition of the input-output tables to investigate the sources of changes in the GDP of China, paying special attention to the import substitution of intermediate inputs. It is argued that the specific way GDP is decomposed in this paper sheds more light on the origin of growth than does the conventional decomposition of GDP by its final demand components. The results of the decomposition show that import substitution of intermediate products, which is an act of de-globalization of trade and a model of industrialization some Asian newly industrializing economies followed decades earlier, also became important in China, but only belatedly: in 2011–2012 and 2013–2014. The phenomenon is found to be significant in the manufacture of (i) computer, electronic and optical products, (ii) chemicals and chemical products, (iii) coke and refined petroleum products, and (iv) basic metals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1298-1311 Issue: 12 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097182 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097182 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:12:p:1298-1311 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097187_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Author-Name: Mariya Gubareva Author-X-Name-First: Mariya Author-X-Name-Last: Gubareva Author-Name: Tatiana Sokolova Author-X-Name-First: Tatiana Author-X-Name-Last: Sokolova Title: Assessing the impact of media sentiment on the returns of sukuks during the Covid-19 crisis Abstract: The wavelet approach covering simultaneously the time and frequency domains is employed to study the impact of the Covid-19 coverage in mass media on the performance of the Dow Jones Sukuk investment grade total return indices. The overall coherence level for the media-coverage – sukuk pairs is found to increase with the investment horizon. Multiple time-frequency regions with low level of coherence, observable along the Covid-19 systemic crisis, imply attractive diversification attributes of investing in Islamic fixed-income securities especially in times of financial stress and turmoil. We investigate coherence and phase difference patterns, which differ for distinct maturity buckets of the Sukuk indices, further highlighting their potentiality for the downside risk hedge, workable under economic and financial distress. The influence of the Covid-19 coverage in social media on DJ sukuk indices is investigated.The wavelet approach is employed to study the interrelations via coherence/phase-difference metrics.Coherence level varies along the time and frequency scales, increasing with the investment horizon.We observe differences in the coherence patterns per maturity bucket of Shariah-compliant securities.Hedging attractiveness is less pronounced in the sukuks of 1 to 3 years of residual maturity.The findings are potentially insightful for engineering hedge strategies, based in sukuks.Sukuks possess valuable hedging attributes, non-vanishing during systemic crisis events. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1371-1387 Issue: 12 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097187 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097187 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:12:p:1371-1387 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097183_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20220907T060133 git hash: 85d61bd949 Author-Name: Sangram Keshari Jena Author-X-Name-First: Sangram Keshari Author-X-Name-Last: Jena Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Author-X-Name-Last: Abakah Author-Name: David Roubaud Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Roubaud Title: Integration between emerging market equity and global markets; is it fundamental or noisy? Evidence from wavelet denoised volatility spillover analysis in time and frequency domain Abstract: The study investigates the integration between the five largest emerging stock markets, Morgan Stanley Capital Emerging Market Index, and global financial markets like the US S&P 500, Brent Crude Oil and Dollar Index based on wavelet denoised volatility spillover in time and frequency domain using forecasted error variance decomposition framework. It is found that the impact of noise on the connectedness is more pronounced in the short run and declines in longer term. Further, long-term connectedness which is much higher than that of short-term connectedness confirms the existence of fundamental (noisy) concernedness in the long (short) term. The impact of noise both varies by time and frequency. The policy implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1312-1327 Issue: 12 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097183 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:12:p:1312-1327 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097188_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Philemon Kwame Opoku Author-X-Name-First: Philemon Kwame Author-X-Name-Last: Opoku Title: The nexus between fiscal and current account imbalances in OECD economies Abstract: We re-examine the nexus between fiscal balances and current account balances for 18 OECD countries from 1995Q1 to 2018Q1 using panel cointegration and panel vector autoregressive (VAR). The findings confirm a long-run relationship between the fiscal balance and the current account balance. Our results indicate that strengthening the fiscal balance by one percentage point of GDP improves the current account balance by about 0.1–0.3 percentage points of GDP. On the other hand, an increase in real government consumption generally worsens the current account balance. The impact of the real effective exchange rate is not statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1389-1406 Issue: 13 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097188 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097188 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:13:p:1389-1406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097192_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Carin van der Cruijsen Author-X-Name-First: Carin Author-X-Name-Last: van der Cruijsen Author-Name: Anna Samarina Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Samarina Title: Drivers of trust in the ECB during the pandemic Abstract: Trust in the European Central Bank (ECB) is vital. However, little is known about trust in the ECB during the COVID-19 pandemic. We use the rich pilot microdata from the ECB Consumer Expectations Survey during 2020–2021 on six key euro area countries to shed light on trust in the ECB during the pandemic. Our findings suggest that there is ample room to improve consumers’ trust in the ECB. Personal COVID-19 experiences play a role: respondents who reduced the number of hours worked due to COVID-19 have lower trust in the ECB than those with unchanged working hours. Trust in the ECB varies within countries. It is highest among males and people with a good financial situation. It increases with financial knowledge, education, income, and wealth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1454-1476 Issue: 13 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097192 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:13:p:1454-1476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097194_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Crina Anina Bejan Author-X-Name-First: Crina Anina Author-X-Name-Last: Bejan Author-Name: Dominic Bucerzan Author-X-Name-First: Dominic Author-X-Name-Last: Bucerzan Author-Name: Mihaela Daciana Crăciun Author-X-Name-First: Mihaela Daciana Author-X-Name-Last: Crăciun Title: Bitcoin price evolution versus energy consumption; trend analysis Abstract: Digital technology developments shape the behaviour, performances, standards of society, organizations and individuals imposing new ways of payments and new forms of money. In this environment in 2008 was developed a new type of currency, namely Bitcoin. Cryptocurrency, as this new form of money has been generically called, puts pressure on the traditional concept of money. Today, the economic value of cryptocurrencies is attested by their circulation and acceptance by user communities for trade. However, establishing this value raises debates in the literature. The research from this paper investigates and analyses if there is a strong enough connectedness between Bitcoin price evolution and energy consumption tendency (for mining), to influence Bitcoin value. Public data from January 2014 to July 2021 is used. An Artificial Neural Network (ANN) was used to study and predict the tendency of Bitcoin price and energy consumption. A comparison between the forecasting trend and the real trend (the evolution of energy consumption and Bitcoin price) was made. The conducted research starts with a quantitative one and ends with a qualitative one (trends). The obtained results show that qualitatively, there is a good correlation between monthly average values of BTC prices and electricity consumption for mining. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1497-1511 Issue: 13 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097194 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:13:p:1497-1511 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097190_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Haoliang Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Haoliang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Global value chains, trade liberalization, and productivity: a stochastic frontier analysis of Chinese manufacturing firms Abstract: This article estimates the total factor productivity (TFP) growth of Chinese manufacturing firms and quantifies how international sourcing and trade liberalization affect TFP growth. To this end, we estimate stochastic frontier production that decomposes TFP growth into technical changes, returns to scale, and technical efficiency changes. Furthermore, we consider two channels through which external factors affect TFP growth: technical change and technical efficiency change components. We measure international sourcing and trade liberalization by foreign value-added shares and input tariffs, respectively. Several novel findings emerge. First, international sourcing and import tariff reduction positively impact TFP growth by improving technical changes and technical efficiency. Second, international sourcing has a negative effect on the technical changes of processing importers, while it has positive effects on the technical change and technical efficiency change of ordinary importers. Third, input tariff reduction has a substantial and positive impact on the technical efficiency change of processing importers and the technical change of ordinary importers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1422-1435 Issue: 13 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097190 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097190 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:13:p:1422-1435 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097191_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xiaoling Mei Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoling Author-X-Name-Last: Mei Author-Name: Huanjun Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Huanjun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Chongzhu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Chongzhu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Mean-variance portfolio selection with estimation risk and transaction costs Abstract: There are many approaches that have been proposed to improve the empirical performance of the Markowitz mean-variance model. Designed to mitigate the impact of parameter uncertainty and estimation error, these approaches have delivered substantially better out-of-sample performance. In this paper, we consider the portfolio optimization problem for a single-period investor facing different types of transaction costs. By reformulating the rebalancing problem into a linear regression framework, we show analytically that considering different transaction costs is equivalent to imposing additional constraints on the portfolio weights, thus providing desired properties such as sparsity and stability in the trading strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1436-1453 Issue: 13 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097191 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097191 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:13:p:1436-1453 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097189_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Elena Kotyrlo Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Kotyrlo Title: Back to parents: earnings of young adults and informal care Abstract: Return migrants are often considered to be disadvantaged in terms of earnings. However, family needs might affect an individual’s migration decision and allocation of his (her) time between formal employment and informal care. The generalized Roy model employed to account for self-selection in migration decisions shows that the losses in earnings of return migrants are overestimated for female young adults when family characteristics, such as the presence of children or parents in need of care, are not accounted for. The study is based on age- and gender-specific samples of individuals born in 1974 and followed between the ages of 25 and 32 years drawn from Swedish longitudinal data. The results suggest that female internal return migrants rely on grandparenting to reconcile their family and working life. In particular, mothers of children under eight years old earn more when they reside close to their parents. The negative self-selection of male return migrants remains after controlling for family characteristics. This likely relates to differences in the labour supply as returns on education do not differ by residential location choice. The estimates do not demonstrate any link between potential informal elder care and a change in the earnings of young adults. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1407-1421 Issue: 13 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097189 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097189 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:13:p:1407-1421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097193_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Jose E. Author-X-Name-Last: Gomez-Gonzalez Author-Name: Jorge M. Uribe Author-X-Name-First: Jorge M. Author-X-Name-Last: Uribe Author-Name: Oscar M. Valencia Author-X-Name-First: Oscar M. Author-X-Name-Last: Valencia Title: Risk spillovers between global corporations and Latin American sovereigns: global factors matter Abstract: We study volatility spillovers between the corporate sector’s and Latin American countries’ CDS. Daily data from 14 October 2006 to 23 August 2021 are employed. Spillovers are computed both for the raw data and for filtered series, which factor out the effect of global common factors on the various CDS series. Results indicate that most spillovers occur within groups. However, considerable spillovers are also registered from LAC sovereigns to corporations and vice versa. Interesting differences are encountered between filtered and unfiltered data. Specifically, spillovers from countries to corporations are overestimated (in about 4.3% points) and spillovers from corporations to sovereigns are underestimated (in about 5.8% points) when unfiltered data is used. This result calls for a revision of results obtained from studies that do not consider the role of global common factors on system spillovers. Like in most related studies, spillovers show considerable time-variation, being larger during times of financial or economic distress. When looking at total system spillovers over time, those corresponding to unfiltered series are always larger than those corresponding to filtered series. The difference between the two time-series is largest in times of distress, indicating that global factors play a major role in times of crises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1477-1496 Issue: 13 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097193 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:13:p:1477-1496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2098241_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Israel Escudero-Castillo Author-X-Name-First: Israel Author-X-Name-Last: Escudero-Castillo Author-Name: Fco. Javier Mato Díaz Author-X-Name-First: Fco. Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Mato Díaz Author-Name: Ana Rodriguez-Alvarez Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez-Alvarez Title: Effects of precarious work on mental health: evidence from Spain Abstract: Given that a relationship has been established between employment status and psychological well-being, the deepening segmentation of the Spanish labour market may be putting the mental health of part of the population at risk. However, the relationship between work and well-being could be influenced by unobservable subjective characteristics and, consequently, two people with the same job characteristics could be affected differently by precariousness. This research tackles the problem of the unobserved heterogeneity resulting from subjective variables related to work satisfaction. A finite mixed model is applied to analyse, firstly, how jobs characterized by greater instability may affect well-being and, secondly, to study how the way in which well-being is affected could depend on how the person evaluates their job satisfaction. Data from the National Health Survey of Spain have been used to perform the analysis. We conclude that, when compared to short-term temporary contracts, self-employed and atypical situations, the stability of permanent work contracts provides greater well-being if some previous conditions of job satisfaction are met. When these conditions are not met, the protective factor provided by permanent contracts is somehow diluted, and only tenured civil servants show advantages vis-à-vis the rest of work situations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1603-1620 Issue: 14 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2098241 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2098241 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:14:p:1603-1620 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2098240_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xuhui Peng Author-X-Name-First: Xuhui Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Yi-Chen Lan Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Lan Author-Name: Jingduan Li Author-X-Name-First: Jingduan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Hanlu Fan Author-X-Name-First: Hanlu Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Title: Board gender diversity, national culture, and water disclosure of multinational corporations Abstract: Academic attention on corporate water disclosure and the role of board gender diversity (BGD) in corporate environmental responsibility has increased dramatically. However, the study of the relationship between BGD and corporate water disclosure is lagging, particularly in the influence of national culture on the relation. Therefore, this study investigates the water disclosure of 150 MNCs from China, Japan, the U.K. and the U.S. using content analysis, theoretically discusses and empirically tests the relationship between BGD and MNCs’ water disclosure, and the moderating effects of national culture. The results indicate that (1) BGD positively impacts MNCs’ water disclosure, and (2) the cultural constructs of masculinity and uncertainty avoidance negatively moderate this relationship. These results reveal that female board members’ moral characteristics caused by gender differences are the key to promoting the board’s abilities of stakeholders’ water issue detection. This advantage of female board members could be enhanced or weakened in different national cultures. Our study closes a research gap, strengthens our understanding of the role of BGD in promoting the board’s water-related strategic decision-making, and extends the application of the national cultural dimension in interdisciplinary research in management and social science fields. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1581-1602 Issue: 14 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2098240 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2098240 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:14:p:1581-1602 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097635_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Saejoon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Saejoon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Factor investing: a unified view Abstract: A unified view of factor investing is presented. By examining the levels of exposure to a set of factors collectively, we construct enhanced factor portfolios from conventional single-factor portfolios that substantially increase factor risk premia consistently for nearly five decades in the US equity data. Detailed comparison between these and multifactor portfolios is conducted, and we find that a form of the latter delivers superior return performance. In particular, we present the outperformance of the signal-blended multifactor portfolio for various return measures over all factor portfolios considered at a statistical significance level of 1%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1567-1580 Issue: 14 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097635 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097635 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:14:p:1567-1580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2098242_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Theodoros Skevas Author-X-Name-First: Theodoros Author-X-Name-Last: Skevas Author-Name: Mykel R. Taylor Author-X-Name-First: Mykel R. Author-X-Name-Last: Taylor Author-Name: Allen M. Featherstone Author-X-Name-First: Allen M. Author-X-Name-Last: Featherstone Title: How different types of government payments and the elimination of direct payments affect farm productivity? Evidence from Kansas crop farms Abstract: The relationship between total factor productivity (TFP) and different types of government payments is examined using data on Kansas crop farms over the period 2009–2018. Special attention is given to the effect on productivity from the elimination of direct payments in the 2014 Farm Bill. Farm-level TFP is estimated using a variation of the traditional proxy variable approach, assuming the evolution of productivity is not exogenous, but can be influenced by government payments. Results show that alternative types of government payments affect TFP differently. Direct payments were found to have a positive effect on TFP, whereas risk management payments, which replaced direct payments starting in 2015, did not affect TFP significantly. Regarding other types of government payments, only conservation reserve program and state government payments were found to affect TFP (positively and) significantly, but the productivity effect was significantly lower than that of direct payments. Results further show that restricting productivity to be entirely exogenous understates the actual productivity of the sample farms by an average of 8%, implying government payments matter and impact farm productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1621-1635 Issue: 14 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2098242 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2098242 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:14:p:1621-1635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097633_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hakjun Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hakjun Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Shik Heo Author-X-Name-First: Shik Author-X-Name-Last: Heo Title: Does cultural education contribute to higher consumption of the arts? Evidence from South Korea Abstract: The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of cultural capital on arts consumption. We divide cultural capital into five types – arts education of infancy and childhood, adolescence and adulthood, arts-related volunteer work, and arts-related club – and focused on active and passive acquisition of such capital. We conduct an empirical analysis considering that the dependent variable is zero-inflated. Specifically, we conduct zero-inflated negative binomial regression to analyse the causal effect of cultural capital on arts consumption. In addition, Oaxaca decomposition with zero-inflated negative binomial regression is performed to compare the effectiveness of cultural capital. Our results show that consumption of cultural capital increases consumption of the arts. In particular, the effect of arts education was the highest in adulthood, indicating that voluntary acquisition is effective and the benefits from arts education are durable. Our research could provide insights for government organizations engaged in promotion of arts and inform policymaking. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1534-1545 Issue: 14 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097633 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:14:p:1534-1545 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097632_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Anna Gudrun Ragnarsdottir Author-X-Name-First: Anna Gudrun Author-X-Name-Last: Ragnarsdottir Author-Name: Thorhildur Olafsdottir Author-X-Name-First: Thorhildur Author-X-Name-Last: Olafsdottir Author-Name: Paul McNamee Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: McNamee Author-Name: Tinna Laufey Ásgeirsdóttir Author-X-Name-First: Tinna Laufey Author-X-Name-Last: Ásgeirsdóttir Title: The individual private cost of problematic alcohol use: a compensating income variation approach Abstract: While the social cost of problematic alcohol use has been examined, limited information exists on the private cost incurred by consumers. Using Icelandic panel data and the compensating income variation (CIV) method we estimate this individual private cost. We examine results using different measures of problematic alcohol use, two non-linear functional forms for income, and two utility proxies. We estimate the yearly individual cost, or CIV, to be 4–62 thousand USD. These estimates are considerably higher if not adjusted for income endogeneity. Results suggest that the CIV method is highly sensitive to model specifications in two areas: (i) The modelling of income; log-transformation contrasted with a piecewise-linear form shows that high-income groups affect full sample CIVs substantially, highlighting differences between mean and median value-estimates. This raises ethical questions on the trade-off between utilitarian policies based on means and largely driven by high-income groups, versus policies guided by median values that benefit most individuals. (ii) The choice of utility proxy; the CIV using happiness is substantially higher than that obtained using life satisfaction. This highlights the need for policy makers to consider whether their objectives should focus on cognitive measures of subjective well-being or affective measures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1513-1533 Issue: 14 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097632 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:14:p:1513-1533 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2097634_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Shunwei Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Shunwei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Hailong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hailong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Thomas Boryniec Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Boryniec Title: Long-term reversal and value effects: the role of liquidity risk Abstract: This paper demonstrates that liquidity risk helps explain the return patterns of stocks with high book-to-market ratios and low intangible returns. We document empirical evidence that (1) liquidity shocks, the unexpected variation in liquidity factors that are orthogonal to the firm’s past accounting performance, predict stock returns, (2) stocks with higher book-to-market ratios or lower intangible returns have higher exposure to aggregate capital constraint measures (i.e. these stocks possess higher liquidity risk) and (3) the returns of long-term contrarian strategies based on liquidity shocks, book-to-market ratios and intangible returns are highly correlated and serve as proxies for returns from liquidity provision. Moreover, liquidity-providing returns are stronger in declining markets as well as when the market volatility is high, indicating that liquidity providers are capital-constrained in providing liquidity under such conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1546-1566 Issue: 14 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2097634 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2097634 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:14:p:1546-1566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2099518_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ling Dai Author-X-Name-First: Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Dai Author-Name: Zuomin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zuomin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Likui Lin Author-X-Name-First: Likui Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Can government investment expansion benefit everyone: a study with state-owned enterprises in the Chinese context Abstract: The main difference between China and other major economies is the presence of a large number of state-owned enterprises. Focusing on the Chinese context, we divide firms into state-owned and private enterprises, and households into working and capitalist class; thereafter, we simulate the effects of government investment expansion on income distribution under different financing instruments. We found that when financed by corporate income tax or value-added tax, government investment expansion makes the working class in both types of enterprises better off, but the capitalist class worse off; however, when financed by labour income tax, government investment expansion yields the opposite result. When the expansion is financed by government debt, the real wealth of the working class in state-owned enterprises and the capitalist class increases, but that of the working class in private enterprises decreases. The difference in income distribution outcomes between the working class and capitalist class is due to the differing composition of their wealth, and the difference in income distribution outcomes among working class is because the enterprises for which they work perform differently in undertaking government investment projects and obtaining loans from the financial market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1663-1681 Issue: 15 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2099518 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2099518 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:15:p:1663-1681 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2099524_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Fangbin Qiao Author-X-Name-First: Fangbin Author-X-Name-Last: Qiao Title: The impact of mechanization on crop production in China Abstract: The rapid development of mechanization has been well reported, but its impact on China’s agricultural production remains unclear. This study first uses a theoretical model to analyse the impact of mechanization on sown areas of different crops. The results show that mechanization has a positive impact on grain crops and a negative impact on non-grain crops. Then using nationally representative provincial-level panel data, the empirical analyses confirm these results. Thus, the sown areas of cotton, oil and sugar crops will be reduced by more than 20% within five years. Consequently, China is expected to depend on international markets to meet the domestic demand for cotton, oil and sugar in the future. Even though mechanization has a positive impact on the sown areas of grain crops, a reduction in the diversity of grain production poses a new threat to the stability of China’s grain production and food security. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1728-1741 Issue: 15 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2099524 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2099524 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:15:p:1728-1741 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2099521_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Patricia Moreno-Mencía Author-X-Name-First: Patricia Author-X-Name-Last: Moreno-Mencía Author-Name: David Cantarero-Prieto Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero-Prieto Author-Name: Juan Rodriguez-Poo Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Rodriguez-Poo Title: Semiparametric estimation of a sample selection model with a binary endogenous regressor: the effect of chronicity in labour supply Abstract: The aim of this paper is to investigate the effect of chronicity in labour supply and the participation equation in a flexible framework. We analyse a semiparametric model for data including problems of sample selection and endogeneity, because a regressor is correlated with the disturbance term. One approach is to specify a simultaneous equation model where a dummy endogenous variable accounting for chronicity is included in the structural and selection equation. We propose a consistent estimator of the structural parameters robust to misspecification. The endogeneity and the selection are assumed to be nonparametric and the conditional distribution of the errors is left unspecified. Using a control function approach, the resulting estimator is obtained through a new pairwise differencing transformation. In addition to its empirical performance, the asymptotic properties are established. Our empirical findings confirm the idea that having a chronic illness has a negative effect on income, accounting for an approximately $$32\% $$32% decrease in expected income, which is close to the finding of Currie and Madrian (1999). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1682-1699 Issue: 15 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2099521 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2099521 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:15:p:1682-1699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2098243_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Danny Contractor Author-X-Name-First: Danny Author-X-Name-Last: Contractor Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Indrit Hoxha Author-X-Name-First: Indrit Author-X-Name-Last: Hoxha Title: Market reaction to macroeconomic anouncements: green vs conventional bonds Abstract: There has been an increased interest in literature to examine the risk and returns between green and conventional bonds during the last decade. However, the existing literature is silent regarding investigating green bonds and their reactions to regional and global shocks. We attempt to close this gap by gathering green and conventional bonds data issued by the same firms. Using data from 262 firms that issue both sets of bonds and trade in the same market, we are able to control/eliminate for firm-specific factors that can impact the bond spreads. Upon introducing US and EU macroeconomic announcements and economic uncertainty, we find that the green bonds are more resilient from specific shocks, when compared to conventional bonds. We further expand our study to systematically assess the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on both bonds. Our comprehensive findings suggest an increase in green bonds’ uptake post-Covid-19 pandemic, and its significant evolvement compared to pre-Covid-19 proves green bonds popularity. Our result shows greater resilience of green bonds from specific Covid-19 shocks and uncertainties. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1637-1662 Issue: 15 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2098243 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2098243 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:15:p:1637-1662 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2101611_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Rupamanjari Sinha Ray Author-X-Name-First: Rupamanjari Author-X-Name-Last: Sinha Ray Author-Name: Sandeep Goel Author-X-Name-First: Sandeep Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Title: Impact of ESG score on financial performance of Indian firms: static and dynamic panel regression analyses Abstract: The study attempts to empirically investigate the impact of ESG score on the financial variables that may affect the performance of firms in the Indian context; SEBI’s recent mandate on ESG reporting by the listed entities being the point of departure for the present discourse. A representative sample of 48 Indian firms having ESG scores under BSE-100 index is used in the analysis. The study period comprises the years 2011–2019. Static and dynamic panel regression analyses are conducted. The financial performance variables incorporated in this paper include ROA, ROE, firm size, market capitalization, PBDIT, Tobin’s Q and share price. It is demonstrated that ESG score influences these variables, however with time lags. The distinctive contribution of the current endeavour lies in establishing a long-term positive association between ESG disclosure and annual average share price for the listed firms in a developing economy like India. The results are implicative of the fact that ESG score is an emerging indicator for conceiving future financial performance and risk mitigation strategies, and therefore, of considerable importance from policy perspective. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1742-1755 Issue: 15 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2101611 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2101611 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:15:p:1742-1755 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2099523_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mauro Caselli Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Caselli Author-Name: Jasmine Mondolo Author-X-Name-First: Jasmine Author-X-Name-Last: Mondolo Author-Name: Stefano Schiavo Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Schiavo Title: Labour market power and the quest for an optimal minimum wage: evidence from Italy Abstract: This study investigates the recent trends in labour market power in Italy and assesses the impact of a potential minimum wage using a large sample of manufacturing firms. We show that, despite an average shift of labour market power from companies to workers, monopsony power is still widespread, especially in some sectors and regions. The introduction of a minimum wage would be beneficial to workers and the economy as it reduces the monopsony power of highly productive firms paying low wages; however, it may also have a negative impact, since firms with low wages and low labour productivity may react by reducing the number of their employees or even by exiting the market. Finally, we find that an optimal minimum wage, which minimizes the negative effect and maximizes the positive effect for the economy, ranges between 8.25 and 9.65 euro per hour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1713-1727 Issue: 15 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2099523 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2099523 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:15:p:1713-1727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2099522_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Paul Lombardi Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Lombardi Author-Name: Amer Mriziq Author-X-Name-First: Amer Author-X-Name-Last: Mriziq Title: Saving lives one bale at a time: cotton production’s connection to lynchings in the U.S. South during the early Twentieth Century Abstract: The extralegal lynching of innocent individuals from discriminated groups remains a dark, lasting mark on the United States’ history. Following the conclusion of the Civil War, former slaves and their descendants were frequent targets for this form of violence. A significant existing literature finds various contributing factors to the pattern of violence. However, the current paper is the first to document a relationship between the weather and the lynching of African Americans in the U.S. South during the early twentieth century. Within affected communities, we find heavy May rains reduced cotton yields which raises the probability of a lynching during the subsequent year. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1700-1712 Issue: 15 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2099522 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2099522 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:15:p:1700-1712 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2099525_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Paula Pereda Author-X-Name-First: Paula Author-X-Name-Last: Pereda Author-Name: Maria Dolores Montoya Diaz Author-X-Name-First: Maria Dolores Author-X-Name-Last: Montoya Diaz Author-Name: Fabiana Rocha Author-X-Name-First: Fabiana Author-X-Name-Last: Rocha Author-Name: Liz Matsunaga Author-X-Name-First: Liz Author-X-Name-Last: Matsunaga Author-Name: Bruna Pugialli Borges Author-X-Name-First: Bruna Pugialli Author-X-Name-Last: Borges Author-Name: Jesus Mena-Chalco Author-X-Name-First: Jesus Author-X-Name-Last: Mena-Chalco Author-Name: Renata Narita Author-X-Name-First: Renata Author-X-Name-Last: Narita Author-Name: Clara Brenck Author-X-Name-First: Clara Author-X-Name-Last: Brenck Title: Are women less persistent? Evidence from submissions to a nationwide meeting of economics Abstract: Female under-representation in high-profile career positions has relevant impacts on firms’ outcomes, research topics, and public policies. In the academic profession, women’s participation decreases as they evolve in their careers. To understand the lack of women in economics in Brazilian academia, we investigate the decision to submit papers to the largest conference in the country (Brazilian Meeting of Economics, or ANPEC Meetings), an important achievement in the profession. We explore a novel panel dataset of researchers and match them with web-scraped data of their résumés to test gender differences in the probability of submitting an article one year after having a paper (same or new) rejected in the previous year. Our findings suggest that women desist 2.9% points more than men when facing rejection. We also find evidence that younger women give up more and that the quality of the undergraduate program relates to the gender gap in the likelihood of desisting. Finally, we argue that more competitive women may self-select into higher-quality institutions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1757-1768 Issue: 16 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2099525 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2099525 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:16:p:1757-1768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2099801_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lucia Ferrone Author-X-Name-First: Lucia Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrone Author-Name: Gianna Claudia Giannelli Author-X-Name-First: Gianna Claudia Author-X-Name-Last: Giannelli Title: Internal migration, children’s schooling and gender gaps in education Abstract: In many sub-Saharan African countries, a large number of people migrate internally due to economic, demographic and political factors. We ask whether household mobility affects child educational outcomes and in what direction. Because girls and boys face different challenges in achieving education, and families often underinvest in girls’ human capital, we focus on gender differentials. We study the case of Uganda, a country where universal basic education and gender equality are still complicated goals. We use the National Panel Survey of 2005, 2009, 2010 and 2011 to develop fixed effects models of the relationship between mobility and children’s educational outcomes: school delay and attendance. We find that moving with the family during primary or lower secondary school decreases delay in schooling and increases school attendance for boys, while we do not find any significant effect for girls. We argue that our results confirm pro-male preferences of families, where girls do not benefit equally from the opportunities offered by internal migration. Expanding girls’ opportunities, as well as providing adequate services, are crucial steps in achieving gender equality in education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1807-1829 Issue: 16 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2099801 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2099801 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:16:p:1807-1829 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2099802_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Dahai Fu Author-X-Name-First: Dahai Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Yue Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Author-Name: Xiaocong Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaocong Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: The gains from import variety: how much does demand matter Abstract: This paper highlights the impact of variable demand on the evaluation of welfare gains from import variety. We use a nested demand structure and construct a model to estimate the gains from import variety, which allows us to relax the assumption of time-invariant demand in previous studies. Our modified approach shows that welfare gains from import variety depends on the demand shifts, in which the gains could be either positive or negative. In particular, China’ s gains from imported varieties between 1995 and 2010 are underestimated 0.94% of 2010 GDP when assuming constant demand. The sources of variety gains also change significantly under the framework of variable demand. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1830-1844 Issue: 16 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2099802 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2099802 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:16:p:1830-1844 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2099803_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Volker Seiler Author-X-Name-First: Volker Author-X-Name-Last: Seiler Author-Name: Bernard Michael Gilroy Author-X-Name-First: Bernard Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Gilroy Author-Name: Christian Peitz Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Peitz Author-Name: Nico Stöckmann Author-X-Name-First: Nico Author-X-Name-Last: Stöckmann Title: 40 years of economic reform - the case of Pudong new area open economic zone in Shanghai Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of special economic zones (SEZs) on economic growth. We use the Pudong New Area Open Economic Zone in Shanghai for our comparative case study and find this policy tool to have added up to CNY 7,166 to GDP per capita compared to a synthetic counterfactual without such a policy. Given that different reform policies were undertaken in different provinces including Shanghai itself even before the launch of the Pudong New Area Open Economic Zone, our findings might be considered conservative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1845-1858 Issue: 16 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2099803 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2099803 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:16:p:1845-1858 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2099526_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Haerin Shim Author-X-Name-First: Haerin Author-X-Name-Last: Shim Author-Name: Jeong Eun Koo Author-X-Name-First: Jeong Eun Author-X-Name-Last: Koo Author-Name: Tae Sup Shim Author-X-Name-First: Tae Sup Author-X-Name-Last: Shim Title: The effect of implementation of the Stewardship Code on nonprofessional investors’ judgment and decision-making Abstract: Since 2010, the Stewardship Code (SC) or similar regulations have been introduced in many countries in order to enhance the quality of institutional investors’ engagement and to improve long-term firm value. Although the effectiveness of the SC has been the subject of ongoing controversy in prior anecdotal or legal studies, there has been little empirical evidence regarding the effects of these policies due to the relatively recent adoption of such codes worldwide. Accordingly, the purpose of this article is to investigate how capital market participants perceive and evaluate the implementation of the SC. Specifically, we examine how SC implementation affects nonprofessional investors’ judgment and decision-making on an investee firm. Based on the results of an experiment with nonprofessional investors, we show that the implementation of the SC may negatively impact nonprofessional investors’ assessments of the firm, contrary to the intended purpose of SC adoption. This study provides timely implications for the future operation and development of the stewardship policies recently adopted in many countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1769-1789 Issue: 16 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2099526 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2099526 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:16:p:1769-1789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2099804_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhanguo Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Zhanguo Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Xiaozhou Ma Author-X-Name-First: Xiaozhou Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Xu Tian Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Author-Name: Tong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The value of food products from mixed crop-livestock systems: environmental benefits and regional environmental carrying capacity Abstract: Food products from mixed crop-livestock systems is a market-based solution to reduce environmental impacts of livestock worldwide. However, widespread promotion of mixed systems of recycling agriculture depends on consumers’ acceptance of its food products. In this paper, we examine consumers’ preferences and willingness to pay (WTP) for several attributes of pork products, and develop consumer classes based on preferences. Using a choice experiment among 893 Chinese consumers, our results show that consumers are willing to pay a premium for pork with mixed crop-livestock systems claim. In addition, a positive WTP is also detected for different environmental carrying capacity, environmental benefits and quality certifications. We use latent class analysis to identify heterogeneous consumers into five classes: namely balanced thinking, price sensitive, quality preferred, environmental benefits conscious and ecology conscious consumers. Further policies and interventions aimed at promoting the market-oriented operation of mixed crop-livestock systems of recycling agriculture, based on regional environmental carrying capacity, different dimensions of environmental benefits and quality improvement of food products, will be effective. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1859-1875 Issue: 16 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2099804 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2099804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:16:p:1859-1875 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2099800_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Muhammad Ryan Sanjaya Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Sanjaya Author-Name: Swee Hoon Chuah Author-X-Name-First: Swee Hoon Author-X-Name-Last: Chuah Author-Name: Simon Feeny Author-X-Name-First: Simon Author-X-Name-Last: Feeny Author-Name: Robert Hoffmann Author-X-Name-First: Robert Author-X-Name-Last: Hoffmann Title: The Impact of Cultural Heterogeneity on Violence in Indonesia: Fractionalisation versus polarization Abstract: The determinants of large-scale conflict have been examined extensively in the academic literature. The factors contributing to everyday violence have received less attention despite this smaller-scale conflict having a high human and economic cost. We analyse a dataset at the level of 495 Indonesian districts to estimate the determinants of non-domestic, small-scale violence prevalent in this nation. We focus on the role of pronounced cultural heterogeneity that characterizes Indonesia and contribute to the literature by empirically testing whether established conflict theory holds for smaller scale violence data in the case of Indonesia. Ethnic polarization (rather than fractionalization) is the main driver of conflict intensity, suggesting that district-level conflicts are commonly over public goods. Cultural heterogeneity has a curvilinear effect on conflict. It increases the intensity of violence up to a point, after which the level decreases. Overall, our results offer some support for the Esteban and Ray model of conflict. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1790-1806 Issue: 16 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2099800 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2099800 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:16:p:1790-1806 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2099805_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Linlang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Linlang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Han Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Han Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xiongyuan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiongyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Underwriter ratings and risk-taking of IPO firms: evidence from China Abstract: Unlike the existing literature, which focuses on the underwriter reputation, this paper examines the effect of underwriters on the risks of IPO (initial public offering) firms from the perspective of the ability to control risks. Using the underwriter rating by CSRC (China Securities Regulatory Commission), we find that the underwriter rating provides incremental information over the underwriter reputation and mainly reflects the ability of the underwriter to control risks. Consistent with this hypothesis, we document a negative relationship between the underwriter rating and the earnings volatility of firms after an IPO. Our results remain qualitatively similar after a series of robustness tests. Additional analysis suggests that an underwriter with a higher ability to control risks, proxied by the risk index of the underwriter, can significantly lower firms’ risks. Moreover, we find that a highly rated underwriter can reduce stock return volatility, discretionary accruals, the potential for a decline in earnings, and penalties by the CSRC. This study enriches the literature on how underwriter plays an essential role in IPOs from the ability to control risks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1877-1890 Issue: 17 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2099805 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2099805 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:17:p:1877-1890 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2100869_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Wei-Chih Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Chih Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xiaohua Bao Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohua Author-X-Name-Last: Bao Title: Technical barriers to trade and China’s exports: firm-level evidence Abstract: This paper studies the trade-restriction and trade-promotion effects that technical barriers to trade (TBTs) have on export performances of Chinese firms over the period 2001–2006. Different from tariffs and most traditional non-tariff measures, TBTs can impose both positive and negative impacts on exports. On the one hand, TBTs increase the compliance costs and have the trade-restriction effect. On the other hand, TBTs improve product quality and mitigate uncertainty, which enhances demand and promotes trade. We investigate how TBTs influence the extensive and intensive margins of a firm’s exports and how the impact varies with the size, productivity, and ownership of a firm. Specifically, we look into a firm’s entry and exit decisions, export value, unit price, and quantity. The estimated results show that TBTs decrease both the extensive and intensive margins of small firms, and they improve the export performances of large firms. The finding indicates that while small firms that cannot meet the technical standards will leave their markets, large firms will stay in their markets and expand their export volumes. The trade effects of TBTs also change by characteristics of the importing country and sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1919-1938 Issue: 17 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2100869 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2100869 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:17:p:1919-1938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2100872_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yongguang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yongguang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Yiming Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yiming Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zhennan Gao Author-X-Name-First: Zhennan Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Title: Effects of market liquidity on price dynamics in a heterogeneous belief model Abstract: To understand the effect of liquidity on asset pricing, this study constructs a boundedly rational asset pricing model, introducing market liquidity and heterogeneous beliefs. Based on our model, we conduct empirical tests using the S&P 500 index from 1991 to 2021 and the CSI 500 index from 2007 to 2021. We find that market liquidity significantly influences investors’ expectations and belief switching. When market liquidity is scarce, fundamentalists in both markets expect the price to converge more quickly to its fundamental value, whereas chartists perceive that the price deviates from its fundamental value less rapidly. Lack of liquidity mitigates the investors’ original switching strategy, resulting in positive feedback as a net effect. Moreover, the S&P 500 index is efficient, whereas the CSI 500 index is slightly undervalued in the long run. Both markets exhibit large fluctuations and inefficiency during short periods such as the 2008 financial crisis and COVID-19 pandemic. As such, safeguards should be implemented against sudden shocks and the resulting price deviation and market inefficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1972-1989 Issue: 17 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2100872 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2100872 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:17:p:1972-1989 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2100049_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tracey Broome Author-X-Name-First: Tracey Author-X-Name-Last: Broome Author-Name: Winston Ricardo Moore Author-X-Name-First: Winston Ricardo Author-X-Name-Last: Moore Author-Name: Philmore Alleyne Author-X-Name-First: Philmore Author-X-Name-Last: Alleyne Title: R&D participation and firm performance in the Caribbean Abstract: Despite the benefits of R&D and the incentives available for such investments in most countries, the Caribbean has one of the lowest rates of R&D investment in the world. One potential reason for this is the financing constraints encountered by most Caribbean firms. Using a Cobb-Douglas production function augmented with innovation input and output variables and data from the LACES and PROTEqIN databases of the Enterprise Surveys and Compete Caribbean respectively, this research examines the extent to which past R&D experience and current innovative activities enhance the performance of manufacturing and service firms. The findings suggest that prior R&D participation contributes significantly to increased productivity levels of manufacturing firms. On the other hand, skillset is very important to the productivity of service enterprises. Furthermore, past R&D involvement increases the probability of innovation, specifically goods/service innovation and marketing improvements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1891-1907 Issue: 17 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2100049 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2100049 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:17:p:1891-1907 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2100870_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Alex Chernoff Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Chernoff Author-Name: Casey Warman Author-X-Name-First: Casey Author-X-Name-Last: Warman Title: COVID-19 and implications for automation Abstract: COVID-19 may accelerate the automation of jobs as employers invest in technology to safeguard against pandemics. We identify occupations that have high automation potential and also exhibit a high risk of viral infection. We examine regional variation in terms of which U.S. local labour markets are most at risk. Next, we outline the differential impacts COVID-19 may have on different demographic groups. We find that the highest-risk occupations in the U.S. are those held by females with mid- to low-wage and education levels. Using comparable data for 25 other countries, we also find that women in this demographic are at the highest risk internationally. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1939-1957 Issue: 17 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2100870 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2100870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:17:p:1939-1957 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2100871_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Howard J. Wall Author-X-Name-First: Howard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Wall Title: Sex and the business cycle Abstract: This paper reconsiders the differences between the sexes in the depths, lengths, timing, and employment effects of recessions in the United States. I find that, prior to the mid-1980s, female employment was in recession less frequently than male employment, but that the opposite has been true since then. Also, monthly employment growth forgone because of recession was roughly the same for women and men prior to the mid 1980s, but was substantially greater for men afterwards. Accounting for the sex-specific timing of recessions, as well as for forgone employment growth, (1) the negative effects of recessions on both female and male employment are much larger than is usually found, (2) male employment is hit relatively harder by recessions, and (3) the difference between the sexes in the employment effects of recession is much smaller than the previous literature indicates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1958-1971 Issue: 17 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2100871 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2100871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:17:p:1958-1971 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2100868_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Bruno Damásio Author-X-Name-First: Bruno Author-X-Name-Last: Damásio Author-Name: Sandro Mendonça Author-X-Name-First: Sandro Author-X-Name-Last: Mendonça Title: Leader-follower dynamics in real historical time: a Markovian test of non-linear causality between sail and steam (co-)development Abstract: The most dramatic changes in modern shipping occurred with the application of new industrial-age technologies to oceanic transportation. In metal-hulled and engine-powered trading platforms, industrial-age steamers (especially tramps and liners) lead to marked increases in the average tonnage of a typical vessel crossing the seas of an expanding global economy. Some of the most important developments had to do with the substitution of traditional wind-driven ships by successive cohorts of vessels exploiting the comparative advantages of mechanization. In this paper, we deploy a set of both established and less-orthodox quantitative approaches to historical commercial shipping time-series so as to model the (complex) relationship between steam and sail performance. We find that, indeed, there is evidence of leader-follower dynamics during the later part of 19th century. This process of ‘creative destruction’ was non-linear. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1908-1918 Issue: 17 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2100868 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2100868 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:17:p:1908-1918 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102135_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Sunghun Lim Author-X-Name-First: Sunghun Author-X-Name-Last: Lim Author-Name: SongYi Paik Author-X-Name-First: SongYi Author-X-Name-Last: Paik Title: The impact of immigration enforcement on agricultural employment: evidence from the US E-Verify policy Abstract: Immigration enforcement often brings unintended consequences in domestic labor markets. Using the universe of administrative immigration data from 2005 to 2019, we uncover evidence that the E-Verify, an employment verification mandate, exacerbates the ongoing farm labor shortage in the US. Relying on the newly developed staggered difference-in-differences method, we find that the E-Verify policy restricts the employment of undocumented farmworkers. Our results indicate that domestic workers are not being replaced with declined undocumented workers wherein the inflow of the H-2A visa migrants still remains. Our finding advances a more nuanced picture of the US labor shortage driven by the E-Verify policy. This paper contributes to the rising policy debate on reforming nationwide E-Verify enactment and the H-2A visa program in the US. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2223-2259 Issue: 19 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102135 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102135 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:19:p:2223-2259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102126_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Shuimu Ju Author-X-Name-First: Shuimu Author-X-Name-Last: Ju Author-Name: Honglei Tang Author-X-Name-First: Honglei Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Competition and operating efficiency of manufacturing companies in E-commerce environment: empirical evidence from Chinese garment companies Abstract: E-commerce technology has been paid more and more attention by manufacturing companies. The wide application of e-commerce has enhanced the competitive advantage of companies, but it also intensified the competition among them. Competition has many impacts on companies, among which the impact on operating efficiency is particularly concerned. This paper provided in-depth analysis using a two-stage methodology to analyse the specific impact of competition on the operating efficiency of garment companies (with B2C mode) in e-commerce environment. Firstly, the game cross-efficiency (GCE) model and related indicators were used to evaluate the operating efficiency of selected companies from 2011 to 2018. The results showed that compared to the traditional cross-efficiency (TCE), the scores of GCE considering competition were improved. This indicated that although e-commerce technology intensified the competition among Chinese garment companies, competition improved their operating efficiency. Moreover, the GCE model theoretically remedied some shortcomings of traditional DEA models. Secondly, the panel data model was used to analyse the specific impact of competition on operating efficiency. The results indicated that competition significantly increased pure technical efficiency, but it was not beneficial to scale efficiency. Based on these findings, some policy implications were proposed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2113-2128 Issue: 19 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102126 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102126 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:19:p:2113-2128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102130_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yexin Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yexin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Bo Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Bin Liang Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Qi Cui Author-X-Name-First: Qi Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Author-Name: Shengling Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shengling Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Juan He Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: How does perceived environmental pollution affect migration interests: adapt or flee? Abstract: We utilized the China Genuine Progress Indicator Survey, a unique national survey data from China, to explore the effects of individuals’ perceived pollution on their migration interests. Results show a significantly positive effect of perceived environmental pollution on an individual’s migration interests. A higher level of perceived pollution increases the possibility of migration by 6.5%. Meanwhile, adaptive behaviours such as using facemasks, air cleaners, or water cleaners could not be alternatives to migration. In particular, well-educated, young, high-income groups, as well as those engaged in professional and technical work, are more affected by perceptions about environmental pollution. They are likely to show higher levels of perceived pollution, which could possibly lead to the brain drain effect. Moreover, people’s environmental attitudes have moderating effects on the migration interests triggered by pollution. Our focus on potential population outflow can bear new implications for the formulation of forward-looking environmental policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2146-2166 Issue: 19 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102130 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102130 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:19:p:2146-2166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102128_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Haifang Xiong Author-X-Name-First: Haifang Author-X-Name-Last: Xiong Author-Name: Tianming Liu Author-X-Name-First: Tianming Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Zhiqiang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhiqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Financial effect of long-term policy equity injection: evidence from special construction funds in China Abstract: Chinese two policy banks implemented long-term equity injections for some listed companies through special construction funds from 2015 to 2016. We use the PSM-DID method to examine the effect of this equity injection on corporate financing decisions. We find that the equity injection has the financial effect of broadening corporate financing channels and optimizing debt structure, which raises the speed of capital structure adjustment and encourages corporate investment. Financing cost, financing channel, and corporate governance mechanisms can explain the financing effect of equity injection policy, showing that the signal channel plays a vital role in the equity injection policy. Companies with weak financing capabilities, such as private, small scale, weak profitability, central and western region companies, benefit more from the equity injection policy. Corporate governance capabilities significantly affect policy effectiveness. Our conclusions are robust after satisfying the assumptions and other factors that may interfere with the empirical results. We confirm the role of equity injection in reducing corporate financing costs, stabilizing investment, and encouraging long-term, high-quality development of corporations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2129-2145 Issue: 19 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102128 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102128 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:19:p:2129-2145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102134_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chen Liang Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Shuang-Jin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shuang-Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Maggie Foley Author-X-Name-First: Maggie Author-X-Name-Last: Foley Author-Name: Guo-Hua Ma Author-X-Name-First: Guo-Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: The path selection on improving the quality of environmental information disclosure – configuration analysis based on fsQCA Abstract: The environmental information disclosure system is regarded as an important tool to supervise and manage the environmental behavior of public companies in China. The corporate environmental governance mechanism could be utilized to improve the quality of corporate environmental information disclosure. Based on the 248 public firms in the chemical industry in China, this paper uses the NCA and fsQCA approach to study the joint roles of environmental regulations and other internal and external factors on the quality of environmental information disclosure. The results show that enterprises can strengthen environmental information disclosure through the combinations of multiple factors, rather than focusing on a single factor. The government should establish an effective environmental management system to strengthen environmental supervision and enhance environment enforcement on public companies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2207-2222 Issue: 19 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102134 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102134 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:19:p:2207-2222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102131_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hyunchul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Hyunchul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jungwon Yeo Author-X-Name-First: Jungwon Author-X-Name-Last: Yeo Title: The effect of product variety in multiproduct retail pricing: the case of supermarkets Abstract: The search literature offers several explanations as to how a multiproduct retailer’s offering of a larger variety may affect consumers’ search behaviour and hence prices. Among them are (1) higher sales to be generated when lower prices discourage consumers’ further search; and (2) more pricing power due to improved consumer expectations about consumer-product match valuations. The former concerns independent categories and derives a negative relationship while the latter concerns substitutes within categories and derives a positive relationship. To examine the effect of a retailer’s variety offerings on the price levels using scanner data from the supermarket industry, we devise metrics of assortment width and depth, where the former measures variety in category (more independent) offerings and the latter, variety in brand (more substitutable) offerings within categories. We find that the effect of an additional offering to each dimension of assortment decreases in the other dimension, leading the effect of assortment width to be negative while the effect of the depth to be positive for the majority of the stores used in our analysis—a result that reconciles the theories that purport to draw opposite conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2167-2188 Issue: 19 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102131 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102131 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:19:p:2167-2188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102133_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Senlin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Senlin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zibin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zibin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yukun Sun Author-X-Name-First: Yukun Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Xiang Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Does urbanization intensify land finance? Evidence from the county-to-district policy in China Abstract: Land finance is one of the economic phenomena in the process of urbanization in China. Studying the impact of urbanization on land finance may help us to better formulate urbanization policies, especially for developing countries. We use the microdata of urban land transactions in China from 2005 to 2016 and adopt a differences-in-differences method based on the county-to-district policy to investigate the impact of urbanization on land finance. We find that the urbanization reform has significantly increased the local government’s reliance on land finance. We also find that the policy has a larger impact on land finance for undeveloped cities. Land finance provides a critical source of funds for the urbanization led by local governments, but with the further promotion of urbanization, the reliance on land finance by local governments will show a gradual downward trend. The mechanism test finds that urbanization promotes land finance dependence by increasing the transfer revenue and areas of existing construction land and infrastructure construction investment. The study of the impact of China’s urbanization on land finance can serve as a reference for other developing countries’ urbanization, and can further provide practical guidance for the promotion of China’s new-type urbanization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2189-2206 Issue: 19 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102133 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102133 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:19:p:2189-2206 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2188169_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ting Yang Author-X-Name-First: Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Chengke Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Chengke Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: High-speed railway and shadow banking: evidence from finance leases Abstract: This paper empirically investigates the effect of improved transportation infrastructure on finance leases, a representative form of China’s shadow banking sector, using a sample of Chinese listed companies. We find robust evidence that there is a significant decline in firms’ finance leases after the opening of the high-speed railway (HSR). Furthermore, HSR brings more favourable contract terms of leasing, including larger financing size, longer maturity, and lower cost. The heterogeneity analysis shows that HSR mainly reduces the costly nonbank-affiliated leases, and finance leases are reduced primarily in state-owned enterprises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2596-2606 Issue: 22 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2188169 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2188169 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:22:p:2596-2606 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2103505_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ly Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Ly Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Andrew Schmitz Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Schmitz Title: The welfare impacts of Covid-19 on the U.S. salmon sector Abstract: This research estimates the effects of COVID-19 on the U.S. supply and demand for salmon over two distinct periods. The first period reflects the first year (2020) since the COVID-19 outbreak, and the second period covers the outbreak’s second year (2021). The effects of COVID-19 on salmon prices, domestic production, and imports are analysed through graphics, elasticities, and spatial welfare economics derived from the equilibrium displacement model of the U.S. salmon market. In the first year, COVID-19 caused a reduction in domestic demand. As a result, U.S. salmon producers and consumers lost $302 million. Consumer loss accounts for 87% of this value. In 2021, however, domestic consumption recovered, with a positive effect of $447 million on consumers, outweighing the negative impact from 2020. Together, the domestic producers and consumers gained approximately $512 million. The net market gain (a combination of the first- and second-year effects) was $210 million. These results are subject to the magnitudes of change in demand and supply due to COVID-19 and transportation costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2579-2595 Issue: 22 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2103505 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2103505 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:22:p:2579-2595 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2103084_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Author-Name: Ayesha Sayed Author-X-Name-First: Ayesha Author-X-Name-Last: Sayed Author-Name: Mariya Gubareva Author-X-Name-First: Mariya Author-X-Name-Last: Gubareva Author-Name: Xuan Vinh Vo Author-X-Name-First: Xuan Vinh Author-X-Name-Last: Vo Title: Influence of unconventional monetary policy on agricultural commodities futures: network connectedness and dynamic spillovers of returns and volatility Abstract: Our research examines connectedness landscape and the dynamic spillovers of volatility and returns in the network comprising eleven agricultural commodities and US shadow short rate in a quality of inflation indicator, observed in monetary policymaking. We use daily data from November 2000 to May 2021. We document monetary policy as a net transmitter of spillover for both return and volatility of agricultural commodities. We find significant volatility connectedness among agricultural commodities. The connectedness is shown to be of a time-varying nature, exhibiting considerable increases during periods of market turmoil. The results of this paper provide relevant insights into the interrelations of US monetary policy and agricultural commodity prices, being, hence, potentially useful for commodity investors, brokers and dealers, as well as for market regulators designing policy solutions for financial stability enhancements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2521-2535 Issue: 22 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2103084 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2103084 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:22:p:2521-2535 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2103504_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Rati Ram Author-X-Name-First: Rati Author-X-Name-Last: Ram Title: Prospects for attaining the multidimensional poverty target of SDG 1.2: evidence from the most recent multiyear harmonized data for 75 developing countries Abstract: This paper uses recent multiyear harmonized data on multidimensional poverty for 75 developing countries to judge prospects for attaining SDG Target 1.2 of reducing multidimensional poverty by one-half. Exponential rate of decline in multidimensional poverty headcount is calculated and extrapolated to the SDG period 2015–2030 to see whether the rate of decline would lower multidimensional poverty headcount by 50% over the 15-year period. There are 43 countries in which the observed rate of decline is large enough to reduce the headcount by half in 15 years. These countries had a total population of 3.9 billion and multidimensional poverty headcount of 580.7 million. There are 24 countries, with multidimensional poverty headcount of 549.9 million, where rate of reduction is not large enough to lower MDP headcount by one-half in 15 years. There are 8 countries that may or may not make the target. The international community needs to focus on the 24 countries that are likely to miss the target even in the pre-COVID scenario studied in this research. When post-COVID data become available in a few years, it should be possible to reassess the situation and to judge the effect of COVID on prospects for reaching the SDG Target 1.2. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2567-2578 Issue: 22 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2103504 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2103504 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:22:p:2567-2578 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2103083_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Svetlana Drljača Kanazir Author-X-Name-First: Svetlana Drljača Author-X-Name-Last: Kanazir Title: Credit risk cyclicality in Serbian banking sector Abstract: In literature there are different research results regarding the impact of borrower’s size on cyclicality of credit risk. The aim of this research is to determine whether the credit risk cyclicality increases with the size of the borrower, using data from Serbian banking sector. The research presented herein is one of the first for developing countries with this subject and where credit risk was approximated by the default rate. Empirical analysis of the time series of loan default rates, as dependent variable, and macroeconomic factors, as explanatory variable, is based on the panel error correction model. Panel units are risk segments. Amount of annual revenue is key criteria for granulation borrowers within key four risk segments (retail, micro, SME and large corporate) that corresponds to its size. In multi-factor model, research results confirm that there is long term relationship between macroeconomic factors and loan default rate in Serbian banking sector in all risk segments. However, in model where GDP is explanatory variable, in the segment of small- and medium-sized enterprises, the adjustment coefficient is not statistically significant. It can be inferred that the credit risk of the SMEs segment is the most resistant to changes in the business cycle phases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2505-2520 Issue: 22 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2103083 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2103083 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:22:p:2505-2520 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2103503_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Danyan Wen Author-X-Name-First: Danyan Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Mengxi He Author-X-Name-First: Mengxi Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Yudong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yudong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yaojie Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yaojie Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Forecasting stock market realized volatility: the role of global terrorist attacks Abstract: In this study, we provide the predictive linkage between global terrorist attacks and stock market volatility. We propose the predictive model by extending the prevailing heterogeneous autoregressive model for realized volatility (HAR-RV) with global terrorism and denote it as HAR-RV-GT. According to the Diebold – Mariano test and the model confidence set, we consistently find the superior forecasting performance delivered by the HAR-RV-GT model. For comprehensive empirical results, we extend the key finding to various settings including the consideration of popular jump and leverage effects, the use of more types of forecasting models, and the inclusion of long-horizon global terrorist attacks as well as the domestic terrorist attacks in the US. Additionally, the substantial economic gains based on a mean-variance investor confirm the valuable forecasting role of terrorist attacks. Our results are robust to a wide range of checks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2551-2566 Issue: 22 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2103503 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2103503 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:22:p:2551-2566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2103502_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Heidi Kaila Author-X-Name-First: Heidi Author-X-Name-Last: Kaila Title: Ethnic digital divide? Evidence on mobile phone adoption Abstract: Between 2006 and 2014, Vietnam experienced a true information technology revolution. In rural areas, mobile phone ownership increased from 18% to 89%. I use a panel dataset from this period to study the ‘digital divide’ between the ethnic majority group and ethnic minorities. I find that underprivileged ethnic minorities are lag behind in phone adoption. These differences are fully explained by standard factors of demand and by education level, that is, I do not find unobservable barriers in adoption. Analysis using spatial data on digital mobile network coverage reveals that infrastructure is also not a barrier to adoption, even in remote regions of Vietnam. Results are robust to alternative model specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2536-2550 Issue: 22 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2103502 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2103502 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:22:p:2536-2550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2101610_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mai-Shou Li Author-X-Name-First: Mai-Shou Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xing Gao Author-X-Name-First: Xing Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Title: Difference in returns to schooling between formal and informal employment in China Abstract: Based on the 2015 China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS), the difference in returns to schooling between formal and informal employment was empirically analysed using the IV-Heckman model. It is found in the research that there are significant differences in the average income and level of educational human capital between formal and informal employment, and that returns to schooling of formal employment is much higher than that of informal employment. In addition, the propensity score matching (PSM) method was used to study the returns to schooling of high school and university of the two employment groups. The results indicate that returns to schooling of high school and university of the formal employment are significantly higher than those of the informal employment group, while the difference in returns to schooling of university is greater than that of high school. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2098-2111 Issue: 18 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2101610 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2101610 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:18:p:2098-2111 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2100873_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xiaolin Sun Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolin Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Jun Ma Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Haifeng Guo Author-X-Name-First: Haifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Hailong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hailong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The dynamic impacts of skewness on the risk–return relationship in the dry bulk spot freight rates and FFAs Abstract: This paper examines the dynamic impacts of skewness on the risk–return relationship among dry bulk spot freight rates and the corresponding forward freight agreements (FFA) markets. We use swift Skewed Generalized T distribution under the GARCH-in-mean (GARCH-M) model to capture the properties of time-varying skewness, pure risk, and volatility spillovers among the dry bulk vessels. Our findings clarify that skewness price, as an endogenous variable, which is opposite to the pure risk price, illustrates the conflicting nexus of risk and return in theory and empirical study. Additionally, the mutual spillover effects among all the examined markets reveal that to what extent the returns represent compensation for risk, and to what extent the interaction of dry bulk spot and its FFAs affects the pricing. Our results provide market participants understanding the real diversity of risk–return relationships of shipping markets regarding risk aversion and investments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1991-2004 Issue: 18 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2100873 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2100873 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:18:p:1991-2004 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2101608_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Alex Backwell Author-X-Name-First: Alex Author-X-Name-Last: Backwell Author-Name: Ralph Rudd Author-X-Name-First: Ralph Author-X-Name-Last: Rudd Title: Throwing away a billion yuan, real or rand: the cost of sub-optimal hedging in high interest-rate environments Abstract: Interest-rate volatility is known to be positively level dependent, i.e. to correlate positively with interest-rate levels. However, recent research has provided compelling evidence that as interest rates rise, the amount of level dependence decreases. We advance this line of research by investigating the amount of volatility level dependence in an emerging market with high interest rates, and find no evidence for the positive level dependence implied by the popular log-normal forward-LIBOR market model. This has important consequences for the hedging of interest-rate derivatives: when hedging caps, using the log-normal market model can be worse than not hedging at all and it is significantly outperformed by its normally distributed counterpart, which exhibits no level dependence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2060-2069 Issue: 18 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2101608 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2101608 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:18:p:2060-2069 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2101607_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mattia Guerini Author-X-Name-First: Mattia Author-X-Name-Last: Guerini Author-Name: Duc Thi Luu Author-X-Name-First: Duc Thi Author-X-Name-Last: Luu Author-Name: Mauro Napoletano Author-X-Name-First: Mauro Author-X-Name-Last: Napoletano Title: Synchronization patterns in the European Union Abstract: In this paper, we quantify business cycles synchronization in the European Union by combining Principal Component Analysis (PCA) with a Random Matrix Theory (RMT) model. We employ a balanced panel of industrial production indexes over the 2000–2017 period and we track the evolution of the European synchronization, as measured by the largest and statistically significant principal component. Using the information contained in the eigenvector associated to it, we then identify the dynamics of synchronization clusters. Our results suggest that the degree of synchronization has increased since the introduction of the common currency and until the Great Recession, but decreased thereafter. In addition, our results point to the evolution of synchronization clusters over the past decades. Whereas western and eastern countries had divergent business cycles at the beginning of the 21st century, they have become more synchronized over the analysed period. However, since the dawn of the European sovereign debt crisis, the synchronization divide has become more apparent between northern and southern economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2038-2059 Issue: 18 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2101607 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2101607 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:18:p:2038-2059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2101606_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Dong-Hyeon Kim Author-X-Name-First: Dong-Hyeon Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Ting-Cih Chen Author-X-Name-First: Ting-Cih Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shu-Chin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Shu-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Title: Bank competition and unemployment Abstract: Much effort has been devoted to exploring the effect of bank competition on economic growth and stability. This paper shifts the focus towards the unemployment outcome. Using the Boone and Lerner indicators as well as bank concentration ratios, it finds, in a panel of developing and developed countries, that unemployment declines with bank competition up to a certain level of bank competition, above which it rises with bank competition. The impact seems to operate through investment and self-employment. The data thus suggest that there exists an optimal bank competition level that minimizes unemployment and too less and too much competition in a banking sector is detrimental to unemployment as it impedes capital accumulation and entrepreneurship development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2024-2037 Issue: 18 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2101606 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2101606 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:18:p:2024-2037 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2101605_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Linjie Wang Author-X-Name-First: Linjie Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jean-Paul Chavas Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Chavas Author-Name: Jian Li Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The dynamic impacts of disease outbreak on vertical and spatial markets: the case of African Swine Fever in China Abstract: This paper investigates the dynamic effects of a disease outbreak on vertical and spatial markets, with an application to the African Swine Fever (ASF) and its impact on Chinese hog markets. Relying on a flexible representation of vertical and spatial price dynamics, we investigate how ASF affected the pork cycle and price transmission across markets. We find that the ASF outbreak had larger long-term effects on spatial prices than on vertical prices, likely reflecting inter-regional trade bans imposed by the government. Our analysis indicates that ASF contributed to shortening the period of the pork cycle. We also provide evidence that the ASF outbreak affected cointegration relations across markets, especially among regional markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2005-2023 Issue: 18 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2101605 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2101605 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:18:p:2005-2023 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2101609_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Teng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Teng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Yimeng Du Author-X-Name-First: Yimeng Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Tao Xu Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Wang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Cross-regional effects of renewable power generation on the electricity market: an empirical study on Japan's electricity spot market Abstract: We examined the indirect effects of renewable power generated in Tohoku on the electricity spot market in Tokyo, through the channel of cross-regional interconnection. By adopting a two-step regression analysis framework, we investigated how the renewable power generated in Tohoku affects Tokyo’s spot price and market volatility. Our results indicate that the electricity spot market is affected not only by within-regional renewable power generation but also by cross-regional transmitted renewable power generation through interconnection. The relatively higher price reduction effect of transmitted power can be attributed to higher price elasticity under a tight supply-demand balance. Our results confirm the cross-regional price stabilization effect of renewable power generation in Tohoku. We attribute the negative effect on realized volatility of Tokyo to the relatively stabler renewable electricity supply from Tohoku. Furthermore, we find that renewable power producers – especially solar power producers – are not incentivized by the fixed-price feed-in tariff to meet electricity demand during peak hours. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2070-2097 Issue: 18 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2101609 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2101609 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:18:p:2070-2097 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2187036_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Senhua Huang Author-X-Name-First: Senhua Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Feng Han Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Han Title: Can the agglomeration of producer services boost China’s ‘going out’? Abstract: As China has been encouraging enterprises to ‘go global’ and actively promoting the optimization of industrial structure, it is important to discuss the impact of its outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) considering producer service industry agglomeration. For analysing the mechanism by which the agglomeration of producer services affects China’s OFDI, this study uses inter-provincial panel data from 2004 to 2019 and a spatial Durbin model to empirically test the impact of producer service agglomeration on OFDI. We show that the agglomeration of producer services significantly promotes OFDI in a particular region through economies of scale and enterprise productivity improvement. And it also significantly promotes OFDI in its neighbouring regions. The effect of producer service agglomeration on OFDI shows regional heterogeneity. Namely, the agglomeration of producer services in the eastern region promotes the OFDI in this region and it has not had a significant impact on the OFDI in neighbouring regions. Further, the agglomeration of producer services in the central and western regions does not have a significant effect on their OFDI and that of neighbouring regions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2709-2724 Issue: 23 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2187036 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2187036 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:23:p:2709-2724 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2104801_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Author-Name: Mukhriz Izraf Azman Aziz Author-X-Name-First: Mukhriz Izraf Azman Author-X-Name-Last: Aziz Author-Name: Adam Zaremba Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Zaremba Author-Name: Dang Khoa Tran Author-X-Name-First: Dang Khoa Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: Modelling dynamic connectedness between oil price shocks and exchange rates in ASEAN+3 economies Abstract: This study analyses the impact of the oil price shocks (demand, supply, and risk) on the exchange rates of a unique group of developed and emerging economies that comprise the ASEAN +3 countries. We combine a novel approach to decomposing the oil price shocks at a higher (daily) frequency with the dynamic network connected approach to analyse the connectedness of the oil shocks and exchange rates from January 2006 to July 2020, enabling us to cover various phases of the business cycle in these economies. Our results show that demand and risk shocks are the main contributors to the connectedness. We document that the Singapore dollar and the Malaysian Ringgit are the main transmitters of shocks in the ASEAN +3 group, whereas the role of the Chinese yuan and the Japanese yen is rather limited despite the bigger size of these two economies. Our results have important policy implications for investors, regulators, and policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2676-2693 Issue: 23 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2104801 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2104801 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:23:p:2676-2693 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2103509_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Qilong Cao Author-X-Name-First: Qilong Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Jinglei Li Author-X-Name-First: Jinglei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Hongru Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hongru Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Asymmetric effects of bank market power on liquid creation: a panel quantile regression approach Abstract: This study explores the relationship between market power and bank liquidity creation using panel quantile regression methods. Based on annual data from 187 banks between 2007 and 2019, we reveal that the effect of market power on bank liquidity creation varies in different parts of the liquidity creation distribution. Quantile regression results indicate no statistically significant relationship between market power and low-liquidity creation, and the relationship is significantly positive for middle-liquidity creation. However, there is a significant negative association between market power and high-liquidity creation. Multiple robustness analyses confirm our results. Our research contributes to the literature by providing empirical evidence that the market power effect is not homogeneous and presenting an interpretation of the debate in prior studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2660-2675 Issue: 23 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2103509 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2103509 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:23:p:2660-2675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2103507_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Alessandro Cusimano Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Cusimano Author-Name: Chiara Paola Donegani Author-X-Name-First: Chiara Paola Author-X-Name-Last: Donegani Author-Name: Ian Jackson Author-X-Name-First: Ian Author-X-Name-Last: Jackson Author-Name: Stephen McKay Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: McKay Title: The rationality of rainy day savers: objective and subjective determinants of individual savings in Britain Abstract: Using the largest and richest data on savings in Great Britain, six waves of the Wealth and Assets Survey from the Office for National Statistics, we compare standard life cycle models of saving with models using more ‘subjective’ measures, and the added dimension of longitudinal data. Whilst the life cycle model provides a benchmark, regular criticisms remain, particularly people’s propensity to continue saving at older ages. Data on attitudes attenuate that issue, and panel data largely eliminate it. Our results confirm empirically, for Great Britain, the importance of some of the objective determinants of savings included in life cycle theory. When we look at more subjective ones, we show that other factors, including self-rated health and financial pressure, provide an enhanced direct explanation of the propensity to save. Individuals who regard themselves as ‘rainy day savers’ tended to save more, irrespective of their demographic or financial circumstances. Results are robust to different specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2624-2644 Issue: 23 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2103507 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2103507 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:23:p:2624-2644 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2103506_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yun Xiang Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Xiang Author-Name: Yonghong Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Yonghong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Shijie Deng Author-X-Name-First: Shijie Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Title: Pairs trading with fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck spread model Abstract: This paper proposes to model the spreads associated with financial asset prices by fractional Ornstein – Uhlenbeck (fOU) processes and constructs a pairs trading strategy based on the fOU spread model. It is shown that the Hurst parameter of the fOU process contains substantial information about the anti-persistence, or mean-reversion, characteristic of the spread over time. Consequently, the Hurst parameter is a key measure of mean-reversion for selecting the preferred candidates to trade. Adaptive methods for setting the optimal trading thresholds are proposed as well. The enhanced performance of the proposed trading model is demonstrated by comparison with existing models through simulation studies as well as an empirical analysis using high-frequency Chinese equity market data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2607-2623 Issue: 23 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2103506 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2103506 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:23:p:2607-2623 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2104802_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hans Seerar Westerberg Author-X-Name-First: Hans Seerar Author-X-Name-Last: Westerberg Title: Are payroll tax cuts absorbed by insiders? Evidence from the Swedish retail industry Abstract: Payroll tax cuts are considered inefficient for increasing employment among outsiders because insiders will use their power to bargain for higher wages at the expense of outsiders’ possibility of becoming employed. The extent to which insiders or outsiders reap the rewards of payroll tax cuts is a matter of debate, and previous literature has largely focused on the employment effects of outsiders. Using wage statistics of employees in the Swedish retail sector, we investigate the effects of a youth payroll tax cut in 2007 on insiders’ wage earnings and the number of hours worked. In line with earlier studies, the results show that the payroll tax cut increased insiders’ total wage earnings. However, only 21% of the increase in wage earnings resulted from higher bargained wages. 57% of the wage increase corresponds to a higher intensive margin of employment, and the rest was attributed to the number of hours worked by insiders with a higher hourly wage rate. Thus, there is little to suggest that insiders can absorb large amounts of payroll tax cuts in the form of higher bargained wages, even when a small number of workers hold the most bargaining power. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2694-2708 Issue: 23 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2104802 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2104802 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:23:p:2694-2708 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2103508_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hua-Sheng Song Author-X-Name-First: Hua-Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Xue-Qian Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Xue-Qian Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Multi-product exporters in US–China trade war Abstract: This study explores empirically how Chinese multi-product firms adjust their exports in response to the U.S. tariff escalations during the US–China trade war, using firm-product-level customs trade data from China. We find strong evidence for a new phenomenon we call the within-firm cross-product chilling effect, whereby an additional tariff targeting some of the firm’s products sold in the destination market is associated with reduced sales of its other untargeted products in that market. The comparison between firm-product-level and product-level analysis suggests that ignoring the within-firm chilling effect would result in a severe underestimation of the tariff effects. Moreover, the chilling effect is more prominent for products that are more important for a firm’s overall sales to the U.S. and that are highly reliant on the U.S. market. We also observe a ‘complete tariff pass-through’ phenomenon at firm-product level, which complements the product-level evidence in previous related studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2645-2659 Issue: 23 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2103508 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2103508 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:23:p:2645-2659 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102569_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chia-Cheng Ho Author-X-Name-First: Chia-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Pei-Hsuan Lee Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Hsuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Pei-Su Tsai Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Su Author-X-Name-Last: Tsai Title: Competing hypotheses on the Samuelson effect in futures markets Abstract: Using data of 12 commodity futures traded on three major futures exchanges in U.S., we find that about 55% of the agricultural futures contracts exhibit the Samuelson effect, about 30% for energy futures contracts, but only about 20% for metal and financial futures contracts. The proposed approach also enables us to take the unprecedented step of directly comparing explanatory power of the state variable hypothesis and the mean reversion hypothesis over the Samuelson effect. The result overall suggests that the mean reversion hypothesis can better explain the Samuelson effect. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2261-2272 Issue: 20 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102569 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:20:p:2261-2272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2186363_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kedi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Kedi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chen Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Directors’ and officers’ liability insurance and corporate misconduct: Evidence from China Abstract: This study examines whether directors’ and officers’ liability insurance (D&O insurance) plays a governance role in the Chinese capital market. We hypothesize and find that D&O insurance restrains corporate misconduct and that this phenomenon is much more significant in state-owned enterprises (SOEs) than in non-state-owned enterprises (non-SOEs). We think purchasing of D&O insurance can import supervisors to mitigate agency costs caused by owner absence. When agency costs are high, SOEs with D&O insurance experience less corporate misconduct. Our study also finds that when the agency problem caused by owner absence is more serious in SOEs, the role of D&O insurance in corporate governance becomes increasingly important. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2349-2365 Issue: 20 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2186363 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2186363 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:20:p:2349-2365 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102571_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Didier Laussel Author-X-Name-First: Didier Author-X-Name-Last: Laussel Title: Do firms always benefit from the presence of active customers? Abstract: We study price personalization in a two period duopoly with horizontally differentiated products. In the second period, a firm has collected detailed information on its old customers, using it to engage in price personalization. Customers, when returning to buy, may choose to incur a cost in order to access the standard offer of their previous provider in addition to its personalized offer and the standard offer of its rival. The analysis confirms that firms’ second period profits are boosted when consumers are active in this sense (being equal to perfect price discrimination ones when initial market hares do not differ too much) but it reveals that this advantage is dissipated and possibly over-dissipated by the resulting fierce first-period competition for the market. Two-period aggregate profits are smaller with active customers provided the consumers are naive and/or the firms patient enough. Consumers’ access to both personalized and standard firms’ offers which benefit the oligopolists in mature markets may plausibly hurt them in emergent ones. The equilibrium is shown not to depend on the level of the cost as long as it is below some critical value. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2292-2307 Issue: 20 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102571 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102571 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:20:p:2292-2307 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102572_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Arti Omar Author-X-Name-First: Arti Author-X-Name-Last: Omar Author-Name: P. Krishna Prasanna Author-X-Name-First: P. Krishna Author-X-Name-Last: Prasanna Title: In search of default risk predictors in emerging Asia Abstract: The study analyses the potential idiosyncratic factors and their pull and push effects on firm-level default risk using 540 listed and traded Asian firms during the period of 2010–2019. The lucrative returns and investment opportunities in Asian markets invites attention for potential research in this domain. Default risk is derived from the Merton model after adjusting for emerging market vulnerabilities. Using fixed-effect panel data regression modelling, we found that higher solvency and operating efficiency are the key pull factors that keep the firms away from default. In the long run, expansion potential and sustainability are key factors that pull the firms out of default. Conversely, a higher level of expansion potential, idiosyncratic volatility and size-effects push low-grade firms towards default despite having a higher level of operating efficiency. We conclude that low-grade firms must therefore keep a close eye on idiosyncratic factors in order to avoid default. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2308-2322 Issue: 20 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102572 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102572 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:20:p:2308-2322 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102570_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xinyu Wu Author-X-Name-First: Xinyu Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Michelle Xia Author-X-Name-First: Michelle Author-X-Name-Last: Xia Author-Name: Xindan Li Author-X-Name-First: Xindan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Modelling and forecasting volatility with high-frequency and VIX information: a component realized EGARCH model with VIX Abstract: This paper studies the joint use of high-frequency and VIX information to model and forecast volatility. Our framework relies on an extension of the realized EGARCH (REGARCH) model, namely the component REGARCH model with VIX (hereafter REGARCH(C)-VIX). The REGARCH(C)-VIX model facilitates exploitation of the high-frequency and VIX information through the inclusion of realized measure and VIX for modelling and forecasting volatility. Moreover, the model features a component volatility structure, which has the ability to capture the long memory volatility. An empirical investigation with the S&P 500 index shows that the REGARCH(C)-VIX model outperforms a variety of competing models in both empirical fit and out-of-sample volatility forecasting. Our findings provide strong evidence for including the high-frequency and VIX information as well as the component volatility structure to model and forecast volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2273-2291 Issue: 20 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102570 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:20:p:2273-2291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102574_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Joachim Schleich Author-X-Name-First: Joachim Author-X-Name-Last: Schleich Author-Name: Johannes Schuler Author-X-Name-First: Johannes Author-X-Name-Last: Schuler Author-Name: Matthias Pfaff Author-X-Name-First: Matthias Author-X-Name-Last: Pfaff Author-Name: Regine Frank Author-X-Name-First: Regine Author-X-Name-Last: Frank Title: Do green electricity tariffs increase household electricity consumption? Abstract: In this paper we investigate whether households change electricity consumption after they switch to a green electricity tariff. Using metered data of household electricity consumption from a large provider of green electricity in Germany, our quasi-experimental analysis finds that household switching to a green tariff leads to a non-monetary renewable rebound effect of around 7.7%. Further, our findings imply that this renewable rebound effect is persistent over at least four years. These findings are observationally consistent with moral licencing effects which induce households to permanently change their habitual behaviours and/or to acquire additional electricity-consuming technologies. Thus, failure to account for a renewable rebound in policy evaluation may lead to systematically underestimate the costs of achieving energy and climate targets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2337-2348 Issue: 20 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102574 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102574 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:20:p:2337-2348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102573_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: EnLu Jiang Author-X-Name-First: EnLu Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: SungMan Yoon Author-X-Name-First: SungMan Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Author-Name: JungHwa Suh Author-X-Name-First: JungHwa Author-X-Name-Last: Suh Title: Corporate Tax Rate Cut on the Cost Behavior of High−tech Companies: The Case of China Abstract: This study aims to analyse whether there is a cost stickiness phenomenon in which Chinese companies recognize costs early in the years immediately preceding the tax rate cut (hereinafter TRC) in order to minimize tax burden, and to investigate whether high-tech companies with large TRCs have a higher level than general companies. The analysis results can be summarized as follows: First, there is a phenomenon of cost stickiness in Chinese companies in the year immediately before the TRC. Second, before the 2008 TRC in China, the level of cost stickiness of high-tech companies was not statistically higher than that of general companies. The results of this study provide the following implications that Chinese companies use cost as an incentive to minimize their tax burden. Companies can use appropriate surplus resources as a buffer against environmental changes and actively utilize inefficient resource allocation to promote innovative R&D and improve corporate performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2323-2336 Issue: 20 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102573 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102573 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:20:p:2323-2336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2103082_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Doha Kim Author-X-Name-First: Doha Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Jesun Yeon Author-X-Name-First: Jesun Author-X-Name-Last: Yeon Author-Name: Joo Hee Kim Author-X-Name-First: Joo Hee Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Minwoo Kim Author-X-Name-First: Minwoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Yeosol Song Author-X-Name-First: Yeosol Author-X-Name-Last: Song Author-Name: Daeho Lee Author-X-Name-First: Daeho Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Different effects of working hour reduction on labor-intensive and knowledge-intensive industries in the era of artificial intelligence: a meta-frontier approach Abstract: Working hours have been discussed for over 150 years from a variety of perspectives such as worker health, corporate productivity, and job market stability. Despite extensive research in working hour reduction, there is limited evidence on the effect of hours worked by industry characteristics. This study examined the relationship between technical efficiency and working hours. For this, 514 Korean companies were divided into labour-intensive and knowledge-intensive industries, and changes in technical efficiency in each industry were investigated after implementing a working hour reduction policy. The efficiency of the labour-intensive industry improved after a reduction of working hours, whereas that of the knowledge-intensive industry decreased. These results imply that working hours should vary by industry. This study empirically illustrates the effect of reducing working hours and suggests practical guidelines for each country and company to increase technical efficiency by industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2493-2504 Issue: 21 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2103082 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2103082 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:21:p:2493-2504 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2103081_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Vasilios Kanellopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Vasilios Author-X-Name-Last: Kanellopoulos Title: The effect of localized social capital on new firm formation at the regional level: a spatial lag explanatory (SLX) application Abstract: This study examines the effects of localized social capital on new firm formation rates in Greek regions. It uses a path-dependent conceptual framework and spatial econometric techniques to further explain the importance of localized social capital effects on new firm formation rates at the regional level. The IV/2SLS time effects econometric results suggest that the basic components of social capital related to social networks, and social norms have positive and significant effects on new firm formation in a regional context. The impact of social trust is positive and insignificant while, in some cases, it turns to positive and significant. By contrast, the effect of institutional trust is always negative and significant. In addition, the application of a spatial lag explanatory model (SLX) reveals that the basic components of social capital, such as social networks, social trust, and social norms that go to three and five more neighbouring regions have an insignificant influence on new firm formation rates at the regional level. Therefore, the positive social capital effects on new firm formation in a regional context produced in this study appear to be localized remaining within regions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2477-2492 Issue: 21 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2103081 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2103081 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:21:p:2477-2492 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2103079_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tony Cavoli Author-X-Name-First: Tony Author-X-Name-Last: Cavoli Author-Name: Sasidaran Gopalan Author-X-Name-First: Sasidaran Author-X-Name-Last: Gopalan Author-Name: Ramkishen S. Rajan Author-X-Name-First: Ramkishen S. Author-X-Name-Last: Rajan Title: Is Exchange Rate Centred Monetary Policy Asymmetric? Empirical Evidence from Singapore Abstract: The effectiveness of an exchange rate based monetary policy rule for Singapore given the highly open nature of the economy has been empirically well documented in the literature. However, what is somewhat less recognized is that monetary policy in Singapore has historically been conducted in an asymmetric manner where there is willingness to allow for greater appreciation of the nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) during boom periods to curb inflation but not to implement a policy of depreciation during a downturn, i.e. a strong Singapore dollar (SSD) policy. We contribute to the literature by being one of the first to test the empirical validity of a SSD policy. We do so by estimating a Taylor style monetary policy rule (MPR) for Singapore with NEER as the main instrument of policy using monthly data for 2000 to 2019. Our empirical findings suggest that Singapore’s MPR appears to react asymmetrically to inflation and output above a particular threshold but is predominantly concerned with inflation in the policy rule, offering evidence of a policy position consistent with SSD in that it allows for disproportionately higher NEER in boom periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2438-2454 Issue: 21 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2103079 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2103079 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:21:p:2438-2454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2103080_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Changyang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Changyang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Tian Yue Author-X-Name-First: Tian Author-X-Name-Last: Yue Author-Name: Yugang Yin Author-X-Name-First: Yugang Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Title: Does a firm’s geographic feature matter for stock returns? Evidence from the Chinese A-share market Abstract: This study reveals a new stock return predictability that relates to firms’ geographic features in the Chinese A-share market. Using a text-based measure of the degree of localness to capture the economic ties between firms and their provinces, we find that low-localized firms are slow to incorporate local information into stock prices. Specifically, there is a significant lead-lag effect in stock returns between high- and low-localized firms in the same region, and a portfolio that exploits this pattern can generate a monthly alpha of about 1%. This effect cannot be explained by geographic or industry return momentum, investors’ inattention, and limits to arbitrage. We find that this return predictability is mainly driven by investors’ limited information-processing capacity, and the evidence of predictability is stronger among low-localized firms with highly complicated business structures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2455-2476 Issue: 21 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2103080 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2103080 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:21:p:2455-2476 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102576_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ana Gamarra Rondinel Author-X-Name-First: Ana Author-X-Name-Last: Gamarra Rondinel Author-Name: María Arrazola Author-X-Name-First: María Author-X-Name-Last: Arrazola Author-Name: José Félix Sanz-Sanz Author-X-Name-First: José Félix Author-X-Name-Last: Sanz-Sanz Title: The elasticity of taxable income of low-income earners: bunching evidence from Spain Abstract: This paper estimates the elasticity of taxable income (ETI) for Spain. Using the bunching approach and administrative tax data from 2008 to 2017, we find evidence of bunching at the first tax kink (ETI = 0.7) and missing mass around the second tax kink (ETI = 0.4). Even though we detect heterogeneity in responses depending on taxpayers’ personal and family circumstances, bunching and missing mass are mostly related to labour income. The main mechanism of response for bunching is associated with the use of certain deductions and allowances, while missing mass is driven by the phase-out region of a targeted deduction for labour income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2389-2412 Issue: 21 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102576 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102576 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:21:p:2389-2412 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102577_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Maoyong Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Maoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Zhenjun Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhenjun Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chen Ma Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Public governance and corporate innovation: evidence from a quasi-natural event in China Abstract: Using a unique quasi-natural event, i.e. gangdom and evil forces (hereafter, GEs) elimination in China, we investigate the relationship between the public governance proxied by GEs elimination and corporate innovation based on the data of Chinese listed firms from 2013 to 2021. The results show that the GEs elimination leads to a 0.39% increase in corporate innovation investment. Quantitatively, the increase is approximately equivalent to 4.42 million yuan for a firm of median innovation investment. Furthermore, we find that the GEs elimination increases corporate innovation through two possible channels: relieving financing constraints and intensifying market competition. In addition, we also reveal that the effects of GEs elimination on corporate innovation are stronger in firms located in a better marketization environment and a stronger Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) protection environment. Our main results pass a series of robustness tests and endogeneity issues. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2413-2437 Issue: 21 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102577 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102577 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:21:p:2413-2437 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2102575_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yahui Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yahui Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Zhe Peng Author-X-Name-First: Zhe Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Jai-Won Ryou Author-X-Name-First: Jai-Won Author-X-Name-Last: Ryou Title: What determines the long-term volatility of the offshore RMB exchange rate? Abstract: China has been promoting the internationalisation of the RMB for two decades. As a result, its offshore foreign exchange market has been substantially revitalised, despite that China’s capital market remains partially open. The movements of offshore exchange rates can provide crucial clues to understanding the offshore market structure and the effects of interventions by Chinese monetary authorities. Using the GARCH-MIDAS model, this paper examines how the degree of openness and economic fundamentals – both observed and unobserved – affect the long-term volatility of offshore exchange rates. We find that, first, trade openness attenuates the long-term volatility, while financial openness has no effect. Specifically, the use of bilateral currency swap agreements and the relaxation of capital control are associated with lower volatility, while stock market connect programs tend to increase the volatility. Second, observed fundamentals, including relative measures for growth, interest rate, and money supply, have significant negative effects on offshore volatility. Third, although economic policy uncertainty and market risk affect long-term volatility, liquidity does not appear to be a culprit of volatility. In terms of FX interventions, direct intervention decreases the volatility, while oral intervention increases volatility. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2367-2388 Issue: 21 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2102575 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2102575 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:21:p:2367-2388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2104803_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yu Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Weiliang Su Author-X-Name-First: Weiliang Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Does anti-poverty intervention strengthen mental resilience? Evidence from the COVID-19 shock on targeted poverty alleviation program in China Abstract: Resilience is beneficial for poor households to overcome the negative shocks and shake off the poverty trap completely in the long run. In this article we evaluate the impact of poverty alleviation intervention on mental resilience by exploiting the natural experiment of the COVID-19 shock. Using the survey data collected in early March 2020 from underdeveloped region in West China, we address the impact of targeted poverty alleviation program (TPAP) on confidence level of off-farm and total income recovery using the difference-in-difference method. We find that the program enhances mental resilience for the out of poverty households rather than the in poverty households, especially in terms of confidence level of off-farm income recovery. In addition, we also find that proactivity of employment takes account of the impact of TPAP on confidence level of off-farm income recovery. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2725-2739 Issue: 24 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2104803 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2104803 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:24:p:2725-2739 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2106031_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Cheolbeom Park Author-X-Name-First: Cheolbeom Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Optimal salary inequality for team performance: evidence from National Football League data Abstract: Using salary data for players in the National Football League, I examine empirically the relationship between salary inequality and team performance under dynamic panel regressions. Main findings are: 1) the relationship between salary inequality and team performance is robustly hump-shaped, 2) the optimal Gini index to maximize the number of wins in a regular season is approximately 0.71 from estimates with all players’ salary data and ranges between 0.52 and 0.56 with players on rosters. These results imply that neither perfect equality nor perfect inequality in salary distribution is beneficial to team performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2773-2787 Issue: 24 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2106031 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2106031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:24:p:2773-2787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2106033_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xueqing Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xueqing Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Kunpeng Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Kunpeng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yayun Ren Author-X-Name-First: Yayun Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Title: Does climate warming affect labour productivity in emerging economies?—Evidence from Chinese-listed firms Abstract: In this study, we match the weather data at the prefecture-level city level in China with the data of listed firms in China, and examine the impact of high-temperature weather on the labour productivity and firm response strategies. We find that high-temperature weather is negatively correlated with labour productivity. The impact is more pronounced in Non-SOEs, heat-sensitive industries, and in the southern region. The additional analysis showed that firms can alleviate the negative impact of high-temperature weather by increasing employee compensation, and carrying out digital transformation. High-temperature weather prompts firms to reduce the number of blue-collar occupations and increase the number of white-collar occupations. This study highlights the urgency of the impact of current climate warming on emerging economies from the perspective of employees, enriches the cross-study of labour and climate economics, and provides suggestions for firms to alleviate the negative impact of high-temperature weather and improve production efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2801-2814 Issue: 24 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2106033 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2106033 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:24:p:2801-2814 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2106032_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jithin P Author-X-Name-First: Jithin Author-X-Name-Last: P Author-Name: Sania Ashraf Author-X-Name-First: Sania Author-X-Name-Last: Ashraf Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Title: Does global value chain participation induce economic growth? Evidence from panel threshold regression Abstract: We investigate the threshold effects of GVC participation and its disaggregated level (forward and backward participation) on economic growth for 62 economies for the period 2000–2018. Our paper is one of the first to analyse the multiple regime effects of GVC participation on economic growth. We find that GVC participation positively impacts economic growth in a country with higher economic growth in both the aggregate and disaggregate analysis. Contemporaneously, it is negatively associated with economic growth in countries with lower economic growth. The coefficient value of forward participation for lower growing economies is higher in the first and second regime than the backward participation, which implies that forward participation has more deleterious effects on economic growth in the less developed and developing economies. The growth effects of forward and backward participation indicate that both have different effects on economic growth in the moderate growing economies, which implies that the direction of GVC participation does matter in determining economic growth in the moderate growing economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2788-2800 Issue: 24 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2106032 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2106032 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:24:p:2788-2800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2107163_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yong-Kyun Bae Author-X-Name-First: Yong-Kyun Author-X-Name-Last: Bae Title: Vehicle Owners’ Corrective Behaviour in American Automobile Recalls Abstract: In this paper, we study vehicle owner behavior in response to automobile recalls in the US by examining data on recall correction rates. We address three research questions. First, do owner notification letters effectively lead to vehicle owners’ corrective behavior? Second, do vehicle owners take cost-saving actions using relevant information in recall letters? Third, can we identify vehicle owners’ behavioral differences in responding to recall issuance? We find evidence that vehicle owners respond to riskier defects more actively. In particular, if recall letters contain alerting words such as ‘death’, then the correction rates of those recalls are higher. Furthermore, the correction rate for recall letters with the expression ‘free of charge’ is higher. Heterogeneous vehicle owners behave differently: some owners immediately return their vehicles for repairs regardless of the risks their vehicles have, while others procrastinate their corrective actions and respond to recalls only when they believe that the defects are risky. We conclude that owner notification letters play an important role in raising correction rates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2815-2833 Issue: 24 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2107163 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2107163 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:24:p:2815-2833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2105299_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Alba Del Villar Author-X-Name-First: Alba Author-X-Name-Last: Del Villar Title: Regional income divergence and economic development in Africa: is Kuznets right? Abstract: This paper studies the relationship between economic development and within-country income inequality using satellite night-light data for a panel of 49 African countries. We highlight three worrisome facts describing regional income disparities in Africa, which rank among the highest in the world, they are persistent, and they have increased 2.16% annually over the period 1992–2012. Our instrumental variable (IV) results confirm the existence of a regional Kuznets curve characterized by an inverted U curve, implying that although economic progress increases regional income inequalities at first, this positive link eventually flats out at a certain level of GDP per capita (2200 constant USD) and turns to reduce income inequality as further as GDP per capita still increases. We also find that the positive impact of total trade on regional income inequalities disappears once we account for potential endogeneity issues. Aid flows, FDI, industry, oil rents, government share, and institutions present positive correlations and reinforce our main results. Our conclusions should raise the concern for policymakers and economists to enhance policies towards a more prosperous, inclusive, and sustainable economic future in Africa, especially in the least developed countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2755-2772 Issue: 24 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2105299 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2105299 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:24:p:2755-2772 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2104804_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Author-Name: Ioannis Chatziantoniou Author-X-Name-First: Ioannis Author-X-Name-Last: Chatziantoniou Author-Name: David Gabauer Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Gabauer Title: Dynamic connectedness between COVID-19 news sentiment, capital and commodity markets Abstract: This study investigates the dynamic transmission mechanism between COVID-19 news sentiment (Google Trends Index), and S&P100, crude oil and gold volatility indices using the recently developed time-varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR)-based extended joint connectedness approach. This framework corrects for the Generalized Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (GFEVD) normalization problem. The obtained empirical results suggest that dynamic total connectedness is heterogeneous over time and severely affected by COVID-19. More importantly, we identify COVID-19 news sentiment to be the main driver of spillover shocks indicating that it is indeed an important predictor of the volatility indices employed in our study. Thus, our findings have important implications for policymakers, private investors, as well as for portfolios and risk managers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2740-2754 Issue: 24 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2104804 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2104804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:24:p:2740-2754 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2107610_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Syed Kanwar Abbas Author-X-Name-First: Syed Kanwar Author-X-Name-Last: Abbas Title: Asymmetry in the regimes of inflation and business cycles:the New Keynesian Phillips curve Abstract: Employing a novel instrumental variable method, we provide three findings with the idea of introducing regime switching into the NKPC for Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom and the United States. First, the response of inflation to the driving force is asymmetric in expansion/contraction, and high/low inflation regimes. The switch between regimes changes the inflation dynamics, thus changing the trade-off between stabilizing inflation and the output gap. Second, price stickiness changes in regimes. The price rigidity explains the inflation-output gap and the inflation-law of one price gap relationship across regimes. Third, inflation dynamics are more forward-looking in the expansionary regime. These results yield the implications of targeting deviations from the law of one price for stabilizing inflation and business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2875-2888 Issue: 25 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2107610 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2107610 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:25:p:2875-2888 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2107987_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ma Deshui Author-X-Name-First: Ma Author-X-Name-Last: Deshui Author-Name: Ahsan Akbar Author-X-Name-First: Ahsan Author-X-Name-Last: Akbar Author-Name: Bilal Author-X-Name-First: Author-X-Name-Last: Bilal Title: Monetary policy, assets mispricing and share pledge: empirical evidence from A-share listed companies of China Abstract: Based on the influencing factors of share pledging, this paper discusses the influence of asset mispricing on the share pledging decision-making of controlling shareholders and examines the differences in the impact of different monetary policies using China’s A-share listed firms from 2007 to 2018. This study found that when the share price is overvalued, the share pledging enthusiasm of controlling shareholders increases, and the scale of share pledging expands. Further examination found that the enthusiasm and the scale of share pledge of controlling shareholders increase significantly with the increase in the overvaluation level of the share price. When the monetary policy tends to be loose or the interest rate is low, the enthusiasm for share pledging increases, and the scale of share pledge expands, which is more obvious when the stock price is overvalued. This study indicates that the capital market is not perfect, and insiders represented by controlling shareholders can identify investors’ cognitive biases, respond to asset mispricing in time, and raise more funds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2889-2901 Issue: 25 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2107987 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2107987 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:25:p:2889-2901 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2107165_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hala Abou-Ali Author-X-Name-First: Hala Author-X-Name-Last: Abou-Ali Author-Name: Ronia Hawash Author-X-Name-First: Ronia Author-X-Name-Last: Hawash Author-Name: Rahma Ali Author-X-Name-First: Rahma Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Author-Name: Yasmine Abdelfattah Author-X-Name-First: Yasmine Author-X-Name-Last: Abdelfattah Author-Name: Megahed Hassan Author-X-Name-First: Megahed Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Title: Is it getting too hot to work? Investigating the impact of climate change on labour supply in the MENA region Abstract: Climate change and its expected consequences have been a growing global concern. This study aims at examining the impact of changes in climate indicators on labour supply in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. We use different data sets including the Integrated Labour Market Panel Survey of Egypt, Jordan, and Tunisia spanning the period from 2006 to 2018 matched with a globally gridded climate data set to test the impact of changes in temperature, humidity, and precipitation on labour weekly working hours. We differentiate between ‘high-risk’ groups engaged in economic activities with higher exposure to climate and ‘low-risk’ groups with relatively less exposure to climate. Our results indicate that changes in temperature and humidity have a significant impact on labour working hours, whereas precipitation has no significant effect; yet the marginal impact of changes in temperature and humidity differs between ‘high-risk’ and ‘low-risk’ groups. The results show that working hours are impeded by heat and humidity after a specific threshold. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2847-2862 Issue: 25 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2107165 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2107165 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:25:p:2847-2862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2107988_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tommaso Agasisti Author-X-Name-First: Tommaso Author-X-Name-Last: Agasisti Author-Name: Francesco Porcelli Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Porcelli Title: Local governments’ efficiency and its heterogeneity – empirical evidence from a stochastic frontier analysis of Italian municipalities 2010-2018 Abstract: This paper investigates the efficiency of Italian local governments using Stochastic Frontier Analysis for the years 2010–2018. As a dependent variable of the cost function, we consider the total current expenditure for producing six ‘essential’ local public services: education (ancillary services), waste management, general administration, local police, public roads and planning, and social services. As outputs, we employ indicators for each of the six services in the multi-output cost function. In an alternative model specification, we use a composite indicator for the total output volume. Thus, we estimate a global efficiency score for each local government, for each year. The findings reveal that the total expenditure declined over time, more than proportionally than the contraction of output produced. Therefore, the global efficiency of Italian municipalities is estimated to be higher in 2018 than it was in 2010. Moreover, there is evidence of substantial scale economies and congestion effects, with municipalities with around 10,000 inhabitants being more efficient than their smaller and larger counterparts. Lastly, on average, local governments are more efficient in providing public services in the Northern regions than in the Southern ones, although efficiency does not decline monotonically moving South. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2902-2927 Issue: 25 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2107988 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2107988 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:25:p:2902-2927 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2142509_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Duong Lam Anh Tran Author-X-Name-First: Duong Lam Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Author-Name: Ivan Deseatnicov Author-X-Name-First: Ivan Author-X-Name-Last: Deseatnicov Title: Technology level and the global value chain Abstract: This paper investigates the role of technology levels in shaping the structure of the global value chain (GVC) at the macro level. We incorporate the Ricardian comparative advantage into the production of intermediate goods involving both snake-and spider-type supply chains to capture the overall GVC integration. We analytically find that the country with a higher technology level produces the intermediate inputs at production stages involving a higher degree of complexity, which is consistent with the real data. Finally, we calibrate the GVC participation value and wages and document the good fit of our model to the real-world data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2928-2943 Issue: 25 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2142509 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2142509 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:25:p:2928-2943 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2107609_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Peiran Li Author-X-Name-First: Peiran Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xianghui Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Xianghui Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Liwei Jin Author-X-Name-First: Liwei Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Title: Government direct intervention and stock market concentration Abstract: After the crackdown in 2015, Chinese state-owned capital, also called the ‘national team’ by investors, has become extensively involved in stock market investments. As a form of government direct intervention, state capital in the stock market may have implications for market efficiency and evolution. This study investigates the unbalanced departure of the national team in the aftermath of the crisis: the government no longer directly holds a large number of listed companies’ stocks, but its share in the market has declined little. Using a panel regression covering most stock industries, we find a positive association between national team and industry concentration in the stock market. Often, state-funded holdings may inhibit competition and allow the market to evolve in a more concentrated structure. Our study reveals a new potential negative externality of the Chinese government’s direct intervention in the stock market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2863-2874 Issue: 25 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2107609 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2107609 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:25:p:2863-2874 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2107164_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Abhishek Rohit Author-X-Name-First: Abhishek Author-X-Name-Last: Rohit Author-Name: Raghavendra S. Bhat Author-X-Name-First: Raghavendra S. Author-X-Name-Last: Bhat Title: Explaining rotated linkages between monetary policy and long-term interest rates Abstract: Understanding the linkages between monetary policy surprises and long-term interest rates is of immense interest to policymakers and researchers worldwide. In this paper, we investigate this relationship for a large sample of 29 economies and attempt to unravel the possible reasons for rotated linkages between these two variables in a long time-period, i.e., 1979–2019. We provide empirical evidence on exogenous shifts in the preferences of central banks in terms of weightage of inflation to output, altering the behaviour of long-term interest rates. We examine this phenomenon using financial crisis, and positive inflation deviations which may cause such exogenous shifts, and find both to be responsible for rotated linkages. On comparison, we find that the linkages get rotated the most during systemic crisis, followed by banking crisis, and currency crisis in that order. In terms of policy prescriptions, we confirm that central banks can ensure effective monetary transmission to long-term interest rates by having a robust monetary policy framework which encompasses the three pillars of independence and accountability, policy and operational strategy, and communications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2835-2846 Issue: 25 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2107164 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2107164 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:25:p:2835-2846 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2107990_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ioana Alexandra Horodnic Author-X-Name-First: Ioana Alexandra Author-X-Name-Last: Horodnic Author-Name: Colin C. Williams Author-X-Name-First: Colin C. Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Author-Name: Rodica Ianole-Cãlin Author-X-Name-First: Rodica Author-X-Name-Last: Ianole-Cãlin Author-Name: Adrian V. Horodnic Author-X-Name-First: Adrian V. Author-X-Name-Last: Horodnic Title: Exploring the illegal practice of under-reporting wages in the construction industry: some lessons from Romania Abstract: The aim of this paper is to evaluate the practice of under-reporting wages (and its multifarious forms) in the construction industry, which is a dominant type of undeclared work found in the industry, and how it can be explained and tackled. To do so, a mixed-methods approach is used, including in-depth interviews, focus groups and a representative national survey comprising 1,212 respondents collected during April–May 2021 in Romania, a country with one of the highest shares of undeclared work in the European Union. A logistic regression analysis shows that this practice is not confined to vulnerable groups but is rather an extensive phenomenon. Evaluating how wage under-reporting could be tackled, the finding is that there is no significant relationship between how employees perceive the level of sanction and the risk of detection and their likelihood of participating in wage under-reporting. However, the results reveal the significance of social norms; those who have acquaintances who receive under-reported wages are more likely to engage themselves in this wage arrangement. The implications for theory and practice are then considered. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2978-2992 Issue: 26 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2107990 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2107990 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:26:p:2978-2992 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2108749_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Sara Burrone Author-X-Name-First: Sara Author-X-Name-Last: Burrone Author-Name: Giulia Dingacci Author-X-Name-First: Giulia Author-X-Name-Last: Dingacci Author-Name: Massylla Dia Author-X-Name-First: Massylla Author-X-Name-Last: Dia Author-Name: Baboucar Bamba Author-X-Name-First: Baboucar Author-X-Name-Last: Bamba Author-Name: Vieri Tarchiani Author-X-Name-First: Vieri Author-X-Name-Last: Tarchiani Author-Name: Elisa Grieco Author-X-Name-First: Elisa Author-X-Name-Last: Grieco Author-Name: Carlotta Zini Author-X-Name-First: Carlotta Author-X-Name-Last: Zini Author-Name: Andrea Di Vecchia Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Di Vecchia Author-Name: Patrizio Vignaroli Author-X-Name-First: Patrizio Author-X-Name-Last: Vignaroli Title: The role of staple crop production during the Covid-19 outbreak. Evidence for women small producers in Senegal Abstract: The Covid-19 outbreak has negatively affected the agri-food system especially in developing countries where most people rely on agriculture. Using primary data, we study the role of staple crop production as a coping strategy during the Covid-19 outbreak. Using a linear probability model, this article assesses the effect of income and food security deterioration perceived as a consequence of Covid-19 on rice investment propensity among 1320 women rice producers in Casamance, Senegal. Our results show that food security deterioration and especially income reduction due to Covid-19 are significantly and positively related to rice investment propensity. The presence of food retailers and the type of household livelihood, farm or nonfarm, dramatically drive the Covid-19 perception effects on rice investment propensity. While women small producers in villages with food retailers slightly increase their propensity to invest in rice, in remote villages lacking food retailers rice production represents an effective coping strategy for those women living in households that depend to a large extent on the market, i.e. those relying on nonfarm income. These results are supported by the strong correlation between limited physical access to the market, due to movement restrictions, and rice investment propensity, especially among households relying on nonfarm income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3026-3042 Issue: 26 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2108749 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2108749 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:26:p:3026-3042 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2107989_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Rafael Kujo Monteiro Author-X-Name-First: Rafael Kujo Author-X-Name-Last: Monteiro Author-Name: Rodolfo Coelho Prates Author-X-Name-First: Rodolfo Coelho Author-X-Name-Last: Prates Author-Name: Leonardo Matsuno Frota Author-X-Name-First: Leonardo Matsuno Author-X-Name-Last: Frota Title: The determinants of player transfers in Brazil: the role of expectations in the football market Abstract: The study of the football transfer market is relevant to understanding the clubs’ managerial capacity when they trade their most important assets. So far, the research on football transfers has focused mainly on the movements between European clubs. Thus, it is necessary to expand the analysis to developing countries, particularly those with a strong football tradition. We study the Brazilian professional football transfer market by analysing the transfers between top Brazilian clubs from 2018 to 2020. We use a two-step Heckman correction to account first for variables that affect the probability of a transfer and later, the actual transfer fee. We include an innovative index to capture the players’ ability to perform according to the specialists’ expectations. Our results show that besides appreciating the specific characteristics of the player such as age and nationality, the Brazilian market also considers the capacity of a player to fulfill previous expectations when deciding who is transferred and for what price. Finally, the remaining time of the contract and the recent transfer history of the player also affect transfer movements in Brazil, along with the seller club’s performance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2964-2977 Issue: 26 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2107989 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2107989 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:26:p:2964-2977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2123102_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Larisa Smirnykh Author-X-Name-First: Larisa Author-X-Name-Last: Smirnykh Author-Name: Evgeniya Polyakova Author-X-Name-First: Evgeniya Author-X-Name-Last: Polyakova Title: The human capital and income of immigrants: evidence from Russia Abstract: This study examines how immigration flows caused by the disintegration of states and globalisation change the composition of the labour force and how human capital is transferred from countries of the former Soviet Union to Russia. We estimate the contribution of imperfect human capital transferability to explaining the immigrant–native income differentials by using the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey of 2009–2012. The findings reveal that the income of foreign-born people who moved before the disintegration of the USSR is not significantly different from the income of native-born citizens. In contrast, foreign-born groups who immigrated to Russia after the disintegration of the USSR have lower incomes than the native-born group. In addition, the income premium on education and labour experience received in host countries of the foreign-born group is lower compared to the income premium on education and labour experience received in Russia. An important factor explaining the difference in income between natives and foreign-born people who moved to Russia after the collapse of the USSR is the imperfection in the mechanism of human capital transferability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2945-2963 Issue: 26 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2123102 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2123102 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:26:p:2945-2963 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2108750_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zehua Shi Author-X-Name-First: Zehua Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: Do classroom teachers matter for academic achievement of students? Evidence from random assignment of students to teachers in China Abstract: In China’s middle schools, each class is assigned both subject teachers who only instruct students on specific course and one classroom teacher who not only teaches in class but also provides out-class-support. This study evaluates whether classroom teachers are more effective than subject teachers in improving students’ academic performance. To examine the causal effect of the classroom teacher, I take the advantage of data that students are randomly assigned to classes in middle schools in China and exploit the within-teacher variation given a teacher acting as a classroom teacher for his or her own class but also giving lectures to other class(es) as a subject teacher in one term in China. The findings show that a classroom teacher has a significant positive effect on the students’ test scores in his or her own class compared with other classes he or she teaches. I further investigate the possible mechanisms and find that classroom teachers tend to have more interactions with their own class both inside class and outside class beyond giving lectures than with other classes they teach. This study provides insights for understanding the effect of teacher support outside class on students’ academic outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3043-3061 Issue: 26 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2108750 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2108750 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:26:p:3043-3061 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2107991_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jin Wook Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jin Wook Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Cheong Kyu Park Author-X-Name-First: Cheong Kyu Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Can ESG Performance Mitigate Information Asymmetry? Moderating Effect of Assurance Services Abstract: This study examines whether ESG performance reduces information asymmetry and whether assurance services have a moderating effect on the association between ESG performance and information asymmetry. Given the increasing importance and benefits of ESG, examining how ESG performance improves the information environment is a critical question. Using ESG performance data, this study employs a panel data analysis of a large set of U.S. companies with 1,294 observations that are one-to-one matched between assured and unassured groups. The findings indicate that ESG performance reduces information asymmetry and that assurance services have a moderating effect on the negative relationship between ESG performance and information asymmetry. This study makes several contributions to the ESG literature by providing new evidence on ESG performance, employing the moderating variable of assurance services, and minimizing selection bias with propensity score matching. These findings have implications for the professionals and practitioners for information credibility of ESG and assurance services. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2993-3007 Issue: 26 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2107991 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2107991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:26:p:2993-3007 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2108748_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lanfang Deng Author-X-Name-First: Lanfang Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Author-Name: Haizheng Li Author-X-Name-First: Haizheng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Zhiqiang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhiqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: The impact of family co-residence and childcare on children’s cognitive skills Abstract: We investigate the impact of family co-residence structure and allocation of major childcare responsibility across generations on child cognitive development. Using data from China, we find that children living in multigenerational families with grandparents as the main caregiver generally perform better in cognitive tests, while children who live only with their parents and children who live only with their grandparents (the so-called left-behind children) do not show a significant difference in their cognitive performance. Moreover, we find that the effect of family environment differs between boys and girls. We also find suggestive evidence that family environment affects child cognitive development through several behavioural factors indicative of intrafamily interactions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3008-3025 Issue: 26 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2108748 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2108748 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:26:p:3008-3025 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2108753_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mahdi Shahrazi Author-X-Name-First: Mahdi Author-X-Name-Last: Shahrazi Author-Name: Saman Ghaderi Author-X-Name-First: Saman Author-X-Name-Last: Ghaderi Author-Name: Bahram Sanginabadi Author-X-Name-First: Bahram Author-X-Name-Last: Sanginabadi Title: Commodity prices and inflation: an application of structural VAR Abstract: The potential influence of global commodity prices on consumer price inflation has been a concern of researchers and policymakers for decades. Even though a body of literature has investigated such connections, the results are mixed. This study uses a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model to investigate the impact of global commodity prices on Iran’s inflation over the 2009:1-2018:11 period. We have included commodity price, exchange rate, and stock returns as explanatory variables in our model. Based on the findings of our long-run multiplier matrix the response of inflation to the commodity price shocks is positive and statistically significant. In other words, global commodity prices increase Iranian inflation. Also, the results suggest that the explanatory power of commodity price shocks in inflation fluctuations is higher than those of exchange rate and stock returns in the long run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3110-3120 Issue: 27 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2108753 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2108753 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:27:p:3110-3120 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2109581_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kunal Saha Author-X-Name-First: Kunal Author-X-Name-Last: Saha Author-Name: Vinodh Madhavan Author-X-Name-First: Vinodh Author-X-Name-Last: Madhavan Author-Name: G. R. Chandrashekhar Author-X-Name-First: G. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Chandrashekhar Title: Relationship between ETFs and underlying indices: a fractional cointegration approach Abstract: This article analyzes the long-run relationship between domestic equity Index ETFs and their respective underlying indices in various markets. In doing so, we study the inter-relationship between these ETFs and their underlying equity indices using the ‘traditional’ Cointegration (CVAR) and Fractional Cointegration (FCVAR) models. The FCVAR model is an extension of CVAR model that is geared towards capturing long memory in a multivariate framework. We examine if FCVAR is superior to the CVAR framework in terms of in-sample fit and out-sample forecasting performance. Our findings establish the presence of fractional cointegration between ETFs and their indices. However, our test outcomes are highly sensitive to model specifications and timelines considered for estimation. Due to the dynamic nature of such cointegration relationship, practitioners are nudged to exercise caution while engaging in hedging and pairs trading that involve ETFs. This is because such trades are bound to be premised on selective inferences drawn from certain multivariate model specifications, and hence, may not be generalizable across all model specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3184-3193 Issue: 27 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2109581 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2109581 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:27:p:3184-3193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2109578_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Matteo Migheli Author-X-Name-First: Matteo Author-X-Name-Last: Migheli Author-Name: Donatella Saccone Author-X-Name-First: Donatella Author-X-Name-Last: Saccone Title: Some new evidence on economic freedom and income distribution Abstract: While the extant literature shows that various indices of economic freedom display a positive relationship with the level of income inequality, it is unclear who are the winners and, in particular, the losers. For this reason, an analysis based on deciles and top percentiles helps to deepen the understanding of this issue. Starting from this consideration, the paper adds new evidence on the relation between economic freedom and income distribution by analysing a panel of 70 developing and developed countries for the period 1980–2014. The effects of economic freedom on income shares by deciles and top percentiles are estimated through an instrumental-variable approach ruling out potential reverse causality. Results show that economic freedom increases the income shares of the percentiles included in the top decile, eroding the income of the middle and, especially, upper-middle segments. The poor, instead, appear to be unaffected. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3154-3169 Issue: 27 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2109578 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2109578 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:27:p:3154-3169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2109580_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Deyun Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Deyun Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Zhiqiang Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zhiqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: The more struggling, the happier?——Analysis based on two dimensions of social equity Abstract: Based on the data of CGSS (2015), the paper constructs an intermediary effect model and a moderating effect model to analyse the impacts of individual effort, opportunity equity(OPEQ), and outcome equity(OCEQ) on subjective well-being(SWB). We found: (1) Individual effort and OPEQ can both enhance SWB, and OPEQ plays a negative moderating role, which is not significant for the low-income strata. (2) The relationship between OCEQ and SWB is inverted U-shaped. The low-income group has a stronger tolerance to outcome inequity, and it has an inverted U-shaped regulation in the process of individual efforts to affect SWB, which is not reflected in the high-income class. (3) In the process of individual efforts affecting SWB, OPEQ and OCEQ both have mediating effects, which are not significant in the high-income class. (4) In terms of intergenerational relations, parents’ education can significantly improve SWB and negatively regulate the relationship between individual effort and SWB, family status at the age of 14 and SWB were significantly negatively correlated. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3170-3183 Issue: 27 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2109580 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2109580 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:27:p:3170-3183 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2108752_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: George Marian Aevoae Author-X-Name-First: George Marian Author-X-Name-Last: Aevoae Author-Name: Alin Marius Andrieș Author-X-Name-First: Alin Marius Author-X-Name-Last: Andrieș Author-Name: Steven Ongena Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Ongena Author-Name: Nicu Sprincean Author-X-Name-First: Nicu Author-X-Name-Last: Sprincean Title: ESG and systemic risk Abstract: How do changes in Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) scores influence banks’ systemic risk contribution? Using a dynamic panel model, we document a beneficial impact of the ESG Combined Score and Governance pillar on banks’ contribution to system-wide distress analysing a panel of 367 publicly listed banks from 47 countries over the period 2007–2020. Stakeholder theory and theory relating social performance to expected returns in which enhanced investments in corporate social responsibility mitigate bank-specific risks explain our findings. However, only better corporate governance represents a tool in reducing bank interconnectedness and maintaining financial stability. The results are robust to alternative measures of systemic risk, both contribution and exposure, as well as when estimating a static model. Our findings stress the importance of integrating banks’ ESG disclosure into regulatory authorities’ supervisory mechanisms as qualitative information. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3085-3109 Issue: 27 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2108752 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2108752 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:27:p:3085-3109 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2108754_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Christophe Desagre Author-X-Name-First: Christophe Author-X-Name-Last: Desagre Author-Name: Paolo Mazza Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Mazza Author-Name: Mikael Petitjean Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Petitjean Title: Crypto market dynamics in stressful conditions Abstract: Understanding market liquidity and trading dynamics in one of the most innovative and volatile markets in the world, is crucial from the standpoint of both regulators and investors. In contrast to stocks, very little is known about the functioning of cryptos around extreme returns (ERs). Using high-frequency order-book and trade data for the 8 most widespread cryptos on 16 trading platforms over three years, we examine the contemporaneous and lagged influence of trading activity and liquidity on the occurrence of extreme returns (ERs) in a logistic regression framework adapted to rare events. Despite its huge volatility, we show that the trading and liquidity dynamics on the crypto market around ERs is not orthogonal to what traditional markets experience in stressful conditions. The number of trades is a particularly robust driver to explain the occurrence of ERs, followed by the relative spread. The same drivers are identified for traditional markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3121-3153 Issue: 27 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2108754 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2108754 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:27:p:3121-3153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2108751_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Christian Hutter Author-X-Name-First: Christian Author-X-Name-Last: Hutter Author-Name: Enzo Weber Author-X-Name-First: Enzo Author-X-Name-Last: Weber Title: Labour market effects of wage inequality and skill-biased technical change Abstract: This paper analyses the effects of wage inequality on labour market development. Relevant theories are ambiguous, just as public debates. We measure the effects of inequality, skill-biased and skill-neutral technical change on hours, productivity and wages in a novel structural vector error correction framework identified by economically motivated long-run restrictions. The results show that structural inequality shocks have a negative impact on hours, productivity and wages. These effects are particularly pronounced at high inequality levels and for inequality below the median wage. Skill-biased technology shocks reduce – unlike skill-neutral ones – hours but increase inequality, productivity and wages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3063-3084 Issue: 27 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2108751 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2108751 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:27:p:3063-3084 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2110212_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Juan Carlos Cuestas Author-X-Name-First: Juan Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Cuestas Author-Name: Merike Kukk Author-X-Name-First: Merike Author-X-Name-Last: Kukk Author-Name: Natalia Levenko Author-X-Name-First: Natalia Author-X-Name-Last: Levenko Title: Misalignments in house prices and economic growth in Europe Abstract: In this paper we investigate house price misalignments and how they affect the real economy. We estimate the long-term relationship between house prices and the fundamentals that determine long-term house prices for a panel of European countries with dynamic OLS, using data from 2005–2018. We find that income has been the main driver of fundamental house prices in all countries, while the supply of dwellings has calmed the rise in house prices in some of them. We calculate house price misalignments, which are deviations of house prices from the fundamental value, and we employ them in the growth model. The results of the growth regression indicate that house price imbalances amplify business cycles in the short term, but in the long term house price overvaluations slow economic growth down. The findings imply that it is crucial to take measures to stabilize housing cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3215-3237 Issue: 28 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2110212 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2110212 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:28:p:3215-3237 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2114990_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Philip Garland Gayle Author-X-Name-First: Philip Garland Author-X-Name-Last: Gayle Author-Name: Jin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shengnan Fang Author-X-Name-First: Shengnan Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: The Organic food price premium and its susceptibility to news media coverage: evidence from the US milk industry Abstract: This paper investigates the extent to which media coverage on organic dairy issues influences consumers’ willingness to pay (WTP) for the organic attribute of milk. We find that news with contents most often viewed as negative towards organic dairy are more powerful in decreasing consumers’ WTP for the organic attribute of milk compared to the positive WTP impact of news articles with contents most often viewed as positive towards organic dairy. Interestingly, consumers’ increasing exposure to organic dairy news that even take a neutral stance on the organic attribute also increases their WTP for the organic attribute. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3296-3315 Issue: 28 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2114990 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2114990 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:28:p:3296-3315 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2110563_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jude I. Iziga Author-X-Name-First: Jude I. Author-X-Name-Last: Iziga Author-Name: Shingo Takagi Author-X-Name-First: Shingo Author-X-Name-Last: Takagi Title: An empirical examination of the effect of infrastructure on economic development: a large and heterogeneous panel data analysis Abstract: Infrastructure drives economic development. This study investigates to what extent infrastructure and skilled labour affect aggregate output, by analysing large heterogeneous panel data of 130 countries over two decades. We implement an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model to extract the long-run production technology relationship among economic growth, infrastructure, and skilled labour. The complementarity of skilled labour and infrastructure is conducive to skill-biased economic growth. Skill differences account for disparities among workers’ wages worldwide, thereby widening inequalities in income and consequently, living standards. Contrary to previous studies that have used frameworks assuming production function homogeneity across countries, we propose a methodology to identify latent country groups based on the long-run production technology embedded in the ARDL model, using an identification procedure of the unknown group structure in panel models. We select the optimal number of groups by implementing a new information criterion under multiple nuisance parameters and estimate the coefficients of the production functions for each country group. Based on the complementarity estimates of country groups and the estimated country classifications, we find that the effects of infrastructure generated grouped-heterogeneity of growth span across countries in estimated production relationships. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3255-3270 Issue: 28 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2110563 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2110563 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:28:p:3255-3270 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2110213_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhiwei Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Zhiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Author-Name: Luye Ji Author-X-Name-First: Luye Author-X-Name-Last: Ji Author-Name: Fan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The Impact of Pollution Events on the Productivity of Related Industries:A Case Study of Cadmium-Contaminated Industry Abstract: This research aims to explore how environmental pollution events affect total factor productivity in related industries in China. The results of the research found that (1) Cadmium-contaminated rice cases had negative impacts on the related industry after a time delay by reducing the production scale and investment in R&D to improve productive efficiency, therefore decreasing the total factor productivity. Rising public awareness significantly expanded the negative impact of environmental pollution events. (2) The more sophisticated environmental regulations at the provincial level, the more obvious the total factor productivity decreased after cadmium-contaminated rice cases. The effect of existing environmental regulations at the municipal and county levels was not satisfactory. (3) Cadmium-contaminated rice cases had a greater negative impact on East and Central China than other regions. The result also indicates cross-regional pollution transfer for the purpose of regulation evasion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3238-3254 Issue: 28 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2110213 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2110213 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:28:p:3238-3254 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2109582_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Robert C. M. Beyer Author-X-Name-First: Robert C. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Beyer Author-Name: Lazar Milivojevic Author-X-Name-First: Lazar Author-X-Name-Last: Milivojevic Title: Dynamics and synchronization of global equilibrium interest rates Abstract: Empirical estimates of equilibrium real interest rates are so far mostly limited to advanced economies, since no statistical procedure suitable for a larger set of countries is available. This is surprising, as equilibrium rates have strong policy implications in emerging markets and developing economies as well. Current estimates of the global equilibrium rate rely on only a few countries but estimates for a more diverse set of countries can improve understanding of its dynamics and drivers. This paper uses a model and estimation strategy that decompose ex-ante real interest rates into permanent and transitory components even with short samples and high volatility. This is done with an unobserved component local level stochastic volatility model, which is used to estimate equilibrium rates for 50 countries with Bayesian methods. Equilibrium rates were lower in emerging markets and developing economies than in advanced economies in the 1980s, similar in the 1990s, and have been higher since 2000. In line with economic integration and rising global capital markets, synchronization has been rising over time and is higher among advanced economies. Equilibrium rates of countries with stronger trade linkages and similar demographic and economic trends are more synchronized. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3195-3214 Issue: 28 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2109582 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2109582 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:28:p:3195-3214 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2111023_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: José Valentim Machado Vicente Author-X-Name-First: José Valentim Machado Author-X-Name-Last: Vicente Title: A non-knotty inflation risk premium model Abstract: In this article, I estimate the inflation risk premium (IRP) using a low-dimensional arbitrage-free dynamic model through a novel strategy. Instead of modelling the nominal and real yields jointly, I make assumptions about the short-term inflation rate. More specifically, I assume it follows a Gaussian process. This framework has a closed-form expression for IRP. Since inflation yields are not observed, to estimate the model parameters I approximate them by the break-even inflation rate. This approximation works well because the convexity correction is very small. I find that the estimated IRP is strongly correlated with those obtained using surveys or more complex models. Therefore, I provide an easier procedure to obtain IRP, avoiding the cumbersome estimation process of high-order models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3271-3278 Issue: 28 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2111023 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2111023 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:28:p:3271-3278 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2114989_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kayla Hildebrand Author-X-Name-First: Kayla Author-X-Name-Last: Hildebrand Author-Name: Chanjin Chung Author-X-Name-First: Chanjin Author-X-Name-Last: Chung Author-Name: Tracy A. Boyer Author-X-Name-First: Tracy A. Author-X-Name-Last: Boyer Author-Name: Marco Palma Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Palma Title: Does change in respondents’ attention affect willingness to accept estimates from choice experiments? Abstract: This study conducts a discrete choice experiment to estimate turfgrass producers’ willingness to accept (WTA) values using different logit models and specifications to capture respondents’ attention. We first estimate the mixed logit model and a generalized multinomial logit model with and without eye-tracking variables to demonstrate the importance of accounting for individuals’ differing levels of attention during an experiment. Our study finds that marginal WTA values are biased when individuals’ attention changes are not properly accounted for in the model specification. This finding leads to our second objective, to determine whether attention changes can be fully captured in the absence of eye tracking data by testing six alternative model specifications. All six models are able to detect learning and fatigue effects but are unable to fully capture changes in attention. Of the six alternative models tested, the two models that implement panel data offer more reliable and significant results, suggesting the type of data and model specification used may play an important role in diagnosing attention changes when compared to various heterogeneity models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3279-3295 Issue: 28 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2114989 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2114989 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:28:p:3279-3295 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2114994_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Joshua Duarte Author-X-Name-First: Joshua Author-X-Name-Last: Duarte Author-Name: João Sousa Andrade Author-X-Name-First: João Sousa Author-X-Name-Last: Andrade Author-Name: Pedro Bação Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Author-X-Name-Last: Bação Title: Dynamic effects of financial development on economic activity Abstract: In this article, we provide evidence of the dynamic effects of financial development on a group of key macroeconomic variables, namely, output, consumption, investment, inflation, money, the interest rate and the exchange rate. As the measure of financial development we use a new broad measure of financial development instead of the narrow measures usually employed in the related literature. Another novelty is that we estimate the dynamic effects of financial development on economic activity in the context of a panel vector autoregressive model, comprising 36 countries observed in the period 1983–2019. Our results suggest that financial development has a positive impact on output, investment, and consumption. The results reported in this article also support the proposition that the benefits from financial development are larger in economies where the financial system is market-based. These results survive a battery of robustness checks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3329-3346 Issue: 29 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2114994 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2114994 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:29:p:3329-3346 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2114998_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hao Wei Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Linlin Deng Author-X-Name-First: Linlin Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Author-Name: Peng Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: The impact of globalization on domestic employment Abstract: Immigrants and offshore workers become important disturbing factors of domestic employment in the globalized economy. In this study we build a model with this feature to test how the three groups of workers in the labour force interact using a panel data of 155 countries over the period 1990–2015. We find that while immigrants replaced native workers (especially highly skilled ones), offshore workers who produce intermediate input imports do not. The productivity effect of offshoring is stronger for developed economies while the substitution effect of immigration is stronger for developing countries. Furthermore, the productivity effects of immigration and offshoring are stronger when governments impose less restrictions on international trade and domestic labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3390-3403 Issue: 29 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2114998 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2114998 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:29:p:3390-3403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2115000_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Debarati Basu Author-X-Name-First: Debarati Author-X-Name-Last: Basu Author-Name: Shabana Mitra Author-X-Name-First: Shabana Author-X-Name-Last: Mitra Author-Name: Nishant Kumar Verma Author-X-Name-First: Nishant Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Verma Title: Mitigating credit risk: modelling and optimizing co-insurance in loan pricing Abstract: Despite large-scale financial development and banks being the most important credit source globally, banking continues to be plagued by asymmetric information. This uncertainty makes credit risk assessment decisions complex and expensive. In this context, we show how discretionary borrower characteristics, such as the borrower’s network (which can co-insure), help mitigate risk and reduce costs by altering lending decisions. The literature on loan pricing remains focused on objective credit scoring models, while the network literature remains empirical, and borrower based. We fill this void by being the first to theoretically model the lender’s internal decision-making problem when borrowers display discretionary default risk-mitigating attributes such as network strength. We find that the interest rate reduces as the network strength increases. As constraints set in and borrowing becomes more competitive, banks rely even more on network information to parse out better borrowers. Finally, banks substitute monitoring effort with network strength for a more feasible interest rate. This will increase lending, even to borrowers outside the banks’ purview earlier. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3422-3441 Issue: 29 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2115000 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2115000 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:29:p:3422-3441 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2114993_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Timo Bettendorf Author-X-Name-First: Timo Author-X-Name-Last: Bettendorf Author-Name: Axel Jochem Author-X-Name-First: Axel Author-X-Name-Last: Jochem Title: TARGET balances in the euro area: the case of Germany Abstract: Applying a BVAR model, the present paper first identifies the possible drivers of Germany’s TARGET claims. In this context, in terms of potential causes, a distinction is made between a rise in the global risk assessment, tensions within the euro area, and European monetary policy. It becomes evident that the TARGET flows between 2015 and 2017 can be ascribed in large part to monetary policy and to a minor extent to the risk assessment within the euro area. At the peak of the European debt crisis between 2010 and mid-2012, the TARGET flows were affected by uncertainty in the euro area as a dominant factor, although global factors also played a key role according to the model. The BVAR model we use opens up the possibility of studying the causes of current fluctuations in Germany’s TARGET claims. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3317-3328 Issue: 29 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2114993 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2114993 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:29:p:3317-3328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2114999_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Author-X-Name-Last: Abakah Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Emmanuel Kwesi Arthur Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Kwesi Arthur Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: The influence of economic policy uncertainty shocks on art market Abstract: We contribute to the literature by studying the impact of economic policy uncertainty shocks on returns in the global art market, the global paintings market and the U.S.A art market from 1998:Q1 to 2018:Q3. Based on the frequency domain Granger causality test and continuous wavelets analysis, the results show that an increase in policy uncertainty shocks significantly reduces returns on art and paintings and that the effect is stronger during extreme volatility periods. Policy implications are derived at the end of the article. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3404-3421 Issue: 29 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2114999 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2114999 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:29:p:3404-3421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2114996_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xi Deng Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Author-Name: Wenlin Tang Author-X-Name-First: Wenlin Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Huiming Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Huiming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Zhanming Xing Author-X-Name-First: Zhanming Author-X-Name-Last: Xing Title: Influencing factors of China’s direct investment in RCEP countries: evidence from panel quantile regression Abstract: This article investigates the influencing factors of China’s outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) in RCEP countries across quantiles. We apply a panel quantile regression to seek the factors that influence China’s OFDI in RCEP countries with the most and least OFDI from China. Our findings are outlined as follows. First, influencing factors of China’s OFDI in RCEP countries have significant heterogeneity across quantiles. More specifically, China’s trade exports (EXP) to RCEP countries have the strongest positive impact on promoting China’s OFDI in RCEP countries, and the strongest positive impact of trade exports on China’s OFDI occurs in RCEP countries with less China’s OFDI. Second, The higher the level of political stability (HP) of RCEP countries with more China’s OFDI, the more China’s OFDI they attract, while in RCEP country with the least China’s OFDI and changes in political stability will not have a significant impact on China’s OFDI. Third, in RCEP countries with less China’s OFDI, a higher level of labour resource endowment (LAB) has a stronger effect on attracting China’s OFDI. Overall, our findings provide policymakers more targeted references for tapping the potential of China’s OFDI in RCEP countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3347-3364 Issue: 29 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2114996 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2114996 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:29:p:3347-3364 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2114997_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zekeriya Yildirim Author-X-Name-First: Zekeriya Author-X-Name-Last: Yildirim Title: Spillover effects of US uncertainty: does the type of US uncertainty matter? Abstract: This study investigates the spillover effects of US uncertainty shocks on 8 emerging market (EM) economies using a two-country VAR model. The study considers four different types of US uncertainty, namely, (i) financial, (ii) macroeconomic, (iii) economic policy and (iv) aggregate uncertainty. Then, the study compares the spillover effects of four US uncertainty measures on EMs. The main findings are as follows: (1) US uncertainty shocks negatively affect EMs. (2) The spillover effects rely on the source of US uncertainty and vary across EMs. (3) EM financial conditions play a significant role in transmitting the effects of US uncertainty shocks to the real economies of EMs. These findings suggest that EM policy-makers should be aware of the sources of US uncertainty shocks and react accordingly to such shocks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3365-3389 Issue: 29 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2114997 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2114997 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:29:p:3365-3389 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2115450_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Makoto Muto Author-X-Name-First: Makoto Author-X-Name-Last: Muto Author-Name: Tamotsu Onozaki Author-X-Name-First: Tamotsu Author-X-Name-Last: Onozaki Author-Name: Yoshitaka Saiki Author-X-Name-First: Yoshitaka Author-X-Name-Last: Saiki Title: Regional Synchronization during Economic Contraction: The Case of the U.S. and Japan Abstract: Two decades of studies have found significant regional differences in the timing of transitions in national business cycles and their durations. Earlier studies partly detect regional synchronization during business cycle expansions and contractions in Europe, the United States, and Japan. We examine this possibility by applying a sophisticated method for identifying the time-varying degree of synchronization to regional business cycle data in the U.S. and Japan. The method is prominent in nonlinear sciences but has been infrequently applied in business cycle studies. We find that the degree of synchronization in regional business cycles increased during contractions and decreased during expansions throughout the period under study. Such asymmetry between the contraction and expansion phases of a business cycle will contribute to our better understanding of the phenomenon of business cycles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3472-3486 Issue: 30 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2115450 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2115450 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:30:p:3472-3486 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2115451_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Wolfgang Maennig Author-X-Name-First: Wolfgang Author-X-Name-Last: Maennig Author-Name: Steffen Q. Mueller Author-X-Name-First: Steffen Q. Author-X-Name-Last: Mueller Title: Game outcome uncertainty revisited – a clustering analysis of team-specific game attendance predictions Abstract: We provide evidence for heterogeneous game outcome uncertainty (GOU) effects across teams in Major League Baseball. Using attendance data from 2013 to 2019, we explore functional data clustering techniques and allow for nonlinear relationships to detect common patterns in predictive margins of team-specific winning probability. As a central result, we identify five groups of teams with similar GOU effects. However, only a few teams show GOU effects that resemble the typical hump shape that is postulated by the uncertainty of outcome hypothesis; the largest cluster is comprised of teams with fans whose attendance behaviour is relatively insensitive to differences in GOU. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3487-3497 Issue: 30 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2115451 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2115451 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:30:p:3487-3497 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2115452_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Gloria Claudio-Quiroga Author-X-Name-First: Gloria Author-X-Name-Last: Claudio-Quiroga Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Author-Name: Andoni Maiza-Larrarte Author-X-Name-First: Andoni Author-X-Name-Last: Maiza-Larrarte Title: Persistence and trends in CO2 emissions in Africa: is Chinese FDI behind these features? Abstract: In this article, we investigate the statistical features of the CO2 emissions and CO2 emissions per capita in a group of 45 African countries by looking at their degree of persistence and also testing for the existence of trends in the data. In addition, we also investigate if this level of emissions is related to the Chinese FDI in Africa. The results are very heterogeneous across countries, observing orders of integration statistically below 1 in a group of countries; in others, the majority of them, the values are around 1, while for some others, the degree of integration is statistically significantly above 1. Linear time trends are observed in approximately half of the countries. These results imply that, in the long term, public measures to reduce CO2 emissions may be required in the majority of the countries since in the event of shocks the series will not return by themselves to their original levels. If we look at Chinese FDI in these countries, we observe that there seems to be no relationship between the Chinese investment in Africa and the CO2 emission persistence, though this result needs to be contrasted in future research. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3498-3513 Issue: 30 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2115452 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2115452 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:30:p:3498-3513 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2115454_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tianyu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Tianyu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chuanyong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Chuanyong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Zhejin Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Zhejin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Gender differences in the housing decisions of married-couple families: evidence from urban China Abstract: This paper investigates the role of gender of the household decision maker in the housing decisions of married-couple families. Using data across urban China from the China Labour-force Dynamic Survey during 2012–2016, the paper shows that married-couple families with female decision makers have higher rates of homeownership. We infer that housing provides more psychological and financial security for women than men. In addition, female decision makers tend to buy smaller houses and have higher returns on housing assets, which could be caused by the fact that female decision makers are more concerned about the members of their nuclear family, especially their kids. The main results are robust to control for the effects of the socioeconomic status of household members. These findings aid in understanding the role of gender in the housing market and offer guidance for better policies to boost a more efficient housing supply. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3527-3545 Issue: 30 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2115454 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2115454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:30:p:3527-3545 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2115453_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zuhui Huang Author-X-Name-First: Zuhui Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Yanzhou Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yanzhou Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yuxiang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yuxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Songqing Jin Author-X-Name-First: Songqing Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Title: Does migration experience reduce villagers’ social capital? Evidence from rural China Abstract: In this study, we examine the impact of migration experience on return migrant’s social capital using household survey data from rural China. We first develop a simple model to describe rural household’s decision to invest in social capital and then empirically examine how migration experience affects social capital using village-level natural disasters as instrumental variables for migration experience. Our results show that villagers’ migration experience reduces both structural social capital and cognitive social capital. Compared with those who never worked out of their native villages, return migrants would practice fewer social interactions, information communication, trust building and reciprocal behaviours with relatives. We provide suggestive evidence that the decline in social capital may be caused by the higher expected mobility of return migrants. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3514-3526 Issue: 30 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2115453 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2115453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:30:p:3514-3526 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2115449_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Shixuan Yu Author-X-Name-First: Shixuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Lingang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lingang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The impact of patent information disclosure on the stock returns of high-tech corporates: an event study Abstract: For high-tech listed companies, the disclosure of patent information in financial statements influences firms’ value. Using the event study method, we examine the stock market’s reaction to patent information in financial statements. After measuring patent information on six items and dividing the level of patent information disclosure into the high group and low group, the results show that patent information disclosure is associated with changes in stock return. In addition, the impact of patent information disclosure on the stock return of a firm depends on the credibility of the voluntarily disclosed patent information or its quality. When the credibility is high, the degree of patent information disclosure has a positive impact on the stock return, while when the credibility is low, the degree of patent information disclosure has a negative impact on the stock return. The findings shed light on the selection of patent information disclosure strategies and provide a basis for future scholars to study improvements in stock market efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3458-3471 Issue: 30 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2115449 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2115449 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:30:p:3458-3471 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2115001_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Haoyu Hu Author-X-Name-First: Haoyu Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Wei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Ge Xin Author-X-Name-First: Ge Author-X-Name-Last: Xin Title: Enrollment in public pension program and household land transfer behaviour: Evidence from rural China Abstract: Although farmland transfer is a radical solution to the problem of sustainable development of the land rental market in China, there is insufficient research that attempted to quantitatively explore the determinants of land transfer behaviour, particularly the effects of enrolment in public pension programs. In this paper, we examine how enrolment in the recently established and expanded New Rural Pension Scheme (NRPS) can affect land transfer decisions among the age-eligible and age-ineligible rural residents. Specifically, our study employs balanced panel data from the first two waves of the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) in the year 2010 and 2012. It reveals that, although the enrolment in the public pension system increases the scale of farmland transfer among age-eligible people, this effect is not shown among age-ineligible members. Moreover, for households with members over the age of 60, the positive income effects are concentrated among farmers from low-income family; for other groups, the heterogeneous outcomes are insignificant. These estimates may offer insights for the dynamic adjustments of the public pensions for the elderly population and for enhancing the vitality of land transfer in rural China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3443-3457 Issue: 30 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2115001 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2115001 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:30:p:3443-3457 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2117776_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Thomas Patten Krumel Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Patten Author-X-Name-Last: Krumel Author-Name: Corey Goodrich Author-X-Name-First: Corey Author-X-Name-Last: Goodrich Title: Meatpacking working conditions and the spread of COVID-19 Abstract: This paper explores how working conditions in meatpacking plants contributed to the spread of the COVID-19 virus. Data from the Occupational Information Network was used to construct a set of industry-level working condition variables and compare meatpacking to the sample of other manufacturing industries in our comparison group. This novel approach showed that proximity to others in the meatpacking industry is likely the main factor influencing the spread of COVID-19, more than three standard deviations higher in meatpacking than our comparison sample of other manufacturing industries. Subsequently, we performed a county-level analysis on COVID-19 spread, comparing rural counties with a large share of meatpacking workers to nonmetropolitan counties that were similarly dependent on other single manufacturing industries, using the time frame of mid-March to the end of 2020. In mid-April 2020, COVID-19 cases in meatpacking-dependent rural counties rose to more than 12 times compared to rural counties dependent on other single manufacturing industries. This difference disappeared completely by mid-July and held steady throughout the year. We demonstrate that our results are robust to a battery of robustness checks ruling out the set of plausible alternative hypotheses, including examining data on COVID-19 spread among meatpacking workers directly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3637-3660 Issue: 31 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2117776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2117776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:31:p:3637-3660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2117272_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tannista Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Tannista Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Author-Name: HaiYue Zhao Author-X-Name-First: HaiYue Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Eating out and eating right: Understanding the relationship between food consumption decision and education using comprehensive consumer level data Abstract: The relation between education and health has been well established in the literature, especially as it pertains to chronic diseases like obesity. But, due to data limitations, most extant research lacks a direct explanation of unhealthy eating behaviour. The current study examines this relationship among a diverse set of compositional place indicators with direct measurement of healthy and unhealthy eating behaviour across census block groups in the United States. We empirically examine the relationships between education, obesity, and the number of patrons at healthy and unhealthy eating establishments in the United States. Results obtained through various alternative empirical models show the effect of education on unhealthy eating habits. People who reside in areas with low education show higher frequencies of unhealthy eating behaviours. We also found that the number of reviews is essential to both healthy and unhealthy restaurants. Furthermore, we observed a significant change in food choices on weekdays vs. weekends. On weekends, consumers are less sensitive about the price for both healthy and unhealthy restaurants. These results contribute to previous studies on the reduced health status in low-educated geographical locations. The results point to important policy implications for mitigating obesity and improving healthy eating by geographical variation Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3609-3622 Issue: 31 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2117272 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2117272 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:31:p:3609-3622 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2115455_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: José Alves Author-X-Name-First: José Author-X-Name-Last: Alves Title: Are fiscal consolidation episodes helpful for public sector efficiency? Abstract: We assess the consequences of fiscal consolidation episodes on public sector efficiency (scores) for 35 OECD countries for the 2007–2020 period. We find that fiscal consolidations improve public sector efficiency and results are robust across efficiency models. Moreover, peripheral euro-area economies and economies with debt-to-GDP ratios between 60% and 90% are those whose public sector efficiency scores improve more when fiscal consolidation episodes occur. The evidence that fiscal consolidations enhance spending efficiency is an additional argument for fiscal consolidations, from a policy perspective. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3547-3560 Issue: 31 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2115455 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2115455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:31:p:3547-3560 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2115973_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhiyang Hui Author-X-Name-First: Zhiyang Author-X-Name-Last: Hui Author-Name: Hongyan Fang Author-X-Name-First: Hongyan Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: Government controlling ownership and CEO compensation incentives: evidence from China Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between government-controlling ownership and CEO compensation incentives in China, using a comprehensive evaluation of CEO pay-performance sensitivity (PPS). We find that government-controlling ownership weakens CEO PPS, with PPS being around 6 lower for CEOs in state-owned enterprises (SOEs) than CEOs in non-state-owned enterprises (non-SOEs), representing a reduction of around 14% for a CEO with the average level of PPS. The results sustain after using privatization as the experiment setting wherein firms’ ultimate controllers changed from government owners to private owners. Moreover, the negative influence of government controlling ownership on CEO compensation incentives is more prominent in SOEs with a higher level of government ownership or a lower hierarchy government as the controller. We also explore the association between CEO incentives and firm performance and find that PPS in SOEs is more important in association with firms’ stock performance than non-SOEs. Results in this paper extend studies on the influence of government controlling ownership on CEO compensation incentives, an issue that is caught much attention in the ongoing reform of China’s SOEs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3561-3579 Issue: 31 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2115973 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2115973 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:31:p:3561-3579 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174933_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ilhang Shin Author-X-Name-First: Ilhang Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Author-Name: Hansol Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hansol Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Do related party transactions promote or depress a firm’s investment in organization capital? Abstract: We examine whether related party transactions influence a firm’s investment in organization capital, using a sample of Korean firms from 2001 to 2020. Given that the high magnitude of related party transactions increases a firm’s dependence on the captive market within related parties, we hypothesize that a firm’s incentives to invest in intangible capital are low when there are heavy related party transactions. We find the negative relationship between related party transactions and a firm’s investment in organization capital, consistent with the notion that related party transactions significantly impact the firm’s operations. We also find that such a relationship is more pronounced for firms in the high-tech industry and those that are financially weak. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3661-3674 Issue: 31 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174933 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174933 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:31:p:3661-3674 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2116390_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee Author-X-Name-First: Mohsen Author-X-Name-Last: Bahmani-Oskooee Author-Name: Hesam Ghodsi Author-X-Name-First: Hesam Author-X-Name-Last: Ghodsi Author-Name: Muris Hadzic Author-X-Name-First: Muris Author-X-Name-Last: Hadzic Author-Name: Hardik Marfatia Author-X-Name-First: Hardik Author-X-Name-Last: Marfatia Title: Asymmetric relationship between money supply and house prices in states across the U.S Abstract: There is an intricate link between money supply and house prices. However, housing markets have downward price rigidity, different supply elasticities, and changing market sentiments. Thus, the response of house prices to expansionary monetary policy shocks differs from contractionary shocks. We use an asymmetric/nonlinear autoregressive distributive lag (NARDL) approach to estimate the asymmetric effects of money supply on house prices in each state in the U.S. a practice that makes our study differ from previous research. The house price growth in 38 states responds symmetrically to money supply changes in the short run. However, in 48 states, positive changes in money supply impact house prices differently from negative changes in the short run. In addition, there is a long-run relationship between money supply and house prices, but only when we account for asymmetries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3580-3608 Issue: 31 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2116390 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2116390 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:31:p:3580-3608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2117775_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Tian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Cangfeng Wang Author-X-Name-First: Cangfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Innovation activity and exports by destination Abstract: This article examines the effect of innovation activity on exports by destination using firm-level data from two India surveys collected by the World Bank. Both OLS regressions and IV estimations using innovation-reason indicators as the exogenous variation in innovation activity show the following findings. Firms with spending on R&D activity increase exports to richer destinations and consequently increase total exports than those without. This suggests that firms in lower-middle-income countries like India need to engage in R&D activity to satisfy the quality requirement in richer countries and increase exports. However, there is no consistent evidence that firms with a new process/product have such a causal effect. The contrast may reflect that, in poorer countries like India, instead of introducing new processes/products, spending on formal R&D activity is one more appropriate measure of innovation activity for the international market.https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519 Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3623-3636 Issue: 31 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2117775 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2117775 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:31:p:3623-3636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2118221_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Maoyong Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Maoyong Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Yutong Yao Author-X-Name-First: Yutong Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Does anti-corruption contribute to improving environmental pollution in China? Abstract: We examine the effects of anti-corruption efforts on local environmental pollution in China. Using data for China from 2003 to 2017, we find that anti-corruption efforts contribute to reduce local environmental pollution. Second, we show the two possible channels through which the anti-corruption efforts reduce local environmental pollution: political connection effects and deterrent effects. Finally, our results show that the effects of anti-corruption efforts on local environmental pollution are stronger in cities located south of the ‘Qin ling Mountains-Huai he River’, in cities with stronger government and public concern for the environment. Our main results pass a series of robustness tests. Overall, we offer novel evidence that anti-corruption efforts contribute to improving environmental quality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3766-3787 Issue: 32 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2118221 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2118221 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:32:p:3766-3787 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2118222_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Adrian Zoicas-Ienciu Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Zoicas-Ienciu Author-Name: Maria Miruna Pochea Author-X-Name-First: Maria Miruna Author-X-Name-Last: Pochea Title: What drives trend-following profits in stocks? The role of the trading signals’ volatility Abstract: We document the influence of stock volatility on trend-following profits for a global sample of 1618 blue-chip stocks, across 43911 evaluation subperiods (2004–2018). We use the price sensitivity of trend signals (i.e. signal volatility) to isolate the detrimental impact of high stock volatility manifested through excessive/inefficient trading. Despite its almost null correlation with the stocks’ mean-variance characteristics, the signal volatility greatly complements them in explaining the time series variation in trend-following excess returns. The results hold for both the buy and sell excess returns, are robust across stock markets, and conserve after considering explicit and implicit trading costs. Investors can use ex postsignal volatility estimates as a valid criterion to choose across potential trading rules, according to their specific levels of risk aversion and transaction costs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3788-3805 Issue: 32 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2118222 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2118222 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:32:p:3788-3805 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2117781_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tenkir Seifu Legesse Author-X-Name-First: Tenkir Seifu Author-X-Name-Last: Legesse Author-Name: Haifeng Guo Author-X-Name-First: Haifeng Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Ying Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jiqiang Tang Author-X-Name-First: Jiqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Zhen Wu Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: The impact of economic policy uncertainty and financial development on the sensitivity of corporate cash holding to cash flows Abstract: The paper examines how economic policy uncertainty and financial development affect a firm’s cash-holding policy before and after the global financial crisis. Using Chinese nonfinancial firm data from 1997 to 2018, we obtain three main findings. First, economic policy uncertainty increases corporate cash holdings and its sensitivity to operating cash flows. Second, financial institution and market developments reduce corporate cash-holdings’ cash flow sensitivity. Third, the impact of economic policy uncertainty on corporate cash-holdings’ sensitivity to operating cash flows decreases with financial development. Firms adjust their cash-holding policy in response to changes in economic policy uncertainty and financial development, indicating that macroeconomic factors determine the precautionary motive for holding cash. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3728-3746 Issue: 32 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2117781 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2117781 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:32:p:3728-3746 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2117782_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yunxi Tang Author-X-Name-First: Yunxi Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Kung-Cheng Ho Author-X-Name-First: Kung-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Ho Author-Name: Ji (George) Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ji (George) Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Liping Zou Author-X-Name-First: Liping Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Author-Name: Shouyu Yao Author-X-Name-First: Shouyu Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Title: Directors and officers liability insurance and maturity mismatch: evidence from China Abstract: We investigate the impact of the purchase of Directors’ and Officers’ liability insurance (D&O insurance) on a firm’s risk-taking behaviour in China, measured by the firm’s maturity mismatch ratio. Using a unique manually collected dataset, we find a significant positive relationship between a firm’s purchase of D&O insurance and the firm’s maturity mismatch ratio, which supports the moral hazard theory. The mechanisms of our main finding are corresponding internal and external monitoring, in which the main finding is only significant for firms under weak monitoring. Our result remains significant after employing several approaches to alleviate potential endogeneity concerns, including an alternative sample and the sensitivity test model. Our paper sheds some extra light on the issue related to D&O insurance in a country with inadequate internal supervision and weak investor protection and the determinant of a firm’s maturity mismatch ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3747-3765 Issue: 32 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2117782 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2117782 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:32:p:3747-3765 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2117779_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hanan Amin Mohamed Author-X-Name-First: Hanan Amin Author-X-Name-Last: Mohamed Title: The role of digital transformation in the socio-economic recovery post COVID-19 Abstract: Several measures have been taken to reduce the impact of COVID-19 pandemic. One of these measures is the broad digital transformation that has rapidly and unexpectedly forced the deployment of digital technologies into corporations’ business models and organizational structures. This digital transformation has affected all the socio-economic aspects. In response to the COVID-19 global pandemic, this paper explores the impact of the implementation of digital transformation on the socio-economic recovery by employing cross-sectional regression analysis on 99 countries in year 2020. The paper analyzes the impact of digital transformation on each of economic growth, health care, and income inequality. The results reveal that the digital transformation has a positive and significant impact on the GDP per capita in which a 1% increase in digital transformation results in 1.52% increase in GDP per capita, a positive and significant impact on income equality in which a 1% increase in digital transformation leads to 0.05% increase in income equality, and a negative and significant impact on infant mortality rate, in which a 1% increase in digital transformation results in 0.85% decrease in infant mortality rate which reflects its positive impact on the health care. Hence, the digital transformation has a positive and significant effects on different socio-economic aspects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3716-3727 Issue: 32 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2117779 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2117779 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:32:p:3716-3727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2117778_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Junlin Mu Author-X-Name-First: Junlin Author-X-Name-Last: Mu Author-Name: Lipeng Yan Author-X-Name-First: Lipeng Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Shanshan Wu Author-X-Name-First: Shanshan Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Growing with inequality: a DSGE model with heterogeneous human capital and endogenous economic growth Abstract: We try to explain the simultaneous increases in economic growth and income inequality in China with a heterogeneous endogenous growth-based DSGE model. It is found that: First, our model can simulate the positive correlation between economic growth and income inequality in China. China’s economic development has created better conditions and incentives for the accumulation of human capital of workers with high initial human capital, thus stimulating them to contribute more to economic growth, but this widens the income inequality simultaneously. Second, the change in economic growth and the change in income inequality also exhibit a positive correlation under the influence of various policy shock. Any shock that raises economic growth, such as different types of technology shock and investment shock (after 8 quarters), will correspondingly widen income inequality. Conversely, any shock that reduces economic growth, such as fiscal spending shock, interest rate shock and investment shock (before 8 quarters) will correspondingly reduce income inequality. Third, the government’s preference for workers with high initial human capital in the implementation of macroeconomic policies determines the positive correlation between the change in economic growth and in income inequality. Workers with high initial human capital are central to the effectiveness of macroeconomic policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3689-3715 Issue: 32 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2117778 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2117778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:32:p:3689-3715 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2117777_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Alessandro Cremaschini Author-X-Name-First: Alessandro Author-X-Name-Last: Cremaschini Author-Name: Antonio Punzo Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Punzo Author-Name: Eliano Martellucci Author-X-Name-First: Eliano Author-X-Name-Last: Martellucci Author-Name: Antonello Maruotti Author-X-Name-First: Antonello Author-X-Name-Last: Maruotti Title: On stylized facts of cryptocurrencies returns and their relationship with other assets, with a focus on the impact of COVID-19 Abstract: This study provides an empirical analysis on the main univariate and multivariate stylized facts iin return series of the two of the largest cryptocurrencies, namely Ethereum and Bitcoin. A Markov-Switching Vector AutoRegression model is considered to further explore the dynamic relationships between cryptocurrencies and other financial assets. We estimate the presence of volatility clustering, a rapid decay of the autocorrelation function, an excess of kurtosis and multivariate little cross-correlation across the series, except for contemporaneous returns. The analysis covers the pandemic period and sheds lights on the behaviour of cryptocurrencies under unexpected extreme events. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3675-3688 Issue: 32 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2117777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2117777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:32:p:3675-3688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2120179_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Humberto Brea-Solís Author-X-Name-First: Humberto Author-X-Name-Last: Brea-Solís Author-Name: Emili Grifell-Tatjé Author-X-Name-First: Emili Author-X-Name-Last: Grifell-Tatjé Title: Winners and losers of the productivity gains of the American agricultural sector Abstract: The aim of this study is twofold. First, to identify who benefited from the productivity growth of the American agricultural sector from 1960 to 2004. Second, to measure the relationship between changes in productivity, its distribution, and the evolution of variables linked with climate change. This study shifts the attention from the drivers of productivity change to how it is distributed. Our results show that the stakeholders of the US agricultural sector do not benefit equally from productivity growth. Moreover, it provides empirical evidence that supports the treadmill theory about how technological innovation pushes some farmers out of the market. Concerning the relationship between extreme weather variables (precipitation, temperature, and droughts) and the distribution of productivity change, this depends on the geographical situation of the state. Some stakeholders might be the winners of anomalous climate events in some regions of the US. These findings suggest that reaching a consensus on initiatives to stop climate change will be extremely difficult. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3915-3930 Issue: 33 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2120179 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2120179 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:33:p:3915-3930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2118962_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Vaseem Akram Author-X-Name-First: Vaseem Author-X-Name-Last: Akram Author-Name: Badri Narayan Rath Author-X-Name-First: Badri Narayan Author-X-Name-Last: Rath Author-Name: Bibhudutta Panda Author-X-Name-First: Bibhudutta Author-X-Name-Last: Panda Title: Convergence Analysis of Social Sector Expenditure and its Components: Evidence from the Indian States Abstract: This paper examines the convergence of public expenditure and its major components using sub-national data from India. By employing the panel club convergence test, the paper finds convergence in per capita public expenditure across Indian states implying that distribution policies of public expenditure are effective and fair across the states. Subsequently, the convergence of per capita total social sector expenditure and its major components are studied. The results support the evidence of convergence for total social sector expenditures and in the case of its components, we find that six of the nine components display regional convergence. Three components, namely, per capita education, sports, art and culture expenditure; per capita social security and welfare expenditure; and per capita rural development expenditure display the evidence of divergence and the presence of multiple transition paths. From the policy perspective, these three components of social expenditures need greater attention by the state governments as these expenditures are important for social cohesion, sustainable development, and achieving millennium development goals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3850-3862 Issue: 33 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2118962 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2118962 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:33:p:3850-3862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2118225_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Mingzhi Hu Author-X-Name-First: Mingzhi Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Jie Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Land redevelopment and migrant inflows in Chinese cities Abstract: This paper investigates how land redevelopment is associated with a city’s potential to attract migrants. Based on empirical analysis conducted by using over one million records of land transaction data between 2008 and 2018 in Chinese cities, we observe that cities with a larger ratio of redevelopment land in the total area of land supply on average have attracted more of the migrant population. Moreover, a high proportion of redevelopment area for public services and infrastructure in the total land redevelopment area can further attract migrants. We also find a larger effect of land redevelopment in attracting migrant inflows in less developed regions than developed regions. These findings suggest the advantages of intensive urban strategy (‘compact urban’) compared with extensive urban strategy (‘urban sprawl’) in attracting migrant population. Implications of these findings for urban governancear are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3833-3849 Issue: 33 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2118225 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2118225 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:33:p:3833-3849 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2118224_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ali Saeedi Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Saeedi Title: A High-Dimensional Approach to Predicting Audit Opinions Abstract: This study develops a model for the prediction of audit reports. The research data comprises 57881 firm-year observations for public companies listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), and the NASDAQ from 2000 to 2019. The dataset consists of a high dimension of predictor variables (105 variables), including accounting-based, ownership concentration, executive compensation, market price, analysts rating, macroeconomic, and audit-related variables. A commercial version of Gradient Boosting, called TreeNet®, is used to build the prediction model. The results indicate that the developed model demonstrates high performance in predicting going-concern reports with an accuracy rate of 97.5%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3807-3832 Issue: 33 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2118224 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2118224 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:33:p:3807-3832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2119200_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Abigail Cormier Author-X-Name-First: Abigail Author-X-Name-Last: Cormier Author-Name: Austin F. Eggers Author-X-Name-First: Austin F. Author-X-Name-Last: Eggers Author-Name: Peter a Groothuis Author-X-Name-First: Peter a Author-X-Name-Last: Groothuis Author-Name: Kurt W. Rotthoff Author-X-Name-First: Kurt W. Author-X-Name-Last: Rotthoff Title: The impact of basketball malfeasance on the university and its rankings Abstract: Collegiate sports have a profound impact on a university beyond athletics. Successful athletics have been shown to have a positive impact on the institution. Likewise, athletic malfeasance has been shown to negatively impact the university. We analyse tournament bans in Division I college basketball as a signal for university quality in rankings (U.S. News and World Report’s peer rankings), student quality, and other university measures. We find evidence that following a postseason tournament ban, applications from students in the top ten percent of their high school class decrease, some evidence that academic test scores decrease, and some evidence that the amount of alumni donations decrease. These results suggest that an athletic department’s malfeasance leads to a decline in university quality. We do, however, find that peer rankings from faculty administrators fall the year of the ban, only to increase slightly two years after sanctions for athletic malfeasance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3902-3914 Issue: 33 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2119200 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2119200 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:33:p:3902-3914 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2118963_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Annalisa Cristini Author-X-Name-First: Annalisa Author-X-Name-Last: Cristini Author-Name: Mara Grasseni Author-X-Name-First: Mara Author-X-Name-Last: Grasseni Author-Name: Silvana Signori Author-X-Name-First: Silvana Author-X-Name-Last: Signori Title: Can worker cooperatives stabilize employment and remain financially sound during a prolonged recession? Abstract: This paper uses financial accounting data of the universe of Italian worker cooperatives, from 2011 to 2018, to examine whether cooperatives were able to achieve employment stabilization in a period of prolonged recession. Since wages have experienced, in most of the period, a negative growth, we further consider whether wages’ downward flexibility had been sufficient to sustain employment stabilization and whether, under these circumstances, cooperatives’ financial solidity had weakened. Given the non-experimental setting, we proceed by defining a control group of conventional firms to which we compare the group of worker cooperatives. We find evidence that, relative to the control group, during negative demand shocks, worker cooperative contained employment drop and allowed a greater downward wage adjustment. Their profitability and equity ratio also fell by more than in the control group. We find significant-sector heterogeneity, especially in response to positive demand shocks; in Less Knowledge Intensive Services and in Constructions, which together comprise more than 70% of worker cooperatives, it is employment, rather than wages, that rises by more than in conventional firms. This suggests that in the aftermath of a prolonged recession most worker cooperatives chose to favour growth at the expense of members’ wage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3863-3883 Issue: 33 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2118963 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2118963 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:33:p:3863-3883 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2119199_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ripon Kumar Mondal Author-X-Name-First: Ripon Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Mondal Author-Name: Eliyathamby a Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Eliyathamby a Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: Moazzem Hossain Author-X-Name-First: Moazzem Author-X-Name-Last: Hossain Title: Rural versus urban food security in Bangladesh Abstract: Within contemporary global food security discourse, the difference in food security issues between rural and urban households has received scant attention. Since urban and rural livelihoods and lifestyles are different, we hypothesized that the determinants of food security between rural and urban households could also be different. This study is one of the first attempts to thoroughly examine the difference in food security between rural and urban households in Bangladesh. Using recent field survey data from Bangladesh, and applying the binary logistic model, firstly, we find that rural households are likely to be more food secure than urban households. Secondly, this study finds that the determinants of food security vary between rural and urban households. Hence, policymakers and administrators must understand the specific community-level conditions so that they can identify which of the key variables must be addressed in the development of programmes to improve food security both in rural and urban areas. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3884-3901 Issue: 33 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2119199 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2119199 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:33:p:3884-3901 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2123103_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Nermeen Shehata Author-X-Name-First: Nermeen Author-X-Name-Last: Shehata Author-Name: Siva Nathan Author-X-Name-First: Siva Author-X-Name-Last: Nathan Author-Name: Omar Farooq Author-X-Name-First: Omar Author-X-Name-Last: Farooq Author-Name: Khaled Dahawy Author-X-Name-First: Khaled Author-X-Name-Last: Dahawy Title: External audit and tax evasion: evidence from India Abstract: This paper aims to examine the relationship between voluntary external audit by privately held firms and tax evasion in India. We use data generated by the World Bank Enterprise Survey which is based on interviews conducted over 2013 and 2014 only. Our final sample includes 7,262 privately held Indian firms. Our research reports the following results for privately held companies in India: (1) Firms with voluntarily audited financial statements are more likely to evade taxes; (2) Firms that face financing constraints are more likely to have stronger relationship between voluntary external audit and tax evasion; (3) Firms operating in Indian states with better business environment (as measured by ease of doing business) are more likely to have weaker relationship between voluntary external audit and tax evasion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4023-4036 Issue: 34 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2123103 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2123103 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:34:p:4023-4036 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2120959_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Luis Guirola Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Guirola Author-Name: Javier J. Pérez Author-X-Name-First: Javier J. Author-X-Name-Last: Pérez Title: The decoupling between public debt fundamentals and bond spreads after the European sovereign debt crisis Abstract: We contribute to the literature that documents empirically that the relationship between public debt fundamentals and sovereign bond spreads in Spain, France, and Italy (versus Germany) weakened after the 2010–2012 episode of sovereign debt markets’ significant distress. To construct our measure of public debt fundamentals, we build on the literature that combines the Value at Risk approach with the estimation of the correlation pattern of public debt dynamics’ macroeconomic determinants via Vector Auto Regressions (VARs) to estimate the probability distribution of alternative debt trajectories. Since we incorporate in the VAR new information in a sequential manner, we are able to retrieve time-varying probabilities that characterize the expected behaviour of debt at a given point in time in the future. We then empirically confront such probabilistic indicators with market-derived sovereign bond spreads. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3971-3979 Issue: 34 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2120959 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2120959 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:34:p:3971-3979 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2121379_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jayadevan Cm Author-X-Name-First: Jayadevan Author-X-Name-Last: Cm Author-Name: Nam Trung Hoang Author-X-Name-First: Nam Trung Author-X-Name-Last: Hoang Author-Name: Subba Reddy Yarram Author-X-Name-First: Subba Reddy Author-X-Name-Last: Yarram Title: Human capital and the middle-income trap revisited Abstract: Middle-income trap refers to the economic growth strategies that transition low-income countries into middle-income ones but fail to transition the middle-income countries into high-income countries. We observe the existence of a middle-income trap for upper-middle- and lower-middle-income countries. We examine the reasons for the middle-income trap using the Bayesian model averaging (BMA) and generalized method of moments (GMM). We also explore the transformation of middle-income economies into high-income economies using logistic, probit and Limited Information Maximum Likelihood (LIML) regression analyses. Random forest analysis is also used to check the robustness of the findings. BMA analysis shows that education plays an enabling role in high-income countries in determining economic growth, whereas the full potential of education is not fully utilized in middle-income countries. GMM estimations show that the education coefficient is positive and significant for high-income and middle-income countries. This implies that education plays a decisive positive role in achieving economic growth and gives a path to escape from the middle-income trap. However, the education coefficient for middle-income countries is approximately half that of high-income countries. Therefore, the findings of this study call for additional investment and focused strategies relating to human capital endowments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4003-4022 Issue: 34 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2121379 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2121379 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:34:p:4003-4022 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2120960_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lihong Yu Author-X-Name-First: Lihong Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Wenxiong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Wenxiong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yongzheng Cui Author-X-Name-First: Yongzheng Author-X-Name-Last: Cui Author-Name: Wei Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Zitong Fu Author-X-Name-First: Zitong Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Letian He Author-X-Name-First: Letian Author-X-Name-Last: He Title: Influence of capital endowment on rural households’ willingness to pay for rural human settlement improvement: evidence from rural China Abstract: Studying the influence of capital endowment on rural households’ willingness to pay (WTP) for rural human settlement improvement (RHSI) will help to seek a breakthrough for implementing a rural environmental management payment system. According to Bourdieu’s practical theory, this study establishes a theoretical analysis model and research hypothesis of capital endowment (economic capital, cultural capital, and social capital) and rural households’ WTP for RHSI. This study uses the Double-Hurdle Model to empirically analyse the effect of capital endowment on rural households’ two-stage WTP for RHSI (the payment inclination and the willingness payment amount). This study found that capital endowment has a significant positive impact on rural households’ WTP for RHSI. Economic capital (annual household income, number of agricultural machinery), cultural capital (head of household’s education level, migrant work experience, and the degree of current affairs awareness), and social capital (moral restraint, interpersonal trust, and institutional trust) can significantly increase a rural household’s payment inclination and willingness payment amount. Accordingly, this study proposes policy recommendations to incorporate rural households’ interest demands into the development and implementation process of RHSI projects, and to strengthen the accumulation of the three types of capital endowments of rural households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3980-3995 Issue: 34 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2120960 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2120960 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:34:p:3980-3995 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2120958_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Rongbing Huang Author-X-Name-First: Rongbing Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Auditing the environmental accountability of local officials and the corporate green response: evidence from China Abstract: Auditing the natural-resource asset accountability of local officials is an institutional innovation that China used to transform its mode of economic development from that of an ‘industrial civilization’ to an ‘ecological civilization’. This study investigated the effect of changes in the assessment of local officials for promotion (i.e. including environmental protection in the assessment, along with economic performance) on the green response of enterprises. To this end, a nationwide pilot project (2015–2017) involving the auditing of natural-resource assets for local officials was used as a quasi-experiment. The results indicated that the green response level of the treatment (audit pilot) group was significantly higher than that of the control group. This indicated that the system for auditing the natural-resource assets for local officials had environmental governance effects. According to a mediation analysis, both governmental subsidies and bank credit mediated the effect of auditing on green response of enterprises. This indicates that during the pilot audits of natural-resource assets, high-polluting enterprises mainly met the requirements of the government and banks for a green response to obtain economic support. This study provides empirical evidence for evaluating policy effects and strengthening the audits of local officials’ environmental accountability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3950-3970 Issue: 34 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2120958 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2120958 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:34:p:3950-3970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2120180_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ekta Sikarwar Author-X-Name-First: Ekta Author-X-Name-Last: Sikarwar Title: Determinants of Foreign exchange exposure during the COVID-19 crisis: A Multi-country evidence Abstract: The research question of which firm-level factors make firms more vulnerable to exchange rate fluctuations during periods of crisis has rarely been explored by prior literature. Using a large sample of 1577 firms from 9 developed and 11 emerging countries, this study presents a comprehensive analysis of how firm-level factors affect firms’ foreign exchange exposure before and during the COVID-19 crisis. The results provide evidence of a substantial increase in firms’ linear exposure during the COVID-19 period. The cross-sectional analysis reveals that the effects of firm-level variables on exposure are more pronounced during crisis periods and are different from non-crisis periods. Firms that have effective asset utilization or large operating profit margins remain less exposed during times of stress. Contrary to hedging theory, firms that have high incentives to hedge such as firms with high financial leverage become highly exposed to currency fluctuations during crisis periods. The interaction analysis provides further evidence that firms with high leverage can limit their foreign exchange exposure during periods of crisis if they have high asset turnover or high operating profits. The results offer important practical implications to firms for risk management during periods of crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3931-3949 Issue: 34 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2120180 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2120180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:34:p:3931-3949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2121378_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Christopher M. Duquette Author-X-Name-First: Christopher M. Author-X-Name-Last: Duquette Title: An exploratory study on the migration-pattern impact of coal dust in the US Abstract: In this exploratory study, it is observed that there is a potentially important dimension of the quality of life that has been effectively ignored in prior migration studies in the U.S.: air quality as reflected by the presence of coal dust per se. Accordingly, it is hypothesized in this study that an elevated presence of coal dust in close proximity to a prospective residence will act to discourage in-migration (both net in-migration and gross in-migration) because of the greater threat of adverse health impacts and because of elevated expected and/or actual pure economic costs per se, for example, deterioration of one’s physical assets, including automobile(s) and housing, that accompany close proximity to elevated airborne coal dust. There is strong empirical support for this ‘coal dust/in-migration hypothesis’. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3996-4002 Issue: 34 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2121378 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2121378 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:34:p:3996-4002 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2123105_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mengfan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Mengfan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yuxiang Hong Author-X-Name-First: Yuxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Title: Effects of civilized cities commendation on urban green innovation: evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China Abstract: Based on non-economic field promotion tournament theory, this study examines the linkage between civilized cities commendation policy (CCCP) and urban green innovation (UGI). Using the panel data of 279 cities in China from 2003 to 2018, the difference-in-differences, propensity score matching difference-in-differences, and difference-in-differences spatial dobbin models are established to verify the hypotheses. The empirical results show that CCCP has a positive effect on UGI; innovation investments and innovation talents significantly mediate the relationship between CCCP and UGI; environmental governance intensity positively moderates the relationships between CCCP and UGI, innovation investments and UGI, as well as innovation talent agglomeration and UGI; and the influence of CCCP on UGI has a spatial spillover effect and a spatial attenuation boundary. These findings provide practical insights towards the improvement of urban evaluation and commendation systems, as well as green innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4060-4077 Issue: 35 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2123105 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2123105 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:35:p:4060-4077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2123107_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Miao Yu Author-X-Name-First: Miao Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Xiaolu Hu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaolu Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Angel Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Angel Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Title: The spread of COVID-19 in stock returns along global value chains Abstract: This paper examines the performance of industries in the trade network in international stock markets during the onset of COVID-19. In general, the value of all industries in G20 countries declines significantly in the pandemic. Stock returns of industries in the central positions of global value chains exhibit remarkable resilience despite the economic hardship caused by COVID-19. This pattern is more pronounced when the disruptions caused by social distancing requirements are considered. We postulate that this is related to the essential services provided by the central industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4091-4107 Issue: 35 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2123107 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2123107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:35:p:4091-4107 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2125494_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhen Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yanyan Shen Author-X-Name-First: Yanyan Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Maogang Tang Author-X-Name-First: Maogang Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Government subsidies and the development of PPP projects: evidence from China Abstract: Based on micro data on public-private partnership (PPP) projects in China, this study adopts the survival analysis model and the difference-in-difference-in-differences (DDD) method to explore the effects of government subsidies on PPP project development. We investigate PPP project development from the perspective of contract signing and construction commencement, making an original contribution to the existing literature. We find that government subsidies can promote the faster signing of PPP contracts but cannot promote on-time construction commencement of PPP projects. This is because government subsidies do not solve the financing constraints that restrict the commencement of PPP project construction. Additionally, government subsidies can promote the faster signing of PPP contracts and on-time construction commencement of PPP projects in areas with high PPP market transparency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4130-4145 Issue: 35 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2125494 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2125494 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:35:p:4130-4145 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2123104_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Vivek Bhargava Author-X-Name-First: Vivek Author-X-Name-Last: Bhargava Author-Name: Mukesh K. Chaudhry Author-X-Name-First: Mukesh K. Author-X-Name-Last: Chaudhry Title: Trend reversal and alpha generation by hedge funds Abstract: Hedge funds use different strategies to outperform benchmark indices by undertaking complex, versatile and dynamic techniques. These strategies may however create alpha generating opportunities in the time series that may be contrary to the existence of random walk behaviour. Tests using unit-root structural break analysis led to rejection of random walk hypothesis favouring trend stationarity or mean reversion. Additional tests including structural breaks are conducted to establish persistence of alpha generating opportunities for twelve different hedge fund indices. For some strategies, profitable prospects occur only before the break date, as evidence suggests a paradigm shift between the two periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4037-4059 Issue: 35 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2123104 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2123104 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:35:p:4037-4059 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2123106_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Maria Alessandra Antonelli Author-X-Name-First: Maria Alessandra Author-X-Name-Last: Antonelli Author-Name: Angelo Castaldo Author-X-Name-First: Angelo Author-X-Name-Last: Castaldo Author-Name: Valeria De Bonis Author-X-Name-First: Valeria Author-X-Name-Last: De Bonis Title: Assessing the interdependence of social policy outcomes: evidence from European countries Abstract: This paper investigates the existence of social policy interdependence in 22 European countries. We find that the outcomes of social policies achieved in a country are influenced by the social outcomes obtained in other countries; more precisely, there is a positive correlation between the level of welfare services in a country and a weighted average of the welfare services level in other countries, with the weights capturing the different degrees of proximity between them. The other determinants of social outcomes include the efficiency of the expenditure process, the GDP level, and the redistributive preferences of the median voter. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4078-4090 Issue: 35 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2123106 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2123106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:35:p:4078-4090 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2125495_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mohammad Bitar Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Author-X-Name-Last: Bitar Author-Name: Imane El Ouadghiri Author-X-Name-First: Imane Author-X-Name-Last: El Ouadghiri Author-Name: Jonathan Peillex Author-X-Name-First: Jonathan Author-X-Name-Last: Peillex Title: A cross-institutional exploratory investigation of COVID-19 spread: formal vs. informal institutions Abstract: We investigate the effect of culture on COVID-19 spread using a sample of 67 countries over the first 10 months of the pandemic. We find that individualistic countries have higher number of COVID-19 cases, an effect that is independent from formal institutions. A two-ways interaction effects, however, between formal institutions and individualism, shows that effective political institutions, sound governance, and better economic conditions reduce the effect on individualism on CVODI-19 spread. Our findings provide evidence that are useful not only for explaining differences in COVID-19 spread between countries but can also enable policymakers and organizations to understand what generally determines individuals’ compliance with formal rules and regulations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4146-4163 Issue: 35 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2125495 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2125495 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:35:p:4146-4163 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2125493_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hai Hong Trinh Author-X-Name-First: Hai Hong Author-X-Name-Last: Trinh Author-Name: Michael McCord Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: McCord Author-Name: Daniel Lo Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Lo Author-Name: Graham Squires Author-X-Name-First: Graham Author-X-Name-Last: Squires Title: Do green growth and technological innovation matter to infrastructure investments in the era of climate change? Global evidence Abstract: This study investigates the nexus between green growth, technological innovations, and infrastructure investment trends, through an international investigation of 56 countries for the period of 2000–2020. Based on the Environmental Impact by Population, Affluence and Technology (IPAT) and Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence and Technology (STIRPAT) frameworks, the study looks at the nexus between infrastructure investments, green growth, and technological innovations in the era of climate change. We find that increases in global carbon emissions are associated with higher infrastructure investment needs for the sustainable development of the world’s economy. Besides global infrastructure investments for sustainable development goals (SDGs), the economic costs of climate change are also reflected in technological innovations across countries and sectors. With higher investments in technological innovations such as low-carbon infrastructure and energy technologies, we highlight the roles of environment-oriented R&D and taxes in our global sample. The findings are validated through utilising a set of econometric techniques and are particularly crucial to emerging economies, and pollutingeconomies with high climate risk exposure. SDGs. Our study provides a formal empirical investigation of climate change, investments in infrastructure, and green growth. We also provide critical policy implications, future directions, and agendas in sustainable green finance and climate economics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4108-4129 Issue: 35 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2125493 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2125493 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:35:p:4108-4129 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2126817_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Ying Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Wei Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: High-speed railway and rural poverty alleviation Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of high-speed railway (HSR) on rural poverty alleviation in China. Using a large sample of Chinese prefecture-level cities for the 2003–2013 period, we provide evidence that HSR has a positive effect on rural poverty alleviation. This finding is robust to a battery of robustness tests. In addition, we find that HSR can reduce rural poverty by improving employment rates in the manufacturing and construction industries. Our study suggests that HSR can play an important role in rural poverty alleviation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4165-4176 Issue: 36 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2126817 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2126817 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:36:p:4165-4176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2128175_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Giulio Fusco Author-X-Name-First: Giulio Author-X-Name-Last: Fusco Author-Name: Pierluigi Toma Author-X-Name-First: Pierluigi Author-X-Name-Last: Toma Author-Name: Yari Vecchio Author-X-Name-First: Yari Author-X-Name-Last: Vecchio Title: Efficiency, gender diversity and public aid: evidence from Italian agrifood sector Abstract: The aim of this empirical analysis is to assess the economic efficiency of Italian farms across provinces, to determine whether production efficiency is correlated with gender differences in farm ownership and the level of European agricultural subsidies received. This study uses a bootstrap-Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) approach to analyse data collected from the Farm Accountancy Data Network. The data show that male-led farms are dominant throughout Italy and are generally more efficient than female-led farms. However, northern region farms are relatively more productive than southern region farms, despite male-led farms being less dominant in the north than in the south. Further, while male-led farms were more predominant in the south, and receive the greatest share of European agricultural assistance per province, they are relatively less efficient. These results imply that refocusing entrepreneurial and financial assistance to northern region farms, with a relatively higher ratio of female-led farming operations, can promote overall Italian agricultural efficiency while also decreasing the gender gap in agricultural efficiency that exists between male-led and female-led Italian farms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4177-4193 Issue: 36 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2128175 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2128175 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:36:p:4177-4193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2128179_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Woo Jae Lee Author-X-Name-First: Woo Jae Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Seung Uk Choi Author-X-Name-First: Seung Uk Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Abnormal audit fees and accounting quality: further evidence from audit hours Abstract: This study examines whether auditors compromise accounting quality by charging abnormally high audit fees. In particular, by drawing on the audit pricing theory, we investigate the relationship between abnormal audit fees and accounting quality, using fee residuals derived from an audit fee model that includes audit hours and hourly fees. Using listed firms in the Korean stock market, we find that the negative relationship between abnormal audit fees and accounting quality does not hold when we use abnormal audit fees estimated after controlling for audit hours. In contrast, we find a negative association between abnormally high audit fees, estimated after controlling for hourly fees, and accounting quality. Collectively, these findings support the interpretation that the negative relationship between abnormal audit fees and accounting quality, identified in previous studies, is driven by increased audit hours owing to lower accounting quality. Furthermore, we find that these results are driven by audit partner hours and senior auditor hours rather than junior auditor hours. This suggests that audit firms impose higher-level audit hours in the presence of low accounting quality, which results in higher audit fees. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4239-4257 Issue: 36 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2128179 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2128179 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:36:p:4239-4257 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2128176_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Wenjing Geng Author-X-Name-First: Wenjing Author-X-Name-Last: Geng Author-Name: Xin Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Xiaoxiao Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoxiao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Research on extreme risk measurement in the international carbon emission futures market, based on a two-component Beta-Skew-t-EGARCH-POT model Abstract: The European Union Allowance (EUA)-driven carbon emissions trading market is selected as a research object. First, the one-component and two-component Beta-Skew-t-EGARCH models are used to depict the characteristics of the return series, considering return series features such as volatility clustering and asymmetry. Moreover, the extreme VaR risk value is directly estimated. Then, the POT method of extreme value theory is applied to describe the extreme tail characteristics of the return series, and the one-component and two-component Beta-Skew-t-EGARCH-POT models constructed, to estimate the extreme VaR risk value, once again. Finally, the performance of each model in extreme VaR risk measurement is tested using six indicators that include the relative error rate, independence test, and dynamic quantile test. The empirical results show that the two-component Beta-Skew-t-EGARCH-POT model performs better in extreme risk measurement, inferring that this model is better suited to describing risk in the carbon market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4194-4203 Issue: 36 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2128176 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2128176 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:36:p:4194-4203 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2128177_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Wenjing Ouyang Author-X-Name-First: Wenjing Author-X-Name-Last: Ouyang Author-Name: Samuel Szewczyk Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Author-X-Name-Last: Szewczyk Author-Name: Thanh Ngo Author-X-Name-First: Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Ngo Title: Assortative matching in merging firms’ stock price informativeness Abstract: Developed upon the assortative matching theory and recent studies that merging firms are matched on diverse firm characteristics and policies, this paper examines whether they also match in stock price informativeness. Our study shows that assortative matching between the acquirer and target firms’ stock price informativeness increases the probability of deal initiation. It also increases the likelihood that an M&A transaction is paid with stock and constructed as a negotiated merger. Finally, matched stock price informativeness increases merger wealth effect. This paper expands the application of the assortative matching theory in M&A literature from the perspective that stock price firm-specific information reflects firm fundamentals and policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4204-4227 Issue: 36 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2128177 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2128177 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:36:p:4204-4227 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2128178_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Bana Abuzayed Author-X-Name-First: Bana Author-X-Name-Last: Abuzayed Author-Name: Nedal Al-Fayoumi Author-X-Name-First: Nedal Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Fayoumi Title: Diversification and hedging strategies of green bonds in financial asset portfolios during the COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: In this paper, we investigate whether investors can reap potential diversification or hedging benefits from holding green bonds in a portfolio containing a conventional financial asset during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using data from 6 November 2014 to 5 November 2020, we estimate corrected dynamic conditional correlation between between green bonds and four major asset classes: stocks, corporate bonds, commodities, and clean energy. We extend our analysis by using these correlations to examine hedging, optimal portfolio weights, and naïve strategies and evaluate their implications for investors by calculating hedging effectiveness and utility gain improvement. Results reveal that across the full sample, pre-COVID-19, and during-COVID-19 periods, optimal portfolio weights represent an ideal strategy to realize the greatest risk reduction and risk-adjusted return. Further, green bonds could add substantial diversification benefits for investors holding assets in clean energy, global stocks, and commodities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4228-4238 Issue: 36 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2128178 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2128178 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:36:p:4228-4238 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2128180_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Antonella Biscione Author-X-Name-First: Antonella Author-X-Name-Last: Biscione Author-Name: Dorothée Boccanfuso Author-X-Name-First: Dorothée Author-X-Name-Last: Boccanfuso Author-Name: Annunziata de Felice Author-X-Name-First: Annunziata Author-X-Name-Last: de Felice Author-Name: Francesco Porcelli Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Porcelli Title: Barriers to firms’ energy efficiency in transition countries Abstract: This study seeks to explore the firm’ barriers of energy efficiency in a set of 28 Transition economies exploiting the enterprise survey data collected by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) jointly with the European Investment Bank (EIB) and the World Bank Group (WBG). Based on the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression model and on the construction of three different indicators to evaluate the energy efficiency, we find that the barriers to the adoption of energy efficiency measures mainly lack financial resources and profitability. Findings obtained from the interactions are also worthy of note. In particular, we find that the absence of profitability starts being stronger for non-EU countries. Instead, there is no evidence of heterogenous effects for industry sectors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4258-4272 Issue: 36 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2128180 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2128180 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:36:p:4258-4272 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2128181_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Abdoulganiour Almame Tinta Author-X-Name-First: Abdoulganiour Almame Author-X-Name-Last: Tinta Title: Are more educated people more likely to engage in terrorism Abstract: This study examines the connection between education and terrorism. By using information provided by the police and the army during the various terrorist assaults in the Sahel region and the filtering method, we build a micro data set from 2019 to 2021 from interventions in Burkina Faso, Niger, and Mali. Implementing several models, we find a positive association between education and terrorism which suggests that more educated people are more likely to engage in terrorism. We also find that terrorists are generally active in the labour market. These results are associated with socio-economic and demographic characteristics of the individual and institutional framework, especially attendance to religious school, gender, age, and the presence of law enforcement in the attack place. Furthermore, we provide evidence that unlike ”the old paradigm”, terrorists come more from urban than rural areas and are sensitive to spatial heterogeneity which contributes to reduce their motivation. The negative binomial results confirm that the higher the level of education of the terrorist, the greater the number of victims. Educated terrorists cause the most damage and are the most dangerous. In view of the results, policies are suggested. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4273-4288 Issue: 37 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2128181 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2128181 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:37:p:4273-4288 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2128293_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Edmond Berisha Author-X-Name-First: Edmond Author-X-Name-Last: Berisha Author-Name: Ram Sewak Dubey Author-X-Name-First: Ram Author-X-Name-Last: Sewak Dubey Author-Name: Orkideh Gharehgozli Author-X-Name-First: Orkideh Author-X-Name-Last: Gharehgozli Title: Inflation and income inequality: does the level of income inequality matter? Abstract: Given the complexity of interaction between inflation and inequality, we examine whether the impact of inflation on inequality differs among distinct levels of income inequality across the US states. Results reveal that there is a negative contemporaneous effect of inflation on the inequality which becomes stronger with higher levels of income inequality. However, over a one year period, we find higher inflation rate to further increase income inequality only when income inequality is initially relatively low. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4319-4330 Issue: 37 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2128293 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2128293 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:37:p:4319-4330 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2128184_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ramy El-Dardiry Author-X-Name-First: Ramy Author-X-Name-Last: El-Dardiry Author-Name: Benedikt Vogt Author-X-Name-First: Benedikt Author-X-Name-Last: Vogt Title: How far do Gazelles run? - growth patterns of regular firms, high growth firms and startups Abstract: High growth firms receive a lot attention from policy and academia. In this paper we investigate the general validity of an investor startup database in studying high growth firms and growth persistence. To do so, we match Dutch administrative firm level panel data with this startup database. We establish two main facts. First, although the vast majority of high growth firms in the Dutch economy does not appear in the database, included firms do have a higher probability of being a high growth firm. Second, in contrast to regular Dutch firms and previous findings in the literature, startups show a strikingly persistent growth pattern: their growth phases are prolonged. We conclude that commercial startup databases can complement more traditional data sources, but interpretation requires care due to unclear selection in the database. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4304-4318 Issue: 37 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2128184 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2128184 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:37:p:4304-4318 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2128296_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Saroja Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Saroja Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: Maneka Savithri Jayasinghe Author-X-Name-First: Maneka Savithri Author-X-Name-Last: Jayasinghe Author-Name: Eliyathamby A Selvanathan Author-X-Name-First: Eliyathamby A Author-X-Name-Last: Selvanathan Author-Name: Syed Ali Abbas Author-X-Name-First: Syed Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Abbas Author-Name: Md Sayed Iftekhar Author-X-Name-First: Md Sayed Author-X-Name-Last: Iftekhar Title: Energy consumption, agriculture, forestation and CO2 emission nexus: an application to OECD countries Abstract: The Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis has been used to explain the relationship between environmental degradation and economic condition. This study formulates an augmented EKC framework to incorporate the effect of agriculture, forestation and energy consumption on CO2 emission and estimates the model using the data from 24 OECD countries between 1990 and 2018. The study utilizes individual-country analysis and panel dynamic analysis for the empirical investigation. The results show a positive relationship between CO2 emission and fossil fuel use – a 1% increase in fossil fuel consumption will increase CO2 emission by 0.76%, and a negative relationship with renewable energy – a 1% increase in renewable energy consumption will reduce CO2 emission by 0.14%. The impact of forest cover and agricultural production on CO2 emission is mixed at the single-country level. The panel fixed-effect results reveal that a 1% increase in agricultural production and forest cover leads to a 0.04% and 0.63% increase in CO2 emission, respectively. There is also strong evidence supporting the presence of the EKC hypothesis. The global CO2 emission reduction strategies, such as carbon taxes and emission trading schemes, must acknowledge and incorporate the interplay among -key macro-level variables revealed in this study to enhance their effectiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4359-4376 Issue: 37 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2128296 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2128296 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:37:p:4359-4376 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2128295_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: David Meenagh Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Meenagh Author-Name: Patrick Minford Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Minford Title: A structural model of coronavirus behaviour: what do four waves of Covid tell us? Abstract: This paper extends Meenagh and Minford (2021) to the four waves of infection in the UK by end-2021, using the unique newly available sample-based estimates of infections created by the ONS. These allow us to estimate the effects on the Covid hospitalization and fatality rates of vaccination and population immunity due to past infection: the latter was the most significant factor driving both trends, while the vaccination rate also had a significant short-run effect on the fatality rate. We also updated our policy comparison with Sweden for the most recent data, with similar conclusions: lower Swedish lockdown intensity relative to personal response in waves 1 and 2 caused much lower economic costs with no discernible effect on infections. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4348-4358 Issue: 37 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2128295 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2128295 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:37:p:4348-4358 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2128294_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ali Zeytoon-Nejad Author-X-Name-First: Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Zeytoon-Nejad Author-Name: Barry K. Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Barry K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Author-Name: Sujit Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Sujit Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Title: Generalizing the General: generalizing the CES production function to allow for the viability of input thresholds Abstract: The original specification of the Constant-Elasticity-of-Substitution (CES) production function introduced by Arrow, Chenery, Minhas, and Solow is considered to be a general production specification that nests multiple types of production functions, i.e. Leontief, Cobb-Douglas, and linear. However, even this general specification of production functions is restrictive in several ways. This paper proposes a generalized variant of the CES production function that allows for the inclusion of the minimum required levels of inputs. Not allowing for this potential attribute is, in fact, one shortcoming of the original CES production-function specification, which in turn could result in misleading conclusions about essential levels of inputs. Accordingly, a solution is proposed to overcome the mentioned shortcoming. Input thresholds are incorporated in the CES production specification, and empirical applications are provided for irrigation and nitrogen. To illustrate the proposed approach in this paper, two empirical applications in irrigation and fertilizer response using the famous Hexem-Heady experimental dataset as well as several datasets produced using Monte-Carlo experiments with different data-generating processes are provided. Finally, implications for modelling input thresholds are considered and discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4331-4347 Issue: 37 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2128294 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2128294 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:37:p:4331-4347 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2128183_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yuri Salazar Flores Author-X-Name-First: Yuri Author-X-Name-Last: Salazar Flores Author-Name: Adán Díaz Hernández Author-X-Name-First: Adán Author-X-Name-Last: Díaz Hernández Author-Name: Luis Alberto Quezada-Téllez Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberto Author-X-Name-Last: Quezada-Téllez Author-Name: Oralia Nolasco Jáuregui Author-X-Name-First: Oralia Author-X-Name-Last: Nolasco Jáuregui Title: The use of the tail dependence function for high quantile risk measure analysis: an application to portfolio optimization Abstract: Adequate risk modelling in a financial portfolio has become the central part of its analysis. To this end, risk measures have proven to be very effective. However, the efficiency of these measures lies in the accurate modelling of both the individual behaviour as well as the dependence between the assets. In particular, tail dependence has become crucial in analysing Value at Risk (VaR) and the Expected Shortfall (ES) in high quantiles. This study introduces a new methodology to estimate high quantile risk measures based on the Tail Dependence Function. With this function, we can estimate asset dependence by focusing on replicating the extreme behaviour. In an empirical study, we estimate the VaR and ES of a portfolio of stock indices during the current pandemic considering our approach along with the most traditional GARCH-Copula and historical approaches as benchmark estimators. Our approach yields superior estimators with respect to the benchmark estimators in high quantiles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4289-4303 Issue: 37 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2128183 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2128183 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:37:p:4289-4303 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2129568_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Taniya Ghosh Author-X-Name-First: Taniya Author-X-Name-Last: Ghosh Author-Name: Masudul Hasan Adil Author-X-Name-First: Masudul Hasan Author-X-Name-Last: Adil Title: Money’s predictive role in output: evidence from recent data Abstract: We measure and assess the predictive performance of money in explaining output for the US, the UK, the Euro Area and Poland. Our approach, which uses more recent data and a larger set of areas, focuses on whether money ‘Granger causes’ output while taking into account the statistical properties of the data, which has implications for Granger causality tests. In addition to simple sum monetary aggregates, we use Divisia monetary aggregates, which are theoretically shown to be the actual measure of monetary services. Our results confirm that movements in money are still relevant in explaining movements in output, particularly when Divisia monetary aggregate is used. While the models using ‘narrow’ money, both simple sum and Divisia, provide mixed evidence of support, what appears to be robust across countries, is the predictive power of ‘broad Divisia’ in explaining output. Furthermore, our research finds no evidence that the statistical significance of money decreases as more variables are added to the model, or models with level variables produce more significant results than models with growth variables. In fact, rather than the level of money, it is the growth rate of money and the deviation of the growth rate of money from its time trend, which ‘Granger causes’ output. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4415-4440 Issue: 38 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2129568 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2129568 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:38:p:4415-4440 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2129041_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Isabelle Cadoret Author-X-Name-First: Isabelle Author-X-Name-Last: Cadoret Author-Name: Jacques Minlend Author-X-Name-First: Jacques Author-X-Name-Last: Minlend Author-Name: Tovonony Razafindrabe Author-X-Name-First: Tovonony Author-X-Name-Last: Razafindrabe Title: Uncertainty diffusion across commodity markets Abstract: While numerous studies investigate volatility transmission across commodity markets, particularly oil and agricultural markets, uncertainty diffusion across commodity markets remains absent from the literature. This circumstance is primarily related to the lack of appropriate measures of commodity price uncertainty, which differs from volatility. This study focuses on measuring commodity price uncertainty and how it is transferred from one commodity market to another. Our contributions are twofold. (i) We construct an aggregate predictability-based measure of uncertainty for each group of commodity markets and different maturities, and (ii) we analyse uncertainty diffusion across different commodity markets using a vector autoregressive model. Our findings clearly demonstrate a bi-causal uncertainty transfer between agriculture, energy, and industrial markets, excluding precious metals markets. Additionally, the industrial commodity market is assumed to be the transmission channel of commodity uncertainty spread, given its close link with global economic activity. Notably, we validate the efficacy of using industrial uncertainty as a proxy for macroeconomic uncertainty. Finally, our confirmation of precious metals’ insensitivity to other markets’ shocks reinforces its nature as a safe haven. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4377-4401 Issue: 38 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2129041 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2129041 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:38:p:4377-4401 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2129569_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Martina Celidoni Author-X-Name-First: Martina Author-X-Name-Last: Celidoni Author-Name: Angelica Guzzon Author-X-Name-First: Angelica Author-X-Name-Last: Guzzon Author-Name: Vincenzo Rebba Author-X-Name-First: Vincenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Rebba Title: Health literacy and education: evidence from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing Abstract: We estimate the causal effect of compulsory schooling on health literacy using data from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing. We exploit the quasi-experimental setting produced by the UK’s 1944 Education Act. We estimate a positive effect of one additional year of schooling on health literacy among women, no significant effects among men. This result is in line with previous findings about the positive effects of compulsory schooling on own health among women and supports the idea that more schooling might have generated efficiency gains in the health production due to improved health literacy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4441-4454 Issue: 38 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2129569 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2129569 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:38:p:4441-4454 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2129572_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Feng Jin Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Jingwei Li Author-X-Name-First: Jingwei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Guangchen Li Author-X-Name-First: Guangchen Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Connectedness between crude oil, coal, rare earth, new energy and technology markets: a GARCH-vine-copula-EVT analysis Abstract: In recent years, climate change has attracted great attention from governments and promoted the booming of the new energy market indirectly. However, this market will be influenced by traditional energy, rare earth and technology markets. Hence, it is necessary to incorporate these markets into an analytical framework simultaneously and analyse their relationships. Based on the GARCH-vine-copula-EVT model considering extreme risks, we investigate the connectedness between crude oil, coal, rare earth, new energy, and technology markets. The results show that the technology market is most closely associated with the new energy market; the rare earth market reacts as an intermediary market between the new energy market and fossil fuel markets. When taking the rare earth market as the conditional market, the connectedness between the new energy and the other four markets weakens and even becomes negative. Besides, we find that the COVID-19 epidemic has increased the connectedness between these target markets. Finally, the backtesting results of value at risk and expected shortfall show that the GARCH-vine-copula-EVT model considering extreme risks can depict the risk dependence structure between these target markets well. Our study has important reference significance for market participants, risk managers and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4469-4485 Issue: 38 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2129572 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2129572 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:38:p:4469-4485 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2129570_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Tor Eriksson Author-X-Name-First: Tor Author-X-Name-Last: Eriksson Title: Maternal education, child health and nutrition — evidence from China’s compulsory education law Abstract: The effect of maternal education on child health in China is studied by exploiting a change in the Compulsory Education Law from 1986. Data from four waves (2004–2011) of the China Health and Nutrition Survey are used. Variations across cohorts and provinces induced by the timing of the reform are used as instrumental variables to account for the endogeneity of education. Results show that mothers’ educational attainment has significant and sizable positive effects on their children’s health, as measured by height, weight and BMI Z-scores. Maternal education is associated with improved food structure (increased consumption of meat, egg, and dairy products) and healthier nutrient intake (increased share of calorie obtained from fat and proteins) of their offspring. Mothers who were exposed to the education reform are more knowledgeable about healthy diets and healthy behaviours than those not exposed and hence had fewer years of schooling. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4455-4468 Issue: 38 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2129570 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2129570 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:38:p:4455-4468 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2129042_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hokuto Ishii Author-X-Name-First: Hokuto Author-X-Name-Last: Ishii Title: Yield curve shapes and foreign exchange rates: the term structure of interest rates model approach Abstract: Exchange rates play a crucial role in the international economy. This study investigates the explanatory power of yield curve factors in exchange rate predictions for countries in three currency pairs: Japanese yen (JPY)–US dollar (USD), British pound (GBP)–USD, and Canadian dollar (CAD)–USD. The results empirically establish that each country’s yield curve factors, extracted from the term structure of interest rates model, play a key role in determining future exchange rates. Specifically, an increase in the US level factor causes depreciation in the USD relative to the JPY for the full sample period (June 1994–October 2020) and in the GBP and CAD for the post-global financial crisis period. The study’s model provides more useful information than the baseline uncovered interest rate parity model for explaining the variations in the three currency pairs. Additionally, the yield curve factors also explain the variation in countries’ excess currency returns. This study has important theoretical implications for identifying which of the two countries’ yield curve factors predominantly explain the exchange rate changes and the related policy implications. It also provides key policy insights by substantiating the association between macroeconomic variables and exchange rate changes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4402-4414 Issue: 38 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2129042 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2129042 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:38:p:4402-4414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2128297_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xiaohang Ren Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohang Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Yue Dou Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Dou Author-Name: Kangyin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Kangyin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Cheng Yan Author-X-Name-First: Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Title: Spillover effects among crude oil, carbon, and stock markets: evidence from nonparametric causality-in-quantiles tests Abstract: This study investigates the spillovers and information transmission between carbon, crude oil, and stock markets under various market conditions in Phase III of the EU ETS. For this purpose, we use a novel causality-in-quantiles test method and quantile impulse response functions based on daily data of carbon futures, Brent spot, and three representative equity indices in the Europe over the period from 27 January 2014 to 18 September 2020. We find that crude oil market has a unidirectional spillover effect on carbon market, and this causality is significant under normal to bullish market conditions. Furthermore, the causality-in-quantiles between crude oil and stock markets varies with specific equality index, and the information transmission from crude oil to stock market is strong in the normal stock market but invalid when stock markets become extremely bearish or bullish. The COVID-19 epidemic may cause structural changes in the oil-carbon and oil-stock nexus. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4486-4509 Issue: 38 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2128297 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2128297 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:38:p:4486-4509 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2130145_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Shaoyan Sun Author-X-Name-First: Shaoyan Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Xinjian Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xinjian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Hung-Chun Liu Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Chun Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Min Hua Author-X-Name-First: Min Author-X-Name-Last: Hua Title: News sentiment and crash risk Abstract: This paper uses firm-specific released news data in the Chinese market to examine the relationship between news sentiment and stock price crash risk between 2007 and 2017. To do so, we develop a firm-specific news sentiment index by quantifying the textual contents in the news. Our results show that firms with better news sentiment are less likely to be involved in future stock crash risk. Also, we find that CEOs approaching retirement are an important mechanism for explaining the relationship between news sentiment and firm crash risk. Our main findings still hold after conducting several robustness tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4586-4594 Issue: 39 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2130145 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2130145 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:39:p:4586-4594 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2129575_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Markus Brueckner Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Brueckner Author-Name: Wensheng Kang Author-X-Name-First: Wensheng Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Author-Name: Joaquin Vespignani Author-X-Name-First: Joaquin Author-X-Name-Last: Vespignani Title: Covid-19 and Firms’ Stock Price Growth: The Role of Market Capitalization Abstract: This paper studies the role of capitalization on firms’ stock price growth in response to new cases of Covid-19 infections in the United States. Controlling for firm and time fixed effects, our panel model estimates show that the effect of new cases of Covid-19 infections on firms’ stock price growth is significantly increasing in capitalization: For each one standard deviation increase in capitalization, a one standard deviation increase in new cases of Covid-19 infections increases the weekly growth rate of firms’ stock prices by about 0.7% points. Effects of capitalization on the impact that Covid-19 infections have on firms’ stock price growth are largest in the travel, tourism, and hospitality sector. Smaller but still positive effects of capitalization are present in the pharmaceutical products, high-tech, and banking and finance sectors. The results are robust to controlling firms’ elasticity of demand, productivity, financial constraints, managerial compensations, and aggregate money growth and economic activity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4522-4538 Issue: 39 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2129575 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2129575 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:39:p:4522-4538 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2130144_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhefan Piao Author-X-Name-First: Zhefan Author-X-Name-Last: Piao Author-Name: Cecheng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Cecheng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Ning Su Author-X-Name-First: Ning Author-X-Name-Last: Su Author-Name: Yueqin Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yueqin Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Zihan Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Zihan Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Financial constraints, capital misallocation and firm’s total factor productivity (TFP) loss – empirical evidence from listed manufacturing companies in China Abstract: Based on the theoretical mechanism that ‘financing constraints (investment-cash flow sensitivity) → capital misallocation → firm’s total factor productivity’ and ADL(2,2) model, implied cost model, total factor productivity model, panel regression model and mediation effect model, we empirically investigate the impact of financing constraints on TFP loss and the mediating effect of capital misallocation. Finance and market transaction data for manufacturing companies listed on Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges during 2009–2019 are used in the empirical study. Chinese manufacturing companies were shown to have investment-cash flow sensitivity. The empirical analysis proved that financing constraints not only have direct negative impact on the firm’s TFP directly but also negatively affect the TFP by the mediating effect of capital misallocation. Moreover, firm heterogeneity analysis showed that the above two impacts were greater for non-stated owned firms, small and medium-sized firms, and young firms than stated-owned firms, big firms and mature firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4572-4585 Issue: 39 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2130144 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2130144 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:39:p:4572-4585 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2129577_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Risto Herrala Author-X-Name-First: Risto Author-X-Name-Last: Herrala Author-Name: Rima Turk Ariss Author-X-Name-First: Rima Author-X-Name-Last: Turk Ariss Title: Debt limits and monetary policy during the euro area crisis Abstract: We study the debt limits of non-financial firms, and the influence of monetary policy via this channel during the global financial crisis in the euro area. The estimations indicate that monetary policy was initially effective in fending of a fall in the debt limits. After the monetary policy channel peaked in the vicinity of the zero-lower bound, however, the debt limits of non-financial firms contracted by almost a fifth. The tightening of the debt limits directly influenced firms that hold almost a tenth of corporate assets. The estimations furthermore provide evidence of structural shifts in credit use that contributed to the sluggish economic dynamism during the crisis period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4563-4571 Issue: 39 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2129577 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2129577 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:39:p:4563-4571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2130146_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Shiwei Yu Author-X-Name-First: Shiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Xing Hu Author-X-Name-First: Xing Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Jie Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Determinants of wind power curtailment in China: evidence from provincial panel data Abstract: Identifying the determinants of wind curtailment is crucial to mitigating the overcapacity of wind power and achieving a low-carbon transition in China’s economy. Existing literature sorted out various factual causes of wind curtailment, but recognizing key factors and revealing their economic mechanisms are missing. Based on power market equilibrium theory, we address the issue by comparing the marginal effects of factors in a ‘supply-transmission-demand’ framework. Using the panel Tobit model with bootstrap standard errors, we find that variable wind resources and wind power supply capacity are the main determinants of curtailment. The wind power equipment utilization is significantly and negatively related to wind curtailment rate, suggesting that the variable wind resources inhibit wind power consumption from electricity security concerns and increasing costs of grid companies. The wind power supply capacity positively affects wind curtailment by directly spurring market structural disequilibrium and resource waste. We also find that policy intensity has a negative but relatively slight role, whereas wind power price does not affect curtailment due to government pricing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4595-4608 Issue: 39 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2130146 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2130146 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:39:p:4595-4608 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2129574_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lorenzo Bermejo Author-X-Name-First: Lorenzo Author-X-Name-Last: Bermejo Author-Name: Maria Malmierca-Ordoqui Author-X-Name-First: Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Malmierca-Ordoqui Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Unemployment and COVID-19: an analysis of change in persistence Abstract: This paper examines the degree of persistence in monthly unemployment rates for a group of 24 European countries along with the global rate for the Euro area, the European Union, the G7 and the OECD countries. For this purpose, fractionally integrated methods are employed. Using data from January 2010 to November 2020, our results indicate that fractional integration is present in all countries examined, with the orders of integration of the series ranging in the (0, 1) interval. Comparing the data before COVID-19 with those including it, the significant time trend coefficient and the mean reverting property disappear in most cases when COVID-19 data are considered. This implies that governments should consider that, after the pandemic, shocks on the labour market will have permanent effects. Thus, policies should address unemployment accordingly. Our work, however, does not focus on the analysis of nonlinearities, what could provide a more complete understanding of the series behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4511-4521 Issue: 39 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2129574 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2129574 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:39:p:4511-4521 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2129576_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: M. Djiguemde Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Djiguemde Author-Name: D. Dubois Author-X-Name-First: D. Author-X-Name-Last: Dubois Author-Name: A. Sauquet Author-X-Name-First: A. Author-X-Name-Last: Sauquet Author-Name: M. Tidball Author-X-Name-First: M. Author-X-Name-Last: Tidball Title: Individual and strategic behaviors in a dynamic extraction problem: results from a within-subject experiment in continuous time Abstract: We conduct a laboratory experiment to test a continuous-time model that represents a dynamic groundwater extraction problem in an infinite horizon. We compare the observations to the equilibrium path of the usual behaviours, for the case where the player is alone in extracting the resource (optimal control) and when two players extract the same resource simultaneously (differential game). We use a within-subjects design. This allows us to identify individual profiles of players playing alone and then characterize groups based on their composition with respect to these individual behaviours. We find that approximately a quarter of the players and groups succeed in playing (significantly) optimally, and none behave myopically. Moreover having an agent that behaved optimally in the control in the pair increases the likelihood that the group cooperates. We also identify other categories of players and groups that allows us to classify an additional 50% of the observations. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4539-4562 Issue: 39 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2129576 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2129576 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:39:p:4539-4562 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2130871_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xing Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xing Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chenchen Li Author-X-Name-First: Chenchen Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chongfeng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chongfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Worldwide earnings news and equity price movement: a supply-chain perspective Abstract: This paper shows that worldwide earnings news can significantly influence the asset pricing in China, indicating the information transmission along the global supply chain. We investigate how stock prices of Chinese-listed firms react to the earnings announcements of their worldwide supply-chain partners and find that stock returns will exhibit a significant drift upwards (downwards) after the good (bad) news of their customers and suppliers. Moreover, we provide evidence that the equity price movement may be driven by the earnings information transmission between supply-chain partners and this effect is strengthened for the firms with higher information asymmetry or investor attention. Third, our primary results hold with a battery of robustness checks, including multiple controls consideration, proxy usage of earnings news, division of the sample, and length of market responses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4695-4711 Issue: 40 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2130871 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2130871 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:40:p:4695-4711 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2130147_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Evangelos M. Falaris Author-X-Name-First: Evangelos M. Author-X-Name-Last: Falaris Title: Children’s school attendance, work, health and rainfall shocks in Ethiopia Abstract: The relationship between rainfall and primary-school-age children’s school attendance, school absence, work and health in rural Ethiopia is investigated. The focus is on how these relationships may differ by children’s gender. An increase in rainfall relative to longer-term average rainfall is associated with increased school attendance by girls and decreased school attendance by boys. An increase in rainfall is associated with increased probability of working by boys and decreased probability of working by girls; no significant change in weekly hours worked by boys and decreased work hours by girls. The implication for boys is that more of them work when there is more rainfall, but those already working work fewer hours. An increase in rainfall frees girls’ time, so they can potentially devote more attention to their schooling. An increase in rainfall is associated with lower school enrolment by boys but fewer hours of work for those already working. In terms of human capital acquisition, these two forces work in opposite ways for boys. An implication of these findings is that policies that offset income shocks arising from reduced rainfall are expected to result in increase in girls’ human capital and potentially reduce future gender economic disparities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4609-4624 Issue: 40 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2130147 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2130147 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:40:p:4609-4624 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2130152_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Bruce T. Lamont Author-X-Name-First: Bruce T. Author-X-Name-Last: Lamont Author-Name: Pankaj C. Patel Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Author-Name: Jack I. Richter Author-X-Name-First: Jack I. Author-X-Name-Last: Richter Title: Self-employment, income, and poor with disabilities: the 2016 inclusion of people with disabilities act in Brazil Abstract: We exploit the implementation of the Inclusion of People with Disabilities Act in Brazil in early 2016 and use stigma theory to focus on the poor with disabilities, a double-stigmatized group, in a developing country setting. We hypothesize after the passage of the law, the poor with disabilities will pursue more self-employment than employment, but their income will remain low, with only the income of the employed improving. Contrary to expectations, the results show that the odds of self-employment were not higher than employment after the law. But as predicted, only the income of the employed improved, with the income gap between the employed and self-employed with disabilities growing wider after the passage of the law. The findings demonstrate that the law mainly benefitted the poor with disabilities who were able to gain employment but not the self-employed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4664-4677 Issue: 40 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2130152 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2130152 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:40:p:4664-4677 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174942_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Bingyan Zan Author-X-Name-First: Bingyan Author-X-Name-Last: Zan Author-Name: Camilla Baasch Andersen Author-X-Name-First: Camilla Baasch Author-X-Name-Last: Andersen Author-Name: Lisa Toohey Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Toohey Title: Assessing the efficacy of visual contracts: an empirical study of transaction costs Abstract: Visual contracts have attracted increasing attention as a human-focused approach to contract law, with proponents arguing they are a better way to effectively communicate complex terms and conditions. However, there have been only limited empirical studies of the efficacy of these contracts. This paper compares and evaluates data of responses to text and visual contracts from two large Australian companies. Drawing on theories of transaction cost economics, we undertook an empirical study of ordinary least square (OLS) regressions to examine the effectiveness of visual contracts in comparison with traditional text-based contracts. Analysis of the results demonstrates that the visual format plays a significant role in reducing the transaction costs of contracting, providing empirical confirmation of the value of contract redesign and the visual format. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4712-4726 Issue: 40 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174942 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174942 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:40:p:4712-4726 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2130870_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chenggang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chenggang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Keqiao Liu Author-X-Name-First: Keqiao Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Huixia Wang Author-X-Name-First: Huixia Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The effects of temperature on sleep experience: evidence from China Abstract: A large body of literature estimates the high-temperature effects on a variety of economic and health outcomes. This paper provides convergent evidence of a possible working mechanism behind those effects. That is, upon examining nationally representative self-report measures in China, we studied the relationship between temperature and people’s sleep experience, an essential input for productivity and health outcomes. By analysing county-level daily temperature data and the CFPS self-reported sleep experience data, our findings indicate that high temperature can increase the probability of reporting poor sleep experiences in China. Additionally, elderly, lower educated, and rural residents may be more vulnerable to the damage of heatwaves. Our results imply that high temperature can adversely and significantly impact people’s sleep experience, though its effect can be partially offset by installing air conditioners. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4678-4694 Issue: 40 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2130870 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2130870 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:40:p:4678-4694 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2130151_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Piero Esposito Author-X-Name-First: Piero Author-X-Name-Last: Esposito Author-Name: Sergio Scicchitano Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Scicchitano Title: Drivers of skill mismatch among Italian graduates: the role of personality traits Abstract: It is now well accepted that human capital is a heterogeneous aggregate and that noncognitive skills are at least as relevant as cognitive abilities. In spite of this growing interest in the labour market consequences of personality traits, the relationship between these and educational and skill mismatch is scant. In this paper, we investigate the impact of the five main personality traits (Big 5) on educational and skill mismatch in Italian graduates. To this aim, we use the 2018 wave of the INAPP-PLUS survey, which contains information on skill mismatch, on the Big 5 personality traits, and on a large number of other individual and job-specific characteristics. The empirical analysis takes into account both demand and supply variables mediating the effect of personality on skill mismatch and controls for non-random selection into employment and tertiary education. We find that some personality traits reduce the probability of overeducation, suggesting complementarity between cognitive and noncognitive skills. In addition, we find a positive effect of conscientiousness on both overeducation and overqualification. The evidence regarding job satisfaction suggests that individuals with high scores for conscientiousness voluntarily decide to be mismatched when this entails higher satisfaction in other dimensions of the job. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4642-4663 Issue: 40 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2130151 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2130151 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:40:p:4642-4663 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2130148_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhuo Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Zhuo Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Tajul Ariffin Masron Author-X-Name-First: Tajul Ariffin Author-X-Name-Last: Masron Title: Economic policy uncertainty and corporate digital transformation: evidence from China Abstract: Digital transformation refers to the process of utilizing digital technology to develop new or enhance current business processes, organizational culture, and customer experiences to satisfy changing business and market requirements. Taking all non-financial Chinese A-share firms from 2010 to 2018 as the research sample, we investigate the impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) on corporate digital transformation. Evidence shows that EPU has a significantly positive impact on corporate digital transformation. This result still holds after a series of robustness tests, such as employing alternative measures of key variables, controlling for various fixed effects, including possibly omitted variables and adopting estimation of instrumental variables in the 2SLS approach. In addition, market competition provides the primary channel through which EPU influences corporate digital transformation. Finally, the above EPU effect is more pronounced in firms with small size, non-SOEs, and firms with weak corporate governance. Overall, our results provide a novel explanation for the behaviour of corporate digital transformation in the emerging capital markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4625-4641 Issue: 40 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2130148 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2130148 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:40:p:4625-4641 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2131720_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Weiguo Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Weiguo Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Qi Deng Author-X-Name-First: Qi Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Author-Name: Wei Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Naiqian Wu Author-X-Name-First: Naiqian Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Financial frictions, capital misallocation, and total factor productivity: evidence from China Abstract: From the perspective of credit constraints and heterogeneous financing costs, this paper aims to enrich our understanding on how financial frictions affect capital misallocation and total factor productivity (TFP). Our model predicts that financial frictions could lead to greater capital misallocation and TFP losses. Moreover, credit constraints exacerbate capital misallocation and amplify TFP losses caused by heterogeneous financing costs. On this basis, we use micro-level data of the Chinese industrial firms to quantify the TFP losses caused by financial frictions. The results show that: (1) financial frictions have caused huge TFP losses in China’s manufacturing industry, and credit constraints have contributed to 120.7% of annual manufacturing TFP losses on average. (2) The manufacturing TFP losses are significantly higher in the post-crisis period than in the pre-crisis period because of the more prevalent and tighter credit constraints. (3) The increase in the post-crisis TFP losses is largely accounted for by the tightening credit constraints faced by firms in central China and non-state-owned enterprises. Our findings highlight the importance of alleviating financial frictions to improve capital allocation efficiency and promote economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4853-4870 Issue: 41 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2131720 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2131720 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:41:p:4853-4870 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2131715_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Do Yeong Lee Author-X-Name-First: Do Yeong Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Sung Y. Park Author-X-Name-First: Sung Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Park Title: Global energy intensity convergence using a spatial panel growth model Abstract: In this paper, we empirically test the convergence of income and energy intensity for 61 countries using an augmented spatial growth model that includes energy and urbanization variables. We test an income convergence model to understand how energy use affects economic growth, and reveal that developing countries have energy constraints on their economic development. We show that energy is an essential component of economic growth in the early stages of development and that energy intensity converges between countries. It is consistent with the OLS estimation results that the convergence rate of energy intensity in developing countries of the spatial panel data model is still higher than in developed countries. However, the spatial panel data model shows that the gap between the two convergence rates is narrowed when spatial dependence is included. This implies that a country’s steady state is influenced by the neighbouring countries and emphasizes the importance of international cooperation policies for reducing energy intensity. Since the effects of economic variables on the reduction of energy intensity are different in developed and developing countries, a country-specific energy policy rather than an internationally uniform policy is required. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4745-4764 Issue: 41 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2131715 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2131715 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:41:p:4745-4764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2131716_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xinyue Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xinyue Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Li Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Lei Lei Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Lei Title: Contract farming, animal epidemic disease outbreaks, and inclusive growth in rural China Abstract: Contract farming (CF) is promoted as part of agricultural development policies in many countries. Few literature on CF has considered the animal epidemic risk, which significantly affects the total revenue and the re-distribution between the contract farmers and the enterprise. Using the ten-year nationwide household-level panel data, we investigate the Chinese poultry sector to analyse the inclusiveness of CF. We evaluate the impact of participating in CF on farmers’ income and asset endowments when animal epidemic diseases occur. The results confirm the insurance and discover the special re-distribution function of CF through adjusting product price. CF negatively affects large farmers’ poultry farming income while it could be mitigated during the animal epidemic disease outbreak. Meanwhile, participating in CF has a significant positive effect on small farmers’ assets when diseases occur. However, CF fails to be ‘inclusive’ in the presence of risks. The above positive effect is limited due to overall fewer participation opportunities available to small farmers. Policy implications and suggestions are derived to improve the inclusiveness of CF to small household farmers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4765-4780 Issue: 41 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2131716 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2131716 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:41:p:4765-4780 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2131718_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Wei Xie Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Yi An Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: An Title: Should dominant contracts move to nearby months?--Evidence from Chinese agricultural futures markets Abstract: China’s agricultural futures market has long exhibited a unique phenomenon: the distribution of dominant contracts has always followed the ‘January-May-September’ pattern. Behind this phenomenon is the prominent problem of the deferred and discontinuous distribution of dominant contracts, which regulators hope to solve. Based on Chinese corn and cotton futures, this study uses the method of information leadership shares to investigate the price discovery ability of dominant and nearby contracts. The empirical results show that the deferred and discontinuous distribution of dominant contracts does not hinder the price discovery function. When dominant contracts are rolled over, this does not mean that the price discovery function simultaneously converts. Measures to accelerate the transfer of dominant contracts from deferred to nearby months could not fundamentally eliminate this phenomenon. A reasonable adjustment for liquidity distribution shall be considered the market’s self-regulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4817-4840 Issue: 41 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2131718 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2131718 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:41:p:4817-4840 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2131719_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Congping Yang Author-X-Name-First: Congping Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Tong Shu Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Shu Author-Name: Sheng Liang Author-X-Name-First: Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Shou Chen Author-X-Name-First: Shou Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Shouyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shouyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Vehicle routing optimization for rural package collection and delivery integrated with regard to the customer self-pickup radius Abstract: This paper explores the optimization for the integrated vehicle routing of package collection and delivery in rural areas, based on the coverage idea and customer self-pickup strategy. The purpose is to optimize package collection and delivery in rural areas with the scattered and small-scale demand for the express service. An integrated vehicle routing model for rural package collection and delivery is established with regard to the radius of customer self-pickup, via taking the sum of operation cost, transportation cost, time penalty cost and carbon emission cost as the optimization goal. A two-stage algorithm based on the improved k-means clustering algorithm and genetic algorithm is designed to solve the model. Ziyuan county of Guangxi province is taken for typical example. The simulation results show that the optimization model can raise vehicle loading rate and service coverage rate, while reducing cost. A rise in the customer’s self-pickup radius and the number of packages collected and delivered can decrease the unit collection and delivery cost, and it is found that carbon emissions have little effects on the optimization of vehicle routing from the perspective of cost. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4841-4852 Issue: 41 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2131719 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2131719 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:41:p:4841-4852 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2131717_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Shampa Bhattacharjee Author-X-Name-First: Shampa Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharjee Author-Name: Arka Roy Chaudhuri Author-X-Name-First: Arka Author-X-Name-Last: Roy Chaudhuri Title: Religion in the labor market: evidence from India Abstract: In this paper, we analyse the education and wage gaps between Hindus and Muslims over the period 1983 to 2011–2012 in India. We find that Muslims are worse off than Hindus in terms of education and this disadvantage has increased over time. Our analysis shows that the wage gap is more pronounced at the higher end of the wage distribution which we interpret as a glass ceiling effect. We find that the wage gap has increased over time and the increase is more pronounced at the upper quantiles. Our decomposition analysis shows that difference in education has a significant contribution to the Hindu-Muslim wage gap. We find that the Hindu-Muslim gaps are more pronounced in urban areas relative to rural areas. Comparing Muslims with different Hindu castes, we find that while the disadvantaged castes have improved their condition relative to Muslims over time, the condition of Muslims relative to the advantaged castes has worsened. Dividing the sample into younger (aged 16–35) and older (36–65) cohorts, we find that the Hindu-Muslim gap in education is more acute in the younger cohort while the Hindu-Muslim wage gap is more pronounced for the older cohort. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4781-4816 Issue: 41 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2131717 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2131717 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:41:p:4781-4816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2130872_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Shaikh M.S.U. Eskander Author-X-Name-First: Shaikh M.S.U. Author-X-Name-Last: Eskander Author-Name: Khandokar Istiak Author-X-Name-First: Khandokar Author-X-Name-Last: Istiak Title: Energy efficiency and CO2 emissions: evidence from the UK universities Abstract: Understanding how energy efficiency improvement can mitigate CO2 emissions is critical for global climate change policies to ensure environmental sustainability and a low carbon future. Being the catalyst for training future generations, universities can play a leading role in this vision by adopting energy-saving and emissions reduction strategies. Using HESA data, a centralized system of reporting energy use and corresponding emissions, we adopt a two-step system GMM estimation procedure to estimate the effect of energy efficiency on CO2 emissions for 119 UK universities over the period between 2008–2009 and 2018–2019. Results confirm that higher energy efficiency is conducive to lower emissions. However, the less-than-elastic relationship between energy efficiency and emissions implies that energy efficiency improvement alone cannot enable the UK universities to comply with their net-zero objectives unless they increasingly adopt renewable energy sources. Despite this, universities were able to avoid 2.21 gtCO2e emissions over the sample period due to energy efficiency improvements. Our results are robust to alternative specifications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4727-4744 Issue: 41 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2130872 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2130872 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:41:p:4727-4744 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2133896_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Diandian Ren Author-X-Name-First: Diandian Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Hongyu Guo Author-X-Name-First: Hongyu Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Tingfeng Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Tingfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Managed anonymity of CBDC, social welfare and taxation: A new monetarist perspective Abstract: China’s central bank digital currency (CBDC), e-CNY, is currently in a large-scale pilot stage. In this study, a new monetarist model, both theoretically and quantitively, is developed to assess the relationship between the managed anonymity feature of e-CNY, social welfare, and taxation. The findings are as follows. First, the introduction of managed anonymous CBDC affects the official and shadow economy by increasing the diversity of payment instruments and suppressing tax evasion, thereby improving social welfare and government tax revenue. Second, if CBDC is ‘cash-like’ in the sense that it offers relatively high anonymity, then issuing CBDC meets the public demand for anonymous small value payment services and enhances the individual welfare of most households. Third, if CBDC is ‘deposit-like’ in the sense that it offers relatively low anonymity, then issuing CBDC combats illegal transactions in the shadow economy, and increases the total amount of social welfare and government tax revenue. The model, calibrated to the Chinese economy, suggests that aggregate welfare and government tax revenue can be increased by up to 3.2% and 10%, respectively. These findings suggest that policy-makers can dynamically adjust the anonymity design of CBDC to better align it with changing policy objectives and economic conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4990-5011 Issue: 42 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2133896 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2133896 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:42:p:4990-5011 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2131722_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tao Li Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Wenxiu (Vince) Nan Author-X-Name-First: Wenxiu (Vince) Author-X-Name-Last: Nan Author-Name: Jahangir Sultan Author-X-Name-First: Jahangir Author-X-Name-Last: Sultan Title: Internal Relevance between Analysts’ Forecasts and Target Prices - Informativeness and Investment Value Abstract: Analysts’ decision-making process, through which they use earnings and non-earnings forecasts to provide their target price revisions, remains opaque. Based on the decision tree analysis, we develop a new multivariate information metric, Internal Relevance (IR), to measure the extent to which the revisions of analysts’ consensus earnings and sales forecasts are incorporated into the revisions of consensus target prices. We show that stocks with higher IR have stronger market reactions to target price revisions in terms of abnormal return, abnormal trading volume, and abnormal return volatility. These results remain consistent across a series of robustness checks. Finally, we perform portfolio analysis to show that IR can be used to screen stocks to improve trading profitability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4890-4910 Issue: 42 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2131722 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2131722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:42:p:4890-4910 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2133895_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yuanyuan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yuanyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Stephen Chan Author-X-Name-First: Stephen Author-X-Name-Last: Chan Author-Name: Jeffrey Chu Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Shou–hsing Shih Author-X-Name-First: Shou–hsing Author-X-Name-Last: Shih Title: The adaptive market hypothesis of Decentralized finance (DeFi) Abstract: Decentralized finance, or ‘De-Fi’, is an emerging sector and movement in finance and the cryptocurrency space that aims to extend the idea of digital currencies to a global decentralized financial system. In many cases, customized ‘coins’ or ‘tokens’ are used for applications such as borrowing or lending, providing liquidity, and even voting. Built on the same foundations of traditional cryptocurrencies (e.g. Bitcoin), these tokens possess monetary value and can be traded using fiat currencies on specialized decentralized exchanges. We provide the first analysis investigating the market efficiency of the decentralized finance market through DeFi tokens. Our findings from applying the adaptive market hypothesis (AMH) revealed that the efficiency of the markets varies over time, with the majority of the DeFi token returns exhibit very short days of inefficiency and predictability in their price every year. This is consistent with the AMH, but perhaps unexpected when considering the link between emerging financial markets and market efficiency. We conclude that the majority of investors and practitioners purchase these DeFi tokens for their utility value rather than for investment purposes, hence making the DeFi market more efficient. Further robustness checks on other comparable products in the blockchain ecosystem such as NFTs also reveal similar results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4975-4989 Issue: 42 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2133895 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2133895 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:42:p:4975-4989 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2131721_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xiong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yazhi Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Yazhi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Xiaohang Ren Author-X-Name-First: Xiaohang Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Giray Gozgor Author-X-Name-First: Giray Author-X-Name-Last: Gozgor Title: The impact of digital inclusive finance on the spatial convergence of the green total factor productivity in the Chinese cities Abstract: This paper measures the Green Total Factor Productivity (GTFP) of 279 cities in China from 2011 to 2018 based on the Global Malmquist-Luenberger (GML) index and Slacks-based Measure Directional Distance Function (SBM-DDF) method. Through different spatial econometric models, we empirically analyse the spatial convergence of the GTFP and the spatial effect of Digital Inclusive Finance (DIF) on the GTFP convergence. The results show no spatial σ convergence in the GTFP in the Total, Central, Eastern, and Western regions of China, while the gap in green development is the largest in western cities and most balanced among central cities. In China’s three regions, absolute spatial β convergence, conditional spatial β convergence, and spatial club convergence exist. The DIF can promote the spatial convergence of the GTFP, and the promotion effect is more significant in the Western than in the Eastern and Central regions. The findings are important for narrowing the regional GTFP gap and promoting regional economic synergistic development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4871-4889 Issue: 42 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2131721 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2131721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:42:p:4871-4889 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2133894_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Alejandro Fernández-Cerezo Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Fernández-Cerezo Author-Name: Beatriz Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Beatriz Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Author-Name: Mario Izquierdo Peinado Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Izquierdo Peinado Author-Name: Enrique Moral-Benito Author-X-Name-First: Enrique Author-X-Name-Last: Moral-Benito Title: Firm-level heterogeneity in the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: This paper explores the heterogeneity across firms in the impact of and response to the COVID-19 shock. It relies on a survey conducted by Banco de España to 4,004 companies in November 2020 matched to very rich balance-sheet information on firm characteristics. According to our results, COVID-19 had a higher impact on the most vulnerable firms (small, young and less productive), and they also found more useful government policy support. Nonetheless, there were some exceptions: public loan guarantees had more difficulties reaching firms with less pre-existing debt; and furlough schemes were not able to fully protect jobs in firms with a higher share of temporary workers, which find firing more useful. While uncertainty is the key factor hindering firms’ activity, we use the announcement of the Pfizer vaccine on November 9th 2020 as a natural experiment to provide evidence that the vaccine announcement improved significantly firms’ subjective recovery expectations. This points at the importance of the communication of medical advances to guide firms’ expectations in pandemic episodes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4946-4974 Issue: 42 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2133894 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2133894 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:42:p:4946-4974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2133893_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Peter Lindner Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Lindner Author-Name: Thomas Y. Mathä Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Y. Author-X-Name-Last: Mathä Author-Name: Giuseppe Pulina Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Pulina Author-Name: Michael Ziegelmeyer Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Ziegelmeyer Title: Borrowing constraints, own labour and homeownership Abstract: We show that a substantial share of households contributes their own labour to the acquisition of their main residence. These contributions help households faced with credit constraints, since they reduce the need for external financing. We develop a simple theoretical model and show that own labour contributions decrease with the level of financial resources available, while they increase with the mortgage interest rate. These theoretical results are supported by empirical analysis, which also shows that own labour contributions vary by household characteristics (age, gender, profession) and by type of dwelling (house, apartment). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4931-4945 Issue: 42 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2133893 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2133893 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:42:p:4931-4945 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2131723_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chao Yan Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Jiaxin Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jiaxin Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yi Feng Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Title: Can innovation help existing firms resist shock from new stock issuance? Evidence from the launch of China’s STAR market Abstract: The launch of China’s STAR market (officially known as the Science and Technology Innovation Board of Shanghai Stock Exchange) caused a significant drop in stock prices in existing stock markets in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges. This study examines whether innovative firms showed more resilience to the shock caused by the launch of the STAR market. Using a sample of Chinese A-share listed firms, we find that firms with higher innovation had significantly higher stock returns during the shock period. This suggests that the STAR market launch induced investors to pay more attention to firm innovation and prompted them to reward innovations to a greater extent. This finding remains intact after an array of robustness tests. Moreover, this effect was more pronounced in non-state-owned enterprises and firms with higher product market competition. Additional analyses suggest that investors prefer firms with higher quality of innovation. Overall, this study finds that innovation plays an important role in capital markets; that is, innovation helps firms resist shock from the issuance of new shares. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4911-4930 Issue: 42 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2131723 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2131723 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:42:p:4911-4930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2136616_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhuo Huang Author-X-Name-First: Zhuo Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Yunqing Tao Author-X-Name-First: Yunqing Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Author-Name: Xin Luo Author-X-Name-First: Xin Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Yongwei Ye Author-X-Name-First: Yongwei Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Author-Name: Tianyi Lei Author-X-Name-First: Tianyi Author-X-Name-Last: Lei Title: Regional digital finance and corporate investment efficiency in China Abstract: Digital finance has a substantial effect on macroeconomics and plays an important role in corporate investment behaviour. However, few studies examine how digital finance affects corporate investment efficiency. We use the data of Chinese A-share listed companies for 2011–2017 and the provincial digital finance index developed by Peking University to document that digital finance significantly improves corporate investment efficiency. Our findings are supported by extensive robustness tests. In addition, we identify two mechanisms by which digital finance may affect corporate investment efficiency: by reducing financing constraints and stimulating corporate innovation. We find that digital finance has a more pronounced effect on non-state-owned enterprises, small firms, firms in the central and western regions of China, firms with fewer loans, and firms with a higher dependence on external financing, indicating that digital finance increases the inclusiveness of financial markets. Finally, our economic consequences test shows that digital finance increases the total factor productivity of firms. Overall, this study provides insights for developing countries. In particular, it suggests that digital finance can increase firms’ resource allocation efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5115-5134 Issue: 43 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2136616 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2136616 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:43:p:5115-5134 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2135679_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: P. Wesley Routon Author-X-Name-First: P. Wesley Author-X-Name-Last: Routon Author-Name: Jay K. Walker Author-X-Name-First: Jay K. Author-X-Name-Last: Walker Title: (More) Party time in school? Relative age and alcohol consumption Abstract: School starting age policies result in academic cohorts where the oldest students are approximately a full year older than their youngest peers. A student’s relative age in their cohort has been shown related to many important outcomes. As examples, relatively older students have been found to be more focused and successful academically, more consistent in their related goals, have more friends, and are less likely to commit crime. Here, we examine the relationships between relative age and alcohol consumption (and partying behaviours) during high school and college. The sample used consists of more than 87,000 U.S. students who attended over 600 different colleges and universities, and even more high schools. These outcomes are found to be only mildly related to relative age, with evidence pointing towards older students drinking and partying slightly less during both high school and college. Though they had upwards of an extra year of being older than the legal drinking age during college, relatively older students drank slightly less, on average. Thus, among college students, the maturity effect of relative age appears stronger than the legal deterrence effect of minimum legal drinking age laws. (I23, I29, I12) Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5048-5064 Issue: 43 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2135679 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2135679 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:43:p:5048-5064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2136359_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jia Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jia Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Weici Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Weici Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Cynthia L. Rogers Author-X-Name-First: Cynthia L. Author-X-Name-Last: Rogers Title: Economic development program spending in the US: is there club convergence? Abstract: This paper provides a novel investigation of whether budgetary spending on economic development programs converges across US states. States use a wide array of tax and subsidy programs to try to attract firms in a highly competitive environment. If states engage in strategic tax and incentive competition as previous literature suggests, we should expect economic development spending to converge over time. Using a national database of state ‘out of pocket’ economic development expenditures, we apply the panel convergence method developed by Phillips and Sul (2007, 2009) which endogenously identifies the number and members of convergence clubs. We find that states flock together in three spending clubs which reflect socioeconomic characteristics. The existence of multiple clubs with heterogeneous spending patterns reveals the complexity of state-level budgetary efforts put towards economic development programs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5097-5114 Issue: 43 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2136359 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2136359 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:43:p:5097-5114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2133897_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yuanyuan Ma Author-X-Name-First: Yuanyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Chenglong Liu Author-X-Name-First: Chenglong Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jie Tian Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jie Tian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yanze Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yanze Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Reliability study of stock index forecasting in volatile and trending cities using public sentiment ——based on word2Vec and LSTM models Abstract: Accurate forecasting of the stock market has always been a key concern of academics and investors, and few researchers have discussed the reliability of stock index forecasting in volatile and trending markets based on public sentiment. This article will first use Word2Vec and CNN to classify the sentiment of 754,000 text data excavated from the Oriental Fortune Stock Forum and construct public sentiment indicators; then, select characteristic parameters such as the closing value of the Shanghai Composite Index, the inflow of northbound funds, and the exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar. Introducing sentiment indicators and building an LSTM model to explore the effect of public sentiment factors on the prediction of the Shanghai Composite Index in the unilateral rise, unilateral fall, and volatile markets. The research shows that the reliability of using public sentiment to predict unilateral falling and volatile markets is high, especially the prediction error of predicting volatile markets is the smallest. In addition, it is also found that due to the existence of the ‘disposition effect’, the error is significantly larger when using public sentiment factors to predict the unilateral rising market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5013-5032 Issue: 43 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2133897 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2133897 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:43:p:5013-5032 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2136357_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Melvin Jameson Author-X-Name-First: Melvin Author-X-Name-Last: Jameson Author-Name: Constant I. Tra Author-X-Name-First: Constant I. Author-X-Name-Last: Tra Author-Name: Jeffrey R. Wheble Author-X-Name-First: Jeffrey R. Author-X-Name-Last: Wheble Title: Out of the shadows: the behaviour of the market for cannabis during its transition to legal status Abstract: This study considers the functioning of the market for recreational marijuana during its transition to legal status in Colorado and Washington State. Contrary to the expectation that moving from covert to legal status generates a freer flow of information that improves market functioning, we find that the measures we consider, price dispersion and the incidence of low-quality deliveries (‘rip-offs’), both show statistically and economically significant increases, reflecting worsening market functioning. We attribute this adverse outcome to the partial nature of the initial decriminalization, which maintained sanctions against selling, even while legalizing purchase and possession of small quantities. Our results also confirm that purchases increased with decriminalization. An influx of unsophisticated new buyers would create a less-informed average customer; a less-informed customer pool is consistent with poorer market outcomes, especially when dealers must continue to keep transactions secret. This work contributes to the empirical price dispersion literature, providing results consistent with the hypothesis that price dispersion increases when participants are less informed, but inconsistent with the prediction that price dispersion decreases with lower cost of price information. It also provides further evidence consistent with the importance of ‘rip-off’ transactions that has been highlighted in the literature on covert markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5065-5080 Issue: 43 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2136357 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2136357 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:43:p:5065-5080 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2133898_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Oluwaseyi Ebenezer Olalere Author-X-Name-First: Oluwaseyi Ebenezer Author-X-Name-Last: Olalere Author-Name: Janine Mukuddem-Petersen Author-X-Name-First: Janine Author-X-Name-Last: Mukuddem-Petersen Title: The effect of firm-level uncertainty on R&D investment and corporate risk-taking of firms in BRICS countries: a simultaneous approach Abstract: This study examines the effect of firm-level uncertainty on R&D investment and corporate risk-taking. The current study uses unbalanced panel data of nonfinancial listed firms in BRICS countries (i.e. Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) for the period 2009–2020, totalling 24,564 observations. We applied a robust two-step generalized method of moments (GMM) to estimate the model and control for endogeneity issues. The findings show that firm-level uncertainty significantly influences R&D investment and corporate risk-taking in BRICS countries. The panel vector autoregression (PVAR) provides more robust results and confirms the significant impact of firm-level uncertainty on R&D investment and corporate risk-taking. The result indicates that firm-level uncertainty has a significant negative effect on R&D investment but a significant positive impact on corporate risk-taking. This study offers important implications for managers, policymakers, and investors in emerging markets where the relationship has remained ambiguous and applies both theories to analytically investigate the impact of uncertainty on R&D investment and corporate risk-taking of firms in BRICS countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5033-5047 Issue: 43 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2133898 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2133898 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:43:p:5033-5047 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2136358_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Sihong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Sihong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Yu Yvette Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yu Yvette Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Shaosheng Jin Author-X-Name-First: Shaosheng Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Title: Spousal dependence and intergenerational transmission of body mass index Abstract: Obesity and overweight have become increasingly prevalent in developing countries like China. This paper explores the evolvement of body mass index (BMI) of the Chinese population using a nationally representative sample. Focusing on familial transmission of BMI, we model married couple’s BMI jointly and explore how parents’ BMI affect children’s BMI. In particular, we use spousal and parental characteristics as proxy variables to account for potential omitted variables bias and explicitly model common couple effect with the correlated random-effects model for couple’ BMI. Our analysis suggests strong and positive spousal dependence and intergenerational transmissions of BMI in Chinese families. The influences of spousal BMI, parental BMI and a variety of social economic characteristics are found to depend on gender, region of residence (urban versus rural) and evolve over time. We find positive effects of spousal BMI that are significant, asymmetric (greater for wife than for husband), and generally vary across regions. For grown children, we find parental BMI to be the most important predictors for children’s BMI. Since families can play an essential role in preventing obesity, our results can be useful for developing health intervention programs and promoting healthy lifestyle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5081-5096 Issue: 43 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2136358 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2136358 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:43:p:5081-5096 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2137294_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mita Bhattacharya Author-X-Name-First: Mita Author-X-Name-Last: Bhattacharya Author-Name: John N Inekwe Author-X-Name-First: John N Author-X-Name-Last: Inekwe Author-Name: Brantley Liddle Author-X-Name-First: Brantley Author-X-Name-Last: Liddle Title: The role of renewable energy sources in residential electricity prices: A club convergence analysis across selected European countries Abstract: This research analyses the convergence of residential electricity prices in 22 European countries between 1995 and 2019. The findings reveal the existence of two sub-convergent clubs of residential electricity prices. Half of the countries studied belong to the club with higher residential electricity prices, while the other half belong to the lower-price club. Household income increases the probability of belonging to the club of lower residential electricity prices. An increase in heating degree days decreases the probability of belonging to the club of lower residential electricity prices. A similar effect is observed for the price of non-renewable energy sources used in electricity production. Further, although a country’s likelihood of belonging to the club of lower residential electricity prices diminishes with a rise in the share of renewable electricity production, the converse pattern is obtained at the residential level, such that residential renewable electricity share has a beneficial effect. Our findings suggest that households have benefitted in paying lower prices for renewable sourced electricity. Therefore, this research indicates that ongoing clean energy initiatives and the availability of affordable substitutes for conventionally generated electricity are being realized to a certain extent, improving electricity markets for the countries we analysed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5157-5171 Issue: 44 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2137294 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2137294 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:44:p:5157-5171 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2138817_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tetsuya Kamamura Author-X-Name-First: Tetsuya Author-X-Name-Last: Kamamura Author-Name: Yuhsuke Koyama Author-X-Name-First: Yuhsuke Author-X-Name-Last: Koyama Author-Name: Tomoharu Mori Author-X-Name-First: Tomoharu Author-X-Name-Last: Mori Author-Name: Taizo Motonishi Author-X-Name-First: Taizo Author-X-Name-Last: Motonishi Author-Name: Kazuhito Ogawa Author-X-Name-First: Kazuhito Author-X-Name-Last: Ogawa Title: Loot box gambling and economic preferences: a survey analysis of Japanese adolescents and young adults Abstract: With the increasing use of social-network games, game addiction has become a serious challenge to the world. This study investigates the effects of risk preference, loss aversion, and time preference on the behaviour of Japanese adolescents and young adults purchasing ‘Gacha’, or loot box gambling, in social-network games. We surveyed 1,210 respondents, aged 12 to 23 years; approximately 34% of the respondents had purchased ‘Gacha’. We found that loss-averse and risk-averse female respondents had less experience paying for ‘Gacha’, with their highest billing amount charged per month being lower than that of other female respondents. Furthermore, future-oriented female respondents had less payment experience than present-oriented ones, with the highest billing amount charged per month for the former respondents being also lower. The highest billing amount charged per month of loss-averse male respondents was significantly lower than that of other male respondents. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5213-5229 Issue: 44 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2138817 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2138817 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:44:p:5213-5229 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2137457_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Norman Sedgley Author-X-Name-First: Norman Author-X-Name-Last: Sedgley Title: Trade, competition and innovation Abstract: The impact of international trade on technological change and productivity is an important and well-researched topic. The existing literature focuses on spillovers of knowledge, market size effects, Schumpeterian effects, and escape competition effects. Separately, economists working in the areas of Economic Growth and Industrial Organization have looked for a relationship, often nonlinear, between market structure and innovation. This paper investigates the indirect role of trade on innovation through a contribution to domestic competition. Using a unit of analysis of HJT technology subclass, I construct a panel data set that spans the period from 2002 through 2012. Trade adjusted and unadjusted concentration ratios are constructed for HJT technology subclasses and used to deconstruct the contribution of trade to innovation through this indirect channel. This novel approach to the data also uncovers strong evidence of a nonlinear relationship between innovation and market concentration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5189-5201 Issue: 44 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2137457 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2137457 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:44:p:5189-5201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2136617_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shilin Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Shilin Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Weijie Luo Author-X-Name-First: Weijie Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Does specialization improve firm efficiency? Evidence from the vertical unbundling reform in the Chinese electricity industry Abstract: Many electricity markets in the world have experienced the vertical unbundling where the generation and transmission sectors were separated from a vertically-integrated monopolistic power company. This restructuring could positively impact the productivity of the firms because of intensified competition and enhanced autonomy but could also negatively aect the productivity because of the loss of synergy and scaled economy. By exploiting the vertical unbundling that took place in China in 2003, this study finds that vertical unbundling increased the labour use of the generation firms and the material use of the transmission firms. Additional investigation reveals that generation firms suffer from an efficiency loss in labour use due to the loss of coordination after vertical unbundling and the transmission firms face an increased transaction cost in acquiring material and bear the additional cost transferred from the efficiency loss of the upstream generation firms. Our findings suggest that benefits of vertical unbundling relative to integration critically hinge on the market structure of the industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5135-5156 Issue: 44 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2136617 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2136617 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:44:p:5135-5156 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2137456_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Daniel J. Parisian Author-X-Name-First: Daniel J. Author-X-Name-Last: Parisian Author-Name: Xintong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xintong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Learning and not using? The effect of degree attainment on illicit drug use among at-risk youth Abstract: This paper examines the causal effect of earning a GED or vocational degree on future illicit drug use, employing random assignment into the United States’ most comprehensive education and vocational training program for at-risk youth – Job Corps – as a source of exogenous variability in degree attainment. Nonparametric bounds under relatively weak monotonicity assumptions are constructed to allow the random assignment to violate the exclusion restriction when used as an instrument. We also use a fixed effect model and propensity score weighting to supplement the results. The results from different methods suggest that degree attainment may have the most significant effect in reducing the illicit drug use of blacks, while the results for whites and Hispanics are less conclusive. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5172-5188 Issue: 44 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2137456 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2137456 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:44:p:5172-5188 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2211335_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hongsheng Fang Author-X-Name-First: Hongsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Dandan Dang Author-X-Name-First: Dandan Author-X-Name-Last: Dang Author-Name: Nan Fu Author-X-Name-First: Nan Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Wen-Quan Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Quan Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: Enterprise income tax and corporate innovation: evidence from China Abstract: Using China’s 2008 enterprise income tax (EIT) reform, this study examines the effect of EIT on corporate innovation comprehensively. Based on accurate identification of the direction of changes in the corporate tax rate, we introduce two dummy variables of tax rate decline and escalation to investigate the impact of EIT changes simultaneously. Using the firm-level dataset from China’s A-share listed companies, we find that the innovation level of tax-rate-declining enterprises will increase by 0.2%, whereas the innovation level of tax-rate-increasing enterprises will decrease by 0.4%. The dynamic effect demonstrates that the aforementioned promoting and inhibitory effects are continuous. Heterogeneity analyses reveal that the changes in the EIT rates have a greater impact on the innovation level of enterprises with high innovation demand, manufacturing enterprises, enterprises in a high rule of law environment, and enterprises in the eastern region. Our study highlights the importance of the EIT reform on corporate innovation and guides how to better optimize the effectiveness of such policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5230-5249 Issue: 44 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2211335 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2211335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:44:p:5230-5249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2138816_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yoichiro Fujii Author-X-Name-First: Yoichiro Author-X-Name-Last: Fujii Author-Name: Yusuke Osaki Author-X-Name-First: Yusuke Author-X-Name-Last: Osaki Title: Effect of regret sensitivity on self-insurance and self-protection Abstract: We examine how regret sensitivity influences two types of effort to prevent losses: self-insurance and self-protection. Individuals are called regret sensitive when they suffer disutility from the anticipated regret of considering their ex post best wealth. The keys to determining the effect of regret are the probability of loss in self-insurance and the sensitivity to regret in self-protection. Comparing the case of expected utility, regret-sensitive individuals tend to increase (decrease) their exertion of self-insurance when the probability of loss is low (high). Regret-sensitive individuals tend to decrease (increase) self-protection when they care about regret sufficiently (insufficiently). This result illustrates observed loss prevention practices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5202-5212 Issue: 44 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2138816 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2138816 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:44:p:5202-5212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2138821_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Dan Wu Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Panpan Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Panpan Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: The impact of tax integrity on corporate innovation: evidence from China Abstract: This study analyzes the impact of enterprise integrity on corporate innovation from the perspective of the contract theory. We used the tax credit ratings of listed firms provided by China’s State Administration of Taxation from 2014 to 2017 to measure enterprise integrity. Our results suggest that enterprises with tax integrity have a higher intensity of research and development (R&D) investment than those without. In addition, institutional investors and financing constraints play an incomplete intermediary role between tax integrity and corporate innovation. The impact of tax integrity on corporate innovation is heterogenous; tax integrity has a more significant impact on state-owned enterprises, non-high-tech enterprises, and enterprises in areas with lower marketization levels. This study does not only complement the theoretical research on integrity and corporate innovation; it also provides empirical evidence for stakeholders to understand the economic consequences of integrity from the perspective of the contract theory. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5303-5316 Issue: 45 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2138821 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2138821 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:45:p:5303-5316 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2139804_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Social trust and income of rural residents: Evidence from China Abstract: We examine the relationship between social trust and residential income in rural China by using two microeconomic survey datasets. Social indicators of trust are measured from three dimensions: personalized trust, or trust in relatives and friends; generalized trust, or trust in people other than relatives and friends and public trust, or trust in the state and public officials. Our results show that personalized trust can increase rural residents’ income, while generalized trust may reduce their income. In addition, a significant positive relation is found between public trust and income only in the West and East of China. Three underlying economic mechanisms are also identified: health effects, organizational learning effects, and insurance effects. Furthermore, we empirically assess the impact of the different types of social trust on sources of residential income. The results indicate that personalized trust enhances residents’ financial assets income, generalized trust raises business income, and public trust contributes to salary income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5352-5368 Issue: 45 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2139804 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2139804 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:45:p:5352-5368 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2138818_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yi-Chieh Wen Author-X-Name-First: Yi-Chieh Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Bin Li Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xiaoyue Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoyue Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Tarlok Singh Author-X-Name-First: Tarlok Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Title: Spillover effects of the US stock market and the predictability of returns: international evidence based on daily data Abstract: This paper investigates the spillover effect of lagged US daily returns on stock return predictability across 17 developed markets from January 1st, 1972 through August 31st, 2022. Using daily returns series, we find that lagged US returns is a superior predictor for future returns in international markets while including the lagged domestic returns and considering US negative or extreme returns. The predictive power of lagged US daily returns, nonetheless, substantially weakens during the recent COVID period. Our results imply that the degrees of stock return predictability and spillovers across markets are driven by the evolutionary market conditions, the channels of information transmission, and information leadership. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5251-5266 Issue: 45 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2138818 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2138818 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:45:p:5251-5266 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2138819_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yao Hou Author-X-Name-First: Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Hou Author-Name: Rong Li Author-X-Name-First: Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Danxia Xie Author-X-Name-First: Danxia Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Longtian Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Longtian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Qingquan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Qingquan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The evolution of monetary rules with financial stability considerations Abstract: In this study, we estimate and investigate the evolution of monetary rules in China and the United States in the 21st century. Our goal is to examine whether financial stability has been taken into consideration in the decision-making of monetary policy. By proposing a new method, we estimate the structural breaks, split the entire time period into multiple monetary regimes, and estimate an extended Taylor rule with financial stability considerations and its evolution over time. Our findings show that China’s monetary policy emphasized the financial stress of the U.S. immediately before and during the 2008 global financial crisis. However, the coefficient for the U.S. financial stress has decreased since then, which shows a weaker concern on this index, and instead, the Chinese policymakers are emphasizing stronger on their domestic financial market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5267-5286 Issue: 45 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2138819 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2138819 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:45:p:5267-5286 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2138822_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jinrong Yu Author-X-Name-First: Jinrong Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Yun Wei Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Zhiqiang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Zhiqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: The impact of human capital agglomeration on the green upgrading of the manufacturing industry in the Yangtze River Economic Belt Abstract: Based on the panel data of provinces and cities from 2002 to 2019, this study took the human capital agglomeration as the threshold variable and analysed the threshold effect of human capital agglomeration on the green upgrading of the manufacturing industry in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. Based on the dynamic panel threshold model, human capital agglomeration was found to have a significant threshold effect on green upgrading of the manufacturing industry in the Yangtze River Economic Belt. When human capital agglomeration crosses a certain threshold, the impact effect of manufacturing green upgrading decreases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5317-5329 Issue: 45 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2138822 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2138822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:45:p:5317-5329 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2139802_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Philipp Lieberknecht Author-X-Name-First: Philipp Author-X-Name-Last: Lieberknecht Author-Name: Philip Vermeulen Author-X-Name-First: Philip Author-X-Name-Last: Vermeulen Title: Saving at the top and the long-run relationship between wealth and income inequality Abstract: This paper analyzes the joint long-run evolution of wealth and income inequality. We find that top wealth and income shares were cointegrated over the past century in France and the US. We rationalize this finding in two macroeconomic heterogeneous agent models featuring growth and incomplete markets, respectively. In both frameworks, the co-movement of top wealth and income shares is determined by the relative saving rate at the top, i.e. the ratio of the saving rate of rich individuals to the aggregate saving rate. Our empirical results suggest that relative saving rates at the top have been fairly stable over time, thus explaining the observed tight co-movement between top wealth and income shares over the past century. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5330-5351 Issue: 45 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2139802 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2139802 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:45:p:5330-5351 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2138820_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xuyi Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xuyi Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Jiawen Liu Author-X-Name-First: Jiawen Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Shun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Shun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: A regional analysis of the urbanization-energy-economy-emissions nexus in China: based on the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis Abstract: The process of urbanization has accelerated in the recent decades, bringing with it an enormous impact on climate change. This paper examines the relationships between urbanization, energy consumption, and economic growth on carbon dioxide emissions in regions of China during the 1997–2019 period. Additionally, the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis is also examined. The cross-sectional dependence test indicates that no cross-sectional dependence is present in the panel data, and six unit root tests show that all variables are integrated on the order of one, I(1). Results of all cointegration tests provide evidence for a long-term equilibrium in the selected time series data. The fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) and the augmented mean group (AMG) estimator indicate that the EKC hypothesis is valid in all regions except Western China. Given its abundant renewable resources, this region can vigorously develop renewable energy and energy storage technology. Moreover, energy consumption can lead to emissions increasing, while it is not certain that urbanization leads to emissions decreasing. Clean technologies for energy and intensive development of urban area should be emphasized. Finally, the results of pairwise Dumitrescu-Hurlin (DH) Panel causality test between each pair of variables are complicated and mixed in different regions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5287-5302 Issue: 45 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 09 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2138820 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2138820 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:45:p:5287-5302 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2139808_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Rajeev K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Michael A. Nelson Author-X-Name-First: Michael A. Author-X-Name-Last: Nelson Title: Global coronavirus business closures: influences of executive gender, firm characteristics, and government involvement Abstract: This paper uses firm-level data across about 30 nations to study the effect of the coronavirus on firms’ closures, with attention to firms with female managers and female owners. We also consider the influences of firms’ characteristics, the role of the government, economy-wide attributes, and industry type. The estimation uses a logit strategy, with country-year level clustered standard errors reported and industry fixed-effects included. Results show that, with somewhat limited statistical support, firms with female managers were more likely to exit, while those with female owners were less likely to. Further, fertility and gender inequality made firms’ exit more likely. Larger and older firms were less likely to exit. Finally, firms located in urbanized nations and those located in nations with larger governments were more likely to close, while the reverse was true in nations with better governance. We find weak support for the notion that heightened and aggressive government efforts to control the pandemic contributed to business closures. Finally, we find that various firm-level and macro factors impact firms’ exit during the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5384-5402 Issue: 46 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2139808 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2139808 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:46:p:5384-5402 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2139809_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kristiina Ala-Kokko Author-X-Name-First: Kristiina Author-X-Name-Last: Ala-Kokko Author-Name: Lawton Lanier Nalley Author-X-Name-First: Lawton Lanier Author-X-Name-Last: Nalley Author-Name: Alvaro Durand-Morat Author-X-Name-First: Alvaro Author-X-Name-Last: Durand-Morat Author-Name: Wei Yang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Impact of disjunctive marking on consumer preferences Abstract: Disjunctive marking (‘or’ or ‘and/or’) has been ruled illegal under the U.S. Customs and Border Protection’s country-of-origin labelling regulations. Using an ongoing dispute in Puerto Rico as a medium, data was collected through a choice experiment and a random parameter logit model was employed to estimate the impact of disjunctive marking on consumers’ willingness-to-pay and market shares. We find that disjunctive marking provides Rico branded rice a $0.28 premium per three-pound bag of medium-grain rice. Additionally, 23% of the Puerto Rican rice market is being reallocated to Rico through the use of disjunctive marking. This study is the first attempt at estimating the economic impacts of disjunctive marking and provides insights on an innovative mislabelling technique that impacts consumer preferences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5403-5418 Issue: 46 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2139809 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2139809 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:46:p:5403-5418 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2139811_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Moonsoo Kang Author-X-Name-First: Moonsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Kang Title: ETFs and information asymmetry of underlying securities: evidence on the volume-conditioned return autocorrelation Abstract: This study investigates whether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) increase the information asymmetry of underlying securities by examining the relationship between the US equity ETF ownership or turnover and the volume-conditioned daily return autocorrelation proposed by. Specifically, we find that stocks with higher ETF ownership exhibit weaker return reversals. We confirm that the ETF ownership effect is robust in a variety of settings, such as various volume measures, within industry, and various regression frameworks. We also address the difference between the volume-conditioned autocorrelation and the unconditional autocorrelation. Moreover, we document that higher ETF turnover leads to weaker return reversals, independently of the ETF ownership effect. These findings suggest that higher ETF presence allows more informed traders to engage in trades or more liquidity traders to migrate to ETFs from underlying securities, resulting in higher information asymmetry for underlying securities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5434-5450 Issue: 46 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2139811 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2139811 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:46:p:5434-5450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2139813_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Luis Diaz-Serrano Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Diaz-Serrano Author-Name: Mercedes Teruel-Carrizosa Author-X-Name-First: Mercedes Author-X-Name-Last: Teruel-Carrizosa Title: Job-to-job transitions and the job satisfaction puzzle: a diff-in-diff analysis for eleven EU countries Abstract: This paper studies the impact of different types of job-to-job transitions (from salaried employment to self-employment, from self-employment to salaried employment, and within salaried employment) on job satisfaction. Considering the three types of job transition, allows us to separate the pure mobility effect from the type of employment effect. We design an identification strategy based on the diff-in-diff approach. This is possible because our panel data allow us to compare the same individuals before and after job-to-job transitions occur. Our findings indicate that individuals who move from salaried employment to self-employment increase their overall job satisfaction more than workers who carry out other types of job transitions, while the impact of job changes on satisfaction in other job domains is mixed. We also find heterogeneous interactive effects of previous unemployment spells and self-perceived skill mismatch with job transitions depending on the type of transition. While skill mismatch is more important in the transition from salaried employment to self-employment, previous unemployment is more important for job changes within salaried employment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5464-5483 Issue: 46 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2139813 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2139813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:46:p:5464-5483 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2139812_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Abdullah Mohammed Al-Malki Author-X-Name-First: Abdullah Mohammed Author-X-Name-Last: Al-Malki Author-Name: Mehboob-Ul Hassan Author-X-Name-First: Mehboob-Ul Author-X-Name-Last: Hassan Author-Name: Jabbar Ul-Haq Author-X-Name-First: Jabbar Author-X-Name-Last: Ul-Haq Title: Nexus between remittance outflows and economic growth in GCC countries: the mediating role of financial development Abstract: An important but underestimated area in international economics is the study of the impacts of remittance outflows and financial development on the economic growth of the remitting countries. This study explores how remittance outflows and financial development can affect the economic growth of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region using panel data from 1999 to 2018. The outcome reveals that remittance outflows are negatively related to economic growth. While financial development is effective in stimulating economic growth and is significant, the moderating role of financial development is growth-enhancing in the GCC region. Our findings are robust and insensitive to different econometric techniques. To benefit from immigrants, this research suggests a stimulus policy that GCC countries should facilitate foreign workers to settle sustainably and participate in investment activities, and increase consumption in their host country. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5451-5463 Issue: 46 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2139812 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2139812 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:46:p:5451-5463 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2139807_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Marta Pascual-Sáez Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual-Sáez Author-Name: Paloma Lanza-Leon Author-X-Name-First: Paloma Author-X-Name-Last: Lanza-Leon Title: The mismatch of over-education and earnings in Spain: how big are differences? Abstract: This paper attempts to examine the incidence of over-education in Spain and to analyse the role over-education plays on an individual’s income distinguishing by gender. Following Freeman’s perspective, we can confirm over-education is due to an oversupply of qualified labour. We study over-education applying different matching techniques based on propensity score methods with microdata drawn from the European Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC, 2009–2019). Our results show that the incidence of over-education has increased over time and there exist huge differences by gender. Findings also demonstrate that over-education presents a negative effect on income. In fact, the real annual average earnings from over-educated women (men) can be approximately 7,000 (5,000) euros less than the average earnings of women (men) who were not over-educated. Policy implications are discussed in the light of the empirical results of our analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5369-5383 Issue: 46 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2139807 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2139807 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:46:p:5369-5383 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2139810_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Valentinas Rudys Author-X-Name-First: Valentinas Author-X-Name-Last: Rudys Author-Name: Daniel Svogun Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Svogun Title: Optimal cryptocurrency portfolio allocation over the life cycle Abstract: Most of the literature on life cycle investment portfolio analysis focuses on the allocation between risky stocks and safe bonds. We introduce a new risky asset class, cryptocurrency, to a standard consumption-investment life cycle model. Our model suggests that the optimal investment profile in cryptocurrencies declines with age. Young investors mainly invest in cryptocurrency. As age and wealth increase, investors transition to mostly stocks mid-career and mostly bonds in retirement. A welfare analysis shows significant utility losses from not participating in the cryptocurrency market or not adjusting cryptocurrency portfolio shares throughout the life cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5419-5433 Issue: 46 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2139810 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2139810 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:46:p:5419-5433 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140111_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Trang Huyen Dang Author-X-Name-First: Trang Huyen Author-X-Name-Last: Dang Author-Name: Cuong Viet Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Cuong Viet Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Oanh Thu Thi Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Oanh Thu Thi Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Tung Duc Phung Author-X-Name-First: Tung Duc Author-X-Name-Last: Phung Title: Do positive income shocks benefit children’s education? Evidence from Vietnam Abstract: This study investigates the causal effect of positive income shocks on education in Vietnam using the 1993 and 1998 Vietnam Living Standard Surveys. We measure income shocks by families’ lottery winnings, controlling for lottery purchases. In general, lottery winnings have no significant effect on school enrolment. However, we find a positive and significant effect from lottery winnings on expenditure for children’s education. A 1% increase in lottery winnings increases expenditure on children’s education by 0.12%. Interestingly, we find a stronger effect from lottery winnings on school enrolment and expenditure for education for girls than for boys, helping to decrease gender inequality in education. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5528-5552 Issue: 47 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140111 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:47:p:5528-5552 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140113_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chih-Hai Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Hai Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: External technological sources, subsidies and firm productivity in China Abstract: Productivity is a key factor that differentiates firm competitiveness. To promote productivity, the internal source, research and development expenditure, is undoubtedly a primary driver, while various external sources are also critical. This study examines the determinants of productivity in Chinese firms, focusing on external technological sources, especially policy-induced factors, including tariff-free imported intermediates, forced technology transfer through international joint ventures (IJVs) and production subsidies. Based on firm–customs matched data for 2001–2007, we find that the technologies embodied in imported intermediates and IJVs in technology-intensive sectors positively influence productivity. Production subsidies also have a significant and positive relationship with productivity. Overall, the above findings suggest the effectiveness of policy instruments. Further heterogeneous analyses highlight the differences in productivity effects by isolating the above factors individually in various dimensions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5572-5590 Issue: 47 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140113 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140113 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:47:p:5572-5590 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140110_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Amir Eslami Andargoli Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Eslami Andargoli Author-Name: Hassan F. Gholipour Author-X-Name-First: Hassan F. Author-X-Name-Last: Gholipour Author-Name: Mohammad Reza Farzanegan Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad Reza Author-X-Name-Last: Farzanegan Title: Government’s support for adoption of digital technologies and firms’ innovation during the COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: The purpose of this study is to examine the relationship between government support, through technical assistance or subsidies, for adoption of digital technologies and the introduction of new or improved products or services by firms. By applying Probit regression to data provided in World Bank Enterprise Surveys covering the period in late 2020 to early 2021 for three lower-middle-income and high-income economies, we find that governmental support for adoption of digital technologies raised the probability of an enterprise’s innovation in those economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5518-5527 Issue: 47 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:47:p:5518-5527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140114_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: César Alonso-Borrego Author-X-Name-First: César Author-X-Name-Last: Alonso-Borrego Author-Name: Raquel Carrasco Author-X-Name-First: Raquel Author-X-Name-Last: Carrasco Title: Intimate partner violence and women’s health: the private and social burden Abstract: We assess the impact of intimate partner violence (IPV) against women on their health and healthcare use, finding that IPV substantially worsens health, and increases the hazards of hospitalization, emergency care, and sedative consumption. We exploit two compatible samples from the 2011 Spanish Violence Against Women and National Health surveys. We estimate the effect of IPV on health using a bivariate model that exploits woman’s awareness of IPV among female acquaintances to account for IPV endogeneity, and the effect of IPV on healthcare through a two-stage procedure. Hence, IPV originates high private cost, but also public, by draining healthcare resources. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5591-5611 Issue: 47 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140114 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140114 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:47:p:5591-5611 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140112_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jeremy Kronick Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Kronick Author-Name: Steve Ambler Author-X-Name-First: Steve Author-X-Name-Last: Ambler Title: Predicting financial crises: debt versus debt service ratios Abstract: The academic literature and the popular press emphasize high levels of household debt as a threat to financial stability. Using Canadian data, we show that the household debt service ratio is a better predictor of financial distress than measures focused on debt ratios. We construct a new financial vulnerability barometer for the Canadian economy in which the debt service ratio improves its ability to predict periods of financial vulnerability. We also show that new borrowing, while increasing economic growth in the short run, leads to an increase in debt servicing which contributes to slumps in activity and to financial instability. Finally, we show that the debt service ratio also has significant out-of-sample predictive power for growth and financial crises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5553-5571 Issue: 47 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:47:p:5553-5571 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140108_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yanhui Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yanhui Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Yun Hong Author-X-Name-First: Yun Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Title: National media and investor sentiment dynamics: evidence from China central television using a wavelet approach Abstract: This paper investigates the multiscale dynamic relations between China Central Television News (CCTV News) and investor sentiment in China by employing the wavelet method. We document significant positive correlations between CCTV News’s economic focus/economic tone and investor sentiment at the raw and high-frequency levels using the wavelet DCC-GARCH model. Wavelet Granger causality tests and wavelet coherence analysis confirm that the economic focus/economic tone of CCTV News is dominant and leads investor sentiment for short-term investors. At the same time, investor sentiment can conversely affect CCTV News’s economic focus/economic tone for medium-term investors. There is a long-term interdependence between CCTV News’s economic focus/tone and investor sentiment. Furthermore, the interaction between CCTV News and investor sentiment increases in turbulent periods compared with relatively calm periods. Finally, we find that CCTV News’s economic focus and tone positively affect the stock market returns. The influence seems to be an overreaction in the short term and an underreaction in the long term. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5485-5503 Issue: 47 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140108 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140108 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:47:p:5485-5503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140109_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Wenxiang Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Wenxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Author-Name: Chengyuan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chengyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jun Li Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The influences of peers on outpatient physicians’ diagnostic scan decision-making Abstract: Outpatient physicians’ diagnostic scan decision-making is not only related to the quality of medical diagnosis but also connected with the operations efficiency of the hospital. Identifying and understanding how outpatient physicians react to their peers in diagnostic scan decisions is an important economics issue that can help hospitals improve their operations effectiveness. Based on the data collected from a Chinese 3A Grade hospital, we reveal that peers have negative influences on outpatient physicians in deciding the number of scan orders during a shift. Relative to male physicians, female physicians are more likely to be influenced by their peers. Moreover, physicians in the surgical medicine departments are more sensitive to peers regarding decisions on scan orders, relative to those in the internal medicine departments. We further find that several conventional social interaction factors, including learning, status, and homophily, do not act on peer influence. While resource spillover caused by shared scan resource constraints, patient-volume and physician-volume can enlarge the negative peer influence, suggesting that resource spillover should be a significant driving force of the peer influence in deciding the number of scan orders. Finally, theoretical and management implications are discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5504-5517 Issue: 47 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140109 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:47:p:5504-5517 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140115_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xiuwen Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xiuwen Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Are the shocks of EPU, VIX, and GPR indexes on the oil-stock nexus alike? A time-frequency analysis Abstract: This paper distinguishes whether the shocks of various uncertainties on oil-stock correlation are alike from a time-frequency perspective. Specifically, using data from December 1997 to April 2021, the effects of EPU, VIX, and GPR on the interaction between Brent oil prices and stock indices in the G7 and BRIC countries are examined. The results reveal that the influence of EPU, VIX, and GPR on the oil-stock co-movement is dependent upon investment horizons. In developed markets, the most influential uncertainty index is the VIX, followed by EPU and GPR. In emerging markets, the interactions between oil prices and stock indices in Brazil and India are more susceptible to the VIX, followed by GPR and EPU. For China, the co-movement relation is more sensitive to EPU. Moreover, better prediction power on the stock market is obtained by combining oil prices and EPU or VIX. Our findings provide a crucial reference for financial risk management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5637-5652 Issue: 48 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140115 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140115 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:48:p:5637-5652 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208847_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yixuan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yixuan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Qianbin Feng Author-X-Name-First: Qianbin Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Lingxi Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Lingxi Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Broadband infrastructure and local government fiscal risk: evidence from China Abstract: Network infrastructure is a cornerstone of Internet applications and digital economy. In this paper, we primarily evaluate the effect of broadband infrastructure on local government fiscal risk by using the enforcement of the ‘Broadband China’ Strategy (BCS) as an exogenous shock. After a simple theoretical analysis by establishing a three-department endogenous growth model, we conduct a staggered Difference-in-Differences (DID) estimation and use a panel datum of China’s 285 prefecture-level cities from 2003 to 2019, finding that the BCS policy apparently reduces fiscal risks of the pilot cities compared to the untreated ones. This impact is achieved through two channels: the enlargement of data creation and the enhancement of data use efficiency. Moreover, we discover that this policy contributes more to cities with mature IT industry, deepened information consumption, strong innovation capabilities and flourishing cross-border e-commerce. In addition, it is demonstrated that cities with severe financial burden always benefit more from the BCS policy; meanwhile, the policy effects will spill over to surrounding districts. Finally, we find that the construction of broadband infrastructure greatly improves residents’ satisfaction with local government. Overall, this paper provides constructive insights into broadband infrastructure for diminishing local government fiscal risks in developing countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5613-5636 Issue: 48 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208847 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208847 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:48:p:5613-5636 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140116_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhenxiang Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Zhenxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Shanshan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shanshan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The marriage consumption puzzle—evidence from China Abstract: Marriage, as the most crucial event in one’s lifetime, not only has a significant effect on one’s future consumer preferences but also changes one’s consumer decisions. This paper addresses how individuals change their expenditure when the marital status changes, three models are developed to explore this issue based on the equilibrium of current consumption and consumption purpose with the consideration of income growth, expenditure on public goods and mating competitiveness for males and females. By selecting the married group in the panel data of China Family Panel Studies between 2016 and 2018, we use the propensity score to match all the married individuals during the 2 years and search a control group for each of them and, in addition, use the difference-in-differences (DID) method to examine the effects of marriage on individuals’ personal and public consumption. Benefiting to the model fitting the data relatively well, the results show that individual’s expenditure raises by 24% when married, with highly increasing items in public goods. At last, males cost 11.4% more than females after their marriage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5653-5673 Issue: 48 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140116 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140116 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:48:p:5653-5673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140760_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tzeng Kae-Yih Author-X-Name-First: Tzeng Author-X-Name-Last: Kae-Yih Title: The international spillover behaviour of implied volatilities and forecasting ability of spillover indices Abstract: In this study, we investigate the spillover behaviours of implied volatilities and test the forecasting power of spillover indices. By using a Diebold and Yilmaz’s (2012) framework, we capture a better overall picture of the developments of spillover effects and create a series of spillover indices by quantifying the spillover intensity for each rolling time window such that we are able to investigate the forecasting ability of spillover indices on market returns. There are several findings in this study including (1) the spillover indices of implied volatilities not only enable us to describe the spillover effects but also possess strong forecasting power on market returns, (2) implied volatilities which own emotional-related characteristic create stronger spillover mechanisms than spillover of market returns and (3) by observing the time-varying patterns of spillover indices of implied volatilities, we find that the peaks of spillover indices occur during well-known economic events such as the Lehman Brothers’ Bankruptcy and Greek debt restructuring. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5719-5735 Issue: 48 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140760 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140760 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:48:p:5719-5735 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140117_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hui Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Xian Liang Author-X-Name-First: Xian Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Huiting Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Huiting Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Fangting Xie Author-X-Name-First: Fangting Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Title: Family care, rural labour migration and land lease: A case study of Jiangxi Province, China Abstract: The farmland lease is an important way to improve the scale of farmland management and agricultural modernization. Based on survey data for 578 rural households in Jiangxi Province, a Tobit model, and intermediary effect analysis method were used to determine how family care affects farmland lease by influencing off-farm employment. The main conclusions were as follows: (1) When more members of a family needed care, more rural households tended to rent in farmland. Care for the elderly and care for children aged 0–4 years had no significant impact on farmland lease, but care for children aged 5–15 years had a significant and positive influence on farmland rent-in. (2) The number of members in need of care within the family did not significantly affect farmland rent-out, but the care of children aged 0–4 years significantly reduced the possibility of farmers renting out their farmland. (3) Family care reduced the possibility of farmers renting out land but promoted land rent-in by inhibiting labour migration. (4) The intermediary effect of out-county off-farm employment in the influence of family care on farmland lease was significant, but the intermediary effect of local off-farm employment was not significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5674-5686 Issue: 48 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140117 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140117 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:48:p:5674-5686 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140119_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tareq Saeed Author-X-Name-First: Tareq Author-X-Name-Last: Saeed Author-Name: Neeraj Nautiyal Author-X-Name-First: Neeraj Author-X-Name-Last: Nautiyal Author-Name: Mobeen Ur Rehman Author-X-Name-First: Mobeen Ur Author-X-Name-Last: Rehman Author-Name: Hamed Hamdan Alsulami Author-X-Name-First: Hamed Hamdan Author-X-Name-Last: Alsulami Author-Name: Mohammad S. Alhothuali Author-X-Name-First: Mohammad S. Author-X-Name-Last: Alhothuali Title: Do gulf stock markets share time varying connectedness Abstract: This article examines the presence of spillover and time varying correlation between returns of Islamic stock markets in the Gulf region. Our sample comprises six Gulf equity market returns i.e. Oman, the UAE, KSA, Bahrain, Qatar and Kuwait ranging from June 2005 to January 2022. We use spillover and wavelet multiple cross-correlation methods for data analysis. Our results highlight that the equity markets of Oman and UAE exhibit significant correlation with each other in the medium-run investment period which decreases in the short-run. UAE highlights significant integration with rest of the Gulf markets. Our results also highlight spillover between the stock returns of UAE and Oman during both short- and long-run periods. Among all markets, UAE appears to exhibit maximum integration with other markets. These results carry implications for the investment in the Gulf stock markets during different investment horizons. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5700-5718 Issue: 48 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140119 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140119 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:48:p:5700-5718 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140118_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Do-Young Lee Author-X-Name-First: Do-Young Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Won-Sik Hwang Author-X-Name-First: Won-Sik Author-X-Name-Last: Hwang Title: Adoption and frequency of early morning delivery of food in Korea: an empirical analysis Abstract: Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, consumers’ online grocery purchases have steadily increased in Korea. This study aimed to ascertain consumers’ characteristics that affect the frequency of using an innovative food delivery service, ‘early morning delivery (EMD)’. We make estimations based on the ordered probit model with sample selection that analyses the frequency of EMD use after selecting consumers with an online food purchase experience from all consumers. The empirical results show similarities and differences in the determinants of conventional online grocery shopping and EMD services. The social trend of increasing single-person households might have a negative influence on the spread of EMD services, even though consumers of the two services have common socio-demographic factors and lifestyles. Moreover, according to the marginal effects, the influences of the explanatory variables differ considerably depending on the category of EMD users. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5687-5699 Issue: 48 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140118 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140118 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:48:p:5687-5699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140761_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Anh T. N. Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Anh T. N. Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Title: Applying sample selection methods for panel data to analyse determinants of foreign direct divestment Abstract: This is the first empirical study to examine determinants of both the probability and the volume of foreign direct divestment (FDD) between countries, applying sample selection methods for panel data. The data cover 137 host countries and 169 source countries, from 2004 to 2012. Empirical evidence shows that market size and GDP growth of both host and source countries, as well as a bilateral investment treaty, discourage divestment. By contrast, sharing a common currency has a positive impact on divestment. Distance negatively affects the divestment amount but does not show any statistically significant impact on the probability of divestment. Neither do political stability, colonial relationship, common language, or common religion play an important role in FDD. This study opens up an area for future research in terms of both theory and empirics since FDD is still a neglected area in international economics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5737-5749 Issue: 49 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140761 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140761 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:49:p:5737-5749 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140762_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Long Yang Author-X-Name-First: Long Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Haiyang Lu Author-X-Name-First: Haiyang Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Meng Li Author-X-Name-First: Meng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Does mobile broadband use promote smallholder entrepreneurship? Evidence from rural China Abstract: This study explored the impact of mobile broadband use on smallholders’ entrepreneurial engagement and willingness using data from a household survey collected from three provinces in China. We used an endogenous switching probit model to account for the potential selection bias associated with mobile broadband use. The empirical results indicated that mobile broadband use exerted positive and statistically significant impacts on smallholders’ entrepreneurial engagement and willingness. In particular, we found that mobile broadband use increased the probability of smallholders’ entrepreneurial engagement and willingness by 15.1 and 50.9% points, respectively. Further analysis revealed that the effects of mobile broadband use on smallholder entrepreneurship were heterogeneous across regions. Additionally, we found that while the impact of mobile broadband use on entrepreneurial engagement was the largest for smallholders with high income, its impact on entrepreneurial willingness appeared to be the greatest for smallholders with low income. This study extended the literature by analysing smallholder entrepreneurship and provided evidence on the effect of mobile ICT on smallholder entrepreneurship. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5750-5767 Issue: 49 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140762 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140762 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:49:p:5750-5767 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140764_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Juandan Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Juandan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Author-Name: Huaigang Long Author-X-Name-First: Huaigang Author-X-Name-Last: Long Author-Name: Feng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Jiqian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jiqian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: International commodity-market tail risk and stock volatility Abstract: Using the method of, this study constructs a tail risk predictor of the international commodity market to forecast US stock volatility. The in-sample results show that tail risk contains significant interpretive ability for stock volatility. Being of our interest, the tail risk predictor can successfully predict the US stock volatility from both statistical and economic viewpoints. The results of controlling 12 popular macroeconomic variables suggest that tail risk contains incremental information for stock volatility. To further confirm our findings, we examine the forecasting performance of the tail risk predictor for 12 industrial portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5790-5799 Issue: 49 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140764 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140764 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:49:p:5790-5799 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140767_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Lian Cai Author-X-Name-First: Lian Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Yabin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yabin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Zhenguo Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhenguo Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zijian Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zijian Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Does the rise of global value chain position increase or reduce domestic income inequality? Abstract: Most studies investigate the relationship between global value chain position (GVC position) and income inequality through labour’s wage aspect. And they attribute the increasing domestic income inequality to the rise of the country’s GVC position, which may widen the wage gap between heterogeneous labour. However, wage income distribution is just part of the domestic residents’ income distribution and factor income distribution also matters. In view of this, we add labour share as well as labour’s wage gap into one system, and use united theoretical and empirical analyses to explore the impact of GVC position on domestic income inequality. Research findings show that: (1) The rise of GVC position will reduce domestic income inequality. (2) The channels by which GVC position affects domestic income inequality are labour share and wage gap. Although the rising GVC position will improve domestic income inequality by increasing wage gap, it will decrease domestic income inequality more by increasing labour share. And the overall impact of both effects would reduce domestic income inequality. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5833-5845 Issue: 49 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140767 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140767 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:49:p:5833-5845 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140766_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Qing Liu Author-X-Name-First: Qing Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Shouyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Shouyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Cong Sui Author-X-Name-First: Cong Author-X-Name-Last: Sui Title: Market volatility, market skewness, and the cross-section of expected returns in Chinese equity markets Abstract: We examine the impact of upper (lower) market volatility and skewness risks on stock returns. Our results show that market volatility and skewness risks have no significant effect on future stock returns. However, when separately considering call and put options, we find a significantly negative relation between innovations in upper market volatility (skewness) extracted from call options and subsequent stock returns. Moreover, the results remain significant after controlling for other known factors included in the factor models or a battery of firm-level characteristics. Our research shows that call and put options contain different information, and are differently priced in the stock market. This study can help explain the inconsistent results of the recent papers on asset pricing about market volatility and skewness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5816-5832 Issue: 49 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140766 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140766 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:49:p:5816-5832 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140765_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jing Tan Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Tan Author-Name: Yaqiao Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yaqiao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Hui Cao Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Title: The FDI-spawned technological spillover effects on innovation quality of local enterprises: evidence from industrial firms and the patents in China Abstract: Foreign direct investment is a topic of crucial importance for emerging market countries for capital accumulation, innovation and sustainable development. From the perspective of technological innovation, the article explores how ‘desirable’ the FDI is in stimulating domestic innovation. Using industrial firm-level data from 1998 to 2013 combined with patent database from China National Intellectual Property Administration and patent citations from Google Patents, the article captures the significant impact of innovation quality of regional FDI on the innovation quality of local firms with both multi-fixed effects and instrumental variable estimations, which are proved to be reliable with robustness checks. Further, under different entry modes, the article finds that M&A FDI plays a more positive role in spillovers compared with greenfield investment. Finally, the article explores the upstream and downstream linkage benefits and intra-industrial benefit from FDI innovation, which shows that the intra-industrial benefit, or the demonstration effect is prominent. Our article renders a more direct micro evidence of FDI spillovers and sheds light on FDI attracting policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5800-5815 Issue: 49 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140765 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140765 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:49:p:5800-5815 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140763_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Andrea Bastianin Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Bastianin Author-Name: Chiara F. Del Bo Author-X-Name-First: Chiara F. Author-X-Name-Last: Del Bo Author-Name: Massimo Florio Author-X-Name-First: Massimo Author-X-Name-Last: Florio Author-Name: Francesco Giffoni Author-X-Name-First: Francesco Author-X-Name-Last: Giffoni Title: Projecting the socio-economic impact of a big science center: the world’s largest particle accelerator at CERN Abstract: Public investment in Big Science generates social benefits that can ultimately support economic growth. This paper implements a model for the social Cost – Benefit Analysis (CBA) of Big Science and relies on Monte Carlo methods to quantify the uncertainty of long-term projections. We evaluate social costs and benefits of the High Luminosity upgrade of the Large Hadron Collider (HL-LHC) at CERN up to 2038. Monte Carlo simulations show that there is a 94% chance to observe a positive net present value for society. The attractiveness of CERN for Early Stage Researchers and technological spillovers for collaborating firms are key for a positive CBA result. Cultural effects, especially those related to onsite visitors, also contribute to generating societal benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5768-5789 Issue: 49 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140763 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140763 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:49:p:5768-5789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140773_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hao Nong Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Nong Author-Name: Xianghua Wu Author-X-Name-First: Xianghua Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Yuanying Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yuanying Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: A dual perspective inflation analysis of China with large dimensional data: an application of large VARs model Abstract: The inflation rate was an important indicator for monitoring macroeconomic operations. In this study, we analysed the reasons for the divergence of consumer-side inflation (CPI) and production-side inflation (PPI) trends through large-dimensional data, so as to consider the impact of various macroeconomic factors on the inflation. From the perspective of the diversity of inflation rate formation mechanisms and model fitted performance, we used the large BVAR/large TVP-VAR models for analysis, considered the analysis capability and time-varying adaptability to large dimensional data. In view of the impulse response, we found that the impulse responses of CPI were relatively flat, and the responses of inflation were not exactly the same in both perspectives. The effects of various variables on the inflation in China were highly time-varying. In summary, the macro factors that led to significantly different responses and should be focused on energy prices, chemical prices, food prices, 7-day Inter Bank Offered Rate, narrow measure of money supply and the interaction between PPI and CPI. Accordingly, policymakers could develop more thoughtful and detailed scenarios from our findings. Moreover, the impulse response mechanism of each indicator to the inflation has validated the applicability of large dimensional analysis in macroeconomic studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5939-5955 Issue: 50 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:50:p:5939-5955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140771_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mosab I. Tabash Author-X-Name-First: Mosab I. Author-X-Name-Last: Tabash Author-Name: Mabruk Billah Author-X-Name-First: Mabruk Author-X-Name-Last: Billah Author-Name: Sanjeev Kumar Author-X-Name-First: Sanjeev Author-X-Name-Last: Kumar Author-Name: Md. Kausar Alam Author-X-Name-First: Md. Kausar Author-X-Name-Last: Alam Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Title: Analysis of the frequency dynamics of spillovers and connectedness among Islamic and conventional banks and their determinants: evidence from Gulf Cooperative Council (GCC) markets Abstract: The study investigates the return spillovers across 20 Islamic and 34 conventional banks among GCC markets (UAE, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait) over the period 2005–2022 based on Dieobold and Yilmaz (2014) and Barunik and Krehlik (2018) methods. The outcomes interestingly reveal that the spillover between markets is time-varying, asymmetric, and crisis-sensitive. Moreover, short-oriented spillovers dictate the long-oriented spillovers, while long-oriented spillovers establish the major chunk of the total return spillovers. The results of the DY and BK approach show a weak connectedness between all Islamic banks rather than conventional banks of GCC. Subsample analysis of COVID-19 and GFC strengthens the total and short-oriented spillovers more than long-term spillovers. The global financial stress is exposed with the most substantial coherence, increasing the connectedness of Islamic banks in the short and long-oriented markets compared to conventional banks. The results of the study have practical implications for bankers, central banks, Islamic banks, policymakers, international economic institutions, banking investors, FIIs, DIIs, and academia. Additionally, the current findings can be guiding forces for many investors across the world to take their portfolio decision by leveraging Islamic banks’ securities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5895-5924 Issue: 50 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140771 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140771 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:50:p:5895-5924 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140769_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hongdong Ma Author-X-Name-First: Hongdong Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Gang Li Author-X-Name-First: Gang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Rongyue Liu Author-X-Name-First: Rongyue Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Kexin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Kexin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Zijian Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zijian Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Research on credit scoring method matching the probability of default: evidence from Lending Club Abstract: In the credit loan practices of lending platforms, there is a mismatch problem between borrowers’ credit scoring and the probability of default (PD), which cannot provide a basis for the credit loan decision. Firstly, the Wald test is used to select the single indicator with a strong default identification ability, and Lasso-Logistic regression is used to determine the optimal combination of indicators with the overall default identification ability to construct the credit scoring indicator system. Secondly, by randomly dividing non-default samples, this article forms multiple groups of balanced samples with default samples to perform Lasso-Logistic regression, and multiple groups of Lasso-Logistic regression coefficients and expert opinion are used to determine the optimal indicator weight and calculate the credit score. The empirical work is developed through 43,471 and 24,153 samples of Lending Club. The results show that the proposed credit scoring method is effective. The credit scoring method proposed in this paper solves the mismatch problem between credit scoring and PD in credit loan decision-making practice. The findings of this paper provide references for assisting credit loan decision-making, reducing bankers’ investment risks, and alleviating borrowers’ financing problems. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5864-5877 Issue: 50 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140769 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140769 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:50:p:5864-5877 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140776_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chu Lin Author-X-Name-First: Chu Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Wei Sun Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: Central environmental protection inspection, environmental quality, and economic growth: evidence from China Abstract: How to enhance local governments’ enforcement of environmental regulations in developing countries? Whether central inspection can properly motivate local governments to implement environmental regulations, and how would it affect economic growth? This paper examines the effectiveness of China’s Central Environmental Protection Inspection (CEPI) program, which aimed to promote local governments’ enforcement of environmental regulations through central inspection. Using a difference-in-differences approach, we find that the CEPI program caused a significant reduction in air pollution and economic growth, indicating that the CEPI program introduced a substantial trade-off between environmental quality and economic growth. Further analysis shows that the effect of this program on air quality and economic growth is temporary. Moreover, we find that the effect is more significant when the local officials with higher promotion potential. Further cost-benefit analysis suggests that the cost of the CEPI program far exceeds its benefit. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5956-5974 Issue: 50 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:50:p:5956-5974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140770_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Rami Zeitun Author-X-Name-First: Rami Author-X-Name-Last: Zeitun Author-Name: Mohamed Goaied Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Author-X-Name-Last: Goaied Title: Corporate governance and capital structure: dynamic panel threshold analysis Abstract: This paper examines the nonlinear connection between corporate governance (CG) and corporate leverage. Our study applied the dynamic panel threshold model (DPTM) to facilitate the capture of the nonlinear effect of CG on a firm’s leverage for Japanese listed companies. Additionally, our study sought to demonstrate the linkage between CG and the speed of adjustment (SOA), particularly following the reforms in Japan’s CG system, to reach a targeted level of leverage. The empirical findings confirm the presence of the threshold influence of managerial ownership and board size, thus confirming their nonlinear impact on capital structure. Moreover, at a low level of managerial ownership, the SOA for firms to achieve the optimal level of leverage is faster than it is for firms with a high level of managerial ownership (MO), while firms with a larger board achieve their targeted level of leverage quicker than firms with a smaller board. Our findings indicate that recent reforms in Japan’s CG system seem to have been inefficient, with no positive effect on corporate leverage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5878-5894 Issue: 50 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140770 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140770 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:50:p:5878-5894 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140768_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yunsheng Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yunsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Ruomeng Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Ruomeng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Nanxu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Nanxu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Identification and correction of ratchet effect of residential land price: empirical study on urban agglomeration in China Abstract: This paper theoretically analyses the mechanism of the ratchet effect of land finance and adaptive expectations on residential land prices and discuss the distort factors and spatial characteristics of residential land price in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration (YRDUA) from 2008 to 2018. It is found that:(1) Land finance and adaptive expectations significantly drive the long-term growth of residential land prices and maintain the ratchet effect under the interaction. (2) There are significant spatial spillover benefits of residential land prices, and land finance and adaptive expectations not only drive the increase of local residential land prices but also have significant positive benefits on residential land prices in neighbouring areas. (3) Land price distortion is significant in municipalities directly under the central government and provincial capitals. However, residential land prices in cities farther away from large cities are lower than their reasonable values, and the distortion correction coefficient shows a spatially graded distribution spreading from large cities to the periphery. Land finance and adaptive expectations do not make residential land prices in all cities higher than their reasonable values. The above findings have some theoretical and policy implications for optimizing land administration. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5847-5863 Issue: 50 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140768 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140768 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:50:p:5847-5863 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140772_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yongyi Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Yongyi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Di Yu Author-X-Name-First: Di Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Education and happiness: does education expenditure undermine households’ subjective well-being? Evidence from China Abstract: Education expenditure accounts for a rising proportion of household income and gradually becomes a burden on households. Few studies have analysed whether the household’s subjective well-being (SWB) decreases under these conditions. To fill the gap, we explore the nexus between education expenditure and the SWB of households, using China Household Finance Survey data. The results confirm that education expenditure significantly attenuates the SWB of Chinese households. Moreover, empirical results suggest that the ‘arms race’ in education investment, the crowding out effect on other household consumption, and the synergy effect on family liabilities are three channels for education expenditure’s adverse effects on SWB. Further analysis shows that this expenditure’s detrimental impacts are more significant in provinces with high Gaokao pressure and the middle-income class, indicating that Gaokao pressure is the main driving force for the education arms race in China and that middle-class families are the most likely to be involved and be injured in the education arms race. Our findings confirm that the ‘double reduction’ regulation is necessary, and relevant policies require improvement to promote equality in education and achieve higher life satisfaction for people across China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5925-5938 Issue: 50 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 10 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140772 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140772 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:50:p:5925-5938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2141447_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Bing Ye Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Author-Name: Qianwen Cao Author-X-Name-First: Qianwen Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Title: Environmental regulation and development of the tertiary industry Abstract: Environmental regulation has become an important policy practice in many countries, and it has an effect on economic development. Previous literature has focused on the effect of environmental regulation on the development of the aggregate economy or the secondary industry while ignoring its effect on the development of the tertiary industry. Accordingly, we systemically identify for the first time the causal effect of environmental regulation on the development of the tertiary industry. Exploiting the great exogenous variation in regulatory intensity generated by China’s 2013 Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan, we apply the difference-in-difference method to China’s province-sector panel data from 2009 to 2017. The results suggest that environmental regulation reduces the fixed asset investment and value-added of tertiary sectors but increases the establishment of legal entities in tertiary sectors. Thus, environmental regulation does lead some production resources flowing to local tertiary sectors. However, this flow fails to reverse the decline in the investment and production of local tertiary sectors. Environmental regulation affects the development of the tertiary industry through industrial linkages between the secondary and tertiary industries, the flow of production resources from the secondary to the local tertiary industry, and the local governments’ taxation and spending behaviour. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6025-6041 Issue: 51 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2141447 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2141447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:51:p:6025-6041 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2141452_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Mingquan Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Mingquan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: The estimation of house bubbles during the time of pandemic: a study of Australia Abstract: While the economy slid into a recession since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, the house prices in many markets have reached historical highs. This research aims to examine how much the recent large increases in the prices can be explained by bubbles and whether the overvaluation is due to momentum or intrinsic bubbles. A present value model is constructed to estimate real estate bubbles with one dynamic and three assumed net rental yields. The empirical focus is on Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane, the three largest residential property markets in Australia, that have experienced a rapid growth in house prices since the outbreak of coronavirus. The finding demonstrates the evidence of bubbles in all three markets during the study period but the degree of overvaluation varies. We also discover that momentum bubbles exist in these markets but the overvaluation is mainly explained by intrinsic bubbles. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6076-6089 Issue: 51 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2141452 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2141452 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:51:p:6076-6089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2141448_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Rewat Khanthaporn Author-X-Name-First: Rewat Author-X-Name-Last: Khanthaporn Author-Name: Nuttanan Wichitaksorn Author-X-Name-First: Nuttanan Author-X-Name-Last: Wichitaksorn Title: Modelling and forecasting COVID-19 stock returns using asymmetric GARCH-ICAPM with mixture and heavy-tailed distributions Abstract: COVID-19 pandemic is an extreme event that created turmoil in stock markets around the world. This unexpected circumstance poses a critical question of whether the prevailing models can help predict the plummets of indices, hence the returns. In this study, we aim to analyse and forecast the daily stock returns using various generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GARCH) models with intertemporal capital asset pricing structure and innovation following (1) a mixture of generalized Pareto and Gaussian distributions and (2) generalized error distribution that can capture extreme events. We also employ the parallel griddy Gibbs (GG) sampling, which is a Markov chain Monte Carlo method, to facilitate parameter estimation. Our simulation study shows that the GG estimation method outperforms the benchmark quasi-maximum likelihood estimation method. We then proceed to the empirical study of seven stock markets where the results from the in-sample period before the COVID-19 pandemic justify the use of the proposed GARCH models. The out-of-sample forecasts during the early COVID-19 period also show satisfactory results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6042-6061 Issue: 51 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2141448 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2141448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:51:p:6042-6061 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2141444_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mariana Saenz Author-X-Name-First: Mariana Author-X-Name-Last: Saenz Author-Name: Joshua J. Lewer Author-X-Name-First: Joshua J. Author-X-Name-Last: Lewer Title: Estimates of Trade Based Money Laundering within the European Union Abstract: This paper applies a Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes Model to benchmark trade-based money laundering (TBML) activity for 26 European Union member countries between 2005 and 2015. Results indicate substantial TBML levels in the region averaging between $0.9 to $1.8 trillion USD annually. Surprisingly, we also find that TBML is a complement to traditional money laundering activities. Policies focusing on deterring traditional money laundering and tax evasion are associated with reduced TBML activity in the region. Aggressive government attitude towards traditional money laundering and illicit drug trade, without effectively reducing the illicit proceeds, can deter the detection of money laundering and increase TBML. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5991-6003 Issue: 51 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2141444 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2141444 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:51:p:5991-6003 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2141450_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Moritz Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Moritz Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Author-Name: Xiaopeng Wei Author-X-Name-First: Xiaopeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Title: Ex-dividend day price and volume: the case of cum-ex trading Abstract: In this paper, we analyse the extent of cum-ex trading in European markets. We document that the abnormal trading activity around the dividend day of a stock can be attributed to cum-ex trading, in addition to existing tax clientele hypotheses. Cum-ex trading is positively associated with dividend yield, which is consistent with maximizing returns from this strategy. Based on abnormal trading volume, we estimate a substantial loss to treasuries due to illicit tax refunds of withholding tax on dividends. Our results are robust, controlling for confounding effects and investors’ tax preference and heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6062-6075 Issue: 51 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2141450 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2141450 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:51:p:6062-6075 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2140777_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Helder Ferreira de Mendonça Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendonça Author-Name: José Simão Filho Author-X-Name-First: José Simão Author-X-Name-Last: Filho Author-Name: Elder Tiago C. de Souza Author-X-Name-First: Elder Tiago C. Author-X-Name-Last: de Souza Title: Can central bank credibility promote a substitution effect in the monetary transmission mechanism? Abstract: We analysed whether the credibility of the Central Bank of Brazil (CBB) influences the substitution effect between the interest channel and the inflation expectations channel. Specifically, based on a DSGE model, we investigate the effects of central bank credibility on key domestic macroeconomic variables. The results show that higher central bank credibility reduces the harmful effect of fighting inflation on domestic macroeconomic variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 5975-5990 Issue: 51 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2140777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2140777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:51:p:5975-5990 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2141445_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Christophe J. Godlewski Author-X-Name-First: Christophe J. Author-X-Name-Last: Godlewski Title: Private debt renegotiation, corporate policies, and performance: empirical evidence from Europe Abstract: We investigate the effects of private debt renegotiation on a firm’s performance and financial and investment policies. We employ endogenous switching regressions using a large cross-country sample of loans issued and amended over a long-term in Europe. We find that bank loan renegotiation has an economically significant and causal impact on financial policy and performance. Renegotiation offers firm added degrees of freedom and unlocks its economic potential, implying significant effects of the firm’s tangibility, growth, opportunities, and cash on financial policy and performance. Bank loan renegotiation also shows a certification and signalling effect, which can increase the effect of amendments to the credit agreement on a firm’s financial policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6004-6024 Issue: 51 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2141445 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2141445 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:51:p:6004-6024 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2141462_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Stefano Cabras Author-X-Name-First: Stefano Author-X-Name-Last: Cabras Author-Name: Marco Delogu Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Delogu Author-Name: J.D. Tena Author-X-Name-First: J.D. Author-X-Name-Last: Tena Title: Forced to play too many matches? A deep-learning assessment of crowded schedule Abstract: Do important upcoming or recent scheduled tasks affect the current productivity of working teams? How is the impact (if any) modified according to team size or by external conditions faced by workers? We study this issue using association football data where team performance is clearly defined and publicly observed before and after completing different activities (football matches). UEFA Champions League (CL) games affect European domestic league matches in a quasi-random fashion. We estimate this effect using a deep learning model. This approach is instrumental in estimating performance under ‘what if’ situations required in a causal analysis. We find that dispersion of attention and effort to different tournaments significantly worsens domestic performance before/after playing the CL match. However, the size of the impact is higher in the latter case. Our results suggest that this distortion is higher for small teams and that, compared to home teams, away teams react more conservatively by increasing their probability of drawing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6187-6204 Issue: 52 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2141462 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2141462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:52:p:6187-6204 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2209355_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Shiyu Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Shiyu Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Title: Task supply, wage earning, and segmentation among natives and two generations of immigrants in Canada Abstract: The different life paths of the generation following immigration have become a matter of public discussion and scholarly research in the past decades in many migrant-receiving countries. These differences would be key points for the immigration decision made by first-generation immigrants. This paper adopts a new perspective to study the differences in task supplies and economic status between natives and two generations of immigrants to see their different life paths. This paper estimates differences in task supply and earnings between natives and immigrants in 1970 and 2015, which are the beginning and end of the fifth (and current) wave of immigration to Canada. Furthermore, using a three-fold Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition, I link the average weekly wage of workers to their task productivity, and try to find the effects of the returns to tasks as well as different task supplies on the average wage gap between natives and immigrants. Finally, I use ordered probit and logit models to demonstrate and measure the significant effects of immigrant status on an employee’s labour market segment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6205-6221 Issue: 52 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2209355 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2209355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:52:p:6205-6221 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2141461_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Aakanksha Shrawan Author-X-Name-First: Aakanksha Author-X-Name-Last: Shrawan Author-Name: Amlendu Dubey Author-X-Name-First: Amlendu Author-X-Name-Last: Dubey Title: Dynamics of structural transformation and business cycle synchronization: a panel quantile regression approach for India Abstract: Recent contributions to the business cycle literature point towards the presence of potential nonlinearities in the relationship between similarities in sectoral composition of countries and their bilateral business cycle synchronization. By using a dynamic indicator of structural change (as opposed to the traditional static indicators), this article attempts to identify whether the similarities in the evolution of structural change across countries influence their bilateral business cycle synchronization heterogeneously across quantiles. With focus on India and its advanced and developing trade partners, this article employs the quantile regression model with non-additive fixed effects to assess this relationship. While India and its advanced countries' trade partners display a homogeneous and positive relationship between the similarity in evolution of agriculture and industry and their bilateral business cycle synchronization, there exists a homogeneously negative relationship with respect to the service sector. Similarities in the evolution of the industry and the service sector between India and its developing trade partners, on the other hand, have a heterogeneous impact on their bilateral business cycle synchronization. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6170-6186 Issue: 52 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2141461 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2141461 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:52:p:6170-6186 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2141458_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Pietro De Ponti Author-X-Name-First: Pietro Author-X-Name-Last: De Ponti Author-Name: Valeria Gattai Author-X-Name-First: Valeria Author-X-Name-Last: Gattai Title: Family firms, productivity and input specificity: An empirical assessment of Italian firms’ sourcing Abstract: This paper provides an empirical assessment of Italian firms’ sourcing. Combining the international economics literature on global sourcing with the family business and international business literature on family firms (FFs)’ internationalization, we build a comprehensive framework in which sourcing is shaped by location (domestic versus foreign sourcing) and ownership (integration versus outsourcing) decisions. Relying on a new firm-level, cross-sectional dataset on a stratified sample of Italian manufacturing firms, we address the relationship between sourcing and various firm-level features. Our probit and multinomial probit estimates highlight family presence in ownership and control, total factor productivity and reliance on specific inputs as the main drivers of sourcing. While playing little role in shaping the ownership decision, both FF status and total factor productivity affect location choices, fostering domestic and foreign sourcing, respectively. Conversely, reliance on specific inputs is key in orienting the ownership decision, promoting integration over outsourcing. Our study contributes to the international economics literature on global sourcing by studying factors other than productivity and input specificity that affect input procurement; moreover, it contributes to the family business and international business literature on FFs’ internationalization by taking a supply-side perspective and investigating sourcing through the interplay between location and ownership choices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6133-6148 Issue: 52 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2141458 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2141458 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:52:p:6133-6148 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2141455_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Muhammad Usman Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Author-X-Name-Last: Usman Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Author-Name: Mariya Gubareva Author-X-Name-First: Mariya Author-X-Name-Last: Gubareva Author-Name: Dang Khoa Tran Author-X-Name-First: Dang Khoa Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: Spillovers from stock markets to currency markets: Evidence from Copula-CoVar with time-varying higher moments Abstract: This study analyses the relationship between equites and foreign exchange markets by employing a conditional value at risk (CoVaR) framework for developed and developing economies accounting for an upside or downside shock, greater or equal to their VaRs. The CoVaR of currency returns conditional on both, the local equity and SP500 index are significant and greater than their unconditional VaRs for most currencies. The ∆CoVaRs for currency market conditional on the local stock index are greater than those conditional on the SP500, showing that local stock index provides greater contributions to the shocks in currency returns compared to the SP500 index. Our findings have important implications for developing cross-market and cross-border hedging strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6091-6114 Issue: 52 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2141455 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2141455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:52:p:6091-6114 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2141457_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ling Li Author-X-Name-First: Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xueli Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xueli Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yuan Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Bingsheng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Bingsheng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Guobin Wu Author-X-Name-First: Guobin Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Investigating influencing factors of regional healthcare efficiency: a case study of China Abstract: Healthcare as a kind of service is closely related to human health, but its uneven distribution among regions could affect the equity of residents’ access to the service and lead to the unbalanced development of healthcare levels. Therefore, this article establishes an integrated model by means of the stochastic frontier analysis method to evaluate regional healthcare efficiency and analyse its influencing factors. Specifically, the distribution and change trend of healthcare technical output (TO) efficiency and health output (HO) efficiency are investigated from the temporal and spatial perspectives, and then the influencing factors of the two types of healthcare efficiency are explored, respectively. Taking China as a case study, the results show that there are obvious regional differences in TO efficiency as a whole, where the values of the eastern and central regions are significantly higher, while the western and northeast regions have lower TO efficiency. Economic, social, and regional factors have a significant influence on both TO efficiency and HO efficiency, among which the impacts of population density on the two types of efficiency are opposite. Accordingly, some policy recommendations have been put forward for improving regional healthcare efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6115-6132 Issue: 52 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2141457 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2141457 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:52:p:6115-6132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2141460_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: James E. Payne Author-X-Name-First: James E. Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Author-Name: Saban Nazlioglu Author-X-Name-First: Saban Author-X-Name-Last: Nazlioglu Author-Name: Andrea Mervar Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Mervar Title: Regional tourism convergence: a disaggregated analysis of Croatia Abstract: This study examines tourism convergence across regions within a country as a means to understand the extent to which there is segmentation of regional tourism markets and the differential impact of domestic versus foreign tourism. Additionally, our empirical analysis introduces a newly developed weak σ-convergence test alongside the club convergence approach to explore regional tourism convergence. Using disaggregated monthly county-level data for Croatia from 1998:1 to 2021:9, the results clearly identify the divergence across counties to suggest the regional segmentation of tourism in the country between coastal and continental regions. The policy implications of the results are also discussed. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6149-6169 Issue: 52 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2141460 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2141460 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:52:p:6149-6169 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2141464_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ángela Castillo-Murciego Author-X-Name-First: Ángela Author-X-Name-Last: Castillo-Murciego Author-Name: Julio López-Laborda Author-X-Name-First: Julio Author-X-Name-Last: López-Laborda Title: Tax haven investments for Profit-Shifting: evidence from Spanish multinationals Abstract: Tax havens may play a key role in the Profit-Shifting (P-S) activity of Multinational Companies (MNCs), since, among other characteristics, they are the territories with the most beneficial taxes for foreign investors. This article shows that Spanish MNCs facing higher tax rates in non-tax havens, and therefore those that stand to gain the most from P-S, are more likely to invest in tax havens. This outcome is robust to at least two different tax haven lists and various definitions of the non-haven tax rate. The size of the MNCs’ activity, their use of intangible assets, and belonging to the Ibex 35 stock index also positively affect the probability of investing in tax havens. By economic sectors, once the endogeneity problem is controlled for, the incentive is greater for manufacturing than for service firms, but it is especially high for financial firms. Additionally, while non-haven tax rates positively influence the number of different tax havens used by firms, they have no effect on the number of affiliates located within them. Finally, the article estimates that Spanish MNCs have been able to save about 4 billion euros per year in Corporate Income Tax in the period 2013–2018 as a result of P-S. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6250-6263 Issue: 53 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2141464 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2141464 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:53:p:6250-6263 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2142191_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Akihiro Kubo Author-X-Name-First: Akihiro Author-X-Name-Last: Kubo Title: Which inflation targeters respond to exchange rate movements? Evidence from emerging market economies Abstract: There is a significant difference between de facto and de jure regimes in terms of exchange rates, especially in emerging market economies. A simple open economy model is used to test the empirical plausibility of a managed exchange rate system in which the monetary authority responds to exchange rate movements with foreign exchange intervention as an additional goal of monetary policy. This study demonstrates that this system fits the data better than a float-system specification. In addition, it is found that the authorities in Asian countries are more likely to intervene in the foreign exchange market with a higher degree of concern regarding exchange rate movements. The study empirically confirms that all emerging market inflation targeters have employed a de facto managed exchange rate system while adopting a de jure float system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6264-6276 Issue: 53 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2142191 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2142191 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:53:p:6264-6276 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2153790_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Livia De Giovanni Author-X-Name-First: Livia Author-X-Name-Last: De Giovanni Author-Name: Pierpaolo D’Urso Author-X-Name-First: Pierpaolo Author-X-Name-Last: D’Urso Author-Name: Nadia Fiorino Author-X-Name-First: Nadia Author-X-Name-Last: Fiorino Author-Name: Emma Galli Author-X-Name-First: Emma Author-X-Name-Last: Galli Author-Name: Giampaolo Garzarelli Author-X-Name-First: Giampaolo Author-X-Name-Last: Garzarelli Author-Name: Antonio Pacifico Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Pacifico Title: The local press as an external public governance power Abstract: Do national and local newspapers both impact voter turnout? This paper tackles this question by employing data from a unique dataset that collects detailed national and local newspapers, politico-institutional and socio-economic information for Italy during 1980–2007. We use a Dynamic Panel Data with Instrumental Variables methodology that allows for the consideration of potential sources of endogeneity that may affect the relation between the press and voting behavior. We strengthen this methodology by considering the industry’s entry and exit of newspapers – i.e. turbulence – as an external shock. Our analysis provides robust evidence that local newspaper readership affects both national and local turnout and improves political accountability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6327-6344 Issue: 53 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2153790 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2153790 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:53:p:6327-6344 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2141463_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Marcelo Resende Author-X-Name-First: Marcelo Author-X-Name-Last: Resende Title: Heterogeneity, aggregation and long memory in lottery sales: some empirical evidence for Brazil Abstract: The paper investigates the prevalence of long memory for lottery sales, as previous literature suggests that aggregation of heterogeneous agents can potentially lead to a fractional differencing parameter consistent with highly persistent processes. Applications are considered for sales of 7 different lottery modalities in Brazil and also disaggregated at the level of federative units. The selected estimated models considered controls in terms of dummy variables for prize rollovers, special draws and weekends´ draws. The effects of rollovers and special draws on lottery sales are typically positive and non-negligible with an exception for the latter variable. The effect of draws that take place at weekends are mixed and not always positive. One observes long memory, for Brazil as a whole, only in the case of one modality. The evidence by federative units is mixed and indicates contrasts that suggest heterogeneities across regions and lottery modalities. At a more exploratory level, the evidence obtained with a stacked sample suggests relevant effects accruing from income inequality. on the probability of prevalence of highly persistent lottery sales, taking into account controls for regional heterogeneities. The initial evidence suggests that positional concerns may be relevant in the case of Brazil. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6223-6249 Issue: 53 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2141463 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2141463 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:53:p:6223-6249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2142192_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jens Agerström Author-X-Name-First: Jens Author-X-Name-Last: Agerström Author-Name: Magnus Carlsson Author-X-Name-First: Magnus Author-X-Name-Last: Carlsson Author-Name: Asuman Erenel Author-X-Name-First: Asuman Author-X-Name-Last: Erenel Title: The effect of social gender norms on parental leave uptake intentions: evidence from two survey experiments on prospective fathers and mothers Abstract: We investigate how social gender norms influence parental leave uptake intentions by conducting two separate survey experiments on prospective fathers (N = 877) and mothers (N = 882) in the UK. In a between-subjects design, we manipulate social gender norms by varying information on the average number of days that other fathers and mothers stay at home to take care of a child during the first year after childbirth. We find that when prospective parents (both genders) are exposed to the low staying-home-with-children norm, they plan less parental leave uptake compared to the control (no norm) group. When exposed to the high staying-home-with-children norm, men (but not women) plan more parental leave uptake compared to the control group. We discuss policy implications and suggest directions for future studies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6277-6293 Issue: 53 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2142192 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2142192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:53:p:6277-6293 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2142193_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Wen Yue Author-X-Name-First: Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Yue Title: Export product quality and markup of firms: evidence from China Abstract: In this study, we analyse how export product quality affects the markup of firms. First, on the basis of the heterogeneous firm trade model, we clarify the internal mechanism of the effect of export product quality on the markup of firms through the channels of firm marginal production cost and product pricing. Second, using the micro data of Chinese firms from 2000 to 2007 and by estimating firm-level markup and export product quality, we construct a dynamic panel model to empirically analyze the impact of export product quality on the markup of the Chinese firms and mechanism of the impact. Results of the empirical analysis support the prediction of the theoretical model, that is, improvement of export product quality will positively affect the markup of firms by increasing their marginal cost of production and product pricing. From the product quality perspective, we provide new insights for understanding the impact of the export market on the markup of firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6294-6309 Issue: 53 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2142193 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2142193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:53:p:6294-6309 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2145011_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Uzma Bibi Author-X-Name-First: Uzma Author-X-Name-Last: Bibi Author-Name: Hatice Ozer Balli Author-X-Name-First: Hatice Ozer Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Title: Trade-offs in South Asian MFIs: regulation and governance structure Abstract: This paper evaluates trade-offs and investigates the key performance determinants in different types of 468 South Asian Microfinance Institutions (MFIs) for the period 1998–2019. Three indicators of financial performance are compared against multiple dimensions of breadth and depth of outreach to evaluate the trade-off between financial and social performance of MFIs. To clarify the direction of trade-off, we run Granger-Causality tests and accordingly, we regress financial performance measures on each suggested indicator of breadth and depth of outreach . Simultaneously, we also investigate the financial performance in relation to mainly different regulatory structure and profit orientation of types of MFIs by controlling for financial ratios, country and institutional control variables. The regression results show that there is no significant trade-off between the financial and social objectives in almost all specifications rather we have significant evidence for compatibility of dual objectives both in terms of breadth and depth of outreach in some specifications. We also find capital to assets ratio and experience to be prominently positively responsible for financial sustainability while risky and costly loans and being regulated MFIs reducing the financial performance of South Asian MFIs while profit orientation does not matter once we have controlled for regulatory structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6310-6326 Issue: 53 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2145011 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2145011 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:53:p:6310-6326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2156473_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xiaofang Li Author-X-Name-First: Xiaofang Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Daye Li Author-X-Name-First: Daye Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Kefu Yi Author-X-Name-First: Kefu Author-X-Name-Last: Yi Author-Name: Ming Men Author-X-Name-First: Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Men Title: Salience in beta anomaly Abstract: This article shows that the beta anomaly in the capital asset pricing model arises when investors’ attention is drawn to salient payoffs owing to limited attention. Controlling for the salience effect renders the alphas of beta-sorted portfolios and betting-against-beta insignificant. Empirically, we find that stocks’ market beta is strongly related to salience measure, indicating that salience-demand price pressure falls predominantly on high-beta stocks. Furthermore, the low-beta anomaly occurs mainly during periods when the correlation between stocks’ salience and beta is high, indicating that the disproportionate salience-demand price pressure on high-beta stocks is an important driver of the beta anomaly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6479-6503 Issue: 55 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2156473 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2156473 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:55:p:6479-6503 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2159010_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Sergio Destefanis Author-X-Name-First: Sergio Author-X-Name-Last: Destefanis Author-Name: Matteo Fragetta Author-X-Name-First: Matteo Author-X-Name-Last: Fragetta Author-Name: Nazzareno Ruggiero Author-X-Name-First: Nazzareno Author-X-Name-Last: Ruggiero Title: Active and passive labour-market policies: the outlook from the Beveridge curve Abstract: Following a panel ARDL approach, we appraise the impact of various indicators of active and passive labour-market policies within the framework of the Beveridge curve across fourteen OECD countries from 1985 to 2013, controlling for other factors, both institutional (tax wedge) and structural (technological progress, globalization). We embed the role of these variables within the specification of the Beveridge curve, finding that the generosity of unemployment benefits has a detrimental impact on labour-market matching, with the duration of benefits and the strictness of the rules pertaining to the deployment of benefits taking a key role in driving this result. Among active labour-market policies, employment incentives and especially training have a favourable effect on matching. There is evidence of a virtuous interaction between active and passive policies. A significantly detrimental role emerges for the tax wedge. These results are consistent across various specifications, and structural relationships are stable throughout the 2008–2013 period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6538-6550 Issue: 55 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2159010 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2159010 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:55:p:6538-6550 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2159012_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Wanglin Ma Author-X-Name-First: Wanglin Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Puneet Vatsa Author-X-Name-First: Puneet Author-X-Name-Last: Vatsa Author-Name: Enoch Owusu-Sekyere Author-X-Name-First: Enoch Author-X-Name-Last: Owusu-Sekyere Author-Name: Xiaoshi Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoshi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Victor Owusu Author-X-Name-First: Victor Author-X-Name-Last: Owusu Title: Does income diversity really stimulate household consumption expenditure diversity? Evidence from mean-based and unconditional quantile regressions Abstract: Although both income diversity and household consumption expenditure diversity are positively correlated with income, little is known about how the former affects the latter. This study investigates how and to what extent income diversity stimulates household consumption expenditure diversity, utilizing data collected by the China Social Survey. We estimate a standard mean-based linear regression model and an unconditional quantile regression (UQR) model to explore mean-based and quantile-specific effects, respectively. The results of the linear regression show that income diversity significantly increases household consumption expenditure diversity. The UQR estimates provide more granular insights, revealing that income diversity improves consumption expenditure diversity at the lower quantiles (5th and 25th), with the largest effect occurring at the lowest 5th quantile; for the higher quantiles, income diversity has no effect on consumption expenditure diversity. Our findings highlight that policies aimed at improving consumption expenditure diversity and the quality of life of people in China should create an economic environment that allows people to diversify their income sources. From a methodological standpoint, we show that mean-based approaches may overlook the finer details of the linkages between income and consumption and thus should be applied cautiously. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6567-6581 Issue: 55 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2159012 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2159012 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:55:p:6567-6581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2156472_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xiaodong Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Xiaodong Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Jingru Ren Author-X-Name-First: Jingru Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Dian Chen Author-X-Name-First: Dian Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Xiangming Fang Author-X-Name-First: Xiangming Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: School feeding and children’s noncognitive skills: Evidence from the Nutrition Improvement Program in rural China Abstract: The health and education consequences of school feeding programs have been well established, however, evidence regarding such programs’ spillover effects on children’s noncognitive skills remains scarce. Using the China Education Panel Survey (CEPS), this study examines the association between the Nutrition Improvement Program (NIP), which provides free school meals to eligible rural students, and children’s Big Five noncognitive skills. The results show that the school feeding program significantly improves children’s noncognitive outcomes, especially among students who are girls, left behind by parents, non-only-child, have a local hukou, live in low-income households, and have low levels of positive personality traits. Our main findings are robust to a battery of specifications and validity tests. In addition, we further explore the possible mechanisms and find that child health, cognitive skills, peer relationship, family economic status, and parenting behaviours are the potential channels through which participating in the school feeding program positively affects children’s noncognitive development. Our findings suggest that school feeding should not only be treated as a nutrition or education scheme, but also as a transfer program that fosters children’s development beyond health and academic outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6459-6478 Issue: 55 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2156472 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2156472 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:55:p:6459-6478 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2159008_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Elisabetta Ottoz Author-X-Name-First: Elisabetta Author-X-Name-Last: Ottoz Author-Name: Piermassimo Pavese Author-X-Name-First: Piermassimo Author-X-Name-Last: Pavese Author-Name: Lisa Sella Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Sella Title: The effect of Movida on residential property prices: up or down? Abstract: Hedonic regression technique has often been used to study the effect of road, railway and airport noise on property prices. However, European cities are experiencing a particular type of noise pollution originated by night-time recreational activities mainly located in the city centres, the so-called ‘Movida’, which has not been properly investigated yet. The aim of this paper is to examine the effect of recreational noise on residential property prices. We used an original highly detailed housing transactions dataset from the City of Turin covering the period 2017 to 2018 and built an indicator of recreational noise based on the proximity of dwellings to the night recreational activities. The results obtained employing hedonic modelling show that the adverse environment for an apartment located in a ‘Movida’ district will result in a lower market value as compared to an apartment with similar characteristics, except for recreational noise. This occurs because potential buyers reduce their demand, as they discount the present value of the costs of annoyance, loss of tranquillity and health effects due to sleep deprivation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6504-6519 Issue: 55 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2159008 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2159008 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:55:p:6504-6519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2159011_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Akbar Ghasemkhani Author-X-Name-First: Akbar Author-X-Name-Last: Ghasemkhani Author-Name: Saleh Ghavidel Doostkouei Author-X-Name-First: Saleh Author-X-Name-Last: Ghavidel Doostkouei Author-Name: Amir Gholamabri Author-X-Name-First: Amir Author-X-Name-Last: Gholamabri Author-Name: Mir Hossein Mousavi Author-X-Name-First: Mir Hossein Author-X-Name-Last: Mousavi Title: The origins of comparative advantage: economic complexity and industrial inefficiency Abstract: In this study, we found out that the degree of complexity of the manufacturing sectors is related to their inefficiency degree and thus affects the comparative advantage. For this purpose, we used data from 4-digit ISIC manufacturing sectors from 28 countries, including 15 developed and 13 developing countries for the period, 2010 to 2019. Using the panel data method, the effect of industry complexity on the degree of inefficiency for each country has been estimated. The Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) method has been used to estimate the inefficiency index in each industry. The result shows that the relationship between the inefficiency degree and the level of industry complexity in developed countries is hump-shaped, and in developing countries is U-shaped. The findings show that the inefficiency degree in developed countries decreases from the level of industrial complexity threshold of −0.53, while in developing countries increases from −0.19. Therefore, developing countries have a comparative advantage in industries whose level of complexity have in the range of −3 to −0.19 and developed countries in the range of −0.53 to +3. In the case of products whose complexity index is between −0.19 and −0.53, their comparative advantage is unclear. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6551-6566 Issue: 55 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2159011 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2159011 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:55:p:6551-6566 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2159009_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Fang Wu Author-X-Name-First: Fang Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Xibao Guo Author-X-Name-First: Xibao Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Xia Guo Author-X-Name-First: Xia Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: The impact of cooperative membership on family farms’ income: evidence from China Abstract: Family farms and agricultural cooperatives play important roles in modern agriculture in many countries. Different from smallholder farms in scale, family farms have been designated as the predominant unit of farming in China in the recent decade. However, studies on the relationship between cooperatives and family farms’ income have been less frequent. Using survey data of 769 planting family farms in China, and employing the endogenous switching regression model, we examine the impact of cooperative membership on family farms’ operating income (including total and per capita income). The empirical results show that, after controlling for the selection bias, cooperative membership exerts a positive and significant impact on family farms’ income. And the income increase of non-member family farms if they had participated in cooperatives is much higher than that of family farms who are already members of cooperatives. Moreover, family farms that are common members of cooperatives, obtaining more centralized services and engaging in grain crop farming, would benefit more from cooperative membership. Technology-related service, marketing and information are critical pathways via which cooperative membership would increase family farms’ income. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6520-6537 Issue: 55 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2159009 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2159009 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:55:p:6520-6537 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2156471_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yu Hua Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Hua Author-Name: Haiyan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Haiyan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Internet Penetration and Income Inequality: Evidence from the Chinese Young Labor Market Abstract: The Internet technology has had a visible impact on the daily work and lives of people, especially the youth. This paper aims to investigate the influence of Internet technology on labour income as well as the channels through which income is affected, with a variety of empirical methods. Using the Chinese Family Panel Survey (CFPS) in 2014 and 2018, we discover that a ‘digital gap’ in Internet use is emerging. First, young labour force with higher income and education, urban identity, and working in high-skilled industry earn more from Internet use than their peers. Second, the return of operational income is higher than the return of wage income. Third, the return on long-term Internet use is higher than the return on short-term Internet use; however, the return has tended to decline, particularly among the bottom 25% income groups. Forth, the Internet affects their income through three main channels: assisting learning, improving working efficiency, and promoting information sharing. We also offer a few policy suggestions (e.g. improving the allocation of Internet resources). Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6444-6458 Issue: 54 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2156471 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2156471 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:54:p:6444-6458 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2156469_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kaibo Gao Author-X-Name-First: Kaibo Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Zhongjing Tian Author-X-Name-First: Zhongjing Author-X-Name-Last: Tian Title: The Effect of Motherhood on Wages: are women’s wage penalties due to lack of career aspirations? Abstract: Mothers’ wages tend to be lower than those of equivalent childless women, and many researchers have reported on this ‘motherhood wage penalty’. We explore the relationship between pre-school children and their mothers’ wages to estimate the short-term effects of the ‘motherhood wage penalty’ and test the mechanisms of the ‘motherhood wage penalty’ in terms of changes in mothers’ mindsets. In addition, a novel instrumental variable was found. Based on data from the China Family Panel Studies, we find that children in China have a significant negative impact on the increase in mothers’ wages. The penalty is most severe for the low-income group. The reduction in mothers’ career enthusiasm after childbirth explains only 3.5% of the wage gap, suggesting that the wage penalty for mothers may come mainly from extrinsic factors. In addition, we find that grandparent care and the establishment of public childcare centres are effective in mitigating the ‘motherhood wage penalty’, and that delaying retirement may be detrimental to mothers’ wage increases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6410-6426 Issue: 54 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2156469 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2156469 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:54:p:6410-6426 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2155608_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hamid Baghestani Author-X-Name-First: Hamid Author-X-Name-Last: Baghestani Author-Name: Bassam M. AbuAl-Foul Author-X-Name-First: Bassam M. Author-X-Name-Last: AbuAl-Foul Title: An evaluation of EIA gasoline price predictions Abstract: This study evaluates the accuracy of the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) monthly forecasts of gasoline prices for 2005–2021. Our findings indicate that the 1-, 3-, 6-, 9-, and 12-month-ahead EIA forecasts do not, on average, significantly over- or under-predict gasoline prices, and they generally outperform the random walk and the nowcast-based benchmarks in terms of both the mean squared forecast error and the predictive information content. We further show that the shorter-horizon (longer-horizon) EIA forecasts predict directional change under asymmetric (symmetric) loss. Additional results indicate that the 1-, 3-, 6-, 9-, and 12-month-ahead EIA forecast errors are all orthogonal to consumer expected change in gasoline prices, actual change in core consumer price index, consumer vehicle-buying attitudes, and consumer sentiments. However, the 1-month-ahead (1- through 12-month-ahead) EIA forecast errors fail to be orthogonal to crude oil price changes (consumer expected inflation), meaning that these indicators can potentially help improve the accuracy of the EIA forecasts of gasoline prices. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6378-6390 Issue: 54 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2155608 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2155608 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:54:p:6378-6390 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2154313_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Sheng-Guo Li Author-X-Name-First: Sheng-Guo Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xiao-Yue Xu Author-X-Name-First: Xiao-Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Qi-Hang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Qi-Hang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Zhi Dong Author-X-Name-First: Zhi Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Author-Name: Ji-Chang Dong Author-X-Name-First: Ji-Chang Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: Financial Development, Real Estate Investment and Economic Growth Abstract: In recent years, China’s economic growth has shown a continuous downward trend, but the financial industry’s added value as a percentage of GDP and the financial development level have continued to rise, and real estate investment still maintains a relatively high proportion of total fixed asset investment in society. Taking financial development as the starting point, which is measured by the balance of loans from financial institutions as a percentage of GDP, this paper selects China’s provincial panel data from 2003 to 2017, and uses the system generalized method of moments to empirically study how financial development affects real estate investment and economic growth. The results reveal that financial development pushes up the proportion of real estate investment in fixed asset investment but has a negative impact on economic growth. The increase in the proportion of real estate investment promotes economic growth and plays a masking effect on the suppression of economic growth by financial development. Further analysis shows that financial development affects the growth of the real economy by restraining the development of the secondary industry and increasing real estate investment is conducive to alleviating the restraining effect of financial development on the growth of the real economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6360-6377 Issue: 54 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2154313 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2154313 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:54:p:6360-6377 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2156470_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hengzhen Lu Author-X-Name-First: Hengzhen Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Qiujin Gao Author-X-Name-First: Qiujin Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Matthew C. Li Author-X-Name-First: Matthew C. Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Does economic policy uncertainty outperform macroeconomic factor and financial market uncertainty in forecasting carbon emission price volatility? Evidence from China Abstract: This paper explores the forecasting power of some of the most informative indicators of economic uncertainty on carbon emission price volatility. We use one- and two-component GARCH-MIDAS models based on mixed frequency data and Model Confidence Set (MCS) testing with ‘rolling scheme’ forecast method to examine the forecasting performance of economic uncertainty indicators. We employ an economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indicator with China, US and global economic policy uncertainty constituents together with traditional uncertainty indicators, such as macroeconomic and financial market volatility. Our empirical findings show that generally economic policy uncertainty indicators contain more information of carbon emission price volatility than other indicators. Specifically, one-component GARCH-MIDAS model with the EPU indicator with China constituent and two-component model with EPU indicator have superior performance in forecasting carbon emission price volatility of the Guangdong pilot in China. Our study adds insights into factors that affect carbon emission price movements. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6427-6443 Issue: 54 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2156470 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2156470 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:54:p:6427-6443 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2154312_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Njato Rabehajaina Author-X-Name-First: Njato Author-X-Name-Last: Rabehajaina Author-Name: Jean-Pierre Gueyie Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Gueyie Author-Name: Komlan Sedzro Author-X-Name-First: Komlan Author-X-Name-Last: Sedzro Title: Determinants of bilateral official development assistance Abstract: According to the World Bank 2017 statistics, the inequalities between rich and poor countries have increased despite an 80% increase in the official development assistance volume. This persisted, even under the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) regime (2000–2015), a period during which developing countries’ needs were assumed to be at the centre of the international community’s actions. Thus, one may question the effectiveness of aid and the real motivations of donor countries. This article aims to examine the factors that determine the bilateral official development assistance (BODA) allocation by using more recent data, and with an emphasis on whether donor countries have put into place a wish from the MDGs to largely take into account the needs of recipient countries in their ODA allocation decisions. Among other results, we show that the needs of recipient countries are taken into account by only small donors (in terms of volume) in their aid decisions. The major ODA providers do not follow the trend. Thus, rowing in line with the MDGs, putting the needs of recipient countries at the centre of BODA allocation was mainly limited to small ODA donors. Donor interest was is put forward by most of the donor countries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6345-6359 Issue: 54 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2154312 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2154312 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:54:p:6345-6359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2155609_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Arandarage Mayura Prasad Arandara Author-X-Name-First: Arandarage Mayura Prasad Author-X-Name-Last: Arandara Author-Name: Shingo Takahashi Author-X-Name-First: Shingo Author-X-Name-Last: Takahashi Title: Productive managers, productive branches, and the rewards. Evidence from the cooperative banks in Sri Lanka Abstract: Using branch-manager linked data from the Cooperative Rural Banks (CRBs) of Sri Lanka, we investigate the source of branch performance differences. Despite the significant variation in the local conditions of branches, we found that managerial talent matters significantly. Manager effects explain 35% of the raw variation in the branch profit per worker and 45% of the raw variation in the branch-level non-performing loan ratio (NPLR). Branch effects explain a larger share of the variations in branch profit per worker (69%), but explain a smaller share of variation for NPLR (41%). We did not find evidence that branch managers are rewarded for their real contributions, measured by the estimated manager effects, via salary increase. Rather, they are rewarded merely for the raw performance of their branches. However, managers are rewarded with improved branch assignments when they increase profit-per-worker. A one standard deviation improvement in manager effects would increase the probability of being assigned to the top quartile branches by 8.7%. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6391-6409 Issue: 54 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 11 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2155609 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2155609 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:54:p:6391-6409 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2161992_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Huaigang Long Author-X-Name-First: Huaigang Author-X-Name-Last: Long Author-Name: Mardy Chiah Author-X-Name-First: Mardy Author-X-Name-Last: Chiah Author-Name: Adam Zaremba Author-X-Name-First: Adam Author-X-Name-Last: Zaremba Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Title: Composite equity issuance and the cross-section of country and industry returns Abstract: Behavioural finance literature argues that stock issuance contains information on equity valuation. If so, does it predict the cross-section of both country and industry stock returns? To answer this question, we investigate data from 68 markets from 1976 to 2022. We find that composite equity issuance negatively correlates with future aggregate stock returns. An equal-weighted quintile of countries (industries) with the highest issuance underperforms those with the lowest by 0.34% (0.58%) per month. Established risk factors and other anomalies cannot subsume this cross-sectional pattern. Furthermore, the effect remains robust to many considerations. This documented issuance anomaly paves the way for an exploitable international investment strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6627-6645 Issue: 56 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2161992 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2161992 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:56:p:6627-6645 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2161993_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jing Luo Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: YuCheng Lin Author-X-Name-First: YuCheng Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Sijia Wang Author-X-Name-First: Sijia Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Intraday high-frequency pairs trading strategies for energy futures: evidence from China Abstract: We investigate the performance of pairs trading strategies based on Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process with jump-diffusion and regime-switching using minute-level data for five Chinese energy futures from 2 January 2020 to 30 November 2021 and compare them with traditional pairs trading strategies. Our results indicate that OU models can obtain an average return of 50.62% per annum and a Sharpe ratio of 2.63, which significantly exceed those of traditional pairs trading strategies. However, none of them could ‘win’ in every subperiod with diverse market conditions. Meanwhile, we find that introducing jump-diffusion indeed improves the performance (additional 25.37% annualized return and 1.12 Sharpe ratio). In contrast, considering more regimes does not always bring additional benefits. Robustness checks show that the superior performance of three-regime switching OU model (3RS-OUM) persists even under harsh trading conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6646-6660 Issue: 56 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2161993 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2161993 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:56:p:6646-6660 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2165615_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zouhair Mrabet Author-X-Name-First: Zouhair Author-X-Name-Last: Mrabet Author-Name: Mouyad Alsamara Author-X-Name-First: Mouyad Author-X-Name-Last: Alsamara Author-Name: Karim Mimouni Author-X-Name-First: Karim Author-X-Name-Last: Mimouni Author-Name: Ahmad Shikh Ebid Author-X-Name-First: Ahmad Author-X-Name-Last: Shikh Ebid Title: Can government expenditure help reconstruct the Syrian economy in the post-conflict period? evidence from the SVAR and nonlinear ARDL models Abstract: This paper explores the viability of the fiscal policy in the reconstruction of the Syrian economy. We use the Structural VAR estimation technique to assess the response of real GDP to shocks in government expenditures and exchange rates in the parallel market. We also control for other variables including money supply and oil prices. We find that government spending is an effective tool for economic recovery in particular under a quasi-fixed exchange rate regime. We also employ the nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model to detect the existence of asymmetrical effects of government spending on real GDP. The NARDL results show that negative changes in government expenditure have more impact on economic growth compared to positive changes. Additionally, the NARDL model reveals that the post-conflict period was characterized by large government spending’ inefficiencies. Finally, we study three alternative government spending’ rebuilding scenarios. We document that reaching the pre-conflict GDP level is possible under two of the scenarios we investigate. Hence, our results provide strong policy implications according to which fiscal policy can, under specific exchange rate regimes, reverse the adverse effects of civil wars. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6661-6675 Issue: 56 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2165615 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2165615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:56:p:6661-6675 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2161990_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Le Wen Author-X-Name-First: Le Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Sholeh A. Maani Author-X-Name-First: Sholeh A. Author-X-Name-Last: Maani Author-Name: Zhi Dong Author-X-Name-First: Zhi Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: Educational job mismatch, job satisfaction, on-the-job training, and employee quit behaviour: a dynamic analytical approach Abstract: This paper extends the literature on the consequences of over-education, in particular quit outcomes. It is the first study that explicitly tests the impact of job satisfaction and on-the-job training for workers in educational mismatched jobs and on quit behaviour using a longitudinal data set. Accounting for unobserved heterogeneity and endogeneity, the dynamic analytical framework examines labour market outcomes for job-mismatched workers. We find that over-education alone, or accompanied by skill under-utilization in combination with lower job satisfaction, increases the incidences of job quitting. Opportunities for training facilitate the retention of initially job-mismatched workers. These results have implications for interpreting mismatch data, retention, and resource allocation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6605-6626 Issue: 56 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2161990 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2161990 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:56:p:6605-6626 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2165616_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Antonio C. David Author-X-Name-First: Antonio C. Author-X-Name-Last: David Author-Name: Carlos Eduardo Goncalves Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Goncalves Author-Name: Alejandro Werner Author-X-Name-First: Alejandro Author-X-Name-Last: Werner Title: It is causal: revisiting the savings and investment nexus1 Abstract: Domestic savings and investment are positively correlated across countries and through time, as first suggested by Feldstein and Horioka (1980). However, whether this long-lasting correlation implies causation is still an open question. In this paper, we use instrumental variables in a panel setting and show that domestic savings do cause investment in developing economies. In contrast, for advanced countries the statistically significant correlation found in the data seems to result from endogeneity bias. Our identification strategy relies on the idea that age structure influences savings, but not total investment directly. Time-series data patterns for the United States and the theory of Direct Technological Change lend credence to our exclusion restriction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6676-6684 Issue: 56 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2165616 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2165616 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:56:p:6676-6684 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2161989_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kabir Dasgupta Author-X-Name-First: Kabir Author-X-Name-Last: Dasgupta Author-Name: Alexander Plum Author-X-Name-First: Alexander Author-X-Name-Last: Plum Title: Human capital formation and changes in low pay persistence Abstract: This study presents new empirical evidence on the role of time trends in low pay persistence. We utilize population-wide tax records to track monthly labour market trajectories of initially low-paid workers. By performing age- and qualification-specific regressions, we find that low pay persistence reduces with time. However, the magnitude is highly heterogeneous across workforce characteristics. For a qualified worker in their early 20s, the risk of staying on low-pay declines by, on average, 5–10% points after one year. For a worker in their 50s, persistence remains almost unchanged regardless of their qualification level. We conclude that policy initiatives need to be more nuanced than a simple one-size-fits-all approach by accounting for time trends in low-pay persistence. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6583-6604 Issue: 56 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2161989 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2161989 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:56:p:6583-6604 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2161991_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Iacopo Odoardi Author-X-Name-First: Iacopo Author-X-Name-Last: Odoardi Author-Name: Dario D’Ingiullo Author-X-Name-First: Dario Author-X-Name-Last: D’Ingiullo Author-Name: Davide Quaglione Author-X-Name-First: Davide Author-X-Name-Last: Quaglione Title: Gender disparities between young and adult NEETs: do we need a more refined policy approach? Abstract: Italy has the highest rate of individuals Not in Employment, Education or Training (NEET) in Europe, and its NEET has the highest gender bias in Western Europe. A marked heterogeneity, however, accompanies the age sub-groups, and women’s conditions become systematically worse with advancing age. Using data from 2019, we investigate the association between the probability of being NEET and a set of individual and regional (socioeconomic and institutional) characteristics, examining whether and to what extent the role of these determinants varies depending on gender within two distinct age groups: young (15–24) and adult (25–34) NEETs. In general, we find clear evidence that women are at a relative disadvantage compared to men and, as age increases, both positive and negative determinants show relations that tend to weaken for men and to worsen for women. The results of our analyses also suggest that social/family obligations affect men and women differently, to the detriment of women, and that this disparity widens with age. The contrast between the position of men and women within marriage is empirically confirmed and perfectly captured by marginal effects with opposite signs. The policy implications of our analysis are discussed in the concluding section of this paper. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6685-6699 Issue: 56 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2161991 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2022.2161991 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:56:p:6685-6699 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166659_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yue Dou Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Dou Author-Name: Fuzhong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Fuzhong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Zhaoyang Kong Author-X-Name-First: Zhaoyang Author-X-Name-Last: Kong Author-Name: Kangyin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Kangyin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: Re-estimating the trade openness–carbon emissions nexus: a global analysis considering nonlinear, mediation, and heterogeneous effects Abstract: The impact of trade openness on environment is of increasing concern to environmental practitioners, industrialists, and researchers. Unlike previous studies that only focus on the impact of trade openness on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, this study explores the relationship between trade openness and carbon productivity. To this end, we construct a dynamic nonlinear panel model using a panel sample of 76 countries for the period 1990–2021. Furthermore, we conduct a mediation effect analysis to examine the underlying impact mechanisms between trade openness and carbon productivity. Finally, by dividing the total sample into four subsamples, we analyse possible regional heterogeneity in trade openness and carbon productivity relationship. The empirical results show that: (1) Trade openness has a significant impact on carbon productivity, with a U-shaped relationship between the two variables. In other words, carbon productivity first declines and then rises after a certain threshold level of trade openness is reached. (2) Energy intensity and energy consumption structure are two important mediators between trade openness and carbon productivity. (3) The impact of trade openness on carbon productivity is heterogeneous across countries. Based on the main findings, we propose several policy implications to improve trade quality as well as global carbon productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6793-6808 Issue: 57 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166659 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166659 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:57:p:6793-6808 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2165618_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chi-Young Choi Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Young Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: State political uncertainty and local housing markets - Evidence from U.S. mid-term gubernatorial elections Abstract: Using U.S. county-level data, this paper finds a significant negative impact of state political uncertainty on local house price growth. A unit increase in state political uncertainty is associated with about 3.4% point decrease in county-level house price growth. The impact is asymmetric and varies widely across localities, with a weaker impact found in areas with a higher fraction of homeowners. The results are robust to endogeneity, sample selection, model specifications, and alternative measures of uncertainty. The main findings are further confirmed by a case study based on a difference-in-difference analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6717-6738 Issue: 57 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2165618 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2165618 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:57:p:6717-6738 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2165620_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Léonard Moulin Author-X-Name-First: Léonard Author-X-Name-Last: Moulin Title: What are the medium-term educational and labour market effects of private schooling? Abstract: This article examines the impact of private school attendance on a range of outcomes during adulthood. Students are followed for seventeen years after they enter the sixth grade. The effect of private schooling on educational and labour market outcomes is estimated using propensity score matching. Private schooling has a positive effect on the likelihood of obtaining the baccalauréat and a higher education qualification, as well as obtaining a higher wage, for both girls and boys. A series of robustness tests confirms these results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6759-6775 Issue: 57 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2165620 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2165620 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:57:p:6759-6775 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2165619_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Teng Ma Author-X-Name-First: Teng Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Yimeng Du Author-X-Name-First: Yimeng Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Tao Xu Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Jun Pang Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Pang Title: How the thermal power sector affects carbon trading: an empirical study on China’s carbon markets Abstract: By using a dynamic panel data model, this study investigated how the production of thermal power affects China’s regional pilot carbon markets with a focus on carbon price, trading volume, realized volatility, and market liquidity. Our results suggest that the production of thermal power has slightly increased the trading volume, but has not affected carbon prices based on the existence of excessive CO$$_2$$ 2 allowances. Moreover, thermal power production has increased realized volatility in the pilot markets. However, this impact was reduced following the announcement of the National Emission Trading System (ETS). This demonstrates that thermal power companies in pilot carbon markets tend to trade carbon credit more actively in response to policies favouring further market liberalization, rather than passively following government instructions. Furthermore, we find that realized volatility and liquidity increased in the Hubei and Shanghai pilots following the announcement. This demonstrates that the announcement of the National ETS improved the market activity and efficiency, and pricing capacity of its host pilot markets. However, this improvement could only be observed in the short term. Therefore, the government should reallocate CO$$_2$$ 2 allowances to match its emission reduction targets and incentivize industries with high carbon intensity to participate in carbon trading. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6739-6758 Issue: 57 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2165619 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2165619 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:57:p:6739-6758 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166660_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jia Li Author-X-Name-First: Jia Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Taoufik Bouraoui Author-X-Name-First: Taoufik Author-X-Name-Last: Bouraoui Author-Name: Magdalena Radulescu Author-X-Name-First: Magdalena Author-X-Name-Last: Radulescu Title: On the drivers of sustainable development: empirical evidence from developed and emerging markets Abstract: Why do firms’ sustainability disclosure performance differ so much between firms and across countries? Which factors drive firm’s awareness of sustainable development and do these factors have different driving mechanisms between developed and emerging countries? We answer these questions using a panel data regression model on around 1500 companies from 20 developed countries and 20 emerging countries during the period from 2009 to 2019. Our empirical results reveal that both firm-level and country-level variables are important predictors for sustainable disclosure performance. In developed countries, most firm-level indicators show a significant and positive effect on Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) disclosure scores. In emerging countries, only operating performance, measured by total revenues, and firm size have a positive impact on ESG disclosure, while high level of profitability is associated with low ESG score. On the country level, we find a significant relationship between all drivers and ESG scores in developed countries. However, in emerging markets, only economic, cultural (excepting uncertainty avoidance index) and technological factors are shown to impact significantly sustainable development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6809-6821 Issue: 57 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166660 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166660 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:57:p:6809-6821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2165621_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Mario Lackner Author-X-Name-First: Mario Author-X-Name-Last: Lackner Title: Effort and risk-taking in tournaments with superstars – evidence for teams Abstract: Competition is often observed between heterogenous teams. Heterogeneity in ability is critical for the effectiveness of different tournament designs. I investigate how the presence of a dominant competitor or superstar does affect the decisions of other competitors in team contests. In particular, I use novel data from top-level professional basketball to investigate the consequences of superstar presence on effort and risk-taking of teams in rank-order contests. To identify the effect, I exploit exogenous variation in superstar dominance, induced by an institutional reform. My results demonstrate that the effect of competing with a superstar on effort does depend on the level of superstar dominance and the number of dominant teams in the contest. For tournaments with a single and clearly dominant superstar team, I find a sizable and significant negative effect of superstar presence on effort of other competing teams. Reduced dominance by the superstar, however, is found to result in a positive peer effect. I also present results for a robust association between competing with a superstar and risk-taking, indicating that a dominant superstar decreases risk-taking. Presence of a weak superstar, however, is estimated to increase risk-taking among other competitors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6776-6792 Issue: 57 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2165621 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2165621 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:57:p:6776-6792 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2165617_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Peter Zweifel Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Zweifel Author-Name: Philippe K. Widmer Author-X-Name-First: Philippe K. Author-X-Name-Last: Widmer Title: Accounting for heterogeneity in the measurement of hospital performance Abstract: As the Corona pandemic of 2020 has shown, disposing of sufficient hospital capacity is of great importance. Ideally, this capacity should be provided by efficient units, calling for measurement of their performance. However, the standard cost frontier model yields biased efficiency scores because it ignores (often unobserved) heterogeneity between hospitals. In this paper, efficiency scores are derived from a cost function with both random intercept and random slope parameters which overcomes the problem of unobserved heterogeneity in stochastic frontier analysis. Based on an unbalanced panel covering the years 2004 to 2007 and comprising at least 100 Swiss hospitals per year, Bayesian inference points to significant heterogeneity suggesting rejection of the standard cost frontier model. When unobserved heterogeneity is fully accounted for, average estimated inefficiency decreases to 5%, below the 14% (21%, respectively) value reported for a number of European and Middle-Eastern countries (Hollingsworth, 2008; Alawi et al. 2019). Moreover, hospitals rated below 85% efficiency according to the standard model gain up to 12% points. They can provide much needed capacity that otherwise would be discarded on the grounds that they are not sufficiently efficient providers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6701-6716 Issue: 57 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2165617 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2165617 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:57:p:6701-6716 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166662_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Qiyao Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Qiyao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Debao Hu Author-X-Name-First: Debao Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Keren Shi Author-X-Name-First: Keren Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Title: The persistent effects of early career contracts: evidence from NBA drafts Abstract: This article examines the persistent effects of early career contracts using the National Basketball Association (NBA)’s draft data over the period 1995–2019. We use regression discontinuity design (RDD) to compare the differences in career outcomes between the first-round picked rookies and the second-round picked ones. The empirical results suggest that draft rounds per se significantly influence a player’s career outcome in almost all indicators (i.e. career earnings, total points scored, and total years played). Explorations of the mechanisms suggest that differences in rookie contract length and sunk costs influence teams’ human capital investment in rookies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6876-6891 Issue: 58 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166662 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166662 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:58:p:6876-6891 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2266604_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yuhang Mao Author-X-Name-First: Yuhang Author-X-Name-Last: Mao Author-Name: Meng Niu Author-X-Name-First: Meng Author-X-Name-Last: Niu Author-Name: Yabin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yabin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Zhenguo Wang Author-X-Name-First: Zhenguo Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: How does the digital economy affect value-added in China? Dual perspectives from digital demand and supply Abstract: The Digital Economy (DE) has dramatically changed our lives and economies. However, few have systematically quantified the economic impact of DE. To this end, we propose a systematic input-output framework to analyse the economic impact of DE. We detangle the intertwined relations between digital sectors and upstream and downstream sectors by evaluating the embodied and enabled value-added. Then we use the structural path analysis to find the core transmission paths between the digital and upstream and downstream sectors. Further, we use the structural decomposition analysis to determine the main drivers of DE affecting the embodied and enabled value-added. Our findings are as follows. First, the digital sectors have significantly driven the value-added of upstream and downstream sectors. Second, there is heterogeneity in the roles of the digital device and service sectors. Third, on the value-added path, The Other services sector is the non-digital sector, which is closely related to the digital sectors. Finally, the expanding digital demand and primary input are the major driving forces for China’s rapid digital-embodied and digital-enabled value-added growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6832-6854 Issue: 58 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2266604 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2266604 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:58:p:6832-6854 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166664_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Thomas Blavet Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Blavet Author-Name: Pierre Ouellette Author-X-Name-First: Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Ouellette Author-Name: Stéphane Vigeant Author-X-Name-First: Stéphane Author-X-Name-Last: Vigeant Title: α-returns to scale with quasi-fixed inputs: an application to Québec hospitals Abstract: This paper focuses on the determination and estimation of the optimal size of hospitals. To determine the optimal size of a production unit, we use the measurement of returns to scale (RTS) at the decision-making unit level. When the RTS are constant, the unit is deemed of optimal size as the average total cost is at its minimum. As we deal with public service in a non-market environment, we have to take into account the fact that hospitals may not operate efficiently. To estimate the required production frontier we adapt the α-returns to scale method (a DEA type algorithm compatible with non-convexity of the production set) to include quasi-fixed factors. This methodology is applied to Québec hospitals at different points in time in order to capture the effect of the restructuring of the public health system over the last three decades. We conclude that by relying more on larger institution the scale efficiency of the public system has increased. However, in spite of the large reduction in the number of small hospitals and their replacement by very large structures, the movement may have gone too far, as most of the large institutions tend to exhibits decreasing returns to scale. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6922-6938 Issue: 58 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166664 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166664 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:58:p:6922-6938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2211334_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kyungsoo Oh Author-X-Name-First: Kyungsoo Author-X-Name-Last: Oh Title: Energy use in U.S. manufacturing and increasing imports from China: Empirical analysis Abstract: This study numerically estimates the effect of increased Chinese import penetration using U.S. manufacturing-level panel data from 1997 to 2005. It also decomposes this effect into factor substitution effects and output scale effects. Since import penetration rates may have endogeneity problems, we use China’s share of world trade to quantify Chinese import penetration. The results show that increased imports from China increase fuel and electricity consumption: the marginal effect of Chinese import penetration is small but statistically significant, ranging from about 0.05% to 0.08%. Interestingly, the decomposition reveals opposite effects across energy types: the factor substitution effect for fuel is positive, while the factor substitution effect for electricity is negative, despite the impact of Chinese imports. The effects on fuel and electricity are both significantly positive, while the effect on electricity is negative. These results suggest the need for different policy responses across industries to the effects of trade, with implications for the environmental problems caused by energy use. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6823-6831 Issue: 58 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2211334 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2211334 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:58:p:6823-6831 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2269615_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Danyu Liu Author-X-Name-First: Danyu Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yongkang Lin Author-X-Name-First: Yongkang Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Shijiao Fang Author-X-Name-First: Shijiao Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Title: Does green innovation reduce carbon emission intensity of Chinese cities? Analysis based on GS2SLS Abstract: In the 14th Five-Year Plan, China’s economic and social development aims to focus on carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. On the basis of panel data of 284 prefecture-level cities in China from 2011 to 2020, this study uses the generalized spatial two-stage least squares method (GS2SLS) to analyse empirically the relationship and mechanism between the green innovation and carbon emission intensity(CEI) of Chinese cities. The research reveals several findings. (1) The CEI of Chinese cities has a significant spatial spillover effect. Moreover, green innovation has reduced the CEI of Chinese cities. The robustness and endogenous tests further verified this conclusion. (2) The carbon emission reduction effect of green innovation shows significant regional heterogeneity, which is more significant in eastern regions and cities with high innovation capabilities. In contrast, this outcome is not significant in regions with weaker innovation capabilities and in the central and western regions. (3) Green innovation mainly reduces the CEI of Chinese cities by promoting the upgrading of industrial structures. A higher level of digital economy development will also have a significantly positive catalytic effect on green innovation to inhibit CEI. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6892-6904 Issue: 58 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2269615 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2269615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:58:p:6892-6904 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166663_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jin Chen Author-X-Name-First: Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Yue Chen Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Qinen Gu Author-X-Name-First: Qinen Author-X-Name-Last: Gu Author-Name: Wei Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Network evolution underneath the volatility spillover in traditional and clean energy markets Abstract: When facing volatility spillovers in energy markets, all players require risk mitigation strategies to insulate themselves from the same. To prevent energy markets from being strongly crashed by volatility spillovers, which even trigger financial crises, in this paper, we use network analysis as an aid to identify spillovers among the main nine energy markets. Specifically, we first measure the volatility spillovers among the main energy markets through a BEKK model. Based on this, influential markets are identified by using network analysis. The coal, wind and water energy markets should be paid close attention as they occupy vital roles in the volatility spillover network. Even though clean energy markets contribute more in terms of market stability, traditional energy markets are still important to ensure energy supply when experiencing extreme crashes caused by COVID-19. In this paper, we make the contributions to analysing volatility spillovers in multiple energy markets and identifying crucial energy markets in volatility spillover networks, then provide more market information that helps the government and policymakers effectively manage systemic risks caused by volatility spillovers. The effective risk management of crucial energy markets enhances economic recovery and stability, especially in the post-COVID-19 era. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6905-6921 Issue: 58 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166663 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166663 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:58:p:6905-6921 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166661_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Wen Ding Author-X-Name-First: Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Author-Name: Wei Jin Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Title: Production operations, financing and information asymmetry in a supply chain with a random yield Abstract: This paper studies bank loan and advance payment in a random yield supply chain, consisting of one core manufacturer and one capital-constrained supplier who possesses private information on the supply state. With an information advantage, the supplier has a motive to hide his actual capital requirements to obtain more funds and shift to other risky projects. We focus on the credit contract design, which helps effectively prevent the supplier’s excess debt motive. We characterize the supplier’s best response, the optimal contract menus and all participators’ profits under information symmetry and asymmetry, respectively. By designing the credit contract, creditors can effectively prevent funds from flowing out of the supply chain in asymmetric cases. We then investigate the willingness of creditors to provide financing. Our findings show that the bank is always willing to provide financial support, regardless of the information state. However, the manufacturer’s willingness to provide a loan depends on the value of the supplier’s reservation profit. In addition, advance payment is preferable over bank loan for the supplier. Furthermore, we explore the value of information, illustrating that information harms the supplier but benefits creditors in most cases. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6855-6875 Issue: 58 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166661 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166661 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:58:p:6855-6875 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2167925_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kassoum Ayouba Author-X-Name-First: Kassoum Author-X-Name-Last: Ayouba Author-Name: Marie-Line Duboz Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Line Author-X-Name-Last: Duboz Author-Name: Julie Le Gallo Author-X-Name-First: Julie Author-X-Name-Last: Le Gallo Title: Assessing French departments’ spending efficiency over time Abstract: We analyse the way in which spending efficiency of French departments evolved from 2007 to 2019. We use the time-dependent conditional order-m approach , which allows to account for the heterogeneity among departments, characterized by contextual variables, and to evaluate the effect of these variables. The results reveal a continuous improvement in their performance (management of total expenditures) over time and show that departments have much more room for improvement in the management of investment expenditures than in the management of operating costs. Moreover, the time variable has a positive effect on performance (shape of the frontier and catch-up) for both the operating and the investment specific models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6939-6964 Issue: 59 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2167925 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2167925 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:59:p:6939-6964 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2170971_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ting Ding Author-X-Name-First: Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Ding Author-Name: Yue Li Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Wenzhong Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Wenzhong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Can Digital Financial Inclusion (DFI) effectively alleviate residents’ poverty by increasing household entrepreneurship? – an empirical study based on the China Household Finance Survey(CHFS) Abstract: Based on data from CHFS, this paper explores the mitigating effect of DFI development to enhance household entrepreneurship on residents’ income growth and asset poverty, and analyses whether there is significant diversity in the degree of impact between different regions and groups through a heterogeneity study. The study finds that DFI has a significant effect on poverty alleviation. In the mechanism analysis, the effect of DFI on income poverty and asset poverty alleviation through promoting household entrepreneurship is 2.97% and 9.27% respectively. In the heterogeneity, the development of DFI has a significant contribution to the alleviation of income poverty of rural residents and the alleviation of asset poverty of urban residents; among similar regions, the poverty effect alleviation effect is more pronounced for the group with higher education level. This paper enriches the research related to the promotion of entrepreneurship and thus poverty alleviation by DFI, and provides a theoretical basis and empirical reference for how to alleviate poverty by financial instruments. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6965-6977 Issue: 59 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2170971 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2170971 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:59:p:6965-6977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208337_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zhonghua Huang Author-X-Name-First: Zhonghua Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Xuejun Du Author-X-Name-First: Xuejun Author-X-Name-Last: Du Title: Land misallocation and economic performance: evidence from China Abstract: We study the causes and consequences of land misallocation based on matched Chinese firm-level data and land transaction data during 1998–2016. We employ a land misallocation index and identify significant land misallocation in China. We find that price distortion and political incentives are associated with land misallocation. Land misallocation has important implications for economic performance. We quantify the relationship between land misallocation and productivity and find that a one standard deviation decrease in land misallocation is associated with a 14.51% decrease in labour productivity and a 10.76% reduction in total factor productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 7048-7064 Issue: 59 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208337 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:59:p:7048-7064 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206622_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Bin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Bin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Yuan Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Yuan Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Junrui Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Junrui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jian Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Jian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Loan guarantees and guarantors’ accounting conservatism: evidence from China Abstract: Listed companies in China have provided large numbers of loan guarantees for borrowers in recent years. The loan guarantee size of A-share Main Board listed companies was about RMB 3.85 trillion at the end of 2017. On the one hand, loan guarantees help borrowers access debt financing, which promotes the development of capital markets. On the other hand, however, loan guarantees can increase the financial risks for guarantors. This study investigates the effects of loan guarantees on guarantors’ accounting conservatism. Based on a large sample of listed companies from 2007 to 2017, we find that loan guarantees have a significant positive effects on guarantors’ accounting conservatism. When firms provide loan guarantees for borrowers, they report more conservative accounting information. Moreover, the effect of loan guarantees on accounting conservatism varies by borrower. Listed companies report more conservative accounting information when they provide guarantees for non-subsidiaries rather than for subsidiaries. Among the companies providing guarantees for non-subsidiaries, the companies engage in higher levels of accounting conservatism when they guarantee the borrowing of controlling shareholders instead of the borrowing of non-controlling shareholders. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6997-7016 Issue: 59 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206622 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206622 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:59:p:6997-7016 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206621_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Tereza Němečková Author-X-Name-First: Tereza Author-X-Name-Last: Němečková Author-Name: Arshad Hayat Author-X-Name-First: Arshad Author-X-Name-Last: Hayat Title: Services Trade and Institutional Quality: Evidence from Africa Abstract: Africa seems to operate at a different structural path of economic development than expected. Unlike the long-awaited increase in manufacturing, services are bourgeoning on the continent and so increases the services trade. Our article points attention to this new phenomenon and investigates whether this new type of African trade promises better effects on institutional quality than traditionally dominant natural resources trade, leading often to devastating effects. If proved, this could have significant policy implications. We work with panel data of 40 African countries within the period 2005–2019 and use the structural equation model and the maximum likelihood method to estimate the effects of services trade in Africa on three selected variables of institutional quality. Our results show that services trade seems to be a statistically significant and positive determinant of institutional quality in Africa. However, the effects are not equal across the investigated service types. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 6978-6996 Issue: 59 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206621 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206621 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:59:p:6978-6996 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206632_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Guifu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Guifu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Lin Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Lin Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Liyan Wu Author-X-Name-First: Liyan Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Do imports and exports exacerbate employment volatility? Evidence from Chinese A-share-listed industrial enterprises Abstract: To build a new development pattern in China, it is important to study the impact of import and export trade on its employment. We measured employment volatility and empirically analysed the impact of trade status and import and export intensity on the employment volatility of labour requiring different skill levels in A-share-listed industrial enterprises from 2003 to 2015. We found that firms engaging in import and export trade can significantly reduce employment volatility for both high- and low-skilled labour. Furthermore, differences were noted in the degree of impact on the two skill levels. The results indicate that an increase in export intensity does not reduce employment volatility in high-skilled labour. However, an increase in import intensity significantly reduces employment volatility in both high- and low-skilled labour. Moreover, export and import trade reduce employment volatility by reducing the volatility in firms’ output and wages and by promoting investment in research and development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 7017-7032 Issue: 59 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206632 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:59:p:7017-7032 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206993_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Pankaj C. Patel Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Author-Name: Rana Mostaghel Author-X-Name-First: Rana Author-X-Name-Last: Mostaghel Author-Name: Pejvak Oghazi Author-X-Name-First: Pejvak Author-X-Name-Last: Oghazi Title: Local individualism culture and lower third-party guarantee loan defaults: evidence from SBA loans in the US Abstract: Building on the literature on individualistic culture and entrepreneurship, we use variation in a US county’s frontier experience (rugged individualism) as a proxy for local individualism to explain variation in SBA loan default rates. For every 10-year increase in frontier experience in a county (ranging from 0 to 63 years between 1790 and 1890), the hazard of default was 0.964 times lower, a small but economically meaningful effect. The effects are more salient for sole proprietors and robust to economic shocks from neighbouring shale boom counties and placebo tests. The results indicate that expanding the eligibility requirements for SBA loans to include individuals from US counties with individualistic cultures may be beneficial. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 7033-7047 Issue: 59 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206993 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206993 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:59:p:7033-7047 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208858_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Filipe B. Caires Author-X-Name-First: Filipe B. Author-X-Name-Last: Caires Author-Name: Hugo Reis Author-X-Name-First: Hugo Author-X-Name-Last: Reis Author-Name: Paulo M. M. Rodrigues Author-X-Name-First: Paulo M. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Rodrigues Title: Survival of the fittest: tourism exposure and firm survival Abstract: In this article, a discrete-time hazard model to study firm survival in the Portuguese Tourism sector is estimated. This sector has experienced a remarkable performance over the last decades. Results show that when compared to other sectors, tourism firms are more likely to exit: (i) if they are young (less than 10 years of existence); and (ii) if they belong to the group of worse performers (i.e. belong to the lower tail of the firm distribution). Within tourism related sectors, firms with highest tourism exposure, such as travel agencies and hotels are always among the best performers in terms of survival. Moreover, despite of Tourism being one of the most volatile sectors in periods of high uncertainty, results show a higher survival resilience among established tourism associated firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 7150-7177 Issue: 60 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208858 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208858 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:60:p:7150-7177 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2177593_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jung-Hee Noh Author-X-Name-First: Jung-Hee Author-X-Name-Last: Noh Author-Name: Heejin Park Author-X-Name-First: Heejin Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Eomcheol Tae Author-X-Name-First: Eomcheol Author-X-Name-Last: Tae Title: Reliability of interim performance in private equity funds Abstract: We compared the interim and final realized internal rate of return for liquidated buyout funds (238) and venture capital funds (233) in the U.S. from 1985 to 2019. The results revealed that buyout funds’ interim performance tends to be underestimated, while that of venture capital funds can be underestimated or overestimated, depending on the period and associated global events. Further, we found that private equity funds’ interim performance is affected by fund performance, investment stage, and stock market performance. These results were robust to other performance measures. Our findings will assist private equity investors, policy makers, and regulators to better evaluate interim performance reliability based on fair value estimates. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 7065-7078 Issue: 60 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2177593 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2177593 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:60:p:7065-7078 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203896_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Shanxin Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Shanxin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Yanzhen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yanzhen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Peng Luo Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Does the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) improve environmental quality of BRI countries? Evidence from a quasi - natural experiment Abstract: Based on the panel data of 91 countries from 2009 to 2019, we apply difference-in-difference (DID) method and decoupling analysis to examine the effects on environmental quality and economic growth from a dual perspective. This study found that: (1) the Belt and Road Initiative improves the environmental quality of BRI countries. (2) The initiative has more significantly improved environment of the carbon peaking achieved countries, non-tropical regions rather than their counterparts; It has a beneficial effect in both landlocked and coastal countries. No matter the countries are industrialized or not, participating in China’s high-speed rail projects or not, their environments have been improved. But the improvement is more pronounced for industrialized countries and countries not involved in China’s high-speed rail projects. Meanwhile, the more complete citizens’ voice and accountability, and the higher financial expenses, the more significant improvement there is for them. (3) The initiative can improve environment through investment, employment structure and clean energy. (4) The initiative also significantly boosts the economic growth of BRI countries. Furthermore, decoupling relationship between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth and carbon emission levels shows that the number of BRI countries in strong decoupling state gradually decreases in 2015–2017, while increasing in 2018–2019. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 7094-7110 Issue: 60 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203896 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203896 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:60:p:7094-7110 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206105_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Si Wang Author-X-Name-First: Si Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Chenggang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chenggang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Huixia Wang Author-X-Name-First: Huixia Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Air pollution impacts on health care expenditure in China: evidence and mechanisms Abstract: This paper studies the causal effects of air pollution on individual-level health care expenditure in China. We employ a nationally-representative panel dataset of the China Health and Nutrition Survey from 1991 to 2015 to estimate the impacts of air pollution on various types of health care expenditures. Using thermal inversions as an instrumental variable for air pollution, we fnd that exposure to air pollution in the past year (12 months) leads to an increase in total health care expenditure and health care utilization. In particular, with a 1 µg/m3 increase in average PM2.5 concentrations, total health care spending would rise by 5.1% and the probability of health care utilization would rise by 0.98% point. The increases are mainly driven by changes in hospital care and preventive care costs. Our mechanism evidence suggests that air pollution might affect health care expenditure by increasing weight and the probability of getting sick while reducing sleep time and the chances of walking to work. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 7111-7126 Issue: 60 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206105 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206105 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:60:p:7111-7126 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2186354_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hongmei Shan Author-X-Name-First: Hongmei Author-X-Name-Last: Shan Author-Name: Dongfang Bai Author-X-Name-First: Dongfang Author-X-Name-Last: Bai Author-Name: Xinmeng Fan Author-X-Name-First: Xinmeng Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Jing Shi Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Ying Li Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Shuhan Yang Author-X-Name-First: Shuhan Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Enabling roles of integration and resilience for sustainable supply Chain performance: an empirical study on China’s E-commerce platforms Abstract: With the rapid expansion of platform-oriented business models, the sustainability of e-commerce platforms which integrate and match the upstream supplies and downstream demands has become increasingly important. This paper studies the enabling roles of integration and resilience on sustainable supply chain performance (SSCP) of e-commerce platforms in China. A comprehensive survey for supply chain professionals from various e-commerce platforms is conducted, and 227 valid responses are obtained. Based on the structural equation modelling (SEM) approach, the findings suggest that: (1) supplier integration (SI), internal integration (II) and customer integration (CI) all actively promote supply chain resilience (SCR); (2) supplier integration (SI) and internal integration (II) directly promote SSCP, and customer integration (CI) hardly directly affect SSCP. However, II mediates the relationship between SI, CI and SSCP, and the positive role of CI on SSCP can be achieved through the mediating effect of II; (3) SCR directly promotes SSCP, while it also mediates the association among SSCI and SSCP. The results provide insights on how to differentiate the impacts of SI, CI, II and the role of SCR on SSCP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 7079-7093 Issue: 60 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2186354 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2186354 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:60:p:7079-7093 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166665_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: JaeYeon Sim Author-X-Name-First: JaeYeon Author-X-Name-Last: Sim Author-Name: Kyungmyung Jang Author-X-Name-First: Kyungmyung Author-X-Name-Last: Jang Title: Blockchain innovation and firm’s financial performance: patent analysis based on firm-level information Abstract: This research makes an initial attempt to analyse the effects of blockchain patents on a firm’s financial performance. Blockchain technology has received increased attention since bitcoin prices skyrocketed in 2016, and applications for blockchain patents rapidly increased thereafter. Prior studies have documented that blockchain innovation could add economic value to firms, but without robust empirical analyses. Therefore, this study provides the first empirical approach to determine the effect of blockchain patents on a firm’s financial performance. We find that a firm’s blockchain patents are positively associated with firm value and firm performance. Moreover, the association between a firm’s blockchain patents and firm value or performance is more pronounced in markets with higher competition. This study provides theoretical and practical implications. The empirical results of this study lend credence to the argument that blockchain patent contributes to real value creation. We also add to blockchain literature and extend the literature discussing environmental uncertainty. Moreover, this study suggests useful insights for firms that consider developing blockchain patents and implies the signalling effect of blockchain patent in the capital market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 7178-7193 Issue: 60 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166665 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166665 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:60:p:7178-7193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206106_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Thi Thuy Anh Vo Author-X-Name-First: Thi Thuy Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Vo Author-Name: Thi Nam Thanh Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Thi Nam Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Darren Henry Author-X-Name-First: Darren Author-X-Name-Last: Henry Author-Name: Manh Toan Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Manh Author-X-Name-Last: Toan Nguyen Author-Name: Nathan Lael Joseph Author-X-Name-First: Nathan Lael Author-X-Name-Last: Joseph Title: Does female leadership matter in firm risk-taking and performance? Evidence from gender equality reforms in an emerging market Abstract: Our article examines the impact of board gender diversity and female leadership on firm risk-taking and firm performance in Vietnam under the implementation of the National Strategy on Gender Equality. We find that female CEOs are associated with lower firm risk-taking and an increase in firm accounting returns is attributed to a transition from male to female CEOs. Further, board gender diversity is independently identified to lower firm risk-taking and female leadership (i.e. female CEOs and chairwomen) generates higher accounting profit (measured by ROA) for their businesses under this reform agenda. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 7127-7149 Issue: 60 Volume: 55 Year: 2023 Month: 12 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206106 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206106 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:55:y:2023:i:60:p:7127-7149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166668_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xinyuan Ren Author-X-Name-First: Xinyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Zhixin Liu Author-X-Name-First: Zhixin Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Hao Jin Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Title: Fiscal consolidation in China: a dynamic computable general equilibrium analysis Abstract: Inflation and overcapacity caused by fiscal expansion have begun to plague China’s economy. The surge in public debt caused by the perennial high deficit rate has led to accumulated debt risk. The lessons of the European debt crisis have forced China to re-examine its debt sustainability. A larger and more systematic fiscal consolidation is urgent. Based on China’s multiple fiscal accounts, this paper constructs a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model suitable for China’s scenario. By simulation, we evaluated the economic effects of revenue-based and spending-based fiscal consolidation and mixed consolidation and drew the following conclusions: (1) The success of fiscal consolidation requires paying a certain economic price. The industrial sectors closely related to the government bear more pressure from consolidation, which makes spending-based consolidation measures more advantageous in terms of cost because of their lower negative externalities. (2) China’s social security system has mitigated the effect on households during periods of fiscal consolidation, but the social insurance fund bears greater losses. (3) The mixed strategy of combining revenue and spending balance the contradiction between economic development and industrial structure in consolidation. While protecting the industrial structure, this strategy can complete the consolidation goal at a small economic cost. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 59-80 Issue: 1 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166668 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166668 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:1:p:59-80 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166666_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Michael Benjamin Goodwin Author-X-Name-First: Michael Benjamin Author-X-Name-Last: Goodwin Author-Name: Fidel Gonzalez Author-X-Name-First: Fidel Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzalez Author-Name: Matías Fontenla Author-X-Name-First: Matías Author-X-Name-Last: Fontenla Title: The impact of daylight saving time in Mexico Abstract: We analyse the effect of Daylight Saving Time (DST) on automobile, acute myocardial infarctions (AMI) and crime-related fatalities in Mexico from 1998 to 2018. We rely on a regression discontinuity approach to obtain the causal impact of DST on these three causes of mortality. We find an increase in automobile fatalities of 13% −14% during the fall and spring transitions. Automobile fatalities increase 27% in urban areas during the fall transition and 18% in rural areas for spring. Crime-related fatalities increase 16% for the whole country, 13% in urban areas and 16% in rural areas in the fall transition and 2% in rural areas in the spring transition. The only impact on AMI fatalities that we find is a small increase in urban areas during the spring transition. In general, our results estimate an increase of about 100 more deaths per year due to DST, which translates into a monetary cost of about $22 million U.S. dollars per year. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 22-32 Issue: 1 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166666 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166666 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:1:p:22-32 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166667_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Daniela Balutel Author-X-Name-First: Daniela Author-X-Name-Last: Balutel Author-Name: Marie-Hélène Felt Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Hélène Author-X-Name-Last: Felt Author-Name: Gradon Nicholls Author-X-Name-First: Gradon Author-X-Name-Last: Nicholls Author-Name: Marcel-Cristian Voia Author-X-Name-First: Marcel-Cristian Author-X-Name-Last: Voia Title: Bitcoin awareness, ownership and use: 2016–20 Abstract: Since 2016, the Bank of Canada has conducted annual surveys to monitor awareness, adoption and usage of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. This report incorporates results from the 2019 Bitcoin Omnibus Survey and the November 2020 Cash Alternative Survey. We find that between 2018 and 2020, the level of Bitcoin awareness and ownership among Canadians remained stable: nearly 90% of the population were aware of Bitcoin, while only 5% owned it. We find that about half of Bitcoin owners stated they usually obtained their bitcoins through mobile or web exchanges, while one-fifth used mining. Bitcoin owners were susceptible to certain risks, as evidenced by the fact that about half of current and past owners stated they had been affected by events such as price crashes, losing access to funds, scams or data breaches. The most commonly cited reasons for owning Bitcoin were related to its use for investment or based on interest in the technology. Bitcoin owners displayed greater knowledge about the Bitcoin network than nonowners, yet they scored lower on questions testing financial literacy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 33-58 Issue: 1 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166667 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166667 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:1:p:33-58 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166673_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jungwon Yeo Author-X-Name-First: Jungwon Author-X-Name-Last: Yeo Title: An empirical analysis of shopping basket similarities across consumers Abstract: What makes shopping baskets similar or different across consumers and how much of shopping basket similarities is explained by similarities in observable characteristics, especially when a typical basket includes a few hundred products as a result of the consumer’s purchase decisions over tens of thousands of products? I attempt to answer these questions by expressing the entirety of households’ baskets as a vector of expenditure shares on various grocery products and computing pairwise cosine similarities. I find households’ shopping baskets vary greatly, with similarities in the demographic profiles and where they shop explaining only about 13%-16% of their similarities. The similarity in where households shop has the largest explanatory power, orders of magnitude larger than similarities in demographic profiles such as income and race. It underlines the importance of similarities in the products offered to households in explaining similarities in the products they ultimately purchase. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 98-116 Issue: 1 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166673 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166673 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:1:p:98-116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2273236_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Pengfei Chu Author-X-Name-First: Pengfei Author-X-Name-Last: Chu Author-Name: Guanxia Xie Author-X-Name-First: Guanxia Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Yuxia Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yuxia Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Anti-corruption publicity and internal migrants in China Abstract: This study uses the conditional logit model to explore the impact of anti-corruption publicity on the probability of choosing a specific city among internal migrants in China. By leveraging China’s Corruption Investigations Dataset and China Migrants Dynamic Survey, we find that anti-corruption publicity significantly decreases the probability of migrants choosing the city. The effects are driven by the mechanism whereby anti-corruption publicity increases the individuals’ perceptions of corruption and reduces their trust in local government officials. The negative effects remain after the migrants move to the city. Exposure to anti-corruption publicity is associated with decreased settlement intention and social health insurance participation. Our findings strongly indicate the necessity for the government to reconsider its communication strategies concerning anti-corruption efforts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 117-131 Issue: 1 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2273236 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2273236 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:1:p:117-131 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166669_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Takahiro Ishii Author-X-Name-First: Takahiro Author-X-Name-Last: Ishii Title: Technology sharing incentives for monopolistic firms Abstract: The present study theoretically examines the effects of free technology sharing by a monopolistic final-goods firm with other final-goods firms. I consider two cases: first, where there exists one final-goods firm in the final-goods market and second, where there exist two final-goods firms in the final-goods market. Given the free entry of firms into the differentiated intermediate-goods market, the results show that when another firm enters the final-goods market and transforms it into a two-firm oligopoly, cost efficiency improves because of an increase in the number of intermediate-goods firms. Furthermore, there is a possibility that the incumbent firm’s profits increase not only for a two-firm oligopoly, but also for an oligopoly with three or more firms. Thus, this study concludes that free technology sharing can improve incumbent firms’ profits. When the impact of an increased number of firms entering the intermediate-goods sector on the final good’s unit cost is high, free technology sharing benefits incumbent firms’ profits. While some prior studies show the potential for firms to increase their profits through licencing and the provision of technology, this study considers that technology is shared free of charge in an economy where the number of differentiated intermediate-goods firms is endogenously determined. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 81-97 Issue: 1 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166669 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166669 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:1:p:81-97 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2267821_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jayadevan CM Author-X-Name-First: Jayadevan Author-X-Name-Last: CM Author-Name: Nam Trung Hoang Author-X-Name-First: Nam Trung Author-X-Name-Last: Hoang Author-Name: Subba Reddy Yarram Author-X-Name-First: Subba Reddy Author-X-Name-Last: Yarram Title: The transition from middle-income trap: role of innovation and economic globalisation Abstract: The primary objective of this paper is to examine the impact of innovation and economic globalization on economic growth and the transition from the middle-income trap. The study analyses the impact of innovation and economic globalization on economic growth using the Bayesian model averaging (BMA) and the generalized method of moments (GMM). For the first time, this paper employs Cox regressions to estimate the transition speed from the middle-income trap. With the help of the extended Cox regression analysis, the study shows that mean years of education, life-insurance and non-life insurance premiums significantly increased the transition speed to high-income and thus reduced the transition duration. The important innovation variables like labour productivity, internet usage and scientific journal articles count also increased the transition speed and reduced the transition duration. The time-dependent covariates of trade openness, foreign direct investment, high-technology exports, health spending, urbanization, and life insurance premiums also increased the transition speed and thus reduced the transition duration. The research indicates that breaking free from the middle-income trap may not require a surge in patent numbers. The present paper provides some directions to achieve better economic growth and escape the middle-income trap. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1-21 Issue: 1 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2267821 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2267821 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:1:p:1-21 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166671_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Muhammadu Theseem Musthafa Author-X-Name-First: Muhammadu Theseem Author-X-Name-Last: Musthafa Author-Name: Thanh Le Author-X-Name-First: Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Le Author-Name: Sandy Suardi Author-X-Name-First: Sandy Author-X-Name-Last: Suardi Title: Monetary policy transmission in Sri Lanka Abstract: Sri Lanka’s monetary policy has evolved differently during and after a three-decade-long ethnic conflict. This paper empirically investigates effects of monetary policy shocks on Sri Lankan economy with particular focus on the strength of credit and exchange rate channels using a VAR model for 2003–2019 period. We find that: (i) monetary policy shocks have a significant and persistent impact on key macroeconomic variables even though several puzzling results emerge; (ii) the effects of monetary policy shocks are significant and more persistent in the post-conflict period than in the conflict period; (iii) a tight monetary policy effectively contains inflation in the post-conflict period; and (iv) interest rate and exchange rate channels play a dominant role while the credit channel responds with some lags in the post-conflict period. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 151-168 Issue: 2 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166671 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166671 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:2:p:151-168 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2275222_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Qin Xiao Author-X-Name-First: Qin Author-X-Name-Last: Xiao Author-Name: Ye Deng Author-X-Name-First: Ye Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Author-Name: Chunping Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Chunping Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Author-Name: Mengjiao Wang Author-X-Name-First: Mengjiao Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yuechuan Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Yuechuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Direct or indirect subsidies? Optimal childcare subsidy and application to China Abstract: This paper examines the optimal design of childcare subsidies and how subsidies are implemented. We combine the optimal subsidy model with the situation in China and construct the optimal childcare subsidy model using families as units. We discuss the selection patterns of direct and indirect subsidies and prove the applicable ranges and selection thresholds for different subsidy types. Based on the CFPS database in China, we simulate the amount of childcare subsidies for families with different levels of market productivity and calculate the optimal amount of subsidies for them. The results show that direct subsidies should be provided to families whose wages are lower than the market price of childcare. Indirect subsidies should be provided to families whose wages are above the market price for childcare. Finally, the optimal child-rearing subsidy curve is derived, and the easily identifiable macro optimal subsidy curve is designed for implementation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 233-248 Issue: 2 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2275222 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2275222 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:2:p:233-248 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166896_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Sangram Keshari Jena Author-X-Name-First: Sangram Keshari Author-X-Name-Last: Jena Author-Name: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Author-X-Name-Last: Abakah Author-Name: Seong-Min Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Seong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Does the dynamics between government bond and equity markets validate the adaptive market hypothesis? evidence from transfer entropy Abstract: The study applies the effective transfer entropy (ETE) and Renyi transfer entropy (RTE) to quantify the information flow between government bonds and equity market of G7 countries. The magnitude and direction of information flow between these two markets are dynamic across the state of the markets and time thus confirming their adaptiveness to the evolution of cross-market information flow under different market conditions over time. Although information flow from the equity dominates the flow from the bond market, it is dynamic over the time and state of the markets. However, during the period of market turbulence, the bond dominates the equity market. This study is the first of its kind to validate the adaptive market hypothesis using the novel transfer entropy framework in the bond and equity market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 186-201 Issue: 2 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166896 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166896 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:2:p:186-201 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166672_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Constant L. Yayi Author-X-Name-First: Constant L. Author-X-Name-Last: Yayi Title: Economic policy uncertainty and trade: does export sophistication matter? Abstract: In spite of the recent surge of research interest on the economic effect of policy uncertainties, trade behaviour during times of policy uncertainties is still not fully understood. We use the trade gravity model to examine the effects of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the trade of 22 countries over the period 1997–2020, based on the argument that EPU inflates bilateral trade costs. Overall, our results indicate that bilateral trade, exports, and imports are all negatively and significantly affected by both domestic and foreign policy uncertainties. Moreover, we document substantial heterogeneous trade reactions to policy uncertainties across countries. Specifically, in more export-sophisticated countries, our results show that only foreign policy uncertainty has a significant and negative effect on trade; whereas in less export-sophisticated countries, trade is significantly and negatively affected by both domestic and foreign EPU. These findings point to the double vulnerability of less export-sophisticated countries to domestic and foreign policy uncertainties and, to the resiliency of more export-sophisticated countries to domestic policy uncertainties and to their vulnerability to foreign policy uncertainties. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 169-185 Issue: 2 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166672 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166672 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:2:p:169-185 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2167917_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Patrick Schembri Author-X-Name-First: Patrick Author-X-Name-Last: Schembri Author-Name: Huijie Yan Author-X-Name-First: Huijie Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Author-Name: Katia Radja Author-X-Name-First: Katia Author-X-Name-Last: Radja Title: Does disaggregated renewable energy stimulate economic growth? The role of spatial effect Abstract: This study attempts to empirically investigate the validity of energy-led growth hypothesis for renewable energy sources for developing countries. To this end, this paper estimates the impacts of disaggregated renewable energy sources on economic growth within a multivariate framework including the disaggregated non-renewable energy sources, capital, labour, institutional quality and human capital by using panel data of 32 lower/upper middle income countries over the period 2009 to 2019 and applying spatial dynamic techniques. Our results show the significantly positive impacts of individual renewable sources on economic growth. This study provides the first piece of evidence of spatial spillover effects from renewable energy on economic growth for developing countries. Our analysis reveals the significantly negative impacts of hydroelectricity on economic growth. Our analysis also confirms the importance of labour, institutional quality and human capital in driving economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 213-232 Issue: 2 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2167917 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2167917 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:2:p:213-232 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2167916_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Christopher John Cruz Author-X-Name-First: Christopher John Author-X-Name-Last: Cruz Author-Name: Sonia Dalmia Author-X-Name-First: Sonia Author-X-Name-Last: Dalmia Author-Name: Manuel Pulido-Velásquez Author-X-Name-First: Manuel Author-X-Name-Last: Pulido-Velásquez Title: Race and teaching evaluations: evidence from the covid-19 pandemic Abstract: While faculty of colour tend to receive lower course evaluations, it is unclear whether the lack of face-to-face interaction during the COVID-19 pandemic affected them differently. We examine this question using course-level data from a large US university. Estimates from our difference-in-differences models show that non-white faculty suffered a larger decline in ratings compared to their white peers, with the effect persisting even after controlling for English as the faculty’s second language. These findings contribute in furthering the discussion on how universities value course evaluations to measure teaching effectiveness and allocate faculty resources. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 202-212 Issue: 2 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2167916 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2167916 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:2:p:202-212 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2166670_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chih-Hai Yang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Hai Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Meng-Wen Tsou Author-X-Name-First: Meng-Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Tsou Title: Evolution of technical efficiency in Chinese coal mining firms: the roles of competition and technology Abstract: This study examines the evolution of technical efficiency (TE) and its determinants in China’s high-pollution coal mining industry. The effects of market competition, technology, and pollution abatement expenditure (PAE) on inefficiency are investigated. Using a firm-level panel dataset for the 2001–2013 period, estimation using a panel stochastic frontier model shows that the average TE was stable with a small fluctuation in the 2000s and then deteriorated in the 2010s. The majority of private entrants have lower TE than the main group of incumbents, state-owned enterprises, whereas foreign firms exhibit the highest TE among firms. We find that capital imports, research and development, and government subsidies are important factors in reducing technical inefficiency, highlighting the importance of technological activity on production efficiency. Further analysis of the relationship between PAE and TE reveals that PAE positively contributes to the efficiency of coal mining firms. Robustness checks ensure the aforementioned findings. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 133-150 Issue: 2 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2166670 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2166670 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:2:p:133-150 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2167926_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Author-Name: Oluwasegun Babatunde Adekoya Author-X-Name-First: Oluwasegun Babatunde Author-X-Name-Last: Adekoya Author-Name: Johnson Ayobami Oliyide Author-X-Name-First: Johnson Ayobami Author-X-Name-Last: Oliyide Author-Name: Tamara Teplova Author-X-Name-First: Tamara Author-X-Name-Last: Teplova Title: The spillover of media sentiment on the sukuk bonds during COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: This study focuses on the examination of the spillover impact of media sentiments (media coverage index, MCI), on the returns and volatility of the different investment graded sukuk bonds during the COVID-19 pandemic using the Time-varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model. We find that media sentiments have a stronger spillover impact on the bonds’ returns than their volatilities. The impacts are also found to be higher around the first few months of 2020 and 2021. The lower investment grade sukuk bonds are net transmitters of spillovers to their higher investment grade sukuk bonds counterparts. Sukuk bond BBB becomes a net recipient of spillovers and its net directional spillover relationship with sukuk bond AAA becomes zero. The spillover relationship is generally time-varying, with exceptional spillovers occurring during the early periods of the outbreak of the pandemic and the rise of its second wave. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 360-374 Issue: 3 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2167926 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2167926 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:3:p:360-374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2167918_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Petra Adelajda Zaninovic Author-X-Name-First: Petra Adelajda Author-X-Name-Last: Zaninovic Author-Name: Katja Zajc Kejzar Author-X-Name-First: Katja Author-X-Name-Last: Zajc Kejzar Author-Name: Helga Pavlic Skender Author-X-Name-First: Helga Author-X-Name-Last: Pavlic Skender Title: Assessing the effects of hard and soft infrastructure on traditional vs supply-chain trade: the case of Central and Eastern EU member states (CEMS) Abstract: The aim of this paper is to assess the role of hard and soft infrastructure in trade, distinguishing between traditional trade and supply-chain trade. Using factor analysis, we construct four aggregate trade facilitation indicators where we measure hard infrastructure as physical and ICT infrastructure, while soft infrastructure accounts for border efficiency and institutional efficiency. For traditional trade, we use bilateral trade data from UN Comtrade. Supply-chain trade is measured in terms of domestic value-added (DVAFX) embodied in foreign gross exports and foreign value-added (FVA) embodied in domestic gross exports obtained from Eora MRIO database. We use panel data regression analysis with an empirical model specification based on a gravity model and covering the 2000–2019 period. We estimate model with the Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood Estimator (PPML). To control multilateral trade-resistance terms (MRT), we included reporter and partner fixed effects along with country pair fixed effects. The results confirm a statistically significant relationship between hard and soft infrastructure and trade. ICT and border efficiency have the strongest impact on both types of trade. Supply-chain trade responds most intensely to improvements in institutional efficiency. Results imply that ICT infrastructure and border efficiency might hold even greater importance for CEMS’s traditional and supply-chain trade. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 249-264 Issue: 3 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2167918 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2167918 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:3:p:249-264 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2167924_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Josep Amer-Mestre Author-X-Name-First: Josep Author-X-Name-Last: Amer-Mestre Author-Name: Alaitz Ayarza-Astigarraga Author-X-Name-First: Alaitz Author-X-Name-Last: Ayarza-Astigarraga Author-Name: Marta C. Lopes Author-X-Name-First: Marta C. Author-X-Name-Last: Lopes Title: E-learning engagement gap during school closures: differences by academic performance Abstract: We study the impact of COVID-19 school closures on differences in online learning usage by regional academic performance. Using data from Google Trends in Italy, we find that during the first lockdown, regions with a previously lower academic performance increased their searches for e-learning tools more than higher-performing regions. Analysing school administrative and survey data before the pandemic, we find that both teachers and students in lower performing regions were using no less e-learning tools than higher performing ones. These two findings suggest that the COVID-19 shock widened the e-learning usage gap between academically lower and higher-performing regions. Exploiting the regional variation in school closure mandates during the 2020–2021 academic year, we report that the patterns detected after the first lockdown were no longer present. Regions with different previous academic performance had the same response in terms of online learning usage when faced with stricter school closures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 337-359 Issue: 3 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2167924 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2167924 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:3:p:337-359 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2167923_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: James W. Kolari Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Kolari Author-Name: Sang-Ook Shin Author-X-Name-First: Sang-Ook Author-X-Name-Last: Shin Title: Momentum and reversal: information from prior returns Abstract: This paper studies the joint dynamics of momentum and reversal strategies. Momentum investors face uncertainty about whether past patterns of price movements will continue (momentum) or turn over (reversal), thereby increasing volatility of momentum returns and occasionally leading to momentum crashes. We argue that the forces driving reversal over momentum tend to be strong if losers’ past returns are extremely low (in the time-series) or if losers are small and illiquid (in the cross-section). We subsequently propose new risk-managed momentum strategies by taking into account behavioural divergence between momentum and reversal in an effort to boost momentum profits and reduce volatility. Empirical tests for the U.S. stock market in the sample period of 1947 to 2015 document that momentum strategies in which investors implement stop-trading rules if losers’ past returns are extremely low as well as buy-small-loser rules substantially outperform traditional momentum strategies. International stock markets and robustness checks confirm our U.S. tests. Importantly, we find that outperformance is mainly attributable to the increase in abnormal returns (i.e. alpha) from various factor models. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 318-336 Issue: 3 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2167923 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2167923 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:3:p:318-336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2167919_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Chu-Yu Guo Author-X-Name-First: Chu-Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Jiandong Wen Author-X-Name-First: Jiandong Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Hui Hu Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Michael C. De Domenici Author-X-Name-First: Michael C. Author-X-Name-Last: De Domenici Title: New insights into trends and reasons for the gender pay gap in Urban China, 1988-2013 Abstract: This study documents long-run trends of the gender pay gap (GPG) in urban China 1988–2013 using the Chinese Household Income Project microdata. We find a fluctuating and enlarging GPG over time. The average ratio of female to male earnings fell from 85.2% to 79.9%. Analysis by earnings percentiles shows that the GPG is larger at the bottom of the earnings distribution than it is at the top. We utilize OLS regressions, Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition, and Juhn-Murphy-Pierce decomposition to make a comprehensive analysis of the contributing factors to the GPG. By 2013, conventional human capital variables explained little of the GPG. Gender differences in location (ownership, occupation, and industry) were important, although the magnitude of the effect of three factors has changed over time. Gender differences in job characteristics (contract type and firm size) are also important in explaining the GPG. The increases in the unexplained gap contributed to the divergence of the gender gap. Analysis by sub-periods shows that there were distinctive patterns behind the changes of the GPG. The main contributors to the diverging trend of the GPG were changes in the wage structure to women and women’s disadvantages in unobserved skills. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 265-285 Issue: 3 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2167919 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2167919 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:3:p:265-285 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2167922_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: James R. Barth Author-X-Name-First: James R. Author-X-Name-Last: Barth Author-Name: Richard J. Cebula Author-X-Name-First: Richard J. Author-X-Name-Last: Cebula Author-Name: Jiayi Xu Author-X-Name-First: Jiayi Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Do minority banks perform better or worse than non-minority banks? Abstract: We investigate whether Minority Owned/ControlledBanks (MDIs) perform better or worse than Non-Minority Banks (NMDIs) in terms of lower profit rates and higher risk. MDIs and NMDIs are compared using a propensity score matching (PSM) methodology. We also compare the performance when their headquarters are in the same census tract. In contrast to previous and earlier studies, the empirical results indicate that MDIs exhibit no signs of under- or over-performance vis-à-vis NMDIs. Moreover, we find no statistically significant difference between the four sub-categories of MDIs (Black, Asian, Hispanic, and Native American) and NMDIs regarding either profitability or riskiness. Robustness checks using zip code and city-level data effectively confirm these results. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 301-317 Issue: 3 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2167922 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2167922 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:3:p:301-317 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2167921_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Aviral Kumar Tiwari Author-X-Name-First: Aviral Kumar Author-X-Name-Last: Tiwari Author-Name: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Joel Aikins Author-X-Name-Last: Abakah Author-Name: Mohd Ziaur Rehman Author-X-Name-First: Mohd Ziaur Author-X-Name-Last: Rehman Author-Name: Chi-Chuan Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chi-Chuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Quantile dependence of Bitcoin with clean and renewable energy stocks: new global evidence Abstract: This paper examines the time-varying spillover effects and connectedness of the Bitcoin price with clean and renewable energy stocks using the quantile VAR framework. We use daily price indices spanning from 1 January 2014, to 18 October 2022. Before probing the quantile spillover effects between the markets examined, we first examine the mean-based averaged connectedness. These results indicate that Bitcoin receives more shocks from markets in the system than it transmits. Additionally, Bitcoin emerges as a net receiver of return shocks with index evolution among the markets examined, driven mainly by own shocks. Shifting to the results obtained using the QVAR approach, evidence reveals that Bitcoin acts as a net recipient of shocks under different quantiles in the system. In addition, Bitcoin returns strongly correlate with renewable energy stock returns under extreme events. We also confirm the dominance of renewable energy markets over Bitcoin and that the magnitude of their connectedness is time and event dependent. These findings confirm the diversification potential and safe-haven properties of Bitcoin for portfolio investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 286-300 Issue: 3 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2167921 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2167921 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:3:p:286-300 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2167928_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hongyun Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Hongyun Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Wanglin Ma Author-X-Name-First: Wanglin Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Title: Economic benefits of internet use for smallholder wheat farmers Abstract: This study analyses the economic benefits of Internet use, focusing on farm profit, risk exposure (skewness), and cost of risk. We use the flexible moment-based production function to derive the risk exposure indicator and the endogenous switching regression model to account for the self-selection bias. A quantile-based approach is also employed to estimate the influence of Internet use on the cost of risk. Analysing the household-level data surveyed from 558 wheat farmers in China, we find that Internet use significantly increases farm profit by 8% and reduces risk exposure by 102%. The profit-increasing effect of Internet use is achieved mainly because Internet use increases gross revenue and wheat yields but reduces production costs. Internet use also decreases the cost of risk associated with wheat production. Our findings highlight that Internet use could be an anti-risk strategy for smallholder farmers to boost farm performance and mitigate production risk and crop failure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 398-413 Issue: 4 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2167928 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2167928 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:4:p:398-413 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2168610_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Xiaoxiao Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoxiao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Hua Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Hua Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Does financial development benefit carbon neutrality in China? Pathway analysis and empirical study Abstract: Financial development (FD) is pioneered to solve the problem of vital capital supporting for carbon neutrality. Detecting the effect of FD on carbon emissions (CE) plays an important role in accurately planning FD, and guiding carbon neutrality in China. To clarify the influence of FD on CE and the underlying pathways concerning scale effect, structural effect, and technological effect, this paper use China’s 285 city-level data spanning 2003–2016 and fixed effect (FE) models and instrumental variable (IV) methods to test the effect of FD on carbon neutrality in China. The findings show that (1) the development of financial deepening, financial interrelation ratio, and financial intermediary all prompt carbon emissions at the national level. (2) Regional heterogeneity indicates that FD benefits carbon neutrality in mid-Western cities but fails in eastern cities. (3) FD increases carbon emissions by boosting electricity consumption but decreases carbon emissions by promoting structural optimization and technological progress. (4) Environmental regulations partially curb the carbon emissions effect of FD. This paper proposes some suggestions to reduce CE and gain carbon neutrality in China by greening FD, optimizing industrial structure, promoting technological innovation and strengthening environmental regulation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 440-461 Issue: 4 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2168610 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2168610 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:4:p:440-461 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2168612_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Oumar Diallo Author-X-Name-First: Oumar Author-X-Name-Last: Diallo Author-Name: Steve Loris Gui-Diby Author-X-Name-First: Steve Loris Author-X-Name-Last: Gui-Diby Author-Name: Patrick A. Imam Author-X-Name-First: Patrick A. Author-X-Name-Last: Imam Title: Do monetary policy outcomes promote stability in fragile settings? Abstract: This paper assesses how monetary policy outcomes affect fragility. Diving into the universe of the most prominent combinations of pursued monetary policy objectives across fragile settings, we examine the relationships between monetary policy and fragility, and find the combination of reduction of inflation and lower unemployment to be the one that delivers the highest payoff in terms of promoting peace and cohesion. Setting aside the challenges of monetary policy transmission, results from our analysis broadly confirm the above ‘winning’ combination, with low inflation as a primary desired outcome and low unemployment rate as a secondary one. We also carry out a series of robustness tests, which confirm our findings. Overall, our results lend credence to the importance of paying attention – in the context of reducing fragility – to monetary policy outcomes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 483-499 Issue: 4 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2168612 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2168612 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:4:p:483-499 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2168608_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Akihiro Omura Author-X-Name-First: Akihiro Author-X-Name-Last: Omura Author-Name: Adrian (Wai Kong) Cheung Author-X-Name-First: Adrian (Wai Kong) Author-X-Name-Last: Cheung Author-Name: Jen Je Su Author-X-Name-First: Jen Je Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Does natural gas volatility affect Bitcoin volatility? Evidence from the HAR-RV model Abstract: While volatility spillover is a vital research area in financial economics (due to its importance for risk valuation and portfolio diversification strategies), the volatility linkage between Bitcoin and electricity/energy markets has not received adequate attention. As the Bitcoin mining cost comes mainly from electricity (which is highly dependent on natural gas), we hypothesize that natural gas is a non-trivial Bitcoin price volatility driver and aim to test if this is the case. Specifically, we employ a widely used model called the HAR-RV model to assess volatility spillover across Bitcoin and natural gas using high-frequency data. We find a spillover effect from natural gas to Bitcoin, and the positive (negative) component of natural gas volatility stabilizes (destabilizes) Bitcoin volatility. The spillover effect is further examined and confirmed using an out-of-sample approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 414-425 Issue: 4 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2168608 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2168608 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:4:p:414-425 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2168609_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Philomena M. Bacon Author-X-Name-First: Philomena M. Author-X-Name-Last: Bacon Author-Name: Anna Conte Author-X-Name-First: Anna Author-X-Name-Last: Conte Author-Name: Peter G. Moffatt Author-X-Name-First: Peter G. Author-X-Name-Last: Moffatt Title: Gender and gambling preference Abstract: Gambling preferences are analysed using survey data from the wider population. Respondents were confronted with a hypothetical lottery question, in which they were asked to imagine having just won a large prize, and asked how much of this prize they would be willing to invest in a further gamble. We observe the majority of respondents avoiding the gamble altogether. We demonstrate that such behaviour cannot easily be explained by standard models of choice under risk, since it implies implausible degrees of risk aversion. We propose that the observed behaviour can instead be explained in terms of gambling aversion. Since the decision variable takes the form of the number of ‘units’ of the prize that the respondent wishes to invest in the gamble, and since the decision is observed twice for some respondents, we adopt the panel version of the Zero-Inflated Poisson model as an econometric framework. We assume that individual characteristics affect both stages of the decision-making process. We are particularly interested in the effect of gender, and we find that males have a significantly higher probability of participating in the gamble, and are also (conditional on gambling) prepared to gamble significantly larger amounts. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 426-439 Issue: 4 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2168609 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2168609 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:4:p:426-439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2167927_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Hiroaki Masuhara Author-X-Name-First: Hiroaki Author-X-Name-Last: Masuhara Author-Name: Kei Hosoya Author-X-Name-First: Kei Author-X-Name-Last: Hosoya Title: Relationship among COVID-19, mobility, and food service vouchers in Japan Abstract: In 2020, the Japanese government launched the Go To Eat campaign, a policy initiative involving the distribution of vouchers to households for use at restaurants, with the aim of supporting the food service industry, which had experienced a significant decrease in sales due to the government’s ‘self-restraint request’ during the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper uses a nonparametric method to investigate the relationship between the Go To Eat campaign and the spread of COVID-19 in Japan by examining food service expenditures, mobility, positive polymerase chain reaction (PCR) tests, and the Indices of Industrial Production. The distribution of food service expenditures changed in October and November, when the campaign started, as well as in December, when the campaign ended. In addition, the distribution of mobility changed in January 2021, when a state of emergency was declared. The Go To Eat campaign was economically effective as a temporary subsidy, and it might have facilitated mobility in a way that was difficult to control for some time. As such, the indirect effect of the campaign on the rise in the number of positive PCR tests is undeniable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 375-397 Issue: 4 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2167927 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2167927 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:4:p:375-397 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2168611_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Fengxian Chen Author-X-Name-First: Fengxian Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Tianruo Hao Author-X-Name-First: Tianruo Author-X-Name-Last: Hao Title: The degree of RMB as an international anchor currency and its driving factors: an exchange rate perspective Abstract: This paper provides an alternative method to estimate the degree of RMB internationalization by combining the modified Frankel-Wei’s (1994, 2008) weight-inference technique and the state space model. Using a large sample of monthly exchange rate data of 54 economies, we estimate the dynamic currency weights of the U.S. dollar, Euro, RMB, Japanese yen and British pound. Results show that RMB has markedly increased since August 2015 as an international anchor currency, and then gradually decreased from June 2016 to December 2018. The currency weights ranked from highest to lowest are the U.S. dollar, Euro, RMB, British pound and Japanese yen for now. Furthermore, we also find that relative trade openness, capital account openness and exchange rate stability are the key drivers promoting the weight of the RMB. The above findings are robust to a battery of robustness tests. Our research contributes to the literature by providing a dynamic anchor currency weight estimation method and presenting a preliminary explanation for the changes of currency weight. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 462-482 Issue: 4 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2168611 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2168611 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:4:p:462-482 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2168613_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Joshua K. Park Author-X-Name-First: Joshua K. Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Xiangcai Meng Author-X-Name-First: Xiangcai Author-X-Name-Last: Meng Title: Oil price changes and aggregate economic fluctuations: new evidence from the Republic of Korea Abstract: The impact of oil price on the aggregate economy is an interesting topic which has been examined mainly in the time dimension, but relatively little exploration has been done to reveal how oil price influences inflation, industrial production, and unemployment across frequencies and over time. Employing a continuous wavelet approach, this study contributes to the literature by investigating the effects of oil price on aggregate economic activities in the time-frequency space with a monthly dataset from South Korea. The empirical results demonstrate that: First, the effect of oil price on inflation becomes stronger as moving from high frequencies between 2000 and 2005 to low frequencies between 2008 and 2018. Second, an increase in oil price is associated with a decrease in industrial production, and oil price movements could largely mirror industrial production fluctuations at the 64-month scale between 2011 and 2013 and at the 64-96-month scale between 2014 and 2021. Third, the impact of oil price on unemployment becomes weaker when moving from the 12-24-month scale between 2009 and 2012 to the 24-48-month scale between 2008 and 2016. Our results indicate that policymakers should consider these heterogeneous effects of oil price on the aggregate economy while developing stabilization policies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 501-519 Issue: 5 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2168613 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2168613 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:5:p:501-519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2168616_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Nathan Kettlewell Author-X-Name-First: Nathan Author-X-Name-Last: Kettlewell Author-Name: Fruhling Rijsdijk Author-X-Name-First: Fruhling Author-X-Name-Last: Rijsdijk Author-Name: Sisira Siribaddana Author-X-Name-First: Sisira Author-X-Name-Last: Siribaddana Author-Name: Athula Sumathipala Author-X-Name-First: Athula Author-X-Name-Last: Sumathipala Author-Name: Agnieszka Tymula Author-X-Name-First: Agnieszka Author-X-Name-Last: Tymula Author-Name: Helena Zavos Author-X-Name-First: Helena Author-X-Name-Last: Zavos Author-Name: Nicholas Glozier Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Glozier Title: Natural disaster and risk preferences: evidence from Sri Lankan twins Abstract: We estimate whether risk preferences are affected by traumatic events by using a unique survey of Sri Lankan twins which contains information on individual’s exposure to the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami, validated measures of mental health and risk preferences, and a rich set of control variables. Our estimation strategy utilizes variation in experiences within twin pairs and allows us to explore wealth shocks and/or changes in mental health as mechanisms. We find that exposure to the tsunami lead to less risk aversion, a result that is not explained by mental health. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 558-581 Issue: 5 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2168616 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2168616 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:5:p:558-581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2168614_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Brice Dupoyet Author-X-Name-First: Brice Author-X-Name-Last: Dupoyet Author-Name: Xiaoquan Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoquan Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Qianying Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Qianying Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: A new take on the relationship between interest rates and credit spreads Abstract: We revisit the link between interest rates and corporate bond credit spreads by applying Rigobon’s (2003) unique heteroskedasticity-based identification methodology to their interconnected dynamics through a bivariate VAR system. This different approach allows us to account for simultaneity issues and use this framework to test the various possible explanations for the credit spread – interest rate relation that have been proposed by the literature over the years. We find that credit spreads do indeed respond negatively to interest rates, a result consistent with Merton’s (1974) structural model. This negative relation is robust to macroeconomic shocks, market uncertainty, business cycles, different sample periods, bond callability, and bond ratings. We also find the magnitude of the negative relation to be larger for high-yield bonds than for investment-grade bonds, and are able to rule out the option-like feature of callable bonds proposed by Duffee (1998) as the main driver of the negative nature of the relationship. These results have important portfolio and risk management implications. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 520-536 Issue: 5 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2168614 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2168614 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:5:p:520-536 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2169240_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Salaheddine El Omari Author-X-Name-First: Salaheddine Author-X-Name-Last: El Omari Author-Name: Noureddine Benlagha Author-X-Name-First: Noureddine Author-X-Name-Last: Benlagha Title: Accounting for inflation dynamic in a fully optimizing macroeconomic framework: evidence from the US states Abstract: This article proposes a New Keynesian DSGE model that can capture the hump-shaped response of inflation to a monetary policy shock that does not depend upon backward-looking elements for the price and wage-setting, such as the indexation of wages or prices. The two additional elements required to achieve a hump-shaped response are roundabout production structure (input–output structure for production) and working capital. Depending on the model’s parameterization, this channel can provide a pronounced response of inflation. In addition, our article provides some reduced-form evidence about the hump-shaped response of inflation using a VAR with Cholesky ordering. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 582-598 Issue: 5 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2169240 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2169240 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:5:p:582-598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2168615_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Kai Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Jinkai Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Jinkai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Xiaoling Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Xiaoling Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Yonghong Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yonghong Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Mengyuan Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Mengyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Title: Identifying multidimensional effects of online reviews on consumers’ automobile purchase behaviours in China: linking observational learning with economic outcomes Abstract: Based on 1,087,248 individual online reviews for 2007–2020 collected from the websites of AutoHome and Sohu Auto using the Python method, rating, volume, variance, and many other characteristics of online reviews are generated for 808 automobile products sold in mainland China. Using the observational learning (OL) framework to establish the relationship between automotive consumers’ purchasing behaviours and the display of online reviews, the econometric results reveal that, at the aggregate level, automotive consumers seem to respond more significantly to the volume/variance of online reviews (i.e. hedonic cues) rather than the average rating (i.e. utilitarian cues) for producing adequate OL. However, at the sub-categorical level, consumers are more likely to produce adequate OL regarding ratings representing utilitarian attributes while effects of most of the variance (i.e. hedonic cues) are limited. These findings imply that consumers are more likely to perceive automobile products as ‘more hedonic and less utilitarian’, but an overly complicated online review system forces consumers to simplify the OL process that prioritizes utilitarian attributes, as hedonic information is difficult to be understood. This study provides theoretical and empirical insights about how consumers respond differently to various online review characteristics for products with no clear boundary in a hedonic/utilitarian distinction. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 537-557 Issue: 5 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2168615 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2168615 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:5:p:537-557 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2169242_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Ping Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Ping Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yiru Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yiru Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Ruyan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Ruyan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Tewei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Tewei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Digital finance and corporate innovation: evidence from China Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the impact of digital finance on corporate innovation based on Chinese A-share listed companies from 2011 to 2017. We find that digital finance has a significant promotion effect on corporate innovation. The development of digital finance promotes enterprise innovation, increasing the number of patent applications and authorizations. The development of digital finance mainly promotes corporate innovation through two channels. First, digital finance improves bank competition and credit availability to promote corporate innovation; second, digital finance reduces financing constraints and financing costs of enterprises to promote corporate innovation. We also conduct a rich set of robustness tests and obtain consistent conclusions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 615-638 Issue: 5 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2169242 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2169242 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:5:p:615-638 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2169241_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Valeria Bucci Author-X-Name-First: Valeria Author-X-Name-Last: Bucci Author-Name: Giancarlo Ferrara Author-X-Name-First: Giancarlo Author-X-Name-Last: Ferrara Author-Name: Giuliano Resce Author-X-Name-First: Giuliano Author-X-Name-Last: Resce Title: Local government spending efficiency and fiscal decentralization: evidence from Italian municipalities Abstract: This article investigates the association between fiscal decentralization and municipality efficiency by conducting an empirical analysis focused on the Italian context. We conduct a cost-efficiency analysis based on a stochastic frontier approach with municipality and time fixed effects modelling the decentralization effect with a continuous variable, taxation autonomy, which allows for accounting for the degree and evolution of fiscal decentralization over time. The empirical analysis provides convincing evidence that fiscal decentralization is positively associated with municipalities’ efficiency. The positive effect is confirmed when additional controls are included into the model and persists to robustness checks. This evidence lends support for policies aimed at making more closely aligned expenditure and revenue decision-making. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 599-614 Issue: 5 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 01 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2169241 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2169241 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:5:p:599-614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174943_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Jane Fry Author-X-Name-First: Jane Author-X-Name-Last: Fry Author-Name: Meg Elkins Author-X-Name-First: Meg Author-X-Name-Last: Elkins Author-Name: Lisa Farrell Author-X-Name-First: Lisa Author-X-Name-Last: Farrell Title: Cognition and curiosity:Strategies for firms to recruit curious employees Abstract: Curiosity has long been touted as important for the ability to learn and has been linked with innovation and entrepreneurship. It is also important that employers know how to identify curious potential employees in cost-effective ways during recruitment processes. This paper explores the association between curiosity and cognitive ability. Recruitment processes rely heavily on educational attainment, especially when recruiting young people with low labour market experience. This paper explores the association between curiosity and maths, science, and reading ability in youth. Using six waves of data from the 2003, 2006, and 2009 cohorts of the Longitudinal Surveys of Australian Youth, we examine the extent to which the curiosity of young adults is associated with their school-age cognition level. We find that curious individuals are more likely to have had higher levels of science and reading ability in school, yet curiosity is negatively associated with school-age mathematics ability. These findings provide clear strategies for employers wanting to recruit curious employees without access to expensive profiling techniques. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1119-1135 Issue: 10 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174943 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174943 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:10:p:1119-1135 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174946_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: The role of Covid-19 in bank profitability convergence: evidence from a sample of US banks and club clustering Abstract: This paper explores whether there is convergence of bank profits in the US banking sector across the periods before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. For the first time in the literature, it provides empirical evidence from 86 largest banks in the sector by making use of certain convergence methods. The empirical (robust) findings document that over the pandemic crisis, bank profits illustrated a more convergence pattern, while certain explanatory determinants of bank profitability, such as non-performing loans and digital technology, seem to stronger impact on higher convergence during the pandemic crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1155-1166 Issue: 10 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174946 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174946 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:10:p:1155-1166 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2175772_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: W. David Allen Author-X-Name-First: W. David Author-X-Name-Last: Allen Author-Name: W. Charles Sawyer Author-X-Name-First: W. Charles Author-X-Name-Last: Sawyer Title: Property crime and the China trade shock Abstract: Burglary has declined markedly in the U.S.A. We investigate whether increased imports from China (the China Trade Shock), by reducing the market value of theft-worthy goods, reduced the incentive to commit this and other property crimes. Panel data models reveal lower property crime rates in association with increased Chinese imports and comparable effects in relation to other prominent trade partners, indicating minimal property crime displacement effects. Some import effects do link to increased violent crime rates, but none in relation to imports from China. The results illustrate how expanded trade provides social benefits in addition to its well-established economic benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1167-1190 Issue: 10 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2175772 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2175772 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:10:p:1167-1190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2175773_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Bei Gao Author-X-Name-First: Bei Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Yanbo Jin Author-X-Name-First: Yanbo Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Author-Name: Jingxian Zou Author-X-Name-First: Jingxian Author-X-Name-Last: Zou Title: What drives enterprise asset-backed securitization in China? Abstract: Using transaction-level data on enterprise asset-backed securities (ABS), we investigate the relationship between ABS issuance, interest savings, and firm characteristics in China. About half of the ABS deals were issued by small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), and around 70% of the issues carry a coupon rate lower than the average interest rate on bank loans. Firms issue more ABS when the interest savings are high, or when they face more restricted access to credit. Private firms are most responsive to the benefits provided by the enterprise ABS market compared to state-owned enterprises and foreign companies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1191-1207 Issue: 10 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2175773 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2175773 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:10:p:1191-1207 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2175774_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Hongxia Wang Author-X-Name-First: Hongxia Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Shushu Qiu Author-X-Name-First: Shushu Author-X-Name-Last: Qiu Author-Name: Jianli Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jianli Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Ho Yin Yick Author-X-Name-First: Ho Yin Author-X-Name-Last: Yick Title: An ARDL approach to study the cointegration relations between the Shanghai crude oil futures and global markets Abstract: The Shanghai crude oil futures market, as the largest crude oil market in the Asia-Pacific region, is an important complement to the global crude oil market. We use the autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) to examine long-term and short-term cointegration relations between the Shanghai crude oil futures market and China’s crude oil spot market (Daqing), international (WTI and Brent) benchmarks. Based on the price data of the Shanghai crude oil futures contract covering a long period, we find that, in the long run, the Shanghai crude oil futures price is greatly affected by international crude oil markets. In the short run, both international and China’s crude oil spot markets have a significant influence on the Shanghai crude oil futures prices. Moreover, our dynamic simulation results show that there is a significant time lag for the Shanghai crude oil futures market to respond to the shocks from the domestic and international markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1208-1219 Issue: 10 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2175774 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2175774 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:10:p:1208-1219 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174941_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Hyuna Jang Author-X-Name-First: Hyuna Author-X-Name-Last: Jang Author-Name: Jong-Min Kim Author-X-Name-First: Jong-Min Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Hohsuk Noh Author-X-Name-First: Hohsuk Author-X-Name-Last: Noh Title: Vine copula Granger causality in quantiles Abstract: Causal relationships between time series are typically examined by testing for Granger causality. Although many studies have tested Granger causality in mean, non-causality in mean does not need to carry over to other distribution characteristics or different parts of the distribution. This scenario has motivated many researchers to investigate causal relations from the perspective of conditional quantiles. Several methods have been proposed for both parametric and nonparametric modelling frameworks. Parametric methods have limitations in detecting nonlinear causality, whereas nonparametric methods have difficulty selecting smoothing parameters that significantly affect detection performance. To overcome the difficulties of both parametric and nonparametric Granger causality tests in quantiles, we propose a vine copula Granger causality test in quantiles using the semiparametric time-series modelling technique. The proposed test overcomes shortcomings in parametric modelling and has a computational advantage over nonparametric tests. Our test shows good performance in terms of size and power when using various simulated data. Finally, we illustrate our test using recent cryptocurrency data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1109-1118 Issue: 10 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174941 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174941 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:10:p:1109-1118 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174945_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Tong Fang Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Libo Yin Author-X-Name-First: Libo Author-X-Name-Last: Yin Title: National culture and international business cycle co-movements Abstract: We investigate the relationship between national culture and international business cycle co-movements. We first characterize international business cycle co-movements with a dynamic latent factor model that decomposes 101 countries’ real GDP growth rates into world, regional and country-specific factors and estimate the proportion of real GDP growth rate variance explained by the world, regional and country factors for each country. We then regress these proportions on each of the five dimensions of Hofstede’s national culture with a set of control variables. We find that four dimensions (except for power distance) are significantly related to business cycle co-movements, and they have different impacts. In countries with masculinity, uncertainty avoidance and long-term orientation preferences, the global factor explains a larger real GDP growth rate variance. Individualism weakens a country’s business cycle co-movement with the global business cycle. Countries with similar cultural values have similar economic structures and similar exposures to global shocks, which lead to business cycle co-movements. Our results are robust after addressing the issue of endogeneity and subsample analyses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1136-1154 Issue: 10 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174945 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174945 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:10:p:1136-1154 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2169244_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Andrew Samuel Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Samuel Author-Name: Jeremy Schwartz Author-X-Name-First: Jeremy Author-X-Name-Last: Schwartz Title: Going Underground: The impact of deterrence on the landlords' decision to operate informally Abstract: This paper examines how enforcement of regulations affects firms’ decision to operate formally, underground, or exit the market. The firms in our study are landlords of rental properties. Using a unique data set that identifies underground and exited properties, we find that enforcement makes going underground more likely when only fines are issued but less likely when enforcement requires abatement. Additionally, observing higher levels of enforcement among neighbouring properties (general deterrence) increases the likelihood of going underground when abatement is required. These findings are consistent with the predictions of a theoretical framework we develop. Accordingly, the study makes two contributions to the informality literature. First, that whether enforcement has a positive or negative impact on operating underground depends on whether that enforcement requires abatement. Second, it identifies both the extensive margin between informality and formality, and the margin between informality and exiting an industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 656-673 Issue: 6 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2169244 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2169244 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:6:p:656-673 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2170968_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Luca Bonacini Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Bonacini Author-Name: Irene Brunetti Author-X-Name-First: Irene Author-X-Name-Last: Brunetti Author-Name: Giovanni Gallo Author-X-Name-First: Giovanni Author-X-Name-Last: Gallo Title: Choose the school, choose the performance: new evidence on determinants of students’ performance in eight European countries Abstract: This study aims to identify the main determinants of students’ performances in reading and maths across eight European Union countries (i.e. Austria, Croatia, Germany, Hungary, Italy, Portugal, Slovakia, and Slovenia). Based on student level data from the OECD-PISA 2018 survey and by means of the application of efficient algorithms, we highlight that the number of books at home or a variable combining the type and location of school represent the most important predictors of the students’ performance in all the analysed countries, while other school characteristics are rarely relevant. Econometric results show that students attending vocational schools perform significantly worse than those in general schools. Looking at differences between students attending schools in big cities and those in small cities, they are never statistically significant except in Portugal. Through the Gelbach decomposition method, which allows to measure the relative importance of observable characteristics to explain a gap, we show that the differences in test scores between big and small cities depend on the schools’ characteristics, while the differences between general and vocational schools are mainly explained by the families’ social status. Results appear robust to the hierarchical model approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 692-707 Issue: 6 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2170968 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2170968 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:6:p:692-707 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2170967_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Jungmin Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Jungmin Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Author-Name: Sooin Kim Author-X-Name-First: Sooin Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Impact of IFRS adoption on the disclosure of management forecasts by industry concentration Abstract: We aim to investigate the impact of the adoption of the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) on a firm’s strategic voluntary disclosure decisions under different product market conditions. In the corporate world, firms tactically decide the level of voluntary disclosures considering their benefits, like resolving information asymmetry in the financial market, and costs, like providing proprietary information to their rivals. The adoption of IFRS has affected the demands in the financial market for complementary information, and therefore, it would affect the incentive to withhold corporate information in consideration of proprietary costs in the product market. Using a sample of Korean firms, we find that the likelihood of withholding management forecasts in concentrated industries is weaker in the post-IFRS adoption phase than in the pre-IFRS adoption phase. This is because there are greater demands for corporate disclosures for firms in concentrated industries in the post-IFRS adoption phase than earlier. Moreover, we find that the influence of IFRS on the decision of firms in concentrated industries to disclose management forecasts is significant only for firms with higher market power and higher financial leverage. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 674-691 Issue: 6 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2170967 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2170967 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:6:p:674-691 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2170969_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Dorian Balvir Author-X-Name-First: Dorian Author-X-Name-Last: Balvir Title: Fiscal rules: the imitation game Abstract: De jure fiscal rules have known a rapidly increasing popularity worldwide. This paper aims at analysing their spatial diffusion in 108 countries over the period 2001–2015 using a pooled version of the Bayesian SAR probit model. Using two different types of weighting (geographic proximity and bilateral trade) and desegregating the results for specific rules, I find a significant and positive spatial lag in line with the imitation (strategic complementarity) hypothesis. Rational imitation, deriving from a race to fiscal credibility, is preferred over the blind imitation hypothesis as the mimetic behaviour is revealed only in countries facing weaker fiscal reputation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 708-727 Issue: 6 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2170969 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2170969 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:6:p:708-727 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2287558_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Sébastien Charles Author-X-Name-First: Sébastien Author-X-Name-Last: Charles Title: Is French (dis)inflation explained by conflicting-claims theory? Evidence from cointegration with structural break Abstract: The aim of this article is to provide an explanation of French (dis)inflation based on the conflicting-claims theory. Making use of cointegration techniques with structural breaks, we bring some empirical evidence suggesting the soundness of such a theory in order to explain the variation of inflation in the long run. Amongst our main results, we show that the transition from the Great Inflation of the 1970s to the Great Moderation was the consequence of a dramatic collapse in the bargaining power of both workers and firms. As a secondary objective, it is also an attempt to fill the gap with other competing theories of inflation since the conflicting-claims approach is characterized by a relative paucity in terms of empirical works. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 728-743 Issue: 6 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2287558 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2287558 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:6:p:728-743 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2287554_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Yao Han Author-X-Name-First: Yao Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: James W. Kolari Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Kolari Author-Name: Seppo Pynnonen Author-X-Name-First: Seppo Author-X-Name-Last: Pynnonen Title: Dynamic risk adjustment in long-run event study tests Abstract: The existence of long-run abnormal returns after major corporate events has become a controversial subject of debate. We contribute new evidence by implementing a daily rolling prediction error (RPE) approach using popular asset pricing models to adjust for time-varying risk parameters in asset pricing models when estimating long-run abnormal returns. Using this simple approach, we find initial significant return responses in the month or two after SEOs and M&As but none thereafter. Robustness checks with different asset pricing models, corporate events, and subperiods corroborate our results. Also, simulation tests confirm the robustness of the RPE method to potential risk shifts. We conclude that, after dynamic risk adjustment, long-run abnormal returns do not occur after the major corporate actions under study. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 744-764 Issue: 6 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2287554 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2287554 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:6:p:744-764 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2169243_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20230119T200553 git hash: 724830af20 Author-Name: Guo Wu Author-X-Name-First: Guo Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Jiadong Luo Author-X-Name-First: Jiadong Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Author-Name: Kejing Tao Author-X-Name-First: Kejing Author-X-Name-Last: Tao Title: Research on the influence of FinTech development on credit supply of commercial banks: the case of China Abstract: This study investigates the impact of FinTech development on the credit supply of China’s commercial banks to individuals and enterprises. We first evaluate the development status and prospects of FinTech in China and construct theoretical influencing hypotheses. A ‘supply-side’ FinTech development index is constructed using principal component analysis. We employ panel data models and use financial data from 22 listed China’s commercial banks between the year 2013 and 2020 to empirically test the hypothesized relationships. Multiple approaches are used to deal with endogenous problems. We also estimate the impact in a difference-in-difference model specification. The results show that FinTech development effectively facilitates the expansion of bank credit and the relationship continues to hold after remedying endogeneity issues. We further find that the impact is heterogeneous across banks in terms of bank type and bank size, with the impact on state-owned commercial banks being the least significant and the impact on small banks being the most significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 639-655 Issue: 6 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2169243 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2169243 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:6:p:639-655 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2173362_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231209T012025 git hash: e41d04c31c Author-Name: Nattanicha Chairassamee Author-X-Name-First: Nattanicha Author-X-Name-Last: Chairassamee Author-Name: Oudom Hean Author-X-Name-First: Oudom Author-X-Name-Last: Hean Title: Financing and Enrollments in Public Universities Abstract: State budget cuts have raised concerns about the disproportionate enrolment of out-of-state students. These students pay higher tuition fees at public universities. We investigate the decision-making of public universities about in-state and out-of-state enrolments by considering tuition rates as a financial incentive. We find that out-of-state enrolment is elastic, while in-state enrolment is relatively less elastic. Universities participating in reciprocity programs show that local student share is relatively insensitive to tuition changes; however, non-local student enrolments are more sensitive to these tuition changes. Overall, there is no evidence of the crowding-out effect on local student enrolment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 812-825 Issue: 7 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2173362 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2173362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:7:p:812-825 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2291098_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231209T012025 git hash: e41d04c31c Author-Name: Zhibai Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zhibai Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Is there a rule of thumb for absolute purchasing power parity to hold? Abstract: The validity of absolute purchasing power parity (APPP) between the pairs of 55 representative countries, along with their pooled data, is examined empirically. A rule of thumb for the validity of APPP is tentatively proposed. That is, for a pair of countries exhibiting the Penn effect, when the GDP per capita of one country is less than half of the other’s, it is very likely that APPP does not hold. However, when the GDP per capita of one country is greater than half of the other’s, there is a certain possibility that APPP holds. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 851-860 Issue: 7 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2291098 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2291098 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:7:p:851-860 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2289935_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231209T012025 git hash: e41d04c31c Author-Name: Sang W. Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Sang W. Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Author-Name: Younjun Kim Author-X-Name-First: Younjun Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Byoung G. Park Author-X-Name-First: Byoung G. Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Chang-Ho Yoon Author-X-Name-First: Chang-Ho Author-X-Name-Last: Yoon Title: Bilateral environmental aid and trade Abstract: The paper estimates the determinants of the growing volume of bilateral environmental aid for the mitigation of climate change using an empirically testable multilateral framework in which both donors and recipient countries compete in world export markets. As the potential donors weigh environmental benefits against the economic costs of providing aid, strategic interactions between the donors and the recipient countries as well as among the donors, influence the evolution of environmental aid. The paper shows that while the volume of bilateral environmental aid increases with the recipient country’s credible environmental commitment and bilateral trade volume, the competitive pressure in the export market reduces bilateral environmental aid. Free-riding incentives prevail among the individual donors, whereas the multilateral environmental aids that aim to restore the loss of global environmental resources without altering individual trade competitiveness can increase bilateral environmental aids. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 836-850 Issue: 7 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2289935 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2289935 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:7:p:836-850 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174497_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231209T012025 git hash: e41d04c31c Author-Name: Jungho Baek Author-X-Name-First: Jungho Author-X-Name-Last: Baek Title: The role of crude oil demand and supply shocks on exchange rates: empirical evidence from South Korea Abstract: The primary contribution of the present paper is to explicitly take into consideration the role that the three different components of crude oil shocks – oil supply shocks, aggregate demand shocks, and oil-specific demand shocks – when studying the nexus between oil price shocks and the South Korean won (KRW). We discover that oil demand shocks have had significant impacts on KRW over the past two decades: that is, an upsurge in oil prices driven by positive shocks in aggregate demand and oil-specific demand appears to appreciate KRW. However, oil supply shocks turn out to have negligible impacts. We also unveil that two oil demand shocks seem to asymmetrically influence KRW in the short run. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 826-835 Issue: 7 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174497 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174497 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:7:p:826-835 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2172521_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231209T012025 git hash: e41d04c31c Author-Name: Erik Alda Author-X-Name-First: Erik Author-X-Name-Last: Alda Author-Name: Víctor Giménez Author-X-Name-First: Víctor Author-X-Name-Last: Giménez Author-Name: Irvin Gilberto Paz Castro Author-X-Name-First: Irvin Gilberto Author-X-Name-Last: Paz Castro Author-Name: América Ivonne Zamora Torres Author-X-Name-First: América Ivonne Author-X-Name-Last: Zamora Torres Title: Modernization plans for the Mexican customs system: have they really worked? A productivity impact assessment Abstract: Efficiency measurement of customs offices is a nascent but growing area of research interest. In this study we examined whether the Mexican government’s policies enacted during the 2011–2017 period improved the efficiency of the customs system. Our empirical approach employed a standard metafrontier model to assess the efficiency of all customs offices in Mexico. We examined changes in the best-practice performance, productivity, and technology leadership for three groups of customs offices (border, interior, and maritime) by conducting static and temporal analyses. The static analysis showed that border customs had the most within-group variations. The internal customs group exhibited constant efficiency, whereas the maritime customs group was nearest to the metafrontier. The temporal analysis indicated that border customs offices were the most productive group during the period; however, this group was distant from the metafrontier. Our findings contribute to the growing literature on customs efficiency measurement. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 796-811 Issue: 7 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2172521 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2172521 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:7:p:796-811 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2288066_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231209T012025 git hash: e41d04c31c Author-Name: Jingjing Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Jingjing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Zongye Huang Author-X-Name-First: Zongye Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Mobile payments and crime: evidence from China Abstract: Using a policy change in 2016 as a natural experiment, we employ a Difference-in-Difference (DID) model to analyse the effects of mobile payments development on crime rates in Chinese prefectures from 2015 to 2019. Our findings indicate that mobile payments expansion has a significant negative effect on theft, with the reduction of residents’ cash holdings serving as a potential mechanism. However, we find no significant impact on non-economic crimes like sexual assault and murder. This study provides evidence supporting the role of policies and technologies enabling mobile payments development in deterring crime and enhancing social security. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 765-778 Issue: 7 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2288066 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2288066 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:7:p:765-778 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2170970_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231209T012025 git hash: e41d04c31c Author-Name: Leon Li Author-X-Name-First: Leon Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: The risks of trading on cryptocurrencies: A regime-switching approach based on volatility jumps and co-jumping behaviours Abstract: Previous research has shown volatility jumps and co-jumping behaviours in cryptocurrency markets. Motivated by these findings, we employ the herding effect and financial contagion channel to outline a theoretical framework of volatility-state-dependent correlations in cryptocurrency markets. We show that digital currency markets are more strongly correlated when experiencing an identical volatility regime, which echoes co-jumping behaviours addressed by the literature. Moreover, the strong correlation that occurs when the paired cryptocurrencies simultaneously experience a high volatility regime results in the least effectiveness of diversification in terms of a minimum portfolio risk reduction. Last but not least, the proposed state-dependent approach in this study proves effective at the task of risk forecasting and risk reduction for cryptocurrency portfolios, beyond the bivariate GARCH-based models, which are a pure and simple time-dependent approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 779-795 Issue: 7 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2170970 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2170970 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:7:p:779-795 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174498_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Sezard Timbi Author-X-Name-First: Sezard Author-X-Name-Last: Timbi Author-Name: Zedou Abdala Author-X-Name-First: Zedou Author-X-Name-Last: Abdala Title: The effect of Financial Development on Pro-Poor Growth: evidence from Sub-Saharan African Countries Abstract: This paper extends the empirical analysis establishing the significant and positive/negative influence of finance on growth/poverty by examining the contribution of financial development to pro-poor growth. We investigate the relationship between financial development and pro-poor growth in a panel of 29 countries from sub-Saharan Africa over the period 1994–2019. We focus on the vast majority income as the main indicator of pro-poor growth. We use the recent financial development index as a measure of financial development. Using Pooled Mean Group-ARDL estimation in a dynamic heterogeneous panel framework, we obtain the following results: (i) from linear analysis, there is a positive and significant effect of financial access, financial efficiency and the overall financial development index on pro-poor growth in the short run, while in the long run, only financial efficiency affects negatively and significantly pro-poor growth; (ii) results show that the nonlinear relation is not verified in the short run, while in the long run, there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between the financial development index, financial access and financial depth and pro-poor growth. This suggests that too much finance can be detrimental to pro-poor growth in SSA. Financial inclusion of the poor combined with governance is necessary to improve pro-poor growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 861-879 Issue: 8 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174498 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174498 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:8:p:861-879 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174500_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Tore Dubbert Author-X-Name-First: Tore Author-X-Name-Last: Dubbert Title: Stochastic debt sustainability analysis using time-varying fiscal reaction functions - an agnostic approach to fiscal forecasting Abstract: This paper presents a model-based approach for stochastic primary balance and public debt simulations to assess fiscal sustainability in selected OECD countries. Fiscal behaviour is modelled by means of a fiscal reaction function with time-varying coefficients, which is then, together with a time-varying coefficient vector autoregression, embedded in a stochastic debt sustainability analysis framework. In a pseudo-out-of-sample forecasting exercise using vintage datasets, the model is evaluated against its frequently used fixed coefficient pendant and the European Commission’s Economic Forecasts at different horizons. The results indicate that stochastic debt sustainability analyses based on time-varying fiscal reaction functions and vector autoregressions perform competitively in terms of mean squared error and forecast bias at different horizons, especially with respect to public debt as well as short-term primary balance forecasts. Thus, models of this sort should be considered for complementary use at policy institutions, using them jointly with more ‘discretionary’ approaches to fiscal sustainability analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 901-917 Issue: 8 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174500 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174500 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:8:p:901-917 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2288041_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Marius Huguet Author-X-Name-First: Marius Author-X-Name-Last: Huguet Author-Name: Xavier Joutard Author-X-Name-First: Xavier Author-X-Name-Last: Joutard Author-Name: Lionel Perrier Author-X-Name-First: Lionel Author-X-Name-Last: Perrier Title: Patient preferences, referral process, and access to specialized care. Is patient choice constrained? Abstract: In most developed countries, patients have been encouraged to elect their preferred choice of health care provider. However, this is different for specialized care, where the patient’s referral could be defined as a two-stage decision process and their options are pre-selected by their general practitioner (GP). In this study, we estimate patient preferences while controlling for the pre-selection procedure, and we investigate whether patients are actively choosing their provider for cancer care. The French national hospital discharge database (Programme de Médicalisation des Systèmes d’Information, PMSI – MCO 2017) has been used for investigation. We estimated a multinomial choice model when choice sets are in fact unobserved, which is assumed to identify patient preferences, in a revealed preferences framework. Our findings provide evidence that patients consider factors other than distance to select their provider. The patient – hospital distance as well as the specialization profile of providers appears to be internalized in the pre-selection process, while patients rather consider waiting times, hospital quality, and other provider attributes to make their final choice. We also found that patients would be treated in higher-quality hospitals if they had the opportunity to choose among all available providers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 978-996 Issue: 8 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2288041 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2288041 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:8:p:978-996 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174499_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Muneer Shaik Author-X-Name-First: Muneer Author-X-Name-Last: Shaik Author-Name: George Varghese Author-X-Name-First: George Author-X-Name-Last: Varghese Author-Name: Vinodh Madhavan Author-X-Name-First: Vinodh Author-X-Name-Last: Madhavan Title: The dynamic volatility connectedness of global financial assets during the Ebola & MERS epidemic and the COVID-19 pandemic Abstract: We investigate the dynamic volatility connectedness of regional stocks, gold, Bitcoin, oil, and uncertainty index related to infectious diseases for the period from January 2014 to June 2022. We investigate the connectivity during Ebola & MERS periods, the normal period, the COVID-19 period and the full sample period. We find that the regional stock indices of the US, Europe, Africa and Latin America are net volatility transmitters whereas regional indices of Asia Pacific, Middle East and North Africa, and other assets like gold, oil and Bitcoin are net volatility recipients throughout the sample periods. By employing the TVP-VAR-based dynamic connectedness approach, we find the temporal evolution of system-wide total connectedness and pair-wise connectedness of financial assets to exhibit higher intensity of volatility spillover during the COVID-19 pandemic as compared to other sub-sample periods. We further observe, based on quantile connectedness approach, that the degree of dynamic connectedness is strong and significant across all the quantile spectrums only during the COVID-19 period. We observe that the safe haven characteristics of assets like gold, oil and Bitcoin diminish during the COVID-19 period due to strong dynamic connectedness with regional stock indices. Our findings have implications for policymakers, investors and portfolio managers in better risk management during periods of health epidemics and pandemics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 880-900 Issue: 8 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174499 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174499 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:8:p:880-900 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174934_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Peng Huang Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Yue Lu Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Frank Scrimgeour Author-X-Name-First: Frank Author-X-Name-Last: Scrimgeour Title: Environmental determinants of cross-border mergers and acquisitions: evidence from the global agricultural and food sector Abstract: We examine the effect of several agricultural factors in determining the likelihood of cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&As) in the global agricultural and food sector. We find that, better acquirer (target) country agricultural resources, productivity, and environments are associated with lower (higher) likelihood of cross-border M&As. Further analyses suggest that these agricultural factors have similar though weaker effects in non-agricultural deals. Overall, we highlight the important roles played by such agricultural factors in determining cross-border M&As, especially in the agricultural and food sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 956-977 Issue: 8 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174934 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174934 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:8:p:956-977 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174931_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Dung Thi Thuy Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Dung Thi Thuy Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Ivan Diaz-Rainey Author-X-Name-First: Ivan Author-X-Name-Last: Diaz-Rainey Author-Name: Helen Roberts Author-X-Name-First: Helen Author-X-Name-Last: Roberts Author-Name: Minh Le Author-X-Name-First: Minh Author-X-Name-Last: Le Title: The impact of natural disasters on bank performance and the moderating role of financial integration Abstract: Using a sample of East Asian banks covering the period 1999–2014, this paper analyses the impact of natural disasters on commercial bank performance and how financial integration moderates this relationship. A dynamic GMM model reveals that natural disasters significantly lower deposit ratios but have no contemporaneous relationship with liquidity, credit risk, profitability and default risk. There is also evidence of a lagged effect of disasters, increasing deposits and lowering liquidity one year after the event. Furthermore, foreign banking claims, specifically those extended by regional Asian lenders, help to alleviate the deposits decline in the aftermath of natural disasters. These baseline findings are mainly driven by severely affected countries. Overall, the paper highlights the role of commercial bank deposits and foreign banking claims as sources of finance for post-disaster recovery. In particular, the resilience of Asian foreign claims in the event of natural disasters provides evidence to support intra-regional financial integration in East Asia. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 918-940 Issue: 8 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174931 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174931 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:8:p:918-940 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174932_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Jianqiang Sun Author-X-Name-First: Jianqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Fahmida Mostafiz Author-X-Name-First: Fahmida Author-X-Name-Last: Mostafiz Author-Name: Yumei Cai Author-X-Name-First: Yumei Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Fujing Yang Author-X-Name-First: Fujing Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Cultural distance, language dissimilarity and trade disputes Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the role of cultural distance in international trade disputes by using a hand-collected dataset of 535 World Trade Organization trade dispute cases covering 158 countries. We find that cultural distance significantly increases the probability of trade disputes and the willingness of a country to initiate a trade complaint. Country pairs with an additional unit of cultural distance measured directly by the Hofstede culture indices have an average 0.18% higher probability of being involved in a trade dispute. Country with a unit farther cultural distance to its trade partner has an average 0.18% higher probability of filing a trade complaint. We further measure cultural distance indirectly from the perspective of language dissimilarity and find that country pairs using a common official language other than their spoken or native language have an average 0.55% higher probability of trade disputes. Cultural costs and cultural protectionism the possible mechanisms are analysed in a general pattern. This study provides a cultural perspective for trade conflict resolution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 941-955 Issue: 8 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174932 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174932 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:8:p:941-955 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2244249_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Jiajun Lan Author-X-Name-First: Jiajun Author-X-Name-Last: Lan Author-Name: Yinghao Pan Author-X-Name-First: Yinghao Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Yingjie Yu Author-X-Name-First: Yingjie Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: The role of digital financial inclusion in increasing fertility intentions: evidence from China Abstract: Digital financial inclusion is essential for promoting regional development, but its impact on demographic change requires further investigation. Using data from the Chinese General Social Survey (CGSS) between 2012 and 2017, this study provides empirical evidence on how the growth of digital financial inclusion affects fertility intentions in China. The results indicate that a one percent increase in the provincial-level digital financial inclusion index is associated with a 0.136% increase in fertility intentions. These findings hold across different components of digital financial inclusion and are robust to instrumental variable approaches. Moreover, the study shows that the expansion of digital financial inclusion has a more significant effect on households in low-income groups, central and western regions of China, and women with low educational attainment. These results underscore the importance of digital financial inclusion in addressing population declines worldwide. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1090-1108 Issue: 9 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2244249 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2244249 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:9:p:1090-1108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174936_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Phuong Anh Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Phuong Anh Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Nhu Phuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Nhu Phuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Huu Minh Duc Le Author-X-Name-First: Huu Minh Duc Author-X-Name-Last: Le Title: Systemic risk and financial system network using financial risk meter: the case of Vietnam Abstract: In the financial market, systemic risk is defined as the possibility that an event at the company level could trigger severe instability or collapse of an entire industry or the whole economy. Thus, understanding systemic risk is crucial for the financial institutions, large corporations, investors and regulators. This article investigates systemic risk and spillover effect using the new Financial Risk Meter ($$FRM$$FRM) index, which is obtained from running quantile linear regression and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator ($$LASSO$$LASSO) method. The $$FRM$$FRM index is obtained to identify the highly risky periods, the contributors to systemic risk and the potential activators of spillover effect. Moreover, interconnection between firms can be visualized as a network. We use a data set consisting of daily stock returns from 35 financial institutions and real estate firms in Vietnam, combined with 4 macroeconomic variables over the period from November 2011 to December 2020. The findings indicate that over the considered period, some detected highly risky periods are 2012, 2018 and 2020, probably due to the non-performing loan crisis in Vietnam, US-China trade war and global COVID-19 outbreak. Some active activators of risk spillover effect are also identified. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1012-1034 Issue: 9 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174936 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174936 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:9:p:1012-1034 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174937_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Long Wang Author-X-Name-First: Long Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Political cycle and effective corporate tax rate: evidence from China Abstract: This research aims to investigate the changing of effective corporate tax rate during the political cycle of Provincial Party Congresses with the data from Chinese industrial businesses from 1998 to 2009. The study shows that the effective tax rate for enterprises fluctuates with the political cycle of Provincial Party Congresses. The effective tax rate, in particular, tends to rise in the year before and during the Provincial Party Congresses, then decline year after year. Further study reveals variation in the impact of political cycles on officials and enterprises with various characteristics; for example, the impact of the corporation effective tax rate is more obvious for male officials, private firms, and so on. At the same time, the paper does not find a significant age ‘ceiling effect’ among prefecture-level officials in China. And the regional rule of law construction does not have a significant effect on the political cyclicality of corporate effective tax rates, whereas the political cyclicality of effective corporate tax rates is more pronounced in regions with higher government investment intensity. Finally, this paper puts forward policy recommendations such as improving officials’ promotion and assessment mechanisms and optimizing the government’s policy implementation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1035-1048 Issue: 9 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174937 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174937 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:9:p:1035-1048 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174940_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Caihong Tang Author-X-Name-First: Caihong Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Anitha Rosland Author-X-Name-First: Anitha Author-X-Name-Last: Rosland Author-Name: Jie Li Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Rizwana Yasmeen Author-X-Name-First: Rizwana Author-X-Name-Last: Yasmeen Title: The comparison of bilateral trade between China and ASEAN, China and EU: from the aspect of trade structure, trade complementarity and structural gravity model of trade Abstract: This article mainly compares China’s bilateral trade relation with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and with the European Union (EU), mainly from the perspective of China. We make the trade relation comparison in terms of trade volume and structure, trade complementarity index and impact factors on bilateral trade flow. We find the following results: (1) China mainly exports high-tech electronic and electrical and medium-tech products to ASEAN, and high-tech electronic and electrical and low-tech manufactures to EU yet imports high-tech electronic and electrical products from ASEAN and medium-tech products from EU. (2) China has strong competitiveness in low-tech manufactures and high-tech electronic and electrical area yet comparatively low competitiveness in medium-tech area; (3) China has high trade complementarity with EU in low-tech area and high trade complementarity with ASEAN in high-tech electronic and electrical area; (4) Based on structural gravity model of trade, the GDP per capita, monetary freedom, trade freedom and human development index have significant impacts on China-ASEAN and China-EU bilateral trade; WTO membership has impact on China’s trade with ASEAN yet not with EU; distance has impact on China’s trade with EU yet not with ASEAN. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1077-1089 Issue: 9 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174940 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174940 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:9:p:1077-1089 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174935_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Caroline Perrin Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Perrin Author-Name: Laurent Weill Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Weill Title: Girls will be girls? The gendered effect of economic policy uncertainty on corporate investment Abstract: We examine the effect of CEO gender on the relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and corporate investment. Using the newspaper-based EPU index developed by Baker, Bloom, and Davis (2016), we perform an empirical investigation on firm-level data of more than 38,000 firms from eight European countries for 2010–2019. We find evidence that higher EPU is associated with higher corporate investment. However, we show that this beneficial effect of economic policy uncertainty is lower when the firm CEO is a woman. We explain this finding by the higher risk aversion of women relative to men. Our work contributes to the debate on the impact of EPU on firm corporate decisions by bringing upfront the influence of CEO gender. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 997-1011 Issue: 9 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174935 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174935 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:9:p:997-1011 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174939_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Zahra Hatami Author-X-Name-First: Zahra Author-X-Name-Last: Hatami Author-Name: Prasad Chetti Author-X-Name-First: Prasad Author-X-Name-Last: Chetti Author-Name: Hesham Ali Author-X-Name-First: Hesham Author-X-Name-Last: Ali Author-Name: David Volkman Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Volkman Title: A novel population analysis approach for analyzing financial markets under crisis - a focus on excess returns of the US stocks under 9/11 and COVID-19 Abstract: Since the seminal research of Harry Markowitz, the importance of Pareto Optimal portfolios and asset correlation has been a foundation of modern portfolio theory. Recent researchers have expanded on Markowitz-efficient portfolios using advanced statistical methods to identify correlations among assets, while other researchers have demonstrated the decline in asset correlations during periods of market volatility and economic shocks. We extend this research by applying a novel approach based on the concept of population analysis to study the correlation of assets under major economic shocks. We use similarity networks to investigate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on various sectors, and then compare it with the behavioural patterns associated with the 9/11 event. The population analysis revealed that during the current pandemic, the behavioural pattern of the finance and energy sectors was significantly different than other sectors. Similar results were found for the finance and the industrial sectors during the 9/11 attacks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1063-1076 Issue: 9 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174939 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174939 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:9:p:1063-1076 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2174938_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Hugues Kouassi Kouadio Author-X-Name-First: Hugues Kouassi Author-X-Name-Last: Kouadio Author-Name: Romain Kouakou N’Guessan Author-X-Name-First: Romain Kouakou Author-X-Name-Last: N’Guessan Title: Do educational inequalities between marital partners influence the empowerment of educated women in ECOWAS? Abstract: In an environment where the question of women’s empowerment is a burning issue and where inequalities against women in education persist even though they are increasingly educated, it made sense to study the effect of educational inequalities between marital partners on women’s empowerment. Thus, using the latest rounds of the Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) women’s file from the four major West African economies including Nigeria (2013), Côte d’Ivoire (2011–12), Ghana (2014) and Senegal (2017), and then using a combination of internal and external instruments to better address issues related to the endogeneity of variables, we show that strong gender disparities in education negatively influence women’s financial and non-financial empowerment. The former is seen as the power of women to make decisions about spending their own and their spouse’s income and major household purchases. The second is the woman’s power to decide on health-related expenses and visits to relatives. Several other socio-demographic variables were likely to influence women’s empowerment. These include the woman’s household social status, age, labour market participation and religion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1049-1062 Issue: 9 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 02 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2174938 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2174938 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:9:p:1049-1062 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176448_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: I-Cheng Yeh Author-X-Name-First: I-Cheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yeh Title: Comparisons of residual income model and growth value model Abstract: Both the Residual Income Model (RIM) and Growth Value Model (GVM) combine the income-based approach and asset-based approach, and blend with the market-based approach, which employs regression analysis and market data to determine parameters in the models. Hence, they have more comprehensiveness than most approaches in the literature. The theoretical and empirical comparisons of RIM and GVM may have profound meaning to stock intrinsic value. The theoretical comparison shows that the ROE-P/B relationship is linear in RIM and power in GVM. When ROE equals the required return rate, whosever P/B is 1.0. When the ROE is small, the P/B estimated by GVM is still greater than 0; however, it may be negative by RIM, which is not reasonable. In a normal range (0 ~ 20%) of ROE, the two curves are rather close to each other. The empirical study showed that the GVM can more reasonablly fit the market data, especially when the ROE is rather small or great. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1327-1345 Issue: 11 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176448 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176448 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:11:p:1327-1345 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176446_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Kyu Hyung Park Author-X-Name-First: Kyu Hyung Author-X-Name-Last: Park Author-Name: Leonie Tickle Author-X-Name-First: Leonie Author-X-Name-Last: Tickle Author-Name: Henry Cutler Author-X-Name-First: Henry Author-X-Name-Last: Cutler Title: How temporal patterns of medication adherence to antidepressants, bisphosphonates and statins are associated with healthcare cost Abstract: We evaluate benefits of measuring temporal patterns of medication use using group-based trajectory modelling (GBTM) by finding associations between medication adherence (MA) and healthcare costs for which inconsistent results have been reported. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 9,287, 1,660 and 10,242 users of antidepressants, bisphosphonates and statins, respectively, between 2012 and 2016, who participated in the 45 and Up Study in New South Wales, Australia. Associations between MA and subsequent 1-year healthcare cost components from generalized linear models and two-part models were compared across medications and MA measure types including GBTM and proportion of days covered (PDC). Compared to adherers, antidepressant users with declining adherence showed increased inpatient costs ($643 at p < 0.05). Bisphosphonate users with declining and consistently low adherence showed decreased osteoporotic inpatient costs ($387 at p < 0.05 and $419 at p < 0.05, respectively). All types of nonadherence were associated with reduced cost of the respective medications. GBTM revealed relationships between specific nonadherence types and healthcare costs, even in cases where no relationship was identified using the combined nonadherence PDC measure. With additional insights into the dynamics of nonadherence, GBTM could help clinicians and health policymakers design effective MA interventions, leading to improved health outcomes and pharmaceutical use. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1283-1308 Issue: 11 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176446 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176446 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:11:p:1283-1308 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2175776_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Kangjuan Lv Author-X-Name-First: Kangjuan Author-X-Name-Last: Lv Author-Name: Siwei Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Siwei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Ran Liang Author-X-Name-First: Ran Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Ye Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Ye Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Environmental regulation, breakthrough technological innovation and total factor productivity of firms-- evidence from emission charges of China Abstract: As an effective means of addressing environmental externalities, market-based environmental regulation inevitably has potential effects on the economy. Based on Porter’s theory, we investigate how emission charges affect firms’ total factor productivity and explore the moderating role of firms’ breakthrough technological innovation. Our findings reveal the moderating effect of breakthrough technological innovation on the total factor productivity enhancement of the emission fee by looking at Chinese A-share listed firms with heavy pollution from 2011 to 2020. Our mechanism tests suggest that emission fees and breakthrough technological innovation increase firms’ total factor productivity by enhancing firms’ green innovation. In addition, our heterogeneity analysis shows that emission charges and breakthrough technology innovation effectively increase total factor productivity only for state-owned firms, and the effect on total factor productivity of non-state-owned firms is insignificant. Our findings suggest that implementing market-based environmental regulations and incentives for firms to embark on breakthrough technological innovation effectively increases firms’ total factor productivity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1235-1249 Issue: 11 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2175776 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2175776 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:11:p:1235-1249 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176447_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Derek Asuman Author-X-Name-First: Derek Author-X-Name-Last: Asuman Author-Name: Ulf-G. Gerdtham Author-X-Name-First: Ulf-G. Author-X-Name-Last: Gerdtham Author-Name: Ann I. Alriksson-Schmidt Author-X-Name-First: Ann I. Author-X-Name-Last: Alriksson-Schmidt Author-Name: Martin Nordin Author-X-Name-First: Martin Author-X-Name-Last: Nordin Author-Name: Johan Jarl Author-X-Name-First: Johan Author-X-Name-Last: Jarl Title: Labour market consequences of an early-onset disability: the case of cerebral palsy Abstract: The labour market consequences of early-onset or congenital disabilities have received little attention in the literature. In this paper, we study the consequences of cerebral palsy (CP), a lifelong early onset disability, and pathways through which it affects labour outcomes. We use data from multiple linked Swedish National Population Registers between 1990 and 2015 and apply both regression and mediation analysis. Our results show, as expected, strong negative consequences of CP on labour outcomes, and that the consequences have increased over time. The social insurance system, we find, compensates for some of the losses through non-work-related benefits. The results also suggest that the direct effects of CP per se have prominent impact on labour market outcomes. Thus, given the same level of mediators, persons with CP will have lower labour outcomes compared to persons without CP. Our results draw attention to the widening labour market consequences of CP in Sweden. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1309-1326 Issue: 11 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176447 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176447 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:11:p:1309-1326 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2175775_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Lauren Calimeris Author-X-Name-First: Lauren Author-X-Name-Last: Calimeris Author-Name: Christina Peters Author-X-Name-First: Christina Author-X-Name-Last: Peters Title: Evidence on birth spacing and child cognition from Indonesia Abstract: Research from the medical and social science literature has found that spacing births closely together leads to adverse health and socioeconomic outcomes for the younger child. More recent evidence using inter-family comparisons is challenging the validity of those results. However, while inter-family comparisons allow for time-invariant unobservable heterogeneity across families, they cannot fully control for changes in families that occur over time and may affect both decisions about birth intervals as well as child outcomes. To our knowledge, this paper provides the first examination of the effects of birth spacing on later childhood cognitive outcomes that accounts for both time-invariant and time-varying heterogeneity in the same models. Instrumental variables estimations on data from Indonesia indicate that younger siblings perform significantly better on maths assessment exams when they are spaced farther apart from their immediately older sibling. This effect appears to be concentrated among the poorest and least educated households. The data thus suggest that close spacing may be detrimental to the socioeconomic outcomes of the younger sibling. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1221-1234 Issue: 11 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2175775 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2175775 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:11:p:1221-1234 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2175777_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Michiel Bijlsma Author-X-Name-First: Michiel Author-X-Name-Last: Bijlsma Author-Name: Carin van der Cruijsen Author-X-Name-First: Carin Author-X-Name-Last: van der Cruijsen Author-Name: Nicole Jonker Author-X-Name-First: Nicole Author-X-Name-Last: Jonker Title: Not all data are created equal - Data sharing and privacy Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic has increased our online presence and unleashed a new discussion on sharing sensitive personal data. Upcoming European legislation will facilitate data sharing in several areas, following the lead of the revised payments directive (PSD2), which enables payments data sharing with third parties. However, little is known about what drives consumers’ data sharing preferences, as these may differ according to the type of data, type of usage or type of firm using the data. Using a discrete-choice experiment among a representative group of Dutch consumers, we find that next to health data, people are hesitant to share their financial data on payments, wealth and pensions, compared to other types of consumer data. Second, consumers are especially cautious about sharing their data when they are not used anonymously. Third, consumers are more hesitant to share their data with BigTechs, webshops and insurers than they are with banks. Fourth, data sharing choices depend on financial rewards. Last, we show that attitudes towards data usage depend on personal characteristics, consumers’ digital skills, online behaviour and their trust in the firms using the data. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1250-1267 Issue: 11 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2175777 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2175777 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:11:p:1250-1267 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2175778_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Cesario Mateus Author-X-Name-First: Cesario Author-X-Name-Last: Mateus Author-Name: Irina Mateus Author-X-Name-First: Irina Author-X-Name-Last: Mateus Author-Name: Natasa Todorovic Author-X-Name-First: Natasa Author-X-Name-Last: Todorovic Title: Searching for mutual fund winners? the strategy is to outbid both, the benchmark and the peer group Abstract: Standard Fama-French-Carhart models define ‘winners’ as funds that generate the highest excess returns given the factor risks involved; however, they do not provide information on whether such winners are outperforming their prospectus benchmark or their peer group. In addition, existing literature relying on these models, by and large, does not find evidence of persistence in performance. In this paper, we propose a two-stage procedure that allows investors to select ‘true’ winners(losers) which generate the highest factor-risk-adjusted performance relative to the benchmark and the peer group simultaneously. Utilizing both adjustments at the same time results in a strong predictive ability, leading to a selection of funds that persist in performance. Our true winner funds have statistically significant superior benchmark-adjusted alphas, peer group adjusted alphas and Sharpe ratios one year ahead, which are significantly different from those generated by the true loser funds. The results are robust to extended investment horizon, and alpha estimation method, and they are not driven by outliers, size of fund-sorts, or any particular period within our sample. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1268-1282 Issue: 11 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2175778 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2175778 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:11:p:1268-1282 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176450_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Xiaofang Jia Author-X-Name-First: Xiaofang Author-X-Name-Last: Jia Author-Name: Baojian Xie Author-X-Name-First: Baojian Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Author-Name: Xingan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xingan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: The impact of network infrastructure on enterprise digital transformation ——A quasi-natural experiment from the “broadband China” Strategy Abstract: In this paper, a multi-period difference-in-difference model is constructed to investigate the impact of network infrastructure on enterprise digital transformation. The results show that network infrastructure has effectively promoted the digital transformation of enterprises. Meanwhile, as the scale of network infrastructure construction expands, the role of network infrastructure in promoting enterprise digital transformation will be enhanced. Based on the mechanism analysis, network infrastructure promotes enterprise digital transformation through two channels: easing corporate financing constraints and improving core technical capabilities. Furthermore, the role of network infrastructure in enterprise digital transformation is not invariable, the effect is more pronounced in non-state-owned enterprises, growth enterprises, manufacturing enterprises, and enterprises located in developed cities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1363-1380 Issue: 12 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176450 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176450 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:12:p:1363-1380 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2257033_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Di Gong Author-X-Name-First: Di Author-X-Name-Last: Gong Author-Name: Shiwei Hu Author-X-Name-First: Shiwei Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Zongxin Qian Author-X-Name-First: Zongxin Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Title: Banking crises and exporter dynamics Abstract: This article examines the effects of systemic banking crises on exporter dynamics using exporter data at the country-industry level from the Exporter Dynamics Database (EDD). By considering industries with varying levels of external finance dependence, we are able to capture the heterogeneous impacts of banking crises. Our results demonstrate that banking crises lead to a decrease in the number of successful market entries, a reduction in export market concentration, and a slowdown in both product dynamics and destination dynamics. These findings are robust when accounting for other financial crises, industry characteristics, and potential endogeneity concerns. Overall, our empirical evidence confirms the detrimental impact of banking crises on the extensive margin of exports. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1463-1487 Issue: 12 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2257033 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2257033 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:12:p:1463-1487 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176449_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Yun Jung Kim Author-X-Name-First: Yun Jung Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Mei Quan Author-X-Name-First: Mei Author-X-Name-Last: Quan Title: Financing the R&D investment of Chinese firms: state-owned versus private firms Abstract: We investigate the effect of financing constraints on the R&D investment of Chinese listed firms for the period 2010–2020. The sample is divided into state-owned versus private firms, which differ substantially in R&D patterns, financial structures, and other characteristics. We find that, in both state-owned and private firms, internal cash flow significantly affects R&D investment, suggesting the presence of binding financing constraints. Both state-owned and private firms actively manage liquid assets to smooth R&D spending. Debt finance is insignificant for both state-owned and private firms. New stock issues have a significant positive effect on R&D in private firms only, not in state-owned firms. Given that the contribution of private firms to aggregate R&D is increasing, stable stock market conditions may have an important aggregate impact on R&D. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1347-1362 Issue: 12 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176449 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176449 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:12:p:1347-1362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176453_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Bing Liu Author-X-Name-First: Bing Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Lihong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Lihong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Ming Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Ming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Portfolio selections for insurers with ambiguity aversion: minimizing the probability of ruin Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the impacts of model misspecification on the insurer’s investment behaviours. Model misspecification comes from either the financial market or insurance business due to economic fluctuation. From the risk control point of view, we assume that an insurer has ambiguity aversion and we study the robust optimal investment strategy for the insurer under several settings. As a benchmark, we firstly obtain the optimal investment strategy for the insurer without considering model misspecification. Then, by assuming that model misspecification only exists in the financial market, we obtained the robust optimal investment strategy by solving the corresponding Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation under the objective of minimizing the probability of ruin. The results tells us the insurer’s ambiguity aversion leads to a more conservative investment behaviour. At last, we incorporate the model misspecification for both financial market and insurance business in a general framework. The robust optimal investment is also obtained and we find that the investment is enlarged due to the insurer’s ambiguity aversion on the insurance business because of the motivation of ambiguity hedging. The numerical examples display that different ambiguity aversion level on the financial market and insurance business have different impacts on the robust investment strategy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1423-1439 Issue: 12 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176453 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:12:p:1423-1439 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176451_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Ana Rita Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Ana Rita Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Paulo B. Vasconcelos Author-X-Name-First: Paulo B. Author-X-Name-Last: Vasconcelos Title: Impact of refugees on wages and economic growth in a model with inflation Abstract: This paper assesses how the influx of skilled and unskilled refugees affects the technological-knowledge-bias and, consequently, the skill premium in host communities, looking in particular at the case of Poland following the war in Ukraine. We use a dynamic endogenous R&D general equilibrium model, in which labour endowments are related to the direction (or bias) of technological knowledge, which in turn drives the dynamics of key economic variables. With price channel dominance, the shock of the war causes an increase in the technological-knowledge-bias and thus the skills premium, given the increased supply of unskilled labour. Fiscal policy, driven by country governments and materialized through direct and indirect subsidies to R&D activity, has stronger effects on the growth rate when applied to unskilled workers. Monetary policy, driven by the central bank through a decline in the nominal interest rate, influences R&D activity through liquidity constraints and is limited by the zero nominal interest rate. To promote competitiveness and growth, a fiscal policy that subsidizes unskilled workers must be promoted. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1381-1407 Issue: 12 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176451 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176451 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:12:p:1381-1407 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176452_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Thiago Christiano Silva Author-X-Name-First: Thiago Christiano Author-X-Name-Last: Silva Author-Name: Rodrigo Batista de Araújo Author-X-Name-First: Rodrigo Batista de Author-X-Name-Last: Araújo Author-Name: Benjamin Miranda Tabak Author-X-Name-First: Benjamin Miranda Author-X-Name-Last: Tabak Title: Real effects of direct cash transfers shocks: evidence from one of the largest social welfare programs in the world Abstract: We examine the socio-economic consequences in Brazilian municipalities of one of the world’s largest social welfare programmes – the Bolsa Família. Since the Bolsa Família endogenously targets municipalities with weaker local socio-economic conditions, it becomes challenging to reason about its causal effects on the local economy. We address this endogeneity by exploiting a change in the Bolsa Família regulation in 2012 that established a minimum per capita income of 70 reais for recipient families. Previously, additional financial benefits were available based on the number of children in the family, up to five. Following the change, large families effectively received a positive income shock. We investigate this discontinuity by comparing recipient families of different sizes with income nearing the 70 reais per capita threshold shortly before the shift at the municipality level. Municipalities’ employment, income, and health metrics show consistent and positive results. However, we find no effect on education, which could be explained by the lack of robust education-related conditionalities that Bolsa Família recipients are required to report continuously to enjoy the programme’s benefits. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1408-1422 Issue: 12 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176452 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176452 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:12:p:1408-1422 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176454_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Pratik Goel Author-X-Name-First: Pratik Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Oveis Madadian Author-X-Name-First: Oveis Author-X-Name-Last: Madadian Title: Peer-based performance comparison and tone management Abstract: While performance comparison against peers is documented as a key decision-making factor in strategic management, its potential role as a strategic determinant of disclosure tone has so far been overlooked in the literature on narrative disclosures. In this study, we examine whether, and how, peer-based performance comparison (i.e. the comparison of earnings/cash flows of a firm with its peers) affects tone management. Using a measure of tone management based on 10-K filings over 1993–2013, we show that firms with performance falling below the peer-based benchmark engage in greater downward tone management in their earnings-related narrative disclosures, and the extent of this over-pessimism increases the further performance falls below the benchmark. We further document that the observed over-pessimism not only prompts security analysts to revise their earnings forecasts downward, but it is also associated with a higher probability of meeting or beating these forecasts (i.e. expectation management). This is the first study that links tone management with expectation management, in the context of peer-based performance comparison. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1440-1462 Issue: 12 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176454 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:12:p:1440-1462 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176457_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Qingsong Ruan Author-X-Name-First: Qingsong Author-X-Name-Last: Ruan Author-Name: Jiarui Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jiarui Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Dayong Lv Author-X-Name-First: Dayong Author-X-Name-Last: Lv Title: Forecasting exchange rate volatility: is economic policy uncertainty better? Abstract: Economic policy uncertainty (EPU) reflects more information related to exchange rate volatility than traditional macroeconomic variables do, and thus may have stronger predictive power in forecasting exchange rate volatility. Based on data from developed and developing economies (including Japan, the United Kingdom, the Euro Area, Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, and China), this paper provides in- and out-of-sample evidence that the EPU differential between two economies outperforms several macroeconomic predictors (for example, GDP growth and volatility of inflation growth) in forecasting exchange rate volatility, which is also supported by a Monte Carlo experiment. Moreover, the mechanism analysis shows that increased EPU differential is associated with increased foreign exchange trading activities and reduced bilateral trade, which helps explain the predictive power of EPU for exchange rate volatility. Furthermore, we find that EPU can predict both long- and short-run components of exchange rate volatility. Our main findings are robust after using alternative empirical proxies or controlling for endogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1526-1544 Issue: 13 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176457 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176457 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:13:p:1526-1544 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176461_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Ling Feng Author-X-Name-First: Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Feng Author-Name: Jun Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jun Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Can state-owned enterprises enhance enterprise value when they shift focus to core businesses? Empirical evidence on the transfer of ‘three supplies and one industry’ in China Abstract: This research theoretically analysed how corporate value is enhanced when Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOEs) shift their focus. In our analysis of Chinese SOEs listed in A-shares from 2013 to 2019, we describe their process of returning to their primary business using the ‘three supply and one industry’ (3S1I) handover policy. We conducted a quasi-natural experiment to study whether refocusing on SOEs can improve their value. The research shows that the policy enhances the efficiency of SOEs, thus increasing their value. These results were particularly evident among local SOEs. Moreover, SOE employees’ social responsibility performance may have a negative moderating effect on efficiency, indicating that excessive social responsibility can lead to a loss in efficiency and a reduction in SOE value. We conclude by discussing why SOEs should prioritize improving economic value and then fulfil social responsibilities to enhance social value through social purchasing and other ways. This study contributes to the literature by providing recommendations on improving the value of SOE from the perspective of ‘transferring 3S1I’ and refocusing. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1595-1609 Issue: 13 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176461 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176461 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:13:p:1595-1609 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176456_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Ki Wook Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ki Wook Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Tae Sup Shim Author-X-Name-First: Tae Sup Author-X-Name-Last: Shim Author-Name: Ji Seon Yoo Author-X-Name-First: Ji Seon Author-X-Name-Last: Yoo Title: Can Ethics and Economic Incentives Mitigate Tax preparers’ Aggressive Judgements and Decisions? Abstract: We examine whether the personal attribute of ethics and an external economic incentive in the form of a standard tax preparation fee can mitigate tax preparers’ aggressive tax reporting behaviour. We use a structural equation model (SEM) to identify the influential paths of ethics and economic incentives on the aggressiveness of tax preparers. Based on the results of a quasi-experiment involving tax preparers in Korea, we find that ethical attributes both directly and indirectly mitigate aggressive tax reporting by reducing tax preparers’ fear of client dissatisfaction. We then find that the introduction of a standard tax preparation fee does not directly or indirectly suppress the tax aggressiveness of tax preparers. Our study contributes to an integral examination of the effectiveness of both psychological and economic factors on tax preparers’ judgements and decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1509-1525 Issue: 13 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176456 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176456 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:13:p:1509-1525 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176459_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Xinni Cai Author-X-Name-First: Xinni Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Author-Name: Ge Yang Author-X-Name-First: Ge Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Xiaojia Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojia Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Title: Does the academic profession really matter in board monitoring? Evidence from individual director voting Abstract: This study examines the voting behaviour of independent directors from academia based on manually collected voting data. We find that academic independent directors are less likely to dissent on board proposals than other independent directors, especially the directors who have fewer industry-specific experiences or have a relatively higher pay from the focal firm. The academic directors are also more likely to lose board seats after dissension, consistent with their concern of less job security as they are easily replaced. Lastly, although academic directors generally have weaker incentives to vote against insiders, they are more likely to dissent on proposals concerning related-party transactions. Overall, our study sheds new light on the role of academic independent directors in board monitoring effectiveness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1564-1580 Issue: 13 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176459 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176459 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:13:p:1564-1580 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176455_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Yanran Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yanran Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Zhongtai Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhongtai Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Are active individual investors in mutual funds momentums or contrarians? Abstract: We use transaction data of active individual investors in mutual funds to examine whether investors are momentum or contrarian by combining binomial distribution with the multinomial logit model. We find that individual investors adopt different trading strategies in making their purchase and redemption decisions, whereby they act as momentum buyers and contrarian sellers. Different fund styles do not affect investors’ trading decisions based on historical returns, and investors’ trading behaviours in value and dividend funds are consistent. After identifying each investor’s trading strategy, we examine the impact of demographics on trading behaviour for the first time. We find that older individual investors in mutual funds are more likely to be momentums, as are those with stock trading experience. Individual investors with large transaction sizes are more likely to be momentum buyers, while investors of small sizes are contrarian. Our research not only helps managers understand the trading behaviour of individual investors but also provides some help to regulators. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1489-1508 Issue: 13 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176455 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:13:p:1489-1508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176458_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Joshy Jacob Author-X-Name-First: Joshy Author-X-Name-Last: Jacob Author-Name: Nilesh Gupta Author-X-Name-First: Nilesh Author-X-Name-Last: Gupta Author-Name: Balagopal Gopalakrishnan Author-X-Name-First: Balagopal Author-X-Name-Last: Gopalakrishnan Title: Mutual fund asset allocation during COVID-19: evidence from an emerging market Abstract: The paper examines the investment decisions of Indian equity mutual funds during various stages of the COVID-19 pandemic with monthly portfolio holdings. We find that funds favoured firms with lower risk, higher financial flexibility, and larger size during the early months of the pandemic. The preference for relatively low-risk firms, which reverses later, suggests a reallocation towards safer assets. Funds also preferred growth firms to value firms as the latter with greater invested capital are more vulnerable to the shock. Institutional investors also favoured group-affiliated firms throughout, reflecting their lower crisis vulnerability. We find that the stocks preferred by funds during the pandemic outperform others in the long run. The paper brings out key firm characteristics that impact mutual fund asset allocation during extreme uncertainty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1545-1563 Issue: 13 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176458 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176458 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:13:p:1545-1563 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176460_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Peter Tait Author-X-Name-First: Peter Author-X-Name-Last: Tait Author-Name: Caroline Saunders Author-X-Name-First: Caroline Author-X-Name-Last: Saunders Author-Name: Paul Dalziel Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Dalziel Author-Name: Paul Rutherford Author-X-Name-First: Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Rutherford Author-Name: Timothy Driver Author-X-Name-First: Timothy Author-X-Name-Last: Driver Author-Name: Meike Guenther Author-X-Name-First: Meike Author-X-Name-Last: Guenther Title: How much less? Estimating price discounts for suboptimal food with environmental and social credence attributes Abstract: Price discounting strategies for suboptimal food perform an essential part in reducing food waste. This study provides new information empirically estimating discounts for levels of apple injury and deformity consistent with United States Department of Agriculture definitions using a Discrete Choice Experiment with Californian consumers. Latent Class Modelling identifies consumer segments with differing preferences for injury and deformity, alongside social responsibility and environmental claims. While discounts range substantially across segments, levels of deformity negatively influence choices more than equivalent levels of injury. Required discounts can be reduced by the presence of beneficial credence attributes, particularly an organic claim. We find a segment of respondents indifferent to suboptimal characteristics and requiring no discount to select suboptimal apples. These consumers have stronger preferences for environmental and social attributes, are more likely to be female, more educated, younger and concerned about genetic engineering. Preferences for social responsibility claims vary over the targeted beneficiaries, with programmes focused on workers preferred more overall. Willingness-to-pay for greenhouse gas reductions are relatively diminutive; however, 83% of the respondents support at least moderate reductions. This study contributes to understanding behaviours towards suboptimal food and is beneficial to forming food waste reduction strategies by identifying discount levels across consumer types. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1581-1594 Issue: 13 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176460 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176460 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:13:p:1581-1594 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2177591_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Irene González-Rodríguez Author-X-Name-First: Irene Author-X-Name-Last: González-Rodríguez Author-Name: Marta Pascual-Saez Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Pascual-Saez Author-Name: David Cantarero-Prieto Author-X-Name-First: David Author-X-Name-Last: Cantarero-Prieto Title: The changing health convergence for life expectancy and spatial interactions Abstract: Spatial interactions are important to consider issues like health convergence between the European Union countries and Spanish provinces. Health status is measured by a combination of objective health outcome indicators, such as life expectancy: at birth, at age 65, disability-adjusted life expectancy and healthy life expectancy based on self-perceived health. The period analysed differs from one indicator to another considering 1998–2018. There are two forms of convergence: σ-convergence and absolute β-convergence. Furthermore, the Moran Test is performed to disentangle the degree of spatial dependencies and two models of spatial regression are used to include these dependencies in the absolute β-convergence estimation. Our findings suggest that there is a convergence process among European Union countries and the Spanish provinces. On the other hand, β-convergence is higher in women among European countries and in men for Spanish provinces. Nevertheless, the rise of the dispersion means that there is not clear evidence about trends in the period considered. There are two contributions in our research: to achieve an updated vision of health convergence and to incorporate spatial econometrics in Health Economics research. These insights can help to reduce health inequalities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1622-1635 Issue: 14 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2177591 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2177591 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:14:p:1622-1635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2176463_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Zaghum Umar Author-X-Name-First: Zaghum Author-X-Name-Last: Umar Author-Name: Ahmed Bossman Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Bossman Author-Name: Najaf Iqbal Author-X-Name-First: Najaf Author-X-Name-Last: Iqbal Author-Name: Tamara Teplova Author-X-Name-First: Tamara Author-X-Name-Last: Teplova Title: Patterns of unconventional monetary policy spillovers during a systemic crisis Abstract: We examine whether the COVID-19 pandemic-induced systemic shocks cause a change in the dynamics of monetary policy spillovers among developed economies. Results from our analysis under the time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model indicate that: (i) variations in monetary policy actions are explained by monetary policy spillovers; (ii) shocks from the COVID-19 pandemic rocketed monetary policy spillovers; (iii) the Euro area and the US chiefly propagate monetary policy shocks to their counterpart developed economies; and (iv) New Zealand and Japan endure the highest monetary policy shocks. Our results evidence the need for synchronized monetary policy actions during systemic crises. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1611-1621 Issue: 14 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2176463 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2176463 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:14:p:1611-1621 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2177594_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Yong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zaheer Anwer Author-X-Name-First: Zaheer Author-X-Name-Last: Anwer Author-Name: Lijun Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Lijun Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Wangjie Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wangjie Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Yumeng Miao Author-X-Name-First: Yumeng Author-X-Name-Last: Miao Title: Smart manager and investor effects in offshore financial development: the decisive role of cognitive ability on risk preference Abstract: In the aftermath of first world war, offshore finance has garnered the attraction of various quarters. As of 2010, at least USD 21–32 Trillion of unreported private financial wealth, nearly 18% of the aggregate global wealth, was cantered in tax havens. Financial risk management to prevent offshore financial crisis has become an international concern and widely discussed. We examine the dynamic interrelationship between cognitive ability, risk preference and offshore financial development for a global sample of 44 countries for the period 2001–2017 by using simultaneous equation models. The findings reveal that risk preference, as an informal institute, exerts imperceptible influence on offshore financial development. Moreover, as the cognitive ability affects offshore financial development by way of risk preference, there does exist ‘Smart Managers Effect’ and ‘Smart Investors Effect’ determined by the cognitive ability in Offshore Financial Centres. Moreover, our results vindicate the role of ‘Invisible Hand’ of the market during the tension between markets and governments. The study offers a convincing explanation of the impacting path to risk preference, dominated by cognitive ability, on offshore financial development in offshore financial centres from the perspective of the Institutional Economics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1652-1670 Issue: 14 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2177594 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2177594 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:14:p:1652-1670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2291096_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Seul-Ki Kim Author-X-Name-First: Seul-Ki Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Author-Name: Young-Chul Kim Author-X-Name-First: Young-Chul Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Single-sex vs. Coeducational schooling: an empirical study on the mental health outcomes of middle school students Abstract: Unlike previous literature that mainly examined the cognitive effects of single-sex education, this study investigates its effects on students’ mental health, focusing on depression, suicide-related behaviours, and the various causes of stress. Utilizing a national-level large-scale dataset of middle school students in South Korea and employing an instrument variable approach, we find that attending single-sex schools reduces the probability of depression in female students by about 9.9% points, while no significant effect is observed for male students. Additionally, our research regarding the causes of stress uncovers that single-sex schooling reduces the stress associated with peer relationships, particularly for girls. These findings imply that the non-cognitive benefits of single-sex education may be stronger than previously thought. As a result, we advocate for a more thoughtful and inclusive implementation of school policies, taking into consideration the impact of gender peer effects at school. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1689-1704 Issue: 14 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2291096 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2291096 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:14:p:1689-1704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2177595_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Toka S. Mohamed Author-X-Name-First: Toka S. Author-X-Name-Last: Mohamed Author-Name: Mohammed M. Elgammal Author-X-Name-First: Mohammed M. Author-X-Name-Last: Elgammal Title: Does the extent of branchless banking adoption enhance the social and financial performance of microfinance institutions? Abstract: We examine the impact of the extent of branchless banking adoption on the social and financial performance of an international sample of microfinance institutions (MFIs). We find that increasing the number of branchless banking points of service in MFIs is associated with productivity enhancements and improved social outreach. However, this occurs at the expense of adverse credit risk and profitability outcomes. Our results are robust to alternative measures of social and financial performance and the use of multiple methodologies including generalized method of moments, two and three-stage least squares. By introducing a quadratic specification, we unveil a parabolic relationship between the extent of branchless banking adoption and MFIs’ credit risk and profitability, which indicates that positive profitability and risk outcomes can eventually be achieved in MFIs with extensive branchless banking networks. This presents an important contribution to explaining the variations in insight in extant literature. These findings are relevant to policy makers as they indicate that investments in branchless banking present promising outcomes by encouraging financial inclusion, enhancing productivity and efficiency, and improving long-term profitability and repayment rates among MFIs. However, the initial adversity to profitability and credit risk may be a sufficient deterrent from BB investments for financially-oriented MFIs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1671-1688 Issue: 14 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2177595 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2177595 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:14:p:1671-1688 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2177592_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Luan Thanh Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Luan Thanh Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Shyama Ratnasiri Author-X-Name-First: Shyama Author-X-Name-Last: Ratnasiri Author-Name: Liam Wagner Author-X-Name-First: Liam Author-X-Name-Last: Wagner Title: Industrial energy efficiency and determinants in Vietnam: A stochastic frontier analysis using firm-level data Abstract: In this study, we employ the Shephard energy distance function to evaluate the impacts of three broad aspects (i) government involvement, (ii) firm’s managerial behaviour and (iii) technology adoption on energy (in)efficiency. Using a true fixed-effect model with a firm-level dataset of eight major industries in Vietnam from 2011 to 2016, the results suggest that these three aspects influence energy efficiency at varying degrees. The novel finding is that government involvement in business improves energy efficiency in less efficient industries. Furthermore, import activities negatively impact energy efficiency while the quality of labour increases efficiency. However, production expansion investment worsens the energy inefficiency situation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1636-1651 Issue: 14 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2177592 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2177592 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:14:p:1636-1651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2305621_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Fábio A. R. Gomes Author-X-Name-First: Fábio A. R. Author-X-Name-Last: Gomes Author-Name: Lívia C. M. Melo Author-X-Name-First: Lívia C. M. Author-X-Name-Last: Melo Author-Name: Gian Paulo Soave Author-X-Name-First: Gian Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Soave Title: Flexible markov-switching models with evolving regime-specific parameters: an application to Brazilian business cycles Abstract: This article develops a flexible class of Markov-switching models in which the GDP growth rate is decomposed into a long-run growth trend and evolving regime-dependent means. The models can account for multiple regimes, breaks in the long-run trend, stochastic volatility, and time-varying transition probabilities. They can also handle data outliers that may arise from rare events, such as the COVID-19 crisis. We illustrate our methodology by modelling Brazilian GDP growth, which has exhibited complicated dynamics over the past four decades. Our results suggest two regimes, one long-run trend break, significant time variation in volatility, and the presence of outliers. Moreover, the selected model features time-varying transition probabilities driven by domestic variables (fiscal stance, reserves, and the real interest rate). Significantly, our findings indicate a marked decline in Brazil’s long-run growth in recent years. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1705-1722 Issue: 14 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2024.2305621 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2024.2305621 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:14:p:1705-1722 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2177600_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Shilin Li Author-X-Name-First: Shilin Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Tongtong Li Author-X-Name-First: Tongtong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jinhong Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jinhong Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Jinqiang Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jinqiang Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Implications of pandemic shocks in the production economy Abstract: This paper introduces the SIS epidemic model into a production-based economy. We study the asset pricing implications of the interaction between COVID-19’s shock and mitigation policy for the production economy. The mitigation policy could hinder the consumption, while it will prompt an investment slump. The results indicate some trade-offs between mitigating the transmission of the pandemic and economic output varying with different uncertainty of the pandemic. Notably, the risk premium and growth of capital value present an inverse hump-shape with the infection rate. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1801-1816 Issue: 15 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2177600 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2177600 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:15:p:1801-1816 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2177596_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Sauveur Giannoni Author-X-Name-First: Sauveur Author-X-Name-Last: Giannoni Author-Name: Sylvain Petit Author-X-Name-First: Sylvain Author-X-Name-Last: Petit Author-Name: Louinord Voltaire Author-X-Name-First: Louinord Author-X-Name-Last: Voltaire Author-Name: Philippe Chagnon Author-X-Name-First: Philippe Author-X-Name-Last: Chagnon Author-Name: Jean Ralph Marvensky Paul Author-X-Name-First: Jean Ralph Marvensky Author-X-Name-Last: Paul Title: Adoption of Covid-19 safety certification and pricing strategy in the hotel industry Abstract: The tourism sector has voluntarily undertaken several initiatives to boost customer confidence in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. For example, in the hotel industry, three different strategies have been implemented: sending no COVID-19 safety signal; sending a moderate signal through a charter; or sending a strong signal through a label. This study aims to identify the main drivers of the hotels’ choice among these strategies and to analyze the influence of their choice on price setting. We estimate a system of three equations (hotel pricing, star rating, COVID-19 safety signal) on a sample of 418 rated hotels in the Hauts-de-France region. Results support three main findings: 1) star rating positively correlates with COVID-19 certification; 2) COVID-19 certification has a strongly negative impact on hotel prices; 3) star rating moderates positively the effect of COVID-19 certification on prices. Furthermore, error terms between the star rating level and COVID-19 certification equations are strongly correlated. Hence unobserved common factors play a role in the adoption of these quality signals. Our findings are consistent with the idea that managers implementing safety signaling strategies are more worried about recovery speed after lockdowns. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1723-1747 Issue: 15 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2177596 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2177596 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:15:p:1723-1747 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2301221_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Huiming Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Huiming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Zhen Ma Author-X-Name-First: Zhen Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Siji Qian Author-X-Name-First: Siji Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Title: The market efficiency analysis of China’s copper options based on risk-free arbitrages Abstract: This paper probes into the market efficiency and relevant issues of copper options, the first industrial options product launched in China and currently the only non-ferrous metals option. Since its listing on 21 September 2018, the copper options market, developing on the fast track, has become the largest copper options market in the world, and thus it is of important meaning to study its market efficiency. Taking the data of China’s copper options market from its debut to 30 April 2022 as a sample, this paper studies the efficiency of this market using three typical risk-free arbitrages such as put-call-future parity arbitrage, box spread arbitrage, and boundary arbitrage strategies. To better reflect the actual situation, this paper, when establishing options arbitrage strategy models, not only took into account various actual trading factors such as transaction costs, market impact costs, liquidity costs, margin, and capital opportunity costs but also combined daily and high-frequency data to present highly practical arbitrage strategies. According to empirical results, there are few arbitrage opportunities with a very low proportion when actual trading factors were considered. Overall, no evidence was found to prove that China’s copper options market significantly violates the market efficiency rule. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1834-1862 Issue: 15 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2301221 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2301221 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:15:p:1834-1862 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2177601_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Mingyong Lai Author-X-Name-First: Mingyong Author-X-Name-Last: Lai Author-Name: Jiayu Fang Author-X-Name-First: Jiayu Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Rui Xie Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Xie Title: Does regional innovation policy encourage firm indigenous innovation? Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment of the pilot project of innovative cities in China Abstract: Whether regional innovation policy can stimulate firms’ indigenous innovation is an essential issue of common concern for policymakers and scholars. Treating the pilot project of innovative cities as a quasi-natural experiment and using firm-level data from 2006 to 2013, this paper employs the difference-in-differences method to quantify the influence of innovative cities’ policy on enterprise indigenous innovation. We found that the innovative city pilot policy significantly stimulates firms’ indigenous innovation and this impact is heterogeneous at the industry and firm levels. In terms of industry heterogeneity, the innovative city pilot policy increases the number of patent filings in industries with high capital intensity; in terms of firm heterogeneity, the innovative city pilot policy stimulates the number of patent filings in both large and non-SOE enterprises. This policy mainly promotes high-quality indigenous innovation in firms. The test of the impact mechanism reveals that government subsidy and market competition are critical paths through which innovation city pilot policy influence enterprises’ indigenous innovation activities. The research in this paper reveals the micro effects of regional innovation policy and points out the direction for further promoting innovation city pilot work and formulating regional innovation policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1817-1833 Issue: 15 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2177601 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2177601 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:15:p:1817-1833 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2177599_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Kelvin Mulungu Author-X-Name-First: Kelvin Author-X-Name-Last: Mulungu Author-Name: Mumbi E. Kimani Author-X-Name-First: Mumbi E. Author-X-Name-Last: Kimani Author-Name: Mare Sarr Author-X-Name-First: Mare Author-X-Name-Last: Sarr Title: Do farmers’ risk preferences remain stable in the face of climatic shocks? Evidence from smallholder farmers in Zambia Abstract: Smallholder farmers in Africa are vulnerable to changing climatic conditions because of their dependence on rainfed agriculture. Their adaptation strategies, which are critical for food security, are oftentimes influenced by their risk-taking attitude. This study examines whether experiencing climatic shocks (defined here as drought events) shapes farmers’ risk aversion. The study addresses two crucial questions: 1) how do drought events alter risk preferences among smallholder farmers; and 2) how long does the impact last? Using a panel survey from Zambia and high spatial resolution climate data, we infer the average Arrow-Pratt and downside risk aversion coefficients from the moment of the distribution of crop production. We find that, on average, the sampled farmers are risk averse. Furthermore, farmers who experienced a drought in the previous year become more risk averse, while farmers who experienced recurring droughts within the previous three years become even more risk averse. We also find that the effect of climatic shocks on risk preferences is short term, lasting only one year. These results have implications on adaptation to climate change. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1784-1800 Issue: 15 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2177599 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2177599 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:15:p:1784-1800 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2177597_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Audrey Sallenave Author-X-Name-First: Audrey Author-X-Name-Last: Sallenave Author-Name: Jean-Pierre Allegret Author-X-Name-First: Jean-Pierre Author-X-Name-Last: Allegret Author-Name: Tolga Omay Author-X-Name-First: Tolga Author-X-Name-Last: Omay Title: Can governments sleep more soundly when holding international reserves? A banking and financial vulnerabilities perspective* Abstract: We use a sample of 40 developing and emerging countries over the period 1995–2015 to assess the effectiveness of international reserve holding as a crisis mitigator. We test the relevance of the reserve accumulation decreasing returns assumption by estimating the most recent version of the PSTR model. We find that increasing stocks of international reserves allows domestic authorities to mitigate the negative impacts of financial and banking vulnerabilities on GDP growth rates leading to reject the decreasing returns assumption. This evidence is robust to sensitivity checks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1748-1762 Issue: 15 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2177597 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2177597 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:15:p:1748-1762 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2177598_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Debdatta Pal Author-X-Name-First: Debdatta Author-X-Name-Last: Pal Title: The Distribution of Commodity Futures: A Test of the Generalized Hyperbolic Process Abstract: Using daily closing price data spreading over 3 April 1990, to 5 May 2020, this study explores the skewness and excess kurtosis behaviour across energy, metals, and agricultural commodity futures. Subsequently, it compares the fitting of an empirical distribution under normal distribution assumption with those under the Generalized Hyperbolic distribution. The generalized hyperbolic distribution includes Hyperbolic distribution, Variance-Gamma distribution, and Normal Inverse Gaussian distribution. The results show that the Normal Inverse Gaussian distribution for natural gas, gold, platinum, copper, sugar, and feeder cattle futures captures skewness as well as excess kurtosis of the daily logarithmic returns. The findings are robust to the sub-sample analysis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1763-1783 Issue: 15 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 03 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2177598 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2177598 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:15:p:1763-1783 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2178626_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Sayed Saghaian Author-X-Name-First: Sayed Author-X-Name-Last: Saghaian Author-Name: Michael Reed Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Reed Title: Investigation of export-driving forces and trade potentials of the U.S. bourbon whisky industry Abstract: Bourbon whisky is one of the world’s most popular spirits and is a vital component of U.S. spirits exports. Yet, very limited research has examined the trade patterns of U.S. bourbon whisky. The purposes of this paper lie in (i) filling a void in the literature about the driving forces behind U.S. bourbon whisky exports, especially justifying the impact of geographical indications and trade disputes, and (ii) examining global and regional trade efficiency and trade potential of U.S. bourbon whisky, considering consumer preferences. This study adopts the stochastic frontier gravity model and trade inefficiency model to analyze bourbon trade patterns between the U.S. and its primary bourbon trade partners over 1990–2019. Results reveal that economic size, income level, trade facilitation, common language and the weighted share of adults who drink in the importing country are important factors in boosting bourbon trade flows. As expected, U.S. bourbon’s geographical indication is playing a significant role in boosting bourbon exports. Trade disputes between the U.S. and its trading partners are found to have significantly negative impacts on U.S. bourbon exports. Our research also reveals that U.S. bourbon whisky has great potential to reach markets throughout the world, particularly in Europe, North America and Oceania. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1950-1970 Issue: 16 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2178626 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2178626 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:16:p:1950-1970 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2311064_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Aleksandr Grigoryan Author-X-Name-First: Aleksandr Author-X-Name-Last: Grigoryan Author-Name: Knar Khachatryan Author-X-Name-First: Knar Author-X-Name-Last: Khachatryan Author-Name: Pundarik Mukhopadhaya Author-X-Name-First: Pundarik Author-X-Name-Last: Mukhopadhaya Title: Effectiveness of the main national pro-poor targeted program in Armenia: evidence from the period 2004–2018 Abstract: Using the Armenian Household Survey data for 2004–2018 this study explores the causal effect of family benefits, the country’s main poverty targeted program, on multidimensional and monetary poverty. We find that only 40% of the total fund of this targeted program reaches the severe multidimensional poor households. Our regression estimation based on bias-corrected dynamic panel data models reveals that an increase in the proportion of households receiving family benefits mostly results in a decrease in the incidence of severe multidimensional poverty. However, it has no significant effect on moderately poor households and those who are vulnerable to poverty. This program significantly benefits only those households who are poor in terms of their health expenditure. We further observe that the impact of these benefits is significant on extreme monetary poor but the effect is inconclusive on those who live below the national upper poverty line. Our findings suggest that in the current development stage of the country the targeted poverty programs should focus on enhancing capabilities and human capital development. Also, to address the social assistance coverage gap, the government needs to enhance incentive mechanisms for the main actors in the social protection system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1971-1989 Issue: 16 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2024.2311064 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2024.2311064 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:16:p:1971-1989 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2177603_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Sheng Yao Author-X-Name-First: Sheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yao Author-Name: Wei-Wei Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Wei-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Linyan Fan Author-X-Name-First: Linyan Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Title: Mixed-gender analyst team and accuracy of earnings forecast: evidence from China Abstract: We examine the effect of analyst teams’ gender diversity on the accuracy of their earnings forecasts. We find that, compared with single-gender analyst teams, mixed-gender analyst teams generate more accurate earnings forecasts and have less optimism bias. The desirable effect of mixed-gender analyst teams on the accuracy of earnings forecasts is more significant in the highly educated or experienced analyst teams, in smaller brokerages with fewer star analysts, and in firms audited by non-Big -Four accounting firms or with less analyst coverage. Further studies find that, female analysts who work in teams produce more accurate earnings forecasts than they work individually. In addition, when a single-gender analyst team transforms into a mixed-gender analyst team, its reports have more accuracy and less optimism bias than before, and vice versa. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1885-1898 Issue: 16 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2177603 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2177603 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:16:p:1885-1898 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2177604_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Veasna Kheng Author-X-Name-First: Veasna Author-X-Name-Last: Kheng Author-Name: Justin Mckinley Author-X-Name-First: Justin Author-X-Name-Last: Mckinley Author-Name: Lei Pan Author-X-Name-First: Lei Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Title: The decline of labour share in OECD and non-OECD since the 1980s Abstract: This paper examines the causes of falling labour share in OECD and non-OECD countries since the 1980s by using Karabarbounis and Neiman’s (2014) labour share model. While both groups of countries experience an elasticity of substitution between capital and labour, the factors driving down labour share are different. In OECD countries, export and volatility are key drivers, but in non-OECD countries, the significant factors are financial openness and the capital’s relative price. Overall, technological advancement – as reflected by declining capital’s relative price – coupled with globalization and low economic risk are key factors in explaining a long-term decline of labour share worldwide. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1899-1915 Issue: 16 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2177604 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2177604 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:16:p:1899-1915 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2177602_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Gianni Carvelli Author-X-Name-First: Gianni Author-X-Name-Last: Carvelli Title: Exogenous variations in public debt and the private output: addressing country heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence in a large panel Abstract: Using projections from the IMF’s World Economic Outlook (WEO) database, we explore the links between public debt and the private sector by estimating the response of private output to debt shocks – defined as debt forecast errors. We address several econometric issues through a flexible dynamic panel framework that accommodates slope heterogeneity of the coefficients and cross-sectional dependence. The overall results suggest that positive shocks in public debt are detrimental to the dynamics of private output. Nevertheless, the effect becomes neutral if countries have followed a pattern of fiscal consolidation over the previous five years. The estimates at individual-level are consistent with the general findings, except for a small group of countries. For instance, a positive and significant effect of debt emerges only for one advanced country and seven emerging economies. Although high levels of indebtedness are associated with a rapid decline in the debt coefficients, a nonlinear effect in the form of a Laffer-type curve appears to be unlikely. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1863-1884 Issue: 16 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2177602 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2177602 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:16:p:1863-1884 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2178625_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Robert J. Brent Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: FDA-approved medications for dementia are unlike non-pharmacological interventions as they are counterproductive Abstract: Recently, a number of non-pharmacological interventions for dementia symptoms were evaluated using cost–benefit analysis (CBA) and found to be both effective and socially worthwhile. What is missing is a comparison of evaluations for these interventions with pharmaceutical interventions approved by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to see which interventions should be given priority in public expenditure budgets aiming to reduce dementia symptoms. This paper fills this knowledge gap by carrying out a CBA of FDA-approved medications using a large national data set provided by the National Alzheimer’s Coordinating Center (NACC). We find that the pharmaceutical medications were actually counterproductive, and therefore social welfare would be substantially improved by not investing in these medications. This therefore means that non-pharmaceutical interventions should be given higher priority at this time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1935-1949 Issue: 16 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2178625 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2178625 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:16:p:1935-1949 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2178624_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20231214T103247 git hash: d7a2cb0857 Author-Name: Sebastian A. Gehricke Author-X-Name-First: Sebastian A. Author-X-Name-Last: Gehricke Author-Name: Xinfeng Ruan Author-X-Name-First: Xinfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Ruan Author-Name: Jin E. Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Jin E. Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Doing well while doing good: ESG ratings and corporate bond returns Abstract: The relationship between ESG performance and equity returns has become a popular area of research, but the same is not yet the case for bond returns. In this paper, we explore whether incorporating ESG factors, beyond emissions into the bond portfolio investment process leads to under or out performance. We find that ESG investing in bond portfolios does not lead to over or under performance. In other words, you do not have to ‘pay to do good’. Further, in the period since the Paris agreement, Energy sector bond portfolio returns are positively related to ESG factors. This finding aligns with the theoretical prediction of Pedersen, Fitzgibbons, and Pomorski (2020), namely, that the ESG-return relationship should become positive as investors become more aware of ESG risks and opportunities. Overall, we show that Bond investors can ‘do well while doing good’. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1916-1934 Issue: 16 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2178624 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2178624 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:16:p:1916-1934 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2305610_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Hangsuck Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hangsuck Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Doojin Ryu Author-X-Name-First: Doojin Author-X-Name-Last: Ryu Author-Name: Jihoon Son Author-X-Name-First: Jihoon Author-X-Name-Last: Son Title: Life-cycle decisions and general equilibrium in the heterogeneous-agent OLG economy Abstract: This study develops a life-cycle model to predict an overlapping generations economy with heterogeneous agents. In our proposed model, ex-ante heterogeneity includes the work probability, survival rate, subjective discount rate, and intertemporal elasticity of substitution. We observe differences in financial decisions and asset accumulation among heterogeneous agents and calculate equilibrium values of aggregate economic variables, such as consumption and capital. For the numerical analyses, we classify the population into four groups based on labour productivity and gender, and investigate the life-cycle behaviours of heterogeneous agents. Retirees in the male group with low labour productivity and low remaining life expectancy have the highest propensity to consume and the highest consumption elasticity for retirement shock compared to other retirees. Workers with relatively high labour productivity have lower risk adjustment factors, indicating that they are less concerned about retirement risk than less productive workers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2089-2108 Issue: 17 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2024.2305610 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2024.2305610 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:17:p:2089-2108 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2178630_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Mahama Samir Bandaogo Author-X-Name-First: Mahama Samir Author-X-Name-Last: Bandaogo Author-Name: Emmanuel K.K. Lartey Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel K.K. Author-X-Name-Last: Lartey Title: Duration of fixed exchange rate regimes: the role of central bank independence Abstract: Using a comprehensive dataset, this paper estimates a hazard model to examine whether central bank independence matters for the sustainability of fixed exchange rate regimes. The findings suggest that fixed exchange rate regimes are more likely to have a longer duration under more independent central banks; a result that holds true whether an exit from such a regime is orderly or disorderly. Thus, a more independent central bank is more likely to facilitate a more durable fixed exchange rate regime. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2025-2038 Issue: 17 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2178630 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2178630 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:17:p:2025-2038 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2178628_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Fidele Eric Sessou Author-X-Name-First: Fidele Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Sessou Author-Name: Christian H.C.A. Henning Author-X-Name-First: Christian H.C.A. Author-X-Name-Last: Henning Title: Conflict and farm inputs investment : can social safety nets have any mitigation effect? Abstract: This paper examines the impact of armed conflict on the tendency and value of investments in farm inputs. We further investigate whether unconditional cash transfers could stimulate investments in inputs under the context of armed conflict. Using panel data collected in 2014 and 2016 in Mali, we combine the control function approach with the correlated random effect model to address the time-invariant unobserved heterogeneity in non-linear context and the endogeneity problem of conflict variable. We take advantage of the randomized rollout of a national cash transfer program to investigate if there is any differential impact on farm inputs. We find that conflict has a negative and statistically significant impact on the tendency to use and the value of investments on fertilizers, pesticides and machinery. Interestingly, we find a statistically insignificant impact of the cash transfers on farm input investments. From a policy perspective, productive capacities of households cannot be restored by the cash transfers. Rather, a recovery of markets’ operations through the re-establishment of security is a more effective policy measure to increase investments in farm inputs. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 1991-2007 Issue: 17 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2178628 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2178628 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:17:p:1991-2007 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2178632_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Julián P. Díaz Author-X-Name-First: Julián P. Author-X-Name-Last: Díaz Title: Does dollarization promote trade? Evidence from two recent episodes Abstract: We quantify the trade-promotion effects of sharing a common currency by examining two recent episodes of official dollarization. To establish causal relationships, while avoiding the methodological criticisms of the previous literature on the issue (endogeneity and heteroskedasticity), we employ a differences-in-differences strategy that compares the pre- and post-dollarization trade flows between the United States and the two dollarizers (Ecuador and El Salvador) with the trade flows between the United States and the dollarizers’ neighbours. We find that the adoption of the dollar did not bring about any significant positive trade effects. Using product-level data we find that, while a few sectors saw positive increases, those instances are scattered and not the norm. Dollarization did not lead to increases in trade of previously non-traded goods either. Finally, we do not find any trade-promotion effects between Ecuador or El Salvador and the other dollarized country in the region (Panama) or between the newly dollarized countries themselves. These findings remain valid after we perform a battery of robustness tests, including PPML estimation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2058-2076 Issue: 17 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2178632 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2178632 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:17:p:2058-2076 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2178629_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Mariam Djelassi Author-X-Name-First: Mariam Author-X-Name-Last: Djelassi Title: Training services and repayment performance of micro-borrowers in Tunisia Abstract: This paper aims to empirically assess the effectiveness of training services on borrowers’ repayment performance in a leading microfinance institution in Tunisia. The two training services analysed are financial education and entrepreneurial coaching. Financial education as basic capital management training does not impact repayment performance. On the other hand, coaching programs to strengthen the technical, managerial, and marketing skills of microentrepreneurs significantly improve repayment performance. These results are obtained through an ordered probit model with endogenous treatment accounting for selection bias and endogeneity problems arising from unobservable factors that influence both the use of training services and repayment quality. These results remain significant after restructuring the sample into more homogeneous borrowers’ groups and confirm the hypotheses of the human capital theory. The determinants of training services are also explored. The findings confirm the importance of integrated microfinance strategies, especially in remote rural areas. Combining microcredit with coaching will empower the poor to foster their entrepreneurial skills, productivity, and thus their repayment ability. This study sheds more light on how microfinance institutions can improve their programs in developing countries, which often suffer from a lack of technical and vocational training, the main handicap for transitioning young people to the labour market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2008-2024 Issue: 17 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2178629 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2178629 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:17:p:2008-2024 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2178633_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Kamil Kladívko Author-X-Name-First: Kamil Author-X-Name-Last: Kladívko Author-Name: Pär Österholm Author-X-Name-First: Pär Author-X-Name-Last: Österholm Title: Analysts versus the random walk in financial forecasting: evidence from the Czech National Bank’s Financial Market Inflation Expectations survey Abstract: We analyse how financial market analysts’ expectations in the Czech National Bank’s Financial Market Inflation Expectations survey perform relative to the random-walk forecast when it comes to predicting five financial variables. Using data from 2001 to 2022, our results indicate that the analysts are able to significantly outperform the random-walk forecast in terms of forecast precision for the repo rate and Prague Interbank Offered Rate at the one-month forecasting horizon. For the five- and ten-year interest rate swap rates, the random walk significantly outperforms the analysts at both the one-month and one-year forecasting horizons. For the CZK/EUR exchange rate, the random-walk forecast has a lower root mean squared forecast error than that of the analysts’ forecast at the one-month horizon whereas at the one-year horizon the opposite is found; however, none of these differences are statistically significant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2077-2088 Issue: 17 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2178633 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2178633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:17:p:2077-2088 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2178631_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Can Tang Author-X-Name-First: Can Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Author-Name: Liqiu Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Liqiu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Title: Gender Social Norms and Gender Gap in Math: Evidence and Mechanisms Abstract: In this paper, we explore the roles of gender social norms in explaining the gender gap in maths test scores across the entire distribution. Applying generalized quantile regression models, we show that gender-equal cultural norms eliminate the gender gap in maths scores at the top of the distribution. Moreover, this effect is concentrated among students in the higher grade level. An investigation of the underlying mechanisms shows that girls from more gender-equal regions are less likely to hold maths-specific stereotypes and are likely to receive more attention from maths teachers. Additionally, girls from more gender-equal regions tend to perceive that parents have higher educational aspirations for them and are more confident about their future. Our paper provides compelling evidence that policy initiatives aiming at fostering egalitarian gender norms could serve as powerful tools to alleviate the gender gap in maths at the top of the distribution. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2039-2057 Issue: 17 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2178631 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2178631 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:17:p:2039-2057 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2182407_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Peiran Li Author-X-Name-First: Peiran Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xianghui Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Xianghui Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Author-Name: Liwei Jin Author-X-Name-First: Liwei Author-X-Name-Last: Jin Title: National team intervention and price efficiency differentiation under the impact of COVID-19 Abstract: This paper examines how the ‘national team’, a direct government investment policy, influences the price efficiency of listed companies in the Shanghai Stock Index (SSE). We find that stocks directly invested in by the national team show greater price efficiency than stocks without direct bailout. We also analyse the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on this price efficiency differentiation. The data period is divided into two sub-periods, and the results show that the price efficiency of stocks decreased after COVID-19. The reduction in price efficiency is more notable for stocks with direct government investment; the difference observed under national team investment in price efficiency is clearly reduced. Increased pessimistic investor expectations due to the pandemic could explain these changes. Our study provides novel evidence for the policy evaluation of national team intervention and a more detailed explanation about the decrease in financial market efficiency in the post-COVID-19 era. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2129-2141 Issue: 18 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2182407 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2182407 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:18:p:2129-2141 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2186360_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Gayathri Giri Author-X-Name-First: Gayathri Author-X-Name-Last: Giri Author-Name: K.S. Nivedhitha Author-X-Name-First: K.S. Author-X-Name-Last: Nivedhitha Author-Name: Hansa Lysander Manohar Author-X-Name-First: Hansa Lysander Author-X-Name-Last: Manohar Title: Can blockchain enabled green bond issuance lead to intent to invest? A moderated mediation model Abstract: While financial literacy supports enhanced investment decisions, the study of blockchain enabled green bond issuance and its influence on intent to invest has not been investigated to date. To address this research gap, the present study developed a moderated mediation model, based on planned behaviour theory, and organizational information processing theory. This model describes the influence of blockchain enabled green bond issuance on the intent to invest via perceived behavioural control, conditioned by the moderating role of financial literacy. 304 responses were collected to test the hypothesized relationship. The results revealed that perceived behavioural control partially mediates the relationship between blockchain enabled green bond issuance and the intent to invest. Besides, the effect of mediation was discovered to be substantial at higher levels of financial literacy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2191-2208 Issue: 18 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2186360 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2186360 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:18:p:2191-2208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2182406_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Author-Name: Richard Bowen Author-X-Name-First: Richard Author-X-Name-Last: Bowen Title: Score-driven cryptocurrency and equity portfolios Abstract: This paper discusses whether the Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), which tracks the value of Bitcoin, improves equity portfolios, by using a robust portfolio performance analysis. The equity portfolio is represented by an ETF that tracks the Standard & Poor’s 500. We use data from a turbulent investment period within the coronavirus pandemic, to study the diversification benefits of Bitcoin. We compare the performances of diverse portfolios composed of both ETFs, which include 40 classical dynamic volatility model-based portfolios and 900 score-driven portfolios. For the score-driven portfolios, the dynamic association is modelled by score-driven Clayton, rotated Clayton, Gumbel, rotated Gumbel and Student’s t copulas. We compare portfolio strategies using the model confidence set test. We find that score-driven portfolios outperform classical volatility model-based portfolios and the equity portfolio. Our results may provide suggestions for cryptocurrency investors on portfolio optimization and may also have policy implications for regulators and policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2109-2128 Issue: 18 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2182406 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2182406 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:18:p:2109-2128 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2184461_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Govinda Timilsina Author-X-Name-First: Govinda Author-X-Name-Last: Timilsina Author-Name: David I. Stern Author-X-Name-First: David I. Author-X-Name-Last: Stern Author-Name: Debasish K. Das Author-X-Name-First: Debasish K. Author-X-Name-Last: Das Title: Physical infrastructure and economic growth Abstract: The existing literature on the relationship between infrastructure and economic growth is inconclusive. We estimate the effect on GDP of three main categories of infrastructure – transport, electricity, and telecommunications – using data from 87 countries over the period 1992–2017. This study uses more recent data than previous research and includes new types of infrastructure such as mobile phones. Our main estimates use the PMG estimator that allows us to test for the weak exogeneity of the infrastructure variables. The key finding of the study is that an increase in infrastructure, especially electricity generation capacity and telecommunications, has large long-run positive effects on GDP, though the short-run effects are much smaller and are less than zero for roads and railways. Also, the effects of electricity and communication infrastructure are higher relative to the effects of transport infrastructure in developing economies than in industrialized economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2142-2157 Issue: 18 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2184461 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2184461 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:18:p:2142-2157 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2186356_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Tao Ren Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Xiaotan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Xiaotan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: Dose China’s overcapacity-cutting campaign take effect as intended? Evidence from listed manufacturing companies Abstract: China has implemented overcapacity-cutting actions in the past few years, and this article focuses on the policy effects on the capacity utilization of firms in manufacturing industries. Based on the data from listed firms, this study measures the firm-level capacity utilization in 2011–2020 using a cost function method in translog form. And on this basis, using a difference-in-differences model, the policy effects are empirically verified. Our results suggest that the implementation of the policy from 2016 relatively increased the capacity utilization of firms in targeted industries with serious overcapacity, and the positive impact continues during the 13th Five-Year Plan period. Further, for firms in the steel industry, we find that their capacity utilization was affected more strongly and more persistently since 2016. We see these findings indicate that China’s overcapacity-cutting policy has not only eliminated a large amount of outdated excess capacity but also improved the efficiency of resource utilization for the remaining companies in the target industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2176-2190 Issue: 18 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2186356 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2186356 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:18:p:2176-2190 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2277693_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yue Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yue Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Rong Luo Author-X-Name-First: Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Luo Title: Environmental regulation and outward foreign direct investment: evidence from Chinese firms’ overseas mergers and acquisitions Abstract: While the literature shows that stricter environmental regulations deter exports and inward foreign direct investment (FDI), few studies examine the impacts on outward FDI, especially for developing countries. In this paper, we analyse this issue in the context of China, which is the largest developing country in terms of FDI. We collect the transaction-level data of all the overseas mergers and acquisitions (M&As) by Chinese firms from 2000 to 2019. For the identification of the causal effect, we exploit the implementation of the Environmental Protection Law in 2015 as a quasi-natural experiment and carry out the difference-in-difference-in-differences analysis (DDD). The results show significant impacts of stricter environmental regulations on outward FDI. When the provincial emission reduction target increases by 10% points, the number of overseas M&A transactions in the high-polluting industries has increased by 32 every year since 2015. Moreover, the investments are more likely towards countries with better environmental protection. This suggests that firms aim at gaining cleaner technologies via M&As rather than transferring pollution abroad. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2209-2222 Issue: 18 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2277693 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2277693 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:18:p:2209-2222 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2186355_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Mónica Domínguez Author-X-Name-First: Mónica Author-X-Name-Last: Domínguez Author-Name: Juan Aparicio Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: Aparicio Author-Name: Antonio Fonfria Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Fonfria Title: The defence economy: an assessment of productivity change in NATO countries Abstract: The main purpose of this paper is to find the determinants of productivity growth and its evolution over time for 27 North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) countries over the period 2010–2017, with respect to the Global Peace Index. To this end, a production function was estimated for each year using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) methodology while the components of efficiency change, technical change, scale efficiency change and productivity change were calculated using the Malmquist Index for determining the change in productivity over time. According to the results obtained, the countries show a variation in productivity with a rising trend of 2%; Albania, Belgium, Croatia, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Greece, Montenegro, Slovenia, Norway and the United Kingdom being the countries where the rise was more intense. Moreover, relative productivity fell in 11 other countries in the period under review. In particular, with regard to efficiency change, the countries improved on average by 0.2%, with Portugal showing the greatest rise and France the smallest. Regarding technical change, it rose on average by 5.2%. Finally, scale efficiency fell on average by 3.3%, with Romania being the most disadvantaged and Portugal the most favoured. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2158-2175 Issue: 18 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2186355 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2186355 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:18:p:2158-2175 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2186364_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Shweta Bahl Author-X-Name-First: Shweta Author-X-Name-Last: Bahl Author-Name: Ajay Sharma Author-X-Name-First: Ajay Author-X-Name-Last: Sharma Title: Informality, education-occupation mismatch, and wages: evidence from India Abstract: This article examines the intertwining relationship between informality and education-occupation mismatch (EOM) and the consequent impact on the workers’ wages. In particular, we discuss two issues — first, the relative importance of informality and EOM in determining wages; and second, the relevance of EOM for formal and informal workers. The analysis reveals that although both informality and EOM are significant determinants of wages, the former is more crucial for a developing country like India. Further, we find that EOM is one of the crucial determinants of wages for formal workers, but it is not critical for informal workers. The study highlights the need for considering the bifurcation of formal-informal workers to understand the complete dynamics of EOM especially for developing countries where informality is predominant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2260-2294 Issue: 19 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2186364 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2186364 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:19:p:2260-2294 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2186365_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Sílvia Carneiro Author-X-Name-First: Sílvia Author-X-Name-Last: Carneiro Author-Name: Pedro Cunha Neves Author-X-Name-First: Pedro Cunha Author-X-Name-Last: Neves Author-Name: Oscar Afonso Author-X-Name-First: Oscar Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Elena Sochirca Author-X-Name-First: Elena Author-X-Name-Last: Sochirca Title: Meta-analysis: global value chains and employment Abstract: For most of the past half-century, a significant number of companies have carried out a process of transformation of production chains by offshoring parts, components, or services to other countries. The integration of most economies into global value chains (GVCs) has triggered important impacts on several dimensions of the labour markets. In view of the divergent results reported by the related literature, we conduct a meta-analysis on the effects of GVCs on employment. We find that although the average impact is not statistically different from zero, the impact of GVCs on employment differs significantly according to the countries’ development level, the degree of workers’ qualifications, the types of sectors that are considered, the unit of analysis, and the indicators used to measure GVCs and employment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2295-2314 Issue: 19 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2186365 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2186365 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:19:p:2295-2314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2186368_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Abraham Agyemang Author-X-Name-First: Abraham Author-X-Name-Last: Agyemang Author-Name: Faruk Balli Author-X-Name-First: Faruk Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Author-Name: Russell Gregory-Allen Author-X-Name-First: Russell Author-X-Name-Last: Gregory-Allen Author-Name: Hatice Ozer Balli Author-X-Name-First: Hatice Ozer Author-X-Name-Last: Balli Title: Cross-listing flows under uncertainty: an international perspective Abstract: The impact of policy uncertainty on corporate decisions and strategies continues to receive significant interest in recent discussions. As a contribution, this study examines how economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in the domestic and global markets impacts corporate cross-listing decisions. To this end, we employ firm and country-level data from 1990 to 2016 from 13 countries. We implement a Granger Causality, Quantile on Quantile Regression (QQR), and Wavelet Coherence approaches and show that monthly local and global EPU influence the cross-listing decisions of firms, with stronger influence for firms from smaller domestic markets. We suggest that firms from smaller domestic markets seek more cross-listing in the face of high local EPU and reduce or avoid cross-listing during high global EPU periods. Our findings suggest that policy transparency could have important implications for current and future corporate decisions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2357-2374 Issue: 19 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2186368 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2186368 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:19:p:2357-2374 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2186361_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yoshihiro Hamaguchi Author-X-Name-First: Yoshihiro Author-X-Name-Last: Hamaguchi Title: Pollution havens and agglomeration: The effect of globalization and technological spillover Abstract: The statistical significance of the pollution haven hypothesis remains low. This suggests that some elements may have been overlooked in hypothesis testing. Here, pollution havens due to trade liberalization may depend on the degree of technological spillover. This spillover affects the industrial concentration of polluting firms. Using an agglomeration model with technological spillover, we analysed the effect of transport costs on pollution havens to clarify this relationship. Interactions between an international emission permit trading market and local spillover in innovation bring about the following multiple equilibria: the poverty trap equilibrium leads to similar results in the case of global spillover, where lower transport costs encourage economic growth in addition to relocation from the South to the North. By contrast, equilibrium with a higher concentration of firms leads to the pollution havens hypothesis because decreased transport costs prompt polluting firms to relocate to South with relatively small markets due to the home market effect, leading to lower economic growth. Our findings imply that the type of spillover in innovation (local or global) determines the pollution haven hypothesis. In a global economy, narrowing the North-South technology gap could contribute to eliminating pollution havens. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2223-2240 Issue: 19 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2186361 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2186361 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:19:p:2223-2240 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2186362_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Hiroshi Fujiki Author-X-Name-First: Hiroshi Author-X-Name-Last: Fujiki Title: Central bank digital currency, crypto assets, and cash demand: evidence from Japan Abstract: This study surveyed people’s knowledge and use of central bank digital currency (CBDC), crypto asset ownership, and cash demand in Japan. While 4% of the respondents understand CBDC, 10% are willing to use CBDC when available. The demographic characteristics of respondents who understand CBDC are similar to those of crypto asset owners. Average cash demand for day-to-day payment purposes by crypto asset owners is slightly lower than that by nonowners. If CBDC users had similar cash demand to that of crypto asset owners, the introduction of CBDC with attributes similar to crypto assets would not substantially reduce cash demand for day-to-day payment purposes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2241-2259 Issue: 19 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2186362 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2186362 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:19:p:2241-2259 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2186366_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Stavroula P. Fameliti Author-X-Name-First: Stavroula P. Author-X-Name-Last: Fameliti Author-Name: Vasiliki D. Skintzi Author-X-Name-First: Vasiliki D. Author-X-Name-Last: Skintzi Title: Uncertainty indices and stock market volatility predictability during the global pandemic: evidence from G7 countries Abstract: This article attempts to examine the predictability of a significant number of uncertainty indices for the G7 stock market volatility based on a Heterogeneous AutoRegressive Realized Volatility (HARRV) model and a combination forecast framework during the global pandemic COVID-19. We include in our analysis the Infectious Disease Equity Market Volatility (IDEMV), the VIX, the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU), the Equity Market Volatility (EMV), the Geopolitical risk (GPR) as well as the crude oil futures’ realized volatility. Out-of-sample evidence shows that models incorporating all uncertainty indices improve forecasting performance for most stock markets’ volatility during a long out-of-sample period and also during the coronavirus period. The results are robust using an alternative volatility model, an alternative realized measure and a recursive window analysis. The predictability of the uncertainty indices is also evaluated through risk management and portfolio loss functions and results suggest that the LASSO combination and a HARRV model including all indices are the most profitable for all stock markets during the global pandemic. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2315-2336 Issue: 19 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2186366 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2186366 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:19:p:2315-2336 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2186367_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Hongshan Ai Author-X-Name-First: Hongshan Author-X-Name-Last: Ai Author-Name: Zhengqing Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Zhengqing Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Ying Yan Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Yan Title: The impact of Smart city construction on labour spatial allocation: Evidence from China Abstract: Recently, the prevalence of information technology represented by ChatGPT has aroused extensive discussions. Does the adoption of information technology lead to massive regional unemployment? It is a crucial and unresolved issue for the government, enterprise employees, and researchers. Combining the 2005–2020 panel and the smart city (SC) construction policy in China, this article employs the difference in differences (DID) method to study the impact of informatization construction on labour spatial allocation. We found that informatization construction significantly attracted labour and improved labour spatial allocation. After the SC construction policy’s implementation, compared with non-SCs, the average increase of SC pilots in the labour force is about 0.78 million people. Besides, stimulating economic growth, improving the environment, and enhancing public services are the mechanisms of the SC construction policy on labour spatial allocation. Furthermore, this policy effect has heterogeneous industry department and category characteristics. The Tertiary and secondary industry department receives a more significant impact. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2337-2356 Issue: 19 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2186367 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2186367 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:19:p:2337-2356 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2186369_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Olivier Beaumais Author-X-Name-First: Olivier Author-X-Name-Last: Beaumais Author-Name: Mireille Chiroleu-Assouline Author-X-Name-First: Mireille Author-X-Name-Last: Chiroleu-Assouline Title: Unaware corporate social responsibility: impact of firm size, motivations and external pressures Abstract: We explore differences in firms’ attitudes towards corporate social responsibility (CSR). Using a unique dataset covering 8,857 French firms, collected by the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE), we identify firms conducting conscious CSR and others with effective but unaware CSR activities. We then construct three CSR pillar scores for each firm, using Mokken scale analysis, a form of non-parametric item response analysis. The CSR scores, along with responses to specific questions, allow us to characterize firms that implement conscious or unaware CSR. We then estimate simple probit and count data models to show that a significant share of firms are in fact actually engaged in unaware CSR, with no monotonic size effect. Cooperation with external actors such as NGOs mitigates the effect of firm size on the likelihood of conducting unaware CSR, while the effect of NGO campaigns against large firms is mainly to increase the environmental score of small firms in the same industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2386-2406 Issue: 20 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2186369 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2186369 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:20:p:2386-2406 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2187038_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Bizhe Wang Author-X-Name-First: Bizhe Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yujie Liu Author-X-Name-First: Yujie Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Calculating regional innovation efficiency and factor allocation in China: the price signal perspective Abstract: Based on the improved HK model, we use data on Chinese listed companies and incopat invention patents from 2015 to 2020 to estimate the monetary value of invention patents in terms of price signals. We also measure innovation efficiency and resource allocation at the regional level. The results indicate that the average value of each invention patent is 837 900 yuan, with an average value for each enterprise of 23.86 million yuan. Regionally, the eastern region has the highest innovation efficiency, which is 3 and 3.42 times that of the central and western region, respectively. Further, we calculate the results by province and industry and divide them into three types: seeking progress in stability, accelerating catch-up and structural adjustment according to the innovation characteristics, and put forward targeted development plans for different types of province and industry. Finally, we explore the factors influencing innovation efficiency and resource allocation of enterprises in different regions from the aspect of innovation policy and enterprise characteristics. We find that government subsidies can promote the innovation ability of inland enterprises, and enterprises with certain scale and long survival times may have stronger innovation ability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2451-2469 Issue: 20 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2187038 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2187038 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:20:p:2451-2469 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2187037_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Juan He Author-X-Name-First: Juan Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Xiaodong Du Author-X-Name-First: Xiaodong Author-X-Name-Last: Du Author-Name: Wei Tu Author-X-Name-First: Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Tu Title: Can corporate digital transformation alleviate financing constraints? Abstract: Financing constraints present a significant challenge for enterprises. Given China’s push for the integration of digital technology and the real economy, it is crucial to examine the impact of corporate digital transformation on financing. Using data from Chinese A-share listed companies from 2010 to 2019, we construct the digital transformation indicator employing a machine learning approach and find that corporate digital transformation can significantly alleviate financing constraints. The mechanism analysis shows that digital transformation improves corporate financing by reducing information asymmetry and transaction costs on both sides of financing and enhancing corporate performance. Combined with the mechanism analysis, we reveal that digital transformation has a significant effect on the alleviation of financing constraints among firms with private ownership, higher levels of interaction with investors, more developed financial environments and more intermediaries marketed in their locations, higher proportions of highly skilled workers, and better matching of digital technologies used for transformation. We explore micro-level measurement methods of corporate digital transformation, contributes to the literature on the economic consequences of digital transformation, and enriches the research on enterprise responses to financing constraints. The findings have important implications for promoting corporate digital transformation practices and for understanding coping strategies of different firms. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2434-2450 Issue: 20 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2187037 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2187037 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:20:p:2434-2450 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2182405_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Eun Jung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Eun Jung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Yu Kyung Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yu Kyung Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Ryumi Kim Author-X-Name-First: Ryumi Author-X-Name-Last: Kim Title: Profitability and herding of trade-based pump-and-dump manipulation Abstract: We use the Korea Stock Exchange’s complete intraday order and trade data in a dataset that identifies individual accounts to examine whether trade-based pump-and-dump manipulators can trade profitably and whether other investors herd after the manipulation. The results show that other investors place more buy orders on stocks with higher manipulative buying volume and that more new investors buy such stocks. We also find that the trade-based pump-and-dump manipulation is profitable on average, both gross and net of transaction costs. Manipulators who have higher trading volume, more experience with manipulation, and less frequent transactions are likely to achieve larger profits. We also find that this type of manipulation is far more pervasive in the emerging market. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2375-2385 Issue: 20 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2182405 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2182405 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:20:p:2375-2385 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2186370_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Ling-Yun He Author-X-Name-First: Ling-Yun Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Kai Dang Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Dang Title: RTAs and firm energy-related carbon emissions: from the perspective of trade creation and trade diversion in intermediates import Abstract: Regional trade agreements (RTAs) are playing an increasingly crucial role in the current international trade pattern of ebbing globalization, making it increasingly important to comprehensively analyse RTAs’ impacts. Trade creation and trade diversion have been hot-button topics on RTAs since Jacob Viner raised, many scholars had conducted extensive research on their economic impacts, but little is known about their environmental impacts. In this paper, we take the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area (CAFTA) as an example, comprehensively consider the tariff, geographic and temporal dimensions of trade to characterize the proxy variables that identify the two effects. Based on data of Chinese enterprises from 2002 to 2007, we empirically tests the impact of the trade effects on energy-related carbon emissions of enterprises from a fixed-effects panel model. Research finds the trade creation effect increases enterprises’ $${\rm{C}}{{\rm{O}}_2}$$CO2 emissions intensity, whereas the trade diversion effect reduces and is more influential. Further mechanism analyses show coal use status of enterprises, especially coal consumption, utilization intensity, and share in primary energy consumption are important influence channels. Additionally, the scale and factors composition of production and technical efficiency are also important mechanisms. Furthermore, enterprises in different regions and of different ownership types show heterogeneity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2407-2421 Issue: 20 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2186370 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2186370 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:20:p:2407-2421 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2187039_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Rajeev K. Goel Author-X-Name-First: Rajeev K. Author-X-Name-Last: Goel Author-Name: Ummad Mazhar Author-X-Name-First: Ummad Author-X-Name-Last: Mazhar Title: Are the informal economy and cryptocurrency substitutes or complements? Abstract: This research considers a new dimension of the effects of the underground sector by examining the spillovers on cryptocurrency holdings. Cryptocurrencies offer a relatively greater ability to dodge taxes and ensure the anonymity of holders, providing attractive avenues for underground operators to stash their informal-sector earnings. Our results, based on data from more than 50 nations, show that a greater prevalence of the underground economy in a nation is indeed associated with greater cryptocurrency holdings. This result holds across an alternative measure of the shadow economy, and when the bi-directional causality between the shadow economy and cryptocurrency holdings is considered. In other noteworthy findings, greater FDI crowded out cryptocurrency holdings, while greater financial globalization and greater economic uncertainty, ceteris paribus, increased them. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2470-2481 Issue: 20 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2187039 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2187039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:20:p:2470-2481 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2186371_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Guglielmo Maria Caporale Author-X-Name-First: Guglielmo Maria Author-X-Name-Last: Caporale Author-Name: Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana Author-X-Name-First: Luis Alberiko Author-X-Name-Last: Gil-Alana Title: Persistence and long memory in monetary policy spreads Abstract: The overnight money market rate is a key monetary policy tool. In recent years, central banks worldwide have developed new monetary policy strategies aimed at keeping its deviations from the policy rate small and short-lived. This paper describes the main instruments used for this purpose by the US Fed, the ECB and the BoE and also their policy responses to the Great Financial Crisis (GFC). Fractional integration and long-memory methods are then applied to investigate how those affected the persistence of policy spreads (i.e. the difference between overnight rates and policy rates) during different sub-periods. It is found that this increased sharply during the GFC but has fallen back in recent years. In the case of the ECB the introduction of the new €-STR benchmark in particular appears to have made monetary policy more effective. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2422-2433 Issue: 20 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 04 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2186371 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2186371 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:20:p:2422-2433 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2188167_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jiangxue Wen Author-X-Name-First: Jiangxue Author-X-Name-Last: Wen Author-Name: Zongbing Deng Author-X-Name-First: Zongbing Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Title: Internet development, resource allocation and total factor productivity: Empirical evidence from China’s listed manufacturing enterprises Abstract: Since the beginning of the 21st century, the new generation of information technology represented by the Internet has swept the world, driving a new round of scientific and technological revolution as well as industrial transformation. In this context, an in-depth discussion of the relationship between Internet development and Total Factor Productivity (TFP) is of great significance for promoting the high-quality development of the economy. Based on 2006 to 2020 annual reports of listed manufacturing enterprises in China, this paper takes resource allocation into the analysis framework of the impact of Internet development on manufacturing TFP to analyse the internal mechanism. The conclusions reveal that Internet development has not only a direct positive effect on manufacturing TFP but also a significant indirect promoting effect on manufacturing TFP by improving resource allocation efficiency. The resource allocation effect of Internet development on manufacturing TFP is mainly realized through the improvement of the allocation of labour factors. Furthermore, resource allocation can strengthen the nonlinear spillover effects of Internet development on manufacturing TFP. Therefore, enough attention should be paid to the improvement of resource allocation in the process of relying on Internet development to improve manufacturing TFP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2497-2508 Issue: 21 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2188167 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2188167 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:21:p:2497-2508 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2192032_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Adrian R. Bell Author-X-Name-First: Adrian R. Author-X-Name-Last: Bell Author-Name: Chris Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Chris Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Author-Name: Rohan Brooks Author-X-Name-First: Rohan Author-X-Name-Last: Brooks Title: Are English football players overvalued? Abstract: It is often suggested by fans, the media, and football commentators that English players are over-valued and receive higher salaries than those of comparable players from different countries. This study examines whether the suggestion can be empirically substantiated. Using a unique database covering all of the European elite leagues, we show that there is an English player value premium of around 40% and a wage premium of 25%. Exploring the reasons for this phenomenon in a regression setting, we find that the excess valuation and salary differential can be partly justified by several factors. First, and most importantly, there is a higher value attributed and wages paid to players in the English Premier League (EPL); second, that English players are more likely to play as strikers than in other positions in EPL clubs; third, that their performance in some positions is somewhat better than the average of players from other nations; fourth, that there are fewer of them in the top European leagues, leading to a shortage in supply. There is, however, evidence that the higher valuation of English attackers and the higher salaries of English attackers and of English midfielders evades explanation by any of these groups of variables. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2568-2584 Issue: 21 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2192032 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2192032 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:21:p:2568-2584 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2187040_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Zhongwu Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhongwu Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Does self-esteem affect women’s intra-household bargaining power: evidence from China Abstract: This paper addresses the question of whether self-esteem affects women’s intra-household bargaining power by using the National Survey on Women’s Social Status of China (NSWSS). While providing a conceptual framework, the study employs econometric models to show that self-esteem positively affects women’s intra-household bargaining power. The analyses, using an instrument-variable approach, and using different indicators of household bargaining power, further collaborate the robustness of our conclusion. Overall, the empirical study provides important insights on future academic research and policy measures in women’s empowerment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2483-2496 Issue: 21 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2187040 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2187040 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:21:p:2483-2496 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2192033_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Antonio Marasco Author-X-Name-First: Antonio Author-X-Name-Last: Marasco Author-Name: Ahmed M Khalid Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed M Author-X-Name-Last: Khalid Author-Name: Fatima Tariq Author-X-Name-First: Fatima Author-X-Name-Last: Tariq Title: Does technology shape the relationship between FDI and growth? A panel data analysis Abstract: The theoretical literature on the FDI-growth relationship suggests that FDI with high technological content might play a peculiar role. To investigate the existence and magnitude of this peculiar effect, we collected data for 28 countries over the period 1989 to 2019 and used GMM techniques for empirical estimation. We employed the U.N. International Standard Classification (ISIC) Revision 3 to classify FDI data and follow the criteria laid down by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) to distinguish FDI data by technological content. The empirical findings of this article confirm that technology plays an important role in determining the FDI-Growth relationship. Interestingly, the empirical evidence supports a U-shaped relationship between FDI and economic growth when FDI is disaggregated by different technological contents. More specifically, we find strong evidence that in the manufacturing sector, FDI with a higher technological content exhibits a positive association with growth in the host country. We also find evidence pointing towards a positive relationship between FDI and growth in the host country at the other end of the technology spectrum (low-tech). Further investigation confirms the robustness of these findings across different estimation techniques as well as across different sampling strategies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2544-2567 Issue: 21 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2192033 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2192033 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:21:p:2544-2567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2192031_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Helder Ferreira de Mendonça Author-X-Name-First: Helder Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: de Mendonça Author-Name: Natália Ferreira Trigo Author-X-Name-First: Natália Ferreira Author-X-Name-Last: Trigo Title: What is the effect of imported inflation and central bank credibility on the poor and rich? Abstract: This study analyzes two phenomena regarding the inflation of the poor and rich. Firstly, considering that imported inflation is a source of inflation, we investigate whether the harmful effect of imported inflation is higher for the poor than the rich. Secondly, assuming that central bank credibility helps keep inflation under control and that the poor are more susceptible to the damaging effect of the inflation tax, we evaluate whether the credibility is more beneficial to the poor. Based on data from the Brazilian economy, the findings indicate a higher effect of imported inflation on food inflation and poor households. In contrast, central bank credibility effectively reduces inflation for the poor. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2520-2543 Issue: 21 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2192031 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2192031 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:21:p:2520-2543 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2288047_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Hyuck Jin Lee Author-X-Name-First: Hyuck Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Comparison of suppliers and consumers’ choice factors in the online education market Abstract: This study compares choice factors between online education suppliers and consumers. While research on online education’s effectiveness in public institutions is extensive, there is a scarcity of studies comparing choice factors in the online education market. To bridge this gap, a survey was conducted among paid online learners to understand their intentions, preferred areas of study, and engagement levels. Data were analysed using SPSS 25.0, including frequency analysis, validity assessments, and multiple regression analysis to examine relationships between choice factors and satisfaction. Supplier choice factors included education costs and location, while consumer choice factors encompassed instructor expertise, content quality, and education effectiveness. This study’s results offer valuable insights into the online education market, highlighting distinct priorities for suppliers and consumers. This research contributes to a better understanding of the online education landscape, providing critical insights for suppliers and policymakers to tailor offerings, improve quality, and optimize online education’s effectiveness. Acknowledging consumer preferences and continuously enhancing services are crucial in meeting learners’ evolving needs in this dynamic sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2585-2598 Issue: 21 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2288047 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2288047 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:21:p:2585-2598 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2188168_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Sinem Derindere Köseoğlu Author-X-Name-First: Sinem Author-X-Name-Last: Derindere Köseoğlu Author-Name: Burcu Adıgüzel Mercangöz Author-X-Name-First: Burcu Adıgüzel Author-X-Name-Last: Mercangöz Author-Name: Khalid Khan Author-X-Name-First: Khalid Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: Suleman Sarwar Author-X-Name-First: Suleman Author-X-Name-Last: Sarwar Title: The impact of the Russian-Ukraine war on the stock market: a causal analysis Abstract: The study assumes the causal effects of the Russian-Ukraine war on the Moscow Exchange index based on forecasting the counterfactual market response. The findings suggest that the Ukraine war has a detrimental impact on the index; the effects are especially more pronounced at the beginning of the war. The results indicate a rapid divergence from counterfactual predictions and the actual stock index was consistently lower than would have been expected in the absence of war. The two curves suggest a reconvening pattern in the stock market when the stock market resumes its activities. The estimate of the Moscow Exchange index decline following the conflict and reaching the bottom is shown in the point-wise causal effect. The cumulative causal effect adds up to the causal effect in the course of time. In relative terms, the response variable decreased by −51%. This means that the negative impact observed during the intervention period is statistically significant. The diverse economic sectors should have access to market information and pay close attention to the effects of the conflict on the stock market. Investment decisions and policy adjustments should be based on the evolution and changes in the conflict. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2509-2519 Issue: 21 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2188168 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2188168 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:21:p:2509-2519 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2193722_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Soo-A Shim Author-X-Name-First: Soo-A Author-X-Name-Last: Shim Author-Name: Haerin Shim Author-X-Name-First: Haerin Author-X-Name-Last: Shim Author-Name: Tae Sup Shim Author-X-Name-First: Tae Sup Author-X-Name-Last: Shim Title: Does procedural justice in a tax audit situation affect taxpayers’ acceptance of tax audit assessments? Abstract: This study examines the effects of procedural justice and authority power on corporate taxpayers’ decisions to accept tax audit assessments via an experiment related to a hypothetical tax audit. We find that authority power but not procedural justice increases corporate taxpayers’ acceptance of tax authority decisions in a tax audit situation. However, when authority power is low, there is a significant effect of procedural justice in a tax audit on taxpayers’ aggressiveness in their decisions to accept tax audit assessments. According to the results, a combination of policy measures that enhance procedural justice and traditional deterrence measures warrants consideration to increase overall corporate tax compliance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2629-2645 Issue: 22 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2193722 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2193722 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:22:p:2629-2645 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2193721_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Ammar Ali Gull Author-X-Name-First: Ammar Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Gull Author-Name: Rizwan Mushtaq Author-X-Name-First: Rizwan Author-X-Name-Last: Mushtaq Author-Name: Duc Khuong Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Duc Khuong Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Phuong Tra Tran Author-X-Name-First: Phuong Tra Author-X-Name-Last: Tran Title: COVID-19 adaptive strategy and SMEs’ access to finance Abstract: The recent outbreak of COVID-19 has had colossal repercussions for all economic agents including households, corporations, and governments worldwide. Each economic agent responded in their own way to mitigate or at least diminish the scale of that impact. Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) also countered the COVID-19 pandemic to their highest capacity despite being more vulnerable to crises. Many SMEs experienced shutdowns or declared bankruptcy due to the ineptitude and lack of financial resources or effective strategic response to cope with this unprecedented shock. In this paper, we assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic coping strategies such as adjusting the process and product, shifting business activity online, and remote working arrangements on SMEs’ access to finance. Using the World Bank’s COVID-19 impact survey data collected between 2020 and mid-2021 from 42 countries, we find that better strategies adopted by SMEs increase their likelihood of getting new credit from government and commercial banks. The results remain robust to alternative test settings. Our findings offer significant and timely contributions to SMEs’ access to finance and to the practicing managers on adopting and adjusting strategies in response to crises or disruptions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2615-2628 Issue: 22 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2193721 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2193721 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:22:p:2615-2628 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2198195_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Arshad Hasan Author-X-Name-First: Arshad Author-X-Name-Last: Hasan Author-Name: Waqas Anwar Author-X-Name-First: Waqas Author-X-Name-Last: Anwar Author-Name: Muhammad Kaleem Zahir-Ul-Hassan Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Kaleem Author-X-Name-Last: Zahir-Ul-Hassan Author-Name: Ammad Ahmed Author-X-Name-First: Ammad Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmed Title: Corporate governance and tax avoidance: evidence from an emerging market Abstract: This study investigates the impact of corporate governance practices (namely board characteristics, ownership structure, and audit committee characteristics) on corporate tax avoidance. For this purpose, this study uses generalised least squares regression on a sample of 138 companies listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange. Ten-year data from 2009 to 2018 are collected from published annual reports, comprising 1380 firm-year observations. The findings highlight that board independence, concentrated ownership, and audit committee gender diversity are negatively associated with tax avoidance. Conversely, managerial ownership and audit committee independence positively influence aggressive tax behaviour. Additional analysis reveals that these impacts are nonlinear and change with the different levels of tax avoidance. Enhanced governance stifles tax avoidance at lower levels; however, it encourages tax avoidance when firms are already aggressively avoiding taxes. This scenario represents a ‘double down’ behaviour depicted by the Pakistani corporate sector. This is one of the foremost studies to explore the impact of corporate governance on tax avoidance in Pakistan. It contributes to the literature by examining the impact of under-researched factors such as board meetings and audit committee characteristics and provides insights into the conflicting findings on board characteristics and ownership structure. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2688-2704 Issue: 22 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2198195 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2198195 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:22:p:2688-2704 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2198194_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Douglas Kai Tim Wong Author-X-Name-First: Douglas Kai Tim Author-X-Name-Last: Wong Author-Name: Ronald MacDonald Author-X-Name-First: Ronald Author-X-Name-Last: MacDonald Title: Identifying long-run relationships between the exchange rate, interest rates and stock prices Abstract: This study investigates the long-run relationship between the exchange rate, interest rate, stock prices and output. The results demonstrate that a single restricted relationship is accepted when a structural break is incorporated into the cointegrating vector. Compared with the hypothesis tests on the single restricted relationship, the hypothetical structure comprising multiple relationships in the cointegrating vector is generally accepted in most countries, confirming the interaction between the relationships in the system. Our findings regarding the real exchange rate and stock price differentials appear to contradict the uncovered equity returns parity condition, whereas the relationship between the real exchange rate and interest rate differentials is consistent with the flexible price approach. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2671-2687 Issue: 22 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2198194 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2198194 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:22:p:2671-2687 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2198193_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Liqin Hu Author-X-Name-First: Liqin Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Qiuyan Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Qiuyan Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Tsangyao Chang Author-X-Name-First: Tsangyao Author-X-Name-Last: Chang Title: Risk spillover effect of global financial markets in the context of novel coronavirus epidemic Abstract: Since the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic, the financial markets of many countries have been impacted severely. In this context, based on the event study method and orthogonal decomposition method, this paper studies the impact of the novel coronavirus epidemic on the spillover effect of global financial risk, and further analyses the financial risk transmission channels of various countries. The results suggest that the novel coronavirus significantly increases the overall risk level of global financial markets, and exacerbates the contagion effects of financial risk through the global risk spillover network. In addition, the analysis of transmission channels reveals the source and direction of the financial risks in each country, manifesting as the unidirectional risk transmissions from developed countries to developing countries and the bidirectional risk contagion paths of countries with similar level of development. Therefore, facing the challenges of public health emergencies such as novel coronavirus epidemic, the major economies should strengthen multilateral cooperation and promote the coordination of macroeconomic policies to jointly defuse global systemic financial risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2654-2670 Issue: 22 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2198193 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2198193 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:22:p:2654-2670 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2192034_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Pu Chen Author-X-Name-First: Pu Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Chunyang Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chunyang Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: FDI, spillover, and government subsidy: Micro-Econometric evidence from China Abstract: By analysing comprehensive firm data from 1999 to 2013 categorized by zip code, we find that Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) companies consistently received more local government subsidies in China. When comparing FDI within the same county and year, it becomes evident that FDI creates positive growth and productivity spillovers for other businesses in the same zip code. Furthermore, there is additional evidence to support the amenities channel as a possible productivity spillover channel. This paper makes a significant contribution to the debate regarding FDI's spillover effects at a disaggregated level. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2599-2614 Issue: 22 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2192034 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2192034 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:22:p:2599-2614 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2198192_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Chung Choe Author-X-Name-First: Chung Author-X-Name-Last: Choe Author-Name: Daeho Lee Author-X-Name-First: Daeho Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Koangsung Choi Author-X-Name-First: Koangsung Author-X-Name-Last: Choi Title: Job training and firm efficiency: evidence from a meta-frontier analysis Abstract: This study analyzes the effect of vocational training on technology efficiency (TE) using Workplace Panel Survey data from South Korea. We apply both stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) and meta-frontier analysis (MFA) to compare the TEs of firms with vocational training against the counterpart without vocational training. Our findings from the SFA, which assumes a homogeneous level of technology across comparison groups, confirm that firms without vocational training are more efficient. MFA, which is used to compare the relative efficiencies of different skill levels, provides more intuitive estimation results. Namely, companies that conduct vocational training are closer to the meta-frontier – higher efficiency – than those that do not. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2646-2653 Issue: 22 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2198192 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2198192 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:22:p:2646-2653 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2200233_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Rui Xue Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Xue Author-Name: JiaQi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: JiaQi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: HuiZheng Liu Author-X-Name-First: HuiZheng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: KeYu Li Author-X-Name-First: KeYu Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Claude Baron Author-X-Name-First: Claude Author-X-Name-Last: Baron Title: How does outward foreign direct investment influence manufacturing industry sustainable growth in China? Abstract: With the economic development of various countries entering a new stage, sustainable development has become a focus of development transformation. It is well known that outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) drives the development of the manufacturing industry. However, the OFDI’s influence mechanism on the sustainable development of the manufacturing industry still needs to be clarified, and its specific action path requires further exploration. This study thus constructs a performance evaluation indicator system for the manufacturing industry from sustainable perspective. Based on interprovincial panel data of China’s 30 provinces from 2008 to 2017, the entropy method is used to measure and analyse the sustainable development level of the manufacturing industry in each province. Second, the influence of OFDI on the sustainable development level of manufacturing industry is verified using a fixed effects model. Finally, through the establishment of the mediation effect and threshold effect models, we conduct in-depth research on its specific mechanism, testing the mediation effect of technological progress and threshold effect of openness. The results reveal that government departments can enhance the sustainable development of manufacturing industry by promoting technological progress through OFDI. Improving the degree of openness can also promote sustainable development in the manufacturing industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2752-2768 Issue: 23 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2200233 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2200233 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:23:p:2752-2768 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2200231_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Rui Li Author-X-Name-First: Rui Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jing Rao Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Rao Author-Name: Liangyong Wan Author-X-Name-First: Liangyong Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Performance feedback and enterprise digital transformation Abstract: This study draws on the behavioural theory of the firm to examine the impact of performance feedback on enterprise digital transformation. We develop a set of hypotheses and empirically test them using panel data of Chinese A-share listed firms from 21 to 2019. The fixed-effects panel data models serve as an estimation technique. Empirical results show that as performance falls below aspiration, the degree of enterprise digital transformation first increases and then decreases, as performance rises above aspiration, the degree of enterprise digital transformation first decreases and then increases. That is, there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between negative performance feedback and enterprise digital transformation and a U-shaped relationship between positive performance feedback and enterprise digital transformation. Moreover, CEO openness significantly intensifies digital transformation in response to negative performance feedback, and industrial digitalization positively moderates the effects of positive performance feedback on digital transformation. Our findings highlight the importance of performance feedback on enterprise digital transformation, not only theoretically contributes to the research on digital transformation and behavioural theory, but also have notable implications for practice. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2720-2737 Issue: 23 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2200231 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2200231 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:23:p:2720-2737 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203450_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Madhu Sudan Mohanty Author-X-Name-First: Madhu Sudan Author-X-Name-Last: Mohanty Title: Effect of religious attendance on the middle-aged worker’s wage in the United States: a possible causal connection Abstract: The current study explores the possibility of a causal connection between a worker’s religious attendance and wage. Numerous studies in the literature have already demonstrated a positive correlation between these two variables. For effective policy applications, however, it is necessary to find out whether there exists a causal connection between them. The study uses the US data and tests the hypothesis that religious attendance of middle-aged workers has a positive causal effect on their wages. Following an instrumental variable approach, the current study tests this hypothesis and demonstrates that religious attendance is very much likely to have a causal effect on middle-aged workers’ earnings. This has important policy implications and thus deserves further attention from researchers and policymakers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2790-2805 Issue: 23 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203450 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203450 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:23:p:2790-2805 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203451_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Gautam Hazarika Author-X-Name-First: Gautam Author-X-Name-Last: Hazarika Author-Name: Maroula Khraiche Author-X-Name-First: Maroula Author-X-Name-Last: Khraiche Author-Name: Levent Kutlu Author-X-Name-First: Levent Author-X-Name-Last: Kutlu Title: Gender equity in labor market opportunities and aggregate technical efficiency: a case of equity promoting efficiency Abstract: This study applies a panel data stochastic frontier analysis to country data towards examining the effect of gender equity in labour market opportunities upon efficiency in the production of GDP. It finds that aggregate technical efficiency is improved by a widening of women’s labour market opportunities as indicated by a rise in their share of employment, but that this effect is dampened by patriarchal cultural norms whose strength is measured by the proportion of the population tracing its ancestry to ethnic groups who adopted the plough as an agricultural implement. That aggregate technical efficiency rises in women’s share of employment is consistent with improvement in the average quality of the workforce when talented women’s entry to it is eased. That this effect is dampened by patriarchal cultural norms is consistent with them promoting a misallocation of employed women. Additionally, aggregate technical efficiency appears improved by democracy, the control of corruption, and trade-openness. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2806-2817 Issue: 23 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203451 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203451 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:23:p:2806-2817 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2200232_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Guohua Yu Author-X-Name-First: Guohua Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Kai Liu Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Foreign direct investment, environmental regulation and urban green development efficiency—An empirical study from China Abstract: This study investigates the existence of the pollution halo hypothesis in China. To realize the goals, an urban green development efficiency measuring framework was established applying SBM directional distance function and Malmquist-Luenberger index. Using linear panel model and nonlinear panel model and data of 284 cities in China from 2008 to 2019, we have found that the pollution halo hypothesis does exist in China because FDI increases urban green development efficiency. The mechanism analysis of introducing environmental regulation indicates that the impact of FDI on urban green development efficiency presents a ‘U-shaped’ feature. The implementation of strict environmental regulation can significantly increase the positive impact of FDI on the urban green development efficiency. In addition, the analysis of regional heterogeneity has shown that when the environmental regulation intensity exceeds the turning point, FDI in eastern and central China plays a significant positive role in urban green development efficiency, while that in western China is inhibitory effect. Our empirical results have suggested the Chinese government should further utilize the positive role of FDI in urban green development, including gradually and orderly implementing strict environmental protection regulatory policies, and implementing green energy conservation transformation projects for energy intensive industries. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2738-2751 Issue: 23 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2200232 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2200232 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:23:p:2738-2751 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2200230_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jianwen Li Author-X-Name-First: Jianwen Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Yang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Author-Name: Jinyan Hu Author-X-Name-First: Jinyan Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Feng Guo Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: Local bias versus home bias: Evidence from debt-based crowdfunding Abstract: Local bias and home bias are conventional phenomena in the financial market. This paper examines whether local bias and home bias exist in virtual loan transactions on the debt-based crowdfunding marketplace. Using loan-level and lender-level transaction data from a large crowdfunding marketplace in China and employing a potential-dyad approach, we find that lenders are more likely to invest in local borrowers rather than in their hometown borrowers, indicating that local bias exists in this virtual marketplace rather than home bias. More interestingly, the local bias is more pronounced for local lenders whose work area and hometown are the same than for moving lenders who leave their hometowns. Furthermore, lenders’ local bias is more pronounced if lenders (borrowers) are from more trust-propensity (trustworthy) regions. Finally, we find that lending to local borrowers cannot significantly increase the welfare of lenders. Various specifications, alternative dependent variables, and alternative potential-dyad sets show that our empirical-based results are robust. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2705-2719 Issue: 23 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2200230 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2200230 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:23:p:2705-2719 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2200234_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Paulo Reis Mourao Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Reis Author-X-Name-Last: Mourao Author-Name: Paulo Araújo Author-X-Name-First: Paulo Author-X-Name-Last: Araújo Title: “It’s the average cost, mister!” – Explaining the recurrent dismissal of European soccer coaches Abstract: The professional survival of a coach can be explained by the ability of the team that he or she trains to achieve a reasonable number of points in relation to the total team’s budget. In this work, we test the microeconomic indicator of average cost as an important (and so far unassessed) dimension in the survival of a professional football coach in the face of recurrent defeats. For this purpose, we use empirical methods associated with survival analysis considering recurrent events. We analyse 1077 contract durations between the 2009/2010 and 2019/2020 seasons of the professional leagues in Spain, England, Italy, Germany, France and Portugal. We conclude that the average cost (total budget divided by points achieved in the national championships) is an important dimension. We also discuss other dimensions – such as clubs’ financial characteristics, neighbouring teams’ competitiveness or coaches’ individual characteristics – which, in certain leagues, also prove to be determinant. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2769-2789 Issue: 23 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2200234 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2200234 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:23:p:2769-2789 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203454_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Xiaokun Wei Author-X-Name-First: Xiaokun Author-X-Name-Last: Wei Author-Name: Yan Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Tian Gan Author-X-Name-First: Tian Author-X-Name-Last: Gan Title: Air pollution and entrepreneurship: evidence from China Abstract: Air pollution has become a major danger to human health and a hindrance to social and economic growth. This study endeavours to examine the impact of air pollution on entrepreneurial activities in China. Using registration data from 2000 to 2018, we find that severe air pollution can decrease the number of newly registered firms by about 36%, suggesting a negative effect on entrepreneurship. To strengthen the causal inference, we adopt the two-stage least square method to address the potential endogenous problems. The result is robust to different model settings and alternative measurements of air pollution. The study further delves into the mechanisms through which air pollution affects entrepreneurial activities, including brain drain, social capital, startup costs, and financial constraints. This study recommends effective environmental regulation policies to improve air quality as well as increase the attraction of mobile factors to alleviate the adverse impacts of air pollution on entrepreneurial activities. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2860-2874 Issue: 24 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203454 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203454 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:24:p:2860-2874 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203458_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Angelo Castaldo Author-X-Name-First: Angelo Author-X-Name-Last: Castaldo Author-Name: Anna Rita Germani Author-X-Name-First: Anna Rita Author-X-Name-Last: Germani Author-Name: Alessia Marrocco Author-X-Name-First: Alessia Author-X-Name-Last: Marrocco Author-Name: Marco Forti Author-X-Name-First: Marco Author-X-Name-Last: Forti Author-Name: Andrea Salustri Author-X-Name-First: Andrea Author-X-Name-Last: Salustri Title: Drivers and frictions of workplace accidents: an empirical investigation of cross-country European heterogeneity Abstract: This paper presents an empirical investigation on the determinants of workplace accidents across Europe and focuses on the extent to which production-system characteristics (employment sectoral risk, size of firms, temporary contracts), business cycle and socio-economic factors (GDP, level of investments, unemployment, education) and other territorial controls (crime index) might account for cross-country heterogeneity. We use Eurostat data, and our panel is composed of 27 European countries over the period 2010–2018. Implementing different functional forms and estimation methodologies (pooled OLS, panel fixed and random effects models, system-GMM and semiparametric fixed effects model), we find robust evidence that productive-system structural characteristics, business cycle controls and the other territorial variables are effective in explaining European cross-country heterogeneity. Moreover, we find evidence of a nonlinear relationship between GDP and occupational accidents. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2931-2946 Issue: 24 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203458 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203458 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:24:p:2931-2946 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203455_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: António Afonso Author-X-Name-First: António Author-X-Name-Last: Afonso Author-Name: Eduardo Rodrigues Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Author-X-Name-Last: Rodrigues Title: Is public investment in construction and in R&D, growth enhancing? A PVAR approach Abstract: We study the impacts of public investment, notably in construction and in R&D on economic growth and of crowding-out effects on private investment. For this purpose, we use Panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR) models and the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach for 40 advanced and emerging countries from 1995 to 2019. Our findings are as follows: i) innovations in public investment have more positive effects on GDP growth and private investment in emerging economies; ii) the positive impulse of public investment on private sector is pronounced and significant in emerging economies; iii) government construction investment has a more positive effect on economic growth in emerging economies; iv) innovations in public construction crowd-out private investment spending in advanced countries; v) emerging economies benefit from public R&D investment; vi) the public investment multiplier of the full sample is 1.67, while it is 0.87 for advanced economies and 2.29 for emerging economies. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2875-2899 Issue: 24 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203455 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203455 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:24:p:2875-2899 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203456_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Abdelaziz Hakimi Author-X-Name-First: Abdelaziz Author-X-Name-Last: Hakimi Author-Name: Rim Boussaada Author-X-Name-First: Rim Author-X-Name-Last: Boussaada Author-Name: Majdi Karmani Author-X-Name-First: Majdi Author-X-Name-Last: Karmani Title: Financial inclusion and non-performing loans in MENA region: the moderating role of board characteristics Abstract: This paper investigates how financial inclusion affects credit risk in the MENA region. It also checks whether board characteristics can moderate this relationship. We use a sample of MENA banks from 2004 to 2017 and perform the system generalized method of moment approach. Through the usage and access dimensions, we find that financial inclusion reduces the level of non-performing loans. These results are robust using an index of financial inclusion. For board characteristics, findings indicate that only board size, duality, and independent directors significantly affect the level of NPLs. Our findings prove that MENA banks benefit from an interaction between greater financial inclusion and board characteristics. These insights are consistent with theorists and scholars who are working on each dimension separately. As an extension of their work, we find that the interaction significantly affects the NPLs ratio. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2900-2914 Issue: 24 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203456 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203456 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:24:p:2900-2914 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203452_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Tao Lin Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Wenhao Qian Author-X-Name-First: Wenhao Author-X-Name-Last: Qian Title: Water quality monitoring and mortality: evidence from China Abstract: Understanding the implementation of environmental regulation is essential to the design of environmental policy. The impact of water pollution regulation on mortality was examined in this study using a spatial regression discontinuity (RD) design based on China’s water quality monitoring system. Because water quality readings are important to the political promotion of officials and water quality monitoring stations only capture water pollution from upstream, local governments have an incentive to combat water pollution upstream, not downstream. Exploring this discontinuity in the stringency of regulations by linking the 2010 census microdata with water quality monitoring station location data in China, we found that households immediately upstream of a monitoring station faced a more than 11% reduction in household mortality compared to households immediately downstream of a monitoring station. Strict water quality supervision had a greater effect on mortality in rural households. The difference in mortality between upstream and downstream households was even greater for monitoring stations with high implementation and automatic monitoring technology. The results of this study improve our understanding of the health effects of environmental regulation, as well as the design and implementation of environmental regulation policies under a centralized political system. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2819-2835 Issue: 24 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203452 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203452 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:24:p:2819-2835 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203457_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Carla Fernandes Author-X-Name-First: Carla Author-X-Name-Last: Fernandes Author-Name: Maria Rosa Borges Author-X-Name-First: Maria Rosa Author-X-Name-Last: Borges Author-Name: Esselina Macome Author-X-Name-First: Esselina Author-X-Name-Last: Macome Author-Name: Jorge Caiado Author-X-Name-First: Jorge Author-X-Name-Last: Caiado Title: Measuring an equilibrium long-run relationship between financial inclusion and monetary stability in Mozambique Abstract: The present work aims to assess the existence of the relationship between financial inclusion and monetary stability in Mozambique based on the analysis of the VEC model for the period from 2005 to 2020. In addition to indicators of traditional banking institutions, this article goes further by also incorporating indicators relating to services of electronic money institutions with the objective of capturing the impact of digital financial services on financial inclusion and their role in financial stability. The long-term VEC model proved to be statistically significant and confirmed the existence of a long-term relationship between financial inclusion and monetary stability. The results also showed that the traditional financial inclusion and non-traditional digital financial inclusion drives the price stability, and in turn, monetary stability. The study concludes that the effectiveness of monetary policy in Mozambique depends on the predictive capacity of the monetary policy instruments, which are highly correlated, to financial inclusion. In this sense, the monetary authority must consider the need to incorporate financial inclusion variables, especially the non-traditional digital ones, in the transmission and forecasting model of the monetary policy rule, to capture the dynamics of financial inclusion segment and its contribution to price stability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2915-2930 Issue: 24 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203457 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203457 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:24:p:2915-2930 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203453_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Liliane Bonnal Author-X-Name-First: Liliane Author-X-Name-Last: Bonnal Author-Name: Pascal Favard Author-X-Name-First: Pascal Author-X-Name-Last: Favard Author-Name: Thomas Laurent Author-X-Name-First: Thomas Author-X-Name-Last: Laurent Title: Better scan personalities than bodies? Prenatal care to enforce a pregnancy self-commitment Abstract: The purpose of this work was to measure the effect of the proper prenatal medical care on the health of newborns. This study was based on a survey conducted in France in 2010 by the National Institute for Health and Medical Research and the Ministry of Health. Three different definitions of newborn health were used, and the definition of proper prenatal care was set based on the recommendations of the Haute Autorité de Santé (HAS). The analysis was conducted based on propensity score methods to adjust for potential confounders. The results showed that proper prenatal may reduce some newborn health problems. But, if allowance is made for women’s behaviour or for mothers’ perceptions of their pregnancy, prenatal care could have no effect on newborn health. Moreover, it seems that a subpopulation of women would use prenatal care visits to enforce a self-commitment, to adhere to personal good conduct rather than for only medical reasons. Better information, prevention and customization of prenatal care according to pregnant women’s profiles might be more effective in terms of health and perhaps cost-saving. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2836-2859 Issue: 24 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203453 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203453 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:24:p:2836-2859 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203897_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Zhuolei Li Author-X-Name-First: Zhuolei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Xundi Diao Author-X-Name-First: Xundi Author-X-Name-Last: Diao Author-Name: Chongfeng Wu Author-X-Name-First: Chongfeng Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Attention allocation and return comovement when trading on smartphones: evidence from China Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of smartphone trading on investor attention allocation. We find a positive connection between smartphone trading ratio and return comovement. Smartphone traders relatively pay less attention to firm-specific information and more to information at the market level than computer-based traders. The impact of smartphone trading is positively correlated to the Internet searching level but negatively correlated to social media discussion intensity and analyst following. We also show that market boom and crush would increase the effect of smartphone trading on attention allocation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3011-3031 Issue: 25 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203897 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203897 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:25:p:3011-3031 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203461_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Junhao Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Junhao Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Author-Name: Yilin Zhong Author-X-Name-First: Yilin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhong Author-Name: Minghui Han Author-X-Name-First: Minghui Author-X-Name-Last: Han Author-Name: Tianjian Yang Author-X-Name-First: Tianjian Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Qinghua Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Qinghua Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The impact of AI on carbon emissions: evidence from 66 countries Abstract: This study aims to address debate in previous studies on whether AI has a positive or negative effect on carbon emission reduction. We used quantile regression and PSTR models to study the diverse impacts of AI on carbon emissions in 66 countries from 1993–2019. There were three main findings in this paper. First, the impact of AI on carbon emissions varies across countries, and its effect on carbon reduction is mainly found in high-carbon emission and high-income countries. Second, the industrial structure environment of different countries affects the role of AI in carbon reduction, with its marginal effect in limiting emissions decreasing with the rise of secondary industrial structures. Third, the impact of AI varies in countries based on their different demographic structures. The marginal effect of AI on carbon emission reduction increases in places with older populations. This study offers unique insight into the heterogeneous impact of AI on CO2 emissions. Our analysis confirms the importance of industrial and demographic structures in promoting carbon emission reduction. We provide effective policy recommendations for economic development and environmental governance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2975-2989 Issue: 25 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203461 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203461 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:25:p:2975-2989 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203459_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Denis Anne Author-X-Name-First: Denis Author-X-Name-Last: Anne Author-Name: Sylvain Chareyron Author-X-Name-First: Sylvain Author-X-Name-Last: Chareyron Author-Name: Marie-Axelle Granié Author-X-Name-First: Marie-Axelle Author-X-Name-Last: Granié Author-Name: Yannick L’Horty Author-X-Name-First: Yannick Author-X-Name-Last: L’Horty Title: Gender Gap in Access to the Driving Licence: Experimental Evidence from France Abstract: In this article, we assess the gender difference in response from driving schools to a request for information about the requirements to pass the driving licence. To this purpose, we created fictitious profiles for two young candidates seeking a driving licence training, a woman and a man, who were similar in all other aspects. We conducted two waves of experiment on 290 driving schools randomly selected from an exhaustive list of French driving schools. The feedback received from driving schools that responded to both candidates is examined to investigate differences in treatment between the male and female applicants. Our analysis shows that driving schools propose a slightly significantly higher maximum number of hours of preparation for the road test when the candidate is a woman: on average, driving schools propose 1.5 more hours of training to women than to men. On the other hand, we do not find a significant gender difference in the price of the training offered and few differences in other variables related to the content of the response. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2947-2958 Issue: 25 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203459 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203459 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:25:p:2947-2958 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203898_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Corina Paraschiv Author-X-Name-First: Corina Author-X-Name-Last: Paraschiv Author-Name: Nawel Ayadi Author-X-Name-First: Nawel Author-X-Name-Last: Ayadi Author-Name: Xavier Rousset Author-X-Name-First: Xavier Author-X-Name-Last: Rousset Author-Name: Monica Turinici Author-X-Name-First: Monica Author-X-Name-Last: Turinici Title: Consumer vulnerability to dynamic pricing in online environments Abstract: This article examines consumer vulnerability perceptions of dynamic pricing in online environments. Based on an online survey of 763 French web-users, we show that dynamic pricing generates a feeling of being vulnerable and a perceived loss of control over the transaction process. A bivariate probit analysis of these two dimensions of consumer vulnerability is performed, allowing to highlight their connection, but also their different nature. While consumer feeling of being vulnerable is triggered by unethicality and unfairness perceptions, loss of control relies on the perception of dynamic prices as illegal, unacceptable, and unpredictable. Consumer displeasure is identified as the only factor with an overall effect on consumer vulnerability. Our findings suggest that firms opting for dynamic pricing should adopt a careful and cautious approach given the potential of this pricing strategy to generate consumer vulnerability. Regulation appears as a promising tool to fight against consumer perception of loss of control, but not their feeling of being vulnerable. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3032-3047 Issue: 25 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203898 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203898 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:25:p:3032-3047 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203462_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Emmanuel Mamatzakis Author-X-Name-First: Emmanuel Author-X-Name-Last: Mamatzakis Author-Name: Steven Ongena Author-X-Name-First: Steven Author-X-Name-Last: Ongena Author-Name: Pankaj C. Patel Author-X-Name-First: Pankaj C. Author-X-Name-Last: Patel Author-Name: Mike Tsionas Author-X-Name-First: Mike Author-X-Name-Last: Tsionas Title: A Bayesian policy learning model of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical interventions Abstract: This article examines the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on the initial exponential growth of the infected population and the final exponential decay of the infected population. We employ a Bayesian dynamic model to test whether there is learning, a random walk pattern, or another type of learning with evolving epidemiological data over time across 168 countries and 41,706 country-date observations. Although we show that Bayesian learning is not taking place, most policy measures appear to assert some effect. In particular, we show that economic policy variables are of importance for the main epidemiological parameters derived from the policy learning model. In an empirical second-stage application, we further investigate the underlying dynamics between the epidemiological parameters and household debt repayments, a key economic variable, in the UK. Results show no Bayesian learning, although a higher transmission rate would increase household debt repayments, while the recovery rate would have a negative impact. Therefore, suboptimal learning is taking place. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2990-3010 Issue: 25 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203462 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203462 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:25:p:2990-3010 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2326039_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Mikael Rönkkö Author-X-Name-First: Mikael Author-X-Name-Last: Rönkkö Author-Name: Joonas Holmi Author-X-Name-First: Joonas Author-X-Name-Last: Holmi Author-Name: Mervi Niskanen Author-X-Name-First: Mervi Author-X-Name-Last: Niskanen Author-Name: Markus Mättö Author-X-Name-First: Markus Author-X-Name-Last: Mättö Title: The adaptive markets hypothesis: Insights into small stock market efficiency Abstract: In this paper, we explore whether the adaptive markets hypothesis (AMH) describes the efficiency of the Finnish stock market better than the efficient markets hypothesis (EMH) does. Building on this, we also test how small market size and market liberalization impact the efficiency of the Finnish stock market and examine the relationship between market volatility and return in this market. We conduct this study by applying the subsample analysis and the rolling window analysis to the daily returns of the OMXH25 index and by measuring the efficiency through three linear and two nonlinear predictability tests. The results of our study strongly support the AMH. They also suggest that small market size alone does not make a market less efficient; opening a market to foreign investors improves its efficiency after a delay; and the correlation between market volatility and return varies over time in the Finnish stock market, being usually negative. These findings mostly contradict the traditional investment paradigm. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3048-3062 Issue: 25 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2024.2326039 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2024.2326039 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:25:p:3048-3062 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2203460_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Xiaojie Yu Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojie Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Author-Name: Duminda Kuruppuarachchi Author-X-Name-First: Duminda Author-X-Name-Last: Kuruppuarachchi Author-Name: Sriyalatha Kumarasinghe Author-X-Name-First: Sriyalatha Author-X-Name-Last: Kumarasinghe Title: Financial development, FDI, and CO2 emissions: does carbon pricing matter? Abstract: This study investigates the impact of financial development and foreign direct investment (FDI) on CO2 emissions, with a special focus on carbon pricing (emissions trading and taxing) in 57 developed and developing economies between 2000 and 2017. Using an eight-fold financial development construct for the first time, we find that financial depth in institutions negatively (positively) affects the CO2 intensity of developed (developing) economies, while financial access to institutions has a negative impact in both types of economies. Financial depth (stability) in markets negatively affects developing (developed) economies’ CO2 intensity, while financial access to markets increases (decreases) CO2 intensity in developed (developing) economies. Moreover, inward FDI stock quality (a net FDI position) increases (reduces) CO2 intensity in developing (developed) economies. Finally, we document that carbon pricing in developed economies helps reverse the positive effect of inward FDI quality on CO2 intensity, implying that a such policy helps those economies attract climate-friendly FDI. Our study reveals the implications of the reduction of CO2 emissions placing the focus on both financial development and FDI fully and together for the first time. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 2959-2974 Issue: 25 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 05 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2203460 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2203460 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:25:p:2959-2974 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2204216_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Zhicheng Xu Author-X-Name-First: Zhicheng Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Yu Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Dongying Li Author-X-Name-First: Dongying Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Chinese aid and nutrition improvement in Sub-Saharan Africa Abstract: The efficacy of foreign aid, especially escalating Chinese aid, has been controversial. Considering the widespread malnutrition in Sub-Saharan Africa and the substantial concerns about Chinese aid, we investigate whether and how Chinese development assistance improves the nutrition of the African recipients, particularly children and women. We match Chinese aid projects and Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) covering 24 SSA countries during 2000–2016. We address the causality by comparing the individuals who lived near a Chinese aid project that was effective at the time of the interview to those who were not exposed to Chinese aid projects while a nearby Chinese aid project would be initiated after the interview. We measure malnutrition by hemoglobin haemoglobin and anemia anaemia which are more relevant and reliable than other indicators. Our results show that Chinese aid significantly increased hemoglobin haemoglobin and decreased the likelihood of anemia anaemia, and the effects are more pronounced among children. In contrast to the popular expectation, health aid does not significantly improve nutrition conditions, at least in the short run. Instead, other aid projects that promote earnings and job opportunities substantially reduced malnutrition among children and women. Heterogeneity analysis further shows that Chinese aid strongly improved nutrition mainly among disadvantaged residents. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3098-3116 Issue: 26 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2204216 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2204216 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:26:p:3098-3116 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2204217_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Fangyuan Shi Author-X-Name-First: Fangyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Shi Author-Name: Yuhan Zheng Author-X-Name-First: Yuhan Author-X-Name-Last: Zheng Author-Name: Xuan Liu Author-X-Name-First: Xuan Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Does internet development affect urban economic resilience? New evidence from China Abstract: Global macroeconomic development is faced with great uncertainty, especially the repeated impact of COVID-19, which exacerbate the challenges. This study explores the impact of Internet development on the resilience of cities. In the first place, a theoretical model is used to analyse how Internet development affects productivity and further influences urban economic resilience. Based on this, a long-differences model is established for empirical analysis. The study found that improving Internet development is an important step enhancing urban economic resilience. The results provide new perspectives and evidence for the study of urban economic resilience. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3117-3132 Issue: 26 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2204217 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2204217 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:26:p:3117-3132 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2204214_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Nakil Sung Author-X-Name-First: Nakil Author-X-Name-Last: Sung Title: COVID-19, over-the-top services, and the future of pay television: the case of South Korea Abstract: A drastic increase in over-the-top (OTT) subscriptions and sales after COVID-19 may threaten the future of pay television (pay TV) in South Korea. This study examines changes in the usage time of pay TV and OTT services, particularly after the COVID-19 outbreak, and assesses whether the termination of pay TV subscriptions (cord-cutting) will occur in South Korea. Empirical results indicate that the more time an individual spent on OTT services, the less time they spent on pay TV, thereby indicating a substitution relationship between pay TV and OTT services. However, the pay TV usage time of OTT service users remained at a high level and did not decrease. In addition, the results confirm that the drastic increase in OTT service usage time, particularly after the pandemic outbreak, was mainly due to the increase in the number of OTT service users, not the increase in OTT service usage time per OTT service user. These findings suggest that massive cord-cutting will not occur in Korea without drastic changes in media market conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3063-3077 Issue: 26 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2204214 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2204214 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:26:p:3063-3077 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2205099_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Fritz Wittmann Author-X-Name-First: Fritz Author-X-Name-Last: Wittmann Author-Name: Michael Eder Author-X-Name-First: Michael Author-X-Name-Last: Eder Author-Name: Katharina Schreck Author-X-Name-First: Katharina Author-X-Name-Last: Schreck Author-Name: Florian Grassauer Author-X-Name-First: Florian Author-X-Name-Last: Grassauer Title: Modelled impacts of farm-level adaptations in response to changed dietary patterns Abstract: Dietary change can facilitate a shift towards more sustainable agricultural practices and requires farmers to implement different farm adaptations. Here, we examine structural impacts on farms of several dietary scenarios towards changes in food demand pertaining to more regional food, more organic food and less meat in the metropolitan region of Vienna, Austria. We use a linear programming farm model underpinned by data on the intended adaptive behaviour of farmers based on a survey in the study region. The results show that for conventional farms, the intended adaptations from conventional to organic farming have higher effects on the investigated indicators (nitrogen import, gross margin, labour requirements) than adaptations concerning crop and livestock production patterns. A key finding is that, in terms of policy design, the positive effects on the investigated indicators can be achieved more easily by inciting switches towards organic farming than by inciting switches concerning crop and livestock production patterns. This would require dedicated policy measures at multiple levels, with payments specifically aimed at organic agriculture and other innovative, agro-ecological management practices. This article contributes to the modelling of regional-level food supply by showing that integrating empirical data into the farm model allows for a more targeted development of policy measures. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3166-3180 Issue: 26 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2205099 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2205099 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:26:p:3166-3180 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2204218_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jinlong Ma Author-X-Name-First: Jinlong Author-X-Name-Last: Ma Author-Name: Pengfei Zhao Author-X-Name-First: Pengfei Author-X-Name-Last: Zhao Author-Name: Meng Li Author-X-Name-First: Meng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Junfang Niu Author-X-Name-First: Junfang Author-X-Name-Last: Niu Title: The evolution of global soybean trade network pattern based on complex network Abstract: In this paper, a global soybean trade network (GSTN) is constructed based on the international trade data from 1987 to 2020. The results are as follow: (1) From 1987 to 2020, the scale of the network continued to expand, the number of trading countries continued to increase, and the trade links between countries gradually deepened. (2) The power function curve of the node degree distribution shows that the GSTN satisfies the power law distribution, which fits to be a scale-free network. (3) The global soybean export market is highly concentrated. The United States, Brazil and Argentina account for more than 80% of global soybean exports. China is the world’s largest soybean importer. (4) The control ability of core countries in the GSTN has gradually declined, which is shown from that the importance of nodes has gradually weakened, while the trade between peripheral countries is gradually increasing, showing the phenomenon of trade multilateralism. (5) South America has become the global soybean export centre, and Asia has become the global soybean import centre. The trade status of North America has declined, and the overall strength of Africa and Oceania is the weakest. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3133-3149 Issue: 26 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2204218 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2204218 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:26:p:3133-3149 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2204215_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Tao Lin Author-X-Name-First: Tao Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Zhao Chen Author-X-Name-First: Zhao Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Government cooperation, market integration, and productivity: evidence from China Abstract: This paper examines the causal effect of regional market integration on firm productivity through the use of 2001–2008 firm-level microdata in China. The research design relies on a regression discontinuity design based on China’s Pan-Pearl River Delta (PPRD) regional cooperation policy. The results indicate that the PPRD regional cooperation policy increases the total factor productivity (TFP) of firms by 6% on average. The positive impact of the PPRD regional cooperation policy on TFP is greater for private firms, large firms, and labour-intensive firms. Exploring the mechanism through which regional cooperation increases firm TFP, we find that the PPRD regional cooperation policy improves firms’ productivity primarily by expanding the scale of firms, promoting technological innovation, and optimizing the allocation of factors. The study findings deepen our understanding of productivity improvement from the perspective of the market environment. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3078-3097 Issue: 26 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2204215 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2204215 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:26:p:3078-3097 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2205097_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chih-Wei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Zhi-Ting Xu Author-X-Name-First: Zhi-Ting Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: Managerial ability and R&D investment: do CEOs’ and firms’ characteristics matter? Abstract: Previous studies document that investing in research and development is a key factor to keep firm survive in the long-run. This study instead focuses on the relationship between managerial role and R&D decisions. Specifically, we investigate whether more talented managers facilitate firms’ R&D investment. Using the MA-score as a proxy for managerial ability, we find that more able managers increase R&D spending. Furthermore, the results show that more talented managers decide to invest more in R&D investment depending on several conditions, such as whether firms are financially unconstrained or in non-crisis period. Other conditions include whether firms are facing lower default probability, in competitive industries, and with some CEOs’ characteristics, such as male, young age, higher granted stock option and higher salary. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3150-3165 Issue: 26 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2205097 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2205097 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:26:p:3150-3165 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2205100_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Osaid Alshamleh Author-X-Name-First: Osaid Author-X-Name-Last: Alshamleh Author-Name: Glenn Paul Jenkins Author-X-Name-First: Glenn Paul Author-X-Name-Last: Jenkins Author-Name: Tufan Ekici Author-X-Name-First: Tufan Author-X-Name-Last: Ekici Title: Excise tax incidence: the inequity of taxing obesity and beauty Abstract: The estimation and analysis of the distribution of the negative health impacts of certain commodities subject to excise taxes in Belize and the distribution of the burdens of the excise taxes across households of different income levels are the focus of this article. Particular attention is given to the taxation of soft drinks and cosmetics. We examine the income distribution and tax revenue impacts using the commodity data from the household expenditure survey by and the effective tax rates expressed as a percentage of the value of the final consumption of each item. As in many developing countries, taxes on alcoholic beverages and tobacco products are found to be regressive. The most regressive excise taxes are on soft drinks and cosmetics. Households across the economy pay more in excise taxes on cosmetics than they do on either alcoholic beverages or tobacco products. Relative to the level of household expenditures, the burden of the excise taxes on cosmetics is highest for households in the lowest quintile of total expenditures. The impact of soft drinks in creating obesity is likely to be much greater for high income households whose total consumption per household is twice that of low-income households. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3181-3193 Issue: 27 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2205100 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2205100 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:27:p:3181-3193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206108_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Marta Arroyabe Author-X-Name-First: Marta Author-X-Name-Last: Arroyabe Author-Name: Katrin Hussinger Author-X-Name-First: Katrin Author-X-Name-Last: Hussinger Title: Acquisition experience and the winner’s curse in corporate acquisitions Abstract: The winner’s curse describes the behavioural phenomenon that the winner of a bidding contest pays a price that is too high. This paper shows that experiential learning cannot prevent a winner’s curse on the market of corporate control as acquiring firms with acquisition experience still pay a higher price for the target in a bidding contest. Acquisition experience, however, is related to a superior post-acquisition performance of the winning firm after acquisitions associated with a bidding contest. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3247-3261 Issue: 27 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206108 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206108 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:27:p:3247-3261 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2205101_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Na Sun Author-X-Name-First: Na Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Yan Sun Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Author-Name: Xiaojuan Shen Author-X-Name-First: Xiaojuan Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Shaorong Sun Author-X-Name-First: Shaorong Author-X-Name-Last: Sun Title: What affects the risks of fintech lending enterprises? Abstract: Five main risk factors of fintech lending enterprises are empirically analysed by using the duration analysis model. The main findings are: Technology does not cause a significant increase in enterprise risk, the main reason is that although technology brings new types of risk, namely, technical risk, but it eliminates the human errors and moral hazards in a certain extent. There is debate on the role of regulatory policy on corporate risk, ‘market failure theory’ and ‘regulatory failure theory’, the empirical results show that the institutionalization of regulatory is more conducive to reducing risk than the frequently issuing ‘new regulatory policies’. As for the debate about whether large or small enterprises carry greater risks, the empirical evidence shows that the failure risks of large enterprises are only 79% of the risks of small enterprise. Another important finding is that the risks of listed companies or venture capital-controlled enterprises are far less than that of private enterprises, which suggests that the institution is very important to reduce risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3194-3211 Issue: 27 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2205101 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2205101 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:27:p:3194-3211 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206109_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Zeeshan Khan Author-X-Name-First: Zeeshan Author-X-Name-Last: Khan Author-Name: Ramez Abubakr Badeeb Author-X-Name-First: Ramez Abubakr Author-X-Name-Last: Badeeb Author-Name: Changyong Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Changyong Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Kangyin Dong Author-X-Name-First: Kangyin Author-X-Name-Last: Dong Title: Financial inclusion and energy efficiency: role of green innovation and human capital for Malaysia Abstract: One of the top priorities of most countries around the world is sustainable development, to achieve which financial inclusion is identified as one of the key elements. Thus, unlike previous studies, the current study aims to channel the impact of financial inclusion on energy efficiency by constructing a parametric-based index that covers availability, accessibility, and usage of the former. The index provides an overall picture of financial services in all the three covered aspects. The analysis based on novel econometric time-series approaches, the method of moment quantile regression and the robust least square approach, shows that financial inclusion increases energy efficiency. The impact is overall positive for each quantile, i.e. 25th–90th. The impact of green innovation, human capital, and political risk is also supportive for energy efficiency. However, the impact of political risk improvement exhibits negative in the initial stages and turns positive later. In terms of policy implications, broadening financial inclusion base with the promotion of green innovation and human capital is important to achieve higher energy efficiency. In the meantime, improvement in the political risk profile should also be considered for a stable financial system to pave the way for increasing energy efficiency. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3262-3277 Issue: 27 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206109 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206109 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:27:p:3262-3277 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206110_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Hung-Yi Huang Author-X-Name-First: Hung-Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Author-Name: Yun-Chi Lee Author-X-Name-First: Yun-Chi Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Title: Modern pandemic crises and R&D investment Abstract: This study investigates the impact of crises caused by pandemics on firms’ R&D investments. We explore these associations by utilizing a comprehensive cross-country sample of 261,959 firm-year observations collected from 39 countries during five modern health crises (SARS in 2003, H1N1 in 2009, MERS in 2012, Ebola in 2012, and Zika in 2016). The results indicate that pandemics have a positive and significant impact on R&D investment. Furthermore, we show that private firms in civil-law countries were more likely to adopt conservative financial policies than those in common-law countries. We conclude that the difference between the legal origins of private firms influences the impact on R&D investment. Moreover, it promotes conservative policies to reduce private firms’ R&D investment in countries with civil law. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3278-3291 Issue: 27 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206110 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206110 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:27:p:3278-3291 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206107_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Qiang Cao Author-X-Name-First: Qiang Author-X-Name-Last: Cao Author-Name: Jing Nie Author-X-Name-First: Jing Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Author-Name: Wenmei Yu Author-X-Name-First: Wenmei Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Time-varying effects of structural fossil energy price shocks and economic policy uncertainty on new energy stock market: new evidence from China Abstract: We focus on the Chinese new energy stock market and explore the impacts of structural fossil energy price shocks and economic policy uncertainty (EPU). To this end, we synthesize the prices of three fossil energy sources, decompose the dynamics of fossil energy prices into energy supply shocks (SS), demand shocks (DS) and risk shocks (RS), and run a TVP-SVAR-SV model. Our findings show that SS significantly influence the new energy stock prices (NE) in that DS have a positive short-term impact for most of the sample periods while the mid- and long-term impacts of RS on NE are negative and larger than those of both SS and DS. We also find that in all three categories of shocks, EPU is the most important predictor negatively related to NE, indicating that a stable policy environment is essential to equity financing in the new energy market. Besides, different categories of EPU have varied impacts on NE in that exchange rate policy uncertainty (ERPU) has the most detrimental effect while the impact of trade policy uncertainty (TPU) shows a positive influence. Finally, we discuss the implications of these findings for both market regulators and investors participating in transactions of new energy stock portfolios. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3232-3246 Issue: 27 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206107 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206107 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:27:p:3232-3246 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206104_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Dongyu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Dongyu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Yong Qi Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Qi Author-Name: Song Wang Author-X-Name-First: Song Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Can China’s belt and road investments improve the comprehensive international competitiveness of host countries? Abstract: Since China proposed the Belt and Road Initiative in 2013, the effect of driving economic development in host countries has intensified. This study examines the effect and spatial mechanisms of China’s Belt and Road investment on the comprehensive international competitiveness of 48 countries along the Belt and Road route in three dimensions: the basic requirements, efficiency enhancers, and economic freedom. The results revealed significant contributions and spatial spillover effects, whose spatial mechanisms can be implemented by upgrading the level of infrastructure development, optimizing the market environment, and enhancing the innovation capability. Therefore, it can be said that China’s Belt and Road investment can promote the development of the host country’s comprehensive international competitiveness from multiple perspectives. Moreover, research indicates that the infrastructure distance between the host country and China provides a broad space for Chinese investment, under whose effect Chinese investment contributes significantly and exhibits a positive spatial spillover effect, while market distance and innovation distance have the opposite effects. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3212-3231 Issue: 27 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206104 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206104 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:27:p:3212-3231 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206112_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Siyi Peng Author-X-Name-First: Siyi Author-X-Name-Last: Peng Author-Name: Zijie Fan Author-X-Name-First: Zijie Author-X-Name-Last: Fan Author-Name: Wenjie Hu Author-X-Name-First: Wenjie Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Jiaqi Yuan Author-X-Name-First: Jiaqi Author-X-Name-Last: Yuan Title: RCEP, global value chains and welfare effects: a quantitative analysis based on the distinction between intermediates and final goods Abstract: We quantify the trade and welfare effects of RCEP. Using a quantitative multi-country and multi-sector trade model that distinguishes key characteristics between intermediates and final goods, we illustrate the heterogeneous impacts of RCEP on trade and welfare. RCEP has trade creation effects within members but has trade diversion effects for non-members. There are substantial welfare gains within RCEP, but the decomposition results indicate that the sources of welfare gains differ, with China and ASEAN countries mainly originating from growth in the volume of trade, but at the cost of the deterioration in terms of trade. Trade liberalization in service also contributes to welfare gains, mainly from intermediates trade. India’s accession to RCEP improves the welfare of itself and its members, while its terms of trade deteriorate. We also find that with distinctions between intermediates and final goods, the heterogeneous effects of the two can be captured. Moreover, our model predicts more significant welfare gains than a model without input-output networks and sectoral linkages. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3334-3348 Issue: 28 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206112 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206112 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:28:p:3334-3348 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206623_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Shengming Hu Author-X-Name-First: Shengming Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Author-Name: Kai Lin Author-X-Name-First: Kai Author-X-Name-Last: Lin Author-Name: Bei Liu Author-X-Name-First: Bei Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Hui Wang Author-X-Name-First: Hui Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Does robotization improve the skill structure? The role of job displacement and structural transformation Abstract: The literature generally focuses on the impact of robots or artificial intelligence on the employment and wages, but ignores the effect of robotization on the skill structure and its underlying mechanisms and lacks empirical evidence from developing countries. We theoretically develop a task model by introducing the skill structure and empirically investigate the effect of robotization on the skill structure based on Chinese provincial panel data from 2006 to 2018. Results show that: (1) the development of robotization in China is conducive to improving the skill structure, and the baseline conclusion still holds even though adopting multiple indexes of skill structure and controlling the endogeneity bias. (2) Robotization generates not only job displacement effect by displacing unskilled workers with robots but also structural transformation effect by increasing the proportion of technology-intensive industries, which can improve the skill structure. (3) In coastal provinces with strong Internet foundation, information transmission capacity and labour protection intensity, high labour cost and ageing rate, robotization plays a stronger role in improving the skill structure. Moreover, robotization can induce the employment polarization. These conclusions can help avoid technical unemployment and promote the upgrading of the skill structure in China. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3415-3430 Issue: 28 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206623 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206623 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:28:p:3415-3430 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206619_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Hao Shen Author-X-Name-First: Hao Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Jiang Xin Author-X-Name-First: Jiang Author-X-Name-Last: Xin Author-Name: Yu Gao Author-X-Name-First: Yu Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Title: Insights into guanxi and firm performance in China: an integrated lens of culture and guanxi Abstract: Chinese guanxi may contribute to the explanation of the rapid growth of Chinese firms. This study uses drinking culture, regarded as a typical feature of guanxi-oriented culture, and political ties, regarded as indicating the cultural embeddedness of guanxi, to empirically examine the effects of cross-level interaction between guanxi-oriented regional culture and culturally embedded managers’ guanxi on firm performance in China. Based on the data of A-share listed companies from 2016 to 2019, multiple linear regression analysis is used to test hypotheses. The results show that guanxi improves firm financial performance but damage technological innovation. The context-specific research offers novel insights and contextualized knowledge to enrich and extend the understanding of how guanxi affects firm growth and contribute to the knowledge of Chinese social philosophy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3401-3414 Issue: 28 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206619 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206619 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:28:p:3401-3414 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206617_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jorge R. Gonzales Author-X-Name-First: Jorge R. Author-X-Name-Last: Gonzales Author-Name: Luis Varona Author-X-Name-First: Luis Author-X-Name-Last: Varona Title: Food import demand in Peru, 1980-2021 Abstract: This study analyses and explains food imports from Peru: 1980–2021. The econometric method uses Autoregressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL) models. The result of the stationarity property of I(0) and I(1) of the variables suggests the use of the ARDL model. The Granger causality result shows that variables explain food imports. The bound test cointegration showed a long-run cointegration to exist between foot imports and income, the real exchange rate, relative prices, price of fertilizers, and institution. The short-run analysis shows positive effects of relative prices and the real exchange rate towards food imports. And in the long-run analysis, we have found a positive relationship between food imports and economic growth. Also, there is a negative relationship between food imports and the growth of the real exchange rate, the price of fertilizers, and the opening of the Free Trade Agreement. Policies for self-sufficiency are recommended through investment policies in human capital for research in fertilizers and alternative organic manures; in financial capital for access to credit for small producers; in social capital, with support for sectors with lower productivity in rural areas to reduce dependence on the international market and the growing demand for food imports that puts food security at risk. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3371-3384 Issue: 28 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206617 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206617 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:28:p:3371-3384 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206618_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Don U.A. Galagedera Author-X-Name-First: Don U.A. Author-X-Name-Last: Galagedera Title: Planning for potential increases in disbursements and risk of managed funds conditional on desired short-term performance levels Abstract: As increasing disbursements (such as costs and fees) and risk (such as portfolio risk and leverage risk) may affect managed fund performance, analysts go beyond risk-adjusted return measures for performance appraisal. A methodology that assesses performance in a multidimensional framework is data envelopment analysis (DEA). A variant of DEA is inverse DEA. In this paper, inverse DEA is applied to determine output (investment income and benefit payments) targets for a given fund to perform at a desired efficiency level when increase in disbursements and risk at known levels is envisaged. An output-oriented inverse DEA model assuming variable returns to scale is formulated with theoretical underpinning. The proposed modelling framework ensures that, when an input augmented fund with estimated output targets is included in the observed fund set, the frontier of best performance established with the observed fund set does not change. The inverse DEA model is applied to a sample of Australian superannuation funds to demonstrate how a given fund may obtain pathways to improve its performance under different input-augmentation scenarios. As different pathways suggest feasible output targets, fund managers may find them valuable in forward planning. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3385-3400 Issue: 28 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206618 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206618 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:28:p:3385-3400 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206616_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Anirudh Shingal Author-X-Name-First: Anirudh Author-X-Name-Last: Shingal Title: The COVID-19 shock and services trade decline: potential for digitalization matters Abstract: Global services trade declined by 20% during 2020 with significant heterogeneity across countries, geographical regions and sectors. We present stylized facts and provide hypotheses and empirical analysis seeking to explain this heterogeneity. The decline is found to be correlated with COVID-19 case and mortality rates; stringency of imposed lockdowns; the decline in merchandise trade; and with different ways of transacting services trade. The latter depends on the sectoral composition of services trade across countries, which in turn emanates from more fundamental determinants of comparative advantage in services, generating testable hypotheses to explain the observed heterogeneity in services trade decline. Focusing on attributes of digitalization and the role of value-chains, we find that human-capital-intensive countries with favourable digital-trade policies and greater ability to leverage ICT infrastructure were associated with relatively smaller declines. Moreover, the expected role of GVC-integration in accentuating the services trade decline finds little support in empirical results across sectors providing evidence instead for the GVC-resilience narrative. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3349-3370 Issue: 28 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206616 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206616 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:28:p:3349-3370 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206111_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Firat Demir Author-X-Name-First: Firat Author-X-Name-Last: Demir Author-Name: Yi Duan Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Duan Title: Target at the right level: aid, spillovers, and growth in sub-saharan Africa Abstract: Previous aid effectiveness literature is subject to aggregation bias and does not discuss aid spillover effects. Using spatial analysis and data from geocoded World Bank aid projects, this article investigates international aid effectiveness and aid spillovers at the sub-national level in 3,764 second-order administrative divisions (ADM2) in 48 countries in Sub-Saharan Africa over the period of 1995–2014. The empirical analysis is based on an instrumental variable approach and relies on nightlights data as a proxy for economic activity. The empirical results reveal three previously undocumented findings on aid effectiveness. First, we find that aid at the local level (ADM2) promotes economic growth at an economically and statistically significant level. Second, we uncover significantly positive aid spillovers across adjacent localities (ADM2). Third, aid flows at more aggregate levels (ADM1 and country level) have the opposite effect and reduce economic growth. The net effect of all aid variables is near zero and is within the range of coefficient estimates reported at the country level by previous papers. These results suggest that targeted aid projects can be effective in promoting economic growth. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3293-3333 Issue: 28 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206111 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206111 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:28:p:3293-3333 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206626_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Maryam Dilmaghani Author-X-Name-First: Maryam Author-X-Name-Last: Dilmaghani Author-Name: Jason Dean Author-X-Name-First: Jason Author-X-Name-Last: Dean Title: Sexual orientation and intra-household specialization before and after the legal recognition of same-sex marriage in Canada Abstract: Using the Canadians Censuses of 2001, 2006, 2016, and the National Household Survey of 2011, this article compares intra-household specialization patterns of married and cohabiting couples by gender composition of households. Household specialization is operationalized in several ways. The first set of measures captures the earnings differentials between spouses, while the second set of measures relies on labour supply. In line with previous studies, we often find a lower level of intra-household specialization for both male-male and female-female couples, compared with their heterosexual counterparts. However, the difference with heterosexuals is much larger for female-female couples. When the most recent dataset is split by income level, it appears that the specialization gaps are largely driven by the more affluent households. We also find considerable heterogeneity in the patterns when the sample is split by generational status. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3460-3484 Issue: 29 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206626 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206626 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:29:p:3460-3484 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206631_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Wen Yue Author-X-Name-First: Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Yue Title: Human capital and domestic value added in exports: evidence from China Abstract: Based on the data of Chinese manufacturing firms from 2000 to 2006, this study takes the university enrolment expansion policy implemented by the Chinese government in 1999 as a quasi-natural experiment, and uses the difference-in-difference (DID) method to identify the effect of human capital expansion on the ratio of domestic value added in exports to gross exports (DVAR) of firms. Results show that human capital expansion significantly improves the firms’ DVAR through the ‘intermediate product substitution’ channel (promoting firms to use more domestic intermediate inputs to replace imported intermediate inputs in production) and the ‘markup’ channel (promoting the increase of firms’ markup). At the same time, significant heterogeneity exists in the effects of human capital expansion on the DVAR of different types of firms. These results provide new empirical evidence from the perspective of firm DVAR for further understanding of the microeconomic effects of human capital. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3533-3547 Issue: 29 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206631 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206631 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:29:p:3533-3547 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206624_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yi Li Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Fangyu Ye Author-X-Name-First: Fangyu Author-X-Name-Last: Ye Author-Name: Huiming Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Huiming Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Title: Impact of interaction between corporate environmental responsibility and corporate financial performance: the moderating effects of environmental regulation and internal control Abstract: This paper investigates the interaction between corporate environmental responsibility (CER) and corporate financial performance (CFP). Moreover, the moderating effect of environmental regulation and internal control on this relationship is also examined. Based on the panel data of 790 China’s A-shares listed companies of heavily polluting industries from 2006 to 2019, the results show that while CFP has a significant positive impact on CER, the positive impact of CER on CFP is not significant. Further analysis reveals that environmental regulation plays a positive moderating role in the impact of CFP on CER, and the positive impact of CER on CFP become significant in higher internal control quality firms. The results indicate that good environmental performance is a consequence of earlier good financial performance, and the costs of implementing sustainable and responsible projects are not always offset by revenues sufficient to generate increases in profit. Our findings suggest that firms should improve the quality of internal control and government should increase environmental supervision to achieve a virtuous circle connecting CER and CFP. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3431-3444 Issue: 29 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206624 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206624 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:29:p:3431-3444 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206630_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Lingduo Jiang Author-X-Name-First: Lingduo Author-X-Name-Last: Jiang Author-Name: Shuangshuang Liu Author-X-Name-First: Shuangshuang Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Author-Name: Guofeng Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Guofeng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The impact of Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank on OFDI: evidence from China Abstract: This study empirically explores the impact of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) on outward foreign direct investment (OFDI). Based on data of Chinese cross-border investments during 2007–2020 obtained from the Bureau van Dijk (BvD) Zephyr database, we use a multi-period difference-in-differences estimation strategy to identify the construction of the AIIB throughout the period of 2014–2020. The results reveal that the establishment of the AIIB increases the possibility of China’s OFDI by an average of 15.45%; furthermore, the number of China’s OFDI projects arises by 20.40% and the amount of China’s OFDI flows boosts by 23.04% on average. Moreover, the heterogeneity analyses show that the AIIB prompts more OFDI flows to countries with higher economic developments, especially those technology- and export-oriented ones. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3517-3532 Issue: 29 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206630 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206630 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:29:p:3517-3532 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206627_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Robert J. Brent Author-X-Name-First: Robert J. Author-X-Name-Last: Brent Title: Use of distributional weights in cost–benefit analysis revisited Abstract: It is nearly 40 years since an earlier survey on the use of distributional weights in Cost-Benefitcost–benefit analysis was first published. Since then, a number of significant contributions have been made in the literature. It is therefore timely to revisit the issue by focusing on the key reasons why distributional weights are so necessary. We present a new justification for using unequal income distributional weights in CBA, and and reaffirm a completely neglected reason for adopting distribution weights. We derive the weights from a formulation of the SWF. We specify the minimum value judgmentsjudgements for the SWF that everyone can agree on who accepts the fundamentals of welfare economics. As many CBA practitioners have ignored using distribution weights, inadequate attention has been given to how they can be estimated. The final objective of this paper is to highlight the main methods for estimating these weights, and and to present applications of these methods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3485-3498 Issue: 29 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206627 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206627 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:29:p:3485-3498 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206629_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Xiaodong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Xiaodong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Haoming Mi Author-X-Name-First: Haoming Author-X-Name-Last: Mi Author-Name: Peng Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Whether to decentralize and how to decentralize? The optimal fiscal federalism in an endogenous growth model Abstract: We develop an endogenous growth model with public consumption and infrastructure services provided by two-tier governments. Growth performance and welfare implication are compared under the centralized and decentralized fiscal federal systems. In general, there is a trade-off between welfare and growth due to conflicts of interest and asymmetric information between central and local governments. By numerical simulations, we show that the optimal fiscal federalism should impose restrictions on expenditure−GDP ratio, rather than on expenditure−budget ratio or central−local expenditure ratio, because expenditure−GDP ratio can align the incentives of the two-tier governments. Furthermore, it is suggested that decentralized fiscal systems are generally superior to the centralized system because the efficiency loss overweighs the agency cost. The model is then applied to analyzing different growth experiences in the West and China by institutional and cultural differences. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3499-3516 Issue: 29 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206629 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206629 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:29:p:3499-3516 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206625_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Kaiming Cheng Author-X-Name-First: Kaiming Author-X-Name-Last: Cheng Author-Name: Shucheng Liu Author-X-Name-First: Shucheng Author-X-Name-Last: Liu Title: Does urbanization promote the urban–rural equalization of basic public services? Evidence from prefectural cities in China Abstract: The question of how urbanization affects the urban–rural equalization of basic public services (BPS) remains unexplored, although BPS equalization is an important means of achieving common prosperity. Based on the BPS supply and demand perspective, we examine the path mechanisms through which urbanization affects urban–rural BPS equalization. Based on panel data from Chinese prefectural cities from 2003 to 2020, a TOPSIS model, combined CRITIC-entropy weights and an information entropy function, are used to measure the level of urban–rural BPS equalization. Considering the spatial spillover effect of urbanization, a dynamic spatial Durbin model is constructed to empirically examine the impact of urbanization. The study found that, overall, the direct and indirect effects of urbanization on urban–rural BPS equalization are significantly positive, and urbanization is conducive to urban–rural BPS equalization improvement in cities and surrounding areas. The effect of urbanization on urban–rural BPS equalization significantly varies between different regions. The study concludes that the process of people-centred urbanization should be accelerated to optimize the spatial layout of BPS, promote high-quality economic development and achieve common prosperity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3445-3459 Issue: 29 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206625 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206625 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:29:p:3445-3459 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206634_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Simona Bigerna Author-X-Name-First: Simona Author-X-Name-Last: Bigerna Author-Name: Maria Chiara D’Errico Author-X-Name-First: Maria Chiara Author-X-Name-Last: D’Errico Author-Name: Silvia Micheli Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Author-X-Name-Last: Micheli Author-Name: Paolo Polinori Author-X-Name-First: Paolo Author-X-Name-Last: Polinori Title: Environmental-economic efficiency for carbon neutrality: the role of eco-innovation, taxation, and globalization in OECD countries Abstract: The aim of this paper is to examine the relationship between three determinants – environmental patents, environmental taxation and trade globalization – and the environmental-economic efficiency of 29 OECD countries between 2005 and 2020. Using the Global Malmquist-Luenberger index, this research computes the environmental productivity growth and its main drivers – the catch-up and the frontier shift terms. Besides, dynamic panel linear models are applied to investigate how the three institutional variables affect the dynamics of the computed efficiency indices. Results are as follows: firstly, eco-innovation is the most relevant factor in boosting the environmental productivity growth, pushing forward the technological frontier, and spurring the catch-up term. Secondly, environmental taxation is an ineffective policy instrument in promoting the sustainable growth and technological frontier advancements, having positive impacts only on the catch-up term. Thirdly, trade globalization reveals to hinder the sustainable growth and its two main drivers. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3568-3581 Issue: 30 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206634 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206634 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:30:p:3568-3581 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2207812_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Antonella Biscione Author-X-Name-First: Antonella Author-X-Name-Last: Biscione Author-Name: Chiara Burlina Author-X-Name-First: Chiara Author-X-Name-Last: Burlina Author-Name: Annunziata de Felice Author-X-Name-First: Annunziata Author-X-Name-Last: de Felice Title: Knowledge flows and innovation: a pseudo-panel approach Abstract: This study investigates whether the effect of vertical and horizontal knowledge sources affect technological innovation for a sample of firms in 10 European countries. The empirical analysis is based on a unique dataset extracted from the Community Innovation Survey for the period 2002 to 2012. Results, using a pseudo-panel approach at country-industry level, reveal that vertical knowledge from suppliers strongly affects both product and process innovation, while knowledge flows from clients influence in particular product innovation. Finally, horizontal knowledge flows from competitors appear to have an effect on process innovation. These findings are validated with an instrumental variable approach using Lewbel’s technique to internally generate reliable instruments, when external ones are not suitable. Overall, results seem to suggest the need for ad-hoc policies to foster knowledge flows among firms in different phases of the production process to boost their innovative capacity both for products and processes. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3636-3651 Issue: 30 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2207812 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2207812 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:30:p:3636-3651 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2207813_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Xiaozhen Pan Author-X-Name-First: Xiaozhen Author-X-Name-Last: Pan Author-Name: Gengxi Xu Author-X-Name-First: Gengxi Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Title: The impact of managers’ IT experience on the enterprises’ digital transformation: Empirical evidence from China Abstract: Digital transformation has become a primary strategic choice of enterprises in recent years. We use Chinese A-share listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen as samples, use text analysis to describe the degree of enterprises’ digital transformation, and empirically test the impact of managers’ information technology (IT) experience on the enterprises’ digital transformation. The research results show that the managers’ IT experience can significantly promote the enterprises’ digital transformation and has strong robustness. Heterogeneity analysis shows that only when IT managers have information technology-related work experience, greater power, and stronger salary incentives can their information technology experience effectively promote enterprises’ digital transformation. Further research shows that the IT experience of directors, supervisors, and executives all contributes to the enterprises’ digital transformation. This study guides human resource management in enterprises’ digital transformation in developing countries. Enterprises should focus on diversifying senior management team backgrounds and strengthen the internal training and external introduction of IT management talents. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3652-3668 Issue: 30 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2207813 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2207813 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:30:p:3652-3668 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206636_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Rupamanjari Sinha Ray Author-X-Name-First: Rupamanjari Author-X-Name-Last: Sinha Ray Title: Can environmental SDGs moderate trade and environment nexus? A South Asian context based on panel ARDL approach Abstract: The study renews the debate over trade openness and environmental quality by empirically examining the moderating role of environmental SDGs, viz., affordable and clean energy (SDG 7) and climate action (SDG 13), in South Asia. Static panel regression analysis is undertaken, followed by a panel ARDL approach and the Engle-Granger causality test. All eight South Asian countries and a study period of 2002–2019 constitute the panel data set for the present analysis. The result suggests that while SDG 7 is a game changer in doing away with the pollution haven, the moderating impacts of SDG 7 and SDG 13 further reinforce the EKC hypothesis in the region. Both SDG 7 and SDG 13 exhibit long-run moderating effects on the pollution haven, and SDG 13 is observed to have a short-run moderating causal impact. The novel introduction of environmental SDGs to resolve the classical trade and environment debate has policy implications for simultaneous advancements towards SDG 7 and SDG 13. The study is valuable from the perspective of international cooperation, particularly when South Asian economies are not beyond the gloom of global permacrisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3600-3620 Issue: 30 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206636 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206636 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:30:p:3600-3620 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206633_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yanjiang Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yanjiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xiangjun Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xiangjun Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Fan Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Fan Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Jiayang Song Author-X-Name-First: Jiayang Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Rumour of administrative division adjustment and regional housing markets: housing listings, prices and speculation Abstract: We trace the rumour that two undeveloped regions were to be administratively merged into Beijing, which is the capital of China. Applying a difference-in-difference approach, we find that housing listing prices in the two undeveloped regions declined by 25.1% after local governments clarified the rumour. Our results are robust after considering possible confounders such as contemporary housing market policies, business cycles and migrations. The price reduction caused by the rumour collapse averages to 347–396 thousand yuan, a comparable number to the value of ‘Hukou’ in Beijing. Finally, we show that herding and speculation accelerate the price bust after the rumour collapses. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3549-3567 Issue: 30 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206633 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206633 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:30:p:3549-3567 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206992_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Malick Kebe Author-X-Name-First: Malick Author-X-Name-Last: Kebe Author-Name: Saralees Nadarajah Author-X-Name-First: Saralees Author-X-Name-Last: Nadarajah Title: Change point analysis of the effects of the Russo-Ukrainian war on wheat flour prices in selected African countries Abstract: Using change point analysis, we have examined price changes in wheat flour prices as provided by the Food and Agricultural Organization Tool in Angola, Mauritania, Egypt, Namibia, and South Africa. Change point analysis confirms that prices had been on an upward trajectory even before the war in Eastern Europe. The war caused domestic prices to remain high. African countries must find a way to be better prepared for the next supply shock of this variety and magnitude. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3621-3635 Issue: 30 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206992 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206992 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:30:p:3621-3635 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2206635_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yong Li Author-X-Name-First: Yong Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Tong Niu Author-X-Name-First: Tong Author-X-Name-Last: Niu Author-Name: Xingyi Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xingyi Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Title: Exploration of industrial risk contagion characteristics and mechanism under geopolitical events: evidence from China Abstract: Based on the TVP-VAR-DY and TVP-VAR-BK models, this article examines the characteristics and mechanisms of systemic risk contagion in the Chinese industries under geopolitical events by selecting data spans from 1 January 2010 to 31 August 2022. First, dynamic analysis of full-sample risk contagion shows that there is a significant climb in total risk during geopolitical events. Then the static analysis of risk contagion in the full sample specifically shows the correlation between risk contagion and industry chain between the financial and real sectors. Besides, the sub-sample analysis illustrates that during geopolitical events such as the Sino-US Trade War, the COVID-19 Pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine Conflict, Chinese industrial stock indexes show short-term risk spillovers from key industries related to geopolitical events, and gradually spread along the industrial chain in the long run compared to the Chinese ‘Stock Market Crash’. Through further mechanistic tests, we find that the irrational behaviour of investors in the market exacerbates short-term risk contagion, while the financial distress of real firms due to financing constraints exacerbates long-term risk contagion. In addition, geopolitical risk, economic uncertainty, and policy uncertainty as macro variables also have an impact on the short-run and long-run risk contagion. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3582-3599 Issue: 30 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 06 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2206635 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2206635 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:30:p:3582-3599 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208335_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Astrid Loretta Ayala Author-X-Name-First: Astrid Loretta Author-X-Name-Last: Ayala Author-Name: Szabolcs Blazsek Author-X-Name-First: Szabolcs Author-X-Name-Last: Blazsek Author-Name: Adrian Licht Author-X-Name-First: Adrian Author-X-Name-Last: Licht Title: Score function scaling for QAR plus Beta-t-EGARCH: an empirical application to the S&P 500 Abstract: In the literature on score-driven models, alternative choices of the scaling parameters of the conditional score terms are used, but the optimal choice of those parameters is an open question. Although there are score-driven models for which the choice of the scaling parameters is irrelevant, there are important score-driven models for which score-driven scale filters appear in the information matrix, and the choice of the scaling parameters is relevant. We focus on the quasi-autoregressive (QAR) plus Beta-$t$t-EGARCH (exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) model, by using data on the Vanguard Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) exchange-traded fund (VOO) and all available S&P 500 stocks for the period of 2013–2023. For QAR plus Beta-$t$t-EGARCH, each updating term is the product of a scaling parameter and a conditional score, and we use specific alternative scaling parameters from the literature. For different scaling parameters in the scale filter (volatility), alternative location and scale filters coincide. For different scaling parameters in the location filter (expected return), alternative location and scale filters differ significantly. For the statistical and volatility forecasting performances of VOO and most of the S&P 500 stocks, the best-performing scaling parameter for the score-driven location is the conditional inverse information matrix. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3684-3697 Issue: 31 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208335 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208335 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:31:p:3684-3697 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208843_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Vikkram Singh Author-X-Name-First: Vikkram Author-X-Name-Last: Singh Author-Name: Eduardo Dacillo Roca Author-X-Name-First: Eduardo Dacillo Author-X-Name-Last: Roca Title: Do birds of the same feather flock together? The cultural geography of global housing price interaction Abstract: The literature documents that cultural factors affect housing or real estate markets and their interactions. Given this, we map global housing markets into different cultural blocs, and study the dynamics of price interaction among them. We investigate the extent and manner of price interaction within and between cultural blocs using a battery of econometric tests and network analyses. We confirm that housing markets within the same blocs are highly correlated, cointegrated and react to each other more quickly than those among different blocs. Our results provide a new perspective on the important role of culture in the transmission of linkages among housing markets globally and have vital implications for the global coordination of policies to stabilize housing markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3760-3777 Issue: 31 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208843 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208843 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:31:p:3760-3777 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208842_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Zibin Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Zibin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Xu Ou Author-X-Name-First: Xu Author-X-Name-Last: Ou Author-Name: Wenxin Cai Author-X-Name-First: Wenxin Author-X-Name-Last: Cai Title: How do firms respond to the tighter COD discharge standards? Evidence from the pulp and paper industry in China Abstract: The chemical oxygen demand (COD) emissions from the pulp and paper industry in China have declined continuously since the tighter COD discharge standards were implemented in 2008. Using firm-level data from 2003 to 2013, we investigate how China’s pulp and paper firms would respond to the tighter COD discharge standards with a difference-in-differences design. We find that the tighter COD discharge standards have significant causal effects to induce the pulp and paper firms to reduce their COD emissions primarily through adopting cleaner production. However, the effectiveness of the tighter COD discharge standards depends on monitoring and enforcement activities as well as other regulations accompanying with the tighter COD discharge standards, all of which have become strengthened since China’s 11th Five-Year-Plan (FYP, 2006–2010). While strengthened environmental regulations since the 11th FYP are from the top leadership of the Chinese government in order to deal with the increasing environmental degradation, the underlying driving force of the strengthened environmental regulations is from the household demand for better environmental quality as income increases. This study enriches literature not only on firms’ responses to environmental regulations in developing countries but also on environmental regulations and technology adoption as well as environmental enforcement and compliance. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3741-3759 Issue: 31 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208842 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208842 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:31:p:3741-3759 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208338_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Qin Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Qin Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Xiangxiang Zhou Author-X-Name-First: Xiangxiang Author-X-Name-Last: Zhou Title: Regional differences and dynamic evolution of digital trade: data from China Abstract: Revealing regional differences and evolutionary patterns is a crucial component of studying digital trade development. This paper constructs an evaluation index system for digital trade development and assesses the level of digital trade development in mainland China of 30 provinces from 2013 to 2020. Using methods such as Dagum Gini coefficient, this study investigates the differences in regional development and the spatial dynamic evolution of digital trade development. The findings indicate that (1) while the overall level of digital trade in China is increasing, it manifests unbalanced growth. Additionally, inter-regional difference, as opposed to intra-regional difference, account for the primary source of digital trade development difference, contributing an annual average of 71.699%. (2) The kernel density distribution of digital trade is gradually narrowing. The absolute difference in the level of digital trade development between China and the four regions (east, central, west, and northeast) is progressively diminishing over time. (3) The Moran’s I index is positive, indicating a strong spatial correlation among digital trade development. In the eastern and western regions, there are ‘high-high’ and ‘low-low’ clusters between adjacent provinces; the dynamic transfer of digital trade levels occurs between provinces of adjacent levels, demonstrating the positive effect of proximity. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3722-3740 Issue: 31 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:31:p:3722-3740 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208844_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Vasilios-Christos Naoum Author-X-Name-First: Vasilios-Christos Author-X-Name-Last: Naoum Author-Name: Georgios Papanastasopoulos Author-X-Name-First: Georgios Author-X-Name-Last: Papanastasopoulos Author-Name: Panagiotis Selekos Author-X-Name-First: Panagiotis Author-X-Name-Last: Selekos Author-Name: Orestes Vlismas Author-X-Name-First: Orestes Author-X-Name-Last: Vlismas Title: Exploring the asymmetric cost behaviour in the context of European non-listed firms Abstract: This study provides international empirical evidence for the asymmetric cost behaviour of operating expenses in the context of the European non-listed firms. We employed a data sample of 4,177,625 firm years observations from Amadeus Database for the period 2009–2017 to explore the asymmetric cost behaviour phenomenon at the EU-28 countries pool and country level. Substantial variation in the direction of the asymmetric cost behaviour, across countries and firm size clusters, has been observed. However, in a considerable number of cases operating expenses exhibit symmetric cost behaviour. We conjecture that the reasons behind the observed pattern of asymmetric cost behaviour in the organizational setting of non-listed firms are the relative low availability of entrepreneurial economic resources and the presence of entrepreneur which might affect the resource allocation decision-making process. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3778-3803 Issue: 31 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208844 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208844 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:31:p:3778-3803 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208334_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Nicolas Williams Author-X-Name-First: Nicolas Author-X-Name-Last: Williams Title: Sector specificity of training Abstract: Human capital acquired through employer-provided training is pervasive in labour markets and an important determinant of post-schooling wage growth. The literature has focused on understanding under what conditions this training will lead to higher wages. Here I offer another aspect for consideration: Does the proximity of the current job to past jobs affect the return to training? In particular, I look at whether the wage return to training acquired at a previous employer depends upon the relative ‘proximity’ of the worker’s past employer to their current one, where proximity is measured by whether the worker received the training in the same industry or occupation as the current job. I investigate this using data from the British Household Panel Survey, with both fixed effects and instrumental variable estimation. The results suggest that both current and previous employer training spells are important determinants of wages, and both need to be included in wage regressions. Evidence further suggests that the return to formal training is highest if the training was received in a previous job that was in the same industry and occupation as the current one. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3669-3683 Issue: 31 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208334 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208334 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:31:p:3669-3683 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208336_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Ahmed Bossman Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Bossman Author-Name: Mariya Gubareva Author-X-Name-First: Mariya Author-X-Name-Last: Gubareva Author-Name: Tamara Teplova Author-X-Name-First: Tamara Author-X-Name-Last: Teplova Title: Hedge and safe-haven attributes of faith-based stocks vis-à-vis cryptocurrency environmental attention: a multi-scale quantile regression analysis Abstract: The attractiveness of the equities of the Islamic faith-compliant companies as a hedge or possible diversifier has been underscored; however, there is a lack of empirical research on their safe-haven and hedge attributes against changes in the level of cryptocurrency environmental attention (ICEA). We examine whether various distributions of the ICEA possess a significant predictive power on various quantiles of Islamic sectoral stock returns by employing weekly data on the ICEA and Shariah-compliant stocks from 10 sectors of economic activity and base their multi-scale analysis on the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMDAN) approach. We present the asymmetric causality-in-means and quantile-on-quantile regression between the ICEA and Islamic stocks. The empirical results show a significant predictive power of the ICEA on various quantiles of Islamic sectoral stocks in the medium- and long term. We find that the safe-haven and hedging attributes of investments in Islamic stocks are sector-dependent across the medium- and long-term scales. Hence, our findings emphasize that based on market states, possible safe-haven attributes, diversification opportunities, and hedges for cross-sectoral investments with Islamic stocks are viable along various investment horizons for diverse levels of cryptocurrency environmental attention. These findings provide original valuable insights for portfolio management and improving financial stability. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3698-3721 Issue: 31 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208336 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:31:p:3698-3721 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208850_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Luca Farè Author-X-Name-First: Luca Author-X-Name-Last: Farè Author-Name: Marcus Dejardin Author-X-Name-First: Marcus Author-X-Name-Last: Dejardin Author-Name: Eric Toulemonde Author-X-Name-First: Eric Author-X-Name-Last: Toulemonde Title: Bankruptcy recovery rate and small businesses’ innovation Abstract: Small businesses often face a high risk of bankruptcy and harsh financing conditions, which can hamper them from engaging in innovation. This paper investigates whether a bankruptcy system that guarantees a good recovery rate for creditors in case of firms’ liquidation stimulates small businesses’ innovation investments through lower interest rates and therefore easier access to credit. With the help of a borrower-lender model, we derive insights about the interactions between bankruptcy recovery rate, borrowing interest rates and firms’ investments in innovation. The model gives theoretical underpinnings for a subsequent empirical analysis. By using a cross-country sample of micro (1–9 employees)-, small (10–49 employees)-, and medium (50–249 employees)-sized enterprises (MSMEs), our study provides three main results. It shows that an increase in the bankruptcy recovery rate a) is positively associated to MSMEs’ investments in innovation (investment effect); b) reduces the share of MSMEs that are credit constrained because the cost of borrowing is too high (constraint effect); c) reduces the interest rates dispersion for highly profitable MSMEs (dispersion effect). Overall, our findings suggest that improving creditors recovery rate can help promote the innovative behaviour of small businesses through easier financing conditions. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3870-3903 Issue: 32 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208850 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208850 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:32:p:3870-3903 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208851_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yuping Deng Author-X-Name-First: Yuping Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Author-Name: Chunmei Rong Author-X-Name-First: Chunmei Author-X-Name-Last: Rong Author-Name: Rong Chen Author-X-Name-First: Rong Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Title: Does manufacturing servitization reduce emissions intensity? evidence from China Abstract: This paper investigates the impact on polluting emissions as a result of manufacturing industries in China offering services as well as products. We merge detailed firm-level statistics covering 2000 to 2011, and use two-way linear fixed effects regression to control for firm and year heterogeneities and a host of control variables. The empirical results show that manufacturing servitization significantly reduces the emission intensity of firms. This effect is achieved by improving the total factor productivity of firms, optimizing the efficiency of energy use, and increasing the share of the highly-skilled labour force. Moreover, the emission reduction effect of manufacturing servitization is more profound in the eastern and central regions, pollution-intensive industries, non-state-owned firms, and processing trade firms. In addition, our extended analysis shows that the emission reduction effects of manufacturing servitization can be strengthened through trade liberalization and cohort study. The major policy implication is that governments should undertake industrial policies that reinforce the positive effects of manufacturing servitization in order to achieve win-win outcomes in manufacturing upgrading and environmental protection. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3904-3919 Issue: 32 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208851 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208851 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:32:p:3904-3919 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208849_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Chien-Chiang Lee Author-X-Name-First: Chien-Chiang Author-X-Name-Last: Lee Author-Name: Chih-Wei Wang Author-X-Name-First: Chih-Wei Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Wen-Ling Chen Author-X-Name-First: Wen-Ling Author-X-Name-Last: Chen Author-Name: Pei-Chin Hong Author-X-Name-First: Pei-Chin Author-X-Name-Last: Hong Title: Compulsory disclosure regulation: the effect of ESG on extreme risk Abstract: We examined the impact of compulsory disclosure regulations on the relationship between the Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) and firm-specific extreme risk. We used a difference-in-difference approach to solve endogenous concerns and found that the negative impact of the ESG score on extreme risk is more significant after announcing compulsory disclosure regulations. Additionally, we demonstrated that this effect becomes more substantial when firms issue green bonds. Finally, the subsample tests showed that the compulsory influence of the government is more evident in firms with high financial transparency and firms with low crash risk. Our empirical findings had policy implications for governments, regulators, and investors. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3856-3869 Issue: 32 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208849 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208849 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:32:p:3856-3869 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208848_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Imlak Shaikh Author-X-Name-First: Imlak Author-X-Name-Last: Shaikh Author-Name: Priyanka Vallabh Author-X-Name-First: Priyanka Author-X-Name-Last: Vallabh Title: Impact of policy uncertainty on gold price in India: evidence from multi commodity exchange (MCX) India and World Gold Council prices Abstract: India is one of the largest consumers of gold but remains largely unexplored and requires proper attention from investors, regulators and policymakers. Our study aims to uncover the relationship between policy uncertainty and gold prices in India, considering a timeline from 2004 to 2023. Using India EPU and geopolitical uncertainty-related index, the empirical estimation was performed in a time series framework using standard OLS and augmented regression using data from MCX-India and WGC prices. Our statistical investigation signals that policy uncertainty and gold prices in India are positively associated. This implies a higher degree of policy uncertainty and a higher gold price. Monetary policy uncertainty and interest rate changes shows an asymmetric impact on the gold price in India; the effects were more pronounced after 2015. Furthermore, policy uncertainty contains information explaining gold futures prices and has a two-month lag impact. Thus, gold trading in India is sensitive to the economic outlook of the economy and policy uncertainty. Gold imports in India have an adverse effect on gold prices. It is also reported that the INR/USD exchange rate plays a vital role in gold price setting. Hence, the study suggest that India’s government should develop a healthy gold ecosystem and gold-policy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3837-3855 Issue: 32 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208848 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208848 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:32:p:3837-3855 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208846_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Loan Cong To Nguyen Author-X-Name-First: Loan Cong To Author-X-Name-Last: Nguyen Author-Name: Michael O’Connor Keefe Author-X-Name-First: Michael O’Connor Author-X-Name-Last: Keefe Title: News feeds are no longer free: policy implications from Australia Abstract: In 2021, the Australian Government introduced its News Media and Digital Platforms Mandatory Bargaining Code (‘the Code’) to support the sustainability of the country’s journalism. Using Event Study Methodology, we find a collectively positive stock market reaction in the news media industry to the introduction of the Code, although different patterns amongst individual firms and groups by size to the different stages of the Code’s development. The large-firm group records larger gain in terms of equity value, but a lower percentage gain than small and medium enterprises. The economic importance of our findings reinforces the Australian Government’s regulatory approach as a means to sustain the legitimate interest of businesses and consumers in the news media sector. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3822-3836 Issue: 32 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208846 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208846 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:32:p:3822-3836 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208845_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Abdoulaye Kane Author-X-Name-First: Abdoulaye Author-X-Name-Last: Kane Author-Name: Jimmy Lopez Author-X-Name-First: Jimmy Author-X-Name-Last: Lopez Title: Productivity and regulation in the construction sector: evidence for OECD countries Abstract: Labour productivity growth in the construction sector has been very weak in recent decades in most OECD countries. This paper addresses this issue based on a panel of 23 countries over the period 1995–2015. First, we use the Ackerberg, Caves, and Frazer (2015) method to propose a multifactor explanation for this lack of productivity growth: (i) average TFP growth is close to zero and even negative for most countries; (ii) average contributions to growth of capital and intermediate inputs are positive but weak, respectively of 0.05% and 0.90% per year, and much smaller than in the manufacturing sector over the same period (respectively of 0.40% and 3.10% per year). Then, we investigate whether reforms of regulations specific to the construction sector might boost productivity there. Using regulation indicators from the ‘Doing Business Report’, we find a negative impact of these regulations on TFP, but not on the intensities of capital and intermediate inputs. Our results suggest that reducing the construction sector regulations might bolster productivity: a switch to the lightest regulations would lead to a long-term TFP increase of 6% on average. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3805-3821 Issue: 32 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208845 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208845 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:32:p:3805-3821 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208852_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Ruocan Lu Author-X-Name-First: Ruocan Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Zhihui Yang Author-X-Name-First: Zhihui Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Title: Analysis on the structure and economic resilience capacity of China’s regional economic network Abstract: This paper analyzes the heterogeneous influence of economic networks on urban economic resilience capacity from different network characteristics, providing an innovative research perspective and theoretical framework for the economic resilience capacity of urban clusters. The urban economic elasticity is measured by multiple indicators and constructed economic network using night light data, the complex network approach was combined with spatial econometrics to analyse the contribution of economic network linkages and economic network locations to regional economic resilience capacity. The results show that: urban economic network linkage has a significant positive impact on urban economic resilience capacity, and the polycentric pattern of urban clusters has a driving effect on this impact; in contrast, the influence of urban network location on economic resilience capacity has an inverted u-shaped curve. Compared with non-smart cities, regions in smart cities are better able to promote urban economic resilience capacity through economic networks, and the impact of economic networks on regional economic resilience capacity has network external spillover effects beyond geographical distance, The results of the study infer that cities in urban agglomeration should rationalize network locations, and build a coordinated urban agglomeration network structure to enhance economic resilience capacity of the regional economy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3920-3938 Issue: 32 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208852 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208852 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:32:p:3920-3938 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208854_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Ahmed Kamara Author-X-Name-First: Ahmed Author-X-Name-Last: Kamara Title: On the properties of the labour wedge: hours worked and government transfers in perspective Abstract: Questions surrounding the labour wedge and the tax wedge in the United States are complicated by the fact that, historically, there is a lack of coherent relationship between the series of hours worked (based on standard measurements) and that of the tax wedge. This has been cited as grounds for discounting the tax wedge as a viable explanation for the behaviour of the labour wedge. In this paper, I explore an alternative measurement of labour hours in the United States in a bid to clear up some of the morass surrounding the tax wedge and hours worked. In the process, I show that, the labour wedge is rather more aligned with available labour hours over the business cycle than it does actual hours worked. Moreover, cyclical properties of the available hours series, however puzzling, are explained by the presence of a government transfer scheme which I introduce in the household side of the market. Also, the presence of the transfer scheme alters the marginal rate of substitution (MRS) between consumption and leisure, and by doing so, reverses the cyclical properties of the tax wedge. This puts the tax wedge in alignment with the labour wedge over the business cycle. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3953-3966 Issue: 33 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208854 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208854 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:33:p:3953-3966 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2209309_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yuanbin Xu Author-X-Name-First: Yuanbin Author-X-Name-Last: Xu Author-Name: Yuchen Wang Author-X-Name-First: Yuchen Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Fucai Lu Author-X-Name-First: Fucai Author-X-Name-Last: Lu Author-Name: Dan Sheng Author-X-Name-First: Dan Author-X-Name-Last: Sheng Title: A study of the impact of digital inclusive finance on firm value from the perspective of financing constraints Abstract: The existing research on the impact of digital inclusive finance on corporate behaviour is relatively extensive, but the research on the impact of digital inclusive finance on corporate value is ignored. To fill in this gap, this study examines the impact of digital inclusive finance on firm value from the perspective of financing constraints, utilizing data on A-share listed companies in China from 2012 to 2019. We found that digital inclusive finance helps increase corporate value. And digital inclusive finance uses digital technology to alleviate financing constraints and improve the credit supply, which in turn increases firm value. Moreover, the impact of digital inclusive finance on firm value demonstrates heterogeneity. Compared with other firms, digital inclusive finance has a greater value-enhancing effect on small-scale and private firms. Our findings suggest that increasing the level of digital inclusive finance in developing countries can help enhance firm value. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4033-4047 Issue: 33 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2209309 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2209309 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:33:p:4033-4047 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208857_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Pradip Banerjee Author-X-Name-First: Pradip Author-X-Name-Last: Banerjee Author-Name: Soumya Guha Deb Author-X-Name-First: Soumya Author-X-Name-Last: Guha Deb Title: Working capital management efficiency, managerial ability, and firm performance: new insights Abstract: This paper studies the association of managerial ability (MA) with efficiency in working-capital management (WCM) of firms. Using a large sample of 1,14,173 firm-year observations between 1988 and 2018 in the US, we show a negative contemporaneous relationship between MA and efficiency of WCM, indicating that more able managers manifest higher WCM efficiency and thereby affect firm performance positively through a mediating channel of WCM. Further, we show that this association is non-linear in nature with managers focusing more on long-term value-enhancing projects for the firm beyond a threshold MA level, having already attained the optimal efficiency in WCM. The results remain robust after a series of robustness tests. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4001-4018 Issue: 33 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208857 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208857 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:33:p:4001-4018 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208855_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Mohamed Hedi Lahouel Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Hedi Author-X-Name-Last: Lahouel Author-Name: Moez Ben Tahar Author-X-Name-First: Moez Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Tahar Author-Name: Sarra Ben Slimane Author-X-Name-First: Sarra Ben Author-X-Name-Last: Slimane Author-Name: Mohamed Ali Houfi Author-X-Name-First: Mohamed Ali Author-X-Name-Last: Houfi Title: The dynamic effects of fiscal policy and fiscal multipliers in Tunisia Abstract: This study analyses the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy by estimating fiscal multipliers for Tunisia. The study is based on the Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model and uses quarterly data from 2000Q1 to 2019Q4. Five main insights can be drawn from these results. First, fiscal multipliers are moderate, as suggested by earlier studies. Second, spending multipliers generated by total and consumption expenditures, respectively, are small, implying that government spending generates substantial crowding out effects. Third, investment multipliers are larger than consumption multipliers. Fourth, fiscal multipliers have declined in the post-2011 revolution period, suggesting that spending multipliers are lower during times of recession. Fifth, domestic supply shocks could shape the effects of fiscal policy and cause spending multipliers to fall. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3967-3985 Issue: 33 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208855 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208855 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:33:p:3967-3985 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208856_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: J. Wesley Burnett Author-X-Name-First: J. Wesley Author-X-Name-Last: Burnett Author-Name: Calvin Blackwell Author-X-Name-First: Calvin Author-X-Name-Last: Blackwell Title: Graphical causal modelling: an application to identify and estimate cause-and-effect relationships Abstract: This paper offers an accessible discussion of graphical causal models and how such a framework can be used to help identify causal relations. A graphical causal model represents a researcher’s qualitative assumptions. As a result of the credibility revolution, there is growing interest to properly estimate cause-and-effect relationships. Using several examples, we illustrate how graphical models can and cannot be used to identify causation from observational data. Further, we offer a replication of a previous study that explored college enrolment by high school seniors who were eligible for student aid. From the original study, we use a graphical causal model to motivate the quantitative and qualitative modelling assumptions. Using a similar difference-in-difference approach based on propensity score matching, we estimate a smaller average treatment effect than the original study. The smaller estimated effect arguably stems from the graphical causal model’s delineation of the original model specification. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3986-4000 Issue: 33 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208856 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208856 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:33:p:3986-4000 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208859_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Željko Bogetić Author-X-Name-First: Željko Author-X-Name-Last: Bogetić Author-Name: Dominik Naeher Author-X-Name-First: Dominik Author-X-Name-Last: Naeher Title: The good, the bad, and the ugly: New evidence on alternative views of corruption Abstract: Different views of corruption are discussed in the literature, ranging from theories highlighting a positive role of corruption (to ‘grease the wheels’ of an economy) to negative (acting as ‘sand in the wheels’) or even destructive effects of corruption on economic outcomes. The empirical evidence in this context is mixed, with alternative theories being supported by different studies, typically relying on different data sources, time periods, and measures of corruption. In this paper, we assess several alternative views of corruption simultaneously in a single empirical framework. Specifically, we test six prominent hypotheses regarding the role of corruption for government revenues using a comprehensive country-level panel dataset covering 194 countries in the period 1996–2019. Our results help to shed light on the factors that are empirically important in explaining the link between corruption and government revenues, including the role of governance, autocracy, fragile states, and natural resources. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4019-4032 Issue: 33 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208859 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208859 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:33:p:4019-4032 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2208853_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yongyi Zhu Author-X-Name-First: Yongyi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhu Author-Name: Di Yu Author-X-Name-First: Di Author-X-Name-Last: Yu Title: Can government digitalization promote firm productivity? Evidence from Chinese listed firms Abstract: In the digital era of governance, few studies have analysed the influence of digital government on micro economies. To fill this gap, we explore the nexus between digital government and firm total factor productivity (TFP), and uncover the potential transmission channels behind this connection by focusing on Chinese listed firms from 2010 to 2017 and utilizing panel regression with firm-, year-, and province-fixed effects. Our findings confirm that digital government has constructive effects on firm TFP. Furthermore, empirical results suggest that this favourable impact can be transmitted through three channels of firm transaction costs and innovation, digital infrastructure construction, and government-market relationships. Further analysis reveals that the beneficial effect of digital government on firms is more significant in provinces with low fiscal transparency and complex topography, indicating that digital government compensates for the disadvantages of low fiscal transparency and inconvenience of steep terrain. Based on these conclusions, we provide suggestions for government digitalization to improve the performance of government-microeconomic complementation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 3939-3952 Issue: 33 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2208853 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2208853 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:33:p:3939-3952 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2209311_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Carlos Alba Author-X-Name-First: Carlos Author-X-Name-Last: Alba Author-Name: Gabriel Cuadra Author-X-Name-First: Gabriel Author-X-Name-Last: Cuadra Author-Name: Raul Ibarra Author-X-Name-First: Raul Author-X-Name-Last: Ibarra Title: The effects of central bank extraordinary measures on financial conditions: Evidence from Mexico Abstract: This paper analyses the effects of the extraordinary measures implemented by the Central Bank of Mexico during the COVID-19 pandemic on financial conditions. For this purpose, we estimate a factor-augmented vector autoregressive model for the period 2001–2021. Based on this model, we construct a Financial Conditions Index, estimate the response of this indicator and its components from a shock to the outstanding amount of these measures, and conduct a counterfactual exercise to further analyse the effect of the aforementioned measures. The main results indicate that these extraordinary measures seem to have contributed to improve financial conditions. In particular, we find that if these measures had not been implemented, the sovereign risk premium, the 10-year government bond yield, the slope of the yield curve, and the long- and short-term yield spreads between Mexico and the US would have been higher by around 56, 31, 27, 37, and 49 basis points in December 2020, respectively. At the same time, the Mexican peso/US dollar exchange rate and its volatility would have been higher by 5 and 2 percentage points, respectively. In turn, the Mexican stock market index would have been lower by 10 percentage points. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4064-4085 Issue: 34 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2209311 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2209311 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:34:p:4064-4085 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210815_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Lara Agnoli Author-X-Name-First: Lara Author-X-Name-Last: Agnoli Author-Name: J. François Outreville Author-X-Name-First: J. François Author-X-Name-Last: Outreville Title: The role of behavioural antecedents in driving wine consumption in Taiwan restaurants Abstract: Taiwan is becoming increasingly important in the international wine scene, with restaurants still not representing pivotal distribution channels for wine. This study applied the Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) to understand the role of attitudes, subjective norms and perceived behavioural control as drivers or barriers in consuming wine in Taiwan restaurants. A survey by questionnaire was developed, involving 310 respondents from Taiwan. Structural Equation Models were applied to analyse data, test the validity of TPB and compare TPB with the Theory of Reasoned Action (TRA), hypothesizing no influence of perceived behavioural control on wine consumption in restaurants. Results highlight that TPB better predicts wine consumption in restaurants than TRA. Further, they highlight that people are more concerned about the opinion of others than their own attitude towards the product and the perceived control over the behaviour is the most important driver for the intention to consume wine in a restaurant, mainly linked to cultural reasons. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4086-4099 Issue: 34 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210815 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210815 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:34:p:4086-4099 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210817_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Sha Wu Author-X-Name-First: Sha Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Mengfei Wan Author-X-Name-First: Mengfei Author-X-Name-Last: Wan Title: Does Confucian culture reduce corporate default risk? Evidence from China Abstract: Confucianism is the cornerstone of traditional Chinese culture, and it has a significant impact on corporate behaviour. This paper investigates the relationship between Confucian culture and default risk. Using a sample of Chinese listed companies that covers the period between 2010 and 2020, we find robust evidence that Confucian culture is negatively associated with the probability of default. The effect operates through improvements in reputation and resource acquisition. It is more pronounced at firms that face severe financing constraints, at firms that are located in regions with high marketization, and at firms that are subject to weaker external supervision. Additional analyses show that Confucian culture improves corporate social responsibility and the quality of internal control, reduces earnings management and corporate risk-taking, and, ultimately, decreases the overall value of the firm. On the whole, our findings provide evidence of the role of cultural factors in filling institutional voids. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4114-4127 Issue: 34 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210817 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210817 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:34:p:4114-4127 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210818_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: William Miles Author-X-Name-First: William Author-X-Name-Last: Miles Author-Name: Samuel Moon Jung Author-X-Name-First: Samuel Moon Author-X-Name-Last: Jung Author-Name: Chu-Ping Chen Vijverberg Author-X-Name-First: Chu-Ping Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Vijverberg Title: The home price–income relationship for US states Abstract: There are conflicting theories on whether house prices and income should share a long-run relationship. Empirical work on the topic has yielded mixed results. Most previous studies have investigated whether the house price/income ratio is stationary (short memory) or non-stationary (has a unit root) but have not allowed for the intermediate possibility of long memory or fractional integration. We estimate fractional integration for the house price/income ratio for US states. We find most states exhibit long memory in their ratios. The states with the most long memory tend to be in the high-priced east coast and California. Southern and great plains states, in contrast, tend to exhibit the least persistence in the house price/income metric. In some housing markets – some east coast states, California, Arizona, Florida, and Nevada, home costs can become less and less affordable for local residents, with no tendency to reverse this unaffordability within a reasonable time horizon for potential buyers. In addition to the univariate estimates, multivariate fractional cointegration tests are implemented, and the results support the findings of non-affordability hypothesis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4128-4139 Issue: 34 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210818 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210818 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:34:p:4128-4139 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210816_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: José E. Boscá Author-X-Name-First: José E. Author-X-Name-Last: Boscá Author-Name: Jose Cano-Leiva Author-X-Name-First: Jose Author-X-Name-Last: Cano-Leiva Author-Name: Javier Ferri Author-X-Name-First: Javier Author-X-Name-Last: Ferri Title: COVID-19 vaccination campaigns and health outcomes in Spain during 2021 Abstract: We evaluate the effects of vaccines in the evolution of the epidemic in Spain during 2021. To this end, we estimate the effect of vaccination in terms of reducing infections, hospitalizations, ICU admissions, and deaths. We also compare the health impact of COVID-19 with that caused by recent influenza seasons, in a scenario where all the population had been vaccinated. The positive impact of vaccination on health indicators has been extraordinary. The non-availability of vaccines would have increased COVID-19 deaths by 571% compared to observed deaths. Moreover, the relative benefit of vaccination increases with the severity of the indicator: greater for deaths and ICU admissions, less for infections and hospitalizations. Under the assumption that the entire population had been vaccinated with the COVID-19 vaccine from the first week of April, the impact of the disease in terms of hospitalizations and deaths during 2021 would have been above a low activity flu season, but in line with a moderate/high activity flu season. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4100-4113 Issue: 34 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210816 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210816 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:34:p:4100-4113 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2209310_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Ying Wu Author-X-Name-First: Ying Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Li Deng Author-X-Name-First: Li Author-X-Name-Last: Deng Author-Name: Wen Huang Author-X-Name-First: Wen Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Major government-background customers and corporate green innovation Abstract: Using a sample of 1,595 Chinese listed firms from 2009 to 2019 and the Ordinary Least Squares method, we find that major government-background consumers have a positive effect on corporate green innovation. This finding is robust to a battery of tests. Mechanism tests suggest that major government-background consumers promote corporate green innovation output by alleviating financial constraints rather than by providing information feedback. Further analysis shows that major government-background consumers improve green innovation efficiency and are conducive to green invention innovation and green utility innovation. Finally, we find that stronger intellectual property protection strengthens the association between major government-background consumers and corporate green innovation. Our study suggests that the identification of larger consumers plays an important role in green innovation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4049-4063 Issue: 34 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2209310 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2209310 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:34:p:4049-4063 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210819_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Ryan Garvey Author-X-Name-First: Ryan Author-X-Name-Last: Garvey Author-Name: Jingbin He Author-X-Name-First: Jingbin Author-X-Name-Last: He Author-Name: Fei Wu Author-X-Name-First: Fei Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Title: Retail broker trading restrictions and market liquidity: an examination of GameStop Abstract: We examine changes in market liquidity when several popular U.S. retail brokers restrict client trading in GameStop stock over a six-day period in early 2021 due to higher clearinghouse deposit requirements. When retail investor participation in a high-attentionstock becomes restricted, trading activity declines and trading venue shifts occur – there is less trading in dark markets and more fragmented trading across U.S. stock exchanges. We also find that when a stock order flow mix becomes comprised of fewer retail investors and a higher concentration of institutional investors, the quoted bid-ask spread widens, and trading cost measures rise significantly. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4140-4153 Issue: 34 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210819 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210819 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:34:p:4140-4153 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210824_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Tetsuji Tanaka Author-X-Name-First: Tetsuji Author-X-Name-Last: Tanaka Author-Name: Jin Guo Author-X-Name-First: Jin Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Title: Is agricultural self-sufficiency effective to protect local markets from global markets? Empirical evidence from the beef sector in Japan Abstract: Although for decades, the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishery of Japan has formed agricultural policies based on food self-sufficiency as a vital factor in securing the domestic food supply, the impacts of agricultural self-sufficiency on the relationship between international and domestic markets are not well understood. Most previous literature on agricultural price transmissions applies conventional error correction and vector autoregression models. However, we employ the state-of-the-art technique, namely the time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) connectedness model, as well as the dynamic conditional correlations based on the asymmetric Baba – Engle–Kraft – Kroner method to investigate the effectiveness of beef self-sufficiency and its inventory in stabilizing local beef prices in Japan. Our primary results indicate that the global beef price is the net transmitter of shocks, while the home-grown beef price in Japan is the net receiver of shocks. Furthermore, we find that high self-sufficiency in beef does not significantly protect local beef markets from global beef markets, but the imported beef inventory effectively alleviates the wholesale price volatility of imported beef. One policy implication is that the government should not take protectionist policies to enhance beef self-sufficiency, and import beef stocks could be accumulated to stabilize imported beef markets. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4236-4250 Issue: 35 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210824 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210824 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:35:p:4236-4250 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210821_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Zheng Li Author-X-Name-First: Zheng Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jingjing Zeng Author-X-Name-First: Jingjing Author-X-Name-Last: Zeng Title: Intra- and inter-individual risk attitude heterogeneity and the impact on road travel: evidence from a dynamic procedural model Abstract: This paper develops a dynamic procedural model to understand the day-to-day evolution of road traffic and risky mode choice behaviour. We embed a modified Bureau of Public Roads function and a queueing model into a dynamic traffic flow model to estimate information on travel time and in-vehicle crowding. Then, the estimated information is fed into a risky mode choice model, with the joint consideration of intra- and inter-individual risk attitude heterogeneity. In order to reflect what may be happening in the real market, we establish a close loop with individuals’ mode choice behaviours shaped by their travel experiences and historical information, the induced impact on traffic flow, and more importantly, the feedback and interplay between them. Our model delivers realistic and robust results, in which risk attitudes play the most prominent role. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4177-4193 Issue: 35 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210821 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210821 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:35:p:4177-4193 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210825_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Daniel Lo Author-X-Name-First: Daniel Author-X-Name-Last: Lo Author-Name: Michael James McCord Author-X-Name-First: Michael James Author-X-Name-Last: McCord Author-Name: Graham Squires Author-X-Name-First: Graham Author-X-Name-Last: Squires Title: Regional spillover of housing (un)affordability: an empirical study on the residential housing markets for first-time buyers in the U.K Abstract: This study examines the lead–lag relationships between the levels of housing affordability of different regions of the U.K. By utilizing government data, a number of housing affordability indicators are constructed to explore whether spatial diffusion exists between different regional submarkets of first-time homebuyers over the period of 2000 – 2021. The results reveal that during periods of economic expansion, housing unaffordability tended to diffuse from regions of slower economic growth to regions of higher economic development. It is further evident that in the aftermath of the GFC, the London housing market Granger-caused other regional markets in terms of housing (un)affordability. Lastly, the U.K’.s decision to leave the EU in 2016 seems to have led to more divergence between the submarket regions, which in a Granger causal sense, have become less causally correlated in terms of pricing. We conjecture that the causal interactions between the different regional housing submarkets exist with the lead–lag relationships governed primarily by their underlying macroeconomic fundamentals. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4251-4268 Issue: 35 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210825 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210825 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:35:p:4251-4268 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210820_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jiqin Ren Author-X-Name-First: Jiqin Author-X-Name-Last: Ren Author-Name: Yuanxuan Guo Author-X-Name-First: Yuanxuan Author-X-Name-Last: Guo Author-Name: Jingjing Li Author-X-Name-First: Jingjing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jingjing Li Author-X-Name-First: Jingjing Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Can internet concern about COVID-19 help predict stock markets: new evidence from high-concern and low-concern periods Abstract: The unprecedented outbreak of Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has resulted in extreme volatility in stock markets. This study mainly examines the predictive ability of the Internet concern about COVID-19 on stock index returns, based on the framework of GARCH type models. Instead of using the whole sample period, we divide the Internet concern about COVID-19 into high-concern and low-concern periods by breakpoint test method and then examine its predictive ability for stock returns in different periods, respectively. Using stock indexes of 10 countries and abnormal Google search volume of ‘coronavirus’ as study samples, the results reveal that (1) the Internet concern about COVID-19 has a negative impact on the stock index returns in the whole and high-concern periods, while its influence in the low-concern period is mixed; (2) the Internet concern about COVID-19 improves the prediction accuracy of stock index returns in the high-concern period, while seems to lose its powerful predictive ability in the whole and low-concern periods. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4155-4176 Issue: 35 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210820 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210820 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:35:p:4155-4176 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2317266_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Bo Zha Author-X-Name-First: Bo Author-X-Name-Last: Zha Title: Impact of Weibo sentiment and R&D innovation as signalling mechanisms on venture corporate financing Abstract: Weibo sentiment and R&D innovation are important signals that influence the financing processes of venture corporations. We collect relevant data between 1 January 2011, and 31 December 2020, to analyse the effect of the signalling mechanism of Weibo sentiment and R&D innovation on venture corporate financing. The conclusions are as follows. The positive effects of Weibo sentiment on venture valuation and investment success are weaker than the effects of R&D innovation, and the positive effects of Weibo sentiment and R&D innovation on venture valuations are stronger for young than older venture firms. The positive effects of Weibo sentiment and R&D innovation on venture valuations are stronger for less experienced ventures than for more experienced ventures. These conclusions show that the two signals of Weibo sentiment and R&D innovation have different strengths in terms of venture valuation and investment success, with the effect of the Weibo sentiment signal being relatively less strong. Moreover, venture corporate age and venture corporate experience play important negative moderating roles in the relationship between the two signals and venture valuation. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4269-4287 Issue: 35 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2024.2317266 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2024.2317266 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:35:p:4269-4287 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210823_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Peng Nie Author-X-Name-First: Peng Author-X-Name-Last: Nie Author-Name: Qiaoge Li Author-X-Name-First: Qiaoge Author-X-Name-Last: Li Title: Does energy poverty increase health care expenditures in China? Abstract: Using the 2012–2018 waves of the China Family Panel Studies, we investigate the impact of energy poverty (EP) on health care expenditures among Chinese adults aged 18+. Employing a methodology combining a random effects two-part model and instrumental variable estimations, we show that EP leads to higher levels of total (305 yuan/year), out-of-pocket (199 yuan/year), inpatient (230 yuan/year) and other (113 yuan/year) health care expenditures, with more pronounced impacts among females and those living in urban areas and Eastern China. These results are robust not only to alternative EP and health care expenditure measures but also to a series of estimation approaches that control for endogeneity. An additional structural equation modelling analysis of the underlying pathways further reveals that this EP-health care expenditure relationship is mediated by individual self-reported health as well as expenditures on food and other daily necessities. Combating EP is an effective way to improve people’s health and reduce the burden on health care expenditures. Policymakers should also pay more attention to vulnerable groups such as women. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4209-4235 Issue: 35 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210823 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210823 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:35:p:4209-4235 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210822_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Soumaya Yaakoubi Author-X-Name-First: Soumaya Author-X-Name-Last: Yaakoubi Title: Investor sentiment and skewness risk premium Abstract: This paper provides new evidence on the pricing of market skewness risk by incorporating investor sentiment in the relation between sensitivity to innovations in implied market skewness and expected stock returns. Using both univariate and multivariate specifications, we conduct an extensive series of asset pricing tests on the cross-section of stocks during high and low sentiment periods separately. We find that market skewness risk carries a negative premium that cannot be explained away by known risk factors when sentiment is low. In contrast, the results are not conducive to a risk explanation when sentiment is high. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4194-4208 Issue: 35 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 07 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210822 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210822 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:35:p:4194-4208 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210827_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jisheng Yang Author-X-Name-First: Jisheng Author-X-Name-Last: Yang Author-Name: Yingxin Kou Author-X-Name-First: Yingxin Author-X-Name-Last: Kou Title: The effect of multiple shocks on domestic production network: evidence from China’s manufacturing industries Abstract: The domestic production network in China has been affected by multiple shocks in recent years, and this study reveals the dynamic changes of the shocks’ effects. Based on a domestic trade model with industry-level unobserved factors, we examine the trends of multiple shocks to the domestic market of China’s manufacturing industries and find that the domestic market has been bolstered by upward shocks until 2010, while has been depressed by downward shocks thereafter. Furthermore, based on multi-regional input–output analysis, we evaluate the impacts of domestic market shocks on industries’ value-added in the domestic value chain (DVC). We find that from 2004 to 2012, the domestic market shocks significantly promoted industries to participate in DVC embodied in the global value chain (DVC1), while after 2012 the shocks began to promote industries to participate in DVC completely based on endogenous capabilities (DVC2). However, the DVC2 position has not been upgraded by domestic market shocks. From another perspective, we investigate the impacts of domestic market shocks on the industrial linkage structure and find that the impact on industries’ centrality turns from negative to positive after the 2008 global financial crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4315-4328 Issue: 36 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210827 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210827 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:36:p:4315-4328 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210828_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Chen Li Author-X-Name-First: Chen Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Yuminzi Fang Author-X-Name-First: Yuminzi Author-X-Name-Last: Fang Author-Name: Ce Song Author-X-Name-First: Ce Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Corporate green innovation behaviour and investment efficiency: evidence from China Abstract: Corporate green innovation has aroused attention from academics and practitioners in recent years, but the green innovation-investment decision nexus is less explored. Using Chinese-listed firms in the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchange from 2007 to 2019 as a sample, our research finds that green innovation significantly improves investment efficiency by mitigating over-investment. This finding still holds after addressing endogeneity tests and conducting additional robustness checks. Channel analysis shows that research and development expenditure is an underlying mechanism. Further examinations reveal that green innovation’s influence is more significant in non-politically connected, low-financing-constrained firms and firms with many independent directors. Our paper offers new insights into the influence at firm-level of concrete corporate social responsibility strategies, and the green innovation-investment decision nexus, and presents important policy implications for sustainable development. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4329-4343 Issue: 36 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210828 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210828 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:36:p:4329-4343 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2211337_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yongchang Shen Author-X-Name-First: Yongchang Author-X-Name-Last: Shen Author-Name: Yunyun Fu Author-X-Name-First: Yunyun Author-X-Name-Last: Fu Author-Name: Malin Song Author-X-Name-First: Malin Author-X-Name-Last: Song Title: Digital finance promotes sustainable total factor eco-efficiency: evidence from China Abstract: A super-efficient SBM model was constructed using Chinese provincial panel data from 2011 to 2018 to explore the impact of digital finance on sustainable total factor eco-efficiency (STFEcE) and its mechanisms of action. The results show that digital finance can promote the improvement of STFEcE, and this promotion is heterogeneous. Western regions with more backward financial development, ecologically inefficient regions, and financially weakly regulated regions have more significant eco-efficiency improvements from digital financial services. Digital finance influences STFEcE by expanding the scale of green credit and enhancing the level of green and digital technology innovation. Therefore, the government should support the efficient integration of digital technology and financial services in macro policies, accelerate the infrastructure construction of digital finance, eliminate the digital divide, and create a favourable financial environment for improving STFEcE. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4389-4403 Issue: 36 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2211337 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2211337 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:36:p:4389-4403 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210826_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jie Gao Author-X-Name-First: Jie Author-X-Name-Last: Gao Author-Name: Feng Huang Author-X-Name-First: Feng Author-X-Name-Last: Huang Title: Major-customer geographic proximity and supplier trade credit: empirical evidence from China Abstract: Customer geographical proximity is a factor influencing supplier firms’ trade-offs when granting customers trade credits. However, the extant literature offers scant empirical evidence on the effect of customer location on supplier firm’s trade credit. This paper investigates the impact of major customers’ geographical proximity on a supplier firm’s trade credit. Using a sample of 5,587 observations of publicly listed Chinese firms between 2007 and 2017, we document a positive relationship between major customers’ geographical distance and the supplier firm’s trade credit. Moreover, the main results remain robust when changing samples and considering endogeneity problems. This paper also tests two potential channels and identifies the exploring market channel that exists in our sample. Furthermore, the main relation is more pronounced in supplier firms with low financial risk, operating in areas of high marketization, high product development, strong legal environments, and low economic policy uncertainty. This paper extends the existing literature on the economic consequences of customer characteristics on supplier firms to include customer geographic proximity. In addition, this paper sheds light on supply chain risk management. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4289-4314 Issue: 36 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210826 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210826 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:36:p:4289-4314 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2211336_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: James Fell Author-X-Name-First: James Author-X-Name-Last: Fell Author-Name: Andrew Duver Author-X-Name-First: Andrew Author-X-Name-Last: Duver Title: Non-tariff measures: a methodology for the quantification of bilateral trade effects of policy measures at a product level Abstract: Trade negotiators are confronted with the policy challenge of determining which non-tariff measures (NTMs) and products to focus on, particularly in the agriculture and food sectors, which face a prevalence of NTMs. Quantitative advice on the trade effects of different measures can inform one aspect of a negotiator’s multifaceted prioritization process. Despite well-established methods for the quantification of trade policies at an aggregate bilateral trade level, the product-level literature suffers from a general misapplication of economic theory, leaving much of it divergent from microeconomic foundations. Furthermore, the literature generally makes compromises that inhibit the ability to draw useful insight on importer-specific policy variables like NTMs. In light of this gap in the literature, we propose an approach that leads to a proof-of-concept quantification methodology for bilateral product-level analysis, fulfiling a need in the body politic to defensibly identify trade effects of NTMs at a bilateral and product level. International grains markets are used as an example to demonstrate the proof-of-concept. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4374-4388 Issue: 36 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2211336 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2211336 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:36:p:4374-4388 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210830_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Nicholas Apergis Author-X-Name-First: Nicholas Author-X-Name-Last: Apergis Title: The role of COVID-19 in herding: evidence from the Croatian stock market Abstract: This paper explores the role of the COVID-19 pandemic on the herding behaviour across market participants in the Croatian market. The analysis uses daily prices of the Croatian stock index, spanning the period January 2016 to December 2022. The hypothesis of the herding behaviour is tested through the quantile regression approach. The findings document no evidence of herding prior to the pandemic crisis. In contrast, herding is discovered during the COVID-19 period. The paper provides policymakers and investors with valuable information to draw significant measures in their investment portfolio management during crises and pandemics. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4363-4373 Issue: 36 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210830 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210830 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:36:p:4363-4373 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2210829_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Axelle Heyert Author-X-Name-First: Axelle Author-X-Name-Last: Heyert Author-Name: Laurent Weill Author-X-Name-First: Laurent Author-X-Name-Last: Weill Title: Never forget, never forgive: the impact of inflation on trust in banks Abstract: This paper investigates how inflation influences an individual’s trust in banks. Using individual data covering 72 countries, we find that inflation, both recent and experienced throughout life, exerts a detrimental influence on trust in banks. Even if recent inflation has a stronger impact, these results support the view that inflation has both short- and long-term effects on trust in banks. Additional estimations show that individual characteristics like education and access to information can affect the negative impact of inflation on trust in banks. Overall, our results indicate that fighting against inflation prevents a lasting reduction of trust in banks. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4344-4362 Issue: 36 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2210829 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2210829 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:36:p:4344-4362 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2212964_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Noorasiah Sulaiman Author-X-Name-First: Noorasiah Author-X-Name-Last: Sulaiman Author-Name: Nurul Fathnin Muhamad Bustaman Author-X-Name-First: Nurul Fathnin Author-X-Name-Last: Muhamad Bustaman Author-Name: Chor Foon Tang Author-X-Name-First: Chor Foon Author-X-Name-Last: Tang Title: Economic growth and female labour force participation in an ageing society: evidence from Southeast Asia Abstract: This study examines the impact of female labour participation and life expectancy on economic growth in Southeast Asia economies using non-stationary panel data techniques. The study utilizes balanced panel data spanning from 1992 to 2020, encompassing ten countries in Southeast Asia. The results reveal that economic growth, female labour participation, and other factors are cointegrated. The findings indicate that trade openness has a negative impact on economic growth. However, we find that female labour participation, female longevity, female education, domestic investment, and foreign direct investment have a positive long-term effect on economic growth. Our study also highlights that the effect of female labour participation on growth varies depending on female longevity. We find that female labour participation positively impacts economic growth but changes negatively when countries exhibit a high level of female life expectancy. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4481-4491 Issue: 37 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2212964 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2212964 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:37:p:4481-4491 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2211342_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yan Li Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Chao Liang Author-X-Name-First: Chao Author-X-Name-Last: Liang Author-Name: Toan Luu Duc Huynh Author-X-Name-First: Toan Luu Duc Author-X-Name-Last: Huynh Title: Combination forecast based on financial stress categories for global equity market volatility: the evidence during the COVID-19 and the global financial crisis periods Abstract: The 2008 global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic both decrease economic growth and lead to high uncertainty in global stock markets, and financial stress information is closely linked to financial crises. To improve the predictability of the realized volatility of the global equity indices during crises, we examine the predictive role of the Global Financial Stress Index (GFSI) and its categories. We find that the combination predictions based on GFSI’s five incorporated categories and three region-based categories outperform the predictions based on the raw GFSI for most indices. Specifically, the DMSPE combination model with a low discount factor has accurate forecasts for 5- and 22-day-ahead realized volatility, and it also performs better than the equal-weighted and the trimmed mean combination methods. In this study, we present a comprehensive analysis of the predictive role of financial stress information in stock market volatility during crises, and the empirical evidence provides a positive case against the ‘forecast combination puzzle’. Our findings are very instructive for policymakers and investors to make their own short-term and long-term plans in crisis. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4435-4470 Issue: 37 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2211342 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2211342 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:37:p:4435-4470 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2276088_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Yan Wu Author-X-Name-First: Yan Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Xueyu Wang Author-X-Name-First: Xueyu Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Cong Hu Author-X-Name-First: Cong Author-X-Name-Last: Hu Title: The impact of China’s financing to Africa on bilateral trade intensity under the Belt and Road Initiative Abstract: Based on panel data from 2000 to 2021 covering African 52 countries under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), and utilizing a system generalized method of moments with instrumental variables, the study finds that China’s financing has played a positive role in both export and import intensities of African countries with China. However, the impacts of different financing types on trade intensities vary by different country groups and periods. First, Chinese outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) has a much bigger impact on both export intensity and import intensity, and aid has a much bigger impact on export intensity in resource-rich African countries than other countries. Second, Chinese OFDI has a much bigger impact on export intensity and aid has a much bigger impact on both export and import intensities in low-income African countries than other countries. Third, the regression results from different periods indicate that Chinese financing has enhanced the bidirectional trade relations between China and Africa since BRI launch. The study is conducive to the exploration of multinational corporations and foreign aid’s role in trade relations and will help African countries use Chinese capital to promote bilateral cooperation and get rid of poverty. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4507-4527 Issue: 37 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2276088 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2276088 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:37:p:4507-4527 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2211338_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Jiyuan Wang Author-X-Name-First: Jiyuan Author-X-Name-Last: Wang Author-Name: Meilian Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Meilian Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Author-Name: Yi Zhang Author-X-Name-First: Yi Author-X-Name-Last: Zhang Title: The Effect of informal caregiving on caregivers’ healthcare utilization in China Abstract: A fast-ageing population implies an upsurge in demand for caregiving. We examine the causal effect of informal caregiving on caregivers’ realized and forgone healthcare utilization based on data from China. Accounting for the potential endogeneity in caregiving, we find that caregivers not only use more outpatient care and self-treatment, but are also more likely to forgo necessary inpatient care. Caregiving also increases the out-of-pocket expenditures of all types of healthcare. Further mechanism analysis shows that caregiving worsens caregivers’ health and takes up time and economic resources for healthcare utilization, which causes the coexistence of increased realized and forgone healthcare use. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that those with tighter budgets and higher marginal costs for healthcare (e.g. rural or less educated caregivers) tend to bear larger increases in caregiving-driven health costs. Our results shed light on the overlooked benefit of long-term care policies if accounting for the spillover effects of informal care provision on caregivers’ healthcare use, particularly for disadvantaged groups. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4405-4419 Issue: 37 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2211338 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2211338 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:37:p:4405-4419 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2212965_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Chunmei Li Author-X-Name-First: Chunmei Author-X-Name-Last: Li Author-Name: Jingya Wu Author-X-Name-First: Jingya Author-X-Name-Last: Wu Author-Name: Chinyakwa Amos Author-X-Name-First: Chinyakwa Author-X-Name-Last: Amos Author-Name: Yingzhe Su Author-X-Name-First: Yingzhe Author-X-Name-Last: Su Title: Interregional industrial transfer, industrial correlation spillover, and productivity: evidence from China’s textile industry Abstract: This paper studies the knowledge spillover effect through industrial correlation in the process of interregional textile industry transfer and its effects on the TFP of China’s textile industry. The paper calculates the industrial similarity coefficients of subdivided industries with the textile industry and identifies the related industries of China’s textile industry by using the data of China’s input-output table and extension tables from 2002 to 2017. Then, the paper defines the industrial correlation spillover as the weighted sum of the indirect R&D investment of one industry from its related industries and constructs a quantitative method to qualify the industrial correlation spillover. Furthermore, the paper makes two empirical analyses on the existence of industrial correlation spillover in the interregional industrial transfer and its effects on productivity using the panel data of two-digit subdivided industries in 30 provinces. The results show that the correlation spillover effect does exist and promotes the interregional textile industry transfer from the eastern coastal region to the central and the northern-coastal regions; the correlation spillover from the related tertiary industries in industrial transfer promotes the TFP of China’s textile industry, but the correlation spillover from the related secondary industries impedes the TFP of the textile industry. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4492-4506 Issue: 37 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2212965 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2212965 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:37:p:4492-4506 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2211341_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: Giuseppe Celi Author-X-Name-First: Giuseppe Author-X-Name-Last: Celi Author-Name: Edgardo Sica Author-X-Name-First: Edgardo Author-X-Name-Last: Sica Title: Migration, exports and capital: what is the impact of ghettos on local firms? Abstract: This paper investigates the effects of migration on the export and production techniques of agri-industrial firms in the proximity of clusters of migrants. The analysis draws on an original dataset built through interviews conducted with agri-food firms in the Foggia province (southern Italy). Over the past two decades, this area has experienced a strong influx of migrants, who have concentrated in ghettos. The results do not support a pro-trade effect, but provide evidence for both a substitution and a complementarity effect of migrants on capital endowment, depending on the type of machinery used by the firm. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4420-4434 Issue: 37 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2211341 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2211341 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:37:p:4420-4434 Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 # input file: RAEC_A_2211343_J.xml processed with: repec_from_jats12.xsl darts-xml-transformations-20240209T083504 git hash: db97ba8e3a Author-Name: James W. Saunoris Author-X-Name-First: James W. Author-X-Name-Last: Saunoris Author-Name: James E. Payne Author-X-Name-First: James E. Author-X-Name-Last: Payne Title: Economic freedom determinants across U.S. states: A Bayesian model averaging approach Abstract: This study examines the potential determinants of state-level economic freedom for a panel of the 50 U.S. states from 1994 to 2020. To address model uncertainty in the identification of robust determinants, we use Bayesian model averaging to test the robustness (to the inclusion and exclusion of other determinants) of 17 potential determinants that have been recognized in the extant literature. The results show robustness with respect to the positive impact of the level of per capita real income and its growth, fiscal decentralization and neighbouring state economic freedom, whereas per capita fossil fuel production, population density, unemployment rate and democratic governorships have a negative impact. The remaining determinants were not robustly associated with economic freedom. Journal: Applied Economics Pages: 4471-4480 Issue: 37 Volume: 56 Year: 2024 Month: 08 X-DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2023.2211343 File-URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2023.2211343 File-Format: text/html File-Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers. Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:56:y:2024:i:37:p:4471-4480